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We're in the early stages of a massive $85 trillion global infrastructure buildout, driven by AI, reshoring, and modernization. This capital rotation is fueling explosive demand for energy, power, and commodities—especially copper, silver, and natural gas. Old economy stocks—miners, energy, infrastructure, and equipment providers—are positioned for substantial re-rating and long-term alpha.
We are transitioning from a globalization-focused world to one prioritizing resilience, autarky, and supply chain security. Heightened geopolitical risks and deglobalization support investment in defense, resource, and infrastructure sectors for portfolio resilience. Stock exchange operators, defense contractors, resource producers, and infrastructure enablers are positioned to benefit from thi...
I reflect on my early dividend portfolio, which included PEP, HD, PSA, UNP, and DUK, and why it was too defensive for my age. Focusing on growth over yield in the early investing years is critical, as aggressive compounding outpaces immediate income for long-term wealth building. I advocate the 5% Rule: target a 5–6% average yield in retirement by leveraging high-growth, lower-yield stocks earl...
The market appears expensive, with historical precedent for long periods of low returns after peaks. Consensus expects 15% S&P 500 earnings growth and rising margins, driven by AI innovation, supporting a steady long-term outlook. Analyst forecasts for 2026 should be viewed skeptically, as actual outcomes often diverge from consensus projections.
Energy badly lagged this year, and I underestimated how severe the supply glut would be. I was early - but the long-term thesis remains firmly intact. Today's oil prices aren't sustainable. Low prices are forcing discipline, squeezing supply, and creating a rare setup where sentiment and fundamentals are deeply misaligned. With positioning extremely bearish and costs rising, I see energy settin...
I examine how the market mislabels certain stocks such as Texas Pacific Land Corporation, highlighting the need to see what they truly are beneath the surface. TPL's vast Permian holdings offer high-margin, inflation-protected opportunities beyond oil, including water and land value. Emerging trends, like AI-driven data centers, could reshape its potential, making the market underestimate the u...
Texas Pacific Land is a high-margin cash cow. Its land is valuable because it's located in the largest oil-and-gas-producing region in the United States.
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