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My recent bullish call on SBSW played out with a 45% gain, driven by cyclical turn, cost cuts, and stabilizing PGM prices; rally expected to continue. Despite FY24 revenue dips, cost controls improved EBIT. EBITDA stabilized, with SA gold operations booming (+216% YoY in H2) and set to dominate 2025 earnings. Strong liquidity, debt below 1.1x pro-forma, US tax credits, and massive EPS revisions...
The lithium market has been in a severe bear market. Delays in major projects like Zijin Mining's 3Q Project could roughly balance the market from 2026 to 2028. Booming EV and BESS sales, if they continue, could cause large lithium deficits from 2029 onwards. Strong lithium demand and potential deficits set up a favorable scenario for patient investors in quality junior lithium miners over the ...
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