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I've updated my investment framework to eliminate overlap, clarify pillars, and better guide my dividend growth investing strategy. The new model focuses on three pillars: company-specific factors, economic fundamentals, and external risks and opportunities. I prioritize leading economic indicators over lagging data like GDP, aiming to predict business cycles and buy cyclical stocks at opportun...
AI is a transformative megatrend, likely to disrupt white-collar jobs and reshape industries more profoundly than most anticipate. Generative AI threatens up to 30% of workforce tasks, with STEM, business, and administrative roles most at risk; blue-collar jobs are safer for now. Job security is declining, making it crucial for individuals to invest and build financial safety nets amid rising u...
Gary, Indiana's decline mirrors the Midwest's industrial collapse, with abandoned factories and rising poverty. Offshoring and job losses fueled economic divides and political change. Re-shoring U.S. manufacturing faces hurdles like labor shortages, but tariffs and global risks are driving long-term opportunities in infrastructure and logistics. My stock picks target construction, energy, and t...
I rate Comfort Systems a Strong Buy with a fair value of $563, driven by robust demand in data centers and chip fabs. The company benefits from US manufacturing policy tailwinds and major tech investments, fueling organic growth and value-accretive acquisitions. Comfort Systems boasts accelerating revenue, record backlog, and margin expansion potential, supported by disciplined M&A and operatin...
HOUSTON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (NYSE: FIX) (“Comfort Systems USA”), a leading provider of commercial, industrial and institutional heating, ventilation, air conditioning and electrical contracting services, today announced that its Board of Directors has approved an amendment to Comfort Systems USA's stock repurchase program to increase the shares authorized and remaining a...
I focus on anticipating market shifts, applying a big-picture, thematic approach to find alpha where others aren't looking. Despite market fragility and high valuations, I'm actively buying cyclical dividend growth stocks before broader sentiment turns positive. Early signs of economic improvement suggest cyclical sectors, especially industrials and transportation, offer exceptional long-term r...
The article provides a methodology for selecting high-growth dividend-paying stocks, focusing on dividend growth and sustainability rather than high current yield. We use our proprietary models to rate quantitatively and qualitatively, and select the top ten names from an initial list of nearly 400 dividend stocks. The final list of ten stocks is chosen based on sector diversity, high-growth qu...
I have been putting far more capital to work this year than I expected, taking advantage of volatility and strong risk/reward setups, not perfect timing. Fearful headlines and trade uncertainty keep many sidelined, but I believe downturns offer the best long-term buying opportunities. My five largest holdings now make up half my portfolio, reflecting deep conviction. In this article, I present ...
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