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U.S. equity markets stumbled this week as unexpectedly hawkish Fed commentary clashed with fragile risk sentiment, muting investor relief over the deal to end the longest-ever government shutdown. December rate cut odds dipped below 50% after Fed officials firmly pushed back on rate-cut expectations, citing uneven inflation progress, pockets of financial-market froth, and the economic-data blac...
Over 200 U.S. REITs and homebuilders have reported third-quarter earnings results over the past five weeks, providing critical information on the state of the commercial and residential real estate industry. Overall, REIT earnings results were marginally better than consensus expectations despite a handful of high-profile flops that overshadowed some impressive individual results across a balan...
REITs offer compelling value and income, with VNQ yielding 3.8% versus the S&P 500's 1.1%, and trade at historically wide valuation discounts. The current macro environment favors high-quality, undervalued dividend stocks, as falling long-term rates could boost demand for income-generating assets like REITs. REITs demonstrate strong financial health, stable dividends, and sector diversity, maki...
Alexandria Real Estate is rated Hold due to near-term headwinds despite an attractive long-term valuation and sector leadership. ARE faces multi-year oversupply, declining occupancy, and management guidance for a 27% FFO drop in 2026, raising concerns about dividend safety. While ARE trades at a low 8.5x forward FFO, a lack of catalysts and a possible dividend cut suggest waiting for stabilizat...
Alexandria Real Estate (ARE) plunged 25% after Q3 2025 results, driven by oversupply fears and weak 2026 FFO guidance. ARE's operational performance is softening, but the sell-off appears overdone given its A-tier assets, strong balance sheet, and high retained earnings. The sharp decline in 2026 FFO guidance is largely accounting-related, as capitalized interest costs will be expensed.
U.S. equity markets stumbled this week as stretched tech valuations collided with weakening consumer and labor market data, while the economic drag and uncertainty from the ongoing government shutdown build. Now it's real? The shutdown has now halted fiscal flows into several sizable government benefits programs - a sudden onset of fiscal austerity that could have non-trivial disinflationary im...
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