Dynex Capital and AGNC Investment posted substantial 2025 book value gains from agency MBS spread tightening. Current low earnings multiples for DX and AGNC are misleading, as recent results are driven by one-time unrealized gains. Common dividends for both mREITs are unsustainably supported by unrealized gains; long-term cuts are likely as recurring earnings lag payouts.
Multiple mortgage REITs fell by over 10% on the day. The stock driving the bus of bad dropped 33% on Friday and is continuing lower today. Preferred shares and baby bonds have consistently outperformed on a risk-adjusted basis, prompting a portfolio shift towards these instruments for better yield and stability.
AGNC's 34.8% total return in 2025 nearly doubled the S&P 500 performance. AGNC yields 12.16% by investing in government-backed Agency MBS protected from credit losses.
AGNC is benefiting from an improved environment for mortgage-backed securities The company has seen its tangible book value start to rebound. The stock's 12% yield is attractive, and lower funding costs should keep its dividend stable.
Barron's NewYear 2026 Roundtable highlights 74 select stocks, emphasizing high-yield 'dogcatcher' analysis for dividend-focused investors. Annaly Capital Management and Rogers Communications stand out as 'safer' dividend dogcatcher ideal candidates based on free cash flow coverage. Top ten Barron's Pro Picks offer projected average net gains of 22.45% by January 2027, with risk/volatility 26% b...
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