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Kennzahlen
📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 20,52 Mrd. € | Umsatz (TTM) = 5,93 Mrd. €
Marktkapitalisierung = 20,52 Mrd. € | Umsatz erwartet = 4,46 Mrd. €
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 33,32 Mrd. € | Umsatz (TTM) = 5,93 Mrd. €
Enterprise Value = 33,32 Mrd. € | Umsatz erwartet = 4,46 Mrd. €
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Terna Aktie Analyse
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Analystenmeinungen
24 Analysten haben eine Terna Prognose abgegeben:
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aktien.guide Basis
Terna — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Terna's Q1 2026 Consolidated Results Presentation. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I'd like to hand the conference over to our host, Stefano Gamberini, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.
Thanks a lot. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Terna's First Quarter 2026 Results Presentation. The call will be hosted by our CFO, Francesco Beccali. And following the presentation, we will have the Q&A session. So we kindly ask you to send any questions you might have to our e-mail address, [email protected]. I leave the floor to Francesco, please.
Thank you, Stefano, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me start by sharing with you the key highlights of the first quarter of 2026. Regarding infrastructure, in Q1 2026, 10 projects aimed at developing the national transmission grid were authorized by the Ministry of Environment and Energy Security and the relevant regional authorities for a total value of approximately EUR 167 million. This confirms our ability to streamline internal processes and our constructive collaboration with the authorities, enabling shorter approval time lines.
In terms of execution, let me remind you that in early January '26, the installation of the first submarine cable of the Tyrrhenian Link western branch between Sicily and Sardinia was completed, reaching a record depth of 2,150 meters, below the sea level. In addition, in April, we completed the installation of the eastern section of the Tyrrhenia Link, making the conclusion of submarine works between Campania and Sicily. Finally, in line with the strategic refocusing outlined in the update of our 2024-'28 industrial plan, in February, we signed a binding agreement for the sale of 100% of Terna Peru, as part of the enhancement of our power transmission assets in South America. The transaction is valued at approximately USD 15 million with closing expected by the third quarter of 2026.
Coming to finance and confirming once again the group's strong commitment to a business model that reinforces sustainability as a strategic lever for value creation. In January, we issued an EUR 850 million hybrid green bond, achieving a record low subordination premium for corporate hybrid instruments in Europe, below 60 basis points.
In addition, in March, Terna signed an ESG-linked Credit Facility agreement for a total amount of EUR 100 million, the facility has a 5-year maturity with an interest rate also linked to Terna's performance against specific environmental, social and governance indicators.
On the ESG side, our continuous commitment to sustainability is also recognized externally by different institutional bodies. In the first quarter of 2026, Terna achieved the Top 1% distinction, the highest possible recognition in the Sustainability Yearbook 2026 of S&P Global based on the result of the 2025 Corporate Sustainability Assessment, where Terna ranked first worldwide.
In the same period, Standard Ethics, a leading international non-financial rating agency, confirmed Terna's EE+ corporate rating, corresponding to a very strong assessment, positioning the group in the top sustainable range and among the leaders in the utility sector.
We have also recently learned that MSCI has upgraded Terna's ESG rating to AAA, the highest possible level, thereby placing the company among the leaders in the utility sector. Moreover, Terna was confirmed in the main ESG indices in which its already included. The STOXX Global ESG Leaders Index, where the group has been listed since 2011. Euronext Sustainable Index and the MIB ESG Index, Italy's blue chip index dedicated to best practices in environmental, social and governance matters.
Let me now briefly touch on the evolution of the Italian electricity system. Since the beginning of the year, we have already seen encouraging progress. Starting with renewables, more than 1.6 gigawatts of new capacity have been installed over the last 3 months. Overall connection request remained broadly stable. But more importantly, projects that have been secured, preliminary connection solutions rose to about 84 gigawatt from 79 gigawatt at the end of December. Ready-to-build pipeline also adds up to around 12 gigawatts versus about 11 gigawatt at the end of last year.
Turning to storage, around 1 gigawatt-hour of new capacity was installed in the first quarter of the year. In addition, with the decree#95 of 27 of March 2026, the Italian Ministry of Environment and Energy Security approved Terna's proposal for a new MACSE auction for 2029 delivery. Approval of the auction volume up to 16 gigawatt-hour is expected shortly, and the auction is likely to take place by year-end. As of the storage pipeline, overall connection requests remained broadly in line with December level at around 300 gigawatt, while projects that have obtained preliminary authorization increased to around 63 gigawatts, up from 56 gigawatts at the end of December. Ready-to-build projects also increased, reaching around 8 gigawatts compared to 6.8 gigawatts in December.
Let's now turn to the overview of the electricity demand evolution moving to the next slide. As you can appreciate in this chart, in the first quarter of 2026 national electricity demand continued to confirm the upward trend observed since last September, reaching around 80 terawatt-hour, up 3% year-on-year. During the period, renewable sources covered about 36% of total demand, improving versus last year when the share was approximately 34%.
National net electricity production amounted to around 68 terawatt hour up 4.1% year-on-year and with renewables covering roughly 42% of domestic production from around 41% in the first quarter of 2025. The growth in renewable electricity generation was mainly driven by photovoltaic and wind, which increased their production by 19.2% and 26.3%, respectively. Given the data center deployments are expected to be a key long-term driver of electricity demand, let me briefly update you on data center connection request.
As of end March, data center connection request totaled around 83 gigawatt up by approximately 13 gigawatts compared with end 2025, confirming that Italy is increasingly perceived by investors as a reliable platform for energy-intensive digital infrastructure.
Turning now to the main figures of the period. In the first 3-months of 2026, the group achieved satisfactory results across P&L lines. Indeed, group revenues and EBITDA rose by 10% and 7%, respectively, equating to increase of EUR 87 million and EUR 46 million compared to the first 3-months of 2025. We also reported a group net income of EUR 277 million, broadly in line with the same period of last year, despite higher IRAP taxation introduced by the energy decree for 2026 and 2027. Adjusting the first quarter 2025 figures for this effect, net income is in the first quarter of 2026, would be up 4%. Group CapEx amounted to EUR 511 million, down 9% versus the first quarter of last year due to a different timing of investments.
At the end of March 2026, net debt stood at EUR 12.2 billion, approximately EUR 800 million lower than the value registered in 2025 year-end of about EUR 13 billion, mainly as a consequence of the EUR 850 million hybrid issuance accounted as equity. For a deep analysis of the first quarter figures, let's now turn to the next slide.
Revenues posted a significant increase of around 10% in the first quarter, reaching EUR 989 million. Regulated activities grew by 5% to EUR 795 million, while the most significant acceleration was driven by Non-Regulated activities, which rose by over 30% to EUR 194 million. Let me now take a closer look at the evolution of revenues turning to Slide #9.
Regulated revenues reached EUR 795 million, with an increase of 5% compared to the same period of last year. The growth was mainly driven by the higher RAB and the recognized depreciation from new assets entered onstream. A change in consolidation perimeter following the acquisition of part of Rome's high-voltage grid from Acea closed in September 2025, and only partially offset by lower fast-money component following the update of the notional capitalization rate for the 2026, '27 regulatory period. No change in revenues, however, arises from the WACC, which remains unchanged at 5.5%, in line with the previous period.
Non-Regulated revenues reached EUR 194 million, up 32% versus last year. The Equipment segment grew by around 20%, supported by a strong market environment and higher order intake with both Brugg Cables and Tamini Group as key contributors. Revenues for the Energy Services segment grew by EUR 25 million following also the acquisition of STE Energy in May 2025.
Now let's go through operating cost analysis. As you can see in this chart, total operating costs stood at around EUR 291 million, 17% higher than last year. In Regulated Activities, the cost base rose by 11%, mainly due to higher external and other costs. Labor was up by 4%, largely due to a higher average headcount. This increase was mostly offset by higher capitalization. Non-Regulated OpEx dynamics were mainly impacted by higher service costs related to the development of activities in the Energy Services and Equipment segment and higher raw material costs.
Let me now analyze EBITDA moving to the next slide. Thanks to the acceleration in revenue, in the first quarter of 2026, group EBITDA reached EUR 698 million, 7% higher than the previous year. The increase was mainly attributable to regulated activities, which contributed for about EUR 26 million more versus last year, showing an EBITDA of EUR 652 million. Non-Regulated Activities EBITDA rose by approximately 80% to EUR 46 million, plus EUR 20 million versus last year. The increase was led by the Equipment business, reflecting both stronger market revenues and margin expansion. Energy Services also reported very strong acceleration, mainly thanks to the consolidation of STE Energy from May 2025.
Let's now have a look to the lower part of the P&L, turning to the next slide. D&A amounted to EUR 248 million. The increase versus last year was mainly due to the impact of new assets coming on stream during the period. As a consequence, EBIT reached EUR 450 million, up 4% versus the first quarter of last year. Net financial expenses were EUR 47 million, up EUR 8 million versus last year, mainly reflecting a higher average debt level in the first quarter of 2026 versus 2025, along with higher interest rates on new financings compared to the average cost of existing debt. The cost of debt in the first quarter 2026 was around 2.7%. Taxes stood at EUR 125 million, EUR 7 million higher versus last year, attributable to the higher profit before tax and to the temporary 2 percentage point increase in the IRAP tax rate for '26 and '27. Our tax rate was 31.1% versus 30.1% in the first quarter of 2025.
As a result, group net income reached EUR 277 million, broadly in line with the same period of last year, adjusting the first quarter of 2025 figures for higher IRAP tax introduced by the so-called energy decree, net income in the first quarter of 2026 would be up 4%.
Moving to CapEx analysis. In the first 3 months of 2026, total CapEx amounted to EUR 511 million, down compared to the same period of last year. Of this amount, approximately EUR 463 million were invested in the Regulated Activities. Among the main projects of the period, it is worth mentioning the Tyrrhenian Link, the Chiaramonte Gulfi-Ciminna power line, the Sa.Co.I.3 and the Adriatic Link. In addition, we should also consider the investments envisaged under our defense plan, which are essential to ensure grid resilience and security, including the installation of synchronous compensators, shunt reactors and damping register systems. As far as CapEx categories are concerned, development CapEx represented 57% of our total regulated CapEx. Defense CapEx stood at 10%, while asset renewal and efficiency was 33% of the total.
Non Regulated and Other CapEx reached EUR 49 million. This mainly included capitalized financial charges and other investments. Let me underline that the year-on-year decrease mainly reflects a different timing of investments with spending more concentrated in the second half of the year as well as a higher comparison base in early 2025.
Regarding net debt and cash flow analysis. Now turn to the next slide. At the end of March 2026, net debt stood at EUR 12.2 billion, around EUR 0.8 billion below the 2025 year-end level, reflecting our continued discipline in managing leverage. Cash flow generation was around EUR 510 million, enabling us to fund almost all the CapEx spending during the quarter. Let me also reiterate that our financial policy focuses on efficiency and on maintaining a solid, sustainable capital structure. In this context, net debt at the end of March includes the benefit of the EUR 850 million Hybrid Green Bond issued in January accounted as equity.
Let's now make a deeper analysis of our debt profile. Moving to Slide 15. At the end of March 2026, the fixed to floating ratio on gross debt stood at around 75%, with an average debt duration of approximately 6 years. In full alignment with the group strategy, Terna aims to position itself as one of the leading players in the sustainable finance market, an approach that was further confirmed in the first quarter of 2026. As of March 2026, senior green bonds issued under our two Euro Medium Term Notes programmes amounted to EUR 3.75 billion. These are complemented by 3 perpetual subordinated green hybrid bond issuances for a total of EUR 2.7 billion, including a third tranche issued in January 2026 of EUR 850 million just mentioned. This latest transaction represents Terna's first perpetual subordinated hybrid nonconvertible European Green Bond issued at a record low subordination premium for corporate hybrid instrument in Europe, below 60 basis points.
In addition, Terna can rely on a solid ESG-linked loan structure, including ESG-linked term loans for a total of EUR 2.6 billion as well as 3 ESG-linked revolving facilities key performance indicators for approximately EUR 4.3 billion. This is complemented by a EUR 2 billion commercial paper program providing further flexibility in shorter-termfunding.
Before we move to the Q&A, let me briefly highlight that in the current context of rising geopolitical tensions, the expansion of renewables is crucial to strengthening energy independence and helping stabilize electricity price level. The first quarter of 2026, the energy transition advanced further with around 1.6 gigawatts of new renewable capacity and 1 gigawatt-hour of new storages added. Key pipeline indicators also continue to improve, notably ready-to-build projects as well as ones that have already secured preliminary authorization. Regarding targets, given the strong performance delivered in the first 3 months, we confirm the full 2026 guidance shared in March. Thank you for your attention. We are now ready for the Q&A session.
Thanks, Francesco. Let's now open the Q&A section. Okay. We grouped some questions by topic. So let's start with the first one.
Can you quantify the contribution from output-based incentive in the first quarter.
In this quarter, there was no contribution coming from OBI. It will be recognized during the year when there will be the certainty in line with the accounting principles.
And what is the level of out-based incentive you expect for the full year and for the next years?
Well, as we already stated in March, for the current year, considering both dispatching and interzonal and including the potential grants incentive, we expect to book over EUR 200 million of incentives overall. For what concerns coming years, let me remind you that in the existing industrial plan update guidance, are based on OBI's assumption of about EUR 900 million cumulated. EUR 360 million more or less of which are accounted in 2024. Mostly of this amount, it refers to the existing output-based incentive framework and only a residual part is related to the new ROSS Integrale scheme. The higher performance that we registered in 2025 should be considered on top of this cumulated amount and not as an anticipation of incentives planned in following years. For any consideration regarding future periods though, including those beyond 2028, i.e., the end of the existing strategic plan, we believe it is appropriate to postpone a detailed discussion later on where we could have greater visibility on the ROSS Integrale incentive scheme, and we also expect to present the new investor plan of the company.
Now could you provide more color on the contribution from fast money in this first quarter and for the rest of the year?
Well, fast money contribution in 2026 grid fee is equal to about EUR 65 million. On the quarter, as the old components of the grid fee, the contribution is regularly split. So for this reason, the fast money impact in the first quarter is about EUR 15 million.
Now moving to regulation. What are your expectation for regulatory developments over the remainder of the year? Do you expect more details on how the full ROSS will work?
But one of the fourthcoming coming decisions, expected from ARERA relates for sure, the potential next steps on the ROSS regulation, which is aimed at further aligning the TSO objective with the overall interest of the whole system. The authority currently provides no information on when the consultation paper, on the ROSS incentive schemes will be presented. So given that the application of the schemes under the existing resolution is also envisaged for 2026 and 2027 period. It is possible that ARERA may open a public consultation process later this year.
Now moving to WACC. What is the mark-to-market 2027 WACC base based on? For what do you expect the regulator could change the bucket of peers?
From a mark-to-market perspective for 2027, the current -- let me remind and restate that the current geopolitical situation and the resulting volatility both in energy and financial markets, as well as in macroeconomic conditions suggest caution in extrapolating any short-term signals. We can express some potential outcomes only in the following months. As part of the consultation process for this interim update or for the whole WACC period renewal, ARERA could revise the current bucket of comparators in case recent trends in the interest rate spread or credit rating may persist. The regulator has not provided any indication today such changes are being considered.
Now moving to the CapEx. Could you explain why first quarter '26 CapEx were down 9% compared to the same period of last year?
The lower CapEx performance in the first quarter of 2026 versus the first quarter of last year reflects a different timing profile as we stated in the presentation, with investments more concentrated in the second half of the year and also a base effect due to spending anticipated in the first quarter of 2025. This is mainly reflected in different relevant mile stones in the Sa.Co.I.3 project for example and in the synchronous compensator plan, all included in the security plan. Nevertheless, let me be clear on the fact that we do confirm the full year investment guidance.
Could you comment on the 10 year project authorized in the first quarter '26 at least in addition to the EUR 17.7 billion CapEx plan. When are they expected?
Some of these projects are part of the 2024-'28 CapEX plan, only a remaining part concerns projects after the business plan horizon. Let me remind you that all these projects account for a total amount of EUR 167 million.
Now moving to the Non-Regulated activities growth. Should we consider a growth trend in the remaining part of the year similar to the first quarter?
Well, Stefano in the first quarter Non-Regulated activities recorded a very strong acceleration with EBITDA up by more than 80%. As we said, the increase was led both by the Equipment business, reflecting a very dynamic market and the Energy Services thanks to the consolidation of STE Energy. However, the trend of growth could not be taken as a reference for the full year results. In -- from this perspective, we remind you that we expect a low double-digit growth in Non-Regulated Activities EBITDA in 2026.
Could you comment on how the current geopolitical situation may impact Terna CapEx and earnings plan, you think the investment opportunities have improved following the Middle East conflict?
The current geopolitical situation in Middle East does not entail any direct impact on Terna. This is primarily due to our regulated nature, with a regulatory framework that provides strong visibility on returns and offers protection against inflation. In addition, our investment plan is focused on domestic infrastructure, which significantly limits our exposure to international volatility in general. That said, we do acknowledge that geopolitical tensions could have some indirect effects, particularly on the cost of certain key materials and on supply chain dynamics. For these reasons, we have already put in place mitigation measures and [indiscernible] project time line and preserving capital expendiuture discipline.
In conclusion, let me remind you that about 90% of our CapEx plan is covered by existing procurement contracts. Looking at the broader system level, the current scenario further reinforces the strategic relevance of the energy transition and of the grid development. It highlights the need to accelerate progress towards energy independence. In Italy, today, this can only be achieved by focusing on renewables and green grid investment.
Now about the IRAP tax expectation, do you think there is a risk of an extension beyond 2027?
For what concerns IRAP, the decree foresees the application of additional 2% taxation only for 2026 and '27, and this is the only financial impact on Terna current accounts.
Where do you expect net debt to land by year-end?
Considering the hybrid issuance and based on the guidance provided on CapEx and net profit, we expect an increase of net debt at the end of 2026 which would be slightly below the one registered in '25.
Okay. And are you planning any further hybrid bond issuance in the next 12 months?
Well, as always, let me state that our balance sheet is currently solid and does not require an increase in the outstanding hybrid component. At the same time though, the company maintains a flexible and opportunistic approach and at evaluating potential market opportunities.
Considering the significant volumes of investment envisaged for 2026, do you see a need of any action to better underpin your balance sheet solidity?
Let me be very clear on this point. Our financial position will remain solid also in 2026, also thanks to the hybrid issuance completed in January. In this respect, let me also reiterate that our CapEx plan through 2028 is fully sustainable from a financial standpoint. This has also been clearly confirmed by the rating upgrades that we received in 2025 from both Standard & Poor's and Moody's, following similar rating actions that occur to the Italian sovereign, and these decisions reaffirm the strength of our capital structure over the business plan horizon without the need for additional financial instruments. That said, if it will be required as of today, the range of flexibility tools that we could consider includes, on the one hand, the remaining hybrid issuance capacity as well as the possibility of securing additional public contributions to further strengthen the financial structure and also evaluating options to monetize our Non-Regulated Activities.
We have the last question remaining. What could we expect -- sorry, when could we expect Terna to publish an update of the business plan? It is realistic to expect it is already in H2 '26?
Well, according to our 2026 financial calendar, the new industrial plan is expected during the second half of the year. Any update on the date of the industrial plan presentation will be communicated to the market through an update of the financial calendar, also considering the renewal of the Board that is going to be formalized in the next assembly on May 12.
Very well. Thank you, Francesco. We completed our Q&A. So we think that we addressed all the main topics. And as always, the Investor Relations team is available for any follow-up or additional questions you may have. Thank you for joining our presentation and have a great evening.
Thanks, everyone. Bye-bye.
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Terna — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Terna — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Solide Q1-Ergebnisse: Umsatz +10% und EBITDA +7%, Guidance 2026 bestätigt; Fokus auf Netzausbau, Nachhaltigkeitsfinanzierung und Non‑Reg‑Wachstum.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: EUR 989 Mio. (+10% YoY)
- EBITDA: EUR 698 Mio. (+7% YoY)
- Nettoergebnis: EUR 277 Mio., in etwa auf Vorjahresniveau (adjustiert +4% ohne IRAP-Effekt)
- CapEx: EUR 511 Mio. (-9% YoY, Timing‑Effekt)
- Nettofinanzschuld: EUR 12,2 Mrd. Ende März (≈EUR 0,8 Mrd. unter 2025‑Jahresende)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Genehmigungen: 10 Netzprojekte autorisiert (≈EUR 167 Mio.), schnellere Genehmigungsdauern hervorgehoben
- Projektexecution: Fertigstellung erster Seekabelabschnitte Tyrrhenian Link; Fortschritte bei großen Leitungsprojekten
- Portfolio‑Fokus: Verkauf Terna Peru (100%) für ≈USD 15 Mio., Abschluss erwartet bis Q3 2026 als Konsolidierungsmaßnahme
- ESG‑Finanzierung: EUR 850 Mio. Hybrid‑Green‑Bond und EUR 100 Mio. ESG‑linked Kredit; externe Ratings stark (S&P Sustainability Top 1%, MSCI AAA, Standard Ethics EE+)
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance: Volljährige 2026‑Prognose bestätigt (Bestätigung der im März kommunizierten Zahlen)
- Incentives (OBI): Für 2026 werden über EUR 200 Mio. erwartete Anreize genannt; kumulative Planannahme bis 2028 ≈EUR 900 Mio.
- Non‑Reg: Management erwartet ein niedrig zweistelliges EBITDA‑Wachstum in 2026 (Q1 nicht vollständig repräsentativ)
- Verschuldungserwartung: Net Debt dürfte bis Jahresende ansteigen, aber weiterhin leicht unter dem 2025‑Level liegen
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- OBI‑Timing: Keine OBI‑Buchungen in Q1; Erträge werden erst bei Rechnungslegungs‑Sicherheit erfasst; Detailfragen zu ROSS/ROSS Integrale offen
- Fast‑Money: Jahresbeitrag Grid Fee ≈EUR 65 Mio.; Q1‑Effekt ≈EUR 15 Mio.
- CapEx‑Profil: Q1‑Rückgang erklärt durch Timing und Meilensteine (Sa.Co.I.3 u. a.); Jahres‑CapEx‑Guidance unverändert
- Regulatorik/WACC: ARERA‑Entscheidungen und mögliche Anpassung des Peer‑Buckets bleiben Unsicherheitsfaktoren; IRAP‑Zuschlag befristet für 2026‑27
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Terna zeigt operative Stabilität und finanziellen Spielraum: starke ESG‑Finanzierung, sichtbare Projektfortschritte und bestätigte Jahresziele. Kurzfristige Upside‑Treiber sind Non‑Reg‑Wachstum und OBI‑Zahlungen; Hauptrisiken bleiben regulatorische WACC‑Entscheidungen, Incentive‑Unsicherheiten (ROSS) und Inputkosten/Supply‑Chain‑Effekte.
Terna — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Terna's Full Year 2025 Consolidated Results Presentation. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would like to hand the conference over to our host speaker today, Mr. Stefano Gamberini, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Terna's Full Year 2025 Results Presentation. The call will be hosted by our CEO and General Manager, Giuseppina Di Foggia; and our CFO, Francesco Beccali. Following the presentation, we will have the Q&A session. So we kindly ask you to send any questions you might have to our e-mail address, [email protected]. Please Giuse.
Thank you, Stefano. Good afternoon, everyone. Let me start by giving you an overview of the key highlights of 2025. This year confirms we are on track with the execution of our plan while accelerating investments in maintaining financial strength.
In March 2025, we updated our 2024-2028 industrial plan. Total investment now stands at EUR 17.7 billion, 7% higher compared with the previous version of our plan and with a consistent plus 77% versus the 2022 plan. Out of this amount, EUR 16.6 billion are allocated to regulated investments.
As of today, this is Terna's largest investment program. At the beginning of last year, we also presented our national development plan. It foresees more than EUR 23 billion of investments between 2025 and 2034. Once projects in this plan are completed, the transmission capacity between Southern and Northern Italy will increase from 16 to 39 gigawatts.
Our execution remains strong. In 2025, we obtained authorizations for 38 projects representing around EUR 1 billion of investments. Overall, about 92% of the 2024-2028 plan is now authorized. On procurement, 88% of the CapEx plan is already secured through contracts. Financially, we remain solid.
In 2025, our long-term ratings were upgraded by both Moody's and Standard & Poor's, reflecting similar actions taken regarding the Republic of Italy. We issued EUR 1.5 billion of green bonds. Today, around 80% of our funding is raised through ESG-linked debt instruments. In January 2026, we issued an EUR 850 million hybrid green bond. We achieved a record low subordination premium below 60 basis points for a corporate hybrid in Europe.
Operationally, in 2025, we delivered solid performance ahead of guidance with EBITDA growing by 7% and net income up 5%. Investments markedly accelerated by 31%, reaching EUR 3.5 billion. Let me briefly turn to the Italian electricity system. In 2025, the energy transition continued to move forward with around 7 gigawatts of new renewable capacity stalled.
We also launched the first auctions under the long-term scheme FER X and MACSE. Moving now to the integration of renewables. Installed wind and solar capacity reached 57 gigawatts at the end of 2025 with an increase of 7 gigawatts compared with the previous year. The pace remains aligned with the trajectory towards the 2030 National Energy and Climate Plan target. On top of this, more than 22 gigawatts of renewable capacity have already been contracted through the long-term support schemes designed by the Italian government.
These projects are expected to enter into operation over the coming years. Looking ahead, once the updated FER X framework is approved at European level, the system will be on a credible and sustainable path to the 2030 targets. This will be supported by the capacity market, MACSE an innovative long-term storage procurement scheme managed by Terna on behalf of institutions and Terna's grid investments.
At the beginning of 2026, transmission level connection request stood at around 326 gigawatts. The reduction from last year is actually a positive signal showing a more consolidated pipeline and stronger project quality. Indeed, projects that have already secured preliminary connection solution increased to 79 gigawatts in January 2026 compared with 52 gigawatts at the end of 2024.
This volume already exceeds the additional capacity required to meet the national 2030 targets. Overall, renewable deployment continues at scale with a progressively more mature pipeline. This brings us to storage. Next slide. The growth of renewables requires a parallel scale-up of storage. Installed battery storage increased from around 13 gigawatt hours in 2024 to almost 18 gigawatt hours in 2025. In recent years, storage capacity have increased mainly thanks to the development of utility scale assets contracted through the capacity market scheme to guarantee system adequacy.
In the coming years, storage capacity will continue to grow alongside renewables supported by MACSE auctions. And this has already started. The FER, MACSE auction was held in September 2025. 10 gigawatt towers were awarded with delivery expected by 2028. The auction was significantly oversubscribed offers received. We are more than 4x higher than the auction demand with the average awarded price 1/3 of the reserve premium.
Similarly to renewables, we have around 300 gigawatts of connection requests from storage plants and several gigawatts of projects either with a clearance or ready to build. Already today, project with the clearance exceeded by far 2030 system needs. Summing up this slide, MACSE provides a highly innovative framework to support the development of storage technologies.
Turning now to Italian electricity demand. In 2025, national electricity demand reached 311 terawatt hours, broadly stable year-on-year. Renewables covered 41% of demand and 48% of domestic production. Photovoltaic generation exceeded 44 terawatt hours, up more than 25%, while hydroelectric production returned to more standard levels after the record seen in 2024.
Net total production reached 268 terawatt hours, up 2% as a consequence of the reduction of net import flows. In the first two months of 2026, demand has increased by 3.1%, confirming the upward trend observed from last September. Looking forward, we expect that demand will increase driven by both electrification as well as the deployment of data centers. As of today, there are around 80 gigawatts of connection requests from data centers confirming that the Italian electricity grid is considered reliable by investors.
These connections require very high-quality power supply, redundancy in the grid and efficient authorization processes. Terna has started aligning grid planning with this expected expansion of digital infrastructure. Moving on to infrastructure development. Execution remains a key focus. Between 2023 and 2025, we obtained authorization for more than EUR 6 billion of projects. Today, around 92% of the 2024-2028 CapEx plan is authorized on procurement contracts signed over the same period amount to approximately EUR 11.6 billion. 88% of our 2024-2028 CapEx plan is already secured by contracts.
This provides strong visibility on delivery. In the period 2023 to 2025, around EUR 5.5 billion of projects entered into operation. Looking now at our main projects. On the Tyrrhenian Link, we completed the installation of the first marine cables both on the Western and Eastern branches. For the Adriatic Link, construction sites for substations and underground cables were opened in 2025. Finally, Sa.Co.I.3 connecting Sardinia, Corsica and Tuscany advanced with the first phase of the overhead line in Corsica. Concluding authorization, procurement and constructions are progressing in parallel, significantly stepping up our execution.
Next slide, please. The changing generation mix is reducing system in Asia and short circuit power. As a result, the power system reacts faster and more sharply to disturbances, making it increasingly challenging to ensure supply, quality and security. What happened in the Bering and Peninsula in April 2025 clearly highlighted these risks. The security plan 2025-2028 provides, among other measures, a deployment plan for electrical equipment partially already in operation aimed at improving system stability and regulation, 27 synchronous condensers out of which 17 already in service, 25 reactors with 16 already in service, 25 stabilizing resistors, the first one installed in 2025 to enhance dynamic stability.
In a faster and more complex system, a robust security plan means anticipating risk and ensuring a resilient and reliable energy system. Moving on to digitalization. Next slide. In 2025, we invested more than EUR 600 million in digital transformation. Firstly, process digitalization. We significantly broadened the scope of process digitalization.
At the same time, we ensure full compliance with the regulatory framework requirements. Secondly, Digital Twin. By creating a real-time virtual replica of our physical assets and systems, we enhanced our operational effectiveness covering over 60% of our operations. In the last two years, Terna has become a data-driven company.
In 2025, we focused on integrating artificial intelligence into a wide range of fields from procurement to finance, dispatching to maintenance, legal to HR. We have fostered a shared understanding to a dedicated awareness program for all employees. In addition, we have made significant progress on infrastructure resilience and cybersecurity.
We have accelerated the automation systems in our substations, ensuring full IT and telecom operability for critical assets. We have also strengthened business continuity announcing cybersecurity measures. Summing up, the commitment to digital transformation is a key pillar of Terna's strategy to manage the system more efficiently, proactively and at scale.
This brings us to innovation. In our approach, innovation focuses on anticipating and emerging trends, developing high-impact solutions and technologies and supporting their industrial adoption. In 2025, we developed 100 innovation projects, 17 of them have reached industrial validation and 65 are ongoing projects. In innovation culture, tailor isn't a setback, but a source of learning. That's why even when a project does move forward, it can generate insights that strengthen what comes next. Let me briefly highlight a few projects that have already reached industrial scale validation.
Grid forming technologies support system stability in a context of increasing renewable energy penetration. Operational improvement projects enhance safety and electrical infrastructure maintenance efficiency. Terna's [ works ] is an innovative hub, which simplifies data collection during site inspections and allows for real-time monitoring of grid works. Our corporate venture capital investment during the year totaled EUR 8 million in innovative startups.
We also obtained 9 patents. All in all, innovation is a [indiscernible] process aimed at delivering transformative impact. Turning now to sustainability. Terna is committing to reducing the CO2 emissions by 46% by 2030 compared to [ 29th ] levels. As of today, we have reduced Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 31%. We are also committed to setting a net zero target by 2050 according to the science-based target initiative guidelines.
We reduced the leakage rate of SF6, the insulating gas used in 9 voltage equipment by 27% compared with the last year. At the same time, 92% of the group's waste was recovered. The Terna Foundation is fully operational, addressing electric education and energy poverty for a just transition. We also continue to receive remarkable external ESG recognition. Terna is among the top 1% of electric utilities worldwide as recognized in Standard & Poor's Global Sustainability Yearbook. We have been recognized as best-in-class by Sustainalytics and as a top employer by the Top Employers Institute. As you can see in 2025, Terna has been confirmed as a global leader in sustainability.
Next slide, please, and our main results. In 2025, the group delivered strong results despite a demanding comparison with 2024. Revenues reached EUR 4.0 billion, up 10%. EBITDA increased by 7% to EUR 2.75 billion. Net income reached EUR 1.11 billion, up 5%. CapEx amounted to EUR 3.5 billion, up 31%. Net debt reached EUR 13 billion, reflecting the higher investment level. We delivered solid performance while accelerating investments. Now I'll hand over the CFO for a deeper look at the 2025 figures. Please, Francesco.
Thanks, Guise. Let's start as usual with revenue analysis. In 2025, total revenues increased by 10%, reaching EUR 4,033 billion, up by EUR 353 million versus last year. The growth was attributable both to regulated and nonregulated activities, which contributed for EUR 182 million and EUR 170 million, respectively. For a clearer view, let me take a closer look at the evolution of revenues turning to the next slide.
Regulated revenues reached EUR 3.279 billion with an increase of 6% compared to the previous year. Such growth was mainly driven by the increase in WACC, the early recognition in tariff of depreciation related to capital expenditure carried out starting from 2024 and the [ money ] component set on the conventional capitalization rate defined under the ROSS application. These factors more than offset the WACC reduction from [ 5.10% ] to 5.5% in 2025 and the lower out-based incentives contribution versus last year.
Nonregulated revenues reached EUR 764 million, recording a strong year-on-year growth of 29%. This performance was mainly driven by the higher contribution from the Equipment segment that includes Tamini and Brugg Cables as well as from the Energy Solutions segment, thanks to the increased volume of orders intake.
Now let's go through operating cost analysis. As you can see in the chart, total operating costs stood at around EUR 1.3 billion, 15% higher than last year. The regulated activities cost trend is mainly driven by the increase in labor and external costs, partially offset by higher capitalization.
Excluding the IFRS effect, the regulated operating expenses grew at a rate below 5%, reflecting the higher level of capitalization. Nonregulated OpEx dynamics were primarily related to the growing activities in energy services, Tamini and Brugg. This growth was mainly driven by higher business activities and costs for materials and procurement.
As of the end of 2025, the group's workforce amounted to 7,117 employees, an increase of 797 compared with 31st of December 2024. This increase is directly linked to the need to support the execution of the ambitious investment plan outlined in the update of the '24-'28 industrial plan and the expansion of nonregulated activities.
Regarding EBITDA, further analysis on to the next slide. Thanks to the acceleration in revenues. In 2025, group EBITDA reached EUR 2.8 billion, 7% higher than the previous year. The improvement was mainly attributable to regulated activities, which contributed for about EUR 150 million more versus last year, showing an EBITDA above EUR 2.6 billion.
EBITDA from nonregulated activities increased by more than 30% to EUR 140 million. Thanks to a very dynamic market, this growth is mainly attributable to the Equipment segment, driven both by higher market revenues and improved margins. The other businesses such as the Energy Solutions, Connectivity and private interconnector segment also contributed to the improvement in results.
Let's now have a look to the lower part of the P&L, turning to the next slide. D&A amounted to EUR 961 million. The increase versus last year figure was mainly due to the impact of new assets becoming operational in the period, net of lower impairment charges recorded during the period. As a consequence, EBIT reached EUR 1.790 billion, 7% higher versus 2024. We reported net financial expenses at EUR 182 million. The increase versus last year was mainly attributable to the new financing raised during 2025 and lower financial income in the period, partially mitigated by higher capitalized financial expenses.
The cost of debt was around 2.7% in the year. Taxes stood at EUR 495 million, EUR 40 million higher versus last year, and our tax rate was at 30.8%. As a result, group net income reached EUR 1.1 billion, 5% higher versus last year. Finally, let me remind you that under the dividend policy we announced in March last year, starting from 2025, the DPS is set at higher of two levels, the 4% annual growth based on the 2023 DPS of [indiscernible] per share and the EUR [ 0.5962 ] per share paid as the 2024 dividend, which effectively represents the floor for Terna's dividend policy.
As a result, the proposed dividend for 2025 is EUR 0.3962 per share, fully in line with our policy. Moving now to CapEx analysis. In 2025, total CapEx amounted to EUR 3.5 billion, about 31% higher than last year, demonstrating Terna's ability to consistently deliver on its commitments. Indeed, we invested about EUR 3.3 billion in regulated activities. Among the main projects of the period, it is worth mentioning the Tyrrhenian Link, the Sa.Co.I.3 , the Adriatic Link, the [indiscernible] power line and the modernization of the high-voltage grid in the locations which hosted the Winter Olympics in 2026. Moreover, we should also consider the investment envisage under our defense plan, which are essential to ensure grid resilience and security, including the installation of synchronous compensators, shunt reactors and dumping resistor systems. As far as CapEx categories are concerned, development CapEx represented 60%, in line with 2024 of our total regulated CapEx.
Defense CapEx stood at 13%, while asset renewal efficiency was 27%. Nonregulated and other CapEx reached EUR 193 million. This mainly included capitalized financial charges and other investments. Beyond our technical investments, let me remind you that last September, we completed the acquisition from [indiscernible] of high-voltage grid covering 481 kilometers of line and 3 primary substations.
This transaction supports more efficient network operations, particularly across the Rome metropolitan area. Now regarding net debt and cash flow analysis, let's turn to the next slide. The net debt at the end of 2025 was EUR 13 billion, around EUR 1.8 billion higher than 2024 year-end levels, primarily due to the CapEx acceleration made on the national grid and the dividend payment.
Cash flow generation for the period amounted to approximately EUR 2.5 billion, driven by around EUR 2.1 billion of operating cash flow and around EUR 436 million from working capital and other items. Thanks to our solid cash flow generation, we were able to cover more than 70% of CapEx spending in the period, and we estimate to reach an FFO to net debt ratio of around 14% in 2025. Let me give you a deeper analysis on our debt profile moving to Slide 22. The group's financial management is based on efficient criteria and the achievements and preservation of a solid and sustainable financial structure with the aim of mitigating potential financial risk.
Diversification of funding sources, balance between short and medium long-term instruments as well as the proactive debt management are the hallmarks of the adopted financial strategy. At the end of December 2025, we registered a fixed floating ratio on gross debt of around 78% with an average duration of approximately 6 years.
This solid financial structure was further recognized during the year by Moody's and Standard & Poor's Global Ratings, which respectively upgraded Terna's long-term ratings to Baa1 and A- following a similar action on the Republic of Italy. Now turning to our sustainable financing profile, which represents a core pillar of Terna's capital strategy, let's have a look at the next slide. Terna is the Italian leader in green bond issuance and one of the reference issuers in the European sustainable debt market.
Today, around 80% of our funding is raised through ESG debt instruments. Our outstanding green bonds, including hybrids, amounts to EUR 6.5 billion, alongside by EUR 4.7 billion of EB financing and EUR 2.5 billion of ESG-linked loans. These diversified structures ensures loan maturity, competitive pricing and strong alignment with our regulated investment plan. 2025 marked several important milestones. We secured long-term institutional financing to support the Adriatic Green project. We successfully launched our first European green bond with very strong demand.
We updated our green bond framework in line with evolving EU standards and received the highest possible external assessment. Additionally, it needs to be mentioned that in early 2026, we further strengthened our capital structure with the hybrid green bond issued at a record low subordination premium level.
These achievements confirm the robustness of our funding platform and reinforce Terna's positioning as a benchmark issuer in sustainable capital markets. Moving on to 2026 guidance now. For 2026, we expect revenues of approximately EUR 4.41 billion and EBITDA of EUR 2.93 billion, representing a yearly increase of around 9% and 7%, respectively. This growth is expected to translate into higher group net income, rising from EUR 1.11 billion in 2025 to more than EUR 1.12 billion in 2026. This net profit guidance includes the impact of about EUR 40 million of higher IRAP taxation related to the recent energy decree. Excluding this effect, we expect the underlying 2025 net profit growth of around 5% to continue in 2026. In terms of capital expenses, we plan to invest EUR 4.2 billion. Now I leave the floor to our CEO for the closing remarks. Giuse?
Thank you, Francesco. Let me close with 3 final considerations. First, our role in the system continues to grow. In the current context of rising geopolitical tensions, expanding renewables is key to energy independence and more stable electricity prices. And this requires continued investment in the transmission grid.
Renewables and storage installations are in line with the trajectory towards 2030 national targets. Looking ahead, we see a robust pipeline of request for connection with more than 22 gigawatts of new renewable capacity already contracted. Thanks to capacity market auctions, system adequacy is under control. Electricity demand is growing more slowly than expected, but electrification and new consumption from data centers are coming through strongly in the near term.
In this context, the transmission grid is becoming increasingly important and the role of the TSO is key to enabling the energy transition. Second, execution. With the EUR 17.7 billion of investments in our industrial plan, a high level of authorized projects and strong procurement coverage, we are delivering with discipline and visibility. We are progressing on major infrastructure projects, also thanks to EUR 3.5 billion of investments during the year.
Our anticipatory investments in security and grid resilience are what set our approach apart internationally. Digitalization and innovation are fully integrated into our strategy, and we are recognized as a global sustainability leader. Finally, financial results. Over the past three years, we have combined accelerating investments with a steady growth in earnings and dividends. In 2025, results grew by 5% despite a tough comparison with 2024.
We expect this trend to continue in 2026 before the impact of additional ERAP and Italian regional tax come through. We have maintained financial discipline and achieved rating upgrades. This reflects the strength of our regulated model and our focus on execution. In conclusion, looking ahead, our priorities remain clear: deliver the plan, support system security and flexibility, maintain a sound financial balance and create sustainable and predictable value. Thank you for your attention.
Thank you, Guise and Francesco. Let's now open the Q&A section. Okay. Guise, could you comment on how the current geopolitical situation may impact Terna and the Italian electricity system.
Well, let me start saying that the current geopolitical situation in the Middle East has no direct impact on Terna. Our business is regulated, and this gives us strong visibility on returns. It also protects us against inflation. And in addition, our investment plan focuses on domestic infrastructure, which limits the exposure to international volatility.
There may be some indirect effects mainly on the cost of key materials and supply chain dynamics -- and for this reason, we are already applying a mitigation strategies to preserve both time lines and capital expenditure discipline. Let me also recall that our regulatory framework protects us from increases in raw material prices.
Since these are recognized in the regulated asset base. Looking at the broader system level, the current scenario further reinforces the strategic relevance of the energy transition and of grid development. It shows the need to accelerate progress towards energy independence.
In Italy, today, this can only be achieved by focusing on renewable said investments. So overall, to conclude, we do not expect a material impact on term fundamentals -- and if anything, today's context further underlines the need for energy independence and the central role of electricity grid.
A follow-up on this. What is your view on the impact generated by the conflict in the electricity bill and which could be the potential solution?
Well, as I mentioned earlier, accelerating the installation of renewables is the only midterm solution to increase Italy's energy independence. More renewables mean less dependence on imported energy and commodities business stabilize and potentially reduce electricity prices for consumers.
Replacing gas generation with a cost-efficient renewable generation secured by long-term contracts, such as contracts for difference, produces two main effects. The first one is the, I would say, electricity price [indiscernible]. The [ puna ] decreases becomes less volatile and less dependent on the price of gas. We are already seeing this effect.
Since 2023, the number of hours in which the [ Puna ] price fell below EUR 30 per megawatt hour has increased, rising from 57 hours in 2023 to 195 hours in 2025. On 25 May 2025, the [ Puna ] was 0 for 6 consecutive hours. The second effect. The second effect, contract for difference reduce volatility in electricity builds up.
The guarantee stable revenues for generators, a more predictable procurement cost consumers regardless of fluctuations in the spot price for gas and electricity. According to GSE, Italy's Energy Services operator, the FER X auctions held in 2025 will generate benefits of roughly EUR 450 million per year.
Thanks to the development of renewables in the medium term, only around 1/3 of the electricity deal will depend on the volatile price of the fossil fuels. Today, that share is around 2/3. Finally, to conclude, it is worth calling that transmission cost already represent a limited component of the electricity bill. Terna share is around 4% of the bill and underline this 4% because it's lower than the EU average more than offset by the benefits generated for this system.
Very well. Now about renewables development target. What is your updated scenario.
Let me start by clarifying an important point. As regards the achievement of the 2030 National Energy and Climate Plan targets, -- we can rely on detailed forecast that reflect recent trends as well as the authorization already issued results of the auctions already held. Annual renewable installations are progressing consistently with the NECP trajectory.
This trajectory remains the benchmark for the pace and scale of renewable deployment in Italy. It also confirms that the annual installation rate is increasing. As of December 2025, we recorded 57 gigawatts of solar and wind capacity with about 15 gigawatts installed in the last 2 years, an additional 22 gigawatts of new renewable capacity to be connected to medium voltage and high voltage networks have already been authorized and contracted to auctions and others things.
And in addition, in recent years, about 2 to 3 gigawatts per year have been connected to low-voltage networks. And finally, we expect a new FER X auction in 2026, like similar insight to the previous one. These projections are aligned with the targets defined in the Italian National Energy and Climate Plan which foresees 107 gigawatts of wind and solar capacity installed by 2030. So to conclude, all this confirms that the targets are reached.
Now still on renewables. When can we expect the EU to approve the final FER X incentive scheme? And what is the real bottleneck for accelerating the installation of renewables.
The approval of the final FER X scheme by the European Commission is expected in the coming months. The auction calendar and the volumes to be auctioned will be defined once the scheme receives formal approval. The most recent major policy measure is the, the government decree issued on 20 February 2026 to address rising energy costs while also tackling structural issues in the Italian electricity system.
Alongside measures designed to support households and businesses, the decree introduces provisions to facilitate the integration of new renewable power plants. In particular, referring to the Article 7. The Article 7 deals with the virtual saturation of the grid, which in recent years has slowed down new connections. The decree revises how available grid capacity is calculated and accelerate the reallocation of grid connections that were reserved, but not used within the required time frame, thereby freeing up capacity for new investments.
And at the same time, the grid operator is required to provide more transparent and updated information while additional simplifications are introduced to speed up project integration. To conclude in summary, there are no real bottlenecks and the rough 15 gigawatts of new renewable capacity sold over the last two years proves this. But this decree should produce several positive effects. First, it will accelerate connection processes, simplify administrative procedures and also enable more efficient grid planning and implementation. This will also allow a more efficient allocation of capital.
Can you elaborate more regarding data center development would it impact your investment plan for development of the grid?
As I mentioned before during the presentation, grid connection request linked to the percent development has experienced a strong growth in recent years. The volumes requested are now almost 100x the currently sold capacity. And today, requests amount to around 80 gigawatts.
For this reason, the centers are expected to become one of the main drivers of electricity demand growth in the mid to long term. The key challenge is grid planning -- these facilities need extremely high-quality power supply, redundancy in the network and efficient authorization processes.
Without early coordination, effective network planning becomes difficult, which could lead to delays and higher costs. In Italy, we have already started aligning grid planning with this expected expansion and the strong interest in developing a data center project in Italy conforms both the reliability of Terna as a system operator and also the credibility of our long-term development plan.
Okay. Now a change topic about regulation. Could you elaborate about next expected decisions from new ARERA Board in 2026, please?
Yes. One of the next decision from ARERA will concern future steps on the regulation -- the goal is to further align the objectives with the system interest, I mean, price reduction, power system security service continuity -- at this stage, the authority has not given any indications on when a consultation paper on these incentive schemes might be published. However, since the application of these schemes under resolution, 390, 2025 is also envisaged for the 2026 -- 2027 period, it is possible that ARERA may launch a public consultation later this year.
And the final question for you, just about nonregulated business, 2025 EBITDA contribution -- what are the growth drivers behind this acceleration compared to the previous year.
Our market-based strategy is delivering results. By focusing on businesses closely linked to energy transition, such as equipment manufacturing and Energy Solutions, we are seeing tangible growth.
In 2025, a very dynamic market environment led to a 29% increase in revenues with a strong contribution from our industrial activities. Tamini recorded revenue growth of 54%, while Brugg grew by 14%, with the margins expanding significantly for both companies. And as you said, we also performed very well with the revenues up 50%, exceeding EUR 260 million. These activities are more exposed to macroeconomic fluctuations and geopolitical risks. However, our exposure to Middle Eastern countries is limited to a few tens of millions of euros, so no problem. And looking ahead, we currently expect to conform double-digit growth in our regulated activities also in 2026.
I think that probably the next questions are for Francesco. Could you give some color about out-of-base incentives accounted in 2025?
Sure. First of all, let me remind you that the current year marks the first implementation of the new incentive scheme aimed at reducing dispatching costs and which covers the 2025-2030 period. For the first three period from 2025 to '27, Terna will receive a premium linked to the overall dispatching cost reduction compared to the 2023 actual MSD cost, increased by an extra component lump sum, which is related to the newly installed new renewable capacity. In addition, there are further out-based incentives that will be recognized through mechanism related to increased transmission capacity and efficiency in investment costs. After reaching an almost record level in 2024, [ OBI ] declined by over EUR 200 million in '25, reaching a level slightly below the planned average amount for the period 2025 and 2028.
Okay. And now what is the expected level of out-of-base incentive for 2026?
Well, OBI in 2026 will remain mainly linked to mechanism for reducing dispatching market cost. For 2026, considering both dispatching and interzonal and including also the potential grant incentives, we expect to book over EUR 200 million of incentives overall.
Thank you. Now with why net debt in 2025 was better than consensus. Could you describe the dynamics of net working capital in 2025 and your expectations for 2026?
Well, net debt in '25 came in better than consensus, mainly due to the stronger cash generation and due to a temporary positive contribution from net working capital. The latter was mainly driven by higher CapEx-related payables following the acceleration of investments in the fourth quarter as well as the collection of certain deposits from market operators, which are partly offset by the cash out for the acquisition of the high-voltage assets from Acea that we realized this year. Let me highlight finally that we expect part of this working capital benefit to unwind in 2026.
And could you give a guidance on 2026 net debt? Do you see any risk for your financial solidity in 2026?
If you consider on the one hand, the [ issuance ] completed in January and on the other hand, the guidance we just provided on CapEx and net profit, we can expect an increase of net debt at the end of '26, slightly below the one registered in 2025. This confirms that our financial position remains extremely solid also for 2026. In this sense, let me also underline once again that our CapEx plan to 2028 is fully sustainable on a financial standpoint as confirmed by rating upgrades received in 2025.
These actions confirm on one hand, the strength of our capital structure in the business plan horizon without the need of additional instruments. Anyway, let me also remind that the range of flexibility tools we could evaluate are the remaining additional capacity, which is still around EUR 1.5 billion as well as seeking additional contributions to strengthen the financial structure and considering options to monetize our nonregulated activities.
Now what is your expected value for WACC in 2026? What is the mark-to-market. 2027 WACC based on forward and you expect the regulator could change the basket of peers or taxation parameters.
Well, for 2028, our industrial plan update assumptions are based on WACC at 5.5%. This reflects a prudent long-term approach, also considering that ARERA is expected to consult on its proposals for the WACC framework ahead of the next regulatory period, which could modify also the current calculation methodology from 2028 onwards.
From a mark-to-market perspective, for 2027, the current geopolitical situation and resulting volatility, both in energy and financial markets as well as in macroeconomic conditions suggest caution in extrapolating any short-term signals. We can express on potential outcomes only in the following months. On top of that, let me add that as part of the consultation process, ARERA could indeed revise the current basket of comparables in case recent trends in interest rate spread and credit ratings persist. Nevertheless, the regulator has not provided any indication to date that such changes are being considered.
Okay. And about taxation, do you think there is a risk of an extension beyond 2027?
What concerns IRA -- let me remind you that the decree foresees the application of additional 2% taxation only for 2026 and 2027, and this is the only financial impact on term accounts.
Okay. And as a final question, could you remind us the main pillars that drive your investments this year? And what could be a reasonable annual level of investments for -- then beyond your plan horizon.
Our CapEx guidance for 2026 is fully consistent with the trajectory we have outlined in our strategic plan, which foresees EUR 17.7 billion of cumulated investments between 2024 and 2028. The further CapEx acceleration in 2026 is mainly driven by system needs, increasing transport capacity and I would say, the scheduling of our biggest project execution. Finally, for what concerns is that the expected investments beyond the horizon on the development segment which is the biggest share of our investment plan.
Latest national development plan provides for investments of more than EUR 23 billion over the decade of which about EUR 14 billion are expected to come from 2029 and 2034. On top of this, Terna will, of course, continue to invest also in the security and the renewal category.
Very well -- so I think that this last question, concludes our Q&A section. We think we have addressed all the key topics. And as always, the Investor Relations team is available for any follow-up or additional question you may have. Thank you, everybody, for joining this presentation and enjoy your evening.
Thank you very much.
Thank you. Bye-bye.
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Terna — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Überblick
Terna präsentiert die Jahresergebnisse 2025 und bestätigt den Fortschritt im aktualisierten Investitionsplan, mit starkem operativem Wachstum und beschleunigten Investitionen. Das Unternehmen bleibt finanziell solide und setzt auf umfangreiche Grid- und Speicherprojekte zur Unterstützung der Energiewende.
Wichtige Kennzahlen
- Umsatz: EUR 4.0–4.033 Mrd., +10% YoY.
- EBITDA: EUR 2.75 Mrd., +7% YoY.
- Net Income: EUR 1.11 Mrd., +5% YoY.
- CapEx: EUR 3.5 Mrd., +31% YoY.
- Net Debt Ende 2025: EUR 13.0 Mrd., ca. +EUR 1.8 Mrd. gegenüber 2024.
- Dividende 2025: EUR 0.3962 pro Aktie (DPS-Floor gemäß Policy).
- FFO-to-Net-Debt: ca. 14% (2025).
- Wichtige Kapitalstruktur: ESG-finanzierte Instrumente ca. 80% der Finanzierung; Green Bonds EUR 6.5 Mrd., EB Financing EUR 4.7 Mrd., ESG-Linked Loans EUR 2.5 Mrd.
- Ausblick 2026: Umsatz EUR 4.41 Mrd., EBITDA EUR 2.93 Mrd., Net Income > EUR 1.12 Mrd.; CapEx EUR 4.2 Mrd.
Strategische Ausrichtung
- Fortführung des Investitionsplans (EUR 17.7 Mrd. kumuliert 2024–2028) mit starker Beschleunigung der Ausgaben und hoher Autorisierung von Projekten (ca. 92% des Plans, ca. EUR 11.6 Mrd. Verträge).
- Fokus auf verstärkte Netzkapazität, Speicher (MACSE, FER X) und fortlaufende Digitalisierung/Innovation (Digital Twin, KI-integration, Cybersecurity).
- Stärkung der nachhaltigen Finanzierung und Position als Benchmark-Anbieter im grünen Anleihemarkt.
Ausblick & Guidance
2026 erwartet Terna: Umsatz ca. EUR 4.41 Mrd. (+9%), EBITDA ca. EUR 2.93 Mrd. (+7%), Net Income > EUR 1.12 Mrd. (> 2025); CapEx ca. EUR 4.2 Mrd. Risikofaktoren umfassen ERAP-/regionale Steuern. WACC für 2028 bei 5.5% angenommen; ARERA könnte Regulierung vor 2028 anpassen. Ferner: zusätzliche OBI-Incentives 2026 voraussichtlich über EUR 200 Mio.
Analystenfragen
Frage: Welchen Einfluss hat die geopolitische Lage auf Terna und die Ausschüttung von Energiepreisen?
Antwort: Es gibt keinen direkten Einfluss auf Terna; das regulierte Modell bietet Sichtbarkeit der Renditen und schützt vor Inflation. Indirekt könnten Material- und Lieferkettenkosten höher ausfallen, Strategien zur Minderung sind im Einsatz; regulatorische Rahmenbedingungen schützen vor Preisschwankungen bei Rohstoffen, da Kostenbestandteile ins investive Anlagevermögen überführt werden.
Frage: Wie hoch sind Out-of-Base Incentives (OBI) 2025 und was ist der Ausblick für 2026?
Antwort: 2025 verzeichnete Terna signifikante OBI-Beiträge (nahe Rekordniveau); 2026 erwartet man weiterhin über EUR 200 Mio. an Incentives, abhängig von Dispatching-Kostensenkungen und Kapazitäts-/Investitionsmechanismen.
Frage: Wie erklären sich 2025-Nettoverbindlichkeiten im Vergleich zum Konsens, und wie entwickeln sich diese 2026?
Antwort: 2025 lagen die Nettoverbindlichkeiten aufgrund höherer Cash-Generierung und temporärer Working-Capital-Beiträge höher; Teile davon dürften 2026 wieder auslaufen, dennoch wird ein Anstieg am Jahresende 2026 erwartet, leicht unter dem Niveau von 2025, was die solide finanzielle Position unterstreicht.
Terna — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Terna's 9 Months 2025 Consolidated Results Presentation. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would like to hand the conference over to our host speaker today, Mr. Stefano Gamberini, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you very much. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the presentation of Terna's 9 month results 2025. This call will be hosted by our CFO, Francesco Beccali. Following the presentation, there will be the Q&A session. So we kindly ask you to send your question to our e-mail address, [email protected]. Please, Francesco.
Thank you, Stefano, and good afternoon, everyone. Before moving at the figures, I'd like to take a moment to highlight some of our most recent achievements. Let's start with grid development, where we have made significant progress across multiple fronts in the past few months.
Starting with the Tyrrhenian Link, one of the flagship projects in our 2024-'28 Industrial Plan. Let me remind you that before the summer, we completed the laying of the first submarine cable of the eastern section. And on September 16 Terna and Nexans began the first installation phase of the western section, connecting Sicily and Sardinia. Once completed, it will set a world record for the deepest high-voltage subsea cable installation, reaching 2,150 meters below sea level. This project will also represent a significant step towards Italy's urbanization target.
On October 21, the Ministry of Environment and Energy Security formally launched the authorization process for the Central Link project, which plans to rebuild the 220-kilowatt backbone between Umbria and Tuscany, a crucial step to enhance transmission capacity, grid robustness and renewable integration. Shortly after on October 27, the Ministry initiated the authorization procedure for the Sardinian Link, a project to reconstruct and modernize Sardinia's grid infrastructure, strengthening the island transmission capacity and ensuring a more stable and resilient electricity system. These projects are included in the development plan and are scheduled beyond the business plan horizon.
A distinctive feature of both the Central and Sardinian Links will be the use of Terna's proprietary 5 phases technology in their construction, an innovative design that represents a major step forward in the evolution of transmission infrastructure. These new pilots are lighter, more environmental integrated and capable of increasing transport capacity while reducing electric and magnetic fields, contributing to a more efficient and sustainable growth of the grid.
Moreover, with regard to the authorization update, we signed a 5-year memorandum of understanding with the Marche region to enhance the planning of new infrastructure and the ministry kicked off the approval process for overhauling in the city of Ferrara's electricity grid.
Lastly, in September, Terna completed the acquisition of part of the high-voltage [ Rome ] from Acea for EUR 227 million, an operations aimed at strengthening the continuity and security of the electricity transmission service. These acquisitions will also allow for more effective decision-making for renewal and development investments across the Central Italy Transmission Network, while having only a limited impact on Terna's financial leverage and remaining neutral for our credit rating. Beyond infrastructure development, we have also made important progress on the procurement front. Let's move to the next slide.
We continue to effectively manage potential supply chain risk through timing and efficient mitigation actions. As of today, around 88% of our 2024-'28 CapEx plan is already covered by procurement contracts, up from more than 80% in March. All major projects, including the Tyrrhenian, Adriatic and SACOI 3 Links are fully contracted. For the ELMED Interconnection between Italy and Tunisia, the [ camel ] portion is already secured, while tenders for the converter stations are currently underway. The residual and sourced portion of planned procurement contracts primarily relates to projects scheduled for the latter part of the period, which procurement will naturally be finalized over time.
Turning now to regulation. A few days ago, ARERA published Resolution 476 of 2025, verifying whether the conditions for the applications of the trigger mechanism for 2026 were met. As the variation in market parameters of the formula remained below the 30 basis point threshold defined in the regulatory framework, the current WACC of 5.5% for electricity transmission will remain unchanged in 2026.
As regards to ROSS mechanism, the regulator published in August, the Resolution 390 of 2025 launching the experimental phase of ROSS Integrale mechanism for 2026 and 2027 period. In October, Terna submitted to ARERA its 2026-2027 business plan and proposals for incentives linked due to operational and performance efficiency. The business plan will be the reference for the [indiscernible] mechanism and for the new incentive penalty mechanisms introduced by the regulator for the accuracy of CapEx.
Still on the regulatory side, in October, ARERA also published resolutions 440, recognized Terna EUR 93 million of output-based incentives for additional interzonal transmission capacity and investment efficiency. Finally, regarding shareholder remuneration, today, the Board of Directors approved the 2025 interim dividend at EUR 11.92 per share, flat compared to last year interim dividend. Please note that the new dividend policy communicated to the market in March set a minimum dividend per share equal to the 2024 dividend for the entire duration of the 2024-'28 business plan.
Now let me briefly give you the usual overview of the Italian electricity market, turning to the next slide. As you can see from the chart, in the first 9 months of 2025, national demand was about 233 terawatt hour, recording a negligible contraction of 1.2% in comparison with the same period of last year when national demand was about 236 terawatt hour. Over the period, renewable sources covered about 43% of national demand, in line with the level registered last year. For what concerns national net total production, this stood at 201 terawatt hour, up by 1% compared to the same period of 2024. In the period, renewable sources accounted for about 50% of the national net total production, essentially in line with the level recorded in the same period of last year when renewable energy sources covered about 51% of net total production.
To conclude, let me highlight the remarkable increase in photovoltaic production, which grew by 23% versus the first 9 months of last year, compensating the reduction in hydro generation. With renewables continuing to play a major role in Italy's power mix, flexibility becomes crucial. So before moving to the financial results of the company, let's turn the storage to storage and the progress made under the MACSE mechanism moving to the next slide.
As you know, storage is the next frontier of the energy transition, essential to ensure flexibility and the system increasingly powered by renewables. As of September 30, Italy's total electrochemical storage capacity stood at 17.4 gigawatts hour, mostly small-scale systems, of which around 4.4 gigawatt hours were installed since December 2024. While small-scale installations still represent the majority, we are now witnessing a sharp acceleration in large-scale battery projects. In September, we successfully held the first auction under the MACSE framework. The auction awarded a total of 10 gigawatt hour of storage capacity, fully covering the demand. Results confirmed strong market interest in the [ mechanism ] with bids exceeding demand by more than 4x and average clearing prices around 65% lower than the reserve premium. Around EUR 30,000 per megawatt hour a year compared to a cap of 37,000 units.
The contracted facilities are expected to enter into operation by 2028, alongside renewable plants from the FER X auctions, helping to balance the system and reduce reliance on fossil fuels for power generation, in line with the national decarbonization objectives. On this, the first auction the so-called transitional FER X closed in September with final rankings expected by December 11. It saw strong participation awarding up to 12 gigawatts of wind and solar capacity to be commissioned by 2028. The second FER X auction, which focused on resilient photovoltaic system was held in October and offered an additional capacity of almost 2 gigawatts. The final rankings are expected by the end of December. Overall, these results mark a major step forward in Italy's energy transition.
Now let's move to the main figures of the period as Slide #8. In the first 9 months of 2025, group revenues and EBITDA increased by 9% and 7%, respectively, versus last year, increasing by approximately EUR 235 million and EUR 134 million compared to the first 9 months of 2024. We also reported a group net income of EUR 853 million with a growth of 5% compared to the same period of last year. Group CapEx reached around EUR 2.1 billion, marking an increase of approximately 23% versus the first 9 months of last year and setting a new record in Terna's history. This confirms once again our effort to accelerate investments to serve system needs. To support this CapEx acceleration, at the end of September 2025, net debt stood at EUR 11.7 billion, slightly higher compared to the value recorded at 2024 year-end of about EUR 11.2 billion.
Now let's have a closer look at the results moving forward. Let's start, as usual, with revenues analysis. In the first 9 months of 2025, total revenues increased by 9%, reaching EUR 2.882 billion, up by EUR 235 million versus last year. The growth was attributable both to regulated and nonregulated activities which contributed for EUR 135 million and EUR 99 million, respectively.
Let's now take a closer look at the evolution of revenues, turning to the next slide. Regulated revenues reached EUR 2.357 billion with an increase of more than 6% versus previous year. The growth was mainly driven by the RAB growth deriving from the recognition in tariff of 2024 capital expenditure, including the update and revaluation of capital cost parameter. The early recognition in tariff of depreciation related to 2024 capital expenditure 1 year in advance compared to the previous regulatory framework. And the fast-money component set on the conventional capitalization rate defined under the ROSS application. These factors more than offset the weighted average cost of capital reduction from 5.8% to 5.5% in 2025 and the lower output-based incentives contribution versus last year.
Non-regulated revenues reached EUR 525 million, recording a double-digit increase of 23% in comparison with the same period of last year. The improvement mainly reflects the higher contribution from the Equipment segment, which includes Tamini and Brugg Cables and from the Energy Services segment.
Now let's go to operating cost analysis. As you can see in this chart, total operating costs stood at EUR 856 million, 13% higher than last year. The regulated activities cost increase is mainly driven by the rise in the headcount and the higher average cost of labor, partially offset by higher capitalization. The non-regulated activities were primarily impacted by higher costs for materials and services related to the development of activities, mainly in the Energy Services segment and Equipment segment. This increase were driven by higher volume of activities reflected also in revenues growth.
Regarding EBITDA, moving to the next slide. Thanks to the acceleration in revenues, 9 months 2025 group EBITDA reached EUR 2.026 billion, 7% higher than the same period of last year. The improvement was mainly attributable to regulated activities, which contributed for about EUR 99 million more versus the first 9 months of the previous year, showing an EBITDA of EUR 1,923 million. EBITDA from non regulated activities increased by 51% to EUR 103 million, mainly driven by a stronger contribution from the Equipment segment with improving margins from both the Tamini and Brugg Cables groups as well as better results from the Energy Services.
Let's now have a look to the lower part of the P&L, turning to the next slide. D&A amounted to EUR 679 million. The rise versus last year's figure was mainly related to the entry into service of new infrastructure. As a consequence, the EBIT reached EUR 1.348 billion, 7% higher versus the first 9 months of 2024. The net financial expenses amounted to EUR 132 million. The slight, year-on-year increase of EUR 27 million is mainly due to the draw donw of new financing and the lower financial income resulting from cash investments, partially offset by higher capitalized financial charges.
Taxes stood at EUR 362 million, EUR 24 million higher versus last year, essential due to improved results. Our tax rate was 29.8% compared to 29.4% in the 9 months of 2024. As a result, group net income reached EUR 853 million, marking a 5% growth versus the same period of last year.
Moving now to CapEx analysis. In the first 9 months of 2025, total CapEx reached around EUR 2.1 billion up by 23% year-on-year, confirming the solid CapEx acceleration in line with planned targets. We invested about EUR 1.972 billion in regulated activities. Among the main projects of the period, it is worth mentioning the Tyrrhenian Link, the Adriatic Link, SACOI 3, the modernization of the high-voltage grid in the locations due to the Winter Olympics in 2026 and the Chiaramonte Gulfi–Ciminna power line. Moreover, we should consider the investments planned under the defense plan, which play a crucial role in reinforcing the resilience of the National Transmission System through the installation of synchronous compensators, shunt reactors and dumping resistor systems.
Among CapEx categories, development CapEx represented 57% of total regulated investments. Defence CapEx stood at 13%, while Asset Renewal & Efficiency was at 30%. Non-regulated and other CapEx stood at EUR 115 million. This includes capitalized financial charges and other investments.
Turning to the next slide. Cash flow generation for the period amounted to around EUR 2.2 billion. This was the result of around EUR 1.5 billion of operating cash flow and around EUR 700 million of working capital and other items. Net debt at the end of September 2025 was about EUR 11.7 billion, around EUR 500 million higher than 2024 year-end level, primarily due to the CapEx acceleration and the dividend payment.
Let's now make a deeper analysis of our debt profile, moving to Slide 17. At the end of September 2025, we registered a fixed floating ratio on gross debt of around 83%, with an average duration of approximately 6 years. Consistent with Terna's strategic approach of aligning capital allocation with sustainability goals to enhance long-term value, as of the end of September, Terna's sustainable financing portfolio included EUR 3.75 billion in senior green bonds and EUR 1.85 billion in perpetual subordinated hybrid green bond.
On this, let me remind you about the successful launch of the first European green bond with a total nominal amount of EUR 750 million made in July. This bonds, which received a very favorable market response will pay an annual coupon of 3%. In addition, Terna can rely on EUR 2 billion in an ESG-linked term loans, 3 ESG-linked revolving credit facilities for a total of approximately EUR 4.300 billion and a EUR 2 billion Commercial Paper Program dedicated to the issuance of short-term conventional or ESG notes.
To conclude, as already communicated to the market in July, the European Investment Bank Terna, Intesa Sanpaolo and SACE have signed agreements totaling EUR 1.5 billion to support the development and construction of the Adriatic Link, the submarine power cable linking the Italian regions of Marche and Abruzzo.
Thank you for your attention. Let me now conclude this presentation with some closing remarks. First of all, I would like to emphasize that we remain strongly focused on executing our industrial plan. As highlighted during the presentation, alongside delivering a solid set of results we continue to make tangible progress across all our main projects, while keeping a disciplined approach on the procurement front despite a still challenging environment. All of this confirms once again our ability to deliver on our commitment.
At the same time, the broader energy transition continues to advance rapidly. The recent FER X and MACSE auctions have shown clear evidence of this progress with over 12 gigawatts of new renewable capacity awarded under the FER X scheme and 10 gigawatt hour of storage capacity contracted in the first MACSE auction, both at competitive prices well below the respective caps. These results confirm the market's strong momentum and the soundness of the regulatory framework supporting the transition.
To conclude, we firmly confirm our full year 2025 guidance. We expect to achieve revenues of EUR 4.03 billion and EBITDA of EUR 2.7 billion and a net profit of EUR 1.08 billion. In terms of investment, the group has set a target of approximately EUR 3.4 billion for 2025.
Thank you for your attention. We are now ready for the Q&A session.
Thank you, Francesco. Now we are ready to start with the Q&A session. Francesco, we received many questions regarding the press rumor about potential sale of transmission grid stake. Could you comment about it?
Despite we do not use to comment on press rumors, let me be clear on this point. At current stage, this is not an option on our table. We constantly analyze all the possible instruments available to finance the development and maintenance of the National Transmission Grid and the results of these analysis are always reflected in the decision set out in Industrial Plan. In this sense, let me confirm what we have been stating since we presented the update of our plan back in March.
Our CapEx plan to 2028 is fully sustainable under a financial standpoint. The upgrade of our rating to A- for Standard & Poor's and the revision of the outlook to positive from stable by Moody's registered in April are for further confirmation of our financial solidity. As of today, the range of flexibility tools we could evaluate are the remaining hybrid issuance capacity, which is worth more than EUR 2 million as well as seeking additional public contributions to strengthen the financial structure and considering options to valorize and monetize our nonregulated activities.
Now move about output-based incentive. What is the number of OBIs accounted in the 9 months 2025? Is your expectation for the full year confirm?
In the 9 months revenues, there is no contribution coming from the output-based incentives related to dispatch and services market efficiency incentives. This will be recognized in the last quarter when we will have full visibility and certainty in line with the accounting principle.
In the 9 months, we have instead registered EUR 16 million relative to the interest incentives. With reference to the full year, our expectations reflect the update in the performance estimated for 2025, which allow us to reach and possibly exceed the guidance already provided after the first quarter of 2025 of more than EUR 50 million of OBI's contribution.
Thank you. Still about guidance. Why are you not increasing the guidance for full year despite you are already at around 80% on full year net income guidance?
Well, the strong results we registered in the first 9 months increased the visibility and the reliability of the guidance we communicated back in March. However, as I've just underlined in the previous answer, we still miss full visibility on some elements, such for example, dispatching incentives for which we need to wait the end of the year to determine the early performance with full certainty.
Let me remind that this is the first year of the new dispatching incentive framework renewal. So all the incentives we will account for this in 2025, will depend on 2025 performance.
Given our Resolution 440/2025 on interzonal incentives recognized to Terna, do you upgrade guidance on OBIs?
As we have already stated in the presentation, we wish to highlight that this around EUR 93 million of interzonal incentives improved the visibility on EUR 900 million guidance of total OBI for the 2024-2028 period. As we always reported, these interzonal incentives will be accounted for over 3 years, starting by next one. In the first half of 2025, we have already registered EUR 16 million of interzonal incentives recognized from previous years. We did not disclose the breakdown of our OBI guidance among the different mechanisms. However, let me remind you that the overall amount mostly refers to existing output-based incentive framework with a bigger contribution from the dispatching service and for a residual part relative to instead the ROSS Integrale schemes back loaded.
Okay. Can you comment on the ROSS Integrale expected incentives and potential time line?
The last resolution published by ARERA basically confirms ARERA's focus on the need to incentivize companies to deliver strategic high-value energy infrastructure in an efficient way. ARERA allows companies to submit proposals for new reward-only output-based incentives as part of the business plan, which will be subject to the regulatory scrutiny and approval. We do not rule out the possibility the regulator will issue new incentives before the end of the current regulatory period.
Okay. Now on data centers. Do you see any significant acceleration in data center projects?
In Italy, the connection request to the grid associated with the construction of data centers have experienced strong and continuous growth in recent years. As of the 31st of October of this year, the total high-voltage connection request reached approximately 64 gigawatt with around 378 active requests. Geographically, around 80% of connection requests are concentrated in northern parts of Italy, especially in Lombardy around Milan, confirming the region as the primary hub for data center development.
For this reason, data center will represent one of the drivers together with the electrification of domestic consumption and electricity mobility, underlying the expected increase in power demand in future years.
Now could you please provide an update of authorization and procurement status over Industrial Plan horizon?
Sure. The procurement process for our investments is progressing in line with Industrial Plan. Projects currently still in the authorization phase with expected completion beyond the plan horizon are not strategic and have a limited impact on total CapEx. The authorization processes for major projects planned after 2028 will be launched in due course.
As of today, all our main HVDC projects included in the current plan, have received the necessary authorizations and around 92% of the projects in the plan have completed the approval process. Moreover, we are actively working to complete all the authorization procedures according to the planned implementation time line, both for 2030 and for the longer-term horizon towards 2024.
On procurement, we are fully aware of the potential supply chain shortages and bottlenecks affecting the industry. To manage this risk, we have taken several steps to ensure continuity. Thanks in part to the support of Brugg Cables and Tamini transformers around 88% of 2024-'28 CapEx is already covered by existing procurement contracts, up from the 80% in March.
Very well. Now moving to the working capital. Could you give a bit of color on the dynamics in 9 months '25 and your expectation for year-end working capital figure?
In the third quarter, the working capital and other item reports a decrease of about EUR 700 million compared to the end of 2024. This variation has a positive impact, obviously, on our cash flow. This result is mainly attributable on the one hand, to an increase of about EUR 390 million in net pass-through energy payables mainly due to higher debt from the essential plant for the security and electricity system, the so-called [indiscernible] and the capacity market, partially offset by higher credit from the cost of procurement of procuring resources on dispatching market services.
On top of that, we have to take account of the increase in other net liabilities, essentially due to the increase in security deposits received from operators participating in the capacity market and the higher planned subsidies received from third parties.
Then we also have to take into account the decrease of about EUR 156 million in the receivables resulting from regulated activities attributable to the collection of the previous year's dispatching market efficiency incentive, partially offset by the higher receivables attributable to the transmission revenues due to the tariff update set by ARERA Resolution 579 of 2024.
Finally, this amount includes also the effect of the closing of the acquisition of high-voltage grid portion from Acea. Regarding working capital forecast for year-end, due to the ordinary seasonality, let me remind that we expect a significant reduction in working capital liabilities, pending payment resolutions from ARERA.
Thank you. Finally, about regulation. When do you expect new Board of ARERA? Do you see any risk of ARERA changing approach towards the energy transition and thus support for investment in the electricity networks?
Well, as we always say, the rationale underlying the energy transition in Italy is very strong because it basically allows to reduce the dependence of the country from imported energy and commodities. The energy transition could not go ahead without investment and we play a central role in such process. We understand that the new Board of ARERA should be appointed before the end of the year, and we do not expect a significant change in ARERA's approach towards the energy transition. Law 481 establishes that commissioners must be choosing among people of outstanding competence. We are confident that what we mentioned -- we just mentioned represents good rationale to prevent regulatory risk.
Many thanks, Francesco.
Thank you.
So the Q&A section is now over. As always, the Investor Relations team is available to answer any follow-up questions you might have. Thank you, everybody, for your participation, and have a nice evening.
Thank you, everybody. Nice evening.
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Terna — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: €2,882 Mrd. (+9% YoY)
- EBITDA: €2,026 Mrd. (+7% YoY)
- Nettoergebnis: €853 Mio. (+5% YoY)
- CapEx: ≈€2,1 Mrd. (+23% YoY, Rekord für Terna)
- Nettofinanzschuld: €11,7 Mrd. (vs. €11,2 Mrd. Jahresende 2024)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Projektfortschritt: Tyrrhenian-, Adriatic- und SACOI‑3‑Projekte sowie viele Genehmigungen (Central/Sardinian Link) machen spürbare Fortschritte.
- Technologie & Netz: Pilotierung der proprietären 5‑Phasen‑Technologie zur Kapazitätserhöhung bei geringeren Feldern und besserer Umweltintegration.
- Beschaffung & Finanzierung: Ca. 88% der 2024‑'28 CapEx vertraglich gesichert; nachhaltige Finanzierungsinstrumente (Green Bonds, ESG‑Kredite) intensiv genutzt.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Bestätigung: Management bestätigt Volljahres‑Guidance 2025: Umsatz €4,03 Mrd., EBITDA €2,7 Mrd., Nettogewinn €1,08 Mrd., Investitionen ≈€3,4 Mrd.
- Risiko/Unsicherheit: Vollständige Sicht auf Output‑Based Incentives (OBI) erst im Q4; mögliche Upside, aber vorerst konservativ bewertet.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Verkauf Gerüchte: Management verneint aktuell einen Verkauf von Netzanteilen; prüft aber Finanzierungsoptionen (Hybride, Monetarisierung nicht‑regulierter Aktivitäten).
- OBI‑Diskussion: 9M enthalten nur Zins‑Anteile; erwartete OBI‑Contribution >€50 Mio. für 2025 möglich, endgültige Erfassung im Q4.
- Working Capital: Q3‑Effekt von ≈€700 Mio. positiv für Cash; jahreszeitliche Reduktion erwartet, ARERA‑Entscheidungen relevant.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solide operative Daten und starke Investitionsdynamik bestätigen die Strategie: Ausbau der Netzinfrastruktur bei kontrollierter Finanzierung. Guidance bleibt bestätigt, Hauptaugenmerk für Anleger: Realisierung der erwarteten OBI‑Zahlungen und Entwicklung der Nettoverschuldung während der CapEx‑Spitze.
Terna — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. I welcome you to Terna's Consolidated Results First Half 2025 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I'd like to hand the conference over to your host speaker today, Mr. Stefano Gamberini, Head of Investor Relations, to begin. Please go ahead, sir.
Thanks a lot. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Terna's first half results presentation. The call will be hosted by our CEO and General Manager, Giuseppina Di Foggia; and our CFO, Francesco Beccali. Following the presentation, we will have the Q&A session, so we kindly ask you to send any questions you might have to our e-mail [email protected]. Please, Giuse.
Thank you, Stefano, and good afternoon, everyone. Before looking at the figures, I'd like to take a moment to highlight some of our most recent achievements. In March, we presented the new 10-year national development plan. This plan outlines the main grid development projects requiring investments of over EUR 23 billion by 2034.
Shortly after we published the updated 2024, 2028 sales plan, which sets out investments totaling EUR 17.7 million. These investments are aimed at improving the efficiency, resilience, sustainability and security of our grade while also supporting the integration of renewable energy sources. In doing so, Terna continues tiering full role as a enabler of the energy transition -- using the reliance on foreign energy.
The 7% increase in CapEx compared to the previous plan is mainly driven by the -- plan, which focuses on enhancing great resilience and renewing assets. It also includes new projects that promote digitalization, the use of advanced technologies and the adoption of artificial intelligence.
Turning to grid development in May -- signed the memorandum of understanding as part of the Italy Greece Intergovernmental summit. This MOU laid the foundation for a new HVDC interconnection between the 2 countries. The new link will represent a strategic infrastructure for both Italy and Greece supporting their determination goals and strengthening their position as energy hubs in the Mediterranean on project execution.
Let me remind you that on May 8, we completed the link of the first submarine cable of the Mediterranean in transaction, one of the Italy's most important power infect project, which will connect companion and NCT.
From a regulatory perspective, In may, Averaz published consultation people 210, 2025 the paper proposes adjustments to how certain aspects of the ROS buzz regulation are implemented, particularly regarding tariff recognition of CapEx and OpEx. It also introduces the first guidelines of the ROS integral mechanism, including environments for companies to present business plan and outlining 3 new incentive teams, 2 of which are expected to apply from 2026, while the third will introduce at a later stage.
Now let me briefly touch on innovation and digitalization where we launched several initiatives in June. On June, I think Terna signed the memorandum of understanding with the Microsoft to develop strategic projects supporting our digital transformation. This partnership will allow us to leverage artificial intelligence, next deration data platforms and hybrid digital infrastructures to advance our mission.
Then on June 23, we launched the Terna data innovation loan in the market region, our new innovation hub created to transform the Adriatic area into a center of technological excellence and to promote innovation in support of both the energy transition and local business development. In addition, Terna has partnered with the Polytechnic Universities of Bari, Milan and Turin, to launch a Level 2 master degree innovation in electricity systems for energy. This program is part of the Polytech lab, the new high-scale polytechnic network, launched in April. The collaboration is designed to promote reserve, innovation and advanced training generating a positive social impact for the electricity sector and for the country as a whole.
Finally, on the sustainability front, I would like to mention that during the period, we published our first ever consolidated sustainability report fully aligned with the new corporate sustainability reporting directive framework. From a financial standpoint, let me remind you that SMT upgraded the long-term rating of Terna to A- in April following the Italian Republic from BBB to BBB+.
In June, Media formed eternal long-term rate not above the rating of the Italian Republic. But the more Moody's upgraded term outlook from stable to positive, reflecting the company's solid financial profile despite the increased CapEx plan.
On the tenth of July, the European investment bank in -- Sao Paulo, Santen signed agreements totaling EUR 1.5 billion to finance the construction of the Adriatic in the power line that will connect the market and the brute regions. The project is a strategical important for Italy's Power Grid promoting the integration of renewable energy sources and increasing Italy energy, autonomy and security.
On the 15th of July, Terna successfully launched its post it's first European green bond under the new EUR 4 billion MTN program listed on a per share, including the interim dividend paid last November, after this brief introduction, let me give you an overview of the Italian electricity market.
Turning to the next slide. As the U.K. see from this chart, in the first 6 months of 2025 national demand was about $153 terawatt hour essentially in line with the level recorded in the same period of last year when national demand was about 152 terawatt hours. Over the period, renewable sources covered about percent of national demand slightly lower than last year, mainly due to a drop in hydroelectric production following an exceptionally strong performance in the previous year. It is worth highlighting that in May, renewable stores covered 56% of the electricity demand, the highest ever value on a monthly basis.
Moving to national net total production, this too at 151 terawatt hours, up by 4% compared to the previous 2024. In this first half, global sources accounted for about 49% of the national net total production, down from 53% of last year. However, let me highlight the considerable increase in solar production, which grew to around 22.1 terawatt towers up 23% versus the first half of last year.
Now let's move to the main figures of the period. In the first half of 2025 despite the complex and challenging economic environment we delivered positive results across all lines of the P&L and a solid CapEx growth. Indeed, revenues and EBITDA both grew by 8%, increasing by approximately EUR 140 million and [ EUR 103 million ] compared to the first half of 2024. We also reported a group net income of EUR 588 million with an increase of 8% versus the same period of last year.
Group CapEx reached EUR 1,390 million, marking an increase of 27% versus the first half of last year as setting a new record in Terna's history. This confirms once again our solid CapEx acceleration to serve the system needs. To support this CapEx acceleration at the end of June 2025, net debt stood at EUR 12 billion, slightly higher compared to the value recorded at 2024 year ahead of about EUR 11.2 billion.
Now let me leave the floor to our CFO to have a closer look at the results. Please, Francesco.
Thank you, Giuse. So let's start, as usual, with the revenues analysis. In the first 6 months of 2025, the total revenues increased 8%, reaching EUR 1.894 million, up by EUR 140 million versus last year. The growth was mainly attributable to regulated activities, which contributed for EUR 122 million, while nonregulated activities increased by EUR 18 million. I will take a closer look at the evolution of revenues.
Moving to the next slide. Regulated revenues reached EUR 1,594 million with an increase of more than 8% versus previous year. The growth was mainly driven by that growth driving from the recognition in tariff of 2025 capital expenditure and the assessment of the tariff CapEx related to the update and revaluation of capital cost per meter. The early recognition in tariff of depreciation related to 2024 capital expenditure 1 year in advance compared to the previous regulatory framework as well as the recognition of depreciation related to 2023 capital expenditures in line with the second -- the 2-year standard delay. And , the first more component set on the conventional capitalization rate defined under the ROCE application. These factors more than offset the WACC reduction from 5.8% to 5.5% in 2025 and the longer run base incentives contribution versus last year.
Nonrated revenues reached EUR 300 million, 6.5% higher than last year. The improvement mainly reflects the higher contribution from Equipment segment, which includes Tamini and Blue cables, partially offset by the decrease in revenues from the Energy Services segment. The results is attributable to the South American subsidiaries have been classified among asset for sale as in the first half of 2024.
Now let's go through operating cost. As you can see in the chart, total operating costs stood at EUR 534 million, 7.5% higher than last year. The regulated activities cost increase is mainly attributable to the rise in the headcount and the higher average cost of labor, partially offset by higher capitalization. The nonregulated activities were impacted by higher service costs related to the development of activities, mainly in the Equipment segment.
Regarding EBITDA, we move to the next slide. Thanks to the acceleration in revenues First half 2025 Group EBITDA reached EUR 1.36 billion, 0.2% higher than the same period of last year. The improvement was mainly attributable to regulated activities, which contributed for about EUR 89 million more versus the first 6 months of last year, showing an EBITDA of EUR 1,302 million in the first half of '25 [ 9% ] EUR 58 million mainly thanks to the higher contribution from the Equipment segment with improved results from both the Tamini and Bruce groups.
Let's now have a look to the lower part of the P&L, turning to the next slide. D&A amounted to EUR 447 million. The increase versus last year was mainly related to the entering service of new infrastructure. As a consequence, EBIT reached EUR 913 million, 9.2% higher versus the first half of 2024. The net financial expenses amounted to EUR 76 million, the slight year-on-year increase of EUR 13 million is mainly due to the signing of new financings, only partially offset by higher capitalized financial charges.
Taxes stood at EUR 249 million, EUR 22 million higher versus last year, essentially due to improved results. Our tax rate was 29.8% compared to 29.4% in the first 2024. As a result, group net income reached EUR 588 million, 8% higher versus the same period of last year.
Moving to CapEx analysis. In the first 6 months of 2025, total CapEx reached EUR 1,319 million, up by 27% year-on-year. This marks a new all-time high for the first half of the year, exceeding EUR 1.3 billion and confirms the strong acceleration in investment. We invested about EUR 1,243 million in regulated activities. Among the main projects of the period, it is worth mentioning the [ cranes, the scott ] the monetization of the -- in the locations due towards the Winter Olympics in 2026, Columbia -- and the article.
Last but not least, the investments of the defense plan, which aims to enhance our gold touch control capacity and support grid, including since compensations, shunt reactors and dumping reducer systems. Among CapEx categories, development CapEx represented 54% of total regulated cash. Defense CapEx stood at 15%, while asset renewal and efficiency was 31%.
Nonregulated and other CapEx stood at EUR 76 million. This includes capitalized financial charges and other investments. Turning now to next slide. Cash flow generation for the period amounted to around EUR 1.1 billion and was the result of around EUR 1 billion of operating cash flow and EUR 100 million of working capital and other items. Net debt at the end of June 2025 was about EUR 12 billion, around EUR 800 million higher than 2024 year-end level, primarily due to the CapEx acceleration and the dividend payment.
Let's now make a deeper analysis of our debt profile moving to Page 16. Our cautious and proactive debt management approach is focused on maximizing efficiency and maintaining a solid financial structure. As of the end of this first 6 months of 2025, we registered a fixed floating ratio on gross debt of around 88%, with an average duration of approximately 6 years. In alignment with Terna strategy, we came to combine investment and sustainability to drive growth and value creation. On July 15, Terna successfully launched its first fixed rate single tranche European grid issue with a total nominal amount of EUR 750 million. The European reman which received a very favorable market response with demand of slipping supply by almost 5x the open amount as duration of 6 years and will pay an annual coupon of 3%, acquisition was launched as part of Terna's new EUR 4 billion Euromedium-term not program listed on Norstariara's electronic bond market.
As said at the beginning of the presentation, in July, a European Investment [ bank, permanent, tesma and sacha ] have signed agreements and agreement totaling EUR 1.5 billion to support the development and perception of the so-called aggregated link. The submarine power cable link in the Italian regions of market and blue.
The operation is financially structured into 3 tranches, all of which are covered by such as Arkema guarantee for an amount exceeding EUR 1 billion. In detail, we have EUR 750 million loan granted by EIB to Terna with a duration of 2 years. another EUR 500 million credit line provided by Intesa and Sao Paolo, Terra with a duration of 7 years and an additional EUR 250 million loan from Intesa, Sao Paolo with fund by the EIB and the duration 7 years.
Finally, with regards to credit ratings, let me remind you that in April, Standard & Poor's upgraded term as long-term rating from -- plus 2 months. following the upgrade of the sugar rating to travel. Moreover, in June, Munis improved the outlook to positive from stable after the review of the assessment of the -- Republic. The decision of the 2 agencies eternal infrastructure, despite the acceleration in investments provided by the industrial plan.
Thank you for your attention. I leave now the floor to Giuse for closing remarks.
Thank you, Francesco. Let me conclude this presentation with some closing remarks. First, I'd like to highlight that we have delivered a solid set of results despite the increasingly complex and challenging macroeconomic and geopolitical environment. This reflects the robustness of our business model, our ability to adapt and the continued commitment of our people that allow us to keep our promises and didn't to exceed them. In this regard, Terna is committed to the execution of its planned targets.
This will allow the integration of renewable sources, the development of the network and the strengthening of interconnections with the foreign countries. These efforts will enhance the security and reliance of the electricity system, enabling the achievement of national and European targets and ensuring system stability.
And before moving to the Q&A session, let me underline that it strong set of results just presented for the first half, we can fully conform our 2025 full year guidance. Thank you for your attention so far, and we are now ready for the Q&A session.
Very well. Let's start with the first questions for you, Giuse. About integral effect color about the consultation document published at the end of May and which are your expectations for potential new incentive scheme proposed?
Well, about the ROS integral framework. Let me say that the document mix, it's clear that Arera is really focused on making sure we deliver a strategic high-value energy infrastructure. It's not about having a forward-looking business plan that outlines spending and targets. This is -- it's also giving operators the chance to earn additional award if they can meet the system needs and cost saving efficiently.
And now why this consultation document that give us an early look at the incentive schemes under the roast integral framework. I want to be clear. The detailed design of those world mechanism probably won't be decided as part of this round, that will likely come later once a review the specific proposal submitted by companies.
What are your latest expectations with respect to the update in WACC for 2026.
Well, let me be that -- as of today, it is too early to assess if the threshold for the WACC update at the end of this year will be met, since the period will finish at the end of September 2025. And according to the latest mark-to-market calculation, the change in WACC value is still below the threshold of 30 basis points.
However, since the values remain close to Dehel, we should closely monitor over the final 2 months as accorded.
Okay. Now can you give us an update on the installation of renewables as of June 30 this year, do you expect this to continue over the years?
Well, we have really seen the pace of renewable installations pick up in recent years. Just to give you some context, until 2021, the average was about 1 gigawatt a year. Then in 2022, that rose to around 3 gigawatts. And the trends continued in 2023 with the 60 gigawatts and 2024 for to another record with 7.5 gigawatts is sold. And 2025 off to a solid start as well, there has been a slight slowdown compared to the first half of last year, but still seen about 3.1 gigawatts so far, but also from the 3.7 gigawatt is sold in the same period of 2024.
And this steady growth in installations is an encouraging sign for meeting the targets set out in the is the national climate and energy plan, the one that Italy submitted to the European Commission in June 2024. And let me conclude with the first auction scheduled in for '22 to '25, further momentum is expected from the upcoming incentive team.
Great. Let's move to another topic. Due to the penetration of renewables, do you think that the Spanish blackout might be an event that we call more frequently in the future?
Well, let me start saying that the European electricity system is complex. It's complex and Italy is a key part of it. So while we can't eliminate the risk and we can see that the Italian grid is now much more resilient, thanks to the investments teras made the reason here to improve grid security.
And now let's have a look at our investments on this. It's important to say that our 2024 security plan already included over EUR 1.3 billion in investment for 2024, 2027. And this was increased to EUR 2 billion for 2025, 2028 last March. And it was confirmed again in the 2025 security plan update we sent to the -- of the environment and energy security in May.
These investments focus on board the energy transition and digitalization for through the use of compensators connected to the grid. And beyond the numbers, we have also deployed a full range of technologies to strengthen the national grid safety. And as renewables grow and traditional thermal capacity declines, system stability can be affected. And that's why we are planning even more investments in rigorous security, This is our transition. This is what I mean as in transition. And now let me conclude with the good news, Stefano. Italy already has a strong pain the framework with the clear rules on our renewables must support system stability and balance.
Thank you, Giuse. Now another question. How is your investment plan progressing? Are there any slippages in the execution of major projects?
Yes. A key part of our plan, the execution, as I said many times, and the execution of our investment plan is going forward as planned. And the CapEx plan is solid and safe, all our main HBDC products have received the necessary authorization and over 90% of the projects in the plan have completed the approval process.
On the procurement side, we are fully aware of the potential supply chain shortages and tones affecting the industry. And to manage this risk, we have taken several steps to ensure continuity. Thanks in part to the support of broad cable internet former, we have already secured nearly all procurement needs through the end of 2025.
And to conclude, looking at the full business plan period, about 85% of the 2024, 2028 CapEx is already covered by existing procurement contracts, up from 80% in March.
Very well. The following question is for you, Francesco. Could you quantify the one-off revenues related to inflation upside.
Sure. For each variation of plus or minus 1% and expected inflation using the RAV revaluation, the impact of regulated revenues is about EUR 20 million. Considering the updated value of 2023 and 2024 inflation approved by revenue -- a resolution. There is a total increase of about 2%, which leads to an increase in regulated revenues of about EUR 40 million on tariff 2025, around EUR 16 million on 2024.
We received many questions about OBI. What are the outward based incentives accounted in the first half is your expectation for the full year confirmed also related to the evolution of dispatching costs? And what are your expectations about further OBIs that could be introduced through ROS Integrate?
Well, in the first half of 2025, there is no contribution core-based incentives related to dispatching market efficiency incentives. It will be recognized in the second half of the year when there will be a higher degree of certainty about the possibility of reaching the targets in line with the accounting principles. In the first half of 2025, we have registered EUR 16 million related to interdental and efficiency incentives. With reference to the full year 2025, our expectations reflect the update the performance estimates for 2025, which will allow us to reach and possibly exceed the guidance already provided after the first quarter of 2025 of more than EUR 550 million of OBIs. Finally, let me also remind that our updated industrial plan assumes that OBIs contribution of about EUR 900 million, considering also EUR 361 million accounted in 2024, mostly referring to existing auto-based incentive framework and for a residual part related to the new ROS integral.
Thank you. Now move on the financing. What will be your cost of debt at the end of 2025, please?
Cost of debt will be around -- for the first half of the year is at around 2.6%. And the cost of debt for 2025 will be slightly below 3%. Since in the second half of the year, we expect the net financial charges to increase compared to the first half primarily due to the issuance of new debt at a higher cost vis-a-vis the average cost of the existing debt.
Regarding the acquisition of high-voltage assets, do you expect further deals?
Well, we are aware of the public interest in the consolidation of high voltage adjusted to achieve synergies and have a more efficient system overall for which are, as you know, has set an incentive scheme for deals closed in 2025 and 2026. For this reason, we cannot exclude undertaking other small potential transactions linked to market opportunity that will be fully aligned with our strategic target.
Could you remind us the remaining financial flexibility in terms of additionally hybrid instruments? And would you still prefer hybrid capital increase?
As you know, our ambitious CapEx plan could lead to a deterioration of the financial ratio of in the future. As you already communicated to the market during the presentation of the update on the last March, despite this acceleration in capital, we aim to preserve a solid and sustainable capital at also to the issue of further every instrument, if needed, up to the full capacity that we estimate to be at around EUR 4 billion towards the end of the plan.
Let's consider then that we already have at the moment, 1 already issued. Furthermore, in order to protect our rating, we can rely on a wide range of further tools, such as, for example, accessory, Terna we could seek an additional amount to reduce the company's debt and strengthen the financial structure, which consider slightly of EUR 1 billion of grants. We can also realize in CapEx prioritization. Terna indeed may prioritize expenses related to investment cost, seeking to defer some of them plate year. And finally, we can also consider the potential in the nonregulated activities.
All the previous options are considered more efficient capital increase. That, as already stated in the strategic plan presentation. As of today, we do see any strong rationale for the categories of the group.
We have received the last question for you, Giuse. Could you comment about the evolution of electricity demand in 2025 and the impact from data centers.
Well, as you will recall, you already commented on the evolution of demand so far this year during the presentation. In recent years, we have seen a gradual change in consumer behavior related to the high temp. Now regarding data centers, as of 30th of June 2025, the total high-voltage connection request reached approximately 50 gigawatts marking a further acceleration compared to 42 gigawatts at the end of March 2025. And for this is on the center will represent one of the drivers together with the electrification of domestic consumption, electric mobility. Underlying the increase we expect to see power demand in future years.
Very well. Many thanks and for all the participants to our call, our Q&A session is now over. The Investor Relations team remains available for any follow-up questions you might have. Thank you for participation and enjoy your summer break.
Thank you, Stefano. Hello, everybody.
Thank you. Bye.
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Terna — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: EUR 1.894 Mio (+8% YoY)
- EBITDA: EUR 1.360 Mio (+0,2% YoY)
- Konzernergebnis: EUR 588 Mio (+8% YoY)
- CapEx H1: EUR 1.319 Mio (+27% YoY, neues Halbjahres‑Rekordniveau)
- Nettofinanzschuld: ~EUR 12 Mrd (+≈EUR 0,8 Mrd vs. Jahresende 2024)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Investitionsbeschleunigung: Fokus auf Ausbau, Resilienz und Asset‑Erneuerung; stärkere Mittel für Digitalisierung und KI zur Netzsteuerung.
- Strategische Infrastruktur: Vorstellung eines 10‑Jahres‑Entwicklungsplans (>EUR 23 Mrd bis 2034) und MOU für HVDC‑Anbindung Italien–Griechenland.
- Finanz‑/Ratingposition: EIB‑Finanzierung (EUR 1,5 Mrd) für Adriatic Link; erfolgreiche Platzierung einer EUR‑Green‑Bond‑Tranche und Rating‑Aufwertungen/positiver Ausblick.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Jahresziel: Management bestätigt Volljahres‑Guidance 2025 nach H1‑Ergebnissen.
- OBI‑Prognose: Erwartung >EUR 550 Mio OBI für 2025; Industrieplan sieht kumuliert ~EUR 900 Mio (inkl. 2024).
- Kapitalmarkt & Kosten: WACC‑Update Ende Sept. offen (derzeit <30 bp Schwelle); erwartete jährliche Fremdkapitalkosten knapp unter 3% (H1 ~2,6%).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- ROS‑Integral: Diskussion über Design neuer Anreizmechanismen; detaillierte Regeln werden später auf Basis eingereichter Business‑Pläne erwartet.
- Projekt‑Execution & Beschaffung: Management meldet >90% Genehmigungen für Kernprojekte; Beschaffungsabdeckung für 2025 weitgehend gesichert (≈85% des 2024–28‑Plans vertraglich gedeckt).
- OBI‑Timing & Datenzentren: OBI‑Erträge werden in H2 präziser erfasst; HV‑Anfragevolumen für Rechenzentren stieg auf ~50 GW (30.6.2025) als wichtiger Nachfragetreiber.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Terna zeigt robuste operative Performance bei starker CapEx‑Beschleunigung. Wachstumstreiber sind Netz‑ausbau und OBI‑Potenzial; erhöhte Investitionen drücken kurzfristig die Verschuldung, bleiben aber durch Financing‑Maßnahmen und Ratingsupport gut abgefedert. Anleger sollten ROS‑Regelwerk, OBI‑Entwicklung, WACC‑Entscheidung und Projekt‑Execution beobachten.
Finanzdaten von Terna
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 5.928 5.928 |
10 %
10 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 1.155 1.155 |
12 %
12 %
19 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 4.773 4.773 |
9 %
9 %
81 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 616 616 |
21 %
21 %
10 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 4.109 4.109 |
7 %
7 %
69 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 1.426 1.426 |
9 %
9 %
24 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 2.683 2.683 |
6 %
6 %
45 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 1.653 1.653 |
3 %
3 %
28 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen EUR.
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| Hauptsitz | Italien |
| CEO | Ms. Foggia |
| Mitarbeiter | 7.180 |
| Gegründet | 1999 |
| Webseite | www.terna.it |


