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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 73,31 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 6,65 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 73,31 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 6,66 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 101,01 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 6,65 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 101,01 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 6,66 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Simon Property Group Aktie Analyse
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Analystenmeinungen
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Simon Property Group — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Greetings. Welcome to Simon Property Group's First Quarter 2026 Earnings conference call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded.
I will now turn the conference over to Tom Ward, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.
Thank you, Sherry, and thank you all for joining us this evening. Presenting on today's call are Eli Simon, Chief Executive Officer, President, Chief Operating Officer; and Brian McDade, Chief Financial Officer.
A quick reminder that statements made during this call may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and actual results may differ materially due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. We refer you to today's press release and our SEC filings for a detailed discussion of the risk factors related to those forward-looking statements. Please note that this call includes information that may be accurate only as of today's date. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included within the press release and the supplemental information in today's Form 8-K filing. Both the press release and the supplemental information are available on our IR website at investors.simon.com. Our conference call this evening will be limited to 1 hour. For those who would like to participate in the question-and-answer session, we ask that you please respect our request to limit yourself to 1 question.
I am pleased to introduce Eli Simon.
Good evening. I want to start by thanking all those who sent kind notes following my father's passing. His impact on our company and our industry is truly powerful.
Turning to the quarter. We are off to a very good start for 2026 with first quarter results that exceeded our plan. Occupancy gains, increased shopper traffic and higher retailer sales drove strong cash flow growth in the quarter, reflecting solid fundamentals across all our platforms, the resilience of the consumer and the strength and breadth of tenant demand we have for our centers. Retailer demand remains broad-based spanning new and legacy retailers across a wide range of categories in all of our platforms and geographies.
During the first quarter, we signed more than 1,100 leases totaling over 4.7 million square feet. Approximately 25% of our leasing volume in the quarter was new deals. We have completed more than 75% of our 2026 expirations and are ahead of where we were at this time last year. We have a robust and expanding pipeline of deals that are significantly larger than this time last year, reflecting continued demand from a diverse mix of tenants.
Now turning to development and redevelopment activity. We have projects under construction at 29 centers with our share of net cost of $1.06 billion at a blended yield of 9%. Approximately 50% of the net cost is for mixed-use projects including approximately 1,200 units of multifamily residential at Brea Mall, Briarwood Mall, and Northgate and more than 400 hotel keys at Northshore Mall, [ Rosebel ] Field and the domain. We also have exciting redevelopment of former anchor boxes underway at Brea Mall, and the Fashion Mall at Keystone, where we'll be adding more productive new retail restaurants, entertainment and fitness uses. We have an additional $1 billion of projects, so we'll have the ability to start construction this year, including new developments, anchor redevelopments and international redevelopments and expansions.
Beyond that, we have approximately $3 billion of projects in our pipeline that could start over the next several years. Investments that will make our great centers even better. All of these projects will be funded for maternally generated cash flow we will maintain our track record of discipline in how we allocate capital, rigorously evaluating each project against our return thresholds. We have complete flexibility in our development pipeline. We can be patient and adjust timing depending on construction costs for market conditions. We can also invest countercyclically, delivering product when others can't. These accretive development and redevelopment activities deliver strong yields, enhance our portfolio and drive long-term growth in cash flow, FFO and dividends per share.
Moving on now to retailer sales. Malls and Premium Outlets were $819 per square foot in the quarter, up 11.8%. More importantly, sales growth accelerated. Total sales volume increased 5.6% over the trailing 12 months and 8.8% in the quarter, with comparable sales growth of 6.5% for the first quarter. Our remerchandising efforts are clearly showing through in total sales volumes with strong growth across our portfolio and across categories such as luxury, jewelry, athleisure and juniors.
With that, I will now turn it over to Brian who will review our financial results from the first quarter in more detail and provide an update on our outlook for the remainder of the year.
Thank you, Eli. Real estate FFO was $1.2 billion or $3.17 per share in the first quarter compared to $1.1 billion or $2.95 per share in the prior year period, growth of 7.5%. Domestic and international operations both performed well and contributed $0.27 of growth, driven by increased lease income along with disciplined cost management. As anticipated, higher interest expense and lower interest income combined were a $0.05 drag year-over-year. Reported FFO of $2.91 per share includes $40 million or $0.10 per share of accelerated stock compensation expense which reduced real estate FFO by $0.02 per share and other platform investments net of tax by $0.08 per share.
Domestic property NOI growth was strong and increased 6.7% year-over-year for the quarter with approximately 120 basis points of that growth attributable to our acquisition of the remaining TRG interests. Portfolio NOI, which includes our international properties at constant currency, also grew 6.7% for the quarter. Malls and Premium Outlet occupancy at the end of the first quarter was 96%, an increase of 10 basis points year-over-year. The mills occupancy was 99.2%, an increase of 80 basis points year-over-year. Average base minimum rent for the malls in the premium outlets increased 5.2% year-over-year and the mills increased 9.1%. Occupancy cost at the end of the quarter was 12.7%.
Shifting to return of capital. Today, we announced our dividend of $2.25 per share for the second quarter an increase of $0.15 or 7.1% year-over-year. The dividend is payable on June 30. Also, in the first quarter, we repurchased approximately 965,000 shares of our common stock for an investment of $175 million at an average purchase price of $181.59.
Turning to the balance sheet. During the first quarter, we were active. We completed 10 secured loan transactions totaling approximately $2.3 billion at a weighted average interest rate of 5.25%. We also issued $800 million of senior notes that we used to repay proceeds from to repay our $800 million of notes that matured on January 15. We also amended, restated and extended our $5 billion revolving credit facility at a 15 basis point lower pricing grid, and we ended the quarter with approximately $8.7 billion of liquidity. Subsequent to the end of the quarter, we closed on the refinancing of the Shops at Crystals via a 5-year CMBS loan that was priced at 4.83%, the lowest retail fixed rate coupon CMBS financing completed over the last 4 years.
Turning to [ Clay Pierre's ] exchangeable bonds. During the quarter, we settled the conversion of approximately $174 million of outstanding bonds by exchanging 4.1 million shares of [ ClayPierre ] and EUR 79 million of cash. As part of that, we recognized a noncash non-FFO gain of $64 million in the quarter on the exchange of the [ Clay Pier ] shares. Subsequent to the end of the quarter, we settled additional conversions of $374 million of the exchangeable bonds. Following the exchanges, there are approximately $188 million of bonds outstanding that will mature in November. We currently own approximately 59 million shares of [ Clay Pierre's ] common stock which represents approximately 20.7% ownership. At the end of the quarter, our balance sheet remains strong with net debt to EBITDA of 5.0x and a fixed charge coverage ratio of 4.6x, supporting our strategy and continued execution.
And finally, on to guidance for 2026, given our results for the first quarter and our current view for the remainder of the year, we are increasing our full year 2026 real estate FFO guidance to a range of $13.10 to $13.25 per share. That compares to $12.73 per share last year of real estate FFO and is a 5% increase at the midpoint.
Thank you. We are now available for your questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Samir Khanal with Bank of America.
2. Question Answer
Thank you. Good afternoon, everybody. Eli I guess, as it relates to retailer demand, you mentioned it's very strong, and I assume you have a lot of leverage on negotiations with the tenants here. Maybe talk about the pricing power you have in this environment. I know you spoke about addressing sort of upcoming expirations into '27? So talk about kind of that growth momentum over the next, let's call it, 12 months?
Sure. So first, we don't have any leverage over the retailers. The retailers can go a lot of places. They can open stores, not open stores, go online, go on Amazon. So I would bury the first part of the question that we have any leverage or real pricing power over the retailers. But I would like, I guess, on the second part, on the pipeline. So the pipeline is significant. And what's interesting is the way I look about it, it's really up across all different categories that we're leasing it today. So that's the legacy brand, that's our new business leasing, which are first to mall, first to our portfolio from either PTC online or from Asia, from Europe, et cetera, Luxury brands, that pipeline is up, restaurants are up and the local and regional business is up. So we're really seeing broad-based demand across all our centers, not just sort of the top fortress centers, but really across the portfolio.
And I think I attribute that to the fact that we're making our centers better. We're making them more relevant and the customers, particularly the Gen Z customer wants to come to our centers and you're seeing that in traffic growth, and you're seeing it in the retailer sales. So we're not going to talk about pricing power, have no leverage, but we feel very good about the pipeline and about our conversations with tenants.
And then on the future expirations. So I guess a couple of things. One is we are above where we are in our '26 expirations. It's around 200 basis points or so more than this time last year. But what's interesting when talking to the leasing team is retailers are now willing to talk about their '27, '28, '29 expirations, which historically might have been more of a luxury tenant phenomenon who think much like we do in terms of decades, not quarter-to-quarter, but we're actually hearing from legacy retailers in our existing portfolio non-luxury that actually want to start having those conversations because I think they understand this pipeline, too, and the interest in our space. And so we like having those conversations, and I think they've been productive so far.
Our next question is from Caitlin Burrows with Goldman Sachs.
Maybe just big picture, wondering if you could go through considering the leadership transition, do you expect any changes to Simon's strategy and execution? And is there any change to capital allocation priorities between call it, acquisitions, share repurchases versus buyback, the D3 development pipeline and dividend growth? I know you've been active on all fronts recently.
Sure. As far as leadership changes, this is -- we're operating business as usual. We have the best-in-class team and we're continuing to execute on our business plan. So no change there, and everyone is excited for the future and excited to keep doing what we're doing.
With regards to capital allocations, we look at all of it always. And I guess I'll just go through the different pieces. And so starting off on our development, redevelopment pipeline, which I mentioned. So the current projects underway is about $1 billion. We have about $1 billion that we'll have the ability to start later this year and then at least $3 billion behind that, that we can start over the next several years. And so we look at that each project on a project-by-project basis, incredibly meticulously incredibly detailed, and we evaluate the market conditions at that time, the retailer demand. Do we think it's the appropriate return? And today, we're seeing very good returns there. And doing what we're able to do in this pipeline at 9% plus, we feel very good about adding density, adding mixed uses to our centers, and so we'll continue to do that. But if market conditions change, if costs arise from a construction perspective, we obviously have the ability to stop, to pause this is land we own, and we're going to own forever and so we'll do it at the right time.
[ NextEra's ] acquisitions. Obviously, there's been more transactions in the retail market, which I think overall is great, more capital coming into the sector. When I think about acquisitions sort of -- and I've said this before, but it's 3 key criteria as to make our portfolio better. It has to be brand accretive and that's to be an asset that we can -- or a portfolio that we can add real value, utilize our skills to operate better and it has to be at the right price. And so last year, if you put aside the remaining stake in TRG, we did 3 transactions the mall outlets in Italy, Brickell City Center, obviously, in Miami and Phillips Place in Charlotte. And all 3 of those hit those criteria and frankly, outperforming even what we thought and are very excited about those future prospects.
Next, I guess, you could go to share buybacks obviously, a slightly slower pace in the last quarter. Then a little geopolitical unrest, a little choppiness in the market. And so we are prudent and waited but as we said last year, we issued a little over 5 million shares to do the last 12% of the [ Talvin ] transaction. and we fully expect to buy those back. And so I would expect us to continue to be active. But again, if we do it now great if we wait because we think it's prudent, that's fine as well. And then on the dividend, obviously, the dividend increase. It's been growing at a nice rate. It's something we take tremendous pride in. I'm pretty sure looking at Brian, I think in the third quarter, we should be passing $50 billion paid as a public company, which is a pretty big number. And so that's obviously incredibly important to us.
But at the end of the day, if you think about the business, we're generating [ $1.6 billion ] or so of free cash flow after dividends. And so we have tremendous opportunities and tremendous things to do with that. And if we continue to naturally deleverage because we don't like the opportunities, that's fine, too, which we've been doing. So I guess that was a long winded -- long-winded way to answer, but really, no change in our capital allocation. We continue to evaluate all ideas and all opportunities, and we'll do what's best at that at any given time, which could be all or could be none.
Our next question is from Michael Goldsmith with UBS.
Eli, you mentioned the resilience of the consumer. What are you seeing from the consumer specifically? Or is there any way that they are changing the way they the shop or spend at the centers? And then also, if you have any data on the Gen-Z consumer and how they may be different than some of the other cohorts that would be helpful.
Sure. So I would say the sales growth is really broad-based, right? 6.5% comp for the quarter is a very healthy number. And it's really a cross category. Clearly, the upper end consumer is doing very well. You could look at the stock market that should not be a surprise. And so you're obviously seeing that in the luxury business with some of the brands, frankly, that might have been a little bit softer in the past couple of years now having starting to see some rebound, but really, you're seeing it in the hard luxury and jewelry and watches, really, really solid growth.
But we're also seeing it in the juniors business, which hits that Gen-Z customer both new junior brands, legacy junior brands, all really fired on all cylinders. And I think that's an example of competition is great because some of these legacy brands needed to innovate, needed to be able to compete with some of these new brands. I was that the catalyst office, I guess, last week or the week before, and aero, which is now competing with some new entrants in that space. are doing new things with new influencers that frankly, I had no idea who they were, but I think for the customer they're targeting, it's working. And so we are definitely seeing that across the portfolio.
The only thing I would say that is a touch softer is on the food and beverage side, which is basically was flat from a comp perspective. And so that's probably not surprising seeing some of the earnings from the restaurant groups out there. But whether it's a trading down effect, maybe one less trip out, that is that's the only place we're seeing it, but the rest of it is broad-based growth. Obviously, athleisure still very strong across the portfolio. The only other thing, I guess, I could say on sales is the tourist markets that really rely on the European and Canadian international traveler, that is a touch softer. You look at Woodberry, Woodberry, I think comp was, call it, 2.5% versus 6.6%, that's atypical, right? Woodberry normally, you would say is going to be performing well above average. And that obviously is less European international travel into the U.S. and Canadian is a big part of that.
From the flip side is you go to Florida, and it is from South Florida Panhandle the west side with Tampa and what we have at International Plaza or water side and Naples and obviously, Orlando, which has probably been the best market over the past year. Very, very strong growth there. And then on the Gen-Z customer, I guess, look out in the future, we have some things coming there. But I think the way I look at it is you can see it in the sales. You can see it in these customers or in these retailers that are targeting. They are all growing. They want more space and their sales are proving that they're resonating with that customer.
Michael, this is Brian. I guess the only thing I would add on the Gen-Z customer is they were really the centerpiece of our [ Meet Me At The Mall ] campaign that we launched marketing team 2 years ago, we identified this as being a growing cohort. And we've been investing, we've been bringing the brands to bear that the Gen-Z cohort is looking for. And most of our activations and social aspects are geared towards them as well. And so a big lean in from us. It's been about 2 years, and we continue to see great progress with that consumer.
Our next question is from Michael Griffin with Evercore ISI.
Great. Eli, just curious if you can give us maybe some color on whether it's new or renewal lease spreads and maybe how that compares relative to this time last year? And then if you look at the portfolio right now, north of 96% leased, arew we reaching sort of that structural occupancy? Could we see it go to 96.5%, 97%. Just curious if you can give some commentary there as well.
Sure. So on -- so spreads, I think, is not necessarily the most relevant metric. But what I would -- what I would say on new historically, over the last number of years, we're sort of in the mid-single digits increases on renewals, bounces around up and down a little bit from that number, depending on what package of renewals are signed in any given quarter but that's holding true, and we don't see any real change there. And as I said, we're looking at renewals further into the future. Retailers were asking us about that. And obviously, we're only going to do those renewals, if it makes sense for us as well.
On the new deals, what I look at is the new leases we are signing are 20-plus percent, 20%, 25% above new leases last year. And that is -- obviously, there's -- mix is part of that. But really, it's -- the brands understand the importance of having a great physical representation and our centers are that. And so we're proud of that. And the other thing we're probably more proud of, frankly, is what we call our new business brands are outperforming that increase by, call it, another 10% plus on that. So the best of the best brands whether it's some of these beauty brands coming from Asia. We just opened a Google store at Fashion Valley, I guess this weekend, new athleisure brands, new home furnishing brands. We're able to have rents there that they are able to pay because they're doing the business and because they're generating the traffic and they know that it's great for them, and it's going to help their business grow. So hopefully, that answers the first part on spreads.
On occupancy, it's interesting. If we wanted to we could lease up to 97%, 97.5%. I have no doubt about that. But I think for us, we look at this not metric quarter-to-quarter or even a year-end metric to really what's the right decision long term for these assets. And so sometimes that might be holding space for another retailer that's coming and might be taking a little bit of downtime, which, again, we don't like to do, and we have an incredible short-term leasing program that keeps the occupancy at a good number. But we honestly don't focus if it's 90 -- what? it's 96 now, 96.4 at the end of the year, it's [ 96.2% or 96.6% ]. That's not what I'm focused on. I'm focused on, excluding the Taubman 12%, we grew NOI 5.5% year-over-year, and we've grown it at north of [ 4% ] for the last 4 years. So that's more important than 20 basis points on the margin. But the answer is yes. There is there is room to increase occupancy here, but it's not the be all and end all for us. It's really let's grow cash flow.
Our next question is from Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler.
Evening out there. Eli, just a question on data centers. You guys in the past year or so have spoken about how the B malls have rebounded strong in centers that a number of years ago, you would have sort of used for cash flow now have a second life because of the demand from retailers and there's a renewed vibrancy to them. But as you look at the demand for data centers and presumably some of your centers have excess power utilities or what have you, do you see opportunity where whether they're many data centers or maybe even converting the entire site to data center, do you see this as an opportunity for any of the excess holdings? Or as you look at the portfolio all the malls because of this lack of supply are really their highest and best uses, either as a mall or mixed-use venue?
Sure. So I would say -- the answer to the first part is probably 18 months ago or so, we really scoured their portfolio. As you said, both the combination of again, we don't really use A or B malls, but malls that might have had a lower growth profile for potentially excess land at some other malls to see is there anywhere that makes sense for a data center, we talk to various data center operators. And we couldn't find anything that made sense. And honestly, the power is less available than you would think, especially, obviously, if it's an existing mall that would stay in place. And so it's something we -- with our team, we look at relatively frequently. But to date, we have not found anything.
But to answer the second part, at the end of the day, we're economic animals. And if there is a higher and better use for the data center, that we thought we could sell something and take cash and reinvest it elsewhere more accretively. We would do that 100%. We haven't seen that to date. And as you mentioned, we're excited about the growth prospects there. So it's not like we're actively trying to shed any assets in that regard or try to find alternative uses. We are doing what we said we were going to do. If you look at [ Smith Haven ], for example, we signed a very important retailer there and put in capital to renovate. And now we've seen good growth and good demand. So we'll continue to evaluate, but the demand is there from the retailers really up and down the portfolio. And so we will continue to operate. But again, if someone came and he comes and says, here's a big price for an asset, and we look at it and say there's a better use of that cash, we won't hesitate to sell. It just hasn't happened yet.
Our next question is from Greg McGinniss of Scotiabank.
I was just curious on the integration with Taubman, how that's going, what synergies you're finding and where you see best opportunities for reinvesting into that platform? What's now your platform?
Great. And thanks for asking that. So I'd say from a corporate integration perspective, it's gone according to plan effectively fully completed all the corporate integration by the end of April. So that's done, and it was well done by the team and so we're excited how that turned out. And so now on to the assets, we're honestly probably more excited than we were in November or October, I guess, when we finish. And it's a combination of sort of using our ability to operate centers at a level that increases margin and that's from an operating expense perspective, that's from a marketing perspective, that's ancillary income, that's parking. Obviously, our short-term leasing program, which I mentioned earlier, to be able to be fully integrated. There has been helpful.
And then our leasing department able to lease these centers, which again, obviously, the Taubman team did a great job, but they were leasing these centers for the past 6 years of the transaction. So now we're able to do that. But more importantly or most importantly, I should say, is our ability now with our balance sheet to reinvest into these centers. And that's, frankly, what I'm most excited about and so if you look last quarter, I think a day or 2 after earnings, we put out a press release, and I'll just highlight 3 assets briefly that we mentioned. But in Nashville at Green Hills and Tampa at International Plaza and at Cherry Creek in Denver we're going to invest over $250 million into those centers starting later this year to really make them again, great assets performing great, tenant sales strong and leasing strong, but to make them even better to freshen them up to make them look the same that the refitting as for the performance of the retailers.
And so we have renderings that I've shared with some of the retailers, especially the luxury retailers, all very, very excited. And so now it's our job to go execute that to sort of take the vision and to do to do the redevelopments or do the renovations, which we're in the process of starting very soon.
And then obviously, to the lease to those tenants that we think should be in these centers. And so no different Green Hills than we did at South Dale in [ Dyna ] Minnesota, which I don't know if you've been out there, but what we did was sort of revitalize the whole mall. And these malls we are not in the position that South [indiscernible] was in, they're in a much better position, but we think we can have an equally strong impact from these programs. International Plaza will be an expansion, probably an outdoor expansion revitalized Bay Street, which has great restaurants, we think we can upgrade the restaurant mix. So sort of doing what we've been doing across the rest of our portfolio, now we're able to do it on these great assets. And so it's a big focus of ours sort of a whole of company approach and that's what we've been telling retailers and it's true because these assets should be and will be better. And that's something very exciting for us.
Our next question is from Ronald Kamdem with Morgan Stanley.
Great. Just wondering if you can provide an update on sort of the other platform investments and some of the retail investments they've been performing relative to expectations and your thinking in terms of monetization of that platform. And the follow-up would be, I think part of the thinking was getting a lot of data from the retailers would be valuable. Just maybe can you talk about how that's been sort of helpful in this sort of new age where everybody is focused on AI.
Sure. So I guess if you think about OPI today, is basically comprised of 3 pieces. It's a catalyst, which is obviously the former Spark and [ JCPenney ] businesses. It's [ Rulon Gilt ], which has [ Shop Simon ] in it and it's Jamestown. All 3 are performing at or above plan for the first quarter of the year. I think the teams -- they all have obviously independent management teams. They're doing great. And so from an operating perspective, I'd say it's business as usual, and they're continuing to execute on their business plans. But again, quarter to -- or year-to-date, they've all been effectively at plan.
From a monetization perspective, we're opportunistic sellers. We're not planning on anything if there's an opportunity, and we think it's in the best interest of shareholders, would we do it? Of course, but if not, they're all properly capitalized, have proper liquidity amounts and the ability to run themselves. And so that's what we expect to happen. But if something occurs, that's great, too, and we will not hesitate to monetize if it's in the best interest of shareholders, which obviously we did with our authentic brand stake a couple of years ago.
As far as data, I'd say less data, hard data specifically because obviously, you have privacy issues and whatnot with that, but really on best practices and learnings. And if you think about a couple of departments from our marketing department it's incredibly interesting and our marketing team talks often to the marketing team from [ RulandGilt ] and from catalysts to learn how they're attracting customers, where they're seeing the most efficacy of their ad buys whether it's TikTok or meta or [indiscernible] has big connected TV business, et cetera. And so that's what I would say is we're more focused on. I think it's interesting from a brand perspective, helps us think like a retailer.
So for example, the tariff situation, we're able to understand how catalysts, which is no different than hundreds and hundreds or thousands, thousands, frankly, of retailers in the country are dealing with the tariff refunds and how they're planning for the year. And so I think it gives us insights and data from that perspective but not necessarily hard data that we can monetize because there's real legal implications there that make it tricky. But you mentioned we're learning from them, too. And I think they're learning from us, we're comparing, again, different tools to use different programs, how can we provide more customization for the consumer because these retailers, especially [ RulinGilt ], are really good at that. And so we can learn from that.
So for us, we look at a symbiotic relationship, hopefully, we can add some value to those companies. They can add value to us and we're happy shareholders of those companies and we continue to -- or we expect to continue to be for a while. But if something comes up, then we won't hesitate to do something that's in the best interest of the company.
Our next question is from Floris Van Dijkum with Ladenburg Thalmann.
Eli, thanks for the answer so far. Question on the redevelopment pipeline. Obviously, 9% direct returns appear very attractive, you've got an ongoing pipeline of $1 billion and another $1 billion down the pike. But 1% to 2% of your overall portfolio value or even less, actually, could you maybe talk about what percentage of the portfolio you still have left that is yet to receive cattle? And then maybe the follow-on with the add-on is if the direct returns are 9%, what are the actual returns once you redeveloped? And do you see the benefits in other parts of the center, for example, when you add or rejuvenate a wing, what kind of returns do you -- have you typically seen in age into the immediate incremental returns?
Thanks for the question. So I would say we're investing capital in basically every center, every year, frankly. And so as far as large transformational projects, sort of that if you put aside the $1 billion that's actively under development today, and you call it the $4 billion to $5 billion shadow pipeline, that's on I don't know, probably 20, 25 centers that we're developing at , I think I said 29 centers today. There's for sure others that are not in there. I don't have an exact number, but we -- some of it is because we don't control the real estate that we'd want to control to do the redevelopment or do the densification or the mixed-use addition or whatnot or whatever makes sense for that center.
So I don't have an exact number, but if sort of the fear is that we are running out of things to do. We're not, not even scratching the surface. And again, there will be more opportunities across the portfolio over time. We're not going to go to the extent we don't control piece of real estate that we want -- that we want to develop. We're not going to go and buy it just to buy it to be able to do it today, even though we could, just not the way we think about it.
As far as the other benefits, it's interesting. It's a question that frankly, I talk with the team about often is that we do not underwrite it. And the reason is really need to be intellectually honest with ourselves and say, if we're doing a redevelopment -- I'm in Indianapolis today, so at Keystone, redeveloping the Saks box or the former Saks box, which just started, there will be an impact, no doubt. But we have to look at it and say, okay, for the new money we're putting in, what are we earning knowing that there's going to be a benefit. What I look at is less the less incremental, okay, we got [ $5 ] of new rent on this tenant or that tenant because that sort of day-to-day business and how do you quantify that as hard. I look at sort of, say, what are the customers saying?
And so if you look at new projects we opened in South Dale last year and in Brea, just 2, for example, both fairly fully open. I think the last tenant at Southdale was Tiffany's, which I want to say opened in February. Brea, Dick's did not open until April just opened recently and Lifetime has an open -- and I want to say 1 or 2 of the restaurants are not open. And those 2 centers on a like-for-like basis are performing 1,000, 1,500 basis points above where those similar comp brands are performing across our portfolio. And so that's sort of, to me, the more important metric because they're showing that the money we're putting in, the development we're doing yes, we're in a 9%.
But we're making the center more relevant. If we make the center more relevant, more customers come, retail sales grow, we're going to add new retailers and how do you do the line and cut the line and say well discounts in the return this doesn't. It's really hard. And so that's why we don't include it. But we know it's there, and it's something that gives us comfort as we look at some of these bigger projects that will start over the next year, whether it's Boca or Ross Park or Fashion Valley or what have you.
So I appreciate the question. I wish I had a really good number to show you, but we know it's important. And that's why we're excited about the pipeline. That's why we mentioned on the call is this is an important avenue of growth for us. And I think we've shown we have the ability to execute it. As now we just have to keep doing that in the years ahead.
And Floris, all I would add was that the investment in a project there are multiple projects over time at properties. And so [indiscernible] Field is a great example. We could go down the list of assets that we've redeveloped multiple times over the years and continue to get the appropriate kind of return and the halo effect in the regular part of the shopping center.
Our next question is from Vince Tibone with Green Street Advisors.
Eli, I'm curious where purchasing bake anchor boxes at your centers that you don't currently own rank in terms of capital priorities? And ultimately, how are you thinking about the value of control of those spaces and being able to get the best use in that space from a tenant redevelopment perspective to unlock all the benefits you just talked about versus letting a third-party owner release that, that presumably only cares about the highest unit economics and less about the mall ecosystem. So Simon has been patient and price-sensitive purchased some of these spaces historically. So I'm just kind of curious how you're thinking about it.
Sure. So I guess, on the second part, obviously, say every mall, but most of these malls have RIAs, we have approval rights. So it has to be consistent with the -- again, not to go through the legal language of each one. But so that's in our mind. But really, we just look at it as what's the price and we evaluate each one independently and say, what would we do here? Do we want it back? Do we have leasing demand? We have leasing demand, okay, how do we lay it out? We'd lay it out, how would we -- what's the construction cost of that? What's the return? Do we think it does anything to the rest of the mall sort of the halo effect Brian mentioned that I was just talking about.
And so if there's something we really want, we can go and could call and buy it. But typically, we've seen is we sort of can sit and buy it at the right price and if you look at the price of some of these boxes that we've been able to get, we're very pleased with them. And obviously, then when we run the return analysis, we're very pleased. And so I don't prioritize anything really from a capital allocation perspective, besides does it -- do we have liquidity for it? Yes, but does it fit with our objectives? And so it's something we will continue to do, obviously, is acquire boxes over time.
But we're only going to do it at the right price and sometimes the right price might be a lot higher than somebody else might have and sometimes the right price might be a lot lower than somebody else might have. And that's fine. And and we'll make the decision. Are we okay if somebody else does it? And sometimes, we are okay. And sometimes we're not okay. And then we'll figure out if there's a meeting of the minds and there's a price that we can buy it. So it's something we sort of do day in, day out, no -- no special project just sort of ordinary course business.
And so to the extent we have opportunities to buy it at good prices and have redevelopment plans, we'll buy for sure. And if you look at some of the projects that hopefully we announced over the next year or so, a number of them will be in boxes that we bought, that we think we bought it at an attractive price and allowed these redevelopments to pencil. And so that's what we're focused on and we're in this business for a long time. And so if we get them today or if we get them in a year, 2 years, 5 years, we'll be -- we'll do the right decision for the mall and for the capital -- for our capital allocation.
Our next question is from Craig Mailman with Citigroup.
Clearly, it doesn't feel like you guys have capital constraints here with the liquidity and the free cash flow. Just kind of curious from the platform. How much development do you think you could handle at one time and continue to source new entitlements and new opportunities? Like is there a limit in the near term or do you guys have significant excess capacity?
Yes. I mean from a capital perspective, significant excess capacity for sure, from a resources perspective, at the end of the day, these are all highly local processes, which often involves outside council, outside advisers, et cetera. And so the team is doing a great job. We have a number of projects. I don't feel that's an issue at all to extend. We thought it was an issue. We could add human resources highly accretively given what we're talking about, the potential EBITDA or NOI creation from these assets. And so we feel very good about the pipeline.
I'd say the only thing that's out of our control or we're dealing with local municipalities and villages or townships depending on what the -- where the mall is located, that's out of our control. So if we could find a way to do that faster, that would be great. But unfortunately, you're dealing with elected officials, appointed officials, what have you. And so that's the one thing that's out of our control. The rest of it's in our control, and I feel very good that we can execute on that.
And then obviously, the last piece is we always have the ability to bring in partners on some of the stuff, if we want it. We've done it on multifamily projects. We've done it on a few hotels. We financed some with construction financing. But I look at it and say, as I said, we're generating [ $1.6 billion ] of free cash flow after dividends. And this stuff takes time to build and it doesn't start at the same time. So -- and plus, we're basically under 5x levered now, too. So [indiscernible] leverage is [ 6 plus $1 billion ] of capacity. So that is like not close to a thought in my mind. Brian, anything.
No, look, we're accelerating at the end of the day, Craig, you can see it. You heard Eli talk about it. You have great opportunities ahead of us. And so you should expect us to continue to realize and accelerate on those investment opportunities. we can do things that others can't and quite honestly, aren't. And so what we're delivering today is new product. There is no new product being built, and we believe that's a durable competitive advantage.
Our next question is from Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho Securities.
We've got a quick 2-parter on the core portfolio. First, on same-store NOI, up a robust 6.7% in the first quarter. So I guess I'm curious if there's any change to the initial guide, at least 3%. Can you supply some clear decel here over the next few quarters or maybe we're not appreciating something there? And then maybe can you share some color on the current snow pipeline right now? What's the embedded NOI and when do you expect that to come online?
I'll just do the first part. So the same-store NOI, we don't call it that. It's domestic NOI. And so that 6.7% for the quarter, as Brian said, is really call it, 120 basis points of that is from the 12% stake but we bought in Taubman last, I guess, November 1. And so that will obviously play through our results for the second quarter and the third quarter and a little bit a little bit less, obviously, in the fourth quarter. And so we'll probably have, call it, plus or minus 100 basis points impact on the year. We don't update guidance. We guided to at least 3%. I think we've guided to at least 3% for a number of years -- a number of years now, our job is to outperform that. Obviously, we have a good start to the year, and so we'll just continue doing what we're doing, but we really don't update don't update that guidance besides obviously, I just wanted to clarify about the Taubman or the former [ Talvin ] stake and then Brian on the snow.
Yes. No, snow, at the end of the quarter was 310 basis points, Haendel. Usually, you see an increase in our business in the first quarter and then it dissipates as the quarter goes down as tenants open. But 310 basis points, which was consistent with first quarter at 25 type of level.
Our next question is from Mike Mueller with JPMorgan.
Actually, I have a follow-up on the prior question. How much of an impact did the buyout have TRG buy on your operating stats like the year-over-year sales comps and the 5% base menu rent growth?
Yes. So honestly, we don't look at it. We look at it and say these -- I guess it's 18 assets domestically, right? There are assets, they're Simon assets. Besides the NOI growth, which -- or the domestic property NOI, which is a little skewed from the 12% stake. We don't -- honestly, we don't look at it. I don't know. We don't they're all SPG assets. And so that's the way we operate them. That's the way we lease them. That's the way we account for them. That's the way we think about them. So the honest answer is, I don't know. It did increase it, I guess, maybe, but we don't really think it matters. We think it matters that they are assets that we're operating, and they're part of our cash flow, and we're growing the cash flow.
Our final question is from Rich Hightower with Barclays.
Maybe one for Brian to go back to the Crystals CMBS financing. And as I kind of look through the debt schedule, obviously, you've got a number of secured debt financing is kind of coming due over the course of '26 and '27. So maybe just fill us in with color on the market spreads proceeds and maybe what the -- I'm assuming it's another interest expense headwind as you think about refinancing over the next couple of years given the rates on a lot of these loans. So just help us understand the big parts.
Sure, Rich. No problem. Great question. We -- Crystal was a great execution, 5-year CMBS, 480 coupon which was incredible, probably the tightest coupon we've seen in the last 4 years, but we're pricing off of a higher base rate. So even with that incredible coupon, we're rolling up that interest expense about 60-plus basis points. The rest of the balance of the portfolio refinancing we did on average. The coupon is up are about 50 basis points relative to maturing so we are still seeing interest expense headwinds as we anticipated, while the spreads are at record types, we are still seeing impacts from base rates. But markets are wide open. We've been active in the CMBS market. We've been active in the life market. We've obviously been active in the unsecured market, we expect to continue for the balance of the year.
But the original $0.25 to $0.30 headwind that we expected between higher interest expense and lower interest income is still there. It probably is gravitating closer to the [ 25 versus the 30 ] today where rates are, but there's definitely still a headwind ahead of us balance of the year.
With no further questions, I would like to turn the conference back over to Eli Simon for closing remarks.
Thank you, everybody, for the time today and look forward to hopefully seeing many of you in Vegas or in New York in the coming weeks.
Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect at this time, and thank you for your participation.
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Simon Property Group — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Simon Property Group — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Solide Q1 2026: SPG übertrifft Plan, hebt FFO-Guidance an, starke Leasing-Pipeline und Dividende erhöht.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Real estate FFO: $1,2 Mrd. bzw. $3,17 je Aktie (+7,5% YoY; Funds From Operations).
- Händlerumsatz: $819 pro ft² (+11,8% Q/Q); vergleichbare Verkäufe +6,5% im Q1, TTM +5,6%.
- Belegung: Gesamt 96,0% (+10 bp YoY); Malls 99,2% (+80 bp YoY).
- Rückfluss: Q2-Dividende $2,25 (+7,1% YoY); Rückkäufe ~965k Aktien für $175M.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Leasing: Mehr als 1.100 Verträge / 4,7 Mio. ft²; ~25% Neugeschäfte; Pipeline deutlich größer als vor Jahr.
- Entwicklung: 29 Projekte in Bau, Beteiligungskosten $1,06 Mrd. bei blended Yield ~9%; +$1 Mrd. startfähig dieses Jahr, ~ $3 Mrd. weiterer Pipeline.
- Kapital: Disziplinierte Allokation: Dividende und opportunistische Buybacks; Taubman-Integration abgeschlossen, gezielte Reinvestitionen angekündigt.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- FFO-Guidance: Jahresprognose Real estate FFO erhöht auf $13,10–$13,25 je Aktie (Mittelpunkterhöhung ≈+5% YoY).
- Bilanz: Liquidität ~ $8,7 Mrd., Net Debt/EBITDA 5,0x, Fixed Charge Coverage 4,6x.
- Zinsrisiko: Refinanzierungsheadwind bleibt (ursprünglich $0,25–$0,30 je Aktie; Management sieht näher an $0,25).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Pricing: Management betont keine einseitige Preissetzungsmacht; neue Abschlüsse ~20–25% über Vorjahr, Erneuerungen mid-single-digits.
- Pipeline & Returns: Renditen der Projekte bei ~9%; Startzeiten flexibel, Redevelopments liefern darüber hinaus Halo‑Effekte auf Verkäufe.
- Allokation: Taubman-Integration vollzogen; Fokus auf Reinvestitionen in Top‑Assets (>$250M für ausgewählte Center), Buybacks opportunistisch.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Einschätzung: Operative Stärke und erhöhte FFO-Guidance untermauern Cash-Flow- und Dividendenaussichten; kurzfristige Zinskosten bleiben ein Risiko, Bilanz und Pipeline bieten aber Flexibilität für Buybacks und Projekte.
Simon Property Group — Citi’s Miami Global Property CEO Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
Just lost internet and COO, Eli Simon. This session is for Citi clients only and disclosures have been made available at the corporate access desk. To ask a question, you can raise your hand or go to LiveQA.com, enter code GPC26 to submit questions.
Eli, I'll hand it over to you to introduce the company and team. Provide any opening remarks, tell the audience the top reasons an investors should buy your stock today, and then we'll get into Q&A.
Perfect. Good afternoon, and thank you, Nick and Craig, for the introduction. We appreciate the opportunity to speak with you today. Let me begin with the core principle that has guided Simon for decades, assets matter. When assets are built to last and located in the best market, their longevity generates sustainable growing cash flow. That has been the defining characteristic of our company for decades, and it continues to drive our performance today.
Our assets stay relevant because we continually reinvest in them, redeveloping, densifying and curating the best tenant mix and enhancing the customer experience. This continuous improvement creates a virtuous cycle that extends asset life and compounds cash flow growth. Not many real estate assets last for 70-plus years. Ours can and do through disciplined accretive reinvestment and operational expertise, including most recently at South Dale Center and Edina, Minnesota, where we have reinvented the oldest enclosed mall in the country and made it more relevant than ever.
Our strategy remains clear and consistent: own and operate the best retail real estate in the best markets, reinvest in our assets with high-return redevelopment, densification and mixed-use additions to drive long-term value creation, pursue disciplined accretive acquisitions where we can add value and innovate to enhance both the consumer and retailer experience.
2025 was an exceptional year and a validation of our model. We delivered record results across all key operating metrics, including revenue, NOI, real estate FFO and dividends, supported by strong retailer demand and increasing shopper traffic. We completed $2 billion of strategic acquisitions, including the remaining interest in Taubman Realty Group, our partners' interest in Brickell City Centre and the Mall luxury outlets in Italy. Each of these deals enhances the quality and long-term growth profile of our portfolio.
We completed significant redevelopment and expansion projects, transforming former department stores into high productivity experiential environments and expanding our mixed-use components. Our active development pipeline is $1.5 billion with a shadow pipeline of more than $4 billion that will start over the next few years. Approximately 40% of that pipeline is in transformative mixed-use projects at iconic properties, including the Town Center at Boca Raton and Fashion Valley in San Diego. Our financial foundation remains rock solid with our A-rated balance sheet continuing to be a defining advantage. With more than $9 billion of liquidity and over $1.5 billion of annual free cash flow after dividends, we have the flexibility to reinvest, acquire and return capital to shareholders while maintaining disciplined leverage.
As we look ahead, our conviction remains strong. Demand for high-quality physical retail remains strong and consistent, and retailers know that operating stores is essential to profitable growth and new supply remains limited. Our continually improved portfolio will support durable cash flow growth for many, many years to come. Our strategy is clear, consistent and proven, and our platform is exceptionally well positioned for long-term value creation.
Thank you, and we look forward to your questions.
Great. So if I synthesize that or maybe you can synthesize that down, what are the, let's just say, 2 or 3 reasons investors should buy the stock today?
Yes. The first, as I said in my opening remarks, assets matter and our portfolio is unrivaled. Demand remains strong and consistent across the portfolio, across all categories, apparel, food and beverage, experiential, entertainment and the like. We're coming off a record year, as I mentioned, '25, and that momentum has continued in the beginning of '26, and we look forward to it continuing.
We also have a strong proven track record of disciplined investments, both external growth opportunities as well as our development and redevelopment pipeline, which remains strong and is growing with many very high accretive projects hoping to start over the next 2 to 3 years.
And finally, as I said, our balance sheet is a significant competitive advantage. We generate over $1.5 billion in excess of our dividend each year, which allows us to reinvest that free cash flow into high accretive opportunities and which will continue into the future. So bottom line, I think no one is more cycle tested and has overcome various external threats more than we have, and we are very excited for that to continue into the future.
Yes. Well, it certainly feels like a good moment for retail broadly right now. I feel like the market and the question that we get the most frequently is how could AI disrupt these different businesses. I want to get into Simon specifically, and I know you've been active and on the front foot about deploying AI in different technologies over the years.
But maybe starting more broadly on retail and what you're hearing from your tenants and the retailers directly about the opportunities and risks that they're seeing from AI today?
Sure. I think from the retailer's perspective, it's a potential new avenue of growth, a new avenue to drive sales. But from a physical retail perspective, nobody is looking at it and saying, well, I'm going to replace my physical stores with an AI agent and with my e-commerce only. I think it's been pretty clear and proven at this point that the way to grow profitably is to open stores. It's a better customer acquisition cost. It creates better long-term value. And what we see and when we talk to retailers is they want to open stores. They want to be in the best markets, and that's what our portfolio provides them. And so we're not hearing any negativity from the retailers. And hopefully, it's a positive more sales for them is better.
If they can operate their businesses better, we obviously own stakes in retailers, and so we understand that business. They are going to -- our retail investments are going to find efficiencies operationally from AI, which only benefits us as now we have -- we'll have better financially healthy tenants. So we look at it as a positive and not really focused on any potential negative outcomes.
And then how about internally within Simon, the opportunity to either be more efficient or...
Of course. We look at AI like we do any other investment, whether it's we're looking to partner with somebody, build it internally, buy something. It's incredibly disciplined. We look at every single nickel in the company, however we spend it, whether it's overhead, technology and our capital projects and our operating expenses. And so we'll continue to do the same with AI. We've obviously used it and had success across various departments across our legal department, our marketing department, we have 30,000 tenants or so that all have different needs, different imagery. We have 200-plus properties in the U.S. And so if we can create materials for them, create pitch books, et cetera, faster, that only benefits us.
And then lastly, obviously, on the data side, we have a tremendous amount of data. We're in the early innings there, but really being able to take that data, use it better, use it more efficiently and then ultimately, find ways to monetize it, which we've started to do, very excited about that, but early innings, but will grow significantly from here.
We had a question come in that dovetails on this. What initiatives are you developing around retail media, the use of customer information to synthesize the data, better bring in foot traffic and maybe partner with tenants and retailers?
Sure. So it's sort of -- I look at it as 2 facets, right? One is our internal use. We have better data, better ability to use the data to allow us to lease better. Allow building programs internally, allow us to have a better understanding of what tenants need to be, where, how they will perform, which is only going to make us better operators.
From the use of data going forward, we've launched a retail media network, launched it last year, continuing to grow it this year. But basically, if you think about it, we have 25 or so million people in our consumer database that's built up over time. We launched our loyalty program in November of last year to get more granular data on those consumers. But I think it's a pretty attractive data set for both our retailers, but also a broader universe because that 25 million people is a part of a cohort that spends $100 billion a year in our assets, a couple of billion visits a year, a few hundred million, 200 million, 300 million individual shoppers.
So clearly, that is pretty powerful. We're in the early days of harnessing it. Obviously, AI will help us, but it's something that we're really focused on top to bottom of the company right now.
And maybe beyond the efficiencies at a corporate level, from an operating expense or maintenance kind of preventative maintenance, right, what are you guys doing at the property level? Or what good technology is there out there, if any, at this point to really help modulate heating, cooling expenses and lighting and all the things that kind of go into it and can minimize CAM.
So it's something that -- it's not like we just woke up and saw the word -- letters AI and said, "Oh my God, how is this going to help us operate better." Right? We've consistently over a very long term, invested in different platforms and different ways to be more energy and efficient, run our properties better. So all -- we view that as just a continuation. So what might have been a software program before now might be AI backed, and we're continuing to trial things.
And the good thing for us is when we talk to potential providers, if we find something that works, they see the ability to roll it out across 200 or so assets in the U.S., which means that we're going to get that first phone call when people have interesting ideas, and we take those calls all the time. And we're starting to see interesting results. It's obviously very early, but energy cost is something we are very focused on and think that hopefully, there are real savings to be had there.
And to circle back, in your prepared remarks, you highlighted the $4 billion of potential kind of development, redevelopment within the pipeline. Maybe talk a little bit about how much of that is Taubman related now that you guys have full control of it versus legacy portfolio. And maybe a range of returns or how we should think about that incremental capital spend?
Sure. So I would say, honestly, the $4 billion, I think, has basically none of Taubman because that was sort of in plan before. We obviously announced right after earnings that we have a $250 million 3 projects in Denver, Cherry Creek, Nashville, at Green Hills and Tampa International Plaza. We are incredibly excited about those projects to make really good assets even better that, frankly, should have been done a while ago. We didn't have the ability to do it. Now we are going to do it.
But that $4 billion is the vast, vast, vast majority of it, if not all of it, frankly, is our core portfolio. From the Tower portfolio, if you think about it, they had an independent balance sheet, not the $9-plus billion of liquidity we have. And so some of the assets do need capital. We've highlighted those 3 is where we think we can have the biggest and best returns. But we're going through property by property and have been in the last several months, looking to see where we can merchandise better, where we can make the properties look better. And so we'll continue to do that.
We look at it not as a 2026 story, but these are assets we want to own forever. And that's why we did the deal initially. It's why we bought the next 4%, the next 4%, the last 12% because these assets are great assets that we want to own for a very long time. And then going to your return question, I think the $1.5 billion is at 9%. I would say 2 things on that, right? Obviously, that's a lot of assets in there, right, a lot of different projects. We'd expect the pipeline, the shadow pipeline, I should say, to be similar. But you should note that we're -- I wish we were building multifamily to a 9%, right, but we're not, but we're building at 150, 200 basis point spread. And so if you think about that as a 6.5 or so, a lot of the other projects then are higher than that, right? 40% or so of the pipeline is mixed use.
Then the other thing, which I do think is important to note is when we underwrite that pipeline or provide those public returns, that is truly the cash we are spending in the box of what we are doing, right, whether it's a department store redevelopment, what we did at South Dale, the exterior renovation where we added luxury. What it's not doing is picking up all the other benefits that we're getting throughout the property, which to be intellectually consistent, but that makes that number obviously much higher, right? And you look at South Dale, that doesn't take into account the 40, 45 new tenants we've added since we announced and started construction of the luxury redevelopment, which is now open. And those tenants are outperforming those like-for-like tenants that have been at South Dale for a while are outperforming that same tenant in other malls by 1,000, 1,500 basis points because we revitalized a 70-year-old asset.
And so yes, it's 9%, which that in and of itself is obviously very good, but we do know that there is a lot more accretive returns that are beyond that with what we're doing.
And what's the tail on this from a time frame on that $4 billion? Like when should we expect that to hit? And what is behind it? I know you have Taubman, but as you reevaluate the portfolio and continue to re-underwrite or bring in new assets, what could that kind of additional opportunity be over time?
Sure. So I guess on the first part, on the $4 billion, I'm hopeful that, that starts over the next several years. maybe AI can disrupt how city planning in some of these towns work, so they can be quicker because it's not an issue of our desire. It's not an issue of our capital or the tenant demand. It just takes time to get through some of these processes. But I would expect most of that to start over '27, '28, '29. But then you got to remember that some of these projects at Fashion Valley, that's going to be a 3-year development, right, an iconic asset in San Diego that we're going to add multifamily, flagship retail, world-class restaurants, et cetera. And so I think it's important to note that it's not just when we start, but this capital does get deployed over a multiyear process.
And then behind the $4 billion, we are just scratching the surface, right? Again, it's not -- has nothing to do with capital constraints. It's where is the best use of our time. And that's what this $4 billion has determined, but we continue to look at our portfolio every day because if we're not making the asset better, inherently, it's getting worse. And so we say, okay, where is the next asset that we can put significant dollars in to make it better the next South Dale, the next Brea in Orange County, which is near the end of that significant work. So we think there's a lot behind it. $4 billion, I think, is not too bad, but we'll continue to grow that over time.
And you guys have historically been opportunistic as well on the direct real estate or direct retailer side. I know that a couple of years ago, you pulled back a little bit because maybe you're getting some feedback from investors. But as Saks comes and some others potentially down the road, how interested -- I know you guys already have an investment in Saks, so that's maybe a redundant question. But going forward, like the -- if you have this level of potential redevelopment or use of capital within the existing portfolio that's a little more organic, probably a little derisked, that versus the appetite to continue to be opportunistic.
Just kind of curious how much capital maybe you set aside for those relationship or strategic investments versus the -- just the straight up real estate side?
Yes. I mean I think it's, as you said, opportunistic. We're not looking for it. If somebody calls us, we'll take the call, and we'll look at an opportunity. I mean, from a capital perspective, you got to remember, we have very, very, very little net cash in these deals. We put in a little cash to begin with, and then we've returned a significant amount of it. So earmarking anything would be silly because it's de minimis relative to liquidity we have and the other uses of cash.
And so if there's something interesting, can we do it? Of course, but we're not actively looking at it. Obviously, with our investment catalyst, we're happy, right? I think the management team there has done a great job, but we're not actively looking to do anything. We think we got a great opportunity in our existing portfolio and let's just keep making these assets even better and driving cash flow growth, which is what I think we're the best at.
Any questions from the audience? Opening up for a minute. Nope? All right.
On the leasing side, the demand has been strong. The execution has been strong. As you talk to retailers, the tariff issue, SCOTUS slapped it down and the administration came right back with another avenue. Kind of how is that uncertainty or extra cost essentially factoring into conversations you guys are having as tenants are looking to lease or they're looking to figure out their cost structure and margins and your OCRs factoring all that in?
Sure. So I think a couple of things. First is tariffs and sort of changing supply chains is not a new story. This went on pre-COVID and the First Trump administration and has been continuing to today. So that, I think, from retailers, their flexibility is a lot better than it might have been 20 years ago. And so that's first and foremost.
Second is when we had our earnings call first week in May, so a month or so after Liberation Day, I think we said on the call that there were 4 or so leases that fell out, right, out of -- we signed 4,500 leases last year and 4 or 5 fell out because of tariffs. Well, we're sitting here almost a year later, and the number is still 4 or 5 leases fell out because of tariffs. So we don't see that changing. The conversations we're having are good. Retailers are looking to secure renewals on their space going into the future more because they realize that if they have good space, they want to keep that good space. And so we're working on not just '26 renewals, but '27 and '28 renewals with some retailers in certain circumstances.
So obviously, it's fluid. We're cognizant of it. Could there be some impact on margin? Of course. I think the retailers, though, by and large, have done a good job of figuring out how to minimize it. And we'll see what happens, but we'll be ready to react either way. But as we sit here today, the leasing pipeline is still very strong. It's still north of 15% above where it was this time last year. So even after 10 or so months of tariff noise.
We had a question come in through LiveQA specific to Klepierre. How do you think about the success of that investment and keeping your capital in the deal longer term?
So I think the key word you said there is investment, and we view Klepierre as an investment. And an investment by its definition, we can hold an investment or we can sell an investment. And so that's how we look at it. Obviously, it's been very successful. We're proud of what we've done over the last 14 years. We're proud of how it's performed, but it's an investment. And so we will evaluate it every day and determine if it's an investment we should keep or it's an investment that we have better use of that capital. But otherwise, sort of business continues as usual.
In regards to the exchangeable, I know I think we had talked, you guys have the ability to pay back in cash, you have the ability to put shares. You mentioned you did put a little bit of the investment back, a very small piece. As you guys go forward, how should we expect that debt to be paid off, could you liquidate more of the investment there through the payback of it? Or did you kind of rightsize what you guys wanted to rightsize and now you pay back with cash?
Sure. We'll look at each and every exchange as they come in to the extent they do and then decide at that moment what we want to do. As of the earnings call, we had exchanged 1.5 million shares out of our 63 million, 64 million shares. Obviously, it's not a huge percentage, but we'll evaluate each exchangeable notice to the extent they come in and sort of determine what's best for SPG at that time.
Kind of pivoting a little bit, and it goes back to maybe the investment piece. You guys bought Jamestown a few years ago. It's been quiet on that front, at least externally, right, what you guys are doing with them. Is there anything near term or on the horizon or maybe even in the $4 billion that you referenced that leverages that platform over time? Or how should we think about that relationship going forward?
Sure. It's a great relationship. I was talking to Matt and Michael, I think, on Wednesday or Thursday last week. It's -- I would say the $4 billion is just SPG, right? And I would think of it less as what Jamestown is giving to us versus what we are giving to Jamestown. And so they're working on -- they closed on a transaction in Charlotte not too long ago in the last couple of weeks. They're working on a transaction in Berlin that's closing soon. They're looking at a couple of large mixed-use sports-related developments in Tampa and in Atlanta.
And so we provide input, we provide expertise, maybe down the road, depending on how those deals get capitalized, we maybe provide capital. But it's a great relationship. We're 50% owners, right? So we don't control it by any means. It's an awesome management team who's doing a good job. And so we talk to them weekly at least and to continue to find ways to grow that platform. It's an investment that we're happy we made and we'd like to continue to grow it.
The goal is to grow AUM and ultimately, that is what we're kind of focused on, and we expect to see that in the near future with that platform.
Is there ever an opportunity for you guys to do -- or them to do a fund with you guys contributing assets, taking outside capital? Could that be something down the road? Or is it basically you guys just want an asset management arm, maybe you introduce them to some people they might not know to get their AUM up and kind of enjoy the fees, the high profit margins on that?
Never say never, but I think it's more the latter, right? Because if you think about, by and large, our portfolio, the assets we own, we want to own outright, right, or our share of what we have with partners. And so to contribute it to grow their AUM in a business that we own 50% of versus what we can own and what we can control our own destiny, that's much more interesting.
But we do develop interesting capital relationships with Jamestown, right, they do talk to large institutional investors on the private side that we might not really have a need for, frankly, maybe one day down the road, we do. But that's an interesting angle for us to develop those relationships. We look at it and say, we have boots on the ground in literally 100s of markets or north of 100 markets across the country. And so basically, any asset that Jamestown is looking at to underwrite is the market that we know. And so that is pretty valuable intel when they're looking at going to raise capital and they're talking to the large institutional investors. Not too many people can say that. And so we think it's additive to their platform.
We had a question come in. I know you guys addressed this a little bit on the call, but maybe an update on the expectation for the Saks bankruptcies. How many stores have you gotten back? Do you expect any leases to be bought in auction?
Sure. So you have to separate, right, the Off 5th and the full-price department stores. On the Off 5th, as we said on the call, I think we have 38 stores that pay $18 million. And effectively, they have rejected the vast, vast majority of those. And we're going to take that $18 million. And based on where we are today with about half of those stores, that's a $30 million rent roll. And so based on the rest of the stores, that should more than double the $18 million. All those are in the outlets and the mills. And so that is going well, low paying, low productive space in very good locations. I was at Silver Sands Premium Outlets last week. We're going to take their box. It's in a prime corner of the center. And we have a deal with a great retailer that will do literally maybe 10x the volume, if not more, of what Saks is doing -- Saks Off 5th is doing.
On the full-price department stores, that's early. We'll see. Obviously, we announced at Copley, the Neiman Box that we're going to redevelop and add multiple restaurants that will do over $100 million in volume and new -- additional new luxury retailers. And then we'll see where the rest of the full-price stores shake out. But either way, if Saks remains as a going concern, which I think would be good, generally speaking, for the industry and for the environment, then that's fine. And if something worse were to happen, their stores are in great centers, and we've obviously been thinking about alternative uses. And so we'll just see how the bankruptcy plays out. We're prepared either way, and it's not the first time we've dealt with something like this.
Another question come in. How have tenant sales or traffic trended year-to-date relative to trends last year?
Yes. So through January, both sales and traffic have accelerated where they were in the last couple of months of the year in '25. So it's obviously early February too early to know, to have a read on. But I think anecdotally, similar-ish, but kind of crazy weather in parts of the country that might not normally get it. So don't have a great read on February yet, we'll see. But through January, have accelerated both the growth in sales and the growth in traffic over the last couple of months of the fourth quarter last year.
You guys have done a fair bit of outlet development overseas. Just kind of curious with the geopolitical risk going on and what's going on over the weekend, just does that delay or change your underwriting at all on the decision to kind of put capital outside the U.S. on the margin. I know where you guys own is not where this is going on, but clearly, there's...
I mean obviously, we don't own in the area. So that's not -- and frankly, not really looking in the area, that's not a concern. I mean when we look at international development, which we -- right, our most recent asset was in Indonesia last year, to the extent we're taking country risk, we're going to make sure we're earning the right return. So it's just a higher return threshold, but we obviously evaluate it very, very closely. I don't want to say we scrutinize it more than something we do here because we scrutinize every $5,000, $10,000 decision very closely to make sure we're not wasting money.
But on the international front, we have a few new deals or a new expansion in Japan -- an expansion in Japan, a new development in Korea that is supposed to start later this year. Let's see where the geopolitical environment is. The great thing is we can do it or we cannot do it. And that's funded basically by those portfolios with those partners. So it doesn't really sweat either way. We're not really sweating either way, but we'll just evaluate each one. We have a very stringent criteria when we go overseas. And obviously, it's been incredibly successful so far, and we're proud of the assets we have.
And then in terms of capital allocation priorities, we had a question come in if between expansion of malls, outlets, densification of other uses, how do you prioritize those? And then how do you think about either larger cities or more secondary cities?
Yes. I mean we prioritize all. We do all, we'll do all and are excited about all. And so this is -- there's no issue resource-wise, both in terms of people or in terms of capital at all, right? We're generating $1.5 billion after dividend to fund the pipeline and while naturally deleveraging. So it's not a concern. It's each individual asset, what's the best decision for that asset.
Sometimes like a Boca, just one of my favorite malls, frankly, and one of the best malls in the portfolio. We have an opportunity to do something incredible to add a hotel, multifamily, great retail, great dining. We're going to do it. In other markets, it might make more sense to do sort of a box replacement or maybe a small restaurant outlay, what we did at Mission Viejo, where we added a handful of restaurants outside and a couple of furniture users. So we look at each and every asset, what's the best use of that asset, not where are we putting money because if we do something here, we can't do it there.
And then on development itself, obviously, we've announced what we're doing at Sagefield in south of Nashville and Franklin, which we could not be more excited about, a little bit different than what we've done in terms of the style, truly taking into account the beautiful layout where it is. And -- but retail demand for that has kind of been unlike anything we've seen. in terms of the quality of retailers that are excited about that. So that's obviously going to really start picking up later this year and open in a couple of years. And we continue to look at new development opportunities, less so on the full price side, probably more on the mall side -- sorry, on the outlet side. But those will have to be deals that we want to do that we think generate an attractive return.
Debt spreads have been coming in for the REITs, especially the larger, more highly rated REITs. What's your view on need for capital in the near term? Kind of how should we expect or should we expect you guys to tap that market to take advantage?
Yes. I mean, Craig, we're regular funders in the secured, the unsecured market. I mean we're not raising incremental capital. We're funding our business with free cash flow. So really, it's just replacement debt. Markets are wide open. We did an offering earlier in the year, 5-year offering at 65 over treasuries. In the history as a public company, we've only issued a 5-year tighter one other time. So the markets are open. The secured markets are opening and pricing efficiently.
So ultimately, we will be very active again this year as we are every year, probably have about $10 billion of total financing to do between unsecured and secured. We still do face higher interest rates than the coupons we're rolling off. We benefited during the -- when interest rates were at 0. I was actually kidding with David that we will have rolled off our last 1% coupon next year. And so we are still getting tight pricing, but base rates certainly are elevated relative to recent past.
We have our rapid-fire questions in the session. What will same-store NOI growth be for, let's just say, retail overall next year in 2027?
Less than ours.
Any specific numbers?
Still less than ours.
Will there be more or fewer of the same number of retail REITs a year from now?
It doesn't impact us.
Broadly, do you expect M&A across retail REITs?
We'll see. It doesn't impact us.
All right. Thank you.
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Simon Property Group — Citi’s Miami Global Property CEO Conference 2026
Simon Property Group — Citi’s Miami Global Property CEO Conference 2026
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: Simon setzt auf erstklassige Standorte, laufende Reinvestitionen und Kapitalstärke. 2025 war ein Rekordjahr; das Management sieht nachhaltiges Cash‑Flow‑Wachstum durch ein aktives Pipeline‑Volumen von $1,5 Mrd. und eine Shadow‑Pipeline >$4 Mrd. (≈40% Mixed‑Use). Liquidität >$9 Mrd. und ~ $1,5 Mrd. Free‑Cash‑Flow nach Dividenden schaffen optionalen Spielraum.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Strategie: Fokus auf hochwertige Redevelopments, Densifizierung und Mixed‑Use‑Zugaben mit öffentlich genannten Zielrenditen (aktive $1,5 Mrd. bei ~9%). Ausbau von Retail‑Media und Loyalitätsdaten: ~25 Mio. Konsumenten in der Datenbank, Loyalty‑Programm seit Nov., frühe Monetarisierungsinitiativen. Diszipliniertes, opportunistisches Kapitalmanagement; wenige Netto‑Barinvestments bei Partnerships.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Neu: Abschlüsse/Ankäufe: $2 Mrd. an strategischen Akquisitionen (u.a. kompletter Taubman‑Anteil, Brickell‑Interesse, Outlet‑Assets in Italien). Kurzfristige Projekte: $250 Mio. für drei Reparaturen/Redesigns. Zeitplan: Großteil der >$4 Mrd. Pipeline soll ab 2027–2029 starten. Saks‑Update: 38 Off‑5th‑Läden mit $18 Mio. aktueller Zahlungen; erwartetes höheres Rentenpotenzial beim Re‑letting.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Themen: 1) KI und Retail‑Media: Management sieht AI als Effizienz‑ und Umsatztreiber, intern wie extern; Retail‑Media‑Netzwerk und Datennutzung in frühen Phasen. 2) Pipeline: Anteil Taubman gering, Renditeannahmen (~9%) und Start 2027–29; Zeitlicher Rollout und Genehmigungen als Haupthemmnis. 3) Saks & Tarife: Off‑5th‑Boxes werden aktiv umverwertet; Tarif‑Unsicherheit hat bislang nur wenige Lease‑Ausfälle verursacht. Management wich bei quantitativen Same‑store‑NOI‑Prognosen aus (keine konkrete Guidance).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Für Aktionäre bietet Simon ein konservatives, liquides Kapitalprofil kombiniert mit einem klaren Wert‑schöpfungsplan via Redevelopments, Data/Media und selektiven Akquisitionen. Kurzfristige Risiken (Tarife, Saks‑Restrukturierung, Genehmigungszeiträume) bestehen, sind aber nach Managementangaben beherrschbar; langfristig positiver Hebel auf FFO und Dividende.
Simon Property Group — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Greetings. Welcome to Simon Property Group's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to Tom Ward, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you. You may begin.
Thank you, Jan, and thank you all for joining us this evening. Presenting on today's call are David Simon, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President; Eli Simon, Chief Operating Officer; and Brian McDade, Chief Financial Officer. A quick reminder that statements made during this call may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. And actual results may differ materially due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. We refer you to today's press release and our SEC filings for a detailed discussion of the risk factors relating to those forward-looking statements.
Please note that this call includes information that may be accurate only as of today's date. Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included within the press release and the supplemental information in today's Form 8-K filing. Both the press release and the supplemental information are available on our IR website at investors.simon.com.
Our conference call this evening will be limited to 1 hour. For those who would like to participate in the question-and-answer session, we ask that you please respect our request to limit yourself to 1 question. I'm pleased to introduce David Simon.
Good evening. We delivered strong financial and operational results in the fourth quarter, capping another impressive year for our company. We achieved excellent leasing performance, acquired $2 billion of high-quality retail properties, completed more than 20 major redevelopment projects and opened a new premium outlet in Indonesia.
We reported record real estate funds from operations of $4.8 billion or $12.73 per share. Our results reflect solid fundamentals, strong occupancy, accelerating shopper traffic growth, healthy and growing retail sales, positive supply and demand dynamics, all driving improvement in our cash flow. We returned approximately $3.5 billion in cash to our shareholders through common stock repurchases and record cash dividends.
In our yearly tally, we have now paid approximately $48 billion in cash to shareholders in dividends over our history as a public company. With that, I'm now going to turn it over to Eli, who will discuss our leasing and investment activities, and then Brian will cover our fourth quarter results and our outlook for next year in more detail.
Thank you. During 2025, we acquired The Mall, 2 well-known luxury outlet centers in Italy; our partners' interest in Brickell City Centre, a premier mixed-use property in Miami's rapidly growing central business district; the remaining 12% interest in [ Calvin Realty ] Group we did not previously own in Philips place, a high productivity open air retail center in Charlotte, a market that we know well with significant upside from remerchandising and densification. .
These deals enhance the quality of our portfolio, and we look forward to deploy our leasing and property management expertise, along with our strong balance sheet, pursue new growth and value creation opportunities across these properties. Retailer demand remains strong across our portfolio. We signed more than 1,300 leases totaling over 4.4 million square feet during the quarter and over 4,600 leases for more than 17 million square feet for the year.
Approximately 30% of our annual volume was new deals, reflecting continued strong demand across our portfolio. Now turning to development. We completed more than 20 significant redevelopment projects in 2021, including retail and experiential additions at Southdale Center, Stanford Shopping Center, King of Prussia, and Forum Shops at Caesars and mixed-use additions, including hotel and residential at Northgate Station and Lakeline Mall respectively.
In 2026, notable retail and mixed-use projects scheduled to come online include Brea Mall, Northgate Station First Phase of residential and open air expansion with restaurants and retailers at the shops in Missiniejo; Fryerwood Mall with the new [ harvest ] market, Dick's Sporting Goods and Residential, [indiscernible] shops and restaurants.
We also expect to begin to construction on exciting new projects, including anchor redevelopments Fashion mall at Keystone and Town Center at Bokaro Town, expansions at Toronto, Desert Hills and [indiscernible] are progressing and Sage Hill, our new open-air retail and mixed-use development in Nashville. We also plan to enhance the merchandise mix and invest in meaningful capital upgrades at former TRG assets, including the Mall at Green Hills, International Plaza and Cherry Creek Shopping Center.
At year-end, our share of the net cost of development across all platforms totaled approximately $1.5 billion with a blended yield of 9% approximately 45% of net costs are from mixed-use projects. Our pipeline of new development and redevelopment opportunities continues to grow and now exceeds $4 billion. I will now turn it over to Brian, who will walk through our fourth quarter results.
Thank you, Eli. Real Estate FFO was $3.49 per share in the fourth quarter compared to $3.35 in the prior year, 4.2% growth. Domestic and international operations both performed well, contributing $0.26 of growth driven by a higher lease income across the business. As anticipated, lower interest income and higher interest expense combined [indiscernible] and quarter.
Domestic property NOI growth was strong and increased 4.8% year-over-year for the quarter and 4.4% for the year. Portfolio NOI, which includes our international properties at constant currency grew 5.1% for the quarter and 4.7% for the year. Malls and Premium Outlets ended the year at 96.4%. Occupancy in the Mills ended at 99.2%. The addition of the TRG assets reduced occupancy by 20 basis points from malls and premium outlets and 30 basis points for the mills. We expect to drive higher occupancy at these assets as we execute on our leasing strategy.
Average base minimum rents increased 4.7% year-over-year for the malls and the premium outlets. The TRG properties contributed approximately 250 basis points to this growth. Retailer sales per square foot for the malls and the premium outlets were $799 per square foot for the year. The SPG only portfolio was up 2% year-over-year. Importantly, total sales volumes grew approximately 4% in the important fourth quarter and 3% for the full year.
Occupancy cost at the end of the year was 12.7%. Turning to the balance sheet. During 2025, we completed approximately $9 billion in financing activities, including a dual tranche U.S. senior notes offering that totaled $1.5 billion at a combined average term of 7.8 years and a weighted average coupon rate of [ 4.77% ] and completed -- also completed $7 billion of secured loan refinancing and extension in the year. Subsequent to year-end, we concluded the $800 million offering of 5-year notes with spread of 65 basis points year treasury. We used the proceeds to repay $800 million of notes that matured on January 15, 2026. Our A-rated balance sheet provides a distinct advantage with more than $9 billion of liquidity at year-end and a net debt-to-EBITDA measure of 5.0x.
During 2025, we paid more than $3.2 billion in common stock dividends and repurchased over 1.2 million shares for approximately $227 million. Subsequent to year-end, we repurchased an additional 273,000 shares for $50 million. And today, we announced our dividend of $2.20 per share for the first quarter, a year-over-year increase of $0.10 or 4.8%. The dividend is payable on March 31.
Turning to our '26 guidance. We expect real estate FFO of $13 to $13.25 per share with a midpoint of [ $13.13 ] the guidance range assumes domestic property NOI growth of at least 3% with higher net interest expense of $0.25 to $0.30 per share versus 2025, reflecting current market interest rate conditions. Thank you. We will now open it up for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Caitlin Burrows with Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
Maybe on the leasing side, you mentioned that 30% of lease signings last year were on new leases. So could you give some detail on what rents you're getting on new leases and renewal leases and how your pipeline today and depth of demand compared to a year ago, I guess, while keeping in mind the TRG deal and now the portfolio is larger.
Caitlin, it's Brian. Look, I think what we would say to that is certainly 30% is a good run rate for the leasing. We disclosed the new rents on our leases, which are approximately $65 per square foot. We would expect that to continue into 2026
And then just from the pipeline perspective, year-to-date, our pipeline is up about 15% over last year. And that's really broad-based across all categories. So no change in tenant demand, if anything, it's increasing.
Our next question comes from Samir Khanal with Bank of America.
I guess, David or Eli, going back to November, you launched the the Simons loyalty program. Just -- is there any early observations you can share about the program? I mean, as it relates to maybe impact on traffic or retailer sales. Maybe Eli, anything would be helpful from that end.
Yes, sure. So it's obviously early days, but we've been very pleased with the adoption from both a customer perspective but also getting brand excited about it. And so we're still in the membership acquisition phase, increasing engagement. We had a great holiday activation. They got a lot of organic buzz, which was exciting and I think helped to increase traffic a bit. And so as we go into '26, it's more of the same, continue to focus on getting new rewards, new retailers and also partnering with other loyalty programs that are outside of our space as well, working on launching that [indiscernible] part of this year. So again, early days, but we are very pleased with where we are so far.
The next question comes from the line of Michael Griffin with Evercore ISI.
Appreciate all the color so far. Just wondering if you can give some insights maybe into your thoughts around tenant credit or bad debt as it looks at the year ahead. I know there's been some news recently around retailer bankruptcies, but just maybe give us a sense where your head is at from expectations from a tenant credit perspective? Is it better or worse, the same than last year? Anything about that would be helpful.
Sure. Yes. Look, I think the tariffs are clearly having an effect on retailers. So it is definitely putting more pressure on them. And it's not the big guys. I think I mentioned to you this on our last call. I mean it's really it's really -- if you put Costco and Walmart and of course, Amazon aside, and then you have the rest of us, okay? And the rest of us are feeling the pinch. And so it's something that when we had our call last year, obviously, we weren't dealing with.
Retailers dealt with it successfully this year, but kind of -- the full impact will really be '26 because it was implemented who knows in April, I guess. We're still waiting for the Supreme Court to rule which could be a small victory for our clients, but no one really knows. I don't know what market [indiscernible] where the odds are. Actually, let's be an interesting time, while we're here, you can find out what market says about Supreme spring. So they have to deal with it. And it's -- we see it from a catalyst point of view. And I mean, it's going to take a couple of hundred million dollars of EBITDA away from catalysts to pay together.
I mean if you cut through it all because I think Catalyst rightfully so is very focused on doing the best they cannot pass it on the consumer. So it is a real issue and the retailers that we speak to are managing it the best they can. But it is a headwind, and long story short. It's probably put more pressure on retailers than should be, and it's going to end up hurting the small guys. So we're a little more cautious. We gave you our range that was, frankly, we didn't have some bankruptcies in there that surfaced at the beginning of '26 that we felt comfortable to keep the range.
We do our budgets, we finish basically mid-December. So that budget was essentially fixed. We didn't back off it because what Eli mentioned to you the retail demand. But they'll probably be a little bit more. And I would say most of it, if I had to cut to the chase is tariff pressure, which is unfortunate. I hope that answers your question.
The next question comes from the line of Michael Goldsmith with UBS.
We heard a lot about investment and redevelopment from Eli. So maybe can you frame how much incremental NOI or FFO we should expect this year from projects stabilizing either late in 2025 or in 2026?
Michael, it's Brian. I think you should expect about a $30 million contribution in '26 from projects that are going to be complete.
The next question comes from the line of Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler.
[indiscernible] 25% to 32% in favor of policy....
If it does, it's going to be an interesting opinion. David, just going to your point on the question on the guidance set in December, even though that was ahead of Saks and Eddie Bauer, but you still feel pretty good. As you look at the business, you guys have -- there's Simon Brand Ventures, there's parking revenue. I mean there's all these other ancillary revenue sources. So is your view that as presumably the economy grows, all these other revenue levers that you guys have will kick in and be more than sufficient to offset whatever potential tariff disruption that you outlined? Or just how are you thinking about that? Because on one hand, the tariff thing sounds like there's going to be more ripple effects this year as the full year is felt. But the same token, presumably the economy accelerates, you guys have more revenue levers that should come into play and help drive earnings up.
Yes. Listen, I agree 1,000% of your thesis we are seeing -- the most important thing is traffic is up, sales were up. The retailers that don't make it even though [indiscernible] blind tariffs, they're not highly productive retailers. And given that it's our view that we can replace it with more productive retailers or higher rents and take what's going on in [ Saks ] as a simple example. We had a number of Pop Fit stores, and it will be like the Forever 21, even though we don't have all of Forever 21 lease, we are already way ahead of the income for that, and we have upside of another 20, 30 boxes to lease.
So Saks, [ our fifth total ] was paying us around $18 million. We think half the portfolio will pay us third -- and Eli said that I remember the numbers, right? So -- and then we'll -- and those are deals that we feel highly confident on. And then we have the other boxes that we'll generate, so we're not replacing -- we're replacing fifth and Saks in the sense the productivity and the rents are just so cheap that there's a tremendous amount of upside. And it takes time, right? But -- and most of that will all be back end weighted because your GLV sales, and I will be done, who knows, in the spring sometime, we get the space back.
Maybe there's a few that we can get in the fourth quarter, but most of it will show up in '27. So the media sales, tenant demand, traffic is all moving in the right direction. And I like you, I mean, we're bullish on the economy. It's just that the tariffs are -- it's never going to be all systems go. We still see it a little bit on the sales. We had a good bounce back on the border, the north border, Canadians are really pissed off.
So they're not going anywhere in the U.S. So we're seeing kind of the north border, a little weaker than the South border. We also, interestingly, and that saw a little bit of sales disruption in certain markets where we're a lot of ICE activity, which was interesting. But again, tariffs are a headwind, but there's a lot of positive aspects of what's going on.
And most importantly, we're making the properties better, the Simons we'll see some benefits in '26. And as an example, Alex, we just spoke to Chanel in [indiscernible] off to a really good start. And that's -- to make that kind of -- with that kind of retailer who's the best of the very best is just creates so much momentum elsewhere. So in that sense, we're very bullish.
The next question comes from the line of Craig Mailman with Citi.
Just to follow up on the leasing. The pace of leasing has been pretty consistent here and strong. I'm just kind of curious the tenor of the conversations maybe as you're talking to retailers and their demand and appetite to go into Class A and what they're willing to pay for that versus maybe what a same tenant or vertical would be willing to pay for space in Class B. Just kind of curious what the appetite looks like there and the pricing for that.
Yes. Well, we don't -- I mean, pricing is it's just so space market asset driven. It's -- there is -- hopefully, AI will solve it for us, so we don't have to negotiate, I'll just say. Here is the rent that the tenant and the landlord should agree on. And then we can -- I don't know what we do, but we can use that. So I can't really tell you. I mean, obviously, A assets have higher demand, but we're making a lot of progress in the Bs. And we really talk about pricing power. We really talk about you can't force a deal. So it's -- the tenant has to agree, we have to agree, and it's a negotiation -- and I would say how many leases did we do last year, guys.
4,600
No, no by square feet .
17 million
17 million.
Strangely enough, we figured out how to make deals on 17 million square feet, okay? So it's more of an art than a science, maybe maybe I can make it more of a science, but again, it's not pricing power, just what's the right deal for both of us.
I'm mean, I guess, is it getting easier to lease Class B versus maybe 12 months ago?
I think that's a safe statement. And again, if you look at Southdale Mall, a year or 2 years ago, we would say -- this was a C [indiscernible] ], okay? And now we've made it an A. So part of our job is to enhance the quality. And we're -- we don't discriminate on what we're trying to achieve. What we're trying to achieve is make -- if it's in Midland, Texas, by the way, I hope you watch [indiscernible] been to Odessa and Midland, which, of course, I have been a few times. And you really -- it's really -- you really get the feel for. But our job is the Midland, Texas, which does -- used to have a lot of volatility of the oil price, less so today. But to make that the best it can be, at the same time, trying to make sure the best it can be. And that's one of the hallmarks of our company in that we can do that. And it just takes a lot of focus and a lot of energy to do that. But at the same time, we can build an outlet like we did in in Indonesia, right? Very few companies can build in Indonesia and then build a new outlet in Oklahoma, okay? So that's just what we're about.
The next question comes from the line of Greg McGinniss with Scotiabank.
Normally, this question doesn't fall so deep into the question queue, but I think someone needs to ask. So Brian, how should we think about the factors that could drive Simon to the higher or lower end of the FFO per share guidance range, especially considering that you're already absorbing some additional unexpected bankruptcies versus the December budgeting process?
Greg, I think the way to think about it is very similar to how we run our business. We start beginning the year very conservatively and build throughout the year. I think we touched upon a variety of the potential inputs that will drive the outperformance. Certainly, our ancillary businesses, our leasing business, sales, certainly, we've done.
Yes, I would just -- sales to me, could be significant upside. We because you probably know we budget ourselves flat-ish. And so we hit 3% growth, I would hope to be our asset. And to me, we'll have bankruptcies will tenants will be delayed, that kind of stuff. But if we get the tenant sales growth that we hope to get, no, then we'll do better. And I would -- I don't anticipate doing worse than our range.
The next question comes from the line of Vince Tibone with Green Street.
I got 1 more on guidance. Can you just discuss the level of domestic property NOI guidance included in '26 FFO? And then also, if you could just help quantify '25 is a bigger acquisition year than the recent past? Like how much did '25 completed acquisitions benefit or contribute to domestic property NOI in '26?
We're projecting 3% comp NOI growth. The Taubman really is a 27 story because of -- you'll see an announcement from us tomorrow or the next day on some transformations of 3 properties that now that we've got our hands on. We also have the integration, which is a '26 story. So it's -- we obviously issued units as well, and we haven't quarterized that, which is our intent. People made fun of that name but that's legit use of our work. So we really haven't done much of that yet. So we'll be prudent about that. That's not really in the guidance. And the other deals helped a few sets, but they're all early days.
Couple we're pretty small, but all over time will contribute to our growth.
That makes sense. That's really helpful. If I can maybe squeeze in a quick follow-up. I think, Brian, you mentioned earlier I think, $30 million of NOI coming online from redevelopment this year. Is that a net figure, like adjusting for any NOI that's going to be taken offline like some of the Taubman projects you just discussed? Or -- should we model more NOI coming offline than the 30, if you follow me?
It wasn't a net number, no. It was basically our deliveries, the expected yield, there's some timing elements to it as well.
Most of what we're doing, again, is back-end weighted. So that's just, yes, let's verify that number. But that's just a more back end weighted and not the full an NII net initial yield to those properties, those redevelopments. Again, give you examples. And our opening best case fourth quarter, right, best case fourth quarter mission, best case fourth quarter. And I can go down the line, but most of all of that is very, very limited back-end weighted Q4 openings
The next question comes from the line of Floris Van Dijkum with Ladenburg.
So [ quarter rise ], I guess, is an appropriate term. So I guess that's another [ 3 million ] of shares that you could be buying back. It sounds like which obviously would be accretive. My question is more on your -- as I usually ask about your [ F&O ] pipeline and how that is progressing -- and how do you see that trending throughout '26 and into -- as you sign your $17 million of leases. If you can maybe Brian, if you can give a little commentary around that and what percentage of that [ S&L ] pipeline is luxury versus your traditional retailers?
Floris, this is Brian. So at year-end, we were about 2.1% of SNO, which is consistent with the prior several years. As you know, we opened in the fourth quarter, vast majority of retailers and then the momentum builds throughout the balance of the year. So we would expect that number to go up, second, third and fourth quarter.
Yes. I think it's good that, that number -- the way I would look at it is to get to that number being almost stable because that means we're replacing tenants for filling the vacant space, and it's not going down. So there's positive churn in that, which is good. .
So let me just make sure I understand. So 210 basis points of SNO is what it was at year-end. What percentage of that is luxury tenants. If you can give a little bit more color on that?
Yes. We don't get into that. But yes, it's not -- it's not happening, right? They're very selective. They're very focused, but we're we don't really -- it's not anywhere near the majority. It's well less than half. But it's not the size it's the quality. So that's how you have to look at you can add South Dale is a great example. South Dale, again, is probably 1.4 million square feet, 1.3 million, huge number. It's got all sorts of funky basement, the third level space, put all that aside.
What transformed South Dale was essentially 70,000 square feet of high-end leasing. So it's the -- it's the quality, not the quantity. So that's what we should focus on. It's not all they're going to do 500,000 square feet of luxury is. If you can add 20,000, 30,000, 40,000 in the right markets, it makes a real difference. And that's what you should look out for. It's not the actual amount of the SNO.
And David, that's very helpful, by the way. But are there any more Southdales expected in the pipeline?
Yes. Yes.
eli is going to announce something tomorrow or the next month maybe, haven't proved out.
Yes, we think we definitely think there's more to do.
The next question comes from the line of Omotayo Okusanya with Deutsche Bank.
Just curious about deal flow, $2 billion of activity in 2025 was pretty good. Just curious, as you're looking globally what you're seeing out there and how we should kind of be thinking about that in '26?
Yes, I mean, listen, we always look, but we have a very high bar, right? The best way to think about it is it has to be something that is brand accretive to our portfolio. It's something that we can add our expertise, whether it's leasing, densification, property management, running it better and it has to be at the right price. And so last year, we were able to find a few of those transactions that we're very excited about. And are off to a good start. And if there are more of those, great. And if not, we'll continue to reinvest into our existing portfolio, which we're earning great yields and obviously had a big growing shadow pipeline behind that.
Yes. I think with our new development in South Nashville, and all the redevelopment mixed-use pipeline, the bar to buy something for us is it is you don't have to be an Olympic high jumper, but you got to have more [indiscernible], okay? So -- and why I'm saying this is because we are really excited about our redevelopment pipeline. It's not a capital question. It's just then I would say we're going to take just, pops into my head. But take Boca as an example. We finally won the litigation, we were able to buy the building from Seritage, and that development in and of itself could be $500 million. .
And that's just 1 example that pops in in my head, but we have the same thing in Fashion Valley in San Diego, taking the penny building and creating mixed-use and more retail space. So that -- and then we've got the new development in ESCO, which could be $500 million. So what their extension of extension of Toronato.
Deseart Hills.
Desert Hills. So these things are very exciting to us. And so we've got to be -- we have to have similar excitement if we buy some. And that similar excitement has to then be grounded by what Eli said, which is -- [indiscernible] our portfolio, can we add value? What's the game plan? I don't think the one that we bought that we've taken over leasing, we got a lot of great stuff in the works there. and an asset that 10 years from now will be worth $3 billion to $4 billion.
The next question comes from the line of Linda Tsai with Jefferies.
Just a follow-up on the redevelopments. When you engage in them, are you relocating retailers within your existing property or drawing new retailers into the market? Or taking share from other assets in the area?
We are bringing most of the time, you'll always relocate some existing retailers in the existing building. So most of the time, we're bringing new entrants into the market.
And then just on occupancy for '26 versus '25, how are you thinking about that? And does it vary at all across different formats, premium outlets, malls, mills?
Linda, we do expect that there is some upward opportunity in our occupancy for the year across the platforms.
The next question comes from the line of Mike Mueller with JPMorgan.
Can you talk a little bit about the institutional appetite for higher productivity malls. For example, are your JV partners looking to invest more with you? Or are we more likely to see you buy them out?
It's really -- we don't have a lot, to be honest. And what I've noticed it's really partner by partner. And a lot of it depends on how long they held the asset, what's going on in real estate investments, et cetera. So it's hard for me to say it's really one way or another. But there's not a rush to get out. And I would say, it's not a rush to get in.
And if I had to to make it -- if I had to make a simplistic statement, which I'm very confident in, that, right, because sentiment, right, it's kind of more status quo.
The next question comes from the line of Handel St. Juste with Mizuho Securities.
I wanted to ask about luxury. I was hoping you could talk a little bit more about what you're seeing and hearing from luxury shoppers and tenants. The upper end consumer has clearly been resilient, but it looks like some of the luxury brands, LVMH, in particular, might be signaling a bit more caution for luxury this year, some of that obviously tied to tariffs, Chinese spending. So I guess I'm curious, what's your view of expectation for leasing demand and sales productivity from that tenant category for this year?
Sure. I would say, again, it's so dependent upon the company and then within the company, the brand. There are some that are growing. There are some that are still making deals, but a little more cautious. And then there are some that are slightly pulling back. The good news is that the -- what they have all discovered in the -- over the last decade or so is the U.S. is a lot bigger market than they ever thought it could be.
So in the long run, we're all very much dedicated to be an important player here. Their wholesale business is obviously affected by what's going on with [indiscernible]. And that could benefit potentially it might not. So I think as they look at their positioning, they're certainly going out and opining on that. And we're optimistic we'll continue to do business with [ Saks/Nemann ] that will reorg and it will live a better life with a better balance sheet. I'd say generally, it's steady as she goes. Some growing, some peeling the onion and a lot of them just stable. And the great thing about these brands they make long-term decisions. They're really investing in the brand and the really best in the stores. And they don't -- they do it over almost a little bit like us, they do it over a little bit longer horizon than quarter-to-quarter, year-to-year. And we really like being aligned with those kind of high-quality retailers.
The next question comes from the line of Juan Sanabria with BMO Capital Markets.
Just first, a quick follow-up. I think you mentioned that pipeline, the leasing pipeline was up 15% year-over-year. So just curious if that number was benefiting from and if so, with the kind of apples-to-apples number is. But then just the broader question is just on these anchor boxes, how should we think about the potential capital investments for [ Saks and Neimans ] as those come back to you over time? And kind of what you think the -- like the top 5, let say, most likely uses are for those boxes across the portfolio?
Well, yes, the 15% is like-for-like essentially because remember, we literally just took over Taubman leasing 2 days ago. It feels like so that's like-for-like. I mentioned earlier the upside that we see in all Fifth. So we'll see a positive impact from both the tenant mix and the cash flow over time. And then the other I don't think we're going to have that dramatic of an impact, but it's early days there.
And then if we get boxes back, we'll do what we've been doing with dealing with all the Sears vacancies, the boxes we got back from [indiscernible]. I mean the one thing we're very capable of is remanaging the real estate and the boxes. And at the end of the day, it gives us the opportunity to redo the real estate, which is kind of what started with South Dale or how big is South Dale?
[ 123 ]
123? I only have 200 -- how many properties do I have now?
254.
So I only have 254, but somehow I remember it's South Dale, right?
South Dale sale an example, that whole redevelopment was spurred by, I believe [indiscernible] going out of the business. So -- and then we've got the PennyMac, and that's where we put lifetime. .
There's lifetime deals to do. There's house of sports deals to do. There's mixed use to do. There's outdoor additions to do. So it really runs the spectrum. And we'll see where it goes. I mean we don't know yet. So it's early days. My guess is we'll have a better feel for next....
The next question comes from the line of Rich Hightower with Barclays.
Just a small clarifying question on Saks and then a separate question from that, if I may. I think it was reported that Simon's got a $100 million investment in that entity as well. And so just help us understand what happens that and how that investment might, in some way, control the outcome to whatever extent? And then my second question is just updated thoughts, if you have any on the exchangeable euro debt that comes due later this year and the potentiality of putting Klepierre shares to the debt holders there, what the math looks like there?
Sure. So let me answer the second first. We have gotten some redemption notices and we've been issuing shares. Brian wants to pull the number...
1.5 million shares.
So we've issued 1.5 million shares to satisfy the bond when we get it put. So that's what's happened. To your first question, is we did a transaction with Saks Global as part of their funding for buying Neiman Marcus. Now as part of that, we decided we were just going to make that investment unless we got compensated for it. So in case it blew up, we would be home. And so we got the right to terminate 2 leases. We got 2 buildings. And very importantly, and I'm sure you're familiar with [ REAs ]. But throughout the whole entire portfolio with Saks and Neiman, and Alfit, we got the right to build what we want, so we don't have to go hit their approval. In addition, we got the right to take that investment and convert it into a company that's being run by authentic brands group that owns the IP not e-commerce, not stores, but owns the IP for Saks, Neiman, Bergdorf.
So at the end of the day, we felt like we made a good trade. With that said, we've written off our investment at the end of the fourth quarter. But again, we've got the right to build, which can keep you from doing what you want already for years and years. We've got 2 buildings. We got the right to terminate 2 leases if they [ monetary ] to fall, which they are. And then the upside is we own the IP. So we're -- in my personal belief we're ahead of the game, but we went ahead and roll off or invest.
Our last question comes from Ronald Kamdem with Morgan Stanley.
I just had a quick one, putting some of the stuff that came up in the call earlier. Just going back to the domestic property NOI assumptions for this year versus last year, just talking through for the occupancy, the releasing spreads, the bad debt, just putting it all together, high compare versus last year would be helpful. .
Ron, it's Brian. I think if you look, we've now said at least 3% domestic NOI for about 4 years. Ultimately, it's going to all of the things that we've talked about on this call that will drive the performance of the domestic store NOI above where we have a guided to. Ultimately, it's going to be the upside from occupancy upside for leasing and a variety of other types of the business contribute as it has this year and the past several years.
All right. Thank you, everybody. Very good questions. And we will talk to you soon. And Brian and Tom always welcome your thoughts and insight. Thank you.
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines, and have a wonderful day.
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Simon Property Group — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Simon Property Group — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- RE FFO (Jahr): $4,8 Mrd. bzw. $12,73 je Aktie (Rekord)
- Q4 FFO/Share: $3,49 je Aktie (+4,2% YoY)
- Guidance 2026: $13,00–$13,25 je Aktie (Mid: $13,13)
- NOI: Domestic Property NOI +4,8% YoY (Quartal); Portfolio NOI inkl. Ausland +5,1% (Quartal)
- Operativ: Belegung Malls/Premium Outlets 96,4%; Retailer-Sales $799/ft² (Jahr); Pipeline >$4 Mrd.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Kapitalallokation: Rekorddividende und Rückkäufe; 2025 ~ $3,5 Mrd. an Aktionäre zurückgeführt; solide Liquidität > $9 Mrd.
- Portfolio-Strategie: Fokus auf akquirierte Qualitätsobjekte, Mixed‑use- und Redevelopment‑Projekte (Pipeline > $4 Mrd.) zur Wertschöpfung.
- Kunden & Leasing: Starkes Leasing (4.600 Mietabschlüsse, 17 Mio. ft²/Jahr); neue Mieten ca. $65/ft²; Loyalty‑Programm in frühen Phasen mit positiver Aufnahme.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- FFO‑Erwartung: $13–$13,25 je Aktie für 2026, Guidance basiert auf ≥3% Domestic NOI‑Wachstum.
- Finanzierungskosten: Höhere Nettozinsaufwendungen erwartet (+$0,25–0,30/Share vs. 2025).
- Beitrag 2026: ~ $30 Mio. zusätzliches NOI aus abgeschlossenen Redevelopments (Management: back‑end weighted).
- Risiken: Tarifdruck / erhöhte Einzelhändler‑Insolvenzen, Zinsumfeld und Timing der Revitalisierungen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Leasing & Pipeline: Nachfrage robust; Pipeline +15% YoY; Management nennt neue Mieten ~$65/ft², betont starke Nachfrage für A‑Assets und Verbesserungspotenzial in B‑Assets.
- Mieter‑Kreditrisiko: Analysten fragten zu Insolvenzen/tarifbedingtem Druck; Management sieht Headwind für kleineren Einzelhandel, bleibt aber vorsichtig optimistisch.
- Anchor‑Vacancies & Redevelopments: Diskussion über Saks/Neiman‑Konstellation, Umnutzungen von Ankerflächen und begrenzte konkrete Zahlen; $30M NOI-Aussage wurde nicht als Nettoausweis präzisiert.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Fundamentaldaten bleiben stark (Leasing, Traffic, Sales), Bilanz und Liquidität erlauben Dividenden, Rückkäufe und selektive Zukäufe. Guidance ist konservativ mit spürbarem Upside‑Potenzial durch Sales‑Wachstum und Redevelopments, aber Tarifdruck, mögliche Insolvenzen und höhere Zinskosten bleiben die wesentlichen Near‑Term‑Risiken.
Simon Property Group — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Greetings. Welcome to Simon Property Group Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded.
I will now turn the conference over to Tom Ward, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations. Thank you, sir. You may begin.
Thank you, Sherry, and thank you all for joining us this evening. Presenting on today's call are David Simon, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President; Eli Simon, Chief Operating Officer; and Brian McDade, Chief Financial Officer.
A quick reminder that statements made during this call may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and actual results may differ materially due to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors. We refer you to today's press release and our SEC filings for a detailed discussion of the risk factors relating to those forward-looking statements. Please note that this call includes information that may be accurate only as of today's date.
Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included within the press release and the supplemental information in today's Form 8-K filing. Both the press release and the supplemental information are available on our IR website at investors.simon.com. Our conference call this evening will be limited to 1 hour. For those who would like to participate in the question-and-answer session, we ask that you please respect our request to limit yourself to one question.
I'm pleased to introduce David Simon.
Good evening. I'm obviously pleased with our financial and operational performance for the third quarter. Our results were driven by solid fundamentals. Higher occupancy, accelerating shopper traffic, strong retail sales and a positive supply and demand dynamics, all contributing to strong cash flow growth.
We are pleased to have acquired the remaining interest in Taubman Realty Group that we didn't own and are excited about the opportunities to enhance the operational efficiency and increase the NOI from the assets and deliver long-term returns to our shareholders. I want to thank Bobby and Billy Taubman and the entire TRG team for our successful partnership over the last 5 years.
I'm now going to turn it over to Eli, who will discuss the terrific TRG transaction and update on our development activity, and Brian will cover our third quarter results and other various goodies. There you go, Eli.
Thank you. As mentioned, we completed the acquisition of the remaining 12% interest in TRG that we did not previously own in exchange for 5.06 million limited partnership units. We are pleased with the outcome, having acquired these high-quality assets at an overall cap rate of over 7.25%, not taking into account any operational efficiencies and improvements.
These iconic assets further enhance the quality of our overall portfolio, and we are now in a position to pursue new growth and value creation opportunities for this portfolio. The portfolio has strong operating metrics, including 94.2% occupancy, average base minimum rent of $72.36 per square foot and retailer sales of approximately $1,200 per square foot.
This transaction will be accretive in 2026 as we assume management responsibilities and integrate the assets, with the full benefit realized in 2027, given all of the operational aspects of running on our platform, adding at least 50 basis points to the going-in overall yield.
TRG will be consolidated and the acquisition will be accounted for as a business combination. This will require remeasurement of our previously held equity interest to fair value, resulting in a really big noncash, non-FFO gain to be recognized in the fourth quarter of 2025.
Now turning to development. In the third quarter, we began construction on several new projects, including a second phase of residential at Northgate Station, an expansion of the Westin Austin Hotel at The Domain, retail and experiential additions at Brea Mall, King of Prussia and The Shops at Mission Viejo.
At quarter end, our share of the net cost of development projects across all platforms was $1.25 billion with a blended yield of 9%. Approximately 45% of net costs are for mixed-use projects. In addition, our new development and redevelopment pipeline continues to grow with exciting new opportunities ahead, including a major full-price retail and mixed-use project in Nashville, where we will be unveiling our vision later this week.
I will now turn it over to Brian, who will walk through our third quarter results.
Thank you, Eli. Real estate FFO was $3.22 per share in the third quarter compared to $3.05 in the prior year, 5.6% growth.
Domestic and international operations had a very good quarter and contributed $0.26 of growth, driven by an 8% increase in lease income.
As anticipated, lower interest income and higher interest expense combined were a $0.09 drag year-over-year.
Domestic NOI increased 5.1% year-over-year for the quarter and 4.2% for the first 9 months of the year. Portfolio NOI, which includes our international properties at constant currency, grew 5.2% for the quarter and 4.5% for the first 9 months.
Retailer demand remains strong as we signed over 1,000 leases totaling approximately 4 million square feet during the quarter. Approximately 30% of our leasing activity represents new deals, reflecting continued strong demand across the portfolio.
The Malls and Premium Outlets ended the third quarter at 96.4% occupancy, an increase of 40 basis points sequentially and 20 basis points year-over-year. The Mills achieved a 99.4% occupancy, an increase of 10 basis points sequentially and 80 basis points from the prior year.
Average base minimum rents increased 2.5% year-over-year for the Malls and Premium Outlets, while the Mills saw a 1.8% increase.
Retailer sales per square foot for the Malls and the Premium Outlets were $742 for the quarter. Importantly, total sales volumes increased more than 4% in the third quarter. Shopper traffic and retailer sales accelerated sequentially, reflecting the impact of a successful back-to-school season.
Occupancy cost at the end of the quarter was stable at 13% Third quarter funds from operations were $1.23 billion or $3.25 per share compared to $1.07 billion or $2.84 per share last year. Some of the increase was due to improvement in OPI compared to last year. Please see the FFO reconciliation included in our supplemental today for details on the year-over-year changes in FFO per share.
Turning to the balance sheet and liquidity. During the quarter, we completed a dual tranche U.S. senior note offering that totaled $1.5 billion at a combined average term of 7.8 years and a weighted average coupon rate of 4.8%.
During the first 9 months of the year, we completed 33 secured loan transactions totaling approximately $5.4 billion. The weighted average interest rate on these loans was 5.38%. We ended the quarter with approximately $9.5 billion of liquidity.
Turning to our dividend. Today, we announced $2.20 per share for the fourth quarter, a year-over-year increase of $0.10 or 4.8%. The dividend is payable on December 31.
Now turning to guidance. We are increasing our full year 2025 real estate FFO guidance range to $12.60 to $12.70 per share. This compares to $12.24 last year in our prior guidance range of $12.45 to $12.65 per share. The updated range reflects a $0.15 increase at the low end and a $0.10 increase at the midpoint.
Thank you. We are now available for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Michael Goldsmith with UBS.
2. Question Answer
In the prepared remarks, you mentioned the opportunity for operational efficiencies and improvement for the Taubman assets twice and that these should help improve the yield by 50 basis points. So can you share some of the specifics of the opportunity from bringing these assets fully on to your platform?
[Technical Difficulty] Hello.
We are able to hear you.
Okay. We got disconnected. So can you repeat the question? We didn't get it all.
Yes, absolutely. In the prepared remarks, you mentioned the opportunity for operational efficiencies and improvements for the Taubman assets twice and that these should help improve the yield by 50 basis points. So can you share some of the specifics of the opportunity from bringing these assets onto your platform?
Yes. I mean when we bought the original 80% of Taubman, the only real operational efficiencies we got was eliminating public company costs. Obviously, they had a full operational team running those assets, and we'll be able to add them to our platform at very little cost.
And then from an operational enhancement point of view, we bring our expertise in development, redevelopment, leasing, marketing, brand ventures, and we put all that together, and that's what we do for living. So we've helped out, but not to the point of how we would if we actually ran the properties day-to-day. So now we put them on our -- we bolt them on to our platform, that's easy. And then we run the properties day-to-day, and we bring all that we can bear to a portfolio like that. And that's where we see a tremendous amount of upside.
If you look at the occupancy, it's lower than where we're at, and we think we can bring it up to our level. And then we've got all our asset management techniques, property management capabilities that are going to just grind higher cash flow. That's what we do for a living. That's why we've been the acquirer. That's why we've been successful time and again.
And if you look back at this portfolio and you look at the entire transaction, we're going to be at an essentially an 8% cap rate when we add these a little over 8% cap rate when we add the assets to our platform. And that -- and you look at the quality of the assets, that makes for a terrific deal, which you guys need to understand. So it's at a much higher cap rate than strip centers are trading, much better growth rate than strip centers are trading that I've seen. And these assets have been around 70 years. That's the other thing to step back.
So take data centers. Data centers trade at a 4.5% cap rate. And we don't know -- nobody knows what they're going to look like in 5 years. What we do know is that good malls have been around 70 years, 70 years, not 7 years, not 17 years, but 7-0 years. So we made a hell of a trade, and that's certainly one of the reasons why I think the Taubmans wanted to convert this last 12% into our units, which is convertible on a one-to-one basis to our stock because they've seen our ability to execute and perform at levels that no one else has in our peer group.
Our next question is from Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler.
Eli, welcome to the public earnings call. You now get all the enjoyment that David has had over the years. So David, just going back to the cap rate, and if you'll indulge me a little bit, if we take the implied cap rate of the shares issued on Friday, it's sort of a little over 6%, but you spoke about an 8%, which sounds like the existing assets were producing a lot more the overall versus the final buyout trade.
But then you spoke about the initial 50 bp increase once it's on Simon's platform, but presumably, there's a lot more growth over the next 5 or so years that presumably that 8% goes higher. So one, can you help us understand sort of the pricing of the final 12% and how that relates to the 7.25% that you initially spoke about? And then over the next few years, presumably, this cap rate is going to be much higher than an 8%.
Yes. So let me just unpack it a little bit. I'll be a little more clear. So if you look at -- we had 4 transactions within the Taubman Group. We had the initial 80% we had the 2 4% and then 12%.
If you look at that on today's numbers, today's numbers, that's basically a little over a 7.25% cap rate. If you add what we think will bring in operational synergies, efficiencies/enhancements, that's where we get to north of 8%. And then obviously, Alex, you're right, then you have all the intrinsic growth of the portfolio, which we're not -- that will just be year-after-year growth because I think these assets, by and large, have a higher skew of quality than just the Simon-only portfolio. So they skew a little higher growth than we do -- we did historically.
So we would expect our comp NOI growth to accelerate because of adding that in. So that -- hopefully, that impacts -- if you really are focused on the 12%, not including the operational enhancements, we're in the 6.25% to 6.5% cap rate if you just want to focus on that 12%. Do you want me to explain it?
Yes, that -- it's what we thought initially, but obviously, all the pieces adding up to get us how you think about that.
I told you a lot more -- only a few, I told you a lot more information than I normally would, okay?
I'm sure Floris will ask a lot more details than I have. So...
Our next question is from Caitlin Burrows with Goldman Sachs.
Congrats on the quarter and recent announcements and yes, welcome Eli, to the earnings call. Maybe on the sales results, they increased in the quarter, which was great to see. Could you give any detail on how widespread that was? Did a couple of tenants drive numbers one way or the other? I know you have initiatives to upgrade the tenant base, maybe shrink where it makes sense. So just whether we're starting to see some impact from those initiatives?
Caitlin, it's Brian. Quite honestly, throughout the quarter, you saw a widespread increase across all 3 platforms. And the tenant base certainly was productive in the quarter. You saw certain categories outperform. You saw luxury come back a bit. Certainly, athleisure outperform, even the apparel category. So certainly, the back-to-school season was a robust one for our business and our portfolio. Even you saw some positive inflection in some of the tourist-oriented centers. So we are starting to see it kind of widespread across the totality of the portfolio, sequential improvement, both in traffic and in sales.
Yes, Caitlin, I would only add that I think like I said last quarter, I believe we're still not from a sales point of view, hitting on all cylinders.
What I did -- what we did see is that the kind of the higher-end consumer, obviously, I don't have to -- you have as good data as we do at Goldman. But clearly, we're in this K-shaped kind of situation. So we did skew better results in the higher income-oriented centers. The value-oriented centers were more flat to kind of inching along. So you didn't see the entire portfolio.
Brian is right. The quarter was okay, at least stabilized. So it's not hitting on all cylinders, but it's okay. Florida remains to be very strong. The one area that we're seeing, and I think everybody is seeing is that your -- Las Vegas from a tourist market is underperforming. You see it from the casinos. Obviously, we have a lot of properties, great properties, but they're not comping the sales growth that we would expect.
And then Brian is right, we did see stabilization in the luxury, which is good. But -- and again, the higher income properties are doing better. The one caveat is, as you know, our Vegas properties skewed toward that, and they were not -- their comp sales were intact, I think a little down. I don't have the number off the top of my head. So we're seeing underperformance.
Look, we don't worry about that because Vegas assets are great and Vegas does go up and down. And you've clearly had Canadians that don't go to Las Vegas and other people that are not going at the frequency that's happening, but no concern there. But right now, it's kind of in the trough.
Our next question is from Samir Khanal with Bank of America.
Brian or David, you've generated very strong NOI growth year-to-date, 5% for the quarter. I guess given the solid leasing environment you're seeing, just trying to see if you can keep up this sort of same-store momentum in '26 or even do better, assuming a sort of a similar retailer sales environment. Curious on your thoughts.
Well, the team is doing our -- I think we invite Alex. So we invite you and then disinvite you, but the team is going through the property-by-property root canal, okay? So I'm glad to report no cavities, no need for root canal.
We feel really what I'm being told and what I'm seeing from the numbers are really positive. The team is juiced, energized, so we feel -- I'm not going to give you a number, but we feel really good about '26 in terms of our ability to produce comp NOI growth. As you know, we'll do that in February with our earnings guidance.
But the team is feeling good that we'll have another -- obviously, there's external factors that we don't -- even we don't control, I'm kidding. But we're feeling really generally positive about what we're seeing, right? Brian?
Yes. No, that's the report back. We're in the middle of grinding out. We'll get back to you in February, but I think there's an optimism. Eli, you've been going through all these.
Yes. And it's across the portfolio, not just the powerhouse centers, but really across the portfolio, a lot of exciting new things in store for next year.
Our next question is from Greg McGinniss with Scotiabank.
So from our perspective and despite our expectations, tariffs have had seemingly little impact on shopper or retailer behavior to date.
And David, I know you previously mentioned that maybe the holiday season is when we start to see some impact to retailer financials, but we were hoping for an update on what you're seeing in your retailer discussions and regarding your expectations on any impact to leasing and/or tenant behavior?
From the tariffs, right? So look, I think the news that President Trump and President Xi had on the Chinese discussion is positive for our retailers, even though a number of them have moved some of their production out of China, but that's a positive.
I do -- I continue to believe that tariffs will have an impact. We have not yet seen all of it. And I think some of that will -- as I said last time, I mean, it's a pretty consistent story. Some of that will be passed on to the supplier. Some of that will be eaten by the retailer and some of that will be passed on to the consumer. So there's just, in many cases, the inability for retailers to eat that entire tariff. So they're going to have to pass it on or renegotiate better vendor deals. And I still believe we still haven't seen the full impact of it.
So I think your question is appropriate. I think it's still -- now baseball goes to, what is it, 18 innings now, I mean 18 innings. So I'm not -- let's assume it goes to Stage 9. I think the tariff -- if I had to put an inning on it, I'd say 5 to 6, just a gut feel, so it's not scientific. So we'll have to see. And I do worry that it will put more pressure on the smaller retailers, not the mammoth retailers that we all think about, right? Because they have the ability to handle it and try and use this as an opportunity to squeeze and increase market share.
So we're still in the middle of the game. It is not over. Hopefully, it is a 9-inning game. It doesn't go to 18. But I don't think the final chapter -- how about all these analogies. But I don't think the final chapter has been there. So we're still cautious on that.
Let me just end by saying from a supply and demand point of view, just from our leasing, we see absolutely unequivocally no change apart from the retailers that are looking to grow their footprint.
Our next question is from Craig Mailman with Citi.
David, maybe going back to your comments earlier about the value mall, kind of the foot traffic going on there versus your higher-end mall. As you look at '26, I know you guys said you feel very good, but -- and the tenant demand. As you guys approach conversations with tenants who are looking at both high end and kind of the value segment from some of that crossover, do you feel like you guys are losing a little bit of momentum in the ability to push net effectives at the value side of the portfolio? Or the inflation over the last couple of years just pushed OCRs to a point where you still feel like you're able to get pretty good upside relative to maybe where you're pushing in the luxury or the higher-end malls?
Yes. Let me just say, traffic for the kind of the value-oriented centers is up. So it's not the traffic. It's just really the conversion.
I think that consumer is being a little more cautious. But I think you pinpointed it. I mean we have low OCRs there. The demand -- again, the retail demand on that portfolio is still very positive. So no change of -- no different point of view. But we do have to be sensitive because the lower-income consumer, which, again, we don't skew to -- even in our outlet centers, they're skewed toward the higher-end retailers, around the higher-end consumers, I should say. So it's not where we skew.
But again, demand is good, and it's not a -- there's really no change of mood or potential there, but it is -- sales are not moving as -- they're not increasing at the rate that the full-price better higher-end centers are. That's it.
So I think that the outlet consumer is being a little more cautious. But let's see what happens this Christmas. I mean you still got things going for the lower-end consumer, lower gas price, hopefully lower electricity prices for the time being until all these data centers get built, and that's another interesting thing we need to talk about as a country. But I think it's -- again, it's -- we're just -- the sales are not hitting like Vegas, like a couple of the border, northern borders thing. We're just not hitting on all cylinders.
And the reason we say that is to show you that there's more juice in the orange, right? Is it orange or lemon? Orange. Lemon sounds good, right. So there's more juice there. It's just we're not getting all of it at this point.
Our next question is from Michael Griffin with Evercore ISI.
I wanted to ask on the new leasing in the quarter. Brian, I think you mentioned it was about 30% of the total leases executed. Is this you all proactively looking to get ahead of leases that might expire in a year or 2 and upgrade the credit quality?
And can you also give us a sense if you're seeing more of those new-to-mall concepts coming in the portfolio? And lastly, anything you can comment on leasing spread for that would be helpful.
Well, I'll just let Brian answer most of it. But I'll say the new-to concept, I mean Meta is opening a store. We're in discussions with them. Google is opening stores. We're in contact with them. Netflix, Eli is going to be opening tomorrow at King of Prussia -- next week. So Netflix is -- I encourage everyone to go check it out. They're opening their flagship destination store at King of Prussia next week. So there's more and more year-end Labubu.
Pop Mart, Edikted, Princess Polly, a bunch of tenants. And what they see is they can open a bunch of stores with us. And so we're having really great conversations in our new business leasing.
So -- and I'll let Brian get to the rest. But -- so the new idea, new experiential stuff, we're doing new Apple stores as well. They opened in Del Amo. That's a good example. We've been working that deal for 5 years or so. So I think it's very encouraging what we're seeing on the new storefront.
We're still doing a lot of new restaurants with high-end operators. So that's going very well. We opened Formula 1 at Forum Shops. One of their second or third operations, 2-level flagship store, a bunch of people there for the opening. It's terrific, saw pictures.
So just on the new concept, the new store front between the restaurants and the Metas of the world, the Netflix, the Googles that are all working on that. I think it's very, very positive, very positive. So lots happening on that front.
And Michael, it's -- the 30% statistic is new leases. So it is not picking up old stuff. What you've got is just the unabated demand for us to continue to add interesting and new uses. We're also seeing big demand from the existing kind of retailer base, and we're slightly out ahead of '26's expirations. And so I think it's coming from a variety of places.
Certainly, on the last several calls, you've heard us talk about improving the merchandising mix. And that 30% statistic is really encapsulating our desire and ability to do that.
So -- and I'll give you a simple example. We have a great mall. I probably shouldn't -- I'm not going to name the tenant, but I'll give you some breadcrumbs. But it's a great mall in a great Southeastern city, a great Southeastern city, not Atlanta. That's a great Southeastern city, but another great Southeastern city, not Atlanta that we're -- and this goes to your point, are you -- even if you have a lease, are you satisfied? The answer is no.
So we're taking one tenant that has a lease. We're actually downsizing them, moving them to another space and putting a leading high-end retailer in there, and I'll leave it at that. I was going to give you a little bit more breadcrumbs, but I don't want people yelling at me. So -- which is a good example of even though we had leases on both spaces, we're taking one, downsizing one tenant moving, bringing in another one. And that's what our folks do. That's one of the great things that we see in the TRG portfolio.
And we'll be a lot more aggressive in doing that because you're never -- we should never be satisfied that we've executed the mix at the rate that you've always got to change it. For instance, talk Forum Shops, I think it just recently opened. We had an H&M store there. We replaced it with Zara, beautiful store, big investment that they had, and that changes the whole kind of the center point, they're familiar with the asset, which is truly exciting.
So absolutely, and that's one of the -- like I said, one of the interesting things that we see in the TRG portfolio and then in our assets across the spectrum, whether it's the outlet centers or the full-price malls.
Our next question is from Juan Sanabria with BMO Capital Markets.
Just hoping maybe to talk a little bit about technology. A lot of things in society seem like they're in flux and retail is not excluded there to talk about ChatGPT agents or agentic agents that can do some of the shopping bypassing people.
Just curious on how you guys are trying to position for this and your thoughts on how this may evolve and if you see it as a risk or an opportunity or both?
Well, you have to assume everything is a risk. So I do think bringing AI into the equation will have a pretty big impact on how e-commerce is done. But we offer something much broader than e-commerce.
If e-commerce was going to put us out of business for the last 20 years and here we are standing. Just to give you an example, I saw Palantir had EBITDA this quarter of like adjusted EBITDA, whatever that means, of $400 million and our EBITDA this quarter was $1.6 billion. So now Palantir's market cap is $500 billion, ours is $65 billion, if you include the units, right, Tom. So that's pretty good math, right?
So again, I do think the people that shop -- the e-commerce shoppers are definitely going to use AI to -- eventually to use AI to replace the way they shop online today. And the key for us is to create like we have for 70 years. Remember, we've been in this business 70 years, okay? Not 5, not 20. But in this -- we have survived. This product has survived 70 years.
And I will tell you, our half-life is greater than the newfangled data centers that are being built today because I think they'll figure out how to do them smaller and more efficient 3 to 5 years from now, okay? And I know nothing, but that's my gut feel. I know nothing, but that's my gut feel.
So going back to your question, so it will have an impact on e-commerce. I think it's going to absolutely continue to make us great at what we do and that we're going to have to create real shopping -- holistic shopping environments.
And another way to look at it is, look, so there's a lot of talk about going to -- and I was at the CEO Summit the other day, which was kind of interesting. But put that aside, there's a lot of talk that people are going to be working 3 days a week. So -- and the potential GDP impact of AI could be $15 trillion or trillions of dollars, right? So the way I look at it, I look at actual positive.
So if you -- let's say we all work now, I'm going to still work 5 days, 8 days a week, right? Lord, I'm going to make work at least 7, 8 days a week. But let's just hypothetically take the point that it's only 3-day a week work, okay, 3 days a week that you work. You're going to have a lot more free time. We've created this great wealth. Our GDP goes from $18 trillion to $25 trillion to $30 trillion. That means money in people's pocket. I think we're going to go to the mall to shop. What else are they going to do, okay? So they can only yell at their kids that much when they play New Soccer.
So they're going to go to the mall to shop, eat, spend their newfound wealth that's going to eat through this economy. Now what we have to do is just create these great environments. And ultimately, we'll use AI like everybody else to enhance our loyalty, to enhance our ShopSimon to enhance our search efforts to connect with the consumer. And we'll talk to ChatGPT and ask them what we've heard or did, whatever, what we could do to them all to make it better and do all this stuff.
But I'm looking at it positively. We lasted 70 years. We're only going to work 3 days a week. We're going to create $12 trillion of value and people are going to go the mall to shop because what else are they going to do, okay? Do you see what I'm saying?
Yes. Hopefully. Simon?
So in any event, but we're experimenting how to do it. We are -- we've got a friend called Harvey that we may create the first AI CEO. Now I'm not saying he's going to replace me, but he could replace one of our divisions or elsewhere. So stay tuned. We'll use it effectively like we've used everything else.
Our next question is from Vince Tibone with Green Street Capital.
I wanted to follow up more time on the Taubman cap rate. Just specifically, if you -- look, the way I'm looking at it is just the purchase price is just over $1.5 billion if we use Friday's close for the OP unit value plus incremental debt. And then trailing 12-month NOI is right around $77 million for 12% of Taubman using your supplemental. So that's more like a low 5s cap rate on a trailing 12-month basis. So I mean, is it really that much synergies to get to the second quarter, second half?
Yes, we told you -- we called out -- we told you the numbers. Vince, at this point in our career, we're not going to mislead you or the public. Your cap rates are too low for certain assets, but not too high for ours. And we told you where the cap rates are.
And we told you where the accretion is, and we told you everything there is to tell you about that deal. They've got a lot of growth this year. They've got growth next year. And we told you everything that there is to tell you.
I will tell you, I think your cap rates for our asset base is too high. I think your peers at Green Street have a product that is too low compared to ours. Our growth is better. And the longevity of our asset base, you don't factor in our assets last 70 years.
Our next question is from Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho Securities.
David, good to hear from you. Eli, welcome to the call. My question is on corporate structure. Congrats on the internalization of the remaining part of TRG. But I'm curious if there are any changes or shift in how you're thinking about your investment in your European platform, Klépierre.
Earlier this year, you bought an asset in Italy off balance sheet outside of Klépierre. So I guess I'm curious if you're happy to own more assets outside of Klépierre. But then I also wanted to add, it seemed like recently you opted to convert some of the Klépierre exchangeable note holders into stock, not cash, which might suggest you have a longer-term hold for that stock. So maybe help us reconcile those 2 dynamics and how you're thinking about the Klépierre platform.
Well, we bought the mall, which has nothing to do with the -- which is a luxury outlet center in the middle of the two. It's actually on balance sheet. It's on balance sheet. Yes. So that has nothing to do with Klépierre.
Klépierre, look, it's been a great investment for us. We evaluate it all the time. We did get some -- as you know, we issued the convert. Did we do it 3 years ago? 2 years ago? 3 years ago. We got conversion notice. We did settle in shares. And we look and evaluate that investment continually, and we'll continue to do that. But it's been a very good investment. We've added a lot of value to that organization.
I think, again, the market should appreciate where Klépierre go back -- let's turn the clock back 10 years ago where Klépierre was and look at where it is today and for our strategic input vision, guidance created the new Klépierre that exists today that's positioned to succeed in European full-price retailer with the best. And that's all -- I mean, again, the management team did a great job, but we hired the management team, okay?
So -- but at the same time, we have a fiduciary duty to continue to add value to Klépierre while we're on the Board, while I were on the Board. At the same time, we have a fiduciary duty to our Simon shareholders to look at all of our investments to see if that's the best allocation of our capital, and we will continue to do so.
I appreciate that, David. I guess I just wanted to clarify because I mentioned the asset in Italy you bought because you bought it on balance sheet and not in Klépierre . So I guess I was curious if you were happy owning more assets outside of Klépierre in Europe?
Yes. We would probably -- I'm sorry, if I misunderstood. So we would probably only look to -- we've kind of decided that the full-price -- again, this could always change, right? But we've kind of decided that if there are full-price assets to acquire while we continue to hold our Klépierre investment and stand the Board, that Klépierre would do that.
On the other hand, if it's in the outlet world, because we look at outlets worldwide, we have outlets in Asia, obviously, North America, both in Mexico, Canada, U.S., obviously, several countries in Asia, that we would look at those for our own accounts, the signing accounts. Okay. I'm sorry, I misunderstood your question.
Our next question is from Mike Mueller with JPMorgan.
So Taubman has used a secured debt strategy for the portfolio ever since the '98 restructuring. Do you think you'll be unencumbering a number of those assets over time? And as a follow-up, are there any parts of that portfolio that look like they're sale candidates today?
Michael, it's Brian. You're right. They did go to a secured strategy over time. I would expect that over time, we will unlock that and use our unsecured capital to unencumbered assets in due course to further improve our unencumbered asset base, which is already incredibly powerful.
As far as the portfolio on balance today, I think we're comfortable where it sits, but we naturally evaluate things frequently. And so that could change over time. But for now, I think we're in a good place.
Our next question is from Ronald Kamdem with Morgan Stanley.
It's Adam on for Ron. I think we had always looked at the dividend sort of post-COVID as I think you guys are sort of targeting getting back to that pre-COVID dividend level. You're now past that.
So I guess just sitting here today, how do you sort of stack rank the capital allocation priorities? I know you've talked about sort of development of -- obviously, of the Class A assets, but also, I think you've talked in recent quarters about some of the Class B or B+ development opportunities or redevelopment opportunities as well. So just sitting here the different options in terms of capital allocation, how do you sort of stack rank those dividend buybacks potentially development, redevelopment, et cetera?
Actually, thank you for -- I forgot we passed our COVID? We did? All right, good. Well done. So look, I think one of the things that you'll probably -- we do have a buyback open, right? Obviously, we can't buy that now. But one of the things you'll see from us most likely, which is not in the numbers, but we issued 5-million-unit shares. So we'll look to quarterize that over -- we're not issued -- we don't -- we have a balance sheet that does not need to issue equity.
So now as part of the deal, Taubman family really wanted units, equity. So I think over time, obviously, subject to market conditions, we'll look to quarterize, i.e., at least want to get our share level back to kind of where it was pre-issuance for the TRG deal. Now that's subject to market conditions. We'll be very smart about it and we do everything else.
But that -- so that has moved up the -- I still think we're going to want to grow our dividend. And obviously, I think I said last time, the development stuff does take time to put the capital to work. We don't move as fast as these data centers that just go up 9 months.
But I think quarterizing that $5 million issuance has moved up to the top of the charts. But that does not mean that the capital redeployment in the portfolio slows down. We're very -- and you're rightly pointing out that we all get in these classifications of A-, B+. We're going to put it where the capital is accretive to that property value.
Now we don't use Green Street cap rates. We use David Simon's cap rates. And over my career, I've been more right than wrong. So we could do a ChatGPT pull of who's got the better cap rates. I'm going to go with David for the time being, but I've been proven wrong. So we're blowing and going, and we've got some really exciting big things on the horizon to do with capital.
And just to name a few, we bought out Seritage at Boca, which is a huge, massive thing to a great center, which should be a 4.5% cap rate. But don't worry, we're not going to -- our development yield is going to be greater than that, much greater than that. But we've got Fashion Valley. We've got Boca. We've got Barton Creek. These are just 2 or 3 that are popping.
Later in the week, the team will be announcing a really landmark deal in Nashville at a great site in a great city that we have a very important presence in now, complemented by the TRG assets that we now have full operational control with, which is a very good asset in Opry Mills as an example, which is a very good mill and a distinct trade area.
So that will be our new ground-up development that we're really excited about. So it's pretty much status quo other than we're going to be moving up the -- I don't want another 5 million shares outstanding. Okay? We're going to run a little bit over. We got 2 more questions.
Our next question is from Floris Dijkum with Ladenburg Thalmann.
I know we're running late. David, great to hear your voice. Eli, again, I'll not be the first one to welcome you, but good to have you on the call as well.
And David, I love your passion. Question for you. I'll try to keep it relatively short here, but your S&O pipeline, could you talk about that? And I note that Kering has dropped out of your top 10 tenants list. Presumably, they haven't closed any stores. Is that just you haven't signed new leases or they haven't opened new stores in the portfolio? And maybe talk a little bit about in that S&O, how your luxury is trending or how you expect that to trend maybe?
Floris, it's Brian. So the S&O pipeline is 310 basis points as of 9/30. And you're right, Kering did drop out of the top 10. It's just simply because we opened up more stores with other retailers and forced them above the Kering ranking. So it's really a reflection of the robust activity that's on the ground from a leasing perspective.
Kering is still a very important tenant. And over time, we would expect to continue to see them move around to the top rankings. As you look at that 310 basis points, there is a substantial amount of luxury in there. It's probably to the tune of about 50 to 60 basis points of the total 310 basis points. So the luxury cohort of tenants continues to favor our portfolio and continue to see growth with us.
And again, we've got -- we're -- our occupancy is pretty high, but we're -- a lot of this new stuff is re-tenancy. And obviously, Forever 21, is having -- re-leasing all that space is having an impact on the S&O, right?
Our final question is from Tayo Okusanya with Deutsche Bank.
Eli, congratulations. Welcome aboard. In regards to OPI, just curious what you guys are -- how you're thinking about that business again, is a little bit more value-oriented. I'm just kind of curious if there's opportunities to kind of monetize that? Or is just the world too murky right now to really have an opportunity?
Well, we'll see how that transpires. But I will compliment the team at Catalyst. They're doing really terrific work at a number of the brands, not all -- some of the brands are -- again, it's not perfect sailing, but they're doing a great job at JCPenney, great job at Aeropostale, a great job at Brooks Brothers, a really good job at Lucky.
So we've been very pleased with how Catalyst has integrated with the various brands. That merger is really -- this is the first 9 months. If you go back, it really happened in early '25. So they're doing a terrific job. It's stable, good results. Obviously, out of Forever 21, which was as much as we tried to say that we couldn't primarily because of the de minimis, now that -- we would have a fighting chance had we not suffered from the de minimis, but we couldn't overcome that. Now thankfully, it's changed and at least it puts domestic retailers on an even footing with certain foreign retailers.
So long story short, Catalyst is doing a terrific job. And like everything else, look, if I would say we'll always look at what the best options are. But for the time being, it's in good stead.
And again, they skew toward -- a few of the brands skew towards the lower income. And I will say this, the lower income and the higher income as well is they're looking for value. So value can be -- value is in the eye of the beholder, but you got to give the consumer today value, whether they're a high-income consumer or a lower income consumer, value is the name of the game. And I think Catalyst has recognized that and are providing it at a high end like the Brooks Brothers and at the kind of the more moderate Aero and Penney. So it's all good.
There are no further questions. I would like to turn the conference over to David Simon for closing remarks.
Okay. We had a very active quarter. We're going to have a very active fourth quarter. So more good stuff to come. And thank you very much for your interest and your questions. Thank you.
Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation.
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Simon Property Group — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Simon Property Group — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- FFO: Drittelquartal: $1,23 Mrd FFO bzw. $3,25 je Aktie; Vorjahr $1,07 Mrd / $2,84 je Aktie.
- Real‑estate FFO: $3,22 je Aktie (Managementangabe; +5,6% YoY).
- NOI: Domestic NOI +5,1% YoY; Portfolio‑NOI (konst. Währung) +5,2% im Quartal.
- Belegung: Malls & Premium Outlets 96,4% (↑40 Basispunkte seq.); The Mills 99,4%.
- Dividende & Guidance: Q4‑Dividende $2,20 (↑4,8% YoY); FY‑RE FFO Guidance erhöht auf $12,60–$12,70.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- TRG‑Übernahme: Restliche 12% von Taubman gegen 5,06 Mio. Einheiten erworben; Konsolidierung als Business Combination, erwartete Nicht‑Cash‑Bewertungsgewinne Q4‑2025.
- Synergien: Management sieht operativen Hebel (einheitliche Plattform, Asset‑Management, Leasing, Marketing) — Ziel: +≈50 Basispunkte beim Going‑in‑Yield; Accretion 2026, voller Effekt 2027.
- Pipeline & Leasing: Anteilige Entwicklungs‑Netto‑Kosten $1,25 Mrd bei 9% blended Yield; >1.000 neue Mietverträge (~4 Mio sqft), ~30% neue Deals; Fokus auf Experiential‑Mieter (Netflix, Meta, Google, Apple) und Merchandising‑Upgrades.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance: FY‑RE FFO 2025 nun $12,60–$12,70 (Anhebung Low um $0,15; Mid +$0,10 vs. vorher).
- TRG‑Effekt: Transaktion soll 2026 accretive sein; voller operativer Nutzen und Yield‑Verbesserung 2027; Q4‑2025 Sonderbewertung erwartet.
- Kapital & Liquidität: Liquide Mittel ≈ $9,5 Mrd; neues Senior‑Debt $1,5 Mrd emittiert; Quartalsweises Kapitalmanagement (Dividendenerhöhung, Rückführung der ausgegebenen Einheiten geplant).
- Risiken: Zölle und Retail‑Margen, schwächere Touristenmärkte (Las Vegas) können Wachstum drücken.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- TRG‑Synergien: Analysten verlangten konkrete Maßnahmen zur Erreichung der 50 bp; Management nannte bessere Belegung, Plattformintegration und Asset‑Optimierung, blieb bei einigen Cap‑Rate‑Details vage.
- Leasing‑Dynamik: Nachfrage breit; 30% der Abschlüsse waren Neuverträge — Thema war Upgrade der Mietermischung und neue Erlebnis‑Konzepte.
- Zölle & Tourismus: Diskussion über potenzielle Verzögerung von Zolleffekten; Vegas‑Tourismus als kurzfristiger Unsicherheitsfaktor.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Vollkonsolidierung von Taubman vergrößert Portfolio, erhöht kurzfristig die Komplexität (Bewertungsbuchgewinn Q4) und ist mittelfristig accretive; starke Leasing‑ und Entwicklungsdynamik stützt erhöhte FFO‑Guidance. Investoren sollten Integrationserfolg, Realisierung der 50 bp‑Synergien und makrobedingte Risiken (Zölle, Tourismus) beobachten.
Simon Property Group — BofA Securities 2025 Global Real Estate Conference
1. Question Answer
I'll go ahead and get started here. Thank you for joining us. Very happy to have Simon Property Group here. Welcome to the roundtable with the company. Happy to have Eli Simon here, who's the COO of the company; and Brian McDade, CFO.
So Eli, maybe to start off with you, maybe I'll turn it over to you with some opening remarks that you can provide. When I look across the room here, there are people here who aren't familiar with Simon Property Group and from a journalist perspective. So maybe talk a little bit about the company.
Yes. Sure. Thank you, Samir, and it's great to be here with everyone today.
So quickly overview of Simon Property Group. So we have been a public company since 1993. We're a member of the S&P 100, and we're the largest owner of retail real estate globally. Our business today, we have interest in over 250 properties, 212 domestic, 42 internationally. About 90% of our NOI is from our domestic portfolio, which spans 37 states and the remaining 10% from our international portfolio, which is primarily in Europe and Asia, but also includes Canada and Mexico.
Our U.S. business, our domestic business, spans the spectrum from full-price malls to the value-oriented centers in our premium outlets in our mills portfolio. We generate over $4.5 billion in funds from operation annually and pay over $3 billion in dividends each year and today have a dividend yield of about 4.5%.
As a public company, we paid over $47 billion in dividends to date. We take a very long-term view of our business, very focused on disciplined investments and operational excellence in order to increase cash flow growth, funds from operation and our dividend while continuously improving our properties and our portfolio as well as the company overall. This long-term view and this focused approach has allowed us to generate industry-leading returns, and we've generated over 4,300% total shareholder return since we went public in 1993.
So I guess, Brian, I'll turn it over to you for a little bit more about the most previous quarter.
Thank you, and good afternoon, everybody. Good to be with you today.
About 30 days ago now in August, we reported second quarter real estate FFO of about $3.05 per share. Our Q2 results were driven by strong fundamental performance, including occupancy gains, increasing shopper traffic and higher retail sales volumes.
Our domestic property NOI grew 4.2% in the quarter and has grown 3.8% for the first half of the year. Our portfolio NOI, which includes our international investments at a constant currency, grew 4.7% for the quarter and 4.2% for the first half of the year. Occupancy in our Malls and our Premium Outlets was 96% at the end of June, and our reported retailer sales per square foot was $736 on a trailing 12-month basis ending June 30. We continue to see robust opportunities to deploy our significant free cash flow. Work continues on major redevelopment and expansion projects across the globe.
Importantly, we opened a new Premium Outlets in Jakarta, Indonesia earlier this year. We are the one company or one of the companies in the world that can build in Jakarta and domestically all at the same time. This is a key strategic advantage of our growth. Our balance sheet continues to be a differentiator for us and it's one of the strongest in the industry, if not the strongest, providing unmatched operating and financial flexibility to fund our business. This positions us with free cash flow and allows us to create long-term shareholder value by reinvesting in our assets at an accretive yield.
We are bullish about what we've done so far this year and what's coming on the balance of the year and heading into next year. So we are well positioned to continue as a company, very comfortable with where we sit, and we are building momentum throughout the year. So with that, we can certainly open it up to questions, both from the BofA team, but obviously, everybody in the room, feel free to ask questions along the way.
Thank you, Brian, for that.
Eli, just maybe starting off with you. You certainly were promoted to the COO role recently from the CIO role. As CIO, you worked on the Taubman acquisition, also the luxury outlet transactions earlier in the year.
How has that transition been in terms of moving to the COO role? And I know it's only been a month here, but kind of talk to us about kind of the areas you're focused in? Let's call it, the next 3 to 6 months.
Sure. So I would say the promotion, I guess, right, I don't know what it was a few months ago or so. I'm doing what I've been doing, frankly, for a decent bit of time now. So I'd say today, I'd probably split half my time, I'd say on capital allocation. So whether that's new investments, new developments, redevelopments, our mixed-use portfolio, renovations, larger tenant capital situations.
And the other half of the business or other half of my time really on our operations with a particular focus on, I'll say, is our media at large business. So that includes our marketing team, our innovation team, our data analytics team, our Simon Brand Ventures team, which is where we monetize our footfall throughout our domestic centers.
And so in those -- in that bucket, I would say, the thing that we're most focused on over the next really shorter than 3 months in the next couple of weeks, is really launching our loyalty program. So we're in beta right now on Simon+, which is we think is going to be the industry standard for an omnichannel or omni approach to a loyalty program to allow customers to earn points in-store and online on our marketplace shopsimon.com and then be able to burn those points either online or in-store, which we think is going to be a real differentiator from a retailer perspective to want to sign up, want to have their products and some of their awards on our loyalty program.
We're continuing to invest in our data business and our digital business. We have Simon Search which allows you to search real-time inventory from your home to know what's in store today. And the next step in that evolution is to link fulfillment from that. So now that you can go -- be at home, see that, that black dress you want is in store and have the ability to either order it or go to the mall and know it's going to be at the store and pick it up. And so we're continuously investing in that. I have a lot of really innovative ideas and that's going to roll out over the next several months and into next year.
That's great. And just maybe taking a step back here, maybe about the macro and the consumer. A lot of questions about the consumer. Will they continue to spend given, sort of, the tariffs and the spending pressures? Talk to us kind of what you're seeing across the 3 platforms. Are you seeing any differences in spending by the consumer or retailer demand for space at this time?
So on the consumer front, the consumer remains very resilient. Back-to-school is very strong. I live in New York, so I have a little New York bias. But in Indiana and the Midwest, back-to-school starts in July. And if you look at the results that we've seen both in terms of retailer sales and traffic in July in sort of what I call the mainstream centers like a Woodfield in Chicago or Greenwood, Castleton, very strong results, which is really encouraging.
And so we see continued strong retailer demand that's unabated. It's across all our platforms. People know that physical retail is where the consumer wants to be and that our properties are excellent locations for them to continue to open stores.
In the consumer side, I think as we said on our last earnings call, not hitting at all cylinders with really kind of the one exception being our border properties. So we have fantastic properties, both Malls on the Premium Outlet side, on the Canadian border and on the southern border that have been historically our best assets or some of our best assets in terms of traffic growth and sales growth, which has obviously pulled back a little, but still long-term great assets.
And then a couple of the international markets -- international tourism markets have been a touch softer. But even if you look at Vegas, that was in July was down 12%. Our sales were actually up a little bit. So not the normal incredibly robust sales growth from that market, but still definitely getting more than our fair share overall, which is an encouraging sign so far.
By the way, I want to keep this interactive. So if there's any questions, just...
Just to confirm. Say, that's across all 3 platforms, what about regions, and then within the mall or even outlets like between your most dominant to, let's say, least dominant. Any differences to...
Yes. I'd say, regionally, again, besides the border, right, Southern California, Arizona, so maybe not just on the border, but as you go a little bit further north in those 2 states, a little bit softer. But otherwise, again, the middle markets, the middle centers, very, very strong. And the malls definitely outperformed, the outlets in the mills in the last little bit.
But if you kind of normalize the outlet, just happened to be more weighted towards some of the international tourism. And so if you normalize that out, it's much closer. But really resilient consumer across the board and a good back-to-school is what we're hearing kind of across the board.
And I mean on the consumer, if you think about the business, we over-index to the higher-end consumer and that higher-end consumer is really driven by asset values, the exposure to the stock market, what's happening there. That drives their purchasing decisions, and we're still seeing really good uptake from the higher in consumer in the business -- in our business.
It seems as if [indiscernible] the capital allocation [indiscernible] international markets [indiscernible] is that something we should expect?
I think the answer is yes, and I'll have Eli opine upon this. But we've been an international business for a long time. As you look at opportunities to acquire high-quality retail assets whether that's domestically or abroad, it's going to be an area of focus for us. So right now, it's more about the opportunity set. Jakarta was ground-up development versus the acquisition of the 2 assets in Italy. So a little bit different there.
I would expect us absolutely to continue to invest in ground up development in the outlet space globally. And I would expect us to continue to evaluate opportunities to add high-quality retail real estate from an acquisition perspective.
Yes, I think that's right. I think sort of the law of large numbers, right, we're a 90-10 today, it's going to be hard to move that materially that 10% international and materially above that. But as Brian said, we're always evaluating opportunities and we look at what's the best risk-adjusted return. And it's not a, we're only going to do international, we're only going to do domestic, we're only going to buy, we're only going to develop or redevelop. We can do all when we think is good risk-adjusted returns, then we'll do it.
How much outlet opportunity is there in the U.S. right now domestically, you think?
For new development?
Yes.
I would say -- funny, we had a capital committee meeting 2 weeks ago. And there were a couple of opportunities presented early stages that we were evaluating. I would say one was more interesting than another. So it's onesies and twosies. There's not a lot, we had announced or have announced right in Nashville.
I'd say more to come, but that site might almost be too good for an outlet based on the retailer demand we're hearing. And so we'll still continue to evaluate opportunities. We have a team that looks at it, both here, Canada and Mexico, throughout Asia, Southeast Asia and Europe. So we'll continue to evaluate, but it's not a tremendous number of markets that really are lacking today.
I know, Brian, you talked about the leasing environment being robust. It's strong. Had you -- I mean, talk to us kind of -- I know you guys are all focused on deal review meetings that you said on.
Like, talk to us kind of how is that conversation in these deal review meetings? And how much of sort of '26 expirations have you taken care of at this point or rather addressed?
Yes. We're about 25% through our expirations for next year which is ahead of where we would have been last year. I think that's a function of retailers' desires to continue to secure high-quality locations, which is really the driving force of our leasing environment.
When we -- the ability for us to put together a high-quality real estate with our capital position really is a differentiator for us. And honestly, the retail backdrop and the leasing environment is as robust and unabated as it's been in the last 18 to 24 months.
Retailers are still looking to secure the very best locations. There's nothing new being built that we just discussed. And if anything, supplies leaving the system, given creative destruction, assets that are over-levered or finally being foreclosed upon and being revitalized into other things, but that's taking supply out of the market.
So retailers as they're looking to grow their business in the U.S. have a shrinking pool of opportunities. And so they're looking to secure those opportunities over long periods of time. And so our leasing environment is as good as it's been in a really long time. That's a function of the quality of our assets and the ability to put capital back into them. And it's broad-based across a variety of categories of retailers from food and beverage and entertainment uses, which are really proliferating at our mall assets and our full-price assets, to the athleisure categories, which you continue to see expansion with new entrants into that category.
So 10 years ago, it was lululemon, now there's an incredibly deep roster of high-quality companies that are looking to access our type of space. So the environment is robust as it's been. And thankfully, we're in a position to meet that demand kind of where it is.
So even if sort of you hear about luxury pulling back in terms of demand for space, you have all these other categories sort of pretty active, right? Is that...
Absolutely. And I would say that candidly, luxury isn't materially pulling back at least that we're not experiencing that.
Certainly, they've had more volatilities in their sales. And there's certainly individual brands that are going through their own respective challenges. But as a whole, I think the luxury category continues to grow and is looking to secure space in our assets over long-term periods of time.
Just a question on your initiative with Simon+ and Simon Search. So the Simon+ is aimed [indiscernible].
Can you talk a bit more about what that investment is from the retailer's perspective. [indiscernible] are you seeing that translate into higher retail sales? Can you quantify?
Sure. So I guess first Simon+ is a week or 2 in beta. So we haven't really seen results, but I would say what is interesting from the retailer's perspective is today, speaking as a landlord of Simon, we know that somebody went to Apple and somebody went to Abercrombie, but we don't know if you went to Apple and then Abercrombie. And so now we're going to be able to know that you went to this store and you went to that store, and that's real data and real analytics that we're going to be able to share with our retailers to help get them excited to help them improve their sales as well.
And so from our perspective, our focus is really on marketing, on getting the customer acquisition in the loyalty program, which we're really launching kind of on center literally in the next week or 2.
And then from a retailer's perspective, it's what exciting rewards can you have on our platform. And so there's a lot of opportunity there, whether it's spend $100 get 10% off, but it could be a bag tag. It can be a free pretzel, right? There's a lot of opportunities to engage with our customer. And we're hoping that this is a really robust ecosystem where retailers will want to put their best foot forward because they know that we have a qualified customer, right?
When somebody comes to the mall and they're buying, they know that they're going to come back to that mall and they're going to buy it again. And so we think that's a pretty compelling story. And we have, I don't only, [indiscernible], but 500-some-odd rewards already, and we're in beta. And so once retailers see and once customers go and say, well, why don't you have a reward on Simon+ XYZ retailer, we think there's going to be more and more of that sign up as we really go live.
On Simon Search, it's been really interesting. We get 10 million to 12 million searches a month on there. And from a retailer's perspective, it's -- we think, again, it's hard to quantify, but we think it generates incremental business because if I know that, that black dress is there in store, in my size, and I don't have time to order it online or sold out online, I'm going to go, right? And so we think that's pretty interesting. From our perspective, we get very interesting insight from that.
So if you look this was in February, and I was kind of looking at the top searches and the 3 top searches on Simon Search were dresses. Okay, Pretty generic phrase. Jeans, also generic. And Labubus, right? And so -- this was as before, right, the Labubu craze was taking over and now we have 30-some-odd deals that we're working on with pop mart.
And so we actually are generating real insights from this, understanding what our customers are searching for. And we think that overall helps our retailers because it gets repeat visits and it's better for our consumer.
Investment is by marginal [indiscernible].
Yes. I mean, yes, very, very marginal.
[indiscernible] How do they provide that [indiscernible]?
So we -- so it's a pretty easy API that it takes a couple of weeks, and we get their live feed, and we have, I don't know, upwards of 100 retailers today. And there's nobody else that has that. So if you're a retailer and if you're considering 2 locations, the access to Simon+, the access to the Simon Search, not to mention we have the balance sheet to put money into our centers, continue to reinvest in our centers, make sure that they have the best newest food and beverage offerings, the most innovative retailers that's a competitive advantage that we use when we go and try to get tenants to come into our centers.
It allows us to drive performance of those tenants at the end of the day, right? And it allows us visibility to the pop mart was a great example where we -- because of our infrastructure, our digital infrastructure now, we identified a trend within the -- from the consumer level and we can meet that from a leasing perspective by working with the retailer to kind of open up to stores.
So really, we're getting it from a variety of perspectives, and it's really giving us a new aperture on how we can run the business.
Is it already [indiscernible] growth?
So our current database is around $20 million on the -- what I'd call the old, the original and which, for lack of a better word, was a glorified coupon book, right? And so now it's -- we're hoping to have a real significant number and have tons of commerce flowing through there. And obviously, as that happens, we're just going to learn more and have more opportunities to serve our customers better.
[indiscernible] with the level of data you have or you need more scale in dominant centers?
Yes. I mean again, it's been a week or 2, right? So -- but yes, I think in the last July. So I guess, a little over a year ago, we kind of saw the road map of Simon+, we actually really decided we're going to really invest in the data. So we hired our first true data analytics person to run that group and kind of starting to build that out, knowing that Simon+ was on the road map into '25 and into '26. So it's something that we think is going to be pretty significant for us and for our retailers in the coming years.
So just getting started. We built the infrastructure for it. And so now as we collect the data, we're going to be able to capture that, Jeff. So yes, data is the new currency in the world that we live in and everybody is looking to monetize it or you have more of it. I think we've built out the digital infrastructure to support the business going forward.
Brian, just turning to maybe operations. I mean, you've done a good job on the occupancy front, right? I mean it feels like a lot of demand there. Help us understand in terms of occupancy, how to think about that maybe across your platforms over the next 12 to 18 months, how much room there is to push here?
Sure. Look, I think if you look at the mall and premium outlet business, roughly 96% last quarter. The previous high was 97%, which was a 2014 number. It's going to take a little bit, but we think the facts on the ground would lead to that there is the potential to exceed our all-time high, certainly in the outlets in the mall business. When you pivot to mills, mills was 99% occupied, effectively fully occupied.
So that portfolio has done incredibly well. And -- lastly is the Taubman portfolio, which was roughly 93%, which was down a touch, they were replacing some Forever 21 stores. So we would expect that to snap back closer to 95% by the end of the year. So there is opportunity to drive occupancy.
You've also heard us talk about the merchandising mix, which is important, which is really taking lower productive tenants and replacing them with higher productive tenants in the world we're living in today.
And so we may churn some occupancy. So you may not see big increases in occupancy, but we're doing so with better productive tenants that ultimately, over time, will be more economically viable for us.
Right. And it feels like we're in a great environment here for the mall business, right, in terms of activity and leasing that we're seeing. I mean, this year, you had Forever 21, Claire's. I mean, what do we -- how do you think about sort of that watch list in the next year? Is there anything that...
So those were certainly the 2 that we're on at the beginning of the year. We've not added throughout the year, which is relative to the kind of the fundamentals that we're seeing in the business. Traditionally, look holiday season is the make or break. And so we traditionally rerank our tenants, call it February after you have final results for the year and the holiday season.
But as of where we sit today, we don't see any new risks emerging in a meaningful way. I actually think that the Forever 21 and the Claire's situation is really fundamentally, we absorbed 1.8 million square feet of bankruptcy from those 2 entities in the second quarter and still increased occupancy 10 basis points. So I mean, that dynamic on the ground is probably underappreciated in that respect.
And increase rent significantly.
Right. And how is -- I'm not sure how much data you have sort of back-to-school and I mean holiday, like how are you thinking about inventories into the holiday season? And what are you hearing from retailers?
So far, as Eli said, the back-to-school holiday season, depending on where you are geographically starts in July and kind of ends in September. In those early return states, if you would, the Midwest, Indiana we have seen outperformance from back-to-school, both in sales and in traffic. And if you listen to some of the retailers that have reported in here in the last couple of weeks, I think they're reporting something similar.
The consumer is engaged the consumer is buying. It may be more discerning than it has been in the past, but they are still spending. Certainly, event-based things. So back-to-school holiday is an important part. And then the upper end consumer continues to spend given the value of their assets continues to go higher.
On the inventory front, we're not hearing anything. Retailers are planning for a normalized inventory and for a good productive holiday season.
In terms of the balance sheet, talk to us kind of as we think -- again, as we think about next year, some of the maturities coming up and are you planning for those maturities given kind of the interest rate environment here?
So it's a great question. We were just active here in the last 3 weeks in the unsecured debt markets. We raised $1 billion at a blended rate of 4.7% between 5- and 10-year money. So the unsecured side is incredibly wide open. Spreads, quite honestly, are as tight as they've been. We issued an [ 89 ] over in our 10-year. The only other time we priced tighter was in [ '96 at 82 ] over. So spreads are incredibly tight on the unsecured perspective.
But certainly, we're pricing off a much higher base rate than when we -- our existing debt is rolling from. So as you look at next year against that, we've got unsecured debt that's rolling in the context of 3.5%, and we just reprinted at 4.7%.
So there is definitely interest rate headwinds. Last year, we talked about those being between $0.25 and $0.30 on the year. I would expect a similar order of magnitude for next year as you just kind of look at what's rolling in the rate differential. But the markets are certainly wide open. We have access on the unsecured side, certainly domestically, but also to the euro and the yen market. We've not issued in yen historically, but have in euro and would expect that we could access some of those markets certainly next year or balance of this year into next year with some of our maturities.
And then on the secured side, it's kind of all over the place to some degree. The CMBS market is open, both the conduit and the SASB market, so bigger loans and the SASB are pricing incredibly well. Earlier this year, we refinanced Houston Galleria at a sub-50% LTV with a spread in the low 100s, and so that's got a 5.5% handle coupon on it. it was a 3.5%, right?
So at the end of the day, interest rates are going higher, and we'll be a bit of a headwind. Again, next year relative to -- similar to what we saw this year is what I would say.
But maybe talk a little bit about external growth, right, given sort of the current cost of debt, I mean even sort of the transaction environment, I guess what -- talk about potential property acquisitions that potentially could look interesting. And maybe generally talk about what does that transaction market look like for A malls today?
Yes. So on the transaction market, we have, I think, a relatively simple philosophy when we evaluate where we're going to buy, okay?
So first off, it has to be really good real estate that we think improves the franchise value. Two, is we think that there's going to be an ability for our operations teams, our leasing teams, et cetera, to improve it. And three is at the right price. A price that we think we can make money on the long run. We're not -- we don't have to buy to buy for buying stake. We're going to buy for compelling opportunities that meet those criteria.
If you look at the 2 larger acquisitions that we did over the past 9 months, the 2 mall luxury outlets in Italy and Brickell, both met those criteria and very excited about those and both -- I guess, all 3 of those assets, they're growth prospects.
So on the overall transaction environment, do I think there's going to be a flooding of Class A malls trading? Probably not. But if there are opportunities, we will evaluate and if they meet our criteria, we think we can make a good return on it, then we have the ability to be active. And if not, we have plenty to do with our existing portfolio. But we're going to keep on doing what we're doing with our existing portfolio. And if we see opportunities we'll be able to participate, but it's not a do one or the other, we're going to do both to the extent that the math and the returns make sense.
Are the return rationals [indiscernible] accretive year 1...
Yes. I mean I think generally speaking, yes, accretive year 1. And at the end of the day, we want to increase NAV over the long term. Obviously, on a development that's -- you're hoping that you're building to a spread outside of what the cap rate is, that's pretty -- that math is pretty easy.
On an acquisition, either it's on the buy side, the purchase price is such that there's embedded NAV growth or as we think we can really improve cash flow, combined with the good purchase, get you the NAV growth.
But that's really -- that's really how we think about it. I'd say if you look historically over 32 years as a public company, we've kind of bought or done transactions at 125 to 150 basis points. Outside of our 10-year cost of capital or 10-year debt financing costs, generally speaking, some higher, some lower. So that's somewhat of a rule of thumb. But really, it's asset-specific, deal specific, and it's got to make economic sense. We don't need scale just for scale's sake.
[indiscernible] in the last year or so, are you seeing more...
I would say you definitely have seen more activity on the strip center, quasi lifestyle center space, there's definitely been some activity we've looked at and participate in for a variety of reasons. In the sort of the more traditional Class A malls space, whether it's a willing seller or it's at a price that doesn't make sense, there clearly hasn't been as much robust activity in that space.
But obviously, it takes 2 to tango for transactions to occur.
And I would just say that usually, you've seen a lot of smaller transactions, the stuff in the $100 million to $300 million kind of ZIP code of stuff. Usually, that's what builds into bigger things, right? You see some more activity, more clearing prices at those kind of assets and levels, which usually unlock opportunities kind of for the larger assets.
Talk a little bit more about the decision to invest again in your malls.
Yes. I think it goes -- it's a couple of things. One is our B malls are other people's A malls, right? So we don't view it that way, right? We view it as different malls have different places in different communities. And I think we've mentioned, right, the Smith Haven example, that's a dominant mall on the eastern part of Long Island.
You can call it an A mall, B mall, you can call it whatever you want, but it's growing. That catchment area is growing, super good demographics, and we can invest incrementally at really attractive returns, adding top-tier retailers. And so when those situations line up, we're going to do it. you can look at Tacoma.
Again, call it A mall, call it B mall, you call it a very good mall with a great location, and we're adding some restaurants outside that will open in a month or 2, because we thought it was really interesting risk-adjusted returns. It benefits the rest of the property, and we believe in that asset in the long term. So we don't look at A, B, C, whatever, we look at where can we invest and make money and have good returns.
And I think importantly, the driver of this investment is the tenant community, right? They want to be there. They wanted to be there. They wanted a store there. So we -- it unlocks the opportunity for us to invest. I mean this isn't a spec investment in our part. We're doing it with the demand in the marketplace. And so there is demand from those retailers for those B assets, if you would.
We -- this is more of a pet peeve for me, but As and Bs and Cs. We grade those assets based upon relativeness to other assets, not relative to their markets. So a $450 foot asset may be the best market in that asset. It may be an A, but it looks different than shops at crystals in form. The relativeness I think, is lost in the gradient there. And so it is -- that is an important asset for us. The retail community was the driving force of our investment, and we were in the position to have the capital to invest which is also very important, right? The tenant community is coming to us because of our capital position to grow with us.
I mean you guys generated a lot of cash flow annually. Like when you think about that use of cash? I mean is that -- what are the priorities as you kind of rank them?
So just kind of level set, right? In a given year, we're going to generate after our dividend about $1.5 billion of cash flow. Certainly, the redeployment of that capital back into our assets is first and foremost priority, making them better. And so any given year, you're going to see $1 billion to $1.5 billion of committed development spend. Now their 24-month project. So half of that goes out the door in any given year from a cash perspective.
So $1.5 billion of free cash flow, $750 million of it funds our redevelopment program, which are yielding roughly 9% unlevered yields. And so making our -- growing our dividend, returning capital to shareholders investing in our core business, but accretively.
And then we have other opportunities, acquisitions, certainly, we can delever the balance sheet, if necessary, just given not facing higher interest rates. The balance sheet is in a great place. We're approaching 5x net debt to EBITDA and may actually crest over that by the end of the year given the EBITDA growth and no need to they seek external funding or capital to drive our business because we're using internally generated funds.
And so as we rank order kind of capital priorities, it's -- again, it's an [ end ] conversation for us. It's not in [indiscernible]. We're not doing acquisitions or reinvesting in our business, we're doing both simultaneously.
Any questions? Okay. So I have to ask the rapid fire questions.
All right.
All right. So number one, when the Fed starts to cut rates, the short end how do you think the borrowing rates will react? Number one, decline stay flat or potentially rise?
I guess if the Fed cut and raise they, by definition, have to fall borrowing rates at least in the front end I think overall, though, long end rates will stay probably pretty anchored on where they are today.
The 10-year...
10 years probably anchored more on growth and inflation expectations versus what the Fed is traditionally doing or at least historically, that's how the economic model worked. So I would say kind of no change in long-term rates relative to what the Fed is doing.
Okay. Number two, majority of companies last year talked about ramping up spending on AI initiatives. So how would you characterize your plans over the next year higher, flat or lower?
From a spending perspective? We'll spend a little bit more next year than we did this year, for sure. We're kind of filling our way through it like so many organizations and industries are. But it's clear that there is opportunity by using AI to drive cost structure changes and/or greater productivity from our human capital assets.
Okay. Number three, same-store NOI growth next year. Higher, lower or same for the industry?
I would say higher.
Thank you very much.
Thank you.
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Simon Property Group — BofA Securities 2025 Global Real Estate Conference
Simon Property Group — BofA Securities 2025 Global Real Estate Conference
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Geschäftsmodell: Simon betont robuste physische Retail-Assets (≈250 Immobilien; 212 US, 42 international) und hohe Fokussierung auf das Inland (≈90% NOI).
- Kapitalstärke: Starke Bilanz erlaubt Dividenden (≈$3 Mrd./Jahr), Reinvestitionen und selektive Akquisitionen.
- Digitalfokus: Simon+ (Loyalty) in Beta und Simon Search (10–12 Mio. Suchen/Monat) sollen Frequenz und Retail-Monetarisierung erhöhen.
📌 Strategische Highlights
- Loyalty & Data: Simon+ startet kurzfristig in Beta; Ziel: Omnichannel-Punkte, Händler‑Rewards und bessere Visitor‑Insights.
- Globales Wachstum: Neuer Premium Outlet in Jakarta; internationale Investitionen bleiben selektiv (heutiger Mix ≈90/10 US/international).
- Kapitalallokation: Jährlich $1–1.5 Mrd. Entwicklungs‑Commitments, Redevelopments mit ~9% unlevered Yield; Free Cash Flow nach Dividende ≈$1.5 Mrd./Jahr.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Produkt-Launch: Simon+ ist in Beta (Wochen), 500+ Rewards initial, API‑Onboarding bei ~100 Händlern.
- Finanzierung: Kürzlich $1 Mrd. unbesicherte Anleihe zu ~4,7% blended (5–10 Jahre) platziert; refinanzierungs‑/Zinsdifferenzen drücken erwartetes Ergebnis ähnlich wie im Vorjahr (~$0.25–0.30/Wert je Aktie).
- Portfolio‑Trends: Q2: Domestic NOI +4.2% q/q, Portfolio NOI +4.7% q/q; Mall/Outlets Occupancy ~96% (TTM Sales/SqFt $736).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Konsument: Nachfrage resilient; regionale Schwächen an Grenzstandorten und in einigen Tourismenmärkten, aber breit positive Back‑to‑School‑Trends.
- Leasing: Robuste Nachfrage, ~25% der 2026‑Verträge bereits adressiert; Mills bei ~99% occupancy, Taubman‑Assets sollen auf ~95% steigen.
- Transaktionen: Fokus auf hochwertige, renditebringende Käufe/Entwicklungen; historische Zielspreads ~125–150 bp über 10‑Jahres‑Finanzierung.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Für Aktionäre bleibt Simon ein defensiver Cash‑Erzeuger mit wachstumsorientierter Reinvestition und hoher Dividendenorientierung. Kurzfristig ist der Zinsanstieg das größte Risiko für EPS, langfristig können Digital‑Initiativen (Simon+, Search) und selektive Investitionen EBITDA und NAV stützen.
Simon Property Group — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Greetings. Welcome to Simon Property Group Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded.
It is now my pleasure to introduce Tom Ward, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations. Thank you, sir. You may begin.
Thank you, Cheri. Thank you for joining us this evening. Presenting on today's call are David Simon, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President; and Brian McDade, Chief Financial Officer.
A quick reminder that statements made during this call may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, and actual results may differ materially due to a variety of risks uncertainties and other factors. We refer you to today's press release and our SEC filings for a detailed discussion of the risk factors related to those forward-looking statements. Please note that this call includes information that may be accurate only as of today's date.
Reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included within the press release and the supplemental information in today's Form 8-K filing. Both the press release and the supplemental information are available on our IR website at investors.simon.com.
Our conference call this evening will be limited to 1 hour. For those who would like to participate in the question-and-answer session, [Operator Instructions]. I'm pleased to introduce David Simon.
Good evening, everyone. We delivered robust financial and operational results yet again for the second quarter. Occupancy gains, increased shopper traffic and higher retail sales volumes contributed to strong cash flow growth. We continue to enhance our real estate platforms through development -- redevelopment and acquisitions, including the purchase of our partners' interest in Brickell City Centre, a premier mixed-use property in Miami and its rapidly growing Central Business District.
Our focus remains on creating long-term value through disciplined investments and operational excellence that drive growth in cash flow, funds from operation and dividends per share which, yet again, we raised.
I'm now going to turn it over to Brian, who will cover our second quarter results in more detail.
Good evening, and thank you, David. Real estate FFO was $3.05 per share in the second quarter compared to $2.93 in the prior year, 4.1% growth. Domestic and international operations had a very good quarter and contributed $0.21 of growth, driven by a 5% increase in lease income. As anticipated, lower interest income and higher interest expense combined for a $0.07 drag year-over-year. .
Domestic property NOI increased 4.2% year-over-year for the quarter and 3.8% for the first half of the year. Portfolio NOI, which includes our international properties at constant currency, grew 4.7% for the quarter and 4.2% for the first half.
We signed approximately 1,000 leases for more than 3.6 million square feet in the quarter with approximately 30% of our leasing activity for the quarter on new deals. Nearly 90% of our leases expiring through 2025 are complete, ahead of this time last year.
The Malls and Premium Outlets ended the second quarter at 96.0% occupancy, up 10 basis points sequentially and 40 basis points year-over-year. The Mills achieved a record 99.3% occupancy, an increase of 90 basis points sequentially and 110 basis points from the prior year. Occupancy remains strong across the portfolio, overcoming retailer bankruptcies of approximately 1.8 million square feet this quarter.
Average base minimum rent for the Malls and Outlets increased 1.3% year-over-year and the Mills increased 0.6%. The sales for Malls and Premium Outlets per square foot were $736 for the quarter. And occupancy costs at the end of the quarter were 13.1%, flat sequentially from Q1 of '25.
Second quarter funds from operations were $1.19 billion or $3.15 per share, compared to $1.09 billion or $2.90 per share last year, 8.6% growth.
Second quarter results include a $0.21 per share noncash after-tax gain, primarily due to Catalyst Brands deconsolidation of Forever 21, in addition, better operational performance at Catalyst Brands compared to last year. And lastly, a $0.13 per share noncash loss in unrealized mark-to-market adjustments on our exchangeable bonds due to the outperformance of Klepierre's share price, which increased 8% during the second quarter.
Now turning to development. At the end of the quarter, development projects were underway across all platforms, with our share of net cost of $1 billion [indiscernible] a blended yield of 9%. Approximately 40% of net costs are for mixed-use projects. As David mentioned, we acquired our partner's interest in Brickell City Centre. Our $512 million investment includes the retail and parking components and is accretive. We now fully own and manage this highly productive center and look forward to enhancing operations with efficiencies [indiscernible] in our leasing and management expertise to drive NOI growth.
Turning to the balance sheet and liquidity. During the first half of the year, we completed 21 secured loan transactions totaling approximately $3.8 billion. The weighted average interest rate on these loans was 5.84%. And and we ended the quarter with over $9 billion of liquidity.
Turning to the dividend. Today, we announced our dividend of $2.15 per share for the third quarter, a year-over-year increase of $0.10 or 4.9%. The dividend is payable September 30.
Now moving on to guidance. We are increasing our full year 2025 real estate FFO guidance range to $12.45 to $12.65 per share, compared to $12.24 last year. This is an increase of $0.05 at the bottom end of the range and $0.03 at the midpoint.
With that, thank you, and David and I are now available for your questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Jeff Spector with Bank of America.
2. Question Answer
Given [indiscernible] first, I'll keep it high level. So just given all the uncertainty, [ ICSC ] today, I guess, could you describe for us the leasing velocity you're seeing? Some of the demand may be a peak in to your last leasing meeting in terms of quantity, deal flow and quality of the deals, please?
Unabated. So you're right, Jeff, in the sense that the whole world and -- is uncertain, a lot of geopolitical stuff going on, obviously, a lot of domestic political stuff going on. New York City, thankfully, we're not at an investor in New York City, but obviously, a lot of political uncertainty in New York City. Tariff swings back and forth, interest rate uncertainty, you can name it. However, you have unbelievable stores that are in particular, they are able to manage that. And in addition, retail demand is really unabated. And the physical shopping environment continues to be the place to be.
So we're quite bullish about what we've done, what we are doing, where we are going despite all of the headlines that are out there. So unabated. And if you look at our [ 33-year ] almost track record, I kind of lap not -- I guess not to segue, but to segue. Now I kind of chuckle to myself in that some of our -- you read all these companies that are restructuring, well, now they're going to lease their properties better, now they're going to manage their balance sheet better. Now they're going to bring in new management, would be better.
If you look at our particular little niche, we've had bankruptcies, we've had people that have bought companies that have overpaid to have to restructure their operations, wholesale management changes, restructuring of operations, just that together. There's one group that's never done that, and that's us. And all we've done is run our business appropriately and we'll continue to do so. And it's something that I think investors and analysts in particular, Jeff, should point that out, you've never read about a Simon Property Group restructuring. Yes, we had to do some certain drastic things the deal with COVID and to deal with great financial crisis, but there's been no restructuring in this company, only things that have benefited shareholders.
So the headline risks that are out there. They're real. Tenant demand is unabated, traffic [indiscernible], sales are holding their own and our properties are continuing to get better.
Our next question is from [ Michael Griffin ] with Evercore ISI.
Maybe just diving into that tenant demand piece a bit more. It probably seems like the national retailers and concepts have a greater footing or clarity around their real estate footprint needs. But for maybe some of those smaller tenants, maybe those mom-and-pop local concepts, you still seeing strong demand from those as well? David, you touched about kind of across the board demand, but just curious if you can kind of bifurcate those two pieces.
Yes. Yes. You're right. Last quarter, I did express my concern about that segment given how tariffs might affect them and their cost of goods. But -- it's -- they're doing -- they're beating their plans so far this year. So it's all systems go there. I'm sure there's trepidation, but they're I think they're managing it as best they can. I still think the full story, obviously, given the volatility has not been written. But we're not seeing it in demand and that's a particular business that is sensitive to moms-and-pops continues to perform well. So we're more optimistic about that segment than I was last quarter. But like I said, it is something that we're watching closely. .
Our next question is from Caitlin Burrows with Goldman Sachs.
Maybe just on the acquisition side, you guys were active in the first half with acquisitions, which was exciting to see. So I was wondering if you could talk a little bit more about the upside you see at Brickell, and then more broadly, to what extent other acquisition opportunities seem to exist for Simon today, either from JV partners or otherwise?
Sure. Well, Brickell is a really good asset that long term will be great. Miami, Caitlin, I'm sure you're familiar with it. We're in the Central Business District, there's no real retail that can be built in that because of the traffic of Miami, it's kind of its own submarket. And even though there's a lot of retail generally in Miami, just because of the traffic and the population density and the tourism, it is really -- you can have a number of properties that flourish.
And Central Business District, you see what [ Citadel ] is doing there. I still think you'll see a continuation of New York and Chicago companies moving there. So the job prospects are great. And Brickell in itself feels and attracts a lot of international customers and tourisms, it's got the hotels, it's got the night life, and we just think the asset is going to get better and better and there will be more development around it that will continue to fuel its growth.
When we bought it on a very accretive basis, we bought it at a higher cap rate than the strip centers that are being sold today. Strip centers that are subject to probably easier competition, easier to build and Brickell, we bought it at below its replacement cost by far. It hasn't even had its first rollovers of rents. And again, I think we'll do -- now this is our core business. So I think we'll do better leasing and managing the asset.
So we're very excited about Brickell as we are with them all. And we're working on a few other things that we're able to do, and I mentioned this before, we're working on some other interesting things that we're able to do because we've never gone through a restructuring. All [indiscernible] to buy a mall because you haven't bought anything in a decade. Well, that's never been us. And so we'll keep finding opportunities where we can grow our platform, but we're going to be picky on what we buy and what we want to do but we're able to do it because this company doesn't need to sell a bunch of assets, doesn't need to bring in a new management team, it doesn't need to downsize its platform. No. It doesn't need to do it because it's outperformed over a 30-plus year period that no one else has done.
So we're hopeful that a couple of more things will get announced this year, and they'll be accretive, will add to our platform and that we'll be able to manage them better so we'll be able to grow our cash flow.
Our next question is from Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler.
Just continuing on...
We're actually in New York City. That's why I brought up the New York City comment.
Okay. Well, then you're just down the train line from us here in [ Greenwich. ] So hopefully, you're enjoying in the city. So a question, just following up on Caitlin's question on externals. For quite a long time, you've been reiterating to us that you see more investment potential in your existing portfolio versus externally. So if Tom will forgive me for a two-parter.
One, what is the return threshold the gap that you need when you go externally versus ability to reinvest internally in your existing? And two, it does seem like we're on the cusp of a mall transaction wave, where capital is starting to flow back to malls across the spectrum. And just sort of curious if, in your view, this is going to set up like a repeat that we had in the, I guess, late '90s, early 2000s when there was suddenly within a few years, this massive mall trade. So wondering if you're foreseeing that. So that's my two-parter. Forgive me, Tom.
Well, you don't have to -- you don't have to ask for forgiveness from Tom. He's a very nice man, he'll give you a free pass, Alex.
So look, I think a lot goes into acquisitions, and it's not an either or thing. I think we have, as you know, Alex, the balance sheet, the firepower to do both. And the development process, i.e., or the redevelopment process takes years to do, right? So take [indiscernible] it is under construction and we had to buy the Sears store, to get approvals. We have -- we're about to start on multifamily. That's over 3-year process. So it's not like suddenly the money just goes out day 1.
So we've never had this dilemma that you're suggesting where it's an either/or. And I think from a math point of view, we look at it kind of the similar basis. Do we -- are we buying it when we're redeveloping or developing or recreating net asset value. So if it's a mall, is the redevelopment yield higher than where that asset might trade, what does it do to the overall asset's growth rate of cash flow. A lot goes into that, but that's the basics.
And then on an acquisition, it's a little bit of the same thing with our expertise, what does it do for the platform, does it deepen our relationships with the retailers, are we buying it under replacement cost, and as we -- and when we look back, will it be accretive to NAV. And so you have to take a little bit longer-term view on that. But it's not -- it has not created this situation where we can't do both. And so our goal is to continue to do both and to push to do both.
And the reason we haven't done as many acquisitions as we really have been product and price-sensitive, and will continue to be product and price-sensitive because we can't create NAV without focusing on the product and the price sensitivity. So as my -- I'm on the Board of [ Apollo, ] and not to quote [ Mark Rowen, ] but I'll go ahead and quote him, purchase price matters, okay? So it does. So -- and we're very focused on that. So rest assured, when we buy something, we vetted the price. Really vetted the price.
So going to your next thing, I'm not sure about whether there's going to be the huge mall transactions. I think you'll have other players come in buying maybe not necessarily "A" properties, but a lot of Bs because the reality is you can make -- you can -- we're stable and you can create a nice arbitrage and manage them or lease them and improve them.
And they are a lot stickier than then people believe because most malls, Alex, I hate to break it to you, but most in close models are 30 to 50 years old. And yet, despite the media and naysayers, the -- and that's not to say there hasn't been a significant amount of obsolescence, but most of them are here today, still fighting a pretty good battle. And despite a lot of things not going their way.
So I think there'll be more trades, but I'm not sure this will be this huge wave of transactions. I don't know, Brian, you can weigh in if you want, but that's kind of just some random rambling thoughts, Alex, you can comment. I will let Tom give you another pass, you can comment on my comments, while Brian is contemplating whether he won't want to add anything to it. So your turn...
No, I'm going to defer to others who want to ask. That was very thorough.
Brian?
Nothing to add, you covered it.
Our next question is from Craig Mailman with Citi.
Wanted to maybe circle back on some of the themes of the earlier questions, David. Just a lot has happened in the last 90 days and last quarter. Your message was a little bit more realistic, I think, in the face of uncertainty and Brian kind of focused us to the midpoint of guidance. Fast forward 90 days, maybe there's been a little bit less fallout than would have expected, you guys raised the low end. Would you still kind of point us to that midpoint of guidance? Maybe update us on your views today of how you're feeling about the macro? And are you concerned about any lingering effect of policy or geopolitical happenings kind of weighing on 2026 growth?
Well, I'll let Brian kind of -- I'll be less [indiscernible] than I was with Alex. I will say unquestionably, even though we raised the bottom end, I mean, we're still very cautious about the economic environment. We have to, right? I mean, tariffs on our real cost of doing business and they're changing consistently, right? The only consistent thing about tariffs is that they've been consistently changing, right?
So -- and in the cost of doing business, ultimately, who pays that cost. Is it the consumer? There's only -- first of all, it's the domestic company that imports, right? So they start with the cost pain, and you can see it by Ford and a number of other companies that said it's going to cost me $800 million or $1 billion. And then the next question is, can the suppliers ship in [indiscernible] ultimately the consumer. And I think most companies are kind of working that next step or two through.
So in that scenario, it is hard for us not to be cautious. And obviously, from just pure retail, are they going to are they going to be more cautious on buying than they might not otherwise be for tariffs. At the same time, the U.S. economic landscape looks -- I mean, I don't have to tell you how much money in capital is planning to be spent in the U.S. That's a huge driver of GDP. I don't think it will be all that's out there, all that's announced, but there's going to be a huge driver of GDP growth. The ultimate ramifications of those investments are uncertain, but that's several years down the road, I believe.
So we're optimistic about the growth profile of the U.S., but I mean it's -- there's a lot of variabilities that all companies are dealing with. So again, I said I wouldn't [indiscernible], it turns out that I was. But -- so I think the bottom line is we'll be a little more cautious. I think [indiscernible] to me, might feel better only because by then, you'll know the tariffs, the tariffs could be a onetime cost that between the suppliers and the tenders or the importers, you've kind of figured out who's going to pay for it, and it will surface and then you'll be able to go forward and operate the business. So I don't think '26 will have this kind of volatility from the tariff scenario, and it actually could look better. Brian?
Craig, I guess all I would add to that is, as you look at kind of what we did for guidance, certainly, looking back over history, it is not -- we traditionally will bring up the bottom end of our range at this point in the year after seeing the first 6 months. Occupancy is up, FFO is up, so I think we're cautiously optimistic to David's point for the balance of the year.
Our next question is from Michael Goldsmith with UBS.
David, I think you've mentioned increased shopper traffic on the call twice now. So are you able to quantify what you're seeing? And is there any difference in the traffic growth between mall and outlet or any other way that you can segregate it with the goal of trying to understand if the consumer is -- if there's any trends for the consumers at different price points?
Yes. It's -- our traffic is up 1.5%. So that's the number. I would still -- we're not operating on all cylinders and where we see a little bit of sales and traffic weakness or order, these assets are still great, so don't get me wrong. But generally, they provide pretty healthy sales growth. But right now, they're relatively flat. But I would say the softness at least based upon historical results has been assets on -- and it doesn't really matter whether it's an outlet or a full price mall, but it's assets that are on the border, north or south, okay? It's almost irrelevant, whether it's Canadian border or the Mexican border.
And so from a sales and traffic point of view, we're not hitting on all cylinders because those -- that freedom of going back and forth to shop or whatever is restricted. And I would also say we're not seeing the benefit that normally you might see from a weaker U.S. dollar vis-a-vis the euro or certain other currencies as the international tourists is not growing or flat lining in terms of people, the way you might see historically.
So those kind of tourist-oriented centers are not -- again, they're great centers. So they have a high bar to achieve. But they're not the -- hopefully being articulate, but they're not outperforming like they always do for us. We're kind of in line. So therefore, we're not, in my opinion, not performing at the highest level because those great properties order, north-south tourism are kind of operating within the normal portfolio performance. Makes sense? Do you want to stand on the same?
Absolutely.
Our next question is from [ Floris ] [indiscernible] with Ladenburg Thalman.
David, maybe if you could comment on last -- I think last quarter, I asked about your [indiscernible] pipeline of being around 300 basis points. And as I look at your portfolio, your Mills assets are 99.3% leased or something like that. Is this getting to be the new normal on the supply-constrained market? I did notice your TRG assets saw a drop, but the rents were up markedly. Maybe if you can talk a little bit about where the greatest growth potential is in your view, in between the various segments of your portfolio? If you could maybe expand on that. And then maybe update on the [ SNO ] pipeline as well, please?
So Floris, I'll start with the [ SNO. ] It's a 340 basis points at the end of the quarter. As we think about -- and you've heard us talk about occupancy, it's the optimization of that occupancy is where we're kind of at [indiscernible] in the cycle now. And so it's really finding merchandise mix and finding tenants that make us -- the properties better. And so there will be more of that replacement of existing tenants with new tenants going forward that's really going to drive the performance of the portfolio. And it's across all of our asset classes. So the Mills is still even in a high occupancy, the tenant demand is still strong and we're able to replace underperforming tenants, and I think you said the same across the outlet and the Mills businesses -- I mean, excuse me, the outlets and the Malls businesses as well.
Yes. And [indiscernible] no, there's -- TRG, no real -- it's a smaller portfolio, so swing here and there has a bigger impact, couple Forever 21. So as Brian mentioned in the text, we [indiscernible] million square feet in bankruptcy, 1.7 million of that was Forever 21, that has a bigger impact on a smaller portfolio. And that's really what transpired at the TRG level.
And in terms of occupancy, is 99% your goal now internally? Do you think you can [indiscernible] platforms as well?
I mean I don't want every space leased about with the highest productive tenant. I think it's an interesting [indiscernible] 99.3%. I don't get excited about it 1 way or another. Next quarter to be 99.5% or it could be 99.1%. I think neither here or there, okay? You're doing -- the team is doing a good job, I'll give them a pat on the back.
Our next question is from Vince Tibone with Green Street Capital Markets.
I was a bit surprised, Simon, was not more active acquiring JCPenney boxes from Copper Property Trust, like just big picture, can you discuss how you're currently thinking about the importance of owning and controlling additional anchor boxes at your centers and how that -- how your appetite to acquire these may vary based on center quality, near-term redevelopment prospects. I love to pick your brain on that topic.
Yes. Well, again, this is a complicated matter, so I'm not going to talk about it specifically, but it's really up to Catalyst. We don't have any particular right to buy, it's really up to Catalyst may or -- it has the right to buy it, I'm not going to really get into that scenario. What happens, we've been very active on buying boxes and redeveloping our centers. I think everybody knows that. But as I said earlier, purchase price matters, and we are very focused on paying the right price on any given particular scenario. But again, you got to be careful this going from what [indiscernible] is selling to Simon Property Group. There's a company called Catalyst that operates those stores. We're a shareholder in it, and it's a complex matter. And beyond that, other than to say we've been very active in buying boxes since all the various restructurings that are going on, but we're going to pay the right price.
Now that -- just maybe to summarize and confirm, is it kind of fair to summarize that it seems like there's probably more complexities in this structure versus this is not an indication that Simon is less interested in buying anchor boxes or the appetite has changed. I mean that's kind of what I read through, but I just want to kind of confirm that's a fair category...
You can confirm -- first of all, it's really -- as a relationship with [indiscernible], which is Catalyst. We have no relationship, we, Simon Property Group, has no relationship with [indiscernible] none. So we have a relationship with Catalyst because they're -- in some cases, they're a tenant to us. In some cases, they're not a tenant to us, but they operate a JCPenney store in our malls.
So you can't go from whatever the name of that -- Cooper Retail to Simon Property. You can't make that [indiscernible] and say, oh, Simon is not interested in the boxes. Would I be interested in all the [indiscernible] boxes? No, not necessarily would I be interested in the Simon boxes? Potentially sure, but then I would fall back on what the right price is. You follow what I'm saying? That it's not -- you can't go from there to Simon Property, there's a step function there. So -- but the simple answer to your question is do not read -- you're right, do not read any intent from Simon Property Group due to that transaction. And we'll see if they even close. Deals get announced but they don't close. Tariffs get announced, but they don't close. Let's see what closes when and how, and we'll take it from there.
Our next question is from Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho Securities.
David, I guess I was intrigued by your commentary earlier that the cap rate for the Brickell asset was higher than recent open air strip asset cap rates. So I guess, I'm curious if that's more of a unique dynamic to this transaction because you were, I guess, the only logical bidder here? Or perhaps you have some additional color or thoughts you'd like to share on the asset pricing for top quality malls versus quality open air? And then any thoughts on what you see as the long-term opportunity either from a mark-to-market or densification opportunity at Brickell?
Yes. I just think we're great at finding opportunities, and we don't participate -- rarely do we participate in auctions. Auctions get when our friends at [indiscernible] or -- what are some of the [indiscernible]. When they run a process man, they're going to find -- usually, it's pretty -- it's pretty tough. We like to find opportunities -- and I have all the respect in the world for those guys are doing their job. But we like to figure out how to do it without that. And -- and I think the market does not recognize the value of something like Brickell. Brickell showed and sold in an auction at a higher price than what we paid. But the market is mispriced when it comes to high-quality and Brickell is not close by a [indiscernible] imagination. If the market misprices big retail -- in this case, it has a roof, has a movie room, so it's got all sorts of stuff to it, but the market misprices which is good for us because we can take advantage of it.
I'm letting to cat out of the back, which is probably pretty [indiscernible]. But the market absolutely unequivocally misprices big enclosed shopping centers. Because if you look at the cash flow growth and longevity, forget about it. But that's fine with us, and it's good for us.
Our next question is from Ron Kamdem with Morgan Stanley.
Just coming back to domestic property NOI. I see 3.8% year-to-date. I think you talked about at least 3% for the year. And then you made some interesting comments about how the tariff or the strong dollar may be holding back some of the centers. Just wondering if you could just comment on how you guys see that shaping for the rest of the year? And if there's any way to quantify what sort of this headwind is going to that number, so we get a sense what a true run rate can be.
Yes. Look, we're outperforming our year-to-date even with volatility of the tariffs that were announced in April. The consumer is [indiscernible]. We don't update our guidance for comp NOI. There's a lot to goes into it. But we're very confident we're going to beat that number. and have a very strong year. And like I said, I think we see leasing demand continues unabated. Sales is always a little bit out of our control. But we'll have to see how that evolves. And the -- we're seeing pretty good sales results even up to today and a pretty good back to school season. So we'll see how the rest of it shapes out.
Our next question is from Linda Tsai with Jefferies.
I think it was in response to Alex's question earlier, you were discussing acquisitions in the context of deepening relationships with retailers. What are some of the examples of this because I would think that you have a lot of negotiating power with the majority of retailers?
Well, we really -- I mean retailers have all the power because they can they can go across the street or close the store or go online leave the market. So it's -- with the more product you have available to them, the better the relationship. So it's just a commercial relationship. If I -- so if Microsoft sales Outlook to a big company, they're going to be able to sell other products to that company. So it's no different. We're -- if we could talk about 20 things as opposed to 3 things, it just means we'll have a longer meeting. And maybe -- and if they have confidence in our ability to deliver a good product, maybe we'll have 21 things.
But don't teach yourself. These retailers have all the leverage because they can close stores and go across the street or read the market or bring business their online. And that's -- and we're the one begging for the new business. So I just think the more products you have, the better you are, and the more likely you are to have more senior focus from that retailer, just like to know if you're someone [indiscernible] if you're if you have a bigger portfolio, you're able to spend more time with the customer. That's just commercial common sense.
And that's -- they have safe in our ability to deliver a good product and have confidence that we'll operate the center appropriately, and that's why we're able to do a lot of repeat business. There's no there's nothing more to that than that. But believe they got the leverage because they don't have to operate the store.
Our next question is from Hong Zhang with JPMorgan.
David, I mean, you've talked about how you expect Brickell to be great because people are moving from New York and Chicago over to the area. I guess, have you seen the opposite impact in your New York centers, like say, Westchester or Roosevelt Field.
Well, first of all, Brickell is really, really good. So just to -- this is not a troubled asset, right? So I just want to -- just want to make sure you understand that. Your second part of -- your second part?
I guess are you seeing a negative impact in your New York assets like Roosevelt Field and Westchester as people are migrating out of New York?
I don't think it's going to affect Long Island. I think New York City, I'd be nervous that urban environment. Yes. I mean I do -- there's a lot of great stuff from New York City. But I think the suburbs -- by the way, we've seen the suburban renaissance, primarily due to COVID, right? So I think that the suburbs of New York City and suburban New Jersey, Jersey City Long Island, Westchester County, all could benefit depending on the -- what happens with the city. But I don't think it's -- I don't know if this is a New York issue or [indiscernible] New York City. .
Our next question is from [indiscernible] with Deutsche Bank.
I am curious about the secured loan transactions this quarter. Again, you guys have an A- credit. A lot of your peers are kind of doing unsecured around 5%, curious why you guys decided the best thing to do was the secured loans at 5.84%. I don't know whether it's a duration...
That's mortgage finance -- yes. But it's with a JV partner. So we wouldn't want to use our balance sheet for a JV partner.
I mean 10-year unsecured debt for us today is right around 5%. So on the unsecured market, we're right on top of the market where others are issuing.
It should be -- I agree with -- I agree, it should be 4%, by the way. I agree with the President Trump. Interest rate should be...
We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the floor back over to Chairman, Dave Simon for closing remarks.
All right. Thank you. Hope you enjoyed our call. And I know Tom and Brian available for follow-ups.
Thank you.
Thank you.
Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation.
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Simon Property Group — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Simon Property Group — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- FFO (real estate): $3,05 je Aktie (+4,1% YoY (Jahresvergleich) vs. $2,93)
- FFO (gesamt): $1,19 Mrd. / $3,15 je Aktie (+8,6% YoY)
- Portfolio-NOI: +4,7% für Q2 (konst. Währung); Domestic NOI +4,2% YoY (NOI = Net Operating Income)
- Belegung: Malls & Premium Outlets 96,0%; The Mills 99,3%
- Dividende: Q3-Dividende $2,15 je Aktie (+4,9% YoY), zahlbar 30. Sep.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Disziplinierte Allokation: Priorität auf renditestarke interne Projekte; Zukäufe nur bei preislicher Logik ("purchase price matters").
- Akquisition Brickell: Vollerwerb von Brickell City Centre (Retail+Parken) für $512 Mio.; Management erwartet NOI-Verbesserung durch operative Effizienz.
- Entwicklung & Vermietung: Laufende Projekte mit Simon-Anteil ~$1 Mrd. (≈40% Mixed‑Use), Blend‑Yield ≈9%; Quartalsweise ~1.000 abgeschlossene Mietverträge (3,6 Mio. sqft).
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance 2025: Real estate FFO erhöht auf $12,45–$12,65 je Aktie; unteren Bereich um $0,05 angehoben, Midpoint +$0,03.
- Risiken: Zinskosten, Tarifeffekte auf Mieter-/Kostenseite und unrealisierten Mark‑to‑Market‑Verlusten bei Exchangeable Bonds genannt.
- Bilanz/Liquidität: >$9 Mrd. Liquidität; H1: 21 gesicherte Kredite ~ $3,8 Mrd., gewichteter Zinssatz 5,84%.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Leasingnachfrage: Nachfrage "unabated" — Leasingvelocity hoch; auch kleinere ("mom‑and‑pop") Konzepte schlagen sich besser als zuletzt erwartet.
- Akquisitionspolitik: Management bleibt selektiv; Brickell als Beispiel für Kauf unter Ersatzkosten, Interesse an Ankerkauf hängt vom Preis und komplexen JV‑Strukturen ab.
- Traffic & Tarife: Shopper‑Traffic +1,5%; Management sieht Tarife und Dollarkurs als kurzfristigen Headwind für bestimmte touristische/Border‑Märkte, bleibt insgesamt vorsichtig optimistisch.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit für Aktionäre: Operative Stärke (NOI‑Wachstum, hohe Belegungsraten, Traffic‑Stabilität), Dividendenerhöhung und angehobene FFO‑Guidance stützen ein positives Income‑Profil. Kurzfristige Risiken (Tarife, Zinskosten, selektive Einzelhändler‑Bankrotte) bleiben, werden aber durch starke Liquidität und eine akquisitions‑/entwicklungsfähige Bilanz abgefedert.
Finanzdaten von Simon Property Group
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 6.649 6.649 |
11 %
11 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 1.225 1.225 |
16 %
16 %
18 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 5.424 5.424 |
10 %
10 %
82 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 512 512 |
20 %
20 %
8 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 4.767 4.767 |
9 %
9 %
72 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 1.557 1.557 |
21 %
21 %
23 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 3.210 3.210 |
4 %
4 %
48 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 4.690 4.690 |
129 %
129 %
71 %
|
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Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
Simon Property Group, Inc. arbeitet als ein selbstverwalteter und selbstverwalteter Real Estate Investment Trust. Sie besitzt, entwickelt und verwaltet Einzelhandelsimmobilien, die hauptsächlich aus regionalen Einkaufszentren, Premium Outlets und Mühlen bestehen. Die Simon Property Group ist auf den Besitz, die Entwicklung, das Management, die Verwaltung, die Vermietung, den Erwerb und die Erweiterung von einkommenserzeugenden Einzelhandelsimmobilien spezialisiert. Das Unternehmen wurde im Dezember 1993 von Fred Simon, Herbert Simon und Melvin Simon gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Indianapolis, IN.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Simon |
| Mitarbeiter | 3.350 |
| Gegründet | 1993 |
| Webseite | www.simon.com |


