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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 1,08 Bio. ¥ | Umsatz (TTM) = 973,71 Mrd. ¥
Marktkapitalisierung = 1,08 Bio. ¥ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,01 Bio. ¥
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 1,31 Bio. ¥ | Umsatz (TTM) = 973,71 Mrd. ¥
Enterprise Value = 1,31 Bio. ¥ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,01 Bio. ¥
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Shiseido Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
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Analystenmeinungen
20 Analysten haben eine Shiseido Prognose abgegeben:
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Shiseido — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you very much. So this is Fujiwara, the CEO and President of the company. Now first, let me introduce the key points of Q1 2026 financial results. Page 3. In the first quarter, while challenges remain in terms of sales, profit growth exceeded expectations. Core operating profit was JPY 13 billion, an increase of JPY 4.8 billion year-over-year.
We believe this is a a result of the structural reforms implemented over the past few years, functioning effectively even during periods of declining revenue, improvements in fixed cost structure and discipline in the investment decisions have strengthened our so-called management strength or resilience to environmental changes.
On the other hand, net sales were JPY 232 billion, representing a real growth rate of minus 3%. This year's biggest theme is shifting to a new growth trajectory, and we take this figure very seriously. However, we have clearly indicated, identified the factors contributing to the declines in sales by brand and region, and we have already taken some actions, and I would like to cover that later.
Previously, optimism about the sales growth and delays in responding to market changes sometimes led to the adjustment the cost adjustment being delayed. Currently, we are shifting to a system that allows us to grasp the business situation in a timely manner and control effectively based on priorities.
This profit increase is not the result of the short-term reduction in marketing. We believe the essence of this increase lies in our organizational ability to distinguish between necessary investment and costs to be carved while maintaining investment in marketing and R&D as our focus area.
The business environment remains fluid and geopolitical risks are rising. Still, the overall impact of Japan-China tensions is manageable. We anticipate a prolonged slump in inbound demand in Japan, but we plan to compensate for this with accelerated growth in China and Travel Retail.
We have already seen an improvement in momentum, particularly in Hainan Island in Q1, and we will maximize this opportunity. On the other hand, the business risk due to heightened tensions in Middle East have increased significantly, and we recognize that this is where our fundamental management capabilities will be tested.
The key is how we can accelerate our transformation action in response to this uncertainty, and we implement that 3 points of the cost efficiency measures outlined in our midterm plan as early as possible. Our earnings forecast remain unchanged at this point. Among the Middle East impact, the company can absorb the increased cost for raw materials and logistics.
However, if the current situation prolongs and supply constraints, production cuts and stock-out risk materializes, we will assess the situation from Q2 onwards and update our earnings forecast as necessary.
This is CFO, Ayako Hirofuji. Please see Page 4, an overview of Q1. So the details for the Q1 results and the situation of each region.
While recorded net sales increased by JPY 3.7 billion. In reality, sales decreased by 3% after excluding FX impact and others. On the other hand, core operating profit increased by JPY 4.8 billion year-over-year to JPY 13 billion, clearly demonstrating the result of structural reforms and financial discipline.
We have achieved increased profits in all categories, operating pretax and quality profits. Next, on Page 5, details of core operating profit. COGS has improved due to improvements in the brand and product mix and a decrease in allocation of excess inventory write-offs.
SG&A appears to have increased due to the weak yen, but in reality, the amount has decreased and the ratio to sales has also declined. The marketing investment ratio has increased due to the strengthening of the brand's value of focus area and upfront investment for new products.
Meanwhile, both personnel and other expenses have decreased as a ratio to sales. Despite increased costs due to salary increase, personnel costs have decreased, thanks to the effects of structural reforms in Americas and the optimization of necessary human resources resulting from overall productivity improvement.
Other expenses have also decreased because of structural reforms and cost management.
Next, Page 6, net sales by region. Although the impact of Japan, China tensions remain within expectations, inventory adjustments and others affected, ending up with a lower-than-expected global figures.
While the Americas saw a 5% increase in sales, the impact of Japan-China tensions affected negatively on inbound business in Japan as well as China and Travel Retail and sales in EMEA decreased due to the impact of initial shipments of new products in the previous year.
Now details of each region.
First, Page 7, Japan business. Due to the slowdown of inbound caused by the sharp decline in Chinese tourists and the impact of shipment restrictions during the transition from old to new products and net sales started with the 4% decrease, but our local business continues to maintain its strength.
Local customer purchases of Shiseido, ELIXIR and ANESSA grew by double digits. ELIXIR in particular, in performing is performing exceptionally well with the new branding lotion and the margin exceeding 3 million units shipped in just 2 months since the launch.
Clé de Peau Beauté is down due to the backlash from the rush before the price increase last year. However, since late last -- late April, when the effects of the backlash subsided, we have seen a part partial recovery in momentum, and we would work towards recovery from Q2 onwards.
Core OPM is approximately 15%, maintaining profitability even amidst a significant decline in inbound tourism. Productivity improvement through operational efficiency and personnel optimization contributes to this.
Excluding temporary factors, our forecast brand performance in Japan is generally strong, and we have secured stable profitability even amidst headwinds. We will continue to maintain a strategic direction.
Next, please turn to Page 8, covering China and Travel Retail. Net sales declined 1% on a like-for-like basis, but exceeded our plan, reflecting strong growth in Hainan and the fact that the impact from Japan-China relations has remained smaller than expected, we have revised our full year outlook upward and now aim to achieve growth for the full year.
In China, we successfully maximized opportunities from key promotions such as International Women's Day and strategically focus on high functionality and high value-added products. As a result, Mainland China achieved positive growth this quarter.
Consumer purchases remained strong for Clé de Peau Beauté and NARS, while Shiseido also continued to grow. In Travel Retail, although sales declined due to retailer changes in Mainland China, Hainan and Hong Kong remained solid. We are successfully capturing demand through marketing activities aligned with shifts in travel destinations.
For ANESSA, we are currently in an adjustment phase aimed at inventory optimization and market normalization, resulting in a significant sales decline. Increased inflows from unauthorized channels have created price distortions, which we believe will require time and a gradual approach to correct. Rather than prioritizing short-term sales, we are prioritizing the restoration of pricing discipline and the protection of medium- to long-term brand value.
At the same time, we will steadily grow our other brands to secure overall business sales. Core operating profit increased despite lower sales, supported by cost management initiatives and other measures.
Market conditions are also becoming increasingly complex, while Mainland China continues to maintain moderate growth, Hong Kong remains structurally weak. In Travel Retail as well, momentum differences across regions have become increasingly pronounced. Hainan and Hong Kong have returned to strong growth, while Mainland China recorded a big decline due to the temporary impact of retailer changes.
Going forward, we will continue to identify growth areas and flexibly allocate resources accordingly.
Next, please take a look at Page 9, covering the Americas region. Net sales increased 5%, marking a return to growth after a prolonged period of decline and representing a steady first step toward achieving full year profitability. NARS and Shiseido were the key drivers of this growth.
On the other hand, consumer purchases remained down in the low single digits. However, the pace of decline has narrowed compared with last year, showing signs of improvement. For Drunk Elephant, shipments returned to growth, while consumer purchases continued to decline. That said, the rate of decline has moderated and branding campaigns are beginning to show encouraging signs.
Regarding core operating profit, the structural reforms completed last year are clearly contributing to improved profitability. While sales stabilization remains a work in progress, clear signs of improvement emerged in Q1 and profitability also returned to positive territory. Kentaro Fujiwara-san will later provide further details regarding our upcoming initiatives.
Next, please turn to Page 10. In Asia Pacific, Taiwan, where market contraction had continued, returned to positive growth and all countries and regions achieved positive growth. Against this backdrop, our consumer purchases grew in the high single digits, and we continue to expand market share.
By brand, ELIXIR and NARS, which continue to expand through new store openings, performed strongly. By channel, e-commerce also delivered robust growth. Core operating profit increased by JPY 600 million through disciplined cost management.
EMEA recorded declines in both sales and profit. In particular, fragrance saw a notable decline in shipments. This was mainly due to a strong initial shipments of major new products in the previous year as well as reduced shipments to certain Middle Eastern markets.
However, consumer purchases continue to maintain strong growth led by Zadig & Voltaire and Narciso Rodriguez. On the profit, first quarter profit declined due to planned upfront marketing investments aimed at future growth as well as a slower-than-expected launch of certain new products. We intend to steadily realize the returns from these investments mainly in the second half and aim to achieve full year profit growth.
Next, please have a look at Page 11 for an update on the progress of our global cost reduction and structural reform initiatives. Following the completion of the major actions implemented last year, benefits have already begun to materialize with JPY 7.5 billion in benefit for Q1.
While the business environment continues to become increasingly uncertain, we view this as an opportunity to build a stronger management foundation. By focusing on controllable areas that are less affected by external factors and by thoroughly enforcing cost discipline and advancing structural reforms, we will steadily strengthen our earning power toward achieving the goals of our medium to medium management plan.
And this will conclude my part.
From here, I will review the key initiatives undertaken in the first quarter. Please turn to Page 13. This slide breaks down the factors behind the recent sales decline by brand into onetime factors and structural challenges, clearly outlining our countermeasures for each item.
We have broadly organized this into 3 areas. First is the area that is delivering strong results like ELIXIR. We will concentrate investments in these areas and further accelerate growth. Second is the area affected by temporary factors such as timing difference and rebound from previous year's performance. We will steadily recover this area from Q2 and onwards.
Third is the area with structural challenges driven from pricing and distribution such as ANESSA. We will prioritize to rectify the structure rather than focusing on short-term sales. In an environment where market changes have become the norm, rather than treating all issues uniformly, we will clearly differentiate priorities between investment and corrective actions according to the nature of each challenge.
By concentrating resources on the area where we are succeeding and taking agile action in areas facing challenges, we will increase the overall certainty of growth. Through this approach, we will advance both recovery and structural reform simultaneously, enhancing both solid growth and capital efficiency from the second quarter onward.
Next, Americas operations. This Q1 marked a planned start towards our goal of achieving the full year profitability. The left shows a summary of the structural reforms implemented in July of last year.
As a result of the comprehensive review of the organization, cost and procurement, we achieved an annualized cost reduction of JPY 15 billion, significantly improving the profit and loss structure of our Americas operations. Given that basis, we are transitioning to a phase of balancing growth and profitability, focusing on selective investment in key areas and maximizing results.
Specifically, looking at combination of brands and channels, only a few combinations generate the most of the sales and profits. Hence, we focus on them. As part of our channel structural transformation, we are accelerating our shift towards e-commerce, primarily through the high-growth Amazon.
Going forward, we will concentrate resources on these winning areas to improve the precision and the speed of execution. We will extend the focus on winning area strategy, which demonstrated a successful turnaround from a loss-making structure in EMEA to the Americas. And while promoting cost synergies across EMEA and Americas, we will ensure full year profitability.
In addition, we are working to improve our organizational strength centered on the structural strengthening sales capabilities. With fixed costs now under control, sales expansion directly translates to improved profitability, making the strengthening sales capabilities the most important driver. Therefore, we intend to securely capture the growth by enhancing the organizational execution capabilities while simultaneously achieving continuous profit improvement.
The 2 brands, NARS and Shiseido, which accounts for approximately 60% of Americas sales, performed well in shipments during Q1, driving growth across the Americas. NARS achieved growth in the high teens. In addition to the strong performance of Ulta natural Matt longwear foundation, the major new product also contributed to improved sellout.
Shiseido grew across all product lines, achieving high single-digit revenue growth. The expansion of Vital Perfection at Ulta and new products in Vanipians contributed to this growth and the sun care segment, which showed weak momentum last year, has regained its strength. We will continue to use these 2 brands as pillars of growth, achieving both high-quality growth and improved profitability.
Regarding Drunk Elephant, we witnessed certain achievements throughout Q1, while also clarified the remaining challenges for renewed growth. Sales have turned positive on a shipment basis and leading indicators such as awareness and engagement of new communications are improving across the brands as a whole.
However, customer purchases remain negative and performance gap by channel became evident. Specifically, growth in accelerating on Amazon at Ulta and strong responses are being seen during promotion campaign, while some retailers are facing with the weak conversion rates.
Based on our analysis on what works and what doesn't, we are narrowing down the activities we will focus on from the second quarter onwards. First, in channels and that are performing well, we will aim to maximize sales by combining key annual promotions with product relaunches. We also plan to enhance that with the new products in Q2.
For retailers, where challenges remain, we will strengthen measures that directly lead to from the awareness to purchase such as improving the way products are displayed in stores and online, expanding word-of-mouth marketing and then making product description clearer and simpler in order to improve conversion rate.
Going forward, by increasing the precision and speed of execution, we will reliably restore customer purchases and return to a growth trajectory.
Next, on Page 17. As part of optimizing our global production structure, we have decided to close our Xinchu factory in Taiwan. Production will end in Q1 of 2027, and the factory is scheduled to close in second half of 2027.
In terms of financial impact, structural reform costs will amount to approximately JPY 3.5 billion for 2026 and 2027 combined, of which approximately JPY 2 billion will be recorded in 2026. By the majority of this will be noncash. Furthermore, we expect an annual reduction in fixed costs of about JPY 1 billion after the closure.
This decision aims to optimize our global production system in light of demand fluctuations and maximize capital efficiency. By consolidating production at domestic factory, we will strongly promote improvements of utilization rates and investment efficiency. We will pursue company-wide optimization while ensuring our ability to respond to demand fluctuation arising from market changes.
Lastly, I would like to explain the impact of geopolitical risks on our business performance as well as our full year outlook. Regarding the prolonged tensions in Japan-China relations, we believe the impact on our business remains within a controllable range at this point.
In the first quarter, we saw a clear impact on Japan inbound demand and Travel Retail Japan. However, overall performance remained within our expected range. What is important is that our business structure has evolved to become more resilient to changes in the external environment.
Through growth in China and Travel Retail as well as diversification of our business portfolio across regions, we have reduced our dependence on profits from any single market and are able to respond flexibly to shifts in demand. In addition, within our Japan business, structural reforms have lowered the breakeven point, enabling us to secure stable profitability without relying heavily on inbound demand.
As for our full year outlook, we have revised downward our assumptions for growth in Japan inbound demand. At the same time, we intend to secure our overall growth and profitability by steadily capturing growth opportunities in China, Travel Retail and other regions.
Lastly, I would like to explain our thinking regarding the full year targets in light of the current business environment. First, we expect a decline in Japan inbound sales to be offset by accelerated growth in businesses such as China and Travel Retail.
In addition, with regards to rising costs such as higher raw material and logistics expenses associated with heightened tensions in the Middle East, these factors have already been incorporated into our earnings forecast, and we intend to absorb them through disciplined cost management. Accordingly, we are maintaining our current full year outlook at this time.
On the other hand, if tensions in the Middle East become further prolonged, there is a possibility that shortages in raw material procurement could lead to reduced production and lower sales. We will continue to closely monitor the situation and provide updates from the second quarter onward as necessary.
While these additional risks are not currently reflected in our earnings forecast, we are already preparing for worst-case scenarios and are advancing operational optimizations across production, procurement and sales. At the same time, we are advancing pricing initiatives and company-wide cost management efforts and we'll make every effort to recover profitability toward achieving our full year core operating profit margin target of 7% -- what is important here is that we do not view the current changes in the business environment nearly as risks, but rather as an opportunity to transform into a stronger and more efficient business structure.
Taking this opportunity, we will further accelerate optimization of our supply structure, portfolio and investment allocation, ultimately evolving into a business with a stronger profitable structure.
While uncertainty in the market environment remains extremely high, the management reforms we have advanced over the past several years have steadily strengthened our resilience. The fact that we were able to respond swiftly and secure profits even amid sales declines in the first quarter is clear evidence of this progress.
We view this uncertainty as an opportunity to accelerate transformation and further enhance our competitiveness. As for our remaining key challenges of power to grow, our management is firmly committed to realizing both optimal resource allocation and accelerated growth.
Built on the foundation of profitability and discipline, we are determined to complete the transition back to a sustainable growth trajectory. That concludes my presentation. Thank you very much. Now move on to Q&A. Now floor is yours.
[Operator Instructions] Now I would like to start asking the Kuwahara-san of JPMorgan to raise questions. JPMorgan...
2. Question Answer
Kuwahara speaking, can you hear me?
Yes, I can hear you.
So you talked about the geopolitical risks and so forth, it was very clear. Based on that, in terms of the geopolitical risks, I would like to deep dive on that.
So in the short term, Japan, China relations, that was within your expectation. So within numbers impact, JPY 10 billion impact and for the full year and then the JPY 3 billion or core operating profit impact. So I believe that was an impact on the first quarter, right?
But I believe that the first quarter, you did not reach that level of the negative impact. So you were expecting some further growth. So normally, the inbound is the marginal profit ratio in the China Travel Retail is quite high, but -- so that is the kind of offsetting the negative impact of the tension. So can you clarify that?
And then the JPY 5 billion impact was covered in the media, but is it true? And for the regional impact, so can you please explain which region you're looking at?
So first of all, thank you for the question. In terms of Japan China impact, as was explained in the last earnings report, we talked about the first quarter impact was already embedded like JPY 10 billion for the revenue in the first quarter. And then that first quarter result was within this range. So that's the answer.
In Japan, inbound, sluggish inbound business was at originally 30% impact. But as you can see on the slide, 20% or the high 20% impact only. And then the Travel Retail impact also recognized in Japan business, but we try to capture the other regional inbound customers sales.
And Hainan and other region, some changes in the travelers, and there were some positive impact on the Travel Retail from other regions. So for the impact to the China -- Japan, it was within our expectations.
And so going forward, at least for the short period of time, we are not able to see a big recovery from the Chinese travelers. But on the other hand, in China Mainland as well as the Hainan regions, we may be able to be compensated in terms of the sales as well as the profit.
Given that background, overall sales outlook remains the same, unchanged. However, Japan sales goes down the low single-digit growth. And then China Travel Retail originally anticipate negative growth, but now improved to a low single-digit percentage growth, not negative.
Now impact on the Middle East, some coverage by media I would like to clarify that. At the end of our slide, there are a few topics. And on the left, you can see the middle business affected by the Middle East impact. And then there are some raw material impact as well as the net sales reduction of the Middle East.
And so overall, we will manage for that. And of course, the FX impact, it has to be taken care. And then we believe that the 7% is unchanged.
Well, thank you for that. So the number one and number two is that the reduction in the decline in sales in MEE, but the JPY 5 billion, is that the EMEA region or are there any impact in other regions as well?
So number 3 and 4, that risks are not reflected in full year forecast, number 3 and number 4. So what is the level of the probability that the risks will be materialized? So I just want to understand your assessment.
So your first question, so the net sales reduction in the Middle East region is limited to the Middle East, not, of course, centered around the EMEA region overall. However, in terms of the overall amount affecting that EMEA sales is minimal.
So this JPY 5 billion impact we said was coming from number 2, which is rising raw material costs. And so number three, that is risks not reflected in our full year forecast, which is the sales loss from the production cut in the factories due to material shortage, this is uncertain.
So it is rather difficult for us to assess the impact at the moment. That is the reason why we are not incorporating these risks in our full year guidance. And -- but of course, it is too late if that risks are materialized and to embed in our forecast.
Therefore, whenever we see some impact is more imminent, then we will take care and also reflect into our forecast going forward.
Now next CLA...
Congratulations. It's a very strong quarter. I had a high expectation, but you exceeded them. So well done. Could you tell us a little bit more about the potential bottlenecks of Middle East impact? Which are the areas which you are most concerned about?
I think -- thank you, Oliver. As shown in the last slide, the currently identifiable impact from the Middle East situation mainly relates to higher raw material costs and increased logistics expenses, which we have highlighted and quantified as JPY 5 billion at this stage.
We estimate this impact to be absorbed company-wide cost management. As you highlighted, I think we are more confident with our capability as a company to manage our bottom line and selective price increases in the future and agile resource allocations.
So we are not lowering our full year guidance at this point as a result, as mentioned in our earlier Q&A. However, it is clear that there are some increased cost pressures, which we intend to be with agility properly managing, and we remain committed to our future forecast.
So just maybe my question was more like how much visibility do you have? Like can you see out like 3 months or 6 months in terms of that final risk, you talked about if you were unable to produce products, then you couldn't sell them, right? So for that risk, what kind of time line visibility do you have?
To be honest, I think it is extremely at this point uncertain at this stage with regards to the #3 and #4 risks that we have highlighted in this stage. Therefore, we will continue to monitor the developments carefully.
We have, of course, internally quantified and provided internally some approximations and actions that we can do to mitigate those. But at this stage, it is fluctuating quite significantly, quite drastically and very frequently.
And hence, I think it is important that we monitor the developments carefully and take the necessary actions accordingly as listed in this last slide on the right-hand side in the top area.
So these actions is something that we need to be taking in advance to well manage our bottom line profitability toward the year-end. I hope this answers your questions.
Miyazaki-san from Goldman Sachs, please.
Miyazaki speaking from Goldman Sachs. So I want to talk about the China and Travel Retail business. So actually, the sales increase rate was minus 1.4%. So on the other hand, but the profit was up some FX impact, of course, but margin itself was growing. In other words, no actual amount of profit was increasing in my understanding. So -- but still the net sales momentum is still weak, but what caused the profitability improvement? So that is my question for China, Mainland China online or offline business or Travel Retail, can you answer to the question?
Thank you. First of all, profitability improvement by 2.2 points. That was the -- some rebound from the allowance -- temporary allowance. And so it's not 100% coming from the positive, but still, there are some brands, some growing and some are still challenging brands. There are some mixed results.
And for example, NARS went well dramatically. So that source of profit coming from NARS type of brands are very much contributing to the overall profits of the China business. And overall, agility was very much focused by the China regional management. And so that also yielded in the results.
Especially for Travel Retail, let me add a few things. So the Travel Retail, the sell-out negative impact was narrowing down. So the fourth quarter was 40% or so negative. But in the first quarter, this time, in the mid teens, it was improved. So negative impact was mid-teens. So quite a big improvement.
And the Travel Retail, not just the Travel Retail, but the China Mainland was still negative, quite large, but the Hainan Island was very positive, so it turned to positive. So that is another feature.
And non-traveler, and we are making the intentional control and Travel Retail overall, China, Travel Retail region overall demand from the individual customers are growing. In that case, Travel Retail, Hainan went well.
But the hypothesis is that the non-traveler is excluded. So you focus on the travelers. And then the actual performance in Hainan worked well. So if that understanding is correct, the Q2 onwards continue to see the quite high profitability compared to the previous year.
So can we expect the Q2 onwards? Well, we now shift our business focusing on the travelers. So in terms of our key initiatives, yes, your understanding is correct. So overall, our business is now becoming more healthy, but the regional profitability still not yet alleviated.
So that profitability itself is not translating into the future profit as it is. However, we are trying to secure the profits and try to make sure that we manage all the profits every quarter.
Next, Morgan Stanley Miyaki-san from Morgan Stanley.
This is Miyake from Morgan Stanley. I want to ask about Drunk Elephant. I want to hear and elaborate on Drunk Elephant. You mentioned about the structural item depending on the distribution channels, some is going well, some have challenges. So distribution channel like Amazon, that's going well. So when you do a promotion, you said the sales does boost up.
But looking at, for example, I'm a bit worried that would it turn into a situation like China in the past. So the reaction to promotion is -- it could be -- yes, it could be -- do you mean -- I wanted to check that, does that mean that Drunk Elephant is more attractive? Or is it promotion-led boost because then it will be promotion first.
So I wanted to think about what you think about this brand. And you've mentioned about the winning distribution round. distribution channel. How do you see this? And within this brand, what is the distribution channel split within this brand, if you can share with me?
For Drunk Elephant, first of all, as for brand campaigns, we have a new campaign to express the value of the brand so that we can heighten the awareness of the brand and to elevate the engagement of the consumers. And that -- at the timing of promotion, the conversion goes up, conversion rate goes up. So for the promotion itself, of course, there will be higher traffic due to the promotion. So in that sense, that those are the new consumers or consumers that we do want to capture.
But to know that there are consumers coming into it through these promotions, it means that we have a good relationship with the retailer as well. So it is a positive note. But at the same time, to your point, is it promotion driven? And are we going to resolve everything? That would not be the case.
We do want to -- we will need to continue to elevate the brand value of Drunk Elephant and continue to the communication. In the second half of the year, it's not written here, but it's in here. We have renewed the online page, the website page or we want to enhance on the buzz around new products and so that we can strengthen the brand equity going forward.
And where the distribution channel that is not working well, and as for the sales distribution or allocation of the channel, we do not disclose the detail of the numbers, but it is not small. So -- in other retailers, this conversion rate is good, but why in this retailer is the conversion rate not so high?
Just like it says on the second point, enhanced visual merchandising and also optimize assortment by channel. We maybe we need some kind of, for example, optimizing exclusive products or product lineup.
And these are things that we need to enhance so that we can contribute to the growth of the brand. That would be it for myself. So in Q1, the new promotion, the new communication, you've rolled out the new communication in Q1 and the sales in terms of the sellout momentum, you had -- what you had assumed at the end of last year. Are you achieving what you had assumed end of last year through this campaign in Q1?
to be honest, is not as high as what we had expected. And the reason why is because there is a distribution channel that is working really well, and there is a distribution channel that is not going great.
That's where we need to improve. But the positive note from this is that we have been very thorough and detailed about these initiatives and doing -- having to set a leading KPI that will lead to sales. We can clearly see what worked and what did not work. What works, we will enhance and what does not work, we can improve. So we have a good PDCA cycle that is working, and we feel that it's a great fruit out of this campaign.
Next, Bank of America.
This is Ashley from Bank of America. I just want to check that you can hear me because I had issues with my audio earlier.
Yes, we can hear you.
Okay. Perfect. I was just hoping that you could please quantify the impact of the shipment timing and inventory adjustments on Q1 revenue and therefore, help us understand what was underlying Q1 revenue growth, excluding these impacts? And do you already expect Q2 like-for-likes to turn positive?
So Q1 -- thank you, Ashley, for joining in. Q1, there are some onetime timing shifts and inventory adjustments. However, we are not providing clear sort of quantifications of how much that impact exactly is. There are some specific Q1 negativities, specifically ANESSA China inventory adjustments. In Japan, for example, Clé de Peau Beauté last year, we had some price increases. And hence, there are some rebound impact here and some impact and also even EMEA, where some new launches we had specifically last year. And this year, the impact is smaller. Hence, these are all sort of onetime negative impact. And hence, that is the reason that we feel that from Q2 onwards, we should be able to turn positive. And excluding these onetime impacts, we are at a fairly steady sales momentum in Q1.
From Daiwa Securities, Hirozumi-san.
This is Hirozumi from Daiwa. Can you hear me?
Yes, we can hear you.
Similar to the previous question, sell-in and sell-out. I've been focusing on sell-in and sellout, and so I want to ask about that. Q4, the consumer purchase, I think, was positive here and there. I think Americas was minus, but everywhere else, I felt like it was a positive for consumer sales.
But in Q1, the consumer sales, it seems like it's dropping here and there. So why? I want to know why it is dropping. So for example, looking at Page 7, looking at Japan consumer sales, it's minus right now, but China is a double-digit growth.
So what's -- some are growing, some are declining. And for Americas, too, sell-in is really good, but the consumer sales is a minus. So this consumer purchase, the sellout, I really put a lot of focus on this. So when this sellout, the consumer purchase goes negative, how do we interpret this?
I think it might be better to speak by market. So for Japan, in the Japan consumer purchase, the biggest minus impact was the inbound, the negative from the inbound decline. And that has pushed down the overall decline for Japan. So that will be the biggest point to mention.
On the other hand, for local, if you look at local, the local consumer purchase, it's actually a slight positive.
yes, you said here, was a growth. Okay. Understood. What about Americas?
you mentioned about shipment. So for example, for Drunk Elephant, as I have mentioned, the shipment is growing. There's advanced shipment, so the consumer purchase is still a negative. But this -- the range of the minus is narrowing by quarter. And as I have mentioned, there are areas that we're winning and that we're not doing well. Where it's winning, it's actually coming back to flat and where it's not, the consumer purchase is not coming back. So that is the current situation. It's a mixed situation in the Americas. The impact of Drunk Elephant has overall in the Americas pushed down the consumer purchase to a low single-digit minus. But the NARS and Shiseido brand, these 2 brands are not negative. So here, there is a difference by brand as well.
This is my last question. Consolidated basis, the sales, did you start a bit lower than expected? Would you say minus 3% was lower than expected start?
Yes.
And by region, what would be the biggest impact? Is it Japan that gave you the biggest impact?
I would say there are 2 areas or 2 things to mention. Japan and EMEA were the 2 big areas that pushed down the sales. For Japan, as I have mentioned, the inbound demand has gone down.
And on top of that, ELIXIR, we have some return shrinkage initiatives that we did, and there's a time lag for that. And Shiroji-wan has mentioned, the Clé de Peau Beauté did last year. Last year, we had the rush to buy before the price increase for Clé de Peau Beauté.
So as a result, overall, it was a negative. For EMEA, this is just the timing gap of the shipment that's impacting -- pushing down the numbers.
So in the last -- so I mentioned this in the last slide, but the Japan inbound will probably be a longer impact going forward. So that's what we foresee. And so for that, we want to -- we should be able to offset and cover in China.
For EMEA, it's due to the timing lag. So we should be able to recover from Q2 onwards. That will be the overall kind of the story. So that's why China, you have changed the number to upward revision.
Next, SMBC Nikko Yamanaka.
This is Yamanaka. So I would like to ask the nonrecurring items. So there was a depreciation cost and for the factory -- old factories, and there will be some potential cash in for the addressing the old factories.
Well, nonrecurring items, so Q1 result was shown the multiple initiatives. So our outlook was JPY 10 billion for the nonrecurring and part of that is coming from the closure of the Xinchu, Taiwan factory closure, and that will be the accelerated depreciation will be reflected in the P&L.
So not just this year, but next year, we will recognize some technly expenses. Majority will be the noncash basis. The rest of the factory-related initiatives, there is no further initiatives taken for the factory or production facilities.
And in terms of the nonrecurring for the Americas, impairment risks that I am a bit worried about. in terms of impairment testing, so for the midterm growth opportunities and also the discount rates, and can you please explain whether the risks in the Americas are increasing? Are there any possible the impairment?
Well, in terms of impairment in the Americas, there is nothing that we have in terms of the communication for the impairment of the Americas region. But as has been explained to you, there is no headroom in terms of the impairment test. So we need to make sure the monitoring in place. In the Q1 result, the Americas was quite good, but -- and there is a good sign of improvement in the profitability as well as earnings. But as was explained in the presentation, we need to monitor carefully about the sellout.
And so this Q1 profit improvement has to be realized throughout the year. So that means that we are not complacent. So we need to continue to manage well about the Americas business. So U.S. actual performance is still on track, but we need to uplift this result going forward and try to reduce the risks.
Next, Kono-san.
This is Kono. In your presentation, profit cash ROIC, you've been steering to focus on those items, and we're seeing the fruit of this. So I understood that well.
And it's not just a cost reduction, but SKU and narrowing down the regions, I'm seeing the impact of these initiatives. So the brand operation model itself I felt like it's really showing some detailed outcome.
And from the CFO, Ayako Hirofuji-san, has mentioned that you will be aiming even higher and Kentaro Fujiwara-san, the CEO, has mentioned that we will elevate the brand value. So from the management team, further higher or further elevation, what and what -- where are you aiming for? And the reason why I ask this is because you've had the structural reform and you were able to bring down the profit. But as a brand company, how do you grow? How do you -- I believe that bringing up profit is also a different challenge from bringing back the value of a brand company. And so for you, you're still considering the second half or it's -- I feel like it's all a bit mixed up right now. So the phase that you have or you're going in parallel simultaneously.
But from the external audience, how can we monitor that? And at the same time, you have advanced investment and some of the structural changes, how do you work on it and prioritize? So if there are any color that you can add to it, please elaborate.
Thank you for your question. For your structural reform, the structural reform that I was aiming for was to continue to grow the brand. So we wanted to bring a company structure where we can continue to grow the brand. The P&L structure was what we really focused on, and that was most of the targets around the structural reform. And of course, going forward, if the brand is strong, there is a sustainable growth and sustainable cash will be generated, and that has not changed.
So aiming for 2030, as Ayako Hirofuji-san has mentioned, to a higher elevated place is the cost structure, we will need to continue to improve, and we will keep on working on the initiatives to improve. And so therefore, for 2030, we will continue to have -- secure the cost to grow the brand, but also in other areas, we will be more efficient with the cost so that we can increase the profit. And that's what we will continue to aim for.
And as we do this, -- what do we see -- where should we lay the KPI for brands? Maybe that's part of what you mentioned. And one thing is on a monthly -- on a quarterly basis, what we do is the P&L structure to the sales, if you look at it to the sales on a quarterly basis that we announced, I think that gives you kind of a metric of how we approach the brands. Have I answered your question?
The brand strategy or what is a brand, it kind of leads to this question. It's -- it doesn't work. So kind of sparkly shiny Shiseido image that we have from the past? Or is Shiseido kind of changing to something else?
Because if you think about just the brand, brand is something that even if it's expensive, I want to buy or going -- moving -- evolving ahead, it's because it's expensive, it's great quality, and it gives me joy. I think when we think about brands, there's different stages. And so it's a bit abstract story I am talking about right now. But to elevate the brand value, how do you prioritize or what do you look for? So for a shareholder, I do understand there's the cost cutting and there will be investments.
But as you go into the next phase, what kind of money do you need? And what kind of investment will there be needed to bear the fruit? And if there's more details around that, that would be more appreciated.
As for brands, as for the brand, this is also my personal opinion or view -- but the brand is something that is irreplaceable, and that's where we can heighten the brand. And I believe that that's the real core value of a brand. It cannot be replaced.
So a brand, how unique does it look, meaning that it does not have to be in the math. It has its own original value and the consumers see it. And that's the real and true value of a brand is how I see it.
And so for the -- we do not disclose the detailed numbers of the brand, et cetera. But by brand, the number of loyal users for the brand increases and these loyal users continue to use the brand for a longer period of time.
And that's really the very important metric and core of a brand is how I see a brand.
We have only 1 minute, but we can take one last question, Mizuho Securities.
Can you hear me? Miyasako speaking.
Yes, I can hear you.
So I'm worried about the Japan market, especially local business. You explained that ELIXIR or the new products launched in the last minute Clé de Peau Beauté sales last year and rebound from that. There was -- the impact was quite large compared to our original expectation. And also the market is not growing these days, and there will be some uncertainty in the Middle East tensions and some noncore brand, you have to compete with the Korean brands as well or new brands. So you are losing some of the shares. I believe that the local business, you are not changing your outlook this time, but can you give us the color on that?
Well, local market, we do not anticipate or expect a high growth in the local markets. So -- but a slight increase -- slight increase, not the high increase. So -- and of course, the impact from the Middle East tensions, it is not embedded in our expectation, but still there should be some modest local growth.
And Japan has been making a lot of reforms and the strong brand grows every year as time goes by, especially ELIXIR because the brand value is fully communicated as time goes by and then the ELIXIR business is growing accordingly.
Another good news is that in the past 2 years, brand Shiseido has been recognizing double-digit growth in the past few years. So this is quite good news. In the past, Clé de Peau Beauté led the local market a lot. However, now we see a lot of expectation from ELIXIR and brand Shiseido, so Japan's local brands also growing.
So unlike other regions, Japan has various brands. So it depends on the market changes, we will change our portfolio and also the allocation of investment and all the various brands are supporting our business. And the first quarter result may concern you, but for the local business. But excluding inbound, I'm not really worried about the local business. In other words, we have established a quite solid foundation to generate profit in the local market.
Well, inbound on the full year, how much reduction have you implemented or expected?
Inbound in the first quarter, reduction was around high 20% reduction for the inbound. So this trend may continue in a full year basis or continues for some time, but we do not quantify such negative impact by market. And overall, Japan overall growth rate is low single digit. That is the answer.
Thank you very much. We would like to close the Q&A session. And with this, we will be closing the presentation for today. Thank you very much for your participation today.
[Statements in English on this transcript were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]
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Shiseido — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Stärke bei Profitabilität trotz Umsatzrückgang; Guidance bleibt, Risiken aus Japan‑China‑Inbound und Nahost sind aber zu beobachten.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: JPY 232 Mrd. (real -3% YoY)
- Core-OP: JPY 13 Mrd. (+JPY 4,8 Mrd. YoY)
- Core-OP‑Marge: ca. 5,6% (13/232; Ziel für FY: 7%)
- Kostenwirkung: JPY 7,5 Mrd. Benefit in Q1 aus Reformen; Americas: jährliche Einsparung JPY 15 Mrd. (annualisiert) durch Umstrukturierung
- Regionen: Japan -4% (Inbound schwach), China/Travel Retail LFL -1% (Hainan positiv), Americas +5%
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Fokus auf Gewinner: Ressourcen werden auf Marken/Kanäle mit starker Performance (z. B. ELIXIR, NARS, Shiseido; Hainan als Wachstumshebel) konzentriert.
- Strukturelle Korrekturen: Bei Marken mit Distributions- oder Preisproblemen (z. B. ANESSA) priorisiert Management Preisdisziplin und Inventarbereinigung vor kurzfristigem Umsatz.
- Produktionsoptimierung: Schließung des Xinchu‑Werks (Taiwan); Einmalaufwand ~JPY 3,5 Mrd. (2026–27, ~JPY 2 Mrd. 2026), laufende fixe Einsparung ~JPY 1 Mrd./Jahr.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance: Unverändert; Ziel Core‑OP‑Marge FY weiterhin 7%.
- Risiken: Nahost‑bedingte Mehrkosten (aktueller Schätzwert JPY 5 Mrd. für Rohstoffe/Logistik) sind derzeit absorbierbar, bei Lieferengpässen könnte Produktion reduziert werden — mögliche Neubewertung ab Q2.
- Kompenserende Faktoren: Abmilderung des Japan‑Inbound‑Rückgangs durch stärkeres Wachstum in China & Travel Retail; Management setzt auf agile Kostenkontrolle und selektive Preiserhöhungen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Geopolitik: Nachfrage nach Wahrscheinlichkeit und Reichweite von Nahost‑Risiken; Management kann Produktionsrisiken derzeit nicht quantifizieren, beobachtet Lage und will bei Verschärfung Guidance anpassen.
- China / Travel Retail: Profitabilität stieg trotz schwachem Umsatz dank Mixeffekten (z. B. NARS) und Hainan‑Momentum; aber Mainland/Hong Kong uneinheitlich.
- Drunk Elephant & Sell‑through: Diskussion über promotiongetriebene Nachfrage und Kanalmix; Management setzt auf gezielte Merchandising‑ und Conversion‑Maßnahmen, will Online‑Seiten & Markenkommunikation stärken.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Shiseido zeigt operative Resilienz: Profitabilität steigt trotz rückläufiger Umsätze durch Reformen und strikte Kostensteuerung. Guidance bleibt, doch Aktionäre sollten kurzfristig Japan‑Inbound‑Trends, Nahost‑Lieferrisiken und die Umsetzung der Marken‑/Kanalmaßnahmen (insbesondere Drunk Elephant und Travel Retail) genau verfolgen.
Shiseido — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
I will now explain our 2025 financial results. First, on Page 3, I will explain the key points of our 2025 financial results and 2026 outlook. Throughout this past year, our business is focused on improving both our revenue structure and capital discipline, establishing solid financial foundation capable of consistently generating profits. The numerous initiatives we have implemented are now yielding results. While we remain on an improvement trajectory, tangible changes in the quality of our business are evident. Crucially, these improvements extend beyond cost reductions and are beginning to enhance capital efficiency. We will continue our management efforts to achieve both sustainable growth and improve capital efficiency.
For FY 2025, core operating profit reached JPY 44.5 billion with a core operating margin of 4.6%. Despite the revenue decline environment, the results exceeded the initial plan of JPY 36.5 billion due to the steady execution structure reforms and cost management. This marks the first time in 4 years that we have met our initial plan. We recognize this as a step forward in terms of strengthening financial discipline and improving the stability of our performance. Free cash flow also improved significantly to JPY 66.5 billion, driven by the improvements in working capital and the review of capital expenditures. Sales momentum recovered in the second half, and the full year results were largely in line with expectations.
Our FOCUS brand led overall growth with plus 4% real growth rate in the second half. Market share expansion is progressing in Japan-local, China and Asia Pacific. While the Americas business faced challenges in the fourth quarter, the China and Travel Retail businesses are showing steady recovery trends. For FY 2026, we target a core operating margin of 7%, capital efficiency metrics of ROIC, 5%, ROE 7% and free cash flow of JPY 50 billion. Amid ongoing business uncertainty, we will prioritize flexibility and speed, simultaneously driving sales and profit growth through innovation while improving financial metrics. This year, we'll see clearer progress in capital efficiency improvement, marking a crucial year as we advance to the next growth phase. Based on this improvement of cash generation and the progress of financial discipline, we plan to increase the annual dividend for FY 2026 to JPY 60 per share.
Page 4 outlines the full year outlook for 2026. We anticipate significant year-on-year improvement across all metrics. We include an estimated JPY 10 billion in expense this year as we implement structural reforms, including optimizing production logistics systems and office operations. We will now explain the key points for each item.
Page 5 covers the core operating profit outlook. The business environment surrounding our company continues to be characterized by numerous volatile factors, including geopolitics, market trends and exchange rates. Amid this, we will continue focusing investments in key areas firmly capture the improving momentum seen since the second half of this year and achieved sales growth. Strategic price revision will continue in FY '26. Regarding effects of structural reforms, since actions were implemented in FY '25, the realization of JPY 25 billion in effects is assured. In addition to these factors, we factor-in wage increases reflecting global inflation and tariff costs, projecting core operating profit of JPY 69 billion, representing a 7% operating margin.
We anticipate FY 2026 will be a year of potentially shifting assumptions. We will heighten our sensitivity to the change, identify risk early and adjust our approaches as circumstances require to achieve our targets. While the extent of the impact of deteriorating Japan-China relation remains uncertain, our plan incorporates this impact through the first quarter. Therefore, we plan for relative improvement in the second quarter and beyond compared to the first quarter.
Next, on Page 6, I will talk about strengthening cash generation capability. Our 2030 midterm management strategy established a robust cash generation capability and a clear cash allocation priority, growth investment, debt repayment and dividends. Progress aligned with this policy is already evident in our results. Free cash flow excluding acquisition-related expenditures, significantly improved from FY 2024 to '25, reaching JPY 66.5 billion. This improvement was primarily driven by the enhanced profitability, strict inventory management and working capital optimization. We will continue to strengthen investment discipline in FY 2026 to maintain high cash generation capabilities. The ratio of capital expenditures to sales decreased from 5.1% in FY '24 to 4.5% in FY '25 and 4.0% in FY '26. IT investment has been completed, and we will discipline our allocation of resulting free cash flow to dividends and interest-bearing debt repayment and thoroughly prioritizing and scrutinizing necessity based on the return. We will continue to achieve stable free cash flow growth going forward.
Next, regarding dividends. Over the past year, the reliable -- the execution of our action plan has yielded results exceeding our plans for both core operating profit and free cash flow. Alongside this performance improvement, our confidence in the financial outlook for the future has strengthened. This dividend increase is not based on the short-term performance and fluctuations. It stems from our judgment that stable shareholder returns over the medium to long term are achievable through the improvement of our business foundation. Growth investment remains our top priority, and we have no intention of implementing shareholder returns in a way that compromises this capacity. We positioned this dividend increase as one of the decision, demonstrating our transition to management that balances growth and returns.
Next, regarding capital efficiency improvement. While both ROIC and ROE were significantly negative this period due to goodwill impairment in our Americas business. We anticipate substantial improvements in FY '26 through profit recovery and enhanced asset efficiency. Beyond profit improvement, we have been working to enhance asset efficiency through rigorous investment discipline and reevaluating the utilization of held assets. Going forward, we will also focus on improving global operations. To ensure these initiatives are not temporary, but become deeply ingrained throughout the organization, we are introducing ROIC as a key performance indicator for evaluation, starting with management.
Next, Page 9, we explain the actual results. For FY 2025, sales were JPY 970 billion with a real growth rate of minus 2%. This was slightly below sales outlook communicated in the third quarter, primarily because -- due to changes in our Americas business. Core operating profit was JPY 44.5 billion. Growth in our key brands improved product mix, while enhanced company-wide cost management and structural reforms effects significantly contributed to an increase of JPY 8.2 billion. Nonrecurring items included JPY 73.3 billion in expenses for the fourth quarter containing costs related to the voluntary retirement program at the global headquarters. Free cash flow increased JPY 101.8 billion, driven by improved profitability, working capital optimization centered on enhanced inventory management, careful capital expenditure review and the reaction to last year's acquisition-related expenditures.
Next, on Page 10, core operating profit. First, COGS was 23.3%, an improvement of 0.6 points from the last year. Although the production cutback from Drunk Elephant impacted cost, a large excessive inventory write-off allowance last year was reduced and brand and SKU mix improved. The marketing investment ratio increased 0.7 percentage points to 29.3% as we continue to invest in key brands to strengthen our brand foundation and accelerate growth. Personnel expenses decreased by JPY 11 billion year-on-year, 0.6 percentage point improvement in composition. Following Q3, there was an increase in bonus provisions in Q4 compared to last year.
However, this was outweighed by the effect of restructuring in Japan, China and Travel Retail and Americas, resulting in significant improvement in the personnel expenses ratio. Other SG&A decreased by JPY 8.5 billion, reflecting the positive impacts of structural reforms in the Americas and company-wide cost management. As a result, we have redirected the reduction in fixed costs, primarily personnel and other expenses to marketing investment aimed at accelerating future growth, improving margins and creating a P&L structure that is more resilient to profits.
Next is Page 11, shows sales trend by region. In Q4, sales increased by [ 1% ]. And in Q3, there was a significant increase due to the impact of advanced shipment in China and Travel Retail and low hurdles in Europe. Smoothing these factors out, the sales increased by 2% in the second half with our FOCUS brand driving growth at plus 4%. The Americas continued to struggle in Q4, and we will quickly address this issue. However, overall, we believe momentum is steadily improving in the second half.
Next, on Page 12, explanation of each region. First, Japan. While the number of Chinese tourists has declined since December, slowing the inbound market, local markets continue to experience a moderate growth. Regarding the customer purchase, local key brands continue to grow and expanded our market share for 3 years in a row. E-commerce also grew steadily. New products from key brands continued to drive growth in Q4. The Shiseido brand, new Ultimune which was relaunched in the first half of the year, continued to grow strongly. The Shiseido powder launched in September and the ELIXIR wrinkle cream relaunched in September for the first time in 2 years, both performed well. While inbound sales remained challenging, ELIXIR and IHADA brands performed well, thanks to the success of strengthened digital advertising targeted travelers.
We will continue to seek growth opportunities and allocate investment in line with the market environment. Core operating profit increased by JPY 13.1 billion. Gross profit margin improved through brand and SKU selection and concentration, structural reform, such as reduced personnel expenses and more efficient marketing investments contributed to a 4-point year-on-year improvement in margin to 13%.
Next, Page 13 China & Travel Retail. While price competition due to discounts remain intense during the Chinese Double 11, the overall market grew, led by Prestige brands. Chinese consumer spending continued to grow at a low single-digit rate. Our growth outpaced the market during Double 11, primarily driven by E-commerce, and we also expanded our market share. Cle de Peau Beaute and NARS maintained strong momentum throughout the year. Shiseido, which turned positive in Q3, accelerated growth in Q4. Mainland China posted positive growth in Q4 and full year. While the Travel Retail market remains challenging, signs of recovery are emerging in Hainan Island. Our customer purchases fell in the mid-teens but the decline narrowed.
Meanwhile, net sales remained positive for the 2 consecutive quarters. Healthy inventory levels are maintained as we will continue to manage them appropriately. While net sales declined year-over-year, they exceeded our initial plan, and we expect a recovery trend in the second half. While the deterioration in Japan-China relations impacted some customer purchase in December, the impact on sales in this period was limited. While marketing expenses increased in Q4 in preparation for Double 11, we managed to limit the decline in profits throughout the year through structural reforms to reduce fixed costs and cost management. Core OP was JPY 64.5 billion, and the profit margin was 18.7%, maintaining high profitability.
Next page on Page 14, the Americas. Customer purchases were down by a high single-digit percentage. In addition to negative impact from Drunk Elephant, which underwent inventory cleanup in preparation for its re-branding in 2026. Dr. Dennis Gross, the Skincare also saw a decline due to an increased competition from low-priced products in the core products. Meanwhile, Cle de Peau Beaute's base makeup continued to perform well. Core OP was a loss of JPY 11.6 billion. The decline in profits due to lower sales, the impact of tariff and worsening costs resulting from sluggish Drunk Elephant sales was largely mitigated by the benefit of structuring reforms and cost management, and including personnel costs.
Next Page 15 covers Asia Pacific and Europe. First, Asia Pacific region. While Taiwan, our largest business in size continued to experience a decline in Q4, other Southeast Asian countries and region recovered, resulting in overall growth. Customer purchase grew strongly, thanks to the launch of major new products of Cle de Peau Beaute and NARS ELIXIR, especially ELIXIR has achieved a rapid growth, thanks to our successful and effective channel expansion strategy, which strengthens self-sales channel, including e-commerce. The scale is still small, but we expect sales to grow going forward. Core operating profit also increased. In Europe, the growth was driven by Fragrance, particularly Zadig & Voltaire as well as NARS, new brand, the multiple. The core operating profit increased by JPY 1.3 billion.
Next, Page 16 shows the progress of global cost reduction and structural reforms. We achieved cost reductions of JPY 27 billion in 2025, exceeding the initial plan of JPY 25 billion. Furthermore, the structural reform we undertook in 2025 was expected to steadily contribute to our performance in 2026. However, to achieve our financial targets for 2030, it is essential that we promote cost efficiency more deeply and broadly. We will accelerate optimization with an eye on the entire value chain and build a stronger business structure. 2026 will be the very critical year for implementation. Thank you for listening. That is all from me.
Now Fujiwara will deliver the results of 2025 and plan for 2026.
For Shiseido 2025 was not merely a year of structural reform. It was the year we completed the most critical foundation for future growth. We implemented painful reforms and work to transform our organizational structure and corporate culture into a company that delivers results as one team, and the results are reflected in the numbers. Today, I will share 2 points. How the management reforms we've advanced over the past 2 years, have built a management foundation, equipped with profitability and structure and how we achieve strong growth in 2026 based on this foundation.
First, regarding the transformation of our business structure. Our excessive reliance on the Chinese market has been steadily and irreversibly corrected as intended. Despite challenging conditions, our China & Travel Retail business has steadily strengthened its profitability through cost structure reforms, maintaining high margins. We are now positioned to translate future market recovery into sustained profit growth. Furthermore, in Japan, Europe, Americas, Asia and at the global headquarters, we have significantly improved profitability through the correction of high fixed-cost structure and through cost efficiency. As a result, we are now transitioning to a more globally balanced structure in terms of both sales and profits.
In 2025, despite reduced profits in China & Travel Retail, we achieved robust profit growth for the entire group, driven by increased profits in other regions, particularly Japan. We view this as a clear evidence that our regional diversification has begun functioning not merely as a risk mitigation, but as a device for stable profit growth.
Next, the brand portfolio. Under a policy concentrating management resources on key brands, the sales contribution of core and next brands expanded from over 60% in 2021 to over 70% in 2025. Crucially, many of these brands significantly outperformed the group average in profitability. We are now entering a growth phase where sales scale expansion and profitability improvement will be achieved simultaneously.
Next, regarding productivity. Through optimizations implemented in Japan, China and the Americas and global headquarters, we have significantly reduced headcount while maintaining sales scale at approximately JPY 1 trillion. As a result, sales per employee have greatly improved. This is not a temporary cost reduction, but the transformation into a lean and mean organization that supports growth over the medium to long term. We have been reborn as a lighter, stronger and faster organization. Asset-light is progressing as well. Domestic real estate holdings were reduced approximately 10% compared to 2021 through sales and consolidation both domestically and internationally.
Furthermore, beyond Japan, we have implemented measures overseas, including the consolidation and the closure of innovation centers in China and Asia as well as reduction and relocation of office space in Americas and Europe. These initiatives are critically important for transforming our mindset toward capital efficiency and embedding this culture throughout the organization. We believe we will continue to deliver sustainable impact. 2026 is not a year of reform, but a year to reliably deliver growth. The robust brand portfolio enabling this growth has been built through our past reforms and investments. We are ready. This year, we plan to launch 20% more new products into the market than last year with an expected increase in sales volume of 20%. This represents not merely a numerical increase, but a domestic expansion and the total value we deliver.
First, our core brands serve as the global engine. We will continuously refresh our globally recognized hero products to earn strong loyalty, making customers think this brand is the only choice. We will also maximize brand communication power, starting with our global ambassadors to gain recognition and support from the next generation of customers and then the next brand to accelerate growth. We will intensify investment in these brands to seize overwhelming winning opportunities in specific categories, armed with each brand's unrivaled confident signs, we will deliver value that exceeds customer expectations and reshape the market landscape. For Drunk Elephant, we will ensure a complete turnaround through re-branding initiatives.
I will now explain the strategic direction for each brand. For Shiseido, in 2025 in Japan, we will achieve robust double-digit growth exceeding the market with approximately 20% growth in the second half. China & Travel Retail also turned positive in the second half, while Europe and the Americas remained flat compared to the previous year in the second half. By 2026, Shiseido will reaccelerate its growth as a brand that most embodies the common engine for winning globally. First, we will continuously strengthen our hero products and lines. We will continue to introduce innovative products across 3 lines: Ultimune, Vital Perfection and Future Solution to elevate them into globally recognized brands, purchased by name.
Next, I will -- we will maximize brand communication power, starting with our global ambassadors. The appointment of a new ambassador, Lisa, announced yesterday will dramatically expand our touch points and engagement with next-generation customers, positioning us as a global leader in the slow-aging category. The appointment of our new ambassador, furthermore, we will rigorously pursue a strategy to precisely capture regional growth and opportunities. In Japan and Asia, we will further expand market share by leveraging our strength in makeup category, including the popular foundation serum. In Europe and Americas, we will continue growth by capitalizing the high recognition and trust in the Suncare products. In China & Travel Retail, we will leverage the effects of structural reforms to reliably capture the recovery phase starting in the second half. As Cle de Peau Beaute, last year, driven by -- in part by the renewal of our Skincare line, Key Radiance Care as we achieved double-digit growth in the second half in China & Travel Retail, Asia Pacific and Europe.
In Japan, despite headwinds from the inbound tourism, we maintained steady growth locally and strengthened our loyal customer base, demonstrating remarkable resilience amid intense market shift, Cle de Peau Beaute will continue evolving this year into a brand consistently chosen in the luxury markets by launching new products featuring cutting-edge technology. Depending on deepening their brand's world view centered around the global ambassador is the key. Nicole Kidman's brand expression captures the heart of luxury customers further elevating the brand's iconic status.
Next is NARS. Last year, NARS achieved double-digit growth in the second half in China & Travel Retail in Europe. It also achieved 3% growth globally, driving company-wide growth. At the November briefing, I stated that we plan to launch the largest scale new products in the brand's history in 2026. On the center right picture shows the very new product, Natural Matte Longwear Foundation. In the Makeup category, foundation has a market size far surpassing that of the lipsticks and blush. With this major new products, we aim to strengthen our global leadership in this category and leverage the halo effect to reinforce our core areas.
Furthermore, by appointing a new global ambassador, we will work to expand our target audience and increase engagement. Let me explain about Next brands. ELIXIR continued to grow strongly in Japan last year, renewing its #1 ranking in skin care sales for the 19th consecutive year. In addition, growth in Asia Pacific -- Asia is accelerating with growth exceeding 30% in Asia Pacific and double-digit growth in China & Travel Retail. This year, we will continue to enhance the brand's core technology, collagen science and aim for further growth by revamping our flagship brightening lotion and emulsion products and expanding our open sales channel overseas.
Next, I will talk about ANESSA. ANESSA will evolve further as a brand best positioned to transform market structure changes in the UV-rays domain into opportunities. Our smash hit Brush-on Powder was originally a limited edition, but due to overwhelming demand, we've decided to launch it nationwide starting February 21. This year, we will also be launching a daily series perfect for everyday use and must-price mini size in first ANESSA Men aiming to expand target audience. And next is an exciting category of fragrance. Last year, we new products from Zadig & Voltaire contributed significantly to growth, driving overall Fragrance growth of 6%. And in the second half, as China & Travel Retail bottomed out, we achieved a strong 12% growth.
This year, each brand is preparing powerful new products and Max Mara will finally launch a product in the second half this year. So Dr. Dennis Gross skincare faced a challenging environment last year, particularly due to increased competition in the hero peel and LED mask categories. However, this year, we aim to steadily return to growth by focusing resources on carefully selected product launches and partnering with retailers.
Next Drunk Elephant. As previously explained, in preparation for this year's re-branding, we prioritized inventory optimization and cost reduction last year, and both efforts were progressing smoothly. Starting in January, we launched a new campaign aimed at our core target demographic, further deepening trust with existing customers and expanding our reach to new customers, strengthening the presence of our core products and accelerating growth. Please check out our Instagram and others. While leveraging the strength of our existing products, we have completely revamped our marketing strategy.
We are creating a new world view by shifting our brand communication to focus more efficacy and value, enhancing our brand value through multifaceted activities, including strengthening our social media and online presence, revamping our in-store visuals, implementing media and creative initiatives. We have already received significant media exposure and positive feedback from retailers and feel confident. Our new strategy is working. We will continue to work rebuilding our brand so that we can have more concrete results in an upcoming financial briefing.
Next, let me talk about innovation. Our midterm management strategy stated the rapid transformation of our in-house technology into value with scale as core of our growth. Between 2026 and 2028, we will incorporate more than 10 cutting-edge technologies into our core brands and across the brands to establish a growth model that leverages economies of scale which should not be just a temporary hit. Last year, we incorporated 7 core technologies into new products winning number of awards and contributed to sales growth of each brand. The key reason for our confidence on our growth for FY 2026 onwards is that our proprietary technologies will not be limited to a single kit, but will maximize the scale within the entire group and establish winning formula that will generate sustainable, not temporary growth.
Serum-first technology is a symbolic example. This is an innovative technology platform that overturns the conventional concept of makeup by enveloping foundational ingredients in serum and continuously permeating the skin-contacting surface with serum. In 2023, we simultaneously adopted this technology to MAQuillAGE and Shiseido brands with different customer base to benefit from economies of scale that allows us to dominate the market. Growth continued in FY 2024 onwards through a consistent technology-based communication, we have maintained high sales even in the second year since the launch. Last year, we rolled this technology into new products as well, elevating into brand asset. In next midterm management strategy commencing 2026, we will use the success story into the model and the powerful technologies into the market.
So in FY 2026, we have completed preparations for cross-border deployment of 5 robust cutting edge technologies, which we call second and third Serum First Technologies, make sure to have the highest probability to capture a great hit, fully utilize the knowledge we gained in the past successes, which technology went when and to which brand to optimally adopt. By deploying technology across our company-wide portfolio rather than relying on specific brands, we will implement a total of more than 10 cutting-edge technologies between 2026 to 2028. We accelerate their cycle efficiently and convert R&D investment into profits. Rather than simply launching new products, the core of our growth scenario of 2026 onwards is expanding our proven success model. Technology strengthens brands and brands scale technology. We will achieve sustainable growth in corporate value by continuing this cycle.
Our approach of deploying strong technologies across brand and directly linking them to sales and profits has already yielded. So you can see the best cosmetics awards in this, is the proof of this. So while we -- our wins in the past were unstable, the tides have completely changed since we changed our strategy in 2023, dominating #1 for 3 consecutive years. We have solidified our market dominance, achieving the triple crown for 3 consecutive years. Our technology is no longer a temporary fad, it has now become a market standard. Our innovative technology leads to authoritative recognition, which in turn directly leads to consumer trust and purchases. This revenue acceleration cycle is a mechanism that maximizes efficiency in turning our innovations into profits. So we will further upgrade this unbeatable approach. And we are confident that 5 cutting-edge technologies to be introduced, will once again dominate the market appreciation and lay a solid foundation towards 2028.
Next, our progress in creating sustainable social value. The ratio of women manager, an important KPI for people strategy is steadily progressing towards 2030 target of 50%. Towards achieving our midterm management strategy, we have recently formulated The Shiseido Way as a guide for each employee to behave, including the values and mindset, we cherish. By sharing and instilling The Shiseido Way, united as a group to create a new value and realize our 2030 vision even amidst significant market changes. For the society part, advancing gender equality and fostering a sense of self-efficacy through our business activities, thereby enhancing our brand value and creating social value. For environment part, progress made to reduce environmental impact by achieving a AA rating from CDP, accelerating efforts on the sustainable packaging and containers and strengthening raw material traceability.
Next, our Board of Directors structure. We have selected 3 external directors candidates. Of course, that will be discussed at the next month's AGM, Mr. House and Mr. Nakata and Ms. Kaneko. And by further enhancing the diversity of our Board, including CEO experience in B2B business and global companies and M&A experience, expertise, we will improve the effectiveness of Board and enhance our corporate value.
2026 marks the first year of 2030 midterm management strategy. Despite the uncertain external environment, our reforms have made our regional and brand portfolio stronger and more balanced and our management foundation more efficient and flexible. Based on our enhanced financial discipline, agility and accountability, we will solidly achieve our FY 2026 performance targets and move forward toward 2030 goals. Please look forward to Shiseido's sustainable growth in the future. Thank you for listening.
Now we would like to go into question-and-answer session.
2. Question Answer
Thank you very much for your briefing. My name is Kuwahara from JPMorgan Securities, and thank you very much for explanation including cash flow. My question, I'm looking at Page 5, and I would like to understand better about the 2026 outlook. And first of all, as Mr. Fujiwara also said, there will be extensive innovation in place. But unfortunately, only 3% is expected for growth. What does it mean? So at the time of midterm business plan, there was a talk that the plan will be outperformed by 2%. And maybe there's a China-related matters or the first quarter impact. So I would like to ask you about the background?
And also, in the Page 2, if there's the increase of JPY 20 billion in the revenue, then the margin of profit should also increase a bit further. So is it offset by inflation? So I find it rather disappointing because you are increasing the revenue so much and yet the profit is not growing as much. So what is the structural background of this?
First then, I would like to explain about how to look at the market. And about the numbers and the structure, Mr. Hirofuji will explain after me. So in regards to this year, there will be a lot of new launches, and we have high expectation of them. On the other hand, based on the reflection of our past, there's uncertainty in the market, and we have to take it objectively.
In regards to Travel Retail, we will continue to try to attain the quality growth. We will try to reduce the inventory. And for China, we will control the unofficial or irregular sales, so we have to do more for that. And so in other areas, we will, on one hand, aim for high growth, and there is an offset. And about 3% growth seems to be the solid achievable target, that's how we think. And for Japan as well, there is the deceleration of the inbound customers, and we have to take that into consideration. So 2026 is not everything really. And in order to secure the growth towards 2030 in our midterm pathway, we will increase the sales and also instead of jumping on to the short benefit, we will look at the long term in the future.
How the profit is structured, certainly there's an impact of the inflation due to the salary increase and the cost increase. And there are the salary increase, which was not done in 2025, will be done in 2026. Therefore, this actually offsets the growth factor. Yes, certainly, you can say that unmistakably. And on the other hand, the marginal profit increase with the price increase, we will leverage on the price increase and the impact will be, roughly speaking, JPY 10 billion. And on the other hand, there will be impact of the volume, the limitation. So this JPY 10 billion doesn't work directly onto the profitability straightforward.
So then in Page 5, there's the JPY 10 billion impact or effect of the price increase is included in the marginal price -- margin and price increases. And so this means that there will be some decreasing items. So that means that the cost structure and also the fixed cost impact will be present, therefore, or surfaced. That's why the margin is affected. So the JPY 10 billion is not directly described here and the net-to-net comparison, the contribution margin price increases box is structured. So basically, it is the box below this JPY 10 billion then.
I would like to confirm one more thing. Out of the inflation impact, the cost management from 2025, there may be a repercussion from the cost management from 2025 into 2026. So are you going to spend JPY 10 billion for cost structural reform? I suppose you cannot mention the actual numbers, but what about the -- out of the 3% improvement, to what extent can you improve? So the inflation impact, I don't think it's going to go into 2026, '27, '28. So can you dive into that point?
So quantitatively, I cannot deliver the exact numbers. But out of the inflation impact, the bonus impact, I would say half of it, is from the bonus. And therefore, it is not directly translates. But yes, half of it, you can think of the impact of the bonus.
Goldman Sachs, Miyazaki speaking. Thank you very much for your explanation. So from the China business, I have a question about China business. So the first quarter, you've already anticipated Japan-China tensions. So the Chinese government is also sending the message not to visit to Japan, right, for their Chinese citizens. So FY 2025 ending, to what extent you had an impact like online or offline or Travel Retail or inbound sales in Japan. What was the implication? And you were watching the trend until January this year and how you decide to incorporate that impact into the first quarter of FY 2026?
So impact was begun in December last year for Mainland China, Double 11 just ended. So in terms of the last year's result, a little impact on December because -- November -- December normally it's rather small. So not really a significant impact on the FY 2025 earnings. But in January, Travel Retail, naturally, the inbound tourists are declining. So the Travel Retail Japan impact is imminent. But however, if we take a look at the details, the reduction of the tourists is equal to the negative result in the sales or rather the investment is now shifted from -- or in other words, some travelers from other region, other than China, those purchases are quite bigger and some of the Chinese travelers are visiting Hainan Island. So Hainan Island's sales is growing. So depends on where the travelers are, and we need to capture the opportunity. In that case, we will be able to mitigate the impact to some extent.
So the next Mainland China. So because of the overall directive from the government, so like a KOL, promotions are slightly canceled. And at the end of last year, we were planning for the January, new product launch to be ready in February, but it was canceled. So it was a little postponed for such campaign in February. So that is visible in terms of the negative impact. But how long does it take? It is difficult to foresee. As I mentioned, same as the Travel Retail initiatives. Somewhere, if there is any kind of dips, we can find some other opportunities. So we need to offset such negative impact in some Mainland China business.
So in terms of the -- our impact, so China Travel Retail inbound reduction, net sales, JPY 10 billion and then roughly OP, JPY 3 billion or so negative impact is already embedded in the first quarter. And that OP reductions, we need to take some countermeasures such as this brand has to be accelerated or some promotion initiatives will be compensated in others. So such all kinds of efforts are already embedded in our guidance in the first quarter on a quantitative basis.
Well, thank you for the clarity. So you are saying that the Japanese inbound business is not so huge impact or still it is included in the net sales, JPY 10 billion. And also counter actions are taken in JPY 3 billion profit reduction. So this Japan-China tensions are not realized, then maybe you could reach more than 7% OP -- core OP margin. So is that the message if there is no issue between Japan and China?
Well, net sales and profit, OP, there are some other implications. So we cannot tell you the exact impact, but the China & Travel Retail has a larger net sales impact. So the profit, OP, we are watching China & Travel Retail, Japan inbound, the same level of the implications for this Japan-China tension.
So then if there is no implications of the Japan-China tensions, are you able to generate more than 7% core OP margin?
Well, when we developed these numbers, so we made a commitment of OP 7%. So it has to be achieved as a commitment. So that's the kind of back-casting from that. And even without this now, the China-Japan tensions, we still target OP 7%, right. And then this tension is now coming to the fore and how we should interpret that? And what is the implications? And we are still discussing internally. So of course, given the past management reform outcome, even some Travel Retail, China & Travel Retail is declining, we are able to generate profit. So that means we are managing in a more stable and balanced manner. So if there is any opportunities, of course, we want to seek more than 7% of OP if there is any opportunity. But we need to watch carefully about the multiple risks as well.
Miyake from Morgan Stanley Securities, MUFG Securities. I would like to know about the analysis of the Japanese market and the fact that Shiseido outlook is exceeding that. In the briefing in November, all the competitors have the similar price increase trend. So basically, your price increase may not actually impact your performance so much. So I have a question about your outlook on the growth. And so it could be that the price situation worsened a few years ago. And therefore, it may appear to be improving. Maybe that's that. But -- so I would like you to explain about the pricing?
And however, having the growth outlook is in itself is a good thing. And so the Shiseido brand before the COVID crisis, you are performing very well with the very high level of domestic demand and Cle de Peau Beaute is continuing to perform all the way and ELIXIR, maybe it's on its recovery trajectory. ANESSA, I wonder about that. So in regards to the pricing and also the sales channels, what are the differentiating actions you're taking, what are working and what are not working? Those are the things I would like to know.
So then I would like to explain about how we look at the market. And the market is rather soft, and we do not tangibly feel that it is growing solidly. The skincare products are leading the market and the makeup products are chasing that or following that. And when we break down the skincare, the low-price range of skincare is beginning to decelerate. On the other hand, the medium-priced skincare products is beginning to show some signs of recovery.
In that circumstance, in the market, we feel that there's a promising growth in the strong brand portfolio, which is now being established. And a couple of years ago, we have started to focus on the core brands such as Cle de Peau Beaute, Brand Shiseido. And thanks to that, these brands are beginning to generate solid profit. In fact, the last year, because of the inbound situation, Cle de Peau Beaute suffered. But other brands, unlike the domestically driven brands, they have a wide portfolio. And there's IHADA and also AQUA LABEL, basically accumulated the negative of the experience in the Cle de Peau Beaute and presented even more growth. So it is a good news that these brands are doing quite well.
And under the circumstance as a pillar of growth out of the core brands, ELIXIR has long been in -- while the low price -- low price range skincare products were growing, there were questions about the ELIXIR's capability to grow, but it has been in the #1 position many years in a row. So this is all thanks -- partially thanks to the marketing strategy. And so the 5 products will be the hero products from different categories and each from different categories. And we are also striving to grow ELIXIR brands in the drugstore and there's the skin diagnostics system made available at the drugstore. And this is working towards positive. And we are seeing that sustainable as well as a robust growth in ELIXIR.
Another thing, something that we're excited about is now that we are doing a much better job of brand management, branding management, there are some -- the softness in the growth in the Japanese market. Just about last year, Brush-On Powder from ANESSA, so it's this product. So we worked on this product for 5 years and made a big hit. And also there's the face wash gummy. And this is a very avant-garde type of products, but it is very popular. And so Japanese market is becoming stronger so that it can appreciate these interesting products. And we would like to create the market and drive our own growth. And with the Japanese market getting stronger, we can do it.
And another supplementary information. So the -- by the different price ranges, the local growth is actually driven by the prestige brand is, the premium price brand in the -- even under the inflation background or backdrop, this premium, highly priced range products are driving the growth.
Another point I would like to confirm. So one day, there will be a time that we will begin to see the turnaround in the background economy. And so from the viewpoint of the profitability, you're focusing on the technical capability and the brand and the makeup products. I wonder if Shiseido can begin to enjoy the market expansion or the economic turnaround?
In Japan, we have NARS for the high-price range and the middle price range we have MAQuillAGE and MAJORCA, which belongs to the lower price range. And these 3 brands have the portfolio to cover, the makeup products as well. As I explained a little bit earlier, the serum foundation were launched simultaneously in the MAQuillAGE and brand Shiseido. And using this core technology, we launched powder and that became very, very popular. It made a great hit. In another form, we will launch another product.
And among the makeup products, in particular, the foundation-based products, this is a global trend, skinification and means that healthier to the skin, in the makeup, that's a general global trend. So this is a trend where Shiseido's strength will fully leveraged and appreciated. So makeup is not something of lower priority for us at all. And there will be, for wherever, we can find potential for the customer and also market recognition, we will launch our products.
Now we have 10 more minutes. We would like to take questions from the online audience.
So Jefferies Securities, Kawamoto speaking. So I want to ask you about the core OP, the target, JPY 8 billion. So why it is incremental in the Q4? Because inbound was quite a large impact in my view. So we were a bit worried about the mix. So you talked about in Page 16, there were some uplift of JPY 1.6 billion. So what was the reason behind for the better-than-expected result? And additional JPY 6 billion, where does it come from? And also in the next fiscal quarter, can we expect the same -- replicate the same uplift or whether that was coming from internal or external factors? Can you please elaborate?
Okay. So by region, China & Travel Retail and headquarters cost management, cost reduction were the main reasons for the uplift. However, for internal reasons are also significant like a structural reform. We had a lot of discipline in the cost and operations. So including the CapEx, we were very much selective in investment. Therefore, for such an effort, the cost reduction or cash spending reduction and also some overall expense reduction, and that's the result of the uplift in 2025.
So for the continuity or sustainability of this impact, JPY 44.5 billion core OP -- sorry, the OP, this was the -- this is the continuous business basis, excluding the exiting business. So that was the best ever since 2020. So JPY 44.5 billion was the best ever since 2020 in terms of the ongoing business. So this is quite positive. It is not just coming from the favorable win from the market, but our own effort. And there were some negative impact, for example, like de-leveraging due to the sell-off of some of the business and also the Travel Retail, there were some negative impact in 2025. So given such a negative impact, we were able to secure this OP of JPY 44.5 billion.
So in terms of the profit and loss structure itself is improved dramatically. So there were a few questions raised, but still uncertainty continues. So the profitability structure, 2030 initiatives, still we are in the middle of achieving that target. So we are not complacent for this improvement and continue to make the effort for the structural reform and continue to improve the ratio as well. This is a kind of a testing to us as well. And then before the 2030, so that means the 2026 target has to be achieved.
So JPY 25 billion, that is on top, incremental JPY 25 billion? 2026. This can be slightly more because the 2020 -- so you believe that there is a 3 percentage point increase of the OP margin. Do you have a more probability to achieve that?
Well, this JPY 25 billion COGS impact overall and personnel costs and so forth, we already started to implement it. So this 2026, JPY 25 billion is more secured. So this impact on the structural reform is more secured.
Kono from Marathon Asset Management. So the way from the result briefing, the current -- the management, CEO, CFO structure, I suppose is the system not to sever the management and execution. So I think this is quite a brave way to establish the organization.
Now for the question of where the operation goes, so as described in your briefing, the 30% increase in productivity and also the brand portfolio. And then what does CEO do? So I suppose they're working on each region, taking responsibility. And so in order to maintain the recovery momentum, I suppose that your current management organization is workable, but I do feel that there's a lot of burden on the shoulders of 2 of you, Ms. Hirofuji and the CEO Mr. Fujiwara.
So do you envisage that you may make the management a little bit more passive and focus or put more focus on operation? Are there any things that you can do? Are you going to create the COO position as well? Maybe not so considering your historic background. So maybe this is just a quiz or fruitful thought. So do you have any ideas how to incorporate operation into your management structure?
Well, in order for us to achieve 2030 goal, the first thing that came to my mind was that to what extent we need to be independent and drive the growth. And by way of structuring the management in such a manner to assist that. And for that matter, we need to develop the management leaders who are not afraid of changing the corporate culture. And not just myself or Ms. Hirofuji, we have other management team under new structure and/or membership. And so what I expect out of those leaders, so this is my expectation for the management team, and I have listed about 100 things in bullet points and to communicate to the management members. This is how we're going to drive the reform, and we will work as a team, a solid team. I think that is the most important thing in the world that is full of uncertainty.
The other day, we had a kickoff, and now instead of a structural reform going forward, we need to increase the efficiency of our management to achieve the 3% growth. And this will be driven by the cross-functional team. And in order to do so, we will revisit the value chain to improve efficiency. And at the same time, the management team will become one to drive the structural reform and by way of executing our ideas. And through this exercise, we will be able to build a very strong management team. I would like to drive that. And in terms of the function, I will delegate more. On the other hand, we would like to have the members in the management with a good point of view. And so outside of our titles, such as CEO, CFO, COO, developing the members for the sound management is important.
In addition to that, for the financial point of view, the ROIC, the ROIC management is something that we would like to permeate thoroughly. And so this is incorporated into KPIs, all kinds of KPIs. And so it is -- in some case, it is driving the activity. Sometimes it is hindering the activity. So we will be able to kind of clean up what we do. And in order to drive our ROIC-based management, all the management members have to have a clear mindset on that. And the reporting line, the consolidation is one of the activities. So it is not possible to identify each and every minute problems from our organization and the execution. But as a team, we would like to drive the improvement of what we do through the strong membership.
So we would like to take one last question from online. So SMBC Nikko Yamanaka-san.
SMBC Nikko, Yamanaka speaking. So I have one question. So for the Americas, the growth commitment or 2025 actual performance of the brand. So you do have a quite rich technology, but this Americas growth is rather small. And I know that there are some initiatives like acquired brand, you told me, but Shiseido and premium skincare's average, the growth rate was still weak and also your plan is so past weak. But the other day, Amore has a very big jump in the Europe or EMEA, Europe or Americas. So given such a great technology of Japan, you are not able to sell well in such region. What -- of course, there are some limitations in the regulatory framework, but I just want to understand why it is not really successful in Americas?
Well, for the U.S. market, especially Brand Shiseido, one example, as an example. So first is the channel. And also the priority among the Brand Shiseido, we would like to change our approach going forward. First of all, the sales channel because Brand Shiseido has been selling mainly at the department store. So what leads the market is online sales as well as Sephora or Ulta. So those channels that we are not able to have a good presence, that is something that we have our lessons learned.
So what is leading? Alberto, he is leading the Americas. He has been having a negotiation with the EMEA region. So Alberto will reach out to Americas' Sephora directly, and he signed a lot of -- I mean, he had a good discussions with them. So it could be reflected in this year's action. So we would like to expect some of the speedy turnaround. But the Americas market, our technology-wise, the sun care is well received. So the U.S. customers are very fond of our sun care technology of Shiseido, but it should be more replicated in the anti-aging category, but we were not able to reach out to the American customers for the anti-aging because we were focusing on the products that we were selling well.
Therefore, going forward, we want to shift our gears to the anti-aging category. And Blackpink Lisa is the key influencer for us in terms of the leading the new brand, but the anti-aging and also another celeb which also become the ambassador to the -- Anne Hathaway is also leading this anti-aging category. So we believe that we can have the good presence there, capture the good momentum there. And in terms of the Cle de Peau Beaute, the net sales is rather small, but the growth rate is amazing. So what we need to change in the Cle de Peau Beaute, majority of the sales is coming from the Saks Fifth Avenue because you know the Saks Fifth Avenue is now having a big trouble. So we have to recognize some negative result.
But the customers who are buying Cle de Peau Beaute at Saks Fifth Avenue, we would like to offer some other solutions and try to make them -- nurture them as the loyal customer. So Cle de Peau Beaute, there are a few still struggling in terms of the sales channel. But still, Cle de Peau Beaute is the luxury brand and global brand. So we shouldn't rush to launch in Sephora or some other different channels. Rather, we would like to create -- develop a brand steadily, as a high prestige.
One last question. Shiseido and Sephora -- Shiseido brand has been selling at Sephora. But Alberto connection, are you -- is he going to expand the shelves? Or can we expect that -- not just the sun care, but the others?
Yes, Vital Perfection, VPN, that sales expansion is also one thing. And we were not able to have a good relations built or collaboration with such a retailer, including Sephora. So there are a lot of promotion, but the Brand Shiseido were not able to be participating. So that was what I discussed with Alberto. So we need to reinforce such retailer relations. And Sephora's shelf space now and also the initiatives thinking together with the retailer, that will be the ones that we want to focus going forward.
Thank you very much. Now we would like to end today's Q&A session. Now we want to end overall our briefing session and submit the questionnaire. Thank you very much for your attendance despite your busy schedule.
you mean this one
[Statements in English on this transcript were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]
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Shiseido — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Shiseido — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Solide Ergebnisverbesserung durch Kosten- und Portfolio-Disziplin; Wachstum bleibt moderat, FY2026 fokussiert auf Kapitalrendite und Dividende.
FY2025-Ergebnisse präsentiert mit ausführlichem Ausblick und Q&A.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: JPY 970 Mrd. (real -2% YoY)
- Core OP: JPY 44.5 Mrd., über dem Plan (Plan JPY 36.5 Mrd.)
- OP-Marge: 4.6% (FY2026 Ziel 7%)
- Free Cashflow: JPY 66.5 Mrd. (stark verbessert durch Working Capital & CapEx-Disziplin)
- Sonderaufwand: JPY 73.3 Mrd. Q4 (u.a. Freiwilligenprogramm)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Kapitaldisziplin: Einführung von ROIC als KPI, Fokus auf Cash-Generierung, Schuldenabbau und priorisierte Investitionen.
- Portfoliofokus: Konzentration auf Kern- und Next-Brands (>70% des Umsatzes) und Skalierung proprietärer Technologien (z.B. "serum-first").
- Operative Maßnahmen: Strukturreformen (COGS-, Personal- und Fixkostenoptimierung) sollen dauerhaft Margen und Asset-Effizienz verbessern.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- FY2026 Ziel: Core OP JPY 69 Mrd. (7% Marge); Umsatzwachstum rund +3% geplant.
- Finanzziele: ROIC 5%, ROE 7%, Free Cashflow JPY 50 Mrd., Dividende JPY 60/Share.
- Invest./Kosten: JPY 10 Mrd. Zusatzaufwand 2026 für Produktions-/Logistik- und Bürooptimierung; JPY 25 Mrd. Einsparwirkung aus Reformen bereits gesichert.
- Risiken: Japan–China-Spannungen (in Q1 eingepreist), Inflationsbedingte Lohnkosten, Tarife und anhaltende Schwäche in Americas.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Wachstum vs. Launches: Warum nur ~3% trotz mehr Innovationen? Management nennt Marktunsicherheiten, Preismaßnahmen (≈JPY 10 Mrd. Wirkung) und absichernde Annahmen.
- China / Inbound-Risiko: Japan–China-Effekte: ~JPY 10 Mrd. Umsatz- und ~JPY 3 Mrd. OP-Effekt für Q1 bereits in Guidance berücksichtigt.
- Americas & Kanäle: Schwäche wegen Drunk Elephant-Inventory-Cleanup und begrenzter Präsenz in wichtigen Retail-Kanälen (Sephora/Ulta); Relaunch- und Vertriebsmaßnahmen geplant.
⚡ Bottom Line
Shiseido zeigt messbare Fortschritte: stärkere Profitabilität, deutlich verbesserten Free Cashflow und konkrete Kapitalrendite-Ziele. Für Aktionäre bedeutet das stabilere Erträge und eine Dividendenerhöhung, zugleich bleibt Wachstum 2026 konservativ geplant und anfällig für China-Risiken sowie Americas-Execution; Upside hängt vom Gelingen der Re-Launches, Kanalexpansion und der Umsetzung der ROIC-Agenda ab.
Shiseido — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you very much. So today, it will be a long session. Thank you very much for your kind understanding. So first of all, I will explain Shiseido's current and future prospects. So first of all, our current position regarding the sales momentum, which is the most important factor for our company, I believe we have emerged from the tunnel.
For a long period of time, our growth rate fluctuated significantly from quarter-to-quarter amid a worsening macroeconomic environment in China, shrinking travel retail market and a sharp decline in Drunk elephant sales. After a prolonged reset, we finally achieved a positive return in Q3.
I believe we have established a foundation for Shiseido to return to a growth trajectory. We have prioritized speed in our structural reforms and have been implementing them with determination as reforms to shape Shiseido's future. With implementation of voluntary retirement program at our global headquarters announced at 3:30 p.m. today, the major initiatives planned by the Global Transformation Committee have been completed.
As planned, all actions will be completed by the end of 2025, and we are on track to realize JPY 25 billion in benefits in 2026. Regarding profitability, thanks to the benefit of structural reforms and strengthened financial discipline, cumulative core operating profit for the third quarter exceeded JPY 30 billion, bringing us closer to achieve our initial target of JPY 36.5 billion.
Furthermore, strengthened investment discipline also contributed and free cash flow is expected to exceed our initial forecast. We have recorded a noncash goodwill impairment loss for our Americas business. Hence, we make a downturn revision of our operating profit and net profit forecast for 2025. We take seriously the harsh reality of net loss.
And for this reason, we will vigorously promote growth and improve profitability in the Americas region going forward. The difficult restructuring period up to now has been a process of building a foundation for a new growth trajectory. We will now once again set course for robust growth.
As you can see, momentum for Focus brand improved significantly in Q3. In the first half, we are significantly impacted by the significant decline in Drunnk Elephant revenue and the shrink in travel retail market. However, these factors generally subsided in Q3 and strong innovation and new product performance also contributed finally turn around as a company-wide positive result.
Starting here, we will drive growth. Next, action plans. The goal is to become a company that can continue to invest in people, brands and innovation. To achieve this, we first need to build a solid foundation that can generate the necessary capital for reinvestment. Hence, we have promoted structural reform in each region, starting with our Japan business last year. We have also decided to implement a voluntary early retirement program, the next career support plan as a global headquarters. This will affect approximately 200 people, and we plan to record a structural reform cost of approximately JPY 3 billion in the first fourth quarter.
We will also reorganize our group companies and R&D organization. By optimizing the group as a whole, we will focus resources on maximizing brand value and accelerating sales. Our Americas business will steadily advance our growth and profitability improvement. Thanks to the structural reform and fixed cost reduction implemented this year, we are on track to achieve profitability in 2026.
Furthermore, Alberto Noe, who has led our Americas business as Interim CEO since April this year, will officially assume the role of CEO from the Americas in -- for the Americas in January 2026. Having led fundamental cost improvements while building a strong transformation-minded team, Alberto will continue to demonstrate leadership across Europe and U.S.
We have attractive brand portfolio in the Americas. [indiscernible] will be in the next page. NAS is our largest brand in the Americas. In 2026, we plan to launch the brand's largest new product lineup to accelerate growth. Fragrances also have big potential. The introduction of Max Mara has received extremely positive feedback from retailers and other fragrance brands primarily offered in Europe will also drive growth in the U.S. Dr. Denis Growth has successfully completed its PMI, and we will leverage its strong partnership with Sephora, the largest retailer to achieve robust growth.
Brand Shiseido is the second largest brand in Europe's major skin care market with vital perfection boosting a strong presence in the anti-aging category. Going forward, we will maximize our knowledge gained in Europe to further leverage our growth in the U.S. Drunk Elephant is scheduled to have a full-scale brand repositioning next year. This year, we have been steadily reducing channel inventory and optimizing costs.
Inventory levels still vary by region and by retailer, and we are in the process of optimizing overall inventory. We will continue to closely monitor the situation in the fourth quarter, which is also marks the holiday season. The 4 pillars listed here will be our future strategy. We are already discussed -- in discussions with major retailers regarding our brand reset campaign with a very positive response.
Our project team jointly formed by our global headquarters and Americas will closely monitor the situation and ensure solid results. Next, I will explain our outlook and Q3 financial results. First, forecast. Following the recording of the impairment losses in our Americas business, we make a downward revision of operating profit, profit before taxes and net profit.
Regarding net sales, we are also revising our underlying growth to minus 1%, reflecting the downward risk we announced in August. Meanwhile, we will maintain our core operating profit target of JPY 36.5 billion through our risk-adjusted cost management and company-wide cost review. We also continue to strengthen our investment discipline, improving our working capital and carefully reviewing capital expenditure.
As a result, we expect free cash flow to reach JPY 35 billion, JPY 20 billion higher than the initial expectation. We will maintain the annual dividend at JPY 40 per share. Due to the impairment loss recorded in the Americas, we plan to record appraisal loss on shares on the U.S. subsidiary on a consolidated financial statement for Q4. However, that will not affect the consolidated earnings.
Next on Page 9 is a summary for Q3. Cumulative net sales for the first 9 months of fiscal year 2025 was JPY 693.8 billion, a decline of 3% like-for-like. This was mainly due to lower sales in China and Travel Retail and Drunk Elephant.
Core operating profit was JPY 30.1 billion, an increase of JPY 2.7 billion, primarily driven by stronger company-wide cost management and the positive effects of structural reforms. Nonrecurring items totaled to JPY 63.4 billion, mainly due to goodwill impairment losses in the Americas business and structural reform expenses. As a result, the company posted a net loss of JPY 44 billion for the quarter, while free cash flow was JPY 31.6 billion.
Next, on Page 10, I will explain the details of core operating profit. The COGS ratio was 23.2%, roughly in line with the previous year. While the improvement in brand and SKU mix continued, the lower production volume of Drunk Elephant led to a slight increase in the COGS ratio in the third quarter compared to the first half. The marketing investment ratio rose by 0.9 percentage points to 28.4%, reflecting our continued investment in priority brands under our selection and concentration strategy.
Personnel expenses decreased by JPY 13.2 billion year-on-year, improving the ratio by 0.9 points. This was driven by cost reductions in Japan and China Travel Retail as well as the impact of the structural reforms implemented in the Americas in July. In addition, since last year's bonus assumptions were set at a lower level due to weak performance, personnel expenses would have decreased by over JPY 20 billion on a comparable bonus basis.
Other expenses declined by JPY 8.7 billion, reflecting the positive effects of structural reforms in the Americas and company-wide cost management initiatives. As a result, while maintaining marketing investments at the same level as before, the company achieved -- improved profitability despite lower sales, steadily progressing toward a healthier and more balanced P&L structure.
Next on Page 11 is the trend of the net sales by region. After recording negative growth through the second quarter, sales turned positive in the third quarter, showing a 4% increase. China and Travel Retail grew by 8%, partly supported by advanced shipments ahead of the Double 11 shopping event. EMEA also showed strong performance, rising 22% year-on-year. While this includes the impact of a low comparison base in the third quarter of last year due to the Focus system implementation, even excluding this effect, the region achieved double-digit growth.
Next, on Page 12, I will explain the performance by region. In Japan, although inbound demand, particularly in the department store channel remained challenging, innovation drove growth and local core brands continue to perform steadily. To highlight here is the success of new products from our focus brands. The renewed Shiseido Altimmune launched in the first half continued to perform strongly, while the newly launched Clé de Peau Beauté care lotions and emulgence in July. And ELIXIR lotions and emulsions in August, both had very strong starts.
Another to highlight is the growth in e-commerce sales, which rose by mid-20% in the third quarter, accelerating further from the first half. This growth was driven by increased purchases from loyal users on our direct online platform as well as the success of strategic investments into the EC exclusive channels. As a result, core operating profit increased by JPY 11.7 billion. Despite differences in bonus assumptions from the previous year, cost reductions through early retirement programs and greater marketing efficiency from structural reforms contributed to maintaining a healthy profit margin in the low teens.
Next, on Page 13, I will explain the China and Travel Retail businesses. In the China Prestige market, e-commerce continued to perform strongly, while offline channels also showed signs of recovery, indicating an improvement trend overall. For the consumer purchase in China, sales grew in the low single digit in the third quarter. However, looking only at the Mainland China, growth was in the high single digits, driven particularly by strong and sustained momentum in Clé de Peau Beauté and NARS, both continuing their robust performance from the first half. ELIXIR and IPSA both recovered to growth, contributing to the overall sales. Also on shipment basis, Q3 realized a strong double-digit growth in Mainland China.
In the travel retail market, the environment remains challenging, affected by weaker spending among Chinese travelers and intensified price competition from discount promotions. Our consumer purchases decreased by high teens percentage. Net sales turned positive, partly due to the low comparison base from last year's sharp decline. We continue to carefully monitor and manage inventory levels to prevent excessive stock buildup at retailers.
Meanwhile, the share of travelers in overall sales is steadily increasing, and we will continue to shift toward a traveler-focused business model. Despite lower sales and less favorable business mix in the first 9 months, core operating profit reached JPY 46.7 billion with an operating margin of 19.3%, maintaining a high level of profitability through fixed cost reductions and cost management resulting from structural reforms.
Next, on Page 14, I will explain the Americas business. Consumer purchases, excluding Drunk Elephant, turned positive. Strong sales of new products such as the renewed Shiseido Altimmune, along with significant growth of Clé de Peau Beauté, particularly in the base makeup category, contributed to this recovery.
On the cost side, the structural reforms implemented in July have started to deliver tangible results. Core operating profit decreased by JPY 4 billion on a cumulative basis. While the effects of structural reforms contributed positively, profitability was impacted by lower sales, tariff-related costs and a higher COGS due to increased inventory write-downs associated with Drunk Elephant's weak performance.
Next, on Page 15, I will explain the Asia Pacific and EMEA business. Starting with Asia Pacific, although the overall market, particularly in Taiwan, showed signs of contraction, we continue to expand our market share across the region. Major new product launches such as Clé de Peau Beauté key Radiant care lotions and emulsions and NARS Multiple made strong contributions to growth.
Turning to EMEA. Sales increased significantly. Fragrance drove the expansion with SAI and Voltair up over 70% in Q3 and both narciso rodriguez and ISSEY MIYAKE maintained their double-digit growth. Core operating profit increased by JPY 200 million as higher sales were offset by increased marketing investment. While the first half recorded a loss due to upfront investment in priority brands, the business returned to profitability in the third quarter.
Next, on Page 16, the progress on the global cost structure transformation. Cumulative cost reduction for Q3 2025 totaled JPY 21 billion as planned. While we are achieving approximately JPY 7 billion in cost reductions every quarter, the benefit of reduced labor cost due to early retirement program in Japan will end in Q4. So we are expecting a full year reduction of over JPY 25 billion.
Furthermore, as CEO, Fujiwara mentioned earlier, the implementation of the voluntary retirement program at our global headquarters will mark the completion of key actions toward achieving the JPY 25 billion cost saving for 2026.
From here, I would like to explain the new midterm strategy. After the large-scale structural reforms under our action plans, we will now set our course for a new growth trajectory by maximizing brand value. We have heard many people point out that Shiseido has a strong brand and technological capabilities, yet is in content with the low growth and low profitability.
Our goal is in this midterm strategy is to change these situations and demonstrate that true -- that our true strength lie beyond this. especially now in a rapidly changing world, consumers face a variety of changes in today's rapidly changing society amid an unstable world, extended human lifespan and accelerating pace of digitization, feeling of vision and isolation are also increasing. That is why we believe Shiseido has a significant role to play.
We see current era as a great opportunity to create essential new value in beauty and contribute to society as a company that is close to consumers. That is why we set our vision for 2030 as by connecting with people, we pursue, create and share new beauty, enriching everyone's lives.
Now more than ever, we want to be a company that explores, discovers and delivers new beauty in moving forms of people -- forms for people without being influenced by the times. That is our unique strength and our path to a social growth. We believe that this path will lead to the realization of our mission, beauty innovation for a better world. We are once again adopting in every moment, in every life beauty as our slogan once again to embody this vision. This -- phrase were launched in 2005.
They express our hope that the people Shiseido interacts with that we ourselves will be beautiful every moment and every life. In today's society, these words resonate with even deeper meaning. We hope that each and every person will find beauty in every moment in their lifetime, and we work to achieve that goal. We believe that this slogan, especially relevant today's time. And to realize this vision, our originality and changing strength has to be refined, which is expressed in this page. I want all employees to be the people who care about others, challenge the real things and pursue beauty.
In terms of both beauty value creation and communication capabilities, our company has unique strength. We approach human throughout their lifespan and conduct research targeting the entire skin, body and mine, and we propose a new culture that appeals to the senses and deliver it to our customers with the spirit of hospitality. No other beauty company does this. We will revisit these strengths to enhance our brand and maximize our corporate value.
In order to integrate financial and nonfinancials, we have also reviewed our materiality from a business perspective. Please see the appendix for details. Based on these strategic pillars, accelerate growth with brand power, evolve global operations and drive sustainable value creation, we will accelerate the creation of corporate and social value built on our strengths.
Our ultimate goals are to achieve above-market growth, sustainable profitability improvement and double-digit core OP margin through our efforts and despite an uncertain market environment. And first 2026, adhere to the 7% profit margin target set out in our action plan.
Furthermore, optimize our cost structure to add 3 percentage points to our margin, achieving 10% margin. Profit generated through efficiency improvement will be reinvested in our brands leading to high-quality growth. We expect growth to be between 2% and 5% and achieving target of 2023 as the 10% or more OP margin.
From here, I will go through each of the strategic pillars in detail. First, let me begin with accelerated growth of brand power. Going forward, we will concentrate our resources on categories where our R&D strength and competitive advantages can be maximized and which also offer attractive market size and growth potential. At the core of this focus will be skin care and sun care, followed by makeup, fragrance, medical beauty and derma and lifestyle. In addition, we will explore new value creation opportunities in areas such as elderly and beauty checkup businesses.
For other categories, we will adopt a more efficiency-driven approach tailored to the characteristics of each market. We will not pursue M&A or diversification merely for the sake of expanding scale. We are defining category-specific strategies grounded in market dynamics and our competitive advantages. Skin care, our largest and core category, will continue to deliver stable growth and strong profitability with strategic deployment of cutting-edge technologies. Preparations are complete to launch high-impact new products that will drive future growth.
In Sun Care, we will aim for higher growth, leveraging both the market environment and the advantages of our proprietary technologies. We will actively pursue expansion into new markets. In makeup, we will challenge ourselves to create new categories exemplified by innovations such as serum foundations. In fragrance, we will strengthen the brand portfolio while accelerating global expansion. In Medical and derma, we will reinforce existing brands and create new growth opportunities in medical areas where our technological leadership can be fully leveraged.
In lifestyle, we will sharpen brand concepts, enhance product offerings and nurture growth. We will allocate brands aiming to position as category champions to each growth area to ensure solid growth. We will continue the thinking of the core brands, those exceeding in JPY 100 billion in sales as well as next brands, which target to be the next JPY 100 billion brand.
At the same time, we are reassessing the positioning of each brand based on their cultural current situations. Shiseido will leverage its established scientific strength to explore expansion into the medical and derma area. ANESA will capitalize on a strong foothold in Asia to pursue global expansion. Fragrance, which was traditionally EMEA-centric, will now aim for accelerated growth across all regions.
Additionally, in high-growth areas such as medical and derma lifestyle, eProgram and BOM will be strategic investment targets and nurtured for growth. Brands with unique value propositions such as Drunk Elephant and IPSA will have their growth and profit models reassessed, guiding future investment decisions.
Breaking down growth by brand through 2030, the core brands will aim to expand profits with their high profitability and stable growth, leveraging their scale.
Next brands will focus on accelerated growth with fragrance and ANESA contributing through expanded regional presence as well. Across all focus brands, we will ensure growth that consistently outpaces the market. This slide illustrates how we will achieve the growth. Instead of relying on favorable market conditions, our growth strategy is fundamentally about creating growth with our own hands built on the strength of our technology and research and development capabilities.
About 70% of the growth through 2030 will come from further development of new and [ hero ] products through innovation. In addition, we will supplement growth through geographic expansion and ventures into new categories and areas. We will also continue brand and SKU optimization to maximize profitability from growth.
Going forward, our growth will be driven by overwhelming innovation. We will lead the market with our innovation. Our proprietary research and technology strength will deliver greater and more impactful value to consumers quickly through 2 approaches.
First, leveraging technology at the core specific brands. For example, ELIXIR represents collagen science. We will deploy distinctive technologies in our focus brands to sharpen brand value.
Secondly, corporate-wide application of technology. The strongest technologies will be applied across multiple brands and products, generating scale and making the technology itself a source of competitive advantage. We have already identified more than 10 technologies to be deployed company-wide by 2028 with a concrete new product pipeline in place. Even in an uncertain market environment, we are confident that by realizing market creation through this lineup of compelling new products, we will be able to emerge as a winner. We will also accelerate growth by expanding global reach. In fragrance, we will capture growth opportunities in Americas and Asia Pacific, strengthening our global presence.
In sun care, we will pursue expansion into the EMEA and Americas. Clé de Peau Beauté will leverage its differentiated brand value as a luxury brand to deliver unparalleled brand experiences to affluent consumers worldwide.
So the next is to expand into new categories. Nes in the derma and medical markets are becoming more fragmented and diverse. We intend to further strengthen our approach towards aesthetic medicine and believe we can expand our business to over JPY 100 billion in the future. Lifestyle is an exciting area for Shiseido, which has led the way in creating a new cosmetic culture with BAM and IPSA. We aim to establish a brand structure that satisfies not only the skin, but also the body and mind.
We will expand into a new domain by using our proprietary assets, one of which is to provide value tailored to each life stage. By 2030, 1 in 3 people in Japan will be over 65 years old. This generation has high disposable income and desire to spend enjoying active lifestyles. If we can encourage this generation to enjoy beauty more, a new and big market can be built. As a leader in anti-aging care in Japan, we are determined to establish overwhelming presence here.
Furthermore, we will promote further beauty checkups as our competitive advantage based on accumulative knowledge. 33 million women undergo health checkups in Japan. So of which, assuming that 10% of them will regard beauty and wellness holistically and spend our beauty checkup service, it is possible to create a market worth tens of billions of yen, and we will aim to increase sales of ancillary products by endorsing behavioral change triggered by beauty checkups.
Next, we will promote strongly a new business and value creation model, leveraging our assets. In order to capture latest diversifying needs and rapid environmental change, a new value creation mechanism will be introduced, which is not driven by brands. This approach is driven by technologies, social media trends and co-creation with other industries and will quickly commercialize and launch products while monitoring consumer reactions to expand our business. This team will directly report to CEO, pursuing business opportunities and models that differ from existing businesses with speed.
Customer touch point with brands will evolve from a just product sales to a deeper brand experience. Maintaining and expanding a strong brand loyalty base is essential to the sustainable growth of our business through experience. Here again, we will leverage Shiseido's strength to create deeper connections between each consumer and the brand, achieving high-quality growth and improved marketing efficiency through a multifaceted approach.
We will manage our portfolio with discipline and strategy, streamlining non-focus brands to ensure overall efficiency and further strengthening core brands, while maintaining appropriate financial discipline, boldly take on new challenges in order to respond quickly to market trends. The second strategic pillar is evolve global operations. We will pursue overall optimization through the value chain from 2 perspectives.
First, global optimization; and two, lead time reduction by clearly defining the categories and brands to reinforce. We will clarify priorities across the company and achieve overall optimization. To achieve this, cross-functional teams across regions and functions will be organized, aiming to maximize speed and effectiveness of problem solving.
The use of digitization and AI technologies are essential to achieving overall optimization, so first, a unified global IT systems and advanced business management will be built through the stable operations of focus. This will improve plan and planning and demand forecasting accuracy and reduce uneven inventory distribution.
We will also carefully select and optimize IT investment, such as reducing outsourcing costs and eliminating legacy systems. Further strengthening the AI investments to enhance our technological assets and value development capabilities, advance and automate back-office operations and improve customer experience and loyalty. Our global organizational operations will be changed into a structure to reinforce our functionality and overall optimization and evolve into a highly agile global organization.
To date, regional headquarters have operated their business independently. But going forward, we will strengthen collaboration between region and functional departments of global headquarters. This change will make the global headquarter structure more compact and focused in leading company-wide strategies. The new executive structure announced today will further deepen global unity.
The third pillar -- strategic pillar is drive sustainable value creation. employees' growth is the most important focus in our talent strategy. By expanding opportunities to take on new challenges, we will develop global leaders and define and instill Shiseido's value, fostering a sense of unity within the organization and a passion for value creation. By implementing these measures based on the organizational evolution described earlier, we will strongly advance our talent development.
Over the next 5 years, we will invest 3x the level of 2025 in developing leadership, including global mobility. Creating value through DE&I directly improves our business activities. Therefore, we promote gender equality and respect on human rights as well as empowering people through the power of beauty. Goals for each activities are set and promote across the company. Each activity contributes to involve improving brand equity and strengthening our operational efficiency and enhancing risk management, directly enhancing the corporate value.
With respect to environment, the Shiseido circular model will be built to enhance sustainability for both people and the planet and contribute to realization of rich natural environment. We will promote environmentally conscious manufacturing, sustainable product development and sustainable and responsible sourcing. KPIs are shown. We embody the model of our company name. How wonderful it is the virtue of the earth. Everything comes from here.
From here, I would like to explain about our financial strategy. Our target for 2030 are core operating margin above 10% ROIC above 10% ROE above 12% and free cash flow exceeding JPY 100 billion. A major theme of this midterm strategy is to transform the company into one that can consistently generate ROIC above its cost of capital.
The current action plan focuses on strengthening financial discipline and fostering an organizational culture that aggressively pursues returns. Based on past trends, we believe we have clearly shifted course and are steadily on an improvement trajectory. We have described fiscal year 2025 to be a critical year, and it indeed proved to be just that.
While the path was far from easy, we are confident that the structural reforms implemented to date were necessary and correct steps to build Shiseido's future. Over the course of this midterm plan, we will take further steps to lift core operating profit margin, ROIC and ROE into double-digit levels while continuing efforts to reduce the cost of capital and maximize corporate value. Even in the 2026 plan, which already incorporates the effects of structural reforms, the SG&A ratio remains above 70%, reflecting a high fixed cost burden and a structure we recognize as vulnerable to external environmental changes.
Looking toward 2030, we will maintain the current levels of marketing investment ratio and R&D and brand development ratio while reducing the COGS ratio, personnel expenses and other operating expenses. Strategic investment to maximize brand value and accelerate sales will continue. Part of the cash generated from past structural reforms and cost efficiency initiatives will be redirected to proactive investments in marketing and human capital.
The R&D ratio will remain around 3% of sales, but with a focus on further improving returns. Investment allocation will be more targeted and prioritized in line with category strategies and brand portfolio strategies. The cost optimization measures listed on the right are additional to the current action plan and are scheduled to be implemented from 2026 onward with effects expected mainly from 2027 onwards. Key initiatives include optimization of the value chain and brand portfolio, cost efficiency through standardization and centralization following an organizational and reporting line restructuring. This is not merely cost cutting, rather through disciplined return-focused investments, we will enhance brand value and strongly support the transition to a new growth trajectory.
Next, I will explain our regional strategy. For sales, our goal is to achieve growth above the market in all regions. On the profit side, we are targeting double-digit margins in every region. We also aim to correct the profit structure skewed toward Japan and China and Travel Retail and establish a more balanced and resilient earnings structure.
In Japan, we have moved away from a former loss-making structure and currently achieve margins in the low teens. However, fluctuations in inbound demand remain significant, making it essential to strengthen the profitability of local business. We will continue initiatives such as improving workforce productivity and enhancing marketing efficiency through higher e-commerce penetration.
In China and Travel Retail, margins already exceed 20%, but we aim to further increase profitability. The key is improving marketing efficiency. The brand value reconstruction, initiatives implemented to date will now enter a phase of tangible results. Off-line stores will be optimized selectively to provide differentiated brand experiences.
Additionally, we will maximize growth and cost synergies through integrated management of China and Travel Retail. In EMEA, Americas and Asia, our market share remains in the single digit, so presence is still limited. However, we are confident that our strong brands and technologies provide significant growth potential. By maximizing growth opportunities in priority areas and optimizing costs, we will drive profit improvement.
We are often asked, Shiseido is strong in Asia, but can it really win in Europe and the U.S. With this midterm plan, we intend to address and overcome that doubt.
Next, I will explain our cash allocation strategy. Operating cash flow will be primarily driven by improved profitability and inventory turnover, combined with cash inflows from asset-light initiatives, targeting JPY 500 billion to JPY 600 billion in cash generation over 5 years. This cash will be allocated with a clear priority order, capital expenditures, debt repayment and dividends. CapEx has historically been 5% to 6% of sales. But with the completion of IT investment cycles and strengthened investment discipline, we expect this to decline to around 4% next year and approximately 3% by 2030 with a focus on within depreciation investments going forward.
For interest-bearing debt, we will maintain a target credit rating of A and manage net debt over EBITDA around a multiple of 0.5. Regarding dividends, we plan a total of JPY 130 billion over 5 years, averaging JPY 26 billion per year, up from the current JPY 16 billion, aiming for stable and sustainable dividend growth in line with business recovery.
In the second half of the midterm plan, we plan to have enough cash reserves to remain after dividends, enabling flexible share buybacks and strategic M&A under disciplined financial management. Strengthening financial discipline is central to enhancing Shiseido's corporate value. We have structured the M&A framework, integrating the Americas team into the global headquarters and establish an investment and divestment committee to clarify criteria and screening rules for investment and exit decisions. This will enable the company to execute disciplined and agile decision-making.
Finally, I will discuss the establishment of ROIC-driven management. Strengthening financial discipline and embedding a ROIC-focused management approach cannot be achieved overnight. However, introducing ROIC as a long-term incentive KPI represents a significant step forward. And starting in 2026, we will ask -- we will also link operational KPIs tied to ROIC improvement to the annual bonuses of all executives. This will be steadily implemented as a power tool to foster a high-performance culture across the company.
Lastly, from myself, I strongly recognize that transforming our organization culture is essential to executing our midterm strategy going forward. After a few years of rigorous structural reforms, opportunities to pursue new value creation and the enrichment of beauty culture have been lost and the essence of Shiseido's unique organizational culture has diminished, which is a significant challenge for me personally.
In our newly announced midterm plan, while achieving the financial targets as a given, we have also committed to fostering a culture that encourage challenges toward new value creation and an unrelenting focus on delivering results in order to continuously enhance Shiseido's unique corporate value. Now is the time to face people and society sincerely to keep questioning the meaning of beauty and even in time of difficulty to share genuine value with the world.
We aim to nurture more Shiseido people who embody the spirit and to transform our corporate culture accordingly. Through these efforts, we promise to continue achieving essential and sustainable growth, remaining a company that shares new value with consumers around the world. In every moment, in every life, beauty, our history stands as proof that we have always faced people with sincerity, discovered new value and continue to pursue innovative creation. We believe this is our true strength, the source of our uniqueness that cannot be imitated. Together as one team, we will continue to engage deeply with beauty and share a culture of beauty that enriches people's lives. Thank you very much for your attention.
[Operator Instructions]. Now please open the floor for questions. So okay. So the ones who are wearing on the scarf. JPMorgan Kuwahara speaking.
2. Question Answer
JPMorgan Kuwahara speaking. Structurally reform has -- must have been really tough, but you accomplished that. So very encouraging news. But this time, in the midterm strategy, you explained Page 24, and I would like to have different angles to ask. So average the CAGR was average sales growth is 2% to 5%. It's very varied, right? So what is the situation with the 10% growth only, but what makes you achieve 5%? So is that because of the market growth opportunity? Or what is that positioning? What is the assumption differences. And also the cost optimization, 3 percentage points, you said that the expense management or resource -- human resource management and also the role cost as well. But the 3 percentage point increasing, that means JPY 30 billion must be done -- must be saved, right? So this is my rough estimate. So in that case, SG&A is less than 70% or so. Is that what you're thinking or like extraordinary losses type of line item, even without such kind of extraordinary items. But still, do you think it is possible to reduce this level?
Okay. Thank you for your question. I would like to answer for the growth assumptions. So when we crafted this midterm strategy, so the growth in the market, how should we assess the market opportunity for growth? And as we target, we should be not influenced by the market growth. So that is what we would like to aim as a resilient position. But still, we have to admit that there are certain elements that might be affected. So even the market growth is flattening, but still we will grow like between 2% to 5%. But if the market growth is 3%, then we will achieve 5%. So that is our assumption here.
So with respect to your second question about the cost optimization, in the presentation, Fujiwara-san explained that -- so far, the cost reduction, we were touching for the -- addressing the problem area. But this time, we want to have a more cross-functional and more opportunity to reduce costs. And by so doing such a thorough evaluation, we will see the cost of optimization. So that means 7% to 10%, whatever the market conditions would be, at least double-digit, the profitability should be ensured through this initiative.
That is the financial target in the core in our midterm strategy. So at that point in time, what kind of primary cost that we should secure we -- at this point in time, we do not have any answers and do not want to disclose. However, for the temporarily -- already, not the primary, but the temporarily or extraordinary costs, we do not anticipate at this point in time. But whatever happens, we will disclose at the right timing. Let me double check. So the extraordinary cost or temporary costs you just referred to in the cash flow management and asset-light management that you referred to earlier in the profit and loss, whether that will be reflected. But in order to while you are promoting the asset-light and there are certain losses that could be more mitigated because of the asset-light operations, then that could secure the dividend and so forth. Is that correct understanding? Yes, that is right.
With the base jacket. We go on to the next question.
My name is Miyasako from Mizuho. So sales, 2 to 5 is what I want to ask. And you've talked about it from the brand axis, but you haven't mentioned it from a regional axis. So could we have some kind of a metric for regional basis as well for the sales?
Regional base. growth. We did not disclose today. But as Hirofuji-san mentioned earlier, Japan, China and TR, we do not foresee a high growth in these regions. And of course, in these regions, we will continue to aim for growth with capturing new markets as well. However, we want to look at the areas where we can grow more for profitability as well. Now on the other hand, for EMEA and Americas, the Shiseido share is still small.
And for EMEA, the brand EMEA and Americas, the Shiseido brand has a high brand position. However, there's a lot more potential for us to grow in skin care and fragrance, and we already see that opportunity for growth. And for Asia, similarly, the brand Shiseido is strong, but for example, Clé de Peau Beautééopobotte compared to the competitor still is a bit weak.
And to say furthermore, it will be for the market going forward. Of the fragrance that we carry, we see that as a great opportunity in regions like Asia. For Americas, the biggest market globally in the U.S., brand portfolio, how do we maximize our presence into the U.S. market? So there's the brand Shiseido, NARS, Dr. Dennis -- gross and fragrance. And each of these brands, we do have a great opportunity for growth. So we believe that the growth speed will be faster in the EMEA and Americas.
How would you be growing the Shiseido in Americas? Can you elaborate on that?
This year, too, in the Americas, so yes, we do have struggle with Drunk Elephant, for example. However, brand Shiseido has been having solid growth. So with that in mind, one is we will look at product allocation that matches the Americas market.
Secondly, what we have announced today, Alberto Noe no will be official CEO for the Americas region. He has pushed Shiseido to be #2 in Europe in this very competitive market of EMEA. So with him taking over in the Americas market, we believe that he can push the Shiseido's presence in the Americas. And for channels, for EC, brand Shiseido still has a lot more room for growth. So there are already growth opportunities that we have already set and visualized.
Miyazaki from Goldman Sachs. So again, regarding the growth of the sales. So as you talk about the channel, I would like to ask a follow-up question. So between the CAGR of 2% to 5%, what is the ratio or composition of the e-commerce?
And also in Japan e-commerce in the third quarter, you had quite a good result in Japan e-commerce. So -- and owned channel as well. But on top of that, you did some initiatives. So are there any opportunities that you are thinking? And what is the composition overall?
So in terms of the detailed composition of the e-commerce, we do not disclose. But something happening in China that is very much accelerating that can be observed in Asia, Europe or U.S. So we believe that is the trend, especially for EMEA, it's not just the owned, but the retail dot-com or pure player also grow their results. So for those, we are investing ourselves.
How can we make the operations or manage that?
Well, we will begin from China, especially for internalized such operations going forward. internalize means that we ourselves will look at the e-commerce data and do not rely on the third-party data. We will create our own content and manage the data. So those are operated by internal team. So that will be leading to the next AI, the operations. So we believe this is very essential. So when we does that, if we can do that, we will be able to replicate that know-how into U.S. or other regions.
And the owned e-commerce is quite good. So in Japan, this is very good because we will be able to approach to consumers directly as owned. So this is good. And also, we can expand to pure players as well.
So that means we can collaborate with the pure players well, and we will be able to have more resources and grow together. So this is a good cycle. And roughly 20% or a little less than 20% of the composition, but we would like to grow this e-commerce channel, especially in Japan, we have a beauty equipment. So e-commerce and off-line, we will have a good beauty staffers as well.
We'll go to the next question in the front row.
My name is Hirozumi from Daiwa Securities. I want to talk a little bit about 2026. A year ago, what you had shown us the core OP of 7%, it's great that you were able to keep that. But can you -- I want -- I would like you to clarify this.
So this fiscal year, as you have mentioned, global cost reduction, so JPY 1 trillion in sales and 7% of that, so it's JPY 70 billion. So if you achieve JPY 35 billion, how do you foresee the JPY 70 billion? So to the JPY 70 billion, how visible -- how do you see that to be a reachable goal? And at the same time, there's the non-ordinary income and nonrecurring. So what do you see? So the core OP ratio of 7% and -- but you have the JPY 70 billion that you're looking for. So how do you see in the nonrecurring item? How do you see that going forward?
That's the detailed construction of next year's -- the numbers for fiscal years, we do not disclose the details of how the numbers are created. But to your comment, GTC is something that we are pushing solidly. And the things that we should see as tangible results for next year, it's already executed. So on top, we see that as an add-on to the GTC actions.
So with that in mind, there is -- as for the sales growth, we are not disclosing the details, but some of the marginal profits that are achieved from what we have, yes, we want to put that on to the add-on. So JPY 25 billion you said is for sure.
So you mentioned JPY 25 billion to JPY 36.5 billion. So that would be JPY 61.5 billion. Is that for sure?
That said, there's inflation, there's a tariff and other and some of the costs to achieve the sales. So there will be potential cost increases that may arise. So yes, there is a potential cost increase that will come.
So how can we offset that with the marginal profit that we achieve. So for the nonrecurring items, how do we see that for 2026 and onwards?
At the moment, we do not disclose the details at the moment for that as well. Maybe if you can cooperate with me.
So what is this year's nonrecurring items?
What we have shown in the forecast, it's JPY 78.5 billion in nonrecurring items. So due to the Americas depreciation that we have seen a big loss. But the JPY 78.5 billion, majority of it, about JPY 15 billion is noncash. So I would like to add on to that, that part is noncash. So to that, it's not something that would impact the dividend payout. And in this year's P&L, in terms of cash creation power, we actually were able to improve on that and improve on the profitability, if you look at from the cash basis. So the free cash flow was actually a big improvement from what we was initially forecasted. So there is the impact from all the structural reforms that we have been doing, and we are seeing tangible results from it in our numbers.
So any other investors?
Congratulations for very strong cash flow generation this year. Could you tell us for next year, 7% operating margin compared to when you set that target, how confident do you feel you can achieve this number?
I think we would like to be firmly committed to achieve that 7%. Of course, there are various factors that we cannot foresee. Tariffs is one of them. Of course, inflation is also an issue. However, we are confident that our cost initiatives will bear results for next year, and we have a much better P&L structure than compared to before. And this gives us a good position to realize the growth into firm improvements of our profitabilities. So we would like to continue to be firmly committed to this target.
In addition, so the so we can be is to the culture in the company. So in this year, we're also having some extraordinary negative impact -- but however, the team is always seeking to the additional or the new opportunity in order to achieve our commitment. So this is also one of the very strong good point to achieve for the next year target.
Now we'd like to receive some questions from the online participants from Jefferies, Kawamoto-san.
I'm Kawamoto from Jefferies. Prestige skin care, looking at the future and how -- I want to ask a little bit about how you look at the focused items. The skin care mass items are growing in popularity. So -- but within that, the prestige, do you think the demand will come back even with this inflation environment?
And ELIXIR, you will be start to sell self sales in the Southeast Asia. In the midterm plan, within the 2030 sales, prestige and NARS, how do you allocate the sales? Or how do you foresee the sales allocation of prestige versus mass?
Thank you very much for your question. First of all, for skincare, Prestige, it is true the mid-price range is contracting or shrinking a bit. And so the consumers are moving more to prestige or to the mass. Especially looking for -- looking at the prestige market, they're looking for more high functionality, new technology. And the category that captures that is growing, specifically cream and Essences. And anti-aging, which we are strong at, we're seeing a high-end upgrade into high price points. So for this prestige area, we do believe not just for Japan, but globally looking, there is room for growth. There's opportunity for growth.
For ELIXIR, fortunately, in Japan, the second half as well, we've been able to capture high growth. At the same time, in Asia, as you have briefly mentioned, self. We are planning to sell ELIXIR from a self sales channel. And we have built confidence as we have captured very high sales. And it's not for us to just expand on the number of stores, but the self-sales stores.
What we have succeeded in Japan, we want to deploy that into Asian countries, Asian areas. And the agents that come to Japan, they're coming into Japan to purchase the hero products. So the success cases that we have had in Japan and the hero products that we have captured great success in Japan, we want to expand that into Asian and Southeast Asian countries, especially in self channels like drugstore channels that will -- without the cost, then we believe that, that will give great contribution to the sales.
And in China, temporarily, we did have a big dip. However, we do want to challenge ELIXIR in China again. and Clé de Peau Beauté, Brand Shisedo and ELIXIR are the 3 pillars of the skin care business. On Page 58, I noticed that Japan Prestige Skin care, so for example, EMEA, some of it's growing double digit. But from the treated water issues, there were some issues in sales, but that's recovered.
And would you say that globally looking, Prestige skin care from Japan, you would say that they have -- you have solid grounds to them, and there is sustainability going forward? Yes. In terms of some of the reputation damages that we've had, we believe that, that has been recovered. And to be honest, K-Beauty is progressing globally. And with that, J-Beauty is something that Shiseido, we need to expand and we need to push forward as well. We feel that as a mission as a company from Japan that we expand on the J-Beauty. So we want to continue to provide the value from Japan to the world.
Next, Ohana-san from Nomura Securities.
So you have the provision for that was the nonrecurring items, of JPY 55 billion additional, and you made the revision. So the JPY 47 billion is about Americas, impairment loss. So there will be a little less than JPY 8 billion. So what -- where does this number come from?
In Page 5, there is the global headquarters, early retirement program. But -- so JPY 25 billion next year, so cost efficiency, that's is already embedded in that JPY 25 billion. So it's not new. Is that correct to understand?
For nonrecurring items, as you say, at this point in time, cumulative JPY 63.4 billion. So the fourth quarter, JPY 15 billion, that is the plan for the fourth quarter, JPY 15 billion.
So ERP-related cost is JPY 3 billion, of which JPY 15 billion. So the rest is that office rationalization or structural reform-related costs and other -- some other initiatives going on through the global team. So those structural reform-related costs are the ones that I described earlier. So those temporary costs will lead to the fixed cost reduction in the future, and we are implementing such measures.
In terms of the ERP, JPY 3 billion is the temporary cost impact, but the cost reduction impact overall. So through this ERP program, it's not just only that, but the natural attrition and also the carving some of the hiring numbers and through such a -- some reduction in the hiring, JPY 5 billion or so per annum impact is also included, not just ERP, but such natural attrition and so forth.
So ERP is happening realized in the Q1 in next fiscal year. So that means a little less than JPY 5 billion of the cost impact will be expected for FY 2026.
Let me double check. JPY 47 billion, ERP, JPY 3 billion and office optimization, JPY 5 billion. Is that correct? So to come up with the JPY 55.5 billion.
Right. ERP, JPY 3 billion and the rest are which includes the temporary cost impact for the office and so forth.
Okay. Then the headquarters, global headquarters, rationalization or ERP, that's already embedded.
Yes, you're right. That was already embedded.
So that means that JPY 25 billion is already secured because you've already planned this ERP and so forth and then have a more solid forecast. So it's not just add-on.
That's correct. It's not the incremental.
One more from online participant. SMBC Nikko, Yamanaka.
This is Yamanaka from SMBC Nikko Securities. What I would like to ask growth by brand, a page with the growth by brand. Page 29. Yes, thank you. Page 29. I want to understand this a little bit more, and I want to deepen my understanding on this page, Page 29. So looking at this Page 29, core profit expansion, Shiseido, Clé de Peau Beauté the gross growth is high. From your explanation, there's China, then other big markets. Well, of course, you'll continue to aim for growth. But there's also -- you want to grow the hero SKUs in other areas, as you show in the other page in the next page, Page 30. So with all that together, you're looking at the low single digit of CAGR. Can you share with us the decomposition of this?
The numbers by brand, the details and the composition of the numbers by brand, we do not disclose. But expanding profit and accelerating growth. So for the growth rate, next brands, of course, will be higher in terms of the growth rate. For the core, the size, the scale is big. So incrementally, it will look like this chart. But if you were to compare the next brands, the growth rate ratio will be higher.
So in the brands under NEXT, the fragrance, I want to ask about fragrance. So on Page 28, you have the brands listed. Max Mara Parfume, so that's a big launch that's got high expectations. Is that correct to see? And/or each of the brands have a high growth rate? Can you elaborate a little bit on the fragrance?
First of all, for the brands, Max Mara will be starting from next year, and that, yes, will be a big incremental add-on. And the growth of the existing brands, the fragrance grew primarily in Europe. But now that Alberto Noe will be looking at EMEA and Americas, we can see an acceleration of growth in the existing brands.
In Americas, even for fragrance, it is a huge fragrance market, the Americas, but we did not capture full investment nor did we try to challenge growth in Americas through fragrance. That's something that we see as a big opportunity. And so that's -- those will be the big drivers for the big growth in terms of global expansion as well. Any other questions from the floor?
Any other questions from the floor? [indiscernible] from UBS.
Yes, total of 3 questions. So first, China and TR. So you made the revision, but you did not change your outlook for those 2, and it is improving compared to your original expectation. So can you describe further what is driving why the result was better than you expected and also the market outlook? That is my first question.
For China and travel retail market, especially for China market, -- so there were some huge volatile market. ups and downs are quite radical, but that situation is now stabilizing. And for Q3, overall market has now turned to positive. And especially in channel, online channel is driving the growth. Therefore, for the third quarter, our business grew, and we are taking some market share. So we are confident in that.
And in fourth quarter, this trend will continue according to our assessment, especially Double 11 will already begun and it's almost ending, but that result looks like quite good and promising. So China, for sure, is recovering in terms of the market strength. But the next fiscal year onwards, so of course, we cannot be complacent. And especially for offline, since the online is so good, we have to watch carefully about offline. And Brand Shiseido has been struggling this year, and we expect that difficulty will be settled. So that means that we would like to expect some solid growth in next year.
So my second question is that -- Page 41. So this is the matrix organization and that you are going to advance that. So I'm sorry, I don't understand personally. So Hirofuji-san as your capacity as CFO, can you please describe in your finance division, how it will look like going forward?
Okay. Then for CFO, so region headquarters system was adopted. For example, in finance, so region CFO was reporting region CEO only. Therefore, no report line to me in the past. Therefore, as a result of such structure, region or each region had adopted the decision on the optimized within the region only. That is a reflection. So we created the region CFO report line to headquarter CFO.
So we can preside over the regional financial situations and also the risk can be identified at the earlier stage and take some actions. So we would like to have a good result coming from this structure reform. But of course, reporting line creation is just one of the first steps, right? So all those difficulties in the past cannot be resolved only with this structure change. So the first next year, we will adopt this new organization change.
But definitely, we need to uplift the skill sets locally. So at the same time, -- and of course, that has to be continuous initiatives. So this is a long journey. As I speak to our team, financial governance and discipline has to be adopted going forward. Therefore, we need to pursue the overall optimization as we select as a big theme.
The third question. So you've announced your midterm plan today. The employees, how are your employees and your business partners? I think you're going to go into a phase where you have to change the mindset of your employees as well as your business partners. You were able to share with us. But as a CEO, what kind of messaging do you give to your employees?
And in order to thoroughly implement this midterm plan, what kind of management layer changes? Or how will the management layer take different action going forward?
So yes, to your point, when we make a plan, that's not the end. We have to penetrate this throughout the system. One thing is to mention is it's not just messaging from myself, but with this midterm plan, each of the executive officers, we have shared this content before this official announcement. And also in order to really realize this, what do we need in each of the areas? Furthermore, what do we stop doing in areas? So we've had the officers -- executive officers start considering this already.
And what I talked about was more of the overall company globally. But from here on, we will start launching cascading the message down throughout the organization. And for this, too, this is really the start for us. And now going forward, looking for next year, I would like to speak directly with the employees and travel overseas as well to speak to the employees in our overseas offices as well.
So I want to continue to thoroughly penetrate and execute the midterm plan and if needed, adjust it or make adjustments if needed, but thoroughly make sure to cascade this throughout the organization globally. We have 10 more minutes. We would like to take as many questions as possible.
We have 10 more minutes. We would like to take as many questions as possible.
If I may select one question to you, Hirofuji-san. As CFO, you explained your strategy toward 2030. I fully understand. But as the Representative Executive Officer and very relatively young representative Executive Officer, beyond 2030 or even 2040, how would you like to see Shiseido eventually very long term? What is your perspective?
Well, very unexpected question. Thank you. So 2040, we still were not able to consider something. However, personally, as we want to achieve the global beauty company, definitely, we would like to achieve that, and we have a strong mind. And to this end, we undertook the structural reform in a series, and we have a growth plan and also the more selective and try to drive growth. That is our approach to craft this midterm strategy together with Fujiwara-san.
So of course, the small-sized global brands can grow and shine eventually in 2030. So that kind of bright future can be achieved. If that happens, the true global company can be embodied. I wish you could talk about more beauty about beauty. So maybe I will turn to Fujiwara-san. It's a follow-up question. Okay.
Like every moment, every minute, beauty. So this slogan was selected. Can you please describe once again, imprecisely because you have a strong determination to select this, right?
In every moment and every life beauty. So when we craft that, it is very difficult for us to foresee the market future. And in our way, our unique way and try to grow the company, that means we should not be controlled by the market growth. So what -- how can we ensure that? That's the kind of discussion we had. And to do that, we need to leverage our core value. What does it mean that? So our new cosmetics culture will be built through our core value. So that is our strength as well as our pride. So that's back to basics. It's been the whole time.
Shiseido has been not looking at the market, if I may say, we were looking at the people. We were looking at the consumers and always focusing on people. And as we continue to do so, what can we do? We can be close to people or customers. And also, we want to deliver beauty on their daily lives. And we will have this slogan is the most suitable from that perspective.
And this could be a more trend or sometimes people may have more dispersion or division and isolation, maybe such a slogan, such a word will be more relevant than the past. So of course, this slogan, once again, to reaffirm that, that is, of course, has a big commitment and also needs some confidence, but we believe that this slogan is more relevant to us right now. I love this slogan.
Are there any other questions? We would like to prioritize the first question.
My name is Miyake from Morgan Stanley. I apologize for my raspy voice. I have a cold. Because we're talking about long-term strategy, I feel bad that I have to rewind back. But -- so for this 2030 plan, core operating profit and operating profit is -- you said that there -- you don't want to have such a big gap between the OP and the core OP. But 5 years still is a longer period. So the sales and core operating profit and net profit each of the trajectory image, can you share with us the image for your trajectory?
The reason why I ask is if the sales is the sales -- there could be a scenario where the sales is flat as globally, it's an uncertain world. I believe that there is such a potential for next year. So for the sales, the second half, maybe are you looking at it weakly or looking at it from the rebound, are you looking for more acceleration in terms of the sales? And as you add up the profit, you'll have the cost reduction impact. And if that's going to happen in the back end, then what's the cost impact? I think that's going to -- there's going to be a time lag for that. So the sales and cost, what kind of trajectory is there because there will be some time gaps or time differences in when you will see some results.
I apologize that we can't disclose everything to you in detail. However, we don't plan to have such a volatile forecast. And for sales too, for now, we do have a quite linear target or forecast. Of course, there are different reforms and initiatives that we are doing and that we should continue doing. And so as for that, that's something that we will continuously do in terms of structural reform. And to do so, we have the 2030 double digit. That's what we want to achieve in 2030 to double digit. And that in itself, we will start doing what we can from -- we will start with what we can in the moment with agile movement. So at this point, do we see any kind of expense costs that we're going to add up at this point? No.
So looking at the overall optimization or global optimization value chain overall. So this too, as I have been doing the structural reform for the past 2 years, this is something that I've been feeling. So when you see the big chunk of the reforms, it's easier to just go ahead and execute. But while we're executing, looking at the overall value chain, we can see like, oh, if we do that, there could be more impact.
Well, this is a challenge in supply chain, but if the brand holder and the R&D work together, then the impact will be much bigger. So there are many items and challenges that we saw as we were working on this like that. And as we worked on the global organization, if the corporate functions were more cross-functional, -- and the reason why we're doing trying to do more cross-functional is because what we see in front of us to what we see in each of the region, it's not a partial optimization. What is optimized as a whole, there's more fruit or benefit from that. So of course, yes, there could be the time gap of when the impacts are actually achieved. However, the faster we start, of course, the impact will be quicker to be achieved.
So those are the things that we will continue to do, aiming for 2030, we set the agenda, and we will like to promote this with a cross-functional team. And to that, there will be the market growth and there is sales from our value creation that is an add-on of organic growth. But looking at the market, yes, as the market may fluctuate or may be volatile, we want to continue to have a certain level of flexibility as we manage our company. So if we set one specific number, the focus is too much on that number. And of course, we will always have an aspirational target number, but we don't want to push ourselves in the wrong way so that we would end up increasing a negative debt for the future. So that's why we wanted to have a little bit of flexibility going forward, and that's what you see in the 2030 target.
If I could just have a follow-up question. 3 points cost down -- the cost down by 3 points.
Yes. There's operational aspects as well as there are some of the fixed cost reduction. But as an image, fixed cost versus some of the variable costs, what do you see an image of what the allocation will look like?
As for the details to that, we do not disclose nor announce in this session. But as you see on Page 48, the cost of optimization menu, these are the items that we will continue to work on.
So the detailed numbers will be cascaded down to the organization. Is that what you just said?
Yes. To a certain level, yes, we do have the menu lineup already, and we are at a level where we are ready to cascade it down to execution point. But moreover, we need to change the culture to really follow the profitability to really go after the profitability. So the cultural change is something that we are changing so that the company to 2030 will definitely have a ROIC that is exceeding the WACC level. We want to make sure we have a ROIC that exceeds the WACC, and that's a very strong commitment that we have in our minds. Thank you very much.
Now we covered all the questions because of the time arrives. So we would like to end today's session. So thank you very much for your attendance. So we would like to end today's earnings presentation. So thank you very much for your attendance for a long period of time.
Thank you so much.
[Statements in English on this transcript were
Spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]
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Shiseido — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Shiseido — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you very much. I will now explain our 2025 half year results. Please take a look at Page 3. The first half results and full year outlook. Our current top priority is to steadily implement our action plan and build a business structure that generates stable profit. There are 3 key highlights I would like to explain. First is the result of our structural reform continued from Q1 in Japan, in China, Travel Retail, the fixed cost reduction effort we have been working on since last year is clearly reflected in the first half figure. Improving profitability and maintaining profit margins despite declining net sales.
As there was a few media coverage in Americas, under the new leadership structure, we accelerated personnel and organizational rationalization in July. As a result, we will accumulate the benefits of annual structural reform across the company. The second is the strengthening financial discipline. Given the challenging market environment, we conducted further cost review across the company. And despite the decline in net sales, our company core operating profit for the first half [indiscernible] our plan. In addition to our cost reductions in PL, we also focus on the cash balance sheet. We view our capital investment and steadily implemented our assets light strategy, including relocating and reducing offices to improve ROIC.
Third, regarding our full year outlook, while we anticipate certain risks to net sales, our commitment to achieving core operating profit of JPY 36.5 billion remains unchanged, and we will achieve this to accelerating structural reforms and cost management. Since our disclosure in May, we have received many questions from investors regarding impairment risk. Given the decline in profitability of our Americas business, we determined there are the indications of impairment and conduct the impairment test. As a result, we did not record any impairment loss for this quarter.
However, given the underperformance of [ Junk Elephant ] to date and uncertainty, including interest rate outlook, we recognize that the risk of impairment losses on our Americas business is greater than ever. For details, please refer to Page 2, Page 17 of financing report. Now Page 4, the executive summary. Net sales for the first half were JPY 469.8 billion with the underlying growth rate of minus 6%, primarily due to a weakened weakness in China travel retail and Drunk Elephant.
Compared to the plan, result was slightly below our initial forecast of our low single-digit decline due to poor performance of joint elephant and others. Core operating profit was JPY 23.4 billion, an increase of JPY 4.1 billion year-over-year, exceeding our expectations. We are pleased to report that we have already achieved over 60% of our full year guidance of JPY 36.5 billion. We view this as evidence that structural reforms and strengthening the financial disciplines are beginning to bear fruit, but we are by no means optimistic as upside in the first half includes expenses carried over on the second half in [indiscernible] risk structure remains.
Nonrecurring items totaled JPY 5.3 billion of the JPY 23 billion in full year 2025 plan, we recorded JPY 3 billion in expenses related to structural reforms in America in Q2. As a result, interim profit was JPY 9.5 billion. While this was -- this has already exceeded our net profit forecast for 2025. And as in February, we have no -- not revised our earnings forecast as the majority of nonrecurring items are expected to occur in the second half. Free cash flow was JPY 17.5 billion, turning positive from a negative figure in Q1 due to factors such as higher profit before tax and others.
Next, Page 5, core operating profit. First, the cost of goods sold ratio improved 1.5 percentage points from last year to 22.6%, driven by better mix of brands and SKUs. Marketing investments decreased JPY 2.7 billion from last year. Meanwhile, its share of net sales increased 1.7 points to 28.8%. This was primarily due to increased marketing investments associated with new product launches in years. And personnel expenses decreased JPY 15 billion from last year, improving its share of net sales by 1.2 points.
This primarily reflects the results of restructuring efforts in Japan, China and Travel Retail. The effects of personnel reductions in the Americas are expected to be realized from Q3 onwards. Other SG&A decreased by JPY 5.9 billion, driven by a decrease in depreciation expenses and rigorous cost management and others. Next, Page 6 shows net sales by region. The sales decline steadily narrowed from minus 9% in the first quarter to minus 3%. While this did not meet our main focus of flat sales growth in Q2. All regions are on recovery trend.
We are expanding our market share in areas such as fragrances in Japan, Asia Pacific and Europe. Next, Page 7 shows a sales trend by brand. Q-on-Q performances vary from brand to brand. We will carefully evaluate each brand from a strategic perspective to strengthen and expand our core brands and challenges will be properly identified and addressed. [indiscernible] across all brands is that the growth accelerated or revenue declines narrowed from Q1 to Q2, indicating a steady improvement.
Credit to [indiscernible] Nars and [indiscernible] are performing well and driving growth across the company. Fragrance is capitalizing our market strength improving in Q2 and accelerating growth in the second half. [indiscernible] revenues declined primarily due to travel retail and in bands to Japan, but this was in line with our strategy and generally anticipated in the plan. Drunk Elephant and brand Shiseido, though, in China and Java retail are seeing a narrowing of their decline. But in the process of recovering. Therefore, we will closely monitor their future improvements.
Now page 8 talks about the by region. The figures on the upper left table and the text for the first half net sales and core operating profit so 6-month basis, while Q2 market and Q2 customer purchases, show the most recent 3-month figures to indicate changes in momentum. Japan achieved a significant increase in profit despite the decrease in revenue, demonstrating continued progress in structural profitability improvement. On the other hand, what stands out, the trend is a slowdown in inbound demand. Local market in the second quarter continued modest growth. Consumer purchases grew low single-digit percent.
Core brands drove growth and share expansion is continuing. Shiseido's new [ altimmune ] is continuing to drive momentum. E-commerce sales are maintaining growth at high teen percent with loyal user purchases driving growth on our online website, on the other hand, the inbound market growing with an increase in number of visitors to Japan began to slow down in May particularly in the department store channel and inbound consumer purchases turned negative in Q2.
We analyze that incentives to purchase in Japan declined because of factors such as the narrowing price gap between Japan and overseas markets caused by the strong yen extension of the 618 shopping season and intensified low price competition in China. Despite the sales decline, core operating profit increased JPY 13.2 billion, thanks to structural reforms, such as reduction in personnel expenses due to early retirement and improved efficiency of marketing investments. First half margin was 13.3%, and Q1 was higher at 15% due to rush demand before the price hike.
We believe low teen percent level is our normalized level, averaging out such one-off factors. Slide 9 is China and Travel Retail. It was slightly ahead of sales target. If you focus on Q2 only, growth turned positive Y-o-Y in China. China's prestige market growth rate accelerated from Q1 to Q2 and market share expanded in Q2. In addition, 6 1H e-commerce sales saw fierce price competition among platformers and price-driven purchasing behavior remains strong. But even excluding the impact of the extended sales period, sales increased marginally Y-o-Y, we outperformed the market, driven by high prestige brands.
Off-line market faced ongoing challenges. Clé de Peau Beauté and NARS maintained strong momentum overall, including off-line channels. With online consumption becoming the norm, Clé de Peau Beauté is promoting customer visits by creating reasons to visit such as opening a new spa on the upper floors of major department stores and providing the best customer experience possible. We believe that investing in experiences to build equity as a luxury brand is helping us stand out from the competition.
Although Shiseido [indiscernible] markedly in it continued to suffer in offline channels. Travel Retail continued to face challenges in the Asian market. And the Japanese market also slowed down and consumer purchases fell to the negative low 20% level. Despite sales decline and worsening business mix, we maintained high profitability with core operating profit of JPY 38.8 billion, profit margin of 22.1% via structural reform, such as fixed cost reductions and cost management. Slide 10 is about Americas.
Americas market maintained Y-o-Y growth, but fell short of expectations in Q2. Consumer purchases were negative high single percent and Drunk Elephants struggled with results far below our initial expectation. Core operating profit dropped JPY 3.3 billion due to sales decline. Shiseido benefited from new product launches with new [ Ultimune ] and mineral sun care sunscreens already launched in Japan fueling growth. We are accelerating structural reforms actions for a swift turnaround of Americas. CEO, Fujiwara will give further details about this along with our recognition of challenges of Drunk elephant.
Slide 11 is on Asia Pacific and EMEA. In Asia Pacific, market contraction is continuing notably in Taiwan and South Korea, and sales declined but overall market share expanded mainly in main markets. Core operating profit decreased by JPY 1 billion due to sales decline and others. Next is EMEA. Q2 market maintained moderate growth but the pace of growth decelerated. Q2 consumer purchases turned positive after negative growth in Q1. Drunk Elephant continued to struggle but fragrances remained [indiscernible] Voltaire, fueling high growth at low 20%, outperforming the market by far, expanding its share.
Core operating profit declined JPY 4.6 billion on increased marketing investments and lower gross profit. Both Asia Pacific and EMEA are expected to secure profits on a full year basis. Acceleration of sales and profitability improvements are expected in the second half. Slide 12 is on 2025 core operating profit forecast. We are expecting some downside risks to achieving sales targets but we will continue with management efforts to achieve 2025 core operating profit forecast of JPY 36.5 billion.
From next slide onwards, I will explain the major assumptions and initiatives. Slide 13 shows downside risks and opportunities. In Japan, sluggish band sales. In Asia Pacific, Americas and EMEA, market deceleration and continuing [indiscernible] performance of Drunk Elephant are considered major risk factors. On the other hand, China and Travel Retail are trending better than expected as of now, which we see as an opportunity, especially in China, although second half of last year was a low hurdle, actual shipment on a preliminary basis in July performed well with double-digit growth. we will continue to maximize opportunities. Slide 14 on tariff impact. As a result of reviewing assumptions reflecting changes in the situation, tariff impact for 2025 full year is expected to shrink to around JPY 3 billion as of now compared to the JPY 7 billion a year at Maxim, which we announced the last time.
We will aim to maximize the impact -- minimize impact by executing mitigation actions as the fact. Slide 15 is on progress on global cost structure transformation. In the first half of 2025 we realized JPY 13.5 billion cost reduction benefits on track with the plan. On a full year basis, we will accelerate structural reforms in Americas ahead of schedule as a result, accelerating personnel expenses reduction and therefore raised cost reduction target from JPY 20 billion to JPY 25 billion. Furthermore, we will increase 2-year reduction targets for 2025 and 2026 from JPY 45 billion to JPY 50 billion to improve profitability.
This concludes my presentation. Then I would like to talk about the action plan 2025 to 2026. So I will cover the important topics of that. On Page 17, further future it [indiscernible] brands, we are working to strengthen the brand equity not only to generate sales, but also to ensure long-term sustainable growth. At the launch of the brand's hero products, time. [indiscernible] Shiseido, engaged a global campaign aggressively across all regions, making investment on unprecedented level to acquire new customers.
The campaign key works freedom from age and slow aging helped deepen customers' understanding of the products, benefits and create new markets globally. In Japan, [indiscernible] sales are nearly doubled, and the brand as a whole achieved double-digit growth, maintaining its momentum in the second half. Additionally, the new Shiseido men [ Altimmune ] which incorporates the full breath of 100 years of research into men skin was launched on July 21 with new promotions aiming to accelerate growth in the second half.
Clé de Peau Beauté launched a renewed divergence of its key Radiance care, lotion, emulsions and cream in Japan on July 21. Industrial cells have been extremely strong, setting a stage for subsequent global launches. Additionally, on July 25, Nicole Kidman became the new global brand ambassador. Through this, we aim to further strengthen our positioning as a luxury beauty brand accelerating growth in Europe and the U.S. and expand our scale globally. For Nars, in the third quarter, we will relaunch the brand iconic multiple line and create bad through limited editions and new colors tailored to each region. In addition, we will continue to strengthen our loyal customer base and accelerate sales through a lineup logically and technologically advanced in topical products.
Including brands and items that are too numerous to introduce here. Now Page 18, Drunk Elephant continues to suffer from a challenging situation with following the second quarter results. Far short of expectations. In light of this, headquarters and local offices work together to conduct a fair and transparent brand review and identified new issues to achieve a turnaround. There are 3 major challenges. First, the brand lacked targeting based on a clear understanding of customers. Two years ago, we achieved a significant sales growth, thanks to social media buzz around our CRO product.
Since then, however, the brand's positioning has become unclear and made our customer base has weakened as our original target customers have drifted away from the brand. Regarding brand value, our one innovative clean formula has now become commonplace in the U.S. market. Our current communications do not adequately highlight the uniqueness and value proposition of our brand over competitors, making it insufficient to attract new customers. Furthermore, our products like groundbreaking innovation causing us to lose market presence and competitive advantage.
Therefore, we have postponed the strengthening of our clinical and high-performance skin care communications and review of our sales floor layout which we explained last time. And this year, we will first clean up market inventory, reduce uncertain uneven inventory build store engagement and we define our value creation foundation. This will lead to successful brand reset campaign from next year onwards.
Now on next Page 19, we will discuss the efforts to achieve profitability in the Americas business by 2026. As previously announced, under the new management structure with Alberto, as CEO, our Americas business has swiftly implementing our turnaround plan. Complete these restructuring actions, and we is now moving to face continuous investment. By streamlining and simplifying our organization, we have departed from silos and clarified accountability between functions.
This will enable us to streamline our operations and optimally relocate -- Allocate our resources, even with the limited workforce, improving the flexibility and agility of the entire organization. As a result, we believe that we will have created an environment for even stronger innovation, enabling us to achieve sustainable growth and strength and competitiveness. -- cost reduction benefits of the structural reform are expected to be approximately JPY 15 billion per annum from mainly Q3 to Q2 of next year.
We expect a half of the impact to be JPY 7.5 billion this year and the remaining half, JPY 7.5 billion in next fiscal year. As for the breakdown, in, which is half of the impact will be from workforce reduction and the remainder will be expense reductions, such as downsizing office spaces and optimizing procurement, for office space downsizing, we are planning to post structural reform costs north of JPY 4 billion in Q3. Americas loss exceeded JPY 10 billion in 2024, but we are steadily making progress to returning to profitability in 2026.
Next, please move on to Slide 20. In the first half -- second half of this year, we were planning to implement focus ERP in Japan and global headquarters, and we have been able to go live in July and global implementation was completed with this standardization and integration of system data was completed globally, and we achieved 80% standardization within Service system globally. By launching Global One IT team, we will integrate IT environments that tend to be fragmented by region and enable quick and flexible responses to global business needs.
With this, we will increase agility and promote employees' productivity improvements. From here on, we will be transitioning to value realization phase on a full-fledged basis. real-time visibility into accounting and supply chain data enables rapid global response to issues and opportunities leading to faster and more accurate decision-making.
It also contributes to improving inventory turnover and reducing inventory imbalances by maintaining appropriate inventory levels, thereby contributing to improved ROIC. As we will be able to capture each region situation using common metrics, it will make it easier for us to share our best practices. At this moment, the system has not been applicable to some of the regions but we aim to maximize return on investments with headquarter support.
Slide 21 is Action Plan 2025 to 2026 assessments and future direction. So far, we have been communicating that we need to complete all actions within this year in order to deliver full benefits in 2026. We have been focusing on speed. As of today, we believe the progress is on track -- there are some measures that have not been announced but we plan to thoroughly implement them during the remainder of this year. As has been mentioned until today, completion of the action plan is merely a starting point. As a strong winning player in the global competitive environment that continues to generate solid returns -- we must continue to evolve further.
It is not enough to just take action based on the plan, there are more challenges that we need to tackle and more room for us to evolve. In order to bridge the gap between the ideal state and the current, we are currently working on a medium-term management firm, which we plan to announce by the end of this year. The themes will be achieved sustainable profitable growth. Optimized cost structure and reinvest for the next growth strategies by clarifying the issues that need to be addressed, we aim to accelerate action and achieve profitability that exceeds capital costs at an early stage.
This concludes my presentation. Thank you very much. Now we would like to move to Q&A session. Now I would like to open the floor for questions. Now I would like to ask Kuwahara-san from JPMorgan.
2. Question Answer
This is Karen you are me, I am Kuwahara from JPMorgan. Thank you very much. I can tell you. So the first half and second half, there were some changes. So I would like to double get the numbers. So the first half, so the core operating profit what better than the original expectations, what was the increase? And then which -- what was the phasing out of the cost? And then the rest -- how much was the contribution from your efforts?
And my second question is that for the full year, it's shown on Page 12, but cost management against risks -- you have to take many rigorous measures. Otherwise, you are not able to achieve this figure on Page 12. But the cost management is the 1 that you were explaining at the beginning of the year. For example, last year, from the third quarter, like emergency plan that you targeted some bonuses and so forth. Is that the right understanding that like a similar way of the cost management. So in that case, whether the impact will also be reflecting in 2026.
Well, thank you for your question. So the -- your first question is that the JPY 36.5 billion for the first -- I guess, the full year? And then originally, achievement for the first half was 40%. Therefore, from that perspective, -- this was the uplift of JPY 8 billion or so compared to that 40% to the full year basis. Well, the market condition is very uncertain but still, we began and then try to make the cost management rigorously. And also, we made a thorough review. And then we made some assessment on the expenses and some phase out of the cost. The size of that is JPY 5 billion or so.
So that was the sumps from the first half to the second half in terms of the cost implementation. So my point is that the marketing investment for the future growth, we continue to invest. And so that investment will be fully utilized and also attracting for the future growth. And then for the JPY 13 billion of the core operating profit is expected in the second half. So the -- against the sales plan -- and the full year outlook is in line with the last year. So the net sales plan is at a little short of JPY 30 billion, which that will be realized JPY 20 billion or so in the second half. And there are some interest gap and also continued cost reduction effort and we maintain our outlook for the full year guidance.
In terms of the cost control, we had GTC led additional measures like JPY 5 billion that was added. That is one of the reasons to absorb this figure. In terms of the full year guidance, you raised questions about the second half. Actually, last year, we introduced the reduction on the bonuses and so forth in the third quarter last year, that's has to be offsetting Understood. Thank you for the explanation. In that sense, for this fiscal year, cost reduction is mainly led by GTC and the payroll is returned in this fiscal year that will be returned in the -- as you expected at the beginning of the year. Is that correct?
Yes.
You're right. So in terms of the third quarter, the payroll ratio was also returned compared to the last year's payroll adjustment. So negative impact in the second -- or the third quarter almost in terms of the payroll.
Next is Morgan San FG Securities, Sato-san.
This is Sato from Morgan Stanley. Can you hear me?
Yes, we can hear you.
Thank you. So this is a continuation from [indiscernible] question. Based on your expectation, second quarter sales, you have already incorporated JPY 25 billion of downside. Yes, that's right. And if that's the case, then roughly 5% or so is the number. So original piles plus 10% in the second half, but then it changed plus 5%. Is that right?
Yes, that's right.
Especially where? So I understand China is recovering, but which region where specifically are you worried about now and Japan, In-band is changing and domestic demand is expected to be high originally based on your original plan. But where are the risks of sales specifically, can you tell me specifically? So I believe it may be Americas and Japan, but could you share?
Okay, understood. So it might be a repetition. Full year sales, it was around 4% growth year-on-year. That was the original assumption. But now we believe that there is a risk that it will be mainly flattish. And major reasons would be, first, Japan inbound sales from the end of first half, we are seeing a downward performance compared to our expectation. So we were expecting 10%, mid-10% growth in the beginning of the year, but we are -- have changed that to slight decrease or flattish. There is such a possibility.
And the second reason, as we mentioned, in Americas, Drunk Elephant recovery compared to the original assumption expectation, we believe that there will be a delay in recovery and the performance will remain sluggish. But there is upside factors as well, China and travel retail in the second half.
So of course, there's a low base in last year, but low hurdle. And there is an opportunity of sales increase, and we will make efforts to maximize that. And we would like to implement various measures to realize this, especially for the second half, as Mr. Fujiwara explained earlier, core brand, we have plans of introduction of new major products -- and we'd like to make use of these launch opportunities maximally at maximum.
And JPY 5 billion. So this cost that was postponed. So where is this -- which reason is it? Which area?
So it's dispersed, to be honest. Naturally, so depending on the region's mix, Japan, China, Travel retail. So it was postponed from these shifting costs from these areas.
So it's like China Travel Retail.
So not Japan, but China and Travel Retail has high cost shift. Yes. In terms of the 2 regions, these 2 regions, can on travel retail are higher.
Next is Miyazaki from Goldman Sachs.
Miyazaki from Goldman Sachs. So the -- I couldn't hear well for the answer of the first question. So let me confirm. In terms of the profit -- core operating profit, what was the uplift from the beginning of the year. 40% of the full year was your original expectation, but compared to the 40% expectations in the first half after performance -- the gap was the uplift. Is that correct?
In this fiscal year, there was a structural reform of the Americas region. It's now realizing in count billion uplift and then so JPY 25 billion of the cost management. So do you have any good feel on that side? And the JPY 50 billion was. So what was the reason behind for that? Why there was an uplift?
Well, apologies for a clear answer, but JPY 36.5 billion for the full year, JPY 15 billion or so and then original JPY 8 billion was roughly uplift this first half. That's the result of which -- of course, there are -- we are taking on the cost structuring effort and also some new measures are in place. So there are some uncertainty in the second half, so try to alleviate such risks through such initiatives. And then in terms of the global transformation of JPY 5 billion, is now added mainly coming from the Americas region.
Compared to the original timing, so Americas restructuring efforts have now advanced -- so that's JPY 5 billion is mainly derive from the Americas region, I just say. And the size of the Americas region, the cost structure reform was bigger, quicker and deeper. So that was the result of the additional JPY 5 billion impact and also the JPY 50 billion, JPY 40 billion original expectation, but now like to JPY 50 billion and so forth. And then that cost reduction efforts will also contribute.
So let me double check JPY 8 billion of the first half uplift of which JPY 5 billion was the cost phase cost saving, right? So it has to be recognized as costs in the second half, right?
Well, yes, we phase that cost in the second half. However, so we are now taking some risks of the -- in the second half. So marginal profit and so forth. Therefore, we would like to continue to monitor the expenses in the second half as well.
And in Ms. Hirofuji, 2024, 2025 added was JPY 40 billion to -- from JPY 45 billion to JPY 45 billion to JPY 50 billion, there is an increase. But this is -- this is 2 years of 2025 and 2026. So I just wanted to make a correction.
And the next question is CLSA Oliver-san, please?
Could I ask a first question. I know you're still working on the midterm plan, but with the good progress you're making? Are we correct to assume that you're still targeting double digit. Your share recently suggested you should be targeting more than 10% operating profit margin?
Yes. Thank you very much for the questions. Yes, so we want to be the winner of the global company. So therefore, for the double-digit the OP margin is at for the target for us.
Great I think you'll get there. Second, a bit of a technical question. On the Page 23, you show adjustments I think these are same as headquarter costs, but they declined a lot from last year, like by JPY 8 billion. Could you explain what the difference is.
Thank you for raising this point, Oliver. This is indeed the adjustment piece would be incorporating the HQ costs. However, there are some technicalities with respect to foreign exchange rates differences. So allow my IR team to be following up separately with you to clarify what exactly is captured in the adjustments as well as the others, actually.
Okay. But we should assume they continue a kind of positive downward trend. Is that right?
Yes. And indeed, headquarter cost has been reduced since -- in this quarter as well through cost reduction measures that we have been implementing and that is indeed captured in this adjustment section. But in addition to that, there are other foreign exchange savings that is captured here as well. So it is not necessarily entirely from headquarter cost reductions. So I just wanted to clarify that point.
Move on to Hirozumi-san from Daiwa Securities.
My name is Hirozumi of Daiwa Securities. I have very brief 2 questions. So in terms of the net sales for the first half was the uplift and you explained it earlier -- sorry, core operating profit, but I just wanted to ask a question about the net sales. What was the result of the net sales in the first half. In your earlier explanation, I may misunderstood I understand that the second half you anticipate that net sales in the second half because there is no change in the full year guidance. So what was the achievement in the first half? And then how should I interpret the second half target for the net sales?
Well, we do not incorporate or embed all the sales to be achieved, but there is certain risks. And of course, but the full year guidance that roughly 4% growth was anticipated. But at the moment, we see that it is in line with the last year's results. And then the first half performance was JPY 5 billion or so and then JPY 25 billion in the second half would be achieved. So there is certain risks of the declining in the net sales.
Okay. So there is a risk, but still there's an opportunity. That is why our guidance has not been changed. Is that correct?
You're right. Based on certain risks we, of course, would like to properly to achieve the sales, not just the net sales, we need to have a rigorous cost management measures. And need to have a good conservative view on the sales achievement. So Page 13.
So net sales plan has not been changed, but there is a risk. You are making some heads up, right? For the second half achievement. Is that correct?
Yes.
Now the Americas region, I just want to understand the net sales achievements. So Page 6. So you have the quarter-quarter Americas has a positive 4%, right? Plus 4. And then this is the sell-in, I believe. But the customer purchase in the second quarter was the single digit high second single digit, right? So what is the gap between the 2? So the customer purchase and the sellout and sell-in.
You're right, there are certain differences in sellout and sell-in. And especially for the second quarter of the Americas region, there is the brand mineral sun care products to be launched in the third quarter. That new product launch is coming. So we are very much expected for the good sales. But this was the upfront shipment was recognized. That is the positive figure. And the actual sales for the customer fallout will be realized in the third quarter onwards. Understood. Then Page 10, the high single-digit figure. So how would you evaluate that? So yes, Page 10 for Americas.
So high single digits that you are expecting, right, for the sellout. Yes, in terms of the customer process, we see the positive trend for the customer purchases. One reason under the current momentum of the retail sales and e-commerce that we are running -- and those 2 will contribute for the second half growth. So Americas region is very uncertain at the moment for the economic growth. And what is your perspective of the customer behavior in the third quarter onwards?
Well, I believe there is not really big impact on the economic conditions. The beauty trend, quarter one to quarter 2, there were some improvement in the customer purchase behavior. So of course, there are certain external factors, but the beauty market is it, to some extent, stabilized. Then your -- the situation for the customer purchases in the third quarter was is also unfavorable correct?
Miyasako-san, please.
This is Miyasako from Mizuho Securities. There is an upside you mentioned, China and Travel Retail. This is my question. in the first half until first half, how much upside in sales and also profit -- and is it a market that was good? Or is it that your market share is increasing. And also, how do you look at -- how do you view the market in the second half?
China and Travel Retail compared to our expectation, it's not that there is a major uplift. There is a challenging market situation. It's the same for us as well. But [indiscernible] the key brands performed very strongly despite the challenging market, and we have been certainly increasing our market share, and this is something that's very positive for us. And we would like to continue this momentum in the second half as well. We have major events upcoming in the second half, and we would like to maximize the impact.
And from second half onwards, especially in Q3. Last year, China and Travel Retail was more than 20% negative. So it's a very big dip, and it's starting from a low base. And compared to that, we can -- we believe that we can surely increase -- in Q1, Travel Retail was better than your expectation.
And for Q2, Travel Retail and China. Both was slightly better than your expectation?
Yes, exactly. The market had recovered slightly. And also in Q2, we have been able to expand our market share -- so we have been able to grow steadily in Travel Retail. The future is transparent. And for that part, we are looking conservatively because of that. But when the market recovers, this will be a positive factor for us. And as for China, as Hirofuji-san mentioned earlier, customer trends consumer trends are recovering slightly, little by middle. And at the same time, for 11 this time, we had -- are forecasting slightly pessimistically, but looking at the first half, situation, 618, we were able to mark strong sales. So there might be some upside for 11 also.
In China and Travel Retail, so last year, you forecasted a slight decline. Does this view change have you changed? Or is China and travel retail is trying to change over mid- to long term.
China and Travel Retail, it's not that we intentionally suspend sales, although we can sell. It's not that we are going to force ourselves to reduce share products. we would like because it's a big market. We would like to capture market share, but we don't want to have excessive expectations and set budget we don't want low-quality growth. We are not going to chase after short-term growth. Rather, we would like to grow over long term. in high quality to be able to control China and travel retail market.
And last fall, you mentioned you have increased your market share. Is it in the key brands? Or is it that your share is growing in China overall.
Looking at Q2 only. Our market share fell in Q1. So in Q2, prestige BD market, we have been able to confirm our growth and market share.
So that means a share of brand Shiseido has increased also.
So brand Shiseido was slow and that was offset by the strong performance of NARS and Clé de Peau Beauté. So brand Shiseido, there is no change. So this is something that you can expect in the future. So to break down e-commerce, we have been able to capture share, but off-line channel. There are stores that are selling well, some letters, not selling well. So there's clear difference and that's challenging. So overall, the brand Shiseido has seen share drop. But online, we have increased share.
Kawamoto-san from Jefferies.
Hello. Kawamoto from Jeffries. Page 19. So the actual probability of the so steady growth -- steady progress toward returning to profitability for Americas. So what is the number of people to reduce the human resource or how many office reduction are you expecting? And this and other risks in the middle of the chart. What are the other risks and know how much I should be aware of. In terms of the margin of profit, it looks like a contribution of the margin is quite large. So I -- just want to understand how accurate this chart is.
So in terms of the conviction in the probability of this chart, I believe this is quite trustworthy. And then -- we have already implemented the structural reform in the U.S. And based on that, we now show our plan in terms of office cost reduction. The cost base is already implemented. As was explained by the CEO presentation, as a result of such cost reduction, JPY 4 billion or so of the temporary the cost action is implemented, and then roughly 300 or human research was reduced. So in terms of the probability of achieving the forecast is quite solid. And other risks include Drunk Elephants, the declining sales as well as the for the margin coming from the division coming from the alpha and also other risks as well.
So those potential risks will be offsetting by the other cost reduction measures. That is what we are doing at the moment.
Kuwahara-san please.
My name is Kuwahara from JPMorgan. I would like to ask for a supplemental information explanation, Americas impairment test. You have done the test. And this time, you are not going to post impairment. But I believe that this possibility is increasing. So you will continue to make improvements and efforts, but the risk is increasing. What does it mean? So it's a simple question, Drunk Elephant. Is it the delay with Drunk elephant or are you thinking about the market environment? Can you explain about this?
So there is risk of impairment loss, and this is the slowdown of sales recovery coming from drunk elephant and discount rate. Interest rate increase discount rate might increase. And also the impact of the tariff -- based on that, we are renewing the future cash flow, and we are evaluating cautiously the possibility of impairment loss.
By brand?
We are not doing impairment loss. It's done by region. So the overall cash flow and we compare that to the carrying amount and this year, we that the risk has been increasing. And therefore, on a quarterly basis, we have been doing the test. And in Q2, the slowdown of sales and drug elephant and others, because of such factors, we have disclosed this.
So the progress, you mentioned about the progress? You are looking at the track record, and you have mentioned earlier sales, their [indiscernible] but you did not apply that as a part of the test?
As of now, the risk has been incorporated. So including that, it was safe, so yes, we have put some assumptions and we have done the impairment test. And in Q3, we will look at the progress at the time. And profit sales forecast will be incorporated to do the impairment test. That is what we are assuming.
This will be the last question. SMBC Yamanaka-san floor is yours.
This is Yamanaka from SMBC Nikko. So for the next year, action plan and the core profit how you are evaluating the uplift or double risks? Because originally, November last year, compared to 2024, the net sales and the overall margin, it should be -- growth rate would be very hard and JPY 7 billion or so would be uplifting. That is our expectation. However, the net sales is the downward risk.
But still, the cost reduction effort is now better than expected, but still in case that net sales in the second half would be difficult, then the JPY 7 billion in the second half may be rather difficult or Travel Retail is gradually picking up in the second quarter, then it could be quite a good mix of the sales, even with the sales is slightly sluggish, but still JPY 70 billion is achievable. Is that what you're thinking, which is the correct to understand your feeling?
Well, to be honest, our 2026 guidance will be disclosed at the right timing. But we have risks of the net sales reduction and also the cost reduction is having the good progress. And so the 7% growth potential or the target, this is unchanged.
So let me add. In terms of the net sales, there are some ups and downs. For that, we are evaluating the risks properly and then we need to solidify our point growth. And with that stable net sales target, we would like to achieve this 7% the initiatives. This is the intention of the cost restructuring measures. And even though there are some difficulties in the second half, we would like to achieve this 7% the profits.
Then the [indiscernible] margin 7%, you are making sure to achieve that. But in terms of the amount you'll be disclosing at the full year guidance -- full year report. Is that correct?
Yes. You're right.
Now we would like to close the Q&A session now, and we also would like to end today's earnings briefing call. So thank you very much for your attendance today despite the busy schedule. Thank you very much.
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Shiseido — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Shiseido — Special Call - Shiseido Company, Limited
1. Management Discussion
Hello, everybody. Once again, thank you for participating in today's event. I'm the Chief Corporate Governance Officer, Kato. Now I would like to introduce to you the 2 external directors that are here with us today.
First, we have Mr. Hatanaka, the External Director and Chair of Board of Directors. Mr. Hatanaka is a former Representative Director, President and CEO of Astellas Pharma. In Astellas, he has robust experience in corporate planning, financing as well as overseeing the international subsidiaries becoming to -- becoming a Representative Director and President and Chairman. He has led the company for many years with extensive knowledge in global corporate management.
After retiring from top positions of the company, he's been active in leading companies as external director for multiple companies. He has been the External Director for Shiseido since March 2023. From 2024, he also serves as a member of Compensation and Nomination Committee as well as the Chair of the Compensation Committee. On top of those roles, he is now the Chair of the Board of Directors for our company since January of the year.
Next, Ms. Yasuko Gotoh, the External Director and Chair of Audit Committee. Ms. Gotoh has held very senior positions in the Ministry of Transport, currently, the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism as the first female career Officer. After leaving the Ministry, she served as Executive Director of Kyushu Railway Company, overseeing both the business and finance divisions as well as serving the role of Director and Audit Committee members.
She has been External Audit and Supervisory Board member at Shiseido since 2019 and has joined us on the Board of Directors as External Director from 2024. Currently, she serves as the Chair of Audit Committee. She also serves as External Director of other public companies as well as audit member of Tokyo Metropolitan Government.
Now I would like to quickly share with you some of the recent updates on corporate governance and especially around the Board of Directors. As of the resolution of Annual General Shareholders Meeting held in March of 2024, we have transitioned to a company with 3 statutory committees. We have clearly separated the functions of execution and supervision while strengthening both of these functions.
The Board of Directors is now focused on discussing -- discussions related to the company's policies and strategies as well as overseeing the execution. On the other hand, the executive side is working on enhancing the agility of business operations. Furthermore, under the new policy of appointing an External Director as Chair of the Board starting this January, Mr. Hatanaka has assumed the role.
We believe this has further improved the objectivity of discussions within the Board of Directors. I believe that we will be able to hear from the 2 external directors about how these initiatives are actually working in the presentation today. Currently, as you can see, the Board is constructed with more than 80% of nonexecutive directors. The Nominating and Compensation Committee are all comprised with independent external directors. And the Audit Committee is comprised of nonexecutive directors and external directors to strengthen cooperation with the audit department.
And that is it for me. I would now like to hand it back to Ms. Oshima. Thank you.
Thank you very much, Ms. Kato. Now I would like to take this time to invite the directors, Mr. Hatanaka and Ms. Gotoh to speak. They will share their perspective as external directors on our corporate governance, focusing on these 3 major items shown on the screen.
First, we would like each of them to reflect on their appointments as Chair of the Board. And we will begin with Mr. Hatanaka, who will look back on his first 6 months as Chair and share his views on the ideal state of the Board of Directors and the current challenges. Mr. Hatanaka, can you share with us?
As Kato-san has mentioned earlier, so in 2024, the company has transitioned to the 3 statutory companies. And after that, it has what's been introduced. As for the current status of the company, the environment -- the external environment is rapidly changing. And there's been many -- there's a need for speed and being agile to adapting to the environment changing around us to make sure to create the productivity and the profitability.
And now the executive side, we have delegated a majority or a lot of the decision-making to the business operation executive side. And what we will do is we will have the oversight. And if we need, we will step into -- make things right. And we have been able to make this change very smoothly. And this -- from this January, I myself, as an independent external director, I have become the Chair of the Board of Directors and through that -- I am an external person, not an internal company person. So from an objective view, I am able to see what is needed as a company, and I try to interpret it from my own views to share with the Board.
And as for that or through that, I believe that for me, the understanding of what needs to be understood through the Board has deepened, and I believe that our discussion has become more -- become deeper. And the items that are seen to be very important, we will -- depending on the necessity, we will actually have a meeting just with the external directors. And we will make sure to share that with the Board, the overall Board once we have an opinion as an external -- group of external directors. In order to be efficient and impactful, we are very careful of the next 3 items.
One is in order to increase the corporate value that is a common objective between the Board of Directors and the company executive officers and also the executive officers and the Board of Directors, we will have a thorough communication and transparency. And the third is to make sure we have a very healthy discussion to build a trusting relationship. So these are the 3 items that we put our focus on. That is it for that.
Thank you very much. Now Ms. Gotoh, can you share with us some of the changes that have been made or that you can observe through of the Board of Directors under Mr. Hatanaka's leadership.
As Mr. Hatanaka has just mentioned, since Mr. Hatanaka became the Chair of the Board of Directors, I feel that the discussions have become clearer. The Chair is very clear on his thinking. So for example, focusing on agility, the speed and the execution, the implementation and oversight. We separate that clearly to make sure we have clarity on what we need to really focus on. And that allows us to have a very meaningful discussion, and he has led us very well in that kind of discussion. The Board of Directors, including external directors, I believe we have a great members that we can have very meaningful directions with transparency. But under Mr. Hatanaka, I believe that discussion has accelerated and has deepened even more.
Thank you very much. Now moving on to the second item. We would like to hear your perspectives as external directors regarding the Board's awareness of key issues and its actions. The first is about the improvement on the profitability of the business and overcoming the current situation and overcoming some of the challenges. Ms. Gotoh?
Currently, Shiseido in terms of improving profitability, that has become a big theme for the company. And based on that, the company is working -- needs to work on and implement these changes, these initiatives to make this change happen for improving the profitability.
Now I would like to maybe -- and I believe that we need to look at it by country. So maybe I will look at Japan, which is an important market, then China and the Americas. So very simply, but if I can touch on each of the regions separately. As for the Japan market, there is a structural reform that is ongoing. And to that, we are starting to see some of the fruit of -- through structural reforms. And through that, I believe that we are able to create a more healthy financial structure.
And some of the points to mention, looking at Japan's structural reform, there's an early retirement plan, which was the first time in Shiseido to do this. But with a strong commitment, we started that. And as a Board discussion, we've had various discussions. But the executive team that had committed to doing this as a Board of Directors, we wanted to support that as much as possible and that had been the position.
We were aligned together and we supported as much as possible. And, of course, there were concerns of the employees, and we were worried about the lowering motivation of the employees. But to that, we had thorough communication with the employees.
And then what kind of communication do we take to the employees. We had a very meaningful discussion within the Board of Directors, too. And even in the audit meetings -- audit committee meetings, we've had that discussion as well. And we said, well, maybe we should do a little bit more of that. We will feed it back to the executive team. And we have kept on giving feedback and inputs and revisions to implement this initiative. So we have been sharing a lot of the feedback and inputs together, and that's one of the key points to mention.
And now going forward, Shiseido Japan, Mr. Nakata is newly appointed as the Japan's CEO. But with the structural reform that will ongo, we'll keep on going with the new CEO. I believe so we will continue to do the communication, for example, how do we approach the younger segment and also the active senior. And there's also the expanding men's market and all that we are approaching it comprehensively with a lot of motivation. So for that, that is something that we want -- we as a Board to want to continue to support.
With respect to China market, the company has been relying on the Chinese market a lot. So there were some points raised, and then we have some concerns over that. And in Chinese market, there are some deteriorations of the brand equity. So we have that as the key risks. And we have been discussing as the Board how to tackle that. And the lessons learned is that because amid the environmental changes, the brand equity is deteriorated and the consumers' behavior has been changing and some initiatives taken to address that was slightly delayed.
So that was the kind of discussions we had a lot thoroughly at the BOD, and we need to look at the current latest market conditions and then demands of the consumers, and we need to listen to the voice of such consumers. And with that, we need to create the market where Shiseido can grow. And the Chinese market continues to be the very important market for the company and both executive officers as well as the BOD have that in mind, same understanding. But of course, we need to have a good performance, and we need to have actual results that we are playing in that.
And in terms of the U.S. market, structure reform and the profitability basis has been dramatically changing. And I believe the U.S. Head, [ Alberto Noé, ] now newly appointed. So under the Alberto-san's strong leadership, we are seeing some signs of changes, and we are monitoring -- overseeing their initiatives as the BOD. It is somewhat on track, but there are some sensitive topics as well.
So some elements that we are not able to provide some information to the market. But of course, BOD would like to oversee and give some support the initiatives in U.S. in the Drunk Elephant and other U.S. brands or business has been still difficult. But originally, that issue was triggered by the short of stock. But beyond that, we believe that there is an issue that the brand positioning has been changing. So we would like to share our thinking and also a viewpoint to the executive officers. And as a BOD, we would like to give some support. Thank you.
Thank you so much. Now I will ask Mr. Hatanaka about the action plan. So structural reform now will be implemented so that we'll be able to get out of the very critical situation. And then we would like to solidify our sustainable growth. And since November of last year, we tried to rebuild our basis for the future growth. And this action plan 2025 to 2026, how would you evaluate from the standpoint of oversight?
Yes. Thank you. So personal wellness beauty company, that is what we envision, and we are trying to offer some value to the consumers from the beauty perspective. This has not been changed. And then this is a key point, and we are taking the action plan. And of course, amid the changing market conditions, still the company needs to play the very resilient of the business.
And to build such a very solid foundation, this is very essential for the future growth of the company. And this action plan is now implementing under the implementation in coming 2 years. And then the target of 2026 is already disclosed. The ROIC target still is lower than WACC and the profit level is completely very much not satisfying level, meaning that the KPIs offered by the executives has to be broken down into the individual employees and then it's implementation of such actions, and we need to give some oversight and properly and then try to move and get out of this critical situation.
So we are supervising very tenaciously. And beyond that, for the future growth and then future opportunities. And we -- the company will begin the midterm plan starting next year. And that in a plan -- midterm plan will be disclosed within this year. Thank you.
The third question is about the remuneration system. And so we had implemented the relative TSR and ROIC will be introduced as the remuneration scheme in the LTI. And can you please elaborate on the background why the company adopted the remuneration system and also the expected returns? Hatanaka-san, can you please as you are the Chair of the remuneration committee?
Thank you. So the traditional -- the and LTI remuneration was the range increase has been focused on the core operating margin. But this core operating margin was the basis as of that time. However, for the annual incentives and annual -- the rate increase will be the focus. And then for all the invested capitals for the business -- core business, how the -- we were mindful about the improvement of the company growth as well as the corporate value improvement. So that is something -- a strong link between the incentive plan and the outcomes.
And as I mentioned, the action plans 2025 to 2026 has to be implemented properly and then the shareholder value is also to be improved eventually. That is the intention behind for this change. And also, the changes in the composition of the total remuneration for CEO, and this is the design in a way that long-term incentive would be more focused. And so that the CEO is more incentivized to address the matter properly in the long run.
And then there are some voices raised for this design. And continuously, we need to monitor the overall remuneration for the basic -- the weighting as well as the long-term incentives and also -- the annual pay rate. So we would like to make the further research on this.
Thank you so much. Now we would like to enter into the Q&A session. So I would like to explain how to proceed this. So we have some questions raised in advance. So the MC will read out for those previously raised questions. And then later, we would like to take some questions on verbal as well as chat. Now I would like to start reading the previously raised questions.
The first topic is about the skill sets of the BOD. Toward the shareholders' meeting in March 2026, what kind of new skill sets is necessary for BOD? Hatanaka-san, can you please answer?
As has been introduced and looking at the Japanese cosmetic market, it is shrinking. And looking at the China market, it is transitioning to a more mature market, so lower growth or stagnating growth. So that's the kind of external environment. And so outside -- when we look at the growth outside of Japan and China, that's a very important or a much needed priority for us to take in the market share of the other regions. So growth in the international market is inevitable, and that is something that the executive team as well as the Board is aware of.
And so for example, looking at the global companies and how they manage their business and/or the marketing experience. And also what can the Board of Directors do to give impactful oversight that is meaningful for the CEO and the executive officers. That is something that we look for and want to provide and support to make sure we continue to enhance on the growth.
Now for the executive officers, looking at the international marketing capabilities and the competitiveness, we need to strengthen the people and the growth of people as well. And that's something that has been requested. We need to bring in international people or educate the people and to enhance the capability, and that is something that the Board and the executive are seeking so that we, too, can elevate ourselves.
Thank you very much. Now the second question. We understand that the -- we understand that promoting structural reform requires simultaneous transformation of the organization's culture, which is time-consuming process. What initiatives has the company taken to ensure that all employees can embrace this cultural transformation? And additionally, how does the Board of Directors monitor the progress of the organization culture transformation across Shiseido as a whole? How does the BOD oversee the progress of the organization culture transformation across Shiseido as a whole? Can we maybe start with Ms. Gotoh?
So as we promote the structural reform, of course, simultaneously, we do need the organizational change. And -- but when we say that the organizational culture transformation, I believe that there are 2 points to this. One is through structural reform. When we say structural reform, people become more conservative or it's more about the shrinking and it may demotivate the employees.
But within that kind of environment, how do we promote the motivation of the employees so that the organization can continue to perform? That's the first point. Secondly, I think it's an extension of that. But how do we continue to make sure we have profit and also growth. How do we nurture that kind of mindset that's still under the structural reform, we continue to grow and grow the profit.
So when we did the structural reform, I believe that it was the same when we did the Japan structural reform. But why are we doing this? Why is the company trying to do a structural reform? We needed to clarify the objective and make sure we share that objective with the employees. In order to do so, we have had repetitive communication with the employees so that we have a thorough message as to why we need to do a structural reform. We are doing this in order for us to overcome the critical situation, but furthermore, for us to grow in the future, for Shiseido to grow in the future.
And we need to make sure everybody is convinced and understands why we're doing, and that is a very critical point for us to pursue the structural reform. And as for that, the BOD as well as executive leaders, we have had many, many discussions for these kind of communications. And I have mentioned a little bit earlier, but in the Audit Committee as well. We will look and give input. Maybe you're short of communication in this area, maybe it is better to do this kind of communication. If we need to, we will give input to the executive officers and request for an improvement. And so that to make sure that the employees have high motivation and can keep some motivation so that all the employees are aligned together in the objective to pursue what the company wants to pursue.
And currently, as we pursue the current structural reforms, that too, the leader of the executive officers or the leaders will go to each of the regions, have town hall meetings, and we'll continue to have the dialogue and communications with the employees and moreover, a big-sized town hall meeting to a smaller sized meetings as well when and where needed to make sure there is a dialogue with the employees.
What is Shiseido aiming to be? What does Shiseido want to be? And that's what I hear that the executive officers are doing. And starting with Mr. Fujiwara, the CEO of Shiseido. I believe that it's very agile. Even on an e-mail basis, we have very quick updates and quick communication so that the Board of Directors are fully aware of the current situation and progress as well and for us to be able to have the proper oversight. That is it from myself.
Thank you very much. Mr. Hatanaka, from you?
As a Board of Directors, looking at the overall Shiseido corporate culture, how do we oversee the Shiseido corporate culture? In general, what corporations would do is look at the engagement survey of the employees and look at the changes or we will have like an internal team competition, for example, to see how much or how many unique proposals will come internally. And we would do that to look at what kind of change and transition has happened in the company.
However, for me, what I prioritize or what I focus most is the management team, starting with the CEO, Mr. Fujiwara, the management team, their decision-making and the speed of execution and the agility, the speed. And to that, how focused are they on the return of investment. And those are the elements I focus on when I look at it from a Board perspective.
From the BOD, we will -- from a Board meeting, we will have a discussion with the Board and the Executive Directors, and we make sure that we have a full the communication and that is shared amongst -- across the company. And so that each of the individuals have accountability or responsibility, a sense of responsibility to make sure that they are part of the team. And so therefore, BOD and as for myself, as part of the Board member, how is the management changing? That is another -- so that's what I focus on as well.
Thank you very much. Now we've had many other advanced pre-asked questions. However, we do want to have a Q&A session from the people participating today. So as for the pre-asked question, we would like to close now. Thank you very much for your pre-asked questions. We would like to take a question from the floor or from the participants [Operator Instructions].
2. Question Answer
This is Kuwahara-san of JPMorgan. Can you hear me?
Yes.
Thank you for the session today. Hatanaka-san, I met you one year ago at similar meetings, so talking about the good balance between the growth and the risks. So today, I would like to ask you how you managed to improve the risk management? And how you -- what kind of communications have you had in the past year, especially for the second quarter of last year, in the U.S., there was a system -- IT system trouble, and that caused the delay of delivery to the customer. So I think it was a very critical issue occurred because of that. And so the system upgrade has now been halted because of such difficulties. And in the manufacturing side, I hear that. So do you have any kind of risk management? And what kind of communications you've had for this kind of risks?
And in terms of the -- there are some tariffs changing these days. So are there any geopolitical risks are also rising? So can you please elaborate on that?
Yes. Thank you. So first of all, in terms of the IT system trouble caused last year, yes, we recognize that as the big deterioration in terms of brand equity. So we take it very seriously. And the BOD as a communication to the executive officers was not just reported only the things happened, but how -- what kind of measures they took against such failure or some system troubles and what will be the next step to address such situation. So we do not undermine the speed of the execution, but still the executives need to manage multiple risks with a great speed. So that's the kind of communications that we had to the executive officers.
And in terms of the approaches, plan B or plan c has to be always prepared. And since the BOD communicate that way, I believe the executive officers have the more focus on the -- these kind of risks and also the emerging situations.
And your second question, geopolitical risks and the tariff negotiations. I believe that everybody in the world is now focusing on this topic and then very much take it as a big risk. And from Shiseido perspective, what is the big risk on that? We ask the executive officers to clarify what's the challenges that we face and ask them up to date on that topic.
And as was explained -- shared earlier, since the situation was changing day by day, as we learned from yesterday's news. So things cannot be determined and then it's done. It's not the case. So we have to be more agile in the situations that might change every day. So that is the kind of situations or communications I always have.
And in the previous case, like the second quarter last year of the issue, and you mentioned that the plan B and the response, very agile response for such risks emerging one by one. And I believe these initiatives the company took in the past year, do you believe that the company's initiatives are quite advanced or accelerated?
Yes. I believe that there are more of a sensitivity against the risks and also the response towards such issues. And also the challenges of the profitability from the multifaceted perspective, executive officers took the very speedy initiatives. And I believe they had a big improvement in the past year.
Next is [ Osada Keizo ] from JPMorgan Asset Management.
My name is Osada. Can you hear me? Just one question, I believe. So let me see. The Board of Directors, the financial capability -- for the future, can you share me -- for the future, can you share with me some of the items from the past? So for example, Personal Care business has been sold and U.S. Prestige makeup the sales of the U.S. Prestige cosmetic business. Now after the deal has been closed, the impression on the investor -- from the investors is that after the deal has been done or finished, there's something that's beneficial to the company.
So whether it's the Personal Care business or the factory being sold or the U.S. prestige brand that got sold, it was on the seller note, and that was not disclosed at the timing of the deal being done or the deal closing, but there was a seller note. So there's all these options and the kind of financial complexity that happens when the deal is done. Is the Board of Directors really understanding? Is the Board really understanding the details of the deal? And were they aware?
And now look going forward, what are you thinking of it? And if there was a deterioration or if there was a problem with the impact to the profitability, then what happens? Is there any actions to that? So I just want to make sure, I believe when the deals were done, Mr. Hatanaka, you were not on the board. But from the learning from the past, what have you seen, observed and what will you be doing for the future so that these kind of items will not happen? And I have...
Mr. Hatanaka is to respond, but I myself was a part of the Board. So I would like to respond. Two items that you have brought up. One is on beneficial conditions in terms of the deal. As for that kind of deal that was done as a Board, we had -- I would like to say that we were aware and have that kind of discussion. But with that in mind, it was during the structural reform done during the COVID times.
But as we promote and continue the structural reform, we have to do this. We have to do it now, and we should do this now even with this kind of conditions. And that as a result, comprehensively, we had the discussion and decided to make that deal at the time. So the Board was aware.
Second, it was an external member that was part of a [ fund ] that made this beneficial contract happen to the Shiseido [ side ]. We made sure that there is a discrepancy -- if there's a firewall with the information. So that the materials are not shared and this person will not participate in the discussions.
Of course, we do have a legal team, the lawyers join us so that there is no breach and leak of information. And as a Board, we have had that confirmation is what I remember. We were thorough that, that kind of information leak or breach of information had not happened.
Now for myself, I would like to say some point. But as mentioned, of course, this is -- managing a business continues as of what needs to be done at the moment. So the management and the Board made the decision that was best at the time, understanding there may be risks, but that was the best option, the best decision at the time and have decided to do that. So I believe that, that's what happened in the past. The current -- that company's current situation, looking at the changes in the competitors, looking at the changes in the clients and the market, now looking at some changes in the market and using that for governance, I think -- so I believe that whatever happens in the past, we just use it as a learning.
Maybe if I can add on to that. Thank you very much. Going forward, for the future, this is kind of like a request from the investor side. So in the past, when this deal was announced -- in the material when this deal was announced, they had nothing about the optioned of the deal content. So from the investor's side, we have to make decisions as an investor on the superficial side.
And even after the deal was done, we look at some of the securities report and as for that seller note that was mentioned. Even in the contract or in the securities report, it wasn't mentioned. And then for the Personal Care business, too, in 2024. As for the summer exit, when they were preparing to do the IPO and when the sales of the factory was to happen, it was not mentioned in the explanation at the time. And so as an investor, we read what's on the superficial material that is given to us but later on hear the bad news, the negative news is what -- how we perceive it.
So just going forward, we would like to have this information shared. I do understand that maybe you couldn't due to disclosure issues of the deal. However, if there is a demeriting option when the deal is done, at the right timing, whether it's through IR material, through the securities report, if you can give us a report, that would be meaningful. So that's just my honest opinion as an investor. If you can maybe share with us your opinion around that.
Thank you very much for your valuable input. And now going forward, the input you have given us, the disclosure or the contents that we disclosed, we -- it has to be fair, it should be fair and to all of the investors, we need to make sure that it is appropriate -- the information is appropriately disclosed to the investors to help with your investment judgments, and we will do our best to do so.
Thank you very much for that. I'll move on to the next question. [ Mitsui ] Sumitomo Trust Asset Management. Koguchi-san, floor is yours.
This is Koguchi of Mitsui Sumitomo Trust Asset Management. Can you hear me?
Yes.
So my question is that amid difficult business performance, so we may have to accept, but I would like to raise a question about your share price. Earlier, you said that the remuneration structure, you wanted to take in the shareholders' viewpoint. So I think you might have the view as the challenging situation of the share price. And still, your share price is hovering at the low level. And what kind of discussions does the BOD have? And what advises the directors communicate to the executive officers? So those are my questions.
Thank you for your question. Yes, we also consider this as the concern and we always considering the share price and the IR division as well as the executive officers are now gathering some market view and the investors' voices. And almost all every BOD, we are checking the market reactions and the Shiseido company -- at Shiseido, what was missing? What is lacking? And certain topics that we've already addressed properly. And those are the things that we are always discussing and sharing the situations.
And in terms of the share price, the BOD are always mindful about the creation or improvement of the shareholder value. And as we talked about the remuneration system design, and you talked about that earlier in your question. But the -- as the corporate organization, why Shiseido is put in the current difficult situation, we need to communicate to overall company and each individual employee may not understand about their daily activities to the end -- the share price, it might be rather difficult to understand that. But we try to ask the executive officer to communicate that into the day-to-day business of each employee department level and organization level and the ROIC and all the other indicators have to be always mindful. So we ask executive officers to communicate, cascade it down to each individual.
So I know that before your performance is returned, it's rather difficult. But you may need to do -- and also, if your communication is better to the market, then you -- the market -- the reaction would be improved. So please do so.
Now [indiscernible].
[indiscernible] from Independent Franchise Partners. Thank you very much for sharing your views with shareholders. We really appreciate it. So management is making really good progress towards that 7% operating margin target. And you acknowledged as well that the 5% return on invested capital is currently below Shiseido's cost of capital. Could you share with us how the Board thinks about the time line for returning Shiseido's return on capital to at least its cost of capital, please?
Thank you very much for your question. And I may be repeating myself, but for 2026, the OPM and the ROIC -- for 2026, that's something that we -- that's the first milestone that we need to achieve in 2026, and that's something that we will try to do. So the plan moving forward, 2027 and onwards, that is not disclosed. So to your question, in detail, what kind of time line, what kind of speed, how do we see it, what's the time line, we cannot disclose the detailed time line.
However, as a global beauty company, Shiseido aspires to be that we benchmark these global competitors, and they have this double-digit OP margin. And the big -- the higher OP margin companies are very steadily achieving these double digits. And of course, there are different differences in the situation. But looking at the global competitors, we, as a BOD, want to improve and try to grow to the level of the global competitors. And that's something that we are requesting. And we want to support the executive officers in achieving that going forward.
Takashi Miyazaki.
Yes, this is Takashi Miyazaki of Goldman Sachs. Today's explanation, you explained that the company Shiseido established a good framework. And for the external directors and the BOD is working quite well. And the way the executive officers work is also improving. And so I learned that today, and there is the sign of improvement. So thank you for that. But to be honest, in terms of the business performance, there is no big improvement yet. So what is the difficulties behind? And what kind of the understanding of the BOD have for that?
What is the root cause of why your business performance is not improving yet? In terms of the brand and maybe your Shiseido brand or some other brands have been difficult or some strategy is not working well or the macro economy is affecting your business, so what is your viewpoint? And when you make the judgment, do you find all the necessary information are available to make your judgment? And -- or do you find that some missing information or how you would you evaluate on that? Or if you can share your thinking, can you please -- that will be great.
Thank you for your question. Where these current difficult situation comes from? So I think that is your question. So first, I can say before COVID-19 pandemic, the company grew significantly globally, especially the Chinese consumer market, not just the China market, travel retail market and Japanese inbound business grew significantly, and we were able to capture the demand of such consumers. And that there was a rally from such big jump after the COVID-19 pandemic. That is my -- our understanding.
And earlier, Gotoh-san explained partially that the China business, we are undertaking the structural reform on China business and also Japanese structural reform as well and also the U.S. structural reform is moving as planned. That means that the growth we enjoy before COVID, and there were some infrastructure supported that growth has to be reshaped suitable for the current market demand or conditions. That is one thing that we need to address.
And as you mentioned, that the key brands, core brands, their brand equity has to be communicated well to the consumers. We have not well conveyed the good value of the key brands. So that is another thing that we need to improve in terms of the communication. And so that means that the structural reform to operate or to manage the company and also core brands that will lead our growth, we need to improve the communications and our activities to improve their brand equity. So those 2 are our key focus. And that is already reflected in our action plans and also the upcoming midterm plan to be released by the end of this year. In that midterm plan, we would like to expect those 2 key things.
So the midterm plan to be released. So the starting year is next year or 2 years from now? I forgot.
Well, the current midterm plan shift and beyond that is ongoing, that is the plan until the end of 2025. So that means that upcoming midterm plans will start in 2026. So that is what we are discussing with the Executive Officers.
Oliver Matthew?
About the new midterm plan, more of a comment, but now you have put in place a new remuneration system for management and staff linked to the share price. I think the amount is still too small given the huge changes that need to be made. So would the Compensation Committee consider a much larger share price-linked package? I think you disclosed recently JPY 1 billion, but this seems to be missing maybe by a factor of 10 or 20 to try to get the kind of teamwork needed across the company. So I hope you can consider now you're in the right direction on remuneration, a much larger, more significant package that would connect shareholders to management incentives.
Thank you very much for your comment. Incentive to the management, to that comment. So to provide an impactful compensation to the CEO is very important. And also to the management team, what do they look for? What do they seek for? It becomes a very important message. But the reality is, as mentioned before, the current ROIC is below the WACC, the current WACC. And so therefore, we do need to keep in mind for the progress of the company's performance. But with that in mind, we do want to consider to think in the direction of a remuneration package that will grow the business. And then also though and to what size or what -- how much are we going to scale up the share price linked compensation package. And as the last, whether it's not what the BOD or the Remuneration Committee will think about. But we wanted to be competitive to the management team, too, so that we can provide to an appealing and competitive package to the employees, too. So of course, as a Board, we will advise on that accordingly.
Yamanaka-san, the floor is yours.
SMBC Nikko, Yamanaka speaking. And most recently, what kind of agenda that the BOD had or spending a lot of hours or minutes on the first particular topic. If you don't mind, can you please share such agenda because this is a link from the previous question, which is a linkage between the LTI. So are there any mindset change in the executive officers? I think the company is now moving towards a global perspective or still the structural reform is a more focus point. So how the management is viewing these situations, can you please share with us?
Thank you so much for your question. So I personally believe that the key topic that the BOD had, that is, I believe, the first question. So at the BOD, we focused on the mid- to long-term growth scenario and also the action plan, the progress to date and the brand equity, rebuilding brand equity and the geopolitical risks. And those are the biggest topics or agendas that we spend a lot of time.
And earlier, the remuneration system changed that we implemented and what -- because of that change, our viewpoint or management viewpoint changed and first of all, CEO, Fujiwara-san's message is that to accomplish this action plan properly to the end. So that will lead to the future growth. And this linkage between the action plan to the future growth. So he mentioned that clearly. So as the BOD, of course, we view that the prior growth was very important and significant, but the current difficult situation for low growth and low profitability, we need to exit from the current situations.
And then we need to rebuild ourselves into the infrastructure or the format where we can have the more resilient growth. And as we explained in the action plans, we spend additional marketing -- the spending. So that means that we do not forget about the growth investment. But those kind of a strong message was already communicated from the CEO himself. So it's whether -- there were any kind of changes because of this incentive plan. But rather, I think the action plans and the long-term growth is fully understood and penetrated among all the employees.
Thank you very much. We have 2 more minutes remaining. Maybe we will take one last question. And I would like to pick that last question up from the chat.
[ Manabe-san ]. So ROIC is below the WACC level, and so profitability improvement is a critical and urgent issue. However, I do not see a change in the cost structure as a fundamental improvement. So what is the reason do you think that there is no fundamental structural reform to resolve the situation?
Thank you very much for this question. And as we have been mentioning, the current profitability, we too feel a big deal of concern and feel a very big sense of urgency and the structural reform and all the structural reforms that are continuing to work on their reforms in other regions. So what is happening in the manufacturing side, what is each of the regions experiencing. So when we say structural reform, we are trying to do that in all aspects of the business.
Now with a company that has become so global to do a structural reform of such a global company, it does take some time. To that, the investors and the market -- the constituents in the market, they feel that the speed of things are not quick, and we do hear that as a feedback that we're not moving quick enough. However, looking at the action plan for 2025 to 2026, the items that we had shared with you on that, if we can achieve what's on the action plan '25 to '26, then that is something that will give us the leverage to grow faster for the future. So please give us some time and give us a good evaluation on what we actually achieved through the action plan that is in front of us right now.
Thank you very much. Now we would like to close the Q&A session. And with that, we would like to close today's session. Thank you very much for your participation today.
[Statements in English on this transcript were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]
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Shiseido — Special Call - Shiseido Company, Limited
Finanzdaten von Shiseido
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 973.709 973.709 |
0 %
0 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 225.781 225.781 |
0 %
0 %
23 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 747.928 747.928 |
1 %
1 %
77 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 726.645 726.645 |
1 %
1 %
75 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 47.621 47.621 |
52 %
52 %
5 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 71.278 71.278 |
5 %
5 %
7 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | -23.657 -23.657 |
201 %
201 %
-2 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | -35.995 -35.995 |
837 %
837 %
-4 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen JPY.
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Firmenprofil
Shiseido Co., Ltd. beschäftigt sich mit der Herstellung und dem Verkauf von Kosmetika für Männer und Frauen. Sie ist in den folgenden Segmenten tätig: Japan, China, Asien-Pazifik, Amerika, Europa, Mittel- und Afrika (EMEA), Reiseeinzelhandel, Professional und andere. Die Segmente Japan, China, Asien-Pazifik, Nord- und Südamerika und EMEA verkaufen Kosmetik-, Parfüm- und Körperpflegeprodukte mit Kernmarken wie Shiseido, clé de peau BEAUTÉ, ELIXIR, MAQUILLAGE, AUPRES, urara, TSUBAKI, Za und narciso rodriguez in den entsprechenden Regionen. Das Reiseeinzelhandelssegment verkauft die Marken Shiseido, clé de peau BEAUTÉ, bareMinerals und NARS in Flughafen-Duty-free-Shops mit Ausnahme von Japan. Das Segment Professional verwaltet den Verkauf von Schönheitsprodukten in Japan, China und Asien. Das Segment Others ist für die Produktion und das Frontier-Science-Geschäft zuständig. Es umfasst auch das Restaurantgeschäft. Das Unternehmen wurde am 17. September 1872 von Arinobu Fukuhara gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Tokio, Japan.
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| Hauptsitz | Japan |
| CEO | Mr. Fujiwara |
| Mitarbeiter | 26.330 |
| Gegründet | 1872 |
| Webseite | corp.shiseido.com |


