SECURITAS Aktienkurs
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 86,97 Mrd. kr | Umsatz (TTM) = 151,72 Mrd. kr
Marktkapitalisierung = 86,97 Mrd. kr | Umsatz erwartet = 151,91 Mrd. kr
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 119,14 Mrd. kr | Umsatz (TTM) = 151,72 Mrd. kr
Enterprise Value = 119,14 Mrd. kr | Umsatz erwartet = 151,91 Mrd. kr
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
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SECURITAS — Analyst/Investor Day - Securitas AB (publ)
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Securitas Capital Markets Day 2026. Thank you so much for joining us here in London, and thank you for joining us over the webcast. I'm Micaela Sjokvist, and I'm heading up the IR function at Securitas. During this morning, we will have a great team presenting, and we will have 2 Q&A sessions, and we will also have a long break allowing for both coffee and for 2 demos. Demos that will show our risk intelligence services and our digitization journey. So don't miss them. But now, let's start, and let me introduce to you Securitas President and CEO, Magnus Ahlqvist.
Thank you, Micaela, and it's wonderful to see everyone here at the London Stock Exchange. And if I look at the right place, also a warm welcome, everyone, who is joining us on the webcast. So today, we want to share our perspective on the security industry and what the clients are looking for in a leading security partner. But we will also talk about why Securitas is well positioned to benefit, but also to take a leadership position in the next phase.
And if you look at the last phase, we have, in the last couple of years or the last 5, 6 years, built a stronger, sharper and also more digitally capable Securitas. So we have a foundation today to move from transformation to profitable growth. And when you look at the next phase in our growth strategy, this is really about helping our clients in a more complex risk environment. It's helping them with security that is more connected and also more intelligence-led. And our ambition, as we've been working with our strategy internally, you always have to then highlight what you call the strategy and the kind of the wanted position.
And for us, that is to be the trusted partner in intelligence-led security. And in the past month, I had the opportunity to meet over 300 clients in Paris just last week and also in Orlando in the U.S. a couple of weeks ago. And based on all of those conversations, I'm more confident than ever about our strategy and that we're well positioned for the next phase. So today, you will hear about the quality of our business. You will hear about the scale of our business, and we will also talk about what intelligence-led security is all about.
But before we begin, let's just take a brief look at the progress that we have made. So I think over the last 5 to 6 years, I know many of you are following us closely, and you heard us talk about significant transformation, heavy lifting, but we've also driven quite a lot of progress in that one. We have invested a lot in our capabilities, strengthening leadership. And here, obviously, very happy that I have a number of great leaders and colleagues with me here today.
But we've also then been investing a lot in building our digital backbone that will enable us to scale and to build the business for the next phase. So when you look at a few of the highlights, starting with the Technology business. Our technology team have done tremendous work with the integration of Stanley Security. And they're creating Securitas Technology, which is now one of the leading Technology businesses in the world.
We've also strengthened our focus on execution capability. Stronger leadership, like I said, emphasis on accountability and also driving execution certainty. And we have greatly also improved our services and Guarding business. So we have Jorge and Henrik here who've done tremendous work in terms of upskilling, digitalizing the Guarding business, but then also doing a lot of the work with active portfolio management, and that's helped us also enhance the quality of the business to a level where we haven't been in the past.
And like I said, we built a digital backbone to scale. And I got the question many times from you, what are all of these investments that you're doing? And I hope that today, you're going to see the pieces also coming together as we are sharing how we're also starting to scale these digital capabilities to the benefit of our clients and also to the business. And when I look at this, this work is also translating into tangible results.
So we delivered on the 8% operating margin target that we communicated in 2022. And thanks also to solid profitability and cash conversion, we have also reduced our net debt to EBITDA now to 2.1. So we have a really healthy balance sheet. And all of this is thanks to building stronger partnership with our clients and doing that at scale. And we have been driving a lot of focus on client centricity since I started as CEO. And I'm glad to say that today, we're building deeper relationships with our clients, and we have a client retention rate just above 90%.
And this is important when you look at the growth opportunity because we have a really good group of clients that we can grow with over the next phase. Another focus that we've had is also building our scalable business. And today, what we call recurring monthly revenue is more than SEK 1 billion per month. So we are ready for the next phase. And today, we're also then announcing our new financial targets, and we are shifting the emphasis from the margin improvement to profitable growth.
And we're updating our financial targets with a 10% EPS growth target over a cycle. We've also been trying to sharpen the business, like I said. So we're also then increasing the cash conversion or the cash flow target to 80% to 90% and also the net debt to EBITDA to be below 2.5. And we are maintaining a strong 50% to 60% dividend policy. But to be clear, margin discipline that we have and the profitability remains central to how we are growing the business, and we're also maintaining the long-term ambition to get to 10% operating margin.
But what changes now is that now we're combining that discipline with an increasing focus on driving profitable growth. And we are really well positioned with our clients and also when you look at the external dynamics in the market to be able to drive this. And Matteo will go through a lot more detail also in his section in terms of what underpins the EPS target. But with that, let us now shift the focus to the future. So if you simplify a little bit, you can say that the last part was very much about building key capabilities. It was about sharpening our business and about the margin delivery.
And the next phase is now to leverage this foundation and the capabilities we have to then be able to bring more connected, more scalable solutions for our clients and also for Securitas. And it's very much about winning in a really exciting phase for the security industry. But before I talk about how we win, let me just share a few perspectives in terms of the dynamics in the market. And I think you all know, I've said many times that this is a very conservative industry.
But I firmly believe that the next 5 years are going to be more transformative than the last 25 years that we have seen in our industry. And why is this? Well, we obviously have quite a turbulent situation geopolitically. But if you look at this from our industry perspective, the change drivers are very much related to advances in technology, automation and AI. And those shifts are really now changing how security is delivered, how it's valued and also how it's being bought. And already today, when you look at artificial intelligence, it's starting to have an impact on our industry and the value chain.
So let me just share a few examples because I think these are important to also then have as context. And when I look at this, you will see that there is a number of different opportunities and dynamics where there is an impact. And if you're starting with the design, there is real opportunity to now optimize AI to design the security equation in a new way. But we also see significant opportunity in detection. So when you look at detection, when we have overlaid AI on top of existing camera infrastructure, we are seeing tremendous benefit in terms of the monitoring, reduction of false alarms, and this is also then helping us and optimize the resource allocation and the response.
And then you look at delivery. And here, I also think that we're going to see a really profound impact in our business. And this is obviously our opportunity to augment our security technicians that we have, the security officers that we have in the front line, which will enable them to have better knowledge and intelligence at their fingertips. This is going to be really positive also for continuing our journey of enhancing the productivity, investing more in our employees and also then adding higher value to our clients.
And then we have operational optimization. And this is something I've also mentioned in the last couple of years, looking at Europe, in particular, where Henrik and the team have also been leveraging AI to optimize our branch structure and to drive operational optimization. This is something that we have also started to scale across the entire business. So there's no doubt that there is going to be real impact and opportunities related to AI and automation.
But important for anyone in our Services business, which is still quite people-intensive is that you need modern platforms and you also need to be digitalized end-to-end to be able to capitalize on the opportunities presented. And Matt, Jonas and Serdar will provide more insights and examples during the coming sections. But when you look at these trends about AI, they are evident, like I said, in the dialogue with our clients. And we will talk about what the clients are looking for in a security partner for the next phase, but these are just a few major themes that I see are important and that we are hearing in our dialogue with them.
So first, just continuing on the AI theme, they are looking to capitalize on the opportunities presented with AI. But they're also very clear that the complexity for them is increasing. So they also need a trusted partner who can help and integrate, makes sense and also then operationalize to drive real value from the AI opportunities presented. Another important one is the clients also see that it's a more complex risk landscape, and they're also looking for a partner who can help and be more intelligence-led.
So that means essentially more on top of the risk of the threats that are facing their business. And then we have 2 other things that are not new, but that are important. And one of those is the emphasis on quality. Because when you look at this industry, we have seen in our market research and also when we go out and ask also customers that are not companies -- that are not customers of Securitas, quite often that the expectation in terms of quality is higher than the perceived delivery.
And that's obviously a gap when we talk about our strategy. Brian will also talk about how we also intend to close that gap and to do that consistently. And then last but not least, there is a continuous pressure on value for money. So everyone wants to do more with the same amount of money or some even with less. And I think this is also an important [ one where ] we're also well positioned with our capabilities to make that work. So when you look at these trends, this is exactly in line with what I heard also just last week when we were together with 100 clients in Paris.
But if you then move the perspective from the clients and when you look at the markets, we are fortunate to be operating in large and also expanding markets. And this is a picture that illustrates the 3 main areas where we are present. So when I look at security services, this is obviously primarily different types of guarding capabilities. And here, you're seeing a USD 240 (sic) [ 245 ] billion market. And we believe that roughly half of this market is addressable market for us.
And then just to qualify what addressable means, that means obviously where we are geographically present, but it's also where we have customers that are -- that place emphasis on compliance and quality, but who are also willing to pay for it. So it's a very significant market, around 3% CAGR is what we are foreseeing over the next 5 years. And then you look at the technology market and technology for us, that's systems integration, it's monitoring and remote services, and it's also the important maintenance in terms of the technology that we have installed for the clients.
And this then is roughly USD 130 billion market. And here, you also see that we have roughly 3/4, which is then addressable market share for us. You also see a slightly higher growth rate in the technology space, which I also think is normal given the trends that we are seeing. And then we have what is partly new to us, security risk management intelligence. And that's obviously -- it's not a small market, but in comparison to the other 2, it's fairly small.
But here, we are seeing significantly higher growth rate. And one of the drivers there is this increasing need for intelligence and working in a more dynamic way. When you look at Securitas, we are 100% security and safety focused. And this obviously means that this provides significant runway for us to grow market share and also to drive growth. And we have deep expertise in all 3 areas. And we're going to talk about today how we also then capture that value. So to summarize this section about the market itself, we see significant amount of change in the next 5 years.
We see that our clients are looking for a trusted partner who can help them in an increasingly complex, but also more promising type of situation or context. And we are fortunate to operate in large and also expanding markets. So let us then shift to our strategy and how we are winning in this next phase. And as I mentioned at the beginning, our strategy is to be the trusted partner in intelligence-led security. And our strategy has been built for this shift, and we have the assets and the capabilities to lead it.
So this is a simple or somewhat simplified illustration of how we think about fully integrated and intelligence-led security. And at the core, this is a fairly simple idea. So you're starting with the client's risk posture. We use intelligence to understand what is changing and then you adapt and mitigate the response accordingly. And this is obviously how you then go from intelligence or information that becomes intelligence and that we then translate into action.
And this is how security is becoming more dynamic, more targeted, but also more value focused. So now let me take you into the future a bit, and I'm going to show a video now just to share a little bit how we security -- how we see security evolving in the next 5 to 10 years and also what the clients of tomorrow are looking for in a security partner. And this is just to provide some context to why our strategy matters, but also then why we have the assets and why we're building the assets to lead in this context.
[Presentation]
So I hope that this gives you a sense of how we think security is evolving in the next phase. It shows the future client needs, fully integrated intelligence model -- intelligence-led model, which is then required to address it and to be able to work in that way. And in a few moments, Matt and Jonas will come back or come up on the stage, and they will give you a lot more detail to share what this looks like in real practice.
But let me just share a few more words about the strategy and our capabilities. So we have built 3 areas in security services, technology and security risk management. And when you look at these areas, each is strong, each is capable also to win based on the depth of expertise, the quality and the efficiency based on which we are running these businesses today. But the real differentiator is that we are able to connect these different capabilities in the next phase.
One integrated model which is giving the clients fewer interfaces, better coordination and also more value. And this is how we win share as clients move increasingly towards integrated solutions. And then you might ask the question, is this for everyone, and that will not be the case. One size doesn't fit all. Starting points are going to be different, and the ideal security partnership will also differ.
But I included this slide also to share a little bit how we are driving growth and how we think about growth. So when I look at this one, we have a number of clients who are just single service today. But as we win trust, and as their security needs are changing, we're also in a good position to move into more of a multiservice type of engagement. But then we also have the opportunity to migrate over to more fully integrated and intelligence-led relationship. And later, Brian is going to show you how we are doing this with our global clients, but I just want to say already now that what Brian is sharing about the global clients which is roughly 20% of our business, it's equally applicable across all the large and national clients that we have in our base as well.
So this is very much about winning. It's about expanding and it's about integrating in terms of how we are then leveraging the client base that we have to capture more value and to drive more growth, but at the same time, also increasing the value that we provide for our clients. And we have also now been after the last phase of a lot of building and transformation, we have also now start to put incentive programs in place to also then be able to incentivize the different parts of the business to also then work more related to the client and also then to increase the synergies and the share of wallet.
But when we are doing that and becoming more intelligence-led, we also then have more connected services. And this is also then helping and driving the recurring revenue. And the recurring revenue is a real proof point that the strategy that we have is working. So as we expand technology footprint and connected services, we then, at the same time, emphasize the integrated and intelligence led, we also then increased the share of revenue that is predictable, scalable and higher margin.
So we're building a more connected business in the next phase with stronger client relationships, higher scalability, more resilient revenue and also profit base. And this is important because there is higher stickiness also with the clients, and there is also significantly higher margin profile on these types of services.
So our strategy is simple. We want to lead this intelligence-led shift, scale innovation and win together with our clients. And these are the drivers of our next phase of EPS growth. So in the next sections now with Matt and Jonas, you're going to hear a lot about intelligence-led security and what is this all about. Serdar will talk about innovation and AI so that you would also get a better sense in terms of how is this evolving now and what's our view and the role that we are able to take in this space.
And then like I said, Brian will talk about how we are winning the clients, how we're scaling quality, but how we also then essentially work in that model that I shared with single service, multi-service and also then integrated model for the benefit of the client but also for the benefit of Securitas. And then after the break, Matteo will then provide more detail on the finance and also then guiding you through the thinking behind the financial targets.
But if you're looking at the first 4 here, these are really the engines of our growth for the next phase. And the rest of the presentations, we will just provide more proof points and hopefully also much better understanding of how we make this work. And then I just want to say that during the break, Micaela mentioned briefly that we will also then have demo sessions.
And I encourage all of you spend time with Mike, spend time with Lauren because there we will also share things that are not part of the presentation here, where we are showing how we are working intelligence-led but also fully digital in our business today.
So I think that is also really, really important for, for your understanding in terms of what is the type of machine that we have now built. But before handing over, let me just close with the most important point. And that is that the future of security industry and who is going to win is not going to be defined by presence alone, by technology alone or data alone, it's really about the winners will be those who can connect all 3.
Turn intelligence into action, and that is the advantage that we are now building at Securitas. We have local and global presence. We have global capabilities, strong client relationships and the expertise to be able to lead this shift. This is already happening today with our clients, and we see significant opportunity to drive profitable growth. So now I would like to welcome Matt Ellis and Jonas Florvik on the stage and maybe just then a special welcome to Matt because he has been a customer of Securitas for the last 10 years. He was leading and building the world's largest -- one of the world's largest security programs at Amazon. He joined us on the 1st of April, so it's a flying start, but it's really great to have you both on the team. So warm welcome.
Hello, everyone. As you saw in the earlier video from Magnus, Securitas is moving conventional security services toward adaptive intelligence-led solutions, combining risk intelligence, guarding and technology into one connected ecosystem. Now the dynamic model shown, the one that was shown in the video, just able to adjust in real time to changing risks is where we're heading. But there are clear steps for us to take in the journey for us to get there.
Steps like providing all of our frontline security officers with threat information and intelligence, steps like providing AI-enabled risk assessments whenever clients engage Securitas with services and steps like integrating technology, guarding and AI in a risk-based way into a turnkey solution for clients. And that is why Securitas has created SRM. I've worked in large-scale corporate security for over 15 years, and this industry has long talked about the desire to be intelligence-led and risk-based. And what's historically held back industry has been the lack of technology and the difficulty in scaling and implementing solutions.
And that has changed. The technology now exists and the innovation over the past 2 or 3 years has materially expanded what is possible. Clients now face a different challenge, choosing the right technology, integrating that into their existing environments and building and operating the models needed to deliver measurable security outcomes and efficiencies without introducing risk. And this is where Securitas can lead.
We are positioned to deliver intelligence-led security at scale, giving clients proactive decision-making advantages, strengthening their resilience, improving their efficiency and reinforcing our role as the trusted adviser. So I am new to Securitas, I joined about 2 months ago in my role as the President of Security Risk Management. And as I mentioned, I joined from a background leading large-scale security programs in industry. And through that experience, I have seen firsthand what intelligence-led and risk-based security can deliver when it's implemented effectively at scale. I've also seen that very, very few organizations have the internal resources, the expertise, the operational capacity required to build and sustain these capabilities on their own.
And coming from that environment, I've also been able to see the pent-up demand across the market for more adaptive intelligence-led solutions. There is a huge appetite from clients today, yet there are currently very few providers capable of delivering these services in a truly integrated and meaningful way and none that can offer them at scale. And that's exactly what clients are asking Securitas for and something that I've heard consistently since joining.
The challenges that they describe are familiar to me, integrating intelligence, technology and operations into a connected security model that improves outcomes while remaining scalable, resilient and, of course affordable. In my previous role leading corporate security at Amazon, I was responsible for over 500 locations around the world and support of over 350,000 employees. And experiences like that are what give me the confidence that Securitas is uniquely positioned and capable to lead the next evolution of security. I'd now like to introduce you to my colleague, Jonas Florvik, the VP of Securitas Risk Intelligence.
Thank you, Matt. And as Matt said, very few organization can deliver -- truly deliver intelligence-led security at scale. This is exactly the journey that we have started at Securitas. Since a couple of years, we have now digitalized our operations and how we interact with our clients through the client interface, MySecuritas. Today, we handle, for example, more than 3.6 million guard report a month in the platforms, together with that we have 80,000 active client users interacting with us through MySecuritas.
At the same time, we have built a baseline in AI, not as a future concept but embedded into our service today. Serdar will soon speak more about what we do within the space of AI. So my name is Jonas Florvik, I have been leading the client digitalization and AI initiatives within Securitas. From today and further on, my focus will be Securitas Risk Intelligence as part of shaping how we deliver intelligence-led security to our clients. I will also today share with you 2 examples on what we're already doing with our client. But before that, Matt, intelligence-led.
So intelligence-led security is about bringing together security services, technology and security risk management into a single ecosystem for our clients. And where this is really effective is when we can do it through a single-client interface. The investment in SRM, Securitas now has all of the component parts required to deliver intelligence-led security at scale. And intelligence-led security is not simply about collecting more information, it's about turning information into better decisions and better outcomes.
Our risk assessments will be providing clients with up-to-date view of the risk across their sites and their portfolios as threats and vulnerabilities evolve over time. From there, security planning can become adaptive rather than static. Site-specific security programs, post orders, incident response plans can all be tailored to the operational environment and continuously updated based upon events and intelligence. And our monitoring capabilities will combine public information, proprietary intelligence, client data, guard force reporting, technology systems and more to create continuously monitored operating pictures.
Of course, automation and AI will help filter and prioritize these signals at scale, allowing analysts and operators to focus their attention where it matters the most. And those signals can be transformed into finished intelligence and actionable insights delivered through MySecuritas directly to our clients and to our frontline security teams, reducing the noise, accelerating the decisions and triggering predefined operational responses in response to evolving and changing threats. And ultimately, this all must lead to action. Guards, technology, intelligence, operational workflows are all orchestrated together to proactively prevent incidents and to be able to respond more rapidly.
Of course, importantly, AI is an enabler for our guard force and not a replacement for it. The role of AI is to support our offices with faster insights, improved decision-making and allowing them to operate more effectively and more proactively so we can have greater impact for our clients. Intelligence-led security at scale relies upon 3 fundamentals: the ability to collect threat information at a global scale, the ability to translate that into actionable intelligence and the ability to deliver operational outcomes through execution, prepare, monitor, act.
SRM consists of 3 separate business groups, each of which will continue to be successful in its own right, supporting its customers as they do today. But collectively, they create something far more powerful, the ability to deliver integrated intelligence-led security solutions at a global scale. These 3 groups are Liferaft, a cloud-based threat intelligence SaaS platform that scales monitoring, alerting and investigations as well as frontline intelligence. This is how we collect threat intelligence data at scale. Liferaft scans billions of online posts and data points every day, generating approximately 10 million notifications each month and filtering those down into a few hundred highly relevant alerts per customer use case.
This provides the large-scale monitor layer that automates the collection and the triage, dramatically increasing the speed and the scale of the coverage of our threat monitoring across people, places, events and emerging risks. Securitas Risk Intelligence, 24/7 analyst-led intelligence capability that transforms global threat signals into curated, actionable risk insights. This is where threat data becomes intelligence and decision support. And on average, Securitas Risk Intelligence delivers more than 1,250 intelligence briefs and reviews over 20,000 events each month, helping clients make faster risk-based decisions through verified assessments.
And Pinkerton, a global risk advisory and protective services organization that converts intelligence into operational execution and measurable outcomes. Pinkerton delivers investigations, advisory services, embedded services, executive protection, travel risk management and crisis response capabilities to help clients operate more securely in complex environments. And together, these capabilities allow Securitas to move beyond conventional security delivery toward a connected intelligence-led model that can proactively adapt to the risk and deliver measurable security outcomes at scale.
Now Jonas will dive deeper into our Securitas Risk Intelligence business.
So if we look a little bit deeper into the risk intelligence capability, that capability is designed for a fundamentally more complex world because threat today are global, they are always on and they are interconnected. At the same time, our clients need to make better and faster decisions than ever before. So what we provide is a global intelligence partner that have 24/7 operations. We have analysts all over the world connected to data as platform as Liferaft, but also connected to our presence. But the real value is not just monitoring the threat. The real value is that we can tell the clients what matters to them and what they can do about it.
What we do is analyze constant flow of signals globally and translated into clear, actionable intelligence that is tailored for each client's operations and the risk profile. So in short, what we do, we reduce complexity and we enable decision. So instead of just talking about this in theory, let's talk about 2 live examples. This first one started in our global monitoring where we monitor for early signals. We could detect a signal. There was an identified signal or planned disruption linked to an activist group. So this was already a client to us. So we reached out to this client proactively with the intelligence we have.
With the intelligence, the client took legal actions and they secured a court injunction, meaning that the authorities can intervene early or even before it happens. And it also show how intelligence naturally involves into deeper partnerships with the clients. So they use this as evidence and the outcome of this was they reduced significantly their operational impact and brand impact, and it was estimated to USD 10 million. So this is an example of how intelligence can help the client act before it happens, not react to the incident.
My next example is one of the largest events in the world. You probably know about it. It's the Oktoberfest in Germany. The Oktoberfest, I believe, is a powerful example on how security is shifting. It's moving from manpower operations into intelligence-led security. At this scale, we have millions of visitors. We have a dynamic environment. We have a critical infrastructure with the transportation system that is part of the solution on delivering a great Oktoberfest. The challenge is not adding more guards, it's handling complexity in real time. This is exactly where our risk intelligence services come in.
So what we do is that we do a full pre-event assessment, not only on the venue, but also the surrounding, the suppliers, the transportation system. Then we continue during the event to monitor threats as the event happens. We provide daily briefs. We apply alerts to them. We constantly update them about the situation. But again, the value is not alone the intelligence. It's when we connect intelligence to our operations, to our technology and create one operational picture that is real time, always updated and connected to our people.
And that we do through, again, the client interface, MySecuritas, but we also flow the intelligence down to the people on the ground. So they enables them to take immediate decision, coordinated responses and continuously adaptations of the security situation. So it's just not intelligence that comes in and someone looks at it, we operationalize it into our risk profile. I believe that this is what it means to become a trusted adviser, helping the clients to move from a reactive security setup to a proactive security management because the client doesn't -- today doesn't only want to buy guards alone, they wants to buy better decision, early visibility and operational resilience. So Matt?
Thank you. So Securitas has invested to make intelligence-led security real at scale, not only through the creation of SRM, but through the continued digitization and modernization of our broader operations. And this is what our clients and our industry are increasingly asking for, security programs that are more adaptive, intelligence-led, efficient, outcome-focused, programs that not only strengthen the security outcomes, but improve operational efficiency and that are resilient.
And Securitas is uniquely positioned to lead this transition at a global scale. There is no other organization today that has the combination of intelligent services, operational delivery, technology and the global footprint required to deliver in a scalable and repeatable way. This represents a significant market opportunity over the next several years. As highlighted by Magnus, this is a $21 billion addressable market by 2030. But just as importantly, this is an opportunity for Securitas to help shape the future direction of our industry.
The tools and the technologies and the capabilities now exist to meet client expectations in ways that were just not possible a few years ago. But success depends on our ability to leverage that information and data at a global scale, getting the right information to the right people at the right time. And this is where we are positioned to lead. We are going to be first to market with these solutions, and that puts Securitas in a great position. The security threat environment is not static. Our models should not be static either. I'd now like to pass you on and introduce you to our SVP of Innovation and AI, Serdar.
Good morning. I would like to start my presentation with that image. Please imagine this. Another day in a large enterprise, thousands of employees, visitors across many locations, constantly changing risks, thousands of cameras and millions of alerts. So welcome to the daily life of an overwhelmed security manager. I'm Serdar Ince. I lead Innovation and AI at Securitas Technology. And today, I will present our plans to transform security through technology, especially artificial intelligence and make the life of that security manager easier.
Before this role, I worked at Securitas in different positions, leading product management and digital transformation. And before this, I worked in the security industry to develop software products. And before that, I did research at universities and a research lab. So I was able to see all the steps of a commercial product. And at Securitas, I was able to meet hundreds of clients to listen their problems. So my role is finding the emerging technology, build services and solve client problems.
So Matt and Jonas talk about this as well. If you take a step back of what we do as security professionals on a daily basis, what we do is we try to prevent or detect an incident -- prevent an incident, [ detect ] an incident. If not possible to detect it, then interpret, then act on it and then report or escalate the situation. So technology as one of the specializations has been always an enabler with its system sensors in each and every step. So what technology does is it extends the human reach, enhance the security, helps us move faster, interpret better and with precision.
And when we talk about technology to our clients, we always get the question, which technologies, which are the ones that are relevant for us. So what we do every year is we undertake a big research effort to identify the emerging technologies, and we publish it in our global technology outlook report, and a copy is available for you at the registration desk during the lunch time. So please take and I'll be happy to answer any questions. And this is the industry's most comprehensive technology trend analysis because it's a compilation of the feedback from our clients and market survey, technology partners and internal experts.
And the goal is to identify new technologies earlier to build services around it. So that's why we believe this is a competitive advantage. And of all the technologies that we talk about, artificial intelligence, especially Generative AI has been a very impactful technology in security. As Magnus said, our industry has been a conservative industry, but large language models, vision language models became popular in less than 4 years ago, but now we already have applications in security. And what we see is a major opportunity. Traditionally, what happened was all the data was coming from the systems to users. What we can do now is we can insert intelligence layer in between that will help us to filter the noise and understand the context in a way that was not possible before.
And of course, AI is available to anyone, so practically zero start-up cost. We believe we differentiate ourselves for 2 reasons. First, we have the capability to deploy and integrate systems that collect data. So all the different systems, all different sensors. And second, we believe we have the know-how to incorporate AI into new and existing into workflows. So our ultimate goal is to scale the operation to provide better security and safety. And what we observed is artificial intelligence has been impactful on especially in video monitoring.
AI has existed in some form in video monitoring for years. But what is Generative AI doing is it's about to unlock the next level in video monitoring to help us understand the context and give better information to the human. So let me try to illustrate what I mean with this example. So let's say you have an image like this. So about 2 decades ago, what we had was we had what we call motion detection. So basically, what it did was the cameras were able to tell that something changed in the camera. So you would get an alert and you would get a lot of alerts. And it was not very helpful for the operator. Then we were able to later use the systems to delineate the objects.
So we will now get the information that something is moving, which is again helpful, but not very helpful because you will get a lot. And then the algorithms, deep learning algorithms were able to classify the objects into human and vehicle, which is important for security, and we were able to get that there is a person in the scene. And what we do is we will set up a virtual zone and the AI will tell us there's a person in this area.
Again, useful, but it didn't give us the context. But now with Generative AI, if you take the same image and if you feed it into a GenAI model and ask it to describe the image as if you're sending the answer to a security personnel, it will say a person in dark clothing, wearing a cap is seen climbing over a chain link fence, indicating suspicious behavior or unauthorized entry.
And how is this possible? Because these models have been trained hours -- millions of hours of video, so they are able to identify these kind of things. So with this, we are reaching to a level that we didn't have before to understand the context in the video. So with this tool at our disposal, what I'd like to do now is I'd like to show how we solve the client problems using this technology. And what I will do is I will show 4 examples for client problems that we hear, and I'll show how we solve these problems. So these products are already available for our clients.
So the first one is I receive a lot of alerts, especially from an access control system because an access control system is meant to log opening and closing of a door. But let's say, you have an alarm saying that the door is open. Is it because somebody propped it open or somebody is moving the chairs. So what you should do is you should look at the video. What we do here is between this access control system and human, we insert an intelligence layer. So what it does is when it receives the alert, it looks at the video on your behalf and decides whether it should be escalated to a human. So this model that was trained from our -- one of our partners, and this is one of the pilots of that application.
So what it did was out of that hundreds of alerts that is coming from the system, it reviewed the alerts and it deemed that only 7% require human intervention. So what this means is that the operator spends much less time to review the alarms and focus on the real alarms that require human judgment. Again, this is available today from our teams.
The second problem that we keep hearing is I have a large enterprise and across the enterprises, there are always common security risks. People bringing firearms, there's a fight, there's someone falling down. So the question we got is, can the system watch the cameras on my behalf and tell me that something happened that I should review. Again, what we have here is a purpose-built AI model from one of our partners built on millions hours of video. So what it does is it can detect 150-plus different security risks.
So the AI watches the camera for you and sends you an alert saying that somebody fell down or somebody jumping the fence or people are fighting in this area. So with this tool, again, available today, this helps the operator a lot because they don't have to watch the video, the AI will do it on their behalf. So it will increase the efficiency. Another problem that we hear, okay, common security problems are good, but I sometimes also have very specific problems that I want to monitor in my camera. How can I do that?
That's another solution that we have. It is in our client portal. It is called SecureStat Cumulus. So what we built here is that we allow the user to talk to the system like the person is talking to a chatbot. So for example, in this case, the question that the client would like to monitor is, is there anyone wearing a balaclava or ski mask. So what the system does is it takes a picture of the event when something is moving in the camera. It compares to the question and sends an alert.
Yes, a person is wearing a balaclava covering their face while walking through a hallway. Again, this helps the user to monitor the video much more effectively. This is a solution that we built, and it can be used on existing cameras as well. We utilize the cloud infrastructure. Another problem that we have is cameras are good, AI is good, but I have a huge site. I don't have enough people to patrol my site or enough cameras. So how can I do this more effectively? So the answer is actually another camera, but this time, it's on [ leg. ] So what it does is it's an autonomous robot that can walk along the patrol route and it can detect people and backpacks along the way. So this is, again, a robot available from one of our partners.
Let me show you how the robot walks and see. So this is the view from the robots eyes. So what it does is it walks on the prerecorded patrol route, and it takes pictures, have 360 pictures and send them to an AI model. And then AI model in real time, identifies that, okay, there's a person here, there's a backpack here. So it just tells the operator in a remote station that these are the things that must be taken care of. So all in all, we are transforming video monitoring from a manual human-dependent process to an automation supported human in loop process, also from an evidence collection tool to an AI tool that can help prevent incidents.
When we tell the story, we always get one more question. And the question is, over the years, I installed so many cameras. How can I use my existing cameras without replacing? And what we believe is this is one of the differentiators that we have. What we can do is, we can utilize the existing equipment that is already on site. So what we do is we use the existing cameras. And whenever we need AI, we insert either additional hardware on site or we utilize the AI models in the cloud, and we transform an existing installation to use existing -- to use the best AI models. And while doing so, we also offer several services. We offer remote monitoring services.
You might remember that I kept saying that there's always a human at the end who will receive the alarm. It might be as well our trained operator in a monitoring station or remote maintenance solutions or storage of the video. So we are able to use existing equipment, use the latest technology and build recurring services around them. So all the things I've described so far are the ones that are available today that we can build and deploy. What about our future vision? What are the things that we will build? So Matt and Jonas talk about this as briefly and also Magnus when he showed that video, the constant changing risk landscape. We believe this is one of the views we can provide in the future for our clients, the future concept.
So it is a digital twin of their enterprise. What is happening? Where is it happening? The systems will not only collect data from many sensors, but the system will, again, understand the context what is happening in this data, even run scenarios based on the risk profile. And what will be shown to the manager is a live risk score that changes based on the new data. So the idea is to bring from thousands of inputs to a one decision-ready risk score that is updated in real time. Another concept, another possibility in the future is a security copilot. So whenever an operator is handling an incident, that person will need to do a lot, understand what has happened so far and what will happen next and what are the required actions.
So what does -- what this kind of copilot could do is it will summarize the incident until that point because that's the majority thing of an operator would do. For example -- in this example, a potential break in, says suspect entered this facility at this time, he tampered with the lock. Now he's moving to a restricted zone. And it will recommend the actions. So you can escalate the police, you can deploy a drone, you can deploy a guard. And as the operator takes action, the system will also say the status of the last action.
Again, this is a future concept that can be built by using all the information and data that we have from our systems. So AI-powered security, the goal is really to separate signal from the noise. And remember that as security managers, our goal is really to reduce the data and alerts that we receive, so we can concentrate on what really matters. Coming back to what Magnus and Matt said earlier about intelligence-led security. We already process millions of signals, reports, alerts every day. But without integration, that creates noise. What we do is connect those signals across the systems and turn into clear action for our clients, operators and officers.
As I've shown you today, these are not just theory. This is already what we are doing, and you'll see more of these in the demos from Mike and Lauren during the break. So to wrap up, why we believe we are well positioned to lead the AI-powered security. We believe there are 3 main reasons that we will be leading this change. First, we have the presence. We have the presence on site. We have the presence off-site in a monitoring station. And we already have been installing cameras and system over the years. So we have a very large installed base that we can bring into the AI world.
And second, we have the ability to connect systems, data and artificial intelligence. And third, we have the scale. We have the global footprint to deploy solutions worldwide, and Brian will talk about our global clients program. And what we also have is we have the ability to identify and adopt new technologies earlier, and we have the right partnership and connections with the leading technology partners. So we believe we are in a competitive position to lead the AI-powered security.
So with that, I would like to hand over to Brian Riis Nielsen, President of Global Clients, to show us how these new technologies make a difference for our clients, and we win with our clients. Thank you.
Thank you, Serdar. Wow, what a number of exciting opportunities to bring to our clients, not just what you shared, but what Matt and Jonas shared. So it's all about how do we work to bring all of this together in front of our clients. So before I go deep there, I will start introducing myself. My name is Brian Riis Nielsen. I've been leading the Global Clients business since it was established back in 2019. I have had the pleasure a couple of occasions to give updates on this development in this exciting segment.
Last time it was 2024, some of you might remember. I gave a lot of promises that we were on the right direction, great momentum. I see some of you smiling. So probably you are remembering. I'm pleased to say that we not even kept that momentum. We further accelerated that in the years to come, and that has been a huge contributor to achieving our 2025 targets. So now what? Today, I'm going to share some of the key drivers behind that success that we believe, like Magnus said, is scalable also to our large local and national clients to support the next journey in our strategy.
But before I do that, just a few figures on what I call a big success, the global clients, we have seen significant higher growth than the market average. Also when we track the comparable market of global and cross-border clients, significantly higher growth than the market. We have now grown from a low double-digit share of global sales in Securitas to now 20% of the total global sales. It's also fair to say that we have leveraged the AI also from a business point of view.
The Data Center business that we decided to invest in -- back in 2019 has been one of the key driver, if not the key driver of this growth. We see that both the complexity mentioned by a few colleagues here, but also the clients' need for a partner they can scale with. And there, we have been the preferred partner for many of these clients. You will hear a comment from at least one of them later. Also talking about our portfolio in Global Clients, you saw Magnus sharing the split in our business between single service, multiservice and the integrated services. It's fair to say when you talk about our global programs, only -- you can say until 2022, we were on the global programs purely or more or less 99% security services.
Only when we acquired Stanley, we got the capabilities and the credibility to then bolt on technology at a global scale. And what you see today is even just after a few years is that we have now started that movement that you heard Magnus talking about. We still have the vast majority of our business in single services and the security services, which we -- which I will go into a little later on how we are driving that single service business at quality and scale. But we are seeing a strong movement towards based on the trends that you have heard earlier today towards more combined multi-services than even the integrated services.
So with all the capabilities you have heard about, today, I'm so excited to bring more and more clients on this journey, as you might understand. But let's take a step back because no matter how many capabilities we build, no matter how many services we can bring to these security managers in this complex world, we have to be great in each of our specializations. So the quality that we have seen being such an important component of winning with our clients. And in the Global Clients business, it has been at a scale that we needed to drive even quality at a consistent level.
So driving that consistency with our clients, and I'm glad that one of our clients is here today now joining us as one of my colleagues. So I think that's a good statement that at least we have delivered something great. But what we then look at when you say what is required in the security services industry to deliver quality. We delivered quality through people.
And the security services industry in many parts of the world is not regulated. We can have very big variances in the wages. But we have went -- we have gone into this when we established Global Clients, but also what we have done in many, many markets. In a quality strategy, you need to be the best employer. You need to attract the best people in the industry, and you need to train them better than your colleagues. And then you need to have to run that nice cycle. I will give you 3 examples what we have done different to the rest of the market.
Maybe some of you remember, we shared the data center specialized certified training 2 years ago at the Capital Market Day. That has brought us into a position as the global market leader in data centers. But with the people working on these data centers, they are the best trained and some of the best paid in the industry. So we see higher client retention and higher staff retention when we do that. So all in all, a lot of clients find that attractive, not just the data centers, but we see a lot of other industries where you have high compliance, high regulations, but high standards.
You look at the life science pharma industry, you look at the defense industry that is growing fast now. We even on the local level also see the critical national infrastructure. So we don't see us being only dependent on one industry here. We see a lot of industries requesting this. So we find that the superior quality recipe here has worked. And we bolt on our digital capabilities to that because we have to admit that not a lot of clients have unlimited budgets.
So we need to make sure when we drive superior quality at a higher cost per individual, we need to make them more efficient than the rest. The best way to do that is to digitalize our operation. That's why the digitalization strategy that you have heard earlier today is so important because there, we drive efficiencies to our client. And a little bit on top of that, we become more AI-ready than the rest of the industry. So that's -- I'll come back to that. So when you have built that platform with your client, you build trust through superior quality, then the client opens up for, "Hey, what other services do you have in Securitas that we could buy."
So when you have that approach and in a specialized business like ours, we decided in the Global Clients business to be very structured in the way we collaborate because you heard all of these complex things earlier today. When we go in front of a client, we need to come together. So you can't win with one client alone here. You need to bring all the experts in here. So that's why we have seen this commercial orchestration so important across our specializations. But then we also need, like Magnus said, we need to incentivize. So it promotes and recognize and also incentivize strong partnership across our commercial team.
So that has been one of the key components. And I'm glad to say, like Magnus shared, this is now being scaled across our business to unlock the commercial benefits we have across our business. So let me now take a step back and let you also look at a few client comments here. These client statements, like you see, I'll give you a few seconds to read some of them. But reality is we have seen a trend now. We have seen a very, very clear trend in the client request and needs. You have heard it from Magnus and the other people here today, Matt and the team, the clients are asking more and more what -- how can you do to help us leveraging the benefit of AI.
And driving from single service into multiservices, but even into integrated services is, in many clients' view, the only way they can leverage the full scale of AI. You can ask yourself this question. Who do you think will be best of leveraging the full scale of AI? This client #1 with one or very few partners globally across all the security disciplines or the client or the company 2 here with 50-plus security suppliers. How do you think -- who do you think would be best positioned to leverage AI?
I think that's why you see some of our long-standing clients that I would say have been a single client of ours for decades now opening up is why you see some of our new, very new clients saying, we want to work with you. We know where we want to be, but it's a long journey. It's not something we fix overnight. But we start a journey today with many, many clients with an agreement on where we want to end.
And then I'm sure a lot of things will happen down the line, new opportunities, but we call that for trusted partnership and intelligence-led. So with that, I feel we have proven that the combination of building superior quality in our single services, combined with structured incentivized commercial orchestration opens up the client trust, the clients' willingness to work with us and with the add-on to the capabilities you have heard about today. I can say I have never been more excited to be in this company. I think we are uniquely positioned not just globally, but also locally to win significant market share.
With that, Micaela, I think need to hand over to you. It's time, I believe, for Q&A now.
It certainly is.
So I would like to welcome up the speakers from until now then. And we will take questions both from the audience here and please wait until you get a microphone and then please state your name and company. And then I will also try to weave in a few questions from the webcast. So please go ahead. Yes, gentlemen in the middle there.
2. Question Answer
Remi Grenu from Morgan Stanley. So the first question is a little bit to come back on this integrated service offering. Can you help us understand a little bit how the contract -- your contract structures are evolving to make sure that you can monetize all the services that you are offering to clients when you were moving from single services towards integrated services?
And then the second question is probably on the AI capabilities. If you can share with us what is the feedback from clients, what they're focusing on? Is it about the quality? Is it about cost reduction that you're helping them unlock? And if you've got any kind of quantified KPIs on this cost reduction that you can implement for clients when you're deploying these AI capabilities?
Brian, do you want to take the first one?
Yes, if -- just making sure I understood exactly how we are building the contract with these clients. Was the question, right?
Yes.
So we are seeing initially in the contracting phase. And I have to say most of our new client relationship starts as a single service client. We are -- I would say 2 areas. One thing is when we build the -- in the last couple of years, many of our new contracts, even though we contract a single service, we construct the agreement that opens up for bolt-on of other services within our business and ultimately an integrated service.
So we don't have to go through all the negotiation of contracting every time a client decide to bolt-on services. And secondly, we are incentivizing clients to do that. So we are building in even in a single-service contract initially, innovation and efficiency programs that really incentivize and also position the opportunity to drive efficiencies through multi-services but ultimately integrated services. And then I would finally say it is very rare that you can build that kind of contract in a traditional tendering process is normally happening when we have a client relationship but then start developing more risk based and consultative approach to a co-creation such as this in fact. So that's a little bit how we try step-by-step to build these relationships.
And I think just -- if you simplify that, you can say that if it's single service, multiservice, we traditionally then develop and also contract in a similar way as in the past. But what we're seeing with more and more of the clients that we are working with when they are saying that, okay, us sitting and orchestrating them as a customer, everything is becoming too complex. So we have a number of cases where they're now saying, help me and optimize all of this to what Brian just said.
So it's more like an open book type of approach that would say this is the total security budget, these are the outcomes that we want to optimize for -- help us and optimize that. And I think that is the shift that we are starting to see but like Brian also shared, it's also a smaller percentage of the global clients. So we have that one, but it's definitely a growing importance.
And I think that's very much also a reflection of the fact that security teams at the clients that they are also struggling to optimize this to be able to get the full kind of benefit. There was a second question about AI. And I think you asked about how do we -- or what are the kind of the metrics that we agreed or that we are searching for -- solving for.
Yes.
Yes. So I think when you look at that, when we are seeing, and this is typically that type of a dialogue. If we then have an existing solution, we see that there is real optimization opportunity. We will then sit down with the client also to what I mentioned before and say what are the outcomes that we are searching for. Some of the examples that Serdar shared when we have implemented AI or overlay AI based on existing camera infrastructure, if we are reducing the false alarms with 80%, 85%, that obviously means that there's going to be much more relevance in terms of where we spend the effort.
That will also mean that, that could be a case so we can actually then reduce some of the on-site -- guards that we have on site. But we will typically then also leverage that to also invest more in technology. But I think those ones, that's what we're also now starting to build more and more use cases and also then becoming more able -- to also be able to tell other clients based on the first cases that we have done what are the kind of savings that we believe or that we are fairly confident we can help you and drive in terms of optimization and then reinvest that would -- that essentially be reflected in the lower cost of ownership.
Great. Next question. Yes, up there, yes.
Very informative. I'm James from [indiscernible] Group. And I just had a question on your margin expansion strategy. So I just want to get an idea of how much margin expansion you can get from your portfolio management because from my understanding, this is set to conclude in Q2 of '26. And the second question is after the first half of this year, how are the margins going to be expanded in the T&S segment? Is it through pricing? Or is it through volume or a bit of both? How do you hope to expand your margins?
So I'll give a brief answer because then I will let Matteo also share because he will go into a lot more detail. But I think when you're looking at the active portfolio management, that's obviously been a specific program that you correctly also highlighted, we're finalizing that in Q2. Henrik can comment on that in the next Q&A section. And that is important because then after that point, it becomes business as usual. When you're looking at the margin expansion, we will go into the growth algorithm and also what is underpinning the EPS target.
But I think it's safe to say, and Matteo will share that later on, that we believe that we are very well positioned to drive continuous margin improvement from this point onwards. And that's a reflection of the fact that we are shifting also to your second question, more and more to our business towards higher value. We have more what we call recurring and scalable business with the recurring monthly revenue that is also then increasing as we become more connected, so the revenue shift is one.
But then I also believe that we're well positioned, and we've already done quite a lot also in terms of leveraging also more modern and scalable platforms to also drive better efficiency in the existing operations. So we feel confident about the opportunities that we have going forward. And then obviously, when I look at technology and the solutions that we have been reporting for a number of years, we also see that there we are really well positioned also when we look at the demand that we are seeing in the market and where connectivity and technology is just becoming more important. So those are the main trends. But I will leave it to you, Matteo, to break that down also in some more detail.
Next question there from Simon in the middle here.
Simon Jonsson from ABG here. I have a question on the Data Center business in the Global Clients business. So can you talk a bit about how that is -- is it more single product or multi compared to the rest of global operations, you think? Or how is the share for data center customers specifically?
Yes. I would say it's, in fact, the majority of the 15% is in the data center space, where we have very, very unique capabilities of specialization, both in our security services and technology. So that has brought us into a lot of client relationship where we have that multiservice. But we also see a lot of data centers still procuring single service, but it's definitely a trend right now that more and more -- you saw one example up here, clients that maybe over a lot many years have really procured security services guarding separately from technology, they are suffering from the fact where most of new data centers are built today, it's in very remote areas. We need to find new solutions because we simply struggle to keep up with the need for labor.
So I think it's a very open dialogue with these clients now, and we need to find the future solutions. And that's why they are turning towards not just because we are the leader on the security services side, but because we have the opportunity to combine with the technology and with the risk and intelligence now that can reduce the need in the future for too much labor to protect these data centers. And then I haven't -- we haven't thought about the next generation of the data centers in the space. But right now, they are primarily out in the remote areas. But that in itself gives a challenge there. So it's a combination, I would say.
Next question up there.
Victoria from JPMorgan. My question is on the Security Risk Management business. So when you win new business with your clients here, is this an activity that they usually did in-house before, like the risk assessment, the intelligence things or is this something that they didn't do before or they did with another provider? And -- so I just want to understand that dynamic.
Yes, some and some. So some opportunities are, as you say, to take functions that are being done in-house and to add more value by doing that in an integrated way. Some providers are not engaging services at all today. So that's new market opportunity for us. But as we look at what we're going to do in SRM, there's driving the 3 businesses forward that I highlighted and creating the synergies and opportunities between them to our customers but there's also the work that we're going to do for Securitas in enabling that integrated solutions to be delivered to customers because the revenue gain for SRM will be relatively small. It's the market share that Securitas will take. So we're an enabler for Securitas, but we're directly growing as separate businesses.
Andy here on the second row.
Andy Grobler from BNP. Two, if I may. Just firstly, when you talked about AI and technology and implementing it, to what extent is that deflationary to your existing revenues with that client? And how do you offset that? One of the client testimonials talked about it significantly reducing cost? And then secondly, just in terms of competition, you said you're uniquely placed, but there are others out there that can provide many of these services. What do you do to differentiate? And where are you seeing the greatest competitive change?
I think if you think about the deflationary impact, it's probably more related to the security officers that we might have on -- that we have on site. And I think that -- that one, I would say, based on what we see, you can look at that as a deflationary impact, but you also look at that as a real opportunity because when I look at our industry, it's very people intensive. Like Brian said, also just looking at the data center space, there's a lot of people who are engaged. We have consistently been driving also to say how can we enhance the productivity of our employees.
And there, obviously, we see tremendous opportunity with AI to also make that happen. So I think that is kind of a counterweight. But if you're just looking at the pure optimization program based on AI, unless you're able to take a different type of a role, I think then you have a bigger impact. But the important thing today is that, I mean, we have one strong leg with our Guarding business. We have another one with the Technology business. Today, then also with SRM, we are able to take an end-to-end position. And I think that is what is taking us into the second point in terms of where we are different because when I talk to many of the clients and maybe not where Matt just joined us from, but if you look at the Fortune 500 clients, most of those customers, they don't have the expertise to design and to integrate and operationalize the program with a lot of different vendors.
They just don't have the competence. So I think the competitive edge that we have is that we have tremendous value with our presence that we have, and that's obviously our security officers who are on site or mobile, I think Henrik has more than 10,000 [ cars ] in Europe alone, mobile officers. So that value itself in combination with technology and also then with the SRM and the ability to integrate and operationalize the program, that is what is making us unique because if I look at all the competitors are either Guarding businesses or they are in Systems Integration businesses.
And then if you ask the last question, and you say, okay, on the software layer, then there will be different software companies and we can do quite a lot. But they don't -- I mean, they can then only essentially manage data, but not able to orchestrate the response. We take the intelligence to action essentially. And that's what we can do dynamically, but we can also then adopt that over time. So that's the reason that we are saying that we are unique and uniquely positioned to also benefit when we're looking at the next phase.
Okay. Gentleman up here.
It's [ Miguel Medina from Lighthouse. ] I have 2 questions. The first one is linked to the previous question when -- regarding the addressable market, you have a very dominant share in the traditional bid -- sorry, you have like a 50% share in the traditional bid and very dominant shares in the technology-led areas. How do you see those evolving over time?
Are you going to be able to maintain that very large market share in both? That's the first question. And the second one is on regulation, which has not been mentioned during the presentation. With all these data analysis, AI implementation, et cetera, are there any jurisdictions that from your point of view, are more forthcoming or you are basically neutral in terms of regulation?
So I guess I'm taking that question. If you look at the different markets, so we talk about the USD 240 (sic) [ 245 ] billion security services, so that's essentially Guarding business. And then we have technology and SRM. When we are calling out what we say is addressable market, that is the market then out of the USD 240 (sic) [ 245 ] billion, we say it's roughly half, which is then around $12 billion essentially of addressable market for us. So -- sorry, $120 billion. So it's still very significant market. We have around $10 billion, $11 billion or something like that of that market today.
So even if we are kind of cutting the market in half to say what is addressable, when you look at the market share, we still have a fairly small market share in that space, and it's very similar also in the technology space. So this is also -- that the nature of this industry is that it's still very, very fragmented. And when we talk about runway and opportunity to grow, it's that small type of market share, which is really driving the difference. On the second question, I think regulation, number one, anything that we're working with in terms of data, we're obviously working and putting a lot of emphasis on how we ensure full compliance.
This is also something that we were leveraging the investments that we have made also in modern platforms because this is obviously about managing significant amounts of data every day that we heard earlier from Jonas. So I think that is one point. The other one, when we talk about critical infrastructure regulation and things like that, I believe that is positive for Securitas because it's just about strengthening the kind of the quality requirements. And when that is happening, I think we're also well placed to do that as a serious player that has always been focused on full compliance and quality. So I wouldn't say that regulation will be a negative thing. It's rather an opportunity because it will help and put more emphasis on quality and compliance.
We have time for one more question before the break. Yes. Oh no, Johan here.
Johan Eliason, SB1 Markets. I would like to ask about the financial targets you presented today, the 10% EPS growth, the cash conversion target, the debt ratios and policies, they are all good, and I do appreciate the improved cash conversion targets you introduced. But by and large, they are basically the same numbers that you had pre-Stanley. And then to some extent, it's the financial targets you had for a decade. And this Capital Markets Day could have been 15 years ago without Goransson talking about increasing the technology share and improving the margins going forward.
But by and large, 10 years went on, and we saw nothing happening with the margin target. How do you make sure with these targets? Yes, you do still have this 10% margin target longer term, as you mentioned, but you didn't present it in the slide itself. How do you make sure that we still can expect margin improvement over this period?
For example, I mean, what will stop your managers taking on a new contract like the critical infrastructure just to make sure that the EPS growth will be fantastic when this new big contract comes up with a 2% margin or whatever. I think the margin target in itself is important because it gives robustness to your earnings. Investors like that. And it also tends to give companies with higher margins a better valuation profile because it does show the moats that you have from your competitors.
First of all, I think we are a completely different company today compared to 10 years ago. When we decided in 2022, when we acquired Stanley, I think that the lack of credibility we had was that we have been talking about higher margin opportunity as we were shifting significantly bigger part of the business towards technology and solutions. But it hadn't -- I mean, we haven't really shown it. So a very important decision that we made in '22 was that we said, well, we're going to make that 8% operating margin target. That's the main target because we need to show that we are capable of driving that shift.
And that I have to say is really good because when I presented those numbers in '22 and when we asked people in the audience after, most people are saying there's no way you're going to get to 8% without shrinking the business. And we have actually grown the business, and we have expanded the margins. And that's obviously based on the capabilities that we have, but it's also based on the great work that our team has done.
I think when you're looking at the next phase, our thinking is that now we are in a significantly better position, much more focused, and I didn't mention that earlier in the morning, but we have also divested or closed more than $1.2 billion worth of business just to sharpen the business so that everything that we have is fully consistent and in line with the strategy. We have capabilities in technology, security risk management, but we also have a Guarding business, which is in a much, much better shape.
And I think that's something Brian also shared good examples from the global clients. So the next phase is more about -- I think we're in a better position now to also then optimize. And that optimization is essentially assuming that we will have continuous margin improvement, but also then shifting focus on growth of the entirety because that is obviously what is adding value in the end. And then to your very specific question, Johan, we have also constructed the incentives in a way that will prioritize profitable growth and going downwards in terms of margin just to chase some volume, that mistake, we will never do that again.
And by that, we conclude the first Q&A session, and we're now having a long break of 60 minutes. And I suggest that we meet back in here at 5 past 11 to recommence the Capital Markets Day. But a few instructions before you move. On your badges, you are -- you have a group number of 1, 2, 3 or 4. And group # 1 and 2 can now go to the first demos. And group #3 and 4 can go and have some coffee and do some mingling. And then you will switch and you will be shown where to go, but the demos are over here. So see you in 1 hour.
[Break]
Very good. So great to see you back, everyone. Just before I introduce Matteo, I also wanted to say I realize there were a lot of questions in the 2 demo sessions on end-to-end digitalization, also on risk intelligence. All of us will be here between 12:00 and 1:00 so during the lunch. So for those who didn't have the chance to ask questions, we would be happy to address those as well. So now we have the last part of our presentation today. And now looking forward to welcoming Matteo on the stage. And just like Matt, Matteo joined us on the 1st of April. And when we were looking and I was looking for a CFO, which is very much also a key partner in terms of driving the business, I was looking for someone who had obviously genuine good financial experience, but also somebody who had been preferably working and operating a leading service organization. And that was a little bit how I found Matteo or how we found you, I should say, with a number of years at up at Atlas Copco.
And many of you probably know that as an industrial group, but we also have one of the leading service organizations across any category in the world. But then Matteo just joined us most recently from ASSA ABLOY, where he was also then leading a significant business in the EMEA region.
So with that, warm welcome, Matteo.
Thank you, Magnus, for the great introduction. I'm really happy to be here today. My name is Matteo Dall’'Ora, and I'm proud to represent Securitas as the new Group CFO. I spent in my career not only on financial roles, but also on businesses roles, always with a strong focus on customer and business performances. For me, finance is not just about reporting numbers, but actually using them to drive business decision and strong performances and ultimately, more value for our customers and our shareholders. And this is exactly what attracted me here in Securitas, a company with a very strong legacy and performances, a very good market relevance and a significant untapped opportunity. And I think what we have seen today for all my colleagues highlight the scale of opportunity that we have in front of us.
In my first 2.5 months with the company, I had a chance to meet a lot of our leaders and get a better understanding of our strength, but also the area where we can improve further. And what stands out to me is that we have a very committed leadership team with a strong focus on customer and that also work in a very -- they work on a journey to improve the company and position our company very well for the future. So what I will show you today is that we have a company with a much stronger financial performance with a very clear value to create more value to the company and that we have disciplined path to deliver profitable growth.
But before I deep dive into the future, allow me to spend a couple of minutes talking about what changed in the business in the last couple of years. In the last few years, we have significantly strengthened our financial profile. We have improved our return on capital employed by more than 60%, reaching a great level of 16% for the total business at the end of 2025. We doubled our free cash flow from SEK 3.4 billion to SEK 6.8 billion. And in 82% of our market, we have improved our profitability of more than 50 basis points. From a group perspective, we have improved our operating margin for more than 1.4 percentage points, reaching a 7.4% operating margin for the full year 2025. And if I exclude the SEIS business, 7.7%. As Magnus also highlighted earlier, we continue to focus on recurring revenues, reaching SEK 1 billion, and we know that this kind of business is also very good from a marginality point of view. And we continue also to improve our operational efficiency with an improvement of 30% in revenues versus employee compared to the 2022 period.
So overall, this reflects a business that have become more efficient, more profitable and more resilient. Now when I look back and we look at the communicated external target, I think also we have delivered very strongly. We reached an average of 8% real sales growth in Technology & Solutions business. It's also true that if you look at the full period, in the first part, we have delivered a much stronger growth. In the second part, we're lowering a bit, but still reaching an average of 8% over the period to position ourselves in a very good position for the future. We delivered for the last 2 quarters of 2025, an average operating margin of 8.2%, and we continue also to deliver a very strong cash flow and this averaging of 81% over the '22-'25 period.
We continue also to be stronger in our financial position, delivering a 2.1x net debt to EBITDA at the end of 2025. And in the period also, we continue to pay out a good level of dividend to our shareholders on an average of 50%. So overall, we have delivered on our commitments, and we are now in a much stronger financial foundation. And this put us in a very good position for the next phase. Over the past year, we have been working in stabilizing the business, completing the STANLEY acquisition. We are working on an active in strategic portfolio assessment, and we have also exiting markets that did not fit the long-term strategy of the company. At the same time, we have improved the profitability with active portfolio management. We are creating more efficient with transformation and optimization program and the realization of the acquisition synergies. We have invested and modernized the business, and we have now a much stronger, more focused and more resilient business.
With this foundation in place, we are ready to enter the next phase, accelerating profitable growth. leveraging our portfolio, strengthening our value proposition and improving our customer retention. I'd like to repeat what Matt Ellis said earlier. There is no other organization in the market today that can deliver intelligent capability, technology, operational efficiency and presence to deliver this solution in a scalable and repeatable way. I think this is a significant opportunity that we have in front of us. Now as Magnus introduced earlier, I'm glad to present our new financial target for the next phase.
We decided to make our targets sharpen and more ambitious. But let me start first with the operating cash flow. We increased our operating cash flow ambition from 80% to 90%. After achieving, I show you a few minutes ago, 81% on average over the last period, we decided to increase the bar because we have the fundamental to do so. We strengthened our capital structure, targeting our leverage below 2.5x net debt to EBITDA, and we want to continue to deliver to shareholders a good payout in terms of dividends between 50% and 60%.
Now let me explain why we have decided to change the target to EPS rather than keeping Technology & Solutions and operating margin as a main target. The target typically reflects the strategic phase where the company is in that particular moment. And the previous phase, we knew very well our target. We wanted to effectively integrate STANLEY acquisition. We wanted to become the leader in technology solution, and we wanted to achieve an 8% margin by the end of 2025. So now the company is completely different. We are more stronger, more resilient and more profitable, and we are now ready to enter the next phase. And that's the reason why we decided to have EPS as a core target.
EPS brings everything together, growth, profit and margin, capital efficiency and capital allocation. So this is the best measure to understand whether we are creating value for our shareholders. But let me explain now how do we want to deliver the 10%. We want to deliver the 10% from 3 main drivers. The first one is about growth, which will impact roughly half of the growth that we are expecting on the EPS. We aim to grow organically by 4% to 6% per year, which will allow us to increase our market share. We have seen earlier from all my colleagues that Securitas today has all the components to deliver an intelligent-led security at scale. Second is about margin improvement, which is about 4% of the total 10% on EPS. We want to continue to expand our margin by 20 to 30 basis points on a yearly base, driven by efficiency and mix. The cross-sales and upsales opportunity as well as the integrated services will increase the mix. And we know that this mix is more profitable. Therefore, we will improve our marginality.
And [ Joergen ] coming back to your question, we want to grow in a profitable way. We will not go back as before. We want to continue to improve our marginality at least by 20 to 30 basis points on a yearly basis. I think it's important to remind, Magnus said it earlier, our long-term ambition is to be a company of 10% for the group on operating margin. And the third, but not least, is about capital allocation through disciplined deleverage of our financial position, but also value-accretive M&A. This is not aspirational. We have seen from all my colleagues that this is happening already today, and we are able now and we want to scale it up further. We have seen also from Magnus that we operate in a large and growing market. Today, the security market is about USD 300 billion. And the serviceable market where Securitas wants to operate is also large. It's about $200 billion. And we have a fairly low market share overall of less than 10%.
I think it's also important to say that the market where we operate is not a mature, it's not a low-growth market. It's actually growing more than the GDP in all the geographies where we operate. So the combination give us a significant headroom to grow across all the region. Combine this with our strong value proposition, give us a solid and credible foundation to deliver sustainable profitable growth in the range of 4% to 6%. The opportunity is clear. Now it's about to convert in this through disciplined capital allocation. And we want our capital allocation to remain disciplined and consistent. We maintain a strong balance sheet, and we aim to have a leverage below 2.5x net debt to EBITDA. We will continue to invest in organic growth, and we know that the mix towards technology and more integrated services will drive the growing CapEx. But on the other hand, we will continue to work on efficiency to keep the CapEx below 3% of sales.
We want to continue to return a strong payout to our shareholders in terms of dividends between 50% and 60%. And at the same time, our financial position will allow us to restart the M&A activity and targeting a growth of 1% to 2% on average per year over time. And if we are able to generate more capital, above all the priorities that we have discussed about all the priority -- the growth priorities that we have discussed, we will return it to shareholders. But let me spend also a moment how do we think about M&A going forward. Our approach to M&A will be discipline and focus. We aim to build a consistent value-accretive machine, contributing 1% to 2% annually growth on average over time. We will prioritize technology bolt-on with focus on recurring revenues and synergies potential. We will look at geographic expansion where we'll strengthen our position. And together with Matt, we will also look at opportunity in the security risk management area.
All acquisition must be strategically relevant and EPS accretive. Timing of accretion will depend on the assets that we are going to purchase, but discipline and value creation will remain nonnegotiable. So all in all, this brings together all the elements of our growth strategy. I think it's needless to say, but I'm truly proud to be part of this company and more excited to what is coming in the future. Over the past year, we have strengthened our fundamental, improved profitability and build a more focused and resilient business. We are now ready to enter the next phase. The fundamentals are strong, and now we scale a profitable business with discipline and clear focus on shareholder return.
Thanks for listening.
And now we are ready for the next Q&A session. And I would like to invite [ Magnus Henrik ] who is our Divisional President for Europe; Jorge, who is Divisional President of North America; and Tony, Global President, Technology up on stage. And we have the first question coming from Remi Grenu from Morgan Stanley here in the middle.
The first one is on the North American market and the competitive landscape there. I think looking at some of the data from industry provider, it feels like you've lost a little bit of market share over the last few years. So first, is it something you recognize? And if so, how are you thinking about the competitive landscape there and to win market share from your competitors in that geography? The second one is on the 4% to 6% organic growth algorithm. If you can help us maybe understand a little bit of the building blocks between the different divisions, Security Services, Technology & Solutions, for which you previously had a guidance for revenue growth. So if you can help us understand a little bit the drivers there. And the last one is on M&A. So 1% to 2% of sales per year. Is it possible to have a broad idea of an envelope of investment you will need every year to kind of reach that 1% to 2%? Or if you can help us a little bit steer the discussion on capital required for that M&A ambition?
Jorge, do you want to start on North America?
Yes, thank you. It's a good question. And the way we see it on the services side, we have a huge opportunity for growth in North America. So the data when we look to external data, we can have 10% market share. And strategically, we are changing our go-to-market. When we look to the client segments where we see that our strategy fits, we -- our market share is really low. So we have been measuring that, and we see a huge improvement and opportunities on that. I don't know if the technology you want to comment on.
No. As far as the technology business, what we have seen is with the STANLEY acquisition and the combining of our businesses globally, we are actually -- and with our organic growth, we're actually sitting in a very strong market position. Clearly, either the #2 or #1 commercial electronic security provider globally.
And I think on the 4% to 6% organic growth, one question, if I understood correctly, was help and share a bit where is that coming from? I mean if you can look at that in different dimensions. One is we are in a really good position to win and to grow with existing clients. So I think that is one. Second one is obviously also with the strength of the offering that we have, we have really good opportunity to also win new clients in light of the kind of the security context that is developing. When you're looking at the data, my expectation would be that we have a higher growth rate in technology, higher growth rate also than in security risk management, but still a healthy growth rate on the Guarding business because the Guarding business, and I also realized the interest in the breakout session, we are building a really high-quality operation. We're trying to address a number of the key points that have been weaknesses in this industry and it was more volume-based.
And the exciting thing is that the presence that we have and the people that we have, they will be as important in the future as they've been in the past. I would argue that it will be more important because we can also invest more, which is what we are doing. So that is a little bit the kind of the perspective between the different business lines. But then I would also say where we have the majority of our presence, we see good growth opportunity in North America, similar in Europe, similar in Ibero-America, but also then in the EMEA region, which we report under the other segments. There, we have a very significant market, but fairly small business in comparison, but we also see slightly higher growth rate in the market. So I think that we are quite well positioned with the geographic footprint, but also the service lines that we have in the business today. Then we had on M&A.
On M&A, I think for M&A, we are working hard to build the pipeline, first of all. As I said also in my presentation, we want to be disciplined and value accretive when it comes to M&A. So -- and of course, the time of accretion will depend on the asset that we are going to buy. So it's very difficult to give you exactly the multiple that we're going to pay for the acquisition. But again, we want to be more disciplined and more focused and value accretive on M&A going forward, prioritizing on technology bolt-on geographic when it makes sense. And also with SRM, we just did Liferaft. So I think we need to make sure that we function there and we go and then we can look ahead as well as other opportunity over there.
But I think if I look at the technology business and what Tony is leading, when we acquired STANLEY, we doubled our technology business overnight. And we built fundamental capabilities where it really matters the most. I think the important thing that we see today is that today, we have done a deep integration. We have built common systems. So we have a really good platform. And from that perspective as well, we can also afford to be more selective about where do we drive investments in terms of coverage and density when you look at systems integration and maintenance, for example, or which are the spots where we then also say that here it will be beneficial also in relationship to the clients that we also strengthen our presence. So we are, I think, in a much better position today compared to a couple of years ago, thanks to the fact that we now have a strong and scalable platform.
Good. I'm actually going to take one quick question here from the webcast. What are the main levers to achieve an operating margin before amortization of more than 10%? So the 10% operating margin ambition, what are the main levers to reach that?
So I think if you look at the growth or the growth formula that Matteo shared, in a way, if we are successful in delivering the 20, 30 basis points every year, obviously, we're going to get there in not-too-distant future. So I think continue to refine how we are running the business, continue to also then tap into the synergies in terms of higher-value business, which is more in the technology, more in the connected space, more in the SRM space. but then also continue to drive real operational improvements in our Guarding business. And there, I mean, when I look back at 2024, when Henrik and Jorge and a few others were then presenting, we have done tremendous work in the services business and improving.
And we also see continued opportunity to drive improvement. And that's obviously based on new ways of working, modern platforms and also driving that kind of productivity improvement that Matteo highlighted. So I think those are the kind of the organic things that are really within our own control. And then obviously, Matteo also highlighted acquisitions because we are in a very good position also to accelerate also acquisition activity, but always then with really, really high discipline.
Yes, [ Dan Hammer ] here from SEB.
A couple of questions from my side. Maybe starting with the 8% technology growth. Do you have a firm view of what the market growth has been during this period? And I know construction activity has been quite dampened. And that's typically when you do some bigger installations at least security systems. So what's your view of your performance versus the market?
Tony, do you want to cover on the installations market?
Yes. I would say we have been performing at or above the market. In the Q1, we were actually down, I would say, and that was really a temporary pause because we have seen a real strong order and also a growth in the backlog, which for installations, you could see a cycle with the larger installations having different cycle times. So anticipate that we'll be back at where we have been historically.
And I would say to your comment on as well is if you look at North America, where we have the best data in terms of installations, we also see a bit of 2 different types of situations. So a lot of the kind of normal business and normal industry, I mean there, it has been subdued, like you said, in terms of construction and activity. On the other hand, in the data center space, there has been very significant and healthy activity. So it's been a little bit 2 stories. But I think that when I listen to the clients and also see what we are gaining in terms of our order book, we are in a good position. And I don't see a reason why we should not be able to grow as market or faster than the market on a sustainable level for many years to come because we also still have -- even though we're a leading position globally today, we #1 or #2 type position, it's a very fragmented market. And more and more clients are also looking for a stronger partner who can help them and drive this integration and then also operationalize how we work.
Maybe a final one, if I'm allowed to. In terms of the 10% EPS growth target, it excludes ISCs, and you invested quite significant over the last couple of years in terms of modernizing the platform and making it end-to-end digitalized. But in order to keep up the same state of the platform, what sort of investments do you foresee here for -- to deliver on 2030 strategy?
Do you want to start?
Starting first, maybe a comment. You haven't seen ISC comments in my presentation because I think we want to live it in the past. What we believe now we are reaching a level that we will not go above level of ISC. So today, we have one program over there, and we are not forecasting to go above that level going forward. So that's why that will be less relevant, I would say, for the future. When it comes to transformation, I think the company has been transforming over this year already a lot, and we will continue to invest and modernize the company. But I also said that we will invest in organic growth, and we will keep our CapEx below the 3% of sales. So it's not that from now on, we will have to invest a huge amount of money because we have already done this, and we have a very good platform to continue to do that.
And I think if you take a historic perspective in 2018 and '19, when we had the Capital Markets Day, we talked about this type of a future that we have shared this morning as well, where the winners and the winning combination is going to be a combination of people of presence and technology and data. But we also realized back then that we were quite underinvested and not capable enough in terms of modern systems and platforms and being digital. And so I think that it was also a very different starting point. So now we have done a lot of those investments. We obviously also intend to leverage those capabilities also in the next phase.
And I think that is also something which I understand as well that we have received many questions throughout the years, how much are you going to invest, but it was very much based on the vision that this is what it's going to take and the capabilities we have today to really win and to win big in the next phase. So I don't really regret any of the investments. I'm really grateful that we are through that period. But -- now then that's why we're also saying that we believe that we're in a good position to then shift the focus from more kind of transformation-related work to really driving growth.
Yes, Andrew Grobler here again.
Just a couple from me, if I may. Just if you hit all of those targets in terms of the growth and the margin and the cash flow, even with the M&A, you're going to be -- your leverage is going to come down. At what point do you start either increasing the dividends, share buybacks, special dividends? Is there a point in time when you make that decision? And then secondly, just a small one. In terms of the data center business, which you've talked about several times. Can you just quantify how big that is? And in terms of the profitability, where that sits relative to the group?
I think give you a specific timing, and it will be difficult. But as I said also, if we have excess capital above all the priorities that we put in place, then we will give it back to shareholders. So this is our intent. And like I said, we will -- with this element, we will probably have a leverage, which is lower than the 2.5. But also, I believe that we have the duty to invest in this company. We have a great return on capital employed. I think we have the opportunity to make good investment as well in Securitas going forward. But to give a specific timing, I think it's a bit difficult, but we will definitely return to shareholders if excess cash will happen.
And then on the data center business, I'm looking at you, Brian. I think we are approaching double-digit percentage of the total sales in the business in the data center space. And so it's a significant part, but it also shows the diversification that we have across the entire business. So it's not a dominant part in any way. But I'm glad that we were also very focused and targeted in terms of really doubling down that space because there, we are -- it's a great example that Brian have shown where we have also been able to grow together with the clients and very well positioned for the next phase.
Yes. Yes, right here and second row.
Geoffroy Michalet from ODDO BHF. From your conversation, we have the feeling that most of the growth is coming from one pool of clients, which are the blue chip clients. But could you give us a sense on how much do you think it will contribute in the future and how much the smaller, let's say, midsized clients will contribute to the growth and margin as well?
I will then give the opportunity, I think, to Henrik, Jorge and Tony to just give a flavor because I think this is a very relevant question as well. So maybe just some perspectives on your side.
So I think you're right. In the last couple of years, the global clients have been growing very, very well, while we, at the same time in Europe, as you know, have done active portfolio management. Now we're coming to a different phase. So while I believe that, of course, Global Clients will continue to grow as presented by Brian, also we will come into a space now where we can also go back to profitable growth to make sure that you exit that program and focus more on the delivery, especially with what Matt will deliver together with Tony and team and technology, we are in a different position now to go to the market. So I'm convinced that also those parts will grow healthy in our business.
Yes. In North America services side, we are really focused and take advantage and harness the good practice that we have in global clients to look across the markets. And we are changing the commercial organization now to really looking for synergies, sharing best practices and how to go to market in a more efficient way. So we are really using different enablers, digital marketing, so using external data to really reach the market because we strongly believe that our growth needs to be coming from other parts of the marketplace, not only focus on the blue clients. But when we talk about data centers, I think it's important to highlight, we are growing with our clients, not only on the data center segment. So the hyperscalers, they have corporate, they have other contracts, we are growing together. So this is really a partnership, a journey with our clients. But yes, the focus is really take advantage of the good practices, what we are doing great in this focus on global clients and drive that to the local and regional clients, national clients with a huge potential also.
And from a technology standpoint, maybe a little bit different. We established our global client program in the technology business in 2022 when we announced the STANLEY acquisition. So you may remember that. And it has been growing very successfully, as Brian mentioned, in partnering with the services at a Global Client program. So it has had good growth. But we also have a large part of our segments across the globe that are in local businesses, commercial businesses, also in regional or national kind of clients that maybe aren't global in nature, but have multisite. So across multiple verticals, multiple industries. So that diversification has been important for us. And so we're looking at driving growth across all those different sales channels.
And I think that's the beauty of the business as well. So I mean, if you look at the installations business that we had questions on before as well, I mean we're designing and integrating solutions for some of the most iconic buildings in the world. But then at the same time, Tony would also remind me that if you look at an average job that we have, that could be in the tens of thousands of dollars and not in the millions of dollars. And this is really where the strength of the business model is coming in because it's not only that we are very good at the highly sophisticated. We have built coverage, we have built density to also then be able to do this.
And this is obviously one of the most important themes that the 4 of us are discussing also together with Ibero-America and AMEA as well is how do we then also leverage these capabilities now to also then introduce more technology to a significant client base that we have. Because if I look at Jorge and Henrik, they have really healthy business in the SME segment and in the midsized segment. And those are obviously 2 segments we don't talk about that much today, but very important parts of our business and where we also have good opportunity to drive solutions or installations work, but where we then also have a recurring revenue through the maintenance work that we're doing over time.
I hope that gives a flavor to the question.
Yes. Simon, again there.
So you talked a bit about bolt-ons in the technology segment in your M&A targets. Can you elaborate a bit on what kind of specific companies would that be? Would it be installation companies, integrators, hardware companies that own products? Or what kind of bolt-on opportunities do you see?
Tony?
Yes. So obviously, as we mentioned previously, the industry is highly fragmented. And so there's -- it's a great opportunity for bolt-on acquisitions. The bolt-on acquisitions, I think, Matteo, you actually mentioned it, we look for obviously having a recurring revenue element within the business and not just an installation, not just an integration business. So one that has a healthy mix of revenue and that could be accretive to the profit profile that we have for the business. So that could be in different geographies where we're trying to actually build scale or density even further than what we have in a particular market. So -- or it could be open new white space somewhere where today, we may not have a physical presence.
Anything else you'd add, Magnus?
I think it's just the scalability because we're -- I mean, what Tony and I were discussing a lot 4 years ago when we bought STANLEY is that it's so important that we integrate. We do deep integration. We build common platforms, common ways of working around the world because when we have done that, it becomes a lot easier and also more predictable when we acquire something. And I think that is why the bolt-on acquisitions will be really attractive for us in the next phase because we've done a lot of the heavy work now. And -- but we obviously also STANLEY acquisition was a real catalyst to build really critical mass and scale and now obviously looking forward to them just continuing to strengthen that capability.
Allen Wells in the middle there from Jefferies.
Allen Wells from Jefferies. I just wanted a quick follow-up on the organic growth targets. Obviously, the business has been focused on margin recovery in recent years, and you've seen directionally some slowing in growth in the last couple of quarters as well. But when you think about that 4% to 6% organic growth target, do you need to invest in the commercial functions in the business to get to the top end of that target? Are there parts of the business that just needs a bit more investment to push to the top end? And then within that 4% to 6% target, how do you think about the price volume mix within that versus what we've seen in the last couple of years? And then finally, could you provide a little bit of color around the pipeline of opportunities? Has there been a structural shift in the scale interest within those -- the projects that are coming in that gives you the confidence that 6% is now attainable when it wasn't? Or is it more just the attrition levels as you reduce the kind of portfolio rationalization drop away that, that can drive acceleration?
I'll try to ensure -- remind us if we don't address all the questions here. But yes, I think stepping up our commercial focus is probably going to be a combination of the focus that we are driving because to drive the amount of change that we have been doing has been consuming quite a lot of effort also internally. So I think now being able to shift more focus on real client engagement and developing the business -- that has been an important theme, I would say, among these leaders over the last 12 months. And that's always something that we always build long term and kind of gradual. But we probably also have an opportunity. We had one Board member for many years who said, when you're thinking about the business, do you have a sales kind of focus or a product focus. And I feel that when I look at the product and the value proposition we have, starting to become so strong now. So we're also just keen to be able to get that message more out there as well. And I think there enhancing the commercial effort is going to be important.
If you're looking at the growth, I would say, on this one, I mean, we are expecting a few percent in terms of price or wage-related increases. No doubt also going forward, we also see that we are through that kind of hyperinflation period that we had after COVID, but that we're then also growing real portfolio. So real volume or what we call net change is also positive. I think that has to be -- it is a really, really important part for us going forward.
Any other flavors on that from your side?
Yes. I think, yes, you have mentioned the price increases and the new capabilities and the focus on sales. But yes, we have been talking about these new tools that we can use and enable us to grow. But I think it's important to highlight our consistent on delivery. We have been a lot of investments global -- we have a global framework. So we have been working on direction and alignment. If we deliver -- and Brian, you have covered very well on that point. If we deliver superior quality, we'll retain better our clients. So with price increases, more sales and retain our clients, I think the 4%, 6% growth, we don't need to do investments to naturally and organically achieve that.
Very important point. If we don't see client retention gradually improving, then we are doing something wrong ourselves because we're going deeper, it's more complex engagement and significantly higher stickiness as well. So I mean I think that -- yes, that is an important point, Jorge, where obviously, with active portfolio management, et cetera, it's -- we have been hurting, but we are now switching back to kind of business as usual.
And I think the last question was on the pipeline, I think as well. And on the pipeline, we see a strong pipeline, and we've had a strong pipeline. It has been that we have actively said advise clients who were not prepared to be on the journey with us. But we continue to have that pipeline. And it is, as Magnus said, there's been some internal focus to make sure that we can either elevate the value or exit those contracts. And now since we are coming to the end of that, we can have the full focus to building that pipeline. But the pipeline has been quite strong at the all-time.
Okay. Just up here, right.
Short one on working capital. Given the higher weight of large clients, also you're placing a lot of emphasis on recurring revenue. Are you anticipating any change, any improvement in the working capital is going to remain roughly similar to what has been for the past 2, 3 years?
I think we will continue to work on improvement on our working capital for sure. We have still opportunity to improve our DSO overall. But I think we will maintain our capital -- our working capital levels similar to what we had, trying to get efficiency over there on time to time. But yes, so the improvement will be there for sure.
[ Victoria Chang ] here in the middle.
So on some of your new technology offerings like digital twin, intelligence software, AI models, et cetera, like that, I assume a lot of these propositions won't just need an initial investment. It's ongoing technology costs that you might pay some external vendors for, et cetera, et cetera. So given that, do you see the mix of your OpEx changing in terms of variable versus fixed costs? Or do you expect inflationary pressure and ongoing technology costs as well in the medium term? And how do you seek to offset that?
Yes. I think that the mix -- I mean, the base is there from a technology point of view. I think after the STANLEY acquisition over the last 3 years, we have created a very good base. So I don't expect the mix from OpEx and CapEx changing that much. And you will see also in our numbers today. We are below the 3% CapEx overall. When we look at technology and solution of this part is 15%, 20% of our CapEx. A big part is still related to IFRS 16 and then all the other things related to the CapEx we have in our company. So I feel that we'll relatively stay within that level. Although as I said also before, the cross-sales and upsales opportunity that we have in integrated services will drive our CapEx a bit up, but we will also work on operational efficiency to maintain the CapEx below the 3% of sales.
And I think it's important to emphasize, I mean, we are technology agnostic. And this is fundamentally important for our clients because today, there is no short kind of scarcity in terms of promising technologies or new hardware, new software, new AI, et cetera. The biggest question for the client is more, okay, what makes sense for me? And how can I get help in integrating and operationalizing this. But a lot of that development cost, that's obviously residing with the partners that we are working with. And I think Serdar shared that. And this is a big part of what Tony is doing in the business as well. It's also then who are the technology partners that make the most sense for which types of clients.
So I think from that perspective, we're not standing with the risk or the kind of the investment bets that are being made. But where we are investing in our own intellectual property is more in the digital layer and the data and the information that we are generating in the business because that is tremendously valuable as we are shifting towards an intelligence-led business. But that's obviously investments that we have been making for many, many years and that we will continue to make in the years to come as well.
And by that, we are running out of time. We have 30 seconds left. So it's a really quick question if we're going to have the last one. I think by that, we leave the stage for Magnus and some concluding remarks and the rest of us leave the stage.
So just to wrap this up now, I sincerely hope that this has helped and give you a better understanding of how we see the security market evolving. It's an exciting phase. Like I said at the beginning, I think we are well positioned to benefit but we're also really well positioned to take a leading position in the development of this industry in the years to come. And when you're going a few years back, we have delivered on our transformation. We have delivered on the financial targets. I think we also now have a really good foundation to start focusing on driving growth. And when you think about the business, and we were coming into that also in the Q&A session now, we also have tremendous strength in the resilience of the business and the diversity of the business. So we are no longer depending on just one particular service line, not on one geography and also not on one vertical segment. And I think that is important because we have multiple ways that we can then start to grow with our clients.
And I think we've also shared that today that the clients are also increasingly saying this is more complicated. We need a more capable partner who can really help us be the trusted partner on this future journey towards intelligence-led security. And the markets, they are large, but they're also expanding. And I think that's something that we feel really good about since we have 100% focus on high-quality security and safety. So we have proven that we can transform. We have really significant runway for driving growth and driving that growth as the leader in intelligence-led security.
So I think from this position, the next phase is a lot more exciting than the last phase because we continue to build a more competitive business. I also got the question a couple of times during the break today in terms of the barriers to entry. I think they are clearly increasing because this is becoming more complex and the combination of the different capabilities is becoming critical for the next phase. And then obviously, with high barriers to entry and then also a more resilient business, we're also in a really good position to create better shareholder value.
So from our side, we're going to be around for everyone who's in the room for the next hour. But I just want to say thank you for joining us today and for being part of the journey. Thank you.
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SECURITAS — Analyst/Investor Day - Securitas AB (publ)
Securitas positioniert sich auf dem Capital Markets Day als führender Anbieter für "intelligence‑led security" mit klaren Wachstums‑ und Bilanzzielen.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: Securitas will von Transformation zu profitabler Skalierung wechseln: Ziel ist, als vertrauenswürdiger Partner für intelligente, vernetzte Sicherheitslösungen zu wachsen und damit Erträge, wiederkehrende Umsätze und Kundenbindung zu erhöhen.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- SRM‑Aufbau: Securitas Risk Management (SRM) kombiniert Liferaft (SaaS‑Monitoring), 24/7‑Analysten und Pinkerton‑Ausführung zur globalen, integrierten Bedrohungs‑ und Einsatzsteuerung.
- Digitales Rückgrat: MySecuritas als Client‑Interface verarbeitet ~3,6 Mio. Guard‑Reports/Monat und 80.000 aktive Nutzer; Ziel: Operationalisierung von Intelligenz bis zur Frontlinie.
- Tech‑Skalierung: Integration von Stanley stärkt Securitas Technology (Systemintegration, Monitoring, Wartung) und ermöglicht Cross‑Sell zu Guarding und SRM.
🔍 Neue Informationen
- Zielsetzung: Primäre KPIs verschoben: 10% EPS‑Wachstum über einen Zyklus, Cash‑Conversion (operativer Cashflow) 80–90%, Net‑Debt/EBITDA <2,5, Dividendenquote 50–60%.
- Proof‑Points: Erreichte 8% oper. Marge, Net‑Debt/EBITDA 2,1, wiederkehrende Umsätze >1 Mrd. SEK/Monat; Liferaft liefert ~10 Mio. Notifikationen/Monat, Securitas Risk Intelligence ~1.250 Briefings/Monat.
- M&A‑Ambition: Diszipliniert, fokussiert auf Technologie‑Bolt‑Ons; Zielbeitrag 1–2% Umsatzwachstum p.a.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Vertragsstruktur: Management spricht von „bolt‑on‑freundlichen“ Verträgen, Open‑book/Co‑creation‑Ansätzen und Anreizsystemen, um Cross‑Sells ohne wiederholte Ausschreibungen zu ermöglichen.
- AI‑Effekt: KI reduziert False‑Alarms (Beispiele 80%+) und entlastet Monitoring; kurzfristig kann Personalbedarf sinken, langfristig soll Produktivität steigen und Tech‑/SRM‑Umsatz den Effekt überkompensieren.
- Margen‑Glaubwürdigkeit: Skepsis wurde adressiert: Management verweist auf erreichte 8%‑Marge, aktive Portfolio‑Bereinigung (~1,2 Mrd. USD) und neue Incentives, die auf profitables Wachstum ausgerichtet sind.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Anleger erhalten ein klareres, operationalisiertes Wachstumsversprechen: Securitas setzt auf Cross‑Sell von Guarding→Technology→SRM, erhöhte Cash‑Ziele und Bilanzdisziplin. Entscheidend sind Execution‑Risiken beim Skalieren von SRM/AI, Cross‑Selling‑Tempo und disziplinierte M&A‑Umsetzung.
SECURITAS — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone, and a warm welcome to our Q1 2026 report. Before we begin, I would like to welcome Matteo, who joined the group as CFO on April 1. And Matteo has an impressive track record from a number of leadership roles in finance, but also leading significant businesses. And for many years, you spent time with Atlas Copco and more recently with Assa Abloy. So a great addition to the team and a warm welcome, Matteo.
With that, let's go to the performance highlights of the quarter. And on a high level, we delivered good operating margin improvement, earnings growth and cash flow in Q1, but the top line growth was below my expectations. The adjusted operating margin improved to 7%, and this was supported by all business segments. And this is testament to focused execution, and we have now improved the operating margin 21 quarters in a row.
The adjusted growth in the quarter was 2% for the group. And the growth in North America was flat year-on-year, and this was primarily the result of significantly lower installation sales in the Technology business. But importantly, commercial activity in Technology in North America remained healthy with strong growth in installation order intake and backlog.
Looking at the earnings growth. The margin development was an important driver behind the 8% improvement in operating results and a 16% improvement in earnings per share on a constant currency basis and also then excluding IAC. Q1 cash flow was healthy for Q1 at 40%, and Matteo will share some more details about this in the finance sections.
And our work to sharpen our focus and portfolio continues, and we divested the Global Elite Group in the U.S. and also a smaller part of our Technology business in Canada in the quarter. And this means that we are now nearing the completion of the strategic assessment program we initiated a few years ago.
And the acquisition of Liferaft, which is a leading provider of threat intelligence, was completed in Q1, and we are very glad to welcome the Liferaft into the Securitas Group and the intelligence capabilities that they bring are very important for the future.
Let's then move to the performance in the business lines and the segments. And we delivered good margin improvement in both business lines with 10.7% for technology and solutions and 5.4% for services. The sales growth in technology and solutions was 4% in the quarter. Portfolio growth in solutions and RMR contributed. But as previously communicated, installations in North America had a clear negative impact.
The adjusted growth in security services was 2% in the quarter, and growth was good in Ibero-America, decent in Europe but a slightly slower start than expected in North America.
With that, we move to the segments, and we start with North America as usual. And here, we recorded good margin improvement, but as commented, flat top line growth in the quarter. And the flat growth was primarily due to technology installations.
Three winter storms in the first quarter had a negative impact on the installations with a number of days, with traveling and on-site work was not possible, and this also caused some productivity issues. What's most important, though, as I mentioned before, is that commercial activity was good, strong positive year-on-year development in order entity and also very healthy increase of the backlog.
The Pinkerton business is a smaller business. But here, we recorded negative growth due to the loss of a large temporary contract. And this also had a clear negative impact on the growth in the North America segment. But all in all, when you look at the growth in North America, I expect the growth to recover in the second quarter.
Due to the negative installations development, sales growth in technology and solutions was negative 1%. But when looking at profitability, we note strong resilience in the business with 30 basis points improvement in the margin to 9% in the quarter.
And we then moved to Europe, where we had a solid improvement in profitability. The organic growth was 3%. And here, the growth was supported by price increases, including impact from Turkey and good growth of technology and solutions while active portfolio management in the services business had a negative impact. And we also had lower-than-expected sales and aviation in Q1, and this was related to the situation in the Middle East and reduced number of flights.
Real sales growth in technology and solutions was good at 6%. We recorded a solid 40 basis point margin improvement in the European business for an overall margin of 6.1. And the margin improvement was driven by both business lines, including positive impact from the business optimization program that we concluded last year. Security services margin was positively impacted by the portfolio management. And as previously communicated, we expect to finalize this work in Europe in the second quarter.
We also recorded a good improvement in the operating model in the Technology and solutions business line, driven by good portfolio development and cost control. So all in all, a good development by our European team.
We then shift to Ibero-America. And here, we had strong development across all key metrics. The growth was 6%, and this was driven by strong growth in technology and solutions and price increases in security services. There is a negative impact on the growth from active portfolio management, but our team are driving good conversions to technology and solutions. And the real sales growth in Technology and solutions was very strong at 12%.
The operating margin improved 30 basis points in the quarter to 7.4, and the improvement is driven by positive revenue and margin shift towards technology and solutions. So to conclude, a very strong start to the year by our Ibero-America team.
So to summarize the business performance, we're driving disciplined execution of our strategy. And while the top line growth was lower than our plans in North America, we have continued margin improvement across all segments. And when you look at the client retention, it's stable or improving across all segments.
So with that, turn to the finance update and handing over to you, Matteo.
Thank you, Magnus, and good morning all. We start with the income statement where we had organic sales growth of 0% and improved the operating margin with 40 basis points to 6.8%. It is a good quarter in terms of margin, where we improved our operating income with 8% adjusted for currency.
As you might remember, since Q2 last year, we have introduced 2 new KPIs which are adjusting our organic growth and our operating margin for the government business to be closed down within SCIS. In the quarter, the adjusted organic growth was positive 2% and the adjusted operating margin was 7%, which is 30 basis points better than last year.
Looking below the operating result, there are no material development in amortization of acquisition-related intangibles, and we have reported SEK 30 million acquisition-related costs, mainly due to successful closure of Liferaft acquisition, item affected comparability ended with an income of SEK 184 million, SEK 213 million income related to the divestment primarily to Global Elite Group, part of the U.S. airport security business and SEK 29 million cost related to the ongoing European transformation program.
The European transformation program will continue throughout 2026, as was previously communicated, and we estimate to have a full year 2026 program cost between SEK 225 million and SEK 250 million.
Our finance net came in at SEK 357 million, a reduction of SEK 140 million compared to last year. We continued the positive trend of reduced financing costs and interest rate, and our debt level are decreasing. Full year 2026, we estimate the finance net continue to reduce and then below SEK 1.6 billion compared to the SEK 1.8 billion for the full year 2025.
Now moving on to tax, in the quarter, we had a tax rate of 24.1%. The tax rate before tax item affecting comparability was 26.8%. The tax rate, excluding the capital gain related to the divestment of Global Elite Group was 27.5%, which is the level we are expecting for the full year 2026.
Looking at our EPS, real change growth was strong at 34% in the quarter. When excluding the positive effect from [ IAC ] the EPS real change, growth was 16% and supported by a solid 8% real change in our operating results and by a strong leverage from the reduced finance net.
Now in the next slide, we also see that the quarterly result reflects FX headwinds, which were largely driven by USD movement. Now if we move to the cash flow, where our operating cash flow was at SEK 978 million or 40% of operating income, the cash flow was positively impacted by USD 41 million due to the payroll timing in our Guarding business in North America and by Paragon, including the net working capital release related to the close down.
The free cash flow ended at SEK 178 million, supported by a strong Q1 operating cash flow and reduced financial income and expenses from the improved debt provision position. We continue to see an improved operating cash flow, and we remain focused on strong cash generation to meet our full target of 70% to 80% of operating income.
Now we look at the net debt, which was SEK 32.2 billion at the end of the quarter. This is an increase of SEK 941 million compared to Q4 last year. primarily related to acquisition and divestiture of SEK [ 120 ] million, which includes the net effect of the divestment of the aviation business in the U.S. a small noncore part of our Technology business in Canada and the acquisition of Liferaft. Negative translation difference of SEK 635 million due to the weakened Swedish krona and payment of item affecting comparability according to our plan.
Looking at the right-hand side, our net debt-to-EBITDA reduced to 2.2x, which is an improvement of 0.3x compared to quarter 1 last year. We are all well below our target net debt-to-EBITDA of less than 3x and expect to continue to leverage our balance sheet in the short term.
Now moving on to have a look at the financing and financial position. where we continue to have a strong balance sheet, strong liquidity and we remain without any financial covenants in our debt facilities. Going forward and looking at the maturity chart, we have very limited refinancing needed throughout 2026 and our focus will be to continue to amortize debt, supported by the strong free cash flow generation.
I will also be glad to present and give you a lot more details about the capital allocation during the next Capital Markets Day in June. And finally, we remain committed to our investment grade rating.
And with that, I now hand it over back to you, Magnus.
Very, very good and many thanks, Matteo. So before we open up to Q&A, I'd like just to share a few points regarding our strategic direction and how we shape the company in creating value in the future because with the transformation of Securitas, we have clearly differentiated client offering now and are well positioned for profitable growth. We're operating in attractive and growing markets, and we partner with our clients for the long term.
And we see that our deeper engagement model, where we leverage technology digital capabilities in combination with our presence is generating higher value for our clients and also for us. And this approach is working. We're executing on our plans. And as I mentioned before, 21 consecutive quarters of operating margin improvement and operating cash flow consistently above 80% in the last few years.
And we've had a clear focus on enhancing the quality of our business. And with the business now in much better shape, we can shift the emphasis towards enhancing the val proposition and driving commercial synergies, and this would have a positive impact on the growth. And as stated many times, we do this work with a clear focus on building a more scalable business.
But coming back then at the high level on the performance in the quarter, we continue to execute on our strategy, delivering solid margin and EPS improvement. And I think also the two main highlights of this quarter. And we're very well positioned to do this industry with the best value proposition for our clients also in the coming phase.
And on that note, as Matteo mentioned, we are very excited to share a lot more about the longer-term opportunities and looking forward to seeing you at our Capital Markets Day in London on June 16.
So with that, let's open up the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Suhasini Varanasi from Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
Just a couple for me, please. Can you discuss the growth trends in March after the Middle East conflict started? It looks like Europe, in particular, got impacted a little bit. And how big is the Middle East in Europe? That's the first one.
The second one is on the North America business. Negative growth in Technology was a little bit surprising, plus a slow start to Guarding. You've indicated that the commercial momentum is still strong. Is the expectation that this Technology business can come back to mid-single-digit growth in the coming quarters? Did momentum actually improve at the end of the quarter or in April, for example? If you can share that color would be great.
Thank you, Suhasini. On the growth trends in March and in Europe, when you look at the Middle East, we haven't called that out specifically in the report because it was -- from a growth perspective, we saw lower aviation activity in the month of March, and that had a negative impact on total volume. But as stated, it's aviation, which is a relatively small part of the total business and also only one month.
We have a good presence in the Middle East, but the business that we have that is then included in the EMEA region, which we are reporting under the Other category. But if you look at the business on the ground, no major disturbance, I would say, despite the difficult situation that the region is going through. So there we have handled well. And obviously, security is very high on the agenda.
When you're looking at the growth or at the negative development in installations in Q1 in North America, that was clearly a negative surprise and also below our expectations. And just to give some more flavor to that as well, there were 3 winter storms that had quite a significant impact.
I have not mentioned any winter storms in the past as a CEO of the company. But here, we had 3. And what happens then is that traveling to and from client site was not possible. That also then meant that we were not able to complete a lot of the work. And that also had some productivity impact as well after those kind of closed down. So that was the main driver here.
But to your question, when you're looking at the order intake because obviously, in this type of a situation, very close attention on the order intake, and that is strongly up compared to last year.
When I look at the back order, also clearly up. So looking at the commercial activity, my expectation is that we will recover in the second quarter. And that's also the reason I spell that out in the report as well because even though we had some logistical challenges in the first quarter. Most important is what does the order intake look like and also the back order because that's obviously the leading indicator.
So -- but we don't give more guidance than that. But I think my comments are reflecting the genuine view in terms of how looking at the recovery.
Yes. And the last point was also related to Guarding in North America. That was slightly softer than what we had expected. We had a couple of terminations in the fourth quarter that had an impact. But there, again, commercial activity, very healthy. client retention also improving. I mean there, we are through with all the active portfolio management work, et cetera.
So yes, those are really the main points. And so all in all, looking at North America as a segment, these factors combined then lead to my conclusion and view that we will recover in the second quarter.
That's very clear. And interesting that you mentioned weather in North America because I think we've had another company also mentioned something similar. So it looks like something extraordinary happened over there this quarter.
The next question comes from Simon Jönsson from ABG Sundal Collier.
Some of them were already answered about the T&S growth. But maybe you can expand a little bit on the order intake and backlog that you highlighted were strong and how that translates to the growth rate you have seen in recent quarters for T&S. Does it imply continued growth or an acceleration, do you think?
Yes. Thank you, Simon. So when you look at the solutions part of T&S that's portfolio business. I mean there's generally more stability. In the Technology, we break that down into two main parts. One is what we call recurring revenue and the other part is then the installations related projects.
And with the installations, I mean there, we essentially design and install integrated technology for the client, but then obviously always with the intention of then also serving the clients with more recurring services after that. That is when you look at the nature of that business, that is more volatile. And that's something that I've also called out in the last couple of years and also when we did the Stanley acquisition that installation business, I mean given the nature of the business, it isn't portfolio.
So that is obviously something that there could be swings. We also saw that in 2025 when we had stronger -- I mean, very strong finish to the year, for example, but now then a significantly weaker Q1. But main factor, like I said, is related to this weather situation. So -- and when that happens, everything is a fairly fine-tuned operation. And if we then have operational disturbances, that would also create productivity issues in the subsequent days and weeks.
On the order entry, this is something that we are tracking every day. And when I look at that, it is really positive development in Q1 compared to the same period last year, back order, like I said, and that's obviously what is remaining in terms of firm orders with work to be done. That also had a very positive development.
So these are the two main kind of leading indicators. And obviously, when you have this type of a situation where you have a negative surprise like this, we're scrutinizing a lot and also then very closely in contact with the clients and with our teams. And Matteo and I have also reviewed with all key leaders in North America in the Technology business just a couple of weeks ago. And like I said, looking at Q1, very good activity and good numbers coming in. So that is giving me confidence that we're in a good position to turn that business around.
I hope that gives a little bit more flavor, Simon, but I think that's as much as we can comment essentially on the installation part of the Tech business.
Yes, I understand. Thanks for good color. Then I just wanted to go to the cash flow a bit here and a few detailed questions. On the M&A spending, first of all, here in this quarter, was that mainly Liferaft acquisition or other parts involved in that figure as well?
Simon, yes, I think for the cash flow regarding the acquisition part was mainly the Liferaft. And then, of course, we had also the divestment of GEG, the aviation business in the U.S. These are the two main divestment -- the divestment and the acquisition related to the cash flow.
All right. Do you have anything to comment on like multiples for Liferaft? Is it something you -- is it the level you think you will continue to be at for further acquisitions in that segment?
Yes. So the idea here, I mean, we believe that we have paid what is a fair market value, should be stated to that type of a company has a completely different type of valuation compared to Securitas. What is important with Liferaft is that we have very strong operational capabilities with our Technology business, with the services business.
But when you look at the next phase, and this is something we will talk a lot more about this at the Capital Markets Day in June is that we also then look at how can we help our clients be more on top in terms of dynamic management on the risks and the threats that they are facing in their business. And here, Liferaft have built a really unique competence within the open-source intelligence space.
So essentially, what we are doing here is that we're buying a small company by Securitas standards, but the intention is that we are able to leverage and to scale that unique competence across our large client base.
But yes, your base or your key question, I think it's kind of market valuation for that type of a business, but we obviously expect that we're going to create a really good return on investment over time when we can buy something which is relatively small with unique competence and then scale that across a large portfolio.
All right. Good. Looking forward to hearing more on the CMD. Just a final one on the cash flow here in terms of items affecting comparability. You're guiding for the effect -- the result effect mainly for the transformation program. But what can you say of the expectations for the cash impact here the full year? I think it was SEK [ 170 ] million here in Q1 in total.
Yes, correct. We are about SEK [ 170 ] million. As I said, for the 2026, we will continue with the European transformation program where our cost will be roughly SEK 225 to SEK 250 million.
The next question comes from Andy Grobler from BNP Paribas.
Just three quick ones from me, if I may. Firstly -- first and second on Europe, could you just talk through the impact of Turkey on growth rates and with that, the kind of the underlying volume versus price growth for that division?
Secondly, portfolio management continued to weigh on organic, as you've talked to before. When do you think that process will be complete or at least largely complete?
And then thirdly, just on the cash flow and the IACs. Just picking up on the last question, can you just clarify what the expectation is for group IACs for the full year? Is that SEK 225 million to SEK 250 million the right number to think of pre the positive impact of the divestitures in Q1 for the full year? Or will that be incremental cost as well?
Thanks, Andy. So on Europe, more than half of the growth in Europe related to Turkey. And so I think that is the key point. So looking at active portfolio management, which was your second question, we expect to complete that in the second quarter, and that's in line with what I communicated a year ago. And this is obviously work that we have been doing for a number of years.
After the second quarter, somebody asked, okay, what happens then? Well, then it's more business as usual in terms of normal portfolio optimization. But as you know, and you know us well, a number of years ago, when we started this journey, I mean it was based on the insight that we had significant part of the portfolio that wasn't in good shape.
So we've been constantly working on that, and it will feel really, really good to wrap that up as a project in the second quarter. And that's in Europe, but it's the same also in Ibero-America because then we can start to gradually shift more towards profitable growth after that. So that is really the situation on the active portfolio management in Europe, but also Ibero-America.
Matteo, on the IAC?
Yes, on the IAC cash flow Andy, we aim to finish 2026 with about SEK 1 billion in cash flow, which is very similar to the level of 2025. That's the level we are expecting at the moment.
Okay. Sorry, 1 billion -- in particular, when looking at the IAC -- sorry, just to clarify exactly what you mean by that 1 billion there? Is that...
This is related to the European transformation program, but also we have the Paragon close down, which is impacting the cash flow overall, which is a value of roughly SEK 1 billion in '26 comparable with last year.
The next question comes from Remi Grenu from Morgan Stanley.
Two questions on my side. So the first two are on the North American market. So the first one would be on the addressable market itself. So it seems like the U.S. security employment data has been deteriorating a little bit over the last few months, which is a little bit surprising, given the context. I wouldn't have expected the data come up a bit. So the number of guards seems to be flat or slightly declining.
I just want to understand if there is any rational explanation for that? Do you think that the addressable market in itself is a little bit weaker than what you've seen over the last 2 years?
And on the U.S. market as well, I just want to have your view on the competitive landscape. I know that retention rate has improved in Q1 this year. but it was a little bit weaker from Q3 onwards. So yes, if you're losing contracts, is there any competitive landscape explanation to that?
And then the third question, just on the IAC. I think you're guiding for more than SEK 200 million of cost for the transformation program in Europe, which was -- I mean, my understanding was that these costs were supposed to come down in '25 and '26 again. But feels like it's ramping up again versus last year. So I just want to have more flavor on what is driving that increase in cost associated with the transformation in Europe, as I thought that it would kind of come into an end.
Thank you. So Remi, if you look at the North American market, looking at the economy itself, it's been resilient, I would say, despite a lot of the things that have been going on politically and also geopolitically. So I think that's at a very high level.
We also follow some of these industry data, which is not always great quality. So we usually then, thanks to our own presence in the market and good or proximity to our clients, also try to understand the overall market development. I would say that there is a very large and significant addressable market for us in North America. So there is a lot that we can go after over many, many years to come.
We have been investing, when I look at the second question in terms of the competitive context. First of all, is that we are unique in the sense that we have a leading position in technology, we have a leading position also in Guarding. And I would say that we are the clear quality choice. So when you look at the competitive context, we're unique in that sense. Almost all the competitors are either guarding companies or electronic security systems integration businesses, so what we call technology. So in that sense, we are also quite unique.
And we have built -- when you look at our Guarding business, very much our competitive edge based on proximity to the client. It's been investing a lot also in terms of the quality of the operation, how we've been driving the digitalization. And so I feel really good in terms of our team that we have, our leadership, looking at the operation and also the value proposition and how we continuously also invest in that value proposition.
So I would say that confidence level, we're always humble people, but we're very confident about the value proposition that we bring to our clients in this competitive context. But then we will share a lot more, as stated, also at the Capital Markets Day. So I hope that you're able to then join us for that as well because that's obviously we also will talk more about what it really means to be intelligence-led. We're going to talk a lot more about the combination as well of leading presence, technology and data and digital capabilities.
Yes, Remi, I think when it comes to the [ ISC ], maybe a clarification, if you take 2025, we had 2 programs under the IAC, one was the European transformation program and the other one was the business optimization program. And if you recall in quarter 4, it was mentioned that the business optimization program has been closed. So we are continuing to run the European transformation.
So last year, 2025, we had roughly SEK 380 million in the IAC related to the program. And this year, we are aiming to close between 225 and 250. So quite a nice reduction of between SEK 150 million, SEK 130 million. So this is a better picture as we have today. We aim to continue to reduce the IAC. We will go to zero, I don't think so. But this is -- our aim is to continue to reduce, but it's a nice reduction compared to 2025, for sure.
Thank you. The next question comes from Johan Eliason from Sparebank 1 Markets.
Good morning, Magnus, and welcome, Matteo. some questions from my side. Looking at the technology and solutions, it has been sort of delivering a little bit below the 8% to 10% target you had for this part of the business. And we heard about installation services being volatile and then now recently down.
Can you talk a little bit about how the solutions part has developed? I think historically, at some point in time, you did report on a separate note, and it was at the time growing quite strongly. Is it sort of still a significantly growing part of the technology and solutions part?
Yes. Thank you, Johan. So some context on the 8% to 10% that we communicated in 2022, that was also including acquisitions, just to highlight or to just remind about that. But like you said, when you're looking at the growth of 4% in Q1, yes, that is below my expectation. I think, significantly below our capability. So we have a clear opportunity to improve on that.
When you're looking at the quarter, very strong solutions development in Ibero-America. We had strong development in Europe and also improving in North America. But what we have done here is, just for context, with the Stanley acquisition, we and I prioritize very much that we are successful in terms of really building the technology pillar, that we drive the integration successfully, that we deliver on the cost synergies.
In the next phase, what we call solutions now, it's essentially where we take more comprehensive approach in terms of what is the customer looking for in terms of the outcome and that we then design and propose a combination of different services to optimize the security equation for that client. That will be a very important theme over the next 5 to 10 years.
So if you ask the simple question, well, is there more opportunity in this space? Absolutely the case because the we're seeing more and more evidence of that every day with technology becoming more and more important, digital becoming and intelligence capabilities becoming more important that we also have more of a pull from the clients, and we can also then leverage the value proposition that we have. So that's really the context.
So I would say that it is on the solutions overall, we are definitely on the right path but also then now fine-tuning a little bit how we're working in that space when we're also done with a lot of the cleanup activity that we've had on the Guarding side, but also integration activity on the technology side, now really gearing ourselves up to also drive more of that orchestration related to the client needs.
Excellent. Looking forward to that. Just some details on airport these days. How big share is it of group or maybe Europe or North America after these and the U.S.?
Yes. So if you look at the overall share of sales around 5% coming from aviation. When you're looking at Europe, it's more focused now on a few markets. As you probably remember, Johan, I also said a number of years ago, starting with the pandemic period that all the business that we have has to be quality business, it has to be financially sustainable. And there, we have gone through a large kind of process of active portfolio management. But where I would say the business that we have today, it's a healthy business in Europe.
Looking at North America, there we -- and that you have also seen, we have divested GEG, which it's not screening-related services, but other services at a number of different airports across the U.S. And that was a good decision because we have also been clear about the fact that everything that we do has to be fully aligned with the strategy, but we also need to have critical mass locally in any kind of business that we are engaged with to ensure that we can have real presence in the market and that we can invest in the quality and the development of the value proposition. So I think the divestment there of GEG that's just fully in line with continuing to sharpen our business.
And then maybe last point just to complement that we also have some aviation business across Ibero-America as well. And just a clarification, when I say 5%, 5% was the number before we divested GEG. So yes, not sure then somewhat lower today.
Excellent. And then just finally, I didn't quite hear what Matteo you said on the cash flow impact the [ IAC ]. I think you said the SEK 1 billion, and you mentioned something about Paragon, but I couldn't see...
That correct what you said. Yes, it's correct, Johan. Yes, I mentioned SEK 1 billion is the impact on the cash flow from an IAC perspective, which is the same level as 2025.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Allen Wells from Jefferies.
Just three quick ones from me, please. Just on the airports business, I'm not sure exactly to what extent -- you said it's broadly 5% of the group or a bit less post the divestments. But as you think about what you've seen March into April, obviously, the conflict continues, we've got some risk of aviation fuel shortages.
How do you see that growth in that business developing over 2Q and the rest of the year? And are there any actions you can take to manage or mitigate that? That's my first question, please.
Yes. Thanks, Allen. So when you look at -- I mean when I look at Q1, just to start with some of the facts. Like I said, the Middle East situation had a negative impact on the number of flights and I assume also on the number of passengers traveled, that in turn had a negative impact on our revenue in Europe.
When you're looking at the Middle East situation from a cost perspective, it's not so much hitting our aviation business, but we had some negative impact from rising fuel costs, and that is not isolated to Europe, obviously, because the oil price is global. So there, we saw that there was some impact, but we haven't called that out since it was only during 1 month.
When you look at that, and that's not aviation-related specifically. I mean there, we always look at what do we need to do to ensure that we cover our cost and then pass on the cost to our customers. So that is one that we are watching carefully since we have a number of mobile officers obviously, with a very strong presence in many key markets. but we also have installation and service and maintenance technicians as well around the world and -- who are in constant kind of mobility. So that is one that we are that we are watching. But our general principle is always that we are passing on costs when that is justified.
Then it's a little bit difficult, obviously, because your question about how does it look for the remainder of the year. Well, if I look at the contracts that we have and the business that we have in aviation, like I said before, they are in good shape now. So decent and sustainable profitability that enables us to invest in good quality and also investing in the in the relationship and the value proposition. But it's difficult to -- it depends quite a lot also on how is air travel developing now in the next couple of months.
When you're looking at April through September, October in Europe, that's a very busy period in the aviation space, and that's obviously very much related to the holidays and things like that. But then it does also vary if we have most of our contracts are more kind of fixed price contracts, but we also have some that are priced per passenger. So there is a little bit of dynamic there.
But it's difficult, Allen, to forecast how that will play out. But we're watching it carefully. And when there is a cost impact from the Middle East situation, there, we are working to pass those costs on to our clients.
Okay. That's helpful. And then two other quick ones, please. Just secondly, just on North America. There's a few significant events going on in the region. I'm particularly thinking about the World Cup. Do you have any exposure to potential kind of guarding activity, event-based extra sales growth in North America over the summer that may help that we can politically called out?
And then finally, just on the portfolio management in Europe, obviously coming to an end, I don't know if you can possibly quantify the impact on the active management, i.e., what would the 3% growth would look like in Q1 if you haven't chosen to exit contracts? Just trying to work out like what the base looks like and how we can think about that as it rolls off in Q2 and onwards.
So on North America, we focus our business on our portfolio of clients and the ongoing client relationships. So I'm not so keen on going after one-off type of events because most important is that we are delivering with continuity to our existing client base. So I wouldn't say that there is much of an impact in any way to expect related to the World Cup.
When you look at active portfolio management in Europe, well, I think I've shared that last year. I mean, we have some markets where -- a more significant markets, where we had a very significant impact on the organic sales growth.
And -- so I think without going into too much specifics, depends a little bit quarter-to-quarter and also how much business we are winning, et cetera, to compensate and how much we are converting from regular on-site guarding activities to integrated solutions. But it's definitely been several percent impact when you're looking over an extended period of time, that has been negative from the active portfolio management in Europe.
And that's quite tough because that means that then you have negative fixed cost leverage, but then we've always also been working to dynamically also adjust our organization. And that's also the reason that you've seen that the operating profit margin is continuing up, but it's also improving because we're managing to convert the vast majority of our contracts to healthy and sustainable contracts.
And I think that has been a really important shift that we have been going through not only in Europe, but globally over the last few years in terms of really defending the value and where, like I said, the vast majority of clients are then saying, we definitely want to stay with Securitas. So [ be ] more a question of, okay, what is the kind of the required level and then we have found a solution and then moved forward.
But active portfolio management, like I said before, the project itself is coming to an end and concluding that in Q2. But then, in a large guarding business, there is always a need for ongoing kind of business as usual. But this is something that I think also our teams, they have learned a lot and they are also a lot more able today to also manage carefully down to each individual contract because we are here in the business of delivering good quality and delivering sustainable returns. So this is something also with the modern systems that we are increase in the deployment, we also get much better visibility as well across the business in terms of the health of the business.
So I think that is -- it's been quite painful work over a number of years, but it will serve us well for the mid and the long term. We can, then, focus more on quality and profitable growth.
The next question comes from Viktor Lindeberg from DNB Carnegie..
Left with some keeping questions from my side, starting on Liferaft and -- maybe you can comment a bit here, Magnus, what you expect in terms of profitability and growth in the shorter to medium term, I think it grew by close to 30% organically last year, but it would be helpful to see if that's something you will project also going forward and what kind of profitability this asset is delivering for you when it's now plugged in.
So it's a small business but with very strong growth. We continued strong growth of this business, and that's obviously Liferaft on a stand-alone basis, but also gradually over time, where we can also open up our client base and leverage the great competence that [ life raft ] team has in terms of open-source intelligence. So -- but stand-alone plan projected strong growth in the coming years, and that is important.
But then I also think that when we -- like I mentioned at one of the earlier questions as well, our idea here is that there is very specific competence with Liferaft. We've been working with them over the last 5 years. and we see very strong opportunities in terms of leveraging their intelligence capabilities across our broader client base. And I think that is how we also ensure that we are generating a good return on this investment over time.
But in terms of profitability, essentially breakeven today, but that's also very much based on reinvesting everything in continued growth, which I think is the right approach because this is also an area where we want to build more critical mass and relevance and really strengthen our own value proposition.
But looking at the mid and the long term, there is obviously a very good profitability opportunity in this type of a business. But most important now is that we scale it and that we scale it on a stand-alone basis, but then also leveraging commercial synergies with the Securitas client base.
That's clear. And I have, as usual, looked at your annual report. And the I guess, the recurring question here is on your accounts receivables and the bad debt provisions. And I looked at the bad debt provisions, a share of overall receivables and share of sales. And as you probably know, this has trended down over the past 2 years. So you've sort of shifted the provisioning of bad debt quite a lot lower. And this is coming from invoicing that is overdue more than 90 days.
So I guess there is a good reason for this, but I just want to take that noise out of the room as it's sort of a frequent question coming in now and then. So I guess the absolute provisioning level is also something that is important to bear in mind. But any color you could give on the quite sizable shift you made in the provisioning estimates would be helpful to understand a bit more.
Of course, I mean, as you can see from the annual report, the total provision for bad debt losses, excluding the translation, reduced to SEK 1.5 billion compared to SEK 1.186 billion in 2024. And also the total provision for bad debt losses exceeding the 90 days, it went actually down from 1.5 in 2025 to 1.761.
So I think if you look a bit from a bad debt point of view and the effect on the -- on our P&L, we are pretty much stable where we were in 2024 with 0.1% impact in our profit and loss. So there is no -- although we have changed a bit the percentage on the aging, we see no big impact over there and the impact on the P&L is rather stable at 0.1%.
Yes. That's what I just wanted to confirm. That's good. But would you say that you see any improving recovery rates in the post 90 days of provisioning that has led you to become a bit more optimistic about this provisioning level or it's more about keeping the overall bad debt provisioning in balance?
I think the aim is, of course, to improve our accounts receivable and the aging, but we see stable situation at the moment. As I said, the impact on the P&L is rather stable at 0.1%. So we are going to keep the situation rather stable trying to improve the aging, of course, quarter-on-quarter. But this is the situation where we are today.
[Operator Instructions] There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.
Okay. Thanks a lot, everyone, for good questions and engagement today. And as stated earlier, looking forward to seeing you for our Capital Markets Day in June. It's going to be really a good opportunity now. We finished the last phase successfully and then to be able to share also what we have in our plans and the strategy for the next phase. So thanks a lot. Enjoy the rest of the day. Bye-bye.
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SECURITAS — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome, everyone. Andreas and I are proud to report strong results for Q4 and for the full year 2025. So let us go straight to some of the performance highlights.
The organic growth in the quarter was 3%, and this was supported by 6% growth in Technology & Solutions. We had a good finish to the year in Technology & Solutions with 2% improvement sequentially. And the adjusted organic growth of the group -- and that means when you exclude the closedown of the SCIS business was 4%.
And now to something important. The operating margin was 8% and 8.2% adjusted in the quarter, thanks to the strong delivery across the entire business. North America achieved a 10% operating margin in the quarter, and Europe delivered another quarter with more than 8%.
And we have improved the operating margin now 20 quarters in a row and are delivering on the 8% target that we communicated 3.5 years ago. EPS real change, excluding IAC was also strong at 18% and we had continued strong delivery in terms of cash flow with operating cash flow of 88% for the full year and net debt to EBITDA ratio improved further to 2.1.
And based on the stronger underlying performance, the dividend proposal is SEK 5.30, which represents an 18% increase. And looking at the future, we announced a very important milestone for our journey with the acquisition of Liferaft yesterday evening. And this is the leading provider of threat intelligence and I will provide more details regarding the strategic importance of Liferaft at the end of this presentation.
So let's then shift to the performance in the business lines and segments. We delivered strong margin development in both business lines with 12.7% for Technology & Solutions, 6.6% of Services in the quarter. And there is growth, as I stated, in Technology & Solutions for 6%, so 2% improvement compared to the previous quarter. And the growth in Security Services was 1% and this growth is obviously negatively impacted by the SCIS business where we're closing down the government part of that business.
So with that, let's move to the segment, and we are starting, as always, with North America where we're delivering a very strong set of results and a record 10% operating margin in the quarter. And if we start with a growth of 5%, this was driven by good portfolio development and price increases in the Guarding business and by good development in technology. The real sales growth in Technology & Solutions improved to 4% compared to lower growth in the previous quarter.
And when looking at the profitability, strong leverage and cost control in Guarding, together with solid profitability in Technology and a recovery in the Pinkerton business all contributed to the record level operating margin. So all in all, a very strong performance, a record-breaking 10%, so well done by our North America team.
We then move to Europe, where we are also very pleased with the development. The organic growth was 4% in the quarter, and the growth was supported by price increases including impact from the hyperinflation environment in Turkey and also by solid growth of Technology & Solutions, while active portfolio management in the Services business had a negative impact on growth. Sales growth in Technology & Solutions was 7%. But it's the profitability development that stands out with 110 basis points improvement to 8.1%. And the margin improvement was driven by both business lines, including positive impact from the business optimization program.
The Security Services business was positively impacted by higher margin on new sales, active portfolio management and also the divestiture of the Airport Security business in France. We also recorded a solid improvement in the operating margin in the Technology & Solutions business line driven by good portfolio development and solid cost control.
And as commented earlier, we expect the work we're addressing low-margin Guarding contracts to be completed during the first half of 2026. So all in all, solid development by our European team and also here an operating margin at a record level.
Shifting then to be Ibero-America, where we are pleased to report good organic growth and decent margin improvement. The growth was 5%, and this was driven by high single digital growth in Technology & Solutions and prices increases in the Services business. But similar to Europe, there is a negative impact on the growth from active portfolio management, but we're making good progress here and driving good conversions to Technology & Solutions. And the real sales growth in Technology & Solutions was 7% in the quarter. The operating margin improved 20 basis points in the quarter, and the improvement was primarily driven by positive impact from active portfolio management in the Security Services business line.
So to conclude, strong delivery in 2025 by our Ibero-America team. And looking then at the performance across the group, we are driving disciplined execution of our strategy, and I'm really pleased to see strong execution across all segments. And the client retention is solid at 90%. So with that, turn to the finance update and handing over to you, Andreas.
Thank you, Magnus. And first of all, if I sound different to normal, it is because I'm about to lose my voice, I apologize for that. We start with the income statement, where we had organic sales growth of 3% and improved the operating margin with 70 basis points to 8%. It is a strong quarter where we improved our operating income with 15% adjusted for currency. As we communicated in Q2, we have introduced 2 new KPIs, which are adjusting our organic growth and our operating margin for the government business to be closed down within SCIS. In the quarter, the adjusted organic growth was 4% and the adjusted operating margin was 8.2%.
Looking below operating results, there are no material developments in amortization of acquisition-related intangibles nor in the acquisition-related costs. The items affecting comparability was SEK 78 million, and this was related to the ongoing European transformation and business optimization programs. And the full year cost for these programs was SEK 382 million, approximately in line with our previous guidance. We have executed the business optimization program in a good way where the annualized savings in Q4 are in line with the targeted SEK 200 million savings. The business optimization program is now closed. And in 2026, the only remaining program is related to the European transformation. And here, we estimate to have a full year 2026 program cost of SEK 225 million to SEK 250 million, a material reduction compared to the SEK 382 million related to the programs in 2025.
In Q3, we took a SEK 1.5 billion cost in items affecting comparability related to the close-down of the government business within SCIS. The close-down is progressing according to plan and had limited impact on our operating result in Q4. We continue to expect the vast majority of the business to be closed down by the end of 2026, and we will also start to see an accelerated execution of the close-down during the first half year. Our finance net came in at SEK 383 million, a reduction of SEK 146 million compared to last year.
And here, we continue to see a positive trend of reduced financing costs as interest rates and our debt levels are going down. For the full year 2026, we estimate the finance net to continue to reduce and land around SEK 1.6 billion to be compared to the SEK 1.8 billion for the full year 2025. Moving to tax. Here, we had a tax rate of 29.5% for the full year, slightly higher than our Q3 forecast of 29.2%. The full year tax rate was impacted by the SCIS close-down cost in Q3, where we estimate around half of the cost to be tax deductible over time. Adjusted for the close-down impact, the full year tax rate was 27.2%, and we expect the 2026 tax rate to be in the approximately same area.
All in all, we have a strong quarter where we grow our FX adjusted EPS with 18%. And as we summarize 2025, we have improved our adjusted operating margin with 60 basis points to 7.7%, grown our operating result with 11% and grown our EPS with 18%. And at the same time, we also achieved our financial target of an operating margin of 8% in the second half year of 2025. The adjusted operating margin in the second half was 8.2%.
We then move to cash flow, where our operating cash flow was solid at SEK 3.9 billion or 128% of operating income. The cash flow was supported by lower growth rates and the continued improved DSO, but also negatively impacted by the additional USD 44 million payroll in our U.S. Guarding business as we communicated in the third quarter. This negative impact is a timing impact only, which occurs every fifth to sixth year. The free cash flow landed at SEK 3 billion, supported then by the solid operating cash flow, reduced interest payments due to the lower interest rates and debt levels and positive tax timing impacts.
Looking at the full year 2025, we delivered another year of record cash flow. The operating cash flow was more than SEK 10 billion or 88% of the result, supported by good working capital focus and lower growth rates. And we have now delivered operating cash flows above our financial targets of 70% to 80% over the last 2 years, a result of our strong focus to build a more qualitative business and also structurally improve our working capital over time. And this has, of course, also translated into stronger free cash flows, which creates increased flexibility and opportunity for us as we move into a new phase of our strategic journey. Our cash generation will also be positively impacted as our items affecting comparability continues to reduce as we go into 2026 and beyond.
We then have a look at our net debt, which was SEK 31.3 billion at the end of the quarter. This is a reduction of SEK 2.1 billion compared to Q3, mainly supported by the strong free cash flow, but also by the strength in Swedish krona. In the quarter, we paid the second tranche of our dividend, and we had SEK 321 million of total IAC payments, whereof approximately SEK 160 million was related to the final payment for the U.S. government and Paragon settlement. We have now made all 3 payments related to this settlement and expect no further cash flow out related to the case.
Looking at the right-hand side, our net debt to EBITDA reduced to 2.1. This is an 0.4x improvement compared to Q4 last year, where positive EBITDA development, good cash generation and the strength in Swedish krona have supported positively and we are well below our target net debt-to-EBITDA of less than 3x.
Moving on to have a look at our financing and financial position, where we continue to have a strong balance sheet, remain with strong liquidity, and we have no financial covenants in our debt facilities. After a period of important refinancing focus, our main focus during the second half of 2025 has been to amortize debt, supported by the strong free cash flow generation. In the quarter, we repaid SEK 1.9 billion of debt and throughout 2025, we have amortized a total of SEK 3.3 billion. This continues to support our cost of financing going forward. And looking at the maturity chart, we have very limited refinancing needs throughout 2026. And as always, we remain committed to our investment-grade rating.
So with that, I hand over back to you, Magnus.
Many thanks, Andreas. So I'd like to share a few perspectives regarding our strategic development and the Liferaft acquisition before we open up the Q&A. First, we are proud of the fact that we are reaching our 8% target in the second half of 2025. Back in 2022, when we did the Stanley acquisition, we accelerated the work to change the profile of Securitas security company with the strongest technology and digital offering to our clients in combination with high-quality guarding services.
And when looking back at last 4 years, we have been executing well. We are a sharper, more focused company today and operating at a different margin level. And as we're entering 2026, this also means that we can then start to retire this bridge that we have kept coming back to every quarter and over the last 3.5 years.
Looking at the future, we're very excited about the acquisition of Liferaft. So when I look at the transformation of Securitas during the last 6, 7 years, we have kept a clear focus on investing in the core capabilities that we consider critical to winning in this industry and those are focused on presence, technology and data. In this context, we strengthened our guarding value proposition. We have improved the profitability of guarding. We've built a globally leading technology position and a more modern and digitally capable business.
So we have strong pillars in our business today. But we've also worked to meet the increasing client demans for better understanding the risks and the threats facing their business. And over the past 5 years, we have developed in-house risk intelligence capabilities that we are providing to more and more customers. So all this is good, you might say, but what is then the importance of the Liferaft acquisition?
Well, Liferaft is one of the leading SaaS-based threat intelligence providers focused on OSINT and that's open source intelligence. This is a very strong team with deep expertise in threat intelligence and they have been a partner and provider to Securitas for many years. And with Liferaft, we will be able to scale and leverage their capabilities across our client base and in the process strengthen our clients value proposition.
When looking at the financials, the company is currently prioritizing rapid expansion and growing organically around 30% on an annual basis, but also then reinvesting very strong gross margins to accelerate organic growth. And given the increase in demand in this market, I fully support this approach.
The acquisition is fully in line with our strategy to create a more scalable business model and becomes an important addition to accelerate growth in high-margin recurring monthly revenue. And as previously stated, the recurring monthly revenue for the group exceeds more than SEK 1 billion.
So we are thrilled to welcome the Liferaft team when we are closing the transaction, joining forces to shape the future with more intelligence-led security. And the future is promising. With the transformation of Securitas, we're well positioned with a clearly differentiated client offering, well positioned for profitable growth. And we are operating in an attractive market, but also a growing market where we see steady increase in the demand for quality security.
We have transformed and repositioned our client portfolio with a clear focus on segments with more sophisticated security needs and higher growth profile. And we partner with our clients for the long term and we see that our deeper engagement model, where we leverage our technology and digital capabilities, is generating high value for our clients and also for us. And the approach is working. So like Andreas and I have commented, we're executing well on our plans, 20 consecutive quarters of operating margin improvement and solid cash flow generation.
We've had a clear focus on enhancing the quality of our business and margin improvement in recent years. But as more and more units reach the required profitability thresholds -- so from my perspective, that means for a good sustainable business, they also gained the right to shift focus to profitable growth.
And with the business now in much better shape, we can shift emphasis towards commercial synergies and driving growth. And as stated many times, we do this with a clear focus on building a more scalable business. So we are confident and excited about our longer-term opportunities and we're looking forward to sharing more in the Capital Markets Day in June.
So in conclusion, we are on the right path, well positioned for the next phase. So with that, we conclude the Q4 presentation and happy to open up the Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Francesco Nardinocchi from Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
This is Suhasini from Goldman Sachs, actually. I just had a couple of questions please. So the -- if we think about your growth and margin expectations for the first half versus second half of this year, would it be fair to say that because of the impact of your underperforming contract exits that's going to be completed by first half this year, maybe the growth is a little more weighted to second half and similarly on margins. And I'm not sure I read but how much are you expecting to pay for the acquisition of Liferaft? And how is your M&A pipeline looking at this point in time?
Yes. Thank you. So when you're looking at that, I think it's the right assumption that finalizing that work will have a negative impact in the near term from the active portfolio management. But that's why it's also so important and so positive that we are soon done with that work. And as I commented in the last couple of years, we were more quick in North America in terms of finalizing that work. So I think that is obviously something that we're looking forward to also in Europe.
Then when you look at the growth in Q4, we had 6% growth in Technology & Solutions, and that's a clear improvement compared to the previous quarters. We have a strong offering. Solutions is more of a portfolio business. Technology part, there's also some variability with installations, but we see that we are on a good path. So I think that is the other part that I would just highlight because that part of the business, there is no impact from active portfolio management.
We have not disclosed the purchase price related to Liferaft simply due to commercial reasons that we're not doing that. But we have paid a fair market price for this type of business overall. So -- and there will be some details coming as we have closed the transaction as well.
On the M&A pipeline side, as we have said, we are ramping up our focus on continued bolt-on acquisitions within Technology & Solutions and some targeted also acquisitions in the intelligence area. We made a few minor ones outside Liferaft, but we are still in ramp-up mode, I would say. So the pipeline is not -- there's not a huge pipeline at this point in time, but it's something that we are working towards improving.
The next question comes Remi Grenu from Morgan Stanley.
First, a quick question on the 2026 outlook. I guess, given you have achieved the 8% and the CMD is not before June, we are left a little bit in dark in term of margin development. So just trying to have your overview on 2026 margin development if we exclude any -- excluding the positive impact that the closure of SCIS is going to generate. But on an underlying basis with the portfolio of the company, do you believe that there is still potential for margin improvement from the current run rate at the end of 2025. So that would be the first question.
The second one is on North America. The organic growth very suddenly accelerated in Q2 and it's been normalizing a little bit over the last 2 quarters. Just trying to understand the drivers of that sudden acceleration and what's happening since then? Why it is coming back down? Is it about like volume normalizing, lower pricing and also taking a step back on that market, what do you think is the structural level of organic growth in North America?
And then the last one, you have come to the end of that strategic plan in 2025. Have you started to have a think about the new KPIs for management remuneration, variable remuneration and going into the next phase of the company, what do you think would be most relevant in terms of aligning the interest of shareholders with management?
Very good. Thank you, Remi. So we don't provide guidance. But first of all, I think it's been really important for all of us internally and also externally that we are delivering on the 8% because it represents a very significant shift. When you're looking at 2026, driving good growth in Technology & Solutions will have a positive impact on margin. I could also expect some positive impact from active portfolio management work that we still have some of that work yet to be done.
Business optimization program, we've commented as well. We successfully completed that in 2025, should also help and support. So generally speaking, I mean, we are -- and I spelled that out, I think back in 2022 is that 8% is important to achieve. We believe that now we have a really good opportunity to also be related to your third question, calibrate more precisely as well how we maximize the value creation because we've had very hard focus on improving the quality and the margin.
But it's quite obvious to us as well that we get done with some of the structural work and the heavy lifting and cleaning. We're largely done with that now and that also means that we can then also start to shift focus on more profitable growth going forward. And I think that is something that we -- that is clearly on our minds. And it's also clearly something that we're also reflecting also in how we're calibrating some of the incentive programs as well so that we really gear those towards maximizing value for our shareholders.
So I think those are the key points. North America, maybe briefly on your side, Andreas?
I can just follow up on the KPIs because there's also misunderstanding related to that up until now. We have both long-term incentive programs, and we have short-term incentive programs. It's right, as you say, that operating the margin has been a focus for the long-term incentive programs. But in the short-term incentive programs, which is a material part of total compensation, it is also about driving growth in the earnings as well. So I just want to highlight that. And then if you want to take the...
Yes. No, that's an important point because if you look also at the operating result growth, really solid double-digit levels in 2025 in constant currency. And we are here, obviously, to drive that for change, but it's always going to be a balance as well. And we should also remember that operating margin improvement is also helping and accelerating also the operating result growth. So I think that's an important clarification about the programs that we've had up until now.
When you look at North America, we feel good about our position. We feel good about the market in general. So I wouldn't -- and it's a little bit difficult to call out the specific growth numbers. This is something that in our industry, it is a little bit difficult to get a very clear understanding of how the total market is developing. But I would say that we are well positioned in terms of the segments where we are and also segments where there is, generally speaking, a higher emphasis on the quality, security is important, but there is also very healthy underlying growth.
So I would say that we are well positioned, but it's difficult, Remi, to call out a very specific overall growth number. But I believe with the offering that we have, we should be able to grow at least with the market and preferably above market rate. And that is very much based on the strength of the offering but also that we are well positioned in terms of the segments that we serve.
The next question comes from Andy Grobler from BNPP.
Just a couple from me, if I may. Firstly, just in Q4, in terms of the European growth, can you talk through the tailwinds from Turkey and also the headwinds from portfolio management, so sort of to get to the underlying numbers there?
And then secondly on the longer-term perspective, Technology keeps evolving at pace as we can see from the stock market. I just wondered what you're seeing in your end markets? And if at this stage, there's any signs or you expect to see over time, price deflation within your monitoring activities and the extent to which that's possible. That would be really helpful.
Thank you. When it comes to the European growth rates in the fourth quarter, you can say more or less all the positive growth is coming from Turkey in essence. That's the first statement. So Turkey had an impact for sure. If you're then looking at the -- where we have volume growth was in Technology & Solutions in Europe and then there was a negative impact that we have not quantified related to the [ APM ] that is impacting the Security Services portfolio. So I think those are 3 pillars to bear in mind when looking at the European organic growth.
And then, Andy, on the technology, I mean, what we call the technology business is essentially business where we drive or we design, we install systems and then we operate and serve those systems for our customers. So there's a couple of different components. But a big part of the value, I would say, when I look at the kind of 3 main areas of activity, installation, service maintenance and also monitoring is that, that work is quite tightly connected. So when we are doing a good integration and installation work, we're very well positioned to also provide the best type of service and maintenance.
But more and more of what we are doing and what we're also interested in building is more the recurring revenue. And there, obviously, connected services, those are usually not just simple kind of monitoring lines, for example, it's usually part of a broader value proposition and there, I believe that we are in a good position based on the great strengths that we have built. And where also the deep integration of Stanley has really helped us because we have built genuinely good service capability and levels and also [ rich ] service offering to our clients as well. So I think that we are in good shape in that sense from a market perspective and also the offering that we bring.
Okay. And then just lastly, Andreas, thank you for all your help over the years and best of luck with whatever the future may bring.
Thank you. And likewise, Andy.
I remember to say a special thank you to Andreas at the end of the call today as well. But I'm glad you comment that, Andy. Andreas has been a great partner all along here.
The next question comes from Allen Wells from Jefferies.
A couple from me, please. Firstly, just following up from Remi's question on North America. Obviously, very mindful that active portfolio management has been a headwind to growth. And as that starts to end, you flagged in Europe in the first half, that should be a positive as you switch to that growth focus. But as Remi flagged, as we look at North America, the portfolio management has ended and growth has slowed sequentially from 2Q through to 4Q, the 5% we saw in 4Q. To what extent is that slowing in North America? Are you guys maybe holding back to focus on margin rather than kind of fully pushing the commercial engine in the business? And to what extent maybe is it just that it's a continued tough market that is still hard to drive growth? That would be the first question.
Secondly, just like a bit of an update on the technology side. Obviously, growth improved sequentially 6% in the quarter, but it's still well below the 8% to 10% target. So I'd be keen just to understand of that 6%, how much is pricing, how much is volume and how you think about the outlook towards that 8% to 10%?
And then third question, just on free cash flow. Just in the full year, obviously, a positive outcome overall, but there was a positive impact from working capital for the full year. Like I don't typically think of you guys as a positive net working capital business. So to what extent is that net working capital number sustainable and how should we think about potential unwind as we move through 2026 as well?
Thank you, Allen. I think on the first question, we don't see any change in the trend in North America. I mean some variation there will be between the different quarters. We are well positioned. Like you highlighted, we've done with the active portfolio management, and it's obviously a dynamic market. But when you look at what we are winning and what we are losing, yes, we feel good. So no major issue or anything specific to read into that from my perspective.
When it comes to the Technology and Solutions growth, when we set the target of 8% to 10%, it's important to remember that was also including acquisitions. And there, we have done limited. We've been focusing on integrating and then also taking down our balance sheet, although it's something that we are looking at ramping up. So in that context, the 6% is a decent number.
When you look into that 6% on the Technology side, it is definitely volumes mainly from that growth. If you're looking at the Solutions side, it's a combination of both volumes and price. So all in all, more volume than price when it comes to the 6%. So -- and it's also a decent number, we should say.
When it comes to free cash flow, a couple of lenses here. I mean, we said in the last Capital Markets Day, yes, there will be a mix shift in the working capital with the technology business coming in. But we also said clearly that we are working on structurally improving our working capital, and that's really what we have been doing over the last couple of years, which is giving a positive result. So we have definitely structurally improved on the working capital side. And we also show that in the 88% cash flow this year, 84% last year. So it's also not just a temporary change.
Then as you all know, we have seasonality in our cash flow, where our Q4 cash flow is stronger. And now the number is coming in somewhat below Q4 last year, but still at a very strong level. So going into Q1, yes, it will definitely be weaker from that standard seasonality that we're having. But the underlying trend, I think, is most important when it looks at the cash flow given we have volatility. And there, I hope you all see that we have elevated the cash flow, and we are now delivering above our financial targets 2 years in a row.
The next question comes from Viktor Lindeberg from DNB Carnegie.
Two initially, if I may. And looking at the mounting down of CIS in 2026, if you could share some more details on the run rate and how it's sort of expected to progress and where we may be end of 2026 in terms of revenue? Are we all the way down to 0? Or is it only maybe halfway there?
And second question is associated also to this, trying to trickle out the underlying cost base for the, call it, group other item or overhead line items here. So if you could share any guidance or thoughts on the underlying costs for the Securitas business, excluding CIS, that would be very much helpful.
Thank you. If we start then with the government business within SCIS closed down, as I mentioned here earlier as well, we have started to see some impact in the fourth quarter from the close-down on the top line, but it's not much. But you should expect to see an accelerated impact in the first 6 months from the close-down activities. And then if you're looking at your question there, where will it be at the end of 2026, we expect that most of it will for sure be done. The vast majority will be done by the end of 2026. So I hope that helps a little bit by understanding how we expect this to progress throughout the year. When it comes to other in our segment reporting, 3 components, as you know, our Africa, Middle East and Asia business. We have our SCIS business, and we have the group cost. The Africa, Middle East and Asia business continued to deliver strongly in the quarter comparing them to last year.
The SCIS business was fairly stable when you look at the bottom line. And then on the group cost, it was higher than last year. And here, we have been running tight cost control throughout the year. But in the fourth quarter, we released some more project investments in the quarter. And that's the main reason and then some year-end reconciliation, but that's the main reason compared to last year. To understand the trend there, I would also very much look at the full year number.
Okay. That's very clear. And another question on the topic you have brought up Magnus in the CEO letter this quarter, you mentioned the run rate is about -- or at least USD 1 billion or looking at the [ SAS ] and recurring revenues. And I recall you mentioned 18 months ago a run rate of [ USD 1.25 billion ] per month. So just to understand, are we talking apples-to-apples here or what -- why dimensioning or maybe confusion from my side here?
Thanks, Viktor. No, we're just keen also on highlighting that we have quite a significant number. I mean, we are clearly above that [ USD 1 billion ], but we will share a lot more detail in the Capital Markets Day in June because this is an important focus area also in terms of building a more scalable business.
Okay. So it has not deteriorated over the past 18 months. That's what you're saying?
No, no. We have seen growth in the business since then.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Johan Eliason from SB1 Markets.
I just had a bit of a detailed follow-up on to Andreas. You mentioned that in 2026, you expect some SEK 225 million to SEK 250 million in items affecting comparability. Is that sort of including this 1% of revenue you are sort of reviewing right now? Or could there be some one-offs on top of this from this review?
Relevant question. The number that I mentioned is excluding any impact from strategic assessments, which obviously then could be both a positive or negative number, so to say. So excluding that, just for clarity.
The next question comes from Nicole Manion from UBS.
Just one quick follow-up question from me, please, on the Security Services margin. Obviously, that's now up more than 100 bps over the past couple of years. Just wondering if you can give us a sense of how much of the improvement there you've seen this year over the last year is portfolio management versus what's coming from price increases or any other drivers? Are we pretty close to peak margins in this side of the business as you get to the end of the portfolio pruning? Or are there other levers you think you can look at as you move into next year?
Thank you. A couple of different drivers, Nicole. When you're looking at that margin improvement, new sales margins have been consistently very healthy, and that's a good indication that we have a good offering. Clients see the value in that offering. Active portfolio management is also there contributed. But I would also say that we've also been working to also run the business, leveraging the new platforms that we've invested in a more efficient way. So automation and also AI has also been helping us to also optimize how we run the operation.
If you're looking at the services margin on a group level, I think that there is further opportunity to continuously improve that in the next couple of years. So I would not agree with the comment that this is kind of peak margin. We believe that driving the things that we have been driving, but also continuously strengthening the value proposition, we are in a good position to enhance the value essentially.
There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the President and CEO, Magnus Ahlqvist, for any closing comments.
Thanks a lot, everyone, for your interest and a special thank you to you, Andreas. Highly respected and appreciated colleague. I also think with -- in the dialogue also with many of you have also been a really good asset. So just to say thank you. But obviously, then looking ahead as well, we are now at full speed in terms of the assessment and also seeing really good interest also for this position. So we will come back on that matter. But most important today, I think, is just to -- yes, for me to also express our appreciation from the entire team.
Thank you very much, Magnus. And thank you, everyone, on the call as well for really good collaboration in the last couple of years, highly appreciated.
So I think with that, we wrap up the Q4 and 2025 presentation. Thanks a lot, everyone.
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SECURITAS — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our Q3 report. We continue to develop on a good path, execute on our strategic focus areas and are glad to report a solid set of results for the third quarter. The organic growth in the quarter was 3% and North America and Ibero-America both contributed with solid growth. And now to a highlight. The operating margin was 8.1% in the quarter. We had solid improvements across all segments as well as in the Services and Technology & Solutions business lines. And as announced last quarter, we are closing down the government business within Critical Infrastructure Services. And adjusted for this business, the organic sales growth was 4% and the operating margin was 8.3%. EPS real change was strong at 19%. And the operating cash flow is above 100% in the quarter, and we continued to improve the leverage and the net debt-to-EBITDA ratio is now at 2.2.
The business optimization program that we initiated at the beginning of this year is contributing and the vast majority of the cost savings have now been executed. So shifting then to the performance just for an overview in the business lines and the segments. And as stated, we are recording significant margin improvements in both business lines. Continued strong Technology & Solutions margin development with 50 basis points to 11.7%. And the sales growth in Technology & Solutions was 4% in the quarter. This is below our target, but we have a strong offering, and we have taken actions to increase the focus on client engagement and commercial development, and I expect these actions to generate stronger momentum in the coming quarters.
The margin in Security Services improved 30 basis points to 6.9% and this was supported by high margin on new sales, portfolio management and strong development of the Aviation business, while the SCIS business hampered. Growth in Security Services was 1% in the quarter, and the growth rate in Services is negatively impacted by active portfolio management and the SCIS business. But important, we expect to finalize the active portfolio management work in Europe and Ibero-America during the first half of 2026 and that work is progressing according to our plans.
So with that, let's move then to the segments. And as always, we start with North America, where we are pleased to report solid organic sales growth at 6% and a record Q3 operating margin. Healthy portfolio volume development and price increases in the Guarding business were key drivers of the growth and continued double-digit growth in the Pinkerton business contributed and the performance in the Technology business also supported. Technology & Solutions growth was 2% in the quarter. And similar to the previous quarter, growth in Technology was decent, but we had lower Solutions growth. And we are fine-tuning our go-to-market approach with Solutions in North America, where we leverage our in-house technology capabilities in a much better way than before. And with these changes now being in place, I expect improved growth in the coming quarters.
We improved the operating margin in the Guarding and Technology business units to 9.5%, and this was supported by good cost control and leverage. So all in all, very strong performance and a record Q3 operating margin in North America.
And moving then to Europe, where the operating margin improvement stands out as the highlight of the quarter. The organic growth was 2%. Price increases, impact from Turkey and aviation supported, while active portfolio management had a clear negative impact on the growth in the quarter. Sales growth in Technology & Solutions was 4% and slightly below our expectations. The operating margin improved with 70 basis points to 8.4%, and this is a significant improvement and is the result of strong execution on all strategic priorities by our European teams. And as commented, we continue to address and renegotiate the low-performing contracts in the services business in Europe. This has a clear negative impact on the growth in the short term, but it's fully in line with our strategy and the plans that we set a couple of years ago. And we expect the work where we're addressing the low-margin contracts to be completed during the first half of 2026. So all in all, very good development by European teams and also here an operating margin at a record level.
We then shift to Ibero-America, where we're also pleased to report good organic growth and solid margin improvement. The organic growth was 5%. This was driven by high single-digit growth in Technology & Solutions and price increases in the Services business. And similar to Europe, there is a negative impact on the growth from active portfolio management, but we're making good progress and driving conversions to Technology & Solutions. The operating margin improvement was solid in the quarter, and the majority of the improvement is related to improvement in the services business, but some temporary one-offs also contributed. So all in all, a very good quarter also in Ibero-America.
And looking then at the performance across the group, we are driving disciplined execution of the strategy, and I'm really pleased to see strong execution across all segments and from all the teams. Our customer offer is stronger than ever before, and we're also glad to report improving client retention.
So with that overview, turn to the finance update and handing over to you, Andreas.
Thank you, Magnus. And we start with the income statement, where we had organic sales growth of 3% and improved the operating margin with 60 basis points, leading to a currency adjusted operating profit growth of 11% in the quarter. As we communicated in Q2, we have introduced 2 new KPIs, which are adjusting our organic growth and our operating margin for the government business to be closed down within SCIS. In the third quarter, the adjusted organic growth was 4% and the adjusted operating margin was 8.3%. And this is higher than our target to have an adjusted operating margin of 8% in the second half year of 2025 and puts us in a good position to achieve the target as we are closing the year in the fourth quarter.
The close down of the government business itself is progressing according to the plan that we laid out in the second quarter and had limited impact on the operating result in Q3. Looking then below operating result, there are no material developments in amortization of acquisition-related intangibles nor in the acquisition-related costs. Items affecting comparability was SEK 1.5 billion, where we in the third quarter have made a provision of USD 154 million for the government business close down, in line with what we communicated in Q2. The remaining SEK 65 million of IAC is related to the ongoing transformation and business optimization programs. Both programs are running according to plan and the full year forecast of SEK 375 million for both programs combined remains unchanged to our previous guidance. And as Magnus mentioned earlier, we have executed the business optimization program well and the vast majority of the target SEK 200 million run rate cost savings by the end of 2025 has been executed in the third quarter.
And as we're looking into 2026, we are planning to continue to reduce the investments under IAC in comparison to the SEK 375 million this year. I will come back with more details to you in Q4. Our finance net came in at SEK 419 million, which is a reduction of SEK 158 million compared to last year, and we continue the positive trend of reduced financing costs as interest rates and our debt levels are going down. For the full year, we expect the finance net to land in the range of SEK 1.8 billion to SEK 1.9 billion, which is a material decrease compared to the SEK 2.3 billion we had in 2024.
Moving to tax. Here, our full year forecasted tax rate is 29.2%. The increase compared to our full year 26.7% estimate in the second quarter is mainly due to the $154 million closedown cost where we expect around 60% of the total cost to be tax deductible over time. Adjusted then for the closedown impact, the full year forecasted tax rate is 26.8%, in line with our previous communication in Q2. All in all, a strong quarter where our currency adjusted EPS growth, excluding IAC, was 19% in Q3 and 18% for the first 9 months of 2025.
We then move to cash flow, where our operating cash flow was solid at SEK 3.3 billion or 106% of the operating income. This despite some negative timing impacts from Q2, as I mentioned in the previous quarter. Both our DSO and our general working capital position continued to improve and supported a good outcome in the quarter. The free cash flow landed at SEK 2.7 billion, supported by solid operating cash flow, the reduced interest payments due to the lower interest rates and debt levels and temporary positive tax timing impacts in the U.S., and we expect a majority of the positive timing impacts to reverse in the fourth quarter.
For the first 9 months of the year, we have strengthened our operating cash generation, having an operating cash flow of 74% of our operating income compared to 58% last year. We are in a good position to meet our full year target of an operating cash flow of 70% to 80% of operating income, where we always target to be at the upper end of that interval. This despite that we have one additional payroll in our U.S. Guarding business in Q4, which will impact the fourth quarter cash flow negatively approximately USD 40 million. This is a negative timing impact that we have every fifth or every sixth year in the U.S., and this timing impact is relevant for Q4 as well as for the full year 2025. In 2026, we will then be back to the normal payroll pattern with 1 less payroll compared to this year.
We then have a look at our net debt, which was SEK 33.4 billion at the end of the quarter. This is a reduction of SEK 2.6 billion compared to Q2, mainly supported by the strong free cash flow generation. In the quarter, we also had SEK 308 million of total IAC payments, where SEK 175 million of this was the second payment related to the U.S. government and Paragon settlement. The residual is mainly related to the ongoing transformation and business optimization program and the government business close down, which was SEK 43 million in the second quarter. And as a reminder, the total Paragon settlement amount is USD 53 million, which we pay in 3 approximately equal installments. We have now made 2 payments and the third and final payment has been made in the fourth quarter.
Moving then to the right-hand side, where the net debt to EBITDA was 2.2x. This is 0.5 turn improvement compared to Q3 last year, where the positive EBITDA development, good cash generation and the strength in Swedish krona all supported positively. And we are well below our target net debt-to-EBITDA of less than 3x and expect to continue to deleverage our balance sheet in the short term.
Moving on to have a look at our financing and financial position, where we continue to have a strong balance sheet, strong liquidity, and we remain without any financial covenants in our debt facilities. And after a period of important refinancing focus, our main focus in the second half of 2025 is to use the strong cash generation from the business to amortize debt. In the quarter, we have repaid SEK 1.4 billion of debt. And in the fourth quarter, we plan to amortize approximately SEK 2 billion on the term loan maturing next year. This will continue to support our cost of financing going forward, and we will have very limited refinancing needs throughout 2026. And as always, we remain committed to our investment-grade rating.
So with that, I hand over back to you, Magnus.
Very good. Thanks a lot, Andreas. And before we open up the Q&A, I'd just like to share a few reflections regarding the longer-term development and also a little bit looking ahead. So back in 2022, when we did the STANLEY acquisition, we accelerated the work to change the profile of Securitas to create a company with the strongest technology and digital offering to our clients in combination with high-quality Guarding services. We also shared the ambition to improve the operating margin from the prior decade, where we have been around 5% to achieve around 8% by the end of 2025. And we outlined the main focus areas to drive this improvement to 8%. And I think those of you who are following us, you're familiar with the bridge here. We exceeded 8% operating margin in Q3, and Q4 is seasonally somewhat lower margin, but we're on a good track to deliver on this ambition in the second half of this year.
And while the impact from M&A activity has been limited in recent years, we have made considerable progress in the other areas. And we're about to finalize the heavy lifting work with active portfolio management and strategic assessments. But this work has been very important to create a sharper and more focused company where all the business that we are running is fully aligned with our strategy. And when you're looking at SCIS, and this is more related to a question we received a couple of times, -- the close down here and the result doesn't really represent a significant part of our overall business. It is only around 1% of the operating result. So while large in volume, very limited in terms of the operating result impact from that close down.
And when I look at the strategic assessments, the remaining assessments that we have under consideration now represent approximately 1% of group sales. So we are nearing the completion of an important phase with important work. It has been rigorous and hard work, but it's been important to shape a stronger and a more focused company. And just to repeat the message also from the second quarter, we have received a question on a number of occasions on what basis we consider reaching the 8%. And as communicated earlier, if we reach the 8% operating margin in the second half of this year, excluding the SCIS business that we're closing down, we will have achieved the ambition. And delivering on this ambition is an important milestone since it represents a historical shift in the profitability profile of Securitas. But having said that, it's just a milestone on a longer journey.
And talking about that journey, we have come a long way in shaping the new Securitas to be a sharper and a much stronger company. And when you take a little bit of a longer-term perspective, we are operating in a market with good growth, which is spurred by increasing threat levels, increased demand for digital and technology solutions and where we are uniquely positioned with the investments we have done in the last 5 to 6 years. And we have intentionally transformed and repositioned our portfolio to the parts of the market where there is good underlying growth and the real security needs are more important than the price per hour. And we partner with our clients for the long term, investing into the relationship, and we are building the best security solutions based on the client needs, leveraging technology, digital people and more and more real-time insights. And all of this has also led to much more profitable Securitas today compared to the 5% company we were for many years.
Today, we're executing on our plan to get to 8%, as stated in the second half of this year. And we have also been able to lift the margin for 19 consecutive quarters and at the same time, deliver strong EPS growth to our shareholders. And in the increasingly complex and volatile macro environment, we're also a resilient business with the majority of our revenue is recurring and with an excellent client retention of 90%. And all of this has also been elevated or translated into higher cash flows where we are now delivering cash flow above our financial targets, and this has also contributed to an accelerated deleveraging after the STANLEY acquisition. So we're now in a position that is much, much stronger, and we can continue to invest into the growth of our business.
So as we're finalizing the strategic phase, we're a much stronger company, very well positioned in an attractive market to increase our focus on profitable growth. And as more and more units reach the required profitability levels, so that means for good sustainable business, they also gained the right to shift focus on driving profitable growth. And looking at the longer term, we will continue to improve the margin as we are building scalable solutions to our clients. So we stay focused, confident and also very excited about our longer-term opportunities, and we're looking forward to sharing more in the Capital Markets Day in June.
So with those perspectives, we can conclude this Q3 presentation. We're executing according to our plans, deliver strong margin with 8.1% in the quarter, EPS improvement of 19%.
So with that, let us open up the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions]
The next question comes from Raymond Ke from Nordea.
2. Question Answer
A couple of questions from me. First one on Technology & Solutions or T&S, you had 4% in real sales growth this quarter. And on paper, the target the Board stated out for Securitas to achieve a growth within T&S of 8% to 10% sounds like it's congruent with its target of achieving 8% in EBITDA margin with the T&S having higher margins. But the outcome since your CMD seems to show that you've been forced to prioritize portfolio management at the expense of growth within T&S, at least short term. Is that a fair description, would you say? And your position now at sort of 8%, would that allow you to shift your focus more towards T&S growth?
Thanks, Raymond. Well, we -- just to put some context on the Technology & Solutions growth, this is obviously a long-term target. I believe that we are very well positioned. We've spent a couple of years doing very diligent and robust work in terms of the integration. When you're looking forward, we feel confident that we're going to be able to drive the growth here at a really healthy pace. Where are we right now on that? Well, we're mostly, as we've communicated before, done with the integration work. What we are doing now based on the strength in the offering is that we're investing more in commercial capability based on the strong offering that we have.
And we're also fine-tuning in a number of parts of the organization. And some of that fine-tuning is related to how we become better at cross-selling, how we start to become better at actually leveraging the combined client base. We're also aligning incentives. I should also say that it's a little bit of a mixed picture when you look at the growth rate in technology, if you look at the growth rate in solutions. Solutions, we've had really strong traction in North -- sorry, in Ibero-America, good traction in Europe.
But in North America, as I've explained in the last couple of quarters, we also under new leadership, did a little bit of a reboot in terms of the organization setup. And it was the right time to do that because historically, when we didn't have strong technology capability, we're also working with other companies to help us with the technology part of the solution. Today, our own technology team is the main partner and provider. And that enables us to build a much more efficient and also much more scalable platform for the longer term. And there, why growth has been flat now in the last couple of quarters in North America, I expect that now based on the actions that we've initiated to really improve in terms of the growth. So I believe that we are in a good phase and also in really, really good shape to drive this one, but also some fine-tuning and optimization is needed and also some of the commercial investments.
In relation to the 8% target, we should say that in 2023 and 2024, we had stronger Technology & Solutions growth that have supported us on our journey to 8%. And although it is 4% now in the quarter, we still have a positive mix effect compared to the Guarding business and how that is growing as well. But one final lens on it. When we said 8% to 10%, that also included one part of M&A activities where we have said that we have done less as well. So that is one of the reasons then why we are not coming all the way up to the 8% to 10% target because it's mainly within Technology & Solutions which our M&A activities would be geared against.
Right. That's very helpful. And then maybe sort of a follow-up, if you could maybe provide a bit more color with regards to how you intend to accelerate T&S growth, mainly to help us analysts better understand the pace of growth acceleration that we should be expecting across your segments going forward?
Yes. So if you look at that, it is very much related to what I mentioned. So strengthening and investing a bit more in the commercial capability. We have really strong offering. I've recently also been with a number of our clients in the U.S. a couple of weeks ago. Feedback is strong. partnerships are strong and our clients and also new clients are also looking at Securitas as the main partner. So we are well positioned. And I think that is the key point. So our offering is strong, but I think that we will benefit from also investing a little bit more in the commercial resources and capability as we go forward. And then as I mentioned, we're also working in a much more diligent and intentional way now in terms of how we are leveraging existing client base for cross-selling. These are things that also relate a little bit to the work that we've done in the last couple of years to also have the right types of tools and digital platforms to enable that together with incentives as well to be able to drive it at scale. So I feel that we are in a good position here to drive this at a healthy clip going forward.
Just one final, maybe sort of a detail on this, but could you elaborate on -- you mentioned the positive one-offs that boosted the margins in Ibero-America. Maybe I missed that, but how big were they? And how should we think about them going forward?
This is related to some reduced provisions related to legal cases. So there was a positive impact to the operating margin in the Ibero division. Normally, we mentioned something when it impacts at least 0.1% margin-wise in Ibero in the segment Ibero. In this case, it was a bit more than 0.1%. But just to help out there. But then important to say as well that the majority of the margin improvement in Ibero-America was driven by operational improvements, not this one-off related items. And on a total group level, it doesn't have any material impact whatsoever.
The next question comes from Daniel Johansson from SEB.
I am [ Andreas ]. I'll limit myself to 2 questions here, I think. Maybe starting a bit on the cash flow. You had another quarter here with a very strong cash flow, and you're in a very good position from a balance sheet perspective. And all else equal, you probably deleveraging further here going into Q4. So I'm wondering a little bit on how you think about capital allocation here for the coming quarters and year. I mean you have a target of 3x net debt to EBITDA. There's a wide margin to that target already. You're through a quite heavy investment period. You're planning to amortize debt. So do you have enough interesting M&A in the pipeline that you would like to pursue? Or is there an opportunity for higher shareholder remuneration through extra dividends or share buybacks? Yes, if you can help me a little bit to understand on how you think about the balance sheet from here.
Thank you. When it comes to capital allocation priorities, number one, as you say as well, is to below 3%, which we are with good headroom as well when it comes to our leverage point. Priority #2, invest to drive the growth in our Solutions business. We have a CapEx guidance of around 2.5% of sales, and that we will continue to do. Priority #3 for us is the dividend to our shareholders, 50% to 60% of net income to be paid out on an annual basis. And then priority thereafter is related to bolt-on M&A activities. And here, as you rightfully say, there has not been so much activity. We have opened up for it, but we have also been focused really on driving the organic improvements in the business.
We have also been focused on the strategic assessment program. So that is something that we will work on accelerating, although like you say as well, there is not a big, huge pipeline right now today, but that will, over time, start to increase. And then after that, I mean, if we don't find enough acquisitions, so to say, then we will continue to deleverage our balance sheet here. And over time, we can consider any other shareholder returns, but it's not a topic today and in the short term. And then we will have to come back to you on a more longer-term view in our Capital Markets Day here in June.
Understood. And then maybe a smaller question on the other segment. If I understand it correctly, SCIS still hampering you on a year-to-year basis. But when I look at the other segment, the loss is only SEK 56 million, so quite in line with last year. Is that due to continued good performance in AMEA and lower group costs or anything more of a one-off nature in there? Or yes, what explains that you don't have a bigger loss given SCIS is still negative, it seems?
No big one-offs. You're right. Our business in AMEA -- Africa, Middle East and Asia and the Pacific are performing well, which is supporting other. Group cost is under control. So there is no major changes there. And then we have the residual performance in the SCIS business.
The next question comes from Allen Wells from Jefferies.
A couple from me, please. Just mindful of the kind of portfolio management comments, you said that they will continue in Europe, America into the first half. So is it right to assume that, that kind of very low single-digit growth kind of profile that we've seen for this year in those regions, but at least continues in the first half next year? I'm just keen to understand how you see the potential timing and shape of growth recovery there? And that's the first question.
Secondly, just a quantification question on the tax timing comment that you made in terms of the unwind in the fourth quarter. Exactly what does that mean in terms of the impact on cash flow? And as I just think about the 3% organic growth number that you posted in Q3, what is the pricing component of that versus volume, just at an average group level? Just keen to understand where pricing is.
Thanks, Allen. So on the active portfolio management, if you're looking at the current trading, it's a several percent type of impact that we're seeing on the numbers that we're reporting in the last couple of quarters. So that's the reason we highlight that there is a significant impact. We don't provide guidance, but we continue to work as we've done before. It's obviously to take care of our clients in a good way, do this in an orderly fashion. But I also call it out because it is important that we also complete that work and get that work behind us because the sooner that we do that, we can also start to focus more on profitable growth again. So that's really the perspective. But we don't provide any guidance. But I think going back a number of years, a lot of people were wondering, okay, does this mean that you're going to shrink significantly in business, et cetera?
Well, as you know, over many, many years, that hasn't happened because we also have had a healthy intake in terms of new business. So we're on the right path, but we also need to finish that job, very important in Europe and Ibero-America. Then if you compare a little bit to North America, you also see the benefit there. We were done with this work earlier in North America, and they're obviously also back to much healthier growth levels, and that really contributes. So this is all part of the plan, but good thing now is that we're now kind of nearing completion of that work in the next couple of quarters.
When it comes to the 3% growth, the majority of that is price. And where we do have volume increases is in our North American business, where we have seen a good portfolio development. And it's also a very good place to have a good growth given the margin profile that we are having in our North American business. They have been through the [ APM ] program, as Magnus has just talked about. And now we are turning that business more and more into growth focus. So it's really good to see the growth numbers and the volume development in the North American business. But all in all, on the group level, most of the 3% is price. When it comes to the cash question related to tax, we have had some positive timing impacts both in Q2 and Q3 in the U.S., and we expect that to reverse in Q4. And we have talked about USD 30 million, USD 40 million of negative impact in Q4 on the cash flow related to that.
Can I maybe just one quick additional follow-up. Just mindful of U.S. government shutdown at the moment. Is there any impact in your business there? I guess most of it might be in SCIS, which is closing down. But I'm just wondering if there's any impact over the last month or so in terms of Securitas there.
No, there is no significant impact.
The next question comes from Viktor Lindeberg from DNB Carnegie.
Only one question from my side. Looking at the business you've reshaped now quite impressively in the past 3 years in my book at least. And looking now forward in the market, if you could help us pin down the, let's say, tendering activity that you see. How is the market in light of all the uncertainty we see with the headlines every now and then and tweets and so forth. So curious to understand the overall market tendering activity and where you see yourself in light of your profitability journey now when it comes to maybe win ratios that you have seen or foresee going forward to not only defend the 8% margin, but in light of being able to propel further upwards?
Thanks, Viktor. I think this is a part that we are very excited about, and I appreciate your comment. It's been quite heavy lifting within the business over the last 4, 5 years in terms of shaping the company into the profile that we now start to become. Very intentional work. We followed by the book, most of the things that we set out to do internally 5, 6 years ago and executed on those. So I think that we are -- as a company, we're in a much stronger position. And when I look at the market, we're also -- I mean, we're operating in large, growing, attractive markets. So we're in a very good position also to tap into that and to leverage that with the strength of the offering that we have. The kind of uncertainty that we're seeing around the world, and this is obviously related to geopolitical uncertainty. It's also related to increasing crime and risk levels. My clear takeaway from a number of the client discussions, and I mean we are serving many of the most reputable companies in the world.
They are looking in light of that for a strong partner, a really, really trustworthy and reliable partner that has strong capabilities. And those capabilities to us are very much focused on technology, digital and our services capabilities that we have in our portfolio. So I think that we are really well placed in that, and there is also a healthy market. An important shift that we have been able to achieve in the last 5, 6 years is that we have been much more granular and also much firmer in terms of what are the profitability levels that we need for the business to be sustainable. And I think that has been as the market leader in our industry, that has been really, really important work for us to carry out. But then when you're looking at the market because that's obviously more on a macro level, we also then have a strong position. We know the market is growing, but we're also in the last 4, 5 years, also focusing in on the segments where we see that there is a very clear security need. There is a focus on quality. And some of those that -- where we're also enjoying very, very good growth today.
Examples are in technology segments. It's in the data center segments, pharmaceuticals, defense, just to mention a few. And what I'm seeing here is that the positions that we have built a few years ago we just continue to expand and grow those ones. And that gives me a lot of confidence that we are really in a much better position today, much more intentional and in a good position as well to now after we get a lot of the heavy kind of lifting work behind us to also optimize a little bit more in terms of continuous margin improvement, but also then really doubling down on more profitable growth because we have a strong offering and we want to grow, but we need to get some of that work done. But the good thing now is that now it's not 4 or 5 years out. It's a couple of quarters out. And I think that is the exciting position that we are in right now. So I believe we're in a good position, Viktor, and also a good market.
And by your comment, it does not really sound that clients are waiting to make decisions. It seems the market is progressing as it usually does. No incremental hesitation. Is that a fair assumption?
I think so. This is a fairly slow moving and fairly conservative industry from my perspective. But it's also based on security is so important that most of our clients, they are also very deliberate in terms, okay, what are the things that we need in our security solutions and who is the partner going to be. And for that reason, some of the selling cycles are a bit longer, but the way that we build our business is very much focused on long-term value creation. So once we are in a relationship with a client, we usually develop that continuously and over time, and that is a real position of strength for us. But I wouldn't say that there is a hesitancy in that sense. It's rather the question, how can you help us and really leverage technology and digital capabilities that we have and that are also out there in the market to be able to run a more effective and more efficient security program.
And there, I feel that the kind of the increasing complexity from that perspective it is clearly in our favor because then most customers also realize that it doesn't make any sense for them to invest in all of that capability. It requires real deep know-how that we have in our technology business that we're building digital capabilities and also much stronger guarding capabilities. So it's matching in a really good way. And that's the reason I'm saying I think we're in a really good position when I look at the next 5 to 10 years after a period of really reshaping the company.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Simon Jönsson from ABG Sundal Collier.
I just have a follow-up question on the M&A in Technology & Solutions specifically, of course. Just wondering where you think or where you see that the market is currently in terms of multiples paid for acquisitions of the kind of assets that you are looking for ballpark figures would be fine.
Thank you. Given that we have not been so active in the market, I would not really comment upon that today, to be honest, as well. That's something I need to come back to. But the things that we have done have been more or less on the same levels as -- I mean, same levels as we have done bolt-ons before. I think we should take out the STANLEY transaction that was one big transaction, generally speaking, where we have said that we paid a premium to get that down. So the multiples in the technology market is lower than that for sure. But I haven't seen any trend of reduced multiples later over the last years. So normally, in the technology space, you would pay double-digit multiples -- low double-digit multiples. And then it all depends on what kind of cost synergies that we have and, of course, revenue synergies as well. So those are the comments I would like to give at this point in time, Simon.
There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the President and CEO, Magnus Ahlqvist, for any closing comments.
Very good. Thanks a lot, everyone, for joining us today. We continue on a good path as stated and excited about the next phase in our journey. Thank you.
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SECURITAS — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our first half update. We're making good progress, and we are glad to deliver a strong Q2 report. So let us go straight to the highlights. We're recording good development across all segments, and the organic growth increased sequentially to 5% in the quarter from 3% in Q1, and a very strong recovery in North America is the driver of the increase. The operating margin improved 40 basis points versus last year to 7.3%. And all business segments supported the profitability improvement, and we noted improvements in both business lines and especially strong in Technology & Solutions.
As announced last quarter, we have done an extensive strategic assessment of the government business within Critical Infrastructure Services and have decided to close this down. The business is not aligned with our long-term strategy. The outlook in terms of value creation opportunities and healthy profitability in this part of the market is limited. And we have assessed a number of different options in the last few years, but due to the underlying performance of the business, we have concluded that the best option is to close the business down. And we will, of course, do this in an orderly fashion, supporting both our clients and people.
From a strategic perspective, this is another important step in creating a sharper and more focused company. The group operating margin, excluding this business would have been 7.5% in the second quarter, and Andreas will share more details in the finance section. Continuing then with the group level performance, solid growth in operating result, together with positive development in the finance net, contributed to 25% growth in EPS in the quarter. The operating cash flow was 106%, and this represents significant improvement versus last year and is in line with our ambition to achieve a more consistent cash flow performance throughout the year. The business optimization program that we announced last quarter is running according to plan, and we expect to achieve savings of SEK 200 million by the end of this year.
And looking then at the world around us, the uncertainty in the geopolitical and also macroeconomic environment continues, but being a services business with local delivery, our exposure is limited. But having said that, we continue to assess the situation to be able to take swift actions if necessary.
And let us then shift to the performance in the business lines and the segments. And starting with the business lines, where the operating profit margin of 11% in Technology & Solutions represents a strong 60 basis point improvement. The growth of 4% is below our target, but we're now putting a higher focus on client engagement and commercial development to improve the growth going forward.
The growth in Security Services was 3% in the quarter, and the growth here is negatively impacted by us proactively addressing low-performing contracts, but it's also essential that we deal with these contracts in the portfolio to create a healthier business. But the margin on the new business remains at very good levels.
With that, let us then move to the segments. And as always, we are starting with North America, where we recorded a significant improvement in organic sales growth and also margin improvement. The growth is primarily driven by the Guarding business with good price and volume increases. And the Pinkerton business recorded double-digit growth and the performance in the Technology business supported.
Technology & Solutions growth was 3%, and growth here in Technology was good, but we had lower solutions growth. And as commented last quarter, we are fine-tuning our go-to-market approach with solutions to rebuild the commercial momentum.
Looking at the margin, we delivered 40 basis point improvement to 9.6%, and very good performance in technology and Guarding were the main drivers. And the Pinkerton business continues to improve after the modernization work done in the last few years. So all in all, very strong performance by our North America team.
So let us then move to Europe, where we recorded a significant improvement in profitability. Organic growth was 5% in the quarter, and the high wage inflation period is now behind us, and the growth in services was primarily price driven. Aviation contributed with strong growth in the quarter, while active portfolio management had a negative impact on the growth. And sales growth in Technology & Solutions was healthy at 6%.
We delivered 50 basis point improvement in the operating margin to 6.9%, and the margin improvement was driven by both business lines, with support from the business optimization program that we are successfully executing on.
Security Services business was positively impacted by high margins on new sales, active portfolio management and the airport security business, including then the impact from the divestiture of the airport security business in France. But as I commented at the beginning, we continue to address and renegotiate lower performing contracts in the Services business in Europe, and this has a temporary impact on the growth and profitability, but it is absolutely essential to finish this work to create a healthier business. And the expectation that I have is that by the spring of 2026, we're going to be largely done with that work.
Looking at the longer term, we have been and continue to invest in our offering, laying a strong foundation for sustained margin growth over time. So looking at the total picture, very good development by our European teams, and we then shift to Ibero-America, where we have also recorded continued strong development, especially in the operating margin. The organic growth was 2%, but we recorded 4% in Technology & Solutions. Active portfolio management had a negative impact on the growth, but we're making good progress in addressing the low profitability portfolio and driving good conversions to Technology Solutions.
The operating margin of 7.5% represents a significant improvement versus the previous period, and this was driven by improvement in Security Services and Technology & Solutions. So to conclude, it's also a very good quarter and first half in Ibero-America.
So to summarize then the performance overview in the segments, we are on the right track. We have a stronger offering than ever before. And despite the negative impact from active portfolio management, our client retention is improving. And we're driving significant improvement in the operating margin in all segments.
So with that, handing over to you, Andreas, for some more details regarding our financials.
Thank you, Magnus. And we start with the income statement, where we had organic sales growth of 5% and improved the operating margin with 40 basis points to 7.3%. We had good margin development in all segments, but Securitas Critical Infrastructure, which is reported under other in the segment reporting, hampered the margin, mainly due to the profitable contract loss we communicated in the first quarter.
As Magnus mentioned, we have initiated the close down of the government business within SCIS. Adjusted for the business to be closed down, the operating margin was 7.5% in the quarter, and I will come back with further details related to the close down shortly. Looking below operating results, there are no material developments in amortization of acquisition-related intangibles nor in the acquisition-related costs.
Items affecting comparability was SEK 166 million, a reduction of nearly SEK 80 million compared to last year, in line with our plan. The European transformation program continued to progress well, and the business optimization program accelerated in the second quarter, and we have now executed the majority of the target to save SEK 200 million by the end of 2025. The full year estimated cost of approximately SEK 375 million for both the European transformation and the business optimization program combined are unchanged compared to our estimate in the first quarter.
Moving to the financial net, which came in at SEK 479 million, and this is SEK 138 million lower than last year, and we continue to see positive development as interest rates and our debt levels are going down. And for the full year, we expect the finance net to come in slightly below SEK 2 billion, which is lower than our estimate in Q1, and a material decrease compared to the SEK 2.3 billion in 2024.
Moving to tax. Here, our full year forecasted tax rate remained 26.7%, basically the same as in the first quarter. It is a strong quarter. Our currency adjusted real EPS growth was 25% in Q2. When excluding the positive effects from reduced IAC, the EPS real change growth was 20%, supported by a solid 10% real change in our operating result and with further benefits coming mainly from the reduced financial net. And when looking at the first 6 months, our currency adjusted EPS increased 18% compared to last year.
We then move to cash flow, where our operating cash flow was strong at SEK 3 billion or 106% of operating income, improving our cash generation significantly compared to last year. The capital expenditures continue to remain around 2.5% of sales, and we expect it to continue to be at these levels going forward, as we see reduced CapEx spend from our transformation programs and IT.
However, the strong operating cash flow outcome in the second quarter was mainly due to solid working capital management, where we saw good development in our day sales outstanding or DSO. And as I have mentioned at several occasions, we are driving a number of initiatives to trim our working capital and to improve our cash flow consistency throughout the year, and these actions are positively impacting the cash generation.
We also had very strong collection activities towards the end of June, which may put some pressure going into the third quarter, but it is the longer-term trend, which is most important related to our cash generation, and we are seeing a positive trend linked to the focus and work we are doing in this area.
The free cash flow landed at SEK 2.2 billion, supported then by the strong operating cash flow, reduced interest payments due to the lower interest rates and debt levels and temporary positive timing impacts in the U.S. related to tax payments in the quarter.
All in all, a strong first half year cash flow, and we are in a good position to meet our full-year target of 70% to 80% of operating income, where the ambition always is to be at the upper end of that interval.
We then have a look at our net debt, which was SEK 36 billion at the end of the quarter. This is a reduction of SEK 1.3 billion compared to Q1, mainly supported by the strong cash flow and the strengthening Swedish krona, while negatively impacted by the SEK 1.3 billion dividend paid. And as you know, we have an additional dividend payment of the same amount to be paid in the fourth quarter.
As a reminder, in 2025, we will pay the USD 53 million settlement related to the U.S. government and Paragon in 3 approximately equal installments. The first installment was paid in the first quarter. The second installment will be paid in Q3 with the final payment in the fourth quarter.
Moving then to the right-hand side, where the net debt-to-EBITDA was 2.4x, this is 0.5 turn improvement compared to Q2 last year, where positive EBITDA development, good cash generation in the last 12 months and the strengthened Swedish krona have supported positively. We continue to deleverage our balance sheet and are well below our target net debt to EBITDA of less than 3x.
Moving on to have a look at our financing and financial position, where we continue to have a strong balance sheet, good liquidity in place, and we remain without any financial covenants in our debt facilities. In the second quarter, we renewed our revolving credit facility, and the new facility consists of 2 tranches: one EUR 900 million tranche, maturing 2030, and one EUR 200 million tranche maturing in 2028, and each of these tranches may be extended up to 2 years.
The new facility replaces the existing EUR 1 billion RCF that we signed in April 2020, and it remained undrawn as per quarter end. In the quarter, we also signed a new private placement and a new bank loan facility of a total of USD 390 million. Approximately half has been used to amortize on the USD 600 million term loan, expiring next year, and the other half will be used for the same purpose, but will be executed in the third quarter.
We are executing on this refinancing now to further strengthen our liquidity and also to reduce our financing costs. And after these refinancing activities, we are in a good position with limited refinancing need the coming 18 months, and we plan to pay off the remaining maturing debt in 2025 with cash at hand or short-term facilities. And we continue committed to our investment-grade rating.
Finally, I want to share some more details related to the close down of our government business within Securitas Critical Infrastructure Services. And as Magnus mentioned, we have reviewed several strategic options over the last years related to the business and now decided to close the government business down.
We started the execution of the close down in the beginning of July, and we estimate to be largely completed by the end of 2026 with positive impact to our long-term profitability and cash generation, as we finalize the work. The government business had SEK 3.2 billion in revenue for the first 6 months of 2025, accounting for 77% of the total SCIS revenue in the same period.
The business had a low single-digit operating margin in 2024 with declining performance in the first 6 months of 2025. And the group's operating margin, adjusted for the business to be closed down, was 7.1% for the first 6 months of 2025 compared to the 6.8% as reported. It is also a relatively working capital-intensive business. In the second quarter, the net working capital was USD 68 million, which will be released into cash and impact the operating cash flow positively, as we are executing on the closedown plan.
The cost of the close down is estimated to USD 150 million, of which approximately 1/3 will impact cash flow, mainly over 2025 and 2026. And this cost will be reported as an item affecting comparability in the third quarter. So the net impact from the close down when considering the expected working capital release and the cash portion of the closedown cost is estimated to be cash neutral. The remaining part of SCIS, not part of the closedown plan, is mainly focused on providing security services to the commercial and private critical infrastructure sector, where government security clearance is required.
Reporting-wise, SCIS, including then the government business to be closed down, will continue to be reported under the heading Other in the segment reporting going forward. And to reflect our underlying growth and profitability during the closedown period, we have started to report the operating margin, excluding the business to be closed down in this quarter, and we will also report adjusted organic sales growth as from the third quarter.
By exiting the government business, we take another step in sharpening and strengthening Securitas' competitive position and as a leader in the global security technology and solutions market. It will also strengthen the company's margin and cash flow profile and allow us to focus on the areas where we can maximize long-term shareholder value.
And with that, I'm handing over back to you, Magnus.
Thanks a lot, Andreas. So before we are opening up for the Q&A, let me just provide a little bit of a longer-term perspective related to the transformation of our company. So 3 years ago, in conjunction with the STANLEY acquisition, we communicated the ambition to create a different type of Securitas, to create a company with strong technology and digital capabilities in combination with a higher-quality guarding business. And in conjunction with that, we also shared the ambition to improve the operating margin from the historic level, where we had been for around a decade, around 5% to 8% by the end of 2025. And here, we identified 4 main areas as the main drivers to achieve this type of a shift and change also from a margin perspective.
First one was to drive a strong impact with technology and solutions; second one, improving the Security Services profitability; third one, M&A activity; and the fourth one, strategic assessments. And as we're entering now the second half of 2025, we are executing in all areas and on a good track to reach 8%. While the impact from M&A activity has been low in this period, we have made considerable progress in the other 3 areas.
And just to build a bit on what I commented on earlier and also what Andreas shared, in terms of the strategic assessments, we have also assessed all parts of the business to ensure that they are in line with our strategy and also meet the long-term profitability expectations. And as a direct result of these assessments, we exited the Argentina business, we divested the airport security business in France.
And with the close down of the government-related business in SCIS, we are now also completing another important action to create a more focused and sharper Securitas. But as we're getting closer to the end of 2025, we have also received a question on a number of occasions on what basis we consider reaching the 8%. And in simple terms, if we reach the 8% operating margin, excluding then the SCIS business that we are closing down, in the second half of this year, we will then have reached that ambition, and that is really how we hold ourselves accountable also to deliver on the ambition that we set.
And now then we have all actions in place to make this happen. And from my perspective, if we land slightly below or slightly above the target in 2025 is not what matters most. And I say this for 2 reasons. First one is that we set this ambition a number of years ago, and we were clear from the beginning that this is an aggressive ambition, and if we are close to fulfilling the targets, we have made a historical shift in the profitability profile of Securitas from 5% to 8%. But then secondly, we are always focused on long-term value creation. And while this has been an important milestone, internally, I would say even more important than externally, it's still just a milestone on a longer-term journey. We will continue to strive to build a stronger and more profitable Securitas also beyond the end of 2025.
And we are committed to reach the 8%. But what is certain is that today, we had the strongest offering in the industry and everything we do is centered on creating a compelling value proposition and being the most attractive partner to our clients.
So with that, let us wrap up the presentation. We are driving performance improvement across all business segments, delivering 25% EPS growth. Cash flow, as we highlighted, is strong at 106%, and our balance sheet is strong. And we are executing according to our plans and fully committed to achieving our target of an 8% operating margin in the second half of this year.
So with that, let us open up the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Raymond Ke from Nordea.
2. Question Answer
A couple of questions from me. I'll take them one at a time. First, on SCIS, the remaining part there, is there any plan to review what to do with this part further down the road? Or is this what you sort of consider attractive business from a profitability perspective and something that is viable over the long term in Securitas?
Raymond, that part of the business, it's towards the commercial sector. And there, we have also much, much better strategic alignment in terms of being more technology and solutions oriented. So that is a business that we intend to keep and also to develop.
Very good. And then second question, your CapEx guidance of 2.5% of sales, just thinking how should we look at this win? We also consider the higher CapEx needs of solutions. I think in the past, you've mentioned sort of 5% investment CapEx and some 8% in maintenance CapEx. Has your CapEx needs changed materially in your organization over time as you implemented efficiency measures so that these old numbers are no longer relevant? Or how should we think about that?
It's a good point. I mean, the reason -- historically, Raymond, we have said less than 3% capital expenditure to sales, and now, we're saying around 2.5%. And the main driver behind that is because we see reduced capital expenditure requirements from our transformation programs. And you also see that the items affecting comparability from the transformation program is also reducing. So it's sort of in line with that.
The second trend that we have seen for a while is also reduced capital expenditures, generally related to IT. That also has more to do with the cloud computing accounting regulation that came in place 1, 2 years ago, where you basically put less of the investments into the balance sheet. So those are the trends that are making us taking down the guidance from less than 3% to around 2.5%. Does not have so much to do with the solution sales. I would be happy to invest a little bit more of the -- or have a little bit higher CapEx to sales if we see then also increased solutions growth. But even if we would increase the solution growth from the current numbers, if there's nothing drastic happening, I still think we will be able to live with this guidance of around 2.5% of sales.
Right. And just a third and final one from me, also on SCIS. With the close down of it, you said that by the end of 2026, you expect it to be completed. Should we sort of expect a fairly even distribution in terms of when you see margin improvement over time up until then?
We will have to execute the operational plan here first, but I wouldn't expect too much of an impact this year, and then, that -- the impact that you're referring to would come throughout 2026. That's how I would look at it today.
The next question comes from Remi Grenu from Morgan Stanley.
Just a few on my side. So first is on your Technology & Solutions business, so the higher growth part of Securitas, which has probably underperformed expectations over the last few quarters, especially in the U.S. So can you try to explain to us what's happening there? Is it due to the addressable market, which is not as supportive as what you would have expected? Or is there any company-specific issues that you need to fix? How do you plan to fix it? And in terms of expectations over the next few quarters, would you say that we've reached the trough? Or could there be another deterioration before we see a recovery there? So that would be the first question.
Then the second one is on the close down of SCIS. I'm just wondering why you've decided to close it down instead of a divestment. I mean, you've divested other parts of the business to local management teams for Argentina and the French aviation business, so why was the local management not really interested there, and if you can give us more flavor on that?
And the last question is, should we take from your comment during the call that in terms of divestment close down, the current perimeter feels like something which is closer to your ambition to reach the 8% operating margin, i.e., should we expect other parts of the business to be assessed? Or you think you're pretty much done with the divestment?
Thank you, Remi. So on the 3 questions, first on the Technology & Solutions growth, just to give some flavor there to North America, the growth in technology, so essentially what we do with what we call electronic security's installations, maintenance, monitoring, we're delivering healthy growth in the second quarter in North America. That is a business though where there is also some seasonality depending a little bit on projects and how we're facing projects, and that will always be the case. But technology growth, definitely healthy.
If you're looking at the solutions, there we are doing a little bit of fine-tuning in terms of our go-to-market approach to leverage now also more the scalability or the scale that we have with our in-house technology capabilities. And there, there has been a shorter-term negative impact, but my expectation is that that's growth that will also come back because we do have a really strong value proposition and an opportunity to also convert Guarding contract. So that is really the context in terms of Technology & Solutions.
If you're at the SCIS, this is a business that we have been assessing for a number of years. And frankly speaking, we are doing what is best from a shareholder perspective. If there would have been a situation where we would have been in a good position to divest it and that would have created better value from a shareholder perspective, then we would have done so rather than the close down. But the close down is the best option from -- to protect shareholder value. And that's the reason we decide to do that and to do that in an orderly fashion.
If you're looking then at the third question in terms of perimeter, the SCIS business, or the government part, I should say, of the SCIS business, that is a really significant part. We don't have any other part under consideration of that type of magnitude. But we continue to assess all parts of the business, like I've said from the beginning, just to ensure that they are fully aligned with the strategy and also our longer-term value creation. But the perimeter is, yes, on a high level, we feel pretty good about that, but we also continue to assess the different parts of the business as we go forward.
The next question comes from Allen Wells from Jefferies.
Okay. Maybe just following up on Remi's question just on the Tech Solutions side. I guess, given the slightly slower growth that you've seen in that period or since the period that you've acquired that business, would you argue that the amount of kind of portfolio reshaping and contract rationalization has been more significant than the original plan when you bought that business and tried to hit the margin target?
And then second question from my side, just a clarification question, can you talk about hitting the 8% in the second half as viewed as achieving that target? Could you maybe just elaborate on what that might actually mean for 2026 margins moving forward, i.e. if you're hitting the 8% in the second half, given the seasonality, is it fair to assume that for the full-year margins in 2026, which should be at or above the 8% target, particularly given the further divestment of SCIS?
Thank you, Allen. Well, if you look at the technology part, since we acquired STANLEY, we've had a lot of emphasis, obviously, in terms of building a really strong and scalable electronic security business. And that work is now largely done. So if I look at -- and I just came back from a number of different client sessions in the U.S. a couple of weeks ago. I mean, our value proposition offering is strong. Our capabilities in terms of installations are strong. Maintenance, monitoring capabilities, I would say, second to none in a number of the key markets where we have a presence around the world. So the offering is strong.
And on the technology side, we have good growth. If you're looking at North America, like I said, on the solutions side, so that's essentially, we're combining different protective services, so people and technology to put it simply. There, we are doing somewhat of a fine-tuning. So that is having a negative impact, and there is also some portfolio cleanup in that work as well, which is then having a negative impact. But this is not something that I'm that concerned about because the strength of the offering is clearly there, and we intend to grow that at a really healthy pace also going forward.
Andreas, maybe you want to take the second question?
Just on the first question, I mean, important to distinguish between the Technology business and the Solutions business. And when we acquired STANLEY, obviously, one of the most common questions was, how will you grow this business given that the growth have been more or less very low during STANLEY's ownership. I think we have proven that we are doing that on technology side, also with decent growth in this quarter. So that is working well. But I should say we have also seen really good profitability development in the Technology business over the last years. So talking about -- that's an area where we have also compensated for any lack on topline growth during the last quarters. So good performance by the team there.
When it comes to 2026, we're not obviously guiding anything when it comes to 2026. But you are right that we have a seasonality in the business. We're doing -- the first half now, we're doing 6.8% operating margin. The second half year last year, we did 7.4%. So as we go into the second half year of 2025, and if we would then meet our target of 8%, it doesn't mean that the full year run rate is 8%, obviously, for this year, but we will continue the work to strengthen our margins throughout 2026 as well. It is, as Magnus said before -- I mean, it is an important milestone with the 8%, but the work continues to build a stronger Securitas over time.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Viktor Lindeberg from DCAR.
Congratulations on good progress on the margins, guys. Three questions from my side, if I may. Firstly, just to clarify on the CapEx that you commented on, Andreas, is the lower, call it, run rate now slightly also related then when we think about the business mix, Technology Solutions, and if there's a client preference in there of owning the equipment or leasing and renting it? So starting on that.
No, I don't think that's the case that there is a clear trend towards technology rather than having it balanced in the balance sheet. It is, as Magnus referred to the Solutions business, that we have had -- that we have taken a grip internally in North America to reshape our solution organization and go-to-market, which have had a negative impact the last quarters, while we actually see continued good growth in the other segments in Solutions. So on that one, I would say no.
Okay. Looking at project completions, they can be sizable occasionally. And also thinking about contract renewals or exits now the coming 6 months, is there in your crystal ball any sizable items that we should be mindful of here when looking at the second half of this year?
Viktor, no, nothing more than usual when we're looking at the next 6, 12 months.
You announced this cost optimization program a couple of quarters ago, and it's in part driven by AI or digital initiatives, and you're now in part through that and harvesting. Can you see and share maybe some details and if there is scope for expanding, scaling this up even further, if there have been good progress and NPV on these AI-driven initiatives?
We have seen really good progress in the business optimization program in the second quarter. So going into confident in the third and fourth quarter, where we should continue to see even more positive impact given, we have executed more -- the majority of the SEK 200 million, but we still have work to be done here, but we're in a good place. When it comes to additional potentials, that's honestly not something we are focusing on really executing on the plan here. And if there would be more potential, we would need to come back on that later on. But a key point for us now is obviously to see the cost savings falling into the P&L and our operating margin, which we saw in a good way in the second quarter, but we have more ambitions to -- or we expect to see more in the coming quarters. That's really where our focus is Victor today. And if there would be an upside, we would have to come back on that.
But I would say, Victor, that one thing that I've been highlighting for the longer term is that we have been focusing in very intentional in terms of building more scalable platforms and a more scalable way of working. If you go 5, 10 years back, a lot of the work in our company in this industry was quite a lot of manual work. And we can try to automate and also then find more efficiency, there is a real case for that, if you're looking 3, 5 years out. So that's obviously also an important point and the reason why we have invested in modernizing our digital platforms and aligning data models and things like that so that we can also operate the business across all parts of the business in a more efficient and more productive manner. So longer term, I would say the answer is yes. But the quantification of that and what that looks like, I mean that's something like Andreas said, focus now is on what we're doing in this phase, but longer term, there is definitely opportunity. And that sounds that we're also thinking about quite a lot also in terms of our strategy for the next phase.
Got it. And maybe following up on that. It was about 3 years ago since you announced the 8% ambition, and we are nearing that. But you at that point also mentioned longer term 10% EBITDA margins. And if we look at the past 3 years, a lot of things have happened when it comes to AI and digitalization. I think we've been, at least I have been, a bit surprised about the fast pace. So question is really when you look at the 10% today in light of the progress we've made in Society, but also in Securitas, would you say 10% in light of that digital opportunity? Are you surprised in regard to 10% as more realistic today? Or would you say this is more in line with your longer-term ambitions and views that have been there all along?
I think the 10%, it was a long-term ambition -- it is a long-term ambition. The important thing is the shift that we have made in the last couple of years because when we announced the 8%, we didn't have that many believers internally or externally, I would say, because we had a very flat type of operating margin for the prior 10 years or something like that. But if you ask the question, how do we feel about where we are right now, we feel good about where we are right now in terms of our commitment and also the actions that we have been driving to shift the profile to become more of an 8% company.
For the next phase, I think the most important is going to be how we maximize shareholder value. And there, we need to think about growth rate, and we also need to think about continuous margin improvement. And -- but that's something that we're going to come back to in 2026 also in terms of sharing more about the strategy for the next phase and how we're looking at that. But I think it's been extremely important for us, and I can't overemphasize that enough to drive this type of a shift that we are in the process of driving now because we will also then be in a different position to also think about how we maximize value then in the next phase.
There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the President and CEO, Magnus Ahlqvist, for any closing comments.
Okay. Thanks a lot, everyone, for joining and for being part of the journey. And also who are taking summer vacation, I wish you a good time in the month of August and looking forward to seeing you all soon. Thanks a lot.
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Finanzdaten von SECURITAS
Umsatz
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Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 151.718 151.718 |
7 %
7 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 118.944 118.944 |
7 %
7 %
78 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 32.774 32.774 |
4 %
4 %
22 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 21.484 21.484 |
6 %
6 %
14 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 11.366 11.366 |
1 %
1 %
7 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 545 545 |
15 %
15 %
0 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 10.821 10.821 |
1 %
1 %
7 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 5.409 5.409 |
0 %
0 %
4 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen SEK.
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Firmenprofil
Securitas AB engagiert sich in der Bereitstellung von Sicherheitsdiensten. Sie ist in den folgenden Segmenten tätig: Sicherheitsdienste Nordamerika, Sicherheitsdienste Europa, Sicherheitsdienste Ibero-Amerika und andere. Das Segment Sicherheitsdienste Nordamerika bietet Sicherheitsdienste in den USA, Kanada und Mexiko an. Das Segment Sicherheitsdienste Europa bietet Flughafensicherheit, mobile Sicherheitsdienste und elektronische Alarmüberwachungsdienste an. Das Segment Sicherheitsdienste Iberoamerika umfasst Sicherheitsdienste in sieben Ländern Lateinamerikas sowie in Europa in Portugal und Spanien. Das Segment Andere umfasst Bewachungseinsätze im Nahen Osten, in Asien und Afrika. Das Unternehmen wurde 1934 von Erik Philip-Sörensen gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Stockholm, Schweden.
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| Hauptsitz | Schweden |
| CEO | Mr. Ahlqvist |
| Mitarbeiter | 322.000 |
| Gegründet | 1934 |
| Webseite | www.securitas.com |


