Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Aktienkurs
Ist Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. eine Topscorer-Aktie nach der Dividenden-, High-Growth-Investing- oder Levermann-Strategie?
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 7,53 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 217,17 Mio. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 7,53 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 304,05 Mio. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 7,30 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 217,17 Mio. $
Enterprise Value = 7,30 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 304,05 Mio. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Aktie Analyse
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22 Analysten haben eine Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Prognose abgegeben:
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good day, everyone, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Results from Phase II Prader-Willi Syndrome trial. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. Now it's my pleasure to hand the conference to David Connolly with Investor Relations at Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. Please proceed.
Thank you, [Carmen]. I'm Dave Connolly here at Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. This morning, we issued a press release announcing positive interim data from our Phase II trial of setmelanotide in patients with Prader-Willi syndrome. That press release is available on our website. Also, our slides for this call can be accessed and controlled by going to the Investors section of our website at ir.rhythmtx.com. On the call today are David Meeker, our Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President of Rhythm Pharmaceuticals; and Dr. Jennifer Miller, Pediatric Endocrinologist at the University of Florida.
On Slide 3, I'll remind you that this call contains remarks concerning future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in our most recent annual or quarterly reports on file with the SEC. In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent date. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements. With that, I'll turn the call over to David Meeker, who will begin on Slide 5.
Thank you, Dave. Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining on a Saturday. We're thrilled to have Dr. Miller joining us this morning despite a 1:00 a.m. arrival last night. Dr. Miller will present the 6-month data results from our open-label study of setmelanotide in patients with PWS at an American College of Endocrinology poster session at 12:45 Chicago Time today.
The headline is that we saw a consistent response to setmelanotide across four key measures. BMI and BMI-Z scores decreased with a corresponding decrease in fat mass while preserving lean mass, and we saw a consistent decrease in both their hyperphagia scores and their anxiety. These results reinforce the rationale and our conviction to advance MC4R agonism to Phase III in PWS. This morning, we will present the data that will be in the poster along with some additional color.
Before we do that, I want to remind you of Rhythm's three key pillars on Slide 6, underlying our strategy of fully developing therapies for diseases defined by impaired signaling through the MC4R pathway. We will continue to work on genetic causes. We are pleased with the start of our launch into acquired HO. And as you will hear today, we believe we can make a significant difference in the lives of patients living with PWS. The epidemiology of PWS is reasonably well understood, and we did our own analysis following the methodology outlined on Slide 7.
We estimate a prevalent population of 12,500 to 16,000 in each of the U.S. and Europe with 80% to 90% of patients having MC4R pathway impairment for a target population range of 8,500 to 12,750. In the appendix, there are a few slides that walk you through our bottoms-up methodology with citations. Now let's move to the data highlights on Slide 8. We are, as promised, showing you four metrics, which in their totality, we believe capture the full picture of the benefit of treatment with setmelanotide.
This is a complex disease, characterized not only by the hyperphagia and associated obesity in patients who are not severely calorie restricted, but also challenging behaviors, including rigidity, obsessive compulsive disorder, a tendency to emotional breakdowns and in some patients, more violent behaviors. In addition to BMI in adults and BMI-Z in children, we record changes in their hyperphagia questionnaire for clinical trials, the HQ-CT score, the currently accepted hyperphagia score.
The HQ-CT is a 9-item caregiver assessment with each item being scored on a 0 to 4-point scale with a possible maximum score of 36. The higher the score, the more severe the hyperphagia. In the FDA review of VYKAT, the agency's anchor-based evaluation of the study data found that a plausible range of clinically meaningful change thresholds in HQ-CT total score is between 4 and 7.5 points. The Prader-Willi Syndrome anxiousness and distress Behaviors Questionnaire, or PADQ, is also a caregiver-reported assessment with 14 items scored on a scale of 0 to 4 and a maximum potential score of 56. The higher the score, the more severe the patient's anxiety and level of distress. An 11 point or more reduction in score is considered clinically meaningful.
As shown on Slide 8, the mean BMI decrease at 6 months across all 17 patients was 3.06%. Adult patients had a mean BMI decrease of 3.11% and the 7 pediatric patients some of whom experienced significant growth during the 6-month period had a BMI-Z score decrease of minus 0.35. The mean decrease in fat mass was 4.19% for the 16 patients with scans while preserving lean mass. And notably, 8 of 10 patients with moderate to severe hyperphagia, defined as a HQ-CT score of greater than equal to 13 had a 7-point or greater decrease in score.
As a reminder, as shown on Slide 9, this is an open-label study of setmelanotide dosed up to a maximum of 5 milligrams as tolerated for a period of 6 months in patients aged greater than equal to 6 with PWS. Originally, this was a 6-month study, but we had amended the duration to be 1 year plus an open-label extension. The 6-month interim look at the data was prespecified. Slide 10 shows the patient demographics in disposition. A total of 18 patients were enrolled. Patient #4, as we indicated on our December call, discontinued the trial early for personal family reasons.
All remaining 17 patients have stayed in the study, and that is the data we are presenting today. There were 11 adult patients and 7 patients less than 18. 7 patients had diabetes, 2 patients had extremely poorly controlled diabetes and 3 patients were treated with insulin, which can contribute to weight gain. 14 of 17 patients were treated with growth hormone, which has positive effects on body composition. The patients were living with severe obesity with a mean BMI of 39 overall and 41.1 in the adult patients. The mean BMI-Z score in patients less than 18 was 4.15. The average HQ-CT score was 12.83.
As noted, a total of 10 patients had a baseline score greater than 13, a level that correlates with moderate to severe hyperphagia and that has been used in prior hyperphagia trials to define patient eligibility. The mean PADQ score was 29.9, a total of 9 patients were on VYKAT. Slide 11 shows the BMI plot for all 17 patients. 14 of 17 patients showed a decrease in their BMI over the course of the 6 months. The next 2 slides look at the BMI and BMI-Z score changes in adult and pediatric patients, respectively, with their corresponding DEXA scan results at 6 months below each patient.
The dark blue bars represent the percent change in fat mass and the light purple bars show the percent change in lean mass. Beginning with the adults on Slide 12, you can see that 10 adult patients had a mean BMI percent decrease of 3.11%. Of note, all patients had a decrease in BMI over the 6 months with the exception of patient 1, who, as you remember from the December presentation had severe uncontrolled diabetes among other medical problems. Her weight has remained stable to down after her initial increase.
If you look at the DEXA scan results shown below each patient, the 9 adult patients with an available DEXA scan had an approximate mean change in percent fat mass of minus 7.4%, with relative preservation of lean mass and in the majority of cases, the decrease in fat mass percent exceeded the percent decrease in BMI. The next slide shows the change in BMI-Z scores for pediatric patients. Importantly, most of these patients were on growth hormone. Mean BMI-Z score change was a minus 0.35 with reduction of greater than 0.2 being viewed as clinically meaningful. 6 of 7 patients had a BMI-Z score decrease of approximately 0.2 or greater.
DEXA scan results must be interpreted differently in pediatric patients as they would be expected to add both fat and lean mass as they grow. Girls will add more fat mass than boys. Patient 5 did not have a measurable response to treatment, although his BMI has fluctuated significantly during the trial. The other patients showed a variable response on DEXA with both fat and lean mass decreasing in some and increasing in others consistent with their growth.
Moving to the next 2 slides, we see the same BMI and BMI-Z bars at the top for each patient with the corresponding HQ-CT and PADQ scores for each patient on the two panels below. On Slide 14, we see the adult patients. HQ-CT scores decreased meaningfully in all 8 patients with elevated baseline values. Two patients had baseline scores of 0 with no opportunity to improve. And 6 out of 6 patients with scores greater than 7 and therefore, an opportunity to show a 7-point or more change all had a change of 7 or greater.
The PADQ score results showed a similar pattern with all but 2 patients who had low baseline scores showing a decrease in their score and of the 8 patients with a baseline score of 11 or greater and therefore, the potential to show an 11-point or greater change, 6 out of 8 patients did show that change.
Moving to Slide 15, we show the results for the pediatric patients. HQ-CT scores decreased in 5 out of 6 patients with baseline elevated scores, and they decreased by more than 7 points in 3 of 5 patients with baseline values greater than 7. Patient 5 did not show as noted, a clear clinical response on any of the 4 clinical assessments. And again, the PADQ results showed a similar pattern with 6 of 7 patients showing a decrease in their scores from baseline and 4 of 7 patients a greater than 11-point decrease.
Patient #8 missed by 1 point on both the HQ-CT and PADQ measures from reaching the 7- and 11-point thresholds, respectively. On Slide 16, we show the safety results. The drug was well tolerated with most patients being on 4 or 4.5 milligrams. Injection site reactions and hyperpigmentation were most commonly seen. I would now like to move to Dr. Miller and ask her a few questions before we go to more general Q&A. Dr. Miller, thanks for joining us today.
Thank you for inviting me.
I want to acknowledge all the work you do for the Prader-Willi community. You have participated in most of the clinical trials which have been run in this population. And as we at Rhythm have come to appreciate, these are very challenging trials to conduct.
Thank you Dave.
My first question is just in general, what do you see as the most meaningful results to date in this study?
So I think the most meaningful results to date are the fact that everything is moving in the same direction. There is consistency across all of these measures between weight, BMI, DEXA results as well as HQ-CT scores and PADQ scores. So that's very positive to me.
Most patients seem to have a relatively consistent response to treatment across the different outcome measures with the exception of patients 1 and 5. And I know we discussed these patients on the December call, but can you remind us a little bit of sort of who they are and what was challenging about these patients?
Yes. So patient 1 has uncontrolled diabetes, very poorly controlled diabetes with an A1c that's ranged between 14% and 15% during the course of this time. She's noncompliant with diabetes medications. I insisted that mom be the one to give her the setmelanotide for the trial. I'm not sure of the consistency there either. But I mean, she and her mom both report that even though her weight has not decreased as they hoped that she seems happier. She's moving more. She's actually going out of the house and has a job now, which she wasn't doing prior to the trial.
So they are actually quite thrilled with the results, even though she has not had an improvement in weight or BMI or DEXA scan. And again, I don't know if that's compliance or something else. And then patient 5 had a very difficult social situation, a lot of traveling, moving, -- he was in high school, where people were giving him food, no one was supervising. And so it was just a tough time during the course of this time because there was so much social upheaval within his life.
And so -- but again, parents are very pleased. Both of these patients remain on drug and remain on the trial because both parents perceive a benefit. It may not be the benefit that you and I wanted to see and the benefit in terms of BMI and weight and HQ-CT score, but it is a benefit. And there -- both patients are consistently seeming happier, having less meltdowns, easier to deal with. And when they do have meltdowns, they are certainly shorter lived.
And I remember the patient #1 gained their weight immediately, pretty quickly coming into the trial by month 3. And since then.
She's been stable. Since then she's been stable. She's gone down gentamicin, but for the most part, she's been stable. She was never stable before. I've known her whole life. So this is the first time we've seen stability in weight gain. And so I do actually think that's a win.
Right. And it looks like she did have a decrease in her HQ-CT [ C20 ] baseline. So and then if you said patient 5, perhaps representative of just some of the challenges...
Yes. Absolutely.
Can you talk a little bit about factors which may cause visit-to-visit fluctuations despite a general trend towards improvement?
I mean I think there's a lot of factors that can cause visit-to-visit fluctuations. I mean, travel, of course, being a big one. We were having these people come every month. They're coming from all over the country for this trial. So travel is stressful and people tend to eat not normally when they're traveling. There's a lot of constipation within this population that worsens with travel, a lot of edema, particularly peripheral edema or lymphedema, which worsens with prolonged travel.
So I think all of those factors contributed to weight fluctuations, how bad their edema was, whether they had used the bathroom regularly, that kind of stuff. And then I also think that things like school situation, school holidays and new teachers and things like that, of course, play a big role in variations from visit to visit. And unfortunately, we've had several families during the course of this trial that the parents have gotten profoundly ill, and that also has affected this because if the primary caregiver is not available to really be the one making sure that everything is happening the way that it should, you can get some variability in results.
So how would you characterize the patient population as compared to the broader Prader-Willi population, knowing that some of the more challenging patients are referred to you, and I know we've gotten this from a number of people who follow Rhythm.
Yes. I mean these were the worst of the worst patients for me. They were patients -- sorry, as I said, in December that did not qualify for any other treatment that we had tried everything else on. And I felt like I was at the end of what I could do. And so that made this a particularly challenging population to deal with being that they were so severe, their BMIs were so severe, the behaviors were so severe.
And so I do think they are representative of a subset of some people with Prader-Willi syndrome. I don't think they're entirely representative of my whole patient population by far, but they definitely are representative of a big subset of people with Prader-Willi dealing with obesity, uncontrolled diabetes, hyperphagia, that kind of stuff.
They speak to the huge unmet need.
They do speak to the huge unmet need.
Can you talk a little bit about what you would expect to see in a placebo group with regard to changes in [ HQ-CT ] scores and the fact that they're been in a trial, what impact do you think that has?
I honestly don't think it has any. I mean at the beginning, for sure, I know that there is a very strong placebo effect in Prader-Willi. We've documented that in multiple trials. However, this far out, that placebo effect is gone. And so the fact that these results have remained consistent over at least 6 months and for some of these patients now 12 months is really encouraging to me.
I think placebo is going to show nothing. I mean I think by 6 months in, you should see no changes, if not increasing -- well, you should see increasing in weight and BMI, increasing in body fat as is typical for the natural history of the syndrome. and behaviors in hyperphagia should not change.
Great. Last question. Now that we are 6 or more months into the trial, what is the general impression of the patient and their family with regard to the changes they've seen on treatment?
Everyone is really thrilled, very thrilled. As I said, all 17 patients have remained in the trial, which is remarkable considering how much we were asking of them during the trial. They are happier in terms of -- most of them, especially about the weight control and hyperphagia changes that they're seeing. But the other big piece of this is that the kids and adults are actually becoming more physically active, like they're choosing to become more physically active, and that's huge.
They're purposely going out and doing stuff. Some of the adults have gotten jobs, which they weren't doing before. Parents report that in situations where their kid would normally have a meltdown because things didn't go their way, they're able to sort of reason their way through it and not have meltdown. And it's been quite remarkable. The behavior changes and the positive mental health changes that we've seen have been consistent across everybody. Some of these individuals have even been able to come off of their -- some of their -- not all of them, but some of their atypical antipsychotic meds or come down on those medications, which is huge as well because people with Prader-Willi, as many people know, are just polypharmacy at the extreme. So it's nice to see that we have some mechanism to improve quality of life in this population.
Great. Thank you. I mean it highlights again that no one measure captures the benefit here in terms of...
Okay. So just to wrap up. So thank you, Dr. Miller, for that. And in summary, I'll start by acknowledging this trial has limitations. It's a small open-label data set. However, as you've heard, we're pretty excited about the results to date. All 4 measures in the majority of patients improved, which is strongly validating in terms of overall clinical benefit.
The magnitude of the mean BMI change in adults was modest, but let's put that in some context. The best data to date historically in Prader-Willi, as we discussed on the December call, has been the Beloranib data. As shown on Slide 18, you can see the weight decrease at 6 months of 4% to 5% in the low and high dose groups, respectively. The HQ-CT results showed a 6- to 7-point decrease on average.
Importantly, the placebo patients gained, as Dr. Miller highlighted would be expected given the natural history, gained 4% in weight. The HQ-CT results in the placebo patients showed an initial change consistent with the placebo effect, which had returned to baseline at 6 months, suggesting that any placebo effect was gone by that time point. Despite the absence of a control group, our results compare favorably with the results shown in that trial.
When you factor in that the Beloranib study was only in patients greater than equal to 12 with a minimal HQ-CT score of 13 or greater and excluded patients with uncontrolled diabetes, for example, including those requiring insulin and that only 40% to 45% of the patients were on growth hormone, that trial may have selected for a population more likely to see weight change and improvement in HQ-CT.
So in summary, what do we know? We know that the MC4R biology is part of the disease. The improvements in BMI and BMI-Z, the consistent or even more pronounced decrease in fat mass -- the consistent clinically meaningful improvement in HQ-CT, particularly in patients who had baseline scores greater than 13, accompanied by corresponding improvements in the anxiety distress scores are highly validating for a meaningful improvement in the disease. There's a reason these patients want to stay on treatment.
So these results, number three, were observed in a potentially more challenging Prader-Willi population than may have participated in some of the earlier trials. And four, finally, the data strongly support moving to a Phase III program with confidence that we can achieve statistically significant and clinically meaningful results on both hyperphagia scores and weight-related measures.
So with regard to next steps, as previously discussed, we will proceed to Phase III clinical trial with a final decision as to which therapeutic agent to be made later this year. We have received many appropriate questions on our development strategy. We started the Prader-Willi program believing the MC4R pathway is central to the hyperphagia weight gain seen in Prader-Willi. That has been confirmed.
The recent VYKAT approval for hyperphagia establishes a pathway for approval, which is more efficient, 4 to 6 months in duration than a weight loss trial of 52 weeks. We can imagine running 2 trials, one focused on hyperphagia with weight and DEXA results as key secondaries and a second focused on BMI/BMI-Z endpoints with DEXA and HQ-CT scores as key secondaries. These plans will all be finalized, further finalized after discussion with the FDA. With that, we will now open the call up for general Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] comes from Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
2. Question Answer
So I wanted to ask about the evidence that you're seeing of continued improvement over time. So can you help us get a sense about what the trajectory of weight loss has been, let's say, from month 3 to month 6? And I'm asking mostly because it seems like physicians want to see something around 5% more -- 5% or more in the range of weight loss -- sorry, or BMI reduction for these patients. So that's a question for both David and Dr. Miller as well.
Yes. Thanks,. Yes. So this is not HO, and I think we all got a little bit spoiled there with HO given the dramatic and profound ongoing response in that setting. So your first part of the question was what's the general pattern? The pattern is down. So the mean at 3 months was about 1.5% decrease and the mean at 6 months was 3%. And as I think most of you know on the call, I'm not a big fan of mean values in very small data sets because a small number of outliers can skew all that. But the general pattern is very clearly down, albeit at a much more gradual overall pace. And then -- I'm sorry, what was the other part of that?
The 5%.
Oh, the 5%, yes. So the approval here, this is very clear. And I think given the Prader-Willi is not general obesity, it's not HO, the regs as we have highlighted on previous calls and answering this question is a 5% placebo adjusted. And so at 3% at 6 months and with a -- if you use a 2% to 4% increase in a placebo group, which would seem to be very reasonable, and I ask Dr. Miller to comment on that, I think the possibility that 52 weeks, we could clear a 5% placebo-adjusted change in weight is extremely high.
But I'll -- one last thing before I turn it over to Dr. Miller, rare diseases, approvals, regulatory reviews are about the totality of the evidence. You don't rise and fall on one single measure. And given the unmet medical need here and the consistency across results, again, I think we'd be very well positioned to make a strong case for the clinical benefit here. But maybe...
No, I 100% agree. And I was going to say something very similar because right now, we don't have anything that can get BMI down at all other than severe food restriction, locking people up, locking their kitchens and refrigerators, putting them in special institutions where they're on a 600-calorie diet. Those are not sustainable nor feasible solutions.
This offers a sustainable solution with a continuing decline in BMI and BMI-Z. And so I actually view this data as really positive. I also got spoiled by HO and wanted to see more than a 5% loss, but it was slower and steadier in Prader-Willi syndrome, and people are happy with that. The parents and the individuals themselves are pleased with the results.
[Operator Instructions] It comes from the line of Phil Nadeau with TD Cowen.
Congratulations. The consistency in particular, is really impressive. Dr. Miller, you made the comment that this isn't a typical Prader-Willi population. It's maybe somewhat more severe than normal. We're curious how you think the results would therefore trend in a more normal population. I guess we could see it going either way in that maybe they're easier to treat, so you see bigger BMI and hyperphagia reductions or the opposite, if there's less room for improvement, maybe there's a ceiling effect. So curious to get your thoughts on that.
Yes. I think you're right the first time. I think actually, they'll probably be a little bit easier to treat. And so you'll likely see more profound effects of the drug than you are seeing in this population. Again, these are sort of my worst and my worst. I do think these represent a very significant subset of individuals with Prader-Willi from across the country and across the world.
These individuals are not unique in any way. They're fairly unique to my patient population in that they are the worst of the worst for my patient population. But overall, these are fairly common problems that we see with Prader-Willi syndrome around the world. So -- but I do think if we include people that are a little bit more mild, the effects will be even more dramatic.
Our next question is from Derek Archila with Wells Fargo.
Congrats on the data. Just to your comments, David, as we think about the development plan for potentially maybe 2 trials or 2 different types of trials, I guess, how do you anticipate maybe different enrollment criteria? It seems like HQ-CT of greater than 13 for a 6-month trial seems very reasonable. But for a 12-month trial maybe focused on BMI, would you expand criteria beyond greater than 13 HQ-CT? Or would you have some sort of BMI baseline criteria? That would be helpful to know.
Yes. I'll let Dr. Miller chime in here. But initially, yes, so to run the HQ-CT without as a primary endpoint, by definition, you do -- we do what everybody else has done, which is restricted to patients who have a certain level of baseline severity. I think if you remember from the VYKAT, they even stratified for level of severity above the 13. So -- and those -- the higher you are, the worse you are, the greater the opportunity to improve if you have a drug that's actually working there.
I think it's an interesting question on the weight trial. And to be honest, we haven't gotten any feedback from the FDA. And in these kind of diseases, I'm quoting you what's sort of generally required for weight loss trials and what we've been asked for some of our other indications. But we'll see if we need to do a full 52-week trial. I would go in again and just make the case that, that may or may not be what is in the best interest of patient population. But if we do, and that's the primary, then yes, you might want to open it up and not restrict it only to patients with an HQ-CT greater than 13 because there's clearly patients who have an unmet need will have lower scores than that. So...
I agree. I agree. And patients that are on VYKAT are going to obviously have lower HQ-CT scores coming in, but many of them still are suffering from obesity and metabolic consequences of obesity and behavior stuff. So I think this drug represents a really nice adjunct therapy to that. And so David and I have had some discussions at length about whether or not HQ-CT should be the primary endpoint for weight, BMI, DEXA scan. And so hence, the discussion of possibly doing 2 different trials to see to sort of pull out all that information from this population.
Our next question comes from Seamus Fernandez with Guggenheim Securities.
So just wanted to get a sense of if you have a robust sense of the compliance in this trial. It seems like if there were compliance challenges, once weekly could have a meaningful incremental benefit and probably be quite a bit easier to track from a compliance perspective in the actual clinical study. So just hoping to get a better sense of your tracking of the compliance in this patient population given some of the variability.
So overall compliance was excellent. People with Prader-Willi have a lot of compulsive tendencies, and they like to take medicines. And so having a daily injection was not a big deal for most of them. And they also -- many of them, as David mentioned, are on growth hormone. So they were used to already having a daily injection. It didn't bother them. The 2 that we suspected more noncompliance in #1 and #5, again, both were in difficult family situations.
And patient #1 was on a once-weekly GLP-1 at one point in time, it didn't do much of anything for her mostly because she didn't take it because she didn't remember once a week to take it. And so once a week tends to be challenging for this population more than you would think, especially more than the general population because they like to do things routinely. And so having the routine of doing something daily actually works for most of them.
Our next question is from Corinne Johnson with Goldman Sachs.
Congrats on the data. I guess one question for me, Dr. Miller. You mentioned that these patients are seeing improvements in behavior. I guess what do you attribute those behavior changes to? Do you think it's a direct mechanism of the MC4R agonism? Or is it a result of the broader reduction in food noise?
It's a very good question, and I don't know the answer. We did also see it in the HO population as well and the genetic obesity population. People reported similar things. So it wasn't really surprising other than it was surprising to watch it happen. People -- again, the people that were in this trial were very, very severe, first few months of the trial, throwing things screaming, yelling and watching that improve was stunning.
And some of the parents really are just beyond thrilled with the changes in this. And they said, I didn't like my child for a while and now I like them again. They're easier to deal with. And so I don't know the answer. It's the long and the short of it, but it -- it was kind of consistent across all the setmelanotide trials we've done. And so it leads me to believe it's something about the drug itself or the agonism of the melanocortin-4 receptor that does this, but I did find it really exciting and nice to see happen.
Yes. Maybe to that point, just you said you and I have talked about this. I mean the HO population, this increased desire to do things, be active, call it energy, whatever, didn't seem to tightly correlate with weight. It wasn't that they've been and are feeling better.
Right, exactly. And we saw behavior changes there, too, in a very positive manner as well. So yes.
Okay. Next question?
And it comes from Mike Ulz with Morgan Stanley.
This is Rohit on for Mike. Just based on these results, can you talk about the bar for results at 1 year? Is it still greater than a 5% reduction? And have you had any additional discussions with the regulators?
Yes. So just to be clear, we haven't had any discussions with the regulators. What I've repeated and I feel pretty confident because, again, those are the regs that if 5% placebo adjusted is the bar in terms of decreasing BMI or decreasing weight. So -- but I do, and I'll say it again, this is the kind of setting where it's a totality of the evidence that regulators will look at. And so it's very important, and that's why we've highlighted on today's results, what makes us very excited about this setting is how consistent the results were.
It wasn't that we got a little bit of movement on BMI and not much else happened. No, we had directional improvement across all 4 measures. And I think as Dr. Miller highlighted, that's pretty meaningful and the behavior assessments are a big part of that. So yes, I think the bar, that's the bar for 52 weeks.
And the next question is from Samantha Semankov with Citi.
This is Ben on for Sam. Just curious, are you seeing any early patterns in age or HQ-CT or PADQ that might differentiate the patients that responded stronger in the study?
Yes. I mean I'll go first, and Dr. Miller can tell me if this sounds right. I think for both of those, they tended to move relatively quickly, the HQ-CT score and the PADQ. Now to the point that you see placebo effects early on in Prader-Willi, that initial movement, you wouldn't know was that a placebo effect or not. What gives us confidence is that, that initial move has really persisted. I mean it hasn't even drifted back essentially in all the patients. I mean it's held at that initial drop.
And that, again, is very consistent with what we've seen in the other populations we've treated. Bardet-Biedl syndrome for 16 weeks, we saw the drop in the hunger scores and then it just maintained and HO similarly. And so it wasn't that these scores don't tend to go down over the course of a year. They tend to get the effect and then that effect persists. But...
I think that's correct. That sounds correct. I would say I do think the effects on increasing movement in physical activity on purpose that they're choosing to do more physical activity happens at about 3 to 6 months. We start to see more of that. So I'm very curious to follow these results out to a year because that should result in more meaningful changes in BMI as well.
Our next question is from John Wolleben with Citizens.
Just one for Dr. Miller. I'm wondering which one of these measures do patients and or parents care most about?
Honestly, behavior. I think that's a big one. Of course, weight and BMI are very important to them as well. They love seeing the results of the DEXA, like when we get DEXA, they're very excited to go and see those. So I mean, there's a lot of things. I think these families, all of them have been through a lot with hyperphagia and various hyperphagia-related analysis measures.
And so I think that one is not quite as important to them as the changes in anxiety, behaviors, temper tantrums and body composition. But again, I think the biggest thing for everybody is quality of life. I think quality of life dramatically improves, and that's remarkable.
Yes. And John, I just want to highlight again, I think as Dr. Miller said, that's clearly what patients may value. We haven't had questions yet to date or so far on the call about the DEXA scans. But that's the other piece of this, which I think we -- I found really compelling here is that body composition is improving and the percent decrease in the fat mass, which was really consistent. And some of the variables Dr. Miller highlighted that may impact the measurement of a weight in BMI, like edema, water shifts and the like, constipation. I mean those are transient measures, but they impact how you measure those. The DEXA scan is a more reliable assessment of what's changing. And again, directionally and meaningfully, that fat mass was going down with, which is what we've seen in our other trials with setmelanotide, relative preservation of the mass. So, Next question.
Our next question comes from the line of Paul Matteis with Stifel.
Congrats on the data update. One question on the next steps on the trial side. David, are you thinking that you might try to pursue a randomized withdrawal study given that, that was a path for Soleno and just given the history of those studies having a higher POS? And then one quick question for Dr. Miller. When you think about this mechanism, does it make sense that weight loss would continue to build and be linear from month 6 to 12? Or would you think that most of the benefits would have already accrued on BMI by month 6?
So would we do a randomized withdrawal? I think the -- Dr. Miller is shaking her head. I think if you remember, as I understand it, again, just reading with public in terms of the VYKAT trial, that ran into the COVID situation. And so there are some unique aspects of that whole setting, and they end up negotiating a randomized withdrawal with the FDA. But no, I think we just run a straight-up trial, and I think this data would support the fact that we'd be able to see a meaningful difference there. And maybe Dr. Miller, just on from month 6 to 12.
Yes. So I think it's -- we've had what 5 patients complete 12 months now, and the trend has continued in terms of weight loss over that time. So I expect it to continue to build and to continue to improve.
Just to be clear on that, we haven't released the 5 patients.
Sorry.
But the -- in that 5 are the patients # 1 and 5. So -- but the other 3, to your point, have continued to trend down in patients 1 and 5, their situations are stable. So, next question.
The next question comes from Joseph Stringer with Needham & Company.
Apologies if I missed this, but how many of the 17 patients at 6 months titrated up to the 5 mg level? And on average, how long was that titration period? And then for Dr. Miller, assuming for now that the go-forward option in Phase III is the setmelanotide once-daily injection. Can you compare and contrast this with oral VYKAT in terms of balancing benefit and convenience in a real-world setting?
Maybe just on the dosing here and Dr. Miller can chime in. I think a significant percent of the patients did get up to 5. I think where, as I understand it from Dr. Miller, the talking to the families, they sort of settled out in the 4 to 4.5 milligram range at the point where they feel better, but I don't know.
That's correct. I'd say the great majority on 4 to 4.5, 5 didn't seem to do much above 4 or 4.5. So in the spirit of less is better, we went down on the dosing because it was -- if all things being equal, I'd prefer to give a lower dose to have less risk for side effects. The question about the once-a-week setmelanotide versus VYKAT is very difficult for me to answer because I don't know the answer. Again, I know that people with Prader-Willi do well with routine.
So compliance with VYKAT tends to be excellent in the clinical population with a real-world situation because it's a once-a-day pills that they take and they like to put things in their mouth, but that works. But we haven't really -- I haven't really had a lot of experience with once-weekly either growth hormone or even the GLP-1s, which we do not use very commonly in Prader-Willi. Simply because the once-weekly growth hormone is not FDA approved for Prader-Willi syndrome. And so we don't very often get insurance approval, so we use daily. So I just don't have a lot of experience with once-weekly injections to know the level of compliance at this point in time.
Great. Next question.
Yes. It comes from the line of Lisa Walter with RBC.
Congrats on the data. Maybe one for Dr. Miller. In your experience, for a patient not on treatment, what is the average BMI gain likely to be in adults over 52 weeks? And do HQ-CT scores also change over time as well? And -- maybe just one for David. On your Phase III plans for Prader-Willi, are you going to move forward with setmelanotide or RM-718? Any color here would be helpful.
I'll take first. Yes. So in general, adults with Prader-Willi tend to gain around 3% BMI per year. That's pretty average. There's some variability there. It can be more, it can be less depending on environment. Of course, if they're in a group home where everything is restricted, obviously, that's not the situation. But in free living adults with Prader-Willi, there is a consistent gain in BMI through each year. And so that's what I would expect to see. What was the second part of the question?
So I'm just curious, actually, and I haven't talked about it specifically. As the Prader-Willi patients get older and become more challenging just physically to manage, that in a home setting, does their weight tend to go up more quickly?
Absolutely, it does. And also, they become more sedentary, their parents are getting older. They're tired, the families are tired of doing this. And so there's not as much pushback about the food and about the exercise and that kind of stuff. And so things just tend to spiral in a very negative way in general. Yes.
Which makes the results we saw in the adults even more...
Even more -- exactly.
Okay. And Lisa, I think your last question was just on which drug are we going to use? And I apologize for still kicking this out because we can obviously use setmelanotide, approved drug, and we've got this data now. And as I said many times, all things being equal, we'd love to do it with the next generation. You've heard some thoughts from Dr. Miller on the pros and cons of a weekly versus a daily. Bivamelagon is obviously a daily oral. So those are all considerations. So we'll make a decision by the end of the year or later this year and put a date on it, but all three things are still under consideration.
Our next question comes from Raghuram Selvaraju with H.C. Wainwright.
I guess these are both really for Dr. Miller. When you think about the possibility of combining a drug like setmelanotide or like 718 with any existing component of the PWS armamentarium? What kind of factors are likely to most affect your decision-making process there? Is it likely to be primarily the safety and tolerability profile or the additive or possibly synergistic efficacy that you might achieve there?
And then also, maybe could you comment on the specific PWS patient subpopulation for whom, for whatever reason, primarily related to safety, perhaps a drug like VYKAT XR might be contraindicated and how likely those patients might be to be candidates for therapy with a drug like setmelanotide or 718?
Those are exactly the patients that I want on setmelanotide are the ones that have medical contraindications to going on VYKAT for the reasons of type 2 diabetes, severe obesity with edema already existing so that the risk profile of VYKAT would be exacerbated. I think the answer to your first question is actually both of those things. I think one of the things that I look at as me is the additive effect of multiple drugs. I like that idea.
And mechanistically, it makes sense with VYKAT and setmelanotide that there would be a synergistic effect of those drugs. And then -- but I also, of course, look at safety and tolerability. One of the things that I think is the most challenging for most peds endos who take care or even adult endos who take care of people with Prader-Willi is that the polypharmacy with psych drugs is humongous. And many, many, many, many, many adults are on atypical antipsychotics, which, of course, worsen the metabolic profile and the weight gain and the risk for type 2 diabetes.
And so having something like setmelanotide in the armamentarium that you could potentially lessen those risks is huge. And like I said, we saw one person come off of their atypical antipsychotic completely during this trial during the 6 months. And we've seen several reduce their doses quite significantly. So that alone, I think, is huge for me because those medicines are kind of the bane of my existence in terms of being an endocrinologist, but are necessary in terms of controlling symptoms for patients with Prader-Willi.
So I think that -- again, I think that both factors would come into play, both safety and efficacy, but also the potential additive effects of more than one drug. And then lastly is the effects of maybe ameliorating the consequences of a drug that's necessary for a different reason.
And our last question comes from the line of Leland Gershell with Oppenheimer.
Great to see these positive data. I wanted to ask a question on dosing. I think, Dave, you had mentioned that these patients have gotten up to, I think, 4 to 4.5. And I think the -- up to the maximum potential was 5 per day. I wanted to ask Dr. Miller, do you think that there would be room for greater efficacy benefit with a more selective MC4R? I guess if we look at the table on 16 of the AEs, are we hitting adverse events that are preventing patients from getting dosed further? Do you think there might be room for greater efficacy in PWS with a more ideal melanocortin?
Yes. Thanks, Leland. Maybe I'll lead off here and then let Dr. Miller comment. So setmelanotide is a highly specific MC4R, it hits MC1, but it has very good potency at the MC4R receptor. It's about tenfold more potent than the endogenous ligand alpha melanocyte stimulating hormone. And so we've been pretty convinced that it's not clear there's a lot of room to do better in terms of pure MC4R agonism.
And so back to why did we go up to 5, and we've done most of our work, as you all know, between 1 and 3 milligrams is the dosing regimen that's the approved regimen. We have safety clearance and tested as high as 7 mgs in patients with -- or normal volunteers with no problem. So going to 5, the goal there was to eliminate any possibility that we had left some efficacy on the table by not going high enough. And I think this trial has gone a long way to giving us some reassurance that we're in the right range. And the last thing I'll just say on the safety, what again is very reassuring is they seem to tolerate it well. So there weren't any unique safety issues going to the higher dose, but...
Yes. And like I said, I -- when people went down from the 5 down to 4 or 4.5, it was mostly just because they didn't perceive any additional benefit from being on 5 versus 4 or 4.5. And so they -- I've taught all patients that we don't want to put more stuff in your kids body than you have to do. So we -- if they didn't perceive any efficacy over a couple of months on 5 milligrams, then we would bring their dose back down to 4.5 to see how they did. And then if they still said, I think we were about the same on 4, we would bring it down to 4...
And this concludes our Q&A session. And I will turn the call back to David Meeker for closing comments.
Yes. So thanks again to everybody for tuning in. Hopefully, you're as excited as we are. Again, it's a tough population, but really encouraged by this initial data set and look forward to updating you on future progress on the program. Thanks all.
Thank you. And this concludes our conference. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Interim‑Phase‑II bei Prader‑Willi: Setmelanotide zeigte konsistente Verbesserungen bei Gewicht, Fettmasse, Hyperphagie und Angst, gut toleriert und Phase‑III‑würdig.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Takeaway: In einer offenen 6‑Monate‑Kohorte (n=17) gab es konsistente, Richtung‑verbesserungen bei BMI/BMI‑Z, DEXA‑Fettmasse, dem Hyperphagie‑Score (HQ‑CT) und Angst/Distress (PADQ); Patienten und Familien berichten spürbare Verhaltens‑ und Lebensqualitätsgewinne.
📌 Strategische Highlights
- Entwicklungsplan: Rhythm will in Phase III gehen; finale Auswahl des Wirkstoffs (aktuelles Setmelanotide vs. Next‑Gen/Kombinationen) wird bis Jahresende getroffen.
- Programmstruktur: Denkbar sind zwei Studien: eine kurze, hyperphagie‑fokussierte Studie (4–6 Monate) wegen des VYKAT‑Präzedenzfalls und eine 52‑W‑Studie mit BMI/BMI‑Z als Primärendpunkt.
- Patientenfokus: Zielpopulation geschätzt bei ~8.500–12.750 Patienten (US+EU) mit MC4R‑Pathway‑Impairment; Daten sprechen besonders für schwer betroffene Subgruppen und Patienten, die VYKAT nicht vertragen.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- BMI: Mean BMI‑Rückgang bei 6 Monaten: −3.06% (Erwachsene −3.11%); 14/17 Patienten hatten BMI‑Rückgang.
- Fettmasse: DEXA (n=16) zeigte mittleren Fettmassenrückgang −4.19% bei Erhalt der Lean‑Mass.
- HQ‑CT/PADQ: 8/10 Patienten mit moderat‑schwerer Hyperphagie (HQ‑CT≥13) hatten ≥7‑Punkte‑Senkung; PADQ bei vielen klinisch relevant reduziert.
- Sicherheit: Gut toleriert; häufigste AEs: Injektionsstellenreaktion und Hyperpigmentierung; die Mehrheit lief auf 4–4.5 mg.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Trajektorie: Management: ~1.5% bei 3 Monaten → ~3% bei 6 Monaten; sie halten >5% placebobenommen‑adjustiert bei 52 Wochen für erreichbar, sehen aber regulatorische Bewertung als Totality‑of‑Evidence.
- Dosis & Compliance: Mehrheit stabil bei 4–4.5 mg; Compliance in dieser Population insgesamt gut, tägliche Routine scheint vorteilhaft gegenüber einmal‑wöchigen Regimen.
- Kombination/Positionierung: Diskussionen über Kombi mit VYKAT (synergistisch möglich); setmelanotide attraktiv für Patienten mit Kontraindikationen zu VYKAT (z. B. schwerer Diabetes).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Bewertung: Positiver, aber frühe Datensatz: die konsistenten Effekte über vier verschiedene Endpunkte stärken die Rationale für Phase‑III. Klinische Relevanz (Verhalten, Fettmasse) sowie gute Verträglichkeit reduzieren Entwicklungsrisiko; statistische Bestätigung in randomisierten Studien bleibt entscheidend für Zulassung und kommerziellen Wert.
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Goldman Sachs 47th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
All right. Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us at the Goldman Sachs Global Healthcare Conference. Thrilled to be joined on stage today with David Meeker, the CEO of Rhythm. And we are thrilled to be hosting you ahead of -- I'm going to get this one out of the way early on, ahead of the ENDO conference this week where you're going to be sharing data for Prader-Willi. We would love to talk to you about it about what are you going to be able to say?
Thanks, Corinne. Excited to be here, right? We're really looking forward to Saturday. We have our 6-month data from the open-label study, and patient study run by Dr. Miller of the University of Florida. We presented some very early results last December. We'll now be presenting the full 17-patient data set at 6 months with this group. And our goal will be to -- our goal, we are presenting 4 different data points for each patient. We have almost a complete set on the DEXA.
But basically, every patient, you'll have their weight change, the BMI or BMI-Z for the kids, the DEXA scan results, which gives you the fat and the lean changes; and then 2 patient-reported outcomes, one, HQ-CT of course. And the second is a PADQ questionnaire, which measures anxiety and distress. And so those will be, we'll give you, like I said, the data for each patient and people will have the full picture with that.
We're not in a position to talk more about it at this conference, needless to say, because we're so close to Saturday, and there's no real good way to answer even hypothetical questions. So we're going to defer on those.
All right, and gentle plug that you can join us for dinner post that meeting on Saturday night, and if you'd like to do that, reach out to your salesperson. Okay. With that, let's talk about the HO launch because that's also super topical these days. And maybe just given kind of the audience, we could talk first about just HO was approved in March or IMCIVREE was approved for HO in March. And it was the third approved indication for the drug. But for those not familiar, can you just remind us about the data that supported that approval? And what made it on label relative to your expectations and clinical results?
Yes. So also excited to get that approval in March, which was a 3-month delay on our PDUFA date. I think caught up a little bit in some of the changes in Washington. But the label that we got was a good label. We had been -- we were trying, as we do each time to get a hunger into the indication statement. We were again unsuccessful. And I think the biggest reason is when the FDA, as they've explained it, to get something in the indication statement, you really need hunger to one, be in your primary endpoint. It was, in this case, a key secondary, but also we study in that trial, as people remember, kids as young as 4 years of age and individuals as old as 66. And so having one patient reported outcome measure for that full range, you don't -- you have different measures. And so we ended up having subsets of populations and they don't tend to give you an indication based on subsets.
So for that reason, hunger didn't get into the indication statement, but it is in the label. So -- and that's really only an issue, and I'll get back to the launch here in a minute, but that's only really an issue for our conversations with Medicare specifically. Medicare by statute does not cover weight loss drugs. And so anything in the indication statement, which would help differentiate us from a more general obesity -- anti-obesity medication.
We've talked to CMS and they're very receptive and they understand what we are trying to do and they understand our drug is different, but that they felt bound by statute. So from a label standpoint, we got pretty much everything we want, no real restrictions on the label. It's not defined by the requirement for imaging, for example, and the like. It's acquired hypothalamic obesity. So we feel really good about where we ended up coming out of the regulatory process. And then we talked about it on our first quarter earnings call, the initial 6 weeks of launch. I don't know if we want to dive into that now. I'm happy to offer comments or turn it back to you for some more questions.
Yes, let's get there. But first, I just want to talk about the market opportunity? Because I think when you started introducing this, it was very much 5,000 to 10,000 and as we've gotten closer to the launch and then since launch, I think you guys have solidified around that 10,000 number. So maybe you could talk about what kind of gave -- what are the kind of puts and takes that give you confidence in that 10,000 number. And what have you learned now that you're on market in terms of kind of understanding the market opportunity there?
Yes. So I'll back up and speak a little bit generally about how we get to rare disease epidemiology numbers, and I'll use BBS as an example. When we came out with BBS, it was sort of, I think, 2500 [indiscernible] that number and I maybe even be misquoting there, but it was a little lower than where we are now. And a couple of things informed our increase to 4,000 to 5,000, which is a number -- prevalent number that we feel really good about for the U.S. only. And so one is we were doing more genetic screening. So that informed us based on what we felt was the prevalence of the background genetics there actually got us to a significantly larger number. Two, the prevalence of the disease in Europe and the U.S., we felt was highly similar, so much better understanding of the prevalence of the disease in France, for example.
So we could take the French number and then correct on a population basis for the U.S. So that gave us a second data point. And then third, which is, I think, really important and part of the answer to the HO is I think, when people do rare disease epidemiology, almost invariably, it's rare and not a lot of work has been done. So it tends to be poor in the published literature and the like. And I think you tend to fall in 1 of 2 buckets. And one is either you're trying to inflate your numbers a bit to make a business case. But when you get out in the field, it's really hard to find those patients. Or alternatively, you're sort of working straight up from whatever poor epidemiology you have, and then that epidemiology tends to be larger than what you estimate, not smaller just because inherently, these early estimates tend to underestimate it.
I think we're in the second bucket there. So when we went out with our 5,000 to 10,000 estimate, that was very much predicated on sort of the literature kind of review and the like. We then did claims analysis, not just in the U.S. but outside the U.S. So we had claims analysis in Germany. We had claims analysis in Japan. We can talk about that. But on cross populations, all of that was very reinforcing that the numbers on the higher side, 10,000 as opposed to 5,000. And then just very important is once we had people in the field, they were finding patients. They were getting strong feedback that the patients were there and the gestalt of that these numbers estimate there's a 10,000-ish prevalent population.
And in terms of like where these patients are treated, can you remind us like where are these patients? Who are the target physicians? And how have you guys tiered your commercial strategy relative to the target physician population?
Yes. So one, we just knew based on the problem here which is majority of individuals having a tumor, benign tumor that gets resected, and the complications of that surgery are 80% plus of them have pituitary insufficiency. So by definition, that group tends to be taken care of by endocrinology. Even if they're not their primary, they will see an endo every 6 to 12 months as a rule kind of thing. So we expected them to be in the endocrinologists offices. And then when we did claims analysis and this is where you've got a very hard starting point, which is the injury, most often the tumor and the surgery and the like.
So you can identify that population very reliably. You can figure out what percentage or who are the patients who have pituitary insufficiency and then you begin to you get into obesity coding and the like, which is a little less reliable because that doesn't necessarily tell you that, that obesity is due to HO, but you're really starting to narrow the funnel there. So based on that, Jennifer and her North American team, tiered physicians based on -- and were appropriately focused on those who had more than 2 patients basically. So that was our 5,000-ish patients, and we've built a sales force with a goal of targeting that 5,000 out of the 10,000-plus endos overall. So that's...
So then as you've gotten out into the market, you're talking to these physicians, what have you learned in terms of physician feedback about their enthusiasm for the drug, the patients that they're willing to put on it and how they're thinking about adoption?
Yes. High, and as I said, very reinforcingly many investors and the analysts and the like, do their own work. And I think everybody is pretty much getting the same feedback and what we're hearing in the office is a huge amount of interest, surprising to me anyway, lack of awareness in many settings. And if you think about acquired HO, it's not one of those things that many or most endocrinologists were trained on during fellowship. It's a clear disease, but haven't been given a name. And what will drive that awareness, as is often the case, is the availability of the therapy.
So before there was a treatment, if you think about an individual with a craniopharyngioma now getting ready to go to surgery, they will be told that, a, not a single patient coming out of surgery will be -- if they have hypothyroidism, it will not be missed. 100% of those patients will have their hypothyroid status diagnosed. And secondly, almost all of them will have been educated about that possibility going into surgery. A very low percentage of patients today are educated about the possibility of developing acquired HO.
So why is that there's no therapy? So you're creating -- this is one view what we hear and the like is you're creating anxiety within the family for a problem that there's nothing to do about. You may have this problem, wow, it sounds horrible, but yes, there's not much we can do. Now there's something to do. So I think all of those things will greatly accelerate. So back to your question, what we're hearing going in is a huge amount of interest, bulk of the -- majority of the patients are probably in the suspected category, not confirmed diagnosis. They need to come in and get it. Getting into doctors' offices are sometimes hard to get into previously, and those are busy. But now our field team is getting in there much more reliably.
Okay. So then with all of that in the background, you disclosed 150 patient start forms in early May. That was about 6 weeks into the launch. Can you help us bridge from the patient start forms into revenue as well as like what can you share qualitatively about the trajectory of patient starts since the last update?
Yes. I mean as you know, and we've gotten feedback on this, there's aspects of this opportunity, which are very specialty like and that's a huge advantage for an ultra-rare disease, and this is at 10,000, that's still ultrarare by any definition. But the specialty like aspect of this is a, if they're not diagnosed, they have a presentation/phenotype, which is very diagnosable. I mean, it's not hard to recognize once you know what they're looking for, and they are concentrated in the specialty. So they are extremely approachable. Our ability to penetrate into that should be high.
On the other side of the equation, which is the -- we have many of the challenges of a classic ultra rare, which is day 1, awareness is still relatively low. A lot of work to do. Two, access to the physicians who will be writing the script, still challenging. It's not like endos have big open spaces in their clinic day where patients can just come in and get their scripts written. Three, it's an ultra-rare, so like there's no difference necessarily from anything else where it's a prior auth, you have to go through, you have to get policies in place. And so for BBS the average time out of the gate, so getting a patient from a script to approval in about 3 months.
Now average. So some patients went through much more quickly. Some took longer. And the longer ones were the multiple appeals that took you out into the farther than that. I'd say our very early start here has been very much what we expected, which is a little easier than BBS, not surprisingly. They know the drug, most of these payers and the disease itself is clearly more severe at one level than what the BBS patients are experiencing. So all of that, I think, bodes well for what we expect to have as broad coverage similar to what we have for BBS.
Okay. So I guess with that in mind, maybe be a little bit more specific. When do you anticipate having most of the coverage plans in place? And in the interim, what should we anticipate with respect to reimbursement?
Yes. So 6 to 12 months, using BBS as an example. They don't want to -- a new drug gets approved, they don't call a committee meeting, you just get reviewed whenever their formulary committees come up to do their review. So I think 6 to 12 months.
Okay. And what do you anticipate in terms of like gross to net over time once these coverage plans are in place and any other kind of free drug aspects we should keep in mind?
Yes. So we don't discount and haven't and don't anticipate doing that going forward. Our gross-to-net is driven very much off the Medicaid population, which has a mandatory discount, as you know. So that will be the same here. We don't have a good feeling for the size of the Medicaid population. It was large in BBS, a significant part of our overall population. I think there's reasons to believe it might be a little smaller.
Conversely, the Medicare population may be a little bit larger given the fact that you have a relatively normal survival, and we have almost very few, if any, over 65 Medicare-eligible patients in BBS. Maybe we will have some here.
Okay. How should we think about compliance and adherence, like maybe relative to your other launches or based on any color you can provide in HO and maybe talk specifically about that hyperpigmentation piece. Or any other things that you think are big drivers of compliance and adherence over time?
Yes. I mean this is a group where the, if anything, I think the adherence will be higher than it was with BBS, although I think it was quite good in BBS overall. The difference here is you've got a population who had a known "before state" when they were normal. Now they've experienced the abnormal and desperately want to get back to the normal state, and so they start feeling better. And so all of those things, I think, are strong contributors towards what we would anticipate would be high levels of adherence.
The hyperpigmentation in BBS, which is our major experience, about 5% to 6% of patients discontinue because of hyperpigmentation, not a huge number out of the total, of course. I think there's likely to be maybe some meaningful part of the population, which is on the sidelines. And so we look forward to the next-generation therapies is bring in on the BBS world. And BBS is a complicated disease. In HO, and talking to some of the KOLs, I mean, some of the feedback is, yes, they just don't care. I mean they're just happy to be. So I'm guessing it will be less here. It won't be 0.
Okay. What about the kind of motivation to get on drug between pediatric and adult populations and any other kind of differences between those 2 groups of people, whether it's the physician or the patients?
Yes. I don't know yet. I mean you can hypothesize reasonably that kids there may be a greater motivation. They've got their parents there, helping to get them in. On the other hand peds endo, there's fewer of them, maybe the availability, office slots may dictate that. I think if you're living with this problem and you know you have it, it's going to be pretty high, whether you're an adult. I think the group that may be more challenged is if you're out 20 years from your insult and you don't have a diagnosis, you may just not know and so.
One of the things that we see sometimes in rare disease launches is this concept of like a bolus, et cetera. I guess how do you think about whether that's something that could play out in the HO launch versus, I think, what you characterized in prior launches as slow and steady growth?
Yes. So I think I'll characterize HO as steady. We can take out the slow part -- but it's -- every launch, there will be a segment of the population that can see it coming and a bit of pent-up demand. But -- and we can't tell you that first 6 weeks experience reflected an element of that. I'm sure it did to a small extent. But the ingredients that are here and the opportunity says, no, we didn't get a big bolus and now it's going to taper off.
I mean this was a really good start. We feel good about it, but we are looking for steady growth here going forward. And the other thing we'll constantly endlessly say this, right? The rare disease launch don't beat us up in the quarters. It's -- we will be up and down around whatever the expectations may be. That's a rare disease launch. But the overall opportunity here over time is absolutely -- we're more and more bullish about that opportunity, the more we learn about it.
Okay. So recognizing you can't talk about the Prader-Willi data coming this year, but maybe we could talk about the opportunity set that you see in Prader-Willi, why was this an indication that you thought worth kind of pursuing from a development perspective? And how do you envision the role setmelanotide could play in that population?
Yes. I mean, it's like every company, and certainly the way I thought about being in this industry is you want to be addressing unmet needs. We -- I've never been a sort of me to kind of strategy in terms of -- that's not really what we do or certainly probably don't do well. So Prader-Willi, huge unmet medical need and incredibly complicated disease. The biology that got us interested as people remember, we ran that trial in the late teens and our initial read on that was -- it was negative. But when we went back and looked at it and looked at the patients on the highest dose for the longest period, the famous 8 weeks, 4 patients, 3 out of those 4 patients, some did have a response. And so it gave us some encouragement that -- and we know that MAGEL2, for example, one of the genes that is affected in a Prader-Willi patient is a gene that's part of the signaling through this MC4R pathway. We studied MAGEL2 in our DAYBREAK and in the 3 patients who we had confirmed evidence that they have true loss of function. That was encouraging. They had a reasonable response.
And so yes, so I think the biology is likely to be embedded. The challenge with Prader-Willi is it's so complex and you have multiple genes that are affected. There's a lot of other most specifically the behaviors and the most -- one of the most challenging aspects is compulsive part of it, which is I use the example, as you know, around if you're hardwired to have a snack at 10:00 a.m. And even if you're not hungry, you remove that part of the drive, I still -- that's part of my structured day, I want that snack. So there's a lot of reasons why studying the drug has been challenging here for everybody going into it. But biologically, that's why big unmet need, and I think there's a chance we can make a difference, so.
One of the questions we fielded in the past has been kind of the clinical relevance of weight losses as an endpoint versus hyperphagia. How do you think about weight loss as a primary endpoint in Prader-Willi trials and the relevance that would then translate for a commercial product?
Yes. I mean we were clear. I was clear when we went into this, that -- we have a drug which has the ability to impact weight. And we -- and that's a -- no drug is approved for that. And clearly, a big part of their unmet medical need. And so that, for sure, would be part of a development program going forward. But I think the Soleno experience and what the majority of the companies that have been working to develop a drug for have pursued, one is, hyperphagia is a big part of the challenge just for the families and the patient. How to manage that, given all their behavioral challenges. Two, is the fact that with Soleno now Neurocrine diazoxide approval, that set a precedent. And so you -- there's a paradigm out there now where you can run a hyperphagia trial that's shorter, so 4 to 6 months as opposed to weight loss trials, which are 52 weeks. So I think if we do something, we would certainly look at both approaches.
Okay. In terms of how you're sizing the commercial opportunity in Prader-Willi, how should we think about it relative to maybe like HO or other indications you currently have in development? And what have you learned with now approved products on that market in terms of the size of market enthusiasm to treat, et cetera?
Well, I'll take that. I mean, I think the experience of the diazoxide choline out of the gate was -- that was pretty remarkable, but not surprising in that this is a community that is very strong. I mean they've been together for a long time. They're very well organized. They provide tremendous support to any company that's trying to develop a drug. So they're following all programs, they're hopeful for any treatment. And so to get the approval. That was just a huge win for the community, very well known within the community, pent-up demand for sure. That was one part of the dynamic.
And the second is it's a very distinct disease so they tend to be taken care of by expert centers. They tend to have clinics that they come into. So their ability as patients, families to access the system when the new drug comes out and get a script written is much greater than HO, for example, where it doesn't have that same kind of organized community and access to the health care system in the form of clinics.
With regard to the epidemiology, the whole world -- I think the published literature is pretty good. We've done our own work just to try to understand if there's some nuances we're missing 10,000 to 20,000. I think the addressable population as a starting point, might look at it more around the 10,000 piece of it, a 10,000-person part. But it's clearly in the 10,000 to 20,000 range.
So with VYKAT on market, I guess where do you see the residual unmet need for patients in Prader-Willi and how does that map to what setmelanotide could offer? You've kind of answered some of this, but just put a finer point on that.
Yes. I mean -- so I'm absolutely convinced that drug works, and it's just a very challenging population, number one. So -- and what they showed and got approval on was the hyperphagia piece of this. I think the unmet need again is something -- it may be that you can have greater effects on hyperphagia. So it's not that they fully addressed it. One, maybe no single drug will address it. I mean that's another potential outcome. We talked about the BMI, weight-related issues are not there. They're not -- because of the side effects of diazoxide, they're not indicated or the ability to use in diabetes is more challenging, and you can't. So there's parts of the population where, as with any drug, the profile of the drug may not match up and give you access to the full population. So there remains and there will remain, I think, a huge unmet need here.
And how do you think about a potential combination use of VYKAT and how will that kind of inform potential future studies in terms of inclusion criteria, et cetera?
Meaning learning off what they did...
Well, yes, also like will you allow for combination?
That I will allow. So in the data set we have with Dr. Miller, there's about 9 patients who are -- out of the 17 who are on VYKAT. So people can look at that. It's a small data set, of course, but I don't know, going forward, we'll have to see, we'll get to talk about after.
Okay. On the next-generation program, 718, bivamelagon. I guess, first, we'll see some updated data from the biva 1-year study this weekend as well or that will be highlighted at the conference. Could you talk a little bit about that program, what you've seen and the path from here to registrational trial?
Yes. I mean it's all highly confirmatory. I mean the 1-year data is highly confirmatory. I think the mean values are driven again by -- they're basically about the same as setmelanotide and we had some patients in there, were a small number, the teenage, younger teenage kids who are still struggling a little bit, taking the drug weren't fully compliant. So drug works. I think we've got a good read to the dose. I think there's personally low risk to a Phase III trial. We will run that trial largely outside the U.S.
So depending on which countries you're in, always introduces some variables in terms of getting the trial up and going. But our goal is to get first adult patients treated by the end of the year. And our -- the pediatric formulation, I think, will be available in the first quarter. So what we would do there is the peds part of the trial would come in once that formulation. This is a chewable tablet. So we've significantly improved the size of the tablet, so with our current approach formulation. And as I said, we'll get down to the age 4 with this chewable tablet.
Okay. And how will the registrational program compare to the setmelanotide program in terms of any sort of features there?
Very similar. Again, we'll look at this whole issue of hyperphagia and between -- it will be the key secondary probably and/or, but BMI will be a primary endpoint, as always. So it will be very similar. As you go forward, I think we're going to work harder to get DEXA scans more formally on all patients. There's more and more interest in the quality of weight loss. I think the way our mechanism works, we've done really well on the quality weight loss, which is -- remember, we're not -- we're restoring more normal physiology, which again, if you're a teenage boy, you should put on lean mass. And you see teenage boys [indiscernible] putting on lean mass. And so all of that, I think, is a real positive that we'd like to help the world understand.
Okay. You are also planning to share 718 data in aHO this year. Maybe you could remind us what exactly will be shared, maybe when do you think we could kind of have that data and how it will inform next steps.
Yes. So we'll target the next quarter earnings call. There's about 10-ish patients that we'll have data on. And yes, I mean what people ask what should we look for? I mean, we're looking to see how this compares to setmelanotide and very similar to what we did for bivamelagon. We'll show you that data.
Maybe you could talk a little bit about why these drugs matter from a like broader corporate strategy perspective, why does it matter to have an oral and a weekly injectable in terms of the overall franchise?
Yes. From a patient standpoint, I mean, it's just -- I think there's clear advantages to the oral over a daily injectable and weekly is a weekly. I think from a side effect profile, the biggest difference for these drugs will be the hyperpigmentation. And as I said, I do think it's just not a good way to estimate this, but we will be very interested to see if it unlocks. And I think it will, some percentage of the population -- and of course, from a patent standpoint, this was to move and...
Okay. And as you think about kind of allocating investment dollars behind each of these programs and with multiple indications that you could kind of go into, how are you thinking about prioritizing and selecting which drug for which indication?
Probably in TBD, to be determined category, I think we can all have our opinions about which might be better. I think in general, for a big opportunity like HO, our goal will be approved both, get both approved. But there's no urgency to get both approved. I think we'll move as we are with biv and HO. We don't have to rush out and do 718, for example, in HO. We can get there, but not tomorrow kind of thing. So we would not prioritize that as the next piece. So we'll probably do some other things with HO. For the smaller opportunities like going back to some of the DAYBREAK genes and the like, we will develop one or the other. And because it's unlikely we'd run the 2 trials, it just seems like a bit excessive maybe for a small opportunity. And I don't know, we'll debate it internally why we pick one approach for one of the diseases and another for the another, but...
And with respect to Prader-Willi, can you share at this stage. How you think about 718 versus setmelanotide? Or what data do you need to have in hand before making that decision is maybe an easier question to answer.
Yes. I will refer that to Saturday.
No problem. Maybe how should we think about the funding picture from here in terms of path to profitability or any additional kind of capital needs you might have as you look at a relatively broad now portfolio across MC4R?
So as Hunter likes to say, he can shout out from the audience here. We have more than 24 months of cash, which at 1 level, I think, the analyst population would interpret as enough to get us to profitability. Obviously, it depends on what assumptions you make around revenue and the like that's part of that. That guidance does include a good amount of our developmental work and the like. So it gets back to liquidity whether we'd want to top up -- it's a reasonable question. If we did that, as Hunter would say, we won't do it with equity. There's lots of other instruments and ways to do that, debt certainly being one, given the -- where we are as a company, so.
Okay. So a lot of things to invest behind, but you have done a little bit of BD in the past. I guess what role should we think about BD playing in your forward strategy for the company on maybe like 1-, 3-, 5-year sort of time line?
Yes. So 1 year, we would remain in our current posture, which is completely opportunistic. If somebody came to us was something that they felt Rhythm could provide a unique contribution and/or one of us on the leadership team had insight into, an opportunity, then of course, we would look at that, but we're not actively looking. We have more to do internally than we can process arguably. Three to 5-year time line absolutely. I think building a more specific external facing effort, looking for things that might complement and -- it's all a function of size of the company and increases your ability to do those kind of things and do them well, I think.
As you think about that like 3- to 5-year view, how do you think about the core competencies that Rhythm has and how so it would inform what kind of assets you might be open to bringing in?
Yes. I mean we've been clear, we're not an obesity company. That's certainly not our goal here. What are we good at? I think we are good at rare. And so it's not -- and there's no -- rare doesn't have to be an endocrine rare. It doesn't -- I mean rare is rare. I think that we -- if you have a good solution to an unmet medical need, you can build an effort around it and we would do that. And we're a global organization, we're going direct, I think, which speaks again in almost every place, which speaks to the way we think about it and also the capabilities, particularly of our international team. So I think rare first, but rare is also a blurry line. So I think, depending on how strong we are, we're pretty open to different scenarios.
I think with that, we did it. It was lovely chatting with you. Much appreciate everyone who joined us here and online. Thank you, David.
Thank you, Corinne. Very much appreciate it.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Goldman Sachs 47th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2026
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
I'm Tazeen Ahmad. I'm one of the senior biotech analysts here at the bank. It's my pleasure to have our next presenting company, Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. Sitting up here on stage with me is David Meeker, who is, of course, President and CEO. Welcome.
Thank you.
So for the few people who may not know about the platform of the company, David, maybe you can give us a quick overview, and then we can go into some specifics.
Sure. So Rhythm is a company that was really founded around the melanocortin-4 pathway biology. The drug that's approved for multiple indications is an analogue of the natural hormone that signals through this melanocortin-4 receptor. And what that biology does is very simply is when we eat a meal, our gut hormone signal to the pancreas and to the adipocyte, the adipocyte releases leptin and it goes to the brain, signals down through this part of the hypothalamus, this POMC neuron, which then causes a hormone alpha-melanocyte-stimulating hormone to be released.
And when that interacts with the receptor, it tells the body you're full and there's food on board. So you can increase your metabolic rate. So if you have impaired signaling through that pathway, you might eat a meal or you eat a meal. The body doesn't get the signal, you're full, so you keep eating. And then perversely, the body thinks you're starving, it's not getting the signals food on board, and so it keeps the metabolic rate low.
So these patients suffer with disproportionate levels of weight gain, and there's multiple different causes of how you get to impairment, some of which are genetic for which we have some approved indication. Some of them are injury directly, and that's our most recent approval, and we'll talk more about that today, acquired hypothalamic obesity. So those are the 2 main categories that we're working on. And as I said, our drug is an analogue of this natural hormone that's in patient or missing.
Okay. So IMCIVREE, we're all looking at for the HO launch now, but it's been on the market for a bit. You previously had smaller indications approved. So maybe let's start off with those. Give us a sense of where you are, where you think you are in penetrating those markets.
Yes. The first approvals, which were in 2020, and as many companies do, particularly in rare diseases, you follow the biology. And so the best example of impaired signaling was patients who had a genetic impairment in this POMC neuron, so biallelic POMC neuron deficiency, if you will. And that population, that one and another one with the leptin receptor, we thought they might be on the order of 2,500 patients epidemiologically. The challenge of that disease is there's no -- aside from this extreme, early-onset obesity, there weren't really any clear signs that, that obesity might be due to a genetic cause as opposed to general obesity.
And of course, we live in an epidemic of obesity. So they don't -- they're lost in the forest truly. I mean, these patients. So they can only really be found with genetic screening. We've done genetic screening. We offer a genetic screening test for free. But we realized early on that this was in reality, a very, very small indication or 2 indications. And so we didn't put a sales force when we -- in the field when we got the drug approved. We made it commercially available. We priced the drug. There was a lot of advantages to having a little bit of that lead time, but it wasn't a true business opportunity that was to stand a company.
Our next indication, which was Bardet-Biedl syndrome, larger indication. We think there's about 5,000 patients in the U.S. that have that disease, but it's syndromic. And the advantage of being syndromic, from an identification standpoint, is that there's multiple disease manifestations that signal to the health care provider who is trying to figure out what's going on that there may be an underlying genetic disease here. And that population follows exactly the classic diagnostic odyssey that many patients with a rare disease do.
They see multiple specialists until they finally find one who connects the dots and says, "Oh, you have Bardet-Biedl syndrome and sends a genetic test. So that drug -- that indication we got approved in 2022. And from the beginning, we believed, and I think the results to date have supported that is we could build a profitable company around Bardet-Biedl alone. You wouldn't be spending a lot of money on R&D. But if you were really just focused on that, it could support a company.
And from the beginning with these genetic indications, and this partly from the world I came from, I believe strongly, all diseases, certainly genetic diseases, they're global. And despite being a smaller U.S. biocentric or biotech company, you want to think globally, and we did from the beginning. And so we have worked to make the drug available outside the U.S. We sell in about 25 countries now for these indications on these 3 genetic indications. So, that laid the foundation for where we are today.
And then a little bit of serendipity, which also I think is interesting in terms of how these things evolve. KOLs, thought leaders, one of them who have been doing a lot of thinking about this area came to us and said, you should really try this in this entity called acquired hypothalamic obesity. And famously admit to -- when I took the CEO role in 2020, that trial is just getting underway. And as I looked at the different places we could save money, I thought, well, let's stop that trial because if you injure the hypothalamus, and I'll just give you the quick background for that, why it's humorous in retrospect, these are patients who -- most commonly, they have a tumor that develops in the region of the pituitary gland and the hypothalamus.
So tumors that grow up in that area, benign tumors, they can be resected. And when resected, patients can go on and live a relatively normal lifespan. But the surgery, the radiation, sometimes the tumor itself injures the pituitary. And so 80% plus of these patients will come out of surgery with pituitary insufficiency, meaning they need a thyroid replacement, adrenal hormone replacement, vasopressin insufficiency. It can be a long list of hormonal insufficiency related to that pituitary and some hypothalamic damage. But if you get enough hypothalamic damage, you injure this pathway, the melanocortin-4 pathway, which sits there.
And so about half of the patients with this underlying tumor come out of surgery and rapidly gain weight. It's like overnight, they have lost the signal that they're full. And so they explosively gain weight. And what we found when we started the trial is that it's incredibly simple. We're replacing that hormone when replaced. And the most striking thing about the clinical trial results was not that we got X percent weight loss, and we got very good weight loss, 19%-ish placebo-adjusted weight loss, but the consistency, it was like virtually every patient who took the drug had a meaningful response.
And so that told us we were really fixing something. So my early thought process, which was, well, you're injuring the hypothalamus, I get it, you might injure the pathway, but won't you be losing the receptors as well. And there's a little bit of a mystery there, but no. The answer is either, one, there's enough retained receptor activity in the hypothalamus and/or in the and is probably significant, there are these melanocortin-4 receptors in other parts of the brain, including the brain stem and autonomic nervous system interacting with that, that's probably contributing to the beneficial effect we see. So long story short is that's where we just got our PDUFA data in March 20. We're now 6 weeks into launch and pretty excited about where we're going.
Okay. Thank you for that update. So if we wanted to compare and contrast the launch trajectory of these smaller indications versus HO. Can you just talk to some differences there, expected differences?
Yes. So the dynamics of a Bardet-Biedl syndrome, which I think about as a classic ultra-rare example, these patients tend not to be concentrated in a specific specialist. They're syndromic. So they have -- many of these kids by age 18 are legally blind. So they'll see an ophthalmologist. Many of them have renal insufficiency, so they'll see a nephrologist. They have cognitive defects, so they'll see a neurologist. And so they see a variety of different specialists. So the sales force that we put out was 16 people to cover all of the U.S. and obviously, not with the goal of calling on everybody and calling on all these specialists.
And the other challenge is these patients may see multiple specialists. Once they get their diagnosis, they tend to go back to their primary care point, which might be a specialist, but also equally likely might be their primary care, family physician, internal medicine. So there's no way that with the Bardet-Biedl launch, you're going to knock on the doors of doctors who you think might have a patient with that disease. So you try to create a world with greater awareness so that the patient in that community has the ability -- equal ability to find you as much as we find them. And so that's how it builds.
And that world in a launch market opportunity tends to grow. We said in the beginning, slow and steady. My team never liked the slow part. So we called it steady. But the point is it's a gradual launch, but it doesn't peak. It just keeps growing. And I'll go back to my Genzyme days. And if you look at the early Genzyme enzyme replacement therapies, 30 years later, multiple -- if you aggregate the companies that are working on Gaucher or Fabry or whatever, those are still $1 billion-plus opportunities that just -- and it's just -- and they're still finding the patients. I mean that is just the nature of these kind of rare diseases.
And so we think about the BBS opportunity as a steady growth, whatever trajectory you have, we're on a -- I think it's starting to evolve into a relatively steady picture here. That will go for a long time. And I don't know if the 5,000 patient number in the U.S. is the right number or not. I mean we'll see what happens over time. But it's not like how many years to peak. It's just like however many years you have, you'll have that opportunity. HO in contrast, we think there's about 10,000 patients in the U.S., similar numbers in Europe, for example. We can talk about Japan separately because that's an interesting story.
But 10,000 patients, so, twice from a number standpoint, BBS, but it has unique features, which are these patients because the vast majority, 80% plus, have pituitary insufficiency, they're taken care of by endocrinologists. So they are concentrated in a specialty, which means they have all the advantages of a specialty opportunity. And this is what the larger companies like. They love specialty. And the reason being is because you have a problem that is concentrated in a targeted audience. And so when you approach that kind of opportunity commercially, our goal was here, no, we want to cover the endocrinologists.
And of course, in today's world, you can do claims work and there's -- the system gives you a much greater ability to understand where these patients may be, how many they may be and which doctors may have them, which has allowed us to take the endocrinology world and tier them and say, okay, who are the top and by top, meaning physicians who are likely to have 2 or 5 or more patients. And those will be prioritized and then you tier down to physicians who may only have one.
But with that direction, so we put 42 reps -- sales reps in the field and with the goal of we're going to cover the endocrinologists as opposed to they find us. No, no, we're very actively going to go out there, try to educate that community, but also interact with it and build that relationship. So a very different opportunity, larger numbers, but also different dynamic. So as what we've said is that the expected ramp of HO is going to be meaningfully steeper than it is for BBS, but it also has some of the same ingredients of a classic ultra-rare disease, which is it's a high-priced drug.
It will be a prior authorization. We're going to have to go through this medical acceptance process, get policies in place. Patients coming into their doctor, it would be one of these things, well, why don't -- if there's a bad problem and you got a drug approved, why won't they all get a script tomorrow? The answer is you don't call this into the pharmacy. So these patients before you start a drug like this, it's going to be lifelong, expensive, has some side effects. Patients is going to come in and have a conversation with their doctor. And so one of the gating factors will be how quickly they can get in and get their appointment schedule like. So that's the dynamic.
Okay. On your last earnings call, you reported early metrics of the launch. Specifically, you talked about the 100 -- greater than 150 Patient Start Forms written. So can you talk to us about what that means relative to being on the market for just a few weeks? How should we be interpreting demand based on that number?
Yes. Those of you who have heard us talk about this, again, it's virtually impossible to truly predict what's going to happen in a rare disease launch for a variety of reasons, some of which I've listed here. The only real metric we have in Rhythm is at the same point in time for Bardet-Biedl syndrome, we had about 50 Start Forms, scripts equivalents. Here, we have greater than 150. So that ratio doesn't surprise me at all. Incredibly pleased with how we got started. I would have been happy with 2x. It's like you just don't know out of the gate.
But -- so yes, we're really pleased with where we are. But I think it's also very supportive of how we expected this opportunity to continue to evolve. And another question, which you either asked or I'll just volunteered is, is there -- was there a bolus? Was there pent-up demand? And there's always in a disease that's a severe disease where you've been in development for a number of years, there's some level of awareness, maybe a lot and patients who are following this and obviously waiting for the approval. So there's that kind of urgency out of the gate. But the numbers we gave you, which were greater than 150 scripts, Start Forms and written by 110 different physicians, which meant that most of those doctors wrote one script.
There was a few, obviously, who wrote more than one script. But it wasn't as though we had a small number of doctors who are driving that initial performance here. This is really, I think, reflective of the fact that across the community and patients are coming in, and it's exactly as I would have expected, which is doctors will get their first patient in, they'll write a script, and then the second patient, whenever to the extent they have a second patient, their next -- their visit comes up, they'll write a script. But I don't think it's a dynamic of -- I'm going to try a script and see how that patient does.
I think it's going to be very -- I think patients -- physicians are comfortable with the drug. It's been out there since approved drug since 2020. The data is extremely strong in terms of how patients have benefited. Today's world, the community, I mean, they're sharing experiences and pictures and some are quite striking. I mean there's patients who have gotten their lives restored and back to their pre-existing weight, meaning before they had their injury. So I think there's that kind of excitement in the community, but I think the steady part of this growth is a reflection of how quickly patients get in to see their doctor.
Just remind us what the list price is, the announced list price?
Sure. So give me round numbers, if you mind. So a year at fully compliant at full dose is about $380,000 gross to net under councils and they were about $330,000.
Okay. So one question I've gotten leading into the launch is this is obviously priced as a rare disease drug, $330,000 per patient per year, let's say. And if the goal is to help patients lose weight, then why wouldn't a GLP be sufficient in this particular population given the fact that it's priced at a fraction?
Yes, it's a critical question. And we've had -- when we got our first approval in 2020, the whole GLP-1 world was just emerging. And in the beginning, I wouldn't call it tough. It was understandably there were a lot of questions because the GLP-1 results were so amazing. I mean, they're incredible drugs. And a little bit of a view, they're a hammer and everything is a nail. It's like if you just need weight loss, you'll do this.
What we've come to appreciate across indications, which is -- remember, when I say across indications, all of these different diseases share the same problem. They have impaired signaling through the pathway. And GLP-1s do not consistently fix the problem. And in fact, in our Phase III trial, we allowed patients who were on a GLP-1 and many of them had tried a GLP-1 previously. In fact, we had about 16 patients who are on a GLP-1 in our Phase III hypothalamic obesity trial.
Now they couldn't be actively losing weight, but these are patients who had tried -- almost all of them had either gotten semaglutide or tirzepatide at one point, and multiple of them have had multiple different GLP-1s over time because, again, they had nothing else to try there. When they went on the trial, once you correct the deficiency in this pathway, then the fact that they were on the GLP-1, that group actually did as well or even better, a small number, this trial wasn't designed to test it.
But looking at that data, and we have very good historical data, we can see what happened on their GLP-1s, which is when they got on GLP-1, you could see some of them just plateaus, some lost a little weight, but they all tended to regain over time or just not continue losing. And then when they got on the setmelanotide, they had a pretty start this 20% in that group actually 27% placebo-adjusted weight loss. So I think the take-home back to your question of why wouldn't you just use a GLP-1 is -- GLP-1s, the patient -- our problem is essentially hormonal deficiency.
So if you are not signaling through this pathway, you're not making alpha-melanocyte-stimulating hormone. -- and that's what our drug is analogue. You have to restore the more normal physiology. Now we gain weight for different reasons. If you need more weight loss, if you're eating because you're depressed, if you're eating because you love ice cream, then a second anti-obesity medication on top of because you corrected that problem might be appropriate. But it won't be a replacement for this.
Okay. And what about the hyperphagia portion?
One of the challenges for the world we've lived in, and we and many others have struggled with this because the general obesity world talks about food noise and the like and that being quieted. I think that's a different thing. I know it's a different thing. This is the -- whatever the patient is experiencing in our world is that fact of not getting a full, just not being full. And so you just feel like you're pursuing it.
One of the most striking benefits and now that we're out in the world, for example, in Bardet-Biedl syndrome, it is the quieting -- the hyperphagia removing that drive to eat that has dramatically improved their quality of life in the sense that a child with Bardet-Biedl syndrome who couldn't even be in the kitchen and have a conversation with their parents while they're preparing dinner without just constantly talking about food, can now sit in the kitchen. A child who can go to school and not be stealing other kids' lunches or I mean there's just endless stories about how that preoccupation with food has interfered with their ability to have a normal life, interfered with the family siblings ability.
You can't socialize because they can't go out with the child who's suffering from this and go to a party where there's food available. So yes, the hyperphagia is a really important part of it. The language around hunger hyperphagia, food noise, I think, is still evolving, and it makes it a little confusing, but...
Okay. So how should we be thinking about what metrics you'll continue to give us at least in the early quarters of the launch?
Yes. We'll stay -- what we tried to do is stay with this paradigm, talk about is to give people an understanding of is it working? How is it working? And in any opportunity, we did this with Bardet-Biedl syndrome. We start with the epidemiology, which if it's published literature is usually pretty poor, but it's a starting point. Claims data if you have, but we did it for HO. We got a better sense. We updated our number for HO, that's where we felt much more confident.
We started with a 5,000 to 10,000 range. We went to 10,000. Then we had our early field force interactions, mostly our existing MSL force, Medical Science Liaison out there earlier last year. That effort up through the fall in September, we had -- we then shared that we -- through direct interactions with a health care provider, we had about 2,000 patients who either had a diagnosis or were suspected of having HO and the suspected was the majority of that.
So they weren't carrying the diagnosis, the majority of those patients in the 2,000. And so that's a good number, but that's not -- again, so then you get to -- you launched and you have Start Forms. So those are a hard number. So we're not going to update the 2,000 anymore. I think that's a less reliable number compared to Start Forms. We'll stay with the Start Forms. We'll do that for probably 4 quarters or so and see how we go.
And then we'll give you more color around the payers. We didn't do this on this call. 6 weeks is just too early to have a good feel. But hopefully, by our Q2 earnings call, we'll be able to give you a good sense of at least how that's starting to play out. And then ultimately, you move to revenues, which then capture everything and tell you what to do, and we'll stop giving you a Start Form.
So maybe let's move on to a different indication that you're looking at setmelanotide for Prader-Willi. Maybe just tell everybody what PWS is and where you are in development there?
Yes. Prader-Willi, it's a genetic disease also syndromic in a sense that has multiple different manifestations. There's many genes. There's a portion of chromosome 15, which is deleted. And in that section are genes related to this melanocortin-4 pathway. So there's a mouse model. There's reasons -- pretty good reasons to believe that this melanocortin-4 pathway is an important part of the biology of Prader-Willi. It is not the whole thing. And these children in this disease, and they tend to be diagnosed pretty early and reliably is they tend to be very weak, hypotonic at birth.
So flaccid muscle is not moving much. They eat poorly, but then it evolves fairly rapidly to this racious hyperphagic where they're eating all the time, they're gaining weight, but accompanied by some really challenging behaviors and other aspects, obsessive-compulsive diseases. The behaviors can lead to violence. And as they get older and bigger, it actually can be quite dangerous for even parents to be in a home with a child with Prader-Willi when they get hungry and frustrated and then they're strong enough that when they act out, they actually can hurt other family members.
So they often end up as they move into adulthood to being -- having to be treated or managed in homes and the like. And so devastating disease, no drugs approved. VYKAT, Soleno's drug was the first drug ever approved about a year ago, I get exactly when that was. But -- so that was a huge breakthrough because nothing and even there was a bit of a challenging clinical development program. So -- but big first step. So that's the program. Rhythm, we ran an early trial in Prader-Willi back in 2018 or so and a very complicated trial design, basically it was the wrong trial design. It was too short. The dose was too low and complicated design.
And we concluded correctly, we had no effect. However, if you went back and look at the patients who are on the highest dose for the longest period of time, 8 weeks in that trial, they actually had 3 out of the 4 patients seem to have a modest response. So okay, maybe it wasn't completely negative. And then we went back and we're running an open-label study with Dr. Miller, University of Florida. She's one of the leading investigators has been part of many, many trials, including Soleno's trials. And so she enrolled 18 patients. We released data on 8 patients in December.
One of the patients stopped after a few weeks related to family-related issues, but 17 patients have stayed in the trial. And so we'll provide updated data, 6-month data now on the 17 at our -- hopefully, at the upcoming ENDO Meeting, pending acceptance of our abstract. And what we've told people, what we'll present our goal is these are small data sets. I find you don't mean that data. It's not very helpful. But we'll give you individual data sets for all 17. So -- and we'll give you multiple measures for each patient. So we'll give you the BMI. We'll hopefully give you DEXA scans, which is looking at fat and lean mass.
And this pathway, correcting it has done very well on fat and lean. And if you think about restoring normal physiology, it makes sense. So to the extent GLP-1s, one of the concern is lean muscle mass loss, which is what happens sort of when you get in more of a starvation state with more normal physiology, losing more fat, but preserving lean or preserving the ability to put on lean would make sense. So we're seeing that in some other indications. We'll see what we see in Prader-Willi, but hopefully, that will be supportive.
And we'll also look at HQ-CT. So our goal for development in Phase III, and I think we're quite convinced that we have the activity we need to see based on even what we presented in December. We'll move into a Phase III development program, the details of which to be determined and shared as we learn more. But we will seek indications, both for BMI for the weight loss, but also for hyperphagia. How we get there? Do you run 2 trials? Can you get there with both endpoints in one trial? Again, we'll look for regulatory feedback.
Okay. So what would be the next step after you see this data set for Prader-Willi?
Yes. So then the other thing is some of you know, we have a strong life cycle management. So we have a weekly injectable, which is in Phase II for Hypothalamic Obesity and is also enrolling some Prader-Willi patients. And we have a next-generation daily single oral pill, which has already shown very good data in a Phase II HO study, and that will be going into Phase III for HO. So our goal will be to run the Prader-Willi study with one of those two to be determined.
Okay. Perfect. I did want to ask you about the current side-effect profile of setmelanotide. One of the observations that happens to all patients is hyperpigmentation. So this is a daily injectable. It's for rare disease. And so patients will make a risk-reward decision as to whether or not they want to be on the drug. Can you talk about how much of an impact that hyperpigmentation has on whatever portion of the patient population that chooses not to engage in therapy?
Yes, it's a point. I mean, so just to date, in our approved indication, about 5% to 6% of the patients stop because of hyperpigmentation. So in that sense, it's a small fraction of our treated population. That said, it's an on-target effect. And so 100% of the patients will have a darkening. Now some they like it, some they don't. I think for the Bardet-Biedl, probably a little more of an issue, HO, as Dr. Miller has said, what their experience in HO is so great, they don't care as much, so it will probably be less of a problem.
Now it is not a positive, meaning -- and so our next-generation therapies were very specifically designed not to hit that MC1 target, which causes the darkening. So our expectation is, and we've got evidence already for both, but we'll continue to flesh this out, that neither one of those will have hyperpigmentation. So we think the next generations will solve that.
To the extent it's 5% to 6% who might stay on the drug, that's great. To the extent that we open it up, particularly to certain populations that are more concerned about that, who have patients who are sitting on the sideline. They're not even signing up for initially. And I think that may be also more meaningful than we think.
Okay. And as you think about life cycle management, you mentioned the weekly and you mentioned the oral. How do you imagine them potentially both coexisting?
Yes. So from a company standpoint, we'll be indifferent. Really, the goal from the beginning was to offer choice. So over my career, I've been struck you can predict what you want. But at the end of the day, yes, patients sometimes surprise you. So we'll be indifferent. We'll try to create a pricing structure where that's not a driver. It's just patient choice.
Okay. And it's your belief that those will not have the hyperpigmentation side effects.
Yes. I think, like I said, from a preclinical data, I think, strong. I think our early clinical data very supportive. So I do think we've achieved our goal. We'll -- we've got pretty good evidence on biva. It's a little farther ahead of development than 718. 718 preclinically is even more specific, meaning less likely than biva. So I'm pretty confident there, but let's -- we'll confirm.
Okay. With that, we are out of time. So thank you, David, for spending the last 30 minutes with me, and thanks, everyone, for joining.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Dave Connolly.
Thank you, Michelle. I'm Dave Connolly here at Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. For those of you participating on the conference call, our slides can be accessed and controlled by going to the Investors section of our website, ir.rhythmtx.com.
This morning, we issued our press release that provides first quarter 2026 financial results and a business update, and that press release is available on our website. Our agenda is listed on Slide 2.
On the call today are David Meeker, Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President; Jennifer Lee, Executive Vice President, Head of North America; Hunter Smith, Chief Financial Officer; and Yann Mazabraud, Executive Vice President, Head of International, who is on the line joining us from Europe.
On Slide 3, I'll remind you that this call contains remarks concerning future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements.
Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in our most recent annual or quarterly reports on file with the SEC.
In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent dates.
We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements.
With that, I'll turn the call over to David Meeker, who will begin on Slide 5.
Thank you, Dave. Good morning and thank you for joining. So we had another good quarter. Now before we dive into some of the more recent events, I do want to highlight the ongoing progress in our base business, predominantly BBS.
Revenues for the quarter were $60 million. As we would expect with an ultra-rare disease, awareness of the disease continues to grow, leading to more patients diagnosed or potential candidates for therapy. We have learned much through this initial launch, and we continue to adapt and optimize use of available data to connect with the right health care providers who may have a BBS patient.
There is still more long-term opportunity to unlock with BBS. With the FDA approval of IMCIVREE for acquired HO on our PDUFA date and European marketing authorization, which came early, we have expanded our focus. As with the BBS launch, our plan will be to share a few of the early launch metrics with the goal of giving you a sense of how it is working, with the usual caveat that it is extremely early. That said, we are pleased with the strong start, with more than 150 start forms to date and a good reception at the payer level. Jennifer will provide more details.
Slide 6 is to remind you again of the significant opportunity in HO, with an estimated prevalence of 10,000 patients in the U.S. and Europe and 5,000 to 8,000 patients in Japan. And with a much more concentrated call point than BBS, this is a meaningfully larger opportunity.
Japan is positioned to be the second-largest opportunity for HO behind the U.S. As we have shared, we have been extremely appreciative of the highly collaborative, encouraging nature of our interactions with the Japanese regulatory authority, the PMDA. All Japanese patients have completed the 12-month trial, eight patients on treatment and four on placebo. One patient discontinued early secondary to hyperpigmentation.
Slide 7 shows the BMI change as compared to the values for the full 142 patients. As you can see from the results, the results were similar to the full cohort. The placebo-adjusted differences were slightly less, mostly due in part, at least, to the fact that the placebo group did not gain weight in the same way their Western counterparts did.
Although the numbers are small, this may reflect cultural differences with a more obesity-prone environment in the West. The team has moved rapidly to complete the filing, putting us in the position of an anticipated approval before the end of the year. The Japanese team is fully in place, and Yann will talk more about the opportunity and the organizational build.
Finally, as we have previously shared, we look forward to a number of milestones this year. Pending late-breaking abstract acceptance, our goal is to share Dr. Miller's 6-month data in PWS at the endo meeting in June. Similar to what was presented in December, we would expect to share BMI data, HQCT data and DEXA scan data for those patients who have completed the scans.
We anticipate sharing 718 data midyear, and we are targeting the Q2 earnings call, at which time we would share the Part C results in HO and potentially the available data in PWS. CMC work and biva bioequivalent studies for the new formulation are underway, with the goal of being in a position to start the Phase III trial with bivamelagon in HO by the end of 2026.
I will now turn the call over to Jennifer.
Thank you, David. I'm going to be starting today on Slide 10. It is an exciting time for Rhythm with the acquired HO approval, and our U.S. commercial launch is off to a strong start. The early reception has been positive. Physicians are prescribing IMCIVREE for patients with acquired HO, payers, especially those with experience through BBS, have begun approving reimbursement, and we have patients with acquired HO who have started therapy.
IMCIVREE was first approved in 2020 for POMC and LEPR, and we launched in 2022 for Bardet-Biedl syndrome. BBS is an ultra-rare disease with an estimated prevalence of 5,000 in the U.S. Disease awareness and diagnosis rates were low at the time of launch. Over the last three years, we helped build an active community of engaged physicians who support the earlier identification and treatment of patients. And we have worked to expand reimbursement of IMCIVREE.
In doing so, we delivered steady, consistent growth over the last three years. It wasn't always easy, but we've learned from the challenges along the way and laid a solid foundation for future launches, including our recent one in acquired hypothalamic obesity.
For BBS, in the first quarter of 2026, we had steady growth in prescriptions.
Similar to Q1 last year, we had patients that transitioned to new insurance plans, leading to a temporary increase in patients provided free drug through our bridge program. As of mid-April, we had transitioned most of these patients back to reimbursed therapy, and we are seeing steady growth in commercial patients.
Now moving to the acquired HO opportunity, which we estimate is approximately twice the size of BBS at 10,000 patients. We've grown our commercial organization to extend our reach in this larger opportunity, going from 16 sales reps for BBS to a total of 42 sales reps deployed across the country. We have similarly scaled our patient services team as well. The FDA approval on March 19 and the broad label, which goes beyond tumor and tumor treatment-related HO to include other injuries that may lead to acquired HO, has opened the doors for our team to engage with more physicians.
Our team's continued engagement with HCPs around the causes of acquired HO, the role of the MC4R pathway and the compelling efficacy data and product profile of IMCIVREE. This has resulted in the identification of more acquired HO patients. And we've seen steady progress of patients. This has resulted in the identification of more acquired HO patients, and we've seen steady progress of patients moving to diagnosis from suspected as physicians gain a better understanding of this unique disease and its causes. Next slide.
The initial response from patients and the physician community reflects the high unmet need for treatment for acquired HO. We have received more than 150 start forms in the six weeks since approval. Of these start forms, approximately 40 are for clinical trial patients. During the first six weeks of launch, there have been approximately 110 unique prescribers for acquired HO, of which about 80% are new prescribers of IMCIVREE. To date, the large majority of prescribers have written one script for an acquired HO patient.
In these early days of launch, approximately 80% of prescribers are endos, along with some pediatricians and primary care physicians. We're seeing encouraging receptivity among payers, too. Having approval in place enables us to get back in front of payers to continue education around acquired HO and IMCIVREE for this new indication. Our prior education that led to IMCIVREE coverage for BBS has facilitated our discussions with payers and supported their understanding of acquired HO as an MC4R pathway disease.
We are pleased to see initial approvals for reimbursement for acquired HO prescriptions during this early phase of launch, but we continue to expect it will take approximately three to nine months from approval for HO-specific IMCIVREE policies to be established. The early launch indicators are highly encouraging, reinforcing our confidence in the long-term potential of IMCIVREE in hypothalamic obesity. We look forward to updating you on our progress.
With that, let me hand it over to Yann.
Thank you, Jennifer. I will begin on Slide 13. We are very excited about the HO opportunity in the international region as we achieved significant milestones and our path towards bringing IMCIVREE to more patients.
Just last week, the European Commission granted marketing authorization for IMCIVREE for the treatment of obesity and control of hunger in patients four years old and older with acquired hypothalamic obesity due to hypothalamic injury or impairment.
Our dialogue with European regulators was very constructive and efficient, resulting in the EMEA's positive CHMP opinion coming sooner than we originally expected with marketing authorization following just one month later despite this process typically taking two months.
This is a tremendous achievement and the result of years of work and collaboration between Rhythm and our investigators, the European HO experts and the regulatory authorities, all of whom focused on bringing the first-ever therapy specifically approved for patients with HO.
With an estimated prevalence of approximately 10,000 patients in Europe, this is a meaningful opportunity, and we have a very experienced market access team that will lead us through country-level negotiations with launches anticipated to begin in 2027.
Similar to the process we previously followed for our approved indications of POMC/LEPR and BBS, we have begun efforts to seek an exemption from the German Federal Joint Committee, the G-BA, from its exclusion list that prohibits reimbursement for lifestyle drugs, such as drugs indicated for smoking cessation and general obesity. The CHMP opinion enabled us to begin this process, which can take six to nine months, putting us on track for a launch in Germany in 2027.
In addition, the key local reimbursement dossier are finalized and we will begin negotiations in France, Italy, Spain and other countries. For the U.K., we leverage our EU submission through the International Recognition Procedures, IRP, to seek authorization from the Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency, or MHRA. This was already submitted last week based on the positive CHMP opinion.
Of course, there is already much enthusiasm in Europe as we have seen with the reimbursed early access programs for HO in France and Italy, which accounts for a meaningful portion of patients on reimbursed therapy in the international region. These early access programs have enabled many of the leading physicians in France and Italy to begin patients on setmelanotide, gain experience with the drug and see the benefit in patients.
The French AP1 program, in particular, has generated real-world efficacy results for publication, adding to the body of evidence supporting setmelanotide therapy for HO. Next week, at the European Congress of Endocrinology in Prague, French physicians will present real-world data from more than 60 patients with HO on setmelanotide in the early access program, including a cohort on therapy for up to 12 months. Next slide.
We are also rapidly advancing towards achieving anticipated marketing authorization and commercialization in Japan. With an estimated 5,000 to 8,000 patients with acquired hypothalamic obesity in Japan, where the prevalence and incidence rates are higher on a per capita basis than Europe and the U.S., the unmet need for an effective therapy is quite pronounced.
There has been strong KOL support since we first disclosed our Phase II data in HO and our commitment to quickly bringing IMCIVREE to Japanese patients in need has enabled positive and open dialogue with Japanese regulators. We now have almost 50 employees in Japan, and we've begun executing on our pre-launch tactics focused on disease awareness, including face-to-face interactions, webinars and symposia and patient identification. These activities provide us with a strong understanding of the disease landscape and position us well to begin pricing negotiations upon approval.
Just last month in Japan, I joined the team for a series of meeting with KOLs and Japanese government officials. In addition to the excitement for the potential impact setmelanotide will have on these patients, these KOLs and officials told us they were very appreciative of the speed and urgency with which we entered Japan. Of particular note, our team has moved fast, potentially securing approval in Japan less than a year from the U.S. approval when many companies wait years or partner with someone else to pursue approval.
As we announced today, the PMDA has accepted and is reviewing our NDA filing for IMCIVREE for acquired hypothalamic obesity. Japanese regulators do not publish or announce a time line for approval as it is done in the U.S. and Europe, but we anticipate approval and launch by the end of 2026.
Slide 15. Lastly, Q1 2026 was another strong quarter for the international region. We saw double-digit percent growth in patients on reimbursed therapy throughout the region, which includes more than 25 countries where IMCIVREE is available through national reimbursement or patient sales. BBS was a primary driver of growth from Q4 2025 to Q1 2026 with the early access programs in France and Italy for HO contribute meaningfully.
Since IMCIVREE was first authorized in Europe for POMC and LEPR in 2021, we have built a very strong foundation with positive and collaborative relationships in place with many experts and market access officials. This experience will serve us well with HO.
With that, I will turn it over to Hunter.
Thank you, Yann. I begin on Slide 17. Rhythm is well capitalized and off to a strong start of what promises to be a transformational 2026. The initial phase of the U.S. launch and acquired HO is quite encouraging, and we're excited about the significant ongoing progress in the international region as well.
We had a solid first quarter of 2026 with $60.1 million in global net revenues from sales of IMCIVREE, which represents 5% sequential growth over Q4 2025. During the first quarter, 61% of revenue was generated in the United States with the remainder generated outside the U.S., reflecting continued strong performance across those geographies. Globally, we saw continued growth in patients on reimbursed therapy with an 8% increase over the prior quarter, driven primarily by BBS.
On Slide 18, I'll walk through the revenue quarter-over-quarter as revenue increased from $57 million in Q4 2025 to $60 million in Q1 2026. First, the U.S. while the number of patients on reimbursed therapy in the United States increased from the end of Q1 to the -- end of Q4 to the end of Q1, the specialty pharmacy inventory increase of approximately $1.8 million in Q4 had the effect of pulling sales forward, which affected U.S. revenue during the quarter.
Separately, during Q1, shipments to RSP and dispenses to patients were pretty balanced. Therefore, specialty pharmacy inventory changes during the quarter did not have a significant impact on revenue.
In addition, as we saw last year during the first quarter, and as Jennifer mentioned, a number of patients transitioned insurance plans in the new year. And as a result, they received free drug from our bridging program for some or much of the quarter. Due to the strong collaborative efforts of our patient support teams working closely with patients, payers and HCPs, the number of patients on bridge therapy has since returned to Q4 levels.
Revenue outside the United States increased from $18.3 million to $23.2 million in Q1, reflecting a 27% sequential quarter-over-quarter increase. This growth was driven by increased sales volumes in Germany and France as well as certain named patient sales markets, particularly Saudi Arabia and Greece. As we have said previously, some of these named patient sales markets order with longer lead times, which can result in more variable quarterly revenue growth.
On Slide 19 is the financial snapshot of the first quarter of 2026 results compared to the first quarter of 2025. Gross to net for U.S. sales in Q1 was 84%, which is consistent with recent quarters. Cost of goods sold in this quarter was 11.9% of product revenue within our normal range and primarily driven by cost of materials and royalty payments on setmelanotide in connection with higher product revenue during the quarter.
As a percentage of product revenue, COGS can vary quarter-to-quarter based on changes in inventory balances and manufacturing activity. R&D expenses were $41.7 million for the first quarter of 2026 compared to $37 million in the same period last year. Sequentially, R&D expenses were flat compared to the fourth quarter of 2025.
During the quarter, an increase in headcount and related costs was offset by a decrease in clinical trial costs and costs related to chemistry, manufacturing and controls or CMC work. The year-over-year increase is primarily attributable to an increase in headcount-related costs.
SG&A expenses were $63.6 million for the first quarter of 2026 compared to $39.1 million in the prior year period. Sequentially, SG&A expenses increased by $6.1 million or approximately 11% compared to the fourth quarter of 2025. The change in SG&A expenses primarily reflected higher headcount-related costs, including stock-based compensation and marketing activities in support of the anticipated launch of IMCIVREE in acquired hypodynamic obesity.
Weighted average common shares outstanding were 68 million in Q1. Cash used in operations was approximately $44.2 million during the quarter. GAAP EPS for the first quarter of 2026 was a net loss per basic and diluted share of $0.83, including $0.02 per share from accrued dividends on convertible preferred stock of $1.1 million.
We ended the first quarter with approximately $341 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, which we continue to expect will be sufficient to fund planned operations for at least 24 months.
Lastly for me, on Slide 20, there is further detail on operating expenses for the first quarter and our full year operating expense guidance. For the first quarter, operating expenses of approximately $105.3 million included $23.1 million of stock-based compensation.
Non-GAAP operating expenses for Q1 were $82.2 million. We expect this increase on a quarterly basis throughout -- we expect this to increase on a quarterly basis throughout 2026 due to investments in CMC supporting RM-718.
The increased spending on clinical trials -- increased spending on clinical supply of bivamelagon ahead of our planned Phase III trial in hypothalamic obesity and the ongoing build-out of our team in Japan and preclinical work associated with our CHI program.
Our guidance is unchanged as we anticipate approximately $385 million to $415 million in non-GAAP operating expenses in fiscal year 2026, comprised of non-GAAP R&D of approximately $197 million to $213 million and non-GAAP SG&A expenses of approximately $188 million to $202 million.
With that, I'll turn the call back over to David.
Thanks, Hunter. So, in closing, I hope it's clear why we're excited about building the next phase of Rhythm. We see three clear pillars supporting this phase.
Work is continuing on the genetic causes of MC4R pathway impairment. That work is focused on improving our understanding of the specific genetic variants to better clarify those variants which have true loss of function. Those patients would be the focus of our next trials, which will be done with one of our next-generation therapies. That work will continue through 2026.
The second pillar, as we have focused on today is hypothalamic obesity, either due to injury or hypothalamic dysfunction due to failure of the hypothalamus to develop normally. And the third pillar is Prader-Willi syndrome, an extremely complicated disease with a huge unmet need, where we believe the MC4R pathway plays an important role.
We are aggressively pursuing our life cycle management strategy with the next-generation therapies, and we are building out our early research function focused on a small number of programs, which includes our program for CHI.
With that, we can now open the call for Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] And the first question will come from Phil Nadeau with TD Cowen.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the HO launch. Question is on those patient start forms and patient identification. I think the last number you gave us for a number of patients identified was approximately a few thousand, but you've said you've identified more since. Any update to that number today? And of the patient start forms you've received, how many were from that patient pool versus how many were newly discovered patients since launch?
Jennifer?
Sure. So we've continued to make progress. We had a tiered list of groups that our sales reps were out targeting just in terms of disease education, and we've continued to make inroads in terms of penetrating that list. As I outlined, the 2,000 number has continued to increase even since that September date. It's not a number that we are updating moving forward as we're focusing more on metrics, including start forms.
So many of those start forms that we've received, if you take a look at them, have come from the list of physicians that we educated prior to approval. I would say that overall, the vast majority of these start forms were from physicians that our field teams had some type of engagement with prior to approval.
And the next question will come from Paul Matteis with Stifel.
Congrats on the early launch progress. Taking a step back, it feels like with a number of rare disease launches lately, the street just debates whether early success is a bolus or linear and sustainable. It looks like outside of the patients who are converting from clinical trials, you're adding around 20-ish a week. Do you feel like that's a cadence based on your visibility and conversations with physicians that could be sustainable for 2026? Or if not, how are you thinking about the kinetics?
Sure. So I would say like overall, we were very pleased just in terms of the early -- first six weeks just in terms of how we were progressing. As you mentioned, we did have 40 of those Rxs coming from trial conversions and our teams continue to work with our clinical teams just in terms of pulling those forward.
I would say that from the trial conversion piece, the remaining patients really are going to be based on the last visit that is actually set. So we continue to work through those in the next quarter and so moving forward.
In terms of additional patients beyond the trial conversion, you talked about bolus. I would say that in any launch, as expected, there's going to be physicians who are quite activated just in terms of waiting for approval. We have some that have proactively reached out to their patients upon approval to let them know about the availability of therapy.
But the vast majority of the patients or the physicians are waiting to have those conversations with their patients as they come in for their regularly scheduled visits. So that will flow through on, I would say, more of a steady pace moving forward. And we still have a lot of opportunity in terms of education as we move forward into the launch.
Did that answer to your question, Paul?
Yes.
And the next question is going to come from Derek Archila with Wells Fargo.
Congrats on the progress here. I just had a question on the 110 prescribers. I guess what's the makeup of these physicians. Are these mostly in centers of excellence? Or are these more one-offs?
So in terms of the prescribers, one, I will say that we were very happy to see that there is a nice breadth of physicians with patients that have been activated just in terms of interest to prescribe IMCIVREE for their patients. Is that something that we will continue to focus on as we move forward as there were many physicians on our targeted list with potential patients?
To date, I would say that the vast majority, similar to other rare diseases of these physicians have written one script for their patients. But I would also say that there is still opportunity that remains with some of these physicians just in terms of having additional patients within their practice. And that is aligned with sort of the flow that I outlined in terms of those patients coming in so that physician can have that ongoing dialogue regarding diagnosis as well as IMCIVREE potential.
And then relating -- sorry, relating to the concentration within the centers of excellence. In the past, we have outlined that we are focused in terms of these 42 priority accounts. However, I would say that our list follows also the patients that we have identified in the claims and the physicians who actually have these patients potentially that are HO patients. And so that breadth goes beyond these priority accounts, and we have received definite scripts that are outside of these priority accounts as well.
And the next question is going to come from Dennis Ding with Jefferies.
Congrats on the quarter. So we're trying to get a sense of underlying demand here. So for the doctors who have prescribed IMCIVREE to an AHO patient, what's primarily been the gating factor preventing them from prescribing it to their second or third patient? Is it doctors getting comfortable with the product profile and reimbursement? And it seems like the vast majority of them are new to IMCIVREE or perhaps just the timing of patient visits.
So I would say that the primary gating factors are -- could be two pieces. The primary one is the pace and the schedule just in terms of those patients coming in to have that dialogue around IMCIVREE. So that is really pre-planned just in terms of what that normal visit may look like for that patient.
I think the other factor is, as we also continued with our education with HCPs, there were some patients that may have come top of mind or had already been diagnosed. But through our education, they also had several aha moments just in terms of other patients that they suspected may also have AHO.
And going back in terms of our breadth, we were very pleased in terms of the label that we got upon approval that was squatters and just brain tumor and brain tumor management-related causes of AHO. So there's still opportunity just in terms of educating about the other potential causes of AHO and getting those patients also to a diagnosis.
Next question comes from Corinne Johnson with Goldman Sachs.
Maybe if you could just quantify a bit more the reimbursement dynamics here for these AHO patients that are getting on therapy and translate that to how we should think about maybe net price per patient as this becomes a bigger portion of contribution to revenue?
Yes. As Jennifer [indiscernible] just for the reimbursement. So a little bit of sense for the mix of payers here. And then I think Corinne's getting at the Medicaid, of course, would have a discount and the like and so.
Sure. So we are very early in the launch with just in terms of understanding what that payer mix will look like. And with that said, what we have seen is we've received scripts from basically all different payer types.
I would say that just from the access perspective moving forward, I think there was a lot of benefit just in terms of the education that we had done with the BBS and the payers who have experience with BBS, also understanding that this is very different than general obesity. So once again, very pleased in terms of the fact that we did and already do have patients who have been approved for reimbursement as early in the process.
The caveat here is that in terms of actually having those policies in place, I reiterate that expectation continues to be approximately three to nine months from approval. So we're going to continue to monitor what that payer mix looks like as we move forward and update in future calls.
And the next question will come from Michael Ulz with Morgan Stanley.
Congrats on the launch as well. Maybe just a follow-up on the HO launch, just in terms of the greater than 150 start forms. Maybe if you can compare that to your internal expectations at the beginning of the launch?
And then secondly, just how should we think about converting those patients to revenues, just given it sounds like you're having sort of good traction with payers early on here?
So I would say that overall, just in terms of the start forms that we've received. We were really pleased with, one, the speed just in terms of working and all the work has been done with planning for those clinical trial conversions. So once again, the number that we were able to convert to actually having a commercial Rx was great just in terms of that collaborative effort to get to that point.
In terms of the other Rxs that we've received, I think that it is a strong start. Right now, we still feel like there's a lot of opportunity that remains just in terms of physicians that we've spoken with that may potentially have a patient who will have that conversation as we move forward. So, we do expect to see a steady growth throughout the year just in terms of the Rxs we received moving forward.
From the payer dynamic piece, I would say that in terms of the approvals, if we also compare with BBS, well, one, the expectation in terms of these Rxs being denied upfront because there isn't a specific HO policy in place early just in terms of launch. That did happen. However, like with the appropriate information that was provided, we were seeing with some of these payers a quicker approval time line than we did in the initial BBS launch. So I think that was a positive dynamic that we did see.
And the next question is going to come from Seamus Fernandez with Guggenheim.
So there's going to be some updates on PWS soon. And just wanted to get a better sense of what you believe the sort of clinical value add of setmelanotide in this space or at least targeting MC4R can be in this space. Is it going to be exclusively on weight loss without much benefit on satiety? Is it both weight loss and satiety benefits that are a possibility?
Just trying to get a better sense of what you see the overall kind of PWS target product profile that you're seeking in this setting and what we're likely to learn with the six-month data versus potential update on the second quarter results conference call, which may be incremental to the presentation in that setting.
Yes. Thanks, Seamus. Yes, just to be clear, for the 718 data, that Prader-Willi data, whatever we have, and hopefully, we'll have something that we can comment on at that point, but that will be extremely early in a much smaller number of patients. So the most informative data set that's coming is Dr. Miller's data set, which we'll put out at endo.
Our expectation is really just based on the biology here, right, which is MC4R so one, as I said in my opening comments there, I mean, we're quite convinced that this MC4R pathway is an important part of the biology in Prader-Willi. It's not the only thing. Correcting this does not fix or help correct a Prader-Willi patient's disease, but it can have, we believe, a significant impact.
And that biology is a satiety signal. You decrease hunger and we think an accompanying decrease in their hyperphagia symptoms, which are the behaviors that are driven by that severe hunger and increases energy expenditure. And the net of that will be a decrease in their overall weight.
We also know, and we highlighted this on our December call when we released the early data from Dr. Miller's trial, there's other reasons these patients eat, and we talked about the obsessive compulsive disorder part of this and the like. And so those are confounding elements of a very complicated disease. But specifically with regard to what we would hope, it would be both, both a reduction in their hyperphagia symptoms and a decrease in [indiscernible].
And our next question will come from Samantha Semenkow with Citi.
Congratulations on the early HO launch. I have one on Japan. Just given the large potential market for HO in Japan, this is a bit in your prepared remarks, but could you elaborate more on some of the feedback you've received from Japanese KOLs on the impact IMCIVREE could have in this population? And then just pending the approval there later this year, how should we think about the trajectory of that launch in Japan relative to the early start we've seen thus far in the U.S. for HO?
Yes. So Yann, did you got that? So KOL reactions to...
Yes. Thank you for the question. So first of all, as I said in my remarks, I was in Japan a few weeks ago, and I have met with the many of the Japanese KOL and many of the investigators of the trial.
So first, I think everybody in Japan is really concerned about the disease because of the significant prevalence. Two, they saw firsthand the results on their patients. So they are already believers in the efficacy of the drug. The third aspect is that we have engaged with them extremely early on. So it's more than three years that we have interacted with them, and they have been part of publications and they have worked with us on a lot of data. So there is almost already a long-lasting relationship with them. So that's the third aspect.
The third aspect in terms of trajectories is still difficult to -- so first, I will not compare the U.S. and Japan, as it is a bit difficult to forecast. We have good results so far in terms of patient identification. We have identified 151 Tier 1 hospitals with the highest volume of brain tumor surgeries, and those hospitals are currently being visited by the Japanese field force. So again, I will not give a number, but we think that we have a significant amount of Japanese patients who will start the treatment in '27 following the launch.
And the next question will come from Joseph Stringer with Needham & Company.
You mentioned the 150 start forms in the first six weeks of the AHO launch, 40 or so from the clinical trial. How does this number of start forms compare to the first six weeks of the BBS launch? And is this a fair comp at this point?
And then our second question is on the patients, the 150 patients associated with the start forms. How many of these are tumor injury-related patients, and those who have had surgery? Just curious, given the broad label, what you're seeing in terms of a diverse patient pool, perhaps outside of the more common tumor-related cause?
Yes. Thanks. So maybe I'll make a comment on the BBS, and then Jennifer can comment on the mix of the tumors versus [indiscernible]. So is BBS a good comp? I mean, it's a rare disease. I think there are some fundamental differences here, which we've highlighted just in terms of how the HO population, A, is larger, but B, also being concentrated in the endo. So there is a difference there.
So I'm not sure it's the best. That said, this is a steeper launch. I mean, the rate of start forms in the first six weeks is higher than we had in BBS. I'll make a few comments once we finish all the questions about how to put all this together. But I think what you're hearing is, yes, we're really pleased with the 150. And yes, it is a more rapid start than we had with BBS.
And on the tumor, Jen?
Sure. And I'll echo the point that David made just in terms of the difference between the number of start forms in the first six weeks of the HO launch versus the BBS launch. The piece, though that I don't exactly remember, is the number of trial conversions on the BBS side, where that study had a much smaller number of total patients who were in the U.S. in that BBS study. But definitely, even with that said, a higher number of Rxs on this launch versus the BBS one.
In terms of the backgrounds of the patients, the vast majority of these patients are with tumor or a tumor treatment-related background. However, our indication is broader, and it covers things like stroke, TBI, or inflammation. And we have received Rxs from patients with these backgrounds as well.
And I think that to date, the physicians who are aware of acquired hypothalamic obesity, I think their thinking is more around the tumor-based background. So there's still a lot of opportunity in terms of even educating physicians holistically in terms of the various other backgrounds that may lead to acquired hypothalamic obesity moving forward as well.
And our last question is going to come from Lisa Walter with RBC Capital.
Maybe just one on Prader-Willi syndrome. I'm just curious how important you think it is for ex-U.S. approval to have both hyperphagia and weight loss on the label. I think with ViTAD, we saw that the EMA perhaps did not want to approve ViTAD, given some of the chosen endpoints. So just curious how you are thinking about Prader-Willi syndrome trial design here for success, both in the U.S. and ex-U.S.
Yes. Thanks for the question. I think one, just back to the mechanism of this drug and this pathway. It's a satiety signal. We reduce hunger. We've shown that consistently across all of our trials. We haven't, for some trial design reasons, had some challenges getting that into the U.S. label, but we have gotten it into the European label. So the European label, it is indicated for the reduction of hunger and diseases that we're studying.
So as I said before, our expectation is that we will seek a label that has both a hyperphagia reduction with the expectation that we would get that worldwide globally, certainly in the three major regions that we've talked about today, and a reduction in weight/BMI.
And I would now like to turn the call back over to David Meeker for closing remarks.
So thanks, everybody, for tuning in. I hope -- and thanks for your patience here. I realize everybody would like the specific numbers and the ability to provide guidance. And as we've said with BBS, and as we all know, launches are enormously challenging to forecast, and rare disease launches are even more difficult. So with that famous caveat that it is early, what you're hearing is, yes, we're pleased.
We're really pleased with the start here. I think this is a strong start. We're very happy about the breadth of prescribers that Jennifer highlighted. This is not a launch where we've got two or three believers, and they're writing a bunch of scripts. This is where it's very broad.
The dynamic that question was raised. And as Jennifer highlighted, I think the good news about the dynamic is that there's been some reasonable sense of urgency. And we're at the Pediatric Endocrine Society meeting over the weekend in San Francisco. And I've been around a lot of rare disease type meetings, and rare diseases tend to get lost in these larger meetings, and that wasn't a huge meeting.
But I have to say I was struck by the level of awareness, the number of endos, endocrinologists, pediatric endocrinologists, in this case, with awareness, a tremendous amount of excitement, and just really struggling with what they can do for their patients, and excited about at least now that there's something to do. So all of those dynamics, again, are very much in the positive category here. So we look forward to updating you. That will be on our Q2 call, but pretty excited about where we are out of the gates. Thanks, all.
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]
Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, David Connolly, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Marvin. This evening, we issued a press release announcing FDA approval of IMCIVREE for patients with acquired hypothalamic obesity. You can access the press release as well as the slides that we will be reviewing tonight by going to the Investors section on our website. Listed on Slide 3 are the speakers for tonight's call. David Meeker, Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer of Rhythm; Jennifer Lee, Executive Vice President, Head of North America; and Hunter Smith, our Chief Financial Officer; and Alicia Fiscus, our Senior Vice President, Head of Global Regulatory Affairs, are also on the line to answer questions.
Before we get started, I would like to remind everyone that the statements we make on this conference call will include forward-looking statements. Actual events or results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements as a result of various risks, uncertainties and other factors, including those set forth in the risk factors in our SEC filings.
In addition, any forward-looking statement made on this call represent our views only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent date. Except as required by law, we specifically disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.
With that, I'll turn the call over to David.
Thank you, Dave, and thank you all for joining again on short notice, and it's a relatively uncivil hour of 7:00 p.m. for those of you on the East Coast. It's been an eventful week. As you saw from our press release, we are thrilled to announce that the FDA has granted approval for IMCIVREE in acquired hypothalamic obesity.
We all know how difficult it is to develop a therapy, which is safe and effective, let alone potentially transformative for an individual patient. Most development programs fail, and we shared our own challenging development story with you earlier this week. However, what I think we've done well at Rhythm is to follow the science. We know impaired signaling through the MC4R pathway leads to hyperphagia, lack of satiety, impaired energy expenditure and consequent obesity.
And we know that IMCIVREE and our next-generation molecules are good MC4R agonist. Our challenge has been to identify those patients with impaired signaling who might benefit from an MC4R agonist.
In the case of acquired HO, as many of you may remember, the biology was not obvious. By definition, these patients had injury to the hypothalamus, which in theory might compromise signaling through the pathway. But in addition to pathway injury, wouldn't it be likely one would lose the receptor as well. This disease is a classic example of where a precision medicine unlocks the biology.
The fact that we have seen a remarkably consistent response to an MC4R agonist in each of our trials, whether it is IMCIVREE or our next-generation small molecule tells us that the MC4R pathway is central to the biology. So here we are.
As highlighted on Slide 6, the indication statement is as follows: IMCIVREE is a melanocortin-4 receptor agonist indicated to reduce excess body weight and maintain reduction long term in adults and pediatric patients aged 4 years of age and older with acquired hypothalamic obesity.
We are pleased to have received a broad indication, which is not limited to only tumor-related causes of hypothalamic injury. There are no post-marketing commitments associated with this approval.
Slide 7 shows additional elements of the label, dosing, warnings and precautions and adverse events. There is nothing surprising here. Slide 8. Approval was supported by our global Phase III TRANSCEND trial, which evaluated setmelanotide in patients with acquired hypothalamic obesity. The label reflects the full 142 patient data set, which includes the initial 120 patients we read out as part of the primary analysis, the 12 patients from the Japanese cohort and 10 supplemental patients.
Treatment with setmelanotide resulted in a statistically significant placebo-adjusted difference of 18.4% in BMI reduction after 52 weeks of treatment. In addition to weight reduction, we also observed meaningful improvements in hunger. Among patients aged 12 and older, those treated with setmelanotide experienced an average 2.3 point reduction in weekly average hunger scores as compared with a 1.4 point reduction in the placebo group.
While hunger was not included in the indication statement, these data are included in the new label for IMCIVREE within the clinical results section as it is for each of our other indications. The reduction in hunger is consistent with what we understand about the underlying biology of acquired hypothalamic obesity and with what patients and caregivers describe as the most burdensome aspect of the disease.
I know we will get questions as to how this will impact our probability of getting coverage through Medicare. Jennifer and team have continued to work this issue. We have made progress differentiating ourselves from the other anti-obesity medications through the different compendia used by the payers. We will make further progress as we now come with this new indication. We are not starting from 0.
Slide 9. Today's approval further validates the central role of MC4R pathway impairment across both genetic and acquired forms of rare obesity. IMCIVREE has now demonstrated benefit across multiple diseases driven by this biology, reinforcing the durability of our franchise and supporting our continued investment in international opportunities and our next-generation MC4R agonist.
For hypothalamic obesity, we moved with urgency following proof of concept in the summer of 2022. Following this FDA approval, we look forward to updating you on our Japanese filing progress in Q2. Our EMEA submission for HO is under review. We anticipate the CHMP opinion in Q2 and the EU marketing authorization in the second half of 2026. These are all important milestones for patients with acquired hypothalamic obesity and for Rhythm.
Now before I turn the call over to Jennifer, I want to take a moment to thank the patients and their families. I've been part of many clinical trials over my career, and I don't think I've ever worked on a more complicated disease. Injury to this part of the brain leads to many problems which require treatment. Their medication list alone may be 1 or 2 pages.
Once you add all the additional testing required to be part of a clinical trial, it can become overwhelming and 1/3 of the patients manage all of that as part of the placebo group for a full year. Their contribution and sacrifice is a real gift to their community.
Finally, I want to thank the investigators and their clinical teams for their dedication and to all of the Rhythm employees who worked on this trial, and there were many. It is a passionate and dedicated team who believed in the difference this therapy could make in the lives of patients living with hypothalamic obesity.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Jennifer.
Thank you, David. This is indeed a long-awaited day, and I am excited for all the patients, their families and physicians as they now have a therapy that specifically targets the root cause of their acquired hypothalamic obesity.
I am also excited for Rhythm's North America team who have been preparing and planning for this day for well over a year. Beginning on Slide 11, acquired hypothalamic obesity represents a meaningfully larger opportunity than our genetic indications, including POMC [ leptin biallelic ] as well as BBS, while remaining very much a rare disease launch.
We estimate there are approximately 10,000 patients living with acquired hypothalamic obesity in the United States with roughly 500 incident patients per year. With today's approval, IMCIVREE becomes the first FDA-approved therapy to address the underlying biology of this disease. Historically, there was no approved treatment and therefore, little incentive to diagnose acquired HO.
With the availability of IMCIVREE, we expect more drive to get patients to an accurate diagnosis. And understanding that the need for a treatment option is high, this will lead to more and more patients beginning IMCIVREE over time. Next slide. Our expanded teams are in place, and we are ready to go. As we have shared in the past, we expanded our sales team of territory managers to 42, which is an increase from the 16 territory managers we had in place for the BBS commercial effort.
Our territory managers have been and continue to focus on engaging with physicians at key medical centers across the country. Our Access team as well as our Rhythm InTune patient service team are also in place. Together, these teams support securing reimbursement for patients, educating patients on what to expect when they begin treatment and helping patients stay on therapy to realize the benefits of IMCIVREE.
Next slide. With the treatment now available, we expect acquired hypothalamic obesity to become more widely recognized as a potential repercussion of not only brain tumors and their management, but also potentially the results of other hypothalamic injuries. AHO caused by certain tumors and/or related treatment account for the vast majority of AHO cases, and this population is our immediate focus.
Within this population, our goal is for all incident AHO patients to be diagnosed quickly so they can begin and stay on treatment with IMCIVREE. We will similarly work with urgency to give the broader prevalent population to a diagnosis and an initiation on IMCIVREE.
Next slide. We are excited to have IMCIVREE available to ACPs in acquired hypothalamic obesity patients. The feedback consistently suggests a high unmet need. And as seen in this slide that was shared back in September, the IMCIVREE product profile is resonating with strong interest to prescribe in AHO patients.
Now on to my final slide. Today's approval represents a significant milestone for patients. Our full team has been in the field for months, and we are well positioned to execute the launch and continue to increase diagnosis rates, expand access and to see more patients benefiting from therapy. We are ready and look forward to updating you on our progress.
Thank you, Jennifer. And I think now we can turn the call or open the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Derek Archila of Wells Fargo.
2. Question Answer
This is Simone on for Derek. Congrats on the approval. Before you had indicated that you will use patient start forms to measure the launch in the beginning. How should we think about the initial patient start form cadence in the first 1 to 2 quarters post launch?
Yes. Maybe I'll lead off here and then Jennifer can then amplify. I think as we've been pretty clear as we've had this question multiple times, and it's the right question coming in. Jennifer said, we're incredibly excited about this opportunity. I mean it's meaningfully larger. It's organized in a very different way in these specialties. And so our ability to identify patients is going to be significantly greater than BBS, for example, which is a bit more of a needle in a haystack exercise. However, as Jennifer said, this is -- has many elements of a rare disease.
And those elements, which are not everybody has a diagnosis. And so even though a health care provider may say, yes, that patient fits the profile, I hadn't thought about that, they will want to bring that patient back in. And so there'll be issues such as getting access to their physician, health care provider.
There's not -- these endocrinologists tend to be busy, so there won't necessarily be immediate access in that sense. So that will be a little bit of a delay. And then although we're in a really good position with the payers having launched PPL, our POMC leptin receptor and BBS, and they have good familiarity with the drug, and we have very good coverage across all payer segments there with the exception of Medicare. That will be our starting point, but you still need policies put in place. But having taken the bulk of the answer, Jennifer, other things there that we should add?
So I think you've covered the majority. I would say that the expansion of the team also will allow us to expedite the education and outreach to the physicians that we have outlined. David, you already mentioned the access environment, which I think took years to get to, which is an amazing starting point in terms of the next indication.
And we've had positive feedback through the research that we've conducted in terms of the payers understanding that this is an extension in terms of a different indication that is an MC4R disease, different than general obesity. I think the other piece is that the data for IMCIVREE is quite strong in the patient population and the unmet need in this patient population, who have some of them tried other things is quite high.
So all of this leads to positive condition just in terms of us launching in this indication. I would say that even on the caveat side, everything that you outlined in terms of timing is true. The alignment in terms of rare disease, not all patients are suspected, but we are having very good discussions with physicians, who are suspecting and wanting to get patients to a diagnosis. And that's amplified now that there's a treatment option available. So very excited overall in terms of our ability to get this product out to the market.
So Simone, the short answer to your question is there will be a steady ramp faster than BBS, we anticipate, but not we've contrasted with up Prader-Willi launch, for example, which is a near-term reference point that a lot of people point to.
Our next question comes from the line of Tazeen Ahmad of Bank of America.
Congratulations on the approval. I maybe wanted to get a sense, David, about what metrics we should be expecting to get. So for similar types of launches, companies at least initially provide things like script data, maybe number of touch points with physicians, how many physicians are writing scripts, et cetera.
Can you give us a sense of what to expect here, if anything, on that granularity that I just asked about? And should we expect you to start breaking out your revenues by indication?
Yes. No, thanks, Tazeen. You highlighted exactly what I would anticipate. It's very much what we did with BBS. So we will give you start forms. We will give you insight into payer coverage as we get a sense for lives covered and again, we'll do our best to give you a feeling for how that part of the process is going.
Physicians' writing scripts is also something that we've done at least qualitatively. So those are the 3 categories, in which you can expect to get information. We will not be breaking out revenue initially. I think revenue early on in a rare disease launch is not so helpful because of all the points we highlighted in the answer to the prior question.
I think the things with all of you and what we'll be looking at is are patients getting in, getting the diagnosis? Are they getting a script written? And then how are we doing in terms of beginning to work them through the process.
Our next question comes from the line of Michael Ulz of Morgan Stanley.
This is Rohit on for Mike. Congratulations on the approval. I think in the past, you've said greater than 75 patients are enrolled in the extension trial. How soon do you expect them to get on paid drug? And then in terms of pricing, will it be the same as BBS?
Do you want to take that, Jennifer?
Sure. Pricing-wise, we are keeping a similar pricing for all indications for IMCIVREE. In terms of the patients that were in the study, our patient service team has been in very close contact with our clinical teams, who've also been putting them in contact with the PIs. So that is an ongoing process just in terms of being able to understand the actual prescriber that would be prescribing the drug to transition patients over from a clinical trial over to commercial.
So we're going to be working quickly just in terms of getting those Rxs over and then working the process just in terms of reimbursement and gaining access for those patients.
Our next question comes from the line of Corinne Johnson of Goldman Sachs.
Congrats again on the approval. In the past, you spoke -- I think at last fall, you talked about having 2,000 patients or so identified. I'm curious where that number stands today? And if you could speak to the process of getting those patients actually on the drug. And then kind of separately on the reimbursement front, could you remind us what the payer mix is here and how it compares to your other indications with any kind of read-through implications to the coverage piece of this?
Jennifer?
Sure. So we had outlined the 2,000 number back in September. Since that point, our teams have been continuing to reach out to physicians and so that number is growing. We are not updating that number at this point of time.
But just in terms of process-wise, I think that there are going to be physicians with diagnosed patients that are ready to go just in terms of ready to prescribe IMCIVREE. The timing element is -- the timing element of when that next physician -- next physician will actually be seeing that patient in the next visit.
So there's a bit of a lag from approval to actually getting the Rx as the physician has a discussion with that patient. From a payer mix perspective, our data outlined as we went through the process, more patients that had backgrounds that were very similar to AHO patients starting with the brain tumor, the management, the evidence of endocrinopathies, evidence of obesity and was seeing an endocrinologist on an ongoing basis.
So while we have that information, we don't have validation that they're all diagnosed AHO patients. So the payer mix is still TBD at this point of time. I think with that said, from BBS versus AHO, these tumors are bimodal just in terms of age distribution.
So I would expect that there would be a skew towards older patient population in general, which may impact the payer mix. But similarly to BBS, we're going to have to see what the age distribution and payer mix ultimately looks like. In the initial stages of the BBS launch, we saw younger patients in general that were scripted initially. So we're going to have to see how that goes as we move forward with the launch.
Our next question comes from the line of Samantha Semenkow of Citi.
I'm wondering, just based on the payer interactions that you've had to date prior to the approval, what are payers looking for in terms of a patient disposition? Is there a certain amount of BMI change that they're looking for? Is it the rapid weight gain? I'm just curious what they are going to be scoring on in order to approve treatment with IMCIVREE.
Yes. So what was interesting, even looking at the BBS launch is that they were definitely looking similar just in terms of does this drug actually work. I think that was like the main thing, and that will be similar for the HO patient population. The standard is a change just in terms of BMI from baseline to the first evaluation point.
But there were other things even that indicated that there was clinical benefit, especially if it was expressed by the physician in terms of impact on hunger and those types of parameters. So I think it's like holistic just in general, and they are really looking to see that the patients are benefiting on this drug.
Our next question comes from the line of Jon Wolleben of Citizens.
Congrats. I'm wondering if you could talk a little bit about your expectations for prior authorization, what payers are going to want to see to get patients on drug and remind us of what's necessary for an actual diagnosis of HO?
Right. So in terms of the market research that we did, we did ask general questions in terms of what would be required for documentation of the diagnosis, and we also probe specifically on different points. So in terms of documentation by the physician, it was a clinical diagnosis similar to our study.
There was no specific requirements for imaging in terms of MRI or CT scans to prove this point, but more like looking back in terms of the fact that, that patient had, for example, the brain tumor patients, an injury that happened with confirmation that there was obesity that also -- a weight gain that happened shortly after. So more of a clinical diagnosis versus a requirement for imaging that was expressed in the market in sights.
Our next question comes from the line of Thomas Smith of Leerink Partners.
This is Brian Conley on for Tom Smith. Congrats again on the approval. Just curious here if you can elaborate on your launch readiness in terms of the size of the sales team. And maybe if you can comment on your strategy in focusing on patients that had previous tumor treatments versus patients that are currently being treated or seen by an endocrinologist.
Sure. So our sales team was hired last year, and we have a rightsized team that is 42 on ground that have been working through the tiered list in terms of targeted ACPs to educate. Holistically, our data leads us to the physicians that have the highest volume of potential AHO patients just in terms of prioritization.
It just also naturally led us to key centers that treat pituitary brain tumor patients. And these centers are outlined across the nation. And this is where the patients go when they're diagnosed with a brain tumor. That's where they get their management. It's where they are linked also with an endocrinologist that is there to treat their resulting endocrinopathies.
So I would say that, that is a high area of focus and it allows us to potentially get patients to a really quick diagnosis once the symptoms of AHO actually initiate. However, like I said, like our list leads us to the physicians and not all the physicians that we've identified are dislocated just in these centers themselves. So we're going physician by physician in terms of that education, and we'll continue to do that throughout the launch.
Our next question comes from the line of Ellen Horste of TD Cowen.
Congratulations on the approval. I'm on for Phil. One question from us. Previously, you mentioned that you're in the process of getting an ICD-10 code for HO. Do you have an update on the estimated time line for that? And do you see that as a growth lever in the early launch?
Sure. Our efforts just in terms of getting the ICD-10 code specific for HO are ongoing. And the timing will be TBD as we continue those discussions. And we hope very much to have something in place similar to our success in terms of getting one in place for BBS.
I think that because, of course, having the ICD-10 code in place would be a true -- would be great just in terms of having another crumb that's quite strong to lead us to the right physician to educate.
With that said, as I've outlined, I think that the data that we have to triangulate to that right physician in HO is so much stronger than our ability to do the same for an indication like BBS. So I feel very confident just in terms of the list that we have in terms of physicians even without that code at this point in time.
Our next question comes from the line of Seamus Fernandez of Guggenheim Securities.
This is Evan Wang on for Seamus. Adding our congrats on the approval. Understanding that there's no update on the patients identified, but can you talk more about the -- its reception from the physician outreach thus far, I guess, both in terms of if the number of patients they're managing is in line with your estimates and also how they're planning to initially prescribe IMCIVREE among their patients?
Sorry, can I just ask you to repeat the last part of the question?
Curious if any learnings from the physician outreach in terms of how they plan to initially prescribe IMCIVREE among their patients.
Okay. Sure. I think overall, just as we have gone through the list, one, the data limitation is that our purview of look back is limited to patients who had brain tumor management within the past 10 years. So that's one limitation. But it's also potentially one reason why some of the patients or some of the physicians actually have more patients than what our claims analysis has shown. On the flip side, we have come across some physicians, who were identified as having a patient that has indicated that they do not.
So it's a bit of a mix, but I would say holistically, just in terms of even taking a look at that number that we outlined in September, we feel very good just in terms of being able to identify the right physician that ultimately may have one of these patients.
And I would say that a lot of those discussions are leading to those moments where the physician may not even know that they have that patient, but in reflection in terms of the background, they're thinking twice in terms of whether or not they actually do have these patients within their practice. And that's the evaluation that they're doing following our education.
In terms of Rxs, like I said, it's -- as in any disease, any -- I would say that there are physicians who are -- have and quite aware just in terms of AHO and been diagnosing those patients and treating those patients and understands the need for another therapy and are ready to prescribe.
And on the other end of the spectrum, like I said, there are certain physicians who -- well, they didn't even realize that they may have a patient and our education is getting them to that point where they need to do further evaluation. So I think the education is what will lead to the Rxs with some ready to go and some needing a bit more time.
Our next question comes from the line of Dennis Ding of Jefferies.
This is Anthea on for Dennis. Congrats on the approval. Could you provide a little bit more information on kind of the CMS' receptivity to rare obesity indications and what the gating factors are for coverage, not only for HO, but also whether that could come online for BBS and POMC as well?
Go ahead.
Maybe I -- Jennifer, go ahead.
So we -- when we got approval for BBS, we engaged with all payers, including CMS, knowing that there was the restriction that was specifically outlined in terms of Medicare for weight loss medications. At that time, it was a different group that we spoke with that there was clarity just in terms of wanting just something more than weight loss in terms of the indication and the PI itself.
We reengaged in discussions, but decided more recently in terms of HO to hold off until we actually saw what our ultimate label would look like. That doesn't mean though we weren't continuing our efforts. We continued our efforts across the Board to support access, which included what David outlined in terms of our work compendia by compendia. These are clinical compendias and pricing compendias.
And throughout all that work, we were able to convert the classification of IMCIVREE from an anti-obesity medication to something different in each of those categories, whether it's genetic protein replacements or endocrine and metabolic agents. And through that process, we've gone back to payers, and we've had success just in terms of being able to once again gain access through that differentiation.
So now that we have our indication, we do plan to go back to CMS and outline the progress that we've made and continue those discussions. David, I don't know if you want to add anything there.
No. It's perfect.
Our next question comes from the line of Lisa Walter of RBC.
Congrats on the approval. Just curious, does your market research with payers suggest that they would be open to covering a combo treatment with IMCIVREE and a GLP-1? Any color here would be helpful.
So our market research was focused on covering IMCIVREE. So we did not ask the specific question in terms of combo therapy. I think holistically, our real sort of positioning of the drug is the initiation and the foundation treatment for these patients to address what's missing in their -- and the cause of their specific obesity. So that was the discussions that we had. So I don't have color just. In terms of combination.
Yes. And the only thing I'd add to that, I think we, over the past few years, learned a lot about GLP-1s and their potential use in patients with MC4R deficiency. For the most part, POMC, leptin receptor biallelics, BBS, they're not used, not to say that there isn't some use. And we had additional data as part of this current study, where we had about 30 patients in the trial, who would -- either about half of those patients had previously used a GLP-1 and not had the response they wanted or they were on the drug when they started the trial, which was allowed as long as they weren't actively losing weight.
And we were able to have the weight curves or BMI curves, if you will, for each of those patients, and you could see the accelerated weight gain when they had their injury, you could see when they started their GLP-1s and almost always, in each of these patients' cases, in those where there was some weight loss, it tended not to gain sustained for the most part, and then it would start to regain and then they had a good response to setmelanotide.
But I think the conclusion here is if you have a deficit in your MC4R signaling, one of the other anti-obesity medicines is going to have a hard time working. It's not that it can't have any effect, but it will have a hard time working. So back to Jennifer's point that we do think that you want to restore the normal physiology first, replace what's missing in this case, the alpha-melanocyte-stimulating hormone with an analog such as IMCIVREE.
And then once you've done that, if you need additional, then, of course, you can add something on. And I don't know if Jennifer mentioned, I mean, we have not basically had a requirement to step through GLP-1s. They have not been researched in this indication. They're not specifically indicated for that, although they're indicated for weight reduction. So we'll see. But I think the biggest issue is they're not the biologic answer here.
Our next question comes from the line of Paul Matteis of Stifel.
This is Julian on for Paul. Congrats on the update and positive news. Just wanted to clarify whether you all were expecting for the treatment of hyperphagia to be included in the indication statement? Or does it read exactly as you anticipated with its inclusion in the clinical data section? And then one other quick question as well is on the warning slide for the monitoring patients for adrenal insufficiency, do you have a sense on what that exactly entails? And is that surprising to you given the population here?
Yes. I'll take the adrenal first. And then Alicia, maybe you want to make a comment on how the whole hyperphagia piece evolved. The adrenal insufficiency caution there and the warning is something we favored being put in. 80%-ish of these patients -- well, 80-plus percent have some degree of hormonal insufficiency, pituitary insufficiency, often which includes the presence of either vasopressin insufficiency, formerly known as diabetes insipidus, and/or adrenal insufficiency.
And so if they have an acute injury or some severe event, then they need coverage of their steroids, stress dose steroid dose, if you will. And for the diabetes insipidus, the vasopressin insufficiency part of their disease, their challenge there is that they can't manage their salt and water.
So they have to be very closely monitored. And that's their baseline state before they enter the trial or went on IMCIVREE. The point of that warning was just that as you -- if you are losing weight and you're eating changes and the like, you want to pay attention to both the doses of the medications you're on, and they are on many because particularly if there's a weight-related part of that.
And in this case of the vasopressin insufficiency, your water balance and so your sodium. So it's to make sure that doctors are vigilant. They don't just start a medication like this and realize that these complicated patients may not have other things which need to be monitored. Alicia, do you want to just comment a little bit on the hyperphagia?
Yes, sure. Thanks, David. So giving hyperphagia or reduction in hunger in the indication statement, we were limited because the FDA will not accept a subgroup analysis for labeling claims. Our hunger instrument assesses self-reported in age 12 and over, which is the self-reported is what they place the most value on and caregiver reported under 12.
And just to finish on that, the question was, was it what we expected? Yes, this is what we expected. Was it what we had hoped for? No. We had hoped for potentially that this time we would be able to break through. But as Alicia said, they've been just remarkably consistent on their general response to how they see the hyperphagia piece of it.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd now like to turn it back to David Meeker for closing remarks.
Great. Well, thanks, everybody, for tuning in, as I said, on short notice. Obviously, an important moment for Rhythm, but a really important moment for patients with hypothalamic obesity. I mean the role this part of their disease plays on their overall quality of life is immense. And I think as all of us have heard these stories and got to know some of these patients and their families, they were really -- they are desperate for help. And setmelanotide is not a cure, but I think it has an opportunity to make a real difference for these patients. So we're really excited to get going, and I think we're well positioned to do that, and we look forward to updating you all. Thank you.
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Dave Connolly, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Daniel, and good afternoon, everyone, and welcome. This afternoon, we issued a press release with the Phase III top line results for our EMANATE trial. You can access the press release as well as the slides that we will be reviewing today by going to the Investors section of our website. Listed on Slide 3 are the speakers for today's call. David Meeker, Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer, will walk through these data. And Dr. Alastair Garfield, our Chief Scientific Officer; and Hunter Smith, our CFO, are available to answer questions on this call as well.
Before we get started, I would like to remind everyone that these statements we make on this conference call will include forward-looking statements. Actual events or results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements as a result of various risks, uncertainties and other factors, including those set forth in the risk factors in our Risk Factors section of our SEC filings. In addition, any forward-looking statement made on this call represents our views only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent date. Except as required by law, we specifically disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.
With that, I'll turn the call over to David.
Thank you, Dave, and thank you all for joining this afternoon. It's been a long road, ending not exactly where we had hoped, missing the primary endpoint in all 4 cohorts, but with some positive elements, which will position us well going forward. As expected, we saw positive signals in the POMC Het cohort. Somewhat unexpectedly, the SH2B1 cohort was negative. And surprisingly, we did see a clear signal in the SRC1 cohort. We will look at each of these in greater detail.
We continue to look forward to our March 20 PDUFA date, and I will have no further comments about that on today's call. In addition to the signals in the POMC and SRC1 cohorts, we have learned more about each of these genes, which will position us to design a better study going forward. We know patients with impaired signaling through the pathway have a difficult time losing weight with diet and exercise, and we have not seen a clear placebo effect in any of our trials. The stronger placebo response in some of the cohorts is consistent with a larger number of patients having benign variant and a pathophysiology more consistent with general obesity.
Finally, this trial suffered from an exceptionally high dropout rate, which becomes extremely challenging when you perform the conservative multiple imputation analysis on the primary endpoint. Slide 6 shows the top line data. The values are the least square mean difference between setmelanotide and placebo for the modified intent-to-treat analysis using multiple imputation for the missing data points. As you can see from the p-values, we missed the primary endpoint analysis for each of the 4 genes.
Now before we dig more deeply into the data, let's briefly revisit how we got here, beginning on Slide 7 with a familiar cartoon of the MC4R pathway. Our approach to identifying genetic populations likely to respond to setmelanotide was always a holistic process based on evolving scientific and clinical data that supported MC4R pathway dysfunction as a contributor to obesity in these patients. The genes under investigation in our EMANATE study all impact POMC neuron function and are predicted to reduce alpha-MSH, suggesting that replacement with setmelanotide would be effective in reestablishing pathway function and reducing body weight. The success of this approach is predicated on understanding that the gene variants we enrolled do indeed compromise MC4R pathway function.
As shown on Slide 8, this variant classification process is a significant challenge for both the medical genetics field and Rhythm in no small part due to the fact that scientific understanding of variants is always evolving, leading to a dynamic classification process. For our POMC, PCSK1 and LEPR heterozygous cohorts, we had a good understanding of our enrolled variants that enable more accurate patient enrollment, which as you will see, is borne out in our genetically confirmed cohort analyses.
By comparison, much less was known about the SRC1 and SH2B1 cohorts where almost all variants are classified as VUS, variants of unknown significance. As a reminder, on average, only 20% of VUS variants end up being classified as P, pathogenic or likely pathogenic. The gray box in the upper right corner shows which variant classifications were enrolled in each cohort. For POMC, PCSK1 and LEPR Hets, we enrolled pathogenic, likely pathogenic and suspected pathogenic variants, the latter representing variants still classified as VUS, but the data is increasingly pointing towards that variant being pathogenic. For SRC1, all patients were VUS, whereas the SH2B1 gene had a mix with the 16P11 deletion patients by definition, having loss of function of the gene.
Slide 9 shows the number of patients enrolled in each cohort, which is noteworthy for the small number of patients in the leptin receptor Het cohort. This is an extremely rare indication, and we were not able to enroll fully. The trial design was a standard double-blind, placebo-controlled trial randomized 1:1 with a primary endpoint of change in BMI at 52 weeks.
Slide 10 shows the demographics, which were similar across cohorts. On average, patients in each group suffered with severe obesity with BMI values greater than 40. The adverse event profile as shown on Slide 11 is similar to other trials run with setmelanotide with injection site reactions, GI complaints and hyperpigmentation being most common.
Slide 12 shows the dropout rate with an average 40% to 60% of patients discontinuing with the exception of the LEPR Het group with a very small number of patients, the dropout rate was similar between treated and placebo patients.
Slide 13 shows the reasons for discontinuations, aggregating patients across all 4 studies. Patient decision was the most common reason for patients on placebo and adverse events were the most common reason for patients on setmelanotide. Now beginning with the POMC Hets cohort on Slide 15, let's dig into the clinical data. As you might expect, we have looked at the data several ways. We missed on the primary endpoint in the modified intent-to-treat population using the conservative multiple imputation method required by regulatory authorities where the imputed data is informed by the opposite arm. Specifically, a patient who discontinues in the setmelanotide arm at whatever time point will be considered as though their outcome at week 52 was the same as the placebo group.
On Slide 15, we show a post-hoc analysis using the last observation carried forward methodology where the last value a patient has prior to discontinuing is used for the final analysis. This showed a highly statistically significant difference of 5.53% for the same modified intent-to-treat population.
Moving to Slide 16. As noted in the intro, we have utilized an in-vitro assay to assess loss of function for each of the variants in the POMC and LEPR genes. This allowed us to classify variants as pathogenic, likely pathogenic and suspected pathogenic. The study protocol included reconfirming the genetic eligibility and variant classification for each patient in order to conduct a prespecified analysis for genetically confirmed patients. That reconfirmation resulted in a net 11 patients being removed for not having that genetic confirmation. On Slide 16, we show using the last observation carryforward methodology in the genetically confirmed cohort, a statistically significant difference of 6.8%.
Slide 17. Finally, using the rationale that a response to setmelanotide, a highly specific peptide of the MC4R receptor provides further evidence that the MC4R pathway is central to that patient's disease, we looked at those genetically confirmed patients who completed the study. This additional post-hoc analysis showed a highly statistically significant lease square mean difference of 9.7%.
The short story for the LEPR Het cohort is summarized on Slide 19. These patients were hard -- rare and hard to recruit. A small number of patients recruited had one variant, which on reanalysis was down classified by our central lab. We do not anticipate doing further work on this patient population.
The SRC1 cohort, as we have highlighted multiple times, by virtue of the fact that all variants enrolled were classified as VUS had a low probability of success. Despite that, the primary endpoint modified intent-to-treat analysis with multiple imputation for the almost 60% of patients who discontinued from this cohort was a least square mean value of minus 4% and showed the strongest trend towards significance with a p-value of equal to 0.12.
On Slide 21, in the same post-hoc analysis we performed for the POMC Het patients using the last observation carried forward methodology, we saw a highly statistically significant lease square mean difference of 6.24%.
On Slide 22, we looked at the post-hoc analysis of genetically confirmed patients who completed the study where we saw a statistically significant difference of 8%.
Finally, on Slide 23, to give you an example of the process by which we can work to better understand loss of function and the ability of patients with a true loss of function variant to respond to treatment, we examined those patients who had a variant in the critical binding domain for the protein for the SRC1 protein. 19 patients carried this variant with 12 of the 19 completing the trial. In those 12 patients, the placebo-adjusted difference was 12.7%.
The most disappointing cohort was SH2B1/16p11. We had hypothesized that the 16p11 deletion patients who, by definition, would have loss of function of the SH2B1 gene, which is embedded in the deleted region, should respond. The modified intent to treat showed no effect on average. And when we look at the genetically confirmed completer analysis shown on Slide 25, the difference was only 3% and not statistically significant.
A further analysis looking only at the known loss of function 16p11 patients on Slide 26 similarly showed only a modest effect, which did not reach statistical significance. In summary, we are disappointed by the top line results, but encouraged by the findings in the POMC Hets and SRC1 cohorts. We will continue to interrogate these and other DAYBREAK genes from our Phase II study to improve our ability to determine loss of function variants.
Our priorities going forward for our next-generation therapies will be the HO studies, the Prader-Willi studies, BBS studies and patients with confirmed loss of function genetic variants. Patients with genetically impaired signaling through the MC4 pathway represent a significant unmet medical need and addressing that need is one of the 3 key pillars of Rhythm's strategy. The other 2, as you know, are anatomic abnormalities of the hypothalamus, which acquired HO is perhaps best known, and we look forward to the upcoming PDUFA date. The third pillar is Prader-Willi syndrome, a genetic disease but with unique challenges and representing a large unmet need.
I want to close by thanking the patients, their families and our clinical investigators and their teams. This trial was not easy. It was statistically negative, but not negative in terms of the learnings, which will move us closer to developing a meaningful treatment for these diseases. And with that, we can open it up for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Phil Nadeau with TD Cowen.
2. Question Answer
Just a question on next steps to dive in a little bit further. It seems like the imputation analyses that you did computing what placebo would have done are very conservative and maybe not appropriate for a study with such a high dropout rate. So I guess first part of the question is, why wasn't that the imputation method that was chosen? And then second, on next steps, it sounds like you're not going to take the data to the FDA to see if like the completer analysis or LOCF could support a filing. Is that fair?
Yes. Taking the second part of the question, that's correct. We're not going to file on any of these. So I think the way we're looking at this data, if it was robustly positive, we would, of course, as we've said, taken that to the regulators, FDA. Your question about whether they would accept a different approach, no. I think there -- across all of our programs, they've used the same, call it, conservative, they would call it standard multiple imputation analysis. We use it for HO. If we've done a less observation carried forward even in that trial with a much smaller dropout rate, we would have had a slightly better result. So it is a more favorable way of looking at that.
The value in doing it that way is to help us internally. I think our goal was to try to use this data to understand does it work in that gene or not. I think we're exiting this saying, I still think it works on Leptin Receptor Hets, to be honest. That's so rare that's -- and it was challenging -- so challenging to recruit. I think it's unlikely, as I indicated in my comments, that we would do more work. SH2B1, that was pretty negative. It's not 100% negative, but I think we're not going to rush there to do additional work. Whereas for the POMC Hets and the SRC1, I think we will. It won't be the highest priority coming out of the list of things that I put forward there, but we will get to that. So does that answer your question, Phil?
Our next question comes from Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
I just wanted to ask about the potential of looking at these same basket indications for your next-gen assets. Based on what you saw for setmelanotide, does that reduce your interest in looking at the ones that didn't work for the follow-on compound? And if not, can you give us a sense of how you're thinking about when you might try to look at the next-gen compounds in these indications?
Yes. Thanks for allowing me to clarify that. Yes, all additional work, future work will be done with the next gen. So we would not go back and run another trial with setmelanotide in these. I think this data is relevant in the regulatory conversation, and we know that, that it's providing with the subsequent -- some post-hoc, some not post-hoc, but the subsequent analysis, I think, give us reasonable confidence, and I think regulators would look at this as supportive evidence for the role of MC4R in these indications, and then we need to run a positive trial with one of the next gen, which we would do.
As I mentioned in my response to Phil, we -- our initial priorities, not surprisingly, are going to be to run the HO studies, definitely getting Prader-Willi up and running as quickly as we can. We want to have the next-gen run in BBS so that we check the boxes on our approved indications and get those taken care of. And then we'll be looking at the additional genes, and we'll be weighing both what we've learned here and also what we know from what we learned in our DAYBREAK studies, and we'll begin to pick and there's probably 5 plus or minus genes across this group, which would be of the highest priority.
Our next question comes from Derek Archila with Wells Fargo.
Just wondering if the level of discontinuations you saw in the trial were expected. And maybe just remind us how these populations are different from Bardet-Biedl and HO in terms of sensitivity to adverse events seen with setmelanotide.
Yes, it's a good question. I think there's more for us to learn here about exact reasons why. But just to highlight a few things. Let's take Bardet-Biedl, where we had a 20-plus percent discontinuation rate. Those patients, many of them had caregivers who are working with them. So there were other support structures around them, which made it easier for them to stay in a trial. We also had a shorter placebo period.
HO in contrast was a full year study. Most probably also had supportive structures around them to a higher degree than this population, but they also were seeing a larger benefit. And so motivation to stay on there might have been greater. I think this trial, we started running back in 2022. It's been going for a long time. We are running against the emergence of GLP-1s, for example. And so I think there's a lot of patients in this study who might have been looking over the fence at other things they could be taking, if they weren't seeing a dramatic response and being in a trial like this has a pretty significant burden in terms of commitments and the number of tests that need to be done. So there's no one answer, but the aggregation of things, timing, level of burden, not the most dramatic response on average, I think, left us where we are with a high discount rate.
Our next question comes from Seamus Fernandez with Guggenheim Securities.
This is Ed Lang on for Seamus. Just following up on some of the discontinuation rates. Any more details you can provide on specific AEs or subject decision that comprise the majority of dropouts versus some of the expectations? And really just curious potential to mitigate with the next-gen or [indiscernible] assets. I'm wondering if this is more Sentinel related or whether there's other optimizations that can be done.
Second, just curious in terms of prioritization of next-gen assets here, which ones you may think could be more appropriate? And then third, is there an opportunity to further exploit dose for patients reaching max dose of Sentinel?
Okay. You're breaking the one-question rule there. Let's see what we can do here. So I think in terms of discounts, I don't -- the split, as we said, the placebo group was basically patient choice, and that's everything, mostly the list that I ran through. I think those in the set group had adverse events. The adverse event profile, again, as highlighted, is exactly what we've seen in the other trials where we didn't have that kind of discount rate. So I think you couple an adverse event with maybe not getting the result that they had expected, whatever, it's invariably a combination of factors for them.
Have you run a better trial, I think the focus on running a better trial will be taking what we've learned from this, and we have learned and there's stuff we're in the process of learning today, to be honest with you, about how to better identify patients with true loss of function. So you take that into the next trial, which says we want to minimize the number of patients who don't have true loss of function. They're not going to benefit. And if you can truly be more specific about the true loss of function, again, they'll run a better trial. And then it's just execution on the trial. And there are things that we just didn't execute on well, either as a company or as a CRO, we're working with. And so those are learnings.
Again, Rhythm, we've matured a bit as a company. And so I think we can just run a better trial. But the bigger factor will be getting the right patients in, of course. Your question about higher doses, I don't think -- that's an interesting question. When we come to the next-gen, I mean, they're not apples-to-apples in terms of dosing. So what is the dose for the weekly and what is the dose for the daily oral, we'll figure that out. But I think for any population we're in, we're always asking the question of, are we in the right dosing range and for Set, I think somewhat luckily, for the most part, we have been. We'll continue to ask that question going forward.
Our next question comes from Corinne Johnson with Goldman Sachs.
Maybe you could talk a little bit to your last point about the trade-offs between getting more specific on identifying the patients that would respond best to the therapy versus the pace of enrollment and finding those patients? And related to that, how has the genetic testing progressed, if at all, since you started EMANATE that you could kind of take advantage of in a future iteration of this program?
Yes. So that -- I would take the trade-offs part of it. As you know, Corinne, my background in rare diseases have really been shaped by I think this is true across all medicines. It certainly works or all diseases certainly works in rare diseases. You want to get responders. And the more diluted you are by patients who don't respond, even though you can feel good about a "higher faster rate of enrollment, you're not serving anybody and you end up in a place where we are today probably with a nonsignificant result, and we probably could have done better if we've been able to better identify the patients. So that's going to be the highest priority.
I think we have insights into that, certainly for the POMC Hets and for the SRC1 that will allow us to be better at that. The genetic testing is a key part of the genetic strategy. And I think many of you have heard us talk about this, which is Rhythm's goal is not to be a testing company, but we recognize in a rare disease space, the company often has to provide the testing. We do that today. We've learned a lot from that.
Our goal ultimately, as we get more genetically driven diseases approved, then the value of testing goes up. And so you're running a panel. And if you're looking for one, your hit rate off the panel will be low. If you have 5 potential genes on that panel, which might translate to responding to therapy, then by definition, you'll have a higher hit rate and you're likely to test more. So there's a virtuous circle that we'll be entering into as we begin to develop this further.
And then ultimately, back to us not being a testing company, as obesity evolves here, 2 things -- multiple things will happen. But one of the things that's going to happen is as GLP-1 use becomes broader, it's not everything, it's a hammer and everything is a nail. That's no longer true. And increasingly, people will recognize GLP-1 failures, how do they work them up. One of the obvious things you can do is test those patients for their genetics. And so these things are going to come together and Rhythm and the MC4R pathway diseases are going to surface, I think, in that kind of dynamic. So did I answer your question?
Our next question comes from Mike Ulz with Morgan Stanley.
This is [indiscernible] on for Mike. Due to the rare nature of these genes, is there anything that you can do to accelerate enrollment for future next-gen trials? And then how much did hyperpigmentation contribute to discontinuations?
Yes. And the second part, I don't know -- that's probably in the data set. I don't know it today. I'll just answer that by saying, overall of our experience, hyperpigmentation is about 5% of patients who discontinue about 5% of it is due to the hyperpigmentation. I would guess it's probably similar here in terms of overall percentage.
What can we do to accelerate enrollment? That's just increasing testing and increasing awareness. And like I said, I really think this dynamic of patients who fail to respond to GLP-1s, that world is exponentially growing. And so the pool of patients who have a history of early onset obesity, who failed to respond to a GLP-1, they're going to be prime candidates to be tested.
And one of the things about the VUS challenges that we talked about, which is, okay, you got tested, but your results show that you have a VUS. I don't know what to do with that. If you are an individual who's failed a GLP-1, had a history of early onset obesity and certainly, if you had hyperphagia, the probability that your VUS is pathogenic is higher than if you're just a random individual with a variant in that gene. So I think these are things that will increasingly make the next trial easier to run and to recruit into.
Our next question comes from John Wolleben with Citizens.
Just wondering if you could talk a little bit more when you say additional work with the next-gen, what that could look like? Would they be smaller Phase II studies or a chance for a Phase II/III pivotal program?
Yes. So here's one. So the first thing I want you to take away is the priorities for Rhythm right now are these more important from a company strategic standpoint, trials, the Prader-Willi [indiscernible] and BBS, as I indicated. On the genetic side of the equation, some of -- there's some investigator-initiated work going on now. You could imagine, and we are looking at it, that some of the syndromes where, by definition, if you have a syndrome, we know you have loss of function to the extent that we have some insight into that through early proof of concept, then we might run a study there, and we would run study, call it a 2, 3, whatever. But I think -- and the dosing for the most part, when we say 2, 3, you're sort of -- the 2 part is trying to figure out your dosing and the like. We'd run 1 trial and however, we would have to design it. But we -- for each of these genetic, it would be only one trial. And to the extent we go back to POMC Het, for example, or SRC1, this data, as I said earlier, would be supportive in that regulatory filing in terms of the role of MC4R pathway, and we would be enrolling patients with a slightly narrower scope, but with a higher probability of having loss of function in their gene.
Our next question comes from Lisa Walter with RBC.
It sounds like the plan is to explore development path forward with the next-gen MC4R agonist. But I'm wondering what the strategy might be to ensure fewer placebo arm discontinuations going forward even with these next-gen assets. Any color here would be helpful.
Yes. I mean that's a challenge. I think -- so aside from just supporting patients in any trial, which is what a well-run trial does, you just try to get patients to hang in there. I think we did a really good job in our HO study and those patients hung in there. One of the things that helps placebo patients stay in is, a, a belief that they don't have other good options. So I'm a GLP-1 failure, nothing else has worked. This is my hope. And I know that when I finish the trial, then I have a shot, I will get the drug. So that's the biggest thing. And then secondly, back to expectations of having a reasonable response. So you manage placebo groups by having the reward at the end be meaningful to them in addition to the just general support.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn it back to David Meeker for closing remarks.
Okay. Well, thanks, everybody, for tuning in on short notice here. back to where I started. I'm disappointed in this. But actually, this is a solid building block going forward. And I think you've heard me speak before, and you'll hear me speak again. I think I'm pretty excited about where Rhythm is and all the things we have coming down the pike here. So we look forward to our next conversation. Thanks.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect you lines.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call.
[Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Dave Connolly. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Tanya. I'm David Connolly here at Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. For those of you participating on the conference call, our slides can be accessed and controlled by going to the Investors section of our website, ir.rhythmtx.com. This morning, we issued a press release that provides the fourth quarter 2025 and full year 2025 financial results and a business update, and that press release is also available on our website.
Our agenda is listed on Slide 2. On the call today are David Meeker, our Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President; Jennifer Lee, Executive Vice President, Head of North America; Hunter Smith, Chief Financial Officer; and Yann Mazabraud, Executive Vice President, Head of International is on the line joining us from Europe.
On Slide 3, I'll remind you that this call contains remarks concerning future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in our most recent annual or quarterly reports on file with the SEC.
In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent dates. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements. With that, I'll turn the call over to David Meeker, who will begin on Slide 5.
Thank you, David. Good morning and thank you all for joining. We preannounced our revenue for the fourth quarter, highlighting the continued strong performance by our commercial teams. The BBS opportunity continues to grow at a steady rate, both in the United States and ex-US markets.
Jennifer's North American team, which was fully hired and in place at the start of the fourth quarter, continues to take full advantage of the PDUFA extension to prepare for our expected launch. Our growing early access experience with HO in Europe reinforces our belief in this opportunity, as Yann will highlight.
I'm pleased to report we had our end of Phase 2 meeting with the FDA for the Bivamelagon HO study. We were able to share the 9-month data, which included a minimum of 6 months on drug for the original placebo patients. I will share these new data that show persistent BMI reductions and consistent safety and tolerability over the next few slides. Our goal will be to present the data, including the full 52-week data at a medical meeting midyear.
Slide 6 is to remind you of the original Bivamelagon Phase 2 design. Patients were randomized to either placebo or 1 of 3 dosing cohorts for a period of 14 weeks. Last July, we announced positive top line results at 14 weeks with patients in the 400 and 600-milligram arms achieving a mean BMI reduction of 7.7% and 9.3%, respectively.
Similar BMI reductions as achieved by setmelanotide at the same time point. At the end of 14 weeks, the study remained blinded and all patients were then redose escalated to preserve the blind from 200 milligrams to the target dose of 600 milligrams for the balance of the open-label extension period.
Slide 7 shows the disposition of the 28 patients. As a reminder, 1 patient discontinued after the first visit due to rectal bleeding, judged unrelated to study drug. One 64-year-old male who had lost 14.5% at 14 weeks in the 600-milligram cohort chose not to continue into the open-label for personal reasons. Since then, one patient has stopped taking the drug but remains in the trial as a retained dropout. In summary, 26 of 28 patients remain active in the trial, including retained dropout patients, so 25 out of 28 remain on active drug.
The next 4 slides show individual patient data at 40 weeks. Slide 8 shows the placebo patients whose baseline BMI was calculated, in this slide, whose baseline BMI was calculated from their 14-week clinic visit when they converted to active drug. With the exception of the 12-year-old female, who we believe was not compliant, all patients showed a response to drug after 14 weeks, which included the up-titration period with further deepening at 26 weeks, the week 40 visit. And of note, 1 patient did not have a 40-week visit, but she remains in the trial.
Similarly, for the original 200-milligram cohort on Slide 9, all patients with the exception of the retained dropout patient who is actively gaining weight and the patient who we believe is not compliant have had a response at 28 weeks and further deepening at 40 weeks. The modest response on 200 milligrams alone at 14 weeks does suggest that this dose is probably subtherapeutic for many patients.
Slides 10 and 11 show the data for the original 400 and 600-milligram cohorts. With the exception of the 2 patients who are not fully compliant, one each in the original 400 and 600-milligram cohorts, all patients have had a good response to drug with 11 of 14 patients decreasing by 10% or more.
The mean BMI decrease for the 400-milligram cohort at 40 weeks, including the noncompliant patient was 10.8% and the mean BMI decrease for the 600-milligram cohort, including the noncompliant patient who gained 7.5% and the patient who dropped out at 14 weeks was 14.3%.
Of note, the setmelanotide Phase 3 data at the 40-week time point in patients not on a concomitant GLP-1 from our Phase 3 study was 15%. With regard to safety, the drug is better tolerated when taken with a small amount of food. The side effect profile continues to mimic what we see with setmelanotide. The nausea and vomiting tends to occur early and then patients tolerize. The episodes of diarrhea tend to be a little more sporadic or mild in severity and no patients have discontinued because of diarrhea.
In this trial, the compliance issues have been predominantly in the younger teenagers who we believe have struggled with the size of the pills. As we have indicated, we will have an easier to swallow single pill formulation going forward for each of 200-, 400-, and 600- milligram doses, and we will have a chewable tablet for younger patients.
Next steps for this program will include bioequivalent studies comparing the new and old formulations, a drug-drug interaction study and a hepatic impairment study. We expect to have the majority of this work completed in drug supply for Phase 3 studies by the end of the year with the goal of initiating the Phase 3 HO study by year-end 2026.
I would characterize our FDA meeting as highly constructive on multiple fronts. They confirmed that pivotal is ready to move to Phase 3. As many of you know, we were hoping, given the prior setmelanotide data and the placebo cohort data that we could negotiate a 6-month double-blind period and a smaller number of subjects given the effect of the drug. They were confirmed that with a new chemical entity, a full 12-month double-blind randomized controlled trial would be required as well as a larger number of patients to build up the safety database. We are awaiting the final minutes from that meeting but expect that number to be closer to the full 142 patients studied in our setmelanotide trial.
Our plan will be to run this trial largely in countries where setmelanotide will not be available for acquired HO in the near future, which should facilitate enrollment. There was no discussion of setmelanotide in the upcoming PDUFA date, but the FDA is communicating with us on the expected timeline, and we have received the first feedback on the label. I'm not going to make further comments today on that feedback as it is preliminary and pending the final submission of data on all 142 patients, which will be incorporated into the label.
As shown on Slide 13, we have multiple upcoming milestones with PDUFA for HO, top line data from our Japanese HO cohort and the EMANATE readout all coming in March. For EMANATE, we are working to get the top line data with the goal of releasing that data by the end of March. The PWS trial continues on track to get to the full 6-month data by midyear. At our December release, we indicated that 1 patient had discontinued the trial. Since then, we've had no further dropouts with all remaining 17 patients continuing on treatment.
We have taken no further data cuts and have no further patient updates to provide on this call. The 718 weekly formulation continues to enroll in HO, and we are on track to have initial 3-month data by midyear.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Jennifer.
Thank you, David. Starting with BBS, we had another steady quarter of growth in prescriptions as our teams continue to focus on educating healthcare providers to expedite patient diagnosis and working with payers to secure approval for reimbursement.
Importantly, patients are benefiting from IMCIVREE therapy as it is the only approved therapy that targets the root cause of rare MC4R pathway diseases like BBS. We continue to be inspired by patient success stories. For example, one adult male patient with BBS, who is a resident of an assisted living facility had such severe hyperphagia and preoccupation with food that he could not participate in group outings.
After 6 months on IMCIVREE therapy, he not only lost 40 pounds, but his hyperphagia had quieted down meaningfully, and now he's able to socialize with others and participate in group activities.
Now on Slide 15. Our teams are continuing to prepare for the acquired hypothalamic obesity launch, pending regulatory approval and our March 20 PDUFA goal date.
Acquired HO is a distinct post-injury neuroendocrine disease characterized by impairment of the MC4R pathway leading to hyperphagia and accelerated and sustained weight gain. With an estimated prevalence of 10,000 in the United States, acquired HO represents a significant opportunity for Rhythm to expand the reach of IMCIVREE and the benefit it brings to patients.
If approved, IMCIVREE would be the first therapy for these patients that currently have no approved treatment option. As we've discussed previously, we expanded our sales force from 16 to 42, all highly experienced launching new therapies in rare diseases. With the extra time ahead of launch, our engagement efforts have continued. Claims data helped us identify healthcare providers who we believe are caring for patients with acquired HO.
Our HCP engagement has been focused on disease awareness to help drive suspected cases to formalize diagnoses of acquired HO. We already have engaged with HCPs who care for more than 2,000 patients diagnosed with or suspected to have acquired HO. Let me outline an example of the ongoing dialogue around patients suspected to have HO.
Our team engaged with an endocrinologist who treat several patients with sustained hypothalamic injury. During a meeting with a field team member who outlined that injury in the hypothalamus could cause impairment of the MC4R pathway, leading to acquired hypothalamic obesity, the physician noted that one patient in particular stood out. This patient experienced severe weight gain following treatment of a brain tumor, subsequently underwent gastric bypass surgery and later initiated GLP-1 therapy with minimal benefit.
Now with a clear understanding of the clinical diagnosis of acquired hypothalamic obesity and appropriate screening criteria, this physician indicated that he suspects additional patients may have acquired HO, and he'll bring them back for evaluation and diagnosis confirmation.
Moving on to the next slide. We have also learned more about the management of aHO patients through our Territory Managers' disease education efforts. In addition to the ongoing engagement of our MSL or Medical Science Liaison team, we have identified approximately 40 priority medical centers throughout the nation based on their significant concentration of aHO patients. Approximately 1/3 of the potential aHO patients who we have identified via claims data are managed within these centers. The majority of these have pituitary centers where hypothalamic disorders are managed by multidisciplinary teams.
While there are similarities within these organizations relating to which specialty is brought in to manage the tumor and treatment as well as the hormonal dysfunctions associated with the procedure, there is variability in terms of who manages aHO.
In one center, the endocrinologists involved in the treatment of the hormonal dysfunctions would also take on the responsibility to treat the weight gain. In another center, these patients' hormonal dysfunctions would be managed by the endocrinologists, but they would be sent to the community PCP or obesity specialists to be treated for their weight gain.
Understanding these differences allows us to better pinpoint who would potentially be the diagnoser of aHO versus the obesity treater and future potential prescriber of IMCIVREE if approved for aHO. Our team continues their HCP engagement and identification of patients who would benefit from IMCIVREE once approved.
Now on to my last slide. Beyond HCP engagement, we also continue to engage with payers to secure access for patients as soon as possible following approval. Our education and engagement around BBS established a robust base for securing access for aHO as payers have come to recognize the differentiation of MC4R pathway diseases and the value that IMCIVREE offers patients. For acquired hypothalamic obesity, payer coverage following approval, our expectation is for policy updates to occur within 3 to 9 months.
We are excited by the progress we have made and are ready for launch pending approval in acquired hypothalamic obesity.
Now, let me turn it over to Yann.
Thank you, Jennifer. I will begin on Slide 19. We had a strong year in 2025 as our international organization has grown to more than 100 employees across 13 countries. With the ongoing BBS and POMC/LEPR sales and the reimbursed Early-access programs for acquired hypothalamic obesity in France and Italy, IMCIVREE is now available in more than 25 countries outside the United States, including 8 countries newly added during the year.
Our growth in 2025 was driven by sales in countries with established access and new countries coming online. Our team engages with key experts across Europe to advance education and the understanding of rare MC4R pathway diseases. In 2025, 64 abstracts, both originals and encores were accepted for posters or oral presentations at 12 international and national scientific congresses.
Next slide. Here, I highlight one recent publication entitled Early-onset of Obesity Model, Impact of Early-onset Obesity on Comorbidity Risk and Life expectancy, which was very recently published in Obesity facts, the European Journal of Obesity. This peer-reviewed Early-onset obesity disease model, which we developed in collaboration with leading European experts, integrates data from more than 140 publications to quantify how the age of onset, the severity, and the duration of obesity negatively affect the risk of comorbidities, the health outcomes, and the life expectancy.
This reinforces that Early-onset Obesity is a serious progressive disease and stresses the urgent need for early intervention. These findings supports rent focus on early diagnosis and treatment of obesity driven by impairment of the MC4R pathway, where addressing the underlying cause earlier has the potential to reduce long-term disease burden and create meaningful benefit for patients, families and healthcare systems.
Next slide, Slide 21. Now moving to acquired hypothalamic obesity. We are planning for multiple opportunities in Europe and Japan with a higher per capita prevalence of acquired HO than the United States and Europe and an estimated population of 5,000 to 8,000 patients, Japan represents a meaningful long-term opportunity for our MC4R agonist franchise.
We continue to make significant progress ahead of our anticipated Japanese launch, establishing a strong leadership team focused on engaging with experts and healthcare centers. Earlier this month, our team had a very positive in-person meeting with the Japanese PMDA. And as David said, we anticipate top line data from the Phase 3 cohort of Japanese patients in March.
In Europe, our EMA submission for HO is under review. We anticipate a CHMP opinion in Q2 and the EU marketing authorization in the second half of 2026. The steady growth in our reimbursed early access programs for HO in France and Italy is a very positive indicator for our success in Europe and help establish foundational relationships with expert physicians and local authorities.
The French regulatory authorities renewed this month the authorization for the IMCIVREE AP1 reimbursed early-access program, which clearly illustrates the benefit patients are receiving as part of this program and the high unmet need. Pending marketing authorization from the EMA in the second half of 2026, we will begin establish reimbursement for acquired HO in Europe on a country-by-country basis as we have done before for POMC and LEPR, and BBS.
With that, I will turn over to Hunter.
Thank you, Yann.
2025 proved to be a strong year with solid growth in global sales of IMCIVREE and multiple value-driving milestones achieved across our portfolio of MC4R agonists. We enter 2026 well capitalized with more promising potential catalysts ahead.
I'll begin on Slide 23 and walk you through our results for the fourth quarter, which was another solid quarter as well as the full year revenue, both of which we preannounced in January.
Revenues from sales of IMCIVREE were $57.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2025, representing a quarter-over-quarter increase of 12% and $194.8 million for the full year, an increase of approximately 50% from 2024. On a sequential quarterly basis, revenue growth was driven by an increase of approximately 10% in the number of patients on reimbursed therapy globally.
In the fourth quarter of 2025, $39 million or 68% of product revenue was generated in the United States and $18.3 million or 32% of product revenue was generated outside the United States.
On Slide 24 is the walk from the $51.3 million in global sales in Q3 to the $57.3 million in Q4. In the fourth quarter, the volume of vials shipped to our specialty pharmacy in the United States was approximately $1.7 million greater than the vials shipped, than the vials dispensed to patients. This compares to an excess of vials shipped over dispense of $3 million in Q3 2025. The net effect produced a negative $1.3 million inventory swing from Q3 to Q4.
For the second consecutive quarter, inventory days on hand at the specialty pharmacy increased ending approximately 20 days versus a normalized level of around 10 to 15 days. As was the case with year-end 2024 and as is common across our industry, this type of growth in days on hand represents a potential pull forward of revenue from the quarter of actual patient demand and can, with all other things being equal, have a dampening effect on the first quarter of the year.
US revenue grew by $2.1 million quarter-over-quarter due to increases in product dispensed to patients. ex-US revenues increased $5.2 million or 40% versus the third quarter of 2025. The sequential increase was largely due to the negative impact on the third quarter of a onetime $3.2 million charge related to the final agreement with France on the reimbursed price for IMCIVREE for the treatment of BBS, POMC and LEPR deficiency.
On Slide 25 is the financial snapshot of year-over-year performance as well as the fourth quarter 2025 results compared to the fourth quarter of 2024. Net product revenues in Q4 2025 increased by $15.4 million or 37% over Q4 2024. Gross to net for US sales was approximately 84.6%, generally in line with the gross to net percentage from previous quarters.
Cost of goods sold this quarter was 8.5% of product revenue and was mostly attributable to cost of materials and our royalty payment on setmelanotide due to Ipsen. COGS as a percentage of product revenue was down slightly this quarter based on an increase in finished goods inventory. We generally expect cost of goods sold to be between 10% and 12% of net product revenue with variation due to how our inventory balances change and the corresponding capitalization of labor and overhead costs as was the case in Q4.
Research & Development expenses were $42 million for Q4 compared to $41.2 million in the same quarter last year. Sequentially, R&D expenses decreased by approximately $4 million compared to the third quarter of 2025. More than half of that decrease was due to the transition of our area development managers in the United States to sales reps or territory managers, moving their salaries and stock compensation to SG&A effective October 1.
Costs in the fourth quarter from our Phase 3 HO trial with setmelanotide and our Phase 2 trial with Bivamelagon decreased from the third quarter. SG&A expenses were $57.5 million for Q4 2025 as compared to $38.1 million in Q4 last year. Sequentially, SG&A expenses increased by $5.1 million or approximately 10% compared to the third quarter of 2025. Increased SG&A spend from Q3 to Q4 was due to increased headcount costs and professional fees associated with the anticipated launch in acquired hypothalamic obesity, including the transfer of the field force described previously.
For Q4 2025, weighted average common shares outstanding were approximately 67 million. Our GAAP EPS for the fourth quarter of 2025 was a net loss per basic and diluted share of $0.73, which includes $0.02 per share from $1.3 million of accrued dividends on convertible preferred stock.
Cash used in operations was approximately $25 million in the fourth quarter and $116 million for the full year. We ended 2025 with approximately $389 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, which we expect to be sufficient to fund planned operations for at least 24 months.
On Slide 26, a few additional items of note. First, our GAAP operating expenses for 2025 totaled $362.3 million. That included $66.8 million in stock-based compensation. Non-GAAP operating expenses for the year were $295.5 million. This came in at the lower end of the range that we guided for at this time last year.
Our common share count is 68,285,039 shares as of February 24. This number includes 729,164 shares of common stock, which were converted from preferred shares since the end of the third quarter. Recall, we raised $150 million in gross cash proceeds through the issuance of convertible preferred shares in April 2024.
Following this partial conversion, there are 2,395,831 potential common shares that could be converted from the remaining preferred shares. The recent conversions represented almost 25% of the initial preferred shares, hence reducing our liability of dividends payable to preferred shareholders.
Lastly, on Slide 27, we are offering annual guidance on non-GAAP operating expenses. For 2026, we anticipate approximately $385 million to $415 million, which includes non-GAAP R&D expenses of $197 million to $213 million and non-GAAP SG&A expenses of $188 million to $202 million.
The overall increase in non-GAAP operating expenses for 2026 of approximately $104.5 million at the midpoint, which is about 35% over 2025 is the result of the success of our clinical programs in 2025 and represents future investments derived at driving long-term growth and increasing shareholder value. There are 3 primary drivers of the growth in anticipated 2026 spending.
First, approximately 30% of the year-over-year increase will come from increased spending on formulation development, manufacturing and clinical supply of our next-generation MC4R agonist, Bivamelagon and RM-718 as we continue to move both compounds through proof-of-concept studies and hopefully registrational studies in the coming years.
Second, approximately 25% of the increase will be on US commercial operations in support of the HO launch.
Third, approximately 15% of the increase will be to build out Rhythm's operations in Japan in anticipation of a potential approval in HO.
Overall, this forecasted year-over-year growth in operating expenses is the product of the last few years clinical, regulatory and commercial success and represents a meaningful opportunity to invest in Rhythm's long-term potential to serve patients with MC4R pathway diseases.
With that, I'll hand the call back over to David. Thank you.
Thank you, Hunter. And Tanya, we can open it up for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question will be coming from Derek Archila of Wells Fargo.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on all the progress here. David, just first on Bivamelagon's Phase 3, your comments suggest that this will largely look like setmelanotide Phase 3. So in terms of sample size and duration, but are there any changes to enrollment criteria that you would think of or other features of the trial that you can comment on?
No. I mean those are the principal things that we were looking to get feedback on. I think to your point, the trial will largely mimic our Phase 3. We continue to look at our patient reported outcome measures. Are there other things we can do to get better and better at, for example, understanding hyperphagia/hunger. Some of these patient-reported outcome tools have not been validated, et cetera. So that's an area which as a company, we might modify, but we didn't get specific feedback from the FDA.
Got it. And then maybe just a follow-up. On the guidelines potentially for HO that could be implemented or kind of evolve over time, I guess, specifically for postsurgical patients where it seems like physicians want to intervene early prior to that significant weight gain. But just any comments on how that might evolve over time and what you're hearing?
Yes. I mean it's a good question. We've had a 6 months post-surgery as an entry criteria to make sure that patients were stable on their hormones. That's very much a developmental issue because you don't know everything and you want to have things as, or the minimal number of things that might confound your interpretation of the results.
In the real world, which is your question, and we've had this feedback from multiple thought leaders and the like, I mean, earlier is better. Why would you know the patient has HO, why would you make them wait 6 months to begin intervene? You wouldn't do that for their thyroid hormone replacement, for example. So I don't think there'll be that kind of guidance in the label. We'll see where guidelines quote unquote "come out." Those will emerge over time, but I haven't heard that. I think the consensus would be as soon as you, the treating physician are comfortable, yes, you want to intervene.
Our next question will be coming from the line of Tazeen Ahmad of Bank of America.
Can you give us an update on where you are with the PWS study? When is the next data update from that? And what type of deepening response are you looking for? Are you looking for more weight loss? Are you looking for better hunger control? Or just can you give us a sense of that?
Yes. Thanks, Tazeen. So as I said in my comments, we're still on track for midyear in terms of providing that update for the 17 patients who remain on drug. I think the one piece of updated data I gave you today was that 17 of 18 patients remain on treatment. I think for a challenging disease. These patients tend not to remain on drug if they don't feel like they're benefiting. So we would take that as encouraging.
I don't have an additional cut of the data. So as I said, I don't have further updates there. In terms of what we're looking for, again, we've been very clear and continue to learn. This is a more challenging disease in the sense that there's a lot of other things going on. They have multiple genes affected, not just those potentially impacting the MC4R pathway that are at play in this disease and can confound results.
But I think our goal remains the same. We'd be looking to clear 5% on the BMI change. We'll see how we do there. And of course, we'll collect hunger. I mean, the hyperphagia scores, HQ-CT, we shared that data in December with the caveat. This is an uncontrolled trial. So those kind of measures, you really need a placebo-controlled group to know exactly how you're performing, but we will have that data, and of course, we'll share it.
And our next question will be coming from the line of Mike Ulz of Morgan Stanley.
Congratulations on all the progress as well. Maybe just one question on IMCIVREE trends. You mentioned the potential for dampening of sales in 1Q, given some pull forward in 4Q. Maybe you can give a little bit of color on how to think about the growth? Is it just a slowing of growth? Or should we think more flattish?
Well, I'm not going to give you a comment sort of on where external estimates are. We did see negative growth Q4 to Q1 in 2024 into 2025. The buildup of inventory this year in absolute terms is less, so we'll see how that shakes out.
But that, it's just that dynamic in and of itself that inventory represents a pull forward of sales from one quarter into, from Q4 out of Q1 into Q4. I think the only other thing is we have the typical experience that faces us every Q1 where there are a lot of planned renewals and planned changes for individual patients. So some patients rotate on to our bridge program and then those get resolved and they rotate off.
And our next question comes from the line of Whitney Ijem of CG.
I just wanted to follow up on EMANATE. You guys have talked about POMC PCSK1 and the SH2B1 substudies as being higher probability. Can you just talk to us a little bit, remind us, is that just driven by the enrollment and the powering of those sub-studies? Or are there genetic biological considerations there as well?
Yes. Let me summarize what I've said previously, but important to remind. So the way we've handicapped this is, yes, we think that the POMC/LEPR are the most likely to be positive, and that's based on the fact that we did have an assay going into the trial that allowed us to determine which of the variants were most likely to be pathogenic meaning that they had true loss of function. There's a range of variants there, of course. So, and the assay has its limitations. But the bottom line is we felt that in that cohort, we were enrolling predominantly patients who would have true loss of function. So that was our best, and we were able to enroll that cohort fully.
The leptin receptor, we also had insight into which patients might have true loss of function, but it turns out the leptin receptor head group is extremely rare, those that have this potential loss of function variant. And so that cohort was very significantly under enrolled. And so we weren't so optimistic there or not. And then SRC1, mostly a boost variant of unknown significance, variants of unknown significance disproportionately tend to be benign. And so again, we think there's a high risk that one may not be positive.
And the reason we remain somewhat hopeful on SH2B1 is that there's two groups there. One is those who have this deletion, 16p11.2 deletion. So by definition, with a deletion, they would have loss of function.
The other part group of that, that's enrolled, the missense mutations associated with SH2B1, then you're back in this, how many of those are VUS and of the VUS, how many are benign versus pathogenic. So long story short, that's how we handicapped it.
Again, we're working to get that data out by the end of the year. The other thing I've said is we, like I said, we've been careful and modest in terms of our projections here and what we think might happen. I think whatever we get, we're going to learn a lot from these studies. And minimally, they will form the basis for the next round of studies with our next-generation studies molecules, which we would do anyway. So when we report out, we'll try to give you some insight into how we think about the future there.
Got it. That's helpful. And just one quick follow-up. Should we still be thinking about kind of the 5% weight loss as the kind of bar for success either based on powering or just how you're thinking about it?
Yes. I mean 5% is the guidelines. That's why we Prader-Willi, of course, where we think it's a really tough disease. I mean that is the minimal threshold. And so that's certainly the threshold here. I think in some of our other indications, you get into the world expects more today from a weight loss drug. But technically, it's 5% plus. I think what we would look at is, A, is the study positive? And then B, do we think it's clinically meaningful and would be a meaningful offering to patients with that specific genetic defect.
And our next question will be coming from the line of Corinne Johnson of Goldman Sachs.
Maybe you mentioned the study for Bivamelagon and that the FDA was pretty explicit that new molecules would require a year-long Phase 3. I guess how are you thinking about that then as it relates to the planned development of 718 in the same indication? And kind of separately, but in the same vein, how do you think about managing kind of quality control of the Phase 3 program as you think through enrolling patients' kind of ex-US in order to get that patient population?
Yes. It's a good question. So first on 718, yes, the read-through there would highly likely to be the same. I mean, to be honest, we'd go back, I would look to have another conversation with them. I think part of Biva is it's a small molecule. I think 718 is a peptide. It's highly analogous to setmelanotide. I don't know if they would look at that any differently. But a conservative base case here is, yes, 718 will have to do the same thing that we're being guided to for Biva.
Quality control outside the US, the world is small. I mean, the sophistication of running trials outside in these other countries, I mean, there are a number of centers and one or more centers in many or most countries, which are pretty sophisticated. CROs are structured to run trials globally. So I'm not at all worried about quality, I mean, you pay attention to that, we'll be careful, of course. But I think quality control is not the issue. Our challenge, as always, is rare diseases, you want to find sites that have good access to patients.
And our next question will be coming from Phil Nadeau of TD Cowen.
Congrats on the progress. Two from us. So first, in the bivamelagon Phase 3 trial, what dose will you be exploring? It seems like you think 200 milligrams is underdosed. 600 did look a little bit more potent, but the patient numbers were small. So we're curious what dosing paradigm you will use.
And then second, on hypothalamic obesity, I think the last number of identified patients that you gave to us was 2,000. It sounds like, as your sales reps are out there shaking the trees and doing medical education, you're finding more and more patients. So, any update to that number?
Yes. So, what was the question on? Yes, the dosing. So we will dose escalate from 200 up to 600, 600 will be the target dose. We look at the data the same way you did. I think there is a difference between 400 and 600 milligrams. I think we're still on a dose-response part of the curve there. The other thing that has been pretty encouraging, and I will say, we've got a number of patients out for the full year.
So I have a little insight there. I mean, what happens in HO is that many of the patients continue to just gradually deepen over time. And I'll remind you back to a patient from our Phase 2 study, the most severely affected, oldest individual in that trial, a 24-year-old man who had a starting BMI of 52, 50-plus. And over a period of 4 years, he just continued to gradually decrease his BMI down to a normal BMI of 24. And I think what we're seeing here is not inconsistent with a gradual deepening over time.
And so the short answer to your question is, yes, well, the target dose will be 600. There'll be patients who maybe do fine on 400, just as there are patients who do okay on 2 milligrams as opposed to 3, but with setmelanotide. But I think we're incredibly encouraged here. And I think this data gives us high confidence that this pathway is central to HO, and we're correcting as you might expect in the hormonal replacement strategy.
With regard to patients, we updated in September, and we've stayed away from sort of giving you monthly or quarterly updates on those patient numbers because a while, I'm not sure how helpful that is. But you are absolutely correct.
And as Jennifer highlighted in her comments, the team has been doing a lot of work. We're continuing to find more patients. So yes, that number has gone up. We're learning a lot about the nature of this community, how many patients carry a diagnosis of HO, and how many patients are quote unquote in the suspected category. So this belief in the overall opportunity, the 10,000 is high, and it's higher than it was last September, for example, and we feel really good about the progress we're making.
Our next question will be coming from the line of Jon Wolleben of Citizens.
Just one on Japan. Hunter, you mentioned the investment you guys will be making there. Just wondering how we should think about the opportunity in Japan and the trajectory of a potential adoption.
Yes. Yann, do you want to take that?
Yes. So, potential first. So as I said earlier, we estimate a prevalence between 5,000 and 8,000 patients, and it's a well-documented prevalence. So we are quite sure of this number. The second point was your question about our capabilities. So we are currently building out our team. We have set up an affiliate. We have a full management team in place, and we already have a field medical team on the ground. And from a timeline point of view, David mentioned the data in March. And following that, you can count on 12 months of regulatory and market access and pricing aspects, which means that we should have a launch in the next 12 months from now.
And our next question will be coming from the line of Thomas Smith of Leerink Partners.
Just on the aHO expansion, I appreciate the color on the regulatory interactions. It sounds like you're entering labeling negotiations, which is great. As we think through some of the color you're giving here around reimbursement and payer coverage and activating sites and patients, can you just elaborate a little bit on how you're thinking about the launch cadence relative to BBS?
Yes. So, from the perspective of aHO versus BBS, I think there are similarities and some differences. I think from a similarity perspective, there's still a lot of opportunity, as we've outlined, just in terms of getting these patients to an actual diagnosis of acquired hypothalamic obesity versus just being seen as a patient with obesity for many causes that may not be the root cause in terms of what they are going through.
So there's still an opportunity there. I think the other piece is from the perspective of a time line of payer coverage, although we have a great starting point just in terms of all the dialogue we had with BBS in terms of the differentiation of MC4R pathway diseases versus general obesity, it's still going to take some time just in terms of going through the process of having specific PNT meetings so that we get a specific policy for the expansion of the indication in place. And we're similarly in the meantime, going to be working through the process as we get the Rxs in payer by payer.
So there are some similarities. I think some of the differences is that in terms of aHO, the precision and confidence just in terms of the data we have, to really pinpoint it down to the right physician to educate to get these patients to a diagnosis. We feel a lot more confident about that. I think in comparison to BBS, those sort of crumbs to lead us to the right physicians is stronger. I think the other aspect is we know, even though like our teams are targeted by the data and following where the patients are, it just made sense that we are actually being led to these medical centers that have these pituitary centers and capabilities.
So we know where they go once they have the brain tumor and where they're treated and they stay in that situation for a period of time so that as they start to encounter the symptoms of aHO, we have the ability to really target those incident patients to get to a diagnosis that is not missed. So that's a bit different than what it was like for BBS, which once again gives us a bit more confidence just in terms of being able to identify them earlier in their journey.
Our next question will be coming from Seamus Fernandez of Guggenheim Securities.
This is Evan Wang on for Seamus Fernandez. Just 2 from us. First, with 718, I saw some narrow timelines for Part D. Curious if there's any potential strategies to accelerate time lines there, potentially like a Phase 2/3, just given some of the feedback and data sets around and set. And then second, curious if you're exploring or planning to explore other areas of MC4R development, maybe, or other kind of avenues to treat obesity.
Just to clarify on the last part of the question, other indications that we're thinking about, other approaches? Is that what you're asking?
Other indications or approaches for I guess mostly obesity-related treatment.
Yes. Okay. So for 718, is there a strategy to accelerate? I mean we take, I think, a pretty aggressive view in general. I mean the regulators don't always agree with our approach. And so we end up sometimes in more conservative or conventional approaches. But I think 701, as I said earlier, is likely to be highly similar to Bivamelagon. We'll go with this initial experience in this open-label study and move right to a Phase 3. I don't know if there's an opportunity to accelerate things further there. The other thing is the pressure on the next-gen in HO is we want to get it out as soon as possible.
It's a little different from an initial indication opportunity where those patients have no other treatment and setmelanotide will be approved and out there. So patients will have an option. So again, we want to, we'll move as quickly as we can, but it's not quite the same criticality as it might be if there was no treatment available at all.
With regard to other indications, I mean, we've talked about the different kinds of, or the different areas that we're interested. So one is genetics, M&A being the first beyond our initial approvals in POMC and LEPR. We have the DAYbreak study. So we will be coming back to specific genes. We will do that development work, as we've said, with next-generation molecules, probably not both molecules in every one of those genetic indications, but we'll come back to you with an updated plan there.
And with regard to other approaches to obesity, I mean, yes, we're open to that. We have early programs where we're thinking about different ways, we might complement MC4R. That's all early. We're not at a point where we're prepared to talk about that yet. But we are fully committed to optimizing therapy for these patients with MC4R and deficiencies, and that would include potentially additional approaches.
And our next question will be coming from the line of Joseph Stringer of Needham & Company.
This is Eddie on for Joey. Just a follow-up on MC4R and the EMANATE sub studies. Can you remind us again if you intend to submit these as a combined sNDA for a broader MC4R pathway, or just talk about how the regulatory path might necessitate sort of mutation-specific approvals and then how this might change for these next-gen therapies as you kind of move through the trials in later years? And then a follow-up, I'm sorry if I misheard, did you say that in the BIVA-HOLE that you saw moderately better results, patients not on GLP-1? If I heard that right, can you describe why that might be the case?
Yes. Let me take that last piece first. So when we're trying to create an apples-to-apples comparison from, we took the patients in our 040 Phase 3 setmelanotide trial. If you remember, there was in the treated group, about 15 patients who were on a GLP-1. That group did have a better result. If you remember, they got in the trial by not having responded to a GLP-1. Once they got setmelanotide, they had a very good response. And if you were just to look at that cohort, their actual percent decrease was greater than the group that did not get a GLP-1.
Trial was not designed to prove that might be a better outcome. But what we've concluded biologically is, yes, once you correct the underlying defect in setmelanotide, restore the hormonal deficiency, then your ability to respond to another anti-obesity medicine might be restored, and we gain weight for a different reason.
And so if you're a patient who's got incremental weight because they love ice cream and they need ice cream all the time, then GLP-1 in that setting, once you've corrected the hormonal deficiency might make sense. So anyway, that was an apples-and-apples change there, and that was the goal there. Your question about M&A in terms of regulatory filing strategy, no, these will be filed individually. Even if all 4 were positive, we would file 4 separate sNDAs. They would be, I said, one at a time evaluations. And then, in the future, I mean, is there an opportunity for a mechanistic kind of approval that wouldn't require a full Phase 3 for every genetic indication? I think that's possible. I would say we're definitely not, or the regulators are definitely not there today. But that's not an unreasonable question for the future.
Our next question will be coming from Paul Matteis of Stifel.
This is Matthew on for Paul. I guess I had one on acquired HO. So for the FDA review, we appreciate the pivotal Phase 3 was already large, but will you be able to supplement your data package with the Japanese cohort? Does the timing work out such that you'll be able to include this before the PDUFA?
Yes, Matthew, it's a good clarification. The answer is yes, and that's partly, I mean, when the FDA gave us their extension back in November, they were very aware of the exact timing of the last patient in visits.
And so they had done the calculation, recognizing that there was a very short period of time between when we would have data from that last patient, a Japanese patient and being able to get the data in on the full 142 patients, which is what they wanted. So we're on that path, and we will get that data in. And yes, they are prepared to deal with the fact that, yes, it's, now we're down to a relatively short period of time between that final data submission and the label or potential approval on March 20.
And our next question will be coming from Samantha Semenkow of Citi.
Just maybe one clarification on the Phase 3. You mentioned that you were going to primarily enroll outside in countries where setmelanotide is not available. How does that work necessarily for enrollment in the US? And then just on Prader-Willi, can you just talk about your latest thinking on a potential Phase 3 trial? Would you plan to take both setmelanotide and 718 forward? Or is it more likely that you choose one of these drugs to advance?
Yes. Okay. So, with regard to the Phase 3 for HO, yes, we will run it predominantly outside. I wouldn't exclude having a US site, but setmelanotide will be approved. Patients here have an option. So, the US for multiple reasons becomes a little more complicated. We do not need to have a site in the US I mean we already have US data coming out of our Phase 2 study. So I'm not, again, I'm not so worried about our ability to execute the trial, not using the US, but you never say never, so I would defer final decisions on that.
So for Prader-Willi, setmelanotide versus 718, I think this is something, as we've highlighted before, the advantage of going forward with setmelanotide is we've got data in setmelanotide already, may be a supplemental NDA, and so we could, in a sense, roll into that Phase 3. The advantage of going with 718, for example, is that it's a next-gen. We're going to use, do a next-gen study sooner or later, and that's the end game. And if the 718 program is at a point where the gap between when we might start with setmelanotide and when we could start with 718 is not so great, then I think we would take that time delay, if you will, and just go right to 718 and avoid having to run two studies there. But that decision is yet to be made. We'll see how all of this plays forward.
And our last question will be coming from the line of Lisa Walter from RBC
Congrats on the progress. I just have one on Biva. Wondering if you can expand on your dose selection comments. And I realize this might be a bit early as the Phase 3 has not yet even started. But long term, is it possible patients could dose down with a maintenance dose if they happen to reach a normal BMI in the real world? Any color here would be helpful.
Yes. Yes, I'll briefly repeat what I said before on the dose selection. I do think 200 is probably on the border in terms of being therapeutic for most patients. I think 400 to 600 is more likely in range and 600 does seem to have a continued dose response. And so 600 for sure will be our targeted dose just the way 3 milligrams was our targeted dose in the HO setmelanotide trial. With regard to dosing down, what's interesting here is the biology, pathophysiology, it's a hormonal deficiency.
So in theory, you take whatever amount you need to restore your hormonal deficiency, but it's not a biologic setting where dosing down makes sense. So I think our expectation is most patients will stay at their target dose. That's been true with setmelanotide as we go forward. So it's not, you get your weight loss and then you can kind of go to a low dose to maintain. That's not the pathophysiology.
I'm showing no questions. I'd now like to turn the call back to David Meeker for closing remarks.
Great. Thank you. So thanks all for tuning in. Again, we remain really excited about the progress here at Rhythm, lots of exciting things coming up. 2025 was a big year. 2026 is going to be equally big. So we look forward to our next update. Thanks all.
And this concludes today's program. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would like now to turn the conference over to Dave Connolly, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Michelle. Good morning, everyone, and welcome. This morning, we issued a press release announcing that the preliminary data from our exploratory Phase II trial showed setmelanotide demonstrated a positive efficacy signal in Prader-Willi syndrome. You can access the press release as well as the slides that we will be reviewing today by going to the Investors section of our website.
David Meeker, Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer of Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, will present these data this morning. We are also joined on the call by Dr. Jennifer Miller, University of Florida -- a Professor of Endocrinology, excuse me, at the University of Florida in the Department of Pediatrics. She is the principal investigator for this Phase II trial. And Hunter Smith, our CFO, is also here and available to answer questions on this call as well.
Before we get started, I'd like to remind everyone that the statements we make on this conference call will include forward-looking statements. Actual events or results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements as a result of various risks, uncertainties and other factors, including those set forth in the Risk Factors section of our SEC filings.
In addition, any forward-looking statements made on this call represent our views as of only today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent date. Except as required by law, we specifically disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.
With that, I'll turn the call over to David, who will begin on Slide 5.
Thank you, Dave. Good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining the call. Today, we're sharing preliminary data from our open-label Phase II study in patients with PWS as the data have reached the point where we can make some important decisions about the next steps in the program. We are running the trial as a single-center study at the University of Florida with Dr. Jennifer Miller, who joins us on the call.
We are pleased to announce positive changes in BMI and HQ-CT at 3 and 6 months and short of new information, which is inconsistent with what we have seen to date, we will proceed to a Phase III program in PWS. More on that later.
Furthermore, based on these promising early data, we have initiated a Part D arm in the Phase I study of our weekly MC4R agonist RM-718, where we will test 718 in up to 20 PWS patients. That amendment has been filed, and we anticipate screening our first patient this month. We have received many questions leading up to today as to how we will interpret the study and what is the bar we need to hit to proceed to a Phase III study.
We have been clear, we would analyze the data patient by patient, trying to understand the context around each patient and their response to treatment. And that the bar would be results, which gave us confidence we can run a successful Phase III study, achieving a 5% reduction in BMI at 1 year. We have completed enrollment with 18 patients treated to date. Today, we are sharing the data from the first 8 patients who reached 3 months or more and the 5 patients who reached 6 months or more.
We entered this study with conviction that the MC4R pathway plays a critical role in the underlying biology and a very realistic view of the challenges of running clinical trials in patients with PWS. A major advantage of working with Dr. Miller, who is one of the world's leading experts in PWS is a deep understanding of the patients she follows. She has a large practice, and she knows not only the patient, but the family, which is invaluable and trying to interpret some of the individual patient responses. She will share some of her thoughts once I have reviewed the data.
I want to start with a short introduction to PWS beginning on Slide 6. PWS is a severe complex multisystem disease characterized by hyperphagia, a severe preoccupation with food, often accompanied by abnormal food-seeking behaviors and reduced energy expenditure, leading to severe obesity in the majority of patients unless their energy intake is rigorously restricted. There is a significant unmet medical need with limited therapeutic options to manage the hyperphagia, decreased energy expenditure and consequent weight gain. U.S. prevalence is estimated at approximately 20,000 patients with a similar frequency of the disease in other parts of the world.
Moving to Slide 7. This cartoon attempts to capture the complex pathophysiology underlying this disease. Multiple genes are involved, including at least 2 genes which can directly impact signaling through the MC4R pathway. We have talked specifically about MAGEL2 loss of function variants, which are present in virtually all patients with PWS, we studied in our Phase 2 DAYBREAK study. The response in those patients gave us optimism. We would see a response in PWS.
While multiple factors may contribute to the hunger in abnormal behaviors in PWS, we believe a central part of the pathophysiology affecting satiety and energy expenditure is a deficiency in the MC4R pathway and therefore, our interest in studying setmelanotide. Before getting to the data, we also want to provide some historical context. Most PWS studies have failed and no therapy is approved for weight or BMI reduction.
On Slide 8 is beloranib data from 2016, which is arguably the only drug that has shown meaningful changes in weight in PWS patients. That trial was stopped early due to thrombotic events and development of the drug was discontinued. However, it is a useful benchmark. They observed placebo-adjusted decreases in weight at 6 months of 8% and 9%. Importantly, however, the actual weight decreases in the trial were 4% and 5% at the 2 doses with the placebo group gaining weight, supporting the view that simply stopping weight gain in PWS is clinically meaningful.
Slide 9 shows the results for a cohort of patients from our original trial of setmelanotide and PWS conducted in 2016. Of the 4 patients who received the highest dose of 2.5 milligrams for 8 consecutive weeks, 3 of them lost weight, thereby suggesting setmelanotide could have a meaningful clinical effect.
Slide 10 shows the very simple open-label trial design. 18 patients aged 6 or greater were enrolled. Each patients dose escalated to 5 milligrams daily as tolerated for patients less than 12 years of age or dose escalated to 3 milligrams as the maximum dose. Endpoints in addition to safety and tolerability included change in BMI, HQ-CT scores and body composition.
Slide 11 shows the demographic data for all 18 patients enrolled to date. We have a very good mix of patients by age with 3 of them younger than 12 years old, 4 between the ages of 12 and 18 and 11 patients 18 or older. They all suffer with severe obesity with a BMI for all 18 patients.
Today, we are focused on the 8 patients who reached month 3 and setmelanotide and their baseline BMI was 43.7 on average. 5 patients reached the 6-month mark and 1 patient discontinued prior to their 6-month visit. Of the 18 enrolled patients, 17 patients remain on active therapy. Now let's move to the results. On Slide 12, there's a bar graph showing the percent BMI decrease at 3 months for the 8 patients. Underneath each patient number is the patient age, sex and starting BMI.
Four patients denoted by the asterisks had diabetes and in 2 patients 1 and 3, it was poorly controlled. The V denotes the 2 patients who are on Vykat, patient 6 and 7. 6 of 8 patients had a decrease in BMI ranging from minus 1.3% to 4.8%. We will discuss in more detail the last 3 patients, 2 of whom had gained weight at 3 months and patient 5 who subsequently began to gain weight during a period of what we believe was noncompliance.
Slide 13 shows the HQ-CT results. Think it is recognized that this is not the best tool to capture clinically meaningful changes in patients with PWS, but it is validated and it has served as the basis for a recent approval. This trial was not designed to capture changes in HQ-CT and that it is an open-label study, and there is no requirement for a baseline level of severity. For example, one patient, as you can see, had a 0 score at baseline and their score has remained 0.
Since it is an open-label trial, the results cannot be compared with data from other blinded trials. However, it is additional data, and it gives us confidence that patients are experiencing meaningful changes. 6 out of 7 patients with an elevated score at baseline showed a decrease in score. Patients 6 and 7 are both on Vykat which might explain their lower score on entry and both moved modestly further down with setmelanotide treatment.
Moving to the 6-month data on Slide 14. Shown here are all 8 patient data at 3 months in dark blue and then the 6-month data in light blue for the 5 patients reaching the 6-month mark. Patients #3 and #2 have cleared the 5% level. Patient 6 is flat from 3 to 6 months at approximately 2.5%. But his DEXA scan tells an interesting story, and I'll show you that on the next slide.
On Slide 15, we have the DEXA scans from 4 patients at 6 months. Patient #1 was too heavy for the DEXA machine, so we have no scan. The first 3 patients all show more fat than lean loss with fat mass decreasing by approximately 8% in the first 2 patients and more than 10% in patient #6. Patient #6 is the patient whose BMI had plateaued at approximately 2.5% at month 6. The DEXA scan results would suggest he was having a much more meaningful response to therapy than suggested by the BMI. Patient 5 gained fat mass consistent with the increase in his BMI.
Now let's go back to the summary data at 3 and 6 months repeated on Slide 16 and provide a little more color around the 3 patients who did not decrease their BMI at 6 months. Patient #4 was only intermittently compliant initially and then discontinued the trial prior to reaching the 6-month visit. Patient 5 had a good initial response, actually losing 4% in BMI at 2 months, but then traveled out of the country over the summer with what we believe to be poor compliance with treatment. He is now back home on treatment in a more stable situation and decreasing his BMI again after his 6-month visit.
Finally, patient #1 is the most complicated patient. Dr. Miller can provide more background, but she entered the trial with a BMI of 67, gaining weight steadily prior to trial entry, very poorly controlled diabetes and gained further weight with some improvement in her diabetes management. She also has severe lymphedema in her lower extremities with the edema likely complicating some of the weight measurements.
Her BMI has been relatively stable since our initial trial weight gain. And of note, she did have a decrease in her HQ-CT score from 20 to 11. Slide 17 lists the AEs for all 18 patients. Setmelanotide has been very well tolerated in this population with the majority of patients getting to 4 or 5 milligrams. The AE profile has been similar to what we've seen in other populations with hyperpigmentation and injection site reactions being most common.
So with that, I'd like to turn to Dr. Miller to get her thoughts on the program. So Dr. Miller, thank you for joining this morning on what I know is an incredibly busy clinic day, and I also know you're actually calling from clinic. So the first -- the first question, just what type of patients did you enroll initially and why? So maybe you could give us a little background there.
Sure. So the first 5 patients I enrolled were patients that were basically what I described as the worst of the worst. I mean they were people that would not have qualified for Vykat therapy because of their medical conditions. They were all morbidly obese. They -- many of them had type 2 diabetes already. Many of them had lymphedema, which was going to make it difficult to determine if they develop worsening edema from Vykat, I felt that I would be unsure as to whether or not that I could assess that adequately. They also all 5 had untreated obstructive sleep apnea. And so again, I was worried about putting them on Vykat with the risk of edema that comes with that.
And so basically, they were patients that were at the end of the road in my personal opinion. And I said to these families, like we have no other choice, like we can't do Vykat. There's really nothing else out there. We're doing this trial. Let's try it. It's worth a try. There's really nothing else. Patients 6 and 7 who you showed data for who are on Vykat had done well with Vykat , as you saw from the hyperphagia scores in terms of improvement in hyperphagia severity. However, both were large individuals to start with prior to starting the trial, both did develop type 2 diabetes on Vykat on DCCR during the trial and were -- the diabetes was somewhat difficult to control.
So I had asked to put them on to this trial so that we could see if setmelanotide did indeed cause weight loss, maybe we could get their diabetes under better control just with some weight loss or as we saw in patient #6, maybe some redistribution of body composition with less fat mass and more lean muscle mass. So again, and I say this a lot, these patients were at the end of the road, unfortunately, and they are at the end of the road if -- this is kind of it. And so they all know that and their families know that, but I'm very grateful to them to trusting me to do this trial and see if it works.
Perfect. So maybe -- I mean, you've been involved with many trials in Prader-Willi patients, if not all of the trials. So how would you interpret these results? Can you give us a little context for how you see the changes we're seeing today?
Well, I've been very excited about the changes that we're seeing in BMI reduction and body composition in the great majority of the patients. Their diabetes control has improved with minimal to no adjustments in their diabetes regimen other than patient #1. They just -- they're moving better, their body composition looks better. There -- the parents feel that they are eating somewhat less, that they're less obsessed by food and that they're able to exercise more easily and that they're choosing to exercise on a regular basis, which is remarkable to me.
So and, maybe you were also a lead investigator. I think you enrolled close to 20 -- approximately 20 patients in our HO040 study. I'm just curious in terms of biologic effect of an MC4R agonist like setmelanotide, are there any similarities? The diseases are quite different, but any similarities in terms of what you're seeing?
Yes. Yes, definitely. I mean, yes, the diseases are quite different. It was -- I was hoping for the same degree of magnitude of results that we saw in the HO trial in this population. But as you point out, it's a completely different disease. But the similarities that we saw in both groups are what I mentioned before, the increased tendency to want to go out and do stuff and exercise increased happiness, like everybody reports that less irritability. That was something that was consistently reported in both groups across the board after about 2 months on setmelanotide, that was a consistent finding. So those things were all very, very positive to me.
And going back to the challenging patients. So patient 5 and patient #1 have gained weight since they started the trial. So why would they stay on therapy?
Because -- yes, good question. They really feel better on the drug. Both of them, when I've threatened because I've been worried about noncompliance and I've said, probably we should stop if we can't be compliant. And both have had major furniture type throwing meltdowns here about having to come off of the study because they both feel that they are doing better on the drug. They feel happier, they feel better overall. They themselves. This is not a parent perspective. This is the people perspective. And so they really don't want to stop the drug. They perceive that it's helping them significantly.
So I know we didn't collect formally their prior weight loss history as part of their case report forms and the clinical trial specifically, but you followed a number of these patients for a long period of time. Were they gaining weight and specifically patient 1 and 5? And what was their natural history coming into the trial?
To be clear, I followed every single one of these patients in this trial since they were infants. So for a very, very, very long time. And so yes, every one of them was gaining weight excessively prior to entry into the trial. And the ones who are not on Vykat, so the ones who are just on setmelanotide at the entry to trial are we're gaining weight at a pretty rapid clip at every clinic visit that I saw them at, no matter what we tried to do to intervene, we were unable to slow down their weight gain.
And this has slowed it. I've said to the parents like stable to me is a win. When your kid was gaining, gaining, gaining and the BMI was 110% of the 95th percentile, and now it's just kind of hanging there. So crossing percentiles as these are -- some of them are teenagers, right? So they're growing and their BMI is actually improving because they're growing. And the adults are at least hanging stable and not continuing to go up. I consider that a very big win from a metabolic health perspective.
Perfect. So maybe last thing, anything else that strikes you? Again, we're early in the trial, and we're going to let the data mature, of course, but welcome any additional thoughts you have.
No. I think overall, with the exception of a couple of patients, compliance has been really good, considering it is a daily injection. But these are patients that are used to taking daily injections. Most of them are on growth hormone. And as you mentioned, many of them have type 2 diabetes and are on insulin for that. So no, I think it's been exciting to see, and it's been exciting for the families to see the changes in their children's body composition.
Okay. Great. So thank you. So I have a couple more comments to make, and then we'll open it up for general Q&A. But thank you, again, for your efforts those of your PWS patients who volunteer for the trial, these early trials, of course, any of these trials in PWS are not easy. So now for a few concluding remarks before opening up the Q&A. We recognize these results are early and preliminary. However, as you know, in these rare disease populations and particularly with small data sets, we put tremendous emphasis on the results from each individual patient, those who are responding to the treatment and even more attention to those who may not be responders.
Are they true nonresponders? Or are there mitigating factors? So for the first 8 patients, the BMI is 6 of 8 patients is trending down. One patient was noncompliant and discontinued and patient #1 is compliant, we believe, but may be a true nonresponder as her BMI is not decreasing. However, as you've heard, she is perhaps the most challenging patient in terms of her underlying disease and her poorly controlled diabetes. And as we learn more, even stabilization, as Dr. Miller mentioned, for her may represent a response. Ultimately, body composition is measured by DEXA scans out to be a better measure of response. As we have seen with our HO trial, restoring signaling through the MC4R pathway seems to lead to significantly more fat than mean mass loss, which is what we would hope to see.
Patient 6 is a good example where the BMI change did not capture the magnitude of the decrease in fat mass. Although the trial was not designed to formally assess hyperphagia, we are encouraged by the changes in HQ-CT scores, and we believe these scores reflect the fact patients are experiencing a change on treatment. In light of the disease severity of the first patients enrolled and the relative consistency of the results to date, we believe these data support moving to Phase 3 with confidence we can run a positive trial with primary and key secondary endpoints of BMI change, a responder analysis HQ-CT scores and body composition.
Based on the biology of the MC4R receptor, we also believe that if we hit the BMI endpoint, we are likely to have a positive result on the hyperphagia scores. And for the next steps with setmelanotide, our plan is to complete this trial, get all 18 patients past the 6-month time point. We'll release the data at that point and then submitted a Phase III trial proposal to the FDA for review. We will aim to disclose the full 6-month data during the first half of 2026, as I noted, as well as at a medical meeting next year.
Lastly, these data from the setmelanotide trial support our confidence that MC4R agonism is a biologically sound approach to treating patients with PWS. And with that in mind, we have added Part D to our ongoing Phase I study, open-label study evaluating 718 weekly specific MC4R agonist designed not to cause hyperpigmentation and will enroll up to 20 patients with each patient dose escalating from 10 to 40 milligrams as tolerated. We have the ability to go to 50 milligrams if needed. Our goal is to have that part of the trial enrolled by the second half of 2026. The Part C portion of that trial in HO patients remains on track to complete enrollment, as you know, in the first quarter of '26.
With that, we'll open it up for questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Phil Nadeau with TD Cowen.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the data. David, we wanted to dive into your comments about the Phase 3 trial and the likelihood of success in a bit more detail and kind of have 2 questions in that vein. So first, could you go into a bit more detail about what you think the primary endpoint of a Phase 3 trial would be? Would it be a change of -- change in mean BMI from baseline with the expectation that, that would hit a 5% hurdle? Or do you think the responder analysis could be the primary endpoint? And then second question, kind of along those lines, I guess, as we look at the data, it does seem like at least in 2 of the patients, the weight loss was progressive that gets you to that BMI of over 5% by month 6 and admitting there's mitigating circumstances for the 3 patients, but it wasn't necessarily progressive in the other 3.
So how confident are you that the BMI reductions here could be progressive to get you to that 5% level by month 12? And are you thinking maybe in a placebo-adjusted trial, the placebo group would actually increase. So you don't need an absolute reduction of 5% in the patients, but placebo adjusted if you could get there anyway?
Yes. Thanks, Phil. So we're early. We'll -- again, as we said, we'll let this data mature and the results from the full 18-patient cohort at 6 months will help us answer some of those questions. But we made the decision and we're going forward to Phase 3 based on these results and obviously are thinking about that. I think the primary endpoint, again, let's get the 18-patient data, but it will be likely BMI percent change. And as you highlighted, and we've been clear all along that our goal is to get to a BMI reduction of 5% or more at 52 weeks.
I think that's completely doable. I think the probability we can hit a placebo-adjusted 5% difference is extremely high. So -- and that is all we will need, FDA agreeing here, but that is exactly the way the regulation is written. The regulation is written is a 5% placebo-adjusted change. So if you look at the history of these patients, as Dr. Miller said, gaining weight coming into the trial, if you look at the fact that in the vast majority of patients, we are having a clear biologic effect with a reduction. And even in those who have gained some weight, there's a plateauing there, maybe a further decrease over time. So all of that gives me a lot of confidence that this BMI primary point percent change can be the primary endpoint, and we can hit it, one.
Two, responder analysis is important for the regulators and FDA specifically. So that will very much be part of it. Just to remind people on BBS, we had about -- and that's another tough disease. We had about 60% of the patients who cleared 5% at 52 weeks. So it's not that, that specific indication at 100%. And so we have some history there with challenging populations. Third, the HQ-CT scores, again, in a placebo-controlled trial based as I indicated on the biology, I think that will be positive. And then, of course, body composition change, and we will get DEXA scans on all patients in our Phase 3 trial. So that will not be a primary, but that will be a key secondary. And in rare diseases, you bring the totality of the evidence to bear. It's not just a pure primary. I think we'll hit the primary for the reasons I said, but it will be supported strongly by the key secondaries.
That's really helpful. Maybe just one follow-up question. What change in BMI would you expect for an untreated patient similar to the ones that you enrolled in this trial over 12 months? How much is the average?
Dr. Miller, maybe just...
It's about -- it's actually the opposite direction. So it can be close to 5% in 12 months.
Perfect. That's very helpful. Congrats again on the data.
Yes. And to that Dr. Miller's point, I mean, that's supported by the data from the randomized controlled trial of beloranib that was run originally.
Next question comes from Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
Thanks for the update on PWS. I wanted to get a sense about how you're thinking about the profile of patients you plan to enroll in Phase 3. So just based on the data that you presented today, you've talked about certain caveats about why certain patients may not have had ideal weight loss, for example.
So how do you take that information and translate that into entry criteria for your study? And then as it relates to 718, you've chosen to look at it, is it primarily because it doesn't have the hyperpigmentation side effect? Or do you think it could have mechanistically reason to induce more weight loss and maybe more control of hyperphagia than you've seen with setmelanotide?
Yes. Thanks, Tazeen. Let me take the 718 question first. No, the -- a couple of reasons for proceeding with 718. One is we had an early sense that this drug was working. So we activated that plan because we had a vehicle here with the 718 study where we knew we could add a Part D arm, number one. Number two, I think between the weekly injectable and the daily oral, particularly because we didn't have our smaller formulation ready to go, concern about patients joking on a pill, for example, in a Prader-Willi population was more of a concern and the weekly seemed like a preferable approach there.
Three, our goal for all of our indications is to get our next-generation programs approved for those. And so this gave us a running start by getting -- being able to get some information. So we're well underway here in terms of getting that arm activated. As I said, the first site has been initiated, and we hope to have our first patient screened by the end of the month. So all that was what went into choosing to go forward with 718. In terms of entry criteria, yes, that's -- it's a really important question. And again, what you've heard, and I'm not sure this is just such a complicated population. My initial response is it would be an all-comers trial. I mean one of the advantages is that we can enroll the patients that Dr. Miller highlighted who have no other option. And I don't think we would be looking to enroll a trial where we cherry picked a few patients.
So I imagine an all-comer trial, patients with obesity, so we can see the change in their BMI. But remember, again, when you do an all-comers trial and it's randomized, those patients who end up in the placebo group, they'll drive the placebo change. And so with the primary endpoint of placebo adjusted, it will work fine in our benefit. So -- and I'm not -- I think as Dr. Miller also highlighted, severe diabetes, I don't think that's a major compounding problem for us and those patients have no other options. So yes, a long way of saying, I think it would be an all-comers trial.
Okay. And maybe just a quick follow-up. For PWS, if patients experience hyperpigmentation, do you think that this population is similar to how you described HO or doctors have described HO as that would not be rate limiting?
Dr. Miller?
I'm sorry, I was interacting with the patient. I apologize.
No, no. Yes, Tazeen just asked, how significant do you think hyperpigmentation is in this group? Yes, did have one patient...
Not at all other than that one patient. Yes, no, they don't care. Actually, they kind of like it because they tend to -- especially the deletion patients delete a pigment gene. And so they tend to be very fair skinned. And so the hyperpigmentation actually makes them color-wise more similar to their family. And I've had -- other than the one who discontinued, I've had 0 patients complain about it.
And our next question will come from Mike Ulz with Morgan Stanley.
Congratulations on the early data as well. Maybe just a question among those patients that had lost weight, can you talk about the pattern of weight loss over the treatment period? Was it more choppy? Or was there a general downward trend in those patients? And do you think continuing to treat those patients longer may result in even greater weight loss?
Yes. Dr. Miller, I'm going to ask to help here. I mean we did see choppiness, of course, and part of that was in a couple of the patients related to their diabetes and other meds, but what do you think?
Yes. I think it was a steady downward trend. Of course, there's always choppiness, but it's been sort of slow and steady, a pound or 2 a month, so -- which I feel is kind of a healthy way to lose weight. And it also tends to be more visceral fat than subcutaneous fat, at least on DEXA and looking at them, you can see an improvement in the fat that's accumulated around the abdomen, which is from a metabolic perspective, awesome. And so yes, I think, again, slow and steady. It's -- some of them are disappointed where there's a month where they haven't lost weight, but we're also at holiday season. And so people eat for different reasons besides hunger, too. So I'm going to try to tell everybody that slow and steady wins the race, but I do anticipate that by a year, we'll see more significant changes.
And our next question will come from Seamus Fernandez with Guggenheim.
Congrats on the data. Apologies for the background noise. Just wanted to quickly ask, in terms of the ability to evaluate not just BMI, it seems like there would also be the possibility of Z-score depending on the patients that get recruited into the study. So just interested to know, again, maybe along the lines of Phil's questions, the types of endpoints, how you think the agency is likely to evaluate the drug here? And then could you also help us understand how necessary the higher dose regimen was and the percentage of patients that reached the top dose and stayed on it?
Yes. Sam, let me just clarify. Your first question was about BMI Z scores as being an additional piece?
Yes.
Yes. So yes, for sure. So let me take that first. What we've done -- we'll do the same thing we've done in all of our trials. We don't -- in rare disease, again, particularly these groups, we don't have the luxury of running an adult only, adolescent only under 12 only. So we'll run one trial. It's likely to be as the entry criteria for this one are 6 years and above or 4 years and above, we'll see where we are. But -- so we'll need an endpoint that captures both. So BMI, of course, is better than weight.
But BMIZ analysis will be done for those kids for the children who are under 18 years of age. And then our responder analysis will be similar to what we've done previously, which is to say how many patients cleared 5% on their BMI and for those under 18, how many had a BMIZ score change of greater than 0.2 clinical meaning. So those will be the -- that will be added, and it will give us greater insight and also mitigate some of the fact that BMIs do increase as kids are growing. Sorry, what was the other one was -- the dosing, how they've done in the dosing. So the majority of patients and Dr. if you're there, maybe you can just comment, the majority have been between 4 and 5 mgs, but Dr. Miller, maybe you can just comment on dosing.
Yes. I think there's only one patient that remains on 5 milligrams, and that's patient #1. And so most have hung out at 4 to 4.5 and seem to be doing very well with that -- sorry, I'm measuring waist circumference as we speak. And so they seem to be doing very well with that. Sorry. They seem to be doing well with the dose of 4 to 4.5 the episode of fatigue that was reported as one of the AEs was due to -- with somebody on the 5-milligram dose. These patients take a lot of medications, especially a lot of psych medications. So parents tend to be of the mindset that the smaller the effective dose, the better, which I don't disagree with. So we went up to 5 on almost everybody, but most of the people seem to do the best on 4 to 4.5. All the little ones under 12 are on 3 as a maximum dose and are doing very well on that. So yes, so it's not many that are on the maximum dose, but there's -- I would say, everyone, except for one over the age of 12 is above -- is at 4 or 4.5 milligrams, except for the one at 5 milligrams.
Okay. And then maybe if I could just ask one last follow-up. The percentage of patients that you think would be applicable just given your initial experience to treatment with either setmelanotide or a weekly 718 in this patient population, is it 50%, 80%, 100%, 20%? Just helpful to know how you're reacting to these data in those terms? I know it's a little bit of an unfair question.
It is a little bit of an unfair question because, of course, weight issues differ across different providers and where individuals with Prader-Willi live and environmental security and all that kind of stuff. I mean, honestly, if you look at people who would be eligible from if you just look at weight, for example, it's probably about 40% of the population that would be eligible. I would say if you're looking at weight and hyperphagia, it's probably going to be less than that. But yes, I still think it's a very -- a pretty significant proportion of the population.
And our next question will come from Derek Archila with Wells.
Congrats on the update. So just one for David, and one for Dr. Miller. David, I guess, should we assume that the start of this Part D cohort with 718 in Prader-Willi patients implies that Part C and HO is trending positively? And then a question for Dr. Miller is more centered around the Vykat and IMCIVREE combo usage in the trial. It didn't seem like there was much synergy there, but just curious to get your thoughts if there's any things underlying there. And I guess, whether or not you see roles for both Vykat and IMCIVREE in your practice?
Dr. Miller, why don't you take the Vykat first and then I'll answer...
Okay. So I definitely do think there's synergy. Again, you only saw data from one of the patients, but we actually have it evenly divided between those on Vykat and those not on Vykat who are in this clinical trial. And I think from a body composition perspective, I'm definitively seeing synergy between the 2 medications. And so, yes, the data is so early in most of those patients because, again, those 2 that you saw some data on were probably the most severe that we had.
They were people that run multiple diabetes meds because the parents said that the efficacy of the Vykat was such that they would never come off of it, no matter how many additional meds they had to add. And I hated that for them because I would really like to not have people on a ton of different meds if we can avoid it. So anyway, so those were the probably the most severe of the people enrolled into the trial that were on Vykat. And I do anticipate a good synergy between the 2 drugs, if that answers your question. And yes, I think I would use both together in certain situations and clinics.
And just to be clear, the trial, as you know, wasn't designed to draw any conclusions about that necessarily. We obviously, as Dr. Miller said, very interested in seeing it. And we would envision a Phase 3 trial, which would allow as we're running this trial, patients on Vykat to be enrolled. And as we did with GLP-1s and our other study, they would just need to be stable coming into the trial on their Vykat dose.
So background. And then your other question, Derek, was, is there any read-through to starting Part D to what's going on in Part C? And what all I would say there is what I've said all along back to before we even had the BIVA data, many of you often ask between the BIVA and the 718, which one do you think is more likely to be positive? I always answered that, that look, there's more unknowns around BIVA. 718 was built off of what we know about setmelanotide. It's much closer in terms of preclinical data and the like. And therefore, if you had to bet, I would bet that 718 would be okay. So anyway, there's no change to that opinion. We now have BIVA data, which looks very good. So that's sort of taken some of the uncertainty out of the part of the equation. But we're still optimistic about 718 and but I can't take that next step, which would say we did this because of what we're seeing in 718.
And our next question will come from Corinne Johnson with Goldman Sachs.
This is Anupam on behalf of Corinne. So basically, I have 2 questions. So one, like what can you share regarding the correlation between change in hyperphagia and change in body weight asking from this -- asking from a perspective that you would likely be using the change in BMI as the primary endpoint going forward? And the second one is like what else do you need to see from this ongoing study to inform the registrational trial design?
So let me say on the correlation, and I'm going to draw from all of our experience here. So across all of our development programs with MC4R agonism, we see a very consistent decrease in the hunger score. We've used this 10-point VAS scale. And literally, BBS, the PPL original study and of course, the HO studies, almost independent of where patients started on that scale. So most patients, for example, had scores in the 7 to 8 range. We had, on average, 2 to 3-point decreases. But even patients with a 4-point starting rating on that scale, they had 2- to 3-point decreases in there.
So they were experiencing a change, number one. Number two, when we try to correlate that change with weight, it doesn't correlate per se. It moves together, but it doesn't correlate. It's not that the patient who saw a bigger change in their hunger score saw a bigger change in weight. And I think the same thing is true here in that biologically, and maybe that's part of what Dr. Miller is describing, these patients just feel better. Biologically, they're feeling an effect. How that translates into the specific tool you're using, in this case, in HQ-CT might be somewhat imprecise and therefore, a strong correlation in weight, as we've highlighted. Also, we don't have a pure weight test here in the sense that there's a lot of other factors these patients are dealing with, which may confound our ability to see the weight loss.
So the long answer to say no, no correlation, but biologically, they do move together. And then your last question was what else do we need to see? No, we don't need to see anything else. As I said, in terms of making a decision to go to Phase 3, and that's why we're having the call today. I think we've made that decision. What -- the 6-month data in all 18 patients will give us is just a lot more color around how to think about planning that Phase 3. Obviously, 18 is double the amount of 8 here. So having more robust numbers is incredibly valuable. But we'll be looking for the same things we reported out on today.
And our next question will come from Dennis Ding with Jefferies...
Maybe a question on placebo. I know the beloranib data suggests placebo should gain BMI, but there's also a liraglutide study in kids that show placebo reduces BMI. So I wonder how you're thinking about the placebo effect and if there are nuances that we're missing with interpreting the liraglutide data? And then number two, for RM-718, it seems like you're looking at 10 to 50 milligrams weekly. How do those doses correlate with the doses of setmelanotide used here in the Prader-Willi trial? And could there -- could you guys be dosing higher?
Yes. So I can't -- I don't know if I can answer and Dr. Miller welcome any thoughts here. I mean the placebo effect, I think that beloranib data was a good randomized controlled trial. And so maybe it be about as good as it gets in terms of giving us some sense of what may happen here. I think currently, our experience in this trial is patients into this trial were gaining weight. So I'm not so concerned -- in our HO study is another example, if you have a defect in the MC4R pathway, you do not spontaneously lose weight. There's not a placebo effect. We didn't see it in our BBS trial. We had a different design in our PPL trial originally. And obviously, the HO patients, we had a 3% increase in the placebo group. So we can't answer your study exactly that, but I'm pretty confident that the placebo adjusted is likely to move in our favor. Dr. Miller, I don't know if you have any other thoughts there or...
I really don't. It is unusual to me that the liraglutide trial did show some reduction in weight at the 1-year point in the placebo group. But that's just not reality for the most part. For the most part, reality is that these individuals after age 7 to 8 to 9 start to gain weight, and it's very hard to go backwards and to lose weight, almost impossible.
Great. And then your question on the dosing for 718. So that trial is designed, they'll dose escalate from 10 to 40 mg. Your question was how does that relate to setmelanotide. So we don't have a direct 1:1. I mean the way we thought about -- I'll just go back to our original Camurus, which was the long-acting form of setmelanotide. When we ran that study, we did -- and this was not completely arbitrary, but we took a 3 mg dose and those patients crossed over to 30 mg and those who are on a 2 mg dose crossed over to 20, 7 days a week times 3 would give you 21 mg.
So the idea here was to dose above the total amount delivered. That's been the strategy for 718 and going from 10 to 40 was to give us a little bit of cushion there because there was no reason not to. And still learning about weekly formulations and how that works in terms of translating to efficacy. The trial allows up to 50, and that's basically the same thought process as for this trial, which is almost all patients we've treated have done well at 3 mg. This was a new population with a lot of perhaps more challenging aspects to their disease. So we wanted to make sure dosing wasn't something left on the table. So we allowed dosing up to 5 mg in this case. So the ability to go to 50s, that's the same thought process. Does that help?
And our next question comes from Jon Wolleben with Citizens.
Just wondering if you had a chance to look at the PK data and if there's an association between drug levels and the effects you're seeing. And then pivoting to the Phase 3 trial, how do you think about the variability of moving to a multicenter study and kind of losing Dr. Miller's expertise, but perhaps getting less challenging patients at the same time. So how do you account for that moving into a larger multisite study?
Yes. I'll take that one first. I mean, yes, there's only one Dr. Miller in the world. I think that -- the beauty of larger placebo-controlled trials is the numbers basically take care of it. In theory, whatever variability you get site to site, investigator to investigator, that washes out in the randomized part of the trial. So I'm not actually not at all concerned about that. I do think your point that we will have a more representative PWS population than we have perhaps in these early patients we're describing today is based on the fact that these were Dr. Miller's most challenging patients with really truly no options.
I think as the community sees results and becomes more interested, which is what tends to happen with drugs that look like they're working, I think we will get a broader population, and that should work to our benefit. So I'm not concerned, to be honest about that aspect of it. And with regard to PK values, we're collecting, but it's trough levels. So we won't be -- what it will give us is some insight into compliance and the like, but it's not -- we won't have tight PK curves that we can then try to translate to how that translates to efficacy, some sort of PD relationship. It will give us a sense, a, most importantly, are they taking the drug the way we thought. So that's it -- there's limitations here in terms of how much we could do with these patients.
And our next question will come from Whitney Ijem with Canaccord.
It's Angela on for Whitney. Congrats on the data. Just curious, any additional color you can provide on that one patient discontinuation? It sounded like hyperpigmentation was the reason, but was that the only reason? And then can you also confirm what dose they titrated to before discontinuing and like what the -- like the timing around that was?
Yes, I can answer those, Dr. Miller. So -- and this is based on feedback from Dr. Miller, I think there was a number of things going on too. These patients have -- it's not just the patient themselves, as I understand it. There's also potentially complex family dynamics, which can impact how a drug gets managed here. And maybe Dr. Miller, you want to jump in. The maximum dose they got to was 3.5 mg, but they were on and off, and they discontinued the study at 20 weeks. But Dr. Miller, anything else you want to add there?
I just chuckled when you said complex family issues because that's putting it lightly. Yes, no. And the 3.5, they were only on for -- I think he was only on for less than a week before she pulled it. So he was -- they were just extremely noncompliant. It was an adult patient who had never been treated with growth hormone or testosterone or anything. And so there was just a lot going on there with the mom having to give injections and she had her own stuff going on about that.
So yes, so that's it. So I think that you don't get to eliminate those patients are part of your cohort. But obviously, what we've looked for -- I'll just say this, in all of our trials with MC4 agonism and with a very simple concept that if you have a deficit in the pathway, you have a hormonal deficiency, we're replacing that hormone. And as with most hormone deficiency states, when you replace the hormone, you should have a very high percentage of responders. And I think that's what we're looking for here. And to the extent that somebody didn't respond, are there other issues? And obviously, in this case, there's definitely another issue.
Got it. And maybe a very quick -- sorry, if I could have a quick follow-up question for Dr. Miller. For the patients who might not be eligible for therapy on a weight basis, so about 60%, would you maybe want to put those patients on setmelanotide for other benefits like giving them more energy to do things or just be happier? Like is there a potential for a broader label here?
I am really -- I apologize. Can you repeat the question? Sorry, go ahead.
Sorry, just for the patients who might not be eligible because they're overweight, would you also potentially want to put those patients on for the other benefits like having more energy to do things and just being happier overall? Is there like just that potential for a broader label down the road?
I don't have the answer to that because every trial I've done with Rhythm through all the years, which are many. It's always been for patients who are significantly overweight. And so -- but yes, I do definitely across the board with this drug, see improvements in what appears to be improvements in mental health and physical health. So it's a very good question that you would have to ask Dr. Meeker the answer to. In my personal experience, I mean, I'm just honestly thrilled looking at the results in these patients, again, who I consider to be some of my most very difficult patients to control.
Yes. And Angela, I think building on what Dr. Miller said, we'll evaluate that population. We'll start with the BMI patients who have obesity defined by their BMI, but these other changes, if you correct the underlying biology, you can imagine a world where if they're not obese today because they're in a rigorously controlled environment, maybe this drug could help get them more freedom and not have to live in the exact same environment. And how you run that trial, that becomes interesting, and those are things we'll think about, of course. But we'll definitely start with those patients who are obese.
And our next question will come from Paul Matteis with Stifel.
This is Julian on for Paul. Congrats on the early data. I guess just when thinking about the Part D of the study, can you just remind us which sites are being used? Is it going to be Dr. Miller's and that one additional site that you enrolled that you've talked about in the past? Or any additional plans for that? And then when talking about allowing background Vykat for a future Phase 3, is there a cap or a proportion that you would target for enrolling patients on background Vykat? And if you have any initial thoughts on that would be great to hear.
Sure. So the question -- the answer on the Vykat piece is, I don't know, it's a good question. We'll see how the world evolves in terms of how many patients would be on Vykat in this population. Whatever we do, we would stratify. So you have an equal number in both. You do a subset analysis of patients on Vykat and not on Vykat. I think what's really encouraging about this data to date is the monotherapy, I mean, those -- we only have 2 patients here. The bulk of these patients in the first 8 patients are not on Vykat. We're seeing the same response at this point. So as Dr. Miller said earlier, we have a lot to learn about how these 2 drugs might interact together.
But the good news for us is that the monotherapy is clearly active here and having meaningful -- what seem to be meaningful effects here on both weight and some of these other parameters. So that's the way we'd handle the Vykat. With regard to the sites in the Part D, again, this was, a, it made sense for us strategically; b, it was a bit opportunistic. So we have gone to the sites we're using for that 718 HO study. They're not all the same investigators at the site. So the other investigators may be following the Prader-Willi population. But in terms of getting the study up and running, that was the easiest. We're evaluating whether we'll add some additional sites. Dr. Miller site is pretty backed out at the moment. She's done an incredible amount for us. And so she may not be one of those sites, but she'll certainly be a lead investigator going into Phase 3.
And our next question will come from Thomas Smith with Leerink Partners.
Congrats on the early data. Apologies if I missed this, but could you talk a little bit about the kinetics and the consistency of the hyperphagia improvements in the study and maybe directionally how that's trending out at 6 months and beyond? And then on the Phase 3 plans, could you elaborate a little bit on some of the stratification factors you're considering, whether it's baseline BMI, hyperphagia genotype or some other factors and how you're planning to maximize probability of success there from an enrollment standpoint?
Yes. With regard to the kinetics of the HQ-CT, those scores drop quickly, meaning over the first 1 to 2 months, and then they stay down at basically that level. So we showed you the data from 3 months. That's very consistent with what we would expect to see biologically. It's what we've seen in all of our other trials. An extreme example of a BBS patient, which always sticks in my mind is the patient was dosed in the doctor's office, the first dose and the doctor got a call at noon time from the mother who said, we're at the airport and my son left half the sandwich on his plate and he's never done that before.
So that's consistent with how the physiology of this MC4R agonism works. And so again, seeing this change in scores on the earlier side, again, makes sense to us. Now in Prader-Willi, it's complicated because you've got a lot of other behavioral issues, which may not be driven specifically by a lack of satiety. And so those things may complicate the ability to see changes in behavior and some of the things that are being captured by the HQ-CT.
But in general, that's the biology. It moves quickly and tends to stay at about the same level -- with regard to Phase 3, again, I'll please just it's early here. I've given you some initial thinking. Things we've done in the past, which we would for sure do here. If we have an all-comers trial, age 6 and above, for example, we'd stratify by age. You have to stratify by age, stratify by things that have the potential to have a significant impact on outcomes. So the fact that Vykat, maybe there might be synergy, then of course, you want to stratify that. And then I think beyond that, you can have infinite stratification, we'll get some more data in here and make final decisions, but those are 2 that for sure, we'll stratify for.
And our next question will come from Rohan Mathur with Oppenheimer.
This is Rohan on for Leland. Just given how debilitating hyperphagia is in this patient population, how are you thinking about the relative importance of showing robust reduction in hyperphagia versus clinically meaningful BMI changes, especially as you're thinking about the pivotal study? And this is maybe more for Dr. Miller. As you think about positioning with Vykat, what kind of patients would you expect to be considered eligible for Vykat and not setmelanotide?
Let me take the first one, and then Dr. Miller, you can think if there's anything you want to add there? In terms of what we would view as most important, the way we think about BMI versus -- I mean, it's all part of what makes it's all part of the disease. If you have a deficiency in the pathway, it's not like you just gain weight necessarily without an impact on your satiety signal. Now like satiety like pain, patients interpret it differently. I mean in some patients, you run a pain score.
It's not that the injury isn't there, whatever induced might induce pain, just people interpret it differently. Some have little to no "registry" of that, others find it extreme. And so this hyperphagia endpoint is no different than that. And so again, with that context, our focus will be on the BMI changes, the body composition changes. And the way we think about hyperphagia is biologically, if we are moving those aspects of the disease because the BMI, the weight gain, the BMI gain is a consequence of the lack of a satiety signal, i.e., increased energy intake and decreased energy expenditure and that combination, of course, leads to often the more obesity we see in patients with this deficit.
So I don't know if that answers your question. But yes, BMIs are going to be our focus and associated changes there. But hyperphagia, if those move, it will move. And that's how we think about it. And Dr. Miller, just your thoughts in the world -- and again, I'm going to give you an out here in terms of being extremely early, but thinking about patients on Vykat versus something like a setmelanotide.
Yes. I mean I think I would do what I've done here, which is that I would choose patients for setmelanotide who weight and the comorbidities of weight are very significant problems for them, whether that be diabetes or lymphedema or untreated obstructive sleep apnea. For Vykat, it's been fairly easy to choose who goes on, people with significant hyperphagia go on. And just because you do have significant hyperphagia and Prader-Willi does not mean you have to be obese.
Most of the families -- and we're talking a younger generation here right now. The older generation is still a little bit skeptical of any new drugs. But with regard to Vykat, the families -- I mean food is locked, there's constant supervision, that kind of thing. And so Vykat allows them to have a little bit more freedom and a freedom for the kids in their lives to live a more normal life. And so I'm choosing ones that are not having those complications that would potentially cause problems or side effects on Vykat if they were to start it clinically. And for setmelanotide, I mean, again, it would be the people that really are having complications of their weight because, again, weight is almost impossible to treat in Prader-Willi. It's very, very difficult.
Okay. Thank you for that question. I know we got to get Dr. Miller back to clinic here. We could take -- there's 3 more questions, please.
Yes. For the last 3, if we just ask to limit it to one question...
One question each, and we'll try to wrap up here.
And the next question will come from Raghuram Selvaraju with H.C. Wainwright.
I just wanted to ask about how you folks are looking at the prediabetic space in Prader-Willi syndrome. At what point would you be able to proactively identify patients who wouldn't be considered candidates for Vykat therapy because of the likelihood that the therapy might predispose them towards the development of diabetes.
So what we're really looking at is the segment of patients who might not necessarily be formally diagnosed with type 2 diabetes, but who are trending in that direction. And maybe this, in a sense, is also something for the expert to opine on. But I just wanted to see if it would be possible for you to comment on how early in the treatment continuum you might expect a drug like setmelanotide to be deployable.
So I will say that sorry, go ahead, David. Sorry.
No. Go ahead.
I was going to say that prediabetes itself does not stop me from starting someone on Vykat. I mean, obviously, we watch the blood sugars very closely. We watch the A1c very closely. During the clinical trial, which I was one of the lead investigators for, we saw the sugars and A1c initially go up and then came back down and stabilized over time. So I advise the patients that, that's what happened in the trial. And as long as we stick to diet and we do what we're supposed to do, then I'm not really worried about starting them on Vykat.
So that's not the population I'm really thinking of. It's the people who have overt diabetes. It's the people with an A1c -- I mean, patient #1 in this trial, her A1c was 15.4 when she came in. I mean, in patient #2, I think she was 12.1 when she came in. I mean those are people that just flat out would never be -- I would never consider for Vykat therapy. Those are the people I'm thinking about for starting setmelanotide versus Vykat. Does that answer your question?
Yes, that's perfect.
And the next question will come from Samantha Semenkow with Citi.
This is Ben on for Sam. I was wondering if you could provide -- or excuse me, if you could remind us or maybe provide some additional color on the differences in the patients that had deeper responses between months 3 and 6 versus those that didn't? And then how do you plan to control for those in the planned registrational trial?
Yes, I'll take it. We can't plan for that. But just to remind you, so out of the 5 patients who made it to the end of the trial, 3 of them trended down, 2 cleared the 5% that was patient 2 and 3. Patient 6, which I went through, that patient plateaued from month 3 to 6 on their BMI, but that was the patient with their DEXA scan that showed the 10% decrease in their fat mass. So I view all of those patients as good strong responders, nothing to do. And then patient #5, as we talked about, he had actually decreased 4% at month 2.
Now it was month 3, he had already -- during that period in noncompliance, he had started to regain. So again, those kind of patients are incredibly helpful, which is they're an on/off. Looks like they're responding, they're taking the meds. When you stop the meds, they regain again. And so all you can do in a Phase 3 trial is you just try to maximize compliance as best you can. And then patient 1, we talked about a lot, which is just really challenging and maybe stabilization for her is already a win. And her corresponding phenotype in the placebo group would be continuing to gain weight. So that would offset. So that's how we think about that part of it.
And the last question will come from Joey Stringer with Needham...
Sorry if I missed this, but just generally, can you describe the types of background meds that patients were on? I know you mentioned ICAT, but others that could potentially affect weight loss such as CLIPS. And then quickly for Dr. Miller, just in general, were the patient baseline characteristics and the corresponding background meds representative with what you would see with PWS patients in your practice?
I can answer both questions actually, David, if that's okay. So the background meds, nobody was on a GLP-1. And so there were really -- nobody was on any med aside from Vykat VCA that potentially could even potentially have an effect on weight. The great majority of these patients are on atypical antipsychotics, which is very, very common in the population of Prader-Willi that we're looking at here. Adolescents, there's a very high incidence of people on atypical antipsychotics due to behavioral problems. And so that was the most common med. Growth hormone, of course, levothyroxine, occasionally Corteva for central adrenal insufficiency. Some behavioral meds like Depakote, Llithium for patients that had particularly severe behavior problems. Those were the most common. It was mostly psych meds that were the most common concurrent medications for people on this trial. And again, that is very representative of the population.
Perfect. And some of those meds can contribute to weight gain, so they do.
Right. Exactly, not weight loss, right?
Okay. I think that was the last question. So I want to thank all of you for tuning in this morning. Obviously, we're excited about where we are and really looking forward to developing further in this indication. Talk to you all soon.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and welcome to the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call may be recorded.
I'd now like to turn the call over to Dave Connolly, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Michelle. Good morning. I'm Dave Connolly here at Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. This morning, we issued a press release announcing that the extension of the PDUFA goal date for setmelanotide in HO was extended from December 20 to March 20. That press release is available on our website.
For those of you participating on the conference call, we have a few slides that can be accessed and controlled by going to the Investors section of our website, ir.rhythmtx.com.
On the call today is David Meeker, our Chairman, CEO and President; Alicia Fiscus, Senior Vice President and Head of Regulatory; and CFO, Hunter Smith are here today as well available to answer questions.
On Slide 3, I'll remind you that this call contains remarks concerning future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in our most recent annual or quarterly reports on file with the SEC.
In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent dates. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Dr. Meeker, who will begin on Slide 5. And at the conclusion, we will take a few questions this morning from our covering analysts. Dr. Meeker?
Thank you, Dave. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining on such short notice. We learned that last evening that the FDA extended the PDUFA goal date in connection with the review of our supplemental NDA for setmelanotide to treat patients with acquired hypothalamic obesity. The agency asked for additional sensitivity analyses in October and then deemed our response to their request to be a major amendment, which allows the FDA reviewers to extend the PDUFA date by 3 months. The PDUFA was extended, as Dave noted, from December 20 this year to March 20, 2026. We will obviously work closely with the reviewers, and we have every competencies. Additional analyses confirm the robustness of setmelanotide's efficacy and support approval.
So here's what happened. We received an information request dated October 20 and submitted the response by the due date of October 27, and extension was based on that response. The information request asked for a sensitivity analysis related to our first key secondary end point. The proportion of adult patients with greater than or equal 5% reduction in BMI or pediatric patients with a greater than or equal 0.2 BMI Z-score reduction.
Specifically, since this was a global trial, we only record the year of birth for each patient and not the month and day because of data privacy laws. For a child, months make a difference in the calculation of their BMI Z-scores. For the analysis, we have used an imputed date of January 1 as the birth date for each patient when calculating BMI Z-scores, which are age dependent, which is the same approach we have taken for each of our trials.
For this information request, the FDA asked us to use an imputed birth date of July 1 for each patient as opposed to January 1 as an additional sensitivity analysis and to rerun that analysis for all patients under [ 18 ]. The results of that reanalysis and how the results compared to the original analysis are shown on Slide 5. The left side of the table shows the setmelanotide and placebo results for the 120 patient cohort and the full 142 patient cohort using the January 1 imputed date. This was our original submission. The right side of the table shows the same data using an imputed date of July 1. As you can see, when the data set was reanalyzed with the adjustment, the results were highly similar in the trial conclusions unaltered.
We also have previously submitted as part of the review, a couple of additional sensitivity analysis on the full data set, which had been requested, which showed similar results and no change to the conclusion.
The FDA judge this October 27's response to their information requests as constituting a major amendment justifying the extension of the PDUFA date. Importantly, we have not been notified of any significant safety or efficacy concerns.
This extension was unexpected and obviously incredibly disappointing, most importantly, for patients with hypothalamic obesity with no approved therapies available. We will continue to work with the FDA to swiftly address any additional questions.
And as Dave noted, we'll move now to questions and obviously, happy to take questions here. These notifications we have from the FDA are extremely cryptic. So I don't have a lot of additional information beyond -- if any, beyond what we've laid out here and our goal in laying this out, is try to give you as much transparency and visibility into what happened here.
So with that, we'll go to questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Phil Nadeau with TD Cowen.
2. Question Answer
Thanks for the transparency, very helpful. Two from us. I guess, first, so you had this information request. It seems like it doesn't change the conclusions. Are there any other outstanding information request from the FDA? Or was this the last one?
And then second, if memory serves me back in 2022 when you got the label extension for BBS, there was also a request for, I think, a sensitivity analysis that resulted in a 3-month push to the PDUFA, but ultimately the application was approved. Can you remind us what happened back in 2022 and how similar the situation is to that?
Sure. Let me take that 1 first. So yes, we did have exactly the same situation on the BBS file. They asked us for a relatively voluminous request, again, a sensitivity analysis, I'm really analyzing much of the same data set. That was submitted. To be honest with you, we had no further interaction around the data we resubmitted, the review then went forward. And as you know, that we were approved on the new PDUFA date. So it's similar only in the sense that they ask for a fairly -- they asked a big question with a bunch of additional work.
And what also happens with these questions, I mean, this -- we generated a very simple table here. And as you can see from the table, it shows there's nothing has changed, that would be easy for them to look at. That's not all they want. They want all of the original data laid out in table form for every single patient, and then they rerun the analysis themselves. So the additional work in time that they need is based on the fact not that they need to review our table, but that they need to review all of the original data and redo the analysis. So yes, similar in that sense.
Are there any other requests? So the review is still ongoing. We -- you continue to get questions as you go forward. The way the timing works here, we were just coming up on 1 of the dates in -- formal dates in the review period where they are required to give you some feedback on what our potential post-marketing request, that was November 8, the Saturday. So that would mean ideally today, we would have gotten some of that information. So they were bumping up against a time line for a requirement on their side.
But as I said, the review will go forward up until presumably the March 20 date, and they can continue to ask questions on any part of the file as that goes forward. But there's been nothing, as we've gotten to this point, and there's nothing that we see going forward that they would request, but I don't know. I mean we'll see. I mean they can obviously ask additional questions.
Our next question comes from Derek Archila with Wells Fargo.
Just a quick question from us in terms of just the reviewers. Any changes there in terms of like who's been reviewing the application that might have driven this change or this additional request or -- just a question there.
And then in terms of -- again, kind of I guess piggybacking off Phil's question, I mean, is there still a possibility that we could get something on the earlier side of approval before the new PDUFA date just given that, is it like such a voluminous data request, as you kind of said with BBS, is this kind of less volume in terms of data that you're submitting?
Yes. So technically, they can approve it at any time. The PDUFA date is just a goal target. So yes, in theory, it could come earlier.
I think historically, my understanding is that's not what tends to happen, they tend to use the time available. So I think our expectation going forward is that March 20 would be the date.
They did ask -- sorry, when going back to Phil's question, for updated data now that we have this extended PDUFA date, there's -- Japanese patients will complete their full period, so they want that data as it becomes available as well. So they'll use the full time is my guess.
Sorry, there was another question there, Derek?
Yes, just any changes in the personnel reviewing the file.
Sorry, yes. So no, not that we're aware of. I mean all the communication comes from the review division Director. That has not changed. And again, as we've highlighted in our other calls, it seems like we're moving along in a pretty straightforward normal situation. It didn't seem to be affected by some of the other changes at the FDA.
The only other thing, and again, we can all just speculate on what's going on here. I mean this is a busy division. They reviewed all the obesity submissions. And we know the priority review voucher discussion just came up, and there -- some obesity drugs that look like they may be in there, and that may put additional workload on this. So all of this is pure speculation. And again, I don't know, we only know what we got from my cryptic notification.
Our next question comes from Mike Ulz with Morgan Stanley.
It's Avi Novick on line for Mike. I also appreciate all the transparency here. Yes. So I guess, just thinking ahead to the eventual launch of this 3-month extension still enable you to set, identify more patients. Or how does that impact your launch plans and your launch readiness targets?
We'll be better prepared. I mean it's not all downside of this in the sense that -- of course, the team is now in place. And you heard from Jennifer, people have been hired. They're in the field. They only have more time again to continue to help work with this community and build more relationships, and we'll be -- by the time approval does come, we will be even better prepared.
Our next question comes from Corinne Johnson with Goldman Sachs.
Maybe you could just talk a little bit about that comment you made regarding -- including the Japanese data in the filing. How big of an addition is that? And any chance that could cause any further delays?
Yes. No, it's 12 patients. So -- and all of the pieces, you're dropping in 12 patients. It's minimal in terms of the incremental add to this. We've provided safety updates on all of those patients going forward to provide interim data on those patients going forward. This is just filling out the full data set, which as we explained previously that all these patients will complete by the end of January. So there's no issue and you never say never, but there's no risk basically to that Japanese data being added to the file.
Our next question comes from Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
I just wanted to ask you, is there any read-through to interactions that you're having with the agency on clinical trials that are currently underway? Are people -- some of the people involved, some of the same people that you're going to have to negotiate with on this PDUFA, just want to get a sense, you do continue to have important data catalysts upcoming next year and beyond. I just want to get a sense of if anything needs to be changed in terms of time lines, expectations or strategy in your discussions with the agency on pipeline?
Yes. No, thanks, Tazeen. Not from our side. I mean, we've worked with the same group of reviewers. I mean there's some changes at the lower levels, if you will. But the senior leadership of this division has been intact. We've continue to work with the Division Director over time. And with our new submissions going forward as well, that's highly advantageous for the most part, I mean they know our -- they may know our drug, they know us and know the trial. So I don't -- there's no read through to these other efforts. I think this is very much -- they had time lines coming up around this drug, and they ask for this information request and have the right to judge that response as a major amendment and push it out by 3 months. So -- and beyond that, I'm just speculating. But there's no real -- I can't imagine any read-through, but these other interactions we're having.
And that's all the time we have for questions. I'd like to turn the call back over to David Meeker, CEO, for closing remarks.
Yes. So thanks, again, for all of you for tuning in. As we said, this is obviously incredibly disappointing. It happened to us before. It's happened to other companies. Like I said, we feel incredibly confident in the submission overall. We know this drug can have a potentially incredibly transformative effect for patients with HO and we'll continue to pursue that goal for getting it approved and meet the March 20 time line. So look forward to our next update. Thanks for tuning in.
Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
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2. Question Answer
" Morgan Stanley, Research Division
" TD Cowen, Research Division
" Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division
" Canaccord Genuity, Research Division
" Leerink Partners LLC, Research Division
" Goldman Sachs, Research Division
" Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Incorporated, Research Division
" Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division
" Jefferies LLC, Research Division
" H.C. Wainwright & Co, LLC, Research Division
" Citizens JMP Securities, LLC, Research Division
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Q3 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, David Connolly, Investor Relations at Rhythm. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Heidi. I'm Dave Connolly here at Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. For those of you participating on the conference call, our slides can be accessed and controlled by going to the Investors section of our website, ir.rhythmtx.com. This morning, we issued a press release that provides our Q3 financial results and a business update, and that press release is also available on our website.
Our agenda is listed on Slide 2. On the call today are David Meeker, our Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President; Jennifer Lee, Executive Vice President, Head of North America; Hunter Smith, Chief Financial Officer; and Yann Mazabraud, Executive Vice President, Head of International is on the line joining us from Europe.
On Slide 3, I'll remind you that this call contains remarks concerning future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed on our most recent annual quarterly reports on file with the SEC. In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent dates. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements.
With that, I'll turn the call over to David Meeker, who will begin on Slide 5.
Thank you, Dave. Good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining us this morning. Rhythm delivered strong growth and continued momentum during the third quarter as we prepare to launch IMCIVREE in acquired hypothalamic obesity pending FDA approval. That is a transformative opportunity for Rhythm. We are finishing strong in 2025, a year in which we delivered robust Phase III data with setmelanotide and HO, presented outstanding Phase II efficacy data with our next-gen oral MC4R inhibitor, bivamelagon, and strengthened our balance sheet with a $189 million equity offering in July.
With our PDUFA date next month and additional data readouts coming this quarter and next, we are well positioned to deliver sustained long-term growth. The steady growth in global IMCIVREE revenue driven predominantly by BBS continued this quarter with $51.3 million in sales, representing growth of approximately 10% in the number of patients on reimbursed therapy. We have built a strong global foundation for our business with IMCIVREE, the only therapy that addresses the root cause of hyperphagia and the severe obesity of rare MC4R pathway diseases. The teams continue to engage with physicians and prescribers, identify patients and ensure access to IMCIVREE.
Beyond commercial success, we have been executing on the regulatory front as well. For HO, both the FDA and EMEA accepted our regulatory filings this quarter. The EMA validated our type 2 marketing authorization request and the FDA accepted our supplemental NDA filing. The regulatory dialogue has been promising and productive and keeping us on track for a December 20 PDUFA date and potentially European approval in the second half of 2026. Jennifer and Yann will share some details on the quarter as well as the upcoming launch efforts in the U.S. and the timing in the international region.
We remain on track to report preliminary results from our exploratory Phase II trial in Prader-Willi syndrome by the end of the year. I have no further updates on today's call, but I will reiterate several of the comments we have made previously. There's a strong biologic rationale as to why MC4R agonism may work in PWS based to a large extent on the involvement of the MAGL-2 gene where patients with isolated MAGL-2 variants have impaired signaling through the MC4R pathway.
We also know PWS is an incredibly complex disease due to defects in many genes and a clinical presentation characterized by obesity, hyperphagia, cognitive delay and abnormal behaviors. It is this latter aspect of the disease, which makes clinical studies particularly difficult. Thus, our rather neutral prediction that we have a 50-50 chance of working. Success will be defined by a BMI percent change with the target being results that would give us confidence we could clear a 5% threshold in BMI decrease at 52 weeks in the Phase III trial.
We are collecting measures of hyperphagia, specifically the HQCT questionnaire in this trial. But I remind you, it is an open-label trial and absent a control group interpretation will be difficult. We are working with one site with a goal of enrolling 10 to 20 patients followed for 6 months. Obviously, we will not be reporting out on the full cohort in our end of the year release. I know there will be questions on exact timing. There are some practical aspects to that with regard to having as much data entered into the system and quality check as possible, but we can commit that it will be prior to the Christmas break.
One comment before we dive into the findings on Slide 6 is that over my career working on a number of rare diseases, one aspect that is invariably true is that when you get a therapy approved, you have only just begun to learn the full impact of your therapy on that disease. In BBS, for example, we had the clinical data from approximately 50 patients at the time of approval. These MC4R pathway diseases are rare and absolutely fit that mold. The paper described here on Slide 6 is a German study that showed 6 months of setmelanotide therapy was associated with clinically meaningful improvements in steatotic liver disease and kidney function.
This prospective observational study was conducted at University Hospital Essen in Germany with 26 patients with BBS ages 6 to 52 years, all with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease or MASLD at baseline. These patients were followed for 6 months. And after 6 months of treatment, more than 80% of patients exhibited either resolution of MASLD or stabilization at the lowest grade of disease or S1.
We know weight loss can improve liver function in patients with obesity, but these changes did not correlate closely with BMI change, raising the possibility that some other aspect of the melanocortin biology may be mediating these changes. These results were recently published in the Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism.
On Slide 7, our upcoming launch in HO represents an incredibly important milestone for Rhythm. As you heard from Jennifer at our investor event in September, and we'll hear again from her this morning, we have the pieces in place to execute a successful launch. She and her management team have done a great job expanding our existing commercial teams with the hiring of a group of highly experienced and extremely talented individuals who are excited to get started.
With an estimated prevalence of 10,000 patients in the United States, this is, as noted, a transformative opportunity for us. The unmet need is significant and clear and setmelanotide showed strong efficacy in Phase II and III trials. The regulatory dialogue is ongoing, and we appear to be on track for our PDUFA date of December 20. Obesity Week begins this week in Atlanta. Dr. Christian Roth has an oral presentation of the outcome of patients on GLP-1 therapy in our Phase III trials. You have seen this data previously, but it will again be an opportunity to highlight the value of correcting the hormonal deficit in alka-melanocyte stimulating hormone in patients who may not be getting the desired response from other anti-obesity medications. Overall, there is strong buzz in the community and a lot of excitement at Rhythm as we near launch.
Lastly, Slide 8 are the upcoming milestones. We covered the first 2, our PDUFA date and potential HO approval and the preliminary data readout in Grader-Willi, both likely coming in December. We aim to complete enrollment of the RM-718 weekly Phase II study in HO patients during the first quarter of 2026. We will also release top line data from the Japanese cohort from our Phase III acquired HO trial in Q1, and we will release top line data from the EMANATE trial in Q1. We aim to complete enrollment of the congenital HO trial in the first half. And finally, we will initiate our Phase III study with bivamelagon in acquired HO next year. We'll further define the timing once we've had feedback from the regulators. It's a busy end of the year.
With that, I will turn the call over to Jennifer.
Thank you, David. I'm going to be starting on Slide 10 today. So it's an exciting time as we continue our preparations for launch in acquired hypersonic obesity pending FDA approval by leveraging the strong foundation of our commercial efforts for BBS. BBS and HO are both rare diseases caused by an impairment to the MC4R pathway, which commonly results in hyperphagia or abnormal food-seeking behaviors and severe obesity. IMCIVREE is unique in its ability to address the root cause of hyperphagia and obesity in these patients.
And over the last 3 years, we have seen that physicians are prescribing IMCIVREE for their patients with BBS, payers are providing access and patients are benefiting with some now entering their fourth year on treatment. The positive growth in BBS continued during the third quarter. Quarter-over-quarter, we have seen a steady volume in new prescriptions and an increase in number of patients on reimbursed therapy. We continue to see gains in both the depth and breadth of prescribers with approximately a 7% increase in the cumulative total number of BBS prescribers quarter-over-quarter.
In the third quarter, the proportion of prescriptions for pediatric versus adult patients began to normalize following the uptick in prescriptions for pediatric patients during the first half of this year, which we discussed in our last quarterly call. For the third quarter, the breakdown of new prescriptions was as follows: 50% of new patients were adults, 22% were adolescents and 28% were pediatrics. And these percentages are trending back to the typical mix prior to the IMCIVREE label expansion to include patients as young as 2 years of age.
Next slide. Moving on to our preparations for the acquired hypothalamic obesity launch. We have hired highly experienced professionals to supplement our home office and field organization, and our teams have been actively engaging with customers. As we outlined on our acquired hypothalamic obesity commercial readiness event in September, we are focused on engaging with and educating physicians in order to differentiate MC4R pathway diseases, including acquired hypothalamic obesity from general obesity, expedite patient diagnosis and following approval, establish IMCIVREE as the foundational treatment for acquired HO and educate payers to secure access and support patients long term once they have initiated treatment.
Next slide. We also shared some insights into the market and our data-driven approach to this specialty-centric opportunity. We analyzed claims data to narrow down our top physician targets and size our field teams. Let me walk you through that once again. We started with claims associated with brain tumors and treatment. Within these, we looked at those with hypothalamic dysfunction and also obesity. And lastly, within these, we look to patient visits with an endocrinologist within the past 18 months. This claims analysis allowed us to identify approximately 5,000 endocrinologists who potentially have 1 patient or more with hypothalamic obesity under their care. From these 5,000 endocrinologists, we narrowed our initial focus to 2,400 top-tier physician targets who we believe manage a higher volume of patients.
Next slide. Throughout this year, our teams have focused on profiling our top targets. Their profiling activity to date has resulted in the identification of more than 2,000 potential patients suspected to have HO or formally diagnosed to have HO. We are still early in the process of profiling identified physicians and our expanded sales organization is now on ground, focused on further penetrating these top-tier targets to identify more potential patients with acquired aspislamic obesity.
Next slide. Our teams are in place and as we expanded our organization to support the upcoming launch. Our access team is engaging with payers to educate them on acquired HO and setmelanotide data through pre-approval information exchange presentations to support reimbursement once approved. Our territory managers are in the field engaging with the physician community to increase disease awareness. And once IMCIVREE is approved an acquired HO, they will educate on IMCIVREE's efficacy and safety data to support prescriptions.
Our patient service team will engage with patients and their families to educate them on the disease to help them navigate insurance coverage once prescribed IMCIVREE and provide support to help guide treatment expectations and keep them on treatment long term. It's certainly an exciting time with a strong foundation in place with many learnings on the needs of patients and their providers, a clear strategy and experienced teams in place, we are ready to go, pending approval on December 20.
With that, let me hand it over to Yann.
Thank you, Jennifer. I begin on Slide 16. We saw continued success with our international business during the third quarter as IMCIVREE is now available for BBS and/or POMC/LEPR deficiencies in more than 25 countries outside the United States. And the number of patients with BBS POMC/LEPR deficiencies or hypothalamic obesity on IMCIVREE continues to grow in the international region.
During the third quarter, we reached an agreement with the French Economic Committee for Health Products on reimbursement pricing for IMCIVREE for BBS and POMC/LEPR. We are pleased with the result of the negotiations as the negotiated price is in line with rare disease pricing and also reflects the therapeutic benefit patients receive from with IMCIVREE. We remain very encouraged by our reimbursed early access programs for HO in France and Italy both granted based on our Phase II data, which is very uncommon. The growth of these programs illustrates the important unmet need and setmenotide's potential to provide these patients with significant therapeutic benefit.
And in parallel, named patient sales continue to provide access to patients in several additional countries outside the EU4 and the U.K. For example, just recently, we achieved our first commercial patient in Argentina through a named patient sales. Our team continues to execute and remains committed to expanding market access for patients in addressing the unmet need to treat these rare MC4R pathway diseases throughout the international region, establishing foundational relationships with expert physicians and local authorities built on patients benefiting from IMCIVREE. This will help us to be successful as we prepare the next freedom chapter for the international region.
Next slide. The next chapter is our international launches in hypothalamic obesity. The global unmet need for HO treatment is high as demonstrated by the growth in our early access programs in France and Italy. During the third quarter, we completed the EMA submission to expand the marketing authorization for IMCIVREE to include acquired HO. The EMA has a set calendar to review such submissions. And if that time frame holds and the review is positive, we anticipate a CHMP opinion and the EU marketing authorization in the second half of 2026.
Establishing reimbursement for acquired HO in Europe country by country will take time. Germany will be the first country where we would launch. But as we did for POMC/LEPR and BBS, we will seek an exemption from the German Federal Joint Committee an exclusion list that prohibits reimbursement for lifestyle drugs, such as drugs designed to treat hair loss, smoking cessation and general obesity. This process is necessary in order to secure federal reimbursement.
We are confident we can have the same success we had with POMC/LEPR and BBS as IMCIVREE was the first-ever precision medicine to be exempted and therefore, reimbursed. We believe the same approach should hold for acquired HO and that is demonstrating acquired HO clearly is a rare disease that is distinct from general obesity. So we are hopeful for a similar outcome.
At the same time, we will engage in access and reimbursement negotiations in the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands and other countries. Taken together in these countries, we estimate the prevalence of acquired HO in Europe to be approximately 10,000 patients, making Europe a meaningful market for us.
Moving to Slide 18. Japan will also be a very important market for us with an estimated prevalence between 5,000 and 8,000 patients, which is 2 to 3x greater per capita than Europe and the United States. We have started to build out a strong local team with a focus on regulatory, quality, CMC, medical affairs, market access and marketing. We have now established a strong leadership team in Japan, and we have already 14 Rhythm employees in place. Notably, our General Manager, who is already well known to the team here from our time together at Sanofi Genzyme, previously led the highly successful launch of Dupixent in Japan.
As David said, we anticipate top line data from the Phase III cohort of Japanese patients in the first quarter of 2026, which will be followed by submission of the Japanese NDA to the PMDA. Typically, regulatory review in Japan is approximately 9 months. These ex- U.S. time lines point to launches potentially during 2027.
With that, I will turn the call over to Hunter.
Thank you, Yann. Before discussing the specifics of the quarter, let me reemphasize the message of financial strength delivered during our last quarterly call. As we raised approximately $189.2 million in net proceeds from a follow-on equity offering completed early in Q3, we ended the third quarter with $416.1 million in cash on hand. This cash in conjunction with projected revenue from anticipated global sales of IMCIVREE for currently approved indications and including HO pending FDA approval as well as planned R&D and SG&A spending provides us with at least 24 months of runway. Rhythm's balance sheet is as strong as it's ever been.
Now looking at Slide 20 and the revenue dynamics during the quarter. Global revenue for the third quarter was $51.3 million, a sequential 6% increase from $48.5 million for the second quarter of 2025. The number of patients on reimbursed therapy increased by 10% globally during the quarter. $38.2 million or 74% of Q3 net revenue was generated in the United States and $13.1 million or 26% of total revenue was generated outside the United States.
The U.S. delivered another solid quarter, buoyed by a high single-digit percentage increase in the number of reimbursed patients on therapy. Approximately $3.7 million of the quarter-over-quarter increase in revenue was driven by an increase in IMCIVREE dispensed to patients, a good indication of fundamental growth in demand. As we've seen in prior quarters, there was also an inventory effect Q2 into Q3 with increases in inventory at our specialty pharmacy driving $2.5 million of the sequential variance in quarterly sales. The quarter ended on a Tuesday, the day that our specialty pharmacy takes delivery of product, with the result that their inventory days on hand increased from just under 10 days at the end of Q2 to approximately 16 days at the end of Q3.
Outside the U.S., quarter-over-quarter revenue decreased by $3.4 million. Patients on reimbursed therapy increased at a low double-digit percentage during the quarter, indicating continued solid fundamental growth in demand for IMCIVREE. In France, as Jan mentioned, we agreed to a final reimbursement for IMCIVRE for POMC/LEPR and BBS. Since 2022, we have been accruing revenue under the French early access programs and provisioning for this eventual agreement.
Based on this agreement, we recorded a onetime $3.2 million charge during the quarter -- third quarter of 2025 to account for the difference between what has been accrued to date and what is owed. Of the $3.2 million, approximately $0.6 million was related to revenue booked in Q3 '25 and $1.5 million was related to year-to-date 2025, with the balance related to periods prior to 2025. Excluding this impact, international revenue was affected by variability in ordering patterns for named patient sales in certain distributor markets.
On Slide 21 is the financial snapshot. In the year-over-year comparison to Q3 2024, the net product revenues increased $18 million or 54% and gross to net for U.S. sales was 84%, generally in line with gross to net percentages we've shown in previous quarters. Cost of goods sold this quarter was 10.7% of product revenue, which is mostly attributable to cost of materials and our royalty payment on setmelanotide to Ipsen. We generally expect cost of goods sold to be between 10% and 12% of net product revenue with variation due to how our inventory balances are changing and the corresponding capitalization of labor and overhead costs.
R&D expenses were $46 million for Q3 compared to $37.9 million in the same quarter last year. Sequentially, R&D expenses increased $3.7 million or approximately 9% over Q2 2025. This increase was primarily due to chemistry, manufacturing and controls or CMC work related to improving the formulation of bivamelagon and development of an auto-injector for RM-718 as well as increased headcount and stock comp expense. Year-over-year increased spending was partially offset by a reduction in clinical trial costs.
SG&A expenses were $52.4 million for Q3 2025 as compared to $35.4 million in Q2 last year. Sequentially, SG&A expenses increased by $6.5 million or approximately 14% compared to Q2 2025. Increased SG&A spend from Q2 to Q3 was due to increased headcount costs and marketing costs associated with the upcoming launch in acquired hypothalamic obesity.
For the third quarter of 2025, the weighted average common shares outstanding were 66.3 million. The increase in Q3 was mostly due to the equity offering when we issued nearly 2.4 million shares as well as the exercise of previously issued stock options. Cash used in operations was approximately $27 million during the third quarter. Our GAAP EPS for the third quarter of 2025 was a net loss per basic and diluted share of $0.82, including $0.02 per share from accrued dividends on convertible preferred stock of $1.4 million. We ended the third quarter with approximately $416 million in cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments, which, again, we expect to be sufficient to fund planned operations for at least 24 months.
Lastly for me, on Slide 22, there is further detail on our operating expenses for the third quarter and updated full year operating expense guidance. For the third quarter, operating expenses of $98.5 million include a total of $18.8 million in stock-based compensation. For fiscal year 2025, we are tightening our full year guidance and shifting the mix between R&D and SG&A expenses given the resources we have committed to be ready for the anticipated launch of IMCIVREE acquired HO later this quarter.
We anticipate approximately $295 million to $315 million in non-GAAP operating expenses comprised of non-GAAP R&D expenses of $150 million to $165 million and non-GAAP SG&A expenses of $145 million to $150 million.
With that, I'll turn the call back over to David.
Thank you, Hunter. And with that, we'll go to Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] We will take our first question, and the question comes from the line of Mike Ulz from Morgan Stanley.
Congratulations on all the progress. Maybe just one quick one on bVomeEalon. If you can share your latest thinking on the trial design for your Phase III HO study. And just curious if you received any initial feedback yet from the FDA there.
Yes. At this point, we've run many trials in this MC4R pathway area. Vivo will be -- the HO trial will be similar, and we'll obviously mimic what we did in the HO trial. So our expectation at this point is it will be a double-blind randomized controlled trial. We will have a discussion with the regulators around the duration of the double-blind period. Our expectation is that in some form, they will want a full year of data. This is a new chemical entity and MC. So again, whether we would provide that 6 months of double-blind plus an additional 6 enroll open label will be better the kinds of questions we'll bring forward to regulators.
But in terms of primary endpoints and the like, again, we will be a percent BMI change, and we'll be enrolling children and adults in the trial. And then in terms of regulators, so we anticipate at this point, our expected Phase II, post-Phase II meeting with the FDA when we would get this feedback is likely to be in the first quarter next year.
The next question comes from the line of Phil Nadeau from TD Cowen.
On the progress. Our question is to dive into the PWS efficacy endpoints a bit further to understand what you need to see to advance IMCIVREE forward in PWS. So in terms of weight, you suggested something that suggests 5% weight loss at 1 year. Can you give us more of a sense of what that is? Is that 2.5% at 26 weeks? Or is there a different way to think about it? And then in terms of hyperphagia, a similar question. You said it's going to be hard to interpret, but nonetheless, hyperphagia is a major determinant of quality of life in Prader-Willi. So is there any level of hyperphagia change that would be proof of concept and warrant further development?
Yes. Yes. No, and I'll just pre saying. I know there's going to be a lot of questions on Prader-Willi. I'll do the best, but needless to say, I won't have a lot more to add to the color we provided previously. But your question on what constitutes success and how will we interpret it. We talked -- our goal is to get 10 to 20 patients on treatment for 6 months. We'll have some part of that cohort available by the end of the year. Obviously, a very small data set. We'll present patient-by-patient data the way we've done in the past, so you can all see exactly what we're looking at. It's not a mean number again, we highlighted that for the BIVA data. It's going to be very much looking patient by patient. And if patients seem to do well, what's our best understanding as to why they did well.
And if another patient didn't do well or have the change, is there some other explanation for that. And you take all that into account. So it's going to be a judgment call, Phil, needless to say. And I don't think it will be -- well, let's put it this way. I mean, you can make these judgment calls in these small data sets, but that's how it will be done. It's not a magic number of we got halfway to the 5% at 6 months. I don't expect necessarily that, that's going to be the metric per se. These things don't tend to be linear, but there will be a level of confidence looking at the individual data points that the drug seems to be working and we run a longer -- a larger trial, we'll be able to get to the 5%.
And then just one last thing on the HQCT. Just to remind everybody, our primary endpoint here is BMI percent change. We would not go into a Phase III trial without confidence that, as I just indicated, we could move that BMI. We wouldn't pursue a hyperphagia label only. I know a number of companies are out there, and I'm seeking that approval at this time. However, based on the mechanism of our drug, if we do see BMI percent change, almost by definition, given the biology, we will improve hyperphagia.
Your next question comes from the line of Derek Archila from Wells Fargo.
So first question, just can you discuss some of the drivers behind the changes to the ongoing variability trial for IMCIVREE? It looks like you extended it out to 52 weeks from 26 and what looks like the potential to explore adding sites to the trial? And then the second question, just briefly, can you discuss if you've had any FDA agreements or discussions around the indication statement for HO and whether it could or could not include hyperphagia?
Yes. I'll take the last one first. So on the HO, again, our regulatory interactions have been -- I'd characterize them as routine, which is favorable given a lot of the news certainly in the FDA, but it's been not exactly as we would expect. They come back with specific questions and we answer those. The labeling discussions tend to be late. So with regard to your specific question on indication, we have not entered into that specific dialogue as of this point.
In terms of the updates that a number of you picked up on in clinicaltrials.gov for the grader-Willy Phase II study, that's really housekeeping. So there was 2 issues there we updated on. One is in any trial, rare disease trials, we set the 6 months as the endpoint, meaning that's the point at which we would look at the BMI and make this judgment, so to speak, are you seeing success or not. But allowing patients to continue if they feel like they want to beyond 6 months, we needed to update the trial to allow that to happen as opposed to leaving somebody and just saying, okay, we got to stop the drug now.
And then the second was in terms of adding an additional site, again, that was just in case we needed, working with a single site, Dr. Miller site in Florida, as you know, she's extremely busy. And so that was just in case we couldn't -- as of this point, we haven't opened a second site. We're continuing to work with Dr. Miller and she's doing well there. So nothing to read through.
Your next question comes from the line of Whitney Ijem from CG.
This is Angela on for Whitney. Maybe switching gears a little bit, a question on the HO launch. Any update you can provide around conversations you're having with payers? Should we assume that most or all patients will be on the free drug program until payers start to finalize their policy updates in 3 to 6 months after approval? Or any color you could provide around the gross to net around launch?
Maybe just one comment before I turn it over to Jennifer. So the patients who have been in the trial will stay in the trial. So the clinical trial patients will stay on drug until they get access, but we will not have an early access program specifically. But beyond that, Jennifer, do you want to comment on?
Yes. So we feel very positive just based off of the feedback that we've received just through our discussions with payers as well as the market research that we've conducted, just gaining payer insights overall. I think from a process of reimbursement post approval, it's going to be a similar process just in general as we receive prescriptions. Even if there's not a specific policy in place by the time we receive the script, we still work through the process just in terms of going back to the payer to try to gain access, and we've been able to gain access even prior to that formal policy being in place.
So I don't expect anything to be different. And I don't expect that we have to wait until the actual time of evaluation of this particular drug with that specific payer to actually be able to gain reimbursement and put that patient on commercial therapy.
The question comes from the line of Faisal Khurshid from Leerink Partners.
I wanted to ask about how investors and the Street should be thinking about the launch curve in hypothalamic obesity. I know you guys have put out this kind of -- these metrics of like 2,400 target physicians and 2,000 patients that you believe are kind of your top targets. How should we think about kind of prosecuting that opportunity and like what the shape of the launch curve could look like relative to like Bardet-Biedl or relative to other launches out there like the Prader-Willi launches?
Thanks for the question. I think overall, just in terms of AHO, we have such a solid ground just based off of what we have learned and put in place for the BBS launch, even very specifically, a lot of work just in terms of the payer landscape to have them understand the difference in terms of our patient population and our drug versus general obesity to have that strong foundation in terms of that understanding as we potentially expand to other indications that are rare that also target a similar pathway.
We have the right team in place. We feel very confident holistically just in terms of the ACP targeting that we have and are really pleased with the progress. And as outlined -- we outlined that we had about 2,000 potential patients that were suspected or actually diagnosed at this point of time. I think with that said, the things that are similar just in terms of BBS and any rare disease is that without a therapy available, there really isn't that much incentive to get patients to a diagnosis, and there's not a lot of education to also help in terms of getting patients to that diagnosis. And that is very similar to what we have learned in the HO space.
Although it's easy potentially to identify potential patients with the background that may have HO, those patients have not necessarily gotten to that specific diagnosis. So that's going to take a bit of time, especially as it takes time for these patients to get back to the endocrinologists to be able to see them, have that discussion, get that diagnosis and then post approval, have that discussion about potentially getting on to IMCIVREE. So we're -- we feel very confident just in terms of our ability to execute, but there are different factors that may impact the ramp in terms of launch.
And 2 things I'll just add in complement to what Jennifer just stated. First, the PWS situation is significantly different because many PWS patients are cared for in group homes and dealt with in very specific specialized centers with the result that the opportunity for them to be prescribed in a more bolus-like fashion is greater. So the -- what we -- our research has indicated that the HO patients are more distributed with community and local endocrinologists as opposed to in specialized centers.
And secondly, conversely, versus -- as Jennifer stated, versus BBS with a higher diagnosis rate and the care in a single specialty accounting for much greater patient percentage of the patients, there is more opportunity there in the early days.
Your next question comes from the line of Corinne Johnson from Goldman Sachs.
This is Erik on for Corinne Johnson here. And the question we have is just to double-click a little more on the HO launch that we were just discussing here. How should we think about the process for and the cadence of reimbursement and the anticipated gross to net in HO, spec like relative to BBS. Can you just give us a little more color on that?
You want me to speak to gross to net to start. I think what we anticipate in terms of differences gross to net is -- it's a little hard to say. We've had around a 50-50 Medicare commercial mix for BBS. We don't know how different the HO population will be, but that is the primary driver of our gross to net because we don't rebate in any meaningful way. So it really is just a question of what's the Medicaid share. That, of course, assumes that we still do not have Medicare access. If we are able to get Medicare access, then that GTN mix will shift favorably.
Jennifer, on the process, in terms of the flow here, getting that patient from an initial script to treatment?
Yes. So we're already engaging with payers just in terms of giving them that heads up just in terms of time lines and potential approval within HO. So they at least have that preliminary background in terms of expectations. Once we received an Rx, our teams work to be able to work through that reimbursement process and that particular payer may be more prioritized in terms of our payer-facing team in terms of follow-up to educate them that we did get approval and we did get a script to be able to try to get reimbursement for that patient.
I think like the timing overall in terms of getting specific policies in place, there are specific timings that different payers have in terms of review of drugs. So that policy timing is a bit different and could be delayed depending on the timing of that particular payer and the review of our drug post approval. But similar to BBS, we didn't necessarily have a policy in place before we got reimbursement for that patient. So we're going to be working both of those through.
Yes. Maybe just to close on that, as Jennifer said, it's a huge advantage to this a follow-on indication. So BBS was basically our first time through and people are learning about the drug for the first time. Here, they know the drug and they got to learn an indication. As Jennifer said, that will take some time, particularly with the policies amazing thing that her team has done is policy or no policy, we can get these patients reimbursed.
Your next question comes from the line of Paul Mattis from Stifel.
This is Julian on for Paul. You talked in the past about how some patients in the PWS study may also be on background VCA. Just based on the mechanism, curious on how you see the potential for additive benefit with setmelanotide.
Yes. No, it's a good question. I mean we're interested in learning more there. As you highlighted, patients who are on VCA are allowed as long as they're stable and stable in the judgment of the treating position, in this case, Dr. Miller, stable on their VCA dose, they are allowed in the trial. Mechanistically, how does diazoxide work with hyperphagia, obviously, by definition, their approval has decreased, behaviors may be somewhat better. What circuits are they working on? I think the one thing we're confident of is we're not redundant. They're not working through setmelanotide, MC4R agonist and exactly however diazoxide working are not working through this MC4R pathway exactly.
So there's certainly a possibility for them to be complementary. I think from a side effect profile, there's not overlapping toxicity. So they certainly can be used together with no concerns. So we'll see. Again, we're, like I said, open to learning here, and hopefully, this trial will give us some insight.
Your next question comes from the line of Seamus Fernandez from Guggenheim Securities.
This is Evan Wang on for Seamus Fernandez. Two questions from me. First, on Prader-Willi, just a follow-up on the trial amendment. Curious in terms of the extension out to 52 weeks and the degree of participation anticipated or observed thus far, have there been any dropouts as patients are entering that original 26-week conclusion?
And then on HO, curious about the international launch preparations, particularly in Europe. Just wondering if you could comment on how you're preparing for another launch there given existing approvals in BBS and any kind of major dialogues with major reimbursement authorities?
Yes. So I'll go and then Yann let take the international one. So I'm not going to update exactly where we are in the patients in the trial and who's beyond that. That will all be coming shortly. Again, we're targeting -- it will definitely be in December. And as I said, the goal is to put out what data we have prior to the Christmas break. Yann, do you want to talk about the international launch?
Yes, sure. Thank you for the question. So as I said during my presentation, we expect to launch in Europe across various countries during 2027. I think we will follow almost the launch sequence we had for BBS, we have already started to engage with the payers. So the payers have known us for now many years and they know setmelanotide very well. And they also have a lot of experts that they can reach out to better understand the drug and the disease. So we are really confident with our launch preparation.
And the last thing is maybe in terms of team. The HO patients population is, of course, larger than BBS. So we will add some staff to make sure that we can adequately cover all the HCPs necessary to make the most of this opportunity, but this will come later, and this will follow the launch sequence.
Yes. Thanks, Yann. And I just want to emphasize something Yann just said, which is a really important part of this international equation is these single payer systems, some many of them, they use local experts. And these are all people, as Yann said, we work closely with. Many of them are trial -- have been part of our trials. And so they're not only experts in the disease, they know the drug well, and they've been incredibly helpful in our prior discussions. And as Yann said, we anticipate them being very helpful in the upcoming HO discussions.
Your next question comes from the line of Dennis Ding from Jefferies.
This is George Ban on for Dennis Ding. We had one on the PWS. When you disclose the initial data in December potentially, should we also be expecting a go versus no-go decision in terms of moving into Phase III? Or is there a scenario where you would wait for a longer follow-up before making that decision?
Yes. No, fair question. Yes, definitely, that's a scenario. I mean, I think this is incomplete data, and we might be in a position to make a call depending on how strongly we feel the data signaling or we may indicate that, look, we want to continue to get the full data set, and then we'll come back to you with that final decision. So yes, all options are on the table.
And the final question comes from the line of Raghuram Selvaraju from H.C. Wainwright.
I just wanted to ask about the German observational study findings and how you expect that to potentially percolate into other indications beyond Bardet-Biedl syndrome? And what impact you anticipate this might have on prescribing decisions in those areas?
Yes. Thanks for picking up on that with the question. I think what we found most interesting about that, a, well, it's just interesting in general, right? I mean these livers improved to a remarkable degree in BBS. And as I highlighted in my comments, it didn't seem to tightly correlate with BMI change. And so it raised the possibility. We know there's MC4 receptors in different places. We know MC4R agonism interacts with the autonomic nervous system, the vagus iterates the liver. There are -- they're not MC4 receptors in the liver. There are MC1 receptors in the liver.
So it just -- it's -- as I said, you get a drug approved, KOLs, others start making observations and you begin to learn a lot more. So I think there's a lot -- my point, again, of sharing that was that I think there's a lot more to be learned about this mechanism beyond simply the reduction in hyperphagia and associated increase in energy expenditure and associated BMI weight decrease. So that's it. Like I said, it was -- these are pretty remarkable results, and we thought it was worth highlighting.
We do have a question and the question comes from the line of Jon Wolleben from Citizens.
Just wondering -- and sorry if I missed this earlier, of the 2,000 potential patients, have you been able to identify any more information on them on who may or may not be good candidates for one reason or the other? Or is it simply that you have kind of an identifier through the claims analysis you've done?
So the 2,000 patients are ones that through the discussions of our field organization and just discussions with the physicians, they have outlined that either they have X number of diagnosed HO patients or they have Y number of patients that meet that definition and criteria that they wanted to further evaluate as that patient came through in terms of visiting to get them to an actual diagnosis.
So that process is ongoing, and we're very happy just overall in terms of understanding that there is this addressable opportunity in terms of getting patients to a quicker diagnosis. And there's also an interest from the physician perspective with a lot of aha moments to get patients to this particular diagnosis. So that process is ongoing.
This concludes today's question-and-answer session. I will now hand back to David Meeker for closing remarks.
Okay. Well, thank you again for tuning in this morning. As you've heard and hopefully understood, we're really excited about where we are. We made great progress and set ourselves up for some interesting and pretty important milestones in the fourth quarter and a lot that's going to continue to enroll in 2026. So we look forward to the next update. Thanks all.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Stifel Virtual Cardiometabolic Forum
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everybody. Happy to be here with Hunter Smith, CFO of Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, who I'm sure many people know well, and I'm sure most folks listening to the Rhythm story well. But maybe we can just have Hunter kick it off, give a quick sort of background update, and then I have a bunch of targeted questions. So Hunter, thanks so much, and take it away, if you don't mind.
Sure, Paul. And thanks to you, and thanks to the Stifel team for hosting us today. This is a very exciting time for Rhythm. There are a couple of pillars to the Rhythm story. I think the first and most fundamental, which everybody is familiar with, is the pending PDUFA in acquired hypothalamic obesity, where we had Phase III data back in the spring that was really aligned with the sort of the high end of people's expectations and our expectations. And I think what's been so profound about the response to IMCIVREE among acquired HO patients has been the fact that the response is both deep and it's quite consistent, certainly the most consistent we've seen in any large study that we've done.
So it's a really exciting time. And last week, we hosted a commercial event to talk about our readiness for the launch that is we hope to embark on once we're approved. And we think we got a good response. There are a lot of investors engaged to learn about how we were preparing and how we're thinking about that market and stuff like that. Second thing is we do have an ongoing sort of an ongoing open-label Phase II study in Prader-Willi syndrome. I know you'll probably have some questions about that, Paul. And we're very excited to learn if we can provide help to that patient population. That is a very difficult disease with a lot of complexity. We think we can address -- we hope we can address some of it and maybe make a difference there. Nothing has worked in terms of delivering weight loss in Prader-Willi syndrome.
And then thirdly, we have essentially the lifecycle management that we've been doing with new next-generation compounds. So we have 2 that are in development in humans. The first is bivamelagon, where in July, we read out Phase II data in acquired hypothalamic obesity, and that data was shown to be comparable to the IMCIVREE data at a similar time point. And then we are in the middle of or in the early stages of a Phase Ic effort in hypothalamic obesity patients for RM-718, which is a weekly injectable therapy. So that the combination of those 2 therapies, which may behave differently, but ultimately, they have a better AE profile than setmelanotide in terms of not delivering hyperpigmentation to the patients. And secondly, they have a patent life out to 2040. And then there's obviously the dosing convenience of not being a daily injectable but being oral or a weekly injector. So a lot going on, and we're very excited to be -- to have the opportunity at this moment.
Yes. Yes. Okay. Great. Thank you, Hunter. Well, I thought your event last week was great. I thought the most -- or I guess I continue to think one of the most interesting things about this market is just how big it is, right, which is always an intriguing question with given rare diseases. You guys are guiding to this 10,000 patient prevalent pool in the U.S. Can you talk about how you've arrived at that number? And how -- to what degree is that number anchored in like the surgical population that you can really sort of, I guess, more easily define versus some of these other populations, right, that I think have been harder to put our finger on.
Sure. And we're going to continue to learn here, and I think that's the nature of rare disease, especially a disease where you are the first therapy to show efficacy in these conditions. So our original estimates of 5,000 to 10,000 patients were anchored in 3 fundamental assumptions. The first was the incidence of craniopharyngioma, hamartoma and astrocytoma. The second was the number of incident patients who developed HO either following the tumor or the surgery to remove the tumor. And the third was overall survival. And I think what we've learned is that the incidence is driven by more heterogeneous diseases, including other tumor types in addition to craniopharyngioma, while craniopharyngioma remain the major drivers. They certainly were the largest in our studies and the largest we've encountered in talking to patients.
And then the second component that we felt was conservative. I mean we essentially took a 20-year overall survival, haircut it by the patients who don't survive and then multiplied the incidence by 20 -- multiplied that reduced incidence by 20. And that is also somewhat conservative. Craniopharyngioma tends to occur in a barbell distribution sort of from the age of 5 to the age of 12 and then separately from the age of 50 to the age of 60 or thereabouts. And there are plenty of patients and there are cohorts that have been measured where there is a 30-year overall survival, it's lower, but it's still reasonable. So that combination has indicated to us that the 5,000 to 10,000 was conservative and at the upper end of the range is a better estimate of what we've learned.
We've also done claims work in the U.S. since then, and we'll maybe talk about that some more, but that claims work was reinforcing to the higher end of that range. So that combination of clinical epi plus claims work was what caused the change.
Do you have a good sense of what percent of these patients are in the offices of physicians you're already talking to on setmelanotide?
So again, we are still learning, but about 25% of our BBS patients in the U.S. appear to have -- or I'm sorry, of the treating physicians for BBS that have written scripts appear to also have HO patients. Now that would be a smaller number of the Tier 1 and Tier 2 physicians, the sort of 2,400 top tier that we're focused on, just because there haven't been as many prescribing physicians for BBS and BBS tends to be more spread out in terms of who's caring for it. Part of the reason for that is they don't necessarily have the hormonal insufficiencies that tend to accompany acquired hypothalamic obesity and therefore, they can be cared for by a nephrologist, they can be cared for by an ophthalmologist or just a GP or an obesity specialist depending.
Right. Right, right. Okay. Okay. So as we just kind of look ahead here, what do you think is like the biggest risk to getting this launch right?
So we think that even though there is typically an association between an event, i.e., either the tumor or the surgery for the tumor and then the condition that results from the tumor, there can be significant lag, significant issues with treatment handoff, particularly when the patient may migrate from a surgery at one institution to ongoing care at a different institution or there's a significant time lag. So the issue is one of -- it's potentially less well diagnosed than we might have thought a couple of years ago. The causes, as I've described, are more heterogeneous.
And so I think our biggest challenge is getting physicians to a differential diagnosis of acquired hypothalamic obesity and therefore, setmelanotide being the right therapy for them. I think we've been able to focus on that pretty quickly. Obviously, there are some physicians who are very tuned into both the disorder and setmelanotide is the appropriate therapy for the disorder, but there are a lot that we have to work on and a lot of disease education and education about the product that we need to do.
And so the 10,000 number, is that just an estimated number? Or is that a number you think is in care and seeing a doctor? Like do you have a...
It's an estimated number. It's an estimated number. I think what we've said is that -- so we've done this claims analysis where you -- there's no ICD-10 code for acquired hypothalamic obesity. So we start to triangulate or essentially do a waterfall -- not a waterfall, a bucket analysis of how we can get to potential patients, and that includes the occurrence of an event within a 10-year time frame, rapid weight gain and/or obesity following that event, evidence of diabetes insipidus or a pituitary insufficiency, hormonal insufficiency associated with acquired HO. And then finally, care and -- ongoing care from an endocrinologist within an 18-month time frame.
That filtering mechanism leads us to a large pool of potential patients. And what we said last week was we've -- through that, we've encountered about 2,000 diagnosed or suspected HO patients at physicians in our top tiers based on that criteria. And that is the group of diagnosed and potential patients that we're focused on for launch.
Yes. Okay. Great. Thanks for reviewing all that with everybody. So as it relates to PWS, we, like I'm sure a number of my peers have hosted KOL calls, and I think there's this general sense of optimism that maybe we'll see something the bar is low. Obviously, we'll see the data that you put out. But one question that came up on this call last week was just the dose that you're pursuing is considerably higher in PWS. And so -- versus HO. So maybe just one, talk about the rationale behind that. And two, what is Rhythm's level of confidence that a higher dose in this population is going to keep a consistent safety profile?
Sure. So maybe I'll take the second part first. We had a -- we developed a weekly formulation of setmelanotide in conjunction with another company. It was a depot formulation that allowed for extended release. And that formulation -- we did a PK/PD study in about 82 obese patients -- general obese patients. And we compared the PK and PD for both that formulation at 10 milligrams, 20 milligrams and 30 milligrams as well as 3, 4 and 5 milligrams for setmelanotide. So that -- the daily setmelanotide. And so we had a number of patients exposed to the 5-milligram dose, and we did not see -- I'm sorry, we saw the types of AEs that were consistent with those at the lower doses of setmelanotide. Very comfortable there.
And I think our -- you may recall, we did an earlier study, which goes back to 2016, I don't think anybody who's currently at the company was at the company at the time. But we did not have a very long dosing window in terms of duration at that point in time. It was a pretty complicated study, and we were looking for a very fast signal. And so we -- the max dose was 2.5 milligrams. I think nobody got really beyond 4 weeks of steady-state dosing on therapy. And so that was not a particularly good study in terms of signal seeking for a disease that we think is -- just frankly, it's a lot more complex, and there's a lot more stuff driving both behavior and obesity than simply nonproduction of POMC or something along those lines. So this is longer duration, higher dose and open label and working with an investigator, Jennifer Miller, who really works very carefully with these patients and knows them very well.
Yes. Yes. I was going to ask a question about that last point. So who -- is there a specific phenotype or even biological makeup of the types of patients that you're enrolling in this study?
No. There's no genetic screening of the patients beyond the PWS diagnosis. They obviously have to have a BMI greater than 30 and the BMI is equivalent if they're a pediatric patient. They're likely to have evidence -- they're likely -- and it's not an entry criteria, but they're very likely to have clinical evidence of hyperphagia that we've seen in our other indications. So yes, that's -- but we are taking the patients that she brings. So...
Makes sense. And this is an open-label study. How does that impact, in your view, like the interpretability of the efficacy data? I mean I know everyone loves to ask rhythm, what's the bar? And it's this whole game and cat and mouse game with companies and what bar are they setting. But just as it relates to seeing a signal that is not just like clinically significant, but also significant in a single-arm trial where you can be confident it's not placebo effect, like what's the conversation inside Rhythm around this issue?
So I think like we've had in other Phase II studies in our history with other rare indications, there has to be enough duration on therapy and enough patients and a representative pool of patients to be able to draw a conclusion that we believe that we could meet a regulatory bar and a substantive bar at 52 weeks on therapy in -- obviously, in a blinded study, which would be required for approval. So we will look at the totality of the evidence. We will look at individual patient by individual patient. I'll give you an obscure example in our 015 study in leptin receptor deficiency. This is going back to 2020 or so, 2019, we had 3 patients who were noncompliant at a single site. And that story was described in our filing document.
They actually had very good responses. They were adolescents, adolescents are notoriously unreliable as we all -- as all of us who are parents know and all of us who have memory of those years know. Anyway, the point being that if there are people who have evidence of response and loss response or there are patients who don't seem to respond at all, understanding the story of the individual patient, the caregiving situation and do we have evidence that there's potential noncompliance or do we have evidence that there isn't -- this patient is a true nonresponder, those will be the types of things we might try to tease out. And if you can get comfortable with some of those things to say there's an outlier here, but we can explain that outlier, that helps give you confidence in the potential opportunity.
I think you guys have said you want to -- your ultimate goal will be at least 5% weight loss at a year because that's been the regulatory standard. And no drugs generate weight loss in PWS. This study is up to 26 weeks, right? Does that mean the 26-week bar is 2.5% if you just linearize it? Or is it more complicated than that?
Yes. I guess I would say it's potentially a little more complicated than that, but we want to see evidence that it's working.
Yes. Okay.
I'm not going to really put a number out there.
I get it. I get it. I get it. And how -- and look, like I think the interesting thing on our KOL call, Hunter, was this feedback that you really don't see weight changes on placebo in this indication. You might even see weight gain. But I think the other view was that the hyperphagia measures are just so much more noisy and confounded. And so how important is corroboration on hyperphagia in the study? And like do you guys feel like hyperphagia is a key part of the TPP here for setmelanotide?
So our general view is if we are not affecting hyperphagia, we are not as likely to be successful on weight. How it manifests itself either in a worst hunger score, the type of scores that we've used for HO and for BBS or how it manifests itself in an HQ-CT is TBD. These are very complex patients. They have a lot of OCD and they may have behavioral actions that are driven as much by OCD as by true hyperphagia. So it's a very complicated patient population to study.
If these data are good, does it make sense to move forward setmelanotide or just move forward in next gen?
I think we would want to do what would get the best outcome for the patients in the most -- in the quickest amount of time. So we have generally been saying all our future studies we will do with one of the next-gen products. But if we can get to market significantly faster with setmelanotide, we would probably do so, but follow it rapidly with development of either bivamelagon or RM-718.
Okay. Okay. Makes sense. Can we talk a little bit about the 718 data readout too, Hunter. So just tee it up for us, like what are the differences between that study and this bivamelagon study that we just saw? And what does that kind of imply for, again, the sort of bar or our ability to compare this early data with setmelanotide and understand that it's just as good of a drug?
Sure. So one crucial difference with BIVA is there is no control arm. This is a signal-seeking study. It's a Phase I part study.
And why do you guys do it this way versus BIVA?
Because the protocol was open, it was just an easy -- it was easy and fast to get it going. But the second thing, and this is important, is the signal in HO with both IMCIVREE and with BIVA has been so early and so consistent that if we're not seeing something similar with RM-718, then we have a lot of work to do. But it won't be as hard to interpret an open-label signal just like it was -- just like the open-label signal with setmelanotide was very indicative of what we ended up seeing in Phase III.
Yes. Yes. Okay. And the timing of that data, Hunter?
It will be next year. I mean we're still enrolling patients.
Okay. Okay. And I guess I forgot to kind of clarify in PWS, right? I mean you guys have said something likely by the end of this year. Like what are you looking for in terms of how many patients you need to get to either 26 weeks or 12 weeks to kind of have critical mass and say, okay, we have confidence this is or isn't real?
Yes. It's a bit like you just need to get enough patients and enough duration to show that you have a signal. And it's hard to put a number on that. I do think given that we will have [indiscernible] patients on as well as patients on monotherapy, it will be useful to have enough of both that you can see if there's a difference, positive or negative. That will be helpful. And then duration, it isn't -- we do want to get enough patients out close to the 26 weeks to be able to see how real the signal is.
Right. Right. Okay. Okay. Do you feel comfortable that if PWS works, you're taking next-gen forward in HO and PWS, maybe you're even doing some of the EMANATE, like are you guys well capitalized to pursue all of this? Or might you need more money? You are.
We are well capitalized for this.
Okay. Okay. Very good. Let's briefly talk about EMANATE, right? We're going to get that data in the first half of next year. Is that right? How would you frame -- we only have a couple of minutes left. How would you frame a home run readout, a good readout that's still meaningful for Rhythm or just kind of what would need to happen for this to be a disappointment that's less meaningful for the company?
So a home run would be a positive statistically significant readout, probably not at the same level as HO. We didn't see that, obviously, in Phase II. So probably not at the same level as HO, but a positive statistically significant readout in 2 or more cohorts. That would be terrific. If we could get 2 cohorts in LEPR, given that it's even just a smaller number of patients, but we think fundamentally that it works, that would be really terrific. I think, obviously, a downside would be for whatever reason, we just don't get enough evidence or it's muddy that nothing -- that no signal is really clear. We've treated enough POMC het patients that, that is sort of the -- that is the one I think we feel that most confidence in. Just adding SH2B1 on top of that would be a really big shift in our genetic opportunity in terms of numbers and in terms of the accessibility of the patients. So I think that would be exciting.
Yes. Yes. Okay. We only have about a minute left. Anything else you want to add or from your perspective is kind of being overlooked or misunderstood about Rhythm today?
No, I'd say, I guess the one thing we've been talking about a little less is just that we have this ongoing cohort in Japan that's starting to wrap up. That's for setmelanotide in acquired hypothalamic obesity. We've been staffing up our Japanese operation for that opportunity to do it ourselves. And we hope to have news about sort of the path forward in terms of regulatory and time frame in the coming months. And Japan is, in many respects, one of the largest ex-U.S. markets in the world, if not the second largest. The regulatory authorities have been extremely supportive of the work we've been doing to treat this disease in Japan.
What's your pricing power in Japan?
There's a list of critical diseases. We think HO will be added to that list, and that will give us a reasonable price and very broad and deep reimbursement.
Okay. Okay. Great. Well, thank you, Hunter. Looking forward to a bunch more news flow from Rhythm. We appreciate you taking the time.
Awesome. Thanks, Paul, and thanks to the rest of the folks at Stifel for giving us this opportunity.
Yes.
See you.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Stifel Virtual Cardiometabolic Forum
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining us today. I'm Dave Connolly, IR here at Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. Before we begin the speaking program, I'll just remind you that this event may include remarks concerning future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements.
Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed on our most recent annual or quarterly reports on file with the SEC.
In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent dates. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements.
Today, we have a brief program, Rhythm's Commercial Readiness for Acquired Hypothalamic Obesity, an event for investors. This morning, we'll hear from Dr. David Meeker, Rhythm's Chairman, CEO and President; and Jennifer Lee, Executive Vice President, North America.
In addition, we have Dr. Ashley Shoemaker, Assistant Professor of Pediatric Endocrinology and Diabetes at Vanderbilt University Medical Center; and Dr. Lewis Blevins, Endocrinologist, Professor of Medicine and Medical Director of the California Center for Pituitary Disorders at UCSF, is joining us virtually.
And then for the agenda today, we'll begin with Dr. Meeker, who will be followed by a short video featuring Carmelo, a high school freshman with acquired hypothalamic obesity and then a moderated panel discussion with Doctors Blevins and Shoemaker, during which we will take a few questions from the audience here in Boston as time allows. Then we'll hear from Jennifer Lee, followed by David Meeker and a second Q&A panel with Jennifer, David, Rhythm's CFO, Hunter Smith; and Dr. Shoemaker.
Now I am pleased to welcome Dr. Meeker to the podium.
Thank you, Dave. I should make one minor correction. I think we just demoted Ashley there, Associate Professor of Medicine.
So thanks for all coming. This is an incredibly exciting moment for Rhythm. We're -- we've known this has been coming for a long time. We have our PDUFA date, as you know, coming up on December 20th, which is right around the corner and getting ready for launch. There's a lot to do. And as you'll hear from Jennifer, her teams have been doing that. We feel really good about where we are.
So I'm just going to provide a few very introductory high-level comments to try to set the stage for what you're going to hear today. One is, as what we all aspire to do in this industry is to address unmet medical needs and HO is a true unmet medical need. There's no approved therapies, and these patients live a really tough life, and you'll hear a lot more about that today.
In a surprising way, as you remember back to when we reported this data in July of 2022, setmelanotide remarkably, and I'll go through the Phase III data briefly, but remarkably seems to be treating a very fundamental defect here. And so based on both Phase II and Phase III, we think we're going into our final regulatory lap here with strong clinical data. And it's a big opportunity.
Rhythm, we've always characterized ourselves as a rare disease company and rare diseases come in many flavors, some small and large. But this is meaningful. It's still ultrarare, if you will, by the numbers. We'll talk about the 5,000 to 10,000 epidemiology we highlighted when we came out, and we'll update that a bit today. But that number of patients in this unmet need does represent a truly transformative opportunity. It's obviously hopefully transformative for the patients. But for a company like Rhythm, it will be transformative.
I'm going to show this cartoon again. You'll see it as long as probably I'm at Rhythm and Rhythm exists. Because it speaks to the fundamental biology. And when you launch a drug, one of the most valuable things you can have is clear understandable biology. It's always a little tougher to launch if your drug is kind of magical. You can report it and if you get an effect and as people say, that's good enough, you don't have to know why it works. But we do know why it works, and that's helpful. And it's going to help, I think, the treating community, the patient community understand why this makes sense.
And if you -- as you remember from this cartoon, the way our physiology works, we eat a meal, got hormone signal to the pancreas and the adipocyte, the adipocyte releases leptin, leptin goes to the brain and it does two things, it does many things, but we use two. One is, it interacts in this arcuate nucleus and activating the POMC neuron side of the equation with the release of alpha melanocyte stimulating hormone, which when that interacts with its receptor, MC4R, you get the signal you're full.
And what's perverse about this is, that signal not only tell the body you're full, it says you have food on board and you can increase your metabolic rate. So your energy expenditure goes up. So in the absence of that signaling, then you don't get the signal you're full. And perversely, your body thinks there's no food on board. So it keeps your energy expenditure low. And so that's where you get the extreme obesity that we see in many examples of MC4R deficiency that we're studying. And this is one of those extreme examples where patients can rapidly gain weight in the absence of that signal.
The other thing leptin does is, it inhibits the appetite stimulating side of the equation, the goody related peptide side, which is as you would want, you'd want to signal you are full and shut down the appetite signaling side, and that a goody-related peptide protein interferes with signaling through the MC4 receptor.
Now in HO, arguably, and we don't have good biologic pathologic data to confirm this, but the injury -- HO occurs due to injury, as I'll show on a slide in a moment. And that injury is not -- it's blunt. And so, it's not like you lose the POMC neuron and preserve probably the good related peptide neuron. So in all probability, we're losing the arcuate nucleus here in those patients who develop HO. So again, very well understood. Fundamental biology, we can feel good about that.
This is a journey. I joined the Board of Rhythm in 2015. Rhythm had been working at this for probably 5-plus years prior to that. I think we fit right in the paradigm of what it takes to develop a drug, 10 to 15 years. And we got our first approval in 2020. As many of you remember, for POMC and lipton receptor biallelic, incredible proof-of-concept, very small opportunity. We didn't put a sales force on the ground.
Followed by European EMEA approval in 2021, and that's been, as you've heard us say many times, I mean a core part of our strategy is we're global. These are healthcare diseases don't tend to follow geographic boundaries. And so we're going to look to address the world as we best we can. We're working our way through that. But Europe, U.K. was an early important next step in that.
So approved in 2021, Bardet-Biedl, the first meaningful step in building our company, because that was a legitimate commercial opportunity, 4,000 to 5,000 patients with BBS in the U.S., similar numbers in Europe. That was approved in 2022.
And then in '24, we extended our indications down to children between the ages of 2 and 6. And this is critical, not because there was a huge number of patients sitting with a diagnosis, although for a genetic disease, there's no reason in a functioning healthcare system, good functioning healthcare system. You shouldn't be able to diagnose these patients earlier.
And in fact, I would argue that the data that we had from that 2- to 6-year-old group was supportive of the idea, not surprisingly, that the earlier you intervene, the better you do, like many things in life, even if you can address the underlying defect if it's been entrenched for a long time, you have a lot of other comorbidities. The ability to get the desired effect may not be the same as when you get in early and you prevent the development of some of those morbidities. And so I think that observation is probably true. I think everything we've seen is consistent with that, and we look forward to trying to help patients get to an earlier diagnosis.
But that's not what we're here to talk about today. We're here to talk about HO. And HO, 2022, we read out the Phase II data. As I said, a bit of a surprise in the sense that it wasn't so clear, it made total sense that injury to that area of the brain might knock out the arcuate and you might lose signaling through the melanocortin-4 pathway, but it wasn't so clear that you would preserve your ability to respond to a medication. It's a question of, do you lose the receptors as well.
And we now know, of course, there's MC4 receptors in other parts of the brain, and maybe you don't hit all the hypothalamus. So there's lots of hypothetical reasons why we're seeing the result we're seeing. But what was most striking about that Phase II data, as we've said many times, is the consistency of response. And I think as a society, we're completely focused on the percent change and the mean percent change. In this setting, we did well on the mean percent change, but what was most striking was literally, if you take this drug, almost all patients have a response. Now that response may be variable, not everybody loses 30%. Some people may be 5%.
But the point is, in a population that gains weight, and I think we've got good evidence that untreated, this patient population continues to gain weight. Anything as a positive change.
So following that, we obviously moved quickly to start our -- the 120 ultimately enrolling 143 patients in our Phase III trial, completed enrollment within a year. I think that's -- as people say, that's a good indicator, again, of unmet need when you can enroll a trial with relative expediency. Very strong and excited about our opportunity in Japan. We think a little -- we were, I think, late getting started there. We didn't have them in the trial initially. We didn't fully appreciate the epidemiology, but I think we've caught up.
And fortunately, the Japan regulatory framework is opening up in Japan, very much wants to make sure the Japanese patients can access drug, new drugs, innovative drugs at the same time as the rest of the world.
And we read the trial out in the spring of this year. I'll show you a little more of that data, 19.8% placebo-adjusted BMI reduction. And in June, we read out our Phase II trial in bivamelagon, and that's a critical piece of this. I mean, setmelanotide, great. I mean, it's a subcu daily injection. It has hyperpigmentation as a side effect of the drug, but it's doing the job.
And in a world that has nothing, I mean, it's an incredibly important advance. We can do better. And I think our next generations are set out to do that. The first readout is, of course, this oral bivamelagon Phase II trial. And what was reassuring about that data, again was, it was highly similar to what we saw with setmelanotide at the same time point in the Phase II and Phase III which just tells what we knew was -- we knew we had a good MC4 agonist. This was the clinical confirmation that it's going to form. We think we have the right doses, and we're getting the right exposures and the like.
And in today's world, not a given what was going to happen in terms of our regulatory review, and we highlighted early on, everything seemed to be working normally. Our regulatory teams we're working with at the FDA seem to be intact. We've worked with the same division from the beginning. These are the same people who reviewed our setmelanotide from our very first indications. And despite many people having left the FDA, we didn't seem to have lost people from our review division. So that was all very reassuring, had a very positive in-person meeting. Again, I highlighted one of the first in-person meetings that had since COVID and that was positive.
So we're moving through. We got the PDUFA date exactly when we predicted and we worked hard to file this and filed it as fast as we can, a huge shout out to the clinical medical teams, regulatory teams who did this. But I'd say, we got it in there, I won't call it record time, but certainly a very competitive time and setting up this PDUFA date for December 20.
So Rhythm is a company in a really good place to launch this. Sometimes you're scrambling to keep up. I think, we're launching this from a position of strength. We have a solid global foundation. We did a simultaneous filing actually almost with filing in both with the FDA and the EMEA almost at the same time.
IMCIVREE is available in more than 25 countries. We've got over 350 employees now in 15 different countries, and we are also available in seven additional countries through distributors.
So this graphic is going more specifically to hypothalamic obesity, and Dr. Shoemaker and Dr. Blevins will help us understand this in greater detail. But our understanding and certainly within Rhythm and my understanding of this is continuing to grow as we learn more about this.
Craniopharyngioma, these benign tumors have been the best recognized cause of HO. And these are, as I said, benign tumors that develop between the pituitary on the bottom and the hypothalamus. They're very close together because they signal to each other. And so, a tumor growing up in that area of the brain, you can imagine either by itself might injure one or both of these areas of the brain and/or the treatment, which you can successfully remove these benign tumors that surgery itself and with the radiation used may also result in the injury.
And so, it's that injury. And again, we look forward to getting a little insight. It looks a little bit like a biologic switch. Not everybody who gets this and we've used the 50%, and we'll test that with the experts in terms of how they see it. But the literature would say, on average, maybe 50% of these patients end up with hypothalamic obesity, but 50% don't. And so you can imagine in a very simple hypothetical way, it's just a function of your damage. If you hit this area, you get it, if you don't, you don't. And as I indicated, we're entering this world with no approved treatments for this.
The burden of HO, and I'll just throw this up again, the short summary of this slide, which has a lot of words on it is, this is an incredibly complicated disease. This is data from Professor Müller, out of Germany, who spent a lifetime looking at HO, and a true expert. And in his cohort, which is reasonably large, if you get the exact number, his patients had an average 3.7 hospitalizations in the 2 years, 1/4 of those included in ICU admissions. They receive on average 5.5 active prescriptions per quarter, not yearly. The average number of unique medications over 2 years, 22. 12 is the average number of general practitioner visits and 20, the number of specialist visits in the 2 years following the injury or index event. And 89% of patients receiving three or more therapies for neuroendocrine dysfunction.
I'll just tell you anecdotally, when we had our meeting with the FDA, as I was telling Dr. Shoemaker, that's really precious time with the agency. And the first slide we showed them -- I showed them was -- this is their patient medication list. Two pages of medication. And the point being it's, you've got to look at safety and efficacy in the context of this incredibly complicated medical problem, and as we'll hear more, it's interesting, amazing to me, given the complexity of their medical problems, how important HO is in terms of their quality of life.
This is how I think anybody can make a diagnosis of HO. Unfortunately, as you'll hear not everybody has these curves. But if you have these curves, and on the left panel, this is a pediatric patient, the left panel is the height. And as you can see, the height is continuing and the years are on the bottom on the x-axis. And you can see they go out over 16 -- 16 years here, I guess, I can't quite read it.
But height grows normally. It Increases normally. Weight in the middle panel accelerates when they have the event, this idea they leap off the curve and then BMI even more dramatically, because obviously, as we grow, we would normally put on weight, but BMI corrects for that to a certain extent. This patient also -- and we had in the trial, as we've highlighted, 31 patients who had either previously used a GLP-1 or were concurrently on a GLP-1 that was allowed during the trial. I'll show you that data. There's some interesting thoughts about that.
But in general, to the extent patients have a response, it tends not to be durable. That was true of these patients in the trial. And by definition, they couldn't be losing weight. This patient had been exposed previously to a GLP-1, but as you can see, no change, really significant change in their BMI. And then they went on setmelanotide and had a pretty dramatic response.
So the data -- again, I'm not going to belabor this, because you've all seen it, but 16.5% in fact, in the treated arm, really importantly is this idea that the placebo group, there is no placebo effect. These patients do tend to gain weight. This placebo group data was very consistent with a study that Dr. Shoemaker and Dr. Roth had done previously with Exenatide. They had a placebo group of 20 patients was identical in terms of that.
So, I think this is the fundamental problem. You just -- and which is why part of the feedback we got early on, if you could just help these patients stop losing weight, that would be a real advantage here.
Back to my point, this is to highlight 80% of the patients lost 5% or more, 60% lost 10% or more. Again, it's really if you take the medicine and for those 20% that didn't lose 5% or more, we've tried to break that out for you previously. We don't have 100% understanding. But we do for many of these patients. And for many of them, there was a reason why they didn't " have that level of response and compliance " being an obvious example of that.
One of the most striking things for me, and I know this was a question that has come up -- came up earlier on. I think it was helped by the French data when we put that out at TOS a year ago. But we had identical results across the different age groups. So less than 12, 12 to 18, greater than 18, they all responded similarly. And they all had a different time period out. The oldest person in the trial was 66. That patient responded. So again, it's not -- if you think about this and I want to pressure test this with Dr. Blevins and Dr. Shoemaker, a very simple level, it's hormonal therapy.
And if you have a hormonal deficiency, it kind of doesn't matter if you're young or old, you're going to not function normally until you correct the hormonal deficiency. So to the extent we fit with that, this data would be consistent with that.
Hunger, back to the biology. This is the satiety signal and patients, as you can see in red. And that's a very rapid as, again, you would expect physiologically, we eat a meal and we start signaling. We feel that's hungry. You give these patients virtually immediately, they may feel some change, not everybody, but they may. And on average, you can see in these trials, we do have a very rapid effect in terms of the scores and clinically very meaningful here in terms of the reduction.
GLP-1. This is a GLP-1 data. It's -- again, we had 16 patients who had previously been on GLP-1, but were not on. I think it just highlights a group of patients who -- they were seeking to use whatever they can use. Not surprisingly, GLP-1s do get used in this population. That group who was not on it had a similar response 19%, placebo group gained also 5%. Those who continued on a GLP-1, 25%. And of course, this raises the question of did that group actually do better? The trial wasn't designed to say anything about GLP-1s. We didn't even stratify for GLP-1 use. So a bit remarkably, they were pretty balanced 2:1 in terms of the treated and the placebo groups. But 25% is certainly higher than 16%. And at least open the question of did they have an incremental benefit by being on that GLP-1.
And I think one reasonable hypothesis is yes, they were not responding to a GLP-1. However, once their hormonal deficiency was corrected, if that's what we're doing with setmelanotide, then the possibility that they could respond to other pharmacologic interventions might be restored. And in this case, GLP-1 is what we're looking at, but arguably any other anti-obesity medication. So if you needed incremental weight loss, you could imagine that.
However, leading with a GLP-1, by definition, they weren't responding, you've got to correct the underlying physiologic defect. That would be the hypothesis. Safety, again, there was nothing new, and that was very reassuring other than I think we were working, as I said, in a very complicated medical setting and patients who have a lot going on. So they had a lot of serious adverse events, many of them related to their diabetes insipidus, this vasopressin deficiency state. Very tough to manage.
And again, I think Dr. Shoemaker and Dr. Blevins can speak to that. We had one serious AE which was considered related in a patient with vasopressin insufficiency. And the argument was reasonably that the nausea and vomiting decreased their fluid intake, the challenges for these patients to maintain their fluid intake. So in the setting of not being able to maintain their fluid intake, they develop hyponatremia, needed to be hospitalized, and that was a serious adverse event resolved after 2 days.
And we had one death during the actual trial period. We had additional death, as you know, on the long-term extension. This one death during the trial period was in a patient with well -- had previous seizure disorder, which was not fully controlled coming into the trial. He had a couple of different seizures during the trial and then ended up with tonic seizure status and ultimately died of that.
But overall, and I think, again, this was the reassuring part is the side effects we're seeing are MC4 agonist. When you expose a patient to an MC4 agonist, I think the body doesn't have so many ways that can interpret that response and nausea is one of them. And so nausea, vomiting, in certain cases. But otherwise, nothing particularly new here.
Epidemiology, again, lots of questions about this. We'll continue to have it. And my view about epidemiology and rare diseases is you just learn over time. I mean, you enter a rare disease. The data is invariably poor. There's no reason necessarily aside from a few small number of people who may take an interest who try to figure this out. But often, the motivation to really understand the epidemiology and the information, which feeds that comes once you have a therapy and the like. So we're early in that.
And we started out, as I said, with this 5,000 to 10,000 range, I think as we've highlighted, we had some conservative aspects of that, one of which being the period of time post injury we looked at, which was 20 years. Many of these patients live a normal, relatively normal life longer, and so you can play around with models and that gets you to higher numbers.
The other thing, and Jennifer will obviously speak to the experience that we are learning in the field, but we've started to do some claims analysis and we have boots on the ground. We have people talking to physicians and their specific practices and you learn more of that. So we're now going to lock in the higher end of the range, as we said, which is I think 10,000 is a very comfortable number. I remind you back to BBS. We started out with 2,500, 3,000. And I think over time, we got more comfortable with the 4,000 to 5,000. This is the same evolution. And I think we feel really good about that 10,000 number.
Nothing new here in the Japan and an estimated incidence across multiple tumor types here for the U.S. and Europe, that's individually of approximately 500 cases per year.
So with that, I think we're going to play a video now of Karmelo, which will hopefully set the stage for more discussion about the disease.
[Presentation]
So I think, let's see if we can get Dr. Blevins on, and we'll set up some chairs here. Dr. Blevins? Can you see us?
I can see you fine.
Beautiful.
I can hear you well also.
Okay. Excellent. Well, thank you for joining us.
It's my pleasure.
So I think, what we'll -- as Dave said, we'll start out. We'll ask a bunch of questions and get a bit of a discussion going and we will open it up to all of you present in the room, I realize we can't do it for those of you online. But for those of you in the room, we're happy to take some questions here for the end of this.
So maybe we can start out by Dr. Shoemaker, if you want to just introduce yourself a little bit on your background, the practice, kind of patients you see; and then, Dr. Blevins will go to you.
Sure. So I'm a pediatric endocrinologist. I'm a physician scientist, so I spend the majority of my time conducting clinical research. If you go way back, I actually started in the lab of Roger Cone, who found the MC4 receptor and when I was a fellow, I was doing preclinical work with setmelanotide. So from the beginning.
And my research program focuses on anything that disrupts how the brain controls energy balance. So really trying to understand both the pathophysiology of these diseases, genetic diseases, acquired hypothalamic obesity. And then the goal was always to start finding targeted therapeutics that actually could treat these patients.
So, I see a lot of patients with rare genetic disorders as well as general endocrinology and diabetes patients. And it's exciting to have seen a lot of progress over the past few decades in obesity management.
And maybe just in terms of HO specifically, how is you organized? How many patients do you see?
Yes. So for HO, we have about 50 patients that we follow and that actually includes adults as well. Mostly because clinical trials, we usually start in adults. So from the beginning, we would be enrolling older patients. So I've got a large cohort of adult patients that we see mostly as part of research studies and then the peds patients that we care for in clinic, even when there isn't a study, but about 50 total that we follow.
Okay. Great. Dr. Blevins, do you want to introduce yourself?
Yes. So Lewis Blevins, I trained at Johns Hopkins in the pituitary unit. I spent my entire career over 35 years now as a neuroendocrinologist. I was first on faculty at Emory University, and then at Vanderbilt for about 9 years, and I've been at UCSF for 18 years. And they hired me, they said not to do research, but to develop a clinical program, but I do both, focus mostly on clinical care.
I see about 50 patients a week. And I have about 300 people with craniopharyngioma, probably 150 with germinoma, and another 50 to 70 with other types of hypothalamic dysfunction that can lead to obesity. Probably we see hypothalamic obesity in 40% to 60% of my patients with these different conditions. So we have a lot of people that I manage one way or another for this condition.
Okay. That's great. So obviously, both of you have a ton of experience here on both with the underlying biology, but also specifically HO as a disease. So maybe we can just start with HO. And Dr. Blevin, maybe you can just talk a little bit about what's the life like for these patients today with HO? And maybe contrast a little bit with the pediatric world and the adult world and then...
Yes. So I take care of a lot of kids as well. And it's a difficult life. And I think the paper you referenced from Germany pretty much described it. These patients have multiple medical problems, not only as a consequence of their surgery in their underlying disease process, but also because of the obesity and their comorbidities of other neuroendocrine dysfunction, the diabetes that results poikilothermia, that you can see in these patients. And many of them are on multiple medications. Some of them are fully functional in spite of their conditions, some require full care by a caretaker in their homes.
The interesting thing is, in spite of these multiple medical problems, sometimes the biggest concern is the weight gain and the obesity. So it is ever present. It's on the top of their list of concerns when they come to the office.
Forget the fact that they might have adrenal insufficiency, which, for example, is some most common cause of death in children with craniopharyngioma. But -- so it's a serious problem, but they're more concerned about their hypothalamic obesity.
It limits mobility. It affects their perception by other people in society, because of the societal sense of what's a normal body weight and things of that nature. And it also affects our family members who are concerned that they're eating all the time they want to control it, they recognize it's unhealthy behavior. So it's a real problem in this setting. And it's often one of the more concerns, because it's something that we haven't and don't now been able to do much about.
Dr. Shoemaker. Maybe building on that a little bit?
Yes. I think one of the big things about hypothalamic obesity is that there's a before and an after, so it's most similar to our patients with Prader-Willi syndrome and very different from our other genetic obesity disorders where the symptoms have been present since birth. And I find a lot more distress for the patients and families when they had it before.
So they really have something to compare it to. And like the patient video, there was who they were and then both the obesity and the fatigue and sort of limited mobility oftentimes really changes what they enjoy doing just sort of how their day-to-day life goes. So it is fascinating to watch.
You would think from an outside perspective that a patient that's dealing with potentially a lot of vision loss and tons of other medical problems that they'd be less worried about the weight. But the weight is often the part that never goes away and is very different from who they were before. So the patients do care about this more than you would realize before you start taking care of them.
And is the weight fundamentally -- so if you have a child who's being seen for early onset obesity may be ultimately determined to have general obesity factors. What's fundamentally different about this obesity as compared to that?
Yes. I mean, one, it's this sudden onset. So they really have this comparator or most of our patients with general obesity it's a slower process. They Maybe -- they've always kind of struggled. Some of the patients have really severe hyperphagia that was like -- was described in the video, which is quite disruptive to the whole household. And it's extraordinarily refractory. So we can do locks on refrigerators and strict diets and they still tend to really struggle to lose weight. So we just never -- it never feels like you're making any progress.
Dr. Belvins, in terms of today's management, how do you manage your patients? And what are your options there?
Yes. So before I talk about that, let me just add to it, Dr. Shoemaker said that it's also the trajectory of the gain. We've all or most of us have experienced up and down with our weight and things like that. We know we have to exercise as we get older. We're going to continue to gain weight changing by the composition, et cetera. But these patients not only start to gain weight after an incident such as surgery or what have you. But it's a tremendous amount of way. I've had patients double their body weight from 125 to 250 pounds in 2 years. Most patients will gain about 17% of their body weight in the first year after therapy.
So it's definitely an abnormal weight gain. It's not just a normal weight gain hey, I weigh 250, I want to weigh 175. These patients can get to 400, 450 pounds over time. So it's clearly a distinct and unusual type of obesity. And sometimes it's compounded by genetic factors. People come in and -- I had one patient who was at 500 pounds, we got her down to 300 pounds that she came in with her mother and her sister, wondering why she couldn't lose any more weight. Her mother and her sister also weight 300 pounds. So we won't fix them 100%, but we improved her from 500 to 300. So that was different.
That was a different trajectory than you would expect it based on genetic factors related that were probably heritable at that time. So that's the thing.
How we treat it? Well, there are a couple things that concern me about the management of these patients. One is, I see a lot of people who've come to me, they've already had their therapy. They had a diagnosis. They had their surgery 10 years ago, they're markedly overweight. So I have to do something to try to get to them under control.
The other group is the patient who's going to have surgery tomorrow, for example, who, in a year, may gain 17% of their body weight. And one of the things that I'm most concerned about is that we need to have approval to use a drug like setmelanotide. In those patients, if we say a 5% or 10% increase in their body weight and not wait until they get to a particular BMI before we could use a drug that simply is, as you mentioned, a hormone replacement. So that's what I'm hoping for in the future is that, we can sort of stay that off.
What I have been able to do until now is to treat patients usually with dexedrine to increase their metabolic rate. And that's really the only pharmaceutical drug that I found to be effective. Some of the other drugs, the GLP-1 drugs do work in these patients, but you get partial responses. They may go from 450 pounds to 300 pounds, but they really need to be 175 pounds.
So we need something to finish it off and help them get to really truly where they need to be, to be healthy and to have less morbidity and mortality and less arthritis in the future, for example. So I feel like I'm pretty much handicapped with not much to do other than in some of those with hyperphagia, the behavioral modifications where the family has to get very intensely involved.
I have a patient right now with Prader-Willi syndrome, who the family has to lock the refrigerator, lock the cabinets, lock the kitchen, make sure that he's not hiding food in his room and things like that to keep his weight under control. So it's really behavioral therapy in dexedrine which, as you know, is an addictive amphetamine. But it increases the metabolic rate.
So I really enjoy the concept of setmelanotide and related compounds, because they are hitting a receptor, replacing a deficient system. And it makes perfect physiological sense to use this drug, it sort of bypasses the hypothalamic dysfunction. So we need this compound -- related compounds you come up with to treat our patients. And I think it really offers a bright future for these patients that really have nothing that sticks, so to speak, at the present time.
Yes. Dr. Shoemaker, how do you manage your patients?
Yes. So we do a lot of environmental restrictions trying to decrease calorie intake. We use physical therapy to try to get patients moving in more active. And we use GLP-1s when we're able to get access, particularly for our patients with diabetes, because at least it's not weight gaining. And we've had some success with having that help slow that rate of weight gain, because as Dr. Blevins mentioned, the rate can be really impressive and just slowing it down is a bit of a victory. So that's kind of all we have access to right now. So we're trying to do things to mitigate not a lot of success in normalizing weight or really kind of relieving the symptoms at this point.
And can we -- for both of you, I start with you, Dr. Shoemaker. The fatigue part of this, is it asking you to hypothesize here, what you would see in somebody who just gain a lot of weight quickly? Or is there something else?
Yes. And I don't know whether some of it is such an abrupt change that they feel even more inhibited by the weight gain than maybe somebody who gained weight over a longer period of time. I don't have a great data on it. But our patients' desire to do exercise seems dramatically changed. And the best example I have, I've told people before. I had two adults that were competitive triathletes before their tumor diagnosis and both of them totally separate don't know each other. Both of them were very -- like very clearly able to articulate having no joy and exercise post their onset of hypothalamic obesity and even before they gained significant amounts of weight, just or wanted to do all the exercise and they had more discomfort and they just didn't feel like it.
So they -- the kids have a harder time articulating how they feel. But the adults, it seems clear that there is some sort of increase in fatigue and drive or joy and exercise that's different than just I gained in one women's case and she'd only gain like 20 pounds, I think, at the point where they started. And you wouldn't think that would be enough to make you not willing to get on your road bike anymore if you used to do that 5 days a week. So it does appear to be more extreme than other obesity disorders.
And Dr. Blevins, how do you see the fatigue here?
Well, certainly common and it's common even when you've gone to great lengths to try to replace other pituitary hormone deficits even to the point of giving some of these patients if their disease is controlled growth hormone. And I don't know whether it's simply related to the diminished autonomic outflow or whether the brain is doing something else to limit activity. And it seems to me that there's something that we don't really fully understand about it.
When you actually study the hypothalamus, it is one of the most complex parts of the brain, in my opinion, and all the different pathways and neurotransmitters and hormones and connections. It's got to be something more than what meets the eye or is on the surface that explains a fatigue, but it's universal in these patients.
Yes. Okay. Helpful. How do we make a diagnosis? So Ashley, maybe you want to go first?
So I have the advantage of most of my patients are pediatrics, and we have growth charts. So I think in the world of pediatric endocrinology, there's a lot more awareness of hypothalamic obesity, because -- and when you saw Dr. Abuzzahab's patients growth chart, you can't ignore when all of a sudden, there's a line going straight up.
I have noticed in my adult patients that there's oftentimes more blamed being put on their testosterone dose or the thyroid hormone dose or their hydrocortisone dose, and that there's some confusion about why the person may be gaining weight and a lack of recognition. But if you graph it, it's quite obvious. It's hard to miss.
And Dr. Blevins. I know both of you have big referral practice as well. But is the diagnosis missed? Is this a hard diagnosis to make back to the adults. Pediatrics may be a little more straightforward, but...
I think it is missed often, because people aren't in tune with it. And heightened awareness will help. In my practice, if anybody gains 5% of the weight, I consider that to be circumspect and evidence of hypothalamic dysfunction. And I'd like to coach it in terms of that leading to the weight gain. There certainly are well defined criteria looking at BMIs to diagnose obesity and all of that in regular adult patients. But I think we need to look at it differently in these people, because if they go from 125 to 160. I mean to me, that's a 50% increase in weight. And a lot of people would see them in the mall or on the street and think, well, you're not really obese, you're just a little overweight.
So I don't know that we have criteria yet to call it, but I think probably we need to have a summit to trying to figure out how to actually diagnose what the criteria are to defining this, not only for treatment, but also for medical purposes and establishing close follow-up, et cetera.
We need to define it before the insurance company is get to deciding who gets drug in the future, we needed to find that for them. So it's one of my concerns as a practitioner is that, you recognize that therapies become available, insurance companies will deny those treatments. So we need to define it.
Yes. So maybe to build on that, Dr. Blevins, the idea that it's not a BMI threshold to change. So do you want to...
Yes. I think his point is correct. It's the rate of change. It's that trajectory. And it would be nice to -- we are working to define it. I think that is a goal of everybody in this world now is to kind of put better definitions on this. And I agree, it's a rate of weight change. And if you can show that you've changed over a 6-month period, that really should be enough and we would like to not have to wait. Some of the patients come in underweight to depending on where their tumor location was. So if we wait until they're obese, it could be a really large change. Yes. So agreed, the rate of weight change in a short period of time is what we're most interested in.
One of the things -- if you don't mind. One of the things I thought to address earlier that came up in the presentation is that it's not universal that we see hypothalamic obesity. So they use craniopharyngioma as our modeler as an example. And that's because these lesions sometimes are located within the pituitary. Sometimes they're in the region of the pitutary stalk and sometimes in region of hypothalamus. So those that are hypothalamic or the ones that are what we call suprasellar in the region of the pituitary stalk if the surgeon injures the hypothalamus, those are the people where you see it.
So if you look at all craniopharyngiomas, for example, there's one study, I think it might have been from Japan, you'd mentioned Japan earlier, showed that only 40% of adult patients with craniopharyngioma had hypothalamic obesity. That's usually related to the location of the tumor itself.
So really for the HO, we're talking about people with third ventricular tumors or suprasellar tumors where the surgeon tries to peel the tumor away, it damages the blood vessels that supply the hypothalamus. So that's why it's not universal. I just want to make sure your audience, if they had that question understood why we don't say it 100%. Some studies say it's as high as 70%, some says low as 40%. But it's not universal in the adult patients with craniopharyngioma.
So Dr. Belvins and Dr. Shoemaker, can you talk a little bit about -- it sounds what we understand is a patient who is diagnosed with a tumor gets pretty good preoperative education about the complications that may occur. It's not clear that they are educated about HO specifically. And I know what your experience was and what do you think?
So I educate my patients who have surgery in this region for craniopharyngioma or other lesions. I tell them all about the potential for this, and we'll watch their weight, and I need to hear from them. Let's say, if we have visits at 1 and 3 months after surgery, then another one at 6 months, then another one at 6 months or the year anniversary. I want to know if they're having weight gain in the interim. So my patients hear about that, but I don't think that's universal across the country, in the world. where patients are informed of this possibility. And some of that is just we need to heighten the awareness of treating physicians.
I know everybody who takes care of these patients knows the hypothalamic obesity can occur, but I'm not sure that -- when I talk to my endocrine colleagues that it's always addressed, because there's not been an effective treatment. So part of the work of the educational team with Rhythm is going to be to inform people of this drug and the possibility that patients may actually require treatment and there is a treatment for this, so that you can decrease morbidity and mortality later in life.
So the other issue is patients and families don't always hear it. So even if we talk about hypothalamic obesity at the beginning, when you're also mentioning brain surgery, vision loss, and here are the five hormones you're going to have to take, including adrenaline insufficiency and vasopressin deficiency, things that are really complicated and scary. Most families don't latch on to HO and especially because right now, there isn't a treatment. So you're telling them all the things you're going to do, and that's not one.
So we often find it takes -- oftentimes about 3 months before we get the families kind of to engage on the idea that, oh, this weight gain that's happening, that's a separate problem that we need to deal with. That's not going to be fixed with just getting them back to school or adjusting their thyroid hormone.
So one is, it's a difficult thing for people to wrap their head around. And the other problem we're running into is increasingly, I see patients with HO and its post radiation. We do -- we see many fewer aggressive surgeries than we used to, where it was, okay, they're going to go in and do the surgery. And then immediately afterwards, you have this onset of HO. Now a lot of our patients are going straight to radiation.
And so then you have some delayed effects, because radiation takes a while to actually kill the cells. And so, then the timing of the discussion is another challenge. But I think even if people are -- even if doctors are trying to tell their patients, I don't know that patients are grasping the problem immediately.
So just to pick up on your point about the change in practice here, and I love to hear from both of you. So hypothalamic sparing surgery, more radiation, do you think that's going to decrease the frequency of "HO" or is it just delay its onset?
Hopefully, it decreases it a little bit. But certainly, we're still seeing it post radiation. I haven't seen any great data to look at change in incidents. That's certainly the goal, but we're still seeing it post radiation.
Dr. Blevins, any?
Yes, I agree with what Dr. Shoemaker said there. We still see it after radiotherapy. This approach of trying to spare the hypothalamus, I think, is key if you can get some of the children, especially through puberty and maybe through fertility so that they can be fertile and finish their growth. That's tremendous.
But you have to use the radiotherapy, ultimately going to lose those pituitary functions in probably 2/3 of people and you are going to see hypothalamic obesity, especially because we know that the radiotherapy probably affects the vascular supply of hypothalamus more than kills the neurons. So they're going to die one way or another, either from radiation-induced damage or radiation-induced damage of the blood vessels. So you do see it. I consider radiotherapy as a targeted therapy, just a surgery is targeted therapy and targeted therapies regardless, do increase the likelihood of HO in adult patients.
Yes. Moving to the drug. I know Dr. Blevins, you weren't part of the trials. Dr. Shoemaker, you were. So can you talk about your experience with the drug in HO, and...
It worked. To echo, I mean, what you talked about earlier, when the Phase II trial was proposed, I think most of us were pretty skeptical whether it would work. I mean, it's a really interesting scientific question, right? Like we know there's damage there. And what I expected was a heterogeneous response. Like I expected that there would be some patients that had unilateral damage, the hypothalamus or partial where they'd have some neurons remaining and that those patients were going to respond really well to setmelanotide and some of the patients with more complete destruction, maybe they wouldn't respond. And I think we all. I didn't hear anybody who thought that MC4 receptor outside of the hypothalamus was so critical.
And so the thing that was most surprising about the Phase II data where it was the uniformity of response. These are a really heterogeneous group of patients. They had different underlying causes. They had different degrees of damage. They had a different number of years since it originally happened. We expected there to be more variability in their response to a therapy. So that was what was most impressive or noticeable to me in the Phase II was how many patients responded and that it really did look -- we, endocrinologists, we love hormone replacement. Usually, if someone's missing hormone and you give it back, it just works. And that's what this looked like. So that was a pleasant surprise.
And can you talk a little bit about quality of life? We've seen the numbers, but...
Yes. So I mean for some of the patients, it's been a normalization. And I will echo what Dr. Blevins said, I'm in the south. There is a high rate of underlying obesity. And so for some of our patients, their BMI is right back down to the 50th percentile or where it was before. And for other patients their BMI dropped to where it was before, which may have still been at the 95th percentile or above. So there -- it doesn't normalize other obesity drivers. But yes, I saw a real improvement in quality of life for the patients who had hyperphagia, that would be a really noticeable change if they didn't have to start -- keep thinking about food as a family, the same way they used to anecdotally improvement in energy and ability to kind of want to participate in daily activities.
And then just for some of the patients, a real normalization of weight. So basically, a return to more of who they were before. Because like I said, they have a before and an after, so they really are able to tell you what they used to be like and how they feel now. So for some of these patients, it was a return to who they were at the baseline.
Dr. Blevins, having seen the data, how do you see using the drug, introducing a 2-year patients? What's the process there?
Well, I will say that I had one patient who was enrolled in a trial at another site, and it was pretty impressive to see her response as well. She had already had other forms of therapy and was able to lose some weight, but I was able to really -- I had a visit with her, and it's like, what happened to you? You look like you're at a normal weight now. And she told me that she's been in this trial with one of the investigators. I was pleased to see that type of response. So I have the N of one experience.
I think, as you said and as Dr. Shoemaker confirmed, this is hormone replacement therapy, and that's what we as an neuroendocrinologists do. We play Goldilocks, if something is too high, we knock it down to normal. If it's too low, we bring it up to normal. And these patients have too low of the activity in this hormone system. We're going to bring it up to normal with this drug.
So I foresee using it in a significant number of my patients. I'm not sure I'll use it in all. But I'm a firm believer in weight management in these patients. So those who certainly have hypothalamic obesity or have a gain and wait after an intervention I want to treat them. I consider it as a preventive therapy too, not only treatment, but people have established the basic preventive therapy to keep them from getting there. So they don't want to get all these other morbidities and mortalities. So I can see this being used regularly in the armamentarium of things that I do for patients with hypothalamic dysfunction.
And just maybe one obvious point. Can you do a drug holiday here?
We don't usually take away hormones. If you need them, you need them. So ideally no.
No. The answer would be no.
Patients unfortunately take their own holidays, even an important medication. So I'm sure we'll see that, that will happen, but we don't really care for that approach. So one of the other things I'll comment on is that, I have patients whose hypothalamus is, for lack of a better word, destroyed I expect them to respond to this drug, because of the location of the MC4 or neurons that are in the brain stem, in the spinal cord, in the thalamus and the cortex. So I think that -- that's the beauty of this drug. You can wipe the hypothalamus out. You're going to respond to this drug because those neurons are important in those other areas.
It's probably the ones under medulla that are largely regulating autonomic outflow. And we want to see an increased metabolic rate in those people. So I think that's what makes this drug and compounds related to it even more special. Is that -- you almost bypass that signaling pathway through the hypothalamus in patients who have no hypothalamus whatsoever and get the same clinical effect. And that's just the beauty of how these neurons are distributed. It's just our anatomy or physiology are fascinating. And it's incredible that you don't need some hypothalamus to respond to this medication. You can be without and still respond.
And how -- again, for either one of both. The melanocortin-4 pathway signaling in the endocrinology world, how well understood is that? Is this a commonly discussed research? What do you think?
My colleagues only know about it, because I talk about it. But no, I would not say it's a well understood or discussed in general endocrinology. Maybe there's like one board question that throws in -- actually just that throws in POMC deficiency or something that leptin, but this is not a super well understood. However, really as practicing clinicians, usually, we're kind of driven by what we can treat. So unfortunately, you need the ability to diagnose and the ability to treat to make us in clinic interested in a pathway. So the drug kind of has to come first to get people to care about the MC4 receptor.
I couldn't agree more. Clinical endocrine training is largely based on what we can do for patients.There's some basic physiology. I mean, we all know that alpha-MSH can stimulate melanocytes and can cause hyperpigmentation in patients with Cushing's or adrenal insufficiency. And we know about POMC production that people focus on its regulation of the hypothalamic pituitary adrenal axis.
And I think that this pathway is going to be sort of new stuff, so to speak, for clinical training programs, existing endocrinologists, some of whom are very out of touch with current research and all of that. And that's where the medical science liaisons for Rhythm have their work cut out for them.
I mean, if you go back, people -- we also didn't know GLP-1. If you would go back even 10 years and asked physicians about GLP-1 or GIP or some of these hormones, that was basic physiology stuff that got mentioned but wasn't part of your day-to-day practice. So it's very easy to get people to catch up, but there has to be a motivation as to why they care about some basic science.
So I'm asking you to look ahead, and just the data comes out, it gets published. Drug gets approved, more attention comes. Is this a specialty that you think going to move quickly to embrace something new? Or is it -- just any thoughts on how this may play? Dr. Blevins, you've been...
I think, pituitary centers of excellence are where most adult neuroendocrinologists lie and then pediatric endocrinologists who do the type of work that Dr. Shoemaker does at academic medical centers, they are going to catch on pretty quickly. And I wouldn't say that most of the complex patients are cared for in those type of centers. There are vast numbers of patients so they see people in community practices and in small towns, and they don't have the luxury of travel to a center of excellence, but I think you'll find that your rapid uptake is going to be through academic medical centers where most of these people would go for surgery to try to get the best outcomes possible.
So on that note, the world is also very focused on Prader-Willi. You mentioned it earlier. I think you both care for Prader-Willi patients. Can you just talk a little bit about: One, just the differences from a disease standpoint, because I know sometimes there's some confusion there; and secondly, a new treatment just got approved for Prader-Willi. There was a reasonably rapid uptake. I think would be the conclusion. What's different about that dynamic from this dynamic? And I highlighted wondering Prader-Willi patients having potentially their own clinics, HO patients not, maybe a better diagnosis rate, but anyway, thoughts on that.
Yes. So I direct a multidisciplinary Prader-Willi syndrome clinic. I would say a lot of differences. One, our Prader-Willi patients are usually diagnosed in infancy. So the goal is diagnosis in the first year of life. Most patients are diagnosed or the process has begun before they've left the hospital after birth.
So we have a long run up with those patients of both kind of bringing them into our clinics and also discussing what's to come. Average age of hyperphagia onset and PWS is 8 to 10 years old. So you actually have a long time before they have full-blown symptoms. So that's a bit different. And they have very different medical problems. So a lot more distinctive behavioral issues. They have the similar hypothalamic dysfunctions, so some of the same hormone deficiencies, but more significant developmental delays and some very distinct behavioral phenotype.
And as of now, all of my PWS patients require round-the-clock care. So I don't have any adults with PWS that live independently, and they all develop this really severe hyperphagia. And HO is a bit different. You've got the sudden onset of -- that was unexpected, and they're dealing with a lot of problems that all start at the same time.
They tend to be seen in a different kind of medical setting. I mean, sometimes it's the same people, but more that they're being seen in endocrinology and potentially neurosurgery and neuro-oncology. And the hyperphagia is a bit more mixed with HO, and some of the patients are cognitively great. I mean, I have adults that have families and they work and they're not -- their whole life isn't devastated. So a bit different in how they're cared for and certainly not the same.
The HO patients are very engaged with the medical community, because they have all these hormone deficiencies. So that makes it easier. There is not the same patient advocacy organization that we see with Prader-Willi syndrome. That's a very organized group of families. So it's similar, there's overlap, but they are definitely different communities.
Dr. Blevins, anything to add there?
My practice would obviously be different. Many of the patients that I see with Prader-Willi or Septo-optic dysplasia, who also have hypothalamic obesity or any of the other symptoms usually come to me in their 30s or 40s. They've long lost their pediatric endocrinologists, maybe they were handed off to a primary care physician. And ultimately, they're referred because they have some other hormone deficits and need attention, and we jump into the fact that, well, what can we do to regulate your appetite and your weight and things of that nature. So those are the ones that are usually will start with the behavioral therapies.
I have a couple on dexedrine that seems to at least prevent further weight gain, but we focused large on behavioral. There are usually men living with their families still, their mother and their father participating in their lives far more than we would for most of our 30- or 40-year old men. And I think that there's probably a role for this medication in those patients as well.
In fact, I first heard about setmelanotide from one of my patients with Septo-optic dysplasia a few years ago. I mean, since I want to be on this drug, let's see what happens.
So we're working on that. It makes sense that, that might work, obviously, why we're running trials. I'm going to close just and then we'll open it up to some questions. Urgency to treat here. Drug gets approved. Obviously, the data will be out there.
Yes. We get really excited to have something we can treat. I think one of the reasons that my colleagues don't really want to engage in hypothalamic obesity as doctors don't like things we can't fix. It's not very fun to take care of a medical problem that we can't address. So I think, yes, urgency is -- I don't know why I would delay. So if it's an appropriate medicine for the patient, and we're able to get access, it's something that I think we would be trying to offer as quickly as possible. And we like hormone replacement therapy. So I think it's -- the uptake should be pretty comfortable for most endocrinologists.
Dr. Blevins?
I agree.
I'll open it up to a couple of questions. Okay. I got more than a couple up already.
2. Question Answer
Appreciate it. On the -- Rhythm is going to talk about the epidemiology work they've done, but just in your experience, how prevalent is HO relative to Prader-Willi? And what's your view on the true prevalence of non-surgical HO? Do you think there's this whole group of patients out there that haven't been found? I mean, from our perspective, it's just very hard to research, but there are these really interesting case studies. So any perspective would be great.
I would say, yes, there are definitely non-surgical HO patients. My own personal practice, we've had a patient with a vasculitis with one of the most impressive onsets of HO I've ever seen and also complete loss of thirst, which is was really not fun. And we've seen dramatic brain injury patients, really anything that causes vasopressin deficiency, you definitely can see HO and post radiation. So those patients are out there. I think there are undiagnosed patients, and I think our estimates of prevalence are pretty poor.
There's not an ICD -- there hasn't been an ICD-10 code for this. They're not being coded exactly. Like I said, there's not a lot of impetus to code for or describe it when you can't treat it. So a lot of our notes won't even talk about HO, because you're talking about the six other hormones you're replacing. So I do think it's under-diagnosed. In my practice, I have seen 3x as many PWS patients as HO patients. That's not a perfect descriptor, because the PWS patients come from a slightly smaller area, but I see more adults with PWS. So I think the one in 50,000 is a reasonable starting point for an HO incidence, but I think it could easily be 1 in 30 or 1 in 60, the accuracy is not great right now.
I remember a couple of months ago looking into some data, when I was just trying to educate myself about HO and this pathway. Maybe it's been 6 months ago now, reading that it was estimated that maybe 3% to 5% of people with obesity have dysfunction of one of the different components of this pathway. So if you consider them to have genetic causes of hypothalamic obese, maybe even far more common than we believe out there in society.
Yes. So just -- I mean this is part of our -- the semantics problem here, which as a company we're working and as a community, people are arguably hypothalamic obesities where these -- the regulation of hunger and energy expenditure resides. So by that definition, there's many things we are working on the different pieces. The challenge, which you're asking about, Paul, is how do we get to a true prevalence number here. I think both Dr. Blevins, Dr. Shoemaker have large populations as experts in referral populations. So we're going to be learning a lot more as we go forward.
But, Jon?
Jon from Citizens. Dr. Blevins said something interesting about potentially using setmelanotide preventively after surgery to prevent weight gain. Dr. Shoemaker, wondering if you think about that use case, and I imagine that's something that will be in the initial label, but Dave, if you can maybe comment about the evolution of setmelanotide's use over time.
Yes. I don't know if we'd use it immediately after surgery. We usually like to see even with all of our hormone replacement, you want like some evidence that they have a deficiency before you start replacing. And I mean if a surgeon comes out and says, I cut out the pituitary, it's gone. Well, yes, you've got to replace that.
But early, I mean, we typically can tell definitely in the first 6 months, often in the first 3 months that this is a person that's having the trajectory consistent with HO and you'd like to intervene. So I think in my -- what I would probably be leaning towards is within 6 months of diagnosis being able to have enough evidence to start. And based on what I've seen with the response, I think that the weight gain they've had in that period of time would be pretty easy to fix.
But I agree, I hate the idea of waiting until someone hits a BMI of 30. If they started out with the BMI of 19 and you've got to wait until their BMI gets to 30, that seems silly. It's kind of like they're getting the age down to 2. As a pediatrician, one of the frustrations was if you're making genetic diagnosis when people are young, you don't want to wait until they're 6 or 10 or 12 to start treating, it just seems silly to say we have to keep waiting.
So hopefully, we can get a definition of HO where maybe within 3 to 6 months of diagnose -- of onset that you can demonstrate a need. And obviously, similar to growth hormone, you don't have to show -- someone doesn't have to become short to need growth hormone. You don't have to wait until they're short. You just show well, they used to be at the 75th percentile and now they're at the 50th percentile and their growth rate is abnormal, and that's enough. It would be ideally, we get to the same place with this hormone replacement.
And just from a regulatory standpoint, as you probably know, the way labels often mostly work as they take your inclusion criteria and that's translated to the label. We required obesity, by definition, greater than 30 BMI. But physiologically is what you're hearing from Dr. Blevins, Dr. Shoemaker, we will have that conversation. Again, regulators, they try to do what makes sense. And so this will make sense to them, whether we can get it translated into the label, I don't know yet, but we will have that conversation for sure.
Seamus Fernandez from Guggenheim. So couple of questions. Just your experience in the clinical trial of the patient's responses, and I'm sure you had a blend of patients, but you also treated in the Phase II as well. So the nausea that you see in these patients that's reported, how does that compare to sort of GLP-1 nausea or other hormone therapies that you see.
And as the patients are responding, is that something that diminishes kind of goes away over time and then they really tolerate therapy. And then the one other thing that we didn't really talk too much about is the impact of hyperpigmentation that you could see in your patient population and perhaps the future benefits that we might see from some of the newer agents that are coming.
Yes. So nausea, pretty similar, I mean, in general, I personally am pretty aggressive with treating with antiemetics, because this patient population is vulnerable to nausea and vomiting and changing their food balance or precipitating. You've got concerns of precipitating adrenal insufficiency if somebody -- or adrenal crisis if someone's having a lot of vomiting. So we were pretty liberal and I am pretty liberal with using antiemetics. And patients did well, sometimes you go slower on dose titration. Very similar to GLP-1s with some patients need a slower titration, some patients take a little longer to get up to a dose.
The -- definitely gets better. So not something that people are complaining about years later. A little difficult to completely tease out as well because these patients, some of them already have nausea kind of at baseline, so some patients already had Zofran prescriptions, for example. But compared to our trials with GLP-1s in the same population, pretty similar.
Hyperpigmentation definitely happens. If you're having a benefit and a large weight loss, people don't tend to care or willing to tolerate. I have some patients who love their hyperpigmentation and some patients who hate it. So I think there's certainly room for improvements there.
I mean, I think that if I could offer some of my patients, an agent that had fewer off-target effects, there are definitely people who would like that. It's a hard one, because it's a very cultural, how people interpret change in skin color. So it's been interesting to watch. But I do think it's -- it would be nice to have an option that didn't have that side effect.
Corrinne Johnson from Goldman Sachs. Maybe if you could just talk about what portion of patients that you are currently treating for HO would be candidates for this drug if it came to market? And if there's patients that aren't candidates, kind of what are the features that would lead you to not use setmelanotide in those?
You want to -- Dr. Blevin, do you want to go first on that?
That's a very good question. I mean, just off the top of my head, I would say probably 80% might be candidates and the 20% here or not would be those who probably don't have a care provider or a self ability to inject. Because again, we see people who've been absolutely devastated by their hypothalamic disease and hypersomnolence and poor cognition and requiring complete care. And I know that -- and it's a multicultural population. Many of these patients all speak English. And they literally don't communicate with you.
I think that those are the patients who sometimes need the treatment the most, but it's hard to find a care provider who's going to be willing to inject every day, in some of the underserved populations that we have in California. So not everybody is a candidate for therapy, because of their societal, social economic status. And cultural situation and an educational status. And I think those would probably be the ones who I would encourage treatment, but we sometimes can't even get those people on growth hormone injections just because of the things that I've mentioned.
So there are barriers to carry out there, and we're not going to find it's going to be universal. But I would say 80% -- just off the top of my head 80% of our patients with HO would certainly be interested and would seemingly be candidates. So I would try to get 100% on treatment, if I could, but I've practiced long enough to know that there are obstructions to care.
Yes. There are not a lot of -- I mean assuming similar labeling, there's not a lot of contraindications. It's the main one being if there's a family history of melanoma which we don't run into a lot. So the majority of patients would be eligible and then it will come down to their interest and payer coverage. But I would expect that we would be offering it to most of our patients pretty quickly. I mean, that's what we do with Bardet-Biedl syndrome is basically just offered it to the patients as they came back into clinic.
Kris Jenner, Rock Springs Capital. In the presentation so far, there's been several references made to PWS. And Dr. Shoemaker, I know you have been kind of recently consulted on safety concerns related to PWS safety concerns, which either were part of the trial or are kind of associated comorbidities. Now in the case of HO, they're medically complex patients. You've mentioned several other hormone imbalances, several other medicines.
I guess, what I'm thinking about is let's fast forward new medicine, significant unmet medical need, physicians may or may not be totally familiar with this. So we fast forward, and what should we be thinking about in terms of, let's use PWS as a learning example of things that we may see of safety concerns that are totally not related to the drug, but are related to the complexity of the medical patient in which the drug is being given?
Yes. I mean, the data was presented earlier about the percentage of patients. 23% had ICU admissions and a number of hospitalizations per year. And honestly, this is a worst population than PWS for mortality. In my experience, I have more patients with HO who have died than I do PWS, and it's a slightly smaller population. So we do expect that, unfortunately, these patients will have mortality. They do tend to get hospitalized. And the big things are those the vasopressin deficiency, so diabetes insipidus, that fluid balance and adrenal insufficiency are the two most reason, common reasons I see patients presenting to the hospital. So that's going to have to be expected.
And I do think we will have to be thoughtful about how to manage nausea vomiting in these patients because it can be hard. And not all of them have the ability to monitor sodium checks at home. So it can be -- require more visits and whatnot. So they are a complex group. There will be continued issues with these patients. And yes, we can't panic if when patient goes to the hospital, because that's already happening.
So I think on that, we'll close, and thank Dr. Blevins for joining remotely. For taking time out of your day and of course, Dr. Shoemaker, thanks for being here.
So with that, we have a -- go right to Jennifer. 10-minute break. Okay. So we'll take a 10-minute break. Dr. Blevins, thanks again. I look forward to connecting. And we'll be back in 10 minutes.
[Break]
Thank you so much for coming today to hear our story. We are so excited about the potential upcoming launch for setmelanotide and acquired hypothalamic obesity. The unmet need, as you have heard for a therapy that addresses obesity and hyperphagia associated with acquired hypothalamic obesity is clear. We have already done a lot of work. To prepare, and we look forward to the potential opportunity, if approved, to make setmelanotide available to patients and their families.
I'm going to be covering three different topic areas today. First, I would like to reflect upon what we have already built at Rhythm to transform the lives of patients living with MC4 pathway diseases through our BBS efforts and how it sets the stage for our success in acquired HO.
Second, the progress we have made towards understanding the opportunity, the unmet need and future potential for setmelanotide in patients living with acquired hypothalamic obesity.
And lastly, our strategic priorities and progress as we look ahead towards a regulatory decision in December of this year. As we prepare for this important next stage of growth for Rhythm, I reflect upon what made us successful in BBS and what we can leverage from that success.
Let me walk through some of the areas that lay a strong foundation and jumping point for our next launch. While ahead of launch in BBS, our teams are already in the field identifying HCPs and BBS patients who could benefit from a targeted therapy to address their specific needs. This enabled us before Day 1 to have identified physicians who are treating nearly 350 potential BBS patients.
As we learn more, we have updated our prevalence estimate for BBS to 4,000 to 5,000 in the United States. Since IMCIVREE's first approval in 2020, we have continued to hone our data-driven methods to identify patients with BBS. Leveraging all available data sources, including both claims data as well as genetic testing sources. We also further leveraged the input and learnings of our field teams to refine our customer base and priority targets.
Through educating and engaging with the community, our teams have made a difference in the lives of many patients. Rather than falling through the cracks, as often happens with patients with rare diseases, patients with BBS are now recognized and diagnosed earlier and able to receive optimized care.
Over the years, we focus our education and engagement efforts on differentiating MC4R pathway diseases, including BBS. From general obesity, we have activated a broad base of BBS diagnosers and IMCIVREE prescribers. These physicians, including endocrinologists and obesity treaters may also come across patients who may benefit from setmelanotide upon future approvals like hypothalamic obesity.
Through their positive product experience, they are now motivated to look for additional BBS patients who may benefit from IMCIVREE. Nearly half of our new BBS patients have come from prior IMCIVREE writers, which is a testament to the positive product experience we are creating for both prescribers and patients as well as their appreciation of IMCIVREE as a therapy that targets the root cause of their obesity.
In addition, we have continued to build on the clinical value proposition of IMCIVREE through the generation of new data. We have made significant contributions to the understanding of the MC4R pathway as we have published more than 100 posters, presentations and publications, including ENCORE's on BBS over the years.
We continue to expand our customer-facing teams. Early in our BBS launch, we are able to appreciate the importance of optimizing both the patient and prescriber experience. We have learned a lot from our BBS launch and adapted the way our teams on board both the HCP and patient providing a seamless experience from prescription through the reimbursement process, to initiating and maintaining on IMCIVREE long term.
Over the last 5 years, we have also educated payers on IMCIVREE's unique value proposition for approved patient population with MC4 pathway diseases. As we have shared in the past, we have seen breadth and coverage with IMCIVREE-specific policies in place or access to IMCIVREE even without a policy in place.
With our Rhythm, InTune teams supporting patients and securing access and initiating and staying on therapy, we are now seeing BBS patients who have reached and surpassed 3 years on continuous therapy. We continue to advance setmelanotide, a potential first and only life-changing medicine into other MC4R diseases with a considerable disease burden and high unmet need. As we look towards our next potential approval in acquired hypothalamic obesity, we are excited to build on the considerable experience and success of our teams.
Now let's transition to what we have learned in market research. Our focus here is on what we have learned about acquired hypothalamic obesity. Specifically diagnosis and management of this rare disease and the potential for securing access to setmelanotide for these patients.
Our MSL team has been engaging with treaters of hypothalamic obesity for a year now, uncovering insights and establishing relationships with key opinion leaders. Over time, additional teams have also shifted towards education efforts of our customers to support patient diagnosis and identification, ongoing access to setmelanotide upon approval and community building among patients and caregivers.
Here are some of the things that we have learned through the insights that we have gathered from our customers. The presentation of acquired hypothalamic obesity defers from general obesity in many notable ways, including a rapid onset of weight gain and hyperphagia following a distinct injury. Unlike monogenic and syndromic obesity, these patients, therefore, have a clear before and after. And many patients describe this sudden change as night and day.
However, this is a heterogeneous disease on a spectrum. And depending on the cause of injury, the age and weight of the patients at baseline and other underlying health conditions, no two patients will present in exactly the same way.
Diagnosis is further complicated by the current management approach to acquired hypothalamic obesity which currently does not differ from the treatment of general obesity because no targeted therapy exists to treat this condition today.
Given this lack of distinction in the management of these patients, there is currently no strong incentive to get to a differential diagnosis between acquired hypothalamic obesity and general obesity. As we have engaged with providers, we are seeing many lightful moments through our education and discussions.
Healthcare providers are able to draw a connection between weight gain and a prior hypothalamic injury. They note the presence of hyperphagia in many patients as well as the onset of fatigue. These providers readily appreciate the role that the MC4 pathway has in mediating this distinctive disease process. They understand how this deficiency can contribute towards decreased energy expenditure and onset of hyperphagia. And they appreciate that multiple causes of entry, including tumors in their treatment which is currently more readily understood as well as traumatic brain injury can all lead to acquired hypothalamic obesity.
Armed with this information, healthcare providers tell us that they are now planning to go back and evaluate their patients, who they suspect may have acquired hypothalamic obesity. These patients may subsequently also be confirmed with a diagnosis through further evaluation of their physician and their future visit.
While our market research tells us endocrinologists agree that acquired hypothalamic obesity is underdiagnosed in the United States. We believe this current diagnostic challenge is highly addressable through our current education efforts to both healthcare providers and patients. And we have already seen success here. As we have heard during our repeat visits to treaters, they have identified additional patients that they would like to follow up with for evaluation of acquired hypothalamic obesity.
Similar to other rare diseases, and as we saw with BBS, the urgency for an accurate diagnosis will be further heightened upon approval of setmelanotide as a new and first treatment option specifically tailored to address the underlying cause of obesity for these patients.
Now on to management of HO. In the early days following a hypothalamic injury, patient care is highly complex. In many cases, patients have already experienced the shock of getting a tumor diagnosis. And they are soon engrossed in a complex cascade of interventions to stabilize many hormonal insufficiencies, several which can be life-threatening. During this period, some patients may experience transient changes to their weight as a side effect of corticosteroids or other therapies. However, as these levels stabilize, the hallmarks of acquired hypothalamic obesity become readily apparent.
Based off our market research among all the sequela that may follow a brain injury, endocrinologists report acquired hypothalamic obesity as their second highest concern behind pituitary insufficiencies and as concerning to them as the onset of diabetes insipidus. With that said, physicians outlined the challenges presented by weight management and hyperphagia itself and consistently outlined the difficulty effectively managing their patient's weight gain.
They also expressed that a new and effective treatment option for these patients will further help to motivate the urgency to accurately diagnose and treat these patients. With the challenges that were outlined, with available treatment options, we have received very positive feedback regarding setmelanotide's clinical profile as a treatment option for hypothalamic obesity in blinded market research.
Overall, the vast majority of endocrinologists surveyed consider setmelanotide's degree of weight reduction, both compelling and clinically meaningful. And all surveyed endos report that they would prescribe setmelanotide for acquired HO patients.
Together, these data points give us great confidence in the benefit risk profile of setmelanotide and acquired HO. We believe the question is not whether providers will adopt setmelanotide, but when they will adopt setmelanotide.
Regarding the timing of treatment initiation, approximately 60% of endocrinologists state they would initiate setmelanotide at the time of a patient's HO diagnosis. While others would wait until all the patient's hormonal deficiencies have been stabilized prior to initiating. When asked what differentiates setmelanotide as a potential treatment option, the majority of endocrinologists state that is setmelanotide's ability to target the root cause of acquired HO as a key reason to prescribe. And the positive perception of setmelanotide's clinical profile is not limited to its impact on weight alone.
Here is verbatim what we heard from a pediatric endocrinologist. I love seeing that there is improvement in a patient-centered outcome, that being the change in hunger. For me, it's not all weight centric all the time. I think we get really focused on that. This quote aligns with a similar relative importance in market research, a reduction of BMI or body weight versus reduction of hunger or hyperphagia and physicians' reasons to consider setmelanotide for their acquired HO patients.
Now regarding market access, we are really operating here from a position of strength, when it comes to setmelanotide. Payers have already understood the differentiation between MC4 pathway diseases and general obesity in the context of all the education we did around BBS, which has led to the breadth of policies already in place across nearly all commercial and Medicaid covered lives. This lays an incredibly strong foundation to start from for our potential launch in acquired HO.
For months now, we have engaged with payers with pre-approval information exchanges regarding both the acquired HO disease date and more recently, our pivotal data. Nearly all payers report that approval and acquired HO will trigger a coverage policy update, but this will not happen on day 1 of approval. About half the payers we have engaged suggest a policy update will occur between 3 to 6 months post approval, and the other half expect a policy update within the year. With criteria required prior authorization in alignment to the labeled indication. Based off this feedback, we feel confident when it comes to market access for setmelanotide and acquired HO.
I now want to shift gears and begin to outline where we are focusing our efforts as we look towards the December approval. We are focused on differentiating MC4 on pathway diseases, including AHO and associated burden of obesity and hyperphagia from general obesity. Expediting patient diagnosis and following approval establishing IMCIVREE as a foundational treatment for acquired HO, working with payers to secure access and supporting patients long term on treatment.
In order to do so, we are putting the right team in place to be able to execute against these priorities. To facilitate considerations around team sizing, I want to outline some of the claims analysis we undertook to identify our key targets for launch. We used robust U.S. claims data to narrow down to a group of potential suspected acquired HO patients by outlining a number of key criteria.
First, was claims data evidence of a pituitary tumor craniopharyngioma or other certain neoplasms in the brain, along with evidence of a surgical or radiological intervention. Next, we required that patients exhibit some degree of hypothalamic dysfunction such as pituitary insufficiency, diabetes insipidus, or hypothyroidism. Patients then needed to have evidence or coding of obesity.
And finally, as a starting point for a field targeting, we further narrowed down to patients who had an in-person visit to an endocrinologist within the last 18 months. With suspected HO patients now identified in the claims data, we could turn towards identifying our priority HCP targets for launch. Our clinical experience in acquired ACO in addition to market research insights tell us that endocrinologists and pediatric endocrinologists are the key treaters of these patients.
The treatment of these patients' hormonal insufficiencies will be chronic and patients will generally visit an endocrinology office once or a few times a year. Of all the endocrinologists and pediatric endocrinologists practicing in the U.S. our claims analysis with the recency factor included indicate about 5,000 may manage one or more potential acquired HO patient. As with many rare disease, many physicians only manage a single patient with some degree of concentration among the top treaters as you can see with Dr. Shoemaker and Dr. Blevins. Likewise, a smaller set of about 2,400 endocrinologists and pediatric endocrinologists may manage a larger percentage of potential HO patients.
These treaters comprise our top-tier SAP targets upon launch. This data-driven approach was driven entirely by the tumor population. But we have learned from additional research that these targets outlined here show a high degree of overlap with those potentially treating patients with HO acquired from other sources such as TBI.
It has been 1 year since we began our education efforts with acquired HO with our initial focus on the potential high-volume treaters. In that time, the healthcare providers, we have profile to date indicate approximately 2,000 of their patients may have acquired HO, whether diagnosed or suspected. We see this subsegment as our highest priority upon launch, as these physicians continue to further evaluate their patients over the course of their next visits to confirm a diagnosis.
I now want to discuss the growth of our teams. During the preparation of launch of IMCIVREE and BBS, we grew our teams and since have grown incrementally to support our execution to achieve our corporate objectives. To prepare for our upcoming launch in acquired HO, we have been actively hiring and training a highly experienced team. We now have in place a larger team to unlock this exciting opportunity to make setmelanotide available to benefit patients with HO. We are increasing our sales force going from 16 to a total footprint of 43. We have expanded our patient service team to accommodate the future needs of both patients and healthcare providers. and we have also grown our internal teams to support the launch in this larger opportunity.
We have an extremely seasoned team with considerable rare disease as well as launch experience, across all parts of the organization. Our disease state education programming around acquired hypothalamic obesity is also underway. differentobesity.com, an unbranded site serves as an umbrella site for both physicians and for patients with a focus on MC4 diseases with hypothalamic obesity included.
In addition, a series of webinars and events for HCPs and patients paired with physicians, including Dr. Shoemaker, are well underway. All designed to raise awareness of HO, provide patients and physicians with resources to support diagnosis.
I want to wrap up now by returning to some of the themes I set up at the beginning. We have a good fortune to build on the success of our prior BBS launch. We have really taken time and care to understand the needs of these patients and their providers and setmelanotide is extremely well positioned to transform the lives of patients living with acquired HO. And finally, we're ready to go. We have built a team we need, we have a strategy in place, and we have been executing to prepare for the upcoming launch and we look forward to a positive outcome December 20. Thank you very much for your time.
Thank you, Jennifer. So as you heard, I think we're in a really good place. And we are incredibly excited about what's in front of us. And we'll start off by what we're building on, and we're building on our 2020 experience, initial commercial experience with POMC and LEPR, followed by Bardet-Biedl 2- to 6-year-old and set us up for now HO.
And just looking ahead, again, I think our approach at Rhythm has been to creating comprehensively about the areas that we're in.
Okay. For those who didn't hear what I said, you didn't miss much. We're in a good place. We are in a good place. But I will repeat, our general approach has been to think comprehensively about the areas that we're going into, whether it's the different indications surrounding the melanocortin-4 pathway or whether it's geographic and we're committed to the MC4 space. And that gets to setmelanotide. We think is an amazing drug. We can do better.
And so the focus on the next-generation molecules is extremely important. We talked in June about the results of the Phase II study, that as a small molecule, I think as I expressed to a number of you or -- you never know what you don't know about a new chemical entity. And so although we knew it was a good MC4 agonist until we actually got into patients, we didn't know for sure that we had it. And I think that data of 28 patients has been -- was highly confirmatory.
The one piece that we highlighted there that also will be part of our ongoing challenge to improve bivamelagon, the small molecule is to make a better pill. In that trial, patients had to take the three multivitamin -- large multivitamins on an empty stomach, not the best presentation for the patients. We've already learned that they can split the pill, and that makes it a little better. But, our Joe Shulman and our CMC team is hard at work in terms of making a more acceptable presentation here.
So we now have the full 600 milligrams in a single pill that pills a little more -- it's a contoured and slightly smaller, and we'll have obviously a smaller 400, 200-milligram options as well, and we'll get to a chewable tablet. So we're looking forward to our Phase III trial starting again in 2026.
And the 718 proof-of-concept study that's underway that is coming on the heels of the single administration, multi administration, normal volunteer study. We're now in HO patients. And again, as you know, the value an incredible advantage of being able to study an indication like HO is because it does seem to be so sensitive to MC4R agonism. It should give us a very clear understanding of how 718 is working. And so we look forward to updating you on those.
Both of these have little, we believe potentially no hyperpigmentation. We'll see with 718. I think what we've seen with bivamelagon was some truly minimal and will be very significant improvement for those who are concerned about pigmentation as a side effect. And again, as I said, we look forward to updating you on that. And from a patent term extension, both of those take us to 2040 plus.
So the summary before we go to Q&A for the group in the room here, clear unmet medical need, I think, as you've heard, without an existing effective treatment for acquired hypothalamic obesity. Hopefully, you've understood from Jennifer, a lot of work has been done already. We're going to be accelerating that work as we go into the close of the year, and she gets her full team on the ground in place ready to go. But good progress and feel really good about our ability to execute going forward.
And as we said, yes, this is a transformative opportunity for Rhythm. So I look forward to that.
With that, I see, Derek has his hand up already. Give us 1 second. We'll just get our chairs set up here.
Derek Archila from Wells Fargo. Just two questions from us. I guess, first of the 2,000 patients diagnosed or suspected with HO, I guess what percent of these may be in kind of high-volume centers or academic medical centers that, I guess, when we were talking in the prior conversation, might be the first to adopt IMCIVREE? And then a question for David. I know you've discussed in the past about getting IMCIVREE's hyperphagia benefit on the label, potentially with the HO approval. I guess how do you think that could change the commercial launch trajectory, but also in the future for indications like Prader-Willi. What does it mean for IMCIVREE's label?
So in terms of the targeting of the test right now, the MSLs were out there, clearly interfacing with the KOLs initially and to begin with. But the priority targets really for the teams moving forward has been this 2,400 physicians. Within this space, we prioritize them because from that claims perspective, they potentially have a larger volume of patients under their care. So we are, of course, prioritizing that initially just in terms of getting through that list as we work through the broader list moving forward.
And think about -- in terms of the label, so you have two questions there. As we've said, and we will continue to try. We've tried to get hyperphagia in the indication statement. We have the data -- clinical data in the label, so we can promote on it. But getting it an indication statement it's important, particularly from a Medicare approval standpoint because we need Medicare to the extent that they are going to help us, needs to understand that we are not an anti-obesity medication, because they are precluded by statute from covering anti-obese medications.
So the addition of a hyperphagia to the indication statement would help with that. Doesn't guarantee we would get it, but that would be a step. So that's obviously a goal. As I said, we've tried each time. I think my confidence goes up. I'm hopeful. I've been hopeful each time, but I'm more hopeful this time, but we'll see. There's just fundamental things, not all of these patients have hyperphagia. So it's not like that's our primary indication -- primary endpoint. It's a secondary endpoint. We've hit it every time. The biology supports it. So there's a good rationale for it.
And I also think that the regulators FDA specifically is sympathetic to the fact that how that label gets written may limit access. And they're not trying to limit access. They want to make sure that patients who need the drug can get the drug.
Your question about Prader-Willi and today is not about Prader-Willi, obviously. That's a very different hyperphagia question. So I think your implied question was, if you got hyperphagia in the label here, would you get it for Prader-Willi? I think that's just a different disease and a different discussion, and that hyperphagia approval happened in a different division. So I'll just leave that as a big unknown, no obvious read-through there.
This is Faisal Khurshid from Leerink Partners. I have two questions, one kind of more near term and longer term for both Dr. Shoemaker and Jennifer, thank you so much. Can you talk to us about securing access and reimbursement for IMCIVREE and like how that's been like currently in the real world? And then for Jennifer, like how does that change with the update or hopeful update to the label in December?
Just one person. But in general, we've had pretty good access to rare disease drugs. I think a statement earlier about that first 3 to 6 months is often difficult, just as payers have to get it added. But in general, for all of the rare diseases that we do in our practice, so rare bone diseases, rare obesity disorders, we usually have pretty good luck.
So when people ask me, for instance, Bardet-Biedl syndrome. I have not successfully gotten any of those patients access to GLP-1s, but have gotten them access to setmelanotide. So the specificity is helpful for us arguing why we need to use these drugs. I think we have an easier job arguing for a rare disease with a very specific indication in some of the more broad indications.
As it relates to the expansion of label. To be honest, the BBS indication was probably the most difficult rare disease I've ever worked in, just in terms of securing access simply because of that whole stigma associated with obesity. I think the real focus of our teams just in terms of differentiating the patient population as to the why they had the obesity made a true impact across the board and also articulating that was different in terms of what they were actually going through with the hyperphagia as well as the weight gain. And it's been years, and that's what actually established the current access situation we're in right now, which is very, very positive.
And I feel very positive just based off the pie presentations. We're open in terms of the prevalence estimates, the pricing and also with the market research insights, both of those are leading us to feel very confident in terms of an expansion, in terms of access as we move forward with that timing factor in terms of -- it takes time to get another policy in place, but we will work towards that. And in the meantime, as we do get scripts, we will work with the payers in terms of gaining reimbursement even before the policy is in place.
Got it. That's helpful. And then, just one quick one for Dr. Shoemaker. So like you saw at the end of the presentation, David spoke of the next-gen programs like the daily oral and the weekly injectable. As you think about your patient population, what do you expect them to have a major preference, like assuming everything else is equal, like one way or another from a daily oral to a weekly injectable?
The weekly injectable versus daily oral, I don't know what people are going to choose. From a physician standpoint, I want something to be once a day or less, because that's where we get compliance. Once you go to more than once a day, compliance really drops off. And then I don't care if they do oral or once weekly, it's whatever they prefer. So I mean, I think most people prefer an oral or a once weekly to a once-daily injection. And it's then it comes down to oftentimes just whatever we can get access to. It's rare that we can offer our patients all choices.
This is Ellen Horste from TD Cowen here for Phil Nadeau. Rhythm previously reported a 20% to 30% discontinuation rate during the BBS launch. I'm wondering, are you seeing more of what you would call universal clinical benefit in the HO patients? And is there any reason that the discontinuation rate might be higher or lower in this population?
Yes. I mean I can tell you, it's been really interesting working with the BBS patients. They don't have the before and after. So my most eager to receive treatment for obesity and hyperphagia patients or my PWS and my HO patients because they pretty universally are upset by the change. And with some of the genetic obesity patients that had symptoms from a really young age, some of them are less upset by it or less disturbed by it. So there's a higher motivation amongst our HO patients than our -- than my BBS patients in general. Yes, they're just -- they're different.
This is Corinne Johnson again from Goldman Sachs. I have a feeling, David is going to hate this question. So I apologize in advance. But it's important. How should we think about the launch curve next year, particularly given this is double the patient population for BBS triple to quadruple the number of identified patients at the outset. Help us think about kind of that early uptake.
Sure. So let me make a comment and then Jennifer can fill in, she's much closer to this. So we feel good about the numbers. And as you said, I mean, the math, you don't have to -- this is a bigger opportunity than BBS materially. It's concentrated in a call point, the endocrinologist. All of that is hugely enabling in terms of helping patients get access to this drug. That said, I think what you've heard today and part of the reason we and the earlier panel touched on this.
To the extent you're comparing Prader-Willi and HO, there's dynamics about the Prader-Willi world, violence as a behavior, for example, incredibly motivated families who are desperate for anything, a long history of trials in Prader-Willi with no positive results.
So the demand there and many places with clinics focused on Prader-Willi, whereas the HO world, we may be coming in more in the mainstream of the HO endocrinology's world, which is, yes, I'm fully going to treat my patients and I'll do that when I see them in 3 to 6 months kind of thing.
So I think this is the world. So don't hear any lack of conviction around the potential on this. Keep your expectations for the start, moderated by that because we'll have to deal with some of the very basic things you do in a rare disease as you try to get started for there. So, that's it. Jennifer, do you want to add anything?
Yes. Thanks, Corinne. Somebody had to ask the question. So I think that there are so many things about this indication to your point as a starting point. It's a larger prevalent opportunity. I feel very good in terms of the ability to use the existing information to get to the right physician to actually educate I think in comparison to something like BVS, where if you recall, about 40% of the prescribers were endocrinologists, but the others were pediatricians and primary care. So those patients were or dispersed to other physician types, whereas I think because of all of the ongoing management needs of an HO patient, they're more likely to be onboarding in terms of seeing an endocrinologist.
So that makes different factors, very different as well as the magnitude of response that we saw in terms of our clinical studies. So very excited in terms of the launch. And as David outlined, though, what I articulated is it's similar to rare disease and that not all these patients are diagnosed, and you would suspect that they would be, but they're not.
But we do feel very confident in terms of the discussions we've been having in those aha moments where the physicians are realizing that there is a differential diagnosis needed, especially if we get approval for setmelanotide, they need to get to that differential diagnosis, and it's notable just in terms of the different trajectory of weight gain to get those patients to that diagnosis. So -- but it's going to take time because those patients also need to come in, do the practice, right?
The busy practice, it's going to take some time for them to go through that evaluation and then ultimately, upon approval, have that discussion about the product.
Ashley Shoemaker, anything you want to add to that?
I will highlight, I have a much closer therapeutic relationship with my HO patients than I did BBS. So BBS patients were kind of floating out there and a lot of them didn't have a distinct home, it was sort of, oh, if they had kidney problems, they were seeing a nephrologist regularly and maybe they occasionally saw an endocrinologist and the ophthalmologists aren't interested in treating weight.
So they were kind of we didn't have as close of a relationship, which I do think also may have influenced the interest in starting a new medication, the HO patients much closer to. We see them very regularly, and they don't really disappear because we're managing so many hormone issues. So that will help. There's a better therapeutic relationship there.
David, you mentioned Medicare, and I was wondering, is that a relevant population here, 65 and older? And I have a couple of follow-up questions.
So we don't have the age distribution of the HO patients. I wish we had a claims to be associated with that diagnosis. Similar to BBS, we are working towards that, but we're not going to have one in place upon launch. But the -- and you can also contribute, of course, like the incidents in terms of the tumors are bimodal. And as discussed, their life expectancy may not be impacted, so they may have a normal distribution from that perspective and potentially skew to be a bit older than the BBS population in terms of what we saw.
I will caveat that by also outlining and Dr. Shoemaker, you made a reference to this as well. What we heard is that it is easier to see that difference in weight trajectory in a younger patient population as well as the behaviors versus an older population. So similar to BBS, we may see a skew towards younger patients for that reason, but I imagine will resolve over time just in terms of that distribution.
Yes, they definitely are older patients with this disorder. So craniopharyngiomas have a bimodal with a second peak onset. The first is 5 to 15 years old, and then the second is in kind of the 50, 60s. So we do have patients with a new diagnosis later in life and some of those patients will live for many years afterwards. I don't do a lot of Medicare.
And just a clarifying question. The 2,400 targets -- sorry, was that prescribing physicians? Or were those centers of excellence?
So the 2,400 physicians are associated with the patients that met the criteria that was outlined in the slide in terms of brain tumors, some management, surgical radiation, dysfunction from a hypothalamic perspective with obesity. And the 2,400 HCPs are associated with more higher volume potential physicians that have more patients.
So how many centers of excellence then would you summarize?
So you could have more than one physician at a center.
At a center. Yes. So those physicians can be within the same center.
Right. But I'm asking how many centers.
I don't have that answer right now.
Okay. Maybe it's fair to -- correct me, and both of you can correct me. To the extent you're in a center, as you know, even within endocrinology, people take an interest in X, I do diabetes, I don't do X. I do obesity, I don't know why. And so and somebody like Dr. Shoemaker does this. So is that a fair statement? So it's likely to be more likely to be one who holds these patients as opposed to 6 patients in a...
And -- So, I would say with this, this type of disorder is going to be more spread throughout all the -- particularly academic centers and then any high-volume private hospital is probably going to have people as well as opposed to something like Prader-Willi syndrome, that is more -- even more multidisciplinary and oftentimes a few people sort of do it and then my patients come from states away to come see us. The HO patients usually are going to have somebody local that they're seeing. So there's most -- I would say pretty much every academic centers probably has a pot of patients and then a lot of large other hospitals, community hospitals.
And then last question, just at some steady state, what do you think the mix of insurance will be commercial, Medicaid, Medicare, et cetera?
Yes. I mean, I think where we are -- it's just too early, Kris. I think, we're going up our BBS experience, where we -- the Medicare population in that world was skewed by the disability fact. If your blind became eligible for Medicare, it wasn't an age-related piece. So for this group, we're clearly going to have more eligible because of age based on this bimodal and lifespan. But we just don't have the insight beyond that. So it will be higher than BBS probably, but how much more? Not sure.
So with that, I think we hit all the questions. So with that, again, we'll thank everybody in the room and those of you listening in. As I said before, we're excited about where we are and look forward to updating you on our next opportunity. Thanks all.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
All right. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us at the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference. I'm Mike Ulz, one the biotech analyst here. It's my pleasure to introduce David Meeker, President and CEO of Rhythm Pharmaceuticals.
Before we get started, I just need to read a quick disclosure. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative.
And with that, David, thanks for sharing your time with us today, and maybe I'll just hand it over to you briefly to make some introductory comments for people that might not be familiar with your story.
Sure. Yes. No, thanks for hosting us and exciting time for Rhythm. We've been at this for a while. But for the past number of years, our conviction around the importance of the melanocortin-4 pathway, which is the pathway I think governs our satiety signal. We eat a meal and got hormone signal of the fat cell releases leptin, goes to the hypothalamus and signals down to the melanocortin-4 pathway and say you're full and not only you're full, you can increase your energy expenditure. So patients who have a defect in that suffer from inability to feel full. They're constantly eating, constantly hungry. And perversely, because their energy expenditure is kept low, they gain weight and they gain a lot of weight.
So what Rhythm's strategy from the beginning has been is to really unravel this, starting with some of the classic known genetic defects that affect this pathway, and those were our first 2 approved indications for POMC biallelic and leptin receptor biallelic and really dramatic responses. It turns out those specific populations are relatively small. We didn't actually put a sales force on the ground in the beginning there, but really powerful proof of concepts.
The next indication, which is for Bardet-Biedl syndrome approved in June of 2022. It's a syndrome. So there's multiple signs that you may have this entity. So in terms of getting to a diagnosis that facilitated that. And the size of that population was meaningfully larger. So we talked about 4,000 to 5,000 patients in the U.S., similar numbers in Europe. And our confidence in those numbers has grown over time.
And one of the hallmarks of a rare disease, sometimes I think about them as really a desert, you might have epi numbers that say they should be out there, but you just can't find them. And that usually tells you something. Conversely, if you're finding them, that's a pretty good marker that if anything, your epi may be low, not high. And so over time. And those opportunities also, they tend not to plateau. And I came out of Genzyme as many people know. And a number of those opportunities just decades later, more than a decade, they continue to add patients and continue to grow in a slow modest rate, but like I said, they don't peak. So BBS was really important first approval, and you could build a company around that.
The -- what people really started getting excited about Rhythm around was this acquired hypothalamic obesity, which is a disease where most often patients who have developed often a benign tumor -- doesn't have to be benign -- but a benign tumor in the area of the brain around pituitary and the hypothalamus, it gets resected, the hypothalamus gets injured. And if they hit the hypothalamus, this part of the hypothalamus where this pathway sits, they come out, they explode off their growth tracks. I mean they're rapidly growing weight. And it wasn't -- the problem was clear. It wasn't clear that an MC4 agonist could work because you're injuring the part of the brain and you're losing some of the receptors, so maybe the ability to respond.
But what's really been striking over the past 2 to 3 years of doing the development work in that indication is it's remarkable. And it's remarkable, not just because they lose a quite meaningful amount of weight, or BMI decrease, but the consistency of response. I mean it's -- literally, if you take the drug, most patients, almost all patients have some level of response. And so we're opening that up. We can talk more about that. But that's a really important driver. And then I think there's a lot of other things we can do with this pathway. We've talked about other genetics. We're currently running a Phase II in Prader-Willi. It's early. It's very challenging disease. We can talk about that. But there's a lot to do here, and we think about this area as a product in a pipeline as much as anything.
Yes. Great. Thanks for that introduction. And maybe we could just stop -- start -- sorry, with IMCIVREE. You touched on this a little bit, but your currently approved indications and kind of how to think about the growth drivers today and what that looks like kind of going forward?
Yes. So what we've talked about for Bardet-Biedl and we talked about it, we don't give revenue guidance. But if there's 4,000 to 5,000 patients in the U.S. for Bardet-Biedl, what's the probability we can get 1,000 patients on drug? It seems high at $300,000 net. I mean that sort of gets you to a $300 million opportunity. You do better than that. I'm talking U.S. only, $300 million, $500 million opportunity. So I think, as I said, our confidence in BBS as a foundation has really grown. So you've got that as a solid piece to build on.
HO, we've talked about 5,000 to 10,000 patients. More recently, as we've done more work, we've done some claims analysis. We have individuals in the field now are beginning to profile the disease, talk to thought leaders and treaters in the field. So we're increasingly confident that, that are probably at the top end of that range in terms of the overall opportunity here. We're excited about Japan, where the prevalent numbers on a population basis seem to be somewhat higher. So we talked about 5,000 to 8,000 patients in Japan, continuing to do more work.
And so these are -- that's going to be a big part of the growth driving on top of our BBS opportunity, and we have our PDUFA date set for end of this year and so in the U.S., so we'll be ready to launch. And we filed simultaneously in Europe. So we look forward to hopefully getting approval mid next year or sometime Q3 maybe.
Great. You talked about your increasing confidence just in the sort of market opportunity here in the U.S. for HO. And maybe talk a little bit about what drove that sort of thinking? And is it possible that maybe 10,000 is -- could be conservative maybe?
Yes. I mean people -- a lot of people, they're doing work. Everybody is doing work on this. I just -- for me, it's -- so could it be higher? Absolutely. And like I said, this has the feel that there's probably more patients out there. I think -- but we're not going there now. I don't think we need to go there now. I think let's solidify around these numbers. I said 5,000 to 10,000, we're skewing toward the 10,000 side of that equation now, which I think perfectly appropriate. As we learn more, maybe we'll update it.
But one of the things that's been apparent as the team has been out in the field is pediatric endos, not surprisingly, are pretty on this. And that's not surprising in that they're seeing kids who may not be so far away from when they had their injury, their tumor and their surgery. And so it's easier for them to connect the dots and the like, whereas if you're an adult endo and you see somebody who had a history of a tumor and resection 20-plus years ago. They've got some pituitary insufficiency, so you're following and they happen to be obese. You may not connect the dots. And this is a disease where, like many things, until you have a treatment, there's also no urgency to make a diagnosis. If you don't diagnose it, so what? I think people tend to react to obesity in general, still amazingly as one disease. So a lot of these patients will have seen GLP-1s. I think we have a pretty good sense about the limitations of GLP-1s here if you don't correct the underlying biology, which is this MC4 pathway defect.
So long story short is, yes, I think there's a lot of potential here, but we feel really good about the 10,000 number and we go.
Makes sense. Maybe could you talk a little bit about Japan. You mentioned that as a potential important opportunity for you and maybe some of the dynamics in that market versus what you see in the U.S.
Yes. It's -- so for a reason we don't maybe fully understand, there seems to be a higher prevalence of tumors, these benign tumors, which would lead to the higher diagnosis of HO. There's a pretty -- it's really not dissimilar, meaning there's a small active, knowledgeable expert community there that we're working with, a lot of support from endocrine society and the like. The PMDA, the Japanese regulatory authorities, they are, I think, for the past couple of years, maybe more than that, have been opening up in the sense that they don't want Japan's access to medications to be significantly delayed, which has been historically the case. You have to run special trials or do additional work that you wouldn't have to do.
So they've really been incredibly helpful to us. I mean, as you know, we went to them late. We already had our Phase III underway, and we went with a proposal that said, look, can we bring in an additional 12 patients here as part of that trial, would that be sufficient for approval? And they said, yes. So that to me, that was great. I mean that was a real strong indication that they are really motivated to work with you. And like I said, we're not the only company with that experience. So Japan has a lot of positive attributes now.
And maybe if we just move back to the U.S. opportunity and maybe just highlight some of the unmet need or how these patients are treated today or what are their options?
Yes, their options are limited. So they're, not surprisingly, a sick population. And when I say sick, it's probably the sickest population in my career that I've worked on and one measure of that is their medication list is 1 to 2 pages long. I mean they're just the number between all of the different hormonal replacements and they have a seizure disorder and they have other things going on in terms of mood, depression. So it's just -- it's a really, really tough population.
So despite that, what they're suffering with hypothalamic obesity is a major part of what they have to deal with. And there are other hormonal deficiencies. If you're hypothyroid, you can place your thyroid and live a pretty normal life. And so this acquired hypothalamic obesity part of their presentation is really dominating their quality of life, the family's quality of life and we did well and very well on the quality of life scores. We did well on the hyperphagia scores. But this really comes through when you read the exit interviews and just know what life was like before and what life is like now. And so yes, it's pretty remarkable how important this is in the current situation.
Yes. So very high unmet need, and you started to touch on some of the data you saw and maybe you can expand on that a little bit. You shared results from the Phase III TRANSCEND study. So maybe highlight some of the key takeaways and data points there.
Yes. I mean -- so that was the largest trial that's ever been run certainly in this disease, 2:1 randomization, so about 80 treated, 40 on placebo. Also the largest placebo control group we had. And so a couple of things stood out. One is we got a very good response in the treated group, 16% and that was imputing data from patients who discontinued during the trial for a variety of reasons. We had less than about a 10% dropout rate overall, which was small compared to and pretty remarkable considering we had a placebo group. It was about half and half between treated and placebo. But if you did drop out, you had your values imputed and the way that whole approach works is you're informing the data, you're imputing based on the trajectory of the placebo group. So in a way, it's the absolute most conservative way of looking at that data.
So long story short is we had about a 16% positive -- or 16% decrease in BMI in the treated group, 16.5%. And really importantly, because this is always a question in obesity trials, you can have very significant placebo effects and decreases in the placebo groups. That does not happen in this disease. I mean there is no placebo effect. And those patients, they gained 3.3%. So it wasn't like huge, but meaningful increases in weight from where they were. So our placebo-adjusted effect was 19.8%. So really strong numbers in terms of overall BMI decrease.
But the other piece, which I highlighted earlier, which I think was really striking was the 3 age groups, 6 to 12, 12 to 18 and 18-above had identical results. I mean they all had placebo-adjusted rates of 19% to 20%. So again, it wasn't being driven by one sub-population. One of the early questions we had about HO was, well, gee, you're out 20 years from your index event, maybe you're not going to respond as well as a kid who's just had it 2 years ago or is fresh off their injury, and that's not the case. They responded exactly the same. I think the oldest person in our trial was 66 and they responded.
So again -- and these patients from an epidemiology standpoint, they tend to live a normal life, relatively normal. So the 80-plus -- so the 20-year survival is like 80-plus percent, again, depending when you born and 50%, 30%, 40%. So yes, it's important to be able to treat them across that full age range, and I think the trial supported that.
And then the last piece I'll just highlight back to the GLP-1 is we did allow patients on GLP-1s to come in the trial. They had -- they couldn't be losing weight, actively losing weight on the trial. So we had about 30 patients, half who had been previously on a GLP-1, but were not on it when they started and half who previously been on but continued during the trial. And those who had previously been on stop, they had about a similar response as the others. But those who concurrently were on a GLP-1, they lost 25%. So again, the trial wasn't stratified. It wasn't designed to make conclusions about GLP-1, but you could look at that data and say, well, here's a group of patients who weren't responding to a GLP-1. But once you replace their hormonal deficit, corrected the underlying biology in theory, made them more normal, normal physiology, then their ability, and I would argue to respond to any anti-obesity medicine might be restored.
So to the extent that you need additional weight loss, then maybe you're going to get more of an effect. And so again, there are a lot of pieces of the trial, which I think were incredibly helpful. We have growth curves on all 31 of those patients. So showing the effect of when they started the different GLP-1s. The majority of them were on either semaglutide or tirzepatide. So it wasn't like they didn't get the most recent newest generation drugs. And you can see when they started and the pattern is pretty clear. For the most part, you put anybody on a GLP-1, they'll lose some weight. But in this disease, if they're working against this defective signaling, abnormal underlying biology is they tend to regain and they tend to regain again after 6 to 12 months, and that was very much supported by the pattern and the growth curves that we have for the patients in this trial.
Yes. So very promising results there. And as you mentioned earlier, you've already filed with the FDA and gotten acceptance with the PDUFA date later this year in December. So maybe you can just talk about interactions with the FDA and how that's gone just given all the sort of changes in the leadership you've seen this year.
Yes. I mean, reassuringly, from where we sit, our review division seems to be relatively intact. So in terms of people leaving, and that's so apparent. All of our interactions in the process of filing, we had our end of Phase II meeting, which was the first in-person meeting I've had with the FDA in about 5 years. All that was positive. And I'd just characterize it as normal.
So we're pleased to get our PDUFA date on schedule. That was exactly when we expected to get it. I know Commissioner McCary yesterday reinforced again. I mean they're highly motivated to meet their PDUFA dates and have "a record number of approvals this year", and hopefully, we'll be part of that.
Sounds good. You're also planning an investor event in a couple of weeks to kind of maybe shed a little bit more light on how you're thinking about the opportunity and launch. So maybe just talk a little bit about what things we should expect there.
Yes. I mean we did one when we -- several months in advance of getting BBS approval. So the goal will be to share very North American focused. So we'll have a couple of experts. One is pretty well known to the community, one maybe a little less known, but follows a very large population of HO patients. So I think we'll have 2 nice perspectives there, which will be educational in terms of what they think about the data and how they see this world evolving.
And then we have our teams, as most companies are at this point, where the build-out of our sales force is well underway. And we've got a good number of people who are in the field now interacting with endos and profiling and the like. And so we'll share a lot of those learnings. So that's, I think, more or less what you'd expect here. I don't expect us to revisit the epi. I know there's always a lot of interest there. But I think we're in a good place on the epi. So we'll probably sit tight on that.
Can you talk a little bit about your current sort of infrastructure and how you leverage that? And like how much of a lift is this to sort of loop in HO?
Yes. It's -- I mean it's always a lift in the sense of a launch. But I'll just make a general comment. I mean it's much harder to develop a drug that works than it is to build a sales force. So I mean, the heavy lifting is done.
The teams that are out there, I mean, we've done a couple of things. We've directed our MSL medical affairs group very much around this HO in the recent past and upcoming near term. We had a group of individuals, we call it ADMs, area district managers, whose prior job was to really support our genetic testing and clinical trial enrollment. Now EMANATE is fully enrolled and the like. And so they've been redirected to disease awareness and working to understand ends and the like. And some of those individuals will then convert over to becoming salespeople once we get closer to launch. And then, of course, we're building out the total number. So we work it on multiple fronts we're well underway.
Great. And you're also sort of in discussions with Europe and filing there. Maybe just sort of give us any updates.
Yes. We did a simultaneous filing literally. So we got in a good time. As I said, expect maybe a Q3. I don't know if we've guided, so I'm probably guiding here. Hopefully, that's what happens. And then too early for feedback, but I don't -- they've been very receptive overall to all of our programs, I would say. And so again, I'm not expecting major issues in Europe, but we'll see.
Yes, makes sense. Maybe I can just go back to Japan, and we spoke about the opportunity there, but you're going to have some data on those 12 patients coming up, I think, early next year, if I remember. How do we think about that data? Or any reasons to think that those patients may be responding differently? Or is there any impact of like baseline characteristics or things like that?
Yes. No reason to expect it. And I think that was part of the PMDA agreeing is that, obviously, at 12 patients, we're not powered to prove anything based on the Japanese cohort as a stand-alone. But from a biology standpoint, there's really not any reason to believe this is different. I mean the way they present is similar. It's the same. So again, I would expect the response to be similar.
Got it. Maybe we can shift gears a little bit to your next-generation MC4Rs, and you've got 2. So maybe at a high level, just walk us through those 2 programs and what's different about them?
Yes. So this is critical to the long-term success of Rhythm. One, just from an IP standpoint, those 2 programs, each of them will take our IP out to 2040 plus. So it gives us a good long runway to continue to work all the opportunity we think is associated with this pathway.
One is an oral, that's the bivamelagon. We just completed the Phase II, and we're assuringly in this 14-week trial. It was -- and the results were very similar to what we saw at a similar time point in our Phase II and our Phase III studies. So that was highly confirming. The other thing which was reassuring and incredibly helpful was that we saw a clear dose response. So the 200 milligram, there were some responders in that group, but it was clearly less than the 400 and 600 milligrams. So I think we're in range. I don't think we need to do more dose work. And we will run a Phase III with the same general approach that we've used for our setmelanotide development, which is we're not testing a dose per se, we're testing a dose range. So for setmelanotide, it was 1 to 3 mgs, started 1 dose escalate, most patients go to 3, here will start at 200, those escalate to 600 and as tolerated and we'll see and I think most patients will be in the 400 to 600-milligram dose room. So I think we learned a lot about what we need to do to go ahead and set up a Phase III.
The other programs are weekly injectable. And historically, when people asked before we had any data between the 2, which do you think is more likely to be successful the answer was always well the small molecule has more unknown, so maybe that's higher risk. Weekly is a 7 amino acid cyclic peptide and setmelanotide is an 8 amino acid cyclic peptide, preclinical data was highly similar, almost milligram per milligram. So based on all those factors, I would have considered 718 to be a lower risk program. So we'll see. That's to say now we have positive data on biva. I still think 718 is a high probability of success.
But our strategy overall was not -- would you prefer a weekly or an oral daily oral. The answer is we don't care as a company. Our goal as a company is just say, look, we want to provide a full portfolio of options for the patient and physician. And I think those 2 do it.
The other part, which is it's important. I mean it hasn't been a major limitation for setmelanotide, but the MC1 agonism, setmelanotide is a little less specific, which causes hyperpigmentation. Both of those next generations were designed to have less. It looks like and our confidence in this statement is growing that the bivamelagon had really minimal. I think there was a very clear signal that, yes, we saw a little bit, but it was minimal. And patients all rolled over in an open-label extension. And the best of my knowledge, we really haven't had any more updated events from what we originally reported.
So I think there may be a slight signal darkening of nevi where there's a concentration of melanocytes. But in terms of the general increased pigmentation that was concerning to patients, it doesn't seem to have that. And then 718 is even more specific for MC4 over MC1. So I'm counting on and expecting that to be even less of an issue. So -- and we do get 6% of our patient population discontinuing and maybe even a higher percentage where that's not their primary reason for discontinuing, but maybe it's in the mix. They're just not so happy with X, Y or Z, but also the pigmentation isn't helping. So I think that will be a meaningful added feature here. And of course, the tolerability is much better.
Maybe I could just ask a follow-up on the hyperpigmentation. And maybe you could just describe what it -- how it presents in -- with setmelanotide and then maybe contrast that to what you saw with bivamelagon.
Yes. Well, setmelanotide, as I said, it's less selective. So you're hitting the MC1 receptor more uniformly. So it's a uniform increase in pigmentation. And the way our bodies work is between the eumelanin and pheomelanin, eumelanin is darker. So darker you are, the darker you get.
And so many patients hardly notice it. Some patients like it. And some patients it's quite concerning for them. So -- but it's uniform. And what we saw with bivamelagon, as I said, was in a couple of patients where I'm pretty convinced the signals -- I haven't seen any pictures, to be honest, and that wasn't part of it. But what resonates is real, as I said, is in these areas where maybe you have increased melanocytes and potential for increased melanin release. So the nevi, sun-exposed areas, back of the hands and neck. There's also some reports that make no sense to me, like the right thigh, non-sun-exposed area, the right side of the tongue. And we had one placebo patient who reported increased pigmentation.
And I think how does that happen? It's just -- we had a hypervigilant patient and investigator group because they were looking for it. They were instructed to look for it. And as I say often, if you look at your hand one day and then say, tell me the next day if it's darker and that, that can be kind of a hard call. So I think -- I just -- back to what I originally said, I'm quite confident we've got a significantly decreased signal here, and it should be quite a different experience for the patient.
Yes. Makes sense. Earlier, you talked about the bivamelagon sort of Phase III trial design and kind of what you're considering there? I guess maybe talk about when you can start that? And what are the next steps to actually getting that started.
Yes. So we're preparing a briefing document now. We'll get hopefully our end of Phase II meeting before the end of the year and start -- we've got to get our formulations, new formulations done. So it will be hopefully a first half start next year.
A bit of a news flash here. I've talked previously about my wish list, which included maybe doing a trial with an external control. In other words, using the control group from our Phase III study, which would mean every patient in our bivamelagon trial could be on drug. As we dug into that and the team had some good pushback on my wish list. And the challenge is that if we do that, then we really need to run the trial in a virtually identical way because that's your control group, you can't be making the changes in the treated group.
We've learned some things, different questionnaires, which we want to incorporate, thinking about market access in Europe and some things that might be useful. And so I think where we're likely to net out here, no final decisions made is we probably will run a double-blind randomized controlled trial. It -- the wish list, again, will be a much smaller size. I think we'll make the case. The FDA is pretty very bought into, I'd say, the biology and the mechanism here. So I hope we get a receptive year to smaller numbers, but we'll see. So that's makes sense. or in progress.
Yes. So a lot of opportunity for your next-gen MC4Rs. And maybe we can shift gears and talk a little bit about Prader-Willi. You've got a Phase II study ongoing. Maybe talk about the design there and what you learned from your prior experience in Prader-Willi.
Yes. So Prader-Willi is a tough disease, as we all know. So what do we know? There's no news here today. What I've said is I think there's about a 50-50 chance. The biology is really clear in the sense that this -- 2 of the genes in chromosome 15 that are affected here are MAGEL2 and this SNORD115. Both of those have impact on melanocortin-4 signaling. And we know from our Phase II DAYBREAK study, where we studied patients, one of the groups were patients who had variants in the MAGEL2 gene. For those patients who had confirmed loss of functions, they had a good response to setmelanotide. And we know the mouse models, hypersensitive to setmelanotide. And so the biology around MAGEL2 specifically is very clear. 90% plus of patients have involvement of those 2 genes and the 20-plus genes that are affected in Prader-Willi. So I'm sure about the biology, and I'm sure to the extent you can be, we can make the biology better.
The challenge with Prader-Willi, of course, are the behaviors and the noise. And so it's one thing if you can correct the biology, the next is can you show it clinically. And one of the things that everybody has to deal with is the obsessive compulsive disorder part of this. And what really resonates for me is like think about this is if you correct the underlying biology, but you're hardwired based on your obsessive compulsive part of your disease to have a snack at 10:00 a.m., you want your snack and you're going to eat it and has nothing to do your food. There's nothing to do with whether you have a drive to eat and the like.
And so that's the world that all the companies trying to develop are working in. It creates a lot of noise and Soleno, to their credit, got through and almost heroically, but even their trial design had a lot of challenges with COVID came and disrupted things. And so that's the challenge of clinical development in Prader-Willi.
So the design, long story short is we've run a trial in 2018, '19, which was designed based on what we knew at that time, short crossover periods and the like, looking for quick changes in hyperphagia, which clearly is not appropriate for Prader-Willi. And our maximum dose was 2.5. And so our strategy here is to go to 5 mgs, titrate all the patients up to 5 mg as tolerated to as best we can take off the table the possibility, gee, if we've gone a little higher, maybe we would have seen something. So -- and I don't think there's a lot of room, to be honest. And for most patients above 3, I think 3 probably gets us most of the efficacy if there's -- but we want to remove that this possibility.
And the other thing is, for whatever reason, they may just take longer to respond back to these behaviors. So 6 months, so minimum for these patients. And the other thing we're allowing is we're allowing patients to be on as long as they're stable on whatever meds they're on, which would include the long-acting diazoxide [indiscernible]. So yes, we'll see.
Yes. So you plan to give an update by the end of the year. And will you have...
That's our goal. Qualifier.
Okay. Goals. But when -- I guess when you eventually share the data, maybe how many patients, how long will it all be followed up post 6 months? Or what does that look like? And then what are you looking to see to sort of say, okay, move this forward?
Yes. So the goal here, the endpoint is weight loss. I mean we're not -- I know several companies are pursuing hyperphagia based on the Soleno experience, but we should get weight loss if it's working. And so -- and the bar for the weight loss, we think, based on FDA's published guidance for weight loss drugs is 5% -- and I don't think -- we haven't had conversations with the FDA about this yet, but that makes sense to me. I would be surprised if they didn't agree with that. So that's the bar.
So what we're looking for is confidence -- reasonable level of confidence that we could run a 52-week trial and get people to 5% or more weight loss. So our goal in this Phase II open label, we don't have a control group. The advantage of working with a single site and a very experienced knowledgeable investigator is that hopefully, she can help us understand the data through the noise, and she really knows the patient. So if it works in person, okay, that may be clear. If it doesn't work in somebody, why not? And maybe there are circumstances in the family at home, other things that may allow us to interpret the data. And we'll present it the same way we have all of our studies or most of our studies, which is the individual patient responses, and you can see, and hopefully, we'll have a story for what's going on around that.
And the qualifier, the goal is to get 10 to 20 patients. I'd like to have some patients who are on diazoxide and some who are not. And the hedge always is you work with a single site and the recruitment is not always reliable. So she goes on vacation, she gets sick, or study coordinator doesn't show up. I mean these are things. So that's just left. But anyway, that's still our goal based on where we're there.
Okay. Great. It looks like we're just about out of time. So why don't we end it there. Thanks so much, David. I appreciate your time.
Thank you.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
All right, everyone. I think we'll get started here with the next fireside. Again, my name is Derek Archila. I'm one of the senior biotech analysts here at Wells. Very excited to have Rhythm Pharmaceuticals here for our next discussion. We have David Meeker, CEO from the company. David, great to see you, continuation from our conversation this morning on the breakfast meeting. But maybe just to start out, kind of give us kind of the state of affairs, where we're at with the business. A lot of news flow this year, so a lot of exciting stuff. So maybe we can recap that before we get into Q&A.
Yes. Thanks, Derek. No, it's been obviously a really good year for Rhythm. I think maybe I'd characterize it by -- we've tried to follow the science, follow the biology here in the past 12 months, the biology has continued to open up in a really positive way. So I'll just give a quick recap. The company back in the early teens, strong proof of concept for this POMC biallelic, which just basically said, melanocortin 4 signaling, that's a key part of -- for patients affected, driving their obesity, their hyperphagia and the like. And setmelanotide as a precision medicine, analog of missing hormone seems to address that.
So very strong early proof of concepts, then getting Bardet-Biedl syndrome approved back in June of 2022. That was a legitimate opportunity. I mean you could build a business around that, classic ultra-rare disease, blocking and tackling, steady as it goes, but you wouldn't spend a lot of money on R&D, but you can make a profitable business out of BBS alone. But the HO piece of it, which also we revealed the first data that summer, that wasn't so obvious to us. We knew that if you knock out that part, if you injure the hypothalamus, then of course, you could have a defect in signal of the pathway, it's gone.
But it wasn't so clear that the drug would work because maybe you're knocking out the receptors as well and just how it works. So the fact that it works so well and so consistently, again, opened our eyes to a whole another avenue of potential developmental opportunities. Obviously, in the past 12 months, we've had the Phase III data. And then a big part of Rhythm or some of the concern about Rhythm was setmelanotide, like all drugs, has a composition of matter was up in 2032.
One thing that people haven't, I think, fully appreciated, we try to highlight a little more is that when you get a drug approved, the FDA puts out guidance in terms of what a generic would have to do, and that guidance takes you more or less through the formulation patents. So actually, our formulation patents in the U.S. are up in 2034. So we think we might have a pretty good position out through 2034 in the U.S., a little longer in Europe actually on just that. But the really big opportunities, our big patent extension part of it was our next gen.
And so a bivamelagon, which wasn't so obvious, meaning that many people asked between 718, a weekly formulation and the oral small molecule, which do you think is more likely? And we always answered that, well, the 718 weekly is probably more likely because it's much closer to setmelanotide and all the preclinical data was kind of almost milligram per milligram looks similar, whereas Biva, it's a new chemical entity, quite different oral, different bioavailability, different dosing, et cetera. So less certain. So we are thrilled, needless to say, about the data we saw.
And I think it just -- I think we're getting good MC4R agonism with all of these -- well, Biva certainly and Set, and that was what came out in the HO. And so now as we look ahead, I think Rhythm is really at the beginning. I know there's a lot feeling like, wow, a lot has been happening. Is this story done? I don't think so. I mean we're -- there's a lot of just continuing to execute on our current businesses, BBS and HO. We got it filed in a rapid fashion and credit to the team there. And so we'll launch HO and hopefully do a good job with that.
And looking ahead on the genetic side of the equation, we'll keep working these other genes, and there's a lot of ground and work to be done there. On the injury side, the HO side of the equation, there's other ways the brain gets injured other than with tumor and surgery and the like. And so we'll be exploring those. And then Prader-Willi, of course, that's a tough disease. But I've said 50-50, and I'll stay -- continue to say 50-50. I mean I'm optimistic about the biology there, but very respectful of the challenges of successfully developing a drug for that disease.
Got it. All right. A lot to cover. So maybe just starting off with the hypothalamic obesity and kind of the opportunity set you see there for setmelanotide. So obviously, like you said, your filing was recently accepted, probably launching early next year. How should we think about the trajectory of that launch relative to some of the other indications, but also, again, like a Prader-Willi, for instance, again, what does that look like?
Yes. So again, we're early in learning here. I think we've got a Bardet-Biedl syndrome experience and Bardet-Biedl, as I said, classic rare disease, but that disease, it's classic in the sense that it's not concentrated in any one specialty. Many of the physicians who are writing prescriptions for Bardet-Biedl syndrome are a family practitioner. They're the primary care doctor. They may have 1 or 2 patients that they're following, and they're not experts. They write the prescription because they know the patient needs to be treated. But that's a harder population to get at.
The advantage of this HO, many, if not the vast majority of these patients, we believe, are with an endocrinologist. They may not all be diagnosed interestingly enough. And I think as we get out there and learn a little bit more about this, even in endocrine specialty, you're managing their pituitary insufficiency. They're presenting with obesity. You know they maybe had a history of an injury in the past, but you may not connect all those dots right away. And until there's a treatment available, the urgency to connect the dots or the way those things spread to the community and the community gets energized and educated around these things, it's all catalyzed by having a treatment.
So hopefully, that -- we'll see some of that dynamic coming. But your question was around ramp. So yes, it's concentrated in endo. That's an advantage. So maybe it will come out a little bit more quickly than BBS in the initial ramp. The ultimate opportunity, obviously, is significantly larger. You asked about Prader-Willii, the drug, VYKAT just approved and a very good launch. There's different dynamics there with Prader-Willi. And one, it's a very well-diagnosed community population.
So I think most of the patients if they have it, they know they have it, one. And then two, the behaviors are really challenging. And so -- and some of it's violent. And so if you're a family trying to manage a child with Prader-Willi, your motivation and urgency to treat is extremely high. And so you can imagine them seeking. And then another not insignificant factor is so many drugs have been tested in Prader-Willi. I mean there's been many trials run. That community is very well organized.
And the roller coaster, we talked about this morning, but the roller coaster that community has been on with hopes, a new trial and then it doesn't work and then try another trial. And so they're really primed force, just give me something that works. So you get a drug approved like VYKAT did, credit to them, you would fully expect the quick take up there. So we're not that. There's been very little prior work done in HO other than us. So we're earlier on that curve. So we're going to be laying that foundation. So expect a more gradual launch there, but it's no diminution of overall opportunity here, which is significant.
Can you speak to the overlap between physicians that treat Bardet-Biedl and the other conditions setmelanotide is already approved for in HO. And I guess if you're thinking that maybe it's more gradual than Prader-Willi, although that's kind of more very straight up launch, I guess. But -- so that still means it could be pretty good. But I guess do you -- would you expect sort of a bolus effect? Are there people kind of being warehoused and kind of awareness growing since the Phase III data?
Awareness is growing. I mean, I think we had some -- there's a little bit of bolus which might not have been so [indiscernible] with Bardet-Biedl. I mean there's patients who are out there and talking to physicians and ready to go. But again, we're closer to Bardet-Biedl than we are to Prader-Willi, I think, in terms of how this thing will come out of the gates. But again, I think everything we're learning here is reinforcing of our general optimism and bullish view of this whole opportunity.
I mean there's the size of the population; we talked about 5,000 to 10,000. I think we're -- our confidence we're at the higher end of that range is growing for a good reason. You continue to do claims work and the like. But what happens, a big part of validation of all this is the team is getting out in the field and talking to docs and that feedback is -- you can do the math on a lot of these other exercises but talking to physicians and getting a sense. So the need is there, clearly, and I think there's pretty good energy around it, so.
I know at ObesityWeek last year, I mean, we had heard that there's like some emerging like HO centers. Obviously, Prader-Willi has these and some others that are out there for other rare diseases. But do you think that will grow? And is that something that -- I don't know if we're helping with or kind of circling some different centers in the U.S. and Europe that could really be those centers of excellence around HO?
Yes. Europe lends itself much more naturally to that. I mean they have them anyway. But in the U.S., I mean, Bardet-Biedl, for example, there was one center in the United States. And so the teams when we launched or started, that was a place hard to get to in Wisconsin amazingly. But it was emblematic of the fact that the center developed around a person who was really the grandfather of BBS effort in the U.S. and people traveling there to see him. And that became a center of excellence, and they formalized it and had a very comprehensive visit 3 or 4 days kind of thing.
But since then, the team, we have 4 or 5, at least other centers now who have taken an interest in BBS and are looking to set up the multidisciplinary part of it. So back to your question about HO, how I think this will happen. For sure, I mean, they're already -- because of the nature of this, if you -- if your entry point, your source of your injury is the tumor and the surgery, it's likely you're already at a specialized center and then potentially seeing an endocrinologist. Now how many of those patients then go from that center back to their local endocrinologists, that will be some -- we don't have a good handle on that, but that's obviously some.
They'll need to continue to be seen by an endocrinologist because they almost all have pituitary insufficiency at some level, right? So they -- and that's not -- the primary care physician tends not to be the one who's directly managing their hormonal deficiencies as a rule. So a long story short is, yes, I do think centers will develop. The other thing that often happens in rare diseases is if you're a young developing physician and you're looking at a way to make your career new opportunities, right?
I mean if you're in cardiology, it may not be so easy to go out and become a big leader in hypertension. I mean kind of that ship sailed. But in HO, you can look at this and the way departments, I've seen this over my career multiple times, the senior person in the department says, you set up a small clinic and suddenly you've got a few and you become the expert and you're giving talks and your career is launched on the back of this early opportunity where because you were in early, everything is news, you get to talk about that stuff. So that's a dynamic that for sure will play.
Got you. And then just in terms of the approval in HO, like are there any label considerations that we should be thinking about? I know the discussion this morning centered around not only just the weight loss, but potentially getting hyperphagia on the label and what that could do for setmelanotide.
Yes, that's critical. I mean we tried each time. So we -- the challenge with getting hyperphagia on label is not that it doesn't work, or we haven't decreased hyperphagia. And so we haven't made it an inclusion criterion. And so that's been a bit of a hiccup from the FDA standpoint just in terms of the way they view rules and the like. But every trial we've done, that's why the drug works, we reduced hyperphagia. This trial, we have 3 different measures, all of which robustly hit p-values in terms of reducing -- improving on the hyperphagia scores. So we'll try again on the indication statement we submitted includes hyperphagia in the indication.
I think the -- I'll give you my optimism here. I know this division, they're receptive to the fact that the absence of it, given the statute, the Medicare statute that they don't cover obesity and that ripples through to some other payers in Medicaid in some cases. Certainly, Medicare, we don't -- we're not covered. We need to be differentiated, and we need something else in them. And hyperphagia, of course, we've shown it. So why can't that be in the indication statement. So I'm hopeful. It doesn't mean it's going to happen, but we're going to go at it.
Does it even -- does it really matter in terms of the opportunity as you see it? Or is it more just kind of from the Medicare component?
It's definitely the Medicare component. I think it's helpful. I think we'll do fine -- without it, we'll do fine. I mean this is one of the things, oh my God, I mean...
Like a bull case scenario, it would be nice to have because you...
It's nice to have. And these things, you don't get to run the opposite experiment. We've done fine with BBS without having it, right? It's not like that's been the end of the world. But it will help.
Got you. And then just in terms of like some of the pre-commercial work that you're doing with HO, like potentially with payers, how are they resonating with the data? And ultimately, again, like how do you think about the positioning there in terms of reauthorizations and stuff like that? Like again, you've seen that with Bardet-Biedl, but is this going to be a cleaner story? Or is there some sort of pushback that you might see on the payer side?
I think a big advantage, obviously, coming on the heels of POMC and BBS. And so they know -- they understand increasingly the biology. They know this drug. I think it's been relative -- not relative, it's been incredibly smooth so far with BBS up to date. And so this -- we're coming in with better data. We're coming with a very clear unmet medical need. So I don't -- there's nothing in our early interactions. I don't want to overread that, but nothing in the early interactions, which suggests this will be different and we'll have a problem.
In terms of re-auth, I told you this morning, I mean, I think almost all BBS patients who've come up for re-auth have been reauthorized. And it's not a black and white. So for example, if you didn't make a 5% threshold on your weight loss and some of the BBS patients might not have reached that, but you're clearly benefiting. Hyperphagia is down, behavior is down, you're concentrating better at school, sleeping better, whatever, all the different factors which may be indicated, physician writes a letter and then it tends to get through.
So it's just a matter you got to continue to work the system. There may be an additional step. Now the last part is I don't think, given the way we ran the trial and the results and the like that there will be a threshold in the label that said you should expect to see X, Y, Y number of months and then the payers would incorporate that into a re-auth plan. So I can imagine they might want to re-auth, which is just to say, look, we need an attestation, you're still benefiting, right?
But it's more of a subjective versus...
It's the doctor saying, yes, it feels good. Maybe they have to submit some of the data, but there won't necessarily be a number.
Got you. Okay. And then really just curious what you plan kind of highlighting at the HO Day or the upcoming Analyst Day. Obviously, you kind of -- were kind of suggesting that you believe that the HO population might be toward the higher end. So I don't know if that's indicative that you'll raise your potential prevalence numbers for HO. But yes, what should we be taking away from that event?
Yes. I mean we did one with BBS back in spring or early 2022 before we read out the Phase III data for BBS, similar. I mean, I think Jennifer and her team will share some -- first of all, we'll have 2 experts there. And so one probably well known to the community, one not so well known, but follows a large population of HO patients. So two different perspectives. And then Jennifer and her team will talk about what they're learning, and you'll have the experts there. And so you get hopefully a good sense of that. We gave some patient numbers in our BBS world. I think we'll try to figure out how we can give you some sense of what we're feeling, number of docs we've talked to.
I mean there's different metrics. And maybe Jennifer will talk a little bit about the tiering and how we think about dividing or tiering these -- the endocrine specialists, subspecialists and the like. In terms of the TAM, I don't think we're going to update that then. That -- there's no urgency to do that, #1. I think we've signaled pretty strongly that we're more and more confident that we're at the upper end kind of thing. And I think that should hopefully work pretty well for people. And we'll see where we go over time, but look for more specifics, how we're going to structure sales force kind of thing and go at it.
Got you. Maybe shift gears to Prader-Willi, which is a very hot topic with you guys. And obviously, with Soleno and the VYKAT launch, you're revisiting this with setmelanotide. You've discussed kind of the earlier trial not being run well. So maybe just provide some context, again, why you're revisiting it? What was kind of maybe messy about that original trial and how you think you guys have maybe remedied that with the ongoing trial?
Yes. The original trial was run back 2018, 2019 because, I mean, the biology is pretty well established. And there's -- of the 20-plus genes that are maybe affected in a Prader-Willi patient, 2 of those genes impact this pathway, the melanocortin 4 pathway. So we know that, that is part of Prader-Willi biology. It's just not the only thing. So if you were to fix that, you're still left with all this other stuff. And it's all the other stuff, which potentially makes it hard to study or hard to see a positive result. So I'll come back to that in a minute.
So they ran -- and I'm saying it's the team that predated our current management team, but they ran a study. It was a convoluted study in the sense that it was crossing patients over every 2 weeks. That was done with good reason because when we had run our original POMC Phase III study, it was an open-label study, 10 or 11 patients were put on treatment, and then they were blinded -- in a blinded way, randomly placed on a placebo drug for 2 to 4 weeks. And what happened was when they went on their placebo period, their appetite came right back, and they started gaining weight.
So it was literally a switch, which is basically how our biology works, right? I mean we signal on and off this throughout the day when we eat and then we don't eat. So it made total sense. So they designed a study, which would capture that 2 weeks on and off and with the hope that they could see this kind of pretty dramatic shifts in short periods of time. I think the reality is, again, Prader-Willi, it doesn't shift like that. Even if you're changing some of the feelings, you may still have hardwired behaviors that are making it harder to see.
So long story short -- and they were studying because we were earlier in development, much lower doses. So study was absolutely negative from a technical sense. However, if you looked at the 4 patients who happened because of the way the crossovers went, who happened to be on 2.5 mg for 8 weeks consecutively, 3 out of 4 trended down under 5%, but definitely trended down, 1 trended up. So it's not like you'd bet your house on that, but it was definitely something that said, okay, we came away, I came away from that looking at saying, this isn't telling us it doesn't work.
We just had a negative study, and there's a kernel of hope here that maybe -- so we decided to go and do an open-label study for 6 months. So make sure take hopefully duration, minimum 6, 6 to 12 will go if they're still benefiting, they'll continue on, of course. And then let's go higher on the dose because we don't want to get to the end of the study and go, well, I wonder if we've gone a little higher there. So our currently approved dose is 3 mg. This trial goes up to 5 mg. So I think -- and we know it's safe to go up to 5 mg, so there's no risk there.
But hopefully, I think -- and that should be plenty. If it doesn't work at 5 mg, I think we can say we're done. And we decided to work with 1 center, Dr. Miller site, the University of Florida, and she's a renowned expert in the field. And the advantage of -- in an open-label study, small number of patients, the advantage of working with somebody who really understands their patients is critical. I mean if you're an investigator and you just see the patient in clinic every month, but you don't follow that patient. They're not your patient. You don't know what's going on at home. You don't know the parents.
You don't know -- I mean, there's all these other elements. She knows those parents and she knows the families. And so it will be very helpful. So how will we interpret it? The goal is 5%. That's the goal. It's not GLP-1 weight loss. It's not HO weight loss, it's 5%. And that is what's required by the current policy guidance from the FDA for obesity meds and general obesity that has been kind of in the past because of GLP-1 results. But in a disease where nothing works, 5% is -- it's associated with improvements in comorbidities, et cetera, et cetera. So 5% is the goal.
If we can become convinced that we can run a trial, a Phase III trial and hit that 5%, we'll go forward. And we're not going to show you a bunch of open-label data and a p-value. There's no p-value coming out of this, but we'll show you a bar chart and try to give you some color behind individual patients, which hopefully working with Dr. Miller, we've kind of understand. So if some patient looks good, why do we think they look good? If some patient doesn't look so good, maybe there's a reason, we understand why that is. And then we'll try to explain where we netted out in terms of do we think this supports going forward or not? Or maybe we just let -- we're going to treat some more patients.
Yes. I mean do you think it's more about like the average or median weight loss. Or is it kind of going back to a lot of your prior trials, looking at the responder rate, what percent of patients are getting that 5% threshold? And if it's 30%, 50%, whatever percent, that's kind of the driver to move forward?
Consistency is incredibly important. So obviously, in HO, we had remarkable consistency. So back to your responder rate point. Yes, that's it. And again, I'm coupling it with -- it's not -- I don't have -- we don't have a number like we got to see 50% responder rate greater than 5% to go forward, it's we have to understand what happened in every patient and say, with that context, do we think we can hit in a Phase III that makes a difference, right?
I guess the other question, obviously, with Prader-Willii is kind of the heterogeneity in this population. These patients also are coming on a lot of background therapies, including VYKAT in the trial. So I guess, how do you kind of hope to control some of that -- those issues with, again, notorious for Prader-Willi trials?
Yes. So there are not a lot of meds. Let me take that first. HO patients, as we talked about, I mean, they're on 1 to 2 pages of meds. I mean HO patients are about as complex as any patients, personally I've ever worked with in my career. So I think complexity itself is okay. And this drug -- think about this drug, it's not pharmacologic intervention in that you're taking a normal situation and then distorting it to try to get some benefit. You're taking a deficit a hormonal deficit and arguably bringing that back up to normal. So that coexists more naturally, if you will, with a complex medical background because you're just restoring normal physiology.
It's not like you've got multiple pharmacologic interventions and now you add another pharmacologic intervention, and you don't know how that's all going to interact. This is just filling the tank up, get you back to normal. And so I think it's okay in terms of the complexity. In terms of VYKAT, so they're allowed in this open label because we're interested. The mechanisms are different. They don't work through the melanocortin 4 pathway specifically. And yes, we'll see. Curious.
And then I guess just last question on this is just in terms of -- so you're focused on weight loss. Obviously, VYKAT approved on hyperphagia. Again, would you intend to kind of go through that, again, more of a weight loss kind of strategy in a Phase III? And does that change the division where you would get approved? And I think the idea would be if you're losing weight, you'd probably see something on hyperphagia. But yes, how do you reconcile all that?
Just that way. I think -- so, a, I don't think the world needs necessarily another hyperphagia drug. I know there's multiple companies that are pursuing that, a, because the door is open there in a sense. But the way our drug works, if we get weight loss, we will get hyperphagia. I mean it just has to, #1. Two, weight loss will be our primary, which means that we will go through the same division, so diabetes metabolism. The companies, including Soleno who went through the psychiatry division was because that -- their primary was hyperphagia. It was a questionnaire.
So we will have as our secondaries, if we run a trial, measures of hyperphagia, including HQ-CT, but hopefully, we can include some other ones because we know everybody knows that that's still -- it's the gold standard, but it's not the greatest tool. It has its challenges as well. So anyway, we'll collect very similar to what we did in HO, similar to what we did in BBS. These different measures of about weight and hunger.
Got you. Okay. And then maybe just shifting gears to the kind of second-gen molecule. So bivamelagon, obviously, you reported positive data there for the oral and then also 718, we'll get some data. So I guess, how do you think about future development strategies there? I know you've kind of talked about HO, obviously. But again, which one, where, and also, let's say, Prader-Willi hits, would you be bringing setmelanotide forward or one of these other agents?
Yes. So for bivamelagon, now we have positive data. We'll go into Phase III as soon as we can for HO. 718, we'll finish this, hopefully confirm that it works in HO, and then we'll take that into HO. So the goal will be to develop both of those in HO. Then the question becomes, do you develop one -- we'll, for sure, develop 1 of the 2 in BBS and POMC, maybe [indiscernible]. Do you do both? Maybe. I mean, I think that's a question and what's the urgency there, but that's certainly part of a strategic question.
Then what we've said is we'll do all new development work with one or both of the next gen. The only wrinkle to that is, in fact, Prader-Willi. And the reason for that is that if we felt confident in the results, we were seeing with setmelanotide, the reason you would go forward with setmelanotide is there's a time advantage. It's -- you'd have a supplemental NDA. I mean you've got a strong safety package already. I mean there's things that allow a slightly more rapid development period than if you move with 1 of the 2 new chemical entities.
Now we're going to have to do, we will want to do the next gens sooner or later because, again, Prader-Willi, HO is a big opportunity. Prader-Willi is equally transformative for any company, Rhythm included, of course. So if we get positive signals and feel good about it, then we're going to do a robust development plan for that. But the variable, which to be determined is would we do set first or just wait to see what happens with 718 and then [indiscernible].
Like what should we be expecting for 718? I mean, again, I know a lot of the preclinical data and you've modeled it off of setmelanotide. So should we -- where is kind of like the biggest variable in terms of like what you're looking at from, I guess, the Phase I in the HO patients? Like not necessarily what could go wrong, but like what are we looking for that could be different?
Yes. The one thing that's different is it's the PK profile, by definition, it's not a daily, it's a weekly. So that -- we had an earlier version of setmelanotide weekly. We did a small trial in patients who are already stable on their existing setmelanotide cross them over. And it looked -- that weekly formulation looked fine there. There was a little bit of noise around it, but that data was too small. So the biggest there to be confident, the biggest variable for us going into the 718 study is not, is 718 a good agonist, it's a good agonist. We're confident in that. and it's safe. It seemed to be safe in the normal volunteers. So the biggest question is, is that PK profile going to get us a similar kind of result?
Got you. I mean, I guess -- I mean, obviously, you did SAD/MAD. So like are you still looking at multiple doses in the HO patients? Can you just remind us like how that's set up?
Yes. So we -- because it's so close to -- so on dosing, and again, we talked about this morning in another session. In rare diseases, you rarely get to because you just don't have the patient numbers to precisely define the dose. And big indications do a lot of dose work, and you can be very specific about what "dose" you're using. Here, what we're looking for is a dose range that seems to be safe and get us a therapeutic effect. And for setmelanotide, that 1 mg to 3-mg dose range served us incredibly well. So we're going to, for example, develop bivamelagon now that we have the Phase II data in exactly the same way, 200 mg.
We had a couple of patients who seem to respond. But in general, 400 mg and 600 mg were better than 200 mg. We'll have a dose range where you dose escalate from 200 mg to 600 mg with the option to stop or dose down if you can't tolerate it or you seem to be doing fine. So we're going to develop a range. So back to 718, we're not having -- there's only one dose. There's only one dose and that -- meaning it's a dose range. And so we'll be looking starting at 10 mg and going up to 40 mg, not that the milligrams matter here. But that's the concept behind it. So patients will march up. We'll see how they do, hopefully confirm the dose range, and then we'll go to Phase III.
And I know in some of the preclinical models, like the data looked even a little bit a smidge better sometimes than setmelanotide. I mean, is there a chance there that, that could come through in the HO patients as well? And I guess, obviously, from a safety perspective, you believe this to have hopefully less hyperpigmentation or no hyperpigmentation. But I guess, how are you kind of looking at the overall profile?
Yes. It's also what it is. So from milligram, I don't care, to be honest. I mean we went higher in our normal volunteers to give us the freedom to go higher. So we can go up to 50 mg, for example, on this, just again, just trying to build in the flexibility. You don't know what you don't know. On hyperpigmentation, incredibly reassured by the VIVO data. 718 is more specific for the MC4 over MC1. So I'm more confident that we'll do well with 718 even than with Biva. So I think hopefully, that's taken care of the data.
Got you. And then maybe just kind of bigger picture, MC4 receptor agonist in general and the opportunities, like you have M&A also, you've got some of these other basket trials that you've kind of looked at in the past. Like where do you think beyond -- obviously, everyone is very focused on Prader-Willi right now. But beyond that, like where do you think the other opportunities lie? And where do you -- like I guess, or more of like when will you kind of really have more focus on some of these other indications that can broaden out kind of the franchise?
Yes. I think -- so there's a lot of the things that are really interesting about this. I'll just throw out a few small things. So there's the genetic pillar. So all the work on the different genes, as we said, the key to getting at that part of our opportunity is being able to find who has true loss of function. So there's a big group there, and we've made some good progress. And hopefully, we can come out in the next year or so and talk about which genes we might pursue based on now having a better understanding of loss of function, #1.
Two, there are some other syndromes, which are really tough. We actually have some early work being done by investigators, investigator-initiated trials looking at ROHHAD, this rapid-onset obesity, hypoventilation and autonomic dysfunction. It's a horrible, incredibly rare, but those kinds of opportunities are interesting because they teach us about what else this can do, MC4. There are some early papers that are coming out that raised some question about respiratory drive.
I mean we know we interact with the autonomic nervous system. So again, I'm just -- don't take this to the bank because there's no place to go yet. But the biology is there, meaning that there's more here than just a satiety signal. And I think part of Rhythm's future, we will be beginning to continue to try to work at that. On the anatomical side of the equation, obviously, we've got congenital hypoinsulinism -- sorry, congenital forms of hypothalamic obesity, and we'll work on that.
Cool. All right. Well, David, thank you so much for joining us. Everyone in the audience, thank you again.
All right. Thank you.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Canaccord Genuity’s 45th Annual Growth Conference
1. Question Answer
All right. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. My name is Whitney. I'm one of the biotech analysts here at Canaccord, and it's my pleasure to be joined by Rhythm Pharmaceuticals this afternoon.
I'm joined by Al. I'm going to call you, Al -- Al Garfield, Chief Scientific Officer; as well as Dave Connolly, Head of IR. Thank you both for joining us.
Thank you for having us.
So for those who might not be familiar with Rhythm, just kind of an opener question. Can you give a few minute intro kind of overview of the company.
Yes, sure. So Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, we are located here in Boston, but we're a global company. We have operations in more than 10 countries, and our drug is available in more than 20 countries externally, and our drug is IMCIVREE setmelanotide. There's a pathway in the brain, the MC4R pathway that causes a number of rare genetic obesities or obesities caused by an injury to the hypothalamus, whether it's from a surgery or congenital injury -- and ultimately, the MC4R pathway is responsible for sending us satiety signal to the body to tell you to stop eating that you're full and it also regulates energy. And when it's impaired, you end up with severe obesity. And in the case of an injury, it could be a rapid onset obesity or genetic and an early onset obesity from birth.
Our drug was approved first in 2020 in POMC and LEPR, very rare genetic diseases, only a few thousand patients worldwide, and we guided that we would be in tens of patients. And in 2022, we approved in Bardet-Biedl syndrome, a little bit bigger, but still an ultra-rare disease, about 5,000 patients in the United States.
In these patients, the severe obesity of these patients for our BBS trial, for example, the average BMI was 47. So in a man who's about 5-foot 9, that's well over 300 pounds. And then lastly, we have -- we read out data in hypothalamic obesity, which I'm sure we'll talk about. And we're available in 20 countries, like I said, and we have 2 more assets following on.
And with that, I think that's Rhythm in a nutshell.
And so you touched on this, but just to kind of double-click on it or drive the point home. When people hear obesity, they often think of GLP-1s and kind of these large broad obesity indications. Can you talk a little bit of why is targeting the MC4 different? Or how is it different relative to these -- like just general obesity indications?
Yes. Good question. I think there's 2 levels of differentiation. There's the mechanism and there's also the diseases that we're in. Dave has explained a little bit about the pathologies that arise due to deficits in this particular pathway. And it all comes down to sort of the intersection of physiology, pathology and pharmacology.
So the MC4 receptor pathway is the pathway in the brain that regulates your body weight. And it does it by controlling your sense of hunger and satiety, as Dave spoke to. And then in that being able to modulate energy in as calories and energy out as energy expenditure. It is required for defining your body weight. And any perturbation to it, whether it's genetic due to mutations in the genes in the pathway or whether it's mechanical, like a literal obstruction or anatomical disruption of it results in a very severe form of accelerated weight gain that's accompanied by this very severe form of hunger called hyperphagia. Sort of the unrelenting hunger.
You probably heard about it in various context, but having to lock the fridge from children, just their brains are not receiving the signal that they're ever full. So the pathway is critical for regulating body weight. Pathologically, there are patients out there in the world who suffer from the fact that their pathway doesn't work appropriately.
And then our drug as a pharmacological agent is replacing what is deficit in each of those populations. So we rationalize our entry into a given population on the basis that a proportion, if not all, of their obesity is underscored by a deficiency in this pathway and the MC4 receptor agonist is able to compensate for that and reestablish normal physiology.
GLP-1 as a mechanism is not required for body weight regulation. There are no diseases that arise due to GLP-1 deficiency. And from a pharmacological perspective, they're sort of hijacking another system within the brain to be able to override what might be going on in the individual. Now that only works so far in patients who have this really significant pathology.
So GLP-1s don't address the underlying root cause in our patient population. So we sort of bring together the intersection of the physiology working on the system that evolution decided was best positioned to control body weight, the pathology, so the patients for whom that system is not working and then the pharmacology being the replacement of what is an endogenous system.
Perfect. So on IMCIVREE for those in the audience, IMCIVREE the brand name, setmelanotide is the generic name. I'll probably switch back and forth, but apologies. So for IMCIVREE, the currently approved indication, you just reported a strong second quarter coming in 11% above consensus. Should we all take that to mean that there's momentum building here? Or should we continue to think about the current indication commercialization is sort of -- I think you all characterize it as slow and steady.
Yes. And I think that still holds true. We are now 3 years since launch in Bardet-Biedl syndrome. And the growth in patients on reimbursed therapy has been slow and steady throughout. And we did. We have a really strong second quarter. We announced $48.5 million in global revenue and about $31.5 million of that was from the United States. And that represented about -- that represented about a $3 million growth quarter-over-quarter in the U.S. about $0.5 million was from an inventory fluctuation. So -- but ultimately, $3 million of growth in the U.S., which is a little over 10%.
And that's been consistent. We've seen that $2 million to $3 million in growth quarter-over-quarter historically for the last 6 to 8 quarters for IMCIVREE sales. And the ex-U.S. revenue is about $16.5 million. $1.2 million from that was from a foreign currency exchange rate gain that benefited Rhythm. So only about 2/3 of that was legitimate, was growth.
And the international revenues are unique in that. They're coming from sort of 3 sources: POMC, LEPR or BBS is approved and available in a number of countries. We also have named patient sales. And all in, we are in about 20 different countries ex U.S. And then there's another growth driver in the international sales, and that's hypothalamic obesity and the preapproval early access programs in France and Italy. These are unique.
In France, for example, there's only 2 -- we're the second non-oncology drug to get approved paid access before the drug is approved. It's slow. It's an administrative process to get these patients on drug, but we're seeing some growth there. We reported our data on about 35 patients in the spring at a conference in Europe. So -- but that's where the growth is coming from BBS and POMC as well as some new growth happening in hypothalamic obesity.
So overall, I would say it's been a positive experience with payers and prescribers and patients since launch. But it's been slow and steady. So I don't think there's an inflection point, but we expect that steady growth to continue.
Okay. Steady growth is good. But speaking of inflection points, the next indication is hypothalamic obesity, as you mentioned, [and you plan the trial] for approval in the coming months. This is an indication that investors have been excited about for a while, partially because of some of the commercial differences between it and the indications you were just referencing that are more slow and steady. So can you compare and contrast the markets here and why we're all modeling this launch differently?
Sure. Yes. Ultimately -- so Bardet-Biedl syndrome in the United States, we had said there's about 4,000 to 5,000 patients. Classic rare disease when we launched, really low awareness, very few experts, if any, under diagnosis. And the patients are dispersed, right? They've had this disease their entire lives. They may be not diagnosed at all or maybe they've been diagnosed and they're receiving their care from their primary care offices, not in a specialty. They're not all seeing endocrinologists.
Over time, Again, we think it's a slow and steady ramp, but we'll -- can we get into 20% of these patients or 40% of these patients from a penetration rate? Yes, over time, we think we'll get there. Rare diseases tend to build slowly, steadily.
Hypothalamic obesity is a little bit different. We're looking at this as a specialty opportunity. About 5,000 to 10,000 patients is our estimated prevalence. We're growing more comfortable with the higher end of that range in terms of the number of patients in the United States. And we know they're concentrated in treatment centers. They're seen regularly by endocrinologists.
So we're looking at this as a specialty launch where we will focus on like 80% of the patients or so are seeing are under the care of an endocrinologist and regular care of their endocrinologist. They come out with a whole host of pituitary issues that are along with hypothalamic obesity. So, yes. So it will be steady. It will be a little faster and a little steeper uptake curve than for BBS. But ultimately, it's a specialty opportunity.
Okay. Perfect. And one question we get from investors and then a little less so now post -- after you guys have announced data, but it's just on the competitive landscape here and namely GLP-1. So -- and Al, maybe you touched on this a little bit earlier...
Yes.
Why should we or should we not be worried about that competitively?
Yes. I mean the incretin class do remarkable things for the right patients. They've certainly transformed the landscape of general obesity. But these patients are not general obesity, as I described. There is a very well understood and well-defined pathology that underlies their disease.
GLP-1s in HO have largely been a sort of case report like literature, which obviously is biased towards positive data because no academic likes to publish negative data. The only 2 studies...
[indiscernible]
As a recovering academic, I can tell you that's definitely true. There's only been a couple of controlled studies using first-generation GLP-1s. They did not work. It isn't surprising just based on what we know of the mechanism of the disease and the mechanism of these GLP-1s. They're sort of trying to paper over a crack rather than actually filling it with exactly what was missing in the first place.
So -- and our experience even from our Phase III has been that we see patients coming into our trial. We see their growth curves. We see the points at which they're on GLP-1s and very consistent from what we're hearing from physicians who are not publishing their negative data is around the fact that, yes, we may see a little bit at the beginning, but it doesn't do what it does in general obesity and it isn't sustainable.
And then you see them on setmelanotide, which is a precision or more targeted therapy for the underlying pathology, and that's a completely different story. So there's nothing approved for these patients. Hopefully, setmelanotide will be in due course. But yes, just from a mechanism perspective and what we hear anecdotally and from the few trials that have been run in a controlled setting, the GLP-1s just don't have the play here that our mechanism does.
Perfect. Okay. So filing for approval and launch next year, we assume with IMCIVREE, which is a once-daily injectable. So you've also recently presented data with your oral MC4R inhibitor, bivamelagon, BIVA and that was received positively. So can you talk about the TPP for BIVA versus setmelanotide?
Yes. So setmelanotide, as you said, is a once-weekly injectable drug, and we've seen great efficacy across the disease states that were commercial in hypothalamic obesity as well. But it also has a side effect profile. Most commonly, it causes hyperpigmentation. And this happens in every patient. It's designed to agonize the MC4 receptor, but it also hits as a matter, of course, the MC1 receptor, which is known as the tanning receptor.
So ultimately, you look like you've spent a few weeks in the sun if you're taking setmelanotide. Some people like it, many don't. And it is -- we don't know how many patients are on the sidelines and not coming to get setmelanotide therapy or IMCIVREE therapy because of the hyperpigmentation. But we know from our [discons], about 5% or 6% of patients who get on therapy cite hyperpigmentation as a reason for discontinuing that therapy.
So bivamelagon is a small molecule. It's orally administered once daily, and it's been designed not to cause hyperpigmentation. And what we found in that trial is very limited, very few instances of hyperpigmentation. So that's a positive element there. And it had very similar weight loss efficacy to setmelanotide, which is crucially important.
So yes, we read out that data in July. We're working towards an end of Phase II meeting with the FDA. We hope to have that by the end of the year, and then we'll move into Phase III in hypothalamic obesity, hopefully, at some point next year.
Perfect. Okay. And so with this differentiated profile, should we be thinking about BIVA more as a market expansion opportunity? Or is it kind of more focused on the life cycle extension? And can you actually, as part of that, touch on the IP of setmelanotide versus BIVA?
Yes. Yes. And that's actually -- got an important point. Thanks for the reminder. Bivamelagon has -- will have IP protection into the 2040s, as does our RM-718, which is a new chemical entity we're developing as a weekly administered therapy built off of our knowledge of setmelanotide, sets an 8 amino acid peptide. RM-718 is a 7 amino acid peptide.
718 is also designed not to cause hyperpigmentation, and that's now in Phase I, and we have an ongoing -- not an ongoing Part C of that is in hypothalamic obesity. So we'll have data on that hopefully early next year.
In terms of -- it's definitely a life cycle management play where this takes the IP out into the 2040s. And there could be a modest gain in terms of the overall market opportunity, as I mentioned, the discon patients. What we don't know is how many patients sit on the sidelines and don't come forward to get setmelanotide therapy. So there could be a modest gain, but it's definitely more of a life cycle play.
Okay. Perfect. And then what are you hearing? So you'll have the once-daily injectable and oral hopefully, and then hopefully also the once weekly, as you mentioned, of 718. What are you hearing from doctors or patients on the appetite for these various kind of route of administration options?
Yes. We're not hearing a ton. We're not asking a ton of questions because it's still early in the development stage. But what I would say is the success of setmelanotide or IMCIVREE for the past several years, I think puts to -- points to the opportunity for MC4R agonism, which has been very well received. It's the drug works when patients have these diseases in terms of reducing body weight.
The speed of the enrollment of the Phase III HO trial with setmelanotide, I also think speaks to the overall benefits that patients see and expect to see. But I'm sure patients would definitely welcome taking a once-daily pill instead of a once-daily injectable or a once-weekly injectable and definitely, the hyperpigmentation could make a difference for some cultures.
Okay. Perfect. And so 718, the once-weekly data coming in the beginning of next year?
Beginning of next year. Yes, we've began enrollment in Part C of our Phase I trial, Parts 1 -- Parts A and B are in healthy obese volunteers and then we moved into Part C to test it in hypothalamic obesity, which as a disease has been -- has proven to be very sensitive to MC4R agonism. So we should get a strong signal one way or another, hopefully positive early next year.
Perfect. Okay. So looking earlier stage, you're also evaluating setmelanotide in Prader-Willi syndrome or PWS, and that data will be coming before the end of this year. So can you talk about Prader-Willi briefly, I guess, and the mechanistic rationale for MC4R here?
Yes. Prader-Willi syndrome, I think, was probably the indication to put genetic forms of obesity on the map. It's been an indication that's been around for a long time, a hugely underserved patient population, very high unmet need.
Really, when we think of hyperphagia, very often, Prader-Willi syndrome is the indication that comes to mind as having put that on the map. It's been a very, very challenging patient population for pharma to gain any success in just due to the complexity of the patient population, which is sizable.
When we look at it, there is definitely an MC4 receptor pathway deficiency component to Prader-Willi syndrome, specifically and as we've learned from the animal models, and I'll come on to a little bit of clinical data to help support this rationale. But just from a mechanistic standpoint, Prader-Willi syndrome has an overt deficit in the MC4 receptor pathway. There's an insufficient amount of the natural neuropeptide that our drugs mimic in these patients.
And as a result, they have very severe hyperphagia. They have low resting energy expenditure and is part of what contributes to the increased weight gain. We ran a Phase II study in a mechanistically related indication, which are patients with mutations in a gene called MAGEL2. MAGEL2 is part of the Prader-Willi syndrome disease interval.
So almost all patients with Prader-Willi syndrome lack MAGEL2. We enrolled a handful of patients in an exploratory Phase II study who are MAGEL2 deficient in and of themselves, which is a separate patient population. And those patients responded well to setmelanotide. And that was part of our reinvigoration in the interest in our hope that setmelanotide can do something for that patient population.
I mean it's probably a flip of a coin. It's a bit of a 50-50 as to whether or not we'll see what we want to see in the trial, but there's good rationale for why we would take the opportunity to try and close some of the gaps on the need of that patient population now.
Okay. That's helpful. And then how many patients, what endpoints are in the study and what we'll be getting later this year? I'll stop there...
Yes. It's a signal-seeking study. This is an open-label at the moment, single-site study with a very experienced investigator, knows their patients incredibly well, is also was historically part of the VYKAT trials. So definitely a luminary in this particular field has been working with Rhythm for many years across many indications.
Open label, we're signal seeking, right? It may not be -- you may not be infused by the answer, but we'll know it when we see it. I think between our knowledge of our drug and their knowledge of the patient population, we'll be able to tease out the effects that would give us confidence that it's worth moving ahead into a more formal trial structure.
Really, we're looking for at least a trajectory of a 5% reduction in BMI. It's a 26-week study. We're looking to enroll 10 or so, 10 to 20 patients. And showing a shift in BMI, which is historically what the drug has done very successfully in all other indications would be a bit of a game changer for this indication. No drug has ever actually demonstrated weight loss in Prader-Willi syndrome historically. So hence, why we like the mechanism, but we have to sort of temper the fact there's a long history that's gone before in PWS. So, yes...
Okay. Perfect. And so in terms of what is good data, you kind of talked about this 5% weight loss or tracking to that at least...
Yes. I think so.
Line of sight. What if that isn't achieved, I guess, is there -- is this a definitive trial that will say, we tried -- or is there things you can do to optimize dosing or anything else that might keep the dream in line?
Yes. I mean we're already going to a higher dose in Prader-Willi syndrome than we've been labeled for in the approved indications or that we did do in hypothalamic obesity. So we'll be going to 5 milligrams, whereas the top dose historically have been 3 milligrams. So I think we're already trying to push that a little bit.
I think this is always going to be a little bit of a gray area, in particular, because it is a Phase I open-label study. And we'll just need to learn as the data comes in. Obviously, we will be collecting hyperphagia data on these patients as well. So it's another angle which we can look at when it comes in. But mechanistically, I think setmelanotide is as good a barometer for our success in this patient population as anything else not arsenal.
Okay. Perfect. And so earlier, we were talking about MC4R kind of being different than targeting the general obesity population in terms of the kind of strategy you've taken so far. But I wonder, is there an opportunity -- possibly not a near-term one, but to look for a biomarker or kind of way to measure deficiency in the broader obesity population that might be, again, kind of an interesting upside lever eventually?
Yes. I think we've already started to dip our toe into the upside aspect of the pathway. We do have a Phase III trial, which will read out towards the beginning of '26, our EMANATE study, which is a multi-cohort study in 4 distinct genetic forms of obesity. We've got a pretty high confidence in 2 of those, their probability of reading out, and they would add significantly to the addressable market for setmelanotide.
We also ran a Phase II study in some other subcohorts of genetic forms of obesity. These obesities are generally hiding in plain sight. They're not as overt necessarily as a Bardet-Biedl syndrome or an HO or a PWS, but they're there. And I think what we'll see in time, maybe Whitney to what you're getting at is that we'll start to shine the obesity population through the prism of the incretins.
And we'll start to see the fraction of where the drugs work where they don't and subpopulations for which there is a better, more rationalized therapy. So I think very, very far in the future, I could see a world where we learn more about where our drug could be beneficial. In the meantime, in the near term, we've identified some of those patients, and there are trials ongoing or there's data in hand for us to think about how we sort of push an upside story there. So beginning of next year, we'll have some data from those other cohorts.
Okay. Very interesting. And then the last minute on cash. Can you remind us, I guess, where you ended the quarter, kind of recent activity in that regard and how you're thinking about cash going forward?
Yes. We entered the third quarter very well capitalized, and we have at least 24 months of cash on hand. We sold 2.4 million shares in a public equity offering in July at $85 a share in an oversubscribed transaction. And then the other element I would add is -- so we closed the quarter at $291 million as of June 30, plus $189 million from that offering.
And then just to do the math for those of you paying close attention, in early July, we made the final payment to LG Chem for the licensing of Bivamelagon, and that was $40 million. So again, we have at least 24 at least 24 months in cash to cover all planned activities, and that also includes our internal estimates on BBS and soon HO revenues. So ultimately, one of the things we had said on our conference call was that Rhythm's balance sheet is as strong as it's ever been in the company's history.
Absolutely. Perfect. Okay. Any last questions from the audience? All right. Perfect. Well, thank you so much for the time.
Thank you, Whitney.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Canaccord Genuity’s 45th Annual Growth Conference
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Dave Connolly, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Tanya. I'm Dave Connolly here at Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. For those of you participating on the conference call, our slides can be accessed and controlled by going to the Investors section of our website, ir.rhythmtx.com.
This morning, we issued our press release that provides our Q2 financial results and a business update, and that press release is available on our website. Our agenda listed on Slide 2 -- our agenda is listed on Slide 2.
On the call today are David Meeker, our Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President; Jennifer Lee, Executive Vice President, Head of North America; Hunter Smith, Chief Financial Officer; and Yann Mazabraud, Executive Vice President, Head of International is on the line joining us from Europe.
On Slide 3, I'll remind you that this call contains remarks concerning future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed on our most recent annual or quarterly reports on file with the SEC.
In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent dates. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements.
With that, I'll turn the call over to David Meeker, who will begin on Slide 5.
Thank you, Dave. Good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining. Today marks the first earnings call where we can truly start mapping the long-term future of Rhythm. Early start-ups beyond the simple struggle to survive often don't have the luxury of looking longer term.
At Rhythm, we have more than survived. And in quarter 2, we laid the foundation for significant future growth. I'll briefly review those elements on this call. We had another solid quarter of BBS sales growth. Why is that important? We are now 3 years post launch of an extremely promising but very challenging opportunity.
Our North American and international teams have entered a classic ultra-rare disease community with all the challenges they face from lack of disease awareness, difficulty getting to a diagnosis or finding an expert through to gaining access to the only approved medication. The projected epidemiology seems right. The patients are benefiting and the health care system is working with us. All of that translates to sustainable, steady growth, which is what you are seeing this quarter.
We expect BBS will be an important part of these quarterly earnings calls for the next 15 years. In terms of significance, I don't think we have had a more impactful quarter. The Phase III readout of setmelanotide in acquired hypothalamic obesity and the Phase III readout of the first of our 2 next-generation compounds sets us on course for our next phase of growth.
Although we previously reported those results, I will briefly review them, they are worth revisiting. We had a productive meeting with the FDA, the first in-person meeting in 5 years, and we are on track to complete U.S. and European regulatory filings in Q3. We will update you upon acceptance of the filings. Finally, we're very well capitalized following our recent oversubscribed $189 million raise.
On Slide 6, I'll remind you again of the meaningful opportunities ahead of us. BBS with an estimated 5,000 patients in the U.S. and similar numbers in Europe, acquired hypothalamic obesity with 5,000 to 10,000 patients in the U.S. and as noted, a growing level of confidence in the upper range of that number with similar numbers estimated for Europe. The Japan opportunity looks equally promising. Finally, we look forward to the EMANATE readout in the first quarter of next year. Importantly, we have the time to fully develop these opportunities. Setmelanotide composition of matter patent is up in 2032, but importantly, the formulation patents extend to 2034 in the U.S. Our next-generation compounds will extend that protection to 2040 plus.
On Slide 7, I want to share a little more color as to what the patients are experiencing. 30 patients or their caregivers who participated in our Phase III trial of setmelanotide in acquired hypothalamic obesity participated in a qualitative 1-hour interview. These results were presented at [ ENDO ] last month. I encourage you to read the representative quotes on the slide. I'm not going to read them, but these individuals who may have been living a relatively normal life prior to their injury, brain tumor in most of these cases, suddenly were confronted with rapid weight gain, increased hunger, a severe preoccupation with food, all accompanied by a lack of control. Once on treatment, they could, as they described it, feel good and find joy in their lives again.
On Slide 8, you can see that of the 30 patients participating in the interviews, they almost all experienced the increase in hunger, the increase in fatigue and a decrease in their physical activity. This disease is not about simply adding a few additional kilograms.
Moving to Slide 9. The setmelanotide Phase III acquired hypothalamic obesity results we reported out in April were hugely validating both in terms of the underlying biology. This is a disease driven by impaired MC4R signaling and the effect of setmelanotide, a functional analog of the endogenous hormone alpha MSH, which had a consistent and meaningful impact on the primary and key secondary endpoints. As shown here, the placebo-adjusted difference was 19.8% reduction in BMI. Importantly, this result was consistent across all age groups in both male and female patients. We are equally excited to get the results of the Phase II bivamelagon trial. These were the first results in patients, and we are learning.
As shown on Slide 10, the placebo cohort gained weight. There was a clear dose response and the 600-milligram cohort decreased their BMI by more than 9%.
On Slide 11, as you remember, we made our best attempt to draw an apples-to-apples comparison with the setmelanotide data at 12 and 16 weeks from the Phase II and III trials in acquired hypothalamic obesity in patients aged 12 and above. As you can see, the patients decreased their BMI by 9.7% and 10.1% at 12 and 16 weeks, respectively, as compared to 9.3% for the 600-milligram dose cohort at 14 weeks in an intent-to-treat analysis.
We expect 600 milligrams will be our target dose going into Phase III trials. We will request an end of Phase II meeting with the FDA and request scientific advice from the CHMP of the EMEA to share the data and gain alignment on the design of the Phase III trial and a path to registration.
Finally, [ Algar Fadild ], our CSO, and I had the privilege of joining [ Jan ] and his team at the IPR meeting in Prague. He will describe in greater detail, but it is a unique event focused on MC4R pathway diseases. While the meeting was more genetically -- while the prior meetings were more genetically focused, this meeting had significant discussions about HO and a sharing of some of the early real-world treatment experience in Europe.
The fact that approximately 150 physicians from around Europe would attend a Rhythm-sponsored meeting speaks to the quality of the science, which was shared and the level of trust [ Jan ] and his team have built with that community.
Finally, Slide 13 highlights a number of the upcoming milestones. We remain on track for U.S. and EMEA filings this quarter for setmelanotide in HO. Our goal is to disclose preliminary results from the Phase II Prader-Willi before the end of the year. We aim to complete enrollment of the 718 weekly Phase II study in HO patients in 2026. We'll also release data -- top line data from the Japanese cohort from our Phase III acquired HO trial in Q1, and we will release top line data from the EMANATE trial in Q1. We aim to complete enrollment of the congenital HO trial in the first half of 2026. And finally, we will initiate our Phase III study with bivamelagon in acquired HO in 2026, and we'll further refine the timing once we have feedback from regulators.
With that, I will now turn the call over to Jen.
Thank you, David. I'm going to be starting today on Slide 15. June 2025 marked the launch of IMCIVREE in BBS. Community continues to grow at a steady pace, and we have delivered consistent and steady progress in establishing IMCIVREE as the first and only therapy that addresses the underlying cause of hyperphagia, a pathological hunger that leads to abnormal food-seeking behaviors and severe obesity in patients with rare MC4R pathway diseases like BBS.
We had a strong second quarter, and we continue to see solid growth in new prescriptions and new patient starts, driven by our fine-tuned patient identification efforts. We are seeing steady growth in new first-time prescribers and repeat prescribers are writing prescriptions for second patients and more following a positive first experience with IMCIVREE.
With the label expansion down to 2 years of age received late last year, we are now seeing more patients younger than 18 come on therapy the last 2 quarters. And importantly, our teams are preparing to launch IMCIVREE in hypothalamic obesity, pending FDA approval. I'll touch on each of these positive themes from the quarter.
Next slide. First, prescribers. In the second quarter, we saw continued growth in the number of IMCIVREE prescribers for BBS patients. We recorded a 38% growth in the cumulative number of BBS prescribers from Q2 2024 to Q2 2025 as well as a 9% growth in the cumulative number of BBS prescribers from Q1 2025 to Q2 of 2025.
Next slide. The FDA-approved label expansion down to 2 years of age enabled us to renew engagement across physicians who treat younger patients. We leveraged the expanded indication to amplify a strong message that IMCIVREE due to its efficacy and safety can be used in patients as young as 2 years of age, differentiating FC4R diseases and the early onset obesity from the population with general obesity. This focused messaging resulted in a growth in prescriptions coming from both the pediatric and adolescent patients in Q2.
40% of prescriptions in the quarter were for patients under 12 years of age, up from 27% in Q1 and 27% of prescriptions in the quarter were for patients between 12 and less than 18 years of age, up from 23% in Q1. These positive trends stem from a combination of patients younger than 6 potentially waiting on their label expansion as well as moving older children adolescents on to treatment. Though we saw a positive contribution of prescriptions from younger patients due to our focused messaging around the label expansion, we expect this label expansion to be a minimal incremental opportunity for us moving forward.
Over these last 3 years, BBS commercial performance has continued to be strong with improved understanding throughout the community of the impact of early onset hyperphagia and severe obesity, BBS has been differentiated from general obesity. Physicians are engaged, diagnosing patients and writing prescriptions for IMCIVREE. Payers also appreciate the difference. And while we face similar challenges faced by any rare disease therapy, payers are providing coverage of IMCIVREE for these patients. And most importantly, patients are starting and staying on therapy and seeing benefits.
Next slide. We are excited about the next stage of Rhythm's potential growth in hypothalamic obesity, leveraging what we have learned and put in place since the BBS launch. As David outlined, we are confident that the number of U.S. patients with acquired hypothalamic obesity is in the upper bound of our 5,000 to 10,000 prevalence estimate. We are approaching this as a specialty launch focused on endocrinologists, both adult and pediatric.
Our ongoing physician profiling and patient identification efforts are underway, and we remain excited to launch upon approval. We look forward to providing you more details on the HO launch readiness efforts on September 24 during our in-person event in Boston, which will also be webcasted. Stay tuned for registration details and feel free to contact Dave Connolly.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Yann.
Thank you, Jennifer. I'll begin on Slide 20, and we are pleased to report that IMCIVREE is now available for BBS and/or POMC LEPR deficiencies either as fully reimbursed therapy or named patient sales in more than 20 countries outside the United States. It also includes 2 countries where we have achieved pre-EMA approval paid early access for patients with hypothalamic obesity.
We are seeing a steady increase in the overall number of patients on IMCIVREE in the international region as we are very pleased with the results of the second quarter. The main growth drivers for the international region this quarter were IMCIVREE sales in approved indications, BBS and POMC LEPR deficiencies as they made up the larger increase in patient numbers and paid early access for HO patients in France and Italy, which drove the largest percentage increase in sequential quarterly growth.
Reimbursed HO patients now account for a meaningful percentage of total reimbursed patients in the international region. As a reminder, in France and Italy, these early access programs allow patients to gain access to federal reimbursement before the approval in Europe. Both programs are progressing well and seeing increases in patients on therapy, and the patients appear to be benefiting as well.
Last but not least, we are seeing additional countries come online in terms of named patient sales. We have talked about Turkey and Greece previously. And new this quarter, we are seeing patients from Poland and the Czech Republic. And in Japan, we are building out our team with a focus on regulatory, medical affairs, marketing and market access.
Next slide. On Slide 21 are more details on the third improved meeting where approximately 150 physicians, scientists and researchers gathered to learn from one another. Attendees came from 19 countries, including Japan. Reasons support this conference, but the scientific agenda is built by a panel of leading experts, co-chaired this year by Professor [ Ros Sarente ] from Spain and Professor [ Sadar Faruki ] from the U.K. The scientific agenda is built on plenary lectures, peer-to-peer scientific exchange and sharing of best practices. The scope of the agenda has grown over the years, too. Initially, it focused on genetic pathway diseases and BBS and now it includes HO.
There were also 43 poster presentations and 3 impactful workshops. Participants attended 2 of these 3 workshops, which covered optimal care for rare MC4R pathway diseases, multi care and treatment perspectives for patients younger than 6 and comorbidities and communications for patients with acquired HO.
End of the poster presentations, the committee selected 3 winners, the results from a European retrospective study and monogenic obesity, the [indiscernible] hyperphagia questionnaire as a screening tool for monogenic obesity and an assay for variants in the ASIP gene. As the only medical and scientific conference focused on MC4R pathway diseases improved has turned into an important opportunity for so many experts to get together.
Nearly 40% of attendees were practicing endocrinologists and more than 25% were pediatricians and the feedback was overwhelmingly positive. Important themes emerged at discussions point this year, the uniqueness of MC4 pathway diseases, the early onset of obesity in these patients at a young age as a key for diagnosis and of course, hyperphagia. These face-to-face discussions are helping these physicians to change their clinical practice when it comes to how they identify, diagnose and treat these patients. With improved and many additional efforts, Rhythm is playing an important part in growing the international community of MC4R pathway disease experts.
And now I will turn the call over to Hunter.
Thank you, Yann. Today's business update is positive based on a strong quarter for global commercial revenue, successful data readouts as well as an upsized and oversubscribed equity offering in July.
Let's start with the balance sheet on Slide 23. We ended the second quarter of 2025 with $291 million in cash on hand. And last month, we completed the equity offering in which we sold approximately 2.4 million shares of common stock at $85 per share, resulting in net proceeds to Rhythm of $189.2 million. We are grateful to have received so much support from many existing but also several new long-only and health care dedicated investors in this transaction and on an ongoing basis. We note here that we paid $40 million to LG Chem in July, the second of 2 tranches associated with the licensing agreement for bivamelagon that was announced in January of 2024. This cash payment in July is not reflected in our cash on hand at June 30. The remaining obligations to LG are post-approval milestones and royalties, the fixed consideration component of the agreement is fully satisfied.
Rhythm's cash on hand, combined with the net proceeds from last month's stock offering, forecasted revenues from the anticipated launch of IMCIVREE acquired HO as well as ongoing revenue from approved indications and currently planned R&D and commercial activity provides cash runway of at least 24 months. This level of liquidity indicates that Rhythm's balance sheet is the strongest in its history.
On Slide 24, global revenue for the second quarter was $48.5 million, an increase of 29% quarter-over-quarter. 66% of Q2 revenue or $32 million was generated in the United States and 34% or $16.5 million was generated outside the United States. Quarter-over-quarter, the global number of patients on therapy -- reimbursed patients on therapy increased by approximately 12%. U.S. revenue increased $7.6 million or 31% over the prior quarter.
The number of reimbursed patients on therapy in the U.S. continued to grow at mid-single-digit percentage rates. Recall that in Q1, Rhythm Specialty Pharmacy dispensed $4.1 million more product to patients than it ordered from Rhythm and inventory days on hand dropped below 10 days. In the second quarter, the difference between product shipped to our specialty pharmacy exceeded product dispensed to patients by approximately $0.5 million, a more modest but positive effect on revenue in the quarter.
The specialty pharmacy carried approximately 10 days of inventory on hand at June 30. Excluding these inventory factors, sequential U.S. revenue growth from patient demand in Q2 was approximately $3 million or roughly 10.5% from $28.5 million to $31.5 million. Outside the United States, quarter-over-quarter growth was approximately $3.2 million or 24%. Appreciation of the euro and other currencies contributed approximately $1.2 million of this increase. Geographically, revenue growth was primarily driven by increased sales in France, the U.K. and Italy as well as increased named patient sales in various countries, the latter of which is more variable quarter-to-quarter.
Looking at growth by indication, as Yann mentioned, our approved indications of BBS, POMC and LEPR provided the larger increase in patient numbers in the quarter, yet early access programs for patients with hypothalamic obesity in France and Italy drove the higher percentage increase in patient growth. Reimbursed hypothalamic obesity patients now account for a meaningful percentage of total reimbursed patients in Rhythm's international region.
On Slide 25, in comparison to Q2 2024, net product revenues increased $19.4 million or 67% from the second quarter of 2024. Gross to net for U.S. sales was 83.9%, in line with levels we have experienced historically. Cost of sales this quarter was 11.4% of net product revenues. We generally expect cost of sales to be between 10% to 12% of net product revenues for the foreseeable future, with variation due to how our inventory balances are changing and the corresponding capitalization of labor and overhead costs.
R&D expenses were $42.3 million for Q2 compared to $30.2 million in the same quarter last year. Sequentially, R&D expenses increased $5.3 million or 14% over Q1 2025. This increase was primarily due to CMC work related to formulation for bivamelagon and auto-injector development for RM-718. Increased headcount and stock compensation also contributed to this increase in expenses. Clinical trial costs were relatively flat quarter-over-quarter.
SG&A expenses were $45.9 million for Q2 2025 as compared to $36.4 million in Q2 last year. Sequentially, SG&A expenses increased by $6.9 million or approximately 18% compared to Q1 2025. Increased spending in SG&A from Q1 to Q2 is due to increased headcount and marketing costs. The headcount costs are inclusive of stock compensation.
For the second quarter of 2025, there were 63.7 million weighted average common shares outstanding. Cash used in operations was approximately $22 million during the second quarter. Our GAAP EPS for the second quarter of 2025 was a net loss per basic and diluted share of $0.75, including $0.02 per share from accrued dividends on convertible preferred stock of $1.3 million.
On Slide 26, there's a little more detail on operating expenses for the quarter and guidance for the full year. For the second quarter, operating expenses of $88.2 million include a total of $15.9 million in stock-based compensation. Non-GAAP operating expense guidance for the full year of 2025 remains unchanged. We anticipate approximately $285 million to $315 million in non-GAAP operating expenses comprised of non-GAAP SG&A expenses of $135 million to $145 million and non-GAAP R&D expenses of $150 million to $170 million.
With that, I'll turn the call back over to David.
Thanks, Hunter. So I think as you heard, we're pleased really pleased to report out a good quarter and incredibly excited about the future ahead of us. So with that, I'll open it up for questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] And our first question will be coming from Tazeen Ahmad of Bank of America.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on a good quarter. I wanted to maybe ask a question on what I think is your next upcoming pipeline catalyst, that's the Prader-Willi data. David, can you just frame for us what the study is? Is it an exploratory study? Or is this a high conviction study because there is a history of setmelanotide being looked at in this indication before. And I think people would just appreciate getting a sense about how you're feeling about what data would be good data and what the next step would be if it is good data?
Thanks, Tazeen. Yes, I would characterize this as exploratory. As you noted, I mean, our original -- our initial study done back in 2019 " was negative and meaning it did not show a positive result." But as we've explained, that was a difficult trial design, and we thought the dose was too low, the timing was too short, and there was good reasoning based on the underlying biology of Prader-Willi to believe that the MC4R pathway plays an important role.
So the current trial, open-label study, the dosing as in our last study had a maximal dose of 2.5. This study goes up to -- all patients are dose escalated to 5 milligrams as tolerated. And the duration of that trial, patients were on for a maximum of sort of 4 to 8 weeks on a certain dose. This trial will go out 6 months, and we'll look at the data at that point.
What would be good and the reason I characterize it exploratory, I characterize and we'll continue to characterize it as 50-50, a very legitimate 50-50. And the reason for that is I think we have high conviction about the underlying biology and the importance of the MC4 pathway in the disease, but we know the disease is challenging and a lot of drugs have failed and there's a behavioral component to this disease, which can often create noise or obscure a potential beneficial effect. So those are things that give me pause and this is why I would characterize this as exploratory.
And how many patients worth of data would that be?
Yes. So we so the trial is we can enroll up to 30. It's an open-label trial. We won't enroll up to the full 30 patients. Our goal is to get north of 10 patients, so 10 to 20 patients and hopefully have a meaningful or ability to say something meaningful by the end of the year.
Again, in a disease like this, you don't start talking after 2 or 3 patients. There's just too much noise in the system, and you can't be confident in what you're seeing. So our goal is to say something by the end of the quarter, which hopefully will be based on data we can have confidence in -- sorry, end of the year, apologies.
Our next question will be coming from Mike Ulz of Morgan Stanley.
Congratulations on all the progress. Maybe just a quick follow-up on the Prader-Willi question. I appreciate the color on the number of patients, but can you give us a sense on what sort of level of follow-up you're expecting?
So, again, with all these many diseases, but certainly in rare diseases, if patients are benefiting, you keep them on treatment. You don't tend to run even an early stage study and just stop at the end of it. That's challenging for these patients and doesn't make sense. Some of the most valuable data you gain is in the long-term follow-up of these patients. And your ultimate submission is a totality of the evidence approach.
So you may have your Phase III, but it's strongly supported perhaps by 1-year to 2-year data out of your early treated patients. So these patients -- 6 months is the point at which we will look at the data and begin to try to determine what we have, but those patients will continue on beyond 6 months. And they'll continue on indefinitely as long as we believe that there is an effect, and we are proceeding with the overall clinical development for Prader-Willi.
Got it. That's helpful. Maybe I could just ask a quick follow-up. Assuming if the data is positive, how do you think about some of your next-generation MC4Rs like bivamelagon? Is that something you consider taking forward in this indication as well?
Yes. I think historically, we've said that most, if not all, of our subsequent development work would be done with our next generation. It just makes sense for multiple reasons, potentially better drugs, longer patent life, et cetera.
However, if the data is compelling and we're convinced, the possibility of going immediately with setmelanotide is absolutely on the table. And so we'll see how we do with a timing getting 718 up through this initial proof-of-concept period and how that matches up with the proof-of-concept data we get on Prader-Willi and our current trial, and then we'll make final decisions. But we'll certainly be -- if we're going forward, we will, for certain, be doing it with our next gen, I think one or both of our next-generation molecules. The question is, do we go rapidly with setmelanotide.
And our next question will be coming from Phil Nadeau of TD Cowen
On the productive quarter. A follow-up from us on Prader-Willi too, just circling back on what is good data. It seems like there's a few elements to the data we'll be looking at BMI decreases, reductions in hunger as well as the consistency across the patient population.
David, could you give us some sense as to how you -- what you want to see to move forward? What would be good data in terms of weight loss effects on hunger and consistency?
Yes. Thanks. Sorry, I didn't mention that or answer that earlier. So I think the primary endpoint here, aside from safety and tolerability is weight. As we all know, [ Slano's ] drug was approved on a hyperphagia endpoint, and that was a huge breakthrough for the community because it was the first drug approved, and it did, in a sense, define a pathway for hyperphagia as an endpoint to be approved.
But -- and we know our drug, by definition, the way the biology works is we provide a satiety signal. So we decrease the hyperphagia and we increase the energy expenditure. So if we get weight loss, BMI decrease almost by definition, we should have an improvement in hyperphagia. The magnitude we're looking for here is different than in our other MC4 pathway diseases, and that's, I think, because of the overlay of all the other challenges this disease, but nothing gives you weight loss in this disease.
So anything 5% or greater is approval based on FDA guidelines for obesity drugs. So that would be our target, and that's at a year. So our goal would be to have confidence that we were seeing a change in BMI that either was at or moving consistently and steadily toward at minimum a 5% decrease in BMI.
The one caveat on the hyperphagia data, we're collecting all of that data. We also use an HQCT, which was an endpoint that [ Slano ] got approved on. It's an uncontrolled study. And so those kind of patient-reported outcomes are a little more challenging to interpret perhaps in that setting, but we will have that data as well.
Great. And one quick housekeeping question for Hunter, if I might. In terms of OpEx, your guidance for the non-GAAP operating expenses is very clear. But in terms of stock comp, there's $15.9 million in Q2. I think you had like $30 million in stock comp all of 2024. So how should we think about stock comp going forward in the second half of 2025?
I think it's a fair question, Phil. Obviously, we've seen a significant increase in stock comp for the -- due to the change in the price of the equity of Rhythm. And so I don't think we're in a position to give full year guidance, but obviously, an increase of essentially $3 million quarter-over-quarter is significant and beyond our direct control because it's just driven by the stock price.
Got it. So this is a good baseline to use as we think.
It's a fair baseline as we move forward, yes.
And our next question will come from David Archila of Wells Fargo.
Just had one question for David here and then one for Hunter. So David, just will you be providing updated estimates for HO prevalence during the Commercial Day of September? And I guess what gets you confident that they're at the higher end of the range, as you said in the prepared remarks? And then just a quick one for Hunter. Just in terms of the growth that you've been reporting ex U.S. for the past 2 quarters, how should we be thinking about that moving forward?
So Derek, I'm going to plead needing a little more time. We haven't defined the exact agenda. Our goal is to give you as best sense we can about our current understanding of HO. Obviously, a lot of work is being done. Jennifer's team is doing a lot of work now in the field.
I think on the epi side of it, as we've said, we've moved from sort of our initial estimates of 5,000 to 10,000 to "being more confident that we're at the higher end of that 5,000 to 10,000. And it's comprised of a number of things. I mean you start out as you do with rare diseases, you've got whatever is out there in the literature. We've done claims data work now in the U.S. and Germany more specifically, but Japan. I mean so we have more than one country that's informing that.
And then a big part, and this was a big part of our BBS revised estimate when we did it was teams being out in the field and validating some of those numbers, and it's not so much that you validate it on a number-by-number standpoint, but there's a gal that this feels about right. And so I'm not sure -- it's a long way of saying, I'm not sure we're going to update our assessment at that point. We'll give you -- we can reconfirm where we are. But we are learning a lot, and we'll try to give you a sense at that day where we are in terms of what the field teams are learning. Probably that's the biggest piece, which will be new.
And Derek, with respect to revenue growth, I think we did highlight the currency effect during the quarter, which was responsible for about 36% of the growth, so $1.2 million of 3.2. So that's obviously something that we can't predict, and I certainly wouldn't model -- and then -- but separate from that, I would say we have had a strong run in the past 2 quarters in international.
Q3 in general, can be a little quieter in terms of new patient starts in Europe, just the vacation effect that people have, and that has an effect on growth. And named patient sales are also less predictable. Some countries take a shipment for a few months at a clip, and there was certainly some effect of that in Q2. So it's not as clear when those types of countries come back in for another set of shipments. But overall, we're pleased with the growth in international, and we expect it to continue.
[Operator Instructions] Our next question will be coming from Corinne Johnson of Goldman Sachs.
Maybe on the other clinical update expected later this year, you now have the first patient enrolled in Part C. Could you provide any clarity on the nature of the data you could possibly share later this year, recognizing that enrollment is going to continue into next year? And then on the HO use, I think you said that there is meaningful ex U.S. utilization. But do you have any visibility on whether there are HO patients getting IMCIVREE off label here in the U.S.?
Yes. So on the Part C piece of this, what we've said and we've moved our -- my goal originally, as you know or many of you know, was to say something about 718 by the end of the year. It's taken us longer to get up and running, and we are up and running now, but that's delayed us a bit. So we moved the -- completing enrollment to "first quarter. So that means that it's extremely unlikely that we'll have anything to say about -- it is an open-label study, but that we will say anything about 718 by the end of the year. It's more likely that will be into 2026.
And regarding the HO off-label usage in the U.S., I would say that right now, we do have a couple. It's like a handful, very minimal just in terms of what we have received from an Rx perspective to date in that indication.
It's fair to say in rare diseases in the U.S., off-label use is people -- the good news is they're very allegiant payers, very allegiant to the label. But on the flip side, there isn't the kind of off-label use you might see in some other diseases.
And our next question will be coming from Paul Matteis of Stifel.
Just one question on 718. You guys did a good job with the milligram study on preparing us for the caveats to comparison and some of the demographic differences between trials that will sort of inform how you can set up these drugs. For the 718 study, I know you're getting started with the HO portion now, but what are you expecting for the patient mix? And what are some of the things we should keep in mind as we sort of gauge whether or not this is matching the efficacy of your other drugs?
Yes, it's a good question, Paul. I mean it's similar. I think, again, it's a 12 and older trial. So you can expect us to present the data in a very similar way. You've already got now the reference points because we've done that work. and are hopeful that we'll be in range, again, recognizing very small numbers of patients, relatively short duration, so you can have noise around it. But we're looking for 718 to be in a similar range.
And I'll just remind people, again, the biggest question about 718 is not -- is it a good MC4 agonist. I mean we know that. And the question is, do we have the right dose because, again, we're moving into a weekly pharmacokinetic profile here. And so that's different. And I think that's the part that hopefully, this t will sort out and give us a good feeling for.
Do you think you've maxed out the efficacy of this mechanism at this point? Or could greater exposure actually drive more benefit?
I do think we've maxed it out. I mean we've now -- we've done enough. We've treated enough different populations. I just -- I'm not convinced there's occasional patients who may need a higher dose, we don't dose based on weight. And obviously, there's a very big difference from a 50-kilogram pediatric patient and a 200-kilogram adult patient. And so those are the kind of differences where dose may on the margin make an issue. But I think your basic question is, have we maxed out? Yes, I think we've likely maxed out. And so this is.
And our next question will be coming from Seamus Fernandez of Guggenheim.
Thanks for the question. So David, I think in the past, we've talked about the opportunity for Rhythm to become quite a bit more important in the overall scheme of the sort of specialty market. Can you just help us understand a little bit better the opportunity that you see? You've talked about BBS as a 15-year opportunity for growth.
AHO in the mix, how do you think about the opportunity there? You're talking about 10,000 patients, but it seems like over time, as you expand the market opportunity, we could see numbers north of that over time. And obviously, the company potentially becoming more important from a strategic perspective. So just wanted to get a better sense of how you're thinking about the overall launch in AHO and the markets that you're going to most urgently reach into, but the opportunities that you see beyond just the sort of standard Japan, Europe and U.S. opportunity?
Yes. Thanks, Seamus. That is a bit of theme of today's call in the sense of how does Rhythm grow. So you started where I would start is on BBS. And we have, by now, a lot of confidence in the BBS numbers. It will grow over time. And I think the biggest variable for me is not so much will we get to some projected peak kind of revenue and maybe these kind of rare disease opportunities often don't peak, but they just tend to grow, which is why I picked 15 years out of the air, of course.
I don't have any insight that's going to be 15. But what I do know about rare diseases and this is from my past history is they do go for decades, and they do tend to continue to grow for decades. And they grow both inside the markets where you started, but then you also continue to add markets. And we've been very focused from the beginning of being global. And we realized that it was going to be hard and you start slow.
And Yann highlighted this morning, we have a new patient or patients. There are a handful of patients in the Czech Republic and Poland. That's how it works. And you get -- you start with 1 or 2. And those first patients are incredibly important because they signal a willingness of the system to start paying and to work with you and the like. And so, and it just builds over time. So that's BBS. Acquired HO, bigger epidemiology. I mean we've had questions this morning, and we'll get -- continue to get a lot of questions about how big could this be. I think where we are now, a lot of confidence in our current projections. Could it be bigger? Absolutely.
Will it have some of the same dynamics as these kind of ultra-rare diseases? And AHO sits a little bit in the middle. It's absolutely a rare disease, quite rare, 5,000 to 10,000 put it in the very rare category, but it's very specialty like given the concentration, more patients diagnosed, an attentive specialty by definition. So AHO may have a slightly different ramp, if you will, steeper than BBS because of those factors. But the other aspects of AHO are going to be very similar, which is think about steady growth over time.
Don't think about inflecting this is something and explode out of the gates and way some of these "specialty opportunities do." That's going to be more rare like, but it will be steeper and it will grow for a very long time. And we may be wrong in the epidemiology, meaning that it could be larger and given enough time, I think that's likely.
And then finally, back to HO, again, opening up new countries. I mean we're in Japan, but we're still early in terms of assessing Asia and other markets like that. And so we will get there, but that's how you grow an opportunity like this.
And one moment for our next question, which will be coming from Dennis Ding of Jefferies.
I had one on Prader-Willi. So just given the availability of [ VCA ] and the fact that your Phase II is being done at a single center, what sort of guidance are you giving Dr. Miller in terms of who to enroll in the study versus maybe who she uses VCA? Specifically, like what types of patients would go on to the study? And do you think that would make it more difficult potentially for setmelanotide to show an efficacy signal there?
Yes. Dennis, it's a really good question. So the guidance is just the inclusion criteria. And the inclusion criteria is it's Prader-Willi patients 6 and above. There's no exclusion for the use of Vyvgart. So if patients are stable on that drug, they're allowed in that trial, and we will have some of those patients.
One is we were interested in what that combination would look like. And two, it's standard of care now, and that's the world we'd be moving into to develop this drug. So that's not uninteresting. I think -- so that's the guidance. I think who she's enrolling there's a group of patients who -- so diabetics, for example, it's more challenging to use Vyvgart in that population.
I mean it inhibits insulin release and it can make your diabetes worse. And so we -- I already know we have some patients with diabetes in this open-label study. And that's -- yes, your point is could those be more challenging patients? And we know, by definition, yes, diabetics can be more challenging, particularly in a weight loss study, and they have other stuff going on, which makes them difficult to manage. So yes, that's it. It's going to be much more of a mix, and we'll have to analyze it with that context.
Our next question will be coming from Raghuram Selvaraju of H.C. Wainwright & Company.
This pertains to CMC. I was just wondering if you could comment on the status of the development of the smaller pill for bivamelagon and also the key objectives in your auto-injector development work for RM-718, including, but not limited to, the possibility of developing a formulation that might be dosable less frequently than once weekly.
Yes. So in terms of the smaller pill, I mean, that's not a big challenge right now in the sense that the bigger challenge, which the CMC group has, I think, surmounted was getting the formulation change. So our current 200-milligram pill, we can now get 600 milligrams in a single pill. So basically a 90% drug load in that single pill.
Going down to 400 and 200-milligram pills with 90% drug load just means you're going to have a smaller pill, and that technically in a sense, that's done. The auto-injector goal -- it's for a weekly formulation. We do not have any plans at this point. Everything is possible, and that's a natural path to continue to try to extend your frequency of injection. But for the moment, this is all completely aimed at our weekly program.
And our next question will be coming from Faisal Khurshid of Leerink Partners.
This is [ Heidi Jacobson ] on for Faisal Khurshid. Can you share any updated thoughts on the Phase III study design for bivamelagon in acquired HO, including dose, study size and what is left to get done before that study can get rolling?
Yes. So what's left to get done is we need to submit or submit a meeting request to the FDA and the EMEA, and then we submit a briefing package with a synopsis or proposed trial design that they react to.
We may or may not get a meeting or a call. We'll see what happens with that. But that's step one in terms of the regulatory process. I think in terms of design, we've learned a lot about studying HO, so we'll draft off that. You can think about a design that's highly similar. We've talked about my wish list in the past, which is I would like to see if we don't have to do a double-blinded study. I mean we have a historical control group now from our current Phase III study, which we'll propose as a potential comparator.
We'll see whether the FDA accepts that or not. Lots of advantages to that. We may also go back in asking for a readout at an earlier time point. You will definitely need to provide data on patients treated for a year, but we'll propose an earlier readout. So those are the kind of things. I think that's clearly a wish list.
I mean, the FDA has been pretty standard in terms of their responses to this kind of thing. So we may well end up with a study that looks more like our current HO trial. But those are the things we're thinking about.
And I would now like to turn the conference back to David Meeker for closing remarks.
Okay. Well, thanks, everyone, again, for tuning in. We're really pleased where we are. We're making good progress. had a lot to do. So we look forward to our next update. Thank you.
And this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Rhythm Pharmaceuticals topline results from Phase II trial evaluating Bivamelagon and Acquired Hypothalamic Obesity conference call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, David Connolly, Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Shannon. Good morning, everyone, and welcome. Today, we issued a press release with the highlights from the positive Phase II topline results for Bivamelagon in hypothalamic obesity. You can access the press release as well as the slides that we will be reviewing today by going to the Investors section of our website. David Meeker, Chair, President and Chief Executive Officer of Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, will present these data this morning; and Hunter Smith, our CFO and Al Garfield, our Chief Scientific Officer, are available to answer questions on this call as well.
Before we get started, I'd like to remind everyone that the statements we make on this conference call will include forward-looking statements. Actual events or results could differ materially from those expressed or implied by any forward-looking statements as a result of various risks, uncertainties and other factors including those set forth in the Risk Factors section of our SEC filings. In addition, any forward-looking statements made on this call represents our views only as of today and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent dates. Except as required by law, we specifically disclaim any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements.
With that, I'll turn the call over to David.
Thank you, Dave, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining. So we're excited to announce positive results from our Phase II Bivamelagon trial in Hypothalamic Obesity. As we entered 2025, Rhythm had 2 major outstanding questions. One, would Setmelanotide readout positively in the Phase III HO trial and maybe more specifically, how positively. And two, would one of the two next-generation products achieve proof of concept in hypothalamic obesity. We now have a strong yes for both of those. Today, I'll walk you through the topline results with the goal of providing as much color as possible to help interpret a relatively small data set and second, to show as accurately as we can, the apples-to-apples comparison with prior Setmelanotide data in HO.
On Slide 3, I list the headline takeaways. Bivamelagon achieved BMI reductions comparable to the 12- and 16-week reduction seen in the similar 12 and older patient population in our Phase II and Phase III studies of Setmelanotide, safety and tolerability were consistent with what we see with MC4R agonism generally. And importantly, we had minimal reports of hyperpigmentation, which I will describe in detail, 27 patients completed the 14-week double-blind portion and 26 of 28 patients entered the open-label extension portion. Based on these results, we will request the end of Phase II meeting with the FDA and initiate planning for Phase III studies.
Moving on to Slide 4. I don't think we can have an analyst call without again showing us cartoon as the biology. It's great when something works, but ultimate success is when something works for clear, understandable reasons. The melanocortin biology has been extensively researched preclinically and now with the advent of specific MC4R agonist we are validating those findings clinically. Replacement of alpha MSH in deficiency states, with functional analogs such as Setmelanotide and Bivamelagon provide a satiety signal with a reduction in hyperphagia and an increase in resting energy expenditure. While the ladder is harder to measure clinically, the preclinical data on this mechanism is overwhelming and the net effect of a satiety signal and an increase in resting energy expenditure results in weight loss or BMI decrease.
It's also increasingly clear as listed on Slide 5, the [indiscernible] to impaired signaling is not so important as we see patients with genetically impaired signaling or injury 2 the hypothalamus from a variety of insults all resulting in decreased alpha MSH and the potential to respond to an MC4R agonist. As we have noted many times, the simplest analogy here is this is hormonal replacement therapy with a functional analog of the hormone.
On Slide 6, we remind you that these multiple routes to the impaired signaling translate into significant market opportunities globally with acquired HO being the most immediate and significant of these. Our estimated prevalence for BBS in the U.S. is upwards of 5,000 with similar numbers in Europe. For HO, we estimate upto 10,000 patients in the U.S., similar numbers in Europe and 5,000 to 8,000 patients in Japan. We don't speak as much about the M&A trial, which is running with readouts in the first half of 2026 targeting meaningful populations as well. Very importantly, as we have highlighted, our Setmelanotide composition of matter patents extend to 2032, but the formulation patents, which we believe are quite important, extend protection to 2034. Now with positive biva data and our first of 2 next-generation programs, we can expect patent protection to beyond 2040.
Now the trial results. Slide 7 shows the trial design, which was a double-blind randomized controlled trial with 4 cohorts, placebo and the 3 doses, 200, 400 and 600 milligrams. Patients were treated for 14 weeks at which point they could roll into an open-label extension. The trial remains blinded at that point. So all patients needed to reiterate and if they were in the 400 to 600-milligram cohorts, they needed to drop back to the 200-milligram increasing weekly thereafter. All patients in the open-label extension are being dose escalated to 600 milligrams as tolerated. And I'll remind you, the trial enrolled patients 12 years of age and older.
Slide 8 and 9 show the patient demographics. Patients suffered with significant obesity with a mean BMI of almost 39. About half the patients were female, 80% of the patients had craniopharyngioma, as a cause of their HO. The mean age was 25 and patients on average were 7 years out from their insult.
Slide 9 shows more detailed demographics. The majority of the patients were white, but there were 3 patients who were black or African American and 3 patients with Asian descent, and 4 patients of Latino descent. Historically, there has been interest as to the extent of damage to the hypothalamus. As with our other trials, we had patients with both unilateral, arguably less damage and bilateral involvement in the hypothalamus as per imaging.
On Slide 10, as noted, 28 patients enrolled 27 completed and 1 patient in the 400-milligram cohort only took medication at the 200-milligram dose as they were dose escalating, for 4 days before discontinuing due to an SAE serious adverse event of lower intestinal bleeding. No specific source was identified. This was judged as possibly related given the absence of the ability to identify a cause. One patient finished the trial but elected not to enter the open-label extension because of ongoing nausea and vomiting related to an episode of adrenal insufficiency that was happening concurrently. They were not taking their steroid dose as prescribed. So at present, 26 patients remain in the open-label extension.
Slide 11 shows the mean values for each cohort for all 28 patients, including the patient in the 400-milligram cohort who only took 4 doses of drug. Of note, number one, the placebo group gained weight. There was no placebo effect. Two, there is clear dose-dependent difference, which is what we want to see in clinical development, indicating we are in the right therapeutic dose range, which is critical as we look forward to designing our Phase III; and three, the 400 and 600-milligram groups did quite well with slightly better outcome for the 600-milligram cohort with a 9.3% reduction in the 600-milligram arm as compared to 7.7% in the 400-milligram arm.
On Slide 12 is the waterfall plot analogous to what we presented for the Phase II data of Setmelanotide. First, you can see the placebo patients pretty uniformly gained wait. There was a clear signal in the 200-milligram cohort with 1 patient decreasing their BMI by 8%. Now if we concentrate on the 400 and 600-milligram cohorts, I'll provide a little more color. In the 400-milligram cohort moving right to the left, the patient who lost 1.4% is the patient who only took 4 doses at the 200-milligram dose level before discontinuing due to the SAE of rectal bleeding. That patient has been removed from 1 of the next analyses I will show you.
The patient who lost 4.2% is a 12-year old female who had ongoing nausea and more specifically, challenges swallowing the pills, which led to her gaging and I'll talk a little bit about this challenge with pills later in this presentation. Her spot trough PK values dropped meaningfully from week 6 to the week 14 spot check. We are checking them at their 2-week visit, their 6-week visit and their 14 weeks. So her 14-week spot had dropped significantly. Her maximal BMI change was minus 7.3% at week 10, and she started to regain since that point. The patient's mother works and is not able to regularly monitor the pill intake. So although we lack firm confirmation, we do believe compliance is an issue here.
Moving to the 600-milligram cohort and again, moving right to the left, the patient who gained 0.4% is a 14-year-old male who had some nausea and vomiting and diarrhea, which result. This patient increased BMI initially from week 0 to week 2 and then began to lose to a nadir at week 6. This corresponded with their peak spot PK trough level at week 6.
Unfortunately, we do not have a PK trough measurement value at week 14. This patient reported no change in their hunger scores over the course of the trial. The family has been consulted and have confirmed that the patient has been taking the medication. We remain uncertain as to the true level of compliance here, but they were compliant, then this patient might represent a 2 nonresponders. The next patient who lost 3.5% had 3 episodes of diarrhea. In 2 of the cases, the drug was temporarily discontinued. The PK trough values at week 2 and 6 were in range and in range, meaning 500 to 900 nanograms per mL, which is similar to other -- the values and other patients who had good responses. But the value at week 14 was 13-nanogram per mL near the limit of detection and the patient acknowledged being off treatment for a period of days multiple times during the trial.
Of note, the patient did have a striking 4-point reduction in hunger scores and on DEXA scan at the end of the trial, and the DEXA data has not been clean and fully analyzed. We don't have that for you today. But in this patient, their fat mass showed a 10% decrease with only a 1.4% decrease in lean mass, suggesting although the patient was not fully compliant, they were having a clear response to the drug. Importantly, the response in the remaining patients was strong, ranging from minus 7.8% to minus 16.4%.
The Slide 13 shows you that 70% to 75% of patients cleared 5% in BMI and 14% to 37% of patients reduced by 10% or more in the 400 and 600-milligram groups, respectively. Slide 14 shows the comparative data that is a central focus coming into this data release, and this is our best attempt at an apples-to-apples comparison with the earlier Setmelanotide data sets. For both the Phase II and Phase III studies, we took the patient population 12 years and above and show you the 12-week and 16-week values. We did not have a 14-week data point in these studies. No patients were on GLP-1s in the biva study, so we removed the patients who are on concurrent GLP-1s in the Phase III trial.
Beginning left to right, you can see the Phase II results with a mean 10.7% and 11.2% decrease in BMI at 12- and 16-week time points. Similarly, the Phase III cohort showed a 9.5% and 10.2% decrease in BMI at the 12- and 16-week time point. Of note, placebo group in the Phase III had increased their BMI by 0.6% and 1.5%. Combining the Phase II and Phase III patients yielded a mean decrease in BMI of 9.7% and 10.5% at the 12 and 16 weeks.
On Slide 15, the first analysis of the Bivamelagon patients on the left shows the mean for all patients in the 400 and 600-milligram cohort at 14 weeks with a decrease of 7.7% in the 400-milligram cohort and 9.3% in the 600-milligram cohort. The placebo group increased their BMI by 2.2%. The last 2 bars direct for the 2 patients for whom we have documented evidence they failed to take the drug as prescribed. The first bar shows the 400-milligram mean values removing the 1 patient who only took 4 doses of the drug, and that now yields a value of minus 8.8% for the remaining 6 patients. The last bar shows the mean value for the 600-milligram cohort removing the 1 patient who lost 3.5% at week 14, but had documented in complete compliance with a PK trough level at week 14, which was near the limit of detection, as I said. The mean value for the remaining 7 patients in the 600-milligram cohort with the 1 patient removed is 10.1%.
Slide 16 shows the Setmelanotide and Bivamelagon side-by-side with both the all-patient mean analysis and then the final analysis removing 1 patient each from the 400 and 600-milligram cohorts. Each of these comparisons support the conclusion we have highly similar results at the 14-week time point for both 400 and 600-milligram cohorts as compared to a similar group of Setmelanotide patients.
Slide 17 shows the statistically significant and meaningful reduction in daily worst hunger scores at 14 weeks. Again, the 2- to 3-point reduction on 11-point scale is very similar to what has been observed in Setmelanotide studies. These patients had baseline values of around 7, which is also highly similar to what we saw in other patients with Hypothalamic Obesity.
Slide 18 shows the safety profile of the drug. We had the one serious adverse event of rectal bleeding, which as I indicated, was just possibly related as we were unable to identify a cause. Overall, the safety profile was consistent with what we see with Setmelanotide with regard to the nausea and vomiting. Diarrhea, which has been seen at low frequencies with Setmelanotide was observed at a slightly higher frequency in this trial than was seen in the Setmelanotide Phase III HO trial were an approximate 20% incident was seen in both placebo and treated groups.
Although there are MC4 receptors in the gut, mechanistically, it is not clear why that should cause diarrhea. The pill has a high concentration of lactose as an excipient, which will not be present in the next-generation pill, but to the extent to which that contributes also unclear at this point. However, what we do know is all cases were mild, except one case, judged is moderate. No patient discontinued because of the diarrhea. The episodes were self-limited with only 5 patients having more than 2 reported events, which included one of the placebo patients. Only 3 patients required a temporary hold on their medication during the trial. And of note, 3 patients who did have events during the trial had entered with a history of chronic diarrhea.
Importantly, we saw no increase in liver function tests in the trial. And then moving to the high interest, the question of hyperpigmentation, 4 patients noted increase in pigmentation, which in all cases was localized and not the uniform darkening we see with Setmelanotide. Specifically, the reported events, including -- included darkening of pre-existing nevi, darkening of the back of the hands and necks on exposed area, darkening of post-inflammatory skin changes and in one patient focal darkening of non sun-exposed areas, and that patient included the size of the tongue, the right plague are reasons that aren't totally clear. These were reported in 1 patient at the 200-milligram dose, 2 patients at the 400-milligram dose, 1 placebo patient and there were no reports in the 600-milligram cohort.
Moving on to Slide 19. You see a picture of the pill, which is the size of a large multivitamin with somewhat sharp edges. Each patient in this blinded trial needed to take 3 pills, 200 milligrams or the active ingredient per pill. As you can see, our manufacturing team has done a lot of work where we now have 600 milligrams in 1 pill, so 90% full drug load as compared to the 26% of the -- what's currently being used in the trial. Without the same excipients and a slightly smaller rounded pill, the 400 and 200-milligram future pills will be proportionally smaller. We are also well advanced in developing a chewable tablet and a liquid formulation to allow us to treat the younger patients when we expect will be part of our Phase III effort.
So in summary, what we can conclude at this point, we got a good drug. We appear to be in the appropriate therapeutic range with clear evidence of a dose response and similar efficacy to Setmelanotide at comparable time points. The safety profile is consistent with what is seen with MC4R agonism with the slightly higher rates of diarrhea, perhaps a reflection of the oral route of administration, the contribution of excipients lactose in this case is unknown at this time. Minimal evidence of hyperpigmentation was observed, supporting the fact that the drug should represent a significant improvement over Setmelanotide in this regard for those patients where this is a concern. We are still relatively early in drug development and learning how we can improve the tolerability of the drug.
First, the pills are large and the teenage patients clearly had more difficulty swallowing the large pills, which undoubtedly contributed to some of the compliance challenges. Second, a simple adjustment of having patients take their pills with food, they were instructed not to as a prior food study using a high-fat meal showed a modest decrease in bioavailability. However, for the few patients who started taking their pills with a small amount of nonfat food, tolerability significantly improved and the open-label extension, we are working to make these adjustments.
Finally, arguably, patients treated with Setmelanotide on the days they choose to take their medicine will get the full dose. Whereas in this trial, any patient who is struggling with pill tolerability might not take all 3 pills as prescribed, which is harder for us as the trial sponsor to measure. In short, we are optimistic that results will only further improve with some of these modifications.
Next steps are outlined on Slide 20. We will present the 14-week double-blind data you have just seen at ENDO next week, and we'll be providing an update on the open-label extension later in the year. We will align with regulatory agencies through an end-of-phase Phase II meeting with the FDA and request for scientific advice from the CHMP of the EMA with a goal of initiating the Phase III study in HO in the first half of 2026. At this point, I know what we might hope for in terms of the size and design of a Phase III study, but it is extremely difficult to predict what the agencies will require.
Finally, as a reminder, we have a lot going on, initiation of our sub study in congenital HO, the Phase II study of the weekly injectable 718 NHO, the open-label Prader-Willi study, completion of the Japanese cohort in the Phase III HO study to prepare for filing in Japan and the FDA and EMEA filings for Setmelanotide and HO, which all remain on track, and we remain well financed with cash into 2027.
With that, we'll now open the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Derek Archila with Wells Fargo.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the data. So just 2 questions from us. Can you maybe first just give us a sense of the overall patient drug levels in the trial and whether you think maybe Bivamelagon was leaving some efficacy on the table given the pill burden and maybe some of the noncompliance and then just second question, in terms of what you're going to present at ENDO, I guess is there going to be anything incremental from what we saw today that you'll present new at the meeting?
Yes. So I'll take the poster first. So no, on the poster, I mean, we basically are presenting on what you'll see there. So we took some of the surprise out of that. With regard to drug levels, I think -- so there's a fair ranges on PK levels and the trough levels I was describing. These are done when patients come in for their visit, they're instructed not to have taken their medication before the level is drawn. They're imperfect for all the reasons you might imagine, but they give you a pretty good sense of our patients taking the drug or not and what might be arranged. So what we saw was that between the 400 and 600-milligram dosing cohorts, there was a moderate amount of overlap in terms of their PK values. And I think that's reflected in the -- some overlap in the level of amount of efficacy that we're seeing between the 2 cohorts.
You had a 2-part question there. Are we leaving efficacy on the table? I don't think we're leaving efficacy on the table in those patients, certainly at the 600, maybe at some of the 400 patients who are taking the drug as prescribed. Are we leaving efficacy on the table because patients were not as compliant as I think they will be in the future, and that's what I was trying to highlight at the end. I think there's very specific things we can do.
And I'll remind you, when we did the Setmelanotide trial in HO, we were 6 years into development, and we had worked out all of -- many of the kinks. We learned how to use it. I remember, we started dosing very low. And then the BBS trial, we actually started dosing at a more mid-range and force escalated and that tolerability wasn't so great. So we adjusted. So by the time we got to the Setmelanotide HO trial, we had really worked out a lot of the issues with tolerability around this drug. There's still the MC4 agonism side effects, but we are much better there. So given where we are in development, first trial ever in patients and the feedback we're getting and the adjustments that are already being made, I mean I'm very optimistic to the latter half of your question that, yes, we left efficacy on the table here is a function of tolerability, but all of that is addressable or much of it may be addressable.
Very helpful. And maybe one follow-up. Just in the trial, can you just discuss maybe some of the different HO etiologies that may have been in the trial? And was the efficacy across maybe those etiologies more or less consistent with Bivamelagon?
Yes, I mean with the caveat, so there are 80% of these were craniopharyngiomas, which -- across all of the experience so far, it's been disproportionately, as you know, craniopharyngiomas and then 28-patient trial, I couldn't tell you that the others. But there was a difference in response. But there's no evidence. If you put all the data for MC4 agonism together, it doesn't matter what the cause is. It's just do you have impaired signaling. And if you do, you'll respond or you should respond.
Our next question comes from the line of Whitney Ijem with Canaccord Genuity.
Congrats on the data. Just wanted to, I guess, follow up on the line of discussions from the last question, particularly around the titration timing, and apologies if I missed it in some of the intro comments, but was the titration up the target dose in each cohort fixed? Or as we think about kind of time in range were there -- was there variability around that across cohorts based on that titration? And might that be relevant or not?
Yes. It's definitely relevant. It's a good question. I don't have the specific details to speak to exactly how much time patients spent on -- at each dose level, we have that -- or we'll have it. I don't have it here. But they were not force titrated. The recommendation is patients increased weekly 200, 400, 600 as tolerated. And there were at least 3 patients who required a decrease in their dose before increasing again. So we adopted a very similar strategy to what we did with Setmelanotide, which is to allow people to dose escalate as tolerated. But again, remembering this is a 16-week relatively short study, of which at least 3 weeks are spent trying to get to your therapeutic dose if you're at the 600 and not unlikely that you may have spent longer getting to 600.
Got it. That's very helpful. Okay. And then in terms of next steps and understanding your commentary that you have to see what the regulators say first. Can you -- what -- how are you thinking about, I guess, the size of the study in particular? And can you remind us some of the pushes and pulls on the size of the Setmelanotide Phase III study. As I recall, there was a safety database question that kind of made that patient number higher. So I guess do you expect that same dynamic to play out here? Or how are you thinking about that?
Yes. I think you answered the question. So yes, we went in Setmelanotide asking for a smaller study given the efficacy that we had seen. And if you remember, we were like 99% powered based on what we finally agreed to which was driven by the safety needs. So I hope springs eternal, we'll go in and propose a smaller shorter double-blind period. The double blind period is really tough, particularly when you have a mechanism you know works, and it's a bad problem.
So I hope that now they have -- the regulators have high confidence in understanding in the efficacy of this mechanism that putting patients through a long double blind is maybe not optimal. So what am I hoping for? I'm hoping for a 6-month double-blind period, I don't think we'll get away from my full 1 year of follow-up, certainly from a safety standpoint, not ironically, but understandably. Part of the reason, you need a control group, placebo group often to determine or evaluate efficacy, but you also needed to evaluate safety. And with this drug, which is a new chemical entity and relatively small numbers of patients treated to date, I think we'll be forced probably to a similar sized trial. So my hope is less. My expectation is it will be similar.
Our next question comes from the line of Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
Can you just give us a little bit more color on the localized hyperpigmentation? Do you have a sense of why that's occurring? And does the type of hyperpigmentation differ from the types that you're seeing from Setmelanotide in terms of the darkness itself and how long it takes to resolve, let's say, after a patient might discontinue. And then can you just talk about the doses that you plan on taking forward for Phase III? Do you plan on including the 200 mg. There was clearly a dose response, but how do you offset thinking about needing to titrate to deal with the nausea issue versus needing to map out efficacy.
All right, Tazeen. Let see if I get all those. So skin hyperpigmentation, more detail -- so this is very -- so, hey, I haven't seen any pictures. I mean we didn't collect pictures during the trial. So I'm speaking based on reported AEs, which is difficult and some color talkings directly to investigators who have looked at the lesions. So the most consistent among the small number of reports is the darkening of preexisting melanocytic nevi. So why might that be higher concentration of melanocytes at this site, if you were likely to see some effect of or be able to pick up some effective MC1R agonism, you might see it in a place of an increased concentration of melanocytes.
Sun exposed areas MC1R agonism, melanocyte releasing melanin as part of our protection when we are exposed to the sun. And so chronic exposure there, higher concentrations of melanocytes in those areas, that might link the 2. The reports in this one patient who had a couple of areas that were not in sun exposed, no explanation for that. And then one post inflammatory changes in the skin. I mean that -- when we injure ourselves, you get scarring, that area, the skin can often be darker than the adjacent areas of the skin and so why is that maybe more melanocytes. So again, maybe there's a unifying theme here that says we do have a low level of MCR agonism, and that's where it's manifesting.
But as I said, the other -- I can't explain so well. And of the 4 patients, 1 was a placebo patient. So we are also in a trial where all of the investigators and patients were on notice that they should be looking for this. And the patient with the back of the neck that was picked up by their hairdresser, who cuts their hair. And felt that they looked a little bit different. So I don't know if there's a little reserver bias on top of this. But what we are confident in based on this is it's radically different, I guess the other part of your question from what we saw in Setmelanotide.
With Setmelanotide, you see uniform darkening of the skin. It happens over a period of 2 to 3 months. By the time you get out 3 months, it plateaus. And then if you go off Setmelanotide, it resolves just as the way darkening when we're out in the sun and then we don't have sun exposure over a period of a few weeks, that tends to go away. So I don't have any data for that in this trial because we don't have patients who come off and we're following 1 of these groups to monitor 1 of those lesions specifically. But I would expect it would be a similar effect.
Did I get all the questions? Oh nausea and dosing, sorry. On your dosing question, so we will -- I expect -- so with this trial -- I mean, we're thrilled for -- one is -- I mean it clearly demonstrates the drug works, and we're getting the simple efficacy. But most equally importantly, I think it's told us that we're in range. And so the dosing paradigm that I would expect us to use for the Phase III trial is we'll start at 200 and we'll dose escalate to 600 million and we'll do it exactly the way we guided patients starting at 1 milligram and dose escalate 3 milligrams with Setmelanotide as tolerated with the ability to down titrate and then increase again as tolerated.
Some patients may end up at a lower level, a, because they're getting the response that they desire or b, they just cannot tolerate for whatever reason, the higher dose. And I remind everybody it's always -- many things that amazed me about this clinical development program is just how incredibly complex, and in many cases, sick these patients are. So the fact that, a, they're highly motivated to take this drug does it makes such a difference or this mechanism of action, certainly, take the drug is instructive. And the fact that we get such uniform results given the complexity of their medical problems. There's highly -- high heterogeneity patient to patient in terms of other stuff that's going on.
Okay. And maybe just a follow-up, David, on the hyperpigmentation. So the level of sun exposure has a factor here. I don't know if these patients might have been on trial during the summer season and that kind of affected any of them?
No, I don't think so. And again, I'll just go back. It's -- it's not every sun exposed area. I mean these -- what's being described is incredibly focal. The thing I'm really hanging on, which makes me feel this is real is the consistent, meaning of the 4 patients, remember, 1 of them was placebo, but certainly the 3 -- the darkening of the nevi. So I think that, that as a readout that you are getting some MCR agonism is there. I don't know what to do with it, to be honest with you either the back of the neck and the hair dressers part of the story. I mean I'm giving you a hypothesis. I think that's reasonable and that, that may, in fact, be true. But I have no more color beyond what I've told you.
Our next question comes from the line of Phil Nadeau with TD Cowen.
Congratulations on the data. A couple of questions around the side effects for -- from us. On the nausea, can you talk a little bit more about the quality and duration of the nausea. How long lasting was it? And is there any difference between the nausea experienced here and either the severity or duration compared to what's experience with Setmelanotide. And then on the diarrhea, I think you mentioned that there were 4 drug patients who had more than a few episodes, was the likelihood of having longer duration of diarrhea also correlated with dose -- or was it correlated with dose? Then last question, in terms of the placebo, I think you've called out lactose as perhaps adding to some of the AE tolerability issues. Did the placebo pillar also have a similar amount of lactose in it?
Yes, thanks. I'll take the last one first. Yes, the placebo pill had the same amount of lactose in it. So the fact that we saw diarrhea in a placebo patient, certainly that could be a factor. So 4 episodes of diarrhea, sorry, I lost the first part of your question there.
So I guess, first one was on nausea, any difference in the severity or duration compared to what you've seen with Setmelanotide?
Yes. No, sorry about that. So no, I would say the nausea with 1 caveat, which I'll tell you in a minute. The nausea is highly similar to what we see with Setmelanotide, and that's where I think very consistent with this MC4 agonism on target mechanism, if you will, occurred early pretty variable, meaning some patients tolerated it much better than others, but everybody as a rule tolerated over time.
Now the caveat and time meaning a matter, and this is only a 16-week trial, but over the period of 4 plus or minus weeks kind of thing. The caveat being that the size of these pills and the patients who had the most trouble in this trial tolerating the medicine or the teenagers. And they -- specifically, the teenagers, we had like 4 patients between sort of 12 and 14. And those are the ones who described choking on the pill, the gagging on the pill just taking it. And so I think that confounds a little bit of the reporting on the nausea piece. And then the second, and talking to investigators, there's another confounder here, which is they said for some of them, it wasn't like the Setmelanotide nausea per se, but what they were hearing was more of "gastritis" so stomach irritate. And that's where going back to this issue of you're taking these 3 large pills on an empty stomach and for patients, and it was a relatively small number, but I think that experience is informing us and I think it's true that with a little bit of food, tolerability dramatically increased.
So I think as we go forward, we're going to tease this out a lot further. But no, there wasn't -- it was pretty much spread across all 3 groups. There's 16, I'll tell you exactly. 16 patients had reported nausea, 3 in the placebo, 6 in the 200, 4 in the 400 and 3 in the 600. So it wasn't that it's just -- the higher you go, the worse it gets kind of thing. It kind of -- I think was more patient-specific and maybe colored -- actually highly likely colored by the fact that not all of the nausea was the same. It may have been different in different patients, as I described.
Got it. And then in terms of the diarrhea, was it more likely to be longer lasting at higher doses? Or was the chances there...
Yes. No, thanks. So I'll tell you that. So on the diarrhea of the cases, so there was 1 in the 200, 1 -- 2 in the 400 -- and sorry actually just confused my numbers here. But, no, no, sorry, now I got it. It was spread evenly across the 3. So there was 3 in the top use group 600, 4 in the 400 mg group and a smaller number in the 200 and some of the placebo. But it was spread pretty much evenly across the groups.
Our next question comes from the line of Dennis Ding with Jefferies.
Congrats on the data. Big picture life cycle management question. Just wondering how you envision positioning some of the second-gen drugs, whether it's the oral or the weekly or both once they're approved? And how would you incentivize switching from Setmelanotide before generics launch? And how does that kind of strategy change after generic launches? And then my second question is just around your prior comments on noncompliance with the oral. Presumably, the weekly subcu could help with some of that. So talk about your expectations for that weekly update. And is it unreasonable to assume efficacy could look better just on better compliance and perhaps less daily PK variability?
Yes. Thanks. Let me take the last part first. Does this read through in any way to 718. I think only in the sense that it confirms MC4 agonism work. So we've had high confidence all along. And as you and others, we've discussed, if you just if we knew nothing and you said, which is more likely, well, 718 seems more likely because it's a peptide and it's sort of recapitulating what we've already done with Setmelanotide. And so that would seem more likely the small molecule having more unknowns. Now we have the results with a small molecule. And I think what it's saying to me is that, one, as I said, the small molecule is working as a good MC4 agonism. The fact that the results are so similar to what we saw with Setmelanotide at comparable time point suggests that we're getting more or less the full efficacy of MC4 agonism from this drug at these time points.
Can we do better with this drug? I am absolutely convinced because back to my earlier comment, there are things we can modify here, and we will modify that will translate to greater tolerability and greater compliance. The bigger picture question, you said, in general, where we get better compliance with a weekly than you do with a daily oral. I would say that's probably true. Well everybody prefer weekly over a daily oral just because of that. I don't think that's true. I think there's many patients who want nothing to do with needles. We'll be very happy with an oral medication, maybe parents who don't want to be injecting their kids and the like. So I think what we're aiming for with this portfolio strategy is a portfolio of products too in this case, which basically cover the needs of all patients. And as a company, we're not going to be pushing people one way or the other, that hopefully, it will be very much a patient-driven decision.
Now why would they switch? At the end of the day, both of these simply from a tolerability standpoint, a daily oral and a weekly injectable as opposed to a daily injectable should be preferred. And to the extent, and I'm quite confident based on the reports we have now, we've dramatically decreased the hyperpigmentation piece of this. I think 718 is likely based on our preclinical data and the like to be even less likely to have hyperpigmentation associated. So the switch will happen because patients see this as preferred treatment. So I don't think we'll need to convince people to do that. But we have the advantage, again, as a company in a rare disease world, we're very close to this patient community, we'll be able to interact individually with patients who sign up and consent to talk to us. And we're available to help them think this through as needed.
And what about after a generic is launched and maybe talk a little bit about your expectations around payer reimbursement in that sort of landscape?
Yes. Again, you and I have talked about this. When a generic is launched into a rare disease space and my experience, which I guess has grown over the years, it's -- they almost never, never compete on price. It just -- it's rare diseases. If you cut the price, you can't make it up on volume. The incumbent first mover has an enormous advantage here again, rare disease, relationships that are built, patient support programs that are out there. So if and when a competitor comes in, they'll tend to price similarly and then just go out and compete for share. And in that setting, hope, we'll do fine.
Our next question comes from the line of Mike Ulz with Morgan Stanley.
Congrats on the data as well. Maybe just could you talk a little bit about timing of the new formulation tablet? What are the next steps there? And when will that be available? And could that be rolled into the pivotal?
Yes, important question. So when I said that our goal is to start the Phase III trial in the first half of 2026. It's Joe Schulman, our Head of Tech Ops. As we said many times, our goal is to keep him off the critical path there. We will not start the Phase III trial without that. So -- and I think we're in really good shape for having that ready to go. He's already got the pill. I mean now we're -- I'd say the next steps are finalizing the development of the chewable tablet. We don't need the liquid to be honest, going down. We actually did that first. We've completed taste testing on the liquid and the like. And so we're really quite advanced on the liquid. But I think going down to age 4 and above, it's probably just a chewable tablet plus the pills will allow us to cover that population -- the study population we're studying and get underway in the first half of '26.
Our next question comes from the line of Seamus Fernandez with Guggenheim.
So I wanted to just get a sense on the hyperpigmentation, what you're seeing in terms of -- it seems like you're not really seeing much at all that those are kind of case reports that are coming in frequently and more sort of spot related. But as it relates to Setmelanotide through 12 and 16 weeks. Just wondering where the hyperpigmentation kind of tends to peak. Is that something that intensifies over time with further exposure and was there any evidence of a time to limited increase or any hyperpigmentation events that were timed to limited as you went from, let's say, 8 weeks to 16 weeks. And how does that profile compare to the profile for Setmelanotide?
And then just my second question, can you just remind us with 718 your weekly subcutaneous injectable, what the sort of selectivity profile relative to MC4 over MCR1 is and if you would anticipate potentially having and even better profile with almost no hyperpigmentation between biva and 718?
Yes. Thanks, Seamus. So the profile for Setmelanotide is -- it's over the first 3 months. And obviously, it varies darker you are, the dark you get, but it tends to -- it develops over the first 3 months as a rule, it tends to plateau once you get out 3 months, there's clearly a dose-dependent effect. I mean if you take on very, very low doses, you may have less evidence of hyperpigmentation then if you're at the 3 mg dose with Setmelanotide and the same might be true here, although we don't have any indication in the small number of patients that it was dose-dependent.
Then your question was, is there a timing? And no, the 4 events were a little bit spaced out. I would say, yes, they came to awareness more sort of mid, later part of the trial. So consistent with what we'd expect to see with Setmelanotide. So I don't think that's different. But again, there's -- I do question back to the placebo patient who report and the like or there may be a little bit of an observer by us. But if I was just to take the increase in melanocytic nevi pigmentation is the best marker. Those tend to be sort of mid delayed part of this double-blind period of the trial.
In terms of selectivity preclinically and what we might see with 718. So the Bivamelagon is 5x more selective, more or less plus/minus or the MC4 receptor over the MC1 receptor. We've now -- we've now run this data internally, and we've got much better clarity. So it's a little less specific than we had thought originally when we in-licensed the compound. But 718, it's like 1,000 times more selective. So the probability that -- to the extent, what's incredibly reassuring is, a, we're not seeing much here, hardly anything. And then if 718 is truly, as we believe it will be that much more specific for MC4 than the risk we see something there is even lower.
And just as a quick follow-up to that. those relative comparisons that changed from the first assays to this assay for biva, is that 1,000 time differential sort of similar? Or would you anticipate just sort of a directional change? I know 1,000 versus 5, if that is the case, it's something that we can be very comfortable with in most directions, but I just wanted to kind of confirm if those -- if that was on the same assay?
That is on the same assay.
Our next question comes from the line of Leland Gershell with Oppenheimer.
Adding our congratulations on the results. Just a question as we talk about dosing between Setmelanotide and biva, if you could remind us, to what extent was Setmelanotide dosing weight-based in its Phase III HO study versus here, you have kind of fixed doses that are titrated wondering if, a, that would make it easier potentially for patients who are in the oral less burdensome in terms of having to titrate as they lose weight. Also I want to ask if you could see patients once they lose a certain amount of weight on biva, could they maybe downgrade to a lower dose as a maintenance and that could also lighten the effects on the skin hyperpigmentation?
Yes. So how does the dosing compare between biva and Set. So we don't dose on weight. And from early on with Setmelanotide we never dosed on weight. Now that's not to say at some extreme point, it's not an issue, and we know it's an issue. So for example, modify a little bit what I said. When we did the study in the 2- to 6-year olds we use lower doses. Now in that 2- to 6-year-old group, we had a leptin receptor biallelic patient who at a very young age, was extremely obese. And this was the patient who had little to no effect or minimal effect from the drug and we lost him from the trial. And I know we were underdosing that patient based on weight. They just didn't get to a therapeutic level. They were much more like an older individual, despite less than 6.
So there's definitely, at some point weight becomes an issue. But over a wide range, it's not. So we just have a standard dosing paradigm 1 to 3 mgs, its the same for the 6-year olds, the same for the 66-year-old. Biva, I expect, again, mechanistically to be similar. So I don't expect with that caveat that at the extreme dose may be an issue. But I think -- but this data set, despite its small size, is telling us, we're good. We're in a range here where we should be able to count on seeing the efficacy we'd expect to see and not needing to modify again because of weight per se.
What was your last thing on the hyperpigmentation?
Just wondering if over time, patients -- you could see patients losing weight and moving to quite a lower maintenance dose with maybe a better...
No, no, that's a good question. No, I think -- think about it again as it's hormonal replacement. It's like if you're in thyroid and you get your thyroid fix, you monitor the levels, unfortunately, we can't monitor offline levels. But -- but patients will get what they're needing to saturate that receptor and get the benefits on the satiety signal and energy expenditure and restored hopefully, their physiology is relatively normal. But then you'll just live there. It's like thyroid again, you can't -- you don't get in range and start feeling well and stop your thyroid or decrease your thyroid dose, you just keep it.
Got it. And then just one follow-up, if I may. We just noticed in the slides, we have 4 patients on biva with skin pigmentation and none in the either 600 or placebo in the press release, you also mentioned 4 patients, but it also has -- that dose included 1 placebo patient in that sentence. I'm just -- if you could comment on that discrepancy?
Discrepancy here. 2 at the 200 and 2 at the 400. Oh, so we did have 1 in the placebo. Yes. Okay. I'm not sure. I'm going to go back and check that. Yes. I'll go back and check that. I can't explain the discrepancy right now, but I think what you can count on -- what I know is a fact is the 0 with the 600 milligram. And then the cases were at the 200 to 400, so it wasn't clearly at the higher doses, you were going to see this. And I know there was 1 placebo patient. So we'll clarify.
Our next question comes from the line of John Wolleben with Citizens.
Congrats on the data. Wondering if you could talk a little bit about the open-label extension. What's the longest follow-up you have today? When do you expect to report data? Do you expect to see continue to benefit over time like we saw with Setmelanotide. And then any comments on if patients are staying at the lower dose in the open-label extension or are people migrating back up to the 600-milligram dose?
Yes. I don't have detail on where they are exactly in terms of their dose escalation on everybody is staying in. And so presumably, they're tolerating it. I think our experience with the double-blind phase would say that patients, they may dose down as they're -- to get through a period of low tolerability and then be able to dose up, but it seems to be -- we manage that through pretty well in the open label -- sorry, in the double blind I'm expecting is similar in the open label here.
In terms of where we are, yes, we're going to talk about it in the fall, obviously, from -- given when the trial is finished, we're well into -- everybody now is in the open-label extension rolling forward. I'll tell you about half of the patients have reached their 28 week time point. But we look forward to reporting that out. And yes, what do we expect? I expect patients to continue to lose weight. I mean that's the nature of this thing, and I'll go back to one of my best case examples, which is in our Phase II, the famous 24-year-old patients who started out with a BMI of 52, they basically -- their BMI is 24 now. So they had an amazing response. But that happened over 4 years. They just ground down over a period of 4 years, relatively steadily. And so other patients have plateaued, so it's not no guarantee. But in general, we expect patients to continue to lose more weight.
Our next question comes from the line of Faisal Khurshid with Leerink Partners.
This is Matt Cowper on the call for Faisal Khurshid. So any thoughts on why the AE profile on the whole looks a little better at 600 than 400? And then sort of [indiscernible] reverse dose response there? Is that just incidental? And then for Bivamelagon, I know you've inherited the Phase II in rare genetic disorders of obesity. But how are you thinking about development and timelines for indications beyond HO now that you've confirmed its MC4R agonism effects.
So thanks, Matt. For the 600-milligram -- sorry, what was the first question in terms of AEs, the hyperpigmentation -- there was -- I think -- sorry, the whole thing is just a matter of small numbers in terms of how this distribution is. We have relatively small numbers in the 600. I don't think there's a difference between 600 and 400-milligram profiles. I think the absence of some of this stuff at 600 just tells you that it's not a clear dose-dependent effect, but it's a little bit more heterogeneous depending on the background state of the patient perhaps for some of these how they're feeling.
In the 400 mgs, we had a couple of kids who really struggled. They were the kids with they had some nausea. They had trouble gagging on their pills. A couple of them had some diarrhea. So they -- some of those events clustered in the smaller number of patients in that group. And then let me help answer that question.
And then development beyond HO, how do we think about that? The HO as by far, as we know, the largest opportunity. So of course, we'll develop both the oral and the weekly in that indication, we will look to get 1 or both of these approved in the other indications that we are approved for today, so specifically the BBS and PPL. How we do that? What's the most efficient way to do that. I think you need to learn a little bit more about the drugs and what we think will be the best strategy there. I don't -- I think we can commit. We'll take one of them forward into both of those, but I'm not sure at this point we commit to taking them both forward.
Our next question comes from the line of Paul Matteis with Stifel.
This is James on for Paul. And congrats on the data. Maybe just one last one here. I think a lot of the questions have been asked here, but wondering if there's any more color on the rectal bleeding SAE and what do you think it's truly drug or mechanism related or not? Any color there would be great. And congrats again.
Yes. Thanks, James. Yes. No, this is challenged AEs. One of the things that helps in drug development over time here are large data sets, right? So you've when you've treated 1,000, 2,000 patients, more than 2,000 now with Setmelanotide, you have a lot more understanding of how to interpret some of these events. This is just early development. So this patient had a history of hemorrhoidal bleeding, it doesn't seem like this was that. They did come in, as I indicated, with lower intestinal bleeding. They did not get a colonoscopy. I don't know why, to be honest with you, which is I think, probably a normal workup for that problem.
So no specific site was identified. It resolved and has not recurred to best of my knowledge. The patients discontinued from the trial after only 4 doses. They'd only received the 200-milligram, they're dose escalating. They were in the 400-milligram group, but they were dose escalating, so they only have the 200-milligram dose at the time it came in.
So you're left in this case, mechanistically, there's no reason we haven't seen MC4 agonism leading to lower bleeding of any sort. So there's no real mechanistic reason for why that would happen. I honestly think this is unrelated. The investigator put it down as possibly related, which is what they need to do if they don't have a cause. And what could it be? I guess we're early on in development, so you put down possibly. So -- so I don't have more information than that, but I think what you're hearing is this is not an issue for us.
Our next question comes from the line of Joseph Stringer with Needham & Company.
Just a follow-up on the noncompliance or I guess, suspected noncompliance. You mentioned some of the patients have trouble taking the large pills, which if they're in the 600-mg cohort, they had to do that 3x per day. So with the new tablet, you have the once-daily 600 mgs, but pill size looks very similar looking at Slide 19, maybe slightly smaller. So I guess my question is, was the suspected noncompliance mostly due to the fact that the patients had to take 3 pills per day? Or was it simply the size of the pills or was it maybe a combination of both? And then how confident are you that the new tablet can address the noncompliance issue?
Thanks. So just to be clear, every patient had to take 3 pills. So if they were in the placebo group, they got 3 placebo pills, if they're in the 200-milligram group, they got 1 active and 2 placebo. So every patient every day was taking 3 of these large pills. So not fun as we understand it for the patients, number one. I think we all tolerate medicines differently. I think the rounding of the edges will make a significant difference, definitely going down from 3 to 1 pill will make a big difference. And then, as I said, the 400 and the 200-milligram versions of this new generation will be proportionately smaller. So we have a lot of room to work with. That's my message number one.
And number two, these other just minor adjustments taking a pill with a little bit of food which we can do, of course, with the next generation, also, I think, will have a huge benefit here. So again, I'm quite confident, I guess, sort of level of confidence. I'm quite confidence, we can do much better on the tolerability, and I'll go back to what I said earlier, right, we're super early, 28 patients into our patient experience here, and we've learned a ton and we're well advanced here in terms of, a, what we've learned and, b, how I think we can address some of the specific issues to get even better outcomes.
Thank you. This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over to David Meeker for closing remarks.
Great. Well, thanks all for joining again. As you've heard, it is another good moment. I think we all internally maybe have some questions about how all this would work out and until you get the data, you don't know. So -- now we have it, and we're excited about it. And I think there's a lot you're going to be hearing as we go forward. So we look forward to our next update. Thank you.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Special Call - Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Goldman Sachs Healthcare Conference. We're thrilled to have David Meeker, the CEO of Rhythm here today joining us.
Before we get started, we are required to make certain disclosures and public experiences about Goldman Sachs relationships with companies that we discuss. The disclosures relates to investment-making relationships, compensation received or 1% or more ownership. We are prepared to read aloud disclosures for any issuer upon request. However, these disclosures are available in our most recent reports available to you as clients on our firm portals. So views stated by non-Goldman Sachs personnel do not necessarily reflect those of Goldman Sachs.
Okay. With that done, thanks for joining us, David.
Thank you, Corinne.
Maybe we can just get started on the recent data that you guys reported in HO. It demonstrated a significant improvement in BMI across both pediatric and adult patients. So maybe you could just start by level setting with the highlights from that data.
Sure. So needless to say, we were thrilled with the results. We were optimistic coming out of the strong Phase II, but that was only 18 patients in an open label. So this Phase III was 120 patients, randomized 2:1, 80-40 roughly. And the primary endpoint hit robustly with placebo-adjusted difference of 19.8%.
So that was -- 2 things about that. One, very strong, obviously, on the impact of setmelanotide itself on BMI. But also, very importantly, it reinforce what all the KOLs have been saying is that nothing really works in this and that these patients continue to gain weight. And if they just had some drug that can keep them from gaining weight, that would be a victory.
So the placebo group gained 3.3%. Setmelanotide group decreased by 16.5%. So that was the headline. And then underneath that, I'm going to go a little deeper here, there's a few other things. What's always been striking to us, and it was true in the Phase II, I mean, we've been happy with the percent change, but we've also tried to stay a little bit out of the GLP-1 wars of the 2% difference is clinically meaningful, and people are so focused on that.
What was really remarkable about this data set has been the consistency again. So pretty much -- and it's consistent that concept, the consistency of response is very supportive of this underlying biology, which we think is we're treating people with a deficit in this alpha-melanocyte stimulating hormone. And when you correct a hormonal deficiency, take hypothyroidism, you should have a very high percentage of response. I mean, you're just replacing what's missing there.
So the consistency that we saw below the headline data was we had stratified for 3 age groups, 6 to 12, 12 to 18 and 18 and above. There have been some early concerns before the French data came out last fall, maybe it works better in kids and adults.
Almost unbelievably, it was identical across all 3, 19% to 20% placebo-adjusted changes for all 3 age strata. So those were -- as I said, we felt really good about the efficacy data there. We can talk about the GLP-1 data also if you want, but there were -- overall, the headline was strong.
Yes. You mentioned the consistency of the data. I guess, you talked a lot about some of the individual patient stories. For the few patients who didn't respond, could you just give us a little bit of color on that?
Sure. So we had -- so 80% of the patients lost 5% or more. And if you take 80% of the 80%, there's about 17 patients who didn't make the 5% at the end. 8 of those 17 patients had to have -- they didn't complete the trial for one reason or another. So they had to have their data imputed.
And there's a way the regulators work, FDA specifically. It's a very conservative method. And so we do these simulations, and that's how you impute the data, but the data that informs the simulation is strong from a placebo group. So if you have a placebo group that's gaining weight and then somebody drops out of the trial and you impute their data, but using the trajectory from the placebo, then obviously, you take a hit there.
So 8 of those patients fell in that group, one. And then of the remaining 9, 6 of them either had passed the 5% mark and fell back for one reason or another or they were kids who, despite not reaching 5%, did have a greater than 0.2 change in their BMI z-score, which for a growing child is clinically meaningful.
So I think, overall, it was very, very consistent with the fact that most patients respond, not 100%, of the 3 -- so that got us down to 3, of the 3 patients who didn't fall in 1 of those 2 groups, 2 out of the 3, and we have documented noncompliance and that we tested trough levels at the midpoint in the trial, the trough drug levels in the midpoint of the trial and at the end of the trial. And both of those values are below level of quantification for those patients.
Helpful. Maybe on the safety and tolerability side, could you speak to what you saw in the study and comment on some of the serious AEs that popped out?
Yes. So overall, the safety -- setmelanotide was first approved in 2020. It's been out in the Bardet Biedl population since 2022. So -- and we've treated probably well over 2,000 patients. So there's a very strong safety database behind the drug.
And what we saw in this population was very consistent with what we're seeing across. So it's GI-related side effects for the most part; hyperpigmentation, where 50% to 60% recorded as an adverse event; but 100% of the patients probably have some change because it's an on-target, off-target mechanism.
The serious adverse events were interesting. There was a distinct imbalance there. So we had 27% roughly SAEs in the treated group versus 7% in the placebo group. And as you broke those down, and I've now -- which I didn't have at the time of our original earnings call or the original call following the top line data readout, so I've been through every one of those cases in depth. And it's a series of one-offs, and there's really not a good pattern there.
For example, there was a couple of COVID infections in that group. We didn't have any -- there was none in the placebo for serious adverse events. But the percentage of COVID infections overall was exactly the same, 11 and 5, so it matched very much the randomization, 2:1.
There was 3 infections there, pyelonephritis, appendicitis, cholecystitis, which, again, there's nothing about the drug or anything. I mean, each one of them had a reason why they might have developed that infection.
I think the one thing that -- and I think this will be part of our label and that we will want to make sure people look at, this is a population that's incredibly medically complex. And they have literally 1 to 2 pages of medications they're on, between all of the different hormonal replacements that they're on. They may have a seizure disorder. They may have depression. They may have -- so again, there's a plethora of medications they're on. And it's also a group that has never been able to lose weight like this.
And so as you start losing weight, if you don't pay attention to the other medications and their dosing, and the most specific one and there was a handful there's 2 that stand out. So one is diabetes insipidus. I think now it's being pushed to call it arginine vasopressin deficiency, that's the hormone itself. But that's the hormone that allows you to concentrate your urine. And so it's injured in the hypothalamus and pituitary. It interacts between the 2 of those is how it works.
And so if you have diabetes insipidus, unable to concentrate, you have to take your hormone regularly daily, and you've sort of modulated. And the parents and families suggest these or patients adjust it themselves a bit. And you have to hit fluid target. You have to keep drinking a lot. So anything that throws that off, if you get a GI, so it could have -- GI-related stuff related to the drug, but often just GI stuff in general, your sodiums will bounce out of whack. And so we had a handful of patients who get admitted for that.
And then the other significant challenge for these patients is adrenal insufficiency. And that's another, again, hormone that's very commonly. 80% plus of these patients have diabetes insipidus and a similar percentage have adrenal sufficiency.
So any time anything happens, they need to get covered what they call stress dose steroids. And it's to make sure that when we get sick, our cortisol levels rise, and that's what allows us to deal with that salt insult. And if you don't do it, of course, it can be a quite serious problems.
So those were things that's complicated. And I think the on -- my point is the only link to why there may have been an imbalance in this series of one-offs on the serious adverse events is that their background meds may have gotten a little bit off as they were going through these changes with their weight loss.
So with that in mind, do you anticipate that those patients who have some of these additional complications will still be candidates for setmelanotide in the real world?
100%. So -- and as I said, that -- the percentage of those patients are 80% plus of this total population, number one. Number two, the other thing we told us was, over time, they were requiring less medication. And it was becoming easier to manage. So it's not -- it's the change itself. It's not the fact that you have it and you forever can't do it. You just have to be alert as you're managing through these initial changes.
And if you remember, this drug, based on our Phase II experience and consistent with hormone replacement, you don't endlessly lose weight. One of the things about it, think, GLP-1s and concern is could you tip over into an anorexic kind of a world where you're just not -- but it doesn't -- we just haven't seen this. And it doesn't -- you don't develop an aversion to food. You just know when you're full. So you leave it. You may leave food on the table, but you're...
Can you speak to the compliance you saw in the study? And how do you anticipate that data can translate into real-world use?
So it was high. If you remember, we had about 10% -- almost exactly 10% dropouts overall, 14 out of 143 patients enrolled in the full data set, which was very good, much better than we've seen in our other trials, and that was split about half and half between the placebo group and the treated group.
And the compliance was 80% plus. So I do think -- this is a group -- a patient population that is used to taking a lot of medications. As we've been told, another injection really isn't that big a deal. They're paying a lot of attention to these other meds. So it's not like you've got something that's intruding in your life. It's just you have your meds. This is now one of them. You have your hormonal replacement. This is now one of them.
So I think for multiple reasons -- and the benefit relative to what they are living with, and I think that was -- I'll just make the editorial comment that given the complexity and all they have going on in their life, the importance of this medicine and these changes to their quality of life was pretty dramatic. And you might wonder whether you can move the needle when you're just adding another med on 2 pages of medicines, right? This is the issue. It's a big issue for them.
Okay. So then as you think about filing for approval and going through the regulatory process, what are the most important things you want to make sure get into the label?
Yes. We're not -- so all the data, I think -- it will comfortably go in the label. I don't think there'll be a lot of debate or negotiation there. The piece that we've tried before, we'll try again. I -- hope springs eternal here. It will be helpful to get hyperphagia into t0he label. And we have it in Europe.
As people know, in the indication statement, we have data on hunger in the label. We can put on it, and it's not part of it, but it will be helpful. For example, as we continue to deal with Medicare, Medicare does not cover today, but anything in the label that would further differentiate us from a sort of interchangeable chronic weight management drug will be extremely helpful. So that's probably our biggest push.
Okay. Then as you kind of move towards that, you also are presumably preparing for commercial launch. What are some of the key commercial tasks you need to undertake between now and when you get to the approval?
Yes. And this is -- it's -- this is interesting for so many reasons. I'll go back to Bardet Biedl. Bardet Biedl syndrome as -- and I have discussed, is really a classic ultrarare disease, 4,000 to 5,000 patients in the U.S., most of them on majority undiagnosed. They're spread out. They don't tend to concentrate in any -- they may see a specialist to get to a diagnosis, but then they get sent back to their primary care because there's nothing for that -- no reason for that specialist necessarily to keep them.
So Bardet Biedl, we've talked about the steady cadence. And the reason it's steady is you just have to do the work each quarter. You find them, bring them through the reimbursement process and the like. And you don't build a structure to knock on all the doors because you couldn't, and it wouldn't make sense.
So you try to help build a health care system, a community that is better at diagnosing the patients. And then as many patients as you find, they will find you. We see this each quarter, and our -- there's 25%, 30% of physicians writing scripts amazingly still 3 years later. We don't call and we don't interact with, and that's -- they're finding us as part of the equation.
This is different. HO is different. And the numbers, at least, our current understanding, 5,000 to 10,000, maybe not so different. It's still by every definition an ultra-rare indication. But very well diagnosed is our belief based on the fact that it's a recognizable clinical presentation. They have an insult. There's a before and after. 80% plus of these patients have pituitary insufficiency. And that's really, I think, the key driver is that because of that, they do stay with a specialist. So they need to be seeing an endocrinologist to manage this complex endocrine background.
So we're looking at this -- it's also rare, but as a specialty kind of launch. And what do you do in specialty? And specialty is a little bit of a dream for pharma, biopharma in the world in the sense that you have big unmet needs, high-value transformative medicines, and they are cared for by specialists.
So endocrinologists -- and we've begun to do the work. And early on, the claims work and the like, and we're validating that claims work with the people in the field. So there's about 10,000 endocrinologists. 2,500 to 5,000 of those probably have well 80% plus of the patients based on our current understanding. So we'll cover them, and we'll build a sales force that is capable of knocking on all those stores. And it is now a bit of a reach and frequency kind of game.
And one of the things, and we've heard these other companies, the challenge is all specialists, but certainly including endocrinologists who are a bit overwhelmed with the demand, I think, is jamming up that part of the equation. When you have a new therapy for a big frustrating unmet medical need, you can get access. And our early experience is people want to hear about this, and they want something for these patients. So we're getting in.
Perfect. Okay. Maybe we can move on to talk about some of the next-generation agents in HO. You've got an oral and a weekly that are currently in development. Maybe let's just start with like high level, how you think about that franchise. What are some of advantages you look to bring for patients with the oral and the weekly program?
Yes. So the initial obvious one is just more convenient daily oral versus daily injectable or weekly injectable. The other is our current setmelanotide does hit the MC1 receptor. We have the hyperpigmentation. And it's not -- 5% to 6% of the total number of patients we treat in a real world discontinue because of the hyperpigmentation. But there's probably a little higher number that they may not call that out as a primary reason for discontinuing, but they're not thrilled by it.
So it's not a huge percentage of the patient population, but it's meaningful. And so -- and there's no value to it, so if we could eliminate that. So both drugs were designed with the idea of, "Let's eliminate the hyperpigmentation." So we'll be looking for that in our phase -- this first experience in patients.
The developmental strategy behind them is we'll take -- if it works, we'll take both of them in HO. And the wonderful thing if you ask about the hypothalamic obesity indication is because it's so sensitive from a clinical development standpoint, it's a gift. If we had to develop this for the first time in Bardet Biedl, much more challenging trying to figure out, are you seeing it, is it real, not real, but this should be pretty black and white. So we'll get -- I don't know if I answer that.
Yes, yes. You can -- it sounds like you're about to go for it, but I was going to say we anticipate near-term clinical data from biva, how should we think about that readout? What do you kind of see as a threshold to move forward with the program?
Yes, my favorite question. I spent months answering that. What do I think is going to be the percent change for the HO Phase III trial? So for the biva trial, what do we expect to see? It's a Phase II, 28 patients, so 7 -- and 4 groups. So 7 patients per cohort, 3 dose groups and a placebo group. So each cohort is extremely small and have been really trying to highlight for people, they should not be focused on the means.
The means may look great, but with only 7 patients, I'm not looking at the means. I'm going to look at 7 individual patients for each cohort. And if 5 look good and 2 don't, then we're going to try to figure out why the 2 didn't respond or whatever. And if we have a good reason for that, obviously, it might be compliance. You're not going to throw the drug out because the mean looks low. You're going to go with the 5 that are telling you it's working and looking good. So that's just how we'll analyze the data.
Thresholds -- and the way we've been answering this in -- it's a little bit the way we tried to answer it earlier, which is in this population and now that setmelanotide set the bar, 16.5% in the Phase III itself, 10% or greater is a drug. Now it's 10% or greater in an apples-to-apples. And the reason I say that is, and we've seen this in other situations, I don't think you need to be as good necessarily if you are significantly more convenient, you have other features. And at 10% plus, many patients may be perfectly happy with that, one. Two, you get to 10% not because everybody got to 10%, but because some did much better than 10% and some didn't.
So I think just conceptually in thinking about it, 10% or greater is how that should be the threshold. Now that's at a year, And we're going to be reading this out at 14 weeks. So what we will try to do, and it's doable, and when we present the data or put out the high-level data is to provide as much context as we can, so people can see the apples-to-apples.
So what did the Phase II look like? So the Phase II was a 14-week -- sorry, 16-week trial. And so 14 -- 16 is close, but actually 2 weeks at full dose is meaningful. So again, we'll try to help people understand that. And we can also take a cut of the Phase III data at 14 to 16 weeks, so 12 and 16, I guess, we have the data point. So we'll try to frame it and, again, give people as much of an apples-to-apples as we can.
The other difference in this trial is that it's 12 and above. So we don't have the 6 to 12. And if you go back to our original Phase II, we had several patients who are under 12 who did extraordinarily well in that first 16 weeks. They lost 30% plus. So our Phase II number was 14.5% in that Phase II trial. And it was driven disproportionately by, like I said, these -- so these kids who are in the 30% range at that early time point.
So anyway, these are the things that, again, small data sets. What we want to know is we want to know, do we have a drug. This is not -- we're not setting up a future label here. We're not -- we just want to know, do we have a drug, do we want to invest and go to Phase III. And I'm pretty hopeful that this trial will tell us. If it doesn't work, we will know. I mean, no response is no response. Then we'll be done. But...
To your point, you've got a lot of data with setmelanotide, including in preclinical models. So as you look at what biva has shown where you can look at apples-to-apples thus far, how did the 2 agents compare?
Yes. So I mean and LG Chem, who we acquired the molecule from, as I've said many times, they did more preclinical work models than we've done. And we've repeated some of this now internally. You get identical results. Now the challenge there is, of course, it's a little hard.
So when we do 718, our weekly and the setmelanotide, those 2 molecules are very similar. And almost milligram to milligram, they're very similar. Whereas for biva, you've got a different molecule, oral route of administration. So you can get identical results. It's a little harder to take your preclinical dosing and extrapolate perfectly to your clinical setting.
So people ask me, what -- how do you handicap all of these? I know both 718 and biva are very good MC4R agonist. All things being equal, they should work. I think the biggest variable, the unknown which introduces the uncertainty is do we have the right dosing. And...
Sure. Okay. And maybe we can also go through some of the same questions on 718. You can talk about the study that's ongoing data later this year.
Yes. So we -- 718 weekly, as I said, very similar. It's a 7 amino acid cyclic peptide. Semaglutide, it's 8 amino acid cyclic peptide. We built it off what we knew about setmelanotide. So a lot of reasons to feel good about the molecule itself. That -- we finished the SAD and MAD part of that. It's fine. We've got the PK we want. Safety is all acceptable, of course.
And -- so we're getting that trial up and running. And what I've said and we -- still, the goal is, it's an open-label study, to have something to say by the end of the year. I'm hedging now a little bit because we're definitely slower getting it up. It's just been hard at getting sites. So again -- and we can talk about that, but it's just -- but we're a little bit behind what we want to do. So we're just starting on the 718, but I'm still hopeful we can say something by the end of the year. But it may bleed into Q1.
Why has it been harder to get sites up and running? It's not your first rodeo, right?
It is not our first rodeo, but it is -- we've had challenges in the past getting -- and it's just -- I can tell you, it's tough at these clinical sites.
Where is the break? Is it like getting IRB stuff? Or is it...
It's a mix of things. I mean, at the -- your key person in any clinical trial is your study coordinator. And so just depending on how many trials they're running for better or worse, we're working with sites that are running more than one just Rhythm stuff, of course.
Contracting offices, they work at their own pace. You think in today's world with funding being what it is, they'd be thrilled to have a biopharma knocking on the door wanting to do stuff. But it doesn't translate. So those are the stuff. There's nothing unusual about it. It drives me crazy. But it is what it is, and we're working on it.
So once you get the sites up and running, given your experience, how would you anticipate like patient enrollment? Is that things smooth out...
Yes, it would be good. And the other piece is we made it a little bit intense. We had a very intense pharmacokinetic requirements. So patients needed to be in the hospital with prolonged periods of multiple blood draws, and that's wrong. So we've now -- we're amending the trial to much lighten up on that dramatically.
One of the advantages of these programs from a Rhythm perspective is the patent. So could you just talk to us about the patent on the 2?
Yes. So incredible point. So let me just start with setmelanotide again because I want to make sure people understand that. So composition of matter for setmelanotide, 2032. What -- you've heard me now -- let's talk about it a little bit more, but we hadn't so much in the beginning -- our formulation patents for setmelanotide go out to 2034.
When you get a drug approved, the FDA regulators put -- FDA specifically puts out a guidance document. Going forward, that office has been -- we'll see what happens. But anyway, historically, they put out a guidance document that tells the generic what it would need to do to develop a drug for that. That guidance document basically takes you through our formulation patents. So we're feeling -- in Rhythm's opinion, like, we may be in a reasonably good position there. So that would give us coverage to 2034.
And the other thing that not everybody -- when they're modeling this, they tend to model end of composition, no matter, whatever, with a cliff. And that doesn't happen in a rare disease world. And it doesn't happen because: a, the competitor, the generic entry tends not to compete on price because you can't make it up on volume. So -- if you cut it. So they tend to price this similarly. And then -- the companies compete for share. But -- and then the incumbent in that world has a pretty big advantage. So anyway -- so we don't think the setmelanotide world would be a cliff.
Now back to the 2 -- our new molecules are incredibly important because they both with patent term extension takes to 2040 plus.
Okay. Perfect. And then maybe like last question on the 2 endo franchise here. As you think about like the decisions you have to make around going forward, are they contingent at all on each other? Or will you make the decision?
I will. End of...
That was the answer I expected. Okay. Maybe on other data this year. You've started to discuss a Phase II in Prader-Willi syndrome. Maybe like talk about the confidence where you've got confidence in pursuing that indication knowing it's been something of a graveyard for drug development.
Yes. It has been a great drug. I mean, it's just -- and we have tremendous respect for the challenges there. So as you know, we ran a trial in 2018 and predated me. And that trial was negative. But -- of course, for everybody. it was complex and wrong design in the sense that it was earlier on in development, so we were being, as a company, very careful on our dose escalation.
The highest dose study was 2.5 mg. And it was for 4 and 8 weeks in a crossover design. So net-net, you could -- it was uninterpretable to me. We had a couple of placebo patients who lost a lot of weight. But if you look at the top dose, the 2.5 mg in the patients who were on for 8 weeks, there was a response in a handful of patients, a small number.
So not uninteresting, and as I said, from a trial design, you could say, "Well, it doesn't prove anything." And it doesn't prevent anything. But there's hope. And then second, biologically, it makes sense. So the MAGEL2 gene is in the -- part of the chromosome that's deleted or imprinted here. And MAGEL2, we studied that gene, and we studied in our Phase II DAYBREAK study.
Okay.
In the 3 or so patients who we -- based on their genetics, we knew that their variant was a loss of function variant. They had a good response. There's a mouse model. You knock it out. Mouse gets obese. You treat that mouse model with an MC4R agonist. They get better.
So that biology is absolutely clear. It's absolutely present in Prader-Willi. And then the challenge of the disease is it's not just the hunger and the weight gain. It's the behaviors, which are really challenging to deal with a little bit incentive. The hunger and hyperphagia may make the behaviors worse, but if you improve the hyperphagia, you don't necessarily make the behaviors better.
So that's a big confounder. So what we're running now is an open-label trial with Dr. Miller at University of Florida. And we decided not to do a control. Lots of -- because there might be, "Well, you won't know anything without control." Actually, I think conversely, you have to run a pretty big trial for that control group really to help you here.
And the value of working with somebody like Dr. Miller, who just knows her patients extremely well, not all investigators know the patient the way she does, she takes care of them. And so I think working with her ability to interpret what we're seeing, I think our goal is we should come out of this with being pretty confident, it works or it doesn't work. That's the belief and our hope.
The bar here, arguably, is lower. Nothing has caused weight loss. Soleno get approved, but a reduction in hyperphagia, some behavioral improvements, but not weight loss. It's not totally clear how diazoxide -- it doesn't work through MC4R, so different pathway. So I think in a world where nothing has been able to show weight loss, if we can show 5% or greater weight loss, that's a drug. And we would take that forward.
Okay. You're going up to the 5 mg dose with setmelanotide in this.
For 6 months, yes.
Yes. Maybe just talk about like where you've used 5 mg in patients before and how you think about the safety and tolerability that you could see emerge at the higher dose.
Yes. In normal volunteers, we've gone to 7 mg. We did a 3-month study comparing our full setmelanotide weekly and a daily setmelanotide and went up to 5 mg in that study. We have -- there's no, I think, safety issue. We have gone individually. There's been a handful of patients in our previous world, some Bardet Biedl patients, some patients in the original old Basket Study, who felt like they wanted -- felt needed more, and we've gone up to the 5 mg.
Are you allowing background diazoxide on the trial?
Yes, we are. And so there will be some patients there.
As you think about the next steps, if you see a signal with the open-label Phase II, do you move forward into Phase III from there? Do you wait till -- to see whether the oral or weekly? Like what are kind of the next steps in this patient population?
Yes. That's a really great important question. The answer is it depends. But it's shifted a little bit in our minds, my mind certainly. I think, originally, and as we've said, we've been very clear that we do all our new development work with the next gen.
Prader-Willi is unique and a big enough unmet need. If we see something that's meaningful there, by far, the fastest route of approval is with setmelanotide. It would be a supplemental NDA, and we could move in theory pretty quickly. So that's the depends part. We'll see how the data looks. But if we are -- feel like it's making a meaningful difference, we'll go.
Okay. And do you think about what a Phase III would have to look like? You obviously have done a couple of Phase IIIs in rare disease populations. You have the diazoxide trials to look at. Any key parameters you would anticipate being required for -- in the Phase III?
Everybody says the same thing. I mean, we'll use the HQ CT which is -- monitors their hyperphagia and the like. So the tools that Soleno used, everybody uses. I mean, we'll for sure be incorporating those. As I said, we need to see changes on weight loss. And so the traditional measures there with BMI. Body composition is really important. We haven't been as consistent in getting that in some of our other trials. If we went forward, for sure, we'll be....
Okay. And then I guess, as you -- can you just give us a sizing of the addressable market and unmet needs in this patient population?
For Prader-Willi?
For Prader-Willi.
Yes. I mean, the numbers out there for the U.S. population is 10,000 to 20,000, so 15,000, whatever. I think, again, a very well diagnosed population. Part of the value that's been ascribed to Soleno in a very short period of time is that they're coming out with the first approval, which was really a huge step for the field on their ability to get approved there, but into a world where there's nothing.
Yes. Okay. You currently have said your cash runway is into 2027. So as you think about sources of capital and funding all of these potential programs, maybe first, what's included in that guidance? We've talked about a number of additional Phase IIIs. And how do you think about kind of sources of additional funding?
Yes. So we took some money down from the ATM, which allowed us to give new guidance into 2027. So that includes all of the existing clinical trials and our preparations for the HO launch. What's not in there is new clinical development work with the idea that if -- was positive, Phase III stuff is not in there for that, so -- which includes some investments in CMC.
So there's things that -- planning for success, arguably, we would need to raise for. A big variable in that guidance is revenues and how well we do. I think Hunter and team have taken a conservative view of that. So we're not terribly aggressive in this guidance. But if we do better there than our needs, and as Hunter likes to say, we're solving -- we're not solving for a big number necessarily here.
So -- and we have a number of different ways we could attack and equity, of course, stocks in a good position. We could do equity. But it ranges a full range. I mean, we've got a royalty with health care royalties and their partners and their -- I think I've expressed a willingness in the past to be supportive of something else if we want to go there, and we're also maturing as a company. And that becomes an option at some point.
Okay. And the final minute, I guess, anything else that you view as like significant value drivers that we can unlock with Rhythm over the next, let's call it, 12 to 24 months?
Yes. I think if people -- I mean, Rhythm is at a really exciting time and it's -- this pathway is fully validated now. MC4R path, I mean, in the beginning, it was just like, can you get your -- it's like, okay, the drug is approved, you got a good MC4R agonist. Maybe you have some next-generation agonists as well.
But this pathway, which historically always was viewed as important, I think it fell out of favor a little bit because people couldn't drug it. And now it's back in favor. And people are beginning to peel that onion and to say, okay, how many different "indications" might this pathway be important because it's distinct.
So you've got the Phase II daybreak studies. You've got other causes of injury to the hypothalamus we've talked about. We talked about the congenital form, traumatic brain injury, which hopefully will be part of our current label and the indication. But the point being is I think there's a really rich area out there to be explored now that the pathway has been validated, and we have a drug.
Perfect. That is perfectly at time. Thank you, David.
Thank you, Corinne.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Good afternoon. Welcome to day 1 of the Jefferies Healthcare Conference. My name is Dennis Ding, biotech analyst here at Jefferies. I have the great pleasure of having CEO, David Meeker, here with us from Rhythm Pharmaceuticals. Welcome.
Yes. Thanks, Dennis.
So perhaps just level set us in terms of where the company is today and just sort of the evolution of the company since -- over the last 12 to 24 months and just briefly talk about the outlook.
Yes. Thanks. So maybe I'll start one chapter earlier, but those not familiar, Rhythm is a focused biotech company based in Boston. Focused on developing therapies for this melanocortin-4 pathway deficit. So the pathway that sits in our hypothalamus and governs our energy balance. So basically, signaling through this pathway tells us we're full and you can increase your energy expenditure and you have a defect in that pathway, which by the way that pathway works, you're not producing enough of alpha melanocyte stimulating hormone.
They're hungry all the time, and it's not the kind of hunger you and I feel when we miss lunch this is really a pathologic drive to eat, preoccupies these patients and their families. And your energy expenditure is low. So it's often complicated by severe obesity. So we've been developing -- we have an analog of the hormone, alpha-melanocyte stimulating hormone, which is called setmelanotide, brand name IMCIVREE. And our initial approvals were for the genetic defects in this pathway. The first 2 are extremely small, tens of patients. We didn't put a sales force on the field.
The more recent one, Bardet-Biedl syndrome in summer 2022. We've launched that, and we're launching it globally, and that's done very much as expected, as Dennis asked over the past 12 to 24 months. We described that as a classic ultra-rare disease where you basically do the work each quarter. You have to find the patients, work them through the reimbursement process. And it tends to be -- it doesn't inflect as a market opportunity. It's just slow and steady and put the emphasis on steady, not slow, but it just continues, and we're very much in that path.
And so we're about 3 years in now. And we're a global company. We have the drugs approved in Europe, and we're selling in about 14 countries around the world. More recently, a little bit unexpectedly, we discovered that the other way you can injure this pathway or have impaired signaling to this pathway is a direct injury to the hypothalamus. There's a classic well-recognized condition, which is related to these benign tumors that develop between the pituitary and the hypothalamus.
The tumor itself can grow into the hypothalamus and injure it. or more commonly, the tumor is diagnosed and it's the surgery plus/minus radiation to treat the tumor that injures the hypothalamus and about half of the patients who go to surgery come out of surgery with this hypothalamic obesity. And what they experience is, in many -- most cases, again, this classic hyperphagia, severe hunger and their weight accelerates. And it's not just they gain a few pounds.
They literally -- particularly the kids, they explode off their growth chart. So our treatment, which is basically an analog, as I said, of the endogenous hormone, really remarkably in our Phase II study, which we announced in 2022, very consistently improved all of the 18 patients in that trial, 17 and 18 had a response, and we just completed our Phase III.
We can talk about the details of that, but it reconfirmed the consistency of response, and it was basically a best case in terms of the overall effect that we had. It was a 20% placebo-adjusted effect on weight comparing to treated in the placebo group. So we're looking forward to filing that drug and getting it launched and talk about.
Yes. Yes. I mean like for HO, maybe frame that market opportunity relative to BBS and some of the other genetic obesity indications that you guys are approved for and why HO is such a big deal, so transformational for the company.
Yes. So I'll start with BBS. So as I said, the classic ultra-rare disease, we think there's about 4,000 to 5,000 patients in the U.S. The majority of those patients are not diagnosed. So what you do as a company is you don't find those patients by knocking on every door. That's not very effective. They tend to be dispersed and as I said, not diagnosed. So you're trying to create a system where they have an easier time of getting to a diagnosis.
And then if you've done that well, as many patients will find you once they get a diagnosis, they look what's available and they see a drug is available. So they find you as often as " you find them." HO is different. BBS is 4,000 to 5,000 in the U.S., similar numbers in Europe. We think HO is probably in the order of 5,000 to 10,000. So broad range there, but more patients, maybe significantly more than BBS. But what's strikingly different between BBS and this HO population is the extent to which they are diagnosed.
So this is a pretty recognizable complication. There's a before and after. Otherwise, healthy kids get their tumor and go to surgery and they come out and it is different. And so that moment in time enables diagnosis. And the other thing is because of where in the brain, hypothalamus and the pituitary are quite close together, 80% plus of these patients will require some level of pituitary hormonal replacement. So they have some level of pituitary insufficiency, which means they're going to be managed by an endocrinologist. And again, unlike BBS, where they may see a specialist to get to a diagnosis, there's not much for that specialist to do, so they get sent back to their primary care.
So they're dispersed. They're out basically, again, could be anywhere literally. Whereas this patient population, the acquired hypothalamic obesity population will be actively managed by an endocrinologist. So although it's very much an ultra-rare opportunity by the numbers, given the high rate of diagnosis and the concentration in the endocrinologists, we think about this very much as a specialty opportunity and put that in context and not to say we're going to be Vertex, but a classic rare disease specialty opportunity would be cystic fibrosis, Newborn screening, basically, every patient is diagnosed.
They have centers of excellence. They're all being cared for in these centers of excellence. And so concentrated big unmet need. They have a good drug and, you know, obviously addresses that unmet need. So there's elements of HO, which are like that. And so as Rhythm prepares for it, we will prepare differently for HO than we did for BBS.
Perfect. Now if we can kind of shift over to maybe a very relevant topic in the near term is just around the pipeline. And just around life cycle management with setmelanotide. Maybe remind us when you expect the loss of exclusivity for setmelanotide and the opportunity for your oral, which is in Phase II in HO and your weekly subcu, which is also in Phase Ib in HO.
Great. So I'll start with the IP situation. So composition of matter for setmelanotide is up in 2032. Our formulation patents go to mid-2034. We actually think the formulation patents are quite important in that the FDA puts out a guidance document when you get your drug approved, which tells the world what they might need to do if they wanted to develop a generic for your drug. That guidance document basically says we think you have to go through our formulation.
So we actually think the formulation patents may be quite helpful. And we think in terms of our -- the protected period out to 2034 -- mid-2034. One other note people don't always think about in an ultra-rare situation, there is no cliff in an ultra-rare disease loss of exclusivity situation. When the competitor comes in, they tend to price the drug similarly. The reason they don't come in and dramatically cut the price is because you can't make it up on volume. It is rare. And so they come in, they price similarly and the 2 companies have battled that out in the marketplace in that sense.
And so yes, you may lose some share, but it's not a it's not the classic generic entry kind of model. So that said, we think in terms of 2034 as our current period for setmelanotide. Next generation is important for 2 reasons so as Dennis mentioned, we have 2 drugs. One is a daily oral, which we acquired in-license from LG Chem, who had cracked the ability to target this MC4 receptor with us an oral small molecule. And that is a Phase II study that will be reading out here in quarter 3. And then we have our own internally developed weekly formulation, which is a peptide that's very similar to our approved drug.
It's a 7 amino acid peptide. Our current drug is an 8 amino acid peptide. And that will hopefully be able to say something by the end of the year. Both of those are being studied in HO, this hypothalamic obesity population. And the beauty of that population, if you will, from a pure drug development standpoint is because it seems to be so sensitive to this drug, to the MC4R agonism, it's a great model to use for development because we should know pretty specifically and relatively quickly does the drug work or not work.
Now the features for those 2 aside from one is a daily oral, which might be [indiscernible] to a daily injectable, the other is a weekly injectable, also preferable is that our current drug hits the MC1 receptor, which is on the meta side, so on-target, off-target effect is that you get increased pigmentation and about 5% of patients in our current world -- real-world experience do stop the drug because of that. So it's not a huge percentage of patients, but it is a -- there's no added benefit to the hyperpigmentation.
So both of these drugs have been designed not to have hyperpigmentation. We'll hopefully confirm that in the thing. And then the last piece from an IP standpoint is the IP for both of these with patent term extensions would take us to 2040 plus. So this part of the life cycle management does meaningfully increase our overall market opportunity.
Yes, definitely. From a valuation perspective, when you're out in 2034, when you are at billions of dollars of revenue, having that life cycle management tool to continue that even for 5 years, that's massive to the NPV. So the oral Phase II data is the most near term. I think the guidance is Q3, so it could literally come in a month. Can you help frame that readout for investors given that we already have setmelanotide Phase II, setmelanotide Phase III. How should people think about that data vis-a-vis what you guys have already reported?
Yes. We live in an interesting world. It used to be, I think, for anti "obesity" medications. It was just as a work or not work. Now it's, of course, all about the percent change. And as Dennis knows, we've worked hard to try to help people think a little differently about the world we live in from the [ glyphs ] where it's very much trying to compare percent changes. What was striking about our current drug, setmelanotide, as I said, was the consistency of response.
So what we're looking forward to these readouts with both the daily oral and the weekly is, one, what's the consistency of response. That said, setmelanotide has put a bar in the sand -- or sorry, stake in the ground. And the -- we would expect in an apples-to-apples comparison that it should be at least 10% plus in terms of the weight loss. I don't think it needs to be exactly the same as setmelanotide to still be a drug.
I mean, if you're an oral with a better profile, more convenient and maybe some other features, that may be great for some patients. And so we would definitely take that forward. Now the data set that you're going to see in quarter 3, it's a pretty small data set. It's 28 patients. There's 4 groups, 1 placebo group and 3 doses. So 7 patients in each one of those cohorts. And as you can imagine, 7 patients, so we're -- not so many. We're not going to be internally so focused on the mean percent change in those group.
What we'll be looking to understand is, can we get conviction around the fact that it's working. And I use the example, like in your 7-patient cohort, if you had 5 patients where it looked pretty good, in 2 patients that didn't look good at all and your mean was kind of not so impressive, mean is not interesting. The question is, can you figure out why did the 2 patients who seem not to respond, not respond? And that's how we'll break down that data set. So we'll do our best when we report this out to try to explain it in a way that in an apples-to-apples comparison, the listener can have some appreciation for how this compared to our current drug at a similar point in time in a similar population.
We'll try to provide whatever caveats we have in terms of what's needed to understand that data. And then the other part of the data, which is not part of this readout per se, is that all of these patients roll over into a open-label extension at the top dose. So every patient will go, which is 600 milligrams every patient will be on 600 milligrams rolling forward, and we'll begin to get that data at 3-month intervals. And I think that will be a really important part 2 of this data set to give us confidence that, a, if we have a drug, we know what we need to do to take it into Phase III.
And going into the Phase III readout for setmelanotide, I mean, you made some comments around, hey, look, like if you -- in the younger patients, there might be a little bit more variability, whereas in the older patients, then there'll be less variability, but the data ended up being pretty consistent, right, around 20% BMI regardless of what age cutoff. So now that -- with that data in hand and you're going into this oral Phase II data, should we kind of expect a similar consistency or like what may or may not be impacting that?
Yes, just so we're on the same page, what Dennis is referencing for those who haven't seen the data. In our Phase III data set, which was 120 patients, 2:1 randomization, 80 treated, 40 roughly in the placebo group, we had -- we stratified for 3 age groups, 6 to 12, 12 to 18 and 18 and above. And one of the earlier questions before we ran our Phase III was would it work as well because our Phase II was largely pediatric patients, and we weren't -- or the world wasn't so confident that it would work similar in adults.
But amazingly, as Dennis said, it was literally 20%, 20%, 20% placebo adjusted for all 3 of those. So we didn't see the variability there. Inside every data set, of course, these are mean values. We got a spread and there was a spread. So in our Phase II, the kids 6 to 12 had a greater percentage change, and they drove the mean effect at our early 16-week readout in our Phase II. So the things we're alert to are those kind of imbalances. Our current data set, just because of the formulations that they had, they went -- set up to go below 12.
So this data set is just 12 and above. So as we present this, for example, and try to give people insight into apples-to-apples comparisons, we'll try to -- not try. We will look at those other data sets in the population 12 and above and again, try to put it in the right context.
Got it. And then if you can speak a little bit to hyperpigmentation, given that the oral and the weekly is not really supposed to be hitting MC1R. So going into the Phase II data in Q3, like how should we think about hyperpigmentation?
Yes. So when we talk about not hitting MC1, it's all relative specificity. So it's much more specific for MC4 over the MC1 receptor, which is on the melanocyte. But it's not to say that either drug has no interaction with the MC1 receptor. So this is to be tested. Our preclinical data would give us some confidence that it should be less, if not significantly less, and we hope 0. But our expectation is it will definitely be different. I think in terms of a desired profile, 0 would be the optimal, but it doesn't have to be 0 to make a difference here.
I think anything that's meaningfully less will be good. And the hyperpigmentation is not -- I won't call it -- it's more than cosmetic in the sense that it can be quite troubling for an individual, but it has no health impact beyond that. So it's not -- it wouldn't kill the drug if we see some hyperpigmentation. And as I said, I'm pretty confident if we did, it would be less. So yes, it's a feature, but not the most critical piece.
Okay. And last question on the oral. Just when you in-licensed this from LG Chem, and they have some data that's out there, preclinical Phase I. What additional due diligence have you -- or did you do and have done since then on the asset that could be driving some of your confidence into that data?
Yes. And just how that deal came together. We've been talking to LG Chem for over a year before the way that some of these things work out. So we've been following the work they were doing as they put it out. They really did an incredible job developing the drug. They ran the drug in more clinical -- preclinical models than we had, our own drugs. And so they had a very robust data set from that standpoint. And then in their Phase I study, we're basically looking for 2 things. One was, was there any change in BMI or weight?
And it's not the percentage, again, that was not interesting. It's just -- was there a signal because this mechanism, MC4R agonism does not work in general obesity. In these Phase I trials, they did and we do run them in patients with general obesity. But it doesn't work. It's not a weight loss drug in that sense the way a GLP-1 is, but if you take it, you should feel something. You should feel full maybe sooner, a little more often or whatever. So they saw that. And the second thing we are looking for is were GI side effects.
So if we had not seen any GI side effects, that would have been worrisome that they're not getting MC4 agonism because those GI side effects, the nausea vomiting specifically are very much a function of hitting that receptor. It's not a drug effect per se. It's an MC4R agonist effect. So we wanted to see that, and they had that. So that gave us a lot of confidence. Since then, we've repeated a couple of the models internally and have confirmed their findings. So I think we're very confident that we have both their drug and the one we developed, the weekly, 2 very good MC4R agonist.
So I'm not worried or that we're testing to see if we're going to get an effect or not. I think it's more a question, are we dosing things correctly? Do we have that right dose? Is there something else about the drug that is not giving us the result we would expect. But from a pure MC4 agonism chemistry standpoint, it should work.
Okay. Shifting over to the weekly subcu RM-718. Can you speak to your confidence in that compound relative to the oral? And I'm not trying to make you pick your favorite child, but as we go into the second half of the year and you have these 2 readouts, I would love to kind of hear what you're thinking about that.
Yes, it's the right description or analogy. There is no favorite child. I think if they both work, we'll take them both forward. There's a place for both in the market. And we -- our objective there would be let patients and physicians make the choice of what's preferable and best for them. And you can imagine scenarios where one might be preferred over the other. I think in terms of handicapping the 2, the way we've answered that is that just from the pure chemistry, if you will, the weekly is closer to the -- our currently approved drugs.
So you would argue there, maybe there's fewer unknowns. And so maybe that's a little bit of a higher probability bet. An oral small molecule maybe by definition, might have more unknowns. So I guess I'd say that. But if you look -- and these molecules have been run head-to-head in the preclinical models, and you get the same result. So I think that's as far as I can go. I'm just -- I'm theorizing why one might be better, but I have no evidence that one might be better.
Okay. Well, let's say both of these trials work, right? And you take them into Phase III and they work and they -- like how should we think about both products on the market? And how do you think about prioritizing one or the other? Or how does BBS factor into this? Because having both assets is quite valuable, but you also kind of run into the problem of like which ones do you prioritize?
Yes. So if they both work, we'll take them both into Phase III for HO. HO is a big opportunity. We want to maximize that. We want all options available. Your question about BBS becomes interesting. I think that will hinge on when we look at the data, is there anything about the data set that makes us think one might work better in BBS than the other? All things being equal, you might say, let's get them approved in all of our -- both of them approved in our current indications, and it's really a BBS question there, which then would make setmelanotide a little less relevant on the market, and we could see what might be the optimal case there, but at least that option would be there.
Patients would be well served with 2 better drugs if we develop them in all indications. But going forward, and there's multiple additional indications, which we'll be researching, it's very unlikely we would take both indications, both molecules forward in every new indication.
Sure. There's also a third readout in the second half. You guys are running a open-label study in Prader-Willi. So maybe talk a little bit about that. And you guys did run a trial a few years ago, which didn't work. And what's different now?
Yes. So yes, we're pretty excited about the Prader-Willi opportunity. I mean, a lot of attention. That's a huge unmet medical need, and I think a big milestone with Soleno's drug getting approved, so first drug approved, which opens up a regulatory path at one level. The trial we ran back in -- that Dennis was referencing back in 2018 or so, the problem was it was a complicated trial. The dose we used were too low. That was earlier in the development.
We didn't know as much about the drug as we do today. And it was too short, 4 to 8 weeks and the maximum dose was 2.5 mg. So there were patients who responded at the top dose on the 2.5 mg dose, but the trial design itself, there are some placebo patients who had a good response as well. It was uninterpretable. So we're trying again. But the current trial design is it's an open-label study, but we'll dose every patient up to 5 mg, so 2x the dose ultimately for 6 months.
So I think from a duration standpoint, if it's going to work, we should see something. And part of the reason we're excited is that there's good biology that says this melanocortin 4 pathway is involved in Prader-Willi. Now it's not the only thing that's going on in Prader-Willi, and that's the challenge. There's a lot of other things that these Prader-Willi patients struggle with and the behavioral challenges and the like.
And that's what can make running clinical trials very difficult and interpreting results from the trial very difficult. So it is possible, and it may have happened in the past where you have a drug that is active, but the trial is negative because you can't see it for reasons that confound your ability to read it out. So we'll see where it goes. Our goal is to hopefully be able to say something by the end of the year. Yes, that's it.
Okay. Can I ask you a question on Prader-Willi again? So you said a max dose is 5 milligrams a day. Is there a dose titration scheme like how can you ensure that patients can actually reach the top dose? And then what kind of implementations do you have in the trial to help them with that?
So good question. I mean for all -- anybody who's using an MC4R agonist in all of our trials, the GI symptomatology, the nausea predominantly that you get is mitigated by starting low and going slow. So dose escalation is a critical part of just using the drug correctly and getting a better outcome from it. So all these patients will dose -- they'll start at 1 milligram and dose escalate weekly as tolerated. If somebody is having some nausea, go a little slower, maybe stay at the dose for a couple of weeks and then go up.
So -- and the only other thing we're working with Dr. Miller, who was part of the first trial. Her impression in the first trial was Prader-Willi patients tolerate this extremely well. So HO patients interestingly have a lot of background gastrointestinal complaints related to their underlying disease and complications. So actually, they maybe were a little more challenging, whereas in this case, the Prader-Willi. So I'm pretty confident we will get many, if not all, of the patients to the 5 mg.
Okay. Is there a set dose escalation protocol where like you have to get to 5 milligrams by, I don't know, 12 weeks?
No. Not in this trial. We did force titration earlier in drug development in Bardet-Biedl, for example. I think that what we've learned is probably not wise being that prescriptive. There is an individualized dosing here in the sense of -- based on how patients are tolerating the med, and that's quite, as I said, individualistic. So no. But the goal is they'll go weekly as long as it's tolerated and may take a little longer, but hopefully not too much.
Okay. And then what would you consider to be good data there from Prader-Willi?
Yes. So Soleno's drug is approved based on decreasing hyperphagia. I mean our drug works -- has an impact, decreases hyperphagia as well. I think -- I know we work by a different mechanism -- if we only saw hyperphagia, I think that wouldn't be enough. We really need to see weight loss. And -- but the weight loss bar, I would argue, is lower here. So for example, than the GLP-1 world we live in. So anything 5% or better to me would be a very clinically meaningful contribution to a community that doesn't have anything that does that today. So that's the goal I think.
5% at 24 weeks.
Yes, 6 months. I mean, again, with the caveat that if a patient isn't making it, but we have a good reason to why they didn't, we're not going to throw the drug out. So...
Yes. Okay. And assuming that readout is positive and it's encouraging and you guys will move forward, like would you prioritize setmelanotide in that indication? Or at that point, you would already know whether the oral works or the weekly subcu would work?
Yes. Still part of an internal discussion. I think the Prader-Willi opportunity is quite large and meaningful. If we see a meaningful result, I think there's an argument to be made that you just go aggressively and quickly with setmelanotide. Developing a drug as a supplemental NDA with multiple prior indications and a large safety database behind it.
Of course, that's a huge advantage as opposed to starting with a new chemical entity. But the reason you wouldn't do that is that sooner or later, you're going to do it with the next generation. So maybe you could just skip that. So there's definitely a discussion to be had. But again, if it's compelling, I wouldn't be surprised if you saw us move quickly with setmelanotide.
Okay. Very good. I think that is all the time that we have. David, it's great to see you. Thanks for hanging out with us. And yes, we're very excited about the path ahead for you guys.
Thanks, Dennis. Yes. I appreciate the opportunity to be here.
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Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. — Jefferies Global Healthcare Conference 2025
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Nettogewinn
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Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 217 217 |
33 %
33 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 23 23 |
35 %
35 %
11 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 194 194 |
33 %
33 %
89 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 219 219 |
20 %
20 %
101 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 172 172 |
37 %
37 %
79 %
|
|
| EBITDA | -196 -196 |
37 %
37 %
-90 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 1,21 1,21 |
21 %
21 %
1 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | -197 -197 |
37 %
37 %
-91 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | -208 -208 |
34 %
34 %
-96 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
Rhythm Pharmaceuticals, Inc. beschäftigt sich mit der Entwicklung und Vermarktung von Peptidtherapeutika zur Behandlung von Magen-Darm-Erkrankungen und genetischen Mängeln. Der Schwerpunkt liegt auf der Behandlung des Prader-Willi-Syndroms und der Adipositas mit Pro-Opiomelanocortin-Mangel. Zu seinem Produktkandidaten gehört Setmelanotid, ein MC4R-Agonist, der die Funktion des MC4R-Signalwegs wiederherstellen soll, der durch genetische Varianten, die stromaufwärts des MC4R auftreten, beeinträchtigt ist. Das Unternehmen wurde im November 2008 von Bart Henderson gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Boston, MA.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Dr. Meeker |
| Mitarbeiter | 414 |
| Gegründet | 2008 |
| Webseite | rhythmtx.com |


