Radian Group Aktienkurs
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 5,05 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 1,40 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 5,05 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,97 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 6,31 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 1,40 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 6,31 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,97 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Radian Group Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
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Analystenmeinungen
11 Analysten haben eine Radian Group Prognose abgegeben:
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aktien.guide Basis
Radian Group — Analyst/Investor Day - Radian Group Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Radian's Investor Day. We have a great audience here today. So thank you very much. We're pleased to have you with us both here in the room and joining via webcast. On behalf of the entire management team, thank you for being here and your interest in Radian.
Before we jump in, let me quickly cover a few important items. Some of the statements we make today will be forward-looking. These statements as well as Radian's prospects are subject to certain risks and uncertainties. I encourage you to review the safe harbor statement at the end of today's presentation for more detail. We'll also be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP measures are included at the end of the presentation and also available on the Investor Relations section of our website.
Finally, for those in the room, I'd appreciate if you take a moment and silence those devices. I'm also have to tell you guys about the WiFi password, because everybody keeps asking. WiFi is the St. Regis Conference. The password is banquets2026. Everybody got that?
Little B?
Little B. Little B. Okay. So let's talk about what we have planned for today. We put together a full and engaging agenda for you this morning. You'll hear directly from our CEO, the co-heads of our Mortgage Insurance business; the Inigo team, our CFO and our CEO elect. At the end of these presentations, you should understand why we are so excited about our business, the opportunity in front of us and what truly sets Radian apart.
We'll have a dedicated Q&A session specifically for our specialty insurance business, following the Inigo presentation. For those here in-person, if you have a question, you can raise your hand and we'll bring a microphone to you, where you can submit questions at any time at the iPad at your seat. For those joining virtually, questions can be submitted through the webcast platform throughout the session. Remember today, guys, we want today to be interactive, so I encourage you to ask the questions on your minds. If we aren't able to get to your question, we will follow up with you after Investor Day.
Just a few more items before we get started. We'll take a short break following the Inigo presentation and prior to Q&A, and then a lunch break at approximately noon. For those here, please enjoy lunch and take the opportunity to mingle with our team. Our program will resume at 12:45 for a fireside chat between our CEO, Rick Thornberry, and our CEO-elect, Mike Weinbach. Lunch and the fireside chat, we'll wrap up around 1 p.m. At that time, we invite our in-person attendees to enjoy coffee and dessert and continue to meet and mingle with members of our Radian's management team.
Okay. So let's get started. Please join me in welcoming Radian's Chief Executive Officer Rick Thornberry to the stage.
Well, great crowd here. So thank you all for joining us today, both in the room and on the webcast. We appreciate you being here as we share how Radian is moving forward as a global multi-line specialty insurer. Today is about giving you a clear view of our strategic focus, our businesses and how we are positioning the company to generate long-term value.
Before we begin, I also want to just take a moment to acknowledge this will be my final Investor Day as CEO. As I recently announced my plans to retire later this year, and it's been an honor and a true privilege to lead this company for nearly a decade. And I cannot be more excited about the strength of the team and the strategy and the path ahead. We believe Radian stands stronger, more resilient and with a broader opportunity set as compared to any point in our history, and we're excited to walk you through that today.
Okay. With that, it is my pleasure to welcome CEO-elect, Mike Weinbach to Radian. I've known Mike for nearly a decade, and I'm very excited to pass the leadership of Radian and this great team to him in August. Mike joined on Monday. And he and I are focused on a seamless transition over the next couple of months. As the business moves forward, I'm confident that he will continue to shape and execute our strategy as we evolve as a global multi-line specialty insurer. He is a proven leader, brings deep experience and a strong strategic perspective on how we deploy capital and position the business for growth. I am confident that he is the right person to lead Radian into the future.
Now Mike, over to you. Please join me on stage.
Thanks, Rick, and good morning, everybody. And I want to join Rick in welcoming you to the Radian 2026 Investor Day. We're really excited you're here. We're really excited to have the team share the story with you. And I'm excited to be joining the company at this transformational time in our history. I've known Rick for a good amount of time, and I followed Radian from the outside and got to know the Board, got to know Richard, other members of the management team. And what I saw from the outside was a really good company with a good culture, and importantly, a good platform for growth and capital allocation.
And yes, it's day 4. It feels like a lot longer because that is the announcement even before I've been getting to meet people across the company and dig into the businesses a little bit. And I'm ready to upgrade the company it is great people. It is a great culture. And it is really a great platform for growth and capital allocation. And I'm not going to steal the team's thunder, they're going to share the story with you. But I would encourage you if we haven't met, I would love to meet you. I would love to hear your feedback. Let us know how we can help better tell the Radian story. And as Bob mentioned upfront, I'll be back with Rick later to share some more thoughts. But I'm going to turn it back to Rick and the team to share our incredible story. So thanks, everyone.
And just so you don't miss it, as we mentioned, we're going to come together again later today after lunch. I think at 12:45 is the expected time to do a fireside chat without a fire. All right.
So before we get started, I'd like to recognize Herb Wender. Herb Wender, who we are fortunate to have here with us today, Herb's decades of leadership, you told me you were coming Herb. His decades of leadership, including many years as Chairman and the person who I think of as the founder of Radian, helped guide the company through multiple cycles, and shaped the strong foundation that we continue to build on today. So we're honored to have him with us today. So thank you, Herb.
Today, you're going to hear from several members of our team about how we operate as a global multi-line specialty insurer, deploying capital across a high-performing mortgage insurance business and a specialty business. How we leverage our strengths and core competencies across our multi-line insurance businesses to execute our strategy and serve our customers and how we approach the execution of that strategy. You will also hear today from our mortgage and specialty insurance businesses how we are positioned, and why we believe Radian Group stands stronger, more resilient and more promising than at any point in time in our history. Throughout the day, you'll hear how we believe this combination of skills and capabilities allows us to focus on what we do best strategically managing capital to generate earnings and build stockholder value.
Okay. For those of you who are new to our story or who may be thinking of Radian 6 months ago, let me start with who Radian Group is today and why we are built for the future. First, we are built on strength. A solid foundation that has been built over nearly 50 years. Second, we're built with purpose, two complementary uncorrelated businesses with a diversified set of products, each executing their own business plans and generating their own earnings. With capital diversification and optimization that we believe allows the combination to be greater than the sum of the parts. Third, we are built for global reach. Our specialty insurance business expands our access to a large and diversified global market. And finally, we're built for value creation, aligned behind one clear strategy focused on creating long-term value for all our stakeholders.
So this slide captures the framework of our business construct and our strategy as a global multiline specialty insurer. At our core, we are a nearly 50-year-old market-leading mortgage insurance business with a large in-force portfolio that we believe has significant embedded value. Our mortgage insurance business is not just our heritage. It is our strength, our foundation and the engine that powers everything else we do.
The recent addition of Inigo, a 6-year-old highly successful entrepreneurial specialty insurance business with a highly talented team has catapulted us from a monoline mortgage insurance business company to a global multi-line specialty insurance business. The addition of Inigo significantly expands our addressable market in terms of product lines, geographic markets and customers, and as such, provides new opportunities for growth and success. Importantly, it provides us with the strategic platform to consider further expansion across the P&C market.
While our mortgage and specialty insurance business operate independently, each executing their separate business plans, at the center of our strategy is a shared and aligned operating philosophy related to the use of proprietary data and analytics to develop our independent view of risk and price appropriately. An unwavering commitment to disciplined underwriting, our long-standing track record of strategic capital management and a deep-rooted and culturally ingrained commitment to serving our customers' needs. And I think what I believe ultimately drives our success, our world-class teams operating with a value based -- within a value-based culture that fuels innovation and the execution of our strategy. These are core enterprise strengths that are not specific to the business, and we leverage them to build our business. Together, the combination of the two complementary businesses, executing one strategy is why we believe we are built for the future and positioned to enhance our earnings quality, expand opportunities and improve flexibility through the cycle.
This slide speaks to the foundation of our story. Since 2017, we have consistently grown adjusted book value per share, including accumulated other comprehensive income and dividends by more than 3x at a 15% compounded annual growth rate. We did this across multiple economic environments, including periods of rising rates, declining rates, economic uncertainty, housing stress and significant market volatility. The key takeaway here is our track record of growth. This reflects how we have achieved our goal of managing capital to generate earnings and build value over time across market cycles. This is the foundation that we are building on going forward with the addition of Inigo.
Now let's look at that track record for growth in book value per share has translated into total stockholder return. We've delivered 241% TSR over the past decade. Despite these attractive results, we believe the value of our business has yet to be fully recognized, creating a compelling valuation starting point.
This slide reinforces that point. Over the past 3 years, we've delivered strong operating performance and attractive returns on equity. When you look at how we are valued today relative to other benchmarks, particularly on a price-to-book basis, we believe it represents an attractive entry point. One does not fully reflect the quality of earnings, the strength of our MI business or the value that Inigo adds to Radian Group. We see a clear opportunity for investors, one that we've been actively utilizing through our own share repurchase activity over time. And the path to realizing that opportunity is exactly what you're going to hear about today.
[Audio Gap]
We've always been focused on operating a simple but powerful formula. To serve our customers, underwrite risk well, manage capital carefully and deliver to stockholders. As you've seen that discipline has resulted in a track record of success that we're proud of. Along the way, we have focused on the goal of managing capital strategically with financial discipline, focused on generating high-quality earnings and building long-term value. We believe the combination of these two businesses significantly improves Radian's return profile, presenting an attractive value opportunity for stockholders going forward. It is the opportunity for increasing value created by disciplined capital management that we are focused on. Simply said, at our core, we're focused on managing capital to generate earnings and build value.
So execution is where strategies succeed or fail. So let me be specific about how we deliver on ours. We execute our strategy through a simple and straightforward set of focused priorities. Think of it as Radian's strategic value bridge. First, we optimize our MI foundation. Our Mortgage Insurance business is a proven capital generative business with strong embedded value that provides a solid foundation. We are focused on improving operational efficiency while also leveraging our proprietary analytics to construct a highly valuable insurance portfolio. Meghan and Steve will cover our approach to our MI business in a few minutes.
Second, we're focused on profitably scaling our specialty insurance business through effective cycle management. The business is based in London and operates as a stand-alone business within Radian with the team retaining their strategic focus and culture. The addition of Inigo helps us expand our market reach, into a global uncorrelated -- into global uncorrelated markets where disciplined underwriting and proprietary analytics and assessment of risks are expected to drive attractive returns. Richard and team will cover our approach to our specialty business in a few minutes.
Third, we manage capital by deploying it dynamically across our businesses. We do this by directing capital to the highest return opportunities across businesses, across products, across cycles, focused on building value. And Dan will cover our disciplined approach to capital management in a few minutes.
Fourth, and you're going to see this in the room. We build and invest in the talent and capabilities of our world-class team, because execution ultimately comes down to having the right people, with the right expertise and the right -- making the right decisions. And finally, we do this all to deliver consistent results over the long term. Together, these strategic priorities are designed to reinforce one another. And importantly, they are what position us to deliver both stability and growth, not choose between them. This is how we believe our approach to executing our strategy translates into attractive risk-adjusted returns, enabling us to manage capital to generate earnings and build value over the long term across market cycles.
So as we sit here today, the setup is strong and the position as a global multi-line specialty insurer is in place. The North Star and the strategy are clear. And you will hear that the team is highly focused and execution is underway. Today is about showing you how this all comes together. And importantly, that we are built for the future which is bright with possibilities. We're excited about what we are building, and we believe the best is still ahead.
So let's get started. I'd like to invite Meghan Bartholomew, Senior Vice President -- Senior Executive Vice President, sorry. Senior Executive Vice President and Co-Head of our Mortgage Insurance business to the stage.
Good morning. I'm Meghan Bartholomew and Co-Head of Mortgage Insurance, along with my colleague, Steve Keleher. I've been with Radian for 24 years starting in capital markets and spending a majority of my career here in risk management. This background gives me a particular lens on how we think about the portfolio we are building and the risk we're managing. Steve and I have collaborated closely for over 15 years. And throughout that time, we've been deeply engaged with the teams that we have the privilege of leading.
What you'll hear from us today is not a change in direction. It's an acceleration. We're going to walk through -- we're going to walk you through the structural tailwinds behind our business. how we think about building and managing our portfolio for maximum value and why we believe Radian is uniquely positioned to outperform in this market.
First, the fundamentals are in our favor. Demographic demand and constrained housing supply create a durable backdrop for new insurance generation even in a higher rate environment. Second, we believe we have a meaningful competitive advantage in how we view and select risk. Differentiated modeling, pricing and customer analytics, mean we're not just writing volume. We're building a portfolio that generates attractive returns over the long term. Third, technology and AI are sharpening our edge. We're enhancing underwriting, improving cycle times and deepening customer insights, allowing us to scale intelligently while staying disciplined. And finally, underpinning it all, we are built to perform through market cycles. Our disciplined approach to capital risk and portfolio construction ensures resilience in any environment.
Let me spend a moment on the demand backdrop, particularly the role of the first-time homebuyer, which is central to our business. First-time homebuyers represent about 21% of total home sales. But importantly, for us, they account for roughly 60% of purchased loans with mortgage insurance. They are core to our franchise. I can tell you that despite some reports, the American dream of homeownership is alive and well. People want to own a home. What we're seeing, however, is a delay in the age of the first-time homebuyers compared to prior periods. The median age of a first-time homebuyer is now 40, the highest on record, affordability and supply constraints are pushing buyers to wait longer to enter the market.
They are not walking away, and the demographics are compelling. Millennials now in their prime home buying years are the largest adult generation in America. That demand isn't going away, it's building. This is exactly where mortgage insurance plays a critical role in preserving the American dream of homeownership. While the demand to become homeowners is undeniable, affordability challenges make it harder to save for large down payments and MI provides a path for these borrowers to buy a home sooner without waiting years to accumulate additional savings.
So when you connect the delayed but persistent demand and a product that directly addresses affordability, it reinforces that what we expect to be a durable tailwind for our business. The supply picture reinforces that tailwind. Constrained inventory and strong demand during the pandemic helped drive double-digit increases in home prices. During that time, existing and new single-family home inventory for sale declined to an average of 1.3 million units down from 1.9 million in 2010 to 2019 and 2.3 million from 1990 to 2009. We've started to see some inventory come to market in the past few years and the average of homes available for sale reached 1.9 million in April of 2026. This persistent housing supply shortage promotes strong demand and keeps home prices elevated at a time when saving for a down payment is viewed as the most significant barrier to homeownership, and it underscores the importance of mortgage insurance, providing access to mortgage credit for low down payment mortgages.
As a refresher on mortgage insurance and our mission in the housing space, I want to ground us in a few metrics that highlight just how critical this industry is, especially for Middle America families facing today's affordability challenges. Since 2018, Radian has helped 1.5 million families achieve homeownership. When we look at who we serve, roughly 60% of our borrowers are first-time homebuyers and over 1/3 have household incomes below $75,000. These are families trying to enter the market at a time when affordability is such a challenge. Mortgage insurance plays a pivotal role here by enabling borrowers to purchase a home with less than 20% down, helping them enter the market sooner and begin building equity earlier in their financial journey.
Before we go further, it's worth acknowledging how much the mortgage insurance industry has changed since the great financial crisis. We're serving high-quality borrowers under far more stringent underwriting and loan product standards. PMIERs, the Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements has strengthened our capital and operating framework, and we now actively distribute risk through reinsurance and other credit risk transfer mechanisms. Our pricing is dynamic and much more granular. Servicing standards, they simplify the loss mitigation options and help keep borrowers in their homes. And today's Master Policy brings greater clarity and consistency. This is a fundamentally stronger, more resilient industry and that matters when we talk about performance through the cycle.
Mortgage insurance is a critical pillar of the housing finance system, not just for borrowers, but because of the private capital we deploy as first loss protection to lenders, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and ultimately, taxpayers. We are deeply engaged in Washington, D.C., ensuring policymakers understand our product, recognize our value and represent our voice in policy discussions that shape housing finance. We come to these conversations with credibility as the risk taker through the cycle with decades of mortgage credit underwriting expertise to promote a safe, sound and resilient system. Radian is viewed as respected and a constructive stakeholder in these conversations with strong channels of communication that ensure our perspectives are part of the discussion.
I'm going to transition here to highlight our focus on our customers and how we deliver value through our technology platforms. Radian does business with over 1,000 lenders. We support lenders, all institution types and lenders of all sizes. Each is in their own -- each is in a different place in terms of their technology journeys and we have developed our processes to deliver a best-in-class customer experience for all of them through our digital platform. We deliver real-time pricing to lenders every day, an efficient and scalable mortgage risk transfer mechanism for lenders.
Radian has been consistently investing in the MI business with a focus on improving how we use our significant data to drive efficiency and improve our credit risk management functions. We innovate, we're agile. We engage with our lenders, our servicers and other stakeholders to see where the market, AI and technology are going so that we meet our customers where they feel most comfortable operating.
As with all technology discussions, examples are helpful. An excellent example at Radian of automation and streamlining our processes is our intelligent data platform or IDP, a proprietary Gen AI solution developed internally by Radian. IDP automates document processing end-to-end, including classification, indexing, data extraction and data validation. It has customizable user interfaces tailored for different workflows and skill-based routing. And because we build it ourselves, we have flexibility to quickly and easily adapt adjusting the user interface, adjusting the routing logic or even the underlying large language model. There are night and day differences between building an IDP and prior software development initiatives where we had to rely on and customize third-party technology. IDP's accuracy in terms of document recognition and data extraction is consistently improving. Adding new documents takes days, not weeks and our lean business and technology teams are partnering to improve and scale the use cases.
IDP feeds directly into our underwriting model. We combine MI application data, data extracted from documents through IDP and third-party data and analyze all of it prior to an underwriter picking up a file. Our risk-informed underwriting program automates data comparison confirms whether application data is supported by the loan file and uses underwriting rules to assess file complexity and flag exceptions. The result, our underwriters spend their attention and time on high-value activities and not on routine data verification, driving faster underwriting cycle times. Since 2020, our average underwriting time has dropped by 34%, which supports higher throughput and quicker lender response times. This process automation drives overhead cost reduction and efficiency gains and enables Radian to handle higher volumes without proportional staffing increases.
And at the same time, risk and quality control validations are embedded throughout our processes. Our quality control team will flag if adjustments or improvements are necessary. We've learned over time that the most common issue is that we didn't automate an activity that could have been automated and we'll adjust, so we don't miss that opportunity on the next file.
In closing, I've shared how we modernized underwriting with advanced data extraction and comparison tools. But we apply automation with discipline. Quality controls and expert oversight ensure that we automate the right steps. And our experienced underwriters are inserted precisely where their judgment is essential.
And now I'll turn it over to Steve to share how we build and manage our MI portfolio.
I'm Steve Keleher, and I'm a Senior Executive Vice President and Co-Head of Mortgage Insurance. My background has primarily been centered around mortgage credit. And my focus at Radian has been on our portfolio management and pricing, our data strategy and some of our operational functions. Prior to Radian, I worked at Freddie Mac and as a consultant at RiskSpan, both focused on U.S. mortgage credit. I'm happy to be partnering with Meghan as we know the business, we know this team. And we have shared conviction about where we're taking it.
You just heard from Meghan how Radian supports the U.S. housing system, some of the tailwinds that are favorable for our business and how we are leveraging best-in-class technology to efficiently serve our customers.
What I'd like to do is walk you through how we maximize the value of our portfolio, including what we focus on, how our approach works and the evidence that it is delivering results. For those of you who joined us at our 2023 Investor Day or who have listened to our quarterly earnings calls, some of what I share today will look and sound familiar. That's because although we are agile on how we pursue our strategy, our strategy itself remains quite consistent.
I'll start with what we're focused on, and that is maximizing the economic value of our portfolio. So what exactly does that mean? What I'm referring to here is the projected amount of future earnings on deployed capital, less the cost of holding that capital. With respect to new business, it's determined by the capital required to support the volume we write. So the equations at the bottom will start with the complex ones. So that's the new insurance written times capital, very important the capital piece, not just the new insurance written.
The second piece is how long that capital will be outstanding, so that's the duration piece. And the third is the returns we generate in excess of our cost of capital is the piece off to the right. So essentially, net income minus cost of capital. That's a simple version. This is the vision for our MI business. We leverage our analytics and our approach to pricing to identify and acquire new business with the highest economic value. We believe our ability to write an outsized share of economic values compared to our competitors is unique and not easily replicable and it's ultimately how we generate alpha in the mortgage insurance industry.
So how do we do this? We've developed a suite of analytical tools and models, which we leverage when it comes to pricing and portfolio management. This is a process that continually adjusts as the market changes and our view evolves. The foundation of our approach is our assessment of risk. We use our proprietary model, RADAR, to project loan performance through a simulation of future economic paths and then calculate the premium rates for each granular market segment that would be required to achieve a risk-neutral return. This, of course, varies by many things. It varies by credit attributes, things like loan-to-value ratios, credit scores, debt-to-income ratios. As an example, a policy with a 90% loan-to-value ratio is projected to generate higher losses as compared to one with an 85% loan-to-value ratio, and that 90% LTV is going to require more capital to be held for a longer period of time. The higher-risk loan, the 90% LTV, would obviously require a higher premium to generate the same return.
This also varies by lender due to performance differences and differences in expenses and it varies by geographic region, given the differences in economic trends, and I'll touch more on that in a moment.
Our risk assessment and projected performance is just the start, though. Today's price-driven market requires that we continually monitor the competitive landscape to understand where the market clearing rates are as this information is a critical input to enable our pricing model, SONAR, to optimize our pricing for maximum value. An example I've used in the past is that fundamental analysis may indicate that a particular stock is worth $100 a share, and that may be the true value. but you wouldn't know if you're a buyer or a seller, unless you know what the market price is. So we have a very strong focus on this part of this process.
And things are constantly changing, whether it be our views on the future economic environment at a local level, our loan performance projections, market pricing. And that's why we built our process to identify these changes and quickly adjust accordingly. Mortgage insurance pricing is primarily done 2 ways: black box pricing and static rate cards. Everything I've shared with you here is why we lean into the market where we can adjust pricing quickly and granularly, that is through our black box pricing and why we are strategically underweight in the segment of the market where pricing is offered by cards, which limit our ability to be as selective in the risk that we write.
I mentioned geographic region as being a key consideration in our valuation projected performance. And this chart provides an excellent example of why that is. The gray line here is actual house price appreciation in Phoenix starting in 2005. And above the axis is house price growth, below the axis is house price decline. And what we've overlaid here is 5-year projections from our RADAR model at 5 different points in time, 2005, '08, '11, '15 and '21. We shared this view at our last Investor Day through 2020, highlighting our model's ability to accurately predict HPA changes at a regional level. And in this updated view, which now includes additional years, you can see our models have continued to perform quite well.
This is in part due to the approach that we use that leverages fundamentals, things like wage growth at the local level, population demographic trends, housing stock to estimate over- and under-valuedness as well as more real-time indicators, again, at the local level, like days on the market, shares of distressed sales, listings removed without sale and others. There's a lot of economic value opportunity if you can allocate more capital in the areas that will experience favorable trends in future periods while our policies are active.
This is consistent with what we shared at our last Investor Day. It's pretty intuitive. Our approach would require a significantly higher premium for a policy in a market where the outlook is less favorable as compared to that same policy, if we were written in a market that is projected to experience more favorable trends. As an example, in Phoenix, our model would project a better performance for loan originated Phoenix in 2011 as compared to Phoenix in 2005 through 2007. So this is what we've done. Based on internal analysis and using publicly available loan performance data sets from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, we estimate our best-in-class MI underwriting and pricing has produced higher returns and produce a competitive advantage as compared to our peers.
I mentioned that our approach is working, that there's proof in the pudding here. So I'm going to use 2023 originations as an example, but I want to be clear, the story holds true with other vintages as well. In fact, we used 2022 originations at our last Investor Day to highlight a similar point. In the chart, what we did is we divided all of the metropolitan statistical areas, or MSAs in the U.S. into 3 groups: the top 40%, best performing 40% in terms of house price growth; the middle 20%; and the bottom 40%. And what you're seeing here is that with 3 years of development, we can definitively show that our approach has enabled us to overallocate our market share in the best 40% of markets that have experienced 16% house price growth.
And we were able to underallocate in the areas with less home price growth. And there's a saying, a rising tide lifts all boats. And this chart shows that even the markets we were underallocated in still experienced positive growth. However, as history has shown that will not always be the case. And we believe our ability here is unique and positions us favorably vis-a-vis others in our industry.
Sticking with the 2023 vintage as an example, you can see how the book is performing for Radian as compared to others in the industry. The chart on the left shows the dispersion in default rates that range from 1.5% to 3.5% as of first quarter 2026. This is primarily due to each mortgage insurers' risk selection. Now we're all in the same industry. So even though there are differences in absolute levels, you can still see similarity in terms of development and seasonality, et cetera. But default rates are a measure of performance with no consideration of value. And what's shown in the chart on the right for those, that report it is cumulative incurred loss ratios. And these are calculated by dividing total incurred losses to date by premiums earned. So this starts to bring in value into the equation, not capital yet, but the value now, you can see it is showing that Radian is consistently in line or lower than our peers that disclose this metric.
This is important because without considering premium that may appear on the left as if a 1.5% default rate is better than Radian's 2.6% default rate, but that's not the case. Our focus on value has led us to deploy capital in segments that could otherwise be viewed as riskier. But importantly, those same segments are priced with higher premium rates such that they generate loss ratios in line with Peer 4, who wrote lower risk volume that required less capital and was priced at lower premium rates. As the title of the slide states, we're not in the game of minimizing risk. We're focused on maximizing value.
So just as maximizing the economic value of new business is important to us. Ensuring our portfolio is well positioned to manage through varying economic conditions is equally important. For over a decade, Radian has been leveraging risk distribution to manage capital and earnings volatility. We have agreements covering a portion of our risk on 99% of our exposure written from 2022 through today. And we have agreements in place that will be covering newly written business for years to come before that business is even written. But we are quite selective in our approach. As an example, nearly 2/3 of our pre-2020 exposure is not subject to risk distribution, and that's very intentional. Given the significant embedded equity, we're very comfortable retaining that exposure and the associated premium.
This is true with the cushion we maintain above what is required by PMIERs, which is what Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac require in order to be an eligible insurer. PMIERs is a very strong capital framework, but it does not account for certain factors that drive performance. As an example, PMIER does not consider accumulated borrower equity since time of origination, which means that the same capital is required on policies written in areas that have recently seen house price declines as is required in policies, before policies in areas that have seen meaningful growth.
As I shared a few minutes ago, we believe we're building a favorable portfolio as compared to the overall industry, and part of that shows up in less projected volatility. This influences the sizing of the cushion we maintain above the required level. We established an appropriate PMIERs cushion based on projected performance and stress conditions, and Dan will share more on that later. And notably, we do not take a bigger is better approach. We think this is the right approach. To be clear, and you can see on the chart on the right, we see the least out of any of our peers that report this 32% of our risk we cede and actually prior to the Inigo transaction, I believe we were the only MI that had available assets that could fully support our required assets with no use of risk distribution. So we could certainly cede the additional risk and premium to increase our cushion, but we find more value in keeping both on our balance sheet as we believe it benefits shareholders.
My hope is that you take away from today that we believe we have strong fundamentals in our favor. We believe we have a meaningful competitive advantage in how we view and select risk. We're leaning into technology and to support our customers and drive efficiency. And finally, our business has been built to perform through market cycles.
I'd like to thank each of you for your interest in Radian's Mortgage Insurance business. Meghan and I will continue to work together with everyone at Radian to position our business for continued success. Look forward to meeting and speaking with most of you, all of you later over lunch.
And I'd like now to welcome Richard Watson, CEO of Inigo and members of the executive leadership team to the stage.
Thank you, Steve. Meghan, Fantastic. What a great story. Thank you for the introduction. Good morning, everybody. It is an absolute pleasure to be here. I'm joined, as you can see, by a good range of my fabulous team. It is our pleasure and our privilege to introduce you to the story of Inigo.
This is the agenda. This is what we're going to take you through. So I'm going to start with a little bit of an intro to the company, mostly because I think it helps to set the context for what we do and what we are going to do going forward. So we'll talk a little bit about that. We'll talk obviously about the Radian deal and why that appeals to us so much. And then -- more importantly, I think, is we'll spend a bit of time talking about what we think sets Inigo apart from the rest of the market. And then I will close.
Now, there is clearly a severe chance that we will bore you to death. So at the end of this, Bob in his absolute wisdom has put a coffee break in. So we're going to wake you up with some highly dosed caffeine and then going to come back for a Q&A. So I hope that you had lots of good questions to ask.
We are delighted to be joined by a good number of our team. We have flown half a dozen of our team over so that you can have a chance to see them as well. If you wouldn't mind guys standing up wherever you are, at the very least, it would help everybody know who to come and talk to you.
These are people I would walk over hot coals for. Flavor, we've got underwrites our casualty book and immense talent. Ludo, I see here heads up our Catastrophe Research, which is fundamental to what we do. I know you brought some of that research with you for the geeky people in the audience. Nick Lazarus underwrites our U.S. Treaty Book and probably underwrites more premium than anybody else individually at Inigo. So it's great to see him here. Bea, we have as our Chief of Staff. Chris underwrites direct and fact, which is another word for our big property in all its various forms. That again is our biggest single account.
And George is the backbone of the business because we actually call him, hey, George, that was your -- you could kind of open? Because if you've ever been with George Stratts to an industry convention, it's a nightmare. You cannot get from one meeting to another without having to stop and talk to 10 people go, hey, George. hey, George. He actually knows everybody. So look, the team is here, they're here to talk to you. They are very genuinely an awful lot smarter than me and they're certainly more in discrete. So if you really want to understand what's going on, take the time over coffee or over lunch to have a chat to them.
So the Inigo story, kind of brief introduction to Inigo. So we started it 5.5 years ago. I've been very privileged to work in this industry now for over 40 years, and I've had some fantastic colleagues to work with, both as colleagues, but also some wonderful people to work with as customers. And in talking to Stuart, Russ, Craig, George, right at the very beginning of this venture. I think all of us had this kind of itch to see whether we could set a business up to see whether we could repeat all the really good things that we've seen in our careers. Could we sort of [indiscernible] that up and create a company, we did that.
And this was back in 2020. And the other thing that was happening in 2020, of course, was COVID. I mean the market itself had a couple of really bad years and then COVID hit and that completely upended it. And so for us, that was just like this perfect chance to say, why don't we get together and do this? This is the perfect opportunity too. So that's what we -- that's when we started, it was 2020. We started trading in 2021, and we all agreed, I would say, literally, all of us agreed on this really basic approach. So on the left-hand side there, you see a number of -- I suppose like building blocks really as to how we wanted to start the company.
The first thing was focus, focus, focus. Can we not try and be all things to all people? Can we just try and focus in on areas where customers really value you, but also areas where typically they've earned good returns over time. And just forget the rest because most insurance companies end up drifting into ever less profitable, less exciting areas where, frankly, they don't bring much unique, compelling proposition. We didn't want to do that. We're just like let's go deep in what we're going to underwrite. The other thing was leadership and expertise. That was fundamental to all of us. It's fair to say that it's really hard to know with broker facilities, AI sort of clever follow underwriting, the sort of compression of margin. It's hard to know where the market is going to go and what it's going to look like. I mean I wouldn't -- I could give you 4 or 5 different visions.
But the one thing I feel really certain about is that expertise, deep expertise will always be needed and will always be rewarded. So we're going to focus on a limited number of classes. We're going to bring expertise and leadership. That's the challenge we set ourselves every day. And then lastly, can we just keep it really simple. We've probably all worked in companies where they had a level of complexity that brought cost, it brought distraction. It meant you weren't talking about customers or underwriting deals, I just meant you were kind of [indiscernible] management hell. So can we just try and do it in a way that was really simple. In our case, that's one capital base. It's one office. Just everything there touch, it's tangible, it's there to control.
So look, so far, so simple. This was the kind of building blocks of it. But how do you turn that into a compelling proposition for your customers and for your staff? So we focused on these three areas on the other side of the graph. First of all, was the customer, could we put the customer at the front? Because it's quite funny. I would say in the 40-plus years, it was very obvious to me that the customers is a bit of an afterthought in the specialty insurance game. It has become very transactional. There is almost literally a gap between client exec and customer and placing broker and insurer.
And we want to just break that down. We wanted to get close to the customer to understand them and their needs at a really granular level. And to work with some people who are at the top end of the market spending massive sums of money. And all they get back is this flimsy bit of paper and occasionally, they get to meet us, like can we do better than that? It's a pretty low bar. I think it's really easy to do better than that. And you are pushing on an open door. Customers love talking about their business. Those are risk managers, they just want to come into the office and help the business run better, to avoid or to mitigate risk, to try and make it better. So you're pushing on an open door and trying to get close to the customer and understand what they do.
And you don't have to be a kind of industry servant to look at data analytics and say, this is going to be critical to the future of the industry. What was very apparent to us was that as a new company, we had an immediate advantage over a lot of the existing companies because we didn't have outdated tech. We didn't have competing priorities. We didn't have all sorts of other things that we get distracted by, we could have a really good tech and data stack and really play to that. And it also just fundamentally appeal because the sort of people we are a bit geeky and numerous. So we quite like this analytics and try to understand the science behind it.
So we knew we're going to double down on the data analytics piece. And the same in examples of where we can do that. I know Erdal will come and take you through it. But I started my career in the property insurance game. We would write big commercial industrial risks. They would come typically with this much paper, would be handed to you, normally about a week before renewal. There were engineering reports. So some wonderful surveyor has gone through and looked at every single building, looked at recommendations that they could have, given you all these details. And by and large, as underwriters, we're typically not engineers. You've got this much to go through, what are you going to do? You're going to pull out 1 or 2, have a look at the biggest maybe, get a feel for those any recommendations. You're going to get -- and then you're just going to bin it, literally bin it.
And for all these years I've been doing this, you imagine how much information is contained in those reports, all right? I mean it's huge there may be 50 data fields and maybe only 20 of them are relevant, but all of that has been lost before. And now we can digitize it, we can analyze it. We can now digitize and analyze the claims reports. Now I can start linking claims activity and outcomes to reports, recommendations, observations, technical knowledge, I can start to see it. Is that recommendation a really big deal? Or is that only going to drive outcomes a little? That one, oh my God, that is way more important. That's a massive premium credit or debit. We can start to tie them together for the first time. So the ability to use what's available now, the technology that's available is mind-blowing to me and fantastic.
Well, Ludo will take you through some of the work we're doing on climate. I mean imagine using AI to predict the weather, not 24 hours ahead, but how about 2 weeks ahead, how about a month ahead. Imagine the advantage I can gain in the market by having just more notice of big events and what they're going to look like. So the data analytics piece is hugely important.
The last one of the 3 big ones there is culture. I would say in our industry, I think it's fair to say the success of companies in our industry is defined by the talent you have. If you have great people, even if your strategy is a bit up and down, even if you make some mistakes and we all make mistakes. If you have really, really good people, any bump in the road, they'll find an answer. They will find a solution. Even if it's a mediocre strategy, they'll make it work because they're great people. You have to have a culture that attracts great people and retains them.
So this was a very deliberate part of the design of Inigo was how do we create a culture? What is the culture? We'll talk about that. Andrew will take us through that. So we'll talk about it in detail. What does that look like? The natural outcome of all of that, if you do those things really well, the natural outcome is that you have excellent underwriting. But you've got to do all 3. You can have 2 of those. You can have pretty good culture, pretty good customer focus, but you don't have the data analytics you're done. So you need all 3. That to me is the sort of magic source of what it is that we're doing.
I'm going to hand over to Stuart now for a couple of minutes to talk about the progress of the company and the financial highlights.
Good morning, everybody. Thank you, Richard. So I want to give you a very brief history of Inigo and develop a little bit on some of the thoughts that Richard had. The founding idea for the company came just over 6 years ago in May 2020 from Richard. And having had the founding idea we then spent the next few months developing a pretty detailed business plan because we knew that was going to be the driver of what we were going to do for the next few years. And on the back of that, we then raised $700 million of capital which we raised in mid-November 2020. We then gained the necessary regulatory consents we had. But an important matter of this was we were ready to go on the 1st of January 2021, a very important date for us because it's probably the largest renewal season for the reinsurance team and to get into the market for that day was pretty critical to our strategy.
Richard has commented the fact that 2020 was, of course, the COVID era. So we raised all the funds over Zoom, which tend out to be very efficient because the investors can't hide and say they're out and they're away. They're always there. You know where they are, big plus. But the other thing that came out of that for me is Richard's comments on culture that because we also recruited of course, the first 60, 70 people over Zoom, getting the culture right from the outset was really important because you knew one day, a lot of people who didn't know each other, you'd say, come into the office, you all get on, it will be fine. And actually, knowing that there was a structure behind them culture-wise, and everybody was very similar in many ways was just a tremendously important thing to get right at the outset.
Over the next few years, we got more teams on board getting a very focused and very limited number of lines of business that we felt we could write very profitably going forward. At the same time, kept developing the analytics and the pricing tools and with Ludo and the team, the catastrophe research and very much a focused, limited number of lines of business where we can go deep with a deep expertise, which I think is at the core of our business still today.
So the first 5 years, we delivered strong, profitable growth and understand writing for profit is our key aim and we will always continue to focus on that. Another thing I'd comment about this is it's very critical, given we had quite a strong market when we started that we keep a focus on our expense ratio which we did, and I think we've done pretty successfully between '22 and '25 because as the market softens, you don't want to have a problem caused by the high expense ratio going into a slightly softer market. So we spent a lot of time managing that well.
So I'm going to hand back to Richard with those thoughts.
Sure. Thank you very much indeed. So let me -- if I may look at the Radian deal because clearly, you will want to know how we feel about it and how we see the future as part of the Radian Group. We always knew that we needed to find permanent capital. From the moment we set the syndicate, we had private equity behind us. They were great. I mean they get a bad ramp, but actually, they were great with us. But it's not always temporary, right? We want permanent capital. I kind of want capital to be just not the thing we're talking about. I want us to talk about the business and how we underwrite.
So for me, it was always something that we knew we had to do. We talked about it very openly within the company. So there was no great sort of drama or surprise when this happened. We knew we had to do that. And like any kind of like any kind of finding a partner, it's a bit of a dating game, right? So you have a wish list, we had a wish list. It was sort of classically non-smoker, solvent, good sense of humor. We had [indiscernible]. This is what we like in the perfect partner. I know this sounds cheap when I say it, but I very genuinely mean it. When we met Rick and the team and we got together with Radian, and that was like, oh my God, every single box tick. This is absolutely perfect.
So look at it from my point of view and try to sort of see in the next couple of slides how I see this combination. I mean there are a couple of what I described as structural advantages. We've got more capital. So we've got the ability now to support that growth, and we're very ambitious in the way that we look at the next 5, 10, 20 years. We've got much greater portfolio diversification. That really helps us manage the volatility that is inherent in businesses like ours. And really critically, no business clash. I haven't suddenly got two departments who do the same thing. There's no like tedious or do they report to them, but they report to the none of that. So it's a complete freedom from that. And there's no channel conflict. I can be an insurer, I can be a reinsurer, I can be a wholesale market, I can be a retail market. It's all open to us. That is fabulous.
And one of the things that is really important to us emotionally was this thing that we keep the brand was the fact we have that independence. We have that ability to drive this business wherever we see opportunity. And that is an extraordinary thing. Think of who else could come to this party and do this and give us that benefit. I'd say pretty much nobody. So that's a phenomenal thing for us. We're over the moon. It's a great opportunity for us.
The other thing was -- and I loved it when Steve and Meghan talked about their business because we -- obviously, we haven't known each other that long, but it feels like we're Blood Brothers. I mean you talk about your business in exactly the same way that search for strong underwriting returns that search for some level of science and analysis behind what you do, the ability that you want to reinvent how you do and what you do through AI. I mean what -- that's a great match for us. So look, we see here a true partnership.
And the biggest thing when I think about and certainly when we talk about it, it gives us choices as a group now, we've got choices. We've got this ability now when we look at the capital that we produce. We've got choices about where we invest it, not just within MI. We can put more money into MI, we can do more there. But we now bring the ability to invest and look for opportunities in the insurance market, in the reinsurance market, and in the third of our divisions, partnerships, which George runs. That's where we're dealing typically with big points of aggregation that could be NGAs, it could be brokers. And that can be both an underwriting opportunity, but also an equity opportunity. So we are bringing choices here, which I am delighted with.
And what that means is we have a much greater capability of managing volatility and enhancing the return. And that puts us in that bottom right-hand corner of the graph. And that's where we think we're going to drive great shareholder value. If we can show you over time that we consistently sit in that bottom right-hand corner of the graph. And the other thing it allows us to do with the partnership is invest in all these areas that we think are critical customer focus, culture, data and analytics. And we're going to go through each of those, and the team will talk to you about it. So it becomes more tangible. It's not just me saying a word, it's something real. So we'll have a chance to do that. But you'll recall at the beginning, what I said was if you do those 3 things well, one thing will happen, you will have fantastic underwriting results.
And on that note Mr. Russell Merrett.
Thank you very much, Richard. All right. Well, my pleasure to give you a brief introduction to Inigo's underwriting portfolio. We're organized into 3 divisions: insurance, reinsurance and partnerships, as Richard just cited. The first are pretty self-explanatory. The Partnerships division is where we concentrate the small amount of delegated underwriting that we do partnering with experts to access risk types and classes of business and geographies that we can't efficiently access from London. So for example, we support a high-value homeowners MGA here in the U.S., a distressed market that they can access very efficiently, and we're also a founding investor in that MGA.
All of our divisions have a mix of short tail, longer tail and specialty lines. And as you've heard, we underwrite relatively few lines of business. We target those that have a realistic prospect of good returns over the medium term. They need to be able to be material in size, and we need to have expertise that we can offer differentiated lead capacity. So that's a few enough lines that each can have the attention it deserves, but enough that we can build the foundations of a diversified and balanced portfolio. We've actually added roughly 1 to 2 lines of new business per year as we've dynamically evolved the Inigo portfolio. Today, the largest lines are our property insurance and reinsurance lines, where rates have been fantastic, but are regrettably becoming more challenging, more on that and on, followed by our U.S. casualty lines where more pleasingly, rates are generally stable and in some cases, improving.
So our aim, as has been stated, is underwriting excellence. That means underwriting for profit rather than for growth as an end in itself. And beyond that, we do aim to grow over time, but we expect that growth to be jagged uneven. We may have to hold or even reduce our underwriting, but we will push on with growth decisively when the opportunities are right.
What is underwriting excellence? Well, for us, that means really targeting higher-than-average returns captured in lower net combined ratios and lower-than-average volatility. So I'll tell you a little bit about how we hope to achieve that.
On this slide, we see some evidence of cycle management in action. I picked out 2 lines of business, both D&O and property telling different tails. In the directors and offices insurance line, we were very quickly out of the blocks in 2021, writing more than $120 million of premium rates in that class had gone sharpened very dramatically after years of underperformance, and we were able to seize that opportunity when we started.
Rates, unfortunately, as you'll see from the index began to fall as soon as 2022, as other capacity entered the market and others realized how attractive they were. And yet they were still at a very fine level we were able to push on and grow. Since '23, rates have fallen further, and we've had to reduce the amount of D&O GWP gross premium that we've written. Meanwhile, a different story on the right side of the graph in our property insurance and reinsurance lines where we were able to triple our premium or more than triple our premium between 2021 and 2025 as rates increased very sharply in '22 and '23, in particular, after some very large catastrophe activity, especially Hurricane Ian.
As I've said, rates in some of those lines are now starting to fall off, but we do still find opportunities to underwrite profitable business risks are not homogeneously priced, and we have the technology and the skills to identify the attractively priced risks. So it might look like Inigo's growth has just been a story of doing a bit more of everything. But beneath the surface, we have been dynamically evolving the portfolio of Inigo whilst we've grown to try and target an optimal portfolio.
All right. So underwriting excellence, as we said, has two aspects to it. It's risk selection and managing volatility. And this chart gives some evidence that we've had success in managing our volatility. On the left-hand side of the chart, you can see our profitability by quarter going back to 2022. I've called out some of the bigger events of this period on that chart. And you can see that those big events, hurricanes and windstorms and wildfires have influenced our profit by quarter. But on the right-hand side of the chart, you can see that they have not got in the way of us achieving profitability.
None of the big events that was called -- that are identified here was allowed to be so large that they caused our annual results to be negative. I think a product of a careful gross portfolio construction, but also the judicious use of reinsurance and retrocession protections to protect our net account from the kind of big events that we do expect occasionally to be hit by. We made a profit overall in 2022 in spite of a loss in the third quarter that was caused by Hurricane Ian, itself the second costliest cat in modern history, but many other specialty insurers and reinsurers did not.
2025 was something of a roller coaster ride. I'm sure you remember, the first quarter was dominated by the extraordinary wildfires in California, and we made only a small profit. But in the very cat quiet second and third quarters, we were able to generate substantial profit also supported by our increasingly diversified portfolio. And ultimately, we made a record profit and achieved the top quartile net combined ratio in Lloyd's in 2025.
So I don't want to shy away from the fact that we do take catastrophe risk, but we aim to do this within known parameters and tightly, and it always depends on us being well paid for taking that risk. So we managed to Board made -- sorry, we manage to tight Board-mandated metrics and also to detailed plans based on our expectations of market conditions. And in the future, we plan to disclose our model tail exposures to you in certain lines of business to enhance investor understanding and transparency of how we manage risks and how we might be impacted by large events.
So to better familiarize you with all of this and our potential large loss exposures, I'm going to try and explain how we will share those aspects with you through box plot and whisked diagrams. An example graphic is found on the left, and you may find it easier to look at your iPads. Here, we identify the expected impact to Inigo of major cats of a given size and peril. We start by identifying how big the loss related to significant events like hurricanes and earthquakes might be to the insurance market as a whole and the probability of events of that size. For example, we estimate that it's about a 1 in 7 probability, but this year, a windstorm in Florida will generate insured losses of more than $20 billion.
Next, we calculate for insured market losses of a given size, for example, the range, $20 billion to $50 billion. What might be the final net impact upon Inigo. Final net, meaning after reinsurance recoveries and inwards and outwards reinstatement premiums. The blue boxes show the interquartile range. For Inigo, 50% of the time, our final net loss is expected to fall in those boxes. The whiskers communicate that 90% of the time, Inigo's final net loss is expected to fall in this slightly larger range. So if there are 100 modeled scenarios in the $20 billion to $50 billion insured market loss range in 50 instances, Inigo loss would fall in the blue boxes and 20 would be in each whisker above and below the interquartile range 5 would be above the top whisker and 5 below the bottom whisker.
The actual outcome will depend on the detail. Is it a $50 billion or $20 billion event? Was there more wins than flat? Was it a slow-moving storm or a quick-moving storm, but details are important. Our market share will be slightly different. So it depends exactly where the hurricane, for example, made landfall. We've learned that in big losses, there are always surprises as well. So we should remember that these are modeled scenarios.
Okay. On the next slide, we're going to give some real examples of our exposures in some of our key peril zones. So on the left, we have Florida windstorm, which is essentially hurricanes and on the right, the California earthquake. You'll see that generally, our expected final net loss increases as the size of industry loss increases but not surprisingly, for very large events. And on the right-hand side of each chart, we are looking at $200 billion-plus market events. There is a greater variability from the much greater complexity of those large loss scenarios.
A real example would be Hurricane Ian of 2022, which if we index at 6% per annum, would cost the industry today about $60 billion. So it falls squarely into that second column on the left. And that indicates that a median loss for Inigo from an event of that size would be about $100 million. Now that's a number we're comfortable with. And in fact, the size of net losses shown here for some really enormous market-moving events, feel appropriate to ask the big infrequent cat events and of an order of magnitude that we can manage within the significant loss experience that we expect in any given year and in the context of the returns that we expect to generate in underwriting this business in the first place.
Overall, we believe that the volatility of our net is more controlled than is typical for our industry. Industry exposure -- industry disclosure on these exposures is very mixed, it is often opaque and no two carriers can seem to an agree on an identical basis to disclose. Is it the carrier's view? Or is it the vendor view? Is it a worldwide distribution or peril zones specific? Is it the 200-year or the 100-year? Is it AEP or OEP? I'm sure some of you are familiar with these terms. What we say we are going to do is look to be transparent, considered and appropriately thorough in what we disclose to try and minimize surprises.
So thank you for staying with me through that technical journey. You'll see that -- Indeed. We are willing to take risk, ideally evidenced over time with net combined ratios that are lower than average and with control of volatility. But to learn more about how we take full advantage of what advances in data and analytics can offer us, I'm pleased to hand over to our Chief Operating and Technology Officer, Erdal Atakan.
I'll start with a question. Why is data so important to us? Well, let me explain. For the love of data is a statement that we use to describe our obsession with searching for, collecting, curating, storing and analyzing data. Since the inception of Inigo, our ambition has been to marry the science of understanding risk with the art of underwriting. By turning data into insights and actions, we believe we're able to select better risks while providing value back to our customers.
To achieve this, our approach is a simple one. Firstly, data. We utilize our in-house experts, our network of external partners to collect and store both structured and unstructured data in our modern data platform. Secondly, models. Our analytics team enhanced pricing models to incorporate new pricing factors, utilizing the data we collect to increase our understanding of risk and the quantification of it. Finally, systems. Our technology teams develop modern underwriting and pricing platforms to surface these insights at the point of underwriting. We believe this derives 2 main outcomes.
Firstly, we believe we can select more attractive risk and optimize our portfolio. And secondly, as Craig will highlight shortly, we aim to educate and provide value back to our clients using these insights.
Over the last few years, we've developed our own proprietary underwriting workbench. We call this internally Ignite. The platform acts as our underwriters' cockpit as the image depicts. It guides a submission through the quoting process. It integrates pricing and analytics systems together. It provides management information to monitor the performance of our portfolios and help -- and it also helps collect client insights together in one place. So ultimately, platform supports our underwriting teams with risk selection by servicing insights and analytics at the point of underwriting.
Now here are a few examples of how we approach in our business. Russell earlier talked about natural catastrophe. So going a bit into that, we've increased our understanding of hurricanes by utilizing publicly available data and combining that with machine learning techniques to help improve the predictions of these events, and I'll touch on this in a little detail shortly.
Engineering reports. Now Richard gave you a good description of this. So we require risk assessments when underwriting commercial property risks, which we deem high in value and technical in nature. The data in each we report we receive is structured using AI tools and then the results surface back to underwriting teams. This saves a significant amount of time when assessing them.
We've also collected millions of telematics and GPS data points through
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With larger adjustments to less frequent events. So you can see the 1 in 100.
Now we believe the outcome of doing this, these adjustments helps us improve how we select risk, how we manage our overall portfolio, how we deploy capital and the level of reinsurance protection we purchase. And secondly, we also believe this improves the strength of the relationships we have with multiple different parties. Be it by providing insight back to our clients, by publishing research articles and insights and improving the confidence our regulators have in us.
Our colleague Leyden, who just had a few shout-outs, he manages the Cat research team and will be available to answer any difficult questions you may have on these topics. All right. So as a technologist at heart, I have to mention innovation and AI. So our teams have a culture of continuous learning and exploration. It's actually one of our values. We aim to apply the latest tools and techniques to positively impact the P&L. We're applying a range of AI tools across traditional machine learning, generative AI. And now I mean, I'm sure as everyone else is looking at agentic AI to increase our knowledge to scale efficiently like most others are and also to shift our teams in becoming AI natives. Now our current aim is to apply these into 4 areas, as I've shown on this diagram. Firstly, into underwriting teams by creating tools to augment knowledge and judgment to supporting a human's chain of thought, so they don't have any blind spots or we reduce blind spots. In the claims team by automating the monitoring and detection of signals that may cause us concern from loss notifications. With hurricane predictions, we're going to continue the work we've been doing with academia to utilize AI and neural networks to increase the accuracy of hurricane forecasting. And finally, pursuing general productivity across all of our company, equipping and training all of our teams with the skills, confidence and, of course, literacy to utilize AI agents within their day job. Now I will shortly explain that the drive for utilizing data analytics is actually enabled by, I believe, our strong culture. One of the ways we achieve this is by generating excitement in collaboration by hosting hackathons. We do this with employees, partners and actually most recently, customers.
And so in closing, we believe the combination of analytics, data, technology and culture is a winning one. And I'm going to hand over to Craig to tell you more about our customer focus. Thank you.
Thank you, Erdal. Good morning, everyone. I'm Craig Knightley, and I'm the insurance team CEO here at Inigo. I'm going to ask you a question now. It's going to take a slight risk given I've got such an industrious group in front of me. And how many of you in this room have ever spent $100 million on a single purchase? Dan, raise up his hand. That was a great purchase, $1.7 billion bargain, well done. That wasn't [indiscernible], and I didn't see any hands got up on those ones. So now let's pretend you're going to spend $100 million on a single purchase. What would you expect for it? Now some of our customers spend $100 million or more on insurance every year. And what do they receive in return? A promise to pay valid claims if something goes wrong. But at Inigo, we believe customers, as you've heard, should receive more value than that given they spend so much. My job over the next few minutes is to explain to you how we've been trying to do this since the company began. Now Richard and Russell have already explained how we've gone narrow and deep with our product set. And that focus has enabled us to build market-leading underwriting teams. And the blueprint shown on the right here is how we've set each team up. This isn't rocket science. This is about really focusing on those fundamentals. We've ensured that we've had a really strong claims handling team from day 1. We've had material line sizes such our capacity is sought after. And we've ensured that we've delivered various product innovations so we remain relevant with both brokers and customers whilst also being really easy to deal with and having fast response times. We regularly receive feedback from brokers on these dimensions, and we've been scoring consistently well since we began. And it's really importantly in the coming years, we maintain those scores.
So who are our customers? Our business is structured around 3 core customer types, and we've already walked through these divisions, large corporates, insurance distributors and reinsurance companies -- sorry, insurance companies. In the insurance team, which I lead, we are typically insuring large public businesses. We currently insure almost half of the S&P 500. So you can imagine that many of the customers that we have are companies that you guys would know well.
As you imagine, these are well-risk managed businesses and sophisticated buyers of insurance. Our second division, led by George, is partnerships. And this is where we combine with distributors of insurance to create value together. Our customers in this division are those distributors. How can we be a more attractive partner for them than our peers. We've already talked about this example with Motion Specialty, where we have an equity stake in the business and we'll common share our cat research insights, which Erdal walked you through earlier, our Inigo view of risk with them. We're very transparent with our data analytics, and we commonly pay this back to all partners that we have.
Our third division is the reinsurance division, and this is where we partner with small and large insurance companies to help them manage their risk using our balance sheet. Again, we will commonly share our research and insights with these companies so we can provide more value than just the reinsurance policy.
I'm now going to jump into the insurance division and show you how the book is made up by customer. So as you can see, we've got quite a finite number of customers, only 6,000 customers. But beneath the surface, there's another dynamic going on. 250 of our customers account for 40% of our premium. So a very finite number of customers account for a significant amount of what we do. And the second chart shows you that many of these customers currently only buy one product from us. So many of these businesses will buy D&O, GL, casualty, cyber and D&O. But typically, from Inigo, they're only buying one of these products. And having discussed with these customers, what share of their spend we are, it is very rare to be above 1% of their total spend. So in that example, if they were spending $100 million to $200 million, we might only have $500,000 or up to maybe $2 million. It's very rare that we'd be over 1%. However, when we look at the biggest insurers on their panel, many of those, the biggest ones could be 5% to 10% of their spend. And therefore, there's a real opportunity for us.
So if you look at these graphs together, you can see that there is a finite number of customers that drive our premium that we often currently only sell them one policy, and it's very rare for us to have more than 1% of their total spend. And therefore, when you add that all up, the opportunity to do more with a finite number of customers is tangible.
So how are we trying to do this? At the start of 2025, we launched our core customer offering, Horizon. This is focused on a select number of customers. It's grown from 25 customers in 2025 to more than 60 in 2026, and we plan to scale this again into 2027. Horizon has been designed to offer these customers a program of benefits that goes beyond simply offering them an insurance policy. The program benefits are now listed on screen. And as I've said, this program is really about bringing the best of Inigo bet to bear for these customers.
Erdal has already talked about data analytics. That's a core part of it, but also leveraging our teams and our culture by getting the underwriting and claims team to spend significant time with these customers. We regularly meet with these customers to share our latest insights with them as well as host them once a year for our annual Horizon event, which is in our offices in London. Two of the main benefits are our Insight pack and INFORM Inigo for Risk Managers, which is our internship program.
I'm now going to jump into these 2 benefits to give you more detail. So in early 2024, we decided that we should find an effective way of sharing our insights back with our customers. You've seen already from Erdal that we have this consolidated view of each client in our underwriting cockpit called Ignite. And what we wanted to do was essentially face this and turn it out to customers and patch up so they could view all of our insights about them. For many large corporates, the majority of their insurance spend and exposure is concentrated across 4 core products, which I've already mentioned, casualty, D&O, property and cyber. And this is where we've invested heavily in both underwriting and claims, but also in our data analytics capabilities. So what the Insight pack does is it shares all of our insights about the customer and plays it back to them. So for a few examples. For property, we share their natural catastrophe exposure, highlighting which assets are most exposed and why. We take all the great work that Leyden and his team does, and we basically show how we view their natural catastrophe exposure in terms of how it's evolving and actually overlaying our own delivery of risk on that and give it back to them.
In casualty, we benchmark their claims experience against their peers. We are capturing all the claims data so we can really understand what's driving the claims. And it's fascinating when we hear from our clients how they're then using that in their day-to-day business.
In D&O, directors and officers, many public companies there's obvious exposure to security class actions, and that is often driven by certain industry sector trends. So what we try to do is put out what are those trends. And again, by speaking to defense council law firms, we can apply it back to our clients in a way that is really tangible.
And finally, in cyber, we combine with our own data and expertise with external partners to assess how often some companies are being attacked relative to their peers. The response from customers has been extremely positive. However, at last year's Horizon event, we heard that actually what those customers really, really like is to make the Insight pack digital for 2 main reasons. One, they wanted to be able to interact with it and actually dig deep into the data and understand what the trends were in an interactive way. But also they wanted to share it more broadly within their companies and extract some of our graphs and exhibits so they can use it in PowerPoint presentations like the ones you've seen today. So we've taken that feedback on board, and I'm really excited about what's coming in H2 for 2026 because we are going to launch our digital insight portal for our customers. We're planning to host 40 to 50 of them in our offices in November when this will hopefully go live.
One of the other major benefits of Horizon is our internship program, where risk managers spend a week in our offices with our teams and some of their peers in the market. As I've already mentioned, the risk managers we host are typically the buyers of the insurance for their companies. They often decide which insurers to trade with and how much to spend with those insurers. There are over 20 sessions per week, including the opportunity to sit down with our underwriting teams and review their core insurance purchase in our underwriting dashboard. We are super transparent with our view on how we price our exposure, and it creates a valuable dialogue and sometimes a heat debate. And it's a really fun week and having actual customers in our offices, our teams really, really enjoy it. There's a real energy and buzz when customers are in our offices, as you can imagine. And it reminds all of us that we only really exist because of our customers. Without them, we don't have a business. We have no premium. We have no need to continue. We've had excellent feedback from our customers on INFORM. But rather than hearing back from me, we've compiled a short video where you can hear from our customers directly on their experience of that week.
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Last but not least, culture. And luckily, I've got a bit of the easier job today because I think you've seen our culture in action so far. But I'll take you through a bit more of some of the thinking behind it and the ways that we try to bring it to life. So our culture was intentionally designed to differentiate Inigo. You heard Richard and Stuart talk about how this was something they thought about right at the beginning of creating Inigo. The goal was to create something that could attract and retain incredible talent and also act as an operating system for collaboration, effective decision-making and ultimately, we believe, superior risk selection. The result is that our culture is distinctive. It's embedded in the day-to-day, and it's going to be difficult for others to replicate. I'm confident, again, you've seen it, but let's get into a little bit more. So the formula, what we set out to do, number one, was to hire incredible talent across underwriting, data and analytics and enabling functions. You're going to have the chance to talk to a few of them today. I encourage you to do it. Leyden has gotten all the shout out so far, but there are also some great underwriters with us and some analytics individuals, too.
We brought them together into a single office so that they can work together, collaborate, learn and the space is encouraging creativity in order to kind of bring people together. We work there face-to-face 3 days a week. We focused on Inigo's success over the success of individual lines of business, and we united people across 4 core values. These values are visible in how we operate day-to-day, in how people interact, how they make decisions and also how we serve our clients.
So let's get into each of those in turn. So GetSmart. GetSmart is all about relentless curiosity. Curiosity leads to learning, learning leads to a sharper expertise as well as innovation. We've got 93% of our employees have attended or participated in some of the learning that we have on offer over the last 12 months. And while kind of pulling the stat together, I'm thinking I need to figure out who that 7% is. I'll deal with that when I get home. But I think it gives you a good feel for the commitment and the engagement and the learning that we want to do. I think also with Russell, he views this as a learning opportunity around boxing riskers. I hope everybody feels more informed as a result.
We also encourage people to attend conferences. We support advanced degrees as well as qualifications like actuarial studies because we do believe the world needs far more actuaries. We do secondments across teams. We also do coaching and mentoring, all to support our people. And this ensures that our capability continues to grow, and this becomes a source of edge for us. So park the ego, that is the cultural mechanism that makes challenge safe. And that's where you get the best ideas to win, not just the loudest voice or the most senior voice in the room. And this is something that's not just about being nice in a regulated market like ours, it's around conduct, risk management and avoiding some of those blind spots. So thinking about some of the ways we bring those to life internally, our peer review process is a great example of that, where nearly every risk we receive is peer reviewed. And as part of that, there's challenge and feedback. And this makes feedback a real expectation in how we behave and we believe also supports better risk selection.
To be honest, we actually ask for a lot of feedback about a lot of things. So it might be about values and culture. It might be about the learning that we share, even in office design. I think we ask for feedback on what we call our offices or our meeting rooms in the new office space. But I think this is to illustrate that we want people to know that they have a voice in our organization.
Next up is radical simplicity. It's how we avoid unnecessary bureaucracy. Fewer barriers is going to mean more time on the work and faster decisions. Richard mentioned at the beginning, having one office is radically simple. I think transparency is also radically simple. And you heard Craig talk about the transparency that we give to our clients. Internally, we also run things called Ask Me Anything, where employees can ask any question that's on their mind, and we aim to get them the answer. These are also good examples where transparency is important. And recent sessions were on things like compensation. We also ran one around the acquisition by Radian, really trying to encourage the conversations. And we think that this is an advantage because it protects that productivity and responsiveness as our headcount grows.
So lastly, the -- share the passion. This is our collaboration engine. I think you've heard some of the words around collaboration frequently so far, but we collaborate both internally as well as externally, and greater collaboration across the teams as well as with clients and brokers and our other partners, we think that this leads to better solutions, stronger relationships and faster execution. So the great examples we heard so far externally would be from Erdal. We heard about Samsara. We heard about a partnership with Cambridge. Craig highlighted INFORM and the Horizon program more generally. He also mentioned about a great internal example as well with our digital client packs. So our clients said they want digital client packs. So we brought together a team. They sit together. They physically move to sit together in the office to enable the teamwork, the feedback and that ability to deliver at pace. This shows how agile we can be, and we can bring people together quickly to create solutions. So I figured with you guys as the audience, I needed a chart of some sort, but this is my favorite chart, it helps to illustrate where we've come from. So I think our culture is one of the few advantages that strengthens with our scale. And our culture has remained strong through rapid growth. Our headcount has gone from these 3 guys sitting around the dining table in 2020 to over 250 employees today. We set out to be underwriting and data and analytics led and the majority of our employees are in those roles today. When we ran through this yesterday, Stuart gave me a suggestion because feedback, and I'm open to feedback, but I should also bring this to life with some more stats. So overnight, I asked my team to give me a few more numbers, and that includes the number of actuaries mentioned, how many we love. But we've got 28 actuaries today. We've got 2 more qualified actuaries joining. We've got 8 people seeking to be certified as actuaries. In addition to that, we've got 10 PhDs in our organization. So again, really kind of bringing together sort of that analytical mindset. We hire for both capability and cultural fit. So all candidates are assessed not only about their capability to do the job, but also against our values. We want smart people who are going to positively contribute to our culture. So as I mentioned before, feedback is one of our favorite things. We regularly seek it. And we ask people about their feedback of Inigo and their experience of Inigo, and our engagement remains strong even as we've grown incredibly quickly. So 94% of employees have indicated that they're proud to work for Inigo. 88% are willing to go over and above the day job. And I think this is further proven by our attrition in 2024 and 2025, only following involuntary attrition falling between 5% and 6%. This is a place that people want to stay. And I think all of this together gives us the confidence that we can continue to scale our culture without diluting performance.
But if you don't believe me, then check out this external benchmark survey that we participated in. So as part of being in the Lloyd's market, we participate in the Lloyd's culture survey each year. And in the most recent survey, we were among the 18 -- the only 18% of firms to be qualified as excellent overall. And as you can see, we scored better than the market average in every single category. This is consistent with previous years where we were top quartile in both 2023 and 2024. Now I can't go into every single result. I mean I'll be around for coffee if you want to go through more details, but there are a few that I thought I should call out. So one is client focus. That was our highest scoring category. And you heard Craig talk about our approach to client engagement. You heard about it being core to our strategy. And 97% of our employees have responded positively about their experience of Inigo and our client focus. And these are questions around how Inigo put clients at the center of decision-making, how we encourage people to provide clients with the information to make the best decisions, how we provide -- or we take on board feedback from clients and how we deliver for our clients. And to be honest, when was the last time 97% of people agreed on anything. So I think it really shows the strength of that priority. Another one -- another couple that actually stand out as well our leadership and shared purpose. 94% of people responded positively on average to questions in both of these categories. So in leadership, this includes perceptions of our people on our leadership's focus on culture as well as whether or not our leaders are role models of that culture.
In shared purpose, our people are positive that we have a purpose and values that are meaningful to them as well as there's alignment between the values and how we do business. I think this level of positive response is going to enable consistency and quality in the delivery of our business. So culture is embedded broadly across the organization and actively maintained as the company has grown. And this is because it's embraced and led by employees at every level of the organization. Much of this happens in the day-to-day in terms of how we interact with each other, with our clients, our brokers, our regulators, but also where people go over and above to connect and share experiences outside of the office. The impact of all of this though is strengthened trust, learning and collaboration. It's also importantly that said of ownership of Inigo success. And that commitment to build the brain against the objectives we've set ourselves. And this isn't just important tool the people you see up on this page. I also have a little video to share with all of you which give you a few more views from our employees.
[Presentation]
So let me close then with a brief word about this magic combination and how it opens up a world of possibilities. It does give us the capital to grow. That is fundamental. So that is a great place to start. And I would emphasize that we could argue the size of markets and our relative market share. In the big scheme of life, we are this big and the markets that we operate are this big, whether that's insurance or reinsurance. They are worldwide markets. The opportunities ahead to lean in and find opportunity is huge.
It's important that, again, you understand the joy of the Lloyd's model is the worldwide access that it gives us, not just the U.S. but beyond into markets in almost all countries. The other thing that I think is really apparent to me when I think about this combination is the point on here about a mindset to seize opportunities. It strikes me when I look at how companies develop over a 20-year period, the ones that succeed are the ones that really lean into an opportunity when they find it. I'd like to think that we can demonstrate to you in the first 5 years of our operation that we have seen opportunities and we have lent into it. And what I love about it is I think Radian, you can say exactly the same thing. When they saw us, they lent into it. They got ahead of the market, got in quick and we embraced the opportunity. So I think both organizations have this sense of, look, we see an opportunity, go grab it. Don't waste time talking about it, just go grab it. So this ability for both companies to see an opportunity and grab it and have the ability to do that is huge. And I think you've heard both sides of the house talk about the opportunities and the technology that we enjoy and the advantage that gives us.
And I think lastly, this held together with a strong culture, which I know everybody talks about culture. I would say, I think if you talk to the team, if you ask them about it, it's not just us, you ask them about it, it's tangible. I mean it really is tangible. So quiz them, please. I've shouted out the team. [ Tanjit ], I think I missed you when I shout out. [ Tanjit ] is our casual -- sorry, our international treaty reinsurance underwriter. So that could be treaty reinsurance in Australia, New Zealand, Europe, Japan. She is one of our brilliantly qualified actuaries. She also will never tell you that she speaks fluent Japanese, which, by the way, opens up over a glass of wine, numerous really, really funny stories. So do please make sure you do a B line for [ Tanjit ].
We are going to break for coffee now. You've done well. You stayed awake. There was one person like I'm not sure about, but everybody else looks like they're here. We're going to make it, I think, 10, 15 minutes, let's say for 15, if we need to get back sooner, we'll give you a shout. Please come back with some questions. Do ask them in the break, but you can come back and we'll do a little Q&A for a few minutes here. You can do it online if you want to and anybody watching can do that online or you can just raise your hand and we'll take questions. We look forward to seeing you again in a few minutes. Thank you very much.
[Break]
So welcome back, everybody. We've got about 20 minutes allocated for this. We're quite happy to cut it short to 5 if you can't listen [indiscernible] questions. This is the bit of the presentation that I'm doing the most. So one of the benefits of surrounding yourself with incredibly good people is you can leave them to answer all the questions. We're going to see questions live in the room. If you're happy to raise your hand, we have a couple of microphones. If you could please do the inevitable thing and wait for the microphone so that anybody who's dialed in can hear the question as well as the answer, that will be grateful. I know, Bob, you're manning an iPad somewhere there with questions which you can submit online if that's preferred and certainly if anyone is watching. But look, let's kick it off. If there are questions, we are delighted to try and answer them.
Michael, you've achieved very impressive combined ratios over the years you've been in existence, somewhere, say, in the mid-80s. I'm wondering if you'd be willing to share a long-term goal for combined ratio. Obviously, it can be variable. And then more specifically, how do you view the current rate down cycle? What kind of impact that would have? And then secondly, as you grow...
Can I -- I'm terrible forgetting questions. Can you keep the microphone and we'll try the first couple.
Well, it's just a related question.
I don't want to let you down.
As you grow, do you think your combined ratio is more likely to go up as you take on maybe different kinds of businesses or go down? So just what I'm really looking for is a long-term combined ratio goal and the impact that the current down cycle is going to be.
Yes, I wish I could give that to you. I feel like I'd be a lot richer than I am if I could do that. But we will try. Stuart, do you want to pick that up? And Russ talk about what we're trying to do in the market.
So I guess I'll pick it up by saying, obviously, we're not allowed to give you any forward guidance. I will leave that all to Dan later. But certainly, in the cycle we've been through rework. We knew when we started up that we were going into a very strong cycle. And we had an aim of writing combined ratio in the mid-80s. And for me, as the CFO, that meant by meeting the expense ratio in the low 30s, which is what you saw, which is why I emphasize that, unless you have a loss ratio that can get you to that level. As the market softens, we know that it will inevitably increase the combined ratio. It's just a function of [ NAVs ].
One thing I think we would is emphasize, and I think the 1 thing I had to my little talk earlier is that, some heartfelt thank you to Rick and the Radian Board and team for saying, write to profitability don't write for growth. And that's the big message, I think, that they've given us, and that absolutely fits in with our philosophy when I turn to Russel in a minute. So that will be our focus.
We have a number of lines of business. Not all of them will go down at the same time. Not all of them will go up at the same time. In Russell's illustration of the D&O market versus the property market, we can look again a liability market, which is probably increasing slightly at the moment. Our aim has got to be to try and write profitability, so less than 100% combined ratio. Plus, of course, you've got investment income. But just as a simple combined ratio, we have to have an aim of being under 100%.
Absolutely. So it's important to emphasize that every risk that we price our aim is price adequacy. And for me, I think that's typically that we will be targeting a mid-80s net combined ratio. Not necessarily precisely. It depends highly on the degree to which that risk correlates with everything else we do and the amount of volatility that's associated with that risk. So if that is the long-term goal then there is definitely going to be variability by cycle.
Today, we still see lots of adequacy in the business that we write. And I'd like to get back to that point about the absence of homogeneity in the pricing that we see, the disparity between a well-paid risk in 1 part and a less well paid risk in that same class. Our approach to understanding that risk better perhaps through our applications of data and analytics should allow us to differentiate effectively between the better and less good risks. And even in a tough market where the average price adequacy is impaired, we should still be able to find the best risks that allow us to pursue that attractive net combined ratio over time.
And it is difficult to give you a forward-looking statement as much as we would love to and thus difficult to know because the market is so hard to predict. I mean I find that you want people who react to the opportunities in front of this very hard to say with certainty what 12, 24 months now will look like in this marketplace. But I think the point you have made is with softer defining moment in our conversation with Radian was this, look, it's about underwriting excellence. That's what's going to drive shareholder value. It's not about growth and volume for the sake of it. And the fact that when Steve and Megan talk about it, it's the same grounded view of we have to get an adequate return to risk, hugely important for us. And I think 1 of the graphs showed -- try to show, this isn't going to be a linear top line story. I mean it's the anything I can tell you. It's going to be a jagged story according to where the market opportunity set some where the cycle sets.
And I may have misunderstood this a little bit, but it seems to me that your hook up with Radian could provide some more capital and growth opportunities, if you remain independent. So I guess the other part of the question really was, as you do grow potentially, take on new business or whatever, forgetting the time of the cycle we're in, will those businesses be done at roughly the same combined ratio? Or we should just assume that there would be a deterioration from the kind of businesses that you would be growing?
Craig, do you want to talk on that?
I didn't think you should make that assumption there. I think our outcomes will be dependent on business mix and the cycle. But there's no inherent reason why we should be less profitable if we're bigger than we were. There will be ups and downs. The key thing for us will be really leaning into those areas where we find adequacy. And the joy of being relatively new and relatively small is that there is still this universe of risk for us to grow into. And so for example, as we enter new lines of business, we're not lowering the hurdle rates that we seek to achieve by entering those new lines. And for us, it's still a big beginning of that out there.
I'd like to say [indiscernible].
[indiscernible] for 1 in, just in case.
All right. What you say is I think the other part that Craig made the comments on in terms of a very small part of your clients' business today and the opportunity where you see that rate adequacy to lean into it and find opportunities within that universe. So you're a small player, in a big, big -- so you don't necessarily have to stretch for new risk, new lines of business. You have to leverage your Horizon program, your focus on the customer, kind of find those opportunities to expand your wallet share with them. And I think that's where growth and profitability can be identified as you kind of right through the cycle.
I think the other thing is, well, it's fixing on a particular combined number, for example. I mean it's just 1 number, but it doesn't tell you the risk profile and you're up and downside. I mean I think -- so I'd be happy to write a higher net combined ratio is if the risk profile seeds that. I mean I think there are lots of things we can consider about what diversity it offers the portfolio, what is the level of risk and therefore, look at the return as what's an adequate return if you're operating in a narrow corridor. So I'm reluctant to give you a -- try and give you a single defining point.
Richard, do you want to just talk about cycle management, just kind of in general, the importance of that for the business you're in?
Yes. I mean from my point of view, the -- this question I've tried to describe in those slides, but it's not a linear top line story. It really speaks to -- I think the D&A was such a good example of that we rushed at that market when the opportunity was there because it was hard markets. We knew there was value in that marketplace. But we were more than happy to pull back when that rate decrease and the margin decreased. The success of our business will be a series of smart decisions, and there will be times when that's rushed forward and the time when that rushes back and we talk about it a lot. I don't mind if we reduce the premium and take a relax if that's the smart decision. So the important thing is that people don't feel under pressure to grow the top line regardless. It doesn't mean to sit back and relax, it means go hunt harder. But if we don't find adequate returns, then that's fine, we can live with that. They will come back.
Other question there.
2. Question Answer
Rowland Mayor, RBC Capital Markets. I was wondering if you could discuss in the U.S. casualty portfolio, how you set and review reserves, particularly for the lines that have generated charges for new district general liability, umbrella or excess in commercial audit?
Well, that's perfect. It's a good question, and it's a perfect 1 to hand straight to Craig. One is the managed shared accounts, and 2 is another qualified accurate. Craig, why don't you have a go?
And so the question is, how do we review reserves to ensure that they'll last. obviously a very topical question in terms of the cash -- U.S. casualty market. So what I'd say, first of all, is we have a quite fine line size in terms of what our net position is in U.S. casualty. So 1 of the most important things is if you do have more claims than expected, how do you make sure that your reinsurance kind of kicks in and protect your balance sheet. So fundamentally, we make sure we are -- we have sufficient reinsurance. We obviously look at a -- lot at actual versus expected claims. So what's our claims frequency and severity of claims, to make sure we're closely monitoring that. And we look by underwriting you the adequacy of reserves relative to the claims ratio.
What we tried to lay this behind you. So I can see her, she heads up our U.S. casualty team. We make sure that we are focused in some of the more shorter-tail entry segments. Sometimes people think about U.S. casualty as 1 big blob of exposure. And actually, by industry that exposure can be quite different. A rail company has a very different exposure to a chemical company, rail company, as an instant -- you know about it literally in minutes, whereas a chemical company, the exposure can go on for a lot longer. We try to skew the portfolio towards a slightly more shorter tail industry segments. And we are very focused on reserve adequacy in our U.S. casualty book of business.
I don't know if there's anything from a reserve position that you want me to...
I think on the benefits we have is we started writing in 2021. So we're actually not sitting on those reserves, look very horrible from -- or was it '16 through '19 or something? Yes. But it also -- a lot of our reserving will look at the industry benchmarks that have got that data in it. And you would hope that the market has slightly learned from those bad years by the time we came along. So -- and we're in a nice position that -- we have a relatively short history. So actually that does make reserving slightly easier.
And we have a French actuary as well who has a [indiscernible]. He's just mean. That's the best thing you can do.
And I guess just as a follow-up, can you discuss your view of rate adequacy in property markets and anything you learned at the sixth one, I guess, for you, 16 renewal.
It's a big renewal date for the regional, especially the Florida reinsurance purchases, and we definitely saw some risk-adjusted rate challenges there. But we also have seen some real improvements in the underlying risk to have see some legislative changes in recent years. So there was some rationale for some of those risk-adjusted or non-risk-adjusted rec returns coming down a bit.
But we still found good business. It's an area where we're very selective about the entities that we support, and there are some fantastic companies, but we only a support a small minority of the companies, for example, that are active in Florida, picking the best of the insurers that are active in that state.
And ultimately, we still find lots of opportunities to deploy capacity at decent returns. I think Florida is always going to be 1 of the global peak capacity zones, and that does help to ensure that there's still some rational balance between price and risk.
Will you think you're primarily for reinsurance or insurance as well?
Craig, do you want to touch on the insurance?
Yes, happy to and if you want to catch to Chris, he's here as well to head up our team. But again, fundamentally, as Russ described, we have seen rates come down fairly swiftly in that area. And as we manage the cycle, we mine for that. And so if we see rates come down more than we're expecting below the level that they should be at, we fundamentally will shrink our premium base.
Now I'm not saying that's what we've done there aggressively. But there are some risks that have fallen below the level of adequacy that we think is a good ROE on our capital base. And when that happens, as much we were part with customers, we're also the partner of shareholders and give them a good return. So we make sure that they reach sufficient adequacy, risk by risk. It's fair to say that in the U.S. property market, rates have come off fairly swiftly this year, but there's still a lot of business that we can write at sufficient margin. But when it does fall below the margin that we need, we will not write as much business.
And I think 1 of the answers that simple model of 1 office is very easy to stay on top of us to have the conversation to review risk to talk about it. It's very important for the -- picking some of the younger underwriters to know that it's okay to step away, and that's the right thing to do. So I think we enjoy the fact that it's very easy for -- sorry, very easy, that makes not easy at all. But Chris, at the very least, you feel as though you can see all the decisions, everything that's going on and have a proper debate about it.
And I'd say on the Horizon program. We've obviously seen some of those customers been able to achieve CP rate reductions. And so the question there is, are you able to maneuver and still get good returns on that. What's happened is some of these examples, we've had to redeploy our capacity into higher layers of different parts set program. We think there's still a good return. So we don't just continue with them regardless, but what we're able to do is actually redeploy our category to different parts of that program where we hit a good ROE, and they have kind of looked after us in a way that they probably wouldn't have if we haven't delivered some of the benefits of the Horizon program. So again, it's still a fairly sort of transactional market, but we're able to navigate that through those relationships.
Bose George from KBW. Can you talk about capital? Given your growth expectations over the next 12 to 24 months is that fully supported by internally generated capital. Can you talk about capital benefits from the Radian -- being part of Radian as well?
Yes. Dan is going to cover capital later, so I won't steal his thunder. But certainly, I think if we look at the model that we built, the profitability that we've seen over the first 5 years by Lloyd's underwriting, that account have been profitable from day 1, has generated the capital that you need to sustain the growth going forward. So obviously, when the market gets tougher and the profitability we've just been talking about gets less, the capital in our market will be slightly increased but we do hold a good level of buffer capital. And then above that, the grading, I think there are some other opportunities to get capital used around the group in an efficient way, which Dan will talk about later.
Just 1 follow-up on capital. Were there any period over the last, say, 5 years, where your growth was constrained by a lack of capital?
So another answer to that is actually, we originally raised $800 million from investors, not the $700 million that we said and we never managed to use the last $100 million of it, just because we had a lap in imagination.
I was going to remind you.
And say that we stuck to the macro writing for profit, and that's -- we were always sitting with some additional capital.
Harry Fong from ROTH Capital Partners. I believe you showed a chart that says that you expect roughly 40% of your losses did come from natural catastrophes. I'm wondering how you develop that number? Number one. Number two, what is the high low range depending on where we are on the cycle from a pricing standpoint, peak versus front?
I could take the first bit of that. That 40% is the number that represents our mean expected losses based on our actual or plans on which version of it that you saw, portfolio, which integrates the Inigo view of risk. So if, for example, we think that it's more likely that there are hurricanes in Florida, that is represented in that calculation. So it's a mean number. So the 1 number that you can be pretty sure that it won't end up being is that, but it sits within quite a broad range on a gross basis, but a rather narrower range of potential outcomes on a net basis because of the way that we hedge.
Can you provide those numbers?
I don't think we probably can, actually. But much I'd love to...
We'll monitor.
We certainly look at them and we try and operate within tight constraints and manage those numbers very carefully.
All right. There was a second part of your question, which I announced stupidly.
The cycle.
The cycle. Why don't you grab that one, then?
I think it's a good question. And obviously, if you look at Lloyd's and the sector, you can see the combined measures, if you go back over time, you can obviously see the cycle and how the combines ratio's go up and down. I suppose each part of the cycle has different features to it. So the first thing is we have obviously higher interest rates than last time. It was a soft market. So 1 could expect that maybe combined ratio does creep up a bit higher than previously because this time, you've got interest rates at a high level and therefore, insurers can supplement their earnings with investment income. So that could actually possibly increased to combine ratio more of time. The count of that is that obviously, the most important part of the combine ratio is the claims and actually trying to forecast over next 3 to 5 years, what events can happen in the tail that we're actually going to experience is a crystal ball type moment. And so really, if you look back over time, be it COVID or other events that were caught the tail, it's very difficult to forecast then.
That said, I think investors and individuals in particular, don't enjoy losing money. So if you look at the lowest combined ratio, if it ever goes above 100, it's unlikely to compete for a prolonged period because eventually, you are eroding shareholder value and you are obviously decreasing your asset base. And so if it continues to be our high level for a prolonged period, I think quite quickly, capital depart and we enter a new hard market. And if you look at carriers like us that are more or ritual than say in last 5 years, the carriers have done really well over a 40-, 50-, 60-year period, are those that can be considered in a soft market but very ambitious on in a hard market. And so for us, if there is a period where the market is soften, we will be considered, but then also looking around the corner to start, be excited again because actually, what follows the soft market typically is a hard market and a hard market is when actually you could create a campaign shareholder value over the medium to long-term.
And so I know it's a long-winded answer to your question, having to use that ranges, but I think it's the mindset to how to look at the market cycle.
All right. Good answer. Thank you very much, indeed. Look, I think we sadly ran out of time. We are around. So again, over lunch if you want to ask questions, you're very welcome. I would just say at a personal level, I appreciate the engagement. It's really nice to have questions. I was worried there was going to be a tumbleweed moment here where we're going to certainly just stare with each other. So that is the end of the Q&A, and it is my pleasure to welcome the fantastic Dan Kobell as CFO of Radian.
Good morning. So as you've heard today, Radian has 2 leading insurance businesses and everything we do ties back to a simple framework. We manage capital with discipline to generate earnings from our businesses and build value in how we deploy it, which leads to our North Star of delivering attractive returns over the long term across market cycles.
This slide shows how our 2 insurance businesses contributed to this goal in the first quarter of this year. We typically report our balance sheet on a consolidated basis, this view shows summary balance sheet metrics for our 2 segments: Mortgage and Specialty. In the first quarter, our mortgage segment delivered a 15% return on its segment-level equity. While our specialty segment return on equity was 15.1%. We are pleased to have two high-quality insurance businesses, both serving attractive markets, accessed through world-class teams, both well capitalized and resilient, both aligned strategically and culturally and both positioned to deliver attractive returns.
Looking at the capital strength of our two businesses in more detail. Radian Guaranty, our mortgage subsidiary, is subject to two capital frameworks and continues to be well capitalized under both of them. Under PMIERs, which you heard Megan and Steve described earlier, we maintained a $1.6 billion buffer as of the first quarter, 41% above the required level. Our statutory capital total was $5.7 billion, which has grown by $1 billion over the last 5 years and is among the highest in the industry. Our statutory risk-to-capital ratio of just over 10:1 is as low as it has been in 20 years. This strong capital position is foundational. It supports both the resiliency of the business, and our ability to generate and deploy capital at the group level.
And Radian Guaranty has continued to be a powerful capital generator. Since 2021, it has produced over $4.3 billion of statutory net income. And given the strong capital levels that it continues to hold, most of these earnings have become available to our holding company, Radian Group. Of the $4.3 billion in earnings, $3.5 billion or 80% has become available to Radian Group through a combination of quarterly distributions and the $600 million intercompany note that we executed in 2025.
The remaining 20% of earnings has remained within Radian Guaranty to further bolster capital levels in support of our growing Mortgage Insurance in Force portfolio. This balance between distribution and retention of earnings allows us to both support growth and maintain resilience. And the test of any insurance business is how it performs under stress. Our mortgage insurance business is well positioned to navigate a severe macroeconomic downturn.
This slide illustrates the expected performance of our mortgage business through a severe scenario that includes an increase in unemployment to approximately 10% and a 20% decline in home prices, both consistent with the environment that we saw during the Great Financial Crisis. As shown, we would still expect to maintain positive earnings and grow book value throughout this scenario. In addition, we project that our PMIERs capital position would remain strong, well above the required level and Radian Guaranty would be positioned to continue paying dividends to our holding company.
In this scenario, we would expect Return on Equity for our mortgage business to recover to prestress levels within 2 or 3 years. This resilience is critical. It allows us to lean in and continue deploying capital when opportunities are most attractive in the cycle. Okay. Now turning to Inigo. Our Specialty segment is well capitalized with $3.7 billion of assets, like Radian Guaranty, Inigo is held to multiple capital frameworks. Both the Solvency II and Lloyd's capital requirements are calibrated to an extreme loss event, and Inigo is well capitalized relative to both standards.
As a Lloyd's syndicate, it benefits from the Lloyd's markets financial strength ratings and Lloyd's business using ratings of AA- for S&P and Fitch, and A+ for A.M. Best. The Lloyd's market offers a unique capital structure that provides both stability for customers and flexibility for carriers. Inigo's capital requirement at Lloyd's is divided into two equal sized tiers, each with their own degree of flexibility. Tier 1 capital was primarily funded through cash and investments. However, there are also Tier 1 capital facilities that are available to financially strong syndicates to use in meeting their capital requirements subject to Lloyd's approval.
Tier 2 capital has a greater degree of flexibility and can include bank letter of credit facilities, which allow for an increased level of flexibility at an attractive cost. Today, Inigo uses a letter of credit facility for approximately 40% of our total Lloyd's capital requirement. With Radian's financial strength as a parent company, we have the opportunity to explore increasing the letter of credit facility towards the 50% limit as well as considering potential Tier 1 capital facilities, both subject to Lloyd's approval.
The availability of these flexible capital structures combined with the financial strength that Radian already enjoys across the enterprise, offer attractive options to capitalize our specialty business at an attractive cost. We look forward to updating you on our progress as we position the specialty business for even greater capital strength and efficiency in the years ahead. A key differentiator for Radian is how we assess and manage risk at the enterprise level, and how we use nearly 50 years of data to inform our risk decisions.
Our enterprise risk and capital management function works across the insurance businesses to set and manage risk tolerances, assess the performance of our business through a variety of scenarios and evaluate new opportunities in the context of our existing risk exposures. While day-to-day underwriting decisions continue to be made within each business, this enterprise function allows us to take a holistic view of how we deploy capital to drive returns and safeguard the business against evolving risks.
Across both businesses, we maintain an extensive outwards reinsurance program to reduce our net exposures and manage our capital positions. In both mortgage and specialty, we use traditional reinsurance, including quota share and excess of loss programs to significantly reduce our net exposures, as you heard both Steve and Russell mentioned earlier. In addition, we access the capital markets for efficient risk transfer through structured transactions, including Radian's Eagle Re Mortgage Insurance-Linked Notes program, and Inigo's Montoya Re Cat Bond program.
We also maintained a disciplined and thorough counterparty management framework working with highly rated reinsurers and closely monitoring any concentrated exposure. In addition to expanding our addressable market, Inigo adds meaningful diversification to our earnings profile. As shown here, Mortgage Insurance loss ratio have shown almost no correlation to Lloyd's loss ratios over the past 15 years. Although we do prepare for an event that would impact both of our businesses simultaneously. This lack of correlation reduces the likelihood of this occurring and provides an additional layer of risk management.
In addition, the low correlation of the two underwriting cycles enhances our ability to manage capital across both businesses and lean into market opportunities. Another important pillar of strength for Radian is our investment portfolio. Following the Inigo acquisition, Radian's enterprise investment portfolio stands at $7.1 billion, and is comprised of well diversified high-quality securities with an average rating of A+. The strength of our investment portfolio and our strong liquidity profile allow us to pursue opportunities to generate incremental value, including by optimizing our strategic asset allocation and total duration profile.
In the first quarter, we generated $70 million of net investment income from our portfolio or an annualized run rate of approximately $280 million in earnings. As we have discussed before, we have a number of options at Radian for deploying the capital we generate. On this slide, we show the 5 primary options that we have evaluated over the past several years. Our highest priority is supporting the organic growth of our 2 insurance businesses and pursuing attractive risk-adjusted returns in both the mortgage and specialty business.
In addition, in the ordinary course, we continue to evaluate options for accretive M&A, including potential transactions that offer access to new markets, provide earnings growth and further increase the diversification of our company. Our return threshold for M&A is high given the strength of our existing businesses and our overall return targets. In addition to growth, we are also mindful of our overall financial leverage profile and consider debt reduction as a potential use of excess capital as appropriate. After considering these uses, we have been disciplined about returning excess capital to our stockholders.
We've done this in two methods in a programmatic way through our attractive ongoing quarterly dividend and opportunistically through share repurchase, which we believe is an effective and efficient way to return excess capital to stockholders. As shown on this slide, we have executed on all of these areas since 2021. Our mortgage insurance in-force portfolio has grown by $36 billion as we continue to write significant levels of high-quality new insurance business priced with insight and discipline, as Steve noted earlier. We executed the $1.7 billion acquisition of Inigo earlier this year, a transaction that transformed our company and has already provided significant financial benefits as reflected in our first quarter results.
We reduced our long-term debt by $350 million, reducing the interest expense that we pay and improving the financial strength of the company. We also returned $710 million in capital to our stockholders through quarterly dividends, paying the highest yielding dividend among our mortgage insurance peers. And we purchased $1.6 billion of our shares reducing our share count and driving $700 million of accretion in book value. And executing on these priorities, we have used our capital to make Radian a stronger and more diversified company, one with double the revenue, higher earnings, lower debt and a much larger addressable market.
During this time, our financial strength has been recognized by our rating agencies, S&P, Moody's, and Fitch, each of which has upgraded Radian Group to an investment-grade financial strength rating. Taken together, these actions have made Radian a more diversified company with stronger earnings power and a broader opportunity ahead. The timing of how we deploy our capital may not be linear. At Radian, we evaluate the macroeconomic environment around us and are disciplined in the level of liquidity that we maintain.
The embedded earnings in our mortgage insurance for portfolio and the visibility that we have into the resulting capital flows from Radian Guaranty, provide us with a degree of predictability in our capital planning. And that allowed us to restart our share repurchase program in the first quarter of this year shortly after the Inigo transaction. This capital strength and flexibility enabled us to take advantage of an opportunity to return capital via share repurchase at an attractive value. And Radian has a strong history of returning capital to share repurchase.
Since 2018, we have purchased 43% of our shares using a total of $2.3 billion. The 94 million shares that we purchased would have a book value as of the first quarter of $3.3 billion, demonstrating the significant value that has accrued to our shareholders from this activity. Over this time period, we purchased shares at a range and valuation levels from a discount to book value up to a 40% premium above book value.
In every case, the purchases have been accretive, and we continue to believe that our shares trade meaningfully below their intrinsic value. These repurchases have helped drive significant growth in key metrics, including earnings and book value per share. And the expected financial accretion from the Inigo acquisition further enhances the potential return from share repurchase into the future.
At Radian, we have built a model designed to generate capital consistently, manage it with discipline and build value over time. With two complementary, uncorrelated businesses and a flexible capital framework, we are well positioned to deliver attractive returns over the long term and across market cycles.
And now I'll turn it over to Rick for some closing comments.
All right. So I'm going to do something that's going to make some people in this room very nervous. Where is Emily at. So going to go a little off-script, all right? So I want to just kind of step back and reflect upon what you've heard today a little bit. And then I'm going to go back to the podium and kind of stick my landing, okay? What a difference 4 months makes? Think about it, 4 months, we took these two individuals, Meghan and Steve, I remember we tapped them on the shoulder and said, we want you to lead our Mortgage Insurance business.
Work as a team, work as a group, what they've done over the last 4 months, take our MI team completely reimagine the business into the future, create excitement about an opportunity to build that business going forward and bring us today. So we're -- it's a great business. But the future that they're creating, I couldn't be more excited, more proud of. So thank you. Four months ago -- almost 4 months ago, after spending a year this past year together, we brought this Inigo team on board to Radian Group. You can kind of see the energy from that group, except for Richard.
All right. But you can see that energy that brings. It brings an entrepreneurial spirit. It brings a growth mindset. It brings a global market, all right, to our business expands our opportunities. 4 months, that's the transformation that Radian has gone through. And along that side, we asked Dan and Rob, where Rob is? Rob is hiding somewhere, there he is, to lead our financial functions. And so change, yes. Forward leaning, yes. Opportunity, yes. So I couldn't be more proud of Meghan and Steve, could be more proud to have the Inigo team part of Radian, and Dan and Rob have done a great job. But the teams come together.
And that energy, I hope you feel through today, kind of the teams coming together towards a forward view, and that's what gets me excited. When I kind of look and sit there and listen to this whole story that I hear day after day after day. And maybe sometimes I play into that story, I get excited. So I hope that you all got to feel for how this company has really kind of transformed from what it was even 6 months ago to today in terms of opportunity, in terms of leadership, in terms of team.
Obviously, Mike and I, are going through our transition, which I couldn't be happier about, and we're excited for Mike to kind of take that leadership role into the future. This is an exciting time. So I just wanted to kind of reflect what a difference 4 months can make. Now for those who I've made uncomfortable, I will move back over here and go through. So we've covered a lot today, and I stand between you and lunch, all right? And I hope you get to enjoy lunch, but I'm going to close on this.
Today, you've heard how Radian has evolved into a global multiline specialty insurer, built on a strong foundation, strategically advantaged by a set of core enterprise competencies executing one clear strategy as we have said throughout the day through two complementary businesses. I think it's important to mention that we've also -- we also complement each other through our distinct business models, one more established and scaled the other earlier in its development and more entrepreneurial.
Together, the combination brings out the best of each. This is already having an impact as our teams work together and learn from each other, we acquired a great company Inigo with excellent talent, but the combination of these two businesses is what is truly special and why I'm so excited about the future of Radian Group. And importantly, you've heard directly from many members of the exceptional team responsible for executing our plans. All positions us with the strategic capability to manage capital to generate earnings and build value, and you heard Dan talk about that.
I guess I have to flip slides too, right? That was that slide I was just talking about. Now we'll go to this one. What we believe is equally important is where we are today. We have delivered strong operating performance. We have built a more resilient and diversified earnings profile for the future. We have meaningfully expanded our opportunities start with the acquisition of Inigo. And as you've heard we believe that our valuation represents a compelling investment entry point.
Our strategy is clear. Our businesses are strong. Our team is unmatched in my opinion. We are confident in our direction, we are confident in our team, and we believe we are well positioned to deliver long-term value for stockholders. Thank you again for being with us today, and we look forward to continuing the conversation. Lunch is in the pre-function area, which is at the other end of the hall and then join us again back here at 12:45 for the fireside chat between Mike and I. Thank you very much.
[Break]
Yes. Thank you for coming back, everybody. That was lunch.
It was good. Did you get all your questions answered? For those of you who had questions, hopefully. All right. Well, so Mike and I are going to do a little back and forth, so you can learn a little bit more about Mike. And I feel like I know a lot, but I'm going to try to learn a little bit more right now. Yes, you're in trouble.
So look, as many of you have heard today, we've known each other for a while. We were both a lot younger when we first met. But I think it's an exciting time for you to join. And I just -- I'm kind of curious as to why are you excited about this opportunity? What's -- you've been here all of four days. And I felt like after four days, I knew everything, Mike. I don't know about you. How are you doing?
No, it's been incredible, and I'm super appreciative of the opportunity to overlap with you, Rick, and to be able to learn from you. And it's actually like a great way to get to know everybody and ensure that we have a smooth transition. And so that's been wonderful. I mean, I think I'll probably like reiterate a couple of things that we saw during the presentation that I'm really excited about, that struck me. I think it starts with a really strong foundation. I mean, we've got this -- you saw the stats of mortgage insurance business that just grows year-over-year-over-year, steady growth in book value, great consistency.
But historically, we've had more capital than we had places to put it. And with the acquisition of Inigo and having access to this large specialty insurance market, all of a sudden, it's a whole new world. And Dan showed the slide that showed the way we think about capital allocation. And historically, again, it was mortgage insurance. And if we had excess, maybe we buy back stock, maybe we pay a dividend, maybe we pay down debt. Now we have mortgage insurance.
We have specialty insurance. We can still buy back stock. We can still pay dividends. We can still pay down debt. And by the way, we could also hang on to some of that capital and let the spring coil a little bit and see if there's another platform that we want to add to it. So when you put all that together, it's just a -- we've talked about the transformation of Radian, it really does feel like a transformational time. And I think the company has never been better positioned.
One thing just to add to your comment that you're going to learn is that transparency. We have to capital flow from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group that creates kind of this flywheel approach of just kind of managing capital, and how we invest it. And so I think many of our investors have kind of seen that over the years, but it's really a powerful thing, and the combination of that with Inigo and other opportunities, I think, just creates a great platform going forward. So Mike, look, I've followed your career. You've gone -- you don't like to be characterized as a mortgage guy because your -- by background, you've worked with some of the largest financial institutions.
It was by accident, didn't happen at all.
Mike and I have talked about that over the years because before I came to Radian, I would have been that mortgage guy. But from a -- from your career, you worked at some of the largest, most sophisticated institutions; you've been part of transforming businesses. I know you're highly interested in technology, and how that plays into it. Kind of how do you think about the opportunity from a Radian perspective? And what do you bring with -- from those experiences to Radian? How do you think about translating that background into what you want to bring to Radian?
Yes, a few thought. I mean, for those of you that aren't familiar with my background, I spent most of my career at JPMorgan Chase, and it was a wonderful journey. I described it as like the pre-crisis, we were a good global bank and kind of the crisis, it kind of showed, and/or was the catapult for us becoming the biggest and best bank in the industry. I started out, I described it, as a happy retail banker, and most of our -- across all of our consumer businesses other than mortgage.
Mortgage was the place where talented people went, and then I never saw them again. And I got the call at some point to lead servicing there, and then ultimately lead the business. Went to Wells Fargo, where I led the consumer lending businesses, which included home lending, auto, credit card, personal lending, student lending business that we ended up selling.
And then to Mr. Cooper, where it's -- for those who aren't familiar with it, and certainly, the non-U.S. crowd probably isn't, but we were the largest mortgage servicer in the industry, servicing about $1.5 trillion in mortgages, and ended up selling the company to Rocket last year. But across all of those businesses, it has been about risk-based capital allocation. So it's the -- Mr. Cooper buying servicing, it was, should we do it through our correspondent channel, should we do it co-issue market, should we acquire in the open market, or should we do it directly from customers?
And each of those had different return profiles, and we flexed in and out of them as the environment changes. Certainly, at a bank, lending for your balance sheet, it's very much -- the better times being out of different markets. So it's not mortgage insurance, it's not specialty insurance, but if it's not siblings of those businesses, it is at the very least first cousins that have the same concept.
The one other thing I'll say is, and it's been interesting even talking to so many people in the insurance industry here who have said, "Oh, wow, the banking industry seems like they're more advanced in using data and technology to enhance the business." And I kind of feel like I've been a dissatisfied banker for much of my career, saying, "Can't we do even more with data and technology to make the business better."
And I think that will be an opportunity for Radian. As far as I can see, the technology is developing so rapidly, and how do we have the ability to deploy data, deploy technology, but do it in practical ways, they're going to create real value for our shareholders?
Yes. As you heard, and I know, Richard, what do you referred Blood Brothers or something like that. One of the things that struck me when we first met the Inigo team, which was just over a year ago, Dan, right, May 7 of last year, I think, is the common language that spoke between the companies around data and analytics and in the way kind of pricing, to use a P&C term, rate adequacy, to use the MI term, EV, just kind of thinking about optimizing risk-adjusted returns.
When I think about your background from a banking point of view, as you and I have talked about it, that capital allocation framework that you've used there. It does apply to this business. And the way we use it, and the deep analytics that come along with it, is, I think, one of the great complementary aspects of these two businesses. So I think you're going to have some fun with that.
Yes. Well, I'll put the question back to you. You've led the company for nearly 10 years. Like, what are the accomplishments you're most proud of? What have you seen from Radian over that period?
Look, as you kind of go through this process in life and you think about kind of retiring at this point in my career. There's a lot that I reflect upon. There's a lot that I think about that there's things you think you might have done differently. There's things you think that you're very proud of. So, we'll focus on the things I'm proud of. But I think, look, every part of the journey is just really interesting. But the things that I kind of reflect back over the past 10 years, I think about the team.
And that may sound just kind of -- of course, you think about the team. But about the team that we have in place today, the team, the quality, the people, their character, the values that we live by. And then we brought this really great team from Inigo alongside a team that had similar values at Radian, and we put these two teams together. So, when I kind of hang up the cleats, or whatever to put the paddle down, or something like that.
I think you leave the shoes in the middle of the mat court.
Yes, okay. There you go. All right, all right. Take the helmet off, whatever it is. I'm going to look back and probably -- you reflect on things, I'm going to reflect upon the people that I encountered through this process and the team that I think is in place today. I have to say, the ability to watch our MI business, and where they're headed. As I mentioned earlier, what Megan and Steve have done in the last 4 months, 3.5 months to really reimagine that business with the team, truly excited about it, and I'm proud of them.
And then bringing this Inigo team across the finish line and bringing them into the Radian family, I think, is -- you kind of go across it. But I would also -- the last thing I would say, and again, I'm probably forgetting five other things, but I'll tell you about them as we go. The other thing I would just -- I'm very proud of is who the company is. We're -- we talk about values and Richard and Andrea talked about the values within Inigo.
And that day when we met in Philadelphia with the Inigo team, we felt a chemistry around culture, around values, around how we want to be recognized and operate as a company. But I think we're a highly responsible company. I think we value who we are as a company, and our position in our marketplaces, our position in our communities, our position -- responsibility we have to investors and our employees alike. So I'm proud of the company we are. So as I kind of reflect back, that's something.
No, that's awesome. And I vibe with that. To push you on, you have a lot of people who back the company through different cycles, a global pandemic, moments nobody could have predicted. And this -- maybe it's like selfish for me, so I can speed up my learning and finding things. But what did you learn through that you just couldn't have known Day 1 and...
Yes. Actually, you bring up the pandemic, everybody remember that thing called COVID. Remember, we all went home, and we worked from home. I remember -- I think Eric is in the room here, Eric and I flew to Florida that night after we made -- as a team, we made the decision and send everybody home to work, right? And you wonder if technology is going to work, you wonder when you're going to see each other next. We barely knew what Zoom was at the time, right? But it's a great example because the day after -- and we could tell a whole bunch of stories about COVID.
But I think the one thing that I learned at that point, I was reminded of -- is the resiliency of the team and their ability to overcome pretty much anything. And we know that was a great challenge, but the next 1.5 years was also very challenging. But I would say, since day 1, when I joined Radian, really not knowing anybody at all. I think what I've learned, and what you're going to learn is that -- and we've seen the same thing with the Inigo team.
This is a team that's committed to really figuring out how to work together as a team, highly resilient when things don't go the right way, kind of figuring out how to solve problems and kind of playing through the ups and downs of a business. And so I think we can learn all about capital models. We can learn all about risk parameters, and we can learn about a whole bunch of things about the business. But if you don't have the team in place to manage through that and demonstrate resiliency through good days and bad, companies aren't going to succeed.
And I've seen our team go through enormous challenges through cycles, through business challenges through self-inflicted wounds from time to time, right? You ever experience one of those? And they found their way through it. They worked their way through it. So I think you're going to learn that the team that you're going to take responsibility for leading is a team that just wants to do things the right way, wants to figure out how to solve problems, and is highly resilient and innovative and thoughtful in terms of their approach.
Yes. That's awesome.
Yes. So for you, so for you, there is understanding you made a little stock purchase.
Yes.
And I'm curious about your perspective of that. I think probably it's all been -- therefore all in the public domain, right? So...
That's for, we're good.
Yes. Yes, we're good. So I'd be curious about your perspective on that.
Yes. It was very important to me to be an owner of the company from day 1. I'm excited to do it. And the valuation made it easy and exciting. It's -- you saw in the presentations, you've got two businesses that are earning mid-teen ROEs through the cycle. And if I have the ability to invest money and know I was going to get 15% a year return, I would do that all day long because I know within 5 years, I'm going to have more than double my money. And...
You did the math. You're good at math.
Thank you. Yes, that's the -- it seemed like an important qualification for the job here. But it's -- but like on top of that, there was also the slide that Dan showed that showed our multiple, I think it showed 1x. We're actually, I think, trading a little bit below 1x right now versus the broader insurance industry benchmark, which I think was 1.9x.
So, in addition to the ability to earn good returns through the cycle, there's also an opportunity to re-rate to what we think is a more appropriate recognition of the value we create. So, it's a little bit of a reiteration of the excitement I have about the platform that we have. And it was fairly easy to be -- if I'm being honest, I set a certain amount of money as...
Beth would say we should always be honest.
Well, that's good. I try to always be honest. But I'd say a certain amount of money aside and I kind of -- I ended up with a little bit more shares than I thought I was going to. So that was nice.
Yes, yes, that worked out well. All right. So you've been here all of 4 days. And you talked about this a little bit earlier, but I just -- I think it's probably good to kind of go back to it. What's been your impression so far...
Yes. Well, you talked about it. My answer is actually kind of the same, which is the team. And I've had an opportunity day 1 and 2, I was in Wayne. I was -- came in yesterday and been here today, and as Richard introduced, a lot of the Inigo team is here. So, I got to meet a lot of people that I hadn't met before, other than to see like names on org chart boxes and things like that. And you have to be -- I'm impressed, and I hope you are impressed.
And if you're not, then you just need to get to know people better. Because you've got a team on the mortgage insurance side, that -- like I don't know if I met anyone who's been here less than a decade, yes, there is like -- there is a deep knowledge and understanding of this business.
And when you start to double-click into it and get deeper the things that Steve and Megan were showing, like, there is an analytics capability that is really, really good. I've been in some outstanding organizations in terms of the data and analytics, and it is something real that explains the better credit performance that you're seeing in the book. With the Inigo team, it's like I admit Russell and Stewart and Richard and they were amazing, and I love their story of like 3 guys who retired, learned that retirement didn't totally agree with them, and said went over.
They failed that.
Yes, they terribly failed their retirement and said, what if we can create a company that would be like the dream company that we would have worked at our whole career. And it sounds great. So with dinner last night, I was really trying to probe for whether that's real or not, and it is. And part of that is the culture, and part of that is the people. And this mindset, the curiosity, the commitment to analytics, the commitment to having a low ego, where you're focused on getting it right versus being right, getting the right answer versus like being the person who has like political clout in an organization is real on both sides of the business. And it's what gives me confidence, and I hope we'll give all of you confidence, that we are going to make good decisions and the way we allocate your capital.
So, I want to kind of back up a little bit because you and I have talked over a period of time here, even before this process of you joining Radian. We've known each other, as I said, for a while. We're -- give me the elevator pitch of why you came here. What just -- like, I know you've been excited because you and I have talked about it.
Yes. I said it upfront as well, which is it is great people, great culture, and a great platform...
But you didn't know any of that until you got here other than...
I said it looked good from the outside. I'm upgrading, it's great, but it was -- I've known you a long time. It gave me a little bit of an idea of -- I'm not surprised in terms of what I'm seeing in terms of the culture of the organization. So, yes, I did get increasingly excited as I spent time with you, as I spent time with the Board, as I spent time with the team. And yes, I couldn't be more excited. I think we have time for one more question, and I'm going to ask you, so, I don't have to answer it.
But seriously, you've made the comment to me and our team a number of times that a few months from now, you're going to transition to being our biggest cheerleader. And we want our cheerleaders to be happy. So what is -- what does success look like to you 5 years from now with the foundation you built? What do you want your legacy to be? How do we help carry that forward?
Well, I appreciate that. I think when you kind of look forward, you kind of take the platform you have today, Mike. And I've said this a number of times, I couldn't be more excited to pass the baton to you because I think you're the right person at the right time, and I'm excited about that. So with that -- I start excited. I hope I finish excited.
Me too.
You will do a great job. When I look at it, and I say, -- and Richard and many of us have spent time talking about this. I think the opportunity is that this is a very different business 5 years from now. I think it's much more of a global business. I think it's got an opportunity to leverage that great foundation of an MI business today that we've talked about. I spent a great deal of time. But I think it's going to leverage expanded opportunities and grow on a global scale across the broader insurance market, allocating capital very effectively to drive those risk-adjusted returns.
So, I think when we look at it, it will be a track record where not only myself, my grandchildren. I appreciate what you did. But the second thing is that investors appreciate that this is an opportunity for a story of compounding value, right? That consider -- through the cycle, there's going to be volatility. And I think the volatility creates opportunities. So, as you go forward and we look out 3, 5, 10, 20 years from now, right? I think Radian will be a much different business. I think it will be defined on a global scale.
I think the team will be -- continue to be unmatched on a different scale. And I think it will leverage the opportunity that it has today to go forward. So, personally, as I sit here today, I couldn't be more excited about, and I said it earlier in the closing comments about where the MI business stands and the opportunity for it to go forward in a really, kind of innovative, and transformative way. The addition of Inigo and the way we manage capital and the team and culture. But I think that's -- those are all the building blocks that kind of catapult this business forward, so 5, 10, 20 years ago, it is a global force different than it is today, and I think that opportunity is ahead of it.
So I will wrap then by saying, our job as a team is to make you proud and to make all of our shareholders proud. We're going to get after it. We hope you're as excited about the future of Radian as we are. And we really appreciate you all being here and look forward to interacting with you as we wrap. So thank you.
Thank you very much.
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Radian Group — Analyst/Investor Day - Radian Group Inc.
Radian Group — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Radian Group Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Hello, and welcome to the Annual Meeting of Stockholders of Radian Group Inc. Please note that today's meeting is being recorded. [Operator Instructions]
It is now my pleasure to turn today's meeting over to Howard Culang. Mr. Culang, the floor is yours.
Good morning. My name is Howard Culang, I'm the Non-Executive Chair of the Board of Directors of Radian. I would like to welcome all of you to Radian Group's 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders is being held via live audio webcast.
I would like to call each stockholders' attention to the agenda that outlines the order of business for today's meeting. I will act as Chair of the meeting, and Elizabeth Diffley, who is EVP, Senior Corporate Counsel and Corporate Secretary of the company, will act as Secretary of the meeting. It's now approximately 9:00 a.m. and in accordance with the Notice of the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, which was sent to you with the Proxy Statement, I call the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders to order.
If any stockholder would like to access a copy of the Annual Report or Proxy Statement, links to those documents are located in the Meeting Documents section at the right of your screen.
Before we proceed, it's my pleasure to introduce Rick Thornberry, Radian's Chief Executive Officer; and Daniel Kobell, Radian's Interim Chief Financial Officer. Also in attendance today are all of the members of our Board and several other members of senior management. John Beasley, representing PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, company's independent registered public accounting firm, is also present this morning. Mr. Beasley will be available during the question period to answer any appropriate questions you may have.
And now to the business of the meeting. In fairness to all stockholders in attendance and in the interest of an orderly meeting, we ask that stockholders limit questions to those pertaining to the business of the meeting.
Would Ms. Diffley now report on the status of the meeting?
This meeting has been called by notice dated April 2, 2026, and the company has received proof that the notice of Internet availability of proxy materials was mailed and that the Notice of Annual Meeting, the company's 2025 Annual Report, the Proxy Statement and Proxy Card were filed and made available on or about April 2, 2026, to each stockholder of record as of the close of business on March 23, 2026, the record date for this meeting. A representative from Computershare Shareowner Services has been appointed as Inspector of Election to conduct the vote at this meeting and any adjournment or postponement. The Inspector of Election has advised us that a quorum exists for each matter.
Thank you, Elizabeth. On this basis, I declare a quorum present and this meeting duly convened and competent to proceed with the transaction of business. I now declare the polls open.
If you have already submitted your proxy, your shares will automatically be voted in accordance with your instructions on the proxy card, and you do not need to take any further action unless you wish to change your vote. All stockholders of record who have not yet voted or wish to change their vote, may do so now by clicking the link provided on your agenda to cast your vote.
Throughout this meeting, we may make forward-looking statements, which are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially. For a discussion of these risks, please review the cautionary statements regarding forward-looking statements and the risk factors included in our 2025 Form 10-K and subsequent reports filed with the SEC. These are also available on our website.
Also, during this meeting, we may refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures, which may include adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity. A complete description of these measures and the reconciliation to GAAP can be found on the Investors section of our website.
Thank you, Elizabeth. There are 4 proposals to come before the meeting for stockholder approval. The Board of Directors has recommended that stockholders vote in favor of each of directors nominees and the other 3 proposals. The reasons for the Board's recommendations are set forth in the company's proxy statement.
First order of business is the election of directors. Is there a motion to elect each of the 11 nominees for Director?
My name is Noel Spiegel, and I am Chair of the Governance Committee of the company's Board of Directors. On behalf of the Board of Directors, I nominate for election as Director, each of the nominees set forth in the proxy statement.
The second order of business is to approve by an advisory nonbinding vote, the overall compensation of the company's named executive officers. Is there a motion to approve this proposal?
I move that the overall compensation of the company's named executive officers be approved.
Third order of business is the proposal to approve the Radian Group Inc. 2026 Equity Compensation Plan. Is there a motion to approve this proposal?
I move that the Radian Group Inc. 2026 Compensation Plan be approved.
The fourth order of business is the proposal to ratify the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the company's independent registered public accounting firm, for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026. Is there a motion to ratify the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers?
I move that the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP be ratified.
The online voting for each matter voted upon at this meeting is now closed. Will the Inspector of Election, please tabulate the votes.
With the Inspector of Election, please report the results of the vote.
Apologies. Mr. Chairman, having conducted the election and vote at the 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders of Radian Group Inc. I can report based on my preliminary tally that the stockholders have voted for, the election of each of the nominees for director; for, the approval of the overall compensation of the company's named executive officers; for, the approval of the Radian Group Inc. 2026 Equity Compensation Plan; and for, the ratification of the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the company's independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2026.
Based on the report of the Inspector of Election, I hereby declare that each of the nominees for Director has been duly elected and proposals 2, 3 and 4 have been approved. The Inspector of Election will certify the final results of the voting.
While this concludes the formal business of the meeting, at this time, I would like to introduce our CEO, Rick Thornberry, to give a brief report on the company. Following Rick's remarks, we will address any questions that relate to the business of the meeting that were submitted during the meeting.
Thank you, Howard, and thank you all for participating today. Before we close the meeting, I want to reflect on where we have been, what we have accomplished and where we are headed.
For nearly 5 decades, Radian has been one of the leading mortgage insurance companies in the United States. We have built a high-quality portfolio, a strong balance sheet and deep customer relationships while maintaining a consistent track record of delivering stockholder value. I am proud of that legacy.
Earlier this year, we took significant steps to build upon that success and position the company for long-term growth and value creation in 2026 and beyond. On February 2, we completed the acquisition of Inigo Limited, a highly respected Lloyd's of London specialty insurer. And with that, Radian became a global multiline specialty insurer. Inigo is a leading Lloyd's business built by world-class underwriters with deep expertise across global property, casualty and reinsurance. Lloyd's of London is the world's leading specialty insurance marketplace, and this acquisition gives us a meaningful seat at the table in a much larger global specialty market.
Importantly, Inigo's model aligns with our core strengths, disciplined underwriting, data-driven analytics, and strong risk management. As part of Radian, Inigo operates as a stand-alone business unit, retaining its leadership team and culture while benefiting from our capital strength and enterprise capabilities.
What excites me most is how naturally these businesses fit together, we expect our mortgage insurance segment to remain a powerful capital-generating engine that supports families across the U.S. achieve their dream of homeownership. Inigo brings a globally diversified specialty insurance portfolio that complements what we already do well by expanding our geographic reach, enhancing our ability to deploy capital across market cycles and adding uncorrelated risk diversification.
Importantly, the transaction reflects our capital discipline. Consistent with our long-term approach to balance sheet management and capital allocation, we funded the acquisition using existing liquidity and excess capital without raising new equity. None of this happens without the financial strength and flexibility we've built, including the strong results we delivered in 2025. So let me spend a moment there.
In 2025, our mortgage insurance business grew insurance in force to an all-time high of $282.5 billion, wrote $55 billion of new insurance and generated net income from continuing operations of $618 million. We grew book value per share by 13% and returned $576 million to stockholders through dividends and share repurchases. In 2025, Radian Guaranty distributed $795 million in dividends to Radian Group, giving us the liquidity to fund the Inigo acquisition from a position of strength.
In a broader context, from 2020 through 2025, we returned approximately $2.5 billion to stockholders through dividends and share repurchases, while maintaining a sound balance sheet, continuing to invest in the business. Our capital allocation philosophy has not changed, maintain financial strength, invest in growth, and return excess capital responsibly. We believe our ability to generate and redeploy capital with discipline through cycles is one of Radian's most important competitive advantages.
Building on this momentum, earlier this month, we reported our first quarter as a global multiline specialty insurer. I'm pleased to report that we're off to a strong start, with total revenues increasing 58% year-over-year to $466 million. Our mortgage insurance business saw new insurance written grow 42% year-over-year, while our specialty segment delivered $162 million in gross premiums written with only 2 months of Inigo's results reflected in our first quarter earnings. These results reflect the power of our strategy.
Looking ahead, we're focused on 3 clear priorities: delivering strong, consistent performance in our mortgage insurance franchise to help continue to advance the mission of affordable, sustainable and responsible homeownership, successfully integrating Inigo and advancing our transformation into a global specialty insurer and maintaining disciplined capital allocation, deploying capital where it earns attractive risk-adjusted returns, preserving financial strength and returning excess capital to stockholders over time.
I also want to recognize the people who make this all possible. Our teams across the U.S. and in England have shown exceptional commitment and agility through a truly transformative period as we sharpen our focus on our core strengths and grow globally, that includes the focused and important work underway to wind down our mortgage conduit business and complete the planned divestitures of our title and real estate services businesses. I am thankful for the dedication and professionalism of our teams. Our culture, grounded in accountability, collaboration and belonging will remain a critical differentiator as we move forward.
Earlier this year, we announced the addition of Seraina to our Board of Directors. Seraina brings more than 35 years of global insurance experience and a passion for leveraging emerging technologies. She is a wonderful addition to our already strong board.
Finally, before I close my comments, I want to recognize Greg Serio on his retirement from our Board after 14 years of service. On behalf of our entire team at Radian, we thank him for his commitment and dedication.
Nearly 50 years ago, Radian was founded with a clear sense of purpose, and that purpose has not changed. Today, we are building on that proud legacy to create something even greater, a global multiline specialty insurer with talent, capital and strategic vision to compete and win for decades to come. To all of you, thank you for your continued confidence and support. We are energized by what is ahead, and we are committed to successfully executing our strategy. Thank you.
Thank you, Rick. Now we will respond to questions that may have been submitted by stockholders during the meeting. If you are a stockholder of record and wish to ask a question, you may click on the message to submit your questions. If you've asked a question that was not answered during the meeting, we will follow up with you separately after the meeting.
I'll turn it back over to Rick now.
Okay. At this time, there are no questions, Howard. So I think we can...
Thank you, Rick. There being no further business to come before this meeting, the meeting is adjourned. I would like to express my appreciation to the stockholders who attended the meeting as well as those who submitted their proxies but were not able to attend.
This concludes the meeting. You may now disconnect.
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Radian Group — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Radian Group Inc.
Radian Group — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the First Quarter 2026 Radian Group Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Bob Lally, VP of Finance. Please go ahead.
Thank you, and welcome to Radian's First Quarter 2026 Conference Call. Our press release, which contains Radian's financial results for the quarter, was issued yesterday evening and is posted to the Investors section of our website at radian.com. This press release includes certain non-GAAP measures that may be discussed during today's call, including adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity. A complete description of all our non-GAAP measures may be found in press release Exhibit F and reconciliations of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures may be found in press release Exhibit G.
These exhibits are on the Investors section of our website. Today, you will hear from Rick Thornberry, Radian's Chief Executive Officer; and Dan Kobell, Senior Executive Vice President and Interim Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that comments made during this call will include forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that Radian faces, you should refer to the risk factors included in our 2025 Form 10-K as well as subsequent reports filed with the SEC. These are also available on our website. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Rick.
Thank you for joining us today. This quarter marks an important and defining moment for Radian, our first as a global multiline specialty insurer. We believe this is the beginning of a new and exciting journey. I'm happy to report we are off to a strong start. In the first quarter, our Mortgage Insurance business continued to deliver strong operating performance. We resumed our opportunistic share repurchases, reflecting our continued commitment to disciplined capital management. And importantly, in early February, we successfully completed the closing of the Inigo acquisition, a highly strategic and complementary specialty insurance business, thereby bringing together 2 world-class teams focused on building Radian into the future as a more diversified insurance enterprise.
With the addition of Inigo, we now operate across 2 complementary noncorrelated insurance businesses, each with its own earnings and distinct risk and return dynamics. We believe this structure expands our growth opportunities and enhances our ability to deploy capital through an attractive risk-adjusted returns. Our financial performance this quarter reflects the first in which the earnings from both our Mortgage Insurance business and our newly acquired Specialty Insurance business, Inigo, are combined. It's important to note that the Inigo's financial results represent only the 2 months since the early February closing rather than the full quarter.
The performance of our Mortgage Insurance business from an earnings and capital generation perspective was consistent with the fundamentals that we have discussed in the past. Our high-quality Mortgage Insurance portfolio continues to demonstrate strong credit performance with significant embedded value. We continue to leverage our proprietary data and analytics and disciplined underwriting processes to add new business with attractive economic value, and we remain focused on improving the efficiency and effectiveness of our operational processes to enhance service and reduce costs, all of which we believe supports the important financial and strategic foundation that our Mortgage Insurance business provides today and into the future.
In terms of Inigo's results, as mentioned earlier, with the closing completed in early February, only 2 months of Inigo's results are included in this quarter. Even with only a partial quarter of ownership, Inigo contributed meaningfully to our results, reinforcing the benefits of operating with 2 distinct and complementary insurance segments. We are pleased that Inigo's performance this quarter is consistent with our expectations and reinforces the strategic and financial merits of the combination.
Coincidentally, today marks 1 year since Richard Watson and I, together with leaders from both organizations, first met. From that first discussion, the alignment from a strategic and financial perspective as well as the risk management approach and the cultural fit was clear. After our comprehensive due diligence confirmed that Inigo was the ideal strategic partner to help shape Radian's future, we moved quickly and decisively to complete the transaction in a timely and efficient manner. The execution of this deal underscores our ability to identify and capitalize on compelling opportunities to further strengthen our offering in a rapidly evolving market.
As a reminder, Inigo is a specialty insurance carrier that has a strong track record of profitable underwriting growth through the Lloyd's market across global specialty insurance and reinsurance products. As I've noted previously, the Inigo team operates as a stand-alone business within Radian retaining their strategic focus and culture. In today's dynamic and ever-changing market, Inigo differentiates itself through a strong culture and disciplined underwriting, leveraging data and analytics to drive prudent risk selection, a strong track record of profitability and value-driven growth. We believe the combination of Inigo's strategic approach with a highly experienced team, along with the ability to dynamically allocate capital to the highest value product lines positions our Specialty Insurance business to perform well through market cycles.
I am personally excited to bring these 2 companies together this quarter for what I believe represents the beginning of a new and exciting chapter for Radian. The strategic logic is straightforward. Mortgage Insurance provides a strong foundation that we expect will continue to generate consistent earnings, strong cash and capital generation and significant embedded economic value. Specialty Insurance adds access to a large and growing global market with different cycles and drivers that we expect will enhance diversification and resilience at the enterprise level. Together, these businesses create a more balanced and diversified earnings and capital profile, which we believe positions us to grow value more consistently through market cycles. This strategy is anchored in capabilities we have already proven, including underwriting discipline, data and analytics, customer engagement and capital management and extends those strengths across a broader set of growth opportunities.
From a Radian Group perspective, our role is to manage capital thoughtfully across both businesses, supporting growth where returns are compelling while maintaining discipline across the enterprise. From a capital perspective, our priorities remain unchanged. We expect to continue to maintain strong financial and liquidity positions, support organic growth in both businesses, deploy capital to achieve attractive risk-adjusted returns and return excess capital to stockholders thoughtfully and strategically.
As I noted, consistent with our disciplined capital management framework, we resumed our opportunistic share repurchases during the first quarter. Importantly, doing so demonstrates the strength of our balance sheet and continued capital generation even after completing a $1.7 billion acquisition of Inigo earlier this first quarter. The resumption of share repurchases reflect our conviction in the combined companies earnings power, capital flexibility and long-term value creation.
Before turning the call over to Dan, I want to emphasize one final point. This quarter is not about declaring victory. It's about establishing momentum. We believe the combination of a proven mortgage insurance foundation and a disciplined specialty insurance carrier and 2 highly experienced and talented teams positions Radian for a more resilient, more flexible and more valuable future. We are excited about the road ahead, confident in our strategy and focus on execution. With that, I will turn the call over to Dan to walk through the financial results in more detail.
Thank you, Rick. I'd like to begin by highlighting an important change in the way we manage and report our insurance businesses. Following the Inigo acquisition and the continued growth and diversification of Radian Group, we refined our segment reporting to better reflect the way we organize our business and assess performance. Going forward, our operations will be reported across 2 distinct insurance segments: Mortgage and Specialty. We believe this enhanced transparency will provide a clear view of the underlying performance and key drivers for each business.
In addition, we will report a corporate category that includes items not attributable to either of the 2 segments, such as holding company investment income, interest expense and certain corporate costs. These corporate expenses were previously reflected in our Mortgage segment and all periods have been restated to reflect the new reporting framework. With that context in mind, I'm pleased to provide additional details about our first quarter results which include 2 months of performance for Inigo.
On a GAAP basis, we generated net income from continuing operations of $129 million or $0.93 per share, with a return on equity of 10.8%. While the GAAP results include the impact of certain onetime costs related to the Inigo transaction as well as noncash amortization and purchase accounting adjustments, our adjusted operating results clearly reflect the immediate financial benefits of the acquisition. Adjusted net operating earnings per share grew to $1.27, a 22% increase from a year ago. Adjusted net operating return on equity grew to 14.7% this quarter, an increase of over 130 basis points from a year ago. We grew book value per share 10% year-over-year to $35.67. We also returned dividends to our stockholders over the past year that accounted for an additional 3% of book value.
On a consolidated basis, our total revenues grew 58% year-over-year to $466 million, reflecting continued growth in Mortgage segment revenue as well as the contribution from our new Specialty segment. Our net premiums earned are now diversified across our 2 insurance segments with our Specialty segment accounting for 41% of first quarter net earned premiums. Our total investment portfolio of $7.1 billion consists of well diversified and highly rated securities. At an enterprise level, we generated $70 million of net investment income this quarter, an increase of 14% from a year ago, driven by higher investment balances. Our investment portfolio has continued to be an important contributor to our earnings and the addition of Inigo's investment portfolio reinforces the strength.
Turning now to the key drivers of our segment results, beginning with our Mortgage segment. Our large, high-quality Mortgage Insurance in-force portfolio grew 3% year-over-year to $282 billion. New insurance written was $13.5 billion in the quarter, an increase of 42% year-over-year. Persistency remained strong in the quarter at 81.3%. As of the end of the first quarter, approximately half of our insurance in-force portfolio had a mortgage rate of 5.5% or lower. Given current mortgage interest rates, these policies are less likely to cancel due to refinancing in the near term. Both our in-force and net premium yields were unchanged this quarter as we continue to generate consistent premiums from our valuable Mortgage Insurance portfolio.
Our mortgage provision for losses and related credit trends continue to be positive with strong cure activity. We reported approximately 13,600 new defaults in the quarter, a decline of 4% from the prior quarter. Cures increased this quarter to approximately 13,700, exceeding the number of new defaults and reducing our portfolio default rate to 2.51%.
Following the quarter, favorable trends continued into April, where cures again exceeded new defaults and our default rate declined further. Our cure trends have been consistently positive, meaningfully exceeding our initial default to claim expectations for these loans. Favorable development from prior period defaults was $36 million for our Mortgage segment, similar to recent quarters. Mortgage segment operating expenses were $41 million, a decline of 6% year-over-year. Our Mortgage segment expense ratio was 20%, down from 21% a year ago.
Now turning to our Specialty segment, which reflects only 2 months of performance for Inigo. Net premiums earned in our Specialty segment were $164 million, which are diversified across a range of attractive lines of business spanning both insurance and reinsurance. Within our Specialty segment, we specifically target business lines with attractive margin and where we can leverage proprietary data and advanced analytics to gain an underwriting advantage. Total loss provision within the Specialty segment was $86 million, which included $13 million of favorable net development for prior period reserves. While the current environment is more competitive, particularly in property insurance and reinsurance lines, underwriting profitability remains strong with a low level of natural catastrophe losses in the quarter.
Our Specialty segment reported a net expense ratio of 33% and a net combined ratio of 85%. As Rick noted, these results are consistent with our expectations. Inigo has demonstrated a commitment to prudent underwriting and achieved profitability during a period of significant growth. While we expect variability in our Specialty segment combined ratio over time, we intend to continue to prioritize profitability over volume and remain committed to disciplined, profitable growth. Additional details regarding our segments are available in press release Exhibit E.
Moving to our capital, available liquidity and related strategic actions. Radian Guaranty's financial position remains strong. In the first quarter, Radian Guaranty paid a $140 million dividend to Radian Group. Our PMIERs cushion was unchanged at $1.6 billion, significantly above the required PMIERs capital level. During the first quarter, our holding company received $46 million of capital from our entities that are currently held for sale. These returns of capital provided immediate liquidity to Radian Group and reduced the carrying value of these entities to $61 million as of quarter end.
Since the announcement of the planned divestitures in September of last year, we have returned $108 million of capital to our holding company from the entities held for sale, representing over 60% of their carrying value as of the end of the third quarter of last year. With regard to the divestitures themselves, we continue to make steady progress and expect this process to be completed by the end of the third quarter of this year.
In the first quarter, we repurchased $50 million of our common stock or 1.5 million shares. In April, we purchased an additional $65 million of our shares, bringing total repurchase so far this year to $115 million or 3.3 million shares. We were pleased to resume opportunistic share repurchases and continue to believe that share repurchase provides an efficient and accretive way to return excess capital to stockholders, particularly as the shares trade significantly below our view of their intrinsic value.
During the first quarter, Radian Group also paid a quarterly dividend to stockholders totaling $35 million. As we noted last quarter, we drew $200 million on our revolving credit facility before the Inigo closing. During the quarter, we repaid $50 million, leaving $150 million outstanding at quarter end. We continue to expect to repay this borrowing in full during 2026. Our holding company liquidity at quarter end was $391 million. We expect dividends of at least $600 million from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group during 2026, including the $140 million dividend paid in the first quarter.
Finally, our holding company leverage ratio was 20.2% at quarter end and we expect it to be below 20% by year-end 2026. I will now turn the call back over to Rick.
Thank you, Dan. Before we take your questions, I would like to invite you to attend our first Investor Day as a global multiline insurer on June 4 in New York City. We look forward to providing more detail on our strategy, capital management framework and the opportunity created by operating across 2 complementary insurance businesses. I also want to thank our incredible team for their dedication and commitment as we execute this exciting and transformational plan. Operator, we would be happy to take questions.
[Operator Instructions]
And our first question comes from Bose George of KBW.
2. Question Answer
This is Graham, on for Bose. Congratulations on closing Inigo, first of all. But in Exhibit E, you show roughly $40 million of pretax income from Inigo. And then the January breakout, is another $14 million. Is that a good run rate, like roughly $55 million? Or is there some seasonality or additional expenses that we need to think about?
Yes. Thanks, Graham, for the question. So as you noted, we did provide some additional guidance. The quarterly results really just reflects the 2 months, February and March since the acquisition. So we provided the month of January in our press release as well for Inigo, just to give you a more complete quarter to help establish a baseline for some of the key items on the Specialty segment P&L.
As I noted earlier, we don't provide guidance on items like combined ratio, premium growth. Those are subject to outside factors, competitive pricing environment as well as loss experience, which is difficult to predict. There is some seasonality, as you alluded to in the business, both in terms of premiums and losses tend to see those recognized in line with where you'd expect the risk to take place during the year. But they'll generally move together. So on a net basis, not as much of an impact on the bottom line.
I'll just reiterate that as far as fourth quarter results, we're pleased with what we saw. It was in line with our expectations for the quarter. No surprises on either the top line or the bottom line. We're already seeing the financial benefits of the transaction play through in terms of the increase in earnings, 22% increase in operating earnings year-over-year. 130 basis points increase in return on equity. As far as full year guidance, again, I can't provide anything more for you, but I will say our Investor Day that we're going to have in about 4 weeks is a great opportunity to hear more from the Inigo team as far as their business and what they expect to see over the balance of 2026 and beyond.
Yes. And I would just reemphasize what you said, Dan, which is consistent with our expectations and from a quarterly performance point of view, so we look forward to continue to report as we go. And by the way, thank you for the congratulations. We appreciate that.
Thanks, Graham.
And our next question comes from Mihir Bhatia of Bank of America.
I wanted to start with the capital allocation outlook. Just how are you planning to balance share buybacks with debt paydown? And just remind us, any change to your debt-to-capital targets. I heard you on the 20%, but just longer term, any change? Where do you want to get that debt to capital ratio down to just given your adding specialty and potentially some volatility there?
Yes. So Mihir, thanks for the question. I'll start with the last point that you mentioned. As far as the debt-to-capital ratio, no change in our expectation there. We've noted we expect to repay the short-term draw on our credit facility during 2026, and that would take us back to the high teens from a leverage ratio perspective and certainly comfortable operating in that position. .
As far as capital management more broadly, I think I'll just start by talking about our holding company liquidity. So I noted last quarter, following the transaction closing, we had approximately $350 million of liquidity. From that point forward to the end of the first quarter, we paid down $50 million of the credit facility. We repurchased $50 million of shares and paid a $35 million dividend. And net of all that activity, our holding company liquidity still grew by approximately $40 million through the end of the quarter. We ended at $391 million.
So we were able to execute on all of those capital management priorities as far as programmatic capital return with the dividend, opportunistic capital return on share repurchase, reducing our leverage and then bolstering our holding company liquidity during the quarter. As we look forward for the balance of the year, I'd expect us to continue to execute on those priorities. As noted in the past, we have -- we expect approximately $600 million of dividends up from Radian Guaranty during 2026. When you kind of factor in all the items that we've spoken to as far as the credit facility, the shareholder dividend and then bolstering liquidity, I'd give you a range of between $200 million to $250 million that we would expect on a full year basis would be excess capital that would become potentially available for opportunistic repurchase.
And just a reminder, that is a full year number. So we've done -- through the first 4 months of the year, we've done $115 million, so effectively used half of that capacity. So that hopefully gives you a good sense of kind of what to expect for the balance of the year.
Yes. I would just -- I would add I was just going to add to the comments here just for a second. Just we've got a track record over the last 8.5 years that I think kind of speaks for itself, where we returned about $2.3 billion through share repurchases and over $3 billion, including dividends. So as Dan walked through in his remarks, following the closing of Inigo, we start to generate excess capital, which we've given kind of guidance as to that capital flowing back up to Radian Group.
And I think we saw an opportunity and given the financial strength of our business, the transparency of that capital flow from our MI business up the group and just the combination of the Specialty Insurance business during the quarter, we just -- our confidence in our ability to start to reenter the market from an opportunistic share repurchase just became an opportunity given where we saw the shares trading relative to how we view intrinsic value.
So I think just kind of going forward, we feel very strongly about the value of our company and the intrinsic value. And I think it's important to note that what we saw just in the first -- we just saw the first 2 months -- 2 months of the quarter for Inigo, and you can kind of see the strategic transformation starting to take shape in the combination of the 2 businesses from a financial profile point of view. So that all combined gives us kind of confidence as we go into the remainder of the year. And I think Dan walked through the numbers perfectly. So thank you.
Just on this topic, sorry. The one thing that I didn't hear you addressed was the $450 million, I think you have a senior note due next March. Just any comments on thoughts on that one?
Yes. So we do have a maturity, as you noted, coming up in March of 2027. Current expectation would be that we would refinance that. Again, we're comfortable with the leverage ratio where we are and kind of the high teens when you factor in the expected paydown of the credit facility. So that is our current expectation of how we would handle that maturity either later this year or early next year, kind of a refinance there.
Okay. And then just on the MI business, the claims severity has been increasing quite a bit. Just any comments on just the driver and where you expect that to settle out?
Yes. So on claim severity, we have seen that trend higher over the last several years and several quarters. I think what you see there is a couple of factors. One, you see more new loans that are kind of working their way into the default inventory and working their way to claim and those newer loans just have higher loan balances, higher risk in force on a per policy basis. You also see a little bit of a change in mix of -- in terms of the claims that are being paid and the mitigation benefits based on home price appreciation. Some of that has started to fluctuate and kind of decline a little bit over time, still very favorable to what we would expect. Typical severity pre-Covid was kind of 100% or above, and we're kind of in the 80% range. So still see that favorable to our expectations. Just a little bit of a fluctuation for those 2 factors that I mentioned.
Yes. And then just my last question, and I'll jump back in queue. Just -- obviously on the Specialty Insurance side. So I think a lot of us are still learning it, but we've heard a lot about softening of the pricing environment. Can you just talk about what -- where you're seeing the most pressure and how you're adjusting underwriting risk returns and where you're doing, maybe just allocating capital there?
Yes. Thank you for the question. I think a key point of this business is all about managing kind of through the cycle, both softening markets and hardening markets. So I think we've certainly seen -- and we expected it through our M&A due diligence kind of the markets to soften. And as we come into 2026, that expectation has been consistent -- or at least the softening market has been consistent with our expectation.
So I think as we go through and as we did our due diligence, we spent a great deal of time with the team kind of walking through their approach and process for that and really were impressed by not only their track records kind of going through multiple cycles, but just their whole philosophy and discipline about how they think about growth, value creation and profitability. So cycle management is a fundamental skill in this business and financial discipline is critically important.
So we -- I think it's important to note, too, that as you hear general comments about softening of market, there are still opportunities that can be identified, but it's also important to remember that pricing is coming off fairly high levels after the last 5 years. And so we see rate adequacy is still very good in many areas even with the pullback in pricing. But our focus is on managing the cycle well by remaining disciplined, by remaining agile and flexible, continuing to look for relative value and leveraging the data and analytics that we have, not to mention our strong customer relationship.
So I think with our priority being profitability, as opposed to any particular revenue growth target, we see the team working with that discipline. And I think there are similarities to how we think and talk about our MI business, where we leverage data and analytics, strong underwriting with a focus on profitability and economic value to really identify the opportunities to allocate capital to and construct our portfolio accordingly.
The interesting thing and the nice thing about the Specialty business is that there is product diversification across the business, which gives you a greater opportunity and a broader lens to kind of identify those opportunities and allocate capital where we see the highest risk-adjusted return. So given the experience of the team and working with them closely over the past several months, we're very confident in the team's ability to find value in this market and really to kind of navigate through the market cycle.
So I think again, going back to the earlier comment, the trends we've seen and the performance we've seen have been consistent with our expectations and kind of consistent with what we've learned and seen by working with the team over the last 12 months.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn it back to Rick Thornberry for closing remarks.
Well, we thank you for your interest in Radian, and appreciate the questions. Most importantly, we look forward to hosting many of you at our upcoming Investor Day next month on June 4 and look forward to seeing as many of you as can join us for that event. And other than that, we appreciate the support, and look forward to talking to you in the future. Take care.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
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Radian Group — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Radian Group — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2025 Radian Group Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, [ Bob Lally, ] VP Finance. Please go ahead.
Thank you, and welcome to Radian's Fourth Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Our press release, which contains Radian's financial results for the quarter, was issued yesterday evening and is posted to the Investors section of our website at radian.com.
This press release includes certain non-GAAP measures that may be discussed during today's call, including adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity. A complete description of all our non-GAAP measures may be found in press release Exhibit F and reconciliations of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures may be found in press release Exhibit G. These exhibits are on the Investors section of our website.
Today, you will hear from Rick Thornberry, Radian's Chief Executive Officer; and Dan Kobell, Senior Executive Vice President and Interim Chief Financial Officer.
Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that comments made during this call will include forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially. For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that Radian faces, you should refer to the risk factors included in our 2024 Form 10-K and our third quarter 2025 Form 10-Q as well as the subsequent reports filed with the SEC.
Now I would like to turn the call over to Rick.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us. I am pleased to report another strong quarter for Radian, rounding out an outstanding year, both in terms of our financial performance, and the beginning of an exciting strategic transformation of our company with the acquisition of Inigo.
Our performance in 2025 demonstrates the strength of our core business and the disciplined execution of our strategy. We grew our mortgage insurance in force portfolio to an all-time high. We maintain strong credit performance and operational discipline. We continue to generate substantial capital, distributing $795 million from Radian Guaranty to our holding company and returned $576 million to stockholders through dividends and share repurchases. And we used risk distribution strategies to effectively manage our capital and proactively mitigate growth.
Most notably, earlier this month, we completed our strategic acquisition of Inigo, a highly respected specialty insurer underwriting through Lloyd's of London. Importantly, we funded this transaction entirely with available liquidity and excess capital with no new equity raise. This marks the defining milestone in Radian's history and the beginning of an exciting new chapter. We believe this is truly transformative for Radian's future. Building on a strong foundation as a leading U.S. mortgage insurer, we are now poised to expand and diversify into a global multiline specialty insurer.
We have the unique opportunity to leverage our high-performing mortgage insurance business which is expected to continue generating excess capital alongside a growing and global specialty insurance business. The acquisition significantly expands our expertise, capabilities and geographic reach, greatly increasing our total addressable market and position us to deploy capital strategically for attractive returns. We expect this transaction to double our annual revenues, be accretive to EPS and returns and provide greater strategic flexibility to deploy capital across multiple insurance lines through various business cycles.
Inigo has a proven track record in the Lloyd's market, fueled by a high-performing culture and an experienced team with a strong focus on their customers. Their business model and the approach align closely with our mortgage insurance business, particularly in their commitment to strong risk management through disciplined underwriting, leveraging data and analytics and disciplined capital allocation. As part of Radian, Inigo will operate as a stand-alone business unit in London, maintaining its management team, brand and culture. We are excited to welcome Inigo's CEO, [ Richard Watson, ] and his talented team to Radian and look forward to working together to build long-term and sustainable value for all our stakeholders as a global multiline specialty insurer.
I also want to share that our divestiture plan for our mortgage conduit, title and real estate services businesses is well underway and on track for completion by the third quarter of this year. I am very proud of these teams as they have effectively managed their businesses while working through this process.
Last week, we announced an important organizational update. These changes are intended to align our leadership team with our strategic focus, continuing to deliver strong operating performance in our mortgage insurance business, realizing the strategic value of the Inigo acquisition and maintaining strong financial management, including effective capital allocation. We promoted Steve Kelleher and Megan Bartholomew, both long-tenured radiant leaders who are well known to the market to co-head our mortgage insurance business. We also promoted Dan Kobell and Rob Quigley to highly experienced and accomplished financial executives with extensive financial management expertise. These appointments and the exceptional teams behind them, along with the addition of the highly talented Inigo team, position us well for the future with a strong and deep pool of talent. I am truly excited to see what this team can achieve together.
Before I turn the call over to Dan, I would like to take a moment to formally introduce him. Many of you have worked with Dan during his tenure at Radian, most recently as EVP of Finance, heading corporate planning, corporate development, treasury, Investments and Investor Relations. During his 11 years at Radian, he has been a leader across our finance team and his deep expertise in financial management and strong understanding of our business have been invaluable. Most recently, he was a key leader in the work done to identify and complete the Inigo acquisition. His experience and knowledge of Radian and now Inigo position them well for this important role.
Now I would like to turn the call over to Dan to review our financial results.
Thank you, Rick, for the warm welcome. I'm honored to step into this role and lead the finance function at Radian in close partnership with Rob Quigley. This is an exciting chapter in Radian's nearly 50-year history, and I look forward to engaging with all of you as we move forward together. I'm pleased to report additional details about our fourth quarter results, which reflect another quarter of strong performance.
For the quarter, we generated net income from continuing operations of $159 million or $1.15 per share. For the full year, net income from continuing operations was $618 million, or $4.39 per share. We were pleased to grow our net income from continuing operations per share in 2025 driven by a combination of strong earnings as well as an 8% reduction in our share count.
Additionally, in our mortgage insurance business, we saw growth in both insurance in force and new insurance written, with NIW growing 6% year-over-year. We generated a return on equity of 13.5% in the fourth quarter and 13.1% for the full year. We grew book value per share 13% year-over-year to $35.29. We also returned dividends to our stockholders in 2025 that accounted for an additional 3% of book value.
Turning now to the key drivers of our results. Our total revenues continued to be strong at $301 million in the fourth quarter and $1.2 billion for the full year. Slides 14 through 16 in our presentation include details on our mortgage insurance portfolio as well as other key factors impacting our net premiums earned.
We generated $237 million in net premiums earned in the quarter, which represents the highest level in over 3 years. Our large, high-quality primary mortgage insurance portfolio grew 3% year-over-year to another all-time high of $283 billion. Contributing to this growth was $55 billion of NIW in 2025, including $15.9 billion in the fourth quarter. These figures compare favorably to $52 billion in 2024 and $13.2 billion in the fourth quarter of the prior year.
Our proprietary mortgage data and analytics, which drive our MI pricing strategy, together with our disciplined and informed approach to risk management have contributed to a healthy and profitable portfolio. creating long-term economic value and generating strong returns for our shareholders.
As shown on Slide 14, our quarterly persistency rate remained strong at 82% in the fourth quarter, a small decrease from the prior quarter due to higher refinance activity. As of the end of the fourth quarter, approximately half of our insurance in force portfolio had a mortgage rate of 5.5% or lower. Given current mortgage interest rates, these policies are less likely to cancel due to refinancing in the near term and we, therefore, continue to expect our persistency rate to remain strong.
As shown on Slide 16, the in-force premium yield for our mortgage insurance portfolio remained stable as expected, at 38 basis points. With strong persistency rates and the current industry pricing environment, we expect the in-force premium yield to remain generally stable in 2026.
As shown on Slide 17, our investment portfolio of $6.1 billion consists of well diversified and highly rated securities, generating net investment income of $249 million in 2025.
Our provision for losses and related credit trends continue to be positive with strong [ cure ] activity. On Slide 20, we provide trends for our primary default inventory. The number of new defaults in the fourth quarter was approximately 14,200, and as expected, the total number of defaults increased in the fourth quarter to approximately 25,000 loans at quarter end, resulting in a portfolio default rate of 2.56%. This increase in total defaults reflects normal seasonal trends and the expected continued seasoning of our large insurance in-force portfolio. As we have noted in the past, our new defaults continue to contain significant embedded equity which has been a key driver of recent favorable credit trends, including higher cure rates and reduced severity for policies that result in claims submission.
As shown on Slide 21, our cure trends have been consistently positive in recent periods, meaningfully exceeding our initial default-to-claim expectations for these loans. Cure rates in the fourth quarter exhibited typical seasonal trends, in line with similar periods from prior years.
Slide 22 shows the components of our provision for loss. We maintained our initial default-to-claim rate of 7.5% on new defaults, which resulted in $57 million of loss provision for new defaults in the fourth quarter. Throughout 2025, our provision for losses benefited from favorable reserve development on prior period defaults primarily due to more favorable cure trends than initially estimated. This continued in the fourth quarter with $35 million of positive reserve development. As a result, we recognized a net provision expense of $22 million in the fourth quarter.
Now turning to our other expenses. For the fourth quarter, our other operating expenses were $56 million, down from $62 million in the third quarter. For the year, our other operating expenses were $246 million, below our previously communicated annual expense guidance of $250 million for continuing operations. With the Inigo acquisition and following the planned divestiture of our mortgage conduit, title and real estate services businesses, we will continue to look for opportunities to enhance our efficiency as we simplify our business model to focus on mortgage and specialty insurance.
Moving to our capital, available liquidity and related strategic actions. Radian Guaranty's financial position remains strong. In 2025, Radian Guaranty distributed $795 million to Radian Group through dividends and returns of capital. We also continue to diversify our sources of capital and use a range of risk distribution strategies to effectively manage capital and proactively mitigate risk. During the fourth quarter, we completed an excess of loss reinsurance agreement covering approximately $373 million on certain policies written from 2016 through 2021. Our PMIER's cushion was $1.6 billion at year-end, significantly above our required PMIER's capital level. This capital buffer combined with our current reinsurance programs, positions Radian Guaranty well to withstand and remain well capitalized through a severe potential macroeconomic stress.
Moving to our discontinued operations. During the fourth quarter, we extracted $62 million of capital from our entities held for sale. These returns of capital provided immediate liquidity to Radian Group and reduced the net carrying value of these businesses to $110 million as of year-end. As we've mentioned in the past, we have engaged Citizens JMP and Piper Sandler to assist us in the divestiture process. We are making steady progress and continue to expect this process to be completed by the end of the third quarter of this year.
Moving to our holding company, Radian Group. In 2025, we repurchased approximately 13.5 million shares of our common stock at a total cost of $430 million. In preparation for the Inigo acquisition, which closed earlier this month, we significantly expanded our holding company liquidity to $1.8 billion at year-end, supported by a $195 million dividend in the fourth quarter and a $600 million intercompany note both from Radian Guaranty. In January, we drew $200 million on our revolving credit facility, further increasing holding company liquidity.
With these resources, we funded the Inigo acquisition with a purchase price paid at closing, net of certain adjustments of $1.67 billion. Inigo's estimated tangible equity at year-end was $1.16 billion, resulting in a net purchase price multiple of approximately 1.4x tangible equity. Following the Inigo purchase, our holding company liquidity was approximately $350 million.
In 2026, we expect dividends of at least $600 million from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group including a $140 million dividend later in the first quarter. We expect these dividends to allow Radian Group to repay the $200 million draw from the credit facility during 2026, while continuing to maintain sufficient liquidity. As the year progresses, we expect to continue to build our liquidity position at Radian Group and we will apply our disciplined capital allocation methodology to optimize the use of any excess capital, including potentially resuming share repurchases under our available share repurchase authorization. Finally, our leverage ratio declined to 18.3% at year-end, and we expect it to remain below 20% by year-end 2026.
I will now turn the call back over to Rick.
Thank you, Dan. Our results for the quarter and the year once again reflect the balance and agility of our company as well as the strength and flexibility of our capital and liquidity positions. Our mortgage insurance business remains a cornerstone of our success and of our commitment to supporting homeownership.
We appreciate the focus of the administration, FHFA and GSEs on making homeownership more affordable and sustainable. Our products enable qualified borrowers to access homeownership and began building equity years earlier than if they had to save for a large down payment. For nearly 50 years, we have helped millions of families purchase their homes or refinance their mortgages. We are proud to play this important role in the housing finance system and in building strong communities.
Finally, I want to express my gratitude to all Radian employees across every part of our company for their dedication and outstanding work throughout this pivotal year. Their commitment to excellence and our values has been the foundation of our success.
Operator, we would be happy to take questions.
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Terry Ma of Barclays.
2. Question Answer
Maybe just to start off with Inigo, question for Dan. Kind of like you guys just recently closed it, any kind of updated thoughts on financial metrics or anything you kind of laid out initially a few months ago?
Yes. Thanks, Terry, for the question. So I would say broadly, no changes from what we laid out a few months ago. And I would say just generally, the simplest way to look at the financial accretion from the Inigo acquisition, using round numbers, it's a $1.7 billion acquisition. The funds we used for that acquisition were part of our investment portfolio at Radian between Radian Group and Guaranty. And they're earning, call it, a 4% or 5% yield. So we've now taken that $1.7 billion and deployed it into an operating business that we expect is going to earn a mid-teens return through the cycle.
There's going to be some volatility. It's actually been higher of late. But if you say it's mid-teens through the cycle, that's call it, a 10% step-up in yield on $1.7 billion, so you get to $170 million of incremental net income. And that's really the source of the financial accretion that we had in the transaction. We didn't have expense synergies or revenue synergies that we were relying on. So really fairly straightforward taking Inigo as it exists and putting it into Radian.
So from an execution risk perspective, I'd characterize it as fairly low. We have some light integration to do in terms of financial systems and reporting to be able to report our results on a consolidated basis and some areas that we'll kind of look at that makes sense at an enterprise level to kind of think about it on a consolidated basis, but really no change to what we provided in terms of financial guidance and feel very confident that we'll be able to deliver on that.
Got it. That's helpful. And then maybe just turning to credit. You called out the strong cure trends on Slide 21 of your deck. 90% of defaults curing within 1 year. Like as we kind of look forward, how sticky, can that 90% be as you have some of the more recent vintages kind of start to season and peak, which I imagine have probably less embedded equity as some of the earlier vintages.
Yes. So that's a good question, Terry. And that's certainly something we'll continue to monitor. As you noted, the vintages, if you go back kind of better seasoning now had significant home price appreciation and embedded equity continue to see in our new defaults, very significant embedded equity is still what's coming through. So the more recent vintages, we're starting to see that play through now, certainly going to be mindful of that. But the cure activity that we've seen has been very strong. As a reminder, we assume effectively 92.5% cumulative cure rate in terms of our reserving assumptions. So we take a fairly conservative view there relative to what we've seen over the last several years.
It remains to be seen in terms of how those more recent vintages play out because we're just not seeing that enter the default inventory in a significant number yet. But we continue to see those cure trends play out very consistently, very favorable to what our original expectations were. And as far as credit trends overall, not really seeing any pockets of concern from a geography perspective across different credit segments or at a vintage level, everything is playing out in line with or better than our expectations.
And our next question comes from Mihir Bhatia of Bank of America.
On the pricing environment, can you just compare returns on new business today versus a year ago?
I can start with that one and then Rick can jump in for some color on pricing. So as far as our premium yield is probably the best way to look at it. Our yield on an in-force basis has been very consistent. It's been around 38 basis points now for really 3 years, it's a pretty good indication that what we're bringing into the portfolio and what's exiting, there's a pretty good balance from a pricing perspective. We're not really seeing that in-force yield move. And as I noted in my prepared remarks that we expect that to be the case for 2026 as well. So fair amount of stability there in terms of the blended rate of what's coming into the portfolio and what's leaving. I don't -- leave it to Rick from a pricing competition perspective.
First off, I'd just say we're very happy with the volume and the quality of what we saw in the fourth quarter and throughout 2025 from an economic value point of view. I would say industry pricing has been relatively stable, and it's a normal competitive environment. So nothing really noteworthy there. As we've stated, for us, we don't focus on market share, we focus on economic value and being disciplined and consistent in our approach. And we continue to see really attractive opportunities to leverage our data and analytics to source NIW that has attractive economic value and risk-adjusted returns, so -- which we believe gives us the opportunity to construct a really high-value portfolio, as Dan mentioned in his earlier comments.
I think we use that -- those analytics this year to grow our insurance in force and find value to grow that portfolio to an all-time high to $283 billion. And I think we would expect fluctuations quarter-to-quarter, but I think we've been relatively consistent over time because we focus on really trying to find the most attractive EV segments of the market.
One thing I would just highlight because I think it's important to note that maybe compared to other MI companies that maybe are more heavily weighted to bid card structures, that we deem to be low-value structures and can effectively limit the ability for us to leverage our proprietary data and analytics platforms to select risk where we see economic value. For us, Today, over 80% of our current NIW is being sourced through our proprietary RADAR Rates platform, which is our black box pricing. And it really plays to our strength, where we're able to leverage our analytics to price and select the loans, we believe have the highest economic value based on loan and borrower attributes based on our long-term view of geographic trends and differences across the industry.
So I believe the combination -- as we've looked at this market the past year, we've seen very attractive opportunities from an economic value point of view. The combination of our industry-leading data and analytics and our view of customer from a quality of origination and servicing perspective, combined with our unwavering commitment to underwriting, I think really provides us with an advantage in terms of long-term portfolio construction. So -- we like this market. I think our team has done a really good job of leveraging our tools to find value in the marketplace, working closely with our customers.
Okay. Awesome. And then maybe just a quick 1 on Inigo. Is the mid- to high 80% combined ratio, a good run rate to think about for that business?
Yes. So we haven't provided any kind of forward guidance from an Inigo perspective. I think as we report our results starting with the first quarter on a combined basis, we'll have all the key drivers for both Inigo and our MI business and probably a segment reporting structure. We'll be able to provide more detail at that time. So nothing forward. I think the combined ratio range that you referenced, I think, is kind of where they've been certainly over kind of their 5 years of operation. So I understand if you want to kind of think about that as a good trend to use. But we'll provide updated guidance as we move forward.
And our next question comes from Bose George of KBW.
Actually I just wanted to first follow up on the question on the accretion. The $170 million is -- I think it's a pretax number, but can you just confirm that?
Yes. The way that I would explain that, Bose, I think of that as a pretax number.
Okay. great -- sorry, go ahead.
I was going to say, I think if you take that $170 million and you apply that to our equity base, using, call it, a 25% statutory tax rate in the U.K. for Inigo, you get to north of 200 basis points of ROE accretion. So I think that's the right math to use.
Okay. Perfect. And then in terms of the premium to book value, is there going to be intangibles that need to be amortized? Do you know the split yet between goodwill and intangibles?
Yes. So there will be intangibles and some of them will most likely be amortizing. We are in the process of doing all the purchase accounting related to the transaction, so that we don't have those numbers available and complete yet. But as I mentioned earlier, when we report our results for the first quarter, we will certainly have that and be able to kind of specify what the intangibles are and kind of what the amortization periods are going to look like for those.
Okay. Great. And then just 1 on the buybacks. You mentioned that we could see a resumption in back half of the year. So if you look out to 2027, could we see buybacks back at the pre-Inigo levels by next year?
I think given our -- by the way, Bose, thank you for the question. I think given kind of our strategic path forward with MI our business, Inigo combination and the divestiture process underway and the attractive financial metrics that we expect from the Inigo acquisition, I would just state that we think our shares are undervalued. Probably not the first time you've ever heard a public company CEO say that, but I think that's the position we take today.
And given the strength of our financial position heading into 2026, Dan walked through some of that in terms of the -- our current capital position and the transparency of future capital availability, we would expect to resume opportunistic share repurchases. And I think that's all based on the visibility of our MI business's embedded earnings from our insurance in force portfolio and the visibility of the capital return we have from Radian Guaranty to group. And truthfully, the we believe the combination with Inigo makes the value of our shares even more attractive.
So we look forward to demonstrating the value of the strategic transformation as we go forward to all of our stakeholders. But I think we see value in our shares.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn it back to Rick Thornberry for closing remarks.
Thank you for joining us and for your interest in Radian. We look forward to reporting on our first combined results with Inigo next quarter, kind of exciting. And demonstrating how our transformation into a global multiline specialty insurer can create additional value for our customers, partners and stockholders. And we're excited to speak with many of you in the coming months and share more of our story as it continues to unfold. And again, look forward to that first quarter reporting cycle. So thank you and appreciate your interest and be well.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
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Radian Group — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Radian Group — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Third Quarter 2025 Radian Group Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Dan Kobell, EVP Finance. Please go ahead.
Thank you, and welcome to Radian's Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Our press release, which contains Radian's financial results for the quarter, was issued yesterday evening and is posted to the Investors section of our website at radian.com. This press release includes certain non-GAAP measures that may be discussed during today's call. Including adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity.
A complete description of all of our non-GAAP measures may be found in press release Exhibit F and reconciliations of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures may be found in press release Exhibit G. These exhibits are on the Investors section of our website.
Today, you will hear from Rick Thornberry, Radian's Chief Executive Officer; and Sumita Pandit, President and Chief Financial Officer.
Before we begin, I would like to remind you that comments made during this call will include forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially. For a discussion of these risks, please review the cautionary statements regarding forward-looking statements included in our earnings release and the risk factors included in our 2024 Form 10-K and subsequent reports filed with the SEC. These are also available on our website.
Now I would like to turn the call over to Rick.
Good morning, and thank you all for joining us today. I am pleased to report another quarter of strong performance for Radian. Our mortgage insurance business continues to deliver excellent results, fueled by our large, high-quality in-force portfolio with strong persistency and credit performance. The performance of our portfolio reflects the excellent credit characteristics of the new business we are writing, leveraging our proprietary RADAR rates platform.
In addition to the strong performance of our mortgage insurance business, we continue to deploy capital with discipline and strategic focus. We have a long track record of consistently maintaining strong holding company liquidity, efficiently distributing capital from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group, and delivering value back to stockholders, including the highest yielding dividend in the industry.
Since 2017, we have returned nearly $3 billion of capital to stockholders through dividends and share repurchases, while continuing to explore opportunities for long-term growth that meet our return objectives, including our planned acquisition of Inigo.
Sumita will cover the highlights of our financial results, including the impact of our September announcement regarding the divestiture plan for our mortgage conduit, title and real estate services businesses. The process is well underway, and has attracted interest from numerous potential buyers for each of the 3 businesses.
We have engaged Citizens JMP to lead the sale of the title real estate services businesses and Piper Sandler to lead the sale of the mortgage conduit. As we noted in September, we expect to complete the divestiture process by the third quarter of next year.
Let me spend a few minutes now on the strategic rationale behind the decision to divest these businesses and to acquire Inigo a highly profitable specialty insurer. Over the past several years, we have been focused on building an even stronger Radian for long term. During this time, we have strengthened our capital liquidity position, growing our high-quality mortgage insurance portfolio, invested in our proprietary data and analytics platforms, and leverage the deep experience of our exceptional team.
As part of our ongoing commitment to long-term growth and value creation, we have spent considerable time evaluating different paths to strategically diversify our business. We concluded that the highest value path was to position our company for continued growth as a global multiline specialty insurer. This led to our decision to acquire Inigo. The purchase price of $1.7 billion will be cash funded from available liquidity sources and excess capital with no equity raised.
Along with liquidity at holdco, the funding for the deal includes a unique and creative financing structure of $600 million that will be provided by Radian Guaranty, the Radian Group through an intercompany note with a 10-year term. We believe the valuation for the deal is attractive at 1.5x projected 2025 tangible equity. This acquisition, along with the divestiture plan I mentioned earlier, provides us with a clear strategic path for the future as we transform from a leading U.S. mortgage insurer to a global multiline specialty insurer.
There are several reasons we were attracted to Inigo. The company was founded by highly respected industry veterans with decades of experience in the [ Lloyd's ] market, who turned their deep industry experience into a successful and scaled business. They have attracted an exceptional team who share the founder's entrepreneurial spirit and a shared commitment to radical simplicity and disciplined underwriting.
As we spent time with the team, we continue to be impressed by the people and the business they have built. We are excited to partner with this group of highly experienced leaders with a strong track record of building and managing successful specialty insurance and reinsurance businesses. This highly talented team will continue to lead Inigo post close. The Inigo team aligns well with our core strengths and the cultural match is strong. This makes them a natural fit that complements Radian's mortgage insurance business.
And similar to Radian, Inigo is driven by data science. It shapes everything they do, how they make decisions and how they think about risk. We share this data first mindset as well as an unwavering focus on disciplined underwriting. Our team is working closely with the Inigo team to complete this transaction which is on track to close in the first quarter of 2026.
As we look to the future, we are excited about what we can accomplish together. Radian's transformation from a leading U.S. mortgage insurer into a global multiline specialty insurer is expected to increase our addressable market for continuing operations by a factor of 12 providing flexibility to deploy capital across multiple insurance lines through various business cycles.
We believe this combination also offers meaningful capital synergies as we go forward. By allocating our capital across strong and uncorrelated businesses, we can focus on putting our capital to work where we see the greatest opportunity for economic value and profitable growth.
We look forward to updating you on the Inigo transaction, our divestiture progress and the execution of our go-forward strategy. Sumita will now cover the details of our financial and capital positions.
Thanks, Rick, and good morning to you all. As Rick mentioned in his opening remarks, Radian is committed to long-term growth and value creation, and we have spent considerable time evaluating different strategic parts. Our objective is to build on our foundation and core strengths. With this objective in mind, we determined that the right strategic path was to build Radian into the future as a global multiline specialty insurers by acquiring Inigo.
As a result of the strategic change in the third quarter of 2025, we've also announced a divestiture plan for our mortgage conduit title and real estate service businesses. We've reclassified these businesses as held for sale on our balance sheet and now reflect the results as discontinued operations in our income statement. All prior periods have been revised for these changes and the impact of the accounting changes are presented on Slide 38 of our earnings presentation.
Now let's discuss results of our continuing operations, which demonstrated another strong quarter of performance. In the third quarter, we achieved net income from continuing operations of $153 million or $1.11 per diluted share, the same as the second quarter. Net income inclusive of discontinued operations was $141 million in the third quarter. We generated a return on equity of 12.4%, including discontinued operations. The ROE for our continuing operations is 100 basis points higher at 13.4%.
The grew book value per share 9% year-over-year to $34.34. This book value per share growth is in addition to our regular stockholder dividends which were $35 million during the quarter.
Turning now to the key drivers of our results, which highlight the consistency, balance and resiliency of our mortgage insurance business model. Our total revenues continued to be strong in the third quarter at $303 million. Slide 15 through 17 in our presentation includes details on our mortgage insurance in force portfolio as well as other key factors impacting our net premiums earned.
We generated $237 million in net premiums earned in the quarter, which is the highest level in over 3 years. Our large high-quality mortgage insurance in-force portfolio grew to another all-time high of $281 million. We wrote $15.5 billion of new insurance written in the third quarter of 2025, a 15% increase compared to the same period last year. As shown on Slide 15, our persistency rate remained strong at 84% this quarter. We remain focused on writing NIW that we believe will generate future earnings and economic value while effectively maintaining the portfolio's health, balance and profitability.
As of the end of the third quarter, approximately half of our insurance imports portfolio had a mortgage rate of 5% or lower. Given current mortgage interest rates, these policies are less likely to cancel due to refinancing in the near term, and we therefore continue to expect our persistency rate to remain strong.
As shown on Slide 17, the in-force premium yields for our mortgage insurance portfolio remained stable as expected at 38 basis points. With strong persistency rates on the current industry pricing environment, we expect the in-force premium meal generally remain stable for the remainder of the year as well.
As shown on Slide 18, our investment portfolio of $6 billion consists of well-diversified, highly rated securities and other high-quality assets. For the quarter, we generated net investment income of $63 million. Our provision for losses and related credit trends continue to be positive with strong cure activity and very low claim levels.
On Slide 21, we provide trends for our primary default inventory. The number of new defaults in the third quarter was approximately 13,400, a decline of 2% from the same period a year ago. As expected, the number of total defaults increased in the third quarter to approximately 24,000 loans at quarter end, resulting in a portfolio default rate of 2.42%. This increase in total defaults reflects normal seasonal trends and the expected continued seasoning of our large insurance imports portfolio. As we noted in the past, our new defaults continue to contain significant embedded equity, which has been a key driver of recent favorable credit trends, including higher cure rates and reduce severity for policies that result in claim submission.
As shown on Slide 22, our cure trends have been very consistent and positive in recent periods, meaningfully exceeding our initial default to claim expectations. Cure rates in the third quarter exhibited typical seasonal trends in line with similar periods from prior years. We continue to closely monitor the recent news and stress seen in different credit asset classes, like credit cards and [ subprime motor ]. However, the loans in our portfolio and loans in the broader conventional market segment continued to perform well. Our outlook on the mortgage insurance business remains positive, and we will continue to monitor and make any adjustments to pricing as needed.
Let's turn to Slide 23. We maintained our initial default to claim rate of 7.5%, which resulted in $53 million of loss provision for new defaults in the third quarter. Positive reserve development on prior period defaults of $35 million, partially offset this provision for new defaults. As a result, we recognized a net expense of $18 million in the third quarter compared to $12 million in the second quarter.
Now turning to our other expenses where we continue to seek additional operating efficiencies. For the third quarter, our other operating expenses totaled $62 million, down from $69 million in the second quarter. Expenses in the third quarter included $9 million of nonoperating costs related to the Inigo acquisition. Excluding this acquisition-related expense, total operating expense was $54 million a $16 million decline from the prior quarter as reflected on Exhibit E.
We are revising our previous expense run rate guidance for Radian, which was $320 million and included expenses related to discontinued operations. We anticipate operating expenses for continuing operations to be approximately $250 million for the full year 2025. We expect this to represent our annual expense run rate as we move into 2026.
Moving to our capital available liquidity and related strategic actions. Radian Guaranty's financial position remains strong, it paid a $200 million dividend to Radian Group in the third quarter while maintaining a PMIERs cushion of $1.9 billion. In addition, we expect that Radian Guaranty will be $195 million dividend in the fourth quarter, bringing total distributions to Radian Group during 2025 to $795 million.
We expect to close the Inigo transaction in the first quarter of 2026, funding the $1.7 billion purchase price with our existing resources. Our available holding company liquidity grew to $995 million as of quarter end. We expect a $195 million dividend to be paid to our holding company in the fourth quarter, as I just noted, and expect $600 million to be paid from Radian Guaranty to Radian Group in the form of a 10-year intercompany note. With these payments, we expect our holding company liquidity to be approximately $1.8 billion at the beginning of 2026.
In addition, we expect dividends of at least $600 million from Radian Guaranty to Group during 2026. With these resources, we expect to fund the Inigo acquisition in the first quarter of the year and maintained sufficient liquidity at our holding company after the transaction closes.
We also just expanded our credit facility to $500 million. The facility is currently undrawn and is available for general corporate purposes, However, we expect that any draw of the facility will be repeated during 2026. Our leverage ratio declined to 18.7% this quarter, and we expect it to remain below 20% by year-end 2026.
We expect Inigo will continue to operate as a stand-alone business, complementing Radian's mortgage insurance business and we do not expect Inigo to have any funding needs from Radian Group or Radian Guaranty to achieve its 2026 business plan.
As Rick mentioned, this is an exciting time for Radian. This acquisition is expected to double our earned premiums in a market that is expected to grow at 8% and expand the total addressable market by 12x. This will enable Radian to strategically allocate capital across diverse insurance lines and focus on areas with the greatest potential for profitable growth.
Lastly, as shown on Slide 7, by combining Radian and Inigo, we expect to deliver mid-teen operating earnings per share accretion and approximately 200 basis points of ROE accretion starting in year 1.
I will now turn the call back over to Rick.
Thank you, Sumita. Our results in the quarter continue to reflect the balance and resiliency of our company, as well as the strength and flexibility of our capital and liquidity positions. They also reflect the resilience of our mortgage insurance business model. Over the years, our industry has helped millions of families purchase their home or refinance their mortgage and is well positioned to continue promoting affordable, sustainable homeownership through various economic cycles.
We are proud of the important role we play in the housing finance system and in building strong communities. We look forward to updating you on our progress as we transform from a leading U.S. mortgage insurer to a global multiline specialty insurer. And finally, I want to recognize and thank our team for the outstanding work they do every day.
And now operator, we would be happy to take questions.
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Bose George with KBW.
2. Question Answer
Actually, first, I just wanted to ask, when you talk about the mid-teens accretion for 2026, should we add that 200 basis points to your current run rate ROE, which is a little over 13%. So I guess that would be a little over 15% in terms of the ROE and then your book value going into 2026, it looks like it will be about $35. So does that seem reasonable 15% on that $35?
Thanks for the question, Bose. So I think if you look at our ROE this quarter, on an operating basis, our ROE was 13.9%, that excludes the impact of some onetime items related to the Inigo transaction where we paid and will be paying advisory fees. I think from an accretion perspective, I think assuming a 200 basis points increase on top of that would be fair. I mean, I think the 13.9% is comparable to also what we had last year and is a good run rate for us to think about for our stand-alone MI business.
Keep in mind also that because we are currently -- we paused our share repurchases. So our denominator is a little bit more bloated as we accrue capital to pay for Inigo. I think the 13.9% ROE is probably a little lower than where we may be once that excess capital gets paid out to purchase any go. And so the 200 basis point decrease can be added to the 13.9% on operating ROE that we have presented in this quarter.
Okay. Great. That's very helpful. And then can you walk through the potential capital benefit from using the unearned premiums at Radian as capital at Inigo? Is that something that eventually could be a source of incremental accretion over the 200 basis points that you've discussed?
So I think in the future, we will be giving you more details, Bose, on exactly what are those opportunities that we see present to ourselves between the MI business as well as Inigo. I think as we mentioned in our presentation, at this stage, I think what we have discussed is that we do see potential synergies between the MI business and Inigo going forward, including some reinsurance that we could do between the 2 businesses. I think post close of Inigo, we plan to do an Investor Day early next year, and I think we'll be sharing more details about potential reinsurance opportunities that could potentially improve the accretion numbers further. I think the numbers that we have presented to you last month and now again in this earnings presentation assumes base case run rate assumptions and really is an addition of Inigo as it is operated today to Radian's numbers. We've not assumed these additional capital and operating efficiencies that we will discuss further with all of you as we close the transaction next year.
And our next question comes from Doug Harter of UBS.
As you look at divesting the noncore businesses, is there -- how should we think about capital that could be freed up from those businesses in addition to kind of the cost saves that you've already kind of highlighted in discontinued operations?
Yes. So I think as I mentioned, as of now, as of Q3 what we have done is we have reclassified discontinued operations as held for sale. If you look at our balance sheet and the carrying values for these 3 businesses, we carry these businesses at about $170 million or so as of the third quarter. We do not expect to have either like a huge gain or a huge loss versus those levels. I think the held-for-sale number is based on our best accounting estimate today of true value of those businesses.
I think we have given some indications to you in terms of what could be additional expenses that we incur in selling the businesses. I think Rick mentioned we've hired 2 banks. We've estimated a $7 million expense in selling the businesses today, there could be more or less going forward. But we think that the carrying value of $170 million is our best estimate as of today of the 2 value of those 3 businesses.
Great. I appreciate that. And then how are you thinking about the key steps that need to happen in order to kind of return -- start returning buyback -- or return to the buyback program. What are the key steps that we should be looking for in that?
Yes. So I think that's a good question. I think maybe just like walking you through our liquidity position and how to think through that math. So if you think about our Q3 ending liquidity, we ended the quarter with $995 million this quarter. We are expecting to pay another $195 million in the fourth quarter as dividends from guarantee to group. And our best estimate as of today is an additional $100 million of dividends in Q1 of next year. When you add all of that, that gets you to $1.29 billion liquidity number for holdco. We also will be drawing down on the intercompany note of $600 million at close -- when we close Inigo.
For next year, the estimate and guidance that we've given is that we expect at least a $600 million minimum dividend from our GI to group. So I think the best way to maybe think about our share repurchase and our liquidity overall is that within a few quarters of the Inigo purchase, we will again be in an excess liquidity position in group, as and when that happens, I think we'll revisit our share repurchase strategy. But I think assuming that it will happen pretty quickly given that we will be paying at least $600 million of dividends next year. That is a good run rate for you to assume as you think about when next year would be in that excess capital position in holdco for us to revisit our share repurchase strategy, which, as you know, we have paused right now because we are paying for the full $1.7 billion purchase price through internal resources and are not raising any new equity.
And our next question comes from Mihir Bhatia of Bank of America.
Maybe just 1 quick one. Just any update on the timing of the divestitures and where you are with that process? I think you had said Q3 2026 earlier?
Yes. Mihir, this is Rick. We're -- I think we're still sticking to the -- to be completed by third quarter of next year. But just to give you an update on the process, as we mentioned, we've hired the 2 banks to kind of facilitate the process, actually had a tremendous amount of inbound interest expressed across all 3 businesses, and that process is initiating as we speak, both in terms kind of sharing information with a broad group of potential interested parties.
So we expect the process to move quickly over the coming months and look forward to keeping you up to date as we go through this process. As we get into early next year, I think we'll have more of an update. But one of the things that I'm -- as we watch this process go, the 1 thing I'm proud of is our teams have stayed laser focused on running the business and continuing to serve our customers. And I think that positions each of those businesses well for the outcome that we're working towards. So -- but yes, we'll keep you posted as we go quarter-to-quarter. But right now, it's fully engaged process with the bankers and the teams and I think working very well.
Got it. And then maybe just staying -- maybe turning to the business itself. I guess, one question I was curious on was what would it take for you to move that claim rate below the 7.5% you're at? And the reason I ask is, I mean I think you had the slide with the the same triangles, the cure triangles, if you will. And as you note on the slide, 90% get cure within a year and like your cure rates are running in the high 90s. So just curious on like what you actually need to see happen to change that claim rate?
Yes. I think Mihir, as you're aware, we've made a change to that assumption in maybe your 2 or 3 quarters back when we were at 8% default to claim rate, and now we're at 7.5%. I think when we look at that assumption, we do want to make sure that we are making that assumption through the cycle. You're right that when you look at our core trends and the cure triangles that we show you on Slide 22. We do have almost 97% to 98% of our default curing within 12 quarters. But when we think about our through the cycle assumption, we think that these are more favorable than where we would expect this to play out in the long run.
And therefore, that 7.55 is our best estimate of that through-the-cycle performance. As of now, we feel really good about that assumption given the fact that we just updated this a few quarters back. and we don't expect to make changes to it in the near future. But again, it's a through-the-cycle assumption. And we think it's the right way for us to run the business. It's prudent and has a view that's through the cycle.
Sure. Maybe just one question on that though. Has something changed post-COVID. I don't know if it's like the policies and people just being more willing to do for bearings than before? Or are these claim rate trends pretty similar to what you were seeing in, let's say, 2018, 2019? I guess what I'm trying to understand is, has something changed in the housing mortgage servicing backdrop, which has enabled these cure rates to be so strong?
Yes. Mihir, that's a great question, and Sumita I could tag team on that one because it's something we ask ourselves each quarter, too. Are we seeing something fundamentally different than what has occurred in the past. I think since COVID, obviously, we've had a tremendous amount of home equity growth, which provides borrowers with a variety of different avenues to solve some sort of financial hardship, right? And I think it also helps servicers, counsel, borrowers, how to navigate that hardship, combined with the fact that we -- through COVID, there's muscle memory in terms of assisting the borrower through that hardship through forbearance programs and other things.
So I do think, to your point, pre-COVID, post-COVID the combination of home value increases and also kind of the muscle memory from some of the forbearance programs has proven to be positive. I would say, as we go further away from that home equity kind of accelerated growth rate we saw in '20 and '21, we get the more normalized kind of home appreciation maybe with different regional downturns. That part will normalize.
But I do think as an industry, the GSEs, servicers fundamentally have altered processes that are working to kind of get borrowers back on their feet. And from a reserving point of view, we spend time each quarter kind of assessing how we think that will impact the go forward. And what Sumita has said is how we think about it, which is we really -- on day 1, we have to take a multiyear view through the cycle. And I would just add to Sumita comments that today, we also continue to evaluate some of the uncertainty in the marketplace that's playing out currently that kind of influence that through-the-cycle view.
So I think definitely seen positives over the last 4 or 5 years. Some of that is probably sustainable. Some of it will normalize over time, and that's what we're really trying to evaluate.
Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn it back to Rick Thornberry for closing remarks.
Thank you. Appreciate everybody joining us today and for the questions. And as you can tell, we're excited about the path going forward with the acquisition of Inigo in the -- hopefully, in the new year. And we look forward to seeing as many of you and talking to as many of you as we can over the coming weeks, but we appreciate your time and your support. Take care. Enjoy the holidays. If we don't get a chance to see you before then, and we'll talk soon. Take care.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
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Radian Group — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Radian Group — Inigo Limited, Radian Group Inc. - M&A Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Radian's conference call to discuss the acquisition of Inigo. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Dan Kobell, EVP Finance. Please go ahead.
Good morning. Thank you for joining us today to discuss the announcement of our agreement to acquire Inigo. Today, you will hear from our Chief Executive Officer, Rick Thornberry, and our President and Chief Financial Officer, Sumita Pandit.
We will begin the call with an overview of the strategic rationale and key financials for the transaction as well as Radian's go-forward strategy as a global multiline specialty insurer. Then we will open the line for Rick and submitted to answer your questions.
Before we begin, I would like to remind you that comments made during this call will include forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially. For a discussion of these risks, please review the cautionary statements regarding the forward-looking statements included with the Form 8-K we filed earlier today, the risk factors in our 2024 Form 10-K and subsequent reports filed with the SEC.
Now let me turn the call over to Rick.
Thank you, Dan, and good morning. Today marks an important milestone for Radian as we transform our company from a leading U.S. mortgage insurer to a global multiline specialty insurer. We announced that we have entered into an agreement to acquire Inigo, a highly profitable Lloyd's specialty insurer for $1.7 billion. The transaction is primarily all cash and will be funded by using our available liquidity sources and excess capital without issuing new equity.
Over the past several years, we have been focused on building a stronger Radian. We have strengthened our capital and liquidity position, growing our high-quality mortgage insurance portfolio invested in our proprietary data and analytics platforms expanded our customer base, and most importantly, built an outstanding team. As part of our ongoing commitment to long-term growth and value creation, we have spent considerable time evaluating different strategic paths. Our objective was to build on our foundation and core strengths, including our customer focus, disciplined underwriting, proprietary data science and analytics, capital management and our talented team. Through this process, we determined that the right strategic path was to build Radian into the future as a global multiline specialty insurer.
Today's announcement is a culmination of our strategic planning as we turn our vision into action with the acquisition of Inigo. As we spent time with the Inigo team, we have been very impressed by the team and the business they have built over the past 5 years. We are excited to partner with this group of highly experienced leaders with a strong track record of building and managing successful Lloyd's businesses. The Inigo team aligns well with our core strengths and the cultural match is very strong. This makes them a natural fit that complements Radian's mortgage insurance business. By bringing our 2 companies together, we have a clear strategic path as a global diversified multi-line specialty insurance company.
Sumita will go through the details of the transaction.
Thank you, Rick. Let's walk through an overview of the transaction on Slide 3. This transaction allows us to efficiently deploy our excess capital into uncorrelated and high-return specialty insurance lines. Inigo's large-scale and high-growth platform is expected to double Radian's top line revenue while driving profitable growth. Inigo has quickly established itself as a leading Lloyd Syndicate, Syndicate 1301 by combining deep underwriting expertise, active customer engagement and advanced analytics and technology.
This unique and profitable platform has delivered a combined ratio in the mid- to high 80s and a pretax return on equity of more than 20%. The transaction is financially compelling for Radian. The purchase price of $1.7 billion will be cash funded from available liquidity sources and excess capital with no equity raised and the valuation is attractive at 1.5x year-end 2025 projected tangible equity. The company was founded by 3 highly respected industry veterans with decades of experience in the Lloyd's market.
Richard Watson, Russell Merit and Steward Bridges who turned their deep industry experience into a successful and scaled business. They've attracted an exceptional team of 250 employees who share the founder's entrepreneurial spirit and a shared commitment to radical simplicity and disciplined underwriting focus. Richard, Russell and Stewart, along with their talented leadership team, will continue to lead Inigo post close. We expect the deal to close in the first quarter of 2026. The transaction is expected to deliver mid-teens EPS accretion and approximately 200 basis points of ROE accretion starting in year 1.
Let's now turn to Slide 4. As Rick stated in his opening remarks, we have engaged in a comprehensive strategic review which also included a review of all of our existing businesses in the context of our go-forward strategy as a multi-line insurer. As a result, along with the acquisition of Inigo announced today, we are also announcing our divestiture plan for the businesses previously reported in all other, including mortgage conduit, title and real estate services. This strategic shift will allow ADM to simplify its portfolio and focus on our strategy as a global multiline specialty insurer.
For accounting purposes, we expect to report all other businesses as held for sale and to reflect their results as discontinued operations in our consolidated financial statements effective for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. We are in the process of hiring advisers to assist with executing our divestiture plan, which we expect to be completed within a year.
The impact of removing these businesses from Radian's 2024 results as reported, would be an increase of 120 basis points in ROE and a reduction of 36% in our combined operating expenses and cost of service. The metrics on Slide 4 are shown before including the impact of Inigo on the combined company.
Back to Rick for an overview of Inigo.
Thank you, Sumita. Turning to Slide 5. There are many reasons why Inigo is uniquely attractive and a natural complement to our business. It is a data-driven company with an impressive track record and significant market opportunity as one of the largest new launches in Lloyd's history, Inigo has quickly achieved scale with gross written premiums increasing 39% annually since their first year, while also maintaining a strong underwriting discipline and consistently delivering an industry-leading combined ratio.
After an initial ramp-up period in 2021 and 2022, Inigo has delivered an impressive pretax return on equity of over 20%. The company is emerging as a global leader in specialty insurance, serving some of the world's largest commercial and industrial enterprises with a distinctly innovative approach to engagement with large blue-chip customers. Powered by a scalable platform focused 100% on Lloyd's Inigo's data science informed underwriting and deep analytics enable them to more accurately assess and price complex specialty risk.
Turning to Slide 6. Inigo's portfolio is broad and well diversified with 64% allocated to insurance, primarily focused on U.S. specialty lines where their expertise and access to profitable opportunities is the strongest. They also write select reinsurance line using Inigo's proprietary view of risk to access the most attractive segments and clients while utilizing outward reinsurance to manage their net exposure and to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns.
Inigo benefits from Lloyd's global distribution network that enables them to offer specialty insurance solutions to clients in over 200 territories. They approach their business with discipline, selecting insurance lines where they have specific expertise and see attractive risk-adjusted returns.
Turning now to Slide 7. Let me dive a bit deeper in the Inigo and why this transaction is an excellent fit and truly transformational for Radian. Given Inigo's track record, it provides an opportunity for Radian to diversify beyond our traditional mortgage insurance business through access to a large and expanding Lloyd specialty market. This will allow us to deploy capital across 2 strong and uncorrelated businesses to optimize risk-adjusted returns across market cycles.
Similar to Radian, Inigo is driven by data science. It shapes everything they do, how they make decisions and how they think about risk. We share this data-first mindset as well as an unwavering focus on disciplined underwriting. As a newly launched Syndicate, Inigo developed an efficient operating model that is radically simple, generating profitable results with a modern technology stack and no legacy risk exposures. This, combined with their highly regarded management team and that entrepreneurial culture deeply rooted in our core values positions the business well going into the future. We believe this is a financially compelling transaction for Radian.
Slide 8 shows that Inigo has achieved significant scale in a short time, becoming the 20th largest syndicate in just 4 years since inception. Some of the largest Syndicates and Lloyds are nearly 4x larger, which underscores the substantial opportunity for Inigo's continued market expansion. Turning to Slide 9.
In the last 4 years, Inigo has outperformed peers while maintaining our underwriting discipline and consistently high 80s combined ratio. The key drivers of this performance are Inigo's disciplined underwriting informed by data and analytics this selection and portfolio management.
Let's talk about our addressable market on Slide 10. At Radian, we have successfully grown our mortgage insurance in force by prioritizing high-quality business focused on economic value. While we currently hold an approximately 17% share of the market, growth opportunities in the $6 billion private mortgage insurance sector are naturally limited by the overall size of the U.S. mortgage origination market.
With this acquisition, Radian's transformation from a leading U.S. mortgage insurer into a global multiline specialty insurer is expected to increase our addressable market by 12 times, providing flexibility to deploy capital across multiple insurance lines through various business cycles. We believe Inigo is positioned to capture the growing share of this market based on their expertise, targeted approach, data-driven focus and customer relationships.
Slide 11 provides a clear view of the business mix for our combined companies. Based on 2024 results, mortgage insurance would account for half of total premiums earned with specialty insurance and reinsurance, comprising 30% and 20%, respectively. The combined entity would generate nearly $2 billion in net premiums earned with a combined ratio of 56.5%. Overall, the transaction would double our earned premiums with strong underwriting performance. Turning to Slide 12.
It is important to note that there is very low correlation between U.S. mortgage insurance and Lloyd's specialty insurance markets. As you can see in the data by peer group, the loss ratios for U.S. mortgage insurers has been approximately 7% over the past decade.
Meanwhile, Lloyd's loss ratios has consistently outperformed U.S. Specialty. In fact, over the past 15 years, Lloyd's loss ratios has been approximately 10 percentage points lower than U.S. specialty. And over that same 15-year period, the correlation between U.S. mortgage insurance and Lloyd's loss ratios is approximately 0. This acquisition combines 2 excellent underwriting platforms that have delivered complementary and non-correlated returns.
Let me take a few minutes on Slide 13 to talk about our shared passion for data. Radian is a recognized leader in mortgage analytics, specifically mortgage credit risk analytics. As we have discussed previously, our focus is on driving economic value by leveraging our data science and advanced analytics to inform our disciplined risk selection and pursuit of alpha. This unwavering commitment has enabled us to construct a high-quality $277 billion mortgage insurance portfolio which has generated consistently strong returns.
For Inigo, data is also at the heart of what they do. They've invested significantly in their data and analytics capability as part of their strategy from inception. And similar to Radian, their data-driven culture encourages their teams to use their data to validate and form their underwriting strategies and engage with our customers. By combining our companies, we are enhancing our ability to allocate and deploy capital strategically, leveraging expanded data, analytics and technology expertise to assess risk and drive superior risk-adjusted returns.
Turning now to Slide 14. Inigo's highly focused, purpose-built platform has differentiated the company since inception. They were founded with a clean slate with no legacy business and no inherited exposure. And by investing in a modern streamlined infrastructure from day 1, Inigo has created an efficient platform that supports high-quality underwriting, rapid product development and exceptional client service. And this operating efficiency has translated into an expense ratio that consistently outperforms its peer group.
Turning now to Slide 15. We are delighted that their experienced senior leaders, including Richard Russell and Stewart and their entire leadership team will continue to lead Inigo. Our team has enjoyed getting to know them, and we are excited to work with them as we chart the strategic course together. Inigo embraces an entrepreneurial culture, which is focused on simplifying the complex and getting things done. And the company has consistently earned among the highest rankings for its leading culture relative to peers in addition to an attrition rate significantly below the Lloyd's market average.
Now let's talk about the financial logic of the transaction on Slide 16. We are acquiring the business at 1.5x projected 2025 tangible equity and the combination is expected to deliver mid-teens operating EPS accretion and approximately 200 basis points of ROE accretion starting in year 1. This deal is also projected to increase book value per share in 2026, and we anticipate Inigo earning back the premium paid for this business within roughly 3 years.
While we may utilize a portion of our revolving credit facility early in 2026, we expect our holdco debt to capital ratio to return to 20% or below by the end of 2026. Under Radian's ownership, Inigo will be able to take increased advantage of the options that exist under the Lloyd's framework to support their capital requirements in a flexible and cost-effective manner.
Our capital strength and balance sheet is expected to create meaningful capital synergies, including through Inigo's increased use of low-cost capital funding mechanisms available at Lloyd's, including letters of credit. We expect Inigo will continue to operate as a stand-alone business, complementing Radian's mortgage insurance business. As a result, integration risk is limited. We also expect no reliance on expense initiatives as Inigo's existing and experienced management team will remain in place to run the business post close.
The funding structure presented on Slide 17 provides an attractive use for our excess capital. Of the total $1.7 billion in funding, $600 million will be provided by Radian Guaranty through an intercompany note with a 10-year term already approved by the Pennsylvania Insurance Department. This unique and creative financing structure will help us avoid incremental external leverage and interest expense on a consolidated basis.
During the time the note is outstanding, Radian Guaranty will be subject to certain financial conditions set by the department. However, we do not expect these conditions to negatively impact Radian Guaranty's ongoing dividend capacity or operational flexibility in the normal course. We appreciate the positive working relationship we have with the department as well as the time and trust they have invested in us for this transformational transaction.
The remaining $1.1 billion is expected to be funded from available liquidity sources at our holding company. This funding structure allows us to strategically optimize excess capital and available liquidity with no equity financing needed. We anticipate maintaining sufficient liquidity at our holding company after the transaction closes, bolstered by projected dividend capacity from Radian Guaranty of over $600 million in 2026.
Let's turn to Slide 18. Summarizing the impact of our announcements today, our multiline insurance strategy is expected to provide immediate financial benefits as the planned divestiture of our other businesses, combined with the Inigo acquisition, position us to deliver mid- to high teens returns while boosting EPS by over 20%.
Now I'll turn it back to Rick for closing comments.
Thank you, Sumita. Let me close by emphasizing that the acquisition of Inigo will fundamentally transform our company from a leading mortgage insurer to a global multiline specialty insurer. The acquisition represents a strategic use of capital to position for growth and uncorrelated diversification that results in a financially compelling transaction. Strategically, it provides us with expanded avenues to allocate our capital where we see the greatest opportunities for economic value and profitable growth. I am excited about what the combination of these 2 talented teams can do together in the future.
Now operator, we would like to open the call to questions.
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Bose George of KBW.
2. Question Answer
Congratulations on the transaction. Actually, you guys noted so that leverage will go back to the current level by the end of next year. Can you talk about what this means for share buybacks until then and prospectively or I guess after that period.
Yes. Thanks a lot for that question, Bose. So as you are aware, we've always been extremely thoughtful about thinking about our capital deployment. We've always talked about a waterfall for how we think about deploying our excess capital. This transaction does allow us to really think about where we want to deploy capital in areas that are extremely accretive to us from an ROE perspective. As you are aware, MI mortgage insurance had a more limited organic growth opportunity. Inigo changes that for us.
The bar for M&A for us was really high, and we think Inigo meets that extremely high bar as we think about where to deploy capital. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we do plan to fund this transaction almost exclusively with our existing liquidity sources, which includes the intercompany note from Pennsylvania. We are not going to go out and do debt or equity financing for this deal.
As a result, at least in the short term both, we do expect to have -- I think in the second half of this year, we have actually already paused our share repurchases. If you remember, in the first half of the year, we had gone out and done almost $430 million of share repurchases which was more than the combined share repurchases we did in 2023 and 2024. In the second half of the year, we paused our share repurchases as we entered into this exclusive negotiation with Inigo.
Going forward, we will revisit that share repurchase decision, we do intend to continue to pay dividends for our shares, ordinary dividends at $0.255 per share per quarter. So that will remain ongoing. But in the short term, we are pausing our share repurchase so that we can fund this transaction without debt or equity financing.
And our next question comes from Terry Ma of Barclays.
I was just curious, as we kind of look out a couple of years, what's the kind of steady state kind of business mix look like? If I look at Slide 11, it's about 50% MI. Like how does that kind of evolve over time?
Terry, this is Rick. Obviously, we're not going to give forward guidance from a financial point of view. But I think one of the opportunities that we see with the acquisition of Inigo and these 2 companies coming together as Inigo actually provides an opportunity for growth where we see the MI market having limited kind of growth capacity going forward. Inigo actually provides a platform and a capability for us to allocate capital and find additional avenues and lanes of growth.
So I won't comment on the mix going forward because I think that would be providing some forward guidance. But I think as you think about the business, one of the great aspects and the appeals to coming together with the Inigo team is it gives us a whole diversified channel of allocating capital towards growth and that we would expect to see that play out over time in a disciplined and well underwritten way.
Got it. And I guess, is there a way to think about the excess capital position of the combined entity kind of going forward? Is there like any sort of capital benefit as you kind of combined the 2?
Yes. I think, Terry, there are quite a few capital synergies going forward for us as we think about the pro forma company and how we think about capital allocated between the mortgage insurance business as well as Inigo. I think maybe just walking through what are those pieces. The first one, as we discussed, was the $600 million intercompany note itself. That allows us to tap into some of our excess capital within Radian Guaranty. As you are aware, we are not able to actually dividend this out given contingency reserve restrictions. This transaction allows us to tap into $600 million of that capital within Radian Guaranty.
Second, I would say the Lloyd's framework is really capital efficient. And we think that as part of Radian, Inigo will benefit from our financial strength, and it will allow us to access capital even more efficiently within the Lloyd's framework. This will include, I would say, things like use of letters of credit. As you are aware, Lloyd's allows you to use LCs, we will explore that as we go forward. They do have some LCs in their capital stack, but we believe that we can do so even more efficiently and at an even lower cost given Radian's financial strength.
I would say the third aspect of capital synergy will come from the fact that mortgage insurance and Inigo specialty insurance and reinsurance are uncorrelated. We talked about that a little bit in the deck as we went through our prepared remarks. That lack of correlation we believe should give us covariance benefits, especially to Inigo as it thinks about its individual business plan alongside the mortgage insurance business that Radiant brings to the overall pro forma company.
And lastly, I would say we expect some reinsurance opportunities also between the 2 entities. As you know, we reinsure some of our mortgage insurance risk to a panel of reinsurers I think we will continue to explore some synergy opportunities between the 2 entities. So multiple avenues of, I would say, capital synergies and this allows us to flexibly think about where and how we want to deploy capital.
Yes. I might just add to both my comment and submit this comment because I think the essence of this deal is really around the capital opportunity along with just kind of the opportunity around Inigo. But when you think about our business today, and we've talked about this before, is our mortgage insurance business hugely successful market leader, generating excess capital, somewhat limited growth opportunity.
As I mentioned, here with the acquisition of Inigo and the combination of the 2 teams, we get the best of both worlds, a combination of really a strong profitable capital-generating machine through our mortgage insurance business, combined with Inigo who has when you saw the chart that submit that went through from a kind of an addressable market perspective, you can see the growth opportunities available through the Lloyd's platform. So capital generation, the ability to allocate capital and find new avenues of growth is really one of the great aspects of the combination between our MI business and Inigo.
And our next question comes from Geoffrey Dunn of Dowing & Partners.
Just 2 questions. One, with respect to the transaction, is there any capital benefit that you can talk about, whether it be under rating agency assessments for the multi-line diversification or capital benefit for Inigo with Lloyd's or as you alluded to, maybe a capital arbitrage with reinsurance. Can you elaborate a little bit more on how capital could be affected by this deal?
Yes, happy to, Geoff. So I think -- yes, happy to talk a little bit more about it, as I just mentioned. I think we do have multiple avenues of capital synergies in this transaction. I think as you are aware, rating agency as such is not a binding constraint for us. So we don't really require a certain level of ratings to write mortgage insurance. Similarly, Inigo does not require its own ratings to write insurance. They really depend on the Lloyd's framework and Lloyd's AA- rating to write insurance and reinsurance. So there is not a constraint that is directly attributable to a rating agency.
Having said that, we think that this does allow us to utilize capital very flexibly between the various businesses. we will be able to deploy capital flexibly across business cycles between the 2 entities. And as I mentioned, I think going forward, we'll be giving you more details in the coming quarters. as to how we plan to deploy reinsurance between the entities as well as are there other opportunities in their capital stack in Lloyd's, where our financial strength would enable them to extract capital.
So the forward guidance that we have provided to you on the last slide of this presentation, does not really assume all of those capital synergies. But as we go forward, we will be keeping you all more informed, and we'll give you more specific guidance on how we will exactly capitalize this business going forward.
Okay. And then with respect to the accretion, particularly the EPS accretion, was your starting point on numbers that included buyback expectations running through the back half of this year and into next year? Or do we have to factor in buyback going away with respect to the ultimate accretion numbers?
No. So these numbers are like-to-like, meaning that we looked at Radian stand-alone numbers without buybacks in the second half of the year and superimposed on that, the impact of 2 things. So first is discontinued operations. And second is the acquisition of Inigo. So you see the impact of both of those transactions in the numbers that we presented to you on Slide 18. And does not take into account -- you don't need to really back out the share repurchase. As I mentioned, we are assuming that we are going to pause our share repurchases for the coming quarters, and we will revisit that decision as we go forward.
And our next question comes from Ryan Gilbert of Bank of America.
I wanted to quickly touch on the financing again. So I think the coupon on that intercompany note is 6.5%, which, as we sit here today, I think you guys probably beat in the unsecured market. So could you just walk me through your thinking around how you're financing this? And any commentary about potentially issuance over the next year or so as you close this acquisition?
Yes. Thanks for the question, Ryan. So I'm going to just turn to Page 17, if you have that handy in front of you. So just going back to how we are thinking about the funding structure here. So $600 million is coming from an intercompany note that's getting funded from Radian Guaranty. It's a 10-year note. And yes, the cost that we've assumed is 6.5%. That's really based on an arm's length arrangement between Radian Guaranty and Radian Group. If you want to think about the structure, we did explore various funding alternatives. And we felt that this was really efficient for multiple reasons.
The first is it allows us to tap our excess capital in Radian Guaranty that is not dividendable today. And this allows us to really access that excess capital. If you think about the accounting of this intercompany note, the note does cancel on consolidation. And as a result, this results in our financial leverage not going up, which we think is a positive. We are using our existing sources of capital. And in terms of how the interest would work in. So if you think about it, Radian guarantee earns this interest, that increases the dividend capacity of Radian Guaranty.
And therefore, we think that it is helpful for us as we think about the stand-alone strength of Radian Guaranty going forward. So all in all, I think it is a really positive funding structure for us and uses us and helps us use our excess capital in Radian Guaranty.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn it back to Rick Thornberry for closing remarks.
Thank you for joining us today. We look forward to seeing and talking to many of you in the near future, updating you on our progress as we transform Radian from a leading U.S. mortgage insurer to a global multiline specialty insurer. We're excited about what begins on today to work with the Inigo team and the path forward, and we look forward to sharing that with all of you. Thank you, and have a great day.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
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Radian Group — Inigo Limited, Radian Group Inc. - M&A Call
Radian Group — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Second Quarter 2025 Radian Group Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Dan Kobell, Head of Investor Relations and Capital Management. Please go ahead.
Thank you, and welcome to Radian's Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call. Our press release, which contains Radian's financial results for the quarter, was issued yesterday evening and is posted to the Investors section of our website at radian.com. This press release includes certain non-GAAP measures that may be discussed during today's call, including adjusted pretax operating income, adjusted diluted net operating income per share and adjusted net operating return on equity.
A complete description of all of our non-GAAP measures may be found in press release Exhibit F and reconciliations of these measures to the most comparable GAAP measures may be found in press release Exhibit G. These exhibits are on the Investors section of our website.
Today, you will hear from Rick Thornberry, Radian's Chief Executive Officer; and Sumita Pandit, President and Chief Financial Officer.
Before we begin, I would like to remind you that comments made during the call will include forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations, estimates, projections and assumptions that are subject to risks and uncertainties, which may cause actual results to differ materially. For a discussion of these risks, please review the cautionary statements regarding forward-looking statements included in our earnings release and the risk factors included in our 2024 Form 10-K and subsequent reports filed with the SEC. These are also available on our website.
Now I would like to turn the call over to Rick.
Good morning, and thank you all for joining us today. I am pleased to report strong performance for Radian in the second quarter and the first half of the year. Our results continue to reflect the strength of our high-quality mortgage insurance portfolio as well as our disciplined approach to capital management and operational efficiency.
I will start by sharing a few financial and business highlights. We increased book value per share by 12% year-over-year, generating net income of $142 million in the second quarter and delivering a return on equity of 12.5%. Our primary mortgage insurance in force, which is the main driver of future earnings for our company, grew to another all-time high of $277 billion. And consistent with trends over the last several quarters, our mortgage insurance portfolio delivered strong credit performance with cures exceeding new defaults during the quarter. Overall, our outlook for our Mortgage Insurance business remains positive.
Our strong financial position and capital flexibility have allowed us to deliver excellent financial results and help our customers transform risk into opportunity while also returning value to our stockholders.
Turning to the housing and mortgage market. There's no shortage of headlines today about the challenges facing the housing market, particularly with regard to housing supply constraints and elevated home prices. While these factors challenge affordability, there is stability in the consumer and labor market, including positive employment trends and wage growth. At the same time, housing demand remains strong, especially among first-time homebuyers as millennials, the largest generation in American history, have moved into their prime homebuying years.
While these are prominent market trends nationally, they vary in each region across the country. And the future outlook for each of these regions also evolves over time, which is why our approach is grounded in data. We take these market factors and regional nuances into account as we leverage our proprietary data and analytics, including our RADAR rates risk-based pricing to inform our strategic pricing decisions. This allows us to dynamically adjust our market and credit segment exposure, taking into consideration national and regional trends in order to maximize economic value for our company and stockholders.
I'm proud to say since 1977, Radian has supported lenders and their borrowers by helping more than 8.5 million families achieve their dream of homeownership in an affordable, responsible and sustainable way. For many families, it's been estimated to take more than 2 decades to save for a 20% down payment. Our private mortgage insurance products helps qualified borrowers overcome this financial hurdle while also creating a path to potential wealth accumulation with their home as an investment.
The recent passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act further enhances this affordability as mortgage insurance premiums are once again tax deductible. And as I've said before, our mortgage insurance industry is well positioned to play our important role in the housing finance system and serve as the only source of permanent private capital that stands in front of U.S. taxpayers, consistently underwriting mortgage credit risk through the market cycles.
As a result, we remain closely aligned with policymakers on Capitol Hill, the administration and the FHFA and our shared mission of bridging the gap to affordable, responsible and sustainable homeownership for more Americans through various economic cycles.
Sumita will now cover the details of our financial and capital positions.
Thank you, Rick, and good morning to you all. Our second quarter results demonstrate another strong quarter of performance. We achieved net income of $142 million or $1.02 per diluted share, an increase compared to $0.98 per diluted share reported in the first quarter. We generated a return on equity of 12.5%, reflecting the strong fundamentals of our business and grew book value per share 12% year-over-year to $33.18.
This book value per share growth is in addition to our regular stockholder dividends, which were $35 million during the quarter. Our reported book value per share also includes $2.02 of unrealized net loss on investments that is expected to accrete back into book value per share over time.
Turning now to a few key drivers of our results, which highlight the consistency, balance and resiliency of our Mortgage Insurance business model. Our total revenues continued to be strong in the second quarter at $318 million. Slides 10 through 12 in our presentation include details on our mortgage insurance in force portfolio as well as other key factors impacting our net premiums earned. We generated $234 million in net premiums earned in the quarter, consistent with the past several quarters.
Our large, high-quality primary mortgage insurance in force portfolio grew to another all-time high of $277 billion. We wrote $14.3 billion of new insurance written in the second quarter of 2025, marking a 3% increase compared to the same period last year. As shown on Slide 10, our persistency rate remained strong at 84% this quarter. We remain focused on writing NIW that we believe will generate future earnings and economic value while effectively maintaining the portfolio's health, balance and profitability.
As of the end of the second quarter, over 60% of our insurance in force had a mortgage rate of 6% or lower. Given current mortgage interest rates, these policies are less likely to cancel due to refinancing in the near term, and we, therefore, continue to expect our persistency rate to remain strong.
As shown on Slide 12, the in force premium yield for our mortgage insurance portfolio remained stable as expected at 38 basis points. With strong persistency rates and the current positive industry pricing environment, we expect the in-force premium yield to generally remain stable for the remainder of the year as well. Our provision for losses and related credit trends continue to be positive with strong cure activity and very low claim levels.
On Slide 16, we provide trends for our primary default inventory. Total defaults decreased to approximately 22,000 loans at quarter end, resulting in a portfolio default rate of 2.27%, down 6 basis points from the previous quarter. Cures continued to outpace new defaults with new defaults decreasing 8% to approximately 11,500 in the second quarter compared to approximately 12,500 reported in the first quarter. As we noted in the past, our new defaults continue to contain significant embedded equity, which has been a key driver of recent favorable trends, including higher cure rates and reduced severity for policies that result in claim submission.
As shown on Slide 17, our cure trends have been very consistent and positive in recent periods, meaningfully exceeding our initial default to claim expectations. Cure rates in the second quarter exhibited typical seasonal trends and compare favorably to similar periods from prior years.
Let's turn to Slide 18. We maintained our initial default to claim rate of 7.5%, which resulted in $48 million of loss provision for new defaults in the second quarter. Positive reserve development on prior-period defaults of $36 million partially offset this provision for new defaults. As a result, we recognized a net expense of $12 million in the second quarter compared to $15 million in the first quarter.
Moving to our other business lines. Adjusted pretax operating loss for All Other was approximately $16.4 million in the second quarter compared to the loss of approximately $3.5 million in the first quarter. The increase is primarily driven by lower revenue this quarter within our Mortgage Conduit business as a result of mark-to-market changes on residential mortgage loans held for sale.
Now turning to our other expenses where we continue to seek additional operating efficiencies. For the second quarter, our other operating expenses totaled $89 million. The increase from prior quarter was expected as it aligns with the timing for our annual share-based incentive grants similar to previous years. As communicated previously, we expect operating expenses of $320 million for the full year 2025, a decrease of 8% compared to $348 million in 2024.
Moving to our capital, available liquidity and related strategic actions. Radian Guaranty's financial position remains strong. We paid a $200 million dividend to Radian Group in the second quarter while maintaining a stable PMIERs cushion of $2 billion. We expect that Radian Guaranty will pay up to $795 million of total distributions to Radiant Group in 2025, in line with its 2024 statutory net income. This $795 million of total capital return includes the $400 million already paid in the first half of the year.
Moving to our holding company, Radian Group. In the first half of 2025, we repurchased approximately 13.5 million shares of our common stock, surpassing the combined repurchases of 2023 and 2024 as we took advantage of the market opportunity to purchase significant shares at a price level that is immediately accretive to book value. This brought our total return of capital to stockholders in the first half of the year to more than $500 million.
Our available holding company liquidity was $784 million at the end of the second quarter. The decline in liquidity this quarter of approximately $50 million was due to higher share repurchases, which we continue to believe was an attractive use of a portion of our excess liquidity. We also have an undrawn credit facility with borrowing capacity of $275 million, providing us with additional financial flexibility.
I will now turn the call back over to Rick.
Thank you, Sumita. Our results in the quarter continue to reflect the balance and resiliency of our company as well as the strength and flexibility of our capital and liquidity positions. I want to recognize and thank our Radiant team for the outstanding work they do every day. And now operator, we would be happy to take questions.
And our first question comes from Doug Harter of UBS.
2. Question Answer
Hoping you could talk about your view on how much liquidity you feel like you want to hold up at the holding company as we think about the magnitude of capital return that you can continue in the second half?
Yes. Thanks, Doug, for the question. So I think as I walked through in my prepared remarks, we continue to have really strong liquidity in our holding company. I think we ended the quarter at $784 million, which is lower than the first quarter number. But again, as I mentioned, we've used some of that liquidity towards opportunistic share repurchases. We were able to buy back our shares at really good prices that were extremely accretive to our book value.
And so we went ahead and did that. As you can see, we are bringing down our liquidity a little bit in the holding company. If you go back 2 years, we had higher liquidity numbers in our holding company of about $1 billion and more. Last year, we repaid some of our outstanding debt, brought down our leverage to less than 20%. So we are being, I would say, very, very careful and yet, I would say, planned in terms of how we are thinking about our overall liquidity in the holding company.
And we will continue to take judicious decisions with regard to capital allocation and how much liquidity we will keep in the holding company. We've not put out any forward statements in terms of what is that exact balance. But I think we would be comfortable saying that right now, our liquidity is quite in excess of what we may think is the appropriate buffer at the holding company.
Yes, I might just add, Sumita, too, just as we mentioned last quarter, this year, we expect to bring up $795 million from Radian Guaranty, of which this year, so far, we brought up $400 million.
So we have good visibility to cash flow from Radian Guaranty kind of now into the future. And so that's a really strong position to be in, but I just want to make sure we add that.
Just how should we think about the sustainability of that $795 million dividend up to the holdco as we kind of move into next year?
Yes. I mean I think, again, just trying to avoid any forward guidance of what would be the exact, I would say, income levels. But as you know, the dividend from RGI is driven by the statutory net income of the prior year. So I would say whatever is our stat net income in 2025 would be an indicator of what we could pay next year in 2026. And it is a little bit mechanical. We are trying to make sure that whatever we can dividend up from RGI, we are maximizing that dividend.
So I would say our stat net income would be the best proxy of our dividend capacity from RGI to group.
And our next question comes from Bose George of KBW.
Actually, you noted the marks on those loans held for sale that drove some of the decline in earnings at Home Genius or the Other segment. What was the magnitude of those -- of the marks?
Yes, Bose, thank you for that question. I'll kind of walk you through a little bit just because you referenced Home Genius and kind of in general, I think it's probably worth just kind of doing a little bit of kind of an update.
So we know historically, there's some connection to All Other and maybe the segment previously known as Home Genius. But I just want to take a moment to kind of walk through all the activities of All Other, including the Conduit. So last year, we restructured the businesses that were part of Home Genius, and we don't really run it as a Home Genius segment today. They're in All Other.
I think it's -- also, I just want to highlight for Real Estate Tech, that part of our business that was Home Genius, we made a decision in the second quarter to discontinue kind of our investment in the technology on that business as kind of a follow-on to what we've talked about in previous quarters. I just want to highlight that. And then as you kind of flow through all other, it's got the holding company investment income. It's got the Title and Real Estate businesses, which were generally consistent with the prior quarter.
And so the Conduit business, as we went through the second quarter, we actually saw the pipeline and loans held for sale grow to, I think, close to $900 million. And as Sumita highlighted in her comments, we saw the spread volatility kind of on the mark-to-market at June 30 kind of widen out specifically around interest-only kind of instruments, if you will.
And the impact combined with kind of higher expenses with the higher volume was about $9 million in the quarter. The position is hedged, valuations are going to fluctuate from time to time. And so as we go through a quarter end, we make those adjustments. But I would say net-net, that's the amount, the $9 million.
Okay. That's helpful. And then just sticking to Home Genius, is there a way to think about or how you guys think about just the time line to getting that to breakeven, especially if we were in a higher for longer, which presumably makes a little tougher on the Title side? And are there any strategic actions that you could take to accelerate? What's going on there?
Yes, I appreciate the question. So I would -- the way I would comment on that without providing kind of forward guidance is that actually, our Title business quarter-over-quarter, I think you'll see in the revenue breakout was up. I think it's up year-over-year. So we're actually through the combination of additional clients and penetration of existing clients, seeing some growth.
The numbers are small. Real Estate services has actually been more impacted by higher rates for longer just because of some of the pullback on SFR financings. So I would say the combination of those 2 businesses have been fairly consistent and not really necessarily impacting the financial outcome of All Other. The volatility has come through our Conduit business. And then I think also in the quarter, we had an accounting adjustment between mortgage and group of about $4 million that when you look at it year-to-date, it's kind of a $0 impact, but it was a reclass of about $4 million.
So I think really for this quarter, the noise is primarily in Conduit in that adjustment. But as it relates to what we do going forward, I would just say more to come on that. The teams are working hard and continue to kind of focus on finding avenues of growth and continuing to find ways to produce a positive contribution.
This concludes our question-and-answer session. I'd now like to turn it back to Rick Thornberry for closing remarks.
Thank you again for joining us today and your questions and your interest in Radian. We appreciate it. We're pleased to report another strong quarter for Radian marked by, I think, very strong results and continued positive credit trends. We look forward to connecting with many of you in the months ahead and sharing our progress on the next quarter. Thank you.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
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Radian Group — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Finanzdaten von Radian Group
Umsatz
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Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
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Bruttoertrag
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Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz & Prämien | 1.396 1.396 |
8 %
8 %
100 %
|
|
| - Versicherungsleistungen | 57 57 |
112 %
112 %
4 %
|
|
| Rohertrag | 1.339 1.339 |
6 %
6 %
96 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 173 173 |
-
12 %
|
|
| - Sonst. betrieblicher Aufwand | 293 293 |
22 %
22 %
21 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 872 872 |
11 %
11 %
62 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 3,91 3,91 |
96 %
96 %
0 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 868 868 |
2 %
2 %
62 %
|
|
| - Netto-Zinsaufwand | 80 80 |
2 %
2 %
6 %
|
|
| - Steueraufwand | 166 166 |
1 %
1 %
12 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 562 562 |
6 %
6 %
40 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
Die Radian Group, Inc. ist eine Holdinggesellschaft, die sich mit der Bereitstellung von Hypothekenversicherungen, Risikomanagementprodukten und Immobiliendienstleistungen für Finanzinstitutionen befasst. Sie ist über das Segment Hypothekenversicherung und -dienstleistungen tätig. Das Hypothekenversicherungssegment bietet Hypothekenkreditinstituten und Hypothekenkreditinvestoren kreditbezogene Versicherungsdeckung sowie andere Kreditrisikomanagementlösungen an. Das Dienstleistungssegment konzentriert sich auf das Dienstleistungsgeschäft, das eine Reihe von Immobilien-, Titel- und Hypothekendienstleistungen anbietet. Das Unternehmen wurde 1991 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Philadelphia, PA.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Thornberry |
| Mitarbeiter | 900 |
| Gegründet | 1977 |
| Webseite | www.radian.com |


