Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Aktienkurs
Ist Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. eine Topscorer-Aktie nach der Dividenden-, High-Growth-Investing- oder Levermann-Strategie?
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 15,06 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 45,25 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 15,06 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 47,69 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 26,26 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 45,25 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 26,26 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 47,69 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
24 Analysten haben eine Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
24 Analysten haben eine Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Prognose abgegeben:
Beta Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Events
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Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and welcome to the PAA and PAGP First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Blake Fernandez, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Michelle. Good morning, and welcome to Plains All American First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. Today's slide presentation is posted on the Investor Relations website under the News and Events section at ir.plains.com. An audio replay will also be available following today's call.
Important disclosures regarding forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial measures are provided on Slide 2. An overview of today's call is provided on Slide 3. A condensed consolidating balance sheet for PAGP and other reference materials are in the appendix.
Today's call will be hosted by Willie Chiang, Chairman, CEO and President; and Al Swanson, Executive Vice President and CFO, along with other members of our management team.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Willie.
Thank you, Blake. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. This morning, we reported first quarter adjusted EBITDA table to Plains of $730 million. Al will cover the details on our results in his portion of the call. Let me start with the macro environment, which has changed significantly since our last call. Recent geopolitical events have reiterated the importance of reliable, secure and responsibly produced energy.
The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has significantly disrupted global shipping channels and Middle East supply, contributing to stronger commodity prices over the past couple of months. In response, excess floating storage has been drawn down and strategic petroleum reserves are being released globally. While this helps balance the market deficit on a short-term basis, we are seeing a more constructive oil market developing on a longer-term basis.
We expect this destocking environment to continue over the next number of months and ultimately drive a restocking phenomenon longer term, longer term as countries replenish depleted strategic petroleum reserves globally. Post war, we would not be surprised to see several countries restock their SPRs above pre-war levels, essentially creating an additional layer of demand into the future, which should support prices and incent producer activity.
On the supply side, OPEC production capacity post war remains uncertain, but we suspect spare capacity will be tighter based on a slower recovery of shut-in production and infrastructure damage during the war. We believe the conflict shifts the focus towards more geopolitically stable regions to ensure security of supply.
Against this backdrop, North America, including the Permian, remain well positioned to play a critical role in meeting global demand. As this occurs, the value of existing infrastructure in the ground should continue to increase over time. For these reasons, we believe Plains is well positioned for both the near-term volatility and longer-term macro environment.
Based on these market dynamics and the growth trajectory that we see for our business, we have increased our initial 2026 EBITDA guidance. As highlighted on Slide 4, we're increasing the midpoint of our full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance by $130 million to $2.88 billion. The NGL segment EBITDA is now expected to be $170 million this year, following first quarter outperformance of $45 million and the updated divestiture timing now in May 2026.
Our trajectory of growth this year is underpinned by 3 key drivers: the sale of our NGL assets, Cactus III synergy capture and streamlining. The growth of our EBITDA is paced with the execution of these initiatives and is enhanced by capturing optimization opportunities that have been substantially secured over the next 3 quarters.
We're also seeing increased producer interest in both Canada and the U.S. for additional connections to our system. The combination of all these factors will ramp up through the year and position us well into the future. Our premier crude oil footprint continues to support stable fee-based cash flows in a variety of macro backdrops.
As global markets turn to North America for long-term energy supply, we are well positioned across key producing basins and downstream markets to drive multiyear growth. We remain committed to our efficient growth strategy, generating significant free cash flow, optimizing our assets, maintaining a flexible balance sheet and continuing to return cash to unitholders via our disciplined capital allocation framework.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Al to cover our quarterly performance and other financial matters.
Thanks, Willie. Slides 5 and 6 contain adjusted EBITDA walks that provide additional details on our performance. For the first quarter, we reported crude oil segment adjusted EBITDA of $582 million, which was broadly in line with our internal estimate and includes a full quarter contribution from the Cactus III acquisition, offset by a number of one-off items, including winter weather impacts in the Permian, system maintenance and timing of minimum volume commitments.
Moving to the NGL segment. We reported adjusted EBITDA of $145 million, reflecting a stronger-than-expected contribution from higher straddle production and improving frac spreads in March. A summary of 2026 guidance and key assumptions are on Slide 7. Growth capital remains $350 million, while maintenance capital was increased to $185 million, reflecting ownership of the NGL assets in May.
Regarding the $130 million increase in EBITDA guidance, key drivers are outlined in the waterfall on Slide 8. The NGL segment increased by $70 million, driven by outperformance in the first quarter, along with the ownership of NGL assets in May. The oil segment was increased by $60 million, driven by captured optimization opportunities, FERC tariff escalators, increased spot tariff volumes and increased West Coast volumes.
To the extent that elevated commodity environment persists in the second half of the year, we would expect to capture incremental opportunities. For 2026 guidance, we continue to assume Permian crude oil production to be relatively flat year-over-year. While we have yet to see a meaningful shift in U.S. producer behavior, any increase in activity would likely benefit 2027 and beyond.
We expect an improving back end of the crude oil curve and removal of natural gas takeaway constraints as new egress projects start up later this year to drive incremental activity throughout the year. As illustrated on Slide 9, we remain committed to generating significant free cash flow and returning capital to unitholders while maintaining financial flexibility.
For 2026, we expect to generate approximately $1.85 billion of adjusted free cash flow, excluding changes in assets and liabilities and excluding sales proceeds from the NGL divestiture. Our pro forma leverage at the end of the first quarter was 4.1x, reflecting the Cactus III acquisition.
First quarter leverage pro forma for the NGL sale would decrease to approximately 3.5x, and we would expect leverage to migrate towards the low end of our target range of 3.25x to 3.75x by the end of the year. We expect net proceeds from the NGL sale to be approximately $3.3 billion, which is approximately $100 million higher than our prior estimate.
Our acquisition of Cactus III last year has mitigated the tax liability to unitholders resulting from the NGL divestiture. As a result, we no longer expect to pay a special distribution following the closing of the NGL sale. Before handing it back to Willie, I would note that both current and deferred taxes are elevated on the statement of operations this quarter because of the restructuring activities associated with the NGL sale.
There was no cash tax impact in the quarter as payment of the related taxes will be made in conjunction with closing or in future periods. With that, I will turn the call back to Willie.
Thanks, Al. In the midst of volatile energy markets, we remain steadfast and focused on executing our 3 initiatives for 2026, closing the NGL sale, driving synergies on Cactus III and advancing our streamlining initiatives. Our efficient growth strategy has positioned us well to execute through a range of market environments, generating durable cash flow and creating long-term value.
Importantly, the improving oil macro environment starting to present additional organic investment opportunities with strong returns. We continue to evaluate both organic and inorganic opportunities in a disciplined manner. Capital investments help underpin long-term EBITDA growth, but they must meet our return thresholds and provide visibility into future return of capital to unitholders.
Our transition to a pure-play crude midstream company, coupled with the acquisition of Cactus III is proving timely as tensions in the Middle East position North America as a key source of global energy supply into the future.
Before I turn the call over to Blake, I'd like to make a brief comment about our pending transaction with Keyera. In terms of timing, as reported by both Keyera and Plains in separate releases earlier this week, we're targeting to close the transaction this month. While it's unfortunate that the Competition Bureau has chosen to challenge the transaction, their lawsuit does not prevent the parties from closing the transaction, which both Plains and Keyera are committing to do so.
So I realize you have -- you may have some additional questions, but I hope you understand it would be inappropriate for us to comment any further on this matter. So we would appreciate if you would refrain from asking questions regarding the transaction.
Blake, I'm now going to turn it over to you to lead us through Q&A.
Thanks, Willie. As we enter the Q&A session, please limit yourself to questions will allow us to address as many questions as possible from participants in our available time this morning. With that, Michelle, we're ready for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Brandon Bingham with Scotiabank.
2. Question Answer
Just wanted to maybe ask on the new guide. If I look at your sensitivity and the new crude price expectations, it would imply that at least on price movements alone, the crude contribution should probably be higher than what is currently shown. Could you just walk us through what's baked into the new guide and maybe the embedded outlook in there?
Sure. Brandon, this is Al. Yes, our original guidance for the year assumed a $60 and $65 environment for 2026 to kind of a $62. We came into the year highly hedged at roughly those levels. The $85 environment that we're talking about for the future is roughly the strip from June through December when we looked at it. So there would be some benefit based on crude prices on our PLA, but the fact that we had hedged quite a bit before entering the year, that sensitivity we give is just a raw sensitivity.
In order to make it more meaningful, we would have had to have disclosed to you the hedge position at the beginning of the year, which we haven't historically done. So what I would say is that the first quarter performance and the 9 months of our guide is very minimally impacted by actual PLA pricing.
Okay. Yes, very helpful. And then maybe just wanted to ask about in light of some of the commentary in your prepared remarks about a more constructive longer-term market and just the whole macro environment as it stands today, how are you guys thinking about the potential for the Epic expansion at this point?
Brandon, this is Jeremy. We're excited about the opportunities around our entire long-haul portfolio and are having constructive dialogue with existing customers and new customers looking for secure supply from the United States. So that results in some spot activity. But longer term, the expectation is to contract at higher rates than maybe before this would happen with potentially new counterparties.
So that would apply to recontracting existing pipeline capacity and expansions as well. So we're looking at all the above and hope to have updates in the coming quarters on how that looks.
Our next question comes from Gabriel Moreen with Mizuho.
Maybe I'll just ask the Permian macro question, really, in terms of sort of your best outlook. I think previous years, you had talked about 200,000 barrels a day year-over-year growth. Best venture at this point, I realize there's a lot of things in play and things are changing quickly. But do you think that goes significantly higher from here, $400,000, $500,000 in '27? I'm just curious what your latest thoughts are there.
Yes, Gabe, this is Willie. Jeremy may have some additional comments, but I'll give you my thoughts. The U.S. producers have remained very disciplined as far as capital allocation, and they're looking really at the back end of the curve to see where it goes. WTI is roughly $70. And our view is when you start getting into the $75 and above, increased activity happens.
There's also some other things that on the short-term operating bias that's limiting production or constraining it a bit. We've got some natural gas. The Permian has some natural gas takeaway constraints. There are new lines that are being built and being commissioned as early as later this year.
So the thought being that alleviates itself. Our assumption for the Permian this year was flat. And if it -- if there is some upside, obviously, we benefit from it. But our view going forward is not giving a formal guide, but we would expect growth going forward and probably some momentum of volumes behind that's going to increase production here maybe with a little bit of a flush later this year or early next year.
So I think it really depends on the back of the curve, but the systems are ready to go.
And then maybe if I can ask kind of on the sustainability of some of the marketing opportunities you're currently seeing. Can you just talk about, I guess, some of the spreads that you're seeing and also on the value of dock space the extent you're debating internally maybe terming some of those out at higher prices?
And then also the steepness of the curve in backwardation, how that's playing with your storage? Is that helpful? Is that a hindrance? I'm just curious your thoughts on that.
Gabe, without getting into specific strategies, which I would say time location, quality spreads, all that volatility, we benefit from all of those because we have the assets, the supply position and the trading function to capture those opportunities.
While it's hard to forecast those when they arrive, and that could be the time spreads, could you sell a barrel now and buy it back later by emptying a tank, that type of thing. Could you -- difference in grades between Canada and the United States, difference in grades on Gulf Coast grades, all of those are strategies and things we can take advantage of with our integrated system. And so we're excited about those opportunities.
What we've put in this as Willie and Al both stated, we've substantially captured what's in this forecast. It's hard -- this is a very volatile time period. We've only been in the 60 to 70 days. So it's hard to forecast that to continue. But if it continues, we would expect to capture more opportunities going forward.
And just to add on to what Willie is saying, we do estimate there's close to 200,000 to 300,000 barrels a day of oil that's behind pipe in the Permian Basin. So that flush production he's talking about is substantial. And a lot of that's in the more constrained areas of the Delaware Basin, which we have a broader footprint.
So take New Mexico and other places. So as Willie said, we're not giving a formal guide, but that -- if you look at the plot of -- you talked about spreads, the Waha Spread, it's almost flat price in Waha has been largely negative since last September. That's what's accumulating all of this to go.
And so as gas prices recover, productive capacity is already there to add. And as you add more, that puts more pressure on potentially long-haul spreads and the ability to term up contract at greater rates. So we're seeing more demand from new customers. We're seeing potentially less production. Those should all benefit to taking short-term opportunities and convert them to longer-term opportunities.
And Gabe, this is Willie again. If you look at our numbers, long haul has increased and the margins on that has also improved. So I think we're moving to a more structurally full life situation as we go forward, which should be constructive for us.
Our next question comes from Manav Gupta with UBS.
I just wanted to focus a little bit on the weather impact. I think it was about $49 million quarter-over-quarter. I'm just trying to understand the fair timing of minimum volume commitments. Is there a possibility some of this can be reversed in 2Q? Some of what you lost in your -- in the current quarter comes back into the second quarter. If you could talk a little bit about that.
Yes, Manav, those are 2 different things. But first, with regard to weather, weather is just production shut in for a period, you can't make that back, but the flush production does come back. With regard to the timing of MVCs, that's continuous in our process. And if you look at some of the earnings calls from others about their dock performance or other things in that first quarter, freight was really expensive and margins didn't have people moving.
So long-haul volumes were down across the industry, but that has completely reversed in timing. So you would absolutely expect that to be recovered. It's just a question of when those MVCs accrue versus when they're paid, but all the pipelines are full again and the MVCs are being reversed.
Manav, this is Willie. If you're referring to Slide 5, I think the point of your question is on that negative 49, there's a bunch of onetime events in there that you're absolutely correct that we -- that will not occur again as we go forward.
Perfect. And if you could also talk about the very strong results from the NGL segment in the first quarter versus the last quarter, some of the drivers of what helped you deliver a much stronger earnings on that segment quarter-over-quarter.
Sure, Manav. This is Jeremy again. higher border flows than expected. You had very full storage in Canada and continued production, which required the volumes to be exported, and those were exported through our Empress assets. So higher border flows leads to more straddle production, and that would all be unhedged and impact -- so that was more border flow concept, but higher frac spreads as well in the first quarter towards the end of the first quarter.
So I'd say those 2, and that has continued into the second quarter, which is the increase in guide for the NGL business through closing.
Our next question comes from Michael Blum with Wells Fargo.
My question is really on the guidance, the crude oil segment. So I'll just ask it all at once. So the increase, I just wanted to make sure I understood, it sounds like most of this is optimization, which you've already locked in and then maybe the rest is PLA. So I just want to make sure I understood that. And then the second part is, if prices stay elevated for the balance of the year, would there be upside to the guide in the crude segment? Or is that already sort of baked into the numbers?
Michael, this is Willie. Great question. Our assumptions are -- the numbers that are in there really are what we've captured that roll off through the year that we'll actualize on optimization efforts. And you're correct. If we have a stronger macro environment, higher prices, there definitely is upside.
Our next question comes from Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan Securities.
Just wanted to see what you guys are seeing locally ear to the ground there as far as producer activity and whether rigs being picked up by the independents or how -- if larger drillers could as well? And what would be needed to be seen, I guess, across the strip to gain the comfort to do that. And so just wondering how you think production could uptick here? Or what do you see?
Jeremy, this is Jeremy. So since it started, you've already seen 15 rigs added back, and we would expect some to continue. But as Willie mentioned, there's a bit of a throttle right now. You can't add more natural gas to the system. as the flaring not allow. So productive capacity is there, rigs being added now would impact 2027. I think there's a bit of confusion by the market in that if you take the products market and the physical crude market, they're substantially more tighter than the financial markets would indicate, which means the back end of the curve has to come up.
It's very difficult even if you open the Strait of Hormuz tomorrow to get everything back in order the way it was. It's going to take a while for shipping to start. You have to empty tanks before you can start back up production. Products markets are just empty in some places. So I think there's real dislocation that will take time.
I think some of the integrators have stated it's for every day, it's down, it's 3 days to get back up. And so it's potential for months to get out of this, even if they were resolved today. I think that's the part that probably producers are waiting on is more surety at the back end of the curve that they bring rigs on because at this point, the service companies are stacked equipment.
It takes capital to get those back in, takes commitments to make those back in. So I think producers to make those commitments need commitment from prices that they'll be there. And the longer this goes, the more likely that will occur.
But I think it's just a dislocation in the back end of the curve right now that's maybe causing some hesitancy, but that's going to prolong the problem.
Got it. That's helpful there. And then I just want to see, I guess, how you think that impacts basis over time here and what it could mean for future egress expansion?
Thanks, Jeremy. It's constructive for basis, more production is and more demand on the water. So you're seeing a specific to the Corpus market and some of the on-the-water efficient docks, you're seeing higher pricing and relative to even the screens. And so that on a prolonged basis as there's new buyers coming to America, there's vessels that used to be pointed at other locations that intend to come back and forth to the United States for a while.
So I think you're seeing that on the NGL side. I think you'll see it on the LNG side, and I think you'll see it on the crude side. More buyers and more demand is generally constructive for spreads. And so we would expect to match either our supplier or our customers with that and hopefully offer service at a higher rate.
Jeremy, this is Willie. You're aware that on Cactus III, we have expansion capacity there. And as we've always said, we're going to pace that with market demand and commercial contracts. The other highlight on that is, as we've gotten to know the project and have assessed it, we have the ability to do that in a phased approach.
And also, it's really fairly flexible for us to get additional volumes, and it's not a long term -- it's not a binary big expansion. There's ways to do it in phases, which should match customer demand. And generally speaking, in a higher price environment, there are more opportunities because there's basically a pull on the whole system.
And so typically, in that kind of a market, the market opportunities and optimization opportunities become a little more prevalent versus a lower price where less is moving and there's less opportunities. I hope that helps.
Our next question comes from Jackie Koletas with Goldman Sachs.
First, I was wondering if you could just comment on the progress of your cost reduction initiatives. Are these on track with expectations at this point? And is there any potential for upside capture here? When should we expect for Plains to realize more significant efficiencies through the year?
Jackie, it's Chris Chandler. I'm happy to take that. We are on track to capture the efficiencies, $50 million by the end of 2026 and an additional $50 million in 2027. We've actually already made a number of changes, some unrelated to the NGL transaction, some in anticipation of the NGL transaction. So we feel confident in the number. There's always upside.
We're always looking for additional opportunities, and we will certainly pursue any that we find. We're not prepared at this time to change the $100 million target we have through the end of 2027. But on track there, and things are going well.
Great to hear. And then I'll just one on just shifting to capital allocation. With debt reduction as a near-term focus, particularly following the pending NGL sale, when can we expect a shift or kind of allow a shift from debt paydown to a larger focus on potential buybacks or preferred paydowns?
This is Al. I'll take a shot at it. Yes. So clearly, with the proceeds from NGL, we anticipate taking that and paying down roughly a little over $3 billion of debt, which would be the term loan, the outstanding CP we have and a $750 million note that matures later this year. Post that, we expect to be right at the midpoint of our leverage. We expect of 3.5x.
We expect that to migrate down, which will then come back to where we've been for the last number of years prior to the Epic acquisition, leverage towards the low end of our range. Our view would be capital allocation, first and foremost, focused on maintaining distribution growth, funding investments, whether they're organic or M&A related.
As well as looking at taking out prefs should leverage remain at or below the bottom end of the range and opportunistic share repurchases. So a long-winded way of saying that once we get through the NGL sale and deployment of the proceeds back to where we've been operating for the last several years.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back over to Willie Chiang, President, CEO and Chairman, for closing remarks.
Michelle, thanks. We appreciate everyone's support and attention, and we look forward to seeing you on the road. Stay safe. Thank you very much.
Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.
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Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the PAA and PAGP Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's call is being recorded. I would now like to hand it over to your speaker, Blake Fernandez, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Victor. Good morning, and welcome to Lana American Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Today's slide presentation is posted on the Investor Relations website under the News and Events section at ir.plains.com. An audio replay will also be available following today's call. Important disclosures regarding forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial measures are provided on Slide 2. An overview of today's call is provided on Slide 3, a condensed consolidating balance sheet for PAGP and other reference materials are in the appendix. Today's call will be hosted by Willie Chiang, Chairman and CEO and President; and Al Swanson, Executive Vice President and CFO, along with other members of the management team. With that, I'll turn the call over to Willie.
Thank you, Blake. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us. Earlier this morning, we reported fourth quarter and full year adjusted EBITDA attributable to plans of $738 million and $2.833 billion, respectively. 2025 was a pivotal year for Plains. The market environment presented multiple challenges, including geopolitical unrest, actions from OPEC to increase oil supply and uncertainty on the economic impact from tariffs. As highlighted on Slide 4, despite these transactions or these distractions, we remain focused on transitioning to a pure-play crude company, which also serves as a catalyst to streamline our operations and better position plans for the future.
This transition has accelerated through the sale of our NGL business, along with the recent acquisition of the Epic pipeline now renamed Cactus III. These transactions enhance the quality and the durability of our cash flow stream while improving distributable cash flow and positioning us well for future market cycles. 2026 will be a year of execution in self-help with a focus on 3 initiatives. First, we remain on schedule to close the NGL divestiture near the end of the first quarter, pending Canadian Competition Bureau approval. Second, we're integrating the recently acquired Cat Street pipeline and expect to drive synergies related to that system to improve EBITDA. And third, we're streamlining the organization with a focus on efficiency and improving our cost structure.
Over the past several months, we have advanced our streamlining initiatives and are targeting $100 million of identified annual savings through 2027 with approximately 50% expected to be realized in 2026. The key drivers of these efficiencies are outlined on Slide 5 and including reducing G&A and OpEx to reflect a more simplified business, consolidating operations and exiting or optimizing lower-margin businesses.
One example that illustrates our focus on higher-margin businesses is the sale of our Mid-Continent lease marketing business in the fourth quarter of 2025 for a total consideration of approximately $50 million with minimal impact to EBITDA. This sale removes working capital needs associated with line fill, it simplifies operations with an improved cost structure while adding long-term contracts to our business. While this transaction is relatively small, it illustrates an opportunity that we have executed on to streamline our business, improve margins and do more with less. On the bolt-on acquisition front, in January, we acquired the WildHorse terminal in Cushing, Oklahoma from Keyera for a net cash consideration of approximately $10 million which includes an upward purchase price adjustment of approximately $65 million upon the closing of the pending NGL divestiture.
This asset adds approximately 4 million barrels of storage adjacent to our existing terminal assets and is expected to generate returns well above our internal thresholds. Looking to 2026 and as highlighted on Slide 6, we are providing adjusted EBITDA guidance of 2.75 net to planes at the midpoint plus or minus $75 million with an oil segment EBITDA midpoint of $2.64 billion net to planes, which implies a 13% growth year-over-year in the crude segment.
We expect $100 million of EBITDA from the NGL segment, assuming the divestiture closes at the end of the first quarter and $10 million of other income. We forecast Permian crude production to be relatively flat year-over-year in 2016 with overall basin volumes remaining about $6.6 million at the end of the year, similar to end of 2025 levels. That said, we expect growth to resume in 2027 and underpinned by a more constructive oil market fundamentals driven by ongoing global energy demand growth and diminishing OPEC spare capacity. Regarding capital allocation, we recently announced a 10% increase in the quarterly distribution available on February 13 for both PAA and PAGP.
On an annualized basis, the -- on an annualized basis, the distribution represents a $0.15 per unit increase from the November level, bringing the annual distribution to $1.67 per unit, representing an 8.5% yield based on the recent equity price for PAA. With the simplification and streamlining of our business, stable cash flow contributions from the Cactus III acquisition and reduced commodity exposure following the NGL sale, we are modestly reducing our distribution coverage ratio threshold from 160% to 150%. This reflects improved visibility for our business, better aligns us with peers, and it paves the way for future distribution growth while still maintaining a prudent level of coverage.
Our targeted annualized distribution growth remains $0.15 per unit, and the lower distribution coverage gives us more confidence in our ability to deliver increasing returns to our unitholders. Al will cover specific CapEx guidance for the year, but we expect a meaningful reduction in gross spending versus 2025 levels and maintenance capital will naturally decrease following the NGL divestiture. We remain committed to our efficient growth strategy, generating significant free cash flow, optimizing our asset base, maintaining a flexible balance sheet and returning cash to unitholders via our disciplined capital allocation framework. With that, I'll turn the call over to Al to cover our quarterly performance and other financial matters.
Thanks, Willie. Slide 7 and 8 contain adjusted EBITDA walk that provide additional details on our performance. For the fourth quarter, we reported Crude Oil segment adjusted EBITDA of $611 million which includes 2 months of contribution from the Cactus III acquisition, partially offset by a full quarter impact of recontracting on our long-haul systems. Moving to the NGL segment. We reported adjusted EBITDA of $122 million, reflecting a seasonal uptick that was moderated somewhat by warm weather [Audio Gap]
Since it's possible in our available time this morning, the IR team will also be available after the call to address any additional questions you may have. Victor, we're ready to open up the call, please.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from the line of Manav Gupta from UBS.
2. Question Answer
I actually wanted to focus a little bit more on the Cactus pipeline and all the synergy benefits you're talking. And also, I know this is not the right macro, but eventually, the macro will turn, and I'm trying to understand what's your ability to expand cattery without actually putting more pipe in the ground, if you could talk about some of those factors?
Manav, it's Jeremy. First, on the synergies question, the $50 million of synergies we disclosed, we believe we're already on run rate for that now. Roughly half of that was associated with G&A and OpEx reductions as well as removing things like insurance and other things that the pipeline had to keep because it was a private equity-backed entity. Those are gone. So half the synergies were achieved in the fourth quarter as we said those costs -- the other 25% are associated with filling the pipeline with supply that we have doing shorter-term deals just to fill that available capacity associated with quality management -- those were ramping up now. So we would imagine during the first quarter, we'll be substantially there on the run rate for the $50 million, and we should hit that number this year.
As to your second question on the ability to expand the pipeline, our team, as we recontract the base pipeline to add term and improved rates for that uncontracted capacity now in parallel Chris' team is taking a look at all the capital efficient ways to optimize our upstream connectivity, our downstream connectivity. And then for incremental expansions of the pipeline that don't require new pipe and that do require new pipe. So we're looking at the most capital efficient ways to do that. We should finish that during the first half of this year. And in parallel, like I said, we are recontracting for term the rest of the pipeline, and then we'll be in a position to discuss expansions with our customers. et cetera. But first is stabilize the base pipeline and then if look at capital efficient expansions from there and increments that make sense to grow with the basin.
Manav, this is Willie. I think 1 key point that Jeremy highlighted is it's not a binary expansion at 1 time. We've got an opportunity to do it in phases and really match capacity to demand that's out in the market.
Perfect. My very quick follow-up is, can you also talk a little bit about the $100 million in cost savings through 2027 efficiencies and other initiatives that you're undertaking at the franchise level.
This is Chris Chandler. So the sale of our NGL business in Canada really creates a unique opportunity for us to rethink how our company is structured and organized. So that business, as you might expect, carried a fair amount of operational and commercial complexity that simply won't exist once the assets are sold. So we're taking a fresh look from top to bottom at how we're organized, where we're located, a fresh look at some of the maybe non-core businesses that might be better in somebody else's hands or, for example, outsourced to third parties that could do it more efficiently.
So it's really an across-the-board look that you don't get the opportunity to do this very often. As far as the capture rate, it's $100 million run rate by the end of 2027. So we expect to achieve $50 million of that in 2026 and another $50 million in 2027.
[Operator Instructions] our next question is from the line of Brandon Bingham from Scotiabank.
Maybe first, just looking at the Permian Basin outlook and kind of some of the commentary you just went through -- just trying to harmonize it with some of the larger producer commentary from recent earnings calls. How is the sentiment among your producer customers? And maybe what are some of the current discussions like assuming that $60, $65 WTI scenario in your guide?
Brandon, this is Jeremy. First, I would say that 60% to 65% is 10% higher than it was a few weeks ago. So it's a very volatile time period. But what I would say is the larger the producer of the less sensitive they are to the plus or minus $5 swings that we used to incur. So I'd say cautiously optimistic because if you look consistently across the producer landscape, what used to hold the Permian Basin flat was 325 rigs with less production. Now it's 230 rigs. So you can see those efficiencies are working through the system there. What I would tell you is that they're working to preserve in inventory. They're working to continue to get more efficient, how they develop it and improve recoveries. All of those things are good for stabilizing earnings for us.
And we remain consistent that while 2026 may be flattish, we think a more constructive environment for 2027 and beyond for growth, and that's very consistent with taking a pause, getting better at doing things, becoming more efficient, so that continues to be the case for us. So I would say that's consistent with how we're discussions with producers.
And Brandon, this is Willie. I think a couple of other things to point out. As we develop these basins, it's an exercise and constrained removal. So 1 observation is gas has been tight, and there's a number of projects that are there to alleviate that. And when you leave the gas constraint, actually, the breakevens for the producers improve, which allows them to be able to be more durable going forward. And I think just to reinforce your point, we've had some consolidation in the upstream section with a couple of the producers recently announced. And for us, we like that because it's -- it bolsters the producer environment to develop the basins in a more thoughtful way.
And I'm actually very encouraged by some of the technology improvements that some of the majors are focused on resource recovery. So when you factor all that in, we're very, very confident and constructive on the ability for the Permian to be a key part of the incremental supply for the world for quite some time. And I would expect growth to come back as fundamentals improve.
Very helpful. And then maybe just looking at the capital allocation priorities, I would be curious to hear if maybe there's a shift in any of them versus what they have been. And specifically thinking around the payout ratio is that 150% level more so to just continue the bolt-on strategy or other priorities? Or is there room to maybe further reduce it and maintain that $0.15 per unit distribution growth cadence a little bit longer?
Brandon, this is Al. Our view on capital allocation has not changed. I think I noted in the prepared comments, there are 2 ways to look at it. We got the net proceeds coming from the divestiture. We've really redeployed that already into Cactus III. So the proceeds there will go to pay down debt. When you look ahead post that, it's all the same viewpoint that we had before. Our primary way of returning cash to shareholders is going to be through distribution growth. That's part of the $160 million to $150 million, we're comfortable with the $150 million level. We think it's actually consistent with a large number of our peers.
And so we'll be looking to continue looking at bolt-ons where they make economic sense. Distributing cash through distribution growth. Secondly, we do have some preferred securities as well as common unit repurchases. Those will be more on an opportunistic basis.
Our next question comes from the line of Michael Blum from Wells Fargo.
Maybe you could stay on the distribution coverage conversation. I really just wanted to get a little more of your thought process on how you landed at [ 1.5 and not 1.4 or 1.3, ] just exactly. Is there any kind of formulaic way we should thinking about this? You mentioned some of your peers, but I can take a 1 pier off the top of my head that says 1.3% is the right coverage. So just trying to get a little more insight into your thinking on that.
Willie -- this is Willie, Michael. When you think about how we came up with the $160 million, right? That was in November of and it was intended to be a coverage threshold that was conservative, reflecting our focus on the balance sheet. I wouldn't try to read too much into the delta other than at 150, it's still a conservative approach to distribution. And for us, it sets a nice balance for us as we look forward ability to -- for multiyear distribution growth. So I would look at it as kind of a reset to the modest reset consistent with our peers as we go forward. We think we have a much more durable cash flow stream and it's really set there to allow us to feel good about our multiyear distribution growth.
Got it. And then just wanted to ask on the growth CapEx of $350 million, I guess, twofold. One, can you give us any details about any discrete projects that make that up or just some color around what's in that number? And then is this a good way to think about a run rate going forward now that you're really focused in the crude markets.
Michael, it's Chris Chandler. So yes, our guide for 2026 is $350 million. That brings us into our more typical $300 million to $400 million range, which we do think is a good number going forward, absent any large investments, which we would call out separately. When I think about how we got to $350 million and comparing it to prior years, we, of course, finished up the NGL fractionator expansion last year in Canada. We finished up a number of Permian crude oil infrastructure projects, and we finished a project unload into wax crude in the Mid-Continent. So those obviously all brought the number down on a year-on-year basis.
As far as how we build up into the $350 million, we have a healthy Permian connection program that's ongoing. In 2025, we connected more wells than we connected in 2024 and 2026 looks to be on a similar pace so far. We're also, of course, doing some modest investment to integrate the Cactus III pipeline to capture synergies, as Jerry mentioned, with additional connectivity and opportunities for quality optimization and cross connecting between our other Cactus pipes for energy efficiency. And then we see some good opportunities to potentially invest capital into our Canadian crude oil business. We're pursuing a number of potential contracts that would underwrite expansions there and have assumed some of that moves forward in 2026 as part of our capital spending. One moment for
Our next question will come from the line of Jeremy Tonet from JPMorgan Securities.
I just wanted to take a step back here, and there's been some geopolitical developments recently, particularly what's been happening in Venezuela, and it seems like there could be a domino effect in a lot of different directions of what happens there. So I was just wondering if you might be able to share any thoughts on how things could improve how could it impact plans, flows on asset utilization or even repurposing of assets.
Jeremy, Jeremy Goebel. How are you? I was calling -- I mean the idea around Venezuela, think of the initial response of 50 million barrels sold into the U.S. Gulf Coast, a significant portion. You restructure some of the slates and get consistent with what maybe Pascagoula or the St. James refiners or the Houston refiners had run, that immediate impact was widening of Canadian differentials in the Gulf Coast, the other heavy sour differentials, the Mid-Con and Canada.
That creates opportunities -- more opportunities for quality optimization, cross-border flows and other movements. Going forward, if you look out a few years, it may be at 200,000 to 300,000 barrels a day, that might change some buying habits that shouldn't be enough with the commodity prices where they are to change Canadian flows materially They'll have to price to move. So that would probably be a little bit wider Canadian differentials than otherwise would have been. It would take materially more than that to probably repurpose pipelines. But if you look -- if you added 1 million barrels a day, that does different things, right?
That now may push Canadian barrels to the West Coast that may create other opportunities to repurpose pipes from the Gulf Coast to other markets to feed heavy sours into those. So I think it's -- there's no easy answer because first, you need stability in the government, you need substantial reinvestment. Near term, I think it creates some opportunities around quality management and use of our cross-border pipes, intermediate term, it creates some logistical opportunities for us as well. But longer term, I think it's going to take substantial investment in time for repurposing, but we're certainly monitoring and paying attention to it.
Got it. That's very helpful there. And one other high-level question, if I could. [ Points ] has been active in industry consolidation, bolt-on M&A, what have you over time. And I was just wondering from your perspective, Willie, where do you think -- what inning are we in right now for consolidation in the crude oil infrastructure industry, bolt-ons, larger consolidation, what have you?
Well, I would say it's not a perfectly smooth trajectory as we think about consolidation. And specifically for us, we've made a couple of large transactions. Our focus right now is really to execute on those. We look at all kinds of opportunities that are out there. So you can be assured that as we look at things we'll take capital discipline, on being able to acquire things. But I do think there will be more opportunities that are out there. And frankly, to your earlier question, when you think about the macro and you look at the North American infrastructure, you asked about Venezuela. Everyone has a different outlook and view of what might happen there.
I personally think it's going to be very challenged to get a significant amount of growth out of Venezuela, which leads us to a more constructive crude oil environment going forward. And when you think about the infrastructure that we have in ground and the ability to repurpose if it makes sense, there's a lot of new opportunities there. And I mentioned this on 1 of the last calls, if you think about the basins that you want to be involved in, the Permian Basin, obviously, is key, close to markets, growth low breakevens, but you also have Western Canada. And everyone is aware of the desire for them to go to the West Coast. And we stay very involved in potential of bringing more barrels down to the U.S. So there's a lot of need opportunities and you can expect us to stay on track at looking at those with financial discipline.
Next question will come from the line of Keith Stanley from Wolfe Research..
Wanted to ask on coverage. So the release specifically says that the change in threshold to 150% provides a multiyear runway for $0.15 increases, so I want to confirm, should we interpret that as the plan would be $0.15 increases for at least 2 more years? And if that's right, it implies a fair amount of growth since you'd have to stay above that 10% -- so can you just talk to some of the growth drivers you see in the next -- in '27 and '28 that would support that?
Yes, Keith, this is Willie. You're very astute as you did your calculations. The message we wanted to send is we have the ability to continue to grow beyond 2026. So if you think of our EBITDA this year, we've got $100 million of contribution. And as you think about '27 plus, we've got self-help that choose up easily half of that. Our comments earlier about additional growth in the Permian gives us confidence in that and we know we're going to be able to extract additional efficient growth synergies out of that, so out of our asset base. So we are telegraphing that we think we can grow beyond 2026.
Okay. Great. And then one other coverage one. So you've talked to the rationale for 150% of DCF. When you assess where you want to go from a coverage perspective, do you look at it on a free cash flow basis, too? Because you have pretty steady $300 million, $400 million a year of investment capital. Just how do you look at it, I guess, on a free cash flow perspective as well?
Keith, this is Al. We've really said it based on DCF in the view that the DCF coverage of, say, 160 or now 150 would allow us to fund what we would call routine organic capital, that $300 million to $400 million kind of range that we think is more of a normalized level, plus a small bit for bolt-ons. So we think of it more of the coverage funding routine investments. Clearly, if we see investments that are outside of what is or larger, that we'll use the balance sheet for that. So it's not a precision on free cash flow. It's really or a percentage of free cash flow, but we are allowing for that kind of self-funding of what we think is a routine kind of profile of investment capital.
Next question from the line of John McKay from Goldman Sachs.
I want to touch on the long haul firming volume guidance for a second. It's a little -- maybe if you could just talk a little bit about the year-over-year bridge. I think it's a little stronger than what we were looking for. But maybe the overall margins intact. So a little bit of that volume versus margin mix and the bridging us to that pretty high '26 number?
John, it's Jeremy. There's 3 components to it. First, you've got the full year run rate of the Cactus III integration into the system. Second, you've got a significant uptick in contracted capacity on the basin pipeline system and so that would explain some of the lower margins just because the rate from Midland to Cushing is lower than that to the Gulf Coast. And then third, you'd have the BridgeTex Pipeline full year run rate since that was acquired during partially half of the year.
That's very helpful, Jeremy. I appreciate that. Second one, maybe just looking a little more near term, what do you guys see in terms of storm impacts on volumes across the board? I think the visibility on the gas side has been clear. But maybe just walk us through kind of what you saw in the last week or 2 and kind of where the recovery stands right now?
Thanks, John. To start with the recovery, that's already happened. So it was roughly a 7- to 10-day period when you have back-to-back freezes. A lot of that impacted the gas infrastructure made it difficult. And then once gas infrastructure is impacted, it shuts in the crude. So we saw almost like a reverse checkmark type recovery, went down and slow to come back. But we'd say -- I would say that basin as a whole probably lost 10 million to 12 million barrels of production. The crude side and NGLs maybe half that over that 7- to 10-day period, but we're out of that trough and have been for a few days. That's all been considered in our guidance. So just for the record there, that impact has been considered.
Next question come from the line of Sunil Sibal from Seaport Global.
Most of my questions have been hit, but just a couple of clarifications. So in regards to your lowering of distribution coverage to 150%, so obviously, you more contracted cash flows coming in through Cactus, but I was kind of curious if there is anything else in terms of how you manage your other assets in terms of contracting that we should be thinking about there?
Sunil, this is Al. No, I mean we are comfortable to $150 million. We think the crude segment is a stable cash flow stream. Clearly, the EPIC contract is -- our pipeline is highly contracted. But as we look at it, we think the $150 million coverage is actually still remains a conservative coverage level relative to our company. And we also think it funds what we -- I described as a routine kind of investment capital going forward.
Okay. And then I think in your prepared remarks, you mentioned about some storage acquisition, the Wildhorse House terminal. Could you walk through that a little bit. Again, I think you said 4 million barrels of storage, but what's the approximate cost for that?.
Sunil, this is Jeremy. Here's what I would say. So that's 4 million to 5 million barrels for functional right now is adjacent to our existing facility, our net cost is anticipated to be $10 million. It may take us some time to entice the facility. It's got existing operations today. We feel like we have sufficient demand. Our existing Cushing facility is fully contracted to downstream partners and we would just think of this as an addition to that business, it was a low cost basis for us. We could not build those tanks for $10 million. So we're excited about the opportunity to grow our relationships with our customers.
Next question will come from the line of AJ O'Donnell from TPH.
Just one question for me. I'm not sure where the development of Venezuela kind of fit on the time line of your budget. But just curious, as you sit here today and think about where dips are and how quality differ moved. Just curious how you think about the market-based opportunities trending above or below kind of that $50 million mark that you outlined in your deck.
AJ what I would say is the current market reflects what our budget is. So those happened towards the end of last year, giving us the opportunity to lock in spreads across the board. So it significantly derisks the opportunity for us, and they've moved out. So things move all the time, but when you have a movement like this, it gives you the opportunity to lock some things in. So I'd say it firmed up part of our plan.
Our next question will come from the line of Jeremy Tonet from JPMorgan Securities.
Just a couple of quick ones, if I could add. We talked a good amount about the 60% of the business in the Permian. But just wondered if you could provide maybe a little bit more color on the other 40% of the business and what trends you're seeing there? And I get there's cross currents or it's influenced by cost cut savings you're seeing there and that will have some impact. But just how do you think about volumes and EBITDA for that other 40% of the business kind of trending over time?
Jeremy, what I would say is let's start from the north. Excited about Canada, as Chris mentioned, opportunities around our rainbow system to expand our Rainbow System, seeing more activity the rest of the business is largely flat in Canada. So if you take our Rockies position, everything north of Cushing and West of Cushing, that's relatively stable and contracted. So flattish would be the view of that position. Pushing throughput continues at all-time highs year-over-year for us. So we think those assets in Cushing and the refinery feed assets, consistent with the refiners performance, that should perform well this year. The South Texas is really somewhat of an extension of the Permian Basin business. It's a wellhead gathering business with trucking to support it. And so that step down from the Cactus contract that impact that business as well. But as far as volumes and opportunity set following Ironwood, Cactus III and the integration with our legacy system. We're excited about what we see in South Texas.
Now east of Cushing the Capline system in Liberty and Mississippi, those are assets we're looking to fill longer term and working on some longer-term contracting and St. James continues to perform and with the expectation of growth in the U.S. Basin over the next 18 months to continue to come through to our St. James facility. So I think we've got exciting things across that platform. It's not as volatile and it's not as much growth in the other, but you'll see some potential capital investments there as we get contracts to support it.
Got it. That's helpful there. And just one last one, if I could. As it relates to the sensitivities for the 100,000 barrels per day change in total Permian production having a $10 million to $15 million impact on the business. Just wondering if there's any more color you could provide there if -- how that sensitivity might change, if volumes grow over time, is it linear? Or could there be an inflection realizing there's an interplay with differentials there. But just any other color, I guess, on how that could fall out?
Jeremy, here's what I'd say. I think the business is very large, right? So when we talk 100,000 barrels a day out of a basin that's over 6 million barrels a day. The impact of the gathering system is going to be relatively modest. So that $10 million to $15 million per 100,000 barrels a day probably still applies that the integrated benefit may grow over time. I think that's more of the impact of the price to go to Midland and what could change it might be on the margin, some differentials around WTL and WTI. But I think just because of the size of that business, it's probably going to stay in a fairly tight band.
The impact might be to the long-haul margins since we've been reset to what is the new market, our expectation would be those would widen out over time. So you might see more of an impact to the long-haul business.
We'll see you next time, Jeremy.
We're not showing any questions in the queue right now. I will now like to hand it back over to management for closing remarks.
Thanks, Victor, and thanks to all of you for dialing in. We look forward to visiting with you on the road, and I hope you have a safe weekend. Thank you.
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.
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Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the PAA and PAGP's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Blake Fernandez, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Andrea. Good morning, and welcome to Plains All American's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Today's slide presentation is posted on the Investor Relations website under the News and Events section at ir.plains.com. An audio replay will also be available following the call today.
Important disclosures regarding forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial measures are provided on Slide 2. An overview of today's call is provided on Slide 3. A condensed consolidating balance sheet for PAGP and other reference materials are in the appendix. Today's call will be hosted by Willie Chiang, Chairman, CEO and President; and Al Swanson, Executive Vice President and CFO, along with other members of our management team.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Willie.
Thank you, Blake, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. Earlier this morning, we reported solid third quarter adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains of $669 million, which Al will cover in more detail. It's an exciting time for Plains as we continue our multiyear strategy of building the premier North American pure-play crude midstream company. Over the past few years, our team has successfully executed on our strategy by meaningfully lowering our leverage profile, maximizing free cash flow and optimizing across our broad system, all while remaining capital disciplined and returning cash to our unitholders through meeting and beating our targeted annual distribution increases.
With the pending sale of our NGL assets expected to close early next year, our portfolio will become even more crude-focused with a more stable and durable cash flow stream. As discussed on our previous calls, the NGL sale is a win-win transaction at an attractive valuation for Plains and our capital allocation priority has been to redeploy those proceeds to a strong return, DCF accretive bolt-ons while staying within our targeted leverage range over the long term.
To that point, we're pleased to announce that we now own and operate 100% of the entity that owns the EPIC Crude pipeline. This past Friday, we closed on the previously announced acquisition of a 55% nonoperated interest in EPIC from Diamondback and Kinetik. And on Monday this week, we signed and closed the acquisition of the remaining 45% operating interest in EPIC Crude Holdings from a portfolio company of Ares private equity funds for approximately $1.3 billion inclusive of approximately $500 million of debt. As part of the 45% transaction, Plains has also agreed to a potential earn-out payment of up to $157 million tied to the sanctioning of potential expansions of the pipeline system by year-end 2028.
The EPIC acquisitions are summarized on Slide 4. These transactions are highly synergistic and very strategic to Plains existing footprint and are expected to generate a mid-teens unlevered return. We anticipate a 2026 adjusted EBITDA multiple of approximately 10x which we expect to improve meaningfully over the next few years. Going forward, we intend to rename the pipeline system, Cactus III, which complements our integrated Cactus long-haul system that we have operated for years. The acquisition of the remaining 45% of EPIC gives us the opportunity to assume operatorship, which accelerates and increases the synergy capture of the full pipeline, including meaningful cost, capital and operational synergies while improving the takeaway flexibility of our crude system to meet customer needs.
Near term, we're poised to benefit from contractual step-ups, reduced operating costs and overhead, quality optimization opportunities and utilizing the broader plans, Permian and Eagle Ford asset base to drive volumes to EPIC crudes downstream assets. Longer term, the potential expansion capacity of the system provide Plains and its customers with additional egress to the U.S. Gulf Coast and will generate strong returns as demand dictates further expansions.
Regarding the divestiture of our NGL business, we're on schedule to complete the transaction by the end of the first quarter 2026. We have received 2 of the 3 required regulatory approvals, U.S. Hart-Scott-Rodino and the Canadian Transportation Act while the approval process for the Canadian Competition Bureau is ongoing. Importantly, the majority of the proceeds to be received upon closing of the divestiture have effectively been redeployed through our acquisition of EPIC, which will result in an accretive and more durable cash flow stream. Due to timing differences between the closing of the transactions, we do anticipate our leverage ratio will temporarily exceed the upper end of our target range until the NGL divestiture is finalized, at which point we expect our leverage ratio to trend towards the midpoint of our target range of 3.5.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Al to cover our quarterly performance and financial matters.
Thank you, Willie. For the third quarter, we reported Crude Oil segment adjusted EBITDA of $593 million, which benefited from higher volumes and contributions from recently completed bolt-on acquisitions as well as the impact of annual tariff escalation. This was partially offset by certain Permian long-haul contract rates resetting to market in September. Please note that the fourth quarter should serve as a baseline, representing the full impact of lower contract rates out of the Permian.
Moving to the NGL segment, we reported adjusted EBITDA of $70 million which was down sequentially due to lower sales volume tied to temporary downtime on a third-party transmission system as well as the start-up of LNG Canada. Slides 5 and 6 in today's presentation contain adjusted EBITDA walks that provide additional details on our performance. We are narrowing our full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $2.84 billion to $2.89 billion to reflect lower realized crude prices and contributions from our completed acquisition of EPIC. Please note the benefit from EPIC for the remainder of the year is forecast to be approximately $40 million.
A summary of our 2025 guidance metrics and assumptions are located on Slide 7. Overall capital spending remains consistent with our prior forecast. Growth capital spending for the year is expected to be approximately $490 million. The $15 million increase is primarily associated with new lease connects and capital associated with acquisitions, while the 2025 maintenance capital is trending closer to $215 million, representing a $15 million decrease from our last forecast. In September, we issued $1.25 billion of senior unsecured notes consisting of a $700 million due in 2031 at a rate of 4.7% and $550 million due in 2036 at a rate of 5.6%. Proceeds were used to repay the senior notes that matured in October and to partially fund the EPIC acquisitions.
With that, I'll turn the call back to Willie.
Thanks, Al. We've made significant progress on our journey of becoming the premier crude midstream provider over the last several months, and we believe there are significant opportunities to continue to create value for unitholders through initiatives that are within our control. As seen on Slide 8, the combined benefits from bolt-on M&A, synergy capture and streamlining efforts across the broader organization will provide Plains self-help tailwinds through the near-term volatility. As part of our 2026 guidance in February, we intend to share additional details on these initiatives.
Our strategy centers on the view that crude oil remain essential to global energy and society for decades as outlined on Slide 9. And despite near-term volatility, we remain confident in our ability to navigate current market dynamics and we expect improving fundamentals longer term, anchored by continued global energy demand growth, coupled with underinvestment in organic oil supply growth in diminishing OPEC+ spare capacity.
I'll now turn over the call to Blake to help lead us into Q&A.
Thanks, Willie. [Operator Instructions] The IR team is also available after the call to address any additional questions. Andrea, we're ready to open up the call for questions, please.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Michael Blum with Wells Fargo.
2. Question Answer
Wanted to ask on the EPIC deal. Can you give us a little more detail on the synergy capture? How much of that is going to be cost savings versus commercial synergies? And where do you see the time line? Will you capture those synergies and then reach that mid-teens return?
Michael, this is Willie. First thing I want to do is I want to complement our team. If you think about these transactions, these are never perfect timing and they're hard to do. And we were able to do the 2 portions, and particularly with the 45% just announced, it gives us the ability to have more control over every question that you asked. I would also refer you to Slide 4. And if you look at the map and you see how integrated it is with the system, I think that helps illustrate the number of ways that we can win.
There are a lot of ways we can do this. There's a lot of cost structure savings. There's overhead savings and a lot of this will be immediate, and we'll be able to capture it in 2026. And if you think about the expansion opportunities, it's not one step change function on expansion because we operate it, we'll be able to dictate partial expansions as we go and whatever market demands will be. So there's a lot of different ways to win, and it's not simply the expansion. And I would tell you, a good portion of it is the cost synergies, capital synergies and integration with our existing systems.
Jeremy, do you have anything to add to that?
No. Just from a timing standpoint, I think Willie hit a lot of it. But just the compression in multiple to next year is step-ups in contract and cost savings. So things that are almost immediate and contractual. Beyond that, that is all the things Willie talked about. So we're very confident in the ability to compress this over time and part synergies, but part expansions and just recognize we sell a substantial amount of barrels at Midland, and we can move those barrels. We have demand from customers to go to the docs, the docs are willing to expand and ready to expand. There's additional markets that we're not connected to in Corpus that we can move barrels from Midland today that we sell into that pipeline.
So as Willie mentioned, we can expand the pipeline system, we can capture cost synergies, there's a lot we can do immediately, and that's contractual. That will compress to the 10x we announced and the compression beyond that, a lot of that's in our control as well.
And remember, Michael, we operate in that quarter, right? Hence, the Cactus III. So it's not that we have to learn new ways of doing business. This really fits hand in glove with our existing system.
Great. Second question, just with your -- the sale of your Canadian NGL business and now this EPIC acquisition, can you just you refresh us on your expectations for capital return and whether this extends the runway now to deliver the outsized distribution growth you've been providing now for a while?
Michael, this is Al. Yes, our view is that we will continue to increase distributions by $0.15 until we hit our targeted coverage. The year where we're transacting here, part of it will depend on when does the NGL sales close. But we expect to continue to grow the company in 2026, 2027 and beyond. Again, once we hit covered -- our target coverage level, we will revert back to a DCF growth concept. But again, we expect to be able to grow again, if you think of the embedded growth in EPIC from today through next year, that's pretty significant. And again, as that multiple kind of compresses from 10% to 15% unlevered, we see significant growth on this asset. So really no change in our approach there.
Michael, this is Willie again. We've got quite a bit to digest here. So I think what you can see is we'll be looking -- we continue to look at a lot of things. But if we were to transact on things, they'd likely be smaller bolt-ons that fit into the system as we've talked before. We've got plenty of things to get accomplished here over the next 6 months.
Next question comes from Keith Stanley with Wolfe Research.
I want to follow up on the distribution question first that Michael just asked. So Al, on your answer, you referenced how there's some noise potentially next year related to the Canadian NGL sales. So to the extent you weren't at the coverage threshold for a $0.15 increase next year because of timing factors related to that sale and redeployment of proceeds, would that impact how you look at the distribution? Or would you see through that and look more at kind of where the run rate DCF would be?
I'll take a shot and Willie jump in. Yes, clearly, we would look through noise to run rate as to how we would think about that. Clearly, if the NGL asset doesn't close early in the year and takes, we'll have more DCF. So some of that noise necessarily wouldn't be a limitation per se. But again, our view would be to look beyond the current year as we evaluate this. Clearly, management and the Board have robust discussions around distributions and what we're expecting to do. And clearly, the first call on that will be early January when we announce our distribution for February.
And Keith, Willie here, you know our coverage target is 160% of DCF to coverage. So that gives us a little bit of flexibility. And as Al said, we always play for the long term. Our focus is return of cash to our unitholders. So I think a lot of that would play into it, and I would agree with everything that Al said.
The second question, going back to EPIC. Can you give some color on the duration of the contracts and how you would characterize rates on that pipeline relative to market? It sounds like 2026, there's somewhat of a recontracting benefit already that gets you to the 10x?
Sure, Keith. This is Jeremy. There's a substantial portion of the pipeline that's contracted for long term, and I believe that was announced in the restructuring last year that EPIC did. The balance of the pipe has medium duration contracts, we feel comfortable in our ability to work with those shippers to either extend those contracts or add new shippers to those contracts. We're just taking over this week, so it would be premature to talk about everything associated with it, but I'd say we like where we sit. The rates are at current market rates, they're not meaningfully above market rates, which means longer term, we expect this to be a stable and growing cash flow profile, which at least to Michael's question earlier about DCF accretion between the sale of the NGL in this business? We think that will be substantially DCF accretive over time the trade of those 2 assets.
And Keith, I might just help. I think publicly and previously, we said the portfolio had a weighted average duration through 2028 with EPIC, this should extend that out to October of '29 in case that's helpful.
Our next question comes from A.J. O'Donnell with TPH.
I just wanted to talk -- go back to EPIC. And now with 3 pipelines in the Permian, Corpus and Christi corridor under your control, how are you thinking about portfolio optimization and maybe like what kind of opportunities there are to move flows across your pipelines and/or reduce operating costs on the 3 assets?
A.J., this is Jeremy. Great question. All of the above, and it all depends on market conditions, right? So as you -- as the pipes get tighter or looser, you're going to do different things. So you can obviously optimize operating costs, variable costs across the pipeline system. You can offer flexibility across the pipeline system between common shippers to access more markets and push barrels into different connections, you can optimize capital across the system, you're going to optimize tankage. There's a lot you can do with -- and Chris' team is going to do a great job and they've been actively involved in the diligence system of the system.
So I think we're very excited with that. We're just scratching the surface. It extends beyond the long-haul business. This is optimizing flows through the POP JV to get to the origins at quality in all those locations as well as in the Eagle Ford. So this touches hundreds of miles across multiple assets for us. So we think there's a lot of ways even on the operating costs aside from the initial cost reductions we'll see to optimize our costs across the system, our quality optimization and connectivity across the system and flexibility for our customers. So the same thing that's allowed us to grow a strong position in the gathering business in the Permian. We can apply all those same things and extend the runway from the gathering business through the long-haul business to the docs, to the markets at Corpus and throughout the Eagle Ford as well.
Okay. Great. Appreciate that detail. Maybe just one more on EPIC and thinking about potential capital requirements to achieve some of these synergies excluding larger projects such as powering the pipeline up to the full design capacity. What kind of additional capital requirements do you see for making these connections either in the Eagle Ford or downstream? Are they relatively small in nature? Or could we potentially see CapEx moving a little bit higher next year beyond the normal range?
AJ, this is Chris Chandler. I'll take that. The short answer is the investments for the activities you talked about are expected to be on the modest side. Our near-term capital spending related to EPIC is certainly going to be directed towards that synergy capture. I think about connecting the systems throughout whether it's at the origin for supply optionality or throughout for our operating and quality optimization. So we see some good opportunities there, but it won't be significant from a capital standpoint. The update to the guidance we gave in for 2025, certainly incorporates what I just mentioned there and our guidance in '26 and beyond, we'll capture that as well, but we don't expect it to be significant.
Our next question comes from Brandon Bingham with Scotiabank.
Just wanted to maybe look into 2026 a little bit, if we could. Operator commentary so far this earnings season seems a little mixed with some guys talking about flat crude and others still blown and going to a certain extent and everything in between. So just wondering what you guys are hearing currently you're seeing from your customer base and how that fits with this year's expected Permian growth. And it also looks like the Permian volumes guide is implying a decent step up in 4Q. So just anything that you guys can comment on as we set up for 2026?
Brandon, let me start with that. For the reasons that you described, it's really hard to get a good gauge on 2026. My observations have been, you've got 2 of the large majors that are very, very steady and continuing to grow. There's others that have taken the stop light approach and maybe a little more hesitant. I think it's a very difficult call on where oil prices are near term. Longer term, we're very bullish. The Permian, we're very bullish. Canada, we're very bullish on North American oil growth. But I think there's a lot of signals that have to play out through that.
We've been -- if you think about where our portfolio is, I made a comment in my -- in the prepared comments, you think about global demand continuing to grow, which I do believe that it will because it's going to be -- we need oil for all the different reasons that we all know to create quality of life. But the thing that I've been watching for quite some time is drill bit or organic investment. And if you look at the trends, these are not my numbers, but other people that study this, if you look at the last trend organically, we're not replacing reserves, right? It's below 100%.
And you can't do that for an extended period of time. So that's why we're very, very bullish on North American oil sources. And I think the whole restructuring of the flows of trade from barrels going into the North America to leaving is going to continue. And I would say we're in mid-innings on the efficiency of being able to do that with oil. Certainly, we're doing it not Plains is doing it, but you've got NGLs, you've got gas, all that is an export story, but I think there's a lot of opportunities to win going forward.
But calling 2026 is a really tough one, and that's why we have decided to go to February to be able to give you the best intelligence that we've got. So sorry for the long-winded answer, but hopefully, it lets you know how we feel about it and where we fit in the long-range outlook.
Yes. Very helpful. And then just a quick one. The sales proceeds are effectively utilized now for the most part. So could you just maybe discuss your thoughts on fresh retirement and how it fits into the capital allocation strategy moving forward and just kind of what the pecking order is? I think you discussed a little bit in your prepared remarks, but just any updates there?
Sure. This is Al. Yes, since we announced the sale in June, we've now deployed $3.1 billion via the acquisitions, the BridgeTex acquisition earlier in the year are now $2.9 billion here. So effectively, the proceeds will go to debt reduction. That will allow us to get to roughly the midpoint of our leverage range, shift ahead after closing and reducing debt and being at the midpoint, then we'll go back to our normal capital allocation, which we'll look at -- return cash to shareholders through distribution as well as bolt-on acquisitions, retirement of the [indiscernible] and/or opportunistic common repurchases.
But quite honestly, when you're sitting at the midpoint of the leverage range and still seeing potential opportunities to deploy capital with good returns, we'll be more biased towards looking at the bolt-ons at that point.
Our next question comes from Sunil Sibal with Seaport Global.
So just a quick one for me. Now that you transitioned to a pure-play crude. The DCF coverage ratio of 1.6x. Could you talk about that in terms of how you think about that in more medium to longer term with the new business mix?
Yes, Sunil, this is Willie. The coverage that we said on 160, you'll recall, I think it was late '22 that we announced that. It's something our Board looks at regularly, clearly without the NGL assets and in the more durable cash flow stream that we have, that's something else we can look at, but we still expect to be conservative in our approach. No change to the 160. But as we go forward, the way I would characterize it is we've got a lot more levers that we can work with as we go forward and get a better triangulation of what the future brings.
Okay. And then when you look at your crude portfolio in Permian post the EPIC, could you talk a little bit about your operating leverage in the system vis-a-vis between your gathering and in-basin pipeline and the long haul. Where do you see the most operating leverage?
Sure, Sunil, this is Jeremy. We've been working on contracting. You saw additional volumes on basin through the summer. We've done more contracting there. With the acquisition of BridgeTex with ONEOK, we've worked with them to put more barrels on that system. So we're executing with operating leverage now. So despite the falloff and contractual rates, we're backfilling that using operating leverage. We see a lot of opportunity to do that with EPIC. So that creates a new opportunity for us to use operating leverage in a substantial way, given that the rest of our system is heavily contracted.
And then within the gathering system, there's a few underutilized laterals within the EPIC, we'll work with our POP JV partners to fill those up. So that creates capital avoidance opportunities and the ability to reduce operating expenses through it. So EPIC providing us additional operating leverage in the gathering, intrabasin and the long-haul system for us to then go fill through the long-term contracts we have on the gathering business. So we're excited about the pull-through benefits for the entire system.
Sunil, this is Willie. You didn't asked about the Permian? I might make a broader comment on North America. When you think about the broader macro, there's been a lot of chatter in North America, particularly around Canadian crude, ability to get more Canadian crude to markets. And you're very aware of the expansion that has happened on or the new line of TMX going to the West. Canada has vast resources that could get produced if they are more export routes to markets. And when you think about our system and other systems across North America, one of the challenges are, if you can stitch all that together, there's a lot of ability to get to global markets, primarily by going south to the U.S.
And as you know, we have a large pipeline called Capline that goes from Patoka down to the Gulf Coast that's got a lot of spare capacity to your point on leverage. So we haven't taken our eye off the ball of be able to solve a broader problem of oil that might be in the next inning or even the next inning to be able to get more energy and oil to global markets. And with the footprint we have, we've got a lot of flexibility around that also.
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan Securities.
Just wanted to pick up with thoughts you might be able to share in 2026 and granted, as you said, with the Permian, it's too early to really have much specificity there. But just wondering at a high level outside the Permian for other basins that you're in, if you could provide any kind of high-level thoughts as far as direction of travel in volumes there over time, that would be helpful.
Jeremy, what we've seen this year is a slight decline in the Rockies and Mid-Continent regions across the gathering assets, some in the Eagle Ford as well, modest. We see activity levels being able to sustain that. Some of that was -- you had significant growth in the DJ and Bakken from blowing down drilled uncompleted wells, that's out the system. So we see more stable production in the next year in those regions. And in the Permian, we see maintenance level activity for the short term, but we see significant leverage to increasing that. You've seen it, everybody is reducing capital, but maintaining production. So you can see through this fourth quarter so far in the earnings that efficiencies are there and the ability to drive, we see resource expansion in New Mexico and other locations. So longer term, it's giving us more confidence in the ability to grow the Permian and maintain the other basins at a lower breakeven price. So that gives us some confidence, but that's the near-term look.
Got it. That's helpful. And just a smaller question, if I could, on Keyera sale. How are you guys going about managing FX risk there given the volatility we're seeing in FX?
We fully hedged that basically at the time of the transaction. So we did a deal contingent structure that effectively locked down the rate. And if for some reason the transaction didn't happen, we're not exposed to the adverse movement that could have happened.
Our next question comes from Manav Gupta with UBS.
So a quick follow-up. I think you answered it in a way, but I just wanted to follow up. There are some good deals out there, and you have been very prudent and very smart about these bolt-on deals. So I'm just trying to understand, if there is a good deal out there, which meets all your these criteria, even if you're slightly above the midpoint of your leverage targets, would you hold back or you probably are okay with moving towards the top end and closing on a good opportunity, we think should not be just let go just because you're slightly over the midpoint of leverage. If you could talk a little bit about that.
Yes, Manav, thanks for the question. Well, we always look for opportunities to grow the enterprise value. And I would like to think that our judgment would be good enough to be able to shift through what I would call short-term noise versus long-term noise. And if it was characterized as you did, it was something that met all of our thresholds was strategic with a high risk of being able to execute it, that's something we would absolutely consider.
And a quick follow-up on Keyera, what is the gating item here, if you could -- which needs to be done before the deal can be closed. If you could help us understand that a little better?
Well, I wish I could help you understand it better as I'm not an expert in this, but it's the Canadian Competition Bureau in the process that they go through similar to our FTC HSR process which is ongoing.
Next question comes from Jean Ann Salisbury with Bank of America.
Just one for me. As you're considering whether or not to expand EPIC? Can you give us an update of the relative attractiveness of Houston and to Corpus for export. It seems like over the next few years, there are roll-offs on pipelines to both destinations that would be competing for recontracting. I know Corpus has historically been more desirable, but is that narrowing at all with the Houston Ship Channel expansion?
Jean Ann, this is Jeremy. I would say nothing has materially changed Certainly, both ports are competing. You've seen expansions of Corpus as well. The Ingleside dredging has been done. The channel has largely been dredged. It's way more efficient than it's ever been. So for me, Corpus is getting more and more efficient, even more so than Houston from a large ship standpoint. But the quality differential is a big one, just because it's only Permian barrels touching the docs first, touching a lot of barrels that come from the Mid-Continent. So there's a quality benefit and the logistical benefit and that continues to hold the advantage. That's why you see the premium of it on the water at Corpus versus Houston. And so pricing is also indicating the preference for Corpus over Houston.
Our next question comes from John Mackay with Goldman Sachs.
Willie, I wanted to pick up on your comments around potential involvement on some incremental Canadian crude egress. Could you maybe just talk to us about what some of the moving pieces are? I know you don't have a formal project yet, but would love to hear a little bit more color on maybe what you guys are thinking?
Well, fundamentally, you've got resources that are trapped and you've got -- if you think about the Canadian down to the U.S. Gulf Coast, you've got refiners that want to run that heavy barrel, and you've got different players with different strengths and weaknesses. There are some large long-haul lines out of Canada that could have expansion capacities. Then you get to the border, and there's a number of different options you can get barrels from the border to key hubs, and Patoka is one of them, and you've got a large unutilized capacity at Capline that could ultimately be a solution. That's not to say it's the only solution.
My point on this is really just to reinforce, when we talk about a midstream -- a crude-focused midstream business, this is exactly the things that we are looking at of how we might participate and being able to get low-cost, reliable solutions to additional markets without having to build a brand-new long-haul line from source to destination. Hopefully, that helps, John?
No, that's clear. And the second one will be quick, I think, for Al. Just on the EPIC debt, -- is that -- would you guys just expect to kind of refinance that at some point? Or could that be a, I guess, net use of cash from the Plains side?
Yes. Our plan is -- the base plan was we assumed it. And so it's now ours. And our view was, depending on the timing of these closing and us being owning 100%, which happened obviously on the early track. Our view is to repay it with the proceeds from the NGL sale. So it will be going away. The question is how quickly -- our view will be now that we've closed and depending on how long we think if the NGL transaction doesn't close until maybe later in the first quarter, we might look to do a term loan up at the parent to -- and funnel the proceeds down to repay it earlier. The economics may support doing that. It's a function of how long -- how long the term loan needs to be out. So that's something we'll explore now that we can catch our breath a little bit after getting the thing signed up and closed.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd now like to turn it back to management for closing remarks.
Well, listen, everyone, thanks for joining us this morning. We'll look forward to giving you further updates and seeing you on the road in the near term. Have a great day.
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may now disconnect.
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Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to PAA and PAGP's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the call over to Blake Fernandez, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Latif. Good morning, and welcome to Plains All American's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Today's slide presentation is posted on the Investor Relations website under the News and Events section at ir.plains.com. An audio replay will also be available following today's call. Important disclosures regarding forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial measures are provided on Slide 2. An overview of today's call is provided on Slide 3, consolidated -- condensed consolidating balance sheet for PAGP and other reference materials are in the appendix. Today's call will be hosted by Willie Chiang, Chairman and CEO and President; and Al Swanson, Executive Vice President and CFO, along with other members of our management team.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Willie.
Thank you, Blake. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Earlier this morning, we reported solid second quarter adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains of $672 million, which I will cover in more detail.
In June, we announced the execution of definitive agreements to sell substantially all of our NGL business to Keyera for approximately USD 3.75 billion with an expected close in the first quarter of 2026. Initial investor feedback has been positive, and we view this as a win-win transaction for both parties. Plains will exit the Canadian NGL market at an attractive valuation while Keyera will receive highly complementary and critical infrastructure in a strategic market.
From a Plains perspective and as highlighted on Slide 4, this transaction will result in a streamlined crude oil midstream entity, with less commodity exposure, a more durable and steady cash flow stream and substantial financial flexibility to further execute on our capital allocation framework. With approximately $3 billion of net proceeds from the sale, we expect to continue focusing on disciplined bolt-on M&A to extend and expand our crude oil focused portfolio as well as opportunities to optimize our capital structure, including potential repurchases, Series A and B preferred units along with opportunistic common unit repurchases.
Building upon the foundation of our disciplined capital allocation framework, we announced a bolt-on acquisition of an additional 20% interest in BridgeTex Pipeline Company LLC, for an aggregate cash consideration of $100 million net to Plains. This brings our overall interest in the joint venture to 40%. Both Plains and ONEOK have extensive upstream gathering systems, and both companies are committed to optimizing the operating capacity on the pipeline. In addition, this transaction is expected to provide risk-adjusted returns in line with Plains bolt-on framework.
Year-to-date, we've completed 5 bolt-on transactions, totaling approximately $800 million and we've consistently maintained the view that there is a runway of opportunities for Plains to advance is bolt-on strategy.
As illustrated on Slide 5 and has proven over the last few years, we continue to execute on that backlog of opportunities. Additionally, the financial flexibility that will be created by our recent NGL announcement further enhances our commitment and capacity to pursue these and other opportunities provided they offer the attractive returns.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Al.
Thank you, Willie. Prior to discussing further details of our second quarter results, I would like to reiterate that following our NGL announcement, the majority of the NGL segment has been reclassified as discontinued operations. To ensure consistent financial disclosure to the market, we have also included pertinent information reconciling these changes with our original 2025 guidance for the NGL segment.
Turning to the second quarter. We reported Crude Oil segment adjusted EBITDA of $580 million, which benefited sequentially from Permian volume growth, contributions from recent bolt-on acquisitions and higher throughput associated with our refining customers returning from downtime in the first quarter of 2025.
Moving to the NGL segment. We reported adjusted EBITDA of $87 million, which stepped down sequentially due to normal seasonality and lower quarter-on-quarter frac spreads.
Slide 6 and 7 in today's presentation contain adjusted EBITDA walks that provide additional details on our performance. Regarding guidance, our full year 2025 EBITDA range of $2.8 billion to $2.95 billion remains intact, Consistent with our communication last quarter, in the prevailing environment, both our EBITDA guidance and the Permian growth outlook of 200,000 to 300,000 barrels per day would likely be in the lower half of their respective ranges.
A summary of our 2025 guidance metrics are located on Slide 8. As for capital allocation, which is illustrated on Slide 9, for 2025, we expect to generate approximately $870 million of adjusted free cash flow, excluding changes in assets and liabilities. Our adjusted free cash flow guidance reflects the impact of bolt-on acquisitions including the acquisition of the interest in BridgeTex Pipeline as well as our revised 2025 growth capital guidance, which has increased $75 million to $475 million.
The capital investment increase is primarily associated with new projects, including Permian and South Texas lease connects and Permian terminal expansions in addition to weather delays and scope changes on other projects. While 2025 growth capital was above our initial guidance, maintenance capital is trending closer to $230 million, which is $10 million below our initial forecast.
With that, I'll turn the call back to Willie.
Thanks, Al. As illustrated on Slide 10, we've made significant progress on our strategy over the last several years. This begins with a portfolio of world-class assets where value has been unlocked for the capabilities of our Plains team along with collaboration with our customers. Our strategy is grounded in our established financial priorities with a focus on generating substantial free cash flow, maintaining financial flexibility and increasing return of capital to our unitholders through disciplined execution in each of these areas.
The divestiture of our NGL business marks a significant step in the strategic direction of Plains, by reallocating resources and capital towards our legacy crude oil operations where we have significant size and scale, we will be better positioned to enhance our focused portfolio, this move not only increases our financial flexibility, but it also underscores our resolve to streamline operations and drive growth while generating strong returns for our unitholders.
Our strategy centers on the view that crude oil will remain essential to global energy and society for decades. Despite near-term volatility, we're confident in our ability to navigate current market dynamics, and we expect fundamentals to improve longer term due to continued population and economic growth driving demand. We anticipate that new OPEC+ supply will be absorbed reducing spare capacity and limited long lead project and resource additions will increase the reliance on North American onshore production. Plains will continue to be a vital infrastructure provider to meeting the growing need for reliable energy across global markets.
In closing, our efficient growth strategy financial flexibility and commitment to execution have positioned us well to capitalize on opportunities, manage challenges with resilience. I'm confident in our position and at this point, we'll look forward to your questions. Blake, would you lead us into Q&A.
Thanks, Willie. [Operator Instructions] The IR team will also be available after the call to address any additional questions you may have. Latif, would you please open the call for questions? .
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Manav Gupta of UBS.
2. Question Answer
This is Shneur on for Manav. When you think about assets in the Mid-Con, there may be more onetime step-ups in synergy versus the Permian that could have more organic growth on top of that. So when we look at more bolt-on strategies and M&A, how do you factor in the sensitivity to basin level growth. And in general, what basins are you seeing more growth in over time?
Shneur, this is Jeremy. Here's what I would say, is we take all that into consideration. And candidly, as we've said before, we're a DCF shop, and we're looking for discounted cash flow over time and contributions. You have to look at the integrated network. So take the Mid-Continent, for instance, with your example, we have a lot of assets that touch a lot of other areas. So things that could impact Cushing or other downstream pipelines may have multiple touch points. So while the Permian has different resource. We look at them independently and use market fundamentals to driving out low look of cash flows, and we use a discounted cash flow, and we have to beat our return thresholds.
Our cost of capital by 300 to 500 basis points as we've said. So we take all that into consideration. We're not necessarily going to say where our target area is right now, but we do look at everything, and we've got to hit our return thresholds, and we certainly take a look at fundamentals and multiple touch points have in each area.
Got it. And then -- on the macro side more, could you provide some color on, I guess, real-time demand signals any sign of slowdown or anything you're seeing on the refining on the export side?
Yes, this is Jeremy again. Here's what I would say. I would follow the refiners. They've all talked about improving diesel demand and feel like it's strong. The last 6 months has helped a lot better than the prior 6 months from a demand perspective. We haven't seen the slowdown in demand most we're expecting. And we expect that to continue. Willie mentioned that in his notes. So I'd say continue to follow the refiners in their demand, we're not seeing the issues -- any issues from the downstream refining signals on crack spreads internationally and domestically, differentials do move in that some indication. But over the last 6-month period, we've seen strengthening demand, and we look forward to that continuing.
Yes. Shneur, this is Willie. One comment I would add to that is we're all watching a lot of uncertainty certainly over the last number of months and even years. Our view is continued short-term volatility, longer term, more constructive. And what I would tell you, our view is despite a lot of the uncertainties, I have more confidence in the world and its ability to continue to grow than I did probably over the past year. So our views are pretty constructive, but still think there's going to be a lot of volatility short term. .
Our next question comes from the line of Gabriel Moreen of Mizuho.
Can I just ask on the BridgeTex? And maybe just talk about how that pipe is situated currently contractually maybe how it would fit with the rest of your business? The value also seemed to be a little bit a change from what may have transacted out in the past. So if you can speak to that as well?
Gabe, this is Jeremy. We're excited about the outcome, consolidating that interest was one off. I think from a contracting perspective, it's best to speak with them. But one thing is, as part of this transaction, we work with one to optimize the cost structure going forward as well as consider commercial ways to fill the pipeline from a -- to United Plains and one of its gathering systems to help keep the pipeline full. So I think us working together will strengthen the positioning of the pipeline longer term.
And then maybe if I can ask in terms of some of the CapEx ins and outs on the growth CapEx raise here. But the lease connects in South Texas and the Permian, does that imply some degree of greater activity than you had been seeing? Or is it just some degree of noise in terms of just things going on during the course of the year?
Gabe, it's Chris Chandler. I'll take this one. So yes, we have increased our 2025 investment CapEx guide to $475 million net to Plains. We've developed some new opportunities related to the Permian and Eagle Ford gathering, as you mentioned, in additional storage opportunities in the Permian. Some of this is basin growth related, but some of it is, frankly, capturing business that we did not have before. They're good investments. They exceed our return thresholds, and they weren't in our original guidance, hence being a new opportunity. So I hope that helps.
Our next question comes from the line of Michael Blum of Wells Fargo.
Willie, I wanted to ask kind of a big picture question. You addressed some of this at the end of your remarks, but you've made a big step here. You've exited the NGL business in Canada. You're now more or less solely focused on crude. So my question is, is the plan to simply execute the growth and capital return strategy is as you've been doing? Or could you see the company pivoting or diversifying into another area, whether that be expanding the crude footprint more expansively or getting into a whole different line of business. Just want to get your sort of high-level thoughts there.
Sure, Michael. Going to a pure play was not the objective, right? Our objective is to create value for the unitholders however we possibly can. And so for us, I've articulated the sufficient growth strategy and we've been executing on being able to unlock that. Now practically speaking, our business was roughly 80%, 85% 15%, 20% NGL by being able to do this, the transaction, it really catalyzes a lot of opportunities for us within Plains, which is why I spend a little more time in my prepared comments talking about that.
One, we're going to be able to redeploy approximately $3 billion. I can't say exactly how it's going to be redeployed, but there's a number of opportunities that we've articulated on the bolt-on acquisitions capital structure, opportunistic unit buybacks. And if you think about the cash flow that we've sold at a great valuation, we think we can do better, redeploying it in the liquids business. So when you think about how do you create value, it's all around synergies, and it's difficult to capture synergies if you don't have a strong position somewhere. So this is kind of a long-winded answer of saying, we're going to stick to what we know. We've got size and scale really premier competitor in the industry, providing a lot of services for our customers.
And we're going to parlay on that and try to build even a stronger system kind of anchored on the platform of our constructive view of oil markets going forward. So if there are other opportunities that we can -- whether it's in different basins, or other commodities, we absolutely look at all those. We've got a very robust BD team. But practically speaking, I think you're going to see more of it around the crude assets. And we've got -- we feel we have a good runway of opportunities to look at. So hopefully, that's helpful.
It is. And then second, I wanted to ask, and I might be in the picking here, so apologies upfront, but -- on Slide 9, the language on distribution growth changed a little bit. It used to say targeting multiyear sustainable distribution growth and this later slide deck is targeting sustainable distribution growth. So I just want to see if there's a shift in messaging there that we should be aware of?
Michael, this is Al. No intended shift in messaging at all. We intend to grow our distribution over a multiyear period. So no intent there. Clearly, in the very interim time, as Willie mentioned, we need to redeploy these proceeds, we fully expect to redeploy them in a way that's accretive to DCF, which would further enhance our ability to grow the dividend.
Our next question comes from the line of Spiro Dounis of Citi. .
I want to first ask about the second half of '25. The guidance seems to suggest maybe a similar second half to the first half, if not maybe even a little bit lower. And so I'm curious, is that consistent with how you're doing in the back half of the year? And I guess why would that be the case? It seems like volumes are trending up kind of nicely this quarter, really, I know you mentioned some volatility out there. So maybe it's just that. But you've also got the contribution from some bolt-ons. So just going to get some color there in the back half.
Spiro, it's Jeremy. Just remember, we have the contract roll-offs of Cactus II and Cactus I and Sunrise in the second half of the year, all consistent with guidance. So those roll off of the contract rates, all those volumes have been recontracted. It's a function of rates being lower. So you had those contributions in the first half, you're going to have the growing production the FERC escalator and other pieces contributing to backfill that. So while it may look flat, you backfilled some of the roll off of the contracts with growth. .
Got it. Super. Second question, just maybe going to the bolt-on strategy again. I guess, how should we think about your ability to keep doing these bolt-ons for the rest of the year pending that NGL sale. I don't imagine you want to prespend that $3 billion. But as you do think about getting those proceeds, you could obviously do a lot more than a bolt-on with that $3 billion. So I guess I'm just curious how you're weighing the ability or maybe the potential to do something larger?
Well, Spiro, it's very difficult to time all these things, as you well know, which is why I mentioned our robust BD team looking at a lot of things. What I would tell you is that's the other reason of our financial flexibility, creating a lot of capacity on our balance sheet to be able to absorb some of that. So where I think we're positioned where we are positioned at is we look at a lot of opportunities. And as they come up, we're trying to put ourselves in the best position to be able to execute on them, whether they're small, medium or even large. So I'll leave it at that. .
Our next question comes from the line of Sunil Sibal of Seaport Global.
And most of my bigger questions have been hit, but I just wanted to clarify a couple of things. On the BridgeTex, so you're buying that as part of the Oryx JV? Correct?
Sunil, this is Jeremy. No, that's independent. That is Plains purchasing that we're an existing owner in the JV. And for one open Plains or buying in proportionate to their interest in the pipeline.
Okay. Understood. And then in terms of the overall positioning, it seems like you're still retaining some U.S. NGL business. If that's correct, is there a bigger strategy there? How should we think about that piece of the business going forward?
Sunil, that's very minor relative to the entire asset base. Those were smaller contributors. And from a tax perspective and operations perspective, it made sense for us to retain, and we'll look to monetize those at a later date. But I would say that's not part of the larger sets more likely to divest those and retain them.
Our next question comes from the line of John Mackay of Goldman Sachs. .
Maybe just wanted to touch on the CapEx piece again this year. I mean how much of that increase do you think is maybe actually a pickup in producer activity overall relative to what you're expecting? Or maybe that's more of just a you guys had some commercial success, but it's not necessarily pointing to kind of a broader macro theme? And then maybe just taking that looking forward, why -- why shouldn't we think of the kind of run rate CapEx number moving up a little bit if you guys were able to get these wins?
John, it's Chris Chandler. I'll take that. It's really a combination of all the above. The factors that you mentioned. There are certainly new opportunities that we didn't anticipate coming into the year and those played are all. I'd also point out our continued bolt-on acquisition strategy brings new opportunities for synergy capture and expansion around those assets where we didn't have operations before. So it's really kind of all of the above.
When you think into 2026 on investment capital spend, we're obviously not giving guidance at this point in time. We'll do that in early 2026. You can look at how much we're spending on NGL this year, which is above average compared to prior years. So we would expect that to step down when the NGL sale the Keyera closes. But we continue to be successful in identifying new opportunities. So in respect of identifying and capturing those projects that meet our investment thresholds. We'd love to grow CapEx modestly because of the good opportunities that we're able to capture.
John, it's Blake. If you don't mind real quick, I would add, just as a reminder, the '25 CapEx program includes about $30 million or $40 million of deferrals from last year. So that might help you think about the progression into '26.
That makes sense. That's helpful. And then maybe just going back to your comments on the retained NGL assets. I think you perform made sense, I understand they're small. But are you guys able just to quantify for us, again, what that looks like right now? And then maybe is that -- is any of that reflecting kind of a '25 spread environment? Or is that a pretty good -- whatever you shared, is that a pretty good number going forward for now at least?
I'd put that in the $10 million to $15 million of the EBITDA category and just from a valuation standpoint, think of the $100 million to $200 million range. .
Our next question comes from the line of Brandon Bingham of Scotiabank.
Just one quick one for me. I know it says in the slides that you still expect to come in towards the lower end of the EBITDA guide, but things have improved even just slightly versus all the 1Q chaos. So just kind of curious where you see that as we move forward throughout the year and whether or not there's a higher likelihood now that we could be back towards the midpoint?
This is Al. I'll take a shot at it. I think the wording should have been lower half. So we weren't trying to point at the low end by any means, if that's what the question was. And we believe the lower half would be how we're trying to guide it. We're not trying to guide you to the midpoint or the bottom end, but just the lower half. Clearly, there's a period of time here, prices have been fairly volatile. I think crude oil today is roughly where we articulated the range to be a quarter ago in the 60 to 65 range. I think we're kind of at the high end of that now. So more time to come with regard to that. but we would kind of point you to the lower half, not the lower end. .
Okay. Apologies. I might have missed read.
I would now like to turn the conference back to management for closing remarks.
Latif, thanks, and thanks to everyone for joining us today. We'll look forward to giving you more updates and we'll see you on the road. Have a great day and a great weekend. .
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Keyera Corp., Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. - M&A Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, and welcome to the Keyera Corp. Conference Call to discuss the acquisition of Plains' Canadian NGL business. Please note, this call is prerecorded, and there will be no Q&A session following the presentation. A recording will be available on Keyera's website shortly after the call. For any follow-up inquiries, please contact Keyera's Investor Relations team.
I will now turn the call over to Dan Cuthbertson, General Manager of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, and welcome, everyone. On today's call, we're joined by Dean Setoguchi, President and CEO; and Eileen Marikar, Senior Vice President and CFO. They will walk you through the details of this transformative transaction.
Before we begin, I'd like to remind listeners that some of the comments and answers that we will be giving today relate to future events. These forward-looking statements are given as of today's date and reflect events or outcomes that management currently expects. In addition, we will refer to some non-GAAP financial measures. The full forward-looking statements, advisory and non-GAAP disclosures are included at the end of this presentation. For additional details, including reconciliations, please refer to Keyera's public filings on SEDAR+ and on our website.
With that, I'll now turn the call over to Dean.
Thanks, Dan, and good afternoon, everyone. Let's begin with Slide 2. At Keyera, our purpose is to empower the lives of people today to create a sustainable tomorrow. And our mission of connecting energy for life reflects the values that guide us every day. But it's our vision to be the North American leader in delivering energy infrastructure solutions that this transaction most directly advances.
Today, we're announcing a major milestone on that path, the acquisition of the Plains' Canadian NGL business. This transaction strengthens our platform, accelerates our growth and creates meaningful value for both customers and shareholders.
Here's how we structured today's presentation. I'll provide an overview of the transaction and walk through the strategic rationale. I'll then discuss how the combined platform enhances customer value and positions us for long-term success. And finally, Eileen will take us through the financial benefits and how our disciplined financial framework and capital allocation priorities remain unchanged. Let's get started.
Turning to Slide 3. This transaction marks a pivotal step in the execution of our long-term strategy. We're acquiring substantially all of Plains' Canadian NGL business for a total cash consideration of $5.15 billion, subject to adjustments. This transaction brings key NGL infrastructure under Canadian ownership, enhancing domestic energy capabilities and reinforcing Canada's economic resilience by keeping value and decision-making closer to home. This deal is attractively valued at 7.8x expected 2025 adjusted EBITDA or 6.8x, including near-term run rate synergies. It is immediately accretive to DCF per share with mid-teens accretion in the first full year.
The acquisition is fully financed through $1.8 billion bought deal equity offering of subscription receipts announced today, along with the bridge facility and subsequent debt financing. This structure preserves our financial strength and investment-grade rating. We anticipate closing in the first quarter of 2026, subject to regulatory approvals.
Slide 4 highlights how this transaction is a natural extension of our strategy, enhancing the scale, connectivity and service offering of our integrated NGL platform. It enhances the scale of our NGL infrastructure while extending our value chain east to Sarnia, broadening our geographic reach and downstream access. The assets are highly complementary, unlocking commercial potential where we can apply our risk management, marketing and Canadian operating expertise to drive margin performance.
On a combined basis, this transaction unlocks approximately $100 million in near-term synergies and 70% of realized margin from the contracted fee-for-service sources. This supports dividend sustainability and long-term growth. On the right, you'll see a map showing how these assets integrate across the country, along with the table summarizing the significant scale of processing, storage and pipeline capacity that we're adding.
Turning to Slide 5. Let's take a step back and look at the macroeconomic context supporting this transaction. Western Canada is home to one of the lowest cost and longest life natural gas supplies in North America, including the world-class Montney and Duvernay plays. Continued infrastructure build-out and growing demand from LNG, petrochemicals, oil sands and emerging sectors like AI and data centers are expected to drive sustained gas production growth in Western Canada. This, in turn, is supporting higher natural gas liquids volumes across the basin. This transaction enhances our ability to support that growth, strengthening our service offering and better connecting customers to high-value markets across North America.
The next few slides will now focus on Plains' NGL business and its cash flow attributes. Slide 6 highlights the high-quality assets we are acquiring, which are highly complementary to Keyera's existing platform. On a stand-alone basis, Plains' portfolio forms a fully integrated cross-Canada NGL system, connecting Western Canada supply to key demand centers across the Prairie provinces, Ontario and Eastern U.S. The system includes strategic hubs like Empress, Fort Saskatchewan and Sarnia, which provide a reliable source of Canadian NGL supply through extensive fractionation, storage, pipeline and logistics infrastructure. These assets enhance geographic reach and service continuity. And once integrated, the combined platform will offer stronger customer solutions and greater operational flexibility.
On Slide 7, it shows a breakdown of the acquired assets by segment. About 60% of expected realized margin contribution is coming from stable fee-for-service business segments. The remaining 40% is generated from marketing activities, which support overall margin optimization and are expected to benefit from strong supply and demand fundamentals. Eileen will speak shortly to how we'll manage these exposures through our disciplined risk management program and continue to ensure cash flow stability and margin protection.
Moving to Slide 8. The fee-for-service margin is supported by long-term customer contracts with an average remaining life of over 10 years and about 30% of that is take-or-pay. In addition, about 75% of total revenue is with investment-grade counterparties, further reinforcing the stability and credit quality of the platform. These attributes align well with Keyera's existing business model and support our commitment to delivering consistent long-term shareholder value.
Turning to Slide 9. This acquisition builds on the strong momentum Keyera has established already in 2025 by executing key elements of our strategy. This year, we have successfully advanced several major initiatives aimed at expanding our integrated value chain and supporting customer growth, including advancing the Frac II debottleneck project and sanctioning the Frac III expansion, extending our value chain to overseas export markets through commercial agreements with Altagas, adding an integrated contracting at Wapiti and Simonette and most recently, sanctioning the KAPS Zone 4 expansion to reach into the BC Montney. The acquisition of the Plains' NGL business is a natural extension of this strategy.
The balance of the presentation will now focus on the combined platform. As shown on Slide 10, the combined platform offers seamless end-to-end connectivity from Western Canadian production regions to key demand centers, including export access to Asia via the West Coast and across the Prairies, Eastern Canada and the U.S. This integration creates a compelling value proposition for customers, enhancing reliability, flexibility and market access across the entire NGL value chain.
Turning to Slide 11. This transaction is ultimately about delivering value to our customers. The true strength of this combination lies in its ability to optimize every link in our NGL value chains across key products like ethane, propane, butane, iso-octane and condensate. Together, the combined platform enhances reliability, operational flexibility and market access, enabling us to move products more efficiently and maximize netbacks for customers.
With that, I'll now hand it over to Eileen, who will take us through the financial benefits of the transaction and our capital allocation priorities.
Thank you, Dean. Turning to Slide 12. This transaction materially enhances Keyera's growth outlook. In the first full year following the acquisition, we expect fee-based EBITDA to grow by about 50%. This is mostly driven by contributions from the acquired assets and also includes $100 million in near-term synergies, which we expect to deliver in the first full year. This growth will be further enhanced in the following years by further optimization and the completion of projects already underway.
Turning to Slide 13. This transaction maintains Keyera's strong and stable cash flow profile with a mix of fee-for-service and contracted assets that remains consistent with our current business. Looking ahead, we expect further improvements as the Frac II debottleneck, Frac III expansion and KAPS Zone 4 all come into service by 2028.
Each of these growth projects is underpinned by long-term take-or-pay contracts and will contribute to an even more durable and higher quality cash flow profile. These assets are expected to increase the proportion of realized margin generated from fee-for-service segments to an average of about 70%, with 45% of that margin backed by take-or-pay commitments over the next few years.
Also, an average of 72% of revenue over the same time frame is expected to come from investment-grade customers, further strengthening our commercial foundation. This positions us well to sustain our dividend and continue investing in capital-efficient fee-based growth opportunities across all market cycles.
Turning to Slide 14. This transaction has been structured to preserve Keyera's strong financial position and flexibility. The acquisition is fully funded through a financing package, which includes a committed bridge facility, a $1.8 billion bought deal equity financing through the issuance of subscription receipts and the remainder funded through a combination of debt securities and bank facilities. Our disciplined financing approach builds on Keyera's track record of deleveraging and prudent capital management. Pro forma net debt to adjusted EBITDA is expected to be within our long-term target range of 2.5 to 3x.
This structure ensures we maintain balance sheet strength and continue operating with one of the most resilient financial profiles in the sector. In terms of risk management, we will leverage Keyera's robust existing program to lock in margins, stabilize operating costs and manage both commodity and foreign exchange exposure.
On Slide 15, you can see this transaction unlocks meaningful near- and long-term synergies by integrating 2 highly complementary platforms. In the first full year, we expect to realize approximately $100 million in annual run rate synergies. These will come from corporate cost savings, supply chain improvements and operational efficiencies. Longer term, we see additional value from optimizing cavern storage and product flows across interconnected assets and from further integrating the 2 platforms. These synergies will enhance margin performance, improve asset utilization and strengthen service across the combined network.
With that, I'll now turn the call back to Dean for closing remarks.
Thanks, Eileen. Wrapping up on Slide 16, this transaction marks a defining moment for Keyera. It strengthens our position as a Canadian midstream leader, expands our integrated NGL platform across the country. At its core, this deal is about delivering long-term value for our customers by providing greater market access, more flexibility and stronger end-to-end service.
It also brings critical NGL infrastructure under Canadian ownership, reinforcing Canada's economic resilience and ensuring that value creation and decision-making remain closer to home. For investors, it delivers immediate financial benefits while preserving our disciplined financial framework and long-term growth strategy. It's a rare opportunity to add scale, unlock value and extend our platform for decades to come. Thank you for joining us.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, the conference has now ended. Thank you all for joining. You may all disconnect your lines.
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Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. — Keyera Corp., Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. - M&A Call
Finanzdaten von Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 45.254 45.254 |
10 %
10 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 42.563 42.563 |
10 %
10 %
94 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 2.691 2.691 |
7 %
7 %
6 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 337 337 |
12 %
12 %
1 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 2.354 2.354 |
7 %
7 %
5 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 965 965 |
7 %
7 %
2 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 1.389 1.389 |
7 %
7 %
3 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 926 926 |
42 %
42 %
2 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
Die Plains All American Pipeline LP beschäftigt sich mit dem Transport, der Lagerung, der Terminierung und der Vermarktung von Rohöl, raffinierten Produkten und anderen erdgasbezogenen Erdölprodukten. Sie ist in den folgenden Geschäftsbereichen tätig: Transport, Einrichtungen sowie Versorgung und Logistik. Die Transportsegmente bestehen aus gebührenpflichtigen Aktivitäten im Zusammenhang mit dem Transport von Rohöl und raffinierten Produkten über Pipelines, Sammelsysteme, Lastkraftwagen und Lastkähne. Das Segment Anlagen umfasst gebührenpflichtige Aktivitäten im Zusammenhang mit der Bereitstellung von Lagerungs-, Abfertigungs- und Durchsatzdienstleistungen für Rohöl, raffinierte Produkte und Erdgas sowie LPG-Fraktionierungs- und Isomerisierungsdienstleistungen. Das Segment Versorgung und Logistik befasst sich mit dem Verkauf von gesammelten und in großen Mengen gekauften flüssigen Rohöl- und Erdgasmengen. Das Unternehmen wurde 1998 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Houston, TX.
aktien.guide Premium
| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Chiang |
| Mitarbeiter | 3.900 |
| Gegründet | 1998 |
| Webseite | www.plains.com |


