Penumbra, Inc. Aktienkurs
Vergleich mit Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 Was ist das?
Die Peer Group sind die Unternehmen mit dem ähnlichsten Geschäftsmodell. Sie dienen als Vergleichsmaßstab, um eine Aktie einzuordnen.
🧮 Wie wird sie ausgewählt?
Nach Ähnlichkeit des Geschäftsmodells, also Unternehmen aus derselben Branche, mit vergleichbaren Produkten und einer ähnlichen Kundengruppe. Nur so vergleichst du Äpfel mit Äpfeln.
🏛️ Wofür ist sie wichtig?
Ob eine Aktie günstig oder teuer ist, lässt sich am ehesten im Vergleich beurteilen. Ein KGV von 18 oder ein EV/FCF von 20 wirkt je nach Maßstab günstig oder teuer. Die Peer Group liefert dabei den treffsichersten Maßstab: Unternehmen mit ähnlichem Geschäftsmodell, die denselben Bedingungen unterliegen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
Liegt eine Kennzahl unter dem Peer-Durchschnitt, ist die Aktie relativ günstiger bewertet, über dem Durchschnitt entsprechend teurer. Ein Abschlag zur Peer Group kann eine Chance sein, aber auch einen Grund haben (zum Beispiel geringeres Wachstum). Der Vergleich ist ein Startpunkt, kein Urteil.
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 12,56 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 1,50 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 12,56 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,60 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 11,92 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 1,50 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 11,92 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,60 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Penumbra, Inc. Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
20 Analysten haben eine Penumbra, Inc. Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
20 Analysten haben eine Penumbra, Inc. Prognose abgegeben:
Penumbra, Inc. Events
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aktien.guide Basis
Penumbra, Inc. — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Good afternoon, everyone. I'm Robbie Marcus, med tech analyst at JPMorgan. Very happy to introduce our next company, Penumbra. Adam Elsesser, the CEO, will give a presentation, and then we'll do some Q&A. Adam?
Thank you, Robbie, and of course, JPMorgan for hosting us. Robbie was reminding me, I think this is our 10th or 11th time since we went public. So it's great to be here and a pleasure to talk. Let's see. Here's our safe harbor.
Just a quick sort of overview. Our company was started in 2004. So over 20 years ago, we're headquartered here in the Bay Area in the town of Alameda, which is right across the Bay in the East Bay, a beautiful community.
We have over -- a little over 4,500 employees worldwide. All of our products today are manufactured in California. That's going to change. I'll get to that in a minute.
And we've been around a long time. We have -- our products are available in over 100 markets throughout the world.
On the manufacturing front, I wanted to just sort of touch on this because I think it's important. In Alameda, we have 9 buildings total and obviously, a lot more square footage than this, but 260,000 square feet of it is dedicated to manufacturing here in Alameda.
I think it's important to point out why that's what we do that and what the benefit of that is. We are known for iterating our products a lot. We're quite innovative. We launch many, many products every year.
And having the manufacturing right there with all of our other engineering and support staff dramatically increases the pace that we can bring products from R&D, move them into manufacturing and up and running. So that's a really, really important part of our success is the ability to really bring products from R&D into manufacturing and up and which by being altogether is part of the success.
We needed to expand as we grew, we opened up a facility about 2.5 hours from our Alameda facility up in Roseville, near Sacramento. That is about 300,000 square feet, and that has been obviously quite successful.
And as we look forward, as we continue to grow, we're going to need more space, and we have secured a facility, a site in Costa Rica that we own and are building -- building that facility that will be about 330,000 square feet. That's due to open sometime in mid- to later 2027.
And then we have an option next door to build another building of that same size, to continue to grow. We've learned a lot about being in Costa Rica. We're excited about it. I think it will augment our ability to make cost-effective products as we move forward.
I want to really talk about the 2 sides of our business. Over the last couple of years, we have focused mostly on our thrombectomy side, where the growth has happened. But for a number of different reasons that I'll go through in a bit, we now have our embolization side of the business, both in peripheral and in neuro also growing pretty significantly.
And as I said on the last earnings call, I think that has some sustainable growth behind it. So I'll walk through the point of that and how we can do that. I want to sort of level set, just sort of what is the thrombectomy markets we're in.
The total, if you add it all up, again, these are U.S. numbers. It's easier to get these numbers, and they're more accurate than if we try to look at this worldwide, so one can extrapolate, of course.
And again, even so -- there's some variability in people's estimates of these markets. We try to be on the conservative side. So if you look at other estimates of these markets, they tend to be higher.
If that were to turn out to be true, great, but we want to be sort of a little bit on the conservative side. So just sort of think about that. Arterial, that's legs, limbs, not all arteries because the stroke patients are different, but that has a little over 250,000 patients.
The majority of those patients now get either open surgery or dripping TPA or lytic. That's the majority. On the device side, the mechanical thrombectomy side, we have the vast majority of that share.
But the real effort for us there in that market is to continue to convert people who are doing these cases. So they're being treated.
They're not having to be found and brought to the hospital. They're being treated. They're just using more traditional older technology. I think that has a lot of room for growth as we move into the era of what we call CAVT or computer-assisted vacuum thrombectomy, where the outcomes and the time and the pace are pretty extraordinary and I think have shown a significant benefit.
So more work to be done there, but I think the opportunity is pretty obvious. The biggest of these numbers, you can see is DVT. What we've done with this number is try to limit it to the iliofemoral DVTs, the ones that have been shown in clinical trials to benefit from mechanical thrombectomy as opposed to the larger definition where is yet to be fully demonstrated.
I think there's room in the future to show that for all veins, but we haven't done that yet. So we're limiting it. Notwithstanding that, obviously, you can see this is the -- in terms of number of patients, the biggest opportunity.
Next is PE or pulmonary embolism, it's around a little over 150,000 of the type of patients that we've identified. Some numbers have that higher because it's a broader definition. That's not unfair, but we've just tried to limit it to a smaller number that is clearly appropriate and viable.
Of that, that might be the -- other than stroke, the more penetrated, it's somewhere around 15% or so that is currently penetrated in that market. Coronary patients is pretty significant.
Our product there is a mechanical product. It's not -- it's aspiration based, but it's not yet CAVT. That market, I think, is relatively stable. Work to be done. Is there a need to have the computer-assisted vacuum thrombectomy in that space.
There are certainly some patients we've heard that might benefit, but we're doing some analysis and trying to determine how many of those are and is that a viable opportunity to help those patients.
And then stroke, which has been our historic -- we started the company based on stroke and trying to do something about stroke. That is about 200,000 in the U.S. roughly.
There is a huge opportunity there to continue to grow that. It's the most penetrated. It's over 30-some-odd percent. There were about 10 years ago, landmark studies that showed you should treat these patients mechanically.
And recently, it sort of stalled out a touch. That's not atypical over the 10 years. We've watched the market sort of move in on a quarterly basis, it's never a straight line when you're talking about this growth, so I think there's optimism that as we move into '26, we'll see that revert back to some growth.
So that gives you sort of a starting point. I want to focus a little on the technology, thrombectomy technology. We used to be a catheter and a pump, a very sort of analog system. You would turn it on and try to suck out the clot.
That's what got us started for many, many years, and it's a viable technology. We moved as we try to continue to improve and improve and make ingestion of the clot all the way into the canister there that you can see on attached to that pump, the standard, like it just happens and it happens quickly.
We brought in CAVT technology. Again, now we're on many generations of that. And it really has fundamentally changed the way cases are done, both on the arterial side and of course, on DVT and PE, most recently in the STORM-PE trial, pretty remarkable results.
And also on Thunderbolt, which is, as everyone knows, under submission with the FDA. I know I'm going to get this question, so I'll at least answer it first, but I'm sure it will come up again.
As I -- we said on the last earnings call, we answered their collective questions in the later part of the fall. I said at another public event in December that we did get some follow-up questions.
We're addressing those and answering those. I -- there's nothing about this that -- I think this is in good shape. It's a thorough process. As you look at other products in the neuro space, there's some other ones, some liquid embolics that recently got approved. The time frame is 18 months from start to finish.
They got approved. They ran trials as well. We're at 9 months now. So we're in good shape, and we'll wait and see how that process goes. But I wanted to give that sort additional update. Moving on to STORM-PE real quick. This is a randomized trial, the first in really a generation in pulmonary embolism, randomized against anticoagulation alone.
Our arm is anticoagulation plus our device. The primary endpoint was a reduction in RV/LV ratio. That was extremely positive statistically, very significant. The safety data was really just stand out and has been commented over and over by people in the field for being amazing.
And then the other thing that people have commented on is the procedure time, both the low procedure time, but also the device time itself, which in this trial was 25 minutes. Keep that in mind because I'm going to show you some cases with our latest product, which we didn't even use in this trial, and you can calibrate that 25 minutes, which was best-in-class at the time, which was now 2 months ago and see where we're headed with our constant innovation.
The thing that really stood out in addition to those other endpoints, which were really, really significant was both the clot volume and the 6-minute walk test at 90 days, both statistically significant in the CAVT arm, and that wasn't powered to be significant, but it was still notwithstanding that, statistically significant.
And just to measure this in the 6-minute walk test, so this is 90 days later, you measure how long it takes -- how long you can walk in 6 minutes.
The people in the CAVT arm walked around a football field longer than the people in the anticoagulation arm alone in that 6 minutes.
So it wasn't like a few yards longer. It was a football field longer. So it's pretty significant, and that has definitely caught the attention of folks. I'm looking at the time, so I'm going to sort of speed through this a little bit faster. I apologize. I'm going to show quick cases.
These are with Flash 3.0, our latest product that we didn't have for the trial. The image on the left is before a pre-image. You can see the blockage where you see the tip of the catheter and there's sort of no darkness. And then the 2 pictures following where a lot of that clot is gone.
And then, of course, the image of the clot that was taken out. The device time of that was around 1 minute. I mean it's extraordinary. And that is a hardware and an algorithm change. This is another one, again, similar pre and post and all the clot that was taken out. That was a 3-minute case. This is both a DVT and a PE in the same patient.
Again, the ones on the left are pre, then the post, the same on the vein, which is the next and then the clot. This is worth noting, you can see the color differential on the clot.
The lighter clot is very -- is much older. It's more fibrous, usually harder to get out. And again, we did that the DVT took about 5 minutes and the PE less than a minute. Just in DVT alone, again, another image more clot under 2 minutes for that.
And this is an arterial case using our Bolt technology, again, pre-post and then they form the clot on the table in the image of what the artery, how it laid in the artery when it was sitting there.
Again, pretty quick 10 minutes for an arterial case. A couple of stroke cases as well. This is silver label, our current gold standard.
You can see where the circles are the pre -- where the blockage is and then in the images after that, how wide open it is in the brain. And this is a much distal stroke and M2 occlusion with the 43 and the picture of the clot.
So it gives you a little sense of where the technology is headed, and it's really just in a different league than some of the old analog technologies of a catheter in a syringe or a catheter in a pump or some kind of grabber.
I want to talk briefly about embolization as well. Two different parts of embolization. The peripheral side, we do -- there's about 175,000 procedures done.
We have a significant share, but not a majority. We, I think, have the largest share, but there's a lot of room for us to go. We saw that last quarter with both our new coil launch, but also the ability of our sales team to be able to focus more because the sales team didn't have to cover both thrombectomy and coils.
The next thing I want to talk briefly about is MMA and the number of patients here in the U.S. is about 140,000. These are chronic patients.
This is somewhat new. It's sort of come up really this year. We didn't plan on this. This is a unique procedure that is coiling the middle meningeal artery after someone's had a subdural hematoma and trying to make sure it wouldn't bleed again. It's an effective procedure. Our liquids have been used.
They have some topics that people sometimes potentially get anxious about. So they started using our unique coil called the Swift coil that really doesn't have a shape. It just sort of runs. And I'll share with you some images.
We have a large portfolio. These are brand names of the coils. So it's not one coil or one small family of coils. All of these coils have different sizes, functions and capacity.
So we're really now at a point where we can handle embolizing any part of -- for the most part, any part of the body, a lot of different options for doctors to use. Just real quick, just sort of where things are in the peripheral, the types of things.
The dark part that you can see there on the slides are where the coil mass is where you need it to embolize the area. So you have splenic aneurysms tend to be ground, big spaces that you're filling. If you go down and look at some of the other issues, it images, it's much more of a fine like you're embolizing a part of an artery or a little piece, it's a little different.
So just to give you a little sense. And then to end talking a little more, this is what an MMA embolization looks like. It's not filling a volume of space. It's really filling the artery itself. So the coil has to be really soft. It just has to sort of float out, make sure it's in the right place.
It's not blocking any of those little linkages between middle meningeal artery and ophthalmic artery. That's where the risk happens. And so you're not doing that and you're able to see that before you detach it, which obviously isn't true when you're looking at liquids. So that's just one example.
And the final example is when you have bilateral MMA. And again, you can see where both of those happened and just what that looks like. I want to end. I'm trying to time this pretty perfectly with 20 seconds. We're known for innovation. We've done a ton of innovation, all of it in-house.
We're super proud of our team and how we've structured that. And I just want to end by saying we're not done. We have great products, but they're going to get better and better and expand applications. And the future, I think, looks pretty good for us. So with that, thank you, and we'll take your questions. Robert?
Well, great. Maybe just a quick clarification because in some e-mails during the presentation. I want to make sure people don't misinterpret anything you said.
Just on Thunderbolt, you said it's been 9 months since submission. You got some questions in December. You've responded to them. It can take -- there are some that take 18 months. And I just want to make sure you're not saying it will take 18 months.
I do not know how long it will take. If I did, I would tell you. What I was simply saying is this is normal. The normal I -- look we've been working with the neuro division at the FDA for over 20 years.
We did this with our first company as well. I have nothing but utter admiration. They are doing a great job. The brain is different than the rest of the body. It requires a lot of being super careful. So we're addressing those questions. Nothing at all. I mean, am I anxious? Do I want the product out there? Of course. Do we want to do it the right way? We're in good shape.
I just wanted to get that out of the way. So maybe we could start. 2025, we'll get the full results in February, I imagine, with fourth quarter earnings. Guidance implies something like mid-teens with 30% plus growth on the bottom line.
That said, you have a lot of businesses that are doing really well, and you have just a few businesses and some outside U.S., difficult comps that are kind of limiting the reported growth this year when all is said and done. What are some of the businesses that are doing really well that have solid growth? And what are some of the headwinds that are going to go away as we move into 2026?
Well, yes. So I can talk conceptually, obviously, the last thing I'm doing is giving implied guidance right now.
I'm not asking for numbers.
I'm just talking structurally. So I want to -- we'll obviously cover all of that on our upcoming earnings call.
The biggest thing that is just easy to talk about because we talked it a bunch before. China had been a couple of point headwind. I think we won't see that in 2026, obviously, as it compared to 2025.
So I think we'll have just on a growth rate basis, that benefit. And then the difference is we have -- as you could just see, we're in a different place. For a long time, last 2, 3 years, we were talking only about thrombectomy and our coil business was just doing well, but not growing at the same rate.
And now that's changing. And I think we will see both provide benefit to the growth of this company. And so we'll talk about what those numbers on the next call.
Those are 2 important growth drivers. Maybe we could start with peripheral thrombectomy. You had the STORM-PE data at TCT. And I think the words you used were this is a landmark trial or maybe it was the PI of the trial, you said that?
It was not the PI, and it was not me. It was the Chair of that session who was not involved. Dr. Kenny Rosenfeld, who is independent and had that reaction. That was not a marketing story. That was a reaction from an outside physician. It's important.
Yes. So very positive 100-patient trial. There are 2 more trials coming up over the next 12 to 18 months. We have HI-PEITHO from Boston Scientific and PEERLESS II in 2027 from Stryker. How are you thinking about what STORM-PE does for the market and Penumbra?
And then assuming those other 2 trials are positive, I imagine that probably helps the market as well, just having more confirmatory evidence that is the best way to treat these patients.
So how do you think the market will benefit from STORM-PE and Penumbra and then the market overall once we have more complete data sets?
Yes. So I think it's -- the market is already benefiting. Lots of people are talking about this. The larger medical community has responded incredibly favorably because the -- it's not just for interventionalists, obviously, it's for all of the referring physicians, pulmonologists and emergency room docs and so on.
So those reactions now sure there's somebody one could find, but across the board, it's just been really, really positive. So people are starting the work within their systems to change their protocols inside.
That's how it goes. And we're seeing that. It takes some time. Hospitals can't just in one day, declare a change protocol. They go through a process. There's committees, there's back and forth to make sure what they're doing is accurate. So those have started, obviously, after the trial. No one is waiting for additional data. Whether those trials are positive or not, I don't think will matter to our success.
And partly, that's because of the things that we already know that are part of that, that I went through, which is the safety profile and the time of the case, both things that aren't -- that are related to its success, but sort of somewhat independent.
And I've never ever met a physician who says, I'm going to use both products were successful in a trial, but one was 3x faster. I'm going to use the slower one. I think that's the better decision. I don't think that's viable.
So I think those things are what -- and we actually called that out on our last earnings call where, again, it's the technology is at a different place.
It's no longer everyone is the same, what's happening. The technology has changed the procedure to be different and faster and with an amazing safety profile.
So I certainly welcome the additional data from the trials, but I do think this technology is setting up a standard in and of itself.
And it's been a really fast-growing market for a while now. There's still a stubbornly high number of docs, who don't use peripheral thrombectomy. Some of them will point to guidelines. Do you think STORM-PE is enough to change guidelines to maybe like [ it to be ] and how impactful will that be?
Protocols first get changed and then guidelines sort of follow. There are very few people that wait until everyone else has changed and then do it.
Some do, but most sort of react that way. So that's the position we're in. And I am happy to talk to somebody who's conservative or stubborn, but the number of people who want to get on with making sure these patients get treated is a fairly significant number, and we got a lot of work to do, a huge amount of work to do in the next year with people who want to do this. So we'll get to the others as we need to because there's an awful lot of energy right now and work to be done.
Maybe if I think on the arterial side, you have a majority share in this market. It's still growing...
Mechanical...
Mechanical thrombectomy in arterial. And it's still a really nice double-digit growth business for you. Where do you stand in terms of penetration in that market? And how do we think about what sustains that double-digit growth moving forward?
I think -- well, we stand in a great spot in that we're really the standard for mechanical, where the work we have to do, and I think we're positioned to do that in a more concerted effort in the next -- this year.
And that is really focused on making sure physicians who are otherwise using open surgery, doing open surgery or dripping lytic that this is a better alternative. And I'll be honest, our sales reps, they covered coils, they covered DT, they covered coronary and they covered arterial. That's a lot to do all at once.
And when you wake up and where do I focus, what do I do, you're going to focus on the things that are moving and have momentum and convincing someone who's done a certain procedure for 20 years to switch is maybe a slightly harder task and so I think we're now at a place where with the coil business going to a dedicated sales force, our thrombectomy reps have the ability to focus on both arterial and BT at the same time.
It's a great transition. Maybe we could talk about coils and this hasn't been a growth driver for Penumbra historically. And all of a sudden, it's become a very nice growth driver, over 100% growth the past several quarters.
MMA is getting a lot of buzz at medical meetings. And clearly, we're seeing the benefits in the Penumbra results. You've talked about a billion-dollar opportunity, I believe, in this market over time, the Penumbra...
I think somebody else said that.
Maybe somebody else.
I mentioned they said that. I did not...
Are you willing to put out a market?
I think it's early. I think everyone has gotten a sense from other people that it's not insignificant. I did talk about the number of patients that could be treated.
I think people can do the math. This is a different type of thing in that it sort of just came upon us. It wasn't -- we already have the coil. We made it for other arteries. It's obviously indicated for using in neuro arteries.
So that part is fine. But it was somewhat just appeared from -- and so just as investors were surprised and like what is this, we, as a company, had to also get caught up.
I think in our second quarter call, we mentioned it as this is something that people are now talking about. And then in that short period of time to the next call, it became like, oh, hold on, this is actually real.
And I think we're seeing that continue. So we're doing a lot of work to be able to be helpful in this space where reps are getting trained that aren't as trained, which is wonderful.
We're looking at retrospective data to make sure that people who are using our product that it's all going as planned. We are starting the conversation of do we want to run a prospective study.
So there's a ton of stuff that we're doing to sort of make sure these patients are getting the best care that they can. It's a great opportunity, a lot of excitement. And it makes a lot of sense. If you can have this treatment and not have to have more invasive surgery or boreholes drilled over time, that's great for patients. we're happy to be part of it.
Do you feel like -- obviously, the product just kind of fell into this. Are there any more product-specific enhancements you can make for using it in M&A and MMA? And also, are you out there now aggressively starting to detail this and say a word on education?
So I think you know me well enough after all these years that, one, we are constantly innovating. And you also know that I'm not going to tell you what that innovation looks like.
But yes, we always look at ways to make the products better and better. The interesting thing is our current product is really good in this space.
So it doesn't have obvious limitations, but there are some possible things. I'm not promising, but some possible things that could make it potentially even better.
So that's cool. But right now, as it is, it's it doesn't have a ton of limitations. And yes, we -- as I've said, we're reacting to everyone's interest. These are our customers, these are the people that we've been working with for many, many -- 2 decades to make sure that they have the support that they would expect from Penumbra.
It grew over 100%, arguably off a small base, still doing nicely. Is it greedy to think that given how small the revenue base is and big the opportunity without...
I'm not going to answer the number of question, but there is lots of opportunity here.
Great. If we think about stroke and put Thunderbolt aside for a second, the market decelerated in 2025.
In the second half of '25.
In the second half of '25, where do you think overall market growth is right now? We see there are some companies investing in stroke. There are a lot of companies exiting and pulling back investment in stroke. How do you think about this market over, let's call it, the medium run, 3 to 5 years?
Well, I think there's a lot of pros and cons like if just as a market. You know how I feel this is incredibly important work. These are patients that need to have this happen. There's so much randomized data that supports doing these interventions and them.
Probably more than any other [indiscernible] stroke is...
It's overwhelming. So we have to deal with the structural issues of making sure patients get to places where they can be treated.
There's enough physicians able to do that. All of those things have been the biggest challenge, not -- and that's more unique in stroke than any other things the nature of it being neurospecific.
We have been committed as a company. I personally have been to help drive that work, working with the societies and so on.
And I think we have to do that even better as we go coming out of COVID and lots of structural reasons that we saw sort of a different attitude.
But the products are profound. We also are a little bit suffering from -- we have a lot of companies all over the catheter, and it's a little bit overwhelming. So I think what we're seeing and even though the market did that, we did keep growing and gain share just because we're the standard.
And as you've tried a bunch of things, you come back to the one that's the best and I think we're seeing that happen. So I think that consolidation around the best product, which we obviously believe we have, I think will continue into the year, and we'll continue to put the energy into doing this. There are some great bright spots.
There's a young physician who is new in his practice a year or 2 is really passionate about bringing stroke care deeper into the community that wouldn't have this type of care available.
And with that effort has seen just a huge uptick in the number of patients that are getting treated. And sort of on a quarterly basis, they just share those numbers, and it's really heartening to see.
So there are models out there, that are bright spots. We just have to continue to put that energy into it. And I think we can continue to see a lot of people.
It's personal to me. I've had patients come up to me in various settings who knew who I was and had been treated and thanked me. And for a guy who's not a doctor to be thanked for somebody's well-being, I got to tell you, there's nothing better than that in the entire world. So we're committed to keep doing that.
With 1 minute left, doesn't do it justice, but margins in a bright spot, you've committed to exiting next year at 70% plus. How do you feel about the company's ability to continue to expand margins coming through?
Yes. I think we're in really, really good shape. I think if you look at a couple of things sort of put that in a worst spot. We expanded rapidly into the new facility in Roseville coming because of COVID, that press things. We launched a ton of products, which always takes a while to sort of get up to speed.
We were in markets, in international markets with some of our products where it really depressed those things. And as you know, we exited some of those. So I think we're in really good shape.
Great. Well, let's end it there. Thanks for a great discussion. Thanks, everybody, for joining.
Thank you.
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Penumbra, Inc. — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
Penumbra, Inc. — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Takeaway: Penumbra betont zwei Wachstumsachsen: fortlaufende Führerschaft in Thrombektomie (inkl. CAVT – computer-assisted vacuum thrombectomy) und ein schnell wachsendes Embolisation-/Coil-Geschäft, insbesondere neue Indikationen wie MMA-Embolisation (Arteria meningea media).
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- Fertigung: Produktionszentrum in Alameda bleibt zentral; Roseville (≈300.000 sqft) steht, neues Eigentumsprojekt in Costa Rica (~330.000 sqft) geplant, Inbetriebnahme Mitte bis Ende 2027; Option für weiteres Gebäude.
- Produktstrategie: Stetige In‑House‑Innovation (z.B. Flash 3.0) verkürzt Prozedurzeiten massiv; Thunderbolt (Neuroprodukt) in FDA‑Prüfung, CEO nennt den Prozess gründlich, Zeitplan unbestimmt.
- Go‑to‑Market: Dedizierter Vertrieb für Coils entlastet Thrombektomie‑Team und treibt Penetration in peripheren und neuroembolischen Anwendungen (MMA) voran.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Klinikdaten: STORM‑PE (randomisiert vs Antikoagulation) zeigte signifikante Verbesserung des RV/LV‑Verhältnisses, geringes Prozedur‑/Device‑Zeitfenster, reduzierte Blutgerinnselmengen und besseren 6‑Minuten‑Gehtest bei 90 Tagen; Flash 3.0 demonstriert noch kürzere Eingriffszeiten in Fällen (1–5 Minuten).
- Regulatorisch: Thunderbolt: 9 Monate seit Einreichung; Firma beantwortet FDA‑Folgefragen, Dauer weiter unklar.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Thunderbolt‑Timing: Analysten hoben FDA‑Zeitplan hervor; Management sagt: Prozess normal, keine verbindliche Vorhersage.
- Wachstumstreiber/Headwinds: Diskussion über China‑Komponenten und internationale Vergleichsbasen; Management erwartet Erholung 2026 und Beitrag durch Coils/MMA.
- Marktwirkung STORM‑PE: Fragerunde fokussierte, ob STORM‑PE Leitlinien/Protokolle verändert — Management: Protokolländerungen laufen bereits; weitere Trials nützlich, aber nicht zwingend für Adoption.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Relevanz: Präsentation bestätigt, dass Penumbra sich von reinem Thrombektomie‑Anbieter zu einem breiter aufgestellten Intervention‑Medtech entwickelt; klinische Daten (STORM‑PE) und operative Skalierung (Costa Rica, spezialisierter Vertrieb) liefern konkrete Hebel für Wachstum und Margenexpansion, regulatorische Unsicherheit bei Thunderbolt bleibt kurzfristiges Risiko.
Penumbra, Inc. — Piper Sandler 37th Annual Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
All right. Good morning, everybody. Thanks so much for joining us. My name is Matt O'Brien. I'm one of the med-tech analysts here at Piper Sandler. Picking up day 2 here with a phenomenal company in Penumbra. From the company, we have Adam, who's the CEO; Shruthi, who is the President of the company. We're also joined by Arani, who is one of the co-founders, and then Cecilia and Jason are in the audience as well. Thank you so much for coming all the way across the country to be with us.
Happy to be here.
So can we start with what happened in Q3, especially in the embo and access business. As I was saying to you earlier, it was so good, I actually thought there was a mistake in that press release. But just talk about the strength that you saw there, splitting the sales force, and then just the durability of that growth, because I think that's being underappreciated by investors.
Yes. Well, Shruthi, why don't you start with the sales force and why we did it, and then some of the new products and all that?
Yes. So towards the end of last year, we saw this growing sort of interest in the CAVT portfolio, the franchise. And to get our team to be 100% focused on that, we said, now is a good time to actually expand and add an additional set of people that can focus on our growing embolization product line as well. We've had our embolization products for multiple years since 2013 in the periphery. And physicians have just loved these coils and how they perform. So it needed its due attention. And so with that in mind, we said let's bring on this really tenured group of people that are going to be spread around the country, a little over 50 people that came in and joined the team from really tenured areas like TAVR and aortic and other coil companies. They just came to be a part of this innovative culture that we have at Penumbra.
And we sort of got lucky with the timing of Ruby XL, which is the sort of latest addition to that coil portfolio. And so right when they came in and got trained up and running, they then got to go and launch Ruby XL to our customers. And as you saw and as you pointed out in Q3, that was the first full quarter of launch of Ruby XL, and we really saw it take off. There's a huge amount of interest in that coil.
What it essentially does is it fills spaces faster. It's a larger vessel coil. So any time you're trying to fill large spaces, you can just use the Ruby XL, and that's what physicians have been looking for. There's been very little innovation in that area for a while. And so they were excited to see Penumbra bring the softness, the volume advantage that we are known for with our coils, bring that to the large vessel sort of space.
And these reps have, like I mentioned earlier, all this tenure, and so they are continuing to elevate our overall sort of commercial team and how we operate. So we're seeing sort of the early innings of all that play out right now, and we're pretty excited about what's ahead.
Got it. Okay. So maybe I'll just stay there for a second. Hemorrhagic stroke, it's a smaller market, obviously, than ischemic. And then it's also thought of as maybe a little more commoditized. So when you talk about a soft coil, can you talk a little bit more about Ruby XL specifically, the uniqueness and how that's scaling?
Yes, let me -- so what Shruthi was talking about is on the peripheral vascular side.
Okay. I'm sorry.
No, no, it's totally fine. There's a lot of different parts of the body here that we focus on. So you do a lot of embolization in the peripheral vascular. The neuro, we'll get to in a second, but that's a very specific thing that also is having a new area sort of birth, if you will. The coil -- the platform that Shruthi is talking about has really been around for a long time. We have a new offering with the Ruby XL, but the whole platform fills spaces faster, softer, better.
And it's been around for a while. We've had lots of the companies we compete against in those spaces have tried to match our technology and not yet done that. So it's unlikely that they're going to keep trying. So I think we have a pretty likely run here of being able to continue to grow on the peripheral vascular side of our business, on the coil side.
On the neuro side, you're right, the hemorrhagic, which is sort of cerebral aneurysms, if you will, as another way of framing it, has been somewhat not only commoditized, but coils and flow diverters and various other tools. The growth that we're seeing on the neuro side, which is also significant, is coming from a new procedure called MMA embolization. And that really wasn't being done even a couple of years ago, and it just started being done. This is where you have a dural hematoma and you're trying to embolize it to stop that.
The early returns, if you will, have been really, really positive. We play in that world against sort of liquid embolics, which can have a safety challenge. Once a liquid leaves the catheter, you don't control where it goes. With a coil, obviously, you do. We happen to have a coil in that world, in that space. We did not design it for this. We designed it for other applications, but it happens to work. Well, it doesn't really have a shape, it just sort of runs and fills the length of the artery in a way that really is incredibly productive for these patients. So we're seeing a pretty significant growth.
There was a report came out recently that predicted -- that sort of tried to -- again, we haven't done this, but this report was saying that there's a lot of interest and the opportunity, if you will, and MMA embolization alone could be a $1 billion opportunity for a while. And that's wonderful. We're excited. We're seeing that, too. So you combine that with what's happening on the peripheral vascular side. And for the first time in a number of years, our coil franchise, our embolization franchise is going to be growing at the same pace as the rest of our business. So it's pretty exciting. And they're accretive to margin.
That was my next question. Well done. You read my mind, which it's not hard to do. But what about the sales force? Is it -- for the embo sales force, is it complete? Is it good to go? Or are you going to keep adding?
On the peripheral vascular, it is in a good spot now. Obviously, as the business keeps growing, there'll be a little bit of add here and there, just as we always do, but nothing -- like we don't have a plan to hire another 50 people.
Right. Got it. Okay. And then when you talk about the durability of growth there, I mean, similar kind of levels as just the overall business, or even faster than what you've been doing kind of the mid-teens or even upper teens for that business?
Yes. So we'll wait until the next quarter's call to give sort of numbers to that guidance. But needless to say, I think between where we are on our thrombectomy and what's happening in the STORM and everything else in our VTE product business and what's happening here, you combine it all, yes, I think we don't have the China headwinds anymore. International without China is now back in a good spot. We've done a lot of hard work to get the business there. I think we're feeling pretty confident that we're going to have some fun years here.
Good. Excellent. Okay. So you touched on STORM-PE a little bit. I would love to talk a little bit more about that. I know it's early, but data was good. It was really good. What kind of feedback have you gotten early days on that? And some of the pushback that I hear is like, oh, it's a small study. It's not really going to influence the overall industry, but we haven't had much clinical data like this. So why is it not a great perception?
So there is no -- we have not heard that other than through the investment community, to be very candid with you. The size of the study -- I think most people do understand basic clinical science that the size of the study is based on how little -- how many -- how few patients you can use to prove your point. In this case, we did it with 100 patients. It doesn't make it bad, that makes it even better. Most physicians understand that. That is not a -- obviously, if you're a competitor, you say that. But that's obviously not a valid scientific idea.
The fundamental thing here is the reception to this data, both on the primary endpoints, but the secondary endpoints, which were really extraordinary. The study was not powered to show any superiority on the secondary endpoints, and the 4 most important ones showed superiority. You add the safety element, which showed just how unbelievably safe and fast our procedure is compared to even other mechanical systems, has been really just extraordinary. I mean the reaction through both the interventional community, but the noninterventional community has been really kind of fun. So the work started with out there doing the work. The hospitals are changing protocols as we speak. It takes some time, but we have not heard -- I can't -- have we heard stories there? Like, we're not going to address this.
No. And in fact, the physician community is thankful that someone finally decided to run this trial that showed that mechanical thrombectomy with CAVT is superior to anticoagulation. Essentially, it's as safe as not intervening on these patients at all, which is a big statement. So not only do you have the safety profile that everyone, the interventional and noninterventional community, look for, but then you also have the RV/LV ratio reduction, that leading to better long-term outcomes as we've shown in the secondary endpoints in times that were a record 25-minute procedure times, device times, and 56-minute procedure times are unheard of.
So I think for the physician community to see that, to see that there was a very low requirement, each operator only had to have 2 prior cases with CAVT before they could enroll in the trial. So they talked about the device being really easy to use, and that was a big topic at the conferences. And that has then prompted physicians to say, well, not only is this safe, it's really easy to use. I don't have to do 100 cases before I get comfortable with the technology, it's time to switch. And that's what we're seeing.
Okay. And how big a deal was the RVRL (sic) [ RV/LV ] update? I mean, is that an issue that the clinicians are dealing with quite a bit and that it's top of mind where it's like, wait, we're doing -- this is superior here and this is a big deal and really going to influence my utilization?
Yes. Actually, RV/LV ratio is how the classifications are actually decided. So when you have a right heart strain or a high RV/LV ratio, you fall into the category of an intermediate/high-risk PE or a high-risk PE. And so that's the diagnostic measure that physicians use to then decide should this patient actually be treated or not. And the goal there is to then reduce the RV/LV ratio like we did in the study, and be able to show that you're relieving the pressure on the right heart and the patient is able to get back to normal function.
And I think the point that was made at Veeva and then beyond, and has been repeated hundreds and hundreds of times, is that the rest of the data in the trial, the 6-minute walk test as well as the other functional outcomes, all validated the use of RV/LV ratio as a primary endpoint. They all work in sync. Obviously, if those endpoints weren't as incredibly strong and statistically significant, one could say, okay, well, what did we actually do here? But when you have it all, just across the board, it validates that is obviously the right endpoint given the use of it in the diagnostic setting.
Got it.
So yes, we have not heard -- again, the 2 things that one hears from the Wall Street community is the size of the trial and that endpoint, that is not at all what we're hearing in the medical.
And what are you hearing from the referring physicians? That was interesting, too, that got their attention as well. Because I know that's always been a challenge of getting the patients in, getting mechanical thrombectomy done.
Yes. I mean, it's been just extraordinary.
Yes. I think the makeup of the steering committee, having 4 noninterventionalists as well as 3 interventionalists that were part of the steering committee, that in itself was a fact they were involved in the design of the study, they were involved in the execution of the study, they were involved in the results, the rollout, the publication.
And so now they've got what they need to go and talk to their sort of peers and counterparts. And that work is well underway, both through some of our education efforts, but also through the PERT consortium, which is the largest sort of group that's solely focused on PE. And their members are both interventionalists as well as noninterventionalists from all the main institutions around the country that are treating PEs. So they're getting the word out through their channels as well. And they also announced what was called the PRISM program, which is meant to go and get centers to update their protocols and digest this information and start to refer patients on for treatment that should be treated.
Got it. Okay. I guess the penetration rates of mechanical thrombectomy are pretty low, right? Is that because pre-STORM-PE, it was viewed as, as you mentioned, the RV/LV levels, like this is really just for the more challenging complex patients. And then STORM-PE can really open up kind of that intermediate group. Is that the way to think about it? Or is that too simplistic?
Yes. I mean that's, I think, a fair way to look at it. And you now have data, randomized controlled data that shows that mechanical thrombectomy is superior to anticoagulation. Up until now, that hasn't been available. So the standard of care up until now has been anticoagulation, unless the patient clinically deteriorates, and that's when they escalate to some sort of a treatment. That now is going to be what changes where they're not waiting for the patient to clinically deteriorate when they come into the ER. They say, okay, they have high RV/LV ratio. Let's go in and treat them with CAVT.
Got it. Okay.
Yes. I mean I just want to put a real fine point on that. That is sort of why some people were being treated, because they were being watched, they get a little anticoagulation, and they wait until they start to crash and get bad. And then they're like, okay, now we have no choice but to treat them. That's what started sort of building the whole market.
And if you think about it, okay, now we have really strong evidence, just don't wait. And there's just a common sense. Like if I were to ask you or anyone else, if you had a PE, would you have -- saying, no, no, no, I want to see if anticoagulation works. And I understand there's a risk that I could crash and die, but I'm going to take that risk, because I don't want something that's been proven really safe to take the clot out first. Like it just doesn't make any sense. And so now we have the evidence that supports the common sense approach here. So that's why it's being so well accepted. And the safety profile being now serious is a deal too, because it's like [indiscernible].
Okay.
If it was not as safe, then there's a risk to doing that. But there is no risk to doing that, because it is as safe. And numerically, in the trial, at least it wasn't statistical, but it was numerically even safer. There is just no reason not to do that. And people have wanted that data to support that behavior. No one wants to watch their patient crash and then hope that they can be rescued. It doesn't make any sense.
So you have a huge installed base already. How quickly do you think they can start to implement these protocols? Sorry, we're all numbers here. I mean is it second half of next year? Is it even faster than that?
Yes. We're, what, a month barely into it. So it's hard to give you the kind of numbers. But the way I would look at it is the first phase here is the acceptance, the knowledge of this data, the ability to sort of now engage with the teams in your hospitals to change protocols. All of that is well underway. It didn't happen in 10 seconds, but it is already happening. To get the sort of full benefit will take a little time. But again, that's why we at least want to stress here. The reaction to this has been, across the board, positive. People want to do this. There's no logical reason to not do this. There's no group or team saying it's just about education, just about doing the work to change hospital protocols. And as that happens, I think more and more people will have the benefit of waiting to crash.
And the protocols will get updated, but that doesn't mean that the referring physicians are going to wait for that when a patient like comes in the door today, for example, right? They just see, okay, the patient is...
Yes. And we've seen that already. We've seen that already.
Got it. Okay. That's fantastic. It sounds like the market is ready to accelerate. You have a new product, 3.0. I thought 2.0s are very quick. What are the features of 3.0 that are different from 2.0?
So the way I would describe it, when we launched 2.0, there was a lot of discussion, well, it's just incrementally better. Yes. But 2.0 was what got us here, because that incrementally better meant it was way faster and it took out less blood -- there's a lot less blood loss. So it just worked better than 1.0. 3.0 does the same thing. So it works faster than 2.0, and there's even less blood loss. So those are the 2 fundamental things.
How did that happen? And this, I think, is worth me explaining sort of what the product change was, because I think it's important. With 2.0, it was just a software change. And the algorithm got a little bit more fidelity, so it can open and close the valve of the aspiration source faster. With 3.0, there was both a software change, but also more significantly, a hardware change. And that is -- in Flash, that technology, the computer unit that controls the valve and the valve itself is at the end of the tubing that connects directly to the pump. So it's all the way up the source of the pump.
With the Bolt technology that we use for the arterial side, and also with now Bolt 12 on the venous side as well, now also Bolt 16, the unit is in the middle of the tubing, which is in the sterile field that has the valve in it, and that's where the computer is. So the valve for 3.0 -- so we're using that same hardware for 3.0. So the valve is halfway further toward the tip of the catheter. So when you open and close the valve and you're that much closer, the fidelity of how fast the valve can open and close increased because of the physical proximity as well as the software being updated to adjust to that.
So you now have -- the Bolt 16, which also got, cleared and 3.0 use the same hardware. They're separate products today, but one can obviously imagine them someday being the same thing that you could toggle between the two, which would be helpful for a clot that might be a little more organized or fibrous and you can just go back and forth. But 3.0 has that huge fidelity advantage. It's just that much faster.
So if you look at the trial, our device time were, what, 25 minutes, which was unheard of in the PE field. If that can cut down even by 10 minutes or so, blood loss is less, you're talking about a whole different thing. When you're asking people to treat 80% more patients, time does matter, time in the lab. You don't really have time for 1.5 hours plus case anymore. You want to get it done really quickly.
Got it. Okay. Makes sense. So I know everybody in the room and on the call are going to kill me if I don't ask, but I'm going to have to ask about Thunderbolt. Would you classify the questions you got back as pretty straightforward? Did they ask you for more data?
So the questions -- yes, so let me give you guys some -- the FDA, particularly the neuro division, is very thorough. They've always been thorough about new products. We have never had a situation where one has known how long we've been under review for a new product, because we haven't had a trial since we've been a public company. So there's never been this clock that everyone is measuring. There is nothing about this process. They ask a lot of questions. Some of them are, why are they asking that? Others are, that's a logical question. They're thorough. We want them to be thorough. That's a good thing. We then answer those questions. No conspiracy. I look at the data, it's extraordinary. This product works. We're going through the process. Since our submission, they've asked a few clarifying questions. We're going to answer those. It's the process. There is nothing that one can be anxious about.
Okay. And there's nothing external that was outside of your control as far as shutdown goes or anybody left because of shutdown or...
Not that we have been made aware of. I mean, we might not know that, obviously, but not that we have been made aware of at all.
Okay. And maybe just talk a little bit about ASP on that product. When it does get cleared? How do we think about that?
We haven't set that yet. It obviously will be higher than our current ASP. There's a sort of a total amount that you don't want to exceed. And so there's a little bit of trade-off. If someone is using our catheter and inner catheter and sort of add it up, the delta will be less than if they're just using a primary catheter of ours. There's room in there for an ASP uptick. That will take process. You got to go through VAC and all, which is a little more straightforward in neuro, just because there's less accounts. So we're ready to go. We've launched a lot of neuro products over the years. We know how to do it. I know it's gotten sort of an outsized view of the world. It is an exciting product. We can't wait. We have so many other things that are -- I mean, if you just look at MMA, and again, I'm not saying look over here, not here, but we have to pay attention to other things, too.
If the MMA -- if it's true that it's a $1 billion opportunity for us, and we have a unique product that no one else has that seems to work really well and is the safest alternative and potentially the most cost effective, it would be strange for us not to also want to do that at the same time as have Thunderbolt, right?
Yes. Makes sense.
But we're going to do it all. And that makes for a really fun view.
Absolutely. Okay. All right. Well, I think we've taken us over. I apologize for that. Adam, Shruthi, thanks so much for the feedback. Really do appreciate it.
Yes. Thank you. Appreciate it.
Thank you. Great questions.
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Penumbra, Inc. — Piper Sandler 37th Annual Healthcare Conference
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Kernaussage: Penumbra kombiniert kommerziellen Rückenwind (voller Quartalsstart von Ruby XL, dedizierte Embo‑Vertriebsgruppe) mit wegweisender klinischer Evidenz (STORM‑PE): die Daten stützen mechanische Thrombektomie versus Antikoagulation und könnten Indikationsumfang, Protokolle und Nachfrage deutlich ausweiten.
⚡ Strategische Highlights
- Vertrieb: ~50 erfahrene Außendienstmitarbeiter gezielt für Embolisation eingestellt, Organisation split für fokussiertes Wachstum.
- Produkt: Ruby XL adressiert große Gefäße (füllt Räume schneller); 3.0‑Generation für VTE ist schneller mit geringerem Blutverlust dank Hardware‑/Software‑Änderungen.
- Clinical: STORM‑PE (randomisierte Studie) zeigte primäre und mehrere sekundäre Endpunkte zugunsten mechanischer Thrombektomie; Folgeprogramme (PERT, PRISM) treiben Protokoll‑Updates voran.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Neu: Q3 war erstes volles Quartal mit Ruby XL; STORM‑PE (100 Patienten) lieferte sehr kurze Device/Prozedurzeiten (Device ~25 Min, Prozedur ~56 Min) und starke Sekundärergebnisse; Thunderbolt ist bei der FDA in der Klärungsphase, ASP (Average Selling Price) noch nicht festgelegt.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Wachstumsdauer: Anleger fragten nach Nachhaltigkeit/Rate des Embolisation‑Wachstums; Management erwartet robustes weiteres Wachstum, quantifizierte Guidance erst im nächsten Quartal.
- STORM‑PE‑Skepsis: Kritik an Stichprobengröße wurde beantwortet: Management betont angemessene Power für Endpunkte und starke sekundäre/signifikante Sicherheitssignale.
- Regulatorik & Preis: Zu Thunderbolt: FDA stellt Klärungsfragen (normaler Prozess); ASP wird steigen, konkrete Preis-/Zeitangaben wurden zurückgestellt.
📌 Bottom Line
- Fazit: Kombination aus Produktinnovation (Ruby XL, 3.0), gezieltem Vertrieb und positiven STORM‑PE‑Daten erhöht die Chance auf signifikante Marktausweitung und Margenaufschläge. Kurzfristige Risiken bleiben: Geschwindigkeit der Protokoll‑Adoption, Zeitplan/Freigabe für Thunderbolt und noch offene ASP‑Entscheidungen.
Penumbra, Inc. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon. My name is Abby, and I'll be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Penumbra's Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. Thank you. And I would now like to introduce Ms. Cecilia Furlong, Business Development and Investor Relations for Penumbra. Ms. Furlong, you may begin your conference.
Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining us on today's call to discuss Penumbra's earnings release for the third quarter of 2025. A copy of the press release and financial tables, which includes a GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliation, can be viewed under the Investors tab on our company website at www.penumbrainc.com.
With me on today's call are Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO; and Shruthi Narayan, President; and Maggie Yuen, Chief Financial Officer. Also joining us for the Q&A portion of the call is Jason Mills, EVP Strategy.
During the course of this conference call, the company will make forward-looking statements pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including statements regarding our financial performance, commercialization, clinical trials, regulatory status, quality, compliance and business trends. Actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by our forward-looking statements due to certain risks and uncertainties, including those referenced in our 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2024, filed with the SEC. As a result, we caution you against placing undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, and we encourage you to review our periodic filings with the SEC including the 10-K previously mentioned, for a more complete discussion of these factors and other risks that may affect our future results or the market price of our stock.
Penumbra disclaims any duty to update or revise our forward-looking statements as a result of new information, future events, developments or otherwise. On this call, financial results for revenue and gross margin are presented on a GAAP basis, while operating expenses, operating income and adjusted EBITDA are presented on a non-GAAP basis. The corresponding GAAP measures and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures are provided in our posted press release. Non-GAAP operating expenses and operating income exclude expenses related to the wind down of our immersive health care business in the third quarter of 2024 of $5 million, and adjusted EBITDA excludes wind-down expenses stock compensation expense, depreciation and amortization, provision for income taxes and interest income expenses. And with that, I would like to turn the call over to Adam.
Thank you, Cecilia. Good afternoon. Thank you for joining Penumbra's Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call. In the third quarter, we generated total revenue of $4.7 million, representing underlying year-over-year growth of 17.8% on a reported basis and 16.9% on a constant currency basis. Our strong third quarter results reflect broad-based execution against our strategy and significant progress in further enhancing our competitive technological and market positioning across all franchises. Total U.S. revenue was $275 million in the third quarter, an increase of 21.5% compared to the third quarter of 2024.
Total U.S. thrombectomy sales increased 18.5% year-over-year to $192 million. Our VTE franchise once again led overall corporate growth. delivering 34% year-over-year growth. U.S. embolization across an access revenue of $83 million increased 29.2% year-over-year. Growth in our embolization and access business exceeded our expectations, reflecting the benefit of a dedicated peripheral embolization sales team alongside our investment in continuous innovation and new product introductions. Internationally, the work we previously undertook to enhance our long-term market positioning is beginning to play out. We are now operating from a position of portfolio and geographic strength with our commercial execution in the quarter, more than offsetting the China growth comp headwinds we continue to face.
Total international revenue of $79.7 million increased 6.6% year-over-year or 3% in constant currency. Below the top line, gross margin of 67.8% expanded 130 basis points over the prior year period, and we delivered operating income of $48.8 million or 13.8% of revenue, with our operating expense in the quarter, reflecting the full impact of our embolization sales force build-out. We remain on track and are well positioned to achieve a gross margin profile of over 70% by the end of 2026. And expect operating margin expansion to outpace gross margin expansion for the foreseeable future as we prioritize delivering profitable growth and an expanding profitability profile.
Turning to our U.S. peripheral business. Our third quarter thrombectomy performance reflected both the clinical benefit and competitive strength of our CABT technology alongside enhanced commercial focus from our now peripheral thrombectomy dedicated sales force. We delivered the highest sequential quarterly increase in VTE case volume growth to date in 2025. Our U.S. arterial business also delivered another strong performance with a combination of both 7 and Bolt 6x, supporting further physician conversion from open surgery or the Usolytics to CAT.
Penumbra received FDA clearance during the third quarter for both Lightning Bolt 16 and Lightning Flash 3.0. Lightning Bolt 16 brings proprietary modulated aspiration technology to our 16 French system and Flash 3.0 improves the fidelity of the algorithm by updating both the hardware and the software. These new products significantly add to the growing portfolio of advanced CEBT devices, opening up a clear path for us to reach the over 80,000 patients in the U.S. who suffer from VTE and arterial clot with our CIBT technology. I also want to remind everyone that the core technology in our CVT products is protected by a robust patent portfolio. We recently secured a victory from the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit which summarily and unanimously affirmed the Patent and Trademark Appeal Board's IPR decisions in validating several competitive patents challenged by Penumbra.
We will continue to vigorously defend all of our patents and IP for our CABT technology. At the TCT and Viva conferences, we presented the landmark results from Storm PE, the prospective multicenter randomized controlled trial evaluating CEBT plus anticoagulation versus anticoagulation alone for the treatment of acute intermediate high-risk PE. Shruthi will provide additional detail on the trial and study outcomes in her prepared remarks. But needless to say, taking into account the medical community's reaction to the data, we are highly optimistic that Storm PE will act as a major catalyst and positively impacting the treatment of PE while significantly increasing the number of patients receiving intervention with CAT.
In our U.S. peripheral embolization business, our new Embo dedicated 50-plus member sales team delivered strong 21.2% sequential growth and embolization revenue in the quarter. We believe the team's performance this quarter and enhanced focus across our comprehensive current coil portfolio represents a new phase of sustainable growth in our U.S. embolization franchise. Shruthi will discuss how the integration of this new team is unfolding. Shifting to our Neurovascular business. recent market trends in the macro U.S. stroke market showed a slight decline in the third quarter.
Notwithstanding that, our stroke thrombectomy portfolio delivered positive growth and share gain. Historically, new innovation has catalyzed the stroke market, and we are optimistic that with the anticipated introduction of Thunderbolt we will see a similar dynamic play out. In neuro embolization, the recent interest we've seen in utilizing our Swift coil for MMA embolization, continues to translate into extremely strong above-market procedure growth, further contributing to sustainable growth in the U.S. embolization franchise. Now I'd like to give you an update on Thunderbolt. In October, we submitted thorough responses to all the outstanding questions received from the FDA during the 510(k) review process. We are now in the stage where we address any final questions or provide any required clarifications to our answers.
For obvious reasons, we'll be prudent in our discussion today about Thunderbolt. However, we remain excited about the prospect of introducing CT to the neurovascular field. Overall, based on our third quarter performance and reflecting the trends we've seen in our business, and our target markets highlighted previously. We are raising our revenue guidance for the year, to $1.375 billion to $1.380 billion. We reiterate 20% to 21% year-over-year growth for 2025 for U.S. thrombectomy. Now I will turn the call over to Shruti, who will discuss a few details on the expansion of our sales team as well as the STORM PE trial.
Thank you, Adam. Good afternoon, everyone. Starting off with an update on our recent commercial expansion initiatives. Based on the significant ramp in physician interest in CVT, we experienced throughout 2023 and 2024, and Entering 2025, we made the strategic decision to build out an additional peripheral sales team to focus on our embolization business enabling our existing peripheral sales team to shift exclusive focus to CAET. Through the first half of 2025, we added over 50 new peripheral embolization sales reps under our existing peripheral sales leadership team. The build-out and integration went extremely well with the new team fitting seamlessly into our organization.
This allowed the team to execute the launch of Ruby XL while also maintaining our momentum in our established portfolio, achieving strong 21.2% sequential growth in embolization revenue in the third quarter. As we execute the shift in our commercial structure, our existing team helped integrate our new team and supported the transition of embolization case coverage across our accounts. This transition process will taper in the fourth quarter, well positioning our teams to enter 2026, fully focused on their respective sales objectives, CABT and embolization. Turning to Storm PE at the TCT conference early last week, Dr. Rob Loken presented the study's primary endpoints alongside key safety data. Additional secondary endpoint data, including key physiological and functional outcomes was presented by Dr. Rachel Bazosky at Veeva earlier this week. The trial proved CAVT superior in reducing right heart strain in intermediate high-risk PE patients with a comparable safety profile to the current standard of care.
In addition, while not powered to show statistical significance on secondary endpoints, the trial data demonstrated statistical significance in favor of CAT across multiple secondary endpoints. In addition, the initial trial results were published in circulation on Monday. Storm PE proved CAVT superior to the current standard of care across the primary as well as multiple secondary endpoints showing CEBT patients recovered earlier and have significant long-term improvement in functional outcomes. The trial also highlighted the ability of the field's most advanced technology to deliver faster procedure and device times, reestablishing the baseline and expectations around acceptable case times. With procedurals in the trial requiring minimal prior experience with flash ahead of enrolling patients in STORM PE, the strong results also highlight CABT's ease of use and exceptional safety profile.
The physician feedback across the interventional and non-interventional community has been enthusiastically positive. Since the presentations, we are seeing a shift to CAT from older mechanical thrombectomy options for PE. We expect to see this continue. We are also working with societies and organizations to disseminate the now published data from STORM PE to hospitals so they can update their current hospital protocols. Over the next year, this will be one of our top priorities. We are executing at a high level across our peripheral and neuro business units, and are well positioned to continue to build off our work to date. As we look towards 2026 and beyond, we remain highly confident in our long-term strategy grounded in meaningful innovation data generation and investment in our team, supporting durable, profitable growth and the ability to treat a significant number of patients with our technologies I'll now turn the call over to Maggie to go over our financial results for the third quarter of 2025.
Thank you, Shruthi. Good afternoon, everyone. Today, I will discuss the financial results for the third quarter of 2025. We financial results on this call for revenue and gross margin on a GAAP basis, while operating expenses, operating income and adjusted EBITDA are on a non-GAAP basis. The corresponding GAAP measures and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures are provided in our posted press release. For the third quarter ended September 30, 2025, our total revenues were $354.7 million, an increase of 17.8% reported and 16.9% in constant currency compared to the third quarter of 2024. Our geographic mix of sales for the third quarter of 2025 was 77.5% U.S. and 22.5% international. Our U.S. region reported growth of 21.5% and driven by 18.5% growth in our thrombectomy franchise and 29.2% growth in embolization and excess driven by our Ruby XL product compared to the same period last year.
As we previously shared, due to easing of China's headwind and double-digit growth for the remaining international regions, our international business has returned to growth. increasing by 6.6% reported and 3% in constant currency compared to the same period last year. Moving to revenue by product. Revenue from our global thrombectomy business grew to $236.4 million in the third quarter of 2025. We an increase of 15.8% reported and 15.1% in constant currency compared to the same period last year. The growth was primarily driven by an increased 18.5% increase in our U.S. thrombectomy business. As expected, our international thrombectomy revenue also increased by 5.6% when compared to the same period last year.
Revenue from our embolization and access business was $118.3 million in the third quarter of 2025, an increase of 22% reported and 20.8% in constant currency compared to the same period last year. primarily driven by an increase in U.S. peripheral embolization sales due to the momentum from our successful launch of Ruby XL combined with strategic investment we made in expanding our U.S. embolization team in the first half of the year. Gross margin for the third quarter of 2025 is 67.8% and compared to 66.5% for the third quarter of 2024. And consistent with our expectations, we delivered sequential gross margin growth of 180 basis points. driven primarily by favorable regional mix, product mix and productivity improvements. We are very pleased at how quickly the team stabilized our Ruby XL build of which our Ruby XL product has an accretive impact on our gross margin and the sales model supports a more efficient working capital dynamic.
In addition, we are on track to achieve our full year gross margin target and remain well positioned to deliver our long-term gross margin profile of 70% by the end of 2026. Now on to our non-GAAP operating expenses. Non-GAAP operating income and margin and adjusted EBITDA. Total operating expense for the quarter was $191.6 million or 54% of revenue compared to $160 million or 53.1% of revenue for the same quarter last year. Our research and development expenses for Q3 2025 were $22.7 million or 6.4% of revenue compared to $22.6 million or 7.5% of revenue for Q3 2024, which reflects savings of $3.6 million due to our immersive business way down, offset by continued investment in product development. G&A expenses for Q3 2025 were $168.9 million or 47.6% of revenue compared to $137.4 million or 45.6% of revenue for Q3 2024. As we have stated previously, we have made targeted hires in our commercial and market access teams which will support customer demand and allow us to capitalize on long-term growth drivers.
Sequentially, our SG&A expenses increased by $8.9 million, reflecting the full quarter presence of our embolization sales team investment along with other variable spend. With this buildout now complete, we are positioned to capture sales and operation leverage in future quarters. We recorded operating income of $48.8 million or 13.8% of revenue compared to an operating income of $40.3 million or 13.4% of revenue for the same period last year. We posted adjusted EBITDA of $66.7 million or 18.8% of total revenue compared to $56.7 million or 18.8% in the third quarter last year. Turning to cash flow and balance sheet. We ended the third quarter of 2025 with cash, cash equivalents and marketable security balance of $470.3 million and no debt. which is an increase of $45.7 million sequentially. This increase includes improving working capital ratios in both receivable and inventory turns and strong profitability. We continue to expect positive operating cash flow trends to continue in 2025 and beyond.
Turning to 2025 guidance. As Adam previously stated, we are raising our revenue guidance for the year to $1.375 billion to $1.380 billion. We reiterate 20% to 21% year-over-year growth for 2025 for U.S. thrombectomy. Finally, we maintain our previously stated 2025 growth and operating margin expansion guidance. This concludes our prepared remarks. Operator, we can now open the call to questions.
[Operator Instructions]. And our first question comes from the line of Travis Steed with Bank of America.
2. Question Answer
I'll start with Thunderbolt since it's topical. This sounds like you're a lot closer to approval than you were. I assume nothing surprising with the FDA back and forth. But just maybe how you're thinking about the product when it hits the market, how much share you can take and how much -- when investors will see the data from Thunderbolt? And anything else you can share on the FDA process, so it would be helpful if you could have the product approved by year-end or not?
That's great. Thanks, Travis. A lot of nuances of that question, so let me try to cover as much as possible. Let's maybe start with the process and give a little additional color, and then we can talk about at a point in time of what happens subsequently. I know there's been a lot of comments and thoughts around the timing of the process. I want to maybe level set the process and the timing because there's some -- I think, some maybe misunderstanding. Thunderbolt is a brand-new product. It doesn't -- it's not already approved. It doesn't -- it's not just seeking a new indications. So I know in the past, there's been comparables to products that have been already on the market that have a history that have safety information that obviously, the FDA sees and collects. And all they're looking for is a new indication.
That's a different time period usually, and those can be shorter. For products that are brand new, those processes at least in our experience with the neuro division sometimes take a while. For example, this is not fundamentally different timing than our original RED 72 silver label, which was an update on an existing product, but it was a new product with some new materials and so on. And it takes a while because the FDA and I applaud them for this are incredibly through. So there's nothing about this process and timing. But we're feeling at least hopeful and optimistic. Needless to say, without sharing competitive information about what does a launch look like. And obviously, we don't want to do that. We obviously are ready and to launch this product, and they're excited about it when that time comes that we can do that. So we'll stay optimistic. And again, got to have a little prudence until we have a clearance letter from giving you more sort of detail on that.
Okay. Makes a lot of sense. And maybe a follow-up on the storm PE secondaries now that those are out earlier this week and you've had a chance to talk to doctors curious how you're thinking about kind of the impact to the market and acceleration of the market and the potential to kind of take share given your safety profile on the device?
Yes. There's a couple of interesting and exciting things that have happened. One, the reaction to the data within the medical community has been really just incredibly positive. I think folks who were at either TCT or wear both saw that, they felt it. The safety -- the endpoints, the primary endpoint and of course, the secondary endpoints are really, really positive and strong and will have a big impact on noninterventional as well. But in addition, the safety profile of the product was really striking, and I think that's led to a number of interventionalists who have not traditionally used our product call and want to start doing cases and have done cases in the last really weeks since last Sunday with our product really for the first time in multiple cases. So that momentum is exciting as the field moves from the older technology that sort of got the field started to sort of the more modern CVT technology.
And as it relates to the noninterventional community and sort of what that reaction is which is really core to building this market and growing it. Shurith maybe can give you some additional comments. She's had a number of conversations with people and can share her perspective.
Yes. Thanks, Adam. So yes, on the non-interventional community, for example, specific conversations with like pulmonologists, hematologists, they're all now very happy that there's validation that right heart recovery then leads to -- leads to the sort of 6-minute walk test progress that we saw in the functional outcomes. And so they're now doing the work to start updating protocols within their institutions and start to see more and more patients get access to care. That was a comment, Dr. Rita Rezoski made on the podium right at the end of the presentation. and now different physicians in the noninterventional community are looking at their own hospital protocols to make those updates. Just since the release of Rachel's presentation on Monday, I've had conversations myself with physicians that have had the same reaction. So I think it's really positive for the field, and hopefully, it's going to open up access to care for a lot more patients.
And our next question comes from the line of Robbie Marcus with JPMorgan.
Great. Congratulations on a nice quarter. wanted to touch on margins here. I'll stay away from the revenue question. And reiterating gross margin and operating margin guide. Just wondering how you're thinking about the ability to drive margins? Is it is Thunderbolt to be a big component to get those moving higher versus where you were thinking originally? And how should we be thinking about the impact of tariffs and how that impacted full year '25 margins?
Let me start briefly and then Maggie can address most of those. All of our CABT products have very, very strong margins. So all of them, whether it's just Thunderbolt or any of the other areas that we've just spent a lot of time talking about have the ability as that mix changes. The other thing is with our newest coil that we launched, that's also accretive. So I think we're feeling pretty good. But Maggie can maybe go through some of the more specific.
Yes, thanks. With the remaining factors, this quarter, you see favorable, especially on a regional mix standpoint since we have seen a lot of U.S. growth. by continued product mix and also the recovery from the operation teams to stabilize our Movie Xcel yield improvement and productivity. And for the -- going into Q4, we'll continue to see this trend. I think we'll continue to see sequential improvement from product mix, regional mix and productivity improvement and also some volume leverage. I think what we have seen in this quarter already reflected some tariff impact. We do not have a material impact on tariff although still a little bit. But the number trend that we've seen has already reflected in absorbing those headwinds.
Great. Maybe just a quick follow-up. If I zoom in on thrombectomy, U.S. and OUS, but I guess more specifically U.S. here. It's been decelerating throughout the year. I imagine a lot of that has been pressure in the stroke market, offset by really strong venous growth, market growth and Penumbra growth. How do you think about if -- is it fair to assume that it will continue to downward trend? Or do you think there might be a stabilization in stroke as we move out to '26 with venous offsetting that and returning it more towards accelerating growth
Yes. Robbie, thank you. And thanks for -- in the body of your question sort of highlighting and pointing out the dynamic in the market, you're exactly accurate. Obviously, BTE has led the growth sort of quarter after quarter and some of that market growth, obviously, some significant share gain. I think arterial has also been very, very strong. Stroke over the last couple of quarters has definitely been the drag that notwithstanding, we've held our own and use that opportunity to continue to take share. So we're not negative there. we're not seeing a decline in our business. It's just not growing at the same rate, obviously.
Over the course of the many, many years we've been in the stroke market, we have seen this. This happens. This is not new, and you've known that from watching us for many, many years. It doesn't -- it comes in waves. It doesn't happen always linearly. So there's nothing at this moment to be particularly concerned about. I do think having new technology that's very, very novel, not sort of similar to others is usually been a pretty significant catalyst. And so that certainly could help, but even without that, the market typically sort of ebbs and flows a bit, and we would expect that to turn around. The fourth quarter is usually a growth quarter traditionally in terms of the volume that grows.
But overall, I'm optimistic about the future. It just comes in these waves.
And our next question comes from the line of Larry Biegelsen with Wells Fargo.
Congrats on the nice quarter here, Adam. Adam, I wanted to ask about Embo Access, which was in the U.S., which was extremely strong in Q3. And in fact, worldwide MBO access grew faster than worldwide thrombectomy. So was there anything you would characterize as onetime in Q3? And how much of the strength was Ruby XL versus Swift, which you called out? And going forward, should we expect Embo Access to now outpace thrombectomy? And I had one follow-up.
Yes. It's a great question. We're really -- to the answer the immediate question, there was nothing onetime about this quarter. The two things that we really stood out in the U.S., which was what was driving that. Well, two things around the peripheral part of the business. One, we have a dedicated team for the first time in a while. So their focus is on that. Obviously, over the last few years, our focus with our peripheral team had been split between our coils and our thrombectomy making it pretty hard to do both well. So I think that bodes well for our future that the integration, as Shruthi said, was really seamless.
And I'll be honest, I was incredibly impressed with every member of that team and the leadership of the sales team for getting to allow that to happen that way. It's not -- it's not a normal process to be that seamless and it really was. So I think we're in really good shape. I think what this shows is that there's a huge market and appetite for our very distinctive products that are different than others on the market, and I think that will continue. And I said that in my prepared remarks. As it relates to the neuro side, I'm really fascinating to watch that. The growth continues to happen there. the number of cases that people are doing in general for MMA embolization is increased notably.
And more and more people are moving to our product because of the safety profile of it compared to more traditional means of treatment. So I think we're pretty optimistic about this business. And I think, together with the thrombectomy, they both become equal drivers of growth. Obviously, you're going to see quarters the quarter that you launch a product have slightly bigger growth on a sequential basis. But overall, I think going forward, we're not going to be looking at that business is dragging down our growth. I think both Embo and thrombectomy will be an important part of our growth in '26 and beyond.
That's helpful. Adam, one quick one on the guidance. It does look like the guidance implies a deceleration in Q4. So my question is why? And the guidance for the year of 15% to 16% through 2025, it's about a 4% headwind from China. So I guess on a reported basis at 15% to 16%, is there any reason why growth would slow next year?
Yes. Look, I think we've been pretty clear about learning our lessons on guidance, not getting ahead of ourselves. I do not -- we're obviously not going to give sort of back to our guidance, if you will, for 2026. I'm not going to will give our guidance on the fourth quarter call. But obviously, if you listen carefully and you did to what we've just said about our business and where we stand, we feel particularly good about our where we stand, not just this quarter, but for a while to come well into next year and the years beyond.
Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Joanne Wuensch with Citibank.
I wanted to dig a little bit into international sales, please. It seems based on your commentary that China headwinds are waning. At what stage are they done? And if we adjusted for said headwinds, what would OUS growth have been this quarter?
Yes, thanks. I think pretty much by next year, early next year, a lot of our headwind will be very minimal. We do have some China revenue a little bit this year, but I would look at it as a headwind for next year. In terms of our -- rest of the international region growth, we mentioned that other than outside of China, the rest of the international regions are growing in double digits. I think in the prior quarters, sometimes we have highlighted that throw back to me part of the OUS a lot of time growing in the mid-teens. So that has been kind of our trend throughout this year and still a lot of good momentum next year. Thank you.
And our next question comes from the line of Vijay Kumar with Evercore.
Congrats on the nice wins here. Adam, maybe my first one for you on the store. I think in the past, you alluded to strong periods having the potential to change clinical practice. I'm curious now that we're seeing the primary and secondary endpoints. Is this enough to change practice should we start seeing an acceleration in procedures adoption? Or are there any sort of hurdles, if you will, on the adoption of thrombectomine treating PE cases.
Yes. Look, I can only tell you what we have heard in the last week or so, lots and lots of conversations. I will tell you that a number of non interventionalists. And I think Shruthi alluded to 2 pulmonologists. She's had personal conversations with and a number of other noninterventional have indicated to us that they would be leading the effort in their particular hospitals to change their protocols based on this data. So I think the reaction the positive reaction to this data has been uniform just across interventionalists, non interventionalists.
So now the work starts to get protocols and the hospitals change. And usually, as we've said, you heard members of our steering committee say, guidelines are lagged behind practice sometimes. So I think you'll see the behavior in the protocols and hospitals change and guidelines will follow that effort. But it's been really heartening to see the excitement around this and not just with interventionalists but with non interventionalists knowing that they now have a very strong alternative for when they know their patients need something more significant. So I think it's a good day for the field and a good moment in time, and we're very optimistic about that.
Understood. Then maybe one P&L question. Gross margin is up 180 basis points Q-on-Q, with SG&A growth was quite striking up 25%. Was there any timing benefit on -- or timing impact, if you will, on SG&A, OpEx? Or is this -- is this the number being proactive as you look at the pipeline on products coming to fruition?
Yes. No, thanks for your question. On the operating expense side, most of the increases that you see is pretty much all from the investment of our embolization team and the commercial team structure. We have pretty much completed the investment or the build out by the end of this quarter or last quarter. So going forward, we'll start to see more leverage, and it will be -- the investment level will be lower than what you have seen in earlier in the year.
And our next question comes from the line of Brandon Vazquez with William Blair.
I wanted to stay on the MPE train of thought for a minute, but I'll ask this question slightly different, but it sounds like there could be kind of an initial benefit from the current interventionalists performing more mechanical thrombectomy. But one of the other tertiary benefits that might come is really that like smaller hospitals that aren't using any thrombectomy at all today. might start performing these procedures. We saw in the data that it was a very low learning curve, a lot of naive users in this trial. So the question that I'll kind of frame here is like, one, talk to us a little bit about the time lines and your expectations of kind of turning on some of these accounts, how difficult or easy that might be? And then two, once your foot is in the door with PE treatment. Are there other venous opportunities now that you've placed the lightning in these smaller hospitals that you could start to go after as well?
Yes. There's a lot to your question. So at a respectful time, I'll try to give you a fairly complete but brief answer. There's so many layers of opportunity here. There's practices that are not treating everyone, which is the most of them who now will hopefully start to change their internal protocols. There are hospitals that don't really do intervention for PE that, as you alluded to, that might now take it on, sometimes that could also have a benefit because once you're doing PE, you really are sort of related to its cousin of DVT treatments. Some of those places are using our technology for Arteria, for example, which is a little bit of a different dynamic.
So there's some overlap. All in all, what it does is really put a spotlight on the newest technology which is CBT, the speed of those cases, the safety profile of those cases. In the past, as you know, we've talked about and presented really robust data on the health economics of that, which justifies doing this. It's a procedure that is clearly validated not only clinically but also economically. So I think it just really opens the door for a lot of people. I personally had the experience at TCT of talking to a cardiologist who runs a very well-known national practice, but their group doesn't typically do PE. It's covered by another specialty in their hospital. And after hearing the data, they were particularly excited about getting in there helping their colleagues opening up the coverage capacity pretty dramatically. So -- and that was just one of many, many conversations. So it takes some time. It can't all happen in one quarter, but it puts us in a really good spot for 2026.
Okay. And a separate follow-up question here. Forgive me if you guys had kind of gone over these details already before, but this is the first I'm hearing a little bit more of Lightning Flash 3.0. Can you just spend a minute talking about timing for when that goes into a broader launch, how important it is? Where do you think we'll see the benefits of this 3.0 over 2.0?
Yes. So with 3.0, as Adam alluded to on the prepared remarks, it is really a hardware and a software update. And what it does is it really improves the fidelity. And so what that means is these cases, as you saw from Storm PE, 25-minute device times and really the fastest on the market right now. But Flash 3.0 is going to make it even faster, even better in terms of overall safety profile, blood mitigation, all the things that our physicians have now sort of come to expect. And so this really moves that even further forward by improving those case times even more.
And our next question comes from the line of Bill Plovanic with Canaccord.
Yes. Great. The first is going to be -- I understand on the guidance you want to be conservative, but the high end of that guidance is up 2% sequentially. And you did up 4.8% and 5.1% in the last year and the year before. And I'm just trying to -- is there anything specific that you're concerned about that you're only guiding up to and not the 5% that would be in line with the past 2 years?
Not something sort of I look at in all the various ways you look at it. I look at what we beat by and what we raised by. And I think that's a pretty solid guide up. We're obviously not going to want to get ahead of ourselves. And there's so much positive work to do over the next period of time. Let's give us a chance to get started. Let's get going. We're only a week into storm PE. And I think we'll feel pretty comfortable. We got couple of products to launch in peripheral and neuro strong bear with us, we'll be good.
All right. And then just to follow up again on the FDA. I truly appreciate the update -- a lot of detail today. My question is, is the FDA requiring any additional testing and for clinical data from you? Or is it a purely back in quarter at this point?
Yes. So again, I want to remain prudent. I was pretty clear about that. What I said in my prepared remarks is we have already answered very thoroughly all the questions that we had received at that point. So that has already been done. They are now in the phase where they can obviously ask for clarifications or additional questions. But -- so I can't tell you what that's going to be yet. But we've been through, obviously, for a period of time here, very, very thorough questions, like any new product, that they review in the neuro division. So totally appropriate and not totally unexpected.
And is the shutdown impacting their responses? Or are they continuing to work through.
I can't speak to that on a sort of daily basis. But as of now, we have not experienced any sense of delay because of the shutdown. But obviously, that's a process that's in real time and continues. I can't speak to that what might happen end of this week or next week or what have you.
And our next question comes from the line of Michael Sarcone with Jefferies.
Seen a lot of focus on PE and pulmonary embolism. Your U.S. VTE business continues to grow at a healthy clip. Maybe you can give us kind of the latest and greatest on trends on the DVT side of the business and how you're thinking about growth there?
Thanks. That's a great question. So on the DBT side, what we're again seeing is just a positive response to flash we have commented on the VTE segment as a whole, growing consistently the past several quarters, and that trend is expected to continue. And you're just going to see physicians as they hear about storm results, start adopting the technology on PE. And if they haven't yet used us on DVT, you're going to see that dynamic play out. So I think it just sets us up really well here for the future. Hopefully, that answers the question.
That does. That's really helpful. And just one quick follow-up there. In the past, you've talked about DBT being a little bit different in that you're focused more on the health economic side and working in collaboration with some hospital accounts. I guess do you still have a focus there? And are you going to continue to execute on that kind of health economic data on the DVT side.
Absolutely. We're starting to see those results get presented at different conferences, just some of the market access data sets, working with Vizient and the premier databases. So the physician community is starting to hear about that. We also have our hospital engagement team that is actively having concessions with different folks within the hospitals to communicate that information. And what you'll also see is, again, the benefit of storm PE applies to the overall sort of VTE segment. So you're just going to see more excitement within the hospital to treat these patients, the level 1 evidence that's now available will help on the DBT side as well.
And our next question comes from the line of Pito Chickering with Deutsche Bank.
A few follow-up, Peter, on U.S. to become. Can you talk about market share versus market growth in the quarter? And can you quantify how many new accounts you added this quarter and how you see that in the fourth quarter post the STORM trial.
Yes. Obviously, we have -- there's comparative information out there with other companies. So obviously a huge chunk of -- this is all before storm obviously came out, but a huge chunk of that was market share. And I think that's known. It's not just number of new accounts isn't really the complete way to look at it because, obviously, there number of different physicians within each account. Some use one product and other users another. So there's mix between that. So that's not a good measure. But when we look at the people who were using something is to us, that has continued all year long, obviously, at the end of last year and all the way through this year.
And really what was surprising was I guess not surprising, but pleasant to see is just in the last week because of the data and the safety profile as one of the cited reasons for their switch. We saw people who have moved from older technology to newer and all signs are that, that will continue. So it's a combination going forward of continued share shift to -- from older type of technology to the newer CABT and what will play out, I think, over the next year or so is the increase in the number of patients treated. And I think they're tied. DVT and PE play into each other that way. And I think you're going to see some growth over the next 2, 3 years.
Okay. I sit back and look at market growth, how many per teams do you think were created this year? And how is longform hospitals look post-storm trials. There seem to be a lot of excitement last TCT about more programs.
Yes. I think, look, there's two different groups of per teams. There's the formal per teams that are also members of the PERT consortium. And then there are lots and lots of sort of local teams that aren't -- haven't joined the Pert consortium, some of the time, smaller hospitals or just newer in the process. What I was very pleased to see at the beginning of TCT, per the consortium announced a pretty significant effort over the next couple of years to dramatically increase the number of members of their consortium as well as really help get sort of with the most current technology and the idea that these people can be helped in a different way.
So I think there's a lot of energy ready to go and coming out of the TCT meeting and also at Veeva, that was really clear that people are going to have either informal programs, which is a cross-functional group of people caring about these patients differently or formalize them and be part of the per consortium. Either way, I think we're seeing a huge change in energy and focus around SP-4 Pulmonary embolism patients.
And our final question comes from the line of Ryan Zimmerman with BTIG.
I appreciate that very much. So I'll ask the 2 questions upfront. We haven't talked much about the interim update on Strike out of TCT I'm wondering if you can kind of give us your high-level thoughts at on that. We look at the data, good kind of RBL changes. But I think certainly, there is some other aspects to it that may have stuck out or been on people's minds, I'm curious kind of get your high-level thoughts. And then the other question is just directed Truth, which is embolization and access. You talked about it. These markets typically don't grow at the kind of rates that you're seeing. And so is it just the products themselves? Is it higher use of MMA. I'm just curious if you could kind of talk specifically about what is going to drive this durably for the time being?
Yes. Great questions. So on the first one there with Stripe BE just like you commented on, I mean, there's obviously store is kind of the highlight right now, but StripePE certainly confirms the longer-term benefit of CABT. As you may recall, that study goes out to 1 year and looks at functional outcomes longer term, how do these patients do out to 1 year. And so it just adds to the overall body of evidence. At Veeva, there was a specific subset presented on just the use of the flash product in these patients and their follow-up out to 1 year at TCT, there was a data set around the high-risk PE patients and just showing that CIBT can have a real benefit in that patient group.
So overall, I think it's just a growing body of evidence in PE. And so I think the -- what you'll start to see is that these teams and PE teams across the board are just going to have more of a focus around treating more patients with CABT. On your second question, as it relates to the embolization products and that category as a whole, the team now is in place to focus 100% on our embolization products. And while we are market leading, we do not yet have 100% of the market. So I think the there's still opportunity to continue to grow that. Our physicians love the way the coils perform. And so the focus just allows our team to be able to go and make sure that the calls are available to everyone. On top of that, you see MMAs are sort of a newer procedure overall. And as Adam alluded to, there are some of the more traditional options like embolics that have been available, but the coils, the way they perform our coil specifically have really been -- our physicians have been really been responding well to that. So I think you're seeing here a combination of what we have with the peripheral embolization focus as well as the growing number of procedures in the MMA category.
And that concludes the question-and-answer portion of today's conference call. Ms. Furlong, I will turn the call back over to you.
Thank you, operator. On behalf of our management team, thank you all again for joining us today and for your interest in Penumbra. We look forward to updating you on our fourth quarter call.
And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call, and we thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Penumbra, Inc. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $354,7 Mio (+17,8% YoY)
- U.S.-Umsatz: $275 Mio (+21,5% YoY)
- Bruttomarge: 67,8% (+130 Basispunkte YoY)
- Betriebsgewinn: $48,8 Mio (13,8% Marge)
- Cash & Guidance: $470,3 Mio Cash; Jahresumsatz angehoben auf $1,375–1,380 Mrd
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Vertriebsaufbau: Separate 50+köpfige Embo-Vertriebsmannschaft ermöglicht Fokussierung: bestehendes Team konzentriert sich auf CAET/CABT, neues Team trieb Ruby XL-Launch und +21,2% sequenzielles Embo-Wachstum.
- STORM PE: Prospektive RCT zeigt CABT (katheterbasierte Thrombektomie) überlegen bei Reduktion des rechten Herzdrucks; positives Safety-Profil soll Prozedurvolumen und Protokolländerungen beschleunigen.
- Profitabilität: Ziel >70% Bruttomarge bis Ende 2026; Management betont margenstarke Produktmix-Verbesserung und operative Hebelwirkung.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Umsatzziel: Jahresguidance erhöht auf $1,375–1,380 Mrd.
- Wachstum U.S. Thrombektomie: Reiteriert 20–21% YoY für 2025.
- Risiken/Timing: Internationales China-Headwind fast abgefedert, Thunderbolt (neues Neuroprodukt) steht noch in FDA-Review — Zeitpunkt der Zulassung ungewiss und könnte Umsatztiming beeinflussen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Thunderbolt: Analysten fragten zu Zulassungszeitplan und klinischen Daten; Management betont laufenden Prüfprozess und verweist auf mögliche Nachfragen der FDA, kein verbindliches Timing genannt.
- STORM PE Adoption: Nachfrage: wie schnell Krankenhäuser Protokolle anpassen und neue Accounts eröffnen — Management sieht schnellen Wechsel in Praxis wegen geringer Lernkurve.
- Margen & Kosten: Diskussion über Treiber der Margensteigerung (Produkt-/Regionalmix, Produktivität) und SG&A-Anstieg durch Embo-Vertriebsaufbau; Tarife nur moderater Effekt.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starke Quartalszahlen getrieben von VTE/Embo-Wachstum, operative Profitabilität nimmt zu und Guidance wurde angehoben. Klinische Daten (STORM PE) sind ein klarer Markt-Katalysator; Hauptunsicherheiten bleiben Zulassungs-Timing für Thunderbolt und regionale China-Effekte. Für Aktionäre: Wachstum mit klarer Profitabilitätsroadmap, aber Timing-Risiken bei Produktlancierungen beachten.
Penumbra, Inc. — Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics (TCT) Conference 2025
1. Management Discussion
All right. I want to welcome everyone. My name is Adam Elsesser. We're webcasting this event. But welcome to the follow-on discussion of STORM-PE. We have members and steering committee and as well as just Dr. Benenati, and I'm going to not talk much, but turn it over to Shruthi Narayan, our President, and she will make the proper instructions, and we'll dive into the conversation. Thank you.
Thank you, Adam. Thank you all for joining us this afternoon to talk more about STORM-PE, the data we just presented a couple of hours ago. Needless to say, it's a very exciting time for PE patients, for PE intervention as a whole and certainly for us here at Penumbra. As you heard from Dr. Lookstein as well as on the panel today is a landmark trial and foundational evidence here. And hopefully, we will all have the opportunity to be involved in treating more and more PE patients.
I do want to just introduce the members of the STORM-PE steering committee that are here with us today. We have Dr. Rob Lookstein, who is from Mount Sinai, New York, the international co-PI of the STORM-PE trial. We have Dr. Rachel Rosovsky, hematologist from Mass General, also international co-PI of the STORM-PE trial. And then we have Dr. Stavros Konstantinides from University Mainz who's also on the steering committee and provides global sort of representation. Along with that, other than Adam and I from Penumbra, we have Dr. Jim Beninati, our CMO, that will also moderate some of the discussion.
In terms of format, we're going to actually first have Dr. Lookstein go through just the highlights from the study that we just presented earlier, and then we'll open it up for Q&A with Adam and Dr. B moderating the Q&A session.
I do want to reiterate that this event is only going to be discussing STORM-PE results that were presented today. Any questions about the business, we will defer to our third quarter earnings call in early November. And with that, I will turn it over to Dr. Lookstein.
Thank you, Shruti. Thank you, Adam. It's a pleasure to be here in front of all of you. Again, a great day for advancing pulmonary embolism care. Can we go to the next slide, please. I'm advancing it?
She's advancing the screen. You're doing just [indiscernible] They're not connected.
Okay. Thank you. Sorry about that. So this idea has been brewing for 10 years. The endovascular era for acute pulmonary embolism started 10 years ago with the ULTIMA trial. And despite the fact that there have been 7 devices that have been approved by the U.S. FDA, there have been no trials since ULTIMA that have compared any form of endovascular therapy to anticoagulation alone, which is currently the gold standard of care and in the guidelines for intermediate high-risk pulmonary embolism. There have been no randomized trials comparing mechanical thrombectomy versus anticoagulation. And so this trial that we presented today is the first randomized trial evaluating any endovascular therapy versus anticoagulation in over 10 years. And it's the first randomized trial comparing mechanical thrombectomy versus anticoagulation. And obviously, the mechanical thrombectomy device that was used as part of this trial is the CAVT, the lightning flash system by Penumbra, who's here today.
We chose the RV to LV ratio as the primary endpoint because it's been adjudicated in countless studies in the cardiovascular literature to denote strain on the heart. The higher the RV ratio, the more strain there is from the heart from the acute pulmonary embolism. And so the idea here was very focused. We set out to demonstrate that the introduction of a CAVT procedure on top of the gold standard anticoagulation could reduce the strain on the heart faster and in a more uniform way than just treating the patient with anticoagulation alone.
We use multiple safety endpoints: A composite endpoint of clinical deterioration; PE-related mortality, symptomatic recurrent PE; and major bleeding. The primary efficacy endpoint was assessed by an independent blinded core lab; and the secondary outcomes here, the composite safety endpoint, was assessed by an independent clinical events committee.
The study schedule and data collection are listed here. There are numerous functional endpoints and quality of life endpoints that will be presented later at a subsequent meeting. We're very excited to share that with you, but that was not presented this afternoon. Suffice it to say, the patients, after being assessed, were randomized to either again, continue to receive anticoagulation alone or to undergo the CAVT procedure, and the patients were followed for a total of 90 days.
The baseline assessments of these patients in both arms matched almost perfectly. They were well matched grouped. There were no significant medical comorbidities between the 2 groups. When they presented and were assessed, they had similar vital signs, they had similar presenting symptoms, they had similar medical comorbidities. All the assessments that are been shown to have a poor prognosis for outcomes, we're well matched between the 2 groups. And the tools that we, as physicians, use to denote the degree of thrombotic burden or the clot burden in the lungs was also matched between the 2 groups. We set out to see if there was going to be a treatment effect by adding on the CAVT procedure.
The endpoint is shown here. It showed that there was a reduction in the RV to LV ratio in both groups but the reduction in the CAVT group was significantly superior to anticoagulation alone. This procedure took the strain off of the right heart in a more reproducible, more uniform and in a statistically superior way than anticoagulation alone.
The FDA has set out that a therapeutic effect is defined as reducing this ratio by 0.2. So we use that to demonstrate a therapeutic effect. We saw this in 78% of the patients treated with CAVT and only 52% of patients treated with anticoagulation. We also denote a normal RV to LV ratio showing that there is no strain on the heart as defined as the ratio being 1 or less, and this was observed in 39% of patients in the CAVT group and only 13% of patients in the anticoagulation group.
So again, just to paraphrase this, just by introducing the CAVT procedure, almost 40% of the patients returned to a normal level with no evidence of right heart strain on their follow-up CAT scan.
The safety endpoints, again, are listed here. There were 2 major adverse events in the CAVT group and 4 in the anticoagulation group. These were not statistically significant whatsoever. And so again, this is a foundational trial. It's a game changer. It's the first-of-its-kind trial that demonstrates the efficacy and superiority of mechanical thrombectomy, obviously, in this trial, the CAVT procedure over anticoagulation alone in the treatment of intermediate high-risk patients. The procedure -- the CAVT procedure dropped the pressure on the right heart uniformly across the cohort, and this led to a statistically superior reduction in the RV to LV ratio compared to anticoagulation alone. The safety profile was comparable between the 2 groups. This once and for all, establishes on a foundation level, the role of mechanical thrombectomy to treat and rescue patients with intermediate high-risk pulmonary embolism. And again, I'll say this again, our entire trial leadership are excited and looking forward to sharing our functional data and our quality-of-life data at future meetings in the next weeks and months to come.
Thank you, Rob. I appreciate that. We're going to open it up to questions in just a moment. We are -- we're going to have mics. So we have to wait only because it's webcast, and we've got to hear the question appropriately. So we're raising hands again. Oh, come on. You guys are going to make me pick. Let's see. Hold on. Why don't you pick? Okay. So first, to be fair, the first hand I saw go up was yours. Second row. Okay. And then...
2. Question Answer
Bill Plovanic, Canaccord. Thanks for sharing that. Congratulations on the study. I just want to understand or at least help me understand, how do you think the physicians will look at the fact that there were like 767 patients that were randomized and only 100 patients treated? And how do we think about that as just the opportunity? What's the true TAM? Like, I mean, if you're only treating 1 out of 7 patients or less, just any color would be helpful.
If I could correct that, 767 patients were screened to participate in a randomized interventional trial comparing a medical therapy with an interventional therapy, right? Of those 767, a very significant percentage were not eligible to participate because they were either too sick or too healthy.
The points I made before that we wanted very well matched -- very symptomatic, but well-matched patients in this trial was intentional. We had a high threshold in order to allow patients into this study. And the patients had to understand and agree to be randomized between a medical therapy and an interventional therapy.
So we screened 767 patients in order to randomize only 100, all right? 100 patients didn't get treated with CAVT, only 43 patients were treated with CAVT. This is actually a very, very good screening ratio for a large cardiovascular trial, especially a trial that randomizes medical therapy to interventional therapy. I think Dr. Beninati and I have both participated in interventional or endovascular trials where the ratio of screen patients to randomize is 10:1 or 20:1. And so we were very happy with these results that we only had to screen 767 patients to randomize 100. I don't know if you want to...
And I'd just tell you that from 30 years experience participating trials, 1:7 screening ratio is outstanding. We, as Rob said, a 1:15 ratio, we've seen in many trials. And part of that is because when you randomize someone, you have to look at a patient and say, you have to agree to a coin toss. And most -- in a single-arm study, you could say I have a new device, would you like to try that. That's an easy -- much easier question for a patient to answer then for them to have to say, I'm willing to.
There's another part of his question, if I can play the role of follow-up here. And that is what -- what is your perception? It's unrelated to the number of patient screening, which is where that got sort of on to a different topic. But what's your perception of the opportunity? How many more patients, given this trial, can we help in terms of like a percentage more?
So the prevalence of intermediate high-risk pulmonary embolism across the United States is estimated somewhere between 15% and 25% of all pulmonary embolism. The incidence of pulmonary embolism with screening with CT pulmonary and geography can be as high as 900,000 in the U.S. So I'm not going to do the arithmetic, but you're talking about tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of patients just in the U.S. And then obviously, you have the opportunity to expand the reach of this disruptive therapeutic option to the entire globe. So it's a huge opportunity to really improve the care that we're providing just to this subset of acute pulmonary embolism.
I just wanted to add, up until today, if you look at the guidelines, the American Heart Association guidelines, the European guidelines, just guidelines, PERT guidelines, when you look at the intermediate high risk and how to treat those, it's all anticoagulate and then monitor and consider rescue and perfusion if the person deteriorates. So there's been no guidance up until today to help us think about, is there a better way to treat those patients. And this is the first trial, which is really a game changer because we now have evidence. We have evidence that you don't actually have to wait until these people deteriorate that you can actually do it upfront.
So I think this is the trial we've all been waiting for literally for a decade. So when you think about those patients, it's the intermediate high risk. And to your point, it's those people that had strain of their heart not just on their echo or their CAT scan, but also in the biomarkers. So it's those high risk.
And if you look at the mortality rate, we know patients that have high risk. Those are the people that are hypotensive, their mortality rate can be in the 40s, 50s of 3 months. But we also know the people that are in the intermediate risk, their mortality rate can be up to 15%. So this is a real important issue because when you think about the RV LV, that strain on the heart, when you look at those patients and you wait until they deteriorate, you wait until they become hypotensive, then if you look at that curve of who dies for mortality, it shoots way up. And so you want to prevent people from getting to that point where they're straining their heart so much they become hypotensive because the risk of mortality goes way up.
Stavros, any comments about the screen, the number of patients, the randomization process?
No, I only want to fully agree that a screen of 7:1 screening ratio is a good ratio. There are 2 things to that. And trials, as you all know, are highly regulated, right? We have very strict rules on whom to include, particularly on whom to exclude from trials. So sometimes, it could be that, first, the patients do not meet the criteria of the protocol of the trial or sometimes there are other issues, some other diseases that prevent us from randomizing these patients. So this is a good ratio.
And another part and another mark of the quality of this trial is the fact that the screening ratio was very well and consistently documented. This is not something that happens always. Sometimes some centers do not document all the patients that they screen. They say, we had a very high randomization ratio, but it has to be done in a diligent and honest manner, and this is what was done in this trial. And so we have a representative, and I would say, objective screening ratio of 7:1, and I also agree that this is a good one.
Next question.
Yes, Cecilia, please pass the mic to the next question.
Robbie Marcus from JPMorgan. Congrats on the nice trial. Two questions for me. First, how important will the secondary endpoints be? I believe mortality is one of them. Do you think this -- the RV to LV loading alone is enough to drive adoption? Do you think you'll need the secondary endpoints?
And then the second one, I'll ask up top. How do you think about guideline changes? You talked about the need, more data evidence. We have, I believe, 3 more trials coming, looking at this. The trial is great, but it's still fairly small in size. Do you think you'll need, along with the other 3, assuming they all read out positively, will that be enough to change guidelines?
So I'll answer the first part, and then I'll defer the guidelines question to my colleague down the row, Stavros, who I think has a little bit more insight to that. So we had to demonstrate the RV to LV ratio as the primary endpoint because they've never been done before. Again, just to reemphasize this issue, there's not been an endovascular trial in 10 years. There have never been one for mechanical thrombectomy, not the least of which CAVT. So that -- we had to demonstrate efficacy.
I'll say this again. We are very excited to share the functional out points with you in the near future, but we obviously can't go into details about that for obvious reasons. But we do think that the wealth of evidence that's going to be shared over the next weeks and months will be very, very exciting for the entire field. Stavros, do you want to talk about what's going to go into the guidelines and how the other trials will frame into that?
Yes. So what the guidelines need for recommending some sort of therapy is randomized controlled trials. And I must say it was thought for a long time, actually until now, that such trials are not possible for devices in PE. So people thought there will never be state-of-the-art trials, and this is why there was all this discussion because there were believers and nonbelievers, but there was no one to judge, I mean, can this now really be formally recommended. And the criteria for recommending some device or a drug are quite -- are the same amongst guidelines. So you need to run a state-of-the-art randomized control trial.
The guidelines, there is no number of patients that the guidance -- that the trial has to have in, right? So it's not the number of patients. It's the effect how relevant the effect is, and this is what Dr. Lookstein alluded to, I mean, RV to LV ratio is something that has been established for years, actually since the early '90s. And by coincidence, I didn't know it back then, I was quite young. It was first proposed in Mainz, actually, the university by my later supervisor. And then it was taken up also by the team of Professor Goldhaver here in Harvard Medical School.
So this is -- so one is that the guideline says there is superiority based on these criteria. And then if this is also a clinically relevant endpoint, and this is the case for RV LV, the guidelines will say, yes, we recommend this type of treatment versus the standard of care until now with a level of evidence.
Now when more trials come, what changes is not the recommendation, provided that the results are consistent, of course. If one trial says one and the other, then it's a different story. But if the results are consistent, then what changes is not the recommendation, it's the level of evidence. So if you have more than one randomized control trials, then you move up from level of evidence B to level of evidence A. But the recommendation can be based -- a strong recommendation can be based on a single state-of-the-art randomized control trial.
Okay. Let's grab another question.
Chris Pasquale, Nephron. I wanted to ask a long similar vein about translating these data into actual clinical adoption. Curious about the audience that needs to really be convinced for this to become -- to move that needle on what's considered standard of care. You're in front of a very interventionalist audience today. The additional data is going to be a different audience, but again, lots of folks that do procedures. With pulmonary embolism, how broad is the audience you really need to get to? Are there a lot of physicians who are not going to be reading this manuscript, not going to be seeing the slides that need to be convinced before patients can get consistent therapy?
Rachel, do you want to take that and comment about the publication? I think there's a lot of people who aren't interventionalists that this is targeted to.
Yes. So I'm not an interventionalist, I'm a hematologist. So the fact that on their steering committee and actually, the co-global PI was a noninterventionalist was intentional and very important. And I think the question you asked is also very important.
I think this is the first place that we've announced this. We will be having a publication come out once we get all of our data, the secondary endpoints as well. And then that will be -- our goal is to get that in a very high-end journal, which will then be able to reach not just interventionalists. There's also various other conferences over the next year or 2 that we will be targeting.
And then the other thing is this was in partnership with the pulmonary embolism response team consortium. And we've recently launched something with Penumbra called PRISM. And the goal of PRISM is actually to exactly what you're saying -- is to get this information out to all of the people. And as Rob alluded to, the majority of patients that were on -- put in this trial had put teams already. And if you think about a PERT teams, that's multidisciplinary, that's not just the interventionalist, that's the critical care, the pulmonologists, the emergency room physicians, the hematologist, the pharmacists, the nurses, all of those people. And so we need to think about educating all of those people about this trial so that it can be adopted.
We recently did also -- this was sponsored by a Penumbra called [indiscernible] clot, which kind of looked at once people's understanding right now of how these devices are used and we were shocked to find that actually the majority of people might not have the best understanding of where these should be used. And I think this is a huge opportunity. The fact that this trial has shown this. And when we get secondary outcomes, we'll be able to share those as well. I think that's going to launch this and allow us to really educate everybody that's taken care of. I think that's so important. And I think your question actually speaks to just raising awareness about PE in general, if you look at, well, thrombosis stated have a survey that looked at just participants who knew what a PE was and they looked at MI, about 90% of people knew what an MI was, 90% of people knew what a stroke was, only 50% of people that they surveyed knew what a PE was. So our work is cut out for us, and I think this is opening the door to allow us to really share this.
Wouldn't you say that in the PERT membership, the majority of people are noninterventionalist? This trial is done in conjunction with PERT. So as this gets through the PERT as this is to disseminate through PERT, the majority of people this is going to are noninterventionalists. So that was a specific target in the design of this trial. It's the reason we collaborated with a noninterventional group primarily. And your point, again, well taken, and it's something that we targeted and executed on completely. Next question?
Joanne Weunsch from Citibank. Thank you for presenting this data. It's impressive. I think the question I have is, to take off of everyone else's question, what has to be done. It's the additional data. We hit up on that. It's the publication. We hit upon that. Do you need changes in guidelines? Do you need changes in reimbursement? Do you need more than 100 patients? I'm trying to go from today's wonderful data presentation to adoption and what steps have to come from here to there.
I'll take a stab at that. I think that this trial -- to quote my dear colleague, opens the door. There are countless providers across the United States and around the globe that have a little bit of skepticism don't necessarily understand that this is a safe and effective therapy. And I think this trial allows us to embrace this technology as a safe and effective therapy to rescue patients that are presenting to our emergency rooms with the right heart strain.
We have to start somewhere, and I believe this is a foundational trial that allows the majority of the medical community that are treating patients with acute pulmonary embolism to recognize. Again, this is an effective therapeutic option in our armamentarium. Our hope is that more and more patients in the next weeks, months and years to come will be offered this therapy. This is the first step in the right direction to allow more and more patients to be rescued with this therapy.
Can I -- a couple of comments to address what's next. We, at Penumbra, we're obviously very, very involved over a decade ago in what happened after the trials in stroke. And it's a similar moment. What -- it was amazing to have that data. But to address your question, that's when the real work started in terms of what to do. There -- we're in a very different spot now than we were in stroke. And I say that just about structurally what the field looks like there, we had to deal with where the patient showed up, potentially moving them to other centers. We don't really have that issue here. And we're years ahead because of the work that PERT has already done, building cross-functional teams where there is an awareness and a desire to treat the group of patients with pulmonary embolism differently. So we're not looking at the same type of road blocks.
It doesn't mean we don't have to educate, get out and get that information. And we were thrilled to see the announcement that PERT made about their very ambitious program around education, training at centers, many more members coming in, the level of that engagement that PERT is going to do gives me hope that we're going to see a very different arc around the ability to treat more and more PE patients and get what -- the treatment they deserve. So I'm incredibly optimistic.
It is just groundwork. It is just the hard work of now the trial is done, how do we educate everyone, how do we get that out there. And I can tell you, we've already had -- we scheduled this at 4 because for the last 1.5 hours before 4 since the presentation, we were on many, many different calls laying out and now that we can publicly talk about it, that work that I've just alluded to.
So we haven't -- we didn't do this one first. We did that one first because it matters. No offense, please. And we're just going to do the work. We haven't stopped.
Okay. Let's see other questions. You've been waiting a long time.
I guess just a couple of follow-ups. How quickly do you think guidelines could evolve here? For this to be practice changing, it seems like awareness is the gating factor. So should we think about it being more gradual? Or are there a subset of people kind of waiting out there to get a data like this and you could switch them? And then lastly, how do you think about a class effect here?
Can I address guideline for a second and then open it up for you to disagree with what I'm going to say? Again, living through what we saw in stroke, there is no central body in the world that issues guidelines. There are lots and lots of different organizations that have guidelines suggestions, they call them different things. So there is no -- when you all asked a question about guidelines, that is not a thing that we think about in quite the same way because there's so many different organizations. Some do it every couple of years, you missed their cycle. You don't -- they're not going to do it. It doesn't mean people don't get treated. So guidelines matter. But the most important thing here in the short term for the next period of time is getting hospitals to be aware at the treatment level of what this trial says and what they could do differently. So there are different things, and we understand that difference. We're not waiting for the other. It doesn't mean we're not more than happy when organizations change their recommendation to a guideline. So again, I think I'm stating that right, but I wanted to say that up there.
Stavros has written guidelines and has been lead author on many guidelines. Could you comment?
Yes. That's how it is. I mean each guidelines is -- each society that issues guidelines had its own cycle. It could be 3, 4, 5 years. But there's always guidelines that are coming, right, that will be -- will appear, let's say, in a year from now or within a year from now. And this is also the case here. Actually, let's say, from the European point of view, this is a very good moment because the guidelines are being finalized now. And they would -- they should be final early next year and appear some a little bit -- a couple of months later. So this is a moment which is a good one, but also the American Heart Association is going on with guidelines. There are many, many societies all over the world. So you always can have the evidence needed to provide to the next guidelines that will come. And generally, although there are many guidelines in many countries or continents, generally, when the guidelines issue a recommendation, they are in agreement. So it is extremely rare that you will find, let's say, guidelines in North America, saying that guidelines, and Europe saying the opposite or disagree. So this is something when usually -- when the evidence is here, the process of evaluating this evidence of issuing a recommendation is quite similar. So we think this will not be an issue in this case.
If I may, about the class effect, okay? I think there will be a slight class effect but this is a very important concept, and I alluded to this in the presentation, the safety profile that we witnessed during this trial were completely naive operators, the 2 cases and had no device-related complications, no access site complications, no device-related transfusions, I would argue, potentially sets a new gold standard for safety. And I think that as more and more interventional operators, not only in the U.S. but around the world, think about how they're going to incorporate mechanical thrombectomy into their treatment algorithm, they're going to look at this data and look at previously published data, and they're going to question whether or not perhaps a device that they've used historically can offer them that degree of safety. And I think it's a testament to the operators that we had to participate in this trial, but it's also a testament to how uniformly they all said, this is an easy device to learn how to use. It's incredibly safe in my hands, and I think the data bears that out.
And Rob, may I mention that one of the things that distinguishes a device used in this trial from everything else, is this computer algorithm, the flash. And that algorithm, which helps regulate and modulate blood flow is only present in one device. And so whether that can be -- this data could be reproduced by others is something we'll have to see. But I think that when you look at the things that Rob mentioned and when you look at the technology that differentiates this device, I believe this device is its own class. I do not believe that we can generalize every device that's out there that work very differently. We don't function the same. So we'll have to see all that.
Can I add one thing because there was also this very interesting aspect of the question of -- on the proof of cost effectiveness. So I'm not an economist, but we have been also working on a little bit health economic evaluations. And it is very interesting to see, especially with any medical intervention, but in this case, with a catheter intervention, of course, the upfront costs. But the question is, first of all, how many life years you potentially save and how many quality adjusted life years you potentially save and how many indirect costs to reduce by having someone live better, live longer and not seek medical help again and again because they have a lot of thrombus and this causes them to go into the hospital again and again after the acute PE.
So there is -- the data that we already have is really very promising. And what we were waiting for was also the direct comparison of medical outcomes to strengthen this data. And I am very optimistic. I mean, this is being done by many specialized academic institutions, and we're also collaborating with some of those that the cost-effectiveness data that will follow after the medical data will also be very positive because there are many ways in which you can affect long-term costs also with -- by relieving the patient from the acute clot overload.
And I think that goes into your question about the functional outcomes. And I think that's why the functional outcomes are critically important because we want these people to get back to the life that they had, get back to their jobs, get back to their families. And so those will be critically important.
Yes, Cecilia, go ahead.
Philip Chickering, Deutsche Bank. So every center in this trial had a PERT team. Is that a limitation for adoption going forward? And how do you see expanding our CATV in the hospitals that don't have PERT teams?
Go ahead.
Do you want to go for it?
Well, first of all, not every center did. The majority of centers did have a PERT team. And I think that with the new PRISM program with PERT, we will be expanding the number of centers really around the world. So PERT started in the United States. we now have PERT international. So we already have 12 countries, and we have, I think, 50 more that are waiting to sign up. And when you think about PERT teams, even if somebody does not have a formalized PERT team, I think the way that people think about treating PE is very different because it's not -- most places is not one person making that decision, it's more than one. So right, it's the ER doctor that sees the patient and calls the interventionalists or the ER doctor sees the patient calls the IC person. So even though they might not call it a formal PERT, it's not one person. So I do think that this can be adopted. Whether centers are calling themselves PERT or not, I do think this opens the opportunity to allow people to think about adopting PERTs and actually formalizing those very easy to do. And again, the PRISM program is really going to help us with that.
And if I can add, having a PERT program was not a requirement for this trial. It wasn't really even a consideration. It just is data we collected. And the second thing I'd mention is that when we talk about the PERT consortium, that's a formal consortium and this formal recognition of programs. But the term PERT is a vernacular term that everybody that does PE uses now. So if there's just 2 doctors in a hospital working together, they call themselves PERT. That doesn't even mean that they're registered with the consortium. So we look at it, it's a vernacular term that's used widespread. So I don't -- just again, to emphasize, we did not seek anybody out that had PERT team is just the way they define themselves.
And it stands for -- I think everybody knows this, but pulmonary embolism response team. So as long as there's a team at the institution to take this on, they should be able to sort of triage patients and determine the appropriate course of treatment.
But again, just to reiterate, you didn't have to have a PERT. And if you think about it, when PEs are identified, they're not identified, no offense, by the interventionalists, right? They're identified in the ER, they're identified on the wards, the internal medicine, hospitalist, pulmonary. So automatically, it's more than one person. So even though it's technically called a PERT team, that is what they're doing.
Next question. Do you want to -- yes. But after this, we have to go to the back a little bit.
Rich Newitter, Truist Securities. And congrats on the data. Just one, were you surprised by anything positively or negatively in the data relative to what your expectations were? And I'm going to -- well, let me let you ask that, and then I have one that I wanted to ask about.
So I, for one, I think I mentioned this on the podium earlier today. I was really impressed with the safety profile. And I think that, that was something that we were obviously all optimistic, but the fact that this was a new technology, the fact that we all on the trial leadership believed in the technology and the fact that we were able to get it into the operator's hands with almost no experience, and it had such a high safety profile. That was the most impressive data. We were all optimistic that we were going to show that removing the clot out of the heart was going to offload or take the strain off of the right heart the safety profile was just so impressive and so uniform that was -- it was very pleasing to see with a novel technology.
I want to -- for those of you who weren't in the room watching the presentation, that was actually highlighted not even by people in the trial, but by Dr. Simski who wasn't in the trial, but was one of the moderators of this session. And he commented on that safety profile and the fact that with very little experience, this could -- the operators could have these results. He then asked the question, does that mean that this can democratize the procedure at a pace that's much faster? So somebody who's not associated with trial has a desire for it to be successful, if you will, had that observation in real time. That was great and a pleasant surprise because I think that's how we have felt about this technology. That was the point of developing this technology to make it not only faster but safer, and to see that obvious in the presented data, I think, meant a lot to us. So thank you.
Control arm, the anticoagulation arm did. Were you surprised at all by the amount of benefit and RV to LV ratio in that arm of the trial? And how does that stack up to kind of real-world experience?
Yes. So we know that anticoagulation works very well. That's why it's the mainstay of therapy. There was a trial that we did with a few years ago where we looked at the thrombus burden decrease from when they got the anticoagulation plus this TAF inhibitor. And we found that it was -- that was a negative trial, a different trial. But in that trial at 24 hours, there was a 40% decrease risk in thrombus burden in anticoagulation arm and the other arm. So we were not surprised to see that there was going to be a decrease. We were hoping that there would be. It's just a dramatic difference between the CAVT arm plus anticoagulation versus anticoagulation alone. We know anticoagulation -- anticoagulation doesn't cause the thrombus to decrease. It's your own body of resorbing that clot, Anticoagulation is preventing you from getting new clots. So over time, we do expect that to happen. And we often see anticoagulation making relief, but not to the degree that, that combination did. So I wasn't surprised to see that. In fact, I'd be shocked if there was no change with anticoagulation alone we were looking to see if there was a significant decrease and there was by over 2.3%.
Rich, can you comment because we've spoken offline about this about the quality of the anticoagulation delivered as part of this trial. And how it compares to other anticoagulation trials and then how it compares to your practice as a hematologist of whether or not this level of quality of anticoagulation is representative of real-world patient care. And then how you can impute the results.
If you were at the presentation, you saw that Rob put up a slide where 80% of patients had full dose anticoagulation at 48 hours. That is pretty remarkable because in general, the way this country -- world treats PE, a lot of people use unfractionated heparin versus logran fracturing heparins through the IV, you have to follow levels. And we've done studies in our own institution where we found that at 48 hours, less than 50% of people were fully anticoagulated. So if you can't even get these people with pretty high-risk PEs fully anticoagulated, we're in trouble. And we are not the only ones who have done that.
So the fact that this trial was able to get -- make sure that people will fully anticoagulated, we've moved away from unfractionated heparin, we're now doing heparin, so we're getting more and more people therapeutic. But I think this is one of the strengths of this trial is that there was no difference in that quality of getting people fully anticoagulated. Because if there was, that would have been a real confounder, we would not have been able to say this is what we found, and this is the reason. So we've taken that off the table.
And also, it was exactly a benefit of this study that for the first time, there was a direct comparison to optimal anticoagulation. Because until now, studies said with the catheter, the thrombus was effectively removed, and that was great. but no one knew how things would have happened if there was also an arm that was a control arm. And this shows that optimal anticoagulation also works, I mean, in some patients, but the difference was of a factor between 2.3 and 3:1 depending on which parameter you were looking at, which is quite remarkable. That means as many as 3x more patients can benefit from that in as many as 3x more patients, you can prevent the compensation or you prevent death. 48 hours later, you know, but in the beginning, you don't know who of those patients who will be treated with anticoagulation alone and again, we are talking about severe PE here, right? We're not talking about pulmonary embolism. Who of them will survive, who of them will decompensate. So the difference itself is something which is now shown for the first time directly. Until now, there were comparisons to historical controls, which are not correct or comparison to what many people thought that anticoagulation would achieve. And in real life, that's also the problem. As was highlighted, anticoagulation is bad. I mean, all those of us who are doing we've been in ICUs, and we know that achieving therapeutic anticoagulation within 6 hours approximately as was in this trial is totally utopic. I mean, in most cases, you achieve it within 24 to 48 hours. That's unfortunately realized. Anticoagulation is difficult even with low molecular weight heparins, it's getting a little better.
Next question
Brandon Vasquez from William Blair. I wanted to go back to a question from the start of the conversations on kind of the enrollment criteria. You made a comment that some patients were either too healthy or too sick. Can you spend a minute on rough proportions of how many were healthy, too healthy, too sick and then where those patients are going after? Are they getting maybe the sick patients are getting mechanical thrombectomy anyway. And then maybe we've talked a lot about this being a foundation. Outside of commercial execution, I assume there's more clinical data to build on this foundation. What are the clinical data sets to expect next? And what are kind of the time lines for those?
I'll take a stab at that. So patients who were more symptomatic or more ill than the patients that we enrolled in this trial would be widely considered to be high risk or the highest risk. Those mortality rates are as high as 25% in that cohort. There are guidelines that say those patients need to be reperfused immediately. And there's a multitude of different options available to that. So it's not necessarily ethical to randomize those patients to anticoagulation alone, all right? We were looking for a very uniform cohort because we were trying to really demonstrate this treatment effect. And as Rachel clearly stated, these patients got best-in-class anticoagulation strategy, all right? And so we showed that we were superior best-in-class anticoagulation strategy. To do that, we needed a very uniform cohort in terms of symptoms in order to demonstrate that. The more that we allowed a very heterogeneous patient population in, it would question the durability of the results or the applicability of these results here. So again, the fact that it took screening 7 patients to enroll 1, we were enrolling the right patients to demonstrate the treatment effect in a specific risk categorization against best medical therapy. I hope that answers your question.
What about the other end sectors [indiscernible]
So we did not study the minimally symptomatic patients. These patients were very sick as demonstrated not only by a very abnormal size of their right ventricle on the CAT scan, but also that their blood work showed that their heart was under significant strain. So these are the patients that are right under that high-risk category. And still to this day, in 2025, the guidelines say they should be treated first with anticoagulation alone. And so that's the cohort that we wanted to study here. Obviously, future trials can and will randomize patients that are much less symptomatic to try and demonstrate benefit for that. But we were studying a very specific cohort of patients in this trial.
Mostly because this has not been looked at. And again, if you look at the guidelines, it was a huge gap in care that we have now filled.
And just to clarify for everybody, that is the group of patients that we've been talking about, which is the acute intermediate high-risk PE patients that were what were matched up in both arms to then determine the treatment effect of both therapies.
Sure. Right.
Mike Kratky from Leerink. A lot has been asked about the different new physicians and centers using mechanical thrombectomy versus the existing ones. As we think about the near-term additional impact from a commercial standpoint, where do you expect to see that come from between new physicians versus existing ones that are now more comfortable using this in that intermediate high-risk bucket.
Can I -- I think there's -- we have to talk about what physician groups we're talking about -- we're not so much talking about intervention list at that level. And I want to make sure that I heard the question right. I think most interventionalists would treat any of these patients that are referred to them. I don't -- I'm not aware of interventionalists who would say, an ER doctor or pulmonologist refer a patient to be treated and they said, you know what, I'm not going to treat them. But I could be wrong. So what we're really talking about is the group of physicians who are seeing them on the front line. And I don't think one can judge sort of their reaction. I mean we just have to educate what the data is, but I could be wrong.
No, I would agree with that. I mean, I think when we -- when you think about who the first person has seen -- if -- are you asking in general providers? Or are you asking interventionists specifically and how we're going to get this message out to interventional or how we're getting it out to non-interventionalists?
[indiscernible]
Yes. Yes. Yes. Well, I think an earlier question was asked very similar to where it's about education, right? And if you go back to the stroke data and where we've come with stroke, if you look at the first, even MI and stroke, how many years it took to get the first person thinking about something to do interventional, it was like 20, 30 years. ULTIMA trial was...
30 is about right.
Okay. 30. ULTIMA was 10 years ago. So in 10 years, we have like closed that gap. So it's all about education. And I think one of the things that I mentioned is the PRISM program, which is being by [indiscernible], Penumbra is one of the sponsors of that program, but I really think it's about education and thinking of where are those front lines. In the front lines as the ER doctors, the front lines are the hospitals in internal medicine folks pulmonary critical care, and it's targeting those people and really educating them. And it's about educating PE in general, right, because there are so many -- PEs in the hospital a lot. So I think it all goes down to education and figuring out all these different venues through that's where that's going to happen. And we've already done that through PERT, and we've already expanded that. So I think it's we already have kind of a platform for that.
Yes. The only final point I want to add to that is that these non-intervention are not going to now start doing mechanical thrombectomy, right? What this will then do is have them now refer the patient to the interventionist at their institution to now treat the patient with CAVT. And that's sort of the education and the awareness that is being done through this initiative and -- but feel free to add any...
So I'll just [indiscernible] slightly as an interventionalists. I think that interventionalists that have not previously treated acute pulmonary embolism will look at this trial data and look at the efficacy and the safety and the ease of use and think maybe I can participate, maybe I can get involved, maybe I should reconsider whether I'm going to participate in the care of these patients. I'm already getting contacts from my peer group around the United States saying that data is pretty impressive. Let's talk when you get back to in New York. So I think that the safety and the efficacy are going to resonate with a lot of interventionalists that previously had not considered getting involved with this work.
Okay.
Thank you, Mike Sarcone, Jefferies. Just a follow-up here on the interplay between this kind of cross-functional collaboration and like, call it, an official PERT team. I think the example was used, you could just have 2 doctors collaborating. I wonder if you could unpack how meaningful can adoption be if it is just kind of a loose collaboration versus do you really need more protocolized kind of systemic from the top down implementation of this.
I'll try that. So again, the statistics, the epidemiologic studies show that somewhere between 15% to 25% of all PE patients in the United States fall into this category, all right? And so I think this trial from a foundational point of view demonstrates that there is a therapy that is better than anticoagulation alone. I think you're going to see more frontline providers start to consider this as a therapeutic option. Interventionalists are going to be increasingly warming up to this. And I think you're going to see organically more and more partnerships form between noninterventionalists and interventionalists.
This is going to be organic. The same thing happened with stroke. Again, I think Adam spoke to that very eloquently. And I think you're going to see increasing adoption, increasing growth in the months and years to come. Obviously, Stavros mentioned that there's 3 other randomized trials underway. This is one giant step in the right direction to allow this technology to be offered in more patients around the globe.
I think we have time for one more question.
Dave Rescott with Baird. I wanted to ask about the technology itself, right? We've heard some feedback from physicians around having potential to do thrombectomy in some more of the tertiary centers, but they're referring those patients to maybe some centers that have higher volumes that are out there. And what we've heard even just post the data is that the potential to have more, I guess, tertiary is the word I'm going to use, centers doing this does fall back on maybe the ease of use of the technology and the understanding that they have been using this type of technology in other vascular states, which potentially means that the Penumbra technology itself, the size of the catheter is going to be the catheter driving that category adoption. So can you help us think about maybe the benefit that Penumbra has in driving this -- so the Penumbra catheter has in driving this expansion out there versus the broader kind of thrombectomy category.
I can -- I'll just start and Rob and others formulate their opinion. But your point is correct. We have products that work obviously in stroke and coronary for DVT and for arterial. And so fundamentally, the CAVT process is identical. So the experience that you can gain from one vascular bed can translate to the other. And I think that, that's a huge factor. In fact, we do have -- we have a lot of doctors who start -- because pulmonary embolism therapy in most people's mind holds a higher risk, a lot of people like to start in other areas, in DVT, for example, and they get their experience and their confidence. And the good news is in our other trials, we see similar complication rates and adverse events rates which are very low. So we do think that this is a very positive factor for us to be able to help democratize this procedure. And the use in other vascular beds is definitely a learning -- a confidence-building level for people when they get into pulmonary embolism.
So I'll expand on that a little bit. I think that the most common pattern right now in the United States is a more centralized approach to refer the patient to a tertiary center. It's all predicated on a, I would say, a moderate safety profile with the technology, which objectively was pretty crude. And so now that we have this, what I would say, is a very sophisticated or advanced technology and you have the safety data that we've shown today, you have the opportunity to explore expanding the footprint for patient access. Again, I'll say this a dozen times, this is one giant step in the right direction, to allow more and more patients to have access to this rescue therapy that is clearly showing to be superior to anticoagulation alone, but we have to generate more data and educate more and more patients and more and more providers across the country about it.
All right. Well, we're out of time. Thank you all for coming. And of course, thank the amazing PIs and steering committee for the work of designing and really executing on this trial. It's a great day for patients as we move forward. So thank you very much.
Thank you.
Thank you.
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Penumbra, Inc. — Transcatheter Cardiovascular Therapeutics (TCT) Conference 2025
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Kernaussage: STORM‑PE ist die erste randomisierte Studie seit >10 Jahren, die mechanische Thrombektomie (CAVT/Lightning Flash-System) direkt gegen Antikoagulation bei akutem intermediate‑high‑risk Pulmonalembolus vergleicht und zeigt eine schnellere sowie überlegene Entlastung der rechten Herzhälfte.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- Wirkung: Therapeutischer Effekt (RV/LV‑Reduktion ≥0,2) in 78% der CAVT‑Patienten vs. 52% mit Antikoagulation.
- Normalisierung: RV/LV ≤1 in 39% (CAVT) vs. 13% (Kontrolle) — schnelleres Herzentlasten statt Abwarten auf Verschlechterung.
- Device‑Differenzierung: CAVT nutzt einen algorithmusbasierten "flash"‑Flowregler; Management betont mögliche Alleinstellungsmerkmale gegenüber anderen Systemen.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Studienumfang: 767 gescreente Patienten, 100 randomisiert, 43 tatsächlich CAVT‑behandelt (≈7:1 Screening:Randomisierung); Safety: 2 MAE CAVT vs. 4 MAE Kontrolle (nicht signifikant).
- Weiteres: Funktionelle Endpunkte und Lebensqualitätsdaten folgen in den kommenden Wochen/Monaten; Publikation und größere Dissemination geplant.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- TAM & Adoption: Diskussion über Zielpopulation: intermediate‑high‑risk PE macht ~15–25% aller PE‑Fälle aus; Potenzial in Zehntausenden Patienten (US) — Aufklärung/PERT‑Netzwerke als Hürde/Multiplikator.
- Leitlinien & Evidenzniveau: Ein positives RCT reicht für Empfehlung; mehrere RCTs würden das Evidenzniveau (B→A) heben; Zeitplan der Leitlinienzyklen variiert.
- Generalisierbarkeit: Fragen zur Klassenwirkung anderer Geräte; Steering‑Committee weist auf mögliche Alleinstellungsfaktoren der CAVT‑Technologie und auf gute Erlernbarkeit hin.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: STORM‑PE liefert erste randomisierte Belege, dass mechanische Thrombektomie mit dem CAVT‑System gegenüber optimierter Antikoagulation eine schnellere und reproduzierbare Entlastung des rechten Herzens erzielt, bei vergleichbarem Sicherheitsprofil. Für Aktionäre bedeutet das: wissenschaftlich starke Basis für breitere Adoption, aber kommerzieller Erfolg hängt nun an Publikation, Guideline‑Übergang, Reimbursement und breiter klinischer Education.
Penumbra, Inc. — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Welcome, everyone. Patrick on the Medtech team. Thanks for coming again to second day of Morgan Stanley's Global Healthcare Conference. The best bit, disclaimers, morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. It's very exciting. I'm sure you'll all be going there imminently.
What is exciting is getting to have the PEN team here. So thank you so much, both Adam and Shruthi for coming as CEO and President now. Such exciting. Do you want to stop there? I mean, like that just seems like a natural place with a new title in that way. How did that come to be? And Adam, do we still have you for a while?
Well, are you trying to get rid of me or just the implication here. Listen, Shruthi joined us 13 years ago in the marketing team, having already had a pretty impressive career at another company where she started as an engineer, went into regulatory sales and has just excelled at helping build the company as it is today. The entire peripheral side was something she helped build from the ground up with others, but really instrumental and took over the whole interventional business a couple of years ago. So it's the natural progression. And she's respected and liked by really everyone in the company. It's great.
All right. I mean why don't we kick off from a particular area, STORM. Maybe for those just to level set people from your perspective, why this matters in PE, what this could end up doing for clinical management of patients with PE, just the overview of STORM from a clinical stand?
Yes. Great question. So on the STORM-PE trial, the first randomized controlled trial that will be comparing mechanical thrombectomy versus anticoagulation for the intermediate high-risk PE patient population. And this is a trial actually designed by a steering committee that was composed of both interventionalists and non-interventionalists. So if you're looking to answer the question, will CAVT show rapid right heart recovery and will it be superior to anticoagulation with no increased safety risk?
Once you answer that question, it also looks at some of the secondary sort of endpoints around the quality of life, functional outcomes, things like that, that will also be interesting information to provide to both the interventionalists as well as the non-interventionalists. The patient population, if you talk about the numbers, it's about 157,000 patients that make up this group of intermediate and high-risk PEs.
And so I think it will be the first meaningful data set that provides answers for this important question given it's never been done before. If positive, it will then be information that institutions will be able to use. The PERT teams as they're called, are the PE teams within each hospital that are making treatment decisions for patients. And having this data will then hopefully provide the information they need for them to move advanced treatment up in the overall paradigm so that when a patient presents with a PE in the ER, they're actually referred on to the interventional suite for treatment as opposed to being sent back on anticoagulation.
I think I have a view on this. But from your perspective, how much of the clinical data in the market matter? Like how much attention is being paid by the docs? Like are they -- from your perspective within the trial, are they going to be like pulling apart RV/LV and like really trying to pull apart the details or just broad trial success. Is that going to be enough from your perspective to change guidelines?
I mean guidelines, I think, is -- it's a separate topic maybe because there's actually many different sets of guidelines and they're sort of on a schedule as to when they get updated. And so this will be one of the data sets that will help inform the guidelines for sure. And I think beyond that, it really comes down to at an institutional level, the folks that are involved in making the decision on PEs now have a body of data that actually shows that treatment with advanced therapy is beneficial with no increased safety risk.
Yes. I would just add exactly what you said, but one sort of additional point and that is this is the question that everybody, both on the interventional side and the non-interventional side have wanted answered. So it is important. This isn't, "Hey, let's make up some comparison that no one cares about." This is the question. And so we're lucky enough to be the first trial to finish and present that data. But there is some anticipation because everyone who -- whether they're interventionalists or somewhere in the path of care of these patients really want to know this answer.
Nothing like Level 1 evidence to change things? I mean -- so we'll get this in TCT.
Yes. And to clarify, I think we've said this now, but the TCT is going to have the primary endpoint, which is the one that matters, obviously, in terms of is it superior. The secondary endpoints, there was a -- they're back to back with VIVA, missed it because they had to go out 3 months, we weren't ready to submit those. So those are going to be presented again, of course, with the primary endpoint a week later at VIVA. So it's a little odd to split that up, but it's logical. I think, when it's all said and done, it will be pretty obvious.
Presumably, just anatomically, the RV/LV side, I know we don't want to speculate on the other endpoints. But if that's reading out very positively, you would expect some of the secondary endpoints to be in a pretty good spot as well, right?
Yes. Why don't we let the experts present the data.
That's reasonable. I feel that's reasonable. Maybe just -- again, I want to level set the room without using too many acronyms and people who might be less familiar, RV/LV and why that's the read and the primary endpoint, just to make sure everyone's level set on that side of things?
Yes. It's to basically show that a patient that suffers from a PE has an elevated RV strain or right heart strain. And so this just shows that you're able to normalize it by offloading the RV as they call it. And what that basically means is that you've released the strain on the heart, and so it's having to work less. And that's really what you're trying to do by quickly removing that clot, so there's less strain on the heart and the patient is able to sort of get back to oxygen saturation levels. And that's the most important question because if you don't have that and you don't have that immediate resolution, you can't really think about the rest of it, right? So that's the study was powered to answer that question.
And the response is usually pretty rapid as well, right? The RV/LV?
Yes, yes.
Extremely fast. It essentially is...
If the product works.
Yes, exactly.
Quickly, it's fast.
Yes. I mean I think we're at 10% penetration today. If you were in our seat, how would you envisage that changing on the assumption of broadly positive clinical data? How would you think about that over a multiyear time period?
Yes. I think like everything else, the data will be the first sort of the set of information that's rolled out to both the interventional community through their conferences as well as the noninterventional community through their conferences. As a reminder, the international KPIs of this trial are both the interventionists and the non-interventionalists. So they'll sort of help spearhead that effort of getting the information out. And once the different constituents have the information, they'll then go about within their institution to start updating the protocol. So that can take obviously, time for all that to play out.
You can maybe kind of reflect back on when MR CLEAN and some of the stroke trials came out back in the 2015 sort of time period and how that sort of started to make some change happen in the stroke field. So there are some parallels to be drawn because, again, it's the non-interventionalists that's sort of first seeing the patient, very similar to the noninterventional neurologists that were seeing the patient in stroke.
If we took that 2015 sort of adoption curve, are you saying that that's a reasonable parallel for us to use here?
I wouldn't jump in and only -- the difference is in stroke, they have this fundamental barrier of moving the patient. Where did they show up, what hospital, only certain numbers would do actually stroke treatment. Here, we really don't have that barrier. Almost all the centers where a physician -- I'm sorry, a patient would show up and is able to do this intervention. I'm sure there's some exceptions somewhere, but most are. And so that changes dramatically that curve and the time period and not to go from one to the other because you don't have to deal with a very impractical issue. So that is something we look forward to, and I think patients will benefit from.
One of the other key areas that gets brought up a lot is Thunderbolt, right? So maybe to the audience, give me a sense of what Thunderbolt is, why ingestion time matters, how you see that developing in the market?
Yes. Well, let me -- let's start back with the history for 2 seconds, and I hate to bore everyone here. But the company started with its first stroke product. Our catheter had an inner diameter of 0.041. We -- it worked. We were amazed. People were anxious that we could take a catheter that big up to the M1 because no one had done it before. We changed how catheters were made, made it softer and more flexible.
But the problem is, even though it was big, it was not big enough that it really quickly got ingested the clot. So we went bigger and again, had to make the catheter different and better. We went to 0.054, then we went to 0.060, then we went to 0.068 and then we went to 0.072, where we stopped. We stopped at 0.072, not because we couldn't make a bigger catheter and even a bigger catheter that tracked really well. We obviously can do that.
We stopped because aspiration works by the physics of it by having flow. And if you are occlusive or even semi-occlusive, you negatively impact the flow. And so a lot of other people who thought, "Oh, they stopped at 0.072. This is a business opportunity, might not have spent enough time with the basic physics." Because it -- and the data sets now are showing, "Okay, it doesn't actually do anything different." So we didn't do that.
But way back when we had an 0.072 and we've had a few versions, we started another project. And so the whole computer project was started for stroke. It happened to have gotten done and usable for the vascular, but it was started for the one issue that wasn't yet solved, which is we can now get catheters to the face of the clot, but ingestion times weren't good enough. We wanted ingestion time to get better and better consistently, not just 60% of the time. And so that project was started for stroke. It's obviously since been incredibly valuable in the rest of the body. But for that reason, we're excited, the field is excited, I think, because the idea of consistent ingestion times is still -- we are still chasing that, and we hope Thunderbolt might solve that.
One of the advantages would be an ability to drive some pricing given the time is brain and that side of things, and so that works. I mean, how are you thinking about that price push into the customers and their willingness to pay?
One of the things we've been known for over the almost 20 years of selling to these customers is we've always priced fairly. We don't take annual price increases and things like that. We want to price this so that the procedure as it is reimbursed, which is a good reimbursement, is profitable for the hospital because you can't ask somebody to do more and more if it's not profitable to the hospital, and that benefits patients.
So we have priced this. So we do well, which we're obviously doing, and the hospital can do well by increasing the number of patients they're doing. That's true in stroke. It's true in the peripheral. So we're pricing this in a way that if you, for example, use aspiration and a stentriever, which a number of people do, this will actually be cheaper than that combination by a little bit. And I think that kind of pricing thought is really important because it eases the way for a lot of people.
So for people who just use aspiration, it might be a little more than what they're used to. But it also -- if you look at -- all of the cases might not because the cases that aren't consistently easy, they might be at 50% or 60%. The other ones take additional stuff and energy, and this might even add out too. So I think there is a decent story that it helps the hospitals, which ultimately helps patients, and we do fine.
I was going to say, so you're saying maybe half of the cases are the more complex where...
Yes, something in that range.
Yes. And I think CAVT, they've also seen what CAVT has done in the rest of the body. It's certainly -- we changed the way physicians now think about treating clot in the rest of the body. So they're either in shared labs, hearing from their other counterparts and the hospital system as a whole has also gotten a better understanding of what CAVT can do. So I think that certainly also would help.
I mean for the whole construct of most of the areas you operate in, the hospitals have pretty good margin structures already today, right?
In our thrombectomy business, things are well reimbursed.
Yes, which basically helps drive adoption.
Yes.
Yes. Okay. That makes sense. I mean on Thunderbolt, how are you thinking about that adoption curve? How are you thinking about communicating to the customer base, CAVT and like the benefits, if you like?
Yes. I mean we're -- it's -- neuro is small. So everyone talks to each other. No one doesn't know that Thunderbolt is coming. We have -- launching products in neuro is different than the much larger peripheral vasculature. So I think we got this. We have only about 20 years of experience.
Switching then to Ruby XL, which is going to help you. Basically -- go to the 20% of the market, you basically don't have a lot of exposure about -- on that side of things. How do you think about the rollout there? How do you think about the adoption curve, initial discussions, everything on Ruby would be great?
Yes. I can take that. So on the Ruby XL product line, what it's really meant to do is now have an embolization coil line for the larger catheter profile. So we've had our embolization coils in the smaller catheter profile and actually the market-leading coils, and we've had that since about 2013 for the rest of the body.
We've taken a lot of the same features and brought it to the larger catheter market, which is about 20% of the embolization market as a whole, like you just said. And the thing about it is there have been a couple of other options that have existed, but they've existed for 10-plus years. So there's been not a lot of innovation. So physicians have been very eager to see some innovation in the space.
And from some of the early feedback, it's been very positively received. We also, at the beginning of the year, in order to have our existing team focus on the CAVT opportunity with all the sort of share gain we were seeing, decided to bring on a new team to take on embolization as a whole so that both of the teams can focus in on those areas and continue to service the demand of our customers. So we got sort of lucky with the timing of Ruby XL getting cleared when it did. So this new team that's now onboarded and up and running are also introducing a new product to their customers, which is kind of a nice spot for them to be in.
I have to say we brought on this amazing group of people that come from spaces like AAA, TAVR and other embolization companies, and they've all -- it's been awesome to just bring on a team here that's out there executing on this launch.
AAA is a tough market. I can imagine they're pretty happy to be somewhere else. To your point, that was the 50 new reps on that side. Is it that we just have a lot in the chamber when it comes to innovation, and therefore, it would just make sense just to specialize the bag just that a little bit more. Is that the crux of the decision?
Yes. Even without that, it made sense, but we have that, as we've alluded to and you just acknowledged. So it really would be hard to do it all and do it with the same focus. What I would say, and to me, any time you do something like this, hiring, expanding your sales force, we have done that. So we've gotten relatively used to it and how to talk about it internally and all.
But doing something like this where you're taking away an entire product portfolio that many of these people built from the ground up, it's tricky, and we spent some time. I had some anxiety about it. I will tell you, Shruthi and [indiscernible], the Head of Sales for Peripheral, really had this down, and they have navigated sort of the communication and the execution around this in a way that is -- it's incredibly impressive. No real big anxiety, a lot of excitement, a lot of like, "Oh, we can do better collectively." It's pretty impressive. And I think it will lay the groundwork for a while because we didn't have that kind of morale issue that usually comes from taking something away.
Yes. It seems like how about communication actually practically work? Was it essentially saying this is just going to be more of an opportunity to focus. And I know that as a company anyway, you guys run more of a like stable total comp system, if you know, rather less variability for some -- in some ways. So like did that help? Like how did the communication work into the reps exactly?
Yes. I mean our -- huge kudos to our sales leaders for doing it the way we did. But yes, if you look at the CAVT opportunity and the team knows because we've been called in for arterial cases, venous cases, PE cases, then you -- and coronary cases and then you add on top of that all these embolization cases, there's -- in order to really be able to focus, in order to continue to see that share shift happen, it needed us to be able to go do this. And so there was that conversation.
And like we always do, we're going to continue to keep innovating in all the areas that we're in. And a lot of our reps know that. They've been here and seen that. We also kept our sales leadership structure the same. So our CAVT representative and the embolization representative reporting to the same manager. So that also helps with sort of that cross-pollination and keeping it all sort of through Penumbra spirit, if you will. So I think it's worked out great so far, and we're continuing on the journey here.
Yes. It probably helps to have new innovation you talked about across every division, right? So...
It does not hurt.
I mean on that point, like R&D in general, like we had chatted about that being kind of your favorite people for both of you internally...
You can't say that in a public forum.
My words, not yours. Some of your favorite people. I mean they're the ones that give you the ammunition anyway. And what do you put down for that, like keep that culture, that sort of slightly entrepreneurial spirit? Like how do you keep that going in a company that's got a lot bigger over the years?
That's -- it's a great question, how to keep it going. Of all the things I worry about, I don't worry about that for the simple reason that it is just so ingrained in -- I mean, one could screw it up by demanding different behavior, but we're not going to do that. And we have created an environment around innovating, which means it sometimes messy time frames and schedules are not always perfect. But we don't innovate to that. We innovate to really focus on the products, doing something that nothing else does.
And we have a team, a lot of experienced people, a lot of younger people, the way it all works, it's kind of magic. And anyone who wants to spend time, I love doing that, not to learn about the specific products, but obviously, that's not something we share. But what the thought process is, what the culture is, how does that work. We've done that for some, and it's people walk away pretty jazzed about that. And I wish I could take some credit for it. It is just a remarkable group of people who have dedication to making something better than it exists today to treat a serious disease, and that's noble work.
I'm a finance guy at the end of the day, so I'm going to have to ask a couple of what Musk described as boring bonehead questions. So inevitably, I'm going to have other question. I mean the guide implies a bit of a decel in the second half. Like how much is that a sort of conservatism just sort of -- I'm not going to say calm before the storm cheesy like that. But you know what I mean, like how much is that relative to what you're seeing in the market?
Well, we put out a guide at the beginning of the year. Nothing has fundamentally changed other than we raised it a little bit to match the beat. So none of this is new information. This is how we're guiding. I think we obviously did learn our lessons from a year ago, and we're going to try to be more disciplined in that.
And if you were asked, like you've got a number of catalysts, obviously, heading into next year. But what would you think of as the base sort of thought process around growth for the next couple of years? You mean like a slightly more midterm.
Yes. Well, I'm not obviously going to give a specific number, but I will tell you, in addition to the catalysts you pointed out, we also don't have the headwind of China that we had this year. It's much more a teeny number comparatively. So it won't be that kind of headwind. So I think in terms of a percentage growth rate, that obviously takes into account those things.
When you step back from the specific numbers, I think it's pretty obvious to sense that we have a lot of confidence in the momentum. The products in arterial and VTE, now in our embolization business on the neuro side, obviously, the Thunderbolt coming, Red 43 Silver Label and now the emergence of MMA cases with our unique coil that isn't shaped that can seemingly have a unique place in treating a large number of people, almost thought to be bigger than cerebral aneurysms, we're in a pretty good spot, and we have a fair amount of momentum going into next year. I think that's a fair statement.
You feel like the U.S. VTE market has been incredibly strong for a long period of time. Is there any reason that anything would derail that? Like how do you feel about that midterm as well?
Yes. Well, so the VTE market is made up of PE and DVT. We just spent a bunch of time talking about PE and what that looks like. DVT is sort of this interesting part of it that is not always talked about as much. There is obviously data that's already been out there that treating iliofemoral DVT is appropriate, which is why we're treating some of them.
But I think the size of that opportunity from a pure number standpoint is the biggest one. And we've been working with hospitals around the clinical -- with clinical data that we've gotten from Vizient on what does that look like clinically if you're treated with CAVT and then what does it look like from a health economic standpoint, and it's a pretty compelling argument. So we have to add that into the work we're doing, which we are, and I think we can make a huge impact.
I think it is starting to become obvious to physicians that technology and products matter. They're not all the same. You can't have a catheter in a syringe or a catheter in a pump and say they're all the same. And technology is going to start to really play an outsized role in differentiating how patients are treated. And I think that's shown up in the last 3 quarters in our numbers, and I think it will likely continue.
As an outside observer, at least for me, I felt like that was a slightly bizarre obsession with comparing and contrasting the different players in the market. Do you feel that way too and the people want to be fixated on the competitive environment relative to the data?
Yes. It's an understandable practice. I mean when one is competing, we could get fixated on it. It's part of the process. That's not how we feel right now because the product is doing well. It's got a lot of momentum. People are trying it, they're using it, they're excited. And as I said, we're not done innovating. So when we can keep adding to the core element of how to do this faster and more effectively, I think it's going to be hard to catch up at some point.
I mean it's the truth for pretty much all of my companies, but the vast majority of the discussion ends up being U.S.-based. But I'm curious like how you're viewing the OUS. And if you could split it, I guess, has developed and sort of more emerging but how you view that opportunity?
I'll briefly -- and you can add. So the last 1.5 years plus, we've sort of taken the time, really 2 years to deal with some things that over time has sort of evolved and changed. The markets have changed their reimbursement, so we weren't profitable anymore and this has changed and economies have changed in certain countries that have lowered reimbursement.
So we had to sort of deal with that. Now we're not new to the international markets. We've been selling internationally for 18 plus, 19 years. We have people all over the world. We have a fairly good understanding as one can have. So I think we've done a lot of that hard work. I think last quarter started to show the beginning of that in our international business. I would expect that would continue as we move into this new phase with all of our franchises, not just the core thrombectomy franchise that we've talked about. So I feel pretty good about it.
That being said, obviously, the reimbursement, the price point, the scale of the U.S. business and our footprint here is going to be bigger than the other places.
Have you found like any of the systems is particularly more user-friendly from a manufacturer standpoint flowing into them like any of the individual countries or regions have been better to do business in from your perspective than others?
Yes, but it changes over -- like if I look back over the last 10 or 15 years, it ebbs and flows, it changes. And that sort of makes sense. Economies change, politics change. So you have to be nimble. And I think we've learned how to do that over the last number of years and not settle in to just expect it to be one way because it's not. And I think that will put us in a pretty good spot going forward.
Yes, we have the team, like Adam said, the distributor partners for many years and then the ability to sort of stay fluid as the landscape keeps changing and focusing in on the latest technology where we're able to get the reimbursement and kind of work through those processes. It takes time. But at the same time, I think we're -- we feel good about the last 18 months of work that's been put in and trying to see the impact of some of that.
You guys do a reasonable number of investor meetings and you get probably the same questions over every analyst of which I have asked there, so apologies. But anything like -- what are you surprised you don't get asked about? Like what should I be asking me that I'm not? Like I'm sure that the internal focus on things isn't necessarily was matching the external fixation on different things. So like to your mind, like what doesn't get asked?
Yes, it's a good question. I think we covered -- I mean, usually, it's how do we stay so innovative that you actually did ask that, which I appreciate. We are -- I think we covered a lot of the ground. I think the fields we're in are not insignificant. I think it is -- it's an interesting time because of the launch of Ruby XL on the embo side and the focus with the sales force and the neuro interest around M&A is that our embolization business is going to have a good run. That should be, I hope, viewed as a good thing, not -- it's accretive. It's not going to hurt us. It should be good.
So I'm excited that we can have a positive impact on some areas that we weren't otherwise in, at the same time, having a real likely moment around some of these disease state on thrombectomy.
I think we'll all be looking forward to TCT. Adam, Shruthi, thank you so much. Really appreciate it.
Thank you.
Thank you. Appreciate it.
Thanks for having us.
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Penumbra, Inc. — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Takeaway: Penumbra betont klinische Katalysatoren (STORM‑PE‑RCT, Präsentation der primären Endpunkte bei TCT), Produktinnovation (Thunderbolt, Ruby XL) und eine Vertriebsaufteilung, um CAVT‑Wachstum (catheter aspiration thrombectomy) voranzutreiben. Management signalisiert Momentum, aber vorsichtige Guidance‑Disziplin.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- STORM‑PE: Erste randomisierte Kontrolle, die mechanische Thrombektomie vs. Antikoagulation bei intermediär‑hohem PE‑Risiko vergleicht; primärer Endpunkt ist Normalisierung des RV/LV‑Verhältnisses (Rechts-/Linksventrikelverhältnis).
- Produktpipeline: Thunderbolt zielt auf konsistente Thromben‑Ingestion (kürzere Eingriffszeit); Ruby XL erweitert embolische Coil‑Linie in größeren Katheterprofilen.
- GTM‑Organisation: Trennung der Teams für CAVT und Embolisation, neue Außendienstmitarbeiter und gezielte Rollouts zur Beschleunigung der Marktdurchdringung.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Neu: Konkrete Präsentationsplanung: primärer Endpunkt bei TCT; sekundäre Endpunkte folgen bei VIVA eine Woche später. Keine grundsätzliche Änderung an der Guidance außer kleiner Anhebung zur Anpassung an das Beat‑Ergebnis; Management nennt internationale Erholung als beginnendes Positivsignal.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Adoption: Wie stark kann sich die ~10%‑Penetration bei positivem STORM‑Ergebnis beschleunigen? Management sieht Parallelen zu Stroke‑Adoption, erwartet aber schnelleres Rollout wegen weniger logistischen Barrieren.
- Ökonomie: Pricing‑These für Thunderbolt: fair bepreist, hospitalökonomisch attraktiv gegenüber Kombinationsverfahren; Zahlungsbereitschaft hängt von konsistenter Leistungsverbesserung ab.
- Vertrieb: Warum Split der Teams? Zur Fokussierung auf CAVT‑Wachstum und gleichzeitiger Stärkung der Embolisation‑Starts (Ruby XL) ohne Führungswechsel.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Bewertung: Relevante klinische und kommerzielle Katalysatoren (STORM‑PE, Thunderbolt, Ruby XL) rechtfertigen Aufmerksamkeit; kurzfristig bleiben Risikoquellen Zeitplan für Leitlinienanpassung, Marktdurchdringung und internationale Erstattungsentwicklung. Für Aktionäre: positiver Katalysator‑mix, aber Adoption und Reimbursement entscheiden über Tempo und Nachhaltigkeit des Wachstums.
Penumbra, Inc. — Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
All right. Good morning, everyone. I'm Larry Biegelsen, the medical device analyst at Wells Fargo. And it's my pleasure to host this fireside chat with the management team from Penumbra.
With us, we have Adam Elsesser, Chairman and CEO; Shruthi Narayan, newly-appointed President; Jason Mills, Head of Strategy; and Cecilia Furlong, Head of Investor Relations.
The format is fireside chat. If anyone has a question they want to ask, just raise your hand and we will call on you.
So Adam and Shruthi, thanks so much for being here.
Yes. My pleasure. Thanks for having us.
So let's start with a few big-picture questions. So Adam, what's the state of the union for Penumbra today? How are you thinking about how the company will evolve, call it, over the next 3 to 5 years?
Well, the state of the union is in really good shape. Do you want to share what the next few years look like?
Yes. We're very optimistic about the next 5 years, well poised, continued innovation that has been sort of at the core of Penumbra. We'll continue to see new products to be launched. And we've talked about that as one of sort of the core aspects of what we're focused on.
Beyond that, ensuring we have the right sort of commercial footprint to not only take advantage of the sort of large CAVT opportunity that is -- we're in the midst of. But through some of the recent developments, also focusing on our embolization opportunity where we do have the market-leading products but still a lot of opportunity to grow that franchise. So we're sort of making sure we have the commercial footprint to really service the demand of our customers.
And then we've also alluded to the clinical data and the market access initiatives, which are really meant to focus in on answering some of the questions that either the interventional or the noninterventional community is looking for, in order to really penetrate in these areas. So you'll see that play out over the next few years.
And then, of course, doing all of this with having a good focus on profitability. And so I think that sort of becomes the next phase of how we're poised as a company, and we're pretty excited about that.
That's helpful. So Adam, you appointed Shruthi, President, last week, I believe. Why was this the right time to create a president role? I know you have had one in the past. And how are you thinking about succession planning at Penumbra?
The right time. If anyone who -- within the company or our customer base, knows Shruthi, it was without a doubt the right time. We're at the beginning of a huge amount of opportunities. We've talked about that over and over again, with the products and the data and so on that Shruthi has talked about. Shruthi has been one of the core architects, drivers of that work. And it really is just an acknowledgment, a recognition and an opportunity to give some more work to do that.
In terms of ultimate succession, I'm not going anywhere, I'm only 64 years old and feeling great. But you can assume and we certainly take succession in the same methodical approach that we do our innovation and anything else in the company. And so obviously, there is a lot of thought, but right now, it's just the 2 of us helping grow this thing to its fullest potential.
Got it. That's helpful. So let's transition to some of the growth drivers Shruthi talked about. You raised the 2025 -- let's talk about the second half outlook. You raised the 2025 revenue growth guidance after the Q2 report. It implies low teens revenue growth in the second half of the year. By our math, that's a little bit of a deceleration from the kind of mid-teens growth in the first half of the year. Why would second half growth slow given that the comps get a little bit easier, I believe?
Yes. I think as you commented on, Larry, we already updated our guidance this year, and we just don't want to get ahead of ourselves. So that's what you see reflected in the math there. And Adam, I don't know if you have any other color to add, but...
Yes. I think it's that simple.
You think it's that simple. Okay. Got it. And I just wanted to just check, when we're thinking about underlying growth, I think you've said China is about a $50 million headwind this year. So the underlying -- the guidance of 13% to 14% underlying is more like 17% to 18%, is that a fair way to look at it?
Yes, the number is a little over $40 million, not $50 million. But yes, that conceptually is the direction.
Okay. Shruthi, you talked about clinical data, you guys have talked about STORM-PE being an important potential catalyst for your business. So what -- help us set investor expectations or what we should expect to see? And which study endpoints you think physicians are likely to focus on? We're going to see the data at TCT, I think, in October.
Yes. So just to level-set, STORM-PE is the first randomized controlled trial comparing mechanical thrombectomy versus anticoagulation in the intermediate high-risk PE population. And so this is a question that the noninterventional community has been looking to have answered.
And we ran this trial together with PERT Consortium, so sort of the leading society that's centered around PE. So we designed the trial to focus on answering the question of: is mechanical thrombectomy superior to anticoagulation? And if we can show that through the results of STORM, it then starts to get the noninterventional community to feel good about referring those patients onto the interventionalists for treatment.
Beyond that, there's a ton of sort of secondary endpoints that will also inform how these patients do over time, some of the quality of life, functional outcomes, things like that, that will also be interesting and haven't really been talked about before. And so I think those are the factors that we're looking to highlight through the results of STORM. And if positive, I think it could be a really important pivotal moment for the field, and get different hospital systems rallying around how do we now go and address PE in a real way.
TCT will be -- we had the primary endpoints ready and got that got accepted to TCT. We also will have more additional endpoints presented at VIVA as well, which is the following week. So it's going to be a nice, busy fall, I would say, with data sets that will be highlighted in the PE space.
In addition to all that, you'll also see some of the STRIKE-PE data that's gotten accepted to both TCT and VIVA, which will also be important questions that the -- for example, in the high-risk PE population, there's another late-breaking session at TCT that will highlight that data set.
So will we see secondary endpoints from STORM-PE at TCT or not?
We'll see those at VIVA. You'll see the primary endpoints at TCT and then the other outcomes at VIVA.
And the primary endpoint is improvement in RV/LV ratio. I know it's -- the design paper is in the public domain. We've had a chance to read that. I guess the question is, do you think that it's important to show a benefit on some of these secondary endpoints, like quality of life, potentially mortality, or is RV/LV ratio improvement enough?
Yes, great question. The RV/LV ratio is really the point around you have a strained right heart, if you can show rapid right heart recovery, without increased safety risk, that is the most important question that you're trying to answer in this patient population. Beyond that, all the other outcomes then start to add to it. But this is the most important question that the experts in the field think need to be answered in order to have the rest of the discussion.
Let me just push back a little. If you show a benefit on RV/LV ratio but not on the other endpoint, could these referring physicians say, "So what?" You know I mean? If you're not improving quality of life or outcomes, RV/LV, what's the benefit of just improving RV/LV ratio?
Yes. I think it's going to be -- going to need to be both. But I think what -- you can only have the conversation around the quality of life and functional outcomes if you show that you've attained rapid right heart recovery without an increased safety risk, right? That's the first question has to be answered before you can have the rest of the discussion.
We've talked about this a lot. This, like going back to the original stroke trials and all, lots of discussion about what were the right endpoints and what would matter. And at the end of the day, the noninterventionalist community really drove those conversations.
So if you look at the steering committee for our trial, we had more noninterventionalists on the steering committee than interventionalists. So this is not a number deciding this. This is some of the world's big experts deciding this.
So my suggestion, and we've talked about [ to some degree ], let the experts present the data and let the experts talk about it, rather than second-guessing it. I think that's probably in the long run best for patients in this situation.
And let's frame the opportunity for STORM-PE. You presented last year, 2024, JPMorgan, 157,000 annual U.S. PE patients per year, only 11% get mechanical thrombectomy, and your share at the time was 20%. Of those 157,000 patients, how many are represented by STORM-PE? And help us think about, if the study is positive, what those metrics could look like, the penetration and share.
Yes. So a majority of those 157,000 patients are the intermediate, high-risk PEs, which were what was studied in STORM-PE. And so the penetration numbers are in that same ballpark, somewhere between 11% to 15% probably in terms of what is currently being done today. And like Adam alluded to, through a data set like this, if positive, very similar to what you saw happen in some of the stroke days when MR CLEAN came out, you'll start to see a shift in terms of patients being referred on for advanced therapy versus getting anticoagulation, and sort of build on that.
And I think the hospital systems will start to rally. A lot of them are already doing mechanical thrombectomy, but it isn't their sort of first-line option. And so I think the goal of the field and the PERT community will be to start moving this up in the paradigm if the results are positive.
How much of the 157,000, you said majority, and do you -- who's not represented, you get spillover? What I'm trying to think is you have a positive outcome here, you kind of get the rest of the 157,000 kind of by extrapolation.
Well, we've talked about this. So the patients that have more severe strokes -- or more severe PEs, are more of them are being treated now, because you have to do something quickly.
Right. Those are the massive...
Yes. So you're going to get that percentage of patients being treated today are more on that line than not. So this is pulling up the middle into that mix.
And share, the 20% is almost 18 months ago, where do you think your share is today?
It's hard to tell.
But higher than 20%?
Yes. Definitely. Obviously, over the last 3 quarters we're taking share.
No ballpark number for us?
It's hard to get numbers that are accurate enough and they're changing pretty rapidly. So we'll do that when we can. But I don't want to just be throwing out numbers.
Do you plan to have an investor event after one of these presentations?
We will definitely have at least one, if not 2, investor events after both.
And ASP, just so people are like putting TAMs around this, $10,000 a case, probably a good rough number?
A little less.
A little less?
Yes. $9,000 to $9,500.
Okay. And last -- I think last question on this. If you don't need FDA approval, so if there is a positive outcome, we should expect to see an impact fairly quickly? Is that the right way to think about it?
I think the way to think -- like you said, we're already indicated for the treatment of pulmonary embolism. At this point, the work will be with the hospital systems updating their protocols as they become aware of the data set, starting to sort of, like I said earlier, update their protocols and move mechanical thrombectomy and advanced therapy as their first line of treatment. And you'll see that start to happen.
And that's where the PERT Consortium will play an important role, to help raise that awareness amongst not only the interventional community, but also the noninterventional community, which encompasses, depending on the institution, but you have your pulmonologists, you have your ER physicians, ICU physicians, your hospitalists. All the different folks that are involved in sort of the care path of these patients are the ones that will need to sort of be made aware of these results. And that will sort of build over time.
That's helpful. All right. So let's switch gears. I do want to ask about the embolization opportunity. You mentioned that upfront. But I want to ask about stroke first. And there's a lot going on in stroke. I mean there's a couple of big questions here besides the Thunderbolt question.
I mean there's so many crosscurrents in this market right now. We heard from you the market was flattish in Q2. What's your strategy in stroke going forward? And how are you thinking about kind of the market recovering?
Yes. So our strategy in stroke has been what it has been over the extent of the past years, which is make sure we can get access to the clot as quickly as possible and then ingest the clot as quickly as possible. That is ultimately sort of a goal when you're treating these stroke patients. And there's been significant progress made. In fact, last quarter, the newest product in this category, the RED 72 SENDit Silver Label has had a really positive sort of response from our physician customers. And we saw that product then take share in Q2, and we expect that to continue.
The other sort of factor here is that some of the super-bore trial data have also started to come out, and I think the physician community has realized that that's probably not the direction the field is headed in, which then sort of poises the field well for what is the next sort of revolutionary innovation, and that's modulated aspiration. And that's what we're planning on introducing when it becomes available.
But we're really poised for setting that up well because you have now the catheter that can get access to the clot as quickly as possible, and then the next step of modulation to help ingest it as quickly as possible, will be sort of that 1-2 punch, if you will.
And then when you think about the market itself, stroke has these ebbs and flows over pretty much the time that we've been in this space. So it's not something that we think as like a unique trend that we saw recently or any of that. I think it's just some regular ebbs and flows of treating these patients. I think folks have alluded to some of the distal trials and whether that had had an impact.
Over here in the U.S., most folks have already moved away from stentrievers, and those trials were largely focused on stentriever. So I wouldn't say that we've seen it as a broad-based impact. There may be a handful of pockets here and there where maybe the referring neurologists had some questions. They talk to the interventionalist, they get those questions answered, and continue on to treat those patients.
In fact, if I may share, just about 1.5 months ago or so, I was visiting one of the high-volume institutions in the Northeast. And as we were there, a patient came in with a distal stroke. They went ahead and treated it and took out a 2.5 centimeter piece of clot, right, 1 inch of clot. So imagine if that were one of our family members and that patient wasn't going to get access to treatment, right? So that's not the real direction these physicians all see the value and obviously the impact to their patients.
And so I think the regular ebbs and flows is what you're seeing with stroke. That being said, Penumbra has been gaining share and growing above the market. And that's what we saw reflected in Q2, and we'll expect that to continue.
And so not to put words in your mouth, but to kind of summarize. Well, when I hear ebbs and flows, it makes me think maybe Q2 was one of those, I think, ebbs. And maybe was just kind of a temporary lull in the market and maybe the market...
People like Shruthi and I don't talk in quarters. We don't actually run a business that way, as you know. I think what we're talking about here is this is -- if you look at the last decade-plus, go back 20 years when we started in stroke, it has a certain rhythm. There are things that are similar. We're now facing in stroke some interesting times. You have the distal issue, which is getting an awful lot of interest and attention, which is a good thing right now.
We have a dinner symposium at SNIS, which we always have every year in different topics. And looking back more than 15, 20 years, we had more people come to this dinner symposium than any other one we've ever had. So there's a lot of interest in that topic in a positive way. So I think that's a good sign that people are trying to make sure that we don't forget these patients that can be -- can get benefited.
That being said, you alluded to, we have a bunch of different players. We are a more crowded field than we've ever had. And that creates less of competition, more just sort of noise. And I think we're seeing the beginning of that writing itself.
Why do people want a bigger catheter? Well, they want a bigger catheter because we, as a company, innovated from an .041 to an .054, to an .060, to an .068, to an .072, for the purpose of getting the clot out faster, every time. We stopped at .072, because if you go bigger, significantly bigger, to like an .088, you actually don't do that. You actually go backwards. Because aspiration, the physics of it works by having flow. And if you occlude or semi-occlude that flow, you actually reduce the aspiration.
We understood that physics some years ago, which is why, at .072, we started working on the original modulated aspiration system. Initially, we were doing it for stroke. It got cleared without a trial for the rest of the body and has had a huge impact. But that was the point, to improve or increase the speed of getting out the clot. And that's the goal. Get it there, get out the clot fast.
So I think we're pretty excited about what that future looks like. And once it's out there, I think the field will likely look a little different going forward.
And you said once it's out there. Remind us of when you think it's going to be out there?
Larry, good try.
You filed before the Q1 call. You said you had filed on the Q1 call, which was April. So at least know that you filed before that. Any update on kind of how it's progressing?
We're progressing as any project or any product we have ever submitted progresses. There is, as I've said before, an amazing group of folks in the neuro division. They're incredibly thorough. Doing things in the brain is different than in other parts of the body, and they're being really careful.
And shoot, I lost my train of thought. Well, let me just ask -- so it's not in the guidance. So if it got approved in '25, it represents a potential upside to '25.
It's not in our guidance.
And in the past, Adam, we've talked about, or Shruthi, the benefit to your business from Thunderbolt. And we framed it as kind of an ASP lift. I don't know if you go from, call it, $5,000, $6,000 a case to maybe $9,000, $10,000. Is there more to it than that? Does it accelerate the market? Does it help you get more share? Or is it just really a mix benefit?
I think it's -- personally, it's a combination of 2 things, maybe 3. Obviously, there's ASP lift for our current customers. And those who are using us but also using stentriever with us, it's actually a wash. So it's not more money. So that is a benefit.
I do think as the launch continues and word of mouth goes, and in neuro, word of mouth is very different than in peripheral because it's a much smaller community, so it travels faster, I do think there's likely going to be maybe not an insignificant movement or share shift as well. So I think you get those 2 benefits.
And then the unknown, but not -- but worth us paying attention to it, I wouldn't put it as something to yet see, is the possibility that it also could grow -- sort of reignite growth in the market, for a lot of different reasons, but we can go into those later. So I think there's a lot of opportunity with Thunderbolt.
And remind me, I think you've said ASP kind of slightly below $10,000 where you could go to. Where is the starting point per case right now?
Yes. Roughly about $5,000 or so, like you mentioned. But the point here is that a lot of times are using adjunct therapy like stentrievers or some of these other larger bore systems, guide catheters. So the total cost in the field today for stroke is sort of in that $10,000 to $12,000 range. And so where we land with Thunderbolt will be within that range. So as an institution, they're not spending a ton more. But at the same time, there's a real innovation here, and that's what that upcharge would be.
And look, a lot of neuro physicians have colleagues in the peripheral space. Sometimes they share angio-suite. So they're watching and have watched lots and lots of cases, thousands of cases where people are using Lightning Bolt or Lightning Bolt 6X in the legs and other parts of the peripheral.
So they're not unaware of this. It's not like, "Oh, I've never heard of it." And there are -- there's some excitement about it. And I think that will help us a lot, obviously.
Good. So before we get the future, the outlook, beyond '25, I wanted to ask one on embolization. So Shruthi, you talked about it earlier on. I think embo access in Q2 grew low teens. Ruby XL just starting to launch there. Is the business -- is that business on the cusp of a sustainable turnaround?
Yes. Great question, Larry. So the embolization franchise as a whole, maybe again to level-set, we have had the market-leading technology for embolization for multiple years. You have sort of these 3 configurations that you might hear about: the Ruby Coil, the POD Coil and then the Packing Coil. And they're available in those configurations with different catheter compatibility. So depending on whether the physician is using a smaller catheter or a larger catheter, they have these configurations available.
The most recent introduction is in the largest catheter platform, which is why then the coil is called Ruby XL and the POD XL and the Packing XL. And the idea there is now for your larger vessels, when you just want to be able to go in and fill spaces faster, you can just use the XL coil. It's about 20% or so of the overall embolization market that previously we weren't sort of playing in. And so that's what the XL opportunity is.
Now the reason we went about with adding the sales force that we did on embolization is that we saw the real opportunity on the CAVT side. We saw the share shift that was starting to happen. We had 3 quarters here of 40-plus percent growth in VTE. And so we wanted our existing team to really be able to focus on that remaining 90% of patients that don't yet have access to CAVT on the thrombectomy side. And so we took our existing team and focused in on that.
At the same time, like I said, we have these amazing coils that our physicians love. And so in order to continue to service the demand for those coils, we brought on a team, a really tenured team, I must add, a team that came from spaces like TAVR and other coil companies as well as sort of the AAA spaces. And so very tenured reps that are looking for stability in their careers, looking for a company that is going to add true innovation into the space. And so we brought on this amazing group of people in the first half of the year that timing-wise kind of worked out that we got XL cleared when we did because this new team now that has been trained is out there introducing a new product to our customers.
So I think with all that said, embolization is going to be something that you're going to see sort of continued ramp-up in. And I do think with XL being accretive to the corporate gross margin, it also changes up the conversation.
That's helpful.
I also want to add on the neuro side, and we've touched about this, the sort of interest now in treating MMAs and our products sort of having unique properties as a coil platform versus shaped coils that don't really work in that setting, has sort of opened up a possible -- certainly, we've seen some growth in it, but potentially a much larger growth opportunity. Not something I would say we were -- like we planned it. But as it developed, our technology is uniquely capable in that setting. And I think we're going to see that continue as well.
So it's not -- I won't say somewhat little happenstance, a little good luck. But yes, I do think our embolization platform in both neuro and peripheral will be a pretty positive thing for a while.
Good. Well, I wish we had an hour. Unfortunately, we only have 35 minutes. And you know I have to ask about next year. The Street is at -- I think -- well, you guided to 13% to 14% this year. We also already talked about China being $40 million plus headwind, that I assume you don't have next year. The Street is at 14% next year.
The question really is, underlying growth is like 17%, 18% this year, and you have these catalysts coming hopefully with Thunderbolt, hopefully, STORM-PE, no China headwind, or less certainly, why wouldn't next year be better, I guess is the question, than this year? Without giving a specific number.
If your definition of better is just what percentage, obviously, I'm not going to answer that. Everything you just said is though true. We are set up in a really good way. We're feeling pretty confident about the business as we move into not just next year, but the next years following up, for some of the technical reasons that you said. But from our vantage point, more importantly, from the reasons that drive us, which is the new innovation coming, the data coming, the things that we have invested in that I think will really ultimately help a lot more patients.
So yes, that's -- we've been saying that as a statement that we're in a pretty good position to help more and more people, not only next year but in the years beyond it.
And we do have a few minutes left. I want to give you a minute to touch upon the P&L as well. I know you've been making good progress on margin expansion. Talk about if you expect that to continue. Where does that come from? Gross margin, operating -- OpEx leverage? All of the above?
We're right on track, like we said, to exit 2026 at least 70%. I'm particularly proud of our team for that. Some of it is, of course, mix and some of it is efficiencies. And that's, of course, without adding our new facility that we're starting to build in Costa Rica, which will only add to that. So on the gross margin side, I think we're in pretty good shape. And I think our focus on increasing profitability has been obvious, and I don't think that will stop.
Okay. I want to -- we have 2 minutes left, so I'm going to come back to stroke. So large bore catheters and modulated aspirations, could those work together? In other words, could they be -- just why not do both? And on stroke, I had -- there was one other question, but I forgot. But so why not do both, combined?
So I'm not sure what specifically the question is.
Like .072 is as big as yours, the competition is going up to .088. Is it possible that .088 plus modulated could actually be good?
So let me just clarify. We have a pretty robust patent portfolio. So it's not likely that someone else can take on and successfully do modulated aspiration. So if that's the case, then the question is, would we make a bigger catheter? Why don't we wait and see how -- what we got works? And remember, there are lots of variables in -- when you use modulated aspiration catheter size is certainly possible, one thing. We've seen that in the peripheral where we went smaller with 6X. So we could go deeper into smaller vessels.
But we also have seen in changing and improving the algorithms. And that is a part of the future as well. So let's do all of that and we'll figure out the exact combination. But for somebody to buy our whole system and then buy someone else's system and pair them, they're not designed to work with other catheters. That would be a mistake.
All right. We're almost out of time, but I want to give you guys the last -- the final word here, if there's any closing remarks. Anything, Shruthi or Adam, we didn't cover that you want to highlight?
No, I think a lot of great questions today. I think we're poised, like I said at the beginning, for a really good phase coming up with continued innovation, the important data sets being added, having the team in the field and doing it responsibly. So I think that's sort of the next years for us, and that's what you can expect.
I agree with that.
Great. Adam, Shruthi, thanks so much for being here.
Thank you.
Appreciate it.
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Penumbra, Inc. — Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Überblick: Management sieht Penumbra in einer Übergangsphase zu kombiniertem Wachstum und Profitabilität: fortgesetzte Produktinnovation, Ausbau der kommerziellen Präsenz für CAVT und Embolisation sowie anstehende klinische Readouts (STORM‑PE primär bei TCT, Zusatzdaten bei VIVA).
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Führung: Ernennung von Shruthi Narayan zur Präsidentin als Management‑ und Nachfolgefokus; CEO betont methodische Succession‑Planung.
- Klinik & Marktzugang: STORM‑PE (randomisiert) adressiert intermed.-hochrisiko PE; STRIKE‑PE ebenfalls präsentiert; PERT‑Konsortium unterstützt Implementierung.
- Produkte & Kommerz: Modulated aspiration (Thunderbolt/Lightning Bolt) als wichtiges Produkt, Ruby XL für Embolisation, gezielte Sales‑Einstellung und Ausbau der Kommerzstruktur; neue Costa‑Rica‑Fabrik zur Margenverbesserung.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Guidance & China: Management bestätigt aktualisierte 2025‑Guidance; China‑Headwind etwa >$40M reduziert ausgewiesenes Wachstum.
- Data‑Timing: STORM‑PE Primärendpunkt wird bei TCT präsentiert; sekundäre Endpunkte bei VIVA; STRIKE‑PE ebenfalls im Herbst geplant.
- Produktstatus: Modulated aspiration wurde eingereicht, ist nicht in der Guidance und könnte bei Zulassung 2025 Upside bringen; erwartete ASP‑Range pro PE‑Fall ~$9k–$9.5k laut Management.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- STORM‑Endpunkte: Diskussion, ob RV/LV‑Ratio‑Verbesserung allein genügt oder auch QoL/Mortalität benötigt wird; Management betont RV/LV als Schlüssel‑Gatekeeper.
- Marktdurchdringung: Wie groß ist das adressierbare Segment der 157k US‑PE‑Fälle; aktuelle Share über ~20% (Anstieg letzten 3 Quartale) aber keine präzise Zahl genannt.
- Zulassung & Timing: Fragen zu Zulassungszeitpunkt und kommerziellem Rollout von Thunderbolt/modulated aspiration; Management gibt keine konkreten Datumsangaben.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Relevanz: Das Event bestätigt klare Wachstumshebel: positive Herbst‑Readouts (STORM/STRIKE) und ein erfolgreicher Produktlaunch (modulated aspiration) sind die größten katalytischen Risiken/Chancen. Kurzfristig bleibt China‑Headwind und Timing‑Unsicherheit bei Zulassungen relevant; Anleger sollten Datenzeitpunkte und Marktzugangs‑Implementierung beobachten.
Finanzdaten von Penumbra, Inc.
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 1.505 1.505 |
18 %
18 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 484 484 |
13 %
13 %
32 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 1.021 1.021 |
20 %
20 %
68 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 741 741 |
23 %
23 %
49 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 92 92 |
2 %
2 %
6 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 188 188 |
18 %
18 %
12 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 0,46 0,46 |
7 %
7 %
0 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 187 187 |
18 %
18 %
12 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 161 161 |
9 %
9 %
11 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Penumbra, Inc. Aktie News
Firmenprofil
Penumbra, Inc. beschäftigt sich mit dem Design, der Entwicklung, Herstellung und Vermarktung von innovativen medizinischen Geräten. Das Unternehmen bietet Produkte für Thrombektomie, Embolisation, Zugang, neurochirurgische Instrumente, Rubinspulensystem, Laterne, POD-System (Penumbra Occlusion Device), Packspule und Indigosysteme an. Zu ihren Zielmärkten gehören interventionelle Neuroradiologen, Neurochirurgen und interventionelle Neurologen sowie interventionelle Radiologen, Gefäßchirurgen und interventionelle Kardiologen. Das Unternehmen wurde am 21. Juni 2004 von Arani Bose und Adam Elsesser gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Alameda, Kalifornien.
aktien.guide Premium
| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Elsesser |
| Mitarbeiter | 4.700 |
| Gegründet | 2004 |
| Webseite | www.penumbrainc.com |


