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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 3,71 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 970,48 Mio. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 3,71 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 2,65 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 3,95 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 970,48 Mio. $
Enterprise Value = 3,95 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 2,65 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Palomar Holdings, Inc. Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
15 Analysten haben eine Palomar Holdings, Inc. Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
15 Analysten haben eine Palomar Holdings, Inc. Prognose abgegeben:
Beta Palomar Holdings, Inc. Events
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MAI
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Q1 2026 Earnings Call
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12
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
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Palomar Holdings, Inc. — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to Palomar Holdings, Inc. First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Chris Uchida, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate your participation in our earnings call. With me here today is Mac Armstrong, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Additionally, Jon Christianson, our President, is here to answer questions during the Q&A portion of the call. As a reminder, a telephonic replay of this call will be available on the Investor Relations section of our website through 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on May 14, 2026.
Before we begin, let me remind everyone that this call may contain certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These include remarks about management's future expectations, beliefs, estimates, plans and prospects. Such statements are subject to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated or implied by such statements. Such risks and other factors are set forth in the quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not undertake any duty to update such forward-looking statements.
Additionally, during today's call, we will discuss some non-GAAP measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to their most comparable GAAP measure can be found in our earnings release.
At this point, I'll turn the call over to Mac.
Thank you, Chris, and good morning, everyone. I'm very pleased with our first quarter results as they reflect a strong start to the year and are another example of our team's ability to deliver consistent profitable growth. Our results reinforce the durability of our model and the uniqueness of our one-of-one specialty product portfolio and its ability to generate compelling risk-adjusted returns. Our book consists of a broad array of specialty products and is truly diverse.
The following breakdown of Q1 in-force premium illustrates this diversity. A 57%-43% split between admitted and E&S premium a 60-40 split between property, including Earthquake and Casualty Premium, a 45-55 split between residential and commercial property and 90% of the Q1 premium are from lines not impacted by the traditional P&C market cycle. Our differentiated portfolio is intentionally built to perform through any market cycle. We are well positioned to deploy capital toward more desirable opportunities while reducing exposure in areas where market conditions or loss trends are less favorable. Our strong first quarter results reflect this capability.
Looking closely at the quarter, gross written premium increased 42% year-over-year. Importantly, growth was broad-based across all five product categories, including Earthquake, profitability and capital efficiency also remained strong, highlighted by adjusted net income growth of 23%, and adjusted combined ratio of 76% and an adjusted return on equity of 27%. These results marked our 14th consecutive quarterly earnings beat, extending the track record of consistent performance in our business. In recognition of our belief in the long-term opportunities we possess, our ability to execute the Palomar 2X strategic imperative and what we feel is the depressed value of our shares, we repurchased 190,255 shares in the quarter.
Furthermore, our Board authorized a new 2-year $200 million share repurchase program on May 6. I'd like to briefly talk about the current market conditions in our business. The marketplace is constantly changing and pricing varies significantly between different segments. In the property sector, competition remains strong, especially for larger commercial accounts where prices are still declining by double digits. Our residential business lines continue to offer rate stability, balance and diversification, notably in...
[Operator Instructions]
double-digit rate increases. Casualty pricing varies with some lines like health care liability, which has rates of 35%, experiencing strong increases while other casualty lines like cyber face intense competition from new entrants or standard carriers returning to the market. We maintain disciplined underwriting practices and are prepared to non-renew accounts if pricing fails to align with our return requirements. Uncorrelated growth vectors in the surety and credit and crop space fortify this conviction. Overall, we believe our portfolio of specialty product...
[Operator Instructions]
Turning to our Earthquake franchise, which is 58% residential and 63% admitted, we delivered 3% year-over-year gross written premium growth despite continued pressure on Commercial Earthquake. Pricing in Commercial Earthquake remains competitive with rates decreasing approximately 18% on renewals and new business coming in at a higher average annual loss than the existing portfolio. We are pursuing opportunities outside peak zones and are willing to increase line size and high-quality existing large accounts at renewal when returns are compelling.
Importantly, we remain committed to underwriting discipline and are not willing to pursue premium at the expense of profitability, especially on new business. Our residential Earthquake business is performing well. As with our other admitted property products, market conditions remain favorable, with steady new business production, stable rates, constructive engagement with the California Earthquake Authority and its participating insurers and a healthy partners pipeline.
The balance of this line of business is clearly seen in our stellar premium retention, which was approximately 97% on our flagship admitted product in the first quarter. Looking ahead, we remain confident in our Earthquake outlook and our ability to deliver growth as well as strong profitability for full year 2026. In Inland Marine and Property, gross written premiums grew 47%, up from 30% in Q4. Like Earthquake, the balance of our specialty portfolio across residential and commercial lines, a 34% to 66% split, respectively, as well as admitted and E&S products, a 70%-30% split, respectively, is fueling the success of this line.
As it pertains to our commercial product suite, builders risk remains a key contributor with standout performance this quarter from our admitted portfolio. We are expanding our underwriting footprint, including the recent opening of an underwriting office in the Northeast. As well, we are pleased with the progress of our newly launched construction engineering line with strong reinsurance backing, new team members and enhanced infrastructure, our first quarter results are performing well above our initial plan.
As a reminder, this business also provides an entry point into the data center market, which we view as an exciting long-term growth opportunity. The excess national property and large county E&S property lines faced the most intense competitive pressure with rate decreases remaining in the range of 12% to 15%. Overall, our commercial property book is generating attractive risk-adjusted returns. Our seasoned underwriters are focused on retaining renewals and selectively writing new business. Our residential property practice was led by the Hawaii hurricane business.
La Lima continues to perform well, benefiting from limited competition, strong rate adequacy and embedded growth, which will be maintained by a recently approved 12.5% rate increase. We're encouraged by the progress of our flood partnership with Neptune, the growth and improved spread of risk from Neptune allowed us to endure elevated flood activity in Hawaii. Fortunately, prior period catastrophe gains offset flood losses. So our $8 million to $12 million annual catastrophe load was not subsumed by the catastrophe activity in the first quarter.
Turning to Casualty business. Gross written premium increased approximately 55% year-over-year, reflecting slower sequential growth from the fourth quarter of 2025. Strong performing lines included environmental liability, primary general liability and contractors general liability. Overall, casualty growth in the quarter was driven by geographic and distribution expansion, recently added underwriting talent getting to scale, rate increases as well as the launch of a sports and entertainment general liability program with a long-standing MGA partner.
Our MGA strategy is founded on forming partnerships with a carefully selected group of established market leaders in business lines where we possess internal expertise. This approach allows our programs to be effectively managed by and seamlessly integrated with our in-house underwriting teams. As I mentioned earlier, conditions remain dynamic and increasingly nuanced in the casualty space. We continue to see rate increases in health care liability, primary contractors, general liability, E&S casualty and environmental liability.
That said, the rate increases are moderating in several lines due to increased competition from admitted carriers and new market entrants. Since our entry into the market, we have actively managed limits attachment points and exposures with a focus on lower net line sizes and avoiding more volatile classes with elevated severity risk. We are comfortable pulling back where underwriting conditions deteriorate. In addition, we maintain a conservative reserving philosophy with more than 85% of casualty reserves held as IBNR. The increased ceding commissions earned on our casualty reinsurance renewals this year reinforce our confidence and validate the quality of underwriting in the portfolio. In an evolving market, we take confidence in the expertise of our casualty underwriting team who diligently manage our portfolio, maintain disciplined approaches to pricing and limit management and rigorously apply clear walkaway criteria for each individual account.
Turning to crop. We're off to a strong start for the year. Gross written premiums rose 82% year-over-year. Over the course of last year, we added marketing, underwriting and claims professionals who focus on crop products and territories that are written in the first and fourth quarters of the year. The first quarter of 2026 benefited from this experienced talent who drove strong production in winter wheat and other off-cycle crop insurance products.
Lastly, we are benefiting from strong sales of our enhanced coverage option products driven by higher demand resulting from increased subsidies under the one big beautiful bill. Commodity prices established in February remained generally in line with last year. We do not expect any meaningful impact from higher energy prices or tariffs. Current drought conditions put pressure on results in winter wheat in states such as Oklahoma and Kansas and PRF products in Mountain West and Plains states. That said, these results should be partially mitigated by our risk-sharing structure. Importantly, most of our retained exposure is tied to Midwest corn and soybeans, where planting is just beginning.
Looking ahead, we now expect to deliver 35% growth versus the previously expressed level of 30% in nice profitability in 2026. Surety and Credit, our newest product category increased by 131% year-over-year. This segment includes our FIA and Gray Surety acquisitions along with other surety and credit insurance, we write on an assumed reinsurance basis. The integration of Gray, which is now rebranded as Palomar Casualty and Surety, is going well, providing a strong foundation to build a leading franchise.
The Palomar Surety leadership team has acclimated well to our organization, and they continue to bolster their already strong team of underwriters with key hires in targeted expansion markets. A key milestone Palomar Surety achieved this quarter was the receipt of a T-listing authority for the group of more than $72 million. This will create an exciting long-term opportunity to write more bonds and federal projects in the years to come. That level of authority will increase our relevance to a larger distribution channel and attract new talent.
We now have a surety platform with meaningful scale and geographic reach and a clear path to becoming a top 20 surety market in time. As previously mentioned, surety and credit alongside crop further diversifies our earnings base and reduces volatility caused by the traditional P&C cycle.
In reinsurance, we completed six placements, three casualty and three property treaties, all with better economics and successfully issued our latest Torrey Pines Re catastrophe bond. On the property side, we're able to secure incremental capacity for the builders' risk, including construction engineering and excess national property lines of business. Besides the strong economics earned through the treaty, this added capacity further expands our ability to offer larger limits and opens new admitted market retail distribution channels in the case of builders risk.
The casualty quota shares renewed at higher ceding commissions while maintaining their expiring cession percentages, again, a testament to the performance of these casualty lines. Last week, we completed our seventh Torrey Pines Re catastrophe bond issuance, securing $410 million, a fully collateralized multi-year reinsurance protection for California Earthquake and, for the first time, a stand-alone Hawaii hurricane.
On a risk-adjusted basis, pricing was down approximately 15%, which is in line with the assumption at the higher end of our adjusted net income guidance range. Before concluding, I want to touch on our organizational effort to leverage AI across Palomar. As a highly regulated and asset-intensive business, we view AI not as a source of obsolescence, but rather, to the contrary, as an important tool to enhance efficiency, strengthen decision-making and support our people.
AI-enabled processes and tools are in use across departments such as underwriting, actuarial and analytics. Reinsurance, customer service and operations, technology and claims. They are enhancing operational workflows, improving risk selection, accelerating system development times and automating more clerical and perfunctory tasks. Our approach combines the use of innovative third-party tools with internally developed solutions and these initiatives are already generating measurable gains. Advancing AI capabilities will remain a key strategic priorities we continue to scale the business.
In summary, we are confident in our strong start to 2026 and our ability to sustain profitable growth and attractive returns in this market or any for that matter. As a result, we are increasing our adjusted net income guidance from $260 million to $275 million to $262 million to $278 million. As an aside, this marks our eighth adjusted net income guidance increase since 2024.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Chris to discuss our financial results and guidance assumptions in more detail.
Thank you, Matt. Before I begin, please note that during my portion of the call when referring to any per share figure, I'm referring to per diluted common share as calculated using the treasury stock method. This methodology requires us to include common share equivalents such as outstanding stock options during profitable periods and exclude them in periods when we incur a net loss.
For the first quarter of 2026, our adjusted net income was $63.1 million or $2.31 per share. Compared to adjusted net income of $51.3 million or $1.87 per share in the first quarter of 2025, representing adjusted net income and EPS growth of 23%. Adjusted underwriting income for the first quarter was $62.8 million, an increase of 22% compared to $51.6 million in the prior quarter. Our adjusted combined ratio was 76% compared to 68.5% in the first quarter of 2025 and compared sequentially to 73.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025.
The increase in the adjusted combined ratio was primarily driven by a higher loss ratio, offset by a slightly lower adjusted expense ratio associated with the growth and mix. For the first quarter, our annualized adjusted return on equity was 26.6%, in line with our ROE reported last year. Our first quarter results continue to validate our ability to sustain profitable growth while maintaining returns well above our Palomar 2X threshold of 20%. Gross written premiums for the first quarter increased 42% to $629.8 million as compared to the prior year's first quarter, further demonstrating the strong momentum that we have across our unique diversified specialty portfolio.
Looking at our key specialty insurance products, it's important to remember the seasonality of our crop segment given the majority of the premium is written and earned in the third quarter of each year, with only a modest premium in the second and fourth quarter. We will provide more information during the quarter on the expected impact of seasonality throughout our specialty portfolio.
Net earned premiums for the first quarter grew 59% year-over-year to $261.4 million. As expected, our ratio of net earned premiums as a percentage of gross earned premiums increased to 51.9% in the first quarter. Compared to 43.7% in the first quarter of 2025 and compared sequentially to 48.2% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The year-over-year increase in this ratio is reflective of our improved excess of loss reinsurance at the last renewal, growth of our lines of business that use quota share reinsurance such as our crop business, where we retain more premium than previously as we continue to leverage our growing balance sheet and the acquisition of Gray Surety.
With the timing of our core excess of loss reinsurance program renewal and the majority of our crop premiums written and earned during the third quarter, we continue to expect the third quarter to be a low point of our net earned premium ratio. Increasing throughout the remainder of the reinsurance treaty year in a similar pattern to last year.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses for the first quarter increased to $87.1 million compared to $38.7 million in the first quarter of 2025. Losses for the quarter were comprised of $86.8 million of attritional losses and $0.3 million of catastrophe losses. The total loss ratio for the quarter was 33.3% compared to 23.6% in the first quarter of 2025 and compared sequentially to 30.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025. In line with our expectations and guidance, the increase in the loss ratio was driven primarily by higher attritional losses associated with the growth in casualty and crop.
Our losses for the quarter include $3 million in catastrophe losses from the flooding event in Hawaii at the end of March. Additionally, our first quarter results include $10.3 million of favorable prior year development $7.6 million of attritional and $2.7 million of catastrophes. Favorable prior year development was primarily from our short-tail Inland Marine and other property lines of business. As we have discussed previously, favorable development reflects our long-standing conservative approach to reserving. We continue to establish reserves with appropriate margin, which allows for modest releases over time as claims mature, particularly in our short-tail lives.
Similar to the favorable development we saw during 2025, this quarter is another good example of the conservative approach to reserving and where we are seeing continued reserve releases. Our acquisition expense as a percentage of gross earned premiums for the first quarter was 14% compared to 12.3% in the prior year quarter and compared sequentially to 13% in the fourth quarter of 2025. The increase was driven primarily by business mix, notably surety, which has a higher acquisition expense and lower loss ratio and our increasing retained business resulting in lower ceding commissions.
The ratio of other underwriting expenses, including adjustments to gross earned premiums for the first quarter was 8.5% compared to 7.5% in the first quarter of 2025 and compared sequentially to 8.1% in the fourth quarter of 2025. These results include 2 months of Gray's underwriting expenses. As we have consistently communicated, we remain committed to investing in talent, technology and systems to support the scalable platform we are building, while these investments create some near-term pressure we continue to expect operating leverage over time as the organization grows within our Palomar 2X framework.
Our net investment income for the first quarter was $18 million, an increase of 49% compared to $12.1 million in the prior year quarter. The year-over-year increase was primarily due to higher yields on invested assets and a higher average balance of investments held due to cash generated from our operations, including the Gray acquisition. Our yield in the first quarter was 4.9% compared to 4.6% in the first quarter last year.
The average yield on investments made in the first quarter was over 5%. At quarter end, cash and invested assets totaled approximately $1.6 billion and the weighted average duration of the fixed maturity portfolio was just over 4 years. At the end of the quarter, our net written premium to equity ratio was approximately 1.1:1. At March 31, 2026, stockholders' equity was $959 million, reflecting continued earnings generation, offset by shares repurchased and transaction fees incurred during the quarter.
Our balance sheet remains strong and well positioned to support continued growth across the portfolio. From a modeling perspective, we do not expect to see anything different from what we shared with you on the last call. Our 2025 full year net earned premium ratio was 44.9%. We expect that ratio to increase into the upper 40s for 2026. On a gross earned premium basis, our full year 2025 acquisition expense ratio was 12.1% and our adjusted other underwriting expense ratio was 8%.
We expect slight improvements in both ratios for 2026. Similar to last year, the acquisition expense ratio and the other underwriting expense ratio will be higher in the first half of the year and lower in the second half of the year with the crop earned premium influence. We expect our loss ratio, including catastrophes, to be in the mid of our 30s for 2026. Our full year 2025 adjusted combined ratio was 72.7%. We expect our adjusted combined ratio for 2026 to be in the mid-70s as demonstrated in the first quarter. These expectations reflect our expected growth, business mix, integration of Gray Surety and the use of capital as we build our specialty insurance platform.
Turning to our 2026 adjusted net income guidance. We are increasing our full year guidance up to $262 million to $278 million. This range still includes $8 million to $12 million catastrophe losses in addition to many catastrophes that we have historically included in our guidance. The midpoint of the range represents 25% year-over-year earnings growth more than doubling 2024 adjusted net income in 2 years and an ROE north of 20%.
Lastly, during the quarter, we repurchased 190,255 shares at a cost of $23.1 million as our shares have continued to trade well below what we believe to be fair value. Through May 5, 2026, we have repurchased an additional 38,875 shares at a cost of $4.2 million. Additionally, our Board of Directors authorized a new 2-year $200 million share repurchase program, replacing the previous plan effective May 6, 2026. At recent valuations, we are buyers of our stock, especially for a company with an earnings CAGR of over 30% since 2023 through their midpoint of our 2026 guidance and who consistently beats the street and raises earnings guidance.
With that, I'd like to ask the operator to open the line for any questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Andrew Andersen with Jefferies LLC.
2. Question Answer
As casualty pricing maybe moderates a bit here, how are you thinking about the interplay with retention decisions? And does a moderating price environment on long-tail kind of slow the pace at which you're thinking about increasing the net retentions.
Andrew, it's Mac. Yes, it's a good question. And what I would say is, across the portfolio, the term we've used is it's nuanced. We are seeing rate increases hold, if not actually intensify in health care liability. And then in certain lines, E&S casualty kind of in the low excess layers, it's moderating some. As mentioned in the call, we have had in the quarter a few casualty quota shares renew and they renewed at favorable economics. And we held the sessions flat.
So I think right now, especially as the books in many instances are still somewhat immature 1, 2, 3 years of development experience like we are more inclined to kind of hold the retentions flat. So I think you should expect to see that. The other thing I'd add is there are certain lines of business where rates aren't moderating, but rather might be soft. And I think that's where we are actually taking a more proactive stance towards triaging. And an example of that would be a participating front we have in cyber, where we take a modest retention, call it, less than 10%.
And that market, we have gone through and tried to push rate. We have changed eligibility requirements as well as sublimit -- increased sublimit utilization. But if that market is not going to take those, the market doesn't bear that, we are more than happy walking away from business. So long-winded answer, but I'd say, simply put, like, expect cessions to remain consistent where they are right now, but also expect to see us in many instances walk away from business and in fact, prune books, too.
And then on Commercial Earthquake, I think I heard minus 18% price that's a bit more than where the fourth quarter was. How are you thinking about kind of the pricing pressure on the commercial quake line throughout the rest of the year and maybe kind of going all the way up to just total Earthquake premium volume trends?
Yes, Andrew. So yes, I would say it was a bit worse, but it's -- if you really went into it, it's kind of account specific, and we have in the first quarter, probably a little bit more large commercial business renewing than we do small commercial percentage-wise. So -- and also, we did not see rate pressure in the first quarter of 2025. So this was really kind of the last quarter where you were renewing accounts for the first time in the soft commercial property market.
So on the whole, we expect rate decreases to persist for the commercial quake market through '26. And we think that's going to be offset by the strong performance on the residential side that will allow us to grow Earthquake for the year. I think the other thing that I would add is on the residential quake, we are seeing strong new business production just even in the start of this quarter, we had a record day that over the record in terms of the last 365 days. So it's provided a nice anchor. We will benefit from reinsurance savings across the Earthquake portfolio, but because of the stability of the residential quake book, we expect to see margin expansion. And you'll see it increase as an overall percentage of the quake mix. Residential will be a growing percentage.
Our next question comes from the line of Peter Phipson with Evercore ISI.
My first one on the casualty book, you guys noted having 85% of the casualty reserves in IBNR. I'm just wondering if you could talk about how this has changed over the accident years. I know you guys obviously noted expanding into geographies and a new product line, so it may not be a clean compare, but I'm just wondering if this has shifted around at all?
Well, I would say the IBNR that it's been north of 80% for basically since we've started our casualty practice, and I think it probably ticked up slightly this quarter. So as newer lines come on and you use that example like we have the new sports and entertainment general liability. That's going to be more than 87% IBNR in its first quarter. It's going to be about 100% IBNR. So that might push it up some. But on the whole, IBNR is the -- if not the totality, it's the strong lion's share of the reserve base. But Chris, I don't know if you want to offer anything there.
Yes. No, I think, obviously, we've talked about this a lot that we take a very conservative approach to reserving upfront. That is shown in that metric where, as Mac mentioned, it has been improving. I think last quarter, we were just above 80%. Now we're above 85%. So as Mac said, the majority of these losses or the reserve base is sitting in IBNR where we don't have claims in yet. We are taking a conservative approach where we are not reducing that reserve base, right?
If anything, we are adding to it. We've talked about this too, that we are going to react quickly to bad news where we take reserves up, but we are not going to release any of that reserves to offset that. You can see some of that were there was some slight unfavorable on the casualty side, but overall, nothing that is causing any major concerns or large changes in the accident year expectations.
So the book is performing well. We are seeing strong growth and still very profitable, as you can see through the overall combined ratio and the additional underwriting income that we're adding to the bottom line.
And I think the only thing that I would add is just a reminder, the net reserves on the casualty book are less than 19% of surplus.
Great. And then just as a follow-up to the earlier question on the quake growth. In your comments, you guys said you're expecting the commercial quake decreases to persist. I'm just wondering, in your outlook for quake, is that expecting them to maintain where they are or continue decelerating declining like they worsened in the first quarter relative to last quarter. And sorry if I missed it, but could you potentially call out the growth in the resi book and what -- how that looked?
So the assumption that we are using is that the rate decreases will maintain at a similar level. So think about it in the mid- high teens. We have not broken out the residential quake versus commercial quake, but you can kind of back into it when you know that rates are down 15% on commercial, the Earthquake book grew 3% and residential quake just under 60%. So it's you can -- you better math than I am, Peter, but I think it speaks to it being close to double digits.
And our next question comes from the line of Mark Hughes with Truist Securities.
Chris, the amortization of the intangibles was about $6.1 million this quarter. Is that going to be an ongoing line item? And where does it show up? And, yes, I'll leave it at that. Is it ongoing? Where does it show up in the P&L?
Yes. So the amortization of the intangibles will be ongoing based on the acquisitions that we've done over the last 2 years, there have been three acquisitions. Obviously, the largest of those acquisitions happened in the first quarter with the Gray Surety acquisition. So there are intangibles with that book that we are amortizing. I think as you guys probably follow insurance companies.
I think as you guys probably follow insurance companies, you've heard of this thing called VOBA. I've heard about other companies calling that out. We do have some of that, that we're amortizing. We are including, let's call it, the profit component of that in our add-backs. So you can see that going through. That is a large component of the differential between, let's call it, the straight GAAP combined ratio and what we're calling our adjusted combined ratio to kind of get you level set with a normalized year-over-year calculation of what that would be.
But yes, that amortization will be ongoing. It is sitting in the amortization portion is sitting in other adjusted underwriting expenses, and that's kind of where we would expect it to sit. It should, call it, assuming no other acquisitions over the next couple of years, the dollar amount should decrease as some of the pieces of that are quicker to amortize. But overall, yes, we expect that to remain in there for, call it, the next 5 to 10 years as you look at those books of business that we were able to acquire.
Appreciate that. And then, Mac, the Inland Marine, it sounds like you've got some good growth initiatives there. Generally speaking, is that -- how is the pricing kind of the competitive dynamic more broadly within inland marine, and it's been a great contributor. What should we think about that going forward?
Mark, yes, good question. I think first and foremost, you should -- it has been a great contributor and you should expect it to be so on a go-forward basis. When you break down within that book, around 1/3 of that is residential business. So that would include flood, where we are getting rate on renewals, it would include Hawaii where we're getting rate on renewals.
And then also even our Texas homeowners book where you've seen rate increases and stable performance. So that's a nice anchor to offset what is really a fraction of the book that is seeing the rate pressure and that is going to be layered and shared kind of large excess national property accounts as well as E&S layered and shared builders risk accounts. So the balance of the book, including -- and I think it's worth highlighting the admitted builders risk has very stable rates. It's also reaping the benefit of geographic expansion, new capacity from third-party reinsurers and then our growing balance sheet, which means we can take more net.
So that's going to really drive performance in addition to what you're seeing on the residential side. So I would say the breadth of the portfolio, the mix of admitted and residential business in addition to the growth that we've made from an infrastructure standpoint is going to more than offset pressure we're seeing in a small segment of that book.
And you had alluded to the potential to get involved in the data center line. Is that something you're not doing now, but have visibility for that? And what's the timing there?
Yes. So thanks for asking that. Yes, we have alluded to it, I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we have hired Matt Tennison and a team of underwriters in the construction engineering practice. And our approach right now with data centers is to write it more from a builder's risk standpoint than as a stabilized asset standpoint.
We have put reinsurance in place for the existing builders risk with A+ backed relationships or autofac relationships that allow us to write large limits on a gross basis. It obviously nets down pretty modestly with what we retain. But -- so I would say our data center focus right now is more builders risk than it is on the stabilized asset side.
Yes. And I'd add, Mark, to that. In addition, we've talked in the past about how we have such a strong experienced team of underwriters in that builders risk segment that are geographically spread where the markets our opportunity in a similar fashion, Matt and the team that we have on the engineering construction side are also long-tenured underwriters that have great experience in larger types of projects.
[Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from the line of Meyer Shields with KBW.
Just one really basic question to start with. You mentioned drought as an issue for crop. Was that something that impacted first quarter results? Or is that something that we should see based on what we know so far in the third quarter or the rest of the year.
Yes, Meyer, it's -- the drought would impact our winter wheat products, but it would ultimately manifest itself over the course of the year. But as I mentioned, those winter we products are heavily reinsured. And so what's really going to drive the underwriting year results will be the Midwestern soybean and corn and wheat. So on the whole, we're watching really Oklahoma and Kansas and its impact on the winter wheat. But the rest of the year, the fall seems to be kind of in line.
Okay. That's helpful. And you sort of alluded to, I guess, inflationary pressures maybe stemming from the Middle East. And we're hearing some concern specifically about fertilizer. And I was wondering how, I guess, the farmers that you're ensuring are thinking about that and how we should think about any exposure there?
So at this point, as we think about how the insurance product for crop responds, we do not see at this time for the growing season, any kind of impact as may be a consequence of any kind of fertilizer disruption coming out of the Middle East. So while it may impact farmers across the globe and on more of a long-term basis as we think about the growing season in 2026, has not emerged as an issue for us.
Yes, Meyer, I think the simplest way is like it may impact the cost to run the farm, but not necessarily the yields and which is what we're protecting against or insuring against.
Okay. I didn't know whether there was enough concern for yield impact, but I think that.
Not at this point.
Okay. And for the time being, at least for the time being, I assume that the guidance update does not contemplate any change to reinsurance attachment points to June 1.
Yes, Meyer, that's correct. Our guidance range assumed 10% to 15% down. So you could say the midpoint of the guidance range is -- yes, the high end of the guidance range, excuse me, rather, would assume a 15% rate decrease. So we have not made any changes to retentions in those assumptions.
And our next question comes from the line of Mark Hughes with Truist Securities.
Yes. This is just more for my own curiosity. If you're insuring yield and the farmers don't use as much fertilizer is -- does that have an impact? Or is it based on kind of broader industry aggregates when you're looking at yield performance?
Yes, Mark, a lot of the fertilizer that goes into the '26 growing season had been secured by many of these farmers prior to a lot of the pressure that we saw that we've seen come on in the last month or 2.
Is that a thing though? I mean, is that something to consider as you're looking at underwriting is the potential for different usage of fertilizer?
On a long-term basis, that could be considered as we look kind of on a year-to-year basis as we underwrite crop insurance. We don't see that emerging as an issue this year. You could have made a similar argument last year coming out of some of the tariff discussions on April 1. And ultimately, it was near record yields for the '25 growing season.
It also will be reflected in the commodity prices that would be reset next year. So the commodity prices are set for this year based on the cost of fertilizer for that Jon was referring to. So the market is efficient, right? And if there is pressure on the cost of fertilizer and that impact on the cost to produce that will be reflected in the commodity prices that will be reset in February, March of '27.
And our next question comes from Pablo Singzon with JPMorgan.
Did you change any of your initial loss picks in casualty or crop relative to last year, Or is the year-on-year change in attritional purely mix?
Sorry, Pablo, could you repeat that question? You kind of broke up there for us.
Yes. Sorry, I was asking if you changed any of your initial loss picks in casualty or crop relative to last year? Or is the year-on-year trend in attritional purely mix?
Yes. No, that's a good question. No. At this stage, we have not changed any of our initial loss picks for our business. Kind of as we've said earlier, we still remain very conservative on these lines of business. So we want to make sure that we kind of maintain those loss picks. As we look at our book, we obviously do evaluate how everything is performing and look at that. But at this stage, there's been no reason for us to change any of our overall loss picks on our attritional lines of business.
Okay. And then the second question I had, it's about resi Earthquake. Can you talk about the broad competitive environment there? Are you seeing or hearing about new competitors?
Sorry, we lost you again, apologies.
Yes. Sorry about that. I was asking about the competitive environment for residential Earthquake. Are you seeing or hearing about new competitors? And how do you think your offering is differentiated.
Yes. Pablo, sorry, we lost you, but I think we caught the gist of the question. We remain the market leader in residential Earthquake outside of the California Earthquake Authority, and we remain a very collegial competitor with the California Earthquake Authority in bringing solutions to their participating insurers that need a more robust and comprehensive product offering.
So a traditional competitor in the market is GeoVera. They remain a good competitor, but there has been plenty of opportunity for us to continue to drive growth and the uniqueness of our product in terms of the flexibility in the coverages, the flexibility in deductible options as well as your ability to kind of bespoke your coverage and pay a price that you want to remains something that is distinct. And as I said, we just -- in the second quarter, we had a record new business day and our premium retention was 97%. So we think that we are in a good spot there.
And with that, there are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the floor back to Mac Armstrong for any closing remarks.
All right. Thank you, operator, and thank you to all the participants on the call this morning for their time. We greatly appreciate your support and interest. Thank you to the Palomar team for your continued hard work and excellent execution. Our sustained strong results are a reflection of all you do to make us a market leader in the specialty insurance space.
And then lastly, I do just want to reiterate the conviction we have in our plan and the results we will achieve. And as such, we will use the tools that we have to enhance our returns and take advantage of what we feel is an undervalued and underappreciated stock and story right now. So we look forward to sharing our success with you next quarter and those to come. Have a great day.
Thank you. And with that, ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's teleconference. We thank you for your participation, and you may disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful rest of your day.
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Palomar Holdings, Inc. — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Q1 2026: Starkes Wachstum (GWP +42%), Adjusted Net Income +23%, Guidance erhöht; Aktienrückkäufe und Cat‑Bonds stärken Kapitalbasis.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz (GWP): $629,8M (+42% YoY)
- Adjusted Net Income: $63,1M ($2,31 je Aktie, +23% YoY)
- Adjusted Combined Ratio: 76% (vs. 68,5% Q1‑2025)
- Net Earned Premium: $261,4M (+59% YoY)
- Adjusted ROE: ~26,6% annualisiert
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Portfoliobalance: Diversifizierte „one‑of‑one“ Spezialprodukte (admitted vs E&S; residential vs commercial) sollen Zyklusstabilität liefern.
- Underwriting‑Disziplin: Preis/Limit‑Disziplin, selektives Nicht‑Verlängern und „Pruning“ von unattraktiven Risiken.
- Strategische Expansion: Surety & Credit (Gray‑Integration) als Wachstumsachse; AI zur Effizienzsteigerung in Underwriting, Aktuariat und Schadenmanagement.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance: Adjusted Net Income erhöht auf $262M–$278M (Midpoint ≈ +25% YoY); beinhaltet $8M–$12M Katastrophenlast.
- Profitabilitätserwartung: Adjusted Combined Ratio für 2026 in den mittleren 70ern; Loss Ratio inkl. Katastrophen in den mittleren 30ern.
- Kapital & Reinsurance: $410M Torrey Pines Re Cat‑Bond abgeschlossen; Board genehmigte neues $200M Rückkaufprogramm (2 Jahre).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Retention vs. Preise: Management will Retentions überwiegend konstant halten; dort, wo Preise zu schwach sind, wird Geschäftsannahme aktiv reduziert.
- Commercial Quake: Erneute Drucksignale (≈‑18% Rate auf Commercial); Management erwartet Rückgang in 2026, kompensiert durch starkes Residential‑Wachstum.
- Reserven/IBNR: >85% der Casualty‑Reserven sind IBNR; Firma betont konservative Loss‑Picks und meldet kein generelles Zurücknehmen der Annahmen.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Handlung: Q1 bestätigt Palomars Skalierung: hohes Volumenwachstum, Margen über Ziel (Palomar 2X), Guidanceerhöhung und aktive Kapitalrückführung unterstützen Aktienwert.
Palomar Holdings, Inc. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to Palomar Holdings, Inc. Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Chris Uchida, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate your participation in our earnings call. With me here today is Mac Armstrong, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Additionally, Jon Christianson, our President, is here to answer questions during the Q&A portion of the call. As a reminder, a telephonic replay of this call will be available on the Investor Relations section of our website through 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on February 19, 2026.
Before we begin, let me remind everyone that this call may contain certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These include remarks about management's future expectations, beliefs, estimates, plans and prospects. Such statements are subject to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated or implied by such statements. Such risks and other factors are set forth in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not undertake any duty to update such forward-looking statements.
Additionally, during today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to their most comparable GAAP measure can be found in our earnings release.
At this point, I'll turn the call over to Mac.
Thank you, Chris, and good morning, everyone. I'm excited to review our strong fourth quarter and full year results. In 2025, we delivered record levels of gross written premium and adjusted net income as well as strong broad-based profitable growth. For the full year, Palomar grew gross written premium 32%, increased adjusted net income by 62% and achieved an adjusted return on equity of 26%. We also meaningfully exceeded our initial full year adjusted net income guidance of $180 million to $192 million, finishing the year at $216 million. We meet earnings every quarter of the year, resulting in 4 upward revisions to our outlook as performance continued to strengthen and exceed expectations. .
At the start of 2025, we outlined 4 strategic imperatives: integrate and operate, build new market leaders deliberately, remember what we like and don't like and generate consistent earnings, and I'm proud to report that we executed across all 4 efforts in all 4 quarters. We scaled our newer verticals in Casualty and Crop while maintaining underwriting discipline. We purposely built a balanced book of both admitted and E&S in residential and commercial property and Casualty products to ensure consistent results in any market cycle. We added outstanding talent across all our departments, including underwriting, investment, claims, data and actuarial, growing our team to over 500 exceptional professionals.
Finally, we successfully integrated 2 specialty franchises, First Indemnity of America and Advanced AgProtection, and at the end of January, announced the closing of our third acquisition, Gray Casualty and Surety now Palomar Casualty and Surety. The myriad achievements of 2025 enabled us to reach our Palomar 2X target of doubling adjusted net income for both the 2022 and 2023 cohorts, a significant and impressive milestone that underscores the strength of our execution. We exit 2025 with the national footprint with offices and team members located across the country. We are attracting the best talent in the industry. Our people in 2025's accomplishments give us strong confidence in our ability to sustain Palomar 2X.
Turning to the fourth quarter specifically. Our strong performance marked a fitting close to an exceptional 2025. The quarter was highlighted by record adjusted net income and a robust top and bottom line growth with gross written premium increasing 32% and adjusted net income growing 48% across our differentiated and diversified portfolio. As I said, our specialty product suite is designed to perform consistently through market cycles and generate attractive returns and strength demonstrated by an adjusted combined ratio of 73% and a 27% adjusted return on equity. Collectively, these results highlight the growth, durability, balance and quality of our franchise.
Turning to our business segments. Our Earthquake franchise declined 2% year-over-year a level slightly lower than our previously stated expectation for low single-digit growth in the fourth quarter. Our year-over-year results were muted by a onetime headwind from a large under premium transfer in the fourth quarter of 2024. Adjusting for this onetime benefit in '24, we would have delivered growth in the quarter. As we've discussed, our Earthquake book consists of residential and commercial policies written on an admitted and E&S basis. This balance allows us to successfully optimize our Earthquake risk-adjusted returns and navigate any market condition. In the fourth quarter, the Commercial Earthquake book continued to face pressure with rates of 15%.
Competition remained elevated, and we believe this environment could persist through much of 2026. We remain disciplined in our underwriting, but also note that the commercial book is still generating attractive returns. Conversely, our Residential Earthquake book, which ended the year at 58% of the total Earthquake premium continued to perform in line with expectations. During the quarter, we saw year-over-year growth in new business written and a premium retention rate of a healthy 97% for our admitted flagship product. As we've said before, the 10% inflation guard on our Residential Earthquake policies affords our compelling operating leverage in a softening property catastrophe reinsurance market. In addition, we are encouraged by our pipeline of high-quality Residential Earthquake partnerships which could bolster growth in '26 and in 2027.
The softening reinsurance market combined with the growth of the Residential Earthquake book should allow us to absorb the primary rate pressure in the commercial market. Overall, we expect our Earthquake book to deliver modest premium growth and margin expansion in 2026 even with commercial pressure persisting. Our Inland Marine and Other Property group grew 30% year-over-year in the fourth quarter, driven by strong performance from our admitted and E&S builders risk book and Hawaiian Hurricane products as well as record production in our flood book stemming from the early success of our [ Neptune ] flood partnership. Like our Earthquake business, the mix of residential and admitted offerings provided balance to the group, allowing us to offset pressure in certain E&S commercial lines. For instance, we have pending rate increases of more than 10% for our Hawaii Hurricane Motor Truck Cargo book in California, whereas our large E&S builders risk accounts are seeing rate decreases in the low single digits.
Like Commercial Earthquake, the underwriting performance and profitability in commercial property was very strong in the quarter. All risk, excess national property and E&S builders risk each had a loss ratio below 25%. The strong underwriting results in commercial property are driving further investment in talent and geographic expansion. During the quarter, we added professionals in Texas and the Northeast to support profitable growth of the commercial side of the group. Additionally, we recruited [ Matt Thins ] to launch and lead our new construction engineering practice. Matt is a long tenured expert in this dynamic space, which we believe represents a significant market opportunity.
With our strong track record and builders risk, the growth in our balance sheet, our A rating from A.M. Best and expanded reinsurance capacity, we believe now is the right time to enter this market and supplement our property franchise with a book of large complex infrastructure projects such as bridges, roads and data centers. Consistent with our disciplined approach to new lines, we will begin with modest net line sizes supported by robust reinsurance. Our Casualty business delivered 120% year-over-year gross written premium growth in the fourth quarter. Casualty book ended 2025 to 20% of the total gross written premium for the company. Fourth quarter results were driven by strong momentum in E&S Casualty, primary and excess contractors general liability and environmental liability. The E&S general liability segment of the Casualty book, both excess and primary continue to see a healthy rate environment. In Q4, rates on excess policies increased on average in the low teens, while primary rates were up mid- to high single digits.
Our professional lines remain in a stable pricing environment with certain areas showing selective improvement such as miscellaneous professional liability, private company D&O and real estate agents E&O. We are also encouraged by the early traction in health care liability which is probably the most dislocated market we currently underwrite with technical rates increasing approaching 35%. In the fourth quarter, we added to our already strong team of Casualty underwriters, which should open new geographies and distribution sources and ultimately drive growth. We remain conservative in managing our Casualty exposure and reserves. Our disciplined focus on low and short attachment points, combined with the use of both facultative and quota share reinsurance should limit volatility in the Casualty book and allow the portfolio to season in a controlled manner.
Through the fourth quarter, the average net line size across Casualty remained below $1 million, with E&S Casualty, our largest line of Casualty business averaging approximately $700,000. Our reserving approach in Casualty remains conservative and unchanged. It is grounded in continuous evaluation of loss development, attachment structures and portfolio mix. As previously discussed, approximately 80% of our Casualty reserves are held as IBNR, well above industry norms. This conservatism underpins balance sheet strength and reinforces confidence in the stability and predictability of future results.
Our Crop franchise generated $248 million of gross written premium in 2025, exceeding our original $200 million expectation in our most recent revised guidance of $230 million. Our performance was driven by strong execution and the successful recruitment of top-tier talent as we expanded into attractive states and products. The broader footprint also drove higher-than-expected fourth quarter production with $40 million of premium written. Importantly, this incremental business is diversifying from spring season [ MPCI ], providing a nice complement to the portfolio.
From an underwriting standpoint, 2025 was a good year for our Crop book as we generated a loss ratio under 80% and still hold a conservative reserve base as we sit here today. Given the experience of our team, the short-tail nature of the risk and the growth of our balance sheet, effective 1/1/2026, we increased our retention to 50% and net of the SRA. We will support and protect our retention with stop-loss reinsurance consistent with last year. On a prospective basis, we expect Crop premium to grow more than 30% in 2026 and remain on track to achieve our intermediate-term target of $500 million in premium and our long-term target of $1 billion in premium.
As previously discussed, Fronting is no longer a strategic focus of the business. While we still continue to support our existing relationships, we are not devoting resources and capital towards an earnest pursuit of new Fronting partnerships. We simply believe we can achieve better risk-adjusted returns in all other product groups. As a result, we are reconstituting our product groups and Fronting will no longer be a stand-alone category. Our existing and any future Fronting partnerships will be categorized in alignment with the underlying class of business starting in the first quarter of 2026. For instance, our cyber fronting program will be in the Casualty product group, and our Texas homeowners fronting program will be in the Inland Marine and of the property product group.
Following the closing of the Gray Surety acquisition, surety and credit will become the fifth product category we report on going forward. As a frame of reference, pro forma for the acquisition of Gray, surety and credit would have constituted 6.5% of Palomar's total premium base in 2025. Gray Surety significantly strengthens our surety franchise, adding management expertise, system scale and geographic reach, complementing our existing operations and accelerating our path toward building a market leader in an attractive sector. We believe surety and credit will serve as a stable long-term growth driver for Palomar while providing meaningful diversification to our book and earnings base.
Turning to reinsurance. The fourth quarter was both eventful and productive we renewed 4 quota share treaties on 1/1, all at approved economics and completed 2 new placements. Key highlights of the quota share activity included a Commercial Earthquake quota share that renewed approximately 15% down on a risk-adjusted basis in our primary and excess Casualty quota share that saw a nice improvement in the [ expiry and seating ] commission. As it pertains to excess of loss reinsurance, we placed [ Assure-XOL ] and renewed 2 Earthquake excess of loss treaties. The Earthquake places renew more than 15% lower on a risk-adjusted basis.
Looking ahead to the 6/1 renewal, market conditions remain favorable for reinsurance buyers, and we are confident in further pricing improvement across our property capital. Our diversified portfolio delivered strong top and bottom line results in the quarter and the full year. While I'm very proud of our results and the execution over the past year, I'm even more excited with the many opportunities that lie ahead. The success of 2025, the momentum in the business and our team's collective enthusiasm for the year ahead are reflected in our 2026 earnings guidance. Adjusted net income of $260 million to $275 million. The guidance midpoint implies approximately 24% adjusted net income growth and an adjusted return on equity greater than 20%. The midpoint of our guidance assumes a $10 million catastrophe [ loan ] and a decrease of 10% on our excess of lost property catastrophe reinsurance renewal on June 1.
To help us deliver on these opportunities, we are implementing 4 strategic imperatives for 2026. One, leverage our scale to enhance profitable growth. Two, curate a one-of-one distinct portfolio. Three, deepen our position in existing markets and unlock new opportunities. And four, integrate, optimize and execute. To support these imperatives, we are strategically deploying AI across our organization. Current initiatives underway are focused on enhancing our underwriting workflow, portfolio optimization, process automation and operational efficiency. These efforts involve the use of both third-party tools and internally developed agenetic solutions that should allow us to increase productivity and scale our organization. If we execute our plan and these imperatives, we will achieve our Palomar 2X objectives in 2026 and beyond.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Chris to discuss our financial results and guidance assumptions in more detail.
Thank you, Mac. Please note that during my portion, when referring to any per share figure, I'm referring to per diluted common share as calculated using the treasury stock method. This methodology requires us to include common share equivalents such as outstanding stock options during profitable periods and exclude them in periods when we incur a net loss. For the fourth quarter of 2025, our adjusted net income was $61.1 million or $2.24 per share compared to adjusted net income of $41.3 million or $1.52 per share for the same quarter of 2024, representing adjusted net income growth of 48%.
Our fourth quarter adjusted underwriting income was $62.3 million, an increase of 52% as compared to $41 million for the same quarter last year. Our adjusted combined ratio was 73.4% for the fourth quarter compared to 71.7% last year. For the fourth quarter of 2025, our annualized adjusted return on equity was approximately 26.9% compared to 23.1% for the same period last year. Our fourth quarter results continue to validate our ability to sustain profitable growth while maintaining returns well above our Palomar 2X target of 20%. Gross written premiums for the fourth quarter were $492.6 million, an increase of 32% compared to the prior year's fourth quarter. Net earned premiums for the fourth quarter were $233.5 million an increase of 61% compared to the prior year's fourth quarter.
For the fourth quarter of 2025, as expected, our ratio of net earned premiums as a percentage of gross earned premiums increased to 48.2% compared to 39% in the fourth quarter of 2024 and compared sequentially to 43.4% in the third quarter of 2025. Losses and loss adjustment expenses for the fourth quarter were $70.9 million comprised of $72.9 million of attritional losses, including $0.7 million of favorable development and $2.1 million of favorable catastrophe loss development, largely from Hurricane Milton.
Favorable development was primarily from our short-tail property lines of business. The loss ratio for the quarter was 30.4% compared to 25.7% in the prior year quarter. Losses for the quarter were driven primarily by higher attritional losses associated with growth in our Casualty and Crop business, partially offset by favorable development. We continue to hold conservative positions on our reserves. Favorable development is the result of our conservative approach to reserving upfront, allowing us to release reserves later. This quarter is a good example of this as we had conservatively reserved for Hurricane Milton as well as a few other smaller events where we are seeing modest reserve releases.
Our acquisition expense as a percentage of gross earned premiums for the fourth quarter was 13% compared to 10.9% last year's fourth quarter and compared sequentially to 10.8% in the third quarter of 2025. A little higher than expected driven by mix of business for the quarter, resulting in higher commission and lower ceding commission. The ratio of other underwriting expenses, including adjustments to gross earned premiums for the fourth quarter was 8.1% compared to 7.2% in the fourth quarter last year and compared sequentially to 7.9% in the third quarter of 2025. As demonstrated by our continued investment in talent, technology and systems, we remain committed to scaling the organization profitably.
We continue to expect long-term scale in this ratio although we may see periods of sequential flatness or increases due to investments in scaling the organization within our Palomar 2X framework. Our net investment income for the fourth quarter was $16 million, an increase of 41.3% compared to the prior year's fourth quarter. The year-over-year increase was primarily due to higher yields on invested assets and a higher average balance of investments held during the quarter due to cash generated from operations. Our yield in the fourth quarter was 4.8% compared to 4.5% in the fourth quarter last year. The average yield on investments made in the fourth quarter was above 5%.
At the end of the quarter, our net written premium to equity ratio was slightly above 1:1. Our stockholders' equity has reached $942.7 million, a testament to our consistent profitable growth. Looking at our full year 2025 results, our strong top line performance continued to translate to the bottom line. Our gross written premium increased 32% to $2 billion while our net earned premiums increased 57% to $802.6 million. Our adjusted combined ratio for the full year was 72.7% compared to 73.7% in 2024, resulting in adjusted underwriting income of $218.9 million, growth of 63%, reflecting strong underwriting performance and continued operating leverage. Our net investment income for the full year was $56 million, an increase of 56% compared to 2024.
All of this coming together where our full year 2025 adjusted net income grew 62% to $216.1 million and our adjusted diluted earnings per share grew 54% to $7.86. Resulting in an adjusted return on equity of 25.9% compared to 22.2% in 2024. It is also worth noting that our 2020 -- that our final 2025 results are $30 million or 16% ahead of the midpoint of our initial guidance provided at this time last year of $186 million, equivalent to an additional $1.10 per share for our shareholders.
Our Palomar 2X philosophy continues to show in our results. Our 2025 adjusted net income more than doubled technically 2.3x from 2023 in 2 years off of our goal of 3 to 5 years with an ROE well above our target of 20%. Palomar 2X is a nice segue to our 2026 guidance. We are initiating our 2026 adjusted net income guidance with a range of $260 million to $275 million, including $8 million to $12 million of catastrophe losses and incorporating the recently closed acquisition of Gray Surety. The midpoint of the range implies 24% adjusted net income growth and doubling our 2024 adjusted net income in just 2 years.
From a modeling perspective, we expect many of the trends we have been sharing to continue in 2026. Our 2025 full year net earned premium ratio was 44.9%. We expect that ratio to increase into the upper 40s for 2026. On a gross earned premium basis, our full year 2025 acquisition expense ratio was 12.1%, and our adjusted other underwriting expense ratio was 8%. We expect improvements in both ratios for 2026. Our full year 2025 loss ratio was 28.5%, favorable to our original expectations. With that as a reference, we expect our loss ratio, including catastrophes, to be in the mid- to upper 30s for 2026.
Our full year 2025 adjusted combined ratio was 72.7%. We expect our adjusted combined ratio for 2026 to be in the mid-70s. These expectations reflect our expected growth, business mix and use of capital as we build our specialty insurance platform. We continue to expect quarterly seasonality in our operating results, driven primarily by [indiscernible]. We believe our 2025 results provide a strong framework to model the business seasonality going forward.
I would like to spend a moment on our Gray Surety acquisition to provide some context on our surety business for 2026. We closed the Gray Surety acquisition on January 31, 2026 with an estimated purchase price of $311 million financed with a $300 million term loan and cash on hand. The current interest rate on the term loan is SOFR plus 1.75%, given the ability to improve the spread depending on our total debt to capitalization ratio. Given the interest expense from the term loan and the timing of the deal, we expect the addition of Gray Surety to be modestly accretive in 2026 before scaling in 2027. Pro forma for Gray, the unaudited written premium for our surety line would have been approximately $110 million in 2025.
As Mac mentioned, given our investment in the surety space and the reduced emphasis on Fronting. We will changing our written premium categories in 2026. For 2026, our written premium categories are Earthquake, Inland Marine and Other Property, Casualty, Crop and surety and credit. Fronting will be redistributed into these 5 product categories. We plan on providing a revised breakdown of our 2025 written premium in these categories in our next investor deck.
With that, I'd like to ask the operator to open the line for any questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Pablo Singzon with JPMorgan.
2. Question Answer
First question, just on the higher retention on Crop. Would you give size how much that will contribute to earnings next year versus what you earned in '25?
Yes. No, I think Crop is a great example of the diversification of our business and the use of the capital as we start retaining more. We've talked about before that Crop is a lower margin business than some of our other but also very stable, so providing a very consistent earnings base. Generally speaking, it's going to have a combined ratio in the low 90s, so say 92%. So for every, call it, $100 million and 10 points that we keep, that's adding another $8 million let's say, of pretax income to the bottom line.
Got it. And then my second question, the 10% reduction in reinsurance costs you're assuming, is that on a risk-adjusted basis or is that absolute dollars you're talking about?
That's on a risk-adjusted basis, Pablo. So that's just assuming that the -- if you have like-for-like exposure would be down 10%. So we -- when we think about the forecast, we are assuming growth in quake this year. We said there's modest growth for Earthquake and there's also would be some exposure expansion, which would lead to us buying more limit.
Our next question comes from the line of David Motemaden with Evercore ISI.
Mac, in your prepared remarks, you had talked a bit about a few new hires that you've made here in the fourth quarter as well. I know you guys made a few more even before that. I'm specifically interested on the underwriting side and the underwriting teams that you're adding. Is there any rule of thumb to think about how much growth you guys are expecting those teams to contribute in 2026 and 2027 if we think about just gross premiums written?
Yes, Dave, thanks for the question. It's a good one. Let me start by saying you're absolutely right, we've added some really strong talent to our organization over the course of 2025. And as we sit here in '26, we continue to recruit and add really strong underwriters. And it's across both the Casualty and the property franchise. We when we give our guidance, there is certainly an assumption around production from those various new hires. But it really depends on the market that they're going into. A strong addition to our builders risk franchise in Boston, like that opens up several million dollars or a few more million dollars of potential production there versus someone like [ Matt Teens ], who joins us on the construction engineering side, where it's a much larger TAM and much larger exposures.
But I think overarchingly, the most important point to mention is for all of these new hires, we are not expecting them to burn their way into a market or overextend themselves. We want to walk before we run, and that's something that we've done for -- since we started the business. And what that means is when they go into a market, whether as a property underwriter or a cash generator, they're going to have a comprehensive and robust reinsurance solutions supporting them. And then they are also going to have modest gross and net line sizes that they are deploying while we build traction.
Good thing is there's a lot of infrastructure that needs to be built out. So we don't want to open up the proverbial floodgate to not be able to service and underwrite the business effectively. So it's also very moderate in terms of distribution. I'll just close with as an aside, like for instance, we did write an interesting construction engineering risk, one of Matt's first. The gross line was $76 million, our net was $4 million on it. And that's because of the strong reinsurance relationships we have, we are able to -- we were able to use an existing facility and then we're also able to buy facultative reinsurance. And I think that fact that you have, that type of strong reinsurance support both facultative and treaty is a reflection of the quality of the underwriters and their experience.
Got it. Great. That's encouraging. For I guess just another one on the Earthquake growth. Is there any way you can just help us think through, it sounds like commercial was down just in terms of gross premiums written residential was growing. Could you just break that out how much the residential book grew in the fourth quarter and how you're thinking about that within the modest growth that you outlined in 2026?
Yes, Dave. So what I would offer you is as I mentioned that the residential quake is approaching about 60% of the book. It's got strong policy retention and it's writing good new business. So I think residential quake is you're looking at what we hope would be high single digits to double digits growth. And then the commercial is going to be obviously continue to see some pressure, especially in more large commercial business, where rates were down 15%. And I think I would say from a rate deceleration standpoint, the rate decreases, we expect them to hover at this level for certainly the next several quarters.
So I think that's what I would offer you is residential quake is going to grow and should offset the deceleration in the commercial. And then most of all, and most importantly, is we should see margin expansion. The fact is that property cat pricing should allow us to really scale the residential quake and then absorb the softening on the primary rates in the commercial side.
Got it. Yes. And it sounds like the -- I guess, the [ XOL ] pricing at down 10% is actually not as good as you guys were able to get on some of the stuff that you renewed here recently. But maybe just one more, if I could, for Chris. So I heard you on the loss ratio being in the mid- to upper 30s. I'm sort of looking at that versus the 31% accident year loss ratio, excluding cats in 2025. So it feels like that's getting a little bit worse than I think the old rule of thumb, which was 2 to 4 points deterioration a year. So I'm wondering if you could just unpack that a little bit. What -- is it mix? Is it higher picks? That would be helpful if you could just unpack that a little bit.
Yes. I think the simplest answer is going to be that it's no change in our picks. I think we've said this a lot of times that we are going to continue to reserve conservatively upfront, react to bad news quickly and do good news slowly and deliberately. That has proven true throughout this year where we're able to have some favorable development. If you go back, call it, this time last year, we were expecting a low 30s loss ratio for this year. I think this year was probably a little bit better than we expected. Crop contributed to that. Crop was a little bit favorable to where we expected. So maybe our loss ratio was a little bit better. But overall, when I think about that 2 to 4 points, I feel like this is right in line with that expectation, let's say we were call it, 31%, 32%, we're at 4 points, we're at 36%, right?
The other thing you got to think about is that we are expecting some still really strong growth from Crop. The other assumption we're changing there is we're going to be taking 50% of that book versus 30% this year. So that, while adding profit to the bottom line does move the ratios a little bit. We've talked about it a lot. I just talked about it a little bit. That Crop does operate at a higher combined and a higher loss ratio. Mac said, it was better than 80%, but even an 80% loss ratio, that is higher than 31% or 32%. So if you're taking, call it, 20 points more of that, if you're at 30% and taking 20% more or about 66% more of the losses plus higher growth, it's going to influence the loss ratio.
But overall, when you think about it, and the reason we're not saying that our combined ratio is going to jump at the same rate is we do expect to see some scale or leverage in the operating expenses. And so when we talk about right now, our low 70s combined ratio for the year and kind of getting into the mid-70s for 2026, I think that is taking all those factors into account. Yes, the loss ratio is going to go up as expected and as we've talked about, you're going to exceed some savings potentially on the expense side. But overall, we're going to be mid-70s combined ratio with a growing diverse book of business that's delivering consistent profitability into the marketplace. That's something we've talked about for the last 2 or 3 years, continuing to do, and that's what we plan on doing. So overall, we feel like we're in a good spot. Loss ratio is doing exactly what we expected. And overall, the book is performing very well.
And Dave, if I could just come back to the one point you made on the reinsurance. Yes, 10% is the assumption. It is a little bit less -- a lower risk-adjusted decrease than what we saw in the first quarter, but that's for the midpoint of the guidance. So there's certainly an opportunity to outperform that 10% down, but I think that's the right level for us to assume at 6/1.
Our next question comes from the line of Matt Carletti with Citizens.
Mac, I appreciate your comments on kind of the Casualty book that was really helpful. Can you maybe just kind of zoom out and as we look at the book today, maybe year-end '25, broad strokes, like how much of the book is in kind of excess and primary GL, how much is kind of professional live exposures? Whatever the big buckets are that you got to think of, could you help us with that? And then secondarily, how much of that is directly written by Palomar? And is any of it done through some sort of program or delegated authority arrangement?
Yes, Matt, thanks for the question. I'm excited to talk about the Casualty franchise because it really is performing well and been a nice success story. So just the predominance of the book is going to be what we call E&S Casualty, which would be GL kind of niche segment GL. And then there is some professional lines. But again, the majority of it is going to be excess and primary general liability. We are not writing wheels business for the majority of cases, we do have a small amount of wheels business that's in our contractors primary contractors GL. But on the whole, it's going to be niche categories of GL and then professional liability that's going to be more E&O or health care liability, which is a new example and that's the one that we got into earlier this year.
I think it's important to just talk about overarchingly on the Casualty side, we remain very disciplined whether that's in our reserving, 80% as I said, of the IBNR approximately of the total reserve is IBNR. We have several lines of business and the excess liability, where it's 100% of the reserve is IBNR. Casualty is only 16.4% of Casualty reserves only 16.4% of our surplus. Our limits are very conservative. Our average net limit is $1 million. Our largest net line would be $2.3 million. And our largest line of business, as I pointed out, which is our E&S casualty is $700,000 on a net basis.
I think the other fact that worth highlighting here is just the underwriting approach. And it's going to be really focusing on writing if it's excess, it buffer layers. So we're avoiding social inflation. So if we get a pop, like it's not a circumstance where it's a surprise and there's a nuclear verdict and we were attaching 20 excess of 100 and we get hit, we're going to be attaching excess of 1 or we are writing the primary one. So it confines the volatility in that book. And then I should have started with this, the talent we have is exceptional. These are professionals that have been in this business for decades in the case of David Sapia, [ Frank Castro, Jason Porter ] and our Casualty leaders.
I think it's also important to point out that we do have program business right now, although it's about close to a little more than half are programs. Those leaders are involved in the underwriting of those programs, setting underwriting rules, helping with the claims administration and adjudication. So it's really -- the philosophy that we had in property where we work with the program administrator and builders risk or earthquake, and we also write it internally. It just -- it affords sharing of ideas. It affords the ability to access market segments that you couldn't potentially do on a direct basis. So we think it's a very good model.
And then I think the last thing I'd say about the Casualty business, if you look at how we use reinsurance, we view that as a terrific validation of the underwriting. We buy both treaty and [ fac ] and so [ fac ] reinsurance underwriters are looking at individual risk and pricing them with us. Treaty are looking -- treaty underwriters are looking at the portfolio. And as I mentioned, we had several quota shares renew at 1/1. Two of them were for programs, 2 of them were for internal casualty, all of them had improved economics. So again, I think our Casualty approach -- the execution rather, has been exceptional, and I think our approach is well established and thoughtful.
Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Andersen with Jefferies.
Just on the reinsurance update, the quake that you mentioned that was renewed, was that commercial quake? And did you purchase any incremental limit this year?
Andrew, yes, good questions. So the quota share that renewed was for Commercial Earthquake. We did have a Commercial Earthquake quota share renew. And then we bought incremental limit that's for all of the quake book. But it was a very modest amount. Most of the incremental limit will be procured at 6/1. So -- and then we had one existing layer that renewed at 1/1. And again, those were all down in the 15% range.
Got you. And maybe bigger picture here, as the cycle and some of the lines softens and it doesn't seem like there's any constraint on capital here. But how would you kind of rank capital deployment opportunities across organic, increased retention, share repurchases and opportunistic tuck-in deals, which you have some history of doing?
Yes. I think overarchingly, opportunistic is the right term. Today, share buybacks looks pretty compelling as we scratch our heads inside our conference room. But nonetheless, we still want to grow organically. And we think we have multiple growth vectors to grow the book organically and we also think we have the capital base to do so. We certainly, as the balance sheet has grown, it does afford us the opportunity to take -- increase our retentions like we're doing in Crop, it's certainly something we can look at on cat retentions. Probably more specifically for earthquake cat retentions as that approaches it 6/1. .
And for our property business, our Inland Marine and Other Property business has performed really well. So I think our desire is to potentially put out larger lines in selected classes like both admitted and E&S builders risk and excess national property. So I think it's a combination, really, ultimately, opportunistic M&A. We're proud that we bought 3 great businesses over the last 15 months. But that's really will be more opportunistic. I think you should be thinking about is organic growth, leveraging the scale of the organization, the balance sheet to potentially take more of our own cooking and then also think about opportunistic capital management through selective buybacks and repurchases.
Our next question comes from the line of Mark Hughes with Truist.
On the commercial quake, you said you expect competitive pressure to continue through 2026. How does it look sequentially this down 15%? Is it continuing to decline sequentially? Or has it stabilized at a low level and then you just got some tough comps?
Yes, Mark, this is Mac. That's a good question. I think we're still -- we started to see commercial quake pricing really soft in the second quarter of '25. So we think we're still a couple of quarters to go there. And then hopefully, the comps lead to a deceleration. I think the other thing too is one dynamic where you have the all-risk players, potentially retaining more of the quake, they'll start to -- as they get through a 12-, 15-month period of that, they'll start to get to a point where they'll be managing capacity and overall limits in aggregates. So I think that will help stabilize it some. But our view, and when we talk about this year of having modest growth in earthquake is that pressure will persist in '26 and certainly the first half of '26 in a more pronounced fashion on commercial quake.
And then on the Crop, your retention moving up to 50%. If things go as planned, does that continue to move up? Or is 50% [ is tight ] again?
Well, I think we will -- it's a good lever to have to be able to pull. If you talk to Benson Latham, who's been in the Crop business for a very long time, he would tell you the way to make money in Crop is to retain more of it, and you will make more money over the long term doing that. And so that's something that we do see as, again, a potential lever. The one thing that we want to be mindful of is just capital allocation. And while Crop is not a capital -- overly capital-intensive line, the growth we're having is pretty strong. As I said, we're targeting over 30% growth. So the combination of growth and an increase in retention could start to put a little more pressure on how much capital we have allocated. So that's something that we'll watch. But that's really once we get beyond that $0.5 billion threshold mark. So I think in the interim, we can continue to increase our retention and grow the book, and then we'll take stock at what is the right risk transfer structure from there.
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Paul Newsome with Piper Sandler.
I was hoping you could maybe expand upon a question on getting from investors, which is sort of inevitably as the business mix moves away from earthquake as well as takes increasing retention do you inevitably end up with returns on equity that are less given that you essentially have less reinsurance leverage? Or is the model so such that you have some more balance in that regard. Just -- and I'm not really talking about 2026. I mean just as you think out longer term, is that what we should be thinking about in terms of how the business delivers returns?
Paul, this is Mac. I'll offer my views. We continue -- I think I'll start with saying we continue to believe that Palomar 2X is achievable for the intermediate future. And we will have -- based on the guidance we're giving, we will double our adjusted net income from [ 24% ] in 2 years. while maintaining ROE that is above 20%. And so we think that is sustainable, maybe not doubling it every 2 years but certainly maintain ROE that's over 20%. And that is with changing complexion of the book. You have to remember, we still have earthquake is our largest or top 2 largest line. We're now adding surety, which has very attractive margins as well. That's a sub-80 combined ratio book. .
This is not a circumstance where we're all of a sudden going to become a 12% ROE business and a 95% combined. Until we say otherwise, we're going to be generating an ROE that's in excess of 20%, and we're going to be growing our bottom line at a very attractive rate. And I think the guidance that we gave this year is illustrative of that. And I think the investments that we're making in the business afford us the ability to sustain those parameters.
A couple of things I'd add to that just for a clarification, right? Remember, as we diversify and as the portfolio grows, we are able to leverage our capital base a little more efficiently versus earthquake is very capital-intensive. So as we get to diversify the base and use our capital a little more efficiently, that helps the ROE. The thing we don't talk about a lot, but when you talk about thinking out years is also our investment leverage. We have a very low investment leverage. As our retention increases and our portfolio diversifies, investment leverage will also come into play, and we'll be able to use that as part of our earnings growth as well.
Yes, just to echo what Chris is saying, if you just look at -- I mean, I think that's important to point out, too, just to sample these margins like our net reserves as a percentage of surplus is under 30% and our investment leverage is 1.43% compare those to industry averages, you should feel like there's a fair bit of operating leverage in the model.
That's great. Second question, just on the Fronting business. Is the thought that without additional Fronting operations, essentially the [ seize ] of stability and of that unit prospectively because I think we're at the point -- I think where we've lapped the 1 front-end arrangement that went away. Is that kind of the baseline thinking there?
Yes, Paul, I think our thinking is just Fronting is not a strategic focus for us. And the premium has declined as you've pointed out. And as a result, it's really just not a meaningful reflection of the operating results of the business and the organizational focus. I think the other thing that's just worth pointing out is the Fronting market has evolved to where it's really not a risk-free fee generative business. These all -- most Fronting deals that we see are participatory fronts. And so if they are going to require us to take 20% of risk. It's not a circumstance where we can -- we're comfortable. So we'd rather support a handful of Fronting relationships that we have and focus our capital and resources on programs, but also just most importantly, internal efforts. So yes, I mean, I think it's just the evolution of the Fronting market, combined with our strategic focus is led us to this decision to just collapse it into the appropriate product categories.
Makes sense to me. As you know, I agree with you.
Yes. I think you've told me once picking up nickels in front of a steamroller. So it was a [ laugh ].
Our next question comes from the line of Meyer Shields with KBW.
Mac, one quick question on the guidance, and I apologize if I missed this, but what are the cat excess of loss attachment points that are embedded in the 2026 guide?
Yes, Meyer. Good question. And we didn't offer it, but we will. I assume the retentions remain at the same levels as expiring. So a wind retention in around $1 million in earthquake to $7 million above that.
Okay. All right. That's a good place to start from. With regard to the engineering, does that require new distribution relationships, both in general and with regard to data centers?
Well, it does both. So it can leverage existing distribution relationships but also it does bring new ones to bear. And that's why we hired [ Matt ]. Matt actually was at [ Willis Towers Watson ] before he joined us and has a long-standing history of writing with kind of the traditional [ Alphabet ] houses here. But then there will also be a lot of wholesale produced business, which is kind of our bread and butter for commercial property. So it's a combination of the two.
Meyer, this is Jon. One of the things to think about with regard to distribution with what Matt brings on in the engineered space is up until he came on board in the fourth quarter, we were kind of in all corners of that builders risk market from small single-family homes all the way through commercial property with the exception of engineered risk. And so now this -- as we think about our -- the way that we face our distribution, we really come with a full solution across that Inland Marine department to be able to service all kind of major components of builders' risk in the U.S. market.
Okay. That's very helpful. And then one last question. I just wanted to get a sense of current maybe planned retentions on the Casualty quota share.
So the Casualty quota shares, we renewed that and kept our retentions flat year-over-year. And that's a 1/1. So that's kind of locked in for the next 12 months. And we can write up to a $10 million limit within that treaty. The average net though, is going to be typically -- our average gross limit is going to be $3 million and the average net will be less than $1 million.
Thank you. And we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the floor back over to Mac Armstrong for closing remarks.
Thank you, operator, and thank you, everyone. I appreciate your time and support of Palomar. As I close the earnings call, I want to thank our incredible team here at Palomar. Your execution and work in 2025 was exemplary as evidenced by the strong guidance for 2026, we feel great about our prospects, and we look forward to sharing our success with our investors in 2026 and beyond. Have a great day. We'll speak to you soon.
Thank you. And this concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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Palomar Holdings, Inc. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Adjusted Net Income: $61.1M im Q4 (+48% YoY)
- Umsatz (GWP): $492.6M im Q4 (+32% YoY)
- Adjusted Combined Ratio: 73.4% (Q4 2024: 71.7%)
- Adjusted ROE: ~26.9% annualisiert
- EPS: $2.24 pro verwässerter Aktie
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Strategie: Vier Imperative: Skalierung, gezielte Marktführerschaft, klarere Produktallokation und operative Integration zur nachhaltigen Profitabilität.
- M&A & Integration: Zwei 2025-Deals integriert; Gray Surety Anfang 2026 geschlossen (stärkt Surety/credit-Segment).
- Underwriting & Talent: Ausbau Casualty, Crop, Builders Risk; konservative Reservierung (hoher IBNR-Anteil) und kontrollierte Net-Limits.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- 2026 Guidance: Adjusted Net Income $260–$275M (Midpoint ≈ +24% YoY), impliziert adj. ROE >20%.
- Annahmen: $8–$12M Kat-Verluste, $10M angenommene Kat‑Ereignis‑Effekte im Modell und 10% Reinsurance‑Kostenreduktion (risk‑adjusted) per 6/1.
- Kennzahlen: Erwartetes adj. combined ratio Mitte 70er, Loss Ratio mid–upper 30s; Crop‑Prämienwachstum >30%, Retention Crop 50% ab 1.1.2026.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Reinsurance: Analysten fokussierten auf die 10% Annahme (risk‑adjusted); Management bestätigte sie als konservativen Midpoint mit Upside-Potential.
- Earthquake: Diskussion über schwächere Commercial‑Rates (≈‑15%) vs. Residential‑Wachstum (≈58–60% des Buchs); Management sieht moderate Prämienexpansion durch Residential und reinsurance‑Verbesserung.
- Crop & Casualty: Crop‑Retention (50%) erhöht kurzfristig die Loss‑Ratio; Casualty‑Expansion durch neue Underwriter mit konservativen Net‑Limits und umfangreicher Rückversicherung.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solider Abschlussjahrgang: starkes Wachstum bei Prämien und Gewinn, hohe Kapitalbasis und konservative Reserven. Guidance für 2026 ist ambitioniert, aber nachvollziehbar gestützt auf Reinsurance‑Erholung, Crop‑Skalierung und Surety‑Akquisition. Risiken bleiben: anhaltender Preisdruck in Commercial Earthquake, Impact höherer Crop‑Retention und die Zinskosten des Term‑Loans für Gray.
Palomar Holdings, Inc. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning and welcome to the Palomar Holdings, Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Chris Uchida, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate your participation in our earnings call. With me here today is Mac Armstrong, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Additionally, Jon Christianson, our President, is here to answer questions during the Q&A portion of the call. As a reminder, the telephonic replay of the call will be available on the Investor Relations section of our website through 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on November 14, 2025.
Before we begin, let me remind everyone this call may contain certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These include remarks about management's future expectations, beliefs, estimates, plans and prospects. Such statements are subject to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated or implied by such statements. Such risks and other factors are set forth in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
We do not undertake any duty to update such forward-looking statements. Additionally, during today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute to results prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to their most comparable GAAP measure can be found in our earnings release.
At this point, I'll turn the call over to Mac.
Thank you, Chris, and good morning. Today, I'm pleased to walk through our exceptional third quarter results. It was another outstanding quarter for Palomar, highlighted by record gross written premium, record adjusted net income the 12th consecutive earnings beat and our fourth adjusted net income guidance increase in calendar 2025.
These results underscore the strength of our distinct franchise and the effectiveness of our disciplined underwriting, diversified portfolio and consistent execution. We've intentionally constructed a portfolio of specialty products designed to perform through all parts of the insurance market cycle. Our portfolio consists of a unique mix of admitted and E&S, residential and commercial property and casualty risk that provide balance and earnings consistency.
Additionally, our newer businesses, like Crop and Surety are scaling nicely and enhance the diversification of the book given their lack of correlation to the broader P&C market. Even with the increasing balance of our book, we are not standing still. The Palomar team remains not only entrepreneurial, but also steadfastly committed to profitable growth. We continue to strengthen our franchise, entering select specialty markets that offer compelling risk-adjusted returns. As part of this effort, last week, we announced the acquisition of the Gray Casualty and Surety Company, a leading surety carrier with a strong national presence and an exceptional management team. This transaction meaningfully enhances Palomar surety platform, bolstering our market position and complementing our existing operations. The acquisition mainly adds scale and provides access to attractive markets such as Texas, Florida and California. Gray only enhances the sustained execution of our Palomar 2X initiative of doubling adjusted net income over a 3- to 5-year time frame. We are thrilled to welcome the great team to Palomar.
Returning to the third quarter. We delivered another quarter of strong financial results, highlighted by 44% gross written premium growth and 70% adjusted net income growth. Our operating metrics were equally as strong with an adjusted combined ratio of 75% and an adjusted return on equity of 26%, demonstrating the strength of our underwriting discipline and the earnings power of our model. Our strong top line growth was not driven by a single line of business as all our product groups say for fronting experienced double-digit growth in the third quarter. The balance in our mix of business, commercial and personal lines products written on an admitted and excess and surplus basis allows us to navigate property and casualty market cyclicality definitely. The balance book, combined with the numerous growth directors across all our lines of business allowed us to outperform industry growth and profitability benchmarks in the third quarter, emboldens us to do so for the indefinite future.
Turning to our business segments. Our earthquake franchise is a great example of the balanced approach we take to construct in our portfolio. Our book of admitted and E&S residential and commercial earthquake products grew 11% year-over-year in the third quarter, a sequential improvement from the second quarter. Growth was driven by the sound performance in the residential earthquake market as we continue to see healthy new business production and strong policy retention and robust 88% for our flagship residential earthquake business. We continue to benefit from our 10% inflation guard, which affords our Residential Earthquake book meaningful operating leverage, a softening property catastrophe reinsurance market. Additionally, we have a robust pipeline of high-quality residential earthquake partnerships that we believe will provide incremental growth as we move into 2026.
In our Commercial Earthquake business, the rate pressure experienced in the first half of the year persisted into the third quarter. During the quarter, the average commercial decreased approximately 18% on a risk-adjusted basis, with large commercial accounts seeing more pressure to small commercial risks. Despite the rate pressure in the market, our commercial or quick book grew during the third quarter, which reflects the strength breadth of our franchise. We do not believe the rate pressure in commercial earthquake will ease over the near term, but we still expect to see growth the remainder of the year 2026. We expect that the earthquake book will experience single-digit growth in the fourth quarter, although that is somewhat exacerbated by a onetime under premium transfer received in the fourth quarter of 2024. Overall, we remain convicted in our [indiscernible] to profitably grow our earthquake business. The underlying profitability is at a very high level with our earthquake average annual loss at a level considerably below that of 2023 and 2022. The stature of our residential earthquake book, which was 61% of the total earthquake book in the third quarter, combined with the expected further softening of the property cap reinsurance market will enable us to grow net earned premium in primary commercial rate decline in 2026. As we have said time and time again, we have purposely built the quick book of business to navigate any market cycle.
Our Inland Marine and Other Property category grew 5% year-over-year, which is a strong acceleration from the 28% growth in the second quarter. The course performance was driven primarily by our admitted and residential property products, including, but not limited to, Hawaii Hurricane, E&S flooded admitted builders risk. The Hawaii book grew close to 20% and La Lima has emerged as the second largest writer of stand-alone hurricane coverage in Hawaii. Our residential flood product, while still a modest contributor to premium today has experienced strong steady growth. We also believe our partnership with Neptune flood will dive as a key catalyst accelerating the product growth over the next 3 years. The Neptune partnership commenced writing new business on October 1, and we encouraged with the initial production, which has been amplified by the temporary closure of the National Flood Insurance Program.
Our builders risk franchise continues to stand out, growing 52% in the quarter. Like our earthquake business, our suite of builders risk products includes commercial and residential products written on both an admitted and E&S basis. Builders' Risk is a national product with no geographical boundaries, and we are investing in talent, where building activity remains robust. During the quarter, we added experienced underwriters in the high-growth markets of flossing in Dallas to sustain our growth and extend our reach. Importantly, we are achieving this growth in our Inland Marine and Other Property Group despite the challenging commercial property market that has impacted our excess national property and commercial all-risk lines. Again, underscoring the value of our differentiated and balanced mix across residential and commercial admitted in E&S products.
Our casualty business delivered 170% year-over-year gross written premium growth, representing a nice sequential improvement from the 119% growth in the second quarter. We remain focused on segments of the casualty market where there is sustained rate adequacy. We are maintaining a disciplined approach to attachment points and net limits, leveraging quota share reinsurance to manage volatility and allow the portfolio to season appropriately. Through the third quarter, our average net line across Casualty remained below $1 million with our largest line of business General Casualty, averaging roughly $750,000. In the quarter, we saw a strong performance from the access and primary general casualty, which grew more than 110% year-over-year in our environmental liability business that was up 119%. Real estate E&O, which is our longest tenure casualty line grew 65%. This quarter, we also wrote our first health care liability premiums, providing capacity of a segment amidst the hard market with technical rate increases exceeding 20%.
Our casualty reserving philosophy also remains conservative and consistent. It is informed by ongoing analysis of loss emergence trends, attachment points and portfolio composition. As we've discussed in prior quarters, we continue to carry more than 80% of our casualty reserves as IBNR, well above industry standards. Maintaining this conservative position reinforces the strength of our balance sheet and provides confidence in the durability and predictability of our future results.
Fronting and premium declined 32% year-over-year, a function of the last quarter of impact from the termination of the Omaha National partnership. Fourth quarter results will better reflect the underlying performance in the fronting business. We remain selective in choosing our counterparties, and while we expect to add new partners in the coming quarters, Fronting is not our highest strategic priority. Our crop franchise delivered $120 million of gross written premium in the third quarter, doubling the $60 million produced in the same period last year. This strong year-over-year growth puts us well ahead of the pace to exceed our full year guidance of $200 million. Beyond the production during the quarter, we added talent focusing on the Kansas and Oklahoma markets that will help have seasonal production in the first and fourth quarters of each year. These additions in form a revised premium expectation of $230 million for 2025. We remain confident in building the business to $500 million over the intermediate term. Additionally, the crop marketing conditions have been favorable so far this season, with strong planting activity and growing conditions appear to be better than historical averages. Based on what we are seeing today, we expect results to outperform the 15-year average industry loss ratio. These dynamics are an encouraging indicator for the remainder of the year.
The third quarter is generally not considered a major reinsurance renewal period. However, it was active for Palomar as we placed [indiscernible] treaties. Importantly, all treaties renewed on turns equal to or better than expiring. We also had successful first-line placements for our new flood and health care liability programs. Market conditions remain conducive to reinsurance buyers. And at this point, we are confident we will see further decreases in property cat treaty pricing.
Before I hand over to Chris, I want to provide a little more color on Gray's Surety. The $300 million acquisition is expected to close in the [indiscernible] quarter of 2026, and it should be accretive to earnings in its first year of incorporation into our organization. We intend to finance the transaction with the new term loan and excess cash on hand. Gray's terrific leadership team of Colin Piske and Michael Petry will continue to lead Gray Surety, which we reband and Palomar Surety. They will join forces with our team in New Jersey to build a top 30 national surety carrier. Adding great on our portfolio further diversifies our book and when combined with crop results in approximately 50% of our premium base being not subject to property and casualty market cyclicality.
To conclude, I'm very proud of our third quarter results and more over the team that delivered them. We generated strong top and bottom line growth, a top-tier return on equity and our 12th consecutive earnings fee. We are raising our 2025 adjusted net income guidance to $210 million to $215 million from $198 million to $208 million, the midpoint implying an adjusted ROE of 24%. The revised guidance applies the achievement of the Palomar 2X tenant of doubling adjusted net income in an intermediate time frame in the case of our 2022 cohort, a 3-year time frame in our 2023 cohort 2 years. We continue to believe this is an attainable target for the foreseeable future.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Chris to discuss our financial results and guidance assumptions in more detail.
Thank you, Mac. Please note that during my portion, referring to any per share figure, I'm referring to per diluted common share as calculated using the treasury stock method. This methodology requires us to include common share equivalents such as outstanding stock options for profitable periods and excluding periods when we incur a net loss.
For the third quarter of 2025, our adjusted net income grew 70% to $55.2 million or $2.01 per share compared to adjusted net income of $32.4 million or $1.23 per share for the same quarter of 2024. Our third quarter adjusted underwriting income was $56.7 million, compared to $31 million for the same quarter last year. Our adjusted combined ratio was 74.8% for the third quarter of 2025 as compared to 77.1% for the year ago third quarter. For the third quarter of 2025, our annualized adjusted return on equity was 25.6% compared to 21% for the same period last year. As Mac discussed, our third quarter results continue to demonstrate our ability to achieve our Palomar 2X objectives of doubling adjusted net income within an intermediate time frame of 3 to 5 years while maintaining an ROE above 20%. Gross written premiums for the third quarter were $597.2 million, an increase of 44% compared to the prior year's third quarter or 56% growth when excluding runoff business.
Looking at the fourth quarter, this headwind is now fully behind us. Gross earned premiums for the third quarter were $518.8 million, compared to $395.9 million in last year's third quarter and sequentially to $408.8 million in the second quarter of 2025. Year-over-year growth is driven by the overall performance of all lines of business while sequential growth is significantly influenced by the crop earning pattern. Net earned premiums for the third quarter were $225.1 million, an increase of 66% compared to the prior year's third quarter. Our ratio of net earned premiums as a percentage of gross earned premiums was 43.4% as compared to 34.3% in the third quarter of 2024 and compared sequentially to 44% in the second quarter of 2025. With the timing of our core excess of loss reinsurance program renewal and the majority of our crop premiums written and earned during the third quarter, we continue to expect the third quarter to be a low point of our net earned premium ratio, increasing throughout the remainder of the reinsurance treaty year in a similar pattern last year. While we expect quarterly seasonality in our net earned premium ratio, we expect net earned premium growth over a 12-month period of time. Our net earned premium ratio was 43.7% for the first 3 quarters of the year. Based on our performance through the first 9 months of the year, we expect our net earned premium ratio to be in the low to mid-40s for the full year, a slight improvement from our view after the second quarter.
Losses and loss adjustment expenses for the third quarter were $72.8 million, which were predominantly attritional losses. The loss ratio for the quarter was 32.3%, comprised of an attritional loss ratio of 31.5% and a catastrophe loss ratio of 0.8%. Additionally, our third quarter results include $6.1 million of favorable prior year development, primarily from our short tail in the marine and other property business. We continue to hold conservative positions on our reserves. Favorable development is a result of our conservative reserving upfront, allowing us to release reserves later. Our year-to-date loss ratio was 27.7%, with the strong results so far, we expect our loss ratio to be around 30% for the year, slightly more favorable than after the second quarter. Our acquisition expense as a percentage of gross earned premium for the third quarter was 10.8% compared to 10.5% in last year's third quarter and 12.6% in the second quarter of 2025. The percentage this percentage decreased sequentially from the higher gross earned premium for the quarter. Year-to-date acquisition expense was 11.8%. For the year, we expect this ratio to be around 11% to 12%, in line with previous expectations. The ratio of other underwriting expenses include adjustments to gross earned premiums for the third quarter was 7.9% compared to 5.9% in the third quarter last year and compared to 8.7% in the second quarter of 2025.
As demonstrated by our hires over the last year and in the third quarter, we remain committed to investing across our organization as we continue to grow profitably. As we have discussed on prior calls and today, we have continued to invest across our company as we work to further expand our reach and drive profitable growth given the attractive risk-adjusted returns that we continue to generate. We expect long-term scale in this ratio, although we may see periods of sequential flatness or increases due to investments in scaling the organization within our Palomar 2X framework. Year-to-date, this ratio was 8%. We continue to expect this ratio to be around 8% for the full year. Our investment income for the third quarter was $14.6 million, an increase of 55% compared to the prior year's third quarter. The year-over-year increase was primarily due to higher yields on invested assets and a higher average balance of investments due to cash generated from operations and the August 2024 capital raise. Our yield in the third quarter was 4.7% compared to 4.6% in the third quarter last year. The average yield on investments made in the third quarter continues to be above 5%, accretive levels compared to the most maturing securities. We continue to conservatively allocate our position through asset classes that generate attractive risk-adjusted returns.
During the quarter, we repurchased approximately 308,000 shares for $37.3 million under the $150 million share repurchase authorization. At the end of the quarter, our net written premium to equity ratio was 1:1. Stockholders' equity has reached $878 million, a testament to consistent profitable growth. Our strong capital position allows us to continue to profitably invest in and grow our lines of business and to acquire great surety with a combination of debt and cash. I would like to make some brief comments on our business from a modeling perspective in addition to the expectations mentioned earlier in my remarks. As we have previously indicated, the third quarter will continue to stand out from other quarters because of the crop book and its seasonal written and earning patterns in addition to the first full quarter of our excess of loss reinsurance placed June 1. Taking all of this into consideration and focusing the dollars as we spoke about ratios earlier, we expect the third quarter of each year will have the highest gross written premium, gross earned premium, net earned premium losses and acquisition expense.
Looking to 2026, our third quarter and full year 2025 results should provide a good framework to model our business. Reflecting our strong operating results for the first 9 months of the year, we are raising our full year 2025 adjusted net income guidance range to $210 million to $215 million. Importantly, the midpoint of our full year guidance range implies adjusted net income growth of greater than 59%, a full year adjusted ROE above 20% and doubling our 2022 adjusted net income in 3 years and doubling our 2023 adjusted net income in just 2 years. Our Palomar 2X objective remains in focus, and we plan on doubling adjusted net income every 3 to 5 years.
With that, I'd like to ask the operator to open the line for any questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from Paul Newsome with Piper Sandler.
2. Question Answer
I was hoping you could talk a little bit more about the market opportunity in surety. And maybe a little bit more specificity about exactly who may or may not be competing and it is really pretty broad class of business.
Sure, Paul. Thanks for the question, and good morning afternoon to you as well. We are really excited to bring gray surety into the organization. They are a very nice complement to what we have in New Jersey, which is Palomar Surety, the company known as First Indemnity of America. It's really writing contract surety, kind of mid-small lit bonds, on average, you're talking about bonds that are less than $2 million. The combination of the 2 affords us greater regional expense. As I said in my prepared remarks, gray surety is very strong in kind of high-growth Sunbelt regions, Texas, Florida, California. FIA is the Northeast, bringing them together, it gives us over $100 million of kind of in-force bonds and premium and writing a nationwide presence, but really strong in like 15 markets. I think the opportunity for us is to take this from approximately a top surety on a combined basis to a top 20 in the not-so-distant future, and that's going to be driven by a few things. One, continuing to extend our reach. The gray team has a terrific market entry model that's replicable they understand what it takes from underwriting investment and a system investment standpoint, to enter into a market, the premium that must be generated to cover the cost and generate the requisite margin. So we will do a lot of that. I think there's an opportunity to cross-sell distribution between the 2 entities and FIA and Gray Surety.
And then thirdly, our balance sheet will afford us more to do. Putting us together, I'm going to have an entity that's approaching book value in excess of $1 billion. And moreover, our intention is to have Palomar Specialty T-listed, which will give them the ability to write larger bonds and participate in larger T-listed bonds. Right now, the combined entity can do around a $12 million T-list -- has a $12 million T-listing approximately. So I like the combination of going deeper in existing markets, expanding into new markets, writing some larger limit business and the cross-selling distribution will allow us to get to that top 20 status. But again, the footprint that we have, just once they come together, gives us a meaningful position in the market and really strong expertise, helping us build a franchise that you think can be an even bigger leader.
And then for my second question, maybe you could talk as well about the potential future of the crop business. Obviously, this year has the effect of the acquisition. I don't think it's crop as being a growth business in general, but it's also fairly competitive. I don't know if that's a business that can grow a lot organically prospectively and maybe you can you can just direct us into where that may go as well.
Yes. So well, I think first off, I want to applaud our team Benson Latham, Jon [indiscernible] and others for what they've done this year. This is our second full year of operation, but the first full year where we've had that leadership team as well as AP inside our 4 walls. So they are executing very well. And I think the strength of their execution has been, a, leveraging their historical experience and relationships in the market. I mean these are professionals that have been in the crop space for decades. And then secondly, there's been their ability to attract talent. I highlighted on the call, some new additions that we brought in the Oklahoma and Kansas market that's going to extend not only our geographies, but also our product offering, allowing us to write more kind of offseason winter week type business. stuff that's written more in the fourth and first quarters of the year. But overarchingly, Paul, we do think we're going to continue to grow in crop. We've said that we plan on getting this $0.5 billion of premium in the next several years, the next couple of years. And then the ultimate goal is to get this to $1 billion of premium. And the way we're going to do it is really on service and technology. And so we're making the investments right now to get to $0.5 billion and to get to $1 billion and particularly on the technology side. while attracting best-in-class talent. So this is going to be a growth driver for us for the next few years, and we are very confident in our ability to execute.
Your next question is from Andrew Andersen with Jefferies.
Just on the net income guidance. I didn't hear anything about cat. Is there anything embedded within that?
Yes. No. So we obviously had about $1.9 million of cats in the quarter. From our viewpoint, we do include mini cats in our loss ratio expectations of -- now we've kind of updated to you a little more favorable or around 30% for the year. In our view, that includes everything that we would expect to happen for the year and knock on where there are no major cats at the end of the year or in this quarter.
Okay. And sorry, go ahead.
Just on the commercial quick, I think it was down 20% in 2Q in terms of rate down 18% this quarter. Do you think we're kind of past the peak deceleration of rate where maybe it'll still be soft, minus 10, minus 5, but it's not going to get much worse from here? Or how are you kind of thinking about the next 12 months?
Yes, Andrew, it's a good question. And I do think we have seen a deceleration, but we are not hanging our hats on a reversal. So I would say that you're going to continue to see a softening. But what I would like to point out is if you just look at the expanse of our earthquake book, residential quake now is 61% of the book at the end of the third quarter. The area where we're seeing the most pressure from a rate standpoint, it's about 1/4 of the book and frankly, it's around 8% of our book in totality. So we think we are very well hedged against softening rate on the primary side in commercial quake by the softening P&C -- or excuse me, property cat reinsurance market plus the inherent levers that we have in residential quake. So yes, I think you're going to continue to see large account pressure, probably not to the degree that you saw in the second and third quarter, but we're not going to make a call that it's going to recede. But we will make the call that the health of our residential earthquake book and the softening property cat reinsurance market is going to allow us to grow both top gross written premium in '26 as well as have scale from a net earned premium perspective on the earthquake book prospectively.
Your next question comes from Mark Hughes with Truist Securities.
Chris, did I hear you probably the ratio of net -- or yes, net growth should continue to increase? It should step up on the fourth quarter and then step up further in the first half of next year. Is that correct?
Yes, that's the correct way to think about it. We think of the third quarter as our low point for the net earned premium ratio. Couple of factors now, obviously, before and currently, it still has a lot of impact from the XOL and this being the first full quarter of any new XOL placement even though there was rate savings on that. We still buy for growth. So the dollar spend on that does increase to support that growth. And then now this year and a little bit last year, but obviously, with the growth in crop this year and still seeing 70% of that. We expect the net earned premium ratio to be at the low point in the third quarter of every year and then going up incrementally from there all the way until call it, Q3 of next year.
Yes. I appreciate that. The impact from the Omaha National in 3Q, did you give that specifically, you mentioned that 4Q should show the underlying trend in fronting and I'm just sort of curious what that underlying trend looks like at this point?
Yes. No. So the third quarter, I want to say it was about $30 million last year in our written premium. And so at this stage, that, call it, headwind has been pushed aside or has the right phrase for that.
Right its course.
Yes. You pushed the headwind. Mac, you had mentioned a pipeline of quake relationships. Is that -- is there something -- some new developments there? Or is that just ongoing course of business?
Yes, Mark, I'll let Jon Christianson chime in, too. I would say it's an ongoing course of business. We have over 20 carrier partnerships for earthquake, where we are their dedicated partner to provide an earthquake, whether it's to satisfy mandatory obligations or to bundle with other products. And sometimes, they come over lumpy. Sometimes they are a bit of a hunting license, and they grow. And so we have seen good execution and good conversion from partnerships over the course of '25, but we also do have a pipeline. But Jon, feel free to chime in.
Yes. No, I agree with all that. And I'd add that we're always searching for new strategic opportunities. And what we're finding now is that because we have been known as a strong strategic partner for earthquake, we're also taking inbound increase from others that are looking to better address the earthquake exposure that they may have or add value to their customers by adding earthquake. As Mac mentioned, some of the more high-profile household name type of partnerships at mine over the last few years. They don't all come on at once in certain cases. And so as time has gone on, and we've been working together a longer period, we have seen increased traction with a number of large partners. And that's paid off so far this year.
Yes. And so sometimes, it can be in a relationship where we are working with them in all states, but California and then California has opened up to us or it's vice versa. We're the California partner, then all of a sudden, they think about us handling Pacific Northwestern New Madrid. So Jon and his team do an excellent job of chasing down these partnerships and then executing and implementing them. So we feel that '26 should provide 1 or 2 other new deals. .
[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from Meyer Shields with KBW.
Chris, second question a little more on the guidance. I'm trying to get a sense as the expectations for the underlying loss ratio, excluding reserve development and excluding the major catastrophe losses so far this year. Is there any -- can you help us think about that?
Yes. So I think from our standpoint, when you look at the book of business and the maturity and the lines of business that are growing, whether it be crop, casualty, in land-marine other property are growing at a very strong rate, not to say that earthquake growth isn't still very good, but those lines that are growing at a higher rate do have attritional losses with them. So overall, earthquakes still has a nice 0% loss ratio, but these other lines that are growing at a higher rate do have attritional losses with them. So I expect the loss ratio to continue to move up. I think the one thing that we were saying at the end of last quarter is that we expected our loss ratio to be about, call it, low 30s for the year. I think now based on some of the favorable results that we've seen so far, we expect that kind of to be around 30 that could be plus or minus 1 or 2 points on either side of that. But overall, we feel a little bit more favorable about where we did before. But overall, nothing has really changed that we still expect it to move up. It's still moving up in line with those attritional results. But there's been no, call it, underlying unfavorability in any of the results. It's kind of just a natural change in our book of business and portfolio and diversification that is having that loss ratio move up a little bit. But again, like I said before, it's not jumping, didn't jump from 10 points like anyone was thinking before. But overall, we felt that it was going to just move up incrementally and is kind of doing exactly what we expected.
Okay. That's very helpful. Can you talk a little bit more about the health care liability, I guess, book that you're writing? The specific question is whether there's like actual growth and amortization exclusions, but more broadly, what you're looking for?
Yes, Meyer. So we launched that 71. We hired a gentleman named Frank Castro, 30-year-plus underwriter spent time at RLI, access and actually have worked as a risk manager for a large hospital system, too. So great experience. Launched 71 with a nice reinsurance program it's like we've done with other casualty. It's a walk before we run. Our gross limits are about $5 million. Net limit is going to be inside of [ 2 ]. His book, what we're targeting is about 60% hospital liability, 25% managed care E&O and then 15% kind of Allied Health. And his timing is good as it pertains to hospital liability because you are seeing the SME or [indiscernible] liability exclusions more frequently or sub limited. And as I mentioned on the call, again, the timing is good in the sense that there is meaningful rate to be grabbed here. So this is another example of the walk before you run, but it's led -- and it's also another example of a great underwriter overseeing a market that's a bit dislocated.
Okay. Yes. The timing certainly makes a lot of sense. And one last question, if I can. How should we think about the stickiest flood policies that you're writing while these federal programs set down?
Yes. Happy to take that, Meyer. This is Jon Christianson. So I think what we found historically both preshutdown and what we're seeing now is strong stickiness of policy renewals. And I think more importantly, in the last couple of months, we've seen a greater interest in new business and great confidence in the private market, delivering relative to the uncertainty around the NFIP. So strong product, a great partner, strong distribution, and I think as every day passes, there's a greater validation and credibility in how the private market can deliver a better product than what has traditionally been in the market.
Your next question comes from Pablo Singzon with JPMorgan.
The question of loss ratio deterioration versus accelerating premium growth always comes up for you, right? Because if you're changing mix, and that's before you're thinking about things like reinsurance retentions and CD commissions and the like, right? But just given your Palomar 2X aspiration to double earnings in 3 to 5 years, would it be fair to simplify the discussion here and assume that you're also planning for a similar growth trajectory in your net underwriting income, right? So I don't know, something like 20% to 30% growth a year in the medium term. Is that a fair way to think about your portfolio in a very simple way.
It is, Pablo. Yes, and thanks for bringing that up. I mean I think we feel that Chris has talked about it, that we have levers to pull from retentions and that's going to potentially amplify net earned premium growth over net premium growth and similarly on the investment side. But to answer your question, simplistically, yes, I think that is an accurate way to categorize it.
Okay. And then second question also, I guess, on growth, Mac. So clearly, good growth you're experiencing right now. I'd be curious to hear at what point do you think you'll have to reload whether it's in respect to new hires or even M&A as you see the big Gray in order to sustain the current pace as opposed to sort of like past hires ramping up? And growing in adjacent life like low-hanging fruit that what you have now can achieve versus incremental hires or debt stressing for [indiscernible]?
Yes. I mean I think, obviously, Gray was unique in that it was an acquisition. We've been really an organic growth story up until the last year or so. But I think Gray afforded us the ability to really kind of supercharge our entry into the surety marketing and give us a scale that we wanted. We said our goal was to get to $100 million, bringing Gray and for it to allows us to do it a lot quicker. But I think having gray and that's going to give us another organic growth vector. And that's because they can enter into new markets. And so Pablo, I think we're going to continue to grow organically by investing in talent, expanding geographic reach, entering into adjacencies, and then we'll be opportunistic if there is some inorganic growth driver that allows us to bring in an expertise or a competence that we don't think we can build in-house as effectively. I don't want to say that we're going to -- well, definitely I want to say that we're not going to stop hiring talent that complements what we're doing or can help enhance our growth trajectory because we will continue to do that. But I do want to say that we -- all of our lines of business earthquake included, have growth vectors. Some lines of business have headwinds in them, commercial property. But if you really feel it back commercial property is less than 9% of our book. So when you look at crop casualty, now the surety franchise, the builder's risk franchise, residential quake like there are growth vectors across the board. So 44% growth is very strong. and that's not going to be at infinitum. But we remain very confident in our ability to achieve the Palomar 2X goals. And so that's going to have to come from gross written premium to some degree. And then the net earned premium, which you highlighted earlier. So we just think that we are well positioned and to attain Palomar 2X and also just to grow organically.
There are no questions at this time. So I will turn the call over to Mac Armstrong for closing remarks.
Thanks, operator, and thank you all for joining the call today. I'm very proud of our third quarter results. They demonstrate the strength of our business and the diversity of our unique specialty insurance portfolio. It's a balanced book of E&S and admitted residential and commercial property and cash products. That's being supplemented now by the newer lines of business like Crop and Surety, that are uncorrelated to the PC market cycle. So we think we are very poised to deliver consistent growth, and we're confident in our plan do so. And the third quarter only gives us more conviction of what we have in front of us. So I'll conclude just with welcoming our new teammates to Gray Surety. And as always, I want to thank our employees for their commitment to Palomar. Thanks again, and enjoy the rest of your day.
Thank you. All parties may now disconnect.
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Palomar Holdings, Inc. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Bruttoprämien: $597,2 Mio. (+44% YoY)
- Bereinigter Nettogewinn: $55,2 Mio. (+70% YoY; $2,01 je Aktie)
- Bereinigte Combined Ratio: 74,8% (Combined Ratio = Schaden‑ und Kostenquote; niedriger = besser)
- Adjusted ROE: 25,6% (Annualisierte Eigenkapitalrendite)
- Guidance: 2025 Bereinigtes Nettoziel auf $210–215 Mio. angehoben
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Palomar 2X: Ziel, bereinigtes Netto innerhalb 3–5 Jahren zu verdoppeln; aktuelle Ergebnisse stützen die Zielerreichung
- Akquisition: Übernahme von Gray Casualty & Surety (~$300 Mio.) zur Skalierung der Surety‑Plattform; soll Marktzugang in TX/FL/CA stärken
- Diversifizierung: Crop und Surety wachsen; Management nennt ~50% des Prämienvolumens als weniger zyklisch gegenüber P&C
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- 2025 Guidance: Erhöht auf $210–215 Mio.; Midpoint impliziert ~24% adjusted ROE
- Loss-/NEP‑Erwartung: Erwartetes jährliches Loss Ratio ca. 30% (+/−1–2 Punkte); Net Earned Premium Ratio für 2025 in niedrigen bis mittleren 40ern
- Gray‑Deal: Abschluss in 2026 erwartet (Quartal im Transkript unklar); Finanzierung via Term‑Loan + Barbestand
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Surety‑Opportunity: Interesse an Details zur Marktpositionierung von Gray und Cross‑sell; Management sieht Weg zu Top‑20
- Crop‑Wachstum: Wie nachhaltig ist Wachstum? Plan: $230 Mio. 2025, $500 Mio. mittelfristig, langfristig $1 Mrd.; Fokus auf Technologie & Talent
- Erdbeben & Rates: Residential stark, Commercial unter Druck (Rate‑Druck ~−18%); Management erwartet weitere Abschwächung, aber keine Rückkehr zu früheren Niveaus
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solide Quarter mit starkem Prämien‑ und Gewinnwachstum sowie Guidance‑Erhöhung. Diversifizierung (Crop, Surety) reduziert Zyklizität und stützt Palomar‑2X. Wichtig für Anleger: Reservierungspolitik, Commercial‑rate‑Trends und die erfolgreiche Integration/Finanzierung von Gray beobachten.
Palomar Holdings, Inc. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Palomar Holdings, Incorporated Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Chris Uchida, Chief Financial Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate your participation in our earnings call. With me here today is Mac Armstrong, our Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. Additionally, Jon Christianson, our President, is here to answer questions during the Q&A portion of the call. As a reminder, a telephonic replay of this call will be available on the Investor Relations section of our website through 11:59 PM Eastern Time on August 12, 2025.
Before we begin, let me remind everyone that this call may contain certain statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These include remarks about management's future expectations, beliefs, estimates, plans and prospects.
Such statements are subject to a variety of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated or implied by such statements. Such risks and other factors are set forth in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We do not undertake any duty to update such forward-looking statements.
Additionally, during today's call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. The presentation of this additional information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for results prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to their most comparable GAAP measure can be found in our earnings release.
At this point, I'll turn the call over to Mac.
Thank you, Chris, and good morning. I'm pleased to discuss our second quarter results as they further demonstrate our success in building a specialty insurance market leader as well as the execution of our Palomar 2X strategic imperative. We not only achieved exceptional top line growth of 29%, 45% on a same-store basis, but we also saw strong bottom line growth with adjusted net income increasing 52% year-over-year.
This strong growth underscores the strength and diversity of our product suite and the effectiveness of our balanced book of property and casualty and residential and commercial risks. Our financial metrics were equally impressive as we generated an adjusted combined ratio of 73% and a 24% adjusted return on equity. Our portfolio is one of a kind in specialty insurance and our second quarter results reflect its unique nature.
As I reflect on our results and the broader specialty insurance market backdrop, there are 5 key themes that I hope you take away from today's call. First, our ability to operate seamlessly across residential and commercial products in the admitted and E&S markets is a core strength and differentiator. This flexibility allows us to respond adeptly to any shift in market conditions and deploy capital where the exposure and terms and conditions are most attractive.
The strategy has proven the most opportune this quarter in our earthquake and Inland Marine and other property lines of business. Second, the breadth of our specialty portfolio provides balance across insurance and macroeconomic cyclicality. Beyond the mix of E&S, admitted residential and commercial lines, products like surety and crop are not subject to traditional P&C insurance market cycles and as such, afford us distinctive earnings stability.
Third, Crop and Casualty are now not only meaningful growth engines, but moreover contributors to our near- and long-term success. Both product categories had strong quarters and have exceptional leadership orchestrating our business plans. Fourth, we remain disciplined in our approach to underwriting and reserving. We are building reserves across the book and only releasing redundancies in short-tail mature lines of business.
Furthermore, we are maintaining conservative gross and net line sizes as our books season in newer lines of business like casualty and surety. Fifth, our June 1 reinsurance placements were executed from a position of strength, enabling us to meaningfully reduce volatility, improve risk-adjusted returns and importantly, ensure consistency in our earnings base for the remainder of the year and into 2026.
With that said, I will now offer further commentary on the performance and market conditions of our 5 product categories. Our Earthquake franchise delivered consistent results with gross written premium growth of 9% year-over-year. This performance highlights the strength of our purposefully structured portfolio of residential, small commercial and large commercial earthquake insurance products.
The strategy, which has been in place since our formation in 2014, allows us to achieve steady growth and returns regardless of the market environment. With an increasingly competitive commercial earthquake market, our current focus is directed towards the Residential Earthquake book. During the quarter, we wrote record new business premium that complemented the 87% policy retention and 10% inflation guard on the existing book.
Residential Earthquake continues to see growth opportunities from both the admitted and E&S markets as well as new distribution partnerships. We are seeing increased competition in Commercial Earthquake, most notably in large commercial accounts, which saw an average rate decrease above 20%, albeit from record levels. We remain disciplined on pricing in terms of conditions but are still allocating capital to large accounts business that meet risk-adjusted return targets.
Small Commercial business, which represents 1/3 of the Commercial Earthquake book is more insulated to the pricing pressure exhibited in the large commercial E&S market. That said, it is still seeing rate decreases above 10%. While the conditions in the large commercial segment have softened, the strength of our residential book positioned us to sustain growth in 2025.
For the remainder of the year, we expect high single-digit growth in our earthquake franchise, driven by the continued strength in Residential Earthquake. Our Inland Marine and other property category grew 28% year-over-year driven by a well-diversified mix of residential and commercial lines. Like the earthquake book, residential and residential-oriented admitted products were the best performers in the quarter.
The admitted nature of the residential earthquake, Hawaiian hurricane and residential builders risk business requires considerable investment in systems, distribution, process and infrastructure and therefore, has a more pronounced barrier to entry than commercial E&S segments. Our Hawaii hurricane line grew 39% as we continue to increase rates on the held book and selectively increase the exposure in our Laulima reciprocal.
Our residential builders risk products performed well in the quarter, highlighted by our admitted single location business, which grew 52% in the quarter as recently added underwriting talent was able to service new and existing distribution partners. The residential builders risk market, both standard and high value, continues to present attractive opportunities.
In June, we also announced a strategic partnership with Neptune Flood to enhance our residential flood offering. The partnership with Neptune will expand our flood exposure from geographically concentrated inland flood risk to a more diversified nationwide portfolio that leverages Neptune's market-leading technology and distribution reach.
Importantly, reductions in wind exposure over recent years have freed the capacity to write flood risk in coastal areas without stacking exposure and increasing earnings volatility. While commercial property rates have softened in the Builders' Risk and Excess National Property segment, we are still growing and generating compelling results. Builders Risk grew more than 30% and renewed its quota share reinsurance program at improved economics from the expiring treaty.
Excess National Property grew over 50% in the quarter in the teeth of low teens rate decreases. The growth was driven by a 30% increase in submissions and a larger gross line. With significant prospects still available, we will continue to add underwriting talent in these commercial property lines. Casualty had another strong quarter of growth as gross written premium increased 119% year-over-year in the second quarter.
The strongest performers in the quarter were the E&S casualty business led by David Sapia that continues to write buffer layer accounts that are seeing rate increases of 15%. Environmental Liability, which nearly tripled year-over-year, albeit from a modest base, and the real estate E&O franchise, which grew 87% year-over-year as we expanded our geographic reach and distribution footprint.
On the whole, rate momentum remains healthy and our risk appetite remains conservative, if not modest. In the second quarter, our average casualty net line was less than $1 million with our largest line of business, E&S Casualty, having a net line of approximately $800,000. We also added stellar talent to our Casualty team in the quarter that will both strengthen our underwriting bench and also launch new products.
During the quarter, we welcomed Jason Porter to lead primary E&S Casualty and Frank Castro to build out our Healthcare Liability business. Jason and Frank are well-regarded professionals with long-standing distribution and reinsurance relationships. These additions reinforce our confidence in sustaining profitable growth in the casualty market while remaining disciplined on attachment points, net lines and rate.
Our new surety business performed in line with expectations, growing at a pace consistent with our overall portfolio. Similar to the other casualty lines, we added experienced underwriting talent, expanded our geographic reach and bolstered our distribution network and surety during the quarter. We remain highly confident in the long-term growth potential of this new franchise. Casualty reserve approach remains conservative.
Our approach is informed by consistent monitoring of loss emergence patterns, attachment points and portfolio mix. As discussed in prior quarters, we continue to carry nearly 80% of our reserves as IBNR, well above industry standards. Maintaining this conservative stance reinforces the strength of our balance sheet and provides confidence in the stability and predictability of our future results.
Our Crop franchise generated $39 million of written premium in the second quarter compared to $2.2 million in the prior year period. The elevated result in the second quarter reflects scale, execution and an earlier-than-expected reporting of acreage related to localized mild weather in geographies where we are strong, which ultimately shifted some premium volume forward from the third quarter.
Our April acquisition of Advanced AgProtection has been well-received by the market. As such, we are adding experienced talent to enhance our sales, claims and technology teams. These investments should expedite our long-term plan in crop. We remain confident in attaining our $200 million premium target this year and building the business to $500 million in the intermediate term. Fronting and premium declined 38% year-over-year, reflecting the final full quarter of impact from the conclusion of our partnership with Omaha National.
This headwind will be all but gone in the third quarter, allowing the underlying growth of our Fronting portfolio to become more visible. Looking ahead, we'll continue to add partners selectively, but Fronting is not our highest strategic priority. As it pertains to reinsurance, the second quarter was equally productive and successful. We completed the placement of our June 1 core excess of loss treaty, achieving a 10% risk-adjusted rate decrease, better than the flat to down 5% we originally guided towards.
This terrific result locks in favorable economics through 2025 and into the first 5 months of 2026. Our reinsurance coverage now extends to $3.5 billion for earthquake events, inclusive of $1.2 billion of catastrophe bonds and $100 million for Continental U.S. hurricane events. In addition, we introduced a standalone excess of loss treaty for Hawaii hurricane policies issued by Laulima, providing up to $735 million in coverage.
As a result, our core excess of loss reinsurance tower is over 95% earthquake-only coverage, which makes the program both attractive and scarce to property catastrophe reinsurers. Beyond securing the limit to support our earthquake and wind books, we also improved our risk profile by lowering our all perils, excluding earthquake, per occurrence retention to $11 million from $15.5 million, maintained a $20 million retention for earthquake events even with a 15% increase in limit and exposure and lastly, put in place a $1.5 million retention for Laulima.
These retentions are considerably inside of our stated guidelines of less than 0.5 of earnings and 5% of surplus. We also successfully renewed 11 other reinsurance treaties during the second quarter, including quota shares for two large lines of business in builders' risk and our cyber fronting program. Both renewed at improved economics.
Separately, I'm pleased to share that our Board has authorized a 2-year $150 million share repurchase program that permits us to opportunistically deploy capital and buy back our shares at levels that we believe are attractive. Stock buybacks will not impede our ability to capitalize on already identified or future market opportunities and that they could enhance our Palomar 2X strategic imperative. The buyback program simply demonstrates the conviction we have in our long-term strategic plan and the future of Palomar.
In conclusion, we executed and delivered strong results this quarter, our 11th consecutive earnings [ beat ] in the face of a softening commercial property market. The results are a testament to our distinct portfolio of specialty products. On the heels of the second quarter's performance, we are raising our 2025 adjusted net income guidance to $198 million to $208 million from $195 million to $205 million, a midpoint that implies an adjusted ROE of 24%.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Chris to discuss our financial results and guidance assumptions in more detail.
Thank you, Mac. Please note that during my portion, when referring to any per share figure, I'm referring to per diluted common share as calculated using the treasury stock method. This methodology requires us to include common share equivalents such as outstanding stock options during profitable periods and exclude them in periods when we incur a net loss. For the second quarter of 2025, our adjusted net income grew 52% to $48.5 million or $1.76 per share compared to adjusted net income of $32 million or $1.25 per share for the same quarter of 2024.
Our second quarter adjusted underwriting income was $48.4 million compared to $32.9 million for the same quarter last year. Our adjusted combined ratio was 73.1% for the second quarter of 2025 and 2024. Excluding catastrophes, our adjusted combined ratio was 73.1% for the quarter compared to 70.3% last year. For the second quarter of 2025, our annualized adjusted return on equity was 23.7% compared to 24.7% for the same period last year.
Our second quarter results continue to demonstrate our ability to achieve our Palomar 2X objectives of doubling adjusted net income within an intermediate timeframe of 3 to 5 years while maintaining an ROE above 20%. Gross written premiums for the second quarter were $496.3 million, an increase of 29% compared to the prior year second quarter or 45% growth when excluding runoff business.
As we've discussed on prior calls, this runoff business will add a $32 million headwind in the third quarter and then will be behind us. Net earned premiums for the second quarter were $180 million, an increase of 47% compared to the prior year second quarter. Our ratio of net earned premiums as a percentage of gross earned premiums was 44% as compared to 37.4% in the second quarter of 2024 and compared sequentially to 43.7% in the first quarter of 2025.
The year-over-year increase in this ratio is reflective of improved excess of loss reinsurance and of the higher growth rates of our non-fronting lines of business, including earthquake that ceded less premium. With the timing of our core excess of loss reinsurance program renewal and the majority of our crop premiums written and earned during the third quarter, we continue to expect the third quarter to be the low point of our net earned premium ratio, increasing throughout the remainder of the reinsurance treaty year in a similar pattern to last year.
While we expect quarterly seasonality in our net earned premium ratio, we continue to expect net earned premium growth over a 12-month period. Based on our performance for the first half of the year, we expect our net earned premium ratio to be in the low 40s for the year. Losses and loss adjustment expenses for the second quarter were $46.2 million, comprised primarily of non-catastrophe attritional losses with a very minor amount of favorable development on prior year catastrophe events.
The loss ratio and attritional loss ratio for the quarter was 25.7%. Additionally, the results for the quarter include $6.5 million of favorable development, primarily from our shorter tail lines, such as Inland Marine and other Property business. We continue to hold conservative positions on our reserves. Favorable development is the result of our conservative approach to reserving upfront, allowing us to release reserves later.
A great example of this is our all-risk business, where we initially established conservative reserves as the book grew, then subsequently trimmed our exposure, resulting in strong reserve positions that we can release. Our results for the quarter reinforce our conservative approach to reserving and use of reinsurance. For the year, we expect our loss ratio to be in the low 30s. Our acquisition expense as a percentage of gross earned premium for the second quarter was 12.6% compared to 11% in last year's second quarter and 12.3% in the first quarter of 2025.
This percentage increased along with the overall diversification of our unique specialty book of business. For the year, we expect this ratio to be around 11% to 12%. The ratio of other underwriting expenses, including adjustments to gross earned premiums for the second quarter was 8.7% compared to 7.3% in the second quarter last year and compared to 7.5% in the first quarter of 2025.
As demonstrated by our hires over the last year and in the second quarter, we remain committed to investing across our organization as we continue to grow profitably. As we have discussed on our first quarter call, we have continued to invest in our crop organization, acquiring Advanced AgProtection on April 1. We expect long-term scale in this ratio, although we may see periods of sequential flatness or increases due to investments in scaling the organization within our Palomar 2X framework.
Based on the organizational investments made, I expect this ratio to decrease sequentially in the third quarter and be higher for the year overall compared to last year. We expect this ratio to be around 8% for the year. Net investment income for the second quarter was $13.4 million, an increase of 68% compared to the prior year second quarter. The year-over-year increase was primarily due to higher yields on invested assets and a higher average balance of investments held due to cash generated from operations and the August 2024 capital raise.
Our yield in the second quarter was 4.7% compared to 4.3% in the second quarter last year. The average yield on investments made in the second quarter continues to be above 5%. We continue to conservatively allocate our positions to asset classes that generate attractive risk-adjusted returns. At the end of the quarter, our net written premium to equity ratio was 0.91:1. Our stockholders' equity has reached $847.2 million, a testament to consistent profitable growth and the capital raise.
I would like to comment on our business from a modeling perspective for the third quarter in addition to expectations mentioned earlier in my remarks. While we did see more crop premium and losses in the second quarter than originally anticipated, which is influencing our view, the third quarter will continue to stand out based on our crop participation increasing to 30%, the crop book's growth and seasonal earning pattern and the first full quarter of our excess of loss reinsurance placed June 1.
Taking all of that into consideration, for the third quarter, we expect the following: the highest gross earned and net earned premium dollars with the lowest net earned premium ratio, the highest loss dollars and highest loss ratio and our acquisition expense and adjusted other operating expense dollars to continue to be in line with growth expectations, but with the lowest gross earned premium ratio for the year.
Thinking about the dollars sequentially from the second quarter to the third quarter, we expect a more pronounced increase in gross earned premium, net earned premium and losses. We expect acquisitions expenses to be stable, and we expect adjusted other underwriting expenses to increase incrementally from the continued investment in our organization.
Overall, we expect the combined ratio to be in the mid- to upper 70s, including catastrophe losses. The apex of our combined ratio will be in the third quarter, primarily due to crop. Based on what we are seeing, I expect the tax rate to be between 23% and 24% next quarter. Turning to our guidance and as Mac discussed, reflecting our strong operating results for the first 6 months of the year, we are raising our full year 2025 adjusted net income guidance range to $198 million to $208 million.
Our guidance includes $8 million to $12 million of additional catastrophe losses. Our win retention of $11 million is well within our catastrophe loss range for exposure that has been meaningfully reduced over the last few years. Importantly, the midpoint of our full year guidance range implies adjusted net income growth of greater than 50%, a full year adjusted ROE above 20% and doubling our 2022 adjusted net income in three years and doubling our 2023 adjusted net income in just two years.
With that, I'd like to ask the operator to open the line for any questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from the line of Paul Newsome from Piper Sandler.
2. Question Answer
Maybe you could focus a little bit more -- talk a little bit more about the property-related competition. And I think there's some fears out there that the sharp decline perhaps in the Commercial earthquake pricing is something that could spread and meaningfully reduce the growth potential for -- at least in the near-term for Palomar. Any further thoughts there that might be helpful?
Yeah. Of course, Paul, this is Mac. Thanks for the question. And I think I'd start with saying we're still forecasting growth in earthquake for the year and considerable growth in high single digits. It's down from where we started in 2025, but it's still a healthy amount of growth in both earthquake and then the Inland Marine and other property, which grew 30% in the second quarter.
What's most important to convey is our book is a balance between residential and commercial, and this is earthquake as well as Inland Marine and other property. It's also a mix between admitted and E&S. So the mix between admitted and E&S and residential commercial allows us to play through market cyclicality and still grow. And if you look at the residential earthquake book, I'll just reiterate what I said on the call, we have a 10% inflation guard.
We have 80 -- high 80s policy retention. We are expanding our distribution. We are taking share from the largest incumbent in the California Earthquake Authority, and we are a market leader. So we are growing rapidly. On Commercial Earthquake, there is rate pressure, but we are still seeing attractive business, and we are still writing business at very compelling levels. So when you overlay that dynamic with a softening property cat reinsurance market, we're seeing scale in addition to growth in our earthquake franchise.
Inland Marine and other property, again, it's a balance between residential and commercial business. The residential business has healthy growth. The commercial business is seeing rate pressure, but it's also -- we are also seeing great opportunity to expand geographically, add underwriting talent and also deploying larger lines as our balance sheet has grown as our book has grown.
So we think we are in very good shape on commercial property. It's not to say there's not competition in segments like large commercial, but in small commercial or admitted commercial business, it's very well-positioned, and it's healthy growth that we expect to see for the remainder of this year into '26. And then on the residential side of the book, there are multiple growth vectors.
There are multiple products that are market leaders, and we are going to be able to execute the plan that we put forth and why we've raised our guidance 3x this year and probably will do it a couple of times more this year based on how we've executed. So I'd like to allay any concerns about property pressure. Not to say we're impervious to it, but we are very well-positioned because of the mix of our book and our expertise.
And then maybe as a follow-up and somewhat related, any thoughts on sort of green shoots as you build out other parts of the business that are new and early?
Green shoots in the property segment, Paul?
Just in general, what new businesses, you've been adding new products for a while. I'm just wondering if there's any.
Yeah. Well, I think we're very focused on three different product categories that have a ton of potential in them. Certainly, Casualty, which had very strong growth in the quarter. But our focus is as much growth from an exposure standpoint but also discipline from an underwriting standpoint. I made the point that our -- average net line was less than $1 million in our fastest-growing and largest casualty segment, and that's E&S casualty.
We also are seeing great growth in crop and crop was one -- the growth actually pulled forward a little bit earlier than we expected, which I think portends well in our ability to achieve the $200 million target that I've talked about, but also I think that portends well for consistency in the losses because in many ways, we've had to take a little bit of the loss early by nature of the reporting pattern in crop insurance. And then lastly, surety is another great growth vector for us.
New hires that we made in the course of the year will give us incremental opportunities or green shoots to use your term. But the growth vectors we have are considerable and they're multiple. And then we have a great anchor on the property side that affords us to be disciplined, conservative in how we lean into those growth vectors. So I appreciate you asking because I could talk for hours about the growth opportunities that we see.
We take the next question from the line of Peter Knudsen from Evercore.
I'm just wondering, is there any way you'd be willing to give us any disclosure around the growth in quake between resi and commercial just to get a better sense of your guys' growth there and the competition that's going on? And then within that, I'm just curious what the assumption around Commercial earthquake pricing is moving forward within that updated high single-digit earthquake outlook that you guys provided?
Yeah, Peter. So we don't break out the growth rates between the two. What I can offer you is that residential quake is larger. It's about 55% of the book. It's got a healthy inflation guard and strong policy retention that kind of blends out to a 6% or 7% growth rate if you just apply those two. So there's obviously growth in exposure in new business, as I said, record new business.
On the commercial quake, that's where we're seeing more pressure. It's more large account business. And so that's not growing at the same clip that we're seeing in residential quake. But what I would offer you anecdotally is in the month of July, we're off to a good start this quarter with the growth and think that high single digits, if not low double digits based on July is attainable.
Okay, great. And then just switching gears away from growth for a moment. Just looking at the accident year loss ratio ex cat, if you exclude the favorable [ PYD ], when we calculated at 29.4%, I think increased a bit from the 26.6% in 1Q. And so I was just wondering if you could talk a little bit about the driver of that elevated ratio.
Is that entirely mix driven or is there any one-off loss experience in the quarter that you would call out? And then within that, am I correct in still thinking that 3Q's attritional on your reported basis should be in the mid-30s?
[ I can take that ]. Yeah. No, I think it is primarily mix driven, as you indicated, right? The biggest piece of that is we've mentioned on the prepared remarks, related to the Crop business. Crop earned premium came on a little bit earlier than we initially expected. So that earlier premium also avails itself to a little more elevated losses.
Overall, when you look at it from a 12-month period of time or for a full calendar year, it doesn't change our overall expectations for that book of business. Everything is performing as expected, but it would provide a little bit of, I'll call it, a tailwind in the second half of the year because we would expect losses to be a little bit lower than we initially predicted because the third quarter and fourth quarter losses that we expected to be there came a little sooner in the second quarter.
But overall, for the calendar year, no real change in philosophy, but when you look at it on a quarterly basis, we would expect a little or have some potential favorability in the third and fourth quarter because that -- those crop losses came in a little sooner than expected.
So overall, no changes when we look at the line of business or no surprises that are concerning us on any of the lines of business, just overall strong results on the top line, driving a little bit of higher losses and mix when we look at it.
You mentioned prior period development. I think we've said this before, we continue to take initial reserves that are conservative. We have very conservative loss picks as we start our books or start our years. And so that avails itself to favorable prior period development as the periods go on. We don't plan for it, but it's not a surprise or not unexpected based on how we would like to reserve.
Peter, does that answer all your questions? We take the next question from the line of Mark Hughes from Truist Securities.
The guidance, you raised the guidance, $3 million, the $198 million to $208 million. If we think about the favorable development in the quarter, it was greater than that. And so one might suggest the underlying guidance was a little bit lower. Is that a fair look at it or how would you frame that up?
Yeah. I mean, I think, first off, we've raised guidance 3 times this year, and we've only had two quarters of results. So we've raised guidance after a strong first quarter. We've raised guidance after a strong successful reinsurance placement, and then we're raising guidance again after a strong second quarter. I would not read much into that.
Our view is -- Chris talked about the seasonality and pulling forward some of the premium, but also the losses from the crop. We have not factored in the potential favorability in there. We still have a cat load that's equivalent to our retention. And mind you, when there were major storms last year, because of the reduction in our continental hurricane exposure, we didn't have anywhere close to retention losses.
So we think there's conservatism. And as I said earlier, our goal is to beat earnings. We've done it for 11 straight quarters, and we've raised guidance 8 times in the last few years. So that's going to be our model. And that's what we did this quarter. But I wouldn't read anything into it, Mark.
Understood. Yeah, 50% earnings growth is maybe a little higher, a little lower, still pretty good. When we think about the casualty opportunity, obviously, very strong growth. How would you frame up the pricing there? Any kind of marginal change in that pricing trajectory from Q1 to Q2? Any sign of maybe some deceleration there or is that still the same momentum?
Yeah, it's product-specific. I think in excess liability and let's -- a lot of our E&S casualty book is buffer layer business. You're still seeing mid- high teens rate increases. Some of the niche GL like environmental, it's still -- it's lower single digits, but still good terms and rate increases. The area that we've pulled back some in has been on the professional liability side where that market has softened.
So where we are focusing, in particular, on the excess liability, general liability, niche-focused general liability, it's still a healthy rate. It's the professional lines with the exception of maybe some of the miscellaneous E&O categories where there's the most pressure. And I think that's where, as a result, we're more focused on the former as opposed to the latter.
We take the next question from the line of Meyer Shields from KBW.
Mac, I'm trying to just get my brain around how the Crop business worked because you talked about booking the premiums earlier. Does that mean that there's more unearned premium compared to what you might normally see on second quarter premium production?
Yeah. I think you'd kind of take all pieces of the crop premium coming on a little bit earlier, right? When we initially talked about it and thought about it, we expected most of the written and earned premium to come in, in Q3. While that is still true, some of that written and earned premiums came in a little bit earlier in the second quarter. As Jon Christianson likes to point out, we're talking about matters of days when this is reported, right?
If something is reported on June 30, it's reported in Q2. It's reported on July 1, it's reported in Q3, a lot more -- or not a lot more, but more of that premium than we expected came in, in the second quarter. So that results in written premium being higher, that results in ceded premium being higher, that results in earned premium being higher, ceded earned being higher and losses being.
Losses being higher.
So all of that kind of came in a little bit earlier. But again, when you look at this on a 12-month period of time that $200 million of crop premium that we're expecting for this year, we're still expecting it all the results to be the same for a 12-month period of time. It's really just a slight shift between Q2 and Q3, where we still expect most of that to come in, in Q3.
But before, I think we would have said something around the 60% to 70% range. We're probably in the 50% to 60% range that we now expect to come in, in Q3 versus what we talked about, let's call it, back at Investor Day.
And [ Mandy ], one thing I would add is underlying that is a bit of a positivity, is a bit of a positive note. Like it means there's been healthy production and yield and rain. And that, generally speaking, is a good thing for the Crop business. So another silver lining there.
Yeah. And one other thing I'd add is there's just after the April 1 announcement of the Advanced AgProtection acquisition and kind of combining our organizations together, just the acceptance and the excitement in the market that has really motivated agents to be on top of these acreage reports and send them in and just showing the good message of the combined force between Advanced AgProtection and Palomar as we move forward throughout the growing season. So it's all been well-received by the market, and I think that excitement has translated into a little bit of earlier reporting as well.
Okay. No, that is very helpful and good to hear. And just -- I think we've talked about this in the past, but in terms of what you're booking for crop profitability when it's still relatively early in the harvest season, how should we think of sort of the strategy for booking incurred losses in the second and third quarter before we actually get to the major harvest?
Yeah. I'd say, let's call it, any favorable signs from the season will show up in the fourth quarter or potentially in the first quarter, depending on the timing of when things come in, right? This is very dependent on people, right? They need to report their losses. We need to know what's going on. I think when we look at it overall, we're going to stick to our picks, right?
I would also say that there was probably a little bit more of that coming in, in Q2 just from a result standpoint. We expect that to smooth out by the time we get to the end of the year. But we're not going to predict exactly when we're going to book let's call it, the favorability or potentially unfavorability based on the season until -- but it won't be before the fourth quarter or potentially the first quarter of next year.
And the season so far is what we'd characterize as good to very good. But that being said, we are still in early August. And so there's a lot of time left before harvest. But the season is set up well, but we just need to continue to see favorability from a weather standpoint as we go through the rest of the year.
Okay. That's very helpful. And if I can throw in one last question. Is there room for or need for maybe increasing the inflation guard ahead of tariffs?
Meyer, yeah, it's something we do look at. Where we sit here today, we feel that we have an ample cushion with the inflation guard and the actual replacement costs for building, whether it be for builders risk, Hawaiian hurricane or quake and flood. So it's something we'll monitor. But right now, we do believe it's an adequate cushion above inflation. Fortunately, it's an underwriting rule and change, so it doesn't require approval from an insurance department.
The next question comes from the line of Pablo Singzon from JPMorgan.
So first question, if we think about the reinsurance retentions across the lines you disclosed, which lines have the most immediate impact on underwriting income? I guess I'm thinking about the bridge between gross premiums and underwriting income, right, and which lines have less. It seems to me that you're getting hit more immediately by slower growth in earthquake, right?
But then if you think about your faster-growing lines like casualty, for example, you're not really seeing much of a benefit to underwriting income today. Is that fair? And how would you sort of characterize how those lines feed ultimately into underwriting income?
Well, yeah, Pablo, so if I understand your question, I think what you're trying to get is where there is the most leverage, so to speak, in our products. And with the casualty, most of the reinsurance, if not all of it is quota share. And so those quota shares are annual contracts, and we have not really changed our risk participations in those quota shares because of the nascent -- yeah, their nascency.
A lot of these programs are early and they are longer tail lines. So we want to see the book season before we meaningfully change our risk participation. So yeah, I think that your point is with casualty, we're probably not earning as much premium. We're definitely not earning as much premium as we are in some of the property, which is more mature and shorter tail.
Where we can see potentially more leverage long-term would be in quake and the all perils exposed business if we want to increase our retentions. We actually chose to do the opposite in the circumstance of earthquake, we maintained it at $20 million at 6/1. And then on the wind side, we pushed it down because we wanted to create alignment with our cat load that we've given in guidance.
So as the balance sheet grows, and it certainly has, 50% earnings growth does lead to compounding the book value pretty effectively. We can take those retentions up. Those retentions are -- those low layers are at expensive chunky rate on lines, certainly north of our stated return on equity targets. So that does give us some optionality. And that same optionality does persist on the casualty side. It just won't manifest itself for a little bit longer period of time. It's a nice lever to have down the line.
Yeah. And I would point out, Pablo, when you think about this from a, call it, a numbers and a metric standpoint, when we started this year and we thought about our reinsurance program, we talked about it being, let's call it, flat to up 5%. And you look at that from a standpoint of our net earned premium, right?
For the year, we expected our net earned premium to be in the high 30s based on all of the things Mac talked about, especially making our reinsurance excess of loss program or keeping it conservative, right? We held the retention for earthquake. We lowered the retention for wind. Those aren't free. Our dollar increase in our reinsurance program was only $10 million. So with all of that, we expect our net earned premium now to be in the low 40s versus the high 30s. That is against the larger number of gross earned premium.
So think about that when you think about earnings for the end of this year, but think about that also for all of 2026, we expect that benefit. So 2 to 3 points on the higher gross earned premium spread out through 2026 is how you should think about our model improving and even keeping all of our reinsurance very conservative, if not more conservative than last year and getting only a minor increase in dollar spend. So overall, we're very happy with how the book is going. And that leverage on reinsurance is going to play through over the next 12 months in our P&L.
Yeah. And then second question, I was curious if you're willing to provide the qualitative outlook for growth in Inland Marine and other property, right? So it seems like Builders Risk is still growing well. You probably have a headwind in commercial property, right? And then you have rate increases in the Hawaii block dropping off by the end of the year. So maybe if you could just sort of go through the bits and pieces there and put everything together to the extent you're willing to talk about sort of the growth outlook for the balance of the year.
Well, I mean, we're not giving product-specific growth rates, Pablo, but I think we feel that there are several growth vectors in Inland Marine and other properties to sustain the growth and that -- some of that's geographic expansion driven, the addition of new underwriting talent that allows us to process more submissions, and that's most relevant for Builders Risk and Excess National Property.
Certainly, the new partnership on the flood side gives us a nice growth vector. Hawaii, yeah, the rate increases will roll themselves through the book, but there still is the opportunity to increase our exposure there, especially with Laulima having its own reinsurance program and that market remaining a bit dislocated. And then the admitted side of the builders' risk affords ample opportunity for growth, too.
We've already been -- this year, there's been rate headwind in that commercial segment of the Inland Marine and other property, and we've actually been winding down the -- All Risk book as we pulled back our continental hurricane exposure. So this year, we've already seen that play through, and we still grew 30-plus percent, and we feel good about sustaining growth in this line that indexes that for the whole business.
The next question comes from the line of Andrew Andersen from Jefferies.
Could you expand a bit on the Neptune relationship here and perhaps how that compares with your prior flood operations? And just remind, are you operating as a frontier or would you be taking balance sheet risk as well?
Andrew, yes, so our flood book historically has been concentrated in 5, 6, 7 states, really writing more inland flood. And so the partnership with Neptune allows us to write inland flood and coastal flood. So it expands the TAM. We will be taking underwriting risk. We've taken underwriting risk in flood since we launched the product some 6 or 7 years ago. As I mentioned on my previous remarks, we have [ called ] back our wind exposure meaningfully.
So that's allowing us to write coastal flood and not stack limit. So this will be a risk-bearing partnership with a nice operator that has really strong expertise in coastal flood and then we can marry that up with what we've done in the inland flood to get a nice balanced book of flood that's not overly concentrated from a geographic standpoint or nature of loss standpoint.
Should we think of that as benefiting any growth in '25 or is this more of a '26 type of event?
It's going to be more '26. It's really -- it's going live 10/1. We didn't want to launch a new coastal flood program in the teeth of the hurricane season. So it's really going to be more of a '26 contributor. Yeah, it's a good question.
Ladies and gentlemen, as there are no further questions, I would now hand the conference over to Mac Armstrong for his closing comments.
Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining us today. I'm very proud of our second quarter results. They are a clear demonstration of the success we are having building Palomar into a market-leader in the specialty insurance sector, a market leader with a portfolio that is distinct and has industry-leading products.
We delivered strong top and bottom-line growth and our property -- the balance of residential and commercial exposures allowing us to grow and perform in soft and hard markets like we're experiencing today.
New lines like Crop and Casualty delivered strong growth this quarter and are well-positioned to maintain the -- and we are well-positioned to maintain the momentum over the medium-term. So -- we are positioned to sustain our growth, deliver consistent earnings and returns.
And over time, the results will speak for themselves. And so hopefully, you get a sense that we could not be more excited about the opportunities that lie ahead of us. And as always, I want to thank our team and our terrific employees for their continued commitment to Palomar. Have a nice day.
Thank you, sir. On behalf of Palomar Holdings, thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.
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Palomar Holdings, Inc. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Adj. Nettoergebnis: $48.5M (+52% YoY; $1.76/Dil. Aktie)
- Brutto-Prämien: $496.3M (+29% YoY; +45% ex‑runoff)
- Adj. Combined Ratio: 73.1% (ex‑Katastrophen gleich)
- Nettoverdiente Prämien: $180M (+47% YoY)
- EK & Rückkäufe: Eigenkapital $847.2M; Board autorisiert $150M Rückkaufprogramm (2 Jahre)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Portfolio‑Diversifikation: Mix aus Residential/Commercial und admitted/E&S als strategisches Differenzierun gselement zur Stabilisierung in Zyklik
- Produkt‑Schwerpunkte: Wachstumstreiber Casualty, Crop und neue Surety‑Franchise; Inland Marine/Builders Risk und Residential Earthquake besonders stark
- Reinsurance‑Disziplin: Juni‑Placement verbessert Volatilität; Kern‑XL jetzt primär Earthquake, Retentions gesenkt (z.B. All‑Perils ex‑EQ auf $11M)
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Jahresprognose: Adj. Nettoergebnis erhöht auf $198M–$208M (Midpoint impliziert >50% YoY Wachstum; ROE >20%)
- Q3‑Erwartung: Höchste Brutto/Netto‑verdiente Prämien, höchster Losss‑Dollars; Combined Ratio mid‑upper 70s (Spitze wegen Crop)
- Sonstiges: Guidance enthält $8M–$12M zusätzl. Katastrophenverluste; erwarteter Steuersatz Q3: 23–24%
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Commercial Quake‑Druck: Analysten fragten nach Ausbreitung der Preisrückgänge; Management betonte Residential (≈55% des Books) als Wachstumsanker und hohe Retention/Inflation‑Guard.
- Crop‑Timing: Kritik an vorgezogenen Prämien/Loss‑Reporting; Management erklärte frühere Meldungen (Tage‑Effekt) und sieht keine Änderung der Jahres‑Performance, aber Q3/Q4‑Timingverschiebung.
- Reinsurance & Guidance: Nachfrage, ob favorable PYD (vorperiodische Entwicklungen) in Guidance eingerechnet sind; Management sagte, Guidance bleibt konservativ und berücksichtigt Reinsurance‑Effekte, nicht erwartete Favorabilität.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starke operative Zahlen und erhöhte Guidance untermauern das Wachstumsszenario; Portfolio‑Diversifikation und ein günstiges Juni‑Reinsurance‑Placement reduzieren Volatilität. Risiken bleiben bei Pricing in Large Commercial Property und Crop‑Saisonalität; Aktionäre profitieren von deutlichem Earnings‑Momentum und opportunistischen Rückkäufen, aber sollten Quartalstiming und Reserve‑Konservativität beachten.
Finanzdaten von Palomar Holdings, Inc.
Umsatz
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Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz & Prämien | 970 970 |
59 %
59 %
100 %
|
|
| - Versicherungsleistungen | 483 483 |
76 %
76 %
50 %
|
|
| Rohertrag | 488 488 |
46 %
46 %
50 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| - Sonst. betrieblicher Aufwand | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | - - |
-
-
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 245 245 |
43 %
43 %
25 %
|
|
| - Netto-Zinsaufwand | 3,47 3,47 |
623 %
623 %
0 %
|
|
| - Steueraufwand | 56 56 |
54 %
54 %
6 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 197 197 |
47 %
47 %
20 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
Palomar Holdings, Inc. ist als Versicherungs-Holdinggesellschaft tätig. Sie konzentriert sich auf die Märkte für Wohn- und Gewerbeimmobilien in erdbebengefährdeten Bundesstaaten wie Kalifornien, Oregon, Washington und Bundesstaaten mit Exponierung in der New Madrid Seismic Zone. Das Unternehmen bietet Sach- und Unfallversicherungen an. Das Unternehmen wurde am 4. Oktober 2013 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in La Jolla, Kalifornien.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Armstrong |
| Mitarbeiter | 439 |
| Gegründet | 2014 |
| Webseite | plmr.com |


