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Kennzahlen
📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 64,04 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 27,78 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 64,04 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 30,08 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 73,34 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 27,78 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 73,34 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 30,08 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Paccar Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
26 Analysten haben eine Paccar Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
26 Analysten haben eine Paccar Prognose abgegeben:
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Vergangene Events
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APR
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JAN
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aktien.guide Basis
Paccar — Shareholder/Analyst Call - PACCAR Inc
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. I am Mark Pigott, Executive Chairman of PACCAR. I'd like to call the 2026 Annual Meeting of PACCAR stockholders to order. To begin, please note the meeting protocol set forth on the back of your program. Congratulations to all PACCAR employees for achieving very good results last year. Thank you for your dedication, your ingenuity and hard work that has enabled the company to grow and prosper. I'm proud of you. The following individuals have been appointed to serve as inspectors of election. Quin Koplitz, Adam Stewart, and Michelle Wang for PACCAR; and Jennifer Leno for Equiniti.
The voting polls, which close at 10:50 a.m. If you haven't voted and you need a voting form, please raise your hand and the ushers can give you one. The Corporate Secretary advises me that we do have a quorum for this meeting with approximately 91% of the shares eligible to vote represented in person or by proxy. I'd like to recognize the company's independent auditing firm, EY. Please stand as your name is read. Heath Cruikshank and Chris Anger, PACCAR's global Audit Partner and Managing Partner. Thank you.
I'd like to introduce the directors of the company. Please stand as your name is read. Pierre Breber, retired Chief Financial Officer, Chevron; Dame Alison Carnwath, Senior Adviser, Evercore Partners; Preston Feight, Chief Executive Officer, PACCAR; Kirk Hachigian, retired CEO and Chairman, JELD-WEN; Brice Hill, Chief Financial Officer, Applied Materials; Barbara Hulit, Senior Managing Director, Blackstone; John Pigott, Partner, Beta Business Ventures; Luiz Pretti, former Chief Executive Officer, Cargill Brasil; Ganesh Ramaswamy, Chief Executive Officer, Southwire Company; Dr. Dietmar Scheiter, Managing Director, JOKALOU, Dietmar is a new director from Germany; Mark Schulz, President and Chief Executive Officer, M.A. Schultz and Associates and PACCAR's Lead Director; and I too am a Director.
Will the Secretary please officially place in nomination the directors are standing for election.
Mr. Chairman, the Board of Directors of PACCAR Inc. has placed in nomination the 12 individuals named in the proxy statement dated March 18, 2026. Thank you.
Thank you, Mike. This morning, we have 3 presentations. I will discuss the company's 2025 financial results and the major events that occurred during the year. Preston Feight, PACCAR's CEO, will discuss how PACCAR's truck, finance and parts organizations delivered excellent results last year as well as review the company's exciting investments in new products and technologies. Kevin Baney, PACCAR's President, will review PACCAR's strong balance sheet, PACCAR Financial Services business and review our first quarter results.
My father, Chuck Pigott, passed away earlier this year at the wonderful age of 96 years old. Chuck was President and CEO of PACCAR from 1965 to 1996. The legacy of his leadership is a strong and growing PACCAR and a tradition of quality and innovation that continues to benefit our shareholders, employees and customers.
Let's take a moment and bow our heads. As Chuck would say, let's get on with the business. Trucks move over 70% of all the goods in the regions in which we operate. PACCAR's business segments are commercial vehicles, financial services, aftermarket support, powertrain and information technology. Each makes a valuable contribution to the company's success and to the global economy. PACCAR is celebrating 121 years of success this year and has delivered an impressive 87 consecutive years of profitability. PACCAR is 1 of only 13 public companies in the Fortune 500 to achieve that milestone. In addition, PACCAR has paid a dividend every year since 1941.
In 2025, PACCAR achieved its fifth best year ever with revenues of $28.4 billion and net income of $2.4 billion. PACCAR successfully navigated an uncertain world of fluctuating tariffs, supply shortages and engine emission regulatory guidelines. Notable highlights include generating $4.4 billion of operating cash flow and achieving a record $19.3 billion of stockholder equity. The company increased its regular quarterly dividend by 13% last year and paid an extra dividend of $1.40 per share in January of this year. All in all, a very good year. This slide highlights PACCAR's financial results for the last 10 years and illustrates how the company has performed in all phases of the economic cycle.
As you look at this slide, it's impressive to note that PACCAR has emerged stronger and achieved higher levels of revenue and profitability in every business cycle. The current world of higher fuel prices highlights the benefits of PACCAR's fuel-efficient vehicles, which our customers enjoy. PACCAR has grown due to the contribution of its excellent employees, our customers and dealers and by being the innovation leader in the premium segment of the industry. The excellent financial results generated by PACCAR over many years are reflected in its growing market value. Shown here is the market capitalization of global vehicle manufacturers and other companies in 2015 and at year-end 2025.
PACCAR's market value has more than tripled in the last 10 years. You can be proud that PACCAR is recognized as 1 of the leading and most valuable automotive companies and technology companies in the world. Take a moment to take a look at that slide. Takes 30,000 dedicated employees to make that happen and 2,000 great dealers and thousands and thousands of customers.
Shown here are the truck markets for the U.S. and Canada, Europe and South America. The U.S. and Canada Class 8 truck market is expected to be in the range of 230,000 to 270,000 units this year. The European truck market is expected to be in the range of 280,000 to 320,000 units. South America's heavy-duty truck market is projected to be in the range of 100,000 to 110,000 trucks. Congratulations to Kenworth and Peterbilt for achieving Class 8 market share of 30% last year. Customers recognize the industry-leading quality and low total cost of ownership of Kenworth and Peterbilt trucks.
Pictured are the Kenworth T680, T880 and the Peterbilt Model 579 and 567. Kenworth and Peterbilt achieved medium-duty market share of 15.9% last year. Pictured are the Kenworth T280 and the Peterbilt Model 220. In Europe, DAF achieved heavy-duty market share of 13.5% last year. PACCAR is proud and I hope you are also that the DAF Electric XF and XD won the International Truck of the Year 2026. DAF is the only European truck manufacturer that has won 3 Truck of the Year awards in 5 years. That's saying something. DAF Brasil achieved market share of 8.6% last year. DAF Brasil is exporting trucks to Chile, Peru and Colombia and is expanding its factory to meet growing demand in South America.
PACCAR has supported communities in which our employees live and work for over 100 years. I'm proud of the company's proactive and generous donations of over $260 million that are delivering important benefits for the medical research, social services, education, and the arts. And you can see it, we do it all over the world. Preston Feight, PACCAR's CEO, updates you on the company's success.
Thank you, Mark. Good morning, everyone. So good to be with you all. PACCAR has a comprehensive portfolio of industry-leading trucks. These include the Kenworth medium and heavy-duty vehicles that are shown on the left, the DAF trucks in the middle, and the Peterbilt medium and heavy trucks shown on the right. These vehicles are creating excellent performance for our customers and for our shareholders. PACCAR's global team uses their capability and talent to create trucks that are produced in our excellent factories located in countries around the world. The sales, financial services and parts teams provide our complete set of transportation solutions to our dealers and our customers. And I'm so proud of everyone at PACCAR for their excellent performance. We have a great team.
Shown here are the industry-leading Kenworth T680 and the T880. The T680 on the left provides customers the best fuel economy and elegant styling. The T880 on the right is the premier vocational offering in the industry. These trucks are the premium choices for customers and drivers everywhere. Here's the outstanding Peterbilt 579 and 589 trucks. The 579 on the left provides Peterbilt dealers and customers, class-leading performance and is a favorite truck of fleets all across North America. The new model 589 on the right with its classic styling, LED lighting and its state-of-the-art 2.1-meter wide premium cab is the truck of choice for proud owners everywhere.
Later this year, Kenworth and Peterbilt are introducing fully-integrated connected truck platforms. Shown here are the digital displays and how they're beautifully integrated into the luxurious and state-of-the-art Kenworth and Peterbilt vehicles. The platforms will provide always-on connectivity for our customers and will reduce their cost of operation by enabling PACCAR to deliver over-the-air performance updates and a wide variety of business applications that are designed to meet each customer's needs. Pictured here are the full lineup of DAF vehicles that begin with the medium-duty truck shown on the left, include the flagship heavy trucks in the middle and a full range of electric vehicles shown on the right.
These excellent trucks are sold in Europe, Australia, South America, Taiwan, Mexico and many other markets around the world. PACCAR continues its global leadership in the development of zero emissions vehicles. We're selling a wide range of battery electric vehicles in the heavy and medium-duty markets of Europe and North America. This broad range of trucks is designed to meet our customers' needs as well as reinforce PACCAR's environmental leadership and readiness for the future. Over the past 5 years, PACCAR has invested almost $5 billion in new products, facilities and technologies. A few of those strategic investments are shown here. On the top left, PACCAR has created Flexible Production Factories like the one shown in Denton, Texas.
Our Flexible Factories enable us to optimally adjust to market demands and the dynamic world of regulatory and tariff changes. On the top right is Chillicothe's new robotic chassis paint factory that increases quality and efficiency. On the bottom left, Diesel engines are the primary powertrain of choice for PACCAR's customers and PACCAR's investments in clean diesel engines will ensure it continues its powertrain leadership. And on the bottom right, PACCAR Parts in Europe is building a new distribution center in France to provide more customers with same-day parts delivery. PACCAR's technology is driving the future. We're making strategic investments in zero emissions technology, are creating industry-leading connected truck platforms, are developing autonomous vehicles, and are using artificial intelligence to enhance efficiency.
All of these technologies are being developed to support our customers' needs and to create success for the company today as well as in the years to come. PACCAR's heavy-duty market share has grown over the past 10 years. In South America, share has grown to around 8%. European share has been steady. Australian share has grown to 27.7%. And in North America, heavy-duty share has grown to over 30%. PACCAR Parts and our dealers support our customers around the world. PACCAR's 21 distribution centers in 12 countries as shown by the yellow dots. PACCAR Parts delivered over 3.1 million shipments to Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF dealer locations in 2025. In 2016, PACCAR Parts global revenue was $3 billion and has now increased to $6.9 billion. The revenue more than doubling in 10 years is a testament to PACCAR Parts technology that provides the right part to the right place at the right time for our customers.
Along with revenues, PACCAR Parts profits have grown. Since 2016, pretax profits have increased at an average rate of 13% per year, growing from $544 million to $1.7 billion in 2025. Alongside PACCAR, our independent dealers are also making investments. In 2025, Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF dealers invested over $660 million to provide our customers with world-class support. Shown here are 4 beautiful new dealerships located in Ohio, Indiana, Brazil and Germany. Since 2016, PACCAR's global revenue has grown in North America, which is shown in green, Europe in red, and the rest of the world shown in yellow. PACCAR's investments have resulted in revenues growing from $17 billion in 2016 to $28.4 billion in 2025.
PACCAR's growth has resulted in strong cycle-over-cycle financial performance. Since 2016, as shown on the top left, revenue has grown by 6% per year. Net income on the top right has grown 18% per year. This reflects increased profits from each PACCAR division. Total asset growth of 9% per year in the bottom left reflects the strategic investments that PACCAR has made in its products and its facilities. And shown in the bottom right, a substantial portion of the earnings has been reinvested in the business, increasing stockholders' equity by 12% per year to a record $19.3 billion. This is excellent performance for PACCAR and its shareholders. Thank you very much. I'd now like to introduce Kevin Baney, PACCAR's President. Kevin?
Thank you, Preston, and good morning. It's great to be here with you today as President. It is my first presentation at the shareholder meeting. I'm celebrating 32 years with PACCAR. I started my career in engineering at Peterbilt, I then transferred to Kenworth where I became General Manager. And during the last 2 years, I've spent a lot of time with the DAF team in Europe. PACCAR's excellent credit rating of A+ reflects 87 consecutive years of profitability, a strong balance sheet and excellent cash flow. PACCAR is in the top 3% of the over 1,000 U.S. nonfinancial companies rated by Standard & Poor's. PACCAR's high credit rating supports the profitable growth of our financial services business. PACCAR's net profit as a percent of revenues shown in green, has been best in class during the last 10 years. This reflects the premium value of PACCAR's products and exceptional operating efficiency.
PACCAR achieved an industry-leading after-tax return on revenues of 8.4% last year, an excellent achievement. PACCAR's return on invested capital has averaged a best-in-class 47% over the last 5 years. This reflects our strong working capital management and prudent investments for the long term. Our high performance is a real competitive advantage and is appreciated by investors. Our balance sheet is a pillar of strength with $9.3 billion in cash and $19.3 billion in stockholders' equity. Manufacturing assets increased to $12.3 billion. Financial services assets of $22.8 billion reflect more trucks in the portfolio and a successful increase in dealer floor plan participation.
The company has no manufacturing debt and has record stockholders' equity. PACCAR's stockholder equity has almost tripled since 2016 and is currently $19.3 billion. $13.7 billion of the equity is invested in our manufacturing and aftermarket parts business. The remaining $5.6 billion is invested in financial services. PACCAR's financial strength enables the company to invest in new products and provides the foundation to support our long-term growth initiatives. Last year, the company generated excellent operating cash flow of $4.4 billion. The strong cash flow enables the company to invest in new products and services and pay dividends to our stockholders.
PACCAR's regular dividend, shown in green, totaled $694 million last year. Total dividends declared, which includes year-end dividend, shown in red, were $1.4 billion. PACCAR has declared $12.6 billion in dividends during the last decade. PACCAR Financial Services provides financing and leasing options for our customers. With 19 locations, PACCAR Financial offers an extensive suite of services in 26 countries on 4 continents. PACCAR Financial earned $485 million in pretax profit last year. Total assets increased to $21.3 billion. PACCAR Financial provided financing for 27% of the new Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF trucks sold last year. Dealers and customers appreciate our industry-leading technology and full line of financial products.
PACCAR sold 17,200 used trucks worldwide across the network of 13 Used Truck Centers. The PACCAR leasing fleet finished last year with 38,300 trucks. PacLease has a service network of 682 locations in North America, Europe and Australia, has assets that totaled $3.3 billion. I'm pleased to present PACCAR's first quarter results. Total PACCAR revenues were $6,777 million. Net income was $605 million with earnings per share of $1.15. Thank you.
Kevin, good job on your first presentation. I've been doing this 34 years, and it only gets better. It's a good group to work with. You got to love this group. Would the Company Secretary please present the results of stockholder voting.
Mr. Chairman, a preliminary report of the inspectors of elections indicates that on Item 1, stockholders approved the election of the 12 nominees for director. On Item 2, stockholders approved an advisory resolution on executive compensation. On Item 3, stockholders approved an advisory vote on the ratification of the company's independent auditors. Thank you.
Thank you, Mike. The meeting is concluded. We have 4 videos today. The first video highlights the growing success of PACCAR Parts worldwide. The second video shows the impressive history of Peterbilt. The third video explores PACCAR's leadership in AI. And the fourth video shares the love and affection that our customers have for their Kenworth vehicles. Enjoy.
[Presentation]
Wonderful meeting. At this time, I'm pleased to answer your questions or you can just enjoy the wonderful exhibits and our great employees. Okay. Thank you for being at the PACCAR Annual Meeting. See you next year.
Transkripte auf Deutsch freischalten
- Alle Event Transkripte auf Deutsch
- Sofortige Übersetzung
- KI-Zusammenfassungen für die wichtigsten Insights
Paccar — Shareholder/Analyst Call - PACCAR Inc
Paccar — Shareholder/Analyst Call - PACCAR Inc
PACCARs Jahreshauptversammlung bot einen Rückblick auf 2025-Resultate, operative Highlights und Q1-Zahlen, aber keine neue Jahres‑Guidance.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: Starkes Geschäftsjahr 2025: Umsatz $28,4 Mrd, Nettogewinn $2,4 Mrd, operativer Cashflow $4,4 Mrd und Rekord-Eigenkapital $19,3 Mrd; Management betont Produktqualität, Teilewachstum und finanzielle Stabilität.
⚡ Strategische Highlights
- Produkt: Breites Portfolio (Kenworth, Peterbilt, DAF) mit Fokus auf Kraftstoffeffizienz, batterieelektrische Schwer- und Medium‑Trucks und geplanten „connected truck“-Plattformen mit OTA‑Updates.
- Investitionen: Fast $5 Mrd in fünf Jahren in neue Produkte, flexible Fabriken und Automatisierung (z. B. Roboter‑Lackierwerk in Chillicothe).
- Aftermarket & Services: PACCAR Parts wächst auf $6,9 Mrd Umsatz (2025) und höhere Vorsteuererträge ($1,7 Mrd); Used Truck Centers, PacLease‑Flotte und Finanzdienstleistungen stärken wiederkehrende Erträge.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Q1‑Update: Erstes Quartal: Umsatz $6.777 Mrd, Nettogewinn $605 Mio, Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) $1,15 — konkrete Zahlen, aber keine angehobene/gesenkte Jahres‑Guidance.
- Marktprognosen: Management nennt Marktspannen: Nordamerika Class‑8 230–270k, Europa 280–320k, Südamerika 100–110k; keine neuen Absatzziele.
- Auszeichnungen: DAF Electric XF/XD gewann International Truck of the Year 2026 — signalisiert Branchenführerschaft bei E‑Trucks in Europa.
⚖️ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Für Aktionäre bestätigt die Sitzung PACCARs Qualitäts‑ und Kapitalstärke: solides Cashflow‑Profil, hohe Eigenkapitalbasis und laufende Investitionen in Elektrifizierung und Vernetzung. Wachstum ist eher organisch; kurzfristig keine neue Guidance, Risiko bleibt konjunkturabhängige Nutzfahrzeugnachfrage.
Paccar — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to PACCAR's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]
Today's call is being recorded, and if anyone has an objection, they should disconnect at this time. I would now like to introduce Mr. Ken Hastings, Packers Director of Investor Relations. Mr. Hast, please go ahead.
Good morning, and welcome, everyone. My name is Ken Hastings, PACCAR's Director of Investor Relations. And joining me this morning are Preston Feight, Chief Executive Officer; Kevin Baney, President; and Brice Poplawski, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. As with prior conference calls, we ask that any members of the media on the line participate in a listen-only mode. Certain information presented today will be forward-looking and involve risks and uncertainties that may affect expected results. For additional information, please see our SEC filings at the Investor Relations page of PACCAR.
I would now like to introduce Preston Feight.
Thanks, Ken. Good morning, everyone. In the first quarter, PACCAR's outstanding employees did an excellent job providing our customers with the highest quality trucks and transportation solutions in the industry. I really appreciate their hard work, their high performance, and dedication as we increase build rates in our factories all around the world.
PACCAR achieved revenues of $6.8 billion and net income of $605 million in the first quarter. These results were generated by strong PACCAR parts and financial services results as well as solid growth in the truck businesses. PACCAR Parts achieved quarterly revenues of $1.7 billion and quarterly pretax income of $402 million. PACCAR Financial had a strong quarter, achieving pretax income of $116 million.
Looking at this year's U.S. and Canadian truck market, we estimate it to be in a range of 230,000 to 270,000 units. The market is strengthening as driver and fleet capacity becomes limited and customers begin to realize higher freight rates. This is somewhat moderated by fuel and other operating cost volatility.
In the first quarter, Kenworth launched a new C580 heavy-duty vocational truck. This large multi-axle model was introduced at the CONEXPO trade show and is a unique super heavy-duty truck used in severe service applications around the world. We project the 2026 European above 16-tonne market size to be in a range of 280,000 to 320,000. DAF's premium aerodynamic trucks provide customers with the latest technology, and best operating efficiency.
As mentioned on the January earnings call, DAF XF and XD Electric vehicles won the International Truck of the Year 2026 honor. In the first quarter, DAF extended its EV leadership by introducing new flagship XG and XG+ electric vehicles. In addition, the XF Electric earned another award the 2026 Eco-Friendly Truck of the Year in Spain. This year's South American above where DAF trucks are desired by customers for their durability and advanced technology is expected to be in a range of 100,000 to 110,000 vehicles.
In the first quarter, PACCAR delivered 33,100 trucks. And in the second quarter, will deliver an estimated 37,000 to 38,000 vehicles. PACCAR's Truck, Parts and Other gross margins increased from 12% to 13.1% in the first quarter due to improved truck segment performance.
Second quarter margins are forecast to expand to around 13.5% as global production volumes increase. We anticipate continued performance improvements in the second half of the year as our customers benefit from our local-for-local manufacturing strategy, experienced better operating conditions and purchased trucks in front of the coming 2027 emissions change.
PACCAR's exceptional range of trucks, compelling parts business, industry-leading financial services and advanced technology strategy position the company well for an excellent future.
Kevin will now provide an update on PACCAR Parts, Financial Services and other business highlights. Kevin?
Thanks, Preston. PACCAR Parts achieved first quarter revenues of $1.7 billion and profits of $402 million. Gross margins were 29.6%. Best Rate parts sales to grow by about 3% in the second quarter and be in the range of 3% to 6% for the full year. PACCAR Parts has 21 parts distribution centers worldwide and has plans to expand its global distribution network in TRP stores.
As mentioned at our recent Analyst Day, we continue to see great opportunities for broad-based parts growth and look forward to realizing that opportunity in partnership with our outstanding dealer network. PACCAR Financial Services pretax income was a robust $116 million. The continued strong performance is a result of solid asset growth, improving margins and the used truck market that is beginning to strengthen.
This year, we're planning capital investments in the range of $725 million to $775 million and R&D expenses in the range of $450 million to $500 million. As we continue to invest in key technology and innovation projects. These include advanced flexible manufacturing technologies, next-generation powertrains PACCAR's autonomous vehicle platform and integrated connected vehicle services. We are excited for the growth PACCAR will experience in the coming quarters and years. We are now pleased to answer your questions.
[Operator Instructions]
Your first question comes from the line of Michael Feniger of Bank of America.
2. Question Answer
Just on the parts guidance. Maybe you guys can just unpack what did you see in the quarter? It feels like a slower start I'd love if we could just start there of what you're seeing in the parts side, how we're looking so far for -- through Q2 and how we should think about that in the back half with orders starting to pick up and be better than expected.
Yes, Michael, this is Kevin. I'll start with the parts side. So with fleet consolidations and the higher fuel prices that's impacted, let's say, operating cost volatility. That's resulted in the parts market remaining soft. And so as we see as customers start to get healthy, we'll talk a little bit more about the truck market side, but as customers start to get healthy, we'll see the parts market get healthier with that as well. And so just for the full year guidance for the 3% to 6%, we see that accelerating through the rest of the year.
And just on the -- my last question, just on the gross margin, $13.5 the pickup versus 31% in Q1. Just should we still think that gross margin sequentially walk up through the year as build rates recover? Is there a pricing expectation that, that could also get better as well given your comments that the U.S. markets continue to strengthen. Just kind of curious how we should think about as you build through the year and what number we might be exiting the year as we're starting to see some strength in freight rates, even excluding fuel right now?
Michael, thanks for the question. This is Preston, it's good to tell you I think you talked about a few things in there that we're seeing is we do see the increasing volumes. I'm really pleased with how the factories have been able to, again, create local for local manufacturing capability in America.
We see the volumes increasing, as we said, the 37,000 and 38,000 in the second quarter. That's on the basis of build rates that we've already put in place. So teams have done a really good job of that. And we see some of that margin growth coming from that volume, partially offset a little bit by the price of energy, steel, aluminum, the raw material pricing in there. So there is that not quite sure customers have seen the full effect of tariffs yet. But we feel really good about the cadence throughout the year as the market and our customers get healthy, and we see accelerating sequentially.
Maria, let's go to the next question.
Your next question comes from the line of Jerry Revich of Wells Fargo.
I'm wondering if you just talk about the really strong profit per truck that you folks delivered in the quarter, so it would lower Parts contribution, you folks still exceeded the guidance range. So it looks like your profit per truck was up to about 5,300 to 2,900 last quarter. Can we just unpack that, how much of that was better cost execution versus mix and any other moving pieces as we think about the profile heading into the rest of the year?
Yes. Jerry, thanks for the comments. I appreciate them. They're nice well stated. We did have price cost advantage in the quarter sequentially. So we saw ourselves up over percent in price cost, which is good. I think the teams are doing a really good job of focusing on the market we're in. So being price careful to see if we can make sure that we get our percentage of the market. In fact, we saw that in terms of our percentage of market build.
So in the first quarter, we built 31.8% of the market, which is very favorable. -- in a good position to be in. And so we're balancing that growth with price/cost favorability.
Super. And then as we look at the backlog, how much more favorable is price cost based on what's in backlog versus what we saw in the first quarter?
Well, we think we'll have favorability as we look forward into the second quarter. Obviously, we're looking at our volumes going up appreciably. We're really full through the second quarter, and we have good visibility into the third and the fourth quarter.
Okay. Super. And just one last one, just to calibrate expectations around orders over the balance of the year. We're hearing that there's just limited number of build slots available that might hamper orders over the next couple of quarters versus underlying demand? Is that the case for uses, what proportion of your build slots are already spoken for the next 3 quarters?
Yes. Like I said, as we have -- we're full in Q2 were a majority full in Q3, Q4. I'm not sure I recognize the commentary about people not having slot that sounds more like a marketing scheme.
Fair enough.
Your next question comes from the line of Tami Zakaria of JPMorgan.
My first question is on the Symtet metal tariffs that went into effect in early April, does that change your view on what would be the tariff impact, especially for aftermarket parts versus the last time you spoke? Or is it basically doesn't -- does it not change the tariff headwind that you expected?
Tami, it's good to hear from you. It doesn't really have a lot of impact for us because of the truck-specific 232 has specific offsets and it applies mostly to those materials. So there's some moderate impact but not significant.
Understood. That's helpful. And -- just following up on what Jerry was asking. Maybe I wanted to ask it in a different way. So based on third-party data, orders have been very strong year-to-date. You kept your U.S./Canada outlook unchanged. Does this outlook include the year-to-date strength in orders, meaning do you expect orders to moderate as we go through the year? And as we get close to the NOx time line? Or is your view shaped by supply chain rather than demand?
I think our view is shaped by the fact that the first quarter really didn't have a high cadence to it. So if the first quarter ran at something around or a little under $200,000 that in order for it to come to the midpoint at 250, there's going to have to be already a rapid toleration. And we have a great supply base, but they also need to be able to spin up their operations. So the rate of increase quarter-over-quarter as we probably informs the total market size.
Your next question comes from the line of Rob Wertheimer of Melius.
Is there any visible impact of the war in the Middle East on confidence or demand or orders in Europe?
What we've seen is -- I think it's a really good word to use confidence in demand Rob. And I would say that confidence -- yes, I think people are paying attention to and trying to discern what it might mean in the general economy, of course. I would say from a demand standpoint, we've seen less impact. We've seen continued good order intake throughout the last couple of months. So less of a show there.
Perfect. And if I can just ask, I mean, I think we chatted about this once, but the rise of electric trucks in China has been very sharp. And maybe for geopolitical reasons. Could you talk about your own experience? And do you see strong demand from comers? Is there a crossover on total cost of ownership yet on some age classes, models, whatever? And how do you see that shape at rest.
Kevin, why don't you share some thoughts?
Yes. So Rob, you mentioned Europe. And so the geopolitical has had an impact on the fuel prices and the cost of diesel is a bigger percent of the operating cost for customers in Europe. So there's been a lot more discussion about battery electric trucks in Europe. And as we said, DAF just won International Truck of the Year with the DOF XS and XD Electric. They just expanded their product range.
So in a really good position to address the growing customer demand about battery electric trucks in Europe, and we're well positioned against the competition. We've had a lot of competitors over time, and I think we're really well positioned with a great product line.
And I would say, Kevin, I had a chance to drive that XD truck of the year -- it's amazing. It's just a really wonderful truck to be in. So it's going to be great for our customers, and it just launched in the recent months. If you look at the U.S. it might inform a little bit differently, I think without subsidies, than doing widespread adoption is probably less likely. There can be markets where it makes sense.
Certainly, in urban environments, there could be places where EVs make sense, and we look forward to -- we just launched a couple of new medium-duty models for -- can worth and Peterbilt. So we have those regional delivery EVs, which is where the market makes the most sense in America.
Your next question comes from the line of David Raso of Evercore ISI.
The question relates to trying to understand your operating leverage in the truck business, particularly. It looks like you came back to the gross margin for truck must have been around 6.9%, something like that in the first quarter. So sequentially, the truck revenues went up $11 million, but your gross profit went up $73 million.
And I'm just making sure we understand was there anything in the first quarter about reversal of old tariffs that you could take the benefit with Ibagon? I know we already had Truck 232 already in, but just making sure that's a clean -- that kind of strength in gross profit growth on only $11 million of revenue. I mean I appreciate U.S. Canada as a percent of the shipments was a lot bigger this quarter than last quarter, so maybe that's part of it. But can you walk us through that gross margin improvement in truck on really no revenue increase?
Yes. David, you always do such a good job with your numbers and you continue to do that as you kind of get it right is that we had somewhere above 7% for our truck margin -- and that came largely because the teams did a really good job, so in these best-in-class products and then the leverage we got off of the volume helped us as well. So the price cost advantages contributed to that. Bryce, anything you'd add to that?
Yes. We also had, I'll call it, favorable product mix, selling more of the Kenworth and Peterbilt brand. At the year-end, they're more lower because of the holiday shutdown season and then, of course, off at the end of the year, usually has a few units that they're getting done on their fleets that they hold an inventory. So a little bit of a favorable mix effect and where we're selling the trucks as well helped us.
And we didn't record any increase for EPA related to EPA.
So summary of all that, David, to you is a very clean quarter, nothing to put or take out of it.
That then begs the question for the next quarter where your truck revenue could be up, call it, $600 million. Rough numbers, you would think then the gross margin impact could be a little more significant than going up only 40 bps at the company level. And I apologize, I think maybe earlier you mentioned parts gross margins for 2Q. I don't think you called out anything particularly negative, but maybe I didn't hear it correctly.
So again, I'm just trying to understand that impressive performance 4Q to 1Q, but then to seems a lot more muted despite this is the quarter you get a bigger revenue move?
Yes. Well, let's see what the quarter is. We kind of gave you the 13.5% is our midpoint guidance for our margin look. -- we do see the volume being a good thing. I did mention earlier in the call that our build percentage has increased in the market in North America. So we're a 31.8% of a build percentage. And I also see that pricing remains competitive as our customers are just beginning to experience an acceleration in their end markets. So there's a competitive price point out there in the market that's contributing also. And so those are kind of the key factors that informed the second quarter.
Yes. David, 1 other comment probably worth making we guided 3% growth in parts. Obviously, the truck volume will be much greater than 3% going up by 7,000 trucks, 60,000 trucks. So you have a negative, if you want to call it, price mix effect, it also dampens the total margin percent.
Your next question comes from the line of Chad Dillard of Bernstein.
As you think about the prebuy likely to hit later this year, what are your plans for the number of shifts or build flow maybe compared to like where you are today or on a year-on-year basis? I guess like what I'm trying to get at is like how quickly could you ramp that up? -- versus where you are today, if you got a little bit more visibility into the durability of demand?
We have great operations teams. I think they've demonstrated that not just in the past year, but over the decades. -- and they continue to be able to move up quickly. So I think it's more about what the supply base and order board and how quick they have visibility to it. So it's about a hiring cadence across the industry that will probably inform how quick it can go up.
but I feel very confident in our team's ability to add the people and the capacity we need to support the market in any market size.
Got it. And can you talk about how industry price and behavior has changed versus the start of the year? Are some of the nondomestic producers starting to price for tariffs?
Well, I think you'd have to ask them the question of how they're thinking about their pricing scheme. They're better informed on that than we are. We do see a competitive market out there right now. We do see the fact that our customers, as I said, are just starting to see improvement raw material pricing is high. So there is still those things that are putting into it.
But I think we're at the beginning of what feels like an acceleration considering that the first quarter build was just a -- just under 200,000 and last year was low. So if you think about the average market being 267,000 units, there's going to be some replacement demand and there's going to be some strengthening financial performance, and those are both going to be good for us in the near and midterm for the business.
Your next question comes from the line of Steve Backman of Jefferies.
We are not able to hear you, I wonder if you're on mute.
Yes, I was. I'm just figuring out this asking a few decades of, sorry about that. So I'll start again. You guys are get at managing supply chain is probably the best at that, and we have a big ramp, I guess, in the second half this year. And we're starting to hear some early signs that there might be some constraints in things like memory chips and sometimes some people are even worried about aluminum supply.
I'm just curious if there's anything on your radar that you're watching that could actually constrain us in this kind of second half build that we're all expecting?
Yes. Great question, Steve. Thanks for jumping back in and taking the time with it. I think that the thing that informs right now in supply chain is really how much energy-related exposure people have to supply of materials and what that might do to their cost as 1 factor. And in the second, as I said previously, is the higher cadence of people and getting them trained up to speed in a sustainable manner for our suppliers to be ready for the ramp up and build.
Got it. Okay. So nothing specific yet standing out. And then maybe can you just comment, Preston, about the mix that you're seeing relative to vocational versus over the road, I guess, maybe in terms of how the second half is going to ramp up?
It's been pretty uniform. We've seen over the road companies getting their recovery now with spot rates up double digit. -- maybe even up to 20%. We've seen contract rates improving. So that's helping our truckload carriers. The vocational market continues to be solid as well as the LTL. So we're seeing work coming in from kind of all sides as people want to make sure that they have their fleet in the right spot for the year and next year.
Your next question comes from the line of Kyle Menges of Citigroup.
I just wanted to go back to some of the comments you made on gross margin, and it sounds like you're expecting improvement maybe quarter-over-quarter as we move throughout the rest of the year. And just I understand volume is a big piece of that, but -- how are you thinking about pricing momentum? And what are you seeing as we get to the second quarter and into the second half? And how do you -- how are you thinking about price/cost as well for the rest of the year?
Yes. Well, I think the year is a long way is what we typically think about for this discussion is really the next quarter. And I would say that we expect to have a price cost favorability in the quarter. I think how that gets informed is again based upon what the market asked for and how raw material pricing finishes up for us.
So we'll watch carefully how that raw material pricing moves through the year. Obviously, there's some volatility in the market in general, and that will have a consequence. But we do expect to see favorability throughout the year.
Helpful. And then we are getting pretty close now to the new EPA mandate. Just curious how the new engine is performing out in the market and if you guys think that it will be ready in time.
Yes, Kyle, thanks for that question. I think Paccar's team does a great job of having the right engines for our customers and -- so we are really pleased with the engine development programs that are ongoing right now, both for us and we're watching how it's going with our -- with Cummins. Obviously, it was a great partner for us.
We look forward to seeing how the implementation rolls through for everyone. -- but I feel great confidence in our teams and what we'll deliver.
Your next question comes from the line of Jamie Cook of Truist Securities.
A nice quarter. I guess my first question, Preston, if you could talk to, as we think through the second half of the year and I guess, throughout the cycle, what the setup for PACCAR is in terms of incremental margins. I mean, last cycle, you delivered above-average incremental margins with a lot of the new product launches that came into the market. This cycle, we have the Section 232 benefit. Market share opportunity. I'm just wondering how you'll balance the 2. Should we think of the normalized incremental margins of like 15% to 20% or above that?
And then I guess my second question, can you just talk to sort of channel inventory where PACCAR sitting versus its peers and whether it's peers have made any progress on destocking some of the inflated inventory in the channel?
Let's start with your inventory question, Jamie. I think if you look at our inventory, we feel like it's in very good shape. That's kind of around just under 3 months, 2.8 months, and that compares to 2.2 months back in December. So we've been able to get at least a little bit of inventory back into the market, which feels healthy.
I think the industry overall has a higher percentage of inventory I think over 4 months. So that's kind of the lay of the land from an inventory standpoint. PACCAR feel like we're in really good shape there. Dealers have been able to get a few trucks on the lot and get ready to go. Obviously, inventory for us is affected by our 0% vocational share. So people getting bodies put on trucks as an influencing factor there.
And then if you just think back to the -- your first question was on margin and how we see that developing, we see margin being favorable, and we see that our build percentage at 31.8% in the first quarter is good for our performance and good for our customers really get trucks for us being full in the second quarter means that we feel good about the position we're in.
Your next question comes from the line of Steven Fisher of UBS.
I just wanted to clarify your answer on the parts acceleration that you expect in the second half. And you mentioned about clients is starting to get healthier. But I think you also mentioned about fuel having an impact in Q1. So I was hoping you could just give us a little more color on what you're expecting that's going to drive the acceleration do you still need to see freight rates continue to rise? Do you need to see fuel costs falling? Is it just more about getting more trucks on the road? Do you need freight shipments to be picking up? Just curious kind of what will drive that acceleration?
Yes. You said a lot there, but it's a little bit of all of that, right? As we see the increase of the truck orders. So as more trucks are on the road, and we see our customers' business improve, we see that on the parts side. I mentioned earlier the increased fuel and the operating cost volatility because customers still focus on required maintenance. And so they have delayed their optional parts purchases.
So we see both the volume as well as the mix improving, and that leads to the acceleration through the year. So we see as the truck market improves, we see the parts market follow that.
Okay. That's very helpful. And then I guess, to what extent have you had any discussions with your customers about the first part of 2027 planning and really just trying to make sure I understand how you're characterizing the expected pickup in the second half of this year, whether it's really a kind of a prebuy or just a buy.
I know it's maybe a little bit early to talk about 2027, but I guess a prebuy implies a pull forward. So I guess it seems like it could be a relevant part of the discussion right now. Just curious how you would frame that.
I like the way you framed it, Steve. I think that prebuy versus buy I think there's a little bit of both going on, honestly. I think that there's some buy going on because of the demand that the customers are getting healthy and once they're fleet aged to come back to where they want it. So that's a bit of the buy side. And I think on the prebuy side, obviously, there's a cost impact to a 35-milligram engine, and I think they're sensitive to that.
And so I think there's some of the people that are looking at putting orders in front of it. So both of those are influencing the year looking into 2027, I think we'll see how the year ileostomies the full year retail looks like and build looks like, and that will probably give some information about what '27 will look like?
Yes. Just to add is the combo of the buy versus prebuys, the second half of the year is pretty well balanced in terms of the fill between the third and fourth quarter. If it was more weighted to a prebuy, would see that demand towards the higher in the end of the year, but we see a really nice balance in both fourth quarter.
Your next question comes from the line of Angel Castillo of Morgan Stanley.
Maybe I've missed this, but I wanted to go back to the EPA dynamic. I guess, as the EPA actually formalized the low NOx emissions rule that are communicated I guess, back at the end of last year. And does that have any bearing on the ability of the industry to ultimately launch and move forward with these engines that meet the kind of latest low NOx standard?
And likewise, I guess any implications on the customer's ability to I guess, to move forward with any orders or potential pre-buy. Just curious if that's -- where we're at on that. And if we don't have any formalized kind of releases there, I guess, if you have any insights as to when we might be able to get that?
I think the formalized release that they've made, Angel, is that it will be a 35-milligram standard come 2027, that's the law. And that's the there's not any kind of modification expected to that in terms of it being a 35-milligram standard for new engines in 2027 and the parameters around that, I think, are things that they will have to contemplate or are contemplating based on customer and market feedback.
Got it. And then I wanted to go back to maybe the margin discussion. Could you, I guess, just give us the shipments number that your deliveries guidance you provided for 2Q, could you give that by region, specifically, how much you expect U.S. and Canada versus Europe? And then if we could kind of revisit the 13.5% gross profit margins, I get you mentioned, I think, a little bit more uplift from trucks maybe is a little bit of a mixed drag on the overall and why you don't see that kind of incremental step change in 2Q versus 1Q.
But I guess I wasn't entirely clear to me if there's any other drags beyond that that keep it from being more of a material step change quarter-over-quarter just given the so.
Yes. Just take the question in saying that we expect in Q2 volumes are up around the world, pretty much in every market. So we've had build rate increases everywhere. And so that's what's driving the total increase in volume. And I think we've kind of spent quite a bit of time already describing that 13.5% being volume-based improvement as well as slight price cost with still pressure on pricing in the market as tariffs maybe haven't been fully rolled through.
Also PACCAR performing really well in terms of getting share of buildup.
Your next question comes from the line of Lewis Merrick of PNB Parabis.
We've heard about customers potentially pushing back their delivery dates for trucks. I'm just wondering, are you seeing any evidence of this occurring?
No, I don't recognize that in our backlog. We have not seen any of that.
Okay. To clear. And just quickly on the tariff topic. Could we get your latest understanding on when we could expect the previous was 3.75% SLP credit to be applied.
Well, it's fairly well defined for the truck side of the 232 and so now it's about when we can apply for them and get them back, and we would expect that to be in the not distant future.
Your next question comes from the line of Scott Group of Wolfe Research.
So on that prebuy versus buy sort of discussion from earlier, do you have a sense on the buy part of it? How much of that is sort of growth fleet plans, fleet growth plans or just sort of pent-up replacement? And to the extent that there's just more replacement, do you think as we start replacing more after aging the fleet, does that naturally pressure some of the parts growth?
I think that what's going on is that you kind of said the words in the buy side of it, there's this -- it's been a tough little for some of our customers. And now they have the opportunity, hopefully, where they'll be -- we'll see better financial performance, which is enabling them to allocate capital to trucks. -- keeping their fleet at a reasonable age is good for them, and it's also good for them from an operating cost standpoint when they're buying the Kenworth, Peterbilt or DAF trucks, they're getting a highly efficient truck into the fleet.
So they're taking out something that has lower fuel economy from past and now is the best fuel economy possible for them. So it's a good operating performance benefit. But it's kind of a tie of their financial performance and then the truck replacement cycle that they're trying to keep up with.
Okay. And then maybe just lastly, orders have doubled year-to-date versus what they were doing a year ago. And you're still talking about a competitive pricing environment. Why do you think we're not seeing a bigger or faster improvement in pricing?
Well, I think that the orders are sometimes around multiyear things and there's some projections on orders. And I think orders isn't the cleanest thing to measure. I think it's probably a more clean measure to look at what's happening in the industry through build. And if you look at Bill, that gives you a clean indicator of where things are.
So the cleanest way to look at is build and retail. If you build it your retail at orders don't necessarily for everyone come through the same way with build in Q1. We feel good about the position. And we do still think that there are some orders left in the second half to be had.
Your next question comes from the line of Steve Volkmann of Jefferies.
I figured it out this time. Just a quick follow-up.
I wanted to hit that off. So -- just a quick follow-up. I know you guys give sort of average prices in the 10-Q. I'm just curious if you might have those available for truck and parts, if not, I'll wait for the Q.
For the first quarter compared to the first quarter last year, you'll see price up 2%. And you'll see our cost, unfortunately, is up higher than that. So that made our margins down in Truck segment -- and then price on the heart side was up 6%..
But I think if you look at sequentially, you'd see price was roughly flat. Cost was down sequentially for truck, more than 1% and sequentially for parts, price was up a couple percent and cost was only up 1%.
Your next question comes from the line of Tim Thein of Raymond James.
I'll just start the first question is just on the customer mix. within the backlog and how that may or may not be influencing the truck margins. And so I'm just thinking, Preston on the on-highway side, at least in North America, you've always skewed more towards the small and midsized fleets, perhaps not as much today as you once did years ago. But presumably that some of the WIP the fluctuations we've seen in diesel costs can sometimes hit those smaller carriers a bit harder.
So I'm just curious if that's not the only factor, but essentially the punch line is, is there a mix view within how you're filling the backlog between some of those large mega fleets versus your historical kind of bread-and-butter small fleet.
Tim, I think that it's an interesting concept gives me a little thought, but I don't really think that it's significant in terms of that. I think we've kind of got a broad mix of customers that are buying trucks right now. I agree with your thought that the fuel surcharges are maybe more cash impactful to the smaller customers, while they, in fact, everyone to be more sensitive to it. but I don't think it's really informing what's going on. I think it's just that we're seeing the beginning of a market recovery.
We're seeing things starting to improve for most all of our customers. They're starting to get better rates. They're starting to buy more trucks. And so I think it positions PACCAR well for the next coming period of time, right, for the next quarter and beyond for the year and beyond for a strengthening market and strengthening performance.
Okay. And maybe another 1 relevant for this deep in the queue. But it relates to the lease and rental customers. Sometimes, we think about them being they can be a bit of like a canary in the coal mine when truckload markets inflect. You start to see a pull on lease and rental fleets. I'm just looking at the pathway fleet I guess similar to what you would see in some of the big publicly traded lease rental guys has been declining quite a bit over the past few years.
I'm just curious if you're starting to maybe see any change in terms of utilization or aspirations to maybe reverse that and start expanding the Paccar Lease fleet? Just anyway, just kind of what, if any, clues you're picking up from that cohort of your customer base?
We're seeing a little bit of increase in the utilization, but also another indicator would be the used truck market. and we're seeing price utilization and volume demand starting to strengthen as well. So I think between the beginnings of the increase on both of those factors is just another indication that we're starting to see the market starting to see the market improve.
There are no other questions in the queue at this time. Are there any additional remarks from the company?
We'd like to thank everyone for joining the call, and thank you, Maria.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes PACCAR's earnings call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Paccar — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Paccar — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Solider Q1: Umsatz $6,8 Mrd., Nettoeinkommen $605 Mio., 33.100 gelieferte Trucks; Management erwartet steigende Volumen und bessere Margen.
Kernaussagen kompakt:
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $6,8 Mrd. im Q1.
- Ergebnis: Nettoergebnis $605 Mio.; Financial Services Vorsteuerergebnis $116 Mio. (Ergebnis vor Steuern).
- Teilegeschäft: PACCAR Parts: Umsatz $1,7 Mrd., Vorsteuergewinn $402 Mio., Rohertrag Parts 29,6%.
- Auslieferungen: 33.100 Trucks geliefert; Q2‑Schätzung 37.000–38.000 Fahrzeuge.
- Margen: Truck/Parts & Other Bruttomarge stieg von 12,0% auf 13,1%; Q2‑Ausblick rund 13,5%.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Lokale Fertigung: Fokus „local‑for‑local“ zur Kapazitätssteigerung und Lieferfähigkeit; Fabriken fahren Build‑Rates hoch.
- Produkt & Elektrifizierung: DAF baut EV‑Führung aus (XF/XD/XG/XG+ Electric); neue schwere Kenworth‑Modelle für Spezialanwendungen vorgestellt.
- Investitionen: CapEx $725–775 Mio.; F&E $450–500 Mio. für flexible Fertigung, nächste Powertains, autonome Plattform und vernetzte Dienste.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Marktprognosen: US/Canada 230k–270k Einheiten; Europa >16 t 280k–320k; Südamerika 100k–110k (Jahresrahmen).
- Q2‑Erwartung: Lieferungen 37k–38k, Bruttomargen ~13,5%; Management sieht weiter steigende Volumen und Margensteigerung in H2.
- Risiken: Volatile Energie‑ und Rohstoffpreise, teilweise noch nicht voll durchgerechnete Zölle (Section 232) und Lieferketten-/Personal‑Ramp‑Up bei Zulieferern.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Teilewachstum: Analysten hinterfragten das langsame Q1; Management erklärt verzögerte Kundenaktivität wegen Betriebskosten (Treibstoff) und erwartet Beschleunigung auf Jahressicht (3–6% Guidance).
- Preis vs. Mix: Diskussion zu Preis‑/Kosten‑Vorteilen und Produktmix; Management nennt Volumen‑Hebel, Mix (Kenworth/Peterbilt) und Preis‑Cost‑Favourability, nannte aber keine konkrete Exit‑Preisprognose.
- Prebuy & Kapazität: Fragen zu Vorzieheffekten vor der NOx‑Regel 2027 und zu Build‑Slots; Management sieht sowohl „buy“ als auch „prebuy“, ist für Q2 voll und nennt Lieferanten‑Hiring als limitierenden Faktor, gab aber keine detaillierten Slot‑Zahlen.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit für Aktionäre: PACCAR liefert ein solides operatives Quartal mit starker Parts‑ und Finanzdienstleistungsperformance, klarer Produktoffensive (EVs) und sichtbarer Hebung der Margen durch steigende Volumina. Kurzfristige Risiken bleiben Rohstoffpreise, Zölle und Zuliefer‑Ramp‑Up; mittelfristig stützen CapEx‑/F&E‑Investitionen und Marktanteilsgewinne die Gewinnentwicklung.
Paccar — Analyst/Investor Day - PACCAR Inc
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. My name is Ken Hastings. I'm PACCAR's Director of Investor Relations. We'd like to welcome everyone to PACCAR's 2026 Investor Conference. We have an excellent day planned with the first couple of hours being presentations and Q&A. The webcast playback and slides will be available at paccar.com shortly after the meeting. Certain information presented today will be forward-looking and involve risks and uncertainties, including general economic and competitive conditions that may affect expected results. For the most recent information about PACCAR, please see our SEC filings on the Investor Relations page of paccar.com.
I would now like to introduce PACCAR's Chief Executive Officer, Preston Feight.
Well, how many times we got to have dinner in a working manufacturing plant while the people are building trucks? I think that's a testament to the leadership team and their ability to engage us, let us sit in their plant and then kind of show off the cleanliness of how PACCAR runs its operations and its plants and the quality of the people. I tell you the sidebar conversations with some of the workers was the pride that they get to have you in their plant. The relationship is great. And so they're pleased that you were there. Hope it was fun for you. I think I was as excited as all of you, maybe more excited than I'm kind of a nerdy engineer that likes this stuff.
David Raso and I were just having a brief conversation about the headlines today in the Wall Street Journal, Trump to repeal landmark climate findings and huge regulatory rollback, irrelevant to what we're talking about today. It means it's greenhouse gas related. And so the impact to what we're doing today is kind of [indiscernible] for our plans, and John will share more about regulations upcoming anyways.
So today, it's going to be really fun because we'll share information on our strong cycle-over-cycle performance and what it's looked like for us. We'll talk about the leadership team here and all the great people we have that you'll hear from today, and they will review the various parts of the business. So as you look at it, our leadership team wakes up every day thinking about how we're going to build trucks and transportation solutions so that we can make our customers' businesses more successful.
Shown here in order of presentation are the 5 members of the PACCAR executive team who are sharing information today. Laura Bloch is PACCAR's Senior Vice President. She has responsibility for Kenworth, Global Purchasing, Dynacraft and supplier quality. John Rich is Executive Vice President and Chief Technology Officer with responsibility for Peterbilt, PACCAR Powertrain globally, ITD, Global Electronics and Technology. Kevin Baney is PACCAR's President. He's responsible for DAF, PACCAR Parts, PACCAR Financial Services and Investor Relations; and Brice Poplawski is PACCAR's Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, who also has responsibility for global manufacturing. Together, this group has over 150 years of experience. And I think you're going to enjoy hearing from each of them and their unique perspectives on our business.
So all of us in the leadership team wake up every day thinking about how do we develop trucks and transportation solutions that drive the world to a better future. In order to do this most effectively, we focus on understanding our customers' needs and helping them to deliver the essential items that support the communities where we all live and work. The trucks we build today are 20x cleaner and 40% more fuel efficient than they were 20 years ago. That's significant. It's a really big accomplishment for PACCAR.
And we're just getting started. We have an excellent growth plan that will ensure PACCARs, our dealers, our customers and our shareholders' future success. As noted on the bottom of the slide, the foundational elements of PACCAR's strong 121-year young culture are the pursuit of quality, the implementation of leading edge applicable technologies and a drive for continuous innovation. These attributes are part of PACCAR's unique culture of excellence.
I'm humbled to be working with PACCAR's global team who have a sharp focus on creating premium trucks, optimizing transportation solutions, are pursuing market expansions and are using advanced manufacturing. These elements, plus many others, continuously drive our profitable growth plans.
To begin with, I thought I'd share a video with you that captures how our culture of excellence feeds out to our customers and how it's always not just about the science and the math and the financials So please enjoy.
[Presentation]
We're going to talk about numbers today. So there's plenty of time for that in the world. But I think it is important to think about what the trucks do for people in the world, and that's kind of what we're trying to demonstrate there. It's not far off of right. I know people that run second-generation businesses that use our trucks depend upon us. And it's fun to be part of an industry that is actually making the world a better place. So I hope you enjoyed it.
PACCAR is structurally stronger. Shown here is a comparison of PACCAR's performance from 2014 to 2025. Pick those years because they are years where we built a similar number of trucks. The financial comparison shows that revenues grew from $19 billion to over $28 billion, so around a 50% increase. Income increased from $1.4 billion to $2.6 billion, an 86% increase. Return on revenue increased from 7.2% to 9.3%, while the inherently cycle-over-cycle strong Parts and Financial Services businesses have grown from 43% of profit to 71%, effectively dampening cyclicality, impressive changes that demonstrate structural strength.
PACCAR Parts and Financial Services growth over the past 20 years provides new levels of profitability to our overall business. Parts has grown from $244 million in profits in 2005 to nearly $1.7 billion in 2025. Financial services has grown from $200 million to nearly $500 million in the same period. These businesses provide excellent cash flow and profit throughout the cycles. They also support future truck sales as customers and dealers become fully integrated into the PACCAR ecosystem of transportation solutions.
The performance of the company in trough markets and peak markets is demonstrated here. On the left side of the slide is PACCAR's adjusted net income from the previous market trough in 2020 compared to the most recent one in 2025. Earnings doubled in that period from $1.3 billion to $2.6 billion. To the right, you can see PACCAR's profit during the last 2 market peaks of 2019 and 2023. Profitability again more than doubled from $2.4 billion to $5 billion. Cycle over cycle, PACCAR is stronger and well positioned to continue this growth as we look to the future.
Another compelling metric is PACCAR's 5-year average net income per truck produced. This number has nearly doubled from just over $9,500 per truck to $18,000 per truck. Our excellent lineup of trucks and engines are the foundation of this performance. Parts and Financial Service growth is also instrumental. PACCAR's advanced and efficient manufacturing strategy is contributing to increasing profits. And our unique local-for-local production capability positions PACCAR for flexibility and low-cost manufacturing that is optimized around the market's tariff operating environment.
Over the past 5 years, PACCAR has invested over $5 billion in facilities and products. This money has been used to create flexible manufacturing capability in our factories, like those that are here in the room saw last night, build new parts distribution centers, invest in new clean combustion engines, build new connected vehicle solutions, design a state-of-the-art autonomous truck platform and develop zero emissions vehicles. These investments have resulted in PACCAR having the world's most modern and most efficient lineup of trucks and powertrains as well as world-class parts and financial services businesses.
Our investments in technology are positioned and have positioned PACCAR to drive the future to even higher levels of performance. Our portfolio of industry-leading zero emissions vehicles puts PACCAR in an excellent position as the world transitions to a low-carbon future. Our connected services create value for our customers in the form of advanced telematics and prognostic solutions that provide new profit streams for PACCAR. Our autonomous vehicle platform and partnership position place PACCAR in the autonomous vehicle leadership status, and it allows PACCAR to optimize how we go to market with autonomy in the future.
As said last night and today, our advanced manufacturing strategy allows PACCAR to optimize efficiency and flexibility in our factories while building customized bespoke trucks. PACCAR is taking a leadership role in the utilization of AI in our organizations. For example, we use it in manufacturing to create the flexible factories you see. We use it in our parts business to create advanced and efficient materials management that provides our dealers and our customers at the right part at the right place and at the right time. And we use it in internal development to enable faster, more efficient processes throughout PACCAR.
Now let's show you a quick little fun video of AI highlighting PACCAR's approach.
[Presentation]
Well, I think it was 1964 when Bob Dillon saying times there are changing. And I think we're all living in that space right now of times changing. And we're embracing it. We're enjoying it, and we're finding the benefits of it, which is pretty important. PACCAR is continuing its broad-based global leadership. On the top left, we earned an A score from the CDP in 2025, which places us in the top 4% of reporting companies from around the world. In the top right, PACCAR is a leader in operational safety, consistently achieving a best-in-class OSHA safety score. In the bottom right, 90% of our trucks components are recyclable, and we continue further enhancing recyclability.
In the bottom left, PACCAR has achieved the highest level of fuel economy and the lowest level of GHG emissions in our history, which reduces expenses for our customers and benefits society through the reduction of carbon emissions. PACCAR is rigorously pursuing best-in-class long-term performance. And as you look at the bottom left in fuel efficiency and greenhouse gas with today's announcements, the reason it's not so significant for us is because fuel economy and GHG are tied one-to-one for each other, and we are always pursuing optimized fuel economy, so we will always pursue lowest GHG. It's an economic benefit for our customers, so they go hand in hand.
PACCAR and each of us as leaders care about the people and our communities. To that end, since 1951, the foundation of PACCAR has contributed over $250 million to education, social services and the arts. PACCAR donates generously in locations where our employees live and work all around the world. In 2025, the foundation approved over $10 million in grants to many different organizations, a few of which are listed on the screen. And I do think that a significant part of our cultural success is to care deeply about our people and the communities in which we operate.
Our independent network of 2,400 DAF, Kenworth and Peterbilt dealers are another of our valuable assets. They provide a strong competitive moat to our business that is not easily replicated. And though it doesn't appear on our balance sheet, our dealers represent an estimated $20 billion asset that provides significant value to our customers as well as our business model. All of this leads to best-in-class return on invested capital. PACCAR's high technology, high-margin, asset-light business model as well as our discipline in capital allocation enables us to produce the highest returns on invested capital. In 2024, PACCAR's ROIC was a record 55.5%. This leadership is not a lucky break. Over the past 5 years, PACCAR has consistently outperformed all our peers in the truck sector as well as many other well-known industrial companies. PACCAR's performance is best in class. And PACCAR is continuing to grow net income profitably.
We're gaining share in the markets where we operate. Our capital and R&D strategy allows us to invest in high ROI projects to develop new products and improve operating effectiveness and efficiencies and the growth in our parts and financial services businesses have put a new higher floor on profitability throughout every part of the business cycle. So throughout this presentation, you'll hear us share more with you about why PACCAR is the leading industrial company. We've demonstrated improved cycle-over-cycle performance. Our advanced manufacturing strategy creates the world's best factories. PACCAR has and will continue to invest in the right technologies that provide premium trucks and transportation solutions for our customers. And we have and will continue to demonstrate robust growth in our parts and financial services businesses. All of this is enabling PACCAR to be optimally positioned to deliver excellent profitability for the next 5 years and beyond. Thank you.
Laura, I look forward to hearing what you're going to share about our great products as well as our manufacturing strategy. So over to you.
Thank you, President. Good morning. I'm Laura Bloch, Senior Vice President. This morning, I'm going to cover PACCAR's products and advanced manufacturing strategy. PACCAR is a global technology company that provides premium transportation solutions with industry-leading trucks, powertrains and support services that deliver outstanding performance and value to our customers, operating around the world under these brands. Our core truck brands, our Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF. One of the reasons that PACCAR delivers cycle-over-cycle performance improvements are our outstanding products. In the following slides, I'll show you the comprehensive truck product lines for each of the truck brands as well as a few products launched since we last met. .
The truck lineup on this slide shows Kenworth's complete product line with the medium-duty and heavy-duty trucks shown along the top, 0 emissions trucks shown below on the left and vocational trucks on the right. Altogether, this is the most capable truck lineup in the industry. Kenworth recently launched T880 high horsepower delivers a new level of power in our vocational portfolio, featuring enhanced cooling capacity, and rugged styling that sets it apart from its peers. The T880s enables our customers on the record, heavy haul and dove truck space to tackle any job. Peterbilt started this year with the newest and widest lineup in their 87-year history. 2025 saw the announcement of a new electric heavy and medium-duty models, including the industry's first electric vocational specific truck, the Model 567 EV, and Denton now produces all of Peterbilt trucks models for the U.S. market.
Since we last met, Peterbilt began delivering the new Model 589, which is based on the latest cab platform, leveraging the most advanced driver comfort and technology. The 589 represents Peterbilt's premium brand and the extreme customer loyalty in the traditional heavy-duty truck segment. The 589 is the aspirational truck that leads the owner-operator market. Since its launch, Peterbilt has produced over 12,0589s.
This is DAF's lineup. From the spacious DAF XG to the DAF XD on the top and including the new XG and XGs Electric launching this year along the bottom. DAF has the most advanced and broadest lineup in its history. Shown here adopts new XD and XF electric trucks that in November were awarded the prestigious International Truck of the Year award. This is the third time in 5 years that DAF has won this award, an unprecedented accomplishment. Whisper quiet, a great driving dynamic and the cabin of absolute luxury.
Rounding out with a few of our great products from around the world, highlighted here are the Kenworth vocational model in Mexico and over the road truck in Australia, a DAF mining truck available in the Andean region and DAF XF Off-road operating in demanding conditions in Brazil. This chart shows PACCAR's heavy-duty market share. In South America on the left, Europe and Australia in the middle and North America on the right. From 2005 and of 2015 and 2025. The red line highlights our midterm goal for each market. In South America, where we began the period with share under 3%. With the opening of DAF Brazil, we've grown from there to 7.7% in 2025.
PACCAR's share in Europe remained steady while increasing truck margin dollars. In Australia, we've grown from 24% share in 2005, up to 27.7% share last year. Finally, PACCAR's combined North America share increased from 24% in 2005 to 30.4% in 2025. PACCAR's approach to market share is to pursue profitable growth in every market in which we operate. We operate best-in-class operations. Last year, we achieved an outstanding 1.36 average OSHA score. We also delivered best-in-class quality. Our investments have increased our capacity by 17% over the past 3 years. We gained efficiency with the deployment of Industry 5.0 and Vision AI technology. and we increased our flexibility by investing in plant local-for-local production.
Our market share expansion is driven by strategic capital deployment in manufacturing operations. The projects shown here are examples of recent facility enhancements PACCAR has deployed $800 million over the past 5 years to increase operational flexibility across our manufacturing footprint. These capital expenditures deliver compounding benefits. -- enhanced workplace safety and product quality, expanded production capacity and improved operational efficiency, all contributing directly to margin expansion. The following video highlights these facility enhancements and their operational impact.
[Presentation]
All of our stakeholders. Recent operations efforts have enhanced our local-for-local production. PACCAR is optimally positioned for Section 232 tariffs moving to a build local-for-local strategy. Prior to Section 232 from March through November, U.S. PACCAR production was exposed to tariffs on non-US MCA components as well as steel and aluminum tariffs. Meanwhile, trucks assembled in Canada and Mexico, including most competitor vehicles, qualified for USMCA and had minimal tariff impact. With the Section 232 finding, taking advantage of our North American manufacturing base, we have shifted to build production to the U.S. for U.S. sold trucks. Medium-duty trucks previously built in St. Torres, Canada, were moved to Kenworth Chile coffee and Peterbilt Denton. In addition, low cab forward refuse trucks previously built in Mexico for the U.S. are now being produced in Denton. Post the Section 232 finding, we are positioned to significantly benefit from the tariff offset program. In all, we expect more than 50% relief on our tariff exposure.
While our competitors importing into the U.S. are now subject to new tariffs, Section 232 enhances our position in the market and the value of our manufacturing footprint. We are accelerating towards 2030, deploying AI throughout our processes. Our new AI-driven specification tool ensures customers get the best truck for their application with option content recommendations. In truck build, vision tools ensure high-quality wells and verify paint color match. At the end of line, trucks are scanned to guarantee that all of the specified content has been correctly installed on the cab. These are just a few examples of where AI technology is supporting our sales and operations teams.
Our global brands, manufacturing footprint and advanced manufacturing capabilities uniquely position PACCAR to win profitable share in the coming years.
Thank you. I'd like to introduce John Rich.
All right. Thank you, Laura, and good morning. I'm John Rich, PACCAR Executive Vice President and CTO. PACCAR's business model, has been tested over multiple technology transitions. And we have always succeeded by letting our customers job to be done, drive our technology decisions. PACCAR's development model is well suited to manage through an operating environment with a high degree of uncertainty. We build or commit resources once there's high volume, technology stability and a compelling proprietary business opportunity. We partner selectively in emerging technologies with uncertain volumes and high development costs. And we choose to buy where volumes remain low or where there's a high degree of regulatory risk or other uncertainties.
This approach allows us to develop premium products while maintaining the industry's benchmark capital efficiency and expense ratios. And with this model, technology and regulatory shifts has served to strengthen the quality of our business over time. So much has changed in the past year, but our powertrain strategy has not. Clean and efficient internal combustion engines remain the core of our lineup. In time, our proprietary engines will be complemented by hybrid electric solutions. Battery electric trucks remain the pragmatic 0 emission solution, and we continue to expand offerings where the use case is appropriate.
We continue to investigate hydrogen solutions, including fuel cells and hydrogen combustion, but we have not committed capital to these applications. This slide is a summary of the latest status of emissions and fuel economy in the United States and Europe. Clearly, a lot has changed over the last year and even a little bit this morning. While there's no delay in the 35-milligram NOx standards for '27, the EPA may relax requirements and warranty -- around warranty and full useful life. We'll know a little bit more at the end of March. The standard remains extremely challenging, and the required technology will add to the transaction price of a new truck.
What has changed significantly is the elimination of greenhouse gas Phase III and California's unique programs for NOx and 0 emission vehicles. As you saw in this morning's journal, the new administration seeks to resend the CO2 endangerment findings. Note this all have no impact on 2027 NOx is as a purely a greenhouse gas play.
Now in Europe, on the other hand, not much has changed at all. regulatory requirements remain stable. NOx will reduce with Euro VI regulations, in 2029, while greenhouse gas takes a sizable step change in 2030. So this is a global view of how we expect 0 emissions adoption to affect our powertrain mix through the end of the decade. This transition will be shaped by regulations, infrastructure and cost of ownership. Adoption rates will now differ substantially by region. And as we approach 2030. We start to see 0 emissions and hybrid vehicles take more -- a more meaningful share of our European business. In the same time frame, we do not expect substantial zero-emission share penetration in North America.
In all markets, we still expect strong demand for diesel-based solutions. So with this in mind, let's dive a little bit deeper into the different components of our strategy. So diesel as you know, moves to the world today. And we believe clean, efficient diesel solutions will continue to have an important place in the heavy-duty market for the foreseeable future. proprietary engines, our PACCAR core competency and the upcoming 35-milligram NOx standard is the most stringent in the world. We view challenging emission standards as a strong barrier to entry in our most important markets. To meet the 35-milligram mandate, we will introduce 2 all new proprietary engine platforms. These are by far the most advanced powertrains in our history, simultaneously improving emissions, fuel economy and durability. And as you can see from the images, these programs are in the final phase of development. proving their capabilities from the Arctic Circle to Death Valley and beyond.
Over the last 15 years, PACCAR powertrain has systemically driven a 40% improvement in fuel economy, bringing down operating costs for our customers. The EPA has walked back CO2-based regulatory standards, but [indiscernible] mile per gallon base requirements remain in place. These will take a final step in 2027. Our new engines will meet this final step without requiring electrification. Our new proprietary engines will continue our proud tradition of improving fuel economy to drive value for our customers.
So shifting to pure battery electric trucks. We're now 4 years into producing and selling BEVs and benefiting from the lessons learned of delivering real product to real customers. Our lineup has expanded to 15 market and application-specific models with 2 more coming this year. Just like diesel, one size does not fit all in electric trucks. Our lineup covers Class 6 through 8 in the U.S. and Europe. Applications vary from regional delivery to vocational configurations like dump trucks and refuse vehicles. Our solutions are tailored to the deployment needs of our customers and deliver turnkey with charging if needed.
As noted earlier, the DAF XD and XF Electric just won the 2026 International Truck of the Year Award. It's the industry's most prestigious vehicle level honor. DAF won the award because it delivers exceptional efficiency and a remarkably refined driving experience. It's a high-end car like experience, and it's absolutely class leading. But what's important about this driveline which coordinates 2 electric motors, harmoniously with a 3-speed transmission is that it's a globally an engineered solution. This driveline will be used for all future BEV solutions. Engineered once with scale enabled by multiple applications.
AI tools are proliferating through all phases and functions and product development. Our new diesel engines are feature and technology rich. They have simply become too complex for a human to optimize. Engineers use AI to automate the development and calibration process delivering emissions and fuel economy that was never before possible. Agent-based tools accelerate HMI development by automatically generating code, test cases and design variations from natural language requirements. And quality is improved with AI in the loop verification, ensuring early defect detection, automated root cause finding and even generating corrective paths for the engineer. These are just a few of the examples where AI is enhancing PACCAR's [indiscernible].
So Level 4 autonomy may be the ultimate application of AI in the trucking industry. PACCAR maintains its leadership position as we watch the industry move closer to scaled applications. The underlying technologies have matured, and the AI drivers continue to expand their features and operating domains. We are seeing more commercial traction as it becomes clear that technology is no longer always 5 years away. The PACCAR Autonomous vehicle platform plays a central role in the advancement of autonomy. We maintain a multi-partner strategy, including on- and off-highway solutions, and we continue to be impressed with Aurora, our lead partner on the AVP. PACCAR engineers and produces the proprietary vehicle systems that enable scale for AAV developers. While our service and parts networks deliver the support and uptime these applications require in the field.
So let's take a look at some of our vehicles in action.
[Presentation]
So autonomy is a long journey, and this slide explains why we're on it. On the left, we stack the major cost drivers of operating a truck at scale. So in rough terms, we see around $0.65 a mile of value creation. When 25% of Class 8 miles are driven autonomously roughly $25 billion of value will be created annually. Market dynamics will ultimately determine how this will be divided between the AAV driver, the truck maker, the fleet and the shipper. But in addition to this new recurring revenue, autonomous trucking is really good for our traditional profit pools, more truck content, higher value service, more proprietary parts and more miles driven. The autonomous era will be great for PACCAR. So with that, I'll say thank you, and I'd like to welcome Kevin Baney.
Thank you, John, and good morning. It's great to see everyone here in person. I'm Kevin Baney, PACCAR President, and I'll be covering parts and financial services. The top question you asked that I will answer is how does PACCAR continue to maintain long-term parts growth. Let's review the opportunity. Shown on the left, the total addressable retail parts market in North America is $45 billion, and PACCAR currently has 15% market share. Moving to the right, the addressable market in Europe and the rest of the world where PACCAR operates is $25 billion and PACCAR currently has 13% share. The combined market is $70 billion. If PACCAR gains just 5 percentage points over the next 5 years in the combined markets, so just 1 percentage point a year, that is $3.5 billion incremental dealer retail part sales by the end of 2030. And we definitely want a bigger piece of the buy.
Parts performance for sales, profit and gross margin during the last 15 years is shown as 5-year averages with sales in green, profit in yellow and gross margin above the columns. These results highlight the strong growth during all 3 periods with acceleration over the last 5 years with sales of $6.9 billion, profit of $1.5 billion and gross margin of $30 million 4%. Big congratulations to the entire parts team around the world for achieving these strong results.
The formula for achieving the strong parts growth is made up of 3 pillars: first, ease of doing business means parts are available when and where customers need them. Second, with product segmentation, we provide a full range of proprietary and all makes parts. Third is the use of AI-driven technology to provide customer-focused solutions to make it easier to do business with PACCAR. Ease of doing business starts with the foundation of having a strong global distribution network. Over the past 10 years, we've significantly expanded our footprint to support growing customer demand. With the recent opening of the new parts distribution center in Calgary, we operate 21 PDCs, representing a 31% growth over the decade. Across the map, you can also see our extensive dealer and TRP store presence. With 2,400 locations worldwide, our network has grown 33% and expanding access points for customers and strengthening our reach in every major market.
Ease of doing business is delivering the right part to the right place at the right time. For the right part, our PDC network operates at world-class quality. We achieved 99.9% shipping accuracy, which means the parts are in stock to meet customer demand. For the right place, our managed dealer inventory program keeps the right parts on the shelf. 92% of orders are now auto accepted with dealers relying on our expertise and AI-driven material optimization algorithms. And for the right time, our dedication to speed to market means 70% of shipments arrive within 24 hours, supporting faster repairs higher uptime and a seamless customer experience. Together, these capabilities make PACCAR the easiest and most reliable business partner. And these results are why dealers trust us to manage their inventory, and why we have such high customer loyalty.
PACCAR Parts has a robust product segmentation strategy designed to deliver the right part for the right market. At the foundation, vendor brands provide customers access to widely recognized competitively priced parts. Shown in the middle, TRP all-makes brands offers quality parts for all makes vehicles and deliver strong value for owners of older trucks. And at the top of the portfolio, PACCAR proprietary parts offers customers the assurance of factory equivalent components built to the same standards as original production.
We continue to release proprietary content, as shown by the new truck models and powertrain in the background. Those of you with us today will have the opportunity to see the new Kenworth vocational High Horsepower T880 shown on the left; and the Peterbilt iconic 589 shown on the right after the plant tour. PACCAR has a very disciplined process to patent new truck and powertrain parts to increase and protect our proprietary content from being copied by others in the market.
I want to highlight 3 areas where we use AI to strengthen our technology solutions. The first is using AI to optimize material management across the global distribution network to strengthen our managed dealer inventory program to ensure parts are available when and where needed. Now 5 years ago, MDA auto accept was only 42%, now 92%. So I'd say it's working. The second area is connected truck analytics that provides real-time insight into vehicle health and traffic patterns. And I'll show an example of this in a couple of slides.
The third area is performance-based prognostics that deliver targeted service and maintenance recommendations. This increases uptime, improves decision-making and elevates the customer experience across our network. The continued growth in parts as a result of the ongoing focus in investments in these 3 pillars, ease of doing business, product segmentation, an AI-driven technology. Now we're going to review PACCAR's share of the market opportunity, and I'm going to split it between the first and second owner.
And I'm going to focus on North America. The addressable parts market is $45 billion, split $12 billion with first owner and $33 billion with second owner. Moving to the right. First owners typically operate their trucks years 1 through 4 and spend $8,000 per truck annually on parts. There's approximately 1.6 million first owner trucks in the market. PACCAR has 21% share of this $12 billion parts opportunity. Second owners operate their trucks 5 to 12 years and spend approximately $12,000 per truck annually on parts. There's approximately 2.7 million second owner trucks in the market and PACCAR has 13% of this $33 billion parts opportunity. So I can already tell by your facial expressions, give me some facial expressions that you can see the opportunity. We've already done really well with first owner loyalty of that $12 billion opportunity and the opportunity is to grow really with the larger second owner in that $33 billion.
In the strategy to grow share with second owners, we'll continue to expand the distribution network in target locations where second owners go for parts and service. We already have an established PACCAR TRP all-makes brand as well as vendor branded parts, both well positioned to grow with second owners. We're expanding PACCAR engine service capabilities to provide broader access to service tools and processes to extend the network servicing PACCAR engines for second owners. And trucks have been connected since 2015, and we've been developing connected customer solutions that are best in class for the first owners that will also apply for second owners.
So this is another way to visually see the parts opportunity for both the first and second owners. The green shows parts consumption for the overall truck through the first and second owner, and the second owners keep their trucks longer, and they just consume more parts, and powertrain parts are the largest mix of part sales through this life cycle. There are over 380,000 PACCAR engines operating in trucks that are past year 5. So they're in that 5 to 12 years and naturally consume more wear-related parts as they age through the cycle. [indiscernible] mentioned trucks have been connected since 2015, and we've been using connected truck data to provide higher levels of customer service.
Recent improvements in data analytics and AI tools are making it easier to leverage connected truck data to reach second owners and provide them the same level of customer service as with first owners. Now I'm going to show a brief video of Kenworth and Peterbilt trucks running during the month in the U.S. and Canada with it ending with the total network traffic for the month. Just take a look.
So that ending as the total network traffic for the month, and it represents 1.5 petabytes of data. Now as anybody in the room heard that term petabyte. So that's a 1 with 15 zeroes or maybe closer to term is 1,000 terabytes or maybe some of us can relate to 320,000 DVDs worth of data. So imagine the power of this connected data combined with agentic AI to reach more customers.
We continue to invest in the parts business and the 3 pillars for growth are in place, ease of doing business, product segmentation and AI-driven technology -- we have demonstrated accelerated parts growth over the last 15 years and have achieved strong market share with first owners by providing them best-in-class customer service. Check. We will leverage these pillars as a foundation to target second owners to increase PACCAR share of this $33 billion parts opportunity. Check Mate.
PACCAR Financial is an industry-leading financial services provider operating in 26 countries on 4 continents as shown in green, providing captive financing with tailored solutions increases truck market share at Peterbilt, Kenworth and DAF. Bundling financing, parts and service with the truck sale also enhances total PACCAR value. We also support the growth of our dealer network by providing inventory financing and business expansion loans. PACCAR Financial Services offers a full range of finance products that provide a strong competitive advantage. We have excellent access to customers through close relationships with the truck divisions and dealers. The online services platform is considered best-in-class with industry-leading e-contract and e-signature functionality.
PACCAR's excellent credit rating and strong balance sheet allows us to offer competitive interest rates to customers. and we can maximize resale values through the network of used truck retail centers in the U.S. and Europe.
PACCAR Financial Services consistently deliver superior return on assets when compared to peer companies. Over the past 5 years, PACCAR Financial shown in green, has outperformed the peer group every year with average return on assets of 2.6%. And last year, PACCAR's return on assets was 47% higher than the peer group average.
PACCAR achieved strong parts and finance growth over the last 15 years. The global parts opportunity in the markets we operate is $70 billion, and we will continue to make investments to grow our share. The future is bright, and I hope you feel the passion. When we do the right things to take care of our customers, we will continue to grow. These 5 actions provide a nice PACCAR Financial and part summary.
Thank you. And I'll now turn it over to Brice.
Good morning, everyone. I'm Brice Poplawski, PACCAR's Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. PACCAR profitably -- PACCAR's profitability reflects the industry-leading product quality, financial discipline and continuous innovation. In 2025, PACCAR celebrated a 120-year history with superior financial performance, including 87 years of consecutive net income and 85 years of consecutively paying a dividend. For the year, our strong financial performance was highlighted by revenue of $28.4 billion, adjusted net income of $2.6 billion and 144,200 trucks delivered. PACCAR's increased its regular quarterly dividend by 8% per year on average over the last 10 years.
Summarized here is our business outlook for PACCAR's first quarter and full year 2026. Overall market conditions for the year are mostly positive and ones in which PACCAR can perform well in. First quarter deliveries are expected to be around 33,000 units with gross margins in the 12.5% to 13% range. Part sales will grow 2% to 4% and financial service performance is expected to remain strong. For the year, parts sales growth will be between 4% and 8%. Capital expenditures will be $725 million to $775 million and R&D spending at $450 million to $500 million.
The market sizes for the U.S. and Canada 230,000 to 270,000 units and for Europe, 280,000 to 320,000 units. This guidance for the first quarter and the full year has not changed since our first quarter earnings call a couple of weeks ago.
PACCAR's balance sheet matches the premium quality of our trucks. The company has no manufacturing debt and a healthy cash balance. This supports our excellent A+ A1 credit ratings and the ability to fund future R&D, capital investments, and dividends from operating cash flows. Financial service assets were about $23 billion and approximately 51% of the balance sheet.
Continuing with the market trough and peak comparisons like Preston showed earlier, this slide compares our truck parts and other gross margin dollars. Starting on the left, the market trough of 2020, gross margins were $2.1 billion, and they grew 70% to over $3.5 billion last year. On the market peak side, gross margins were $3.6 billion in 2019 and grew 80% to over $6.4 billion in 2023, impressive growth.
This slide shows PACCAR's Truck, Parts and Other operating profit and margin percentage over the last 15 years. Profits are the green bars with margin percentages, the yellow lines. and taking a longer view as PACCAR likes to do, the white lines show 5-year averages for margin percentage. During the last 5 years, operating margin percentage has averaged 12%, solid growth from the 10% and the 9% over the prior 5-year averages. And the margin dollar averages are also showing nice growth at over $3.4 billion in the last 5 years from about $2 billion and $1.5 billion in the prior periods. PACCAR's profitability is benefiting from investments in new truck models, good global performance and continued strong parts growth.
PACCAR generates excellent cash flows from operations. Operating cash flows grew at an annual average rate of 7% over the last 15 years and was $4.4 billion last year. Due to PACCAR's strong cash flow and balance sheet, PACCAR regular quarterly dividend shown in green, have increased steadily over the last 10 years to a record $1.32 per share in 2025. PACCAR has also paid an annual dividend each of the last 10 years. Total dividends declared were $2.72 per share and $1.4 billion last year. Over the past 10 years, on average, PACCAR has increased its total dividend at a compound annual growth rate of 11%.
PACCAR SG&A as a percent of revenue has ranged from 1.8% to 2.8% over the last decade and is significantly lower than our peers. This is a testament to PACCAR's lean and efficient organization, strong financial discipline and fully independent dealer network. PACCAR has a very effective capital allocation strategy. We made capital investments in the business to drive future growth, following a disciplined process, emphasizing high ROI projects. In 2025, PACCAR's dividend yield was about 3%, which is almost double the average yield over the last decade.
PACCAR has a preference to return capital as dividends rather than share repurchases. The company returns approximately 50% of net income each year in total dividends. PACCAR continuously evaluate strategic merger and acquisition opportunities. and is highly disciplined in our screening and evaluation of potential targets. And finally, the company has a fully funded pension plan, which all of our employees greatly appreciate. PACCAR's investments in capital projects in R&D in 2025 of about $1.2 billion was almost double the investments we made in 2016. And over this period, capital investments in R&D totaled $9.3 billion for 2026. Total R&D and capital investments are projected at $1.2 billion. This reflects investments in our next-generation clean diesel and electric powertrains and increased manufacturing capacity to support higher market shares and truck markets. These investments will also support future growth.
PACCAR is an industry leader in the financial performance when compared to industrial peers. Shown here are 3 key measurements PACCAR uses to gauge our results. Starting on the upper right, PACCAR had the highest average return on invested capital, achieving returns of 55%. On the lower right, total -- cumulative total shareholder return over the '22 to '24 period, PACCAR had the highest return at over 100%. And on the lower left, PACCAR had the third best return on sales over the last 3 years. This is industry-leading financial performance that PACCAR is proud to achieve.
PACCAR's continue to grow profitably. We continue to gain share in the markets in which we operate. Our disciplined capital investment strategy allows us to invest in high ROI projects to develop new products, and improve our factory efficiency and flexibility. And the growth in our parts and finance businesses has put a new higher floor on profitability throughout every part of the business cycle.
PACCAR is the leading industrial company. We have demonstrated improved cycle-over-cycle performance and our advanced manufacturing strategy is highly flexible. PACCAR has and will continue to invest in the right technologies, and we have and we will continue to demonstrate robust growth in our parts and financial services businesses. All of these actions covered today will drive excellent profitability and PACCAR is well positioned for the future.
Thank you very much, and that concludes our prepared comments. And now we would like to take a quick break and then we will take questions from those here in attendance. Thank you.
[Break]
So we thought that after we gave you guys a presentation and quiet was the room. So we thought then we would take the opportunity to do the Q&A with the people that are remote also -- that's great. And then Ken has a mic and test as a mic and they can just wander them around and what kind of take as many as we have time for. So with that, however you guys dig it up that way. We're good.
2. Question Answer
Jerry Revich, Wells Fargo Securities. I want to ask 2 questions. One, profit per truck has increased nicely cycle over cycle. We're in a bit of an uncertain environment where competitive pricing actions are less clear. Can you gentlemen and team talk about where you see the profit per unit heading longer term. And obviously, that embeds a competitive assumption there. So how do you think about that? And separately, for the parts business. Can you just unpack the leading-edge technology that you have now in terms of predictive analytics? How much higher could the market share on the first owner go to.
And the second owner opportunity sounds really compelling, really interesting, but it feels like there's an opportunity on the first owner side with all the trials that you've done in terms of predictive analytics and how much higher could that market share go even on the first owner side.
How about I take the first part, you take the second part. -- you guys jump in or Brice, I want to jump in too. But if I generally think about this, I think about the cycle-over-cycle profitability increase. part of it has been because of new trucks that we've introduced and the margins we're getting to those trucks because they are better value for our customer. Part of it is because of the parts and finance company growth that we're getting. All those are factoring in. I think if you look at 2025, it was a very unique moment because we had a dynamic regulatory environment that we're operating from within. We had a soft freight market in the truckload carriers market. So those 2 things you put them together. It made it pretty strong headwinds in terms of how we are approaching the year and it was happening almost in real time as we experienced it, right, the tariff challenges came in early in the year and then changed again late in the year, that's kind of unusual.
The other part of it is regulatory. And regulatory was uncertain through the year with many people thinking there wouldn't be a 35-milligram standard. With those things behind us now, stable on tariffs, we think, stable on regulatory environment and an improving freight market for the truckload carriers with spot rates up, loads up, then it feels like we should have an opportunity to deliver in 20 strengthening going towards that peak-over-peak strengthening model. what the final rules are for 2017 in terms of useful life and warranty, John that are to be determined. But you put all that together in '26 should be better, which will drive up cycle-over-cycle per truck performance improvements. And then part of it, obviously, is the parts business, which Kevin can address.
Yes. So I'm going to paraphrase a little bit, but everybody saw the $70 billion opportunity that we have, and then I use North America to split it between first owner and second owner. And your question was, can we continue to grow the share with the first owner and absolutely, we feel like the investments that we've made over time with the first owner been able to, one, build a strong distribution network around the world make sure that we can get the right parts to the right place at the right time. And then as we -- as I talked about, the AI of being able to leverage connected truck, the key with is we're providing excellent customer service and so when you think of customers go in for whatever level of service and they identify 1, 2, 3 extra things, the fact that we have those parts in stock and be able to take care of that customer we can continue to grow that share. And part of it with the prognostics is we can start monitoring. We are already monitoring engine performance and so we can proactively reach out to the dealer and customer when we need to see their truck in for service.
And the more that, that customer feels connected to the OE around us monitoring their service, we're going to continue to gain more of that first owner loyalty. When we talk about then the opportunity to get more share with the second owner, we will -- when we get out to the lab, we'll talk about our connected truck platform. Every truck has been connected for 15 years. We continue to make improvements with that platform. One of the things we're identifying is being able to develop applications to host on that platform to be able to reach the second owner and provide that same level of service.
One is trucks need to stay connected and then two, to be able to provide value because they tend to go elsewhere for their parts and service beyond the dealership as those trucks get into years 5 through 12. And so staying connected with that customer and with those trucks and knowing what their parts and service patterns are and then be able to provide that same level of service, about 99.9%, being able to manage dealer inventory and that high level customer service that we've done for the first owner start applying that to the second owner.
And then maybe I could just add Volume is always our friend, as you guys know well. Our best results in the financial history of our companies when we had the most record trucks delivered and that leads to better absorption in our factories, better pricing power we have over the customers. And also the parks are growing as well. So as we continue to produce more and more trucks, our parks will be growing. That provides a great platform for our parts business and an excellent opportunity. So we always take a long-term view, as we said before, and I think we expect to see improvement in net income per truck as we go forward. Yes.
Jerry, North America for parts, I think, was 15%. Europe was 13%. And then you said if you gained 1 point per year, that would be $3.5 billion in revenues for parts in 2030, correct? I think. But -- so my question is, can you help us understand what your market share was 5 years ago within North America and Europe to see if the 1 point per year is reasonable? And then I guess my second question, within that $3.5 billion, what's contemplated between like the first customer and the second customer because, obviously, there's a different -- in terms of penetration because obviously, there's a different revenue opportunity with the first customer and the second customer on parts aftermarket. So that's my first question. Sorry.
So that's right. $45 billion in North America, we had 15% share, 13% share of Europe. -- it has grown relatively steady over time. We've seen the -- I showed the 3, 5-year averages. So it's going faster in the last 5 years than it was the previous 5 years, which was kind of the basis for why just did the 1 percentage point per year. I also would say the reason we feel more confident is because of the tools that we developed, we'll talk connected truck when we go out to the lab because I think it's better to just walk through where we see the benefits of that connected platform and how it relates to parts growth. And then your second?
What's contemplated in that 3.5% versus first customer versus like second customer penetration? Is it changed? Does it change at all?
Yes. I would -- just in my mental math, I was thinking more like 60-40 first owner because we've done so well with First or loyalty is that growth. Even in the last few years with the softer parts market, we think as the market continue to strengthen that we'll see that grow. So I just mentally had that about 60-40. But the other thing just I should have even mentioned it when Jerry was talking was that we have 380,000 of our PACCAR engines that have crossed that 5-year mark that provides tremendous growth opportunity because there's nobody better than PACCAR to be able to service those PACCAR trucks with the PACCAR engines entered as well.
Okay. I guess just my second question just more broadly. I think in 2024, you were helpful in helping us understand like profitability per region and heavy versus medium, like I think you said last time the new products in Europe were double of what the old product was you talked about market share in medium duty and North America now being comparable to like North America, so just where the changes in profitability were by region and sort of product line. Is there any notable changes -- I mean relative to 2 years ago, adjusting for cycle? Because the one thing I did notice your market share in Europe is down, which I'm surprised given the new product launch you had years ago. So there's a lot in there.
Yes. I'll just start with a couple of general terms. It's -- the profit is relatively consistent. Two things that we've seen is, let's say, growth in rest of world, right? We continue to do well in Brazil and the DAF product line has been added to, I think, since we last met Australia and more recently in Mexico. So we still continue to see growth around the world. and then just our medium-duty product line, again, similar to heavy-duty when we launched all new products, a medium-duty product line for Kenworth and Peterbilt continue to do really well. And then Laura showed the Kenworth T880 high horsepower, both divisions, market share leader and vocational as continues to perform strong for PACCAR.
In Europe. So the -- you mentioned the market share is yes. So that's where I was going to go. Yes, PACCAR DAF was the only OE to refresh the product line, complete refresh in '21. And so we are confident it outperforms fuel economy benefits from just interior space, drivability. And so we're maintaining our premium position in Europe as it's gotten competitive elsewhere.
Rob Wertheimer, Melias. I found the upside to parts to be the most surprising, I mean, in some ways, astonishing how much room you have to go. And so my first question is North America in the first owner. Is that gap because of engine? It seems not because the engine parts stream probably comes in after. But to what do you attribute the fact that your OE share is higher than your part share still after years of part success? And then I guess you touched on where you have more upside, but connectivity, I assume, will drive kind of more engagement throughout that. And I wonder if you could sort of talk about that.
Yes. I mean you touched on it is there's 2 things. One is first owners tend to come back to the dealer and included in warranty. There's less of war-related parts and more filters and things like that in that first year 1 through 4. And then as you get into the 5, just again, more years and sheer volume of components. That's why I wanted to highlight the 8,000 versus 12,000 in the parts spend opportunity that a customer typically spends first owner versus second.
Is the market share being below your OE share in North America, though? Is that just because you're still building out capability to serve? Or is that because they can buy a filter anywhere there's no major I'm just trying to kind of think about the upside there.
Yes, there's still -- when we think of the competition, you've got OEs and then you've got the WDs, the wholesale distributors. And so that's why you'll tend to see share different than what market share is, is because it's a bigger competitive pool.
In fact, there's going to be some offset there, right, for what Kevin just said is for the truck sale, you have it for the part sale, there's a choice in there. Your second part of your comment about connectivity is the key to tying those more closely together because the more value creation we have in our new connected truck platform, and the easier it is for us to provide that value of part right place, right time, like next-day, same-day delivery for parts and prognostics of parts and being able to engage directly with the fleet or the customer allows us to increase that share, which is where our confidence in growth comes from.
Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley. I wanted to go back to the margin discussion, particularly on the parts side. So very impressive performance over the last few years. But as we think about going forward and continuing to grow that business, particularly on the second owner, where maybe TRP and some of these other parts of what you're providing might have a different margin structure. Can you talk about some of the push and pull of where ultimately you see gross margins headed for the parts business over time? Is that dilutive to margins? And are there other areas that may be more than offset that to continue to grow gross margins?
Yes. Great question. The way I think about it is if we can grow that share of the pie overall at that revenue growth that we talked about, I'd say margin is second. But I say that at the same time, say that as we focus on, yes, there's more I come back to those engines that are in that year 5 through 12 that needs service. Those come at a higher margin to help offset the growth in the all makes brands.
There's another piece there, which is also volume, right, and you get leverage on the assets that you have. So you have your 21 distribution centers. If you're shipping more through them, you're able to inputs lower margin on a gross margin standpoint, you get better leverage off of them.
And you would expect that if there's -- even if there is a difference in margin between an OE part patented part and an all makes part, they're still going to be accretive to overall TPO margin.
Helpful. And maybe switching gears a little bit to the capacity. So you've added some capacity. As you think about shifting or the shift that you've already seen of local-for-local maybe moving some more production from Canada or Mexico to silicone and Denton. Can you talk about the capacity of these 2 facilities to meet kind of peak demand, if we think about exiting the year toward a stronger, robust year, -- can they meet that with the capacity expansions? Or do you feel that there would be incremental need given the production shifts?
Very simple answer, yes, they can meet the demand.
Jeff Kauffman from Vertical Research Partners. -- kind of a longer-term question on connectivity we were talking about it 5 or 10 years ago when these platforms started rolling out. I think autonomy was just a twinkle in everybody's eye back then. Can you talk about how connectivity has evolved and kind of really what's driving it now? And I remember 4, 5 years ago, you said, "Hey, I think connectivity can be its own division, own profit center on item. Has that thinking evolved? Is it more of an enabler for other businesses? Or can connectivity be its own business unit basically?
Yes, that's right. We did talk about that. We still think about it that way. If you go back 5 years, you think about the typical -- let's just use a fleet customer. They would buy the truck, they put it in service, and then it would get all of the telematics hardware installed and then connected. Fast forward a couple of years, we provide the telematics hardware, but they still provide whatever display they use for multiple services. Now fast forward, and we think about as it's a connected truck platform. where all of that is OE driven. Then on the telematics side is there's the number of players you've seen some come and go over the years, but there's always 4 to 5 key telematics providers -- we also see that the fastest growing through AI is that third-party app developers are -- have been looking for a platform to be able to host content. And that's what we see as really evolving that we'll talk about and has a relevance to parts growth is that the biggest thing when trucks.
Telematics has tended to be around fleets, midsize, large-sized fleets, smaller customers tend not to go to those telematic providers. They get individual services. as these third-party app developers, they can develop bespoke services that becomes available to a broader population of customers, the smaller customers.
The second thing is as trucks move from first owner into second owner, unless there's value there, the second owner tends not to keep the truck connected. We now have the ability through a connected platform add that value not only to first but second owner, trucks stay connected, and that gives us that opportunity, as Preston said, to connect the dots between the providing parts and service to a customer that has a connected truck.
So simple answer, yes, it can be a separate profit. The next layer into it is it also feeds into all the other parts of the business. So it does feed into the parts growth. It feeds into the financial services growth it feeds into how we take care of the customers and have a tighter relationship with them, which extends not just at point of sale, but through first owner and second on her life. So it's -- tentacles reach everywhere, Jeff.
Kyle Menges from Citi. I wanted to ask on the MX engine, just with EPA 27 getting pretty close. I'm curious just how you're thinking about the cost and performance and we've heard rumblings on, I guess, varying costs and maybe technologies being deployed by you versus competitors. So I would love to hear just how you think the MX is being positioned?
And then just secondly, MX engine penetration has stalled out a little bit just as a percent of your truck builds, could EPA '27, do you think be a catalyst to increase that penetration?
Sure. Let me start with MX in the 2027 engine families. 35 -- the EPA right now has indicated that they will have introduced some flexibilities to the previously announced regulatory mandates. Those flexibilities are likely to be around warranty and full useful life at a minimum. They have indicated also that they will hold 35 milligrams as the numerical standard for criteria emissions -- that -- depending on how they roll those out and we expect that at the end of March, it will dramatically affect what the cost of -- to the customer is of new engine families. No matter how you slice it, fully complying with 35 milligrams is a massive technical challenge, and it does require new equipment. There are multiple approaches to it. They all have some level of pros and cons to them. But we're very happy with the robustness of our path that we're taking. We'll have more about that later in the year and specifics on the engine. But we have a tremendous track record in emissions compliance and frankly, integrity of that -- of meeting the emissions intervals, and we continue to do. We intend to maintain that through the launch of this engine. And again, look forward to this engine as a significant barrier to entry into our markets and a competitive advantage.
And I would just add to that, that we maintain an excellent relationship with Cummins. I mean the partnership has never been stronger in my memory. So great relationship with them, great development opportunities with them. that's working well for us even now. And we do think that in the years upcoming, the platforms that John teased to you will be opportunities for growth for us.
Steve Fisher, UBS. Just a follow-up on that 2027 question. It was really interesting to see in your slides and videos how AI is being used by you in the quality inspection. And so I'm assuming that warranty experience after you roll out these products is going to be very important. So I'm curious how you are using AI to target that particular rollout? And is there any particular metric on warranty experience that you can anticipate from here relative to prior rollouts. That's the first long question.
The second one would be on autonomy. And I'm curious how you're thinking about the timing of commercialization of autonomy has changed over the past couple of years?
So let me start with your second question first. Our standard answer on, I'll call it, the commercialization and the adoption curve on autonomy is -- it continues to be when it's ready. Because it's -- we feel it's somewhat irresponsible to try to predict that and set development goals on delivering that until we want to see that is there. before it goes. You can see that the underlying technologies around us in the robotaxi world, you can see the progress of the individual developers and where they are and since overlay robotaxi to this, and you get a sense that it's getting very real very quickly. And we also operate in the Permian Basin right now under a different set of situations that don't require the same level of fail operational because of the speeds. Autonomy is here. It's pulling loads without anybody in the truck every day.
So it's starting to commercialize with your latest example, right? We have sold trucks with into an autonomous application without drivers, so that's commercialization, just a tip of it. We want to be careful, right? You look at the car industry, there have been a lot of paints and moves. And I think that we don't want to be the tip of the spear in that case. We want to prioritize safety and effectiveness of the capability while we develop it, also different than the car industry is that the partnerships we have with like Aurora Stack, Kodiak, we need to watch their development curves, too, and see how they play in this space and come along with that. And then as John and team have developed an autonomous vehicle platform that can integrate those different drivers. It gives us a space that I think is unique. And that, again, the make, build, buy, partner approach to things, allows us to be participative without it being like the kind of capital raises that say, Waymo is doing, and it allows us to watch technology, be ready when it's there and commercialize it to our advantage when that time happens.
But there's no reason to pick dates, right? Technology should develop when it's safe when it's ready, when it's regulated and when there's an understanding of the litigation that comes along with it. So that's part 2 of your question, right? Do you want to get your part 1 of your question was engine introductions and how do we think about the use of AI in developing product, right? Is that a fair summary?
We've launched over the -- even the last 2 years, really an explosion in our ability to monitor product in the field and prognosticate understand failure modes and prognosticate when things are -- what's happening in the engine down at the component level. It's been a wonderful journey, actually. That will continue. That will change the way we roll out and launch engines. We -- how you monitor and how you keep a new engine customer up at all -- under all circumstances. So actually really look forward to the new era and the capabilities that are here now that we're using today, and we'll continue those into the new engines.
And I highlighted the inspection in the plant with the AI monitor inspection. So we should get better assembly quality. We have opportunities as we go in as said, on infant care with monitoring for insight. And so there we are. insight into any early issues so that we can get them early and AI will gives us insights into all of that. So warranty departments are using it. assembly manufacturing operations are using it. And of course, they're using it in development as well. .
We just think about from a software standpoint, the ability to run hardware in the loop, software in the loop capabilities using AI algorithms where you can have the model developed by the agent and then run those systems in place repetitively so you can test case way better than we used to be able to do. That's just a for instance of how you drive down warranty costs. So it is a real thing and it is today.
So could you spend a little bit more time fleshing out your flexible manufacturing road map? And if you can talk about how that is changing your profit per truck?
So over the last several years, as we talked about last night, and we've really been on this journey to add AGVs and other flexible manufacturing capabilities into our plants. That has given us the ability to build more models, more configurations, more efficiently and effectively on the line. We continue to build that out. It was a real help for us this last year as we decided that we were interested in our best interest to do the move around local for local, move medium duty into U.S. plants. .
How it continues? It's really an ongoing evolution. We keep finding new technologies come out. They become more scalable. They become more affordable. They become more usable and flexible for our operations, and we'll continue to deploy those as they make sense into our operations. And of course, all of that does lead to being more efficient, being higher quality and will enhance margins throughout.
So think -- another way to think of it is the journey of efficient manufacturing is not new. We've been working on that journey forever. The difference between automotive and truck or at least our trucks are their customized bespoke is your word, right? And so if they're customized, then you need to have flexible manufacturing. We've always had that. But it's been more labor dependent in the past. Like, for example, you would use human beings to paint chassis because a chassis could have 7 different suspensions, 5 different transmissions, 15 different driveline links, and you couldn't make the robot actually get in and see exactly what's going on. But a recent example, it was in one of our videos, is [indiscernible] just introduced robotic chassis paint because we now have the digital capability of the model around the chassis, and we can now paint almost the entire chassis without human interaction.
So it's an efficiency gain. It allows us to keep the customization. That's just like an efficiency. The benefit of that is then you can say, well, before you were building only T680s, let's say, at [indiscernible]. And now with that digital capability, you can bring in a medium duty to that plant and work it with the same technology. So the technology gives you flexibility and efficiency simultaneously. We see ourselves always on that journey, right? This is not something we started a year ago. It's something the team has been working on -- aggressively working on. We saw a milestone of [indiscernible] in the end of last year where we could move the trucks around seamlessly, and we can share that with you because you can kind of understand that and then we'll see that journey carrying forward over the coming years.
Great. Then second question on the new engine platform and you guys are teasing -- so just a clarification. So is this in addition to your prior generation MX engines? Or is this something brand new. And then you talked about a 40% efficiency improvement, I think, over the last like 20 years. Is that sort of run rate the way we should think about the efficiency of these next-generation engines?
Yes, starting with the second one, the internal combustion engine, despite being 126 years old, the diesel cycle combustion engine is a pretty miraculous thing, and the efficiency gains that have been eked out over time continue to improve. We'll watch that continue to advance with hybridization. We'll watch -- it's not done yet. I'll say that. We are on, I'll call it, conventional technologies experiencing diminishing returns. But again, features like hybridization, all that will take it to a different level.
Your other question on the variety of engines that we produce and how we are fortunate to have extremely flexible engine manufacturing facilities. If you've had the chance to visit our Mississippi plant, we are capable of making all variants of engines through time. So we -- the 11 and 13 -- MX-11 MX-13 will continue. They will continue for select markets. But when you make the transition to 35 milligrams and the -- again, the standards right now have full use of life requirements that are extreme, and those will carry forward on the new engine families.
So we'll have flexibility, but the new engines that we're working both alone and in partnership with will be really game-changing in terms of effectiveness and how we produce them efficiently, kind of a fun thing to look forward to. Good to have things to look forward to.
Michael Feniger for Bank of America. Everyone I realize message is higher highs. I get that. And net income will be higher next cycle. I'm just kind of curious to put a finer point on it. can we see higher highs on the gross margin side? Obviously, 2023 in the slides you guys showed, the peak, there was a lot of pricing in there. I'm just curious with some of the layers you guys provided with local-for-local manufacturing and parts and new products. Are those margins just out of reach? Or do you think that's more cyclical? So just kind of curious to put that in context when we're thinking about cycle-over-cycle?
I think it's a great question. I think if you just been sitting here to December of 2022, could we have predicted what 2023 is going to look like? Probably not. So to ask us to go on record of what it's going to be in the future. I think you don't -- we don't know all the confluences that happen into it. If we have a confluence again, of factors, call that tariff advantage, call that market strength, call it, supplier limitations. And yes, they can happen again. if it's more abated than that, more moderated than that, then maybe there's moments like that, that are hard to get back to the absolute truck margin side of it. But maybe as we grow the parts business overall over time, like Kevin has described, it results in a total TPO margin that approaches those things.
And of course, if the markets are stronger, that always helps us as well because we are well capacitized for higher hires, more capacity allows us to produce more trucks and get more pricing power, as I said before. So that will do a lot for us. So it's possible we could do better, but we obviously don't give that kind of guidance. But we're excited for the future with all the things we showed you today. Yes.
And just lastly, I mean it seems like there has been now this view that we will see some prebuy. I'm sure you guys are working with suppliers to get ahead of that. I mean, is the view that it robs from 2027? Or do you see a view where even with a pre-buy, which usually robs from that year and you see a little bit of a let down the next year? Can we actually keep marching higher on production in 2017, even with an emission standards change, which usually you don't kind of see?
I think that just by the very definition of saying a prebuy, you're taking a truck out of '27 and putting it into '26. So what you're really asking is, is it likely that the market strengthening will continue for the year beyond '26 rather than does pre-buy affect because by definition, yes, it affects it. But if the markets continue to be strong, then we can have a good 2027. So if the economy is strong, if the trucking economy is -- continues to go forward, if the changes or finalization of the rules, in the NPRM around warranty and useful life are moderated, then there's no reason to think we couldn't have a very good 2027. It obviously does depend on how anxious customers get in 2026 and how significant the prebuy is in terms of what it does to how much pull ahead is there.
And then pre-buys going to be different. They can be a month or they can be a couple of quarters. So I think there's a lot of uncertainty around how those will play still at this point. And I think that's where a lot of -- not just your focus, but our customers' focus is to, it's like what's going to happen in the coming 3 quarters of the year because Q1 is effectively behind us, everybody, right? And so now it's a function of what's going to happen, how quick does Q2 turn on? And what does it look like?
And if the year finishes around our midpoint of our guidance, that's around a replacement cycle. And so that's another normal year.
This is Tami Zakaria from JPMorgan. I wanted to follow up on engines. Correct me if I'm wrong, I think about 1/3 of your bills now have PACCAR engines. How do you expect the mix of that to trend over time? Because you said you want to gain share in North America, right, like some mid-30%. So do you have capacity in engines to drive that mix over time as you gain share?
Yes. W do have the capacity.
The 1/3 of the mix or expect that to go. Is there like a target to go to?
Yes. The way we look at it is, right, we want to provide a good portfolio of engines for the customers, and that's what we're doing today. And that lets them have choice around horsepower to markets depending on vocational otherwise. But with the new engines, we would expect that they will increase share, yes. And we can support that in our factories.
Got it. So I wanted to ask that gross profit question in a different way. hoping to get a different answer, more detailed answer. I think, Preston, in one of your slides, you had 2014 versus 2025 comparisons on similar number of deliveries. In 2014, your gross margin was 13-ish. You ended 2025 with 13 and change. As you look to the next 5 to 10 years, should you expect -- should we expect gross margin to remain at those levels on similar builds? Or is there a way to structurally improve that 13 and change to something higher, even if builds stay at these levels?
Super question, right? So think about what 2025 was, right? Yes, you're right in the margin comparatives of the years. But 2025, we experienced most of the year with a unique environment in a tariff world where it was thousands and thousands of dollars that we had to absorb as a truck manufacturer compared to our peers. I don't think we've ever had that. It certainly didn't match up to the prior cycle. So that's a unique difference. Then if you look at the general cycle over cycle margins that we've shown over time, they do go up, and they should continue to go up because, one, obviously, parts is accretive. We spent a lot of time sharing the parts story and how that helpful. right now it's moved in terms of total profitability. And so that should mean that margins will go higher in cycles.
Laura, I'm wondering if we can talk about factory productivity. So in the past, you folks have targeted 5% to 7% productivity improvement, reduction in labor hours per unit. How much of a runway do you have going forward to continue to drive that? Is there an opportunity for an acceleration given the new technologies that you're showing us at the factories and potentially use of AI for quality, et cetera. Could that actually accelerate for you folks going forward?
I think there's always opportunity to improve efficiency as we gain more skills. We design trucks. With that in mind, we deploy new technologies. So I would say that continuing along the path of our historical path makes a lot of sense because we were also doing those things in the past. Can it accelerate, really, that's going to depend on how we deploy, how we think about AI, how we think about that flexible manufacturing and where do we decide to make investments as we look at our trade-offs and where we invest our CapEx and R&D.
And Jerry, I think A couple of years ago, we wouldn't have said the ideal state for flexible manufacturing was to rearrange production from Canada back to the U.S. vice versa, right? There was other things. You go back 5, 6 years ago, we were thinking about if regulation stayed full speed ahead, the need to build battery electric trucks in our current factories as we look towards autonomy, was really providing the flexibility to handle all of our product configurations. We now have the strong added benefit of the flexibility of moving product lines. And so I think those are those efficiency will continue to get, as Laura said, but it's that flexibility to really accommodate anything that's happening in the environment around us that's allowed us to pivot and quickly adapt that's really a strength for us now.
Think about we don't know -- John showed you an idea of the mix of EV, hybrid EV and diesel powertrains in the future. And building those in the same line is a huge efficiency gain compared to building a separate stand-alone facility where you need a separate EV facility. We don't know what the next regulations are going to be around EVs. We know what they stated to be in Europe. So having flexibility to build them in a single factory, superefficient, supereffective. Like our view of electrification is we want to create models that are economically viable, independent of regulation. That's the holy grail, right? If you can get hybrid trucks to be more efficient than diesel trucks then our customers will buy hybrid trucks. If you can make EVs more efficient, then they'll buy EVs. They're just looking for total cost of ownership optimization.
Our factories need to have that flexibility. So as those technologies move along, we can build them where we need to and we don't say, "Oh, we need to spend another $500 million on a brand-new factory. The benefit of what we've done is we don't have to take that kind of approach, and that's the efficiency gains.
Can I ask separately on the parts side, Kevin, in terms of to deliver the goals that you folks laid out for us, what kind of investment do we need from the dealer group? Do we need to have a meaningful number of new smaller locations? Do we need assets invested to go from $20 billion to some number that's meaningfully higher what do we need to see from the dealer group to enable the type of revenue capture that you outlined?
Yes, I think it's a very consistent when I showed the distribution network, not only our investments in PDCs, but also dealer locations and TRP stores, it's just more of that. One of the benefits of that map I showed with the connected trucks running over the month, we can look at that through a day, time of day, see where all the traffic patterns. In the past, dealers used to use registration data to go, should I expand? Should I add a new location? Today, we have the connected truck data. We can give them real-time information to help them with, are there any white spots or do we need to grow the capacity out of current locations. And so they consistently are making the investment. So that's why I said, foundationally, we have got the network and the distribution. So as we grow the opportunity its parts, it's about expanding the relationship and leveraging the connected truck is to know where those second owners operate to continue more of those foundational investments with our dealer network. And we feel strongly we've got the best dealer network in the world.
And we were just with them last week and they're putting in record levels of capital into those businesses, and that does support the parts growth thesis.
Great. Steve Fisher, UBS. Just another question about margins, but maybe limited to the 2026 rest of year outlook. So as you sit here, I won't ask you for a number, but maybe a directional trend. I mean as you sit here today, are we thinking that as volume builds over the course of the year, that and price cost dynamics play out? Do you think Q1 is the sort of the low point on margins? Or does it still depend on what you're seeing from the competitor strategies around pricing?
I would say it does depend on what the competitors do, obviously. There's some impact on that. But I think we do feel like Q1 should be an acceleration from Q1.
And certainly, we're also expecting more volume, as we said before. So that always helps us as well. And the parts growth is going to be accelerating. All those other factors that should help us do better.
Right. A couple of big picture questions. Maybe this is actually slightly related to Steve's question, but Obviously, historically, you guys have been the premium product. You sell at a 10%-ish premium to everybody else. But clearly, you now have some benefit relative to your manufacturing footprint relative to others. So I'm curious as we go forward, is it more important to you to maintain that 10% sort of premium positioning in the market? Or I noticed Brice earlier said something about the importance of the installed base growing I feel like you kind of have a choice to make. You can grow your installed base more quickly in this scenario or you can maintain your premium pricing. And I'm curious how you think about that going forward?
I think our ambition is to have both and it's some balance between the 2. And I think it's not so precise as to say that we're ambitious to gain only share at the cost of margin or only margin at the cost of share. We watch the market. It's a daily discussion about where we're going. It depends on our supply base and what they can provide through the course of the year. It depends on the amount of energy in the market. And so I think it's hard to really give you a specific answer, except that you can see that our long-term view, which is how we think right, less focused on what's going to happen in Q2 of this year. We're focused on the strategy of a successful company that is a leading industrial that will grow share and margin over time. That's really the goal. And so that doesn't play out in moments that plays out in years and in a management team and an entire team at PACCAR within the network of letting growth accelerate gradually. And so I don't think we don't want -- I don't think I know we don't want one or the other. I know we want and expect to achieve both over time.
Okay. Fair enough. And unrelated, but I'm curious, again, you talked about the fact that the rollback of this endangerment clause won't change your life at all. But 1 of the potential outcomes here is that it may be possible to make a less fuel economic -- sorry, is that a word? It's possible to downgrade the technology and sell a cheaper truck at a cheaper price that doesn't get as good fuel economy. It's possible that some of your competitors may choose to do that. And I'm curious how you think about that because, again, if you're going to be the premium producer, maybe you want to have the best fuel economy. But if you want to make sure you're relevant to all competitors, you may have to provide a similar product. How do you think about that? .
I can do a swing and then John can feel free to add. But effectively, Fuel costs are so much of a percent of operation for our customers that without great fuel economy, class-leading fuel economy, you won't be in that premium position. I mean, if you made that technology trade off and went that far backwards, I think the total cost of ownership would suffer greatly. When you think about the acquisitional cost as a percentage of total operating cost, it's much lower than fuel.
Yes. I think if you know and love your customer endangerment has nothing to do with fuel economy. It's all greenhouse gas.
Yes. And just when Laura showed the AI with the truck configurator. there are so many different combinations of options and option combinations. When we were in greenhouse gas Phase 1, Phase 2 and then the pending Phase 3, it was really about not a different truck it's more about the combination of options that go on each individual customer to meet whatever their need is. As Preston said, all of them are after fuel economy improvement. So it's really those right combination of options, and that's where we're able to leverage to really dial in per customer the right configuration.
And that's why the administration has it right, right? From a truck industry standpoint, they don't need to regulate the GHG. We're going to do this because it's fuel economy based. And so that lets the market make the right decisions for itself instead of sending standards that may or may not be most efficient for the economy that we all live in. But if they just say, in our case, where you're motivated by the economics, then they'll work out well because we'll produce the most efficient, lowest GHG highest fuel economy, trucks. They get that.
All right. Ken, our boss is telling us that we're out of time. So we would like to say such a sincere thank you for all of you that joined us this morning. And for those that are sticking around for the next part of this, fantastic. Appreciate the questions. Love the dialogue, really fun to have smart people asking us questions, and we look forward to some more time with you as we go, but we'll end the formal session of the meeting. Thank you all very much.
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Paccar — Analyst/Investor Day - PACCAR Inc
Paccar — Analyst/Investor Day - PACCAR Inc
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Kurzform: PACCAR präsentierte auf der Investorenkonferenz sein bewährtes Geschäftsmodell: Premium-Lkw plus wachsender Teile‑ und Finanzdienstleistungsbereich treiben zyklusübergreifendes Ergebniswachstum.
- Stärke: Teile (Parts) und Finanzdienstleistungen reduzieren Volatilität und erhöhten 2014→2025 RoR (Return on Revenue) sowie Profitabilität deutlich.
- Technologie: Breite Roadmap (neue Diesel‑Motoren, Battery‑Electric‑Fahrzeuge (BEV), Autonomie, KI) bleibt Kern der Wettbewerbsdifferenzierung.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Produkt‑Portfolio: Vollständige Markenlinie (Kenworth, Peterbilt, DAF) mit neuen Modellen (z. B. Peterbilt 589, DAF XG/XGs Electric) zur Deckung verschiedener Anwendungen.
- Fertigung: Advanced manufacturing/AI und „local‑for‑local“ ermöglichen Flexibilität, Kostenvorteile bei Section‑232‑Tarifen und schnellere Modellumschichtungen.
- Aftermarket: 2,400 Händler, 21 Parts Distribution Centers, 99.9% Versandgenauigkeit; KI‑gestützte Prognostik und Managed Inventory treiben Teilewachstum.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Guidance: Q1‑2026: ~33.000 Auslieferungen, Truck‑Gross‑Margin 12.5–13%; Parts Q1 +2–4%; FY Parts +4–8%; CapEx $725–775M; R&D $450–500M. (CFO: Guidance unverändert seit Q1‑Call.)
- Tarifwirkung: Nach Section‑232‑Anpassungen erwartet PACCAR >50% Entlastung der Tarif‑Exposition durch lokale Produktion.
- Parts‑TAM: Globales Aftermarket‑TAM $70 Mrd.; Ziel: +5 pp Marktanteil bis 2030 ≈ $3.5 Mrd. zusätzl. Umsatz.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Profit/Truck: Analysten hinterfragten Sustainabilität höherer Profitabilität pro Truck; Management verweist auf Produktmix, Teile‑/Finanzservices und Volumenhebel als Treiber.
- Teile‑Wachstum: Diskussion zu First‑ vs. Second‑Owner: PACCAR sieht Upside insbesondere bei Second‑Owner (60/40 Szenario First/Second im angestrebten Wachstum) durch Connected‑Fleet‑Daten und AI.
- Regulatorik & Timing: Unsicherheit zu EPA‑35mg NOx und möglichem Prebuy; PACCAR plant zwei neue proprietäre Motorplattformen, erwartet aber Detail‑Kommunikation später im Jahr.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Konferenz bestätigte PACCARs strategische Stärken: diversifizierter Aftermarket, anpassungsfähige Fertigung und technologiegetriebene Produktvorteile. Kurzfristig bleibt Ergebniswetter von Marktzyklus, Wettbewerbspricing und regulatorischer Finalisierung (NOx) abhängig; mittelfristig stützt Teilewachstum und Plattform‑technologien die Margenentwicklung.
Paccar — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to PACCAR's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's call is being recorded. I would now like to introduce Mr. Ken Hastings, PACCAR's Director of Investor Relations. Mr. Hastings, please go ahead.
Good morning, and welcome, everyone. My name is Ken Hastings, PACCAR's Director of Investor Relations. And joining me this morning are Preston Feight, Chief Executive Officer; Kevin Baney, President; and Brice Poplawski, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
As with prior conference calls, we ask that any members of the media on the line participate in a listen-only mode. Certain information presented today will be forward-looking and involve risks and uncertainties that may affect expected results. For additional information, please see our SEC filings in the Investor Relations page of paccar.com.
I would now like to introduce Preston Feight.
Good morning. Kevin Baney, Brice Poplawski, Ken Hastings, and I will update you on our very good fourth quarter and full year 2025 results as well as other business highlights. PACCAR's fourth quarter revenues were $6.8 billion and net income was $557 million. In 2025, PACCAR achieved annual revenues of $28.4 billion and adjusted net income of $2.64 billion, which is the fourth highest profit year in company history and the 87th consecutive year of profits.
Adjusted after-tax return on revenue was 9.3%. I'm proud of PACCAR's outstanding employees, who delivered these results by providing our customers with the highest quality trucks and transportation solutions in the industry. PACCAR Parts and PACCAR Financial Services each achieved quarterly and annual revenue records. PACCAR Parts and Financial Services represent an increasing percentage of the overall business, and contribute to PACCAR's structurally stronger performance.
2025 was a dynamic year in the North American truck industry with soft freight markets, tariffs and emissions policy uncertainties. In this environment, Kenworth and Peterbilt made strong contribution to PACCAR's results.
Importantly, we ended last year with tariff and emissions clarity. The Section 232 truck tariff policy that became effective on November 1 provides advantages to PACCAR, who produces trucks in the United States, Canada and Mexico for each local market. I'm proud of PACCAR's excellent team, who have created this cost-effective, flexible and robust manufacturing strategy.
In late 2025, it was confirmed that the 35-milligram EPA27 NOx limit will go into effect in January of next year. This brings clarity to the market and helps customers make their buying decisions. PACCAR is wonderfully positioned for these changes with the newest lineup of trucks and engines that are the most efficient and highest quality in the industry.
Last year, U.S. and Canadian Class 8 truck retail sales were 233,000 units and Kenworth and Peterbilt delivered a market share of 30%. The U.S. economy is projected to expand this year, the less-than-truckload and vocational truck sector, where Peterbilt and Kenworth are the market leaders, are steady.
The Truckload segment is beginning to accelerate with industry customer demand and spot rates picking up in December. The 2026 U.S. and Canadian Class 8 truck market is forecast to be in a range of 230,000 to 270,000 vehicles as economic growth, regulatory and tariff clarity and improving freight conditions are poised to improve customer demand. In Europe, DAF trucks have a competitive advantage in the market, with their innovative aerodynamic design that features the largest and most luxurious cab interior and the best powertrain choices. In recognition of this, the DAF team earned the prestigious International Truck of the Year Award for the DAF XF and XD electric trucks. It's noteworthy that this is the third time in 5 years that DAF has won this award.
In 2025, the European above 16-tonne truck market was 298,000 units. This year, the European economy is forecast to grow modestly, and we expect the above 16-tonne truck market to be in the range of 280,000 to 320,000 registrations. In addition to the excellent businesses in Europe and Brazil, DAF is also expanding in the Andean region of South America.
Last year, the South American above 16-tonne market was 115,000 vehicles and is expected to be in the range of 100,000 to 110,000 trucks this year.
Other 2025 business highlights included PACCAR earning the elite A rating from Climate Disclosure Project for its environmental performance, DAF being honored as the Fleet Truck of the Year in the U.K., DAF, Kenworth and Peterbilt introducing the next generation of battery electric trucks, PACCAR completing a new engine remanufacturing facility in Mississippi, and Kenworth completing a new chassis paint facility in Ohio.
The PACCAR delivered 32,900 trucks in the fourth quarter and deliveries are forecast to be at a comparable level in the first quarter of 2026. Fourth quarter Truck, Parts and Other gross margins were 12%, and we estimate that first quarter gross margins will increase to 12.5% to 13%. We look forward to 2026 being a year of accelerated growth for our customers, dealers and PACCAR. Kevin Baney will now provide an update on PACCAR Parts, financial services as well as other business highlights. Kevin?
Thank you, Preston. In 2025, PACCAR declared dividends of $2.72 per share, including a year-end dividend of $1.40 per share. This resulted in a dividend yield of nearly 3%. PACCAR has paid a dividend for a significant 84 consecutive years.
Last year, PACCAR Parts annual revenues increased by 3% to a record $6.9 billion and pretax profits were a strong $1.67 billion. Fourth quarter revenues increased 4% to a record $1.7 billion with pretax profits of $415 million. PACCAR Parts performance reflects the benefits of investments in connectivity and Agentic AI that increase vehicle uptime and enhance the success of our customers.
PACCAR Parts is continuing to expand, and now has 21 distribution centers worldwide, including a new distribution center in Calgary. This new PDC enhances parts availability, and delivery times to Canadian dealers and customers.
Parts aftermarket. Parts business provides strong profitability through all phases of the business cycle. We estimate parts sales to grow by 4% to 8% this year, with growth accelerating as the year progresses. Last year, PACCAR Financial Services achieved record annual revenues of $2.2 billion and annual pretax income grew 11% to $485 million.
Fourth quarter revenues were a record $569 million and quarterly pretax income grew 10% to $115 million. PACCAR Financial provides the highest quality service in the market and makes it easy for customers to do business with PACCAR through the use of technology in the credit application and loan servicing process.
PACCAR Financial increased market share to 27%, a growth of 2 percentage points when compared to 2024. Capital project investments last year were $728 million, while research and development investments were $446 million. This year, we are planning capital investments in the range of $725 million to $775 million and R&D expenses in the range of $450 million to $500 million.
This year's investments on key technology and innovation projects include the creation of next-generation clean diesel, hybrid and alternative powertrains, battery cells, integrated connected vehicle services, flexible manufacturing capabilities, PACCAR's autonomous vehicle platform and advanced driver assist systems. PACCAR's independent Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF dealers consistently invest in their businesses, enhancing our industry-leading distribution network, and they make a significant contribution to PACCAR's long-term success.
PACCAR is looking forward to a great year in 2026. Thank you. We'd be pleased to answer your questions.
[Operator Instructions] First question comes from David Raso with Evercore ISI.
2. Question Answer
I was just curious, can you walk us through the margin improvement you expect from 4Q to 1Q despite the flat deliveries?
4Q to 1Q, the thinking is, David, is a lot to unpack there, but one of thing you look at in fourth quarter is we had the 232 going into effect. Obviously, that went into effect November 1, say, the month, we had higher tariffs. So that happened in there. The other thing that wasn't significant is our manufacturing teams in the fourth quarter did a really great job of being able to convert the factories over to build trucks local for local. So for example, Chillicothe and Denton are now building the medium-duty trucks. And in Canada, we're able to build all of the product lines, principally for Canada.
So that's a lot of adjustment in schedules during the fourth quarter, which had some impact on margins, and as we look forward, we get a full quarter in quarter 1 of margins that are benefiting from the 232 tariff. There's the clarity of NOx 27, which happens. So I think that's starting to have some improvement.
Order intake has been very good, very strong in December and through January. So we're seeing some uptick in terms of customer demand, which is good for our business as well. And that's what's driving up the margin 12.5% to 13% in Q1 compared to the 12% in Q4.
And that last point about orders, I would have thought maybe the build sequentially could be up. What's the translation from those orders into when you expect to produce those trucks?
Yes. I mean, I think you know the cadence of it is a lot of orders at the end of the year come in as fleets that are spread delivery throughout the year. So that's a little bit of what I think everybody saw in the fourth quarter. And then what we're seeing now is a little bit more close in terms of order intake, but it's allowing us to build up our backlog a little bit, increased visibility a little bit. And then that's what's going to translate into higher build in the outer quarters.
And lastly, to quantify a little bit 4Q to 1Q. Can you give us some sense of the price/cost dynamic in truck in the fourth quarter, and maybe how to frame it with the Section 232 benefits for 1Q?
Yes, I think you can see favorability coming in Q1 compared to Q4 in price cost, most significantly is cost reductions that we would expect to see. And again, doing that comparison of the work our factories did, that has some cost impact in the fourth quarter in terms of getting the right trucks in the right places. And then again, we get the benefit of 232 in Q1. So it gets a lot more stable in that for a net positive price cost on truck. Brice, you had something.
Yes, we also had a higher level of overtime in the fourth quarter because of the events that Preston spoke to. And getting all the trucks out at the end of the year, our employees did a fantastic job getting all the trucks out that our customers so desperately want to have. So we felt really good about that. That should not be recurring in the first quarter either.
We now turn to Jerry Revich with Wells Fargo.
Kevin, congratulations. I'm wondering if you could just talk about what you're seeing in the performance of your aftermarket business in January by region. It feels like there's an uptick in Europe, in particular, that's playing out. But I'm wondering if you could just provide the context you just provided on orders for aftermarket Europe and U.S., please?
Yes. Sure, Jerry. So forecast for Q1 is 3% growth year-over-year. Team did a great job, let's say, in a soft parts market with record sales growth for last year and definitely for the fourth quarter. And what we are seeing is a soft part market customers, really are focused on required maintenance. And so we saw a mix shift towards that. We've got great AI agentic tools to help identify that and not only get that mix shift in our distribution centers, but also out with the dealers. And so we've got a forecast of 4% to 8% growth for this year. And we'll see that definitely, as we see the truck side accelerate through the year, we'll see that on the parts side as well.
Super. And then in Europe, specifically.
Yes, split in -- yes, that's what I was about to say. And then just the split in region is, I think, it will be consistent in North America as well as Europe.
Very interesting. And then can we just double click on Europe a little bit. So production was really high in the quarter versus normal seasonality and you took up your outlook for Europe. Can you just expand on what you're seeing in terms of -- is it a particular set of countries that are driving the demand acceleration for you folks in Europe? Or how broad is the activity improvement?
Yes. The market finished at -- I'll focus on heavy duty at 297,000 and so relatively strong market for Europe. No specific focus on any given region. Obviously, depending on where you are in Europe, some markets are stronger than others. We continue to focus on premium trucks. Preston said, we are recognized as Fleet Truck of the Year in the U.K., International Truck of the Year for the DOF XF and XD, and so we just -- we took the market up because we see similar strong market this year as well.
Good summary. And lastly, can I ask on Section 232 as that starts to impact your competitors, how are you thinking about market share versus unit profitability from a PACCAR standpoint, as we look back historically, you folks have targeted improving unit profitability cycle over cycle. And so as we're thinking about the benefits from the rebate program as well as chatter out there for $9,000 type price increases. Can you just provide a PACCAR perspective on where you see unit profitability going and how you folks are thinking about market share versus profitability given Section 232 even is the playing field for you folks?
Yes. I think the last statement you made is really instructive because throughout 2025, there was a bit of a disadvantage. And now I think we anticipate that to be an advantage. It doesn't come through quickly, right? It's a competitive world out there. So in the first quarter, many of our competitors haven't taken that to the market, those tariff cuts to the market yet, which keeps things in a bit of a very competitive state, maintains that dynamic nature we were talking about in our commentary, but through the year, we feel good about our opportunity to gain in terms of margin and market share as the year progresses and things stabilize out. Because it does seem stable now, and because our teams have done such a good job getting the local-for-local manufacturing, there really should be an opportunity for us in both categories.
We now turn to Robert Wertheimer with Melius Research.
I'm so sorry. Just following up on Jerry's, the cycle margins and where your kind of competitive and production position sits in North America now versus in the past? Is there any reason to think as things normalize over the next year or 2 or 3 that your truck margins should be anything different from average, whether higher or lower? And I have one follow-up.
I would say, Rob, that predicting out 1, 2, 3 years in the operating environment we're in is a little bit challenging in terms of what things are going to look like. There's a USMCA negotiation that's going to take place probably later this year, so it will be instructive to look at that. So I think that could have an impact on how margins feel.
What I think we're focused on is making sure that the trucks we're providing have the greatest value to our customers. And to that end, as you know, right, we have the newest lineup of trucks out there, and one of the things that we're now focusing on is how we're going to be able to help our customers be more profitable through the use of the Agentic AI that Kevin mentioned, but also maybe more generally in connected truck data.
So our ability to have connected every truck be connected and gather like petabytes of data from our trucks and then use that data to provide customer value is significant in the coming years. So that's what we can control, and that's where our focus is, because high-quality trucks, lowest cost of ownership, highest reliability and new transportation solutions for our customers would help them be more successful.
Interesting. I look forward to hear more about that. And then just a quick one. Did you mention your European market share for the year?
Yes. I hadn't yet, Rob, but it was 13.5% on the heavy-duty side.
Perfect. I'll have a bunch of questions for you shortly, and thank you very much.
We now turn to Steven Fisher with UBS.
Just wanted to confirm some of the production dynamics in the quarter, the 15,000 in U.S. and Canada, I thought I heard you say that maybe that was affected by sort of shifting local for local. How much of -- I guess, was the 15,000 less than what you expected. How did that compare? How much of that, if you could break it out, was tied to sort of shifting that production plans around? Or was there anything else going on in the quarter?
Yes, I think it's not what we expected.
Can you hear me?
Yes, we can. Can you hear us?
Okay. Yes, sure.
Yes. So that 15,000 is kind of right where we thought it would be right in the range of where we thought it would be. Europe probably delivered a few more, maybe North America, a little less. But what we really saw is a cadence change through the quarter and a cadence change continuing through the first quarter of stronger order intake, the ability for the truck plans, as we mentioned -- team mentioned, because I'm so proud of them, but for them to be able to keep the build going while they were doing this transition to build was really impressive.
So if there was anything, a few hundred units might have been varied in there where they were working through bringing in trucks out of Mexico, bringing in trucks out of Canada and bringing that flexibility and then the team in Canada flexing into a wide variety of model mixes built in Sainte. There are some inefficiencies in that, but their ability to manage that was significant and really impressive. And so I don't think we're too surprised at all by it. What we feel good about is the stability we have going forward and how that's going to be helpful to the build cadence through the 2026 calendar year.
Okay. That's helpful. And then, I guess translating that into then the first quarter flat, can you just give us sort of the regional color there directionally for U.S. and -- U.S., Canada versus Europe?
Yes. We see U.S., Canada up some and then Europe down a little bit as the higher deliveries in the fourth quarter at year-end in Europe.
We now turn to Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley.
Just wanted to unpack a little bit more on the order uptick. You noted the continuation of maybe some of that into January. We saw a strong December order data. So could you just expand on maybe the shape of the strength in January? And just maybe any details on what percentage of your order book or order slots are now filled for kind of 1Q and 2Q.
And then maybe just related to that, like if you could expand on just the areas where you're seeing the uptick in orders, is there any kind of particular pockets, whether it's vocational or is it more related to EPA prebuy? Like what are you hearing in terms of the strength in those orders?
Yes. I think as you articulated the numbers for December, you know those order intakes, I'd say January continued in that same level of cadence of significant overbuild rate order intake. Some spread delivery there as you talked about fleets that are kind of putting in their buying decisions, but also some things that are closer in, as you mentioned, vocational, and we're seeing some significant orders from bodybuilders coming into our mix now so they can replenish their inventory for 2026 and then a steadiness in the LTL market. So it's kind of a mixture. You articulated that well, and that's what we see.
So strong order intake kind of across the board, which is helping us grow those backlogs, which is going to be positive for the year. And then I would say, I may add is in Q1 were mostly full. And then as you know, we'll look at Q2 as we get to the next earnings call.
That's very helpful. And then maybe just along those lines, on the North America truck outlook for the year, I guess, U.S. and Canada, can you just expand a little bit. So you raised Europe and South America, but it sounds like the level of orders here is pretty robust, but you got the North America unit outlook unchanged. How should we read that? Is there any nuances to what you're seeing maybe whether it's market share shifts or that this positions you may be better for -- or the industry better for the top end of the range we have provided. How should we kind of take that into context, given the unchanged guides for the industry?
Well, I think the truth is, our unchanged is higher than maybe like ACT was previously. So we feel -- we felt good about 2026. We still feel good about 2026. And so there's really no change from our positive sense of what's going to come through the year and the fact that it's going to be a year of acceleration for us, and acceleration sequentially is what we'd expect to see through the year.
Our next question comes from Scott Group with Wolfe Research.
So when truck rates start moving higher, we tend to see more truck orders. It feels like some of the reason why truck rates are going higher right now is that there's fewer drivers and the government is focused on nondomicile and things like that. If this is more of a supply-driven cycle with fewer drivers, how do you think about what that means for truck orders and this cycle going forward?
Yes. I think it's a great point, Scott. And you -- obviously, you're dialed in on what's going on there, but if there are fewer drivers that maybe aren't meeting the legal requirements, those drivers probably are working on the lower side of the contract rates and the spot rate businesses. And then what you see is those more established carriers tend to have probably somewhat higher rates. The fact that there's fewer that low side drivers enables them to probably command a better rate positioning. I think there's some of that going on right now. Obviously, as they get better rate positioning, their profitability will hopefully improve and then that will drive their ability to have better cash flow and purchase more trucks.
And then a similar question. When you -- this order pick up, do you have a sense, is this more replacement? Or is there any growth? And if it is sort of more replacement, I don't know, just thoughts on how you see the used truck market evolving over the course of the year.
Yes. I think in the used truck space, it's kind of an interesting kind of read through to me is, we think that as the year goes on, used trucks should become more valuable, simply because of things are shaping out in the marketplace, even into next year. So it should be positive right now. There's been a little bit of a downtick in used trucks because some of those buyers might be the people that are being affected by the CDL enforcement rules. And those might have been the buyers for the used truck. So there's a temporary moment there.
And also, I think we've still seen the finishing up of rationalization of fleets that we're going to be in the business and make it through this cycle versus those that are leaving the business. So all of that kind of put in, you would expect to see the number of delinquencies diminish as the year progresses as fleet profitability has come up and then use truck pricing follow that.
And just so I understand your point about use being more valuable. Is that a sort of comment around EPA27 and big increases in new truck prices coming next year?
Exactly. Yes, that's part of the same part of it.
Yes. We saw a 4% increase in used truck values year-over-year, and we expect that to continue to increase for that reason.
We now turn to Chad Dillard with Bernstein.
I want to spend some time on Parts' gross margin. So first of all, fourth quarter, what was it? And then how do you think about that scaling in '266 as that business reaccelerates?
Yes, Chad, this is Kevin. So fourth quarter was 29.5%. And as I mentioned, in a soft parts market, I'd say that's -- it's pretty good results. And again, team is doing a great job providing excellent customer service, getting right parts at the right place, right time. And so in a soft parts market, customers are really focused on required maintenance. And so we were able to address that shift, and what we're forecasting going forward is kind of a rebalancing of that mix as the market improves and a higher take on proprietary parts.
Got it. That's helpful. And then just really quickly on inventories. Can you just give us an update on where PACCAR is versus the market? And then just in terms of truck pricing, how are you thinking about that evolving as you go through '26?
Sure. If we look at the industry inventory, I think the industry inventory for Class 8 is 3.2 months and PACCAR is at 2.2 months. So we feel like we're in an optimal spot on our inventory positioning. And that at least for us, we would expect build registrations to be fairly aligned this year. So that gives us a good opportunity as well. And we're starting to see that, like we're starting to see dealers come in with stock orders. And as we mentioned previously, body builders want to have their spots put in. So that's the way we see inventory and its relationship to our build.
Our next question comes from Jamie Cook with Truist.
Nice quarter. I guess, my first question, understanding your retail sales forecast for North America, and now that we have more clarity on EPA 2027. Obviously, markets appear better versus where we were. But Preston, to what degree are you concerned the supply chain can't ramp if things really do improve? And where would those bottlenecks be? And how are you handling that? And then my second question, which is my guess is you won't answer, but I'm going to try, the revenues were better, deliveries were better, your gross margins were in line with your forecast, but you said it was hurt by your shift in manufacturing local for local. Is there any way you'll quantify what that impact was in the fourth quarter?
Yes. So your second question, you're right. You understand it. It was significant. I'm not going to give you a number because there's a lot of gray in that number. So I'd be taking a number that has multiple inputs to it. Say that it was a significant impact to us, and it is one that we don't expect to carry forward as we look into the future quarters. from a bottlenecks of supplier standpoint? And does that have an impact on the year. I feel like that's something that our customers are going to need to think about. We have great relationships with our suppliers.
We've given them our forecast, and we've given them that cadence of sequential growth and acceleration through the year and our expectations of our build. So they're aware of it. That helps them, right? So having a good plan helps them. But it does mean that if we get into a third, fourth quarter, where build is significantly higher than it puts stress on their systems as well. And we've been through the cycle, you just articulated it. There comes a point where if the ramp is too significant, it becomes bounded. We don't see that yet, but we don't rule out that, that could happen in the second half of the year as well. And if that's what happens, then that's typically when price accelerates.
Our next question comes from Stephen Volkmann with Jefferies.
I wanted to stick with the 27 NOx thing. Have you guys communicated to your customers, and maybe even if you're willing to, to us, what the price increase associated with that will be?
We've talked in generalities. And the reason we speak to generalities, just because I think the EPA has done a very good job of trying to let people know there would be 35 milligrams, but they also have stated that they're looking at useful life and warranty and what those impacts would be on cost. So those could still be subject to change.
In general, I think the best number is to use like a plus or minus on $10,000. That's what we've been talking to customers about. It gives them a range to think about. so they can kind of plan in with a new technology and a $10,000 increase does it mean they want to shift their buying pattern around?
Great. That's helpful. And then this is -- almost coming back to Jamie's question. But -- so presumably, there'll be some sort of a prebuy as we get toward the end of the year. I think you guys have been in that camp for a while now. But if the demand were stronger, would you be willing to flex up to meet it? Or does the fact that 27 probably sort of comes back down fairly quickly post the change mean that it's sort of your appetite for building a lot in the second half is more limited?
We serve our customers. And so if our customers are asking us for trucks, we do everything in our power to get them trucks.
We now turn to Kyle Menges with Citi.
I wanted to follow up on the last question. I guess, more -- not as much on the customer side, but just from the standpoint of the potential of dealers stocking up, you may be willing to carry a little bit more inventory in the 2027. You made a comment that you're seeing dealers ordering stock trucks right now. So it would be helpful to just hear about how you're thinking of the potential for dealer stocking, and I guess, risk of an inventory overhang exiting 2026?
Well, I mean, I think the statement of an inventory overhang has a negative connotation to it to me. And I'm not sure that if they had inventory going into 2027, that would be necessarily too big of a problem. I think that it's a little early to predict what the fourth quarter is going to look like because as I said, we have to see what the rules end up being from the EPA. I do think there will be an acceleration through the year. That seems obviously starting to happen to me. How big that is and how significant it is at the year-end, I think that's a lot of speculation that we can't really get to yet.
Got it. And then just on the Parts guidance, the 4% to 8% and starting the first quarter at plus 3%, just, how much visibility do you have to that ramp going from 3 to, I guess, plus 7% or 8% as we move throughout 2026? And just what are the key drivers of that acceleration in growth?
Kyle, the key drivers are just the anticipated demand as we go through the year with the market. We've had, if you look at last year, it was a relatively soft market throughout the year. And so just with customers accelerating, putting trucks back into service. We just were anticipating kind of a steady growth as we go through the year.
The other thing to maybe think of as tariffs should be a favorability in the parts side just like there on the truck side as you look at the year.
[Operator Instructions] We now turn to Tami Zakaria with JPMorgan.
First question is on the tariff-related surcharges or price increases you talked about last year. Are you rolling back some of those price increases or surcharges given that Section 232 eases some of the tariff cost burdens for you now?
Yes. Tami, we are. We've got rid of tariff surcharges for 2026. So they sit in there in terms of what our actuals are because remember, IEPA is still sitting out there as a tariff cost for everyone that needs to be clarified still, but we are seeing some price slide in Q1 expectation, but more than offset by cost. So that gives us a positive in price cost.
Understood. That's super helpful. And as a follow-up, I wanted to understand the first quarter gross margin guide a little better. Did you see at any point in the fourth quarter the gross margin rate being in that 12.5% to 13% range, meaning, is it fair to assume that you exited 4Q at a 12.5% to 13% range, and that's what you're expecting for the full quarter in the first quarter, given deliveries would be similar.
Yes. I think what you're insinuating is are we seeing sequential improvement in margin by month, and we don't break it out that way, but in general, yes, we're seeing improvement in margin as we go sequentially even within quarters.
Our next question comes from Jeff Kauffman with Vertical Research Partners.
Congratulations. I just wanted to think a little bit about -- I just wanted to think a little bit about margin opportunity or market share opportunity in 2026. We've been speaking with some trucking companies that have said even now, they still can't really put in orders for freightliners or internationals because post the 232 tariffs, they're not really certain what those prices are. So you talked about the shift post 232 and how that's an advantage for you.
What are your customers telling you about their ability to those that have, say, more than one nameplate, more than just Kenworth and Peterbilt on their fleet, because we've seen the uptick in truck purchasing. And to your point, that could be a combination of, okay, we got EPA clarity, we got 232 clarity on our domestic produced trucks, but our understanding is, your customers are still having trouble putting in orders for their non-U.S.-built trucks post 232. So could there be a bigger opportunity for market share for you? And then when will you get some more certainty on that?
Yes. I think you must be talking to the same people we're talking to, because I think they would like to have that clarity as well in terms of what pricing is going to be from some of our competitors, and that will certainly find its way into the market in the coming months. We've been able to give them clarity from our standpoint, I think it's helpful. And so we feel like we should be able to meet their demand when they're ready to make those decisions, which should be good for us through the year, both, I think, from a market share standpoint and a margin standpoint.
So just to follow up on that. The increased confidence you're seeing with their customers, and I know ACT Research just put the pre-buy back into their numbers. How much of this do you feel is increased confidence in the environment versus maybe just increased clarity on what's going on with EPA?
Yes, I think it's both. I think that the clarity is helpful, but without the confidence in the freight markets without the rate increases and without increased profitability for the carriers, the 40% of the truckload carriers being in the market, they need those things in order to be more than just tariff and regulatory clarity.
So I do think it's a both thing. And I think that's where we're at the point where we have tariff clarity. We have regulatory clarity happening, but I think we're just in the beginning parts of having the truckload carrier profitability return. So that has to continue to evolve, which will be positive for the year when that happens.
And our final question comes from Michael Feniger with Bank of America.
You guys touched on the price versus cost trending more favorably in Q1 versus Q4, it's mostly on the cost side, you commented on pricing is a little soft in Q1. You pointed out how competitors have not fully taken into tariff cost to market. We're hearing commentary out there on discounts. How do you see pricing in Q1 to beyond Q1 kind of playing out through the year as we start to get closer to that prebuy?
I think that's what's going to be telling is once there's price clarity from everybody in the market and the tariffs are affected into things, it's going to be -- and there will be some costs that come along, and I think that's where price will start to become a favorable factor through the year.
All right. And when we think, is there a rule of thumb we should think about your cost of goods sold? How much is raw materials, what we should be watching, what the lag is there?
Yes. This is Brice. Our -- the material in our product is the vast majority. It's 80%, 85%. So labor and overhead are the remainder. So it materials mean a lot in our pricing.
Fair enough. And look, you guys have an Analyst Day in a few weeks. I remember at the 2022 Investor Day, there was just a lot of focus from investors if PACCAR can drive higher margin cycle over cycle, and you clearly delivered that in 2023 with strong profitability. Now as we're coming off this Investor Day in a few weeks, early innings of this -- we're hoping the new truck cycle, do you think we can see higher cycle-over-cycle profitability that continue? What are some of the factors we should be thinking about as we're assessing the profitability as we're moving to this next recovering truck cycle?
Yes. Thanks for the commentary first of all, and then the question because the commentary is great. I think it's absolutely objectively true, cycle-over-cycle performance that teams have delivered is really significant and outstanding. We'll share more of that in the Investor Day. And then as we look to the future, we feel great about the opportunities in front of us. It's not just trucks and it's not just parts, it's not just financial services, but we think there's other new opportunities coming towards us in terms of how we support our customers with advanced transportation solutions, data, connectivity and the interplay of all of those. So those are all positive for the business looking forward. So we feel great about not just this year but the future and look forward to seeing many of you in Denton.
There are no other questions in the queue at this time. Are there any additional remarks from the company?
We'd like to thank everyone for joining the call, and we look forward to the upcoming Analyst Day on February 10. Please keep an eye on the PACCAR Investor Relations page for a link to the webcast. Thanks again.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes PACCAR's earnings call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Paccar — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Paccar — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz (Q4): $6,8 Mrd.
- Jahreszahlen: 2025 Umsatz $28,4 Mrd., bereinigter Nettogewinn $2,64 Mrd.
- Lieferungen: 32.900 Lkw in Q4; Q1‑Lieferungen werden auf vergleichbarem Niveau erwartet.
- Bruttomargen: Truck/Parts/Other 12% (Q4); Q1‑Leitlinie 12,5–13%.
- Geschäftssegmente: PACCAR Parts $6,9 Mrd. (rekord), PFS Umsätze $2,2 Mrd.; Parts‑Vorausblick +4–8% 2026.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Tarif‑/Regulatorik: Section 232 und EPA27 (35 mg NOx, Wirkung ab Jan. 2027) schaffen Marktklarheit und Vorteil durch lokale Fertigung in USA/Canada/Mexiko.
- Diversifikation: Parts und Financial Services wachsen anteilig und stabilisieren Profitabilität; Parts‑Marge Q4 29,5%.
- Investitionen: CapEx $725–775M, F&E $450–500M; Fokus auf saubere Verbrenner, Hybrid/EV, Batterie, Konnektivität, Agentic AI und autonome Plattformen.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Marktprognosen: NA Class‑8 2026: 230k–270k Einheiten; Europa >16 t: 280k–320k; S.Amerika: 100k–110k.
- Margen & Produktion: Q1 Bruttomarge 12,5–13%; Q1 Produktions-/Lieferniveau ähnlich Q4.
- Teile & FinServ: Parts +4–8% p.a. erwartet; PFS Marktanteil 27%.
- Risiken: Lieferkettenstress bei starker Nachfragesteigerung, USMCA‑Verhandlungen und mögliche Kostenanpassungen durch EPA‑Umsetzungsregeln.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Margenanstieg Q4→Q1: Management nennt Wirkung von 232, geringere Überstunden und Wegfall einmaliger Umstellkosten als Treiber; konkrete Zahl wurde nicht genannt.
- Orderlage & Backlog: Starkes Order‑Momentum in Dez./Jan.; Q1 größtenteils belegt, 2Q‑Füllstand wird später berichtet.
- Preiswirkung EPA27: Management kommuniziert eine Bandbreite ~±$10.000 pro Truck; Wettbewerber‑Preisbildung und Rückmeldungen bleiben Unsicherheitsfaktoren.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Konsequenz: Solides Ergebnis und strukturierte Diversifikation (Parts, PFS) positionieren PACCAR robust für 2026; Tarif‑ und Emissionsklarheit ist ein klarer Wettbewerbsvorteil. Anleger sollten Nachfrage‑Momentum, Wettbewerberreaktionen auf 232 und die Entwicklung von Margen sowie mögliche Lieferkettenengpässe beobachten.
Paccar — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to PACCAR's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's call is being recorded. And if anyone has an objection, they should disconnect at this time. I'd now like to introduce Mr. Ken Hastings, PACCAR's Director of Investor Relations. Mr. Hastings, please go ahead.
Good morning. We would like to welcome those listening by phone and those on the webcast. My name is Ken Hastings, PACCAR's Director of Investor Relations. And joining me this morning are Preston Feight, Chief Executive Officer; Kevin Baney, Executive Vice President; and Brice Poplawski, Senior Vice President and CFO.
As with prior conference calls, we ask that any members of the media on the line participate in a listen-only mode. Certain Information presented today will be forward-looking and involve risks and uncertainties that may affect expected results. For additional information, please see our SEC filings at the Investor Relations page at paccar.com. I would now like to introduce Preston Feight.
Thank you, Ken, and good morning, everyone. Kevin, Brice, Ken and I will update you on our good third quarter financial results and business highlights.
I'd like to start by thanking our wonderful employees who deliver PACCAR's high-quality trucks and transportation solutions to our customers all around the world. And I'm especially appreciative of their efforts in these dynamic market conditions. PACCAR delivered good revenues and net income in the third quarter of 2025. Peterbilt, Kenworth and DAF Trucks contributed to the good results.
PACCAR Parts and PACCAR Financial Services continued to deliver excellent performance and strong profits. PACCAR achieved revenues of $6.7 billion and net income of $590 million. PACCAR Parts achieved record quarterly revenues of $1.72 billion and excellent quarterly pretax income of $410 million. Parts revenue grew 4% in the quarter compared to the same period last year.
PACCAR Financial also had a very good quarter, achieving pretax income of $126 million. We estimate this year's U.S. and Canadian Class 8 market to be in a range of 230,000 to 245,000 trucks and next year to be in the range of 230,000 to 270,000 Customer demand in the less-than-truckload and vocational segments is good. The truckload market continues to have uncertainty. Next year's U.S. and Canadian truck market could be higher than this year as we realize clarity around tariffs, emissions policy and potential improvements in the freight market.
In Europe, the DAF XF truck was honored as the Fleet Truck of the Year in the U.K. due to its best-in-class fuel efficiency and driver comfort. We project this year's European above 16-tonne market to be in a range of 275,000 to 295,000 vehicles. The 2026 market is expected to be in the range of 270,000 to 300,000. We estimate this year's South American above 16-tonne truck market to be in the range of 95,000 to 105,000 vehicles and in a similar range next year.
PACCAR's premium trucks are performing well for customers in South America, especially in the important Brazilian market. PACCAR delivered 31,900 trucks during the third quarter and anticipates delivering around 32,000 in the fourth quarter. More production days in Europe will be offset by fewer production days due to normal holidays in North America.
PACCAR's Truck, Parts and Other gross margins were 12.5% in the third quarter. Margins were affected by the August steel and aluminum tariff increases and the tariff costs on trucks that were built in the United States. Looking ahead, fourth quarter margins could be around 12% as tariffs peak in October. However, the new Section 232 on medium and heavy trucks that will become effective November 1 will be good for PACCAR's customers as it will reduce tariff costs and bring clarity to the market.
PACCAR is proud to produce over 90% of its U.S. sold trucks in Texas, Ohio and Washington. We look forward to improving market conditions, tariff costs that will begin to reduce as we head towards the end of the year and PACCAR's continued strong performance.
Kevin Baney will now provide an update on PACCAR Parts, PACCAR Financial Services and other business highlights. Kevin?
Thank you, Preston. PACCAR Parts achieved gross margins of 29.5% and record third quarter revenue of $1.72 billion. Third quarter parts sales grew by a healthy 4% compared to the same period last year with similar growth expected in the fourth quarter. PACCAR Parts continues to grow by investing in capacity and services.
PACCAR Parts is focused on delivering the right part to the right place at the right time to provide industry-leading support for our customers. PACCAR Parts will open a new 180,000 square foot parts distribution center in Calgary next year to bring faster delivery times to dealers and customers in the region.
PACCAR will be opening a new engine remanufacturing center in Columbus, Mississippi next year to provide our customers with high-quality rebuilt engines. PACCAR Financial Services pretax income was a robust $126 million, 18% growth over the $107 million reported a year earlier. This reflects the high-quality portfolio and improving used truck results. PACCAR Financial operates 13 used truck centers around the world to support the sale of premium Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF used trucks.
PACCAR is building another used truck center in Warsaw, Poland, which will open this year. PACCAR used trucks sell at a premium. Similar to PACCAR Parts, PACCAR Financial provides steady foundational profitability during all phases of the business cycle. This year's capital expenditures are projected to be between $750 million and $775 million, and research and development expenses will be $450 million to $465 million.
Next year, we estimate the company will invest $725 million to $775 million in capital projects and $450 million to $500 million in research and development expenses. Key technology and innovation investments include next-generation clean diesel and alternative powertrains, advanced driver assistance systems and integrated connected vehicle services. PACCAR is also investing in its truck and engine factories to support long-term growth as well as our customers and dealers' success. PACCAR's industry-leading trucks, expanding parts business, best-in-class financial services and advanced technology strategy position the company for an excellent future. We are pleased to answer your questions.
[Operator Instructions] first question comes from Rob Wertheimer with Melius Research.
2. Question Answer
I had a couple of questions around 232, I guess that's no surprise. But I wonder if you're able to give any thoughts on whether it improves your competitive position or not, given production of some of your competitors, but then given perhaps they have exemptions. And then how does the rebate -- how and when does the rebate flow through financials?
Rob, I kind of thought we might hear some questions around 232. And as you're aware, it came out Friday afternoon, late afternoon here, and we've been spending a lot of time with it. We said in the commentary that 232 will be good for our customers, PACCAR's customers. It will be good for the fact that we manufacture our trucks in Texas, Ohio and Washington, and it should improve our competitive position as we look forward into next year.
It will take a little bit of time for it to fully implement. So as we shared, like tariffs are really peaking for us in the fourth quarter -- in October of the fourth quarter. And then as 232 implements November 1, there's kind of a qualifying period for the components that are involved in it. So it will become gradually more and more effective throughout the quarter. And probably by the time we get to the first part of the year, we should have great stability around it. So all feels very good and should help our competitive position.
That's helpful. And then how do you think about pricing? There's been a lot of uncertainty. I don't think you immediately hit your customers with some of the tariff-led price increases. Now that there's clarity, the price increases start to offset that in the new year? Or any commentary around that, and I'll stop.
So as we think about it, it's a competitive world out there, and we don't operate alone in it. But we feel very good about the trucks that we're producing right now, the best trucks we've ever produced in our history, best fuel economy, best reliability, great engine performance. So we're happy with how that's going. And I think that our customers appreciate the stability in the market right now with how emissions haven't changed in a while. So the trucks they're getting are moneymakers for them.
And as we kind of think about pricing through the year of next year, I think that there will be some opportunities for us as the year progresses. We said that the LTL market, less than truckload, market remains good, vocational market remains good. And then I think the truckload sector has been in a tough spot for, gosh, 30 months plus. And I think that they are using the equipment. So that bodes well for the fact that they'll get back under replacement cycles. And as they get back under replacement cycles, it's going to create demand in the market, which is obviously good for pricing.
We now turn to David Raso with Evercore ISI. [Operator Instructions]
I was curious, underpinning the North American growth outlook, I was just curious, you mentioned last quarter about some bonus depreciation order potential. Just curious, what are you hearing from the customer base to underpin that growth? I know you mentioned replacement demand and so forth. But just curious the conversations that you're having when it comes to any sense of timing and when you think your orders will start to reflect the ability to grow in '26?
Brice, why don't you offer some comments on how that looks, and then I'll come at that from a customer standpoint.
Sure. So our price, we expect to continue to grow. We'll get -- we'll benefit from the effects of the tariff, of course, and our pricing competitiveness. And we believe that the Big, Beautiful Bill, as we said in the third quarter, is going to provide incentives, and we have programs around encouraging our customers to take advantage of that 100% bonus depreciation. We think that will help spur some demand here in the fourth quarter.
And then David, what we're getting from customers is it's very mixed from a customer standpoint, right? If your operating conditions are positive, like in the vocational market or the LTL market, I think you're looking to take advantage of that. And those are customers that are ordering for the fourth quarter. I think there's obviously in the truckload sector, some people are still finding challenges there. And so they're less likely to take advantage of it now. But I think there is this growing sense of the momentum has to pick up in terms of truck orders because 2026 will have, as the law is written right now, a 35-milligram NOx standard. And so I think as trucks age, a 35-milligram NOx standard is in front of them and now they have clarity of tariffs, there's a lot of reasons for people to start to think about allocating their capital to truck purchases.
I wanted to follow up on the NOx issue. We know where the current situation is, but obviously, there's thought that it might be changed. Is there a deadline of some kind that you feel like the EPA has to communicate what exactly is happening for '27 when it comes to your supply chain and so forth? Just so we have a sense of timing. It's obviously the general assumption out there that they're not going to keep the current regulation going to 0.35.
Yes. I don't know how that assumption has been formed by people. From our standpoint, we approach this in saying we are prepared for the 35-milligram NOx standard. We've got our teams working great on it with some new products that have come out in support of it. We're ready to go with it. That is the law, right? So our best approach is the law is the law until the law changes. As time passes, it makes it harder and harder to change the standard back to 200 milligram, could happen though, right?
I think that we are very comfortable supporting a 200-milligram standard as well because we have products that are available today that can support the 200-milligram standard. We are all sensitive to the fact that as more time passes, it puts additional burden on the supply base. But I think PACCAR has a great relationship with our suppliers, and we could handle that change. And if that's what's best for the industry, then we will align clearly with that.
And lastly, the cadence of the clarification on the deliveries for the fourth quarter being roughly flat. Any color you can provide geographically sequentially would be great.
Yes. I think we said in the commentary that fourth quarter North America has more holidays in it. So you can kind of think of North American holidays being taking away some of the volume. Europe is less holidays. So you kind of see a shift there into European volume for fourth quarter. We're -- somebody will ask this, but we're roughly 60%, 70% full in our order book for the fourth quarter. And so that kind of lets us kind of indicate how the quarter is filling in, and that's how we got to our similar quantities of deliveries for the fourth quarter.
We now turn to Jeff Kauffman with Vertical Research Partners.
I just want to focus on a follow-up, I guess, on Rob's question on Section 232. I know everybody is still figuring this out. But in terms of the rebate amount, how is that going to compare when you're at full speed versus what you're costing out on the tariffs on parts and steel and aluminum. And you mentioned that, that's going to ramp up through the fourth quarter. I guess, is that more a rebate to the customer that lowers the price to the customer? Is that a rebate to the company? How do those economics flow?
Well, I mean, the way we can keep it in simple terms, so we don't turn this into a primer on the 232 because it's really complicated. But I would say that the 232 fact sheets out there, it's really good. I applaud Commerce and The White House for putting out a clear document that's helpful in articulating what the game plan is and why the game plan is useful. To keep it at the highest level, I would say that as parts qualify into 232, that's when we expect we can apply the rebate to them.
So parts coming out of Mexico and it's deemed to be acceptable to be part of 232, you let them know that it becomes acceptable or not acceptable, and that's why you start to realize a reduced tariff cost as you head through the quarter. Obviously, the effective date is November 1, but it will take time for those parts to be qualified. And so that's why we indicated that it could take through until the first of the year to see the full benefit and impact of that.
And the first part of that question, when this is fully ramped up, how will that approximately net against the incremental tariff costs you're facing?
Yes, -- it's going to bring it down. We haven't netted out a specific number. And obviously, it's going to be something that we started the tariff discussion saying, hey, we're in this together with our customers and our suppliers and our dealers, and that will be the same situation we face as we move forward. It will be hopefully some benefit to everybody in terms of our dealers, our customers, PACCAR, our suppliers, that we should have kind of some positive momentum out of this. The quantification of it remains to be seen.
Our next question comes from Michael Feniger with Bank of America.
Just Preston, I know this has been getting a lot of attention on Section 232. Just to be clear, so we have some understanding, do you believe with the adjustments in the Section 232 implementation we saw, do you believe PACCAR now has a clear cost advantage as a U.S. manufacturer? Or does this just even the playing field on the cost side with your peers when we saw there was a disadvantage obviously, early year. So does this just even it out? Or do you feel like it gives you a clear cost advantage as a major U.S. manufacturer for the U.S. market?
Michael, that's a great question. I appreciate you highlighting the fact that our team did a really good job for the past several months dealing with the cost disadvantage, an unintended cost disadvantage. So the fact that our market share is 30.3% for Peterbilt and Kenworth right now is just a credit to the teams at those divisions and to the manufacturing teams and pretty much everybody in PACCAR that operated from that tough position.
As we look forward, we, of course, don't know what our competitors' cost structure is. So it's really hard to estimate that and probably should avoid doing so. What I would rather do is say that I think it helps PACCAR significantly, and that should be good for our customers and PACCAR. And I think it gives us a competitive leg up from where we've been.
And just my second question to squeeze it in. Just there's been commentary [ on parts ] that Parts, there's been some deferrals there. I know you hit your -- what you guys were forecasting at 4%. Just what are you seeing underlying on the Parts side? And can Parts margins, do you think start to expand in 2026 on a year-over-year basis? What do we need to see in the market for us to kind of see that start to expand on a year-over-year and to get Parts moving? Because I know it's -- the underlying market has been a little bit challenging there.
Yes, Mike, this is Kevin. I'll take that one. So similar to Truck, the Parts business was definitely impacted by tariffs as well as the overall soft truck market. Price did cover cost. So when we look at the margin impact, it was really a mix shift. We saw that a shift in proprietary versus all makes and also a little bit of region impact by fewer days in Europe. And I'll just reinforce, there's still tremendous opportunity for growth. Parts team did a great job providing parts and programs to provide excellent customer service during a soft market. So a really nice job with the revenue growth. And we continue to invest in distribution. Our dealers are continuing to invest in locations and service capacity. And so yes, we see there's definitely opportunity for future growth.
And everything Kevin said is just 100% right. And then you have the opportunity that 232 is also advantageous to components. And so that will help us in a price cost looking forward.
We now turn to Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley.
I was hoping we could just go back to the tariff discussion a little bit more. You had mentioned, I think, in 3Q, that was a $75 million headwind. With tariff headwinds kind of peaking out here in October and the ramp-up in the rebates, can you just quantify for us exactly how much of a tariff headwind you anticipate to be baked into the fourth quarter? And as you look at the gross profit margin moving from 12.5% to 12%, is that entirely due to tariff ramp-up? Or are there any other factors there that we should consider?
We think mostly about tariff ramp-up. As we said and you just articulated, right, October doesn't have any reduction. So it's kind of a peak tariff for us in that first part of fourth quarter. And then we're still understanding what the cadence is going to be for how the tariffs feather off for us through the course of November, December. But that's the single biggest impact right now. And I think as we look at it, so you go from a $75 million third quarter, we saw that on slate to increase in the fourth quarter. But with the 232, we see that coming down. And by the time we get to the December time frame, January time frame, we'll start to see improvement -- marked improvement, we anticipate.
That's very helpful. And then as we think about next year, I understand that EPA 27, there's still a lot of uncertainty around that. I guess in terms of your outlook for North America, for U.S. and Canada, are you assuming any kind of prebuy still related to EPA 27 in that?
So we gave a 230,000 to 270,000 market, and the reason we gave that significant range is because I think there's some uncertainty in how quick the truckload sector recovers. Is it sometime in the first quarter to take a little bit. I think we also are anticipating that the 35-milligram law is what's going to be there. And if it changes, that would obviously take away some prebuy and that would put us more towards the 230,000, 240,000, 250,000 side of that category versus if the 35-milligram standard stays in place, it's more like the 250,000, 260,000, 270,000 and maybe even higher. So we kind of see that as being a significant factor in how the market shapes up next year, and we look forward to clarity when it happens. But in the meantime, the clarity is 35 milligrams.
We now turn to Tim Thein with Raymond James.
Just following up on the comment earlier with respect to the Parts business pricing covered variable costs. I perhaps missed it, but did you give a comment just with respect to pricing that you realized in the Truck business in the third quarter and then maybe your expectations for the fourth?
Go ahead, Brice.
Sure. For the third quarter compared to last year's third quarter, our pricing was down 1.3% and the costs were up 4.6% for a negative 5.9% there. And obviously, tariffs played a big role in that number.
Well, sequentially, it was 1.6%. And I think what we think is favorability should start to be achieved as we move forward.
Got it. Okay. And then Preston, maybe just as I think about potential early indicators of maybe a bottoming, I think historically, we would look at what the behavior and what the lease and rental customers are doing and seeing in their business. You have a good lens into that just given PacLease. So I'm just curious what you're seeing in that business with respect to utilization and I would agree that, that could be an important thing to watch as a potential turning point.
Yes, it's a good question. I think that utilization is a key factor. And for PacLease, it's healthy right now. So I think that they're starting to see these places of opportunity, and we'll watch that closely along with all the other indicators, right? Certainly, as you well understand, there's many, many things that go into the make of a truck market. That's one of them, and utilization is healthy.
Our next question comes from Jamie Cook with Truist.
Two quarters -- sorry, 2 questions. One, Preston, can you just speak to since Section 232 has been announced, obviously, I'm sure you've had a lot of conversations with your customers. What are they saying to you in terms of like potential incremental market share? And I'm just wondering, as you think about your plants in Denton and Chillicothe, like just capacity you have or where market share could go until you'd have to think about investment.
I'm assuming you have a lot of runway for market share, but just sort of some thoughts there. And then I guess my second question, I mean, it sounds like you think the 12% gross margin in the fourth quarter, like that should be the trough for margins for PACCAR even assuming a flat market next year just with the benefit from Section 232 and tariffs mitigating and potentially the market being flat to up next year. So it sounds like -- I don't want to put words in your mouth, but you can probably grow earnings next year, but I'll let you chew on that and see if I can get any reaction out of you.
Jamie, you're fun. Let's do the first question, which you said, do we think we can gain share and how do we think about capacity in our factories. And one of the things I'm really pleased with our manufacturing team over the last couple of years is we've made these big investments into the factory so that we have capacity to handle. What ends up happening is quarterly swings and build. We talk about full years, but things really happen over a couple of quarters of max build rates. So we're aware of that. We've made investments in paint facilities, automatic vehicles to move parts around inside the truck plants, great work with our suppliers and their investments in the capacity that they have.
So we feel like we can gain share, and we feel like we have the capacity to support gaining share in the coming time frame. I mentioned it earlier in the call, right, we invested in products. So we have the newest and best-performing products in the industry. We've invested in our operations teams. So we have the best manufacturing capacities, highest quality products with plenty of capacity to handle share growth. So I feel really well positioned as we head to next year.
And that does lead to your second question, I guess, of saying if 12% is the plus or minus now, what are you thinking next year is going to be or even the fourth quarter phasing. Now I'd say, as we said, with tariffs peaking in October, we do think that the cadence through the quarter on a month-by-month basis will be positive trending and then we anticipate that being true through next year, right? So if the market was at a midpoint 250,000, we feel like that bodes well for our earnings growth and our margin growth.
Our next question comes from Tami Zakaria with JPMorgan.
Apologies, but one more question on Section 232. It seems like the 3.75% value of the truck to offset tariffs extends through 2030, which gives some time to plan ahead. How are you thinking about your parts and component sourcing with that time line in mind, do you plan to expand footprint, bring stuff here in the U.S.? Any thoughts on how you're thinking about that 2030 time line?
Well, I think that we feel very good about the supply base and how they've positioned right now. And we do think that there'll probably be some reflection in the coming weeks for people to think about where their production setups are and where they're going to position themselves. And I think it's a little bit too early to be commenting on what they're going to actually do in terms of where they might adjust capacity into the different markets since it's just a few days old, but we are starting those conversations and look forward to working with our suppliers as we figure out where they're going to position component growth.
Got it. If I could ask one more. I think you have this huge advantage of building -- over 90% of trucks here versus some of your peers, they make elsewhere. So this seems like a huge advantage. And so when you think about this offset and the pricing you've taken, is there any plan to give back any of this pricing as some of these tariff headwinds are offset in order to gain share for the long term? Is that sort of a strategy you might consider?
Well, Tami, you're really smart and you ask great questions, and you can understand how we think about margin, price, market share, and it's not an either/or thing, right? You're always, as a company, trying to provide great trucks, great transportation solutions for your customer and then be paid fairly for them. And nothing is different in the environment we're in today than that, right? We want to keep providing these great trucks and transportation solutions. And as we do that, we think our customers are happy to pay us fairly for them. As cost goes down, that should bring some benefit to them, and that should bring some market share opportunity to us, we hope.
We now turn to Chad Dillard with Bernstein.
So on an industry level, how are you thinking about the supply and demand balance of trucks actually in the fleet? And how much excess capacity is out there? How long does it take to clear? And is this embedded in your '26 industry outlook?
It's a really interesting question. It's really hard to give you anything specific, Chad. If we think about it right now, there's sufficient capacity that's sitting out there in the industry right now at the current build rates, you can understand that clearly. The question really remains how quickly does the market adjust and where does it adjust from? When do people start to think that 35 milligrams is what's going to happen in the NOx standard? When do our customers in the truckload sector, which represent 40% of the market, start to feel some confidence that they're able to get rates. And I think it's really hard to handicap what that's going to be, the timing for that.
But again, it's been a long tough period for the truckload carriers. And at some point, those -- that equipment has to be replaced. And I think they're starting to feel that need. So I think there'll be some lift there. It will probably start gradually and then it will accelerate as the year goes on and people define their needs. So capacity exists for us in our factories and with our suppliers, we're working closely with them to make sure we can build the trucks our customers want. We think it could be a pretty good-looking 2026.
Got it. And then along that same line, you're talking about how customers are keeping the trucks a little longer. Any early thoughts on the parts business as we think about 2026? How should we think about the growth profile for that business?
Chad, this is Kevin. We think about it the same way we have. The truck park has been at elevated levels over the years and so that creates tremendous growth opportunity for us. I already mentioned the continued investments we're making. The Parts team is doing a great job providing tailored programs. We're leveraging AI to get smarter about providing our right part to the right place at the right time. And so we see next year as just a continuation of the great work the team has done.
Yes. And if I could just add on top of that, the fact that the retail market in the U.S. is still negative is an overhang. At some point, that will turn. So we're growing in a market that is negative is a really good tribute to our group and to PACCAR Parts, and we think that provides a lot of opportunity for us in the next year.
Our next question comes from Kyle Menges with Citigroup.
I was hoping if you could just talk a little bit about demand you're seeing maybe just into the first half of next year and contextualizing that with your order book so far for the fourth quarter, 60% to 70% full. I guess how would that compare to "normal" fill rate at this point in the year for the fourth quarter and how that's informing your views of demand into the first half next year?
And then would be helpful to hear your comments on inventory and any need for destocking. And I think in particular, in the vocational market, at least the industry data suggests inventories are really high. So it would be helpful to hear your thoughts there on any need for destocking in that market.
Yes. I think we feel like from an inventory standpoint, the industry is in a position where it's like 4 months of industry inventory. That's down from 4.2 months the last time we spoke in July. So it's improving from an industry standpoint. And from a Kenworth, Peterbilt standpoint, we are at 2.8 months, which is a very healthy level for us. So we feel quite good about that. It doesn't feel like -- we obviously have a high vocational share, market leaders in the vocational segment. So that says we have more inventory getting bodies on it. And so 2.8 months for us, it feels really healthy, which kind of leads back to your first question about order intake and what's the market doing.
We don't have an excess amount of inventory. So we're 60% to 70% full. We'll head into what a typical -- typically, in late October and November, we get into capital allocation for the major truckload carriers, and we'll get a look at what their buying plans are for the year. Those discussions are always ongoing, but they really kind of begin to cement up in the fourth quarter, and we look forward to having those conversations with them. And I think that we'll see the first half start to fill in reasonably well now that we have clarity around tariffs as people get their hands around what the law is of 35 milligrams and appreciate that it really is a good time to buy trucks for them and probably the right time for them to buy trucks so they can keep their fleet age where they want it.
Got it. And then just a follow-up on an earlier question. It does sound like with Section 232 and the rebates that you'll see, it sounds like you might be passing some of those savings on to the customer. Curious how that might look? Is that simplistically just taking off the existing tariff surcharges, which I think were around $3,500 to $4,000 per truck in Class 8? Is it just kind of simplistically taking those surcharges off? Like how should we be thinking about that?
Well, I mean, what we've said before is the tariffs are still peaked in October and then they're going to come down from there in a process through the fourth quarter. So we are looking at that. I think that our intention is to get away from a tariff discussion with customers now that we have stability, and we can just integrate into pricing and discuss the price of these great trucks for the customer and get away from the tariff statement now that we have stability. So that will be helpful to everybody inside of our customer base is to not have to think about what we had -- you referenced $3,500 to $4,000 of tariff surcharges. We can move away from that kind of discussion and just get into truck pricing again since there's clarity and stability.
[Operator Instructions] We now turn to Avi Jaroslawicz with UBS.
I think you said the order books for Q4 are about 60% to 70% full. Is that pretty uniform by region? Or are there any that are notably off of that point?
Yes, that's a great question. It is actually pretty uniform by region right now. So we've seen the European market have strong order intake, and we're seeing that 67% full there as well as in North America.
Okay. And if I could follow that up. Assuming that we don't hear anything new [indiscernible] on the NOx rules, when are customers telling you that they might start prebuying? Could that be in the first half? Or is anybody saying that they would expect to do that in the first half? Or would that really be more a second half story?
I think they're buying decisions. These are really smart people, our customers. And so they're thinking about all the inputs, not just the one. I think it has a heavy influence on them to contemplate the 35 milligrams and whether or not they need to think about pulling ahead, but they're also looking at their fundamentals of freight and rates. They're looking at, is there a stable operating environment, which the Commerce Department of the White House did a great job of providing for them now. And so I think all of those are the factors.
And I would kind of -- I kind of think that they will start to really have a lot of interest here in the fourth quarter of what their 2026 buying plan is. And probably by the time we're in the first quarter, they're going to be needing to react to it if it stays at 35.
We now turn to Scott Group with Wolfe Research.
This is Cole on for Scott. Just back to Section 232 a little bit. I heard earlier in the call, you mentioned that pricing increased 1.6% sequentially in the quarter and that momentum should kind of continue. But then in the same breath, you're kind of talking to the fact that you want to help out your customer. Maybe help like situate us there. Are the tariff surcharges effectively going to go away, but core pricing should continue to move higher? Just any way to help us wrap our head around that.
Yes. I think that -- Yes, it's a great question, actually. It's an interesting dynamic right now. Surcharges really only exist at moments of inflection where there's some unique factors sitting into there and hence, the reason for the surcharges that we had. That point of inflection is now passed, and we have stability. So it allows us to probably get rid of the tariff surcharge and go back to normal pricing discussions with our customers. And obviously, providing premium trucks and transportation solutions allows us to kind of make sure that we have fair pricing to them, good for them, good for us. And obviously, as we see cost change should be somewhat favorable, we both should benefit from it. So we see that as a great opportunity for PACCAR and our customers to have a strong finish to the year and an even stronger 2026.
And last quarter, you mentioned that 3Q gross margins would be, I think the math was roughly 14%, excluding tariff costs. Is that a good way to think about 1Q as we hit run rate as rebates kind of offset some of the tariff costs? Or is there any other way to think about how margins should build through 4Q and into 1Q when we hit run rate?
Yes. I think we actually said around 13%. And then what we've said is tariffs peaking in the fourth quarter, declining throughout the fourth quarter will allow us to see growth as we get into, say, the December time frame and then continued improvement into the first quarter of 2026.
There are no other questions in the queue at this time. Are there any additional remarks from the company?
I'd like to thank everyone for joining the call, and thank you, operator.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes PACCAR's earnings call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Paccar — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Paccar — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $6.7 Mrd.
- Ergebnis: $590 Mio. Nettogewinn
- Teile: $1,72 Mrd. Umsatz (+4% YoY), Vorsteuergewinn $410 Mio.
- Finanzdienst: Vorsteuer $126 Mio.
- Margen & Auslieferung: Brutto (Truck, Parts & Other) 12,5% im 3Q; Auslieferungen 31.900, Q4-Erwartung ~32.000.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Tarifwirkung: Section 232 (ab 1. Nov.) soll Tarifkosten reduzieren und PACCARs Wettbewerbsposition stärken, Umsetzung schrittweise.
- Investitionen: Hohe CapEx und R&D (2025: CapEx $750–775 Mio., R&D $450–465 Mio.); Ausbau Teilelogistik und Reman-Zentrum.
- Produkt & Kapazität: Fokus auf Premium-Trucks, alternative Antriebe, ADAS und ausreichende Fabrikkapazität zur Marktanteilssteigerung.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Marktprognosen: USA/Kanada 2025: 230k–245k, 2026: 230k–270k; Europa (über 16 t) 2025: 275k–295k, 2026: 270k–300k; Südamerika ≈95k–105k.
- Margen & Timing: Q4-Bruttomarge ~12% (Tarife im Okt. Spitzenwirkung); 232-Rebates sollten Margen im Lauf des Q4 und Anfang 2026 verbessern.
- Investitionen 2026: Erwartetes CapEx $725–775 Mio., R&D $450–500 Mio.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- 232-Rebates: Analysten fragten nach Timing, Durchleitung an Kunden und Quantifizierung; Management erwartet schrittweise Qualifizierung, volle Wirkung erst Anfang 2026.
- NOx-Standard: Diskussion um 35 mg NOx (EPA): Management ist auf 35 mg vorbereitet; eine Änderung würde Prebuy‑Dynamiken beeinflussen.
- Nachfrage & Inventar: Orderbook Q4 zu ~60–70% gefüllt; PACCAR sieht Brancheninventar rückläufig, eigene Dealer‑Bestände bei ~2,8 Monaten — gesund.
⚡ Bottom Line
PACCAR liefert solide 3Q‑Zahlen; Parts und Financial Services stabilisieren Ergebnis. Tarifmaßnahmen (Section 232) und deren schrittweise Wirkung sind zentrale Treiber für Margenverbesserung in Q4/1Q26. Kernrisiken bleiben Truckload‑Nachfrage und regulatorische Unsicherheit (NOx). Für Aktionäre: strukturelle Stärke mit kurzfristiger Verbesserungsperspektive, aber abhängig von Marktbelebung 2026.
Paccar — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to PACCAR's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. And if anyone has an objection, they should disconnect at this time. I would now like to introduce Mr. Ken Hastings, PACCAR's Director of Investor Relations. Mr. Hastings, please go ahead.
Good morning. We would like to welcome those listening by phone and those on the webcast. My name is Ken Hastings, PACCAR's Director of Investor Relations. And joining me this morning are Preston Feight, Chief Executive Officer; Kevin Baney, Executive Vice President; and Brice Poplawski, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. As with prior conference calls, we ask that any members of the media on the line participate in a listen-only mode. Certain information presented today will be forward-looking and involve risks and uncertainties that may affect expected results. For additional information, please see our SEC filings at the Investor Relations page at paccar.com. I would now like to introduce Preston Feight.
Thanks, Ken. Good morning, everyone. Kevin, Brice, Ken and I will update you on our second quarter financial results and business highlights. In these dynamic times, our PACCAR employees have done a great job providing our customers with the highest quality trucks and transportation solutions in the industry. PACCAR achieved good revenues and net income in the second quarter, including record revenues at PACCAR Parts, good performance by the truck divisions and strong financial services results. .
PACCAR achieved revenues of $7.5 billion and adjusted net income of $724 million. PACCAR Parts achieved record quarterly revenues of $1.72 billion and excellent quarterly pretax income of $417 million. The team did a great job increasing revenues in an overall flat parts market. PACCAR Financial had a very good quarter, increasing pretax income to $123 million. And we estimate this year's U.S. and Canadian Class 8 market to be in a range of 230,000 to 260,000 trucks.
The North American truck market size is a result of general economic conditions, a soft truckload market and tariff and EPA 27 policy uncertainty. Customer demand in the less than truckload and vocational segments is good. In Europe, DAF's innovative aerodynamic trucks provide customers with best-in-class fuel efficiency and driver comfort. And we were recently in Europe and met with some of those customers who share their appreciation of the performance of these great DAF trucks. We project the 2025 European above 16-tonne market to be in a range of 270,000 to 300,000. This year's South American above 16-tonne truck market is expected to be in the range of 90,000 to 100,000 vehicles.
PACCAR delivered 39,300 trucks during the second quarter and anticipate delivering around 32,000 to 33,000 in the third quarter. Third quarter production reflects the normal summer shutdown in Europe and build rates in North America that are matched to the market. PACCAR's Truck, Parts and Other gross margins were 13.9% in the second quarter. Given the uncertain tariff structure, it's difficult to forecast third quarter margins.
Assuming the current tariff structure and market conditions, third quarter margins could be around 13%. I'm proud to share that over 90% of PACCAR's U.S. delivered trucks are produced in our American factories. Clarification of the ongoing IEPA and Section 232 trade policies could enhance market clarity as well as benefit PACCAR and our customers. We anticipate the North American market will strengthen as tariff policies become certain, the truckload market gains momentum, and customers begin to anticipate the 2027 NOx emission standards. Kevin Baney will now provide an update on PACCAR Parts, PACCAR Financial Services and other business highlights. Kevin?
Thank you, Preston. PACCAR Parts achieved record revenues in the second quarter with excellent gross margins of 30%. We estimate that PACCAR's year-over-year part sales to grow by 4% to 6% in the third quarter. PACCAR Parts continues to grow through ongoing investments in capacity and services. PACCAR Parts is focused on delivering the right part to the right place at the right time to provide industry-leading support for our customers. PACCAR Financial Services pretax income was a robust $123 million, up from $111 million a year earlier. This reflects strong credit quality and improving used truck results. .
PACCAR Financial operates 13 used truck centers around the world to support the sale of premium Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF used trucks. PACCAR is building another used truck center in Warsaw, Poland which will open this year. PACCAR used trucks sell at a premium compared to competitors used trucks. Similar to PACCAR Parts, PACCAR Financial provides steady foundational profitability during all phases of the business cycle. This year, PACCAR is planning capital investments in the range of $750 million to $800 million and R&D in the range of $450 million to $480 million as we invest in key technology and innovation projects.
These include next-generation clean diesel and alternative powertrains, advanced driver assistance systems and integrated connected vehicle services. PACCAR is also investing in its truck and engine factories to support long-term growth as well as our customers and dealer success. PACCAR's industry-leading trucks, expanding parts business, best-in-class financial services and advanced technology strategy, position the company for an excellent future. We are pleased to answer your questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from the line of Jerry Revich with Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
I'm wondering if you could just comment on the really strong sequential price improvement performance you saw in the quarter. How much of that was mix versus getting the price increases in for the higher tariff content? And as you think about pricing based on what's in backlog for 3Q, what's that cadence in pricing look like 3Q versus 2Q compared to the roughly 3% sequential increase we just saw this quarter?
Sure, Jerry. Interesting time in the market. And as we look at the effect of tariffs on Q2, they were certainly well present for us. And we think that the amount of tariff impact will -- and the current structure increase in Q3, so it'll have an increased weight of impact on price versus cost for us in Q3, and that's obviously a North American-centric comment. There's some variability sitting in there because it depends on how the tariff structures continue whether that's 232 or court rulings on EPA. It could also be affected by the current August 1 statements around what new tariffs might be affected and what rates they'll be at.
And then in terms of your discussions on Section 232 with the government, can you touch on that? We've heard that they might be committing to a 60-day review cycle versus the quoted maximum of 270. Are you hearing that in your conversations as well?
Well, I think the way we think about it is PACCAR builds, as I said, over 90% of our trucks are the U.S. market in the United States. And that's really, I think, good for the country. If we use a little bit of reference of 232 for the auto and light truck industry, you could say that, that was a review where it was felt that it was strategically important that cars and light trucks being made in America. That's kind of the government indicated, that's what their stated policies have been.
And so the current ongoing investigation in 232 for medium and heavy trucks, they had their open comment period. They completed that. They're now in the investigation phase. And as you noted, Jerry, they don't have to take the full 270 days, be speculating to know what they're actually going to do. But it wouldn't be utterly surprising if it was less than that and the conclusion was made.
Super. And lastly, in terms of the tariff impact on a per unit basis in the third quarter, can you just comment directionally? Is that in the [ 4,000 ] per unit range the way it looks like from the bill of materials? Or can you just help us understand that so we know the variables if we do see a favorable Section 232 outcome.
Yes. As we look at it, obviously, I mentioned already there's some variability within that tariff structure or whether copper is included, whether it's an August 1 change to things. So I'm giving you a plus or minus number. But in general, what we would say is maybe the quarterly effect is something like $75 million.
Nice performance given the variability.
Appreciate the comment, Gerry. Thanks for the questions.
Our next question comes from Jeff Kauffman with Vertical Research Partners.
Congratulations in an uncertain environment. I was just wondering with the passage of the one big beautiful Bill Act and the R&D and CapEx depreciation acceleration at a lot of companies will be getting, have customers reengaged you about the '26 order season.
Yes. Appreciate the comments on the quarter and also a really insightful question. And the answer is, yes, they're actually starting to engage us on that as that legislation has passed, and it does have benefits to their cash, their ability to deploy that cash for capital asset purchases like trucks is starting to be part of the conversation and is part of our optimism for the latter part of the year.
Yes. And then I would just add, this is Brice. it will be very positive for us as a company as well because that R&D expensing as well as the immediate R&D expense -- expensing on the fixed assets, we think will provide cash tax benefits in the $300 million to $400 million range. So it's good news for our customers.
Brice, you beat me to the second half of the question. So that's all I had.
Our next question comes from Angel Castillo with Morgan Stanley.
Just wanted to maybe follow up on that just in terms of the -- I think the second half delivery is implied by kind of the industry outlook and assuming your market share remains intact, is a little bit more kind of stable in terms of U.S. and Canada for the second half versus first half? And to your point or the comments around seeing good kind of conversations with customers around potential benefits from the 1 big [ beautiful bill ] that maybe drive some incentive to ordering. Curious, could you just provide a little bit more color? I guess we've had 3 months now of pretty weak orders. So do you expect then the next month, we'll start to see that essentially rebound, and that's what gives you confidence in the second half? Or as we think about order dynamics here that we're seeing, why won't that have a bigger kind of impact on underlying deliveries that you're kind of expecting in the second half?
Yes, really fun question, Angel. Thanks for asking. There's a few factors going into the sequencing of orders. One of the things that's in the truckload sector, which is a pretty significant part of the overall market in the U.S. and Canada, is that there was some overcapacity. I think that overcapacity is coming out gradually. And as that gets in balance, it will help with rates, which will help with profitability for the carriers, which will help with the truck orders. .
So it's one factor in there. Another key factor that gives us confidence that we'll see improvement is the fact that the big beautiful bill that you referenced as an upside potential for us as the year gets through. Another one is regulatory emission standards. So as we all know, there's a greenhouse gas component and a NOx component. The greenhouse gas component for 2027 is likely not to change. So that's what a lot of people can understand now, which means there will be no further GHG requirements.
However, the law is in 2027 that the standard of NOx will move from 200 milligrams down to 35 milligrams. And if moves from 200 milligrams to 35 milligrams that will bring [ on cost ] to the product which will encourage customers to be buying trucks probably beginning later in this year. And then there's the factor around tariffs. I think that with uncertainty, customers kind of pause and with clarity comes confidence. So if we get confidence and certainty around tariff structures in the third quarter, then I think customers' reaction to that will be positive, and we think that, that should be favorable for PACCAR. So there's quite a few reasons to weigh in there for our confidence as the year goes along here.
Super helpful. And then maybe just another 1 that I thought was really powerful, I guess the guidance for Parts in the third quarter, I thought if I heard you correctly, I think you guided to 4% to 6% top line growth. Can you just help us understand maybe what's kind of driving that reacceleration in the parts business, what you're seeing in kind of demand trends? And if you could also maybe just comment on what gross margin is assumed for 3Q within your guidance for parts?
I'll just -- I'll start with reiterating that we had record revenue in Q2 and 3.4% sales growth. And so that was done during a flat parts market. So any time we can get revenue growth and sales growth in a flat market is a good thing. So the forecast for 4% to 6% for the third quarter is just a testament to the Parts team doing a really nice job providing parts and programs to deliver excellent customer service. And we see that performance starting to normalize back to stronger sales growth. So I think the Parts outlook is strong.
And in the second quarter, we have a few more bank holidays and other holidays in Europe. So we see a higher number of ship days in the third quarter in Europe, and that's our very strong market for part sales. So that will help us as well. .
Our next question comes from Chad Dillard with Bernstein. .
so to what extent is the possibility of a [ prebuy ] changing your down cycle playbook? Do you feel the need to hold on to labor longer, just in case if prebuy happens? Just curious on how this influences your view on like what sort of fixed cost absorption is acceptable?
Yes. Sure, Chad. As you know, PACCAR focuses on lean, efficient production, always has, always will. And so we continue to do that. What we see is that we've done a great job of controlling costs, both in our fixed operations, if you want to call them that, and also in our factories. But we're very proud of our wonderful employees And so as we see upside to the market, we obviously are looking for them to keep building great trucks.
And as we see the markets likelihood of improving as the year continues, then we'll see that -- that would be good for everybody, good for employees, good for the company. And so we're trying to keep that in the right balance.
That's helpful. And then just secondly, can you just comment on just like the sort of pricing that you're seeing in the back half of the year, are clients -- are the price increases sticking just comment on just what your clients are telling you?
Well, I think it goes into the earlier discussion we had around the market in general. I think that as their profitability improves and their need for trucks continues to increase then that's good for the market dynamics. Right now, I think as that capacity has come out, but still coming out, there's this balance is being achieved. And once we get through that balance point, then we'll start to see increasing demand. .
Going back and remember that we're really kind of talking about a replacement market, which should be in the 260s, 270s. And so we're not really chewing into that at all and trucks are running and freight ton miles are not low. So this is all creating some level of pent-up demand for the future.
Our next question comes from Michael Feniger with Bank of America. .
Yes. Just Preston, just on the parts with the 4% to 6% top line. I realize you guys are growing parts in a flat market. With the top line potentially up 4% to 6% in the third quarter, do you think you can grow profit at that same rate? I know it's a little challenging in a flat market. Just kind of curious what's the right environment where we can kind of see the parts revenue growing and see that pretax profit and that margin also may be growing along with that.
Yes, Michael, great question. We are proud of the team for being able to deliver the parts growth in a flat market. We definitely see upside. When we look at the overall truck park, it's still at elevated levels. And those customers still need a truck serviced, and that comes with parts. And so our dealers continue to add capacity and whether it's in updated locations, new locations, the PACCAR continues to add distribution centers. And so all of that points to, as we see the ongoing sales growth, we see upside in the profit as well.
Great. And just my last one is just on the inventory side. I know there's your inventory, then we obviously had the industry. How do you feel your own inventory set up given some of the moving pieces that you're seeing with tariffs, but also potential of a prebuy at some point, maybe next year? Do you carry a little bit more? Do you have to kind of work more some of that down as you move through the year? Just kind of curious how you figure your inventory is positioned and how you think your competitors in the industry overall is set up as we're given these dynamics as we move into 2026?
Sure. Sure. You bet. Nice question, Michael. If you look at the industry Class 8 inventory, it's at 4.2 months. of retail sales. If you look at in where the Peterbilts inventory is really 2.9 months of retail sales. We feel very good about our inventory position. And one of the things that also factors into that is roughly half of our trucks are a body builders, that inventory is at body builders. So that's an overrepresented part because PACCAR is the leader in the locational segment. And so our inventory feels well positioned. And as you know, we build the order. So we feel like we maintain our disciplines and we're in a very good position from an inventory standpoint. .
Our next question comes from Jamie Cook with Truist Securities. .
I guess, first, the deliveries pressed in the deliveries exceeded the high end of your expectations. Margins were at the high end. Was there anything unusual on the margins and why were the deliveries better? Was it just sort of a pre-buy ahead of tariffs? And then I guess my second question, just given what you're saying about the back half of the year, to what degree do you have confidence that like the 13% in the third quarter could mark sort of the bottom for margins if things start to normalize?
And to what degree do you think while you're not guiding for 2026 ACT, I think, is assuming production is about flat next year. Any color around how you're thinking about 2026. It sounds like you're more optimistic, but I don't want to put words in your mouth.
Jamie, that's a series of questions right there. First, thanks for the comments on the quarter. I feel like a good position that we're in. When I think about deliveries for the third quarter, it kind of has the European normal shutdown period. So that's part of it. And then I think adjustments in the market is part of it as we look at it. And then we feel like it depends on getting some of the stability that we've talked about in terms of other positions for like, are we going to have tariff clarity? And will we have regulatory clarity around NOx emissions. So as we think about deliveries and the 13% for the quarter, it feels like that we could be, in your words, thinking about talking about the bottom of a cycle.
And then I would kind of -- we've been kind of internally thinking and sharing with you that we feel like we are structurally stronger, and we went back and looked at the last time we had roughly 38,000 deliveries, 36,000 deliveries. And we had like $4.9 billion in revenue and made $386 million in profit. So comparatively, I think this is just demonstrating that cycle-over-cycle strength that our team has delivered. And that's the Parts team, that's the Financial Services team. That's the Truck divisions. I mean there's been -- that's the new trucks that are in the marketplace. It's a great dealers, the relationships with the suppliers. A lot of good things that are going in the right direction, and that is delivering for our shareholders, our customers and our employees.
And any color on how you're thinking about 2026, better than what the...
Feel pretty good about 2026. Yes, I feel pretty good about 2026. I think that there's going to be clarity on these regulatory standards because they're employing in 2027, one way or another. There will be clarity around tariffs one way or another. And as we said, the trucks are getting used. So 2026 should see improvement. .
Our next question comes from Tami Zakaria with JPMorgan.
I want to ask you about the engine remanufacturing plant. When do you expect that to be fully operational? And when at run rate, how many engines do you expect that facility to be able to remanufacture annually? .
Good question, Tammy. So it will be operational in the first quarter of next year. And then when it gets up to full run rate, we anticipate about 5,000 [indiscernible] engine a year going through that facility.
Got it. And my second question is on the outlook for South America. I'm guessing the reduced outlook is the function of what's happening in Brazil. So just any color you can provide on what drove that revision in the outlook versus the beginning of the year? What changed that's driving this outlook revision.
Tammy, thanks for the second question. For sure, you're right, it's mostly driven through Brazil and the biggest impact there is interest rates. They have the 400 basis point interest rate increases in the past since the beginning of the year. And so that's certainly affecting consumer confidence and wiliness to invest in trucks right now. And so I think those are the 2 biggest factors.
Our next question comes from Stephen Volkmann with Jefferies.
Just a couple of quick follow-ups here. We don't have nearly as much visibility into the European market. I'm just curious if you can comment on sort of directionally, is that market, do you think a growth market going forward? We've talked about some investments I guess, some government investments over there. But I'm curious if you're seeing anything in that regard.
Yes, Stephen. I'd say given the economic -- overall economic conditions or have some uncertainty in Europe at 270,000 to 300,000 truck market is relatively strong given that the economics. And so for PACCAR and DAF specifically, we've had a strong market share in the last month and year-to-date share is up compared to this time last year. DAF share is traditionally strong in Eastern Europe. And as Preston said in his comments, we were with some customers recently and see some upside. And so if you look at that size market, that's a little above replacement value. So I'd say that that's a strong market given the conditions, and that's likely the short-term ongoing forecast.
And I would add that the thing that's helping us there is we introduced our new product, and it's still the only truck that is designed to meet the masses and dimensions regulations over there. It's providing industry-leading fuel economy. It's the best truck for the driver, it's the coolest truck, to be honest with you. And so there's a lot of things to really like about how things are going. And then in 2025, we introduced some advanced technologies onto the platform, which also further enhances performance and fuel efficiency. So feeling very good about the DAF team and what they're doing.
Super. And then on the vocational side, we hear some channel checks that sort of suggest that there were a lot of orders and obviously, a lot of backlog in the industry. And now we're starting to kind of work through all that. and the orders on vocational have also been a little bit weaker recently. So I guess I'm wondering, as you deliver this 50%, Preston, of your inventory that's at body builders. Is there a risk that vocational is sort of the next end market to kind of go down before it goes up?
Well, I think that's kind of -- I would never have used the word weaker to describe the vocational market. I would have said that it was frothy for a while, and now it's just good. So I might say that we're operating in a good vocational market. I think there's a lot of infrastructure spending that's going into the country under the administration's objectives and infrastructure spending is good for the vocational market. So I think that, that bodes well for a steady, strong vocational sector for a while.
Our next question comes from Steven Fisher with UBS. .
Just on the pricing topic. Just curious how far out you are able to provide firm pricing to your customers? Or do all the units basically come with a caveat that pricing can change as the tariff situation evolves? And how does that affect the order patterns?
Yes. We do have a tariff surcharge listed onto our trucks for the U.S. and Canada right now. And so we are pricing that in, which allows us to price out into the future. And then -- these are customers, they're business partners and their friends that we're talking about. And so each of these discussions and business relationships has that discussion around if tariffs change, then there's a change potentially in what the pricing is. So that's a very active and live dialogue and it allows us with these great relationships to price out into the future.
Okay. And then just looking beyond the cyclical dynamics here, really just thinking about the growth opportunities ahead. It seems like maybe EV and autonomy are perhaps a bit slower to develop. Do you think there's any structural growth opportunities in trucks? Or is that all really in parts and finco? And if so, should we expect you to really increase your focus on parts and finCo even more relative to what you talked about at the investor meeting last year.
Sure. Well, I would suggest that, in general, trucks move most of the freight in the country. I don't think that's going to decrease. I think if anything, that's going to increase, you referenced autonomy. I don't think that's tomorrow, but when autonomy happens, then you'll see that increase the number of trucks required in the country because it will become even more efficient at delivering freight. So that will be good for PACCAR's business.
You mentioned EV. So EV adoption curves, we've been wise and prudent through our investment cycles on EV investments over time. We continue to believe that there's a role for them to play as we look forward into the future, but a market-based role is probably what more likely happens for the next several years. So that's great for us. We're well positioned for that. And we think that EV vehicles tend to be more expensive. So that's obviously good for PACCAR's overall business model. regulations are going to happen, regulations drive complexity, complexity ends up being more components on a truck, which is more proprietary parts share.
And then I think -- so all those things are foundationally good PACCAR continues to deliver the trucks that our customers want, that the drivers desire in all sectors of the market. So that's good for our business growth. And then I would say from a parts and FinCo standpoint, our parts business is just part of our overall strategy of delivering connected and vehicle performance for our customers. So the more we're able to deliver uptime for our customers the better it is for them and the better it is for PACCAR. It's a win-win situation. So Parts, FinCo and connected services for us are great growth opportunities for the future.
Our next question comes from Kyle Menges with Citigroup. .
I was hoping if you could just comment a little bit on the medium-duty truck market, just how are inventories. And then you mentioned you feel good about '26. I'd assume that was more of a Class 8 comment, but I mean does that apply to medium duty as well? And just how do you think about changes to emission standards in '27, catalyst for some prebuy and medium-duty next year?
Yes. Great question, Kyle. Thanks a lot. If you look at industry inventory, for medium duty, it's around 6 months and for Kenworth and Peterbilt, it's more like 4.5 months. And then again, you have the same ratio of body builders and that high percentage of vocational mix for Peterbilt and Kenworth. So we're in a very good position from a medium-duty inventory standpoint. I think that there is the same factors that are playing into the medium-duty market for 2027, which could create stimulation for a medium-duty market improvement in '26. A good question. .
Our next question comes from Scott Group with Wolfe Research. .
Thanks for the time. The $75 million of estimated tariff costs in 3Q. Just any -- can you just maybe try and quantify what the impact was in Q2? And if we -- if things stay stable, where do you think that net $75 million impact falls to in Q4?
Well, help me a little bit, Scott, with your question around stable, what a stable mean in your vernacular...
Sorry, maybe I didn't answer right, meaning there's no incremental change in tariffs, so you just have an opportunity to sort of catch up on price.
Yes. I think they were less in the second quarter for sure because there's a timing effect of when they came in, there was the effect of what material was in country, so it's a gradual increase through the second quarter into the third quarter. And it was something significantly less than the $75 million. Now as we get to the fourth quarter, to your question, I think the most important factor is 232 clarification and whether or not there's a change as a result of 232 and how that could affect the fourth quarter tariff structures we have. .
Without that, even our teams are doing a great job of working with suppliers and looking for how you think about USMCA content of parts coming into the country and ensuring that the maximum number of parts are USMCA certified under the current rules, which then reduces tariffs risk to us over time. But that's how I generally think about the 2Q, 3Q and 4Q tariff picture.
Okay. That's helpful. And then just in terms of sort of the order book and activity, maybe just are we -- where are we on the order book for '25? When do you think you -- when do you open up '26? And then within that recent uptick and maybe some conversations any notable difference in is that more vocational, private fleet for hire, just sort of where you're seeing that?
Sure. I mean the market's filling or the order book is filling into third quarter. North America is roughly 50%. Europe is mostly full. And I think that what we see is still, as we said, vocational markets remain good, and the LTL market, maybe especially remains good. We mentioned already in the discussion that termed a big beautiful bill is probably helpful to our customers' cash position and could create some incentive orders further out in the year. So I don't think it's just one area. I think it's just getting certainty because as we get clarity, that will create confidence for our customers and as they have confidence then that will increase their ability to order trucks.
Our next question comes from Nick Housden with RBC Capital Markets.
So in terms of the Q3 deliveries, I think you said 32,000 to 33,000. Can you provide any comments around the regional breakdown of that, please?
I would think of it in terms of plus or minus normal splits is kind of where I would go with it. I wouldn't really shift around very much in it. So you're going to have Q3 has the impact of the 3-week time off in Europe, which is very, very normal. So that's going to sit in there. And then I would think that there's probably the drops in North America to match to the market. So that ratio stays maybe more affected in the third quarter than it might normally be. And then I would say Mexico continues to be experiencing the same kind of tariff discussions. So that's a space in the market that's a bit softer. .
Got it. And then your comment about 90% of trucks for the U.S. are currently being built in the U.S. Can you provide any comments just around what the breakdown for the supply chain is and how those percentages might move around.
Well, the supply chain has varied, obviously, right? And so we would have to spend a lot more time than we probably have to think about how supply chain works because there's Tier 1, 2 and 3 and they'll factor in from different places. But suffice it to say that there are components that come from Mexico or from Canada or from the [ ASEAN ] region or South America or Europe that go into the trucks. But PACCAR, as we said, has the production facilities in North America, which is critically important.
And I think that's what the administration feels so as well. And so we think that as we look forward from a tariff standpoint, they'll encourage the truck production, hope they'll encourage the truck production in America and that components that are critical for manufacturing in America will also be included in that, which we'll be able to support and our suppliers will support.
Our next question comes from Walter Piecyk with LightShed.
Preston, your partner, Aurora is very well respected, obviously, within the technology industry and used your truck to go driver out this past quarter. And then, I guess, you guys had some interest in having them put a driver back in the driver seat there. Just curious kind of what your thoughts are there. Like what was the reasoning for that? How does that differ from other PACCAR trucks that are also using autonomous technology with your truck. Like why in a worse case, do they have to have a driver back in? And maybe when do you anticipate being okay with them, taking that driver out and then seeing that market start to expand a bit more because obviously, that certainly could be a demand opportunity for you.
Good question. Thanks for asking. We think there's great progress being made in the field of autonomy. PACCAR continues the development of this autonomous vehicle platform. So that's encouraging for us. And we think that Aurora is making good progress as well in the development of the autonomous driver that can go into that as are others, like Kodiak and others like STACK. So we see others making progress as well. We always operate at PACCAR with the safety being our most fundamental foundational principle. And so for us, we want that to remain as the true north for us. It will remain as a true north for us. And so that having a driver in seems like the smartest idea and that's what we've -- that's how we're operating the trucks. .
Is there a certain milestone you're hoping that they achieve? Because obviously, that company won't exist in the future if they always have a driver and the whole point of it is to have a driver out. So what do you think you need to see to permit at least your trucks to have driver out?
No. We don't ever discuss when we're going to go to production with things, but always what we do is this thing should be fully production. And when things are fully production, validated, completed production, then that's when we have that conversation.
Thank you. There are no further questions in the queue at this time. Are there any additional remarks from the company?
We'd like to thank everyone for joining the call, and thank you, operator. .
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes PACCAR's earnings call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Paccar — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Paccar — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $7,5 Mrd.; bereinigter Nettogewinn $724 Mio.
- Teile: PACCAR Parts Rekordumsatz $1,72 Mrd.; Ergebnis vor Steuern $417 Mio.; Parts‑Bruttomarge 30%.
- Finanzdienstl.: PACCAR Financial Ergebnis vor Steuern $123 Mio. (vs. $111 Mio. Vorjahr).
- Lieferungen: 39.300 Trucks in Q2; Q3‑Erwartung 32.000–33.000.
- Margen: Konzern‑Bruttomarge (Truck/Parts/Other) 13,9% in Q2; Q3‑Schätzung ~13% bei aktuellem Zoll‑Stand.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Produktion & Zölle: >90% der für den US‑Markt gelieferten Trucks werden in US‑Fabriken gebaut; Management fordert Klarheit zu Section 232/Zöllen, da Unsicherheit Nachfrage verzögert.
- Teile & FinCo: Fokus auf Kapazitätsausbau, globales Netzwerk für Gebrauchtwagen (neues Center in Warschau) und stabile Erträge aus Finanzdienstleistungen.
- Technologieinvestitionen: Investitionsausgaben (CapEx) $750–800M und Forschung & Entwicklung (R&D) $450–480M in sauberere Diesel, alternative Antriebe, fortgeschrittene Fahrerassistenzsysteme (ADAS) und vernetzte Dienste.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Marktgrößen: US/CAN Class‑8 230.000–260.000; Europa >16t 270.000–300.000; Südamerika >16t 90.000–100.000.
- Q3‑Leitplanken: Lieferungen ~32k–33k; Bruttomargen ca. 13% unter Annahme aktueller Zölle; Parts‑Umsatzwachstum Q3 4–6%.
- Sonstiges: Motor‑Reman‑Werk in Betrieb Q1 2026, Volllauf ~5.000 Motoren/Jahr. Risiken: Zölle, EPA‑/NOx‑Regulatorik (NOx = Stickoxid), schwaches Truckload‑Umfeld, Brasilien‑Zinsdruck.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Tarife & Pricing: Hauptfokus auf Section 232; Management nennt Richtwerte (geschätzter Q3‑Effekt ~$75 Mio.) und vermeidet exakte Stückkosten, bleibt bei Bandbreiten.
- Order‑dynamik: Diskussionen über möglichen 'prebuy' vor 2027‑NOx‑Standard; Konjunkturpaket ("big beautiful bill") könnte Bestellungen wieder anregen, Timing jedoch unsicher.
- Parts & Inventar: Analysten forderten Margenprognosen; Management betont Outperformance bei Parts, sieht Inventarposition (Class‑8: ~4,2 Monate; Peterbilt ~2,9 Monate) als solide.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: PACCAR liefert ein widerstandsfähiges Ergebnis mit starken Parts‑ und Finanzdienstleistungsbeiträgen und gibt klare Kurzfrist‑Leitplanken (Q3‑Lieferungen, Parts‑Wachstum, CapEx/R&D). Die größte Unsicherheit bleibt politisch (Zölle, 2027‑NOx) – Aktionäre sollten Entscheidungen zu Section 232 und Ordertrends im Blick behalten.
Finanzdaten von Paccar
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Basis
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 27.780 27.780 |
14 %
14 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 22.262 22.262 |
12 %
12 %
80 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 5.517 5.517 |
22 %
22 %
20 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 894 894 |
9 %
9 %
3 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 439 439 |
5 %
5 %
2 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 4.184 4.184 |
28 %
28 %
15 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 658 658 |
6 %
6 %
2 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 3.526 3.526 |
31 %
31 %
13 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 2.476 2.476 |
29 %
29 %
9 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
PACCAR, Inc. ist ein globales Technologieunternehmen, das sich mit der Entwicklung und Herstellung von leichten, mittelschweren und schweren Lastkraftwagen beschäftigt. Es ist in den folgenden Segmenten tätig: Lastkraftwagen, Ersatzteile und Finanzdienstleistungen. Das Lkw-Segment entwirft und fertigt schwere, mittelschwere und leichte Diesel-Lkw, die unter den Marken Kenworth, Peterbilt und DAF vermarktet werden. Das Teilesegment vertreibt Aftermarket-Teile für Lastkraftwagen und verwandte Nutzfahrzeuge. Das Segment Finanzdienstleistungen bietet Finanzierungs- und Leasingprodukte sowie Dienstleistungen für Lkw-Kunden und Händler an. Das Unternehmen wurde 1905 von William Pigott Sr. gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Bellevue, WA.
aktien.guide Basis
| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Feight |
| Mitarbeiter | 25.900 |
| Gegründet | 1905 |
| Webseite | www.paccar.com |


