PTC Therapeutics, Inc. Aktienkurs
Ist PTC Therapeutics, Inc. eine Topscorer-Aktie nach der Dividenden-, High-Growth-Investing- oder Levermann-Strategie?
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 6,91 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 388,25 Mio. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 6,91 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,20 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 7,64 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 388,25 Mio. $
Enterprise Value = 7,64 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,20 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
21 Analysten haben eine PTC Therapeutics, Inc. Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
21 Analysten haben eine PTC Therapeutics, Inc. Prognose abgegeben:
Beta PTC Therapeutics, Inc. Events
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Goldman Sachs 47th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
Okay. We'll continue with the next session. I'm Paul Choi, and I cover the SMID-cap biotech sector here at the firm. It's my pleasure to have PTC Therapeutics here. And on stage with me, to my immediate left, Dr. Matthew Klein, CEO; and to my far left, Pierre Gravier, CFO. I think what we'll do is what we've done in prior sessions, and we'll let maybe Matt kick it off maybe with some high-level comments on sort of the strategic priorities for the balance of the year and going into 2027. And then we'll go into Q&A after that.
Sounds great. Paul, thanks so much for having us. For us, 2026 so far has been really successful. We had a really strong first quarter with record product revenue of $226 million, total revenue of $273 million, fueled by the continued success of the Sephience launch. We announced launch in Japan late first quarter, which was great news and will really help accelerate the launch. We also shared positive top line data from the long-term extension of the votoplam Phase II PIVOT-HD study and that the Phase III trial is now underway and being enrolled by Novartis and continue to have nice revenue contributions from our more mature products.
We look forward to an exciting rest of 2026 into 2027. Clearly, the Sephience launch, the continued momentum of the launch is going to be an important part of the story. But we also are looking forward to a number of advances in our R&D portfolio. We've aligned with the FDA on the design for the next vatiquinone for Friedreich's ataxia study and expect to initiate the, what we're calling, MOVE-FA trial in the third quarter, which I know we'll probably talk a little bit about is open-label natural history comparator to provide additional data to support NDA resubmission.
We also look forward to initiating a Phase IIa study of PTC844, which is our next-generation DHODH compound. We've already initiated the Phase I study of PTC612, which is our NLRP3 compound, and we look forward to continuing to enroll that Phase I healthy volunteer study as well to collect data in the second half of the year. We expect to announce a development candidate for our MSH3 splicing program. We're really excited about this program. MSH3 is an important target for regulating somatic expansion, which is important in Huntington's disease, myotonic dystrophy as well as other disorders. And we look forward to announcing that compound and really continuing to lead the field of oral small molecule splicing.
And we also expect to have a development candidate from our ferroptosis platform for synuclein-targeted therapy that can be used in both Parkinson's disease as well as MSA. So really a lot going on at PTC. And also, as we've mentioned, we'll continue to look at business development opportunities given our strong cash balance and our desire to look at ways to augment the PKU portfolio as well as drive near and intermediate-term top line revenue.
Great. Clearly, a lot going on. So maybe we can start with the commercial piece. And I guess, either for you, Matt, or Pierre, how would you characterize the Sephience launch so far to date? How do you think about how it's done versus your internal expectations as we look at the sort of comps or historical comps in the category? And then I had a follow-up question after that.
Yes, absolutely. Look, we're really excited with how the launch has gone to date and for what we see as continued growth. We expect to have continued growth in the U.S. as well as later in the year contributions ex-U.S., given our global footprint and already the number of global approvals that we have.
Look, we were very clear from the beginning that we did not think comparing Sephience to the other therapies, PKU therapies, whether Kuvan branded and generic or Palynziq was really an appropriate comparator given the unique differentiated profile of Sephience. We knew coming into the launch that there's about 17,000 patients in the U.S., 58,000 in markets where we can commercialize globally. And despite there being approved therapies, there was really still a significant unmet need. We know that Sephience, given its oral well-tolerated profile, the fact that it has a dual mechanism of action, one is a precursor, a more bioavailable precursor for BH4.
The second is an independent chaperone that can provide benefit for non-BH4 responsive or classical patients that we, for the first time, had a therapy that could address the full spectrum of PKU patients regardless of age and regardless of severity. And the story of the launch thus far really is a story of breadth. Seeing broad uptake across all different segments, no matter whether you're talking about age segments of kids and adults, treatment experience, whether that be therapy naive, those who tried and failed other therapies or switches from existing therapies. We shared our Q1 earnings that at that point in time, we had over 90% of the centers of excellence in the U.S. have already prescribed Sephience and that we soon expect to be able to get that number to 100%. Which, again, after only 2 full quarters of launch is really a significant milestone.
We also talked about our team as being quite experienced in selling rare disease drugs, not only in the U.S. but also globally. We have a robust global commercial infrastructure. And we've talked a lot about how that team did really well with Translarna, which I think everyone could acknowledge was a much more -- had a much more challenging profile than something like Sephience. And with the approvals in Japan and Europe and Brazil and our ability to leverage early access programs in countries where we don't yet have pricing and reimbursement, really, we think that this is unique again in the category for being able to be start within the first year and have a true global launch.
And so overall, I think we're really pleased with how things have gone. We've been very clear that we expect continued growth in the U.S., accelerated growth outside the U.S., which we expect to really start having an impact in the latter part of 2026 reimbursement on board and position us really [indiscernible] and beyond.
Right. As you think about sort of the other launch dynamics, Matt, you touched on utilization both in treatment-naive, treatment experience and switch patients. Can you maybe help us understand to what degree is this, given the sort of -- that there hasn't been a new PKU drug in a while, how much of this is just sort of bolus driven versus how much do you think this is just sort of market expansion in the PKU category?
Yes, absolutely. Look, when we came into this launch, a lot of folks believed. And in fact, a lot of prescribers said that they thought the early part of the launch would be driven by switches. That's actually not been the case. One of the, I think, surprises early on is about 30% of patients from that therapy-naive bucket, and this is a bucket of folks who tend to have more severe disease, classical PKU.
The reason they're therapy naive is because they were never tried on other therapies because there wasn't a belief that they would work or that it would be well tolerated. And many thought that these individuals "lost follow-up, it would be very hard to get them on drug. And if you did get them on drug, that was going to be sort of a latter -- in the latter part of the launch years down the line."
That's not the case. And so we've had strong contributions from that segment. And probably the largest segment contributing is those who've tried and failed previous therapies with a smaller number of switches, which we expect to grow over time. So I think what we're really seeing is still steady, strong demand from a market or from a patient population that has real needs for a safe and effective therapy.
Great. You provided some nice numbers on where the patient growth and patient types are coming from. But either for you or for Pierre, have you sort of, I guess, based on this early launch trajectory, rethought the TAM here in PKU? I mean [indiscernible] billion plus on top of that the ex-U.S. opportunity. Have you sort of internally rethought about the TAM? And then I had a follow-up on that.
Yes, absolutely. So I think in terms of market numbers or population sizes, about 17,000 patients in the U.S., and we've said about 58,000 globally in geographies where we believe we can get access and reimbursement. And when you think about the fact that this is a therapy that has the potential to serve virtually all of those patients, we see this as a large market opportunity. And I think we've been now very clear that we believe that this is overall a $2 billion-plus global opportunity. We expect there to be strong growth in the U.S. and then again, the ex-U.S. contribution.
We've talked a lot about the importance of the international contribution here and being able to have that early in launch. I think at its peak, Translarna did something like $330 million. Again, we think the PKU profile is much stronger. Translarna was never in Japan. The PKU population is much larger. So when you just start thinking about that, you can see that the international contribution could be quite strong. And then in the U.S., given the differentiated profile, I think we could reach those $2 billion-plus numbers with modest penetration for an effective differentiated rare disease therapy.
Great. Since you mentioned the ex-U.S. markets, can you maybe give us sort of a current update on sort of where reimbursement is -- where reimbursement is? We've, I guess, in the past, talked about like AMNOG in Germany. You recently launched in Japan, just sort of those larger markets, maybe just give us an update there.
Yes, absolutely. So we'll start with Japan first because pricing reimbursement is done there. And given that Sephience is an orphan product, that price is set for 10 years, and there's no ex-Japan, there's no referencing done when we get pricing in other countries. So that list price is consistent with the U.S. list price. So that's a great place to be in terms of having that locked in for the next 10 years.
We're -- the negotiations are ongoing in Germany. As you know, it's a long process and a lot of back and forth. We were very encouraged by the early feedback we've received -- and the rating we received and the acknowledgment by GBA that they view phenylalanine, which was the primary endpoint of the clinical study as holding value, as having clinical meaningfulness. Which is really important because traditionally, they do not regard biochemical or biomarker data as support of clinical meaningfulness, and they do in this case, and they were very explicit in the initial feedback.
The other thing that's really helped us is being able to have the results of the AMPLIFY study available to be in the dossier, the pricing reimbursement dossier. AMPLIFY is a head-to-head study where we took individuals, they were randomized to either get BH4 then Sephience or Sephience then BH4, which allowed us to demonstrate in individuals the significant benefits of Sephience. And so overall, in that study, we had a mean benefit or mean greater -- mean reduction of 70% more with Sephience than for BH4.
So to be able to go and have payer discussions with a published manuscript that shows superiority over the other oral therapy, really puts us in a good position for reimbursement. So those discussions are ongoing. We're also recently announced that we have been able to get Sephience into the AP2 as Early Access Program in France. So we'll be beginning pricing and reimbursement discussions there as well as in Italy and other countries. We have mentioned that while we're doing -- going through the often lengthy pricing and reimbursement discussions, we've been able to, as we're doing in France, leverage early access programs.
And that has a number of advantages because being able to do early access at this point gets us patients on drug in countries. That's a price set by us pending agreement on pricing. And also puts the drug in the hands of the influential KOLs who can then participate in the pricing and reimbursement discussion. It's very common in a number of the countries that the ministries of health who make decisions around pricing and reimbursement, we will consult with expert physicians. Clearly, if they've had the drug in their hand and seen the benefits of that drug, that will certainly help as we seek to get a favorable pricing.
Okay. Great. I want to talk about some of the real-world feedback that you're getting now that you guys are commercializing Sephience here. And one of the things I picked up on social media was a patient talking about eating McDonald's chicken McNuggets, of all things, for the first time. And so I want to -- maybe just on that point of diet liberalization or increased protein intake. What are you hearing in the field? And I guess, this is something I think you're still continuing to prosecute in the clinic and follow up. And just how are you think -- what are you hearing from your sales force and just thinking about development of that aspect of the disease?
Absolutely. I didn't see the McDonald's comment, but I assume that was a kid, but I think the point which is super important is that these are individuals who have not had the benefit of having freedom to eat foods that other kids may eat or that their parents may eat or that the parent can eat the same meal as that they're serving their child. And we're continuing to hear these stories of really success of Sephience, success of allowing folks to have some diet liberalization, in cases complete diet liberalization, and that's super important. We hear that on social media, see them on social media, our field forces get feedback. And we also work very closely with the dietitians.
All these centers of excellence have a multidisciplinary approach to care of the PKU patient, which not surprisingly includes dietitians. Why? Because in the absence of a therapy, the mainstay is this highly restrictive diet. And what we've worked very hard on is as individuals start on Sephience that there is a plan to gradually increase protein intake and also some guidance on the right protein to take from a nutrition standpoint. But -- so we're getting a lot of feedback from dietitians as well as how well this is going.
We've also been hearing a lot about another benefit, which is super interesting, which is improvements in mood and cognitive function. We know that PKU can have significant effects on cognition, clarity of thought. And we also know that Sephience gets across the blood-brain barrier. And so we're hearing more and more about these types of benefits, decreased anxiety, increased executive functioning. And we shared some of these data that we collected from our open-label extension of the APHENITY trial, where we're able to show significant improvements on those points in the QOL assessment.
But as you alluded to, Paul, we're continuing to gather real-world evidence because these data, which capture different types of benefit. Obviously, we talk a lot about diet liberalization, but other things in terms of cognitive function and mood are incredibly important for generating market demand, market pull and also obviously, adherence and compliance.
Great. I think all biotech CEOs have a healthy sense of paranoia when they think about competition. And so as you sort of look at the competitive landscape, who do you -- who are you monitoring? Who do you think of as potentially next to market here? And what does that, I guess, in your mind, as you look at the market down the road, potentially do to pricing and sort of share in your mind?
Yes, absolutely. Look, I think there's been a lot of interest in the kidney-directed therapies that Jnana and Maze have. And I think the -- what we're hearing a lot from the physicians is a desire to combine those with Sephience to get even more benefits for patients. I think it's still -- while those are in clinical trials, I still think there's some questions out there in terms of what's the ultimate therapeutic window for these compounds going to be, who are they going to be most useful in.
Currently, all the clinical studies -- I mean, the Phase III -- the Phase III trial for Jnana, I think Maze just announced a Phase II study are in adults. So that's still leaving that huge pediatric and adolescent population without -- and the reasons for that, I'm not sure of, and we'll see how that goes over time. So I think from our standpoint, we're watching those. We'll have to see what the safety and efficacy are. But I think importantly, what we're hearing a lot is the desire to have combo therapies with Sephience. Sephience will be first line and then this could be added on to get even more benefit...
As a backbone?
Yes. And it makes perfect sense. This is a community that PKU patients, their daily life is combo cocktail therapy. That's how they live today. And so it's not surprising if you can have additional therapies that can get you even more benefit, that would be the ideal.
Great. Let's maybe turn to your pipeline and maybe starting with vatiquinone. Can you maybe walk us through your recent FDA dialogue and just sort of what drove the sort of change in perspective at the agency to allow your new trial design? And maybe you could just remind us what your new trial design is here.
Yes, absolutely. So look, we were clearly disappointed by the CRL last summer and believe that we had evidence of significant benefit in the younger patients who don't have -- currently don't have a therapy. And we had discussions with the FDA. And the interesting part here was they were the ones who suggested that if -- well when they said they'd like additional data, they were -- had suggested that we could do an open-label natural history comparator study to get that additional data to support NDA resubmission. Quite frankly, that was a little surprising to us in a good way. And I think it potentially reflects the fact that, one, the safety profile of the drug is very well characterized. It's very well -- it's safe and very well tolerated. So that's not a question now.
And in terms of efficacy, I think the FDA has long viewed the Friedreich's ataxia natural history database as being robust and reliable, and able to provide a reliable comparator to what would happen outside of therapy. There's a lot of -- without therapy, and there's a lot of reasons for that. The clinical trial sites tend to be the same sites who contribute to the natural history registry. So it's the same teams doing the same assessments on the same patients. I think also if you look at our MOVE-FA study, the placebo group's progression looked a lot like natural history, which also gives you confidence that you're seeing those 2 groups aligned and therefore, supports the fact that the natural history group can provide a reliable comparator in an open-label fashion.
So we've worked with them on the protocol. They've reviewed our protocol and analysis plan, and this is going to be about 120 individuals aged 7 to 21, consistent with the primary analysis population of the MOVE-FA study. It's going to be 24-month treatment period. There'll be a natural history comparator group from the robust and reliable Friedreich's ataxia natural history registry. We have a statistical analysis plan that is already specifying what the matching criteria are going to be, what is the matching model going to be and how we're going to account for any potential differences between those key characteristics that are most influential on disease progression.
We've shared that we believe we can get this study started in the third quarter. And obviously, what we've heard so far is a lot of excitement from the community to be able to enroll the study and get access to the drug without having to worry about being put on a placebo and therefore, delaying access to a drug that could slow progression, which is particularly important for younger ambulatory individuals.
Great. Maybe 2 mechanical questions. Can you maybe remind us in terms of like background or prior therapies, are patients allowed to be on CoQ10 or vitamin E or previously on SKYCLARYS. And then just on the matching dynamic, is that locked in as they're randomized? Or how does that process evolve during mid-trial or after treatment is initiated?
Yes, very good question. So we're fairly -- in terms of SKYCLARYS, they can't be on active SKYCLARYS therapy. We do have certain provisions if they were on it for a limited amount of time because there were a number of individuals who have tried and dropped off
[Audio Gap]
comes down to [indiscernible] whatever they have in the trial, the natural history subjects, right? So the real issue with SKYCLARYS, which we still have the MOVE-FA extension going on, and we have patients on both therapies, which a lot of the physicians want. But the registry doesn't have enough individuals who had enough SKYCLARYS experience that we could match. That's why we had to be very limiting in terms of how much SKYCLARYS you could have been exposed to. In terms of the mechanics of the matching, so what we've done, we will do the query of the registry once everything is done and the trial is enrolled.
However, we did prespecify exactly what are going to be the characteristics on which we're going to match. That was the key part. And there are the obvious things that you can imagine that are important in terms of influencing disease progression. So age, number of GA repeats, baseline mFARS score so that you're aligning the disease severity. So those types of things that will be influential of disease progression, we specified already how we're going to do that, what the procedure is going to be for querying the registry. And then once we do that, what are the details of the propensity match model, including all the coding and all of that has already been submitted before we start the trial so that there's integrity there in terms of sort of fixed process. Exactly right. Given the open-label nature, we wanted to make sure that all of that was fixed and aligned on ahead of time.
Okay. Great. As you think about your learnings from your previous MOVE-FA trial and just sort of what the real-world experience has been with SKYCLARYS, where do you think the biggest sort of unmet need is outside of sort of the pediatric or younger patient population, maybe just from a clinical benefit perspective as well?
Yes. So look, I think the pediatric and adolescent unmet need is significant, right? About 1/3 of the patients are in that age group. And if you think about a degenerative condition, it's quite clear you want to start treatment as soon as possible. And I think the -- we've talked a lot about the data from MOVE-FA and being able to show the significant benefit in the short term on upright stability, which has those items around balance and gait, which are clearly important to younger individuals who can still ambulate. So I think that, that is an important part of the population.
But then when you look to the adult population, there's a number of individuals who've tried and not stay on SKYCLARYS. And I think the ability to have therapeutic options is really, really important for patients. I mentioned as well that there's a number of physicians who want to combine therapies who also want to look at combining a therapy like vatiquinone with some of the frataxin augmenting therapies. Why?
Because even though the frataxin protein is deficient in Friedreich's ataxia, introducing a functional frataxin protein into a very broken cell will not work nearly as well as introducing frataxin protein into a cell where you can turn down the cell stress and inflammation. If you get the genetic machinery and other cellular machinery to be less inflamed and work better than giving exogenous frataxin will obviously work better. And this has been shown preclinically in a number of different diseases. So I would say kids and adolescents and then don't underestimate the importance of having a therapy that's safe, well tolerated, doesn't -- wouldn't -- is unlikely to have significant monitoring requirements as a therapeutic option for folks.
Great. Maybe one more on Friedreich's ataxia before we move on is, can you -- with an open-label natural history trial design here, can you remind us, is there an interim look built in? How does that work? If positive, how do you think about sort of timelines if you have after, let's say, half your patients enrolled or whatever the case may be or monitored? How does that -- how do you think about that?
So we thought a lot about that because it's -- whenever you start a trial like this and you have a high probability of success given the nature of the study, given the fact that we could have -- we're able to incorporate a lot of the learnings from our previous studies and what we have now, we believe is a very good understanding of the disease and the endpoint. But then we [indiscernible] really our last chance here. And if you believe in the drug, you've designed your trial well. We believe what made the most sense is let's not have an interim. Let's run it straight through 24 months with the full population because that's what's going to give us the highest probability of success. And so the plan is, at this point, not to have an interim.
And I think it's also important, given the open-label nature of it, that we have the largest data package we can, right? Because there's always questions -- that's part of the decision to go 24 months was because you want to make sure that, that placebo effect in Friedreich's ataxia, which is known to exist and known to be pretty fully washed out by month 6, you went up as long as time as possible to show that this is a credible -- this effect can be credibly attributed to the therapy and nothing else. And so when you put all that together, we said, look, high probability of success, let's get as many patients treated for the full duration and go with the strongest data package and get this across the line and approved.
Okay. Great. I want to maybe touch on Huntington's for a moment. Your program, which you partnered with Novartis has now transitioned to a Phase III. Can you maybe just remind us of what are your obligations, I guess, at this point as the Phase III now is underway? And just how should we think about updates from that program now that the asset is more or less fully in Novartis' hands given it is potentially a very big value driver for you in the future?
Yes, absolutely. Look, we're incredibly excited about the votoplam program, and we've talked a lot about -- from the beginning, this was following the path established by Evrysdi. How do you develop a small molecule splicing agent for CNS, mostly CNS disease. And everything we've done across -- along the way has followed that path. I think the PIVOT-HD data, the long-term extension data give both PTC and Novartis confidence that the Phase III trial is very well designed, includes early symptomatic patients.
The target enrollment is 770 patients approximately with cUHDRS as the primary endpoint up to 36 months. There's an interim analysis that will allow for an earlier look in a smaller number of patients. And this is fully in the hands of Novartis in terms of the technical execution. They're responsible for the enrollment and the conduct of the trial. And I have to say, as proud as I am of our team and the capabilities of the PTC team, Novartis was built to do a 770 individuals study. And I think that really increases the technical success of this study.
They're also 100% responsible for the funding of the study. And then according to the terms of the agreement, we still have about another $1.8 billion in sales and commercial milestones, and then there's the 40% profit share in the U.S., double-digit ex-U.S. royalties. So we're set up for significant financial benefit here if successful. And again, I think we -- both companies feel that if the long-term extension data play out in Phase III, then we could have the first disease-modifying therapy for Huntington's disease, which would be incredibly exciting.
Great. Maybe in our remaining time, as we turn to your earlier-stage pipeline, one of the things that I find most interesting is your NLRP program. A lot of interest in this area generated by the recent Ventyx data as well as the acquisition there. And so maybe just at a high level, could you point out some of the key differences and pros and cons for your asset versus Ventyx?
Yes, absolutely. Look, I think this is, as you mentioned, a hot area, inflammation and NLRP3, the NLRP3 inflammasome has been recognized as really an important hub, the NLRP3 pathway sort of a sensor of inflammation that propagates a further inflammatory response. We've been clear that we're interested early -- at this point in looking at pulmonary disorders where there's a very nice link between NLRP3, the NLRP3 inflammasome and pulmonary pathology. What we've been able to do, and we shared this at our R&D Day is really show that PTC612 is differentiated from some of the other therapies.
If you look at the Ventyx compounds, the obesity compound, we've shown that in an IL-1 beta assay, we have 50%, 5-0 percent greater potency. And then over -- we have almost 10x potency of their other compounds. So I think from a potency standpoint, we believe that we have a really differentiated compound. We believe we have a lot more specificity. And then its chemical structure is different as well. A lot of the existing NLRP3 therapies have a sulfonylurea backbone, which is responsible for some of the off-target toxicities. Ours doesn't have that. So its chemical structure is a bit different. It's got a good potency profile, and it has a -- we believe, more specificity for NLRP3. We mentioned
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SAD, MAD type things [indiscernible] and drug exposure, but we'll also be having an MAD cohort of individuals with a metabolic syndrome biochemistry that could give us a read in Phase I on some of the potential biomarker effects we're having on inflammatory markers associated with the NLRP3 inflammasome.
Great. Pierre has been very patient here background as Matt and I have chatted on the pipeline. But Pierre, I want to maybe ask you a little bit, you're having massive top line growth from Sephience here. You've sort of maintained your OpEx guidance for the remainder of fiscal '26. And so the company's sort of financial profile is in the midst of changing here to breakeven and eventually profitability. And so as you think about the shape and sort of velocity of the company's margin profile change, what would you sort of tell the Street to how to think about the balance of '26 and going into '27 and then the intermediate term?
Yes. So first of all, we're very excited to be here. We work really hard to get there. We're excited about, obviously, Sephience launch and continued growth in '26 and beyond. We talked about a $2 billion-plus opportunity, not guidance yet. And that obviously bodes very well with our OpEx management, which we have been very disciplined over the years to reduce that. And again, we're built globally. We talked about the launch. Commercial was ready, right, in Europe, in the U.S., in Japan, in LatAm.
And obviously, R&D, we're going to be very disciplined. We have a number of new products obviously coming in the pipeline, which we talked about a little bit. And both our platforms on both splicing and ferroptosis are very important to us. And then HD is obviously partner, so there's no OpEx for that. So that's how we think about the future. And obviously, we talked about a very strong cash balance where for the right opportunity, we will be ready to deploy additional capital. We have a commercial team available that demonstrated they can sell rare disease products globally. And so we think about how can we accelerate that top line [indiscernible] in a very disciplined manner and making sure we create value for our shareholders in an accretive manner.
Pierre, it's no secret you have a banking background. And so you've obviously looked at shopping for assets. And I guess, as you sort of think about the core competencies of the company, historically, it's been in things like splicing and so forth. You have a strong launch going on with the Sephience. But how do you sort of think about the landscape as you look for potential BD on the early-stage side versus something that might be closer to clinical trial completion or commercial stage?
So the #1 thing that is very important is we have flexibility, right? We don't have a rush to do one way or the other. And are there ways that could complement our approach? Historically, we're a small molecule company. So just if you look at modalities, but we could look at other ways to enhance the portfolio. Again, it's all about how can we complement both commercial assets, which are important. Are there things that could fit rare neuro, rare metabolic or neuro-metabolic. But again, we could build another adjacencies as long as it's rare disease, right? We're not going to start and do an oncology therapeutic area for us. That makes a very detailed sense for us.
So again, it's what are the areas where we are we're really the leader. And also, I will say, beyond commercial, we have global regulatory capabilities. We manage to push programs to the finish line that could be very attractive to companies. And so when we look at the landscape, if a company -- I mentioned the fact that we want to create value for our shareholders. If a company trades at 20x sales, good for them. That's not going to be something we will be looking at. But are there ways where we can find value? And again, there's also that global commercial capabilities. We could take ex-U.S. rights, for example, and start to market in Europe, in Japan, in LatAm in a very efficient manner.
Great. We're coming up on time here. So maybe one to close with you, Matt, which is if you were to direct investors to 1 or 2 things that you think are really key over the next 12 to 18 months, what would you highlight?
Yes. So clearly, having a product like Sephience that can be a multibillion-dollar rare disease product, the fact that we have a robust pipeline with the leading oral HD therapy in development with none of the costs but a significant back end, the ability to innovate and have a steady flow of pipeline assets and then sitting in a strong cash position with over $1.9 billion gives us flexibility to continue to augment, as Pierre said, both the R&D and commercial pipelines. I think -- and the fact that we're, as you mentioned, Paul, going to be vectoring towards being cash flow breakeven and profitable in the near future. It's a pretty unique setup for a company, and we're pretty proud of that.
Great. Okay. We're out of time here. So my thanks to Matt and Pierre for joining us, and thanks to PTC.
Thank you.
Thank you.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Goldman Sachs 47th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2026
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
Welcome to our next session. We've got PTC Therapeutics presenting for the next 30 minutes sitting up here on stage with me are a couple of folks that you definitely would recognize, Matt Klein, who is, of course, Chief Executive Officer; as well as Pierre Gravier, who is Chief Financial Officer. We also have a couple of folks in the audience from the team as well. We might yell out to Eric during Q&A as well. So let's maybe just do a quick overview of the company for the few people who might not know about PTC, Matt, and then we can go into Q&A.
Absolutely. Thank you so much for having us, Tazeen. PTC is a global biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops and commercializes therapies for diseases of a high unmet need. We have 6 marketed products that we commercialize ourselves around the globe as well as a robust R&D portfolio, including our validated and differentiated small molecule oral splicing platform. We're off to a great start in 2026. We delivered commercial revenue -- total revenue in the first quarter of $273 million with product revenue of $226 million, allowing us to raise guidance for the year. That was really led by our another strong quarter for Sephience, which we launched last year for children and adults with PKU. We did $125 million in revenue globally.
This is a rare disease launch that's leveraging our established global infrastructure. And as I mentioned, we're off to a strong start with strong momentum, and I'm sure we'll talk a lot about that during the fireside. And also, we've made a number of advances in our R&D portfolio as well, sharing the positive data from the long-term extension of our oral Huntington's disease therapy, votoplam, which is partnered with Novartis. We also shared that Novartis has initiated the Phase III HD trial, which is up and running. We also provided an update on our Friedreich's ataxia program, where we've discussed with the FDA being able to conduct an open-label versus natural history study to support NDA resubmission. And our NLRP3 program we shared is now in Phase I. So a lot of great progress across both the commercial and R&D portfolios.
Okay. Great. So yes, we wanted to talk a little bit about this new little launch you've got with Sephience, right? So we've covered this company, I've covered this company for quite some time now. So you've had an evolution. So you were originally known as a DMD company. And now you've got PKU and maybe just talk to us about the platform, how it's evolved and why you're excited about the early innings of the launch, and then we can talk about what your expectations going forward are?
Absolutely. So the company has its roots in DMD, which was started with DMD and actually being one of the first RNA drugs in development. And that experience with Translarna and then, of course, with Emflaza really allowed us to build a robust rare disease global commercial infrastructure with the ability to navigate regulatory authorities, pricing and reimbursement and sales all over the globe. And so as we've continued to do work and focus on both the discovery and development of important therapies for rare diseases, the PKU program with Sephience fit very nicely into that. And of course, we have a number of other programs in the pipeline that are moving through. And so when it came time to file for Sephience and get ready to launch, this was really -- we saw as an exciting opportunity, one, because the molecule -- the therapy itself, Sephience is highly differentiated.
It has a novel dual mechanism of action, which is capable of providing potential benefit to the full spectrum of PKU patients. PKU is a disease of approximately 17,000 individuals in the U.S., 58,000 globally in areas we could market the therapy. And despite there being approved therapies, there remains a significant unmet need for the vast majority of patients. So here we are with the opportunity to launch a product that has a highly differentiated profile, very strong safety profile, demonstrated efficacy across the full spectrum of patients, regulatory labels that are quite broad, a large patient population for rare diseases with significant unmet need and this global team that's very used to launching and selling rare disease drugs.
So we've been able to, within 6 months, get approval in the U.S., Europe and Japan. We have already launched in a number of countries. We said we should be up to 30 by the end of this year. That's really impressive for a company our size and for a rare disease launch. So I think it's really this combination of having a really good drug, a really experienced team that obviously, being in place allowed us to spend 1.5 years in market development, become very well integrated in the patient communities, understand their needs, have disease awareness and education programs like in the U.S., we had an opt-in program prior to launch, all these things that allowed us to hit the ground running as soon as we had authorization and I think you're seeing the products of that with the strong launch, not only in the U.S. but now globally.
Yes. So on the point of the strength of the launch, were you expecting a bolus when you first launched? And did you see that? And is that starting to fade?
Yes. So I think the term bolus to me -- so the short answer is we don't think we had a bolus because the bolus really means you had this lot of patients come in and then it dwindles off. What we certainly had was an acceleration phase in the first couple of months where since we had done so much work in market development and there were a lot of centers that had waiting list of patients to come in, we had a really strong start to the launch. And -- but we're still in a period of very strong momentum that we can maintain for the long term. So that's why we really use the term an acceleration phase where in the first 2 months, they're waiting list, the centers brought in a lot of patients and then somewhere around middle of the fourth quarter, we started seeing we're getting into this sort of sustained cadence whereas patients came in, they're being put on drug.
We also noticed that there are a lot of things in this launch that I think people misunderstood coming into it. One is I think there's a fundamental misunderstanding of the marketplace. A lot of folks thought that, well, we had the 17,000 patients, but a lot of patients are lost to follow up and you'll never get them in and maybe you'll just get the patients who are on existing therapy switching. And that's not what we observed at all. In fact, what we saw across centers of excellence is that there's a preference for getting those who are not on a therapy first, on a therapy first. And a number of these individuals who thought we lost to follow-up, such as adults, including those with classical or more severe form of disease, they're coming back to the clinic.
And so I think what we've been able to show early on is that the addressable market is the full patient population of PKU. These are people who want a therapy so long as it's safe, well tolerated and it can make a difference in their life. And so we've been able to really -- again, a lot of this was from the work we did beforehand, but we're already penetrated into over 90% of the centers of excellence in the U.S. Again, this early in the launch is pretty phenomenal, and we have penetration into all of the key patient segments, including those therapy naive, those who tried and failed other therapies, those who are switching from existing therapies. We've got infants on the drug. We have 80-year-olds on the drug. So we -- breadth is really the story of this launch.
And it's the fact that we have that breadth already no matter how you segment the population and the fact that the population is so large is what gives us the confidence that we're really in this period of sustained momentum in the U.S. And then outside the U.S., we're just getting started, right? So we've launched in Germany, that's going very well. We launched in Japan in March. And now we're seeing that sort of accelerated phase in these other countries. And that's what's so special is that we are now in a period with a strong start in the U.S., a strong base of patients with sustained momentum there and now accelerated momentum globally is really what we believe is going to take us to the levels that we think we could achieve blockbuster status, multibillion-dollar status as we've talked about.
Okay. So we are in agreement with everything that you said. We published a survey of physicians before you reported the quarter, which indicated strength in the quarter and beyond. But some of them -- some folks are looking at data points that we'd like to hear what you think of, for example, claims data. So some are of the view that claims data trends seem to indicate that there might be a plateauing of demand. So why would that be an incorrect interpretation?
Yes. I don't think the claims data are really reliable here for us. And then also people are looking at prescription sources, in fact we have 2 specialty pharmacies. There's a closed network, everything is confidential. So that's point one. Point two is that what we talked a lot about is we saw at the end of the year holidays into early part of the year, typical dynamics you'd see with holidays and starts maybe going down a bit and then shorter months in February, and then we see a really, really strong March, really strong April.
And there's no signs that this momentum is slowing. Yes, it's -- every week is not going to be the same. It never is in any launch. There's a lot of external factors. But if you can zoom out and look from around mid-November till now, it's pretty consistent, consistent with the number we gave. So I think people -- I know there's a lot of discussion about the first question, is there this bolus and now it's going, wait, no. There was this acceleration from all of the work we did, market preparation we did. And now what we're seeing over the past 4 or 5 months is sustained momentum that all the signals we have are going to continue.
So you've used sustain a couple of times in this conversation. You used it a couple of times on the earnings call. So as far as U.S., and then we'll talk about ex U.S. in a second, is this -- are you in a place where you think you'd start to feel comfortable providing like sales guidance?
Yes. So I think what we've talked about is we've typically had the practice of not giving guidance for the first year of a launch. And we've said that we see -- we believe we're in a period of sustain as, which means if things continue to go the way we imagine as we get later into '26 across the year point, and we have enough points on the map to give guidance, then we'd be ready to do it. No promises of exactly when, but obviously, we're tracking this. It's -- we're seeing such great trends, such strong trends, and we're still early launch. So we want to make sure, as always, when we give guidance, we believe in the guidance and can stick by it. But there is -- and I think we've been very clear, everything we're seeing reaffirms our conviction in this, one, the strength of the launch and really the strength of the long-term opportunity here for the product.
Yes. So you talked about long-term opportunity. So I don't know what the current consensus estimate is for peak sales. But as you look at number of patients in the U.S. and abroad, how are you thinking about what the TAM worldwide could be on sales here?
So we said that the market itself, we think is about 58,000. We've not guided to what that could translate into sales. Obviously, the price -- there'll be some variation outside the U.S. We're working very hard early on to maintain, as always, that rigid pricing corridor. We shared that we've got pricing in Japan on par with the U.S. back that's fixed for 10 years, really good and making very good progress there. Similarly, we have the list price in Germany is on par with the U.S. So again, we see 58,000, we said about 17,000 in the U.S. And we -- again, just where -- as we see this going, we've already in the first -- through the first quarter have over 1,200 patients on drug, and we see an ability just to continue to build that base. And that's really the key with good adherence and steady adds and accelerating outside of the U.S., that's how you get to that large opportunity.
What has early discontinuation rates looked like? And I think I asked this on the earnings call, but maybe we can go into a little bit more color. What's been the reason for discontinuation?
Yes. So we say we're in that low double-digit percentage, which is really strong at this point in the launch, especially when you consider what I said earlier, which is a lot of the early prescriptions in the U.S. were for those who are therapy naive, classical PKU, the more challenging patients. So if we're seeing really good adherence in the more challenging patients, knowing that a lot of the Kuvan switches, for example, are still to come, that gives us a lot of confidence in the long-term adherence rate because definitionally, if you've been on an oral therapy for years and know whether it's branded or generic, and you're going to switch to a therapy that's also once a day, let's just say, has equivalent tolerance, but superior efficacy, that bodes really well for the long-term adherence there. In terms of reasons for discontinuation, we have about half of them have been for clinical, which could be not effective for tolerability. Other is patient preference. We've seen a number there patient preference, which falls into any number of buckets.
So is there a particular profile of patients as this launch is progressing that you think would be particularly likely to respond? Or is it too early to know?
Well, look, I think we've said what we're seeing is response across the full spectrum, which is what's really, really important, again, going to the fact that we keep hearing stories of prescribers who put their most challenging patients on and hearing about phenomenal responses in terms of not only phenylalanine lowering with diet liberalization. Of course, we know from our data that any individual who's had any response to Kuvan branded or generic will have a superior response to Sephience. So that's very clear. Even if they were able to get to target Phe or some diet liberalization, one would fully expect that to be much better on Sephience.
So the good news is the word out there in the -- the experience in the real world is that we are having meaningful effect across the full spectrum of disease, which again continues to give us confidence to continue to penetrate these markets, right? If you're a prescriber and you put your challenging patients on the drug and you're seeing responses that just says, I'm going to keep going there. And then also, I have got these other patients that I can switch at some point. Just when you look at that across the board, you say, okay, that's why this has really long legs and a really large opportunity potential.
So in terms of treatment-naive patients who are experiencing Sephience for the first time versus switch patients from something else or as you described it earlier, patients who were initially lost the therapy and are coming back in. What do you think is the current split of that?
So right now, we have somewhere around 30% are treatment naive, which is a nice number. And then the switches and the tried and failed, it's a little harder to ascertain the exact numbers because it's not always fair if you've tried before. PFS doesn't always distinguish between the 2. But I think, let's call it, an even -- maybe -- actually, I think we have more tried and failed than on current therapies, again, because what we've heard is this desire to try patients who aren't on an existing therapy, which is why we believe we still have a very long way to go in terms of Kuvan switches.
Okay. And from the time a script is written to when a patient receives treatment, has that time period contracted as the launch has progressed?
Well, I think it started very strong. I think we were on an average of about 2 to 3 weeks when we started. We're probably still in that average range.
Do you expect that to be the normal range?
We think so. That's an average. Some can get on very quickly and some may take a little longer depending on their specific circumstance. And we now -- we said we now have policies with over 2/3 of American lives. The policies have been consistent in being very flexible with very few obstacles to getting on therapy. So all of that, we think, is going to continue to help.
Now what are you hearing about the qualitative measures like the quality of life measures like diet liberalization and things of that nature, which we have talked about prelaunch?
Yes. We're hearing great things. And we're seeing great things. In fact, on social media, it's so fun to see stories of kids eating certain foods for the first time. We saw photo of a kid eating a piece of steak off his parents grill and never having been able to do that before and hearing stories of families all being able to have the same meal for the first time. We're also hearing a lot about benefits on cognition and mood, which is super interesting because if you talk to families affected by PKU or health care providers, they'll talk a lot about the burden of anxiety, brain fog and cognitive difficulties. And we in our recent publication looking at the open-label extension for the Phase III study, we're showing on the QoL measures that we're having a good impact, a very favorable impact on anxiety, mood, other aspects of mood and cognition.
And these are things that go a long way for patients in feeling better. In fact, when we talk about the policy, the criteria for reauthorization include quantitative things like Phe lowering, potentially diet liberalization, but also overall medical benefit. And we're hearing from a number of folks that, I don't know my numbers are a little bit better, but I just feel so much better, my brain fog is gone. And that's really important because that's talking about quality of life, being able to -- we had the story of used to have to take a woman used to have to use GPS to get home from work, right, to be able to not have to do that, mood being better. All of those are really important favorable effects of the drug.
And as you talk to physicians, is there one thing in particular that they are impressed by? And I'm sort of trying to figure out sort of the depth of prescriptions. Are you still at the phase where doctors are trying it on a couple of patients and you keep getting new doctors that are adding a couple of patients? Or are you seeing more trying to use it in a more significant.
Yes. I think, again, we're in over 90% of the centers and the larger centers, and we've been in contact with the other centers and fully expect to get them onboard. Those are the late adopters as you typically would see any launch. But I think we've seen a variety. We definitely, the larger centers, what we're seeing is we're putting we're on. Just like we said we would, we're going to try all our patients on it. We've seen other centers that were maybe at first were a little skeptical and I'm going to try 1 or 2 more difficult patients and then they start to response, okay, now the floodgates open, and we're going to try to put everyone on. I think it's so those early -- that early experience in the more severe patients was so important to reaffirm that all patients should have the right to try this drug. It becomes the first-line therapy for PKU. And that's where we're going. And we're there in a lot of the major centers. And again, that's what gives us the confidence of the durability, I'll use the word sustain again, of the launch momentum.
Yes. Okay. And then as it relates to Europe, do physicians there have a similar view of science to how U.S. physicians think about it? I mean you guys have been in an unusual position of being able to market drugs in Europe for longer than you have in the U.S., you have that built-in expertise. So did you -- were you able to -- have you been able to capitalize on the infrastructure you have built out for Translarna for this launch in Europe?
Yes, absolutely. We have that playbook for Europe. We have it for LatAm with the approval in Brazil, and we're using a similar playbook that we're writing for the first time in Japan. And the experience in Europe and Japan are actually quite similar to what we're seeing in the U.S., right? Great enthusiasm on the part of the KOLs and understanding of the potential of the drug to treat the full spectrum of patients. It may differ center by center who may try first and how that works, but a lot of excitement. And we're also using that infrastructure we had in the Translarna playbook, we knew a lot about how do we leverage early access programs in a number of European countries, which we're doing while pricing and reimbursement goes on.
So that gives us the ability to sell the drug at the price that's consistent with the -- what we're maintaining for the narrow corridor, all while we're going through the period of formal pricing and reimbursement. Now to be clear to -- these early access plans, you're not going to get all the patients on. It's going to be smaller numbers. Once we get final pricing and reimbursement set, then you'll expect the large numbers to come in, but it allows us to one, start getting revenue in the country; and two, building up the physician and patient experience in those countries in a very positive way so that once pricing and reimbursement are in place, again, it opens that floodry and allows us to access the larger patient pools in all of these countries.
For Germany, in particular, I think for some launches, when they've gone particularly well, they've had to go back and take a price decrease. So what is your expectation of that happening post launch?
Yes. So Germany now has it's a 6-month repricing period, and that came to an end for us in January. We launched in July. And we're in the process now of going through the pricing negotiations. The initial assessments were quite favorable. A lot of that is because of the data we have and the fact that we had done a head-to-head study, our AMPLIFY study, which showed that on average, patients had a 70% greater lowering in phenylalanine versus Kuvan. That head-to-head data was super, super valuable. We saw them -- what they don't often do, but did in our case was recognize the biomarker fee being meaningful and having. So that's going very well. We expect there will be some discount. What it is, we'll know better as we play out in terms of the negotiation.
Okay. You mentioned phenylalanine. In the U.S., are doctors actually going back and measuring these levels in real time? I was just curious about that.
Yes, I think they do measure them. I think it's -- patients want -- well, the funny thing is if an individual PKU will tell you that their brain is like a PKU -- phenylalanine monitor. They know when their levels are high and levels are low. But the physicians do look at it and they do monitor it. And the patients do. I mean we've seen on social media, people posting their Phe results down 80%, which is really, really cool.
So that's another motivator for patients to stay on therapy, do you think?
Absolutely. Well -- and the way it works typically is you need to get to a certain level before technically you should be liberalizing the diet. And one of the things we've done in this launch, again, our experience in working with centers and prelaunch, making sure we understood the dynamics at each of the centers of excellence is the important role of the dietician, right? The last thing we want -- we're sitting here in Las Vegas, let's we want someone to start on the drug and went to the buffet and start eating everything, right? You want it to be a very thoughtful, measured approach.
And so we've been working a lot with the centers, and they've been working a lot with those who get on the drug to have a very measured approach to first establishing that you're having a certain amount of longer phenylalanine, then gradually increasing the diet. So there's a setup for success. And we avoid that risk that there's this expectation that, oh my god, I'm going to be able to lead everything in the first week on the drug, which probably is not realistic. So that's just another thing we're doing to make sure that we're set up for success and most importantly, that the patients are set up for success.
Okay. In terms of the competitive landscape, we talked about who you are currently competing against, but how do you see this over the next, I don't know, 5 to 7 years evolving?
Yes. I think right now, the next therapies in the pipeline are ones targeting the SCLA1A, I think transporter in the kidney. Very interesting approach that you think has the benefit that it's not -- it's agnostic to mutation. It basically tells the kidney, stop reabsorbing phenylalanine, pee it out and that should lower the levels. Again, interesting approach. The early data are looking encouraging. Still a lot of open questions, right? I think the current Otsuka trial is in adults only. And there's a lot of questions about long-term safety of lowering the other amino acids because this target is not specific to phenylalanine. It's all neutral amino acids. So there is this risk that if you have a lot of lowering of phenylalanine, it's going to be lowering a lot of other things as well.
What we've heard from a lot of the prescribers is they really would love to have this as an adjunctive therapy to Sephience to be able to say, okay, Sephience is doing great. We can add something on and maybe you can do even better. And of course, in a disease like PKU, the patients are already used to having cocktail approaches, right? They have cocktail supplements. So we see this as something that could be on top of Sephience, especially given the head start that we have. And there are some programs that are earlier on looking at specific mutations. But of course, there's like, I think, 10,000 different mutations. So I think that's -- we don't see that as a significant competitive threat. I would say the question -- this also show a safety and efficacy of the kidney-directed drugs, and we would see that being something on top of Sephience.
Okay. Maybe let's spend a few minutes that we have left, talk a little bit about the pipeline. So you just recently gave us an update on the Huntington's program. Can you just give us a quick recap of that and what the next steps are there?
Yes, absolutely. This was -- we shared the results of the 24-month long-term extension from the PIVOT-HD Phase II study. really great results. I mean the headline is that in the Stage 2 patients, which is the group that we along was the right clinical trial population, we had dose-dependent lowering of cUHDRS, 52% at the higher dose of 10 milligrams, 27% at the lower dose of 5 milligrams, good effect across 3 of the 4 subscales, slight numeric benefit on the fourth subscale, continued safety and tolerability, NfL at both dose levels below baseline. So when you take now the whole Phase II experience, what we've been able to show is that the drug is doing what it's supposed to do in terms of splicing and having dose-dependent lowering of the disease causing huntingtin protein.
It gets into the brain. We actually have higher exposure in the CSF than the plasma. We're seeing now like 24 months sign of dose-dependent clinical benefit on the disease rating scale. It's safe, it's well tolerated, and we also learned about the right population for Phase III. So in neurodegenerative disease drug development, we have ticked every box and now have a Phase III trial that's up and running that's really been derisked. It's really well supported by everything that's been done so far in Phase II. We mentioned Novartis, our partner is running that study. They're going to have about 770 patients, early symptomatic patients, 1 dose level of 10 milligrams versus placebo through to 2 with cUHDRS as the endpoint with a planned interim analysis for efficacy and futility.
And when do you think that interim could happen?
Yes. So on -- so I think Novartis said they expect the full trial to go until the end of '29. And obviously, the intent of the interim was to get a read sooner on a smaller number of patients. They haven't given the specifics yet of that. I'd simply say that they've been quite clear that if they can get this drug to patients faster, they absolutely want to do that.
So that would be by an accelerated path to approval?
Or well, the interim could be the total -- yes, or keep going we get approval of as you know.
Yes, right. And so if you think about the mechanism of this, Huntington's is an area of high unmet need, but for whatever reason, it's also been difficult to drug. Based on where this program has reached how are you thinking about -- what's your confidence that this is something that can make it to the finish line?
Yes. Look, we said all along, the playbook here followed the Evrysdi playbook. The first molecule that came from our splicing platform, where we early on tried to use the blood effects in the case of SMA, increasing SMA protein, then being able to use that to inform the dose, figure out then the clinical study to establish efficacy. Clearly, Huntington's is a bit more complicated just in terms of being a neurodegenerative disease with heterogeneity. But again, I think what we've been able to do thus far in a very thoughtful, systematic approach is tick all the boxes we need to along the way to inform the next step.
So to be able to enter Phase III, knowing that we've got a very -- a high degree of confidence we have the right patient population. We have the endpoint. We have a dose that has the biochem desired biochemical effect as well as signs of the clinical effect. I think in neurodegenerative disease is that's about as great as you can do. And we know the drug is working on something that means something, right? It's not like we're going to some protein deposits that maybe affect that cause. We're going to the underlying cause of the disease. So when you put all that together, it gives us a lot of -- as much confidence as you can have in neurodegenerative disease program. And we've got a partner, Novartis, who's built to do these long studies, long, large studies quickly and in a high-quality way.
And before we let you go, just what is the status in Europe?
Of the...?
Of how EMA will want you -- Novartis to study this? Are they...
Yes, yes, we're -- they've been working on global alignment for the clinical study. And it's going to be a global study with sites.
And then just remind us about the economics between you and Novartis.
Yes. So this is -- again, this was a really good partnership deal for us. We had $1 billion upfront. Novartis is now responsible for all of the development costs going forward. We have a 40% profit share in the U.S., double-digit tiered royalties ex U.S. and about $1.85 billion left in development and sales milestones.
Okay. And then, Pierre, what is the strength of balance sheet just based on what Matt just mentioned to us?
Very strong balance sheet. I mean you saw the evolution of PTC. Some things obviously hold true, patient-centric, global footprint, et cetera. But also we got financial discipline, right? We work very hard for that strong balance sheet. We closed the quarter with $1.89 billion cash. That allows us to develop all our programs, our highly differentiated platform on both the splicing and the ferroptosis inflammation and also gives us capacity to add potential products through business development in a very disciplined manner, number one; and two, what we saw highly creative transactions.
What types of products do you think would be what you would look for?
So rare disease is our DNA, right? We have a global infrastructure with capacity that demonstrated that we know how to sell drugs. We know how to launch globally in all geographies, obviously, U.S. Europe, LatAm and Japan. And again, rare will be core and rare metabolic for us DNA, but we're looking at other adjacent therapeutics as well.
Okay. Cool. With that, we are out of time. Thanks, guys. Appreciate you making the time.
Thanks.
Thank you.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to PTC Therapeutics' First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the call over to Ellen Cavaleri, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us to discuss PTC Therapeutics' First Quarter 2026 Corporate Update and Financial Results.
I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Matthew Klein; our Chief Business Officer, Eric Pauwels; and our Chief Financial Officer, Pierre Gravier.
Today's call will include forward-looking statements based on our current expectations. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially. Please review the slide posted on our Investor Relations website in conjunction with the call, which contains information about our forward-looking statements and our most recent Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and Annual Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC, as well as our other SEC filings for a detailed description of applicable risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual performance and results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements.
Additionally, we will disclose certain non-GAAP information during this call. Information regarding our use of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP are available in today's earnings release.
I will now pass the call over to our CEO, Dr. Matthew Klein.
Thank you all for joining today.
We are off to a terrific start to 2026. We had a record quarter of product revenue, led by the continued strong momentum of the Sephience launch as well as contributions from our mature products. First quarter total revenue was $273 million, including $226 million of product revenue. With this revenue performance, we are raising our 2026 full-year product revenue guidance to $750 million to $850 million, with expected total revenue of $1.08 billion to $1.18 billion.
I'll begin by providing an update on the Sephience global launch. In the first quarter, the launch continued at a strong pace, with all signs indicating sustained growth and breadth of uptake. First quarter Sephience global revenue was $125 million, representing 36% quarter-over-quarter growth with U.S. revenue of $112 million. As of March 31, we had 1,244 commercial patients globally. And in the U.S., we surpassed the 1,500 patient start or mark in the quarter with a consistent cadence of prescription starts averaging 140 per month over the past few months. We see this robust cadence of U.S. starts continuing for the foreseeable future.
In addition to the sustained momentum in the U.S., growth is accelerating internationally through both commercial access and paid early access programs. We had our first Sephience sale in Japan in late March, ahead of schedule and remain on plan to have commercial sales in up to 30 countries by year-end. I'm incredibly proud of the execution of our global teams. Within 9 months, we have gained marketing authorization in the U.S., Europe, Japan, Brazil and several other countries and are well positioned to serve the global addressable market of over 58,000 children and adults with PKU, making Sephience a blockbuster rare disease product.
We continue to see broad adoption across age groups, disease severities and treatment histories, including treatment-naive patients and those who have not responded to existing therapies. We are also seeing rapid penetration into centers of excellence in the U.S., with now over 90% of centers having prescribed Sephience. Persistence remains strong, supported by high refill rates, underscoring the long-term commercial opportunity.
Feedback from patients, their families and health care providers continues to be positive. We have seen social media reports of meaningful reductions in phenylalanine and the ability to liberalize diet and enjoy certain foods for the first time. We also continue to gather, present and publish real-world evidence on success of diet liberalization as well as effects on other aspects of disease, including mood and cognition.
I'm also pleased to report that our manuscript describing Sephience's novel differentiated dual mechanism of action has been accepted for publication. This manuscript nicely details how the dual mechanism of action supports the ability of Sephience to provide greater benefit to those who have a response to BH4, as well as the potential for Sephience to deliver benefit to those individuals with more severe mutations not responsive to BH4, typically associated with classical PKU. Based on Sephience's highly differentiated efficacy and safety profile, the strong start to the launch as well as our ability to maintain momentum in the U.S. and accelerate growth globally, we remain confident in the $2 billion-plus global commercial opportunity for Sephience.
Turning to the votoplam Huntington's disease program. Last week, we reported positive top line results from the 24-month interim analysis of the PIVOT-HD long-term extension study. At 24 months, votoplam demonstrated dose-dependent slowing of disease progression on cUHDRS with an average slowing of 52% relative to a matched natural history cohort at the 10-milligram dose level in participants with Stage 2 disease. In addition, the safety profile continues to be favorable across doses and disease stages. These data support that the significant dose-dependent HTT lowering observed in the 12-month PIVOT-HD study are manifesting in dose-dependent clinical benefit over long-term treatment.
In addition, the interim study results give us increased confidence for the success of the now enrolling global Phase III INVEST-HD study funded and led by our partner, Novartis. INVEST-HD has a target enrollment of approximately 770 individuals with early symptomatic disease who will be randomized 3 to 2 to receive votoplam 10 milligrams or placebo. The study also includes an interim analysis. The PTC and Novartis teams are still reviewing the data from the Phase II long-term extension interim readout and will discuss potential plans to meet with regulatory authorities.
For vatiquinone, we had a Type C meeting with FDA in April to discuss the design of a new trial to provide additional data to support NDA resubmission. Based both on written comments and meeting discussion, we are moving forward with an open-label study with a matched natural history control group from the robust FACOMS disease registry. The study will have a target enrollment of approximately 120 individuals with Friedreich's ataxia from age 7 to 21. The primary endpoint will be a change in mFARS from baseline to 24 months. We look forward to initiating this study within the next few months and believe the design of the study, along with our learnings from previous studies, significantly increases the probability of success.
Turning to our earlier-stage pipeline. In the second quarter, we expect to initiate the Phase I study of PTC612, our oral NLRP3 inhibitor. While the majority of the study will be conducted in healthy volunteers, we will look to include a dosing cohort of individuals with elevated inflammatory biomarkers to enable an early assessment of PK/PD. As we have discussed, PTC612 benchmarks favorably to other NLRP3 inhibitors in terms of potency. We expect to develop PTC612 for inflammatory lung disorders, where there is overlap between the NLRP3 inflammasome and disease pathology.
We also continue to make good progress on our other pipeline programs, including our wholly owned MSH3 oral splicing program for HD and DM1. The MSH3 program for HD could complement the HTT reduction approach of the votoplam program as well as be particularly suited to target the juvenile HD population. We are also making good progress on several programs from our Inflammation and Ferroptosis platform, including our Phase II-ready PTC844 DHODH program, ferroptosis Parkinson's disease program and NRF2 activator program.
Overall, we're off to a great start in 2026. We look forward to the sustained momentum of the Sephience global launch over the course of 2026 and continued favorable developments in our R&D portfolio. Our strong cash position enables us to continue to support all current programs, as well as to look for accretive business development opportunities that can leverage the strength of our global rare disease commercial engine to accelerate short- and intermediate-term growth.
I will now turn the call over to Eric to provide a commercial update, including more details on the Sephience launch. Eric?
Thanks, Matt.
To start, we are very proud of our commercial team's performance as they continue to execute on the launch of Sephience with excellence. Our outstanding performance in the first quarter reached our highest level of product revenue in the history of the company and has laid the foundation for continued success in 2026. The global launch of Sephience continues to accelerate, driven by continued strong growth in the U.S. and growing contributions internationally.
First quarter Sephience revenue was $125 million, including $112 million in the U.S. and $13 million internationally, representing 36% growth from the fourth quarter of 2025. We continue to see growth with new prescriptions in all PKU patient segments, irrespective of age and severity and are seeing the rapid adoption of Sephience as we expand our global footprint with our experienced teams.
Since the initial launches in the U.S. and Germany last summer and as of March 31, 2026, our commercial operations have generated over 2,200 prescriptions worldwide. In the first quarter, we continue to see momentum in the U.S. in terms of new patient starts and low discontinuation rates. As Matt mentioned, uptake in the U.S. continues to be broad with over 90% of U.S. PKU centers of excellence prescribing Sephience. We are also seeing broad adoption across the full spectrum of disease severities, including classical patients.
We continue to see new patients with various treatment histories, including treatment-naive adults, past treatment failures and patient switches. Refill rates remain strong and discontinuation rates remain low in the low double digits, reinforcing our confidence in the sustained launch momentum.
U.S. payer dynamics for Sephience remain favorable. Most commercial and government provider policies are in place, covering over 2/3 of the U.S. population with limited restrictions and flexible criteria for reauthorization. The AMPLIFY head-to-head data demonstrating superior clinical benefits of Sephience versus BH4 continues to strengthen the value proposition with payers, further supporting broad access in the U.S. and ongoing pricing and reimbursement discussions in Europe.
Our Sephience launch momentum continues to build globally with the launch in Japan, which has progressed ahead of plan. We had our first commercial patients and revenue recorded in Q1, which was earlier than expected, and we are very pleased with the positive feedback from Japanese health care providers and patients in the early stages of the launch. We also secured Sephience regulatory approval in Brazil, where our local team is fully engaged in creating awareness for access via named patient programs while we finalize pricing in the second half of the year.
In Germany, we're seeing good progress, with centers of excellence accelerating new patient starts, including adults, while we finalize pricing and reimbursement this summer. In other European markets, health technology assessment dossiers are being actively reviewed with paid early access programs already in place, while pricing and negotiations advance in France, Italy, Spain and other key European markets. While the U.S. remains a key near-term growth driver, we expect international revenue to continue to ramp with commercial patients in up to 30 countries by year-end.
Sephience represents a significant global commercial opportunity long term. Its differentiated efficacy and safety profile and dual mechanism of action support broad adoption and positions Sephience as a potential standard of care, which gives us confidence to achieve multi-billion peak revenue. Going forward, as the Sephience business grows and diversifies globally, the launch metrics we provide will include only global revenue and the number of active patients on Sephience treatment worldwide. We believe these metrics will best illustrate the long-term trajectory of Sephience growth.
Now turning to our DMD franchise. We delivered solid first growth performance despite significant headwinds. Translarna revenue was driven by a large government purchase order in Brazil, and we continue to support nonsense mutation DMD patients on therapy across Europe. In the U.S., Emflaza generated $22 million in quarterly revenue despite multi-generic erosion, supported by strong brand loyalty and high-touch patient services. Our experienced global commercial team have successfully executed multiple rare disease product launches for over a decade.
Looking ahead, we are confident in our ability to drive strong performance and continued growth in building Sephience into a blockbuster brand for PTC.
With that, I will now turn the call over to Pierre for a financial update. Pierre?
Thank you, Eric.
I will now share the financial highlights of our first quarter of 2026. Beginning with top line results, total product and royalty revenue for the first quarter was $273 million and total net product revenue across the commercial portfolio was $226 million compared to $153 million for the first quarter of 2025, representing 47% growth. First quarter 2026 product revenue includes Sephience net product revenue of $125 million and DMD franchise revenue of $81 million.
Translarna net product revenue was $59 million, including a large one-time government purchase order. And Emflaza net product revenue was $22 million. For Evrysdi, Roche achieved first quarter global revenue of approximately USD 585 million, resulting in royalty revenue of $47 million. As a reminder, we continue to report Evrysdi royalty revenue in our financial statements. However, there are no cash proceeds to PTC.
For the first quarter of 2026, non-GAAP R&D expense was $90 million, excluding $11 million in non-cash, stock-based compensation expense compared to $100 million for the first quarter of 2025, excluding $9 million in non-cash, stock-based compensation expense. Non-GAAP SG&A expense was $74 million for the first quarter of 2026, excluding $12 million in non-cash, stock-based compensation expense compared to $72 million for the first quarter of 2025, excluding $9 million in non-cash, stock-based compensation expense.
Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities totaled $1.89 billion as of March 31, 2026, compared to $1.95 billion as of December 31, 2025. Our strong financial position supports continued development of our commercial and R&D portfolios and preserves flexibility for strategic and disciplined business development to further enhance long-term growth.
And I will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question coming from the line of Kristen Kluska with Cantor Fitzgerald.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the record quarter for the company. Now that you have a couple of quarters under your belt for Sephience, I was hoping you can give us a little bit more color and clarity about patterns that are emerging in the real world around making sure that patients and physicians are working conservatively in measuring Phe and slowly increasing the protein uptake and how that's been resonating in terms of compliance, long-term utilization and also how these patients that are staying on therapy, is it entirely driven by diet liberalization? Or are there in other instances, other factors that are playing a key role?
Kristen, thanks for the questions. Look, I think we're incredibly excited about the continued launch momentum we're seeing. We think we're in a stage now of consistent growth in the U.S. of acceleration ex-U.S., which is what's going to make this such a valuable product for us. And as a global launch, this is exactly what we've been working for and exactly as we expected. In terms of dynamics now a couple of quarters in, in general, I think, again, we're seeing this consistent theme of breadth, breadth of uptake across all patient segments, including those naive patients who many thought were lost to follow-up. It was really just a matter of being able to offer them a safe and potentially effective therapy, full age range, babies up to, as we talked about octogenarians and broad uptake across centers of excellence in the U.S. as well as outside the U.S.
In terms of folks staying on drug, it's a combination of factors. Of course, the ability for individuals on the drug to liberalize their diet and try foods for the first time, the things we're seeing all over social media are so incredibly impactful and so motivating not only for those individuals to stay on drug, but it's also continuing to increase the enthusiasm and desire of others to get on drug. I think that's really been an effective way in this launch that the demand keeps growing in the patient communities, which is great to see. We have, of course, worked very hard with the centers where, as you know, there's dietitians on staff. They're an important part of PKU management even when an individual is not on therapy. And so this idea of making sure that when someone gets on the drug that there's first evidence of Phe lowering and getting into that range where you can liberalize diet and then proceeding slowly so that we're set up for success.
I'll also add, we're hearing a lot about other benefits that have been really important for patients. And what's really interesting about this is for a lot of the prescribers and the patients, it's not necessarily about a number. It's about being able to liberalize diet. And others are saying, I just feel better. I have improved anxiety, improved cognition, less brain fog. And that's really also some of the impactful things that clients has been able to do.
And as Eric mentioned in his script and I did as well, these are things that we're codifying now in real-world evidence papers as well as presentations. We have a number of them coming up at the SSIEM in September, talking about all these different ways in which benefit is provided to patients and really supporting, again, not only persistent and in some cases, growing demand, but also adherence, which remains very high.
And our next question coming from the line of Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
I have a couple. So when you talk about the cadence of around 140 new start forms, you've been careful to make sure you say this is consistent. So, do you expect this trend to continue? Or do you think this could accelerate, especially in the U.S. over the course of the coming year? And then can you also comment on discontinuation? So, you've talked about that a little bit, but for patients who are discontinuing, what's the main reason?
Tazeen, thanks for the questions. So in terms of the start forms, when we talk about the consistency of about 140 per month, that's going back to the later parts of 2025. As expected coming into the new year around the holidays, there was a bit of a decrease. It's completely expected with seasonal effects and all the things that everyone knows about. We had one of the strongest months in March actually. We're seeing that continued momentum into April.
So, we think that the 140 probably represents a reasonable run rate for the foreseeable future, knowing that there'll probably be ups and downs and things, and just the typical dynamics one sees in a launch, essentially being early on. But we believe that's a very solid number, and we're excited about being able to have those starts added to already a very substantial base of patients, which are maintained on the drug, which, of course, is a key to driving the revenue opportunity over time.
I'll make a brief comment about discontinuations and then turn it over to Eric for a bit more color on this. As he mentioned on the call, we're in low double digits at this point in the launch. We're starting to approach steady state. I think what's really encouraging is that we know that the earliest individuals put on Sephience were tended to be those not on a therapy, the more challenging patients, those therapy-naive adults. And so to be able to have this kind of adherence rate in the context of the most challenging patients coming on first is obviously incredibly encouraging for the strength and growth of the launch over time.
Eric, do you want to provide a little more color on what we're seeing?
Yes. Thanks for the question. In fact, I think we're very pleased because in the very first phase of the launch, we would call that an accelerated phase. The vast majority of these patients were the ones who actually in the real world were failed or had poorly controlled based on previous treatments. What we're seeing right now is that even that hard-to-treat group has benefited really well, and we have low double-digit discontinuations. And in fact, the amount of discontinuations is even lower for clinical reasons in terms of efficacy or safety. Some of the reasons are obviously because maybe patients don't respond or safety reasons, but it's very low.
The others are just patient choice. And that could be a variety of different reasons. But overall, when you think about the number of patients that have come in, we're building this very large base of patients. And as Matt said, it's an accelerated but a robust cadence. And as we build that, part of what we're going to do is sustain the momentum and continue to grow and maintain high refill rates and work very diligently on discontinuations and making sure they're very low.
And our next question coming from the line of Ben Burnett with Wells Fargo.
I wanted to ask about kind of what you're seeing in terms of average weight or average price. And as you kind of add Japan and some of these ex-U.S. territories to the mix, would you foresee any changes to kind of the long-term sort of average price estimate?
Ben, look, we said at the beginning, we expected average weight to be around 45 kilos and our studies had shown that we'd be somewhere in the 45 to 50 range. And I think we're very much in that ballpark. And as you alluded to, the international dynamics play into that as well, right? We have some adults who came on. We said that the average age now is around 17 or so globally, but different rates of patients in different regions in different areas. We're seeing very young patients be put on first, especially in some of the early access programs where there's a preference to get infants on drug because there's a keen concern for the neuroprotective effects or the neurodevelopment protective effects that we see with the drug.
And in an early access scheme, those are the kinds of things that could get someone on paid drug ahead of formal pricing and reimbursement. So, I'd say overall, we're still in the ballpark we thought we'd be in. We anticipate that for a while. But obviously, we'll continue to watch that dynamic as the launch plays out.
Our next question coming from the line of Eliana Merle with Barclays.
Just a follow-up question on how to think about the ex-U.S. opportunity and the near and long term for Sephience? I guess, specifically, how we should think about the pricing for Sephience
and then how we should think about the cadence of ex-U.S. sales over the course of the year?
Yes. Thanks, Ellie. And as we talked about, we've always been very intent on maintaining a rigid pricing corridor that went into our launch strategy. I'll let Eric detail that and talk a little bit about how we're seeing price globally and the cadence of contribution ex-U.S.
Yes. I think very importantly, the international business right now will be a very important future contributor to the revenues. However, the U.S. will still be the main driver at this point for this year. We know that each country that comes on incrementally up to 30 countries that we anticipate this year will be incrementally very important, but the U.S. is still our main driver this year. Japan, we got off to an early start. We're very pleased. And we're seeing a lot of the launch dynamics there. And we've been able to maintain pricing and reimbursement.
We were able in Japan to lock that down in Q1 and finalize pricing, and it will be locked down for the next 10 years during orphan exclusivity. Currently, we have pricing in HTA assessments in dossiers in Europe and where the HTAs are being assessed and pricing and reimbursement discussions would be finalized towards the second half of this year and early parts of next year. I think it's safe to say that the U.S. will be, again, the near-term driver in terms of revenue and will continue to play a very important role. However, over time, each one of these countries will be adding incrementally revenue in patients, and that will be important for the long term.
And our next question coming from the line of Brian Cheng with JPMorgan Chase.
Can you hear me?
Yes.
Congrats on the quarter. Matt, you sounded very confident in the 140 patient start forms per month run rate continuing and you see growth accelerating in your prepared remarks. You mentioned over 90% of the centers have now prescribed Sephience. So, what is holding back the remaining 10% of the centers? Just curious if you can talk a little bit about the phenotype of the center of excellence that's holding out. Is it just a matter of reaching out to those doctors and increase the touch points? Or is there something else that we should also consider?
Thanks, Brian. I'll start by saying that we are very bullish on the opportunity in the U.S. and globally, right? This is a true global launch, and we're at a point to be able to add, we believe, 140 starts per month on top of already a very strong base is why we believe we're going to reach the very promising revenue potential we think is out there for us. So, we're incredibly excited about that and everything we're seeing continues to support our confidence there.
I'll let Eric talk about the center dynamics, but I'll also say that we're now sitting here after the second full quarter of a rare disease launch. The fact that we have prescriptions from over 90% of the centers for us is the headline. That's incredible progress, thanks to all the work our team did in market development and establishing relationships with the centers. And as you can imagine, these tend to be the larger centers where we are. But I'll let Eric talk about the dynamic. But I just want to emphasize that we're incredibly proud to have that degree of penetration at this early part of the launch.
Eric?
Yes. This is a very strong penetration when you think about -- and the centers right now that are giving are obviously some of the ones that are in the large metropolitan areas. These are what I would call the Tier 1s who have already written many prescriptions and continue the breadth and depth of the prescriptions, particularly the new starts. But keep in mind, we're also -- these centers also have many patients on therapy. So, we're working not only to get new starts, but maintain many of these patients and get those refill rates high, make sure discontinuations are low.
When we look at just the remaining 10% or so, which are just a small handful, these are typically what we see with any centers. They're late adopters. They're probably smaller centers. We call on all of them, by the way. And in many cases, they're just not staffed adequately and they're not really proactive as much with patients. So when we go and we look at where the bulk of our prescriptions are coming from, 90% in those big metropolitan centers. They're working very hard right now. They're very strong and robust cadence from those centers.
Our next question coming from the line of Judah Frommer with Morgan Stanley.
Congrats on the progress here. Two quick ones for us. I guess, first, just on the guidance update. Can you separate out that one-time Translarna order from the rest of the guidance raise? And then just on vatiquinone, any indication within that meeting or written feedback as to how prior data would be treated, specifically subcomponents of the mFARS? Or should we think about this as kind of starting from scratch in a late-stage trial?
Judah, so on your first question, just looking at overall guidance, we came into the year and we said, look, there's a couple of things we know for sure. We are incredibly confident in the growth trajectory and strength of the Sephience launch, and we believe the vast majority of product revenue will come from Sephience. We also know that there's uncertainty in the mature products, specifically the DMD franchise. We have, in Translarna, business in Europe, which we're continuing to maintain without a license. So, that longevity is hard to predict. And we know that we're facing headwinds in some of the countries like Brazil, like Russia, where we get large purchase orders.
On the Emflaza side, we're already seeing in Q1, we are down from Q4 last year. There's 10 generics in the market. And while there's been no major price drops, we do expect erosion to continue. So, we basically increased guidance based on the overall performance of the quarter. And as we go forward in the year and understand better the trajectory of the science and understand what we get from other government orders for Translarna as well as the Emflaza erosion, we'll then be in a situation to raise or narrow guidance whatever is appropriate based on the dynamics that we're seeing.
On the Friedreich's ataxia side, look, I think we were excited to have gotten the suggestion from FDA itself that the additional data to support NDA resubmission could come from a natural history controlled study. Obviously, the safety profile of vatiquinone is very favorable and very well established. There's no need to have a placebo-controlled study to identify new safety signals. And the data from MOVE-FA do provide a signal of efficacy. So, this is really -- we view this as a way to get additional data that will support the already established data set of safety as well as signs of benefit, particularly in younger patients.
Now, I'll say that the endpoint selection here is really a function of duration of the study. The natural history of FA in young individuals has been very well characterized now in a number of publications. And it's clear that over the shorter period of time, about 12, up to maybe 18 months that the upright stability subscale is likely the most sensitive component of the mFARS rating scale to capture progression and therefore, treatment benefit.
We're now doing a 24-month study, and the literature clearly shows that as you get to 18 months out to 24 months, you start seeing other components of the mFARS scale capture progression and therefore, capable of capturing treatment effect. We actually saw this in MOVE-FA as well. Once we got to 18 months out to 24, we started seeing upper limb, lower limb start to contribute. So, this is really a question of choosing an endpoint that's most appropriate, yes, to our population, but also importantly, to the duration of the study of 24 months.
And our next question coming from the line of Geoff Meacham with Citigroup.
This is Jarwei on for Jeff. Maybe just thinking about the OUS opportunity. Maybe a 2-parter. First, if you can help quantify or help paint the picture for how the early Japan launch pattern has looked? Have you guys seen a similar uptick pattern from the early days of the U.S. initial launch?
And then also, I guess, as a follow-up to that, the second part. The U.S. launch has seen great
success with using social media as a leverage to gain awareness among patients. And I guess, can we expect similar success in other geographies just given maybe there are different patient to physician dynamics versus stateside?
And then third question, if I may, just real quick. Given vatiquinone's open-label study, the plans will be open label, I guess, how sensitive is mFARS to potential protocol deviations or data?
Jarwei, thanks for the questions. Let me take the third one first, the second one second, then I'll turn it over to Eric to handle the second and the first. Okay. Third one, look, I think the -- I'll say in general, FDA has very well thought out guidance if you're going to use a natural history comparator group as a control arm. And I think we know that the agency has used the FACOMS, the FA registry before to support regulatory decision-making in public forum. They held that out as a model of a patient registry where you can get quality data because that very well characterizes and captures disease progression.
Obviously, we had to set up the treatment portion of the study with vatiquinone to match a lot of the dynamics in the natural history registry, including timing of assessments and such. Obviously, again, in selecting natural history cohort from the registry, we're going to be sure to make sure that they do have the appropriate endpoint information at the key time points, clearly baseline, clearly 24 months and 12 months in the middle. So, these are all things that we are thinking of ahead of time.
We've included in the protocol, the statistical analysis plan to make sure that this we can get as robust a comparison as possible. And again, I think we're afforded -- we have the luxury that the FA community has developed such a robust and rigorously collected and protocolized natural history registry for the key endpoints that are relevant for clinical trials.
Your second question was about social media being so important in the U.S. and what's going on outside the U.S. Look, I think it's different use in different places. I think the important thing is that globally, there's well-aggregated communities that communicate with each other and there's global communities as well. So there's the flow of information not only in the U.S., what happens in the U.S., it goes outside the U.S. And social media is global. And then we also know that there's communities in other countries as well where there's sharing of information, whether that's on social media or other form.
Let me turn it over to Eric to talk a little bit about the Japan dynamics and if he wants to add anything to the question about social media.
Our Japanese launch is really off to a really great start, again, ahead of schedule. And we believe that this will be an important and significant opportunity for us. Keep in mind that we actually did get approval in December, and we were promoting and profiling a lot of the centers there. But in Q1, we actually did finalize the pricing and reimbursement, which, as I mentioned, has been locked in now with no price decreases for the next 10 years due to orphan exclusivity and no referencing. So, that's incredibly important for us in terms of that sustained business.
What we've seen in the early stages of the launch in Japan, and keep in mind, this is just early stages, is that there is some similarities to the U.S. There are patients who are seeking treatment that have failed or uncontrolled, but we are also pleasantly surprised that there are adults and naive patients that have come in. So, so far, we've seen a lot of the similar, what I would call, accelerated dynamics that we saw in the U.S., in Japan as well.
And our next question coming from the line of Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets.
This is Kevin on for Brian. Maybe just on Sephience and payer dynamics there. I know you mentioned sort of increasing coverage there across commercial and government. Can you talk maybe a little bit about any -- the types of step edits that you're seeing or maybe you had anticipated at this point? And then just what percentage of prescriptions, if you can comment, are sort of currently facing prior authorization delays and maybe how you see that metric evolving from here?
Thanks, Kevin, for the questions. Eric, do you want to take those payer dynamics and then any challenges in authorization?
Yes. Absolutely. I mean, payer dynamics have been as expected. Prior authorizations are typically in place based on the label. And so most, if not all payers are requiring, obviously, PKU assessment and understanding requirements that are within the label. These are very simple and easy to get through. And right now, we've seen the vast majority of commercial payers as well as government payers have already written their policies. And it's really been very favorable with very few limitations, including step edits, very few step edits. And of course, the vast majority of patients have already some kind of documented history, either they've been on Kuvan or Palynziq, or they have actually failed on any of those therapies.
So, prior exposure is incredibly important for moving them through. Even it does require step edits, it's something that we can measure very quickly and sometimes days and in just a few weeks and provide that information to insurers. So right now, everything is going according to plan, and we see very few limitations. And in fact, our time from PSF to dispense has improved continuously because of those policies now being in place.
In terms of answering your question about the split, we've historically said it's a little over 2/3, 1/3. It's holding very well. In fact, in the last quarter, we had a slight tick up towards more commercial. We anticipate around 65% to 35%, being 65% commercial payers right now that are being covered.
And our next question coming from the line of Yifan Xu with Jefferies.
This is Yifan for Faisal. Congratulations on the quarter. Can you maybe provide some additional color on the PKU patient split? And for the current quarter, like what percentage of revenue like contribution from mild to moderate patients and what percentage for from classic PKU patients? And for your $2 billion peak sales guidance, how is that split?
So Yifan, in terms of the breakdown, we don't collect specifically whether you're classical, moderate or mild. What we have seen from the beginning and are continuing to see is up to 1/3 of the patients are treatment naive, and those tend to be the more classical patients who were never tried on other therapies that were not thought to provide benefit to classical patients. And then again, the remainder are between those who have tried and failed existing therapies or those who are switching from existing therapies. But I think we're seeing more tried and failed as we've heard from centers that at first, there's a priority to get those who are not currently on a therapy on to a therapy.
I think the important part of this is the feedback we are receiving and what we're seeing, which is that the more severe patients, as we expected, they're benefiting from Sephience. We have a number of these patients, which are showing significant reductions in Phe, diet liberalization. And so what we're seeing is consistency of effect across moderate, classical, mild, which is really, really encouraging.
And obviously, we're doing a lot of work with the mechanism of action paper to support why that's the case, the fact that there is this independent chaperone effect that provides benefit in the more severe mutations and obviously, as well getting the physicians to put together these real-world evidence studies that clearly document how these more severe patients and those therapy-naive patients, those that are thought to have lost follow-up are coming in and having important responses, including Phe reduction, including the ability to liberalize diet and then other benefits like we talked about in terms of cognition and anxiety and other things.
Eric, do you want to talk a little bit how we're thinking about the -- we said $2 billion plus, multi-billion. Those are the words we're using. So, I wouldn't limit it just to $2 billion.
But let Eric, do you want to talk a bit about how we think the splits can and contributions can play out?
I think the contributions are going to be consistent, with the U.S. being, again, the main driver longer term. So, we understand that the U.S. will play a very, very important role. However, we've always said that there are 58,000 addressable patients worldwide. That means that out of the 17,000 to 20,000 in the U.S., there's 2/3 of them that are available in many other markets. We'll continue to work very hard to ensure that there's a narrow pricing corridor, that access and reimbursement is available to as many of these countries. And as we bring these 30 countries -- up to 30 countries along, we're going to continue to add patients internationally as well as grow the business in the U.S.
One of the most important things is getting new patients in, but also building the base and maintaining that base. That's what we do in rare disease. And it's important that we continue to not only add new patients and add new countries, but also maintain patients with all the services, education and program that we can and at the same time, minimize any kind of discontinuation and maximize adherence and compliance. So overall, that gives us the confidence that we can actually build this blockbuster brand in multiple countries, and it will be truly a global launch.
And our next question coming from the line of Jacob Ormes with TD Cowen.
This is Jacob on for Joseph Thome at TD Cowen. I just wanted to ask, so regarding Sephience and time it takes for patients to get on drug, we're wondering if you had any insights on how that might differ based on geography?
Jacob, thanks for the question. I don't think you mean geography being country-wide within the U.S. or outside the U.S. I'll just say, in general, in the U.S., we're continuing, as Eric said, to get folks on fairly quickly. Some take longer, some take shorter, but on average, we're still seeing very, very rapid throughput.
Eric, do you want to talk a little bit about the global dynamics and in particular, why we say going forward, we're going to really focus on global patients given the complexities of the global dynamic?
Yes. And it's a good question given the fact that the complexity is now with multiple countries and everyone has their own unique systems for access. What we see in the U.S. is dispenses that can be just in a matter of a couple of weeks. And in some cases, just a few days depending on the insurance, the policy and the requirements. In Germany and Japan, likewise, it's just a few days because the products are either reimbursed and/or listed and available in the pharmacies.
As we get to the complexities of named patient programs in Southern Europe or Latin America or Middle East and others, the times can be days, weeks or it can be months. And each country is unique and different. But the most important metric is the prescription because our teams are really behind working with health care providers and centers and patients to ensure those prescriptions turn into commercial therapy and move those as quickly as possible. So it's very hard to tell you that there's an average out there, but certainly, named patient programs can take sometimes weeks or months in timing.
But in other cases, once pricing and reimbursement is finalized, you'll see a much more accelerated and rapid adoption. So, that's why we believe going back to those metrics of providing global revenue as well as the number of active patients will be an important metric to measuring our ability to get to that multibillion-dollar status.
And our next question coming from the line of Luke Herrmann with Baird.
I had 2. First on Sephience. A follow-up on U.S. reimbursement. Is there any sort of bolus of patients who haven't been able to get reimbursed yet that you think can be in the future? And then secondly, on vatiquinone, on the open-label study, can you just walk us through how you're treating Skyclarys use here? And do patients need to wash out for how long? Any details there would be helpful.
Luke, so let me take the second question first, and then I'll let Eric talk a little bit about the favorable payer dynamics that we're continuing to see. So on vatiquinone, one of the key things in this study was to make sure that if you're going to use a natural history comparator group that matches or that the treated patients would match the natural history, if you will. It has to match both ways. And given that there's not been an extensive experience with individuals on Skyclarys for a prolonged period of time, we can't allow concomitant use of Skyclarys as we've done in the open-label extension of MOVE-FA, for example.
So, there are going to be some provisions in the protocol for those who've been on it for a short amount of time and have washed out of it, but we can't allow concomitant use or long-term priority use of Skyclarys because we have to make sure that the natural history data we're using can accurately capture any other concomitant therapies. And again, Skyclarys is relatively new. So the natural history data don't have that well captured. And again, this is just an example. It's a really good question and a really good example of all of the thought, planning and alignment with FDA that's needed if we're going to go ahead and prospectively identify a matched natural history cohort and use that to support the resubmission.
Eric, do you want to talk a little bit about on the payer dynamics and questions about any areas we're seeing challenges?
Yes. In fact, there have been very few limitations. Things are going as planned with U.S. payers. In fact, I think what we're seeing right now is very few of these patients right now are being denied. If they are, they're not hard denials. It's to work through medical necessity. We do not have a bolus, or a very large number of patients that are either on patient assistance programs or bridge. And if we do, we work very carefully to ensure that we bridge them to commercial therapy in matters of days or weeks. So, there isn't a very significant number at all. There's a smaller number. And we've been very pleased so far that the time to dispense is becoming more and more efficient, and we're doing that.
We're seeing scripts being filled in a matter of a couple of weeks or less. And reauthorizations have not been onerous at all. They've been basically reauthorizations for 6 to 12 months. And we see that medical assessment of the physician and the patient along with Phe and -- Phe lowering and diet liberalization are enough for that patient to continue to get therapy. So overall, I would say the simple answer is the vast majority of these patients are actually on treatment.
Our next question coming from the line of Joseph Schwartz with Leerink Partners.
This is Jenny on for Joe. Maybe just one on the longer-term PKU competitive setup with oral genotypes independent SLC approaches now in late-stage trials, how are you thinking about the parts of the PKU market where Sephience is most defensible long term? Is the differentiation around Phe lowering, diet liberalization or physician comfort with this BH4 pathway or something else?
And relatedly, are there any patient segments where you think future oral competition could expand the treated pool rather than directly compete with Sephience?
Yes. Thanks, Jenny. While we acknowledge there's other therapies in late-stage development for adults, the Phase III study being done in adults, look, we don't -- we're not worried about a significant threat here. We have a significant first-mover advantage. We're very well penetrated into the market. And the general view in the marketplace, i.e., amongst the prescribers is they would be looking for something to add on to Sephience and not replace Sephience. And of course, in PKU, this is already a community where they're used to cocktail approaches. Their whole life is about supplements and mixing and matching different things.
So the idea of being able to add something on to Sephience to potentially even get even better benefit, whether that could be complete diet liberalization, Phe lowering -- additional Phe lowering in more severe cases. So, again, I think the view here is very much as it being complementary. Of course, if there are segments of patients, the small numbers who have tried Sephience and have not had the success with it in terms of efficacy.
We know it doesn't work for every patient. Clearly, we see those folks getting tried on the other kidney-directed drugs. But I think this is why when we talk about what we've been able to do in the launch, the penetration we have, this is becoming first-line therapy and standard of care. And anything that comes later would obviously be added on top of it or would be for those who aren't being served by Sephience.
And our next question coming from the line of Paul Choi with Goldman Sachs.
I wanted to also follow up on vatiquinone. And Matt, I was wondering if you could comment on since the MOVE-FA study and the commercial availability of Skyclarys, any changes in understanding of what the natural history in FA looks like versus when the other studies were run previously?
And then secondly, just on the cash balance, Matt, I guess, as you think about sort of the catalyst and data cards that have yet to -- won't turn over for a bit in terms of your late-stage pipeline, I guess, sort of what's the rate-limiting factor for additional business development here?
Thanks, Paul, for the questions. First, on vatiquinone, I think what's so interesting about FA natural history and the natural history registry, it's been incredibly well characterized and it's incredibly consistent. So if you look over time at the number of publications that have been done using the FACOMS registry, the rate of progression has been fairly consistent, 2 to 2.5 points a year on the mFARS. The components that contribute to that are -- as we talked earlier, are a function of age and a function of time. So even with approved therapy, that natural history has remained pretty consistent. And again, I think in the discussions with FDA regarding the use of FACOMS as a natural history comparator, it's that consistency over time. It's that robust data. It's the large number of patients and the completeness of that registry that have, I think, given them comfort that we can further substantiate efficacy with vatiquinone using this type of study design.
In terms of the cash balance, look, we've talked a lot about this. We're incredibly excited for having gotten the company into this position where we've been able to launch Sephience, which is clearly a foundational product for our growth. The launch is going very much as we hoped and anticipated, and we still expect very strong growth and for this to be a multibillion-dollar product. As you alluded to with FA now with what we view as a trial with a high probability of success coming later in the decade and of course, the PIVOT-HD data really derisking the Phase III trial that Novartis is now -- has up and running for Huntington's disease that does have an interim analysis. These are 2 really attractive potential commercial revenue contributors later in the decade.
There is an opportunity, and we have capital. And I think really what it comes down to is finding the right fit for us, something that we could bring in to set and leverage our existing commercial infrastructure and still remain in a strong financial position. So, I'd say the limiting factor is really identifying something that fits what we want to do in terms of the right size and something that we think we can set in. We're incredibly excited about our R&D portfolio.
As we outlined in the research -- in the R&D Day, we have a lot of exciting things coming. We're finally getting -- I think we're leveraging all the learnings we've made in splicing, and that's a truly highly differentiated mRNA therapy platform that we're now just really learning to apply and get therapies forward. So again, I think as we look at things now, I think the company is in an incredibly strong position. We have a number of opportunities, and we have the luxury to be able to find the right thing to set in to ensure that we're continuing to grow our top line in the short, intermediate and long term.
And I'm showing no further questions in the queue at this time. I will now turn the call back over to the CEO, Dr. Matthew Klein, for any closing remarks.
Thank you all for joining the call this afternoon.
Look, as I just stated in response to Paul, we're incredibly excited where the company is now. We work very hard to build PTC, to be in this position with a very strong launch for Sephience, a global opportunity that we're well positioned to take advantage of. And I'm incredibly proud of the team's performance, and we're positioned now to continue to grow in the U.S., accelerate growth outside of the U.S. and realize that multi-billion-dollar opportunity as well as all the advances in the R&D platform and the cash position, as Paul alluded to, which gives us the ability to continue to drive value in both the short and intermediate term.
So, thank you all again for joining the call.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Special Call - PTC Therapeutics, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to PTC Therapeutics PIVOT-HD Long-term Extension Study Top Line Results Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Dr. Matthew Klein, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.
Thank you all for joining the call today. We are excited to share the positive and promising top line results from the 24-month interim analysis of the PIVOT-HD long-term extension study. The findings of safety and treatment effect I'll share today give us confidence that votoplam has the potential to provide long-term meaningful effect in slowing the progression of Huntington's disease.
Before I begin, I refer you to our SEC filings for a full description of risks and uncertainties. As a reminder, the Phase II PIVOT-HD trial was a 12-month placebo-controlled study of votoplam at 2 different dose levels in individuals with Stage II and III disease. Following the 12-month placebo-controlled phase, all participants were eligible to enroll in a long-term extension study in which those initially randomized to receive placebo would be rerandomized to receive either high or low dose of votoplam.
Importantly, all study participants and investigators remain blinded to treatment assignments. As we shared last year, PIVOT-HD achieved the primary endpoint of blood HTT protein reduction at week 12 with evidence of durable dose-dependent lowering of HTT protein at 12 months. At that 12-month readout, there was early evidence of dose-dependent benefit on the cUHDRS rating scale for the Stage II participants, along with evidence of safety and tolerability without any treatment-related NfL spikes.
Today, we will share results from the 24-month interim analysis of the long-term extension study. The long-term extension study was designed to assess safety, clinical and biomarker effects of votoplam over time. This interim analysis assessed the long-term effects of votoplam treatment on disease progression as assessed by the cUHDRS and its subscales as well as long-term safety and biomarker effects following 24 months of votoplam treatment.
Given there was no placebo group after month 12, the long-term extension protocol specified that a well-matched natural history cohort from the ENROLL-HD disease registry would be used to contextualize votoplam treatment effect at month 24. This table summarizes the baseline characteristics of the Stage II and Stage III study participants included in the 24-month analysis.
I want to point out that these are the participants who were initially randomized to receive votoplam at 5 or 10 milligrams at the start of the placebo-controlled phase of PIVOT-HD for whom we now have data following 24 months of votoplam treatment. The key points to highlight on this table are that as expected, the Stage III participants tended to be older, with evidence of decline on the total functional capacity or TFC scale, which is a hallmark of Stage III disease in Huntington's disease.
As I mentioned, in order to contextualize the votoplam treatment effect following 24 months of treatment, a natural history cohort from the ENROLL-HD Registry was developed. ENROLL-HD is the largest HD disease registry, with over 30,000 patient records and includes data for all the key inclusion criteria of PIVOT-HD.
Here are the key matching variables used to identify the natural history cohort, the key factors that influence disease progression. This slide summarizes the key baseline characteristics of the votoplam-treated subjects and the natural history cohort. As you can see, the natural history cohort is well matched with regards to the key variables that may influence disease progression with no relevant differences across the group.
Now here are the results. First, for the Stage II participants, I am pleased to report that at 24 months, votoplam demonstrated dose-dependent slowing of disease progression relative to natural history on the cUHDRS scale, with a mean of 52% slowing versus natural history at the 10-milligram dose and 28% at the 5-milligram dose level.
Notably, from months 12 to 24, we see the curves continue to diverge from natural history, supporting an increased treatment effect over time. While the differences did not reach statistical significance, there is a trend with a p-value of less than 0.10 for the 10-milligram treatment effect.
Next, in looking at votoplam treatment effect on the 4 individual cUHDRS subscales, we see evidence of benefit for both dose groups on several of the subscales. Importantly, at 24 months, we continue to see no evidence of NfL spikes and for both the 5- and 10-milligram groups, NfL levels are below baseline, which is a departure from the understood natural history of progressive NfL increase over time.
Now moving to the Stage III participants. As we have discussed, when we initiated PIVOT-HD, we understood that individuals with Stage II and III disease may progress at different rates and anticipated that the Stage II subjects may be the population in whom disease progression could be better captured over the 12-month course of PIVOT-HD.
Now at 24 months in the Stage III participants, we are beginning to see signals of potential favorable treatment effect. Looking first at the TFC scale, which is a particularly relevant cUHDRS subscale for Stage III patients where by definition of a stage of functional decline, we see benefit relative to natural history at both dose levels.
On the cUHDRS as a whole, we observed a trend of benefit for the 5-milligram dose level at Month 24 with what may be an early signal of slowing of progression from months 12 to 24 to the 10-milligram dose level. For NfL not shown here, there were no treatment-related spikes in the Stage III participants with median levels below baseline for both 5 and 10 milligrams at month 24.
I'm also pleased to report that the safety profile of votoplam remains favorable after 24 months of treatment. There are no new adverse event signals identified and the overall profile is consistent across both dose levels in both stages at month 24 as well as consistent with what was observed in the placebo group. On this adverse event table, we show the adverse events from the first 12 months of PIVOT-HD here on the left side of the slide, with the events for months 12 to 24 in the open label extension on the right side of the slide.
As you can see, the AE profile is quite consistent over time and across dose levels. In a long-term extension, all grade 3 and 4 AEs and SAEs were deemed not treatment-related. These safety and efficacy data, particularly those in the earlier-stage participants provide us increasing confidence in the design of the Phase III INVEST-HD global trial which Novartis shared earlier today is now enrolling.
This study will directly assess the long-term efficacy of votoplam in earlier symptomatic individuals with a normal TFC score of 13. Participants will be randomized 3:2 to receive 10 milligrams of votoplam or placebo. Target enrollment is approximately 770, and the primary endpoint will be change from baseline up to 36 months on the cUHDRS rating scale. This study will also include interim analyses for both efficacy and futility.
As we have shared previously, this registration study could serve as a confirmatory study in the context of potential accelerated approval. In conclusion, in PIVOT-HD votoplam demonstrated statistically significant dose-dependent reductions in blood HTT levels. And now at 24 months, votoplam has demonstrated dose-dependent slowing of disease progression relative to natural history in Stage II participants with an average slowing of over 50% at the 10-milligram dose level.
At 24 months, there remains no evidence of NfL spikes with NfL levels below baseline. The safety profile continues to be favorable across both dose levels and disease stages. These clinical findings support that the effect on HTT lowering demonstrated in the placebo-controlled PIVOT-HD study is manifesting in early signs of clinical benefit that will be assessed in the now enrolling Phase III INVEST-HD study.
In terms of next steps, the Novartis and PTC teams will continue to review the data from the interim analysis and then will align on plans for potential regulatory interactions to discuss the results.
Thank you. And I will now turn the call over to the operator for questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] Our first question or comment comes from the line of Kristen Kluska from Cantor.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the strong data today. Two questions for me. Just thinking about the primary endpoint on the Phase III, the language is up to month 36. So even if there isn't a potential for accelerated approval on these data sets, is there a potential for this Phase III to do either an interim analysis or wait until a certain number of patients potentially reach that 36-month endpoint?
Kristen, thanks for the question. I'll say that I want to compliment our partners at Novartis as well as the joint development committee. The protocol is very well thought out, very well designed and the results we shared today really support that design, which is obviously very encouraging. The study does have an interim analysis for efficacy, which in -- has the potential then to take an early look and potentially, depending on what those data show, could accelerate a time line for approval.
Okay. And have you guided what that specific analysis is or it's confidential at this stage?
Yes. The details of that haven't been shared yet. As you can imagine, as you think about an interim analysis, it would clearly be at a point that would be allowed for an early look, understanding that the primary efficacy analysis is up to 36 months.
Okay. And then my second question is just understanding how you did this comparison. Obviously, FDA has been pretty outspoken that they're supportive of natural history comparators, but they need to be done in a thoughtful and appropriate manner. So if you could just help us understand your confidence in why the natural history group that you used is indeed a good comparison and why it holds to the strong integrity that FDA is looking for.
Yes, absolutely. It's a very good question. And clearly, there's been a lot of discussions about natural history and natural history comparator groups. And look, first, it started with the fact that in the long-term extension protocol, we had prespecified that we would be leveraging the robust natural history registry, specifically ENROLL-HD to generate a natural history comparator group. So that's one thing that FDA really likes to do is specify that ahead of time and to -- as well as have an analysis plan that would prespecify the matching criteria that would be used, and that was done for this study.
I think in terms of registries, the ENROLL-HD has a large number of records as we shared and a very thoughtful approach was taken to ensure that we have a registry that includes all of the key inclusion criteria for the PIVOT-HD in open and long-term extension study as well as ensure that we matched -- we generated a matching group that had similarities in terms of the key factors that drive disease progression. And as you can see from the slide we shared today, the cohorts are well matched for those key variables really with no meaningful differences between treatment cohorts and natural history cohort.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Ellie Merle from Barclays.
Just a couple for me. Maybe first on NfL, I guess, how do you interpret the data on NfL? And why do you think it wasn't dose dependent and your perspective on how to interpret what was seen in year 1 versus year 2 for NfL? And then I have a follow-up question after that.
Ellie, so look, at NfL, the exact relationship between specific NfL levels and disease progression, I don't think is that well understood for HD. What's generally appreciated is that over time, NfL should be increasing. I think we referenced the recent study that was done published in 2024 saying that, that could be anywhere around 13% a year increase. So I think for us, what's most encouraging is that we see in both dose groups that there is a reduction relative to baseline, which supports that we are having an effect on -- potentially on neuronal biology and neuronal sparing. So I think it's really supportive evidence that there could be an overall favorable treatment effect on disease pathology despite not being dose dependent. I think, again, the key thing is that we're below baseline.
Got it. And just in terms of the next steps with the FDA, just if you could give us any more granularity on when you plan to meet with the FDA? And I guess how we should think about the time lines for when on our side, we could hear more about the potential filing strategy? And then lastly, just a housekeeping question. I know for the Phase III, you said early HD. Just can you clarify if that includes both Stage 2 and Stage 3?
Yes, absolutely. So let me take the second question first. So it's early symptomatic individuals with HD. So it would be Stage II and also very early stage Stage III. Those individuals would have to have a normal TFC score of 13, which I think is an important factor in consideration. And as you can imagine, the decision for the enrollment criteria, the design of the study, all took into consideration the things that we were observing in PIVOT-HD.
And looking at the data today, I think that's what's so encouraging to see that the data we're presenting support the plan, the design and all the thinking that went into the design of that INVEST-HD study. In terms of next steps, as I mentioned, and I think Vas mentioned on the Novartis earnings call this morning, the key next step now is for the teams to go through all the data, understand what data we have and then align on what would be an appropriate next step, including potential regulatory interactions. So I think right now, we want to go through these data. And of course, the team working on Phase III is full speed ahead on getting that trial going. And then we will, as partners, discuss what the appropriate next steps would be.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Tazeen Ahmad from Bank of America.
This is Jeremiah on for Tazeen. Congrats on the update. We were wondering if you could just help us contextualize the benefits associated with some of the changes on the cUHDRS subscales, maybe specifically as it relates to impacts on patients' quality of life. Just given some of this therapy will be dosed chronically, I'm just wondering what you guys' expectations are on like a real-world adherence.
Yes. Absolutely, Jeremiah. So look, I think the reason that the cUHDR scale is really favored as an endpoint in Huntington's disease is because it assesses many different components of the disease, including motor function, cognitive function and then ultimate functional -- decline of functional capacity. And so it really is able to capture a number of different relevant signs and symptoms of the disease, including those that would be particularly relevant to how individuals can feel or function in everyday life.
And obviously, as you go deeper into each of these scales, there are different items that can capture different things. So for example, the cognitive functions on the Symbol Digit Modalities Tests can get into really elements of cognition that are particularly important to individuals with HD. As you look at the TFC scale and start looking at things that relate very closely to activities of daily living. All of those things should translate quite well into quality of life.
In terms of your second question regarding long-term adherence in the real world, look, I think one of the clear advantages of votoplam is that it's a single once-a-day small molecule that so far is demonstrating to be safe and quite well tolerated. So the ease of administration, the ease of use, especially if we're able to continue to demonstrate efficacy, I think it would be certainly something that should have very high adherence given its tolerability, safety profile and ease of use.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Judah Frommer from Morgan Stanley.
A couple for us. You mentioned, Matt, on the kind of the slope of those lines widening or the difference between the lines in cUHDRS widening as you got to 24 months. Now the error bars are wide, but it does look like part of that is that the votoplam 10 mg line is flattening out. So is there anything to read into potential improved effect over time there?
Judah, it's a good question. I think we're all starting -- we're still in the process of learning what can happen over time. Clearly, it's encouraging, as you say, when we look at the difference in the slope from 0 to 12 months and 12 to 24 months, we certainly see some -- at the 10-milligram dose level, we certainly are seeing some flattening there.
You could also say a similar thing is being observed on the TFC subscale. In fact, it may be that flattening on TFC that could be driving the flattening we're seeing on cUHDRS. I think the encouraging thing for us is that as we are taking -- observing these individuals for more times, we're seeing continued benefit that seems to be increasing in magnitude.
I think we understood all along in complex neurodegenerative diseases that are heterogeneous, it takes a longer period of time to clearly understand treatment effect. And I think that's why we're encouraged now looking at 24 months, we're seeing what we believe are stronger signals than we saw at 12 months, which is exactly what you want to see and quite frankly, expect to see if you have a therapy that could ultimately provide disease modification.
Okay. Great. And then just on the crossover patients, those patients that crossed over from placebo in the first 12-month period, are they included anywhere in these data or anything you can tell us kind of directionally about those patients as they reach 12 months?
Absolutely. So the readout here that we're sharing is focused on those who have had 24 months of treatment, again, to help give us an idea of what we observed at 12 months in PIVOT-HD in terms of HTT lowering are we starting to see greater signals or stronger signals over time of efficacy. I would say on first look at those crossover patients, it appears that a delay in getting the drug could have an impact, but the teams are still working through to understand those data because they're also very small numbers.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Brian Cheng from JPMorgan.
Can you walk us through how we should view the changes that you are seeing at the subscale level? Because it seems that the Symbol Digit Modalities, the SDMT subscale seems to be the one driving most of the impact that we're seeing on the cUHDRS score and also the dose response we are seeing here, too. So how should we view the response in the individual subscales and also the reliability of the SDMT subscale when it comes to the Phase III INVEST-HD trial?
Brian, thank you for the question. So I think one of the -- again, as I mentioned, HD is a heterogeneous disease and individuals with HD may have different manifestations, they progress at different rates and they progress on different aspects of the disease at different times. And so one of the strengths of the cUHDRS is its ability to assay different aspects of disease progression and thus also simultaneously assay drug treatment effect on these different aspects of disease.
So I would think as we look at the cUHDRS subscales, what we're seeing at the 10-milligram dose level is contributions from several of them, which tells us that we are impacting for individuals what may be what is important aspects of the disease to them. So I would say we're not reading too much in depth to what one individual scale is saying here, particularly in these Stage II individuals, where I think getting an understanding that we're seeing contributions from different scales is really good. And the fact that we're seeing it across several scales also supports that we're seeing a real treatment effect at the 10-milligram level.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Mr. Ben Burnett from Wells Fargo.
I wanted to just clarify and come back to one other point, just around the regulatory path. I guess understanding that you will align with Novartis about plans to sort of have interactions with the FDA. But I guess is the -- is accelerated approval still on the table with these data?
Yes. So Ben, I think as we've talked about and both companies have talked about, there's a strong desire to get this drug to individuals with HD as quickly as possible. I think we clearly -- there's a clear appreciation of the unmet need. I think both companies believe that all options remain on the table. It's just that we want to look through the data, have a very thoughtful plan about when and how we would engage regulators in discussing the data. So I think it's more a matter of -- it's not a matter of saying something is off the table or on the table. It's really a matter of saying, let's be -- we have data to go through, let's be very thoughtful about how we want to approach things. Let's leverage learnings from our own study, leverage learnings from other things going on in the environment.
And then as we -- we're just analyzing the top line now as we get deeper into the data, then I think we'll be able to, as partners, align on those best next steps, the best timing and how that -- how those interactions could be most successful for getting the program forward.
I got you. Okay. That's very helpful. And if I could just ask one follow-up. Just about the efficacy you're seeing. And if you're seeing any correlation with any of your sort of natural history variables, like do you see any efficacy correlation with like the number of CAG repeats or TFC at baseline or anything else?
Yes, it's a good question. We haven't really looked -- I'm not aware that that's really been looked into quite yet. I think the focus thus far was to ensure that we had those variables, and we were trying to get as close to apples-to-apples comparison as one could be. I think one of the things that was encouraging to us is looking at the trajectory of the natural history in the first 12 months and placebo in the first 12 months that they're fairly close. They're directionally in the same way and numerically quite similar and consistent, which is a really good sign. But again, as we looked at the variables, it was more about making sure that we had an apples-to-apples comparison and haven't really looked at any of the individual factors being a correlate or predictor of response.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Mr. Geoff Meacham from Citigroup.
This is Jarwei on for Geoff. Two questions from us. Maybe first, could you remind us why you guys chose the TFC subscale as the enrollment criteria in Phase III? I totally understand that, that is a good predictor of disease progress in cUHDRS, but it does seem like perhaps some of the other ones could portend perhaps efficacy as well. And then the second question is, do you guys have any emerging correlation data between the degree of HTT suppression and maybe magnitude of benefit on cUHDRS?
Jarwei, thanks for the questions. Let me start with the first one. So I wouldn't say that TFC was the criteria -- that wasn't the driving criteria of the enrollment for the trial. The idea was to go into early symptomatic individuals with HD that consists of Stage II -- those with Stage II disease and early Stage III with a TFC score that's normal. That was more of a way of having a cutoff of severity, again, to account for the population in whom we think we're likely to have the greatest chance of impacting disease progression.
So I think it was really learning from the data that we had. There were a number of important criteria. The TFC score I mentioned, an independent score of greater than 90, total motor scores between 7 and 25, CAP-100 greater than 70. So there were a number of criteria that were developed, and they were really well thought out, again, based on the team's understanding of the disease progression was understood based on natural history and obviously, what we've observed thus far in PIVOT-HD and the long-term extension.
Again, I think that's why when we look at the data we shared today, we feel that they really support the design of the Phase III trial because, again, we're seeing a lot of the thinking and assumptions that went into design that trial get verified in a way when we see the treatment effect we're observing thus far. In terms of correlations between HTT lowering, I will say at a larger level, we're dealing with small -- still relatively small subject group numbers.
So I think it is encouraging to see that the treatment difference at 24 months on cUHDRS at 10 milligrams is 52% and at 28% as observed at the 5-milligram dose level. So we're seeing that about half the dose level is getting us about half of the slowing of progression. Now again, these are small numbers. But I think for us, that dose dependency is an encouraging sign that the differences in HTT lowering could manifest in a differential impact on disease progression. But we've not dug yet into doing any deeper associations.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Brian Abrahams from RBC Capital Markets.
I guess have you looked at caudate volume changes out to 24 months and any trends emerging there? And then secondly, the ENROLL-HD derived natural history control parameters look just subtly different here versus in the prior 24-month interim cut. So just wondering how the criteria for, I guess, propensity matching may have changed between then and now?
So on the first question, Brian, in terms of the MRI data, we're still -- the teams are still in the process of analyzing those. So we don't have those data yet. And then in terms of the natural history, look, I think there's many different ways to approach how you do the specific natural history analysis. In this particular case, as we shared, there was a desire to ensure that we were matching on the key variables. There was then a new assay of the ENROLL-HD database that yielded the comparator group that we used here.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Faisal Khurshid from Jefferies.
I wanted to ask, did you have a chance to look at the reduction in HTT levels out to month 24? And was there any meaningful difference in what you saw at the earlier time points?
Yes. So here, we're just looking, Faisal, at the clinical data at the 24-month time point as we reported in PIVOT-HD, the focus really there was in the primary endpoint was the reduction in blood HTT levels. We saw the dose dependence that hit the primary endpoint at 12 weeks. We saw that we were at the steady state at around 9 months. And then at 12 months, we saw that continued dose dependence. So here is basically looking at did those changes we observed in 12 months, are they starting to manifest over time in clinical benefit.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Mr. Joseph Thome from TD Cowen.
Just curious, how many sites were patients identified at for this study? And maybe how many sites are planned for the Phase III? I guess, related to the question, I guess, how much site-to-site variability is there in the assessment of some of these measures, if at all? And then obviously, I know you're focused on MSH3 as well internally earlier in the pipeline. I guess, mechanistically, how might that target be differentiated? Any thoughts on that versus the data you're presenting today?
Yes. Yes, absolutely, Joe. So this PIVOT-HD was obviously a smaller study than INVEST-HD with 770 -- target enrollment of approximately 770 individuals in 30 different countries. I'll say that one thing, and I think there'll be probably approximately 200 sites or so for Phase III. I think the -- I'll say first, I think the Novartis team has done an outstanding job in moving quickly to get this Phase III study started from what was in discussion with the FDA in the fourth quarter on study design to getting the study up, getting it running, getting enrolling.
It's been really incredible to see, and we're very grateful to have them as a partner, and this is exactly the type of muscle they bring to this necessary large and complex study that we think heightens its probability of success there. And again, the key will be to work with centers that are expert in these assessments that most of them will ENROLL -- participate in ENROLL-HD and contribute to the natural history registry.
And you could be sure that there is -- will be great efforts to ensure the quality of assessors so that we have the greatest consistency as possible in -- across sites. In terms of your second question, the MSH3 program, we have shared that we have -- we're moving towards drug development candidate in our internal MSH3 program. That's another aspect of -- that can impact disease progression.
We've always thought that targeting MSH3 could be complementary with huntingtin lowering. It's really tackling 2 different aspects of the disease. one, the pathogenic mutant huntingtin protein as we're doing with votoplam and the somatic expansion, which is another aspect of disease progression. We've also shared that we thought it's possible that the MSH3 program could also -- MSH3 molecule could also be particularly suited for juvenile HD, where there's more rapid somatic expansion. So we're excited to be able to apply our splicing capabilities to really attacking the disease in 2 different meaning -- what we believe to be meaningful ways.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Luke Herrmann from R.W. Baird.
Just following up on the flattening of the functional curves in the Stage 3 group at 10 mg. Can you just clarify the statistical modeling for dropouts and whether that 24-month time point was maybe just less affected by patients who are in steeper decline at the 12-month cut?
Yes. So I would say, Luke, that this is -- these are as observed data. So there's no modeling here. And we've not had -- very few dropouts. There's been actually quite very high adherence and individuals sticking in the trial, high compliance. And so this is really those who came in and observing them over time.
Great. And then on the MRI data, is there any idea of when we should expect to see those?
Yes. I don't -- I can't guide to that. I know we're sharing the top line data today. The plan will be to share a more full data set, obviously, once the analyses are completed at an academic meeting, a scientific meeting. But obviously, I think the Novartis team will determine when the right time and the appropriate meeting to share those data would be.
Our next question or comment comes from the line of Paul Choi from Goldman Sachs.
My first question is with regard to the Phase III INVEST-HD trial design. Matt, can you clarify if the study is based on the natural history decline on the Unified Huntington's Disease Rating Scale. The reason I ask is, since we don't have multiyear placebo-controlled data, your Slide 10 shows about a 0.6 decline at 1 year for the natural history cohort.
But I think in your prior update, you showed a smaller decline for your placebo-controlled arm at the time. So any clarity there would be helpful. And my second question is, does the Phase III initiation trigger any sort of milestone from a financial modeling perspective?
Yes. Thanks, Paul. So let me take the second question first. Yes, there's a $50 million milestone tied to the initiation of Phase III. In terms of your question, look, I think the trajectory of what we've seen when we look at 12 months with placebo relative to natural history are actually quite close. There's a very clear trajectory. I think -- so that's one point. And the -- there may be numerical differences, but I think importantly, they're both declining and appear to be relatively consistent in that regard. But in terms of the design of the Phase III study, this was more not about tracking progression, but zooming out and understanding what we think would be the key variables at the key stage of disease where we think progression is occurring at a rate that we could be best suited to capture treatment effect over the course of the trial.
It's also influenced by what we've seen not only in the preparatory work going into PIVOT-HD, but what we have seen thus far in the data. And obviously, we're going to continue to analyze the data from this interim analysis, and we'll continue to learn and we'll continue to enhance our understanding of these different factors and patient populations.
I'm showing no additional questions in the queue. At this time, I would like to turn the conference back over to Dr. Klein for any closing remarks.
Thank you all again for joining the call today. We are clearly very excited about these data. The PIVOT-HD study showed us that we have a drug that's doing what it's supposed to do in terms of splicing and reducing toxic huntingtin protein levels. It's getting where it's supposed to get in the CNS with better CSF levels or higher CSF levels in plasma. We're now seeing that those changes in HTT or lowering of HTT is manifesting at 24 months with dose-dependent benefit on cUHDRS.
And taken together, these data not only support the promise of votoplam to be a meaningful therapy, but are also clearly supportive of the study that's -- the Phase III study that's been designed and now initiated by Novartis. We look forward to continuing to review the data and working with our partners on determining the next steps, including any regulatory interactions. So we thank you all again for joining the call this evening.
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a wonderful day.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Special Call - PTC Therapeutics, Inc.
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Barclays 28th Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Great. Well, good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us on day 2 of the Barclays 28th Annual Global Healthcare Conference here in Miami. Very happy to have PTC Therapeutics here with us today. And I'm Ellie Merle, one of the biotech analysts here at Barclays. And joining us from PTC is CEO, Matt Klein; and CFO, Pierre Gravier. Thank you both so much for joining us.
Maybe to kick it off, let's start with Sephience, which is a launch that I think a lot of investors are closely following. Can you give us a high-level overview of PKU as a disease and why this could be such a meaningful opportunity for Sephience?
Absolutely. Thank you so much, Ellie, for having us. So PKU is a rare disease where individuals are born without the ability to break down the amino acid phenylalanine. This results in accumulation of phenylalanine in the body and has devastating consequences for brain development, neurological function and a whole host of other symptoms. That's why there's newborn screening for PKU so that once diagnosed, individuals can start on a highly restrictive diet that keeps them from ingesting protein. So you can imagine a very challenging life where you either have very little protein or you suffer severe neurological and other consequences if you have protein in your diet. There's about 17,000 individuals in the United States with PKU. [indiscernible] to say about 58,000 in countries around the world that we intend to market Sephience, our therapy for kids and adults with PKU.
And we see this as really a significantly large opportunity because there's 17,000 individuals with this disease. They're diagnosed at birth. And while there, prior to Sephience were 2 approved therapies, the vast majority of patients weren't served by these therapies, and there remained a significant unmet medical need for folks who desperately want a therapy that's safe, well tolerated, can help them feel better and have more freedom with their diet.
Yes. And I mean, I think that investors still very much underappreciate the market size, I think, in part, given some of the experiences seen with Kuvan and Palynziq in terms of the total -- like from a sales perspective, opportunity that was seen with those drugs. Maybe can you walk us through in more detail some of the differences between Sephience, Kuvan and Palynziq and why you think Sephience can unlock this broader population, whereas we haven't seen this, frankly, from Kuvan and Palynziq.
Yes, absolutely. And that's such an important point. When we started the launch, there was really this misconception that since the vast majority of patients weren't on a therapy, perhaps kids and adults with PKU didn't want to be on the therapy. That's just wrong. What really was the situation was that they want to be on a therapy that's safe, well tolerated and effective. PKU is a little bit different than other disease areas in which we work because if you think about diseases like Duchenne muscular dystrophy or spinal muscular atrophy, without a therapy, there's nothing these individuals can do except suffer the consequences of the disease.
So there's a high willingness to try a therapy and even stay on it if it may not be that effective or there's no perception of effectiveness. That's not the case in PKU. You're diagnosed at birth and you start on a lifelong highly restrictive burdensome diet. So your standard approach to dealing with this is already very restrictive and something you're already taking. So if you're going to take a drug on top of that, it's got to change something. You've either got to feel better or you can not -- you can ease off on that highly restricted diet. That's why if someone goes on an oral therapy like Kuvan branded or generic and doesn't perceive a benefit, phenylalanine is not getting lower, diet can't be loosened. There's no motivation to stay on it.
Similarly with Palynziq, which has been demonstrated to be effective, but has very significant tolerability -- a very challenging tolerability and safety profile, it's hard to stay on it and have an impact on your already very restrictive life. So all that is to say, this is a different disease state. And if a drug is not working for you where you can't tolerate it or has a safety profile that's difficult for you, you're not going to stay on the therapy. And that's why people took this idea that not staying on that therapy meant patients didn't want a therapy. No, no, no. They want a therapy. They want a therapy that can change their current management and that they can tolerate and have diet freedom, feel better and have a better quality of life.
And so that's why we're so enthusiastic about the opportunity of Sephience. It's an oral therapy once daily. The clinical studies have shown that patients have significant reductions in phenylalanine. The long-term extension studies are showing that patients are able to liberalize their diet and the Phe tolerance substudy of our Phase III study, 97% of patients were able to increase protein intake. 70% of patients were able to reach the recommended daily allowance of protein intake for someone without PKU and still control -- maintain control of phenylalanine levels. The safety and tolerability profile is very strong.
And what we're seeing in the real world are these benefits come to life for patients. We're hearing stories of individuals being able to have foods that they never had before, kids able to sit at the lunch table and have the meals that other kids are having, adults who talk about being able to eat with others at work that they were never able to do before, being able to drive home in the car without brain fog because your mental clarity is better because your phenylalanine is lower. And these benefits are being delivered in the context of a very favorable safety and tolerability profile. And that's why we say that we really view the potential addressable market here as the full population of PKU patients because our data demonstrate that we're having significant benefit in folks with the full spectrum of disease, including those with more severe PKU known as classical PKU.
So I think we're I hope people are slowly appreciating that this is a disease where those affected desperately, desperately want to be on the therapy. They just have to perceive that there's benefit and that it's safe and well tolerated in order to stay on it.
Absolutely. And you've seen some encouraging launch metrics out the gate. Walk us through what's been seen with the launch so far, both from a start form perspective as well as revenue.
Absolutely. So in the first 5.5 months, we had over 1,100 starts. And in the first 5.5 months, we had over $110 million in revenue, and that's mainly U.S. with some small contributions in Germany. We started the global launch towards the end of Q3 last year with approvals in the U.S. and Europe. We've recently got an approval in Japan in December. We'll be launching there in early Q2 in Brazil. And I think this early success is really a testament to both the significant unmet need and the strong desire of patients to get on this therapy.
And of course, also a credit to our teams. I mean, we did a lot of work for a year, 1.5 years prior to launch, mapping out the 104 centers of excellence, getting to understand who are the decision makers and what are the dynamics at each center. For example, many of the PKU centers, the prescription decisions are driven not necessarily by the physicians, but by the nurse practitioners and the physician associates and also dietitians. They're a really important part of the care team because, of course, in the absence of a therapy and sometimes even in the presence of a therapy, diet is still a really important part of management of PKU.
Absolutely. And in terms of who's getting the drug, Sephience, I mean, we're seeing a lot of Kuvan failures are out there, and then there's patients that aren't treated. How are -- what are you seeing in terms of who's starting on Sephience and where you're seeing the most uptake initially?
Yes, absolutely. One of the clear themes of the launch thus far is breadth. We've had two month old prescribe the drug and 80-year-olds prescribe the drug, full spectrum of disease severity. And then across all key patient segments. We've described the segments as being those who are currently on therapy, whether that be Kuvan branded generic or Palynziq, those who've tried and failed, which is probably the vast majority of individuals with PKU and those that are therapy naive. And that's often individuals who have what are known as non-BH4 responsive or classical PKU who are never tried on Kuvan because there was a belief that since their mutations don't respond to BH4, they were unlikely to have benefit.
And what we've seen early in the launch is the majority of patients getting prescribed the drug are those who've tried and failed other therapies, whether it's Kuvan or Palynziq and we've seen a number of the therapy-naive patients also get the drug, including adults who I think, again, this is one of those prelaunch misconceptions that there was this group of patients who were never tried on drugs, who are remote from the centers who are never going to come back in and they're coming back in. We're seeing adults who are therapy naive come back in. And then we're seeing a smaller number of switches thus far. It seems that the dynamic that's been playing out in these early days of the launch is that the centers are looking to put those who currently aren't on a therapy first rather than switching someone who is on the therapy.
And our data have been very consistent in showing that if you have a response to sepiapterin and Kuvan, you're going to have a much more significant benefit from sepiapterin. And I think 100% of the patients who've been in our studies have shown that. And in our AMPLIPHY head-to-head study, we were able to quantify that relative benefit. And we had, on average, 70% percent greater reduction of phenylalanine with Sephience relative to sepiapterin, which again just speaks to the fact that when patients are switched, they're going to stay on the drug and enjoy greater benefit. But again, I think the priority has been to first get those who don't have a therapy right now tried on Sephience.
That's interesting because I would think that the Kuvan patients would almost be the lowest hanging fruit of like you know they respond and then there's a drug where they'll respond better and have more dietary flexibility. And we've heard that from some of the doctors that we've spoken to. Yes, how do you think about that?
I think that's another example of how a lot of the preconceived notions about the marketplace, if you will, prior to launch may not be playing out exactly as people thought, right? Number one was, these folks don't want to be on drugs. That's why the peak revenue for the existing therapies was so low. No, no, they want to be a drug that's safe and well tolerated. Okay. Well, the low-hanging fruit is going to be -- in the early launch is going to be driven by switches. Why? Because there's 100% guarantee they're going to be better on this drug. And a lot of physicians interviewed prior to the launch said, well, my intent is to switch the 80-plus percent of my patients over to Sephience and I'll then try it in a more severe mutations. It hasn't played out that way. It actually has played out that there's been early experience with more severe mutations.
There's one very prominent physician who a lot of people interviewed who, I think early on was a little bit skeptical about the effect in classical patients. And she said, I tried one of my classical patients on the drug. There was, I think, somewhere like a 90% very rapid reduction in phenylalanine and I'm sold. Now all my patients are going to get tried on it. And that's just not that at that center. That's a theme we're hearing consistently. And so once the prescribing pattern shifted to trying all patients on it, there was priority given to those who don't currently have a therapy prior to doing the switches, which I think bodes very well for the sustainability of the launch because if you're thinking about the 100% guaranteed responders and 100% definitionally adherent population that have stayed on oral therapy, and those -- we haven't really penetrated deeply into that segment yet, that's still to come. But that's really good news for the launch.
I'll say the other thing that's been really impressive early on, we shared this on the call last month or earlier this month, we've gotten more than one start form from 80% of the centers of excellence. That's kind of odd at this stage of launch. As usually, it's the other way around where you are -- maybe it's 20%, maybe it was the investigators in your trial who are the first ones to try it. And now it's gone the other way. We're just seeing this such broad uptake and broad interest. And so now that as we move -- we're still early days in the launch. But as we continue to move through it, it's just -- the story is going to be about penetrating deeper and deeper into existing centers where they're prescribing and continuing to penetrate deeper into these segments where those aren't on therapies. And slowly, I think we'll start to see the switches come as we move through the year into next year.
Absolutely. And so patient start form, that's certainly something that people will be tracking. You had about 1,100 exiting December. So if we're doing our math correctly, that's about 200 a month from the last update that you had around 500 exiting September. How should we think about the cadence of new starts from here? It seems like you're seeing a sizable breadth in prescribing, certainly a large number of centers. How should we think about this?
Yes. I think where we are now somewhere around -- out of the gate, super duper strong. I mean those first months, there was such incredible enthusiasm. And I think demand has remained. The patients want to get on the drug. We -- as we headed into the fourth quarter and into the fourth quarter of last year, what we started to see is the centers were saying, okay, we got to get to a steady cadence here where we can continue to prescribe. We can't spent all day long putting patients on Sephience as much as they want to be on it. And so I think we hit that point late last year where we were seeing now this sort of steady state where as patients were coming into the clinic, they were being put on the drug. And now we're also moving into a part where we're adding countries outside the U.S.
So patient numbers now won't -- there's not start forms in countries in Europe. And as we launch in Japan, there won't be start forms, same with Brazil. So I think the metric as we move further into the year is going to be patients on drug. That's going to tell the full story as we get more centers outside the U.S. So the story of '26, we believe, will be continued momentum in the U.S. and then the addition of ex-U.S. patients coming on board. And we've said by the end of 2026, we expect to have commercial patients in 20 to 30 countries. So we're really excited about this being truly a global launch and being able to get the drug to as many individuals as we can who might benefit.
And another question we get from investors is around the adherence that we'll see for Sephience, just given if patients say are nonresponders, do they stay on? How are you thinking about that? And what are you seeing in the real world? And your expectation for will there be discontinuations if patients they don't respond?
Yes. It's early days. So it's hard to have a clear sense of what this is going to look like at steady state. We shared that through Q4, the discontinuation rate was really low. We said low single-digit discontinuations and very few of those were for nonresponsiveness or not having an effect.
I think we'll see that reach slightly higher than low single-digit discontinuations as you'd see with any drug. But I think the fact that we've seen in the studies that we have response rates of 70% to 75%, depending on how you define response, bodes very well for what we'll see in practice because in reality, the stories -- the anecdotes we're hearing, the data we're seeing from prescribers is suggesting that we're seeing what happened in the trials play out in the real world, that there's responsiveness among the full spectrum of severity, that there's patients who are under very careful management able to begin to liberalize their diet and looking on social media and seeing individuals posting their Phe levels dropping.
And these include those with severe disease, talking about having foods that they never had for the first time, as I mentioned earlier, that's really what we're hearing across the board. Those aren't one-offs. And that really is consistent with the experience in the clinical trials.
Absolutely. Pierre, I guess, in terms of the guidance, I mean, we've gotten questions around, is the guidance conservative? Can you walk us through sort of what is baked into the guidance for the Sephience launch versus some of your other products?
Yes, of course. Absolutely, I'll break it into the multiple products. So the guidance on revenues is $700 million to $800 million on product revenues, excluding Evrysdi. In terms of revenues, the vast majority is Sephience. As Matt mentioned, we believe, right, in the strong momentum that is continuing in 2026 and the global opportunity is really $2 billion -- at least $2 billion plus worldwide. In terms of the rest of the portfolio, right, the mature business, the DMD franchise, Translarna and Emflaza, look, Emflaza, we now have 10 generics. And so we will expect continued erosion there. And then Translarna is unique. If you think about last year, Q1 had full sales in Europe before the license was removed.
Now in Europe, obviously, we said we could maintain about 25% of our sales. And this is very unique. We sell without a license. You don't know how long it's going to be. And then ex Europe in LatAm and Russia, CIS, those are government orders, and it's unclear for how long we could maintain that. So the way we see this is mature business with continued erosion and then obviously, Sephience being the vast majority contributor here. And that's how we guided at the start of the year. And obviously, if we see less erosion, we have opportunity to obviously update guidance.
All right. That's helpful. Turning to Huntington's disease, which certainly has been an area of a lot of focus. Remind us where you are with your program and the data update that we can expect this year?
Absolutely. The Votoplam Huntington's disease program is continuing to move forward. We had shared that along with Novartis, there was a meeting with FDA in the fourth quarter of last year that there were two main objectives. One was to get alignment on the efficacy trial, a Phase III trial of Votoplam and alignment was reached and that protocol has been finalized and Novartis is moving very quickly to get that study up and running. That's an efficacy-focused study that could serve as a confirmatory study in the context of potential accelerated approval. And otherwise, it could itself be a registration trial, and we've shared that there's a plan to have an interim analysis in that study that could also provide another opportunity and an early look at data for potential accelerated approval.
So Novartis is working very quickly to get that up and running. We said over 700 subjects in over 30 countries, there'll be centers. So it's going to be a very big trial and really something Novartis can manage quite well. In terms of the PIVOT-HD Phase II open-label extension, that study is ongoing as well. And we expect a readout in the first half of this year once all participants cross the 24-month time point. And so that will be coming up this half. And we've been clear that if those data looked supportive, that could allow us to have a discussion with the FDA about potential accelerated approval.
And I'm not going to ask you to comment on sort of what's happened recently with the FDA and uniQure. But maybe commenting on your own program, sort of what are the reasons why you think your data set would be supportive potentially of accelerated approval?
Yes. And I appreciate that. We're in a very different context, right? It's an oral therapy. We had a placebo-controlled initial study. We have an open-label study prespecifying that we were going to use an external comparator group. We also have the evidence in the blood of target engagement in dose-dependent lowering of Huntington protein. So we're in a much different framework and in CDER, which is also a different center in the agency. So what we believed all along is that Huntington protein itself has the potential to be a surrogate endpoint, likely to predict clinical benefit. The mutant Huntington protein is the causative disease protein and being able to lower it should have benefit. And by the way, there's a number of studies supporting that.
So we have already a prespecified primary endpoint successfully achieved in PIVOT-HD of statistically significant lowering of Huntington protein that was dose dependent. So the idea is, okay, can we have data from the longer-term study that can support the notion that those changes observed early on in Huntington protein are likely to [indiscernible] to long-term clinical benefit. Now at 12 months in the Stage 2 patients, which is going to be the patients who make up -- more or less make up the Phase III study, we showed dose-dependent benefits relative to placebo at 12 months. And in the initial 1/3 of patients who reached 24 months, we saw dose-dependent benefits on cUHDRS, TFC, single-digit modalities test relative to natural history as well as a dose-dependent change in NfL.
So again, we'll see what the data look like in the first half. But if we can have clinical data that maintains dose dependency, which suggests that there is a relationship between the amount of Huntingtin lowering and clinical effect and could have biological support from something like NfL, that's a marker of neuronal injury. That could be a package that -- well, we believe it's a package we could -- we would certainly feel comfortable talking to the FDA about and could be one that could allow us to leverage the surrogate accelerated approval path that's been used in the neurology division before.
Interesting. And what's your expectation for how the data at 24 months would compare to the data at 12 months? Do you expect continued stability, continued separation versus the natural history comparator? How do we think about that?
Yes, absolutely. So at 12 months, we benchmarked to placebo. And when we looked at the first group at 12 months and then that initial group out at 24 months, we saw continued trends of benefit both on the cUHDRS scale and some of the subscales. Those are small numbers, about 12 patients -- 10 to 12 patients in each group. We'll have a much larger, about twice that number now. And I think what we'd really be looking for is that continued trend of benefit that's dose dependent. And we have ways of also thinking about leveraging that placebo data to get a sort of a better match in the natural history group that more represents what a true comparator population should look like for the treated patients.
Okay. And so then after the data, sort of a fair assumption you'll speak with the FDA again?
Yes. I think depending on what the data look like, if the data look good, we'll work with Novartis and make and make a plan for regulatory discussions.
Great. Just quickly, I know you have a lot of other programs in the pipeline, including some interesting early-stage programs that you had an R&D Day on last year. Maybe if you could give us kind of the high-level overview of those programs.
Yes, absolutely. So we do have a lot of exciting programs. We also had the update with -- discussing with FDA about the potential of the next study for vatiquinone for Friedreich's ataxia, which they wrote to us that they believe that could be an open-label study with a natural history comparator. So we'll discuss and finalize those plans. And then we worked very hard to evolve the splicing platform. It delivered Evrysdi, which was incredibly valuable Votoplam program. And now we have a number of preclinical splicing programs. We highlighted our MSH3 program, where we plan to have a development candidate this year, another way of approaching Huntington's disease that can be complementary to HTT lowering.
And our inflammation, ferroptosis platform also has a number of promising therapies. We expect to start our Phase I study for our NLRP3 inhibitor, PTC612, which is a highly differentiated potent molecule in the second quarter, we'll be starting that. And then also look forward to advancing our Nrf2 activator program and ferroptosis, Parkinson's disease program. So a lot of excitement early on of molecules that we think can be really meaningful coming closer to the clinic.
Great. Well, Matt, Pierre, thank you so much for the time, and thanks, everyone, for joining us.
Thank you, Ellie.
Thank you.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Barclays 28th Annual Global Healthcare Conference
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Leerink Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
Welcome, everyone, to our chat with PTC Therapeutics. It's my pleasure to host Matt Klein, CEO; and Pierre Gravier, CFO. Thanks so much for joining us.
Thank you, Joe. Glad to be here.
So Matt, can you start us off with a quick level set and briefly touch on your recent accomplishments and goals for this year?
Yes, absolutely. We're coming off a very strong 2025, which was highlighted by the initial global approvals of Sephience, our drug for kids and adults with PKU as well as a strong start to the launch. We had over $111 million in revenue in just the first 5.5 months. And that performance really speaks to the highly differentiated profile of Sephience, the significant unmet need for a safe and effective therapy in the PKU community as well as our team's ability to execute our experienced customer-facing teams around the globe.
Overall, in '25, we had a strong revenue performance, exceeding guidance. Our expenses also came in below guidance, and we ended the year with approximately $1.95 billion in cash, which sets us up well to continue to support our commercial and R&D portfolios as well as to continuing to build the company forward the way we wish. We also talked about this year being a year of revenue growth driven by Sephience.
We expect continued strong momentum in the U.S. and so that by the end of the year, we expect to have commercial patients on drug in 20 to 30 countries. We explained that with our revenue guidance and expense guidance, we're in a position to potentially be cash flow breakeven this year, which would be a significant milestone for the company.
We also made significant advances in our R&D portfolio, including our oral small molecule splicing platform, which first brought forward Evrysdi, followed by votoplam for HD, and now we have a number of programs in earlier stages of development. So overall, we're really well positioned for continued growth and continued success.
Great. Okay. Thanks. So at this stage, how much Sephience demand is coming from different patient segments? And how do you expect that mix to evolve over the next 4 to 6 quarters?
Yes. I think one of the early strong signs from this launch has been its breadth. We've seen breadth in terms of patient age with kids as young as a few months old, adults as old as 80 getting on drug. We're seeing broad uptake across all patient segments, including those who are therapy naive, those who have tried and failed previous therapies and those switching from existing therapies.
I think one of the early surprises in the launch is that we are seeing a number of patients who are naive and adults who were thought to be lost to follow-up and people wondered if they'd ever get on drug. And if so, it would probably be later in the launch. I think there was this belief that the early momentum would be driven by switches, and that's not been the case, in fact, we've seen lower number of switches and rather, it seems like centers are putting an emphasis on trying to get patients on drug who currently on one -- who aren't on one before doing switches.
Nonetheless, we have seen some switches, both from Kuvan and Palynziq, but early on, this has been about patients who tried and failed previous therapies. I'd also say we're seeing breadth in terms of center participation. We shared by the end of Q4 last year, we had more than one prescription from over 80% of the centers of excellence.
Again, that's unique at this point in the launch. Usually, it's a small number of centers and you have to work to get other centers on board. But at this point, we have 80% of centers and whom we can continue to penetrate as we move deeper and deeper into the launch.
Okay. And what are the most important data points you're tracking internally to determine whether the Sephience franchise is shaping up to be durable and not just another switch cycle?
Yes, absolutely. Look, I think by all measures, $111 million in 5.5 months for a rare disease launch is outstanding. And that was a tremendous early performance. And as we've talked about, we really see us being in a period of sustained momentum as we continue to move forward. And part of that, again, is this breadth, right? We're seeing patients with classical PKU who are more severe patients who are getting tried and staying on drug.
We're seeing patients who, again, were therapy naive or tried and failed others coming and staying on drug. And the fact that we haven't seen a large number of switches yet from Kuvan and all of our data show that if you have a response to Kuvan, you're going to have a much greater response to Sephience.
Those are patients who tend to do quite well on our drug and tend to be adherent. Those -- we haven't even begun to go into that segment yet. So all of that suggests we have a very long way to go in this launch. You consider a population of 17,000 patients in the U.S., 58,000 worldwide in markets in which we would commercialize and hearing feedback from prescribers that their intention is to try all their patients on the drug, we've got a very, very long way to go.
And we're seeing very high rates of adherence, large very high rate of prescription refills. So again, all signals suggest that we -- we're off to a strong start, and there's continued momentum, and we have a very long way to go and which is why we've been quite clear that we see this as at least a $2 billion-plus global opportunity at peak.
And how do you expect responsiveness to look in the real world relative to your clinical experience?
Thus far, it seems to be lining up very well. Of course, we don't track it as much in the real world as we do. So the idea that it's tracking -- it's doing well is what we're seeing and hearing from prescribers as well as patients.
I think there's nothing more gratifying and probably no greater statement of support for the potential transformative value of Sephience in social media posts where we see kids talking about being able to have meals with the rest of their family, the same as the rest of their family for the first time, having pizza at a party, trying steak off the barbecue for the same time, parents being able to say they're having the same meals with their kids, getting reports of people having better brain fog, not needing the GPS to get home from work. All of those things are suggested that we're seeing the continued benefits observed in the trials in the real world.
Okay. So then what kind of a response rate metric would that entail?
So in our trials, we had about a 70% to 75% response rate in terms of pure quantified Phe lowering. We know that benefit is defined by both payers and prescribers in different ways. There's Phe lowering where the percentage threshold -- the percentage to define response may vary based on your baseline Phe because clearly, 15% to 20% or 30% lowering for someone who has a phenylalanine of 1,200 looks a lot different than someone who has a phenylalanine of 400 at baseline, for example.
We know the ability to increase protein intake is really important. We know for others, the numbers matter, but just feeling better, having less anxiety, having clear cognitive function, clear executive thinking, that's a real benefit that really matters to the patient and in fact, we've talked a bit about how we've gotten policies from payers that are covering about 200 million lives, so about 2/3 of the population in the U.S.
And there's been no step edits required and response has been defined as quantitative lowering of Phe or increased protein intake or overall medical benefit. So we're seeing these different definitions of response being applied broadly.
Okay. And how are -- how is uptake and persistence comparing in pediatric versus adults?
So it's early days, and I know you've heard me say this before. We said by the end of Q4, we were seeing low single-digit discontinuations, which, again, it's early days, and we don't know that it will stay that low, but we expect there to be a high rate of adherence. It seems to be fairly consistent between adults and pediatric patients.
I think we've said that the main reason that we were seeing withdrawals tended to be concerns about taste and texture of the medication from adolescents. So that was sort of the one early sign that stuck out. But across the board, we're seeing very good adherence and consistence.
And I'll also say that we also have been working on as part of life cycle management, getting towards a tablet formulation as well. So ultimately, we'll be able to address any concerns someone might have with the formulation.
Can you go into that a little bit more? What are your plans on that front?
So clearly, when you have a product that has the potential of Sephience and the success we've had, we're actively thinking about life cycle management and life cycle management involves thinking about evolving formulation. We've guided that we have IP protection out to 2039. But of course, we're always looking to expand the IP portfolio and get greater duration. So those are just very standard life cycle management things that you would do when you have a valuable therapy like Sephience.
Okay. And at what point will you be able to -- or will you be able to detect from like refill rates at some point. What the response rate is tracking in the real world relative to the clinical experience?
Yes. I think we're going to have to get a little further into the launch. As we've said early on, we're seeing the low discontinued rates and very few of them have been cited as lack of response. So I would imagine we're going to need to be at least a few more months into this to get to a real hand on it. But again, all signs now still looking like very high adherence rates and refill rates.
Yes. Okay. Great. And then can you talk a little bit about the payer requirements for staying on therapy? I think unlike BioMarin, you're not providing drug for free during the trials. So people jump through all those hoops upfront. On the one hand, that might like lower the the desire to switch after they've gone through all that effort. But on the other hand, I'm just wondering what payers are requiring.
Yes. The payer feedback has been very positive. And part of that is because they understand that you can tie value to lowering and to have been able to enter payer discussions already having in hand the AMPLIFY study, which shows as all of our other studies did that 100% of patients who responded to Kuvan respond to Sephience better. And we quantified that as having an average of 70%, 7-0 percent, greater lowering in phenylalanine with Sephience relative to Kuvan.
With those data, we've not had the requirement imposed any of the policies of a step edit because it's very clear that there's significant greater benefit with Sephience.
Furthermore, about the testing, if you look at the Kuvan data in their studies, they did a response as we did to identify responders and the responder rate in that study is about 20%. For Sephience, we were closer to 70%. And so that is why we didn't feel it's necessary to give free drug. When you have 4/5 of patients not responding, you may need to give a free test. But when you have the vast majority of patients responding as with Sephience, we didn't see that need to test to prove that it's going to work because it does for the majority of patients, including both classical and nonclassical patients.
Okay. And what other data will you be generating either in the clinic or in the real world going forward?
Yes. So we have the open-label extension from the Phase III AFFINITY study, and we recently shared an interim cut of those data, which showed patients are able to liberalize their diet. We reported that 97% of patients in the Phe tolerance protocol were able to increase protein intake. 70% of those patients were able to get to the recommended daily allowance of protein at some point in the protocol. Those are really compelling data because we know that ability to loosen the diet is so, so important to patients.
We also had an early look at some of the QOL data showing the ability to have improved executive functioning, decrease anxiety and increased mood symptoms. So those were good early data points, and we're going to be continuing to look at those over time.
We have a separate study looking at neurocognitive function that's being done as part of the pediatric investigator plan agreement with Europe and then a number of investigator-sponsored studies looking at different things like response rates as well as some of these other important aspects. So we look forward to having continued data that are supporting really the value of Sephience for patients.
Okay. And then what data do you have to demonstrate that patients can get to certain levels of Phe? And how robust is the ability of Sephience to get patients to meaningful levels, meaningful improvements where their Phe is really under control?
Yes. And I think that was one of the most important data points from the Phase III study that 84% of patients were able to get to below 360 micromolar per liter, which is really the target Phe level and the level at which most feel comfortable starting to increase protein intake. So 84% is a very high number, and that included a number of patients who started with Phes at 800, 900 and 1,000. So we're seeing this, again, for the full spectrum of patients.
And then within that substudy, as I mentioned, once you got below 360, we were seeing that 97% of those folks were able to increase protein at all. And 70% were able to get to a level of protein intake that would be recommended for you and I, someone who does not have PKU, that's a lot of protein.
And if you think about the lives of people with PKU, being able to even have one meal or one part of the day where you could have increased protein intake is transformative. A kid who can go to school and have lunch with the other kids or go to a birthday party and have what the other kids are eating, an adult who can go to the office and have lunch with other folks and not have to have their restrictive diet. That's life changing. And that's where a lot of the adherence here comes from is the ability to really favorably affect people's lives in a meaningful, meaningful way.
Yes. That was impressive clinical data. I think there were not that many patients with classical disease and very high levels of Phe. I think they were a little bit lower than what we saw in the Kuvan studies, for example. Are you going to be generating any more data, so we can understand how well Sephience works in the classical population, which makes up the majority of patients?
Yes. Well, absolutely. So I think we can debate numbers majority and break down. We had capped the enrollment in the study at 20% classical and saw a very good response in those patients. I think you did a great interview with the KOL who had pointed out that they were initially skeptical and put one of their most severe patients on who had severe classical and had a 90%, 90% lowering phenylalanine right away. And that's really what had everyone understanding they need to try all their patients on the drug.
And we'll be publishing very soon our mechanism of action paper, which is showing the ability to affect the non-BH4 responsive, these classical mutations, both in vitro, in vivo and in the clinic.
And what's really interesting about the Phase III trial, Joe, is if we take the metabolic definition of classical, you're right, the numbers were low in the trial because we capped at about 20%. But it turns out 70% of those carried a mutation that's associated with non-BH4 responsiveness. We've gone back to the genotype data, which is the purest way to understand a classical presentation of disease and actually had a very, very high percent of the "non-BH4 responsive classical mutations " So that will all be coming out soon and really establishes that if you look purely at the genetics that we are having very strong responses in a lot of these classical patients.
Okay. Good. I look forward to that. So then I guess, longer term, how are you thinking about defending the Sephience franchise some new approaches emerge that might work in even more patients?
Yes. I think let's be careful. We don't -- everything looks good early on. So I think what's well understood -- first of all, the launch is getting off to a strong start. We expect very strong penetration before any therapies reach the market. And I think the next therapies in line are some of the kidney-directed therapies, which are still a bit early in terms of having broad efficacy and safety demonstrated and understanding what their role can be.
The feedback we've gotten from a lot of folks in the community is people think we're headed towards a cocktail approach where you're going to be able to have more than one therapy to get folks even closer to complete diet freedom. In fact, I think if you look at the Otsuka trial with the first kidney-directed therapy and their inclusion criteria allowing folks who are on an oral therapy to stay on it, which already anticipates the fact that this is something that's going to be added on top of therapy for a lot of patients.
Okay. Great. So assuming Sephience becomes a solid backbone for the company, which pipeline program has the clearest path to becoming the next meaningful source of value creation?
Yes. I think, look, as we said, we're enthusiastic about Sephience. We believe that alone can get us to cash flow breakeven potentially even this year and certainly to sustainable profitability. I think looking at our existing portfolio now, in addition to the commercial products we have, with the recent feedback we've gotten from FDA on the vatiquinone program and the potential to be -- to have additional data to support resubmission coming from an open-label natural history controlled study, I think, would be something we'd look forward to doing.
We were very clear that we'll meet with the agency to get alignment on that protocol and analysis plan before initiating the study. But I think we would view that as a very high probability of success study and also very clearly could be a significant revenue contributor given the unmet need for pediatric and adolescent patients with FA and I think the clear need for alternative therapies or additional therapies for adults with Friedreich ataxia.
I think we also see the votoplam HD program, while we partnered with Novartis, the economics of that deal have significant upside for us with a 40% profit share in the U.S. And I think that clearly can be a very meaningful revenue contributor either through an accelerated pathway of available or a standard approval pathway.
Yes. Great. So let's touch on both of those. And I guess on vatiquinone, you've elected to move forward with a new trial following that regulatory feedback you alluded to. What specifically gives you confidence that the -- that this incremental investment makes sense? And what is similar or different in the design or degree of regulatory alignment that you have now versus previously?
I think our confidence comes from the MOVE-FA study where we showed over 72 weeks in a placebo-controlled study, significant effect on the upright stability scale, which was the only subscale of the mFARS on which the placebo group progressed over 72 weeks. So basically, you're saying the only place you could have shown significant slowing of progression, we did.
And then when we look longer term after 3 years, that same approximately 50% slowing of progression we saw over 72 weeks was maintained after 3 years when looking at a well-matched natural history control. So being able to take those data and all the learnings we've made and apply it to a study, again, if we're able to align on the protocol and analysis and setup of that natural history match external control study gives us a lot of confidence.
We know very well how a natural history control group should progress. I think part of the reason FDA has traditionally supported the use of the Friedreich ataxia registry as a source for external control data is the fact that there's a very clear, consistent predictable rate of progression of roughly 2 to 2.5 points a year.
So knowing how your control arm is going to perform removes one of the major questions you have going into a clinical trial. And so knowing that and what we've seen in terms of vatiquinone's ability to slow progression over a similar time period that is -- if we see what we saw before in the study, that should set us up very well for success.
Okay. And how do you feel, given the use of external synthetic control arms are a little bit of a hot topic nowadays at the FDA. Does that give you any pause heading into a strategy that might emphasize that?
So I think it's always important to have alignment with the agency before you start a study, how you're going to design it, how you're going to match things and how you're going to analyze it. That's straight out of the FDA guidance for 2023 on the use of external controls. So I think that's why we want to be super sure that we're aligned with the agency on both the essential elements of the protocol, how a match cohort would be identified and how the analysis would be done.
I think it's also important to note that this would be being done on top of a placebo-controlled study that showed benefit, and the study is being offered to provide additional data that would support resubmission. So while we're always wanting to be sure that we're aligned with FDA in writing align and clear, what we're going to be doing, I think the context here is also very different from some of the recent discussions that have gone on regarding external controls.
Okay. Great. And then given -- that's probably a good segue to my next question, given what's been going on in Huntington's disease, does that -- do those events influence your views at all about your Huntington's program that's been partnered with Novartis.
It is the recent experience with the gene therapy and FDA. Yes. Look, we've said all along that we have a very different program in terms of mechanism. We've had a very different development program where we've been able to provide objective evidence of target engagement and mechanism of action. We've had a placebo group. We've prespecified in the protocol, the intent to use an external control group long term to contextualize clinical benefit.
So I think we're in a very different context. We're in a different part of the FDA. I think the one thing that remains consistent is what has been very clear as a significant unmet need from a patient for a patient community that very much wants a therapy that can be safe and effective for them. So I think that's where things are consistent, but I think the programs are very different. The data packages are very different. And I think both our partner, Novartis, and we look forward to availing ourselves of an accelerated path if we believe the data warrant that.
So then just following up on that a little bit more, what would you hope to see that could make that -- bring that closer to reality?
Yes. So we're expecting to have in the first half, the interim data analysis of the -- where all the participants from PIVOT-HD crossed 24 months in the open-label extension. What we've already learned is that the -- we believe the optimal responder population is that Stage 2 patient group. In fact, the Phase III INVEST-HD, which Novartis is working very quickly to get up and running is going to be really focused in that earlier stage group of patients.
So what we would like to see now is in addition to already having hit the primary endpoint of Huntington lowering in these patients, seeing after 24 months continued evidence of dose-dependent effects on some of the clinical scales, including cUHDRS and the TFC subscale and also seeing in addition, if we can continue to see those trends in dose-dependent trends in NFL lowering, which provides some biological support that you're having a favorable effect. So I think it's -- again, it will be a package where we'll be looking at the effect on Huntington lowering combined with the clinical data at 24 months.
Okay. And it seems very important to the FDA that things are prespecified in order to be able to allow them to entertain whether or not they'll entertain having conversations around a potential accelerated path. So what's your strategy on that front?
Well, I think it's a strategy that started before we started the study. So right, the initial PIVOT-HD study was clear and prespecified Huntington lowering as the primary endpoint. There was an analysis plan, that endpoint was hit with statistical significance. The protocol for the open-label extension specified the intent to compare the cUHDRS and the subscales to external control registry, the natural history registry. And before the study is unblinded, there's a statistical analysis plan that outlines the strategy for modeling and matching as well as the analysis plans.
Yes. Yes. I know there's a ton of data out there available to sponsors in Huntington's disease to be able to do really rigorous comparisons. And what have you seen as far as the correlation between the Huntington lowering and the functional changes?
Yes. I think what we've seen, which has been very compelling is the fact that we're seeing these dose-dependent changes on the clinical scales. We saw that at 12 months in the placebo-controlled phase. We're seeing it out in the first data cut of the Stage 2 patients out at 24 months. That was about 1/3 of the patients where we saw those dose-dependent effects on cUHDRS on TFC, on the single-digit modalities test, which is the cognitive scale.
I think in these smaller patient numbers, being able to see that dose-dependent function is really valuable because it suggests that if you're lowering Huntington protein twice as much, you're seeing greater clinical benefit, which I think really supports the concept that Huntington lowering could provide long-term clinical benefit.
Okay. And then let's talk some more about the rest of your efforts given you held a nice event recently to talk about the deeper pipeline. What's your strategy there going forward?
Yes. You're referring to our R&D Day in December, which we were really excited to present. And in part, we wanted to spend some time talking about a lot of the advances we've made in the splicing platform. I think the RNA splicing platform is a highly differentiated validated platform as being incredibly valuable, again, yielding first Evrysdi, which is now the leading therapy for SMA and the HD program, which is the leading oral disease-modifying therapy in Hunting -- for Huntington's disease patients.
And we've made a lot of advances just in understanding how many more potential splicing targets there are. We've been able to integrate our knowledge about these potential targets, the biology of these targets, our proprietary library to develop something we call PTSeek, which is sort of a high throughput way we can match these and both facilitate and accelerate the discovery and development of splicing molecules.
We were able to share a number of the programs, preclinical programs in splicing that are moving forward, including our MSH3 program for Huntington's disease and DM1 for which we expect the development candidate this year. We also spent some time talking about our inflammation platform, where we have our NLRP3 program, which we expect to be entering Phase I in the second quarter of this year, our Ferroptosis Parkinson's program where we expect the development candidate this year as well as our Nrf2 activator program.
So a lot of exciting programs targeting aspects of biology known to be very important in diseases and doing so with highly differentiated molecules, whether as a function of specificity or potency or in the case of the splicing platform, leveraging our decades of expertise in splicing molecules.
Yes. And what's the strategy for taking them forward on your own versus would you be open to partnering any in particular? How are you about that?
Yes. We've been very clear that certainly things that are in the rare realm certainly fit very well in our capacity to develop and commercialize, and we'll definitely look to do that. There'll be other therapies. I think Parkinson's disease is one where we're certainly very comfortable taking that into Phase I, looking at different biomarkers to get an early read on important pharmacodynamic effect. But that's really something that I think would be better suited for a partner who has the muscle that you really need to do a Parkinson's disease program well.
We've also talked about having an interest in using the splicing platform also as a source of earlier-stage partnerships where there's certainly splicing targets that could be very valuable in larger neurodegenerative disease or oncology spaces where PTC is unlikely to be developing and commercializing, but nonetheless, our science can play an important part. So we think a lot about sort of these dual tracks where we can identify promising therapies that we can develop and commercialize, but then also still leveraging the potential of partnerships for noncore therapeutic areas.
Okay. Great. Well, thanks for the update. It looks like we're about out of time. Appreciate it.
Thank you, Joe.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Leerink Global Healthcare Conference 2026
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to PTC Therapeutics Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Ellen Cavaleri, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
2. Question Answer
Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us to discuss PTC Therapeutics Fourth Quarter and Year-end 2025 Corporate Update and Financial Results. I am joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Matthew Klein, our Chief Business Officer, Eric Pauwels; and our Chief Financial Officer, Pierre Gravier.
Today's call will include forward-looking statements based on our current expectations. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially.
Please review the slide posted on our Investor Relations website in conjunction with the call, which contains information about our forward-looking statements and our most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC as well as our other SEC filings for a detailed description of applicable risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual performance and results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements.
Additionally, we will disclose certain non-GAAP information during this call. Information regarding our use of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP are available in today's earnings release.
I will now pass the call over to our CEO, Dr. Matthew Klein. Matt?
Thank you all for joining the call today. 2025 was a year of many significant successes for PTC, positioning us well for 2026 and beyond. I'll start by reviewing the highlights in 2025 and then share our key objectives for 2026.
The main highlight of 2025 was the initial global approvals and launch of Sephience for children and adults living with PKU. As we have discussed, Sephience will be the foundational product for PTC's near-term growth. In 2025, we gained approval for Sephience in the U.S., EU, Japan and other countries, all within several months. The global launch is off to a strong start with broad uptake across all key patient segments and age groups.
In 2025, we also made a number of advances in our R&D pipeline including achieving positive results from the Phase II PIVOT-HD study of votoplam and progressing a number of early-stage programs, including those from our RNA splicing platform.
And in 2025, we delivered another year of strong revenue performance. Fourth quarter net product and royalty revenue was $263 million, and full year 2025 total net product and royalty revenue was $831 million, exceeding guidance of $750 million to $800 million. Total revenue includes $587 million of net product revenue with solid contributions from our mature products and from the early Sephience launch. For Sephience in the fourth quarter, we achieved $92 million in revenue and for 2025 since launch, we achieved $111 million, a really impressive start.
In addition to the strong revenue performance, non-GAAP R&D and SG&A OpEx for 2025 was $728 million, coming in below our guidance of $730 million to $760 million. With our strong commercial execution, disciplined OpEx management as well as the monetization of the remainder of the Evrysdi royalty for $240 million in December 2025, we ended the year with $1.95 billion in cash. This financial strength will enable us to continue to support our commercial and R&D portfolios as well as engage in strategic business development.
For 2026, we are providing product revenue guidance of $700 million to $800 million, with the majority coming from Sephience. This guidance represents 19% to 36% in year-over-year product revenue growth. The 2026 revenue guidance excludes Evrysdi royalty revenue given the sale of the remaining portion of the Evrysdi royalty. We are providing expense guidance of $680 million to $720 million. And based on our revenue and expense guidance, we have the potential to reach cash flow breakeven in 2026, a significant milestone for the company.
As we move into 2026, our main focus will be continuing the strong momentum of the Sephience launch. To date, we have seen broad uptake across all disease severities and age groups. This year, we expect revenue growth through increased penetration in our current markets as well as expansion into additional geographies. By the end of 2026, we expect to have patients on commercial drug in 20 to 30 countries across multiple regions, including Japan, where we gained approval in December and expect to launch in the coming weeks.
Based on Sephience's highly differentiated profile, the large unmet need for adults and children with PKU and the early broad uptake into all patient segments, we believe Sephience has a potential multibillion-dollar global revenue opportunity. In 2026, we also look forward to progress across our R&D portfolio. For the votaplam Huntington's disease program and then the Phase II meeting was held with FDA in the fourth quarter of 2025, where alignment was reached on the Phase III study design.
Novartis will be initiating the Phase III trial INVEST-HD in the first half of this year. This trial could serve as the confirmatory study in the context of accelerating approval or as a registration trial. We also expect to have results from the Phase II PIVOT-HD extension study in the first half of 2026 once all participants cross the 24-month time point.
For vatiquinone, we had a Type C meeting with FDA last December, where we discussed potential next steps in the development program following the CRL for the vatiquinone NDA. FDA has indicated that additional study will be necessary to support NDA resubmission and stated in the meeting minutes that this study could be a single-arm study with a natural history comparator group. We plan to meet with FDA in the second quarter to align on the protocol for this open-label study, including a matching strategy for the natural history control arm.
In 2026, we expect to advance several programs from our innovative R&D platforms, RNA splicing and ferroptosis inflammation. We expect to elect a development candidate for MSH3 program for HD and myotonic dystrophy as well as to advance some of our earlier preclinical programs.
From our inflammation platform, we look forward to initiating the Phase I study for our NLRP3 program by midyear and to potentially elect a development candidate for our ferroptosis Parkinson's disease program as well as our NRF-2 activator program. In summary, with our robust commercial engine, innovative R&D programs and strong financial position, we look forward to a successful 2026.
I'll now turn the call over to Eric to discuss our commercial performance, including details on the Sephience launch. Eric?
Thanks, Matt. We are incredibly pleased with the strong launch of Sephience reflecting its differentiated safety and efficacy profile and the experience and preparation of our global commercial organization. The PTC team has delivered on all key aspects of the early launch.
Our customer-facing teams engagement across all key segments, including Centers of Excellence, health care providers payers and patient advocacy groups has accelerated adoption of Sephience following FDA and EMA regulatory approvals. The breadth of adoption we are seeing across all patient segments in the first few months of the launch is highly encouraging.
In the fourth quarter of 2025, global Sephience revenue was approximately $92 million including $81 million in the U.S. and $11 million ex U.S. Sephience generated $111 million in revenue worldwide in 2025 since launch, and is expected with the U.S. accounting for the vast majority of the revenue. As of December 31, 2025, we had 946 patients on commercial therapy worldwide and in the U.S. received 1,134 patient start forms.
As Matt mentioned, we are seeing uptake from the full spectrum of the disease severity and patient age, including therapy-naive adults. We are also seeing breadth in terms of prescription base with 80% of PKU centers of excellence in the U.S. having written prescriptions for one or more patients. We are hearing positive feedback from health care providers highlighting broad adoption and have seen many patients of various disease severities, treatment histories and all ages from newborns to 80-year olds.
We are pleased to see that treatment-naive adults, many who have been called loss to follow-up or those who have tried and failed therapies in the past have actively been seeking suffice in the initial stages of the launch. While it's still early, we continue to see high refill rates and low discontinuation rates which we view as an important sign of building on the launch momentum. Importantly, the PKU community has been very active on social media, playing a meaningful role in sharing real-world experiences driving awareness and influencing other patients to engage earlier with their health care providers.
We continue to see favorable payer mix dynamics with the majority of prescriptions covered under commercial payer plans. Importantly, the AMPLIFY head-to-head study demonstrated significant superiority over BH4 has been well received by payers who are supporting open Sephience access with very few barriers, including no step edits and 12-month refills before reauthorization.
Our teams are also working on geographic expansion of the launch outside the U.S. We achieved regulatory approval in Japan in December and are finalizing pricing and reimbursement. While the U.S. continues to be the main driver for growth near term, we expect Sephience commercial patients to come from 20 to 30 countries by year-end, steadily building international presence in terms of both revenue and patients.
In Europe, we have submitted health technology assessment dossiers for pricing and reimbursement in key markets. and are leveraging paid early access programs for PKU patients to receive treatment as we finalize pricing negotiations. As we accelerate the launch in 2026, we believe the long-term opportunity for Sephience remains significant. In the U.S. alone, there are approximately 17,000 patients and new patients being identified via newborn screening with the majority of these patients tied to PKU Centers of Excellence.
The clinical data package of suites highly differentiated efficacy, safety and dual mechanism of action supports broad penetration across the PKU population and position Sephience as the potential standard of care. These compelling data and the large orphan patient pool create a significant runway for the future growth of the brand.
In the fourth quarter and throughout 2025, we continue to generate revenue from our more mature products. including the DMD franchise, given our ability to successfully defend Translarna and Emflaza despite significant headwinds. In conclusion, we are very pleased with the exceptional results delivered by the customer-facing teams in 2025. We are excited by the early launch Sephience metrics as we continue to build and execute on a world-class rare disease product launch.
With that, I will now turn the call over to Pierre for a financial update. Pierre?
Thanks, Eric. I will now share the financial highlights of our fourth quarter and full year 2025. Beginning with top line results. Total net product and royalty revenue for the fourth quarter was $263 million, including Sephience net product revenue of $92 million. GMV franchise revenue for the quarter was $66 million with Translarna net product revenue of $39 million and Emflaza net product revenue of $27 million. For Evrysdi, Roche achieved fourth quarter global revenue of approximately USD 584 million, resulting in royalty revenue of $79 million.
Our full year 2025 total net products and royalty revenue was $831 million, exceeding guidance. Total product revenue for 2025 was $587 million including $111 million of Sephience revenue and $382 million of DMD franchise revenue. For Evrysdi, full year royalty revenue was $244 million.
For the fourth quarter of 2025, non-GAAP R&D expense was $124 million, excluding $9 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense, compared to $116 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, excluding $9 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense. Non-GAAP SG&A expense was $87 million for the fourth quarter of 2025. Excluding $10 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense, compared to $76 million for the fourth quarter of 2024, excluding $8 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense.
In December 2025, we sold the remainder of our Evrysdi royalty to Royalty Pharma for $240 million upfront and up to $60 million in sales-based milestones. Importantly, we maintain the right to receive $150 million milestone from Roche based on single year Evrysdi sales of $2.5 billion. Based on the prior accounting method for the royalty, we will continue to show Evrysdi in our financial statements. However, there will be no cash proceeds for PTC.
We have provided product revenue guidance for 2026 of $700 million to $800 million. This represents 19% to 36% product revenue growth from 2025. We anticipate non-GAAP R&D and SG&A expense for the full year 2026 of $680 million to $720 million. Excluding estimated noncash stock-based compensate expense of $95 million. Based on this revenue and OpEx guidance, we have the potential to reach cash flow breakeven in 2026.
Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities totaled $1.95 billion as of December 31, 2025, compared to $1.14 billion as of December 31, 2024. Our strong financial position provides a solid foundation to pursue our strategic objectives including supporting our commercial and R&D programs as well as potentially pursuing business development opportunities.
And I will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Kristen Kluska with Cantor Fitzgerald.
Congrats on a really strong start for the Sephience launch. So first question for me. I just wanted to ask what's baked into your internal and external guidance for Sephience sales this year? Understandably, most of the sales will come from the U.S. But I would imagine if you're going to be in 20 countries versus 30, that will have an influence as well. So anything you can guide us for what's baked in and if you would consider this conservative at this stage?
Yes. Kristen, thanks so much for the questions. So as you indicated, the total -- so the revenue guidance this year is strictly product revenue, as we highlighted in the call of $700 million to $800 million, which is 19% to 36% growth over last year. We expect the vast majority of it to be from Sephience. The remainder, obviously, from our more mature products, as we said, we'll continue to have headwinds on the DMD franchise, including a larger number of generics in the U.S. for Emflaza and such. So we've been conservative in that regard of understanding where that could go. And as usual, as we get more visibility into DMD franchise as we move into the year, we can always adjust and raise guidance as needed.
On the Sephience front, we expect the majority of revenue to come from the U.S. with contributions ex U.S. that should -- as Eric and I both highlighted, we expect to have commercial patients in 20 or 30 countries by the end of the year, but we'll expect those revenue contributions to come later in the year. And I'll let Eric go into more detail on those dynamics in just a second, but I'll say that again, we're still very early in the launch with 1.5 quarters as we ended in 2025 with an incredibly strong start. We continue to see great momentum. And with just 2 points on the line thus far, obviously, we'll make adjustments to guidance as needed as we continue to move in the year and have greater visibility on the revenue trajectory.
Eric, do you want to provide a little bit more color on the rollout globally and the contributions to overall revenue?
Yes, and thanks for the question Kristen. I'll just add, Matt said a lot of different things here. And I think it's really important that you know that the U.S. will continue to drive the vast majority of our revenue during the course of this year. We continue to see very nice momentum in Germany as well, and we have prepared HTA dossiers in Europe as well. So much of this pricing and reimbursement will take place during the course of the second half of the year. We're also really excited that we have the Japanese launch that's coming up in the second quarter.
We finalized pricing and reimbursement. We will do that in the next few weeks and anticipate revenue to start in Q2, but more meaningful revenue in the second half. The good news as well is we had approval this week in Brazil, a very important market as well, and we'll begin processes with the named patient programs. And then as Matt said, when you potentially add 20 to 30 countries during the course of 2026, incrementally, they will be contributing over the course of the second half of this year, but really set us up nicely for 2027.
Go to office in the past? And maybe if you could just comment on some of the trends you're seeing within each of these specialty centers uniquely, like some of the feedback we hear is physicians are trying it on their more difficult patients first. And if they respond well, then kind of encouraging others to consider treatment as well.
Yes, thanks. Kristen, you've captured a number of the complex dynamics that we're seeing early on. So let's first start with this lost to follow-up bucket, which I think was a term, I think that really started with the physician saying that there's a lot of adults that they don't see who are not on therapies and they don't see them in clinic. And what we've learned is that there's a number of these adults out there who still have -- some of them still have associations with the clinic, whether it's periodic with dietitians or nurse practitioners and others who maybe not are associated with the center.
But I think what they have in common, and I believe this came out in your session today, with the MPQA, adults want to be on therapies. And so I think what was a little bit misunderstood early on is lots of follow-up and not coming to see a doctor was equated with not wanting to be on therapy. And that's not the case. I mean it's 2026 now, social media, people are plugged into what's going on in the community.
And I think as you talked about as well, what we see is a lot of activity on social media sharing the transformative benefits a lot of the patients have had with spine, including being able to try foods for the first time having fee control overall feeling better. And this gets out there. I mean there's actually social media influencers in the PKU community. So there are -- just because someone is not seeing a doctor doesn't mean the they are not -- that doesn't mean that they don't want to be on the therapy. And I think what we're starting to see is engagement of these folks as the new therapies available that has demonstrated to be safe ease of use and is able to deliver benefits that are so important to patients.
In terms of the center dynamics, it's not a one size fits all necessarily. But we are seeing early on that centers are tending to want to try those who are therapy naive or tried and failed other therapies before those are on therapies. And as you pointed to, we've heard from a few centers they're trying -- some of them are more challenging patients who desperately need a therapy. And the feedback there has been really positive with some of the more severe patients having really strong responses, which is really helping to put Sephience right there as first-line therapy to try for all patients regardless of severity. And then, of course, if it works in the most severe patients, there's greater confidence over time that those who are on current therapies, including oral therapies, could get switched over.
So overall, it's been a very strong response. And I would point out this lost to follow-up, doesn't mean loss to follow-up, but just one of those lessons that when a drug is launched and you're out in the real world, the dynamic play out as the dynamics are not always as the docs may have predicted. And again, overall, it's just been really impressive to see that those hardest to treat patients and hardest to reach patients are being reached and helped so early in the launch.
Our next question comes from Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
I wanted to get a little bit of color on vatiquinone. So FDA has asked for an additional study for FA. Can you provide any color on details? So do you know what kind of a study you would need to run? How many patients over what time period? Any kind of color that you could provide would be great here.
Yes. Sure, Tazeen. Thank you for the question. As we've talked about before -- and is visible to everyone, it's public, the CRL for vatiquinone was really based on statistical considerations. We had demonstrated significant effects on the upright stability scale, which is the most relevant and meaningful scale for the young patients enrolled in that study. This drug continued to show to be safe. And I think in our discussions with FDA, this may be FDA giving us an opportunity to provide additional data through an open label or single-arm study within natural history control.
And I think that, again, this speaks to the potential need to just have some additional evidence beyond what was there in MOVE-FA to provide the totality needed to gain approval. So we obviously want to meet with FDA as they have suggested we do to go over that open-label protocol, go through all the details of the matching criteria with the FA COMS natural history database. As we talked about before, Friedreich's ataxia in the FA community has done a great job of building a rigorous and robust natural history database that was used by [indiscernible] for approval.
So this is a regulatory precedent using it. And so we will, again, be using that. And we're just in the process now of finalizing what the subject number would look like and duration of treatment. So more to come on that. We expect to meet with the FDA in the second quarter. That meeting has been requested and scheduled so that we can get final alignment, then we can share those details and look to get this study started as quickly as possible. Obviously, we're excited to have an opportunity to do a study like this that wouldn't subject younger patients to a placebo and really allows us to get that additional treatment evidence that we would need for approval.
So then just a follow-up on that. Since they gave you a suggestion, should we just assume that that's what you are planning on doing? And is that also baked in to your OpEx guidance for this year, OpEx expenses for this year?
Yes, absolutely. They had written into the minutes that this was an option for us to take, to collect the additional evidence. And so that will be what we'll pursue discussions would be on that protocol. There is some OpEx for the FA study, and there'd be no change to that. It's entirely possible with an open-label study, may obviously be less costly. It's a little less involved than having to manufactured placebo and all the blinding and some of the logistics required in the CRO operations. But no -- for sure, no increased OpEx related to doing this time.
Our next question comes from Ellie Merrell with Barclays.
On Science, first, just what are your expectations for the discontinuation rate commercially? Specifically, how long do you think physicians will wait to see if patients respond or not and I guess, the threshold that physicians view for response.
And then just a separate question, just in terms of the cadence of new starts from here. Are you seeing a steady number of new start forms this year so far? Or did you see a bolus upfront? And if you could just talk to sort of how you see the rate of new starts evolving, I guess, in the U.S. over the course of the year.
Thank you very much for the questions, Ellie. I'll just start and I'll pass it over to Eric. As we talked about thus far, it's still early days in the launch, and we're seeing very low numbers of discontinuations very high prescription renewal rate. It's still early days, but it's obviously very encouraging.
Eric, do you want to talk a little bit how we're thinking about that dynamic over time and cadence of starts going forward?
Yes. I mean on the discontinuation rate, that's really important because, obviously, part of what we're doing is building a prevalence and were discontinuation rates as well. as refills are something we're watching very carefully. As we've mentioned before, we have very low dropouts single digits. And usually, these are based on patient decisions, not necessarily for clinical reasons, safety or efficacy, which is incredibly encouraging.
With regards to Cadence, we see we have gone through. And of course, we've gone through the course of the 5.5 months of the launch. We continue to see very nice momentum with new patient starts. And we anticipate that cadence to continue throughout. It is a combination of consistency of bringing in new patients and maintaining the base of patients that we have by ensuring that our case managers and our teams are involved in making sure that medical education awarenesses, reauthorizations, dose adjustments and all of that are taking place.
So we're very, very confident that not only the momentum that we've had that we started in the first 5 months will continue, but adding 20 to 30 countries over the course of the second half of the year, we'll bring in meaningful revenue to this truly global launch.
Our next question comes from Brian Cheng with JPMorgan.
How should we think about the fine growth in Europe once we reach the end of the 6-month free pricing period specifically, how the negotiated price balance out the projected uptick in the market.
Thanks very much for the questions, Brian. And Eric, do you want to talk a little bit about German dynamics and pricing.
Sure. First of all, we're really pleased with the launch because the vast majority of the centers of excellence in Germany have prescribed suppliance. So we have an incredibly experienced team that's been managing that process. Keep in mind, we've also had a number of products that we've launched. And we've gone through this process right now to get pricing and reimbursement. We have already gotten the assessment from GBA and AMNOG on the benefit rating. And we're in this process right now for pricing and reimbursement.
We've submitted our HTA dossier. It has a very strong clinical package right now that includes both all of the affinity data as well as the AMPLIFY data which will give us a lot of really important strength in terms of supporting the highest possible price. These discussions are ongoing, and they will be going for the next 5 to 6 months before we finalize pricing and reimbursement with the AMNOG process. So I think we need to stay tuned. But we're anticipating with the strength of the data that we'll be able to maintain the highest possible list price and lowest rebate.
Our next question comes from Judah Frommer with Morgan Stanley.
Maybe just a follow-up on Sofia. Anything you can point to in reimbursement dynamics that have kind of shifted as we move through the initial stages of the launch, maybe specifically for those patients getting approved to be on first-line therapy with Sephience.
And then separately, just on the comments around potential to pursue business development. I guess, how do you think about prioritizing the internal early-stage pipeline and bolting on to that versus kind of going in alternate directions.
Yes. Thank you for the questions, it. I'll let Eric talk a little bit about the color on reimbursement dynamics and hear briefly on BD. So Eric, you want to go first?
Thanks for the question,. First of all, we're really pleased with the interactions that we've had with both the U.S. commercial payers and the government payers. I mean we've had some pretty experienced teams of our field-based teams with both MS cells as well as market access that they have met with payers now that cover more than 250 million lives. We've been leveraging again the AFFINITY data. But more importantly, the AMPLIFY data has really, really opened up a lot of good discussion in terms of policies.
Government and commercial policies have been written. It shifted in the positive sense in the context that -- where they've been written, they've been favorable to Sephience. They're primarily prior authorization to label. They're either limited or no step edits with refills from 6 to 12 months. And some of the biggest commercial payers have finalized their policies with refills to 12 months and no step edits. So that's very encouraging.
In terms of reauthorization, the processes seem to be very straightforward and generally positive. After 6 to 12 months, the criteria seems to be fairly consistent with our with our clinical results. So they're looking for fee reduction, goal attainment for dietary needs as well as potentially the physicians or health care providers judgment on clinical improvement. So all in all, I think the shift has been very quite positive, and we're seeing now a number of plans, both at the government and commercial level that have been favorable to survive.
And on BD, first of all, we're in a strong financial position with $1.5 billion cash as we start the year. Sephience is off to a great start, and we see it to be a multibillion dollar opportunity. We're obviously focused on the launch and continuing to expand globally as well as develop our internal R&D pipeline.
Rest assured, we have enough cash to do both at the same time, no problem. But we're open to accelerate top line growth via business development opportunities. We will be disciplined, and we will make sure to always look at maximizing shareholder returns.
Our next question comes from Ben Burnett with Wells Fargo.
I wanted to ask also about science. Just what kind of Q1 dynamics should we expect? I guess, any color on kind of discounting or any other sort of typical Q1 dynamics that we should be modeling?
And then also, like where do you expect kind of the majority of the demand to kind of come from going forward? So kind of talked about some of these lots of follow-up patients. But is going forward, are the switches kind of the more important group? Or do you see kind of adoption from both?
Thanks for the questions, Ben. Let me grab the second question -- take the second question first. Look, I think one of the things that has been impressive to us early on in the launch is the breadth of uptake, both in terms of age with patients as young as a couple of months of age up to 80 years as well as the full spectrum of severity, seeing less severe patients, classical patients with non-DI responses in different patient segments, those that are currently on therapies with those who are in therapy and I just talked about. And I think we had the majority thus far coming from those who've tried and failed previous therapies.
Being that we're still in the early stages of the launch, I think what we expect in the short term is continued broad penetration as we go deeper and deeper. There's no reason to see a slowdown in those that have tried and failed coming on, those that may be therapy naive. And I think over time, we'll probably see more of the switches that goes on therapy for the simple reason that what we're hearing is there's a preference at the centers to try to get those who don't have a therapy right now or trying filter to get on therapy first before switching.
Of course, the AMPLIFY data shows as well as on other studies continue to show every patient who's been on BH4 generic or branded has a much better response to Sephience whether that's in terms of fee lowering or fee lowering and diet liberalization. So time and time again, that is the case. And there's awareness about that in the health care provider community, which is why we expect over time, we'll see those switches come. But for now, I think the story is going to continue to be breadth but in terms of the segments, breadth in terms of severity.
And the other thing I'll point out that early on, as Eric raised in his comments, we've gotten prescriptions from over 80% of the centers of excellence. And at this stage of the launch, it's usually the opposite, it's usually 20 a prescribed and you're trying to get into the larger numbers. What we're seeing again is a story of breadth of getting penetration into these expert centers, which again, we expect will continue over time.
Our next question comes from Clara Dong with Jefferies.
This is [indiscernible] on for Clara. I just wanted to ask for Sephience. As you think about Japan and Brazil and these other ex-U.S. EU markets that you could launch in, how would you kind of force-rank those by revenue contribution potential? And then also on time line to kind of contributing meaningfully.
Great. Thank you for the question. As we said, we expect going forward, the majority will continue to come from the U.S., but we'll start seeing those contributions from ex U.S.
And Eric, you want to talk little bit how we're thinking about timing and contribution.
Yes. Timing and contribution in those key markets are very important. We're already getting to the very end of this quarter, and we will have price negotiated pricing and reimbursement in Japan. I think we're really pleased with the approval there. It's a full and broad label. Our staff is already on the ground. They're fully trained. They're profiling the centers of excellence. And we anticipate first commercial sales from Japan in the second quarter, with more meaningful revenue in the second half.
I want to remind you, there's about 1,000 PKU patients in Japan. However, it's a very, very high priced and premium-priced market with 10 years of orphan drug exclusivity. So we've got a long runway and a very experienced team there. We're also really pleased with the dynamics of Brazil because Brazil has over 5,000 diagnosed patients, and they're concentrated in major cities. We're pleased because our team there is incredibly experienced. They've launched multiple products in the rare disease space. They know how to navigate the named patient program aspects in Brazil.
So the team has gone through already for more than a year, profiled a number of the centers of excellence, health care providers, KOLs and the advocacy groups. And the named patient programs are in place and ready to go since the approval this week. So we have a number of patients already identified.
Pricing submission will take place shortly in the coming days. And we anticipate, again, more meaningful revenue because the name patient programs do take a little longer to go through in Brazil, but we would anticipate more meaningful revenue towards the end of this year.
Our next question comes from Brian Abrahams with RBC.
This is Joel on for Brian. I wanted to ask on votoplam. Can you walk us through the Phase III study design? How are you thinking about potential approval pathways there what might be some scenarios that could enable approval prior to primary reading out? And separately, can you also quickly comment on your net pricing expectations for Sephience?
Sure. Joel, thanks for the questions. Let me take the first one, and then I'll turn it over to Pierre to talk about net pricing. So this -- as we talked about, we -- there was an FDA meeting in the fourth quarter, where the key focus of that meeting was achieving alignment with FDA on the design of this Phase III study, INVEST-HD.
As you know, this will be conducted fully by Novartis, funded fully by Novartis, but obviously, we participate as a member of the joint development committee. And the idea was to set this study up to either serve as a confirmatory study in the context of potential accelerated approval based on the PIVOT-HD open-label extension data. or itself as a registration study. And as we shared at JPMorgan, this will be a placebo-controlled study with a 3 to 2 randomization of going to plan to placebo and a targeted enrollment of approximately 770 participants in over 30 countries with the primary end point in change in CUHDRS.
There is an interim analysis planned for both efficacy and futility. So there is that potential that if accelerated approval is not achievable based on the PIVOT-HD study with an interim analysis that could potentially bring an earlier approval prior to the completion of all patients getting through that INVEST-HD study.
Pierre, you want to talk a little bit on net pricing.
Yes, absolutely. The interesting dynamic in the PKU pricing is 2/3 of the patients are commercial which is very rare and usually in some other settings, for instance, Duchenne, it's 50-50 split. And we said we expect the gross to net between 15% to 25%. At the start of the launch will be in the lower hand of that side. And as we get to steady state will increase over time.
You next question comes from Joseph Thome with TD Cowen.
Maybe to follow-up on the Huntington's program. I guess now that Novartis is in charge of the program, are they also in charge of any further disclosures from Phase I/II program? Or should we expect anything in May of this year? Kind of how does that work? And then I guess is there another planned FDA meeting on the data that you have right now, I guess, to use that package for accelerated approval? Just trying to understand that component. And then lastly, in the Phase III, what triggers that interim analysis?
Thanks for the question, Joe. So the -- as we talked about the other objective of that fourth quarter FDA meeting was to just have a high-level discussion around the potential for accelerated approval and not surprising the neurology division in Cedar is open to that potential given the significant unmet need for those living with Huntington's disease. I think it's quite clear from the comments we've made publicly and Novartis has made publicly that there's a great enthusiasm in both companies to pursue that pathway based on the data, if that's possible.
Clearly, the next step is the analysis of the open-label data, which will occur once all subjects across 24 months. That would give us an opportunity to look at those data, make a decision through the joint development committee consisting both of Novartis and PTC, whether we believe we have data there worthy of discussion about accelerated approval. And then as you can imagine, there would be a subsequent needed regulatory and feeding to get an alignment with the division about the data and the potential for accelerated approval.
That analysis will be done by Novartis as they're overseeing the program now. We would expect that we would have a disclosure. The details of that will get worked out. as we go through the analysis. And as we said, that analysis will occur in the first half of this year. So we would expect to be sharing in the data. Those details are still to come. In terms of triggering the interim, those details haven't been disclosed as of yet.
I think the idea, though, is to make sure that there is a sufficient number of subjects that have gotten through a significant duration of treatment to allow for an opportunity to understand if there's a sufficient efficacy signal that could allow for potential stopping or at least a data cut and analysis to support discussions around accelerated approval.
Our next question comes from Sami Corwin with William Blair.
Congrats on the progress. I was curious how we should interpret the Translarna sales allowance in France? And if we could see a similar adjustment in the future. And then regarding the vatiquinone, did the FDA have any recommendations or input as to whether you could use upright stability as the primary endpoint? Or if they prepare you to use mFARS
Thanks, Sami. On the first question on the Translarna France allowance, this was kind of a unique thing to France. It's a onetime France specific thing that we had sold Translarna there under an early access program since the beginning of time where we set the price when the license wasn't renewed, France ended the early access program and set their own price and they issued a charge for the difference. So this is a something specific to the France early access system. In fact, it's something specific to Translarna that I think would never happen again for any other drug in and it was a onetime thing.
On vatiquinone, so I think one of the questions in terms of what the end point is will be based on the duration of that study because 1 of the important findings we had in the MOVE-FA study was that certainly, over the short term, 12 to 18 months that upgrade stability is clearly the endpoint that could capture is most sensitive to capture treatment effect in the population we enrolled in MOVE-FA, which would be consistent with the one that we would enroll in this new study.
However, what we saw in the data is that by 18 months and certainly as we went out to 36 months, we continued to record significant effect on slowing of disease progression. But now that slowing was captured on the other subscales as well, including lower limb and upper limb. So that's why I say that depending on the duration of the study, if we're looking at something a little bit longer than 18 months that it would probably make the most sense to have the NFRs as the primary endpoint. Because really, the goal here is to demonstrate significant effect on slowing of progression and how that's done with mFARS and the subscale is based on the patients and the duration of the study.
Our next question comes from Geoff Meacham with Citigroup.
This is [indiscernible] on for Geoff. Maybe going back to Sephience and thinking about OUS geographies A lot of the early trends that we've been seeing in the U.S. are pretty encouraging with regard to capturing the loss to follow-up patients and some of these early start trends and also awareness on social media. So maybe thinking about Japan and Brazil and other geographies you're thinking about. Could these trends also be similar or is your internal expectation, that is just too early to tell.
Thanks, [indiscernible], for the question. I would say that it's probably a little early to tell, but what we do know is true is that patients regardless if they live in the U.S., if they live in Brazil, are they live in Germany, are they live in Spain? Or are they live in Japan, UAE, their networks, their social media networks everywhere. There's patient organizations, there's aggregation of patients. And so the -- these communication channels like we're seeing in the U.S. that drive awareness that enable patients to share the stories of success in trying fees for the first time and such. We see that globally.
What may differ [indiscernible] in country to country is a little bit of just the dynamics of patients attached to centers. For example, I already talked about the number of patients in Japan 1,000. It's much more concentrated in about 12 centers of excellence as a number of centers of excellence in Germany where things are concentrated. So the dynamics in the segments may differ a little, but I think there is in common in some of these countries, there's a higher attachment to the centers of excellence and social media channels.
And I think the dynamics in Brazil may be different yet. But as Eric pointed out, our teams have a lot of experience working in all of the different regions in states of Brazil, understanding the dynamics of patient organizations, the importance of local governments and advocacy groups, how do you establish access, what's necessary to leverage the utilization process or early treatments while still trying to get access and reimbursement to see that in [indiscernible]. So I think this is where having that experience in understanding the dynamics unique to certain geographies will allow us to have early success as we launch.
Maybe one follow-up is that you mentioned earlier that about 80% or maybe slightly over 80% of centers of excellences in the U.S. have prescribed Sephience. So maybe just thinking about the remaining 20% of the pie, what do you think they need to see in order for them to get on board Sephience proven efficacy and excellent tolerability and safety profile.
Yes, I'll let Eric talk about that. I mean we -- because this is a unique dynamic at this age launch to be in 80/20 instead of the 20/80, but Eric...
I mean to Matt's point, it's remarkable to have after 5 months, 80% of your centers that have written multiple prescriptions in the U.S. And we have seen the same dynamics in Germany in these centers of excellence. So that's very encouraging. It means that the efficacy -- clinical efficacy of the product in the real world experience is playing out.
Of course, there's always going to be a few laggards. We have a number of key things that we're doing in the field. We have frequent touch points with all of the centers of excellence on either daily or weekly basis. And with those few laggards, we're doing a number of key medical education programs that peer to peer. We have newly published data that is now going to be in peer review, obviously, with the affinity, the long-term extension, Amplify the mechanism of action, a number of these things that we can bring forward.
But I think one of the main points is patient demand, social media, and the push through that these inquiries will have on these centers to accelerate adoption. I think these patient testimonies from other centers that have utilized this will move those remaining few laggers.
Our next question comes from Luke Herrmann with Baird.
Just another on vatiquinone. Are you able to share some additional color on your base case for the external control matching strategy in order to maximize the likelihood of a statistical hit. And I guess, what are the key features you need to align on with FDA at this point?
Thanks for the question, Luke. Obviously, we have experience from the MOVE-FA study of having done this natural history match on key factors that we had aligned with FDA on as part of the statistical analysis plan and had 50% slowing over 3 years relative to natural history. So I think we've got a good sense as does FDA on those matching factors and the things exactly that you'd expect, age of onset based on mFARS scores, things that get at making sure that you have similar baseline severity as well as similarities and things that drive progression.
Again, we're fortunate to be in a situation where there's regulatory precedent for using these natural history matching with the National Registry. We've done it ourselves and FDA is familiar with it. So that really helps. So really what comes down to the alignment is making certain that the FDA is comfortable with this matching approach, details of the model, statistical aspects of the model, how we're going to do the analysis and duration of study and subject numbers.
So really those key points. So as we move down what is a relatively unprecedented path for a neurological disease having this opportunity to do it have an open-label [indiscernible] comparison to allow for us to file. We just want to make sure that everything is buttoned up from whereas line as much as possible prior to starting that.
Our next question comes from Joon Lee with Truist.
Congrats on the strong quarter. This is [indiscernible] on for Joon, just a couple from us. So firstly, Palynziq has an upcoming PDUFA for adolescent coming up in the next week. Is that something that we should be paying attention to? And just quickly on the gross to net, the move towards the 15% to 25% range you previously mentioned, should we expect that this year?
Thanks for the questions, [indiscernible]. So the first question is the potential label expansion of Palynziq to adolescents. Look, I think as we've talked about, one thing that's becoming clear to us is suffices reaching that point where it will become the first line of treatment. It will be the first line of care, given that it is oral, convenient, strong safety tolerability profile and demonstrated efficacy across the full spectrum of patients.
And I think even if Palynziq is approved in younger patients, I think given its history of safety tolerability challenges with administration duration for lengthy time for titration to get to a dose that may be effective and safe. All of those things, I think, will keep it as sort of second line behind finance.
As you can imagine, for adolescents, there would be a lot of benefits to being having an effective drug that's oral, strong safety and tolerability record versus one that may have more challenges in that regard. Your question on GN, 15% to 25%, Pierre, do you want to follow up on that?
Yes, absolutely. I think, as I mentioned, we're on the lower end, and it will take multiple quarters to reach the top bank. So it's going to be a slow and it will not be our expectation to hit the top end of this year.
Our next question comes from Joseph Schwartz with Leerink Partners.
It's Jenny on for Joe. Just one question from us. At R&D Day, you highlighted your new splicing and inflammation programs. what are the first clinical proof-of-concept milestones that would provide validation and/or how do you view the catalyst path for these programs? And how are you prioritizing capital allocation as you target cash flow breakeven for these.
Thanks for the question. I think, first of all, in terms of splicing, we can confidently say that has been a well-validated platform. I think certainly, both rise the success of Evrysdi and the success of votoplam certainly substantiates the potential for Splicing to deliver transformational and very valuable therapies. So I think as we move through in terms of specific program validation, as we move forward, we look -- as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we look forward to bringing that the MSH3 molecule to development candidate status this year and then as quickly as we can trying to get that into the clinic.
So the next step really is making sure we have all the necessary preclinical work done in IND-enabling studies done to allow us to move that into the clinic. Similarly on the inflammation proptosis platform. There, we've got some clinical stage programs, as we talked about being able to move into Phase I within our NLRP3 inhibitor program, which we expect to do by mid-year the next big stage gate there are your typical Phase I type things of being able to understand the safety and the pharmacology.
We also have the potential to start the Phase II program for the D2H inhibitor this year and in the early stage programs I highlighted both the Parkinson's ferroptosis program as well the NRF-2 activator program and both are nearing that DC stage. So we're still at that point where we're ticking the boxes to make sure we have all those gating nonclinical toxicology and pharmacodynamic study is done to allow us to move those forward. So we look forward to hitting those milestones and being able to get these programs forward as quickly as possible.
Pierre, do you want to talk a bit about capital allocation?
Yes. I will mention a few things. Number one, we demonstrated over the last few years that we're very disciplined an OpEx management. You see revenue increase and strong space launch and OpEx over the years. We've been very disciplined. We'll continue to be that's important to us to reach cash flow breakeven and be cash flow positive after that. we are highly focused on the momentum of fiance and expanding globally. That's important to us.
You mentioned R&D Day and our R&D programs, which will continue to develop both on the splicing platform as well as ferroptosis and information. And finally, we're open to look at the opportunities, as I mentioned, on ways to accelerate top line growth.
Our next question comes from Paul Choi with Goldman Sachs.
Congrats on all the progress. And I also wanted to ask on the early-stage pipeline as well, Matt, which is just with regard to your FRP program, as you mentioned. Is there a particular area of fibrosis, which, in your view, allows for the shortest clinical development time and time to market. And then for your NLRP3 program, I think you guys were still in the stage of indication selection. Can you maybe just comment on what your latest thoughts are on that program and just sort of where your target focus might be.
Just to clarify your first question is, I mean NRF2 program, is that correct?
Yes. Just sort of what area of fibrosis or fibrotic disease, I guess, provides you the sort of the easiest or shortest path to market.
Yes. So I think the way we're thinking about it for both programs is 2 things, right? One is where can we see overlap between the target pathway, the mechanism drug? and disease states. And then the second is how do we think about that in terms of efficiency and moving things forward. When you talked about the R&D day, how our NRF2 activator program is pretty unique in that it has a differentiated mechanism of action that has what we like to consider comprehensive NRF2 activation which modulates both the cellular stress response as well as inflammation pathways.
So we're able to see effects and as we share data from both kidney studies, and I believe lung studies as well showing great activity and benchmarked to others. So I would say at this point, well, we're still doing indication selection there. We should have a beat on that soon. But where we want to go is understand where there's been a clear evidence that by targeting NRF2 the way we can that we can deliver clinical effect.
And obviously, we're going to be in the rare disease realm. And as usual, from a developability standpoint, we'll look for things that have allow us to have objective biomarkers or clinical effect that can not only facilitate the development program, but also get to that acceleration piece you talked about, get confidence early that we're having a meaningful effect that could either open up an accelerated approval portal or allow us to move forward faster in initiating a registrational study.
On the NLRP3 front, as we shared at the R&D Day, PDC612 has demonstrated really strong potency due to its selectivity and we benchmarked it to a number of of compounds as we shared that day with favorable potency. We talked a bit about that day and continue to believe that our initial targets will be lung inflammation of fibrosis, given the overlap between the NLRP3 pathways and lung fibrosis. So we are still honing on final indications, but I think our first goal will be a pulmonary fibrotic conditions.
Thank you. I would now like to turn the call back over to Dr. Matthew Klein for any closing remarks.
Thank you all very much for joining the call today. 2025 was a really successful year for PTC. We're excited about the Sephience launch, the R&D platform, our strong financial position. all of which really sets us up for great success in 2026 and beyond. Thank you all again, and have a great evening.
Thank you. This concludes the conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us for another session at the 44th JPMorgan Healthcare Conference. I'm Brian Cheng, one of the senior biotech analysts here at the firm. At the podium, we have the CEO of PTC Therapeutics, Matt Klein. I'll now pass the mic to Matt for a short presentation, followed by a live audience Q&A.
Thank you, Brian, and thank you, everyone, for joining us this morning. Last year, I stood on this stage and talked about how 2025 was going to be a year of focus and execution for PTC, positioning us for future success. We set a number of objectives for the year, including gaining the first approvals for Sephience for the treatment of children and adults of PKU, ensuring a strong start to the Sephience global launch, continue to drive revenue and effectively manage expenses as we continue to move the company towards cash flow breakeven and advance our innovative early-stage programs, including the votoplam Huntington's disease program. I'm pleased to report that we achieved all of these objectives.
We gained approval for Sephience in the U.S., Europe, Japan and a number of other countries in just 6 months' time. The Sephience launch is off to a strong start with broad uptake across all key patient segments. We had another year of outstanding revenue performance and effective expense management and closed the year with over $1.94 billion in cash. And last May, we shared the positive results from the PIVOT-HD Phase II study of votoplam in Huntington's disease patients, as well as advance a number of our early stage programs, including those from our RNA splicing platform.
Overall, 2025 was a year of many significant successes. This morning, I'll review our 2025 performance and provide an outlook for what we expect to be a very exciting 2026. As I'll be making forward-looking statements this morning. I refer you to this slide as well as our recent SEC filings for a full explanation of risks and uncertainties.
I'll start with our 2025 revenue performance. Our revenue for the year was $823 million, exceeding our guidance of $750 million to $800 million. This outstanding revenue performance included $588 million of product revenue, driven both by our Sephience launch revenue as well as our more mature products.
For Sephience, in the fourth quarter, we achieved $92.5 million in net revenue, bringing the total since launch to $112 million. As of December 31, we had 946 patients on commercial therapy worldwide. And in the U.S., we had 1,134 patient start forms with a payer mix of approximately commercial. We continue to see contributions from every patient segment as well as the full range of age groups from infants to older adults, as well as the full spectrum of disease severity.
In addition, while still early days, we're seeing very high prescription refill rates and very low discontinuation rates with low single-digit percent in the U.S. This strong start to the Sephience launch reflects both the highly differentiated safety and efficacy profile of Sephience as well as the outstanding performance of our field teams and our PTC Cares case management team. I'll be providing more details on the Sephience launch and the overall market opportunity later in the presentation.
As we move into 2026, we're providing revenue guidance of $700 million to $800 million. We expect the majority of this to come from Sephience as we continue the strong launch momentum with smaller contributions from our more mature products. I want to emphasize that our product revenue guidance for 2026 does not include Evrysdi royalty revenue as we sold the remaining portion of the Evrysdi royalty for $240 million in milestones to Royalty Pharma as we shared in December of 2025. This product revenue guidance represents a 19% to 36% year-over-year growth from our product revenue of 2025.
In terms of expenses, we're providing OpEx guidance of $680 million to $720 million. The midpoint of this guidance represents an approximately 6% decrease from the midpoint of OpEx guidance in 2025. Looking at product revenue guidance and OpEx guidance, it's clear that PTC has the potential to reach cash flow breakeven in 2026, which would be a significant milestone for the company and position us for the potential of sustainable profitability in the future.
In 2026, our main focus is going to be continuing the strong sufficed global launch momentum. We also look forward to continued progress in the votoplam Huntington's disease program as well as to a number of our early-stage R&D programs. We'll also continue to work to move the company towards reaching that significant cash flow breakeven milestone.
Let's dig deeper into this 2026 outlook, starting with Sephience. As we've discussed, Sephience is the foundational product for PTC's near-term growth. The launch is off to a really strong start, with over $112 million in revenue and over 940 patients on drug within just the first 5.5 months. And every sign points to this strong momentum continuing into 2026 and beyond.
One of the factors supporting the broad uptake of Sephience and its potential to become the standard of care for PKU is its highly differentiated dual mechanism of action. This dual mechanism of action allows for the benefit in the -- for the full spectrum of PKU patients. even those with more severe subtypes known as classical PKU. The first mechanism of action is Sephience's ability to serve as a precursor to BH4, which is the cofactor for phenylalanine hydroxylase, the enzyme implicated in PKU pathology.
Now if one were to give BH4 itself, whether in the form of KUVAN, branded or generic, it gets oxidized in the GI tract and a lot of it gets excreted. So there's very little that is bioavailable to the cells. This is not the case for Sephience. Sephience is rapidly absorbed from the GI tract intact, actively transported into the cell where it's converted into BH4, achieving very high levels of intracellular BH4.
This is the reason why we continue to see in all of our clinical studies, that any individual who has a benefit from KUVAN, either branded or generic, has a much greater benefit from Sephience.
The second mechanism of action is Sephience's ability to serve as an independent chaperone, binding to the phenylalanine hydroxylase enzyme and stabilizing its shape which then augments enzyme function. It's this second mechanism of action that allows Sephience to have meaningful benefit in individuals with what is known as non BH4 responsive mutations such as those associated with classical PKU. The evidence for the broad meaningful benefit that Sephience can provide continues to grow.
We recently shared the results from the AMPLIFY head-to-head study comparing Sephience with BH4. In this study, as in all of our previous studies, we again see that any individual who has a benefit from KUVAN, branded or generic, has a much greater benefit from Sephience. In this crossover study, Sephience provided in over 70%, 7-0%, greater lowering in phenylalanine as compared to BH4.
These results not only resonate with prescribers, but are also very important to payers and HTA authorities. We've also recently shared the continued evidence of Sephience's ability to allow for diet liberalization. Probably the most meaningful endpoint for individuals with PKU. In the fee tolerance protocol of our affinity long-term extension study, virtually every subject was able to increase protein intake while maintaining control of phenylalanine. 69% of participants were able to reach or exceed the recommended daily protein intake for an individual that does not have PKU.
Now why these numbers sound great, and they certainly are great, perhaps even more meaningful are the stories we continue to see on social media of kids and adults with PKU being able to enjoy foods they never had before, like hamburgers and pizza and steak. We even see stories of moms who say, for the first time, they're able to have the same breakfast with their child. These are incredibly impactful stories and probably provide no greater endorsement of the potential transformative benefit that Sephience can provide for individuals of PKU.
We're also continuing to see important effects on other meaningful aspects of disease, including improved cognitive function and mood as well as improvements in a number of different aspects of disease-related quality of life. Importantly, all these meaningful benefits are being delivered in the context of a consistent safety and tolerability profile, which is quite favorable.
When one considers the highly differentiated Sephience mechanism of action, the evidence of meaningful treatment benefit across all age groups and disease severities and the consistent favorable safety and tolerability profile of Sephience, it's clear that Sephience has the potential to address each key segment of the market including individuals currently on treatment, those that have tried and failed existing treatments and those that are therapy-naive.
Thus, the total addressable market is nearly the entire population of PKU patients, which is 17,000 in the U.S. The evidence of early penetration into each of these segments thus far in the launch, supports that physicians similarly see the potential for Sephience to be first-line therapy for PKU and become the standard of care.
This market size, the significant remaining unmet need for PKU patients, even though they are approved therapies and our commercial team's ability to execute all add up to a very large potential commercial opportunity for Sephience. In 2025, our launch efforts are really focused in the United States and in Germany. And as we move into 2026, we expect to significantly expand the global Sephience footprint. We're expecting to launch in Japan in Brazil as well as a number of other countries around the world and will also continue to leverage early access programs where possible. Our customer-facing teams around the world stand at the ready to be able to deliver Sephience to any individual with PKU who may benefit.
So in summary, the Sephience launch is off to a really strong start. We see no evidence of this momentum slowing as we move into 2026 and beyond.
We also expect a number of activities from the votoplam Huntington's disease program in 2026. Votoplam is the leading oral disease-modifying therapy in development for Huntington's disease. Votoplam is a highly differentiated molecule that was discovered from PTC's splicing platform and was partnered with Novartis in December of 2024.
In May of last year, we shared the results from the positive PIVOT-HD Phase II study of votoplam. The study met its primary endpoint with durable dose-dependent lowering of blood Huntington protein levels. Favorable and dose-dependent clinical effects were demonstrated at month 12 relative to placebo. And at month 24, we demonstrated dose-dependent significant effects relative to a well matched natural history cohort.
In addition, at month 24, dose-dependent effects on NFL were also recorded. Importantly, votoplam continues to be demonstrated to be safe and well tolerated with no evidence of NFL spikes. In the first half of 2026, we expect the next data update from the open-label extension of PIVOT-HD as all participants cross the 24-month time point.
In the fourth quarter, an end of Phase II meeting was held with FDA where alignment was reached on the Phase III study of votoplam. This study can serve as a registrational trial or in the context of accelerated approval serve as the confirmatory study. The INVEST global HD study will be a double-blind randomized controlled study with target enrollment of approximately 770 participants from over 30 countries.
The primary endpoint will be change in the cUHDRS scale from baseline up to 36 months and an interim analysis is planned for both efficacy and futility. Per the votoplam licensing agreement, Novartis will be responsible for the conduct and full funding of this study.
At the end of Phase II meeting, we also discussed with FDA the potential for accelerated approval. As expected, FDA was supportive of the potential accelerated approval pathway given the significant unmet need for Huntington's patients. Based on the evidence of safety, early clinical effect and biomarker effect, we remain enthusiastic about the potential for votoplam to be the first approved oral disease-modifying therapy for Huntington's disease.
I'll now provide a brief update on the vatiquinone Friedreich's ataxia program. Vatiquinone is an oral small molecule with demonstrated safety and efficacy in both children and adults with Friedreich's ataxia. The MOVE-FA Phase III study demonstrated a significant vatiquinone treatment effect on the upright stability score, the most sensitive and meaningful endpoint for children and adolescents with Friedreich's ataxia for whom there remains a significant unmet need.
In the long-term extension study from MOVE-FA, significant effect was demonstrated on slowing of disease progression with a 50% slowing of progression relative to a matched natural history cohort after 3 years. Similarly, in the analysis of the long-term extension of an earlier placebo-controlled study in ambulatory and nonambulatory adults, vatiquinone similarly demonstrated a significant effect in slowing long-term disease progression.
Following the CRL for the vatiquinone NDA, we held a Type C meeting with FDA in December to discuss the potential next steps in the vatiquinone program. Discussions with FDA are ongoing at this time as the agency has asked for additional data and information from the MOVE-FA study before providing guidance on the next steps.
And finally, in 2026, we look forward to advancing our early-stage R&D programs. As we shared at our R&D Day in December, we have a number of innovative programs from our 2 scientific platforms, RNA splicing and inflammation and ferroptosis.
PTC pioneered the field of oral small molecule splicing the success of Evrysdi for spinal muscular atrophy and the early successes of votoplam for Huntington's validate the potential for the splicing platform to produce highly impactful and valuable therapies for diseases of unmet need. Our teams have made a number of learnings from the early programs that have fortified our position as the leaders in small molecule splicing.
Our learnings have allowed us to significantly expand the universe of potential small molecule slicing targets far beyond what was ever imagined. In addition, we've significantly enhanced our small molecule chemical library with what we consider splicing centric chemical motif. We've combined our decades of know-how the expanded list of potential splicing targets and our chemical library with advanced bioinformatics to develop PTSeek. PTSeek is a proprietary platform engine that will facilitate and accelerate the next set of small molecule splicing programs for a variety of indications.
As we have discussed, we expect the splicing platform to be a source of both PTC developed and commercialized therapies as well as a source of strategic partnerships for noncore therapeutic areas such as oncology and larger neurodegenerative diseases. The PTSeek approach has already yielded a number of exciting and innovative programs that will look to advance in 2026, including our MSH 3 program for Huntington's disease and myotonic dystrophy and earlier stage programs such as our sickle cell disease program and neurodegenerative disease program.
We also look forward to advancing programs from our inflammation and ferroptosis platform. As we discussed at the R&D Day in December, this platform includes a number of innovative programs with differentiated molecules that target aspects of inflammation in oxidative stress closely linked to a number of different disease pathologies, including our ferroptosis Parkinson's disease program, our NRF-2 activation program and our NLRP3 inflammasome program.
In conclusion, over the last 2 years, we have transformed PTC into a strong, innovative execution-oriented global biopharmaceutical company. With our robust global commercial engine, including our foundational products, Sephience, our innovative R&D platforms, including our RNA splicing platform and our strong financial position with over $1.9 billion in cash and the potential to reach cash flow breakeven this year. We are well positioned for success in 2026 and beyond. Thank you.
Thank you, Matt. Thanks so much for the presentation. Let's start off with the Q&A. For those who are in the audience, if you have any questions, feel free to raise your hand. For those joining us virtually, you can submit questions on the portal.
Matt, I want to start off with just the fourth quarter number for Sephience. Where are we now in the launch? What is in line with what you expected before the launch? And were there any surprises now that you're looking back at the third quarter and the fourth quarter performance?
Thank you, Brian. Let's make no mistake about it. This launch is off to an incredibly strong start with $112 million in just 5.5 months. Now we understood from the beginning that there was a significant opportunity for Sephience.
As we've discussed and shared in the presentation, PKU in the United States, there's a population of approximately 17,000 individuals. While there are approved therapies, both have significant limitations such that there remains a significant unmet need for PKU patients.
Our data package substantiates what we understood to be true from the mechanism of action that we have the ability to provide benefit to the full spectrum full spectrum of PKU patients, including those with more severe forms of the disease as classical PKU. I go back to this slide on mechanism of action, which nicely explains how based on the ability to be a more bioavailable precursor we're able to provide superior results than just giving BH4 alone.
And then we have the second mechanism which then allows us to address more severe mutations, including those that have the most severe genotype, phenotype scores. And then importantly, this is an oral once-a-day therapy that's very well tolerated, easy to use and has a strong safety profile.
And I'd say the last part, Brian, is our team's demonstrated ability year-over-year to successfully commercialize, let's just say, more challenging products that don't have the efficacy differentiation of Sephience. So when you put that all together, we believe this could be a big opportunity, and we still do, and we're off to a strong start. And look, we see no evidence of this launch momentum slowing.
And I'd say in terms of surprises, I think only -- I'd say the only thing we're seeing now that maybe we didn't expect to see right away is the uptake by adult therapy naive patients. We knew that, that's a significant unmet segment. We knew ultimately, we would penetrate that segment, but I think we're seeing that earlier in the launch than we thought.
And so when you think about those segments, I highlighted those on existing therapies, those that are therapy naive those that have tried and failed. We're penetrating each of these segments. And the fact that we're penetrating each of these segments, and we're hearing time and time again from physicians their desire to try every 1 of their patients on Sephience tells us that we're just at the beginning of this launch, and we've got a long way to go in penetrating each of these segments, and that's what gives us the confidence that this momentum is going to continue far into 2026 and beyond.
And that's true for the United States. And as we continue to launch in more and more countries around the world and that global footprint increases, again, that's why we say we see this as a very significant potential revenue opportunity.
Great. I think we should just go ahead and address one of the most frequently asked question this morning from their press release. Can you walk us through your thinking behind the guidance that you have laid out for 2026?
I think there's certainly that question of what do you expect coming from the DMD franchise for 2026? And certainly, there's also a question of whether there's a different way of thinking in terms of your way of guiding for 2026 versus how you guided for 2025. So maybe just walk me through those pieces so that people understand how you're thinking about the guidance number as we're heading into 2026.
Yes, absolutely. So look, we start 2026, what do we know to be true. We know that and we fully expect continued momentum from the Sephience launch continued linear growth as we're seeing in the Sephience launch. And we are also expecting to unfortunately see some continued erosion in the DMD franchise. Emflaza now has 6, 7 or 8 generics in the market. I'm very proud of the revenue that we've been able to maintain probably a level of revenue that people didn't expect.
And similarly for Translarna. I mean we had the withdrawal in Europe that happened at the end of the first quarter in 2025. And we've since seen an erosion of revenue not only in Europe but in areas outside of Europe, and we fully expect then erosion to continuing the DMD franchise.
What I can't say for sure is how quickly that erosion is going to occur, what's the extent of that erosion and also what's going to be the upward trajectory in the Sephience launch. We're 5.5 months in, we're still relatively early. And I think that's why most folks don't typically guide for revenue -- product revenue in the first year of the launch. We have to understand the dynamics better.
But again, what do we know for sure? We see no signs of slowing in the Sephience launch. We see the evidence of the ability to continue to penetrate all those key segments and for this to be a very, very large opportunity, and we expect to see continued erosion in the DMD franchise.
So the specific product revenue guidance of $700 million to $800 million reflects sort of what the knowns and the unknowns. And as always, as the year goes on and we learn more and understand where we find guidance. U.S. had as compared to last year. If you remember, in 2025, give really wide revenue guidance because, again, we sat there at the beginning of the year, expecting a significant decline in the DMD franchise that, quite frankly, didn't materialize as much as we thought.
And if that's the case this year, then look for us to adjust revenue up. But again, we can only deal with what we know to be true, which is the strong potential for Sephience and the declining contributions of the DMD franchise.
And how much potential erosion could we expect from the DMD franchise? And how does that balance out with -- the -- I think you said that there's no evidence of the launch momentum slowing. So how do we estimate both of those?
Yes. Again, we gave the guidance of $700 million to $800 million. I'm not going to be able to give you any more exact numbers. For Emflaza, we said all along that rare disease drugs typically don't fall off a cliff. They have a slower erosion, but we're starting to see sufficient numbers of generic entrants that, that could slow more.
And I don't know that anyone has heard of a drug not being licensed in Europe and still having the revenues that we're having with Translarna, which makes it really hard to predict what's going to happen next. As we said, we expect that could decline over time. We expect generic entrants in other regions of the world, we can see continued decline. We don't have exact numbers on that.
Brian, I think our range was the best effort to understand there's going to be puts and takes in the revenue. We're going to continue to do our best and get it, as we always do, to drive revenue as far and as fast as possible. And as we learn more -- as we move into the year, we'll continue to refine the guidance.
And then when it comes to the fourth quarter number, can you talk a little bit about the holiday impact that you potentially saw. Was there a holiday impact? Because I remember that coming out of the third quarter, that could be one of the swing factor when we think about the number. So what did you see in the fourth quarter?
We did see impact. We did see some impact because for the obvious reasons, right? Clinics in the U.S. tend to close the week of Thanksgiving and the 2 weeks around Christmas and the New Year.
We also heard that there were a lot of dietitians and physicians who said, look, there's so many meals and holiday things. This is not the context in which to introduce a therapy, we'll wait until the new year. So I think what makes the revenue performance in all the more impressive is it's in spite of those small holiday headwinds. Again, which is why we're confident that we're going to continue to see growth and success in 2026 and beyond.
Okay. In your prepared remarks, you said that the payer mix is currently at 70%. I remember last year, you have guided around 65% to 35%. That's the mix ultimately you think will land at for the Sephience franchise. Can you comment on the gross to net here? And are we still moving towards that 65%, 35%? And when do you think we'll ultimately get there?
Yes. The short answer is yes. We are still moving towards that 2/3, 1/3, which is the payer mix profile for PKU. And then again, we'll expect the gross to net to move into that neighborhood that you typically see somewhere in the 20% to 25% range. We're clearly not there yet, but that's where we think we'll be when we reach steady state.
Any questions from the audience? Okay.
There is a question about whether -- how we should think about the trajectory? I think there's always a question of, is there a bolus effect. What's your take on that? It's -- I know that we only have 2 data points, right? So -- and what's your take on that? I'm really curious how we should think about that.
Yes. We have 2 data points that make a very nice line that we're intent on continuing that trend. Look, I think bolus means different things to different people. Did we see a lot of enthusiasm early on because there's a lot of individuals wanting to get on a therapy that could safe, well tolerated and allow them to change their lifestyle? Absolutely.
But to me, a bolus means you had a shot of patients in and now it's going to just die down. And that's not what we're seeing at all. I think we saw a lot of early enthusiasm and we're seeing continued enthusiasm. Look, I go back to this observation that we're seeing penetration into each of these segments in a really nice -- and we haven't given the exact numbers. I think it's still too early to do so.
But the fact that we're touching each segment now, and we're seeing very high refill rates and patients staying on the drug suggest we have a very long way to go in penetrating each of these segments. And again, we're also hearing from so many physicians their intention to trial all of their patients on Sephience. That's becoming the first-line therapy. That doesn't mean all our patients are going to get tried on therapy tomorrow or in January.
It means this is going to be a long goal of continued penetration with what we're seeing is very high compliance adherence rates, which makes us bullish about the overall opportunity over time.
On Slide 17, you have this fantastic slide. You're comparing the geographical expansion of the Sephience franchise compared to 2025. Outside of the U.S. Just when you look at the international contribution, which geographical region do you think will make the most sense for investors to focus on? Which one has best potential to give you maximum growth potential?
I think, honestly, Brian, the strength is in the breadth and the fact that we have demonstrated capabilities in so many different countries and regions. So clearly, if you think about rare disease markets, the 3 largest countries are thought to be the U.S. Germany and Japan. I think those will continue to be important markets for us.
But we've also done very well with our other products in Latin America and in Brazil, in Russia and the Commonwealth of Independent States, Middle East and North Africa. And we've got teams in each of these countries that are well experienced in both regulatory in regulatory, commercialization and dealing with governments and payers.
And that's why we're attacking this from 2 different angles. One is, okay, where are countries where we can get approvals launch quickly and we think can be very valuable markets, such as the U.S., such as Japan, such as countries in Europe, where can we leverage early access mechanisms where we can get patients on maintain the narrow pricing corridor that we've already said very clearly is a priority while pricing and reimbursement discussions are ongoing.
So again, yes, there's -- again, I would say the most valuable markets are likely to be the U.S., U.S., U.S., and then Japan and parts of Germany and other areas in Europe. But the strength here is in the breadth and our demonstrated capabilities to really execute and commercialize therapies worldwide.
And I'm very proud of what the company has been able to do over the years with Translarna, but I'd point to that and say that's not an easy out. And the success that we've had with Translarna globally, we're putting Sephience to the hands of those same teams and that just bodes really, really well for the global prospects.
I have a question in my e-mail inbox. That question is related to your Huntington's partnership. How should we think about the accelerated approval path? You could be at an early stage of understanding what the agency wants. But help us maybe paint a little bit about what we could expect.
Absolutely. I think the first point, which is probably clear to everyone, is that the agency is, of course, interested in leveraging these types of pathways for significant diseases of unmet need. We had talked about before this FDA meeting that our expectation was the neurology division, which has leveraged this pathway for other severe diseases like ALS, like Alzheimer's, would likely be open to doing so for Huntington's and that's what we confirmed in our meeting.
Now FDA knows and we know that there's the next data readouts coming in the first half of the year. And I think both the PTC and Novartis teams remain similarly enthusiastic about the potential for accelerated approval and remain committed to trying to get votoplam to patients as quickly as possible.
We'll clearly undertake the analysis in the spring, look at the data that we have in terms of evidence of target engagement with the dose-dependent blood Huntington protein lowering, having evidence of placebo-controlled benefit in the short term, then being able to have evidence in the long term against natural history, which was a strategy that was prespecified in the study protocol.
Bringing that all together as well, quite honestly, is the legacy of Evrysdi, which was another oral small molecule splicing therapy that came from our platform that's well known to the agency and being able to provide a safe and efficacious therapy for severe disease. So that's how we think about it. And I know the Novartis' team's comments have been very clear. They're enthusiastic about starting the INVEST-HD study as quickly as possible.
Why? Because if we're thinking about an accelerated pathway, getting that price potential confirmatory trial started is really smart. And in the event that the accelerated approval portal isn't open with the PIVOT long-term extension data there will be interim analysis in INVEST-HD that could allow for accelerated approval. And then, of course, just starting that study sooner gets to the finish line sooner if there's no accelerated path.
Great. Well, that's all the time we have. Thanks for joining us. Thank you.
Thanks very much, Brian.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Citi Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
[Audio Gap] My name is Geoff Meacham. I'm the senior biopharma analyst here, and I have Jarwei Fang from my team on here as well. We're thrilled today to have PTC Therapeutics. With us on stage is Matt Klein, CEO. Matt, welcome. Good to see you.
Thanks Geoff. Great to be here.
So lots of questions on Sephience and on your R&D Day. But maybe just for those on the webcast, just give us a bit of a quick background or overall, and then we can get right into it.
Yes, absolutely. So PTC is a global biopharmaceutical company. We are focused in rare diseases and other disorders of high unmet need. We have a robust commercial portfolio with 6 products that we market around the globe as well as an innovative R&D pipeline highlighted by our differentiated oral small molecule splicing programs.
2025 has been an incredibly successful year for us, highlighted by the U.S. and EU approval of Sephience, our oral therapy for PKU. As we shared at Q3 earnings, the launch is off to an incredibly strong start. And I'm proud to report we're seeing continued strong momentum into the fourth quarter. And as we've described, this is really a foundational product for PTC that will lead us to cash flow breakeven and beyond in the near future. So really excited to get into the questions and talk about the launch.
Yes. Yes. Let's do that. So when you think about PKU and the 341 patients on therapy, it looks pretty good for the first quarter, right? So what were the -- I know you had from the clinical development, a pretty good idea of the backlog of patients. But help us with kind of the execution of the early part of the launch with the time from diagnosis to script to getting a paid for to delivering drug. How seamless are you? And where could you go?
Yes, absolutely. So we've said all along that we believe that the opportunity in PKU for Sephience was pretty unique. It's a rare disease in the U.S. There's about 17,000 patients. And despite there being 2 approved therapies, there remains a significant unmet need for the vast majority of patients. So in one way, you have a lot of the pillars for commercial success already in place with newborn screening, centers of excellence identified, a well-aggregated patient community, given the fact that there have been previously approved therapies, you have payers that understand the disease. They know how to tie value for a product to phenylalanine lowering.
And this is the context we walked into with Sephience, which is a highly differentiated product. It has a dual mechanism of action, allowing it to have effect in those who may have benefited from the oral therapy, sepiapterin. And also, given the second mechanism of action as a chaperone allows us to have benefit in the more severe patients, classical PKU patients who currently aren't met by the existing oral therapy or not met by the injection therapy, which has a challenging tolerability and safety profile. And so we basically had a drug that could be for the full spectrum of patients which obviously, in this context of 17,000 patients with large unmet need, really represented a big opportunity.
I would also add that we have a commercial team, customer-facing teams that's well experienced in rare disease drug launches. We understand what it takes to get patients on drug, keep them on drug, actively engage with the patient community. We have our PTC Cares team, which is our patient services team, which provides the necessary white glove service from PSF to prescription fill to refill. So that's really the backdrop that we -- the launch had.
And so when we see the early success, for us, it really wasn't surprising. It was really a product of the context of the commercial landscape, a highly differentiated product and a really experienced team. And so with the early launch numbers being so strong, we see continued momentum into the fourth quarter, and we'll obviously give the next update at JPMorgan, but we're continuing to see strong enthusiasm from the prescriber community across all patient segments, including the most severe patients, strong enthusiasm from the patient community and simply looking on social media and hearing patients tell the stories about being able to have foods that they never tried before, what that means to kids, what it means to adults, what it means to families. These are incredibly compelling stories that continue to fuel the interest to be on Sephience.
In terms of the time, you had asked about the time it's taking to get on drug. We're seeing -- in the early days, it's been quite fast. I think we said on average, we're seeing 2 to 4 weeks from PSF to getting on drug. Those numbers are continuing thus far. And again, we think part of that is the the fact that there is this unmet need. We have an experienced team that knows how to get PSFs in, get them processed quickly and get to patients quickly and also knowing how to appropriately work with the prescribers' offices and work with payers and things so that if there are questions or if there is a need for a prior auth, if there's a need for a letter medical exception, that can all get accomplished pretty quickly.
Let me follow up on that. So if you have prior auth or step edits or a letter of exception, are there success stories that maybe to go through that at an accelerated path that you can maybe translate as you roll out across the U.S. and more -- maybe on a more global basis?
Absolutely. So first, a couple of things. One is the prior auths, we're getting a prior auth to the label. The label is incredibly broad. It's basically 1 month of age and above. That's in the U.S.. Outside of the U.S. and Europe, there's no lower age limit. So a prior auth to the label is really easily achieved. In terms of other things that we have in cases of -- we haven't really seen step edit issues. One of the important data pieces we have is our AMPLIFY study. And this was a study we shared the results from -- in September at the International Metabolic meeting. This was a head-to-head study with BH4. It was a crossover study.
So while in our Phase III study, we had very good data on patients who had been on Kuvan previously generic or branded, showing superiority with Sephience, while based on mechanism of action, it's very clear that if you have a response to sepiapterin, you're going to have a much greater response to Sephience. This was a head-to-head study.
So we could say within each subject, how does Sephience perform. And the key data result from that was the fact that we had 70%, 7-0 percent greater lowering with Sephience relative to BH4. So when you have that data piece and you could give that to a payer, it substantiates that we have a highly differentiated therapy and that an individual who may have been on Kuvan brand that are generic or had not tried it is going to do better on our therapy.
So maybe on the differentiated data, you mentioned that there is extreme -- a lot of excitement on social media for Sephience and also among docs that we've spoken with, right? There's a pretty high awareness of the product. I'd love to hear your thoughts on how adoption patterns are looking across different patient segments, whether it be classical versus nonclassical, naive versus switches and how the conversion and persistence may be differ by the different segments of patients?
Yes, absolutely. I think one of the things we shared at Q3 earnings at the first update that was really exciting is in these early days of the launch, we're seeing uptake across every segment. We are seeing some switches from Kuvan. We've even seen switch or 2 from Palynziq, which was not expected early on. We're seeing therapy-naive patients who maybe weren't tried on existing therapies because they had mutations that were thought to be "non-BH4 responsive". And with the data we have showing ability to treat those patients, they're getting on drug.
We've had patients as young as 2 months of age. We had a 79-year-old get on drug. And all of these things really go to say -- go to substantiate this idea that we have the ability to address the full spectrum of disease. We're seeing early uptake from the full spectrum. We're getting patients. We're getting feedback, social media, physicians giving feedback saying, "Look, I'm trying my more severe patients on first." We had one prominent KOL talk about a severe and classical patient had 90% reduction in Phe very quickly. So those stories go a long way in continuing to drive enthusiasm for each of those segments.
I think it's also important to highlight that the early success, the early numbers were not driven solely by Kuvan switches. A lot of people said, oh, that's going to be the low-hanging fruit because, of course, if there's any response at all to Kuvan branded a generic, there will be a more -- a greater response, whether that be in Phe lowering or Phe lowering and diet liberization. And afore, that made that easy population to get on drug because you'd be swapping one once-a-day for a more effective once-a-day therapy.
The fact that these early numbers weren't driven by that really supports the fact that we've got a long way to go in penetrating each of these segments, which again gives us the tremendous enthusiasm that this is going to be a very successful product, certainly when you consider the size of the population and what one would think about in terms of potential penetration for a differentiated rare disease product.
So you mentioned that one of the patients were in their 70s, which is honestly incredible, right? Because a lot of times in these rare disease spaces such as PKU, if patients aren't well controlled, they kind of just drop off and they are not followed up anymore. And the fact that you guys were able to get somebody like that is pretty astounding, really. And then you also mentioned that you have diet liberalization data.
So maybe tell us a bit about how getting those loss to follow-up patients and how dilberalization data, how do they all tie in together to help get patients that maybe you didn't initially plan on capturing so early?
Yes. I think, Jarwei, this concept of loss to follow-up, I think, is a little bit -- I think it's a misconception. I think we hear -- I can say this as a physician. Physicians like to talk a lot about patients are lost to follow-up. And one shouldn't confuse someone not coming to clinic with not being interested in being on a therapy that could help them. The reason they don't come to clinic is because they're not getting something from the clinic that's helping them.
In fact, if you listen to some of the adult patients who are thrown in that loss to follow-up bucket, they'll say, "I'm not lost, I'm right here. I have social media. I actually want to be on a therapy. And I don't go to the doctor's office because I don't want to be yelled that for having Phe levels that are out of control." Many of them will say that while I don't see the physician, I'm in touch with the dietitian because they really help me manage my diet.
And so I think this concept of this loss to followup bucket is a little bit of a construct of docs thinking just because someone doesn't see them doesn't want me they want to be on therapy. Now admittedly, these are -- we would not have thought that, that was the -- I also hate the term low-hanging fruit, but let's just say the first layer of patients to get on a launch, but what it speaks to, I think, is what we knew to be true. that there's a strong desire for folks to get on a drug that can make them feel better because having lowering phenylalanine can help in terms of neurological function, executive function, cognitive function, and as you alluded to, the potential to liberalize your diet.
In PKU, if you're not on a therapy and even if you are on one, really your standard of care is a highly restrictive onerous diet. And so the ability to get on a drug like Sephience that has the potential to allow you to start to scale back from that and enjoy foods that you never enjoyed before. I think it's so hard for us to imagine what that's like. And you look on social media and you see these stories of kid eating a cheeseburger for the first time, a mom talking about being able to have breakfast, the same breakfast with their kid for the first time, these are transformational stories. These are really meaningful testimony that not only supports the benefit of the drug, but also helps spread the word about the benefit and obviously garners tremendous interest for individuals with PKU to try the drug.
Matt, I wanted to ask you, as you think about the globalization of the launch, so Europe, maybe Brazil, Japan, broadly, what are the nuances in each of the markets from standards of care that you'll have to navigate that -- obviously, you have a super experienced commercial team, but that's going to have to be part of the conversation, right?
Yes, absolutely, Geoff. And we spent a lot of time planning for this launch. We said this would be a global launch. And in fact, we launched in Europe and the U.S. almost the same time, which is pretty unique, but we have the infrastructure, the experience to do it. We mentioned that later this year, I know we're in December, but we're still expecting before the end of the year approvals as well in Japan and Brazil, where we have infrastructure and teams ready to go in terms of launch.
And we've been very thoughtful about price corridor. That's something that we take very seriously always. And I think in the era of MFN, it's something that we have to really think about, and we said that we have a price in the U.S. and Germany that are currently on par. We have patients outside of Germany who are looking to get on drug through early access programs, again, where we can help control the price as we go through pricing and reimbursement negotiations. And it may be in certain countries, to your question that we'll have to have discussions around price and volume and are there going to be certain patients who may get covered, may not get or get covered at different levels. And those are all things that we'll navigate in Europe.
In Japan, this is a country where Kuvan and Palynziq, it's called Biopterin and Palynziq in Japan are actually priced at a premium to the U.S. And so again, in terms of maintaining the corridor, we expect to be able to do so there. And in Brazil, our teams have a lot of experience. I mean we market Translarna, Tegsedi, Waylivra there. And so introducing Sephience and understanding the dynamics and our teams there are fantastic. They've already done a great deal of work mapping different clinics, understanding where -- which are the patient groups that we think we could access early on through the judicialization process before we get formal access and coverage. And so we have all of that mapped out.
Do you have to navigate guidelines or quality analyses like as you look to some of these markets?
I think the big thing here is there are guidelines. And again, this is when we talk about coming into a well-organized community, it includes having guidelines in terms of targets for Phe lowering. In the U.S., the target for Phe lowering is 360 like the [indiscernible] leaders. Yes. And so -- and that's why in our trial being able to have 84% of patients get below 360 is really a strong data point. In Europe, it's 600 in some cases. So these are -- so that number is out there, and that's the threshold.
And the other trick question in Europe is, in many cases, medical foods and formulas are. So having, Jarwei, as you mentioned, the diet liberalization data where we had 97 patients -- 97% of patients in the open-label extension be able to liberalize their diet at all, 2/3 of patients being able to get to levels of protein beyond the recommended daily allowance allows us to say when we talk to go through payer negotiations in Europe that we have data to say that this drug will actually lower the need to support medical foods in part. So that becomes an important part of the discussion.
Yes. And just in that same context, what investments -- have you seen the early part of the launch here? And I imagine you see the anticipated future demand, what investments incrementally are you investing in manufacturing, supply chain kind of thing, just to make sure that you can meet the demand?
Yes. This is I'm smiling as I answered it because these are the kinds of things we do in-house, right? We say what -- I'm very -- our teams and management teams what could go wrong from day 1 and have plan A, plan B, plan C, plan D, right? We're always thinking about these things. And so clearly, when we -- as we think about the tremendous potential demand for the drug, having supply is key, right, maintaining supply.
So we've done this. We started with initially API manufacturer. We've now expanded to 2. We're going to be looking to possibly add a third. We have additional drug product manufacturers, making sure that we can meet what we believe will be very strong global demand.
And so maybe thinking about what you mentioned earlier about the different guidelines depending on country. So as you begin to engage with the regulatory entities in each of those geographies, what part of the data packages of Sephience do you think will be important to highlight? Would there be differences in Japan versus EU versus Brazil and...
Yes. I think one of the beauties of the Sephience data package -- of the regulatory package is just how strong the data are. I mean it's -- we look at it and see the primary endpoints and secondary endpoints with less than 0.0001 significance, right? I mean that's -- the whole package is so strong and the fact that we can -- we have data that speak to Phe lowering being incredibly strong, Phe lowering across the full population, the proportion of patients, we -- over 75% in the trial would have met the definition of responder with over 15% reduction.
Then being able to bring in the guidelines, 84% getting below 360 micromolar per liter, then the diet liberalization data being able to show this proportion of patients has significant lowering and being able to say that we're seeing these benefits in every age group. So in a way, no matter what a regulatory agency may want to see, I think we have the luxury with the strength of this data package to be able to address any concern that comes at you. And I think we've all been around long enough. That's a pretty rare situation to be able to do that. And that's part of why this has been so exciting for us.
And I think earlier, it's apparent that excitement for Sephience on social media is quite large. And -- but maybe help us understand how -- I don't want to say ramping, but how wide is the awareness perhaps on a global scale, right? Is it just U.S.-centric? Or will social media help drive awareness of Sephience and its benefits on a global basis as you guys begin rolling out?
So the short answer is it's strong globally. In the U.S., we've done a lot of work. We've got -- and part of this is the drugs incredibly -- has an incredibly strong track record thus far. And there's no better spokesperson for the drug than someone who's been on it and had benefit. And so it's 2025, right? Social media and patient-to-patient communication is a very, very strong component of -- I'll put marketing in quotes, but just getting the word out about the therapy.
But we're seeing as well that there's well-aggregated patient communities globally. We've been -- we went to the ES PKU meeting. Our teams were there in Hamburg, Germany in September, a very well-organized community in Europe. And then in each country in Europe, there's PKU groups. And again, I think this is something that having an experienced team that's a patient engagement team, global patient engagement team and understanding how important it is to work with the community and work with the community in a way that's not really -- it's not only about Sephience, it's about truly helping the community, helping with disease awareness, understanding what's important. All of those things go a really long way in igniting patient awareness and enthusiasm.
Matt, I want to ask you just -- you have some very good market data from the entire clinical development path and then the duration of therapy. But are there other insights you can gain from pre-approval that the development, things like what helps to keep people on compliant persistence rates, things like that?
Yes, absolutely. So we know that what really helps with adherence is one, do you feel better, which I know sounds obvious. But for a lot of individuals with PKU, they will tell you that their brain is like a Phe monitor. And when their levels get different from what they're used to or they go higher, they'll have brain fog. We had one individual who is speaking with us who said, she knows on days that her Phe levels off. She just used the GPS to get home from work, which just tell you, they know things.
The other part is knowing the Phe levels lower and then, of course, diet liberalization, being able to liberalize diet is incredibly important. And we're continuing to garner data as well. For example, at the International Metabolism Meeting in Kyoto in September, we presented some QOL, quality of life data that included evidence of significant benefit after a relatively short period of time on executive functioning, on cognitive function, on mood. And these are things that are really, really important for individuals with PKU.
Yes. Makes sense.
So Matt, maybe thinking about the strategy of -- or maybe the future development of PKU treatment. Obviously, with Sephience, that's a novel new asset that's being marketed now. But there are other mechanisms such as SLCA or SLC6A19 my gosh, what a mouthful, inhibition that may be coming. Maybe help us understand where that might fit in the paradigm of PKU treatment and how maybe it may even be paired with Sephience use for...
Look, there's 2 therapies targeting that renal transporter of amino acids. I think it's a very interesting approach. Clearly, like most things early on, things could look good, but there's still a lot of questions, for example, what -- given the fact that this is a transporter in the renal tubule that's not only responsible for phenylalanine reabsorption, but all branch chain amino acids an important open question about potential effects of causing depletion of other amino acids that could be important. So that's an open question.
And certainly, the Otsuka trial, I believe, is being conducted now in adults. So there's an open question, will it be in children? What's that about? And their protocol, in fact, allows for using that experimental therapy on top of existing therapies, Jarwei. So I think that answers your question. I think this is envisioned to be something that can be used on top of an existing therapy.
Clearly, a lot to be learned a long way to go. We're also comforted by the fact that we're going to be well into our launch before these products come to market. So I think it could be an opportunity to see how they are on top of Sephience, but I expect by the time they come to market, we'll have very broad penetration.
We do want to give airtime to other parts of the business. But maybe, Matt, if you could talk through just the R&D Day, kind of some of the high-level takeaways, and then we can get into maybe Translarna and other elements.
Yes, absolutely. Happy to talk about the rest of the business. Clearly, the #1 focus for us inside PTC right now is, of course, the Sephience launch and continued execution on that launch because as I said, we think this is going to be incredibly successful for patients and for us.
But we do have other parts of the business, and we do have the R&D Day. And part of that was to basically say, look, I think people have been paying a lot of attention to our focus and execution on the late-stage programs on the commercial front over the past couple of years. But behind the scenes, we've also been doing some work. Our R&D teams have been doing work to advance a whole new set of programs.
I think one of the most exciting things that we were able to share at R&D Day is the incredible, really incredible evolution of our small molecule splicing platform. This 20 years ago, and we started working on small molecule splicing seemed like this radical concept that you would use an oral molecule to affect RNA, basically doing genetic manipulation with a pill seem crazy. How could you ever get the necessary sequence specificity and such? And now that's clearly a very well-validated approach with the success of Evrysdi, which was the first compound we discovered.
Now Votoplam, which is in Phase II, which is the leading oral therapy for disease-modifying therapy for Huntington's disease. And so while the world has been focusing on those 2 drugs and their success, we've been able to make a number of important advances in the lab, the most significant of which is saying, while initially, we focused on a very small as a target for both Evrysdi and Votoplam, we've now found that there's about 256 additional sequences that could be targeted for small molecule splicing. That was something we elucidated. And we've also now gone and seen that we have chemical matter possibly talk to those new targets.
So what we have basically is a highly differentiated, valuable small molecule RNA platform that we think holds tremendous potential to be a really incredibly important source of impactful and innovative therapies that PTC can develop and commercialize, but can also be the source of strategic partnerships because we know, for example, there's important splicing targets in oncology. There's important splicing targets in neurodegenerative disease. And so those may be areas where we're not going to go as a company, but we have certainly the ability to think about strategic partnerships.
So as we think to the future of the company, clearly, we're focused on the Sephience launch and execution there, but we also have sort of a goose that's laid 2 golden eggs already that we've only gotten smarter and better at learning how to leverage for future therapies.
So I guess that's the follow-up is that the filter is rare for you'll keep in-house and opportunities outside of that more likely to out-license?
Absolutely. We shared a number of programs the other day. We shared 5 new splicing programs. They're all early stage, and we have small teams working on those. We also shared programs from our inflammation platform, which some targets that are very familiar to people that we have a very differentiated approach to. And the same thing there. There will be some that will be for us and some.
Do you have a number in mind in terms of the R&D and the D capacity? Is it 1 IND per year? Is it 2? So that used to be an old metric, right, but now people are talking about that.
Yes. Again, I think -- so I think we don't have a specific limit in mind. However, we -- I want to be very clear that one of the things that we've been extraordinarily thoughtful and careful about is managing our expenses. And that's something we're going to continue to do. We've committed the company 2 years ago, I stood up and said we're going to move to get to cash flow breakeven in the near future. I stand by that. We'll update that guidance at JPMorgan.
Again, with a focus on the success of Sephience, that's going to drive our top line. We've said that we plan to reduce OpEx in '26 relative to '25. Very simple math tells you we're going to be getting very close to that point. And we're going to manage our expenses in the earlier parts of the pipeline to make sure that we're not violating that. And I think that's where this model of partnership as well as internal development, balancing that is one way to ensure that we're bringing things forward, but we're not overburdening our expense or our corporate focus.
And as you've had to invest in R&D, manufacturing and have had to acknowledge the MFN. Tell me about your engagement with the administration, how over the course of this year has it evolved?
With the...
White House.
White House?
Usually, that's a large-cap conversation. But you guys are a global company and you've hitting all the right use of elements.
And we're quite aware of these things, right? I mean we have a very -- look, we have a very active government affairs team. We all spend a lot of time in D.C., making sure we're well aware of how specific topics can impact our business. We've taken the approach with MFN, as I mentioned. In fact, it wasn't a stretch because, again, our commitment to maintaining a narrow corridor really was consistent with what one would think about in MFN capacity.
I mean there's other things that are very important to us as well. In rare disease, the renewal of the voucher has been something that's been very important. And with the House passing what we think will be a bill that will get through the Senate to renew the priority review voucher, that's very important to us. There's something about R&D amortization. Those types of things have been areas of active engagement for us as well. So we have been active on all those fronts. I don't expect we'll be...
Probably not on the radar...
Exactly. Yes. I think there's a lot of important things going on right now. I think the FDA, the commissioner has been quite outspoken. He was here a couple of days ago, reaffirming his commitment to flexibility and innovation, explicitly calling out neurology, I believe, as an area where the agency has to be forward thinking, and that's obviously near and dear to us with several things at FDA.
And so we've been quite active, I'd say under the radar. But I think we've been making sure that we partner with the appropriate people where there's shared agendas to ensure that we can not only help our business but the global community.
So I think that would be a great segue over to Votoplam and the Huntington's disease program that you guys have partnered with Novartis. I mean, like you mentioned, Commissioner Makary highlighted that the agency is now very committed to increasing flexibility to get these drugs for high unmet need indications to market, and Huntington's is a great example of that, isn't it?
And so as you guys are engaging with them, planning for Phase III and then maybe even potential for an accelerated approval pathway, how do you think this increased flexibility and then also your existence of placebo-controlled data differentiates Votoplam from maybe some of the other programs out there?
Yes. I think it's incredibly important to highlight how differentiated Votoplam is and from gene therapy, which may be what you're alluding to that there was news on this morning. I mean we have an oral small molecule. We have placebo-controlled data. We have a study with -- a Phase II study with open-label extension with over 140 patients. We also importantly have objective measurement of target engagement mechanism of action, which is really, really important when you think about the accelerated approval framework, right? Because an accelerated approval, the idea is you have to demonstrate that you have data to suggest that you're likely to have subsequent definitive clinical efficacy.
But one important component of that is being able to show that the drug is working the way the drug has to work in order to register the efficacy. And so one of the primary endpoint of the Votoplam Phase II trial was Huntington lowering. Why? Because that's how the drug works. And if we're not -- if we're going to have ultimate clinical efficacy, we have to be having evidence that we're lowering Huntington protein, and we did. We had dose-dependent lowering and lowering with 2 different dose levels of a magnitude that has been associated with clinical benefit. So all that is to say, I think we have a very differentiated program that would address a lot of the concerns one may have had in looking at the gene therapy. So we're very -- we're differentiated.
And then the second part is, I think Novartis shared they had a recent Meet the Management event in November, and there was a separate neurology group discussion, and they emphasized there how constructive our discussions with FDA have been and how there's a very clear shared view of the significant unmet need for Huntington's disease. And of course, I think the neurology division in Cedar has been -- has demonstrated itself to leverage flexibility certainly when it comes to devastating neurodegenerative disorders like ALS, like Alzheimer's.
So we're excited to continue to work with them. Novartis also shared that they're full speed ahead on getting that next trial started, whether that's going to be a confirmatory study in the context of a potential accelerated approval or a registration trial if the accelerated approval portal is not available.
Can you just characterize maybe your level of engagement with them on trial design, regulatory strategy? I wasn't sure if it's more proactive, passive, active, like just help talk about that.
Yes. I think it's been an incredibly productive collaboration, Geoff. I think we -- from a corporate leadership level, I think we're very aligned in terms of our shared enthusiasm for Votoplam, our desire to move forward as quickly as possible. I think this is one of the things that we valued in selecting Novartis as a partner. And then the working groups, the joint clinical development teams work very closely together.
And I think it's a great example of how I think the best of both companies comes together. There are certain strengths that I think PTC has and there's absolutely strength that Novartis has in experience and execution and thinking about a development program of things that you can do in parallel that may have been cost prohibitive for a company like PTC to do in parallel, they can deal in. And so I think we have a really promising molecule, a great collaboration and really a strong desire to bring this forward.
And I think the recent news and the concern in the community with the discussions with uniQure and FDA, which have brought a lot of concern about the regulatory potential and also about whether there can be a drug for HD. I think, again, given the fact that we're in a much different context with this molecule continues to have us be very enthusiastic along with Novartis that there's a potential path here that we're keen to drive through.
Great. And so maybe in the last 5 minutes, we can switch over to vatiquinone and then maybe real quick on Translarna at the end. So vatiquinone, we know that the CRL definitely was a disappointment. I'd love to hear your thoughts on were there any elements from FDA's feedback that surprised you given, again, like you guys hit on mFARS subdomains and upright stability with stat-sig. And then in your continued engagement with the agency, what have your feedback had been on maybe the path forward and how might perhaps a new Phase III be different from MOVE-FA?
Yes. I would say the CRL was disappointing, but the reasons for the CRL were not surprising in that we knew all along the major question in this review was whether they would say that the evidence of statistical significant benefit with the upright stability scale, though not prespecified as the primary endpoint, would it be sufficient to provide substantial evidence of effectiveness and approval. That was the question going into it.
And I think if you look at the CRL, that was really the main point in the CRL. There are a few other things they threw in there were other sort of, let's just say, statistical pile on, but the real issue here was you prespecified the whole scale, you didn't prespecify upright stability you missed. And that's really interesting because that basically says this was -- not that the drug didn't work. It was that there was something about that endpoint that wasn't learned until after we started the Phase III trial. And it was the old thing if we knew now -- if we knew then what we knew now, we would have done things differently.
And that was the discussion with FDA that ultimately led them to say, yes, let's -- you should submit. And this will be a review issue because it was very clear that the upright stability scale is the most sensitive and meaningful component of the mFARS for the pediatric and young adult population enrolled in the MOVE-FA study. And that was really driven home by the fact that when you looked at the placebo curves, the placebo group had no progression, no progression on 3 of the 4 scales.
The only scale on which the placebo group progressed was upright stability. This wasn't a chance finding. It was the only subscale in which you could register disease -- slowing of disease progression because it was the only scale in which patients would progress. So that was all the evidence that led to FDA agreeing that these would be review things that we should submit.
We look forward to having a meeting with FDA in the fourth quarter. I know we're December, but we're still in the fourth quarter, and there's still some quarter to go. And I think we look forward to those discussions to say, is there any other potential pathway here? Could upright stability be an intermediate clinical endpoint. If we're doing another Phase III trial, what would they like to see? And if the answer is it has to be another placebo-controlled trial, that's something we will look at. We'll look at -- do an assessment of the marketplace, the commercial opportunity today, the commercial opportunity when that study will be done, the cost of the study, whether we -- what we think is the likely outcome. So the typical things you would do in assessing initiation of a trial before we make the final decision.
And so just real quick, sorry. Maybe thinking about a global perspective, could there be a possibility that maybe other regulatory agencies, maybe EMA might be more amenable to move that data and perhaps you can progress there before a new Phase III were to start in the U.S.
Yes. Those are all things that we'll look at. I think what we -- we had had initial feedback from FDA and EMA, and we decided that the initial FDA feedback supported filing in the U.S. So we prioritize that. We will, of course, have conversations with EMA and FDA as we plot the next steps.
And last minute or last but not least, Translarna in Europe. Just tell us kind of the next steps from here.
Absolutely. So in Europe, we're in a unique situation where we have a therapy that's not licensed, but we're continuing to sell. And I hold that out as further evidence of the strength of our customer-facing teams. I mean the ability to be on the ground and understand how to navigate local regulatory authorities, be able to continue to manage selling a drug where it's not approved.
We said that we expected in the short term to be able to maintain about 25% of the European business. That's what we're seeing. The drug is now available in about a little more than half of the countries in Europe. Over time, we'll see. We expect heading into '26 to be able to continue that momentum.
One of the factors to watch is the availability of other therapies. There are no other genetic therapies targeting nonsense mutation. There was the potential theoretically for the gene therapy, but the CHMP gave that a negative opinion, so that's not coming. So there's not really another viable genetic targeted option in Europe, and we'll continue to work and keep patients on therapy as long as we can.
Okay. Thank you very much.
Thank you. Thank you both.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Citi Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Special Call - PTC Therapeutics, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Okay. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us at PTC's R&D Day. Thank you for those who are joining us live here in New York at the Yale Club as well as those who are joining us virtually online. I'm joined today by our Chief Scientific Officer; [ Neal Olmsted ]; our Chief Medical Officer, Lee Golden, members of our R&D leadership team, who will be presenting today as well as members of our IR team.
For the past 2 years, a lot of the focus on PTC has been on our late-stage programs and commercial products which makes a lot of sense. However, over that time, we brought the same emphasis on focus and execution to our earlier-stage R&D programs. When we did a restructuring a couple of years ago, we made the decision that we were going to focus on small molecule therapies as well as focus on science that PTC can uniquely leverage to deliver transformative therapies for patients with diseases of high unmet need. Specifically, this meant we were going to focus on our small molecule splicing platform as well as our ferroptosis platform. And we look forward today to sharing a lot of the progress that we have made over the past couple of years.
PTC currently has 2 laboratory facilities, 1 in New Jersey and 1 in Northern California. The majority of our splicing work occurs in New Jersey. And our inflammation of ferroptosis program work, most of that occurs in our Mountain View, California location. However, there is a lot of collaboration between the teams. In fact, we have certain specific areas of expertise at each facility that's leveraged by the entire PTC research organization.
So today, in terms of agenda, the first part of the morning, we'll be focused on our splicing platform. We'll give you a sort of deep dive into the science around splicing and highlight some of our recent programs. Then we'll have a deep dive into our inflammation and ferroptosis programs. And we'll have time for question and answer after each part of the presentation. I'll mention that we'll be limiting the Q&A to just topics that are covered today, not the Sephience launch, which is going great and other things, but this is really a day focused on PTC's early stage R&D platform.
As we will be making forward-looking statements, we -- I refer you all to our statements regarding forward-looking statements, risks and uncertainties that's on this slide as well as our SEC filings. Before I get started and turn the platform over to Dr. Trotta and Bhattacharyya, I'm going to just give a sort of simple readers digest overview of RNA and splicing to provide a foundation for some of the deeper science that will be covered this morning.
This central dogma that many of us learned in high school biology that DNA is transcribed into RNA, which gets translated into protein was described almost 7 decades ago by [ Watson and Krick ]. It's now quite clear that this is an oversimplified if not in complete description of how protein is generated. A critical insight into understanding how protein is generated from DNA came with the concept that DNA is first transcribed into a pre-mRNA that contains coding sequences called exons and noncoding sequences called introns. And then a process known as slicing occurs to splice out those introns to form the messenger RNA that will ultimately get translated into protein.
Splicing is really the key of how we're able to get 1 million proteins from just 20,000 genes. This important work on splicing earned [ Roberts and Sharp ], the Nobel Prize in 1993. Now splicing is an incredibly complex entity. There are many important participants. This spliceosome, as it's called, contains a number of protein or mRNA and enzyme interactions. There's also enhancers, inhibitors and modifiers that all contribute to the splicing process that, again, takes us from that pre-mRNA to the mRNA. And of course, all of these different aspects of the spliceosome represent potential drug targets.
Now the earliest attempts at targeting splicing were done with oligonucleotides, which makes sense because it was believed to affect these splicing processes, you needed the sequence specificity that was believed could only be provided by oligos. However, we know very well that oligos have drawbacks. They're not orally bioavailable. They are not easy to get biodistribute in the brain because if you want to treat a CNS disease, you often rely on intrathecal or intraparenchymal administration, and that really is not an optimal solution if you're trying to treat a whole brain disease, where whole brain biodistribution is necessary.
We were interested in trying to use oral therapies to target splicing. This made sense. I mean after all, in small molecule drug development, we often need specificity for enzymes in order to have an effective drug. And of course, we know very well that oral molecules have a number of advantages over oligos. They're easily administered, much easier to manufacture. You're able to get full body, systemic biodistribution. And particularly, if you want to treat CNS diseases you're able to get full brain biodistribution. And finally, titration is a lot easier to achieve with an oral small molecule than it is within oligo.
PTC pioneered the field of oral small molecules splicing. I think everyone is aware of our first 2 programs, one to treat spinal muscular atrophy and another to treat Huntington's disease. Evrysdi, which is commercialized by Roche is now the global leading SMA therapy and votoplam, which we partnered with Novartis is the leading oral therapy for Huntington's disease. We're incredibly proud to have pioneered splicing. And these 2 programs not only serve as the incredible innovative compounds that prove that you can get meaningful therapies with oral splicers, but they also provided us a number of important learnings that we'll be discussing today that have allowed us to greatly expand our efforts as well as the efforts of others in trying to develop oral small molecule splicing agents.
So how do these molecules work? Well, as I mentioned, there are these coding sequences of exons and noncoding sequences of introns. And our initial efforts focused on the elements of the spliceosome that defined the 5 prime splice sites on the exons. In nature, more than half of these U1 5 prime slice site interactions are known as canonical, which means that there's a perfect complementary fit between the U1 spliceosome component and the 5 prime splice site on the pre-mRNA. This strong interaction leads to the inclusion of exons in the final mRNA. About 45% of these interactions are noncanonical were weak. And when you have a weak U1 5 prime slice site interaction, you do not efficiently get exon inclusion. So you typically will not have that weak interaction results in the inclusion of a sequence in the final mRNA.
So our strategy was to develop small molecules that can specifically target these weak interactions, turn these weak interactions into strong interactions and affect the inclusion of exons in the final mRNA. And this is what was done with both of Evrysdi and votoplam. In the case of Evrysdi, we forced exon inclusion to increase the SMN protein, which is deficient in patients with SMA. In the case of Huntington's disease, we forced the inclusion of essentially a stop codon that prevents the translation of the full-length Huntington protein to decrease that toxic protein that causes the disease.
So let me describe a little bit further how these therapies work. Let me start with SMA. So SMA is a disease caused by a deficiency in spinal motor neuron protein or SMN. The majority of SMN protein comes from the SMN1 gene. Now there's a second gene that's quite similar, the SMN2 gene which differs, as you can see, in just a single nucleotide here in exon 7. That single nucleotide change leads to a weak U1 interaction and as we discussed, that weak interaction does not lead to efficient inclusion of that exon. And as a result, you get very little functional SMN protein from the SMN2 gene the majority of which you get is a truncated unstable protein.
Now in the disease states, there's mutations in the SMN1 gene that results in a significant decrease in the availability of SMN protein. So our therapeutic strategy was to target the U1 binding site on that exon 7 with a small molecule that could again -- sorry, that could turn that weak interaction into a strong interaction, force the inclusion of exon 7 into the mRNA that would then get translated in increase the amount of the deficient SMN protein. I think we all know the punchline here, this worked. These data are important -- were important proof-of-concept in vivo data, which demonstrates dose-dependent increase in SMN protein in the SMA mouse model. You can see that we were able to achieve levels of the SMN protein that were equivalent to those that would result in being phenotypically normal.
Also importantly, in these early in vivo studies, we were able to demonstrate that we were getting uniform biodistribution, uniform increase in SMN protein in both the CNS and the blood. And we'll be coming back to these types of figures time and time again throughout the presentation today because these are really important proof-of-concept data that substantiate that we're having the desired target engagement and dose-dependent splicing activity and dose-dependent change in the target protein. From these in vivo data, again, we've -- development was completed. And as I mentioned, Evrysdi is now the leading global SMA therapy.
So this program not only brought a transformative therapy to individuals with SMA, but also provided us with a blueprint of how to successfully discover and develop an impactful therapy -- splicing therapy, particularly for CNS disease. A number of critical elements in turn, including the need for sequence specificity, selectivity adequate blood-brain barrier crossing not being [ a flux ], all those critical elements that we learned from the SMA program were brought forward to our next program, which was the votoplam program for Huntington's disease. Now this is the pre-mRNA of the HTT protein. And as you can see, there is a pseudoexon that lives between exon 49 and exon 50 of the HTT transcript. And then without compound in the normal state, the pseudoexon is not included in the final mRNA and therefore, you get production of the full length HTT protein.
And with votoplam, what we do is we force the inclusion of that pseudoexon, which then acts as -- or basically induces a nonsense mutation or act as a stop codon to stop the translation and formation of HTT protein. So again, what we've done here is the other side of the corner, what we did with SMA. And in SMA, we used splicing to increase the levels of a deficient protein. And in the case of Huntington's disease, we're using splicing to decrease the production of a toxic disease-causing protein. Again, these are the data that -- those important proof of concept data showing that we're getting dose-dependent decreases in Huntington protein production, and we also have demonstrated and we've shared these data before that we get full brain biodistribution, equal amounts of HTT lowering in each region of the brain and consistent lowering both centrally in the brain tissue as well as peripherally in the blood.
We are incredibly proud to have pioneered field of oral small molecule splicing. What seemed like a heretical concept 2 decades ago, that we could use small molecules to drug RNA has now been validated as a powerful source of drug development. Over the past 2 decades, you'll see -- and you'll hear this from Dr. Trotta shortly, our teams have made a number of important learnings that have allowed us to significantly expand the universe of potential druggable splicing targets. We've augmented our small molecule library and we have advanced our screening tools to build something that we call PTSeek which is a powerful platform engine that we believe has the potential to lead to the development of a number of innovative and impactful therapies for a variety of different diseases.
So with that brief introduction and overview of RNA biology and splicing, I'll now turn the platform over to Dr. Chris Trotta. Chris?
Okay. Thanks, Matt. That was a very thorough overview of our splicing efforts at PTC. And as thorough as you might feel that was, I'm going to take us a little bit deeper and get really into the science. And I think one of the themes here is that we've learned a lot from these first 2 programs, and I really want to give you a sense of what we learned at the time and how we brought that forward to PTC, and I'll go through that in detail.
So I don't know if I introduce myself. I'm Chris Trotta, and I'm the Senior Vice President of the discovery splicing team at PTC Therapeutics, with over 2 decades of experience in drug discovery my multidisciplinary team of scientists has established PTC as a pioneer in targeting RNA and splicing to discover novel small molecules. It's been appreciated that targeting RNA and specifically RNA splicing has opened the door to important targets that lay outside of the traditional areas of drug discovery that target proteins and enzymes. While much of the validation, as Matt said, it was done by antisense oligos or siRNA, PTC has taken a different approach, and we focus on discovery of small molecules as a modality with a proven track record in drug discovery.
In my talk this morning, I will walk you to through these learnings from our efforts in targeting splicing. And I will -- and how we leverage these insights to develop the PTC platform. This has opened the door to take aim at the vast amount of targets that are found throughout the genome with our efforts to be able to develop novel small molecule therapies to target genetic disorders, cancers and other diseases, a few of which we will showcase today for you. I will begin by taking you deeper into the science behind the discovery of small molecule splicing modulators.
So we start with splicing. So what is splicing? Matt laid this out, but I wanted to give a better picture of this. This is really the -- captures the complexity of splicing. And so basically, splicing is the process that a cell utilizes to take DNA and turn it into a functional protein. And so this is a pre-messenger RNA. In this case, we're looking at the Huntington gene. And you can see -- this covers about 180,000 nucleotides within the genome and there are 67 exons and not introduced exons, which in this depiction, are the dark purple segments of the gene of the pre-mRNA. In light purple, are the introns.
And so splicing is the -- the challenge of splicing is to remove the intronic sequences and join these exons to produce the mature mRNA. And you can see that there's a lot of sequence needs to be removed. So this process is required for a majority of genes throughout the human genome, where there can be anywhere from 20 to over 200 exons in a pre-mRNA transcript. Processing of the pre-mRNA with such a vast amount of real estate within the transcript into a mature RNA requires precision. And I think Matt alluded to this precision. Recognition of the boundary between the exons and the introns occurs at locations known as the 5 prime and the 3 prime splice sites. The first step of splicing is accomplished by the U1 ribonucleoprotein particle called here the U1 snRNP or as I will refer to it throughout the talk -- sorry, the U1 snRNP or as I will refer to it throughout the talk is the U1 snRNP.
Once the U1 snRNP is bound to the 5 prime splice site, this complex with pre-mRNA is then recognized by the spliceosome, which will subsequently identify the 3 prime splice site that is found at the end of the intron. The splices all functions as a single turnover enzyme as it assembles onto the complex and catalyzes the reactions that will produce, remove the introns and join the exons to produce the mature mRNA product. This process occurs for each exon in a pre-mRNA. The recognition step serves as a gatekeeper and represents a crucial step in splicing. And this comes from literature and splicing as well as our appreciation of just the dynamic nature of how U1 is interacting at the 5 prime slice site.
Identifying the correct site among hundreds of thousands of nucleotides found within introns requires a high degree of specificity. If we zoom in to U1, so going from the cartoon picture on the left here, to yet another illustration of U1 interaction. However, we represent it as a zipper. And so the interaction between the U1 snRNP and the RNA -- pre-mRNA at the 5 prime splice site intron, exon boundary is basically accomplished through base pairing and base stacking interactions between the snRNA part of the U1 snRNP and the pre-mRNA. So when there is a perfect match between these 2, the complex is stable. The interaction is stable and will lead to engagement by the spliceosome, allowing the reaction to proceed to intron removal and joining of exons.
As Matt mentioned, there are -- however, for more than 50% of splice sites throughout the genome, this is not the case. These are called noncanonical 5 prime exons because they do not have a perfect match at the 5-prime slice site. And in particular, at the last several nucleotides of the exon here shown in dark purple. And so this results in a very weak association of U1 with the 5 prime splice site and often leads to dissociation of the U1 snRNP as the spliceosome is trying to recognize. And as such, it will be -- this exon will be failure to splice.
So for these cases, splicing has evolved several strategies to enhance the interaction between the U1 snRNP and the weak noncomplementary 5-prime splice sites. One of the main strategies is the use of cellular proteins called exonic splicing enhancers. These bind to specific sequences found within the exon. Once they are bound to their target sequence, in some cases, they will interact directly with the U1 snRNP, effectively clamping it into place at the 5 prime splice site. This will inhibit the dissociation of U1 and allows the recognition complex by the spliceosome, which leads to splicing and inclusion of exon into an mRNA. This is a critical mechanism that the cell uses so it can sample 5 prime splice sites throughout the large number of exons that are found in any given gene. Doing this accurately and correctly is critical to being able to splice properly.
A well-understood example of this comes from SMN. -- specifically the SMN1 gene which encodes the -- as we heard, encodes the SMN protein. Exon 7 of this gene carries a noncomplementary 5 prime splice site. So its interaction with U1 is already somewhat compromised. And so the way the cell has dealt with this is there is an exonic splicing enhancer binding site in exon 7. Once bound, this exonic splicing enhancer protein can stabilize U1 binding at the 5 prime splice site and activate inclusion of exon 7. This leads to constitutive production of SMN protein from the SMN1 gene, as we know, SMN is a critical protein required for motor neuron function.
Mutations or deletions in SM-1 gene drastically reduced the production of the SMN protein in patients with the disease SMA, the production of SMN becomes predominantly dependent on SMN2 gene, which is nearly an identical copy, as Matt discussed, of the SMN1 gene. This arose -- millions of years ago when human and chimpanzee lineages diverged. So SMN2 carries this critical sequence change. It's a cytosine to [ eurocell ], this is the binding site for the exonic splicing enhancer, and as such, SMN2 exon 7 is poorly included into mRNA. And this is the reason for the disease is that functional protein coming from SMN2 is very low.
So with this clear understanding of the splicing and how an enhancer can regulate the slicing in exon 7, PTC embarked on a molecular based screen. So we took this into account when we developed an HTS screen to screen for small molecules that could target this activity and reverse the week interaction between U1 and the 5 prime slice site. We're basically asking the question, could a small molecule function as a 5-prime splice site enhancer? Our efforts led to the discovery of a small molecule splicing enhancer that could modulate splicing of exon 7 and SMN2, allowing SMN protein expression to near wild-type levels from the SMN2 gene. And through optimization of this hit molecule, it led to Evrysdi, which is a first-in-class, first in mechanism, small molecule therapeutic that is the leading treatment of spinal muscular atrophy globally.
Evrysdi functions as a sequence-specific splicing enhancer, it represents a groundbreaking finding in splicing as it's the first demonstration that a small molecule could function as a splicing enhancer by directly targeting the interaction between the U1 snRNP and a week 5 prime splice site, and it was a breakthrough in drug discovery, where a small molecule splicing modulator could be advanced to a therapeutic treatment for patients with a devastating genetic disease. As these findings were emerging from our SMA program, we applied these learnings to accelerate our efforts to target the expression of Huntington gene to lower repeat expanded mutant Huntington protein as a treatment for Huntington's disease.
Our strategy to target expression of the Huntington protein utilized our compound library, which at this point now contains a splicing centric chemical scaffolds to identify a brain-penetrant small molecule that could knock down the Huntington mRNA, thereby lowering mutant Huntington protein. These screening efforts led to discovery of the second small molecule splicing modulator, which we demonstrated promotes the inclusion of a previously unknown exon in intron 49 of the Huntington pre-mRNA. This event is very rare -- this exon is very rarely incorporated into the Huntington mature mRNA. In fact, a survey of hundreds of publicly available RNA seq data sets reveals that the presence of this exon within the mature Huntington mRNA is ultra rare. It's almost never seen, but it actually is seen. So this is a biological process that the cell can use to regulate gene expression.
And this is basically due to a combination -- and Matt highlighted this, a combination between the week 5 prime splice site, where U1 will not productively interact and the presence of a stop codon. So even when this is sliced in occasionally, this stop codon will cause translation termination, which will lead to decay of the mRNA through a cellular process known as nonsense mediated decay. votoplam functions as a 5 prime splice site enhancer to target the conclusion of exon 49 A, which shifts the splicing to an isoform that will be subject to nonsense mediated decay and with the end result being a lowering of the protein production. This was a foundational discovery by PTC and established a new modality for the regulation of gene expression through splicing. The use of a small molecule modulator to tap into a splicing regulatory mechanism to lower protein expression.
When we compare the activity of PTC's 2 first-in-class splicing modulators for SMA and Huntington's disease, a second fundamental insight jumped out immediately. There is a high degree of selectivity of each molecule for their target sequence. This was achieved through lead optimization of the initial hit molecules that led to elicit sequence specificity. We refer to these exons as compound induced exons or i exons. These 2 programs demonstrate the ability to target the inclusion of exon in mRNA to either promote protein production as in the case for SMN protein with Evrysdi or to decrease protein production as in the case of votoplam for HD.
Several published studies in our own internal work suggest that these small molecule splicing enhancers function through direct binding of the interface between U1 and the pre-mRNA highlighted here in orange. If we look at the interface, this interaction occurs between the U1 snRNA and the last 4 nucleotides of the 5 prime splice site of the targeted i exon. As this mechanism became clear to us we got very excited and realized we were just at the tip of the iceberg. When you think about a splicing modifier as targeting the last 4 nucleotides of an exon, if you do the math, there's 4 to the fourth potential targetable sequences or 256 potential targeted sequences. Each of these sequences can be considered a distinct class of 5 prime splice sites with i exon throughout the transcriptome.
As demonstrated on the wheel to the right, which represents with each sliver of the pie representing a different sequence, SMN2, exon 7 and HTT exon 49 represent the first 2 sequences that can be specifically targeted by small molecule. Taking our learnings from these 2 programs, we asked 2 key questions. First, how broad is i exon regulation of gene expression? In other words, how many and in what genes do i exons exist? And second, can we systematically discover distinct small molecules for each i exon sequence class found at the 5 Prime splice site. We reason that success within these 2 efforts combined would open up the ability to target a wide range of therapeutically relevant i exons in targets of high interest to human disease.
To uncover the extent of i exon regulation, I'm showing here one type of experiment where we did this. We've also, as I mentioned, looked at RNA seq data sets, but we directly interrogated the transcriptome to understand the true scope of i exon inclusion. And the way we did this was we genetically modified the snRNA from U1 to each of the potential 256 sequences. So as depicted here as the ends, basically, we had a U1 variant that would match each of those 256 sequences. When we did this, we then treated cells and we look to see what exons were affected. We started, we looked at SMN2 and HTT, the genetically modified U1 variance for those 2 indeed induced in i exon class that matched the 5 prime splice site that we see Evrysdi and votoplam respectively, affecting.
Upon expanding this analysis to the remaining 254 sequences, we found evidence for i exons for all 256 sequences. Furthermore, amongst all the i exons observed, we estimate that there are i exons covering a majority of genes throughout the genome, including numerous genes of therapeutic interest. This insight into i exon regulation was pointing us directly at numerous druggable targets and led us to tackle the next and probably more important question, can we actually find molecules that can do this? So can we systematically discover small molecules that target the novel 5 prime splice site sequences as hit molecules for i exons that we could develop in exactly the same way we achieved with SMN2 and the Huntington pre-mRNA but within new therapeutic targets.
So to accomplish this, we built off the foundational discovery, some of which Matt and I have outlined today as well as we just saw a moment ago, and we developed what we call PTSeek. This is a novel platform that utilizes transcriptome wide interrogation. So directly looking at splicing, transcriptome wide and we use a innovative screening tools and some and informatics insights that we have gained from understanding the 5-prime splice site enhancers and work that we've -- of targeting splicing over the last several years. We couple this with PTCs custom design library of novel small molecules that cover unique splicing centric chemical space, which has been built over the last 2 decades.
To be clear, our efforts to this point led to the discovery of an entire universe of targetable i exons. And with PTSeek, we now had a small molecule strategy to uncover novel splicing modulators. Employing PTSeek for several years has led to just that, the discovery of dozen and counting novel chemical scaffolds that target novel 5 prime splice site sequences within i exons. As with Huntington and SMN splicing modulators, these novel scaffolds have a distinct structure sequence relationship. So each novel molecule targets a very specific sliver of the pie here. And this -- and as such, they all -- from the beginning, they demonstrate a high specificity for a novel target sequences. Equally important and many of these targetable i exons, many of these i exons are found in therapeutically relevant targets, some of which my colleague Anu will be presenting shortly.
So connecting these 2 -- connecting the discovery of a dozen novel molecules that target distinct sequences that are found in i exons of therapeutically relevant targets is unprecedented, and it really positions PTC to advance numerous splice modulators into the clinic over the next several years. As a sneak peek to some of the data Anu will discuss, I want to highlight another significant advantage of the PTSeek approach. The molecules that we have discovered are high-quality hits. Since these molecules are derived from splicing centric scaffolds, we have found that progression from a hit through early lead and lead optimization has been greatly accelerated relative to our initial efforts targeting splicing exemplified here by comparison to the SMA drug development time line. This has allowed us access to more targets and a quicker path to a development candidate.
So with that, I will sum up. PTC's efforts to target splicing have led to tremendous success in building a sustainable drug discovery platform, first, through a targeted high-throughput approach for SMA and HD, where fundamental insights into the innovative mechanism of targeting splicing with small molecules [ mods ] splicing modulators has led to the establishment of a platform approach, which focuses on transcriptome wide discovery of small molecules from PTC's proprietary splicing library. PTSeek is a best-in-class discovery engine. And over the past 3 years, has and continues to deliver novel small molecules that target a wide range of therapeutically relevant targets implicated in diseases of high unmet medical need.
I would now like to turn the podium over to Anu to take us through some of the exciting emerging programs from our efforts to target RNA splicing.
You can all hear me, right? Thanks, Chris. Good morning, everyone. My name is Anu Bhattacharyya. I have been at PTC for more than 18 years. I lead our splicing programs team. Chris just did an excellent job in describing how we have ushered in the next generation of splicing programs. I'm going to -- I'm sorry, these programs have this opportunity to deliver novel splice modulators like Evrysdi and votoplam across a wide array of indications. So I'm going to talk to you about a few of these programs really highlighting the great work that our fantastic splicing cross-functional team has done. The first 3 are late stage and the last 2 are early-stage programs. And in some cases, you will note that we're not going to disclose specific targets to maintain competitive advantage.
So the first program targets a key driver of disease pathology across a group of indications called nucleotide repeat disorders or NRDs. In nucleotide repeat disorders, individuals have a segment of DNA repeats in a given gene that is usually longer than what is typically seen in unaffected individuals. Right after birth, these repeats cause no symptoms. As the individual ages, the repeats expand further, especially in affected tissues. This expansion phenomenon is called somatic expansion and somatic expansion has been documented in almost all nucleotide repeat disorders. Our initial target indication for this program are Huntington's disease and myotonic dystrophy 1, or DM1, and we will focus on these 2 indications first.
For Huntington's disease, this is a differentiating approach from what we're targeting in the votoplam program. And this approach of targeting somatic expansion is complementary to Huntington lowering. So let's dig a little bit deeper into this phenomenon of somatic expansion. The rate of somatic expansion is key here. If the rate of expansion is faster, that will result in earlier disease onset and faster disease progression. On the other hand, when the rate of expansion is slower, patients will have delayed onset and slower disease progression. So there is a strong correlation between the expansion rate and disease onset and progression.
And this expansion rate is primarily driven by a family of proteins called mismatch repair or MMR proteins. Therefore, lowering the levels of these MMR proteins will slow down somatic expansion, which was significantly delayed disease onset and progression. Our program objective is to use PTC splicing technology to modulate the levels of these MMR proteins and target the rate of somatic expansion. Now of all the MMR proteins, MSH3 has really emerged as the most promising target in the past 5 years and the data is specifically strong in Huntington's disease and DM1.
As I said, MSH3 has very strong human genetics evidence. Here, mother nature has done the work to validate a correlation between MSH3 levels and disease onset and progression. As you see here in the table, there are HD patients who have these different variations in their MSH3 gene. As a result of these variations, these patients have reduced levels of MSH3 protein. Now when this is plotted out in there on the right, you see a clear linear correlation between the extent of MSH3 reduction in these HD patients and their disease onset. Now not only does this human data validate the therapeutic potential of MSH3 reduction, but it also values MSH3 protein as a potential surrogate biomarker. A similar trend in correlation between somatic expansion and disease onset was also observed in DM1 patients.
So our program objective was to use our splicing technology defined novel molecules that will lower MSH3 levels. And I'm very happy to report that we have identified novel splicing modulators that lower MSH3. The mechanism, as laid out on the slide is similar to what Chris described earlier for Huntington lowering. In this case, the molecules target a novel sequence distinct from the SMA and HD molecules, and they target a different gene, MSH3. These novel molecules promote inclusion of an exon bringing in a premature stop codon in the MSH3 mRNA. This induces degradation of the mRNA and reduction in MSH3 protein levels. So we have been using our in-house splicing expertise to significantly expedite both drug discovery and optimization processes.
Here is a snapshot of the results of that work. Now the data shown on this slide represents a lot of hard work from our very experienced splicing cross-functional team. We have identified novel compounds that are highly potent and selective. Here are some key pieces of data from one such compound. As you see here on the left, the compound shows a robust and correlative dose-dependent lowering of MSH3 mRNA and protein levels in cells. And this data is validated in animals as shown here in the middle. You see a nice dose-dependent reduction of MSH3 protein levels. Just as we have done in SMA and HD, we optimize these small molecules to cross the blood bring barrier not be e-fluxed and show uniform distribution throughout the CNS. We established a robust PK/PD relationship in this program. From our previous experience with SMA and HD, strong PK/PD data generated in animals transits very well to the clinic.
Next, as proof of concept, we tested our compounds in a specific expansion model. This was to see if MSH3 lowering has an effect on somatic expansion. As you see here on the right, we were able to show that 30% to 50% lowering of MSH3 levels significantly stalled expansion in this model system. This is in line with what's been reported and it represents what will be our target lowering in the clinic. This is a very promising program because it's built on a strong scientific foundation. By targeting MSH3 lowering, we can tackle what's been shown to be a key driver of disease pathogenesis in repeat disorders like Huntington's disease and DM1.
Again, in HD, this approach of MSH3 lowering will be complementary to HTT lowering. And this could be particularly appealing for juvenile onset HD because this population is linked to higher levels of somatic expansion. Our molecules target a novel splicing event that results in reductions of MSH3 mRNA and protein levels. They have favorable drug-like properties for CNS indications, such as Huntington's disease, our plan is to select a clinical candidate in the first part of 2026 and be Phase I ready by the end of the year.
Next, we're going to provide an update on our SCA3 program. SCA3 or spinocerebellar ataxia 3, is a monogenetic neurodegenerative disorder. It primarily affects the cerebellum, brainstem and spinal cord. Balance problems and in coordination are typically the first visible symptoms of SCA3. And currently, there are no disease-modifying therapies. Now in SCA3 patients, the mutant ataxin-3 protein is the primary toxicity driver that leads to neurodegeneration. Our therapeutic strategy is to lower ataxin 3 level, utilizing our splicing technology. We have identified novel splicing modulators that skip or exclude exon 4 in ataxin-3 pre-mRNA. This is a different mechanism from what I described earlier for MSH3. Now this is a great example of how different splicing mechanisms can be leveraged to modulate protein production. Here, the molecules skip or exclude exon 4 and that breaks the frame of the ataxin 3 mRNA, which creates an mRNA with a premature stop codon that then gets degraded. This results in reduction in ataxin-3 protein levels.
Here are some key results of our lead compound. As you see here, the compound shows a robust dose-dependent reduction in ataxin-3 mRNA and protein levels in cells and animals. Just as we have done in other CNS programs, the molecules in this program were optimized to cross the blood brain barrier and not be e-flexed and the extent of ataxin 3 lowering, we observed in animals is in the range believed to be needed for functional benefit. So for the SCA3 program, we identified a novel splicing event that results in ataxin mRNA and protein lowering. We demonstrated robust in vitro and in vivo activity and optimal drug-like properties. Similar to our MSH3 program, the plan is to select a clinical candidate in the first part of 2026 and be Phase I ready by the end of the year.
Next, I will talk about a program that targets brain tumors and metastasis. This is another great example of the utility of PTSeek in identifying novel splicing modulators across different indications, including oncology, which can be a partnership opportunity for us. This oncology target is an interesting one. It has a dual role. It promotes cancer cells to grow, and it suppresses T cells from being activated. So lowering it will have a dual effect. It will block the cancer cells from proliferating and it will enhance T cell function to kill those cancer cells. Also, it's been shown that the lowering of this target will synergistically enhance the anticancer effects of immune checkpoint inhibitors. The molecules we've identified in this program have excellent CNS exposure, which makes them suitable for targeting brain tumors.
As I mentioned, we have leveraged PTSeek again to identify this novel class of splicing modulators. These molecules modulate splicing of the target, promoting inclusion of an exon. And this induces mRNA decay and lowers protein levels. Again, similar to what I described for MSH3, but now with a different class of novel molecules. Here, I'm showing you an example of a lead compound that is very potent in reducing mRNA and protein levels in cells. This reduction in mRNA and protein levels leads to T cell activation as evidenced by a significant increase in cytokine levels, which is shown here in the middle. This brain penetrant compound also shows a robust lowering of the target in animals shown here on the right. In summary, we made excellent progress on this program. We have identified a novel class of splicing compounds that have great activity and selectivity. By lowering the target the compound activate T cells, they have great brain penetration.
Next, we're going to assess the compound synergy with checkpoint inhibitors. Our plan is to select a clinical candidate early 2026. Now I will shift to some of our earlier stage programs. First, I will start with the program that targets sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia. Now sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia patients share a common pathology. They make defective adult hemoglobin. One therapeutic strategy that has emerged to be the most promising is induction of fetal hemoglobin levels in these patients. Again, mother nature has validated our therapeutic strategy. Sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia patients with increased levels of fetal hemoglobin show significantly reduced symptoms. And this process of fetal hemoglobin induction is regulated by multiple proteins that we believe are great splicing targets.
So we have leveraged the PTSeek platform to look for novel molecules that will target these key proteins. PTSeek, again, has enabled us to identify novel splicing molecules that target one of these key inhibitors of fetal hemoglobin. These molecules modulate splicing of the target again, by promoting inclusion up in exon, as shown here on the slide. This induces mRNA decay and lowers protein levels. Now reduction of this key inhibitor will lead to an increase in fetal hemoglobin, and that will be disease modifying for sickle cell disease and beta thalassemia patients. As you see here on the slide, one of these early molecules shows a nice dose-dependent reduction of the target inhibitor which in turn induces fetal hemoglobin levels in adult blood cells in the therapeutic range. This is an early stage program. And as you see here on the right, the extent of fetal hemoglobin induction is already very encouraging. We will continue to identify and optimize these small molecules for potency, efficacy and drug-like properties and move this program as quickly as possible.
Next, I will talk about another early-stage program that has application in multiple neurodegenerative diseases. Now with SMA and HD, we targeted a single gene to address disease pathology using splicing. This is another example like MSH3, where splicing can be applied to target specific protein and targeting this specific protein will have a huge impact on a key pathway implicated in disease pathology across multiple indications. And this is a new powerful way we can use our splicing program.
Here, our therapeutic strategy is to mitigate the neuronal dysfunction that results from protein aggregation. And this is a common pathology of many neurodegenerative diseases. Again, with PTSeek, we can identify novel splicing modulators that can specifically target key proteins in this pathway. Our program's objective is to have a single therapy that has broad utility across multiple disorders. We have been able to identify novel splicing modulators that target one of these key proteins. This program is early but already our fantastic splicing team has done a tremendous job in identifying compounds with good activity and selectivity. As you see here from the green arrow, we are already seeing target modulation in the range that is deemed therapeutic, and it's just the beginning. We will continue to identify and optimize molecules for potency, efficacy and drug-like properties and move this program also as quickly as possible.
So as Chris and I showed you today, we have truly pioneered splicing drug discovery and development. It started with our groundbreaking work in SMA that led to the development of Evrysdi, which was then followed by our HD program and development of votoplam. We use the learnings from these programs to develop our innovative PTSeek platform. This platform is built upon decades of experience that allows us to expedite the discovery and development of novel splicing molecules. Now what's really exciting about PTSeek is that it unlocks a whole new therapeutic space by selectively targeting RNA and it gives us the advantage of delivering therapies that can't be addressed with traditional small molecule approaches. It also positions us to broaden the scope and continue to deliver best-in-class splice modulators like Evrysdi and votoplam in a wide array of indications. Thank you so much for your attention.
Great. Thank you very much, Chris and Anu. Fabulous presentations, and I hope everyone sees how with our focused efforts over the past few years, we've been able to significantly advance and evolve our splicing platform that we said we believe can be a significant source of innovative therapies, both for PTC development and commercialization as well as strategic partnerships for noncore therapeutic areas.
We'd like to open the floor now to questions in the room looks like there's a lot of questions. So we'll have microphones that will circulate around and see as many as we can. It looks like Brian, you're up first.
2. Question Answer
That was really insightful presentation. Just a couple of questions on the MSH3 program, if I could, because that seems like it's one of the ones that's furthest along. How do you think about who would be the most optimal patients, Huntington's patients, for instance, for a splice modulator like that? Would they need to be kind of early stage or even presymptomatic just given the potential to stem the repeat expansion. It also looks like in the chart, you we're looking at about 30% to 50% reductions, which I think was similar to what you were targeting with votoplam and HTT. So just wondering if there's a reason for that window and if there's any concern about going too high in potential cancer risk. And then lastly, curious if you could maybe compare and contrast the concept of using splice modulation here versus just allosteric direct inhibition of MSH3 with a small molecule which I think is around the same stage of development.
Terrific. Thanks for the questions, Brian. Let me tackle the first and then I'll have Anu handle the 2. So we -- so in terms of the relative role or the role of MSH3 lowering, we certainly, as Anu said, see this as complementary to HTT lowering. And there's a number of papers emerging and a lot of work emerging, showing me the power of putting these 2 therapies together. It's also possible that something like MSH3 lowering may be more applicable in, say, juvenile HD, where there is known to be a more aggressive disease, larger repeat expansion that's driving that accelerated clinical presentation and disease course. So I think we see a complementary HTT in all cases and maybe particularly alone suited for juvenile HD.
Anu, do you want to tackle the other 2 questions?
Can you hear me? Yes. So starting off with 30% to 50%. Why? So I'm going to go back to the slide where I showed the very strong genetic -- human genetics data. And what we saw was that between 30% and 50%, you're talking about up to 10.5 years delay in disease onset and up to 50% reduction of MSH3, systemic reduction of MSH3 is deemed safe in terms of any potential cancer risk. So that's really what we're shooting for. That's the first question. And then -- sorry, second point. And the third was, you were talking about allosteric inhibitors. I think the way I think about it is, right now, we're not really sure about what path that will take because this is going to be the first as opposed to on our end, we have tremendous experience in already lowering HTT, and we know the range we can do that selectively with a small molecule. So we feel like there is very strong evidence that modulating the levels of MSH3 is going to be therapeutically beneficial as you have seen with other modalities. So we're definitely very confident about protein modulation.
And I'd also say that we've had programs and looked at other difference modulators, including BMS1, and we've obviously selected to focus on MSH3 for a couple of reasons. One, MSH3 has upstream to BMS1; and second, to really affect or to get an effect on expansion with BMS1, you tend to have need protein reductions in excess of 70% to 80%, which is getting very, very high. So for both those reasons, being upstream and also just being able to have more achievable lowering window we're moving forward to MSH3. And I think the literature supports that choice as well.
Great. This is Brian Cheng from JPMorgan. Maybe just first one is more of a broader question. As we think about the scaffold that's underlying across all your new pipeline. Can you talk about whether the scaffold -- if part of the scaffold is the same across the new programs that you disclosed today and also compared to the older program, Evrysdi and votoplam. And given that there is still going to be that interface with U1. Just how much read-through is there between the approved late stage and also the earlier stage pipeline?
And then the second question, going back to MSH3 in Huntington, how should we think about the target population here? And do you have a sense of how the patient target should differ or may not differ compared to votoplam's program? Is it going to be based on the level of somatic extension that you see?
Sure. So the first question, Chris or Anu either if you want to take that and talk about how different these molecules are.
Yes. I'm not the chemist on the program, but I can't answer the question. Basically, structured sequence relationship is the term we use to describe this, and it really is the case that these new target sequences that are being affected -- it's new chemistry. It's a new molecule. It's reminiscent in terms of general principles from the Huntington and HTT, but it's a novel chemical scaffold. And it's true for most of the programs we've showed today as well as some of the other slivers on the wheel that we didn't discuss. So I think just the accumulating evidence we're gathering from doing this is we can get distinct novel chemical scaffolds.
Just to emphasize the point, both the SMA program and HD program, shared and common targeting the same dinucleotide sequence, right, that GA sequence what we presented today, which is truly novel and incredibly exciting is we've expanded this universe beyond just a simple dinucleotide repeat to the full spectrum of 4 nucleotide sequences, which did the quick math on a 4x4x4. And what you're seeing in some of these new programs is an entirely different splicing target sequence and the fact that we had the slicing centric chemical library that using PTSeek allows us to more rapidly and reliably pair the novel chemical matter with this target or the target of interest. So that's what's really -- there's a lot of new things here that have really not been talked about before that are incredibly exciting in terms of really significantly expanding the universe splicing targets and then being able to leverage those new targets with a splicing centric chemical library to develop potential therapies.
Anu, if you want to add a comment on the second question, which is around -- we had said that we see the MSH3 targeting as complementary to HTT lowering, but are there other specific cases where you would think about trying to identify specific somatic expansion rates that may make an individual particularly more amenable to the approach.
I mean you touched on juvenile onset HD, I think that's a population that has been shown to have greater somatic expansion. So in terms of adult onset HD to be complementary to HTT lowering from the literature and from just talking to everyone in the field, it sounds like even if you -- well, a, you go in early, like we're doing with HTT lowering where majority of the neurons are spared and the expansion hasn't happened in majority of the population. So that's a great place to start. But even you're hearing from the field that you can go in a little bit later with MSH3 reduction because you still have -- yes, you still have a big portion of the neurons and like in the [ striatum ] that are still alive, and you can spare them from expanding. So I think first is probably HTT similar to the HTT lowering population.
I need to introduce myself. Tazeen Ahmad from Bank of America. Couple of questions from me on MSH3, if I could. So you've talked about having several compounds being ready to move into the clinic next year. Based on what you've seen on the impact of somatic expression in the model system, how confident are you that you'll be able to replicate that, let's say, and I don't know healthy volunteers and then going on to actual patients. Related to that, in the past, you might have had to go through more than 1 molecule in order to find the right fit. Based on previous experience, what have you learned that could maybe make that process a little bit more efficient?
And then I'm going to throw in a quick commercial question, sorry. On DM1, in particular, it's a topic near and dear to my heart. We look at several companies that are trying to develop therapies there. How do you make a decision about wanting to go into a space which might have a lot of competition, especially early on, where you may not be fully aware of what your product profile might look like?
Great. So let me make sure we get all of those orders. I think and the first question really thinking about the reliability and how we've set up our preclinical screens to be reliable predictors of what we can see in the clinic.
Yes. I mean I'm just going to say that I'm going to use the HD playbook. And as I said, very early on, we think about in vitro to in vivo translation, and in establishing PK/PD relationship, we are very confident what a Phase I, Phase II proof-of-concept trial will look like. And just taking 1 step further the efficacy model where we show 30% to 50% reduction showed significant delay in somatic expansion. That's a widely used model and that's been published in the literature, and we see exactly what other people have shown. So we have a lot of confidence in that model that the extent of reduction we're seeing, a, we'll be able to translate that into the clinic because we have a very strong understanding of PK/PD. And b, if we are shooting for that extent of reduction, we should be able to significantly install somatic expansion.
And the second question was about how do we think about the role of backup molecules as we do this development. And clearly, we talked a lot about how PTC gives us a faster track to get through those early hit to lead the lead up and the development candidate, but how are we thinking about backups as we move programs forward?
Yes. I mean for every program, you have multiple scaffolds that you're looking at, so you can derisk and then also you have multiple lead molecules. And then obviously, the goal will be to look at safety, efficacy and everything and then advance the compounds and then have backup. And like we have done again with HD, we're not just focused on 1 chemical scaffold. We're actually working on multiple scaffolds at the same time.
And the other part is once we get a development candidate and even start Phase I, the work doesn't stop for exactly the reasons you highlighted is we continue to do work and leverage the learnings of what we brought into the clinic to continue to see to have a backup ready and in some cases, maybe that backup could be take the poll position at some point in time.
And I think that's common to a lot of different drug development programs. I think when you look at all the work that goes into getting these molecules forward. It's incredibly important to make sure that all the exon in 1 basket, but that we're continuing to make sure that we have backup plans as we take a compound through the key preclinical and early-stage clinical programs.
In terms of your question regarding competition in commercial landscape, look, it's something we think a lot about. I mean, whenever we decide, and this will come up a bit as we start talking about the inflammation of ferroptosis programs, how do you select an indication and some of it is a scientifically rational target. Of course, in the case of splicing, we know we're hitting something incredibly relevant to the disease in a highly specific and selective way. We also look at developability. Is there a clinical path forward? Can you actually do the clinical trial? Are there endpoints? And as Anu alluded to, as one of the things we're looking at with MSH3, is this idea that when you have such good literature-based evidence now establishing the association between MSH3 and somatic expansion, you started thinking about the use of [ sericite ] markers and translational biomarkers early on.
And then we think about the commercial landscape. So we do pay a lot of attention to what does the competitive landscape look like today? What do we think that competitive landscape looks like tomorrow? And then, of course, as you also mentioned, Tazeen, sometimes it's hard to know because there's things out there that aren't on the radar screen. I would say this program is one of them that it's hard to assess. And so this is something we continually go back to. I think we've all learned in the case both of rare disease and particularly in neuromuscular neurodegenerative disorders, something that looks good in Phase I into Phase II may not get there all the way. So we have to have a balanced approach as we look at the competitive landscape today and what may be tomorrow and not necessarily always assume just because something is in the lead, it's going to get approved. And then also, we, of course, look at if it is approved, what is the relative benefit of our [ TPP ]. What does our molecule offer that perhaps the approved one doesn't. So it's a continuous process that we look at every step of the way.
Joe Thome from TD Cowen. Maybe can you talk a little bit about how the Novartis partnership on [ 518 ] plays into the Huntington's compound today? Does it make it potentially easier to combine with [ 518 ] or limit that in any way? And then second, in regards to SCA, I guess, how easy is it once you maybe establish proof of concept with SCA3 to go to other members of family like SCA1 and some others. And then just quickly 1 more. Obviously, some other programs in SCA and Huntington's have had some hiccups with FDA. I guess what learnings have you taken from this in terms of how you want to design your initial studies for both these programs?
Thanks for the question, Joe. The first one, again, as we mentioned, we see as the field does the potential synergy of using Huntington lowering along with targeting somatic expansion. We're incredibly excited about the Novartis partnership. It's a terrific partnership for us, we're excited on the progress that we're making with votoplam. This program sits outside that partnership. But I think nonetheless, that there is a clear path that one could think of developing first and establishing first the necessary things we would need to do for somatic expansion and then down the line, thinking about how those therapies can be looked at together.
Anu, do you want to touch on the specificity or the issues of SCA3.
Just for the SCA3 program, we're targeting ataxin 3 splicing. So it will only work on SCA3 patients. So that's different. And you asked about some of the earlier oligos, for example, especially, I think the SCA3 oligo, the issue was lack of efficacy and some preclinical safety signals. So obviously, we have a small molecule. We are going to target the entire brain and also -- and I mentioned this on my slide when I was introducing the indication for SCA3 you have to target the cerebellum and brainstem. And that, we believe, we can do with a small molecule as we will see very nice uniform reduction and even from distribution throughout the CNS.
And in terms of your third question about thinking across all of those programs on the regulatory pathway learnings that we've made, one of the things that the SMA program taught us, and again, I talked about a blueprint or a path, which we could follow with other programs, is the ability to get evidence of target engagement and proof of splicing even in healthy volunteers, given the fact that these molecules that have systemic exposure. We're able to readily avail ourselves of the peripheral compartment and get PK/PD early on, which is incredibly valuable.
And the other part of this, and Anu alluded to it, in our presentation, when we look at the patients who have single nuclear polymorphisms that are affecting MSH3 and that effect on disease onset and disease progression. I think we're now thinking a little bit more ahead of time of how we can start establishing the body of evidence that we could take the FDA very early in a development program and start having discussions around what could be the basis of a surrogate end point so that when we start the clinical program, we already have some alignment with the agency on how they would be thinking about the necessary data package to support an accelerated approval. I think this is a learning that we have made. I think we certainly learned, we've had very productive discussions with FDA and [indiscernible] on the Huntington program. And I think we know it would be in our best interest get on board with the agency sooner. And they're actually doing -- they're introducing programs as well to engage earlier responses around biomarkers. So I think we have a convergence of interest, and we're certainly doing our part thinking about ways that as quickly as possible. We could have the steps or the details of what could be an accelerated approval development program.
This is Clara Dong from Jefferies. So maybe a quick one on MSH3. First, because it's part of the mismatch repair system. So when it's lower to the level you showed in his slide, do you see any compensatory MNR components up gradually? Or it's completely an independent mechanism and then also on SCA3, do you have a sense of magnitude of RNA and protein reduction correlates to meaningful disease modification and based on the level you are seeing in vivo and in vitro, how should we think about this the threshold in humans for this modification? And maybe a quick one on the market opportunity for SCA3 as well. So in the slide, you've highlighted the problems in Japan, 2,000 patients there. How are you planning to integrate the disease prevalence across the world into your clinical development and to reflect the future of commercial opportunity as well?
Thanks, Clara. Anu do you want to -- the first question, Clara, was just about was regarding MSH3. And can you just repeat it one more time?
Any update?
Off-target?
Compensatory. So it's interesting as Matt was talking about the MMR proteins that are involved in that pathway, MSH3 is most upstream, the most proximal. And MSH3 and that pathway actually is very specific for repeat microsatellite repeats. So in terms of compensatory, if you are targeting MSH3 and you're lowering MSH3 from all the preclinical data, it looks like you're not going to upregulate another parallel pathway that will compensate for the loss of MSH3. So we're very confident that lowering MSH3 will do its job. What was the...
And the second question was...
SCA3. Yes. I mean in terms of target engagement and the range that we're shooting for is very much in line with what we saw in our SCA3 animal model, the CSA3 mouse. We're shooting for anywhere, I think 40% is what we're looking for and that we believe will give the therapeutic benefit that you need in the SCA3. And that's based on a lot of preclinical data.
So I'll just quickly answer the question on Japan. We have global development capabilities. We've done clinical studies in Japan and also have the full infrastructure in Japan for commercial services as well. Gena, I think you're next.
Gena Wang from Barclays. I think I spent many, many years when I was at back at school, doing my PhD post-COVID doing splicing and so it's very exciting to see the advancement of where the field is now. So I wanted to ask a few scientific questions. So I think the first one, regarding your U1 GGUC, the complex, right? So how do you testing the noncanonical 5 splice donor sites that when you try to target a specific, say, Huntington or MSH3, what is the -- like the whole transcriptome sequencing that makes you feel confident that whatever the target, the small molecule, you identify will be very specific to that particular gene? So that's the first question.
And the second question is regarding the MSH3. I know -- we know that this is truly is the housekeeping genes, right? So there are some other studies suggesting will be involved in the Huntington path. And when we look at it is the [ locking ] mouse model. So -- but on the other hand, it is a housekeeping essential proteins for DNA mismatch repair. So any concern, and I think others also question about the potential cancers. So how much have you done when you do this and especially this oral delivery and you basically penetrate everywhere, the key focus is the brain and how do you test in the other parts of the body, make sure there is truly, there's no upper regulating of the DNA breakdown or other consequences?
Terry. Thanks, Gena. So Chris, the first question is regarding how do we assess specific...
So I think Matt used the word heretical at one point. I think Gena, I know you've done splicing for a long time. And I think it was really the case that as you outlined, could this be done? And the short answer is empirically by optimizing the molecule, we select for that potency against the target of interest. And by doing this to the exclusion of other targets, the molecules that win are the ones that can accomplish this, how that's actually happening at the molecular level is not completely understood as the interaction is very dynamic at the 5-prime splice site. That structure is very dynamic. But for Huntington, for SMA for MSH3, these are the top hits for these molecule classes and we move forward with that. And that's one of the reasons why it's nice to expand out to other sequences because there are going to be some targets that are just preferentially affected by a molecule like this at that 5 prime splice site.
So what we can't gain for in one particular chemical class, we can grab it in another by finding a molecule that's optimal for a different 5 prime splice site sequence. And actually, sometimes, this plays in the same target. There can be more than one i exon in a given target. One of which can be optimized for a particular molecule, the other of which cannot, and we actually see this through our optimization. So early on, this is the key question. Can we get that selectivity? And if we do, that leads to an advanced program. If we don't, we move on to either another i exon, another target, another sequence.
And then Anu, do you want to talk a little bit about, again, the confidence in the threshold for lowering or MSH3?
Yes. I think up to 50%, as I said, there is enough human data, which was then followed up and validated using animals. And I think in terms of safety, one of the things that we're not going to do is we're not going to knock out MSH3. We're going to go up to 50%, where we believe we will get the most efficacy and we will not have any risk of cancer. And in terms of like looking at MSH3 in that pathway, there is enough redundancy. So MSH3 does not really play a role in the single mismatch repair that's like more critical, that's MSH2 and MSH6. That's why, for example, MSH2 is also a genetic modifier identified in HD but people are not pursuing MSH2 to because of the fact that it is indeed an essential gene, and it will cause cancer. Same thing with MLH1.
So one thing that has really emerged from again, in terms of efficacy strong efficacy data and strong safety data that in that order, like what are the top 3 mismatch repair proteins that would be ideal for somatic -- targeting somatic expansion, #1, MSH3. Number two, PMS1, #3 MLH3. So in terms of, again, safety we're not going to go up and then knock down -- knock out MSH3. We will knock down up to 50%. And the beauty of small molecules is we can do that. We can titrate down that reduction to 50%, and we can do that informally throughout the brain. So we're very confident that this 50% reduction should not have it in cancer risks.
Terrific. I think we have time for 1 more quick question or so as a quick question, and then we'll move on to the next. Paul?
Paul Choi with Goldman Sachs. My first question, maybe for Matt is on the hemoglobin programs. And just given that there's so many late-stage and or commercial programs, can you maybe talk about where even if fetal hemoglobin is a validated target, where you see your program potentially fitting in, in the various spaces, whether it's access to gene therapy or other modalities and just sort of where you ultimately envision the program?
And then on the brain tumors program, historically, PD-1s haven't shown much activity there. So can you maybe just talk about what is the rationale behind combining your asset there, even if it is brain penetrant with sort of the PD-1 program?
I'm going to scan for both briefly because we're going to move on to the next part. The first question is I would hardly say the commercial space right now is crowded for sickle cell disease. I know there's a number of therapies in development, and I think being able to offer a highly selective oral therapy I think it will fit very well and we have a very important option in the therapeutic landscape. And as we mentioned earlier, we will continue to monitor that. This is an early stage program as we bring it forward. We'll continue to see the how and if the commercial landscape evolves and then do a reassessment at that point. I think one of the compelling value propositions of the splicing platform is that it is oral, and we believe very strongly in the relative benefits of having highly selective and specific titratable oral therapies.
Your second question, in terms of PD-1 and brain tumors. I think one of the questions that we'll look at as we move forward is could the synergy of our target along with PD-1s, actually bring them to a level that together we can target brain [ mestastases ] or brain tumors where clearly, there's a high unmet need in being able to have at least an oral therapy that can add to the momentarium and provide better efficacy, I think would be certainly a very interesting and important opportunity.
So with that, thank you, Chris, Anu, and thank you, everyone, for the questions. There'll be time after words as well for those in the room, we can do informal Q&A.
We're now going to shift gears and move to presentation of our inflammation and ferroptosis platforms. These are different set of programs. We have clinical -- early clinical stage as well as preclinical stage programs that we're excited to share with you. So let me ask Jeff Trimmer to come to the stage and kick us off.
All right. Thank you for the introduction, Matt. I'm Jeff Trimmer, I'm the site head for our research facility in Mountainview, California, where we're actively working on early and late-stage preclinical programs. Today, I'll present an overview of the inflammation and ferroptosis platform and then provide more details about our 2 most advanced preclinical programs. I'll then hand it over to Mayzie to present our clinical programs.
So the inflammation and ferroptosis platform was designed specifically to deliver compounds that target specialized enzyme hubs that are essential regulators of biological functions, such as inflammation, energy production and oxidative stress. At the core of the platform is our unique small molecule library that contains compound specifically selected to target these enzyme hubs and deliver differentiated or first-in-class compounds. It's worth noting that this chemical library is distinct from the PTSeek library that Chris introduced earlier today. Today, we are advancing multiple preclinical and clinical programs for both CNS and non-CNS indications. And Mayzie and I will be highlighting these 4 today.
Starting with our most advanced preclinical program targeting 15-LO ferroptosis to deliver a disease-modifying treatment for Parkinson's disease. Next is our NRF2 activation program to mitigate inflammation, oxidative stress and prevent cell death for both CNS and non-CNS indications. Then we have our 2 clinical programs in NLRP3 inhibition and DHODH inhibition, which are advancing 2 differentiated selective and highly potent compounds for the indications listed here.
I'll begin with our Parkinson's disease program, which is targeting 15-lipoxygenase and ferroptosis. Ferroptosis, which is a key pathway in Parkinson's disease pathology is a newly identified form of program cell death. It's characterized by oxidative stress, iron accumulation and the formation of highly reactive lipid peroxides. Together, these processes elicit oxidative damage, cell membrane disruption and activate inflammatory pathways culminating in neuronal cell death. Our ferroptosis has been implicated in CNS and numerous other chronic disease indications, making it at a particularly attractive therapeutic strategy for PTC. 15-lipoxygenase is a key regulator of ferroptosis, and we have previously demonstrated that targeting this enzyme by inhibiting it, prevents cell injury and activation of neuroinflammatory pathways.
Within our compound library, we have unique chemical scaffolds that inhibit 15-LO and have been shown to simultaneously block ferroptotic cell death and activation of neuroinflammatory pathways. The important role of ferroptosis in 15-LO and Parkinson's disease is becoming quite well known. As a scientific community is increasingly recognizing the association between ferroptosis and Parkinson's disease. And over the last 10 years, interest in the specific disease association has grown from a single publication in 2015 to over 150 this year alone.
Shown here is a figure from a paper published last year demonstrating the strong link between ferroptosis and several key aspects of Parkinson's disease, including oxidative damage, activation of neuroinflammatory pathways and alpha-synuclein aggregation.. So through our strategy of targeting 15-lipoxygenase in ferroptosis, we are able to simultaneously address fundamental disease processes, including [ astrocyte and microglia ] cell activation, leading to neuroinflammation; aggregation of alpha-synuclein, which is the primary component of [ LuAbodies ]; oxidative stress that results in depletion of the endogenous glutathione pool; and finally, neuronal cell death. Now when taken together, this provides a compelling mechanistic rationale for targeting 115-LO and ferroptosis as a therapeutic strategy for Parkinson's disease.
In the following slides, I'll share data demonstrating the effects of 15-LO ferroptosis compounds on several of these disease processes, both in in vitro and in vivo Parkinson's disease models. Beginning with neuroinflammation. Neuroinflammation is a hallmark of Parkinson's disease occurring from the activation of pro-inflammatory astrocytes and glial cells. Now shown here are images of astrocytes that in the bottom 2 panels have been exposed to a [ propheraptotic ] challenge. Note the astrocyte in the middle panel displays the classic fried egg morphology of [ astrogliosis ], which is characterized by retraction of the neuritic processes and expansion of the cell body.
Compare that to the bottom panel. In the bottom panel, the cells look unchanged compared to the control, retaining our normal morphology and not converting to a pro-inflammatory state. We've quantified the changes in cell volume in the figure here on the right where you can see that the 50% increase in volume associated with astrogliosis is completely blocked by the addition of our compound. Following this, we set out to demonstrate the targeting 15-LO in ferroptosis results in an improvement in a second fundamental disease process, protein aggregation. Phosphorylation and aggregation of alpha-synuclein leads to the formation of Lewy bodies. Again, a defining feature of Parkinson's disease. Shown here is a neuronal coal culture using cells expressing human alpha-synuclein, where the bottom 2 panels again, have been exposed to a pro-therapeutic challenge.
We've added a red staining antibody that binds the phosphorylated alpha-synuclein, and you can clearly see in the vehicle panel a significant increase in phosphorylation. Again, compare that to the bottom panel that like in the previous astrocyte data looks nearly identical to the control, suggesting that this approach blocks phosphorylation of alpha-synuclein. Shown here is looking at alpha-synuclein aggregation. And we can clearly see that with the vehicle-treated cells, there was a significant threefold increase in aggregation that again, was completely blocked by the addition of our compound.
Now we were the first to report last year that targeting 15-LO in ferroptosis prevents phosphorylation of synuclein, aggregation of synuclein in activation of pro-inflammatory pathways. We've also, at this point, looked at similar models of glutathione depletion and neuronal cell survival and seen a similar effect of protection. So from here, we went on to look at gold standard animal models commonly used in Parkinson's disease research. Shown here are the results of a study using the Line 61 mouse, a human alpha-synuclein expressing transgenic mouse model of Parkinson's disease. In this study, we performed a proteomic analysis to characterize the effect of alpha-synuclein phosphorylation in aggregation on structural and functional proteins across 4 critical neuronal pathways including neuronal structure, plasticity, transmission and synapse formation.
Shown in the gray bars, moving from left to right, we saw dramatic reductions in concentrations of 60 proteins in these 4 critical neuronal pathways in the control of transgenic animals. The loss of protein in all 4 pathways was dose dependently prevented with the addition of our compound over the course of 4 weeks. These data clearly demonstrate that preventing neuroinflammation and alpha-synuclein aggregation confirms or confers neuronal protection in an animal model of Parkinson's disease. The final question now is does this preservation of structural and functional protein translate to an improvement in locomotive function or behavior? And the short answer is yes. This is the Parkinson's disease model where the dopaminergic neurons of the substantia nigra, the area of the brain affected in Parkinson's disease have been exposed to a propheraptotic agent, cydoxydopamine.
The typical behavior of an animal when it's placed an enclosure a cage is to try to escape. As shown in the video on the left, the vehicle-treated animal makes no effort or attempt to get out of its confinement. Compare that to the treated animal on the right, which is displaying the typical behavior of trying to fit, find a way out, rearing on its time lags in displaying typical surveillance behavior. Preservation of this behavior demonstrates that the structural protection that we saw on the previous slide, confirms locomotor behavior in this particular disease model. The loss of which locomotive behavior is a defining symptom in Parkinson's disease.
So to summarize the program, we've established a proof of concept across multiple disease models. We are currently scheduled to select a development candidate in the first quarter of next year with a Phase I healthy volunteer study planned for the second half of next year. Concurrently, we've initiated a translational biomarker program to facilitate and accelerate the clinical program.
With that, I'll review our NRF2 activation program. NRF2 is an intrinsic transcription factor that regulates cellular response, such as stress response and inflammation and we're developing NRF2 compounds that feature a differentiated mechanism of action, which confirms, improved selectivity and modulation of both cellular stress response and inflammation response compared to other non-selective NRF2 activators. In the following slides, I'll share data demonstrating the effects of NRF2 activation in in vitro and in vivo models selected to validate and differentiate our mechanism of activation.
In our initial experiments, they were designed to evaluate our NRF2 activators in a variety of cell types and then benchmark them against an existing approved NRF2 activator omaveloxolone. In these experiments, we specifically selected 4 different human cell types, representing both peripheral and neural inflammation and subjected them to a pro-inflammatory challenge. As you can see, the PTC compound modulated cytokine release, while no effect was observed with addition of omaveloxolone. Mechanistically, this is explained by RNA seat data confirming that our mode of NRF2 activation modulates the expression of genes that produce cytokines, chemokines and other molecules that regulate inflammation response while omaveloxolone does not appear to do so. We then followed up this study with a more comprehensive proteomic analysis of NRF2 activation and cytokine production in human microglia cells.
Using a similar inflammation challenge is on the previous slide, we again compared our compound to omaveloxolone. Starting with the figure on the left, the PTC compound and omaveloxolone both increased the canonical NRF2 target proteins or the proteins that are directly downstream or regulated by NRF2. However, moving to the middle and right panel, we see that the PTC compound significantly increase the anti-inflammatory proteins while decreasing pro inflammatory proteins to a much greater extent than was observed with omaveloxolone. So after demonstrating these effects in vitro, we selected animal models with a well-characterized phenotype to establish a PK/PD relationship and gather POC data to further validate and differentiate our mechanism of action.
Shown here is the relapsing remitting MS mouse model, in which a toxin is introduced that causes activation of T cells, a pro-inflammatory response and demyelination of the motor neurons. The animals are observed for 21 days following the introduction of the toxin and a clinical score is recorded. A clinical score of 0 indicates there's absolutely no presentation of disease. So you can see in the vehicle and the omaveloxolone treated arms that around day 12, there started to be frank presentation of disease they continue to worsen over the duration of the study. Compare that to the compound PTC compound treated arm, where there was basically no increase in the clinical score throughout the 21-day duration of the study. We then analyze data from multiple studies to determine the correlation between the clinical score and NFL or neurofilament light. Neurofilament light is a biomarker of neurodegeneration that is commonly used in clinical studies as a surrogate for clinical protection.
Not surprising, the lower the NfL, the lower the clinical score and the lowest levels were observed in the PTC compound treated arms. From here, we look at a therapeutic treatment strategy, where administration of compound did not commence until we had frank presentation of disease or an increase in the clinical score on day 11 or 12. At this point, we started administering compound daily, and we saw that the worsening of disease plateaued compared to the vehicle-treated animals. Suggesting that this mode of NRF2 activation can be protective even in the face of existing disease.
We next evaluated our NRF2 mode of activation in a renal injury model characterized by inflammation, oxidative stress and fibrosis. In this study, we compared the protective effects of our compound to bardoxolone, a nonselective NRF2 activator. In this model, it recapitulates numerous features of renal injury associated with chronic kidney disease, such as fibrosis, [indiscernible] fibroblast activation, formation of significant crystals leading to impaired renal function. Starting on the left, we measure blood urea nitrogen to creatinine ratio, which is a biomarker of renal injury. And you can clearly see that after 7 days of dosing, there was a significant reduction in the PTC treated animals compared to vehicle and bardoxolone, which demonstrated severe kidney injury.
Moving to the right, we look at body weight or changes in body weight over the duration of the study, where a reduction in body weight is indicative of poor general health. And we can see, again, the administration of our compound was identical to the change in body weight and control and much and significantly less than what was observed in the vehicle in bardoxolone-treated animals. Clearly suggesting that our differentiated mode of activation is superior than the nonselective NRF2 activator.
In the final study that I'll present, we assess the protective effects of NRF2 activation in a mouse model of primary -- or pulmonary fibrosis. This is characterized by structural damage, changes in lung morphology and activation of fibroblasts leading to fibrosis. Starting here on the left, after 21 days of dosing, the PTC compound mitigated the increase in lung weight observed in the vehicle group. This is indicative of a reduction in inflammation in the lung and edema. On the right is a figure showing the effect of compound administration on hydroxy proline, a known marker of fibrosis. And you can see that the nearly 4x increase observed in hydroxyproline in the vehicle-treated animal was completely blocked by the addition of our compound, further validating our differentiated mechanism of NRF2 activation.
So to summarize, we've identified and optimized a novel class of NRF2 activators. We've established proof of concept across multiple disease models. And currently, we are scheduled to deliver a development candidate in the second half of next year. So with that, I'd like to turn it over to Mayzie Johnston to introduce our clinical programs, and thank you for your attention.
Thank you, Jeff, and good morning, everyone. My name is Mayzie Johnston, and I have been working in drug development now for the past 20 years and with several years in the inflammation space. I've had the great privilege to work at PTC for the past 4 years, and I lead our clinical stage inflammation programs. So today, I'm happy to share updates on both our NLRP3 and our DHODH programs. .
So I'll begin with NLRP3. So NLRP3 as part of the innate immune system and is an intracellular sensor protein predominantly found in macrophages. The role of NLRP3 is to detect danger signals, such as infection, stress or tissue damage. So if you think about it, NLRP3 is the body's smoke detector for cellular stress. Now once these danger signals are detected, NLRP3 has been activated, triggering the assembly and activation of the NLRP3 inflamasome, leading to elevated levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-1beta and IL-18. Now while this pathway is crucial to immunity, when dysregulated, it can lead to a wide range of autoimmune and inflammatory disorders, making it a very attractive therapeutic target in drug development.
So NLRP3 inhibitors block the ability of the NLRP3 protein to assemble into the inflammasome. So PTC 612 is a highly potent and selective NLRP3 inhibitor with novel chemistry and favorable drug properties compared to other NLRP3 inhibitors in development. It has a unique non-cell funnel urea structure, potentially leading to greater safety and tolerability. PTC612 has demonstrated efficacy in multiple in vitro and in vivo preclinical models with evidence of NLRP3 pathway inhibition and a well-defined PK/PD relationship.
So one of the first things that we did was to establish in vitro validation of activity in several different cellular models. So IL-1 beta, as I mentioned, is a potent pro-inflammatory cytokine, predominantly produced by activated macrophages, neutrophils and monocytes and PTC612 inhibits IL-1 beta in multiple cellular models after challenge with known NLRP3 agonists. So in THP-1 monocytic cells, you can see very potent inhibition of IL-1 beta with an IC50 of less than 1 nanomolar. Now typically, greater concentrations are needed to inhibit activity in whole blood due to high levels of protein and red blood cells. Yet even in whole blood, we see very potent inhibition of IL-1 beta again with an IC50 of less than 10 nanomolar. So you may ask, well, how does this compare to other NLRP3 inhibitors? So I'm glad you asked.
So we benchmarked our NLRP3 activity against other in-class compounds. Here again, we looked at activity in the THP-1 monocytic cells, where you can see PTC612 is roughly 13 to 200x more potent than these other compounds. So in human whole blood, again, PTC compares favorably to the other compounds in development with potency 1.3 to 18x greater. So now that we established in vitro activity, our next step was to evaluate PTC 612 and a representative model of pulmonary inflammation and fibrosis to demonstrate proof of concept in inflammatory lung disease. Now in this model that we're going to talk about, [ intratrial bleomycin ] is administered to mice causing an acute lung injury which triggers inflammatory response marked by an increase in these pro-inflammatory cytokines, leading to a [ barent ] wound healing and fibrosis.
So we ran 2 separate studies. The first is a prophylactic model where PTC612 was given 1 day prior to the administration of bleomycin. Now what we see here is a very nice dose response for the reduction in fibrosis. So then we ran a separate study to determine if PTC612 could reduce fibrosis when given after the initial insult from bleomycin has occurred. And again, we see a nice dose-dependent reduction in fibrosis with normalization to that of control. So while we're not showing it today, we also conducted several other in vivo studies, which demonstrated efficacy and proof of NLRP3 pathway inhibition and other in vivo studies similar to what we've observed here.
So in summary, we have conducted studies to benchmark our NLRP3 inhibitor against other compounds in development. And we believe we have a best-in-class compound with greater potency and novel chemistry. PTC612 is a highly potent and selective inhibitor of NLRP3 demonstrating a significant reduction in proinflammatory cytokines and efficacy in, in vivo and in vitro preclinical models. So IND-enabling studies are ongoing with our first-in-human Phase I study planned for the first half of 2026. In parallel, we are finalizing indication selection in inflammatory pulmonary diseases.
So now I'm going to shift our attention to our Phase II-ready DHODH program. So DHODH or [ dihydroorotate dehydrogenase ] plays a critical role in inflammation by regulating the proliferation and differentiation of activated T cells and thereby modulating pro-inflammatory cytokine production. DHODH is responsible for the production of pyrimidine nucleotides, which are essential for the survival of activated T cells. So basically, DHODH inhibitors essentially starve activated T cells by depleting the pool of available pyrimidine nucleotides. The central role of DHODH in regulating the immune response makes it an attractive target for a wide range of inflammatory and autoimmune diseases. In fact, DHODH inhibitors have demonstrated efficacy in a multitude of diseases, but they have limited widespread use due to their toxicity. And this toxicity is likely associated with the lack of specificity and associated off-target effects.
Now some of these toxicities include neutropenia, GI distress, alopecia and hepatotoxicity. So PTC844 is a novel second-generation DHODH inhibitor and has greater potency and selectivity than other DHODH inhibitors, including our first-generation inhibitor. This greater potency and selectivity will potentially improve the safety and tolerability profile. So PTC844 blocks the ability of activated T cells to proliferate and differentiate, resulting in the suppression of pro-inflammatory Th1 and Th17 cells, which are implicated in many autoimmune diseases. It is important to note that there is no effect on resting differentiated cells, okay, only highly active proliferating cells. So again, similar to what we did with our NLRP3 program, the first thing we did was to benchmark PTC844 against other DHODH inhibitors for both potency and selectivity.
In a cellular assay looking at proliferation, PTC844 has better potency compared to both vidofludimus and teriflunomide, which is the active metabolite of [ leflinomide ]. PTC inhibits proliferation at an IC50 of 1 nanomolar compared to roughly 5,000 and greater than 10,000 for both vidofludimus and teriflunomide. So to determine selectivity of these compounds, we did a uridine rescue. The inhibition of proliferation is truly DHODH dependent, then uridine, which is an exogenous pyrimidine should rescue the cells. And this is exactly what we see here with PTC844. At the IC50 and higher concentrations, you see that proliferation goes to 0. For vidofludimus and teriflunomide, supplementation with uridine does not completely rescue the cells. And this suggests that there's some other non DHODH mechanism contributing to the inhibition of proliferation.
I just want to point out again that this potency and selectivity of PTC844 is important because we can achieve high levels of DHODH inhibition and do it in a selective manner, which ultimately should translate to better efficacy and a greater safety and tolerability profile. So we also look at the effect of PTC844 on IL-17 in PBMCs. Again, IL-17 is a pro-inflammatory cytokine produced by differentiated T cells. And as you can see across a number of concentrations, PTC844 has equivalent activity, suggesting we have achieved a critical threshold of DHODH inhibition at the lowest concentration, again, demonstrating this extremely potent inhibition of DHODH. There's a theme here, extremely potent inhibition of DHODH.
So the next step was to test our potent and selective DHODH inhibitor in various reliable and reproducible inflammatory and autoimmune disease models to establish proof of concept which can then be translated into a wide range of potential clinical indications. So one example that we're sharing today is the murine MS model, which mimics the aspects of multiple sclerosis by triggering a T cell-mediated immune response, leading to inflammation, demyelination and neurological symptoms. So the higher the clinical score, the worst the symptomatology. And in 2 distinct experiments, PTC844 was comparable to [ fingolimod ], also known as [ Gilenya ], which is one of the gold standards for the treatment of MS.
So we also looked at PTC844 in an antigen induced model of rheumatoid arthritis. Now this is a standard model of RA. And in this model, rabbits were sensitized to [ elbalbumib ]. [ Acersensitization ovalbumin ] was injected into the knee of these rabbits, which triggers then an inflammatory or immune response, which mimics RA. And here on the left, we are measuring the absolute change in the knee diameter. And for vehicle-treated animals, you can see a consistent increase in the size of the knee whereas with the treatment with methotrexate or PTC844, you see less swelling and stabilization over time. Now I will point out that the high dose, the 6 mg per kg dose is actually equivalent to that of methotrexate. And in fact, the lines are superimposable.
Here on the right, we're looking at the percent change in diameter of the knee at the end of the study. And once again, you can see that PTC at 6 mg per kg is equivalent to methotrexate. Now this is important because the 6 mg per kg dose represents the lowest dose that we are going to move forward in our Phase II clinical trials. So this gives us great confidence in the fact that we'll be able to achieve even greater efficacy. So now in addition to the in vitro and in vivo proof-of-concept studies, we also conducted the standard GLP toxicology studies. The positive proof of concept, along with GLP tox supported advancement to the first-in-human study, which is a Phase I single and multiple ascending dose study. Single ascending doses up to 45 milligrams and multiple ascending doses up to 27 milligrams were evaluated in 64 subjects to assess safety, PK and PD.
So now to determine target engagement, we measure DHO or dihydroorotate. DHO is a substrate of DHODH. So when we block DHODH, levels of DHO will increase. As you can see here, even at the lowest concentration, we are seeing increases in DHO and these increase in a dose-dependent manner, again, showing that we have demonstrated target engagement. Now based on efficacy observed in many in vivo animal studies, we are targeting DHO levels of roughly 30,000 and above for clinical efficacy. And as you can see here in our multiple ascending dose study, we're achieving these levels at our mid- and high dose. Importantly, no serious adverse events or clinically relevant findings on physical exams, ECGs or lab values were reported in the study.
So in summary, we have demonstrated in vivo and in vitro POC and greater potency and selectivity with PTC844 compared to other in-class compounds. PTC844 has demonstrated safety in both GLP toxicology studies and in Phase I. Currently, we have an ongoing food effect study, and we are finalizing indication selection. We are planning to initiate a Phase IIa PK/PD study in mid-2026. So you've heard today about the strength and innovation across PTC's exciting pipeline. And Jeff and I enjoyed providing an update on our inflammation platform. But to close, we have leveraged our unique small molecule library to deliver differentiated or first-in-class therapies across 4 distinct and highly clinically relevant targets. 115-LO, NRF2 and NLRP3 and DHODH. All 4 programs are advancing with key milestones planned for 2026.
So thank you for your time. And now I'll turn it back over to Matt.
Thank you very much, Jeff and Mayzie, for your presentations.
We are going to open up Q&A in the section. I know we're a little over time, but we certainly want to allow for appropriate Q&A and discussion.
This is Ben Burnett from Wells Fargo. I want to ask on the DHODH program. I thought that the data was interesting in the -- for the Phase I. What is the time course from the older assets where you saw hepatotoxicity and GI distress occur?
The older DHODH, yes. So that was, I think, ancient history for a lot of us here, but I realize that's still out there. And I think a lot of the earlier things were -- those side effects were observed at very, very high doses in early oncology studies were, again, far beyond, I think, anything over time that was looked at in subsequent clinical work. I think one of the things that Mayzie highlighted that's critically important is with this new second generation of molecules like PTC844, we have so much greater potency and specificity for the DHODH target that it's allowing us to get significant levels of DHODH inhibition doing so with on-target specificity and safety and tolerability. So I would just briefly summarize and say that this is far and away magnitudes better, as you'd expect from a 2.0 versus an early 1.0.
Kristen Kluska at Cantor. What degree of effect does 15-LO 5LO have on modifying [ LRRK2 ] relative to other targets, similar stage development in these preclinical studies? And then what other synergistic effects does this target offer that others in Parkinson's lack?
Okay. So what makes this particularly attractive compared to other approaches is that we're operating upstream of some of the fundamental disease processes that have been reported like synuclein aggregation or neuroinflammation. So we're capturing these fundamental disease processes right at the start. So I think that offers a particularly meaningful advantage of hitting the fundamental pathway that is upstream of neuroinflammation, protein aggregation, glutathione depletion, [ evocative ] stress and cell that. So that makes us a particularly attractive therapeutic strategy for us. And your first question was, how does it relate to LRKK2?
Yes. Just the degree of effect that it has on LRKK2 specifically relative to other targets that are looking at this in a different way.
I would say the magnitude of effect on the other aspects of the disease pathophysiology are much stronger compared to what it would be doing to LRKK2 for example.
I think Jeff emphasized some of the work on LRKK2 in Parkin and [ PINK 1 ], which are targeting specific typically mitochondrial mutations can be important, particularly if you have LRKK2 specific pathology. But when you consider what we're able to do with by targeting keratosis through 15-LO is the fact that you have these distinct pathways of pathophysiology that each independently have been implicated in Parkinson's disease pathogenesis and the ability through one single target access each of them, including mitochondrial dysfunction is quite frankly, exciting.
Paul Choi with Goldman Sachs. I think my first question on the NLRP3 program for Mayzie. Can you maybe comment a little bit on for the pulmonary fibrosis animal work you've done? Have you done any testing with the standard of care agents like [ EzratOfab ]? Can you maybe comment on combinability with the current standard of care? And then my second question for Matt is sort of beyond IPF as you think about developmental areas there are a couple of other candidates in the clinic targeting recurrent pericarditis, other things like that. Just sort of curious your appetite for exploring beyond fibrotic diseases, let's say, cardiovascular, other areas?
Sorry. Yes. So specifically, yes, the pulmonary fibrosis model that I shared with you, both the prophylactic and the therapeutic, we actually did benchmark that to [ natetinib ], and we had equivalent results. So it just wasn't shown on the slide. Now we have not looked at the combined ability yet, but that obviously is something that we would consider if we were to go into IPF, we would actually look at on background of standard of care therapy.
Yes. Just for the comment that one of the things we were doing in -- we were always -- when we were bringing this program forward, given the link between NLRP3 and [ flobosome ] and pulmonary pathology, we thought that, that would be a very interesting place to look, of course, with an idea to what more rare disease indications and high unmet needs. So a lot of the early in vivo work was POC work in well-characterized pulmonary fibrosis models to establish the PK/PD relationship and get the necessary proof of concept necessary to give us confidence to bring this forward.
So we're still finalizing what would be the first indication, but certainly we're aware that the NLRP3 inflammasome -- first of all, we know a lot of people are looking at it and we implicating a number of different organ systems and we'll get a first indication in mind and then start to think about what could a second and third indication look like, again, using the usual filters we talked about, developability, competitive landscape and things like that. I think again, one thing we're particularly excited about with this compound is at least the benchmarking work we've done to date shows superior potency in part to the chemical structure as Mayzie alluded to, which allows us to move into a space where there may be others find a niche that we think is well suited to PTC's wheelhouse and be able to make an important contribution to the field.
Jo Thome from TD Cowen. Just a quick question on the targeting 15-LO because I know [ peticanonin etlixisad ] also targeted that same mechanism. So I guess how differentiated are these compounds from those? Maybe what are the differences? And did you see similar impacts preclinically if you looked at [ vatiquinone ] and some of those others?
I'll just make a general comment and then I'll let Jeff go a little bit deeper. I mean I think the ticket on was really 1.0 point out. And the teams have spent a number of years if you think about the time from when [ vatiquinone ] came forward, the target was elucidated to being able to, just as you'd expect over time, have more specific, more potent by distributed molecules that can give us confidence that we can have a significant effect and be the first [ antitheraptotic ] therapy for Parkinson's disease.
Jeff, I don't know if you want to comment any more on some of the...
I would pile on by saying we're down to single-digit animal potency now, which is a significant advancement.
Judah Frommer from Morgan Stanley. Maybe just one high-level one on the PD program. So I think it's fair to say this feels like a more targeted R&D approach for PTC than what we've heard in years past. So can you talk a bit about what's changed within the broader organization to support this focus, how financial resources and cash flow breakeven guidance could be impacted as hopefully multiple programs move forward. And then just a follow-up on PD. Would you characterize learnings from 857 kind of similar to how do you talk about [indiscernible].
So on the first question, look, I think we -- a couple of years ago, we undertook a significant restructuring and really refocused and fundamentally change the way we run the company. One important aspect of that was focused in execution. I think what you've seen today, certainly with the splicing team and we're incredibly proud to have such dedicated and accomplished scientists who've been at PTC sometimes over 2 decades is in the case of Chris, and who's been here for 18 years and have seasoned experience, researchers and developers like Mayzie and Jeff. And a lot of it was saying, we've got this incredible talent have incredible potential. I mean I think if you think about the splicing platform, this is an incredibly innovative and valuable RNA technology platform that, quite frankly, has been under cultivated.
Just on self-reflection and reflection of the organization. You have incredible talent, incredible potential, and this is something that we felt needed to be focused, dedicated and get our best minds on this, and that's what we're doing. And when we talk about bringing the same rigor and focus to the research organization that we brought across the company, we now have, just like we do in the -- for the business, we have quarterly business reviews, where we'll sit down with the commercial teams, and they'll explain to us, how did the quarter go. What are goals for next quarter? And how do we get there? We're doing the same thing in research now. We have quarterly research reviews where the teams sit down and say, okay, what were the goals for this quarter? How we met them? Well, I haven't we met that more of the goals for next quarter? And I think it's really combining what is immense talent, immense experience, right amount of discipline and focus, and I think this is what you get, and we're incredibly excited about it.
In terms of financial resources, look, we've been made very clear once we started on this journey a couple of years ago that we're going to move the company towards cash flow breakeven. I think one of the most incredible things to think about is we're doing all this with this significantly. I mean a fraction of the research budget the company previously had. So again, this is, I think, what brings discipline focus can bring you and also being very thoughtful about how we allocate expenses for research and early development. We remain committed, as we've said, to continue to reduce OpEx. We expect when we give OpEx guidance at JPMorgan in January you expect to hear that it's going to be -- there'll be a reduction going from 1 year to the other. And we'll also talk about our journey towards cash flow breakeven, which we remain incredibly confident. And even with this -- even if all of these research programs were successful which I think would be tremendous, but not -- I mean not everything will succeed, but we're well positioned.
And the other thing just to emphasize as well, certainly, when you hear about a program like Parkinson's disease. So we talk about a cancer target in splicing. We've said all along, we've got science that we believe can be incredibly important for the development of therapies, both that PTC can handle the development and commercialization for and others that would be appropriate for strategic partnerships. We want sort of an intel and side model where we'd like to put our science inside a larger indications through strategic partnerships where we can still contribute in advancing highly innovative and impactful therapies for diseases of high unmet need even if they're not again in our development and commercial wheelhouse.
And then your other question was Gen 1, Gen 2, particularly on 857, again, I think similar to what we talked about a lot of important lessons they are in terms of being able to evolve and have much higher potent and specific therapies.
This is Brian Cheng from JPMorgan. Can you confirm whether your NLRP3 program is a covalent or a noncovalent binder? Given the spectrum of covalent binding and non-covalent binding for NLRP3 in the space, what's your take on both binding approaches? And then lastly, how does the ability to penetrate a blood bring barrier differ from others?
So let me answer your second question first. So PTC612 is peripherally acting, it is not CNS penetrate. We do have a library of compounds where we do actually have CNS penetrant and LRP 3 inhibitors, but this one specifically is being developed for peripheral indication. For your first question, I believe it's a noncovalent NLRP3 binding. Yes. yes, the chemist back there is nodding yes. I thought I had that right. Yes. Thank you, Matt.
Any other questions? Terrific. Thank you, both. And I want to thank everyone again for attending our research event today. We've been incredibly excited to share the tremendous progress we've made across both our splicing platform as well as our inflammation ferroptosis platform. We look forward to providing updates as we look to move these compounds forward and to really incredibly excited about the company we've been able to build over the past couple of years and really position ourselves not only for near-term success, but long-term success.
Thank you all again for joining. Those who are in the room who have informal discussion and lunch available in those online, thank you again for calling in and joining us today.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Special Call - PTC Therapeutics, Inc.
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Jefferies London Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining Jefferies Healthcare Conference in London. My name is Clara Dong, one of the biotech analysts here. So here sitting next to me, we have the team of PTCT Therapeutics, Matt Klein, CEO of PTC; and Pierre Gravier, Chief Financial Officer of PTCT. Welcome.
Thank you, Clara. Great to be here.
So it has been a really busy year for PTCT from commercial launch to clinical readouts. And before -- just before we go into deeper into the pipeline, why don't you give audience an overview of PTCT and tell us what have kept you busy for the past year?
Great. Thank you. So PTC is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on rare disease therapies. We have a robust commercial portfolio with 6 marketed products that we ourselves commercialize around the world. And we have an innovative R&D pipeline anchored by our validated splicing platform.
As you mentioned, it's been a busy year for us, highlighted by the initial global approvals and global launch of Sephience, our oral therapy for PKU. As we've talked about, given the significant unmet need for patients with PKU, we expect this to be a multibillion-dollar opportunity for PTC. And as we shared at our Q3 earnings a couple of weeks ago, the launch is off to a fantastic start. I'm sure we'll get into a little bit more detail on the launch and what we see coming for Sephience over the course of the chat.
Great. And yes, definitely, we're going to spend a little bit of time on PKU and Sephience. And maybe before we talk about the drug about the launch, I think it's important for the audience to understand the disease itself as well as the background. Like what's the biggest unmet need in PKU and especially in the context of patients' dietary lifestyle? What do you see is the most important things for patients care?
Yes, absolutely. Look, there's -- there remains -- despite there being 2 approved therapies for PKU, there remains a significant unmet need. And this is a population of about 17,000 individuals in the United States, and we've said about 58,000 in markets where we intend to commercialize worldwide. And again, while there's 2 approved therapies, the vast majority of patients are not on these therapies, whether it'd be due to not having enough efficacy in terms of patients being able to have significant lowering of their phenylalanine levels or as important and in some cases, more importantly, the ability to liberalize their diet.
Patients with PKU are born with an inability to metabolize phenylalanine, which is an amino acid contained in protein. And therefore, the standard of care is a highly restricted diet. So if an individual is not able to feel better in terms of having less brain fog, cognitive impairment and be able to take more protein, there's no added benefit to being on a therapy because already their basic care or basic standard of approaching their disease is being on a highly restrictive burdensome diet. So that's one reason why an individual may not be on one of the approved therapies.
The other approved therapy for adults only has significant tolerability and safety issues, making it very difficult to get to a dose that's effective and then tolerate a dose that's effective. So in a way, this represented a very unique opportunity in rare disease where there's all of the benefits of having therapies been in the market already, that is, centers of excellence identified, well-aggregated patient communities, payers that understand the disease and understand that value can be drawn or tied to phenylalanine lowering. And there's also newborn screening, so patients are known at birth, yet without any of the disadvantages in that there's a significant unmet need, a significant desire for patients to be on the therapy that can be safe, well tolerated and bring the benefits of phenylalanine lowering and diet liberalization.
And with Sephience, we have a highly differentiated small molecule oral therapy that's once a day and that has demonstrated significant efficacy in clinical trials, significant added benefit relative to the existing oral therapy in the head-to-head clinical study and also, importantly, showing the ability to allow individuals to liberalize their diet. In the open-label extension of our Phase III trial, 97% of patients were able to liberalize their diet. 2/3 of patients were able to get the levels of protein equivalent to the recommended daily allowance of protein intake for an individual who doesn't have PKU. And this includes these effects in the most severe patients.
So what we have in Sephience is a well-safe, well-tolerated therapy that's able to significantly lower phenylalanine and for most patients, enable the ability to liberalize their diet. So it's really ticking all those essential boxes and meeting the unmet need for kids and adults with PKU.
So Sephience was approved in July this year. And maybe let's just talk a little bit more about this product. Fresh out of the gate, it put up a really incredible first partial quarter revenue numbers. So maybe just talk to us a little bit about what you've been hearing from physicians in the field about their experience. And then how does the narrative has changed for PKU treatment with the arrival of Sephience?
Yes, absolutely. So as I mentioned in my previous comments, we had this backdrop of significant unmet need and a highly differentiated therapy. And I'll also add that we have an experienced commercial team that's demonstrated success in marketing rare disease therapies, especially in competitive and genericized markets. So we had time to prepare for this launch. We have mapped out all the centers of excellence, had been well integrated with the patient community, a very strong understanding of the decision-makers at the specialty centers, whether that be physicians, whether that be nurse practitioners, the importance of building strong relationships with dietitians who are often the point of contact for PKU patients. So we were able to set all that up.
And so once we had approval, we were able to get the launch off the ground quite well. In the first 6 weeks or so of the third quarter, we reported $19.6 million in revenue, broad penetration in terms of number of prescribers, touching all the specialty -- all the centers of excellence in the U.S. We also got the launch initiated in Germany as well, again, with close ties to key specialty centers there. And what we're hearing from physicians and the patients is a strong desire to get on the therapy.
We're getting feedback from a lot of the key physicians that they expect to try all of their PKU patients on Sephience regardless of whether they are on existing oral therapy, regardless of their severity. And that's exactly what we've seen in the early days of the launch. We shared at our earnings call that we've seen the full spectrum of patients, including patients as young as 2 months of age being prescribed Sephience. We have patients as old as 79 years of age being prescribed Sephience and also seeing the full range of severity. We're hearing a lot of reports from physicians of them wanting to try their more severe patients on drug first with very good results, classical PKU patients who are seeing, in some cases, 80% to 90% reduction in phenylalanine. And what this is doing is just driving that desire of the physicians to try all of their patients on PKU. And so that really supports the notion that Sephience will become the standard of care for PKU patients.
And I also want to touch the point you mentioned earlier about the broad clinician specialties prescribing Sephience. And are you seeing any trends among physicians, nurse practitioners and dieticians in terms of like what's the mix look like? And are their experience consistent?
And what we're seeing is that at the specialty centers, and again, I mean, there's 104 centers of excellence in the U.S. that there's prescriptions coming from physicians. We're seeing more prescriptions actually come from nurse practitioners and, again, being able to also tie in the dietitians who are at the centers. There's -- not surprisingly, if there's individuals who are not on an existing PKU therapy, they're not seeing the doctors frequently because there's very little being offered to them by the physicians at the center.
However, since diet is the mainstay of therapy, they are in touch with the dietitians and nutritionists at these centers. So this is, again, part of the important work you do prior to a launch, which is understanding the dynamics at each center, who are the decision-makers of each center, how are they in touch with individuals at the center and understanding that on a center-by-center basis so that we can provide direct support.
I'll also add an important part of our building out our customer-facing teams for the launch was adding a number of dietitians to the PTC medical field force. And the reason for that is we want to be able to provide peer-to-peer support and also understanding that as individuals get on Sephience, management of diet and the diet liberalization process becomes very, very important because we want to ensure that once an individual starts therapy, there's not this rapid increase in dietary protein, but rather a gradual measured approach so individuals are set up for success in their diet liberalization process.
So do you get a sense of what percentage of the existing PKU patients haven't been gone on any therapies or what percentage have tried approved therapies, but ultimately discontinued? And I mean, we've done our own survey and it tells us physicians would like to prescribe Sephience really across the full spectrum of patients. But just maybe based on what you've seen so far, any patient segment would you think as like the lowest hanging fruit in your view?
Yes. So there's probably 3 broad segments of patients, those who are on therapy, which we've said is quite small. Those who've tried and failed, which is a bit larger, it's estimated about 70% of patients have tried the oral therapy, but again, very few remained on it. And then there's a bucket of patients or segment of patients who are "therapy-naive." And those are often patients who are a bit more severe for whom most physicians believe there'd be no benefit of going on the oral therapy, so they were never tried.
In terms of the "low-hanging fruit" in the launch, it's interesting. What we've heard is different things from different centers of excellence. So I had mentioned before that we've done some head-to-head studies with the existing oral therapy and found in our most recent study, the AMPLIFY study that we were able to provide on average 70%, 7-0 percent, greater lowering of phenylalanine compared to giving BH4 alone. And that really supports what we know based on the mechanism of Sephience, which is if there is an individual who has had some benefit from taking sepiapterin or BH4, they will have a much better response to Sephience. So if they have a little bit of lowering of phenylalanine, there should be much greater lowering of phenylalanine and the ability to liberalize diet.
We also know that individuals who have mutations that are known as non-BH4 responsive mutations or quite simply ones that are not expected to respond to giving BH4 or sepiapterin, whether that's Kuvan generic or branded, they too are able to have benefit from the therapy. And so what we're seeing is at some centers, the prescribers are prioritizing those who are already on the oral therapy and saying this is pretty straightforward. I'm going to switch one once-a-day oral therapy to Sephience, a much more potent and more effective oral therapy.
In other cases, we're seeing physicians want to get those therapy-naive patients or more severe patients who currently don't have a therapy and said, "Okay, well, I could always switch the patients who are on the oral therapy, why don't I prioritize those who don't have something right now and get those individuals on drug?" And again, that's exactly what we're seeing. But the most important point, Clara, is the one that you mentioned is that what we're hearing time and time again is the desire to try all patients on Sephience, whether those come at the early -- at the start of the launch or as we get further into the launch.
And I also want to talk about the market access. I mean you've mentioned very positive payer feedback and a minimal restrictions. So like what kind of efforts are you making to make sure this remain consistent moving forward? And maybe just talk to us about the typical prescription journey look like for PKU patients as well when their journey to get reimbursement?
Absolutely. So there's 2 important factors here. One is, as I mentioned, the fact that there have been previous PKU therapies. So payers are familiar with the disease. They're understanding that you can tie value to reductions in phenylalanine. And two, we have a lot of experience in commercializing rare disease therapies. So we spent a lot of time prior to launch meeting with payers. We will continue to do so after launch and being able to provide the differentiated characteristics of Sephience, specifically the Phase III data as well as I mentioned, this head-to-head study, AMPLIFY, being able to arm with head-to-head -- being armed with head-to-head data and showing a payer the superiority you have relative to the existing oral therapy goes a long way in not having to have step edits or step throughs because you show clear superiority and clear differentiation. And again, that's what we're seeing.
We have -- we're still in early days. We do have a few payers who have already written their policies, including one very large payer. And they are basically wanting just authorization relative to the label, which is quite broad in terms of age and severity. And we're not seeing step edits and very reasonable criteria to keep individuals on therapy. So that's really a good sign. In the early days of the launch in terms of the journey, it's really been -- if there's been any pushback or requirements, it's really mostly been prior authorizations to the label. And again, the label in the U.S. is 1 month of age and older, full spectrum of patients. In Europe, it's all age groups, no age restrictions. So prior auth to the label is quite inclusive. And again, as we get more and more policies coming on board, we'll, I think, continue to expect to see very few limitations in access.
And you've mentioned about the Europe launch. So how are you thinking about the reimbursement dynamic outside of the U.S.? And how do you see the revenue opportunities for Sephience shaping up in those regions?
We have always talked about in all of our rare disease launches, the importance of maintaining a narrow pricing corridor. And so a lot of what we think about in terms of the launch outside of the U.S. is about sequencing the countries and sequencing the launches in a way that we can maintain that rigid pricing corridor. That's something that has always been very important to us, and I think is even more important today with all of the discussions of most favored nation pricing. So we went -- we initiated the European launch in Germany, roughly concomitant with the U.S. launch. As you know, in Germany, we have the 6 months free pricing period and the price is on par with the U.S., so quite consistent.
We've also been able to provide drug through -- to countries where there's early access or named patient pathways where, again, we can get the drug to individuals in the country, but also dictate the price and keep the price consistent with the U.S. We've also begun our formal pricing and reimbursement discussions in Europe. And again, it's very, very helpful for these discussions to be able to have head-to-head data against sepiapterin and also have evidence of diet liberalization because in Europe, medical foods and formulas, which are part of the standard of care for PKU patients are reimbursed. So being able to show that getting on Sephience will lessen the burden on the payer system to continue to provide medical foods and formulas.
We've also mentioned that we plan this year to have approvals in Japan and Brazil. Again, we will be initiating launch shortly thereafter in Japan, in particular. We expect that launch to be in the first quarter. And for the existing PKU products, the pricing in Japan is actually higher than in the U.S. So again, this will be another country where we'll be able to maintain our pricing corridor.
And then moving forward, what metrics -- what launch metrics are you going to provide to The Street to help us understand how the launch is going beyond the revenue numbers?
Yes, absolutely. So what we said we provide in the third quarter and at the next update, which will be at JPMorgan will be total revenue, and we'll break that out by U.S. and ex-U.S. And as I mentioned, it was $19.6 million for the first 6 weeks or so in the third quarter, and that included $14.2 million in the U.S., $5.4 million outside of the U.S. We also said that we'll be including the total number of patients on therapy, which was over 300 patients at the time of Q3 earnings as well as patient start forms, which was over 520 at the time of Q3 earnings or through the end of the third quarter and also payer mix.
One of the unique aspects relative to other rare diseases of PKU is that the -- about 2/3 of patients are on commercial insurance. Typically, in rare disease, we see the opposite, about 1/3 commercial, 2/3 government. But again, this is a bit unique. And of course, in the early days of launch, we expect a slightly larger than 2/3 amount of patients on commercial insurance. But when we get to steady state, again, we expect that to be at 2/3. So it will be total revenue broken out U.S., ex-U.S. patient starts, patients on commercial therapy and payer mix in the early days. And as we get deeper into the launch and we can speak more definitively on some of the other key elements, perhaps patient segments and things like that, we'll -- once we're able to do so, we will.
And also maybe a question for Pierre. How are you thinking about the profitability with the revenue opportunities with Sephience?
Yes. So we always talked about that when we started to completely transform the company 2 years ago. We said that profitability was a very important target for us. And the timing, we said near term, and we're getting there slowly, but surely. You can see this year, revenue guidance, $750 million to $800 million. OpEx was unchanged, $730 million. So we're close. And the exact timing will depend on the curve for Sephience, but we will get there. Sephience is the product that will get us to profitability and beyond. We think about that product to be multibillion-dollar potential. And OpEx will decrease over time. We had a few expensive trials coming to an end this year. So again, it's a very important target for the company, and we're getting there very closely.
Great. And then for the last few minutes, I also want to touch on the rest of the pipeline and maybe on the DMD first. The franchise has been pretty sticky despite generic entry. So maybe talk about kind of your efforts, your strategy to maintain that revenue against the competitive dynamic from generic.
Yes, absolutely. So this is our Emflaza program in the United States, where we lost exclusivity in February of 2024 and still are at about 70-plus percent of peak revenue. And I think this is attributable to a few things. First, with rare disease drugs, we don't see the typical cliff that you see with larger drugs. There's not really a race to the bottom because there's just not sufficient patients to be able to have that trade-off of price and volume. So while there's still 6 generic -- there's now 6 generic entrants in the market, prices remain pretty much as it was prior.
The other part is the brand stickiness that we've been able to cultivate through our work in the Duchenne community. I'll point out, in particular, our patient services team, PTC Cares, which does a lot of work in providing white glove service for patients in terms of helping support them, reminding them of time for renewal, helping them navigate the payer system, which is important not only for Emflaza, but other aspects of DMD care, including durable medical equipment and other factors. So there's a lot of loyalty and a lot of benefits that comes from staying on branded drug. I'll also point out that this PTC Cares team that provides that white glove service to our Emflaza patients is also at the forefront of our efforts at PKU. Again, this idea that working very closely with patients and their families to navigate the health care system breeds a lot of brand loyalty as well as adherence to the drug.
And then for vatiquinone in FA, what might be the possible scenarios after you plan FDA meetings this quarter? Can you talk about that a little?
Yes, absolutely. So we have an FDA meeting planned for later this quarter. This is a follow-up to the CRL received in the summer. We're interested in discussing with the FDA what are potential paths to resubmission. One possibility, of course, is to do another randomized controlled trial. There may be others. And so this is one of the things we want to discuss with FDA, given the fact that there remains a significant unmet need for pediatric and adolescent patients with Friedreich's ataxia, given that the only approved therapy is for individuals 16 and older. And of course, vatiquinone has a very strong data package in terms of both benefit and safety in younger Friedreich ataxia patients.
And a very similar question for Huntington's disease as well. You have an FDA meeting planned this quarter. So what are you planning to discuss there?
Yes, absolutely. We're incredibly excited about the votoplam PTC518 Huntington's disease program, which we have partnered with Novartis. We read out results from the Phase II trial, which were in the summer, which were positive, showing dose-dependent effect in Huntington lowering as well as signs of early clinical benefit relative to placebo at 12 months and then longer term at 24 months, showing dose-dependent benefits on disease progression. We're expecting to read out results from all patients at the 24-month time point in spring. And we mentioned that we're having this FDA meeting in the fourth quarter. And the purpose there is twofold.
One, to align with FDA on the design of the next efficacy trial, which will be important as the confirmatory trial in the context of accelerated approval or a registration trial if the accelerated approval pathway is not available. And second, to gain a high-level understanding of the FDA's thoughts on accelerated approval. Again, this is in the neurology division in Cedar, division that has leveraged the accelerated approval pathway to get drugs forward for other severe neurodegenerative diseases like ALS, like Alzheimer's disease. And the idea there is just to get an understanding of what their thoughts are as we head into a data readout in the spring.
And then we might have 30 seconds left. So I just want to quickly touch on your upcoming R&D Day. What should we expect there?
Yes. We're really excited to share our progress on our scientific platforms. The company has focused a lot in the past couple of years on showing how we brought the spirit of execution and focus to our later-stage programs and our commercial efforts. And this will be an opportunity to show that we've been doing a similar approach. We've had a similar approach to our earlier research platform. So being able to show folks the progress we've made on our splicing platform, which has already brought forward, Evrysdi, which is the leading therapy for SMA and votoplam for Huntington's disease as well as share some of the programs we have in the preclinical and early clinical space from our inflammation platform.
Great. Well, thank you, everyone, for joining this session. And this concludes our discussion here. Thank you, Matt and Pierre.
Thank you very much, Clara.
Thank you.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Jefferies London Healthcare Conference 2025
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — UBS Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
All right. Good day, everybody. My name is Ash Verma. I cover SMID cap biotech and spec pharma. And with us, we have PTC Therapeutics, Matt Klein, who is the CEO; and Pierre Gravier, who is the CFO.
Guys, thank you for joining us.
Thank you, Ash. Great to be here.
So exciting time in the story with the launch of Sephience. Maybe if you can give a little bit of a high-level overview of the company, where the story has been focused on. And then we can take it from there.
Yes, absolutely. PTC is a global biopharmaceutical company focused in rare disease. We discover, develop and commercialize rare disease therapies. Our commercial portfolio includes 6 products that we market ourselves worldwide. We also have a robust R&D pipeline, including our small molecule splicing platform, which is the source of Evrysdi for SMA, which was the first-ever cell molecule splicing drug, also for Votoplam for Huntington's disease. And this is really a well-differentiated, validated, powerful platform.
We just completed the third quarter, right at our third quarter earnings, very strong performance with $211 million of revenue, including contributions from Sephience, our PKU drug, which I'm sure we'll be talking about, which really got out of the gate quick and very strong. We also continue to be in a very strong financial position with about $1.7 billion on the balance sheet. So we're here at a time where we're launching a product that's going to be really -- provide us a foundation for future growth. We're in a strong cash position and a lot of exciting things coming out of our research platform.
Great. Awesome. Yes, exciting time in terms of the launch as well. So yes, I think with Sephience in PKU, just if you can kind of characterize what was the prep that you had going into the market. And as you've seen some of the early signs, where is the source of patients coming from, is it switches, naive, like what...
Yes. Just framing the opportunity first, I think this is a pretty unique rare disease launch opportunity. For PKU, it's about 17,000 patients in the United States. And there's newborn screening, so they're all identified. And while there have been 2 previous approved therapies, by and large, the vast majority of patients aren't served by those therapies, whether it's due to questions about efficacy or about safety and tolerability.
And so we were able to bring Sephience, which is a small molecule -- oral small molecule, once-a-day drug, very strong efficacy profile that's highly differentiated, very strong favorable safety and tolerability profile, into the space. So you basically have a space that has a lot of the pillars for commercial success already there, with centers of excellence identified, a well-aggregated patient community, payers who understand the disease, understand that you could tie value to phenylalanine lowering and then -- and newborn screening, of course.
And then we come in with a highly differentiated therapy, a commercial team that's very experienced in selling rare disease therapies, particularly in genericized and competitive markets. And when you put all of that together, you get really what could be a very large opportunity for us.
When we think about the patient segments, they've broadly been broken into patients on therapy, patients who've tried and failed therapies and patients who are therapy-naive. And we've talked a lot about how, based on the mechanism of action of Sephience and the clinical data we have showing that we can have significant effect in lowering phenylalanine and allowing diet liberalization, even in the most severe patients, and the fact that we have a label that's inclusive almost of all ages, in the U.S., it's 1 month and above, we believe we can access all of these segments.
And what we've seen in the early days of launch is really just that. We're getting patient start forms, we said, in the first 6 weeks of the launch, we had over 500 patient start forms, over 300 patients on drug, and $19.6 million of revenue globally. And with patients as young -- getting start forms, patients as young as 2 months of age, we have a 79-year-old adult who's on drug, patients who have classical PKU with real severe mutations, all of which are doing well on the drug. And I think this is really supporting the potential for Sephience to be a drug for -- really be the standard of care for PKU with broad adoption across all age groups and all disease severities.
Great. I mean were there any kind of early warehousing patients that physicians were doing, particularly at the center of excellence, I mean, if they knew that the drug was going to become available?
Yes. I wouldn't say traditional warehousing in the sense -- first of all, with newborn screening, the patients were identified. There's 104 centers of excellence in the U.S., probably 80-plus percent of patients are tied to those centers. We didn't know that there were a number of centers that had waiting lists of patients really interested to get on the drug. But I'll also add, it wasn't like we had an expanded access or an ongoing clinical trial where a lot of patients rolled out of. We had our open-label extension study from our Phase III, which had about 10 patients still in it.
So this was really about, yes, a lot of interest, broad interest, across the full spectrum of the patient population. And we've had basically participation of basically almost all the centers of excellence. 3/4 of them have submitted more than 1 start form. So what we're seeing, again, is just very broad uptake and broad interest in the drug.
Got it. Yes, I think -- and then just having launched in August, just the month-over-month, have you seen that type of a trend that, yes, early -- the drug becoming available and then sort of more reaching at a stable state? I don't know if you've commented about October.
Yes. What we shared at earnings last week was that clearly strong start, over the 500 patient start forms in the U.S., and that we were seeing continued momentum in October. And we expect that momentum to continue. Of course, it's still early days in the launch. We've got Thanksgiving, Christmas holidays and such. But what we're seeing so far is really consistent momentum and, again, a great deal of enthusiasm.
And we're hearing from a lot of physicians, many of whom tried the drug for their first patients where they're more severe patients. And seeing these more severe patients respond, we're now hearing things like "I'm now going to try all my patients on the drug," which is really what is great to hear. Because if you think about this opportunity with 17,000 patients, the key really is to have a wide funnel and to have prescribers being -- thinking about trying all of their patients on the drug. And that's how this can become really a very big opportunity.
Yes. We've heard from some KOLs that the -- had hosted calls previously, that they want to try it on all of the patients. And I think like as you're seeing the focus from the physicians, like right now with the 500 that you mentioned, how many physicians is that coming from and how does that expand over time?
Yes. What's interesting is -- so a couple of things. One is, one of the dynamics in this launch is we're getting prescriptions from physicians, also from nurse practitioners. We spent a lot of time before the launch getting to understand the centers.
And part of the mapping of the centers of excellence is understanding who are the touch points within the clinics for patients and also who are the prescribing decision makers in the clinics and who writes the prescriptions. And in PKU, certainly, you have physicians. But you also have nurse practitioners that do a lot of the day-to-day care. And in fact, as I said, the majority of our start forms have come from nurse practitioners.
And also dietitians, who play a very important role for the PKU patients. Because in the absence of a therapy, the main stay of care is a modified diet that is low-protein diet, and that requires a lot of interaction and management from dietitians. So it may very well be that patients -- it is the case that many patients don't have -- aren't in touch with the doctor who's prescribing something for them, but their point of contact is the dietitian.
So having been able to map all that out and build relationships with all of those key folks has really helped the launch. And so we're seeing, as I mentioned, PSF from across all the centers of excellence, some prescribing more. But all that gives us the confidence that we can have a sustained momentum.
Right. And is there any dynamic from like when you're converting the patient from Kuvan versus like naive, in terms of the physician monitoring and the level of involvement that they need to take care of?
Yes. I think we've heard a lot and we fully expect patients who are on Kuvan, either branded or generic, to switch over to Sephience. And that's just a data-driven decision. We had a head-to-head study, the results of which we shared recently, where it was a crossover study, so individuals with PKU got both Sephience and BH4 or Kuvan generic. And we showed that we had a 70% greater reduction in phenylalanine in these patients. That's in addition to data from our Phase III trial where we had, again, significant reduction -- additional reduction of phenylalanine for those who came into the trial on Kuvan branded or generic.
And so if you basically are on a once-a-day oral therapy and you could switch to another once-a-day oral therapy that has an equivalent safety and tolerability profile, but much greater efficacy in terms of lowering phenylalanine and less likely allowing greater diet liberalization, that becomes a very easy switch.
So we expected early in the launch to see a number of these switches. We are seeing some. But what we're also seeing is a desire by physicians and nurse practitioners to prioritize those who aren't on a therapy, which makes sense. And that's why we're seeing some of the more severe patients get tried first. And it's great to hear that those individuals are getting significant benefit from Sephience.
So we expect to continue to see contributions from those therapy-naive or tried and failed patients. But we also fully expect to continue to see patients who are on Kuvan branded or generic to switch because, again, they're swapping one once-a-day oral therapy for another and getting a lot more efficacy.
Great. Okay. And then can you maybe talk a little bit about like the access? How is that developing? I think you said that like in terms of the patient start form versus how many patients are on therapy, there's a little bit of a lag, I'm assuming. Just any kind of medical exception process that they're going through while the coverage is being determined?
Yes. It's going very well. We've said that from start form to drug, in many cases, we're getting that done in less than 2 weeks. On average, it's been 2 to 4 weeks. Mostly prescribers are being asked to have a prior auth, but it's prior auth to the label. We're not seeing step-throughs from Kuvan or Kuvan generic. And we've also had policies now from a couple of payers, including a very large -- one very large payer that's basically no step edit prior auth to the label and criteria for renewal being basically either a diet response, phenylalanine response or medical benefits.
So really what we're seeing play out is what we expected based on the extensive discussions we had with payers prior to and in the early days of the launch, which is they appreciate the differentiated qualities of Sephience, that -- and we were also able to provide them head-to-head data, which is really nice to say, "Look, there's clear superiority to the other oral therapy that's been in the market that's now genericized," and also be able to show them, based on mechanism of action, we have benefit in patients who have mutations, what were called non-BH4 responsive mutations, that never thought would be responsive to Kuvan. So when you have those data in front of you, it becomes very clear that there may not be a need for a step.
Great. Okay. And then just on like the U.S. versus Europe dynamic, so what have you seen from the launch ex U.S.? And how do you expect that to shape up?
Yes. So we were in a, at least for rare disease launches, in a kind of a unique situation that we launched in the U.S. and Germany almost simultaneously. We launched in Germany on July 15 when the price was listed in Lauer-Taxe. We're in that 6-month free pricing period. We've talked about how PTC has always emphasized maintaining rigid narrow pricing corridors, particularly in these early days of launch. And of course, with the more macro discussion of MFN, we wanted to be sure to have pricing parity where possible, so the German price and the U.S. price are on par.
We expect to bring Japan on soon; we expect approval there by the end of the year and launch there in the first quarter, where traditionally the PKU therapies have been at a premium in Japan to the U.S. So we don't see any issues with the pricing corridor there.
But back specifically to the dynamic in Germany, that's where we did set up compassionate use program prior to launch. Because in Germany, the law says when you launch, if you're in that compassionate use program, you automatically switch to commercial therapy. So we had about 30 or so patients in that compassionate use program. So that got a small number of patients who right away got onto the drug.
But importantly, it also allowed us to get the drug in the hands of the major centers in Germany. So while they didn't put all of their patients in the compassionate use program, they got used to prescribing the drug and got to see the benefits early on. So that when we did launch, we're seeing a lot of uptake, both in the larger centers of excellence in Germany as well as some of the smaller centers.
So we had $19.6 million of revenue in the first -- in the third quarter that we read out. $14.2 million of that came from the U.S., the remainder was from Germany. So we're seeing some nice contributions from Germany. We'll continue to see contributions not only from Germany, but from other countries in Europe where they have early access programs or named patient programs, which will allow us to get patients on drug, paid drug, while we go through sometimes more lengthy pricing and reimbursement discussions in a number of those countries, and that includes in Southern Europe, Eastern Europe as well.
And then we're starting to see named patient requests from Middle East to North Africa as well as Latin America. So while we're getting approvals in certain countries and getting pricing reimbursement there, we're also getting patients on drug through named patient mechanisms that, again, allow us to maintain that rigid pricing corridor.
Great. So I guess, I mean, early launch success. That's great to see. And yes, anything -- I'm curious to understand, like is there any good analogs that you would suggest? Or I don't know if you've talked about setting either any mid, near-term or long-term goals on ultimately what is the potential here?
Yes. Look, it's still early days so it's hard for us to provide overall guidance. I think the way we've always thought about this opportunity is very much in line with what you'd expect from a highly differentiated rare disease therapy, right? So you have 17,000 patients, and a differentiated rare disease therapy can often get to peak penetration rates in the 40% to 50% range. And I think that's something we think about as a potential for Sephience.
But obviously, we're still in early days. We'll be able to give much more exact guidance and idea as we get further into the launch. I think we're just excited in these early days have seen a broad uptake, the message from physicians about the desire to treat all of their patients, trial their patients on the drug. Because those are the things we believe are important to have in place if we're going to try to have that very wide penetration into the large accessible market.
Great. So moving on to just like other topics. So I mean, we've seen some of the updates from a regulatory standpoint for the NDA for vatiquinone. So you have like the priority review acceptance in February, but then got a CRL. So I know that there is a lot going on with the FDA and just we can talk about it in like more specifics. But just based on your current interactions with the agency, where do you think the review process is?
For just in general or?
For vatiquinone.
Okay. So we got the CRL in August. So that was a pretty clear decision. I think we felt -- going into that review, we knew the main question would be whether they would provide approval based on upright stability, which was a specific subscale of the disease rating scale. We had prespecified the whole disease rating scale, the modified Friedreich Ataxia Rating Scale as the primary endpoint. And what was learned while we were doing in the trial is that different subscales have different relevance based on the age and stage of the patients.
And for the specific pediatric and young adult patients enrolled in our Phase III study, it was determined while we were doing the study that the upright stability subscale was the most relevant. And of course, when we read out the trial, we had highly statistically significant effects on the upright stability scale, which was the most relevant, but again, had prespecified the entire scale.
So the question for the review was: would the FDA be willing to approve the drug, show the flexibility based on the fact that we had significant effect on the only part of the scale that mattered, and that there's a significant unmet need for children and adolescents with Friedreich's ataxia? The only approved therapy is for 16 and above.
With the CRL and the fact that the CRL, which is public, was very clear. It was a statistically driven decision that we couldn't establish substantial evidence of effectiveness because we -- the prespecified primary endpoint didn't hit. So we will take advantage of the opportunity to meet with the FDA. We said that meeting will occur in the fourth quarter. That will be a meeting where we'll talk about potential paths to resubmission, whether there's a more accelerated pathway available just given the unmet need. Is it a clinical trial? So what does that clinical trial need to look like?
And then for us, it will be a matter of making the decision, if it's a trial, what does that trial cost? What do we think the market opportunity is? What is the probability of success? And make a data-driven decision about the next steps.
Got it. Yes. I mean, I guess have you talked about in terms of in the range of scenarios that can play out, are there some roads that you don't want to go down the path? Or is that...
Look, I think there's basically a couple of paths here. For us, we understand the FDA has very much wanted to try to be flexible for rare diseases where there's unmet need. And I think the reason you have these meetings after a CRL is just to hear directly from them what are their concerns, and in a productive discussion, figure out how best could you meet those concerns, and whether the only route is through a clinical trial or if there's other routes. And those are the kinds of things we'll discuss.
Yes. I think there is a lot of just focus on the investors community on these external data cohort based regulatory pathways. And I mean, we've talked about this before just with what has happened with some of these other companies as well. It seems that there is some positive. It's not that the FDA is shut for business from that aspect. So if you can talk about like how your application or data or approach is different from some of the ones that we -- generally like Stealth, Biohaven, QURE?
Yes. We can certainly talk -- yes. Look, I think in both -- I would say, both in our Huntington's disease program with Votoplam as well as our MOVE-FA Phase III clinical trial, we have placebo-controlled data, right? And I think that in neurological and neuromuscular disease is, of course, the most -- for FDA, the most interpretable data for them is placebo-controlled data. They're very used to seeing that. They're always concerned in these types of diseases that there could be practice effect on endpoints, that there could be, if it's a patient performance measurement, different things can contribute to the performance that's other than the drug. And in their minds, the best way to eliminate confounding is to have a randomized placebo-controlled data.
So what we were able to do, certainly in MOVE-FA, and again, we're having placebo-controlled data in our Huntington's program -- Phase II Huntington's program with Votoplam, is to be able to say, "Okay, here is evidence of benefit relative to placebo." In the case of our FA program, we did use long-term open-label extension data to confirm a longer-term benefit in patients treated for 3 years with vatiquinone and we're able to show a significant effect over time. Importantly, we were able to show there that the slowing of disease progression in the placebo-controlled trial was consistent with the rate -- with the benefit of slowing progression longer term, which I think connects the data in a nice way.
But look, it's always hard for open-label -- for external controlled data convince the agency that you have apples-and-apples and -- apples-to-apples comparison. That's something we try to spend time making sure that we account for any potential source of confounding because we know that's what's going to be front of mind.
But I think being in a situation in the FA program and HD program to have placebo-controlled data, in the Huntington's disease program as well, to be able to have bio -- pharmacodynamic measurements and we have evidence of dose-dependent Huntington protein lowering in cells, those things are helpful to give them confidence that the drug is working from a biological standpoint the way it's supposed to work in order to have clinical benefit.
It's just helpful for them to understand, okay, if you have to first lower Huntington protein before you have clinical benefit to be able to tick the Huntington lowering box, I think it gives you more confidence that the clinical effects you're observing are indeed related directly to the drug and not some other external or confounding factor.
Yes. And like we were discussing this before, it's a little bit difficult to establish imaging data-driven evidence in this case.
Yes. I think -- in Huntington's disease?
Yes...
Yes. Well, I think -- one of the -- in Huntington's disease, the imaging data change slowly over time. Also something I think that was observed in the Alzheimer's trials was the concept of pseudo-atrophy, that if you have a therapeutic effect in the brain and you're decreasing brain inflammation, you may, in fact, have a lowering of volume that's a reflection of a favorable therapeutic effect.
So I think in the long term, certainly a disease like Huntington's disease, which is characterized by loss of brain volume, I think brain imaging is helpful. But in shorter 1 to 2-year trials, I'm not sure that the techniques we have are reliable for ascertaining what could be very small and meaningful evidence of clinical effect.
Great. I wanted to talk about a couple of the other commercial programs. So just like the latest on Translarna dynamics. So you've shown pretty reasonable sales despite several generics that have entered the market. So just curious, do you think that this continue on the same trajectory or any potential changes on that?
Yes. So this is for Emflaza in the U.S., which we have the 6 generic entrants into the market. We lost exclusivity in '24, but yet we still are having pretty strong revenue performance. Look, I think we're of the belief over time that should erode. But the erosion dynamics in a rare disease market are different than larger drug markets, right? You have smaller populations. You don't have the price/volume trade-off that a generic could have in a larger market. So there's not a motivation -- a great motivation for generics to come in and significantly cut the price because they can't make it up in volume. So I think that's part of the reason.
The other thing is we've been -- our patient services team, our company has been very well integrated in the Duchenne space for a long time. There is a great deal of brand loyalty that's there. Our patient services team provides support to the families, not just in getting Emflaza, but a lot of the other issues that families navigating Duchenne face. So I think there's a drive to stay on Emflaza because you want to continue to have the benefits of those patient services.
I mean we've even had boys, a young man, who switched to generic and then came back to Emflaza, because for whatever reason they said they didn't feel benefits as much or tolerability issues that arose with the generic. So I think there's many factors contributing to the stickiness. Clearly, we're getting to the point with 6 generics in the market that we will see some more erosion over time.
But I think what's so exciting for the company is that we were really looking forward to the Sephience launch given the significant potential we believe it has. And to be able to still get meaningful revenue from our legacy products like Emflaza, like Translarna, while we're ramping up the Sephience numbers, is really a great place to be.
And then just on like the Huntington's going back. So you have like a meeting schedule with the FDA for the fourth quarter. Yes, just like trying to understand like what are the -- ultimately, what are you trying to get alignment on with that?
Yes. So the program is partnered with Novartis, so we announced that partnership last year. It was $1 billion upfront, $1.9 billion, in development and sales milestones. 40% profit share in the U.S., double-digit tiered royalties ex U.S. And Novartis will assume all Phase III and future costs with the program. And so at this point, the program is over with Novartis. Yes, we're still working closely through our joint development committees and the companies are very well aligned. It's been a very productive and collegial partnership.
And so this meeting with FDA is 2 objectives. The main objective is to align with FDA on the design, the key design elements of the next efficacy trial, whether that efficacy trial is the confirmatory study in the context of accelerated approval or whether it's the registrational study if there's not accelerated approval. And there's a desire to obviously get that study going as soon as possible because it's going to be helpful in either context.
We'll also discuss the potential for accelerated approval. But we have data coming -- additional data coming in the spring, all trial participants will cross the 24-month time point, which will be a pretty important time point. And we know that and FDA knows that. So this is not really a meeting where we're going to go and say, "Can we file?" It's more of a meeting to say -- confirming the openness of the neurology division to accelerate approval, get some discussion on what they think will be helpful to see in a data set that could support accelerated approval, knowing that we'll turn the data card over, be able to do an analysis and then come back and have the more specific discussion.
Great. Just as a side comment for the audience in the room, if you have any questions that you want to submit, feel free to do that through the QR code and I can bring it back here.
So yes, I guess if we think about the next like 12 to 18 months, maybe you can talk about just what are the key milestones that you're looking for. Obviously, the Sephience launch and then some of the pipeline developments.
Yes. I would say we've really been on a journey the past couple of years, I've been CEO for 2.5 years, and we've -- and Pierre is with me, he's been our CFO for a little over 2 years, and we've been very focused transforming PTC and positioning us for future success. And I think we're at the point in time now where we got to what we thought would be the key moment, which is the launch of Sephience, to be able to be there with a strong balance sheet, as I mentioned, about $1.7 billion of cash, and having a foundational product that can be as successful as Sephience will be, we've really outlined a series of steps.
Really the next for us is to get to cash flow breakeven and profitability. Sephience, we believe, can get us there in the very near future. We then establish the next lily pad being getting to $2 billion top line, and then continue to grow the company from there.
So in the next 12 to 18 months, the goals are execute on the Sephience launch, continue to make sure we're keeping that funnel wide and we're driving revenue forward as strongly as possible. Continue to bring things forward from our R&D platforms. We're hosting an R&D Day on December 2. We're going to pull back the curtain on some of the things that we've been working on.
Understandably the attention of the company over the past year or so has really been on late-stage clinical, regulatory, commercial things. But we've been spending a lot of time bringing the same focus and discipline we've been bringing to the later-stage programs to our research, particularly our splicing platform. As I mentioned, this is really valuable platform that's already yielded Evrysdi, which is the largest SMA drug, the HD drug. We have the same team that brought those drugs forward, have been at this for over a decade, and we've been working on innovating the platform. We have a whole new set of preclinical programs that we look forward to sharing in the R&D Day. As well as our inflammation and ferroptosis program, where we have 2 clinical stage programs that we'll be talking about.
So it's going to be driving those programs forward, continuing to work with Novartis on the HD program, whether that's accelerated approval or that's a standard development program. And then, of course, with our cash, we have the ability to do BD to complement either the commercial or R&D portfolios. And that's something we are very thoughtful about. We don't have to do anything, but we'll continue to be very thoughtful and strategic about any business development we do participate in.
Great. With that, we can wrap it up. Thank you so much for your time.
Thank you very much.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — UBS Global Healthcare Conference 2025
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to PTC Therapeutics Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's call is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the call over to Ellen Cavaleri, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us to discuss PTC Therapeutics' Third Quarter 2025 Corporate Update and Financial Results. I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Matthew Klein; our Chief Business Officer, Eric Pauwels; and our Chief Financial Officer, Pierre Gravier.
Today's call will include forward-looking statements based on our current expectations. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially.
Please review the slide posted on our Investor Relations website in conjunction with the call, which contains information about our forward-looking statements, our most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q and annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC as well as our other SEC filings for a detailed description of applicable risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual performance and results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements.
Additionally, we will disclose certain non-GAAP information during this call. Information regarding our use of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP are available in today's earnings release.
I will now pass the call over to our CEO, Dr. Matthew Klein.
Thank you all for joining the call today. I'm excited to share our outstanding third quarter results. The highlight of the quarter was the initiation of the Sephience global launch in Europe and the United States. As we have discussed, we expect Sephience to be the foundational product for PTC's sustainable growth and near-term path to profitability.
Overall, third quarter revenue totaled $211 million, which includes the first revenue from the Sephience launch as well as continued contributions from our DMD franchise. With this strong quarter performance, we are narrowing our 2025 full year revenue guidance to $750 million to $800 million, the upper end of the initial revenue guidance range.
The Sephience launch is off to a great start. As of September 30, Sephience generated $19.6 million in revenue. This includes $14.4 million in the U.S. and $5.2 million ex U.S. We have seen a great deal of enthusiasm upon launch with 521 patient start forms received from U.S. centers as of September 30.
We have received start forms for patients of all ages, including adults, all disease severities, including classical PKU and various treatment histories, including patient switches, previous treatment failures and treatment-naive patients.
While these are still early days, the fact that we are seeing demand from all key patient segments underscores the significant unmet need for PKU patients and the potential for Sephience to become the standard of care, providing a safe and effective therapy for both classical and nonclassical PKU patients.
While we are presenting results today through September 30, the results for the month of October show sustained momentum. We are encouraged by the strong initial numbers and broad interest from the physician and patient communities. To sustain broad uptake, our teams are continuing to gather data to help reinforce the highly differentiated Sephience profile.
At the International Metabolism Meeting in September, we presented the results from the AMPLIFY head-to-head study comparing phenylalanine lowering between Sephience and BH4. In this crossover study, Sephience treated resulted in an average of 70% greater reduction in phenylalanine levels compared to BH4, demonstrating once again the robust and clinically differentiated benefits Sephience can provide.
Additional presentations at the conference highlighted Sephience benefits on cognitive function and diet liberalization, including in the most severe patients with classical PKU or BH4 non-responsive mutations.
We are also finalizing a publication on the Sephience mechanism of action, including in vitro, in vivo and clinical efficacy data in the most severe PKU mutations, supporting the potential ability of Sephience to provide a safe, well-tolerated and efficacious therapy for the full spectrum of PKU patients. Eric will provide additional details on the launch.
I will now briefly provide an update on the development and regulatory status of our other programs. Starting with the votoplam Huntington's disease program, a meeting with FDA is planned for the fourth quarter to align on the study design for the next efficacy study as well as to discuss the data package that could potentially support an accelerated approval application.
For the vatiquinone Friedreich's ataxia program, we are planning to meet with FDA this quarter to discuss potential next steps for the program. And for Translarna, the NDA remains under FDA review.
Finally, we remain in a very strong financial position, ending the third quarter with approximately $1.68 billion in cash. As we have discussed, this enables us to reach cash flow breakeven as well as participate in strategic business development activities to complement our R&D and commercial portfolios.
Additionally, as the company continues to build for future success, we will be hosting an R&D Day on Tuesday, December 2nd, to share progress on our research programs, including those from our splicing platform.
I will now turn the call over to Eric to discuss details of the Sephience launch and our commercial performance. Eric?
Thanks, Matt. We are very pleased with the early momentum of the Sephience global launch. Our seasoned customer-facing teams are off to a strong start, leveraging their years of preparation and experience and delivering across all fronts.
We are excited to simultaneously launch Sephience in the U.S. and Europe following regulatory approvals, and we are actively preparing for the upcoming launch in Japan following MAA approval anticipated in Q4.
As of September 30th, Sephience global revenue reached $19.6 million and 341 patients on commercial therapy, driven by robust performances in both the U.S. and Germany. Following FDA approval on July 28th, our U.S. team made the first Sephience shipments to patients approximately 2 weeks afterwards.
Through the end of the third quarter, our PTC Cares teams received 521 patient start forms from 141 unique prescribers. The response thus far from U.S. health care providers has been overwhelmingly positive with a high willingness to prescribe Sephience to a wide range of PKU patients, including switches, poorly controlled or failed and treatment-naive individuals as well as to children and adults.
Many of these health care providers have shared their observations of the rapid benefits of Phe lowering and improved patient outcomes and indicated their intent to continue to prescribe Sephience to a broad spectrum of PKU patients.
U.S. payer engagement continues to be positive. And our market access and medical affairs teams have met with more than 35 payers covering approximately 250 million lives. U.S. payers continue to recognize the highly differentiated profile and strong value proposition of Sephience. We have seen initially favorable payer policies that maintain broad access with coverage that includes prior authorizations to the label, no or limited step edits and refills for 6 to 12 months.
Although we are still in the early stages of the launch, we have seen a favorably higher commercial payer ratio and expect this payer mix to stabilize at 65-35 as Medicaid and Medicare plans finalize their policies in Q4.
Likewise, the launch in Germany is off to a great start as we quickly converted compassionate use program patients that were on Sephience prior to EMEA approval onto commercial therapy.
We have also received prescriptions for new patients from Germany and additional EU countries on a named patient basis and are preparing health technology assessment dossiers to secure pricing and reimbursement across many international markets with early access programs. Throughout Europe and other key markets, we see similar dynamics with health care providers prescribing Sephience to a broad range of PKU patients.
Along with the positive feedback from health care providers, we have also seen a highly engaged response from the PKU patient community worldwide. Social media serves as a powerful platform to see firsthand patients experience with Sephience and is also a strong channel for patient-to-patient communication. Instagram and other channels, including stories and posts from patients who have started Sephience, some who are even tasting new foods for the first time.
The excitement for Sephience is equally tangible at PKU community events such as NPKUA Annual Gathering in September, where many PKU patients shared their desire for new treatment options.
Our customer-facing teams continue to lead medical education programs at key congresses such as ICIEM and ESPKU in September, featuring roundtables, scientific exchanges and investigator meetings in the U.S., Europe and Japan, highlighting the strong clinical data of Sephience.
As Matt mentioned, these activities featured new Sephience data, including long-term results from the APHENITY extension study and new data from the head-to-head study, further supporting the differentiated efficacy of Sephience.
Additionally, data were presented in Japanese patients showing robust Phe lowering and safety results consistent with the global PKU population. We continue to expand the global launch with our experienced teams in key international markets. We recently received approval for Sephience in Canada, and we anticipate regulatory approval in Japan and Brazil later this year. As we have previously discussed, we will continue to maintain a narrow pricing corridor throughout this early stage of the launch.
Now turning to our established portfolio, we continue to defend our DMD franchise by maintaining patients on Translarna across the majority of European markets, leveraging Article 117 and fostering brand loyalty for Emflaza with targeted programs for health care providers and DMD patients in the U.S. despite multiple generic entries.
In summary, the early global rollout of Sephience is off to a great start. We are very pleased with the early results in the quarter with the U.S. being our main engine for product growth, supplemented by other key international markets that we expect to bring on board over the next 12 months.
With that, I will now turn the call over to Pierre for a financial update. Pierre?
Thanks, Eric. I'll now share the financial highlights of our third quarter of 2025. Beginning with top line results. Total revenue for the third quarter was $211 million. Starting with Sephience. Net product revenue in the quarter was $19.6 million, as of September 30. DMD franchise revenue for the quarter was $86 million with Translarna net product revenue of $51 million and Emflaza net product revenue of $35 million.
For Evrysdi, Roche achieved third quarter global revenue of approximately USD 532 million, resulting in royalty revenue of $71 million for PTC.
For the third quarter of 2025, non-GAAP R&D expense was $91 million, excluding $9 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense compared to $152 million for the third quarter of 2024, excluding $9 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense.
Non-GAAP SG&A expense was $74 million for the third quarter of 2025, excluding $10 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense compared to $63 million for the third quarter of 2024, excluding $10 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense.
Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities totaled $1,688 million as of September 30, 2025, compared to $1,140 million as of December 31, 2024. The third quarter cash balance reflects the previously announced purchase of 90% of our Sephience annual global net sales payment obligation of 8% to 12% owed to former Censa shareholders for approximately $225 million upfront and future sales-based milestone payments.
Given the significant Sephience revenue opportunity, we expect meaningful value creation based on the transaction terms. We remain well capitalized to reach cash flow breakeven and profitability as well as pursue business development opportunities that will further enhance our commercial portfolio and expand our innovative pipeline.
I will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Kristen Kluska with Cantor Fitzgerald.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on an amazing start for Sephience really exciting to see that. I wanted to ask what's going to give you confidence that beyond this really strong out-of-the-gate launch, you're going to see maintained durability and that patients will be on therapy for a while.
Kristen, thanks so much for the question. We too are quite excited with the start and seeing a lot of what we believed we would see, which is given the highly differentiated profile of Sephience uptake in all segments, right, including those who have been on previous therapies, therapy-naive patients, who're getting -- adults who are therapy naive, who people thought were so remote, that would be hard to get.
And what we're consistently hearing -- and I should add also classical, nonclassical full spectrum of severity. And what we're continuing to hear from physicians and from the patient community is great response. We're seeing on social media, patients being able to eat food for the first time that they couldn't eat before like hamburgers and pizza and then a lot of physician feedback that some of the more severe patients that they wanted to try first are responding and are responding really well.
We even heard from one of the early skeptics, one of the physicians, who was a bit skeptical at first to whether or not Sephience could have a place for the classical and more severe patients. And we heard recently, she said, I'm converted, and I'm ready to try all my patients on Sephience, which is something we're hearing again and again from a number of physicians.
So we've got this broad interest in trying patients. We're getting initial feedback that patients are responding, responding in terms of lowering Phe as well as being able to start to liberalize their diet. Look, it's early days. We're only a few weeks into the launch, but what we're seeing early looks good and we'll see. We'll see as things continue to unfold.
We keep in mind that in our clinical studies, we saw up to 75% response rate in patients of the full spectrum, which again suggests that we can deliver benefit to the broad spectrum of patients. And of course, as you've talked about a lot in some of the research notes that you've written that patients really want to have lower Phe and also see the diet liberalization, and that's really going to be a key factor in adherence.
Our next question comes from Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
Congrats from me as well on a really strong launch out of the gate. Matt, maybe I wanted to ask you a couple of questions. So can you just talk to me about what magnitude of Phe reduction are doctors and payers looking for in order to keep a patient on treatment beyond the trial period?
Maybe related to that as well, what's your expectation for percentage of patients that are going to stay on treatment following this initial trial? And how are you thinking about guiding the Street on that particular dynamic as well?
Yes, absolutely. Thanks for the question, Tazeen. I'll give an initial response, and I'll ask Eric to provide a little bit of color.
On your first question, of magnitude of response. We're hearing different things from different folks, right? We're hearing that for some patients, certainly ones that are more severe that have never had a therapy that they could tolerate or respond to that 15% Phe reduction could be meaningful for them, 20% Phe reduction. Others say we're going to look for maybe 30% Phe reduction, which is what we used in the trial and others say it's not really a number. Are patients feeling better.
And one of the exciting pieces of data we reported at the International Metabolism Meeting in Japan is that we are able to see in the clinical study that patients' cognitive function, executive function and mood are improving. That's another aspect of benefit that is not as easy to quantify, but it's another example of the kinds of things that physicians would be looking for in addition to quantifiable reductions in phenylalanine.
Patients report that they can liberalize their diet in this overall sense that they're feeling better. So I think it's going to be a combination of factors. And again, I'll ask Eric to comment a little bit what we're hearing in terms of the dynamics in terms of payer requests and things like that.
In terms of expectations for patients to stay on it, look, it's early. It's also too early to your third question to provide specific guidance as we get further into the launch, we'll be able to do that. But again, we've fallen back a bit on the clinical trial data, which shows that we have anywhere between a 66% to 75% response rate, looking at 15% or 30% as a threshold for Phe reduction with very good adherence given the safety, the tolerability, the ease of administration of the drug.
So again, that's why we're so excited about being able to see early starts from all segments of the population because our experience has been that patients regardless of their age, regardless of their severity or previous treatment history, once they get on the therapy, it's a low burden to take and the vast majority of patients report having some benefit.
Eric, do you want to provide a little bit more color on what we're hearing in terms of defining [ responsers ] and staying on therapy.
Yes. Thanks, Matt. Thanks, Tazeen, for the question. Clearly, what we're seeing is a very, very quick and rapid response from these centers of excellence. We -- it's very early days, but we're really pleased not only with the interactions that we've had with the payers, but also the way the physicians have adopted Sephience.
The clinical data that has been highlighted that we provided, including the APHENITY long-term extension and the AMPLIFY data has been leveraged not only with physicians but also with payers. And the things we see right away is that the robust efficacy is seen within days, days and weeks. It's rapid acting, and I think that's something that patients and physicians look at.
The safety profile has been excellent. It's an ease of administration with once-daily oral administration. Physicians like that. The value proposition to payers right now, we have seen no major obstacles and no significant restrictions at all right now for access to Sephience. And the teams have been really working very closely and productively with these payers now covering more than 250 million lives, and the clinical data and the value proposition is clearly what has been driving some of these policies.
So it's early days now, but these policies are very favorable, and we're seeing physicians who are not only writing their first prescriptions, but also we're seeing good momentum in October with refills.
Our next question comes from Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets.
Congrats on the launch. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about just what the time line is like from a new start form to a patient receiving a prescription and actually getting the drug, getting access. And then should we be -- I guess, how should we be thinking about the patients who for whom there are start forms, new start forms who are not yet on Sephience, should we expect those patients to roll on to treatment in the fourth quarter?
Yes. Thanks for the question, Brian. I think, again, so far, things have been moving through quite well. Eric can give a little bit more detail, but I just want to give a particular mention to our PTC Cares team, which is our team of case managers who are incredibly experienced and provide a white glove service.
Again, they were with us through all the Emflaza days, they're battle-tested through that and are really at the front lines now working with the patients, working with the physicians' offices, working with nurse practitioners, who are writing a lot of the prescriptions to really get the start forms and then quickly get those start forms processed and shepherd them through the system so we can get these patients on drug as quickly as possible.
Eric, do you want to provide some detail on the time lines?
Yes. And again, Brian, keep in mind, it's early days. It's only been a few weeks here, but we're really surprised to see that there's already a number of commercial payers that have written policies, highly favorable ones. This has really helped in terms of the speed from the time of PSF to actual fill.
The one thing we have to look at is, have there been denials or restrictions, and we haven't seen that. In the case, it's very limited. If there are denials, there are no hard denials. And of course, we're working through those through medical necessity documentation. As Matt said, our PTC Cares team is very experienced at managing this for the last 8.5 years in DMD, and we're working through all of these very, very quickly.
I would say that right now, we're seeing somewhere -- depending on the plan, whether it's a commercial plan, it could actually be from the time of PSF to fill could be days. On average, we're somewhere between 2 to 4 weeks and that's really depending on the plan.
We would anticipate that many of the government plans, Medicare, Medicaid, it's probably going to take a little longer for them to write there and finalize their policies. But even then, we're seeing patients on Medicare, Medicaid and Tricare being reimbursed.
Our next question comes from Brian Cheng with JPMorgan.
I just want to pass on my congrats here as well. Just on the 521 start form number, how should we think about the rate of start form that is coming in? I think earlier, you said that October, you're seeing sustained momentum. Can you provide just more color on that comment? Is that specifically referring to the pace of uptick in start form or access with payers? What is the momentum specifically based on?
Thanks for the question, Brian. So there's not much more color we can provide because we are still very much early days other than to say we've seen pretty consistent rates in the start forms and patients getting on to drug. We'll continue to watch this as we head through the rest of the fourth quarter. Of course, there's Thanksgiving, there's Christmas, there's holidays and things, which may or may not affect the dynamics. But again, for now, things seem to be from the start until now, pretty consistent.
Our next question comes from Judah Frommer with Morgan Stanley.
Let me say congrats, too. So a couple on Sephience. I guess, first, just can you help us with the narrowing of the full year guide? Is that solely tied to Sephience? Any other moving pieces you'd call out like the legacy portfolio coming in ahead this quarter?
And second, I guess, just for those centers of excellence, I think you called out 104 of them. Can you talk maybe in numbers, how far you've penetrated those centers, what the opportunities left are within those?
Absolutely, Judah, thanks so much for the questions. Pierre, do you want to talk first briefly about guidance and what went into that? And then Eric, if you want to talk a little bit about the center of excellence and the high penetration rate we've seen?
Yes. On the guidance, I would say this is the upper end of our initial guidance, which highlights our confidence in our ability to execute on our launch and all our products. And the delta is really Emflaza. We always talked about the delta being Emflaza, and that's the main delta from the $750 million to the $800 million.
Eric, do you want to talk about PKU?
Yes. Let me just add in that because Judah, when we started the year, we were $600 million to $800 million, thinking that we could [indiscernible] Emflaza last year came in at $208 million. And the question was with all the generic entrants, where would that be? Would we see a rapid decline. And so a lot of that wide gap was around Emflaza.
Now that we've come through 3 quarters, and we're seeing -- despite there being 6 generics, we're still seeing consistent performance on Emflaza, which gives us the confidence along with the early Sephience numbers as well as the remaining portfolio continuing to do well to narrow to that upper end of the guidance of $750 million to $800 million.
And to answer your question regarding the centers of excellence, so we have called on every center of excellence. There's 100% awareness of Sephience in each one of these centers, and we've received prescriptions from all of them.
However, and what we're really interested in is how many of these centers have actually prescribed more than one. And we've seen about 2/3 of these centers actually prescribe more than 1 prescription. And of course, there are some that are a little higher concentration than others.
But overall, I think the centers of excellence are really bringing in patients at a nice cadence, and we're working with each one of them to increase the volume of patients to get on Sephience.
Our next question comes from Clara Dong with Jefferies.
Congratulations on a great launch. So can you share a little bit more details on the patient profile for new prescribers? And specifically, are you seeing any initial uptake more concentrated in one group than the other?
And also, just want to get your updated thoughts on the size of the overall opportunity given such very strong early launch momentum in [ U.S. including ] [indiscernible].
Clara, thanks so much for the questions. Look, again, it's early days. So it's really hard to give specific numbers on the breakout. of how many from each segment. But I think what we're seeing importantly is contributions from all segments.
Again, as we said, we're seeing treatment-naive patients. We're seeing switches from other therapies, including Palynziq. We have a full age range. I think we have patients down as young as 2 to 3 months of age. We have a patient as old as 79 years of age who's been prescribed. So I think what we're seeing is this full spectrum of patients getting put on therapy.
So it's -- and again, so as we get further into the launch, I think we'll be able to give more concrete metrics [ size ] penetration into each segment. But again, the important point is we're seeing that we are getting patients from every possible segment. And so the start has been great. I think it's still a little too soon for us to give revenue projections.
What we've said all along is we've always thought of Sephience, as a highly differentiated rare disease therapy. And therefore, as we think about the market opportunity with 17,000 patients in the U.S., we think of it, again, very much like you would think about with a new, highly differentiated, safe and well-tolerated therapy with a strong data package that can provide potential benefit to the full spectrum of that 17,000 patients.
Our next question comes from Paul Choi with Goldman Sachs.
Congrats on the early progress with the Sephience launch. I want to ask with regard to Europe, any additional coverage updates you could provide for both Germany and the other major markets there?
And my second question is, as you think about sort of the outlook for '26, it looks like you guys are in a position to start generating leverage maybe ahead of Street expectations. Can you maybe just sort of comment on the trajectory of OpEx and just how you're thinking about it perhaps versus where consensus estimates are?
Yes. Absolutely. Thanks for the questions, Paul. Eric, do you want to take the first just about how dynamics are playing in Europe? And then Pierre, do you want to talk a little bit how we're thinking about balance sheet?
Sure. Yes. Thanks for the question, Paul. So in Germany, we're still in the free pricing period at this point in time. And obviously, we'll be looking at benefit assessment and going through the MNOG process, which will take it for approximately another 6 months into 2026. So that process right now will keep going.
And we have -- in addition to that, we have actually submitted HTA dossiers in most of the countries in Southern Europe. We're working in parallel there with a number of their mechanisms for early access and named patient programs that are being paid at prices, which are equivalent to the German price.
We've also opened up other markets in Southern -- Central and Eastern Europe as well. And those patients -- those countries also have mechanisms. We've received prescriptions as well in the Middle East as well as in Latin America. And again, we are working through all the named patient programs country by country as they have specific rules. But we're very pleased so far with the progress.
Keep in mind that in Europe, is usually a relative -- Southern Europe, particularly is a long-term process, somewhere between 6 to 12 months between HTA assessment and then final price negotiations.
And in terms of OpEx trajectory, I will say a few things. Number one, as usual, we will provide 2026 guidance at JPMorgan. It's a bit early. However, you should expect OpEx to decline.
Our next question comes from Joon Lee with Truist Securities.
Really congrats on the strong launch. I was a little bit surprised to hear that you're seeing switches even from Palynziq. Is that an outlier? Or is there any reason why someone on Palynziq would consider BH4 or even Sephience? Or is there -- are there people who are on Sephience, who really should be on Sephience?
And a quick follow-up on how quickly could you launch in Japan post approval by year-end? And where would you put the peak opportunity in Japan vis-a-vis U.S. versus EU? I think you said that at least $1 billion in U.S. and half that in EU. Just curious where you would put that Japan in that spectrum.
Jim, thanks so much for the questions. On your first question regarding Palynziq switches, look, we're just reporting what we're seeing and hearing from the field. Again, it's early days to say what's going to be a trend and not a trend.
But what we have heard from KOLs, and I think several folks who've done KOL calls have shared similarly, the realization that the physicians and nurse practitioners and care teams have that Sephience can provide significant benefit to patients with severe mutations, including patients with GPV values of 0, which is the most severe genotypes, classical PKU patients.
And for them, it's the question of can we give a once-a-day, well-tolerated oral therapy that can deliver significant reductions in phenylalanine and the ability to liberalize diet. And when you consider that opportunity with Sephience, that is something that physicians want to try, certainly considering the potential tolerability profile of Palynziq.
But again, this is what we're hearing, and also, again, emphasizing that we're hearing that a number of physicians are saying their intent is to try all patients on Sephience knowing that, of course, not every patient is going to respond. But certainly, given the fact that the severe patients, classical PKU patients can respond, can have Phe lowering, can liberalize their diet and the once-a-day oral well-tolerated profile of Sephience really makes that the attractive place to start.
And then, Eric, do you want to talk a little bit about the timing of Japan launch and the dynamics there and pricing?
Sure. Yes. Absolutely. Yes, Japan for us is an important market, a key market. This will be our first approval, and we're anticipating that before the end of the year. So Sephience is we're anticipating like the U.S. and Europe, a very broad label. We -- prevalence right now for PKU patients is approximately 1,000 patients. However, this is -- while it's smaller market in terms of overall prevalence, it's very high value. Both Kuvan as well as Palynziq are approved, and we anticipate the price of Sephience to be at a premium to that given our clinical data, which would make that higher price than in Germany and higher than the U.S.
We have a full team that is experienced and is already on the ground right now, ready to promote Sephience once it is approved. And we will likely be in discussions for the next few months to finalize the price. There will be one discussion, and it should probably be done through that period and negotiation by the first quarter. And at that point in time, we'll be able to launch with fully reimbursed.
So Japan is incredibly important to the overall sequence. We anticipate approvals in other markets as well, but we'll be maintaining a very narrow pricing corridor, which makes Japan very attractive.
Our next question comes from Gena Wang with Barclays.
I also wanted to congrats on the super impressive first quarter. So regarding -- since we are talking about price, I did my quick math. You delivered $19.6 million, you treated 341 patients. So this is 2 months of the full quarter. So if my math is correct, net price is about $350,000. Is that the right calculation? And should we think about the net price that is that the right benchmark? So this is the first question.
And then second question is, what is the average time patient on drug right now? Have you seen how the -- sorry, retention of the patient so far? I know it's still very early, but have you seen any -- like so far, all the patients doing very well on the drug?
And then lastly, very quickly, how do you book the revenue? Is that the monthly review? And then every month, once patient review, you will book the revenue?
Gena, thank you very much for your questions. On the first one, respectfully said, I think your math is a bit off just because it may be that the patients -- you have to consider when we actually were able to ship the first drug, which wasn't from the start of the -- it wasn't from approval, it's when we're able to do launch. And then also, of course, different patients are coming on at different times. I'll let Eric give more color on how we're thinking about gross to net at this point.
But we've talked about the WACC being somewhere around $490,000 with an expectation that the average patient is approximately 45 kilograms. What we're seeing is that we are, in fact, in that ballpark at this point, which again is not surprising, but it's also early days.
Do you want to talk a bit, Eric, just any color you want to give about how we're thinking about gross to net over time, booking revenue and such?
Yes, sure. I mean, first of all, we book revenue and we recognize revenue and we ship to our specialty pharmacies. We book our revenues immediately in Germany because we ship directly to pharmacies immediately after a prescription is written. There's very little inventory that's actually kept. It's usually just on demand as needed. So that's one thing.
But importantly, around the gross to net, I think it will be important what drives that is, of course, in the U.S., our payer mix. And the payer mix right now is slightly more favorable to commercial. We anticipated that. That's generally the case with most orphan launches anyway because commercial plans tend to write their policies quicker, and we've had very favorable policies in the beginning.
Now it's still early stages, and we're seeing that PKU patients in general and the PKU population is more skewed to commercial anyway. And so that's what's helping in terms of the favorability of gross to net. However, we also know that Medicare and Medicaid will be writing their plans and Tricare and a number of other government plans will be finalizing them over the next few weeks.
We've guided that ultimately, when this stabilizes, this will be about a 65% to 35% patient mix, meaning 65% is commercial. We're tracking a little higher than that right now, but that's as expected.
And then, Eric, do you want to also comment on what we're seeing in terms of refill dynamics. As we said, it is early days, so it's really hard to see that. But…
So this is very early days. And interestingly enough, the vast majority of patients that we've seen both in Germany as well as in the U.S., the ones that were put on prescriptions in August or early September, we're seeing refills, the vast majority of them.
And it's interesting more than not is that these physicians and the health care providers who have prescribed Sephience for the vast majority of them, these have been patients who have been the most challenging. So they're the ones who are poorly controlled, the ones who are failed on previous therapies.
And so, when we look at that patient population and we see the results and very fairly good momentum in terms of refill rates, I mean, that gives us some real good confidence moving forward.
Our next question comes from Sami Corwin with William Blair.
I want to share my congrats as well on the strong launch. Matt, I know you said that the average weight is falling within the ballpark of 45 kilograms. But can you provide a bit more granularity on if you're seeing these initial patients are [ skewing ] more towards pediatric or adults?
And then switching gears a little bit. Given the recent news from a competitor, how are you and Novartis thinking about the registrational trial for Huntington's disease? And what are you hoping to get out of that meeting with FDA?
Yes. Thanks so much for the question, Sami. On your first question, we're seeing a good mix. As we said, we're seeing this full age spectrum. We've had infants all the way up to septuagenarians, which is pretty interesting.
And also, I'd say on average, we're late adolescent and 17 years old, I think, is probably where we are in terms of an average. So again, things that we pretty much expected. And again, still early days. We'll know better as time moves on.
In terms of HD, I mean, look, we all saw the news yesterday. Look, I mean, we have a very different therapy and a very different program. Votoplam is an oral small molecule. We've conducted a placebo-controlled study that has over 140 patients. We've been able to provide proof of target engagement and mechanism of action, dose-dependent effects. consistent safety profile in that large population and a protocol for the long-term extension that prespecified that we'll be doing a natural history comparison to determine treatment benefit over the long term.
So we think we're in a kind of different context here. We expect that all patients [ will cross ] 24 months in the spring. We'll analyze those data. And then with Novartis, make a plan to go to FDA to talk about the potential for accelerated approval based on those data.
The fourth quarter meeting what we've talked about has 2 objectives, right? One is to talk about what a path to accelerated approval could look like, but then also to align on what that efficacy trial would look like, whether that's a Phase III approval trial or whether that would be done as a confirmatory study in the context of a potential accelerated approval. But again, I think we're in a very different framework with votoplam.
Our next question comes from Joe Schwartz with Leerink Partners.
Congrats on a strong launch so far. Can you quantify for us how the response rate for Sephience is tracking in the real world based on refills or any other metrics you have? I heard Eric mentioned you have good momentum in October with refills. It would be helpful to hear how the response rate is tracking relative to APHENITY in the real world.
Yes, Joe, I think it's too early for us to give those numbers. Again, we have -- we started with the first shipment of drug in August, and it's really too soon now to give any kind of granularity detail on that. I think as we get further into launch, we may have a better handle on that other than the color we provided that we're hearing very good response rates and the commentary Eric gave on the refills thus far, though, and with the caveat that it's all very early.
Our next question comes from Peyton Bohnsack with TD Cowen.
Congratulations on the strong launch. I guess talking maybe about the Sephience launch in Brazil, assuming it's approved, can you kind of quantify the opportunity for us? And then maybe talk about any difference in patient population in terms of history of disease severity? And then what the steps are from a potential approvement to a launch?
Sure, Peyton. As we said, we expect the Brazil authorization would come this quarter. We're still expecting it to come this quarter. I'll let Eric talk a little bit about the dynamics in Brazil and what happens between approval and how we get on to the market there.
Yes. I mean Brazil will be an important market for us. I think there's a lot of differences in terms of how Brazil approaches PKU differently than perhaps the U.S. and Europe and other markets. I mean, there are certain states that do newborn screening, but not across the board. Patients are going to be likely going to be diagnosed and they're going to be a little older in age. They're going to be adolescents in some places.
But in terms of the process itself, we're first going to have registration. Obviously, we have a very experienced team in there that's been managing right now 4 rare disease products over the last 10 years. So they understand the dynamics, whether it's small molecules, DMD, metabolics with FCS, TEGSEDI, WAYLIVRA, all of that. So as we know right now, the experience of that team is first going to get -- after the registration, we'll get pricing from ANVISA-CMED. That will be referenced to the prices that will be currently available at the time, which will be Germany, Japan and the U.S. and other markets, where we maintain a narrow pricing corridor.
There will be a process afterwards by which once the product is approved, we already will be working with many of the key centers to ensure that patients are diagnosed and on to therapy. Some of these processes may include some judicialization. But for the most part, we believe that the opportunity will be very, very similar to other key markets.
Certainly, the number of patients, well over 6,000 patients right now means that there is a significant opportunity. And then, of course, diagnosing new patients at younger ages will be another key area. But I would go back and say that Brazil is a very important market. Our experience there with rare disease means that we will be working very closely to bring this on board in -- likely in revenue in 2026.
Our next question comes from Luke Herrmann with Baird.
Congrats on the quarter and the Sephience launch project -- progress. Just a follow-up on patient weight thus far. Given the commentary around trying new foods, do you think diet liberalization can be a tailwind to patient weight over time, particularly for those starting with poorly controlled disease?
Luke, thanks so much for the question. It's hard to say. I would say that not all PKU patients are many individual PKU have average typical weights for their height. They're not all underweight. In fact, we have patients who've had lifelong PKU who have much greater body weight than one would anticipate.
In terms of the diet liberalization, this is something we haven't thought about in terms of a tailwind. What we've been thinking a lot about with diet liberalization is making sure we are working very closely with the dietitians and nutritionists at the PKU centers so that we ensure that when patients do begin to liberalize their diet, they do so in a very steady, gradual way. And then it's being done very thoughtfully in terms of the diets and the nutrition quality of the foods being introduced into an individual's diet.
So I think we're thinking of it more in terms of setting individuals up for success, the ability to liberalize their diet doing so in a gradual fashion, which is not such an easy thing sometimes, right? If you have an individual, a teenager, who is going to have a hamburger for the first time, they may want to have a hamburger for lunch and pizza for dinner. But this has to be done in a very thoughtful, managed way.
And we've, again, worked very hard with the centers of excellence to ensure that there's protocols for diet liberalization so that we set all patients up for success so they can enjoy as much diet liberalization as possible and still maintain control of phenylalanine.
That concludes today's question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the call back to Dr. Klein for closing remarks.
Thank you all again for joining the call today. We're excited about the performance for the quarter and the strong start to the Sephience launch. This really reflects a lot of work by our team over the past 2 years to get ready for this launch and really a strong desire to ensure that we could provide what we view as a very efficacious, safe and well-tolerated therapy to as many individuals with PKU as possible. Thank you all again. We look forward to keeping you updated on the launch as we progress, and have a good evening.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
All right. Welcome, everyone, to this session of the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference. I'm pleased to welcome PTC, Matt and Pierre representing the company. Just I'll read a quick disclosure before we get started. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative.
So with that out of the way, thank you both for coming. It's been an exciting year for PTC between regulatory decisions and clinical readouts. Before we dive in, maybe can you give the audience a quick intro of the company for those who may be less familiar with the story and maybe highlight how strategy may have changed in the last couple of years.
Yes. Thanks, Judah.
So PTC is a global biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops and commercializes differentiated therapies for diseases of high unmet need. We have a global commercial infrastructure that markets 6 products around the world. We have a highly differentiated R&D portfolio, including our small molecule splicing platform, which has yielded Evrysdi for SMA, Votoplam for Huntington's disease and an additional number of programs in the works. And we're well capitalized.
We closed the second quarter with over $1.9 billion on the balance sheet. This is an incredibly exciting time for the company coming off the heels of approval for Sephience for PKU in the U.S. and Europe and the recent global launches. And we've been very clear that Sephience is a foundational product for PTC that's going to lead us to be cash flow breakeven and profitability in the near future.
So I'd like to say that a lot of the work we've been doing for the past 1.5 years, 2 years to really turn the company and evolve the company into where we are today, which is a well-capitalized focused execution-oriented company now with a foundational product and all of the key factors in place for near-term and long-term growth and success.
Okay. Great. And we will spend a decent amount of time on PKU, but we will get to other programs as well. So starting out with Sephience, congrats on the approval. It is your first full approval in the U.S., and you've got the commercial launch underway. You provided a bit of color on the very early days of the launch with your second quarter update. We're a bit further in now. How would you characterize launch progress, whether that's quantitatively or qualitatively? I think it's about 104 centers of excellence that you're targeting and have interactions been consistent across those?
Yes. So I'd say things are off to a great start. No surprises. A lot of that comes from the preparations we've been doing over the past couple of years. And we've talked a lot about how the opportunity for Sephience is quite unique in terms of rare disease launches. While there are 2 approved therapies for PKU, the vast majority of patients are not on those therapies. We said somewhere over 85% of patients are not on current therapies. So it sets up this really unique situation where you have all the pillars for commercial success in place. You have newborn screening, physicians that understand how to prescribe therapies, patients who know it's like to have to go and get a therapy, payers who know PKU, they know the high value to phenylalanine lowering, a well-aggregated patient community that communicates very well that's well networked through social media and other channels. All the things that we have to usually build, they are in place. Plus we have a team that's experienced.
We have been selling -- this is a team that's been selling Emflaza in the U.S. for over 10 years. So let's just say battle proven in genericized and competitive market. We know how to do rare disease drug development. We have a patient services team that provides the necessary white glove service to both the physicians and the families to ensure that we get start forms so get patients quickly on therapy and get them to stay on therapy. So with all of that backdrop, working -- mapping those 104 centers of excellence, understanding the dynamics of those centers who are the prescription decision makers. It's the physicians, yes, but in some cases, nurse practitioners and dietitians who really spend a lot of time with the patients, even those who are currently on therapies rely heavily, heavily on the dieticians at these centers to manage their diet, which is their standard of care. So with all the work we've done, all those pillars in place, our experience, our know-how, there have been no surprises and things are off to a really good start.
Okay. Great. And you talked about sort of layers to the launch. So for patients that have started on commercial drugs, do you have a sense for their prior treatment history as uptake mostly been in Kuvan failures and poor responders? I know you said those would be your initial targets. Are you seeing interest from patients that are treatment naive? Maybe you could help us with what you're seeing thus far on what the stage...
Yes.
It's early days. And we've talked a lot about our excitement over the launch of the commercial opportunity of Sephience is because our data demonstrate the ability to access all the different segments, right? So you have patients who are currently on therapies, including BH4 whether branded or generic. We've consistently shown as recently as data we presented last week in Japan at the International Metabolism Meeting that if you have a response at all to BH4, you get a much greater response to Sephience. The most recent data we shared last week was a 70% greater reduction on average with Sephience when that was in a head-to-head study, so same patients. We also have data showing that we can have significant effect in the more severe patients, those with classical PKU or mutations known as BH4 nonresponsive mutations, even those with the most severe genetic scores.
We shown that these patients respond well to Sephience. And in fact, we have a manuscript that's going to be coming out shortly that's going to highlight the ability to have significant effect in these most severe patients who are in that therapy naive bucket. And then, of course, we have those who've tried and failed. So we've been very clear that different centers may have different priorities. Some may say we're going to switch those who are on therapies because it's quite -- on current therapies, it's quite easy to go from once-a-day therapy to another one, especially when you know the response is going to be greater. Others have said, look, we want to get therapies to those who aren't on them. And what we're seeing in the early days of the launch is all those segments. We've seen patients all over.
Now it's early days, but we are seeing therapy naive, those currently on therapies. And when we listen, for example, I think a recent interview with the Head of the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia, PKU center, he said, look, I got about 200 patients and my expectation is to try all those patients on drug, looking to get 2 or 3 prescriptions written a week. So when we hear that, it lends further support to our belief that we can access all those segments and that there's going to be a very wide funnel of patients getting on drug. And when you look at the response rates that we've had in the trials, 2/3 of patients are higher responding, again, setting up for a strong launch.
Okay. Great. And you touched on this, but in terms of the clinician specialties that are driving uptake, right, like can you maybe reemphasize kind of how doctors versus nurse practitioners versus dieticians are impacting the launch? Is it going according to how you expected?
Yes. Again, yes, no surprises. We're seeing prescriptions from physicians. We're seeing prescriptions from nurse practitioners. And we're spending a lot of time engaging with the dietitians. They're so important because as this new therapy is introduced, especially one that holds the promise for potential diet stabilization, it's going to be very important that the dietitians work with those who get on the drug to carefully titrate their current restrictive diet and gradually introduce new foods.
We want to make sure that expectations are appropriate and that we do this very carefully. While I think the patients themselves see on social media reports from their peers saying, I just had a double cheeseburger for the first time ever or my child just went to a pizza party and had pizza for the first time. We're incredibly excited about that, but we want to make sure that there's sort of a gradual liberalization of the diet. And so we are working very closely with the centers to make sure that all the key aspects of supporting a new start and Sephience are in place.
Okay. That makes sense. And just moving to kind of the revenue opportunity here, right? I think you've said you're comfortable with where consensus numbers are for this year. I guess, can you help us with moving from where we are today to this blockbuster opportunity that you talked about in PKU? And I think maybe we can tie into that question also this sense that so many of these PKU patients have been lost, whether it's the follow-up or just are not seeing specialists. So how do you kind of marry blockbuster sales potential with the patient population?
Yes. So again, it's our belief that we can access all patient segments. And I think we've encountered a number of misconceptions on this journey. The first ones were the opportunity is limited to what BioMarin had with Kuvan, clearly not the case given the differentiated nature of Sephience. This is only going to be for the more mild, not the more severe patients. Well, our data have shown time and time again, the more severe patients are responding in our pivotal trial, the more severe patients actually had a greater amount of phenylalanine lowering. They're also enjoying the liberalization we're talking about in our study.
So the data clearly support that we get to all those patients. This misconception that their patients are "lost follow-up." We've heard from a couple of patients. It's great they're like, I'm not lost. I'm not here. I know exactly where I am. Just because I'm not seeing the doctor because there's no therapy they're going to give me to change my life, it doesn't mean I don't want that opportunity. And these individuals are well networked. We've talked to some of them. There's actually social media influencers that interact with them. I was at a national PKU conference this past weekend in San Diego and heard from a man who's in his 40s who was talking about his experience with classical PKU, tried and failed BH4. And he said, I still talk to my dietitian. I'm still in touch with that individual at the center. And I'd like to try an effective therapy.
So I think that we're now understanding that this sort of mythical loss of follow-up is, in fact, mythical. And then we talked about the opportunity. We've been quite consistent in saying we believe this can be an at least $1 billion opportunity in the U.S. And when you think about where we priced the drug, that would require modest penetration. We think the opportunity could be much bigger. I think if you think about Sephience as a highly differentiated oral therapy for a rare disease that can become the standard of care in PKU, penetration rates for those type of products are clearly much higher than the ones that would get us to the $1 billion.
So it's early days. We're excited that things are off to a great start. As we get further into launch, we'll be able to give think more reasonable projections on where this can go. But right now, we see it as a large opportunity given the size of the market, 17,000 patients, the highly differentiated profile of the drug, the ability to access all the patient segments and quite honestly, our proven track record of success in commercializing rare disease therapies.
Okay. Great. And maybe just to round out the topic, is there anything you can share on kind of initial payer interactions, how those are going also kind of relative to plan?
Yes. Again, we spent a lot of time with payers prior to setting the price and prior to launch. And I think, as I mentioned, one of the important early takeaways from our discussion was the familiarity payers have with PKU because there've been previous therapy and the idea that value can be tied to phenylalanine lowering. Furthermore, again, a kind of unique situation in PKU where you can understand and you can quantify if a therapy is working. We're used to working in the neurology space with neuromuscular diseases and neurological disorders where it's hard to quantify in the short term if the therapy is in fact working because the goal of therapy is to slow progression over time.
Here, we know within a few weeks, we can get a blood test and provide an objective assessment of phenylalanine lowering. That gives payers a lot of comfort. They can be sure that they're paying for a drug that works. And again, that went a long way into understanding or informing our decisions around pricing and the ability to get patients covered. And I'd say as well, it's not only our experience, but I think that there have been a few interviews published with payers where their feedback is consistent with what we're saying. There's very few barriers to access anticipated.
Okay. That's great. All right. Maybe kind of turning to PTC518 in Huntington's and kind of setting the stage for some who may be less familiar, can you briefly outline the partnership terms you struck with Novartis for this program and maybe also tie in how that effectively recapitalized the company?
Yes. So the terms, we received the billion upfront and up to $1.9 billion of milestones, 40% profit share in the U.S. and double-digit royalties ex U.S. So -- and all the Phase III costs are all on Novartis. So we don't pay anything after that. So very, very strong partnership. I think in the rare disease space with Phase II data or Phase II -- preliminary Phase II data, this is probably the highest upfront deal ever done. And we kept a very large portion of the economics. So we're very pleased with the partnership, and that obviously allowed us to close Q2 with $1.99 billion of cash, very strong financial position.
We worked really hard for it. And Judah, you followed PTC for a while, you know that's probably the highest cash balance we ever had. And in this environment it is especially important because it allows us full flexibility to operate and get to cash flow breakeven and profitability without the need to raise additional capital.
Okay. That's a good backdrop. And maybe just diving into the data a little bit. You had 12-month Phase II data earlier this year. Can you remind us of what we saw in that update? What are the implications of different responses in Stage 2 versus Stage III patients? And then we can get into kind of next steps for the program, but maybe just kind of how you viewed the data and kind of the different responses by patient type?
Look, we were very excited about the results of that study. It was the primary endpoint of the study and basically achieved everything in Phase II we wanted to and that one we could hope for, for a CNS drug, right? We've showed that the drug works the way it's supposed to work. We had dose-dependent lowering in mutant Huntingtin protein levels, very, very important. We showed that the drug going where it's supposed to go. We're achieving the exposure in the CNS, which is necessary for this drug to be successful. We're getting full brain biodistribution, which is essential for a disease like Huntington's, which affects all regions of the brain. Drug was safe and well tolerated. We saw early signs of efficacy.
We saw dose-dependent effects on cUHDRS as well as a few of the subscales of cUHDRS in 12 months relative to placebo in the Stage 2 patients. And then when we look longer term after 24 months, we saw a significant effect versus cUHDRS for those treated for 24 months. And then we also saw a dose-dependent lowering of NfL, which is also another important sign that the drug is working the way it's supposed to work in terms of providing neuroprotection. We also learned a lot about who the right clinical trial population is. That was one of the goals of the study was we had always believed that you likely need to go a little bit earlier in Huntington's disease, particularly with the Huntington lowering drug that's acting by targeting all the way upstream of the disease pathogenesis. And so it makes sense that there's probably the sweet spot in that patients who are too advanced might not respond as well in a short period of time. And that's what we saw.
We saw a much better effect in the Stage II patients in the Stage III patients. So for us, that was a very important learning as we move forward in designing the next efficacy trial because the key to success in every CNS program is not only having a safe and effective drug, but the right study population and the right endpoint. So to have made that learning in Phase II was really an important box to tick as we move the program forward.
Okay. And maybe just in kind of thinking about addressable market, I think there was this initial reaction that you're potentially excluding Stage II patients from the market, maybe you're losing some large chunk of the addressable market, but it doesn't seem like it should be the case.
Not even close. First of all, those data didn't -- all those data set is in 12 months, you're recording much -- it's easier to record effect in Stage II and Stage II. So there is nothing about working or indications or label. But even in that case is [ Stage III ] is probably one of the smallest segments of the population. Stage II is much larger. And if you think about the goal of a Huntingtin lowering therapy, it's to go earlier and earlier, right? The benefit of -- first of all, the benefit in Huntington's disease that we don't have in other neurodegenerative diseases is that we understand for the entire population, what causes the disease. It's a genetic mutation that leads to the production of a toxic mutant Huntingtin protein.
So if you know that you can target that and that drug does, you talk to the physicians, you talk to patients who diagnose, they want to start as early as possible. So really, the key is unlocking the stage 0 patients or the patients who are not even in stage 0, those who may not have wanted to get genetic testing before. And if you think about the market opportunity, there's probably 3x the number of patients who are earlier than Stage 2. So that's where the large market opportunity is.
So the ability to have an oral therapy that is safe and well tolerated is titratable, and you can measure the effects of Huntingtin protein by -- through a blood test that's a really great setup not only for the Stage 2 patients, but then to access the larger buckets of patients who are earlier stage. And in our discussions with Novartis, of course, we're all keenly aware of that opportunity and are thinking a lot about the tactical map that gets us to where we are now studying patients in whom we can register efficacy in the course of the trial and then how would you think about migrating earlier and earlier.
And that's where having a partner such as Novartis is very, very important. They understand the full potential of the disease. And as you know, I mean, big pharma are set up to unlock the full potential. It's a bone crushing machine that really understand the 40,000 U.S. patients that are diagnosed and to Matt's point, probably 4 or 5x that number that are undiagnosed. And it's going to take a lot of work, obviously, to access this and Novartis fully understand the full potential here.
Okay. Great. So speaking of your partner, I guess, is there anything you can share on interactions post data related to trial design? And can you help us with time lines on how discussions with the partner as well as discussions with FDA are going to factor into what that next study could look like?
Yes. The answer is full speed ahead with the next study. So we've shared that there's going to be a meeting with FDA in the fourth quarter of this year with 2 objectives: one, to align on the design of that study, longer placebo-controlled is really a finite universe of endpoints in Huntington's disease and the idea is to leave that meeting ready to go. Novartis has recently messaged through the European Huntington's Disease Network. There was something out a few weeks ago that the patient community is getting ready. This trial is getting ready to start soon. And that trial, of course, will be -- is incredibly important, both as a potential confirmatory study in the context of an accelerated approval. And if there's not an accelerated approval, then obviously, getting that study started as soon as possible is going to get you to approval as soon as possible.
The second objective of the FDA meeting, though, is to discuss the pathway to accelerated approval, understanding the types of endpoints we have, the types of data we could provide in an accelerated approval filing. Of course, we'll be having all the patients across 24 months next year. So with that in mind, the idea will be to align with FDA on what a package could look like. And then, of course, we're following very closely the gene therapy and the pathway that's been seemingly open there, which again, I think just gives us more optionality in what we could provide in a data package.
Okay. And maybe just -- you mentioned the gene therapy. I think kind of some of the buzzwords on endpoints that come out of there, right, NfL, cUHDRS, external controls. It seems like there may be some folks that would prefer total functional capacity as a functional endpoint, maybe more confirmatory. I guess how are you thinking about which components of their program are translatable to yours?
So we've said all along that any success with the gene therapy leads to very well to us. First of all, the gene therapy lowers Huntingtin protein, but in a limited -- in one region of the brain. So again, with Huntington's disease being a whole brain disease, the ability to provide durable Huntingtin lowering as you can get with a repeat administered oral agent in every region of the brain is clearly an advantage. And then on the regulatory front as well, we shared in the May readout data we had relative to natural history, showed significant effect relative to cUHDRS, significant effect on total functional capacity. And then in addition, we have NfL.
We have evidence of target engagement, Huntingtin protein lowering with the blood levels, which you can't provide with a centrally administered gene therapy. So that's why I think that we -- things read through very well to us, but we also have additional optionality you would get from an oral therapy and also having 12 months of placebo controlled data, right? Because we're able to show these trends of dose-dependent benefit on cUHDRS relative to placebo that continue out into an open-label extension phase. And again, that just gives a bit more confidence that what you're observing is, in fact, real because as we know, it's always a little bit challenging to interpret purely open-label data in these types of diseases.
Okay. Great. Really helpful. Maybe a quick one on the CRL for vatiquinone. What are next steps there? Any thoughts on your inclination to potentially run another trial in FA? Or I guess, what do you need to hear to help you make that decision?
Yes. Look, obviously, the CRL was disappointing. We had said all along that the main question on the review would be the potential application of flexibility to upright stability, meaning that, that itself was not prespecified as the primary endpoint. I think it's quite clear from the CRL that flexibility wasn't there. This was really a statistically based decision where formality of flexibility seem to be the prevailing force. We'll look forward to meeting with FDA, having a discussion with them, understanding what a trial would look like. Are there any other options here? Most likely scenario it would be as outlined in the CRL that need to do another randomized placebo-controlled trial. And if that's the case, we'll take a close look at it.
We'll look at what we think the probability of success is, understanding what we do about the endpoints and study populations, what's the market opportunity, what's the cost of the trial, and we'll make an informed decision. I think we're certainly of the view that this is a safe drug, has efficacy and the CRL is really based on a statistical issue relative to learnings that were made while we were running the old trial. So we'll bring all of that to our thinking when we ultimately make the decision.
Okay. Great. And then one question I'm surprised we get as often as we do. Translarna in the U.S. I guess, just what's the latest thinking, how you think about time lines on an FDA decision? Or is it something that we should think of as -- we'll get an update when we get it. If it's good, great, if not, move on.
Yes. I think -- yes, what you said. Look, I think we work very hard to position the company where it is today. As I said in my opening comments, we sit here today with a foundational product in PKU that we believe is going to bring us tremendous success. We have a strong cash balance that as Pierre highlighted, will enable us to get to cash flow breakeven and profitability as well as give us the optionality to do strategic business development deals to complement the commercial and R&D portfolio when we see something that we think could be a really valuable opportunity for the company. We submitted the NDA for Translarna. If it gets through, great, it's great upside.
We have over 100 patients on the drug in the U.S. This is something we can easily commercialize. And I think it would be great to be able to provide the boys and young men with nonsense mutation DMD with a safe option. Given the nature and the sort of history of Translarna, we don't have a PDUFA date. We're not in the PDUFA program. So we don't have mid-cycle, late cycle type of things. We have shared that it was quiet for a while. We did get a recent information request dealing with CMC asking us to either justify or modify specs for product release. So these are the types of questions we're getting. So it suggests that they are engaged with the application. But look, we're all very focused on the PKU opportunity, excitement around HD, things we have coming in the R&D portfolio. And if this comes through, it will be terrific. If it doesn't, we keep on our trajectory to success, it will have no impact.
Okay. Great. And I guess with all the focus on Sephience and the later-stage pipeline programs, maybe we just spend a minute touching on the earlier-stage pipeline. It is still there. Maybe it's been streamlined a bit. But what are you most excited about there? Are there any updates that investors should look forward to in the coming months?
Yes. So we have streamlined it quite a bit. I think we've spent a lot of time getting folks to focus on the near end value drivers for the company. But at the same time, behind the scenes, the same focus, the same execution approach that we've given to the late stage to regulatory and to commercial, we're bringing to the research stage as well. And we're going to be having an R&D Day later in the year in the fourth quarter to pull back the curtain on some of the things we're working on, in particular, what we've done in a way the company never has before is focused on the splicing platform.
This is a highly differentiated platform that brought Evrysdi forward, Votoplam forward. And the simple question we ask is when you have this "golden goose," if you would, how can we make sure that we're resourcing it appropriately, we're disciplined appropriately to bring forward programs that can be successful for PTC and also use the platform as a source of strategic partnerships for other indications like oncology where we're not going to develop and commercialize therapies, but there's certainly oncology targets amenable to splicing, similar for larger neurodegenerative diseases. Again, we're not going to do that development and commercialization, but there are certainly attractive splicing targets. So how can we leverage our really valuable and unique understanding of developing these molecules to bring forward valuable products, both for us and for potential partners.
Okay. Great. And maybe last company-specific questions before we get into a little survey we're asking everybody. So can you talk a little bit about that cash flow to breakeven -- cash flow path to breakeven that you discussed. Is PKU kind of the linchpin there? Is there any way you can talk about profitability within the PKU program? And then given the path that you're on, how are you thinking about business development?
Absolutely. So I reassure everybody PKU gets us to profitability alone. We don't need anything else. Matt highlighted the fact that we believe we could do at least $1 billion in the U.S. could be much larger, and we don't need to get to that level to become profitable. So I think if Translarna obviously comes that will just accelerate everything. So we're very pleased with that position. And more to come on exact timing. It will depend on the uptake, but we're very confident we'll get there.
And in terms of business development, Matt touched on that a little bit. We're in no rush. We obviously we're a strong position on cash. We are on PKU mode or on launch, and we want to make sure this goes really well. We'll be opportunistic. If we see something that makes sense that fit the commercial portfolio or the R&D portfolio will strike, but we want to be very disciplined. We want to make sure that when we look at opportunities, we create value for shareholders. That needs to be prime. So that's how we're thinking about it.
Okay. Great. So maybe that business development point takes us into kind of the mini survey we're asking all the biotech companies this year. So biotech does seem to be more exposed to external and macro factors of late. So like I said, we're going to ask these to everybody. The first question is on the topic of China. Business development certainly comes into the conversation when we're discussing China biotech. So how are you thinking about how the Chinese landscape in biotech could affect you, whether it's on the R&D side of your business or the business development side?
I'd say on the R&D side, one of the things we did in focusing our R&D activities was to focus on the 2 platforms that are unique to PTC that quite simply -- we have science that others don't. And I think splicing is a great example of that. Our inflammation platform is a great example of that. We have mechanisms and things that we're looking at that are pretty unique.
So we feel pretty -- at least for today and for the foreseeable future, pretty insulated from that in terms of the competitive aspect. In terms of [ DND ] opportunities, of course, we are paying attention like everyone else is. And as Pierre said, our strategy for business development of being thoughtful and strategic is not limited to geography. So we'll be looking far and wide for good opportunities.
Okay. Helpful. The second topic is AI. How would you say PTC is currently leveraging AI or thinking about the potential for AI to disrupt the broader business model with [indiscernible] Biotech?
Yes. Look, I think we all acknowledge AI as a tool, and we've used it in some of our kind of regulatory work and legal work. But in terms of drug development, we've combined AI with sort of real intelligence and experience, particularly in the splicing platform, for example, where we've been able to leverage high throughput machine work to more rapidly and robustly match target noncanonical nucleotide sequences with splicing targets with splicing literature and our chemical library.
So sort of make an earlier match, more reliable match with a potential splicing site, chemical matter we have and potential applications. That's just one example. Again, we're just using it as a tool to do some machine work a lot faster and also leverages the expertise that scientists have. So the computer could do that kind of tedious work where our scientists can do the creative work. And we've seen this actually accelerate the preclinical development time lines for some of the splicing candidates to bringing forward.
Okay. Great. And the last topic is on the regulatory side of things. I guess, what has been most impactful to your business? Some options could be changes at FDA, pricing conversations, tariffs, I guess, just on the regulatory side of things, what is impacting your day-to-day conversations?
Yes. I would say, certainly, we've talked a lot about how we don't see MFM impacting us very much. We've always, particularly in the Sephience launch, mindful of the maintaining a rigid pricing corridor. So we don't see any issues with MFM there. The IP for all of our products that are sold in the U.S. held in the U.S. So we don't see really tariffs having a significant impact. I'd say sure on the regulatory front, I mean, look, we will have -- we've had 4 applications in front of the FDA for approval for the past year. So far, we have 2 approvals. So we talked about vatiquinone and we have the Translarna under review.
So naturally, the changes at FDA, whether it be changes in workload, the changes in leadership, I think that naturally has an effect on us. I think as most would agree, it's hard to understand what that effect is because it's a little bit difficult to predict. I think what we're all seeing though is desire from FDA leadership for greater flexibility and common wisdom, and we're all waiting to understand how that important philosophy for many rare disease companies gets translated or gets operationalized at the review level.
So we'll continue to see that. But of course, we -- with so much activity in FDA, we're, of course, impacted by changes there.
Okay. All right. Very helpful. We might have time for one question in the room, if anybody has one? If not, that will take us to our time. So thanks again for being here.
Thank you, Judah.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
All right. Thanks, everyone, for joining us. I'm Tiago Fauth. I'm a biotech analyst here at Wells Fargo. We have PTC Therapeutics joining us at our health care conference this year. Thank you so much for spending the time.
We have Matt and Pierre for a fireside chat. I usually like to give you guys some time just for quick intros overall setup. Again, PTC has been changed substantially over the last 18 months, 2 years. So yes, if you can give like the brief intro and then again, a detailed discussion on Sephience and some aspects of the business.
Yes, absolutely. Thanks, Tiago. It's great to be here. And as you said, we're really at a point in time today where a lot of the work we've put in over the past 1.5 years to 2 years to shed a lot of legacy challenges and position ourselves for future success has come to fruition. We recently had our global approvals of Sephience begin, including both the U.S. and Europe. And as we talked about, we see that as a significant commercial opportunity for the company that can take us to cash flow breakeven and beyond in the near future.
We closed the second quarter with over $1.9 billion in cash. So we come to this point in time where we can move towards cash flow breakeven with sufficient capital in the bank, not only to get us there, but execute on all of our commercial and R&D priorities as well as have firepower for potential BD activities as we see fit to complement both the commercial and R&D portfolios.
We're also excited later in the year, we'll have an R&D Day where we can share with people the excellent work we've been doing in advancing our research platforms, including our splicing platform, which has brought us Evrysdi, votoplam, and we've been doing a lot of great work to advance a number of promising therapies to the preclinical stages.
So a lot going on. But most importantly, we sit here today ready in the midst of a launch of something that -- for a product that we believe will be tremendously successful, strong cash position and look forward to continuing to build the company into the future.
Fair enough. Let's talk about the launch, and let's start with bigger picture, right? I feel like the market's understanding of the PKU opportunity has evolved more recently, and you do see some numbers being taken up and a little bit more optimism. But again, historically, there has been a lot of skepticism on the potential to increase treatment rates and how exactly that could happen.
PKU has been a market where from a prevalence perspective, it should be a huge market, but the therapies that have launched on that have had less-than-expected success, let's call it, like subpar success. What are some of those factors that are still being overlooked? And why will Sephience be different, I guess?
Yes, I think there have been a number of, let's just say, misconceptions that are starting to get corrected. The first is mistaking the individual therapies that have previously been approved, their opportunity is reflective of the market opportunity in PKU. And I think that's a mistake. Both -- we've talked about -- there's about 15,000 to 17,000 patients in the United States with PKU. As you said, Tiago, that's a significant commercial opportunity.
And what Sephience brings is really being the first therapy that has a strong efficacy profile across the full spectrum of PKU patients as well as a very favorable safety and tolerability profile. If you look at the previously approved therapies, you -- first, you had Kuvan, which is an oral therapy, which -- while a large proportion of patients were tried on Kuvan, not a lot stayed on it. And I think that was because there wasn't a perception of meaningful efficacy.
If you think about the life of a PKU patient, in newborn screening, so you're diagnosed early in life and you're relegated to a highly restrictive diet, diet control. Those diets are hard to maintain. They don't taste well. They're incredibly stigmatizing and really can impact quality of life. And so you can imagine if that's the mainstay of treatment, you now introduce a drug on top of that.
If you can't change having to have that really difficult and challenging diet lifestyle, why would you stay on a therapy? And that's very different than we see in other diseases, right? We think that other rare diseases, including a number of neurological neuromuscular diseases where we'll have therapies. The goal of the therapy is to try to slow progression. Well, and patients often have nothing else that's going to slow progression.
And so you'll stay on a therapy in the hopes that over 1 or 2 years, maybe there'll be some slowing of progression, not that you may notice it, but there'll be -- the inclination is to stay on that therapy. It's different in PKU because your day-to-day life is already highly restricted. And if a therapy can't change it, why would you -- so it's the inverse of what you used to. So that was the challenge with Kuvan. So you have basically -- I don't think peak penetration never got very high. That's why peak revenue globally was $500 million.
Then you move to Palynziq, which was approved in 2017 and was approved adults only, a tolerability profile that I think is challenging. There's a black box warning for anaphylaxis. Patients are encouraged to carry EpiPen. If you look at some of the trial data, I think there's an 89% adverse event rate for arthralgia. So you'll hear patients talk about very -- a lot of pain in their joints, difficulty walking. It often can be a lengthy titration period. We've heard up to 2 years.
And so there's an enormous burden for an injectable on the patient, also an enormous burden on the health care team going through titration. And that's why you've not seen a lot of penetration with that product. So basically, you still have all the -- today, all the pillars of success for commercial success. You've got newborn screening. There's centers of excellence. There's educated physicians on how to prescribe. There's patients who desperately want safe, effective therapies that can change their life. There's payers that understand PKU, understand that value can be tied to phenylalanine lowering.
So yes, you have this very large market opportunity. And now we believe there's finally a therapy that can provide a benefit potentially to the full spectrum of patients, change Phe levels. Our data showed that patients can have a diet liberalization, which is really, really important. And the drug has a very favorable safety and tolerability profile. And that's why we've been so bullish on the commercial opportunity.
Got it. Fair enough. And I guess one of the follow-up questions that we get often is, again, for patients that are in clinic versus out of clinic, that's a term that I think BioMarin introduced a while back, just trying to segment some of the market here because the bare argument will be this is mostly going to be a Palynziq Kuvan switch story, right? Because if patients were severe enough, they would be on some kind of treatment. What's mistaken about some of those assumptions?
So I think there's 2 fundamental flaws with those assumptions. First is that if a patient isn't on the current therapy, it means they don't want to be on a therapy, not true. Patients want to be on a therapy. They want to be able to have something that's safe and well tolerated and make a difference in their life.
The second fundamental assumption is it's not 1981, where the only way a patient can hear about or get access or know about a therapy is because they go to their physician. It's 2025. And what we have seen in social media is, first of all, a tremendous amount of interest in patients, including ones that doctors will say are lost to follow up. They're like I'm right here. I have like a drug, too. And you see this in social media and there's networking aggregation and patient pull for a therapy, and so you could be out of clinic and still very much want a therapy.
And in fact, one of them -- there was a whole lot of social media around the time of approval, and there were several posts talking about me and my friends, we're e-mailing our clinic right now. We want to get back in. We want to get on a therapy. And sure, admittedly, there may be adult patients who are years removed from being in contact with the clinic, whereas a lot of patients are still tied to a clinic for nutrition support. There's those who aren't.
Certainly, we wouldn't say that that's the "low-hanging fruit" of the launch, but we have initiatives already in place, and we've been doing a lot of work with the community to ultimately get those patients on therapy if they desire. And as I said, the misconception that patients don't want to be on a therapy is a horrible misconception and a misunderstanding of the burden of PKU as a disease. What patients want is a therapy that's going to make a difference and be tolerated.
Got it. And again, you did indicate there are a few centers of excellence that treat PKU. Do you have a sense of the number of patients that are being treated and being seen in some of these core centers? How widespread is the PKU patient population?
So our work -- well, so there's about 104 centers of excellence in the U.S. and our research suggests that a little over 80% of PKU patients are tied to these centers. So treatment is really concentrated at these 104 centers. And our team has been working on this launch for over 2 years now, and we, of course, have done a lot of the work of mapping these centers, understanding the demographics of the patients there, understanding the clinic staff itself.
I think one of the important things to understand about the PKU clinic is, yes, there's a physician who's very important. But patient management prescription decisions are often driven by nurse practitioners as well as dietitians because if you're not on a therapy and the vast majority of patients are not on a therapy, their care, their standard of care is diet management, and therefore, dietitians become very, very important in counseling and management. And so a lot of the connection patients will have with the clinic is through the dietitians.
And I think the other important aspect of this launch and the key to success of this launch is the experience of our teams. We have very experienced teams in doing rare disease launch. The U.S. team was our Emflaza team, which clearly has a track record of success in a competitive and genericized market. And so they've been working on this for 2 years getting ready for the launch, understanding the dynamics of each, knowing what you have to do to sort of get patients in support teams at the clinics to ensure that we're getting patients start forms, getting patients on drug and making sure that we can really keep that funnel wide in terms of the opportunity.
Got it. And there is one question that we hear all the time just related to the pace of new patient adds, right? Like even from our survey work that we've done, there seems to be a huge intent to prescribe and expectations for a substantial uptake early on. So based on the early days or I guess, based on your expectations, is that going to be a slow grind kind of more typical rare disease launch?
Or is there an initial bolus potentially for some of these patients? How can we think about some of those dynamics? And again, I'm assuming that's going to be across different patient segments. So I don't know how helpful it is to subsegment the market further.
I think it's hard to -- I think we can subsegment the market further, but I don't know if it's helpful because one of the things that we've heard and your research has shown and a lot of the KOL interviews have demonstrated is that the initial segments that physicians want to target are going to vary center to center.
We certainly heard a number of say, look, it's so easy for me to just take my patients who are on Kuvan branded or generic and just switch one once a daily therapy for another. There's not a titration to do. There's not adverse event management to do. It's a very easy prescription switch. Others say, well, I'll get to them, but we know we have severe patients who don't have any therapy who would certainly benefit from an efficacious oral therapy, and I'm going to get those on first. We do expect it to be different.
And as I mentioned, the way we're thinking about this is given that the data support the potential to benefit the full spectrum of patients, including those more severe patients, what we're watching for is the breadth, right? And I said wide funnel. What I mean is that if we're seeing centers have interest in prescribing for the full spectrum of patients, given the response rate we had in the trials, including for the severe patients, that's when this opportunity could get very big.
I think we will see a "bolus" I think that will be the case. But I also think you'll have sort of the sustained bolus over time. We heard an interview recently with the Director of the PKU Clinic at the Children's Hospital of Philadelphia. And he said, "Look, I've got 200 patients. I think over time, I'll trial all 200 patients on the drug. My goal is to try to get 100 on therapy by the end of the year. I'm putting in start forms for 2 to 3 patients a week." So when you hear that, and he's not alone.
We've heard that from other centers. That sort of suggests that you're going to see initial strong interest, but it's going to be sustained just because of you have to be realistic about throughput in the clinics and then getting folks from PSF to prescription. So we see this as a strong sustained start.
Got it. So again, before we go into a little bit more detail on the near-term launch dynamic, just thinking about payer feedback and what we've seen so far, again, one of the pushbacks we used to get less so now, but it's still like, "Hey, if you have Kuvan and it's generic, this is better Kuvan. So why wouldn't you step through it?" Like so are you seeing any -- like what exactly have you seen? Can you quantify a number of policies or lives cover that might have some sort of limitation initially versus not?
Yes. So I think, again, that's another one of those misconceptions that this is sort of Kuvan 2.0. And I think it's so clear from the data that this is a highly differentiated therapy. The data also show that if you did have benefit on Kuvan, your benefit on Sephience is much stronger.
Several thousand miles away from here in Japan at the International Metabolism meeting, our team shared data this week. It was a small head-to-head study done to support pricing and payer discussions in Europe, about 40 patients crossover study with Sephience versus Kuvan branded generic or sapropterin and basically showed a 70% greater reduction on average with Sephience. So again, highly differentiated therapy.
And then, of course, when you consider the potential to benefit patients who have what's been called these sort of non-BH4 responsive mutations, most of them are classical, that tells you this is a different therapy. And I think the payers understand that.
And in our payer discussions, a lot of this was about are the payers viewing this as -- the value proposition is there as a highly differentiated rare disease therapy. And the answer is yes. It turns out that the majority of patients, to our understanding, have been tried on Kuvan in the past. So you have the potential already to have medical documentation of previous treatment with Kuvan.
We've had some payers say that we understand as well that there'll be patients with these "non-BH4 responsive mutations." There's no reason to think they'd respond to Kuvan. So it makes no sense to step through that.
Now we do expect there will be some who will have steps, but this is another sort of way in which PK is a bit different than other diseases because you can try Kuvan, if you have to do the step, it's a few weeks in a blood test. It's very easy to tell what your level of response is and then you can go ahead and demonstrate the superiority with Sephience.
And just by way of contrast, our teams are used to Emflaza, where we have to step through the prednisone, and that's 6 or 9 months trying to show some benefit in DMD, which is a lot less objective than a blood test for phenylalanine. So in terms of having to do a step in the cases it's required, it's obviously relatively simple and straightforward.
Got it. And again, can you just recap what's payer mix? And again, I'm assuming because of that competitive dynamic, there's -- you shouldn't expect necessarily substantial gross to net discounts or things like that. So what is the mix? And do you expect that to change over time? There has been a lot of focus on some other launches with a more dynamic payer mix going forward. So that is one of the questions we get early on.
Yes, 2/3 of the patients are commercial.
2/3 commercial.
So in midstream dynamic versus other rare disease. When you take Duchenne, it's the complete opposite, right? At the start, we believe most of these patients will be commercial. And so we'll give more guidance on gross to net at Q3, et cetera. So you will see, I believe, probably on the lower end than other rare disease and slowly...
Going to...
Go a little bit, but again, similar and typical rare disease gross to net.
Got it. Perfect. And again, thinking about like near term, like trial patients converting to commercial patients, right? So how many patients do you have in the U.S. that are still kind of on trial drug? And some folks assume that it's kind of an overnight switch that you just start them and they start generating revenues. Like how should we think about the magnitude and pace of that conversion?
Yes. We spent a lot of time thinking about this and -- because we get asked a lot about that and did you consider an expanded access? Do you have an expanded access? So maybe I'll talk about what we did in Germany and then in the U.S. because it's a great example of how we think about the problem and make sure that we have a strategy that's aligned with the context of the situation.
So in Germany, we initiated an early access program because in Germany, as soon as you list in [indiscernible] and become commercial, those patients do convert to commercial almost right away. So in that case, it made a lot of sense to have a program where we have patients on drug because those would be then commercial patients very early in the launch. And so the objective of the early access program in Germany was twofold.
One was to say, okay, let's get patients on drug. But the other was let's get the drug in the hands of the key prescribers at the leading centers in Germany because while they may not have a lot of patients that they're going to put into early access, sort of the inertia of being in motion, they're already in the habit of treating the drugs in their hand. They have experience with the drug and their enthusiasm will build so that when you are commercial where we became commercial in July, we're seeing these folks now come and get even more prescriptions. That worked really well.
In the U.S., we don't have a lot of patients left in the open-label extension, I'd say probably fewer than 20. But -- and we again looked at this question of how do you accelerate access. And as you said, Tiago, I think it's a misconception. It's not easy to go OLE to -- it doesn't happen overnight. And it similar is true for expanded access. It's not like we have -- it's not like we had to find -- do patient finding, right? It's newborn screening. So it's not like you had to find them and warehouse the patients. It wasn't like we were in an overly competitive space where we had to try to get them on drug. That really wasn't the case.
And the third part is what we heard is in a number of centers, there's been waiting list for patients, where the larger centers, in some cases, had hundreds of patients on a waiting list to get on the drug. And the fourth is we had an opt-in program, PTC Reimagines PKU. And what that did is we got over 1,000 people participating in that program that allowed us then to proactively reach out upon approval. Our patient services team to reach out to help sort of provide this white glove service to get folks to centers and get on drug. So we thought that, that was a much more effective and efficient way of getting early prescriptions than relying solely on the OLE.
Got it. Again, like everything sounds pretty bullish. And I think the Street is slowly trying to recognize that the $1 billion in the U.S. alone peak sales opportunity, again, it takes you about 3,000 patients a little less, a little more than that, about 3,000 versus 15,000 total prevalence.
Yes.
Got it. And again, 2025 consensus depending on how you do the math is like 300 patients on drug gets you there. Like that seems overly conservative, but I don't want to get too ahead of myself here. But what are some of the things that could actually imply a slightly slower ramp than folks are modeling or slightly faster ramp than folks are modeling?
Look, I think it's early days. We've held out that at least $1 billion number is something we believe in. And as you pointed out, it's fairly modest penetration, certainly when one considers the rare disease opportunity in the landscape and the potential of the therapy. We've said consensus revenue for the rest of this year, I think it's $6 million for Q3, $22 million for Q4. We said we're very comfortable with those numbers.
And look, we're really focused, again, on -- I'll come back to that term, the wide funnel. We're very focused on making sure that centers are -- have the information they need to follow what the CHOP said -- for example, the CHOP clinic head said, trial all of our patients on the drug. Because we believe with the response rate that we have in our trials, we had 2/3 of patients respond. If you look even at the most severe patients, we have about half of them respond with greater than 30% reduction, more than that, greater than 15% reduction. That's going to get us to big numbers.
Exactly when we get there, look, we'll see. I think we'll have a much better grasp on trajectory as we close out '25, move into '26. And what I can say is right now, we haven't had any surprises in these early days of the launch. A lot of the things that we planned for have been coming to fruition. And I'll also say what's really encouraging to us is when we see the interviews done with the physicians and surveys done with the physicians and discussions with payers, time and time again, the feedback that's coming from those interviews is consistent with everything we've said. So I think when you hear that, that's really encouraging to us that the opportunity as we see it really is indeed the opportunity in front of us.
And then also what is really encouraging is the feedback from patients. So if you look at social media or feedback we get, we have a few like a mom who had a breakfast with her daughter for the first time in her life, for instance, right, the same breakfast. What we take for granted on day-to-day life, this is obviously transforming patients' life, right?
Yes. No, that's fair. And so you have Germany, you've mentioned a narrow pricing corridor U.S., ex U.S. I don't know, historically, if there are any comps that might be helpful in trying to think of the magnitude of discount or not. But again, Kuvan ex U.S. had had very limited success, right? So we also see some pushback on that. Might have a more favorable pricing across some regions. What are some factors here on the ex U.S. opportunity?
Yes. So a few comments. Again, I think the comp to Kuvan is difficult. Just given historically, I believe it was partnered early on for the launch and then BioMarin took it back and tried to do it. And that's always a very difficult setup. Also, outside the U.S., particularly in Europe, where medical foods and formulas are paid for, the payers in Europe want to understand what diet liberalization will be like.
That's why having those data so early on for us in the European label are going to be very helpful in Europe, plus now having the head-to-head study I mentioned, which we did to support payer discussions in Europe will be helpful. But with that as the backdrop, what we said is, look, we are -- we always look to maintain a narrow pricing corridor. The price in Germany for the 6-month free pricing period is equivalent when you account for currency conversion with the U.S. price. right, which is USD 490 for 45-kilo patient, which we think will be the average weight.
We also said we're going to be looking to commercialize the drug now in other countries in Europe that have named patient programs or early access schemes where, again, we can control the price and maintain that narrow corridor. We said the next -- so we have seen prescriptions from other countries in Europe. We expect to continue to see that.
The next major market to come on board will be Japan. We expect approval in Japan in the fourth quarter with the anticipated launch in Q1 of 2026. And even prices in Japan for, I think, Kuvan and Palynziq were the highest in the world. So they tend to be higher than the U.S. prices. So again, we don't see any challenge to maintaining the pricing quarter than in our key markets as we move into the -- through this first year of launch.
Got it. Last check the box question, just the IP state around Sephience, if you could kind of remind us?
Yes. So we've been guiding to IP to 2039. And that's based on the 2038 composition of matter polymorph and patent term extension conservatively getting us to 2039. We're continuing to work to expand the IP portfolio. We're continuing to do filing work and things that can extend the patent life even further and further strengthen the fence we have now.
Got it. Again, I spent a ton of time again, that's commensurate with the inbounds that we get, but perhaps let's just touch upon the rest of the business as well. Relative to the, let's call it, the legacy commercial side of the business, again, this perception of it's going to be a slowly decrease over time on revenues because of Translarna, Emflaza, some other factors, like how should we think about the legacy commercial side of the business? Still generating cash flow, right? So it's not worth 0.
No.
No. It's still generating cash flow. And again, I think it went beyond what we all expected. I mean, look at Europe, right? I mean the license was removed, but we're still selling, and we said we could maintain 25% of European sales at peak. Emflaza despite generics that happened last year in early 2024, you can see that it's eroding.
But again, in rare disease, there's no gain from generic to drop the price 90% because it's rare, right? You don't have the prevalence and the volume you would need. So you should expect those brands to -- again, to go down over time. And then again, it's going to be dwarfed by PKU.
Yes. No, that's fair. And on the rest of the pipeline, again, you got a lot of questions on votoplam. I think now with Novartis kind of taking over the program gets a little bit more challenging. What can you tell us about next steps and expected news flow to the extent that you can? You have really strong back-end economics and milestone payments associated with that. What's the latest?
Yes. I would say votoplam is still a very important part of the picture for PTC because of the economics, like the 40% profit share in the U.S., the $1.9 billion in milestones and development and commercial milestones. The Novartis and PTC teams are working very closely on the next steps. It's been a very productive collaboration. I think there's a like-mindedness on both sides in terms of the potential for this therapy and the desire to move it forward as quickly as possible.
We said the next steps for the program will be a meeting with FDA in the fourth quarter, with 2 objectives. One is to align with the agency on latest thinking around accelerated approval with the data we have, with the data that will be coming with the 24-month readout as well as in light of the discussions that uniQure has been having with their potential path to accelerated approval, we think is that those discussions increase the optionality for votoplam.
We got that question as well, like what's the potential read-through because there seems to be some degree of flexibility.
Yes.
At least that's how it's been perceived. The data for votoplam, again, given the safety profile and all those things, I would argue stacks up favorably. Am I over extrapolating here? Hard to read the tea leaves, but...
I don't think you are. I think at all, I think one thing -- there's been a lot of change at FDA and a lot of uncertainty, and it's hard to predict the FDA. But I think one thing at FDA that's been fairly consistent and clearly a greater effort in the recent past is to make sure that when there's a precedent for accelerated approval, it's broadly applied. And so I think that's why I say if there's a path forward for uniQure using cUHDRS and natural history comparisons, that just puts another option on the table for votoplam, which we'll have.
We'll have 12 months of placebo-controlled data, then that's -- again, we have that, we have NfL. We have the evidence of target engagement with huntington-lowering. So a lot of different options to put together a package to show that we are likely to have long-term benefit.
I'd say then the second objective of the FDA meeting is to align on the next trial. Novartis has always been keen on getting this trial going, whether it stands to be the confirmatory trial or accelerated approval or Phase III, get it started. And so there's a desire to align on that design and get that trial started as quickly as possible.
Got it. Real briefly on vatiquinone, again, not the outcome you were expecting. Anything to add there? Is there something to -- is there a way to establish the program? Is this something that you may actually run another confirmatory trial given capital constraints, timing? How are you thinking about it?
Yes. Look, it was -- it's a very disappointing outcome. I think, certainly for the patients and certainly because a lot of the words of leadership at FDA was that in these circumstances, where there's significant unmet need for pediatric patients, which certainly is Friedreich ataxia, that we're going to use common sense and not statistical formalism. And I think what was very clear to us in the CRL was that when it came down to it, this was statistical formalism.
We always said that the main question of the review would be the acceptance of upright stability as an approvable endpoint since that portion of the disease rating scale itself wasn't prespecified. And it turns out that was the major point of the review. It was very hard for them to believe we had substantial evidence of effectiveness when you didn't hit the prespecified primary endpoint. So a lot of what wasn't supposed to be the case in 2025 seemed to be the case, okay? But what we take away from this is there's still an unmet need.
It's not that the drug didn't work. This was a question of wasn't we -- we cherry picked to try to find something. These data were right in front of us and very clearly an important effect on what matters most in these young ambulatory patients, which is time to loss of ambulation.
So we'll have the Type A meeting with FDA. We'll have the discussion, clearly understand, is there any path other than doing another RCT? If the answer is no, we do another RCT, we'll take a look at it. Again, we believe the drug has effect. We believe it's safe. We'll take a look at what the trial costs and POS and the landscape, just like you would do with any other program and make a decision at that point.
Got it. And again, you have the upcoming R&D Day. I'm not sure you can front run that by a lot of details. But perhaps more broadly, last question on capital allocation. Really strong balance sheet. You guys have been creative in refinancing some of the old debt and now rebuying some of the royalties, signals confidence in the launch, so on and so forth.
So what are some of the key priorities here? And in terms of BD and rebuilding the pipeline, any thoughts on doubling down on the internal splicing platform or other molecules you might have versus licensing different opportunities?
Yes. So first of all, we closed the books with $1.99 billion. So you pointed out, very strong financial position. We're very pleased, and we worked very hard to get there. And we're in no rush to go rush and buy an opportunity just for the sake of it.
First of all, that allows us to run with our commercial PKU launch, continue to develop our internal pipeline with splicing and information, and we'll talk more about that in Q4 in an R&D Day. And having said that, we'll be opportunistic, right? It's what we did with Censa, and we will always make sure that we're disciplined. We're opportunistic. And when we look at opportunities, we create value for our shareholders.
Got it. Perfect. Any last parting words like on the overall PTC side, I think we cover everything, but just in case I missed anything.
You covered everything. I would just say, look, we're incredibly excited to be where we are today, very well positioned for growth and success with Sephience and votoplam is still important part of the picture of the splicing platform and the cash we have. We think we're in a pretty unique position in terms of potential for future growth and success.
Perfect. Thank you so much for your time. Appreciate it.
Thank you, Tiago.
Thank you.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Cantor Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Hi, good morning, everybody. I'm Kristen Kluska, one of the biotech analysts at Cantor. Very happy to be hosting PTC Therapeutics this morning. We have Dr. Matt Klein, CEO; and Pierre Gravier, the CFO. Thank you both so much for being here.
Thank you, Kristen. Good morning to you.
Yes. It's always a pleasure talking to you. To start, do you mind just giving us a brief intro and some high-level remarks about PTC Therapeutics?
Sure. Happy to. So PTC Therapeutics is a global biopharmaceutical company focused on the development -- discovery, development and commercialization of therapies of high unmet medical need. We focused a lot over the past 1 to 2 years on really evolving the company and building for the future. And we believe the future is now having closed the second quarter with the approvals in the U.S. and Europe for Sephience, which we believe will be the foundational product for PTC's future growth. It's approved for the treatment of both children and adults with PKU. And we also closed the quarter with over $1.9 billion of cash on the balance sheet.
So we enter this next phase of growth for PTC with a foundational product with strong, large revenue potential, cash balance to get us to cash flow breakeven in the not-too-distant future as well as the firepower to do business development to complement our commercial and R&D portfolios, which include the capacity of PTC to commercialize therapies around the globe with an accomplished global commercial infrastructure as well as a robust R&D portfolio, including our splicing platform, which produced Evrysdi, the first ever approved oral splicing therapy as well as PTC518, our therapy for Huntington's disease, which we partnered with Novartis earlier this year.
So it's an exciting time for PTC. A lot of the work we put in over the past couple of years to bring us to this moment where we can launch into really what we believe will be a successful phase of growth for the company.
Okay. Thank you. So rather than spending a little bit of time on everything, I'd love to just take this fireside chat to go a little bit deeper into the science for PKU, if that's okay with you.
Sounds great.
Okay. Awesome. But before we talk about the drug, I think it's really important to understand these patients' backgrounds, their dietary lifestyle in detail. So how does this fluctuate depending on what's available for them? Are they satisfied with what they can eat currently?
Yes. I think it's important to understand that PKU is a highly morbid disease. Not only does it significantly impact the lifestyle of those affected by it, but it has a number of other important symptoms related to cognitive function, other aspects of neurological function, mood and then also effects outside of the CNS.
And basically, when you have PKU, you're born without the ability to process phenylalanine. Phenylalanine is amino acid, so it's a component of protein. What that means for individuals with PKU is that they have to have a highly restricted protein diet. Why? Because if they take protein with phenylalanine, they won't be able to metabolize it. They'll get high levels of phenylalanine and then suffer a number of significant neurological and other systemic manifestations.
The importance of diet control is so critical that PKU is a part of newborn screening because it's recognized from birth. Individuals with PKU need to have a restrictive diet so that they ensure normal neurological -- there is normal neurological development as possible as well as basically embark on a lifetime of a diet, which is highly restrictive. And just to give you an example, what I mean by that, if in the severe cases, an individual may be limited to having 6 grams of protein a day, that could be a piece of bread. Therefore, to get nutrition beyond that piece of bread or a single vegetable, for example, it's required that individuals with PKU take formulas that provide them with other aspects of nutrition because they can't take normal protein by mouth.
And so the ideal therapy would be one that individuals can take, which allows them to get more function out of the broken enzyme in PKU, lower their phenylalanine levels so they feel better, have better neurological function, better mood and also ultimately be able to have some freedom of diet so that they could have regular meals or more regular meals.
And then also, of course, the therapy that's safe and well tolerated. And this is the landscape into which Sephience enters. So while there are 2 previously approved therapies, the vast majority of PKU patients are not on these therapies. Why? Because they don't tick the boxes of what's needed for an individual or what an individual PKU would want from a therapy that is improved symptoms, lower phenylalanine and the ability to liberalize the diet and being safe and well tolerated.
Okay. So when we think about the reason -- you laid out several reasons why patients would want a therapy, but what's really like top of mind if you had to rank them, improving how they feel, protecting themselves from these disease symptoms or more flexibility in what they can eat?
So I would say it would be feeling better and liberalization of diet. Those are the 2 most important things. If you talk to individuals who have PKU kids or adults, they'll say, I know when my phenylalanine levels are off. I have trouble concentrating, trouble focusing. We've heard stories from a woman with PKU says, I know my levels are off, I have to put in the GPS, how to get home from work. I just can't focus and think.
And then, of course, being able to have a more regular diet. I mean we look online and we hear from patients, stories about kids being able to have pizza for the first time at a birthday party with other kids, being able to eat the lunch that other kids eat at school. Mom and daughter are talking about being able to have breakfast together, the same breakfast for the first time in their life. This is life changing. It's not just a lifestyle change. It's life altering in addition to feeling better, having better cognitive function and better mood and other aspects of the disease affects.
Okay. So we know that currently today, there's a low percent of the total population pool on Kuvan. But do you have a sense of what percent have at least tried it at one point? What's been the biggest drivers for that? Or maybe why isn't there as much interest there?
So I think when you think about the disease that we've just talked about for the past 5 minutes, you'd understand why an individual would want to try a therapy that can make them feel better and potentially allow them to have more diet freedom and eat more regular food. So that's why there's great interest in therapies. And so it's not surprising that over 70% of patients have tried previous therapies. However, it turns out the vast majority of these patients aren't currently on the therapy.
And why is that? I think we have to think about PKU a little bit differently than we may think about therapies for other rare diseases. We're very used to neurological and neuromuscular disorders where the goal of treatment is to slow progression over time. And patients may feel that I don't know if I'm -- my progression is slowing or not day-to-day, but I'm willing to stay on a drug for a year, 2 years, maybe even longer in the hope that maybe my progression is slowing.
In PKU, it's different. As we talked about, the life of an individual with PKU starts with a highly restrictive lifestyle from birth, your diet is restricted and you have disease symptoms that you can only control by limiting your diet. Therefore, if you add therapy on top of that and it's not making you feel better while you utilized diet, there's no motivation to now have the same lifestyle plus take a drug.
So the framework is really different. And that's why in this population, you have existing therapies and the majority of patients are not on therapy, but don't mistake that for that, meaning that they don't want a therapy, they do, but they want a therapy that can change their lifestyle, the restrictive life they've had from birth.
Okay. So how is this narrative going to change now that we do have a new drug, Sephience on the market?
Well, we're incredibly excited about this opportunity. The Sephience data set demonstrates that Sephience has the potential to lower phenylalanine, allow diet liberalization for patients of all subtypes. So the full spectrum of severity as well as the full age spectrum. And that's reflected in both the U.S. and European labels for the approvals that we received this summer.
We've been able to show that we can significantly increase phenylalanine by an average of over 60% in our clinical trials, including 69% in the most severe patients, those with classical PKU. In our Phe tolerance sub study from the long-term follow-up of our Phase III study, we've shown that nearly every patient in that protocol has been able to liberalize their diet somewhat with now nearly 70% being able to get to a diet -- a protein intake above the age recommended daily allowance. That means that folks with PKU can now take protein in a diet at a level that would be recommended for someone without PKU.
So the data clearly support that we're able to lower phenylalanine, which suggests will improve symptoms as well as allow for the diet liberalization. And of course, as well importantly, the clinical studies continue to demonstrate that Sephience is safe and well tolerated. So those essential boxes are now checked, which is why we're so enthusiastic about the ability of PKU to address that unmet need in the community.
Okay. So I think you've officially had the approval for about 5 weeks. So on your next earnings call, which metrics are you going to be providing the Street with? And do you have a sense about any that might carry the most weight just initially as we understand that reimbursement and things might take a little bit of time?
So we've been planning for this launch for over 2 years. We're incredibly excited about the opportunity, given the size of the population, given the highly differentiated profile of Sephience in terms of safety and efficacy. This is also a community that understands what it's like to be on the drug. The physicians have prescribed before. The payers understand PKU, understand that value can be tied to phenylalanine lowering.
And we've got a team that's world-class. Our global commercial teams have been doing rare disease commercialization for over a decade, performing -- really performing incredibly well in generic size and competitive markets. So when it comes to this opportunity, this is a battle-tested team that is poised to execute. And early days have no surprises. We've been preparing for this. Everything is going as we thought it would be, seeing a great amount of enthusiasm from patients and physicians.
And so when we get to the first earnings call, so Q3 earnings, we'll be sharing information such as for the U.S. patient start forms. We'll talk about how many patients are on commercial drug, both in the U.S. and ex U.S., and we'll also provide an update on how the payer mix is looking so far. In the early days, as you said, it's hard to get too much information. We'll, of course, be looking at things like start forms. Look, we've been very clear that this is a significant opportunity. We've all along said we believe it's at least $1 billion commercial opportunity in the U.S., about 50% of that ex U.S.
And again, we believe that this is a therapy that can address the full spectrum of disease. So one thing we'll be looking at early on will be start forms. That would support that we're having this sort of wide funnel and being able to access all these different key segments, which will be really important as we get deeper into the launch.
Okay. So I know your team, in particular, has been very excited about this drug even before the approval. We are also very excited about this drug. But broadly speaking, how should we think about expectations so that we also don't jump over our skis quite yet?
Yes. I think -- look, I -- we have thrown out the $1 billion number early on because a lot of people were trying to benchmark the commercial opportunity for Sephience with other PKU therapies. And I think the reasons we've highlighted already, that's just wrong. It has a highly differentiated profile. And the evidence continues to grow. For example, as we sit here today in New York City, several thousand miles away in Japan at the SSIEM, the International Metabolic meeting, our team is presenting additional data that continue to support the ability of Sephience to meet the full spectrum of patients.
We're providing an update on the long-term APHENITY data showing again that now with almost 100 patients through that Phe tolerance protocol, almost 70% are able to have a lot more protein in the diet beyond the recommended daily allowance. We're also sharing QOL data, quality of life data that is showing exactly what you'd expect by lowering phenylalanine levels. We are now seeing in patients in our studies, improvements in mood, improvements in neurological function, executive execution, thinking, clarity of thought. So all of these benefits that patients want, we're able to show. And this is including the most severe patients.
We're working on a manuscript now on the mechanism of action of Sephience that is going to talk about the dual mechanism, not only Sephience's ability to serve as a precursor for BH4, which is the cofactor for the injured enzyme of PKU, but also the separate chaperone effect, which is allowing for a benefit in patients with more severe mutations. And when we look back in the APHENITY Phase III trial, and I think we've got 12 patients with a GPV score of 0 that suggests severe form of the disease that had a greater than 30% reduction in phenylalanine.
So when we talk about these data points of reduced phenylalanine levels, diet liberalization, improved neurological function, this goes for the full spectrum of PKU, including those severe patients. So when you start to think about the ability to access all the key market segments, that's when you start understanding that this can be a sizable market opportunity.
Do you mind just touching briefly on what the GPV is? Like how does it essentially look to understand someone's phenotype, their severity?
Yes, absolutely. So traditionally, PKU has been talked about as classical and nonclassical with classical being those more severe patients who, at some point in their life had a phenylalanine level of greater than or equal to 1,200 micromolar per liter. For reference, normal level is around 120 micromolar per liter.
And there's been a lot of work done in the community of late to try to better understand the relationship between specific genotype and disease phenotype -- or genotype G and phenotype B to get to the GPV, which is a sum of severity, if you will, of the mutation in each of the alleles for the injured enzyme, phenylalanine hydroxylase.
And there have now been specific scores to designate your severity. So classical PKU is thought of anyone who has a GPV, basically the sum of severity of each of the different alleles of less than 2.7 with a score of 0, clearly representing the most severe form. And these are folks that traditionally have not been thought of to have mutations that would respond to Kuvan. And these are folks who thought to have really severe disease.
So for us to be able to now look back at our data and not through the lens of defining classical as less than 1,200 micromolar per liter, but to say we have individuals with GPV scores of 0 and additional patients less than 2.7, and we're seeing this level of effect of greater than 30% reduction in the run-in phase and then persistent reduction in the placebo-controlled phase allows us to really support the idea that we can have an impact in that bucket of therapy-naive patients, the more severe classical patients.
So I would just say the GPV is just giving us another way to, in a more quantitative way, understand the severity of mutations and similarly understand the potential of Sephience to deliver treatment benefit across the full spectrum of disease.
Okay. Thank you for that. So do you have a sense of what percent of patients are likely to be responders? We've talked about that this is a very unique disease because it's not one where you have to wait a year to see if there's clinical outcomes. The blood Phe test makes it very easy that very shortly after you kind of know if someone is going to respond.
When we look at the APHENITY study, I think that's a good place to get an idea of percent response rates because that was a study that enrolled, if you will, all comers, full spectrum of disease. And we had 67% of patients, 2/3 of patients have a greater than 30% reduction from baseline in phenylalanine. If you extend that to a greater than 15% reduction from baseline, we had almost 3/4 of the patients, 75% have that magnitude of reduction. So that's telling you that the majority of patients who see the drug have a benefit in terms of reduction in phenylalanine.
Okay. So how are physicians going to be coaching their patients real time to help them understand the dietary lifestyle changes, if applicable? And what is this ultimately going to mean for patients?
So we've done a lot of work on this. So there's about 104 centers of excellence in the U.S. And as I mentioned, our teams have been working and preparing for this launch for almost 2 years, if not a little longer, mapping these centers, understanding the patient load at these centers, understanding the care team because PKU care involves physicians, nurse practitioners and dietitians. And dietitians play an incredibly important role because absent therapy or absent effective therapy, the mainstay of treatment, if you will, is dietary management. And often, the dietians at a center are the points of contact for individuals of PKU.
So as we work with centers and talk about Sephience, prescribing Sephience, we're also talking a lot about managing diet in the context of a therapy that's allowing diet liberalization. So we don't want someone to start the drug and all of a sudden now start going to the buffet and eating everything in sight. No, it has to be sort of managed in the context of an individual's current protein supplementation or diet supplements and then how do you gradually increase diet, maybe wean off some of the foods -- medical foods and formulas that patients have to take.
And so we spent a lot of time on this education aspect. We've gotten really interesting feedback from some of the nutritionists who were saying, this is so wild. This is something we never had to think of before. How do we talk about having a hamburger at lunch and then what can you have for dinner? It's just a new world. But -- and we spent a lot of time on this. In fact, we've increased our medical field team to include more dietitians, but given the importance of sort of peer-to-peer support and management and as we think holistically about the a kid or an adult who's going to get on Sephience and what it means for their life and how do we make sure that we solve for success in this transition to a new lifestyle.
It's been great on social media, seeing the experience of patients trying foods for the first time, things that we take for granted. But yes, it's been really nice to see that.
Yes. I think for us, we -- this is what it's about trying to bring important therapies to folks who need them and to see patients themselves talk about what a transformation the therapy has brought them. It's heartwarming, and it's also really important in getting the word out. We talk about a drug launch in 2025. It's maybe different than it was when Kuvan was launched in 2008 or where, yes, there's working with the physicians, they understand it, working with the patient communities, but this patient-to-patient interaction, the social media where someone with PKU can see another individual with PKU having benefits, they want that drug, too.
And it creates an enormous amount of market pull. We're also aware of social media influencers and influencers in the PKU community, which are also important. I mean this is one way of helping get the word out about Sephience, including to patients who may be more remote from treatment or who haven't been on a therapy or tried on therapy for a number of years. They're not lost to follow-up. They're out there. They live in this world and people -- opportunity in the social media. And I think the more the word can get spread within the community about the potential benefits of Sephience, I think it's going to generate more market pull and really help get more folks on therapy.
It's a new ball game out there launching drugs in the age of social media, that's for sure. You talked about the fact that 70% of patients are seeing essentially healthy for their age group, dietary allowances. But even for those that aren't, like help us understand like what level would honestly like be life-changing for them, even if it's not normal.
Yes. I'll just say what the patients say because it really comes from them, not from us. I think it's very hard for any of us to walk in the shoes of someone who has that lifestyle and how severely limiting is. So maybe it means having 1 meal a day, right? Maybe it's an 8-year-old in school being able to sit at the lunch table with the other kids and have the same lunch that the other kids are having and not a medical food that may be smelly or look funny.
It may be an adult who can go to lunch with the other folks in the office and have the same food. So it could be just even 1 meal a day. It could also be for individuals who have a restrictive diet, but still have levels of phenylalanine that lead to brain fog or mood disturbances just feeling better. Maybe their diet is not liberalized very much, but they feel better because their phenylalanine is lowered 200 to 300 points. These are all very important things that are tangible benefits and value that Sephience can bring to patients.
Can you help us understand the different waves of patient groups you're targeting and a very, very early glimpse into if that's actually what you're seeing 5 weeks into the launch.
So folks will hear me say a lot, it's early days. But we get this question a lot, and this thought of that there's different segments of patients, right? There's those who are currently on therapy and particularly on Kuvan either branded or generic, where our data continue to demonstrate that if you're on -- if you have any benefit from Kuvan branded or generic that you're going to have a much greater response to Sephience.
In our Phase III trial, we showed that in those 27 patients who were on Kuvan prior -- or BH4 prior to being treated with Sephience, we had 54% greater reduction. In Tokyo right now, we're sharing data from a small study we did to support payer discussions in Europe, where we did a crossover study, head-to-head comparison of sepiapterin and Sephience and found again, that we were having much greater response with Sephience. This time, it was 70% greater lowering with Sephience than giving BH4 alone.
So that's obviously a segment where individuals can go from one -- once-daily therapy to another and have a much greater benefit. There's also therapy-naive patients who have never been tried on the therapy. These tend to be the more severe patients who thought would never have a benefit from taking BH4. And there's some interest in trialing those patients. And then there's those who have been tried on therapy, but failed. So those are the 3 large segments we've talked a lot about.
And what we've been learning is that while we believe that there's a wave of patients who are either on therapy or recently tried and failed and closely tied to the treatment centers that those would be the first wave of patients. We're hearing in some cases, there's wait-listed centers that include the therapy-naive patients. So I think it's hard to know just yet who's going to be in that first wave. It's going to differ center to center. The important thing is that we are seeing interest in prescribing and interest from patients in each of those segments.
So how is Sephience going to ultimately help the company reach profitability?
Yes. So look, Sephience is the foundational product for PTC going forward. We talked about $1 billion opportunity in the U.S. and half of that ex U.S. And we don't need to reach that to be profitable, but that's really going to be a large contributor to get us there.
Yes. And I think as we also -- we talked about the $1 billion number, just looking -- we've shared the price for Sephience and the population of roughly 17,000 in the U.S. to get to that $1 billion would be very modest penetration. And if we think about more in the realm of where the drug can be as a differentiated rare disease therapy, then we believe the potential could be even greater. But as Pierre said, that $1 billion number alone will get us to profitability in the near future.
So I took this recent Censa transaction as a signal of confidence and how this launch could ultimately look like. But can you just kind of help us walk through the math you did to assume that this is a good deal based on also your projections of what this launch could look like?
Yes, absolutely. So the way we thought about the Censa transaction is they are -- that's the company that we acquired and we got Sephience from. And the royalty that we owe to Censa was quite high. I think the range was 8% to 12% and the 12% was at $500 million. So with what we're saying with $1 billion-plus opportunity in the U.S. alone, that tells you that this royalty was going to be very expensive.
And for us, even with modest numbers, you can see that the IRR that we paid for, which was $225 million upfront is very, very high. If you take a look at just consensus numbers, that is 20-plus percent IRR based on that. And so that's how we thought about it. So we started to think about that as we got closer to the approval. And you can see that, as usual, we strike pretty quickly. And you saw the announcement of that deal right after the approval in the U.S.
So you have a great balance sheet these days, most make a CFO's life quite happy. But tell us about it, what does it allow you to do?
We're very happy with our cash balance. We closed Q2 with $1.99 billion, and this is a very unique situation, right? If you take a look at all our other peers, I think in our space, we probably have one of our stronger balance sheet. And that allows us all the flexibility, right, to allow us to launch PKU, obviously, globally, to continue to develop our own internal pipeline, as Matt mentioned as well, continue to think about business development opportunities with a few goals in mind. Number one, exactly the same way we thought about Censa, we're going to be disciplined, right?
We want to make sure we create value for shareholders. We're not going to jump and go just because we have cash for the sake of it, acquire something. But again, with this in mind, we want to make sure that we accelerate our trail -- path to profitability. It just allows us to execute with all the flexibility we want.
Anything I didn't ask about Sephience that I should have. And we are very much looking forward to that earnings call.
Thank you. Look, we're incredibly excited about the opportunity and really excited about where the company is today and where we are now well positioned to take the company tomorrow. As we said, all the necessary requirements for success are in place with the launch, including just the population, payers' understanding of the disease, the need for a highly differentiated therapy and our team, our team's ability to execute globally. And so we're incredibly excited to be able to bring this important therapy to kids and adults with PKU.
Okay. Thank you so much, Matt and Pierre. Always a pleasure to host you, and we are quite excited about this launch ourselves. Thank you.
Thank you very much, Kristen.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Cantor Global Healthcare Conference 2025
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to PTC Therapeutics Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's call is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the call over to Ellen Cavaleri, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us to discuss PTC Therapeutics' Second Quarter 2025 Corporate Update and Financial Results. I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Matthew Klein; our Chief Business Officer, Eric Pauwels; and our Chief Financial Officer, Pierre Gravier.
Today's call will include forward-looking statements based on our current expectations. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ materially. Please review the slide posted on our Investor Relations website in conjunction with the call, which contains information about our forward-looking statements and our most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q and annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC, as well as our other SEC filings for a detailed description of applicable risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual performance and results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements.
Additionally, we will disclose certain non-GAAP information during this call. Information regarding our use of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP are available in today's earnings release.
I will now pass the call over to our CEO, Dr. Matthew Klein.
Thank you all for joining today. I'm pleased to share results from another strong quarter, highlighted by the first approvals for Sephience for the treatment of children and adults with PKU. We expect Sephience to be the foundational product for PTC's sustainable growth and path to profitability.
In the second quarter, we again had solid revenue performance with total revenue of $179 million, with continued contributions from our DMD franchise, including in Europe. Following the nonrenewal of the Translarna conditional marketing authorization, we have reached agreements with about half of European countries based on the unprecedented use of Article 117 to provide paid Translarna product. For the remainder of 2025, we expect to be able to maintain approximately 25% of European revenue from prior to authorization nonrenewal.
The highlight of the quarter was the EU approval of Sephience in late June with a broad label inclusive of all disease subtypes and age groups. And last week, we announced FDA approval of Sephience with similar broad labeling for patients aged 1 month and above. Based on the strong Sephience data package and the significant unmet need for PKU patients, Sephience is positioned to become the new standard of care for children and adults living with PKU. As we have discussed, we believe the Sephience revenue opportunity in the U.S. exceeds $1 billion, and our global customer-facing teams are excited to bring this therapy to all those that could benefit.
We initiated the European launch in Germany in mid-July and are leveraging early access mechanisms in other European countries while formal pricing and reimbursement discussions proceed. In the U.S., we plan to ship the first commercial drug to patients within the next 2 weeks and look forward to a robust early launch. Eric will provide further details on the Sephience launches shortly.
Given the potential significant revenue opportunity for Sephience, PTC has reached an agreement to purchase the annual global net sales payment obligation of 8% to 12% that was part of the acquisition of Censa Pharmaceuticals in 2020. PTC will pay the participating Censa rights holders approximately $225 million upfront and additional future sales milestones for approximately 90% of our net sales payment obligation. We view this transaction as a constructive use of our cash reserves given the expected value creation based on the transaction terms.
Now with the FDA approval of Sephience, we have 2 NDAs that remain under FDA review for vatiquinone and Translarna. For the vatiquinone NDA for Friedreich's ataxia, a late cycle meeting was held in July. At that meeting, FDA shared that the application is still under active review and confirmed they do not plan to hold an advisory committee meeting.
Turning to the PTC518 or votoplam Huntington's disease program. Following the positive Phase II PIVOT-HD study results, we continue to collaborate with Novartis on next steps for votoplam and aim to meet with FDA in the fourth quarter to discuss the Phase III trial study design and potential accelerated approval pathway.
Finally, we remain in a very strong financial position, closing the quarter with approximately $1.99 billion in cash, allowing us to fully support all planned commercial and R&D initiatives, engage in strategic business development activities and achieve cash flow breakeven without the need for additional capital.
I will now turn the call over to Eric to discuss our commercial performance and our Sephience global launch. Eric?
Thanks, Matt. Our global customer-facing teams performed well again this quarter, achieving $118 million in second quarter revenue from our marketed products, and we are excited to have initiated the global launch of Sephience following approvals in both Europe and the U.S. We will review details of our Sephience launch efforts shortly.
We generated $96 million revenue in the second quarter from our global DMD franchise. As Matt mentioned, despite the nonrenewal of the EU conditional license, we have continued supplying paid Translarna to several European countries, leveraging mechanisms specific to each country in accordance with Article 117. Outside of Europe, we continue to generate Translarna revenue, including in Latin America, the Commonwealth of Independent States, the Middle East and North Africa. Our experienced U.S. neurology team is ready to bring Translarna to nonsense mutation DMD patients following potential FDA approval.
Now turning to Emflaza. As expected, with additional generic entrants, we have seen continued market erosion. However, we continue to see meaningful revenue and our PTC Cares team has done an outstanding job ensuring new patient starts and maintaining high levels of brand loyalty for Emflaza with the DMD community.
Shifting to Tegsedi and Waylivra in Latin America. We continue to identify and treat new patients in the region and have received group purchase orders in Brazil. For Upstaza and KEBILIDI, we are pleased that new AADC patients have been treated across multiple regions and our commercial efforts remain focused on where patients are identified, including those countries with AADC deficiency founder effects. We expect a steady cadence of AADC patients to be treated in the U.S., Europe, Asia Pacific and Latin America throughout 2025.
Turning now to Sephience for PKU. Our world-class commercial team is in place to successfully launch Sephience following the U.S. and European approvals. We are well positioned to leverage our core launch capabilities in rare disease with more than a decade of commercial experience to drive early and rapid Sephience adoption. We initiated the first launch in Germany in mid-July and engaged key PKU centers in the country. We are very pleased with the initial feedback from health care providers and the first patients have already received commercial therapy. Our teams in Europe have identified other key markets where paid early access programs are available for Sephience, and we'll leverage them as soon as possible.
We are thrilled with the recent FDA approval of Sephience, which we believe is well positioned to redefine the standard of care for PKU. In the U.S., our dedicated team is already calling on health care providers in 104 PKU centers of excellence who account for more than 80% of PKU claims and treat the highest concentration of U.S. patients, including those diagnosed at birth, children, adolescents and adults. The clinical data support the ability of Sephience to address the full spectrum of the approximately 17,000 patients in the U.S.
In terms of sequencing, our initial focus is on the patients who recently failed or are not well controlled on existing therapies, and those who could be switched from existing oral therapies who are seeking greater Phe reduction. We will then progress to treatment-naive patients who could benefit from a new effective treatment.
Our payer meetings continue to be productive following presentations of the clinical data and the value proposition of Sephience from our market access and medical affairs teams. We have actively engaged with key commercial, Medicaid and Medicare payers covering over 220 million lives and have received positive feedback on access and coverage of Sephience with minimal restrictions.
We are equally excited about the anticipated regulatory approvals of Sephience in Japan and Brazil before the end of the year, building on the launch momentum that has already begun in the U.S. and Europe. Initial feedback from health care providers worldwide is highly positive, and we look forward to continuing to provide updates on the Sephience global trajectory in the next several quarters.
In addition to our team's focus on the Sephience launch, we have also been preparing for the potential launch of vatiquinone in the U.S. Our experienced teams in neurology are ready to launch the product and address the significant unmet need for both children under 16 who currently have no approved therapy, as well as adults with FA who may benefit from a well-tolerated and effective therapy.
With that, I will now turn the call over to Pierre for a financial update. Pierre?
Thanks, Eric. I will begin by reiterating our excitement for the approval of Sephience, a pivotal milestone both for patients and for PTC. As we discussed, Sephience has the potential to become the standard of care for PKU and will serve as the cornerstone product driving our path to profitability. Today, we announced the purchase of Sephience' annual global net sales payment obligation owed to Censa. This strategic transaction is accretive based on the terms we negotiated and underscores our confidence in the market opportunity.
I'll now share the financial highlights of our second quarter of 2025. Beginning with top line results. Total product, collaboration and royalty revenue for the second quarter was $179 million, including DMD franchise revenue of $96 million. Starting with the DMD franchise. Translarna net product revenue in the quarter was $59 million and Emflaza net product revenue was $36 million. For Evrysdi, Roche achieved second quarter global revenue of approximately USD 559 million, resulting in royalty revenue of $58 million for PTC.
For the second quarter of 2025, non-GAAP R&D expense was $104 million, excluding $9 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense compared to $123 million for the second quarter of 2024, excluding $9 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense.
Non-GAAP SG&A expense was $76 million for the second quarter of 2025, excluding $10 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense compared to $60 million for the second quarter of 2024, excluding $10 million in noncash stock-based compensation expense.
Cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities totaled $1,989 million as of June 30, 2025, compared to $1,140 million as of December 31, 2024. Our strong financial position provides us with the necessary resources to seamlessly execute on our strategy, successfully launch all our new commercial products globally, achieve all our anticipated milestones, as well as advance our novel R&D efforts and accelerate our trajectory towards cash flow breakeven and profitability. Furthermore, this strong foundation provides us with the ability to explore business development opportunities to enhance our commercial portfolio and pipeline for long-term growth.
I will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] And now we're going to take our first question, and it comes from the line of Kristen Kluska from Cantor Fitzgerald.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on a great quarter. I have 2. The first is just on Huntington's. What is going to be on your wish list related to the trial design you and your partners' talk with the FDA? And will you have any additional data to share with them at that time?
And then for Translarna in Europe, under this Article 117, which I'm less familiar with, do you have to renew this every year? Should we be expecting this 25% revenues on a go-forward basis?
Thank you very much for the questions, Kristen. On the first question, so look, I think this is exactly as we said we hope to be doing with our partner, Novartis, which is once we completed the readout of PIVOT-HD, engage with the FDA to discuss 2 things: one, the design of the efficacy trial based on some of the key learnings that we talked about from PIVOT-HD, as well as discuss pathways to accelerated approval, whether that's on the existing data we've shared thus far with PIVOT-HD or the additional data that we could continue to collect as the open-label extension is ongoing. As we talked about, we would fully expect the efficacy trial to be a large trial as has been done previously with Huntington's disease. And as you know, there's a fairly finite universe of endpoints and certain factors that could go into discussion. So I would say our wish list is to come away with alignment for what the key elements of that efficacy trial will be. And obviously, we have confidence that, that should happen as well as clarity on the data that we'll need, whether it's the data we have at hand now, showing long-term cUHDRS changes NfL, some of the other biomarker changes to support accelerated approval or whether there are going to be additional data that we could use once we get further into the open-label extension.
On your second question, I would -- ARC-117 is something that was referenced in the European Commission's adoption of the CHMP opinion. And actually, there's 2 articles. There's Article 117 and Article 5, which together -- which referenced specific things in the European Commission doctrines. And what they allowed together is individual countries to allow Translarna to still be commercially available despite the fact that the license has not been renewed. So it's basically an umbrella or a directive that each individual country can elect to leverage or not based on individual country-by-country mechanisms that they have. And as we said, we've seen about half the countries look -- leverage that availability. And that's, again, based on a lot of the feedback we've gotten from patients and physicians who have clearly communicated the benefits they've observed with Translarna as well as the lack of alternative therapies. And so, in countries where possible, we've been able to provide paid drug. Other countries have elected not to do it. And so we're about half now. We've said that we expect to be able to maintain about 25% revenue through the rest of 2025. And I think it's going to -- we're going to see how different countries, different contracts and things play out over time. 117 doesn't need to be renewed. It will be at the discretion of individual countries about renewing and in some countries, for example, Italy has publicized they're allowing for 6 months and then it will be revisited. Other countries have not given a time line. So it's going to be very variable, which is why we've said we expect the 25% for the remainder of the year.
But look, this is all an incredible upside given the context of the situation when you consider that the license wasn't renewed. And again, this is really based on a lot of the feedback from the patients and the physicians about the clear perceived benefits of Translarna. And we're, one, happy to be able to still harvest revenue from Europe, but two, really happy to be able to still provide this therapy to patients who really need it.
And the question comes from the line of Tazeen Ahmad from Bank of America Securities.
For Sephience, Matt, can you give us clarity on the metrics that we should expect to see in the early innings of the launch, presumably on the 3Q call? And then can you clarify if you've already started receiving scripts? And if so, do you have any kind of sense on what types of patients are receiving scripts first?
Thank you for the question, Tazeen. I think it's early days, as you say, and I think we're happy with how things have gone, and in particular, what we've seen in the public, a lot of social media and a lot of patients talking about how happy they are. This is data that they wish for and hoped for. And just a lot of positive feedback, which, one, is incredibly gratifying and two, is really consistent with our understanding of the significant unmet need that Sephience can fill.
Eric, do you want to go into a little more detail on Tazeen 's 2 questions on the early -- on the metrics we plan to share in early dynamics?
Yes. Thanks for the question, Tazeen. I mean, as we said earlier, the metrics we're going to continually provide on a quarterly basis will be prescriptions, patient start forms, the number of commercial patients that are currently available on treatment. We'll also provide information regarding health care provider, as well as payer sort of prescribing dynamics and coverage dynamics. We'll also provide you some color on the rollout and the international flavor of Sephience, where we -- which countries we will actually be bringing on board. So there's a number of key metrics here. But more importantly, I think you're going to see this as -- it's still early days, but you're going to see the metrics really centered around the number of prescriptions and the number of health care providers who have prescribed.
On the scripts received so far, if any?
Yes. And just to provide you some -- we're thrilled that we've already gotten prescriptions in the U.S. We have patient start forms that came in on the very first day. And we -- the feedback from health care providers has been excellent so far. As I mentioned, we also have our first patients on commercial therapy in Europe already.
The feedback from physicians has been very positive. Our teams have been promoting the benefits of Sephience immediately. The characteristics that we've seen, and again, it's very early days, it kind of matches up very closely to what we've seen. Physicians are looking to bring in patients who are poorly controlled or have failed. Many of them have interest in switching patients to get better feed control, and we've also seen prescriptions for naive patients.
And it comes from the line of Brian Cheng from JPMorgan.
Two from us. It's probably still in the early days to understand how contracting and the eventual net pricing for Sephience is. But I know that you already have been in touch with a sizable portion of commercial payers out there. So just curious if you had some feedback that can help us to think through the level of contracting. And then I have a quick follow-up.
Yes. Thanks, Brian, for the question. We've been having really good meetings with payers so far. As I mentioned, it's been really dozens of payers and quite a good mix between both commercial, Medicaid and Medicare. We continue to have these meetings now post launch. And I think really more than anything else, it's going as well as what we expected. We see right now that the clinical profile of Sephience is being very well received. Payers already see that it's highly differentiated, and there's a high willingness to cover the product. Importantly, very minimal restrictions, prior authorizations to the label and only a few have said that we would implement step edits. So overall, minimal restrictions.
Regarding your question around contracting, we haven't gotten -- it's still early days. We haven't gotten into that at this point in time. We don't necessarily see the need at this point in time either to contract with payers. And as I said, we will be providing metrics around gross to net further down the line as we get the payer mix, which we anticipate at this point in time to be 65% commercial and approximately 35% to be Medicaid or Medicare.
So at this point in time, it's a bit early. But overall, I think it's going as well as we expect it to go.
Great. And then maybe one for Pierre. Is there any meaningful inventory build that we should think through? And also, how should we also think about any changes in terms of the SG&A line that we should expect for the Sephience launch?
Yes. Thanks for the question, Brian. As we mentioned, we are leveraging our existing infrastructure. So there will be no additional OpEx.
And then in terms of inventory, everything is ready, right, just to be clear. So all the patients have what they need.
Yes. And I would just add -- I can add a little more color to that, Pierre. In the context of inventory, we plan to ship to patients sometime around mid-August. And clearly, we were working with 2 specialty pharmacies that will carry just-in-time inventory levels. So it's not really something that we're looking at in terms of building. But what we are doing right now is anticipating that demand based on the number of start forms that we've already started to accumulate. As we've mentioned, there has been incredible excitement around the launch of Sephience and the community now is really poised to begin that. So we'll be monitoring that very closely. But again, Brian, we're not really going to be building inventory at all. We're just going to be managing accordingly with our specialty pharmacies.
And it comes from the line of Judah Frommer from Morgan Stanley.
Congrats on the update. I guess, can you provide a little more color on the decision to allocate capital to these prior Censa shareholders? Is there anything you can share in terms of kind of hurdles for your decisions to do that on kind of a returns basis relative to maybe allocating that capital somewhere else, business development on potentially earlier-stage assets or just investing further in your pipeline?
Thanks for the question, Judah. As we talked about, we have accumulated and built significant cash reserves. We closed the second quarter with almost $2 billion still in cash on the balance sheet. And what we said we're going to use that for. We're going to deploy it strategically. We're going to support our commercial programs, our R&D program -- pipeline programs as well as be thoughtful about business development and corporate developments. And I would put this under the heading of a strategic deployment of our capital.
Pierre, do you want to give a little bit more detail on the thinking around this and why it was a strategic deployment of capital?
Yes, absolutely. Look, given the revenue potential of Sephience and our ability to achieve $1 billion plus of revenues in the U.S. alone, this is a thoughtful use of our cash. We said that we will be disciplined. We will focus on creative value transaction, and that's exactly how we thought about it. And this is a very high return on capital. So that's how we thought about it.
Furthermore, as Matt mentioned, we have a very strong financial position that will not preclude us for additional opportunity for BD or pipeline investments or own R&D efforts. We have a lot of firepower remaining.
Okay. Great. And then just on Huntington's, is there anything you can share on interactions you've had with Novartis since providing the update?
Judah, I would say that the teams have worked very well together. There's a clear shared sense of urgency in getting this program forward and getting a therapy to patients that could be beneficial. There's a shared enthusiasm for the mechanism of Huntington lowering and the positive attributes of votoplam or PTC518 being an oral small molecule splicing agent. And I think what we've done in the past few weeks is really take 2 very aligned teams, work together and make sure that we take the next necessary important step, which is meeting with the FDA to align on the efficacy trial design as well as understanding with the data we have at hand and what additional data we could have, what the potential pathway for accelerated approval looks like.
And it comes from the line of Kelly Shi from Jefferies.
Congrats on the progress. Maybe first on PKU launch, specifically on how to timely capture those who are under care and recently failed other therapies, how soon could they get Sephience? And will there be some wait time between -- for logistical reasons?
Also, on the sales guidance for full year '25 remain the same from Q1 from $650 million to $800 million. Curious if this number include any revenues from PKU launch? And also, I have a follow-up.
Thank you for the questions, Kelly. I'll start and then pass to Eric and Pierre. First, we've talked about the ability to provide benefit to the full spectrum of PKU patients. But in terms of sequencing that there are a relatively large number of patients who are at these specialty centers, 104 specialty centers that we talked about, who are either on existing therapy -- oral therapies and can certainly benefit from one that could provide greater lowering and Phe greater diet liberalization, others who've recently tried and failed and others who may be in recent contact with the centers and therapy naive. So it's that group of patients that we've talked about that we see as the first that we would be targeting in terms of sequence. And then, of course, those who may be in less contact with the center as time goes on. But there's a large number, as we shared on the call last week, somewhere around 7,000 patients fit into that first wave of the sequence.
Eric, do you want to talk a little bit about wait times and how quickly patients can get therapy?
Yes, Kelly, thanks for the question. I think really, that's going to depend. Again, it's very early days, and part of that is going to be based on the patient's profile. If they've already been controlled on current therapies and would like to switch to Sephience, then it may take a little bit longer. However, most of these patients that Matt described are either poorly controlled or they failed. And some of them are looking for better Phe control.
If there's documentation, usually, that will go much quicker through the payer. So for us, we anticipate that, that first wave will already have previous documentation, and we will be able to, if you will, address many of the prior authorizations and if required, some of the step edits very quickly. We have a lot of experience with that over the last 8.5 years. Our teams have been dealing with that with prednisone and Emflaza. And the good news here is Sephience and the activity of Sephience and Phe can be measured very quickly. So we can get to the point of prescription and dispense relatively quickly, particularly in that group that Matt mentioned, that initial wave of close to 7,000 patients.
Maybe just quickly on FA, could you share any comments on your latest engagements with the regulatory agency and also, your confidence level for the PDUFA given it's only 12 days away?
Yes. Thanks, Kelly. I can answer that and then I can pass it to Pierre to answer your question about guidance because I don't think we got to that one.
So on assay, we had a late cycle meeting a few weeks ago. It was a very constructive meeting. We were told by the agency that they're still actively reviewing the application. And so, we're just waiting for any additional information and questions that we can address as they continue their review despite it being so close to PDUFA.
Pierre, did you just want to comment on guidance and the inputs?
Yes. Guidance, $650 million to $800 million, as we discussed, the bulk of it is our existing product portfolio and obviously includes new product launch as well. There are still some uncertainties, as you can imagine, on Emflaza, for instance, that's probably how you derive the $650 million at the bottom end and the $800 million will be dependent on how fast we ramp up and the upside potential there as well.
And it comes from the line of Brian Abrahams from RBC Capital Markets.
This is Kevin on for Brian. I just had a couple on Sephience in the EU. Just maybe can you talk about what uptake is expected in other EU countries with early access that you've identified? And sort of more generally, how we should think about the EU opportunity? And then I believe you mentioned no G&A impact given these launches. Does that -- I'm assuming that also applies to the EU as well?
Kevin, thanks for the questions. I'll just tackle the second one first and let Eric talk about European dynamics.
No, we don't expect any OpEx changes for Sephience. It's all currently covered. As Pierre said, we're leveraging our existing infrastructure. Similarly, for vatiquinone, if approved and launch there, the OpEx is already baked in as we'll be leveraging our existing neurology commercial infrastructure in the U.S.
Eric, do you want to talk a little bit about what we're seeing or expecting in Europe beyond the Germany early access program?
Yes. Thanks for the question, Kevin. The European opportunity will be very significant. And of course, Germany is the second largest market in the world. So for us, it's incredibly important to get off to a really good start and establish, if you will, the pricing corridor.
We're going to be leveraging a number of key markets in Europe that have early access programs and then patient programs. Those are typically the Southern European markets as well as Central and Eastern European markets, and there are some in the North. We would anticipate somewhere between 5 to about up to 10 markets that could potentially contribute during the course of this year and through the first half of next year. And the European opportunity will be incredibly important if we can maintain and we will maintain a very narrow pricing corridor.
But in addition to that, we also expect approval in Japan and Brazil and coming on board there, we will also add some of the momentum that we've built from the U.S. and Europe. So these are 2 also incredibly important markets to our growth in the future.
And the question comes from the line of Ellie Merle from UBS.
This is Tejas on for Ellie. I know you mentioned you had some scripts coming in. Have you guys seen any approvals yet for coverage? I know it's ahead of any drug getting shipped, but just anything anecdotal?
And then a little bit on the ex U.S. opportunity. How does the distribution of patients work in some of these countries? Are they concentrated at major centers? Or are they a bit more spread out through these countries?
Thanks for the questions, Tejas. On the first one, it's still early days to answer that question. So it's nothing more to add on that. But Eric, do you want to talk a little bit about distribution of patients in Europe?
Yes. And just going back on the insurance, we're in the process. We're just in a few days. And so, as you can understand, we're going through the process of insurance verification in the U.S. That process price was lifted, insurance verification and then co-pay assistance, that takes a few days for all that to happen. But as we progress, we'll be providing a little bit more color there.
In terms of major centers of excellence, in fact, I think Germany is a great example where we were able through our compassionate use program to target more than half of the centers in Germany that actually oversee close to 8,000 patients. And with that, our compassionate use program was actually rolled out and has been incredibly important in converting some of those patients immediately. Most of these patients are seen in centers of excellence, very much like the U.S. where you have a patient that's diagnosed at birth. So they're actually moved immediately into that center and followed throughout adolescents and then their adulthood. So we see in Europe a very high concentration in the major cities, and it's really not as diffuse. It's actually far more centralized.
I guess just with those compassionate use programs, just around the world, how many patients are on them, including in the U.S.? And how fast do you think you could convert those?
Yes, Tejas, this was a very specific early access program in Germany that we launched because for 2 reasons. One, with the pricing -- with listing of the price initiating the German launch, those patients pretty quickly turn right over to commercial and also was an opportunity for us to get the drug in the hands of those physicians at the concentrated centers. So we did not institute a global early access program. This was a specific decision made in Germany or a global compassionate use program. This is a specific decision made in Germany due to the dynamics of the launch, listing of the price and the 6 months of free pricing you get as soon as you initiate the launch.
And the question comes from the line of Geoff Meacham from Citigroup.
This is Jarwei on for Geoff. Two questions. Just to your earlier comment on the early scripts coming in, could you provide some color on the cadence and types of patients coming in? Have these patients lined up more with their scheduled visits? Or have these early patients been coming in voluntarily for a medication switch?
And then second question, based on your latest conversations with FDA on vatiquinone, what has been your sense on the agency stance on a broad label for all age groups? And is there a possibility that the agency could perceive demonstration of benefit on certain mFAR subgroups to be more appropriate for certain portions of the patient population? And on that topic of labeling, have those discussions begun?
Thanks for the question, Jarwei. On the first question, look, it's still early days. And what we can tell you is that, there's no rules or patterns we see other than we know there are a lot of patients who are really interested in getting on drug really quickly. We're seeing a lot in social media patients saying we're writing our doctors right away. We're trying to -- we're going to get in as quickly as possible. And again, a lot of the prescription decisions and prescription writing at these centers can be MDs, could be the doctors, could be nurse practitioners. And so, it's really kind of a mix. We've also talked about a lot of centers, particularly in the U.S. having waitlist of patients. So there's -- they can be working off that as well. So there's no clear rules, but exactly as we expected, you're seeing a broad swath of patients wanting to get access to drug and physicians wanting to provide a drug for all those different segments, as Eric has talked about.
On vatiquinone, we would expect, based on our conversations that the label will be inclusive of all age groups, while the MOVE-FA study was focused in pediatric and adolescent patients for whom there's an unmet need without approved therapies now. We have data in adults in that study as well that are consistent with what we've seen in the younger patients as well as data from our longer-term extension studies that were provided in terms of confirmatory evidence, including data from an earlier study where we see in adults, both ambulatory and non-ambulatory, significant effect in terms of slowing of disease progression over years.
So taken together, the data package clearly supports benefit and certainly safety in the full age spectrum and full spectrum of disease severity for FA. We have not gone formally into labeling negotiations yet at this point.
And the question comes from the line of Joon Lee from Truist.
When you talk to the FDA for the Huntington's, my guess is that it will be with CDER, but CBER is also looking at AMT-130 for Huntington's and is expected to run their decision on accelerated approval path this quarter. So given the same disease indication with the decision by CBER, is that any sort of regulatory precedent that may impact CDER and your program?
And also quickly, do you still owe royalties to Shiratori?
Thanks for the questions, Joon. On the first question, we're obviously watching with great interest on the FDA interactions that CBER is having around the gene therapy. Look, we've talked a lot about there's potential benefits of the gene therapy administered to one part of the brain through direct administration to lower HTT. If there's benefits there, we think that reads through incredibly well to lowering Huntington protein throughout the whole brain and to be able to do that in a durable way and also allowing for dose titration and monitoring peripherally of HTT lowering. We've always thought from a development standpoint, there are very good read-throughs. And certainly on the regulatory side, I think there has been increasing desire by the agency to have alignment, particularly when it comes to their views on rare disease, whether it's in CBER or CDER. Obviously, there have been a lot of changes in FDA recently. But I think that concept and that desire to have alignment remains.
So with that in mind, we're clearly very interested in understanding what the pathway could look like as we shared at the PIVOT-HD readout in May, we were very happy to demonstrate the statistically significant benefit after 2 years relative to a well-matched natural history cohort from the ENROLL-HD database, as well as the signals of dose-dependent longer NfL after 24 months. So, obviously, we're going to be very keen to see the FDA's position with regard to using the natural history comparator with [ CH ] to address. Obviously, we have the additional benefit of being able to provide the peripheral Huntington lowering biomarker data as well, which is clearly an important piece of evidence that we're having a favorable effect on what matters most of the disease that toxic Huntington protein.
And then, Pierre, do you want to comment on remaining royalties for Shiratori?
Yes, we still owe low single-digit royalty to Shiratori.
And it comes from the line of Sami Corwin from William Blair.
Congrats on the progress. I was curious if you could provide an update on the Translarna review in the U.S. I think the last we heard there have been some clinical site inspections. And then given your strong balance sheet and revenue projections, what are your thoughts on additional BD opportunities or early pipeline investments?
Thanks for the question, Sami. On Translarna, that NDA remains under active review, as we mentioned that we had had the clinical site inspections completed in the spring. We have got IRs in the early part of the summer that we were able to easily address. And so, now obviously, without the PDUFA date, it's hard to know exactly when the agency will reach an action, but we have had back and forth in terms of IRs in addition to the inspections as we previously talked about.
In terms of the balance sheet, clearly, we still remain with significant firepower and look to do strategic BDs. Pierre, do you want to just talk a little bit how we've been thinking about the potential BD opportunities and timing?
Yes. As Matt mentioned, we have a significant financial position, and we're actively looking at BD opportunities. We have a global infrastructure. We know how to get drug approved globally, and we know how to obviously commercialize this drug worldwide. And so, these are -- so we're looking at assets that we could cast it in our existing infrastructure. Furthermore, we're also looking at pipeline assets that will complement our R&D portfolio, and that's how we're thinking about BD opportunities. And we demonstrated today that we will be disciplined and that we will do transactions that create value for our shareholders.
A kind of follow-up question on the BD. Is there a sweet spot in terms of the stage of clinical development that you're looking at?
Yes. I think we're looking pretty broadly, Sami. I think a lot -- certainly on the commercial side, we'll see what we have in terms of all the regulatory decisions, and that will dictate whether we're busy doing multiple launches or whether we'll have capacity -- commercial capacity with our existing infrastructure to bring something and to continue to develop -- to drive top line revenue. We have a number of things coming from our research platforms coming into the clinic. So it's going to be a matter of looking for an opportunity that can complement what we have already very nicely. But clearly, it will be in our sweet spot of rare disease, could be CNS, could be non-CNS. I think it's going to be something that would have to be the right opportunity that we felt could complement our existing programs and expertise.
And it comes from the line of Joseph Thome from TD Cowen.
This is Peyton on for Joe. So kind of asking a little bit about the vatiquinone scenarios. Saying that it is approved around the PDUFA date, how quickly could you launch therapy? And is there a particular population that you would go after? And then kind of along with that, would you then move it to try and get a registration in Europe? And then in the case that you do not get it approved, would you be open to running another trial? If you can walk us through that as well, that would be great.
So, Peyton, our focus right now is on potential success. So I would say that our teams are in position and ready and the infrastructure is built and we'd be ready to launch this right away. As we talked about with there out being any approved drugs for patients under 16, we clearly see that as the first place that we would go. We are proud of having a long-standing collaboration with the Friedreich's ataxia centers in the U.S., many that treat pediatric patients and treat pediatric and adult patients. So I think it will be relatively -- it will be a very exciting opportunity for us, and we'd be ready to go day 1.
And then if there wasn't success, would you consider running another trial? Or would you shelter the program?
Yes. As I said, we're thinking about success right now. We believe that this is a -- we believe that vatiquinone provides as the data show, an effective therapy, not only for children who need a safe and effective therapy, but also for adults who would benefit from having a safe, well-tolerated and effective treatment option. That's what we believe the data show, and which is what supported the NDA submission. And we can expect that we have a commitment to patients that we will always look to try to support.
And it comes from the line of Luke Herrmann from Baird.
Just 2 quick regulatory ones for me. First, a follow-up on the vatiquinone review. Has FDA given you any sort of indication around when labeling discussions could potentially get underway?
And then second, on Translarna, again, has FDA given you sort of runway or time line for when an action date could be put in place?
Yes. So, Luke, on your first question, there was no formal timetable as we said, the late cycle meeting was just a few weeks ago, and there are still some questions about that we were talking to them about at the time and no specific time line for next steps was given. As you know, I think things are quite busy at FDA these days.
And in terms of the Translarna, and there will not be a PDUFA date issued just given the particulars of that application that it was a resubmission of an NDA that was received the CRL following a submission following an RTF. Anyway, just the legacy of this going back many, many years, it is not going to be as part of the PDUFA program. So PDUFA date will not be given.
And it comes from the line of Paul Choi from Goldman Sachs.
This is Daniel on for Paul. We're curious about like what's the pricing assumption after the 6-month free drug program ends in Germany?
Thanks for the question, Daniel. Eric, do you want to talk about our global pricing strategy?
Yes. Thanks for the question, Daniel. Look, right now, we're working to provide a very narrow pricing corridor. We've already announced the price in the U.S. and in Germany. They're very close to each other. In fact, we anticipate with the launch of Japan and other European markets to maintain that very narrow pricing corridor.
Regarding your specific question, it's a process in Germany. The AMNOG process provides you free pricing. And then after that 6 months later, we will be in negotiations following a medical benefit assessment, and we'll be supporting that with all of the clinical data to help differentiate for all the same reasons why patients in Germany should actually obtain Sephience, particularly those who are poorly controlled who have failed. And I think the real-world data over the next 6 months and the support from our key opinion leaders and centers are going to help us with that benefit assessment. So stay tuned. This is a process that will take at least 12 months during the whole process for us to work. And I think we're very optimistic about maintaining a very close and narrow pricing corridor.
And the question comes from the line of Gena Wang from Barclays.
I have one regarding Sephience. Just want to confirm that there is no IP protection and it will be rely on the orphan designation market exclusivity in U.S., Europe and Japan. And I missed the beginning part of the call, just apologize if already asked. So should we start to see revenue contribution in 3Q '25?
And then second question is very quickly regarding the vatiquinone in FAE (sic) [ FA ]. I know you mentioned that late cycle review was discussed a few weeks ago. And just wondering if you can provide a little bit more color what was discussed during that late cycle review. And then any label discussion come up during the discussion or afterwards?
Thank you, Gena. Let me correct the first question. We have guided IP to 2039. We have a polymorph patent that goes out to 2038 that we believe will provide -- it's a combination of matter of polymorph that we believe can support protection through 2038 and then conservatively estimating at least a year of patent term extension beyond that to 2039. And of course, we're continuing to work to expand, as we always do, the IP portfolio to see if we can take protection even further beyond 2039. And that applies, not only to the U.S., the 2039 guidance, but to the key markets globally.
We have -- we will expect there to be revenue in Q3 from Sephience as we have already begun delivering commercial product in Germany, and we've gotten patient start forms in the U.S. and expect to be able to ship Sephience to patients in the next couple of weeks. We've said that there's -- in the wide guidance that there is some new product revenue baked in there and that upper end of the guidance that stays $800 million is allowing for the potential of upside from new products.
In terms of vatiquinone in the late cycle meeting was a relatively brief meeting that -- where we discussed the -- mainly focused on discussion of the evidence where they are in their review and their assurances that they're actually still working through the review. Not surprisingly, one of the main questions of the review is the fact that upright stability wasn't prespecified as a primary endpoint, would that support persuasiveness of evidence of effect, which along with the confirmatory evidence could support approval. Of course, they acknowledged and we're all aware of their recent guidance that others have received that upright stability can itself be an efficacy endpoint and has -- it will be used as a primary endpoint, for example, in the SKYCLARYS pediatric trial, which I think supports the FDA's evolving understanding that upright stability is the most relevant measurement of efficacy in ambulatory pediatric and adolescent patients. As we said, we've not had any labeling discussions beyond anything that was discussed in the late cycle meeting at this time.
And it comes from the line of Joseph Schwartz from Leerink Partners.
This is Jenny on for Joe. I just have a few follow-ups on vatiquinone. First, has the FDA given any indication that the review has been delayed and/or may be delayed due to staffing issues? We know it's kind of crazy over there. And then if approved, should we be looking at the SKYCLARYS launch as a template? And if not, how should we be thinking about that? And do you see any potential for combinations of SKYCLARYS and vatiquinone in FA patients?
Thanks for the question, Jenny. There was no discussion of not meeting time lines. I'm not sure there would be one even if there was a chance that could happen. I think we all understand that there has been a lot of changes over at FDA and a lot of work. And certainly, we've seen examples as recently as this week of programs from the neurology division, maybe not getting -- meeting certain time lines. But look, we look forward to continuing to work collaboratively with the division and getting to what we hope will be a positive outcome on time and if not on time, when the time can be.
As we talked about, we see the launch dynamics being quite different for a number of reasons. I can let Eric go into that. Do you want to talk a bit about...
Yes. I think we have an experienced team already that have been calling for the last 8.5 years in pediatric neurology. So we've already profiled all the key centers specific to FA. And we know the prescribers. We know through claims data where they are and the high unmet needs plus the clinical differentiation. So we're already very well poised to launch and begin the process like we have with Sephience to get patient start forms on day 1.
Our teams, not only are experienced in this, but we're looking at a number of different things, which include, not only the pediatric, but a number of those patients who are adults who have failed on SKYCLARYS and some of them are poorly controlled, and there's still quite a bit of naive patients. So all in all, I think the opportunity is very significant, and our team is experienced and ready to go on day 1.
Yes. And then to your other -- just add to that also, we would see -- we wouldn't expect there to be any monitoring. And obviously, the pediatric patients have a much different dynamic than adults do. So I think we would see the launch dynamics quite different for that reason.
And in terms of combination therapy, look, I think it's something that people talk about. I think those close to the FA community have always believed rightfully so that Friedreich's ataxia is going to be optimally managed with the cocktail of therapies like any other complex disorder. So we certainly imagine that they'd be interested in looking at combining both vatiquinone and SKYCLARYS.
Excuse me, Jenny, any further questions?
No, that's it.
Dear speakers, there are no further questions. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Matthew Klein. Please go ahead.
Thank you all again for joining the call today. We're excited to have had another strong quarter. We're still seeing continued contributions, meaningful contributions from our DMD franchise, which is great because we now can have that in hand as we now embark on the future, which is the launch of Sephience, and we're incredibly excited how things are going in the early days and all indicators we're seeing from everywhere in the world that this will meet our expectations of being our foundational product for building PTC going forward.
So thank you all again, and have a great evening.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now all disconnect. Have a nice day.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Special Call - PTC Therapeutics, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to PTC Therapeutics Sephience FDA Approval Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's call is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the call over to Ellen Cavaleri, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you for joining to discuss the FDA approval of Sephience. I'm joined by our Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Matthew Klein; our Chief Business Officer, Eric Pauwels; and our Chief Financial Officer, Pierre Gravier. Before we begin, I refer you to our forward-looking statements, which are posted on our website, as well as the risk factors in our most recent 10-K.
I will now pass the call over to our CEO, Dr. Matthew Klein.
Thank you all for joining us today at this pivotal moment for PTC and the PKU community. I'm very excited to announce the FDA approval of sepiapterin, a once-daily oral therapy for children and adults with PKU that will be commercialized under the trade name Sephience. Sephience was approved with a broad label inclusive of all disease subtypes and all ages from 1 month of age upwards.
I want to begin by thanking all the patients and families who have participated in the Sephience clinical studies as well as the physicians, dietitians and care teams at our clinical trial sites. And a very big thank you to the patient organizations, including the National PKU Alliance and flok for their continued partnership.
As we have discussed, we expect Sephience will be the foundational product for PTC's sustainable growth and path to profitability, and I'm incredibly proud of our team's efforts to help reach this important milestone. With FDA approval, Sephience is positioned to become the new standard of care for children and adults living with PKU. The data from the Sephience clinical program demonstrated the therapy's ability to provide robust phenylalanine level reductions and the potential for PKU patients to liberalize their highly restrictive diets. Efficacy has been demonstrated across all key disease subgroups, including BH4 nonresponsive patients with classical PKU. In addition, Sephience has been demonstrated to be safe and well tolerated.
There is a significant Sephience commercial opportunity. There are an estimated 17,000 PKU patients in the U.S. with over 300 additional individuals diagnosed annually through newborn screening. Despite there being 2 approved therapies, there remains a significant unmet need as the vast majority of patients are not on any therapy and would benefit from a safe, well-tolerated and highly effective treatment. We believe the Sephience revenue opportunity in the U.S. exceeds $1 billion, given the strength of the clinical data and the ability for Sephience to address all key patient segments.
In addition, we have experienced customer-facing teams to maximize the revenue opportunity. Our teams have demonstrated the ability to successfully commercialize rare disease therapies, including starting and maintaining patients in genericized and competitive markets. Furthermore, we have guided to having IP protection at least until 2039. We are all incredibly excited to have reached this approval milestone and to begin making Sephience available to all those who may benefit.
I will now turn the call over to Eric, who will provide details on our U.S. commercial launch. Eric?
Thank you, Matt. I want to begin by expressing our immense excitement at reaching this significant milestone. For the past decade, our customer-facing teams have successfully launched multiple products globally. None hold greater importance for the future growth of PTC than the launch of Sephience in the U.S. today. Our goal is to swiftly deliver this highly differentiated therapy to the thousands of PKU patients living with the burden of this lifelong debilitating disease.
We have a world-class commercial team ready to successfully launch Sephience. Our teams consist of experienced in-house employees with rare disease experience across all functions, including marketing, sales, medical, market access, patient engagement and patient support services. We are well positioned to leverage our core launch capabilities and more than 8 years of experience in commercializing Emflaza to drive early and rapid Sephience adoption. We are ready to launch and expect first shipments to the U.S. patients in August.
I would like to share some details on the key aspects of our Sephience launch plan, including the PKU landscape, our customer engagement strategy, our access and pricing strategy and finally, our launch metrics. It will be clear that we have the knowledge, experience, passion and plan to realize the full potential of the Sephience commercial opportunity.
I will begin with a review of the PKU landscape and our customer engagement strategy. Our team has profiled over 1,200 potential prescribers at 104 PKU centers of excellence. These prescribers and centers will be our immediate focus as they account for more than 80% of the PKU claims data and treat the highest concentration of U.S. patients. As Matt mentioned, our data support the ability to address all key segments and the full spectrum of the approximate 17,000 patients in the U.S.
In terms of sequencing, our initial focus is on the patients who recently failed or are not well controlled on existing therapy and those who could be switched from existing oral therapies. These patients account for approximately 40% of the PKU population in the U.S. Our focus will then progress to treatment-naive patients who could benefit from a new effective treatment.
To date, our customer-facing teams have focused on providing disease state education, but will now pivot to educate and promote the benefits of Sephience to health care providers. To complement our face-to-face promotional efforts, we have developed digital tools, social media channels, online disease awareness campaigns and advanced customer analytics to drive brand awareness of Sephience.
In addition, we continue to engage with the PKU community to empower patients and caregivers to have informed discussions with their health care providers about the potential benefits of Sephience. Our key initiatives with organizations such as the National PKU Alliance and flok include patient education programs and PTC Reimagines PKU, where patients and caregivers opt in and share personal experiences with the community. We look forward to continuing to build on these already strong relationships with these key stakeholders.
Now I will detail the work our teams have done on market access to ensure immediate uptake at the time of launch. Effective market access involves the work of our regional account managers, medical science liaisons, market access experts, patient engagement specialists and case managers. These teams are dedicated to educating health care professionals on the benefits and differentiated profile of Sephience and ensuring PKU patients have access to care. I want to specifically emphasize the crucial role of our PTC Cares team in the launch. This group of case managers provides white-glove service to each patient, offering insurance verification, co-pay assistance and coordinating specialty pharmacy shipments to help patients quickly start and stay on Sephience therapy.
The PTC Cares team is ready today to process patient start forms and address Sephience inquiries from patients and health care providers. Our market access teams also bring years of real-world experience with Emflaza in efficiently managing prior authorizations and step edits and are ready to proactively manage insurance requirements. I also want to highlight PTC's long-standing and unwavering commitment to ensure that all eligible patients receive access to our treatments. All commercially insured PKU patients can expect a $0 co-pay per month upon enrolling in our PTC care program, and we anticipate that most individuals with Medicaid and Medicare coverage will have nominal out-of-pocket costs.
I will now detail our payer discussions and pricing strategy. A key aspect to the success of the Sephience launch is its compelling value proposition for payers. Throughout the year, our team has engaged with national and regional payers in preparation for launch. Based on the robust Sephience data from our clinical trials and insights from our extensive market research, payers recognize the unmet need, the disease burden and the clearly differentiated profile and strong value proposition of Sephience. Both commercial and government payers indicate they expect very low barriers for access to Sephience with typical prior authorization requirements linked to the indication on the label and only a small number of payers potentially requiring step edits.
In setting the price for Sephience, our primary objectives were to leverage brand differentiation and minimize payer restrictions while maintaining a narrow global pricing corridor as we introduce Sephience in the U.S. and other key markets worldwide. The U.S. wholesale acquisition cost of Sephience is $41,000 per month based on an average patient weight of 45 kilograms. This average weight is estimated from our clinical studies and long-term claims data of sapropterin in the U.S.
Health care providers will determine the prescription dosage for each individual patient and adjust dosage accordingly over time. Sephience will be available in 250-milligram and 1,000-milligram sachets that is easily diluted in a convenient, once-daily oral formulation. The final net price to payers will be determined by compliance, adherence and our payer mix, which we expect to be approximately 65% commercial and 35% Medicaid, Medicare.
Finally, we would like to share the launch metrics that we intend to provide externally. We expect to share the number of patients on commercial therapy, patient start forms received, the payer mix and health care provider prescribing and payer dynamics. We plan to initially share these metrics along with the progress from our international launches starting at our third quarter earnings call.
In summary, we are incredibly proud to make Sephience available to the PKU community in the U.S. and worldwide. We believe the clinical profile and our expertise in launching rare disease therapies position Sephience to become the future standard of care. We stand ready to support all children and adults with PKU to access this new, highly effective treatment.
I will conclude by extending my heartfelt gratitude to the PKU community for its unwavering support of PTC over the years, helping us reach this important milestone of FDA approval. Our team is excited to continue our partnership with the PKU community long into the future.
I will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question coming from the line of Kristen Kluska with Cantor Fitzgerald.
2. Question Answer
Huge congratulations to the team on this approval and great day for the PKU community. First question I had for you is you made a comment that you're targeting about 80% of the focus from the claims data. But how large is the claims data relative to the actual prevalence since in this indication, we know it because of newborn screening?
Kristen, thank you for the question and the congratulations. It is indeed an exciting day for the community. Just want to emphasize first that we intend to target the entire population of 17,000 patients given the label and given the data supporting that we can reach all of those segments. I think -- I don't know if, Eric, you want to break down a little bit of what those data you talked about referred to. But really, this is just -- Kristen, these are just sort of overall guides and directional in terms of early efforts and are all estimates, but I'll let Eric provide a little more detail.
Yes. Kristen, thanks for the question. We're really targeting these centers of excellence. There's 104 of them, and approximately 1,200 health care providers really sit in these, what we call Tier 1 or upper decile. These are physicians that have a significant amount of PKU patients. And what we're doing right now is targeting the entire population, but there is really a two-pronged approach in terms of our targeting strategy. The first one really is obviously to make Sephience available to all patients in the U.S. However, we're focusing really on those centers that are engaged with treatment already as well as differentiating Sephience with those patients who have failed on existing therapies. So if we look at our overall deciles and the prevalency, 80% really accounts for approximately 104 of those centers of excellence.
Okay. And then I know you said that the naive patient group is a big focus in addition to the ones that previously failed or couldn't tolerate other medicines. But do we have a sense of the breakdown of naive patients that are naive just because the subtypes of PKU they had weren't appropriate for other medications such as classical? Or is it other reasons just that there's no impact to diet liberalization, so they didn't really have any interest to get on any drugs in the first place? I guess I'm really just trying to understand why there are so many patients with PKU that remain treatment-naive despite 2 therapies on the market before today.
I think, Kristen, it's a little -- it's what you said. It's hard to pinpoint the exact breakdown, but there are a number of factors that account for that sort of therapy naive. Part of it is an understanding from past experience that there are certain patients, i.e., classical patients who tend not to have benefited from sapropterin, either generic or branded, right? That's one. And then there's others that are -- were tried but didn't fail -- or didn't succeed or weren't able to get enough of a benefit that it made it worth taking a therapy in addition to the highly restrictive diets. I don't know that we have an exact breakdown of which falls into both camp, but they're all grouped in an area.
And as Eric alluded to, a lot of these patients have had recent contact with specialty centers, with these centers of excellence, and that's really going to be part of that first wave that we're hearing about that are on some of the waiting lists that we've all heard about in addition to those who are already on Kuvan or sapropterin, either branded or generic. And our data consistently show that patients who have any benefit in Phe reduction with sapropterin have had a much greater reduction on Sephience. So that's why we're seeing that first wave consisting of both of those groups of patients.
Okay. And one last question for me. In the instances where there will be step edits, is a blood test to determine Phe levels good enough here? Or what about if the patient has said that they've had prior exposure with the branded drug?
Eric, do you want to cover that [indiscernible]?
Yes. I think -- in our payer meetings, what we know is that step edits are really easily managed. These patients here, especially that target group, which is very substantial that have either failed or on current therapies right now that are looking for a more effective therapy, there's already prior documentation. So what we've seen with most of our payer research as well as the meetings that we've had is that there will be very minimal step edits. And it will be a very simple test that we can do in a matter of days or weeks if required.
The vast majority of payers are -- would actually require prior authorization just to the label. And our face-to-face meetings have really documented that. And keep in mind that these health care providers and these centers are experts because they've had current therapies and they've been able to get Phe reductions very quickly and been able to get those information back to us so that we can get patients on Sephience.
Our next question coming from the line of Judah Frommer with Morgan Stanley.
Congrats on the approval from FDA, very exciting. Just a couple of follow-ups. I guess, first, just in terms of patients that have failed prior therapy, how engaged are they with their physician or with their care team? Is there -- we've been hearing that there's a risk of patients being kind of lost to follow-up the older they get and the further away they've gotten from effective therapy.
And then second, just -- you mentioned kind of $1 billion peak sales opportunity, which is probably a bit higher than consensus. Is there anything you'd highlight specifically that makes up for the delta between that $1 billion and where consensus peak sales are currently? Is it market share? Did you notice anything in pricing or anything like that?
Thanks for the questions, Judah. Let me tackle the second one first and say it's -- I think consensus is where it is, and there's a broad range of estimates. And I think it's not just one. I think now that we have the price, I think everyone can now appropriately put what we think in terms -- what pricing looks like. As we've said, we intended to price at a premium to Palynziq given the highly differentiated features of Sephience and the discussions we've had with payers based on the value of the therapy that the therapy brings both in terms of efficacy as well as safety, which, of course, is very important.
So we've always said, if you look at the population of 17,000 patients and looked at the fact that the vast majority of patients are not currently on a therapy and take estimates of market penetration for a highly differentiated orphan therapy, plug in the price, what we said, what the average price is based on 45 kilos and the math gets you, I think, pretty -- to our $1 billion estimate and maybe in some cases, more. But we've been very clear that we believe this is at least $1 billion opportunity in the U.S. And of course, there's also the contributions ex U.S. We're incredibly excited about the European approval. The German launch is underway. The European launch is underway. And we expect there to be contributions outside the U.S. from Europe, from Japan, from Brazil and from other countries around the world as we said this is a global launch.
Regarding your first question, there are -- as Eric mentioned in his presentation, there's these patients who may have failed in that first wave who are still pretty attached to the centers, right? Just because they're not on the therapy, there's still a need to interact with the centers, the dietitians because diet modification, diet nutrition supplements are then the mainstay of therapy for those who are not on pharmacologic treatment. And then there are those who may be a little more distant from the centers just in terms of time.
But I think this is a misnomer. They've been called by some lost to follow-up and what we hear from the patients is, we're not lost. We're actually right here. And we've heard that there's a great deal of interest for many to get on a therapy that could be effective in reducing phenylalanine, could be effective in allowing for diet liberalization and be safe and well tolerated. So that group may not be the first wave we're targeting in the launch, but we already have plans and already have work underway to begin to make sure that we access those patients because, as Eric said, we're very much committed to making sure that any individual who may benefit from this therapy can receive it.
And our next question coming from the line of Tazeen Ahmad from Bank of America.
I apologize for the background noise. I have a couple of questions. Can you clarify if you're going to be doing a free drug program, at least initially as part of the launch? Secondly, I know it's a little bit of a range, but curious how you're thinking about the time it's going to take at least initially from the time a doctor writes the script until the patient receives drug. And then I have one more follow-up after that.
Tazeen, thank you very much for the questions. Eric, do you want to take those?
Yes, sure. Thanks for the questions, Tazeen. I mean, right now, we have no -- we are not planning on offering free drugs simply because we know that Sephience is a very convenient and oral therapy that can -- where we can measure Phe within a matter of days or weeks. And payers like that. They like to see a very rapid response. Payers right now will look more for Phe reduction than anything else, and we can measure that very quickly. When we presented the profile, payers have said that there's no need for free drug here. So there -- we won't be rolling out a program on that.
With regards to time from patient start form to actual fill, we anticipate that to be very dependent on whether or not there's a step edit or prior authorization. However, I would say that the centers of excellence are really quite experienced at this. Again, they've had treatments, high-cost treatments for PKU and rare disease, and they've been able to get products through in matters of days or weeks. Now this is going to depend, of course, depending on whether it's private commercial insurance or Medicaid or Medicare. But we would anticipate shipping products sometime in the next few weeks to patients here in the United States. And the time frame could be days and probably no longer than a few weeks other -- outside of a step edit.
Okay. And the last question is, how should we be thinking about gross to net maybe for the rest of this year? We know it will improve over time, but if you can give us some guidance for modeling.
Yes, sure. I think that's going to vary a little bit because it's going to depend on the payer mix. Right now, we're estimating approximately 65% of the patients that will be on commercial plans and then about 35% will be on Medicare, Medicaid or some kind of government plan. Now in the initial phase of the launch, we could have probably more private plans initially. And then over time, that would recalibrate. So it's going to be kind of hard to give you that specific number right now. But I can tell you that, that will be one of the metrics that we'll be providing in our upcoming calls.
And our next question coming from the line of Ellie Merle with UBS.
Congratulations on the approval. Just in terms of the patient segmentation, you mentioned that about 40% of the U.S. population have either failed or are not well controlled on therapies. I guess what's the mix in that 40% of those who have failed versus those that are not well controlled? And I guess of those that have failed, how often do these patients still see their physician or are actively under care? And I guess of those that have failed, what's the mix between pediatric and adults? And then lastly, in terms of the initial uptake, what's your expectation in terms of the mix between pediatrics and adults?
Yes. Thanks for the questions, Ellie. Just to clarify, I think the 40% that Eric gave was just of those who have been closely or had contact with the centers within the past year. I think in terms of thinking of the overall population, the number we've shared previously that have tried -- we've said about 70% of patients have tried therapies, and maybe about 70% of them have tried and failed.
So again, these are all estimates. It's very hard to have exact numbers. But the number Eric referred specifically to is what our research indicates of those patients who've been in close contact within, say, the past year or so in terms of trying or failing with the centers, which is why there are folks who have recently expressed an interest in being on a drug or recently tried or failed and sort of a prevalent at the centers and would be a logical part of a first wave of patients who might get on drug in addition to anyone who's currently on a therapy that would switch.
I don't know we have an exact breakdown of kids versus adults. But Eric, do you want to talk a little bit how we're thinking about just pediatric versus adult in that initial wave of patients that we treat in the early launch?
Yes. And to Matt's point -- thanks for the question because to Matt's point, really, we're targeting those who have actually seen their physicians very recently, and that's a very substantial number. Over 40% of these 17,000 patients have been in their physicians' office at least once or twice during the course of the year and have either failed or poorly controlled on treatment. So you know that they're actually very engaged in their treatment.
And there's another percentage of them, obviously, that are on existing treatments that may benefit from a new therapy. This is a cohort of patients that are very, very engaged in therapy. And if you want to call it the low-hanging fruit, those are the ones we'll be going after in those 104 centers because we know that they visit their physicians pretty regularly. Your question about how often do they visit, the ones who are actively engaged will visit their offices at least once or twice a year, sometimes more frequently and of course, have different ways of communicating to their physicians.
In terms of split between pediatric and adults, we anticipate to have probably a little bit more of the pediatric or, I would say, adolescent population given that there is approximately 45 kilograms in the average weight. We know that there's a very high unmet need, particularly in classical patients and others with high Phe levels. Physicians have indicated that those patients who are younger and adolescents are going to be the areas they'll want to treat first because of the high unmet need. And of course, Phe control, diet control and the long-term cognitive consequences are one of the priorities. So we anticipate probably in the initial stages more adolescent and pediatric. But over time, we're looking at everyone in that 17,000 population.
And our next question coming from the line of Kelly Shi with Jefferies.
This is [ Jenna ] on the line for Kelly, and we wanted to offer our congratulations on the approval as well. We wanted to -- we noticed on the label -- seems to mention a restrictive diet. So we're wondering how do you plan to highlight your diet liberalization data in your marketing efforts? And to what extent do you expect that to help engage and convert patients? And we have a second question, which is that we noticed you mentioned you're looking to switch patients from current orals. Could you comment on potential switch dynamics with Palynziq as well?
So [ Jenna ], thank you very much for the questions and for the congratulations. The -- just -- your first question was about it saying that -- in the label saying that Sephience should be used in conjunction with a Phe-restricted diet. And that's just a fairly standard view from the FDA to remind that a lot of patients start on the diet, they would then get a therapy and that the diet should be monitored along with the therapy so that when diet liberalization or if diet liberalization occurs, it should be done under proper guidance. And that's something that we've heard a lot about from patients in the study that the nutritionists work very closely with the patients to ensure a gradual liberalization of the diet.
I think one thing is for sure true from the feedback we've heard that our presentations and publications have gotten the word out that in the long-term extension study, the interim data we've reported already to date show that patients have been able to liberalize their diet, those in the Phe tolerance portion of the protocol. We've previously presented that 97% of the patients in that protocol have been able to liberalize their diet and that 2/3 are reaching above the recommended daily allowance of protein, which again is very important and impressive results for patients. So those data are known. We will leave it to the physicians and the health -- the nutritionists and the health care teams to work with the patients to ensure that when appropriate, the diet is being liberalized in a thoughtful manner.
In terms of the -- your second question was regarding switch patients and the current oral therapy and switch dynamic from Palynziq. I don't know, Eric, do you want to comment on what we've heard in terms of our physician work on that?
Yes. We had a lot of work with current therapies. And obviously, if a patient is doing well on Palynziq, that's not going to be our initial focus. We're looking for all patients who are on therapy who potentially are looking for a more effective oral therapy, a convenient oral therapy. And we know that Palynziq has its limitations. It's for adults only. It has a lengthy titration period. There are safety and anaphylaxis issues. And of course, it's an injection that has a certain degree of burden for patients.
We believe that Sephience is really going to be the potential standard of care because it should be the first-line oral therapy that provides a broad spectrum of efficacy to all patients, including those who have been on Palynziq. But anecdotally, while we have heard patients who have failed on Palynziq, of course, we will provide Sephience therapy. But patients who are stable is not our initial focus.
Our next question coming from the line of Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets.
My congratulations as well. Two questions for me. First off, just on the price point, I think you've talked about a premium to existing therapy. It is substantially higher than what's out there. So I guess I'm curious if we could talk a little bit more about what shaped your pricing decision and the degree to which that particular price point was tested with payers? And then secondly, I was hoping if you could expand a little bit more on the wait list out there at the centers of excellence, just the scope of those wait lists and maybe the time lines for center readiness to prescribe and for formulary placement that would enable prescription.
Brian, thanks very much for the questions. I'll just make a quick comment on the wait list and then let Eric tackle your question about price and then a little more color on the center dynamics. So as we've talked about, the feedback we've gotten is that as we did our work in mapping the centers of excellence, the care teams at the centers of excellence, it's our understanding that a number of them have generated lists of patients who either expressed interest to get on Sephience as soon as possible or individuals that the centers know would be very good initial candidates to get on drug, whether that means switching someone who's on once-a-day oral therapy for one that has been shown to be highly effective and safe and well tolerated or maybe someone who's tried and failed, for example.
We've also had our opt-in program, which Eric mentioned on the call, PTC Reimagines PKU. And that's an opportunity not only for patients and families, but caregivers and others to opt into us then to provide them information and start the process of helping them get on the therapy. So we think both of these approaches will be very helpful in that initial wave of the launch. Again, let me let Eric talk about the thinking that went into our pricing decisions and then if there's any additional color he wants to give on the wait list dynamics.
Thanks, Brian. We've had a lot of engagement with payers, not only through market research, but also we've had our teams, our field-based teams that have been engaged with many payers. In fact, right now, I think the total count is over 220 million lives that have been covered, and it represents a very good mix between both commercial and government. What we learned from those payers in talking about not only Sephience and then in market research and presenting different pricing is that there is -- they realize that PKU has a burden of disease. It's very high and that there's unmet need still and that they clearly see the product differentiation based on the clinical profile.
What we also learned is that they don't spend a lot of money. There's a very low budget impact for PKU treatment and care overall, especially since there are multiple plans and there are a few patients distributed through these plans. When we presented the price as well as the clinical profile, payers have said that there's a high willingness to pay for an effective therapy that works across a broad range of patients. And importantly, it's something that they can measure very quickly in a matter of days or weeks so that they don't waste time, months, whatever, trying to get through and understand the therapy is quick.
HCPs and health care providers and caregivers know it's a lifelong disease, but they also want to measure the results of Phe reduction. When we presented price points in research, it's been well received. It's been very consistent with many analogues that have been launched in the last 12 months in the rare disease space. And when we've again looked at the profile, they've said they don't expect minimal restrictions, very, very minimal restrictions, and that would be prior authorizations to the label. There might be a small number of payers that would implement a step edit.
But I'd remind you that our PTC Cares team have done this for the last 8.5 years with Emflaza and doing this against prednisone, which is a very low-cost alternative. And we'll be able to measure Phe reductions with existing therapies and move them quickly through to Sephience. So overall, I would say payer response has been very positive, and we continue to plan further meetings with our payers here over the next few weeks.
Our next question coming from the line of Sami Corwin with William Blair.
Congrats on the approval. I was curious if there is a stipulation in the label that patients need to be sepiapterin responsive. I was wondering how exactly that's being determined. And then is there any way that you will be able to track or share compliance data as well?
Yes. Sure, Sami. On the first part, sepiapterin responsive, I think this is really something that the agency has included now in all PKU therapies that basically patients who are on the drug should respond to the drug. In the label, they talk about trying -- that patients should be started out at the -- if you were over 2 years old, at the 60 mg per kg dose, and there'd be an expectation that there'd be some lowering of Phe over the first few weeks on therapy. So that's really what they were referring to that there should be some demonstrated lowering of Phe if someone initiates the therapy.
We did not highlight compliance data in the initial information that we're going to give. That could be something that we'll look to do later on in the launch as we better understand those dynamics.
Our next question coming from the line of Geoff Meacham with Citigroup.
Congrats on approval. Just have a couple. It sounds like you expect initial access to be pretty good, but I want to get your perspective on the use or whether you'll deploy patient assistance programs and how that could help initially. And then the second question is, how would you characterize the level of physician engagement pre-approval? I guess I'm trying to get a sense for whether you'll see a bolus dynamic at the onset or more maybe the steady add as patients come in for regular scheduled visits.
Geoff, thanks for the questions. Let me take the second one, and I'll give the first -- I'll have Eric talk about the -- thinking about PAP programs and the like. So we've had a high level of engagement with both the physician and the patient community. This is -- for us, once we start work in a rare disease that we understand that doing -- working with the rare disease community includes the whole community, including physicians, the care teams, including nurse practitioners and dietitians who often make prescribing decisions at these centers and then, of course, with the patient groups and work very closely with them.
So we know that there is a great deal of enthusiasm across the board. It's been shared with us from a number of physicians, from a number of patients to get on therapy as soon as possible. As we've talked about, this is a high morbidity with PKU and the potential of having an oral, safe, well-tolerated and effective therapy that can lower phenylalanine and potentially enable liberalization of diet is a very compelling profile for patients and for physicians.
We're also in this unique situation where the fact that there have been other therapies on the market, there's an understanding in the community of the dynamics of prescribing a drug, what that looks like and those types of dynamics that in other rare diseases, when we're the first one, there's a little bit of a learning curve everyone goes on. That's not the case here. And then, of course, there's newborn screening as well. So there really is a prevalent population that's ready, willing and desiring to get on a therapy and an engaged physician and health care team community ready to also engage and get patients on therapy.
Eric, do you want to talk a little bit about PTC Cares, PAP and the way we think about patient support?
Yes. And this is something that we've been doing for the last 8.5 years. And again, I think to Matt's point, PKU centers that we've been calling on, over 104 centers are experienced in this and have been experienced for years now and decades in not only prescribing oral but injectable therapies, self-administered therapies, but high-cost therapies. So they understand prior authorizations. They understand steps. They also understand that we have to be exceptional at servicing PKU patients, and that's what we are prepared to do.
And to Matt's point, we've been staffed with experienced teams right now. They will be taking patient start forms as of tomorrow, and we will be beginning the process as we do, which is insurance verification. Patients, when they opt into the PTC Cares enrollment, they will have a 0 co-pay for any monthly prescription that they have. Through that process, if there are step edits, our field-based teams coordinate with case managers to ensure that those are done quickly and effectively and brought forward so that patients can be put on Sephience therapy. So we have had a really, really good experience with the DMD community, and we want that to be translated with that white-glove service that our PTC Cares team will now provide for the PKU community.
Our next question coming from the line of Joon Lee with Truist Securities.
Congrats on the approval. Is there a standard accepted definition of not well controlled on existing therapies who may be candidates for Sephience? Is it a certain plasma levels of Phe or inability to liberalize diet or something else? And also, our protein needs differ by age. And would that guide you in targeting a specific age group?
Thanks for the questions, Joon. On your first one, look, I don't know that there's a scientific or an exact numeric definition of not well controlled. We know that in clinical trials, we have looked at thresholds of a 15% reduction of phenylalanine. Our primary analysis was based on those who had a 30% reduction. But I think the name of the game for PKU patients, and as Eric said, it's the name of the game for payers, too, they tie value to phenylalanine lowering.
And so the idea for a patient, they like to have some lowering ideally. It might be lowering enough that you feel different, lowering enough that you can come back off your highly restricted diet. So I think it may mean different things to different people, and physicians may each have their different definition. But I think one of the things that -- one of the most impressive pieces of data from the Sephience trials was that in the run-in portion, we had 2/3 of patients having a greater than 30% reduction. That's all-comers from the full spectrum of disease, including the more severe classical patients.
We had 75% of patients having an over 15% reduction, and 84% of the patients in the trial got to beneath 360 micromolar per liter, which is important for 2 reasons: one, that's the target threshold of phenylalanine lowering; and two, that's the point at which patients should start being able to liberalize their diet. So the data -- our data really support -- the Sephience data show that we're getting significant reductions across a broad spectrum and a large population of PKU patients.
And then your second question was about protein lowering being different at different ages and will that go into our maybe targeting of patients. Not at all.
Right. Protein needs, are they -- are there certain age groups that may need to have greater protein intake for growth or development that might particularly benefit from Sephience?
Yes. I think the -- look, we would argue that the full spectrum could -- age spectrum and severity spectrum could benefit from Sephience. I would say that was well understood, and it's the reason why there's newborn screening for PKU is that neurodevelopment, neurocognition are intimately linked to phenylalanine levels. And that's -- again, that's why there's newborn screening so that individuals with PKU can get on low-protein diets as soon as possible to minimize phenylalanine levels and optimize neurodevelopment and neurocognition.
And so this idea that lower is important and that's important across the full age spectrum. But again, I think that we do expect there to be adoption of the therapy at the very early ages. That's why having a label down to 1 month in the U.S. and no lower limit in Europe are so important. And as Eric said, we expect early on that, that probably 2/3 of the patients will be pediatric and adolescent. But again, over time, we expect to be able to capture the full age range.
Our next question coming from the line of Luke Herrmann with Baird.
Congrats on the approval. So are there any insights thus far into your European launch experience that have informed your strategy in the U.S.? And then while not the initial focus, can you provide some insight on how strategy for the treatment-naive group might differ functionally from the initial launch?
Yes. Thanks for the question. So it's early days in Europe. And I would say that, look, one of the advantages here is that we've got global commercial teams that have been doing rare disease commercialization for years. And so we have a European team that is very understanding of this particular dynamics in Europe. We have an outstanding team overseeing the launch in Germany that certainly understands the dynamics within Germany.
We have highlighted that we had an early access program in Germany for 2 reasons -- prior to launch for 2 reasons. One was to get a number of patients on therapy who could be rapidly converted to commercial therapy upon launch, which occurred on July 15 with the listing of the price and [ allowed tax ]. And then also to get into and get experience at the top -- get the physicians in the top centers in Germany experienced with the drug so that while they may not have all of their patients in early access, they certainly get familiar with the drug. And so far, we're seeing that strategy is paying off.
Obviously, in the U.S., we have an incredibly experienced and accomplished set of customer-facing teams, incredibly enthusiastic for this launch. And as Eric highlighted, this is a team that's very experienced in understanding every step of the patient journey, all the complexities of market access and having done this from Emflaza where I would say there's elements that are much more complex than they'll be for PKU. They stand at the ready to really deliver on the launch.
Our next question coming from the line of Joseph Thome with TD Cowen.
Congratulations on the approval. Great to see, especially in a challenging FDA environment. Maybe the first one, just on the responsiveness, the biochemical response period. I noticed on the label, you do have to demonstrate that within the first 2 weeks. I know in part 1 of the study, about 2/3 of patients had a 30% or greater reduction in Phe and they were termed biochemical responders. I guess is that what we should be thinking about when we think about what payers and clinicians want to see when they think about biochemical responsiveness? Or is this more of like an arbitrary, let's just make sure the drug is showing some level of activity? And then perhaps related to that, is the initial script then, I guess, for a 2-week period? And are you sampling? Or kind of how should we think about that transition from demonstrating responsiveness to a commercial patient?
Thanks for the questions, Joe. I'll take the first one and then pass to Eric for the second one. So in terms -- while it says responsive, there should be a response within 2 weeks, I think -- and then it also says in the label then if you can adjust the dose and see what happens in the next 2 weeks, there is no magnitude of lowering that has been sort of designated in the label. So I think it leaves that open. Again, we've talked about how in our studies, we've looked at 15%. That was the qualification to get into the placebo-controlled portion of the study. We had 30% as the primary analysis population. And those are well within the framework of what's understood of being responsive.
Eric, do you want to talk about how we're thinking about the initial prescriptions and reauths and the like?
Yes. And I think -- thanks for the questions again, Joe. We anticipate that patients will receive -- vast majority will receive 60 milligrams per kilogram, and the script will actually be for a month. So payers aren't going to pay for just a few days or a few weeks. We know this is a lifelong disease. And while we can see a Phe response within days and even weeks, there will be patients that will require different dose adjustments, but the vast majority of 60 milligrams per kilogram will respond to therapy within days or weeks.
And the script itself is usually going to be dispensed. And once dispensed, usually reauthorization occurs likely within a 6- or 12-month period, depending on what the payer will require in terms of Phe reductions. Just one thing that's very important to know is that payers really look at Phe reduction as being the primary goal of treatment. Physicians look at Phe reduction, they look at diet liberalization, diet goals, and patients look at diet liberalization and goals as well.
Perfect. And maybe just one quick one. Will scripts be trackable by third-party resources, do you believe, or no?
No, not at this time. It's going -- because we have 2 specialty pharmacies that will be distributing the product directly to patients, it will not be providing -- we won't have IMS data. It will be difficult to track. On that front, what we -- what I mentioned earlier is that we will be providing metrics and data during our regular calls, including the number of patients who are on commercial therapy, those who have patient start forms that are in the queue. We'll be providing also physician as well as payer sort of dynamics along the road there as well as gross to net and some of the other metrics that you normally would expect.
Our next question coming from the line of Joe Schwartz with Leerink Partners.
Congratulations on the approval, and thanks for the insightful data you shared earlier in the call. My first question is just if you could clarify how many PKU patients are actively managed at the 104 centers of excellence, which have the 1,200 potential prescribers of Sephience. And then second, I heard you say that payers will require some lowering of Phe. What is your understanding of how much Phe lowering they'll require? Are there certain thresholds that are commonly cited?
Yes. Joe, thanks very much for the questions. Eric, do you want to tackle this?
Yes. I think to your second question about what payers would require from a Phe perspective, it's just really according to the label. And I think it's going to be based on their own clinical judgment. A lot of times, it might be just a matter of whether a patient is getting close to or at target goals. Phe reduction can vary, and it can take a little bit of time. So I think that's going to be a medical judgment, but most of the payers will probably look at what we've done in the clinical studies.
With regards to the actual number of patients, when we described the two-pronged approach with 17,000 patients, again, I would like to make it clear that Sephience is approved for patients 1 month and older, and we're going to be targeting all of these patients. But in those 104 centers and those 1,200 health care providers, those are really what we would call the Tier 1 health care providers. And each one of those centers can see somewhere between 60 to 100 patients. Some of these centers have hundreds of patients. So it varies across the board. And what we're targeting in that initial group is somewhere around 6,000 to 7,000 patients who are either poorly controlled, they have failed on therapy or on treatment right now and they're seeking new potentially better therapies or more convenient therapies.
So in that context, Joe, what we're really doing is that first wave is going after those patients who have been motivated to get -- to seek treatment or on treatment. And that first wave really is going to be a very large priority for us. But again, many of these other naive patients will be equally important for us over time.
Our next question coming from the line of Gena Wang with Barclays.
Also add my congrats on the drug approval. It is a challenging FDA environment. So this is a big win here. So I have a few questions. First is I wanted to ask again, I know several questions already asked regarding the denominator for this 104 centers of excellence. I think we all understand total patient population is 17,000 and the 40% is 6,000 to 8,000 patients. But out of these 40,000 you got the number from, what is the denominator? I think that was -- like I think several analysts asked it from a different way. Just try to understand what is your sample size to derive at this 40% of the failed or not well-controlled patient population. And then my second question is, what is your expected screening rate for this 40% of patients that will be responding to sepiapterin?
And lastly, my question -- actually 2 quick questions. Do you expect the bar for Phe lowering level will be higher than Kuvan or generic Kuvan given a higher price and also understanding this drug is more efficacious than Kuvan? And then lastly -- the fourth question, sorry, lastly is regarding your label. You do have warnings and precautions that I saw there is a slightly different warnings from the other drugs that's increased bleeding events. So maybe if you can elaborate a little bit, would there be any concern there impacting the drug uptake?
Gena, thank you for the questions and congratulations. And I will say, indeed, given in this time of uncertainties and approval delays, we are certainly not surprised, but nonetheless, quite excited that this came a day early and we're basically on time. And I think it was consistent with what we had believed would be the case. But as always, it was really great for this to come through. I'll make a general comment on your first 3 questions and then have Eric provide as much additional color as we can, and then I'll tackle the fourth question.
Obviously, these numbers are based on claims analysis. They're all estimates. There's no hard in fact, exactly 4,000 or exactly 40% or 60%. These are rough guidelines. We've heard a lot of different numbers at different times that we've referenced. And we basically use these to just have directional for us to understand this is the first wave of patients is estimated about this many who have been recently engaged with the centers and would be an appropriate first wave.
That being said, we've also had direct conversations with a number of physicians that speak a little bit differently about this. We -- and there was a question earlier about how -- tackling the therapy-naive patients. We've gotten feedback from some individual physicians that say that, that's actually a priority for them. The patients who may not be in that tried and failed, but who are naive who could really -- who are classical patients who could really benefit at this time for having a therapy that could lower their phenylalanine levels.
Regarding your question on the bleeding warning, this is not a significant concern for us, a safety concern. This is in reference to one specific patient, which, in fact, the FDA has us highlighting in the label who had, we believe, bleeding episodes related to concomitant medication known to cause bleeding. So as you can see from the adverse event table, bleeding is not listed there. We do not expect this to be a concern -- a significant concern.
Eric, do you want to provide any more color on Gena's other questions on the...
Yes. Gena, good -- yes, good questions, Gena. I think there isn't going to be a bar that's going to be different for Sephience or Kuvan or anything else. I think what's going to happen is we have -- the payers that we've actually spoken to at great length here say that prior authorizations to the label will be really what drives prescriptions, not necessarily Phe reduction. Yes, they're going to be looking at Phe reduction. And a lot of them, if they decide to use that, would utilize what we've seen in our clinical studies. So we don't see anything very different.
All we see is a prior authorization to label and potentially a small number of payers that say they will utilize step edits. But we know we can get through that very, very quickly in again, a matter of days or weeks, and then get to the point where we provide the sufficient information to a payer to get them switched. So we don't really see that change.
And I think to Matt's point about the claims database, the 40% is a very significant number. That 7,000, 8,000 patients, these are patients that have actually been on therapy or currently on therapy. So they've been highly motivated recently to try a therapy and are interested in new and potentially more effective therapy. So for us, that is our first and most important target because it is the low-hanging fruit. And it's a very substantial number of patients that we can address very quickly and early with our therapy.
Our next question coming from the line of Paul Choi with Goldman Sachs.
Congratulations on the approval. Just sort of going to the -- back to the patient treatment paradigm. Separate from their blood monitoring, how frequently are -- is the typical patient coming in? Just to help us think about modeling the launch cadence here, is it semiannually, annually? Just some color there on just how often the patients are coming in versus their blood test would be helpful. And then I had a follow-up question.
Yes. Sure, Paul. Thank you very much for the questions and congratulations. I would say that when we think about engagement with the center, there's engagement with the physician and coming into the clinic, but then there's now, in the age we live in, frequent -- actually coming into the clinic, but frequent contact with the sites in terms of talking to nutritionists, dietitians, monitoring and those types of things. So I think what's good here is it's not only a matter of someone coming in for an annual check or twice a year check, but there's also frequent regular communications that occur that can also enable triggering a prescription.
Great. And then my second follow-up question is just in terms of guideline updates, just sort of what you expect the rough timing for that would be for sort of PKU societies and other medical societies. And then can you maybe just remind us what the time line is for potential regulatory decisions in the other remaining major markets such as Japan and other major markets?
Yes. Thanks, Paul. I'd say just on your last question, first, we expect Brazil approval in the second half of the year and Japan in December. Those are the 2 markets that we've called out. We expect approvals in a number of other countries in between and along the way, but we've identified those as the major additional markets beyond Europe and the United States. In terms of guidelines, the treatment guidelines have recently been updated, specifically importantly, talking about the importance of Phe lowering. The lower the Phe, the better.
And I think one of the most important evolutions in the guidelines is the fact that even if you are controlled, i.e., have a phenylalanine level less than 360 micromolar per liter, which is the target, that even going lower than that is better so that there's a benefit to treating folks even who may be at the less severe end of the spectrum with the therapy. Obviously, this is not something we can go to the store and get a vitamin to lower Phe, but it really would take a therapy that is able to be efficacious in doing that. And the guidelines have certainly emphasized that lower is, in fact, better.
There's a great awareness in the physician community about Sephience. I don't know exactly the next time guidelines will be updated, but we certainly think that the most recent updates are particularly relevant to Sephience and is also supportive of the therapy and will certainly help its uptake.
And I'm showing no further questions in the queue at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Dr. Matthew Klein for any closing remarks.
Thank you all again for joining the call tonight. We are obviously incredibly excited about being able to bring Sephience to the PKU community. The FDA approval is a significant milestone for the community and for the company. And of course, with our European approval and European launch underway, we've really taken the steps -- a number of steps forward now towards our global launch. We look forward to keeping you updated on our progress. And as we talked about, we remain incredibly enthusiastic about this opportunity. So thank you all again for joining the call, and have a good evening.
This concludes today's conference. Thank you for your participation, and you may now disconnect.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Special Call - PTC Therapeutics, Inc.
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Good morning, everyone. I'm Paul Choi, and I cover the biotechnology sector here at the firm. And it's my pleasure to welcome PTC Therapeutics for our next session here. To my immediate left is our CEO, Matt Klein, and to my far left, Pierre Gravier, CFO. Maybe what we'll do is turn it over to Matt to kick it off maybe with some high-level comments just on sort of the course of the year ahead. And then maybe we'll get into Q&A, talk a little bit about the commercial side, but what is obviously a very exciting pipeline stage period for the company.
Yes. Thanks a lot, Paul. It's great to be here. And indeed, we're at a very exciting time for the company. We're coming off an incredibly successful 2024, where we had outstanding execution across every part of the company. We had 4 FDA NDA submissions, all of which were accepted for review with one approval coming last year and now it's 3 approval applications pending, including our Sephience NDA from which we expect an approval within the next 6 weeks or so. So really coming up fast. We had another year of strong revenue performance, and effective operating expense management that put us in a very strong cash position. We closed Q1 with over $2 billion in cash in the bank.
And that really provides us a solid foundation to successfully [indiscernible] the planned launches, continue to advance our R&D portfolios and also think about strategic business development to complement our existing R&D and commercial portfolios. So as we sit here today, we have a solid foundation in terms of cash on the balance sheet, a solid revenue opportunity forthcoming with PKU, potential upside scenarios, including the Friedreich's Ataxia program, potential approval in August, Translarna in the U.S. as well as our PTC518 program for which we announced a successful Phase II data package last month. So really a lot of exciting things going on and look forward to discussing.
Great. Maybe we can just start with sort of the existing commercial portfolio and talking a little bit about the sort of legacy products for lack of a better term, and given the regulatory change with Translarna in Europe, maybe just to kick it off there. You've previously talked about maybe roughly 1/4 of that business being maintained. How is that transition going since the decision, sort of intra-quarter, what updates can you give there? And then maybe just how you're thinking about that on the forward as sort of you're thinking about strategic landing and sort of the base case?
Absolutely. I think Translarna in Europe is again proving to be an unprecedented story. We had the adoption by the European Commission of the CHMP opinion at the end of March. So while in first quarter revenue was in line with that run rate for 2024, we did share that given that the European Commission invoked something called Article 117, which enables each individual country within Europe to make a decision to potentially continue to commercialize Translarna in spite of the lack of renewal of the marketing authorization. And this is something our team has been planning for.
And in fact, as we sit here today, more than half of the countries in Europe have expressed the desire to continue to commercialize the drug. We've been importing drug into a number of countries. This has included providing continuity of Translarna therapy for those who've previously been on drug, and in some cases, even discussion about starting new patients. So we're, again, in these unprecedented waters that despite not having the marketing authorization, we are still able to commercialize the therapy.
And so this -- as we said, we believe can allow us to maintain about 25% to 30% of the European revenue which represented about 40% of the overall Translarna revenue for 2024. And so exactly as you framed it, Paul, these are, sort of the legacy products that have been able to bridge us quite well to the future products, PKU and others. And we're still in a position to garner meaningful revenue, both in Europe and outside of Europe and other countries with Translarna as we continue to move forward.
Right. Maybe one more question on the topic before moving on is just how you think about the potential durability of that revenue in Europe. I think a lot of investors when they ask what's an analog here, I'm like, I really can't think of one. And so how does the investment community model this and think about [indiscernible] you just take it out of the model altogether. .
Yes, I think there's no analog. I think we're comfortable with that 25% to 30% for the foreseeable future, in particular because there's really no therapy that can supplant Translarna even if you look at what may or may not happen with gene therapy in Europe. We know that many of the nonsense mutations that the Translarna patients have sit in exons that may be relatively contraindicated for the gene therapy. And when you also consider that CHMP, I believe, is looking at a potential label of 4- to 7-year olds. So again, so there's no situation we see in the near future, intermediate-term future, where there'll be a replacement for Translarna.
Great. Maybe turning to some of your pending commercial stage assets and starting with Sephience. I think this is the asset that investors primarily focused on as they think about what PTC looks like in the future here. Maybe you could frame for us, you've characterized it as potentially $1 billion opportunity, but the analog drugs in the PKU space have certainly not come up to that level of sales. So can you maybe just frame for us what is the unmet need, I guess, in the PKU community right now, that's not addressed by the currently available therapies?
Yes. I think Sephience is a highly differentiated therapy. Its efficacy and safety package is highly differentiated from the current approved therapies, which is why the market opportunity far surpasses that which has been achieved in the current therapies. It's estimated that roughly about 10% to 15% of the 15,000 to 17,000 patients in the U.S. are on these therapies, which leaves a significant unmet need of 85% to 90% of the population. And so we've talked a lot about the significant opportunity that's based in part on the size of this population, the strength of our data, which supports that we can address every key patient segment including the more severe classical PKU patients.
We've shared that we have plans to price this at a premium to Palynziq, which is supported by the payers. In fact, there was a note recently that came out on payers' response and the net conclusion was, as we said, there should be no barriers to getting Sephience to all of these patients. And finally, our established commercial team. We have -- this is the team that has successfully commercialized Emflaza has continued to enjoy significant revenues post loss of exclusivity, they've been able to successfully navigate competitive and genericized markets.
And that's not only our field force teams, but also having things like our PTC Cares patient services team that ensures high levels of adherence to therapy, helps navigate through prior auths and re-auths in DMD, which is far more complex than PKU. And now we're seeing more and more research done by others which is supporting that, I think numbers such as over 80% of physicians are going to switch their -- or physicians think over 80% of their patients on current therapies, they'll look to switch. Over 50% say that they're going to look to try all patients on PKU. So when you start looking at what penetration could look like in a market of 15,000 to 17,000 patients with the potential net pricing we've talked about, the math to get to $1 billion alone in the United States is quite easy. And then when you layer on top of that, that we have a team in place that knows how to successfully commercialize rare disease therapies.
Great. Maybe can you remind us like in terms of the treating community within PKU and endocrinologists, metabology-focused treatment centers versus sort of your rare neuro orphan call points, how much of that is overlapping and just how much will require a bit of a new build out to hit these new call points?
So there's about -- there's 103 PKU expert centers in the U.S. and a lot of those centers overlap with the centers that we have worked at before, which is what's really important, while the specific physicians may differ, you're in the same hospitals, same pharmacies, same things to navigate in terms of getting on formulary and getting all that is -- and we've done the work already to -- we've mapped those centers, map the KOLs, understanding the treatment teams. It's very important in PKU to understand that not only are there physicians driving prescribing decisions, but nurse practitioners and also importantly, dieticians. .
Patients who have PKU may not be on an existing therapy, yet they remain -- they maintain their connections with these specialty centers, in particular, with the nutritionists and dieticians because then the mainstay of their therapy is the diet. And so understanding those interactions at each center, understanding who we need to work with to drive prescriptions and manage patient care. We've been doing all that. I mean this is an advantage, not only of having an experienced commercial team, but coming into a commercial landscape where there have been therapies because often, what we'll have to do when you're first to a therapeutic area is talk to centers and educate them about prescribing a commercial drug, you have to aggregate the patient communities.
In many cases, you have to do patient finding. Well, we're in a situation now where there's newborn screening for PKU. So the patients are all identified. And there's about 300 to 350 new patients identified every year, not by us, just by newborn screening. The centers are identified, centers of excellence are there. There's an understanding and a culture of understanding about what it's like to prescribe a therapy. When we talk to payers, they [indiscernible] and importantly, they understand that you could tie value to phenylalanine levels so that when we're able to come in and say, look at our clinical trials at the high level of phenylalanine lowering we're achieving, 69% on average in classic PKU patients, getting 84% of patients to less than 360, which is the threshold for desired phenylalanine where you can start liberalizing. All those things are really, really important and facilitate our launch.
Great. I think in terms of time lines, Europe might be a little bit ahead, and so is the thinking that you'll presumably launch ahead in Europe, just given the regulatory time line on the calendars as a little bit in advance of the U.S. PDUFA here?
Yes, they will actually be very close in time. So the plan, we're expecting to have the approval in Europe before the end of June. Our plan is to launch first in Germany, taking advantage of that 6 months of free pricing. A certain advanced notice needed before you list the price in the [indiscernible] tax in Germany, which is what kicks off your launch and your IRAD review and so forth. And so we'll probably then be in close to the same time. And obviously, we're thinking a lot about the free pricing level. What we've done in preparation in Germany where we think there's 8,000 patients, we've initiated an early access program.
So we've already gotten a number of patients on drug in this period waiting for approval and launch, and we've gotten into a lot of the key centers in Germany. And that's really important because in Germany, once you're approved and launched and list the price of [indiscernible], those patients on early access right away by loss switch to commercial therapy. So we're doing everything we can to make that launch in Germany as robust as possible, as quickly as possible.
Great. Maybe in terms of the insurance preparations and your payer discussions, I'm just curious in terms of like the metrics and how payers will assess that. Clearly, the drug works very well on reducing fee levels. How does the diet liberalization sort of potentially figure in down the road after patients have been on therapy for future renewals, and continuous approval?
Yes. I think our feedback is there will, of course, be some payers for some patients that will want to ensure that patients are having a response to the drug. Our understanding is that's more going to be linked to fee reduction and not diet liberalization. Diet liberalization is incredibly important for patient uptake and physician uptake because for patients really, the holy grail is to be able to get to a point where they have control over their phenylalanine levels so that they can start to liberalize what is a debilitating a restricted diet. And so we fully expect that payers may, in certain cases, will want to see evidence of phenylalanine reduction, not necessarily liberalization, but blood test, which is objectively measured is in line with what we saw in clinical trials. So we're fully prepared for that. .
Great. You've also talked about a little bit -- you mentioned that you have some early access in Germany and just in terms of patient identification and potential pent-up demand here with the earliest part of the U.S. launch. Should we think about the early launches potentially having a bit of a bolus just given awareness of Sephience in the PKU community and just -- is that how you would sort of guide [indiscernible] to think about this an early buildup demand? .
Yes, there certainly is a pent-up demand, and that comes from several things, right? It comes from the fact that the data have been so strong that we've been able to show the diet liberalization. I just look on social media, and you see the patient's community generating their own buzz about the ability to liberalize their diet in a meaningful way. And the fact that you now have physicians, again, I said we've seen a number of these surveys saying that most physicians want to try all their patients on the drug. .
Now what that first group looks like in the launch will differ center by center. We've had physicians say, look, we're going to take our patients who are on existing therapies and just switch them because we know if you've been on sepiapterin, either branded or generic, time and time again, you're going to have a much better response to Sephience. So that's what the data suggests. So it's very easy to take patients who are on a once-a-day therapy and switch them. Others say, look, we've got a bunch of therapy-naive or tried and failed patients tried existing therapies, have failed them, who we want to get on a therapy right away.
And so I think we will see a lot of patients come on in the first phases of the launch, and that's due to the pent-up demand, due to the fact that these are centers that are used to the idea of having to prescribed drugs and the patients are identified, prevalent and desiring a safe and effective therapy.
Great. I think one question that our understanding of PKU outlook for you guys is just understanding how much of your IP is dependent on orphan or regulatory exclusivity versus other patent exclusivity? And I think it probably goes out further than people realize. And so can you maybe just remind us on what that IP landscape both on the regulatory side and the patent side looks like? .
Yes. So we'll certainly have the orphan exclusivity of 7 years, and we expect the pediatric add-on for 6 months. But we also have patent protection. We're guiding folks to 2039. We have 2038 in a very -- what we believe will be a very durable and strong polymorph patent that we've been able to further support with additional IP. And as is always the case, we're continuing to expand the IP landscape to keep putting fences around what we have. So for today, we're guiding to '39 on the back of patent protection, to '38 and what we believe conservatively is 1 year of patent term extension based on orange replicable patents.
Right. And one more for the investment community. Is this something they will be able to track through standard data sources like IQVIA? Will it be censored? Just how are we going to be able to sort of track the launch metrics?
It's going to come through us. So we're dealing with a closed specialty pharmacy network, so the prescription data will not be available. But when we get to launch when we get to approval in the U.S., we will share the metrics that we'll be sharing with everyone so we could track along and understand what the uptake is like and what adherence is like.
And maybe just at a high level, what would be the key things we should look for? Number of physicians, new prescribers, switches, what just -- maybe wrong things that we should look for? .
Yes. I think right now, as we're thinking about it, it is going to be patients on drug, and that's something that we can -- we should follow. And look, I think what we've talked a lot about is we expect, given the pent-up demand and all the things that we've talked about so far, Paul, is that you're going to see -- we expect a lot of patients to come on early, but we expect it to continue to grow. And we've talked a lot about these different patient segments. And again, I keep coming back to what we initially thought and what we're seeing more and more in surveys that are out there that there's a majority of physicians wanting to try all of their patients.
And a lot of that is coming from the physician's own view of the drug, including recent data we've put out on mutation data, which shows that if you look purely on a mutation basis, over 70% of the patients in the APHENITY Phase III trial, technically have classical PKU. And if you see the level of phenylalanine reduction we're having there and the fact that we're having 2/3 of the patients get to over 30% reduction, 75% of patients get over 15% reduction, it's very easy to understand how this is a drug that can be a therapy for the majority of patients with PKU. And that's a very large opportunity.
That's great. Maybe switching gears to Friedreich's Ataxia. I think investors are watching the SKYCLARYS launch in Biogen. And which has been going reasonably well. But maybe you can highlight for us what are the sort of the key differences mechanistically for Vatiquinone versus SKYCLARYS to start? And then I have some commercial questions after that.
I think there's several important differences between the 2 therapies. Now mechanistically, there are different. SKYCLARYS the Nrf2 response pathway, which is part of the downstream antioxidant response pathway. We've talked about how Vatiquinone target 15-lipoxygenase, which is a key regulator of the oxidative stress and cell death pathway that's been intimately linked to Friedreich's Ataxia pathology, but perhaps from a practical standpoint and a commercial standpoint, what's more important is the fact that Vatiquinone would be a therapy for both children and adults.
There's a large volume of safety and tolerability data accumulated in pediatric patients with Vatiquinone down to less than 1 year of age. And then, of course, the MOVE-FA trial was really focused in pediatric and young adult patients. And so to be able to now have efficacy data along with safety data, will allow Vatiquinone to be a patient -- a therapy for all patients with Friedreich's Ataxia regardless of age and regardless of disease stage. So as we think towards moving into a commercial landscape, I think clearly, the pediatric populations, we see about 6,000 patients with Friedreich's Ataxia in the U.S. and about 1/3 of them are pediatric. You're looking at the only therapy available for those patients.
And then, of course, if you look to the experience with SKYCLARYS, which has at a lot of patient starts, but also patients who have challenges based on the tolerability profile, the monitoring requirements, we believe that Vatiquinone could also be a very meaningful treatment option for adults.
Okay. Great. Maybe parsing the commercial strategy for the 2 populations between the adult population and the pediatric population. As you think about the sort of the selling message for those 2 distinct populations, is it your thinking that you'll be able to primarily get adult patients who are treatment-naive or treatment-inexperience versus SKYCLARYS experience? How -- sort of what's the sort of low-hanging fruit in your mind? .
Yes. So the low-hanging fruit for sure, is the pediatric population. And the dynamics of the pediatric population differ quite a bit from the adult population. The pediatric FA patients, as we said, it's about 1/3 of population. They tend to be clustered at a small number of specialty centers that are pediatric neurology centers. We've worked with all of these centers. They've been in our trials, many of them have extensive experience with the drug. And again, if you read what the physicians are saying in different surveys of them, these doctors are saying they will look to get all of their pediatric and adolescent patients on Vatiquinone, if approved. So that's really good. That's the low-hanging fruit.
Then you talk about a migration into the adult population, and we see that in 2 different buckets. One, as you said, is the sort of tried but didn't stay on SKYCLARYS due to monitoring issues, lipid level issues, LFT problems or other tolerability issues, and we see that as also sort of the second bucket of patients that we can easily access. And then I think you have those adults who are therapy or SKYCLARYS-naive, I think we can penetrate as well given what we expect to be the lack of a monitoring requirement, the lack of potentially need to go on a lipid-lowering therapy or having LFT abnormality.
So I think that there's a very large opportunity for the drug. If you have -- unlike PKU, where we believe we would look at all of those segments pretty much at the time of launch. I think for Friedreich's Ataxia, we think it's going to be sort of the kids first. It's a significant unmet need. One of the interesting dynamics in the community, as always happens when a first drug is approved, is there's an increase in diagnosis of the disease, right? Is it just heightened disease awareness. And this has happened in Friedreich's Ataxia with the approval of SKYCLARYS. However, the patients getting diagnosed are younger.
Again, not surprisingly, typically, what you'll see is the age of diagnosis move lower and lower as there's heightened disease awareness and a motivation to get a diagnosis. And so if anything, the approval of SKYCLARYS has heightened, heightened the unmet need in the younger patients, increase the numbers and increase the desire not only on patients but to physicians to be able to have a therapy that they can give to younger patients because, of course, if you're trying to slow progression of the disease, it's best to start as soon as possible.
Okay. Great. And then maybe just in terms of your latest thinking on pricing, there is there's a commercial analog out there in terms of SKYCLARYS, is that sort of a reasonable benchmark as investors model out this opportunity, both in the pediatric and adult segments?
Yes, I think so.
Okay. Okay. Great. Maybe one on Vatiquinone, which is just that it's regulatory time frame is a little bit behind that of Sephience, and so just given that we still have several months for that to go, are there any other regulatory interactions that are going to happen along the way, beyond perhaps regular way of -- potential label discussions? Any other material meetings of note? .
Yes. So we -- so our PDUFA date is August 19, as you indicated a bit after Sephience. We've had the mid-cycle meeting that went well. It was at the mid-cycle meeting that the agency shared with us that they do not expect to hold an AdCom. So that was an important update. We still will have a late cycle meeting and then, of course, labeling discussions still to come. .
Okay. Great. I want to talk and maybe switch gears to your recent PTC518 Huntington's update. Maybe, Matt, you could just sort of recap for us the latest set of data you presented from that program and just sort of -- then I have some follow-up questions on just sort of the development path there. .
Yes, absolutely. So I think as we look at the PTC518 data package in the Phase II PIVOT H2 trial, it ticked all the boxes it had to. We achieved the primary endpoint, we demonstrated that the drug is working the way it needs to work with dose -- continued dose-dependent reduction in Huntington protein levels in the cells. The drug continues to be safe and well tolerated, which is very, very important as we go out to longer terms. We had continued confirmation of CNS exposure, incredibly important for the drug that's working the way it works. We know it's going to where it's supposed to go. .
We also saw in the data readout continued evidence in the short term at 12 months, dose-dependent effects on stage 2 patients on cUHDRS, total motor score, in cognitive function very important. And then importantly, in this update, we had the first group of patients out to 2 years. And in 24 months, patients who've gotten PTC518, not only is it safe and well tolerated, but we're seeing dose-dependent benefit on the cUHDRS disease rating scale relative to natural history as well as benefit on the total functional capacity and cognitive scales relative to natural history that was statistically significant. And we saw out of 2 years dose-dependent benefit lowering on neurofilament light chain. The natural history of Huntington's disease is to see gradual increases, and we're seeing decreases now out at 24 months.
So that's really important. We also learned about study populations. And this was one of objectives of the PIVOT HD study to try to figure out in which group of patients we think would be the optimal future efficacy trial population. And what we clearly saw is what we suspected is that likely the stage 2 patients are those that are moving at the appropriate rate and that may be best suited to the population in whom we could capture significant effect.
So when you take everything as -- when you take the data package as a whole, we achieved all the objectives for Phase II which positions us well to move forward with an efficacy study. We believe that the data also can support further discussions on the potential for accelerated approval. I think we've long talked about the potential surrogate endpoint of lowering Huntington protein. I think the recent correspondence from uniQure on their conversations with FDA about a potential intermediate clinical endpoint approach using long-term cUHDRS versus natural history data and NFL. I think we, now with this data set, are in play for that option is what we think our optionality in terms of what we could talk about supporting accelerated approval has gone up.
Yes. I mean it certainly seems like, to your point, bringing out uniQure's recent disclosures, just on the regulatory landscape, still seems supportive of a mix of biomarker and quasi-functional or some sort of hybrid endpoint in the space. And so I guess, in terms of next steps. First, when would you present any additional detailed data from a recent update at a medical meeting? Are there plans to do that over the course of 2025? And then sort of when would you and your partner Novartis potentially have regulatory interactions on a Phase III design?
Yes. So the teams are working on that right now on the interaction standpoint. I think what we've said all along even before the readout was that we'd be doing these things in parallel, moving forward with the Phase III trial and having discussions about accelerated approval, and the plan would be to have an FDA meeting where both things would be discussed sort of an end of Phase II meeting that could talk about the data package that would be needed to support accelerated approval knowing that we're continuing to harvest data from the open-label extension of PIVOT HD, and then, of course, what does that efficacy trial look like and trying to move as quickly as possible on both fronts.
So the teams are actively working on that right now. I think we also all have in mind as well that the significant opportunity in HD is in stage 2 patients and earlier, right? And also trying to think about how do we get into stage 1 patients and then even earlier stage 0 patients where there's the undiagnosed patients, which is that, that population is multiples of the identified patients. So there's a lot of thought going into how we migrate earlier and earlier, which is what the patients want and what the physicians want.
In terms of presentations at medical meetings, I think the teams are still looking at that. There's some HD meetings in the fall. I think that would be a good opportunity to give updates.
Okay. Great. Maybe just on your last point, Matt, of finding and identifying or potentially including earlier stage patients, how are these patients typically identified versus like the more symptomatic stage 2 and stage 3 patients that were in PIVOT HD. I'm sure most doctors don't typically scan for CAG repeats, but just kind of how are these patients potentially identified? And how good does it expand the pool for you? .
Yes. So if you think about Huntington's disease is pretty unique, right? And 100% of the patients have a genetic defect, and it's also uniquely autosomal dominant, which means that if your parent has it, you have a 50% chance of passing that on to your children. So there is then a lot of work in the community to get genetically diagnosed before you start having symptoms. Of course, that has a downside, if there's no therapy available, then you've just basically found out that you have a fatal disease that will have an onset at a certain amount of time.
So a lot of this is going to be walking hand-in-hand with having therapy available. As we think about Stage 1 patients, which there's a large pool of as well, again, when we talk about a clinical trial, it's very hard to have an efficacy trial in patients who are not progressing a lot clinically, but that's a group that we can think about a biomarker strategy or something to be able to get into to be able to show that we're slowing progression.
And I think when you think about Huntington lowering and the potential of Huntington protein lowering, it really is one of these things where the sooner you can get to patients and forestall the onset of clinical symptoms, the better. That's why I think really that large population is a holy grail, if you will. Of course, we want to provide benefit to the prevalent patients who are rapidly progressing in Stage 2 and Stage 3. But is also a very large opportunity of earlier stage based .
And that's why the partnership with Novartis is highly valuable, because they can -- it will require a lot of work to unlock the full spectrum of the opportunity and a lot of investments. Novartis, I can think of a billion reason why they want to unlock the full patient population. Once you get a drug approved, of course, this is where diagnosis rate, you should expect that to go up because right now, even if you know your dad or mom has or had HD because it's fatal. So you don't want to know. Most patients don't want to know. [indiscernible] why would you want to know if there's no cure. If at some point, you can slow down the progress, we would expect this to increase. And this is where, again, Novartis is truly committed. They are designed to do this, right? Large pharma, bone crushing machine, this is their DNA. .
Great. One last one on PTC518, which is that uniQure, I think, is probably in a position to file their application early next year, so they'll be first to market. How do you think, I guess, about the commercial market post their approval and your approval evolving? Will the market be segmented out depending on it. Their drug obviously involves not a trivial procedure, right, and so forth? And just how do you think about that? .
Yes. I I'm not sure we're very worried or the Novartis team would be very worried about being second to market. As you pointed out, it's a very large 10 to 15 hour -- I've heard a 16-hour surgical procedure, right? It's clearly that, that alone is going to slow uptake, right? There's only a certain amount of centers and surgeons who could do that. You're asking a neurosurgeon to take their entire or his entire day to do that procedure, and probably is an opportunity cost that they're going to be very aware of and the centers are going to be very aware. If you're also using up 16 hours of MRI time. So there's a huge opportunity cost for center in terms of being able to do 10 or 15 different scans versus just 1 patient all day. So that's going to play into it. And then the other part is also the patients, right?
I think most people realize there's probably a finite durability of a gene therapy. So this idea of getting into the larger patient buckets that may be earlier stage with minimal symptomology or no symptomology. That's a large part of this market that is unlikely to be one served by the gene therapy because, of course, by the time they get to the stage of disease where they're going to be fulminantly symptomatic and needing the therapy. The gene therapy pump may not be working anymore.
Great. We are almost out of time. So I want to ask maybe, Pierre, one question just on the balance sheet, which is, you have one of the largest cash balance sheets among the mid-cap biotechs here in the U.S., a little bit of debt as well. But just, I guess, as you think about your uses of cash here on the forward, how are you sort of rank ordering internal development versus maybe looking externally? .
Yes. So we're in a very strong position, as you mentioned, $2 billion of cash, and this gives us a number of -- quite frankly, we have the flexibility to do everything and not look over our shoulder and try to raise capital, especially in this tough environment. So this gets us through all our operations, the launch of PKU or Vatiquinone, Translarna U.S. and our own pipeline and the extra cash will be used for BD activities, for instance, we're actually looking at a number of opportunities.
We have to turn our own trials first over the summer. And as we mentioned, if you zoom out, the goal is to get to $2 billion top line. We believe PKU would get us to $1 billion in the U.S. alone, let's say, half of that ex U.S. And then FA or Translarna U.S. will more than -- will be more than enough to get us there. And we'll accelerate all of that with BD and we have the global infrastructure and the know-how to push products to the finish line. So that's how we're thinking about our capital.
Okay. Great. We're out of time now. So my thanks to Matt and Pierre for joining us, and we'll end the session on that note. Thank you very much.
Thanks, Paul.
Thank you.
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PTC Therapeutics, Inc. — Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025
Finanzdaten von PTC Therapeutics, Inc.
Umsatz
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Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
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Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
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der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 388 388 |
78 %
78 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 118 118 |
113 %
113 %
30 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 270 270 |
84 %
84 %
70 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 90 90 |
71 %
71 %
23 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 447 447 |
15 %
15 %
115 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 125 125 |
86 %
86 %
32 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 50 50 |
287 %
287 %
13 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 74 74 |
91 %
91 %
19 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 7,39 7,39 |
99 %
99 %
2 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
PTC Therapeutics, Inc. ist ein biopharmazeutisches Unternehmen, das sich mit der Entdeckung und Kommerzialisierung von klinisch differenzierten Medikamenten beschäftigt. Es konzentriert sich auf die Entwicklung neuer Behandlungen für mehrere therapeutische Bereiche, darunter seltene Krankheiten und Onkologie. Das Unternehmen wurde am 31. März 1998 von Allan Steven Jacobson und Stuart W. Peltz gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in South Plainfield, NJ.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Dr. Klein |
| Mitarbeiter | 991 |
| Gegründet | 1998 |
| Webseite | www.ptcbio.com |


