Origin Bancorp Aktienkurs
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 1,59 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 400,81 Mio. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 1,59 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 436,77 Mio. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 1,60 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 400,81 Mio. $
Enterprise Value = 1,60 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 436,77 Mio. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Origin Bancorp Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
9 Analysten haben eine Origin Bancorp Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
9 Analysten haben eine Origin Bancorp Prognose abgegeben:
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Origin Bancorp — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Origin Bancorp, Inc. First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Jen, and I will be your Evercall coordinator. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the call over to Chris Reigelman, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. We issued our earnings press release yesterday afternoon, a copy of which is available on our website, along with a slide presentation that we will refer to during this call.
Please refer to Page 2 of our slide presentation, which includes our safe harbor statements regarding forward-looking statements and the use of non-GAAP financial measures. For those joining by phone, please note the slide presentation is available on our website at ir.origin.bank. Please also note that our safe harbor statements are available on Page 6 of our earnings release filed with the SEC yesterday.
All comments made during today's call are subject to safe harbor statements in our slide presentation and our earnings release.
I'm joined this morning by Origin Bancorp's Chairman, President and CEO, Drake Mills; President and CEO of Origin Bank, Lance Hall; our Chief Financial Officer, Wally Wallace; Chief Risk Officer, Jim Crotwell; our Chief Accounting Officer, Steve Brolly; and our Chief Credit and Banking Officer, Preston Moore. After the presentation, we'll be happy to address any questions you may have.
Drake, the call is yours.
Thanks, Chris, and thanks for being with us this morning.
While I'm pleased with the results of this quarter, I'm even more encouraged by the momentum we're building as we focus on developing a high-performing organization through Optimize Origin. Our ROA in the past 2 quarters highlights the level of focus we have in strategically improving performance for all of our stakeholders. In Q1, our ROA was 1.11%, and we are on pace to achieve our target run rate by year-end.
The momentum we spoke about last quarter has only accelerated as we've started the new year. We saw very positive loan and deposit growth for the quarter, which has been disciplined and strategic. I remain encouraged with what I'm seeing and hearing throughout our markets. The growth we saw in Texas and in the Southeast is a reflection of both the strength within those dynamic markets and the generational dislocation that is occurring. This dislocation is creating valuable opportunities to add new relationships, expand on existing ones and add new bankers to our already impressive team.
Lance will provide more detail on this, but we are receiving calls from bankers within our current markets as well as in new markets who have an interest in joining our team. The volume of activity being created by disruption is even greater than we anticipated. Momentum is strong at Origin and is based on our award-winning culture and our drive for elite financial performance through Optimize Origin.
Again, I'm proud of our results this quarter, and I'm optimistic about what we can accomplish.
Now I'll turn it over to Lance and the team.
Thanks, Drake, and good morning. It's an exciting time for Origin. Across our company, Optimize Origin has clearly become the operating system driving more consistent, higher-quality performance. We are seeing Optimize translate into stronger execution, disciplined growth and increased operating leverage.
In Q1, we delivered strong loan and deposit growth. Loans held for investment, excluding mortgage warehouse, increased $200 million or 2.8% quarter-over-quarter. Total deposits, adjusting for deposits sold at the end of 2025 grew $234 million or 2.8%. As expected, this production is being driven out of our Houston, DFW and the Southeast markets. This growth reflects disciplined execution, not opportunistic volume. We remain fully focused on full relationship profitability, balancing loan growth with core deposit generation, pricing discipline and long-term client value. This consistency is critical as we continue to build a more durable and high-performing balance sheet.
As Drake mentioned, the interest we are receiving from high-quality bankers who desire stability, opportunity and a vision for the future has been exceptional. Since the beginning of this year, we have added 15 bankers to our production teams. While our loan growth in the first quarter was strong, it doesn't capture what our new bankers will add throughout the remainder of the year. I'm confident that we will continue to strategically enhance our teams across our footprint during this time of disruption.
Our footprint, geographic model and talented bankers create an environment where I feel confident we will capture our desired growth without needing to take any unreasonable credit or interest rate risk. We have the luxury of not needing to stretch or deviate from our standards or credit culture in any way.
At the same time, we are continuing to invest in the capabilities that will define our next phase of performance. During the first quarter, we hired Brad Waldhoff as Chief Technology and Innovation Officer. Brad has more than 20 years of success leading digital innovation for high-growth companies. He is already partnering with our teams across the organization to align technology, data and AI more directly with business outcomes. This focus on enterprise architecture and innovation strategy is directly connected to driving measurable improvements in productivity, decision speed and quality and enhanced client experiences. Over time, we expect this alignment to enhance our ability to scale effectively, strengthen revenue and risk management and drive better overall returns.
As we continue to Optimize Origin, we are hyper-focused on revenue creation, process improvement, speed of delivery, scaling with discipline and driving elite financial performance. This unique position of a dynamic footprint and ability to take advantage of market disruption through talent acquisition and award-winning culture as well as a commitment to AI, technology and automation is why we are so confident and optimistic on Origin's strategic path. As other financial institutions are consolidating, we are investing in our independent future.
Now I'll turn it over to Jim.
Thanks, Lance. I'm pleased to report continued sound credit metrics for the first quarter of 2026. Total past dues 30 to 89 days increased to 0.22% and compared favorably to an average of 0.25% over the previous 4 quarters. Net charge-offs for the quarter were $2.8 million, down from $3.2 million, and represent an annualized charge-off rate of 0.15% for the quarter. Nonperforming assets increased $6.4 million, increasing moderately from 1.07% of loans to 1.12% and remain below the level of 1.18% reported at Q3 2025.
Classified assets also increased moderately from 1.93% of total loans to 1.97%, an increase of $6.3 million, driven primarily by the downgrade of 9 relationships, partially offset by balance reductions in 6 relationships. For the quarter, our allowance for credit losses increased $2.2 million to $99 million. On a percentage basis, our allowance remained stable at 1.34% of total loans net of mortgage warehouse. As in recent quarters, we did not experience any significant changes in our CECL model assumptions.
As to total ADC and CRE and as we have shared on previous calls, we continue to have ample capacity to meet the needs of our clients and grow this segment of our portfolio, reflecting funding to total risk-based capital of 48% for ADC and 233% for CRE. We continue to be pleased with the sound credit performance of our portfolio.
I'll now turn it over to Wally.
Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. Turning to the financial highlights. In Q1, we reported diluted earnings per share of $0.89. As you can see on Slide 25, the combined financial impact of notable items during the quarter equated to net expense of $577,000, equivalent to $0.01 of EPS pressure. On a pretax pre-provision basis, we reported $40.2 million in Q1. Excluding notable items, pretax pre-provision earnings were $40.8 million and annualized pretax pre-provision ROA was 1.61%.
On the balance sheet side, loans grew 2.5% sequentially and 2.8% when excluding mortgage warehouse. Total deposits grew 5.4% during the quarter. However, on the last day of the year, we sold $215 million in interest-bearing deposits. These deposits were repurchased 2 days later. Excluding this sale, deposits would have increased 2.8% during the quarter. Noninterest-bearing deposits grew 4.2% sequentially and ended the quarter at 23.6% of total deposits. Moving forward, we continue to target loan and deposit growth in the mid- to high single digits for the year, though we are clearly tracking towards the higher end after Q1.
Turning to the income statement. Net interest margin contracted 2 basis points during the quarter to 3.71%, in line with our guidance of slight compression. Moving forward, we expect margin will bounce back in Q2 by about 10 basis points, plus or minus, as excess liquidity from seasonal balances in our public funds customer accounts runs back off, leaving average earning asset balances roughly flat.
By Q4, we continue to anticipate NIM in the 3.7% to 3.8% range with current bias remaining at the higher end. Our outlook now includes 25 basis point Fed rate cuts in July and December. Combined with our balance sheet growth expectations, we continue to expect net interest income growth in the mid- to high single digits for both the full year and Q4 over Q4.
Shifting to noninterest income. We reported $16.8 million in Q1. Excluding $438,000 in net benefits from notable items in Q1 and $483,000 in net benefits in Q4, noninterest income increased slightly to $16.4 million from $16.3 million in Q4 as $3.3 million in net losses on limited partnership investments offset the seasonal strength in our insurance business. We are maintaining our outlook for full year noninterest income growth in the mid- to high single digits with Q4-over-Q4 growth in the low to mid-single digits when excluding notable items, though we are currently tracking on the lower end.
We reported noninterest expense of $63.8 million in Q1. Excluding $1 million in expense from notable items in Q1 and $1.3 million in Q4, noninterest expense increased to $62.8 million from $61.5 million in Q4. Our expense growth outlook remains for mid-single-digit growth for both the full year and on a Q4-over-Q4 basis after excluding notable items. Notably, we are maintaining our run rate ROA expectation of at least 1.15% in Q4 and a pretax pre-provision run rate ROA in excess of 1.72%.
Lastly, turning to capital. We note that Q1 tangible book value grew sequentially to $35.61, the 14th consecutive quarter of growth, and the TCE ratio ended the quarter at 11%. During Q1, we repurchased 165,500 shares while maintaining all regulatory capital ratios above levels considered well capitalized, as shown on Slide 24 of our investor presentation. Furthermore, we announced yesterday the Board's approval of an increase in our quarterly dividend from $0.15 to $0.25. We believe this decision, combined with our continued share repurchases is a reflection of both the strength in our capital levels and a more consistent earnings stream to support dividend payout levels closer to peers.
With that, I'll now turn it back to Drake.
Wally, thank you. Optimize Origin continues to shape how we operate, how we allocate capital and how we think about long-term value creation. Over the past few years, we've invested in top-tier talent, infrastructure, technology while strengthening our culture. My optimism is based on our focus and our ability to execute. We will remain strategic and deliberate in how we drive value for our stakeholders.
Thanks for being on the call today. We'll open it up for questions.
Thank you, Drake. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Matt at Stephens.
2. Question Answer
I have a few questions around loan growth. Just looking for more color around the drivers of what we saw in the first quarter. It looks like it was a lot of CNI, I think, mostly in Texas. Just any more color on what you saw there and kind of how the pipelines look today? And then secondly, we've heard a few of your peers in Texas mentioned that loan pricing continues to tighten for a handful of the CNI segments in Texas. Just would love to know kind of what you're seeing there.
This is Lance. Thanks for the question. Really excited about what we produced in the first quarter and what we see from a pipeline and a forecast perspective for the rest of the year and going forward. You were right. It's exactly what we would hope it would be. I think $184 million of the growth was in CNI, Texas and the Southeast, where we've been making our big investments, were the huge drivers of that. Houston did a great job. We're really seeing the increase now from Nate and his team in the Southeast as well as that's really coming through.
We are seeing competitive pressures on pricing. I will say, for the first quarter, I thought we did a really good job of being disciplined. We were seeing new loan pricing come in between about 6.3% and 6.5%, which I feel is really good. As I said in our commentary, I feel like our footprint, our investment in bankers, gives us a little bit of luxury that we don't have to reach as much. So I'm proud of our teams. I'm proud of our credit officers for the discipline that they're driving.
The mix of the loans as far as industries was really spread out, pretty granular, pretty typical to what you would see from us. There were some industrial services, transportation, construction, construction equipment, a little bit of clean energy, renewable stuff that we saw, so a little bit across the board that we feel good about. I think we had talked about $190 million pipeline in Q1. So we were kind of right at that level. We're seeing about $150 million to $160 million pipeline for Q2.
We've had good success kind of through the first part of the quarter, and I think that, that's really going to pay dividends. And as we talked about, I'm going to say that the growth that we've seen so far is organic completely, not a function of new hires or disruption yet. And so that investment for us is going to really pay dividends in the back half of the year and for the next couple of years, as that investment continues to pay off.
Okay. I appreciate the color there, Lance. And if I could switch gears over to the capital side. I think Drake noted some good capital actions during the quarter, the Board approved the dividend that we'll see here and also bought back some shares in the first quarter. Just would love to hear updated thoughts around capital priorities. Are there certain capital levels you're targeting? And at what point does M&A come back into play?
Yes, Matt, thank you. Our capital deployment outlook is pretty much as it has been. I mean we are -- we feel like we're first in a position of luxury from the standpoint of strength of capital. But obviously, growth is our major emphasis on capital deployment. But on the second -- on the other hand, we have to become more peer-like in how we utilize capital, especially excess capital. We're very pleased with the approval, the increase of dividend. That will give us an opportunity to continue in the next several years to be peer plus like in how we manage capital return. But from a buyback activity standpoint, we are focused on, as we always have been, not just ROA, but ROE and how do we manage capital from a perspective of shareholder return, but yet at the same time, get this ROE number up.
And so our deployment is going to be the same. We're very pleased with the levels of growth that we're seeing in all markets, and we'll continue to focus on that. But at this point, we're in a, like I said, a position of strength. We have significant confidence in our earnings durability, which gives us the opportunity to move forward with increased dividends. And ultimately, as I said, there's going to be a desire to continue to deploy this through organic growth, and we're seeing some significant opportunities on markets.
And Drake, the last part of that, can you address M&A for the bank?
Yes. For us, I think the best plan is for us to grow -- we've got a nice opportunity to grow organically. M&A is just not on the table at this point. We've got too much opportunity to maintain awesome culture, strong credit quality. The growth we're seeing is high quality. So we're going to take advantage of this organic growth, this lift-out opportunity, really do the things that we've done for years that's made us who we are, but focus on a disciplined approach of return and profitable growth. And I think that's going to be the driver that keeps us out of the M&A game.
Our next question is from Michael at Raymond James.
I was trying to write down some of the commentary, Wally, that you provided around NII and fees. I think what I'm hearing is that the margin should maybe be towards the upper end. Does that imply that the NII should also be kind of towards the upper end of the range? And then I think I heard that fee income would maybe be tracking towards the lower end of the range, but the full year revenue should kind of balance out. Is that broadly kind of the way to think about it?
Generally, I would say, yes, Michael. The NII would certainly be tracking towards the higher end, especially if loan growth and NIM is tracking towards the higher end of guidance. On the fee income side or the total revenue side, NII is obviously going to be the biggest driver of our total revenue growth. So even with our fee income tracking towards the lower end, primarily a result of the losses on the LP investments in the first quarter, that's still -- the total revenue still looks stronger due to the NII strength.
Okay. Helpful. I appreciate that clarification. And then Drake, maybe for you, obviously, the Optimize Origin efforts, I know it's been a lot of work to kind of get where you are, but it seems like the momentum is really beginning to build here, and I think you'll have more progress as you move into next year. Just as you think about some of those efforts and maybe finishing kind of the job, kind of where do you see the company over the next 2 to 3 years? I know you've talked about prior getting back to kind of a top quartile performance. What needs to happen from here to really kind of get there because it does seem like the bar has certainly moved higher? So just trying to balance what you've laid out already with kind of what's to come and how we get back to that top quartile profitability.
Well, thanks to Lance and his team, Optimize Origin, and I love how Lance refers to it as our operating system. And it's not a project. It's not a point in time. It is literally how we look at this company moving forward. And I think to answer the bulk of your question, organic growth at the levels we're seeing today, maybe a little less, have to continue for us to be able to get to the point of a top quartile performer, and we are very confident in that. That's why we're seeing a significant balance in the opportunities we have at this point for teams that are contacting us. We are looking at what is the impact to our financial model and our ability to hit these targets from an ROA standpoint in the next couple of years, but yet balance bringing these teams in. And so we're looking at teams that have significant CNI focus, that have funding capabilities themselves, that have longevity in their relationships with significant credit quality because ultimately, a derailer, if we have the growth is the credit quality aspect of it. So we are so focused on high-quality growth.
We're focused, as Lance said, on discipline, pricing and profitability. And so if we can continue managing Optimize Origin as, say, our operating system and our entire organization buys into that, then we'll see high credit quality. We'll see pricing discipline that will allow us to stay in the game, and we'll see growth that matters. So I would rather take a 6%, 7% growth that's high quality, high profit versus just throwing up a 10%, 12% growth.
So I see a company that's growing at this 8% to 10% level in the next couple of years with significant discipline, high-quality credit and earnings power that continues to grow. So with those factors, I've got a lot of confidence in our ability to be an upper quartile earner in the next 3 years and continue with being a disciplined performance company.
Yes. I might want to add to that. That was a great answer, Drake. The back end of it, through the lens of Optimize, is really trying to continue to identify lower returning sections, markets, bankers, clients, products, understanding where our expenses are, how we can take advantage of the market and move expenses into what I'm going to call future revenue streams. And so right now, with the emphasis on artificial intelligence, we have taken advantage of a window to really dig into contract renegotiations with technology vendors and are having a tremendous amount of success. And that in the moment, not just for the -- not just to cut costs, but then to be able to reinvest those dollars into future automation as well as future investments in banking teams that are going to drive revenue. They're going to push us forward.
I mean the hire of our new Chief Technology and Innovation Officer points to that, the real emphasis on data and how decisions are made through automation, through speed of delivery, process improvement. We are doing a deep dive inside the organization on all things along this journey and personalization for the clients so that we're delivering in a cheaper manner and we're driving this that's really pushing ROA significantly.
Our next question comes from Stephen at Piper Sandler.
I wanted to dig into some of the guide a little bit more, just particularly around the deposit growth. Does that kind of guidance account for the movement we saw around year-end and the beginning of the year, with managing around the $10 billion in assets?
Yes. So just to kind of give you some thoughts around maybe how the deposit growth will trend, the first quarter is always a seasonally strong quarter for us. Our public funds customers, especially in Louisiana, have a lot of inflows from tax receipts. Those deposits then run off in the second quarter. So the second quarter is typically down slightly, and then we build back up in the third and fourth quarters.
So yes, if you look at the guide, that mid-single -- mid- to high single-digit guide would be on the higher end if you don't add back the deposits that we sold at the end of 2025.
Got it. And then, Wally, I think I heard you say that the NIM guide currently assumes 2 cuts in July and December. Would there be any material change to the path for the NIM if we do not get any cuts this year?
So we have about $350 million or so of loans that are maturing for the rest of this year. Those loans on average are priced around 5%. As Lance said, we're pricing -- in the first quarter, we were pricing new loans in the 630 to 650 range. So if the Fed doesn't cut and we don't see meaningful spread pressures, then we'll pick up an extra 25 basis points or so on those loans that are repricing.
We've moved cuts from March and June to July and December. And so that's -- that would be in the guide. So the December cut is not going to impact the guide that much. So if the July cut comes out of our guidance, then we'd have a little bit of extra boost from those $350 million or so of loans that are repricing. Not hugely material.
Yes. Makes sense. Okay. And then just last thing for me. Obviously, Texas clearly represents the lion's share of loans today. And can you give us any kind of color into what you're seeing in DFW, Houston markets in terms of demand and maybe impacts from continued dislocation with deals in those markets and kind of how you would expect that concentration of loans to the Texas markets to continue as we move forward?
Yes, you're 100% right. Our teams are doing a great job. As we talked about, think $160 million of the CNI growth came out of the Texas market in Q1, and the pipeline would look very similar to that as far as the mix. But also on the deposit side, I mean, we grew $200 million in deposits in Texas. And the exciting part of that is because of the CNI focus we have in those markets with our operating companies, the NIB percentage in Dallas and Houston is clearly higher than other markets across our corporation. So they've actually worked and done a great job now that their total deposit costs in Dallas and Houston are the cheapest that we have, which is crazy to think about. They've done such a good job. A lot of TM revenue that's flowing through there.
From a dislocation perspective, you're right. I think Drake used the term generational. I can tell you that we're feeling it in a significant way. A year ago, I was spending all of my time around Optimize and sort of resetting, thinking through cost reductions. I can tell you right now, I'm spending all my time recruiting. We're having significant and meaningful conversations across our footprint, literally in every market. Of the 15 new production hires that we had in Q1, I think it's lined out exactly like you would hope it would be. It was 6 in Houston and 6 in North Texas. The opportunities we're seeing, and think hopefully, we'll be announcing very soon, are going to really move this company forward.
I would also say that we see significant opportunity in the Southeast market. That they're maturing and coming into their own, conversations that are being had. So while Texas clearly is the driver for us, the Southeast is going to pick up dramatically.
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Gary at D.A. Davidson.
I had just another question about the CNI growth in the quarter. Do you have a sense of kind of how much was new customer generated versus increased utilization among your existing customer base? Is there any sense that there's a pickup in company investment to take advantage of the tax bill and accelerated depreciation or anything along those lines?
Yes. I don't have an exact number for you, but I will tell you kind of going through loan committee and going through pipelines, looking at that, I think you're right. I do think the vast majority of it was more business from existing customers. I mean we are actively working with our business development officers and TMOs and bankers to make calls and bring in new customers, and that will pick up even greater with these new hires that we're bringing on new clients. But the vast majority of this is additional business in Texas. And I think you're right. I think there's incentives to drive new business from this administration that's paying off.
Okay. I appreciate that. And then just another kind of NIM-related question. In terms of the deposit cost side of things right now. You've got obviously some CDs repricing in the second quarter. Just hoping to get a sense of where you -- how much opportunity you think there still is in terms of deposit repricing, let's say, in the absence of rate cuts from here? Or are we pretty near a bottom?
I would tell you that with the last cut that we got, our markets worked very hard to improve pricing. We looked at what we thought were opportunity with some higher cost deposits across the franchise. And I would tell you that absent another cut, I don't see that we have more opportunity to improve those costs. And our goal, part of our ethos, as Drake mentioned, was that to be disciplined around pricing. And as loan growth accelerates, we need to fund that loan growth with new deposit growth.
So I would suspect that we are near bottom on deposits as we have to make sure that we're funding new loans with deposits. New deposits tend to come in a little bit more expensive than your existing deposit base. So yes, I don't think -- I wouldn't model that we have a lot of opportunity on the deposit side from a net interest margin perspective. The greater opportunity is really coming from the repricing of loans, where I mentioned, we're picking up today 125 to 150 basis points of spread.
Appreciate that. And just kind of one more deposit-related question. Have you seen a significant shift in competition around deposit pricing, whether Louisiana or Texas or otherwise?
Yes, it's leaking in. As a matter of fact, I had -- I've got two mailers sitting on my desk right now from competitor banks here in North Louisiana. One was a 3.8% CD, and one was about a 3.55% money market. And so we're fortunate here that we have such a competitive advantage in North Louisiana. I mean obviously, the pricing does matter, but we're being very disciplined on that. We have long-term relationships with these clients. But you are right, as these banks are trying to get growth, they're going to have to fund it somehow. And so the competition is going to be fierce.
And ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the Q&A session. Handing it back to Drake Mills for any final remarks.
Yes. As I mentioned earlier, we have just a deep commitment throughout our company to deliver on Optimize Origin. We have significant momentum in all of our markets, and we're seeing an acceleration of high-quality production, as I said earlier. As we're blessed to be a part of these dynamic markets that are truly experiencing generational dislocation, it has given us opportunities that I just didn't see it as an opportunity in my career. So as we move forward, we are going to be highly disciplined and not only our growth, our pricing, our quality and the decisions that we make that balance growth and earnings momentum.
So I appreciate everybody being on the call. Appreciate your confidence in us, and look forward to seeing most of you on the road in the month of May. Thank you.
Thank you. This concludes today's call. A replay will be made available shortly after today's call. Thank you, and have a great day.
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Origin Bancorp — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Origin Bancorp — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Origin Bancorp, Inc. Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. My name is David, and I'll be your Evercall coordinator. The format of the call includes prepared remarks from the company followed by a question and answer session. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Chris Reigelman, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. We issued our earnings press release yesterday afternoon, a copy of which is available on our website, along with the slide presentation that we will refer to during this call. Please refer to Page 2 of our slide presentation, which includes our safe harbor statements regarding forward-looking statements and use of non-GAAP financial measures.
For those of you joining by the phone, please note the slide presentation is available on our website at ir.origin.bank. Please also note that our safe harbor statements are available on Page 7 of our earnings release filed with the SEC yesterday.
All comments made during today's call are subject to the safe harbor statements in our slide presentation and earnings release. I'm joined this morning by Origin Bancorp's Chairman, President and CEO, Drake Mills; President and CEO of Origin Bank, Lance Hall; our Chief Financial Officer, Wally Wallace; Chief Risk Officer, Jim Crotwell; Chief Accounting Officer, Steve Brolly; and our Chief Credit and Banking Officer, Preston Moore. After the presentation, we'll be happy to address any questions you may have. Drake, the call is yours.
Thanks, Chris, and thanks for being with us this morning. This time last year on our call, we introduced Optimize Origin. As we outlined, Optimize Origin was more than a project, it was more than a point in time. It represented an evolution for our company and how we connect our award-winning culture with our drive for elite financial performance.
Our short-term goal was for a 1% or greater ROA run rate by the fourth quarter of 2025. We accomplished this goal. While I am pleased with our results, I'm not surprised how our team delivered. We remain laser-focused on our ultimate goal of delivering a top quartile ROA. Origin has a tremendous amount of momentum as we enter this new year. I'm proud of the progress that we've made and extremely optimistic about our future. My optimism is based on 3 primary themes. First, our team continues to execute on Optimize Origin. Second, we continue to capitalize on the disruption in our markets created by recent M&A activity. And third, we have no barrier to growth as we have properly prepared to pass $10 billion in assets. Our teams and our markets are ready. Now I'll turn it over to Lance and the team.
Thanks, Drake, and good morning. As Drake mentioned, we have a deep sense of optimism for Origin as we enter 2026, and that is felt throughout our entire company. I'm proud of the passion and discipline our team showed in 2025 and the aspirational belief we share together in what we can be as a company. My confidence in what we accomplished is based on our team's unrelenting focus and execution surrounding Optimize.
This past year, we achieved 20% ownership of Argent Financial, consolidated banking centers, restructured the way we deliver mortgages to the market and reduced FTEs by nearly 7%. NII was up 10.2%.
Total revenue, excluding notable items, was up 8.8% and noninterest expense, excluding notables, was down 0.7%. I've said before on our previous calls that I felt our production has been masked by planned reductions due to our client selection process and by payoff and paydown pressures. Even with these dynamics and a data-driven strategic reduction in our production team, loan originations increased approximately $500 million or 37% year-over-year and loan and swap fees increased 57% over the same period. Our continued execution of Optimize Origin is critical to our success.
At its core, Optimize is about simplifying how we work, sharpening execution, eliminating friction and freeing up our teams to spend more time creating value for our clients. Optimize will continue to guide how we improve performance, strengthen accountability and invest intentionally for the future. In late 2024 and 2025, our efforts were primarily focused on balance sheet management and expense reduction. In 2026, we are intensifying our focus on the client delivery model and opportunities for additional revenue growth. As Drake mentioned, the disruption in our markets is a tremendous opportunity for us. Just over the past few months, we've added more than 10 production bankers in Houston and Dallas-Fort Worth and see additional opportunities ahead.
This investment and disruption is a major strategic focus for us in 2026. Our guidance assumes we will invest roughly $10 million in new bankers and banking teams throughout our markets this year. These investments are on top of continued investments we're making across the organization that should drive continued efficiencies and growth as we strive for our ultimate top quartile ROA target.
We feel strongly that the current environment presents unprecedented opportunity for Origin. We are poised to take advantage of it. Now I'll turn it over to Jim.
Thanks, Lance. I am pleased to report sound credit metrics for the quarter. Total past dues at year-end came in at 0.96% of total loans, reflecting no change from the prior quarter. Past dues 30 to 89 days came in at 0.19%, a moderate increase from 0.1% as of 9/30 and compares favorably to a level of 0.24% reported as of the prior year-end.
Net charge-offs for the quarter were $3.2 million, which were in line with expectations and represent a 0.17% annualized charge-off rate for the quarter. During the quarter, nonperforming assets declined from 1.18% to 1.07% at year-end, an approximately $7 million reduction. We did experience a slight increase in total classifieds, increasing from 1.84% of total loans to 1.92%, an increase of $9.3 million, driven primarily by the downgrade of 4 relationships, partially offset by a reduction in 5 relationships.
For the quarter, our allowance for credit losses increased $523,000 to $96.8 million. On a percentage basis, our allowance remained stable at 1.34% of total loans net of mortgage warehouse compared to 1.35% for the prior quarter. As in recent quarters, we did not experience any significant changes in our CECL model assumptions with the actual increase this quarter primarily driven by loan growth. Lastly, as to total ADC and CRE, we continue to have ample capacity to meet the needs of our clients and grow this segment of our portfolio, reflecting funding to total risk-based capital of 47% for ADC and 236% for CRE.
We continue to be pleased with the sound credit performance of our portfolio. I'll now turn it over to Wally.
Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. Turning to the financial highlights. In Q4, we reported diluted earnings per share of $0.95. We also reported net income of $29.5 million, which drives a run rate return on average assets of 1.19%, well above the targeted 1% plus run rate that we outlined as our near-term target last January. As you can see on Slide 25, the combined financial impact of notable items during the quarter equated to net expense of $1.7 million, equivalent to $0.04 in EPS pressure.
On a pretax pre-provision basis, we reported $40.6 million in Q4. Excluding $1.6 million in net expense from notable items in Q4 and $7.9 million of net revenue in Q3, pretax pre-provision earnings increased to $42.2 million from $39.9 million and annualized pretax pre-provision ROA increased to 1.7% from 1.63%. On the balance sheet side, loans grew 1.8% sequentially and 1.1% when excluding mortgage warehouse.
Total deposits declined 0.3% during the quarter. However, on the last day of the year, we sold $215 million in interest-bearing deposits. These deposits were repurchased 2 days later. Excluding the sale, deposits would have increased 2.3% during the quarter.
Also, while noninterest-bearing deposits declined 1.0% sequentially, they increased 5.3% on an average basis and ended the quarter at 23% of total deposits after adjusting to include the $215 million in deposits sold and then repurchased. Moving forward, we're currently targeting loan and deposit growth in the mid- to high single digits for the year. We remain optimistic that momentum will continue to build, especially as we capitalize on M&A-driven disruption in our markets. And our expectation is for loan growth to be more weighted to the second half of the year. Turning to the income statement. Net interest margin expanded 8 basis points during the quarter to 3.73%, ahead of our expectations.
Moving forward, we expect slight margin compression in Q1 due to timing differences in loan versus deposit repricing following the recent Fed rate cuts. By Q4, we currently anticipate NIM in the 3.70% to 3.80% range with current bias to the higher end. Our outlook includes 25 basis point Fed rate cuts in March and June. Combined with our balance sheet growth expectations, this results in expected net interest income growth in the mid- to high single digits for both the full year and Q4 over Q4.
Shifting to noninterest income. We reported $16.7 million in Q4. Excluding $483,000 in net benefits from notable items in Q4 and $9 million in net benefits in Q3, noninterest income declined to $16.3 million from $17.1 million due largely to a reduction in swap fee income and normal seasonality in our insurance segment. Moving forward, we anticipate full year noninterest income growth in the mid- to high single digits with Q4 over Q4 growth in the low to mid-single digits when excluding notable items. We reported noninterest expense of $62.8 million in Q4. Excluding $1.3 million in expense from notable items in Q4 and $1 million in Q3, noninterest expense increased to $61.5 million from $61.1 million.
Moving forward, as both Drake and Lance mentioned, we believe there is a significant opportunity facing Origin as a result of M&A-driven disruption across our footprint. Given the magnitude of this potential opportunity, we felt the best strategic decision we could make for the long-term benefit of our shareholders is to invest in the production side of our business. As a result, our expense outlook is for mid-single-digit growth, both for the full year and on a Q4-over-Q4 basis after excluding notable items. Combined with our revenue growth outlook, the end result is the expectation that we will achieve a run rate ROA of at least 1.15% in Q4 and a pretax pre-provision run rate ROA in excess of 1.72%.
Lastly, turning to capital. We note that Q4 tangible book value grew sequentially to $35.04, the 13th consecutive quarter of growth. And the TCE ratio ended the quarter at 11.3%, up from 10.9% in Q3. During 2025, we redeemed roughly $145 million in sub debt and repurchased roughly $16 million worth of our common stock, all while maintaining regulatory capital ratios above levels considered well capitalized, as shown on Slide 24 of our investor presentation. As such, we continue to have capital flexibility. With that, I will now turn it back to Drake.
Thanks, Wally. As we close out 2025, I want to reiterate how proud I am of our team and the results we delivered throughout the year. The initial steps we have taken with optimize Origin have made us a stronger, more resilient and more efficient company. We are entering 2026 with significant momentum, a stronger earnings profile and a sharper focus on our employees, customers, communities and shareholders. I believe there is more opportunity before us than at any other time in my career. Origin is officially on the offensive. Thank you for being on the call. We'll open it up for questions.
[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Matt from Stephens.
2. Question Answer
I guess I think it was Lance's comments that the bank has already taken advantage of some market disruption with some recent new hires. I think Lance said it was about 10 producers in the footprint. It's great to hear. As far as the expense guidance that you provided, any more color about how many producers this implies that you're targeting for the year? Is it those 10? Or do you expect additional hires? I'm just trying to appreciate any volatility we could see in the expense line item from new producer hires or other items in the expense base?
Yes. Matt, thanks for the question. I'll take part of this and maybe Wally want to jump in on part of this. No, we have a lot of dry powder in that $10 million to be able to hire on top of that $10 million plus. Those are some that we've done in the last couple of months, some here in the recently kind of in the last 30 days. But I can tell you, it's a fun time for us right now. We're having very strategic conversations in every one of our markets with bankers and banking teams.
This is the opportunity for us to really leverage our award-winning culture and our geographic model and kind of build from an organic perspective. So that $10 million that we're talking about, I couldn't tell you if that's another 15 or 20 bankers or what it's going to be specifically, but it's kind of a little bit of a war chest to allow us to accomplish both things we want to accomplish, which is have a nice steady ROA build and at the same time, to invest in future revenue by taking advantage of this disruption. So it's a great spot for us to be in.
Yes. And Matt, maybe I'll just provide a little bit more color specifically on sort of the expense load and how we're thinking about it to help you all out. So look, we have the 10 hires that started late in the fourth quarter or even some were starting early this quarter, January 1 of this year. We also will have our merit increases and cost of living adjustments that kick in, in the first quarter. And then we also have the full impact of payroll taxes that come back in, in the first quarter.
On top of that, if you noticed in the press release when we discussed our fourth quarter noninterest expense, we talked about some increase driven by technology contract renegotiation expense. From time to time, we partner with another party or third parties that will help us renegotiate some of our larger technology contracts. And as part of Optimize, we turned over every stone and took a look at all of our contracts, and we partnered with the firm to help us with some of our larger ones. We completed one of those during the fourth quarter, and we anticipate seeing the benefits of that negotiation beginning to impact the expense run rate this year.
However, we are also in the process of renegotiating an even larger one that we are in the late stages of, and we're anticipating that we will finish that negotiation during the first quarter. When we finish one of these negotiations, there is a sizable upfront expense that gets booked and then you get to see the run rate benefit after that. So to kind of put that all into numbers, I would say maybe we think about a $64 million expense run rate, plus or minus $1 million the first quarter with the -- assuming we close this negotiation in the first quarter and book that fee, it would be on the higher end of that range. And then you'd see the benefits in the second, third and fourth quarter bringing us down at the low end of the range.
And then as we layer on hires, we'll build that expense back up. So think about $64 million and then you all can try to guess as good as we can as to when we'll hire, but we're actively in discussions, and we anticipate that we will continue to be looking for new people to have discussions with as the year progresses, just given this disruption. So that was a lot of words, but hopefully, that helps you all just kind of think about the expenses in your models.
Yes, Wally, that was perfect. Very helpful. Thanks for kind of going through all that stuff. Makes sense. And maybe just one point of clarification for Lance. As far as the new hires as it relates to the loan growth guidance this year, any of those new hires you expect to impact the loan growth guidance in '26? Or is that more of a 2027 impact?
Yes. And Wally you may want to correct me. I think the vast majority of what we put into budget was at the back half or Q4. I mean, as we make these hires, they have nonsolicitation, noncompete language. There's timing around that. So anything that got put in for this year was very much in the back half.
Yes. I would just add, Matt, that the equation for us is how do we balance our desire to improve our profitability run rate while also taking advantage of what looks to be almost a generational opportunity from potential disruption. So known hires, people that we have hired and have started, we budgeted, like Lance said, that there would be impact really, really back-end loaded given the time it takes to get on board and then to start communicating with customers and building new relationships and impacting our balance sheet.
And then unknown hires, it's hard to budget them. So we would anticipate that a lot of the dry powder that Lance referenced would be impacting the 2027 loan growth run rate. So hopefully, we can continue to see our loan growth accelerate in the coming 1, 2 to even 3 years depending on how long we can capitalize on this disruption.
Okay. And then I guess switching gears on the net interest margin, Wally, it sounds like the margin, I don't know, may got of itself in the fourth quarter. It sounds like the loan beta could catch up in the first quarter. Just any more clarification on the margin and what we saw in the fourth quarter and kind of more about what you mentioned in the prepared remarks about the first quarter.
Yes. So thanks, Matt. We do get some timing differential. Our bankers have been very disciplined, and we are anticipating how we're going to move deposit costs before Fed moves. And the cuts that we got in the fourth quarter, we moved deposits on day 1. For the floating rate loans, those loans don't reprice until their next billing cycle. So if somebody got their bill right before the Fed cuts and then they cut, it would be 30 days before we see the impact of that on the loan pricing. So we've already got the benefit of the deposit reset starting to flow through the numbers, but the loan pricing will come down on a slight lag.
So that results in a little bit of pressure in the first quarter. But we still have the tailwinds from assets repricing. In 2026, we've got about $150 million or so of securities that will roll off and that we will replace. We're picking up right now about 50 to 75 basis points on spread on those. And then we've got $350 million to $400 million of loans maturing in 2026.
The average yield on those is about 4.8%. And right now, new yields are in the kind of low to mid-6s. So we're picking up some decent spread on those as well. So net-net, we do anticipate after the first quarter that you'd see margin expand back up to what we provided on the outlook slide, that 3.75 range, plus or minus 5 basis points.
Our next question comes from Michael from Raymond James Financial.
Maybe just following up on Matt's question just around the incremental hires this year. Yes, I think we would agree that there's a lot of potential opportunity here, another deal announced yesterday. What types of lenders -- I assume most of these are lenders are you trying to hire? Any change? And I assume most of them maybe would be targeted in Texas, but there's clearly been some disruption in other areas of your footprint. Maybe if you can just give us some details on kind of what you're looking for? And would you expect that pace of hiring to kind of persist through the year with the potential for more in 2027? Or is this -- and I'm trying to get to the point of like does the expense growth potentially slow as we move into 2027 as you get more positive operating leverage from the plans for this year?
Yes, this is Lance. Yes, very much so. So the strategic identification of kind of bankers that are going to be really effective in our model really are C&I focused with also kind of a focus on deposits and treasury. So of the 11-ish that we've hired so far, it's been, I'm going to say, 2 private bankers, 3 treasury management officers and the rest are C&I lenders.
And I think that will be kind of the mix as we continue to grow as we're balancing really strong core deposit growth along with this loan opportunity. Yes, at the volume of the conversations we're having, I think this is going to be a consistent opportunity for the foreseeable future. I do think operating leverage will continue to enhance for us through this because it's a unique combination right now of our organic pipeline just from the business that we have is really strong and growing.
One of the things we talked about in the last couple of quarters was I really felt like I was seeing really strong originations that was getting masked by some of the credits that we were pushing out as well as sort of unusual payoffs and paydowns. It was interesting to watch this quarter kind of get back to normal.
We saw the highest origination level that we've seen in over 2 years as well as the paydowns and payoffs drop to the lowest level in 2 years. And then looking at what our pipeline is for the next 30 days, like there's a real ramp-up of demand and loan opportunity at what I think are the really disciplined pricing levels. And so I'm very optimistic without the hires of our ability to get that upper single-digit growth, mid- to high single-digit growth and then just sort of gets the accelerator with these new hires that we have targeted. So really, really optimistic around that.
Michael, this is Drake. I also want to -- as you ask about '27 and trying to understand about positive operating leverage, I've been extremely proud of Lance and this bank team because as we bring these hires on, especially as we focus on our ROA hurdles, they are doing an excellent job of continuing to cut out expense out of the organization to cover up some of the costs that we have of bringing these new people in. So it's just not -- we're not sitting here resting our laurels as far as expense management. We're reducing those expenses as we bring these people on. So it somewhat neutralizes that in '27.
Yes. Maybe a data point or 2, Drake, that's a good point. Kind of going back to the beginning of Optimize, we've now reduced our commercial banking team by almost 25%, and that was pushing out portfolios that we just didn't think were going to be the right mix for us or the ability to kind of grow ROA at the level that we needed it done. And it wasn't necessarily to cut expense. It was really to reinvest into better producers, better revenue streams. We're seeing that.
Just last year, the average ROA of our bankers' portfolios increased by 26 bps. And so the work around ROA and the data that Wally and his team are doing is really paying dividends for helping us make better decisions on future revenue growth.
Very helpful color. And maybe just the follow-up here would be -- when I look at current consensus, I'm not saying it's right, but it does show that ROA kind of stagnates in '27. But I think what I'm hearing today is you guys are going to continue to invest, reap those benefits, maybe some of the technology costs come off here, sustainably higher loan growth. I know the peer hurdle has moved to get into that top quartile as well.
So it seems like to kind of get there, you're going to have to do more in '27. Is that the way that we should all kind of conceptually think about it? And then I guess the last piece of that, sorry for so many questions would be the capital build here is fairly meaningful. Why not lean into the buyback a little bit more as well?
Well, first off, as we look into '27, we are going to stay focused on where that peer ROA is and what it takes to get in the upper quartile. And to do that, Optimize Origin, as I said in my opening comments, isn't a project. This is a continuance of how we focus on the profitability and the overall culture of this company. So we will continue to look at fine-tuning.
We haven't talked at all about third-party management on some of these expenses and projects that we have that are still in the pipeline that I think are going to create significant revenue opportunities, but also to enhance as we continue to model things that work and don't work and reduce the expenses on those things that are not. So I'm pretty -- I've got a bullish outlook on '27 is continuing to ramp up ROA and not stagnate. So through that, when you start talking about capital deployment, we do see a significant opportunity with this dislocation in these markets. And we think that growth is going to come at a faster pace than what we are planning at this point just because of the upset in the markets. And what happened yesterday is going to continue to help us in Texas, but it's across our footprint. I've been very pleased with what's going on in Louisiana. So first off, our organic growth story and strategy is in play, and we think it's really going to accelerate.
I love capital, but the reality of it is, I think buybacks are a part of our life today. It makes sense for us. It creates strong shareholder value. But we'll also be looking at dividends, and I think you'll see some opportunities there for us to deploy some capital as we go forward. So we're going to stay focused on 20% of our earnings through going out in dividends. And I think buybacks are here for a while.
Our next question comes from Woody from KBW.
I wanted to just follow up on the disruption. And obviously, it should be a boon for the hiring front. But do you feel the impact of that on the loan competition side? Or is competition as intense as ever?
Yes. Woody, this is Lance. Good question. We were actually talking about that this morning. I would say it is highly competitive, but not irrational is the way I would say it. I think the competitors have been good. I mean, we're starting to see some tighter margins around SOFR quotes, primarily in the urban markets. On the opposite side, the main competition on the deposit side, some of the smaller community banks.
But I don't feel that it's irrational at this point. And I feel like there's still discipline and there's still opportunity to kind of keep growing margin and ROA.
And I love what Lance said because internally, this is about profitable growth. We are looking at total relationships and the market opportunities we have give us the opportunity to be extremely disciplined through this process.
So it's not about total growth. I think we can sit here and grow 15%, 20%. But when we look at our ROA hurdles and what it takes to make a relationship profitable to the point that it accelerates that, that's where our focus is. And I'm really pleased that we have these opportunities and can stay disciplined.
Got it. And then on the deposit side, I mean, you all have been very successful in lowering deposit costs during this current easing cycle. Are we at the point yet where incremental cuts, it gets a little more difficult to lower deposit rates? Or do you think that you can continue these deposit betas?
Yes, I'll let Wally speak to the betas, but I'll just tell you, anecdotally, I feel like we still have opportunity. I think the back half of last year, I think we saw some of the benefit and the power of the rural deposit base we have in North Louisiana. We spend a lot of time talking about Texas as our sort of driving force and rightfully so.
I mean, we grew like loan originations 36% year-over-year and 75% of that was in Texas. But if you step back, we actually grew deposits 14% in Louisiana at our lowest deposit price point across our footprint. So Louisiana continues to pay huge dividends, and that's a big piece of getting our total deposit cost down. So I think there's still opportunity for us to push on that.
Yes. Woody, I would just add, when you think about our deposit betas, we -- in our outlook and internally, when we think about how to model net interest margin or net interest income, we're still using our historical beta assumptions in the model, though we have been beating that so far. It does just -- it does feel like at some point, it's going to get harder to beat that beta.
But it is an area of focus for us. We think it's an area of opportunity for us. So hopefully, we can continue to exceed our own expectations on the deposit beta side of the equation.
That's helpful color. And then just last for me. As I think about like the top end of the range for the net interest margin versus the bottom end, does it really come down to loan growth where if growth is stronger, you all might be on the lower end of that range. And if it's lighter, you all might be at the top. Is that the right way to think about it?
I think that's a fair way to word it, Woody. We don't know how promotional acquiring banks are going to be, and that could put pressure to loan spreads. We are putting some of that in our modeling. But if those pressures increase, then yes, that could put us towards the lower end. And that equation is also true on the deposit side of the equation.
So we're just trying to -- it's a wide range and we get it, but we're just trying to solve for the fact that we just don't know how banks are going to act until we see it. So we'll continue to update you from quarter-to-quarter. But right now, even with some pressures on spreads on both sides of the equation, our bias is towards the higher end of that range, but that could come down if the pressure intensifies.
Our next question comes from Stephen from Piper Sandler.
Not to beat a dead horse on the new hire conversation, but you talked about it being a generational opportunity. So I think it's worth continuing. Can you talk about maybe how you think about the earn-back period or like a breakeven period on these new hires, just how long it takes them once they get past these noncompetes and what have you? And then just how you compete for these folks? Because obviously, everyone -- every bank we talk to is talking about this generational opportunity and the industry is in a great spot, right? Everybody seems to have capital and want to grow. So how do you become the bank that these people want to come to?
Well, first off, I think we're so focused on C&I, owner-occupied CRE and those lenders, they want to be in a shop that does C&I good and it supports the markets. Also, I think we have very good representation in all of our markets. I think about Nate in the Southeast and that has deep relationships with these teams that have worked with them at some point in time. They have respect for our presidents in our markets.
And I think the relationship, the culture, the C&I drive and how we manage our teams is certainly gives us somewhat of a competitive advantage. Through this, we have been pretty focused on 12- to 15-month earnback or profitability levels timing, I should say, on these teams. And where Nate and his team in the Southeast took 18 months, they are now profitable. That was in an environment with higher interest rates and tough to move some credits until maturity.
So we're in a different environment. We like the environment we're in, and we think that we can pick and choose the right people that fit our culture, that fit our philosophies when it comes to lending and are in the markets and the industries that we want to lend into. So I think overall, that gives us a very strong competitive advantage to be successful.
Yes. I might would add just -- I love this opportunity more than I like M&A just because we can really use data to really drive and what type of clients do we want inside of our portfolio, and you can do that kind of from a low-risk environment and identifying and targeting teams. This is where our culture shines. I mean when you're named one of the best banks in America to work for repeatedly and then you combine that with our geographic model, which C&I bankers really like to be a part of that you have an entrepreneurial attitude, not in a siloed line of business, you get to bank your clients.
And so if we can offer a good model, an entrepreneurial organization, somebody that allows them to bank the clients they want to bank from a C&I perspective, really good treasury management tools that allow them to kind of go up market, I think it creates a competitive advantage for Origin.
Yes, that's really good. And Lance, you touched on something that I wanted to hit, and it's like is the use of data. And it seems like a lot of the progress has been aided by really intentional and sophisticated use of data. I'm curious how that has helped shape the composition of your loan growth and kind of what you're focused on and maybe how that shifted from a couple of years ago, whether it's risk-adjusted returns, loan sizes, loan type and just kind of how this Optimized Origin process has changed the focus of the bank as you move forward and how you lend.
Yes. I'm so glad you asked that question. I mean that has kind of become the driving force of what we do. And I give Wally and his team all the credit. I mean, we're -- honestly, we're just a different company than we were 2.5 years ago because of our access to meaningful and actionable data, spend tremendous amount of time digging into portfolio data, banker profitability, client profitability, product profitability. You've seen what we've done with branches. It's just kind of obsessing now over finding ROA enhancement opportunities through the use of data.
Our ability now to kind of design like what a top performer banker looks like for us inside of our model using data. And then the flip side is kind of what the bottom performing bankers look like and then how do you coach from that from a data perspective? Or how do you know it's time to kind of push out and reinvest. So I actually kind of can't give Wally them enough credit for what they've done for us.
It helps drive type of deposit clients we want, our investments in treasury, the loan mix. I mean there's just so much there that is -- we're making decisions in a different way than we have kind of over my history here because of what's at our fingertips.
Yes, that's fantastic. And then I guess last for me. Obviously, net charge-offs came back to like a more normalized level here this quarter. I'm sure NPLs are still a bit more elevated than you guys would like. With everything going on, all the positives, is there anything that can be done there to migrate some of the credit -- the lingering credit issues maybe down a bit quicker? Or how do you think about the path for nonperformers from here?
This is Jim. Yes, when Lance spoke to client selection move out, it's really shifting more toward those loans that are criticized in this quarter, the $45 million, 75% of that was in the criticized area. And so that really is our focus.
So I'm very pleased with the progress we made on nonperforming for the quarter, and we see some reduction there. We've always had some good news early on this quarter. And that is really our focus to really drive those metrics down, particularly as it relates to nonperforming. So I feel good where we are in the direction of what I'm seeing that we can accomplish in '26.
Our next caller is Gary from D.A. Davidson.
I had a couple of questions. One, just moving over to the fee side for a minute. Just curious about the swap activity in the quarter, obviously down quite a bit. And I think you had kind of flagged that it would be down, but pretty minimal in the quarter. So just wondering if there was anything unusual behind that. I would have thought with the expected and actual rate cuts that it would have been a little more active.
Yes. No, I actually just think it was extraordinary in the third quarter, to be honest with you. I think it kind of came back and normalized a little bit. A little hard to budget for the -- I mean we actually had -- I think our swap and loan fees were up 59% kind of year-over-year. We had a great -- we expect really good volumes around that this year, but maybe not quite to the same level we had last year. So I think it was more about the third quarter being really high.
Okay. And then you had noted securities cash flow is about $150 million. If loan growth comes in a bit stronger, is there room to work the securities portfolio down a bit more and use some of those cash flows to fund loan growth? Or is the base case assumption that it's fully reinvested in the securities portfolio?
Yes. Gary, we have worked very hard over the past 2 to 3 years to work the securities portfolio down to a reasonable portion of the balance sheet. And we define that as kind of the 11% to 12% range, which is where it's at right now. So we anticipate that we will keep the securities portfolio where it is relative to assets. So if loan growth accelerates, then you'd actually see the securities portfolio build accordingly.
So no, there's not -- we don't anticipate that there's any room for a shift out of securities into loans. Now I would note, though, that we do have a lot of liquidity right now. Some of that is seasonal due to public funds seasonality and tax season, et cetera. So there could be some opportunity as we deploy liquidity into the loan portfolio that's not currently in the securities portfolio for some benefit there.
Yes. And then maybe also, we did a really good job of growing core deposits last year, which allowed us the luxury of replacing all of our broker deposits. I think at this point, correct, Wally, we have no broker deposits.
Correct. That's exactly right. We're in a good shape from a liquidity perspective, Drake.
This concludes the Q&A. Handing back to Drake Mills for any final remarks.
Thank you. As we look forward to 2026, we are blessed with many positives. Margin expansion, treasury management revenue growth, fee revenue growth, expense management, pipeline growth, strong loan growth outlook, deposit noninterest-bearing growth. Partners in Argent, 20% has been a big hit for us. Southeast market hit profitability in Q3, which is a big move for us.
Our mortgage group has a positive contribution now. We have strong teams and strong dislocation in our markets. So due to Optimize our geographic footprint, we feel we're positioned to be balanced and disciplined. I think that is critical as we move forward to consistently build ROA while also investing in our long-term growth and shareholder value. We are so focused on how do we manage and create greater shareholder value. It's taking commitment and focus to put Origin in a position of offense. I look forward to a very rewarding 2026.
Thank you for being on the call, and thank you for your support.
This concludes today's call. Thank you, and have a great day.
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Origin Bancorp — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Origin Bancorp — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Origin Bancorp, Inc. Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Tom, and I'll be your Evercall coordinator. [Operator Instructions]. Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Chris Reigelman. Chris, you may proceed.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. We issued our earnings press release yesterday afternoon, a copy of which is available on our website, along with the slide presentation that we will refer to during this call.
Please refer to Page 2 of our slide presentation, which includes our safe harbor statements regarding forward-looking statements and the use of non-GAAP financial measures.
For those joining by phone, please note the slide presentation is available on our website at www.ir.origin.bank. Please also note that our safe harbor statements are available on Page 7 of our earnings release filed with the SEC yesterday. All comments made during today's call are subject to safe harbor statements in our slide presentation and earnings release.
I'm joined this morning by Origin Bancorp's Chairman, President and CEO, Drake Mills; President and CEO of Origin Bank, Lance Hall; our Chief Financial Officer, Wally Wallace; Chief Risk Officer, Jim Crotwell; our Chief Accounting Officer, Steve Brolly; and our Chief Credit and Banking Officer, Preston Moore. After the presentation, we'll be happy to address any questions you may have. Drake, the call is yours.
Thanks, Chris, and thanks for being with us this morning. Before we discuss our third quarter performance, I want to share my perspective on Tricolor and the related charge-off.
We had a 20-year relationship with Tricolor. During that time, Origin has grown into a dynamic company that strategically builds relationships and has a strong system of risk mitigation. For Tricolor, our systems and processes included audited financials, various loan covenants, monthly borrowing base certificates and a third-party trust company as collateral custodian.
However, even with the best practices of risk mitigation, losses can occur in the event of a customer fraud. As a leader, it's important to use an event like this as an opportunity to better your organization by diving deep into policies, processes and portfolios to identify lessons learned.
Our decision to charge off the entire Tricolor outstanding debt is extremely conservative. We do anticipate recoveries through a combination of no collections, insurance claims and legal recourse. This isolated event does not define Origin.
When I think of our long history of success, the depth of our management team, the momentum we have generated with Optimize Origin and the unprecedented opportunities within our markets due to M&A-driven disruption, I am passionate and confident we will achieve our ultimate goal of being a top-quartile performer. Now, I'll turn it over to Lance and the team.
Thanks, Drake, and good morning. I'm extremely proud of how we've executed on Optimize Origin and the momentum that has been created throughout our markets. We are ahead of pace on our stated plan and are creating real traction on our goal of being a top quartile ROA performer.
Excluding notable items, our pretax pre-provision ROA increased 48 basis points to 1.63% for the third quarter of 2025 compared to 1.15% in the second quarter of 2024 when we began the planning stages of Optimize Origin.
Over the same period, NIM has expanded 48 basis points. Total revenue, excluding notable items, is up 10% and noninterest expense, excluding notable items, is down 3%. We strongly believe the level of paydowns and payoffs that we've seen through the first 3 quarters of this year masks the high level of production we are experiencing.
We continue to see positive trends in loan production with loan originations up 19.2% year-to-date compared to the same period last year. At a more granular level, business loan production under $2.5 million across our footprint is up 22.9% during that same period.
Through Optimize and through insight into data gleaned from our banker profitability reports, our bankers have heightened their focus on generating ROA lift through relationship expansion. This is highlighted by treasury management fee income increasing 7% year-over-year and loan and swap fees up 62% during the same period.
We've seen a strong build on the deposit side in Q3 as noninterest-bearing deposits were up $158.6 million or 8.6% quarter-over-quarter. While we've come a long way with Optimize Origin, I'm very optimistic about what we can continue to accomplish as we close out the remainder of the year and look towards 2026.
The hires we have made in our DFW markets in addition to our Southeast team reaching profitability gives me great confidence in our ability to drive long-term value in the most dynamic markets in the country. Now, I'll turn it over to Jim.
Thanks, Lance. As Drake mentioned previously, in early September, we became aware of allegation of fraud related to Tricolor. As you are aware, Tricolor filed Chapter 7 bankruptcy last month. As of quarter end, our credit relationship with Tricolor totaled $30.1 million, including $1.5 million in unfunded letters of credit.
We are working with a successor servicer to begin the process of not only servicing the notes, but also working closely with the bankruptcy trustee to identify duplicative and any potential fraudulent notes.
Given fraud allegations and the inability to clearly establish the level of unduplicated notes supporting our loans to Tricolor, we elected to charge off the entirety of the outstanding Tricolor debt totaling $28.4 million and to fully reserve the $1.5 million in unfunded letters of credit. While we do anticipate there will be some level of recovery from the notes pledged, we are unable to determine the magnitude of the suspected fraud with 100% certainty at this time.
We will aggressively pursue all available remedies to protect the bank's interest and maximize recoveries in this matter. As such, net charge-offs for Q3 came in at $31.4 million with $3 million in net charge-offs outside of Tricolor.
On an annualized basis, excluding Tricolor, net charge-offs came in at 0.16% for the quarter. Loans past due 30 to 89 days and still accruing reduced from 0.16% last quarter to 0.10% as of 9/30.
Classified loans increased $10.7 million and as a percentage of total loans increased to 1.84% at quarter end compared to 1.66% as of June 30, while nonperforming assets increased $1.6 million to 1.18% at quarter end compared to 1.14% as of the prior quarter.
For the quarter, our allowance for credit losses increased from 1.29% to 1.35%, net of mortgage warehouse. We did not experience any significant changes in our CECL model assumptions for the quarter, and the increase was primarily driven by increases in the individually evaluated portion of the reserve associated with our nonaccruals.
The level of our reserve at 1.35%, net of mortgage warehouse, compares to a level of 1.31% at year-end 2023. Lastly, as to total ADC and CRE, we continue to have ample capacity to meet the needs of our clients and grow this segment of our portfolio, reflecting funding to total risk-based capital of 47% for ADC and 235% for CRE. I'll now turn it over to Wally.
Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. Turning to the financial highlights, in Q3, we reported diluted earnings per share of $0.27. As you can see on Slide 26, the combined financial impact of notable items during the quarter equated to a net expense of $23.3 million, equivalent to $0.59 in EPS pressure.
On a pretax pre-provision basis, we reported $47.8 million. Excluding $7.9 million in net benefits from notable items in Q3 and $15.6 million net pressures in Q2, pretax pre-provision earnings increased to $39.9 million from $37.1 million.
On the balance sheet side, loans decreased 1.9% sequentially and decreased 0.6% when excluding mortgage warehouse. Total deposits increased 2.6% during the quarter and 2.9% excluding brokered.
Importantly, noninterest-bearing deposits grew 8.6% sequentially, improving to 24% of total deposits. Both total and noninterest-bearing deposits also increased on an average basis, up 0.9% and 1.1%, respectively.
As Lance mentioned, we are excited about the momentum we are seeing from our relationship managers across our markets, and we remain optimistic that loan production is accelerating, though paydowns have remained a near-term headwind to reported loan balances.
While we currently are anticipating that loan growth will return in Q4, the continued declines in Q3 lead us to reduce our loan growth guidance from up low single digits to essentially flat for the year.
Given the positive momentum we have seen on the deposit side of the balance sheet and the typically strong seasonal inflows in Q4, we are maintaining our deposit growth guidance of low single digits for the year.
Turning to the income statement, net interest margin expanded 4 basis points during the quarter to 3.65%, in line with our expectations. Driving most of this expansion was increased interest income from our securities portfolio, in large part due to the portfolio optimization trade executed during Q2.
Moving forward, as you can see in our outlook on Slide 4 and due primarily to the expectation of an additional Fed rate cut, we tightened our margin guidance range to 3.65% in Q4 '25 and 3.60% for the full year, plus or minus 3 basis points.
Our modeling now considers 25 basis point rate cuts in each of October and December as opposed to only December in our prior guide. Shifting to noninterest income, we reported $26.1 million in Q3. Excluding $9 million in net benefits from notable items in Q3 and $14.6 million in net pressures in Q2, noninterest income increased to $17.1 million from $16 million in Q2, due in large part to the addition of $1.2 million of equity method investment income from increasing our ownership in Argent Financial to over 20%.
Our noninterest expense was basically flat at $62 million in Q3. Excluding $1 million of notable items in both Q3 and Q2, noninterest expense increased slightly to $61.1 million from $61.0 million in Q2, in line with our expectations.
We are maintaining our guidance for Q4 and lowering our guidance slightly for the full year to down low single digits from flat to down slightly.
Lastly, turning to capital, we note that Q3 tangible book value grew sequentially to $33.95, the 12th consecutive quarter of growth. And the TCE ratio ended the quarter at 10.9%, flat from Q2.
As shown on Slide 25, all of our regulatory capital levels remain above levels considered well capitalized.
As such, we remain confident that we have the capital flexibility to take advantage of any capital deployment opportunities to drive value for our shareholders.
In fact, during the quarter, we repurchased 265,248 shares at an average price of $35.85. Furthermore, we anticipate the full redemption of the remaining $74 million of subordinated debt on our balance sheet on November 1, which will allow us to save $3 million in net annual increased interest expense. With that, I will now turn it back to Drake.
Thanks, Wally. As you have heard throughout this call, we have a great deal of momentum heading into the fourth quarter and next year.
I referenced in my opening remarks about the opportunities, particularly in our Texas markets, associated with disruption from recent M&A. This year alone, there have been 15 bank acquisitions in Texas, with selling banks totaling $37 billion in deposits.
I firmly believe that we have the infrastructure and bankers to win new business and capitalize on this opportunity.
Thank you for being on the call today, and thanks to our employees who remain committed to our strategic vision of optimizing origin. We'll open up for questions.
[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Matt with Stephens.
2. Question Answer
I want to dig a little bit more on credit. Can you just talk about your NBFI exposure about what this does include and maybe what it does not include? And then secondly, any more -- as you scrub the portfolio, anything you want to disclose as far as exposure to other auto lending or subprime credits that would be of interest?
Matt, it's Jim. I'll start with a little bit of recap color on subprime and then kind of move through some of the questions you asked. Our subprime portfolio at the end of the quarter was about $92 million that represented about 1.2% of total loans.
The breakdown of that would be about 68% would be residential, about 15% RV and about 15% auto. And then kind of moving to your question about subprime auto, reflective, if you kind of do the math on that, it's only 0.2% of our entire portfolio and it consists of 2 relationships, both of which are performing.
And on both of those, as the sole lender in both of those relationships, some of the issues that we are experiencing in Tricolor, the double pledging of collateral, is really not an issue in the situation of these 2 relationships. Moving to the total NBFI portfolio, which is excluding mortgage warehouse, our NBFI exposure is approximately 5% of total loans, 61% of that is real estate related, with 15% related to capital call lines of credit. And the remaining 25% is spread across about 6 different categories.
We've done a deep dive into this entire segment of the portfolio, and these companies have experienced management teams. The underlying loans have good income and cash flow, and our long-term relationships with the bank. And we have no past dues and no performing loans in the entirety of our NBFI segment.
Drake, I heard you mention the Tricolor and the fraud allegations. Can you just walk us through any insurance that could offset some of these charge-offs? And what does that look like compared to the charge-offs that we just saw? And what are some thoughts on time lines around that insurance?
Matt, as I said, we are aggressively pursuing recovery on these loans. We believe in time that we will see some degree of recovery.
But there are -- right now, there's too many variables at present for us to sit here and quantify how much that will be and when that will occur. That's why we took the charge the way we did.
It's at this point, we feel very good that we have these avenues of recovery. And as I've told investors and other relationships I have, I am going to be working diligently to ensure that we have recovery, but it's unclear.
That's why we took the charge away we did. We feel confident that we will have some recovery. It's just in this Chapter 7 and going through bankruptcy and understanding the timing of this is extremely difficult to quantify anything.
Okay. Appreciate that. And then if I could just shift gears over to the loan growth commentary. I think the updated guidance now calls for flat balances in 2025 year-over-year.
If we go back to January earlier this year, I think the guidance was mid- to high single digits, and that was kind of walked down each successive quarter since then.
And Origin is certainly not alone in seeing some of the slower loan growth trends this year, but it does feel more acute at Origin than maybe some of your peers.
So can we just take a step back and remind us about your loan growth views throughout the year and how that evolves? And then would love to hear any kind of preliminary thoughts you may have on loan growth in 2026.
Matt, it's Lance. I'd be glad to go through it. I'm actually really bullish and optimistic about where loan growth is going in Q4 and next year, but we'll kind of step back and understand why I used the word earlier that I feel like our extraordinary origination and production has really been masked by paydowns and payoffs.
So if you think about that, we have actually been averaging the last 4 quarters, $685 million a quarter in paydowns and payoffs, which are extraordinarily high historically for us.
Combination of that is slowing things down purposely to stay under $10 billion has led to a little less than $400 million in reduction of our commercial construction and development portfolio.
So that takes some time to rebuild that back up. So that is -- a big part of our originations for this year is kind of getting back active and aggressive in that space.
And that's one of the reasons we're very bullish on the fundings that will come from that next year. But just to kind of give you a little color, that $685 million per quarter over the last 4 quarters is compared to a little over $500 million, which would be sort of a typical quarter for us. And so part of that is tariffs, part of that is us pushing out credits that Jim has talked about the last few quarters.
But again, I think that has sort of covered up what has been pretty extraordinary on the origination side. Our originations for the first 9 months of this year are up almost 20% compared to the 9 months of the year previously.
Strong pipeline for Q4. I think we're expecting about 2% growth, ex warehouse, for Q4. So if you annualize that kind of at 8% on an annualized basis, I think our guidance for 2026 would continue to be mid- to high single digits.
But we're seeing really positive momentum kind of throughout each of our markets. Texas is starting to come on strong again. Louisiana has been really strong this year.
We've had about 5.5% loan and deposit growth in our Louisiana market. Really like seeing what we're seeing out of Nate and the Southeast team, a good year out of Mississippi. So we are well positioned right now.
And then, I'm sure later we'll talk about Optimize and kind of say how that's translating into NIM expansion and ROA expansion. And so the engine is running really well now, it's just having to kind of get past this unprecedented level of paydowns and payoffs.
Our next question comes from Woody with KBW.
I wanted to start, I think in the opening comments, you mentioned sort of in wake of this event, you'll be evaluating sort of the processes and systems in place to avoid incidents like this in the future. Do you expect there to be any impact to the expense run rate if there's additional investments that need to be made?
At this point, we don't see any additional impact or an impact to expenses. We are going to be utilizing some -- actually a move with one of our executives to come in and create a new group that is internal at this point to really focus on credit management and credit audit process, looking at the components. And as I think about Tricolor and you can sit here and say what lessons were learned.
This is a process that we're undergoing right now, and we've really identified several enhancements that we believe will mitigate risk going forward as we better detect fraud.
As an example, we've conducted a deep dive, as Jim said, and have gone through a comprehensive review of the segment in our portfolio. We're enhancing our processes and controls for monitoring and testing our collateral.
But outside of that, we're expanding the role, as I said of this executive, who will build out a team of internal resources to provide additional oversight and streamlined collateral protection, monitoring and documentation. So I don't see that creating significant or really any additional expense.
Got it. And then -- so you've essentially charged off the full exposure to Tricolor. Is there any indirect exposure to the company like personal loans made to Mr. Chu or any referrals from insiders in the business?
Yes. While we can't necessarily speak to any specific customer information, I feel very strongly that all the exposure in our portfolio has been properly identified and appropriately accounted for.
We do have approximately $500,000 in mortgages with one of the executives, about a 50% LTV and performing. Outside of that, we've disclosed everything, but feel very confident in that we've addressed any type of exposure.
Got it. That's helpful. And then I guess just sort of excluding the impact of Tricolor, just overall thoughts on credit, were there any trends to note in criticized or classified?
Yes, I'm going to let Preston -- Preston and his team have worked diligently through this process to really be able to recap where we are with credit and how we feel. So Preston?
Yes. Clearly, we feel like the Tricolor situation was an isolated and one-off event for Origin Bank. But in terms of the credit trends to get to your question, in my opinion, we saw a normal cycle movement of credits, which in my experience can be lumpy, certainly.
We saw an increase in classified loans, nonperforming loans, charge-offs and past dues in the quarter. The increase in classified loans and nonperforming loans was part of our expected credit migration for the quarter.
With respect to looking at charge-offs, clearly, we had a very elevated charge-off with Tricolor. But if we exclude that, net charge-offs would have been 16 basis points for the quarter, which is very much in line with our past experiences.
And then finally, while total past due loans rose modestly in the quarter, past due 30 to 89 days and still accruing loans declined from 16 basis points last quarter to 10 basis points at the end of the quarter. And I just would say, bottom line, we do not see signs of credit deterioration in our loan portfolio.
[Operator Instructions]. Our next question comes from [ Evan ] with Raymond James.
I know it's been a busy year with Optimize Origin. You've added new benefits to the project each quarter. You're staying under $10 billion at year-end.
But as we look towards 2026, can we expect that the heavy lifting on Optimize Origin is behind us? And is there -- will there be more balance towards balance sheet growth?
Evan, this is Lance. We have a tremendous amount of opportunities still in front of us around Optimize Origin. I think Drake jokingly said we're in the top of the fourth inning when it comes to opportunities. So yes, we've done a lot of heavy lift early.
And you think about the tremendous progress we've made, and we commented on some of this earlier, Optimize was basically crafted in 2Q of '24. And so if you look at that period of time from 2Q '24 to now, as we noted earlier, I mean, ROA is up 48 bps, NIM is up 48 bps.
Revenue is up about 10%, expenses are down about 3%. We've executed on what we said we were going to do with Argent Financial, which is a meaningful lift for us. We've recreated our mortgage business.
We actually had positive contribution income out of our mortgage business this month for the first time in years. Our Southeast market hit profitability last quarter, which is a great trend for us.
We're doing a lot of really cool stuff with data. The use -- and we've talked about this in the past, our banker profitability report since we started Optimize, the ROA of our banker portfolios is up 32 bps on average, and that's really through the identification and understanding of where our revenues are created, where our profits are created.
But then just everything seems to be genuine in a positive way from treasury management to fee revenue.
But for us, Optimize is a continuous process. There's not a stopping point to this for us. So the way that we're continuing to use third-party benchmarking company, we have actually created an internal group that we call performance optimization partners.
They are digging into process improvement, revenue enhancement, expense controls, and the insights that we're getting from that group is setting what's going to be a pretty dynamic strategic planning and budget session for us here in the next 2 weeks.
And so from that, I would expect continual projects that we'll be announcing on Optimize that's really going to continue to transform this company as we evolve this into a top-tier ROA producer.
Great. Great. That's helpful. And then I just had another question on capital. So you mentioned the buybacks this quarter and then I think the redemption of, I think you said $74 million in sub debt in the fourth quarter.
But as we saw most capital ratios tick up, just kind of wondering what your priorities are on capital deployment at this point.
Evan, it's Wally. As far as priorities go, I mean, I think that our #1 priority would be to deploy our capital organically through balance sheet growth. We are very focused on trying to take advantage of any and all disruption in our markets.
And as you know, that disruption has been increasing as of late, we have a successful history of lifting our teams and growing our balance sheet organically. So that would be priority #1. We recognize the level of capital that we have.
We've been in the market the last 2 quarters buying back our own stock, and we will continue to look for opportunities to do that if the stock price remains at levels that we believe are where it's attractive to deploy the capital in the market.
And we are aware of M&A as an opportunity to deploy capital. I don't think that's our focus today, given where our stock is trading, but we would not take that off of the list.
Our next question is a follow-up from Matt with Stephens.
Over the last year, we've talked a lot about this fixed loan repricing dynamic that will support the overall loan yields, and we're definitely seeing the benefits of that over the last few quarters.
As we look at that into 2026 and 2027, how would you characterize the remaining benefits from this dynamic compared to kind of what we've seen more recently?
Matt, it's Wally. So with our with our payoffs and paydowns being elevated, some of that benefit has been pulled forward to this year, which is great for today NIM, but it does take away from a little bit of the tailwind that we have.
That said, though, we still right now, as it stands today, have over $300 million of loans that will have planned payoffs in 2026, those loans are yielding in the mid-4s.
Today, we're putting on loans in the 6.9% to 7% range. So still plenty of opportunity there, and we have over $1 billion of forecasted principal and payoffs coming for the year. So it's still a tailwind, but we have pulled some of that tailwind forward.
If I look at year-over-year, I think our margin is up in the 30 to 35 basis point range. I don't think we'll see that much benefit in 2026. We're putting 4 cuts in our modeling right now and still see 10 to 15 basis points of potential margin expansion from the tailwinds that I just mentioned over the next 5 quarters.
And then just one more point of clarification on the fee income guidance. I think there's some discussion in the deck about -- I see here, kind of a high single-digit -- I'm sorry, low double-digit growth in the fourth quarter.
Can you just -- there are several nonrecurring items and some names that are nonoperating. So I'm a little confused as far as kind of what the base is. Can you -- any way you can clarify the fee income expectations in the near term and kind of the puts and takes around the components of that?
Sure. If you take out the items that are fee income related from the notable items table at the end of the deck, you get to a third quarter base of about $17.1 million. The fourth quarter is a seasonally light quarter in both insurance and mortgage.
So from a sequential basis, that's probably more in the $15.5 million or so million dollars, which is up pretty meaningfully from last year's fourth quarter where the base was about $14 million.
So that's where that growth guidance is coming from year-over-year, fourth quarter over fourth quarter, excluding notable items. The benefits coming from swap fees, which have been very strong this year, we don't see the same level of swap fees in the fourth quarter that we saw in the second and third. But we also have the contribution now from Argent as another positive when you look year-over-year.
[Operator Instructions]. It appears there are currently no further questions. Handing it back to Drake Mills for any final remarks.
Yes. I want to thank everyone for being on the call. And just from a recap of why we feel so positive about moving into '26, it's been extremely rewarding to me personally to see a deep commitment throughout our company from all our employees to deliver on Optimize Origin, which continues to build momentum. The momentum in all of our markets from Texas to the Southeast continue to build, the dislocation in the dynamic Texas market and Southeast market is significant for us.
So as we add that to the acceleration of production, I love what's going on with our strong pipelines. I currently am very positive and optimistic about our opportunity to reach our ultimate goal of being the top-quartile performer. I appreciate your support. Sincerely appreciate you being on the call. I look forward to seeing each of you soon.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's Evercall. Thank you, and have a great day.
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Origin Bancorp — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Origin Bancorp — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Origin Bancorp, Inc. Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Tom, and I'll be your Evercall coordinator. The format of the call includes prepared remarks from the company followed by a question and answer session.
[Operator Instructions]Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Chris Reigelman, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us today. We issued our earnings press release yesterday afternoon, a copy of which is available on our website, along with the slide presentation that we will refer to during this call. Please refer to Page 2 of our slide presentation, which includes our safe harbor statements regarding forward-looking statements and the use of non-GAAP financial measures. For those joining by phone, please note the slide presentation is available on our website at www.ir.origin.bank. Please also note that our safe harbor statements are available on Page 7 of our earnings release filed with the SEC yesterday. All comments made during today's call are subject to the safe harbor statements in our slide presentation and earnings release.
I'm joined this morning by Origin Bancorp's Chairman, President and CEO, Drake Mills; President and CEO of Origin Bank, Lance Hall; our Chief Financial Officer, Wally Wallace; Chief Risk Officer, Jim Crotwell; our Chief Accounting Officer, Steve Brolly; and our Chief Credit and Banking Officer, Preston Moore. After this presentation, we will be happy to address any questions you may have. Drake, the call is yours.
Thanks, Chris, and thanks for being with us this morning. At the beginning of this year, we introduced Optimize Origin, our plan to deliver sustainably leap level financial performance. We laid out a near-term goal of achieving a 1% ROA run rate by the fourth quarter of 2025 and an ultimate target for our ROA to be in the top quartile of our peers. As we cross the halfway point of the year, we believe the actions we have taken have put us in a position to achieve this near-term goal ahead of schedule. In just a short time, we have created efficiencies within our branch network, improved the overall profitability of our commercial banking team, restructured our mortgage business and taken multiple actions to optimize our balance sheet.
These actions are the primary drivers of approximately $34 million in annual earnings improvement on a pretax pre-provision basis. I'm proud of the results and how they position us moving forward. Our focus remains on being a top quartile performer and driving value for our employees, customers, communities and shareholders. On July 1, we took an additional step towards our goal of high-level profitability by increasing our ownership of Argent Financial to 20%, which triggers the equity method of accounting.
Next year, we anticipate this will drive additional income of approximately $6 million. We've also identified several opportunities that we believe will drive additional earnings improvement towards our ultimate profitability goal. Some of these are projects that are currently underway, others are in the early stages of implementation and a number are in the planning phase. Areas of focus include product delivery, streamlined organizational structure, enhanced data management and improved expense management. Lance will provide more detail later in the presentation.
As you can see, we are laser-focused on our plan and delivering results that drive value. While we acknowledge the economic uncertainty exists, we know the actions we have taken position Origin for near-term and long-term success. Now I'll turn it over to Lance and the team.
Thanks, Drake, and good morning. I want to start with our insight into our work around optimizing our commercial banking teams and the positive results that it is having on portfolio mix, portfolio risk, margin expansion and production. Since the end of 2Q '24, Origin has reduced our FTE headcount by 8% across the bank and by 18% in our commercial banking teams with an emphasis on data-driven decisions, profitability models and alignment around our key bankers. Our team achieved strong C&I production in Q2, where on an average basis, our C&I loans grew at an annualized rate of nearly 13%. These strong C&I production levels are hidden from a point-to-point growth perspective by large paydowns in the last 2 weeks of the quarter. Where we clearly see the enhancement in C&I client growth is in our continued lift in loan origination and swap fees as well as our growing treasury management revenue for the quarter.
While economic uncertainty around tariffs and interest rate levels has clearly slowed Origin and industry expectations for loan growth, I like our momentum of originations, fees, margin and remain encouraged by our pipelines. Optimize is not just about expense reduction, it is a blueprint to drive return levels through deeper insight into data, alignment of processes with strategic investments in technology, automation and people.
Origin's culture and geographic model creates a platform that strategically allows us to attract talented bankers who have a shared vision and purpose, delivery and relationships. As we have reduced FTE levels, we continue to identify and recruit bankers that are centers of influence and they can drive significant profitable growth throughout our markets. In 2025, we have been successful in hiring highly effective business development bankers in Louisiana, Houston and our Southeast market, while we also recently added a strong market leader in Fort Worth. Through Origin's history, we have shown an ability to attract bankers and lift-out teams as a significant growth strategy during periods of market disruption. We believe we are well positioned to take advantage of any opportunities that will arise from bank mergers throughout our markets.
As Drake mentioned, we continue to execute on our detailed plan to optimize Origin. Using our data-driven approach, we believe that we have opportunities to further enhance revenues in our treasury management and our commercial card programs. This was a takeaway from our third-party benchmarking project. Furthermore, we believe we have significant efficiency opportunities by improving our organizational structure, which will be a sizable undertaking that we are in the early stages of developing.
We believe this structure change can enhance our speed, responsiveness and nimbleness around delivery to our clients, more effectively utilize technology, create scalable processes, improve efficiencies and ultimately drive growth and profitability. An important part of optimize Origin has been to better utilize data to improve strategic decision-making. This has been seen through our branch efficiency, banker profitability and the restructuring of our mortgage business. Additionally, we are in the early stages of a large plan to centralize data within our organization to improve processes and outputs throughout our company. There are multiple strategic projects underway that should result in lower expenses and increased revenue.
So far, we have identified approximately $4 million to $5 million of annualized pretax earning benefits from these projects. I'm proud of our team and their commitment toward embracing optimized origin. I'm confident that we have the right focus as we head into the second half of the year. Now I'll turn it over to Jim.
Thanks, Lance. As I've shared on prior calls, beginning in the second quarter of last year, we began to proactively exit relationships that were determined to not fit our client selection criteria. During the second quarter, we achieved approximately $50 million in additional desired reductions, bringing the total targeted reductions to approximately $250 million since we began this initiative. While this has been a headwind to portfolio growth, this optimization of our portfolio will serve us well moving forward. Total past due loans held for investment decreased to 0.88% at quarter end compared to 0.96% for Q1 2025. Classified loans as a percent of total loans were stable for the quarter, decreasing to 1.66% at quarter end from 1.68% as of March 31.
Nonperforming loans increased moderately to 1.11% of total loans compared to 1.07% for the prior quarter, primarily driven by 4 relationships being placed on nonaccrual during the quarter, offset by the payoff and payments in 2 nonaccrual relationships. Net charge-offs for the quarter came in at $2.3 million, net of $1.4 million in recoveries, a reduction from the $2.7 million in net charge-offs reported for Q1.
On an annualized basis, net charge-offs were 0.12% for the quarter and 0.13% annualized year-to-date. For the quarter, our allowance for credit losses increased $415,000 and ended the quarter at $92.4 million. On a percentage basis, our allowance increased from 1.28% to 1.29% net of mortgage warehouse. We continue to focus on the Moody's S2 scenario as the basis of our economic forecast within our CECL model. While we continue to make minor adjustments to the economic forecast portion of the reserve, we did not experience any significant changes in our CECL model since current economic headwinds are factored into this scenario.
Lastly, as to total ADC and CRE, we continue to have ample capacity to meet the needs of our clients and grow this segment of our portfolio, reflecting funding to total risk-based capital of 49% for ADC and 228% for CRE. We continue to be pleased with the performance of our portfolio and are well positioned to support our customers and provide strategic growth. I'll now turn it over to Wally.
Thanks, Jim, and good morning, everyone. Turning to the financial highlights. In Q2, we reported diluted earnings per share of $0.47. As you can see on Slide 25, the combined financial impact of notable items during the quarter equated to a net expense of $15.6 million, equivalent to $0.39 in EPS pressure. On the balance sheet side, loans increased 1.3% sequentially but decreased 1.0% when excluding mortgage warehouse.
Total deposits declined 2.6% during the quarter and excluding brokered declined 2.3%. While noninterest-bearing deposits declined 2.5% sequentially, we note they remain stable at about 23% of total deposits, and we continue to anticipate they will remain in the 22% to 23% range through 2025. And looking at the decline in total deposits during the quarter, about 45% was driven by what we attribute to normal seasonality in our public funds customers.
We also believe uncertainty in the current environment has led to some customers utilizing excess cash on hand to pay down outstanding loan balances, causing some pressure on both sides of the balance sheet. Given the loan and deposit declines on a year-to-date basis, we have reduced 2025 growth guidance to low single digits for both. Turning to the income statement. Net interest margin expanded 17 basis points during the quarter to 3.61%.
Included in margin this quarter was Argent's annual shareholder dividend, which was a 4 basis point benefit to NIM. As Drake mentioned, we are very excited that we increased our ownership in Argent to 20% in July. As a result, moving forward with the equity method of accounting, we will no longer be recording this dividend through net interest income. Rather, we will be recording our portion of Argent ownership through our noninterest income line. We remain pleased that deposit costs continue to trend in line with our historical beta trends and loan pricing remains disciplined across our markets. Moving forward, as you can see in our outlook on Slide 4, due primarily to a higher starting point in Q3 '25, we increased our margin guidance by 20 basis points to 3.70% in 4Q '25 and by 10 basis points to 3.55% for the full year, plus or minus 5 basis points.
Our modeling now considers 25 basis point Fed funds rate cuts in September and December. Shifting to noninterest income. We reported $1.4 million in Q1. Excluding $14.6 million in net pressures from notable items in 2Q and $0.1 million in net benefits in Q1, noninterest income increased to $16 million from $15.5 million in Q1, due in large part to normal seasonality in our mortgage business and continued strength in our customer swap business, partially offset by a timing-related decline in fee income in our insurance business.
Primarily as a result of triggering the equity method of accounting for our Argent ownership, we have increased our guidance, excluding notable items, to growth of low double digits for Q4 '25 over Q4 '24. Our noninterest expense decreased slightly to $62 million in 2Q from $62.1 million in 1Q. Excluding $1 million of notable items in Q2 and $2.1 million in Q1, noninterest expense increased slightly to $61.0 million from $60.0 million in Q1, slightly better than our expectations. In the back half of '25, we anticipate our expense run rate will be relatively flat compared to Q2, and we are maintaining our prior expense guidance. Lastly, turning to capital. We note that Q2 tangible book value grew sequentially to $33.33, the 11th consecutive quarter of growth, and the TCE ratio ended the quarter at 10.9%, up from 10.6% in Q1.
Consistent with prior commentary, we believe our capital levels provide us with flexibility to deploy capital opportunistically. And during the quarter, we repurchased 136,399 shares at an average price of $31.84. Yesterday, we announced the authorization of a new $50 million repurchase plan effective through July 2028. As shown on Slide 24, all of our regulatory capital levels at both the bank and holding company levels remain above levels considered well capitalized. As such, we remain confident that we have continued capital flexibility to take advantage of any additional future capital deployment opportunities to drive value for our shareholders. With that, I will now turn it back to Drake.
Thanks, Wally. I'm very proud of the work our team is doing to optimize Origin. As we head into the back half of 2025, we are well positioned in the nation's most dynamic market, and I have full confidence that our employees will continue to deliver exceptional value to all our stakeholders. I believe there is tremendous opportunity ahead of us, and I'm excited about our ability to capitalize on that opportunity. I want to thank you for your support, and we'll open it up for questions.
[Operator Instructions]
Our first question comes from Matt with Stephens.
2. Question Answer
I'll start with the net interest margin. And while you mentioned you're expecting that margin to approach that 3.70% level by the fourth quarter, which obviously implies some good expansion from these levels. Can you just kind of walk us through the expectations for the third quarter? And just trying to appreciate the ramp into the fourth quarter? And what are some key items we should be thinking about that can get us to the 3.70% level from the 2Q levels?
Thanks, Matt. So I'll first will point out that the second quarter did have the benefit of our annual dividend from Argent, which was a 4 basis point benefit. Outside of that, we've had tailwinds all year from our loans repricing at spreads that are relatively strong, but at loan pricing overall that's significantly higher from loans that were booked, say, 3, 4 years ago. That's a tailwind that we continue to expect moving forward, not just third quarter and fourth quarter, but through next year.
In our modeling, we put 2 Fed cuts in. We had a cut in June and September. Those moved to September and December in our modeling, the forward curve suggests there's another 2 cuts, and it's close to 3 cuts through next year. We put those in our modeling, but the tailwind from the loan repricing and the securities repricing through next year would suggest that, one, we'll have benefits in the back half of this year, and we think we could hold the line through next year with those cuts. It's probably worth acknowledging that there are some pricing pressures in the market from competition on spreads. So if we see loan growth accelerating, you could see margin coming in kind of towards the lower end of that guidance range that we put in the deck. But if not, then we could come in towards the higher end. I think that's the way I would steer you as you think about your modeling.
Okay. And then just as a follow-up, I guess, kind of switching gears, I want to ask more about the loan growth. And Lance mentioned the paydowns in the final weeks of the quarter from some customers, just lower utilization. Any more details behind that as you talk with the customers as far as kind of why they decided to do that now? And then longer term, you've talked about getting back to a high single-digit growth level or even low double digit at some point. Just talk more about the longer-term investments you've made? And when do you expect a more normalized kind of typical origin level of loan growth to start kicking in?
Yes. I appreciate the question very much. Yes. So very optimistic on our ability to continue to drive loan growth. You are correct in that what our presidents and our banking teams have kind of been dealing with is just a little unsurety around what tariffs were going to do on large commercial projects. I think we had a lot of clients that expected rates to be decreased by now, which has put some projects on hold.
We actually saw an interesting dynamic this quarter, but a little bit in the first quarter too, of some customers that had really large deposit balances make the decision to reduce that cash and pay for projects versus using debt and it was stuff that we had in the pipeline. So that's some headwinds that we faced in that regard. That being said, as I kind of study and look at production, our -- we've had nice growth in our origination volumes, and that has really kind of led to really nice growth in loan and swap fee revenue, nice lifts on the C&I side specifically as our focus has really been around C&I and owner-occupied real estate. And so we've had sort of the best quarter we've had in treasury management revenue, swap revenue. And so I'm very bullish on how that continues to grow. As I think about the second half of this year, I mean still a little bit muted from the size of projects. We're probably thinking mid-single-digit annualized, I think 2% to 2.5% probably growth from the markets on commercial growth in the back half of this year. And then I would conservatively kind of think through mid- to high single digits for 2026.
Now that being said, as I think about what's going on in the industry from a consolidation perspective, I mean, that creates tremendous opportunity for us. I mean you know our history and our story, if we've done anything well over the years, it is to build a culture that is attractive to dynamic bankers and banking teams. And as we are already seeing acquisition consolidation in Texas and North Louisiana and Mississippi, I think that creates tremendous opportunity for Origin in the way that we like to do it.
I mean we want to be a lift-out strategy organization, and I think that falls right into our benefit. So I think that's going to continue to drive real opportunity. All that being said, we are singularly focused on our ROA run rate. And so pricing discipline is critical, the use of our pricing models. Wally and his team have done an amazing job of bringing us access to information that we've not had before. And so it is not going to be growth for growth's sake for us. This is really going to be around the right kind of growth, the right kind of industries, the right kind of credit profile, the right kind of pricing discipline around relationships. And I feel very confident we can do better.
Matt, this is Drake. I want to add to that. An example of some, I guess, growth headwinds on the loan side is utilization rates went from 53% to 50%, and that was based on cash utilization our clients utilized during that, which represented about $83 million of reduction in line utilization. So again, glad that our clients have strength and are taking those opportunities that also hits us on the deposit side.
Our next question comes from Michael with Raymond James.
Maybe I'll just start the easy one, just on the buyback. It looks like you guys bought back a little bit of stock. It looks like it was below tangible book, new $50 million program. You guys are now over tangible book, hopefully moving higher. But wanted to kind of gauge the appetite here and just kind of circle up capital. And maybe if I can dovetail that with -- just because we have seen some M&A, it doesn't seem like that's near-term priority for you guys. But as the landscape plays out, I assume you're still talking to -- you have conversations with banks. What would be kind of your intermediate to longer-term appetite for M&A?
Yes. Let me address the first part of your question. From the standpoint of capital utilization, we feel pretty comfortable that we have an opportunity to redeem $75 million -- yes, $75 million of sub debt in the fourth quarter that is beneficial to our process of optimize origin. So we feel very comfortable, and that puts us basically through last year and this year, redeeming $145 million out of cash. So awesome opportunity for us to reduce leverage and take care of some of the opportunities we have for cash. So capital utilization, I feel very good about. That will put us still very good capital levels. And as far as M&A, we love M&A. We were laughing about it. When M&A is in our backyard, we seem to really flourish through our lift-out strategies. And we have conversations moving on, and we just -- we love to grow this institution through lift-out. But not to say that we are not going to turn our back on opportunities. They just have to be quality deposit opportunities or core deposit opportunities for us, but we'll have -- we continue to have those conversations.
Helpful, Drake. And then maybe just given the reduction in growth expectations, it does look like you are going to be able to stay under $10 billion in assets. Is that kind of the plan? And then can you just remind us on maybe the thresholds could be moved. There's been some talk around the $10 billion and what that could mean. It doesn't seem like Durban would go away, though. So just any sort of considerations we should think about $10 billion by the end of the year. And then when you do cross it, I think you have all the expenses kind of in place and the run rate, but just anything we should be thinking about related to crossing?
Well, I can't sit here and say that I'm tickled that we're going to stay under $10 billion because it's at the expense of what we thought would be stronger growth this year. I am very pleased with everyone that we have -- we're so focused on ROA growth that I think we're making the right decisions, but allows us to push off Durban, which is about $6 million for us another year. But right now, the model shows that we'll be right at that $10 billion at year-end with expected growth. So we'll stay under that this year and start to move forward. But again, we're not holding our teams back or we're not doing things to focus on any type of loss of opportunity we're trying to stay under $10 billion at this point.
Our next question comes from Woody with KBW.
I wanted to follow up on capital utilization and touch on the securities restructure we saw in the quarter. Just wanted to get your thoughts on sort of why this quarter to execute on the restructure? Is it a reflection of loan growth pulling back? And then how do you evaluate future restructures from here?
Woody, we actually had this restructure trade teed up in the first quarter. We like the payback math on it. We felt like we had the capital levels to absorb the impact on the regulatory capital levels. Obviously, it's already carried in tangible capital levels. We backed off of the trade when the markets got extremely volatile around the tariff announcements. We saw an opportunity early in the second quarter to take advantage of some spread changes where we executed a small portion of the trade.
And then we saw volatility improve significantly as the quarter played on. So we decided to go ahead and bring that trade back to the table. This is one that we've been considering as part of optimize Origin since the end of last year. The payback math, as you can see, is a little bit higher than it was in the one that we executed towards the end of last year. As far as large loss trades go, this is it.
We don't see any other opportunity in our portfolio. That said, we monitor markets on a daily basis. And if there's any spread opportunities that create opportunity for us to, on the margin, make decisions that improve the risk profile or improve the earnings profile of the portfolio, then we will discuss and make a decision on whether or not to execute those. But I think that we're not looking at any large-scale trades from here.
Got it. That's helpful. Maybe -- and then maybe shifting over to Origin. I mean, seeing the announcement was great to see. Is there an opportunity going forward to increase ownership, which would boost forward fee income? Or are you pretty content with the current level of ownership?
Woody, this is Lance. No, I think you're going to see us stay consistent kind of in that 20% to 25% ownership level. And you never know what happens in the future, but that's our and strategic plan for the moment.
Got it. And then maybe just last for me. You called out some -- you're continuing to re-underwrite expenses. Just wanted some high-level thoughts on sort of how that process is going and sort of timing of additional expense opportunities.
Yes. I think through optimized Origin, we're looking at as much revenue enhancement as we are expense cuts. We've communicated openly that we are working with a third-party benchmarking firm to look at reorganization of the company. We think there are some opportunities for us to consolidate some market expenses to be able to reduce or be a little bit more efficient, but the projects are really around revenue enhancement, data models to better utilize data to make better decisions and to also allow our relationship managers to be more responsive and really focus on ROEs through relationships more than anything else.
Process improvement is going to be, I think, one of the areas that we could potentially see some reduced expenses. We still are using robotics to manage our manual processes and reduce manual processes, which we see creating efficiency. AI is certainly part of going beyond robotics and increasing technology that will allows us to make better decisions through data. But ultimately, growth to enhancing banker capacity is where I think the ultimate drive for us.
In other words, we think we can -- the percentage of time in front of our clients can be significantly enhanced and grown through these processes we're going through. So it's going to be a combination of revenue enhancement, expense management and growth in revenue streams that you'll see in the next coming months. But optimize Origin is on its way. We've had some excellent progress feel very comfortable that you'll see some additional progress as we go through the quarters.
I would just add, Woody, that in the script, you might have heard the comment I made that our expectation for expenses in the back half of the year are flat run rate from the second quarter after notable items. So I wouldn't expect to see declines in expenses.
Our next question comes from Manuel with D.A. Davidson.
I just have 2. It's hard to kind of learn a lot more about Argent. Can you talk a little bit about your expectations on growth there? And potentially, would there be a write-up? I just haven't heard if that could be something that happens in the third quarter.
So this is Lance. Thanks for the question. Wally and I and obviously, Drake is very intimate with understanding the relationship. I mean it's a little bit sensitive for us that is a private company that we are an investor in. We don't own or control Argent. So sharing their information other than sort of high level is probably not something that we're -- is completely at our liberty to do, although we have a great working relationship with management.
There was recently some public information out around their acquisition of Huntington's Corporate Trust business where they were projecting to be about $175 billion in assets under administration. Wally works closely with their CFO, which is where they were able to kind of get to the pro forma $6 million flowing into our income statement in 2026. And so we'll, over the years, kind of work with them to kind of give you the meaningful information that you need, and we'll commit to that.
Potential for write-up?
Yes. So in the third quarter financials, due to the transactions that occurred that we were a part of, we weren't the only transaction. The valuation that those transactions occurred and will result in a write-up of the final, if you will, carrying value of our investment in Ardent. That write-up equates to about $7 million.
Moving forward, with the equity method accounting, the write-up of the investment will occur through the income statement, and that's the $6 million annualized benefit kind of starting in 2026. We still have some accounting work to do where we got to do a final valuation to help us understand the impact of customer intangibles to us and the acquisition that Lance mentioned has to close before we get kind of final expectations on how that will impact earnings. So yes, there will be a write-up in the third quarter, plus we will -- we expect to accrue for earnings and then any further changes in the valuation will occur through the income statement, not through write-ups or write-downs.
I appreciate any of these preliminary comments. I totally understand there's a lot of moving parts here. Separately, can I have a little bit of a regional update? I'm just always intrigued by the Southeast region with the Alabama and Florida business. How is that ramping? But just any kind of regional update would be fantastic.
Yes. This is Lance again. Really, really pleased with Drake, Robin and Steve and the whole team that we have down in the Southeast, we're seeing nice progress on that. Kind of like we've seen in a little bit of the markets, a little bit of delay in sort of pipelines getting executed because of some of the tariff concerns, but the pipelines remain strong. We continue to be incredibly bullish in Texas, obviously, and how that economy is working.
We have dynamic teams. Again, as I look -- it's a little muted because of sort of the lack of growth, but you look at where the production is coming from, we're continuing to see nice C&I production in Houston specifically, but also in North Texas. Louisiana and Mississippi are actually ahead of budget this year. We've actually had about 8% growth in Louisiana and about 5% growth in Mississippi, which were greater than we had anticipated. So we get some understanding kind of what the tariffs are going to be. We get some normal levels of utilization on our lines. I think it creates tremendous opportunity.
[Operator Instructions] There are currently no further questions. Handing it back to Drake Mills for any final remarks.
Want to thank everyone for being on the call. At this point, I'm extremely pleased with our progress the teams have made in optimizing Origin. We are extremely focused on profitable growth, which I think is underlying to the change in culture. Utilization of technology to minimize expense growth has been a leader in the process of optimize origin, expanding current relationships with -- for better customer ROEs, continue to leverage our rural deposit base to lower our funding costs and a strong focus on strengthening credit culture through client selection has been the early wins this year as we continue to go through the second half. So our future is bright, very excited about where we are, and I'm pretty confident that we're going to be successful. I appreciate each one of your support, the time on this call, and we're available for questions if anybody needs to have a conversation with us. So again, thank you for your time. Thank you for your support.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's Evercall. Thank you, and have a great day.
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Origin Bancorp — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Finanzdaten von Origin Bancorp
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 401 401 |
12 %
12 %
100 %
|
|
| - Zinsertrag | 340 340 |
11 %
11 %
85 %
|
|
| - Zinsunabhängige Erträge | 61 61 |
14 %
14 %
15 %
|
|
| Zinsaufwand | 197 197 |
22 %
22 %
49 %
|
|
| Nichtzinsaufwand | -251 -251 |
1 %
1 %
-63 %
|
|
| Risikovorsorge für Kredite | 48 48 |
507 %
507 %
12 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 80 80 |
5 %
5 %
20 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
Origin Bancorp ist eine Bankholdinggesellschaft, die Finanzdienstleistungen für kleine und mittlere Unternehmen, Kommunen, vermögende Privatkunden und Privatkunden erbringt. Zu den Produkten und Dienstleistungen des Unternehmens gehören Kredite, Einlagen, Hypothekenbanking und Versicherungen. Darüber hinaus bietet das Unternehmen weitere Bankdienstleistungen wie Internet-Banking und Voice-Response-Informationen, mobile Anwendungen, Cash-Management, Überziehungsschutz, direkte Einzahlungen, Schließfächer, US-Sparbriefe und automatische Kontoüberweisungen. Das Unternehmen wurde 1991 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Ruston, LA.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Mills |
| Mitarbeiter | 1.000 |
| Gegründet | 1991 |
| Webseite | ir.origin.bank |


