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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 3,56 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 6,16 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 3,56 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 6,20 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 11,01 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 6,16 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 11,01 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 6,20 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Organon & Co. Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
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Analystenmeinungen
13 Analysten haben eine Organon & Co. Prognose abgegeben:
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Organon & Co. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Hello, and welcome to the Organon Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Call and webcast. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jennifer Halchak, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. With me today are Joe Morrissey, Organon's Interim Chief Executive Officer; and Matt Walsh, our Chief Financial Officer; Carrie Cox, Organon's Board Chair; and Juan Camilo Arjona Ferreira, Organon's Head of R&D, will also be joining for the Q&A portion of this call.
Today, we are referencing a presentation that will be visible during this call for those of you on our webcast. This presentation will also be available following this call on the Events and Presentations section of our Organon Investor Relations website. Please reference Slides 2 and 3 for a couple of brief reminders.
I would like to caution listeners that certain information discussed by management during this call will include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can be identified because they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and use words such as potential, should, will, continue, expects, believe, future, estimates, believes, outlook and other words of similar meaning.
Actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties associated with the company's business, which are discussed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This includes our most recent Form 10-K and Forms 10-Q and those amended forms. These statements are based on information as of today, February 12, 2026 and except as required by law, Organon undertakes no obligation to update or revise any of these forward-looking statements.
In addition, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures on this call, which should be considered a supplement to and not a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Descriptions of these measures and reconciliations to the comparable GAAP measures are included in today's earnings press release and conference call presentation, both of which are available on our Investor Relations website and have been furnished to the SEC on the current report on Form 8-K.
I note that while our full year 2026 guidance measures other than revenue are provided on a non-GAAP basis, Organon does not provide GAAP financial measures on a forward-looking basis because we cannot predict with reasonable certainty and without unreasonable effort, the ultimate outcome of legal proceedings, unusual gains and losses, the occurrence of matters creating GAAP tax impacts and acquisition-related expenses. These items are uncertain, depend on various factors and could be material to our results computed in accordance with GAAP. I'd now like to turn the call over to Joe Morrissey.
Thank you, Jen. Beginning on Slide 4. In 2025, Organon delivered $6.2 billion in revenue and $1.9 billion of adjusted EBITDA. Revenue was down 3% on both a reported and ex exchange basis. Relative to where we began the year, our biosimilar franchise performed better than expected, driven by solid performance in [ Head Lima ] as well as contributions from new launches. Vtama delivered $128 million of global revenue in 2025, and Emgality and our fertility business also grew strongly in 2025.
That performance helped to offset the continued impact of the [ LOE ] of [indiscernible] and headwinds in other parts of the business that emerged during the year. Those include policy-related changes in the U.S. for Nexplanon and a revision to medical guidelines in certain international markets that deprioritize the use of montelukast, which impacted Singulair.
Though Nexplanon on had its challenges this year. The FDA approved our sNDA to extend the duration of Nexplanon from 3 to 5 years. The study supporting the approval enrolled a population of women with varying body mass indices, including women with overweight or obesity, a testament to Organon's commitment to inclusive and comprehensive women's health care.
This is a meaningful milestone for Organon and the Nexplanon brand as it potentially broadens the addressable market for this key product. The approval also includes a new risk evaluation and mitigation strategy program that will enhance Organon's existing clinical training program and controlled distribution program, which has been in place since 2006.
One of the most important decisions the company made in 2025 was to lower our dividend payout ratio and apply those excess funds to debt reduction. We also divested the [ JDA ] system, resulting in approximately $390 million in net proceeds that will help us to reduce net debt in 2026. Together, these decisions mark our commitment to improving capacity in Organon's balance sheet to put us in a position to pursue growth opportunities in the future.
At the same time, we have scrutinized our spending and had to consider tough but necessary changes to our business. In 2025, we were able to keep adjusted EBITDA margins essentially flat with 2024 and despite 150 basis points of gross margin degradation. We achieved over $200 million in cost savings in 2025 and through significant efforts, which offset investments in growth drivers like Vtama.
We also discontinued early-stage clinical programs and are limiting spend to activities such as medical and regulatory affairs that support products already in the market. As we look across the portfolio, we expect revenue and adjusted EBITDA this year to be very much in line with 2025 which means at a high level, we expect to deliver about $6.2 billion of revenue and about $1.9 billion of adjusted EBITDA in 2026.
We expect that the annual revenue foregone with the sale of the [ JDA ] system will be offset by an FX tailwind of about the same amount, which means we expect revenue to be about flat with prior year on a constant currency basis, pro forma for the [ jaded ] system divestiture.
On the profitability front, we continue to thoughtfully curtail OpEx to offset what we believe is about 75 to 100 basis points of deterioration in gross margin in 2026 and that we can manage to an adjusted EBITDA figure of about $1.9 billion. I remain confident in our ability to deliver these results in 2026, and I'm deeply proud of the talented teams across Organon who are driving this work every day. With that, I hand it over to Matt.
Thank you, Joe. Beginning on Slide 5, let's talk about the main drivers of performance in women's health. Women's health was down 16% ex FX for the fourth quarter and down 2% for the year. Sales of Nexplanon decreased 20% ex FX in the fourth quarter and 4% for the full year, in line with what we discussed in November when we reguided on the product. As we've talked about in previous quarters, in 2025, Nexplanon was impacted by several headwinds.
Let's break it down between those we expect to continue versus those that we believe are onetime in nature. And starting with the onetime item. As we talked about last quarter, we expected an approximate $17 million negative impact in the fourth quarter related to the cessation of certain identified U.S. wholesaler sales practices identified in the Audit Committee's internal investigation disclosed in late October. The impact from that practice is contained to 2025.
Now what do we think is likely to persist in 2026, we see 4 drivers. The first driver is in the U.S. and is macro in nature. Government policy-related access restrictions have impacted planned parenthood and federally qualified health centers where Nexplanon has a leading market share among [ Lark. Incorporated ] in our guidance is that this policy environment persists in 2026.
The second driver, in 2025, we saw developing weakness with smaller independent commercial clinics who are tightly managing their buy-and-bill purchasing with some choosing to switch to specialty pharmacy claims for each patient via assignment of benefits. While we expect this change to remain, we are actively engaging customers in this segment to support sustained and improved access to Nexplanon.
Third driver, as we've discussed previously, in 2026, we will have a volume headwind from loss of reinsertions as we transition to the 5-year label. Fourth and final driver is an offsetting positive. We expect strong ex U.S. growth to compensate for the U.S., particularly in Latin America, where we are seeing improved access.
Turning to fertility. Our fertility business declined 6% ex FX in the fourth quarter of 2025, primarily related to sales performance in China, where we are holding share, but socioeconomic trends are weighing on the broader fertility market. For the full year, the fertility business grew 8% ex FX, driven by performance in the U.S., particularly in the first half of 2025 as well as geographic footprint expansion which together offset declines in China.
Fertility will likely be a headwind for us in 2026 as we expect an increasingly competitive environment in the U.S. brought on by a competitor's agreement with the administration's new [ Direct Access Program ]. And finally, the [ JDA ] system delivered $74 million of revenue in 2025. We completed the divestiture of [ Jada ] in January of this year. So that will represent a headwind of about 120 basis points to Organon's consolidated revenue in 2026.
Turning now to biosimilars on Slide 6. For the fourth quarter and full year, the drivers and biosimilars are largely the same. Performance was driven by Hadlima, which grew 61% ex FX globally for the full year, reflecting the strong clinical profile of Hadlima and the effectiveness of our pricing strategy as well as expansion into Canada and Puerto Rico.
To a lesser extent, biosimilars also benefited from our new denosumab biosimilars, which were approved by the FDA in August and launched in the U.S. in late September, and Tofidence, which the company acquired in the second quarter of 2025. In 2026, we expect biosimilars to deliver flat to modest growth with Hadlima and the contribution of new assets expected to at least offset the expected decline in [ Entrada ] and [ Reflexis ] consistent with the maturity of those assets.
As regards to future launches, we've entered into a settlement with [ Genentech ] that grants us a license to start launching our pertuzumab biosimilar asset in [ UCAN ] in 2027 and in the U.S. in 2028. Wrapping up the franchise discussion with established brands on Slide 7.
The established brands revenue declined 5% ex FX in the fourth quarter of 2025 as well as for the full year. We've always said that the CAGR and established brands should be about flat ex FX and with some years above and some years below. In 2025, we navigated through the [ LOE ] of [ ADIT ], which itself was an approximate 400 basis point headwind to established brands revenue. In 2026, we expect to return to flat performance. Contributions from Vtama and Emgality together with lapping the [ LOE ] of [ ADAS ], should offset expected continued pressure in our respiratory franchise.
Turning now to the fourth quarter revenue bridge on Slide 8. Revenue in the fourth quarter was $1.57 billion, down 8% at constant currency. Loss of exclusivity was about $20 million in the quarter, the lowest of the year and was related to lapping the [indiscernible] in the EU, which occurred in September of 2024. The DBP was negligible for the quarter. Organon products were not included in any new rounds of China's national VBP program during 2025.
We lost approximately $80 million on price in the fourth quarter. About $30 million of this was related to 4 separate gross to net adjustments that were onetime in nature. The remainder was primarily driven by pricing revisions in respiratory, expected competitive pricing pressures in fertility and biosimilars and the LOE of [ ADAs ]. Additionally, there was an increase in the U.S. rebate rate for Nexplanon in the quarter related to a change in patient mix tied to Medicaid usage claims.
Volume declined about $10 million in the quarter, and that was mainly driven by lower volume for Nexplanon and in the respiratory portfolio, which was largely offset by volume growth in Vtama, Hadlima, Emgality and Arcoxia. In Supply other, here, we capture the lower-margin contract manufacturing arrangements that we have with Merck, which have been declining since the spin-off as expected. And lastly, foreign exchange translation had an approximate $35 million favorable impact for the quarter, which reflects the weaker U.S. dollar against the majority of foreign currencies in which we transact.
Let's look at these same drivers now on a full year basis on Slide 9. Loss of volume from LOE was about $200 million, consistent with the range we've outlined all year and that was primarily related to the LOE and [ ADASET ] in the EU. As I mentioned, there was essentially no [ VBP ] impact in 2025. There was about $180 million of negative impact from price in 2025 or about 2.8%.
Pricing headwinds for the full year were primarily in the respiratory portfolio with rate pressure in the U.S. for [ Dulera ] and mandatory price reductions in China for [ Nasonex ] and Singulair. To a lesser extent, we also felt price impacts stemming from the competitive environment in biosimilars and fertility in the U.S. Volume grew $200 million in 2025 or 3% for the year with contributions from Vtama and Emgality and growth in fertility and biosimilars, offsetting declines in the global respiratory portfolio and Nexplanon in the U.S.
Now let's turn to Slide 10, where we show key non-GAAP P&L line items and metrics for the quarter. For reference, GAAP financials and reconciliations to the non-GAAP financial measures are included in our press release and the slides in the appendix of this presentation. For gross profit, we are excluding purchase accounting and amortization and onetime items from cost of goods sold, which can be seen in our appendix slides.
Non-GAAP adjusted gross margin was 56.7% for the fourth quarter of 2025 compared to 60.6% in the fourth quarter of 2024. Pricing pressure and unfavorable product mix were notable drivers in the decline of non-GAAP adjusted gross margin. Adjusted gross margin for the full year 2025 was 60.1% compared with 61.6% for the full year 2024, with pricing pressure being the primary unfavorable driver in the year.
Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA margin was 25.4% in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared with 28.1% in the fourth quarter of 2024. The year-over-year decline in the fourth quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA margin was primarily driven by the lower adjusted gross margin that was partially offset by a 5% reduction in non-GAAP operating expenses.
Adjusted EBITDA margin was 30.7% for full year 2025, consistent with prior year as the decline in adjusted gross margin was substantially offset by lower R&D expense. Net loss for the fourth quarter of 2020 was $205 million or $0.79 per diluted share compared with net income of $19 million or $0.42 per diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2024.
Net loss for the fourth quarter of 2025 includes a noncash goodwill impairment of $301 million or $1.16 per share related to the decline in the company's stock price and underperformance in the U.S. For the fourth quarter of 2025, non-GAAP adjusted net income was $165 million or $0.63 per diluted share compared with $235 million or $0.90 per diluted share in 2024. Non-GAAP adjusted net income was $954 million for full year 2025 or $3.66 per share compared with $1.065 billion or $4.11 per share in full year 2024.
Turning to free cash flow now on Slide 11. For full year 2025, we delivered $960 million of free cash flow before onetime costs, consistent with prior year. Onetime costs related to the spin-off were completed in 2024, following the rollout of our global ERP system. What remains are margin-enhancing restructuring and manufacturing separation activities which were together about $270 million for 2025.
For 2026, we expect costs associated with manufacturing separation activities to be about $100 million. We do expect an increase in CapEx associated with these activities as well as an increase in net working capital consumption driven largely by inventory in established brands and biosimilars, which means our free cash flow in 2026 will likely resemble what we delivered in both 2024 and 2025.
Below the free cash flow line in 2025, we paid about $170 million related to contractual milestones for Vtama, Emgality and the biosimilar programs with [ Shanghai Henlius ] and made another $66 million in upfront payments, primarily related to acquiring the licensing rights for confidence and to a lesser extent, the purchase of the OS bio manufacturing site. In 2026, we expect that commercial milestone payments will be similar to 2025 at approximately $170 million.
Turning now to leverage on Slide 12. Net leverage at year-end was approximately 4.3x. Consistent with our priority to reduce leverage, during the year, we retired approximately $530 million of debt which included the open market repurchase and cancellation of $419 million of Organon's 5 1/8% notes due in 2031 including $177 million retired in the fourth quarter, the prepayment of a portion of the long-term debt assumed as part of the [ Dermatan ] acquisition and normal quarterly term loan payments. Given our outlook for approximately $1.9 billion in adjusted EBITDA in 2026, together with approximately $390 million of net proceeds from the [ JD ] divestiture we expect to be able to achieve net leverage below 4x by the end of the year.
Now turning to the 2026 full year revenue bridge on Slide 13. For full year 2026, we expect revenue of about $6.2 billion. We expect LOE to be about $40 million related to a collection of smaller LOEs, for example, [ Claronx ] in Japan, as well as the potential for a generic of [ Dulera ] in the U.S. We expect VBP impact to be about $30 million and related to the inclusion of [ Fosamax ] in round 1.
We expect headwinds from price to be about $75 million or about 1.2%, which is lower than what the portfolio has experienced in prior years and it's driven by several factors. First, lapping of the approximate $30 million in onetime gross to net adjustments in the fourth quarter of 2025. Second, we expect stability in U.S. gross to net in the U.S. in 2026. And three, less pricing erosion internationally, particularly in the EU as we lap the LOE of [ Ads ]. And in Japan, as the majority of our portfolio there has already reached pricing parity with generics.
We expect volume growth of about $150 million or about 2.4% will be driven by continued contribution from Vtama and Emgality and growth in biosimilars and Nexplanon ex U.S. And finally, we're estimating that a modest FX tailwind offsets the loss of data revenue.
Turning to Slide 14. We expect adjusted gross margin in 2026 to be about 75 to 100 basis points lower than prior year. And while price will be a headwind as it has been in prior years, the main driver of the adjusted gross margin decline in 2026 is higher cost of goods sold related to the release of accumulated foreign exchange translation on inventory that has subsequently matched to revenue when the inventory is sold.
For OpEx, our range for SG&A as a percentage of sales remains in the mid-20% area, and we expect the range for R&D spend to be in the mid-single-digit area. For below-the-line items, our estimate for full year 2026 interest expense is about $500 million, in line with 2025. In 2026, we expect to refinance certain 2028 maturities which will offset the benefits of recent voluntary debt payments and lower variable interest rates. We expect depreciation of about $140 million for full year 2026 and expect approximately 265 million for our fully diluted share count.
For 2026, we estimate our non-GAAP tax rate to be in the range of 27.5% to 29.5%. The uptick from 2025 is largely due to the full year impact of the implementation of [ OECD's ] Pillar 2, 15% global minimum tax, the absence of a tax amortization benefit and an increase in our nondeductible interest expense, offset by use of additional foreign tax credits. Pro forma for any divestitures, we expect cash taxes to be similar to 2025.
As we think about the phasing of the quarters in 2026, we expect revenue growth to build throughout the year, but OpEx is more evenly spread through the quarters. So that means Q1 margin is likely to have the lowest margin of the year, and Q1 could wind up looking a lot like the quarter that we just reported in Q4 of 2025. In 2026, our primary objective is to maintain performance that aligns with last year. At the same time, we are committed to continuing to manage operating expenses and capital deployment in a disciplined fashion to achieve progress on our deleveraging efforts.
This is Carrie. Before we go to Q&A, I'd just like to say that we won't be able to answer any questions today regarding the topic referred to in our press release under other matters that was brought to the attention of the Audit committee yesterday. With that, operator, we are ready to begin Q&A.
[Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes from Umer Raffat with Evercore ISI.
2. Question Answer
I want to be respectful for what you just said, but not relating to that specific issue on what exactly the specifics are of the purchasing. My question is more higher level. Remember last quarter, I asked you how can one -- anyone know that the channel behavior issues were limited to Nexplanon? And why was the Audit Committee investigation so limited in its scope only to Nexplanon? And I remember at the time, you said it did span beyond look through other product areas and found nothing else.
Today, we're learning there was another issue. And this time, it's biosimilars purchasing and that too because it was brought up, meaning 5 other things could be brought up, how can we know that a comprehensive review has been taken. It almost looks like there's an unwillingness by the Board and the leadership to actually solve this for once and do it the right way so we can move on and look at fundamentals and pay down all the $9 billion in debt.
Thanks, Umer. I'm sorry. We can't provide any additional color at this point.
The next question comes from Mike Nedelcovych with TD Cowen.
I have 2. First is on the biosimilar portfolio. Back in October, as you know, FDA released draft guidance limiting the requirement for comparative efficacy studies for biosimilars. So I'm curious what you consider to be the status of this policy in the U.S. What's your interpretation of that guidance? And what impact should we expect it to have on Organon's business for example, does it open the biosimilar floodgates and hugely boost margins? Or is it more of an incremental change?
And then my second question is on your 2026 guidance. Can you provide any more detail on the Nexplanon contribution that's contemplated in your 2026 sales guidance and will launch of the longer-acting Nexplanon implant be accretive to total Nexplanon sales this year?
Mike, I think the first -- the first question on the biosimilars. We feel it would be more incremental. So we think our strategy with biosimilars is the right one and taking the right partners that are positioning their biosimilars in the right order of the ability to launch and building out those partnerships. We're excited about our opportunities in the U.S., continuing to grow Hadlima as well as with our launch of the denosumab biosimilars and expanding that in other markets around the world and continue to grow in that way. So we see that more incremental.
And on the second part of the question for 2026 guidance at Nexplanon, we believe Nexplanon will be roughly flat year-on-year. We've got pushes and pulls on the Nexplanon business. Ex U.S., the business will continue to grow nicely. We talked about improved access to Nexplanon in Latin American markets. In the United States we'll have consistent with the launch of the 5-year label, we will have a bit of a dip due to no reinsertion.
Roughly -- and we've said 10 to 15 in, let's call it, 13% of insertions annually are actually reinsertions. So now with the move to 3 to 5 years, that will create a bit of an inflection point in volume there. And some of the channel issues that we experienced in the second half of the year will annualize.
So net-net, the contribution of Nexplanon to our 2026 guidance is to summarize roughly the level with 2025. But we remain optimistic that the attractiveness of the 5-year label, especially for high BMI patients -- and now with the duration making the product more attractive versus other long-acting reversible contraceptives, bode very well for the long-term growth of the product, both inside and outside the United States.
The next question comes from Jason Gerberry with Bank of America.
This is [ Bob Mtell ] on for Jason. Two questions from us. So the first is you're guiding to a lot 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $1.9 billion, and we have $275 million in annualized cost savings from the reset flowing into the P&L. So I guess if we strip out those savings, the underlying EBITDA performance appears to be declining. Maybe if you can help us bridge where that $275 million benefit is being absorbed. Is it purely the 75, 100 bps of gross margin deterioration? Or are there a massive onetime reinvestments into Vtama and Nexplanon [ REMS ] program?
And then my second question is to double-click on the REMS program that launches in a couple of weeks with a 6-month rate period ending in August. So does your 2026 Nexplanon outlook assume any volume bottlenecks or certification friction in the second half of the year once that mandate is fully enforced? And maybe does the REMS mandate distributor registration potentially provide you with like the cleaner data to monitor the wholesaler days of coverage?
So I'll take the first part of the question, Juan Camilo can take the REMS question. So on the operating expense savings, the $275 million we referred to when we spoke earlier in the year was all related to gross takeouts that we were going after in sort of the base administrative and structural elements of our cost structure. That was the gross number we were going after. That enabled us to take a portion of that and reinvest it, for example, in increased enhanced promotional activity for TAM.
So when you asked the question, you essentially answered it by saying that some of that $275 million would be redirected to revenue growth opportunities. I'll take a step back and say that the management team here continues to go after OpEx very aggressively. We've built another round of OpEx savings into our 2026 guidance, not quite as large as the 2025 effort, but certainly in the same ballpark. And it's just essential that we continue to rightsize the operating expense footprint of the company in light of what's happening in terms of our gross margins being compressed. Now I'll turn the question over to Juan Camilo for [indiscernible].
Yes. Thank you, Matt, and thanks, Jason. Yes. We are pretty confident that with this window that we have and the efforts that we have already planned, we will be able to recertify the prescribers that constantly use or a loyalty use of Nexplanon.
This physicians that have been already certified before we'll have a very small requirement that will take them around 15 to minutes to be certified. So we are pretty confident that we'll be able to maintain the volume based on the retraining that I believe was your question. The other factors are the ones that Matt and Joe already covered.
The next question comes from Chris Schott with JPMorgan.
This is Ethan on for Chris. Maybe just building on the margin commentary, just maybe taking a step back, what are your latest thoughts on what operating costs and margins can look like over time from here? And then on Nexplanon, very helpful commentary on the headwinds going to the 5-year indication. Just maybe how long should we think about that headwind about the duration of that headwind? And are there any potential offsets via price there?
So the first part of the question relates to OpEx. And I think the challenge for the company as we've seen gross margins compress since the spin is to continue to streamline, make the business more efficient, get economies of scale where we can. And I just make the broad comment that it's incumbent upon us to continue to do that. And -- but at the same time, make sure that we are not sacrificing OpEx where it can draw a clear line to revenue growth and value creation in the top line. So I don't have a numerical answer to the question.
What I have is the philosophy here that we are deploying -- have been deploying as we try and manage a bottom line that optimizes what our opportunity is. On the 5-year and the reinsertion, I think this year will be the most pronounced for it, 2026. We might be talking about reinsertion risk in 2027. It should be at a fairly significantly lower level than what we're talking about this year.
The next question comes from David Amsellem with Piper Sandler.
This is Alex on for David. The first one is, can you talk to the pressure on established brands and how we should think about key established brand segments, not only in 2026, but also beyond? And how you're thinking about potential trouble spots such as respiratory. And then on Vtama, how are you thinking about competitive dynamics for the product given that growth has been slower than topical [ Reflumalast ]? So with that in mind, how are you thinking about your support of the product? Sure.
So the first part of that question -- go ahead, Joe.
Yes. Thanks, Matt. So I think, Alex, the first thing with the established brands, I think Matt said it in his commentary, right? We do think established brands are going to have some years where you have somewhat of a reset like we did with the respiratory in 2025 and then remaining backward flat.
I think when we look at it, a lot of the respiratory risk, it's a -- will pull into this year. but it's largely we're getting past that as well as some of the declines we had over the year and the prior year in Japan. And so when we look at them, the growth with products like Emgality plus Vtama and so forth, that's where we see stabilization in established brands, but it's still going to be somewhat chunky, I would say, in the future, where we'll have some challenges and then opportunities to offset that with growth. Matt, do you want to take the Vtama?
Yes. So from a Vtama perspective, as it competes against steroidal nonsteroidal options, we see that 2026, the product is likely to grow in line with the other nonsteroidal topical. So in the 20%, 25% range year-on-year for Vtama.
The only other thing I would add to Joe's comment on established brands is that we continue to add products there that capitalize on the global infrastructure that we have. So we -- the company made an announcement tail-end of last year that we will be marketing [ Nimendo ] in the EU. Not a big product, but it can slide right in similar to Emgality, very little in the way of incremental operating expense necessary and once again, capitalizes on what's a unique asset and feature for Organon's business, which is this global infrastructure that enables us to sell either directly or directly into 140 countries around the globe.
The next question comes from Terence Flynn with Morgan Stanley.
Two for me. I was just wondering if you can give us any update on the search for a permanent CEO? And then the second one relates to the denosumab biosimilar that I know you guys launched end of December. I think Amgen has talked about being able to, on the [ Prolia ] side, at least, hold on some more share given they have [ AVenitY ] as another option.
So I guess as you think about your go-to-market strategy, on the dense biosimilar specifically for the osteoporosis setting. Anything you're doing differently to try to capture more share there.
So I can take the one on the CEO search. You might recall there was a special committee of the Board formed last year. We've had a very robust process underway, but there's no public update to share right now.
And as far as the denosumab question, I think let's just talk about what we should be modeling and how investors should be thinking about Organon's opportunity for that product. And like a lot of the biosimilar partnered opportunities that we have will be competing against highly competitive markets, both from a volume and price perspective when we think about what the peak revenues might be for that denosumab product over both reference products, it's on the order of $100 million in total, let's say, over about a 5-year time frame.
This concludes the question-and-answer session and we'll conclude today's conference call and webcast. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.
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Organon & Co. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Organon & Co. — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz 2025: $6,2 Mrd. (−3% YoY, berichtend und ex FX)
- Q4-Umsatz: $1,57 Mrd. (−8% konstant Währung)
- Adj. EBITDA (bereinigtes EBITDA): $1,9 Mrd. für 2025 (Margin FY 30,7%)
- Margen: Q4 bereinigte Bruttomarge 56,7% vs 60,6% Vorjahr; Q4 Adj. EBITDA-Marge 25,4% vs 28,1%
- Cash & Bilanz: Free Cash Flow $960 Mio.; Net-Leverage ~4,3x Ende 2025; Ziel <4x Ende 2026
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Portfolio-Fokus: Stärkere Allokation auf Biosimilars (Hadlima +61% ex FX) und Wachstumsprodukte wie Vtama ($128 Mio.) und Emgality; frühphasige Programme wurden reduziert.
- Kapitalallokation: Divestitur (≈$390 Mio. Nettoerlös) + Reduktion der Dividende zur schnelleren Entschuldung; Ziel: Bilanzspielraum für künftiges Wachstum.
- Kostendisziplin: >$200 Mio. Einsparungen 2025; weiteres OpEx-Programm 2026; Teil der Einsparungen wird gezielt in Wachstumsförderung reinvestiert.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- 2026 Guidance: Umsatz ~ $6,2 Mrd.; Adj. EBITDA ~ $1,9 Mrd. (ähnlich 2025).
- Treiber & Risiken: Erwartete Brutto-margenverschlechterung 75–100 Basispunkte; LOE (Loss of Exclusivity) ≈ $40 Mio.; Preis-Effekt ≈ $75 Mio. (≈1,2%); Volumen +$150 Mio.
- Sonstiges: Erwartete effektive Steuerrate 27,5–29,5%; CapEx und Working Capital sollen FCF 2026 ähnlich wie 2024/2025 halten.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Audit/Channel-Risiko: Analysten drängten auf Klarheit zu wiederholten Kanalverstößen (Nexplanon, Biosimilars); Vorstand verweist auf laufende Untersuchungen und verweigert Details.
- Nexplanon: Diskussion zu Effekten der Umstellung auf 5‑Jahres‑Label (kein Reinsertionseffekt künftig → kurzfristiger Volumenrückgang); REMS/Recertification soll Zertifizierungs-Reibung minimieren.
- Biosimilars & Margen: Regulierung (FDA-Guidance) wird eher inkrementelle Effekte bringen; Organon erwartet moderates Wachstum, nicht einen Margen- oder Volumensprung.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Call signalisiert Stabilitätsstrategie: moderates organisches Wachstum gestützt durch Biosimilars und ausgewählte Marken, starke Kostenkontrolle und Bilanzreparatur. Kurzfristig stehen Nexplanon‑Channelfragen, Margendruck und einzelne LOEs im Fokus; für Aktionäre bedeutet das eher defensive, deleveraging‑orientierte Performance statt deutliches Gewinnwachstum 2026.
Organon & Co. — Piper Sandler 37th Annual Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Good morning, everyone. Welcome to day 2 of the 37th Annual Piper Sandler Healthcare Conference. This is David Amsellem from the Piper Biopharma research team, and we've got Organon with us. We have Joe Morrissey, Interim CEO; and Matt Walsh, CFO. Thanks, gentlemen, for joining us.
And so certainly lots to talk about. And I wanted to dive right into my questions. And let's just start with the internal investigation and the completion of that. And just as a refresher for people here and listening in on the webcast, just talk about the conclusion of the investigation and then also talk about your remediation efforts.
Yes, sure. Well, it's great to be here. Yes, the conclusion of investigation was in sales practices in the United States with NEXPLANON and 2 wholesalers. And the ultimate weakness was tone at top, right, which held accountable from a CEO standpoint out of the U.S. We're good that the investigation has been fully completed at this point. We have a very detailed remediation plan that's approved by the Audit Committee on the Board. Matt and I are the cosponsors of that remediation plan.
And being that with tone at the top, it really does start with the tone at the top and how we engage the organization. It goes into the training of the true ethics and integrity. But then also when you look at the weakness that we had, employees didn't escalate their concerns, right? And so we have a lot of tools and mechanisms to do that. And so we're driving that through in terms of the communication to make sure our employees know about those escalations. But then from a financial standpoint...
Yes. From a financial perspective, the investigation found the extent of revenue that we're talking about all around management of quarter end orders, not more than 1% of revenue on the year, 2% in any quarter. But when you get into the actual financial reporting impact, the numbers were smaller than that. And I would point people to the third quarter earnings call that we had Slide 5. And let's make sure that we separate the revenue recognition was all good, right? The investigation confirmed that our revenue recognition was appropriate.
So nothing about the financial numbers and our audits needed to be revised in any way. So yes, that was an important point. So we -- as Joe pointed out, we do have some internal control remediation we can do, not around the financial monitoring controls, it's more just in how information and communication about management of quarter end orders flow.
But just to be clear, nothing else was uncovered regarding any other wholesaler practices. It was just specifically related to the items that you disclosed regarding NEXPLANON.
That's correct. And since the practices have ceased, they'll now wash out in this fourth quarter. And when we get to 2026, we won't be talking about the issue anymore.
Got it. Okay. Well, let's move on and just take a step back. We'll look at the organization more broadly. So one thing you've talked about is cost discipline. Another thing you've talked about is deleveraging. So -- and they're tied together, right? Improving leverage ratios certainly is tied to cost discipline. So how should we think about the extent of that cost discipline in '26? And I guess another way of asking it is, is there room for more cost savings as we look to next year?
Yes. So as you know, in the long run, all costs are variable. We're just coming off a 2025 in which we took $200 million of operating expense out of the business. That's not a net number because we have upped our investment around things like VTAMA. But $200 million was what we achieved this year. Continued cost discipline is part of the equation next year. But that said, I think maybe one talking point investors have gotten used to for management is that we would be trying to adhere to a 31% adjusted EBITDA margin. That's proving more challenging to think about for next year, we'll be guiding in February. But just given issues around NEXPLANON flattening out and our continued investment in the VTAMA launch, not just in the U.S. but globally, I think that 31% EBITDA margin is -- will be a challenge for us when we ultimately provide our guidance in February.
Okay. So let's drill down a little more. I'm particularly interested in your R&D spend. It's historically been a fairly big number. And what I guess I'm wondering here is, how do you balance these various R&D programs versus the broader goal of cost discipline and improving the capital structure?
Yes. Maybe I'll start with our priorities in R&D, right? Our #1 priority actually is supporting the products that we have today, right? So inside that number, we have a very diverse product portfolio in a lot of markets around the world. So when you start looking at medical affairs and regulatory affairs, it's not a small number, right? So our first priority is how do we maximize the value of the products that we have in our hands. That also includes newer products like VTAMA, which also you have to invest not just in like a pediatric study, but then also the launches around the world. That's our #1 priority.
Our second priority then comes to any type of life cycle management that we do. And so we are deprioritizing bigger programs and those longer-term programs. We have to do that in the near term as we're prioritizing the leverage.
Yes. Okay. I guess the -- and I know it's hard to provide a complete picture of granularity surrounding R&D. But I guess, you do have a number -- I mean, you have an endometriosis program, you had -- and there are other programs, but you've talked about prioritizing the products you do have. Does that mean that over time, we're going to see pretty significant cuts in the R&D budget? I mean in other words, is Organon trying to evolve into a much more of the commercial stage focused company.
Yes. So evolve into -- yes, we need to be a more commercially focused organization. And we said that from the beginning, and those priorities ring true. When we look at any kind of decision in terms of large clinical studies, we don't have that any longer with, as you said, the endometriosis drug failed out. So our priorities are supporting the existing business. In terms of significant cost reduction, it's a large complex portfolio, right? And so that minimum critical mass is not as small as we would like it to be in order to have the product portfolio that we have.
Okay. Let's look at NEXPLANON more closely. So you've alluded to policy decisions impacting Title X funding and Planned Parenthood. So can you talk to how much of the headwind this is going to be going forward. I mean, I think you talked to flattening, but is flattening the right way to think about it? It could get worse. But how do we think about that.
Yes. So the issues around the Title X funding were discussed. There was a lot of chatter in the first half of the year. Policies got implemented in the second half. And so at a minimum, next year, we're thinking we need to annualize the issues that have now become more tangible here in the second half of the year. So just by virtue of doing that, the U.S. NEXPLANON is looking at a year, if you're reflecting the full year impact of those Title X challenges. The United States probably is at best flat next year and is more likely looking at a down year. The product continues to grow internationally. Now with the removal of the U.S. AID program, that, I would say, maybe delayed our international growth a bit, but other sources have stepped in. So the product looks to -- as we're thinking about next year on a high-level basis directionally, International continues to grow.
We're probably looking at flat to declining in the United States. And let's also not forget, at least in the way that we're handicapping things, 2026 is a year where we'll probably get the 5-year label and launch that. And that was always an inflection year that would be impacting volume. But net-net, on the whole, taking all these things into consideration, Dave, we felt it was appropriate to make the comment that we did in the third quarter call that all of those things considered NEXPLANON is probably flat next year on a global basis.
And are you contemplating any ex-U.S. generic competition in that comp flat to slightly down?
So just to level set, we -- NEXPLANON lost exclusivity this year in Europe, which is a pretty big market and the generic has not been introduced. So...
And there are generics approved in Latin America in a number of countries. And I think going back to like 2024 even, none have come to the market. And for us internationally, we also had a big win just a couple of months with reimbursement in Brazil for the public and private market. So again, we see avenues for us to continue to grow internationally.
Okay. Now then there's the macroeconomic environment impacting independent health clinics and as a result impacting NEXPLANON. So is that also factored into your informal guidance on NEXPLANON for next year? And how do you see that playing out?
It's still factored in, right? If you look at that private market, the integrated delivery centers and so forth, that business is growing really, really well. And that's the majority of that business. Smaller business are those independent and smaller ones, which seem to be managing their cash flow and where they used to be bulk buys, they're moving more to specialty pharma. And we know as soon as you enter in another step of fulfillment, you start getting leakage to that. And so we're experiencing that for sure, and we're forecasting that, that will continue.
I think you made a comment on the 3Q call, it might be the 3Q call about one way to meet some of these challenges, making some concessions on price. So can you talk more about pricing headwinds or pricing concessions, if you will, in '26 versus '25 on NEXPLANON?
Yes. I think this is the first year, at least since the spin-off, where we've seen significant pricing competition in the LARC space. So we'll have to respond to that. NEXPLANON is a product that we've generally been able to raise prices, inflation, inflation plus every single year. That will probably happen again next year. And what we're -- and if we're successful in getting that, that is more of a recognition of than anything else is the move to the 5-year label and the opportunity to recognize the value that, that additional duration provide for patients.
Yes. I wanted to come back just quickly to the 5-year label. How do you think about that in terms of its impact pushing out on the LOE for NEXPLANON in the U.S?
Well, I think it differentiates itself in the marketplace, right? And you have data exclusivity on the 5-year for a number of years. And we also know through our focus groups, the 5-year indication is valued in the market. And so we look at more as it differentiates us in that market as opposed to tying to the LOE piece. When you look at long-acting reversible contraception and you're competing also in that space with IUDs, you want that 5-year indication.
All right. So let's move on to VTAMA. So you did lower your '25 sales guidance. Just remind us where you think you fell short of that $150 million worldwide target? Was it your assumptions on volume growth? Was it assumptions on the gross to net moderation? Was it a mix of both? Or are there other considerations that we should be aware of?
We're going to say yes to that. Look, from a volume standpoint, we really felt that with the strength of the label that we could overcome a lot of those headwinds you're naturally going to face in that first year. We're fourth entry to the market. Access was not well positioned in the first year. And it wasn't able to do it as much as we thought it was. And then gross to net, we had a pretty aggressive target, I would say, with gross to net. We were going to be like 6 points of improvement in gross to net, and we're -- we got about half of it. And when we look at those 2 combined, that's where we're ending up in year 1.
So gross to net, I think what you had talked about earlier this year was that the coupon program was something that was really a drag on net realized price. So that was something that you were looking to ameliorate. So can you talk to that? Is that something that is going to be less of a factor going forward? And are there other things that you can do on the contracting front to try to moderate the gross to net?
Yes. So I'll talk access first, right? And there are 2 numbers that always stick in my head with access. We entered this year less than 40% on our preferred tier with VTAMA. We're ending the year -- we're going to -- next year, we're going to enter in around 70% to 80% access on that top tier. That's a much different access profile. We think the value of the coupon card, it still is valuable inside of that marketplace. And so I think that's also part of tempering our expectations of how much we could exit that coupon card and when. So we focused on the access piece. Now we're going to be able to focus on the pull-through piece, and we think that ultimately puts us in a better position.
Can you remind us how many reps you have supporting VTAMA at present? I don't know if you disclosed that.
No, I don't think we talked about it specifically.
We don't. But relative to what Dermatan had, we're growing it both in the base level in terms of going after the psoriasis and the AD indications for, let's say, adult patients and where we're thinking about and executing on increased investments is for those patients for whom the safety part of the label really resonates most in the pediatric space.
Yes. So what's your view of the topical derm competitive landscape and how that's impacting the VTAMA. So for instant Arcutis ZORYVE, which looks like it's doing quite well. And we know that the payer landscape for topicals is not particularly easy. But you have one competitor that seems to be doing quite well and VTAMA is growing, but you fell short of your guidance. So I guess if you can talk to the competitive dynamics here and what you feel do you need to do better vis-a-vis your competition?
I think you summarized it really, really well. It's a highly competitive space, right? And it's -- derm is a very challenging space as well. We recognize that also. Again, we fall back to the label with VTAMA, and it's a highly competitive label, whether it's efficacy, tolerability, safety, we hit all of those. It's a novel mechanism of action. And when you look at all of those characteristics of the product, it is a really strong product. And so we believe we can compete in that highly competitive space and difficult space because we think we can drive that from an efficacy standpoint, tolerability as well as safety, we can hit every single one of them.
So when you bought Dermavant, you didn't have a dermatology sales force, you onboarded one where you really -- you've inherited one with Dermavant. So now you've got this leverageable asset with your derm sales force. So with that in mind, what's your appetite for adding another dermatology-focused asset or assets, given that dynamic? And I guess the second part of the question is, if you have an appetite for it, how large of a transaction could you contemplate here? Yes.
Yes. So we would love to do it. To the point you raised, now we've got a platform and the reps are carrying only one product in the bag. So there'd be terrific synergies if you're talking about adding derm products to it. So we'd love to do it. It gets to kind of the larger issue of what role can BD play from a capital allocation perspective, given our drive to improve the balance sheet and get our leverage in a much better place. And I think these things are actually consistent. We can certainly direct cash flow to absolute dollars of debt reduction. We've done it this year. We'll continue to do it when the Jada transaction closes and we receive those net proceeds.
But there are certain kinds of BD we can do that actually immediately accretive, help us grow revenue and EBITDA faster, and that also helps us address the leverage issue. So from a capital allocation perspective, the kinds of deals where we're capitalizing on what we are already good at and what we're doing and where we've got assets and infrastructure in place are the kinds of deals that still make sense. And that derm is a perfect example of where we can add things with great synergies, where we can be the best owner of that asset, and we can actually attack our leverage issue faster.
Yes. Looking at the sales force at present for VTAMA, do you plan to expand the sales force? Or do you think you need to?
We are continuing to expand the sales force, right, but it is very targeted in terms of where we're adding that sales force.
Yes. So let's switch gears to established brands. So on the third quarter call, you talked about respiratory as particularly significant headwind, I think you had mentioned SINGULAIR, in particular. There's also Dulera which was -- which had pressure. So just give us a refresher on those headwinds and what we could see out of respiratory looking into '26.
Yes, there are multiple headwinds to have a number that big, right? And when you look at respiratory, the largest part of our business is outside the U.S. And certainly in Asia, it's been another weak allergy season that has affected our overall performance. The price reduction, specifically around SINGULAIR in China with provincial VBP as well as with price reductions in Japan was far greater than what has been typical and more than what we expected. There's another round of price reduction for provincial VBP for SINGULAIR in the beginning of next year in China.
The next piece was new guidance came out from a health insurance standpoint around montelukast and it dropped it from its preferred tier and now second or third line, and that came out in May of this year, and we're starting to see that play out in a lot of our international markets. And then Dulera is a separate one in the United States in terms of that challenge. We lost a big contract early in the year with the PBM that affected our overall business. And then the mix has changed where the pressure on rebates has been more than what was typical in that business.
And my understanding with Dulera is it is off patent but there are no...
It's been off patent for a number of years, and we keep forecasting it may or may not have a generic entrant. And so at this point, there hasn't been.
Right. So but we don't have visibility into...
We have visibility that people have been working on them, but there's no visibility of movement of getting them to the market.
Got it. Okay. And just remind us on the guidelines on SINGULAIR. Which countries does that specifically affect? Or is that sort of...
They were more like general international guidelines and then you have different countries that are following. It is based out of Europe, and then there are different countries that follow the European guidelines and so forth that working its way out.
So then switching gears, another headwind is Atozet, which was expected. I mean that's an LOE in Japan and Europe. I know -- we know that there was a real impact this year. I guess my question is, looking at '26, how should we think about the LOE impact for Atozet in '26. I would imagine it will be more muted relative to '25, but I want to hear your thoughts.
Yes. So we have largely washed out the Atozet LOE impact this year. And actually, there are certain pockets ex-U.S. where Atozet volumes are actually going up, for example, from a life cycle management perspective, we launched Atozet in China. But when we think -- but to -- maybe to the larger question, LOE has largely washed out of the portfolio. When we think about next year, LOE impact across all of the established brands portfolio in all products combined would be less than a $75 million number, whereas just Atozet in this year was over $200 million.
Yes. So switching gears to a bright spot, Emgality has been doing well ex-U.S. What are you seeing here regarding Emgality and what countries or regions are you gaining the most traction for that product?
Yes. So this was -- our partnership with Lilly here is going very well. It started with 11 markets. That's now been doubled. We're now in 22 markets. It's doing quite well in all the markets that we're in with Lilly. And I think it's another example, Dave, of the kinds of BD we can do to capitalize on our capabilities. We've got direct presence in more than 50 countries outside. We sell into 140. So we've got regulatory and sales and marketing capabilities that could readily absorb something like an Emgality and make hay with it. So Emgality growth this year is pretty nice. You can see it in our filings and we break that product out. And that product will continue to grow in 2026.
So taking a step back on established brands. So you brought in Emgality as you referred to with the deal with Lilly. So I guess with that in mind, do you see Organon doing more of these kinds of tuck-ins for ex-U.S. rights where you can leverage your global infrastructure? I mean it seems like a no-brainer where you can be a partner, an ex-U.S. partner of choice for market-ready or early commercial stage assets. Philosophically, how do you think about that?
Yes. Important for us. And the same answer to the question around the dermatology sales force. We want to continue to invest in what we're good at, and we have core capabilities, and that's the fact that we can change our overall performance. And showing our success that we've had with Emgality is also showing what we can do with products from other companies, and it's exactly where we want to go.
Yes. So we got about a minute left, so I want to make sure I touch on biosimilars. High-level question, how do you see biosimilars within the broader organization? Is this a core business for Organon?
Yes. I think the role of biosimilars, it's a growth driver for us in this near term. And from the beginning, we felt that this was the right position for biosimilars when we would be launching HADLIMA, we'd be expanding the relationship we had with Samsung. But then we had to buy some additional biosimilars in there. We were successful with HADLIMA and our 2 launches in the United States. And this is a great growth driver. And what we're showing is we have differentiated capabilities in a number of markets, including the U.S. and Canada. And again, we'll double down just like [indiscernible] so it fits right in, limited infrastructure. You don't have to add to it and you just pop it right into your business.
Yes. And then looking more broadly, I think on the 3Q call and other calls, you started to talk a little bit about divestitures. And I guess -- and it's a hard question to answer, but how are you thinking about divestitures as a means of trying to accelerate the deleveraging process and just improving the capital structure?
Opportunistically is the word. We had the ability to capitalize on a unique opportunity with the divestiture of Jada and to the extent that we can repeat that we will. But it would be, I think, on an opportunistic basis, it's not a coordinated plan that we're talking about.
Okay. Well, I'll leave it there. We're out of time. Thanks, Joe. Thanks, Matt, and thanks, everyone, in the audience.
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Organon & Co. — Piper Sandler 37th Annual Healthcare Conference
Organon & Co. — Piper Sandler 37th Annual Healthcare Conference
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Ergebnis: Interne Untersuchung zu US‑Vertriebspraktiken bei NEXPLANON abgeschlossen; Audit‑Komitee hat detaillierten Remediationsplan gebilligt, CEO und CFO sind Co‑Sponsoren.
- Finanzimpact: Umsatzwirkung maximal ~1% auf Jahressicht, bis 2% in einem Quartal; keine Revision der berichteten Zahlen oder Audits.
- Strategie: Priorität auf Kostendisziplin, Deleveraging und kommerzielle Fokussierung; R&D wird zu Gunsten bestehender Produkte priorisiert.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Kostdisziplin: 2025: ~$200M Opex‑Reduktion; Ziel einer hohen Adjusted‑EBITDA‑Margin (~31%) wird für 2026 herausfordernd.
- Kommerz & BD: VTAMA‑Investitionen (Launch‑ und weltweite Zugangsmaßnahmen) und gezielte Zukäufe in Dermatologie/ex‑US werden als prioritäre Wachstumshebel genannt.
- Biosimilars & Partnerschaften: Hadlima‑Erfolge und Emgality‑Rollout (11→22 Märkte) zeigen Fokus auf ex‑US‑Kommerzialisierung.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Untersuchungsklarheit: Quantifiziertes Ergebnis: Umsatz‑Effekt ≤1% p.a., ≤2% in Quartal; Management erwartet Auswaschen des Effekts im Q4 und kein Thema mehr 2026.
- VTAMA‑Access: Erwartetes Preferred‑Tier‑Access für VTAMA nächstes Jahr ~70–80%, womit Pull‑through und Gross‑to‑Net verbessert werden sollen.
- LOE‑Ausblick: LOE‑Effekte im Portfolio für 2026 geschätzt < $75M; Atozet‑Effekt 2025 deutlich größer und größtenteils abgearbeitet.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Untersuchung: Umfang, Tone‑at‑Top und konkrete Remediationsschritte; Management blieb verbindlich, nannte Audit‑Komitee‑Freigabe und Schulungs/Kommunikationsmaßnahmen.
- NEXPLANON‑Ausblick: Titel‑X/Planned‑Parenthood‑Effekte, mögliche Preiszugeständnisse und Generika‑Risiken; Management sieht internationales Wachstum, US eher flat bis down.
- VTAMA & R&D: Gründe für Verfehlen der $150M‑Zielmarke (Zugang, Coupon/Gross‑to‑Net), geplante gezielte Vertriebsaufstockung; R&D wird zugunsten Lifecycle/kommerzieller Prioritäten verschoben.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Kurzfristige Headwinds (NEXPLANON‑US, VTAMA‑Anlauf, Respiratory‑Preisdruck) belasten Wachstum, aber die berichteten Zahlen bleiben intakt; Remediation, Kostenmaßnahmen und gezielte BD (Derm, Emgality, Biosimilars) sind zentrale Hebel. Anleger sollten auf die Februar‑Guidance 2026 und VTAMA‑Access‑Trends achten.
Organon & Co. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Hello, and welcome to the Organon Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call and Webcast. [Operator Instructions]
I would now like to turn the conference over to Jennifer Halchak, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin.
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Today, we will be referencing a presentation that is visible during this call for those of you on our webcast. This presentation will also be available following this call on the Events & Presentations section of our Organon Investor Relations website. Please reference Slides 2 and 3 for some brief reminders.
I would like to caution listeners that certain information discussed by management during this call will include forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements can be identified because they do not relate strictly to historical or current facts and use words such as potential, should, will, continue, expects, believes, future, estimates, believes and other words of similar meaning.
Actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties associated with the company's business, which are discussed in the company's filings with the SEC. This includes our most recent Form K and Forms 10-Q and those amended forms that we filed earlier this morning, as well as our October 27, 2025 Form 8-K. These statements are based on information as of today, November 10, 2025. And except as required by law, Organon undertakes no obligation to update or revise any of these forward-looking statements.
In addition, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures on this call, which should be considered a supplement to and not a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Descriptions of these measures and reconciliations to the comparable GAAP measures are included in today's earnings press release and conference call presentation, both of which are available on our Investor Relations website and have been furnished to the SEC on a current report on Form 8-K.
I note that while our full year 2025 guidance measures other than revenue are provided on a non-GAAP basis, Organon does not provide GAAP financial measures on a forward-looking basis, because we cannot predict with reasonable certainty and without unreasonable effort, the ultimate outcome of those legal proceedings, unusual gains, and losses, the occurrence of matters creating GAAP tax impacts and acquisition-related expenses. These items are uncertain, depend on various factors and could be material to our results computed in accordance with GAAP.
On the call today, Carrie, Joe and Matt will address certain information about our internal investigation. Additional information about the investigation is available in our SEC filings. Beyond the statements today and the information in our filings, we will not be taking questions on the investigation. Today, the team will discuss our business, third quarter results and guidance, and they will take questions on those matters after their prepared remarks.
And now I'll turn the call over to Carrie.
Thank you, Jen. Hello, everyone, and thank you all for joining us today. I've had the privilege of serving as Board Chair of Organon since 2021. I've been in the pharma industry now over 4 decades. And about half of those years were spent in global leadership roles, which required navigating businesses through periods of transformation and growth. A good part of that experience was leading Schering-Plough Global Pharmaceuticals until the merger with Merck. So I have a deep understanding of many of our products and markets here at Organon.
Since Organon's inception, our mission has been to deliver impactful medicines and solutions for a healthier every day. there is a shared passion at Organon to advance the complete health of women at all stages of her life, and that's what drew me to Organon from the beginning. While we focus on Women's Health, we also have a diverse portfolio of Biosimilars and Established brands that are important in markets around the world.
I'm here today because I have assumed a new role at Organon as Executive Chair. Following the Board's investigation into the company's improper sales practices with two distributors with respect to U.S. sales of Nexplanon. I will be supporting Joe Morrissey, who I will speak about in a minute as our interim CEO. The Board has formed a search committee and will be conducting a search for our permanent CEO.
In this role, my focus will be on working closely with our leadership team to ensure that we align our resources to our highest priorities and drive operational performance across the portfolio. I will be deeply engaged in monitoring progress, addressing challenges quickly and ensuring that every part of the business is working towards our shared goals.
The independent internal investigation relating to the company's Nexplanon sales to wholesalers in the U.S. is complete. And our remediation efforts are underway, including enhanced control, certain personnel actions, additional training and expanded written procedures. The company's wholesaler sales practices identified through this investigation have ceased. And we have new leadership at the company and in our U.S. commercial sales area to ensure this does not happen again.
The Board and I are confident that Joe is the right person to assume the role of Interim CEO of Organon and to oversee the remediation measures. He brings integrity, a strong focus on operational excellence and a deep commitment to executing our strategy. Joe came to Organon from Merck, where he spent more than 30 years.
At Organon, he was already a member of the executive leadership team and has served as Head of Global Manufacturing and Supply Chain since Organon's inception, leading the company's efforts to deliver medicines and solutions around the world. We appreciate Joe agreeing to step in at this critical juncture. Importantly, I want to stress that our drive for operational excellence and meeting our goals to move our company forward into the future remains unchanged.
With that said, I'll hand it over to Joe so that he can talk a bit about his and Organon strategic priorities.
Thank you, Carrie. I appreciate the introduction and the opportunity to speak with everyone today. As Carrie mentioned, I spent more than 3 decades at Merck, where I led a number of manufacturing businesses, as well as corporate strategy. That experience combined with my deep understanding of our products, our markets and our supply chains made joining Organon a natural step as I was excited to build something meaningful from the ground up, leveraging our strong history. We have faced many challenges in these first 4.5 years, but we have a resilient and capable global team.
Our diverse product portfolio and footprint help us to generate meaningful revenue and deliver real value to patients and communities around the world. As Carrie has said, our strategic priorities have not changed.
Moving forward, we remain focused on executing against these priorities. As we've previously shared, these include deleveraging the business, driving cost savings and achieving revenue growth. I am -- I believe deeply in Organon's mission, our values and our people around the world. I'm fully committed to helping Organon succeed.
And with that, I hand it over to Matt.
Thank you, Joe. Beginning on Slide 4. Third quarter revenue was $1.6 billion and adjusted EBITDA was $518 million, representing an adjusted EBITDA margin of 32.3%. Before I go deeper into a discussion of third quarter results, I'd like to spend a minute walking through some specifics about the company's U.S. wholesaler sales practices, that Carrie referenced. It's important that investors understand this issue properly. There is limited revenue impact and no financial restatement is necessary. All revenue was properly recorded in accordance with U.S. GAAP.
On Slide 5, you'll see a summary of the revenue impact from these practices for the recent quarterly periods identified by the investigation. The revenue that we're highlighting is that of Nexplanon sales to two U.S. wholesalers with specific emphasis on revenue transactions occurring close to quarter end.
Certain revenue transactions were advanced or pulled forward into the current quarter in excess of estimated patient demand and/or contractually agreed inventory holding levels. For example, for the third quarter of 2024, on the left-hand side of this chart, the sales practices in question resulted in approximately $5 million of pull-forward revenue from the fourth quarter of that year. In the fourth quarter of 2024, there was approximately $15 million pulled forward from the first quarter of 2025. So the net impact in the fourth quarter of 2024 was $10 million.
Importantly, because we're talking about the pull forward of sales, these quarterly numbers are not cumulative. Our financial statements have been consistently reflecting the net impact, which is clearly not material to our consolidated revenue. Three other important points to make here. First, revenue recognition in all cases was appropriately recognized in accordance with U.S. GAAP, specifically Section ASC 606. Two, during these periods, product returns were at or below historical levels and three, in every relevant period, the units that were pulled forward occurred late in the third month of that quarter, and were absorbed through patient demand by approximately the end of the first month of the following quarter.
Since this practice has ceased and will not continue in the future, we will see the most significant impact in the fourth quarter of this year because the $17 million pull forward in Q3 2025 will not have an offsetting buy-in in Q4 2025.
As a result, the pull-forward dynamic rolls off in the fourth quarter and will be contained within the 2025 fiscal year with no carryover impact to 2026. One last point on this topic. In the 8-K filing on October 27, the financial impact of these practices for the relevant periods was described as being less than 1% of consolidated revenue for the full year of 2022 and full year 2024 and less than 2% of consolidated revenue for the relevant quarterly periods. Subsequently, we have completed our testing and detailed reviews, resulting in the more narrow estimates that you see here on Slide 5, which are clearly within the ranges disclosed in the 8-K.
Now moving to a discussion of third quarter 2025 results. To be clear, when I refer to revenue and revenue variances, unless otherwise noted, those references are to revenue recorded in our financial statements without adjusting to back out the pull forward. So let's go franchise by franchise, and then we'll move to a discussion of revenue by driver.
So turning to Slide 6. The Women's Health franchise declined 4% at constant currency in the third quarter of 2025 compared with the third quarter of 2024 with growth in contraceptives Marvelon, Mercilon and NuvaRing, partially offsetting a 9% decline in Nexplanon at constant currency. Global Nexplanon sales in the third quarter were $223 million. In the U.S., Nexplanon declined 50%, while internationally, the product grew 7% ex-exchange.
The biggest challenge facing Nexplanon this quarter was unfavorable U.S. policy, which emerged in Q2, accelerated in Q3 and had the biggest impact in the budget constrained public segments. Planned Parenthood and federally qualified health centers, where Nexplanon has a leading market share among long-acting reversible contraceptives.
In the second quarter, we cited U.S. policy decisions that impact Title X funding and Planned Parenthood. In the third quarter, formalization of these policies intensified budget and access constraints with the greatest impact being realized in Planned Parenthood. On the commercial side, our Nexplanon business is primarily comprised of integrated delivery networks and to a lesser extent, independent health care clinics.
In the independent commercial clinics, we've seen a shift away from both purchasing or buy and bill towards single unit specialty pharmacy fulfillment of these claims, as these small businesses try to preserve cash. This is also largely macro-driven and related to inflationary and economic factors with independent health care clinics are facing. We see these headwinds persisting in the fourth quarter in the U.S. and likely to result in full year U.S. Nexplanon sales that are down mid- to high single digit for the full year.
We expect international sales of Nexplanon to grow mid- to high single digits ex-FX this year. Putting that together, that means we expect global Nexplanon sales will be down low single digit in 2025 compared with full year 2024 on an ex-exchange basis.
In the fourth quarter, that implies global Nexplanon sales will be down by mid-teens ex-exchange compared with the fourth quarter of 2024. The discontinuation of the wholesaler practices I mentioned will likely explain about 2/3 of the year-over-year variance in the fourth quarter.
Turning to other components of our Women's Health business. Our fertility business was flat in the third quarter and up 13% year-to-date, ex-FX. For the full year, we expect high single-digit growth driven by the U.S., which represents about 40% of our global fertility business, as well as market expansion outside the U.S.
And rounding out Women's Health. On November 6, we announced that Organon has entered into a definitive agreement to divest the Jada system for $440 million plus another $25 million contingent on 2026 revenue targets. Since acquiring Jada 4 years ago, the Jada team successfully launched the product in the U.S., secured approvals across multiple countries and managed design iterations as part of continuous improvement activities all leading to Jada being recognized as the standard of care in postpartum hemorrhage management.
With this divestiture, Organon can delever faster by applying the proceeds to debt reduction, and put Jada in the hands of a med tech company well positioned to build on our great work and the very successful launch of the product.
Turning now to Biosimilars on Slide 7. Year-to-date performance is largely driven by Hadlima, which is up 63% ex-FX globally through September and continues to rank among the leading Biosimilars in terms of total prescriptions in the U.S. This performance reflects the strong clinical profile of Hadlima, which includes the recent interchangeability approval in the U.S. Hadlima has also benefited from the effectiveness of our low-price strategy as well as expansion into Canada and Puerto Rico.
The third quarter also benefited from an international tender for Ontruzant and to a lesser extent, contribution from our new denosumab biosimilar, which was approved by the FDA and launched in the U.S. in late September and Tofidence, which the company acquired in the second quarter of 2025.
Wrapping up the franchise discussion with established brands now on Slide 8. Vtama revenue in the third quarter was $34 million and $89 million year-to-date. Our ongoing focus here remains to differentiate Vtama in the market. We have the largest addressable market with a single product in both indications across all severities. Vtama is notable for its safety profile, powerful skin clearance and rapid effective itch relief. It's once-daily dosing regimen and lack of restrictions on duration of use or percentage of body surface area affected further illustrate Vtama's potential for disease management in adults suffering from plaque psoriasis and adults in children down to 2 years of age with atopic dermatitis.
The launch has had a flatter curve than we expected, but we are further investing behind the brand to effect a more rapid uptake in the atopic dermatitis indication. We still believe this product could get close to $0.5 billion globally at peak, even if our $150 million target for this year is now likely out of reach and closer to $120 million to $130 million.
Elsewhere in Established brands, the third quarter marked the last quarter of significant impact from the LOE of Atozet since we lapped that event in September. Importantly, we saw a continuation of softening in our respiratory business. Performance in the respiratory portfolio was primarily driven by declines in Singulair, resulting from lower demand outside of the U.S. The montelukast molecule is losing share to newer respiratory products, especially in pediatrics and is facing mandatory price reductions in Japan and China.
Dulera was also down significantly in the quarter, primarily due to increased discount rate pressure in the United States, coupled with temporary supply constraints and the negative impact from the loss of a customer contract early this year. As you know, our respiratory business can be seasonal. And given the historical stability of these offerings at midyear, we believe this business would rebound. Based on Q3 results and current projections for the remainder of the year, we anticipate that erosion in the respiratory business will persist through this year and into next year.
Moving to Slide 9, where we detail the drivers of our 1% as reported revenue increase year-on-year for the third quarter. Starting on the left, loss of exclusivity was about $50 million for the quarter, which primarily reflects the impact of the LOE of Atozet in Europe, which occurred in September 2024. As we lap that LOE, we anticipate a relatively smaller impact in the fourth quarter. Year-to-date, we're tracking at the high end of the $170 million to $190 million range we provided last quarter. And so we now estimate LOE impact to be about $200 million for the full year 2025.
VBP in China was de minimis in the third quarter and year-to-date. We now expect Fosamax's inclusion in Round 11 to be an early 2026 event, so we expect very minimal impact from VBP in 2025, less than our previous estimate of $30 million to $50 million. There was an approximate $30 million impact from price for the third quarter or about 1.9%. That was mainly driven by the mandatory pricing revisions in respiratory that I mentioned, competitive pricing pressures in fertility and the LOE of Atozet.
We expect the full year impact from price to be in the range of $135 million to $145 million or about 2% with those same Q3 drivers of price being the most significant. This is an improvement over our prior range of $155 million to $185 million. Volumes increased $70 million in the third quarter, representing growth of about 4.5%, driven by the addition of Vtama to the portfolio, continued growth in Emgality and solid performance of Hadlima.
Given year-to-date performance and our view into the fourth quarter, we estimate that volume could grow about 2.5% for the full year 2025, a revision from our former estimate of 6% to 7%. This would imply low single-digit decline in the fourth quarter and is reflective of continued softness in the respiratory portfolio, persisting policy headwinds in U.S. Nexplanon and a flatter-than-expected ramp of Vtama. In supply other, here, we captured the lower-margin contract manufacturing arrangements that we have with Merck, which have been declining since the spin-off as expected.
And lastly, foreign exchange translation had an approximate $40 million favorable impact in the quarter or about 200 basis points, which reflects the weaker U.S. dollar versus the majority of foreign currencies in which we transact. For the full year, we now expect the impact for FX to represent about a 50 to 70 basis point tailwind to total revenue.
Now let's turn to Slide 10, where we show key non-GAAP P&L line items and metrics for the quarter. For reference, financials and reconciliations to the non-GAAP financial measures are included in our press release and the slides in the appendix of this presentation. For gross profit, we are excluding purchase accounting amortization and onetime items from cost of goods sold, which can be seen in our appendix slides.
Adjusted gross margin was 60.3% for the third quarter compared with 61.7% in the third quarter of 2024. This year-over-year decline in the non-GAAP adjusted gross margin is primarily attributable to pricing pressure, unfavorable product mix and unfavorable foreign exchange on our inventory turns.
Adjusted EBITDA this quarter was $518 million, representing a 32.3% margin. Year-to-date, adjusted EBITDA margin is running favorable in part based on the timing of SG&A spend. There are planned increases in our SG&A spend in the fourth quarter as we support growing products such as Vtama and Tofidence. Year-to-date, non-GAAP SG&A as a percentage of sales is 25.4% and given the investments I just mentioned, our latest estimate is about 0.5 point higher than that for the full year.
Turning to free cash flow on Slide 11. Year-to-date, we've delivered $813 million of free cash flow before onetime costs. Onetime costs related to the spin-off were completed in 2024, following the rollout of our global ERP system. What remains are margin-enhancing restructuring and manufacturing separation activities for 2025, which were $244 million year-to-date. In line with our expectation of $250 million to $300 million for the full year.
Year-to-date, these break out as follows: approximately $100 million relates to cash payments associated with the restructuring initiatives that we're executing to deliver $200 million of operating expense savings this year. $20 million relates to the final payment on the Microspherix legal settlement and the remaining $120 million relates to the planned exits from supply agreements with Merck. These are activities that will enable Organon to redefine our appropriate sourcing strategy and move to fit-for-purpose supply chains, while focusing on delivering efficiencies in terms of gross margin expansion, which we expect to begin realizing in 2027.
Below the free cash flow line, our estimate of business development cash investments for 2025 is approximately $240 million related to contractual milestones for Vtama, Emgality and the Biosimilar programs with Shanghai Henlius. Through the first 9 months of the year, the majority of those payments have already been made.
Turning now to leverage on Slide 12. Net leverage as of September 30 was approximately 4.2x, down from 4.3x at June 30. Earlier in the year, we took action to realign our capital allocation priorities and target a net leverage ratio of below 4x. To that end, in the second quarter, we repaid approximately $350 million in principal of long-term debt instruments. As I mentioned, once the Jada transaction closes, which we estimate will be Q1 of 2026, we will apply the net proceeds after taxes and transaction costs to lowering our debt balance as well. Given our revised guide, we will likely end the year in line with Q3 with proceeds from the Jada sale helping to move the needle on leverage in early 2026.
Now turning to 2025 full year revenue guidance on Slide 13. Given year-to-date performance and risk adjusting the fourth quarter for what we see as persisting U.S. policy in Nexplanon and the challenges in the respiratory business, we're lowering our full year range to $6.2 billion to $6.25 billion from $6.275 billion to $6.375 billion, which represents a year-over-year nominal decline of 3.2% to 2.4% negative.
Given the approximate $35 million to $45 million tailwind we expect from FX for the full year, that means we're revising our constant currency revenue guide down about 300 basis points at the midpoint. We continue to expect adjusted gross margin to be in the range of 60% to 61%. Year-to-date strength in adjusted gross margin is likely to be partially offset in the fourth quarter due to product mix.
For OpEx, as I mentioned earlier, given expected investments in Vtama, we expect full year SG&A spend as a percentage of revenue to be about 0.5 point higher than the year-to-date figure, which puts us in the 26% area for the full year. We continue to expect R&D as a percentage of sales to be in the upper single-digit range. The math on all those components gets you closer to the lower end of the 31% to 32% adjusted EBITDA margin range we laid out in August of this year. So we are revising our adjusted EBITDA margin to approximately 31% for the full year.
For below-the-line items, our estimate for full year 2025 interest expense remains at $510 million. The lower interest expense from voluntarily retired debt is essentially fully offset by higher euro-denominated interest expense due to FX translation, and an acceleration of noncash amortization of capitalized fees related to the early debt retirement.
As we think about next year, we would expect the interest expense to be closer to a $450 million to $475 million run rate as a result of the voluntary debt repayments completed, lower variable interest rates and applying the net proceeds from Jada to debt repayment.
For 2025, we continue to estimate our non-GAAP tax rate to be in the range of 22.5% to 24.5%. The uptick from 2024 is largely due to the impact of the 15% global minimum tax rate required under the OECD's Pillar 2. Depreciation of $135 million remains our estimate for the full year 2025. At a very high level, next year pro forma for the Jada divestiture, we would expect consolidated revenue to be about flat as Vtama and Emgality and Biosimilars growth offset the headwinds across the respiratory portfolio.
For Nexplanon, assuming existing headwinds in the U.S. don't worsen and factoring in the volume and price variables associated with a 5-year launch in the U.S. and continued growth internationally, we expect global Nexplanon revenues could be about flat next year. We remain confident in our ability to continue to delever the balance sheet through disciplined expense management and prudent capital allocation, all of which will strengthen Organon's financial position and support greater financial flexibility in the future.
Importantly, even in a challenging environment, our diverse portfolio continues to generate strong cash flows and provides a solid foundation for long-term value creation. We are committed to navigating the current headwinds, investing behind our growth drivers and delivering for patients, customers and shareholders.
And finally, while the issue raised around certain of the company's wholesaler sales practices is receiving a lot of focus, the financial impacts are small. Remediation is well underway. And as an organization, we are moving forward.
With that, operator, let's open the line for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Jason Gerberry with Bank of America.
2. Question Answer
My question is mainly, given the Jada divestiture, are there opportunities within the portfolio for additional divestitures as you look across? And then as my follow-up, just on Vtama, I appreciate the update as it pertains to the growth dynamics into year-end. When should we start thinking about a growth inflection? Do you feel like next year when the access barriers improve that 2026 is the time point to really evaluate whether or not the growth inflections achieved with the AD label?
Thanks, Jason. We'll start with question. So to be clear, we've got nothing that's been announced or is definitively planned on asset divestitures, we're constantly from a strategic basis, looking at all of the assets in our portfolio. and anything additional would be opportunistic. I think in the case of Jada, we looked very hard at what is the economic value created in a hold and invest scenario and compare that against the opportunity to put that product in the hands of a better owner and the right economic answer in the math indicated that divestiture was the right answer in that case, but that is the kind of rigor that we'll put across all the assets in our portfolio.
And as regards Vtama, Vtama has grown nicely this year, will grow again next year. To your point, we have -- we have made significant strides to improve access in 2026. And so I think full year 2026 will be a very good basis for us to be judging where we are on the growth trajectory to achieving long-term peak revenue of that roughly $0.5 billion that underpin the investment for us in the first place. So yes, 2026 will be a key year.
The next question comes from David Amsellem with Piper Sandler.
So a couple for me. Firstly, can you talk more about the pressure on respiratory? And should we think of this long term as a declining business, not just '26, but beyond? And then secondly, how are you thinking about other potential trouble spots, I should say, regarding Established brands? So that's number one.
And then number two is on Vtama. Just wanted to get your thoughts on competitive dynamics here. Is there anything you feel like you're missing regarding the topical landscape vis-a-vis the roflumilast product in particular and how we should think about that and how that plays into your -- thinking regarding the product?
Sure. So we'll start with the respiratory piece of your question, David. So in the early part of the year, we were noting that the allergy season, specifically in the Asia Pacific region, including China, was off to a very slow start. That put a dent in our thinking about the full year performance of the respiratory business.
But then as the year progressed, we were noting that competitively speaking, the age of certain products in the respiratory portfolio is working against them. Various health ministries around the world were starting to prioritize other molecules above, for example, Singulair.
And then elsewhere in the portfolio, thinking about Dulera, we talked about that in the prepared comments in terms of the rate pressures that product is facing in the United States. And then rounding out just mandatory price downs in China and Japan and also just around the world, hit that business pretty hard this year. So as we said, we expect that softness to continue into 2026. We'll see what sort of allergy season we have with some of the other dynamics I've spoken about are more longer term in nature.
Apart from that, the rest of the established brands portfolio is showing the stability that those products have demonstrated over long periods of time. But we've always said about the established brands business, it is a business that we felt, if managed very tightly, we could keep about flat or maybe very, very low single-digit rate of rate of decline. That is on a CAGR basis. Some years will be different than others.
We've added to the established brands portfolio, having a global commercial infrastructure like we do is an asset. So products like Emgality tucked in very nicely. And Emgality continues to grow. And now the wave two markets now that we've added them, I think, are a case in point for what we can do with the infrastructure that we have. So no other trouble spots that we're managing at the moment.
Vtama from a competitive standpoint, we are forced to market in the atopic dermatitis space with a nonsteroidal offering. So that has set the stage, I think, as what you -- what you would say about competition. The product, as we mentioned in the prepared comments, is really differentiated in terms of drug-to-drug interactions, no restrictions on use, no limitations on a percentage of a body air. So it's a very safe product. And we're looking to differentiate it with those patients for whom those characteristics are very important, including pediatrics.
The next question comes from Umer Raffat with Evercore ISI.
I wanted to start by commending you for getting the 10-Q out, but I realize we haven't been able to speak at all since the inventory disclosures a few days ago. So I feel like it's only fair that we don't limit to just one question.
So here's what I wanted to address on this public call. First, the audit committee investigation focused on Nexplanon. How do we know that the behavior was just limited to Nexplanon? Because inventory visibility is always lower ex U.S. So how do we know?
Second, the filings point to the CEO and the Head of U.S. Commercial as where divergence happened. But I also saw your Chief Commercial Officer left back in February last -- this year as well. Why was that?
Third, for 2024, your net pull forward is only $10 million, but the discounts and rebates paid to the channel went up by $177 million in '24, which puzzles me. So could you elaborate on that? Additionally, 4Q '22 had some inventory as well, but I didn't see any color on that.
And then finally, the scale of these issues seems fairly low, fairly manageable, $10 million, $15 million sub $20 million. But if that's the case, then why the need to start this divestiture plan?
As I mentioned in my comments, the independent internal investigation around the improper sales practices with Nexplanon in the U.S. was with two wholesalers, and it's now complete. The investigation also looked other product areas and found nothing else at this time. So we believe that we are done with the investigation now and we're moving forward into the remediation efforts.
Again, as I mentioned, that's things like enhancing our controls. We have taken certain personnel actions. We believe that's completed. We're doing additional training and we've got more written procedures and more training yet to come. So with the new leadership at the company, we're comfortable that we're moving forward, and we will continue to execute against our goals as stated.
Matt, do you want to take the others?
Yes. So for the Nexplanon piece, as we stated in the prepared commentary, Umer, the marketplace for long-acting reversible contraceptives has gotten more competitive. And so we are meeting that competition partially on price. So that would result in some of the increases in rebates and discounts that you noted. This is just I would say, normal business and Nexplanon operating in a competitive marketplace where women have lots of options for contraception.
And on the Q4 2022 disclosure here. We didn't -- it wasn't on our slide, but the amount is disclosed in the 10-K.
Umer, you had a number of other questions. I just want to make sure we get to them all. Can you repeat the ones that you don't think we've answered yet?
Yes, sure. Maybe for 4Q '22, that wasn't disclosed also the Chief Commercial Officer, who left separate from the Head of Commercial, why was that? And then why do all the divestitures now?
So for Q4 of 2022, the revenue was impacted by -- I think it was about 1.5% on the quarter, 0.3% for the year. And the divestitures, I think we've already addressed that. Umer, we had an opportunistic chance to divest an asset for which the economic value received on an immediate basis was what was superior to the hold and invest option. And we had an employee retire towards the end of last year that was for that employee's personal reasons and not tied to the investigation anyway.
The next question comes from Chris Schott of JPMorgan.
Just two questions for me. Maybe, Carrie, can you just talk a little bit about the new CEO search and kind of what's the optimal background and profile you're looking for here? And as part of either the search or with the new CEO coming in, should we assume a review of the broader strategy at Organon as part of this process?
And then my follow-up, just on Nexplanon. Thank you for the comments about the flat growth next year. Just can you add a little bit more and what that -- in terms of what that implies for these funding challenges and the impact of the 5-year launch on the U.S. revenue?
Thanks, Chris. The board formed a search committee essentially immediately. The search committee has been hard at work. So we are in the process of conducting that search. And like any company at this point, we need someone who's got the global experience, the strategic experience, the operational depth and a deep understanding of the businesses in which we operate. So we are confident that -- we not only have a great interim CEO that will continue to find good candidates as we go forward. I think the strategic discussion obviously waits for a permanent CEO. But at this point, we've been reaffirming that we don't see any strategic changes. So I would say we are what we are right now, and we intend to continue that way and very much focused on driving towards our goals.
I'll take the second part of the question on Nexplanon. So in terms of our current view of Nexplanon being about flat next year, the components of that, we expect the product to continue to grow internationally. From a policy perspective, assuming things don't get any worse, what we would probably see is an annualization of the issues that we experienced in the second half.
And then the 5-year which we are assessing the relative weighting of the impacts of volume growth as the product would be appealing to a larger segment of the addressable population with a 5-year indication versus 3. The volume decline that would come from lower reinsertions, right, as women who would be coming up to the 3-year limit can leave the rod in their arms now for longer. And then what we're able to do on the pricing front.
So we'll have all of this sorted out more precisely when we guide in February. But these are the things, Chris, that would be pushing and pulling on the overall belief that revenue will be about flat next year.
The next question comes from Terence Flynn with Morgan Stanley.
I just had one follow-up on the CEO search. I was wondering if you can speculate on the duration of the search when you hope to have someone in place on a permanent basis? And then on denosumab on that product, obviously, one of your newer Biosimilars that you're launching. Amgen has expressed a lot of optimism about maintaining more share on the Prolia side versus XGEVA. Can you just talk through your expectations for fourth quarter, but then also into 2026?
So on timing of the CEO search, you know it's always impossible to predict how long these things take. The Board did begin right away. So I'm confident we're doing what's necessary to go as fast as we can. But we also feel very good about putting Joe in as our interim CEO, and I've stepped in to assist him along with Matt, of course. So we're confident we can continue to run the company well in the interim, and we'll be moving through the search as fast as appropriately we can go.
And on the denosumab piece, we're obviously very excited about that product. It's launched now. We don't guide to specific products, as you know. But what we are excited about is we continuously are adding products to the bag in our U.S Biosimilars business and that's giving us increasing commercial presence and access advantages that we look forward to 2026 for Tofidence and for all of our U.S. Biosimilars.
The next question comes from Navann Ty with BNP Paribas.
I have some questions on capital allocation. If you could discuss the future BD in Women's Health biopharma, only I understand and the timing of business development versus deleveraging progress? And second, if you could also discuss your pipeline versus the cost discipline strategy, including lower R&D?
Yes. Thank you, Navann. So our business development activities in Women's Health continue. To the question that you're asking, we -- just because of where the balance sheet is, we've had to focus on later-stage assets or currently marketed assets. You can see that clearly in the kinds of deals that we have announced that we've announced recently.
And the challenge in Women's Health is there aren't a lot of those assets that are available late stage are currently marketed. A lot of the truly exciting things in Women's Health are preclinical or generally speaking, much earlier in the development cycle. So we are somewhat constrained in our ability to go after those, and that's one of the reasons why we've been prioritizing leverage reduction, debt repayment in our capital allocation strategies so that we can free up the ability, balance sheet and P&L to bring on the clinical programs, especially in Women's Health that are preclinical or early stage.
Once again, because of the financial challenges facing the company, we've applied that same rigor, not just to the BD we're looking at, but also to the pipeline that we are managing in-house. And we've had to trim some programs. Those weren't restricted to Women's Health. We've got life cycle management activities across a number of products in the portfolio, but it's incumbent upon a supply that same kind of financial rigor and discipline to things inside the company as well as any capital deployments we might do externally.
The next question comes from Mike Nedelcovych with TD Cowen.
I have one actually something of a follow-up on the BD response you just gave, I think with today's updates, it's fair to say that business development track record is somewhat mixed. So I'm wondering what you could do from here to improve it, especially given how important BD is to potential growth for Organon. And could that options that include expanding to therapeutic categories well beyond Women's Health?
So thank you for the question. I think we've shown success in the BD program, especially with later-stage assets where we've got synergies with our existing commercial capabilities. So the broad strategy just doing more of what we already do well. I think Emgality is a terrific example of that. With the addition of Dermavant, we actually did already add a completely new vertical in the United States with dermatology.
Right now, the Dermavant team that we added, which is now Organon's dermatology sales force is selling just one product. So we would have synergies going forward as we look to add additional derm products to that team. And we're already in, when you look at the Established Brands business, we're already in a pretty broad range of therapeutic categories outside the United States.
So we believe that we've got lots of opportunities with the therapeutic areas we're already in with what we've already added with Dermavant so that we wouldn't necessarily need to add another therapeutic category in order to be successful with capital deployments, although we certainly wouldn't rule it out if it capitalizes once again on some functional expertise that we already have, whether it's the global commercial network or perhaps there's something that aligns particularly well with our manufacturing capabilities, for example.
This concludes the question-and-answer session and will conclude today's conference call and webcast. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.
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Organon & Co. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Organon & Co. — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $1,6 Mrd. (as reported +1% YoY)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $518 Mio. (32,3% bereinigte EBITDA-Marge)
- Bruttomarge: 60,3% (bereinigt, rückläufig durch Preis- und Mixdruck)
- Nexplanon: $223 Mio. global; USA -50% vs. Q3/24, International +7% ex-FX
- Free Cashflow YTD: $813 Mio.; Net Leverage 4,2x (per 30.9.)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Führung & Remediation: Board übernimmt Aufsicht, Carrie Cox als Executive Chair, Joe Morrissey Interim-CEO; interne Untersuchung abgeschlossen, Maßnahmen (Kontrollen, Personal, Training) laufen.
- Kapitalallokation: Fokus auf Deleveraging, Kosteneinsparungen und selektive BD; Jada‑Verkauf zur Schuldentilgung geplant.
- Portfolio & Wachstum: Investitionen in Vtama, Biosimilars (Hadlima) und Emgality als Hauptwachstumstreiber; Disziplin bei Established Brands.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Umsatz‑Guide 2025: gesenkt auf $6,20–6,25 Mrd. (vorher $6,275–6,375 Mrd.).
- Margen & Kosten: Adjusted EBITDA für 2025 ~31%; bereinigte Bruttomarge erwartet 60–61%; SG&A leicht höher durch Vtama‑Investitionen.
- Produkt‑Spezifika: Nexplanon: globaler Rückgang low‑single‑digit ex‑FX in 2025, Q4 ex‑FX mid‑teens Rückgang; Vtama 2025 jetzt voraussichtlich $120–130 Mio. statt $150 Mio.
- Finanzen: FX‑Tailwind ~$35–45 Mio.; Zinsaufwand 2025 ~ $510 Mio.; Jada‑Erlös ($440 Mio. + $25 Mio. contingent) erwartet Q1/2026 zur Reduktion der Verschuldung.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Untersuchungsumfang: Management sagt, Untersuchung beschränkte sich auf zwei Großhändler und Nexplanon; weitere Prüfungen ergaben aktuell keine weiteren Vorfälle.
- Portfolio/Divestitures: Jada als opportunistische Veräußerung; Board prüft opportunistisch weitere Optionen, nichts konkret angekündigt.
- Produkt‑Risiken: Nachfrage‑ und Preisdruck in der Respiratory‑Kategorie sowie langsamere Vtama‑Ramp veranlassen zu vorsichtigerer Guidance; CEO‑Suche und Timing offen.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Finanzielle Effekte der identifizierten Verkaufsmethoden sind klein, aber führungs‑ und prozessseitige Maßnahmen sowie ein temporär niedrigeres Umsatz‑ und Margenprofil machen 2025 herausfordernd. Solide Cash‑Generierung, Biosimilars‑Momentum und der Jada‑Verkauf stützen jedoch den Deleveraging‑Pfad und begründen eine mittelfristig konstruktive, aber vorsichtige Bewertung für Aktionäre.
Organon & Co. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Hello, and welcome to the Organon Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call and Webcast. [Operator Instructions]
I would now like to turn the conference over to Jennifer Halchak, Vice President, Investor Relations. You may begin.
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining Organon's second quarter earnings call. With me today are Kevin Ali, Organon's Chief Executive Officer; and Matt Walsh, our Chief Financial Officer; Juan Camilo Ferreira, Organon's Head of R&D, will also be joining for the Q&A portion of this call.
Today, we will be referencing a presentation that will be visible during this call for those of you on our webcast. This presentation will also be available following this call on the Events and Presentations section of our Organon Investor Relations website at www.organon.com. Before we begin, I would like to caution listeners that certain information discussed by management during this conference call will include forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those stated or implied by forward-looking statements due to risks and uncertainties associated with the company's business, which are discussed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Committee, including our 10-K and subsequent periodic filings.
In addition, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures on this call, which should be considered a supplement to and not a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. A A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP measures is included in the press release and conference call presentation.
I would now like to turn the call over to our CEO, Kevin Ali.
Good morning, everyone, and thank you, Jen. Revenue for the second quarter was $1.6 billion, down 1% at constant currency with our growth pillars and contributions from new assets, mostly offsetting the loss of exclusivity of Atozet in the EU. Given year-to-date operational performance and our current view of movements in various foreign currencies, we are raising our revenue guidance range by $100 million at the midpoint. Additionally, we generated strong adjusted EBITDA this quarter of $522 million representing a 32.7% margin.
Year-to-date, our adjusted EBITDA is $1 billion or a 32.4% margin. Strength year-to-date was primarily due to favorability in adjusted gross margin, investment prioritization behind our growth pillars and the realization of savings from our restructuring programs to become a more fit-for-purpose organization. As a result, we are affirming our adjusted EBITDA margin guidance range of 31% to 32%. A strong focus on EBITDA generation underpins our objectives to deliver more than $900 million of free cash flow before onetime costs in 2025.
Year-to-date, we're tracking well against that goal. As we signaled to you last quarter, we are committed to reducing our debt burden. To that end, in the second quarter, we repaid approximately $350 million of principal on long-term debt instruments which sets us up on a path to achieving net leverage below 4x by year-end. Midterm will aim to drive further improvements in net leverage with the goal of achieving net leverage of 3.5x or below by the end of 2026.
Let's now talk about franchise performance beginning with women's health. The women's health franchise grew 2% at constant currency in the second quarter of 2025 compared with the second quarter of 2024. The company's fertility business grew 15% at constant currency in the second quarter. This was driven by a favorable year-over-year comparison in Follistim related to the late 2023 exit of a spin-related interim operating model with Merck and increased demand. we expect continuous growth in the U.S., along with geographical expansion to deliver high single-digit growth in our global fertility business in 2025.
Within women's health, Jada also grew double digit in the quarter and year-to-date. Among hospitals that have the highest adoption rates, Jada is used in nearly half of all postpartum hemorrhage care situations. We're focused on driving similar usage rates across more hospitals and are driving to have Jada incorporated into the standard postpartum hemorrhage readiness and response protocols in U.S. hospitals. Sales of Nexplanon declined 1% in constant currency in the second quarter. Revenue declined by 5% in the U.S., all outside the U.S., Nexplanon grew 10% at constant currency.
For the first 6 months of the year, Nexplanon has grown 6% globally at constant currency. In the U.S., customers relying on federal and state subsidized programs are now facing potentially constrained funding satisfactoring into their purchasing decisions for contraceptive products. Despite these headwinds, we anticipate continued global growth for Nexplanon, building on its strong double-digit expansion achieved in 2024.
Current policy issues notwithstanding, we remain committed to building Nexplanon into a $1 billion franchise in the very near future, reflecting our confidence in its long-term growth potential. For Nexplanon's 5-year duration indication, we have made our submission to the FDA, putting us in a position to be ready for launch later this year. As we have reiterated each quarter, we believe this indication is attractive to a much broader addressable market, and we believe Nexplanon can continue to grow until the end of the decade.
Turning to discussion to General Medicines, which is our refreshed term for our business outside of women's health. We believe it is a better characterization of the innovation we are introducing with products like Emgality and VTAMA. We will continue to discuss our biosimilars products separately given their collective importance as a growth driver for the company. So then let's start with biosimilars, which is performing better than our expectations. Year-to-date performance is largely driven by Hadlima, which has generated almost $100 million as of June, up 68% compared with the prior year period.
In the U.S., Hadlima continues to rank among the leading biosimilars in terms of total prescriptions. This performance reflects the strong clinical profile of Hadlima, which includes the recent interchangeability approval. Hadlima has also benefited from the effectiveness of our commercial strategy and our market access teams, which have expanded availability to a broader patient population. We've also added [indiscernible], the first biosimilar approved for Actemra to the portfolio in the U.S.
Immunology is a market we know well in the U.S., notably the physician-administered business, and as a result, we are uniquely positioned to drive topedine sales. Finally, we will begin to launch a portfolio of Henlius products in late 2025 with a denosumab biosimilar in the U.S. So with better performance in the base business, together with our outlook for new assets coming online that have improved our view of performance in the biosimilar business for the full year. Wrapping up the revenue discussion with established brands with a focus on VTAMA. VTAMA had strong performance in the second quarter with revenue of $31 million, up 35% sequentially and up 70% versus a year ago when it was still under Derma van.
In the second quarter, NRx and TRx each grew mid-teens over Q1, representing the strongest quarterly performance among the peer set. Since launch, we have added over 20,000 new VTAMA prescribers. When Organon acquired Dermavant VTAMA was accessible to about 1/3 of the addressable population and broader access had significant barriers. We have achieved meaningful improvements in our access objectives to date and are on track to achieve 80% of the addressable population covered in both national and regional health care plans by early 2026.
We've only just begun to unlock the potential of this asset. VTAMA is approved for patients as young as 2 years of age. This unlocks the pediatric segment where treatment options are limited and safety concerns with existing therapies are significant. Other competitors in this space have labels approved for 6 years of age and up. So this is a subset of pediatrics where we have a significant advantage. As we reflect on the first half of 2025, we're proud of several key accomplishments that have set a strong foundation for the remainder of the year. Our portfolio is performing well, overcoming and mitigating the negative effects of the LOE and the EU of our second largest product, Atozet. We have created efficiencies in our expense base, which are reflected in our year-to-date results and in our adjusted EBITDA margin guidance.
We took action on our capital allocation priorities in order to accelerate the reduction of our net leverage, paying down principal on long-term debt, and we have a clear pathway to achieving a net leverage ratio below 4x by the end of this year. And finally, we acquired a new growth catalyst in VTAMA year-to-date, we're right where we wanted to be with VTAMA, making significant progress on our access objectives, which gives us confidence in our ability to deliver on our 2025 VTAMA revenue objective.
I'll now turn the call over to Matt, who will review the financials in more detail.
Thank you, Kevin. Beginning on Slide 8, where we bridge our second quarter revenue of 1.594 billion year-on-year. Overall, revenue was down 1%, both as reported and at constant currency, which aligns with our guidance expectations at the halfway point. Starting on the left, loss of exclusivity was about $60 million for the quarter, which primarily reflects the impact of the LOE of Atozet in Europe, which occurred in September 2024. 6 months year-to-date, we are at $120 million of impact from LOE, meaning we are about 2/3 of the way through our full year estimate.
We will see that head would mitigate in the fourth quarter when we start lapping the LOE of Atozet in the EU. VVP in China was de minimis in the second quarter and year-to-date. -- and we expect only a nominal impact on a full year basis for 2025. Our potential exposure this fiscal year will be more back half weighted as we expect Fosamax will be included in Round 11. There was an approximate $40 million impact from price for the second quarter or about 2.5%.
Pricing pressure was primarily from the LOE of Atozet as well as from certain mature products in the U.S. like NuvaRing, Dulera, Renflexis and Ontrazon. We also continue to face expected mandatory pricing revisions in certain regional markets, for example, Japan. Volume increased $90 million in the quarter, representing growth of about 5.6%. Fertility, Hadlima and Emgality and VTAMA were the largest contributors to volume growth in the quarter. In Supply other, here, we capture the lower-margin contract manufacturing arrangements that we have with Merck, which have been declining since the spin-off as expected.
And lastly, foreign exchange translation had an approximate $10 million favorable impact in the quarter, which reflects the weaker U.S. dollar versus the majority of foreign currencies in which we transact. Now let's turn to Slide 9, where we show key non-GAAP P&L line items and metrics for the quarter. For reference, GAAP financials and reconciliations to the non-GAAP financial measures are included in our press release, and the slides in the appendix of this presentation. For gross profit, we are excluding purchase accounting amortization and onetime items from cost of goods sold, which can be seen in our appendix slide.
Adjusted gross margin was 61.7% for the second quarter compared with 62% in the second quarter of 2024. The modest year-over-year decrease in adjusted gross margin primarily reflects the favorable impact of foreign exchange on our inventory turns in the period, more than offset by price, as I discussed. Year-to-date, our operating expenses are down 2%, which reflects operational discipline and an element of favorable timing of spend in both SG&A and R&D. Year-to-date adjusted EBITDA margin was 32.4%, which is running above the high end of our 31% to 32% guidance range for the full year.
We expect second half adjusted EBITDA margins to moderate and expect the full year to land within our existing adjusted EBITDA margin guidance range as we continue to invest in the BITAMA launch and the timing of clinical spending in R&D catches up with our full year expectation. On the full year, we expect total OpEx, which we define as the sum of SG&A and R&D expenses to be generally flat with prior year based on our objective to achieve $20 million of operational savings in 2025 that would help offset investment in our growth drivers, especially butane.
Turning to free cash flow now on Slide 10. We delivered $525 million of free cash flow before onetime costs in the first half, ahead of where we were this time last year. This is a function of active cash cycle working capital management, lower interest expense on our debt and favorable first half timing of cash tax payments. Onetime costs related to the spin-off were completed in 2024, following the rollout of our global ERP system and as a result, these costs are 0 in the first half of 2025 compared with $117 million in the prior year period.
6 months year-to-date, we recorded $175 million in other onetime costs, broken out as follows: Approximately $75 million relates to cash payments associated with the restructuring initiatives we are executing to deliver $200 million of operating savings this year, as I mentioned earlier. $20 million relates to the final payment of the Microspherex legal settlement. And the remaining $80 million relates to the planned exits from supply arrangements with Merck.
We discussed in past quarters, these costs would be ramping up. These are activities that will enable Organon to redefine our appropriate sourcing strategy and move to fit-for-purpose supply chains while focusing on delivering efficiencies in terms of gross margin expansion, which we expect to begin realizing in 2027. Our original estimate for these restructuring and manufacturing separation activities was $325 million to $375 million in 2025. While we are tracking to the midpoint of this range at the halfway point, our view into the second half is pointing to lower cash outlay.
As a result, we are improving our estimate by $75 million at the midpoint. Our updated estimate for restructuring and manufacturing separation activities for 2025 is now $250 million to $300 million, with the improvement being realized in lower restructuring costs. We slightly increased our estimate of business development cash investments for 2025 from approximately $200 million to approximately $230 million, with the increase being driven by the modest upfront payment to acquire commercial rights [indiscernible].
On an absolute basis, the majority of the $230 million pertains to commercial milestone payments tied to the sales of VTAMA, Emgality and the biosimilar programs with Shanghai Henlius. Through the first half of the year, we've paid about $150 million towards that total. The achievement of these milestones means we are realizing value for business development deals already signed and validates the path to low to mid-single-digit revenue growth rate post 2025 that we've been saying Organon should be able to deliver.
Turning now to leverage on Slide 11. In the first quarter, we revised our capital allocation priorities, increasing the retention ratio of our free cash flow with the stated goal of applying that cash to debt repayment. In the second quarter, we took immediate action and started to put that cash to work. During the quarter, we made principal payments on long-term debt totaling $345 million. We repurchased and canceled $242 million of our 5.5% notes due in 2031 prior to maturity, which resulted in a pretax gain on extinguishment of debt of $42 million at an average purchase price of 82.6% of face value.
We also paid off and terminated a legacy funding agreement in Dermavant valued at $103 million which resulted in a pretax gain on extinguishment of $4 million. On an after-tax basis, the $46 million gain across both retirements added $0.14 per share to our GAAP earnings per share in the second quarter. The return on the debt repurchase was compelling, and we advanced our revolver to prudently maximize the trade. We intend to pay off the balance on the revolver by year-end as discretionary cash builds in the second half of the year. As a result of these actions, we were able to maintain net leverage ratio flat to Q1 despite the impact of a weakening dollar, which increased by approximately $250 million, the translated U.S. dollar value of our euro-denominated debt.
We continue to see a path to achieving net leverage below 4x by year-end. And over time, the capital preserved with a higher retention ratio creates a compounding improvement in financial flexibility, which offers us the opportunity to achieve faster and more meaningful deleveraging over the next few years.
Now turning to 2025 full year revenue guidance on Slide 12. We are raising our estimate for full year revenue based on year-to-date favorability in foreign exchange translation in our belief that this favorability will persist at or close to current spot rates for the remainder of 2025. In summary, we are raising our revenue guide by $100 million at the midpoint of the range. The operational components of this revised revenue bridge look very similar to the one we provided in May following Q1 earnings. The only change of any significance is on FX.
In May, we had said that currency could be as much as a $200 million headwind in 2025, but should a weakening dollar persist, we would see upside, and that appears to be occurring. Given current rates, we are now estimating a $50 million FX headwind year-on-year or approximately 75 basis points on our full year revenue growth, driven by the euro the Mexican peso, Canadian dollar, Chinese yuan and Korean won. Within the operational bars, we've modestly revised our ranges on LOE, VBP and volume. For volume, we narrowed the range and took down the midpoint a bit to reflect conservatism with regard to some risk in the General Medicines based business, specifically as it relates to the respiratory portfolio.
Those products have been under pressure in the first half of the year due to a mild respiratory season in certain markets. The 6% growth rate midpoint of the volume guide implies very strong volume growth in the second half of the year, which will mainly be driven by continued uptake of VTAMA, but also Emgality, biosimilars and Nexplanon. Taken together, the midpoint of our constant currency revenue guide is still about flat versus prior year. We expect the uptake of VTAMA, continued solid performance in Emgality, Nexplanon and Hadlima, will help to offset the LOE of Atozet in Europe, along with typical pricing headwinds in other parts of the portfolio.
From a quarterly phasing perspective, we expect Q3 revenue should be flat with last year on a reported basis with some modest growth year-over-year coming in the fourth quarter. That will be driven by lapping the LOE of Atozet, which occurred in September 2024 as well as the continued uptake of VTAMA. Turning to Slide 13, where we show all components of our earnings guidance. We continue to expect adjusted gross margin to be in the range of 60% to 61%. Adjusted gross margin was strong year-to-date, given favorable FX changes on our inventory turns. We expect adjusted gross margin will be lower in the second half, but we believe we will land the year closer to the high end of the range at 61%.
With regard to tariffs, the industry does not yet have the clarity required to be able to talk about specific impacts. For Organon, we can say that our guidance incorporates documented tariffs related to Canada, Mexico and China. As a hypothetical sensitivity, we can also say that the EU is our most significant exposure from an import standpoint to the U.S. And we're comfortable saying that an EU tariff on pharmaceuticals of up to 15% alone would not cause us to lower our range on adjusted gross margin for 2025.
Moving on to OpEx, as I mentioned earlier, we still expect SG&A and R&D expense to land the year within the ranges we've been providing with favorability in the first half attributable to timing. We continue to expect our adjusted EBITDA margin to be in the range of 31% to 32% for the full year. If you do a second half implied P&L calculation using the midpoint of our guide, you're probably modeling adjusted EBITDA margins in the neighborhood of 30.5% in the back half, which is a pretty good estimate for both the third and fourth quarters individually.
For below-the-line items, our estimate for full year 2025 interest expense remains at $510 million. The lower interest expense from voluntarily retired debt is essentially fully offset by higher euro-denominated interest expense due to FX translation and an acceleration of noncash amortization of capitalized fees related to the debt retirement. As we think about next year, we would expect interest expense to be closer to $475 million run rate as a result of the voluntary debt repayments completed this quarter, all else held equal.
For 2025, we continue to estimate our non-GAAP tax rate to be in the range of 22.5% to 24.5%. The uptick from 2024 is largely due to the impact of the 15% global minimum tax rate required under the OECD's Pillar 2. Depreciation of $135 million remains our estimate for full year 2025. In summary, our year-to-date results were solidly aligned with our expectations at the start of the year. We see a very realistic path of maintaining total revenue about level with prior year, which is noteworthy given the LOE of Atozet, our second largest product that we're facing this year.
VTAMA will play an important role in achieving this result. From a profitability standpoint, we are tracking well to our cost reduction goals, and we continue to improve our OpEx efficiency metric. 2025 is likely to be our strongest OpEx efficiency since the spin-off. If we achieve the midpoint of our adjusted EBITDA margin guidance range, that would represent almost a full point of improvement over last year. And finally, we're on the right path with regard to deleveraging. Following our reprioritization of capital allocation, we were quick to act in the second quarter, and we're successful in repurchasing debt in the open market, yielding a very attractive return. Combined with free cash flow, which we expect will be in excess of $900 million for 2025, we continue to see a path to sub-4x net leverage ratio by year-end, which is an important mile marker on our way to even lower leverage in 2026.
And with that, we'll now turn the call over to Q&A.
[Operator Instructions]
Your first question comes from David Amsellem with Piper Sandler.
2. Question Answer
This is Alex on for David. Just 1 on the Tama from us. Looking further ahead, can you talk to incremental sales and marketing investment, whether it's DTC or sales force expansion or both? And can you also remind us how many practitioners you are currently calling on and how many reps you currently have supporting the product?
So thanks for the question, Alex. So yes, as a matter of fact, in July, we started a new telehealth and DTC campaigns, coupled with pediatric initiatives or programs to penetrate into the pediatric segment. And so currently, we feel very comfortable with where we're going in terms of the investments for the second half of the year. They're more weighted or loaded towards the second half. And so things are moving along exactly where we thought they would be at this period of time.
And we feel good in terms of overall positioning of where we are with VTAMA right now, and we're expanding. And currently, in terms of your question around reps, so we did add more reps. And I talked about DTC. So we added more sales force, and we've got now a total of more than 125 reps in the field.
The next question comes from Mike Nedelcovych with TD Cowen.
My first is on Mislan. Can you elaborate on the oral funding headwinds you cited in the U.S.? To what extent was the decline in U.S. Nexplanon sales this quarter related to purchase timing versus underlying pressures that might persist through the rest of the year and beyond? And then my second question is on capital allocation. As you approach and then exceed your leverage ratio targets how do you expect your capital allocation priorities to change what might become the top priority?
Yes, Mike, I can get started with that. With Nexplanon, it's a combination of both. Look, I mean, with the most recent big beautiful build. There were some effects in terms of overall on planned parenthood and Medicaid-related funding. And so -- there's a lot of kind of the some nervousness in the market, especially when it comes to purchase of contraception as well.
Remember that in the first quarter, we saw essentially the movement on USAID by the administration. But overall, we're seeing a lot of pickup ex U.S. in countries like Brazil, Egypt and many other countries that are starting to pick up the slack. And we have a lot of confidence that the U.S. AID numbers will start to -- or investment will start to pay off with regards to other sponsors coming in, picking up the tab on that.
Now in regards to where we are with the U.S. still feel very confident that we'll grow this year with Nexplanon. But clearly, there's a lot of confusion in the market. We've got, I think, good news on Title X, unfreezing in certain states that are key for us like California and Texas. But there is a little bit of hesitancy, especially around the planned parenthood issues that are there that needs to be dealt with.
But we feel very confident that it's just a matter of in the near future, we'll reach that $1 billion threshold. And we'll see growth this year going forward, whether it lasts for the long term, remember, the planned parenthood issues were really -- 12 months in total. So once that's up and running, then ultimately, we'll be able to get back to it. But we feel very good about Nexmo being our key product. And remember that we're going to be launching the 5-year indication sometime at the end of this year, so we feel good about that. In regards to leverage, well, ask us when we get down below 3.5.
And then we'll have a discussion on that. But right now, our focus is to delever. We did that with regards to the payment on principal debt in terms of the first quarter or what we just came right out with, and we'll continue to do that.
The next question comes from Terence Flynn with Morgan Stanley.
You guys mentioned that 15% tariff in the EU would not have an impact on '25 margins. Just wondering if you can look out to '26 and give us some idea what kind of impact it might have on '26. And then a similar question as you look out to 26, how should we think about free cash flow conversion and some of the onetime items. I know you've guided to those continuing to decline, but can you give us any sense of the magnitude there?
Yes. So I'll take that one. It's a little bit too soon to be talking about tariff impacts out in 2026. It's not the right time for that. Just investors should know that our largest import exposure into the United States comes from the EU. It's approximately 2/3 of our imported value. So investors, knowing that can make some of their own math, but it's just too soon for us to speculate about 2026, whether we're talking about tariffs or anything else?
And free cash flow.
Yes. Free cash flow should be growing in line with the business. We'll continue to see a reduction in onetime costs. So we have been -- we've needed to make a differentiation between gross free cash flow and free cash flow, excluding onetime items. Those onetime items are declining. They've been declining this year. They will continue to decline into next year. So that will be a reason why you might see in addition to normal growth of the business. Discretionary cash flow increased pretty significantly next year.
The next question comes from Umer Raffat with Evercore.
I was just looking at VTAMA volume data. I recall you guys obviously got the atopic derm approval in December. So a couple of months into the launch, I think, around Feb, March time frame, it was generally hovering around 6,000 TRxs a week. And it's kind of in that same ballpark right now, a few months later. And I'm just trying to think about how you're looking at the volume data because I feel like sometimes we do year-over-year, and it could mask what's happening more near term? And is there something you want to do differently to turn the trajectory around?
Good to hear you. Listen, in regards to VTAMA, I mean there's a tug of war week by week. But overall, what I can tell you is the following, that we just started the investments right now. But we need to settle down. Obviously, we just took over the product and get it launched and get it out there and do the right things at the initial stages. And now we have a very, I think, effective and full force behind our DTC campaign and our telehealth campaign and expanding in terms of sales force, in terms of what we're doing regarding penetrating into the pediatric segment as well as obviously continue to maintain our focus on the adult segment.
But more importantly, the gross to net and lives covered continue to move in the right direction. Look, when you -- when access starts to open up in each individual physician's offices, whether it's a dermatology office or others, they know that when they start to hear that ultimately PBM start to accept it and for AD, you have less hesitancy about using, say, coupon cards, you have more fluency, more openness to be able to use the product on a more routine basis. And so now as we predicted, our access teams are working incredibly hard. They made huge strides, huge strides to get to 80% of the lives covered by Q1 of next year.
We're making incredible movements in that space as well, gross to net is precipitously dropping in the right direction real quick. So once those 2 things happen, it's funny how that affects volume, volume starts to pick up because people understand it's being covered. In addition to that, you add our DTC and telehealth as well as our expansion in sales force. And I think you'll see good solid volume getting picked up. But more importantly, that every script will mean more net revenue for us as we start to get the gross debt in the right place.
But Kevin, just to maybe expand on that. The [indiscernible] brand is not so bad. It's kind of growing, which sounds to me like there's a duration issue more so than an access issue.
Well, I think that right now, what you see is an uptick in TRx. So you've got some refills coming in as we speak. You'll start to see more and more TRx uplift as the volume starts to move. But I agree with you. Look, I mean we've added a number of physicians right now who are new to brand. And we see these kind of seasonalities, but I feel really good about the second half of the year based on where we landed in terms of exiting Q2.
Q2 in terms of the last month was a very strong exit, it gives me a lot of confidence in terms of where we're headed.
The next question comes from Chris Schott with JPMorgan.
This is Ethan on for Chris Schott. Just starting off on VTAMA, can you remind us what's driving the ramp in the second half of the year? -- to get to the $150 million in sales and how much of that is driven by volume versus price? And then on Nexplanon, as we think about the launch of the 5-year indication, can you remind us on how we should think about the impact to growth in 2026 and '27? And specifically, what portion of current volumes are coming from implant replacements?
Okay. Let me try to address those Ethan one after the next. So second half uplift in terms of VTAMA, -- we got -- and this is global, obviously, the $150 million. We've got $56 and another $90 something to go -- $94 to go. And so I believe very strongly that where we are right now in implementing our new activities around DTC, around telehealth, around expansion of sales force, around some of the things that we're doing around volume is really a very important lever to believe in for at least for me going forward. We're getting obviously a launch in Canada soon. We've got continuous implementation or rather contribution from Japan as well.
But overall, in the U.S., that's the key market, and we feel really good about where we landed in terms of exiting Q2. And I think the ramp in terms of where we see it gets us to the $150 million, especially if you look at how we exited Q2 and especially you look at where gross to net is falling in the right direction. The gross to net issue was not great under the psoriasis indication, but the team has done a phenomenal job of both adding significant lives in terms of PBM additions as well as lowering our gross to net range because of less usage and reliance on the coupon card.
So I think overall, if the volume where it needs to be, get a better gross to net picture, invest in expansion of the sales force as well as DTC and I feel really good about the second half of the year, especially how we exited Q2. Now in regards to Nexplanon, yes, I mean, that's still working its way out in terms of planned parenthood and Medicaid. But we've got opportunities in Title X on funding or rather being on frozen in key states like Texas as well as California.
And remember, we launched the 5-year duration indication by the end of this year. That will be a little bit of a small headwind in 2026, but then ultimately, it expands our ability for exclusivity and through 2029 with a 5-year indication. And it's -- I don't want to get into -- I can give a little [indiscernible] in terms of the issues on being able to try to continue to penetrate into this market. But what I can tell you is ex U.S. is growing double-digit robustly. U.S. continues to be a growth driver for us, but we just got to get through this year. We've got to launch the 5-year indication.
And I think all signals point to the fact that, okay, a little disruption in terms of federal funding, but we feel good about where we are in terms of the patient cohort, in terms of expanding and where we are, in terms of the performance year-to-date. We've got 6% growth year-to-date, which is very solid.
Your last question comes from Jason Gerberry with Bank of America.
So maybe firstly, on the 6219 endometriosis setback announced in July. Do you still expect to invest in the space? I think there was some commentary in the lead up to that readout that there was a backup molecule. And if you saw at least a signal with 6219, you might pursue that. So I'm just kind of curious where things may stand on that front.
And then secondly, I know there was some efforts through Citizens petition to modify the generic product-specific guidance for developing a generic Nexplanon more around the applicator similarity. But I'm curious when you get the 5-year approval, do you expect the FDA to have the real-time release study updated to mandatory 5 years? Or do you think there'll still be an option to have a 3-year and a 5-year release time or I guess, time release study to be done by the generic supplier? Just curious your thoughts on that.
Juan Camilo, would you like to take that, those questions?
Yes, I can handle both, Kevin. Yes. So first, regarding the 6219 as we shared in our press release, we did not see a signal for efficacy for 609. And therefore, to your question on the back of molecule in the second asset, which was targeting the same mechanism. We have decided to discontinue that program as well.
And now second with regard to the Citizen's petition and on the overall FDA guidance, we don't comment on the decisions the FDA may make about their guidance on how to develop a generic. We are working closely with the FDA to get the right labeling for the 5-year indication in Nexplanon. And as you saw in the sites position we provided our perspective of what is required and has been required for Nexplanon to be used with safely in patients.
So with that information, the FDA will make their own assessment under timing, what is the right appropriate guidance it will provide to generic manufacturers. But we are -- as Kevin pointed out, we're really excited looking forward to bringing this new indication and the new labeling for next on on through the finish line before the end of the year.
What I will say, though, is that patients and providers, both clearly prefer the longer duration of 5 years, just give them much more flexibility especially for different segments, like, for example, the Family complete segment, the older cohort in terms of -- because a lot of our business comes with a much younger cohort. And so this will open up a completely new segment for us.
And so to the question of can we see a 3-year and a 5-year coexisting in the market? Very difficult. I think by the time that that all plays out. I think the market will have moved securely into the 5-year segment, just another hurdle to -- essentially for any potential generics to actually deal with in managing to get into this business.
This concludes the question-and-answer session and will conclude today's conference call and webcast. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.
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Organon & Co. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Organon & Co. — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $1,594 Mrd. (−1% YoY, constant currency)
- Bereinigtes EBITDA: $522 Mio.; Marge 32,7% (YTD Marge 32,4%)
- Bereinigte Bruttomarge: 61,7% (vs. 62,0% Vorjahr)
- Free Cash Flow: $525 Mio. H1 vor einmaligen Kosten; Ziel >$900 Mio. für 2025
- LOE-Effekt: Atozet ~ $60M Q2 ($120M YTD) belastend
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Deleveraging: Ziel Net-Leverage <4x bis Jahresende und ≤3,5x bis Ende 2026; Q2-Schritte: ~$345M Schuldentilgung und Schuldenrückkäufe
- VTAMA-Fokus: VTAMA als Hauptwachstumskatalysator (Q2 $31M); Ausbau DTC, Telehealth und Vertrieb; Ziel: 80% Lives covered bis Anfang 2026
- Biosimilars & Effizienz: Hadlima stark (+68% YTD); Start Henlius-Launchs Ende 2025; Restrukturierung und Fertigungs-Trennung zur Margenverbesserung
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Umsatzguidance: Hebung der Range um $100M am Mittelpunkt, FX-Favorabilität als Treiber
- Margen: Bestätigung bereinigte EBITDA-Marge 31–32%; bereinigte Bruttomarge 60–61% (Ziel nah an 61%)
- Kosten & Einmaliges: Restrukturierungs-/Trennkosten 2025 nun $250–300M; BD-Ausgaben ~ $230M; Zinserwartung 2025 ~$510M
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- VTAMA-Rampe: Fragen zu DTC-/Telehealth-Investitionen, Vertriebsaufbau (jetzt >125 Reps) und Wirkung auf Volume vs. Preis; Management nennt Fortschritte bei Zugang und Gross‑to‑Net
- Nexplanon: Analysten hinterfragten US‑Funding/Title‑X‑Risiken; Management sieht vorübergehende Kauftiming‑Effekte, bestätigt 5‑Jahres‑Indikation Ende 2025
- Risiken/Unklarheiten: Tarif‑Frage (EU‑Tarif) für 2026 blieb spekulativ; Management gab keine konkreten 2026‑Zahlen, erklärte aber Import‑Exponierung
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Ergebnis stabil: Umsatz nahe Vorjahr trotz Atozet‑LOE, Marge stark und Guidance bestätigt. VTAMA und Biosimilars sind die zentralen Wachstumshebel; Deleveraging reduziert finanzielle Risiken. Kurzfristig auf Uptake von VTAMA, Nexplanon‑Förderungen und mögliche Handelszölle achten.
Finanzdaten von Organon & Co.
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 6.163 6.163 |
2 %
2 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 2.908 2.908 |
8 %
8 %
47 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 3.255 3.255 |
10 %
10 %
53 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 1.725 1.725 |
1 %
1 %
28 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 363 363 |
20 %
20 %
6 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 1.764 1.764 |
5 %
5 %
29 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 363 363 |
23 %
23 %
6 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 1.401 1.401 |
2 %
2 %
23 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 246 246 |
67 %
67 %
4 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
Organon & Co. ist ein wissenschaftsbasiertes globales Pharmaunternehmen, das innovative Gesundheitslösungen durch ein Portfolio von verschreibungspflichtigen Therapien im Bereich der Frauengesundheit, Biosimilars und etablierten Marken entwickelt und bereitstellt. Das Unternehmen wurde am 11. März 2020 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Jersey City, NJ.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Morrissey |
| Mitarbeiter | 10.000 |
| Gegründet | 2020 |
| Webseite | www.organon.com |


