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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 9,20 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 10,03 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 9,20 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 10,34 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 24,17 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 10,03 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 24,17 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 10,34 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Norwegian Cruise Line Aktie Analyse
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Analystenmeinungen
30 Analysten haben eine Norwegian Cruise Line Prognose abgegeben:
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Norwegian Cruise Line — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Rob, and I'll be your operator. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder to all participants, this conference call is being recorded. I'll now turn the conference over to your host, Sarah Inmon. Ms. Inmon, please proceed.
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us for our first quarter 2026 earnings call. I'm joined today by John Chidsey, Chairperson and CEO of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings; and Mark Kempa, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
As a reminder, this conference call is being simultaneously webcast on the company's Investor Relations website. We will be referring to a slide presentation during this call, which can also be found on our website. Both the conference call and presentation will be available for replay for 30 days following today's call.
Before we begin, I would like to cover a few items. Our press release with first quarter 2026 results was issued this morning and is also available on our Investor Relations site. This call includes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from such statements. These statements should be considered in conjunction with the cautionary statement contained in our earnings release.
Our comments may also reference non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure and other associated disclosures are contained in our earnings release and presentation. Unless otherwise noted, all references to '25 and '26 net yields of adjusted net cruise costs excluding fuel per capacity day are on a constant currency basis, and comparisons are to the same period in the prior year.
With that, I'd like to turn the call over to John.
Thanks, everyone, for joining the call. It's my pleasure to be joined by Mark today as we discuss our first quarter results. I've now been in the seat for roughly 3 months. I'm going to start the call by spending a few minutes covering what I'm seeing so far across the business, and then we'll update you on the actions we are taking to position the business for long-term success. It has been a very active start. I've spent a meaningful amount of time meeting with various stakeholders, including shareholders, travel partners, guests and team members, listening carefully to their perspectives on the business. Our proactive work this quarter is setting the tone for the remainder of 2026. My key focus is on driving sustainable improvement at NCLH, and that starts with disciplined execution operational rigor and a clear focus on the fundamentals.
I continue to believe that NCLH is a special company with strong brands, world-class assets and dedicated guests. This was especially evident at the cresting of Norwegian Luna that was held about a month ago. The excitement on board from travel partners and guests was palpable. At Great Stirrup Cay, we witnessed the significant progress being made on the island, particularly at the Great Tides water park, which remains on track to open later this summer. This water park will be a demand driver moving into 2027. It will elevate the island's offerings and enhance the guest experience.
Experiencing our newest ship and upgraded private island amenities firsthand brought to light the strength of our brands and the size of the opportunity ahead of us. It also reinforced my view that cruising remains one of the most attractive propositions in travel. Day in and day out, we offer a differentiated vacation experience across multiple destinations focusing on convenience and quality to deliver enhanced value for our guests. As cruising continues to benefit from healthy industry fundamentals, including record passenger volumes and encouraging indicators of both repeat and first-time cruise demand, I am confident in the industry's long-term trajectory.
We are focused now more than ever on where we need to enhance operations so that NCLH can capitalize on these broader industry trends from a position of strength. To that end, I now have a good sense of the core areas where we will be dedicating the most focus to drive the most meaningful impact in the near term.
Since stepping into the CEO role in February, one of my top priorities has been strengthening our internal culture across the organization. This includes building a greater sense of urgency, sharpening accountability and fostering a one-team mindset across our operational segments. Of course, strategy matters, but my turnaround experience has reinforced that culture is essential to improving how we operate, how we make decisions, how we deliver results and the speed at which we do it. We are already taking steps to build and enhance a cohesive culture, including our recently completed search for a new Chief People Officer, whom we expect to officially welcome to the team soon.
On the cost side, we are working efficiently and effectively to optimize our SG&A structure, streamline the organization and better align resources with the areas that matter most to drive performance and long-term value creation. While ship or operating costs have remained relatively consistent over the past several years, we see a meaningful opportunity to reduce shoreside costs. As part of that effort, we are streamlining the shoreside organization and making targeted role and position adjustments to improve efficiency and better align resources. As a result, we expect our salary and benefits costs to decrease by approximately 15% on an annualized basis. Actions like these are never easy, but are intended to better align resources, improve productivity and strengthen execution across the business.
As part of these efforts, we are also exploring additional opportunities to improve efficiency in our operating model and drive incremental savings over time. For example, we have started to pilot select offshoring initiatives across different areas of the company. These efforts are in their early stages, and we are testing and learning as we go. We plan to utilize this lever as we move ahead, expanding upon and scaling our efforts where and when appropriate and most beneficial to the business.
We are also taking a hard look at other spend across the business, including marketing and advertising, and we see an opportunity to not only improve effectiveness, but also efficiency.
From a marketing perspective, our focus is on correcting missteps we have made in recent years as we enhance our ability to target the right consumer with the right message through the right channels while ensuring that our spend is translating into demand and returns.
In line with this focus, we are planning to reduce our marketing spend in 2026 while sharpening the effectiveness of that spend. As a result of the marketing spend reductions as well as organizational optimizations, we expect to reduce our SG&A by $125 million on an annualized basis. These are long-term structural actions that we believe will help offset near-term pressures and position the business for stronger performance over time.
Beyond this, we have been evaluating our bundled air program through the same lens of discipline and return on investment, and we have continued to make targeted changes to improve economics. In many cases, this program has effectively served as a promotional tool, but hasn't always delivered returns commensurate with its cost. We will continue to assess these offerings to ensure they remain commercially sound while offering convenience to our guests.
I am confident in the efforts underway to capitalize on opportunities we are identifying on the cost side. And while the revenue side of the equation is more complex, I recognize that it undoubtedly represents our greatest opportunity.
From a revenue management perspective, as you know, this is not a function that changes overnight, but we are actively taking steps to strengthen it. To that end, we recently implemented Phase 1 of a new revenue management system. And while its capabilities are meaningfully stronger than our prior tools, its effectiveness will depend on correctly calibrating the underlying data, refining and turning it to better align with our deployment. A system like this is also only as strong as the people using it, and we are continuing to build out the team and capabilities needed to fully leverage it. We are also continuing to refine and tune the system to better align with our deployment.
Additionally, for revenue management to be effective, we need to generate stronger demand at the top of the funnel. As clearly evidenced by our shortfall in occupancy for this year, our marketing function has not been operating as effectively as it needs to, and we have to get those fundamentals right in order to drive demand more consistently and put ourselves in a better position to optimize pricing. As I mentioned earlier, we have had missteps over the last few years where we were not consistently and effectively speaking to our core customer. We were not always putting the right commercial support behind the itineraries we were trying to fill. And our marketing was not as demand generative as it needed to be. To address that, we are looking to bring in new leadership and marketing at NCL. and better align that function with revenue management, deployment and sales. This work is critical and will strengthen the business over time, but it may result in some near-term variability in top line performance as we work through these initiatives.
While we have identified key internal priorities and are making progress addressing areas of underperformance, the external operating environment has turned more challenging. We entered the year behind our ideal booking curve in certain areas and recent geopolitical developments have added pressure to an already challenged backdrop particularly in our European market this summer and demand for close-in bookings. Rest assured, we are monitoring this closely and making adjustments to our business model when and where needed.
I want to be clear. While the macro environment continues to rapidly shift and evolve beyond our control, many of the issues we are addressing are internal and fixable. They come back to execution, alignment and discipline, as I noted at the outset of this call.
Mark will go into our guidance for the year, but we recognize that our 2026 outlook is below expectations. We are not satisfied with that and I know our shareholders aren't either. I stepped into this role to address these issues, and we are here to do just that with the support of our talented team. We have the assets, we have the brands and now we have the focus. Our job is to execute better, operate with more discipline and build a stronger, more cohesive organization. While progress will take time, I am confident we are moving in the right direction to deliver stronger, more sustainable performance over time.
With that, let me turn it over to Mark.
Thank you, John, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin with our first quarter results on Slide 6, which were in line with our expectations. Net yield in the first quarter was down 1%, which is above our guidance. Adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel of $168 was slightly better than guidance, declining 1%, driven by strong cost controls, which ultimately drove adjusted EBITDA of $533 million, exceeding our guidance.
Lastly, adjusted net income for the quarter benefited from below-the-line foreign currency exchange and was $108 million or an adjusted EPS of $0.23.
Turning to Slide 8, you can see our second quarter and full year guidance. Our outlook reflects an extremely challenging backdrop for the balance of the year. Keep in mind, our prior guidance did not include any impacts from the disruptions in the Middle East, which is creating incremental headwinds, including pressure on the top line and higher fuel expense. These external pressures are occurring as we continue to calibrate our revenue management system, improve commercial execution, including marketing and demand generation, and work through the impact of entering the year behind our targeted booking curve. As a result, we are reducing our full year guidance for net yield, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share.
Starting with net yield in the second quarter, we expect a decline of 3.6%. This reflects pressure mainly on our European sailings, which represent approximately 26% of our deployment in the quarter as well as weaker-than-anticipated domestic demand as consumers reevaluate travel plans in the current macroeconomic environment.
Looking to the full year, we expect net yields to decline 3% to 5%. This updated guidance reflects both the impact of the macroeconomic environment and the extent to which those pressures have compounded the execution and commercial challenges already facing our business.
In terms of pacing through the quarters, we currently expect the third quarter to be significantly weaker than the second quarter, reflecting our greater exposure to Europe, which represents approximately 38% of our deployment in the quarter as well as continued softness in markets such as Alaska, which we discussed last quarter.
Looking to the fourth quarter, we are assuming the consumer environment remains pressured, although net yields should improve from Q3, supported in part by the opening of Great Tides Water Park at Great Stirrup Cay by the end of the third quarter.
Moving to cost, John discussed earlier in the prepared remarks, we have made great strides to take quick and decisive action on the cost management side of the equation. I will go into this in a bit more detail, but we now expect our adjusted NCC ex fuel to be approximately flat for the full year and up 1% in the second quarter due to the timing of certain costs.
Moving to fuel. We now expect fuel expense to be approximately $800 million based on the current spot prices. However, fuel expense would be approximately 6% lower if rates were based on the forward curve. As a result of softer-than-expected top line performance and higher fuel costs, partially offset by better cost performance, we are reducing our full year adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $2.48 billion and $2.64 billion, and our adjusted EPS guidance to between $1.45 and $1.79.
We recognize these results are significantly below expectations. That said, we have moved quickly to focus on what we can control, particularly on the cost side, which I will detail on Slide 9.
We have taken swift action within SG&A to drive efficiencies and identify savings. To start, we are taking steps to optimize our organization and reduce our marketing spend, which combined are expected to generate annualized run rate savings of $125 million. In 2026, these efforts will result in an expected approximately 2 percentage point reduction in adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel. Unfortunately, a meaningful portion of these savings is being offset by incremental direct costs related to the conflicts in the Middle East, including higher crew airfare and increased logistics costs. Together, these impacts represent an approximate 1% increase in adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel. As a result, we now expect full year adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel to be approximately flat for the year.
The important point to keep in mind is that while these savings are being partially offset by war-related impacts in 2026, the actions we have taken are structural in nature.
On a run rate basis, we expect to carry these savings forward and see a benefit in adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel as we move into 2027.
As shown on Slide 10, these actions position us to keep adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel sub-inflationary and, in fact, 1% or lower in 2026 for a third straight year despite the current macroeconomic headwinds, while also meaningfully exceeding our cumulative 3-year savings target of $300 million. We are now approaching $400 million in savings between our shipboard efforts over the last 3 years combined with our recent shoreside cost savings. We expect these actions to continue to benefit the business over time, supporting margin expansion as top line performance begins to recover in 2027.
It's also important to note that our work here is not done. We continue to see additional savings opportunities across the business, both within SG&A and on the shipboard side, and we expect to build on these efforts going forward.
The reduction in our 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook has also impacted our expected year [indiscernible] trend net leverage. Reducing net leverage remains our top financial priority, and we remain confident that leverage will improve over the coming years as earnings grow, capital spending moderates and cash flow strengthens as we turn around the business.
Turning to Slide 11. Our gross new build and growth CapEx detail highlights that we are beginning to move beyond a period of elevated capital spending. Over the last several years, we have invested heavily in our fleet, adding 2 to 3 ships annually and driving strong capacity growth with capacity days expected to increase 7% in 2026. We will continue to take delivery of new ships over the next 2 years with 2 ships in 2026 and another 2 in 2027. Beginning in 2028 and 2029, however, that pace moderates meaningfully with only 1 ship scheduled for delivery in each of those years. As a result, we expect gross new build and growth CapEx to decline by nearly $1 billion per year, which should materially improve free cash flow generation. We view this as an important inflection point for the business and a meaningful opportunity to accelerate deleveraging.
Also important to note, as shown on Slide 12, our debt maturity profile remains manageable with no significant debt maturities until 2030. That gives us added financial flexibility and supports our ability to focus on deleveraging over the next several years.
With that, I'll turn it back to John for closing remarks.
Thanks, Mark. Before we open the line for questions, let me leave you with a few closing thoughts. First, as Mark noted, the operating environment has become more challenging since our last call, and that is clearly weighing on the business. But I also want to be very clear, many of the issues we are actively addressing are internal, operational and fixable. This is a company with strong brands, attractive assets and a product that continues to resonate with guests. Our focus today is on executing better, operating with greater urgency and aligning the organization more effectively around revenue, cost discipline and returns.
Second, we are swiftly taking action to address any issues that were within our control. We have already moved decisively to streamline the organization, reduce cost and strengthen accountability, but we know our work does not stop there. The actions we have taken to date and those we are continuing to pursue will support a healthier cost profile this year. More importantly, they are beginning to build a stronger operating foundation for the future.
On the revenue side, improvement will take more time given booking lead times and the work currently underway in revenue management and marketing, but we are focused on making the right changes now so that the business is better positioned as we head into 2027 and beyond.
Third, reducing leverage remains a top priority. While leverage is not improving during 2026, we do have a path to improving free cash flow and strengthening the balance sheet as capital spending moderates and earnings recover over time as we turn around the business.
As I said on our last call, we have the assets, we have the brands and we now have the focus. Our job is to execute with greater discipline, restore credibility through consistent delivery and unlock the earnings potential of this business over time. That work is underway, and while progress will take some time, I am confident we are moving in the right direction.
With that, operator, please open the line for questions.
[Operator Instructions] And our first question is from the line of Matthew Boss with JPMorgan.
2. Question Answer
Great. And I appreciate all the color. So John, could you elaborate on the roughly 400 basis point revision to your full year net yield outlook now calls for a 3% to 5% decline? Just how much of this you see is macro versus company specific? And any breakdown of the impact across regions would be helpful.
Sure, Matthew. Yes. So I'm not going to break it out exactly because I think that's very difficult to parse all that out. But clearly, as Mark noted, we didn't have any impact whatsoever from the Iran conflict in our last earnings call. So this was sort of our first attempt at trying to assess what's going on, particularly given the amount of capacity that we have in Europe coming up in the second and third quarter, and particularly, as we noted in our earlier call that we were already behind the booking curve. So I think it has sort of an outsized impact on us compared to our competitors given how we came into the year. But I think most of it really is I think the situation in revenue management and marketing, and I know you guys asked me that on our last earnings call, but it was Day 4. Now that I've had a chance to dig in a lot deeper, I think our opportunities are much greater than I thought. But on the flip side, I think what we need to fix in those areas is also greater in terms of building out the team, getting the team to work better and I think that just takes time. So part of that reduction is just a reflection of while I have confidence in the people that are building it, I just think it's going to take some time, and I wanted to make sure that we sort of adequately addressed really sort of the complexity of what we have to accomplish in the coming quarters as we build out those 2 functions.
And again, I think the revenue upside far outstrips the cost. So I think I still feel really good about that, feel really good about the industry, but that really, in my mind, explains sort of the the change, if you will, in the guidance around yield.
Great. And then, Mark, could you walk through on the bottom line, just the puts and takes embedded in this year's EBITDA margin forecast? Maybe specifically, flow-through of the $125 million identified cost savings versus cost you see as transitory this year? And then if we just take a step back, is there any structural change in your view to the roughly 39% margin target for the business that you had quoted prior?
So to address your latter part of the question, no, I don't think there's anything structural in front of us that would preclude us from getting back to 39%-plus. I think when you step back and you look at the EBITDA reduction, primarily that's coming in as a result of revenue -- our revised revenue guidance. That said, we have made significant and quick actions on the cost side of the equation. We noted in our prepared remarks that we've reduced cost by about $125 million on a run rate basis and probably about 2/3 of that or so are coming to fruition in 2026.
That said, we are seeing some elevated costs directly as a result of the war. As you can imagine, it's really around transportation, both logistics and crew movement. But we think those are transitory assuming the conflict resolves itself in the near future. So between the additional run rate savings from our initial first 60 to 90 days with John in the seat, plus some of the transitory costs, we certainly think that should be a tailwind for us going into 2027.
The next question is from the line of Steve Wieczynski with Stifel.
So Mark, another yield question here. So as we kind of think about the revised yield guidance, I think a lot of us were obviously expecting a pretty significant yield cut given the headwinds from Europe this summer. But look, I'm not sure a lot of folks were expecting a negative 5% on the low end. So look, if we think about the midpoint now, so call it, down $400 million, can you help us think what would get you to the down 5% versus the down 3%? I'm just trying to figure out that what that delta would be between getting from negative 3% to negative 5%.
Look, I think in our revised guidance, as John said in his prior answer, we do have some more structural issues, both in our marketing and demand issue structures versus -- and that's resulting in some issues in our revenue management system. You have to have the right marketing at the top of the funnel to generate the demand, and we're seeing that, that's just not functioning as it should be.
When I think about the 3% to 5% range, Steve, I think it's important to note that roughly about 1.5 points of that is as a result of the load reduction from our prior guidance. So yes, it is a wide range. But again, it's based on what we're seeing today. And most importantly, I think this is a very -- not necessarily appreciated. It takes time for teams to gel and get that opportunity, that engine going. As we've said over the last 4 to 5 months, this is a completely new team. And we've recently announced the change in our marketing leadership as well as the Norwegian brand. So that will take time to turn around. And of course, as we get that going, we'll continue to see green shoots going forward.
Okay. Got you. And then second question Look, your booking commentary or demand commentary, I would say is a good bit different than what we're hearing from some of your peers right now, especially in the -- around the North American deployments. So am I thinking about the right way that maybe the Norwegian brand itself is kind of getting lost at this point with agents and consumers, meaning the brand really now needs to kind of show what the brand really is? I'm not sure if I'm asking this the right way, but does that make sense?
Yes, it does, Steve. It's John. I mean, let's face it, we're not comparable to our out. I mean I said this is a turnaround. I think we've been very clear that's why the change was made. That's why I'm sitting here now. So when you're making comments about why we look different from our peers, I would say, yes, we do. But again, as I said, I have confidence in the industry. I have confidence in all the growth trend. So to me, these are self-inflicted wounds that we need to go fix or missteps. And so I wouldn't say that we've completely lost our way by any sense with agency consumers, but I wouldn't say we're hitting on all cylinders by any stretch. So I think, again, we sound like a broken record, but getting the right team in place and getting them to work well together is how you're going to optimize or maximize the optimization in those areas. So I'd rather just say we're not firing on all cylinders, but structurally, nothing wrong, great industry. It's just we need to execute with better discipline.
The next questions are from the line of Ben Chakan with Mizuho.
To the extent, maybe one on '27, to the extent that our bookings taking place today for '27 in Europe, what color can you give us? I think the concern being, as we've seen in the past, these type of disruptions at times have had a tail to them in part because of your booking curve and customer exposure. Just any color there or asked maybe differently, what are you doing today to make sure this isn't something that sticks with you for the next 6 to 12 months?
So Ben, first of all, I'd say, when you look at the luxury brands, I'd say they're in pretty good shape just like they have been this year, I'd say they're performing to expectations. So again, I think that's another proof point that the industry is fine and the industry is growing. I think what we said about NCL, when you said how can we make sure it doesn't happen going forward? I would say, again, let's get a great marketing team built. Let's get a great revenue management team built. Let's make sure they work as a cohesive group between sales, revenue management itineraries, deployments, et cetera. So I think that -- if we can get all that in place, which is not a short-term thing, it's a couple of quarters at least to build out of that, that's what's going to cure your '27 and year '28 look differently on the NCL side. On the luxury side, I think things are pretty good.
Got it. Just to be clear, I was coming from a Europe perspective, just given the disruption we've seen and and the fact that you guys booked North American guests there just to see you know where else coming from, maybe it's the same answer?
Well, Ben, I think it goes back to fundamentals. It's making sure we're getting back on the right booking curve well in advance. And I think that's where we entered 2026 sub optimally. And with the exacerbation of the war, that's just -- that's hurt us more. So we're very focused on 2027 across all itineraries to ensure that we have the right booking curve, we have the right base loading of business on the books and we think that will start to help us again in 2027, but that will take time to turn around.
Okay. And then I think, if I'm not mistaken, I believe Q4 yields are negative. I think in the prepared comments, you mentioned they'll continue to be pressured. Maybe that's kind of saying the same thing. Is that correct? Can we confirm that? And if so, can we kind of deconstruct maybe some of the high-level assumptions for Q4 if possible? Europe is 13% of mix, I think we all imagine that's probably negative year-over-year. It's just a large swing between maybe the previous implied versus today. So could you help us?
Yes. I think when you look at the -- both ends of the guidance range, there certainly could be a scenario where Q4 could be negative. That said, we still are a ways out, and we still have a lot of booking momentum to go. I think we're very, very excited that we've now started to see marketing in earnest starting over the last week or 2 around our exciting island, which is going to open in late summer. So we would expect that will help turn the corner and help with demand generation. So -- but certainly, if you're looking at the high end of guidance, there is a scenario where Q4 could be negative. And then if you look on the other book end of that, I think you're in positive territory. So look, we're focused on the future. We're focused on turning the demand engine around and the marketing engine, and that's going to take some time. So we'll continue to look for those green shoots coming forward.
The next question is from the line of Conor Cunningham with Melius Research.
Maybe to just clarify what you just said there. So you have a second half implied net yield guide of negative [ $3.4 million ] to negative [ $7.2 million ]. You just talked about potential for positive yields come in the fourth quarter. So that would imply like that third quarter is well below the low end of the [ $7.2 million ] range. So I just trying to understand the puts and takes. There's been a lot of moving parts from quarter-to-quarter. Totally understand that Europe is a larger portion. So if we could just get a little bit more granular on the 3Q, I know that you're not specifically guiding to, but I think it would be really helpful.
Yes. Conor, so obviously, yes, the implied second half is a wider range. But I think when you look at Q3, given our significant Europe deployment being behind the booking curve, with the war exacerbation. I think there's a scenario where you could see high single-digit negative yields in Q3. So hopefully, that will help you kind of back into where Q4 could be. And that's on the worst that -- that's on the high end of the -- or the low end of the guidance, I should say, at a negative 5% for the year.
Well and Conor, I think the other thing, it's John. Again, you guys are trying to like really nail this down. I don't know how many times to say it, we are not comparable to our peers at the moment. And so with the reason I said it in my prepared remarks that we have the rights that we gave and said in the question earlier, the wider range is just letting these teams gel. They're not even completely higher. I mean we're hiring people and revenue and the teams are being built out there gelling. So by definition, I think it would be irresponsible to have some super tight range, and we could explain it to you exactly down to the every 10 basis point change. That's just not possible with the Norwegian brand. So it's more of that than there's anything that we can singularly point to and say, that's your issue. So if you keep thinking about this as a turnaround story for the Norwegian brand, again, the luxury brands are operating as you would expect, that's really what accounts for the variability. So I wouldn't be making assumptions. It's more just letting this whole thing gel together.
I totally understand, it's just that things have been moved around so maybe just to stick with that. So Again, this is a gradual turnaround, and I understand that it takes a while to build. So as we think about '27, maybe just like whole company rather than just specific parts, it seems that this will take at least the first half of '27 to start to see a lot of the fruits of your labor start to play out. Is that a fair time line? It just -- you talked about gradual improvement, and I understand that. But just if you could just help bridge us to how you start to see this thing from a commercial strategy standpoint term?
Yes. I mean as we've said all along, I think the costs you'll keep seeing the costs come out. I mean over the next 2 to 4 quarters, you're just going to see one thing sort of on top of the others we keep turning over rocks and there's plenty more to go there. But yes, I think on the revenue side, when you think about getting your marketing message out there, getting back to the things we've talked about, premium families with kids, seasoned travelers, things of that, that we've sort of walked away from for the last couple of years, which Mark has talked about. You've seen that in the decline in our occupancy rates, all of that, you can't just flip a switch and go, oh, we're back to where we were in 2018 or '19 and the consumer just reacts immediately. So I do think that's going to take some time. So yes, I think it's accurate to say you're going to see your green shoots in '27. And as you get clicking into '27, that's going to roll over into '28 when hopefully, we're hitting on all cylinders. So I think you're correct to me. The cost and the revenues are on 2 different tracks. The costs will come quicker, I think the revenue will come a little bit later, but again, the revenue is far outstrips the cost opportunity.
Our next question is from the line of Brandt Montour with Barclays.
So the first one is a bit of a near-term question because I don't think we really kind of got into the nooks and crannies of the third quarter. Have you guys seen any sort of signs of stabilization over the last couple of weeks? I mean -- and sort of how much left do you have to book for that quarter? Just trying to get a sense where we're at in the calendar in that booking cycle? If even the numbers you did put out for the third quarter feels fully derisked here and what you're seeing real time?
Look, I think, fundamentally, when you -- at the core, you have to consider where we entered the season. We were behind the booking curve. We had more business to go after, that was exacerbated by the war. Again, when you think about that, we had a higher hill to climb than some of our competitors. And as John said, we're just not comparable. So we've seen elevated cancellations in Europe across the board. And again, here and there in certain areas of Europe, you start to see some green shoots, but given the fact that we're sitting here in May, it's going to be very hard to dig out of that hole that we've created ourselves for ourselves with that being behind in the booking curve.
Again, on the luxury brands in the last 3 or 4 weeks, we have seen I would call it even slightly better than stabilization. We've seen some encouraging signs over the last 3 to 4 weeks for Regent and for Oceania.
Okay. That's helpful. And then noncommissionable fairs, I believe, went into effect this week for you guys. And I know that forecasting '27 in the second half of '26 is a bit difficult with all the teams gelling and everything you sort of talked about already. But hopefully, you have an idea of what you're sort of internally modeling for NCS in terms of those being either net dilutive or net accretive to yields? And so maybe just take us through sort of the model specific to NCS effect on the business for the second half of '27 as the how much of a bad guy is that and when it can kind of flip positive if that's in '27 and if that's how you think about it overall?
Brandt, and again, I think we probably talked about this on our prior call or a call before that. The whole statement was really about, again, trying to garner and garner attention around the Norwegian brand, getting back to the -- getting the travel agent community instilled with the Norwegian brand as we obviously go to shorter and more domestic cruising. So very, very early in the stage to say what that quantification is going to be in 2027. But again, the thesis was getting back the attention in front and center of the travel agent community. So as you think about that, it was only related to the travel agent distribution channel. It was not a policy that went across our direct channels. So we think, over time, the volume will outpace any potential impact as a result of that minor cost impact.
The next question is from the line of James Hardiman with Citi.
I'm going to ask the 2027 question a little differently. I don't know, I mean there's a lot of unknowns here. So I don't know how much of this you can help with. But I guess, a, as we think about the booking curve, obviously, 1 of the issues, 1 of the main issues for 2026 is that you entered the year behind and so some of the external issues were so much more difficult to overcome. Anything you can tell us about where you sit on the booking curve with regards to 2027?
And then as I think about the different possibilities for 2027, the Street kind of had you getting back to your algo, right, next year? Obviously, it's going to be off of a much lower base. But should we think about the opportunity, '27 versus '26 is still sort of a normal opportunity? Could it be greater than that because there's a lot of one-timers as we think about 2026? Or is this stuff going to carry over so much so that we should not be anticipating meaningful yield growth in 2027?
Yes. I think it's a little difficult to know. Again, I think we know where we made our mistakes in terms of getting behind the booking curve. And I think the team that is being built knows where the mistakes were and is working to correct that. As we go into '27, I think the proof will be in the pudding, obviously, because, again, that team is being built out, the systems being refined, calibrated, whatever word you want to choose. So I would certainly think it's going to be better. I wouldn't sit here and tell you it's going to be all the way to bright. I don't promise you that. But I think meaningful improvements are being made in those areas. So I'd say, again, I'm optimistic. Whether it plays out perfectly in '27 versus '28, only time will tell, but I feel better about at least we understand where we made our mistakes, and I think we're working to correct them.
Again, on the luxury brands. I think they're right where they should be from an expectation standpoint in '27. So again, it's all about Norwegian.
And James, on the cost side of the equation, again, we've talked about we're taking quick and decisive action. We've already seen that with some of the numbers we talked about today. That's not going to stop. So you're going to see a much quicker change on the cost side of the base of the business. And again, getting our revenue management and demand engine via our marketing engines correct, again, will take more time. So we're going to move quick and decisive on that, but that's not something you turn around over time. Definitely, on the cost side, you're going to see a much quicker results flowing through.
Got it. And to that point, I know I've asked this question a bunch of times, Mark. But maybe assure us that some of the outperformance on the cost side isn't contributing to the underperformance on the top line. i.e., cutting a little more muscle and not entirely [indiscernible].
And then I guess big picture, John, you've talked a couple of times here about how you're not really comparable to your peers right now. I guess I'm just trying to think through the brand damage that's been done here, how consumers are thinking about your brand from a big picture perspective? And how much needs to be repaired as we move forward?
Yes. Well, I'm going to answer both parts and then Mark can jump in. No, we're actually investing more money in revenue management and marketing -- not marketing, but I'm talking about a team in the horsepower. So we've been very careful where we took cost out to have it not impact in any way revenue-producing opportunities. So we will be spending more money in those areas, not less. Again, marketing dollars per se hasn't been done as efficiently or effectively as possible. So that's obviously an area you can cut, but I can assure you, in terms of intellectual horsepower, we are definitely continuing to upgrade in those 2 areas. So do not worry about that at all.
And then in terms of brand damage, I don't think there's going to -- when you look at guest satisfaction scores, you know what the consumer thinks, I think there hasn't been any brand damage. Again, I think the brand is functioning. If you recall in an earlier call, I said, I just don't think we've maximized what we can get out of the Norwegian brand because we haven't been doing things as effectively or as coordinated as we should. So I don't look at it as you have to repair damage. I look at it as we just got to get back to maximizing what we can get out of that brand. And that's, again, just through operational missteps over the past 4 or 5 years, whether it's our itineraries, whether it's how we went to market, whether it's ineffective air spend and as we said, is more akin to a subsidy marketing. So there's lots of things like that, but I don't see any brand damage.
Yes, I would agree. I fully agree with John. We're not talking about a brand damage issue here, james. Again, this is about making sure we're putting our dollars to work in the right places, and equally as important, having the teams focus on the right priorities versus too many priorities. And by doing that, you actually get a lot more productivity and intellectual horsepower. So we're investing in the right places, and we're focusing on the right priorities. It goes back to a lot of fundamentals.
Our next questions are from the line of Lizzie Dove with Goldman Sachs.
Understandably, we've heard a lot about Europe, you've touched on Alaska. But maybe if we could just touch on what's going on in the Caribbean right now and what you're seeing there. You had a lot of capacity to absorb this year. We've seen some recent deployment shifts from MSC and whatnot. And so I would love to hear the kind of latest of what you're seeing in the Caribbean and just the broader kind of competitive environment there more broadly?
Yes. Look, Lizzie, we've been pretty transparent. We did have a large Caribbean deployment shift this year, and we were very [indiscernible] on our last call that we did not have the right tools in place. We didn't have our marketing in place. We just -- we didn't have our island in place. We've now launched the marketing of our island in the last week or 2. So we're hopeful that, that's going to start to improve demand generation. So again, those go back -- that goes back to a lot of internal missteps that the company took along the way. So as we've seen the Caribbean, we believe in the Caribbean, we think it's going to be a good market for us, but we have to have the right tools in place and we're working on that.
Got it. And then I wanted to ask just about long-term deployment. Obviously, Europe has its challenges this year with the conflict. But I think even pre that, I think Europe was tracking a little bit down. You mentioned some of the open [indiscernible] itineraries and whatnot. I guess, how do you think about Europe in the long term? Like is your mix of deployment? Are you happy with that current mix that you have? Or could you see kind of making some shifts over time, whether it's out of Europe or kind of anything else?
I mean, I'll give you my take. I think we're happy with the current mix. I think, again, when you think about how much of our business we source from the U.S. for our European itineraries, it's huge. So obviously, the Iran war has a much bigger impact on us than some of our competitors in that sense. But I think, again, when we get everything aligned the way it should, whether it's in the Caribbean or whether it's in Europe, the Norwegian brand should perform better because all the fixes we're talking about aren't for one specific region in the world. There -- they'll flow across all the different areas of the globe. So I think we feel good about Europe long term.
Our next question is from the line of Vince Ciepiel with Cleveland Research.
I wanted to unpack [indiscernible] a little bit more. Could you just talk in more detail on review scores, guest impression? I know that you still have the water park to go, but there was considerable investment already to this point. I imagine more people enjoying the lagoon, going to Silver Cove, just kind of like what the guest feedback has been? And when you think about quantifying that, if it's possible, at one point, you had thrown out some potential yield benefit the island could generate. and just [indiscernible]?
Yes. Vince, it's Mark. Look, as we've said, with a Phase 1 opening of Great Stirrup Cay, we've seen our guest satisfaction scores improve dramatically. And so the feedback from the guests who are touching the island and getting to the island has been nothing short of great. That said, as we've said before, we have not opened some of the primary monetizing events or activities on the island, which are scheduled for late summer this year. So we think when those open, together with a solid marketing campaign behind that, we absolutely believe that the island will generate incremental yields, not only from the on-island monetization, but over time, getting premiums for itineraries that are calling on that, which is, of course, underscoring the thesis of the investment there. So again, we're very happy with the results to date, and we look forward to, again, late summer, opening up the monetization activities, which we believe we'll really start to spark incremental demand.
Great. And then just kind of a longer-term question. You look at the occupancy levels and there's always the balance between price and load. But this business, you'd be at [ 107 ]. I think you got more Caribbean capacity now. Perhaps there's room to even get above that [ 105 ] just a couple of years ago. How are you thinking about just the occupancy opportunity over the next few years as you start to get some of these missteps addressed, get the teams gelled, the marketing message, right, how are you thinking about where occupancy could go?
Look, Vince, that's absolutely -- that's one of our items, front and center, where we think there's opportunity on the occupancy side. We want to get back to not only historical levels of our occupancy, but also to exceed that. We said on our last earnings call or a couple of calls ago that we're not just looking at maximizing our existing -- our new ships from an occupancy standpoint. But taking our existing fleet and ensuring that we're maximizing space across our existing assets so we can add more thirds and fourths and get more of the families. But I'll go back to, again, we have to get the brand, specifically the Norwegian brand front and center. We have to get the marketing and demand engine front and center. And over time that we believe that will help drive both price and occupancy.
The next question is from the line of Robin Farley with UBS.
I just wanted to go back to clarify some of the comments in the release in your earlier comments. Do you believe the situation in the Middle East is negatively impacting bookings for Caribbean and Alaska because the wording in the release sounds like you may be thinking of the Middle East is impacting things outside of Europe as well. So I just wanted to clarify that.
And then when we think about your change in Q4 guidance, and I know it's -- these are broad strokes, right? We're not trying to nail down tens of basis points. But going from something a couple of hundred basis points positive to something flat or a couple of hundred basis points negative, just since Europe is not as much of a factor in Q4, can you help us think about how much of that impact in Q4 you think is kind of impact from the Middle East versus what you were describing as kind of self-inflicted?
Yes. So I would say, yes, it is having some impact on the U.S. I mean, gas prices, everything, I mean it's kind of across the board. You can look at airlines, you can know the premium end of the airlines, which if you look at our premium brands, they're different. But mass mass are you have to do look at Spirit. Yes, it is having some impact for sure, but in terms of the fourth quarter, how much is the Middle East, again, I'm not -- we can't really parse what's -- how much is one versus the other. Again, we just said we're assuming the environment doesn't change from where it is today. We're not assuming it gets any worse. We're not assuming magically, it goes away next week and oil goes back to $50 a barrel. We've just sort of assumed that the environment stays the way it is. And given all the issues we've talked about sort of our turnaround in that brand, that's really what's driving that spread. It's nothing specific around the word. But yes, overall, for sure, the environment has softened to some extent.
And Robin, I think those are just downstream ancillary effects that we're seeing. What's interesting of course, as John has said several times, our luxury brands are just fine, and we're seeing great performance out of there. Even further, I think once we have our guests on the vessels, we're actually seeing healthy onboard spend. So it's a matter of, again, making sure we're getting in front of the consumer having our right demand and marketing engine going and getting the guests on board. If we can do that, I think that's really going to help turn things around.
Great. And then just a quick follow-up on your leverage levels at the end of the year. I know we'll be able to do the math in more detail after the call just with the change in guidance. Where do you see that getting your leverage levels at year-end?
Yes. I think based on the range of outcomes that you're probably looking at somewhere in the high 5s. And so obviously, we're not happy with where that's going. But as we've said before, it will take time to turn around the revenue side of the equation, but we are moving quick and decisive on the cost side. So to the extent over the next couple of quarters, we can announce some more actions around that. Hopefully, that will give us some more insulation.
The question will be coming from the line of Trey Bowers with Wells Fargo.
You said a couple of times on the call that the luxury brands are just fine. I assume that is a statement of kind of where you see the marketing engine and the brand strength. But is that also a signal of just kind of yield dynamics? And if so, could you give us a sense for kind of order of magnitude differential between what you're seeing in Norwegian versus what you're seeing at the luxury brands? And then I have a follow-up.
No, we don't break that out. I'm just saying that from an overall standpoint, we like what we see. And as we've said along, there's cost opportunities in those brands, which we're going to continue to go after those just like we are in NCL. Might not be on an absolute basis as much, but plenty of opportunity there, but it's definitely a more resilient consumer, no great surprise.
And then on the $125 million of kind of SG&A saves that you expect to see going forward, can you guys just -- one final time just try to unpack a little bit? You're talking about kind of needing to improve the marketing messaging of the Norwegian brand and you're improving the people, so there's investment happening there. So just help us understand how it makes sense to kind of maybe marketing spend is where exactly was that in efficiency? Just any incremental detail of a marketing spend that sounds like it's getting cut as you need to kind of increase and improve awareness of the brand would be super helpful.
Yes. I don't -- without going to any detail, all you need to do is just sort of look at our marketing spend over the last 3 or 4 years vis-a-vis our competition. And you would see that we spend -- our spend increased dramatically, and we're not nearly as efficient as our competitors. That's mostly not around heads, that's just around where we're spending it, how we're spending it. So again, we're investing more in the quality of the people, but there's plenty of room to cut. So it's -- I mean given the disproportionate amount of spend, there are plenty of places to look for money there.
Yes, Trey. It's about putting the dollars to work in the right places versus volume. And again, you can see our numbers when you look at our year-end filings vis-a-vis our competitors, I think we've been spending probably 2x on a per bed basis, but it's about effectiveness, and that's what we're focused on going forward.
Okay. Well, thank you, everybody, for joining us this morning. Appreciate all the questions and talk to you later. Thanks.
Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation. Have a wonderful day.
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Norwegian Cruise Line — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Norwegian Cruise Line — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
NCLH senkt 2026‑Guidance; Management startet Turnaround mit strukturellen SG&A‑Sparmaßnahmen, doch Yields bleiben 2026 unter Druck.
Q1‑2026 Earnings Call: Ergebnisse in Linie/leicht besser als Guidance, aber Full‑Year Ausblick reduziert; Fokus auf Kosten, Marketing und Revenue‑Management.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Net Yield: -1% im Q1 (oberhalb der Guidance).
- Adj. NCC ex Fuel: $168 pro Kapazitätstag, -1% vs. Guidance.
- Adj. EBITDA: $533 Mio., über Guidance.
- Adj. Net Income / EPS: $108 Mio. / $0,23 je Aktie.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Turnaround-Fokus: CEO Chidsey betont Kulturwandel, stärkere Rechenschaftspflicht und Neubesetzung (u.a. Chief People Officer) zur Beschleunigung der operativen Disziplin.
- Kostenprogramm: Annualisierte SG&A‑Einsparung von $125 Mio.; shoreside Lohn-/Sozialkosten sollen ~15% sinken; Pilotprojekte für Offshoring laufen.
- Kommerz & Systeme: Phase‑1 eines neuen Revenue‑Management‑Systems live; Marketing‑ und Revenue‑Leadership wird neu aufgebaut, kurzfristig variable Top‑Line‑Effekte erwartbar.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q2 Yield: Erwartet -3,6% (stark belastet durch Europa ~26% Deployment Q2).
- FY Yield: Erwartet -3% bis -5% für 2026; Adj. EBITDA $2,48–2,64 Mrd.; Adj. EPS $1,45–1,79.
- Kosten & Fuel: Adj. NCC ex Fuel ~flat für 2026 (Q2 +1%); Fuel‑Aufwand ~ $800 Mio. auf Spotbasis (ca. -6% vs. Forward‑Kurve).
- Kapazität: Kapazitätstage +7% in 2026; Bauten reduzieren sich ab 2028 → deutlich geringere Growth‑CapEx und verbesserte FCF‑Aussichten.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Yield‑Ursprung: Nachfrage vs. Selbstverschulden — Management sieht beides, betont aber interne Fehler in Marketing und Revenue‑Management.
- Buchungskurve & Europa: Hinter dem Zielbuchungsbogen gestartet; Europa‑Exposition macht Q3 besonders anfällig; Q3 wird als deutlich schwächer erwartet, Q4 mögliches Erholungszeichen.
- Savings vs. Invest: $125M Run‑Rate‑Saves sollen strukturell wirken; Management sagt, Einschnitte zielen nicht auf umsatztreibende Funktionen und Investitionen in Revenue/Marketing werden weiterhin erhöht.
⚡ Bottom Line
Kurzfristig ist die Aktie durch reduzierte Guidance, Europa‑Risiken und gebrochene Buchungskurve belastet. Die angepassten, strukturellen Kostensenkungen und die Reduktion des CapEx‑Pfads sind jedoch glaubhafte Hebel, die die Free‑Cash‑Flow‑ und Deleveraging‑Story ab 2027 stützen sollten. Anleger brauchen Geduld; Schlüssel‑Indikatoren sind Buchungskurve 2H‑2026/2027, Performance des neuen Revenue‑Management‑Systems und sichtbare Nachfrageverbesserung nach der Insel‑Monetarisierung.
Norwegian Cruise Line — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Rob, and I'll be your operator. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder to all participants, this conference call is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Sarah Inmon. Ms. Inmon, please proceed.
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call. I'm joined today by John Chidsey, President and CEO of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings; and Mark Kempa, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
As a reminder, this conference call is being simultaneously webcast on the company's Investor Relations website. We will be referring to a slide presentation during this call, which can also be found on our website. Both the conference call and presentation will be available for replay for 30 days following today's event.
Before we begin, I would like to cover a few items. Our press release with fourth quarter and full year 2025 results was issued this morning and is also available on our website.
This call includes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from such statements. These statements should be considered in conjunction with the cautionary statement contained in our earnings release.
Our comments may also reference non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure and other associated disclosures are contained in our earnings release and presentation.
Unless otherwise noted, all references to 2025 and 2026 net yield and adjusted net cruise cost excluding fuel per capacity day are on a constant currency basis and comparisons are to the same period in the prior year.
With that, I'd like to turn the call over to our CEO, John Chidsey. John?
Thank you, Sarah, and good morning, everyone. It's my pleasure to be here with you today, and I'd like to thank my Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings colleagues for their warm welcome, and Mark, for his partnership. There are many reasons that I agreed to join the Board last February and now become CEO. This is a special company. It founded the modern cruise industry. We have iconic brands and extremely loyal guest base and a dedicated team. At the same time, NCLH has clearly not been performing to its full potential.
Over the past 2 weeks since becoming CEO, I have been moving quickly to immerse myself in all aspects of our business and culture. I've begun a deep review of operations, spending time with our leadership and beginning to engage across the organization to better understand where we are performing well and where we are not. As someone who has built a career in consumer-focused companies, I share the team's passion for delivering an unbeatable guest experience. I've seen our company at moments of real strength as well as through some of its most challenging periods, including the pandemic. I've experienced firsthand the resilience of this company and its people.
I bring deep familiarity with the cruise industry for my prior years on the NCLH Board of Directors. We span transportation, hospitality, entertainment, construction, logistics, revenue management, touring and more. We do this while managing various distribution channels and regulatory frameworks around the world. Our industry relies on guests booking their voyages months, sometimes even years in advance.
I've also successfully led a number of yield-driven asset-intensive businesses through periods of transformation and performance improvement. Those experiences have reinforced a simple lesson: Sustainable improvement comes from disciplined execution, operational rigor and a clear focus on the fundamentals. This is the approach I intend to bring to NCLH.
We are operating a capital-intensive business with a balance sheet that is overly levered and a cost structure that must continue to be streamlined. Indeed, we have some challenges that need to be addressed immediately and others that will take more time. We also have strengths to leverage.
My takeaway after these first 2 weeks: We have to create a burning platform sense of urgency balanced against optimism and excitement for the opportunities ahead of us. Let me be clear, our strategy is sound, our execution and coordination have not been. And a culture of accountability is essential and necessary going forward. The good news is that we have the assets, we have the brands and we now have the right focus.
Job one is fixing execution and driving accountability and urgency. This comes from optimizing the organization and eliminating bureaucracy. There were clear failures in the basics of developing coordinated plans and a clear operating cadence around key enterprise-wide initiatives. The culture was very siloed with the lack of a one team mentality, which fed into this lack of cohesion. And I found that while there was work being done, the alignment and focus was not where it needed to be.
Job two is improving efficiency and return on invested capital, ensuring that our capital allocation decisions are grounded in measurable returns. The company invested heavily in our ships. And as a result, our product is strong. However, we under-invested in technology, revenue management capabilities and customer-facing systems. Correcting this imbalance is one of our top priorities.
And Job three is unlocking operational upside in revenue management, itinerary optimization and monetization of our private destinations.
There is important work ahead to return our company to sustained growth and value creation. It is the combination of my turnaround experience and tenure leading consumer-focused companies and industry understanding that provides me with the confidence that we can deliver for our shareholders, guests and team members.
What will make this possible is our leadership team. As of the past few months, we have put in place essentially an all-new leadership team in most of our critical functions, with a skill set and experience level that is well suited for the work ahead. Now this group needs to bond, and we need to create a culture of accountability and empowerment. The pieces are definitely here, and I'm already encouraged by the team's excitement and commitment to this turnaround.
Some actions are already underway and you will see further announcements over coming quarters as we streamline and reorganize the business to better execute. To that end, I'm working closely with our brand and executive leadership teams to take a fresh look at how we can improve day-to-day execution and drive more consistent results.
Marc Kazlauskas was named President of Norwegian Cruise Lines in December, bringing more than 3 decades of experience across sales, operations and innovation in the global travel industry. Marc has a strong track record of driving commercial performance and enhancing the guest experience and his leadership will be instrumental at the brand level.
I'm also working closely with Jason Montague, our Chief Luxury Officer, as he continues to lead Regent Seven Seas Cruises and Oceania Cruises. Together, we are focused on ensuring that each of our brands continues to deliver distinctive, high-quality experiences that resonate with our guests.
Our executive leadership team brings together experienced company and industry veterans alongside new seasoned leaders from outside the industry, particularly in areas like technology and strategy. At the Norwegian brand, we recently onboarded a seasoned industry veteran to lead that brand's revenue management function, along with the Chief Marketing Officer, that is honing our brand messaging and the way we engage with our guests. Going forward, our decisions will be driven with a focus on revenue management, which we'll work with, and direct sales and marketing to better align our resources. This is just one example of our teams coming together across the company around a common goal of improving performance.
My priorities are straightforward: improve execution, strengthen financial discipline, reduce leverage and focus the organization on the areas that will drive sustainable value creation over time. Once we complete our review and finalize our operating plan, progress will require patience, discipline and consistent execution. I look forward to sharing more detail on these priorities as we progress.
With that, I'll turn it over to Mark to walk through our fourth quarter results and our outlook for 2026. Mark?
Thank you, John, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin with our fourth quarter results on Slide 5, which were ahead of or in line with our expectations.
Net yields in the fourth quarter grew 3.8%, while adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel of $158 was below guidance, increasing only 0.2%, driven by strong cost controls, which ultimately drove adjusted EBITDA of $564 million, exceeding our guidance.
Adjusted net income for the quarter was $130 million, adjusted EPS of $0.28, which excludes an approximately $95 million or $0.20 write-off related to certain information technology assets included in depreciation and amortization expense.
Now moving to our full year '25 results on Slide 6. Starting with our top line performance. Net yields rose 2.4% compared to the prior year, as expected. We continue to have a disciplined cost management approach and our adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel per capacity day rose only 0.7%, slightly better than our guidance and well below inflation.
Overall, we made important strides in 2025. Our adjusted EBITDA increased 11% to $2.73 billion. Our adjusted operational EBITDA margin improved 160 basis points to 37.1%. And our adjusted EPS increased 19% to $2.11.
Moving to Slide 7, I'll touch on a few operational highlights since our last earnings call. At the Norwegian brand, under the leadership of our new Chief Marketing Officer, we launched a refreshed brand platform, reintroducing our iconic 1990s tagline: "it's different out here," and anchoring the brand and the values that have always set Norwegian apart: freedom and flexibility. Norwegian also opened bookings for Norwegian Aura, the largest of our premium class ships, with her first voyages setting sail in 2027.
At Oceania, we continue to sharpen the brand's positioning in the luxury space, announcing an adults-only policy fleet-wide. This shift is already yielding results. The sales of Oceania Sonata delivered a record-breaking opening day with bookings surpassing the launch of Oceania Allura by 45%. Strength in our luxury portfolio was also evident at Regent Seven Seas where January bookings were up 20% year-over-year with robust demand across the destination portfolio.
In addition, we recently announced new ship orders across all 3 brands: 1 for Norwegian Cruise Line, 1 Sonata class ship for Oceania Cruises; and 1 prestige class ship for Regent. We now have 17 ships on order through 2037, securing coveted shipyard building slots and locking in our long-term growth plan. Importantly, given the timing of the deliveries for these new ship orders, they require only modest initial capital outlays. And we do not expect them to have a material impact on our near-term leverage.
Turning to Great Stirrup Cay on Slide 8, we are very encouraged by the early results following the opening of the pier, a new expansive pool and enhanced guest amenities on the island. Initial guest feedback has been incredibly positive, with strong guest satisfaction scores across the board. The early feedback reinforces our confidence that our investments are improving the guest experience and will drive strong returns. Importantly, we remain on track to open the Great Tides Water Park later this summer, which will further elevate the island's offering and strengthen demand as we move into 2027.
Great Stirrup Cay is a central pillar of our Caribbean strategy. We remain highly confident in the long-term opportunity in the region, which delivers strong financial returns, attracts a broad and growing guest base, provides a stable operating environment and allows us to target more new-to-cruise and premium family guests.
While our Caribbean strategy required a shift in deployment to the region, in hindsight, it is clear that this shift, which resulted in a 40% capacity increase in Q1, was executed without the necessary enterprise-wide coordination, as John referenced. In addition, the capacity increase was premature as the supporting infrastructure and commercial initiatives around Great Stirrup Cay were not yet ready to support and accommodate the additional capacity. While phase one of the enhancements opened at the tail end of 2025, we increased capacity into the region ahead of the full build-out at Great Stirrup Cay, which includes the Great Tides Water Park.
Importantly, we did not sufficiently align revenue management, sales, marketing, itinerary planning and on-island monetization strategies to support that deployment shift. The individual components were moving forward, but they were not integrated under a single, cohesive operating plan designed to absorb the capacity at the right yield. As a result, the headwinds we are experiencing in the first quarter are more pronounced than we anticipated last quarter, which I will address in more detail shortly.
As we stepped back and evaluated our 2026 deployment, it became clear that our commercial strategy, including our sales, marketing, pricing strategy and revenue management tools were not aligned with our deployment. As a result, certain itineraries did not receive the coordinated commercial support required to maximize performance and yields, which is weighing on our expected performance for the full year.
We entered 2026 slightly behind our ideal booking curve in certain itineraries, creating near-term pressure on pricing and yield, which is evident in our guidance. Moving forward, we expect that creating tight integration between deployment planning and commercial execution will ensure itineraries are fully supported by a cohesive plan around revenue management, pricing and marketing from day 1.
We are embarking on a disciplined business review to ensure full alignment across our deployment, marketing, pricing, and look forward to sharing more with you on this process in the coming quarters. As John mentioned earlier, we are moving with a sense of urgency to overcome these challenges. However, given the booking lead times, the benefits will phase in over time. We are confident that these steps will position us for stronger, more sustainable performance over the long term.
This leads me to our 2026 guidance on Slide 10. Let's start with net yields. As a result of the headwinds I discussed earlier, we expect net yield growth in the first quarter to decline approximately 1.6% as higher occupancy was more than offset by pricing pressure. Looking to the balance of the year, we expect net yields to stabilize and modestly improve, growing at approximately 0.6%, bringing our full year net yields to approximately flat. However, we do not expect this gradual improvement to be symmetrical across all 3 quarters.
At our Norwegian brand, we are experiencing pricing headwinds in select markets as a result of certain execution missteps, including sailings in the Caribbean and Bahamas and itineraries out of our new home port of Philadelphia. In Europe, the tailwinds we had expected to occur in Q3 are not as strong as previously anticipated given the aforementioned execution missteps. Outside of these markets, we note that heightened competitive activity in Alaska has also pressured yields due to elevated industry capacity levels. That said, we remain focused on improving our commercial strategy and expect these headwinds to fade as we better align our strategy with deployment.
We recognize that this level of top line performance falls short of our expectations and our long-term objectives. As I mentioned earlier, we are undertaking a disciplined business review to fully assess the drivers of this underperformance and to ensure we realign deployment, pricing and marketing to restore sustainable net yield growth.
Turning to costs. Our discipline on the expense side remains firmly intact, and this marks the third consecutive year of strong cost control. In the first quarter, we expect adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel to decrease approximately 0.8%. Looking to the remaining 9 months of the year, we expect unit cost to grow approximately 1.4%, bringing full year unit cost growth to approximately 0.9%, well below inflation.
Our cost savings program represents a structural change in culture. We are building the muscle to continuously identify efficiencies, remove wastes and improve processes. That work will continue throughout 2026 and beyond as we remain focused on driving sustainable margin expansion.
As a result, we expect first quarter adjusted operational EBITDA margin to improve to approximately 29.1%, compared to 28.4% in the first quarter of '25, and adjusted EBITDA of $515 million. For the full year, we expect margins to remain essentially flat year-over-year at approximately 37%, while adjusted EBITDA increases approximately 8% to $2.95 billion.
Adjusted EPS is expected to be approximately $0.16 in the first quarter. And for the full year, we expect adjusted EPS to increase approximately 13% to $2.38.
Deleveraging remains a top financial priority, and for the full year 2026, we expect net leverage to remain approximately flat at 5.2x. Keep in mind, this reflects the delivery of Norwegian Luna in March and Seven Seas Prestige in December, which temporarily increases reported leverage by approximately a 0.25 turn as the associated EBITDA contribution phases in.
While we continue to grow capacity at a healthy pace, we are focused on driving stronger top line performance and margin expansion to support further net leverage reduction over time. As these new ships ramp and contribute meaningful to EBITDA, we expect net leverage to resume its downward trajectory.
At the holding company level, at the brand level and within revenue management, we are taking an appropriately disciplined approach to guidance. Rebuilding credibility with the market starts with setting clear, realistic expectations and delivering on them consistently. We are acting with urgency to strengthen the business, but we are also realistic that meaningful improvement requires deliberate execution over time. Our focus is on building a stronger, more durable foundation and restoring performance in a way that is sustainable and credible.
Before I turn the call back over to John, I want to take a moment to highlight the progress we've made on our cost savings initiatives over the past several years on Slide 11. We expect 2026 to mark another year of sub-inflationary adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel growth. That would represent nearly 3 consecutive years of essentially flat unit cost growth, while we deliver on our $300 million plus savings target. These results are the product of a disciplined work of our transformation office, which has methodically reviewed cost structures across the business, identifying efficiencies and removing waste, all without compromising the guest experience.
While much of the early focus was on shipboard efficiencies, we are now expanding and accelerating the program to drive further operating leverage by optimizing SG&A. Importantly, this is not a onetime program. We have embedded cost discipline into our culture, and we intend to continue driving efficiencies and margin expansion well beyond 2026.
With that, I'll turn it back to John for closing remarks.
Thank you, Mark. Before opening the call to questions, I want to underscore our focus going forward. Together with our Board and executive leadership team, we are focused on improving execution, strengthening financial performance and reducing leverage over time, while remaining firmly committed to delivering the exceptional vacation experiences our guests have come to expect across our 3 incredible brands. As I said before, we have the assets, we have the brands, we now have the focus.
I recognize that our 2026 outlook is below the long-term aspirations we previously communicated. Closing that gap requires focus, rigor and accountability. And that is exactly what we are bringing to this next phase. We look forward to keeping you apprised of our progress.
Before we move to Q&A, I want to briefly address the current conflict in the Middle East. We are closely monitoring the situation in Iran and the broader region. The safety of our guests and crew is always our top priority. At this time, we are not operating in the affected areas, and there are no impacts to our scheduled itineraries.
As it relates to fuel, the longer-term impact remains uncertain. However, we are currently approximately 51% hedged for 2026 and 27% hedged for 2027, which helps mitigate near-term volatility. We will continue to monitor developments closely and will adjust as necessary.
With that, operator, please open the line for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Steve Wieczynski with Stifel.
2. Question Answer
John, welcome and congratulations on the CEO appointment. So I have 2 questions that I'm going to try to ask here in one. So John, obviously, you've only been in your seat for a very short period of time. But you noted, and Mark commented in his prepared remarks, that there had been execution missteps with aligning your strategy with your deployment. So I guess my first question is about these Caribbean deployments and maybe how you address these capacity overhangs moving forward. I mean -- or if you start to pivot away from decisions that previous management implemented in the Caribbean.
And then second question is probably for you, Mark. But if we look at Slide 10 and look at the implied guidance for 2Q through 4Q, you obviously have a negative yield cost spread. But from our seat, that seems somewhat conservative even with your deployment headwind. So Mark, not sure what you would say about that, but any comments would be helpful, especially given the fact Caribbean capacity starts to ease after the first quarter and maybe it's more about Alaska and Europe, that you called out in your prepared remarks. But any comments there would be super helpful.
Yes. So in terms of your question about Caribbean deployments, clearly, I think the Caribbean is the place to be. I think it really ties back to when I said it was a very siloed effort organization, not a cohesive plan. So I think clearly, as we said in our remarks, our timing was off. I think we got a little ahead of ourselves. Again, there wasn't a great cohesive plan. Marketing was going in one direction, the island was going in a different direction.
So I think in the intermediate to long term, we are very confident about the Caribbean. Again, I just think this is where we've got to do a better job of running a very well-coordinated, well-executed plan, and I think we'll be fine. There was just a lot of short-term misfires. That's kind of how I think I would describe it.
Yes, Steve. So the strategy around Caribbean is sound. We've said that our private island Great Stirrup Cay is a central pillar of that. I think this squarely reflects the pretty dramatic shift in capacity toward the region, without the right commercial apparatus working in sync as a cohesive unit across the board. Hence, why we've seen some changes over the last few months of our various leadership. So I think going forward, as we correct those missteps and we align our strategies as one unit, I think we'll continue to see improved performance around that.
I think, Steve, on your second portion there was a mouthful, but I think you were referencing the implied guidance Q2 to Q4 as well as maybe a negative spread there. Apart from the Caribbean and Bahamas where we've had a significant capacity increase, I think when we reference some of the commercial missteps or execution, that is also affecting us in Europe. While Europe as a whole, the market is fine. We are not seeing the expected tailwinds that we expected to harvest over the summer as a result of some of our own missteps. So we are in the process of, again, working on that and correcting that.
Apart from that, I think we are seeing softness in Alaska. I think Alaska has seen mid-single-digit increase in capacity across the industry. And I think that is putting pressure on the broader industry around that. So that is a little bit of a drag for us this year.
Our next question comes from the line of Ben Chaiken with Mizuho.
Just maybe a follow-up on Europe. So last year, you kind of did these long-duration immersive strategies into Europe in 3Q, and you did in the heels of April 2, which seems like an obvious formula for weakness. But as you were kind of suggesting the previous comments, that you were not expecting 3Q this year to be a tailwind as a result of your own missteps. I guess I'm just -- can we flesh this out -- can we unpack that a little more? I believe Caribbean should be either your lowest or close to your lowest from a capacity mix standpoint. Yes. So help us unpack like how the missteps in the Caribbean impact that 3Q kind of year-over-year comparison versus last year?
Ben, look, you're absolutely right. We did have a shift in itinerary deployment that was already preplanned for 2026 prior to any events last year in March, April. I think the issue around Europe is we, in fact, did decrease our longer deployment itineraries. In fact, as a stat, I think we had about 160 voyages last year which were 9 to 14 days. This year, those same voyages are down to the low 60s. So we did, in fact, reduce it by 50% to 60%.
Where we're seeing some pressure is on a good portion of those sailings, we do have quite a bit of open jaw itineraries. And as a result of that, we're seeing a little bit of pressure from our consumers around those open jaws. And that's something, again, that goes back to what I would call commercial misalignment in terms of our deployment and commercial strategy. So while we cannot correct that for 2026, it is something that we are focusing on in the future that we believe is very correctable. But of course, we will not see the fruits of that until 2027 and beyond.
Okay. And then John, in your prepared remarks, I believe you spoke about, these are a mix of my words and your words, but I believe you spoke about a culture of inefficiency and bureaucracy. Maybe you could expand on this. How did this manifest in results? Was this a cost headwind or more of a strategy and capacity allocation related? And then what are you doing specifically to change this culture?
Yes. I think it was a little bit of both. I think as I said, it was very siloed and not -- I hate to keep using the word cohesive, but cohesive strategy and cohesive execution, which allowed a lot of these sort of missteps. I find a culture that really has no sense -- not no sense, but it needs a much greater sense of urgency and accountability. I think both of those were missing. And yes, they're clearly, as we said in our remarks, I think the company has done a great job shipside in terms of looking at cost, but I think we have definite opportunities on the shore side to optimize the company.
And so what am I doing to get after it? Again, trying to create that culture of one, trying to create cohesive plans, trying to go after the cost. But I also think the other huge opportunity is revenue because it was so disjointed, under-invested, as I said, in technology, in revenue management, sales going in one direction, marketing in another, itinerary planning in another, lack of real focus on revenue management. I think pulling all that together, I actually think our biggest opportunity is revenue. And while you might not see that immediately given the nature of our industry and people are already fairly well booked in '26, but you should definitely start to see the fruits of that in '27.
So I kind of look at it as a tale of 2 cities. I think both sides of the coin are opportunities for us, and the culture is what will drive both of those at the end of the day.
Our next question comes from the line of Conor Cunningham with Melius Research.
John, maybe we could just stick with you on -- and maybe following up to John's comments a little bit there. Just you mentioned that you're going through a full review process now. Just curious on when that will actually be [ completed ], I understand a lot of its culture and more of a broader strategy as you kind of take the rein.
Well, as I said, I think our strategy is correct. I like -- as Mark noted, we have as a company invested in a lot in our ships. So I think our ships and our guest experience, our sort of crew enthusiasm and crew dedication is good. Whether it takes 3 months, 4 months, 5 months to kind of really dig into where we've gotten a little bloated, where are we not efficient, where should we be looking to invest short term, I can't tell you exactly. But I mean it's not a 1-year process by any stretch of the imagination to kind of pull together what do we want to do immediately, what do we want to do. But for certain reasons, maybe we can't get after until '27 sort of racking and stacking those priorities. So I would say in the next couple of quarters, we should have that pretty buttoned up. But I don't know, I can't give you an exact date by any stretch. I've been here all of 2 weeks, so.
Yes. No, I realize that you've been here for a short period of time. Okay. So just as a follow-up, maybe, have you guys actually been in contact with Elliott? And then when you look at their presentation, what would you actually agree with as you kind of digested what they've...
The answer is yes, we have been in touch with Elliott, like we have with all of our shareholders. And we're actually headed out for like a 2-week roadshow basically with our investors, which we're literally hitting the road this week and next week. So that was already set up. That's one of the first things I wanted to do when I stepped in, is go talk to shareholders and get their perspective on what we've done well and, clearly, what we haven't done well. So that's all underway. And obviously, hearing from Elliott is just like any other shareholder, meaning we're very interested in what they have to say, and their thoughts on how we better drive long-term shareholder value. So that's what I would say.
And Conor, I think as John had said, I think there's a huge opportunity here as we focus on the revenue side. We've brought in a top-notch commercial revenue officer, who is an industry veteran who has significant experience in other areas of the industry of correcting this issue. And while that's going to take some time to harvest, we believe that, again, we're putting in the right structural components underneath that to really drive the top line as well.
Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Boss with JPMorgan.
So John, as you enter '26 slightly below your optimal booking range, could you speak to actions, maybe more in the immediate term, to support improvement in booking trends? And maybe specifically, your mindset on preserving price relative to load factors?
I think, again, having been here 2 weeks, I'm going to defer to Mark on that one. That's -- I'm not that deep in the weeds yet, to be honest.
Yes, Matt, great question. So yes, we are slightly behind the optimal booking curve, as we mentioned. And as a result, when you look at our guidance, I think that's reflective of both the first quarter as well as the remaining 3 quarters. It is always a delicate balance between price and load. But I think when you step back and you think about our longer-term strategy of a central pillar around the Caribbean, getting more premium families on board, monetizing our island, we will be continuing to focus on load factor. And in fact, I think our load factor this year is increasing by over 200 basis points.
So the balance is going to be finding that right price together with the right yield and load factor. And I think, again, as we align all of our commercial departments rowing in one direction, I think you're naturally going to see increases in both.
Great. And then maybe, Mark, to that point, could you elaborate on your cost growth outlook for this year? Meaning I know this has been a strong area of focus, in particular, for you personally over the last couple of years. But any areas of incremental low-hanging fruit that you see to further rationalize the cost structure? Or maybe on the flip side, investments needed to drive yields multiyear in your view? Just what's the best way to think about the balance that we should consider here?
Yes. I think as John mentioned, one of the areas that we have not invested enough is customer-facing systems technology and both marketing and revenue management technology. I think as you guys all recall, we did -- we started investing in a new revenue management system last year. It has just started up and running over the last 6 to 8 weeks. So that will take some time.
But I think, again, when you step back and you look at where our cost culture over the last 2 to 3 years has been, yes, we've made good progress. We've always said this is a $300 million-plus program. But a lot of that was focused on shipboard efficiencies. And now our eyes are squarely turning on the SG&A component, using that same muscle.
So while you dig down, there's never any low-hanging fruit, but I think you're going to see us taking much more methodical urgent actions around that side of the equation going forward to rightsize that piece of the business.
Our next question is from the line of Brandt Montour with Barclays.
So John, I want to get your sense, I mean, in your prepared remarks, you touched on technology and revenue management, customer-facing systems. Putting this together, do you think that there is a disadvantage at Norwegian of scale? And the reason I ask is, you said that this would require patience. How long in your experience does it take to see these types of turnarounds start to come to fruition?
Yes. I do not think we're at a disadvantage at scale. I think, again, if we show the same discipline on the shore side, the SG&A side, that we've done on the ship side, I think we can definitely see some improvements over the next '26 and '27, because cost, you can go after faster than the revenue side given again how far out people book. But I think our investments in revenue management, as Mark said, and some of our guest-facing technology, the island coming online, better monetization of that island, I think he revenue side, again, you're going to see more '27, '28, so they kind of go at slightly different paces just given how our industry sets up. But I think we're all -- Mark might not say it's low-hanging fruit, but I would say there's lots of opportunities. So I'll quibble with them a little bit there. And that's our job to go after that and go get it and, again, focus on it as much as we did on the ship side costs, so.
And then just a follow-up question. It's been all of 1.5 days since the geopolitical events unfolded in the Middle East, understanding that you don't have direct exposure there. But have you seen or do you expect to see near-term bookings pressure on other international itineraries, namely Europe, from Americans? And have you baked anything for that into your guidance?
Yes. So far, we're at a day or 2 into this, and I cannot say that we've seen anything noticeable around that. In terms of the guidance, our guidance is our best view of what we -- how we see the world. But I would -- certainly would not say we've baked anything in for the last 2 days of geopolitical issues.
As I think John noted in his prepared remarks, we will see -- obviously, we could see a little bit of pressure on fuel. The good news is that we're over 50% hedged for the year. And the one thing that we can control is fuel consumption. And I think when you look at this year where we're heading, our implied forecast implies that we're going to be down about 3% in fuel consumption per capacity day. And that comes off of 2025 where we were down 6% per capacity day.
So we're controlling what we can control. And hopefully -- we're hopeful that this unrest in the Middle East area settles soon.
Our next question is from the line of James Hardiman with Citi.
John, welcome aboard and good luck. So we've talked a lot today about some of the missteps along the way, the misalignment. And I think investors very much appreciate sort of the ownership on that front. I maybe wanted to dig into if there might be other factors also at play here, namely sort of the cyclicality piece, right, the strength of the consumer broadly, and then maybe the competitive piece, right? Your relative positioning within the industry. Obviously, you guys have some really impressive peers. And so just trying to dig in a little bit more, do you think the consumer is slowing? Do you think that you've lost any credibility with consumers as we think about fixing this going forward? Just trying to make sure we understand all the pieces.
Yes. So I would start out by saying -- I'm going to let Mark get a little more granular. But I think the other thing besides our missteps, I think the other thing investors really need to focus on is that, as we talked about, it really is a whole new team, which I was kind of -- I mean, a lot of people have been brought in, not just the head of Norwegian, but we have a new Head of Technology who came from 2 Fortune 500 companies and a new Head of Strategy and new revenue management. I would say just even having been on the Board, got back on the Board about a year ago, the quality of the team is instantly better. But the downside, which turns into an opportunity, is most of them, we've only been here 3 or 4 months.
So yes, we had missteps, but I think we have much higher caliber people in the key roles. So now we've just got a gel, as I said, and become one team. And I think they're equally excited about what we can accomplish. I would say yes, missteps, but also you don't -- in some of my previous turnarounds, you have to go in and kind of clear the field, spend 3 to 4 months going to find the right people to put in place. I think for the most part, we have that here.
I think in terms of what Mark is seeing with the consumer, I think he can give you a little more color on that, so.
Yes, James, look, I think overall, we're not seeing issues with the consumer. The consumers continues to be strong relative to crews and relative to our space. I think what we're seeing in terms of our specific results throughout the areas are really as a result of some of the missteps that we've taken.
Equally as important, our luxury brands continue to do very, very strong, and we're very happy with that. I think the big focus is really on our mass brand, Norwegian, aligning our commercial strategy and getting much, much sharper on our execution. So I would say from our standpoint, a good portion of this is probably self-inflicted wounds, that we can correct, course-correct over time.
Got it. That's really helpful color. And then maybe staying with you, Mark. You touched on a little bit of this. But as we think about the phasing of the year, I guess, particularly on the top line, I think most of us were bracing for a pretty rough first quarter. As we think about that sort of 0.6% yield growth in the back of the year, obviously, 2Q, you're still not going to have the benefit of Great Tides. So I'm assuming we should maybe still be modeling 2Q to be down in terms of yields before we get maybe some relief in the back half of the year? Also really just trying to get an understanding as to what the exit rate looks like and how that might influence 2027. And then anything to call out in terms of cost saving as well?
Yes, James, so look, I think when you look at the balance of the year, as we've said, Q2 is, for the most part, pretty well sold. As we did mention, we are seeing some pressure in Europe as a result of our own missteps. Alaska is seeing pressure from the broad industry. But I think when you start to look toward the fourth quarter and where we are, given that we will have our full island amenities as well as the water park, we'll have about 1/3 of our passengers touching the island in the fourth quarter, that's where -- I think that's where we're going to really start to see some of the turnaround starting to occur.
So don't want to get too far ahead of our skis here, but we've got some work to do over the next couple of quarters.
The next question is from the line of Vince Ciepiel with Cleveland Research.
Obviously, the old target for low to mid-single-digit yield growth in '26 versus the flat today, there's been some degradation in the last 90-plus days. And just trying to understand kind of the shape and pace of it. Is it -- when you look at your bookings, is it just things overall have been a little bit worse versus plan? Or when you look at it by month, has there been anything encouraging, discouraging when you kind of look at the more recent trend line in bookings? How it has informed kind of your perspective on the year?
And when you think about kind of this starting negative and moving towards, it sounded like, more positive yield growth in the fourth quarter, does that require an improvement in the bookings trajectory that you're seeing right now or just kind of assume more of the same?
Vince, look, I think when you think about bookings, it all starts with momentum. And as you start to see some changes in the momentum and you start to get slightly behind the booking curve, that has, as we all know, that has ramifications down the line over the next few quarters. The positive news is, again, we've gotten -- we've made some organizational changes, more of which you're going to see, I think, over the course of the next few weeks. We're aligning our organization to ensure that they're operating as one cohesive unit. And we've got some good industry talent that are now running the key areas.
So yes, it's going to take some time, but it is a -- it takes time to turn the ship, so to speak. But we are seeing some positive green shoots. It's just a time is needed. And we've got a lot of opportunities on the horizon.
And I think, Mark, as you noted on, I think, the last question, like the luxury brands are performing very well. So I think, again, our missteps and our lack of cohesion is really with the Norwegian brand, but because that's the largest brand by far, that's where you're seeing it hold the overall NCLH down. So I'm actually encouraged by the fact that we're executing well with 2 out of 3. I think, our -- not I think. I know our opportunity is really around the Norwegian brand as well as all the other things we talked about. We can do better on revenue management across all 3 brands. We can take SG&A, optimize SG&A across all 3. But specifically, I think our big opportunity on the revenue side is Norwegian.
Great. And maybe digging in a little bit more there. Like when you step back and think about flat yield for the year, Caribbean is 40% of the mix, and it's probably safe to assume that's negative. But based on some of your other commentary, it doesn't sound like Europe and Alaska are kind of like hitting it out of the park for you. So I don't know, I feel like going into this call, there was probably more concern that Caribbean would be even more negative than maybe what this overall guidance implies. So can you just talk about how you have managed price in the region, what you're seeing overall? And I think in years past, you've talked about how price matters a lot more, and it takes a lot longer to go earn it back. So just how you're navigating the pricing side in the Caribbean through this reshuffling?
Yes. So as I said earlier, it's always a delicate balance between price and load factor. And as we continue to build our presence in the Caribbean, we're going to continue to balance that. Obviously, we are seeing some pricing pressure as a result of our missteps, and we're working on correcting that.
When you think about Europe, I thought it was clear earlier, Europe as a whole is not -- we don't see issues with the market. We see issues with our execution in the market. And again, there's opportunities around the margin to fix that for 2026, but we certainly can fix that for '27. It's just a matter of we're not seeing the expected tailwinds that we would have thought year-over-year on that that we had expected earlier.
And Alaska, again, is a little bit of a soft spot. We are seeing some pressure there just from a broad industry standpoint. So again, these are all things that we believe are fixable and it's going to take time. But with the right alignment, the right leadership, I think we have a huge opportunity in front of us.
Our next questions come from the line of Lizzie Dove with Goldman Sachs.
John as you're stepping into this new role as CEO and taking a bit of a fresh look at things, I'm curious as you think about the portfolio long term, how are you defining like what is strategically core versus maybe noncore within the brand portfolio?
And I'll ask my second question at the same time, which is, obviously, Oceania and Regent have a different profile as Norwegian yield margins, et cetera. Any way that you can help us think about those relative margins or return profile of those brands versus the Norwegian brand?
Yes. So I think we absolutely, as I said, I like the strategy. I like the assets and the brands we have. I think the quickest and most predictable way to get back on the right track and deliver long-term shareholder value is, again, to execute, work on revenue management, work on making sure we have an aligned, cohesive plan, going after where we need to optimize the business. So I'm actually very pleased with the portfolio we have. I just think there's lots of work to do around all 3 brands. And I couldn't begin to tell you about the margins on the 3 brands because I really haven't dug in that much. I don't really think we go into that kind of level of detail anyway. But I look at them all as core, is my honest answer.
Our last question comes from the line of Trey Bowers with Wells Fargo.
I guess just quickly getting back to the Elliott question from before. They've obviously proposed one named new Board member and would like to have a few more. How open are you guys to some fresh set of eyes on the Board? I'll stop there.
Yes, I would say, like any company you would expect to say we're always looking at renewing our Board. I think we've added 3 or 4 Board members over the last couple of years. So I think that's a constant process [indiscernible] government committee goes over. So I would just say all kinds of people throw us suggestions, and we will definitely look at those as a Board and come from there.
And I guess just following up on Lizzie's question, if someone was to approach you guys and we're interested in one of the brands, would you explore that? Or do you feel like everything is so devalued right now that that will not be an option?
Yes. I think, again, I believe in these 3 brands. I think the best way to drive shareholder value is to go execute well, take out the excesses and let this team coalesce because, again, it's pretty brand new. And to me, that's the best path to go down. Obviously, you always reevaluate things like any company over a longer time period, but I'm pretty confident in what our plan is here.
So I think you said, operator, that was the last question. So I just -- again, I want to thank you all for joining us today and for your continued engagement and we look forward to updating you on our progress next quarter as we move down the road and put some plans together here. Thank you very much.
Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation, and have a wonderful day.
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Norwegian Cruise Line — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Norwegian Cruise Line — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Net Yield: Q4 +3,8% (Netto-Ertrag pro Kapazitätstag, Vergleich YoY); FY +2,4%.
- Kosten: Adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel $158 in Q4 (+0,2%), per Kapazitätstag.
- Adj. EBITDA: Q4 $564M; FY $2,73 Mrd (+11%).
- Adj. EPS: Q4 $0,28 (Adj. Nettoergebnis $130M); FY $2,11 (+19%).
- Margen: Operative bereinigte EBITDA-Marge FY 37,1% (+160 Basispunkte).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Neues Management: CEO John Chidsey betont «burning platform»; Priorität auf Execution, Verantwortlichkeit und organisatorische Straffung.
- Umsatzfokus: Nachholbedarf in Technologie und Revenue-Management; gezielte Investitionen angekündigt, Monetarisierung privater Ziele (Great Stirrup Cay) priorisiert.
- Finanzdisziplin: Fortgesetztes Kostendisziplinprogramm mit >$300M Ziel; Fokus auf SG&A-Optimierung und Reduzierung der Verschuldung.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Yields: Q1 erwartet -1,6%; ganzes Jahr ~0% (Balance des Jahres ~+0,6%).
- Kosten & Marge: Q1 Adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel -0,8%; FY Einheitskosten +0,9% (unter Inflation). Q1 operative Marge ~29,1%.
- Ergebnis & Verschuldung: Q1 Adj. EPS $0,16; FY Adj. EBITDA ~$2,95 Mrd (+~8%); FY Adj. EPS ~$2,38 (+13%); Net Leverage ~5,2x (vorübergehender Anstieg durch Lieferungen).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Karibik-Deployment: Kritik an Kapazitätsausweitung (Q1 +40% Kapazität) ohne abgestimmte kommerzielle Unterstützung; Management verspricht bessere Integration.
- Timing der Wende: Wann Ergebnis der Überprüfung? Antwort: Review läuft, konkrete Maßnahmen in den nächsten Quartalen; merkbare Umsatzwirkung eher ab 2027.
- Investorendialog: Nachfrage zu Elliott; Management bestätigt aktive Gespräche und Roadshow, offen für Board-Erneuerung, Fokus bleibt auf operativer Umsetzung.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Neuer CEO und klarer Turnaround-Fokus; kurzfristig gedämpfte Guidance wegen selbst verursachter Ausführungsfehler (Karibik, Europa, Alaska). Wiederkehrende Stärke: striktes Kostenprogramm, Luxusmarken und Insel-Investments. Wichtige Kennzahlen für Aktionäre: Buchungsverlauf, Net Yields, Umsetzung Revenue-Management und SG&A-Einsparungen; substanzielle Ergebnisverbesserung erwartet erst mittelfristig (ab 2027 sichtbar).
Norwegian Cruise Line — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. Welcome to Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Sherry, and I will be your operator.
[Operator Instructions]
This conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Sarah Inmon. Ms. Inmon, please proceed.
Thank you, Sherri, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us for our third quarter 2025 earnings call. I'm joined today by Harry Sommer, President and CEO of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings; and Mark Kempa, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, this conference call is being simultaneously webcast on the company's Investor Relations website. We will be referring to a slide presentation during the call, which can also be found on our website. Both the conference call and presentation will be available for replay for 30 days following today's call.
Before we begin, I would like to cover a few items. Our press release with third quarter 2025 results was issued this morning and is also available on our IR website. This call includes forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our call results to differ materially from such statements. These statements should be considered in conjunction with the cautionary statement contained in our earnings release. Our comments may also reference non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure and other associated disclosures are contained in our earnings release and presentation. Unless otherwise noted, all references to 2025 net yields and adjusted net cruise cost excluding fuel per capacity day are on a constant currency basis and comparisons are to the same period in 2024. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to our CEO, Harry Sommer. Harry?
Well, thank you, Sarah, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to our third quarter 2025 earnings call. I'll begin my remarks today with a discussion of the third quarter results and recent booking pace, and we'll then get into some recent highlights on our 3 brands and strategy. I'll then provide some brief comments on how 2026 is shaping up before handing the call over to Mark, who will provide a deeper dive into our financial performance and outlook. So side right in, I am pleased to report another record quarter with the results that met or exceeded guidance across all metrics. As a result, we are reiterating our full year adjusted EBITDA guidance and raising our guidance for adjusted EPS.
Our performance this quarter was driven by solid customer demand which drove load factors higher, reflecting the continued strength of our brands and the execution of our charting the course strategy. As previously stated, we remain committed to balancing return on investment with return on experience delivering exceptional vacations, driving sustainable financial performance and strengthening our balance sheet. Now delving a bit more into the details of our third quarter results shown on Slide 4, we achieved another quarter of strong performance and solid execution across the business. We met or exceeded guidance we provided in July and delivered the highest quarterly revenue in our company's history. Load factor finished ahead of expectations at 106.4% driven by stronger-than-anticipated demand for families, particularly at the NCL brand, resulting in net yield growth of 1.5% and costs were essentially flat year-over-year, which resulted in adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1 billion, a milestone achieved for the first time in company history.
As a result, our trailing 12-month adjusted operational EBITDA margin reached 36.7%, an improvement of 220 basis points from last year and another meaningful step towards achieving our charting the course margin target. Finally, adjusted EPS came in at $1.20, exceeded guidance by $0.06. In -- turning now to recent demand. Bookings in the third quarter marked the strongest third quarter bookings in company history with bookings up over 20% from last year. With this trend continuing into October, all collectively driven by strong demand, not only for short Caribbean sailings this winter, but also for our luxury brands. These results not only underscore the strength of today's demand but also provides a solid foundation for growth in the quarters ahead. Of course, there are other highlights in the subvenful quarter that I would like to share. First, on the financial side, which Mark will cover in more detail, we completed a multifaceted capital market transaction that, among other benefits, reduced our share outstanding on a fully diluted basis by more than $38 million or over 7%, materially improving our adjusted EPS.
On the guest experience side, we introduced several enhancements, including our new Tri-branded loyalty and recognition program, which I'll discuss later, and the launch of an enhanced website for the NCL brand. The new site is already delivering results with faster performance, better guest experience and higher conversion rates, resulting in increased bookings. We have also made it easier for guests to personalize their vacation with more targeted pre-cruise offerings. For example, we are now promoting high-value onboard products such as Vibe Beach Club passes, drinks and dining packages, streaming WiFi, spa treatments and shore excursions through personalized e-mails and push notifications. Pre-cruise sales at our all-time high levels, which drives higher onboard revenue and higher guest satisfaction and repeat rates. On the sustainability front, we recently announced a landmark agreement with Spain's Repsol for supplying renewable marine fuels at the Port of Barcelona.
This 8-year agreement starts this upcoming European season and is a first-of-a-kind partnership in the industry, underscoring our sale and sustained commitment. This agreement is a great example of cross-industry collaboration that could unlock meaningful progress and secure long-term access to renewable marine fuel in Europe. Now I'd like to take a few minutes to discuss the high-level strategies we're executing across our 3 brands, which are summarized on Slide 5. These strategies are designed to ensure we continue delivering exceptional experiences for our guests while advancing our charting the course targets and creating long-term value for our shareholders. At Norwegian Cruise Line, our focus is enhancing the family appeal and experience. At Oceania Cruises, we're working to firmly position the brand within the luxury sector. And at Regent Seven Seas Cruises, we're focused on maintaining its well-earned reputation as the pinnacle of ultra-luxury cruising.
Moving to Slide 6. I'll dive into the strategic evolution underway at Norwegian Cruise Line. This is a transformation that has been underway for several months and is now accelerating with sharpened focus under the brand's new leadership, including a new Chief Commercial Officer and a new Chief Marketing Officer with a robust search for a world-class leader to head the NCL brand well underway. As part of this evolution, the brand is executing a focused 3-part commercial strategy to drive yields and profitability higher over the next year and into the future. First, we're focusing more on families as a core demographic. We're building brand familiarity through our short Caribbean sailings, which give more guests, particularly families, a chance to experience our amazing product. That exposure helps build loyalty and creates a pipeline of repeat guests for the future.
Over time, this will increasingly support one of our key priorities, boosting load factors. We are working diligently to attract more families to the brand to experience everything Norwegian has to offer, both on board and at our destinations, particularly our upgraded private island Great Stirrup Cay and through enhanced onboard offering geared towards families. Second, we're strengthening our brand positioning and marketing. To reach the broader family market, NCL is developing a refreshed brand campaign designed to elevate awareness and strengthen emotional connection, which we should launch in early 2026. Alongside that, we're optimizing our marketing mix and spend to ensure we're getting the best possible return on every marketing dollar, creating efficiencies throughout 2026.
Lastly, we're elevating the guest experience. We are pleased to reiterate that our previously announced enhancements at Great Stirrup Cay are all on track to open around the holidays, including the new multishipier, welcome center, trans system, an expansive 28,000 square foot gated pool, the size of an entire cruise ship with a swim of bar, kids flash zones, 5 shore club, new dining and beverage outlet and dozens of new cabanas. The upcoming summer '26 launch of the Great Tides Water Park will mark another milestone moment for the brand spanning nearly 6 acres, the water park will feature 19 thrilling water slides, a dynamic River, a huge kids splash zone, a 10 and 15 footwall cliff jump and an innovative jet cards attraction. It will be the perfect family-friendly addition to our already exceptional island amenities, which include Silver Cove and exclusive retreat offering magnificent villas at a beach Cloud. And that's just the additions at Great Stirrup Cay. We're also looking ahead to enhancements across other destinations in our portfolio.
In addition, we are expanding our kids and family programming with improved activities in entertainment, ensuring engaging experiences for guests of all ages. At the core of this approach is our ambition to be the brand of choice in the contemporary space for both seasoned travelers and premium families while maximizing profitability. Future travel intent, current bookings, guest satisfaction scores and future onboard cruise sales are all at or near record levels, clear signs that our strategy is working. We continue to actively balance between load factor and price with the goal of optimizing net yield margins and most importantly, profitability. Now turning to Slide 7. This strategy is already leading to tangible results. Our increased Caribbean presence, additional short sailings, which capitalize on demand for closer-to-home family vacations and continued investment in our private island destinations are already driving higher load factors.
The fourth quarter marked the first period where we're truly seeing the shift in strategy come to fruition. In Q4 of this year, we will have the highest mix of short selling since 2019, reflecting our deliberate move to rebalance Norwegian's deployment towards closer to home itineraries. This approach expands our reach, appealing to a broader mix of guests, particularly premium families and [indiscernible] travelers, while allowing us to better leverage our private island investments. In Q4, short selling capacity is increasing over 80% versus prior year, and our Caribbean deployment is moving to over 50% of our total capacity. As a result, we now expect load factors to improve over 100 basis points year-over-year to nearly 102%. Now I know many of you will probably ask why our fourth quarter yield guidance has changed from our prior implied guide to growth of 3.5% to 4%. So let me get ahead of that question.
As mentioned earlier, we are very focused on load factor and increasing brand visibility through our Caribbean product. It has been quite some time since we've had this level of short sailings in our deployment and demand has exceeded our expectations. In the fourth quarter, our Caribbean short sailings are performing quite well, particularly among our targeted family demographic, driving load factors higher than we had forecasted. On our Premian sailings, we are seeing more families, which means for children at each cabin. We expect core pricing for the first and seconds to be well up. The addition of child as third and force in the cabin, however, will naturally dilute blended pricing. The end result remains strong yield growth and strong margin expansion. This is an intentional planned trade-off to drive margins and profitability higher in both the short and long term. These early results from our increased short sailings creating deployment are encouraging and reinforce our confidence in this strategy. Now looking ahead, we expect this dynamic to accelerate in the first quarter of 2026, with load factor projected to be 200 to 300 basis points higher year-over-year, driven by a meaningful 40% increase in short sailings.
Additionally, this will coincide with the soft opening of Great Stirrup Cay new amenities around the holidays, while the more meaningful enhancements will be coming when great tied to water park opens later in summer 2026. While we returned next winter, we'll have the full benefit of the new amenities at Great Stirrup Cay and the word of mouth from thousands and thousands of satisfied guests, which will further strengthen performance. Moving on to Slide 8. We're confident this positive momentum will continue throughout 2026 and with load factors building on 2025 levels and returning to, if not exceeding 2024 levels, reaching at least 105%. This is sustained progress driven by this new deployment strategy. Now talking a bit about the Norwegian brand. And now I want to turn to our luxury portfolio, Oceania Cruises and Regent Seven Cruises on Slide 9. The opportunity we're seeing in luxury cruising has never been stronger. Global luxury spending continues to expand with experiences ranking as the fastest-growing segment in 2024. Both Oceania and Regent are perfectly positioned to capture this demand.
Oceania delivers luxury by choice, offering guests elevated personalized experiences with exceptional culinary offerings, while Regent is the pinnacle of the ultra-luxury all-inclusive luxury segment. To fully capitalize on this opportunity, we brought back Jason Montague earlier this year to lead both brands and drive the next phase of growth. Turning to Slide 10. You can see the tangible progress already underway. The first thing Jason did was optimize the organization, ensuring we had the right leadership structure and the right people in the right roles to support long-term growth. He's been deeply engaged in our fleet management program, including our pipeline of 6 luxury ships, overseeing the design and launch of Oceania Allura and Regent Seven Seas Prestige, both of which will set new standards for design, experience and efficiency. He has also been very focused on elevating our existing fleet and Seven Seas Mariner is the latest example of that commitment. The ship entered drydock just yesterday where we're undertaking the full transformation, refreshing suites, reimagining public spaces and introducing an enhanced pool grill featuring the new wood-fired pizzeria concept for relaxed or Al Fresco dining. Seven Seas Borger will be undergoing the similar revitalization when she enters dry dock next year coupled with our 3 new vessels and the upcoming prestige delivery in 2026, we truly will have the world's most luxurious fleet.
Finally, Jason has been laser-focused on enhancing brand positioning and marketing across both brands ensuring that Oceania is fully recognized in the luxury space, while Regent maintains its place as the pinnacle of ultra-luxury cruising. We know we had 2 extraordinary luxury products. Now it's about telling these brand stories more powerfully and consistently in the market. I want to take a moment to recognize Jason and the entire luxury team. They're doing an outstanding job executing on the strategy, elevating both the Regent and Oceania and positioning our luxury portfolio as a key growth driver for 2026 and beyond. Finally, moving to our loyalty program on Slide 11. I'm thrilled to share how we're taking guest recognition to the next level. We recently launched our new loyalty status honoring program, allowing members of Latitude Rewards, Oceania Club and the Seven Seas Society to have their tier status honored across all 3 of our award-winning brands. Our guests will now be able to enjoy the loyalty PERCs they've earned no matter which of our brands they use to sell. It's a major step forward that makes it easier than ever to explore the world within our NCLH family.
This change will also encourage our top guests to try our other brands. It's really about deepening our connection with our most loyal guests, rewarding their commitment and giving them even more ways to vacation better and experience more. And while it's early, the preliminary results of this program have well exceeded our expectations, proving again the power of our brands. And with that, I'd be happy to turn the call over to Mark.
Thank you, Harry, and good morning, everyone. Let me start with our third quarter results highlighted on Slide 12. We delivered another strong quarter, exceeding or meeting guidance across all metrics. Occupancy came in at 106.4%, nearly 100 basis points above guidance, driven by strong family demand across all itineraries. Net yields grew 1.5%, in line with guidance, fueled by strong pricing growth of over 3%. On the cost side, adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel was down 0.1 point coming in slightly better than expected as our cost control efforts continue to bear fruit. As a result of better-than-expected fuel consumption, adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $1.019 billion, above our guidance of $1.015 billion. Adjusted net income came in at $596 million. Adjusted EPS came in $0.06 ahead of guidance at $1.20. Overall, this was a solid quarter, consistent with our expectations.
Moving on to fourth quarter and full year guidance on Slide 13. We expect occupancy to be approximately 101.9% in the quarter, roughly 100 basis points above the prior year and our previous implied guidance. As Harry mentioned, we are very focused on load factor and brand visibility at the Norwegian brand, and we are encouraged by the progress we have made this quarter as family demand surpassed our initial expectations driving occupancy higher. I want to reiterate that we continue to balance load factor and price recognizing the natural give and take between the two. As we attract more families, we are seeing more third and fourth guests in a cabin. And naturally, those guests come in at a lower price point which has a modest impact on overall pricing. As a result of this dynamic in the fourth quarter, we expect net yield to grow approximately 3.5% to 4% reflecting our deliberate decision to welcome more families while taking a slight trade-off on price, which remains healthy at nearly 3% growth.
As a result, full year net yield growth expectations have been adjusted slightly to 2.4% to 2.5% for the year. Turning to cost in the fourth quarter. Adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel is expected to be essentially flat, up only 50 basis points year-over-year. This is slightly higher than our prior implied guidance for the quarter, primarily due to the timing of certain expenses. As a result, for the full year, we now expect cost to increase 75 basis points, well below inflation. The second year in a row, we have been able to achieve this strong cost control, all while achieving record guest satisfaction scores and repeat rates. We expect fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA to be approximately $555 million and adjusted EPS to be $0.27. As a result, we are reiterating our full year adjusted EBITDA guidance at $2.72 billion and increasing our full year adjusted EPS guidance to $2.10, which represents almost a 19% increase year-over-year.
Moving on to Slide 14. A I want to take a moment to highlight the strong progress we've made on our cost savings program. Back at our Investor Day in May 2024, we set a bold goal to achieve more than $300 million in savings and we remain fully on track to deliver on that commitment. In 2024, we realized over $100 million in savings, and we're on pace for another $100 million plus in 2025 which has allowed us to limit net cruise cost growth to only about 3/4 of 1%. We are carrying this culture of cost discipline into 2026. we have full line of sight to achieving at least another $100 million in savings next year, keeping our unit cost growth well below the rate of inflation while continuing to deliver an exceptional guest experience. These cost savings have been a major driver of our continued margin expansion, as you can see on Slide 15. Our adjusted operational EBITDA margin has increased by roughly 600 basis points since year-end 2023, and we remain on track to reach approximately 37% by the end of this year.
Looking ahead to 2026, we expect this positive momentum to continue supported by our proven algorithm of low to mid-single-digit yield growth and sub-inflationary cost growth. The strategic initiatives Harry outlined earlier are central to this plan, from bringing more families to the Norwegian brand and increasing load factor, to refreshing our brand and marketing and the launching of new amenities at Great Stirrup Cay this year around the holidays and the new water park next year. At the same time, our luxury brands continue to benefit from strong demand trends and their truly best-in-class offerings. Oceania is building momentum as we position it squarely in the luxury space, and Regent remains the clear leader in ultra-luxury cruising, delivering an unmatched product and service experience. I'm confident that all of these efforts driving both the top and bottom line will enable us to further expand margins and achieve our approximately 39% target next year.
Turning to Slide 16. You can see our debt maturity profile, which has been extended and strengthened following our recent capital markets activity. In September, we successfully completed a series of strategic transactions that significantly enhanced our financial flexibility. We refinanced the majority of our 2027 exchangeable notes extending our maturity profile, and reduced our shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis by approximately 38 million shares, all while remaining essentially net leverage neutral. In addition, we refinanced approximately $2 billion of debt, including the replacement of about $1.8 billion of secured debt to unsecured. As a result, we have now fully eliminated all secured notes from our capital structure. These actions underscore our continued focus on optimizing our balance sheet, improving collateral utilization and positioning the company for sustainable long-term growth.
Turning to net leverage on Slide 17. I want to emphasize that reducing leverage remains our top financial priority. In the third quarter, net leverage increased slightly from the second quarter to 5.4x from 5.3x. This modest uptick reflects the delivery of Oceania Allura where we took on the associated debt but have not yet annualized the EBITDA contribution from the ship. We now expect to end the year at approximately 5.3x. And excluding the impact of noncash foreign exchange revaluation on our euro-denominated debt related to Norwegian Aqua and Oceania Allura, our leverage would end the year at approximately 5.2x. In a year when we've taken delivery of 2 new vessels, keeping leverage flat as a notable accomplishment and positions us well to achieve our 2026 target of reaching the mid-4x range.
Wrapping up our solid performance so far this year and the ongoing benefits from our cost initiatives reflect meaningful progress on our top financial priorities, deleveraging, expanding margins and fortifying the balance sheet. I'll hand the call back over to Harry to close out the call.
Well, thank you, Mark. Now looking at Slide 18, I'd like to once again highlight the significant progress we're making towards our key charting the course financial targets. By year-end 2025, we expect adjusted operational EBITDA margin to expand by more than 600 basis points versus 2023, adjusted EPS to grow nearly threefold net leverage to decline by 2 full turns and adjusted ROIC to continue its upward trajectory. I'm incredibly proud of what we've accomplished so far in 2025.
Looking ahead, 2026 is shaping up to be another outstanding year with capacity set to grow approximately 7% and as the Regional Luna and Seven Seas precede join the fleet, we expect to see continued strength across all 3 brands. At Norwegian, we anticipate even more families selling with us further lifting load factor and driving margin expansion. Our strong capacity growth, combined with low to mid-single-digit yield gains and sub-inflationary cost growth is expected to drive meaningful margin expansion and continued deleveraging in 2026. I'm confident in our trajectory and excited about with the last months of 2025 and the year ahead will bring as we continue charting our course to our sustainable, long-term value creation. With that, I'll hand the call back to Sherry to begin the question-and-answer session.
[Operator Instructions]
Our first question comes from Brandt Montour with Barclays.
2. Question Answer
So heard loud and clear '26 high-level targets are reiterated here. But guys, with a little bit of pressure from mix in the fourth quarter, based on the shift to families as well as it looks like incremental confidence in the occupancy lift for next year. Can you give us some sort of additional insights into how that mix shift would affect yields for next year, all else equal?
Good morning, Brandt, this is Mark. So first and foremost, our job is to maximize yield margins and, of course, earnings growth. And I think that we've been telegraphing consistent with our strategy, we aim to grow yields next year in the low to mid-single digits. But going back to in line with our strategy, we've been clear that we continue to expand the Norwegian brand into the family segment. As we do that, that obviously brings higher load factors, which we have clearly seen both in the third and more importantly, into the fourth quarter, we will see that a significant benefit from that in the first quarter of about a 200 to 300 basis point improvement year-over-year.
With that, families and children often bring slightly lower pricing in the overall mix. But importantly, our core customer, that first and second customer, we are seeing meaningful growth in pricing. So we expect to continue to grow yields in that low to mid-single-digit algorithm. And again, this is in line with our strategy, and we're executing as planned.
Really helpful color. A second question I have would be on the bookings comment -- are, you said bookings were up 20%. And maybe clarify if that was in the quarter or the month, I think it was the quarter. But either way, and I don't think that was adjusted for capacity growth, but either way, that's still a really strong figure. Could you kind of square that with the commentary in the release that you're still within the optimal range? I would think that this would sort of push you up toward -- well, at least would push you up within that range, but also the mix is going more Caribbean, you -- that's more shorter in. So again, all else equal, I would think that you're moving away from longer lead time bookings, and it would be something that would be a counter for us there. So maybe square those -- sorry, that's a lot, but could you square those things and what you're kind of seeing with that with that bookings -- what's driving that booking acceleration?
Sure, Brent. So just to -- there's a lot there. I'll try to cover as much of it as I can, or at least as I can remember. So first off, bookings were up 20%. That was for the entire quarter, not for a specific month. And then I also mentioned that, that increase went into October as well. So both for the quarter, the third quarter, and for the month of October, and I'll just provide further color that it applied to all 3 brands, NCL, Oceania and Regent all saw that growth. So the growth was broad-based. And of course, while Loan and region don't play much in the Caribbean, the growth on the Oceania and Regent has nothing to do with the [indiscernible] but more about the progress that the brand is making from a consumer demand perspective.
So on NCL, yes, there are some unique tailwinds, if you will, on bookings. You mentioned capacity. There's also a shift to shorter cruises, which would require us to have more bookings. But fundamentally, we are just seeing a stronger consumer in this Q3 than we saw in last Q3.
Our next question is from Lizzie Dove with Goldman Sachs.
I appreciate what you've said about the kind of dilution from families totally get that. But at the same time, there has been a lot of focus on the Caribbean and whether there is kind of more of a promotional environment there with so much kind of competition, everybody kind of moving the ships there. So curious what you're seeing and whether that has kind of impacted you at all or you expect it to going forward?
So Lizzie thanks for the question. We're not really seeing anything unusual in the promotional landscape, at least within the competitive set that we play in. What we're seeing this year is normal from both a price and promotional perspective, which is 1 of the reasons that it will allow us to have this 3.5% to 4% yield increase in Q4 that we've discussed. So no, nothing unusual.
Okay. Got it. And then, I guess, thinking about longer term, your Caribbean capacity is growing is the kind of strategy to kind of absorb that capacity in Caribbean? I know you've got the GSE development, but I'm curious if you feel like there's a need to kind of push marketing or how we should think about costs from those kind of private island investments? Just anything like we should consider as we move to 2026.
So listen, I think it starts with consumer demand, right? And our goal is to create both a brand construct and specific marketing vehicles that will appeal to the demographics that we think would find the [indiscernible] of interest. We've talked about the shift in both our branding and our marketing communications in my prepared remarks, so I won't repeat them again here. Between the new CMO and the new Chief Commercial Officer that we onboard over the last few months, we're definitely making progress along those fronts. I think things like the build-out of GSE is absolutely going to help.
I'll mention that about 1/3 of our guests next year on the NCL brand will visit GSE. It will be our most -- what sort I'm looking for, the destination we go to the most of any destination of the world. So clearly, our investments there are important. I think I mentioned that everything that we're hoping to launch over the holiday period, which is just about a month away is on track. I just personally visited the island about a week ago, and it really looks spectacular. I remind the analyst community that the footprint that we have on GSE is far greater and some of the competitive set, and we plan to utilize it. I think the next phase with the water park coming in the summer of next year, should be a second milestone and an additional game changer in terms of demand.
But I think ultimately, between the brand, the marketing vehicles and then the thousands, to tens of thousands of guests that will be visiting at least the initial set of amenities that come online in the holiday period we expect to get pretty good word of mouth. I want to address the second question you asked about marketing. So we have increased marketing spend this year. I want to get the analyst comfort that this flat cost year-over-year was not at the expense of cutting marketing. If anything, we've increased marketing by well over the 75 basis points that our overall cost structure increase, and we were able to save money elsewhere to fund that, and we plan to continue spending on marketing. Marketing is an important part of driving consumer demand. We think we're spending about the right amount now relative to our revenue generation and our goals for next year, and we will continue to spend at these levels into next year, while having strong cost control throughout the P&L, which will enable us to continue the tremendous margin expansion, the 600 basis points we've seen over last year, an additional 200 basis points that we're planning to do margin expenses next year will all be possible even with this increased marketing spend.
Our next question is from Steve Wieczynski with Stifel.
Okay, Mark, you'll probably hit this question. But if we think about next year, you basically just said you expect to grow yields kind of in that low to mid-single-digit range. And if I look at Slide 14 and I get my handy dandy ruler out to kind of gauge where costs are projected based on that bar chart. They look like they're going to be higher, but not anything crazy. So if we put all that together, it seems like there would be maybe a good bit of upside to your charting the course EPS targets, I'd say, especially now also including your recent capital market transaction. So I'm not sure what you can say or not say about that, but any comments there would be super helpful.
So first, I love all questions from you. Second, yes, when you get your ruler out on that chart, I want to reiterate through the broader constituency that our target, as we've been maintaining is to deliver sub-inflationary or better unit cost growth. And we've been very successful at doing that now for 2 years in a row. And we certainly maintain and have a clear line of sight on that for 2026. Look, I think when it comes to the charting the course targets as you've heard today, we are reiterating our confidence in hitting those targets.
We are executing on our strategy. Of course, it's early in the year. We do have a lot more Caribbean sailings. So bookings are naturally a little bit closer in. But everything we're seeing today indicates that we're well on our way. So we have confidence on our path. We have confidence in executing our strategy, and that's what we're maintaining. And we'll continue to deliver on that path.
Okay. Got you. And then second question, if we think about the fourth quarter yield guide, Harry and Mark, you kind of -- you obviously called out the yield headwind from adding the third and the fourth and the higher load factors. But did you guys embed any impact from things like -- obviously, we've seen an uptick in weather in the fourth quarter or things like the government shutdown? I'm just trying to figure out maybe what that like-for-like yield would look like, excluding the load factor lift.
It's hard to sort of break things down into their components. So I'll start out by saying that we believe a 3.5% to 4% yield growth on a year-over-year basis is strong, and we're very happy with it. If you're asking whether they were modest impacts by the government shutdown, hard not to believe that, that's a modest headwind to the business. I wouldn't necessarily say the weather was a big deal. It was actually a relatively a modest hurricane season as these go, we only had an impact to a handful of Bermuda cruises and 1 or 2 now to Jamaica, none of which had to be canceled, just rerouted.
But maybe on the government shut down a little bit. But the macro environment continues to be strong, [indiscernible] continues to grow and employment rates continue to be low. The things that we measure, cruise intent future crew sales onboard the sale are all at or near record levels. So we're pleased. And of course, the proofs in the pudding, I've gone out not just for Q3, but for the actual month of October, the month we just ended, that bookings were up over 20% year-over-year across all 3 brands. We think that's a pretty good setup, but we'll continue to move forward.
Our next question is from Robin Farley with UBS.
I think we lost Robin. Sorry.
Our next question will now be from Matthew Boss with JPMorgan.
So Harry, maybe a 2-part question. If you could elaborate on the progression of booking trends that you saw through the third quarter and into October. And then if you parse through the mix impact that you cited in the Caribbean, could you speak to underlying pricing trends across itineraries that you're seeing across both family and luxury?
Well, I don't think there's been a material change. If you're asking whether we saw an acceleration July, August, September, October, they were all 4 of them were good months. I wouldn't necessarily say that one of them stood up or that things have decelerated in any way, maybe a modest acceleration coming into October, but nothing that material. All 4 months were very good months for us. And on the pricing side, I'd make a similar comment. There's nothing that stands out, if you will. I think across the board, we've seen strength I just want to echo Mark's comments on pricing, you just have to think about NFL a little bit different.
We're seeing good pricing increases on the first and second in the cabin as we increase third and fourth, that naturally is a modest headwind to overall average price but still a benefit to yield margin and profitability. So I just want to emphasize that point. But across the board, nothing that stands out one way or another, we're seeing good strength everywhere.
And then maybe, Mark, as a follow-up, could you help break down the drivers of load factors in 2026 that you're expecting to exceed 2024, what you're embedding for the Caribbean relative to opportunity you see year-over-year in Europe?
Look, thanks, Matt. I think it's a couple of things. Obviously, when we look at '26, we've said we've clearly stated today that we expect to be at least 105% or better. That's clearly being driven by the increased family dynamic, which we have been very clear that we continue to go after. So I think you'll see some significant tailwinds in the first quarter, where we called out at least a 200 to 300 basis point improvement. And then I think as we transition into the latter part of the year, when GFC launch comes online fully, you're going to start to see that accelerate in the latter part of Q3 and Q4 of next year. That, combined with, I think, some further opportunity in Q3, all should contribute to a healthy increase in load factor year-over-year.
We've said we've committed, we want to get back to historical load factors and better. We're doing that not only organically but by expanding our segment into the premium families, and we're starting to see evidence of that.
And I just want to provide just a little bit more color because while the Caribbean is certainly the headline of the story for Q4 and Q1, when you go into the rest of the year, there are a few other modest tailwinds that will be helping us. On the NCL brand, we shifted from longer European itineraries to shorter European itineraries, primarily 7 nights in the Med, which should allow for a slightly larger family market as well, which is consistent, of course, with the brand strategy. And we're also focused on, if you will, minimizing the number of single cabins that we take across all 3 brands, not just [indiscernible] , but Oceania and Regent. I think '26 will certainly be a year where the entire cycle of the booking curve was booked under what we consider to be good booking conditions. And I think we're just going to -- we're looking for modest benefits in every single aspect of the business. So again, while the Caribbean certainly the headline for Q4 and Q1, it is not the only initiative we're working on to improve occupancy load factor for next year.
Our next question is from Conor Cunningham with Melius Research.
Maybe to just follow up on that a little bit more. So I understand that the customer dynamic [indiscernible] into the first half of 2026. But it seems like the mix headwind becomes a tailwind when great SRK comes online, like the water park comes online. So one, is that even right? And then two, can you just talk about the ramp around [indiscernible] as the new investments start to come online in general?
Yes. Look, Conor, I think you're absolutely right. When we look at the second half as we bring on GFC fully, we absolutely believe that's going to be a tailwind. And as a reminder, we -- in our last call -- prepared remarks on our last call, I think we had said that GST was going to be at least around a 25-point tailwind to yield next year, in part at a full point on '26. Recall that although we're passing about 1/3 of our overall system-wide customers through the island next year, by the time the water park gets on, about 2/3 of that base will have already gone through the island.
So we're not getting the full benefit in 2026, but we will certainly start to see that ramp up in the latter half. I think when you look -- when you think about Great Stirrup Cay and the announcements about the new amenities in the park, we have certainly seen and seen a heightened level of interest from the consumer. We've seen more website bookings, more intent to travel. I think that in part is why we've seen the 20% bookings increase as well. So it's creating excitement. That said, we view what's happening in the latter part of December as the first soft opening. Certainly, we're opening great amenities with one of the largest pools. In fact, I think it's about as large as an entire cruise ship if I recall correctly. So we are getting buzz. We're getting momentum. And I think as Harry said, as we start to see more word of mouth, on that to the latter part of this year into early next year, I think we're going to continue to see strength and momentum build out of that.
Okay. And then maybe I can ask a question on the cost side of the mix dynamics. So it seems like that as occupancy moves up, you get economies of scale, I mean, that naturally makes sense to me. But like are you seeing the cost offset that you would expect? Because at the end of the day, I think you really got -- you're out your whole thought process is around the spread between unit costs and in net yield. So just are you seeing the cost offset as yields are kind of partially -- there's a modest headwind from the ship, the mix dynamic?
Yes, Conor. I think it's across the board. We continue to see margin expansion. We've expanded margin this year by more than 150 basis points or 200 points of 600 basis points in 2023. That's in part to almost everything we're doing. It's not only the mix, the better and more efficient, closer to home itineraries. But more importantly, it's also the muscle and the scale that we continue to get that we've been demonstrating over the last 2 years. So I think when you put all that together, we continue to flex that muscle. We continue to improve.
And of course, in part to some of that is the mix, but that's starting to come into play now. When you look at the last 18 to 24 months, that has not been a mix issue. That just means we've simply been better at delivering a better unit cost overall system-wide. So we certainly are seeing the fruits of that. We're bearing fruit, and we expect to continue to see that into 2026 and beyond.
And I just want to emphasize not cost at the extensive product, our guest satisfaction scores and our future onboard bookings continue at record levels that it is super critical to get that message across.
[Operator Instructions]
Our question is from Ben Chaiken with Mizuho Securities.
Maybe the first question is maybe a partner. Maybe remind us to refresh us. You mentioned 26 costs or sub-inflation. What are -- I guess, part one, what are some of the specific opportunities you see next year. I remember at one point during the Investor Day, you went through a couple of kind of like critical examples. I'm not sure if there's anything you can share next year. Part 2, is higher Caribbean exposure on net benefit to cost? Or how should we think about it?
And then part 3, how should we think about the impact of occupancy as there should be around, I think it's like 200, 250 basis points of growth. I guess, mechanically, is there any rule of thumb you have on the translation between occupancy to net cruise cost?
All right. And I'm going to see if I can get all 3 of these. I think the first was on the 2026 detail larger and the larger opportunity. Look, Ben, we've been clear. In this business, there is no silver bullet to just snap your fingers and find a large cost. It is a deliberate and methodical way of looking at the business from the entire to the product delivery. So we are focused on a lot of little things and over time, that flywheel starts to turn, and we find more efficiencies across the board. So it's -- we're focused on everything. But again, we've been doing this in a very disciplined and methodical manner.
I think when you said -- when you talked about Caribbean capacity, is that a tailwind to cost? Absolutely. Sam, closer to home, sailing closer to home, obviously, gives you some benefits in terms of the ability to deliver the product at a better scale and at a better unit cost. But again, that's all just part of the broader mix. And I think on the last part in terms of the occupancy, when we think about increased occupancy from thirds and fourth, that's typically children or some or the teenage set, there's very little marginal cost related to that. Obviously, that brings in a higher revenue. But I think even when you look at our third quarter, where increased -- were occupant increased by 1 point, fourth quarter, our occupancy is increasing by a point, we're not seeing any significant shifts in the cost base for that.
So I think that's just another benefit in overall tailwind as we bring more of that third and fourth guest to our mix, we'll continue to improve on our overall unit cost.
Okay. Got it. That's very helpful. And then just for 26, a quick one. Obviously, capacity growth is higher in '26 than '25. Is there anything abnormal on the D&A side specific to the island investments we should consider?
No. I think when you look at D&A, and I think when you look at it historically, whether you're doing it on a gross or a net percentage of revenue, I think it's going to be pretty consistent. We've been very clear that our investments in Great Stirrup Cay generally have been modest. Our largest investment, obviously, is the peer where that was around $150 million plus, and I think that gets depreciated probably over at least 30 to 40 years, I don't have the exact number on.
So I don't think you would expect to see any sort of uptick in D&A as a result of the Island investments. I will remind you, we do take on -- we do have 7% capacity growth next year. So we will be taking on 2 new ships, Luna in March, April and then prestige in the latter part of December of '26.
Our next question is from Vince Ciepiel with Cleveland Research.
I wanted to dig into the yield set up a little bit more for next year. And there's been a lot of helpful commentary so far. But I guess I wanted to take it in parts. First, I imagine you have close to half of next year booked a good amount of the first half. Like the core trend line that you're seeing in like-for-like, any way to describe it? And then the second part, there's obviously some moving pieces. You already laid out GSE should be accretive, which is great and helpful. But the 2 other ones I just wanted to clarify. The first new hardware, like accretive, dilutive or probably somewhat neutral -- and then finally, the shift to the Caribbean, a lot of helpful commentary on occupancy should benefit, maybe some cosmetic dilutive impact to per DM. But at the end of the day, like does the shift to the Caribbean a tailwind, a headwind or neutral to yield in '26 as you sit here today?
So try to get through all 3 parts, if I remember everything, Vince. And by the way, good morning, thanks for joining us today. So you are right. We are about half booked for next year. That's about where we would be at the cycle at this time. When you ask about core trends, we have come out with our algorithm that on this type of measured capacity growth, we're looking for low to mid-single-digit yield growth and I believe that our book position right now confirms that, that will be attainable, which, of course, we need to attain in order to hit our target in the core targets, which we forcefully reiterate again today that we'll obtain.
In terms of the accretiveness of new hardware, listen, any time a new ship comes on board, we saw it with Aqua this year. We're seeing it with Luna next year on the NCL fleet, we absolutely see a modest tailwind. But keep in mind, it's one ship in a 34 ship fleet. So it's not going to be a tremendous tailwind at the NCLH level. Certainly, on the Oceania and Regent side. We have a new ship for Shannon, the Cira Laura, a new ship for region coming on. The very end of next year won't really impact 26 months to 26 months, excuse me, those also function as a modest tailwind in -- so overall, yes, new ships are accretive. But again, it's just 1 ship in the overall fleet.
On Caribbean, we absolutely view this. When you say a tailwind or headwind to yield, I'll make the question a bit broader. We viewed it a tailwind to margin, which is more important to us than a tailwind to yield. So yes, we believe Caribbean are good yielding cruises, but the more important thing is that we can deliver Caribbean at a higher margin than we can deliver some of the exotic itineraries in places like Africa and South America and Asia that these ships have replaced, especially the shorter 3- and 4-day cruises.
It's a really helpful overview there. And then maybe one final one. Just as you shift more Caribbean in the business, probably looks a little bit closer in, I would imagine. And when you watch that trend line in close-in bookings over the last 90 days. How would you characterize it?
So yes, these Caribbean cruises both in general and certainly the 3- and 4-day cruises, do look closer in. And I think that was one of the factors why we've seen record bookings in Q3 in October, clearly not the only factor, but one of the factors. I'd say the bookings have been nothing short of incredible. I mean, the demand we're seeing for [indiscernible] up until a week of sailing even has been unprecedented from at least recent history. So we're very, very pleased with the strength of the consumer and their ability to look across the entire length of the booking curve, including up to the day before cruise.
Our next question is from Patrick Scholes with Truist Securities.
Two questions. One, can you give us an update on the progress of finding a new brand President? And then secondly, can you talk a little bit about the changes in selling strategy with the Oceania brand, specifically recent unbundling.
Yes. Thank you, Patrick, and listen, on the Brand President, we are conducting an extensive search. We have been very pleased with the caliber world-class talent. We've been able to attract for the search I'll say we're pretty deep into it now. No announcement today or probably the next week or two. But I hope we're going to be able to see someone soon. The most important thing for us is to attract a world-class leader can continue on with the brand promise as we've been evolving it certainly over the last few quarters on top of the other wonderful talent we have with our new CMO, new Chief Commercial Officer, a new Head of Technology and other excellent internal and external candidates that we've brought into the brand to evolve and make NCL even greater in the future.
In terms of the promo strategy for Oceania, it was a -- I saw a lot of write-ups on it, but honestly, it was a relatively modest change. We've run a series, let's -- I'll call them different promotions over the last year. And we've gotten very good data on what it is that customers value and are willing to pay for one of the core strategies to provide guests with things they value and are willing to pay for. So the promotion we aligned with on Oceania, not really different that much in nature to what we've been doing recently, but really allows us to optimize the construct for our guests and maximize yields and margins. I will say, I've been incredibly pleased both with the level of bookings and the consistency been seeing on Oceania. I mean it's become almost like clockwork, that and the Regent brand in terms of their weekly bookings and revenue. So I find that as encouraging as anything else.
Our next question is from Andrew Didora with Bank of America.
Maybe Harry thinking about these brand changes a little bit more strategically. When you think about -- how do you think about the time line for repositioning these brands? I guess I think about particularly for Norwegian, how long do you think it takes to change that the way you describe it the brand familiarity with families, how long until you reach your targeted run rate?
So I think with Regent, we're already there, I think -- because the brand changes there were relatively minor. I'd say with Oceania, we're probably about 2/3 along the journey with the evolution of the Oceania brand to luxury and to focus not just on food, but on destination service experiences things that our guests truly value. Taking in sales a slightly longer runway. I think I mentioned in my prepared remarks that we're going to be launching some new brand campaigns in Q1 that will certainly help us along.
Clearly, the shift to families and the reliance or the focus, I should say, on GSE has already come forward as by our Q4 and '26 occupancy, so it's ready to getting to take hold. My guess is on NCL by the middle of next year, I think we would have reached the relative runway consistent with when the second set of amenities opened up on GSE. So I think that puts us in a very good position for Q3 and Q4. Although to be clear, we're happy with Q1 and Q2 as well.
Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And last one for me. Just, Mark, on the balance sheet, you obviously completed a very opportunistic refi in the quarter. When you look out across your cap structure today, I guess, what are your priorities right now?
First and foremost, what we've been -- what we've said is reducing leverage is our #1 priority. And we continue to look for ways to do that. Of course, margin expansion is the #1 driver of that, which results in a significant free cash flow. And we continue to see that -- expect to see that to ramp up over the course of the next 24 months. So of course, as we look at the remainder of our capital structure in terms of what's left on the debt side, we're always looking to be opportunistic and we'll continue to do so and we'll continue to strategically make opportunistic trades where it makes sense and our overall structure and ratings.
All right. So with that, I want to thank everyone for today's earnings call. For those of you listening, for those of you who have participated, particularly pleased with our record earnings our record revenue, our record EBITDA, our record future book position, in terms of new bookings, and all the other wonderful tailwinds that the brand is undertaking. We look forward to sharing the journey ahead with all of you. Thank you all very much. Have a great day.
Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect at this time, and thank you for your participation.
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Norwegian Cruise Line — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Norwegian Cruise Line — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: Höchster Quartalsumsatz in der Unternehmensgeschichte (Management nennt Rekordwerte).
- Auslastung: 106,4% (Load Factor), deutlich über Guidance und +≈100 bp vs. Erwartung für Q3.
- Net Yield: +1,5% YoY (durchschnittlicher Erlös pro Kapazitätstag).
- Bereinigtes EBITDA: $1,019 Mrd. (bereinigtes EBITDA), über Guidance; TTM operativer EBITDA-Marge 36,7%.
- EPS: Bereinigtes EPS $1,20, +$0,06 über Guidance; Full‑Year EPS Guidance auf $2,10 erhöht.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Fokus Familien: NCL setzt gezielt auf Kurz-Karibik‑Sailings zur Ansprache von Familien; Ziel: höhere Auslastung und Wiederkehrrate.
- Luxury‑Push: Oceania und Regent werden organisatorisch und produktseitig gestärkt (6 neue Luxus‑Schiffe, Docks/Refits).
- Kapital & Kosten: Kapitalmarkttransaktion reduzierte verwässerte Aktien um ≈38 Mio. Stück; laufende Kostensparprogramme (> $300M Ziel) treiben Margen.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q4: Auslastung ~101,9%; Net‑Yield +3,5–4%; bereinigtes EBITDA ~ $555M; EPS ~$0,27.
- FY 2025: Bereinigtes EBITDA bestätigt $2,72 Mrd.; EPS erhöht auf $2,10 (+≈19% YoY); Kosten (ex Fuel) FM +75 bp.
- 2026‑Ausblick: Kapazität ≈+7%; Ziel Load Factor ≥105%, weitere Margenausweitung (Ziel ≈39%) und Deleveraging Richtung Mid‑4x.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Mix vs. Yield: Analysten hoben die Verwässerung durch 3./4. Gäste (Kinder) hervor; Management betont, Yieldwachstum low‑to‑mid‑single‑digit bei gleichzeitigem Fokus auf Margen.
- GSE‑Ramp: Nachfrage- und Word‑of‑Mouth‑Effekt von Great Stirrup Cay erwartet, aber voller Nutzen erst mit Waterpark‑Eröffnung 2H‑2026.
- Bilanz & Kosten: Nachfrage nach Details zu Kostensenkungen, Hebelwirkung von kürzeren Routen (Caribbean) und Priorität auf Deleveraging; Management bleibt auf opportunistische Refinanzierungen fokussiert.
⚡ Bottom Line
Starkes Operieren: Rekorde, höhere Auslastung und ein Upgrade der EPS‑Guidance bestätigen Trend zu Margin‑Expansion. Kernrisiken sind Mix‑Effekte durch Familienfokus und die Umsetzung von NCL‑Repositionierung sowie das Deleveraging; kurzfristig überwiegt für Aktionäre allerdings positiver Momentum‑ und Cashflow‑Ausblick.
Norwegian Cruise Line — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Maria, and I will be your operator. [Operator Instructions] Ms. Inmon, please proceed.
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us for our second quarter 2025 earnings call. I'm joined today by Harry Sommer, President and CEO of Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings; and Mark Kempa, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, this conference call is being simultaneously webcast on the company's Investor Relations website. We will also make reference to a slide presentation during the call, which can also be found on our website. Both the conference call and the presentation will be available for replay for 30 days following today's call.
Before we begin, I would like to cover a few items. Our press release with second quarter 2021 results was issued this morning and is available on our Investor Relations website. This call includes forward-looking statements and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from such statements. These statements should be considered in conjunction with the cautionary statement contained in our earnings release. Our comments may also reference non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure and other associated disclosures are contained in our earnings release and presentation. Unless otherwise noted, all references to 2025 net yield and adjusted net cruise cost, excluding fuel per capacity day are on a constant currency basis and comparisons are to the same period in 2024.
With that, I'd like to turn the call over to our CEO, Harry Sommer. Harry?
Well, thank you, Sarah, and good morning, everyone, and welcome to our second quarter 2025 earnings call. I am pleased to report another record quarter where we met or exceeded guidance across all metrics, allowing us to reiterate our full year guidance on the back of solid customer demand that resulted in record bookings over the last 3 months. These results reflect the continued strength of our brands and the disciplined execution of our strategy. While we are encouraged by our performance during the first half of 2025 our focus remains firmly on delivering long-term value through our charting de course strategy. This includes our commitment to balancing return on investment with return on experience ensuring that we deliver exceptional locations while driving strong financial results and strengthening our balance sheet.
These have been an exceptionally active and exciting last few months that included several high-impact announcements and significant milestones that will shape the future of our company for years to come. I'll walk through each of these in more detail shortly. But highlights include the successful delivery of Oceana Cruises Zalora, the brand's Ace vessel, the confirmation of 2 additional next-generation sonata class ships for Oceania Cruises bringing their future order book to 4 ships -- and earlier this week, the announcement of the new -- great Tight water park at -- great Sure, marking our latest initiative to unlock the full value of the greatest island in the Caribbean.
I'll wrap up my remarks by focusing on top line drivers and an update on our return algorithm. I'll then hand the call over to Mark, who will provide a deeper dive into our financial performance and outlook. Let me begin with our second quarter performance reflected on Slide 4, which includes record results and continued momentum across all metrics. We met or exceeded all guidance we provided at the end of April in our last earnings call, and achieved record Q2 revenue. Most notably, net yield outperformed our expectations, growing 3.1% as a result of strong close-in demand and onboard spend. This, combined with the benefit from the timing of certain costs, drove adjusted EBITDA of $694 million, $24 million above guidance, -- as a result, our trailing 12-month margin now stands at 36.3%, representing a year-over-year improvement of more than 300 basis points, bringing us meaningfully closer to our charting the course margin target.
Lastly, adjusted EBITDA for the quarter came in at $0.51, in line with guidance despite an $0.08 headwind from the impact of foreign exchange rates, primarily related to our advanced ticket sales balance.
Moving to Slide 5. Let's take a look at 1 of the most exciting recent announcements for Norwegian Cruise Line brand, the long-awaited full next phase of development at -- great Serve K. Earlier this week, we unveiled plans for great ties a massive 6-acre water park opening in the summer of 2026 with 170-foot tower and 19 water slides, an 800-foot dynamic River, Cripps, and a dedicated 9,000 square feet kids slatstone. Great Tight water park will redefine the experience in our private island and make great Serve K the greatest private island in the Caribbean. This marks a major milestone in the evolution of Great Serve K, which along with our previously announced amenities, reflects our strategy to deliver experiences that resonate with families and multiple generation of travelers from kids and teens to parents and grandparents, we are indeed enhancing the destinations with more of something for everyone.
To build excitement around the -- Great Tides water park we launched Escape to -- the -- great Life, a consumer campaign featuring immersive pop-ups in New York City and Miami. If you're in New York, stop by 104 Grand Street today for a preview of what's coming. The campaign kicks off a refreshed look and feel for Great Serve K that coincides with the island's many enhancements. The Gray ties water park is just 1 part of a broader transformation -- by year-end, the Norwegian brand will have debuted a new peer, a new welcome center, a new 28,000 square foot pool area with multiple swim of bars, cabanas and a kids splash zone following in the spring of 2026 is the opening of Horizon Park, Hank Bay and the adults only beach area, the Vive Shore Club alongside additional amenities in our award-winning Silver Cove. These new additions will drive incremental onboard revenue while enhancing the guest experience, the classic balance of return on investment with return on experience, which we discussed so often, which will lead to higher guest satisfaction rates and stronger returns at what is already 1 of our highest-rated destinations. In 2026, we expect to welcome approximately 1 million guests to the island, nearly 1/3 of our total guests -- and in 2027, we expect that number to increase 20% to approximately 1.2 million guests cumulatively coming from 9 different home ports across 21 of our vessels. Ultimately, what we're doing at -- Great Serve K is a clear example of our strategy in action, helping our guest fiction better and experience more -- as the original private island experience, we're now reimagining it for the next generation of cruisers and I can't wait for everyone to discover and experience the greatest destination in the Caribbean.
Moving to Slide 6. I I'm also incredibly proud to share that earlier this month, we were in Italy to celebrate the delivery of Oceana Allura, the eighth ship in Oceana's award-winning fleet and the second in the Allura class. Built at the Fincantieri shipyard in Jena, Oceana Allura is a starting embodiment of our vision for the future of luxury cruising where immersive destinations, elevated design outstanding service and culinary excellence converge. The shift is not only Oceania's most luxurious to date. It's also a clear signal of our continued investment in the luxury segment. With Oceana Allura, we've made thoughtful ROI-centric improvements to the Vista Blueprint, including enhancements to the state remix. We replaced SovoCabins with Pentol Suites and concierge Heranstate rooms both of which deliver yield premiums and align with guest demand.
We've also brought back the guest favorite French restaurant chalk created Inspired by the World Famous Jack Behan, and expanded Red Ginger with new Nike inspired menu, further elevating the culinary experience. Allura sets a new benchmark for design, service and guest satisfaction and the initial guest feedback has been outstanding, but we're not stopping here. At the delivery ceremony, we confirmed an order for 2 additional Sonata class ships for a total of 4 next-generation ships for the brand, further reinforcing our confidence in the long-term demand for luxury cruising, which is clearly reflected on Slide 7.
Additionally, this quarter, -- under Jason Montage's renewed leadership, we launched sales for 7 Seas Prestige, our newest ultra luxury vessel. The Shindeut marked a record-breaking booking day for a newbuild launch, underscoring the strength of the luxury sector. Notably, the SkyView region Suite priced at $25,000 per night sold out on nearly all of our first ceiling season of sailings on opening day representing the strongest opening day performance for a top-tier product in the brand's history. Following the successful delivery of Oceana Allura and the confirmation of 2 new Sonata class chips, -- we now have 13 ships on order across the 3 brands through 2036, implying a 4% capacity CAGR. Each of these 3 brands is on a well-defined growth trajectory, Norwegian has 7 ships on order, Oceana foreship on order and Region institutions on water.
This measured expansion strategy ensures we're investing in the unique strength and market position of each brand. Historically, this kind of measured capacity growth has led to outsized returns, and we are confident it will continue to do so.
Moving to Slide 8. I want you to revisit a framework many of you saw at our Investor Day, 1 that outlines the multiple drivers of pricing and net yields. We've been making steady progress across each of these areas. While some of the benefits will take time to materialize, we wanted to provide a clear update on how these initiatives are advancing to date.
Slide 9 demonstrates how momentum is building. Let's start with new builds and our fleet. As we bring new ships online, we're also improving the cabin nice across the existing fleet. That includes modifications like the 1 I mentioned earlier on Allura, replacing solo cabins with higher-yielding pentestand concierge suites, as well as increasing the number of valcony cabins on the legacy fleet. Deployment optimization is another key focus. We've been analyzing our itinerary mix and cruise duration at more granular levels to strike the right balance between guest demand and profitability. This includes increased fund and fund deployment, shorter cruise length and, of course, the benefits of the enhancements of Great Serve K. With new deployments, ships and experiences coming online, we are investing in the systems that will also help drive our top line. We have been developing a new revenue management system, the first phase of which, which is on track to be completed by the end of 2025 and and we expect some benefits from the system as early as late 26 with an even bigger benefit in 2027.
Marketing and brand positioning are equally important Oceania Cruises is focused on positioning to sell firmly within the luxury space with new branding coming in the near future that better communicates the brand's extraordinary value proposition. And as I mentioned earlier, this week, Norwegian introduced a refreshed look and feel for Great Serve K to align with the transformational enhancements underway. To support these efforts, I'm thrilled to welcome Kieran Smith as the new Chief Marketing Officer at Norwegian Cruise Line. Her expertise and deep experience in vaunted consumer brands will bring fresh perspective and will elevate our marketing efforts, amplify brand reach and fuel top-of-funnel demand.
Finally, onboard spend remains a critical driver of revenue, and we're focused on improving the guest journey to support it. We've made significant strides in this area already. And I'm excited to share that Daniel Henry has joined NCLH last week as our new Chief Digital and Technology Officer. His experience in travel and hospitality at American Airlines and McDonald's, will help us advance everything from websites and apps to back-end systems, enhancing the guest experience and driving onboard revenue.
Now I know many of you are looking ahead to what this means for 2026 and are charting the course targets, which I'm pleased to report, we are very much on track to achieve. Consistent with our algorithm that we shared at Investor Day, we continue to expect net yield growth in the low to mid-single-digit range. As I mentioned earlier, the opening of the Gray Tight water park next summer is expected to be a positive demand driver and with the summer launch, we expect to see a full benefit starting in Q4 of 2026 and throughout 2021. Our outlook includes a 25 basis point benefit in 2026 and a cumulative 1% uplift in 2027.
Of course, top line growth is only 1 part of the equation. As you can see on Slide 10, we've also made significant progress on the cost side of the business. In 2024, our costs were essentially flat and we're guiding to flat again this year for the full year 2025 and flat in both Q3 and Q4. By year-end, we expect to deliver over $200 million in savings, and we have high confidence in delivering our $300 million plus savings target through 2026. But I want to be clear. The cost savings come off initiatives focused on better purchasing, economies of scale and more efficiencies all with an eye to always be improving the guest experience. As an example, our efforts have proven so successful that we've been able to invest a portion of our savings generated to upgrade significant portions of our culinary offering across the fleet to further elevate our already outstanding product.
We now are offering higher quality food throughout all 34 vessels in our fleet. Of course, our performance over the past 2 years gives us confidence to continue in '26 and beyond. We remain fully committed to sub-inflationary unit growth in 2026, while continuing to further improve the guest experience. We are committed to continued record guest satisfaction scores, record repeat rates and record future onboard cruise sales. Driving top line growth and maintaining sub-inflationary cost growth are what support our 2026 financial targets, which you'll see on Slide 11.
And with strong performance in the first half of 2025 and reaffirmed guidance for the full year, I remain confident in achieving the goals we laid out just over a year ago. We launched our 2026 target 1.5 years ago, and our execution on our strategy is driving meaningful financial improvement, which you can see on Slide 12. We expect to expand margins by 630 basis points by the end of this year compared to 2023. During that same period, capacity is growing over 8% or about 4% a year and adjusted EPS is projected to almost triple. All of this is contributing to our top financial priority deleveraging. We expect to end the year with net leverage around 5.2x, down a full 2.1 turns from 2023. That's a significant step forward and a clear signal that our strategy is producing results.
Now before I turn it over to Mark, I want to take a moment to highlight the release of our 2024 sale and sustained report on Slide 13. I encourage you to take a look as it showcases the meaningful progress we've made on our sustainability priorities. One thing that really stands out is our fuel efficiency with new and enhanced technology and equipment going fleet-wide on a constant basis. At the same time, almost 60% of our fleet is equipped with shore power and all half fleet has been tested with biodiesel blends. This is a clear reflection of our commitment to operating more sustainability while driving long-term value for our business and stakeholders. None of our sustainability, financial or operational achievements would be possible without the dedication of our incredible team across the globe. I'm proud to share that Forbes has recognized Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings as 1 of America's best large employers for 2025. This honor is a testament to the hard work and passion of our shoreside and shipboard team members who make everything so possible and I'm so proud of.
With that, I turn the call to Mark to give more thoughts on our financial performance. Mark?
Thank you, Harry, and good morning, everyone. Let me start with our second quarter results on Slide 14. We delivered record results coming in at or ahead of guidance across all metrics. Occupancy was slightly above guidance at 103.9%. Net yields grew 3.1%, 60 basis points better than our guidance on strong pricing growth of 5.1%. The beat on net yield was largely driven by strong close-in bookings and pricing across all deployments as well as strong onboard spend.
On the cost side, adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel was flat at 163, coming in better than expected. The beat was primarily due to the timing of certain expenses that are now expected to be incurred later in the year. As a result, adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $694 million, higher than our guidance of $670 million. Adjusted net income came in at $257 million net of $37 million of foreign currency losses related to the revaluation of our advanced ticket sales. Adjusted EPS was in line with guidance at $0.51 net of an $0.08 impact from foreign exchange losses. Excluding this, our earnings per share would have been meaningfully higher than guidance this quarter.
Moving on to third quarter and full year guidance on Slide 15. We expect occupancy to be approximately 105.5, which is about 2.5 points below the prior year. As we noted last quarter, this is primarily driven by some softness in bookings that we experienced in early April related to our long-haul European sailings. That said, we saw demand improve as the quarter progressed, and our disciplined approach to pricing allowed us to maintain solid pricing growth in the period. As Harry mentioned, we saw record bookings over the past few months, and our ATS balance reached an all-time high of $4 billion. As a result, net yield is expected to grow approximately 1.5% in the quarter, driven by very healthy pricing growth of 4%. Keep in mind, this is coming off prior year net yield growth of 8.7% in the third quarter of 2024.
Turning to costs. Adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel is expected to be essentially flat in the quarter. I am extremely proud of our team members across the entire organization who have been the driving force in executing against our cost savings program for over a year now. And it is encouraging and a true testament to our overall execution as we continue to harvest savings and efficiencies and to see those results reflected in our guidance while still delivering an exceptional guest experience. We expect third quarter adjusted EBITDA to be just over $1 billion and adjusted EPS to be $1.14 an approximate 11% increase year-over-year.
Moving to our full year outlook. We expect occupancy to average 103% as a result of our deployment mix in the year. As for net yield, we are reiterating full year guidance and expect net yields to grow 2.5%. This implies strong pricing performance with growth of approximately 4.4% with both metrics coming off record performance in 2024. On the cost side, we are also reiterating the midpoint of our prior guidance and expect our full year adjusted net cruise cost ex fuel to be essentially flat at 60 basis points of growth. As a result, we are maintaining our full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance at $2.72 billion. Our full year adjusted EPS guidance is also unchanged at $2.05 net of FX headwinds of $0.08. This represents an approximate 16% growth in earnings per share year-over-year.
I want to take a moment to highlight the significant progress we have made on margin expansion since 2023, as shown on Slide 16. Nearly 2 years ago, we established a transformation office with the mandate to take a disciplined, methodical approach to identifying waste and inefficiencies across the business, and that work is clearly paying off. We remain very focused on both return on investment and return on experience. With record overall guest satisfaction scores, including in the key areas such as food and beverage, entertainment and service and combined with record repeat rates and onboard future sales across all 3 brands, we have clear evidence that our cost improvement actions are not coming at the expense of the guest experience.
As of June, our trailing 12-month margins reached 36.3% a more than 560 basis point improvement from the end of 2023. This is being driven by a combination of strong top line performance growth and a more efficient and lean cost structure. Looking ahead, we expect our 2025 margin to reach approximately 37%, and I am confident that with continued top line growth and sub-inflationary unit cost growth we are on track to achieve our 39% margin target by the end of 2026.
Turning to Slide 17. I'll walk through our balance sheet and debt maturity profile. At quarter end, we expanded our revolving credit facility by almost 50% from $1.7 billion to nearly $2.5 billion, further strengthening our liquidity profile and enhancing our financial flexibility. This is another testament to the strength and confidence our lenders and stakeholders see not only in our current performance, but more importantly, in our future growth trajectory. Looking ahead to 2026, we have approximately $1 billion in scheduled maturities, reflecting a balanced and manageable maturity profile.
On a housekeeping note, 1 important change in our debt profile that should be noted for your models is that with the delivery of Norwegian Aqua, our total euro-denominated debt on the balance sheet is approximately EUR 1.3 billion. In addition, our euro debt increased in July with the delivery of Oceana Allura by approximately EUR 570 million. As a reminder, our euro debt is subject to mark-to-market remeasurement which may result in noncash gains or losses below the line due to FX movements. For purposes of adjusted net income and adjusted EPS, we are excluding the impact of this remeasurement.
Turning to net leverage on Slide 18. I want to reaffirm that reducing leverage remains our top financial priority. In the second quarter, we reduced net leverage to 5.3x, down from 5.7x in the first quarter. We expect a slight uptick in the third quarter, reflecting the debt associated with the delivery of Oceana Allura in July. At year-end, we expect our net leverage to be approximately 5.2x, which is over 2 turns lower than 2023. This modest revision from our prior guidance is solely due to the fluctuation in our euro debt and does not reflect any change in our underlying fundamentals or earnings expectations. In fact, One important but often overlooked element of our current earnings profile is that when adjusting for the annualization of expected EBITDA contributions from our 2025 newbuild deliveries, year-end net leverage would be at approximately 4.9x.
This represents a meaningful step forward as we continue to improve our balance sheet and financial profile. With the solid progress we have made, we remain firmly on track to reach our 2026 goal of net leverage in the mid-4x range.
Wrapping up, our strong execution in the first half of the year, combined with the momentum of our cost reduction program has enabled us to make meaningful progress on our top financial priorities. Deleveraging the business, expanding our margin profile and the resulting strengthening of our balance sheet.
With that, I'll hand the call over back to Harry.
Well, thank you again, Mark. Looking at Slide 19, I want to take a moment to once again highlight the significant progress we're making against our key charting the course financial targets. By year-end 2025, we expect adjusted operational EBITDA margin to expand by more than 600 basis points versus 2023, adjusted EPS to grow approximately 3x net leverage declined by 2.1 turns and adjusted ROIC to continue its upward trajectory. While these results and the momentum we're carrying into 2026, we remain firmly on track to achieve our long-term targets.
More than ever, I'm confident that our strategy is working and our execution is delivering. There's real excitement across the organization from the new ships that entered service in the first half of the year to the meaningful progress we're making towards creating the greatest private island experience in the Caribbean. I'm looking forward to what the second half of 2025 and the years ahead will bring as we continue charting our course to sustainable long-term value creation.
And with that, we will now move to the question-and-answer portion of the call, and I will hand the line back to our operator. Thank you all.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Steve Wiecznski with Stifel.
2. Question Answer
Harry or Mark first, congratulations on the corner. So I want to understand maybe your comments about the increase in demand over the last couple of months across all brands. You guys obviously had some issues here with your longer European itineraries for this year. So I guess my question is maybe what have you guys done for 2026 in terms of changing the European deployments, whether that's in terms of length or asset classes that are going to be selling over there. And then look, I fully understand it's still early on, but maybe what has been the response so far to those changes? And then also if you could help us think about maybe what pricing looks like right now for '26 relative to '25?
Steve, thank you for the nice comments. And it seems like 4 questions embedded in your questions, so I'm going to try to remember them all and come back to you. On the technical side, which is what we're doing different in '26, we moved especially on the Norwegian brand, but even on our luxury brands of Shanon region is slightly shorter itineraries in Europe for next year. We've also reduced the deployment in Europe for next year. This year in Q3, I think we had about 31% and 44%, respectively, of our entire fleet in Europe in '25 next year, Q2 and Q3 goes down to 26% and 38%. So that's -- it's not a significant decrease, but it's a modest decrease, coupled with shorter itineraries, we believe, better reflects what the consumer demand environment is like.
In terms of what's the response to the change, I'll reiterate what we said in the prepared remarks that we are in the optimal booked position for next year, not just in total, but specifically for Europe. So we're very happy. I think this year, there was -- as we talked about in the last earnings call a bit of an idiosyncratic issue that perhaps we didn't have the optimum Q3 European itineraries. But there's a further headwind with the challenges that are well documented of what happened with consumer confidence in April. I'm pleased to say that even with our less than 100% optimal itineraries for Q3 of '25 once May came along, we saw rebounded, I should say, and strong consumer demand even for Europe for Q3, which is what allowed us to overachieve on the implied guidance for Q4, I guess we didn't really give guidance for Q3, but do better than we had initially expected when we gave our guidance for the back half of the year.
And Steve, 1 thing on the itinerary changes or the response to the changes -- it's important to note that our itineraries we put on sale -- we put on sale 2 to 3 years ago. So the fact that we're redeploying our vessels in 2026. This was a decision that was made 2 to 3 years ago as part of our overall strategy change. It was not in response to softness we saw this year. I think we've had some questions on that, so I wanted to clarify it.
Not to spend too much time on our very first question, but the summer 26 itineraries launched in summer of '24. Just to give you a feel for what our planning cycle was at least at that time.
. Sure.
Okay. And second question, Mark, this will be much more concise. As we start to think more about 2026, can you help us maybe think about some of the puts and takes for next year both on the yield and the cost side. I just want to make sure we're thinking about things the right way and aren't missing any of these potential puts and takes as 26 comes a little bit more into focus at this point.
Well, Steve, I appreciate your second taken us trying to give us some 2026 guidance. But look, I think when we step back and we look at I think the first thing, obviously, is we should expect to see some tailwind from our Q3 dip that we did see this year in 2025. Beyond that, again, all of our atiteries were well planned in advance I think us getting back into the more fun and sun will, over time, help us get back to historical load factors. I wouldn't expect to see that overnight. But I think that's something obviously on the horizon. And then that combined, I think, with the excitement and the halo effect that we'll start to see around our great Sterk announcement, I think will drive positive momentum.
So we look forward, again, we're focused on driving low to mid-single-digit yield growth. And when there's opportunity, of course, we're always looking to outperform that.
Our next question comes from Lizzie Dove with Goldman Sachs Asset Management.
Coats on a great quarter and guidance. I guess just to ask Steve's question in a little bit of a different way about 2026. You've got this really strong Q4 exit rate lot of headwinds this year for reasons that you flagged. But how are you thinking about that as you get into 2026 to set up, especially potential ROI yield benefit from great Steroid as you're moving more into fund and so I think maybe 12 percentage points higher for Bermuda and Caribbean. That's where the growth is, but it is generally a little bit lower on a dollar basis? Like how to think of those puts and takes?
Maybe I'll -- this is Harry. And is always nice to hear from you. Maybe I'll take the second question and I'll stand over to Mark for the first half of your question. I think you are right that Caribbean in total is not necessarily higher or Bermuda for that fact. -- certainly not necessarily higher yielding than Europe. But I just want to give you guys some insights into how we decide on our deployment plan for the year. We don't necessarily look to optimize yield. We look to optimize profitability, right? So if you think about Korea versus Europe, maybe yields are in the same range, maybe on an absolute ticket basis, even a little slightly lower, but the profitability is -- should be improved you'll see that in our spread between revenue and cost for next year.
But that's not, of course, the only thing that we look at. We want to balance near-term profitability against long-term brand health. So we want to operate itineraries that have the highest possible guest satisfaction scores and repeat rates. And we think deployment in the Caribbean and Bermuda will help to optimize for that number. And lastly, operational feasibility and certainly Caribbean and Bermuda itineraries very high in that metric as well. So when you put those 3 things together, we get to what we believe is the optimal mix for both short-term profitability and long-term return, which is the focus that we always have as a team.
And Leslie, I guess, going back to the first point of your question, yes, our 4Q exit rate yes, it is a good setup. We are -- implied guidance, I think, is around 4% and change on both pricing and yield. So that certainly sets us up well going into the year. More importantly, as we've said in our prepared remarks, we remain in our optimal booked position for 2026, and that's really what we focus on. As we think, again, as I said earlier, as we see -- start to see some of the halo effects starting to see some of the excitement. We will continue to focus on price. As I said before, we will continue to build occupancy over time. So I think sitting here, we feel we're in a good setup for 2026, and we're going to continue to work hard.
Great. That's helpful. And then shifting gear just on to the cost side. You've been doing such a great job there. I see on Slide 10, it says sub inflation. It looks like the Barca is basically flat. -- as you think about looking to the extra $100 million that you're targeting next year, just curious where the key opportunities of the different cost buckets are and how to think about that?
I'm just going to make 1 technical comment before I pass this 1 over to Mark. Please don't take out your ruler and measure the exact number of pixels that 1 bar is above the other. With that, I'd turn it to Mark.
Lise, look, we've been very focused on this, and I think this is something we've been communicating quarter after quarter. We continue to deliver strong on our waste removal, gaining efficiency on our cost side. Yes, for the last 2 years, we have essentially been flat on a year-over-year basis. Our commitment has been that we commit to delivering sub-inflationary unit cost. And if we can do better than that, then that is certainly a bonus, and we are going to work our tails off to do that.
Look, in terms of categories, I will say the same thing. It's across the board. We are taking a disciplined approach, methodical approach to this with our transformation office. And most importantly, as we've continued to say, we are doing all of this and we are protecting the guest experience, protecting the brand. As we've said, our repeat rates are up, all of our guest satisfaction rates scores continue to be up so that is the purpose of doing this in a methodical way, and we're going to maintain that.
Finally, on that, we've always said this was an initial 3-year program, but it doesn't stop there. we will continue to focus, and we will continue to harness this muscle over time.
I want to reiterate point that Mark made because I think there was some misunderstanding maybe in the last 1 or 2 earnings calls that in some way, shape or form, we were, in some way, diminishing the guest product. It is the furthest thing from the truth. I want to be as clear and articulate on this as possible. We look at every single expense if we believe it will even modestly decline the guest experience, we just simply won't do it. We are focused on purchasing efficiency, economies of scale, the other things that Mark mentioned across the entirety of the P&L. But I get the guest satisfaction scores every Friday afternoon of the week's cruise and we meticulously ensure that there's nothing we do certainly on an intended basis, but even on an unintended basis, that impacts that score.
And we are looking to constantly improve record numbers. We're not going to end there. We want record numbers again next year for guest satisfaction scores for guest return rates for future onboard sales. For us, those metrics are just as important as the ultimate quarterly earnings because that is what sets us up for a successful future.
Our next question comes from Conor Cunningham with Melius Research.
Congratulations as well. A nice step all around. Maybe we could just stick with deployments for a second because I don't -- in the past, you guys don't talk a lot about the close-in booking opportunity. But as you move to like shorter-term duration, more Caribbean, more sun and fun. Can you just talk about the closing opportunity in terms of just -- from a revenue management perspective, like how that fits within the calculus kind of longer term for you guys?
We -- I'm not quite sure how to address that question. It is clearly true that a booking curve for a 3- or 4-day crews far different from a 7- or 9-day crews. We have sophisticated revenue management algorithms. I think we we discussed in our prepared remarks, the fact that we're coming out with the new generation revenue management system, solely clearly, we're focused on the difference in booking patterns. I think part of what you're seeing now in record bookings is the fact that we are having more and stronger close in sales, -- but I want to be clear, we're also having very good sales for 2026 as well.
So it doesn't come at the expense of getting '26 in the correct and optimized book position.
And Connor, maybe what you are really trying to get at is we're not -- we are sticking to our optimal booking curve. Obviously, that takes into account all of our deployments, whether it's a longer itinerary or a shorter itinerary, we are not over-indexing on leaving capacity or inventory waiting for that last minute strong demand. Obviously, we're optimizing. We're managing to our booking curve -- to the extent close-in demand remains strong, we will take that into account, but it's more important that we maintain on our overall booking curve.
Okay. That's helpful. And then maybe we could -- I mean, I think that we can all -- we would all agree that you're underearning in 2025. You had a lot going on in the first quarter and then third quarter and all that stuff. And so I'm just trying -- I think a question that I've been getting is just more around the earnings power of the company. As we start to think about '26, maybe you could talk about what was potentially left on the table had you not had the redeployments that occurred in the first quarter and then the headwind in the third quarter, like what the numbers would have looked like for the year? Because again, I think we're just trying to understand the underlying power that you guys have established here?
Conor, look, so I think when we look at where our expectations are for 2025, our implied -- our earnings guidance is about 16% EPS growth. And I think what I'll comment on is that if we didn't have the FX headwinds, that would have been about 20-plus percent on an earnings per share. Look, we have said 1.5 years ago, we've stated our targets our targets for 2026. We maintain -- sitting here today that we're confident in hitting those targets, and that includes the EPS in the $2.45, $2.50 range as well as our margin performance and deleverage, and we're maintaining that. And I think sitting here at this point, trying to give puts and takes for 2025, I think every year has some puts and takes, but we certainly feel confident in the business and more importantly, confident in our strategy going forward.
Our next question comes from Matthew Boss from JPMorgan.
Congrats on a really nice quarter. So Harry, on the demand rebound that you cited, any change in momentum here in July with bookings or pricing trends and -- and on the combination of the structural increase in fund and sun itineraries and then the recently announced investments, could you speak to early indications of demand for great Step and maybe the opportunity on the premium yield side?
So thank you, Matthew, for the kind words on the quarter. So to address the 2 parts of that question, Listen, we talked about May through July being a record period, July certainly did not decelerate. July will be a record July in the history of the company as an individual month, so I'll give you a little bit more insight than maybe Sarah and Mark wanted me to. Past that, specific to been 48 hours. So this is truly the early innings. First couple of days, we saw a material increase in our website visits -- our leads, which is a thing that we measure people actually becoming a little bit more involved with us and conversations have doubled in these last 2 days. Two days, I'm not extrapolating to Infinity, but certainly, those are positive signs.
And then, Mark, maybe could you expand on the drivers of the raised occupancy growth outlook for this year? And how best to think about the opportunity moving forward as we think about load factors, prioritizing deployment mix to the Caribbean and also lapping up against some of the disruptions that we saw this year.
Yes. Look, as I've said before, certainly, we would expect to see some load factor improvements by the one-off anomalies that we saw in the third quarter of this year. But more importantly, I think, again, over time, as we continue to pivot our deployment to the fund and sun itineraries, we would naturally expect to get more higher load factors on those related itineraries. Again, I want to stress that, that doesn't happen overnight, but we certainly think it's a near to midterm opportunity that we can capitalize on. And then when you combine that again with our new opportunity in the Caribbean and the Bahamas with our new island experience that we've just announced.
Again, I think that will continue to drive load factors. One important thing to note is that the water park we just announced 2 days ago, it will come online in summer of 2026. And why that's important is, yes, there's a lot of excitement. There's a lot of halo around it. But until consumers get on the island and start to experience it, that's when we really expect to see that drive going forward. So -- we do have a little bit of time in between now and then. But as Harry said, 2 days doesn't make a trend, but very, very encouraging. And we're going to -- we're excited to see the opportunity in front of us around that.
Our next question comes from Brandt Montour with Barclays.
So I wanted to circle back on the commentary on bookings momentum that you saw in the recent months. And you kind of take us back to March, April and talk about maybe some of the things, the tactical tools that you pulled out potentially promotional tools or sort of revenue management tools and what -- how aggressive that you feel like you might have gotten in retrospect or not aggressive? And if this sort of reacceleration kind of came more organically? And if you've been able to call any of those activities? And maybe help us understand how the strategy evolved.
So listen, Brandt, it's never a single thing that drives the change that we saw from a choppy April to a record May through July. But I'd say the primary primary driver was the improvement in macroeconomic environment. I mean, I don't want to take away from the hard work that everyone did, but I'd say that's driver number one. I will also say that I'm incredibly proud of the work that David on the NCL brand and Jason on the ocean on region brand are doing on redefining the brand to make it more relevant for consumers. Perhaps in the past, our focus has been a little bit more on what we would call lower funnel marketing efforts, things like direct mail, e-mail, digital ads and things like that, we are now shifting our focus to be more brand oriented and top of the funnel in order to drive more yield demand and love for the brand that isn't necessarily as focused on price.
So I'd say, number one, improving macroeconomic environment; number two, a shift to making the brands more compelling in the consumer environment. Of course, the benefits we're seeing with record guest satisfaction scores, the fact that guests on the ship today are having excellent experiences resonates when they come home and talk to their friends and family. Yes, we changed promotions from time to time, but I wouldn't say we need anything unusual in the Maui that you don't necessarily see in the normal course of business.
That's helpful. And then congratulations on the -- on Phase 2 for GSE, the announcement 2 days ago. Can you maybe just talk about the competitive positioning for the island versus your friends and competitors about what about a mile away. And maybe just help us understand what would be differentiated? Obviously, you're going from more families, -- perhaps you need more families to get to those sort of longer-term occupancy goals that you talked about just a minute ago, Mark, but just help us think -- understand the sort of positioning versus CocoCay.
So I'll just start out by saying I'm not here to comment on our competitors' strategy or their amenities. You can certainly speak to them about it. I will focus my comments on us. Our goal is to create the greatest island experience in the Caribbean by building out a series of amenities that our customer base, our demographics will love. We think this combination of per huge pool, kids flash area, these relaxation areas, the Hamada, the Horizon Park, the adults only beach area by Shore Club. -- then, of course, this massive water park, dynamic river, bottle bar, cliffside jumps, things like that; and second, splashstone for kids -- and even this new Jet car race thing, which is going to be an innovative and new thing to the industry, I think you put those things all together, and I think we unquestionably have the greatest private island in the Caribbean, which is our goal.
We are focused on our demographic. We think our demographic will find this combination of beautiful relaxing areas plus active areas plus family areas adult areas. Our footprint on the island is massive, so we can have all of those things on it. We believe our demographic will find it compelling early indications as they do.
Our next question comes from Robin Farley with UBS.
Just wanted to see if you could give us some color to kind of help square -- you mentioned the acceleration since your last guidance. And it seems like that might have meant that the top end of your guidance range would have been more reachable or maybe even upside to that, but at least kind of the top end being more reachable if things were improving since you last gave that. So if you could give a little color around kind of why bring down the top end of the range. And I don't know if there's any color about sort of price versus volume, like was the acceleration in volume and not price or the other way around? Or just sort of how to think about taking down the top end?
Robin, it's interesting. I actually look at it in a different way. I actually look at it that we brought the bottom end of our range up. But I guess, 1 could also say that position it the way you did. So look, our guidance is based off what we know today and what we have visibility on. As we've said, we've seen an acceleration in demand. But keep in mind, I think when we go back to April, May, we did imply that we saw a bit of a lull. And I think we classified it as choppy bookings. So number one, catching up from that, I think, gives us more confidence -- but as always, our guidance is based off the best visibility we have today and the biggest variable at this stage typically becomes the onboard revenue component. So we feel good where we are, and that's our best look today.
Okay. And then I don't know if there's anything on the price versus volume sort of on the forward. And just my follow-up is going to be on -- this is a really quick 1 on the CapEx because you announced this water park, which is seems like a major investment, your CapEx didn't change. And maybe the answer is as simple as you knew it was in your CapEx budget, even though it hadn't been announced maybe a straightforward, but if there's anything else that changed in your CapEx plans?
Let me just circle back to your comment about volume versus price, and then I'll let Mark talk about CapEx. Listen, on the volume versus price, our price has been amazingly consistent throughout the 4 quarters of the year. I think if you look at our results for Q1, Q2, our guidance for Q3 and implied guidance for Q4, we're basically delivering a 4%, 4.5% price increase year-over-year in all 4 quarters. So we're happy with that consistency. It's a fundamental principle of this company that we are not going to sacrifice price for occupancy, so we don't because we believe that sets us up once again for the best long-term performance of the brand.
Other fundamental principles is always constantly improving the onboard product for our guests. -- focus on cost, all the other things that we've talked about in this call that lead to our long-term algorithm of low to mid-single-digit yield growth, sub-inflationary growth, et cetera, et cetera. I think on that regard, we have performed well for this year, and I'm happy with all 4 quarter performances. I turn it over to Mark for CapEx.
Yes. Look, regarding CapEx, I think we've been pretty clear that yes, you are correct. -- the fact that our future CapEx outlook did not change. I think that's as a result of 2 things. Number one, -- we did -- this was, in fact, in our plans. Obviously, we had not announced it publicly, but we had this in our overall CapEx guidance, -- but I think importantly, and number two, we are not -- I think it's important to understand that we are not investing hundreds and hundreds of millions of dollars into this experience. Yes, there is an investment but we certainly think that we are getting a great return on it in the teens, in fact. And I think as we look forward going into the future years, we will continue to look for other opportunities to monetize where it makes sense.
I would be remiss if I didn't shout out Patrick Dougan and his entire team for the incredible work that they've done, obviously, working very closely with David and the brand to create an amazing experience for our guests at a reasonable cost of construction.
Our next question comes from Ben Shim with Mizuho.
First 1 is just a clarification. So on 26 for yields and costs, again, not looking for guide, we've -- you've already kind of touched on it, but just very simply, the moving variables, more fun in Sun is a tailwind to occupancy, but a price headwind. Is the net of that yield tailwind neutral or flat in 2016? And then on cost, kind of a similar question, higher occupancy, obviously mechanically hurts net cruise cost -- but then last quarter, you talked about some real cost savings associated with fun and Sun. So just a similar question, just maybe relative to normal algo are the variables kind of a headwind, tailwind or neutral on both yields and costs.
I think you're thinking about this directionally correct. We're not here to give specific guidance for 2016, so we won't. I think when you think about the underlying factors, yes, I think you've laid them out for the most part, right? Our key is -- to hit the algo, we're going to -- we're committed to it for '26, low to mid-single-digit yield growth, sub-inflationary cost growth, major capacity growth, disciplined capital allocation, et cetera, and the achievement of our charting the course targets. All I can do at this point is to reiterate. We believe in all those things. We think all of those principles will be alive and well in '26.
Yes. And to further that, we're focused on profitability and our eyes today, profitability means margin expansion. So when you look at 2025 where our guidance is, we expect to have improved our margin by about almost 700 basis points versus 2023. And as we look to 2026, that's where we're focused on margin expansion and that comes both from the top end and from the top line as well as our cost, but it's a combination, but it's margin expansion, which is what drives cash flows, which drives down our leverage.
And then operator, I think we have time for 1 last question.
Okay. Our last question is from David Katz with Jefferies.
All right, made it in under the wire. I wanted to know I am patient if nothing else. So look, I -- some of your peers and when we look at the industry, 1 of the things we're very focused on is new to cruise and new-to-brand travelers. It's not something that you -- I see formally -- but would you be willing to give us any color on some of the strong bookings that you've laid out? And how much of that is new to cruise and new to brand?
It's a good question, David. I'll say that we haven't necessarily seen on an itinerary adjusted basis much shifts here, naturally in a 3- and 4-day cruise environment you get slightly higher new-to-brand because new people to crews are a little bit more likely to sort of do a taster, if you will, before committing to a longer cruise -- and similarly, in Europe, 7 night crews would have slightly more new to brand than a night crews. But if you adjust for itineraries, it's a stable thing. Keep in mind, -- in an ideal world, yes, you do want more -- you do want new to cruise and new to brand to come in, but also in a world of record guest satisfaction scores, you get a record repeat rate, which sort of balances out on the other side.
I think net-net, no strong trends that we're seeing. We're happy with where we are.
Okay. If I can just follow up quickly, I think part of our thesis and part of the work that we've done suggests that there is a meaningful new-to-cruise discovering the value proposition, right, and trading up in value. Is it fair to assume that Sommer are in your in your numbers, there is a presence of that? Or are we overstating that?
So I appreciate the comment because we share your belief. We -- the way we look at this holistically, I forget the exact number, but something like 35 million people a year cruise disproportionately North Americans. We believe that reflects something like 2% of their overall vacation market locally and worldwide. So yes, we -- and coupled with the fact that cruising actually is less expensive than the typical hotel and resort stay while providing what we believe to be a much more extensive product and a better product overall. You couple all things those things together.
And yes, the thesis for this industry long term is that there is -- and I'm sorry, 1 other factor that there are only 4 shipyards in the world that are building ships, which limits the overall industry capacity growth to something like 4% and 5% a year as opposed to hotels, which basically have unlimited growth potential, especially with nondisciplined players. You put all those things together and we share your thesis that long term, this is an amazing industry to to be in, whether that impacts us 1 quarter to the next, it's sort of hard to see that. But certainly, year-to-year, we do see those trends. Okay.
And with that, I once again want to thank everyone for joining us today. For those of you living in Manhattan, I once again encourage you to visit our GSE pop-up down there in Soho on 104 Grand Street, we're handing out free mocktails, and you'll get a little experience on what the future of great serve K is going to look like. Please join us, and thank you for today. Bye, everyone.
This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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Norwegian Cruise Line — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Norwegian Cruise Line — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Net Yield: +3,1% YoY, deutlich über den Erwartungen dank starker Last‑minute‑Buchungen und höherer Onboard‑Ausgaben.
- Adjusted EBITDA: $694 Mio, $24 Mio über Guidance.
- Adjusted EPS: $0,51 in Linie mit Guidance; FX‑Effekt belastete um $0,08.
- Auslastung & ATS: Auslastung 103,9% (leicht über Guidance); Advanced Ticket Sales (ATS) Bilanz bei $4,0 Mrd (Allzeit‑Hoch).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Private Island: Massive Ausbaumassnahmen auf Great Stirrup Cay (u. a. 6‑acre Wasserpark) zur Familienansprache; ~1,0 Mio Besucher 2026, ~1,2 Mio 2027 prognostiziert.
- Luxus‑Wachstum: Lieferung Oceania Allura; Bestätigung von 2 weiteren Sonata‑Class Neubauten (Oceania künftig 4 Next‑Gen‑Schiffe); 13 Schiffe bestellt über alle Marken.
- Kostendisziplin: Transformation Office liefert >$200 Mio Einsparungen; Ziel $300M+ bis 2026; Fokus auf Effizienz ohne Verschlechterung der Gästenerfahrung.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Full Year: Guidance bestätigt: Net Yield +2,5% FY2025, Adjusted EBITDA $2,72 Mrd, Adjusted EPS $2,05 (netto FX‑Headwind $0,08).
- Q3‑Vorschau: Auslastung ~105,5% (–2,5 p.p. vs Vorjahr), Net Yield ~+1,5%, Adjusted EBITDA knapp >$1 Mrd.
- 2026‑Leitsatz: Weiterhin Low‑ to Mid‑Single‑Digit Net‑Yield‑Wachstum; Wasserpark bringt ~25 bp 2026, kumulativ ~1% 2027.
- Balance Sheet: Nettohebel voraussichtlich ~5,2x Ende 2025; Revolving‑Facility auf ~$2,5 Mrd ausgeweitet.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Deployment: Diskussion über kürzere Europa‑Itineraries und Verlagerung zu Caribbean/Bermuda; Management betont Profitabilitäts‑ statt reiner Yield‑Optimierung.
- Nachfrage: Nachfrageerholung seit Mai mit Rekordbuchungen und starken Close‑in‑Sales; neues Revenue‑Managementsystem bis Ende 2025.
- Kosten & CapEx: Weitere Einsparpotenziale gefragt; CapEx für Inselinvestment war im Plan und soll hohe zweistellige ROI‑Prozente liefern, kein Anstieg der Gesamt‑CapEx‑Prognose.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solider Beat in Q2, Guidance bestätigt: klare Fortsetzung der Margin‑Expansion und Deleveraging‑Story. Investitionen (Insel, Luxusflotte) sollen Topline und Onboard‑Revenue stärken; Hauptrisiken sind FX‑Volatilität (Euro‑Schulden) und die Umsetzung der Transformations‑ und Inselpläne.
Finanzdaten von Norwegian Cruise Line
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 10.031 10.031 |
7 %
7 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 5.713 5.713 |
2 %
2 %
57 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 4.318 4.318 |
13 %
13 %
43 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 1.600 1.600 |
9 %
9 %
16 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 2.718 2.718 |
16 %
16 %
27 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 1.108 1.108 |
23 %
23 %
11 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 1.610 1.610 |
11 %
11 %
16 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 568 568 |
33 %
33 %
6 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
Die Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. ist im Kreuzfahrtgeschäft tätig. Sie bietet Kreuzfahrterlebnisse für Reisende mit Reiserouten in Nordamerika, im Mittelmeer, im Baltikum, in Mittelamerika, auf den Bermudas und in der Karibik. Sie bietet auch eine vollständig inselübergreifende Reiseroute in Hawaii an. Zu ihren Marken gehören Norwegian Cruise Line, Oceania Cruises und Regent Seven Seas Cruses. Das Unternehmen wurde 2010 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Miami, FL.
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| Hauptsitz | Bermuda |
| CEO | Mr. Chidsey |
| Mitarbeiter | 44.500 |
| Gegründet | 1966 |
| Webseite | www.nclhltd.com |


