New Hope Aktienkurs
Vergleich mit Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 Was ist das?
Die Peer Group sind die Unternehmen mit dem ähnlichsten Geschäftsmodell. Sie dienen als Vergleichsmaßstab, um eine Aktie einzuordnen.
🧮 Wie wird sie ausgewählt?
Nach Ähnlichkeit des Geschäftsmodells, also Unternehmen aus derselben Branche, mit vergleichbaren Produkten und einer ähnlichen Kundengruppe. Nur so vergleichst du Äpfel mit Äpfeln.
🏛️ Wofür ist sie wichtig?
Ob eine Aktie günstig oder teuer ist, lässt sich am ehesten im Vergleich beurteilen. Ein KGV von 18 oder ein EV/FCF von 20 wirkt je nach Maßstab günstig oder teuer. Die Peer Group liefert dabei den treffsichersten Maßstab: Unternehmen mit ähnlichem Geschäftsmodell, die denselben Bedingungen unterliegen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
Liegt eine Kennzahl unter dem Peer-Durchschnitt, ist die Aktie relativ günstiger bewertet, über dem Durchschnitt entsprechend teurer. Ein Abschlag zur Peer Group kann eine Chance sein, aber auch einen Grund haben (zum Beispiel geringeres Wachstum). Der Vergleich ist ein Startpunkt, kein Urteil.
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 5,46 Mrd. A$ | Umsatz (TTM) = 1,59 Mrd. A$
Marktkapitalisierung = 5,46 Mrd. A$ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,76 Mrd. A$
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 5,23 Mrd. A$ | Umsatz (TTM) = 1,59 Mrd. A$
Enterprise Value = 5,23 Mrd. A$ | Umsatz erwartet = 1,76 Mrd. A$
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
New Hope Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
12 Analysten haben eine New Hope Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
12 Analysten haben eine New Hope Prognose abgegeben:
New Hope Events
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aktien.guide Basis
New Hope — 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the New Hope Group Full Year Results Presentation.
[Operator Instructions]
I would now like to hand the conference over to Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for today's presentation. I'm Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer of New Hope Group. I'm joined by Rebecca Rinaldi, our CFO; and Dom O'Brien, our Executive General Manager and Company Secretary.
This morning, we released our full year results for the 2026 financial year. Hopefully, you've had a chance to go through the presentation. But in any case, I'll step you through our key highlights before we open up the line for Q&A questions.
2026 marked another strong year for New Hope Group as we continue to increase volumes and deliver our organic growth profile. Firstly, I'd like to touch on safety. Throughout the year, our high potential event frequency rate reduced by 38% to 3.59, whilst our TRIFR increased to 3.89, 21% higher than this time last year. Safety of our people remains our highest priority, and we are focused on continuing improvements in all aspects of safety and well-being. Looking at our operational performance for the year, the group achieved run-of-mine coal production of 16.9 million tonnes, a 3% increase from the previous period. Saleable coal production of 11.5 million tonnes, 8% higher than the previous period and coal sales of 11.8 million tonnes, 4% higher than the previous period. Both saleable coal production and coal sales exceeded guidance ranges, underpinned by the continued ramp-up of New Acland Mine and Bengalla Mine's return to its nameplate production capacity.
In terms of our financial performance, we delivered revenue of $1.8 billion, and underlying EBITDA of $514 million and a statutory net profit after tax of $161 million. EBITDA and NPAT were impacted by a temporary increase in strip ratio at Bengalla Mine and lower realized pricing. Despite certain short-term challenges, our assets remain resilient and continue to generate solid margins, which allows us to maintain returns to shareholders. On that note, I'm pleased to announce the Board has declared a fully franked dividend of $0.30 per share.
High potential event frequency rate became the group's primary safety measure during the financial year. We have seen an improvement in our frequency rate during the period, decreasing from 5.82 to 3.59. This reflects a deliberate shift in focus towards events and conditions that have the potential to result in fatal or permanently life-altering injuries. This approach aligns with broader direction of the mining industry, where there is an increasing emphasis on understanding and managing high potential events, principal and material hazards and the effectiveness of critical controls. While traditional injury metrics remain important, we believe this frequency rate provides a better indicator of our exposure to serious harm and helps ensure our attention remains focused on preventing the most significant safety risks.
TRIFR continues to serve as an important supplementary measure of injury performance. During the period, increased prime waste volumes were delivered at Bengalla Mine, which supported the realignment of the pit sequence following significant weather events across the Hunter region late in 2025 financial year. The operation delivered a strong finish and showcased its ability to achieve its targeted ROM coal production rate. Bengalla Mine delivered saleable coal production of 8.2 million tonnes, which exceeded its guidance range. The operation achieved an FOB cash cost of $81.30 per sale tonne, which came in at the low end of its guidance range. At New Acland Mine, we continue to successfully ramp up towards 5 million tonnes per annum.
For the 2026 financial year, New Acland Mine produced 3.3 million tonnes of saleable coal, an uplift of 17% compared to the previous year. The operation was able to take advantage of increased spot rail capacity during the year, achieving coal sales of 3.6 million tonnes, which exceeded its guidance range. The group achieved an average sale price, including hedging of $145 per tonne, approximately 10% lower than the previous period. Despite lower coal prices, the group's low-cost assets delivered a solid margin of $45 per tonne. The business generated an EBITDA of $514 million, which enabled reinvestment in our assets and allowed continued returns to shareholders. $161 million was invested back into the business largely by way of capital expenditure, supporting the group's organic growth. As well as investing in our assets, we returned $206 million to our shareholders by way of fully franked dividends. Our total shareholder return during the period was approximately 33%.
Our approach to capital management is underpinned by a disciplined focus on delivering sustainable returns to shareholders. The group's strong cash position generation allows us to sustain our current baseline of production whilst also investing in our organic growth profile. The ramp-up of New Acland Mine is progressing well. Public road realignment to enable development of the Manning Vale West Pit third mining area is underway with $16 million incurred during the period. Our 2 forms of capital returns are fully franked dividends and on-market share buybacks. As previously mentioned, our Board has declared a fully franked final dividend of $0.30 per share. New Hope has a significant franking account balance, and we'll continue to utilize this value for our shareholders. The dividend reinvestment plan, which we announced in September last year, will be operational for the final dividend.
Turning to outlook. We have a very strong outlook for the industry. Our strategy is underpinned by the belief that demand for thermal coal produced from Australian operations will continue to play a vital role in providing reliable and secure energy supply to the world. Whilst we expect coal share of global power generation to reduce over time, the sheer increase in global power demand will continue to support seaborne thermal coal exports into the future. In addition, the aging of existing thermal coal assets, combined with underinvestment in new projects suggest a potential supply shortfall and attractive pricing outlook for the industry.
Regardless of pricing dynamics, our low-cost assets produce high-quality coal, providing resilience in the cyclical environment and ensuring continued margin generation. In a year where we saw uncontrollable increases in our cash costs, our assets were still able to generate an underlying margin of $45 per tonne or approximately 30%, which showcases our low-cost nature as well as the significant upside potential available to New Hope and ultimately, our shareholders in the current pricing environment. New Hope remains committed to our shareholders and delivering sustainable long-term returns. In the last 5 years, fully franked dividends have amounted to over $2 billion, which equates to approximately 48% of the company's market capitalization as at 31 July '26. In addition, New Hope's share price has outperformed the ASX All Ordinaries by nearly 10x since its initial public offering in 2003.
At New Hope, we recognize the importance of our dedicated workforce and the communities in which we operate. During the year, Bengalla Mine invested $1.5 million into the community and spent $186 million with local suppliers. New Acland Mine invested $800,000 to the community and spent $70 million with local suppliers. The success of our operations is closely linked to the strength of communities that support us. Rehabilitation remains a key part of the commitment as a responsible operator. Across Bengalla Mine and New Acland Mine, 3,086 hectares of land has been disturbed through mining activities with approximately 35% of that area rehabilitated. Our growth pipeline targets a significant increase in coal production over the next 2 years, which represents low-risk, cost-effective growth.
Looking ahead to the 2027 financial year, we are focused on remaining a resilient, low-cost coal producer while executing our organic growth plans, which will enable us to continue to deliver shareholder value. The group's strategy is to safely, responsibly and efficiently operate our low-cost, long-life assets with a focus on disciplined capital management, providing valuable returns to our shareholders. Our investment proposition is underpinned by these 6 key areas, which we have summarized throughout the presentation today.
Thanks very much. I'll now hand over to the operator to start Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions]
Your first question comes from Daniel Roden with Jefferies.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the results. I just wanted to talk to you a little bit about FY '27 guidance on Slide 13. I guess it's not formal guidance, obviously, but it implies that next year might come around the range of 12.7 million tonnes saleable if you don't include Malabar, of course. But if I'm looking at that and kind of looking at a forward guidance around cost, if I'm trying to think about what a normalized and consistent variable cost assumptions would be into FY '27. How should I think about that? I'm kind of -- I think, trying to get a bit of a view on how New Acland might change the cost base and what the stripping profile looks like at, I guess, the rest of the business, Yes. So I was wondering if you could help us think about that a little bit.
That's all right, Daniel. I think probably the key area of change will be Acland. As you know, that's in ramp-up at the moment. We did about sort of 3.3 million tonnes, 3.4 million tonnes for this financial year just finished, and that will push into the 4 million tonnes production range for next year. So as a result, you'll see that fixed cost base at Acland spread over more tonnes, and you'll see that unit cost decrease. And that will continue as we push out to 5 million tonnes production within the next sort of 18 months or so. Bengalla will be more sort of steady state.
There will be inflationary impacts. And it's probably fair to expect that we'll see some increase or heightened diesel costs coming through the books. But I think as I've said previously on calls and information to the market that typically diesel is correlated to coal price. So we see a much bigger benefit coming through our revenue line, which more than offsets the increase in diesel costs. And probably another point, both of our operations are very low strip ratio. And as a result, diesel as a percentage of our overall cost base is less than perhaps some of our competitors.
Yes, perfect. And I touched on a few of the things I was going to follow up on. But maybe could you help remind us what the sensitivity to diesel is at Bengalla and acknowledging, I guess, the relationship between, I guess, energy pricing and thermal coal, of course. But you've obviously seen thermal coal react. But if I'm doing my calculations and backing out what, I guess, the natural gas price equivalent in thermal coal units is, there's still a fair bit of headroom there.
Like -- from your perception, like what are you guys seeing? And what closes that gap on an equivalent term? Like do you still see marginal buyers out there in the market? Or is there a lot of resistance in making that coal to gas -- sorry, gas to coal switching -- sorry, if I did not...
Yes, there's a lot in that, I guess, what we've seen since the heightened tensions in the Middle East, we have seen directly some Asian countries switching. Certainly, our belief is that Korea is doing just that. Korea essentially turned to Russian coal off the back of the Ukraine crisis and wasn't taking much, if any, Australian coal. That's now changed. And we've had some inbound requests for supply to Korea. So that for us is a sign of switching and our belief is Japan is as well. And that certainly is underpinning some of the index price and the Newcastle Index. There are other factors at play, which are impacting that with Indonesian quotas and certainly some stoppages in China.
Now that's obviously impacting more the high ash coal price. But ultimately, the more high ash goes up, typically, you'll see an underpinning of the Newcastle Index or high CV index. So probably the other point also is that certainly in recent days, we've seen impacts to gas supply and heightened concern over that, which will be making countries think about the switching potential. And certainly, from a stability of shipping lanes, et cetera, coal from Australia is certainly a much safer bet than some of the other sources for gas. So there's a lot contributing to it. And I think also the likelihood of a hot, drier summer under the El Nino conditions, which are expected, I think, will also underpin coal prices. I think our view is that, with coal prices at the moment around $150, there's probably a good chance it will stay at that point to potentially work its way a little higher.
Yes. Okay. And maybe just last one for me, and I'll hand it over and rejoin the queue. But just on your last point there, how's your expectation of maybe holding $150 or higher on a coal price perspective. Maybe just walk us through the rationale behind the final div for the year and noting the franking balance there, if you could remind us what the residual franking balance is? And I guess, if we are expecting to hold around today's levels, what I guess, the expectation would be for depletion of the franking account?
Sure. So I guess from the franking account balance, it will -- post the dividend, it will sit around the mid-600s, so $650 million or thereabouts. And you'll be able to work that out looking at the accounts. But certainly, a solid dividend to shareholders, and as you pointed out, fully franked. And I guess that really goes to the cash generative nature of our business. We certainly saw probably prices at the lower end of the cycle, particularly for the first half of the year. We benefit from a rally, which has been sporadic depending on what announcements are coming out on what was happening in the Middle East. But after probably a fairly soft year from coal pricing, we still generate significant cash and have the ability to pay a very strong dividend.
So I think if you convert that to an outlook of potentially high prices, I think it's pretty clear that shareholder returns -- strong shareholder returns will continue. So -- which is very exciting and you look at our -- the slide in our deck on our organic growth and the tonnage which is coming into the business for modest capital expenditure to achieve that and the low-cost tonnes, both mines sit low on the cost curve, quality coal, all that means is strong cash generation and particularly as capital expenditure internally for those growth projects is coming off. So I think we see a really strong cash generative future for the business.
Your next question comes from Paul Young with Goldman Sachs.
I'm guessing Rebecca and Dom are there as well. Rob, a little bit further -- another question, sorry, on diesel and just the outlook there. And to your point, yes, absolutely, coal prices getting pushed up, particularly due to what's happening Indonesia now with restricted exports and the dryness there and also the impact from diesel prices there. But just on -- specifically on your business, I just sort of look at that you've actually put in your release here that in annual report that Bengalla's diesel cost was $1.12 a liter last year and $0.90 a year prior. Can you just step through what diesel price you're paying now? And also how much diesel does actually Bengalla consume?
Yes, sure. I'll take that one, Paul. Thanks for the question. I guess our diesel contract does look at the market rates behind the diesel. It does fluctuate when the underlying diesel price does go up. Last month, as an example, we paid around $1.23 a liter. And as we've seen in the past couple of weeks, we expect that to increase with the diesel price. Bengalla uses about 80 million liters a year based on kind of current forecast run rates.
Okay. That's very helpful. Rob, the next question -- thanks, Rebecca. The next question is actually just on approvals in New South Wales and actually the outlook for Bengalla. I mean, one, you've done a great job of picking up the tenements around Bengalla and also through your investment in Malabar as well. We've got a few big decisions coming up in the next month with Mount Pleasant and also Hunter Valley Operations. We've got the Net Zero Commission in New South Wales having a view. We've got Penny Sharpe, Minister Sharpe, coming out with a view around no greenfields projects in New South Wales going forward, which is -- it's a really interesting sort of juncture at the moment in the industry, and you presented a really compelling chart on, I think, Slide 9 showing New South Wales coal production declining, and we've obviously got Mt Arthur coming off in 2030 as well.
So the question is actually around the tenements around Bengalla. Is the view just in initial discussions with the government and your work, that this is greenfields or brownfields?
It will be brownfield extension. And so it's sort of -- it fits within the recent statement on coal from New South Wales. It's an existing precinct. It's adjacent to existing operations. It will utilize on the basis we pursue an extension. And as you pointed out, we have the 2 ELs out to the West. So the common sense approach, assuming exploration proves that there's economic coal there, we believe it will -- would be to continue the advancement of the pit out to the West. So that's certainly a focus. We're currently exploring that. But there's not a significant rush for that. Our current permit is out -- is proved out to 2039.
We believe we'll have exhausted all the reserves within that permit around about 2037. So you quite rightly pointed out, there's a couple of imminent decisions which need to be made about neighboring mines, and we'll certainly be -- and have been watching that closely. Hopefully, common sense prevails there. They're solid operators that makes sense to continue. And certainly, I think the Minns government is -- hopefully, there's a lot of support to continue both of those operations. But we have a bit of time for an approval, and we've been engaging with government and had positive feedback. And certainly, the intention would be to pursue those as we sort of get to the back end of this decade.
Yes. Great news. And just lastly, accounting question actually probably for Rebecca, just around your equity share within Maxwell, which continues to come through at the moment through the revenue line, and it's been making losses obviously because longwall hasn't -- just started cutting coal and a large fixed cost base there. But when it turns profitable, do you still expect to take the EBIT from that operation through that line? Or we're going to see that come through -- NPAT, sorry, come through the EBIT line? How should we think about the accounting, Rebecca going forward?
Yes. So the accounting shouldn't change too much, Paul. It should still be considered a share of an associate, which will come through that line where the loss is coming through. And that's because we don't control that operation. So essentially, when that operation starts to pay profits, we'll recognize those profits and subsequently get dividends off the back of that.
Your next question comes from Jacob Li with Barrenjoey.
Congrats on the strong result and dividend. Just trying to understand the thinking behind the dividend payout, just -- and what we expect on a go-forward basis. You previously talked to sort of wanting to hold a bit more cash than historically. If I look at your pro forma cash balance netting the final dividend today, that's more than $500 million. I guess the question would be how much cash does New Hope ultimately want to hold on the balance sheet? And over what time horizon are you thinking about that target level and sort of distributing any excess cash?
Good question. I guess our focus is still to execute existing capital within the group. So that's really -- and there is commentary in the pack around some capital that needs to be spent to build out the pit to the west at Acland. So that's completion of that road, some mobile equipment, which needs to be purchased ancillary equipment. So that's obviously a focus. That's the best use of capital within the business to generate that extra tonnage for Acland to get up to that $5 million product.
From a minimum cash balance perspective, we've sort of spoken of around about $300 million as a sensible minimum cash for the business, and we constantly review that. But I guess it's been pleasing to be able to pay a very handsome fully franked dividend for this last year. And as I said before, it just really underpins the cash generative nature of the business. And obviously, when we get to the middle of FY '27, we'll assess our cash balance then and what makes sense to pay an interim dividend.
Yes. I guess just to push you a bit further on that. If I look at your pro forma cash balance since 2021, you've been holding around $400 million to $450 million. I'm talking about cash net dividend declared. Is $300 million still the cash balance you want to hold? Or you sort of want to hold a bit more given the uncertainty in the microenvironment and the coal pricing?
I think it goes to the point of having capital to deploy within the industry -- in the business. So it's -- I think we've highlighted before that coal prices fluctuated a lot in the last 6 months. There's a potential that, that will continue. So we want to make sure that we've got the cash on the balance sheet to deploy for our organic growth. And then we'll assess where we're at come middle of the year.
All right. The second one would be on New Acland. Just looking at your chart on Slide 21. FY '28 appears to be, I think, 4.5, 4.6 instead of 5 million tonne per annum nameplate. Is there a level of conservatism in there, given the rail performance has been impacted by Cross River Rail outages, and QR industrial action, et cetera?
Yes, that's certainly something which we've highlighted as a challenge. Certainly, Cross River Rail is very delayed and that will continue to hamper consistency of rail. This month, there's a material shutdown in September, for example, which is planned. We've catered for it. But I think from our perspective, we're confident that the mine will get up to that 5 million tonnes. There probably is a level of conservatism in our outlook. And I think we've probably consistently exceeded the expected ramp-up for Acland. But certainly, we acknowledge the risk of rail. We're engaging both with Aurizon, our bulk rail provider and QR to ensure that we get the right support to support that ramp-up.
If I can squeeze a bit more on New Acland. Good to see the increasing coal resources. How does that sort of shape your thinking around potentially Stage 4 mining, given I think you permitted to go to, I think, 2040 with Stage 3 mining?
We have a lot of land, a lot of tenements surrounding our existing approval footprint. We've engaged with Queensland government on a potential extension, similar to the scenario which we spoke about in the earlier question around Bengalla. So we have a very good understanding of the reserves around our existing footprint. In many cases, it's probably lower strip ratio than what we're seeing with our existing approval into the 2:1 strip ratio. So very low strip ratio. So it should be very prospective, very early days from a current permit, Stage 3, which is the stage we're in at the moment, will continue to around about 2040. So we do have time, but we're certainly looking at that and engaging with the government on a potential extension.
[Operator Instructions]
Your next question comes from James Goodsall.
It's noted that saleable production hit the upper boundary of your guidance, but FOB cash costs still climbed 7.9% to AUD 88.9 per tonne. How much of this cost expansion is temporary and due to the Bengalla pit resequencing versus structural inflationary pressure?
So there are a couple of points there, and we've talked about the pit resequencing in Bengalla having an impact on unit costs, and that was particularly in the first half of the year. We did see a strong second half of the year for Bengalla, which is more indicative of that asset on a longer term. As Acland ramps up, that becomes a more material part of our group. And when you look at the tonnage coming out of Acland at the moment, it's still in ramp-up. So you will see a heightened, I guess, unit cost for Acland having an impact on the blended unit rate for the group. As Acland ramps up to the 5 million tonne production, you will see an easing of that tonne cost base to a lower level.
Your next question comes from Vanitha Nagaraja.
Could you please provide some color on how the capped call options operate to mitigate the potential dilution arising from the convertible notes? Taking into account the $0.30 dividend, the effective exercise price of the convertible notes will now be closer to the market price.
Yes, sure. So I guess on the capped call, essentially, that instrument steps in at the strike price of the convertible bond. So the strike price at 31 July was $7.41 of that convertible bond, and that capped call will then push that strike price up to an average blended rate of $9.55. So if the share price is within that strike range and the bond could convert, essentially those counterparties would step in, in that regard.
In terms of your second point, yes, both that strike price of the convertible bond and also the strike price of the capped call will adjust based on the dividend. Now that's based on the VWAP prior to record date. So we don't exactly know what that is at the moment. But the expectation is that on the convertible bond, the strike price of $7.41 will come down to around $7 or so.
There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand the conference back to Rob Bishop for any closing remarks.
Thanks all for joining, and have a good day. Thank you.
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New Hope — 2026 Earnings Call
New Hope — 2026 Earnings Call
Solides FY2026: Produktion und Cashflow stiegen, Dividendendeckung stark, New Acland im Ramp‑up – Kosten kurzzeitig erhöht.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: AUD 1,8 Mrd.
- EBITDA: AUD 514 Mio. (Ergebnis vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen)
- NPAT: AUD 161 Mio.
- Produktion: ROM 16,9 Mt (+3% YoY), verkaufsfähig 11,5 Mt (+8%), Verkäufe 11,8 Mt (+4%)
- Preis & Marge: Durchschnittspreis inkl. Hedging AUD 145/t (−~10% YoY), Unterliegende Marge ~AUD 45/t (~30%)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Ramp‑up Acland: New Acland auf 3,3 Mt saleable; Ziel ~4 Mt in FY27 und 5 Mt innerhalb ~18 Monaten, wodurch Fixkosten je Tonne fallen sollen.
- Kapitalkontrolle: Disziplinierte Kapitalverwendung: AUD 161 Mio. Reinvestitionen, Board deklariert finale Dividende AUD 0,30 voll franked; DRP (Dividend Reinvestment Plan) für Finaldividende aktiv.
- Sicherheit & Betrieb: Fokus auf High‑Potential‑Events (HPE) – HPE‑Frequenz −38% auf 3,59; TRIFR gestiegen auf 3,89, laufende Maßnahmen zur Risikoreduktion.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Markterwartung: Management sieht weiterhin robuste seaborne Nachfragetrends für thermische Kohle (Energienachfrage steigt trotz Rückgang des Anteils).
- FY27‑Tonagen: Implizite FY27‑Saleable‑Range ~12,7 Mt (ohne Malabar); Acland‑Anteil soll merklich steigen.
- Risiken: Kurzfristige Kostenbelastung durch Strip‑Resequencing (Bengalla) und Dieselinflation; Bahninfrastruktur (Cross River Rail, QR) ist Ramp‑up‑Risiko.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Dieselsensitivität: Bengalla Verbrauch ~80 Mio. Liter/Jahr; jüngster Dieselpreis ~AUD 1,23/L; FY‑Durchschnitt Bengalla AUD 1,12/L; höhere Dieselpreise werden erwartet, geringer Anteil am Kostengewicht wegen niedrigem Strip‑Ratio.
- Rail & Logistik: Analysten hoben Rail‑Ausfälle und geplante Stillstände hervor; Management bestätigt Engagement mit Aurizon/QR und weist auf konservative Ramp‑Up‑Annahmen hin.
- Genehmigungen & Erweiterungen: Erweiterungen um Bengalla und Acland als brownfield‑Erweiterungen geplant; bestehende Genehmigungen reichen bis ~2037–2040, Explorations‑/Genehmigungsdialoge laufen.
- Kapital & Dividenden: Ziel‑Minimumliquidität ~AUD 300 Mio.; pro forma Cash nach finaler Dividende >AUD 500 Mio.; Franking‑Saldo nach Dividende ~AUD 650 Mio.; Convertible‑Hedging (capped call) passt Strike nach Dividende an (~von AUD 7,41 auf ~AUD 7).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: New Hope liefert ein defensives, cashstarkes Ergebnis: Produktion und Dividendenstärke unterstützen die Aktie, kurzfristige Kosten‑ und Logistikrisiken könnten jedoch Schwankungen in Margen und Ramp‑Up‑Tempo verursachen.
New Hope — Q4 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the New Hope Group FY '26 Q4 Quarterly Activities Report and Investor Call.
[Operator Instructions]
I would now like to hand the conference over to Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our call today. I am Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer of New Hope Group. I am joined here by Rebecca Rinaldi, our CFO; and Dom O'Brien, our Executive General Manager and Company Secretary. This morning, we released our quarterly report for the fourth quarter of the 2026 financial year. Hopefully, you have had a chance to go through the report, but in any case, I will briefly step you through our key highlights before we open up the lines for Q&A. The July quarter marks the end of the 2026 financial year for the New Hope Group. Operationally, it has been a great year for the group, and we are very pleased with our results today. During the quarter, our TRIFR decreased to 3.89, 12% lower than the previous quarter.
However, our high potential event frequency moved up in an unfavorable direction from 1.21 in the previous quarter to 4.65. Critical and fatal risk management remains a continuing focus for the group. In response to the increase in high potential events and recent serious events across the broader industry, the group has doubled down in terms of focus of the effectiveness of controls for fatal risks. This has included group-wide safety pauses, increased frontline engagement, and targeted review and verification of critical controls. The safety of our people remains our highest priority, and we are focused on continuous improvements in all aspects of safety and well-being. Bengalla Mine recorded a strong finish to the 2026 financial year, with the operation performing at the targeted 13.4 million coal production for the rate for the quarter on 100% basis.
Raw coal production was 3 million tonnes, a 16% increase compared to the previous quarter, as the strip ratio moderated following the significant prior overburden removal in the first half of the year. Saleable coal production was 2.3 million tonnes, up 8% from the previous quarter, driven by the increase in raw coal volumes. At New Acland Mine, the raw coal production totaled 1.7 million tonnes, a 3% increase on the previous quarter, also driven by a reduction in strip ratio. New Acland Mine achieved coal sales of 0.9 million tonnes, 7% lower than the previous quarter, primarily due to rail cancellations across the network, resulting from Queensland Rail-protected industrial action. The group achieved an underlying EBITDA of $169 million, a 30% increase on the previous quarter. The uplift in earnings was driven by improvements in the group's realized pricing with both favorable movements in benchmark indices and foreign exchange.
With the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, volatility in energy markets is expected to continue following supply concerns, which underpin support for thermal coal generation as a reliable energy supply. Turning to our full-year results, 2026 marked another great year for New Hope Group as we continue to increase volumes and deliver our organic growth profile. The group achieved saleable coal production of 11.5 million tonnes, an 8% increase on the 2025 year's financial year result, and above the group's guidance range. At New Acland Mine, we continue to successfully ramp up the operation towards a 5 million tonnes per annum target. For the 2026 financial year, New Acland Mine produced 3.3 million tonnes of saleable coal, an uplift of 17% compared to the previous year.
The operation was able to take advantage of increased spot rail capacity during the year, achieving coal sales of 3.6 million tonnes, which exceeded guidance. Looking forward, access to the Manning Vale West pit is scheduled for the second half of the calendar year 2026, which will deliver the next step in the production volumes. Over at Bengalla Mine, the 2026 financial year reflected a period of recovery following significant weather events in the Hunter region late in the 2025 financial year. Despite these impacts, the operation delivered a strong finish and showcased its ability to achieve its targeted raw coal production rate. Bengalla Mine delivered saleable coal production and coal sales of 8.2 million tonnes, which exceeded its guidance range.
In addition, the operation achieved an FOB cash cost of $81.30 per sales tonne, sitting right at the lower end of guidance range of between $81 to $89 per sales tonne. Despite a challenging backdrop, the group achieved an underlying EBITDA of $514 million for the 2026 financial year and generated operational cash flows of $564 million. We invite you all to tune in on Tuesday the 15th of September as we release our full-year results. We are pleased with our ability to remain a resilient, low-cost producer, and we are looking forward to another safe and productive year ahead.
I'll now hand over to the operator to start Q&A session. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions] The first phone question today comes from Glyn Lawcock from Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.
2. Question Answer
Cash flow generation exceptionally strong. I guess you finished the year with cash well ahead of everyone's expectations. Was there anything to call out in the quarter?
Nothing more than what we have already stated. Certainly, we had a strong second half to the year, and that was continued in the final quarter. But heightened coal prices along with increased production certainly has given a good outcome to get to the cash level where we are at.
I guess, was there a working capital unwind or anything you can call out? Because, $200 million cash in the quarter, $800 million annualized. It is pretty impressive. That is 18% free cash flow yield. So I just wondered if the working capital with it was a one-off.
Yes, I think, there is a slight reduction in coal stocks. I do not have the figure in front of me, but that could have played a part in it. I do not think there was a significant drawdown on receivables.
I guess one thing, Glyn, just to note on it, during Q3, we did have a number of significant outflows. I am sure you have already got the dividends in there, but we also had the cash impact of the convertible bond buyback. So there was a few outliers probably in Q3, which then I guess accelerated the look of Q4 in terms of cash flow.
Okay, that is cool. Rob, I know I am not trying to get too far ahead, but you have now got almost $800 million of available cash. How do you think about how much you want to hang on to of that cash? Obviously, you have got New Acland.
And if you could maybe share with us how much you have got left to spend there. Once we get through New Acland, which I think is another 12 months' worth of expenditure, how are you thinking about what is the right level of cash to hold on the balance sheet?
Yes. No, good question, Glyn. I think New Acland, we are sort of partway through executing that capital expenditure. I think we gave guidance of around $130 million required to complete the Manning Vale West pit or opening up that pit with the road realignment and fleet required to open up that pit. That is partway through, and I think as you would have seen in the quarterly, we should be into first coal beginning of next calendar year. That is really the focus from a capital expenditure. We are rounding off a bit more at Bengalla, but following those, capital expenditure should get to more modest levels moving forward, albeit while production is increasing. So cash generation should improve even further than where we have been at, which is a great story. You are quite right.
Cash balances are quite high, which is a good problem to have, and certainly we have got a significant franking account balance. So, we will be looking to reward shareholders like we always do and have pretty much every year since we have been around. So that will continue. From a how much cash we want to hold, certainly we still sort of look at it that we need to probably hold a little bit more than what we would have historically going back sort of 5 to 10 years ago. But fair to say our cash balances at the moment are higher than what we would ultimately want to hold on the balance sheet.
Sorry, can I just ask you, in your mind, what was that cash balance 5 to 10 years ago? Your memory is probably better than mine.
When I say that, it is more a case of it was quite easy to go and source funding being a thermal coal mine, going back many years, and you could argue that you could hold less cash. Our view is although we certainly are finding markets which are opening up to us, and we have seen that with the convertible bond recently. I guess we do not want to be in a state of stress if we did have a major stoppage at site. Not that we intend to do that, but if we were in a situation, we would not want to be stressed going to market for cash. The typical banks that would have been there for us previously are not. It is prudent for us to ensure that we have got a bit of extra cash on our balance sheet, just from a risk management perspective.
Would that have been $100 million to $200 million 5 to 10 years ago? You are probably thinking 50% more than that? I am just trying to understand what was the previous thinking 5 to 10 years ago.
Yes. It was probably closer to one. You would also need to take into account the operations which we had operating. Up until recently, we were a single asset mine, whereas probably 5 to 10 years ago, we had probably 3 to 4 operations. There is a lot of things we need to take into account. We certainly increased our minimum cash view, when we just had Bengalla going and Acland was going into care and maintenance. Obviously, with Acland ramping up, there is good solid cash flows coming out of that. So the risk is spread a bit more. But certainly, as I said, cash is probably materially higher than what we would see as a minimum cash balance. And we have got a significant franking account balance. So I think it is fair to say there will be a reasonable dividend paid.
The next phone question comes from Daniel Roden from Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Congratulations on the results.
Thank you.
A couple for me. I just wanted to get a bit of color on, I guess predominantly Bengalla, but if I look at your strip ratio for the quarter, it has come back down to 4. I probably just wanted a bit of color around, I guess, operationally, what you are seeing at the mine. Is 4 strip ratio, is that kind of more the new precedent that we're expecting into FY '27 and FY '28, or is that a bit just of a quarterly short term kind of recalibration of the pits?
It was certainly a strong quarter. We previously provided guidance on strip ratio, going back, I think, to last year or last year's full year result, I think. You can probably look to that for some more detail. Certainly, at both the strip ratio is very low, and certainly, looking forward to remain in the 4s on average for Bengalla for the life of the mine. For Acland, we will see some swings in between quarters, but certainly, in the range of 4 is probably a fair estimate. I would probably recommend you go back and have a look at that prior presentation where we had that detail relative, and I think we had both Acland and Bengalla on that slide relative to industry.
Yes. No, thank you. Yields as well, yields have come back a little bit. Notwithstanding it is within line of normal kind of things. Was that, I guess the lower yields, an increase in saleable, was that a deliberate response to, I guess what you are seeing in the spreads between API 5 and Newcastle? Or is that a, I guess, recovery sequencing into areas that are a bit marginally lower quality coal relative to prior quarters? I guess just a little bit of color around what is going on there.
Yes. You have touched on a few points there and it is fair to say that our wash strategy is very much driven by what we are seeing in the market. We do have the flexibility and particularly since the growth project where we have upgraded the wash plant, we do have the ability to flex between periods of high discount or low discount between high and low ash coal sales to really maximize the profitability of the mine. You will see that happen throughout the year. We also are in a mine which is, we have got a number of seams there, which are not mined for a number of months. You will see some swings between the high ash and low ash on a quarterly basis and yields as a result. But probably if you sort of look more over an annualized basis, it will be pretty consistent year on year.
Yes. Okay. Last one from me for now. The sustaining CapEx, you decreased guidance for that mid-year, and then you have come in below and on deferral of some of the capital programs. To the extent you can talk about it, how much of that deferral would we be expecting FY '27? Or is it still a bit of an open question on what is happening in Manning Vale West and the rail?
Yes. So I think really the focus from a capital perspective, and it is something which we, it is similar to cost, we are very focused on minimizing CapEx when we can. So that really comes down to good management of overhauls, pushing our assets so that we maximize the productivities, but also balancing that up with risk of unplanned breakdowns. So we put a lot of focus into really optimizing that work in the last year, and that has meant that we have been able to push out some sustaining capital. Some of that is deferral, but some of it is just taking it out and ensuring we are keeping our cash outflows to a minimum.
Okay, sounds good. I had a few questions maybe on Malabar, but I might break you and let others ask some questions.
[Operator Instructions] Moving to webcast questions. The first webcast question is: Could you please provide an update on the Brisbane rail network? You mentioned there was constraints in the quarterly.
Yes. Unfortunately, rail performance in the fourth quarter was impacted by QR or Queensland Rail protected industrial action. This has been well-publicized. There is also the complication of Cross River Rail outages. We have been working very closely with QR to try and mitigate as much of that impact as possible. But certainly, we have seen some constraints and has resulted in lower overall paths provided during the quarter.
next webcast question is: Safety in the coal industry has been at the forefront of media in recent weeks. What are you doing at New Hope Group to ensure safety at sites?
Yes. No, it is a good question. I think probably first of all, just want to acknowledge those affected by recent events. Mining is a large industry, but a small community. The events which we have seen probably go back only 3 or 4 weeks ago with the 2 fatalities across the east seaboard is very tragic. It has also prompted us to really reflect on our own sites. Consistent with our values, we have held safety pauses across the group and really had a particular focus on listening to the frontline people, understanding what they are seeing and experiencing, rather than assuming that we know all the answers and we run safety perfectly. It is always a journey, for want of a better term. It is always going to be something which we can never keep our eyes off. We have got a strong culture of sharing across the group, learning, and really challenging ourselves Our primary focus of safety is just to really focus on risks capable of causing fatal or serious harm. Certainly it is an area of focus for the group and will remain so.
Going back to the phone questions, we now have a follow-up from Daniel Roden from Jefferies. Please go ahead.
Just a few cheeky ones, if I can. I was just wondering with the, I guess, the 25% or aggregate 26% equity ownership, how you are expecting to account that on the books going forward now that it is in its ramp-up period and starting to generate a bit of cash.
Yes. It is certainly in its ramp-up phase. We were down on site probably about a month or so ago. Got down underground to see the longwall operating, which was great to see. Certainly, for the team there, it is an exciting time and productivities will continue to ramp up from this point onwards. It should get to a point in the not-too-distant future of being cash generative, which is exciting.
Yes. Okay. I guess, you saw Malabar picked up some tenements from Mount Arthur, the BHP asset to the north. To the extent you can talk about it, do you have, I guess, any indication around how that might fit into the, I guess, production and development pipeline, given that New South Wales has a ban on greenfield developments now? That seems like a pretty good strategic asset to have in that portfolio.
Yes. No, it is a good point. That in itself, that transaction was a good outcome. It provided assistance to BHP but also provided future optionality for Malabar. You just pointed out the stance from New South Wales government. I think that really supports the kind of transaction which happened. This would not be regarded as greenfield if the team at Malabar were to progress any potential opportunities for further development in those tenements.
Yes. Okay. I just wanted to ask as well, it's just a bit of a, maybe potentially left field, but you've seen Malabar has been, I guess, semi-publicly doing a bit of a data center play out the Mayfield's kind of energy precinct and data center project. I guess, do you have a, given you have a fairly material stake in Malabar, do you have a view on, I guess, how that shapes up and what the, I guess, mechanisms there are and how that gets monetized into the portfolio? I guess firstly, I'd like to get a view on that. Are you looking at any similar opportunities given your tenements are a stone's throw away as well? It seems like there's a lot of moves in that area to go and try and monetize data centers and battery developments and everything like that. Yes. Cheers.
Yes. No, it's a good question. I think just with regards to New Hope, if you look, I guess, at the Malabar set up with regards to land and access to various infrastructure, et cetera, Bengalla is probably in a bit of a different space. It's not something we're actively pursuing at Bengalla, but it is certainly a potential opportunity in the future for the Malabar team. It's fair to say the focus or number one focus is on the Maxwell Mine and ramping that up. But there's also some exciting opportunities on the side, for want of a better term, for the data centers, battery, et cetera, which Wayne and the team are progressing. Then some, I guess, larger decisions will have to be made on those potential investments in the future given their quantum.
The next phone questioner is from Christopher Creech from Morgans Financial. Please go ahead.
On the fourth quarter. Just a cheeky question from me, Rob, just around New Acland. I mean, you guys had a pretty good year there, and last year in your end of year presentation pack, you put some color in there around your growth potential for all 3 of those assets, Bengalla, New Acland, and Maxwell. That implies that you are getting to your nameplate capacity at New Acland by sort of, let's say, '29 onwards.
Is that still holding true, or are you thinking that you potentially could get there slightly earlier? How should we view the ramp-up to nameplate for New Acland, if you would be so kind?
Yes, I think, and it's probably been consistent with what I've said previously. We're pushing as hard as we can to ramp up that asset, obviously in a safe manner. We haven't been holding back, for want of a better term. Opening up the Manning Vale West pit is key to that. As I said, we'll be on first coal first quarter calendar year next year, and that'll really sort of open up the mine to get up to that 5 million product. I think as far as our target goes, that probably hasn't changed. But certainly, as we've probably seen this year, we're probably a little bit ahead of schedule. So, we're managing the rail or the short-term rail impacts of QR. But certainly, we'll be pushing as hard as possible to get to that 5 million tonne run rate.
The next phone question is a follow-up from Glyn Lawcock from Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.
Maybe one for Rebecca. The Bengalla cost jumped around a lot. I mean, first half was $84, then you went down to $74, back up to $84.50 in Q4. And the $spend was, if you multiply by the coal sales, quite low in Q3. Why is it jumping? Is it somewhere in the middle as we exit '26, or is the final quarter more indicative of how we should think about Bengalla moving forward?
Yes, I think probably the final quarter is more indicative of Bengalla. But as Rob touched on, cost control is a key focus of ours. We are trying to really, I guess, stay in front of those inflationary impacts which we have seen across the industry over the last 6 months. Just to touch on the higher unit rate for Q4, though. There were, I guess, less sales than we originally planned, and I think in terms of waste, that first half of the year, we had to move a lot more waste to get the pit back into sequence following the significant weather event back end of 2025. But Yes, I think coupled with inflationary impacts, we will try and really hold tight on the full-year cost. But noting Bengalla, and you have seen the pit, Glyn, it is quite generally pretty consistent. So when sales potentially move out of the plan, that does drive a bit of a variance in the unit cost.
Okay. But the final quarter, it had the diesel in. Is there a new contract for the workers that kicks in this year?
No, that is next year. Sorry, this year that we are in now. That is, I think, August, September. That will be negotiated and finalized.
Okay. Maybe just a final question going back to you, Rob. Obviously, last quarter there has been a couple of sales completed. The Anglo American sale second time around, plus the old Rio Tinto mine, which gone a couple of ways. Anything out there exciting you or grabbing your attention? Or is the real focus all just internal at the moment, there is nothing external?
Yes, I don't think there's anything external which is getting us excited. Our focus is, and has always been, focusing on the organic growth piece. We're almost there. Nothing really out on the market at the moment, which is the right fit for our assets.
That does conclude the question-and-answer session. I'll hand the conference back to Rob for any closing remarks.
No worries. Thanks very much for your time today, all. Appreciate you dialing in, and have a great day. Thank you.
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New Hope — Q4 2026 Earnings Call
Solide Produktions- und Ergebnisentwicklung, starke Cash-Position; zentrale Risiken: Sicherheit, Schienenlogistik und kurzfristige Kosteninflation.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Underlying EBITDA: A$169 Mio (+30% QoQ), getrieben von höheren Preisen und Wechselkurseffekten.
- TRIFR: 3.89 (-12% QoQ), wobei die Häufigkeit hoch‑potenzieller Ereignisse auf 4.65 stieg (Total Recordable Injury Frequency Rate).
- Bengalla Produktion: Rohkohle 3,0 Mt (+16% QoQ); verwertbare Kohle 2,3 Mt (+8% QoQ).
- New Acland: Rohkohle 1,7 Mt (+3% QoQ); Kohleverkäufe 0,9 Mt (-7% QoQ) durch Queensland Rail‑Ausfälle.
- Cash & FY: FY‑Ergebnis: Underlying EBITDA A$514 Mio, operativer Cashflow A$564 Mio; verfügbare Liquidität ~A$800 Mio.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Sicherheitsfokus: Verstärkte Kontrollen für kritische/fatale Risiken, gruppenweite Safety‑Pauses und mehr Frontline‑Engagement nach Branchenvorfällen.
- Organisches Wachstum: Ramp‑up New Acland Richtung 5 Mtpa; Zugang Manning Vale West H2 2026, verbleibende CapEx ~A$130 Mio für Öffnung.
- Kapitalallokation: Hohe Barmittel als Puffer wegen eingeschränkter Fremdfinanzierungsquellen; weiterhin Dividendenpriorität erwartet.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Timing: Erste Kohle aus Manning Vale West Anfang Kalenderjahr 2027; vollständige FY‑Ergebnisse am 15. Sept. angekündigt.
- Marktannahmen: Mittelfristig hohe Energievolatilität (Nahost‑Konflikt) stützt Nachfrage nach thermischer Kohle; gleichzeitig Risiken durch Schienenengpässe und Kosteninflation.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Barmittelverwendung: Management will höhere Mindestliquidität halten als früher; plant weitere Ausschüttungen, behält aber ~A$130 Mio CapEx für Manning Vale West.
- Bengalla Kosten/Strip‑Ratio: Strip‑Ratio zurück in den ~4er‑Bereich, Management erwartet durchschnittlich in den 4ern; Quartalskosten schwanken durch Abverkaufstiming, Inflation und früheren Abraumaufwand.
- Schiene/Logistik: Queensland Rail‑Streiks und Cross River Rail‑Ausfälle reduzierten Quartalspfade und Verkaufsmengen (New Acland); Zusammenarbeit mit QR zur Schadensbegrenzung.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit für Aktionäre: New Hope tritt als resilienter, kostengünstiger Kohleproduzent auf: Produktion und EBITDA übertreffen Guidance, Bilanz ist stark. Kurzfristig bleiben Sicherheit, Schienenverfügbarkeit und Kosteninflation die Hauptrisiken; near‑term Katalysatoren sind Manning Vale West (erste Kohle) und die FY‑Veröffentlichung.
New Hope — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the New Hope Group FY '26 Q3 Quarterly Activities Report and Investor Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining our call today. I'm Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer of New Hope Group. I'm joined here by Rebecca Rinaldi, our CFO, and Dominic O'Brien, our Executive General Manager and Company Secretary. This morning, we released our quarterly report for the third quarter of the 2026 financial year. Hopefully, you've had a chance to go through the report, but in any case, I'll briefly step you through our key highlights before we open up the line for Q&A. Operationally, it's been a great quarter for both Bengalla Mine and New Acland Mine, as we're really pleased with our position heading into the final quarter of the 2026 financial year.
While our High Potential Event Frequency Rate improved, we've unfortunately seen a deterioration in our 12-month moving average TRIFR, increasing to 4.43, 17% higher than the previous quarter. The safety of our people remains our highest priority, and we are focused on continuously improvement in these aspects of safety and wellbeing. In terms of our physical performance, we moved 18.2 million BCMs of prime overburden, a 4% increase from the previous quarter, driven by strong mining conditions. Notably, year to date, we've moved 52.9 million BCMs of prime overburden, 13% higher than this time last year. Group run-of-mine coal production was 4.3 million tonnes, up 5% compared to the previous quarter, following an increase in prime overburden movement.
Bengalla Mine continues to see improved operational performance, successfully operating at 13.4 million tonnes per annum run coal production rate during the quarter. New Acland Mine cycled through a higher strip ratio, achieving sustained prime overburden movement. Run coal production was 1.6 million tonnes, 9% lower than the previous period, in line with an increase in strip ratio of 9%. Saleable coal production was 3 million tonnes, 9% higher than the previous quarter, driven by the increased run coal volume at Bengalla Mine. Group coal sales were 3.2 million tonnes, 10% higher than the previous quarter, reflecting strong mining conditions and favorable logistics across the group. Following the increased coal sales, Bengalla Mine achieved an FOB cash cost, excluding royalties of $74 per sales tonne, 12% lower than the previous quarter.
Looking to financials, the group's underlying EBITDA for the quarter was $130 million, 22% higher than the previous quarter, reflecting the uptick in coal pricing. Our average realized price was $140.70 per tonne, a 1% increase on the previous quarter. Realized pricing was affected by the strengthening of the Australian dollar. This impact was partially mitigated by the strong hedge book the group has in place, which covers approximately 50% of the revenues for the 2026 financial year. During the quarter, New Acland Mine was also selling a larger portion of high ash stocks as a result of off-peak seasonal demand, meaning New Acland received a lower realized price when compared to the previous quarter.
The gC NEWC index average price for the quarter was $127.60 per tonne, a 17% increase from the previous quarter. Global coal markets observed favorable pricing movements during the quarter, driven by concerns surrounding LNG availability, resulting in a shift from gas to coal for power generation. The increase in gC NEWC pricing and API 5 pricing has remained strong post the quarter end. Energy market volatility is expected to continue, given the impact the Middle East conflict has had on energy supply, highlighting support for thermal coal generation as a long-term, reliable energy supply. Coupled with an expected supply shortfall due to aging thermal coal assets and underinvestment in new projects, this supports our view that thermal coal pricing will remain above historical averages over the long term.
New Hope's low-cost operations are well-placed to continue providing a source of reliable, secure energy to our customers. During the quarter, the group paid the FY '26 interim fully franked dividend of $0.10 per share or $84 million, and ended up the quarter with a cash and cash equivalents of $572 million. The company successfully placed $300 million of senior unsecured convertible notes alongside the concurrent repurchase of 97.77% of our existing notes. We achieved very favorable terms and reduced near-term financial risk by extending the company's maturity profile to April 2032 at a pre-tax coupon rate of 2.635% per annum.
I'll now hand over to the operator to start the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question today comes from Paul Young from Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
Rob, really good quarter, certainly from Bengalla and operationally. Just, I'll just start with asking the question on diesel again. We all went through that in the last month, just an update as far as how that's tracking. I know you've said previously that 13% of your site cash costs are diesel, that's on a free-on-rail basis, and the diesel price gets passed through by the rail operator. You said you've had no supply issues near term. Can you just provide an update on the supply situation?
From a supply perspective, we've certainly had positive feedback from our key supplier. At least for the next 2 months, we've been told that supply is not an issue. Fair to say we're monitoring that closely. Obviously, we've got industry looking at it, discussing with government, we're discussing with not only suppliers for site, but also our rail providers, et cetera. At this stage, no cause for concern for the next couple of months. Obviously a lot's happening in the Middle East. Things are changing pretty quickly, we're keeping a good eye on it.
I guess from a cost perspective if you look at the FOB cash costs for the quarter, it was $74 for Bengalla, which is lower than the prior quarter. We are expecting unit cost to increase across the group for the fourth quarter due to diesel prices. From a percentage perspective, I know I sort of stated it in site cash costs in the prior quarterly call. If we look at it from a total FOB cash costs, it's prior to the conflict were about 9% of total FOB cash costs for diesel, which was about $8 a tonne.
We're expecting our full year forecast and that's obviously based on estimates to be around about sort of that $10 per sales tonne. You know, slight increase. It's probably important to note that obviously the increase we're seeing through price realization is far outweighing that. That sort of gives you a feel for the total impact at an FOB level.
Okay. Just on Bengalla had a really good quarter, as I said, you can see in the numbers and you ran at the 13.4 run rate, which is.
Which is great and have been doing that for, I think for a couple of months.
At times, I should say. You know, you're going through the mine fleet sort of replacement or refurb at the moment with a bit of capital to spend. Just as far as that rate's concerned, I know you're permitted for 15. I know you run last time we caught up, you ran through, I think the team ran through 30 different scenarios and the sweet spot was 13.2 to 13.5. But with coal prices where at the moment, can you actually flex Bengalla at all? I know it's obviously a big mine. It's not that simple. Just based on how things are going, is there any flex to go beyond 13.4?
I think to your point when we, I guess we're assessing what we could get out of the pit, that 13.4 is really sort of an average, annualized sort of run rate on average for the remainder of the life of the pit. There will be periods of time when we get very favorable conditions where we would exceed that 13.4. And then obviously when we go through times of wet weather, for example, and have logistics constraints or port constraints, then we may fall short. That 13.4 is really an achievable rate on a longer term basis.
For us to ramp up past that consistently and get to a 14 or 15 rate, that would be very challenging. It would require a fair bit of capital from a particularly from a prep plant perspective and yellow gear perspective, but it would mean significant congestion in the pit. That's one of the key reasons why we feel that's just not sustainable. The 13.4 is really something which is realistic. It's certainly pushing the pit to a, I guess, a level which we can comfortably say is achievable. You know, there will be times when we slightly achieve that if we have a very dry month, for example. We have seen that in the last few months.
We've had weeks where we well exceeded that run rate. The good thing is on a quarterly basis, we've seen a good consistent production level of that. We've sort of I think at the last quarterly call, we gave that guidance that the current quarter end at that point in time was running well and we see a pretty good runway for the end of the year and for years to come.
Your next question comes from Khyla Maher from Barrenjoey. Please go ahead.
I was just wondering, if we look at Q4, if you were able to sustain Q3 saleable production for both New Acland and Bengalla into Q4, you should be able to reach the top end of guidance. I was just wondering if there's anything to suggest that this wouldn't be achievable and you wouldn't be able to achieve towards the top end, like any planned shutdowns or anything else that we should be aware of heading into Q4?
Yes. I think from a guidance perspective, you touched on that. We feel as though we're within guidance and some of the metrics probably at the higher end or the better end, I would say. You know, we're confident that what we can control, we'll perform to that level. You know, having said that, we have been thrown some curve balls particularly with weather in prior years. You know, we feel as though we've put some strong mitigants into our logistics space, for example, where we've procured a number of different suppliers for rail, for example, to cover off any potential downside from a rail perspective.
You know, weather can cause problems. I guess the promising thing is we've come into the end of the third quarter really well-placed. You know, we're certainly on top of, those aspects which we can control. Yes, pretty confident that we'll have a strong fourth quarter.
Yes. Okay. Also just similarly on the sustained CapEx at Bengalla, I know you've spent $58 million to date. To achieve the midpoint, it'd be spending roughly half, like basically that again, just in the final quarter. Are you expecting to come in below guidance, I guess? Or are you still expecting a big capital spend, sustaining capital spend at Bengalla in Q4?
Thanks, Khyla. Yes, you're right. We have been tracking quite low on the sustaining capital. At this stage, we're expecting to come in at the lower end of guidance. A lot of the capital though is required, I guess, by third-party approvals and what have you. There is potential for us to drop below guidance, and if we do drop below guidance, we'll obviously update the market accordingly. At the moment, tracking at the very low end of that range.
Your next question is a follow-up from Paul Young from Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.
Just a few follow-ups and/or additional questions, actually. Firstly, just on New Acland, Rob, I know you mentioned around the higher ash production in the period, but can you just remind me what kilocalorie or what energy content that coal ash has, and should we be looking at the reference price in New Acland at the 5,500 benchmark or the 6,000 kilocal?
Yes. I have touched on the mix for New Acland previously. We do have a number of specs of coal at New Acland, which we produce, which is similar to what we produced in stage 2. So the higher ash product will be referenced to the API 5 index. I guess, the lower ash, high CV coal will be referenced to the Newcastle index. I think during the quarter, we had about 76% of our coal in the higher ash range, whereas the prior quarter, that was 55%. So certainly as we're ramping up the mine, we are seeing a bit of movement quarter on quarter, depending on which part of the pit we're in.
We'll probably continue to see that a bit as we open up the Manning Vale West pit later this year. Once that's opened up and we've got three pits running at steady state, you should see more of a consistent profile of coal. To answer your question, yes, we do have coals which are referenced to both Newcastle and to API 5.
Okay. Thanks, Rob. Just a question on the thermal market. I know near term your book's generally pretty full and you're still building that long-term customer base and the book at New Acland. If you look at the market at the moment, there's certainly market observations are suggesting that Korea is restocking at the moment. Demand in Europe seems pretty good. Chinese coal inventories are pretty low. Do you have any observations just on the market and incoming inquiries over the next 3 months leading into Northern Hemisphere summer that could suggest a bit of a uptick in pricing?
Well, I think you probably covered off a few points there with regards to China and Korea. We're certainly seeing, what we believe interest from Korea, which would indicate some switching from gas to coal. You know, we believe that it's been pretty dry in China, so their pump hydro, or sorry, their hydro generation is low, so that's obviously meant pivoting to other power sources including coal. That stocks are low, as you said. I think it's got the potential for not only some restocking, but you know, if there is a warm summer in the Northern Hemisphere, which many are predicting, that could see a heightened demand and potentially a fairly quick uptick in price.
I think it's fair to say that throughout this crisis, pricing has probably been a bit more subdued than what we would have thought. I think that's just been due to the fact that stocks were probably high. There was probably unsold stocks, but I think that's sort of edged its way out of the complex. I think now there's a real opportunity given what's happening in the Middle East there is gas shortages. There will continue to be no matter what happens. We feel as though demand if it stays where it is or it increases, it's definitely going to see price maintain or increase fairly materially.
As there are no further phone questions, we will now pause momentarily before addressing questions from the webcast.
Your first question from the webcast asks, during the quarter, you raised a convertible bond, could you please provide some background?
No problem. During the quarter, as I stated in my narrative before, we successfully issued the $300 million senior unsecured convertible, which is due in April 2032. So the fixed coupon for that, very low at 2.625% per annum. I guess comparing that to the prior one, which was 4.25%, so a material benefit there. At the same time or concurrently, we repurchased the existing CV for $293 million, or just over $293 million. That had an existing put option of 12th of July, 2027. So that was nearing. That note could be cash settled.
I guess from a proactive nature, we pushed through this transaction, and that mitigated that risk of having to pay that out in the next sort of just over 12 months away. As I said before, that pushes the maturity date out to end of first quarter 2032. There's probably a few other favorable terms which was realized in that. The coupon rate was low, which I touched on. We've also pushed up our strike price for when it was struck, obviously the conversion price. I think a very good outcome overall, and I think the note was 3x oversubscribed as well.
Very keen investor base there for that type of instrument.
There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr. Rob Bishop for any closing remarks.
No problem. Thanks very much for your time today. I appreciate you dialing into the call and have a great day.
That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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New Hope — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for today's presentation. I'm Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer of the New Hope Group. I'm joined by Rebecca Rinaldi, our CFO; and Dominic O'Brien, Executive General Manager and Company Secretary.
Before we begin, I would like to touch upon the escalating conflict in Iran and across the Middle East. The loss of civilian life and the scale of displacement are deeply distressing. The conflict has hardened concerns around global energy security, contributing to increased volatility across the energy markets, including upward pressure on coal price. The company is closely monitoring the situation and assessing how these developments may impact our operations, markets and broader business outlook, ensuring we respond in a measured and responsible manner. Further updates will be provided in future reporting.
This morning, we released our half year results for the 2026 financial year. Hopefully, you've had a chance to go through the presentation. But in any case, I'll step you through our key highlights before we open up the lines for the Q&A session.
Over the last 6 months, we have seen an unfavorable movement in our 12-month moving average TRIFR, which has increased from 3.22 to 3.8. The safety of our people remains our highest priority, and we are implementing targeted measures to address this trend. Despite a period of recovery at Bengalla Mine, the group maintains saleable coal production volumes compared to the previous period, thanks to the continued ramp-up of operations at New Acland Mine. The group delivered run-of-mine coal production of 7.9 million tonnes, saleable coal production of 5.5 million tonnes and coal sales of 5.6 million tonnes.
In terms of our financial highlights, we delivered an underlying EBITDA of $215 million and a statutory net profit after tax of $54 million, both of which were impacted by lower coal pricing compared to the previous period. Despite softer coal prices and certain short-term operational challenges, our assets remain resilient and continue to generate solid margins, which allow us to maintain returns to shareholders. On that note, I'm pleased to announce the Board has declared a fully franked interim dividend of $0.10 per share.
As I mentioned earlier, we have seen unfavorable movement in our TRIFR and a slight improvement in our all injury frequency rate over the last 6 months. We are fully focused on ensuring our people operate in an environment where they are unharmed. We have several safety initiatives in place to revise this trend and restore the improvement trajectory that we have been experiencing more generally over the last 18 months.
During the period, increased prime waste volumes were delivered at Bengalla Mine, which supported the realignment of the pit sequence following significant weather events across the Hunter region late in FY '25. The reestablishment of the Bengalla Mine prestripping activities resulted in lower ROM coal production and ultimately, saleable coal production compared to the previous period.
At New Acland Mine, the ramp-up continues to progress with the assets delivering healthy increases in both ROM coal production and saleable coal production. Despite lower volumes at Bengalla, the group was able to maintain saleable coal production volumes at a consolidated level, reflecting New Acland Mine's increased contribution to the group.
During the period, the thermal coal market was impacted by economic uncertainty, oversupply and weakened demand, which resulted in lower coal prices. The group's average sale price, including hedging, was $139 per tonne, approximately 20% lower than the previous period, which impacted both underlying EBITDA and cash flows from operations. Despite lower coal prices, the group's low-cost assets delivered a solid margin of $41 per tonne. Our business generated $185 million in cash flows from operating activities, which enabled reinvestment in our assets and allowed continued return to shareholders. During the period, we returned $124 million to our shareholders, representing the fully franked FY '25 final dividend of $0.15 per share.
Regarding -- regardless of pricing dynamics, our portfolio of low-cost assets provides resilience in a cyclical environment and assist to ensure that we continue to generate margins. In a period where the coal price has remained subdued, we were able to generate margins of approximately 30%. This showcases our low-cost nature as well as the significant upside potential available to New Hope and ultimately, our shareholders in higher coal pricing environments.
Our approach to capital management is underpinned by a disciplined focus on delivering sustainable returns to our shareholders. The group's strong cash generation allows us to sustain our current baseline of production whilst also investing in our organic growth profile. Our 2 forms of capital returns are fully franked dividends and on-market share buybacks. The pace of the share buyback has slowed in recent times following increases in company share price. However, it remains on foot to provide us with optionality.
As previously mentioned, our Board has declared a fully franked interim dividend of $0.10 per share. New Hope has had a significant franking account balance, and we'll continue to utilize this value for our shareholders. The dividend reinvestment plan, which we announced in September last year, will be in operation for the interim dividend.
Looking ahead, the outlook for our business remains positive. In the short term, Bengalla Mine is expected to return to its 13.4 million tonnes per annum ROM coal target in the second half of FY '26. In addition, New Acland Mine will continue its ramp up, including the commencement of mining activities in the Manning Vale West pit scheduled for the final quarter of calendar year 2026. We remain confident in achieving our full year physicals and cash cost guidance for FY '26, all of which are tracking strongly. In the medium to long term, we are focused on remaining a resilient low-cost coal producer while executing our organic growth plans, which will enable us to continue to deliver shareholder value.
Thank you very much. I'll now hand over to the operator to start the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] Your first phone question comes from Rob Stein from Macquarie.
2. Question Answer
Just 2 questions on the Iranian conflict. One, diesel inputs into your operations, I'd imagine, are pretty significant. Can you give us a feel for, one, the cost sensitivity that you might experience? And two, just how secure your safety stock is of fuel at this current point in time?
Sure. No problem, Rob. It's certainly something which we are monitoring very closely at the moment. I guess from an impact on the business with regards to price, if we look back, say, the last 12 months, we probably averaged about 13% of our cost base being diesel usage. And then you could probably look a bit further at our rail providers, for example. We do have a direct impact for diesel price through those. So although reasonably material, we're probably not looking at much more than maybe around 20% of our overall cost base to put coal on a boat. So -- and given our -- I guess, our low-cost base, the percentage increase on that is relative. Probably more importantly, the increase in coal price impacts 100% of our book. So although we're going to see a bit of increase in unit cost due to diesel, that should be far outweighed by the increase in coal revenues.
I guess, to the -- to your second point, as I said, we've certainly been monitoring it very closely, discussing it with our diesel providers. We've also been discussing within our own industries, both QRC, New South Wales Minerals Council and the MCA and also with our rail providers and any other influences -- anything which is influenced by price, explosives, et cetera. At the moment, we don't see any near-term risk in supply. We do have good supplies coming through, but we are certainly monitoring it closely and I guess, thinking about how we would prepare for a situation with reduced diesel availability, but nothing on the horizon is looking concerning at the moment.
And yes, obviously, on the flip side, you're seeing pretty good demand for your product, I'd imagine, right now. Has there been a swing in terms of the customer base that you're seeing in terms of whether it's different countries or different providers looking to get access to the raw materials given just the volatility and the change in raw material inputs -- or sorry, the change in energy flows globally? [ New ] customers banging down the door?
I guess in our situation, we've got long-term customers who will continue to take our coal. We sell a very small amount on spot. Our book is well sold out. We have long-term contracts. We're seeing consistent demand. I think it's fair to say that there was a lot of learnings from the Ukraine crisis with regards to security of energy supply. But certainly, as we've seen coal prices have increased and we've seen the direct benefit of that given all of our coal is contracted to the industry. So that is starting to flow through our results for the second half of the year for this group. So -- but I think demand will remain consistent. But I think things could change very quickly if there was a major impact to gas supplies or the like.
And sorry, just a final question. Is that what gave you the confidence to pay that dividend that obviously, the market expectations that sort of was higher in terms of payout ratio than previous periods?
I guess when you look at the dividend, that was based on our view on performance for the first half. I guess we're in a, I guess, a good position that our assets are low cost. And even if you look at the pricing over the first half, I think it's probably fair to say it's near to or at the bottom of the cycle. Given our low-cost nature, we can still pay good dividends and release our franking account asset to the shareholders. It's yet to be seen what will happen with the Iran war over the second half, and we'll think about that as we come into the end of the year.
Your next question comes from Glyn Lawcock from Barrenjoey.
Maybe just any comments you could make. If I look at coal equivalent pricing based on gas pricing, it should be north of $300 a tonne. Any comments you can make on -- I mean, really, the coal price move of like $30 seems quite low relative to all energy -- all other energy. Any observations you could make?
Yes, it's a good observation. And I think it's fair to say that discount has been around for some time now. So as to why that is, there's a lot of factors in that, but that -- I think that discount has just continued. But things can change when it comes to actual supply of gas. That's when, I think, you'll see a tightening potentially if gas is constrained.
Okay. So are you seeing any other sort of movements on coal flows then in terms of -- obviously, now with thermal almost in line with semi-soft, it's not worth washing it, not for you, but for some of your peers. I mean it's not -- you can't change it overnight. But do you think there's a bit of that going on, coal at this price is sort of moving differently from a flow perspective?
I think on your point with semi-soft, it's -- we did see a bit of an increase relative to thermal for coking coal when coking coal, I think, about a month or so ago, increased to about $250, while thermal coal stayed in the low hundreds. But it was pretty -- it wasn't that long ago. And I think now that thermal coal prices has increased relative to coking coal, I don't think we've probably had a chance to see much movement of semi-soft flowing into thermal. I think if that maintains for many months, then you'd probably see that movement.
I think as far as general coal flows, I haven't seen too much change there. I mean our destination for our coal is -- has stayed the same and probably will no matter what the outcome, just by virtue of the fact we've got long-term customers at both operations predominantly into Asia. So we don't have a huge spot book to direct the coal anywhere else.
Yes. Okay. And then maybe just thinking about the dividend. I know you sort of talked a little bit about -- it's all about balancing the needs of the business. But I mean, you brought your cash balance down by almost $100 million over the half. Like where do you see that cash balance going? I mean you've got competing needs, another 12 months of CapEx and then you're probably out the back end. You got your convertible note in 12 months' time to deal with that potentially. But as you've said on the previous call, probably unlikely to be put to you at the current share price. Where do you think the business needs to sit long term cash-wise?
So I think if you look at our capital requirements at the moment, the focus is capital into the business for the Acland ramp-up and some fleet replacement at Bengalla. We've got some guidance in the results, which talk to that. So that's certainly a focus on the best use of our funds to ensure the ramp-up at Acland to that sort of circa 5 million tonnes annualized production and also consistency of production at Bengalla. So that's first and foremost.
And then really, you've already touched on the convert. So we're aware of that. We're managing certain outcomes which might come from that. And then really, it's focusing on returning value to shareholders through fully franked dividends. And obviously, a price increase, there's probably a fairly strong correlation between dividends and price. But it's a pretty uncertain time with what's happening in Iran. And we don't want to get ahead of ourselves and assume that, that increase coal price is going to stay, but we'll keep following it.
And then just finally, I know you probably saw Port of Newcastle and you follow it closely. Shipments were an 8-year low for the month of February, but the weather wasn't bad. Was there something going on that saw an 8-year low for February exports in the valley? Anything you want to call out in your ops?
Yes. I mean it's been heightened for some time now, and you've seen that flow through our results at the beginning of the first half of this year. We had weather impacts, which predominantly was logistics related and same with our result for the final quarter for last year. So I think the fact that it's at an 8-year low, there's always going to be record set, but it's good to see the port freed up down there and ships getting out. That certainly helps the whole industry.
So there's nothing untoward in your first 6 weeks of your next quarter for Q3 at all to call out?
No.
[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from Daniel Roden from Jefferies.
Just wanted to ask a quick clarification just on your pricing and contract mix over the next 3 to 6 months. So I note that you've forward sold for the next 3 months. So I just wanted to clarify if there were any hedging that you've undertaken over that period just to consider.
Yes. So we've got some, I guess, existing hedging in place, and then we've also placed similar hedging in the last couple of weeks off the back of, I guess, heightened forward pricing.
I guess just to clarify on that, that's all paper hedging as well. It's not physical.
Yes.
Okay. And I guess just on the Bengalla recovery, can you provide a little bit of, I guess, color around returning. You mentioned returning to that 13.4 million tonnes per anuum run rate. Is that consistent across the entirety of, I guess, the second half? Or should we just be flatlining that run rate? Or are you still seeing, I guess, the realignments and pre-strip recovery, like are you going to see a bit of a ramp-up in that capability and that's probably more of an end run rate?
It should be consistent for the majority of the half. The first half was really about, I guess, overcoming those initial issues to wet weather and resequencing, but it should be a fairly consistent second half, obviously, excluding any unforeseen impacts due to weather, but now it should be sort of back to where the growth project projected it to, to that 13.4 million annualized.
And is that consistent with, I guess, the strip ratio and I guess, costs as a derivative of that? Like strip ratios are back to kind of 4x?
Yes. I think there's probably some guidance there, but yes, it's more back to life of pit expectations. Obviously, there will be some swings and roundabouts between months. But on average, it should be pretty consistent.
Yes. Awesome. And just one last one for me. More of just financial kind of nuance, but depreciation was probably a little higher in the period. Just wanted to, I guess, understand, I guess, where that step-up is? And should we be carrying that forward? Is it just increasing in overall business activity and additional purchases from equipment like having a heavy machinery kind of stuff? Or is it just one-offs?
So it's 2 main things, Daniel. So one, it's the completion of the growth project at Bengalla. So you might remember, we -- that was about $200 million, which came through to really uplift that production capacity and get us to that 13.4 million. So now we've seen almost a full 12 months of all of that equipment and infrastructure coming through that D&A line. And the other one relates to Acland. So in there, you would see, I guess, in the 31 July '25, you'll see commentary about the box cut. So that was opening up that Willeroo pit. So those additional costs to open up that pit are capitalized and then amortized. So you shouldn't see those big jumps now, and we should almost start to see that slowly unwind but for general sustaining capital come through the business. Keeping in mind, we do have that final $130 million at Acland spend to get to Manning Vale West. So that, again, will impact that D&A line.
Thank you. There are no further phone questions at this time. We'll now address your webcast questions.
Your first question asks, Indonesia is still putting on export controls on thermal coal export. What is the upside to -- sorry, what is the upside to steaming coal?
Yes. So that happened some time ago, and we did see some, I guess, inflationary impacts on price. It's probably been overshadowed now by what we're seeing in Iran. So it's hard to sort of unpick what the impact of Indonesia is, but certainly, the Iran conflict has had quite a material push up in price.
Your next question asks, why have you extended the on-market share buyback?
Yes, sure. So I guess, our capital management strategy, which you see on the slide just points to opportunistic and flexibility in our share price. So where we've seen a significant reduction in our share price and we really feel our assets are undervalued, that's when we will buy back shares. So having that flexibility and that optionality to jump into the market when we see value, that's why we turned it on or kept it turned on, and we'll continue to monitor the share price and be active when we see value, putting aside the fact that, at the moment, the best way to return shareholders' funds or value is through dividends.
The next question asks, you have provided guidance on the growth capital at New Acland Mine for around $130 million. What is the timing expectation on that spend?
So that should be over -- roughly over the next 12 months. So we've awarded the contract for -- so this is for the road realignment, so we can open up Manning Vale West pit, and that essentially gives us the pathway to ramp up to the 5 million product tonnes per annum. So roughly over the next 12 months, we'll be executing that capital.
Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr. Bishop for closing remarks.
Thank you, and thanks all for dialing in. Thank you.
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New Hope — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
New Hope — New Hope Corporation Limited, Q2 2026 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Feb 16, 2026
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the New Hope Group FY '26 Q2 Quarterly Activities Report and Investor Call. [Operator Instructions]
I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our call today. I'm Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer of New Hope Group. I'm joined here by Rebecca Rinaldi, our CFO; and Dom O'Brien, our Executive General Manager and Company Secretary. This morning, we released our quarterly report for the second quarter of the 2026 financial year. Hopefully, you've had a chance to go through the report. But in any case, I'll briefly step you through our key highlights before we open up the line for any Q&A.
Operationally, it's been a solid quarter, and we're really pleased with the results for the first half of the 2026 financial year. We have seen a deterioration in our safety performance for this quarter with our 12-month moving average TRIFR increasing from 2.61 to 3.8. The safety of our people remains our highest priority, and we are taking focused action to reverse this trend and restore the improvement trajectory achieved over the past year.
Group run-of-mine coal production was 4.1 million tonnes, up 5% compared to the previous quarter, following a strong mining performance at both operations. Saleable coal production was 2.8 million tonnes, 3% higher than the previous quarter, driven by an increased focus on coal mining at New Acland, partially offset by lower production at Bengalla Mine driven by the 7-day planned shutdown of the prep plant in December. Group coal sales was 2.9 million tonnes for the quarter, 8% higher than the previous quarter, reflecting improved logistics across the group.
In terms of financials, the group's underlying EBITDA for the quarter was $107 million, which was in line with the previous quarter. Our average realized price was $139 per tonne, a slight increase from the previous quarter, following improvement in both gC NEWC and the API-5 price.
Turning to our half year results. Prime waste movement was 34.7 million bcms, an increase of 13% compared to the first half of the 2025 financial year. The increase in waste movement is driven by the continued ramp-up of the New Acland Mine and the realignment of Bengalla Mine's pit sequence following the significant weather event in the last quarter of 2025 financial year.
Group run-of-mine coal production was 7.9 million tonnes, a decrease of 4% compared to the previous half year period, reflective of Bengalla Mine's focus on pre-stripping, partially offset by a decrease in New Acland's mine strip ratio. The group produced 5.5 million tonnes of saleable coal and sold 5.6 million tonnes of coal, both slightly higher than the previous half year result.
For the first half of 2026 financial year, the group achieved an underlying EBITDA of $215 million, reflecting a 59% decrease compared to the previous half year period. This result was driven by a considerable reduction in group's realized price for $173 per tonne to $138 per tonne, following a decrease in benchmark coal prices.
As at 31 January 2026, the group's available cash balance was $616 million. Looking ahead, we remain confident of achieving our full year physical and cash cost guidance. New Acland Mine has performed above expectations to date, and we expect the operation to finish towards the higher end of its guidance range on coal volumes. In addition, Bengalla Mine is expected to return to the 13.4 million tonnes per annum ROM coal production rate during the second half of the 2026 financial year.
Following a combination of both capital optimization and timing of spend, Bengalla Mine's 2026 financial year sustaining capital guidance has been reduced, reflecting our flexibility and disciplined approach to respond to market conditions.
The company remains focused on increasing our production base and continuing to remain a low-cost producer. We are pleased with the performance in the first half of the financial year and we look forward to a productive and safe second half.
I'll now hand over to the operator to start the Q&A session. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from James Williamson with Bell Potter.
2. Question Answer
Are you able just to elaborate on where you're finding the savings in regards to the lower Bengalla sustaining CapEx guidance? And is this essentially sort of pushing it out into later periods?
Yes. Thanks, James. Good question. So that is -- it is twofold. So part of that is not pushing the capital out, but just certain delays that we're experiencing with approvals, we're required to undertake some of that capital. So some of it is slowly pushing out into FY '27. But there's also a bit of a program we're running at the moment to really optimize the capital profile for everything else and make sure we're responding to the current soft coal conditions. So optimizing in terms of looking at pricing and looking at criticality and really making sure we're making the best decision for the business.
Yes. Understood. And then maybe just on New Acland, are you able to run through the weather impact there and if you've seen that ease into this quarter and whether or not that lower waste movement carry through to mining going forward? Will that impact anything going forward?
Are you referring to Bengalla, I think that's probably...
Sorry. Yes.
Yes, sure. So I guess the Bengalla, as we've touched on in the prior quarter, it had a fairly challenging start to the year. Essentially, the plan for the first half of the year as we go into the second half is to really, I guess, align the pit sequencing there. We have seen a slightly higher strip ratio as a result of that. And we will see fairly large volumes being moved in the second half of the year to get back to that 13.4 million tonne ROM run rate. So yes, that pit achieved that in the past. So it is doable and proven. Unfortunately, we've just had weather impacts, which has inhibited us from pulling together a full year at that rate. So second half is really about getting back to that long-term run rate of the 13.4 million tonnes.
Yes, cool. And then sorry, also at New Acland, you said you experienced weather delays as well, and there was a 14% reduction in waste movement there. Have you seen that ease going into the current quarter?
So Acland is going strong. You would have seen from the result. We've seen really good productivities of late, and we expect to sort of hit, I guess, the higher end of guidance at Acland. Certainly, when we -- I think when we caught up with you at the beginning of the year, we did have some concerns around logistics. It's fair to say that the logistics providers for both the above and below rail have really stepped up and supported us up on our ramp-up. So we're really pleased with their support, and that's really allowed Dave and the team on site to really crack up that mine and sort of head well towards achieving that 5 million tonnes per annum to get to steady state.
Great. And then are there any sort of rail outages scheduled for the remainder of FY '26 that we should be aware of there? Or is it -- and how are you managing those?
There are. There are scheduled outages, but we've got that in our plan. Previously, our issues were around unscheduled outages. So we're confident, as I just said, with both QR and Aurizon really rising to our request to provide the rail to get product off site. So yes, there are scheduled outages, but our plan takes that into account. And we're confident we can get to that higher end of the guidance.
Your next question comes from Daniel Roden with Jefferies.
Just wanted to touch really quickly on, I guess, a couple of capital management things with the Bowen Coking Coal DOCA. Can you quantify the financial guarantee and liability currently on the balance sheet? And I guess when do you expect the P&L and cash flow impacts from that? Is that expected in half 1 results?
Yes. So yes, a good outcome there. Obviously, it was quite concerning when it went into administration. But as you would have seen, made public and per hour quarterly, we've had a good outcome there. So we get fully off risk for the bond, which is $45 million at the moment, and we do get a payment to New Hope of circa $12 million for settlement of outstanding and also future royalty obligations underneath that initial transaction agreement with Bowen. So obviously, there's a few hoops to go through with creditors and further approval, but we're confident that, that will go through and I think probably in the next 2 months. Yes, the cash will come. So good to be able to get a clean exit from that asset and what is a pretty positive outcome for the group.
And I guess just to add, sorry, Rob, you'll see the accounting impacts come through our half year results. So you'll recognize in the previous years, we have written off or provided for certain bad debts, essentially. So that amount -- those amounts that went through the P&L will be reversed in the 31 Jan result, which will come out in March.
Yes. Yes. That makes sense. And is that -- I guess, does that cleans everything related to the Bowen Coking Coal? Or are there still other, I guess, things that will be carried on the balance sheet post?
No, that will be it. So clean exit from that asset.
Yes. Awesome. And a good result there. And you called out the convertible notes just in the quarterly. I just wanted to touch on how you're thinking about, I guess, those from, I guess, a refinancing and cash settlement perspective. Like what are you looking for in terms of market conditions? Is it just price and I guess, utilizing the cash balance on -- that you've got at the moment and [ debt ], how do you think about that?
Yes. Thanks for that. So I guess, like you touched on in the quarterly, we are looking at all methods of financing. We do have that put risk coming in about 18 months, which if the conditions aren't great at the time in terms of share price, we expect that bond will be put. Today, probably won't be put given where the share price is. When we look at other financing opportunities, we have to look, obviously what's available, being a thermal coal producer, but the hybrid market is really favorable for us. So being either just a straight hybrid or those convertible bonds.
In terms of pricing, we expect pricing to be pretty competitive to the existing bond on foot, which is at 4.25% coupon. So there's a few things that we've got our eye on. We don't need to rush to do anything. We've got time, but we want to make sure we're in front of that potential put date.
Yes, makes a lot of sense. Okay. And maybe just last one from me [indiscernible], but I just wanted to touch operationally. You noted that you've, I guess, forward sold 3 months of, I guess, coal. I guess what's the structure of that? Is that fixed and indexed? Are they obviously tied to the NEWC and API-5 linkages? I assume you've got FX assumptions in there, like you're pretty confident on that forward sales structure if there is a change in the underlying market?
Yes. So that's right. That 3 months sold forward contracts are linked to both high-ash and low-ash indices. Yes. FX-wise, yes, that's obviously increased a bit. We do have some fairly favorable hedging in place for the group. So although it's ticked up over the $0.70 mark, we're hedged below that. So our planned expectations to take that into account.
Yes. And I assume you have a fair bit of, obviously, good visibility on the quality of those sales over the next 3 months because you have seen, I guess, a higher yields, higher quality, particularly out of Acland, I guess. Are you expecting that to continue over, I guess, kind of calendar '26? Or like do you see a reversal in? Like when do you expect that to happen coming back to normalization?
Yes. So for Acland, the quality coming out is a bit of timing at play at the moment. So you probably would have noticed in the first quarter, we had probably a higher portion of high-ash coal. Second quarter, it was probably positioned more towards low-ash. We expect over the -- as we ramp up that to sort of settle back to sort of 60-40 split or thereabouts between the high-ash and low-ash, obviously, the majority of it being the low-ash coal. So really, just a bit of timing at play. As we ramp up, obviously, we're in 2 pits at the moment. We're looking to get into the Manning Vale West pit back end of this calendar year, and that will give us our sort of ability to get the right blend of product as we mine it.
[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from Glyn Lawcock with Barrenjoey.
Just a couple of quick ones if I could. So just the cash from operations was pretty much as expected, but you finished with a bigger cash balance than I think myself and the market thought. What was CapEx in the half? Are you sort of talked a little bit about what you're going to spend on sustaining at Bengalla? But I just wondered what CapEx was like.
Yes, sure. Thanks, Glyn. It was lower than what we originally thought. So you'll see in the quarterly that we have got the sustaining capital, which was below expectations. I guess that's partially the reason why we reduced guidance down. So there is timing implications that have come through there but also just overall optimization. So that's led us, I guess, increase that cash balance a little bit more than what we originally thought.
Okay. So we have to wait for the half for the final CapEx number, I guess.
The overall CapEx, yes. The sustaining for Bengalla is in there. But yes, the Acland one, obviously, that's it, that will be in the half.
Yes. Okay. And then maybe, Rob, just staying on Bengalla, obviously, costs are trending towards the bottom end of the range. Back half, you talked to increased volumes and lower strip ratio. Where do you think Bengalla goes over the next 6 and sort of 18 months from a cost perspective?
I think Bengalla is really driven by, obviously, unit costs driven by volume. As we've touched on, we have seen, I guess, a challenging start to the year, having to, I guess, reset the pit. So we have seen an increase in cost compared to prior year. And that's really part of it is the strip ratio increase. But per the quarterly, you'll see that come off a bit. And I think as we ramp up to that 13.4 million ROM, you'll see volumes up again, and you'll see cost decrease.
So obviously, there's some uncontrollables in there with regards to just general cost of mining is increasing. We control what we can. Labor costs are increasing, all those things, but ultimately, if we can keep pushing the volume out, that's where our benefit is from a cost control perspective.
So prior year's achievable, do you think? Or has there been other headwinds that prevent that from happening?
I think we'll get back to closer to what prior years are. Ultimately, again, it's really volume driven. Obviously, anything controllable on site, we will do just as things out of our player fuel costs and the like. If you see an increase in the price per barrel, that will flow through the business in diesel price, explosives. But ultimately, it's usually correlated with an increase in coal price. So I think what you'll see is if our cost base increase, you'll see that across the whole industry. But really for us, focus on what we can control, that's moving safely and productively and that ultimately keeps our unit cost down.
Yes. And then just on the gC NEWC 6000, it's lifted up in the recent weeks. I mean it sort of lagged the met coal market. Has this been more the met coal market price dragging up gC NEWC or do you think there's something else at play from a supply and demand perspective that's seen the recent lift?
It's probably a few things. You would have seen in the market that Indonesia has put constraints on production that's pushed up particularly the high-ash market into China. That ultimately, as that creeps up, that provides a bit of underpinning for the NEWC. You would have seen also potentially a modest volume of semi-soft coming out of the Newcastle index or the market. So that obviously benefits the price as well.
So I think, yes, we've seen an increase. Will it stay there, will it come down or will it go up? We kind of feel as though where it is at the moment sort of in the $110 mark between $110, $120 is probably sustainable. I don't see a big catalyst for it to move significantly north but nor do we see it moving down dramatically with that high-ash moving into the 80s. I think there's a justification there that we should see pricing move forward roughly where it is.
All right. That's great. If I could squeeze the last one in. Just Anglo, the sales process has restarted. Is that something that New Hope and yourselves are thinking about? Or is it completely off the agenda for you guys?
So yes, that's right. We've been approached on that. Anglo, I can just sell the whole portfolio as one. We're not interested in the whole portfolio.
Your next question comes from Rob Stein with Macquarie.
Just a quick one, capital allocation. How should we think about the upcoming decision that's in front of you and the Board around what to expect around allocation given the cash balance, noting the buyback was unutilized in the period?
Yes. So we announced the buyback. I think we've executed about $10 million of that. I think where share price is at the moment, our focus is more aligned with dividends. We've touched on the capital profile in the business sustaining and drive capital execution. So really, in our operations is the focus. Obviously, we're being disciplined with that, trying to minimize that as much as possible, but that's key to ensure the future viability of the assets. And then second to that is really franked dividends.
And can you just -- so just around Malabar, can you give us a bit of an update, just a bit more color on how the project is tracking and what it's capable of over the next 12 to 24 months? And how do New Hope shareholders are going to extract a return from that investment?
Yes. So Malabar is going well. It's on track to hit first longwall coal towards the back end of this first quarter is the expectation. So as you may recall that there's 2 operating pits there, there's a Bord and Pillar pit, which is starting to really bed itself down, get some good productivities there to put it in a profitable position even at these quite modest prices. But really, the focus is getting development completed or well installed and ramping up the longwall for the first panel.
So from an infrastructure perspective, things are going really well on the surface, overland conveyors, commissioned longwalls, all teething issues have been removed, crews have had good training, and that will look to really underpin the performance of that longwall once it's installed. So that install is happening days away now. They're firming up the final mining of the face road and installation should go to plan, given that it's been on surface for quite a while now.
So really positive time for the crew down there and Wayne and the management team. So it's really about bedding in that first longwall, continuing to get development aligned with that, ensure we've got enough development float as we get into the second and third and fourth longwall panel.
In terms of how sort of cash flows from that vehicle back to New Hope, when are you -- what can investors expect around a return on investment, noting the asset does have debt against it? How should we think about that?
Yes. So that's still a little time away, and that's not -- that was in the plan. Obviously, it's a new underground operation. So obviously, the -- I guess the key milestone here is getting to a point of positive cash generation. As you touched on, there is a couple of debt pieces in there to allow it to get to this point. So we'll be looking in the coming years to look for dividends. Obviously, that's going to be driven by not only productivity but also pricing. So -- but fundamentally, the assets, solid. Conditions are really good underground. We expect the longwall to achieve what we thought it would when we first got into the operation. And obviously, once debt's covered off, then we'll look forward to some good distributions, which will benefit all shareholders including New Hope.
Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'll now hand back to Mr. Bishop for closing remarks.
No problem. Thanks very much for everyone dialing in. We appreciate you coming into the call. Have a great day.
Thank you. That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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New Hope — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the New Hope Group Quarterly Activities Report August to October 2025 Quarter 1. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to Mr. Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our call today. I'm Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer of New Hope Group. I'm joined here by Rebecca Rinaldi, our CFO; and Dom O'Brien, our Executive General Manager and Company Secretary.
This morning, we released our quarterly report for the first quarter of the 2026 financial year, which includes our guidance for the year ahead. Hopefully, you've had a chance to go through the report. But in any case, I'll briefly step you through our key highlights before we open up the line for the Q&A.
It's been a solid start to the 2026 financial year. Most importantly, our safety performance continues to improve with our 12-month moving average TRIFR decreasing to 2.63 at the end of the quarter, which was 18% lower than the previous quarter. It's pleasing to see our safety measures improve our successive quarters, and we continue to make this a key priority.
Operationally, both sites performed well during the first quarter. We moved 17.1 million bcms at prime overburden, a 6% increase from the previous quarter, driven by improving mine conditions. In addition, we produced 2.7 million tonnes of saleable coal, an increase of 7% compared to the previous quarter, largely reflecting the easing of logistical and site stock constraints at Bengalla mine.
Following significant weather events in the July quarter, Bengalla mine recorded improved operational performance and continues to focus on realignment of the pit sequence. Saleable coal production was 2 million tonnes while coal sales were 1.9 million tonnes, both increasing by over 20% compared to the previous quarter with the CHPP maximizing washed product ahead of its 7-day planned shutdown in December 2025.
Following the increased coal production, Bengalla mine achieved an FOB cash cost, excluding royalties, of $83 per sales tonne, 18% lower than the previous quarter. At New Acland mine, the focus was on prime waste movement, which increased by 14% compared to the previous quarter. Saleable coal production was 0.7 million tonnes, and coal sales were 0.8 million tonnes, both lower than the previous quarter as we process some of the lower yielding coal on stock.
In terms of financials, the group's underlying EBITDA for the quarter increased by 16% to $108 million, largely driven by increased coal sales at Bengalla. Our average realized price was AUD 137 per tonne, a slight increase from the previous quarter following improvements in both gC NEWC and the API-5 price. During the quarter, the group paid the FY '25 final fully franked dividend of $0.15 per share or $126 million and ended the quarter with available cash of $544 million.
As I mentioned earlier, today, we released the group's 2026 financial year guidance, which is targeting saleable coal production of between 10.2 million and 11.5 million tonnes. This outlook reflects an increasing contribution from New Acland mine and production at Bengalla mine maintaining a relatively stable state, despite the flowing effects from significant weather and downstream logistics challenges which impacted the 2025 financial year. Overall, we are looking forward to a productive and safe year ahead and continue to remain a low-cost producer.
I'll now hand over to the operator to start the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question today comes from James Williamson from Bell Potter.
2. Question Answer
I might just start with New Acland. Can you just elaborate on what you're now required to do following the Queensland government change in the Stage 3 conditions around the construction of the new rail loop? And what CapEx is required or potential CapEx savings as a result of that decision?
Sure. I'll -- Dom O'Brien here. I'll take that one. Significant change recently was the Coordinator General's decision to delete the requirement for us to build a dedicated rail loop at the mine. This is probably the most significant change in the approvals process since we commenced our ramp-up activity really going back a couple of years now.
The main issue with the rail loop was that it was originally proposed back when the footprint of the mine that we applied for was proposed to be much bigger. And as we went through a very protracted approvals process, we really, at the end of that, ended up with a suite of approvals that saw the mine continuing to operate at the same levels as it has done historically. So in that context, it didn't really make any sense to build a dedicated rail loop, and there was some very legitimate questions about the utility of it.
So we explored with the Coordinator General the option of deleting that rail loop and looked at other conditions around enhancing the local road network that we would continue to use as we have done historically. And we also looked at some options around further enhancing community investment to deal with any impacts that were associated with that change. So we went through what we thought was a very useful and sort of sensible process, and we resulted in an outcome that was quite balanced through the deletion of that rail loop. And sort of most importantly as well, it's enabled us to scale back the footprint of the mine, and we also result in not having to disturb over 100 hectares of land. It will just remain as it is. So a range of benefits there.
On the capital aspect to it, the headline number for building that rail infrastructure that we had estimated previously was about $120 million. So we save that upfront. There is, however, investment that gets repurposed into the local roads network, and that sort of smooths that capital profile over the life of it.
Great. Maybe just another question on Bengalla. How should we think about the production and cost profile over FY '26 as a result of the pit realignment happening? And is the focus sort of in the first half on pre-strip with production and sort of cost to improve across the year?
Yes. So as you would have seen in the quarterly and at the end of the quarter last year, we had significant rain events and logistical constraints, which impacted our FY '25 year, which that obviously, I guess, changed the profile of the mine planning for the pit last year and then that continued into the first quarter of this year. So for the remainder of this year, it's really aligning the pit, laying back the high wall to ensure we can get the pit back in sequence.
So this year, you will see a slight increase on FOB costs, and that's really just driven by, I guess, a short-term heightened strip ratio off the back of that pit realignment. And then moving forward, once that's back in sequence, you'll see that the strip ratio will come off, and we'll achieve sort of that 13.4 million ROM, which was indicated as part of the growth project, and you'll see the unit cost come back down to a more consistent longer-term rate.
Great. And then just another one, if I may, on balance sheet, and then I'll pass it on. But even if you remove the dividend payment, your cash balance is still down around -- I calculate around $37 million. Is that sort of just a result of CapEx and/or how should we think about the CapEx profile across FY '26?
Yes, sure. So I mean, the cash balance is down because of the dividend, but also we acquired an additional 3% in Malabar. So that was around $36 million that transacted towards the end of September. So that kind of bridges that gap per the original for the previous quarter. I guess this year, we do have a heightened capital profile at Bengalla. There is capital in there that we are required to do over the next 12 to 18 months, and we're also looking at a fleet replacement for the trucks, which we've talked about in previous reporting documents. We are looking at financing those trucks to really smooth that cash profile, while the coal price is still sitting at a relatively low level. But overall, I think the balance sheet is in a pretty good state, and we'll continue to manage capital as we need.
[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from Glyn Lawcock from Barrenjoey.
Just a couple. Firstly, any comments you can make around how we should think about New Acland, its costs in '26, say, relative to last year?
Yes. No, it's a good question. I think Acland and obviously, guidance, we haven't included that in the past really because it's in ramp-up. So we'll obviously combine that into the group guidance moving forward. But for now, while it's in ramp-up, it probably doesn't send the right message with regards to costs. Once it gets to a steady state, it will sit in the low 90s for -- so that's the cost to put it on the boat, so FOB cost. And really, the difference between if you were to compare Bengalla and Acland is just the rail corridor. So it's not as efficient, smaller trains and less volume going down the trade line. So longer term, when we're running at about 5 million product, it will be in the low 90s at Aussie.
All right. That's great. And then just the buyback, it's obviously been in place but inactive all year. You've been returning cash through dividends though. So you're still happy to return cash. Is there -- why the preference for dividends over buybacks once it was put in place but not used? Any thoughts?
Yes, sure. So I guess, yes, we did turn the buyback on when we saw real volatility in the market around that March, April period. We've seen the share price come a lot higher than originally when we entered the buyback, and I think the average buyback price about $3.60. We are still active in the buyback, and we'll look for opportunity when it comes about. But at the moment, given where coal price is and the capital profile, the focus is to maintain a reasonable dividend profile and also utilize the franking account balance we have, which is about $900 million at the moment. So again, we want to put that in our -- the hands of our shareholders. So probably the preference at the moment is dividends.
Okay. No, I appreciate that, Rebecca. And I guess if you have a windfall and prices go back up, then we may supplement it. But right now, just focus on the dividend and the banking. It's just a surprise to put it in place when you really had all that franking to start with, I guess.
Yes, that's right. It's just flexibility really that we like to have.
As there are no further phone questions, we will now pause briefly and address any questions from the webcast.
Your first question from the webcast today asks, regarding future dividend payment, would the management consider to use a large amount of cash reserve as a backdrop to maintain high yield dividend than your competitors to attract more income-seeking investors?
Yes. I guess that it's a good question. And I think one we consider a lot when we come to each reporting period and decide what dividend to pay in line with the Board's expectations. Like I mentioned earlier, we are in a soft period of coal pricing, and we do have a slightly higher capital profile for both operations over the next 12 to 18 months. That's probably where we see the most value is getting our sites, particularly New Acland, ramped up to that 5 million tonnes. So that is, by far, the best use of cash at the moment.
Aside from that, in Bengalla's capital profile, then yes, we would look to reward shareholders with a strong dividend profile. We want to maintain that profile, and we do what we can when we look back over the past 6 months and look forward as to what coal price is doing. But in order -- I guess we did raise a lot of that cash for strategic opportunities. So I can't see us using all of it for dividends, but we would assess the situation at each reporting period.
Your next question from the webcast asks, what mitigation strategies have you put in place to limit the logistics constraints at Bengalla?
It's a good question. So those constraints arose during the significant weather events in the Hunter region at the end of last year, which I touched on before. Yes. We incurred significant rail cancellations during that weather, and there are also issues with labor availability and congestion at the port.
So the focus has really been engaging with the major rail providers since those events. And certainly, we've seen some improvements, but certainly more improvement is needed. We look to other logistics providers as well just to ensure that we cover off any potential downside with a specific rail provider. And we've also looked to increase our overall haulage capacity. So that if there are more constraints, we've got more capacity to deal with.
Your next question from the webcast asks, is the company considering increasing its stake in Malabar any further? If so, are there any active discussions in this regard?
I guess, in short, no, with regards to active discussions. You would have no doubt recall, we've completed 2%, 3% increases in Malabar, and that's really been off the back of being approached by other major shareholders. So we're not actively looking for it. But if we get approached for an opportunity, we assess it on its merits. And in these 2 cases, we've executed on both 3% increases. But as I've said before, projects going well, and we're very happy with the skill set and knowledge of our of other major shareholders in that business.
Your next question from the webcast asks, the proportion of high ash coal sales seems to be increasing in comparison to total sales. Is this trend expected to continue?
So the -- I guess, the sales mix during the quarter was really off the back of sales from New Acland. So we are seeing, I guess, a higher portion of higher shipments scheduled in the quarter. But we will see that come down across the year. And then once we get to full production, you'll see it fall back to that sort of similar percentage split that we saw in Stage 2. So it's really just a timing issue at the moment where we are in the development of that pit.
Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'd now like to hand back over to Mr. Bishop for any closing remarks.
No problem. Thanks for dialing in, and thanks for your time today. Have a great day.
That does conclude our conference for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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New Hope — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone, and apologies for the slight delay. Thank you for joining us for today's presentation. I'm Rob Bishop, Chief Executive Officer for New Hope Group. On my left, I'm joined by Rebecca Rinaldi, our CFO; and Dominic O'Brien on my right, who is our Executive General Manager and Company Secretary.
This morning, we released our full year results for the 2025 financial year. Hopefully, you've had a chance to go through the presentation. But in any case, I'll step you through our key highlights for the year before we open up the line for a Q&A session.
Despite a softening coal price and a challenging operating environment, 2025 was a strong year for New Hope, where we delivered another considerable increase in saleable coal production as we continue to execute our organic growth plans.
Pleasingly, we've seen a significant improvement in safety this year with our 12-month moving average TRIFR decreasing by 35% to 3.22. It's positive to see these metrics improving, and we'll continue to focus on this area as we move into 2026.
During the year, we navigated significant wet weather and logistics constraints at our operations in both Queensland and New South Wales. Despite these uncontrollable factors, the group delivered run-of-mine coal production of 16.4 million tonnes, up 33%; saleable coal production of 10.7 million tonnes, up 18% and coal sales of 10.5 million tonnes, up 21%.
In terms of our financial highlights, we delivered an underlying EBITDA of $766 million and a statutory net profit after tax of $439 million. Both earnings results were largely impacted by lower realized pricing with the Newcastle export coal price hitting a 4-year low during the 2025 financial year.
This year, our business generated $571 million in cash flow from operating activities, which funded investment in our organic growth pipeline and has enabled us to continue to deliver returns to our shareholders. On that note, I'm pleased to announce the Board has declared a fully franked final dividend of $0.15 per share. This brings total dividend for FY '25 to $0.34 per share, all of which are fully franked.
Turning to safety. The safety of our people is a key priority, and we are focused on ensuring our people operate in an environment where they are unharmed. As I mentioned earlier, we have seen an improvement in our TRIFR and our All Injury Frequency Rate since we reported to the market last year.
Pleasingly, our TRIFR now sits below the 5-year industry average for New South Wales open-cut coal mines. While there's still opportunity for improvement, it's pleasing to see the safety programs we put in place during the year have had a positive impact across our sites.
Turning to our operational performance. This year, our Bengalla mine in New South Wales faced notable operational challenges due to significant weather events and logistics constraints across the Hunter Valley. These disruptions led to elevated shipping queues, increased rail cancellations and stock management challenges at site.
Despite these headwinds, Bengalla mine delivered a solid performance, producing 7.9 million tonnes of saleable coal, just 2% lower than the previous year's output. Despite lower-than-expected production, Bengalla mine achieved an FOB cash cost, excluding royalties and trade coal, of $76.50 per sales tonne, within guidance range, and a 2% improvement from the previous period.
The ramp-up of our New Acland mine progressed throughout the 2025 financial year, supported by commencement of night shift operations in the prep plant and increased workforce intake. As a result, the mine delivered 2.8 million tonnes of salable coal and continues to ramp up towards its target of becoming a 5 million tonnes per annum operation.
Overall, strong operational performance at both sites contributed to an 18% increase in group saleable coal production, reaching 10.7 million tonnes. Group FOB cash costs improved by 8% to $82.40 per sales tonne.
In terms of our financial performance, the group achieved an average sales price, including hedging, of $161 per tonne and an underlying margin of $64 per tonne. During the year, the thermal coal market was impacted by oversupply, economic uncertainty and a mild winter in Asia, resulting in a softening in coal price.
Despite these market conditions, the group's low-cost assets remain resilient and continue to generate solid margins through the cycle. Our business generated $571 million in cash flows from operating activities, enabled continued investment in our assets, allowing us to return $347 million to our shareholders by way of fully franked dividends. This represents $0.41 per share paid during the period, which equates to a gross dividend yield of 12%.
Our approach to capital management is underpinned by a disciplined focus on delivering sustainable returns to shareholders. Our two forms of capital returns are fully franked dividends and on-market share buyback. As at the end of 2025, the pace of the share buyback has slowed in conjunction with increase in the company's share price. As previously mentioned, our Board has declared a fully franked dividend of $0.15 per share.
New Hope has a significant franking account balance, and we continue to utilize this value for our shareholders. Today and in conjunction with our results release, we announced the introduction of a Dividend Reinvestment Plan, providing shareholders with the option to reinvest their dividends. The DRP is in operation for the 2025 final dividend.
Our group strategy is to safely, responsibly and efficiently operate our low-cost, long-life assets with a focus on disciplined capital management, providing valuable returns to our shareholders. We believe our investment proposition is underpinned by these six key areas, which I'll briefly touch on in the following slides.
The outlook for our industry is strong. Our strategy is underpinned by the belief that demand for thermal coal produced from Australian operations will continue to play a vital role in providing reliable and secure energy supply to the world.
Whilst we expect coal's share of global power generation to reduce over time, the sheer increase in global power demand will continue to support seaborne thermal coal exports into the future. In addition, the aging of existing thermal coal assets, combined with underinvestment in new projects suggest a potential supply shortfall and attractive pricing outlook for the industry.
Regardless of pricing dynamics, our low-cost assets produce high-quality coal, providing resilience in cyclical environment and ensuring continued margin generation. In a year where the coal price has touched multiyear lows, our assets were still able to generate margins of circa 40%, which showcases our low-cost nature as well as the significant upside potential available to New Hope and ultimately, our shareholders.
New Hope holds a key focus on delivering returns to shareholders. In the last year -- in the last 4 years, fully franked dividends have totaled $1.9 billion, which equates to nearly 55% of the company's market capitalization as at 31 July 2025. In addition, New Hope's share price has outperformed the ASX All Ordinaries by nearly 8x since its initial public offering in 2003.
At New Hope, we take pride in our people and the communities in which we operate. We aim to effectively manage our economic, social and environmental impact to ensure the resilience of our business so that we can continue to create stakeholder value.
Key aspect of being a responsible operator is rehabilitation. At our Bengalla and New Acland mines, we have disturbed approximately 3,000 hectares of land for mining operations and rehabilitated 36% of that disturbance. In addition, the majority of our land is used for agricultural operations once successfully rehabilitated.
Looking ahead, we remain focused on the organic growth of our business throughout the continued ramp-up of New Acland mine, the sustained production at Bengalla mine and the development of Malabar's Maxwell Underground mine, all of which are low unit cost assets.
Our pipeline targets a significant increase in coal production over the next 3 years, which represents low-risk, cost-effective growth. Looking ahead to the 2026 financial year, we are focused on remaining resilient, low-cost coal producer while executing our organic growth plans, which will enable us to continue to deliver shareholder value.
Thank you very much. I'll now hand over to the operator to start the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question is a phone question from Rob Stein from Macquarie.
2. Question Answer
Just looking at Slide 14 of your presentation, you've outlined the growth program or a growth profile. Just sort of chipping into it a little bit more, I noticed the Maxwell mine progressive ramp-up and the long-term rate there providing an indication of absolute volumes.
Just wondering if you could comment on that as to how you see the ramp-up potential of the mine. And then similarly, just looking at the constant sustained basis for Bengalla, just thinking through the long-term CapEx requirements there.
Sure. So I guess with our organic ramp-up, we're looking to double our production from -- I think your first question was in relation to Maxwell mine, Malabar's mine. That is already in ramp up. Bord and pillar pit is fully operational.
And really, the increase in -- material increase in tonnes will come from the longwall pit or the Woodlands Hill pit when we should see first longwall coal first quarter calendar year 2026. So from that projection, and you can see the uplift on that chart, that should get up to around sort of 6 million to 7 million product tonnes from that operation around about sort of FY '29 onwards.
So -- and then I guess, with regards to Bengalla, growth project there has been very successful. Both the prep plant and the pit has achieved targeted production from that growth project albeit hampered by uncontrollable events offside.
So you would have seen in the report, we touched on weather events and resulting logistics impact. So that's hampered us in the final quarter of the FY '25 year, and it continued to hamper us into the beginning of this year, and we'll be putting out guidance for this year, I think, in mid-November.
So just as a brief follow-up, in Maxwell, you've got 6 -- sort of ramping up to the 6 million tonne rate there. That's what we should be looking at modeling and taking forward in terms of a view on the mine's potential?
Yes, I think somewhere in the 6 million to 7 million is what the expectation is. I guess where that asset is at the moment, it's developing up the first longwall panel. So obviously, when you get into a longwall pit, despite all the exploration you can do, you don't really get to understand geological conditions until you're down there.
So that's progressing well. And like I said, we're expecting to get the first year of the longwall in first quarter of next year. So assuming everything goes to plan, that should get up to sort of that circa 6 million to 7 million product per annum.
[Operator Instructions] We'll now move to our webcast questions while we wait for any other phone questions to register.
Your first webcast question reads, with thermal coal now having retraced back to $102 per tonne, what are your views on the state of the market. Anything we could look out for into the second half other than typical seasonality in coal demand in industrial production and renewable energy generation?
Yes, that's quite right. And I think we've almost dipped under $100 for the Newcastle index. So pricing is certainly challenging at the moment. We've seen good, consistent supply across the globe of thermal coal. And we've also seen the impact of low coking coal prices affecting thermal coal with some semi-soft products being pushed into the thermal coal market.
So if you overlay a fairly soft demand for this calendar year, that's obviously put downward pressure on pricing. As to what that's going to do moving forward, it's a good question. I think there could be some restocking as we go into the Northern Hemisphere winter, which is those typical cyclical changes which you mentioned.
But I think our view is we don't see a significant increase in coal prices in sort of the next 6 months or so. I think that oversupply, which I talked about, that really needs to push itself out of the market, and we'll see what this Northern Hemisphere winter brings.
Your next webcast question asks, during the new year, New Hope Group increased its equity interest in Malabar Resources Limited by 3% to 22.98%. Is the business looking to increase its equity interest in Malabar again this year?
So I guess overarching, our key focus is our organic growth, which we've touched on at both Bengalla and Acland. Yes, we did take an additional 3% in the financial year just gone, and that was really off the back of an approach from another major shareholder.
I guess with all M&A, we consider acquisitions as a put forward. But obviously, any acquisition we do would need to meet stringent returns, et cetera. And obviously, with the soft market at the moment, we'd need to take that into account.
Your next webcast question asks, your final dividend is much higher compared to what your peers have announced. Are you able to sustain this level of dividend in the current coal price environment?
Yes, that's a good question. And as always, we like to reward our shareholders with dividends. And I think the $0.15 fully franked, which we announced today, has been well received.
I guess our underlying assets really put us in the position to reward shareholders, the low strip ratio and as a result, low cost, we put a lot of focus on cost control. And as a result, we continue to make a strong margin even in the cyclical lows, which we're seeing right now. So we're confident that's going to continue, and we'll see what this year lies ahead for us.
There are no further webcast or phone questions at this time. I'll now hand back for any closing remarks.
Well, thank you for joining. And again, apologies for the delay in our start, a few technical issues, but it's been a pleasure delivering this result, and we'll see you next time. Thank you.
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Finanzdaten von New Hope
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Jan '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 1.591 1.591 |
19 %
19 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 1.000 1.000 |
3 %
3 %
63 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 591 591 |
41 %
41 %
37 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 326 326 |
40 %
40 %
21 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | - - |
-
-
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 263 263 |
64 %
64 %
17 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 153 153 |
73 %
73 %
10 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen AUD.
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Firmenprofil
Die New Hope Corp. Ltd. beschäftigt sich mit der Entwicklung und dem Betrieb von Kohleminen, Hafenumschlag und Logistik, Landwirtschaft sowie der Entwicklung und Förderung von Öl und Gas. Das Unternehmen ist in den folgenden Segmenten tätig: Kohleabbau in Queensland, Kohleabbau in New South Wales und Sonstiges. Das Segment Kohlebergbau in Queensland umfasst bergbaubezogene Exploration, Erschließung, Produktion, Verarbeitung, Transport, Hafenbetrieb und Vermarktung. Das Segment Kohlebergbau in New South Wales konzentriert sich auf Bergbauproduktion, -verarbeitung, -transport und -vermarktung. Das Segment Sonstige bezieht sich auf die Exploration, Erschließung, Förderung und Verarbeitung von Kohle, Öl und Gas sowie auf den Weidebetrieb und die Verwaltung. Das Unternehmen wurde 1986 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Brisbane, Australien.
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| Hauptsitz | Australien |
| CEO | Mr. Bishop |
| Mitarbeiter | 1.575 |
| Gegründet | 1986 |
| Webseite | www.newhopegroup.com.au |


