Landbridge Company Aktienkurs
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 5,68 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 206,15 Mio. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 5,68 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 250,99 Mio. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 6,19 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 206,15 Mio. $
Enterprise Value = 6,19 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 250,99 Mio. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Landbridge Company Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
16 Analysten haben eine Landbridge Company Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
16 Analysten haben eine Landbridge Company Prognose abgegeben:
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Landbridge Company — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for joining LandBridge's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Jason Long; and our Chief Financial Officer, Scott McNeely.
Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that in this call and the related presentation, we will make forward-looking statements regarding our current beliefs, plans and expectations, which are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from results and events contemplated by such forward-looking statements. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements.
Please refer to the risk factors and other cautionary statements included in our filings with the SEC. I would also like to point out that our investor presentation and today's conference call will contain discussions of non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. These supplemental measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in our earnings release and the appendix of today's accompanying presentation.
I'll now turn the call over to our CEO, Jason Long.
Thank you, May, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to report that we began 2026 consistent with our plan and our confidence in the model with strong year-over-year growth and commercial momentum heading into Q2. Our second half 2026 growth drivers are on track. And as Scott will further detail, we are also raising our full year 2026 guidance. This decision is grounded in increased visibility and conviction in our commercial pipeline for the remainder of the year, combined with a more supportive macroeconomic environment.
In the first quarter, we grew both revenue and adjusted EBITDA by approximately 16% year-over-year, achieving an adjusted EBITDA margin of 88%. Sequentially, results were softer, and that was anticipated. Q4 was a strong quarter and Q1 is typically slower commercially as certain service-related payments, including ease of payments and new SUA execution follow the rhythm of operator activity, which is naturally weighted toward the second half of the year as E&P programs ramp. We execute commercial deals with the goal of reaching the best and most accretive terms for our business over the long term, and we remain committed to that approach.
Q2 commercial activity is already tracking ahead of Q1. Our second half catalysts are developing as planned, and the macroeconomic environment has become meaningfully more supportive since we last provided guidance. That combination of accelerating internal momentum and more constructive external backdrop gives us the conviction to raise our full year outlook, not simply reaffirm it. The softer Q1 was anticipated. The confidence behind the raise is driven by what we can see in our pipeline today. On the commercial front, we closed several bolt-on acquisitions that further enhance the scale of our position, which now encompasses more than 320,000 surface acres across the heart of the Delaware Basin, a portfolio we have intentionally built around fee surface ownership.
Owning the service outright, whether than relying on leasehold or access rights that require renewal gives us permanent control, long duration optionality for every commercial use from produced water to data centers and a compounding asset base that doesn't erode over time. That is a structural advantage, not an incidental one. That permanence is what allows us to offer multi-decade commitments to data center developers, long-duration infrastructure rights to pipeline operators and deep commercial certainty to operators who need to plan multiyear development programs.
Our strategy is focused on maximizing the economic output of our surface through active land management, a fundamentally different model from the traditional passive or minerals-focused landowner. We think of the surface as an active commercial platform, not a static asset. Surface acreage is critical for oil and gas development, power generation, digital infrastructure and more. The same acre that generates produced water royalties from an oil and gas operator may also support a fiber corridor, an electrical transmission easement and eventually a data center campus.
Each layer of development makes next more valuable, better access, more infrastructure and greater certainty for the next user. That is the compounding dynamic at the heart of our model. In addition, our state line and southern positions are located on the Texas side of the Texas, New Mexico regulatory divide, an advantage that translates directly into commercial demand. Texas provides a more consistent and favorable permitting environment for produced water disposal, which means operators and midstream companies prioritize Texas side service acreage.
We are structurally positioned to benefit from this dynamic for the foreseeable future. Our relationship with WaterBridge is a genuine structural advantage. WaterBridge operates one of the largest water midstream networks in the Delaware Basin and approximately 1.5 million barrels a day of that infrastructure sits on our land today with additional permitted capacity on our land continuing to grow to enable future development. That gives us a front-row seat to basin activity, deep operator relationships and the ability to continuously identify and convert commercial opportunities that others simply cannot see. It's a compounding dynamic as WaterBridge grows, so does our royalty base, and that growth does not require us to deploy capital.
Beyond oil and gas, our active management approach continues to open new commercial opportunities. This quarter, we announced an agreement with PowerBridge for the lease and development of the Alpha Digital data center campus in Reeves County, Texas. PowerBridge has the option to lease up to 3,400 acres for a gigascale campus, a category of hyperscale digital infrastructure that requires hundreds to thousands of acres of contiguous land, co-located power and long duration site control. Initial power delivery is expected next year with large-scale generation coming online in 2028. We aren't disclosing specific economic terms at this stage, but the structure is consistent with our model, a long-duration lease with royalty economics that scale with development with no capital outlay required from LandBridge.
This is an important milestone and a clear validation of our thesis. West Texas is an ideal location for data centers, low-cost power, abundant water, fiber connectivity and a favorable permitting environment. And critically, data center developers require certainty, certainty of long-term land control, utility corridor access and the ability to expand the footprint as their needs grow. Our fee-service ownership model provides exactly that. Leasehold positions are acreage held on shorter term or renewable tenants cannot offer a multi-decade campus commitment. We can. Approximately 10 gigawatts of capacity has been announced in the region over the past 2 years, including the Alpha Digital campus. We have higher conviction than ever that West Texas is on its way to becoming the next major data center hub in the United States.
The PowerBridge agreement demonstrates the value of our acreage and commercial relationships and reflects our capital-efficient asset-light model. We retain ownership of the surface and monetize it through long duration lease economics that scale with development. By layering multiple commercial uses on the same acreage, we grow revenue without additional capital investment. Alpha Digital is one of several advanced commercial opportunities in our pipeline and the state of the pipeline today is the primary basis for our guidance raise. Our model is designed for exactly this moment, the convergence of energy infrastructure demand, digital growth and land-constrained development in the Permian Basin and the macro environment is, if anything, accelerating that convergence. I look forward to sharing more as these partnerships develop.
Now let me hand it over to Scott, who will walk through the numbers behind our updated outlook.
Thank you, Jason, and good morning, everyone. As Jason discussed, we delivered strong year-over-year growth in Q1 and are building momentum as we move through 2026. That momentum, combined with the state of our commercial pipeline and an improved macroeconomic backdrop gives us the confidence to raise our full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $210 million to $230 million, an increase of $5 million at both the low and high end of the range. This reflects 2 key considerations.
First, increased visibility and conviction in our commercial pipeline for the remainder of the year as we have better line of sight into committed and near committed activity in Q2 through Q4 than we did when we initially set guidance. And second, a macroeconomic environment that has become more supportive of basin activity levels since our last communication. The structural resilience of our fee-based model provides the floor and our commercial pipeline provides the upside that justifies taking the range higher. First, the clearest demonstration of our model's quality this quarter was cash generation. Cash flow from operations was $41.1 million and free cash flow was $40.9 million, representing a 158% increase year-over-year and a free cash flow margin of 80%. $0.80 of every revenue dollar converting to free cash flow, on minimal capital investment is the structural output of a business built around owning the surface and letting our customers fund the infrastructure. That dynamic does not change with commodity prices or quarterly activity patterns.
In the first quarter, we reported total revenue of $51 million, a 16% increase year-over-year. Net income was up $17.9 million, also up 16% year-over-year with a net income margin of 35%. The primary revenue growth driver was surface use royalties and revenues, which increased 41% year-over-year to $37 million, reflecting royalties from WaterBridge's DPX Kraken development, new easement payments and broader commercial activity across our surface. Sequentially, revenue declined approximately 11%, coming in at $51 million compared to $56.8 million in Q4.
As Jason discussed, this was anticipated and reflects 3 factors: the strength of Q4 2025, the general quarterly lumpiness of certain service-related payments and the seasonally slower pace of commercial agreement activity in Q1. Revenue declined modestly across all 3 categories. Surface use royalties and revenues were down 6%, resource sales and royalties declined 9% and oil and gas royalties were down approximately 5%. The operating and commercial environment in the basin has improved. And while we expect that to support activity levels over the mid- to longer term, our direct commodity exposure remains limited regardless with oil and gas royalties representing approximately 6% of year-to-date revenue.
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $44.9 million, up 16% year-over-year with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 88%, consistent with the prior year quarter and reflective of the durable high-margin nature of our model. On a sequential basis, adjusted EBITDA declined broadly in line with revenue. Capital expenditures were $0.2 million and net cash used in investing activities was $2.1 million. On the financing side, we repaid $25.2 million of debt in the quarter, demonstrating continued balance sheet discipline. We ended the quarter with total liquidity of $259.7 million, comprising $29.7 million of cash and approximately $230 million of available borrowing capacity under our revolving credit facility.
Total borrowings outstanding were $545 million as of March 31, down from $570 million at year-end. Our net leverage ratio was 2.7x at the end of the quarter compared to 2.8x last quarter, and we have no near-term maturities. On capital allocation, we remain focused on 3 priorities. Our first priority is accretive M&A. We closed strategic bolt-on acquisitions this quarter and have added nearly 50,000 surface acres over the past year, all while maintaining disciplined underwriting criteria. Our M&A criteria are anchored on fee surface ownership. We are building a compounding permanent asset base. We are not interested in acreage that requires periodic renewal and provides only temporary commercial control.
That discipline may mean we pass on transactions that others pursue, but it means every acre we add strengthens our long-term platform rather than simply growing our headline acreage count. Secondly, we are focused on maintaining balance sheet strength, where we continue to target a long-term net leverage ratio of 2 to 2.5x. Third and finally, we are committed to shareholder returns. This quarter, we declared a $0.12 per share dividend, continuing our track record of quarterly distributions since our IPO. As a reminder, we previously announced that our Board authorized a $50 million share repurchase program, which we were able to deploy opportunistically through December 2027.
In closing, LandBridge delivered strong year-over-year growth across revenue, net income and adjusted EBITDA in Q1, consistent with our internal plan. We are raising full year guidance to $210 million to $230 million, reflecting increased confidence in our commercial pipeline and a more supportive macroeconomic backdrop. The foundation we have built, fee and surface, durable contracted cash flows, a model that requires minimal capital to grow is what makes that confidence sustainable.
Thank you. Operator, please open the line for questions.
[Operator Instructions]
Your first question comes from the line of Derrick Whitfield with Texas Capital.
2. Question Answer
With your increased 2026 guidance and the updates coming out of WaterBridge today, it's clear you guys are very excited about the opportunity you have ahead of you this year. As we think about really Project Speedway Phase 1 and the timing for which you guys would reach functional peak utilization, could you offer some color around that? And then also just when you think about Project Speedway Phase 2, when could that really start to contribute into your outlook?
Yes. Derrick, good to hear from you. So Speedway Phase 1 comes online this summer, certainly far from being 100% utilized at that point in time. We expect volumes on Speedway to ramp effectively from this summer through 2028. And so as we sit today, back half of the year, obviously excited about the traction we have with Speedway Phase 1, and we see continued demand for that pipeline, including new interruptible, call it, volumes that we could potentially capture on the WaterBridge side increased royalties over to LandBridge. But there's a lot of room to grow beyond the back half of this year.
For Speedway Phase 2, really looking to bring that online to solve for back half of 2027 operational needs. Clearly, nothing has been kind of voiced over or contemplated as we think through the guidance or the messaging of the Street on that just yet. But obviously, as we're forming up our expectations for 2027 and it's time to deliver guidance, we'll certainly speak to the contribution from that project and the expectations.
Great. And then maybe shifting over to the power gen and data center macro environment for the Permian. You guys have been very intentional with your releases to date. Given the recent Alpha Digital announcement and some of your peers messaging heightened urgency year-over-year among the hyperscalers, could you help frame how that opportunity has changed for you guys over the last 6 months, last year?
Yes, absolutely. We sat down and started speaking to the benefits of West Texas as it relates to data centers late '23, early '24 working through the IPO process. We were engaged in outreach with all the major players, hyperscalers and data center developers kind of coming off of our efforts there. And it was a bit of an education effort. But if you look at the last 6 to 12 months, we've seen sentiment just grow so meaningfully where we sit today, we're engaged with discussions and negotiations and documentations with virtually every hyperscaler that's out there in some capacity.
And so West Texas has certainly been validated as the place to go for these large-scale data center projects, and we're very happy with where we are in the mix. As you put it, we're being very thoughtful about making sure that we get to those right milestones before we step out and speak publicly, particularly as it relates to engagements with some of these larger counterparties, but we're excited to do that when we get to that point.
Your next question comes from the line of John MacKay with Goldman Sachs.
I wanted to start on the acreage acquisitions, maybe 2 parts to this one. First, we've seen the larger deals from you guys, but these are kind of newer, smaller bolt-on. Is there a right cadence to think about for what you guys can do on this smaller deal size? And on a related note, you paid something around $1,000 an acre, let's say, on average for this. Just any commentary on what that looks like against the broader market would be helpful.
John, good to hear from you. We have been and will continue to be focused on these smaller tuck-in acquisitions. We think through coring up critical areas of our footprint when there's opportunities to fill in the gaps or expand the contiguous nature of certain positions we have, we're absolutely going to execute on that, and we'll continue to do so. As you mentioned, the price per acre here kind of remains competitive and in line with what we paid historically for similar surface positions. And as it sits today, we have no reason to believe that's going to change.
All right. That's clear. I appreciate that one. Second for me is just going back to kind of the quarter versus the full year guide. I understand there's some timing dynamics here. It does still imply a kind of decently higher, let's say, 2Q through 4Q run rate versus first quarter. Are there any kind of bigger chunkier pieces you want us to have an eye on? And then more broadly as part of that, if you think about the run rate for the balance of the year, how much of that is actually kind of ratable quarter in, quarter out revenues that you get from your contracts versus, let's say, cycling on new commercial deals each quarter?
Yes, John, you cut off there for a second, but I think you were implying -- effectively you're asking what is driving Q2 through Q4 expectations. We've got -- we've got 3 primary tailwinds. The first, obviously, just better visibility and conviction on the opportunity set, particularly on surface revenues relative to where we're at the beginning of the year. And then coupled with that is just growth in that opportunity set.
And so there's no discrete, call it, chunky or lumpy projects that I would call out just yet to the extent or would we get those across the finish line, we'll obviously be eager to share that with the market. But it is a pretty, call it, mixed and diverse group of opportunities and customers there that we're working through. Now the second piece is just better visibility on produced water volumes and the read-through on royalties there for LandBridge.
Now we've seen just greater demand, both on the WaterBridge side as it relates to produced water handling volume needs for the back half of the year, but also with our third-party partners. And so again, that's just more read-through on the royalty piece that will provide some upside for LandBridge. And then finally, obviously, it's a very different macro backdrop today relative to where we were at, at the beginning of the year during budgeting and that more constructive E&P environment over the near to medium term is just driving an increased demand on the resource side, both on sand and supply water.
So there are a number of different items feeding call it, our increased enthusiasm for the year, and we would expect that to continue. Now as you kind of think through the cadence or kind of the regular way or repeatability of these revenue streams, the vast majority of the revenue we get is going to be recurring in some fashion. We obviously do get the surface damage payments that sometimes can be these onetime payments. But the point we've made in the past, and it certainly still holds true today is you really need to think of that as a great, call it, forward-looking indicator of repeatable revenue to come. And a good example of that is going to be improved water handling infrastructure is installed on our surface, whether it's by WaterBridge or others.
There will be those onetime upfront damage payments, but that's going to translate into recurring revenue and royalty streams, hopefully, perpetually over time. The same holds true for a lot of other types of infrastructure on our land. So again, while a lot of this is going to be repeatable kind of recurring revenue, to the extent we do get those onetime payments, I would be -- I would encourage you to remember that, that is typically just one piece of what is going to be a very recurring revenue stream thereafter.
Your next question comes from the line of Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler.
Jason, just a question on your production down there in the Delaware and Permian or I guess I should say Midland. Clearly, there's a demand for U.S. production with what's going on in -- over in Iran. But as people ramp up production, how quickly does it flow through to you guys as far as revenue? Meaning like if there's suddenly a lot more drilling, a lot more use of sand and [ frac ] and all the fun stuff, how quickly does that translate to revenue for you? And then the second part of that question is how much of your -- when you look at your different revenue businesses, how many of them do you think are directly related to increased energy production versus other uses that happen longer over a longer period of time versus instantly like, hey, we need more oil to ship overseas, what have you?
Yes. I'll take -- I appreciate it, Alex. I'll take the first one. So if you think about just the payments associated with increased oil and gas activity, you've got damages right off the bat. So when they're moving a rig on location, they're paying damages. You've got fees for pipelines, right of ways, et cetera. And then that obviously gets accelerated into the produced water once the wells are completed. So we start to see that revenue trickle in over time and then a large portion of it on the latter part of the well's life.
Yes. I would just add, when you look at our revenue mix today, roughly 22% of our revenue is going to be on that resource side, and that is going to be the piece that's most meaningfully kind of tied to that new development on the upstream side. But that's somewhat by design because the remainder of our business or rather on the surface side in particular, which is 72% of our revenue, that is going to be the more recurring rent lease production type exposed royalty and revenue streams that just have much more longevity to it. So as we've said from the beginning, we've always been very, very focused on maximizing those surface use revenues and royalties just given the stickiness and the longevity. And while we certainly like that 22% we get on the resource side, at the end of the day, that has always been secondary to the surface given we like having that long-term production exposure, not that short-term development exposure.
Okay. So if I understand you correctly, basically round numbers, 20% of your revenue could see an impact of increased production in terms of what's going on over in Iran, where 70% is more stable and less likely to be near-term impacted by that. Is that correct?
I would frame it more as about 20% of our revenue is going to see an immediate impact due to an increase in development activity. The remaining 70% could see some uptick, but the benefit of that uptick is it is more prolonged because it is production driven. So even if development starts to taper back a bit, you still get the benefit of that long-term kind of rent royalty stream that comes from the production exposure versus that drill bit exposure.
Okay. The next question is on PowerBridge. I don't think you guys disclosed any economics or what the -- if there was an upfront, I guess, what the upfront deposit was. But can you just give a little bit more color on some of the terms and what the upfront payment is and how long they have to engage and such?
Yes, happy to. So it is a 1-year option. They paid $2.6 million for that option. It is for 3,400 acres in Reeves County and one of our positions there. They are planning to bring on up to 2 gigawatts of initial power generation capacity with the ability to scale beyond that. So it's something we're very happy about. They're targeting bringing first power online late next year. And so it is quite quick to move. But again, I think this is a real reflection of the benefit of the ecosystem. It's a real reflection, I think, of PowerBridge's kind of capabilities, obviously, led by Alex Hernandez. He's an incredibly well-known capable leader in the space, and we're really happy to partner with them on this.
Okay. So the $2.6 million that was recognized in the first quarter?
That's right.
Okay. And then are there any lease payments from now until late '27 or there's no payments until late '27?
The payment structure will pivot should they execute on the option and converts to a lease. And so when that time comes, we will obviously circle back to the market and speak to the terms there.
Your next question comes from the line of Charles Meade with Johnson Rice.
I'm wondering, Scott, you approached this question in an earlier answer. But on the subject of acquisition, so you guys have attracted a lot of, I guess, copycat or competitors with the success you've had in the Delaware Basin. So I'm wondering if you could talk about how the complexion maybe has or hasn't changed on the acquisition front and whether -- I think you said that the price hasn't really gone up, but maybe are there more people in the room? Or just what's changing on your -- what are you seeing change on the acquisition front?
Yes. Charles, good to hear from you. We haven't seen much in the way of impact just yet. I mean just as a reminder, and we alluded to this in the prepared remarks, we've been very focused from day 1 on acquiring that key surface acreage. It's very important to us to get that title rather than like BLM or state leases as an alternative. And so when you think of just the focus that we've had on that, there really just hasn't been, call it, many counterparties that have stepped in and really look to compete in that regard. It put us in a good spot today, though. We think that there's just much -- the economics of that position is just going to be much better than the alternative, and we've been able to build that position, obviously, to over 300,000 acres.
I think if we were to step into a situation where we were looking to acquire BLM or state leases, there are others kind of looking to grow that a bit. But for all the reasons we've discussed over the last several years, that's not a focus of ours.
Got it. Got it. That makes sense. And then, Scott, you also alluded -- I believe you alluded earlier in your prepared comments about the normal seasonality in commercial agreements. Can you talk about what -- can you kind of decompose what's going on there? Is this just companies that maybe it takes a while to organize their priorities with the new capital budget? Or is this -- or what's the seasonality there? And is that something we should expect going forward?
Yes. We often see seasonality kind of exiting the year stepping into a new year as our customers kind of wrap up their capital cycles for the year and start working through the budgeting process. And so it's not atypical to see slower starts to the year. And that's what we saw this year. And to some extent, that obviously influenced kind of Q1 results. The second piece I kind of flagged there, and I do think this is important is at the end of the day, when we work through really driving and creating value for this company, particularly on the surface side, ultimately, we're not focused on what quarter a particular agreement gets signed. And that's going to lead to a little bit of ebb and flow in terms of when that revenue is recognized. And there's going to be times where that very clearly works to our advantage. We saw a fantastic fourth quarter exiting the year.
There's going to be time just depending on when contracts are signed, if it's the next quarter that it just ends up having a little bit of lumpiness to it. But I think what's important to keep in mind and something that we've said from the get-go is the wins and losses of this company are not measured quarter-over-quarter. This is about generating year-over-year compounding growth. I think we continue to do that. We'll continue to do that going forward regardless of the seasonality and other kind of shorter-term nuances that we just talked through.
There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Scott McNeely for closing remarks.
Yes. Thanks again for everyone's participation this morning. We, as always, appreciate your thoughtful questions and your support. Look forward to staying synced us, and please feel free to reach out if we can be helpful.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
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Landbridge Company — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Landbridge Company — Analyst/Investor Day - LandBridge Company LLC
1. Management Discussion
Welcome, everybody. We're excited for our inaugural Analyst Day. We hope this will be informative, and we're take you through a pretty full agenda. We want to make sure it's interactive. So if you have questions, by all means, raise your hand, speak up, shake your head, do something like that, and we'll find you. So with that, the first thing we're going to do is we're going to run a video to start.
[Presentation]
It was a little funny to see yourself on screen. But anyway, we are excited. I'm going to introduce our speakers today. To my right, I have Jason Long, the CEO of Land Bridge. To my -- to his right, we have Scott McNeely, the CFO of Land bridge. I have Isaac Ramirez, who's going to take us through a lot of the digital infrastructure play that's associated with Landbridge and we have Alex Hernandez, who is the CEO of Power Bridge. Prior to PowerBridge, he was CEO of Talend and the founder and CEO of Cumulus.
Cumulus is today the only 1.1-gigawatt behind the meter data center complex ever built and completed. And it was completed in Barwick, Pennsylvania. It was the -- it was effectively step 1 of what Borrowed Pennsylvania has become today, which is the largest data center market in the world. And we're going to hear a lot of -- or at least North America. We're going to hear a lot about why West Texas has a lot of the same attributes Alex saw in Burwood, Pennsylvania and is why he's with us today.
And me, I'm David Capobianco if he hadn't put that together yet. I am the Chairman of the Board of Landbridge and the CEO and Founder of Five Point Infrastructure. I'll take you through a little bit of who FivePoint is, how our ecosystem creates value throughout the value chain with Landbridge as the vortex of that value creation -- and we'll talk a little more about some of the direct value drivers for Landbridge over the next decade.
First of all, for Five Point, I founded in based in Houston, Texas with the idea that we would build strategically important businesses. And for us, that meant leaders in our target areas. Today, we have over $7 billion under management. and we focused on 4 core themes. Those include environmental water management, WaterBridge is the poster child for that. sustainable infrastructure. We'll talk a little bit about a business we built and sold North Wind and how it has the analogy, the things we'll do in the future.
Surface management poster child is land bridge, that's what we're here to talk about today and digital infrastructure. And PowerBridge and other parts of our portfolio will capitalize on all of the value of the ecosystem to create and drive additional value to Land bridge. So as always, it's sort of like a crutch.
As always, for me, I'm going to take you through a GIS platform demonstration which will enable you to better understand exactly how our ecosystem works, what it is and how it drives value across the portfolio. I'm actually going to stand next to it, so I can see the screen, and I can look at my man, Matt Bailey, when I was introducing people, I should have introduced Matt. Matt, the Head of IT and GIS at Five Point, he's the 1 who created this system. Today, the system that has 30 billion data points and 0.5 million lines of code. So it is the brain center of Five Point.
We utilize it throughout all of our portfolio companies in the whole ecosystem, and it gives us superior knowledge to our competitors. So the first thing I'll do is I'll get into a little bit of the ecosystem. What you see here on the map for those, just to situate , this is a Texas, New Mexico border. You see in green, we have the Delaware Basin, and that also encompasses the pink landing strip there. In the blue in the middle, we have the Central Basin platform. And on the right, we have the Midland Basin.
So today, we're going to focus on our Five Point ecosystem in the Delaware Basin. So the first thing you'll notice in the Charcoal boxes is Land bridges acreage, 317,000 highly strategic acreage that hugs the New York, the Texas, New Mexico border and also has some southern acreage and some acreage in New Mexico that's really valuable. So obviously, the first piece in the vortex of the ecosystem. But the next piece is water bridge.
And our water bridge water infrastructure, you can see goes throughout the basin and obviously drives value to land by the water we manage, the damages we pay and the water that gets drawn from Landbridge to customers as well.
The next piece of the ecosystem that's interesting and, by the way, part of WaterBridge is Desert environmental. Desert Environmental to give you a sense for how the ecosystem works is, here we are with the land and the surface and we recognize that we have a waste product that needs to find a home. And we realized that we ourselves could create a business to manage that waste and get an acceptable return, but that we also knew all of our customers would want to use that as well.
So we started this business. It's an incredible little piece of Water bridge, but it's a waste management business that initially started with rig WaterBridge's waste on land bridge areas and pays land bridge, a per ton fee and a fee for a lease and a fee for the damages that created. And then it also manages that same waste for our customers. again, another piece of the puzzle. And to keep showing you how this ecosystem works, we built a business called North Wind Midstream in the sour gas window. So this business didn't actually have an opportunity to put infrastructure yet on Landbridge because we sold it before we get to that point.
But ultimately, we will put sour gas infrastructure on Landbridge as well. But what this did is it unlocked development in the sour gas window of the Northern Delaware. Really show them the development inside and outside the window, but it was about 3:1 and the trends extend directly. The only difference is when you produce the oil in the sour gas window, you end up with high CO2 and high sulfur and that high CO2 and sulfur has to be managed.
We created a solution here because we wanted our customers who in the middle of our ecosystem of water and land, we wanted our customers to exploit their resource, bring more water to our surface and enable WaterBridge to manage that water. And that's how North Wind fit in. We were fortunate to have sold that business to MPLX, who's developing it and continuing to deploy capital in it. And that will serve our ecosystem very well.
The next piece of the ecosystem that we'll -- you'll hear a lot about today is Power Bridge. So Power Bridge is Alex's business that's focused on creating gigawatt scale campuses on land bridge acreage in the Delaware. So Bailey, put up our locations, so we've identified 8 locations, really 5 initial targeted locations. And in these locations, we have Phase I and Phase II in the locations where we'll be able to get to 2 gigawatts. And each one of them is easily expandable to 3 gigawatts.
So how will this work? Well, First of all, it will drive water management revenues because we have both water needs from that LandBridge and WaterBridge will both meet. It will create a great opportunity for land bridges from a lease perspective and a royalty perspective. We'll ultimately need some carbon sequestration for the CO2 that comes off the power plants and we'll build a network to do that, and we'll utilize land bridge surface for that.
And then 2 additional portfolio companies for the future. And these companies will also contribute to the ecosystem in a really exciting way. So next business -- the next 2 businesses that are in various stages of development, and will be built out over time. The first is a fiber ring. So Bailey queue up all the fiber that we estimate the estimated fiber locations.
So throughout Texas, you have fiber connectivity that's sufficient for Internet capacity needs. But it's really like running on country roads, driving on a country road to get from one place to another. There are no super highways. We are going to build the first super highway for connectivity in a fiber ring around our surface. So where we are today, we've identified and achieved a significant portion of the right of ways, and we'll begin laying conduit, and ultimately, we'll sell the ability to pull fiber to hyperscalers. But what this will do is it will create a network hub with super highway connectivity to important end markets, going to Odessa Midland and ultimately on to Dallas. Albuquerque is an important one.
And then ultimately up into Denver and El Paso, which will give you connectivity to California and New Mexico. A fiber ring where the center ring circulates our target areas for our data centers, our first 5 targets.
The next portfolio company we've already begun working with is a gas gathering header system, with a massive storage complex, much of which will be on land bridge acreage, but some of which will also be off. We envision being able to build up to 100 billion cubic feet of storage in the center of the Delaware Basin. And you might say, okay, that's pretty interesting, but what would you use it for?
Well, a couple of cool facts is the star of the Bailey put up, he likes to lead me if I get distracted. The star he just put up is the Waha hub. So at Waha, we -- in the last month or 2, we've seen negative $20 gas. We get negative gas prices frequently. And on average, it's a very meaningful discount to Henry Hub. So what we will do is we will create a gas gathering and storage facility on the cheap side of Waha.
Once you're after Waha, you're already on a long haul pipe and you're already getting priced off your end market. But before we've got constraints. We've got constraints that lead to flaring, shut in and paying people to take your gas. This facility will effectively create an opportunity to give additional Five 9s reliability to data centers. It will enable data centers to be able to say, "Okay, well, I'm going to need 250,000 -- 250 million cubic feet a day for our power plant, we're going to be able to lock up 100 days of gas storage volumes in the event there's some sort of breakdown in the transportation network, we can still run for the next 100 days, security and that volatility will create an incredibly valuable opportunity for my investors who participate in it.
And we will put some of our facilities and a lot of our pipe on our surface at Landbridge where you pay damages and you pay royalties. So that's the exciting ecosystem of value drivers that we envision for LandBridge acreage. And you can see LandBridge is at the core of all of that. All of these businesses drive value to LandBridge.
Okay. Let's take the fiber off and you can remove the fiber. Remove everything actually accept our data centers, our water and our surface. The next thing I wanted to point out is what the ecosystem can mean because that's all theoretical. What can the ecosystem mean for LandBridge? So I'm going to go back through something we did in the roadshow where we talked about the poor base capacity, how that capacity could get utilized and what that meant for LandBridge.
So let's go around the horn Bailey. We have about 5 million barrels a day of excess port base capacity, if you include hangwe've got over 1 million of access. If you go to frying pan, we've got $2.2 million and then about $1.5 million up at Speedway, and we're always adding additional acreage that has more port space. But what this is, is based on a long-term sustainable strategy of putting a well in a square mile or a well per section in acreage that's already been vetted for issues like vertical wells, no and like faulting.
We have the ability to add 5 million additional barrels a day of management capacity on Landbridge and at $0.15 a barrel that implies plus some skim that you get credit for. That implies a $300 million -- yes, $300 million of free cash flow for Landbridge. So over the next 5 years, as we exploit that poor space, you'll have another $300 million of free cash flow.
Well, how does it get exploited? First of all, I'm going to take you through how the state line is losing about 2 million barrels a day over the next decade of capacity. Bailey, let's start in 2017 with the poor pressure. And then let's go from 2017 all the way to '25, and let's show how the state line get pressured up from a port base perspective.
So 2017, you can see some hotspots coming out where it's actually -- you're starting to see pressure. Go to 2018, 2019, 2020, you can see the hotspots growing and getting and deepening in their redness. And then if you go all the way to 2025, you can see how we have a situation where we have overpressured hotspots at the state line.
Now Bailey quickly put up the ownership of the Stateline to show why that happened. Because this is really instructive and this is 1 of the reasons our acreage is more strategic. The acreage is all blocked up between about 5 owners across the state line. So if you're a water management company, when you cross the state line you basically move your water to the first location and try to put as much as many of your facilities as you can right there in that location because if you cross 2 landowners, the economics are destroyed.
I know this group knows this, but just to remind you, managing water in New Mexico is challenging from a regulatory regime. It's volatile, and long-term E&Ps don't view that as a long-term solution. So if you want to win long-term business, you need to demonstrate a solution that takes water out of New Mexico to Texas. So remove the ownership, and you can see the Stateline will lose approximately 2 million barrels a day over the next decade.
We've got from B3 a really basic analysis of how much water they anticipate needing at a pretty modest oil growth rate in New Mexico. So we just -- we use their estimates, we could show you our own, but it's just as good to use theirs. They assume you'll need another 6 million barrels a day of poor space capacity. So $6 million from the growth of water. And again, the growth goes because you have higher water oil ratios over time and the new benches that are being exploited have higher water to oil ratios as well.
And then you lose 2 million barrels here which effectively leaves you with the need for 8 million barrels a day of storage. So there's a high probability of success rate for us with the most strategically located option to manage some of that $8 million. And we're excited about that. You can -- in your mind, you can think of as a $300 million free cash flow opportunity.
Let's talk about the data centers. If that poor space utilization is a next 5-year configuration, the data center opportunity is over the next 3 to 10 years. which is cool because it gives you a whole another cascade of opportunities on the other side of this. And what it is, is if you look at why don't you pull up our Alpha digital campus Bailey. In Alpha Digital, effectively and I should caveat it that our contracts are not fully negotiated. So I'm going to use broad ranges to be instructive.
But in Alpha Digital Campus, we have Phase I and Phase II and it will enable us to put 2 gigawatts of data centers and associated power here in and this is a zoom in of what we're planning. And there is a Phase III, which enabled you to get to 3. And all of our targets have that. Basically, for a 1,500 acre lease for 1 gigawatt.
Let's just use rough numbers like 3,000 to 4,000 a day. We'll take the low end, $4.5 million a year lease. And then the expected royalty rate will get you another $15 million -- $10 million to $15 million or so on that lease. And you're talking roughly and I'm not trying to make news of these numbers because we obviously haven't negotiated final deals, but you can assume per gigawatt before water, $10 million to $20 million of free cash flow to Landbridge. So our 5 gigawatt -- our 5 target campuses go back to the campuses Bailey, we'll get to approximately 3 gigawatts each, which will enable you to have 15 gigawatts and you're talking about $150 million to $300 million of free cash flow before water and water is a very big part. You're going to hear a lot about water. Damages will be a very big part.
You're going to hear a lot about damages. You're going to have all other sorts of infrastructure built around these things. I'm just literally talking about the very specific Power Land campus and the revenue stream. So if you think about -- all right, if we have $300 million of upside on the poor space, growing all the time every time we do an acquisition, $100 million, $150 million to $200 million more on the data center program just with our ecosystem.
And by the way, you're going to hear a lot about what Landbridge is doing outside of Power Bridge. You can look at it and say, those are 2 real revenue drivers for the next decade, and it's exciting, and it's something we're really looking forward to exploiting for you.
After each section, we'll pause for questions. I don't know if anyone has a question on that presentation. But if you do, by all means, raise your hand and roll it out. Otherwise, I will -- Yes.
2. Question Answer
Brian Engler finer asset. When you think about that $300 million of free cash flow of the water capacity -- is that -- are you thinking down on pricing today, pricing that you're thinking that's not inclusive of what you're thinking comes from to the pricing you're getting on Speedway or so the market
It's a great question. There's 2 pieces of pricing growth. There's one, which is just the inflation adjustment that's in the contracts. But there's another which I probably should have mentioned, and I appreciate you bringing up, which is scarce could never go to zero. They just get priced higher and higher and higher, and that's what you'll see. So no, those numbers are literally based on $0.15 increment scheme. So yes, you can absolutely expect price over time.
Yes. I don't want to jump the gun, but go ahead the water opportunity per gigawatt for data centers.
I'm sorry.
What's the water opportunity per gigawatt.
All right. Great question. We'll get into it. It can be up to 300,000 barrels a day which is an enormous opportunity from a returns perspective.
And these are not like closed loop as you continuously need 300,000 barrels a day or so.
Not in close, that would be open loop. Again, I love stealing a thunder of my guys, but the punchline on water cooling is there are very, very few places in the whole country where you can even contemplate open loop cooling. So most places look at closed loop, which is a fraction of that 15% -- 10% to 15% of that number and air cooling, which is less still. The catch is, you need a lot more power to do that. But site in your data center outside of Dallas and tell them you use a pallet you're going to take 300,000 barrels a day and see what answer you get. That's why West Texas is such a great location.
We have that water. We have that water from WaterBridge to desalinate and deliver, and we have an enormous resource of water at Landbridge.
Question for you as you build this out is just coming from a real estate perspective. Do you need everything to happen in a certain time line? Or because these large-scale developments always have ups and downs, things that don't end up getting built. -- like you can do parts of that -- I'm just trying to figure out how much of this is upfront cost that has to be built out before you can generate any positive cash flow versus you can segment this out into pieces. -- so that it's sort of tranchable projects?
Well, so let's talk about that. So first of all, WaterBridge is already driving value because other of WaterBridge's competitors are driving value to utilize that poor space. So that poor space is on a collision course to be utilized, and that's why we're already very focused on acquiring more poor space. So that's the poor space piece.
Think about the fiber piece. If all we did were the fiber, it makes the whole area that much more valuable. That's the only thing we did. If all we did was create a header system and a giant storage facility, again, it makes everything more valuable. If you did either of those it's fine because the opportunity is coming either way.
Your point is not a lot of upfront infrastructure cost that give required kind of capital upfront with revenue basically, what you're talking about is each thing that you're contemplating building has revenue immediately tied with it?
That's right. And that has -- that stuff is staggered over the next decade. But we're trying to give you a view of the excitement around what the long-term picture can be. And by the way, I took you through our ecosystem and really 2 revenue streams. We're going to talk today about multiple more revenue streams and why those are just the 2 that are controllable by me at Five Point and our investable capital.
And since we're broadcasting this to a wider audience, I think 1 point of clarification is probably helpful. When we think through the capital that's being spent for this, none of this is being spent by LandBridge.
The capital for water infrastructure is being built by water operators, the capital for the fibering, David walk-throughs being spent by PowerBridge. On the land bridge side, we are certainly the beneficiaries though, all of that activity and when those assets come online, from the fiber ring perspective, all we're doing is further bolstering Lambert's competitive positioning to win those data center opportunities.
That's exactly right, Scott, and the gas gathering and storage is a 5-point project, and we'll spend the capital -- and that's the power of the ecosystem where the capital doesn't get spent by Landbridge but as the vortex of that ecosystem, the value does accrue to Land bridge.
The only thing I would add to that is I think this is part of your question, but a lot of this is we're stepping into these revenues as projects start, right? So the lease payments start immediately. -- all the damages as it relates to the construction start immediately. So you start to see that revenue come in, even though these are huge long capital projects, we'll start to see the revenue come in sooner than that.
Great point. With Bernie, he's got to have a question.
The day is going to be a lot shorter.
Jason, I'm using the fisherman I was asked to describe your business in a single sentence, and I said you're basically arbitraging seismic activity. could you elaborate on that? And as you're going back through the map just give...
So we don't like to think of it as arbitraging seismic activity. We like to think of it as enabling infrastructure development, enabling energy, infrastructure, enabling water structure, renewable and digital. And if you look at how we do it and what we do, it's exactly that. Are there some arbitrages in there? Like is it a good thing for us that New Mexico is as difficult as they are, yes. Is it good that they've been volatile because nobody will ever trust New Mexico to give a long-term stable regime to manage water there. So there are some dynamics that work very well for us.
But the big picture is we enable infrastructure development across the board.
Talk about the timing on when the construction for the fiber ring in the gas storage will be complete?
Sure. So we have spent the last year getting right of way. We will begin laying conduit, -- and then we will get some will get customer contracted customers to pull their own fiber. Effectively, you split the conduit into kind of 4 separate areas and you sell off quadrants. And enable people to pull their own fiber and to own that quadrant.
So I mean it's not on the critical path for our development. So we would expect it to be done over the next couple of years unless it gets delayed. And then for gas storage, there's a -- I don't want to get too much into this because I love this business, and it's very exciting and easy to go down a rat hole on it. but there are enormous amounts of depleted reservoir opportunities, as you can imagine. And the way you build a gas storage facility is you buy gas and inject it into depleted reservoirs to the point where it pressures up to enable you to deliver or extract that gas at the pace you want to.
Normally, that's the highest cost of the biggest large chunk of depleted reservoir storage is that base gas that you have to inject in, not so when people pay you to take it. The second kind of gas is underlying -- or storage is underlying our surface at Landbridge we have a really unique structure of embedded salt [indiscernible] salt- there's 2 types of saline I'm for sure, getting outside of my geophysical capabilities. But there's basically 2 types of salt.
There's a salt seam and then there's domes that get created. There are salt seems underlying our acreage at Wolfbone at 50,000 acreage. So basically, you can create a little hot dog shape salt storage facilities. And they're small, there may be 1 can make a lot of them. and those can be super high turn and again, capitalize on really attractive gas to start.
So basically, what we have the ability to do is create an in-basin need to hold that gas and deploy it when it becomes optimal. And the natural question is always okay, but it's not always going to be free, and it won't. It won't always be it's not always free now, but it will always be at a discount to the other side of Waha because you don't have to put it on a long-haul pipe to get to an end market. will be in base and it will always be cheaper than an outside markets for as long as you can envision. I mean, yes, there are scenarios where in-basin demand exceeds out of basin demand. But by that point, to impact 20 Bcf of gas, we're way, way down the road, and we don't have to worry about it.
So 2 types of storage facilities, no storage facilities will pay damages will we'll pay lease rates and we'll pay royalties to Land bridge.
Are there any other storage facility using those depleted reservoirs in this area? Or are you kind of.
Bailey, pull up the chart. This is the greatest chart. So historically, the there's been very, very little storage added and so much so that the chart I'm looking for Vale, so much so that as oil as gas production has grown, it actually -- so that's the volatility. There you go. So on the top, you can see gas production growth. And on the bottom, you can see days of storage. This is the only basin in North America that has this little storage relative to the gas production.
At Five Point, we have Three executives who built very substantial gas storage business. And we've looked at gas storage for the last decade. We couldn't make sense of it. We couldn't -- it wouldn't meet our return hurdles until now. This is an extraordinary opportunity. And this can ultimately be a game changer for the way gas is utilized in basin.
Right. So was that all depleted reservoir stuff?
Yes.
It is -- is anyone done. And so that's like a turn once a year kind of thing or maybe a couple of times a year.
Well, so That's the big question. Typically, it's a 1 turn -- typically, you run depleted reservoir facilities at 1 turn -- the reason you do is you want to minimize the amount of base gas you use. If you pressure them up, you can get more turns -- so imagine, instead of using 25% to 30% base gas, use 50% to 60% base gas. So you can get up to 3 or 4 turns. And it's been done in California where they really needed a high-turn facility, but there are no salt structures.
So we can achieve whatever we want there. If you're doing it at a time when they're paying you to take your gas?
Yes. months.
I think the cool part, just to reimpose what David said, is that the geological structures that exist at Waha for storage exists on our surface and have not been exploited, which, yes.
If there's nothing else, I'll turn it over to Scott and we'll start rocking and rolling through the presentation.
Yes. Thank Thanks, Dave. Thanks, everyone, joining us today for what it's worth when we put this on the calendar, we thought it would be a slow period in the market. So jokes -- we'll work through the slide here -- the slides here in the presentation here. I hope there's a lot that you all can take away. I mean, ultimately, what we're trying to convey here just kind of 3 key points, right? We want to talk to our asset base, really why it is so special.
And ultimately, how do we take that asset base, how do we apply our active land management strategy and how do we really drive the kind of activity and commercial results that you would want to see? And then ultimately from your seats, how does that result in shareholder returns. So just a few slides before we get into macro. We try to be thoughtful about how to ultimately capture the development activity in West Texas and New Mexico. We looked at rigs.
We looked at drilling. We thought that only captured pieces of the puzzle. And I think kudos to the team here as well as to Matt Bailey on the GIS side, is a really creative way to show what's really been transpiring over the last decade. So what we're showing you here is kind of a unique view of how to measure activity. And this is using light levels measured from space. And so what we see here over the last decade is that this activity, this industrial activity in West Texas and New Mexico, it isn't coming, it's already been happening.
And you can kind of see just how robust it's been and how much it's grown over the last decade. And with the point we're at now, this is accelerating rapidly, which is incredibly exciting for us. if you kind of ask yourself how we capitalize on the growth to date and you flip to the next slide, we walk through briefly just what is the history of Landbridge in.
If you recall, we've made just kind of a few big bets kind of through the lifetime of our company here. And the first actually predated land bridges with WaterBridge. We made a bet, we made a call that water was going to transition from a services company to an infrastructure company. This had to happen if the growth in the Delaware Basin was going to occur like everyone thought and everyone said it was going to. That ultimately led to us building out WaterBridge. That went very well, 2017, 2018, 2019, a massive growth ramp.
But we made the next identification in the next call, which is surface and subsurface is going to be a critical enabler, not just for water to continue to ramp in the Delaware Basin. When we came out and we talked through port space initially, even up to our IPO, we were met with glassy eyes, a lot of folks thinking we're trying to sell them snake oil because it just wasn't really a mainstream narrative yet at that point. But I think to the benefit or to the kudos to our operations team, our engineering team and our geology team, they recognize that folks were doing this wrong.
If we were going to scale WaterBridge, we had to be thoughtful and do it differently. That was ultimately the catalyzing observation that led to us starting land bridge in late 2021. We wanted to give WaterBridge the runway it needed to build its infrastructure, have access to the poor space and do it in a way that provides the flow assurance, the longevity that not just our shareholders are looking for what our customers are looking for.
We made that call. Clearly, that's been validated. It's a mainstream narrative. David walked through all of the details of where we sit with that today. But what that really left us with was a great land position and option value that comes with that surface in addition to poor space.
When we started to reap those benefits very quickly. We started to see the demand on the port space itself from third parties such as Devon. We also started to see the demand from other kind of industrial infrastructure, whether that was sand mines, whether that was solar, and became very obvious to us that this was going to be high demand outside of this initial surface position and that this was scalable so long as we can continue to find the right surface in the right areas that have been underutilized historically and that we felt we could apply our active land management strategy and grow value.
It's kind of through that effort that we identified, what I'll call is our third call, which is data center inevitability in West Texas is absolutely a fact. We made this call in 2023, similar to the poor space call, the first time we stepped out to say it, we were met with glasses, folks saying there's no way that this is going to be true -- here we are 3 years later, it is again a mainstream narrative that everyone is talking about. There are a number of counterparties looking at it. And again, I think we put ourselves in full position to be one of the first, if not the first, to get it across the finish line here.
So if you go to 12, how do we look -- we have all this business, all this activity, what does this look like relative to the rest of the market, the rest of the peers. And I think we acknowledge there are no perfect comps out there, no perfect peers out there. That is One of the things that gives us this massive advantage in terms of the market as we were thought leaders, we were one of the first people to step out and do this intentionally. And it's put us in a great position commercially, but it does require I think a little bit more effort on our side to continue to communicate what it is we're doing and how to think about it.
So when you look at just the closest comp sets we had here, I would really just point to 3 main facts to keep in mind as you work through the list. The first the de minimis capital program of our business because, again, we're not deploying capital, we're not doing operating. We're only acquiring and commercializing surface leads to an incredibly high free cash flow margins. And we'll go into more detail on that in later slides.
The second is once you own that surface, if it is under commercialized, there is a massive, massive growth potential that we're able to exploit, and it's that option value that comes with owning service that, again, we'll go into more detail with. But being able to drive that growth is incredibly unique particularly on a capital-light or free basis relative to a lot of the comps or the peers here. And finally, being able to achieve this kind of growth with that direct commodity price exposure is incredibly unique, not just within oil and gas, but if you zoom out and I look at a lot of these other kind of similar comps here.
And so where does all this shake out in an actual performance basis, we try to capture that in the next slide here. And you've seen a similar version of this material before. We've reworked it here, but ultimately, what we're trying to demonstrate here is that the true growth, the true compounding nature of this business model over time. And so we've worked through from 2022, the first full year of Landbridge through last year, 2025, what is our EBITDA growth and our free cash flow growth look like relative to all of those comps.
All of those REITs, all of those land management companies, some of our core peers within the oil and gas space, and I think this tells just such a powerful story. You look at 63% adjusted EBITDA growth, you look at free cash flow growth, touching 100% on a CAGR basis from 22% to 25%, while maintaining free cash flow margins between 60% and 70%. That is something that is very tough, if not impossible, to find outside of businesses like ours and there are not many of us out there.
So where does all this cash flow come from? How is it that we're ultimately actioning this growth? This is just a really helpful snapshot of just some of the activity we see in our surface we're pursuing on our surface today. we're going to get into more detail on this, so I'm not going to go into this slide in much depth here. But ultimately, there is a lot for us to do. And again, there's more just beyond that.
So wrapping up a couple of other slides here. This concept of surface use economic efficiency. We continue to emphasize this at the end of every year. A question we get quite frequently is -- how are you actually driving value? Are you just buying cash flow? Or does this active land management strategy actually work? Does it mean something? And this is the metric that we use to show that it absolutely works and is a very, very powerful, so what we're doing is we're seeing each acquisition, each land purchase, let's look at it on a vintage basis by year. And let's just measure how much nonmineral revenue we can generate on a per acre basis and the progression of that year-over-year.
And what we're showing you here is 2024 to 2025, and you can see the acquisitions that we worked through in 2024 versus 2025 saw nearly 150% increase year-over-year when we bought it to the first year that we managed it. And I think that's just a great reflection, again, the active land management strategy and the results of that. We're going to break that down in more detail later in the deck, but it's this concept that I want you to keep in mind as we talk through the macro backdrop and the commercial opportunity set.
So another question we get, and this is partially a technical point, but partially, I think, a really critical point from the seat of investors is how is management compensated? how do your interest align with ours. And so the point I'll make first is we as management own over 13% of the combined company.
We are incredibly incentivized for this to continue to go well. Now some folks always ask it doesn't show up on Bloomberg. How is that the case? So we try to break that up in a bit more detail here because there is direct indirect ownership. And when we're making efforts to clarify that and be very transparent on that, the point I make is our economic interest today is greater than 13%, very critical.
Now the technical point I'd flag, and this comes up a lot is, hey, Scott, I look at your financials, stock-based compensation is ridiculously high. You guys are way overpaid. The point I would make is more than 80% of that stock compensation expense that are in our financials are a result of the technical recognition of those incentive units that exist at the private company. So said differently, all of that 80-plus percent of stock comp can never be a cash burden to public investors nor can it ever be dilutive to the ownership of public investors.
The RSU piece, very vanilla. We called that out in the financials. But the bulk of the ownership of that 13% comes from that private company side. And again, what you're seeing in the financials is gap necessitating us show that, but again, can never be a cash burden to investors, can never be dilutive to investors. So quickly wrapping up on '17. David touched on this quite a bit. But as you know, we also manage a company called WaterBridge. There are enormous synergies that exist between the 2.
We try to capture that here. We've spoken to this in a lot of detail, so I won't belabor the point. But we do think that ultimately, Landbridge is the enabler for WaterBridge growth and in turn, Landbridge gets the benefit of those royalty streams WaterBridge.
So moving on to macro. Just before I hand it over to Jason here. we've outlined this on calls before, but what we're going to try to do during the presentation is to break down in a bit more detail. The different growth drivers, how we think about that, the macro tailwinds we have and ultimately, how does that translate into cash flow streams for the business.
Now I've said it before, there are a few ways to think about growth here. There are the short-term growth drivers, and that is going to be oil and gas-driven activity that's going to be water that is going to be all of the activities associated with that. Those are quick to action quick recognizable cash flow streams and very impactful and we've seen the benefit of that accrue to us over the last several years, and we expect that to hold here going forward.
Now taking a step into kind of more of the medium term for is years out or so, those are a lot of these announcements that we've had coming to fruition. So that's going to be solar. That's going to be power -- that's going to be a lot of these projects that just by nature of the project have a longer runway, but have been contracted today, and we expect to come online over the next several years. But it's important that we continue to work on those commercial efforts now, so we have that compounding growth and we're not chasing ourselves in the future.
Finally, long-term growth drivers, that's digital infrastructure. That's the larger power projects. That's a lot of these just longer lead time items that, again, as we think through the goal of creating year-over-year compounding growth, we need to action those commercial opportunities today get them in the pipeline, get them going. So in 5 to 10 years from now, all of these projects are coming online and adding to the cash flow streams that we're getting here over the near to medium term.
So with that, I will hand it over to Jason.
So next couple of slides, we're just going to talk to the Delaware Basin, wire in the Delaware Basin. The obvious points out there that buy the Delaware Basin is the best place to be on. So on this slide, just a reminder that the Delaware Basin has got the lowest breakevens in the Lower 48. Obviously, also has the lowest -- I mean the highest inventory, the low 48 as well. So we feel really comfortable about where we're at, as we move through that, we're going to talk through water oil ratios on this next slide.
This is a good slide because if you think about this with a modest oil growth, you're going to see it at a minimum increase in water growth. And there's a couple of drivers behind that. And we'll go into a little more detail, but when we talk about the water ratios and deeper benches. But if you look at this graph on the right, what also is happening is just with existing wells with PDP, old wells, the water growth is growing while the oil growth is declining.
So you just -- you constantly see that in formations with water-driven formations. So it's a dynamic that a lot of people don't really think about, but we're constantly growing just at a PDP level.
Flipping to the next slide here. This is a great graph showing shallow formations to the deeper formations. We continue to see inventory grows, operators test new benches and the majority of those are going to have higher water-to-oil ratios. As more and more of these things are tested and trued up, we're going to continue to see that grow. And David talked about that that growth we're going to see of 8 million to 10 million barrels a day, we're in a really good spot to take that.
So Slide 24, I think, is extremely important. Basically, what we're showing here is that there's 4x more water produced than there is an actual demand for completions. So there's other companies that talk about recycling and reuse as a means of disposal, and that's just not true. And this graph shows that very clearly. And that's -- we'll allude I mean go into the fact that why having access to all this poor space is important because of those numbers itself.
So this is the chart, right? David went through this, but you can see produced water volumes growing as the access to capacity is declining. So having access and that's where this graph is concentrated is on Stateline in and around those areas that we talked about. And we'll walk through a little bit more detailed the dynamics that David walked through on the service ownership, but the craft is very, very important.
And just as a reminder, this 5 million barrels in the $300 million of cash flow is super important and an opportunity we're really excited about. All right. So the concentration. So David pull up the map of the of the surface ownership. And Bailey, if you want to do that, you could do that as well. But you hit on it pretty well. Historically, all of this water was coming out of New Mexico.
The Central Basin platform really wasn't an option at the time. So a lot of the water that came in, hit the first couple of sections that were owned right in this extra state line because of all the regulatory issues in New Mexico, not us. We've had WaterBridge to put a water shot on. Historically, I've always had the view that this injection needs to be spread out. And it's super important if you think about that and think about the port space as a commodity, but because of that landowner issue, you had 4 to 6 wells in a section. And that caused that pressure. And if we talk about Bernie, you're talking about seismicity, like that that constant injection pressure is very concentrated. It's what's causing some of that seismicity outside the Deep set stuff.
So this -- we're really in a unique situation in a basin that is so high water oil cuts that we have an actual formation in the Delaware Basin Mountain Group that can take all this water if it's handled correctly. So this is super important why Landbridge is set to take advantage of this opportunity.
I think more importantly, as we think through our geological teams and engineering teams that we're able to leverage off WaterBridge the ability to go buy a new surface that has access to that poor space is super important and puts us in a better spot than most of our peers.
So move on to the next one. So we talk a lot about these 3 large projects. And really, this is a testament to the poor space and the way we think about geology. It's really enabled WaterBridge and other third parties to have access to these long-haul solutions. With Landbridge surface, we're able to offer a long-haul out-of-basin solution as well as an in-basin solution. A piece of that on the long haul side is Devon reserving the 300,000 barrels a day of future capacity, which is super important. That's never been done in our industry.
But that really is a testament to them to know that this poor space is super important in the future, and recycling is not a means to support that. The BPX cracking deal has more of an in-basin situation. Again, it was our first acquisition with an H&H, BPX saw that they were in an area that had high concentration of disposal wells.
We were able to show them a solution, a higher-priced solution than the alternatives, but a solution that could move the water away from their core area of drilling and give them some more certainty around not having issues on that. So that was a large project and excited and that will continue to grow with 400,000 barrels a day capacity.
The next one we'll talk about is Speedway. So Speedway worked out really well. From a Water bridge standpoint, it was first brought on to take water from Eddy County to the Central Basin platform. As we've announced Phase 1 was oversubscribed, and we've now got Phase II in an open season. I think Chuck talked about -- maybe Scott talked about potentials for Phase III already, but really providing this long-haul out-of-basin solution is super important, and we think that we'll be able to continue to expand upon the land position there to add more poor space going forward.
So this slide, we thought it would be helpful just to show you on a map where a lot of these projects are happening. We don't have to get into detail on that. But really, as wrapping up in summary, we've intentionally positioned ourselves to be the solution for growing demand on surface and subsurface, not just for WaterBridge but for the broader industrial group as well. Isaac?
Any questions before we turn it over to Isaac? John?
You guys touched on this a little bit earlier, but I for you're talking about this 6 million barrels a day of water growth. When you're talking about 6 million barrels a day water growth and then $2 million of declines on capacity elsewhere, you just talk a little bit more about what the underlying oil growth is there, trying to frame it up against some of the water oil ratio.
Okay. Great question. So first of all, all of this is in the context of the United States stays flat. And then you can also think of it as the context of the Delaware itself might not be growing at the same pace. But New Mexico will grow the fastest. So effectively, what we're showing you is a 6% to 8% oil growth rate in New Mexico, which doesn't imply oil production growth in the United States and doesn't even imply more than a 3 to or maybe 5% oil growth in the Delaware Basin in total. So at an 8% in New Mexico, you get over 11% or 12% of water growth.
That's helpful. How do you think about how much of that incremental 6 million barrels you guys will capture because you have
All of it. All of it. So we showed it at the road show and we can -- there are a few other options. We feel like our locations are highly strategic in nature. But I can just go around the horn, just show you a couple of other options in the middle of our frying pan Ranch Bailey Circle the area up. There's probably ultimately going to 500, 000 or 800,000 barrels a day of disposal there when you say, Jay.
And then NGL has the ability to move 500,000 barrels across our North-South acreage into a ranch that TPL has on the other side. And that also has the ability for a little bit of expansion. And then to our north, the old [indiscernible] now old Arris, now Western has the McNeil Ranch, which there's probably 500,000 or 800,000 barrels a day of capacity there. But we're starting to show areas that are more costly to get to. And even if you take away the additional cost because you go to the lowest cost, best locations first, you still didn't get enough -- we still didn't take you through 8 million barrels right there.
So there's a very high probability that in a reasonable world, by the way, if you look at the last 40 years of oil demand, there's been 5x that oil price -- that oil demand didn't grow for recessions and on pandemic.
Other than that, we're between 0.5% and 1.5% of demand growth. And it is an incredibly stable line and it has not been it's amazing. So if you think about it in that context, you think that it's inevitable that it gets utilized just a matter of what time and what -- the question that was asked earlier, at what price because obviously, when scarce commodity gets scarcer and scarcer price moves.
Yes. I mean the only thing I'd add to that is that those numbers that you're talking to really don't even play in the fact that once the sour gas infrastructure gets put in, I mean, the amount of water that's going to be generated in and around that area, which is completely like directly adjacent to not only our Speedway pipeline, but also our speed ranch it's going to open up a ton of opportunity there.
Well, if you just circle that area, Bally, that is -- now the area below between Speedway and FinFan. That is the core of the sour gas window. And in that core -- that has been unexploited. I showed you earlier, it's been 3x outside of that. And there's areas benches in that part of the basin that haven't been excluded at all. That's what was in the U.S. So like the Avalon, for instance, incredibly prolific has not been exploited at all because the solution wasn't sufficient. We feel great about MPLX and their ability to continue to deploy capital to build out additional infrastructure.
We're also going to be part of building out additional infrastructure to unlock that area. And that will have a secular growth trajectory irrespective of the overall basin, the overall country is literally just some of the Tier 1 acreage that hasn't been exploited and it will get exploited in a faster pace.
So the -- you're talking about the prime pain to the East?
Yes.. So virgin pressure. So the landowner that we bought that from also on the minerals and so he was very it's really paying attention to make sure that nothing was going to happen to pressure up as minerals and cause any issues. And so the only disposal wells that were out there were originally Concho, now ConocoPhillips he actually required the same spacing that we internally feel like is the right way to do it. And also what the Railroad Commission is taken in as part of the rules now. And that's that mile to mile house spacing code.
So as we looked at it, it was really version pressure in a virgin area where we could really exploit the disposal wells in a way that we feel like is the right way to do it. And that was the same with in, right? When we bought Hang on that 75,000 acres and there's only 3 disposal wells, and that was primarily due to the fact that the land owner is so difficult to deal.
Explain when you're talking about a $0.15 per barrel price on the water, how does that change? And how often does that change? How is that priced?
So as an easy number for us to look at when we bought the Prime Pen Ranch because the $0.15 royalty was already in place. That's what he was charging ConocoPhillips at the time. And so that was an easy benchmark for us. As we think about it, and you've probably heard people say that prices could be lower than that. I mean, there are certain areas that where they want to exploit and put massive concentration on disposals in which they can't do anymore where you see more in the $0 to $0.12 range. we have a view that the price -- the royalty price, the commodity price at this porpace is going up over time for sure. It's just -- it's not a matter of if but when.
So how does that happen, Jason. Basically, we have some contracted volume at price with an inflation adjuster for WaterBridge already, but the stuff that's not contracted when it gets constructed a new price will be determined.
That's right. Yes. And the market is going to allow that. As solutions continue to be scarce, you're just going to consistently see that price increase.
I'll do the second one. Maybe just on that point, when you're thinking about $0.15 right now and going up over time, is -- is that potentially up over time on the same under current acreage? Or do you need to buy more acreage to reprice higher with incremental water bridge volumes? Said differently, is WaterBridge kind of set on that $0.15 right now for this incremental 5 million barrels a day.
No, no. No. SP1 No. We -- so when we did our Arman transaction with WaterBridge, we gave them access to a certain amount of sites at that set royalty. So if WaterBridge comes back to Landbridge and says, "Hey, we need more access to more floor space, it will be all dependent upon what those contracts look like. If one rig is willing to give some sort of a minimum volume commitment to Landbridge then maybe we look at. rate. But if it's just on spec, we'll see where the market is and can adjust that accordingly. But to answer your question, that the 5 million barrels is not walked in at the $0.15.
And as we think through other third parties, we'll see that continue to increase as well.
Does that hold for Speedway Phase 2 or we think about those incremental barrels coming in?
Yes. I mean, again, they're -- they only have -- WaterBridge only has access to a certain amount of locations. So to expand upon that, there will be a negotiation at.
And that predefined access as well, that's not indefinite. And so there's a limited runway in which that current pricing scheme holds in terms of WaterBridge's option to execute on that.
Got like 2.5 million barrels a day of forspace?
We can get back -- we can get back.
Yes, I don't want to misspeak on the exact figure in terms but -- but yes, I mean, typically, when we go through acquiring surface to the extent part of that underwriting was done assuming water bridge activity, which is a good thing. -- we will give them a subset of the poor space, call it, preferential rights on that, and that's typically good for about 5 years, so the set price. But to the extent it's not action is usually, it goes to the market.
And then the rest of the port space as well as market price day 1. So yes, I mean, I think there's a lot of room in there for us to react to the market and react to kind of the scarcity of continue to drive these prices up.
Yes. And the only thing I'd add to that people talk about the $0.10 being market, $0.5 market. Historically, there are landowners that have charged operators when they were to operate or own systems, $0.25 a barrel. I mean that was the rate until these water midstream companies came in and started adding scale to it. So it's not out of line to see things increasing to a number like that.
Just curious to get your perspective on Mexico stands towards water disposal. I mean, is it something that is potentially possible down the line? Or if that occurs, operators wouldn't even be willing to consider injecting in New Mexico because it seems like the value of the poor space is very contingent upon regulations staying where they are.
So -- it's not contingent on regulation staying where they are. It's contingent on really the history that's got us to where we are New Mexico is making it harder and harder to get your permits and has not has increased their volatility with which they regulate rather than decrease in stabilized it. So effectively, if you want a long-term solution, even if politicians came in and said now you can do it and we're going to enable it, you still wouldn't do it because you'd be afraid that the next administration, the next date administration is going to change it all around on you.
If you think about it, for these guys, the value of your resource is massively, massively outstrips the cost of managing your water. So what does that mean for you? You basically want to make sure your resource gets exploited and doesn't get shut in. If you don't have a solution, that's a problem. So you look for long-term solution.
And you don't have to just trust what we say all you have to do is look at the price in the market. We talked about on the WaterBridge roadshow, our average price per barrel for gathering and managing water, $0.65, our BPX deal was at $0.90 and Speedway was $1 to $1.25. It's going in that direction already, and it's -- people are paying for that long-term sustainable solution.
Great. We'll be talking about digital infrastructure now and how Texas and specifically West Texas has hit an inflection point. So we'll start off with the macro level overview of why we've gotten to this point. So critical time line is 2022 when artificial intelligence inferencing and training hit a substantial inflection point where we saw substantial deployment of capacity. This existential need for power became so intense. Complementing this is AI inferencing, training use cases, have some degree of sensitivity to latency, but not as much as commercial cloud. So that forces kind of the ability to look at new markets, new geographies. So this intense computing demand complemented with more flexibility on location and just the deployment in power. You have this convergence of power and digital infrastructure Texas is a very ripe market for digital infrastructure.
We see the amount of CapEx that's being deployed forecast by 2028 -- I'm sorry, 2027, 2026 is in excess of $600 billion, which essentially surpasses that a lot of the oil and gas operators. So again, the macro level landscape is creating a right environment for us to really benefit from this. as basically digital infrastructure begins to be deployed or where it's been deployed in historic markets, -- it's become such an eyesore and a contentious issue that drives a lot of opposition to these projects.
These opposition to projects stems from competition to finite resources, great capacity electricity, water resources. The battleground for creating delays is these permits that are long lead, only permits becoming even longer lead drivers. -- creating more risk to deploying capacity in these traditional markets.
Is this next slide, please. So when you're looking at just the market, you see the finite ability to deploy capital in these traditional markets is complemented by these permanent deployment issues, West Texas becomes a more favorable landscape. You have boundless access to grid and power generation. I think one thing to emphasize here from a grid connectivity perspective from West Texas, for instance, is the Permian Basin reliability plan, which is adding additional interconnection capacity and the rich landscape of renewable energy generation. We'll talk about this later, but our ability to have access to water resources is also a part of enabling that data center infrastructure ecosystem. And I think something that most of us in this room may not appreciate is that West Texas is a very favorable landscape with respect to land use, environmental and permitting regulations, which accelerate your ability to deploy capacity much faster than any other market in the U.S.
So when we go to the next slide, I think it's important to view the national landscape. The blue dots represent the traditional markets, which again have been adjacent to very traditional cloud computing use cases. So latency was a key consideration. With the emergence of artificial intelligence, inferencing and training. You see new markets emerge where there's a substantial amount of infill development, drawing emphasis to Texas specifically. -- so that historical concentration is shifting. New geographies emerge. Landbridge is well positioned, and we have not an incidental positioning. It's a very deliberate structural advantage that has been created not just through the land bridge position but through the Five Point ecosystem.
Digging deeper into Texas. This is not speculation. This is not a science project. You can see the number of notable gigawatt-plus scale campuses that have been announced, not just in Texas, but more specifically West Texas, Abilene, I think, is the most relevant or appropriate example to highlight relative to open AI Cruso and the amount of capacity there is frankly staggering. Those differentiated offerings that we can bring to bear from a land bridge perspective, include a fast contiguous acreage. So these gigawatt scale campuses, large scale, we offer large assemblages of developable acreage. -- attractive natural gas positioning by proximity to the Waha hub.
The amount of water availability that we can bring to bear in any 1 of our positions is substantial, and we've quantified that and we'll talk about that shortly. -- favorable grid outlook by virtue of the Permian Basin reliability plan, great permitting landscape and business-friendly legislation. So again, when you look at this map, you see existing markets in major cities shifting to the West Texas geography at scale and at large capacity. So taking it 1 step further, there's about 36 million plus acres in West Texas in the Permian Basin. Of that acreage, not all of it is suitable or right for data center or digital infrastructure development.
Some of the core enablers for digital infrastructure development are proximity to great infrastructure or natural gas pipelines. This map on the right shows just the proximity to some of those most critical enablers to get access to power. Complementing that, again, I'll mention the access to water human capital dynamic, I think is also underappreciated in West Texas. The oil and gas landscape offers a rich supply of labor, human capital. And then more importantly, on Landbridge specifically, we've done the homework to identify, characterize an almost pre derisked sites to understand what sites are most attractive for a variety of hyperscale or digital infrastructure developers.
So this includes identifying resource blockers, lands compatibility issues and understanding the local regulatory landscape such that when we engage with counterparties we have conviction on which sites are most attractive and try to have the highest and best economic use for these uses on our acreage. So I think one of the points of conversation around digital infrastructure, especially when you talk about competition for scarce resources is water access and the need for water access. A good way to validate the water use intensity or this metric in the broader scape landscape is the water use effectiveness ratio.
So for every kilowatt of power that you generate compute, you have an associated water need. Using a very conservative estimate of 100,000 barrels per day for a gigawatt scale data center. We have in excess of 2,500 years of available supply. The estimated groundwater that we have on our acreage this is not conjecture. This is not something that we have third-party verification validation from one of the leaders in the space where we have the confidence to supply these volumes. This creates a complementary element where our ecosystem or our landscape, our offering is attractive, especially for water cooled solutions.
I think part of the conversations I was having before this conversation was, well, what about less less water intense uses. I think David called out earlier that there's a significant trade-off when you're using closed-loop cooling. So a substantial 10% to 30% increase in power demand, while driving down your water consumption. And I think the takeaway here is that we can accommodate those very intense water use scenarios.
Yes. One thing I'd add to the water and the reason why we have access to this is because we've got such large continuous blocks in the way this is calculated on a per acre foot and that impacts how they give you your allocations. One thing that's super important an issue about this area is that prior to oil and gas activity, this area was home for the largest like Mellin forming Canalys in the United States. -- catalogs taking ton of water. And so there are no canal out there more because the whole gas activity, but the underlying water resources there.
The one reason why they were -- the catalogs were farmed there is because the mass metal water in the soil. -- and also because of the recharge rates. So when it rains there, the ability for this resident recharge is huge. And that goes into this calculation, we had a third-party.
Yes. That's exactly it. We've quantified and understand the magnitude of that recharge potential and have also engaged and understood what the regulatory landscape is for withdrawing those water volumes from these positions throughout our acreage.
Next slide, please. I think what you take away from the digital infrastructure revenue streams is that we have quite a comprehensive approach to generating revenue as David laid out, it's not just a lease or damages payment. There's a power royalty, water royalty component by which we have -- next slide, a series of just revenue streams being brought to bear.
So this time line shows a notional representation of basically a data center, a gigawatt scale data center development project. you see kind of the time horizon 1 to 6 years. But before this time line actually begins, it's important to acknowledge that there's a substantial amount of derisking and understanding from a developer, a hyperscaler an end user. There's permitting, design and engineering.
So before any work takes place, there's a phenomenal amount of just work that has to take place. Once that option converts into development, these hyperscale data center sites are thousands of acres. So there's a substantial amount of earthmoving that has to take place.
There's great interconnections, there's placements of turbines. The revenue or the time to bring the revenue is a couple of years out. But these provide couple streams. And I hope what you also take from this is that the enablement of a gigawatt of capacity is not immediate. It's a phased development. That also happens concurrently with the building of the vertical digital infrastructure components. So -- this slide, I think, gives you kind of a key overview of a cheat sheet, if you will, of what we think are our structural advantages to enabling digital infrastructure, our acreage proximity to gas the contiguous acreage, the access to water that we can bring to bear and the existing and future access to grid, not just at the transmission level, but also at the distribution level.
So when we talk about digital infrastructure, it's not just hyperscalers, it's also the smaller edge compute use cases or distributed bitcoin miners that can also benefit from that available capacity on our acreage. Fiber infrastructure, the proximity that we have is suitable for a lot of these use cases. But with the eventual deployment of gigawatt scale campuses, that latency consideration will substantially improve.
And then one thing that I also want to emphasize is that we don't just have access to natural gas and grid. The West Texas landscape is also very rich and our acreage specifically has commercially viable solar generation potential throughout our acreage along with wind generation potential, which is complemented by the existing and proposed generation or transmission infrastructure.
So what I hope you take from this conversation is that there are a number of existential problems or headwinds that the hyperscale data center industry is facing in existing markets. And we are uniquely positioned to offer solutions to those core blockers. There are a number of proof points in the broader space. It's not just the increase in capacity. It's also the increasing adoption of co-located and behind-the-meter gas generation.
There are a number of studies that show that increasing adoption, not just from wholesalers, but hyperscalers. The emergence of Texas becoming a key data center market and then our just commercial track record that we're beginning to enable throughout our acreage. So we'll stop there.
Any question.
Just a question on the data center. Obviously, Texas benefiting huge from Pro growth and cheap energy. But data centers or is it like electricity where you have to have boosters along the way to the end market or you can literally put a data center any place in the world. And the end user here in New York, they don't care whether it's in West Texas, in Northern Virginia or whatever? Just trying to understand if there's any competitive reason that data centers in West Texas would have a harder competitive set versus anywhere else versus know the data travels just as quickly, it doesn't matter.
Well, haven't you been following land and he's going to put data centers on the move -- we're going to have
There's a lot of stuff that joke -- you also have self-driving cars that crash, so exactly the --
But what I would say, I'm going to give you the non-technical answer, then I'm going to let Alex dig in a little bit, but basically, if you think about the way what latency means, latency is time to the end user effectively. And in the early phase of development of a new market like West Texas, people talk about latency, but when you -- so your solution is optimal for training, large language model training. But your latency you're talking about is really Five milliseconds between West Texas and Dallas. So you're not talking about massive latency, but at first, your application is going to be for training. But as you get more data centers in the same area, the data center talk to each other and latency doesn't become -- is no longer an issue because you are the hub, and that's what we have in Langley.
You don't hear people talk about latency between the data centers and Langley with California. Because it's not an issue because they talk to each other and they make it happen. That's what will happen here. And then -- and that's when you have inference opportunities and cloud opportunities as well with the preponderance of them there.
Yes. And we'll cover this in detail to Alex from PowerBridge. You'll see that what's occurring is a tetanic shift of where load for compute is being located.
And the principal reason for that is that latency is not as significant. And what wins the day is the convergence of all the factors that we'll talk about, which is energy, water, compute, power and the fiber really acts as a connective tissue. Think about it as an export pipeline of all of those attributes. And so there was a point in time where location mattered. It no longer matters, particularly with the fiber conduits that we're constructing, which we'll get into in the Power Bridge presentation.
Come back to the water side. You guys are framing up effectively the kind of groundwater and aquifer potential here. So on the kind of water sales side. Would you expect any of the produced water to go into this market? And then if you could just talk about potential kind of water pricing, even got water sales here? Is it a very different market different building purchase, but just from a dollar per barrel, does it look similar to what we see sold into the completions market.
I'll let Jason handle the price. But the technologies and the utilization of produced water are absolutely coming. We have desalination opportunities where it's more expensive than using an RO process on groundwater, but it's also there's a big motivation to be able to make that happen and make it happen at scale. So we are also working on technologies, and I will explain who we is there that will enable the utilization of actual produced water for cooling. And one of the cool things I get to do in my business is Five Point is I have a group that focuses exclusively on water management technologies.
And we canvass the whole landscape because you can imagine, we manage 6 million barrels a day of water, probably more than anyone else in North America, maybe in the world. And when you manage that much water, every scientist who has a solution comes to you. And we seek them out as well. We test it in the lab. If it passes our lab tests, we'll pilot it in the field and if it passes a pilot, we'll institute it. And these technologies are improving to the extent that they will start to get utilized throughout the basin.
So we feel like we will forever be on the cutting edge of that because of all the water we manage and because it's our focus.
I guess sorry, on the pricing maybe.
On pricing for the different types of water. Yes. So -- we talk about this our groundwater, right? We've got a fresh source and more of a mini touch source. The Bridie can be treated very very easily with like a smaller system. So that water is probably going to more be in line at the $0.40 to $0.50 a barrel depending on the amount of volume they need and how much they want to commit to.
As you think about produced water, water bridge is in an interesting spot as well as Landbridge but Waters gets paid to take that produced water no matter what. So what we do in the downstream doesn't matter. So the price when you start talking about these technologies and the cost to treat this water and the equipment is going to be necessary for the equipment that's going to continually evolve, right? I mean we're already talking about some of these systems potentially could take produced water raw getting out the hydrocarbons and some of the heavy metals. So yet to be determined.
I mean, as I keep had more conversations in and around the produced water pricing because we've -- we've looked at some supply top opportunities there.
Yes. So we've looked at a number of produced water being treated to meet a technology or facility cooling specification. And I think that pricing is a critical component. And I think we have a commercial structure approach that's thoughtful and addresses concern from the offtaker. What's another point of education with them is the opportunity to have them understand the regulatory pathway for using that water and then like Jason mentioned, the education and just the acceptance of that integration of that water into the cooling technology itself. But it's been conceptually well received, especially recognizing that tension that exists between water consumption and the competition for resources with data centers and the story, the narrative at using produced water and data centers in what Texas can create
Yes. Helpful. I guess, a quick follow-up then. I guess the thought process for groundwater sales, that is certainly a LBrevenue stream -- if you start using produced water that sits at WaterBridge, is that kind of a fair way to think about that?
Yes, because WaterBridge would have already been paying -- we've been paying the royalty on it. And as we talked about, those royalties will potentially continue to increase, but that would be a WaterBridge opportunity.
My question was basically a follow-up to that is, so does WaterBridge basically own that water? Like does the operator have any right to it? Does Landbridge have any right to it.
Contractually, when WaterBridge takes the water, they take custody of it.
So they can decide to put it into whatever use data in a beneficial of working on the data centers,
whatever with it.
How important is it for them to be using water outside of the hydrologic cycle?
I think when you look at using water outside of the hydrologic cycle. You see these trade-offs being made where they're sacrificing power capacity to use air cooling at a substantial cost of that power, the optics of it, create such a long lead driver in other core markets where they've learned from those lessons and they want to avoid the reputational black eye.
Just like the hyperscaler digital infrastructure industry has made substantial commitments to decarbonize some years ago. You're now seeing a lot of these hyperscalers now make these commitments to undertake water replenishment ecosystem restoration projects to address some of those intense water uses.
Last thing I'll highlight is that it's not -- shouldn't be a surprise to anyone that these numbers of water consumption are not broadcast broadly. So when you get a sense or try to get a sense of the magnitude of the water being consumed, it's hard to know, and that just is an indicator of superiority of the reputational risk that they're trying to.
Yes, you probably just add to the municipality situation. I mean, I'm from Avelinand it's caused a massive issue with the Stargate project because it was never broadcast to the city, how much water -- and how much the actual water needs are going to be. So I mean the pushback, they'll continue to get when they have.
All right. Yes. So we'll briefly walk through just some of the other industrial uses that we're seeing today and what we're pursuing here on a go-forward basis, if we go to 42, perfect. So we show you just a mix of customers at the top there. You could see, obviously, a lot of oil and gas industrial folks, but also a handful of others that are a bit more on the periphery. Today, we see some mining. We see some waste management. We have we have man camps to support kind of the broader activity in the region.
But on a go-forward basis, we certainly expect these to continue to grow, but actively working through municipal water supplies, obviously, talking with both current and future -- potential future partners on man camps and housing, particularly related to to data centers. Some of you may have caught a recent article where there was discussions around the man camps and housing needed for the staff coming in and they need like golf simulators and things like that I spoke to.
So I didn't realize that was on the agenda, but maybe we have to look into that as well. And then fuel stops just a number of other kind of enabling customers enabling revenue streams they are ultimately a byproduct or potentially could be a processor or a precursor to just a lot of the growth that we expected to see.
Yes. I mean just the thought of that you're building cities to support this -- that's right.
Yes, exactly right. So we go to the next slide. We touched on water quite a bit. I mean, Jason, is there anything you'd add on this.
No, I think we we went into a pretty in-depth. I know we'll talk more about it on the fireside chat as well. But the 1 other thing I would talk to real quick on that last slide was the College. So we talk about [indiscernible] as being something that we sell to the oil and gas producers, the gas plants, et cetera. But Scott likes to Trigoni Smith.
That's right. Jason said it wasn't cement. It's just rock, but when you add water, it gets hard. No. Anyway, it's a very valuable resource that as you think about when 1 of these things is constructed, any of it. I mean the vast amounts of Colichi is going to be required, and we are sitting on a huge reserve. If you scratch the surface in West Texas you enter into these caliche deposits that are throughout. So it will be a really big opportunity.
Yes. Yes. So similar to the other subsector exposure here, we tried to just highlight on the map where we expect to see some of this activity, and we've talked through quite a bit of this. I mean, I think the main takeaway from this slide from this section is kind of something I've spoken to you before is -- because obviously, a lot of activity we're pursuing directly on our surface and that's very obvious to point to accruing to our benefit over time. But as other development occurs off of our surface as other folks bring other kind of infrastructure online adjacent to us, Ultimately, it's a lot of this ancillary in supporting kind of infrastructure businesses, operations that are going to be needed just to keep that going.
And so what we expect to see is just the ongoing compounding in just the industrial some in West Texas as a large land owner, particularly a large contiguous land owner, we would expect to reap the benefit of that. And then wrapping up on 45, we very much buy design, package our surface together to really be the optimal solution for a number of different use cases here. We've talked through all of these, so I won't move through them in detail. But again, these are all items that we're very thoughtful about, particularly as we continue to scale, which we'll talk through here in a bit.
So with that, I think we've got a quick 10-minute break before we kick off the more detailed power bridge and data center discussions.
[Break]
Thanks, everybody, for coming back in and sitting down. We're -- I'm going to introduce Alex Hernandez, we did talk about his prior roles at Cumulus as a founder of Cumulus and the CEO of Talen, but we're really excited to have him as a part of the Five Point family, and you'll understand from his presentation where and how he fits into the whole ecosystem and drives value to Landbridge.
Thank you, David. And delighted to be with you today. I'm going to focus my comments on how do we make all of this a reality. We had the benefit of being your seats a year ago before my partnership with David and had the benefit after our sale of Cumulus to Amazon and after running Talen, which owns 15 gigawatts for 7 years to think about where the next largest both power and data center market would emerge in the world.
The conclusion I came to was that, that market would be in West Texas. And that beginning with a set of assets that had a certain level of attributes together with a team to prosecute that thesis was the optimal place to be of all the other places in the world that 1 could be. And so how do we think about the world, let me just start there. We observed the fundamentals. We take those fundamentals to develop a thesis. We execute that thesis relentlessly and ultimately drive value for PowerBridge and drive cash flow for Land bridge.
Where are we in this thesis? We founded Cumulus, which is the first Direct Connect business, which I'll take you through, under the basis and the view that the world of energy was converging and colliding with the world of digital infrastructure and compute at a rate that few in the world understood. We did that in October of 2019, and began work in the spring of 2020, right in the middle of COVID.
And then during the course of 3.5 years, developed the largest campus that Amazon has today globally, in Burwood, Pennsylvania. That convergence in the last 5 years, it's our point of view has only accelerated and also gotten larger in size. And so what's the trick to this convergence, the trick is execution, right? And the trick is how do you connect these concepts that we've heard so far, the macro, the assets that the 5-point ecosystem has, LandBridge WaterBridge and now the new entrant to the family, PowerBridge to drive this value, both for ourselves and for the ecosystem in its entirety. And the way we're going to do that is through a powered campus strategy that I'll take you through.
So how do we fit within the ecosystem that you've heard of, Power Bridge's mission is to develop power campuses that is developing the electrical infrastructure that interconnects the surface to a center campus to the electric grid and to new power generation. There is a system of wires and substations and engineering that make the energization of the Lambert surface possible, and that is our mission.
There are other important elements of this value chain, which is the fiber conduit that David mentioned. In addition to electricity, an overlooked part of the value chain is fiber. -- fiber eventually serves as the export pipeline of the natural gas and the water that are converted to information and that can be sold at a much more attractive price under long-term contracts, fiber and conduit is the key connective tissue that connects us to the end markets around the U.S. and around the world more broadly beginning in West Texas. And then you've heard about WaterBridge and some of the other Five Point family companies.
Let me just spend a moment on a small town named Berwick, Pennsylvania, that many of you probably have never heard of. Berwick is a town of 6,000 people. You have probably heard of a town name, Pecos, Texas, a town of 16,000 people really at the center of the Landbridge ecosystem. Berwick in 2020 and Pennsylvania in 2020 had 0 data centers. At the time, I was CEO of Talend, we owned Susquehanna Nuclear, which is the largest nicapower plant in the United States. We were surrounded by Marcellus gas.
We were surrounded by gigawatts and gigawatts of natural gas power plants that have been overbuilt in a prior crisis or prior cycle. And we were facing a situation where we had an abundance of electrons that were trapped in Eastern Pennsylvania and could not get to end markets. Right? Does that sound familiar?
In West Texas, we find ourselves in a situation where, as Jason described, we have trapped water that can't get out. We have trapped gas that can't get out and there's been enormous value demonstrated already in creating businesses that fix those industrial problems and also take advantage of the value differential that exists from solving that problem. You can think about our power campus strategy as one and the same, but for power and for data centers.
Cumulus very briefly what happened to Cumulus. We connected 2 of the largest nuclear power plants in the United States with a fancy extension cord and the substation system that was larger than the electrical system built by Dominion Energy in Virginia the country's largest data center market. We did that in 3.5 years with a team of 15 people. And while we were moving, the utility monopolies around the country were staying still, we're not investing in electrical infrastructure.
And as a consequence, when the market grew to such a degree, we're unable to satisfy the large need for digital infrastructure and compute that came into the grid. And Cumulus was there to satisfy that demand. And if you ask the question back in 2023 when the business was sold to Amazon, where in the world can 1 connect 1 gigawatt of power and compute today -- the only answer was in Berwick, Pennsylvania, and we endeavor to do that 5x over, as David said, by building 5 campuses within PowerBridge, 5 Cumulus each of 2 gigawatts in size, 10 in total, expandable to 15 across the land brick acreage, taking advantage of the ecosystem.
So let me next spend a moment talking about the path that we traveled in Pennsylvania and that now Pennsylvania continues to travel and how my belief is that West Texas that take us and that land bridge will play out much in the same way, but in my opinion, at a much, much larger scale.
If you go back to just the last 2 years, I'm not even going to go back to 2020, there was the sale of Cumulus AWS. AWS now is investing $20 billion into the campus that we developed for them. In short sequence, immediately adjacent to our campus. Again, this goes to the value of acreage to the value of ecosystem to the value of clustering, QTS and Blackstone earlier this week announced the purchase of 2,100 acres for $250,000 per acre immediately adjacent to our cumulus campus. Why did they do that? Because all of the infrastructure that we constructed was present to facilitate the deployment of digital infrastructure at very, very large scale.
All of the electrical was completed, the fiber was completed. And so adding to the ecosystem is much easier than developing it. And today, we estimate that from a starting point of 0, Pennsylvania is now a 7.5 gigawatt market that roughly translates to just under $100 billion of investment, roughly half of that is in a town of 6,000 people in the middle of the Marcellus Shale.
My contention to you is that Pecos, Texas, when we come back and see each other in 5 years or every year is heading in this direction. So let me just briefly talk about and I'll get to execution. But what are the fundamental principles that we rely on as we observe the macro and use the tools and partnerships in the 5-point ecosystem at our disposal. There's -- the exponential growth of data is driving the convergence to energy because 50% of the operating costs and roughly 40% of the capital costs related to data centers are power and energy specific.
The greater the growth, the bigger the problem and the more difficult to satisfy it quickly by the grid and by people that do not respond to market signals. Utilities, for the most part, with a few exceptions, are ill-suited to make that demand -- they were 5 years late in getting started and are now trying to catch up.
Our belief is, because of that, data centers will be connected directly to generation, and you'll see that part of the PowerBridge plan is to bring and design our own power generation solutions, not to simply rely on others, not to just rely on the grid, but to contribute new generation into the grid, which is important to execution, but also important politically and regulatorily in the current environment, particularly if we continue to see the growth rate over the next decade, bringing generation will be important.
How is the data center world changing? Five years ago, 1 megawatt, which is a unit of capacity of power or data was a very large transaction, right? Then 100 megawatts was a large transaction. We're in a world today where if you speak to the 5 largest market cap companies in the world, their feedback is we need at minimum 250 megawatts to even start a gigawatt to make it significant, 2 gigawatts or more to ramp and what we actually need is a multi-gigawatt clustered solution that can solve a decade of growth with certainty. Because the greatest growth -- the latest risk that they face our customers is to not have the physical infrastructure that allows them to meet the compute and high-margin profile of their cloud businesses or their AI businesses, all of those things do not happen without this physical layer that we're developing.
What connects all of that? Fiber, I'll come to that in a moment. People focus on power. They focus on the other elements. They don't focus on fiber conduits. Fiber conduit is a key part of this ecosystem that connects everything together. David talked about the renting and the other routes. We'll talk about that in a moment.
And finally, our belief is that the next large data center platform will emerge through the lens of energy. And you can think of us as one of the early anchor customers for Landbridge and for WaterBridge that will help drive value for them, for the ecosystem more broadly, in addition to any direct relationships that I anticipate Landbridge and WaterBridge may have with technology customers.
So moving to what are we doing specifically? This is a map you're well familiar with of the Landbridge acreage. I've highlighted for you 5, what I'll call, target campus developments that we're hard at work on. We've been hard at work for the last year without being public about our work, but I will say that we're advanced at developing these 5 campuses across the Landbridge acreage.
And the selection of these locations is not coincidental. These are places that have land abundance, where the surface conditions lend themselves to large infrastructure deployments that have ample water that have access to the fiber that we're developing, that are in important places of the grid electrically and the confluence of all those factors plus execution equals optimal places to deploy digital megawatts at very large scale.
What do we envision the business model to be -- so on the left, you'll see, as I mentioned, we will build, and I'll show you a 3D model of our campuses that David flashed up briefly, we will develop with 5-point new natural gas generation. The market is tightening and notwithstanding the fact that equipment costs are high, we believe the economics are attractive and that the value of this generation, if used for digital infrastructure applications and to satisfy the requirements of the grid, is very high. That generation will be connected to what we call our digital campuses. This is the Power campus strategy that is effectively an electrical network developed by us Think about it as a mini utility, although we are not a utility that provides all of the electrical infrastructure to connect the grid, the power plant and the data center.
And to the right, you'll see the customers that we ultimately think will occupy our campuses. And I want to clarify that our strategy is to provide the entire base layer until the pad and to provide pad-ready infrastructure for the customers themselves to go vertical, which we think is the most attractive part of the value chain.
So effectively, we're providing to them a neighborhood where they can simply move in and to begin deploying their megawatts at scale. I just want to touch briefly on the noise. You can't swat to fly without reading an article about a data center or a project or a powered land or AI or there is so much noise in this market that it's difficult to differentiate noise from reality. Our approach has been to be quiet to develop, to work, to provide an executable plan and a key competitive advantage of this market it's to go to an end customer with a real solution that is actionable, and that is our plan.
We can say we have a relationship with Landbridge in the case of one of our campuses, which we call Alpha Digital that I'll take 2. We have a relationship with Landbridge that allows us to access that surface. We have an order our electrical equipment for the digital campus are advanced in finalizing the generation solution. And when you go to a customer with a packaged plan and a full dinner menu, that, in our opinion, is the way to win in this market as opposed to pedaling land, pedaling turbines, pedaling sites, doing things that don't provide a full value chain solution that is a losing recipe in our opinion and the way to get through that noise is to provide a full solution that is executed.
So what does that solution look like? David showed you this previously. This is not an artist rendering. It is an actual 3D model of our first campus of the 5 that I described called Alpha Digital. This campus, as you can see, is 2 gigawatts in aggregate. It encompasses roughly 3,000 acres near the Pecos area, near Wolfbone and -- if you look at the bottom part of this diagram, this is a 1 gigawatt deployment that includes a few key pieces of infrastructure. You'll see first that in the center of the page, there's what's called a private use network.
This private use network is the electrical brains of the campus that connects everything together as I described, the grid, the power and the data centers. All of this equipment is on order. And we are in the process of finalizing the construction contracts to begin construction of this private use network at the Alpha digital campus.
Next to it, you'll see island mode generation. What does that mean? That means a collection of smaller power turbines that in a certain set of configuration can run on a stand-alone basis without the electric grid because of the constraints that everyone around the country is facing interconnecting to the electric grid.
And before my partnership with David on PowerBridge, I served on the ERCOT board, came off the ERCOT board when Power Bridge is formed. And notwithstanding the fact that Texas is the most nimble jurisdiction currently in the country, the backlog that the Q is facing is still very high and having an interim power solution is important. And finally, you'll see that there's a permanent power solution that allows the campus to grow to a gigawatt in size, and we would replicate that in the other side of the campus to grow to 2 gigawatts in size.
And as you can see, the data center deployment would follow that power ramp over a multiyear period, right? So this is the product that Towerbridge is offering an end user. And in doing so, you can see we're using Landbridge surface. We would anticipate using water ridge water for cooling the power plant and ultimately, even if the customer were to choose starting with air cool products for their data centers, as chip density increases, our belief is that over time, given the advantaged water situation in this area, we have the ability as well to sell water for chip cooling at this data center campus.
We talked a lot about some of the energy water attributes of the Landbridge acreage. One attribute that we haven't discussed is how strategically located that acreage is with respect to the electric grid. These green lines are the highest voltage transmission lines that traverse the state of Texas. There are 3 lines in particular that are dotted darker green here that are 765 kV lines plus you that have been newly approved by ERCOT, the Public Utilities Commission and the governor to construct the largest transmission project in the history of Texas. These 3 lines will cost $30 billion and will import and export power from parts of Texas to the Permian Basin to the Delaware Basin and specifically to places within or proximate to the Landbridge acreage.
So the Alpha digital campus that I just showed you a picture of is depicted here with a little blue star that's hard to see, but it's not a coincidence that campus #1 is on an existing 345 kV line, but in between the 2 largest transmission projects that will be constructed in the history of ERCOT that allows us the ability to both import power when we need to and export power when we need to, but it is another factor, in our opinion, that will make that surface position even more strategic.
And finally, let me just touch on fiber. David mentioned this a little bit at the outset. Power is nice, land is nice, water is nice. Our campus is nice, but none of this works at the scale that we're discussing without adding further infrastructure related to fiber conduit. This is the first time we've discussed it publicly. But what is our plan.
Our plan is to construct approximately 1,200 miles of new routes that are underground routes. We haven't showed the routes here exactly, but we've shown you to where we're going. And each of those routes will have 6 conduits inside of them that can be purchased or leased to the ultimate data center customers. And we will go west to El Paso, as David said, and on to LatAm, on to Los Angeles and Seattle and the Western markets. We are going to Albuquerque and onward to Denver. That is a path that does not exist today in telecom.
We are going to Midland and onward to Abilene and Stargate in Dallas and beyond. And the significance of all of this is that by the time we are done with our fiber conduit project, Pecos we'll have, in my opinion, the strongest connectivity story in the country over time.
We will have 8 redundant underground fiber routes that will support the level of compute that we anticipate will occur within this basin. And we began doing this 1 year ago. We've been heads down on execution. There was a question about groundbreaking. We anticipate breaking ground in the second half of this year and have the fiber conduit completed concurrent with the completion of our campus and the power to offer the customer an integrated offering.
So in totality, what I expect you'll see is us in the future being a hopefully good customer Jason, a good customer of Isaac driving value, of course, for our own business but being an anchor to the economic activity that we anticipate will develop. And I also anticipate beyond our efforts, we are just us, but I anticipate David and team will attract a lot of interest from the largest companies in the world. If the clustering effect that we saw in Berwick, Pennsylvania plays out in this region, you can anticipate in my opinion, an enormous amount of activity.
And again, I want to emphasize we are early innings here, right? At the moment, there are 0 data centers in Pecos today. They were 0 data centers in Berwick in 2020. But I think just one man's opinion, we're at the same inflection point and all signs of commercial activity of growth point to acceleration and to deployment given the attributes that this ecosystem has. And I'll finish just very briefly with some people that you may know, Jobs briefly said don't be trapped by dogma. Don't be trapped by the fact that people say that West Texas won't work.
David, 2 years ago said, West Texas was going to work, it is working now. And another friend of yours, Mr. Gates, suggested that -- we tend to underestimate the change over the medium term. So think about what the city of Pecos will become in 5 years and 10 years and hopefully will be a productive part of driving that change. Thank you.
Any questions for Alex.
All right. So I guess there's a lot of confusion around the different types of water. So you guys have aquafer both fresh and brackish then you have the produced water. Then in terms of end users, you have the water that can go into cooling towers for power gen, you can have heat rejection in the data centers. And then I guess there's also a component where you could do liquid immersion or direct cooling for the chips. Can you kind of walk through all of those different areas? And I guess, where the value capture is and what you're most excited about on the waterfront?
Yes, happy to take that. So I think when you think about water, the water that we have access to, let's focus on fresh and semi-fresh or brackish all that water can be applied to the facility or technology cooling use cases. The punchline is that it's incremental amounts of treatment for a higher spec or more clean. And so that would be basically supplied by land bridge and then potentially treated by WaterBridge through RO systems and filtration processes.
Yes. I would get back to what we were talking about earlier, just the vast amount of water that we control will really give us a leading edge here as we think through Alex's conversations with the data centers and the hoscalers that they need access to this water. And this goes back to the what I said about the municipalities, right? I mean the proximity to non municipalities is really a good thing. And the access to water, because of our continuous nature of our service position, there's not another surface provider that could offer that same solution.
That's exactly it. And I think the other part of the conversation is the magnitude of volumes that would potentially also require recycling and disposal. And I think that there's an adjacency to the WaterBridge core business for which we're engaged in some conversations with a number of known counterparties where we're delivering or iterating on how to deliver a solution that's cost effective for their data center facility.
And so clear can treat it produced water ever be treated to a standard that can be used in a data center?
Yes.
And like what cost.
So obviously, it's a higher cost of produced water to meet a facility or technology cooling spec, but the manner in which we're approaching it is that the end user of that water wouldn't be the sole are of that cost. Obviously, there are commercial ops and levers that have to be calibrated the model. I think we have a pretty high degree of confidence on a model that works.
The critical element is ensuring that, that water is one applied at an economic rate that is the same if not marginally better or not worse than the available water to having the certainty that the regulatory bodies, TCQ, Railroad Commission, that interface is resolved. And three, that we give them the confidence that this isn't a pilot and that it's been fully integrated without introducing operational risk to the cooling or facility infrastructure that's interacting with that water. Is that
Do you expect -- no, that makes sense, but do you expect kind of like initially more freshwater or more...
Definitely in water and the I think that, that's definitely the reality is that you go with something that's known and proven. And I think that part of our messaging to the market has been as the optics or just the availability and abundance of this produced water is proven, we can introduce that in a meaningful level where your water supply, your water use story is building upon something that's core to the Permian Basin.
Can you maybe expand a little bit more on that closed loop versus open loop? And why I think you mentioned in Texas, you would see more open loop than otherwise you might in the rest of the country?
I think the key takeaway there is that, obviously, open loop requires a phenomenal amount of water, whereas closed loop, you're able to use substantially less amount of water, but the trade-off is that you're trading between 10% to 30% of capacity to apply to this cooling. So that power has to come from somewhere. And I would argue that you're just shifting the water use burden to a different party and ultimately, that need for water is still there. But Alex
Yes, I think the key is to build data center solution and a power shell that can accommodate a variety of water solutions. And a customer may decide in the first instance to start with air cooling. But in the data centers that we've constructed before you put in a race floor that allows water infrastructure to be constructed underneath the data center and the 3 feet there and then piped up through the servers over time. And that flexibility as chip density evolves as heat requirement and cooling requirements evolve is really, really important and is likely to support very significant water usage, but without any of the potential community concerns that exist in other parts of the country.
Thank you. David, earlier, you quoted a $10 million to $20 million of free cash flow per gigawatt that's a number that's moved a little bit.
So I guess, if you guys could talk about how you thought about that over time? And then second part of that is power royalty. But I guess on this setup, we're talking about I guess, eventually tying into the grid, maybe your on-site power gen is lower over time? Maybe just think about kind of LB's exposure on that piece?
Sure. So the $10 million to $20 million was illustrative and by design conservative and didn't include water didn't include water because you have water options that can span air cooling to open loop. If you add a full open loop system, it can be a $20 million to $40 million location. What I wanted to do rather than rather than show you the exact amount, I would think you get out of a gigawatt campus because I want to just show you the magnitude of the opportunity. And if you want to think about it from an open-loop cooling perspective, -- you can think about the number Scott's used in the past, the 20 to 40 and multiply that by the gigawatts that you expect to be there.
If you want to be super conservative since we don't have contracts to show you in place right now, you can think about it in the 10% to 20%. But the bottom line is it's about the same magnitude of the opportunity as the port space is long term.
And then on the Power royalty, just how that could change over time?
Yes. So it all depends it's like a balloon. If the owner of the power does not want to pay a power royalty, the lease will be much higher. If the owner of the power of the -- if the hyperscaler in campus One, wants to buy the acreage. We won't be excited about it, but to get the first campus done, we might consider it. And you'll do some different things, but the reality is there's a market for this and that market is in the range as we discussed. One last one for me.
Just in terms of timing, kind of milestones, you talked about kind of ideally starting construction later this year. What should we be watching for? Is it commercializing with a kind of anchor tenant? Is it something on the air permit side? I guess just what do you kind of want to want us to watch from here? Well, we will announce LOIs. We'll announce PPAs and we'll announce commencing construction of the private use network upon and announced construction timing of the power plants, too.
And for reference on the permitting, NRG is already filed. For the airport Air Permit
And their connection to ERCOT.
Yes. And I'm sure, Alex, you were behind that, right? And we also have island solutions that can get going before you get connected.
I had a couple of questions. Just kind of looking at this footprint and putting something like this in an active oilfield, thinking about infrastructure that's already there, wellheads, things like that, just what are the challenges with that kind of
That's a great question. I was actually just pointing out the schematic here really shows the efficiency that we can create with our land, right? I mean what you've seen here is they've overlaid this in conjunction with existing pad sites, existing roads, existing ride ways, existing pipelines, et cetera. The one good thing about pipelines that they can always be moved if they needed to be. But I think and Alex term me wrong, but you guys can be very flexible on how you think about the construction of the campus to really fit in here. This is a really good depiction of that.
Yes, that's right, Jason, completely. We've designed this in consideration of all the existing infrastructure that is there. We picked locations within Landbridge acreage where these types of campuses are possible. without any incremental infrastructure work. This is a real depiction that contemplates the existing site conditions, earthwork conditions, the existing infrastructure. And to the extent that this campus continues to grow.
As Jason said, the infrastructure can be moved or adjusted. But this contemplates all of the existing infrastructure that exists today within the acreage.
And then just another one. You talk about Peco is becoming a population center. There's been a lot of stuff going on out here for a while, and it's not. So I want to maybe understand the competitive advantage of doing it here. like Midland Odessa have been. I've been in the middle of Odessa but -- these are questions I get.
So I want to you're 100% right -- you're 100% right. And the difference between Midland and Odessa and Pecos is what side of the bottleneck that you on? The moment people look at a 100-mile difference in location on the other side of Waha Well, you're pulling gas off a long-haul pipe that's already got it priced for the end market. You're not pulling stranded gas off our header system. It's a very important distinction. So Pecos is on the favorable side of the bottleneck effectively. It's unfavorable if historically you're trying to sell your gas, but very favorable if you're trying to buy gas. And that's the point. So everything we're talking about is to come. And what you've seen from Pecos in the past is you've seen the oilfield operate in really a 15-day on, 15-day off, 20-day on, 20-day off mode, where people come into man camps, they work, they leave, they come in and work and lead. And that's been fine. That's not going to work in this scenario.
And there's just going to be too much -- if you -- you can -- Alex can actually comment on what's happening in that 5,000 person town of Berwick and how you think that's going to play out over time. But it may be that Pecos looks the same for 3 years. But over 5, 7 and 10 years, this is going to look like a Midland Odessa able kind of.
Yes. the Pecos Economic Development Corporation has got a lot of tax dollars for obvious reasons. And they have been frustrated historically with oilfield personnel as they do come in and rec the roads in town and then leave, right? So they are very concentrated on being on the front line with the data center developers to make sure that the right hospitals and schools and infrastructure going into place in the city. So I think it will be -- we'll be working in conjunction with the city to grow all this, and we've got lands for everything all around it. So again, that will be another great opportunity for Landbridge as the city expands.
This is for Alex. Alex, if you think about comparing West Texas specifically dry air conditions versus what you have in PA when you were building that out? How much of a difference do you expect to see in your data center Pew between those 2 regions?
Yes. It's a great question. In extreme heat, power generation is slightly less efficient. The -- that efficiency differential is not meaningful enough given the low cost of energy to make a difference. And the other important difference is that the Marcellus is great, Pennsylvania is great Pennsylvania is a difficult state to develop in. It's got a number of environmental rules, a number of land use rules. And by contrast, from a development point of view is far easier, right? So I would say the economic impact of both PUE and power generation is negligible. And well more compensated by the cost of gas.
Question maybe it's looking too much into it, but the fiber ring that David showed us earlier, look to me like it just had Pecos at the exactly. And your data centers are not your first 1 is going to be inside that reg looks like. But what's the interaction there? What are the considerations with citing those other centers outside that ring and more along the route?
Yes. Great question. So the fiber ring -- the purpose of the fibering is to connect more than one campus and it's approximately 133 miles around the Pecos area. We have a ring that will likely be a southern ring and are working on a ring that will be a Northern ring. That will encompass -- it will look like a figure 8 roughly over time, and it will encompass all of our campuses and importantly, third-party campuses.
And so that ring has been designed strategically to both enable our campuses, but more broadly to enable the region. It will connect the existing fiber providers to the region. There are 3 of them will interconnect to our fiber ring. And then we also -- those rings will be interconnected to 4 new long-haul routes. And that drives data gravity, so that you become a hub just like an airport.
So understand, right? There are other rings, they're just not on this other ways -- it's not obviously.
Yes. This is an illustration. The first ring, which is the 1 that we're -- we'll break ground on this year is surrounds our Alpha digital campus that I've described. And we will have a small lateral from out the digital to the ring, and it will be the brains of the entire connectivity system.
Awesome. If there are no other questions, I think we'll take a quick break and then
I think we're going to move straight into the fireside chat. So minute break.
[Break]
And refining analyst here at Barclays. Thank you all for being here today. Of course. So much to unpack and marinate on just in the past couple of hours. We're going to go through lightning round fireside chat Q&A.
Okay. Here we go. So -- you talked a lot about the benefits, the core competitive advantages of West Texas out of power land market relative to established hubs. -- surface use availability, the track resource, the regulatory environment, et cetera. Why do you think it takes so much convincing. In your opinion, what is the biggest source of market misconception? And is there anything else you would like to highlight.
Yes, go, Alex. I would reframe the question. I don't think it tastes convincing. I think it takes execution. The reality is in order to have blinking lights in a data center cabinet requires an unbelievable amount of execution. So all of those attributes exist. There are people that will be naysayers, but to actually execute on it and give a product that can be turned on.
To me, that's the most difficult part. Right? And in Pennsylvania, it was a great idea, but until it was built, it didn't work. It wasn't real. It wasn't feasible. And along the way, maybe 150 people told us they would not work until it was actually constructed.
And so I don't think it needs convincing. It needs execution.
And Alex, once it was constructed, -- what did that process look like? Did you have Amazon or are there others as well?
Yes, great question, David. So for 2.5 years, there were 10 people saying, this is never going to work. No one's ever going to build in the Marcellus. And 1 is ever going to build in the middle of nowhere. No one's ever going to build next to a nuke. On and on and on. When it was constructed to David's point, 4 of the largest market cap companies in the world were buying to buy the campus. Amazon was the winner and 4 of the largest public and private data center operators in the world were there to buy it because the capacity was available, ready where they could deploy.
Got it. proof of confidence what we're waiting for. Okay. On the water side of things, a question for IVX. Can you talk about the evolution of air cooled versus water cool data center solutions. Why is this important?
Yes. I think this is encapsulating a lot of the previous talking points where data centers are a relatively nascent industry and people are only just becoming aware of the intense water resource demands that these facilities have. And I think part of that shift to less water and sense cooling usage or approaches is being responsive or cognizant of one resource competition, to the broad awareness that water scarcity is also an operational risk, if I'm relying on a water intensity source that I can no longer access, I can no longer operate my facility.
So I think that, that existential and reputational risk is driving that shift and that embracing of it. But again, there's a significant trade-off to be had with consuming more power for the cooling.
Okay. So just highlights the exceptional demand for water supply in general. What about disposal needs? Is there an opportunity for recycling treatment involved news that leverages the water bridge value chain.
Yes, for sure. I mean, Isaac can answer this in more detail just with your experience on the potential disposal needs. But if we are talking about the reuse and recycling, there is going to be a discharge our byproduct that that's going to have to be taken care of. I don't think that the hyperscalers understand that 100%. And we're trying to explain that to them that, that is another part of the value chain that we can offer, which is very unique in other landowners.
I had a question posed by it, not a hyperscaler, but an AI computing company. It's like, well, we can just connect to the sewer to dispose of our water, here Sears 50 miles. Yes. So I think that, as Alex pointed out there, there's kind of a proof of concept and part of it is derisking these value chain components and educating them on how we can bring to bear a solution that is not known to them because it's a new geography for them.
Regardless of whether it's air cooling, there's still volumes that are generated, slowdown volumes and in any type of cooling configuration, there will still be a need for disposal volumes, albeit at a lower volume so.
Yes. The only -- and this goes back to 1 of the first question is like how do you check all these boxes and derisk the situation. I think with with Alex's history and also with Isaac, I mean, we didn't talk about this, but I was spent many years at Microsoft doing just this in South America, right? So they both have a very good view of what each individual hyperscaler is looking for. And our ability to derisk that for them, I think is -- it will take time, but the proof of consequence to here, it's going to be really good.
Okay. So in addition to education and helping your customers understand the derisk value proposition, on the power side of the equation, what is West Texas and Landbridge specifically doing to attract power providers for BTM and co-located solutions?
So there's a lot of work in terms of characterizing our existing access infrastructure and grid. And I think that part of the talking point that's important to acknowledge is that beyond transmission infrastructure, there's a lot of distribution infrastructure. In fact, WaterBridge is a large consumer of power. And so we have access to power that we can bring to bear on sub 75-megawatt kind of tranches. And so that's an incremental opportunity for us to have smaller digital infrastructure use cases, and we're characterizing that. We're characterizing the access to that capacity.
There's a premium to be had by providing quick access to anything over 10 megawatts, and we're recognizing that. And are exploiting that.
Okay. And within your commercial development process, -- how do your conversations with hyperscalers differ from conversations with power providers? Are these discussions one and the same? Or are they typically involved in multiparty negotiations?
Well, Alex, as we talked to, we have 1 partner in NRG. We've bridge, we've signed an LOI to have a build out a 1 gigawatt campus with NRG. We've got NRG. We're well along the way in signing another one with a very large IPP and those conversations are a recognition by these big power companies that they need Alex with his team and what are the attributes of our campuses bring. They have the power, but they know they need a location, they need to cheap achieve gas, the attractive water and they need a team who can build out a private use network and manage it all and package it up with a bow and sell it.
So those conversations with the power guys are really interesting in that regard. We've had multiple conversations with IPPs who wanted to do this with us. I can't do it with everybody, but we'll have 2 here in the next 30 days. And both of them have awesome attributes that can bring the game to the finish line.
The difference with the hyperscalers is they know specifically what they want to do, but they don't necessarily know how to do it. I'll give you a funny anecdote that my gas marketing company experienced in Ohio. They are working with a hyperscaler who wanted to get gas from an interstate pipeline that was going by and they were getting -- they were being shown the constraints and the issues associated with getting gas off the pipe and their answer was, let's just buy the pipe.
And I mean, if you're not an energy guy, you don't know how silly that thought is but it's just silly, and it shows a level of understanding that is nowhere near what's necessary to ultimately develop what they're trying to develop.
I'm sure at the right price. We're an interstate pipe. Okay. So is the focus for Landbridge only on hyperscalers and Giga scale campuses or is lanes pursuing wholesalers and smaller developers as well deploying sub gigawatt tranches at capacity?
Yes. I mean I'll start with that -- I mean, I'm sorry, Isaac finished because he's had majority of these conversations. But we have been hyper-focused on exploring all options, right? And to Isaac's point earlier, we have access to surface near and around facilities that these smaller guys are needing. So you're talking about anywhere from all the way up to 300, right? And these could start off with coin mining, bitcoin mining and moving evolved into more of a data center type situation. I mean, Isaac, would you add to that, anything?
Yes. I think that's precisely the point is that the existing infrastructure there can enable quick deployment of capacity access...
Access to substations, et cetera.
That's exactly it. Yes.
And what is the difference between a power campus strategy versus the traditional powered bland terminology?
Maybe I'll take that one. Power land can mean a lot of things depending on the context. It can mean that there's land in Virginia that's connected to a utility. In many cases, it's become a commodity where anyone at any part of the country that has binoculars and can see a power line on their land, calls their land, powered land, and it's really not. And the greatest challenge for the customer is sorting through what in fact is energized and what is not.
And the Power campus solution is effectively 1 that provides the customer an energized neighborhood that they can simply move into. The powered land implies the customer often has to deal with the complexities of power and the grid and regulatory. And in general, that is not their preference. That is not their skill set. It is slow to do, and they will do it if they have to, but they would prefer to just have their package solution if that's available to them.
And going back to the earlier comments about execution, proof of concept, who is executing the actual physical construction of data centers at this point? Is that a challenge?
I guess you got to go hyperscaler by hyperscalers, some hyperscalers like to do it themselves, like Microsoft likes to use Vantage. There are very substantial businesses that like to do that vertical construction. And again, some of the hyperscalers like to do it themselves. We think that's maybe the least interesting part of the whole framework, but 1 that we would do to the extent someone asks us to do it, we'll hire someone else to do it and we'll make it happen.
But typically, that's a vendor approved by a hyperscaler who's either the hyperscaler or the vendor and they're going to rock and roll with it.
Right. And the key thing is that the -- if you think about the campus that we showed you and that base level of infrastructure -- that infrastructure is needed in all cases. So we think it gives us maximum optionality. We also think the capital to return ratio is most attractive at that part of the value chain. And once you have a pad-ready site, if a customer asks us to go vertical, we can go vertical that we built a power shell in Pennsylvania, Amazon built the next right? And so that gives you a lot of optionality because that base layer of infrastructure is needed in all cases.
And depending on the customer, depending on the commercial relationship or partnership in most cases, they will go vertical -- in some cases, we can do it for them or participate alongside.
And looking at your own commercial backlog as well as the broader industry, how do you see the time line for data center development or deployment rather in West Texas evolving given the need for power infrastructure build-out.
Yes. You saw Isaac's time line and GaN chart. These are long-dated capital projects. But you need to make progress quickly along the way, and there are important milestones in that long development cycle, right? There's the selection of the site. They are the filing of grid interconnects. There are the filing of permits. There are commencements of construction, there are prepayments on a PPA is the execution of the PPA. So although these projects take a long time to execute in the case Pennsylvania, we've seen a 5-year execution cycle. They are important markers along the way that give you a trajectory to growth that's really important.
And with all this in flake, Jason, what is the general feedback you've gotten from end users?
I'm going to have to turn this over to Isaac. Again, this is his expertise, and he's dealing with a lot of the hyperscalers and the power providers.
Yes. A lot of the feedback that we had at the early stages is it's not a matter of if, but when. And I think that as those conversations have evolved, particularly last year with the Permian Basin reliability plan being announced, there was more confidence complemented by more behind the meter and co-located solutions.
And there was also kind of more of an interest or inflection point even a couple of weeks ago from just conference presentations, whereby PowerBridge and others were highlighting the value proposition of West Texas. So -- the feedback thus far has not been outright rejection or denial. It's been -- it works.
I think the playbook will be written, and I think that will unlock a lot of.
But confident conversations have had recently in...
And without betraying those counterparties, I think that the modalities by which they want to engage on our acreage spans from greenfield development on large contiguous tracks of acreage all the way to kind of an assembled offering where they're relying on a lot of the ecosystem. And interestingly enough, even independent of our land position, the access to the water resources for off-site water supply has also been quite compelling.
And so we're engaging in different parts of the data center value chain that Landbridge can enable.
Great. And this might be a question for Isaac as well. But in other markets, we see data centers being delayed or outright canceled due to permitting resource competition, lack of support, et cetera. What is the sentiment you received thus far from local government and elected officials are there regulatory or local stakeholder risks that could materially delay execution.
From our vantage point, I think 1 point to emphasize is that the WaterBridge land bridge presence in the basin is pretty substantial from a good corporate entity and strong employer in the basin. So our reputational standing there is quite strong. So with some of these conversations, there's been a phenomenal amount of support, but the emphasis being on tax base and water stewardship and replenishment. But there's a phenomenal undeniable appetite and willingness to work with us. to make these projects happen because they stand to be transformative for the community in West Texas in general.
Alex, sure.
Yes, I would just say more broadly that if you rewind 5 years, the largest data center market in the United States was in Ashburn, Virginia, right? Close to Dallas Airport. Many of you may have been to WolfTrap. It's a really nice outdoor concert venue. 5 or 10 years ago, that was all farmland. Today, you can't throw a baseball without hitting a data center or you can't go out your back porch if you live there without looking at a data center.
Virginia is out of land. They're out of power and the residents are out of patients. And so as a consequence, our strong view is that given the size of the infrastructure build-out, this will be done in communities like Pecos that welcome that development that can provide the infrastructure for the development that do not have the constraints of being behind an interstate pipeline as Virginia does and will be developing places like Pecos and in other places across America that have been forgotten, old coal towns, old steel towns, places that those communities, those city councils are hungry to welcome new development.
I think Pecos is going to be Exhibit A, but we would also anticipate cities across America with similar characteristics being redeveloped.
Great. So last question for me. Are there any lessons from traditional energy infrastructure development in the Permian that you're applying to the digital infrastructure projects? And what in your opinion, David, maybe this is for you, would constitute our specific milestones over the next year or so that would translate to you as a validation of the West Texas digital infrastructure thesis?
Sure. So having constructed many projects, you have to understand how to lock up long lead time items early. And Alex and I started talking about how we're going to get out the digital rolling, it became obvious, sorry, let's lay out the critical path, what's on the critical path. Okay, transformers and substations, critical path. Well, if you don't lock them up, you don't know where they're going to fit and how do we not, had we not contracted to take -- to put our down payments and begin paying for these things to have our slot. We wouldn't know when they'd be ready.
We're in the same position on other long items like power, like your bridge solution that you'll utilize your island mode until you get to your long-term solution where you're connected to the grid. So really, it's about those long lead time items and getting control of those, I look back to when we started North Wind one of the biggest things we had to do is we didn't have an asset. We didn't have an acid gas injection well, we didn't have a contract.
But we found we had a slot for the kind of pipe that you need to manage high CO2 high sulfur gas. That slot was the only 1 had we not taken it. It would have been 6 months delayed and maybe we lose the whole opportunity. So we put $80 million up with the idea that if we have to sell $80 million a very specialized pipe, maybe you'll lose $20 million. But you have to see those long lead time items and knock them down because if things play out the way we expect, those bottlenecks become real and painful.
So I guess that's my answer to sort of learning we've had. And that's not just the Permian, that's everywhere. And that's everywhere as things get busy. When things get busy and active, you have to be all over the long lead time items. And I think if you are as an investor or a potential investor in LandBridge wanting to see where those milestones are I think we might have mentioned some of it earlier, but watch for the announcement of letters in 10 watch for the beginning of construction of the private use network, the beginning of the construction of the power, the power purchase agreement and also the air quality permits.
And the interconnection is a little is a little misleading because it's not on the critical path. It's helpful. And when you see that, you know long term projects rolling, but we can do a very substantial part of the business in island mode, i.e., not connected to the grid. So don't get too caught up in the interconnection piece. But those are the milestones you should watch for, and we won't be shy about sharing them. And we have a good -- a high level of confidence in ourselves and our capabilities and the probability of success here.
Great. Well, thank you all very much. I'm going to give Scott back at [indiscernible] some Q&A.
Okay. Yes. So just a few slides to wrap up here before we open to questions. Starting on 48, this is intended to be more than just a victory lap, but I think it's impressive the growth that we've been able to execute on to date in the platform we've been able to build and continue to scale not just from a financial perspective, but also from an asset perspective. And it really sets the stage stepping into '26 and going forward, to capitalize on so many of the opportunity sets that we've walked through today.
Now if you were to the next slide, historically, you see we've been able to continue to execute on this growth plan despite what has been a very challenging commodity price environment. And that was a question we got quite frequently through the IPO is how will this business perform if we see oil fall off. If you recall, we were kind of in the middle of 2024 and obviously ended the year in a much less constructive environment from an oil perspective. But despite that, we've been able to action our growth strategy effectively and have been able to continue to reflect the positive nature of the business model and its ability to perform and remain fairly insulated from commodity prices.
Now how do we continue to grow going forward. If you go to the next slide, we've talked a lot about the service use economic efficiency figure. I've mentioned this $2,500 to $3,500 an acre goal with 3,000 being the midpoint.
The punchline is there's just a lot of ways that we can go about actioning that. We're showing you 4 examples here there could be multiple slides of different permutations of the activity we're showing here showing here. But you look at just the very obvious example, which is one square mile or 640 acres with the produced water handling facility with some of the blank space or white space around it being backfilled with low economic dense activities such as solar, and you easily clear that $3,000 per acre mark over 100 -- excuse me, 1 square mile or 1 640-acre section.
Now there are obviously some activities that are going to be higher than that. We have sand mines in place today that do $8,000 to $10,000 per acre. The data center projects we're talking about with Alex and team could easily eclipse $20,000 per acre. Additionally, we do see areas with just mixed industrial use. And we're showing you on the top right here, just 1 of those sections may look like in a decade here, and not all of them are going to be 3,750 an acre. We could see much less than that. We could see much higher than that. But the takeaway is there's a lot of intentional planning that goes into exploiting and really driving the value on the surface here.
But with that proper planning, you can really do a lot in a fairly dense way. And actually, I'm going to flip back to a slide that Alex showed because I think it's a really good example of this on 14, where he's walking through what that campus could look like, and what's not readily apparent, but surrounding it is just a number of roads, access points, drilling pads, and so on, all of those are ways that we can continue to extract value from the surface in addition to the data center that is immediately adjacent to it. And so it takes some thoughtfulness, -- it takes some planning. There were some questions on whether or not these are viable because of the activity in this area.
And as Alex pointed out, absolutely. It just takes a little bit of thoughtful on this. But when we go through and we action our plan, we're able to ensure these projects can be put in place without hampering or hindering the economic potential of the surrounding area. Now how successful have we been on that? Again, on the surface use economic efficiency, I think this is a really good metric of the effectiveness of our active land management strategy. A question I get quite a bit is, what does that mean? How effective is it? How do I know you're not just buying your way into more cash flow. And while we're certainly continuing to look to do accretive M&A, which I'll speak to -- the punchline here is if we look at the acreage, the revenue per acre over time, on a particular footprint, you could see the growth of that, and you can really see the byproduct of us going out there and intentionally commercializing surface that has not been actively managed previously.
What we're showing you on the bottom here is just the growth of our original position we bought in late 2021. As you can see in the first full year 2022 is doing roughly $465 an acre. It was much less than that when we bought it in '21. But just through the growth over the last several years, we've been able to drive that to $1,159 an acre with a lot more growth expected going forward.
We expect this kind of growth to continue on a go-forward basis, not just on that legacy acreage, but also as we work through and acquire new surface that has an equal opportunity for growth.
Now what do we look for on M&A being another critical piece of the growth formula, we look to leverage the relationships we have in West Texas, Jason and his original team from the WaterBridge predecessor company have been very intentional about developing those relationships for a decade plus at this point. And that really allows us to get our foot in the door with a lot of these landowners who would otherwise not be interested in selling.
I think the second piece, though, and one that's really critical is when you think through where the land owners getting out of selling to us, oftentimes, it's not just the upfront check, but it's some kind of enduring or residual economic interest. And that's kind of different ways. You could look at sellers taking back equity, which they did recently in that '19/'18 transaction. You could also look at the '19/'18owners as well as some previous sellers who retained the mineral rights because as we've discussed, we're not looking to really grow the minerals estate primarily.
And why that matters is there ultimately beholden to the level of activity on that surface going forward? As a mineral estate owner, you want to ensure whoever owns that surface is able to drive development on that surface is that's going to generate more cash flow from the minerals state. So they have a vested interest in ultimately who they hand the keys over to. I think we've proven that we can be very thoughtful that we can drive development that we can drive value. We can enable oftentimes development that wouldn't occur certainly not at that same pace otherwise. And that's really incentivize a lot of these landowners to introduce themselves to us and look to potentially sell their acreage to us where others would not be able to step into that kind of discussion.
Now I mentioned [ 1918 on 53, ] we go into a little bit more detail here. Again, this was a seller that we've had I have not had, but Jason and others on the team have had relationships with for a decade plus at this point. So it made for a very easy discussion. They retained the minerals estate. We took the surface, which again, creates some alignment going forward. They also took some equity back, and that was by choice. That was not needed necessarily to fund the deal but they were very eager to continue to participate in the growth going forward. And from our perspective, it's great to have an influential family in West Texas to be part of the ride.
I think that's something that tends to accrue to you or benefit over time. Now wrapping up with capital allocation on a go-forward basis, M&A will continue to be the go-forward priority for deploying free cash flow. We have shown our ability to acquire surface between 8 to 12x and blend that down very, very quickly.
As a reminder, the surface that we bought we were able to 1.5x rather grow EBITDA 150% year-over-year roughly. So ultimately, we're really not focused on looking at just that entry multiple, although the value proposition includes that. We want to know where can we get this and work and we get this quickly? And does it create or does it have that same kind of long-term option or growth potential that our base asset has again, that 2024 vintage acreage, I think, is a great reflection of how we're able to drive or extract value out of this surface in a very quick time period.
Now in terms of returning capital to shareholders, we have a modest dividend today. We are not looking to ramp that up beyond a modest dividend going forward. For the reasons discussed, we feel there is much more value to be created through M&A than there is through dividends. We did recently approve a share buyback program. We will look to execute on that opportunistically. We still believe that M&A is going to be the best way to create value -- but should we see our stock trade levels where it is competitive with M&A, that would be an avenue we would be willing to explore. From a balance sheet perspective, again, looking to stay kind of in the mid-2s, comfortable flexing into the low 3s for the right growth. We think the business can certainly support much more than that, but not looking to overly stress the balance sheet.
Now we've talked about a lot today, ultimately, what can this lead to? And I guess I preface this slide by saying we're not intending to provide decade out guidance, nor would I really even classify this as a goal. And the reason being is I think we have a lot of conviction on our side that we can outperform this over the long run. But we did want to illustrate what the impact could be of our business model with even a conservative growth assumption over the next decade. And so if you look at just a 15% organic growth rate, which is very conservative relative to what we've been able to execute on historically, as we show at the bottom there, you can see EBITDA growing from roughly the $200 million run we're at today to $750 million.
The immediate question we asked -- we get asked is what is comprised in that $750 million. And we've talked through a lot of it today. David spoke to the 5-plus million barrels a day of poor space capacity we have that we expect to be utilized here over the course of the next decade. That's $300 million of free cash flow to the business before taking into account CPI escalators before taking into account what we expect to see in terms of rate hikes as that scarcity value continues to play out.
In addition to that, what we have executed today and what is under discussion today, a minimum of $50 million of additional clean energy and related ancillary projects that we expect to come online over the next 5 to 10 years. And so you're looking at $350 million of free cash flow potential. That's not including cost hikes. That's not including CPI escalators. That's not including the oil and gas activity needed to generate that water -- that's not including any of the other opportunities that are currently being worked through on the clean energy and certainly the digital intrasite and that's an incredible growth ramp in and of itself fully insulated from the data center thematics.
Now you introduce the digital infra piece, you introduced the power piece at scale for data centers, as David has mentioned, several hundred million dollars of free cash flow potential, you could see even if we land 1 or 2 of these campuses of scale over the next decade, we would easily eclipse that $750 million number.
Now what does that imply from a surface use economic efficiency standpoint. You can see to the right, we clear the low end of that spectrum at $2,500 an acre again, we think that we'll be able to outperform that both from a service use economic efficiency standpoint as well as just a broader EBITDA growth standpoint.
Now on the right-hand side, we're just referencing what can this look like with M&A? conservatively saying $25 million of EBITDA acquired per year funded with debt never stresses the balance sheet just given the cash flow nature -- cash flow heavy nature of the business. And you could see the growth could meaningfully eclipse what it's even showing on an organic basis.
And so ultimately, like what I would leave you all with here, and it's in response to a question I get frequently is -- when you think through valuation, this is not a business where you can just slap a multiple on it. This is not a business where you can say this is the yield today. That's the wrong way to think about it. I would encourage everyone to do the work. I think through the fundamentals, think through what's happening in West Texas, think through all of the pieces and then look at our business, look at what we're enabling, look at the financial model that we have in place and the free cash flow that's generated as a result of all of these macro tailwinds and look at the DCF, do the work because what you'll see, I think, over the next decade is substantial growth and with that little bit of work, I think you'll find that Landbridge is an incredibly unique, albeit a very compelling investment opportunity. That's all I've got David
Any other question, that's a great way to wrap it up. Let's take -- we'll go to a Q&A session to.
I think the original data center option that you guys signed 1.5 years ago is still in the due diligence phase. Just given all this opportunity, given how well you know everything, can you just help us understand like why it's taking this long. I think the shot clock ends this December would have thought with all this stuff, you guys would have had it locked up. But just sort of curious what's going on that's taking it so long to get this initial data center signed.
So that's our joint venture with a Silver Lake portfolio company, Commonwealth Asset Management. And they have a portfolio of data center locations, their marketing and our Saragosa sites on. We have -- from our active perspective, we're marketing our 100% sites, not our 50% sites. So for that one -- for their part of that to be successful, they will bring it to the fore. And that's why we focused our attention on Power Bridge and moving to achieve greater build-out a greater build-out and a greater creation of that powered campus strategy with a --
So that one, the original JV 1 doesn't sound likely then.
I don't know if it's not likely, it is still in the inventory that they market. So the Silver like portfolio company continues to market that inventory. -- my expectation is that they won't be the driver of bringing activity to West Texas. But as we start bringing activity to West Texas, they have a solution, and they will be able to offer that.
So from a financial standpoint, Scott, if that falls out of bed. I can't remember. Are you guys clipping a lease from them a coupon or there out of bed, there's no negative impact to you guys.
That's exactly right. There was a onetime 2-year option payment that was made in Q4 of 2024. It's already been paid. And so there's nothing else on a go-forward basis that's been contemplated from that in terms of what we've included in guidance or what we're showing here.
And then just one final thing on the data centers. Everyone's hunting for, everyone wants them. But presumably, when you guys announced something, it's -- you announce it once you already have an end user locked up who's committed to it. So it almost sounds like more -- the issue now is locking up the end user, the hyperscaler to use that versus everything else involved. That seems to be -- that end user seems to be the key to these projects being announced versus anything else.
I actually think if you look at the way Alex described the Berwick, Pennsylvania model, it's closer to that. We are creating the opportunity in advance of the signed up hyperscaler power purchase agreement. So we may be well down the road in construction of both the electrical private use network plus the power the on-site power at the time that the actual PPA is signed.
We have enough conviction to move forward without it is the answer. And if you listen to Alex, I don't know, it was subtle but an important point where he had 0 interest in his facility until it was done. And when it was done, you heard it was a feeding frenzy. So we expect the same dynamic here. But with likely more milestones that will enable us to see higher and higher probabilities of success.
I'd love to just hear a little bit more about how the M&A market is progressing. You guys have been buying other quarter 5 or 6 years now. You're also talking about pretty sizable kind of revenue per acre targets, so I'd just be curious if that's changed kind of the conversation now that your sellers have an idea of the opportunity set in front of them in front of you?
Not necessarily. I mean, I think there are there are still a number of sellers out there who are just candidly not looking to pursue this type of business actively. I mean, I would argue a lot of the service you bought in 2024 is a great example of that. I mean they were in hands of folks who were not unsophisticated by any means, and there's one sophisticated E&P, there was another gentleman who owned a big surface position as well as the minerals.
And when you're when you're making $100 million a year of passive income like your incentive to get up every day and try to get more starts to taper off, at least so until -- and -- and so when you think through like the dynamic that leaves, especially to the extent folks own the minerals, that's fantastic. Let me keep the minerals, let them keep that passive income stream. Sell to us, we can accelerate the development of the minerals. We can write them a check. It helps with their estate planning oftentimes.
And they don't have to go boots on the ground and try to win business and compete with us. And so it's just -- it's a foreign dynamic for a group of people who are like used to being like how much more can I get out of something, but it's a real dynamic. So I mean I think there's that.
And then these also weren't done people. I mean they see what we're doing and they're asking themselves like, "Oh, maybe I can get a little more. But there's still very much that valuation arbitrage that exists in terms of how people think through dollar per acre versus free cash flow. And oftentimes, there's a disconnect there that works in our favor. And then on top of that, if sellers think that they are getting one over on us by having us overpay like it's kind of what I was saying earlier, we almost say we don't care, but it's almost immaterial what an asset is doing from a cash flow perspective when we buy it because we're asking ourselves what does it look like in 2 years.
And as long as it makes sense in 2 years, and we have high conviction that we get there, it's a great win for us. And it's a great win for the seller. So I mean, it keeps our reputation very positive in West Texas, which is critical, but it also allows us to continue to execute on these type of very accretive deals.
It's just ecosystem creates much, much more value for us than others. So there's others that will try to compete and large hedge funds will go race around and bother these branches, and that will be even better for us because -- some of them might get their feet shot. And they may have even more colorful outcomes. But what we found is it's very hard for a New York hedge fund to justify paying 14x a piece of land. -- what does that even mean 14x a piece of land.
Okay, I can see land bridge trades at a higher number than that and CPL higher still. But what return am I going to get is the hedge fund. I mean, it's pretty low unless you know what you're going to do with it. So we come in and say, okay, 14x maybe too expensive and something we never pay. But 14x may look to us like 5 to 6 in 2 years and at 5 to 6, that's pretty attractive, and we can envision ourselves doing that all day long. -- for every piece of land that we can do that with.
I mean, our ability to commercialize the surface goes beyond just the relationship because it's just beyond the water bridge synergies. I mean this is -- this is a very thoughtful, intentional process. I mean -- and I think David's demonstration with GIS today is a fantastic example of that. I mean we stepped in with an enormous amount of intelligence before we do an acquisition. We're able to leverage all of that intelligence as we work through the commercial effort. Like you can't expect West Texas land or to have those kinds of resources to be able to go out there and now compute us.
Absolutely. A quick follow-up is, I think at the time of the IPO, the focus is entirely -- largely entirely on the state line, given the poor space issues, New Mexico women, et cetera. the digital infrastructure piece, letting you guys kind of showcase more of the Southern Delaware piece at this point. How is that changing kind of where you are thinking about looking at expanding the abridge footprint?
Yes. I mean I think we think about it on multiple fronts, right? I mean you've got the digital infrastructure side and there's certain land for certain reasons that make sense to continue make acquisitions. And the poor space is something we're highly focused on. And we're really able to leverage, as I said earlier, the WaterBridge geological and engineering team to find new areas of port-based that because of the growth we know WaterBridge is going to have and other third parties really expand upon that footprint where nobody is really penetration I want put my cards out there, but we've got -- we've identified some really good areas that we think that we can be highly successful in.
Do that continues just to be Delaware at this point?
I think we -- again, I say too much, but we will continue -- we find opportunities outside of the deal absolutely exploit them. it will create a whole new growth trajectory. There's the opportunities today that exist in the Delaware are robust.
You guys have a great -- I'm looking at your Slide 15, I know you guys have a great Slide 51, where you walk through how like the legacy acreage, you've grown the revenue per acre. If you guys can maybe just qualitatively talk about on the 2024 and 2025 acquisitions where you've organically grown those vintages? Like where was the lowest hanging fruit? There was the biggest opportunity and kind of that a lot of you guys at scale the revenue per acre so quickly.
Yes. I mean both of those acquisitions, Froman and VTX, again, it was large landowners who -- 1 of them, the Wolfbone deal with BTX being a producer on -- so the E&P company owned the actual surface when they bought the asset. So they had no reason to bring in third parties to drive more value. Of course, us taking that over, whether that's adding water infrastructure, adding additional gas plants, pipelines, et cetera, we will be able to be very successful on that front. As you look at Fripan, Scott talked to you. This is -- that's staline ranch.
Yes. This is a landowner that I've been dealing with for years we've been trying to buy and Scott made some really valid points on why it made sense for him to sell at that point. But we looked at that as both from where it sits as a relation to the stay line, but also the the roads and highways that run from New Mexico to Texas were very important as we think about other uses.
And then geologically, right, I mean, we did a very in-depth study of both the Delaware Basin, what you're showing out there is that is the sour gas window, you've got an area where you've got Capitan Reef. The disposal is not an option for others it is for us. And then as you move up in the Central Basin Platform that offered up another solution that was out of basin, so those are really good case studies on how we can expand on that.
And what you'll see going forward with the Speedway pipeline is this massive water volume growth as those phases come online.
It was mentioned earlier that it's possible to realize $300 million of free cash flow in the next 5 years from the port space business. And I'm not trying to get you to set long-term guidance, but if you achieve that, that's like a 28% CAGR over free cash flow and a durable growing free cash flow stream like that has a lot of value. Then I look at the data center business, which is still proof concept, that seems more like a call option and look at how you trade, it looks like the stock price trades based on sentiment of when the data center business goes from proof of concept to execution phase. So how do you think long-term investors should balance between the valuations of those 2 businesses?
No. I think you hit the nail on the head, right? I think there's so much value to be had before you even start talking to data centers. And when we talk through those 5 million-plus barrels a day of poor space, I don't think it will take us 10 years to utilize those when I think through that 15% CAGR. I think that's -- it's easy to say that's front weighted based on what we have line of sight to today, but I would caveat that with it doesn't mean it's going to slow down on the back end. It's just what we have in [indiscernible].
And so the point I was trying to make on that final slide is encouraging folks to do the work and see how that looks because the financial impact of compounding free cash flows over time with that kind of growth profile is enormously powerful. -- unlike what I think most folks, particularly folks have an energy slanted in the past have ever seen. And I think you'll see that there is a tremendous amount of value that we deliver to shareholders before we even start talking data centers. if you want to layer in data centers on top of that, it's very easy to see.
I think also to your point, that you could almost view that as a cheap but not free option relative to what the value of the business is before you start having that discussion.
Exactly. If I were doing the valuation myself today, first and foremost, I would look at what happens before the data centers. as soon as we do the first one, you can extrapolate that a long, long way. So you'll have plenty of time to do that work. But if you look at it prior to that, I mean, you've talked about doubling and tripling the size of our company by utilizing everything outside of data centers. And I think that's something that can get missed if you focus on the shiny object, but that's our business, and we are in the best position in the whole of the Delaware and the whole of the Permian Basin to exploit that opportunity.
Yes. I mean we grew from $97 million of EBITDA in 2024 to $177 million of EBITDA in 2025 without 0 from data center payments. That's powerful. And look through the dynamics, look through the tailwinds that we have right now working to our advantage. This is a fantastic business, before you even layer on all of the upside that comes with digital and from the power associated with it.
Just circling back -- if you're doing sort of build it and they will come on the data centers, the mindset of make it sound so risky I've seen a lot of real estate proposals that are still proposals. So forgive me, a scar tissue.
From a land bridge perspective, Scott, the mantra is whether it's a 5-point led deal or a true independent deal. If someone wants to build something on your land, they got to pay cash upfront. There's no hope notes. There's no hope certificates, it's whatever it is, whether it's a related party transaction or a third party, they pay you cash upfront before they even drive their trucks onto the land to start doing whatever they're doing.
Yes, we have a very robust conflict committee process that enables the protection of land bridge in favor of water, Landbridge vis-a-vis WaterBridge Landbridge vis-a-vis Power Bridge -- so there's an absolute market for what we're doing, and Landbridge will get every bit of that market value. Now it wouldn't shock me if some accommodations may have to be made on the very first one. wouldn't shock me, but maybe not, we'll see. But I would say things get more profitable over time, not less.
Yes. And the layers are begging me to flag that we're wrapping up that conflict committee process with Power Bridge at the moment, but that's not across the finish line just yet. But to Dave's point, it will be arm's length. There's no freebies, -- there's no gives that is is very much treated....
like where we saw that upfront payment with the initial deal with Silver , is that a sort of template for another one? Or no, that's not a template. We shouldn't expect that on future.
I can't really speak to the exact structure of our latest 1 between Power Bridge and Land bridge, but there will be both preconstruction payments, post-construction payments and then fully up and running payments -- how it all plays out.
Sure. Okay. Well, again, we appreciate everyone joining us here in person today as well as everyone on the webcast. We always appreciate the support. I appreciate the engagement. Please feel free to reach out with follow-up questions. We obviously were talking about the business, and we're happy to engage with you all. But thanks again. Thank you.
Thank you.
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Landbridge Company — Analyst/Investor Day - LandBridge Company LLC
Landbridge Company — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us, and welcome to the LandBridge Fourth Quarter 2025 Results Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand the conference over to Mae Harrington, Director of Investor Relations. Mae, please go ahead.
Good morning, and thank you for joining Landbridge's Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Call. I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Jason Long; and our Chief Financial Officer, Scott McNealy. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that in this call and the related presentation, we will make forward-looking statements regarding our current beliefs, plans and expectations, which are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from results and events contemplated by such forward-looking statements. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Please refer to the risk factors and other cautionary statements included in our filings with the SEC. I would also like to point out that our investor presentation and today's conference call will contain discussions of non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. The supplemental measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in our earnings release and the appendix of today's accompanying presentation. I'll now turn the call over to our CEO, Jason Long.
Thank you, Mae, and good morning, everyone. 2025 was a year of accretive expansion for LandBridge with Q4 marking our seventh consecutive quarter of revenue growth as a public company. While Scott will delve more deeply into our operational and financial results, I'll start by highlighting the proven growth potential of our business model. In 2025, we grew revenues by 81% and adjusted EBITDA by 83% year-over-year and achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 89%. Fourth quarter results strongly contributed to that growth with revenue and EBITDA increasing 12% and 14% quarter-over-quarter, respectively. We have many compelling organic growth opportunities before us as well as accretive opportunities to expand our footprint, which now totals more than 315,000 mostly contiguous acres strategically located across the Delaware Basin. We often talk about LandBridge advancing the paradigm of active land management, and I want to spend a few minutes talking about what that means and how we're able to demonstrate those results. We are focused on acquiring strategic high-quality land positions that are well positioned for development across key industries such as energy, power, digital infrastructure and broader industrial development. In parallel, we work to drive capital-light growth on existing acreage through commercial efforts by leveraging our deep expertise in the Delaware Basin across multiple industries to attract and advance commercial opportunities on our acreage, maximizing each acre's revenue potential and creating compounding revenue across our position.
Our active land management strategy is delivering long-term value across diversified revenue streams and driving gains in surface use economic efficiency, or UE. This metric, which we disclose on an annual basis for acreage with similar acquisition vintages, represents the average revenue per acre generated by our acreage portfolio over time. For example, our legacy acreage position of approximately 72,000 acres generated less than $465 per acre when we acquired it. And last year, it averaged also $1,160 per acre, representing nearly 150% growth since 2022.
For 2024, vintage acreage, including the East Stateline and Wolfbone branches, we achieved year-over-year growth of 145% in 2025. Across our full acreage portfolio of more than 315,000 acres, we delivered SUEE growth of 21% year-over-year, representing a dollar value growth of $543 per acre to $658 per acre on average.
Over the past year, this significant growth was accompanied by increased diversification of our customer base across revenue categories, accelerating commercial growth with a record of approximately 450 new easements and agreements on our acreage including large-scale agreements with blue chip partners.
In the energy space, we executed 2 battery energy storage systems or BESS, facility development agreements with Samsung C&T Renewables in December granting exclusive rights to develop BESS facilities with an aggregate capacity of 350 megawatts. These BESS facilities, which could achieve commercial operation as soon as year-end 2028 are designed to enhance grid stability, support renewable energy integration, deliver clean power to the local grid and unlock more potential opportunities with Samsung in the future.
Additional energy developments in 2025, including finalizing the sale of a 3,000-acre solar energy project with the proposed generation capacity of up to 250 megawatts and entering into a long-term lease with a subsidiary of for a natural gas processing facility. We also entered into a strategic agreement with NRG Energy for the potential construction of a 1.1 gigawatt grid connected natural gas power generation facility intended to power data center.
Our agreements with Samsung, ONEOK and NRG reflect and emphasize our commitment to securing development across conventional and renewable energy while also positioning LandBridge as a key enabler of digital infrastructure development across West Texas, a geography that has all the necessary cones for such development, in particular, low-cost synergy, abundant water volumes, proximity to fiber and favorable regulatory environment. These data center projects represent large, long-term, capital-intensive investments, and we support any potential counterparties in their due diligence on West Texas opportunities.
Our team has significant experience with data center project underwriting and extensive relationships with West Texas counterparties who provide power, water and other key infrastructure to facilitate complex multiparty agreements and shorten time to value for our customers.
Overall, our conviction in the West Texas value position for data centers has never been stronger and we look forward to the ultimate broader industrial impact of such important projects on West Texas and LandBridge specifically. Another key growth driver continues to be produced water royalties, where our ample high-quality poor space is an important differentiator, as forward-looking and capital-efficient E&Ps increasingly value the flow assurance offered by large-scale out-of-basin solutions, we expect that our synergistic relationship with WaterBridge will continue to contribute to growth as WaterBridge expands its water infrastructure across our acreage through projects like their Speedway pipeline, where they recently announced an open season for its second phase.
As we look ahead to 2026, we look forward to advancing our critical role in multi-industry development throughout the region. We are confident in our proven business strategy and are well positioned to continue delivering differentiated value for our shareholders. And now I'll turn the call over to Scott, our Chief Financial Officer.
Thank you, Jason, and good morning to everyone joining today. As Jason noted, we entered 2026 from a position of strength with the momentum of a strong fourth quarter and a full year of growth. In the fourth quarter, we delivered total revenue of $56.8 million, up 12% sequentially and 56% year-over-year. And for the year, we delivered revenue of $199.1 million, representing 81% year-over-year growth. Sequential growth for the fourth quarter was driven by surface use royalties and revenues which increased 12%, primarily driven by increased royalties from WaterBridge's BPX Kraken development as well as new project easement payments.
Resource sales and royalties revenues also rose 12%, attributable to water and sand sales. This growth came in spite of a 6% quarterly decline in revenue from oil and gas royalties driven by lower activity levels on our acreage. Our direct exposure to commodity prices remains limited. For the full year, oil and gas royalties represented less than 10% of LandBridge total revenues. Our advantaged margins are evident in our adjusted EBITDA of $51.1 million for the quarter, up 14% sequentially and 61% year-over-year, representing a 90% margin. For the full year, we delivered $177 million in adjusted EBITDA, above the upper end of our guidance range, reflecting an 83% sequential increase and a margin of 89%. We generated free cash flow of $36.4 million for the quarter, representing a 64% margin.
For the full year, we generated free cash flow of $122 million, representing a 61% margin. In November, we further optimized our balance sheet through an inaugural $500 million senior notes offering accompanied by a new $275 million revolving credit agreement. These new agreements enhance our balance sheet strength and improving our cost of capital, increasing our liquidity, reducing our interest expense and overall providing a more scalable and efficient financing solution to support any future accretive M&A.
We ended the year with total liquidity of $236 million, including $31 million of cash and cash equivalents and $205 million undrawn under our revolving credit facility. Our covenant net leverage ratio was 2.8x at the end of Q4 as a result of the financing of the 1918 Ranch acquisition and our long-term net leverage ratio target remains between 2 and 2.5x.
We will continue to deploy our free cash flow in a disciplined manner focused on creating long-term shareholder value across 3 priorities. First, we continue to prioritize value-enhancing M&A as we execute on our proven active land management strategy. We see significant opportunities in the market to acquire underutilized and undercommercialized land. Second, we are intent on maintaining a strong balance sheet with an appropriate capital structure. Our notes offering helped to further optimize our balance sheet and provides us with financial flexibility as we execute on our goals.
And finally, we intend to return capital to shareholders over time through dividends and opportunistic share repurchases. This quarter, we declared a 20% increase to our quarterly dividend, bringing it up to $0.12 per share. Our Board also authorized a share repurchase program of up to $50 million in shares through December 2027 increasing the flexibility with which we can opportunistically buy back shares.
Looking ahead, for full year 2026, we are excited to announce our 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $205 million to $225 million which represents over 20% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. We are proud to have delivered another strong quarter and year of growth. We are focused on continuing to advance development, expand our partnerships and customer base and deliver compelling value to our shareholders.
Finally, I would like to highlight our upcoming Investor Day scheduled for the afternoon of March 19 in New York City. The event will include presentations by our CEO, Jason Long, Chairman of the Board and Five Point CEO and Managing Partner, David Capobianco and myself, along with other members of the LandBridge team. We expect to present an overview of West Texas macro backdrop across our key growth industries, detail how we view our surface acreage as a perpetual call option on growth opportunities and provide insight into the value proposition of our unique business model.
In addition, the event will include a fireside chat with subject matter experts deep diving into the nuances and implications of the data center thesis for West Texas as well as insights from experienced data center leaders such as Power Bridge Founder and CEO, Alex Hernandez. We encourage all investors to attend. Please contact [email protected] to register, and we look forward to welcoming you. Thank you. We would now like to open the line for questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Keith Bachman of Pickering Energy Partners.
2. Question Answer
I just wanted to get a sense on what the moving pieces were that drove the really strong sequential growth and produced water and maybe how you expect that trend looking forward based on some of the projects we expect to come online here over the next year?
I appreciate the question. Yes. So in the third quarter, we saw BPX Kraken bring -- whatever bring the BPX Kraken project online and continue to see volumes ramp through the end of the year. So that was a major contributor as well as just increased activity on the East Stateline ramp. So obviously, great momentum kind of stepping into '26. As we kind of look forward to 2026 and what is driving the increase in expectations for this year relative to '25, that's really going to be around both surface used royalties as well as revenues.
As a reminder, WaterBridge BPX Kraken project expect increased volumes through the course of the year. And additionally, the Speedway pipeline comes online midyear, which will add a step change in volumes over the course of -- over the summer. So great drivers there related to that WaterBridge activity. And then taking a step back, just kind of broader surface use expectations related primarily to oil and gas activity, really kind of serving as the 2 drivers in 2026 uptick in expectations.
That's very helpful. And then my second question just stems around. We saw the dividend increase in the buyback authorization, which were great. I think I noticed in the presentation, you guys are still prioritizing M&A as it comes. I just wanted to get a sense of kind of the current landscape of deals are looking. Is it easier or harder to get things done right now in West Texas and then maybe is sort of a follow-up to that. Do you ever look at anything outside of West Texas that could potentially make sense.
Yes. We -- the opportunity pipeline for M&A still is incredibly robust, and we're actively pursuing a number of opportunities and different sizes. And so we have not really seen a slowdown in that environment whatsoever. I think we're incredibly well positioned to continue to grow through M&A, and that remains our top capital allocation priority here for 2026.
As it relates to looking outside of the Delaware Basin, we absolutely look at everything that comes across our plate. I think if we step into another region, we want to be very thoughtful about that. But we are actively looking and exploring kind of creative ways to continue to grow the platform here and stepping out the Delaware Basin, it's obviously one of those ways.
Your next question comes from the line of John Annis from Texas Capital.
For my first one, regarding 2026 EBITDA guidance, are there 1 or 2 drivers in your assumptions that could lead you to the high end versus low end of your guide?
I appreciate the question. No, absolutely. I think when we thought the we're kind of putting together our guidance for the year, really wanted to be thoughtfully conservative around ultimately what was baked in there. And so I mentioned on Keith's question, the step change really resulting from both Speedway and BPX Kraken kind of growing through the course of the year. There are a number of other projects that WaterBridge has in the pipeline that continue -- could continue to grow, produced water volumes meaningfully above expectations. If we just stay in kind of this mid-60s and above commodity price environment, I think the activity level is driven by that will easily exceed the expectations kind of baked into the forecast. And so I wanted to be mindful of kind of the the macro environment and the movement in that through the course of our budgeting cycle. But I would say there's a substantial, call it, asymmetric upside in terms of opportunities for us to outperform, which is by design.
That makes sense. For my follow-up, the 2024 vintage acreage saw surface use economic efficiency grow from 204 an acre to $4.99 in 1 year, which is an impressive jump while the 42,000 acres acquired in 2025 sits at $208 an acre, based on what you know about the commercial opportunities on that acreage today, do you think a similar trajectory is possible?
Look, absolutely. I mean I think this is -- it's such a powerful metric because it really reflects the financial results of the active land management strategy as well as the opportunity set that exists coming off of a heavy M&A year. And so we saw, obviously, great growth from 2024 through 2025, but not the vintage as you kind of point out, when you think through the opportunity set for 2026 to outperform, I would point to 1918 Ranch that we just closed on in the fourth quarter. We have not baked in any kind of substantial uplift due to the commercialization of 1918 and that 2026 guidance. And so the opportunity set is there. We are kind of actively working through those efforts today. And that surge is a really obvious example of a potential upside driver relative to that baseline and guidance that we provided. So the punchline is yes. We go out and we buy land, we think that we can commercialize quickly. And that is going to be a quick growth driver. And again, 1918 is a great example of one of those opportunities that we have in front of us for 2026.
Your next question comes from the line of Alexander Goldfarb from Piper Sandler.
Maybe just switching quickly to the data centers and power plants. When you guys IPO-ed versus now, it would seem like the political conversation has definitely sharpened on the power needs of data centers versus a year or 2 ago when you IPO-ed. As you look at the opportunity set to expand or add data centers and all that, is your view that the political process, the approval process and everything involved is just as you imagine, at the IPO a little under 2 years ago? Or has the process become either more difficult or require more approvals. Just trying to understand how this may have changed now versus what you originally planned?
And I appreciate the thoughtful question. I mean I think if you look at just the approval of the broader regulatory landscape, what we've really seen is the benefit of Texas is, call it, more business-friendly regulatory environment. I mean as it relates to data centers, I want to say 2025 by orders of magnitude, so more canceled data centers in other states than has ever been seen in history, and there's been a number of orders that have come out on challenges faced in other states and proposed legislation to make future data centers much more challenging because of this whole not in my backyard dynamic around the impact of power consumption and water consumption in major metropolitan areas.
And so the more we see of that getting out there, I think the more just kind of further reinforces just in West Texas appeal as it relates to data centers. I mean it's easy to point to the fundamentals around water availability, power generation and so on, all of those things that really make West Texas such an attractive place for these folks to operate. The regulatory side doesn't get as much credit as it should because I mean, Texas is eager to find ways to bring data centers. And I would say it's just so much more receptive than what we're seeing kind of evolve in so many of these other states that have been more traditional footprints for.
Okay. And then the second question is just sort of piggybacks on the others who have asked about the guidance and the EBITDA for '26, you guys talked about Speedway coming online. There's the WaterBridge contributions, the 1918 Ranch. How much -- if we think about sort of your 4Q run rate, how much additional revenue is factored into the EBITDA guidance, the $205 million to $225 million versus potentially upside to that? Just trying to -- because it seems like you guys have done a tremendous amount of activity and therefore, would have expected more EBITDA growth, but it may just be sort of timing of when these things come online or uncertainty. So just trying to understand how much of these additional items that you outlined are in the number versus not in the number and potentially upside to the range?
Yes, it's a good question. So we've baked in, I could call it, the majority of the impact coming from Speedway and BPX Kraken and both of those, either Speedway comes online over the course of the summer and BPX Kraken is expected to increase in volume over the course of the summer. Then the one other component, obviously, 1918 closing in fourth quarter, we'd see the benefit of a full year of that contribution, although I flagged earlier on Keith and John's questions that we're not really baking in much in the way of upside commendation of that asset, which I think we would certainly expect and are actively actioning at the moment.
And so when we think they're just what else could happen, we've been conservative around, call it, new development expectations. We've been conservative on volumes, as I've mentioned, conservative on 1918 commercialization and have not baked in any of these other kind of in-process projects that we've kind of alluded to on this call. And so there is just an ample amount of commercial opportunity and opportunity sets that we're working through at the moment that are concluded there. And so as we continue to kind of notch those wins, we would expect to come back to the market and voice over what is driving, hopefully, to beat in expectations in the increased guidance, but wanted to be mindful of stepping into the year in terms of where we are offsetting our expectations initially. And as we continue to get those wins, we'll continue to message that to -- the Street.
[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from John Mackay, of Goldman Sachs.
I just want to go back to the revenue per acre metrics because we agree they're a pretty important thing to watch. When you're talking -- when you're looking at the '24 and '25 acquisitions sitting at, I guess, $500 and 200 right now versus where the legacy ones are, is that $1,000 an acre kind of structurally possible for those '24 and '25 packages and maybe not to to push you on a time frame for that. But maybe, again, just walk us through kind of structurally what the overall platform could look like over time, let's say, precluding larger items like data centers?
Yes. I appreciate the questions. Absolutely $1,000 plus is very -- not just achievable but I would say actionable in the near term. I mean, as a reminder, when we bought that legacy acreage, I know we speak to that 465 number being the jumping off point in 2022. But when we actually acquired that surface in 2021, it was meaningfully below $465 million and that acreage is now sitting at $1159 over the course of what has effectively been 4 years. We don't see any reason why that same trajectory isn't possible in the 2024 and 2025 acreage that we bought. We think the acreage itself and the opportunity set parallels that legacy acreage at a minimum, we think that there's kind of incremental opportunities that we continue to pursue kind of incremental to that.
So no, look, we feel great to balance kind of that. Now -- where can this go in totality from here. We've spoken to kind of that $2,500 to $3,500 an acre range as a good to medium- to long-term target. We still very much believe that, that is attainable and over, call it, a 7- to 10-year time period. There's the expectation of just the continued compounding called commercial activity that's paid into that. And so there are different ways we can go about achieving that $2,500 to $3,500 an acre. And the plug our upcoming Investor Day, I'll just wrap up by saying we're kind of walking through a number of different ways and a number of different permutations in terms of the commercial bed down on our acreage that can ultimately get us there.
Your final question comes from the line of Charles Meade of Johnson Rice.
So if I ask something that's already been covered my apologies in advance. But I'm curious, I really like this new SUEE metric, and I suspect to something you guys have been talking about internally for a while, but it's great to get the the view, great that you're sharing that view with us. I'm curious, how is your -- how is the competition change for acquiring new assets. And I'm particularly thinking about it, if you guys -- are other competitors able to drive or what differentiates you in your ability to drive more SUEE and is that -- does that make you more competitive? Or is this the kind of thing that's alternatively attracting a lot of other capital to the space that maybe is competing away some opportunities.
Charles, and I appreciate the thoughtful questions. I'll tackle it in 2 different pieces. I mean first, as we think through the competitive landscape for acquisitions, there's there's obviously just an element of being called a victim of our own success, where you do have more folks looking to see if this is a strategy that they can replicate I would just -- I would point out to all of the advantages of our platform and kind of as part of the answer to the second question on why it's so tough for others to step in and be effective here. I mean, I think first, every land position is unique and irreplicable. And you think through just the land positions that we're sitting on today, particularly along the Texas side of the state line. I mean, not just gives us an enormous advantage as we think through capturing oil and gas activity, particularly water, but surge is a fantastic platform to continue to scale that is near impossible to continue to replicate.
And so just a great kind of moat in and of itself in that regard. But second, the partnership we have with our sister company, WaterBridge is incredibly valuable. And it's not just a byproduct to call it WaterBridge bringing activity to LandBridge and exchange LandBridge serving as the port-based provider to WaterBridge. But the nature of having an operating team out there, boots on the ground just provides a kind of competitive intelligence that we can get day-to-day, macro update that we can get day-to-day on a very granular level, that would be impossible for a land-only company to be able to replicate there.
Yes. I mean the only thing I'd add to that is not only everything that Scott just mentioned there on the waterbridge side, but also being able to really leverage the technical side of it, the geological and electrical engineering and really understanding where infrastructure is where these opportunities exist. A lot of that skill set is not there on a lot of these start-ups.
Yes, it's exactly right. And so ultimately, like having a sophisticated operation of scale kind of married with an operating company with that in-house technical expertise, this makes it very tough for a new entrant to come in even above and beyond that competitive mode we have from our existing asset base. And so look, we feel very good about continuing to affect both the commercial strategy that we have today as well as the the acquisition strategy that we've effectively, I think, worked through to date, and we don't see that changing going forward.
There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Scott McNealy for closing remarks.
Yes. Thank you, operator, and thanks to everyone joining us today. Again, very happy with the quarter, fantastic momentum stepping into 2026. And we're incredibly excited about a myriad of opportunities we have to work through. And then my final plug, again, we look forward to to outline just the broader strategy in a lot more detail in the upcoming Investor Day. So we hope to see you all there. Thank you again.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
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Landbridge Company — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Landbridge Company — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for standing by. My name is Tina, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the LandBridge Third Quarter 2025 Results Call. [Operator Instructions] It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Mae Harrington, Director of Investor Relations. Ma'am, the floor is yours.
Good morning, and thank you for joining LandBridge's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. I'm joined today by our Chief Executive Officer, Jason Long; and our Chief Financial Officer, Scott McNeeley.
Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that in this call and the related presentation, we will make forward-looking statements regarding our current beliefs, plans and expectations, which are not guarantees of future performance, and which are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from results and events contemplated by such forward-looking statements. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Please refer to the risk factors and other cautionary statements included in our filings with the SEC.
I would also like to point out that our investor presentation and today's conference call will contain discussion of non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. These supplemental measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in our earnings release and the appendix of today's accompanying presentation.
I'll now turn the call over to our CEO, Jason Long.
We're pleased to report another strong quarter, marking our sixth consecutive quarter of revenue and EBITDA growth since going public. In Q3, revenue increased 7% sequentially, adjusted EBITDA rose 6% with contributions from all of our key revenue insurance. Our growth strategy remains focused on maximizing the economic output of our [ surface bus ]. In the near term, we continue to focus on delivering a differentiated value proposition for our floorspace offering.
To summarize three core advantages of our approach, First, we control over 300,000 highly contiguous acres, largely insulated from the elevated pore pressure challenges impacting other areas of state leverage. Second, our partnerships, particularly with WaterBridge enable critical transportation and produced water to underutilize core-based across our acreage. WaterBridge, one of the largest produce water infrastructure operators in the U.S. continues to expand its footprint on our land, reinforcing mutual growth. Third, our development strategy aligns with recent guidance from Texas Railroad Commission, which emphasizes responsible pore space management. We actively avoid overconcentration of produced water handling assets by our customers to preserve pore space integrity.
Further, this quarter demonstrated the value of our active land management strategy beyond the oil and gas industry. We continue to unlock new opportunities with leading developers across energy, infrastructure and environmental sectors, creating diverse and resilient cash flow streams that we believe will continue to compound over the long term.
Let me highlight a few of our recent and ongoing commercial developments. First, we finalized the sale of a 3,000 acre solar energy project in Reeves County with the proposed generation capacity about the 250 megawatts. The transaction includes an upfront payment and contingent milestone [ based pace ]. We also entered into a new long-term lease with a subsidiary of [ ONEOK ] for a natural gas processing facility in logic.
Further, we continue to execute our strategy of accretive land acquisitions as demonstrated in our recent acquisition of approximately 37,500 acres for 18 ranging [indiscernible]. This acquisition brings immediate cash flows and long-term growth potential. The [ Loving ] County acreage enhances our force-based offering, while the Reeves County position is well suited for future alternative energy development. We expect this acquisition to contribute approximately $20 million in EBITDA beginning in 2026.
And finally, our progress on power infrastructure and data center initiatives is to accelerate, and we're here to keep you informed as new milestones were achieved.
Before I turn it over to Scott, I want to briefly address our approach to transparency. We remain committed to keeping investors informed and we'll continue to share meaningful updates on our commercial progress. At times, the level of detail we can provide may be limited due to commercial sensitivities, contractual obligations and legal constraints. We appreciate your understanding and continued engagement as we balance transparency with these considerations.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Scott to talk to the financial results.
Thank you, Jason. We delivered another quarter of strong financial performance with total revenue reaching $50.8 million, up 7% sequentially and 78% year-over-year. Quarterly growth was broad-based across all three revenue streams. Surface used royalties and revenue increased 2%, driven by higher commercial activity, new project easements and increased royalties from WaterBridge's [ BPX ] cracking development, which commenced operations early in the quarter. Resource sales and royalties also rose 2%, supported by a rebound in water sales from Q2 levels.
Oil and gas royalties posted a 22% sequential increase with net royalty production rising from 814 barrels of oil equivalent per day in Q2 to 912 in Q3. Importantly, our direct exposure to commodity prices remains limited, with oil and gas royalties representing approximately 7% of year-to-date revenue.
Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $44.9 million, up 6% sequentially and 79% year-over-year with a margin of 88%. The strong margin performance underscores the efficiency and scalability of our operating model. Cash flow from operations totaled $34.9 million and free cash flow was $33.7 million. Capital expenditures were $1.2 million and net cash used in investing activities was $1.1 million.
At quarter end, total liquidity stood at $108.3 million, including $28.3 million in cash and $80 million in available borrowing capacity. Total borrowings outstanding under our term loan and credit facility were $369.3 million, down from $374.3 million at the end of Q2. Our net leverage ratio was 2.1x at the end of the third quarter compared to 2.4x last quarter.
We continue to deploy free cash flow in a disciplined and balanced manner, focused on three priorities: First, pursuing accretive M&A opportunities, particularly in acquiring underutilized and undercommercialized land where we remain committed to rigorous underwriting criteria. Second, maintaining a strong balance sheet with an optimal capital structure, targeting a net leverage ratio of [ 2 to 2.5x ]. And finally, returning capital to shareholders through dividends and opportunistic share repurchases. This quarter, we declared a quarterly dividend of $0.10 per share payable on December 18, 2025, to shareholders of record as of December 4.
Finally, we are reaffirming the midpoint of our full year 2025 guidance with adjusted EBITDA expected between $165 million and $175 million. We're proud of our consistent performance and remain focused on executing our growth strategy, expanding our asset portfolio and delivering long-term value to our shareholders. Thank you for your continued support. With that, we'll now open the line for questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of John Mackay with Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
Can we talk about the new acquisition a little bit you framed up some related to EBITDA for '26. Maybe you can kind of talk about your visibility on that visibility and growth on the footprint? And maybe more broadly, as part of that, how you think right now about kind of what's the right kind of price to pay for some of these acreage packages out there? Is it multiple? Is it dollar per barrel or space available? Maybe just walk us through the framework as well.
Thanks for the thoughtful question. Yes, so really excited about [ 19, 18 ], as we kind of think through it here, kind of conservatively expecting $20 million of EBITDA being contributed from that acquisition to next year. That's not really predicated on any growth relative to the run rate when we bought it. And so kind of conservatively forecasting that flat. But that said, the the economic profile of this acquisition is very similar to what we've seen previously. When we acquired [ Hanging Age ] Ranch, we acquired East Stateline Ranch is two good examples kind of stepping in at 12-ish x investment multiple and then through driving growth, getting that down to more of a [ 3 to 4x ] investment multiple over several years.
When you think through what is driving the potential there I'd really categorize it into two buckets. The first on the eastern portion of the footprint, there's roughly 900,000 barrels a day of incremental floor space capacity that not just adds to the depth of our pore space inventory, but also gives us additional reach in the [ Southern Loving County ], which really unlocks some new commercial opportunities. So that pore space just at today's prevailing market rate for royalties could generate mid-50s EBITDA.
And then on the Western side of the footprint, there's already a very impressive but down of transmission and power infrastructure that makes it a very attractive location for clean energy and energy transition projects.
And then incremental to those two, I've just summarized by also saying this is a fantastic surface as you think through potential for digital infrastructure. So all of that would be obviously very additive incremental growth. And so yes, as you know, as we see kind of the investment here, again, it's very similar to the underwriting thought process that went into those prior investments that have worked out well for us, and we're excited to get this one done.
Now to the second part of your question, how do we think through acquisitions. There's no magic formula. Ultimately, we look through underwriting each acquisition a bit differently, and it's really a function of ensuring the land we're buying has both an attractive entry point as well as a lot of upside that we can capture through our active land management strategy. [19, 18 ] is a great example of that, where the sellers very sharp group of folks, but not necessarily folks that look to monetize it in the same way and same fashion that we did. And so we think there's a lot of upside there. So when we think through kind of stepping into new M&A deals, very similar. We're going to look for the right land in the right locations that have just been undercommercialized historically relative to our expectations. And as long as the math works and we feel good about that option value, the M&A could opportunities could make sense in that context.
I appreciate those comments. Maybe just a second one for me. I understand you guys aren't really ready on this call to talk about anything kind of formal on the power side. But I guess if we look more broadly, compared to a year ago, we are starting to see a bunch of kind of power and data center projects pop up kind of more formally across the Permian. Can you just walk us through one more time when you guys are having these conversations, what are you seeing you're bringing to the table relative to some of those other kind of locations or partners out there?
Yes. I mean the announcements of Canal recently are no surprise. I mean, the economic fundamentals of West Texas just made that inevitable. And as I've said before, it was always a win, [ not is discussion ], and we're starting to see those come to fruition here.
I mean, from our seat, we are further along into existing conversations and also engaged with a number of new blue-chip counterparties in these discussions. And so we're very excited and very optimistic about the progress we're making, and we look forward to sharing new milestones when the time is right.
Ultimately, being able to deliver what is a packaged solution of land, power via our power partnerships and water as well as in locations that are very conducive to both power and data centers, particularly as you think through things like fiber availability.
It really just allows us to deliver this, call it, de-risked package that's just challenging for others to match. And that's something that's been very well received by counterparties. Again, several processes kind of fairly far along, and we're really excited about what's to come.
The next question comes from the line of Theresa Chen with Barclays.
I have a follow-up to the [ 1918 ] transaction. Scott, specifically to your comments about the Southern portion of [ Loving County ], unlocking new opportunities in retaining potentially that incremental mid-$50 million of EBITDA. What kind of time frame or cadence are you expecting for that how much commercial visibility do you have on banking those agreements? And then on the Western side, as far as opportunities for incremental transmission and power it sounds like these could come as more discrete events, if you will. How much visibility do you have there as well, please?
Yes. Theresa, the -- on the Western side and the pore space, we're already actively engaged with discussions on opportunities for folks to unlock that pore space. And so while we're not baking that into the $20 million figure, we've included for next year. I certainly think we could start seeing, call it, incremental EBITDA or outperformance, particularly in the back half of the year, just given the pace of those conversations at this point.
When you think through growing to kind of the levels you alluded to, we think that's, call it, a 3- to 4-year timeline in terms of our ability to go out and [indiscernible] that.
On the western side on those energy transition and clean energy projects, those are just inherently longer runway projects but ones we're actively engaged on now. And so when you think through the ability for us to get those commercialized here over the next, call, 6 to 12 months. We'll certainly kind of make those announcements, let the public know the progress we're making, although the material EBITDA contribution on those types of projects are typically 3 to 4 years out, just given the development runway.
And on your solar project transaction, understanding that there are many commercial sensitivities here, but if you can help us frame up even qualitatively, what this economically means for your company? Or what are the next steps or milestones that would be really helpful.
Yes. I mean this is one that we're excited to get done. We've voiced over both with you all on the analyst side as well as the public effectively since our IPO that we have been working towards this towards getting this opportunity across the finish line. We're excited about the counterparty, the large, very reputable public clean energy developer and operator out of respect to their ask [ call it ], confidentiality here. We can't share their name or were too much about the details on the project. But that said, I'll just say we're excited to get it done. I think it's a great win for the company as we kind of see the project come online here and get developed out over the next several years, we would expect to see those milestone payments hit. And then once the project is online and running, we would expect to see more recurring revenue as a result of that.
Next question is from Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler.
Just a question for you -- just two questions. First, just going back to the amount of the number of people talking about building power data centers in West Texas. Is this one of these things like sort of field of [ dreams ], if it's built, the hyperscalers will come? Or are the hyperscalers already like committing that they want to access West Texas and therefore, it's just a matter of people coming online and building the facilities and then the hyperscalers will be there. I'm just trying to figure out the sort of field of dreams or the hyperscalers are already out there and they want to be and they're just waiting for someone to build.
Yes. I think the kind of chicken and egg dynamic you're speaking to was more prevalent last year when West Texas really kind of got on the map, so to speak, when it relates to data centers. I mean, the engagement we've seen call it, over the last 6 to 12 months has shifted a bit, where typically these hyperscalers or the data center developers and operators are partnering directly with power providers. And so it's more of a packaged negotiation, not necessarily waiting for the power to be committed to in the hopes of the data center comes.
And so I would say it's a much more sophisticated, call it, packaged approach now. And as a result of that, I think you're seeing just a lot more willingness for folks to kind of move quickly and get these projects across the finish line.
Okay. And then can we get an update on the existing data center deal that you did. I think it's been a few quarters since you received the initial deposit. And I think Five Point is still in sort of that option window. Are they -- do you think they're close to getting everything signed and fully committed and rolling out? Or just what's the update on their process?
Yes. Just to kind of remind the group. It's a 2-year option period, that partnership between Five Point and Commonwealth Asset Management, which also works in partnership with [ Silver Lake ] still active. I can't provide any specifics on where they're at in their process, though.
Next question comes from Charles Meade with Johnson Rice.
Jason, I want to ask a question about the natural gas processing lease with [ ONEOK ]. And I respect in your prepared comments, you have to balance transparency with, I guess, your commercially sensitive terms. But can you give us some detail on how those sorts of deals are typically structured whether it's an upfront payment, an annual payment duration? Just anything you could add to just kind of help size that, at least in your mind?
Yes, no problem. These are all usually upfront payments for long-term lease and we have additional payments per year. The other thing that opens up a big opportunity here is just the amount of infrastructure associated with these plants, the pipeline, the electrical, et cetera. So there's a recurring revenue associated with this.
Got it. Got it. So it's not just -- if I understand you correctly, it's not just this processing plant, but it's all the infrastructure and pipelines and electrical transmission that needs to get there. That's all other revenue opportunities or whether be -- yes.
Okay. Great. And then I want to ask a question about just this new slide or it's at least new to me on Page 15 where you guys are putting out the long-term, I guess, shortfall of disposal capacity in the Delaware Basin. And I think I get the main point of the slide, which is access pore space is going to become more valuable over time not less. But I wonder if you could just give your interpretation why you guys put this slide together and also maybe talk to some of the important assumptions are? Like I know it looks like this is specific to the Delaware Basin. So this is does that shortfall exclude the possibility of moving, say, Delaware Basin produced water up to the Central Basin platform, things like that.
Charles, I'll take this one. Jason is struggling with his voice from a cold, if you could pick up on that. So yes, we take -- continue to take a close look at pore space in the Delaware Basin. And I think the punch line on this slide is that, that pore space is not a commodity. There truly is a differentiation as it relates to pore space. and the approach with managing that pore space. And we've spoken in the past about the overconcentration of assets along the state line and just the negative pore space or the negative geology reaction as a result of that.
And as a reminder, the recognition of that is ultimately what drove us to start Landbridge initially in 2021 as we wanted to ensure that we did have a very differentiated pore space solution. We wanted to have large amounts of contiguous acres. We wanted to have geographic proximity to operations, and we wanted to have not just a clean flat from a pore space perspective to ensure it's unencumbered by historical mismanagement, but control of that pore space to ensure that going forward, we weren't going to be burdened with the mismanagement of other landowners or other operators.
And so what we're really showing on this slide is the byproduct of some of that over concentration, again, particularly along the state line of what it's doing to pore space capacity and operating capacity of existing produced water infrastructure assets.
And so on the bottom left, we're showing a chart of just produced water growth that's expected in the Delaware Basin through 2035, after 2026, this is effectively assuming a 1% growth rate on oil. And this was a forecast that was put out by a combined effort between the [ Pickering Energy ] consulting arm as well as B3 Insights, which is a great consulting firm that's very sharp on this type of stuff. And as you can see, I mean, there's a healthy amount of produced water growth, but the unfortunate byproduct of these port space issues is the existing produced water infrastructure today represented by that yellow line is going to be losing operating capacity going forward.
And you see that delta continue to grow over time. And by the time you're at year-end 2035, there's going to be a 9 million-barrel a day shortfall between the produced water that's expected in the Delaware Basin and the infrastructure based on what's currently in place today. And so it really drives two very real needs.
The first is just the need for more produced water handling infrastructure. But the second, more importantly, in this context, is the need for access to the kind of pore space that Landbridge offers to serve as an outlet. And so we really like this slide because it really does highlight not just the fact that pore space isn't a commodity and a differentiated approach matters, but also that the macro tailwinds are really going to drive the need for further pore space access, and we're in full position to capture a lot of that.
Next question is from Derrick Whitfield with Texas Capital.
With my first question, I wanted to focus on your outlook. While I realize you're not offering 2026 guidance today, how would you frame the step-up in EBITDA in next year -- over the next year, kind of based on the line of sight growth you have from WaterBridge, the acquisition you've recently closed and the other surface agreements you've recently announced.
Yes. No, great question. When we look through next year and kind of the primary growth drivers, obviously, the [ 1918 ] acquisition is going to be an immediate step change. But in addition to that, just given the line of sight on produced water volumes we have from WaterBridge, we would expect to see pretty healthy growth through the course of the year on the surface use royalty side. And I want to -- we're going to wait to provide full year 2026 guidance. And when we do that, we'll break down kind of more quantitative specifics. But I do think the surface use royalties piece is worth calling out because we have line of sight there and that is going to be a meaningful driver.
But incremental to that, we've got a great backlog right now of commercial opportunities on the other surface-use revenues piece. So we continue to see both the surface use royalties as well as the other revenues be the primary growth driver for our business stepping into 2026. It continues to exceed our expectations. I think that, generally speaking, not just the oil and gas industry, but more broadly, the economic industries out in West Texas are eager to partner with [ lenders ] like ourselves who have the right surface in the right areas. And are very eager to do commercial deals.
And so I would expect the surface use side, both in both on royalties as well as the rents and other revenues to be the main growth driver stepping into next year. But as it sits today, I would say our 2026 expectations are certainly exceeding what they were a year ago.
Terrific. And as my follow-up, I wanted to take a slightly different approach on the power and data center discussion. As you guys kind of think about the sheer magnitude of power and AI developments that have recently been announced across West Texas, and the implication it has for the opportunity set for Landbridge. How do you -- I guess, how do you see that? I mean while we've clearly seen the size of data center development double since we first started talking about it, do you still see a pathway to [ 2 to 4, 4 to 6 ] developments? Just how do you think about it?
It's a great question. I would say we've got a number in the pipeline right now, and I don't want to give what that specific number is, but it is it is an opportunity set that has only expanded, I would say, relative to what we thought when we initially started exploring this opportunity initially.
I would add outside of just those primary opportunities, there are just so many secondary opportunities that exist because of the compounding ecosystem that's kind of growing in West Texas as a result of all this activity. And when you think through just what's going to be needed to support these data centers outside of just the direct power, but just the broader commercial ecosystem, the broader industrial system, all of that is going to necessitate land access. And again, we are in the best position to be the providers of that.
And so we obviously will continue to pursue, and we're very excited about our direct opportunities as it relates to power and data centers, but we are also going to catch the broader macro tailwinds that are benefiting [ West ] Texas as we continue to see the ecosystem out there compound.
Your final question comes from Kevin MacCurdy with Pickering Energy Partners.
I wanted to dig in a little bit into the segment results. We see easement and other surface-related revenues, it's kind of outpacing our expectations pretty handily this year. And I wonder if you could talk a little bit about the drivers of growth in that segment over the last several quarters? And was there anything that kind of surprised you guys to the upside there?
Yes. It's a great question, Kevin. I appreciate you hopping on. I would say when we put out expectations at the beginning of the year, coming off of the back of both the [ Wolfbone ] acquisition as well as the larger a series of acquisitions earlier. We took a conservative stance on expectations there, obviously, relative to what's come to fruition, very much by design. And I think kind of with where we sit today, we've got a really healthy view of that commercial backlog stepping into next year.
But ultimately, that outperformance we saw this year is going to be driven by call it intentional conservatism coming off of acquisitions. But as we've said many times over, there is a very high demand for access to our surface by a number of different counterparties. And what you're really seeing is the financial impact of that reality coming to fruition here.
I appreciate that, Scott. And then maybe on the produced water side, going back to the forecasted shortfall in disposal capacity, I mean, is there anything that you can share like high level on what you're seeing on royalty rates on new contracts versus legacy contracts? And do you think that the market is kind of beginning to forecast and realize those constraints in pore spaces?
Yes. As it sits today, we haven't seen, call it, any meaningful shift in the prevailing market rate for royalties relative to within the last 1 or 2 quarters, call it. Obviously, supply-demand economics continue to play out. That is certainly subject to change. And just basing the dynamics we spoke to just a few minutes ago with Charles. That's certainly very real potential for us to capture additional [ econs ] going forward.
Now does the market generally, call it, recognized force base constraints going forward? I would say Absolutely. And I would say the prudent operators out there are the ones that are getting ahead of it. Like we announced last quarter, Devon is a fantastic example of a forward-thinking operator in our area who is very intentional about securing pore space that they need access to over the long term, and that led to the minimum volume commitment and pore space access agreement directly with LandBridge rather than with WaterBridge or another water infrastructure company. And so there's absolutely an acknowledgment of the criticality of what it is we bring to the table. It's already been validated commercially, again, by debit and others, and we expect that trend to continue.
With no further questions in queue. I will hand the call back to Scott McNeely for closing remarks.
Yes. Thanks again for joining us today. Again, we're very excited about the quarter. We're very excited about what we're working through commercially at the moment and across multiple opportunity sets, and we look forward to circling back and sharing more news with you here in the future. But again, appreciate you all's efforts on learning more a bit about us and look forward to staying in touch. Thanks.
And this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
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Landbridge Company — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Landbridge Company — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Regina, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I'd like to welcome everyone to the LandBridge Second Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Mae Harrington, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining the LandBridge Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. I am joined today by our CEO, Jason Long; and our CFO, Scott McNeely. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that in this call and the related presentation, we will make forward-looking statements regarding our current beliefs, plans and expectations, which are not guarantees of future performance and which are subject to a number of known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from results and events contemplated by such forward-looking statements.
You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Please refer to the risk factors and other cautionary statements included in our filings with the SEC. I would also like to point out that our investor presentation and today's conference call will contain discussions of non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe are useful in evaluating our performance.
These supplemental measures should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures are included in our earnings release and the appendix of today's accompanying presentation. I'll now turn the call over to our Chief Executive Officer, Jason Long.
Thank you, Mae. We're pleased to report strong second-quarter results, which drove year-over-year revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth of 83% and 81%, respectively. As we pass the anniversary of our listing, it's a good time to reflect on 4 key factors that continue to differentiate our business model and position us to create sustainable value for shareholders.
First, our business is capital-light, enabling us to benefit from continued growth in the Permian Basin without incurring meaningful operating and capital expenditures. This is reflected in our adjusted EBITDA margin of 89% during the second quarter. We remain excited about growth opportunities across the Permian and have increased our land holdings by more than 50,000 acres over the past 12 months to make sure we're in a position to capitalize on such opportunities.
Second, owning surface acreage provides significant optionality. Over the past year, we have deepened and developed relationships with clients and blue-chip operators across key industries, including renewable energy and digital infrastructure. That includes our first development agreement for a data center, which was signed in November of 2024, as well as the solar energy project development agreements with affiliates of DESRI earlier this year. We look forward to continuing to explore opportunities to support the development of data centers and other digital infrastructure in the region.
While digital infrastructure has not to date represented a meaningful contribution to revenues or related projections, we are actively working to identify additional projects that will add incremental revenue. Third, our diversified revenue streams reduce commodity risk and provide numerous growth opportunities between surface use royalties and revenues, resource sales and royalties and oil and gas royalties.
And finally, our symbiotic relationship with WaterBridge, as we have discussed regularly since the launch of our IPO process in 2024, we see this relationship as one of LandBridge's biggest strategic advantages, providing superior visibility into long-term trends and ultimately, revenue growth. We provide WaterBridge access to underutilized pore space in exchange for market-driven surface royalties from each barrel of produced water handled by WaterBridge on our land as well as market-driven surface use payments for infrastructure constructed on our land.
This relationship with the largest pure-play integrated water infrastructure company in the Delaware Basin helps to drive reliable recurring revenue for our business and compelling returns for our shareholders. Each agreement with WaterBridge is vetted and approved by an established, well-tested corporate government process and fully disclosed via public filings.
Turning to more recent developments. I'm pleased to share that our team has continued to make commercial progress, executing a number of new high-impact agreements this year. First, we recently executed a 10-year surface use and pore space reservation agreement with Devon Energy, securing 300,000 barrels a day of pore space capacity on our East Stateline and Speed Ranches to accommodate long-term water takeaway and disposal for developments concentrated in the core of the New Mexico Delaware Basin.
This agreement will begin in the second quarter of 2027 and includes an obligation to deliver at least 175,000 barrels per day. We also executed an option agreement with a large public IPP for the development and construction of a natural gas-fired CCGT plant on our Reeves County acreage to service future prospective co-located data center load demand. This project marks a pivotal step in meeting West Texas' growing power needs, driving transformative in-basin power generation investments.
Finally, we're excited to announce a strategic partnership with a leading vertically integrated power generation and solutions provider to accelerate the development of scalable, resilient and sustainable energy infrastructure in West Texas. This collaboration strengthens our platform by aligning our assets with a trusted partner capable of delivering cost-effective long-term power through power purchase agreements. This initiative is expected to support energy-intensive customers, including data centers, while significantly enhancing the value of our asset portfolio.
Turning to recent regulatory developments in Texas. We're pleased to note that recently announced changes governing produced water handling facilities are not only beneficial for our company, but ones we fully support. These updates shine a spotlight on our responsible pore space management strategy, underscoring that pore space is not a simple commodity. Instead, our historical and current operating approach prioritizes sustainable use, resulting in superior asset longevity and flow assurance, which in turn delivers a truly differentiated value proposition for our stakeholders.
Make no mistake, we are the solution to the issue these regulations aim to address, not part of the problem. Our approach is fundamentally different, and we believe essential for long-term success in this evolving landscape. We're looking forward to the second half of the year and continuing to identify new opportunities to increase revenues.
I'll now turn the call over to Scott to walk through the numbers.
Thank you, Jason, and thanks, and welcome to everyone joining us on the call today. As Jason already stated, we're pleased with the quarter and performance throughout the first half of 2025. Our second quarter revenues increased to $47.5 million, up 8% sequentially and 83% year-over-year. Sequential revenue growth for the quarter was driven by surface use royalties and revenue, which increased 31% sequentially.
This growth was driven by an increase in easements and other service-related revenue, including several large renewal payments, multiple new projects and an overall increase in commercial activity on our acreage. Overall revenue growth was partially offset by sequential declines across our 2 other revenue categories. Resource sales royalties experienced a 26% sequential decline, driven by lower brackish water sales and royalty volumes and oil and gas royalties declined 19% sequentially, driven by a decrease in net royalty production with volumes falling from 923 BOE a day in Q1 2025 to 814 BOE a day in Q2 '25.
Overall, we have successfully shifted our revenue mix in favor of fee-based arrangements versus royalties that fluctuate with commodity prices. Today, such arrangements account for a record 94% of total revenues. The efficiency of our capital model continues to deliver strong adjusted EBITDA, $42.5 million, representing a sequential increase of 9% and 81% year-over-year with an 89% adjusted EBITDA margin.
We generated free cash flow of approximately $36.1 million and a free cash flow margin of 76%, which is in line with our previously discussed long-term free cash flow margin expectations of about 70%. We ended the quarter with total liquidity of $95.3 million, including cash and cash equivalents of $20.3 million and approximately $75 million under our revolving credit facility. Our capital allocation priorities remain the same for 2025, and we continue to execute these priorities, which, as a reminder, include maintaining a strong balance sheet to maximize financial flexibility over time.
We ended the quarter with $374.3 million of debt outstanding under our term loan and revolving credit facility, which is down from $379.3 million at the end of Q1 2025. Our net leverage ratio was 2.4x compared to the 2.5x at the end of the first quarter. We remain committed to returning capital to shareholders and have declared a quarterly dividend to shareholders of $0.10 per share. Our dividend provides shareholders with the opportunity to share in our successes.
Finally, we will continue to evaluate a host of value-enhancing land acquisitions in the second half of the year, which will further solidify our standing in the marketplace. In anticipation of the execution of the DBR Solar opportunity with a large public renewable energy developer and operator, we are adjusting our adjusted EBITDA guidance range for full year 2025 to between $160 million and $180 million.
This adjustment is primarily driven by an expectation that the majority of the revenue associated with the DBR Solar opportunity will be recognized following year-end 2025, later than initial revenue expectations based on an earlier execution of this opportunity. And now we'd like to open up the line for questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from the line of Charles Meade with Johnson Rice.
2. Question Answer
Scott, I want to pick up right where you left off there, the DBR Solar. And can you just -- can you elaborate a little bit more on the history of this project and where you -- obviously, you had that $10 million of EBITDA revenue in '25. But can you just kind of put the overall timeline in context and what this -- I guess, what precipitated the shift? And perhaps as part of that, it seems like it's a shift in that it hasn't disappeared, but maybe you can just confirm that.
Yes. No, Charles, happy to. So if you recall, this solar project was one where we had worked through effectively all of the prep work, which includes the tax abatement work, the coordination with the mineral owners and so on, on part of our surface position that was part of the original acquisition we closed on in 2021.
And so we had worked through the preparation for several years. We had planned to put it out to market to a developer last year. The site itself is located immediately adjacent to where the primary site is that's associated with the data center opportunity that we worked through last year. And so we punted on marketing that site to the solar developers until after that was wrapped up. So that was -- obviously, we got that option agreement in place with the data center at the end of '24 and as such, going to flip and put the -- excuse me, the solar facility to market here in early '25.
We had baked in about $10 million expected just based on input from our consultants in terms of what you could typically see for a project like that this year. But as I've spoken to in the past, all of that was obviously subject to commercial progress discussions and so on. And so ultimately, this was one where we got good traction with several really good brand-name developers, have landed on a great partner and look forward to sharing more details on that.
But just given how timing is playing out and when we expect those payments and that revenue to be made and recognized, kind of shifting out of this year is just kind of the reality at this point. And so we're really excited to get it done. We think it's -- again, it's another testament to our ability to execute on a wide variety of opportunities.
But as I've said many times before, we're always focused here on long-term value creation, not on accelerating cash flows if that is just not the most economic outcome for the company. I think this is just a very good example of that.
Got it. That's helpful. I appreciate it. And then as a follow-up, I wanted to ask about the deal that you guys signed with Devon to bring produced water to East Stateline and Speed Ranch. And really, the -- my understanding is that Speedway Pipeline, which I guess secondly isn't LandBridge, but you guys are building capacity on that line. So can you just put that Devon deal in the context of the Speedway line that is going to be coming to your Speed Ranch?
Yes. I mean you could see in the map, there are certainly some capital synergies for WaterBridge as it relates to this Devon project and the broader Speedway project. I think from LandBridge's perspective, it just is an incredibly exciting opportunity. I mean this was one where I think we clearly have a close relationship with the Devon team via WaterBridge and their interest in WaterBridge.
But I think this is just a real reflection from a very smart, prudent operator who's looking out at kind of the realities of what's needed from a pore space perspective to accommodate future growth. From our view, this is somewhat of an inflection point, certainly in new contract structure where you've got an operator going directly to a landowner saying, I need to lock up large amounts of pore space over an extended period of time, and I'm willing to give you a meaningful guarantee to backstop that because that's how critical pore space is going to be to my development program going forward.
And so that was ultimately what kind of catalyzed the discussion between LandBridge and Devon directly and led to this. Now how it relates to Speedway, this is, again, from WaterBridge's perspective, they complement each other, but not necessarily the same. I think this is great momentum both from the WaterBridge side and clearly from the LandBridge side.
Yes. The only thing I would add, Charles, is that this is -- there's definitely volumes and pore space is being reserved up on Speed Ranch, but also on our East Stateline. So it's a combination of both.
Yes, I think it's right. I mean it gets back to the redundancy that we're able to offer producers is unmatched. And again, it gets back to that differentiated approach, that differentiated value proposition, and that was ultimately what got Devon excited about the opportunity here directly with LandBridge.
Our next question comes from the line of Derrick Whitfield with Texas Capital.
Congrats on your operational accomplishments over the last quarter. With my first question, I wanted to ask for your thoughts on the Aris acquisition by WES. While we question it from a value recognition perspective, it seems to support your thesis for the value of pore space. So I'd love to hear your thoughts on that.
Yes. Yes. I think that's -- I think we -- I'll answer this from LandBridge's perspective. I mean I think the biggest takeaway from LandBridge's perspective as you read through that is the criticality of pore space. And if you look at the headline that was put out, that first slide that was put out by Western, they flag the McNeill Ranch and the pore space offered by McNeill Ranch as being such a big piece of the value that's ultimately brought to the table here.
I think more broadly speaking, obviously, as they talk to valuation, there's a little bit to unpack there. As is very typical in M&A deals. But look, I mean, again, this shows Western is very focused on pore space. I mean that's shown not just through this deal. But if you recall, we announced our deal with them earlier as part of their Pathfinder pipeline. I mean -- and so it all kind of circles back to for responsible water handling, particularly going forward, this pore space, the surface access is just so, so critical.
And you're seeing that manifest itself directly through deals with us, like we've seen with Devon, like we've done with Western previously, but you're also seeing it on the actual Midstream side where very smart, prudent Midstream operators as they look through M&A with folks like Aris are very much valuing the pore space that they have to offer. So all of this -- I think, reinforces the thesis and the narrative that we've been communicating to the market historically.
Great. And for my follow-up, I wanted to shift the focus to your power announcement for the quarter. Are we safe to assume the IPP reference would be a new development for the Delaware, i.e., not CPV Basin Energy or Basin Ranch Energy and that IPP has a line of sight to a combined cycle gas turbine given the tightness we're seeing right now among the OEMs.
Yes. So this -- I hesitate to give too much detail now because the larger public IPP wants to put out a joint press release here in the coming weeks to speak to a lot of those details, Derrick. I'll just say it's a brand name and one, just when that release comes out, I think we will speak a lot to the offering. So I hate to put that one on pause, but I think we look forward to getting more details out here over the next few weeks.
Our next question comes from the line of John Mackay with Goldman Sachs.
I wanted to start maybe just on the Devon deal. And if we look across the footprint right now, I guess, could you just catch us up on really like how much pore space you guys have is spoken for at this point? And then maybe on a related piece, how you're looking about -- looking around that kind of land acquisition market to add to that?
Yes. I mean as you think about what we've identified from a pore space standpoint, we've identified way more than 5 million barrels a day of potential access to capacity, and that's the underutilized pore space. As you think to answer your second question, we continue with our geological teams to look for additional pore space and underutilized access to land as we expand our position. So that's definitely top of mind.
That's fair. And then maybe just looking at the quarter, easements were stronger. You guys kind of touched on that. Were any of these renewal payments kind of one-offs in there? Or is this kind of a new good run rate? And then similarly, resource sales being a little softer, I think, makes sense given activity levels, but also just wondering if there's any kind of more one-offs in there.
Yes. No, there's always going to be a mix of renewals versus upfront payments. And so kind of important to note that. I think the bulk of the upfront payments we get, though typically manifest themselves down the road as some type of renewal. Very rarely do we get like a one-off and then it's done, but certainly not never.
As you look through the rest, obviously, surface use royalties saw a great quarter there, I think, largely in line with our expectation. Yes, ultimately, I think the way you need to think about it is it's not going to be like a run rate going forward, so to speak, where that will be repeated, but I think you'll start to see it just compound over time. And there'll be a little bit of lumpiness, kind of quarter-over-quarter. But as we've seen historically and kind of continue to progress today, the slope is up to the right, and that will continue.
Our next question comes from the line of Kevin MacCurdy with Pickering Energy Partners.
I wanted to ask for a little bit more color on the new Texas Railroad Commission guidelines on injection pressure. Can you maybe summarize the new rules and compare that to your internal view of water disposal and competitive position in the basin?
Yes, for sure. As we thought about this, if you put both the WaterBridge and the LandBridge side on, what puts us in a really unique position is our access to this large, contiguous block of acreage. And with that, we have the ability to make sure that we're spreading out the injection.
That really, for the most part, as you think through the new rules and regulations is what they're really, really focused on is making sure we're not concentrating that injection in specific areas. So really having the ability to spread that out, which in turn, gives you access to lower pressure.
As you think through just our strategic ability, I would go back to the fact that our -- the contiguous nature of our footprint. There's -- that does not really exist along the state line in and around New Mexico. And so it puts us in a really good position to capitalize on a lot of these new volumes coming from New Mexico.
Yes. I mean I would just add, on the WaterBridge side, we put out a press release endorsing the new regulations. We think it's great for the industry. We think there's a real healthy focus now on how do we add longevity to the industry and how do we be more thoughtful about these longer-term approaches.
I think we're really proud in the sense that both from the WaterBridge and the LandBridge side, it mirrors our operating philosophy and the kind of the philosophy we've always deployed when we think through building out our assets in our company. And it was the recognition of the problems from these differing approaches, this overconcentration of assets, that ultimately led us to start LandBridge back in 2020, 2021.
We knew large contiguous pore space that had been unutilized or underutilized historically would be immensely valuable for WaterBridge, but again, for the broader industry. And so we think it's great. We think it's very smart for the regulators to be focused on that. Again, it's something that we have pushed ourselves both from our WaterBridge seats and our LandBridge seats.
And I think, again, it really reinforces the fact that we have this differentiated value proposition to offer, not just WaterBridge, but anyone in the industry that needs to have that surface and pore space access. And so it's great. It's great to see, call it, the spotlight shine on this now because we do think it's important. And again, we do think it highlights what it is we bring to the table.
And I think those are important details. definitely important for the LandBridge story. For my follow-up, any thoughts on the long-term potential EBITDA impact of the Devon deal or even some high-level thoughts on the royalty rates compared to your current rates? I realize you may be hesitant to give too many details.
Yes. So we can't provide the exact royalty rate. I'll say that the rates we're getting today for deals, this one included, certainly align with our view of the prevailing market rate at the moment. And so we feel very confident that how we think through rate structure versus our differentiated value proposition is very much aligned to the commercial success that we would hope to see.
And I think the market is kind of proving out our view. I'll leave it at that. But I mean, as you would imagine, great impact for us, obviously, from a financial perspective, as this comes online here in early '27.
Our next question comes from the line of Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler.
Just have 2 questions. The first is on the power generation deal that you guys announced, is this tied directly to -- is there any relationship with Five Point? And is this tied directly to that specific data center project? Or this is a sort of generic power generation deal that would apply for any projects -- data center project down there?
No, good question. So the agreement that we're talking through here is directly between LandBridge and the IPP. There is the potential for Five Point's PowerBridge platform to step in, in some capacity, but that's by no means firm either way. I would say this was one where the IPP saw the value that LandBridge brought to the table, was happy to do a deal with us.
I think that said, as we've said in the past, the beauty of the Five Point ecosystem is they've got these different enabling entities to ensure that deals can get across the finish line to the benefit of all companies.
And so when we think through what PowerBridge could bring to the table here, it's really a question of is there a gap between LandBridge and the IPP where maybe PowerBridge stepping in could fill that gap to ensure this project gets brought online. Uncertain whether or not that's needed at this point in time. But again, it's a valuable tool, I think, that we have available to us.
Yes. And one thing I'd add is that the IPP is -- they saw the need for the power in the region just in general, not just as it related to data center opportunities. So we see this as a great opportunity on all fronts.
And did you say the entity is called PowerBridge or you were just using that term...
That is -- no. So that is the Five Point's entity that was announced earlier this year that is run by Alex -- that is in IPP. No, this is a totally independent public IPP that is not in any way associated with Five Point outside of, again, the potential that PowerBridge, which is a separate Five Point entity, could step in if there is a need.
Okay. And then the second question is, you guys -- you announced the Devon deal. I don't know if you announced all the economics of that, but obviously, that doesn't take effect until 2027. The data center thing is announced, but obviously, that takes years. You guys clearly want to grow EBITDA.
So as we think about announcements that you make, it sounds -- I mean, just based on what you've announced so far, there's like a 12 to 24 months sort of lead time, if you will, before the EBITDA starts flowing or more like 24 months, if you will. Is that the way we should think about it?
So if we want to -- as we model your growth over the next number of years, we should think about, hey, if the deal hasn't been announced by x date, that means that revenue growth is going to take 2 years longer than before. We're just trying to get a sense of -- you guys are very active. But obviously, these things take a while to manifest and drop to the bottom line. So just trying to understand the EBITDA ramp relative to project announcement timing.
So it very much depends on the project. I think when you think through power projects or renewable projects, those inherently have longer timelines. When you think through some of these more water infrastructure, energy infrastructure type projects, those can be a much quicker timeline.
I mean the Devon example here, I think, is more a reflection of them very much wanting to get ahead of future needs and a willingness to backstop that with this minimum volume commitment. And so not necessarily reflective of, call it, a build-out timeline or anything along those lines, but much more so Devon wanting to stay ahead of things, which we think is a very prudent move on their part.
But when you look at other other commercial activity we have kind of in the hopper at the moment, you obviously have the BPX Kraken deal that was both announced at the beginning of this year, is already online today and we'll continue to ratchet over the next several years is a good example of a meaningfully, call it, meaningful EBITDA contribution that can come online quickly and ratchet up quickly. And that's one that we'll see continue.
I think the Speedway project is another great example where we would expect to have that fully FID-ed here within the next few weeks on the WaterBridge side, and you would start to see capital go out the door at the end of this year, going into early next year.
And that will -- we'll start to see EBITDA contribution for that potentially at the end of this year, definitely early next year. So there -- again, like the sequencing and the timing, I think, is very much a byproduct of the type of activity it is, not necessarily indicative of all commercial activities that we work through.
But can you just give us a sense of the EBITDA contribution from Speedway, Devon, that we can think about what's going to come online in the next 12 to 24 months?
So we haven't spoken to that publicly yet. I think once we get the opportunity to have Speedway through FID, we can start giving the Street a little better idea in terms of the ratcheting of the cash flow there. I know previously, we've discussed the potential for Speedway to be a 500,000 barrel a day project when it's fully online, which would equate to roughly $30 million of cash flow in terms of royalties, plus obviously the related surface activity that goes on.
Now there'll be a sequencing and timing of those step-ups. And once we get through FID, once we get that fully underwritten on the WaterBridge side, we can message that a bit more clearly.
Okay. But you said $30 million plus some potential upside from that when fully online.
That's right.
Our final question will come from the line of Lawrence Goldstein with Santa Monica Partners L.P.
I wonder what you could say about the fact that every single major, let's call them, high-tech company announces data centers all over the country, but we hear of nothing in the Permian Basin. Nothing with you. I'm not asking about your company specifically.
I'm asking generically, your neighbor, big landowner, TPL. It astounds me that we don't hear a word. We hear data center, data center, data center, billions here, billions there. Why do you suppose we don't hear a word about the Permian Basin?
Lawrence, very good question. So I think ultimately here, we're talking about a step out into a new region away from major metropolitan areas, which is just different, different for what a lot of these data center players have done historically. And it's just taken time to get them familiar with the region, familiar with the risk, familiar with the opportunity set.
I mean, ultimately, we haven't gotten any pushback on just the fundamentals making so much sense where this is an inevitability. But you are talking about getting folks over the line in an area they're not just -- they're not familiar with yet or operating with or deploying large amounts of capital in this kind of new area. And so we feel good about the discussions we're having.
I imagine there are others in the Permian who feel the same way right now. It's just -- it's just taking the time to get these very large tech companies who are very risk-averse, comfortable with stepping out into a new region. But ultimately, the fundamentals work. I think they acknowledge that. And so from our point of view, it is an inevitability this gets across the finish line. And once that first domino falls, as you can appreciate, the rest of them start falling pretty quickly thereafter. It's just convincing that first player to ultimately be the one that announces the step out.
The only other thing I'd add is you are seeing growing comfort of folks heading into West Texas. So there's been a number of projects announced in places like Abilene and Lubbock. And so certainly, they're starting to get growing comfort moving away from major metropolitan areas into other still populated areas in West Texas, but certainly not the Permian. But all of these trends, we think, continue to work to our advantage here. And again, it's just -- it's going to take that first domino to fall. And we think the fundamentals are just too good for that not to happen.
Yes. And those fundamentals are easy to speak to, right? It's access to large contiguous land, access to cheap power, both on grid and behind the grid as we talked through this opportunity with the new IPP and then Access to Water for Cooling. So it checks all the boxes 100%. To Scott's point, once the first domino falls, I think there'll be a lot more heading our way.
It sounds logical. But to me, personally, it sounds illogical. By the way, the one thing that you don't have, which is an asset population in the area. And I'm sure you're aware of the articles, particularly a lengthy one in the New York Times, I think, about 2 weeks ago, about how some towns turn on the water faucet or the toilet, no water.
And yet you say they -- it takes a while to learn about what you have in the way of assets, everything available and everything at the lowest prices. And in Oregon or the Pacific Northwest, Washington, there, they never heard in those places either. But it's so obvious what your assets are, and yet we've not heard a single company. So when you say it takes a while for them to learn about it, -- with all due respect, come on. They haven't heard of Texas. They haven't heard...
We 100% agree. And I think from our seat, coming from an oil and gas background, I think we're very, very familiar with just how great the manpower and the talent is out in places like Midland. We've seen just some very, very smart folks continue to pile into West Texas to support the oil and gas industry. And so we do think that for folks who are used to working in, call it, more of these tech hubs, it's just -- it's a foreign environment when they think to places like Midland.
But again, it's -- from our point of view, it's a quick education effort to show them like you've got people coming in from top-tier universities already stepping out in the West Texas to work in the oil and gas space. The talent is going to show up for data centers. In fact, it's already there. And so yes, look, we agree. All the pieces are there. The stage is set. The fundamentals ultimately are going to be what dictates this happening, and we think it's an inevitability.
Yes. I understand you think it is. I think it is. A lot of people think it is. And I don't think what you've got every asset required for a data center. And by the way, you don't have population, which is obviously an asset, if you got the biggest city down there in the basin, 15 people or something like that. I can't believe they haven't heard of it that they aren't familiar with it. These are the smartest people in the country. So I accept what you're saying, but I find it hard to believe. Something else, I have no idea what just something else is.
But we feel great about where we're at in a lot of those talks right now and aim to bring the market some good news as it relates to that as quickly as we can here.
And that will conclude our question-and-answer session. I'll hand the call back over to Scott McNeely for any closing remarks.
Yes. Thanks again for everyone participating today. As always, we very much appreciate the support and the engagement. Please feel free to reach out to us with any questions. But otherwise, we hope you all enjoy the rest of your summer. Thanks.
Thanks.
This concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.
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Landbridge Company — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Finanzdaten von Landbridge Company
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
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Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 206 206 |
53 %
53 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 1,97 1,97 |
4 %
4 %
1 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 204 204 |
54 %
54 %
99 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 63 63 |
49 %
49 %
31 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 136 136 |
3.032 %
3.032 %
66 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 13 13 |
42 %
42 %
6 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 123 123 |
2.556 %
2.556 %
59 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 32 32 |
168 %
168 %
15 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
LandBridge Co. LLC ist im Besitz von Grundstücken, die für die Erschließung und Produktion von Energie genutzt werden. Sie ist Eigentümerin von Projektgebieten im Delaware-Unterbecken im produktiven Permian Basin, der aktiven Region für Erdöl- und Erdgasexploration und -entwicklung in den Vereinigten Staaten. Das Unternehmen wurde am 27. September 2023 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Houston, TX.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Long |
| Mitarbeiter | 6 |
| Webseite | www.landbridgeco.com |


