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Kennzahlen
📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 41,44 Mrd. CHF | Umsatz (TTM) = 15,72 Mrd. CHF
Marktkapitalisierung = 41,44 Mrd. CHF | Umsatz erwartet = 16,77 Mrd. CHF
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 45,25 Mrd. CHF | Umsatz (TTM) = 15,72 Mrd. CHF
Enterprise Value = 45,25 Mrd. CHF | Umsatz erwartet = 16,77 Mrd. CHF
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Holcim Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
28 Analysten haben eine Holcim Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
28 Analysten haben eine Holcim Prognose abgegeben:
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Holcim — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Holcim AG
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, esteemed shareholders, dear guests, On behalf of the Board of Directors and the Executive Committee, I warmly welcome you to the Annual General Meeting at the OYM Hall here in Zug. I am delighted to welcome so many of you today. Thank you for coming. I would like to extend a warm welcome first to [ Mr. Andre Vicki ], Mayor of the City of Zug and [ Thomas Esi ], National Council. I'm also pleased to see that the members of the Board of Directors and the Executive Committee are present. In addition, I would like to welcome [ Martin Ebner] and our former Chairman of the Board of Directors, [ Beat Hess ]. I would also like to welcome Mrs. Sabine Burkhalter, who has once again been mandated by many shareholders to act as the independent proxy this year. I also welcome Mr. Jacques Pierres and Mr. Daniel Zaugg from Ernst & Young AG as representatives of our auditors.
Next, I will introduce my colleagues who are on the podium with me today. They will support me in reporting on the past year. They will also help me in answering your questions and in conducting the Annual General Meeting in proper fashion. I will start on the right side with our CFO, Steffen Kindler. Next to me on the right is our CEO, Miljan Gutovic. Then we have Lukas Studer, our Group General Counsel and Secretary of the Board of Directors; as well as Claudia Sender Ramirez, Chair of the Nomination, Compensation and Governance Committee of the Board of Directors.
Before we report in detail on the course of business, ladies and gentlemen, allow me to make some technical and organizational remarks. If you prefer to follow the Annual General Meeting in English, please select Channel 2 on your headphones. For German, please select Channel 1. In order to ensure an efficient process, we have, as usual, set up a speaker registration desk for all shareholders who wish to take the floor. The speaker registration desk is located to the left of the stage. Please register there and briefly state the agenda item you wish to speak about. We will then call on you during the corresponding agenda item and ask you to put your questions or give your comments. And finally, one last remark. Health and safety are our top priority and this also applies to today's Annual General Meeting. Please look around and take note of the nearest emergency exit. The emergency exits are marked with a green sign. In the unlikely event that we have to evacuate the building, we ask you to follow the instructions of the staff. And now I wish you a successful Annual General Meeting.
Now I'm pleased to give you an overview over the 2025 year for Holcim. Distinguished shareholders, dear guests, 2025 was a year of transformation for Holcim as we started to put our NextGen growth strategy in full execution, delivering on our vision to be the leading partner for sustainable construction. On behalf of the Board of Directors, I can share with you that we were all extremely committed and active in shaping our new strategy together, of course, with Miljan and his team. We were highly energized by this process, and the entire Board is excited about the growth and value that our strategy is already generating, thanks to its full speed execution. As a result, Holcim is stronger than ever today. NextGen Growth 2030 aims to unlock significant growth and value creation for people, customers and shareholders and indeed is already doing so as we generated strong profitable growth for the full year 2025.
To achieve such excellent results, you need a pool of talented people working with a deep sense of purpose to deliver across all market conditions and economic cycles. We have more than 45,000 dedicated employees, and they're all guided by experienced leaders. Here, our culture of empowered, decentralized leadership really comes into its own. I feel honored to be part of a winning team in my first year as Chairman of Holcim.
And I would like to take the opportunity today to express my gratitude to all employees for their dedication in delivering these fabulous results. I extend my thanks in particular to our CEO, Miljan, and his wonderful leadership team. They are doing a splendid job and so are our 428 empowered P&L leaders worldwide. They can all adapt swiftly to market opportunities and changing dynamics. Such dynamic and indeed visionary leadership is the driving force behind Holcim's year of transformation and the successful launch of our NextGen Growth 2030 strategy.
In 2025, Holcim once again confirmed its status as a benchmark for key topics such as sustainability and innovation as well as for financial performance and value creation. So congratulations to all my Holcim colleagues for delivering a great year. Thank you.
One thing that amazes me particularly about Holcim is this. Now we may have a 114-year history but we are always looking to the future. This is demonstrated by the NextGen Growth 2030 strategy, which anticipates and addresses the powerful megatrends shaping the future of construction to further unlock shareholder value. One such megatrend is population growth and urbanization with growing construction spend in cities and rising demand for housing and infrastructure. The world builds the equivalent of Madrid every week partnering with our customers, we make sure that cities can be built sustainably, whether it is for a new build project or energy-efficient repair and refurbishment.
Another mega trend we're seeing is the rising demand for modular construction with off-site production enhancing on-site productivity. At the same time, Holcim continues to embrace digitalization and artificial intelligence, AI both to drive innovation as well as to improve operational efficiency and enhance the customer experience. Likewise, Holcim has maintained its focus on building a nature positive future with our broad range of solutions that bring nature into cities thus improving biodiversity as well as the well-being of everyone. As the leading partner for sustainable construction, Holcim is best placed to capture the tailwinds from these global mega trends. We offer our customers a broad range of sustainable building solutions at scale to build next-gen cities. And if you look around this arena, you will see images of many building icons. These are special projects that display just those qualities and have been implemented with the latest state-of-the-art materials, both here in Switzerland and beyond.
Let me say a few words here about Switzerland, where Holcim has its headquarters and where we have such a rich heritage. Switzerland is a pioneering market for us in terms of sustainable building innovation. Switzerland is a place where we develop and scale breakthrough innovations with our partners before exporting them across the world. What sets Switzerland apart is its political stability, it's reliability, its exceptional public transport links as well as the high level of technical education. We are grateful for these benefits, which have helped us grow and innovate over the past 114 years to become the leading partner for sustainable construction.
It was here in Switzerland that Holcim developed the world's first circular cement. Susteno, which contains 20% recycled construction and demolition materials as well as many other breakthrough components ranging from 3D printing and lower clinker cement through to the Rippmann flooring system. Switzerland has also had the vision to advance landmark construction projects with Holcim, which will serve generations to come. You can see some examples on this slide. The new transport route through the Alps with the second Gotthard road tunnel, the Roche towers and the extension of the Kunz towers [ Zurich ]. All these projects materialized with Holcim's innovative and sustainable building solutions. These icons of construction you see here and around the arena are just a few of many and everyone at Holcim is proud of the key role we are playing in building the infrastructure, industry and buildings of the future. A future I should add that is happening right now already. So ladies and gentlemen, distinguished shareholders, let me briefly comment on the principles of our strong corporate governance.
A year ago, in May 2025, I took up my position as Chairman of the Board of Directors of Holcim with 6 years prior experience on the Holcim Board of Directors and 9 years as CEO of Danfoss, I'm channeling that commitment and know-how to give my best in my role as Chairman. In many years as CEO already, I have always been hands-on, spending time in the field and the same is the case at Holcim. The same applies to the Board of Directors. I have now moved to Switzerland. So I live here to be closer to the Holcim team and our headquarters. And I regularly spend time actively visiting Holcim's operations from Morocco to the United Arab Emirates and Mexico, where the Holcim spirit is a common thread.
One of my responsibilities, of course, is to ensure that our Board is made up of the most talented, diverse and experienced people possible. In 2025, we added depth welcoming Adolfo Orive and Sven Schneider, both highly accomplished business leaders, and we are delighted to have them as part of the Holcim team. And allow me, ladies and gentlemen, to make a comment regarding today's elections.
As I just pointed out, a strong Board of Directors is Holcim's top priority. I'm, therefore, pleased that all members of the Board of Directors are standing for reelection at this AGM. Subject to their election, Holcim's Board of Directors will continue to consist of 10 members, all of whom are independent.
In addition to ensuring sound and strong corporate governance, we ask the Board of Directors are also responsible for creating value for you, our esteemed shareholders. Over the past years, this is exactly what we have done and we have consistently delivered shareholder value through growth-focused capital allocation and attractive cash returns. 2025 was no exception. Thanks to Holcim's strong profitable growth, the Board of Directors is pleased to propose today an adjusted dividend of CHF 1.70 per share. The dividend is paid out of foreign capital contribution reserves, which means it is fully exempt from Swiss withholding tax.
Of course, alongside with our full year results, we also published our 2025 integrated annual report. And I would like to invite you to read for detailed information on our strategy, financial and sustainability performance governance compensation and more as well as Holcim's 2025 highlights.
To conclude, I would like to thank you all dear shareholders for your trust in us as well as your ongoing commitment to Holcim. Your investment creates the foundation for us to continue to deliver NextGen Growth 2030 and to drive further value creation in 2026 and beyond. Our CEO, Miljan Gutovic and our CFO, Steffen Kindler, will now provide you with a detailed overview of the results for the 2025 fiscal year. I wish you all a great Annual General Meeting and now pass the floor to our CEO, Miljan. Thank you.
Thank you, Kim. Good morning, everyone. It gives me a great pleasure to address you, the shareholders as we reflect on a successful 2025. With our NextGen Growth strategy in full execution, we are deeply grateful for your commitment to Holcim's growth and your faith in our strategy and management.
As Kim mentioned, the absolute highlight of 2025 was the launch of our NextGen growth strategy to be the leading partner for sustainable construction. Thereafter, we built momentum throughout the year, executing our strategy to achieve strong profitable growth. I will give you a brief overview of our 2025 results now and you will hear more details from Steffen later on.
In 2025, we delivered strong, profitable growth and achieved all our targets. As you can see on this slide, we accelerated our recurring EBIT growth in '25, at 10.3% in local currency we exceeded the top end of our guidance. Our industry-leading margin increased by a further 80 basis points to 18.3%. Margin expansion was driven by our high-value strategy, which includes scaling up our sustainable offering, continuously exercising strong cost discipline and enhancing operational efficiency. We generated CHF 2.2 billion in free cash flow with a record cash conversion rate of 54%. Due to our excellent results and the confidence in the outlook, our Board of Directors has proposed a dividend of CHF 1.7, which is not subject to Swiss withholding tax, representing a payout ratio of 53%. So as you can see, Holcim's NextGen Growth 2030 strategy is in full execution.
Since the launch in March '25, everyone at Holcim is committed to deliver a superior performance and value creation for our people, customers and of course, our shareholders. We are focusing our efforts on the 4 strategic drivers of NextGen Growth 2030, which I will cover briefly now. First, we are investing in the most attractive markets through organic investments and value accretive M&A. In 2025, we made acquisitions and continue to generate profitable growth benefiting from the strong fundamentals.
Second, sustainability drove profitable growth in '25 as we scaled sustainable offering powered by premium brands from ECOPact to ECOPlanet. We accelerated initiatives for decarbonization as well as circular construction using our ECOCycle technology while building a nature positive future and reducing freshwater withdrawals.
Third, we are expanding high-value building solutions from foundation and flooring to walling and roofing systems, offering integrated end-to-end solutions across the built environment.
Fourth, we achieved our success in '25, thanks to our deeply embedded performance culture and value creation with our engaged employees focusing on the impeccable execution of our strategy.
And of course, health and safety is our absolute top priority. In 2025, we made significant progress focusing our efforts on achieving 0 harm. With our NextGen Growth strategy, we are delivering superior performance and margin expansion enhancing our lead positions, scaling our sustainable operations [ for our ] premium brands [indiscernible] high-value. As you saw in '25, we have [indiscernible] accretive M&A, the focus on the most attractive markets. All of this is driven by our deeply embedded performance culture. Let's look at this area in more details.
Customer demand for our premium brands, ECOPact and ECOPlanet continues to grow, and they are being used at the scale to build city-shaping projects across the whole world. For example, CityWave in Italy is being built with ECOPact made from ECOPlanet that is even more sustainable due to its use of calcined clay in place of energy-intensive clinker. And the Mohammed VI tower in Morocco is built with ECOPlanet and our energy-efficient insulation foam, Airium.
We are also seeing a strong growth for ECOCycle, our circular technology which we are using to recycle construction demolition materials for using products ranging from cement and concrete to aggregates with no compromise on quality and performance. One landmark recent project built with ECOPact and ECOCycle is Recygenie, a 220-unit social housing project near Paris, France. As the world's first 100% recycled concrete building, all its components, cement, aggregates, even production water were recycled. Overall, using [ ECOPact, ECOCycle ] on these projects saved more than 6,000 tonnes of primary materials. This project demonstrates what we can achieve by working with forward-looking cities to evolve building standards and norms.
Circular construction is a driver of profitable growth, and we are advancing it to build cities from cities and drive profitable growth. In 2025, we made 3 acquisitions and invested organically to grow our circular construction hubs to a total of 109 as we continue to establish them in all the major metropolitan areas where we operate. Over the same period, we grew our net sales from circular construction to close to CHF 500 million, well on our way to our CHF 800 million target for 2030. Organic investments make up an important part of our broad focused capital allocation and in 2025, our capital expenditure amounted to around CHF 400 million. Here, you can see some recent examples that give you some ideas of our priorities.
State-of-the-art cement plants, alternative fuels, grinding investments, calcined clay production and expanding in building solutions in Australia. In Obourg, Belgium, we are in full execution of the first phase of our GO4ZERO carbon capture project, which involves the installation of the next-generation kiln to make this the most efficient state-of-the-art plant in the industry. We will continue to accelerate our long-term CCUS investments. All of these growth investments have very attractive returns and payback.
Next up is value-accretive M&A. We closed 21 value-accretive transactions in 2025 of which 18 were acquisitions and 3 divestments. We made 9 acquisitions to strengthen building materials and 9 to expand high-value building solutions. In Building Solutions, we are growing our addressable market, both organically and via M&A.
In October, we signed an agreement to acquire Xella, a European leader in sustainable and innovative walling systems. Xella is a home to premium sustainable brands, including Ytong, Silka, Hebel and Multipor and is a pioneer in digitally supported construction processes. This strategic acquisition, which we expect to close in H2 this year is a milestone in our vision to be the leading partner for sustainable construction, accelerating Holcim's high-value building solutions in line with our NextGen Growth strategy. Xella will give us a growth platform in a highly attractive walling market worth more than EUR 12 billion with cross-selling and system selling opportunities. I look forward to welcoming Xella's over 4,000 employees to the Holcim family.
In March, we completed the acquisition of majority stake in Cementos Pacasmayo, a leading Peruvian producer of building materials and building solutions and warmly welcome another 2,000 employees. This synergetic acquisition will expand Holcim's presence in Pari and accelerate our growth in Latin America, in line with our NextGen Growth strategy.
Artificial intelligence is transforming the industry, and Holcim is accelerating and scaling up initiatives to unlock incremental value and growth, improving performance and driving customer services. We are unlocking its benefits focusing on 4 core areas: production, logistics, commercial and administration. Holcim will deliver benefit from AI of around CHF 200 million by '28 reflecting both cost savings and cost avoidance. To achieve this, we will make growth investments of around CHF 20 million per year. We are deploying 38 large-scale AI initiatives across our business from our Holcim M-Predict intelligence for optimizing production processes and equipment performance to our Holcim Foresight tool that optimizes our transport fleet and network utilization.
Another example include Holcim+, our AI-powered platform that offers customers a 24/7 service with real-time tracking and demand forecasting. And our internal career hub tool matches Holcim's people with business opportunities to create value and to nurture talent.
Finally, a note or two on our deeply embedded performance culture. You can see some really impressive statistics on this slide. Ultimately thought our results don't come down to statistics. They come down to the people who work for Holcim. We want Holcim to be the best workplace where talent is nurtured, employees are engaged and innovation is encouraged. Our commitment to this vision is reflected in Holcim's recognition as a global top employer by Top Employers Institute in 2025 and again in '26. Through Holcim University, our in-house business school, we provided almost 3,000 of our people with best-in-class training in '25. With our focus on accountability and empowerment through the Holcim Spirit, our more than 45,000 employees are delivering value in all economic cycles and market conditions.
As we continue to go full speed on NextGen growth, there are many external factors influencing our markets that we cannot control, such as the evolving geopolitical landscape. What we can do is to control the controllables and eliminate complacency wherever we find it. We did this successfully in '25, achieving best-in-class performance an industry-leading margin of 18.3%. And we have consistently done so through the period that includes COVID, energy crisis, challenging market condition and carbon price volatility. We are confident that we can keep the same momentum on our NextGen Growth execution and performance in 2026. This is why our outlook remains positive, underpinned by the global megatrends that are central to our high-growth strategy.
So what is our outlook? Net sales and recurring EBIT growth, fully in line with our NextGen growth targets, 3% to 5% organic net sales growth, 8% to 10% organic recurring EBIT growth. Further increase of our recurring EBIT margin. Free cash flow before leases of around CHF 2 billion and more than 20% growth in recycled construction and demolition materials.
These shareholders, as Kim mentioned, 2025 was a transformative year. And as a result, Holcim is stronger than ever. We are grateful for your commitment and energized by our partnership as we continue our shared growth journey together. Now I will hand over to Steffen, who will cover Holcim's excellent performance in 2025 in greater depth. Thank you.
Thank you, Miljan. Good morning. ladies and gentlemen, from my side [Foreign language]. I would also like to extend a warm welcome to everyone who is attending at our AGM today, both online and those in person here in Zug. As Miljan said, Holcim achieved excellent performance in the 2025 fiscal year. Our results mean that we are well positioned for future success. Today, I'm delighted to share with you how we are creating shareholder value at Holcim consistently and reliably. Since Miljan has just covered many of these highlights, I will pick up on just a few.
Let's start with the over-proportional growth of our recurring EBIT, earnings before interest and tax which was up 10.3% for the year. This exceeded our 6% to 10% long-term guidance and led to a margin increase of 80 basis points to an industry-leading margin, as we call it, of 18.3%. Let me remind you this is the ratio between the EBIT and the sales. Such progress is a confirmation of the quality of our commercial execution, operational excellence and strict cost discipline. These qualities are also reflected in the free cash flow of CHF 2.2 billion and the EPS growth of 5%. EPS is earnings per share.
Let's now look at our profitability in more detail. This chart shows that we have consistently expanded our recurring EBIT or earnings before interest and tax, which is now well above CHF 2.8 billion along with our industry-leading recurring EBIT margin and now I'll just like to explain. Our margin expansion is driven by our high-value strategy as we scale up our sustainable offering, while keeping a strong focus on cost discipline as well as operational excellence. Other factors for this profitable growth include decarbonization and circular construction underpinned above all by our strong culture of performance and value creation. Our disciplined financial management extends beyond the operational performance, which is measured by the recurring EBIT and it applies to the entire profit and loss statement, including items like financing cost and nonoperational expenditure. This ultimately leads the growth of our earnings per share, or EPS, which is up 5% in Swiss francs from 2024. You can see that by all bottom line measures, we are generating superior profitable growth.
Next, you can see the development of our free cash flow in 2025, which is well aligned with our long-term target of around CHF 2 billion. In the last 4 years, Holcim reliably delivered superior free cash flow with a cash conversion rate consistently above 50%. Cash conversion means to term balance sheet profits into cash. That's the ratio of free cash flow to EBITDA. This is driven by a strong EBITDA, the profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, our focus on working capital, financing costs and other cash-relevant items.
Last but not least, we have a disciplined approach to capital expenditure. We prioritize those projects with high returns and ensure budget discipline.
Let me now talk about the balance sheet. Our net debt leverage ratio closed at 2025 had a comfortable 0.9x. This will provide Holcim with sufficient financial flexibility to execute the acquisitions that we have announced. It will also give us the ability to navigate all economic cycles while continuing to invest in profitable growth through CapEx and M&A and offer attractive shareholder returns. While debt leverage might increase in 2026 due to the acquisitions, we remain committed to a healthy balance sheet and a net debt leverage of below 1.5x over the long term with an investment-grade credit rating.
Holcim is investing for growth, together with our disciplined approach to CapEx, while delivering steadily increasing profits, which result in increasing ROIC, return on invested capital. Hence, our return on invested capital continues to tick up year-on-year, reaching 11.2% in 2025 [indiscernible] holding capital. This represents a payout ratio of [ 63% ] at the post-tax dividend yield of [ 24% ] after tax which places us in the upper third of the SMI companies. Our culture of performance and value creation is also reflected in our share price. Holcim was the best performer in the SMI 2025 and the next slide outlines our growth-focused capital allocation in 2030.
We would like to thank you for your sustained confidence in Holcim, and we look forward to extending these successes in the future. Thank you.
Thank you, Miljan and Steffen. Dear shareholders, on behalf of my 45,000 colleagues, I'd like to extend my thanks to -- for your trust in Holcim. You have a great share in the successful development of Holcim over the past years, your trust, your support and your commitment are the fundament on which we want to continue building.
Ladies and gentlemen, you now have the opportunity to ask questions and we're happy to answer all of them. Some persons have already stepped up to the speaker's desk, and I will call upon the speakers to step up. Please introduce yourself with your name and your place of residence. Please be brief. If we have too many speakers or if speakers speak for too long, I would have to limit the speaking time. We will call upon speakers on the respective agenda items. And I'd like to draw your attention to the fact that this assembly is being recorded on video and it's being broadcast in a web stream. With this, let's get started with the questions, please.
Our first question comes from Mr. Kaufmann from Ethos.
Dear Mr. Chairman, members of the Board, dear fellow shareholders. I'm speaking today on behalf of the Ethos Foundation representing more than 250 Swiss pension funds. Let me start by congratulating the management team and thanks to the 45,000 employees for the very good results achieved in 2025. I would also like to thank the Board and especially the sustainability team for the very good dialogue we have year after year.
I would like to address 3 topics this morning. The climate vote, our concerns about the pace of cement decarbonization and executive remuneration. Let me start with the climate vote.
We regret the Board decision to discontinue the separate vote on the climate report. Given the critical importance of climate change for Holcim's business and for the long-term value of our investment, we believe that distinct vote on climate strategy and sustainability reporting allow us to send differentiated signal on topic that, of course, are connected, but require a different response. We have noted the Board commitment to all the climate vote periodically or in the event of material change in strategy. We ask the Board to give this commitment greater clarity by pledging to hold such a vote at least every 3 years to ensure sufficient board accountability on this material topic.
Dear shareholders, let me now turn to what I believe is the most strategically important question for the long-term value of this company, the pace of cement reformulation. Ethos acknowledges the progress Holcim has made in reducing its greenhouse gas emission, and we recognize that the 2030 target appear both credible and primarily driven by product reformulation, but we have serious doubts about how the 2050 targets will be met. 44% of the plan Scope 1 and 2 reduction by 2050 rely on carbon capture, usage and storage. These technologies have not yet demonstrated their viability at industrial scale and betting nearly half of our long-term climate strategy on them is a risk that ultimately fall on us to shareholders. We believe the answer lies in a far more ambitious reduction on the clinker content in cement and the technology to do so already exist. Holcim's own annual report states its intention to reduce the clinker factor from 70% today to 65% by 2030. That is just 5 percentage points over 5 years. Independent analysis show that the pathway consistent with 1.5 degree would require reaching about 50% clinker ratio by 2035. Dear shareholders, the long-term interest of the room is with a quicker shift, a faster transition, protect asset values, reduce regulatory risk and positional Holcim ahead of competition.
This brings me to the definition of low-carbon cement. Holcim qualifies ECOPlanet as a cement reducing emissions by at least 30% compared to CEM1, so the most carbon-intensive cement on the market. This is a low bar. At the time when Holcim has aligned its nonfinancial reporting with the EU taxonomy, we asked, why not also align the ECOPlanet definition with the carbon intensity threshold set by the same taxonomy. This lead me to a broader structural concern, one that goes to the heart of whether Holcim's public commitment are matched by its actions behind closed door. Holcim is an active member of CEMBUREAU and GCCA, the two main European Cement Industry Association. This association exerts a decisive influence on the development of standards which governs what cement can legally be sold in Europe. Dear shareholders, independent analysis have shown that this association are slowing the transition towards performance-based standards. standards that would open the European market to clinker-free cement such as Alkali-activated cement. These alternatives already exist, are commercially available in Australia and U.S. and emit 75% to 90% less CO2 than the [ potent ] cement that Holcim selling. Europe will not have a harmonized standard for them before 2030 at the earliest due partially to the pressure of the association. We asked about directly how the position Holcim defense within CEMBUREAU and GCCA are consistent with its public climate commitment. And if performance based standards were adopted, enabling clinker-free cement to compete freely in Europe, at which pace, Holcim clinker [ cleans ] could become stranded assets. Dear shareholders, this is a material financial risk, and we are entitled to know how it is being managed.
Let me close with executive compensation. Last year, Ethos raised serious concern about the excessive leverage embedded in Holcim's performance option plan. Our analysis shows that former CEO, Mr. Jenisch, was able to realize close to CHF 40 million through the exercise of option received in 2020, a leverage effect of more than 30x the grand value. Those figures have since been confirmed in the 2025 annual report of not Holcim but Amrize. Amrize has disclosed full disclosure of realized remuneration option exercise. That information remains entirely absent from Holcim's own remuneration report. That is not acceptable. And the option granted in 2025 carries the same structural risk. On the reasonable market scenarios, the leverage effect could again generate realized remuneration that bears no meaningful relationship with long-term value creation. Our position is clear. The performance option plan must be discontinued. It does not reflect the long-term vision this industry demands. Dear shareholders, in a sector where the industrial transformation unfold over decades remuneration structure should reward patient sustainable value creation, not short-term share price movements. We, therefore, ask the remuneration committed directly, is the board prepared to commit to discontinuing the performance option plan for 2026 and to presenting full realized remuneration included the value at exercise a vested option in next year's remuneration report? The 3 topics I have raised this morning, climate ambition, lobbying strategy and remuneration design are connected by a single thread, the long-term interest of the company, the stakeholders and us, the shareholders. Thank you for your attention.
Thank you very much. And we were in contact prior to this AGM, Mr. Kaufmann, as you remember. You asked a long list of questions that were highly detailed and I'll take them on one by one. Let's begin with the climate vote, your first comment. In our climate report and our nonfinancial reports were integrated and united to our sustainability reports. This is voluntary and in agreement with EU guidelines. There's transparency and there's consistency in our sustainability report in our business report, 2025. We had a more detailed reporting even shareholders are further in a position to vote on the sustainability report, they will be able to approve of it. And I can add that there will also be further regular votes on climate issues. And I hope I have made clear that this is so.
And on your second question then. About our sustainability offer. What I can tell you is this. Our offer in matters of sustainability is by far the broadest, widest in the industry. And together with ECOPact and ECOPlanet, we are further expanding this offer. Sustainability is a driver of profitable growth. It is core of our strategy at Holcim. And we're fully committed Obviously, this is tailored to local markets, and we have a CO2 reduction of at least 30% with these brands. But they can do more, far more. Many of you are declaring their CO2 -- we're declaring our CO2 footprint in our reporting. We're reporting in line with EU taxonomy and dividing by their criteria. I would therefore say that sustainability is at the very heart of our strategy, and we're fully committed to achieving our goals there.
On your third question then. Obviously, you've asked a question at a very detailed level. And I would say we should keep the dialogue open, obviously, where we can address all these details. These details are a bit difficult to address at this AGM. But Holcim is committed, actively committed to develop political framework conditions to achieve the [ 1.5 ] target of Paris. We're fully committed to drive this goal, as you say, Holcim is a founding member of GCCA, and it is also a member in other associations also CEMBUREAU. Both associations have a time line to achieving net zero by 2050 in accordance with the Paris Agreement. Holcim are actively verifying the alignment of the positions in these associations that have an impact on the company. You can rely on the fact that we're actively cooperating there. And we are of the opinion that we are on a good path there.
Your fourth point on structural performance options. What can I say? That we have very strong performance culture at Holcim. And over the past years, we have generated value added for all our stakeholders with a focus on total shareholder return, the structure of performance options are geared to NextGen growth strategy and targeted to reaching [ shareholder ] value goals. The leverage is a necessary feature. It's not deficiency because it helps achieving long-term shareholder values. On all compensation matters, we follow strictest guidelines that are also confirmed by our auditors. I would conclude by saying that our compensation approach is fully in line with our NextGen Growth strategy 2030, attempts to achieve maximum long-term shareholder value as we have done in the past.
With that, thank you very much. And again, we are always open for continuation of our dialogue on these important issues.
Next question will be asked by Mr. Van Pernis from Actares.
Ladies and gentlemen. My name is Frank Van Pernis from Bassersdorf in Switzerland. I take the floor on behalf of Actares, Swiss Association for shareholders favoring stronger corporate responsibility. Our shareholders' association is pleased to note the good results of Holcim's business year 2025. Despite a decline in profits, the share price rose significantly in the second half of 2025. It fell back somewhat at the beginning of 2026, but appear to have recovered in recent weeks.
I'd like to speak about the legal situation. During recent years, Holcim has shifted away from low-margin cement production into building materials with better margins. The sale of cement plants, mainly in Asia, the spin-off of Amrize in the U.S.A. and the acquisition of new companies helped to improve the margins, except for the sale of the Nigerian business. This leads me to my first question. Has Holcim been able to get rid of all the skeletons in the closet acquired through its merger with Lafarge? Are there still any risks of getting involved in legal complaints for instance, like the Syrian problems of Lafarge?
The products of Holcim. Holcim is proud of those buildings constructed with its new products. My question is, what is the life expectancy of these products? And how does it influence the building industry? It would, of course, be a waste if these buildings had to be replaced at [ two shirts ] time intervals, considering the amount of gray energy invested in them.
As for social responsibility, it doesn't extend only to Holcim shareholders, its employees and its customers, but also to many other stakeholders. Actares approves the projects initiated to accelerate the process of CO2 use and storage that underline Holcim's efforts on behalf of the environment for the air, for the earth, for water, for local communities. The earth, firstly, due to biotope destruction, sand and gravel extraction, it becomes necessary to renature the sites as soon as they are abandoned. I just would like to mention the Haller Park in Mombasa in Kenya and the renaturing, accomplished around the village of Huntwangen in Switzerland as projects that show the way. Does Holcim have more projects like these in store in other parts of the world?
As for the year, Actares strongly encourages Holcim to control and reduce air pollution caused by dust and CO2 and to switch to alternative fuels like waste products. As for water, attention should also be paid through water consumption and ground water level as well as to waste, water treatment and recycling.
And last but not least, local communities. These have to include Lori traffic improvement of road safety, noise reduction, but also engagement on behalf of local communities affected by Holcim activities.
And then we have the -- still the problem of the compensations. It's a sociological problem that remains to be solved, the high compensations paid out to members of the Board and directors. You have surely heard of the Gini coefficient. If you compare the average salary of a manager to that of the CEO, it might take a manager his whole working life to earn as much as the CEO earns in one year, not to speak, of course, of workmen, drivers and for small shareholders, this is difficult to understand. Therefore, my question, the compensation committee is competent to avoid excessive salaries and bonuses. It wouldn't be a good policy for Holcim's reputation in the sense of worldwide corporate responsibility to act as a pioneer and moderate its compensation and bonus budget to a fair level. Thank you for your attention.
Thank you very much for your comments and for your questions, Mr. Van Pernis. First of all, I'd like to thank you for the praise, the appreciation for the team of Holcim which indeed has performed excellently in 2026. And I'm happy for your appreciation of this. Thank you.
On your first question then, as to Lafarge. I'd like to state that this case refers to the behavior of Lafarge 10 years ago prior to the merger with Holcim. At the time of the merger, such behavior had been kept silent by Lafarge purposely so. To address your question, Holcim really has a very strong corporate culture, and it acts according to highest moral standards without any compromise. Lafarge will further address -- have to address this. Holcim will be acting responsibly and the ongoing procedures will go on, and we will accompany them.
On quality then. You asked as to the quality for sustainable products. You asked about life expectancy. What will it look like in the future? Well, let me say the following on quality. We do not make any compromise with regard to the quality of our products. We keep up the quality throughout the entire range of our products. All our products have exactly the same resilient solidity as all other products. There is no compromise here whatsoever. And that is one of the reasons why we have seen such a strong growing demand by our customers for these products, we can fully trust in the life of these products, and therefore, in the future of these products. We take our responsibility very seriously. And we -- the results we achieved are indeed benchmarked.
Alternative fuel has been -- have been used to 39%. We have reduced water consumption by 25% and this is also industry-leading. And this is also true with regard to communities. We annually invest massively in our neighborhoods, EUR 18.4 million in 2025 for education, first of all, then also accommodation and health. These are investments that are not just a transformation we deliver also in terms of figures, that, Mr. Van Pernis, we're fully committed.
On compensation then, I repeat what I said before, when I replied the question raised first, but still we're happy to take your contact details to continue this discussion separately. I think you will understand why I do not repeat my answer from before.
With that, we move to the next question. Next speaker is from Mr. [ Nyar Ardenti ] from HEKS.
Chairman, Mr. Fausing, members of the Board of Directors, distinguished shareholders. My name is [ Ivan Nyar Ardenti ] from Fribourg in Switzerland. I work at HEKS, which is the charity of evangelical churches in Switzerland. On the 17th of December 2025, the Cantonal Court of Zug passed a historic ruling, it admitted the climate complaint of the people from the Pari, the Indonesian Island, Pari against Holcim. The claim is admitted on all accounts. Just to remind you, the claimants ask for compensation from Holcim for climate damage based on Holcim's contribution to global climate change, number two, a reduction of Holcim's CO2 emissions compatible with the objective to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees. And number three, financial contribution to flood protection measures on the Indonesian Island of Pari. The Cantonal Court of Zug confirmed with its ruling that climate change isn't exempt from legislation. These people have the right to claim their right at a court, the ruling of the Cantonal Court of Zug rejects Holcim's position that climate protection claims need to be dealt with on a political level only and cannot be dealt with on a jurisdictional level. That's a quote from the law and they are a complement to the political discussions. They do not replace this political discussion. This is a wake-up call, ladies and gentlemen, around the world, calls are increasingly willing to investigate the responsibility of international companies. Holcim is one of the biggest CO2 emitters worldwide. And therefore, for all shareholders, this is not just a legal issue, but also a moral and strategic challenge. Holcim advertises its net zero objective for 2050. But doesn't really have a path to reduce CO2 emission that is really in line with this 1.5-degree objective. And Holcim refuses to comment on the impact of CO2 emissions in the past since 1950. Holcim has emitted 7.5 billion tonnes of CO2 into the atmosphere, which is twice as much as Switzerland and since the industrialization began these massive CO2 emissions by Holcim contributed to the damages claimed by the 4 Indonesian claimants.
So my question to you, Mr. Chairman, are as follows. What is Holcim BOD's position on the ruling of the Cantonal Court of Zurich to admit the claim? You will probably say, you cannot comment on a pending case. I'm asking you a second question. Do you recognize that Holcim as a global cement manufacturer bears responsibility for the global climate crisis and damage to our climate and therefore, ought to contribute to compensating for these climate damages? Thank you very much for your answers.
Thank you very much, Mr. [ Nyar Ardenti ]. First of all, let me tell you that climate change is a global challenge. It's a superior challenge. And I think our position is also clear. It is the legislator's mandate to regulate things such as CO2 emissions. And it is not the mandate -- and as we see it, you just gave the answer yourself, it's not the mandate of an individual court. We live in a democracy, and we need to clarify this issue as part of this democratic process. This is the position that we stand by.
Unfortunately, this now is a pending case, which is why we cannot give you any detailed information. But I would still like to comment on it briefly, if I may. Holcim attributes top priority to sustainability in its business. And if you want to have an external view on our sustainability activities, you will see that we have a global leader position confirmed by independent sustainability ratings, CDP, for example, and other rating institutions. So I can assure you that sustainability is at the core of our strategy. It was yesterday. It is today, and it will be tomorrow. But I cannot comment on the specific case. I'm really sorry to say that we now have a pending case here, so I refuse to comment. Thank you very much.
The next question comes from Mrs. Kalman from Chinox AG.
Chairman, Distinguished shareholders, my name is Petra Kalman from Budapest, Hungary. I am a shareholder of the Swiss Chinox AG which in itself is a shareholder of Holcim, and I also represent HEJoCSABA, the Hungarian cement factory. For many, many years, we have been speaking at every Annual General Meeting and have reported about the outrageous behavior of Holcim at the Hungarian cement factories about the disappropriation of shares of the Hungarian stakeholders, about the exclusion of Hungarian stakeholders from their possession in the factory about preventing legally imposed reposition of the original state about the decade-long operation of the factory owned by a third party without paying any royalties. We have reported about realizing profits in the millions, about the exploitation and cutting of the factory, about preventing an extension of the factory by preventing the new operations in the factory, about evasion to pay damages, about preventing to pay damages for 3 decades.
Ladies and gentlemen, we have presented, disclosed these facts. And the history is well known. Two years ago at the Annual General Meeting, we very explicitly mentioned the wrongdoing and explained that Holcim has misused or abused it's leading position to set up a network of corruption, which extends to all areas of power and has as its objective, to undermine the operation of an independent Hungarian cement factory. Now this is a process which is going on for 32 years, outrageous behavior going on for 32 years. Holcim felt it was necessary to file a criminal lawsuit against our company, Chinox and against me personally. At the last Annual General Meeting, one year ago, I reminded everyone of my previous speak and the -- and then informed the Annual General Meeting about all the details. The result was the same. Holcim felt unhappy about the corruption case and again, placed a -- or filed a lawsuit at the Cantonal Court, a criminal lawsuit. These proceedings have been going on for two years. However, corruption, as we know, is not something done by individual perpetrators. The land slide, a position victory in Hungary will perhaps speed up the process that Holcim's partners will actually mention its core collaborators and uncover the wrongdoing and finally bring this case to a conclusion. Thank you very much for your attention.
Thank you, Mrs. Kalman. For more than 20 years, you use the AGM to make wrong claims in front of the shareholders. And in the last two years, you went as far as to criticize us for corruption. As you just did, again. On behalf of Holcim, I can tell you, clearly, we do not accept these claims. They are wrong, and they damage Holcim's good reputation. It's just not okay for you to say such things, and we will continue to fight against such claims. You can be sure about that. Thank you.
Thank you. We'll move on to the next question, which comes from Mr. Maloone.
Ladies and gentlemen, my name is Thomas [ Maloone ] from [indiscernible] and I speak as a private shareholder. I have no written speech prepared. Now we heard speeches about big issues. Compared to that, I just have some minor points. First of all -- for the last couple of years, what they have achieved in every sense. My next point is a comment, not a question. The voting material that was sent to us, my feeling is this, there is a lot about the statutory proceedings of the Annual General Meeting, but something is missing, actual figures for shareholders to prepare about the business operations as just presented by the CFO, but also specific figures on compensation, which is a separate item. The previous speakers have picked up on compensation, time and time again. And I have to say on Swiss average for an industrial company's compensation is very high at Holcim. And other companies, all the Swiss companies with international operations manage to actually put the figures into the voting documents and comment on them, which helps everyone, the shareholders present at the meeting to prepare properly for the votings. And it shouldn't be the shareholders' duty to go and look for this information. You have an annual report, which is 250 pages is strong. And on Pages 174 or 148, we have all the compensation. Wouldn't it be possible just to present this as a slide because you know in advance, this is going to be a controversial point. So why don't you communicate these figures openly and actively?
Thank you very much, Mr. [ Maloone ]. We take note of your comments. Thank you also for the words of appreciation you said at the very beginning. If it's okay with you, let me propose the following. Just give us your contact details at the registration desk, and one of our team members will contact you so that we can make sure we take note of all of your points. Thank you very much.
Are there any further contributions?
I think there is somebody approaching the [indiscernible]. Mr. [indiscernible], I think this is, a well-known face.
Chairman, ladies and gentlemen, shareholders, [indiscernible]. I was really annoyed to hear what the representative from HEKS had said that funds were misappropriated. Do you really believe in what you're saying? Do you believe in what you're saying to make claims against companies? HEKS is a charity of protestant churches, whether protestant or catholic, you also get money from companies and you accept [indiscernible]. You are heretical and this is what I don't like. HEKS, the charity of protestant churches or catholic churches, I don't mind, you have plenty of work to do to look into your own books to try and find skeletons in your own closet. What did we do well over the past few years and what mistakes did we make? I don't need to mention what news reports put forward on the churches, be it protestant churches or Catholic churches. And now you take the money you get from companies to misappropriate these funds to the benefit of your belief or your faith. As you just heard, Holcim does a great deal. And Holcim doesn't take any prisoners, it makes no compromises. As the Chairman just said, when dealing with sustainability and environmentally friendly products. But no, what does HEKS do? It takes the money it gets from donations and misappropriate them. And also takes the money from others and isn't respectful enough with regard to the funds from companies and then attacks those companies it takes money from. With time, I'm convinced that the catholic churches and protestant churches will no longer get any money from company. In certain continents, this is already the case. And I hope that such people will rethink what their actual job is and stop doing things that are inappropriate. Thank you very much.
[Foreign Language]
Any other speakers? This is not the case. No further requests to take the floor. With this, we move on to the individual businesses.
In accordance with our Articles of Association, I will chair the meeting. I've appointed Mr. Lukas Studer as Secretary. I will now formally make all necessary statements. Today's AGM was convened in accordance with the law and the Articles of Association observing the statutory 20-day notice period. The invitation was published on April 13, 2026 in the Swiss Official Gazette of Commerce and it was also available on our website. Shareholders registered as entitled to vote and the Holcim AG share registered were personally invited. The agenda contains all items required in the ordinary course of business. No requests to add items to the agenda within the meaning of Article 11, Paragraph 3 of the articles of association were submitted. On behalf of the independent proxy, I hereby inform you that in accordance with Article 689c of the Swiss Code of Obligations should provide the Board of Directors with a general overview of the instructions received on May 9, 2026. Electronic voting is also planned for this year. Upon entry, you received a voting device. Before we now move to the individual agenda items, I would briefly like to explain to you how to use the voting the advice.
Press the green button on top to vote, yes. Press the red button at the bottom to vote no, press the yellow button in the middle to abstain. When we move to electronic votes, all 3 buttons will light up a few seconds before the vote begins. This should be the case with your device right now. If this is not the case, please press the top button for 2 seconds. If the buttons still do not light up after 2 seconds, please stand up and raise your hand. Our staff will be happy to assist you. Also, if any problems were to arise during the meeting. As soon as the countdown begins on the screen, please cast your vote. The results will be displayed on the screen once they've been tallied. Counting Committee has recorded attendance and I ask that the results be displayed.
We have decided on vote counters also. You see their names projected. They would be acting in their function if the -- if any issues were to arise with the electronic voting and they also assist you should you have any problem with your voting device. I'd like to point out that all resolutions of today's AGM must be passed by a majority of the votes represented. Let's now begin with the individual businesses.
First on the agenda is the management report, the consolidated financial statements and the annual financial statements for 2025 of Holcim AG. The integrated annual report '25 was sent to you upon your request. It's also been available on our website since February 27. Miljan Gutovic and Steffen Kindler today provided additional comments on business performance and outlined the outlook. Our auditor, [indiscernible], have audited the consolidated financial statements. The report on the statements can be found starting on Page 82 of the financial reports, the report on the annual financial statement starting Page 97 of the financial reports. Representative of our auditors informed us prior to the start of this meeting that they have no further comments to make. The Board of Directors, therefore, proposes that the management report, the consolidated statement and the annual financial statements of Holcim AG 2025 be approved. Any comments on this?
This is not the case. We, therefore, will move to the vote. Time is running now. Thank you.
[Voting]
Thank you. Vote is closed. Time is up. We are waiting for the result. Take note of the fact that you've approved of the management report, consolidated statements and the annual financial statements for 2025 of Holcim AG. Thank you so much.
The shareholders will shortly proceed to the consultative vote on the compensation report. Let me first explain our compensation strategy and the compensation programs for the Board of Directors and the Executive Board of Holcim. To strengthen the independence of the members of the Board of Directors in fulfilling their supervisory duties vis-a-vis management, they receive only fixed compensation. They're not entitled to performance-based compensation. If they are covered by the pension plan, they must bear the full costs themselves. The Board compensation consists of an annual Board fee as Chairman or as member as well as fees for membership on the Board's committees. 50% of the annual fixed compensation is paid in cash and 50% in shares. The shares are subject to a 5-year lockup period. In addition, committee fees and an expense allowance are paid in cash. The compensation model for the Executive Board consists of 3 main elements: fixed compensation and annual bonus and a long-term incentive. The fixed compensation consists of the salary for the position as well as fringe benefits, as participation in pension plans. The annual bonus rewards the annual financial results of the group and the regions. Both absolute results and the company's performance relative to the market are taken into account. Furthermore, the annual bonus includes targets in the areas of health, safety and the environment and the group and regional levels to account for the important aspect of a safe workplace for our employees. The annual bonus is subject to a cap and is paid out half in cash and half in shares. The shares are subject to a 3-year vesting period. The long-term incentive plan rewards the company's long-term performance and strengthens the alignment with shareholder interests. It consists of shares and options. The shares are subject to a 3-year performance period and the options to a 5-year performance period. The final number of shares and options depends on the company's performance during the performance period and is also subject to a cap. Variable compensation is subject to for feature and callback provisions. Under certain conditions, variable compensation may be forfeited or even reclaimed Furthermore, members of the Executive Board are expected to build up and hold a minimum stake in Holcim shares over time in alignment with shareholder interests.
The Board of Directors is convinced the compensation model is balanced and well aligned with the interest of our shareholders. The compensation report describes the compensation system related programs for the Board of Directors and for the Executive Board. The report also provides information on the compensation awarded to the Executive Board and the Board of Directors for fiscal 2025. Remuneration to the Board of Directors for the period from AGM 2025 to the AGM 2026 amounted to CHF 4.2 million, which was within the approved maximum of total CHF 4.5 million. Remuneration to the Executive Board for the business year 2025, amounting to CHF 21.6 million is within the approved maximum total amount of CHF 32 million. Details can be found in the compensation report 2025. Ladies and gentlemen, I'd like to ask you to raise any questions or comments regarding the remuneration system for the Executive Board and the Board of Directors. Any questions or comments?
If there are no questions or comments, we will proceed with a vote under agenda item 1.2. The Board proposes that the 2025 compensation report be approved in a consultative vote. We will vote now. Time's running.
[Voting]
Time is up. Vote is closed. We'll wait for the result. I take note of the fact that you have approved the Holcim AG compensation report for fiscal 2025 in a consultative vote. Thank you.
Under agenda Item 1.3, we will vote on our sustainability report. In the sustainability report, we have now combined the report on nonfinancial matters and the climate report on which you voted separately last year. Unlike last year, you will be voting on the sustainability report in a binding manner.
The report discloses our strategy, our goals and our implementation regarding sustainability. It provides you with a sound basis for assessing whether we're managing environmental, social and governance risks responsibly. Selected information has been audited by Ernst and Young, the corresponding audit report can be found on Pages 134 to 136 of the sustainability report. Any comments on this? That does not appear to be the case. We therefore proceed to the vote. Please vote now.
[Voting]
Time's up. The vote is closed. Let's wait for the result. I take note of the fact that shareholders have approved of the sustainability report for fiscal '25 of Holcim. We now proceed with the next agenda item, discharge the members of the Board of Directors and the Executive Board.
The Board proposes that the members of the Board of Directors and the Executive Board be granted discharge for their activities in fiscal 2025. I expressly point out the persons who participated in the management of the company do not have voting rights for the resolution on the discharge of the Board of Directors and the Executive Board. The number of shares are presented has already been reduced accordingly in the system. Any requests to speak on this? This seems not to be the case. Please vote now. Time's running.
[Voting]
Time's up. Vote's closed. Let's wait for the result. I take note of the fact that you have granted discharge to members of the Board and the Executive Board for their activities in fiscal 2025. Thank you.
Let's now turn to the appropriation of profits. Board of Directors proposes a distribution from capital contribution reserves this year. This requires two steps. As a first step, the Board proposes to carry forward the retained earnings of CHF 13.571 million to the new fiscal year. Any comments on agenda Item 3.1? This seems not to be the case. Please vote now.
[Voting]
Vote's closed. Let's wait for the results. I take note of the fact that you have followed the proposal of the Board regarding the appropriation of retained earnings. We move on to step 2.
This year, the Board of Directors proposes to distribute a cash dividend of CHF 1.70 per registered share to shareholders from the capital contribution reserves. The total amount of the distribution not to exceed CHF 964 million is based on the total number of outstanding shares. The shares held by the company and its subsidiaries. No distribution will be made on the shares held by the company's subsidiaries the amount of the payout is reduced accordingly. Any comments on this? This is not the case. We move on to the vote. Time's running.
[Voting]
I close the vote. Let's wait for the results. I note that you have approved the Board of Directors' proposal to distribute a cash dividend of CHF 1.70 per registered share, up to a maximum of CHF 964 million. Cash dividend is expected to be paid on May 21, 2026. We move on to reelections. This is the reelection of the members of the Board of Directors to reelection as Chairman of the board, reelection of the members of the Nomination, Compensation and Governance Committee and the reelection of the auditors and the independent proxy. I ask you to raise any comments regarding all the elections listed under agenda item 4. Any requests to speak at this time? I take note of the fact that there are no requests to speak. Let us, therefore, begin with the reelections of the members of the Board of Directors as the term of office for all members and with today's AGM.
First reelection concerns me. For this reason, I ask Claudia Sender Ramirez to take over. Claudia, please.
Thank you. Kim Fausing has been a member of the Board of Directors since 2020 and has been elected the Chairman of the Board of Directors at last year's Annual General Meeting. The Board of Directors proposes Kim Fausing to be reelected as a Board member and as Chairman of the Board of Directors for a further term of office of one year, expiring upon completion of the Annual General Meeting 2027. We start the vote.
[Voting]
I close the vote. I confirm that you have approved the reelection of Kim Fausing as a member of the Board of Directors and his reelection as Chairman. Congratulations, Kim and back at you.
Thank you very much, Claudia. Thank you very much for your trust. We will now proceed with the remaining elections. The Board of Directors proposes that all other members of the Board of Directors standing for reelection be reelected for the next term of office until the conclusion of the next AGM '27. You were able to view the details of all candidates on the Holcim website. Therefore, I will not be introducing the candidates during the selection proceedings. We will conduct the elections individually, one after another in a single round. Again, pay attention to the count down during the election of each candidate as projected on the screen. I will announce the overall election results at the end of this voting process. I now open the reelection of the remaining candidates.
First, we will consider the reelection of Professor Dr. Philippe Block as member of the Board of Directors. Time is running now.
[Voting]
Next, the reelection of Leanne Geale, time's running now.
[Voting]
Next up, the reelection of Catrin Hinkel.
[Voting]
Next up, the reelection of Naina Lal Kidwai. Time's running now.
[Voting]
Next up, the reelection of Dr. Ilias Laber. Please now.
[Voting]
Next is the reelection of Michael McGarry. Time's running now.
[Voting]
Next, the reelection of Adolfo Orive.
[Voting]
Next, the reelection of Claudia Sender Ramirez. Please, now.
[Voting]
And the reelection of Dr. Sven Schneider. Please, now.
[Voting]
I hereby close the election round, and let's wait for the results.
Dear shareholders, I hereby declare that you have approved the election of all members of the Board of Directors standing for reelection. On behalf of the Board of Directors, I thank you for the trust you have placed on its members. Thank you.
All the reelected members of the Board of Directors have informed me prior to the election that they will accept their reelection. This brings us to the reelection of the members of the Nomination, Compensation and Governance Committee, whose terms of office expire at today's Annual General Meeting. The Board of Directors proposes that all members of the Nomination, Compensation and Governance Committee who are standing for reelection, be reelected for a further term of one year until the close of the Annual General Meeting in 2027. Hereto, we will conduct the elections individually, but in a single round. Please also note the countdown during the election of the respective candidate, the countdown will be projected on the screen. I will again announce the overall election results here at the end of the voting round.
I now open the election. First, we come to the reelection of Leanne Geale as a member of the Nomination, Compensation and Governance Committee. Countdown is on.
[Voting]
Next, is the reelection of Dr. Ilias Laber. Countdown starts now.
[Voting]
Next is the reelection of Michael McGarry. Countdown starts now.
[Voting]
Next is the reelection of Claudia Sender Ramirez. Countdown starts now.
[Voting]
I close the ballot, and we wait for the results. I note that you have approved the reelection of all members of the Nomination, Compensation and Governance Committee. Thank you very much. This brings us to the reelection of the auditors.
The Board of Directors once again proposes Ernst & Young AG Zurich as the auditors for the 2026 fiscal year. Ernst & Young AG has confirmed in writing that it accepts the mandate for the financial year 2026. We now proceed to the vote. Countdown starts now.
[Voting]
I close the ballot. We wait for the result. I note that you have appointed Ernst & Young AG as the auditors for the 2026 financial year. Finally, the independent proxy has to be elected as well.
The Board of Directors proposes Dr. Sabine Burkhalter of Voser [indiscernible] in Baden for the next term of office as well. Please cast your vote now.
[Voting]
I hereby close the ballot, and we wait for the result. I note that the shareholders have approved the reelection of Ms. Burkhalter. Mrs. Burkhalter informed me prior to the vote that she would accept her reelection. This brings us to Item 5 on our agenda which is the binding vote on the maximum aggregate amount of the remuneration of the Board of Directors and the Executive Committee.
I shall first provide an overview of the proposed maximum aggregate amount for the Board of Directors for the period from the 2026 Annual General Meeting to the 2027 Annual General Meeting as set out in agenda item 5.1. The Board proposes that a maximum aggregate amount of CHF 4.5 million be approved for 10 members of the Board of Directors for the period from the 2026 AGM to the 2027 AGM. This amount remains unchanged from the previous year's amount of CHF 4.5 million. Does anybody wish to speak on this agenda item? If not, I would like to proceed to the vote. Please cast your vote now. The countdown is running now.
[Voting]
I close the vote, and we now wait for the result. I note that you have approved the Board of Directors' proposal regarding the remuneration of the Board of Directors for the next term of office. Dear shareholders, we now turn to agenda Item 5.2, which is the binding vote on the maximum aggregate amount of remuneration for the executive committee for the year 2027.
In connection with the spin-off of the North American business last year, a comprehensive review of our remuneration system was carried out. The Board of Directors has concluded that the remuneration system is appropriate and should be kept. It is designed such that it supports the company's strategy by attracting, motivating and retaining talented executives while simultaneously aligning their interests with those of the shareholders. The Board of Directors, therefore, proposes that a maximum aggregate amount of CHF 35 million be approved for the remuneration of 13 members of the Executive Committee for the 2027 financial year. This amount represents an increase of 9% compared to the approved amount of the previous year of CHF 32 million. This is due to the expansion of the Executive Committee from 9 to 13 members. As you can see from the slide, the total remuneration actually awarded to members of the Executive Committee in previous years, remained within the respective approved maximum aggregate amount. Does anybody have any questions on this matter? If not, we will proceed to the vote on this agenda item. Please cast your vote now. The countdown is running now.
[Voting]
I close the vote, and we now wait for the result. I note that you have approved the Board of Directors' proposal regarding the remuneration of the Executive Committee for the 2027 financial year.
Right, we have now dealt with all the items on the agenda for this year's AGM. I would like to take this opportunity on behalf of the entire Board of Directors to extend my warmest thanks to all shareholders and to everyone who has contributed to this Annual General Meeting. The next Annual General Meeting of Holcim will take place on the 20th of May 2027.
We now cordially invite you to lunch. You can look forward to meat balls and mash potatoes. Our buffets are located at the back of the hall and on the first floor in the gallery. I wish you a lovely day, ladies and gentlemen, enjoy the meal, Bon appetit, and I look forward to seeing you here again on the 20th of May 2027. Bon appetit.
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Holcim — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Holcim AG
Holcim — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Holcim AG
Starke 2025‑Zahlen und NextGen‑Execution, Xella‑Deal angekündigt; Aktionäre fordern mehr Klima‑Ambition, Transparenz bei Lobbying und Vergütung.
AGM in Zug (Mai 2026): Jahresabschluss, Strategie‑Update, Wahlen und mehrere bindende Abstimmungen.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
Holcim stellte 2025 als Jahr der Transformation dar: NextGen Growth 2030 wird aktiv umgesetzt, Ergebniswachstum und Margen‑expansion sind deutlich; Vorstand schlägt eine Dividende von CHF 1.70 vor. Management betont nachhaltige, wertschaffende M&A und Skalierung von zirkulären sowie digitalen Lösungen.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- Profitabilität: Recurring EBIT wuchs +10.3% (lokal), Marge stieg auf 18.3% (+80 Basispunkte), Free Cash Flow CHF 2,2 Mrd., Cash‑Conversion 54%.
- M&A‑Offensive: 21 Transaktionen 2025; Abschluss Mehrheitsbeteiligung Cementos Pacasmayo, Xella‑Übernahme (unterzeichnet, Closing H2 erwartet) zur Stärkung Building Solutions.
- Nachhaltigkeit: 109 Circular‑Hubs, Circular‑Nettoerlöse ~CHF 500 Mio. (Ziel CHF 800 Mio. bis 2030); alternative Brennstoffe 39% Einsatz; GO4ZERO CCUS‑Projekt in Belgien in Ausführung.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Xella‑Deal: Unterzeichnung einer strategischen Akquisition in Europa (Ytong, Hebel etc.), Closing erwartet in H2; stärkt Wand‑/Systemgeschäft.
- Digital/AI: 38 großskalige KI‑Initiativen; Zielnutzen ~CHF 200 Mio. bis 2028 bei Investitionen ~CHF 20 Mio./Jahr.
- Governance‑Änderung: Nachhaltigkeits‑ und Klima‑Bericht nun kombiniert; separate Climate‑Vote vorläufig eingestellt, Board verspricht periodische Abstimmungen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Klima‑Ambition: Ethos forderte schnellere Reduktion des Klinkeranteils und Kritik an Positionen in Branchenverbänden; Management verteidigt Strategie, verweist auf EU‑Taxonomie‑Reporting und Dialog mit Verbänden.
- Vergütung: Kritik an Performance‑Optionen (Hebelwirkung, fehlende Offenlegung realisierter Werte); Management hält das System für anreizkompatibel und beabsichtigt keinen sofortigen Stopp.
- Rechtliche Risiken: Gericht liess Klimaklage aus Pari zu; Fragen zu Lafarge‑Vergangenheit und Vorwürfen in Ungarn beantwortete Management weitgehend mit Verweis auf laufende Verfahren und Ablehnung der Vorwürfe.
⚡ Bottom Line
Operativ liefert Holcim starke, margengetriebene Resultate und setzt gezielt auf M&A, Circular Economy und KI‑Effizienz. Für Aktionäre positiv: solide FCF, Dividendenvorschlag und klarer Wachstumsfokus. Risiken bleiben: juristische Verfahren, Debatte um Klima‑Pfad (Klinkerreduktion) und Vergütungsstrukturen können Reputation und Regulierungsrisiken beeinflussen — Monitoring empfohlen.
Holcim — Holcim AG, Q1 2026 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Apr 24, 2026
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. Welcome to the analyst and investor conference call of Holcim's First Quarter 2026 Trading Update. My name is Bernd Pomrehn, and I'm joined today by our CEO, Miljan Gutovic; and our CFO, Steffen Kindler, to present our financial results. Following the presentation, you'll -- we'll open the floor for questions. [Operator Instructions]
And now, I'm happy to hand it over to you, Miljan.
Thank you, Bernd. Good morning to you all, and a warm welcome to Holcim's 2026 First Quarter Trading Update Conference. Steffen and I are pleased to be presenting our numbers to you today, and we look forward to taking your questions afterwards.
As you have seen, we have delivered a strong start to the year. There was a robust organic growth in net sales of nearly 4%, driven by leading positions in the highly attractive markets where we operate. The 8.3% organic growth in our recurring EBIT was even stronger, and this was driven by our premium and sustainable offering, our strict cost discipline and operational excellence.
With our resilient and proven business model across all economic cycles and market conditions after this strong start to the year, we are confirming our 2026 guidance, which includes a further increase of our industry-leading margins versus 2025.
Turning to the regional highlights now. As you can see, in Europe, there was a sales acceleration in March, and price over cost was positive, partially offsetting the impact of weather on the margin. Our use of alternative fuels increased to 70% in the region during the quarter, future-proofing Holcim from energy price exposure and market volatility. You will hear more on this topic from Steffen later.
In terms of the outlook, we expect strong activity in infrastructure across the whole region. And in residential, a recent increase in building permits is expected to continue in several countries. In LatAm, we delivered 7.6% organic growth in net sales, driven by Mexico, Central America and Ecuador with a recurring EBIT margin above 30%. We completed one large acquisition and also signed another, and we will talk more on this later on. For the outlook, we expect that the Mexican government's plans for 1.8 million new homes and infrastructure projects to accelerate the growth in this key market for us. And in Central America, there will be ongoing high demand for housing and infrastructure.
Our performance in Asia, Middle East and Africa clearly demonstrates that our strategy is able to achieve strong profitable growth across all market conditions and economic cycles. The region delivered organic growth in recurring EBIT of 26%, while the margin rose 100 basis points to 22%. We saw strong demand trends in North Africa and Australia and expect this to continue for the full year, driven mainly by the residential and infrastructure sectors in North Africa and infrastructure projects in Australia.
With that, I would like to hand it over to Steffen to talk through the financials in more detail. Steffen?
Thank you, Miljan, and a warm welcome to all of you from my side as well. Always a pleasure to be here with you and now for our Q1 trading update.
Turning first to the net sales bridge. You can see that we had robust organic growth of 3.9%, representing CHF 136 million. Total sales was affected by a negative CHF 104 million impact, mainly coming from scope following the divestment of our Nigeria business, Karbala Cement Manufacturing in Iraq and other divestments completed in 2025. Also, the FX effect created a translation effect of 5.6% as a mixture of mature and emerging markets currency devaluation versus the Swiss franc.
On recurring EBIT, we delivered 8.3% organic growth. There were FX translation effects of CHF 26 million or 5.5% and CHF 63 million from divestments, as mentioned already in the sales chart. EBIT growth was driven by strong commercial execution, operational excellence and disciplined cost management, both in the countries and at corporate level. Once again, we delivered positive price over cost.
As you know, increasing our usage of alternative fuels is one of ways that sustainability drives profitable growth at Holcim, increasing our margin and reducing CO2. What may be less appreciated at that point is that it also future-proofs Holcim from energy price volatility. We are reducing fuel and costs through operational excellence in manufacturing while decarbonizing our electricity consumption. As you can see, in the last 3 years, increasing our alternative fuel usage by 11 percentage points came with a 3 percentage point decrease in our energy cost. That's fuel and electricity costs as a percentage of net sales. By the year 2030, we will have scaled up the use of alternative fuels to 50% globally and 90% in Europe. Already today, almost half of our cement plants in Europe operate between 80% and 100% alternative fuels.
Next, let's look at the progression of our Q1 recurring EBIT and recurring EBIT margin on a rolling 12-month basis. At this time of the year, we usually show this number as a 12-month rolling because the first quarter is by far the smallest in terms of business size, so we put it into a better context. This graph shows our continuing margin expansion. The group margin for the first quarter was down year-over-year slightly, mainly due to the divestments that I explained before. As Miljan has said, we are committed to further margin expansion to the full year 2026.
Now, let's quickly look at the regional performance. Organic growth in net sales was strong in each of LatAm and AMEA. And in Europe, there was a significant acceleration in March. Asia, Middle East and Africa, there was double-digit organic growth in recurring EBIT at 26% with a 100 basis point increase in margin, where we maintained a recurring EBIT margin of above 30% in Latin America. In Europe, the margin was impacted by weather. And as mentioned before, good cost development on the corporate level continued.
With that, I am pleased to hand it back over to Miljan.
Thank you, Steffen. For the NextGen Growth 2030, we are indeed delivering a superior performance and margin expansion focused on the 5 key drivers. As you can see from this slide, we are scaling up our sustainable offering powered by our premium brands. We are accelerating initiatives for decarbonization and circular construction, which is driving profitable growth. A key part of our NextGen Growth 2030 is expanding our high-value building solutions. With our impeccable track record of value-accretive M&A, we are focusing on the most attractive markets and also the most attractive segments. And all of this is driven by our deeply embedded performance culture.
Let's look now more closely at some of these drivers. Firstly, customer demand for our premium brands, ECOPact and ECOPlanet continues to grow. These are being used on the large scale in large projects like the one you see on this slide in Argentina, which was built with ECOPact to help address the estimated 1.5 million housing gap in the country. This is a really exciting project with over a few hundred apartments and office space designed for sustainable urban living. Another example is this bridge in Bordeaux in France, which was built using ECOPlanet. It's a long bridge of 550 meters, and it was built with 4,000 tons of ECOPlanet with 50% lower carbon footprint relative to traditional cement.
We are also seeing a strong growth in our ECOCycle, our circular technology that is being used to recycle construction demolition materials and put it back into our products. A recent project completed using ECOCycle was this housing project in France, where ECOCycle was used to rebuild 90 social housing units. Again, Holcim is looking to address this housing gap here as France aims to build additional 2 million homes by 2030.
Very pleased to report that last month, we completed the acquisition of Pacasmayo in Peru, which is a milestone in Holcim's Latin America expansion, bringing a very complementary portfolio of building materials and solutions in Peru. The company is a leading player in Peru that -- and with this acquisition, we are also reinforcing our ready-mix, precast and roofing offering in Latin America. I was in Peru myself, and I can tell you it's a highly attractive market for construction materials. It has excellent long-term economic growth prospects and increasing demand for higher quality housing, both new and renovated as well as for infrastructure and industry.
Peru nation has an infrastructure gap, which is estimated to be around USD 100 billion. And as a result of that, government has approved, what they call, a national infrastructure plan to prioritize more than 70 strategic projects to be completed by 2031. As you can see on this first slide of this presentation, Holcim Peru played a key role in the construction of the new international airport in Lima, and we continue to support ongoing work associated with this expansion. We are also involved in some of the biggest projects in Peru, especially in Lima, the metro expansion and highways, which is connecting the capital from East to West.
Now, more on M&A. Well, pleased to say that we closed 5 transactions in Q1, of which 4 were acquisition and 1 was divestment. We strengthened building materials by making acquisition in Romania as well as, as I mentioned, Pacasmayo in Peru. We also completed 2 acquisitions in Building Solutions, one in Belgium and one in New Zealand. We have divested our operation in Lebanon at the same time.
Also, we announced that in March, we signed an agreement to acquire a building materials and solutions operations in Colombia from CEMEX that represents projected 2026 net sales of around USD 360 million. This transaction is subject to customary conditions, and we expect closing around the end of the year.
One slide on artificial intelligence. Well, it's known that artificial intelligence is unlocking incremental value and growth for Holcim, improving performance and driving customer-centric services. Holcim will deliver benefits from AI of around CHF 200 million by 2028, reflecting both cost savings and cost avoidance. To achieve this, we will make growth investments of around CHF 20 million per year, where we will be focusing on the 4 key areas: production, logistics, commercial and administration. By investing in our large network of integrated sensor and data lakes, we are future-proofing Holcim today to unlock great value tomorrow.
Currently, there are 38 large-scale AI initiatives, which we are deploying across business, from our M-Predict Intelligence for optimizing production processes and equipment performance to our Foresight tool that optimizes our transport fleet and network utilization. With Holcim+, which is our AI-powered always-on platform, we can offer customers a 24/7 service with real-time tracking and demand forecasting that will only become more attractive as we added to it over the time. Meanwhile, our AI-powered internal career hub tool matches Holcim's people with business opportunities to create the value and also to nurture talent.
With this, happy to say that we are confirming our 2026 full year guidance after a strong start to the year. Net sales and recurring EBIT growth fully in line with our NextGen Growth 2030 targets. As you can see from the slides, organic net sales growth 3% to 5% and organic recurring EBIT growth 8% to 10%. We are also committing to increase of our recurring EBIT margin and free cash flow before leases of around CHF 2 billion. And we will continue to invest in recycling of construction and demolition materials with another 20% growth in 2026.
And just to wrap it up, Holcim remains a highly compelling investment. It is important to remind you why, today, Holcim is a leader in the most attractive markets with a leading sustainable offering for our customers. This enables us to capture the tailwinds from a powerful megatrend shaping the future of construction such as population growth and urbanization to energy-efficient refurbishment and digitalization.
We are unlocking significant growth opportunities across geographies and also in our Building Solutions segment, which will enable us to achieve above-market growth. Our talented people and our performance culture will continue to deliver a superior financial performance and value creation. All of this will allow Holcim to continue driving shareholders' value through growth-focused capital allocation and, of course, attractive cash returns.
Bernd, you can now open it up to questions.
Perfect. Thank you, Miljan and Steffen. With this, we can open up the line for questions. And we will take now the first question from Julian Radlinger from UBS.
2. Question Answer
So a couple of questions. Firstly, regarding pricing, so in Europe, pricing increased, I think, something around 3% in Q1, but that didn't include price increases in all countries yet, and it didn't include much of the surcharges yet that you've implemented. And I also think the base for pricing is actually going to get easier in Q2. So what does that mean for the kind of price growth that we should expect in Europe in Q2 and H2? And then, the Middle East conflict aside, would you expect to see any kind of demand impact in any regions or end markets on the back of that kind of pricing? Any pushback or stomachache from any of your customers in light of such strong price increases? That's my first question.
And then secondly, in Latin America, you had flat organic EBIT growth despite very strong pricing in Mexico, I think, and not terrible volume trends across countries. So could you please dissect for us what drove organic EBIT growth down to flat in the quarter? I assume integration costs may have played a role and maybe some price cost issues due to fuel costs and so on. How should we think about that in the next few quarters? Can we think about year-on-year growing EBIT margins again in due course in LatAm?
Julian, thank you for your question. I'll start, and then, I'll ask Steffen to add as we go. I'll start with the pricing. Yes, Julian, you're correct, pricing has still been -- has not been completed in Germany and another 1 or 2 markets. We expect this to be finalized in April. Overall, I can confirm that we are seeing a very healthy pricing dynamic in Europe across all our regions. And at the moment, we are within our expectations, which we communicated earlier around mid-single digit.
Outside Europe, situation is pretty much similar. We have some markets where we are slightly above expectations like in Mexico. But all in all, across all our key markets, pricing dynamic, I can confirm is very healthy. Regarding the Middle East conflict and how it is impacting the market momentum, exception is GCC countries where we have relatively small operations, represents less than 1.5% of the net sales. We put priority on the safety and well-being of our employees and their families. So we did stop operations for a couple of weeks. Last few weeks, we have resumed. Other than that, I'm not expecting any change in the momentum on -- in the construction market momentum as a result of the Middle East conflict. So far, we are seeing a healthy pipeline of projects in Europe. Same applies in North Africa, and I did give the outlook for Mexico, Central America and Ecuador.
On the LatAm, I'll start, and then, Steffen can add. First of all, just to address Mexico, H1 last year was slow. We saw momentum gaining in Q3. We reported some infrastructure projects that we have secured, and we have seen similar trend this year in Q1. We have secured a few of the big projects in Q1, end of the last year Q1, which is Guadalajara Airport and Salina Cruz refinery, where we are already supplying our ECOPact, ECOPlanet solutions.
Our focus in Q1 in Mexico was on the pricing, and I'm very happy to report that pricing dynamic, what we achieved actually, outcome was slightly above expectation. So for us, maintain the pricing, maintain the market share, continue with expanding Disensa, our retail outlook. And just one fact that we have not communicated before, Holcim Mexico's EBITDA margin currently in Q1 was around 44%. So this is a very healthy level, and we want to maintain this.
On the margin impact, I'll just mention scope and some maintenance -- extended maintenance shutdown in Argentina.
Steffen, why don't you say?
Yes. Thanks, Miljan. Julian, also from my side. Miljan basically gave the complete answer. The margin or the EBIT growth impact in Latin America was scope, predominantly through Guatemala and Peru, so the onboarding of our acquisitions and the entry into new countries. Argentina, we had some extended maintenance shutdowns. That was an operational issue that hit us in Q1, will have a bit of a lingering effect into Q2. What is important for us, the story for LatAm remains super positive, right? The strong price increase that Miljan just described, the good momentum across markets. We just talked about Mexico with a very high EBIT and EBITDA margin.
Organic growth will be mid- to high single digits for the full year, margin above 30%. And remember, there is a massive amount of scope coming in the second half of almost CHF 400 million with the acquisitions that we're doing. So there is a very positive outlook for Latin America going forward, especially into the second half.
The next question comes from Ben Rada Martin from Goldman Sachs.
My first question was another one on pricing. Interested particularly in the pricing actions you've had to make post the conflict and the inflation that you're seeing. What kind of magnitude, I guess, do you expect to be additional to, I guess, your original February expectations for pricing for 2026?
And then the second one would just be on 2026 guidance. We're a few months into the year now. Obviously, some moving parts in terms of cost and pricing. But I'd be interested from your side, what do you think are the key swing variables that get you to the top end or the bottom end of the range? Is it more related to volumes? Or are there also things in price cost that you think are still up for debate?
Ben, thank you for your question. So I'll start with the pricing. Look, nothing to add actually. We are -- we have achieved what we aimed at. What the impact of Middle East conflict could have some -- we could see some movements on logistics cost as a result of the diesel prices, but we are confident we can cover that through surcharges and pass it to the customers. So I'm not expecting any significant impact as a result of this Middle East conflict.
What I would like to reinforce is that we do get many questions on energy. This is what Steffen already addressed in the presentation. Really all the hard work that we did in the last couple of years where we have invested to phase out traditional fossil fuels from our business and replace it with alternative fuels is now paying off. You see that we are close to 40% usage of alternative fuels globally. And in Europe, which is where we were seeing the biggest impact on energy prices, we are up to 70%. So all these investments are now paying off, and we will continue to invest in these initiatives with the aim to reach 90% of alternative fuel usage in 2030 in Europe and 50% globally.
On the guidance, I think you hinted that, I mean, if geopolitical situation stabilizes, we will see -- we could see a significant upside on the guidance that we provided because the whole construction momentum will accelerate.
The next question comes from the line of Luis Prieto from Kepler Cheuvreux.
I had a couple of questions. The first one is if you would be able to break down the organic growth building block of your Q1 recurring EBIT bridge between price over cost and volume, at least a rough idea.
And the second one is with regards to you having committed significant resources to acquisitions over the last months, Xella and Pacasmayo. Does this imply that we should expect you to take some time to digest these businesses? Or you believe you have ample integration capabilities to do something sizable on the M&A front in the remainder of '26?
Luis, thank you for the questions. I will start with M&A, and then, I'll hand it over to Steffen to break down organic growth. On M&A front, yes, Luis, you're right, we have -- we just closed Pacasmayo. We are planning to close subject to conditions to close Xella end of Q2 and Q3, and the plan is to close Colombia acquisition end of the year. All of this will -- it will take time and energy to integrate these businesses. But keep in mind, we are fully decentralized business. This is the power of our model where we -- local people take the ownership of the whole integration and achieving synergies. So I'm not excluding that you will not see some additional big deals that signed from us this year. But this year, I would like to focus more on integration of these companies and continue with strong momentum on bolt-on side. We have closed few -- 3 bolt-on acquisitions already in Q1, and I can confirm that we have a very healthy pipeline for the rest of the year.
Steffen?
Yes. So for your question, how to break down the Q1 EBIT, look, as I said, price over cost is positive. That is composed of a positive price of, let's say, mid-single digit. Then, we have a bit lower energy still in Q1. So Q1 still has energy tailwinds. And we have a slight nonenergy inflation of, let's say, round about 3%, which is distribution, raw material, structural cost and fixed cost. So here's your breakdown. And volume, of course, had a negative impact on price over cost in the -- on the EBIT development in the first quarter, price over cost positive, volume negative. I think that puts it together.
The next question comes from Jon Bell from Deutsche Bank. He sent us through his e-mail. Do you think any of the strength seen in Europe in March was due to prebuying by those keen to avoid price rises? Did you see the positive demand trend continue in the first 3 weeks of April?
Thank you for the question, Jon. I would not say much was about prebuying. Yes, we've had some upside because January and February in Europe, as you know, have been greatly impacted by weather conditions. So that lifted the momentum in March. I would like to confirm that April is looking solid so far.
The next question comes from Pujarini Ghosh from Bernstein.
So on the EBIT margin guidance, you have mentioned that you are expecting to see a continued margin expansion. Could you provide some more color about how we should think about the different regions in terms of the EBIT margin expansion given what you've already seen in Q1?
And my second question is on M&A again. So you've already announced some very big acquisitions as well as completed 4 bolt-ons this quarter with a couple of quite sizable bolt-ons in LatAm. So how is the pipeline looking? How are transaction multiples developing? Is there any impact of the war making it either easier or more difficult to do the acquisitions? How are you seeing the synergies develop? And finally, for the Latin American business, how does this impact the growth and the excellent margins going forward?
Thank you for your questions, Pujarini. I'll start, and then, maybe Steffen can add. On the M&A -- I'll start with M&A, look, I think so far so good, momentum is strong. Europe, we have very exciting projects in the pipeline, companies that specialize in recycling of construction and demolition materials. We do have a few interesting targets in aggregates where we have over-proportional EBIT in Europe. So I'm not seeing any negative impact. It's not getting more difficult to do acquisition as a result of conflict in the Middle East.
On the EBIT guidance, I think Steffen can add a few things.
Pujarini, so for your regional understanding, let's start with EMEA. You saw a very nice margin growth in Q1. We explained the reasons for that. But that story is going to continue throughout the year. So we see a good margin progression here. Europe will turn positive in margin development. You know that we talked about the impact of the weather in January, February, good recovery in March. Miljan just hinted to a solid outlook into April. So that will also help us to come back with margin growth here. Also, I said before that the margin overall was impacted due to the effect of incoming acquisitions that will also wear out throughout the year.
And then lastly, Latin America, here, we always say we want to be above 30%. Latin America margin can -- is so high, so it can vary between 1 year to the other. What is important here is that we drive growth in Latin America, sales growth and that we get more of this very high margin into our numbers in terms of the mix effect. I think this is the way to think about it. And then something we've also said repeatedly that the contribution from the rightsizing of our corporate structure, we'll probably also add on a full-year basis, right around 0.5 percentage point. So that gives you the algorithm.
So the next one on the line is Elodie Rall from JPMorgan.
So I had one on AI. It sounds a bit like probably not a new initiative, but it's the first time you spent the most time giving us more color there. So it seems like the focus is increasing. Is it fair to say that this AI initiative was not embedded in your Capital Markets Day guidance last year, and this could be a source of upside to your midterm targets?
And then, I had a clarification question or point, if you want, so on those fuel surcharges that you're passing through, particularly on transportation costs, these are like passed through. Should we expect that you give this back, i.e., pricing down should transportation costs come down with the oil price move at some point?
Elodie, thank you for the questions. I'll start on AI. Yes, this was not embedded in our Capital Markets Day. This is upside. Yes, you are right, Elodie, this is not new. We have been deploying these initiatives for the past few years. And this morning, we are committing to a number that could be exceeded. If everything goes according to plan, CHF 200 million in cost savings and cost avoidance by 2028. And if you can see here from this chart, most of it will come from production, where we have already deployed our key initiatives, and it's all about scaling. And I am counting also that on logistics commercial side, we can see significant upside in the years to come. To do all of this, obviously, we need to spend some money. So yes, as you can see, we are committing to investments of approximately CHF 20 million per year in order to accelerate AI adoption.
Regarding the logistics COGS surcharges, this is -- this could go up and down depending on the fuel prices. And what I said earlier, we do have our ability to pass this on to the customers, and this is the protection we had in place for a number of years now.
If I can just follow up on these cost savings from AI, can you give us a bit of a color on the phasing of the realization of those cost savings?
Look, CHF 200 million is '28. I would like to see next year CHF 100-plus million, possible, yes. We will something, CHF 100-plus million next year and CHF 200 million by 2028.
The next one on the line is Cedar Ekblom from Morgan Stanley.
Can you talk a little bit more about your purchasing structures in place for energy that which is not alternative fuels, just to get a bit of understanding of when we should think about higher spot prices actually flowing through your costs? And then following or linked to that, I just like to push you a little bit on your point that the sort of top end of the guidance requires geopolitical stability. If I think about your moving parts versus where you were when you provided that guidance, I would argue that the pricing backdrop is better. Obviously, there is some cost risk, but you do stress the points around alternative fuels and recycling and hedging, et cetera. So I do wonder how long it takes for these costs and how meaningful these costs are actually when they come through.
And then, it doesn't sound like you're really talking down the volume backdrop. So when I put those moving parts together, it feels like actually the backdrop is better than it was when you provided the guidance, strangely enough, but you're not sort of lifting your ambition. So I'd just like to hear what incremental risk factors have come into the business that -- I mean, you're not talking down volumes, right? You sound pretty good on volumes. So I'd just like to understand why the guidance upgrade is not there.
Cedar, thank you for the question. I'll start with the guidance, and then, I'll hand it over to Steffen to talk more about purchasing spend when it comes to energy. So, Cedar, so okay, geopolitical risk can create tension in the system that could slow down investments in the residential investments in infrastructure and so on. Early Q1, it's just the first quarter. It's the smallest quarter in the year. So we are a little bit cautious. March, what we saw in Europe, for instance, was excellent momentum. April is solid. So on the volume side, on the whole marketing activity, I would say that I'm not expecting any significant changes since Capital Market Day. Hard to predict what can happen in the H2 if the conflict in Middle East prolongs.
So on the LatAm side, yes, you're right, probably there is a slight upside. What I personally witnessed during my last trip is that momentum is better than -- slightly better than we initially thought. And then the whole EMEA should be okay with some potential risk as a result of the Middle East conflict. So I still maintain that the biggest concern today we have is this whole geopolitical situation, depending how it translates if it continues for a longer period of time.
For energy, Cedar, we said previously that close to 80% of our energy requirements are secured for the rest of the year. How to understand that in regulated markets, which are about 35%? We have contracts in place, so this is done. And then, we -- from the hedgeable portion, which is about 60% of our requirement, 70% is hedged. So there you go. This gives you altogether a secured piece of almost 80%. What I would also say is for the remaining piece, we have plans in place. We have cost actions in place. We have commercial actions in place. It's always important also that our management stays sharp on this topic so that we can stay nimble. But for the balance of this year, we feel quite confident that we can deal with further pressures on the markets quite well.
Next one in the line is Arnaud Lehmann from Bank of America.
Two on my side, please. Firstly, coming back on the RMEA region, could you give us an indication of the contribution from Russia and China? And within that, was there a meaningful impact from Nigeria? That's my first question.
The second question, I mean, I appreciate AI is more fashionable than carbon capture at the moment. But I think there are discussions around launching a large-scale carbon capture project in Europe, possibly in Belgium. Is it something that you're still working towards? And could you make an announcement this year?
Arnaud, thank you for your question. I'm equally excited about carbon capture, as we are about AI. So you are referring to our GO4ZERO project in Belgium, Obourg. You saw probably recently, we did sign the agreement with Air Liquide for Phase 2. Currently, priority is to finish Phase 1, which includes brand new industrial -- brand-new cement plant, which will indeed be state-of-the-art with very high usage of alternative fuels, alternative raw materials and the most efficient production processes. Nothing has changed.
We are committing to commissioning in Q1. Recently, I have also visited the project. It is going according to plan. Once we have completed commissioning of Phase 1, then we will start working on Phase 2, working with our partners, as I mentioned, Air Liquide on capturing, but we also have a partnership with another company when it comes to logistics, transporting CO2 and also storing CO2. So commissioning Q1 2027, and that means completing Phase 1 of the project.
Steffen, why don't you comment on EMEA and Russian contribution?
Arnaud, look, it's a bit difficult to comment on Huaxin because it's a listed company. So I have to be very careful what I say. I cannot really comment on their results so much. What I can tell you is the JV contribution was positive. We had a positive OG contribution this year so far in our EBIT, mainly due to good developments in Australia and Huaxin. The good demand in Australia, we talked about before. We saw a good resurgence here with good volume growth. And the strong development in Huaxin is driven by their overseas business. It's not driven by their domestic business, driven by their overseas business. I'm not telling you something that the company wouldn't say itself. This is public. And when I tell you that, then you can probably deduct that their investment in Nigeria was potentially not detrimental. So maybe we'll leave it there.
The outlook for our joint venture business is quite positive for this year. So we expect a strong contribution from all our 3 large JVs.
The next one on the line is Martin Hüsler from ZKB.
I have a short question. First, on the AI investments. I was just making sure that this is all OpEx, CHF 20 million? Or is part of it CapEx?
Martin, thank you for your question. It includes both OpEx and CapEx.
And maybe 50-50 split or what is the best adoption for you?
Approximately 50-50.
Okay. And then, I have a second question. With the annual results, Steffen gave us a certain outlook what he expects in terms of FX for the full year and cons and deconsolidations. I was just wondering whether those numbers are still valid or if something has changed there.
Yes. Look, so currently, we see -- in the first quarter, we see an FX headwind of 5%, 5.5%. We don't usually guide for FX. But if you need a guidance, I would go with current spot rates. Current spot rates, I think on sales, is a bit above 3% and on EBIT a bit above 4%. That's your best guess, I would say, at the moment.
Okay. And in terms of scope, you were mentioning to something like scope in [ 120 ] to [ 150 ] and divestments roughly minus [ 40 ]. Is this still ballpark?
Yes. I would think you should stay with that, yes.
Maybe let's stay at the AI topic. So we received 2 questions from Paul Roger from BNP Paribas. His first question is, how unique are your AI initiatives? And are they only being deployed internally? Would they be monetized with third parties?
Look, the way we do AI is really the ideas and the concepts are driven by our people in the operations in production, logistics, commercial and also admin. That's where the ideas come from. Then, this is paired with technical and data know-how from our IT team. And a third pair is external expertise. So what I would say is these initiatives are highly unique because they're based on our data platform.
Super important for the deployment of AI is that you have harmonious data that's consistent over time and over regions so that you can scale it. So this is why it's very proprietary, and it's also based on the knowledge of our people. The underlying models that we use with external head, they may be standard. But then again, the algorithms are custom trained on Holcim-specific materials. So for the time being, I would think this is highly specific to us and our situation, and it's based on, a, our data; and b, the know-how of our people paired with external expertise. And therefore, we would think this is very Holcim-specific.
Perfect. And then, Paul had another question on AI. He's asking, are the AI skills to develop these initiatives available internally or it was in using consultants or attracting new talent? And what makes the group an employee of choice for digitally minded experts?
So in short, the answer is we are building AI capabilities, mainly internally. However, we do complement this by selective hiring and selective partnerships with third parties. So what's making a difference is the way we approach this. We have -- this is a part of our Holcim University, where we are preparing our people for the future. We are upscaling them. We are training them, and AI is part of these initiatives.
When it comes to AI, I would -- maybe just to mention that we have 2 key initiatives: one is AI Academy, where we have our dedicated programs for our managers to really master AI leadership and also strategy. And then, we have functioning AI modules, where we are targeting training built into every department, procurement, finance, logistics and so on and so on.
Perfect. Thank you so much, Miljan. We received another written question from Anthony Codling from RBC. He's asking, can you please comment on CBAM, your thoughts about possible changes to ETS and your expectations for the new benchmark, timing, benchmark price, et cetera? Do you see these as headwinds, tailwinds or no wind?
So, Anthony, I can just comment on the rumors. What we heard is that the benchmark is around 657 kilograms. This is 5.5% below Phase 4, below the previous benchmark. I'll just say this is in line with our expectations, and we are okay with this outcome. Hopefully, by September, European Commission will confirm and make it official. So in our view, this does not change anything regarding CBAM. We welcome CBAM. We are happy that it's been finally implemented. And now, it's all about verification and auditing when it comes to CBAM.
Thank you, Miljan. The next one on the line is Ephrem Ravi from Citi.
So 2 -- most of it has been answered, frankly, but like 2 clarifications really. Firstly, disaggregating the Latin American business into Mexico and rest of LatAm. The context of the question is, I think CEMEX reported Mexico up double-digit percentage revenue in local currency. And if you had similar growth in Mexico, and LatAm is up 7% organic, Mexico is roughly half of LatAm. It indicates a slightly soft rest of LatAm. You did mention the Argentina issues, but would it be kind of fair to say that rest of the LatAm was significantly softer on a topline basis compared to Mexico?
Secondly, again, on the fashionable topic of AI, you're going to spend CHF 20 million per year on AI and expect CHF 200 million of recurring EBIT that implies an ROI of close to 200% if you take the 3 years cumulatively and phase it. If you are -- if you can stand by these numbers, then what is the limiting factor in accelerating these investments even more as it could be possibly the best ROI you could gain in this business?
Ephrem, thank you for your question. I'll start on LatAm. I think I answered it pretty much earlier, and Steffen also had a few points. Just to summarize it, Mexico, we are expecting strong, strong momentum in 2026. We are positive about the whole market, and this is based on the project pipeline currently we see.
On the Mexico and our financial performance, I would maybe mention one more time, our EBITDA margin in Mexico is 44%. And this is where we want to maintain. We want to keep investing in Disensa. We want to keep expanding and growing our business over proportionally. So for the whole LatAm, the -- this year, we have a strong price increase. We will maintain EBIT margins above 30%, and we will have a positive scope effect of nearly CHF 400 million from Pacasmayo.
Steffen, would you like to add?
For ROI, look, what we gave you here, the CHF 200 million, is based on our current 38 initiatives. 38 is a large number already, and we're putting a lot of power behind that. But there's no limitation to doing more. If we come back in a year from now, and Miljan and I work on 50 initiatives, then of course, the benefit will be higher. So it's the number of ideas we can generate internally and the number of projects we can generate internally. 38 is what we're working on right now. It doesn't have to be like that forever. It can -- there's potentially upside on that as well. But this is where we are today. So no limitation.
The next one on the line is Yassine Touahri from On Field.
Two questions. Last week, I think President von der Leyen in Europe commented on boosting the market stability reserve as part of the ETS review in July. Do you have any updated view from discussion with the European Cement Association of Brussels on where the EU ETS price could go medium term? And I think the question is what CO2 price do you currently assume for decarbonization investment? And what level will either accelerate or delay your carbon capture project?
And second question on Latin America. I think you have a couple of press reports that have been confirmed by Chinese cement companies that suggest that large Chinese players are considering acquiring 1 or 2 cement companies that are currently for sale in Brazil. And this could mark the first meaningful entry of Chinese player into Latin American cement. And the question is, would this have any implication for your long-term regional strategy? Or do you see this potential move as Brazil specific, and therefore, it's not directly relevant for your portfolio because you exited the country?
Yassine, thank you for the questions. I'll start with ETS and CO2 price. So we are still using EUR 120 and EUR 150 per tonne as an indicative price when we do these business cases for carbon capture projects. Yassine, please remember that we are working on derisking these projects. One option is what we saw in Germany is this CCfD, Carbon Contract for Difference. We need to have a backup option in order to derisk the projects and to ensure that being a first mover, we will not be punished in the long term.
Regarding LatAm and Chinese, yes, there is a reason why we exited Brazil. For someone to enter some of the countries where we have a dominating position, extremely hard, extremely hard. I would not say impossible, but very, very hard because markets are consolidated, reserves have been secured. So for the -- someone to enter to build a -- start from scratch and build a cement plant, I do not see it.
The next one in the line is Harry Goad from Berenberg.
Can you talk a little bit around what you're seeing in Germany, please, and whether we're beginning to see any of the benefits come through from the stimulus program? And then, I guess, more generally, I know you don't like giving sort of individual country numbers, but can you give us a feel for what you're seeing in cement volumes across big markets in Europe, like U.K., France, Germany?
Harry, thank you for the question. Regarding the German infrastructure spend, we are not budgeting anything for H1. We might see something in H2. But in H1, I would not put any numbers for H1. Regarding the whole market momentum, we do not comment basically per country. But just to give you a few regions, we see a strong -- Eastern Europe seems to be -- will continue to be strong.
Probably Germany and France, we have started seeing some positive momentum in residential. Southern countries in Europe, Spain is strong. Greece is strong. And our home market, I think, in my view, Switzerland, this year will be very, very strong with -- we have already secured some of the big projects last year, and we have secured 2 more this year. So I expect Switzerland also to have a strong year. U.K., hard to say at the moment. I would like to see Q2, but U.K. is probably the only market today in Europe which is softer.
And the next one is Harry Dow from Rothschild.
Just 2 from me. Firstly, on the alternative fuels in Europe at that high level, I was wondering if you could give us some more color on the volatility of the prices in those alternative fuels. Are they effectively hedged the kind of fixed prices? Or do they move with time with kind of spot fossil fuel prices? And then just also coming back to sort of demand and volume implications and sort of elasticity of demand to higher prices, I think when we started the year, cement being up mid-single digit was probably at the high end in view of the overall build cost kind of environment.
And now, when I look at a broader range of building materials and products, actually mid- to high single digits is probably where a lot of things are landing. And if it's a lot of energy input, it could well be into double digits, certainly in the summer. So for the end users, they're now facing a homebuilder is facing more a mid-single-digit cost inflation this year now. Where is the elasticity in your view of that to demand? Can margins at the sort of the end of the chain compress further do you think? Or are you still confident that volumes can grow in an environment where you see mid-single-digit inflation across the board?
Harry, thank you for the question. I'll start on the demand and the pricing. Look, so far, we have achieved what we hoped for. We -- and could be potential additional price increases that will go through the surcharges. But I don't think any of this will have impact on the demand in 2026.
Steffen, you can...
I think the question was -- I didn't fully understand it, but I think the question was volatility in pricing of alternative fuels. And if that was the question, the answer would be, it depends a bit on the market, but the volatility in alternative fuels is, of course, much, much less because it's -- well, it's trash, right, oftentimes. And so they are sitting supply chains, they are local supply chains, and the price is relatively stable compared to classic fuels in the open market.
Something to keep in mind is as the prices of traditional fuels go up in some places, the use of alternative fuels also becomes even more attractive and more interesting and the business cases become even better to pay back. So -- but as we said before, one of the main reasons why alternative fuels are attractive is definitely the lower volatility.
Thank you so much, Harry. So this was actually the last question for the day. So I would like to thank you very much for joining us again. If there are any further questions, please reach out to the IR team. We are more than happy to help.
And with this, I hand it back to Miljan for some concluding remarks.
Thank you all for joining us this morning. Very happy with the strong start of the year. We will continue to execute on our strategic initiatives, and with our impeccable execution of 45,000 of my colleagues, I am confident that 2026 will be another great year for Holcim.
Stay healthy, stay safe, and thank you very much.
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Holcim — Holcim AG, Q1 2026 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Apr 24, 2026
Holcim — Holcim AG, Q1 2026 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Apr 24, 2026
Holcim bestätigt die 2026-Guidance nach starkem Q1: organisches Umsatzwachstum und deutliches recurring‑EBIT‑Wachstum bei Fokus auf Margenausbau.
Nachfolgend die kompakte Analyse des Q1 2026 Trading Update.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: Organisches Nettoumsatzwachstum +3,9% (≈CHF 136 Mio).
- Recurring EBIT: Organisch +8,3% (positiver Price‑over‑Cost-Effekt).
- Regionen: LatAm Umsatz organisch +7,6%, LatAm recurring‑EBIT‑Marge >30%; AMEA recurring‑EBIT +26% und Marge +100 Basispunkte auf 22%.
- Alternative Brennstoffe: Europa 70% Nutzung, global knapp 40% — senkt Energie‑Kosten und Volatilität.
- FX & Scope: Negativer Übersetzungseffekt auf Umsatz ≈‑5,6%; Divestments reduzierten Group‑Marge kurzfristig.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Guidance‑Bestätigung: Management bestätigt 2026‑Ziele; Fokus auf weiterer Margenausweitung versus 2025.
- NextGen 2030: Wachstum über Premium‑Sustainable‑Produkte (ECOPact/ECOPlanet) und Circular‑Lösungen (ECOCycle); Ausbau Building Solutions.
- Kapitalallokation & AI: Aktive M&A‑Pipeline (Pacasmayo, Kolumbien‑Deal angekündigt, weitere Bolt‑ons) und AI‑Programm mit CHF 200 Mio Nutzen bis 2028 (Investitionen ≈CHF 20 Mio/Jahr).
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Quantitative Ziele: Organisches Nettoumsatzwachstum 3–5%; organisches recurring‑EBIT +8–10%; Free Cash Flow vor Leasing ≈CHF 2 Mrd.
- Operative Prioritäten: Weiterer Ausbau alternativer Brennstoffe (Ziel 50% global, 90% Europa) und 20% mehr Recycling‑Volumen 2026.
- Risiken: Geopolitik (Middle‑East) könnte H2‑Momentum treffen; Q1 FX‑Headwind ~5% bleibt relevant. Energie: ≈80% der Anforderungen gesichert, rund 70% der hedgebaren 60% bereits abgesichert.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Pricing: Kernfokus auf Europa/Mexiko — Nachfrage resilient, weitere Preiserhöhungen und Surcharges möglich; Management sieht Mid‑single‑digit‑Preispfad.
- LatAm‑Margin: Analysten forderten Aufschlüsselung — Management nennt Scope‑Effekte (Onboarding Akquisitionen) und Wartungsstillstände als Gründe für Q1‑Schwankungen.
- Energy & AI: Fragen zu Energie‑Hedging, Alternative‑Fuel‑Volatilität (Management: gering) und AI‑Phasing/ROI (CHF100M+ 2027 möglich, CHF200M bis 2028).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Für Aktionäre: Bestätigte Guidance, Margenfokus und operative Resilienz (Alternative Brennstoffe, Preis‑durchsetzung, AI‑Upside) stützen das Investment‑Case; kurzfristige Risiken bleiben: geopolitische Unsicherheit, FX‑Effekte und Integrationsaufwand bei Akquisitionen.
Holcim — 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Holcim's Full Year 2025 Results Presentation. My name is Bernd Pomrehn, Head of Investor Relations, and I'm pleased to be joined by our CEO, Miljan Gutovic; and our CFO, Steffen Kindler. After their presentations, as usually, you will have the opportunity to ask questions. If you join us on this sunny day, Friday in Zurich, then just raise your hand, and we will hand you a microphone when it's your turn. And our colleague from Chorus Call will now instruct you how to ask your questions via the webcast. Sandra, please.
[Operator Instructions] The conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions].
And with this short intro, I directly hand it over to Miljan. Miljan, please.
Thank you, Bernd. Good morning to all of you, and a warm welcome to Holcim's 2025 Full Year Results Analyst and Investors Conference. Steffen and I are pleased to be presenting our earnings to you today. And of course, there will be a time afterwards for your questions. We delivered strong profitable growth in 2025 with an acceleration in the fourth quarter as we achieved all our targets. As you can see, we accelerated the growth of our recurring EBIT in Q4. It was up 12.2%, taking us to a 10.3% for the year, exceeding our guidance. Our industry-leading margin increased by further 80 basis points to 18.3%. Margin expansion was driven by our high-value strategy, which includes scaling up our sustainable offering as well as continuously exercising strong cost discipline while enhancing operational efficiency.
We generated CHF 2.2 billion in free cash flow with a cash conversion of 54%. Due to our excellent results and the confidence in the outlook, our Board of Directors has proposed a dividend of CHF 1.7. That represents a payout ratio of 53%. With these excellent results, we are setting guidance for '26 that is fully aligned with our midterm targets, and I'll take you through the guidance in details at the end of this presentation. Now let's turn to the region highlights. Very proud to report excellent results in Europe. Europe for Holcim continues to deliver strong margin expansion, which is driven by our high-value strategy as we are scaling our sustainable offering and accelerating initiatives in decarbonization and circular construction.
In terms of the outlook, very positive on Europe. We expect strong activity in infrastructure. For instance, take, for example, Switzerland, we already communicated that we are supplying our products and solutions to Gotthard Tunnel. Now we have landed another big tunnel Axenstrasse, and we will start delivering soon. Also in residential building permits have increased across the whole Europe in recent months, even in the big markets like Germany and France. Let's look now in more detail on how we have made sustainability a driver of profitable growth in Europe. By scaling our sustainable offering, accelerating, decarbonization and circular construction as well as investments in value-accretive M&A, we have achieved a consistent multiyear margin expansion of 430 basis points between 2020 and 2025. That is a period that includes COVID crisis, high energy crisis, challenging economical cycles, market condition and also significant volatility in carbon price.
Leading in decarbonization, we are using innovative formulations and alternative fuels to continue to expand our margins, so too with recycling of construction and demolition materials into the new building solutions. During this period, we have also created excellent value through our disciplined M&A approach, closing 66 acquisitions at very good prices, which were on average just around 5.3x EV EBITDA at signing, including synergies. These acquisitions are increasingly focused on expanding less carbon-intensive high-value building solutions from foundation and flooring to walling and roofing. All of this demonstrates our agility, our resilience based on our proven business model. I'm sure that we will get on to discussions on the EU ETS in our Q&A. So let me say a few words on this topic.
The European Commission already announced its work program in 2025. So this is not new. This included a review of ETS to provide clarity for the post-2030 period with a proposal expected in Q3 this year. I would like to emphasize that we do not expect any major changes in short term before 2030. Holcim, of course, welcomes the work that EU Commission is doing to provide clarity for the post 2030 period, including for topics important -- that are important to decarbonization of our industry. If there are any changes to EU ETS allowances in the mid- to long term, this will simply provide more time to build effective business cases and partnerships to evolve the carbon management value chain, including transportation and storage as well as decreasing our costs.
Once again, this slide shows that Holcim has made sustainability a driver of profitable growth regardless of the CO2 price. And more importantly, we have the strategic agility to adapt to different scenarios in our decarbonization road map with levers that expand our margins independent of the carbon price. Strong cost discipline and operational excellence are part of Holcim's DNA. Next, in LatAm, we delivered double-digit net sales growth for the full year with recurring EBIT margin above 30%, even after absorbing the integration costs of our newly acquired businesses. Disensa, the largest construction materials retail franchise in the region continues to grow strongly. We opened 460 new stores to take us to total 2,360.
We expect the strong performance in LatAm to continue with 1.8 million new homes and the start of the next wave of infrastructure projects to accelerate growth in Mexico as well as significant demand in residential, but also in infrastructure to boost Argentina and Central America. Asia, Middle East and Africa delivered outstanding double-digit increase in recurring EBIT in '25 and really outstanding margin expansion of 220 basis points. We saw strong growth in North Africa, driven by public spending and also very, very good momentum in residential market. For this year, as a whole, we expect the strong demand in North Africa to continue with public and infrastructure projects in Egypt, Morocco and Algeria. We also see Australia as another bright spot where our team has secured important precast contracts for roads and tunnels. With that, I would like to hand it over to Steffen to talk through the financials in more detail. Steffen?
Thank you, Miljan, and a warm welcome to you all also from my side. It's a pleasure to be with you today for the full year results. Turning first to the net sales bridge. You can see that organic growth was the main contributor to a 3% rise in local currency as we achieved our 2025 guidance. While there was a contribution from acquisitions, we also divested Nigeria in the fourth quarter, which is categorized as a large transaction. The foreign exchange effect on sales was negative CHF 810 million or 5%.
Just a note on our guidance that you may have picked up from the presentation and press release as a technical simplification and a move to the more common terminology of organic growth, we will be guiding on organic growth for 2026. OG for 2026 is expected to be very similar to the LC definition used so far. For the full year, on the next chart, EBIT, on the full year, we delivered 10.3% growth in recurring EBIT in local currency, excluding large M&A. Now you know why we go back to OG, and even 12.2% organic growth, significantly exceeding our 6% to 10% targeted range for the year.
Despite foreign exchange headwinds of CHF 200 million or 7%, we managed to grow our absolute EBIT in Swiss francs by 1.4%. Next, let's look at the progression of our recurring EBIT and recurring EBIT margin over the last 4 years. This graph here shows that we have been consistently expanded both our recurring EBIT margin and our recurring EBIT, now well above CHF 2.8 billion. As Michael said earlier, our margin expansion is driven by our high-value strategy as we scale up our sustainable offering while keeping a strong focus on cost discipline and operational excellence. We saw strong recurring EBIT contributions from all the regions, around CHF 1.5 billion in Europe and more than CHF 900 million in each of LatAm and EMEA. Europe delivered strong EBIT growth with margin expansion of 140 basis points. Net sales growth was double digit in Latin America, and we maintained a recurring EBIT margin of above 30%.
In Asia, Middle East and Africa, there was double-digit growth in recurring EBIT at 14.1%. The strong performance overall shows the benefits of our regional diversification playing out well. Our deeply embedded performance culture and disciplined financial management ultimately drives the growth of our earnings per share or EPS, which is up 5% in Swiss francs from 2024. This shows that we pay equal attention to operational performance and financial discipline. And as you see here also on the lines below EBIT, obviously. You can see that by all measures of the bottom line, we are producing superior profitable growth. Next, you can see the development of our free cash flow in 2025, which exceeded our target of around CHF 2 billion -- in the last 5 to 6 years, Holcim reliably delivered superior free cash flow with cash conversion rates consistently above 50%.
This is driven by strong EBITDA, our focus on working capital, financing costs, other cash relevant items and last but not least, a very disciplined approach to CapEx, prioritizing those projects with the highest returns. On this chart, you see our net debt leverage ratio, which closed 2025 at a comfortable 0.9x. This will provide Holcim with sufficient financial flexibility and the ability to navigate all economic cycles while continuing to invest in profitable growth through CapEx and M&A and to offer attractive shareholder returns. We remain committed to a healthy balance sheet and net leverage below 1.5x over the long term, a reiteration to what we said at the Capital Markets Day. Holcim is investing for growth while delivering steadily increasing ROIC. Our return on invested capital continues to tick up year-on-year, reaching 11.2% in 2025.
And following our strong value creation for shareholders in 2025, the Board of Directors has proposed a dividend per share of CHF 1.7 to be proposed to our AGM. This will be paid out of foreign capital contribution reserves of more than CHF 7 billion, which amount to 17% of our market capitalization, and these are not subject to Swiss withholding tax. This represents a payout ratio of 53% and very important, a post-tax dividend yield of 2.4% after tax. This next slide is a bit of a reminder of our growth-focused capital allocation out to the year 2030, which we frequently discuss in smaller group meetings with our investors. The execution of our NextGen Growth 2030 strategy will provide Holcim with a total capital deployment capacity of up to CHF 22 billion until 2030.
In order to ignite further growth, we will deploy this capital strategically, focusing on growth as well as shareholder returns. We remain committed to a progressive dividend and returning substantial value to our shareholders. We will return a total of CHF 7 billion until 2030, corresponding to a payout ratio of approximately 50% or higher per year. An additional CHF 4 billion to CHF 6 billion from proceeds of larger divestments or available debt capacity can be used for large strategic M&A or to opportunistically execute share buybacks. We believe that our growth-focused capital allocation will further accelerate profitable growth while delivering attractive returns to shareholders. And with that, I'll close, and I'd like to hand it back over to Miljan.
Thank you, Steffen. So for NextGen Growth 2030, as you have seen, we are delivering superior performance and margin expansion focused on 5 pillars. We are scaling up our sustainable offering powered by our premium brands. We are accelerating initiatives for decarbonization and circular construction, driving profitable growth. A key part of NextGen Growth 2030 is expanding our high-value building solutions. With our impeccable track record of value-accretive M&A, we are focusing on the most attractive markets. And all of this, this is all driven by our deeply embedded performance culture, which we are proud to have at Holcim. Let's look more closely at some of these priorities. Customer demand for our premium brands, ECOPact and ECOPlanet continues to grow. These are being used at scale in large projects like the CityWave in Italy, which was built with ECOPact made from ECOPlanet that is even more sustainable because we use calcine clay and Mohammed Tower in Morocco, which was built with our ECOPlanet low-carbon cement and our insulation form Airium.
We're also seeing a strong growth in ECOCycle, our circular technology that is being used to recycle construction and demolition materials and put it back into our products. A recent project completed using ECOPact and ECOCycle was this housing project on the outskirts of Paris in France, which consists of 220 social housing units. This is the first and first in the world, 100% recycled concrete building in which all the components used, cement, concrete, even water are 100% recycled. Overall, this concrete with ECOCycle saved more than 6,000 tons of primary materials. It is a demonstration of what we can achieve by partnering with forward-looking cities to evolve building standards and building norms.
We are advancing circular construction to build cities from cities and also to drive profitable growth. In 2025, we made 3 acquisitions, and we also invested organically to grow our circular construction hubs. We are establishing them in all the major metropolitan areas in which we operate to a total of 109. Over the same period, we grew our net sales from circular construction to close to CHF 500 million. And as you can see, we are well on the way to hit CHF 800 million by 2030. Organic investments make up an important part of our growth-focused capital allocation, and Steffen also mentioned this. And in 2025, our capital expenditure amounted to around CHF 400 million. You can see some recent examples on this slide across different geographies. They give you some idea of our priorities, grinding investment, calcined-clay production or expanding our building solutions in Australia.
You will see in our press release that we have signed an agreement with Air Liquide to deepen our collaboration on one of our flagship projects, GO4ZERO for carbon capture and storage in Obourg, Belgium. We are in full execution of the first phase of this upgrade, which will make Obourg a really state-of-the-art plant, not only in Holcim World, but globally. And all these growth investments have a very attractive returns and a very attractive paybacks. Next, M&A. We closed 21 value-accretive transactions in 2025, of which 18 were acquisitions and 3 were divestments. We made 9 acquisitions in Building Materials and also 9 acquisitions in Building Solutions. We also have closed divestments of Jordan, Nigeria, and we sold our Karbala plant in Iraq. Just a reminder that we signed in October an agreement to buy Xella, a growth platform in a highly attractive European walling market.
It brings us sustainable and energy-efficient solutions powered by the premium brands that are really great fit to Holcim's existing product portfolio. It will also help us to accelerate the expansion of Holcim's high-value building solutions, which is in line with our next-gen growth strategy. This transaction is subject to customary conditions and approvals and is expected to close in H2 this year. In December, we also signed the agreement to acquire a majority stake in Pacasmayo. The company is a leading producer of building materials in Peru, and this transaction will probably close, of course, subject to all the regulatory approvals in H1 this year.
Finally, a note on our deeply embedded performance culture. You can see on this slide, statistics, but our results are not down to statistics. Our results are thanks to our people that work at Holcim. We want Holcim to be the best workplace where talent is nurtured, where performance is awarded and where innovation is encouraged. Our commitment to this vision has been reflected in Holcim being recognized as a global top employer by the Top Employers Institute. And through Holcim University, which is our in-house business school, we are providing our people with really best-in-class trainings. With our focus on accountability and also empowerment through Holcim spirit, our more than 45,000 of employees are delivering value across all economical cycles and across all market conditions.
And now to the outlook. Well, net sales and recurring EBIT growth fully in line with our NextGen Growth 2030 targets. Net sales, 3% to 5%. And as mentioned by Steffen, we are moving to organic growth. Also EBIT, 8% to 10% organic EBIT growth. We are committing to further increase of recurring EBIT margin. We estimate cash flow to be around CHF 2 billion. And of course, we will continue to invest in circular construction with 20-plus percent volume growth in 2026. Bernd, you can now open it for questions.
Thank you so much, Miljan. Thank you so much, Steffen. With this, we're starting our Q&A session. The first question is coming in from Martin Husler, who is joining us here in Zurich. Please wait until you get the microphone, please.
2. Question Answer
I have 2 questions. Maybe first, coming back to the ETS rumor scheme, and thanks for your elaboration so far. But maybe how much have you already invested, let's say, for example, in CCUS projects, which might stand at risk if CO2 prices came down below EUR 50 over the next couple of years. So just an indication on what's here at stake? And what would it mean if you start to delay CCUS projects for your CapEx for the next couple of years? That's the first question.
Okay. Thank you, Martin, and thank you for your question. So on ETS, the answer is negligible investment so far. I mean, we are -- for instance, in Obourg, we are building a brand-new plant, but we would do that without CCS. This will be the state-of-the-art plant best-in-class when it comes to cost efficiency and also when it comes to the sustainability KPIs. We talk here about a few million across the projects. So investments so far, negligible. If the projects are delayed, and I did discuss on what happens after 2030, I think if there is a delay, we will have more time to find more cost competitive solutions for these projects.
I'll give you a perfect example. 3 years ago, most of these carbon capture projects were based on offshore storage, means we take -- capture CO2, we take it somewhere in the sea. Now the momentum, especially in the last year, 1.5 years, has accelerated to move from offshore to onshore. So the cost advantage is enormous. So even if nothing happens on EU ETS, CO2 prices continue to go up, I might delay a project 6 to 12 months in order to move from offshore to onshore storage because cost advantage, as I said, is enormous. So when it comes to the CCUS projects, what we do at Holcim, and this is DNA, it's the discipline regardless, cost discipline on pricing, on cost and cost discipline on M&A and also CapEx projects.
And then a second question because you faced some integration costs you mentioned for Latin America, for example. Now thinking about the acquisitions that you announced, Pacasmayo, Xella, et cetera, which roughly add 10% to group sales on an annual base. How much as a ballpark number, how much EBIT contribution could that be? I mean, could EBIT also be impacted by integration costs, just 10% on sales? How much is this roughly on EBIT?
I'll start and then maybe Steffen can continue. So these 2 acquisitions in LatAm, they were different than Pacasmayo, let's say. Pacasmayo will run as a stand-alone company. So integration costs, they will -- there are always integration costs. Are we synchronizing ERP system? We will definitely invest in safety -- health and safety because this is the core of what we do, but I would expect negligible impact. And the same applies for Xella. On Xella, I think I would even like to spend more to accelerate this cross-selling between us to invest, for instance, in additional sales force so we can move faster on specification selling. So I would not expect significant impact on these 2 deals and the integration costs.
You're completely right, Miljan. Just to give you a feeling the scope in for these large acquisitions, Xella, Pacasmayo and Alkern for this year is going to be in the range of CHF 120 million to CHF 150 million on EBIT level. But the difference to a smaller acquisition -- in a small acquisition, you often need to go in and change a lot of things to bring it up to Holcim standard from safety to IT to accounting. Here, we're acquiring very mature companies. And so the initial cost to bring them to our standards is much, much lower. We can basically use almost everything they have. And then we change the accounting standards to completely communicate with ours. But the cost and the effort we have to do is much lower.
Next question comes from Lothar Lubinetzki from Octavian.
Let me follow up on the CO2 issue. What is more important for your margin progression, price or mix? And with regard to price, what is the current premium you're getting for ECOPact ECOPlanet in Europe and LatAm?
So everything is important. Don't get me wrong. But on the -- what is the -- what's driving our margin expansion is our whole high-value strategy, where pricing is important to offset the cost inflation, but margin expansion is coming from sustainable offering. I'll come to that later. It's coming from our incentives -- initiatives in decarbonization and circular construction. And you saw the slide on Europe, 66 acquisitions in the last 5 years at multiples of 5.3 after synergies. And so all of this is driving margin expansion. Now on sustainable offering. This is something that I'm really proud of the way we handle the whole launch of these products and where we are today. We do have a modest price premium on ECOPact, ECOPlanet, and this could be between low to mid-single digits. Probably in some countries, we are closer to 5%.
In some countries, we are between 1% and 2%. But as I said this before, these products, we have a cost upside. Thanks to Holcim's innovation, our production know-how, our formulation know-how on these products, we are reducing cost. We are replacing expensive raw materials with less expensive. For instance, you saw that we are now scaling up calcined clay production even in LatAm. This is exactly the point. By doing this, we will be replacing clinker with calcined clay. Calcined clay has lower CO2, but also has a lower cost.
So the story was about Europe. But a few weeks ago, I had a privilege to visit Egypt. I mean, country -- emerging market where the team took me to a project, National Grand Museum of Cairo, quite impressive, the whole development. And what was specified -- architects specified ECOPlanet. They demanded low-carbon cement and concrete solutions on these products. And this is a project in Egypt, not in Zurich or Hamburg or London. So potential for these products is increasing. And we are seeing more and more demand even in the developing markets. Another great example that you find might -- we published this actually 2 quarters, Ecuador. By far, I think it's the biggest residential development complex in the whole Latin America, houses for 180,000 people, all done with ECOPlanet and ECOPact.
And in terms of recycling CDM, I think you reached 8 million tons this year. Is there anybody else in the industry who is even getting close to that number?
So just to clarify, this market is big. What we're currently seeing that this market is fragmented. So there are many players. For us, where our advantage is, we are focusing on metropolitan cities, big cities from Zurich to London to Paris, Lyon, where we have a strong Holcim footprint. Buying these companies or building recycling hubs from scratch, we have excellent synergies. That's why we are faster than the others. I'm being modest.
Thank you, Lothar. One more question from the room. It's Remo Rosenau from Helvetische Bank.
What kind of price increases did you already announce in Europe ahead of all these certificate discussions? And when should they take effect?
It varies by region, so probably the most important regions.
So we talk about Europe -- Remo, thank you for the question. I know the pricing question always comes at some stage. First of all, very pleased with the pricing dynamic in Europe this year. We had an excellent exit price in December. And I think from what I have seen, and I have spent a lot of time with my dear colleagues at the back on pricing topic, we do have a very healthy momentum. I maybe too early to say, but it depends from market to market. Maybe we are talking about mid-single digits.
In percentage points.
Yes. We will stick before or after all of this.
Well, that's the question, how much of that will stick because the announcement is one thing and then the reality is the other one. And this is the slow season. So it only comes really -- I mean, the proof of the pudding will be in March, April, right?
Once again, depending from market to market, we are already seeing something -- some contracts have been secured. I am optimistic and positive that we will get there.
We stay tuned.
Thank you, Remo. We are now switching to questions from the webcast. The first one is Julian Radlinger from UBS.
So a couple for me. So first of all, the -- so you're guiding to 8% to 10% organic EBIT growth, which is higher than what you guided to last year. And last year, you delivered, I think, 12%. So I'm not going to ask whether or not you think you could do even better than 10%. But if that were to happen, what would the drivers for that be? What's likely to be different in 2026 versus 2025 in your mind in terms of demand, volumes, price or costs?
And then secondly, and I'm really sorry to ask this, but I think a lot of investors right now are really nervous about this topic, obviously. In a scenario in which something really draconian were to happen to this whole ETS mechanism. Let's just hypothetically say it actually -- they actually push the whole thing to the [right] or they cap CO2 prices on a very low level. What do you think happens to cement pricing dynamics in Europe or the level of competition? How would you -- what would you -- how would you think about that?
Julian, thank you for your question. I'll go to the second, and maybe you can answer the first one. We already addressed it on the guidance. So first of all, Europe slide is there, Julian, you can see what we have done in the last 5 years. And this is across some really challenging market conditions. We had COVID. We had -- remember in 2022, we had high energy prices going 300%, 500% overnight and so on. Pricing was disciplined in Europe, and that helped us offset all these costs.
So I do not perceive any significant impact, on the pricing dynamic will remain positive and healthy. There is more discipline. And Holcim, this is where we differentiate. We will continue with our pillars of our high-value strategy, sustainable offering, decarbonization, circular construction, M&A and so on to continue with margin expansion. So regarding just one on these big projects that I would like -- there are derisking mechanisms already in place in some countries that can help us mitigate the CO2 price volatility. So these projects on carbon capture can go ahead.
Look, we simply narrowed the guidance, right, from 6% to 10% to 8% to 10%, which is a sign of our confidence that we're really going to sit again at the upper end of that frame that we gave at the Capital Markets Day. So you should interpret that as a sign of confidence. Last year, we had above 12%. And again, we're aiming for the upper end of this guidance. Now what drives it? Leverage through a bit volume, as Miljan described before, operating leverage. And we're still on the journey to reduce our corporate costs, as you know, and to readapt to the regional footprint also after the spin-off. We have positive price over cost. We have good contribution from our JVs, a bit offset through the Nigeria divestment. So -- and I would also say the margin progress and the EBIT growth progress is probably a bit back-end loaded given the volume recovery pattern. But it's a sign of confidence, I would say, that we narrowed this guidance to the upper end.
Maybe one I mentioned in the presentation, Switzerland. So we are a Swiss company, proud to be a Swiss company. The amount of infrastructure projects we have in Switzerland today is significantly higher than versus 3 years ago. I mentioned Gotthard, okay, but this new one, Axenstrasse connecting Schwyz and Uri. This is a new project that will go on for years and where Holcim has secured the contract to supply. Also, once again, I would like to reiterate, residential sector was hardest hit in the last few years. For the first time, we are seeing bottoming down. Maybe it will not go skyrocketing, but we are seeing positive signs in this market segment where we took the hardest hit.
The next one on the line is Ben Rada Martin from Goldman Sachs.
My first is on the 2026 free cash flow guidance. Your comments around, I guess, expecting CHF 2 billion in '26 versus the CHF 2.15 billion you did in 2025 despite some really strong earnings growth in terms of EBIT. Can you talk through, I guess, what would bring you down towards the CHF 2 billion mark? Is it CapEx, tax, any working capital impacts, just so we can understand some of the key buckets? And then the second would just be on carbon capture. It's worth noting some headlines around potentially a Belgium project moving beyond 2030. Would you be able to touch on how you see the other project time lines within the next few years? And how much you expect to be online before the end of the decade?
Thank you for your question, and thank you for joining us. I'll go with the second question, and then Steffen can address the first on cash flow. So this morning, Air Liquide has made the announcement that we entered into partnership for the second phase of this project, Obourg, carbon capture. So as you can imagine, we have been dealing with the media recently a lot. Nothing to do with us. Phase 1 is progressing well. I had the opportunity to bring our Board members to see how the state-of-the-art project will look like when it's commissioned in H1 next year. Very happy with the development on that front. Once we complete commissioning in H1 next year, we will start working on Phase 2, which is with carbon capture with Air Liquide.
Ben, good to talk to you. On the cash flow guidance, look, over the last couple of years, also before the spin-off, Holcim has always delivered an above 50% cash conversion. And we've always had a very conservative cash flow guidance. Now why is that? Because cash flow is a time frame number, but it's also a snapshot number at the end of the year, depending on the fall of certain payments at the end of December or the beginning of January. This is why we give ourselves some flexibility here with this number. But you shouldn't read a message that we're reducing cash flow or that the strength of our cash conversion is weakening at any degree. It's just we give ourselves some flexibility in order not to be pushed into unsustainable measures at the year-end. That's it.
And the next one on the line is Luis Prieto from Kepler Cheuvreux.
A couple of them for me. The first one is I would like to come back again for a moment to the European Commission's overhaul of the EU ETS. The significant amount of noise around the subject has taken the CO2 price down, if I'm not mistaken, by almost 25% over the last 6 weeks. Could you provide us with a rough idea of what is the minimum price for the average project in your CCUS pipeline to be economically viable just to understand a bit better. And second one is from a conceptual perspective only, what could be a reasonable assumption for medium-term volume growth in Europe if the German infrastructure, defense investments, residential recovery and data center themes pan out as expected? In other words, if all these things fire on all cylinders?
Thank you for your question. On the volume -- I'll start with the volumes just to shake it up a little bit. On the volumes, we do not comment on the volumes, but I would say that construction activity can increase mid-single digit if all of this happens. On the ETS, well, the price can be even EUR 50, EUR 60 if you have derisking mechanisms in place. For instance, Germany has CFD, which is a carbon contract for difference, where they are helping the companies to offset the CO2 price volatility. So if we have that in place, then these projects can go ahead regardless of the CO2 cost. However, for us to be comfortable has to be EUR 100-plus per tonne.
The next one on the line is Elodie Rall from JPMorgan.
So first of all, on LatAm to change a bit from Europe. We've seen margin down 320 bps. I think you mentioned impact from integration of recent acquisitions. What kind of margin direction should we expect there for '26? Do you think we can get that back as soon as this year? Second question is on FX. Sorry, but could you give us your expectations for FX on top line and EBIT? And last question is on your view on capacity consolidation in Europe, if there is any update on this? I mean you were talking previously about further consolidation likely to happen by 2030. So has anything changed in particular with the potential for ETS reform?
Thank you for the question. On the capacity consolidation, we are not seeing any significant changes. I still believe that we might -- even this year, we might see some opportunities. As I said last time, we are interested. However, there are markets where we will not be able to participate. But overall, if there is a possibility, definitely, we would be interested in capacity consolidation.
For us, I said this also in the past, there could be a possibility that in the next few years, some of our existing clinker producing plants will be converted to produce something else, for instance, calcined clay. And the teams are working on this, and we already have a few of these projects underway. On LatAm, I think I am expecting margin expansion this year. I will not put the number, but all the signs -- positive signs are in place all the way from Mexico to Argentina. We are seeing a positive strong momentum in some of the countries in Central America. So I am expecting margin expansion in LatAm.
FX? Elodie, first of all, we expect headwinds to normalize from FX at around -- number one, first, I have to say, I don't have the crystal ball, okay? This is a disclaimer. And then after that, we expect headwinds to normalize as of the second quarter. The first quarter will still be a bit challenging. But if you have to put my best guess for this year, you have an FX headwind on sales of around 3% and an FX headwind on profit of around 4% to 5% with big disclaimer marks all around this information, okay?
The next one in the line is Arnaud Lehmann from Bank of America.
I have 3 questions, if I may. Just a follow-up on Latin America and Mexico, in particular, there's been a bit of unrest. Can you confirm that there wasn't any major disruption to your operations so far? And if you don't mind commenting a bit more on the volume outlook and pricing outlook for Mexico for 2026? That's my first question. My second is on North Africa. I believe the momentum was pretty good in Morocco, Egypt, et cetera. Can you -- do you see a continuation of the positive volumes momentum in '26? And lastly, you end 2025 with a very strong balance sheet. The share price has been a bit more volatile and obviously has come back down a little bit recently. Do you see opportunities for buyback?
I'll go on LatAm, Mexico and North Africa, and you address share buyback. Mexico, we are monitoring situation. There have been unrest in 20 out of 32 states in Mexico. Today, we still have some tension in 4 states, but Holcim operations have not been affected. And in -- other than these 4 states, most of the states are back to normal. On the whole Mexico volumes and trends, so as I said, last year, probably we were expecting these big infrastructure projects to start earlier, they started late in Q3 and they continued in Q4.
So I expect good momentum on infrastructure projects this year. And I already mentioned, it's on the slide that the first wave of social housing projects, 180,000 homes out of 1.8 million has started. So I'm optimistic about Mexico. On the North Africa, really, really strong momentum in '25. I am very happy what I'm seeing this year, what we have in the pipeline. You mentioned Morocco and Egypt. I would like to add Algeria. These countries -- these 3 countries' margins are now even higher than what we have in Latin America. Momentum is strong. Probably, we are expecting even better year than '25 in these markets.
Share buyback. Maybe I'll take a little step back to answer your question. So we announced the deals of Xella and Pacasmayo, which we will close in 2026. So the cash out will be in this year. We announced the dividend. And then there are some smaller portions that we do. We do bolt-ons again and so on and so on. So we will end up with a debt leverage of below 1.5 again, as we announced at our Capital Markets Day, we're going to move a bit closer to that number in 2026. Now also, as we've shown on our chart before, capital allocation until the year 2030, we have a clear priority of the dividend, the M&A, the CapEx, and we always said that share buyback is something we do with -- in exceptional opportunistic cases with excess cash.
But if you look at what I said before, we still have so many opportunities to do M&A on top also of Xella and Pacasmayo. There are still a lot of interesting opportunities out there for us in 2026 that you might hear as we go through the year. So that we -- for this year, we don't announce a share buyback. But as we also said in our capital allocation in a year where we don't have so many opportunities to drive very good returns with M&A, then we might also revert to a share buyback as a means to deploy our cash.
The next one on the line is Ephrem Ravi from Citi.
Again, only 2 questions left. Firstly, the Asia, Middle East and Africa, obviously seeing some of the strongest EBIT growth in local currency of all your regions. But it feels to me from the commentary that's almost entirely North Africa and maybe a little bit of Australia. So is it possible to unpack that region a little bit more in terms of what proportion of the growth in EBIT is coming from Morocco, Algeria and Egypt and maybe even Australia compared to Bangladesh, Philippines, et cetera, which is probably breakeven and obviously, Huaxin, we can look from public figures.
Second question on the -- back to carbon, I'm sorry for that. Is there any opportunity for you with lower carbon prices, i.e., can you sort of sell some credits before prices come down in the future if the rate of allowances given is going to be higher than expected in the future? And secondly, are you looking at hedging mechanisms on carbon? Because obviously, you could hedge currency and energy, but I haven't heard much about hedging carbon cost in the future because I suppose it was all seen as a one-way trade-off. But now that it's more volatile and range bound, is that something that you would be considering?
I'll tackle EMEA and you tackle the second one. Ephrem, thank you for your question. Yes, EMEA outstanding margin expansion, very good growth and most of it is coming from North Africa, Australia and GCC. We didn't mention it's a small position, but UAE is booming. Our position in Philippines, Bangladesh, it's relatively small. Philippines, if I can say one market where there are really challenging market conditions, that's Philippines and -- but relatively small position in the grand scheme, so it's not impacting. As I said, most of the margin, most of the contribution comes from North Africa, GCC and Australia. Having said that, Australia in H1 last year was a little bit softer, but we have seen a very good momentum in starting Q3 and continuing in Q4.
Carbon, Ephrem, we do not usually comment on that of what positions we take or don't take. It's highly sensitive. But we can be opportunistic in certain cases. We can look out into the future. We can make estimations that in certain years, the allowances we have will not cover our needs and then we might take positions at low markets. But be aware, what is very important to understand, we always view this as an industrial company. We never view this from a point of view of a trader who is trying to make a benefit on the carbon trades. We deal with the CO2 market like a raw material, okay, and not as a tool to make an additional gain with hedge positions. I think this is very important to understand.
So my view is even simpler. If I have CHF 1 million to invest, would I go and buy CO2 credits or would I invest in the circular hub or decarbonization initiative? Definitely. I would invest in a project where I can reduce the CO2. So we are -- as you said, we are not in the trading business.
Doing something good for shareholders and the planet. We've got a couple of written questions. The first one is from Pujarini Ghosh from Bernstein. She's asking, have you seen any change to the demand or willingness to pay a slight premium for your decarbonized products because of the ETS noise?
The answer is no and not only in Europe, but outside Europe as well.
Very simple. And the second question from Puja is, could you split the LatAm margin decline between what is driven by acquisition integration costs and how much could be operating leverage and underlying business impact?
Look, a couple of drivers here. Number one, we said that there were some onboarding costs for acquisitions. There was a big mix effect also, some countries that are very high profitability were a bit softer. Then we went through a bit of a slump in volumes also in 2025 in the second quarter, especially. And naturally, it takes a few months until you adapt your fixed cost structures.
And then lastly, we did a lot of maintenance, as I said, in the third quarter. So all of these things, as Miljan said before, we were quite positive that this is behind us. And for the full year 2026, we plan a very nice margin progression back to the levels of where we've been before. We're not guiding margin on one region specifically, but you can expect that the margin will come back up because there's nothing fundamentally -- there's nothing fundamentally that drove this where we are today. It was a couple of instances.
Then we've got 3 questions from Paul Rogers from Exane BNP Paribas. The first one, are you now happy with your portfolio in Latin America? Or are there still either new countries to enter or bigger gaps to fill?
I would simply -- last one was Peru. Peru now with Pacasmayo, we are gaining market leadership, and that would be it. LatAm story will be on bolt-ons, especially on Building Solutions side and the full, full acceleration in increasing number of sales points, number of Disensa stores.
Second question from Paul is how much debt capacity is left for larger M&A this year after Xella and Pacasmayo?
Yes. Paul, same question I gave to Arnaud before. We're going to close the deals on Xella. We're going to close the deal on Pacasmayo. We're going to pay a dividend. That leaves us at the end of the year roughly below 1.5. This is a long-term commitment. Now what we can do in order to maintain our credit rating, we can go up to -- up to 2 for a certain period of time. So there is a lot of debt capacity still left for us if we find it opportunistic to do other M&A. So financing will not hold us back.
And let me ask a third question. I think more or less we tackled this one. It's again update on Obourg modernization and CCS. Are there other big capital projects proceeding to plan?
All in all, I mentioned already Phase 1 commissioned in H1, really state-of-the-art plant. And I hope that once we are up and running, I will be able to send invitation for you to come and see the plant with the latest technology advances in cement industry.
Perfect. The next set of questions came also in by e-mail from Ebrahim Homani from CIC. Latin America, we already also tackled that one, I think, more or less. Is it possible again to reach the 2024 level in Latin America in the future?
Yes. Very simple.
Then the second question, weather conditions are currently bad in Europe since the beginning of the year. Not today in Zurich, but what's the impact on the expected organic growth for this year?
Look, Q1 is the smallest quarter in the year. January and February are the smallest months in the year. I say I cannot control the weather. But for me, what's important in January and February, Remo, this is what we discuss pricing momentum. So in the meetings these days, when it comes to activity, we only talk about pricing momentum. So even January was cold, February was wet, but this is only start of the year.
Perfect. The next question came in from Harry Goad from Berenberg. Do you expect to see positive organic volume growth in France and Germany this year?
To be highly conservative, I would say flattish. I would not commit to growth.
I think we demonstrated last year that we can achieve growing EBIT even in weak volume environments.
Well, the slide on Europe is suggesting activity was going down and the margin expansion was going up.
Somewhat related question from Stefano Donati from BlackRock. In your guidance, what volume assumptions are you using for Europe? And how much of the German infrastructure stimulus is in them?
[indiscernible] flat probably on 2 very large countries. And then up in Eastern Europe, I would say we have a low to mid-single-digit volume guidance in Europe positively.
I would -- on infrastructure in Germany, I would not expect anything in H1. We might see some positive signs in Q3, but I would not bet on anything big from German infrastructure spend.
Perfect. Then we are switching again to live questions from the webcast. The next one in the line is Harry Dow from Rothschild. Harry?
Just I think 2 questions left for me. I think, firstly, on the cost picture for 2026. I maybe you could take us through some of the assumptions around the raw materials, energy, employee sort of wage inflation sort of thinking about maybe in Europe? And then also just back on Northern Africa, I just wondering how much sort of spare capacity there is left in some of those markets for further volume growth? Or is it more sort of around pricing gains beyond sort of this year?
What was the second question? Can you please repeat the second question? I didn't hear it well.
Yes. It was just on North Africa, again, coming back on that. I just wondered how much spare capacity there was in that market for more sort of volume growth from here in terms of...
I'll go to North Africa, you tackled the cost topic. So North Africa, there is an excess capacity in all of these countries, especially in Algeria, but these countries are also export hubs. I mean, Algeria, currently, we are producing products to export to Europe, West Africa and also North America. Similar situation is with Egypt. There is a capacity if local demand is increasing, then exports will start reducing.
On cost, look, I would say energy, low single-digit impact, but we're always guiding carefully on energy. And then what nonvolume-related costs we're definitely going to go down this year. I said this before. We are still working on the fine-tuning of organization, which we do all the time. It's an ongoing topic at Holcim. We never have a big restructuring program or give it any name, but we're always working down on our structure.
So this will continue here. We see positive impacts. Distribution, hard to say, maybe a bit up by also low to mid-single digit. And then most importantly, I think what we said before and for you to take into account, there will be positive price over cost. So this is for us, it's the main topic. There will be positive price over cost, and there will be margin progress.
Perfect. The next one on the line is Isaac Ocio from On Field Investment Research.
So first one, I have 2. The first one would be, so in Asia, what additional EBITDA could you expect from Huaxin in China after they acquired Nigeria? And second question, so in Europe and Mexico, we're seeing mid- to high single-digit price increases successfully sticking. CEMEX announced 10% hoping to get mid-single digit in Mexico, and it looks like we could see some better volumes on top of that. So given the relatively limited cost inflation on the energy side, how much potential do you see for organic EBIT growth to really exceed the high end of your guide as the price costs expand?
Thank you for the question. Look, we probably go a little granular if we want to now break the Nigeria impact into Huaxin. I don't know, maybe 10% more conservatively -- 10% more contribution from Huaxin. And then Mexico, how much potential for organic growth? Well, double digit.
And the last question today in the line is an add-on question from Julian Radlinger from UBS.
I just wanted to ask, so judging from the slides, it looks like the ECOPlant mix has kept growing about 1% per half year through '25, but ECOPact has stayed at 31% of ready-mix sales since last summer. And obviously, as you explained, the increasing mix of these products has been a consistent price and margin driver for you guys. So how -- I know you have targets for that for 2030, but how should we think about that going forward? Is that -- are both of those products going to keep increasing?
Julian, very simply, it's not a linear relationship. For instance, I believe ECOPlanet will accelerate now because we are seeing a huge momentum in countries like Egypt, Morocco, all the way to Mexico and Argentina. So probably the ECOPlanet will start increasing over proportionally versus ECOPact. And ECOPact, this is more in mature market. We are seeing a growing demand across all markets, but at a slower rate. Anyhow, we do have a commitment by 2030. We are sticking to this commitment. I would say that probably ECOPlanet will be above that.
Perfect. Thank you, Julian. So with this, we are finished. Thank you so much for joining us today. If there are any further questions, obviously, the Investor Relations team is more than happy to support you. Everyone who is joining us in Zurich today, we are happy to invite you for a small lunch and the analysts which were not able to join us today and investors, we hope to see you soon in the coming weeks when we are going on roadshow. And with this, I hand it back to Miljan for some closing remarks.
Thank you. Thank you all for joining us. Really a pleasure this morning to present these outstanding results. I can assure you that we are at the full speed. Our performance culture delivered and will continue to deliver outstanding results. This performance culture, if I can use one word, that word is discipline. We will continue to exercise strong cost discipline, pricing discipline, discipline when it comes to M&A, discipline when it comes to CapEx projects. And I'm looking for another successful year in 2026. One big thank you to all Holcim employees, 45,000 of them for your outstanding efforts.
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Holcim — 2025 Earnings Call
Holcim — 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz (organisch): +3% in Lokalwährung (organisches Wachstum als Haupttreiber der Umsatzsteigerung).
- Recurring EBIT: +10,3% YoY (recurring EBIT = wiederkehrendes Betriebsergebnis), Q4-Tempo +12,2%.
- Margin: Recurring-EBIT-Marge +80 Basispunkte auf 18,3%.
- Cashflow: Free Cash Flow CHF 2,2 Mrd, Cash Conversion 54%.
- Bilanz & Return: Nettohebel 0,9x, ROIC 11,2%; vorgeschlagene Dividende CHF 1,7 (Ausschüttungsquote 53%).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- High‑Value‑Strategie: Skalierung nachhaltiger Produkte (ECOPact, ECOPlanet, ECOCycle) und Ausbau von Circular‑Hubs (109 Standorte) zur Margensteigerung.
- NextGen 2030: Kapitalrahmen bis CHF 22 Mrd bis 2030; klare Priorität: Wachstum, M&A, Dividenden (CHF 7 Mrd Rückflüsse geplant) und selektive Buybacks.
- M&A‑Fokus: 2025: 18 Akquisitionen/3 Desinvestments; signierte Transaktionen Xella (Europa) und Pacasmayo (Peru), erwartete Schließungen in H1/H2 2026.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Umsatz 2026: organisch +3–5%.
- EBIT 2026: organisches Recurring‑EBIT‑Wachstum +8–10%, weitere Margensteigerung erwartet.
- Cashflow & Invest: Free Cash Flow rund CHF 2 Mrd; CapEx 2025 ~CHF 400 Mio; 20%+ Volumenwachstum bei Circular‑Produkten in 2026.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- EU‑ETS / CO2‑Preis: Management sieht kurzfristig keine signifikanten Änderungen bis 2030; CCUS‑Investitionen bisher «vernachlässigbar»; für langfristige Projektökonomie komfortabel bei >EUR 100/t, Derisking‑Mechanismen möglich.
- CCUS‑Projekt Obourg: Phase 1 in Ausführung, Inbetriebnahme H1 2027 geplant; Partnerschaft mit Air Liquide für Phase 2 angekündigt.
- M&A‑Integration: Xella/Pacasmayo/Alkern: Steffen nennt eine Grössenordnung von ~CHF 120–150 Mio EBIT‑Scope; Integrationsaufwand als moderat eingeschätzt.
- Preisdurchsetzung Europa: Aussage: Exit‑Preise stark, erwartete Aufschläge meist mittlere einstellige Prozentwerte; Volumenerholung in DE/FR eher vorsichtig eingeschätzt.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Holcim liefert 2025 starke, cash‑starke profitable Expansion: Margen und Free Cash Flow übertreffen Ziele, Guidance 2026 ist ambitioniert, aber konsistent mit der NextGen‑Strategie. Hauptrisiken bleiben EU‑ETS/CCUS‑Ökonomie und FX; Bilanzstärke erlaubt weiteres M&A und verlässliche Ausschüttungen.
Holcim — Holcim AG, Q3 2025 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Oct 24, 2025
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Holcim Q3 2025 Trading Update, Analyst and Investor Conference Call and Live Webcast. I am Sandra, the Chorus Call operator. I would like to remind you that all participants will be in listen-only mode and the conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast.
At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Bernd Pomrehn, Group Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, Sandra, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be here with our CEO, Miljan Gutovic; and our CFO, Steffen Kindler . They will provide an update on our strong 9 months '25 results. Afterwards, they will provide an update on our strategy. And finally, obviously, they will give an outlook for the current year.
And with this very short introduction, I directly hand it over to Miljan. Miljan, please?
Thank you, Bernd. Good morning to all of you, and a warm welcome to Holcim's third quarter results. Steffen and I are pleased to be presenting our earnings to you today. Of course, there will be a time afterwards for your questions.
We delivered strong profitable growth in the first nine months of 2025. Highlights, as you can see, include the accelerating net sales growth in Q3 of almost 5%. Also, strong overproportional recurring EBIT growth across all our regions, and the industry-leading margin above 19%. Our margin expansion was driven by our high-value strategy. This includes scaling up our sustainable offering and accelerating decarbonization and circular construction to drive profitable growth. Earlier this week, we announced that Holcim signed a binding agreement to acquire Xella, a European leader in sustainable and innovative walling systems.
The acquisition is a milestone in our vision to be the leading partner for sustainable construction, and it will also accelerate the expansion of our high-value building solution segment in line with our strategy. With Xella, we have a growth platform in the highly attractive EUR 12 billion walling market, and I will talk more about this later on.
Elsewhere, we have continued our disciplined execution of value accretive M&A. Since the start of the year, we have closed a further 14 transactions focused on the most attractive markets. With these strong results, we are confirming our full-year guidance for 2025. I'll talk about the guidance in full at the end of this presentation.
Turning to the regional highlights now, Europe continues to deliver strong margin expansion driven by our high-value strategy, our sustainable offering, as well as decarbonization and circular construction. The demand for our sustainable offering is expected to drive continued earnings momentum. Here in Switzerland, our lighthouse market for innovation, where we have introduced the world's first circular cement, we have just launched ECOPlanet with ECOCycle cement with at least 10% to 100% of recycled construction and demolition materials inside. In Europe, more broadly, the residential market is showing signs of recovery, and we also have a robust project pipeline.
In Latin America, we delivered double-digit net sales growth for the first nine months with a recurring EBIT margin above 30%. We have also completed three value accretive acquisitions in Mexico, Peru, and Argentina since the start of the year. These acquisitions will help us further accelerate the expansion of Disensa, the largest construction material retail franchise in the region. Disensa is growing strongly, and we have opened around 290 additional Disensa stores in the first nine months.
We expect the strong performance in Latin America to continue with Central America and recently acquired businesses driving growth. In Mexico, there is a very strong pipeline of infrastructure projects to accelerate growth from 2026.
Asia, Middle East, and Africa delivered a double-digit increase in recurring EBIT and outstanding margin expansion of 200 basis points. We saw a strong demand in North Africa and in Australia, where our joint venture business, Cement Australia, also recently closed the acquisition of a division of BGC. Further out, there is a positive outlook in Australia, and we do expect the strong demand in North Africa to continue this year and also in the years to come.
With that, I would like to hand it over to Steffen to talk through the financials in more detail. Steffen?
Thank you, Miljan, and a warm welcome to all of you also from my side. It's a pleasure to be with you today for a nine-month trading update.
Looking first at the net sales bridge, you can see that organic growth was the main contributor. The contribution from acquisitions exceeded the impact of the investments for a total 2.9% rise in local currency, excluding large M&A. This keeps us nicely within the reach of our full-year guidance. The foreign exchange effect on sales was negative CHF 600 million, or 5%.
In the first nine months, we delivered 9.8% growth in recurring EBIT in local currency, again excluding large M&A. With this performance, we are still at the upper end of our full-year guidance. Despite FX headwinds of CHF 160 million or above 7%, we managed to grow our absolute EBIT in Swiss francs by almost 2%.
Now let's look at the progression of our recurring EBIT and recurring EBIT margin on a rolling 12-month basis. This graph shows that we have consistently expanded both our 12-month rolling recurring EBIT margin and our rolling recurring EBIT, now well above CHF 2.8 billion. As Miljan said earlier, this is driven by our high-value strategy from scaling up our advanced sustainable offering, accelerating decarbonization, and circularity initiatives to our value accretive M&A with focus on the most attractive markets and our empowered leadership with a strong performance culture.
We saw strong recurring EBIT contributions from all the regions, more than CHF 1 billion in Europe and more than CHF 700 million in each of Latin America and EMEA. Net sales growth was double-digit in Latin America, and we maintained a recurring EBIT margin of above 30%.
One quick comment on our Q3 margin in Latin. On the efficiency side, we had some phasing of maintenance shutdown in Mexico by three plants, so almost half of our plants in the country, which created comparatively higher maintenance costs and an impact on inventory movement. The timing has been good, as we believe, as we can now transition into the next phase of infrastructure projects with two large rail projects just starting. There were also some scope effects connected with the integration of our most recent acquisitions in Peru and Guatemala that impacted the Q3 margins.
We expect the margin in Latin to be above 30% again in Q4 and for the full year. In Asia, Middle East, and Africa, there was a double-digit recurring growth in EBIT at 14.7%. We had an especially strong Q3 in North African markets, and Australia was also strong, showing the benefits of a regional diversification playing out.
With that short update, I'm pleased to hand it to you back over, Miljan.
Thank you. Thank you, Steffen. To return to our big news from the start of this week, the acquisition of Xella.
Let's walk through the rationale, first of all. As I said, this is a growth platform in the highly attractive European walling market and a business that both has a scale in terms of top line and that is also high-performing with margin of around 20%.
It brings us sustainable and energy-efficient solutions powered by premium brands that are actually a great fit with Holcim's portfolio, with more than 900 salespeople dedicated to provide commercial support to the customers and also high-value specification selling. It also accelerates the expansion of Holcim's high-value building solution, which is in line with NextGen Growth 2030.
The financials are very attractive. The transaction is priced at 6.9x EV/EBITDA multiple after synergies of approximately EUR 60 million in year three. It is also EPS and free cash flow accretive in year one and ROIC accretive in year three.
Here you can see that Xella gives us new capabilities in markets where we are largely already present, which is beneficial in terms of vertical integration. There has been a significant investment in Xella's production facility in the recent years, making them truly state-of-the-art. Its sustainable offering is powered by the premium brands you see listed here.
As noted, this is absolutely in line with our strategy. I've talked about points one to three in the previous slides, but for four, performance culture and value creation, it is also worth noting that Xella is a pioneer in digitally supported construction and smart design tools and processes with its platforms, blue.sprint and Building Companion.
Aside from Xella for NextGen Growth 2030 as a whole, we are delivering superior performance and margin expansion focused on five drivers. Firstly, we are scaling up our sustainable offering powered by premium brands from ECOPlanet and ECOPact to ECOCycle. We are accelerating initiatives for decarbonization and circular construction, which is driving profitable growth. A key part of NextGen Growth 2030 is expanding high-value building solutions with our impeccable track record of value accretive M&A to focus on the most attractive markets. All of this is driven by our deeply embedded performance culture.
Let's look more closely at some of these drivers. Customer demand for our premium brands, ECOPact and ECOPlanet continues to grow. These products are being used at scale in large-scale projects like Metro line in Colombia, which is actually built with EcoPact inside, and the nautical bays in France built with ECOPlanet that is even more sustainable due to its use of calcined clay instead of more energy-intensive clinker.
We are also seeing a strong growth in ECOCycle, our circular technology that is being used to recycle construction demolition material and put it back into our products. A recent large-scale project using EcoPact and ECOCycle was this secondary school in Germany, which you can see on this slide.
Next, M&A, we have closed 14 value accretive transactions since the start of the year, with five to strengthen in building materials and seven in high-value building solution. We also closed the divestment of our Nigerian business, and we sold Karbala Cement Manufacturing in Iraq.
Now about our outlook. With these strong results, we are confirming our full year 2025 guidance with the following: net sales and recurring EBIT growth in line with NextGen Growth 2030 targets, 3% to 5% net sales growth in local currency, 6% to 10% recurring EBIT growth in local currency, recurring EBIT margin of above 18%, free cash flow before leases of around CHF 2 billion, and we will continue to grow in recycled construction and demolition materials more than 20%.
We'll now turn to the questions. Bernd, please open up the line.
Thank you so much, Miljan. Sandra, can you please repeat the instructions for the Q&A? Thank you.
[Operator Instructions].
Sandra, the fastest one this morning was Tom Zhang from Barclays.
2. Question Answer
Maybe two for me, please. Just the first one, look, it's a little early, but I think the big question from everyone is going to be into 2026. Can you maybe give us any early color around pricing strategy, how kind of expectations around ETS changes fit into that, especially in Europe?
The second one just on Latin America, you mentioned, I guess, Steffen, that you already expect Latin margins back above 30% from Q4. There was a bit of weakness in Peru and Guatemala. Could you maybe just give us a little bit more color into what drove a little bit of the margin compression this quarter? What gives you confidence that that already picks up next quarter? I mean, is that more a sort of market recovery? Is that cost control?
Is that kind of integration of M&A? Any color there would be very interesting.
Good morning, Tom. Thank you for joining. And of course, thank you for your questions. So I think I will start with the pricing and then Steffen will add a few points on LatAm.
Regarding pricing, Tom, you said it yourself, it's a bit too early. But where we stand today, I would expect strong pricing momentum in 2026. We are seeing significant changes on EU ETS front kicking in, in January next year. And automatically, this will open opportunities for healthy momentum on the pricing front. Outside Europe, I think, so far, the indications are good. Obviously, in the markets where we will have high inflation. We will be aiming for double-digit price increases. But so far, so good. I'm not expecting any major setbacks when it comes to pricing momentum in 2026.
On the LatAm front, I might start, obviously, and Steffen already mentioned it. Yes, we have seen a slightly lower EBIT in Q3, but I'm very optimistic about the full year and also next year. Maybe just from my side comment, we have seen some delays on these projects in Mexico.
However, just this week and last week, we have managed to secure the first tranche of these big projects. There is Mexico City to Querétaro. It's a train, a rail project, approximately 200 kilometers. And the other one that goes from Mexico City Airport to Pachuca, approximately 100 kilometers. So just the message from my side here, it's coming. It probably has been delayed for a couple of months, but we are seeing at least the first wave of these projects coming through. Steffen?
Yes. Exactly, Miljan. So to your question, look, as Miljan just said, we had a great run of infrastructure projects in Mexico, and we're now preparing for the next wave of infrastructure projects. This was a good time to take some of our factories into maintenance. So actually, we took 3 of our 7 factories in Mexico into maintenance, which had impacts on the cost and had impacts on the stock level variations. This was one driver for Q3 and then a driver also that we had with the 2 larger acquisitions with Guatemala and Peru. This is very common in our company.
When we acquire new companies, we bring them up to wholesome standards in terms of health and safety, in terms of accounting, in terms of compliance. So this has some start-up cost, which is, of course, part of our business plan. This business perform according to the plan. We're absolutely satisfied with that, but these startup costs are always part of our expectations, and this is what hit Q3. This is why -- and again, together with Miljan just described, we're quite confident that Q4 will be above 30%, I'm absolutely confident that the full year will also be above 30%. So high level of confidence that this was a Q3 limited short draft.
Okay, thank you. I guess maybe just very briefly to follow up, the sort of startup costs, maybe that sort of integration happens every several quarters, but the big delta, I guess, is factories coming back online after maintenance and projects restarting in Mexico for Q4, and you wouldn't sort of rule out further margin progression into '26 as the acquisition integration completes.
Absolutely. You nailed it. I could not add anything to that.
And plus the synergies.
Plus the synergies. Yes.
The next one on the line is Julian Radlinger from UBS.
So two questions for me, please. The first one is on the EMEA segment. So it seems like pro forma, excluding Nigeria, EMEA accelerate on a like-for-like basis in terms of EBITDA growth in Q3 versus the first half, if my math is right. We know, of course, North Africa has been quite strong for some time, but would you agree with that characterization? Am I reading that right that earnings accelerated in Q3? And if so, what or which countries are driving that?
And then secondly, on the German pricing or the European pricing point, I think a big debate amongst investors right now is, of course, the timing of all these regulatory steps and specifically the publication of the benchmark.
And I'm just wondering, is there any risk you see? Or could you help us in thinking about the relationship of the timing of the benchmark, if that happens rather in Q1 some point rather than before the end of the year. Would that have any impact on kind of annual price discussions, you think, like a delay or something like that? How should we think about that?
Good morning, Julian, and thank you for joining, and thank you for your question. Yes, I'll start on the pricing EMEA, and then maybe if you would like to add, Steffen, a few points on EMEA. On the pricing, yes, we need to know what's the benchmark. It will be published probably, I was hoping, end of this year, but it looks like it's going to be in Q1 next year.
For us, it won't make any difference. We will make our assumptions accordingly. Julian, if you recall, our pricing for full year takes effect from January to April. Depending on the contract obligations we have with the customers, it will happen in a few steps. We also have room for dynamic pricing, which we have executed for years successfully, especially in Europe. I would not expect any delays. It will take its natural course. Of course, we would prefer to have this benchmark published earlier than later, but we will deal with it.
On the EMEA side, I'll start, and then Steffen can add. North Africa momentum is really strong. I had the opportunity to visit Algeria just recently, and I had exposure to this country for years. I have never seen such activity on the construction side. We are seeing similar trends in all our big markets, Egypt and Morocco. Also, Australia, if you recall, I did say in the last call, Australia was softer in Q1. It started recovering slightly in Q2, but the momentum now is on a very good level.
I think EMEA momentum will continue, and it will be driven by North Africa, with all these huge investments on the infrastructure side, but also on residential. Plus countries like Australia and so, they will contribute to overproportional growth. Steffen?
Miljan, thanks. There's really not much to add to what you said. Maybe just one small comment that Australia developed positive momentum again. Also, in the Philippines, we've reached a bit of a new plateau in terms of performance. This is not a straight line, but we had a good reset in the third quarter there as well.
The whole region seems to be doing very well, and I want to echo what Miljan said. We also expect a strong fourth quarter. Just keep in mind, Nigeria also performed well in the third quarter, which is now divested. The region will continue to perform very, very well.
Perfect. Thank you, Julian. The next one on the line is Ben Rada Martin from Goldman Sachs.
I just had three, please. My first was on the European clinker asset base. I wonder, you know, we've seen some of the peers close assets in the last few years and talk to kind of an outlook of closures as well. Is this likely to be a theme for your business in 2026? The second one was just on carbon capture. I noticed that it wasn't too much of a focus in the presentation today. Could you give us an update on the timelines of the seven plants in Europe that you've received innovation funding for? Are they likely to still become operational in 2027 and 2028?
Finally, it would just be on price costs. Steffen, would you be able to talk to the price cost dynamics by region for this last quarter?
Good morning, Ben. Thank you for joining. Thank you for the question. I'll start, and then I'll hand it over to Steffen. Basically, the first question was on the footprint. We did optimize our footprint already in 2021, '22 with some modifications. If you are asking me what do I expect in the next two to three years, I do see some of our existing plants that are currently producing clinker. They will be converted to produce something else. These are usually small to mid-sized plants in selective locations, and what they will be producing is probably calcined clay. We see this shift will happen in the next few years.
On CCUS, Ben, you know that we do have seven projects in Europe. These projects were partially funded by the EU Innovation Fund. We talk approximately close to EUR 1 billion funding. They are progressing. Our commitment is actually 2030.
I just came back last night from Belgium, where I was there with the board. We visited the GO4ZERO, one of our lighthouse plants in Belgium that will be also carbon capture. The first phase of the project has already started. We are building a new state-of-the-art plant that will be even without carbon capture, the best in class, the most efficient on the cost side, but also on the CO2 footprint. We expect commissioning early in H1 2027.
Once the plant is commissioned, we will move to the next phase, which is CCS. On this particular plant, we got around EUR 230 million to support the second phase of the carbon capture. I expect that there could be some delays, but I'm not talking about years. I'm talking about months because we know what has to be done in our plants. You need to think about the whole value chain.
We need to have transport in place. We need to have ports in place. Of course, you need to have a sink storage in place. This is work in progress. At the same time, our execution of these projects includes collaboration with different parties. We are dealing with all the relevant stakeholders in the whole value chain to make this happen by 2030.
Price over cost?
Good morning, Ben. Welcome to the group. Look, price over cost has been positive across all regions. I would say the leading regions are Europe and Middle East, Africa. It's driven by pricing still. We have positive price across the board, but it's also very much driven by all the initiatives we do on our structure and on our cost side, from supply chain, distribution cost, where we now work with AI tools to optimize our forecasting, to maintenance, where we again use AI tools to predict our maintenance. This shows very, very nice progress on the cost.
We told you before that after the spin-off, we slowly look to reduce our headquarter structures, which we're making very good progress on. All of these things on the cost side, all the actions we do there also contribute very much to a positive price over cost.
As you know, at Holcim, we don't announce large cost-saving programs and don't give it names. We do this every day. For us, this is a continuous activity to increase the prices and to watch the cost space. Positive price over cost in every region. This is a key for us also in every review we do with our businesses.
The next one on the line is Pujarini Ghosh from Bernstein.
Going back to the topic of Latin American margins, thinking about it slightly on the medium to long term, we are seeing you move slightly away from just selling cement in bags to a more integrated approach with a higher proportion of building solutions in the mix. In that context, how do you expect the margins and also the returns to evolve in LatAm?
My second question is on pricing again, but specifically on some of the regions where you've struggled with pricing, for example, Germany. We've heard from you as well as some of your smaller peers that you've already started talking to your customers in terms of raising prices next year. What are you seeing on the ground? Basically, what are the expectations for pricing in difficult markets like Germany, but also if there are other such markets in 2026?
Good morning, Pujarini. Thank you for the question, and thank you for joining us. On the LatAm, yes, we will be moving more into the building solution. At the end, you have to think about the whole margin with the full vertical integration. We want to scale up building solutions? Yes, margins in building solutions are slightly lower than in the building materials. Looking at the whole picture, we are still seeing potential for, of course, margin expansion.
Our commitment for LatAm remains the same. Our margins have to be above 30%. We will continue at the same time to invest in building solutions, M&A, organic, and our key driver of expansion in LatAm will be Disensa, which is the largest franchise construction retail network. That will help us maintain our market share, increase our penetration into the markets, and also maintain very, very healthy EBIT margins across the LatAm.
If you recall at our NextGen Growth strategy in March, we said we have 200 of these shops around the whole Latin America. Our goal is to reach 5,000. This year so far, we have added approximately 300, and we believe this trend will continue to accelerate.
On the pricing, maybe if you want to add anything?
On the pricing, yes, Germany this year, the market, the pricing momentum wasn't great. For us, once again, pricing is one aspect. Our initiatives, our value over volume strategy, this is what's driving significantly margin expansion in Europe. Pujarini, if you saw that margin expansion in Europe this year, year-to-date was 130 basis points.
This is our focus on our sustainable offering, our premium brand, our investments in decarbonization and circular construction, and, of course, M&A, value accretive M&A strategy, where we are investing in the most attractive markets and most attractive business segments. I believe, as I said previously, pricing momentum in Europe so far is looking promising. It will kick off in January.
Probably by April, we will have the full picture. I just spent the last two weeks conducting comprehensive strategy reviews with the countries. It's part of our midterm planning cycle, and what I have seen is positive.
Thank you, Pujarini. Yes, just again, Latin America, the expansion of the Disensa stores from 2,000 beginning of the year to above 5,000. Obviously, this is a very strong driver of our business in Latin America. The next question comes from Luis Prieto from Kepler Cheuvreux.
A couple of them. Should we consider Xella as a platform to which you will synergistically add new small businesses? Or should we expect other sizable M&A to achieve critical mass in the walling solutions space. And my second question goes back to your example of the use of sustainable products in Colombia. In the absence of meaningful environmental motivations, what explains the client choosing them over your regular offering, again, in a particular case of Colombia.
Thank you for joining, and thank you for the question on Xella. Yes, Luis, this is exactly -- and I think the slide is on. You can see the slide. For us, this is a new growth platform, a platform that is highly attractive and also very profitable. And you would expect expansion in this sector, expansion either through M&As or even organically. We see a great potential where Holcim has a very strong position to actually expand in the -- and Xella is not producing. So there could be -- expansion will be a mix of organic growth and also value-accretive M&A deals.
On Colombia, so LatAm has embarked on the journey for sustainable offering early in the piece. We are not getting significant premiums on these products in Colombia, for instance, Luis, don't get me wrong. We talk about modest pricing premium. But these products, they are also -- with these products, we are able to reduce the cost because we are replacing very expensive raw materials with a cheaper, more environmentally friendly options. And this is what is driving margin increase. In LatAm, we are also talking to all the different stakeholders highlighting the advantages of our solutions from the mechanical and physical properties, but also on the sustainability footprint. And we are managing to achieve the great penetration.
Perfect. Thank you so much, Luis. The next question is from the line of Cedar Ekblom from Morgan Stanley.
Two questions. On Xella, the margins of the business have been under pressure and the business is exposed to residential as an end market in Europe. So I think we can understand why that might be but I think there has been some debate in the market since the acquisition around the quality of the asset and whether your ambition for the 2026 EBITDA of that business is credible and plausible.
So I'd just like to hear your sort of rebuttal to some of the more skeptical views out there that, that is not a good asset. Maybe you could tell us why you think it is. And then secondly, on consolidation in Europe, in the last quarter, you spoke about there maybe being a potential for some heavy side assets to be consolidated in Europe. I don't know if you could give us an update on your position there.
Thank you for joining, and thank you for your question regarding Xella's assets. So we did conducted a very comprehensive due diligence, which was not only desk due diligence. In fact, we spent a lot of time in the field, visiting plants, including myself, I had the opportunity to see some plants. Our technical people, they had a chance to do a comprehensive on-site due diligence on all the key Xella assets.
From what we have seen and what we have concluded, they really have a very strong production efficiencies already in place. They did some sort of footprint optimization in the last 2, 3 years. And at the same time, they invested heavily in the production facilities where they want to stay and expand. And we have seen high level of automation. We have seen a very efficient production cycles. We have seen even very good logistics efficiency, how they are servicing their clients. So all-in-all, I believe one of the greatest assets of this company are actually the production assets. So we were very, very pleased with that.
So on the Xella side, so I did say -- so basically, we talk about this huge walling market. We talked about EUR 12 billion. And this market is growing, and this market is profitable, and it is expected to reach EUR 16-plus billion by 2030. So what is driving this? First of all, there is a significant shortage in housing across the Europe. We talk about deficit of around 10 million homes. We are already seeing recovery in some of our main markets because, as you know, Cedar, Holcim is present also in residential sector.
This will drive growth. In addition to this, we are seeing a strong -- a very strong momentum in repair and refurbishment. For instance, 80% of the buildings where we live and operate today will exist in the next 20, 30 years. So we need to ensure they are suitable for use. So repair and refurbishment momentum will continue to grow. And what's very important that the EU regulations will mandate energy-efficient repair and refurbishment.
And Xella's product range, product offering is best positioned to capture this in long term. So when it comes to the financial performance of the company, I am not worried. I am very excited that we closed this transaction that we can start accelerating our synergies. As you saw, we talk about EUR 60 million in year 3. I believe that the potential is even higher after that from the cost synergies all the way to the commercial synergies.
In the presentation, we have given example of one of the projects. This project has been completed. They do have -- we have supplied ECOPact. We have supplied ZinCo’ roof, our green roofing system and Xella has supplied a sustainable walling system. And this is what I'm talking about. This potential for the cross synergies for specification selling and also vertical integration.
In addition to their, I believe, really very good assets, Xella has 900 commercial people. Out of these 900, 200 are purely dedicated to specification selling. So these people, their every day job is to go and talk to architects, engineers, project managers, builders, key owners to specify Xella's products. Once we close these very exciting acquisitions, they will be specifying Holcim's products. This will accelerate our synergies on the commercial side.
Consolidation, I think, it started. I mean I mentioned this several times. We did buy some assets already, grinding stations, terminals, ports. And I honestly believe we will see some consolidation already starting in '26. And this will be simply driven by the whole EU ETS Phase 4, CBAM and so on. So if you are asking me, yes, depending on the market, depending on the financials, Holcim will be happy to participate in this.
Perfect. Thank you so much, Cedar. Now we've got two questions from Jon Bell from Deutsche Bank. He sent us two questions. First one, can you tell us how long have you been looking at Xella, how competitive was the process? What was the genesis of the deal? That's the first question.
And the second question regarding currency movements, that's one question for you, Steffen. Currency movements, such as the weakness of the euro, will they have a positive impact on your year-end net debt figure '25.
Why don't you start with FX and then I'll...
Okay. Jon, thanks for your question. So we guided net financial debt of [ CHF ] 4.1 billion at the year-end with a debt leverage of 1.1 or below. The currency headwinds currently with about 7% -- above 7% on EBIT are not a detriment to achieving any of our financial KPIs that include FX, free cash flow, EPS. We maintain guidance, and we're well able to deal with that. On the net financial debt basis, we now completed the deal for Nigeria. We received the cash. So I would say the last guidance on net financial debt is probably conservative at this point of time. We're probably going to be right around [ CHF ] 4 billion depending on how free cash flow pans out, maybe even a little bit below.
On the Xella, thank you, Jon, for the question. Look, we've known Xella forever. When we are supplying big projects, I personally like to visit construction sites. When I go on the construction sites, I do see Xella's products. It's a very powerful brand name in most of our key markets, from Romania, Poland to Germany, Belgium, even here in Switzerland, we do have Xella's construction sites, in fact, around the head office.
For us, we knew the company. In some markets, actually, we have been supplying our products to Xella for years now. It was bilateral process. Due diligence lasted for a few months. I think we did spend time, appropriate time, energy and resources to conduct comprehensive due diligence. If you had a chance to hear Cedar's question, for us, it was very important that we understand the asset base, that we understand the commercial approach to the market, and this has taken a few months, but it was one-on-one discussion for the past several months. And yes, very happy that after due diligence, we have managed to sign this deal this week.
Perfect. The next question comes from the line of Elodie Rall of JPMorgan.
So my remaining questions would be, first of all, on Nigeria. I was wondering if you could give us how much did Nigeria contribute to organic growth in Q3 in terms of revenue and EBIT? Or if you want to give us what would have been the like-for-like growth in Q3, excluding Nigeria. So that's my first question.
Second on Xella. It seems like the D&A is quite high, which is bringing EBIT margin down closer to the 12% mark. So is that the correct starting point? And what is driving this high D&A? And how should we think about EBIT margin going forward? And then a bit of a housekeeping about corporate line. My last question is broadly [ CHF ] 100 million a quarter, it seems. So is that the right number going forward now?
I think most of these questions are for you, Mr. CFO. Elodie, tonight -- today, you are not asking me anything. So why don't you start? Maybe on Nigeria, just -- sorry, Elodie. So on Nigeria, so just for the -- it was the consolidated end of August. So September was completely out. On Xella D&A, just -- I just -- I'm very happy what I saw when it comes to the investments into maintenance, into the operational efficiency and obviously, that was the main driver behind D&A. I expect significant margin improvement that will come from a recovery of the market. But also that will come from our highly attractive synergies that we committed in the plan. I'll stop here and hand it over to Steffen.
Yes. Look, Nigeria was about 1/3 of the growth in EMEA. But also remember, please, that negative FX is also driven by Nigeria. The naira depreciated by 20%. What's very important is looking forward, EMEA, the region will continue to perform strongly because the performance was so broad-based. We said this before, Northern Africa, the Middle East, new dynamics in Australia and a bit of a level reset in Philippines, this all came together.
So we will still see very, very strong results from EMEA into the fourth quarter and into next year even after the divestment of Nigeria. I think this is the key message, although Nigeria contributed positively. And then there was a last question on corporate. Could you repeat that? I didn't fully understand that, please?
Sure. It seems like it's now [ CHF ] 100 million in terms of impact per quarter. I mean it used to be a lot higher. So I was wondering if this is the right number to have going forward.
Yes. Yes, [ CHF ] 100 million, corporate to the corporate line, [ CHF ] 100 million corporate cost per quarter about...
Yes, that seems about right. Yes. We are -- remind you, Elodie, we said that as part of the spinoff, we said that we here at Holcim, we had a bit of a larger structure after that, but also we have divestments ongoing. So we're in a permanent process to always look at our structures. We are in permanent process to optimize. I said before, what we're doing in distribution, what we're doing in maintenance with the use of AI, with the leverage of our shared service centers. So there's always a glide path of how we optimize our structure, always -- not with one big program or with one shot that has disruptive FX. We always do this over time. and always in line with our employees' interest. So -- but yes, this is a good way to look at...
I always like to look at that as a percentage of net sales. So maybe if you...
Yes, yes, we -- look, we have been -- our overhead cost has been 2% over the -- 2.2% over the long time in terms of net sales. After the spin, we shot to above 3% for a moment, and we will be back to around 2% at the end of 2026. So this is the glide path I was talking about that we slowly work our structure back down to there. Again, we give us enough time while the company keeps performing.
And regarding your last question, regarding depreciation because obviously, it's not just depreciation. It's also amortization. And obviously, Xella has one incredibly strong brand, which is Ytong. And obviously, they already had some other intangible assets before we acquire them, which we continue to amortize. But we can discuss this bilaterally with the Investor Relations team and will obviously help you to model that.
Now we are going to Switzerland. The next question comes from Martin Hüsler from ZKB.
Yes, I have actually just two questions last, maybe just stick to Xella. Again, can you talk about the current utilization rate and what maintenance and growth CapEx do you foresee to do the growth of more than 5% you expect annually. And also, am I right that it's mainly a new construction product, can you maybe share a bit your thoughts on what percentage of sales you see for refurbishment on Xella?
Martin, thank you for the question, and thank you for joining us. Xella is active in both new construction and also refurbishment, maybe the ratio is now 80%, 70% to 20% to 30%, but we expect this to continue to grow. And this is driven because Xella solutions -- they are nice combined with Holcim's. For instance, walling -- the whole walling is a perfect fit for a highly growing repair and refurbishment market.
On Xella capacity utilization, so what they did, as I said in the last few years, they optimized their production foot heavily, they actually invested in the facilities and upgrade them where they have been -- where they want to stay in the long term. The small inefficient facilities they shut down. Now we are talking about 50-plus production sites across 21 countries.
And when it comes to capacity utilization, we talk about 50%, 60%. It depends really from market-to-market. So we see our potential, we see this white space where we can grow from this map, if you look at the map that is on the slide on the screen, you can see that we can expand in some very attractive markets where Holcim has a leading position.
If you look at the Spain, if you look at the Greece, Switzerland, for instance, Martin, currently, Xella is not producing in Switzerland. Products are coming from Southern Germany. The question will be what -- how do we tackle Switzerland in the future? Then the huge market is U.K., where Xella is currently servicing, they have a commercial logistics setup. So I see opportunities, huge opportunities of inorganic growth. At the same time, we have already identified a few potential M&As. I think I answered...
Okay. Yes, in CapEx -- do you think CapEx -- or what is it in the range of 2% to 3%. Or is it higher?
I would say it's slightly higher. This CapEx is between light and heavy side. So it could stabilize around 3%, 4% in long term.
Okay. And maybe an add-on because you referred before on a question on conversion of plants into calcined clay, obviously, early stage. But I mean, this must come with a cost tag right? I mean to convert, to depreciate clinker factory. Can you give us some probably high-level numbers, what we should expect there?
Well, obviously, Martin, we are producing already calcined clay in some of our plants. In some plants, we have phases where at one, for a certain period of time, we would produce clinker, then we would produce the calcined clay and so on and so on. From the cost point of view, we don't need massive, massive upgrades in our existing plants. It's pretty much straightforward.
And then on the D&A side, I mean, we will still continue to produce the product. So probably too early to say, but I do not expect any significant impact when we are converting existing clinker line to calcined clay line.
Perfect, Martin. The next one is Arnaud Lehmann, Bank of America. Welcome back Arnaud and congratulations what you have achieved.
It was hard work, but it's a fantastic result. A couple of questions on my side, if I may. Just on Xella, could we have an indication of the share of Germany in the sales relative to Eastern Europe? Is it 50-50? Or is it very different from that?
And the second question on M&A. Post Xella acquisition, which I guess will take about a year to complete, Holcim will be pretty close to the 1.5x net debt-to-EBITDA ratio. And I think at the Capital Markets Day, you kept yourself at 1.5. Does that limit your ability to do other larger acquisitions in the next year? And related to that, are you still interested in the Insulation segment or -- now that you've done Xella as a platform deal, you've moved down from insulation?
Thank you for the question, and thank you for joining. It's interesting. I did get a lot of that question about Xella's net sales split, Germany versus the rest of the world. In fact, I would expect that this year and next year, German represents probably 25% to 28% of the total net sales.
The other big markets for Xella, it's Poland, it's Romania, it's Belgium, it's Italy. And this is where Holcim is in a very, very strong position. And as I said earlier, to Martin, I do expect potential to expand Greece. I mean we are a market leader in cement, in aggregates, and ready-mix in Greece. Greece is a great market for these products. Another great market, Spain, and of course, U.K. So Germany is no longer a dominant in Xella's world. And with momentum happening around Germany, I think other countries will grow the portion of the pie.
What was the second question?
Financial debt.
Financial -- why don't you have...
Yes. Okay. On the net financial debt, I alluded before that our balance sheet remains in excellent condition. We look at net financial debt of about [ CHF ] 4 billion towards the year-end with a leverage ratio of about 1. With the Xella acquisition to complete next year, remember, we're not only spending the money, we're also acquiring EBITDA. So it's the denominator and the numerator. I expect purely from the Xella deal to stay at or below 1.5x. And then also what I would like to add at the Capital Markets Day, we said this is our long-term objective in order to be comfortably in BBB+. But we also said if opportunity arises, if there's another deal on the table, we still have enough firepower to go up to below 2x for a limited period of time and still remain in our credit rating. So the 1.5 is a long-term ambition. We could go above that for a period of 12 to 18 months. So we still have ample firepower to do more M&A if we find equally attractive opportunities as Xella's.
Going back to your last question, Arnaud, on insulation. I mean interest is high. I mean this is part of our whole offering. If you recall, I mean, we are already producing PIR products in Germany. This is part of our roofing system. We have production facilities for insulation in Poland, in France. And recently, we did acquire a stone wool company in Poland. So for us, this is a complementary product range. And it is needed. Our goal is to be a leader in sustainable construction with full high end-to-end approach from the basement and the foundation to the walling and of course, roofing solution.
So we did -- in the deck, we did one of these projects, which I already mentioned. When it comes to the construction projects, we don't want to sell one product, we want to sell a system. Selling system means we want to sell 5, 6, 10 products. And with Xella, with our roofing systems, with our walling systems, plus with Holcim's existing sustainable portfolio, we are really now able to offer this high end-to-end solutions to our customers and at the same time, ensure maximum penetration on the construction side.
Perfect. Thank you, Miljan. The next question comes from Paul Roger from BNP Paribas. If I understand it correctly, he's currently on the road, doing some field research. So hopefully, the line works. Paul, are you there?
It's Anna Schumacher on for Paul Roger. I have one left. We are wondering what is the latest on CBAM free allowances and the benchmark in Europe from next year?
Thank you for your question. In regards to Paul. Look, it is happening 1st of January, it's a new EU ETS Phase 4 scheme, which includes implementation of CBAM. When it comes to CBAM, I would not expect anything major next year. It's all going to be about auditing, monitoring and so on and financial impact will come in 2027.
Thank you, Anna. Unfortunately, it's already the last question we can take. The last question comes from Harry Dow from Rothschild.
I think I've got maybe two questions for the Part A and B to first. Firstly, just on Europe, it continues to grow EBIT like-for-like at a fairly robust rate despite the top line, obviously organic still being negative and prices themselves are also relatively subdued. It feels as though cost is maybe the main driver. And I wondered whether you'd be able to put down how much of that is to do with the penetration of these lower clinker cement, lower carbon cement. So how much of that 5% to 6% like-for-like EBIT growth that we've seen is from the penetration of these lower clinker cement.
I wonder whether you could give some color on the economics of that kind of substitution in Europe. What is the average cost of some of these supplementary materials, the SCMs versus traditional clinker in the mix. And then related to that, I just wonder how you feel about the supply of those supplementary materials going forward. I don't know if it's something you've got sort of a number of years of stock of?
And then just finally, related to Xella again, future M&A. I think in the mix, there's some more sort of adhesives, I suppose products that you would traditionally kind of put in over the construction chemicals bucket. Is that an area of expansion more significantly into that market? Or is it still more focus on the more traditional building materials.
Harry, thank you for joining us, and thank you for the question. On the -- I start with the second question. So the focus is on the mortars, the focus is on the roofing, waterproofing. This is what we believe for Holcim is the best fit. And the rest are probably not high on the agenda. Regarding your question on EU. So if you -- we can share it with you, but these are the facts from 2021 to 2024 our net sales in Europe have increased 30%.
Our EBIT has increased 60%. And our EBIT margin expansion was around 300 basis points. You see in 2025, we continue to grow the EBIT. We continue with the EBIT margin expansion despite softer construction activities mainly in Western Europe. So very simple, Harry. This is driven by our value over volume strategy. And there are 3 key factors here. And I really would like to say they're contributing equally. There are no -- first one, yes, we are scaling our sustainable building solutions from ECOPact to ECOPlanet and now ECOCycle. On these products, we do get a small premium, but we also have the cost advantage.
Second pillar is that our investments in decarbonization and circular constructions are actually driving margin expansion, are actually driving profitable growth. And whenever we invest in our business, on decarbonization side and on circular construction, we do have high paybacks and very attractive returns. It's either a formulation with, as you mentioned, with [ mix ] development or it's investment in alternative fuels or something else.
And the third pillar is actually M&A. In Europe, we have completed 60 in the last 4 years, 60 highly value-accretive acquisitions, where we are have -- attractive business plans, where we have attractive synergies, and that's helping boost in our EBIT margins. So on the mix strategy -- so Harry, traditionally, I mean, it was slag and fly ash. And we still have these products, we have reserves, we have long contracts. But idea and where the future is that we move into the in-house produced mix. And when I say in-house produced mix, I talk about calcined clay, I talk about construction and demolition fines and these kind of products. And this is all part of our investments in decarbonization and circular construction.
In Switzerland, we are producing cements that contain 20% of construction and demolition materials inside. In France, we even showed the project. It was one of the nautical base in Marseille, I think, in France, anyway, where we are already producing cements that contain calcined clay. All of this is produced in-house, and we want to accelerate this.
So what the future holds for Holcim, we will be less dependent on slag and fly ash, and we will be able to produce these products in-house. Martin from ZKB asked the question, we will see this transition from clinker production and calcined clay. This will happen in the next few years. And we are already producing clays in several places around Europe but also in Latin America and also in North Africa.
Perfect. Thank you, Miljan. Thank you, Harry. Thank you so much for participating in our conference call today. If there are further questions which come up, please don't hesitate to contact the Investor Relations team of Holcim. We are more than happy to help. And with this, I hand over to our captain, Miljan, for some closing remarks.
Thank you all for joining. Thank you for your question as you have seen once again we deliver the exceptional financial performance, and we will continue to deliver. We are very excited about our latest addition to Holcim signing of Xella. Now, it's all about closing this acquisition and then delivering and overdelivering on our business plan and also on our strategy. And once again, all of this is possible, thanks to our deeply embedded performance culture. And one big thank you to all my colleagues, 45,000 of them around the world. All the best, and thank you.
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Holcim — Holcim AG, Q3 2025 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Oct 24, 2025
Holcim — Holcim AG, Q3 2025 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Oct 24, 2025
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Nettoerlöse: Q3 mit fast +5% Beschleunigung; 9M'25 organisches Wachstum +2.9% in Lokalwährung (ohne Large M&A).
- Recurring EBIT: 9M'25 +9.8% in Lokalwährung; rollierendes recurring EBIT jetzt deutlich über CHF 2.8 Mrd. (Recurring EBIT = wiederkehrendes operatives Ergebnis).
- Margin: Recurring-EBIT-Marge über 19%; Ziel fürs Jahr: >18% bestätigt.
- FX-Effekt: Negativer Währungseinfluss auf Umsatz ≈ CHF 600 Mio (−5%); EBIT-Headwind ≈ CHF 160 Mio (>7%).
- Regionen: LatAm: Nettoerlös double-digit, EBIT‑Marge >30%; Europa: starke Margenexpansion durch High‑Value-Angebote.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Xella-Akquisition: Bindende Vereinbarung; Preis ~6.9x EV/EBITDA nach Synergien, Synergien ≈ EUR 60 Mio in Jahr 3; EPS & FCF accretive in Jahr 1.
- Strategie-Driver: High‑value-Portfolio (ECOPact, ECOPlanet, ECOCycle), Decarbonization & Circularity, gezielte M&A (14 Transaktionen YTD) und Disensa‑Rollout in LatAm.
- Operationell: Fokus auf Performance‑Kultur, Digitalisierung (Spec‑Selling, Plattformen), Wartungs‑Phasing in Mexiko erklärt Q3‑Effekte; Länder wie Nordafrika und Australien stark.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Jahresziel: Bestätigung 2025: Net Sales +3–5% Lc, Recurring EBIT +6–10% Lc, Recurring-EBIT-Marge >18%, Free Cash Flow (FCF) vor Leasing ≈ CHF 2 Mrd.
- 2026‑Frühindizien: Management erwartet starke Pricing‑Momentum 2026 (EU ETS/CBAM‑Änderungen ab Jan. 2026 bringen Preismöglichkeiten); LatAm‑Margen sollen Q4 und FY >30% erreichen.
- Bilanz: Net financial debt Endjahr ~CHF 4.0–4.1 Mrd; Spielraum für weitere M&A (kurzfristig bis <2x Net Debt/EBITDA möglich).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Pricing & ETS: Timing des EU‑Benchmarks wird vermutlich Q1 2026; Management sieht keinen Verzögerungs‑Risiko für Preisdurchsetzung, dynamische Preisgestaltung vorgesehen.
- Xella‑Skepsis: Due Diligence bestätigt Produktionsqualität; Wachstum durch Cross‑Selling, 900 Verkäufern; Marktgröße Walling ≈ EUR 12 Mrd (Wachstum bis 2030 erwartbar).
- LatAm‑Margen: Q3‑Einbruch durch Wartungsphasen und Integrations‑Startkosten (Peru/Guatemala); Management erwartet Erholung durch Projekte in Mexiko und laufende Synergien.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Call bestätigt robuste Margin‑Expansion und Executor‑Fokus: Strategie (High‑Value, Circularity, zielgerichtete M&A) und die Xella‑Akquisition stützen mittelfristiges Wachstum. FX‑Headwinds bleiben sichtbar, Bilanz und Cashflow‑Ziele ermöglichen dennoch weitere sinnvolle Zukäufe.
Holcim — Holcim AG, H1 2025 Earnings Call, Jul 31, 2025
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Holcim Half Year 2025 Results Analyst and Investor Conference Call and Live Webcast. I am Sandra, the Chorus Call operator. I would like to remind you that all participants have been listed-only mode and the conference is being recorded. The presentation will be followed by a Q&A session. [Operator Instructions]
The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast. At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Bernd Pomrehn, Group Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be here with our CEO, Miljan Gutovic; and our CFO, Steffen Kindler. They will provide an overview of our strong first half year 2025 results, then we'll provide an update on our strategy. And last but not least, we'll give an outlook for the full year 2025. And with this very short intro, I'm already handing it over to Miljan. Miljan, please. .
Thank you, Bernd. Good morning to all of you, and a warm welcome to Holcim's half year results. Steffen and I are pleased to be presenting our earnings to you today. And of course, there will be time afterwards for your questions.
To start with, we will walk you through the business review, followed by a strategy update. And of course, as Bernd mentioned, 2025 guidance. First, let's look at the first half business review. We had a really strong first half of 2025. Highlights include, as you can see, robust net sales growth, strong over-proportional recurring EBIT growth across all our regions and, of course, industry-leading margin of 18.3%.
Our margin expansion was driven by our high-value strategy. This includes scaling up our sustainable offering and also accelerating decarbonization and circular construction to drive profitable growth. Another key driver is value-accretive M&A. Since the start of this year, we have closed a further 11 transactions focused on the most attractive markets and most attractive segments.
Thanks to our deeply embedded performance culture and value creation we are delivering superior performance, including more than 7% rise in earnings per share or EPS in Swiss francs. Yes, we are committed. We are committed to our strong investment grade balance sheet, which gives us financial flexibility and also the ability to continue to invest in profitable growth and attractive shareholders' returns.
Our guidance for full year 2025, is in line with our NextGen growth 2030 targets. And this includes a recurring EBIT growth of 6% to 10% in local currency with a recurring EBIT margin of above 18%. I'll share more on our guidance later on.
Turning to our regional highlights now. Europe once again delivered strong margin expansion, driven by our high-value strategy, our sustainable offering as well as decarbonization and circular construction. M&A momentum was excellent with another 8 value-accretive acquisitions closed since the start of the year in [Audio Gap]
continue to drive earnings momentum. On the outlook, the residential market is showing signs of recovery, and we also have a very robust infrastructure project pipeline in Europe, including projects like 17 kilometers long second road tunnel here in Switzerland.
In LatAm, we had another strong performance with strong net sales and recurring EBIT growth. And we also completed 2 value-accretive acquisitions in Peru and in Argentina. We are accelerating the expansion of the Disensa, which is the largest construction materials retail franchise in the region with around 170 additional stores opened in H1.
And we expect the strong performance to continue with Ecuador and Central America and recently acquired businesses driving growth in H2. In Mexico, there is also a very strong pipeline of infrastructure projects. Moving to Asia, Middle East and Africa, this region delivered a double-digit increase in recurring EBIT and outstanding margin expansion of 200 basis points led by strong domestic demand in North Africa.
We expect continued demand there to continue to drive our earnings along with a positive outlook in Australia and expected positive price momentum in China.
With that, I would like to hand it over to Steffen to talk through the financials in more detail. Steffen?
Thank you, Miljan. And a warm welcome to all of you from my side. It's a pleasure to be here with you today as always. Looking first at the net sales bridge, you can see that organic growth of 1.4% was the main contributor. The contributions from acquisitions exceeded the impact of divestments with the net acquisitions, adding another 0.4% for a total 1.8% rise in local currency.
The foreign exchange effect was negative CHF 330 million or 4.1%. In the first half, we delivered double-digit growth in recurring EBIT. The continued focus on our high-value strategy resulted in almost 11% growth in local currency and 3% growth in Swiss francs. The foreign exchange headwinds here were almost CHF 110 million or 7.7%.
Next, let's look at the progression of our recurring EBIT and recurring EBIT margin on a rolling 12 months basis. This graph shows that we have consistently expanded both our 12-month rolling recurring EBIT margin and our rolling recurring EBIT. We're now well above CHF 2.8 billion. As Miljan said earlier, this is driven by a high-value strategy from scaling up our advanced sustainable offering accelerating decarbonization and circularity initiatives down to our value-accretive M&A with focus on the most attractive markets and our empowered leadership with a strong performance culture.
All of Holcim's regions produced strong recurring EBIT growth in local currency in the first half, with Europe and Latin America, up more than 6% each and Asia, Middle East and Africa, up double digit. Both Miljan and I have previously mentioned our deeply embedded performance culture and disciplined financial management. This is what ultimately drives our growth of our earnings per share, or EPS, which is up 7.4% in Swiss francs from 12 months ago.
You can also see that by all the various different measures of the bottom line, we are producing strong profitable growth. Next, you can see the evolution of our free cash flow is half, which is on track to reach around CHF 2 billion by the end of this year. Remember that cash flow is very seasonal and depends to a certain degree on the timing of payments at the end of periods. As you can see here, for example, in working capital and in taxes paid.
Our net debt leverage ratio was 1.2x at the end of last year, and we expect to close out 2025 at around 1.1x. This is what we guided to at the Investor Day in March, and we remain committed to a healthy balance sheet and a net debt leverage of below 1.5x over the long term.
This will provide Holcim with sufficient financial flexibility the ability to navigate all economic cycles while continuing to invest in profitable growth and active shareholder remuneration.
Now I would like to come back to something else we discussed at our Investor Day in March and which has come up in almost every investor meeting since then. So a short reminder, the execution of our next-gen Growth 2030 strategy will provide Holton with a total capital deployment capacity of up to CHF 22 billion until the year 2030.
In order to ignite further growth, we will deploy this capital strategically focusing on growth as well as shareholder returns. Despite our growth investments, we remain committed to a rebased progressive dividend and returning substantial value to our shareholders. Including this year, we will return a total of CHF 7 billion until year 2030, corresponding to a payout ratio of approximately 50% per year.
An additional CHF 4 billion to CHF 6 billion coming from proceeds of larger divestments or available debt capacity could be deployed. These funds will be used for large strategic M&A opportunities or to opportunistically execute share buybacks in the case of excess cash. We believe that our growth-focused capital allocation will further accelerate profitable growth while delivering attractive shareholder returns.
And with that, I'm now pleased to hand it back over to Miljan.
Thank you, Steffen. As you know, we launched our next-gen growth strategy in March to be precise 28th of March. Let's take this opportunity to look more closely at what Holcim is today. After the spin-off of North America, we are still one of the leading building materials companies in the world. As you can see here, we've been 45 highly attractive markets split between 3 regions.
We are market leaders where we operate and well diversified geographically across our regions. And Holcim is indeed best positioned to benefit from the powerful megatrends shaping the future of construction from investment in sustainability and local infrastructure packages like in Germany, to population growth and urbanization all the way to increasing demand for energy-efficient refurbishment.
With our NextGen Growth 2030, we will be delivering superior performance and margin expansion centered on 5 key drivers. We are scaling up our sustainable offering powered by premium brands. We are accelerating initiatives for decarbonization and circles construction driving profitable growth.
A key part of NextGen Growth 2030 is expanding high-value building solutions. As you are aware, we do have an impeccable track record of value-accretive M&A with a focus on the most attractive markets and most attractive business segments. And all of this is driven by our deeply embedded performance culture with more than 450 empowered and engaged P&L leaders.
Let's look more closely at some of these drivers. Customer demand for our premium brands, ECOPact and ECOPlanet continues to grow, as you can see on this slide. These are being used across all our footprint in large-scale projects like Islands in the UAE, which is artificial island with 2.5 kilometers of beachfront housing that is using ECOPact and also the HS2 rail network infrastructure project in EU to connect Birmingham and London, which is using ECOPlanet.
The same is the case with our ECOCycle technology that is being used to recycle construction demolition materials and put it back into our products. It's been used, for example, at Wood Wharf in London, a large urban regeneration project that took concrete from a decommission marine dock and recycle in improving the sustainability profile by 30% versus traditional concrete.
As well as our building materials brands, we provide tailor-made and fully integrated end-to-end high-value building solutions. We are offering solutions from foundation and flooring to balding and roofing right across the building value chain. And this is what it means to be the leading partner for sustainable construction from low carbon and circular construction to energy efficiency across a building's life cycle with our system and specification selling and premium brands.
We can see this in action in Europe's largest urban regeneration project, the Linen in Athens. This is a massive project of around EUR 8 billion, where Holcim has the world's first EPD certified ready-mix concrete plant right in the middle of this site. And where we are delivering the full range of Holcim premium brands from ECOPact all the way to zinc green roofing system.
Another key driver of our NexGen Growth strategy is our highly effective M&A strategy. We closed another 10 value-accretive acquisitions since the start of the year; four, to strengthen in building materials and 6 in high-value building solution. As you can see from this slide, the pace actually accelerated in Q2. We also closed the divestment of Karbala our plant in Iraq.
So now what about the guidance for the full year 2025. We will deliver net sales and recurring EBIT growth in line with our NextGen Growth 2030 targets, which we presented to you in March. This includes 3% to 5% of net sales growth in local currency, over-proportional growth in EBIT from 6% to 10% also in local currency. I should say this excludes large M&A in both cases.
Also recurring EBIT margin of above 18% and fresh free cash flow before leases of around CHF 2 billion. We all seem to 20-plus percent growth in recycled construction and demolition materials. As we -- now to the question, we will leave you this slide up as a reminder of our NextGen Growth 2030 targets. Bernd, please open up the floor to questions.
Thank you, Miljan. Operator, can you please repeat the technical instructions. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions]
Perfect. Thank you so much. The first one on the line is Luis Prieto from Kepler Cheuvreux.
2. Question Answer
I had 2 related questions. The first one if you would be able to break down the organic growth building block of your H1 recurring EBIT rich between price over cost and volume? And the second question, again, related to this, within this price over cost, what roughly could be the split between price increases, cost inflation moderation and the increase in the share of Holcim products within your mix?
Luis, thank you for joining. And of course, thank you for your question. I'll ask Steff go in that, but I just want to make a statement when it comes to price of the cost. We are very, very proud of our achievements on this front. Q2 this year will be the 14th quarter consecutive quarter of positive price over cost. Steffen, would you like to go into the details?
Yes. So look, Luis, the impact -- I'll -- we usually don't break this out. We don't talk about volumes and sales separately. But just to give you a bit of a feeling of how this shaped out in the first half. So volumes overall had a bit of a negative impact. Pricing had a positive impact way over setting the volume. Now we have still positive price over cost, driven by low to mid-single-digit pricing to rather low single digit on average in the first half.
But then also on the cost side, we have made good progress on some of our cost items. For example, distribution or we've made good progress in support process costs. So this has helped to drive price over cost. Another impact on the margin and on the EBIT in the first half year was the FX headwinds, as you have seen, we had stronger FX headwinds in the higher-profit countries. And so I would say all this altogether led to a very, very positive double-digit increase in recurring EBIT driven by price and very good management of cost, with a bit of a headwind on our FX side.
The next one the line is Pujarini Ghosh from Bernstein.
So just to confirm on the pricing, could you give us an indication of how we should expect it to progress in the second half? And in terms of your full year guidance for the year, the EBIT growth range of 6% to 10% looks a bit wide. So could you talk about the different moving parts? And uncertainties that could swing the results to either end. And my second question is on the premiumization that you've talked about and the move to the low-carbon products. And in the CMD also you had highlighted the excellent price premium that you can get from these products. So what are you seeing on the ground at the moment in terms of the price premium potential for these products?
Pujarini, thank you for your question. Thank you for joining. On pricing, this year, we will see between low to mid-single digits, and we are not expecting anything in H2. What we will start doing in October and November, we will start preparing for 2026 price increases. .
Regarding the full year guidance, well, whatever we do in this business, we want to overachieve. So if our net sales growth is 3%, we want to achieve over-proportional growth in our EBIT of 6%. And this is why we have this range between 6% and 10%. And I can assure you that we are always aiming to go one step ahead. On the premium pricing, I did talk, I think even with you during our Capital Market Day, we do have a modest price premium on these products ECOPlanet and ECOPact.
However, due to our production know-how due to our formulation know-how, these products, we are able to reduce the cost. And that's why you are seeing this nice margin expansion, especially this is the case in Europe, where we are making significant penetration in this area.
The next one on the line is Ephrem Ravi from Citigroup.
Two questions. First, you have recently entered a few new markets like in LatAm, Peru and Guatemala. As a strategy, would you want to be top 2 in these markets and building products as you have been in other markets, for example, in Peru, now you're there, would you want to have a cement or aggregate capacity? I think Peru is about 15 million tons and probably 2 large to be supplied just by imports. So that's the first question.
Secondly, it looks like the growth in ECOCycle and ECOPact is much faster than ECOPlanet. Is there something we should read into that? Like are you preparing the ground for zero carbon cement when it comes online after the CCS projects start in a few quarters and hence focusing more on downstream products in the cement value chain than pure cement?
EPhrem, thank you for joining. Thank you for your questions. I'll start on the LatAm. Of course, yes, you're right, we entered Guatemala and Peru. Guatemala is a very attractive market, one of the largest construction spends in Latin America. And with this acquisition, we are able to provide foundation for the future growth. .
And to answer simply, we will be looking at all the opportunities from building materials to building solution, including the sense of what I believe can be accelerate our growth in these new markets. We have entered, as I said, Guatemala and Peru. We are -- we have concluded another acquisition in Peru this year in H1. So we will be scaling these markets as we see great opportunities for the proportional growth. And also keep in mind, these markets have very high EBIT margins.
On the -- on your question regarding ECOPlanet, I don't -- I wouldn't read into it. We are getting great momentum. Obviously, ECOPlanet that we are talking about larger size, it's low-carbon cement. What you will see in the next 6 to 12 months, we will see us scaling up production footprint in these new and innovative supplementary cementitious materials. We have started, for instance, calcine clay already 4 years ago in France and Spain.
Now we are doing the same in North Africa, in LatAm and some other parts of Europe. For instance, last week, I was on my road trip visiting some of our markets. And I visited Czech Republic. This is a great example where we are commissioning a new building, new calcine clay plant that will be commissioned in H1. This will provide the boost in our ECOPlanet sales in these markets.
The next question comes from Yassine Touahri from On Field Investment Research. I think we try with the next one. The next one is Tom Zhang from Barclays.
Two as well for me. Maybe the first one just on Mexico. I suppose it's a little bit of a flown in the market. I understand there's been some delays in infrastructure projects. Maybe you could just talk through the dynamics in that market and how confident you are that, that can kind of come back in the second half?
And then the second question, maybe for you, Steffen. Just looking at the balance sheet. If we assume at least another CHF 1.8 billion of free cash in the second half, in line with your guidance, maybe a little bit leases. I'm still getting that sort of well below the CHF 4 billion mark. So with a comfortable amount of below even the CHF 4.4 billion that you're guiding to. Can you just remind us, is the any other moving parts or CHF 4.4 billion number just reflects a lot of conservatism? And does that extra headroom potentially mean there's some space for additional shareholder returns already this year?
Tom, thank you for joining, and thank you for your questions. I'll focus on Mexico, then Steffen can take over the second question. So Tom, as you know, we had a new administration in, they've been in power more than a year now.
They have a very clear and comprehensive road map regarding the future of Mexico in the next 5 years. The President Claudia wants to make Mexico in top 10 economies globally. As a result of that, they will heavily invest in the more than 100 technical hubs. They are making heavy investments in infrastructure, especially focusing on energy, water and rail and road.
And I don't think there was a slowdown delay in the projects. Last year, where some of these main projects have finished. And now the next set of the project is about to start, and some of these have started. Just to name, we are currently working on supplying the water via in Tier 1. We are looking at a few massive projects that will start in H2 on the rail side. Just one example is the government wants to build 5,000 kilometers of rail network in the next 5 years.
And Switzerland, currently the whole and you know Switzerland is well connected when it comes to rail. The network is 6,000 kilometers. So I think pipeline is full, and we will see this accelerating in end of Q3 and then forward in Q4. Just one more topic on Mexico. There is a significant shortage of residential in Mexico. And part of this road map for Mexico in 5 years, is to reduce this shortage by building 1.2 million to 1.5 million homes. We have seen construction has started on 180,000 homes. This will further boost our accelerate our sales in H2. I'll stop here and hand it over to Steffen.
Tom, thanks for your question. So first of all, look, we remind you, we guided this debt leverage and the net financial debt exactly at these marks at the Capital Markets Day. Now we improved by saying it's going to be below. And please note, it is without major M&A. So this is before bolt-ons and major divestments. But if you do the math, if you go down the math a little bit, we had CHF 5.6 billion net financial debt in the first half. You assume, as you did, you said you assumed CHF 1.8 billion for free cash flow. That's good. And you have some further leakage with Jupiter dividends to minorities, the lease additions, some foreign exchange some other items, which will get you comfortably.
I agree with you comfortably to the range that we guided here. And we leave ourselves also a bit of flexibility for further bolt-on acquisitions in the second half of this year.
The next one in the line is Elodie Rall with Morgan.
Sorry to come back on guidance, but just wanted to follow up there on your expectations for H2. You've delivered 10.8% recurring local currency EBIT growth in H1. You're guiding for 6% to 10% for the year. Does that mean you expect a slowdown in H2 growth in recurring local currency? And why and where would that come from? And if you could give us a bit of color on that with regard to the exit rate, so the performance at the end of Q2 and in particular, July trends, we can have a bit of flavor. And my second question is on volumes in Europe. I presume there was still negative in H1. Do you see them turning positive in H2? And my last question is on this Nigeria divestment, sorry, if you could give us an update, given that we haven't heard much on that, I believe. .
Thank you, Elodie. Thank you for your question. Regarding the guidance, Elodie, we already provided the guidance in March, end of March, so we wanted to leave it as it is. We are very positive about outlook in H2. And we believe that it will be equally or even better than H1. So we have decided to leave the guidance as it was presented to you in March. I can assure you we are always aiming to do the best and overachieve.
Regarding the Nigeria question process is running. We have some positive news last few weeks. We expect to close this in H2. At the moment, I don't -- I can't tell you if it's going to be end of Q4 or end of Q3 or end of Q4. But so far, no negative surprises. And the teams have been really working hard on this deal. On the volumes in Europe, I would like to remain modest, I would predict that markets, especially in West Europe that have been softer. But we are -- outlook is more or less flattish for H2. I would be conservative.
The next 1 on the line is Martin Husler from Zed KB.
I have 2 questions. Maybe first on the growth guidance of 3% to 5%. What should we expect for the second half? Is the improvement against the first half with the acceleration rather driven by organic? Or would we expect higher bolt-on contributions? That's the first question.
Martin, thank you for joining, and thank you for the question. Regarding growth 3% to 5%, I would expect accelerated momentum in H2 versus H1. And on M&A side, we are expecting more or less a similar trend in H2. We do have a very healthy pipeline of projects across all our geographies. And we will be able in a position to close some of these projects by the end of the year. .
Any additional question, Martin?
The second one, maybe an add on the European question just asked before. If I look at Q2 stand-alone versus Q1, it looks like the EBIT growth came down a bit even though, let's say, the building season really kicked in, and I was just wondering what was the driver of this trend? And maybe if you could also share the biggest country trends within Europe maybe H1, but also outlook for the second half of the year?
Yes. Certainly, Martin. I think more or less, Q1 and Q2 were pretty much close -- what we saw in Q2 is significant expansion in our margins in Europe. And as I said in my presentation, this is clearly driven by our focus on sustainable offering by accelerating our initiatives in decarbonization, in circular construction and also all these value accretive M&As.
So if I look at the Europe, the trend, I think Germany has been soft share when it comes to construction activity, but our team is still managing to improve the bottom line. I would expect more accelerated momentum in Germany in 2026 and probably more flattish performance in H2. What is dually well is Eastern Europe and countries like Spain, Italy, Greece, this is where we are seeing a really, really strong momentum.
I mean you saw from our presentation, this project in, this is greater. We are doing not one cell, but many cells where we are supplying a full range of end-to-end solutions from basement all the way now to zinc green roofing systems. So momentum in Europe, I believe, if I compare it to will be -- I'm more optimistic about H2. Let me put it this way.
The next one on the line is Cedar Ekblom from Morgan Stanley.
I've just got a follow-up question on your M&A landscape and agenda. If I look at the bolt-ons that you did, 8 of them are in Europe, and you've spoken quite a lot about the opportunity in LatAm and how you want to grow the Disensa, et cetera. but it does look like, at least for now that you are sort of spending more in Europe or at least more deals in Europe. .
So I just have to hear a little bit about how you think about capital allocation and bolt-on opportunities between the various regions. Some investors I talked to sort of doubt the opportunity in LatAm and worried that the market backdrop there is a little bit less certain. Maybe you could just talk about your perspective on LatAm relative to Europe?
And then the addiction is just around the potential for larger deals. Obviously, when you look at the U.S. market in Holcim previous form, there were lots of sort of single big ticket deals that could be done of countrywide businesses. And when we look at the landscape today with your own portfolio, you have maybe country champions in specific regions, but you don't necessarily have some obvious big interregional champions like a big target in Europe or a big target in LatAm.
So maybe you could talk a little bit about how you think about larger M&A and how deep the list of targets there might be what kind of assets would be looking at? I think that would be helpful because clearly, there's a lot of cash being thrown off from this business and it can't all be allocated through bolt-ons.
Cedar, thank you for your question. Regarding the M&A, I'll just make a general statement, and then I'll go into details on LatAm Europe. Regarding M&A, here we are exercising strict discipline when it comes to the deal. We are buying companies that make sense to us strategically and also the companies that are good fit to our strategy. I can assure you that we have a very healthy pipeline of the projects, equally good pipeline on in LatAm also in Europe, but also in some other parts of our scope in Asia, Middle East and Africa.
The only difference why you are seeing more momentum in Europe is because we really started focusing on bolt-ons in LatAm as of last year. Remember, at the end of December last year, we bought 11 companies in Latin America, 5 we bought in 2024. So I'm very happy with the momentum we have, and we will see some of these deals in H2 coming through.
Regarding your question on the large acquisitions, obviously, we are constantly screening our landscape from bowling and flooring solution companies all the way to roofing. And we believe there are some very attractive markets. There are regional champions, as you said, but these companies would be a very nice fit to our existing portfolio and they would be a very nice add on to our NextGen Growth 2030 strategy.
So regarding capital allocation on bolt-ons between LatAm and Europe, we will always do what's best for the company, what makes the best financial sense regardless of the country, region, so that would be our starting point. But I'm confident that we will have a strong momentum on M&A front in second half of this year.
The next one in the line is Harry Dow from Rothschild.
I think I've got 3 questions, if possible. Firstly, just on the sales growth by product line. I noticed in the Building Materials segment, so cement and aggregates that was really providing the growth, whereas Building Solutions still saw negative organic. I wonder if you could give us some color on the moving parts of that just ready-mixed concrete volumes down, which I know is in the Building Solutions? Or is that sort of pricing in the building products? And then on Latin America, you obviously mentioned the Disensa store network increasing by 170 stores in the first half. I wonder if you could help us on the contribution that that's brought in the first half to top line growth? And obviously, maybe a bit more around what you think the contribution might be as you get towards that 2030 target? It's quite a lot higher than today.
And then just finally, a bit longer term on -- you mentioned net zero cement and the projects there. There's quite a lot of projects that are slated to start sort of capturing 2030 some of the industry participants kind of calling out maybe some permitting challenges and negotiation with the government, et cetera. Are you still committed to the original pipeline of all those projects start capturing kind of in the late 2020s, early 2030s?
Harry, thank you for your question. I'll talk about LatAm Disensa net zero, and then I'll hand it over to Steffen to talk about sales growth between Building Solutions and Building Materials. Regarding Disensa, we are not reporting this. But if you remember at the Capital Market Day, we said we have more than 2,000 shops. We want to double, even more than double that in the next 5 years. And just to give you a little bit history on this, this was designed by very smart people. I give them a credit already 3 years ago.
They wanted to ensure that we have a secure sales channel of our cement bags. And this was the purpose of Disensa for years, for decades, I should say. Today, we see this is a great opportunity to accelerate the growth in our building solutions. And Harry, if you see in the scope of the M&As we did in LatAm in the last 1.5 years, we are buying companies that are producing waterproofing, flooring, ceiling products, companies that are active in construction chemicals.
And for us, this is an easy synergy because Disensa -- we have with Disensa, we have a well-established sales channel and buying these companies, we are immediately having sales channel for these newly acquired businesses. I was -- I always like to -- when I was in Argentina last year, actually, we bought -- we signed a company that specializes in motor or something else. And we closed the deal today. The next morning, these products were available in more than 30 Disensa stores in Argentina. This is the momentum we can achieve with Disensa rollout. So as I said, we are -- this is more our commercial approach, about sales approach. And you saw our margins in LatAm. We are talking about 30-plus percent consistently. Disensa plays a major part in this. Regarding net zero, you might have seen we had a groundbreaking ceremony in Millakei. I attended, we had even a Prime Minister coming. We are committed to this. We are going through the process. There are always some potential risks. But from our side, we will be doing what needs to be done to make it happen in the next 4, 5 years. Now we are seeing momentum on the other side, push from EU to develop transport infrastructure for CO2 to develop additional storage field. And obviously, all of this will have a significant impact on accelerating these projects.
Yes, Harry, for your question between the materials and solutions growth, it's really a mix topic, right? When you look at the countries where we have a higher share of building solutions in our sales, those were the countries that were rather softer in the first half and other countries, we explained, had a very, very good development for stronger, were those with a lower share of building solutions. So this is -- this really explains this -- this really explains this diversion we're seeing here. We think this will return to a certain degree. As Miljan explained before. Our outlook for the second half is a bit of a recovery also on the top line side.
So this will also impact here. It will also impact the mix. What I would also like to remind is that in building solutions, we had a very, very good growth of EBIT of 27% in the second quarter. We grew margin almost every country here. So the EBIT development here is again very, very good, which makes us confident that we're on the right track.
The next one is Jon Bell from Deutsche Bank. He sent us 2 questions, probably for Miljan. The first one, you referred to signs of recovery in European residential markets. Can you give us more color on the lead indicators? You use most and which countries are proven? That's the first question. And the second one is, can you spell out the benefits of the designer network and the targets you have for new stores?
Thank you, Jon. Thank you for your question. I think in Disensa, I have already answered pretty much I gave a comprehensive overview how does it work and how does it fit in our long-term strategy. So now for Disensa for me, it's all about accelerating. I would like to see hundreds of these stores opening every half a year. And at the same time, it will boost on M&A front, especially in building solutions, we will be able to provide one-stop shop solution to our customers through Disensa. .
Jon, regarding -- we are seeing in our business. We do have -- we operate -- we do have in some countries, product systems that we supply in residential, Eastern Europe is looking strong. We are seeing good signs in Southern Europe. Probably in Germany, the number of permitting is becoming more and more healthier but I think more will come in H1 next year. So Disensa still remains soft as well as U.K. But in U.K., there has been announcements by the government. They are committing to put additional funding to accelerate -- to reduce the shortage of the residential housing.
Then Paul Roger from BNP Paribas, he's also on the road. He also sent us 2 questions. The first one is on LatAm. It looks like you are strongly outperforming peers in the region. I can confirm this. Is this because of countries like Ecuador and Argentina where others are present -- aren't present? Or are you also outperforming Mexico? Lead to that, can you put some numbers on how you did in Mexico, specifically in the second quarter? .
Thank you, Paul, for your question. And we don't report Mexico individually, but I can assure you that we are seeing margins in Mexico, which are well above average of LATAM. H1 Mexico was a good market for us. We have seen margin improvement and EBIT growth. So very, very happy with Mexico. And I believe H2 will even be stronger. I mentioned already all the projects in energy, in water, in rail and road that are coming up and also the residential recovery driven by government incentives to reduce the shortage of housing in Mexico. So I don't want to go into details to report the margins, but maybe the starting point is that in Mexico, our margins are well above the average with what we have in Latin America.
Perfect. And the second question from Paul is regarding building envelope slide, solutions. So that's Slide 22. So there, he's asking, there's still quite a lot of gray so untouched applications so far is the ambition to plug the gaps and offer the full range of solutions in all your major markets? Or will you be very selective? .
Well, Paul, there are opportunities, and this is the whole point of us focusing as a key priority in our Nextgen growth strategy to accelerate momentum and growth in high-value building solutions. And yes, there are opportunities. We are looking at them. There are -- at the end of the day, as I said, our goal is to be end-to-end supplier to our customers on these big projects. As I mentioned,, we started with ECOPact where we have secured probably more than 2 million cubic meters in next few years. And then we are moving to other solutions, media solutions, architectural solutions. And more recently, we are supplying Zinco green roofing on this mega project in Athens. So we will continue to work on this. The goal is, indeed, as I said, end-to-end solution. Instead of selling one product on the job side, we want to sell 5, 10 products. And this is the key component of our strategy to accelerate high-value building solutions.
We have, again, one analyst in the line. It's Marcus Cole from UBS.
I've got 2 as well. The first one is just to be clear on the '25 sales. Are you implying volume growth will accelerate in H2 outside of Europe? And the second one is just on any color you can give on regional price costs in the second half.
I'll hand it over to Steffen regarding on the price cost regarding volumes, we do not report volumes, Marcus, but thank you for the question. In fact, we expect a much better momentum in H2 in Europe. And I have already discussed some of the points what we are seeing infrastructure pipeline recovery in residential and so on.
Thanks, Look, for price over cost, when you look at price over cost on a group level, you will see that we still have quite a significant price over cost as we had in the previous quarters and years. The impact of pricing is probably low to mid-single digit. But what we also do always here at also, we work on our efficiencies, right? So big cost bucket is, for example, distribution, where we made good progress, support process costs rather than the fixed cost area where we made good progress.
So this is true for all the regions now. Regionally, there are slight differences. You asked for region. There are regions where we have a bit of a higher pricing I would mention EMEA and regions where pricing is not as high, maybe in Western Europe. But overall, the algorithm is true for all our regions. There's positive price over cost in all the regions that we operate.
We try again with the Yassine Touahri with On Field.
Yes. And sorry for the technical issue earlier. I think I would have one question. Have you started to think about the magnitude of price increases that you will announce in 2026 in Europe? And I think the background of my question, it looks like in, could create a little bit of a risk on pricing given the limited protection from the carbon border adjustment mechanism at least in 2026. It's already visible in the U.K., where we can see cement prices a little bit under pressure. But at the same, I understand that you've got an introduction of a new historical activity level and remission baseline for the cement plant, which should bring down the level of allowance? So in this context, do you see bigger price increase in Europe than in 2026 than in 2025? I would love to understand how you're thinking about it.
Thank you for the question, Yassine. Look, maybe it's too early to talk about price increases at this stage. Yes, you are 100% correct. We will have the revision of EU ETS we are entering into this Phase 4, which means there will be adjustments on the benchmark. And also, they will be phasing out of the allowances starting with in 2026 with 2-point-something percent. But -- and all of this, obviously, the teams are working on this. But at the moment, we really do not know what the new benchmark will be. That will come later in the year. So if you're asking me today, I believe prices -- price increases next year will be higher than this year. But Yassine, it's really too early to discuss this until we understand the full impact of the new EU ETS Phase 4.
Perfect. All right. So this was our last question for today. Thank you so much for joining again. If you have any further questions, please don't hesitate to reach out to the Investor Relations team. We are more than happy to help. And with this, I turn it back to Miljan for some closing remarks. .
So once again, thank you all. Thank you very much for joining us today. We are very happy to share these results with you. H1 was a strong -- we achieved strong results and we are looking forward to H2 with what's going on in the industry, what we have in the pipeline. I can tell you, Team Holcim is very excited about H2. Thank you.
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Holcim — Holcim AG, H1 2025 Earnings Call, Jul 31, 2025
Holcim — Holcim AG, H1 2025 Earnings Call, Jul 31, 2025
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: Organisches Wachstum +1,4% in Lokalwährung; inkl. Netto-Akquisitionen +1,8% LC; negativer Währungseffekt ca. −CHF 330m (−4,1%).
- Recurring EBIT: Fast +11% in Lokalwährung (+3% in CHF); rolling recurring EBIT deutlich über CHF 2,8 Mrd.
- Marge: Recurring EBIT‑Marge 18,3% (weiterhin industry‑leading).
- EPS: Gewinn je Aktie +7,4% in CHF (12‑M‑Vergleich).
- Cash & Verschuldung: Free Cash Flow on track für ~CHF 2 Mrd. 2025; Nettofinanzverschuldung/EBITDA Ziel ~1,1x Ende 2025.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Strategie: NextGen Growth 2030 fokussiert auf High‑Value‑Lösungen, Premium‑Marken (ECOPact, ECOPlanet) sowie Dekarbonisierung und Circularity als Margentreiber.
- Kapitalallokation: Bis zu CHF 22 Mrd. Kapital bis 2030; Rückzahlungen an Aktionäre ~CHF 7 Mrd. bis 2030 (ca. 50% Ausschüttungsquote p.a.), zusätzlich CHF 4–6 Mrd. für größere M&A/Buybacks möglich.
- M&A & Vertrieb: Disensa‑Rollout in LatAm beschleunigt (H1 +~170 Stores); zahlreiche kleinere, wertschaffende Bolt‑ons in Europa und LatAm.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Umsatz‑Guidance: +3–5% in Lokalwährung für 2025 (ohne große M&A).
- EBIT‑Guidance: Recurring EBIT +6–10% in LC; recurring EBIT‑Marge >18%.
- Cash & Hebel: Frischer Free Cash Flow vor Leases ~CHF 2 Mrd.; Ziel Netto‑Verschuldung <1,5x, ca. 1,1x Ende 2025 (ohne große M&A).
- Risiken: Guidance exklusive großer Transaktionen; FX‑Headwinds und EU‑ETS/CBAM‑Effekte (Preisrisiken 2026) bleiben Unsicherheitsfaktoren.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Price over cost: Management betont 14 Quartale positiver Price‑over‑Cost; Pricing 2025 erwartet low‑ bis mid‑single‑digit; Vorbereitungen für Preisrunden 2026 ab Okt/Nov.
- M&A‑Allokation: Disziplinärer Bolt‑on‑Fokus; Pipeline in Europa und LatAm; größere Deals möglich, werden selektiv geprüft.
- Regionale Trends: Europa: gemischte Nachfrage (West eher flach, Osteuropa stark); LatAm und Nordafrika treiben Margen; Nigeria‑Verkauf in Abschlussphase.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solides Halbjahr: Umsatzwachstum, starke Margenausweitung und klares Kapitalrückführungs‑Commitment stützen positiven Ausblick für Aktionäre. Wichtige Beobachter‑Risiken sind FX‑Effekte, die Umsetzung größerer M&A sowie regulatorische Unsicherheiten (EU‑ETS/CBAM) für Preisentwicklung in 2026.
Finanzdaten von Holcim
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Basis
| Dez '25 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 15.724 15.724 |
40 %
40 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 9.066 9.066 |
38 %
38 %
58 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 6.658 6.658 |
43 %
43 %
42 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 4.429 4.429 |
39 %
39 %
28 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 3.580 3.580 |
46 %
46 %
23 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 1.351 1.351 |
39 %
39 %
9 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 2.229 2.229 |
49 %
49 %
14 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 13.179 13.179 |
351 %
351 %
84 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen CHF.
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Firmenprofil
LafargeHolcim Ltd. produziert und vertreibt Zement, Zuschlagstoffe, Transportbeton und Asphaltprodukte sowie damit verbundene Dienstleistungen und Lösungen. Die Produkte des Unternehmens werden bei verschiedenen Projekten und Anwendungen eingesetzt, darunter auch beim Bau von Infrastrukturprojekten wie Tunneln, Flughäfen, Häfen, Brücken, Datenzentren, Straßen und Autobahnen sowie Stadien. Das Unternehmen wurde am 10. Juli 2015 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Rapperswil-Jona, Schweiz.
aktien.guide Basis
| Hauptsitz | Schweiz |
| CEO | Mr. Gutovic |
| Mitarbeiter | 45.595 |
| Gegründet | 1833 |
| Webseite | www.holcim.com |


