Evolution AB Aktienkurs
Insights zu Evolution AB
Insights
Mit KI besser investieren
aktien.guide Unlimited – alle Details der KI-Analysen
👉 Detailliertere Insights
👉 Exklusive Einblicke in Chancen & Risiken
👉 Klare Antworten auf deine Fragen
Mit KI besser investieren
aktien.guide Unlimited – alle Details der KI-Analysen
👉 Detailliertere Insights
👉 Exklusive Einblicke in Chancen & Risiken
👉 Klare Antworten auf deine Fragen
Mit KI besser investieren
aktien.guide Unlimited – alle Details der KI-Analysen
👉 Detailliertere Insights
👉 Exklusive Einblicke in Chancen & Risiken
👉 Klare Antworten auf deine Fragen
Mit KI besser investieren
aktien.guide Unlimited – alle Details der KI-Analysen
👉 Detailliertere Insights
👉 Exklusive Einblicke in Chancen & Risiken
👉 Klare Antworten auf deine Fragen
Ist Evolution AB eine Topscorer-Aktie nach der Dividenden-, High-Growth-Investing- oder Levermann-Strategie?
Als kostenloser aktien.guide Basis-Nutzer kannst Du die Scores zu allen 7.930 weltweiten Aktien einsehen.
aktien.guide Premium
aktien.guide Unlimited
Kennzahlen
📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 131,13 Mrd. kr | Umsatz (TTM) = 23,41 Mrd. kr
Marktkapitalisierung = 131,13 Mrd. kr | Umsatz erwartet = 23,75 Mrd. kr
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 120,05 Mrd. kr | Umsatz (TTM) = 23,41 Mrd. kr
Enterprise Value = 120,05 Mrd. kr | Umsatz erwartet = 23,75 Mrd. kr
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Evolution AB Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
25 Analysten haben eine Evolution AB Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
25 Analysten haben eine Evolution AB Prognose abgegeben:
Beta Evolution AB Events
🇩🇪 Neu: Alle Transkripte jetzt auch auf Deutsch verfügbar!
Abonniere Premium, um Transkripte und KI-Zusammenfassungen auf Deutsch zu lesen.
Vergangene Events
|
APR
22
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
vor 2 Monaten
|
|
FEB
5
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
vor 5 Monaten
|
|
OKT
23
Q3 2025 Earnings Call
vor 8 Monaten
|
|
JUL
17
Q2 2025 Earnings Call
vor 12 Monaten
|
aktien.guide Basis
Evolution AB — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Evolution Q1 Report 2026 Presentation. [Operator Instructions] Now I will hand the conference over to the speakers, CEO, Martin Carlesund; and CFO, Joakim Andersson. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the presentation of interim report for the first quarter of 2026. My name is Martin Carlesund, and I'm the CEO of Evolution. With me, I have our CFO, Joakim Andersson. As always, I will start with some comments on our performance and then hand over to Joakim for a closer look at our financials. After that, I will conclude an outlook, and then we will open up for your questions. Next slide, please.
So let's start with the financial and operational highlights in the quarter. Net revenues were EUR 513 million, corresponding to a year-on-year decline of 1.5%. EBITDA came in at EUR 335.3 million, corresponding to a margin of 65.4%. The regional development was somewhat mixed in the quarter. Europe is not performing well at the moment, whereas LatAm is having a great momentum. North America continues its steady growth at a slightly higher pace than in Q4. In Asia, we made some further progress on combating cybercrime.
Live revenue was hurt by the development in Europe and declined 3.1% on a year-on-year basis. RNG took a step forward with higher growth than what we have seen in the past quarters, up 8.1% year-on-year. During the quarter, we have continued to expand our studio network with new additions in Latvia, the U.S. and Argentina. We have also started to deliver on our amazing product road map for 2026. I will talk more about that later in the presentation.
Next slide, please. If we then move to our operational KPIs, first, consisting of Headcount and then Game Rounds index. On Headcount, we are growing by 2.9% year-on-year and 1.7% on a quarter-on-quarter basis. We are on a good path with expansion, and we will continue to optimize the distribution and cost mix throughout 2026. The Game Rounds index can be seen as a general indicator of activity throughout our network over time. For an individual quarter, it can vary quite a lot and does not always correlate with revenue development. The long-term trend should be an increase in Game Rounds as game sessions in general gets faster and with smaller bets. I'm satisfied with the development in Q1, especially with the backdrop of the development in Europe.
Next slide, please. In the last report, we introduced a real breakdown of revenues based on our customers location where Europe is dominant. Compared to the fourth quarter, North America and Latin America have grown their respective share of the total revenue, which reflects the overall development in the first quarter. As we require all our customers to carry a license in regulated jurisdictions, all our revenues are regulated.
You also see a revenue split based on our customers and their players, our customers' customer, which is an estimation based on the IP number of players received from our customers and purchased by a third-party geo information. This is the breakdown of the revenues we have included for several years. See from that perspective that all our customers are regulated, our revenue is regulated to 100%. If instead looking at the estimation of the geo position and approximation of revenue based on our customers', customers' players' IP address, about 48% of the estimated revenue is regulated.
Next slide, please. I will now give you a few comments on each of the major regions based on the estimation of revenue based on our customers' customers' IP number. As already mentioned, Europe did not do well and continued to decline quarter-on-quarter, largely due to regulatory volatility and subjectivity, which hurt our player activity.
It has now also been almost a year since we introduced our extensive ring-fencing measures, which ensure that the players can only reach Evolution content from licensed operators within their respective markets. It was the right thing to do. And in the world of perfect regulation, it would not have caused any issues. However, due to that regulation in some markets fails to strike the right balance between player protection and entertainment, players continue to access unregulated operators and channelization is decreasing fast and significantly. This harms the total business and the most vulnerable players lose the player protection of playing of regulated operators and search by products from Evolution.
Looking at the operational side, we have opened a second studio in Riga in the quarter. It is currently the home of our Always 6 Blackjack tables. But later this year, it will host both game shows, Game Night and Monopoly Filthy Rich. Looking at Asia, this is now the second quarter in a row with a quarter-on-quarter growth. This is, of course, a positive signal. We are in a better place right now than a year ago. However, as the challenge has been somewhat of a cat and mouse game, we remain cautious.
Next slide, please. Both North America and LatAm reported yet another all-time high revenues. Growth rate in North America improved compared to the fourth quarter. It looks somewhat soft in our reporting currency, euro, but in U.S. dollars, year-on-year growth was roughly 21% compared to 19% in Q4. In the quarter, we launched several Monopoly theme titles, which have been off to a great start.
Last week, we also launched Monopoly Live in Connecticut, which is an important milestone as we know that the Monopoly franchise is particularly strong in the U.S. market. It will be rolled out in additional states going forward. We have also completed the construction of the second studio in Michigan, located in Grand Rapids. It's a milestone as well. It's now going through inspections and regulatory approvals, and we are expecting to launch it in the next few months, hopefully earlier.
Looking at the regulation, we note 2 positive developments. In the U.S., the main governor has now signed the iGaming bill into law. In Canada, Alberta will regulate its iGaming market in July. We have had presence in the program since 2021, serving the only available online gaming service run by the local government with live casino games. Now the market will open up for more operators.
Last note on North America is the ongoing process to acquire Galaxy Gaming, where we are still working on the necessary approvals before the 17th of July deadline. We don't have any new information to share today more than that the process is ongoing. Latin America is doing really well at the moment. A highlight from the quarter is that we have completed the acquisition of a live studio in Argentina from a competitor who has decided to withdraw from the market. The studio will form the base for further growth in Argentina, and we are now adapting to evolution standard.
In Brazil, we continue to perform well after regulation, which was about a year ago. We have launched a localized version of Crazy Time that is sure to attract a lot of new players in Brazil. LatAm truly is exciting. We're in full expansion mode. In addition to Argentina, we continue to expand our presence in Brazil and in Colombia to fully leverage the big market potential.
With that, we don't have a specific chart for other markets, which mainly comprise of Africa. It continues to grow from a small base. Fresh games are widely popular in the region, and our recently launched Red Baron has so far exceeded expectations. Also, our RMG offering is starting to gain traction. To conclude this slide, the U.S. and LatAm are where we will invest the most in 2026. Both regions have high potential with life still being in early days.
Next slide, please. As you are aware of, we have a spectacular road map for 2026, where we will take fun and entertainment to yet another level. Over the past month, we have made some initial releases like Always 6 Blackjack and Dragon Dragon, but the big splash is still ahead of us. Based on our exclusive partnership with Hasbro, we will continue to expand our portfolio of Monopoly games and closest in time for release of Monopoly Roulette and Monopoly Roll 'Em.
Monopoly is an extremely strong franchise that is continuously gaining more popularity. And I think that it will be an important piece of the puzzle one -- continue to push the boundaries for entertainment. Another exciting development is the introduction of a new feature that we call SciPlay. It will allow players to enjoy slots alongside the live game attraction. With just a click, you will be able to activate selected slots from our RNG brands such as Nolimit City and NetEnt.
Within the live interface, a mini lobby will make personalized recommendation to keep content relevant and engaging. I think this is a great feature as it brings together live casino and slots in one streamlined view, the best of 2 worlds and yet another feature and advantage of OSS, One Stop Shop.
Since Evolution was founded 20 years ago, we've been obsessed with the end user satisfaction and the entertainment factor. And delivering the satisfaction is not just about innovation, it's about getting the fundaments right, every single day, top-notch gameplay, a flawless lobby, world-class studios, a game integrity that set the global benchmark.
We often highlight what's new each quarter because innovation is exciting, but I want to be crystal clear. These basics are absolutely crystal -- critical for the experience because if the fundament slips, end user notice immediately. So with that said, 2026 is going to be another great year of innovation, while we also continue to enhance overall experience with playing our games. The combination of the two will ensure that we will bring the most entertaining experiences to the players and increase the gap to competition more than ever before. With that, I will hand over to Joakim for a closer look at our financials. Next slide, please.
Thank you, Martin. As usual, I have a few slides that will focus on the key highlights as we go through them. Starting with this slide, Slide 8, which shows our revenue and EBITDA development over time. If you look at the data on the far right, we can again see the Q1 revenue of EUR 513 million, represented by the blue bar, EBITDA of EUR 335.3 million in the gray bar and our EBITDA margin of 65.4% shown by the line above.
Let's go to the next slide. And here we have a more detailed look of our profit and loss statement. As before, I have highlighted the key takeaways on this slide, and I will talk you through them one by one. First, the net revenues, of course, amounted to EUR 513 million, which is down 1.5% year-on-year, but practically flat quarter-on-quarter. Second, total operating expenses were EUR 220 million, which is 1.3% higher than Q1 last year and up 2.5% quarter-on-quarter.
Personnel expenses increased by 4% quarter-on-quarter. However, on a rolling 12-month basis, we continue to see a deceleration in the growth rate each quarter. Third, profit for the period amounted to EUR 251.9 million. And as the fourth highlight, our earnings per share after dilution amounted to EUR 1.26.
Let's move on to the next slide, where I show you the development of our cash flow. First, on the left-hand side, we show our operating cash flow after investments. This amounted to EUR 311 million for the quarter, representing a solid improvement compared with Q4, partly driven by a recovery in working capital. The last 12 months cash conversion remains strong and stays around the long-term trend with 81% in the quarter.
Turning to the chart on the right, which shows our capital expenditures. Total CapEx related to tangible and intangible assets amounted to EUR 34.6 million for the quarter. This remains stable as a share of net revenues as illustrated by the black line.
Next slide, please. Turning to our financial position. And as you can see on this slide, there are no major changes compared to recent quarters. We continue to be in a very strong position with total cash of EUR 1.2 billion, including our bond portfolio and total equity of EUR 4.3 billion. With that, I'll conclude my remarks for this quarter. And overall, it was a fairly uneventful quarter from a financial standpoint. I'll now hand it back to you, Martin, to wrap things up.
Thank you very much. So let's summarize and then move to the Q&A. If we look beyond Europe, 2026 has started really good. We grow across all regions. We maintain the margin, and we have started to deliver on the amazing product road map. I'm a little bit frustrated that the majority of our showcase games will be launched during the second half of the year, but they will be worth the wait.
Europe is the main headache right now, but the long-term positive view is intact. I've talked about it many times before. Regulation changes over time. And right now, the balance is not where it should be. But as channelization continues to decrease, regulators will eventually have to adopt -- adapt to protect the players and not by force, but by some regulation, get them back into the regulated part of the market. We're doing what we can to mitigate the current development, working smarter and harder, releasing the best games, pulling the players back.
As highlighted, we will continue to invest mostly in U.S.A. and LatAm alongside our internal focus on product innovation. Some further expansion in Europe will also be needed, but we are naturally more cautious in the short term. I don't want the U.S. litigation against a competitor to take focus from the results, but when a competitor sets aside all rules and deliberately try to hurt us, we must take action to protect our shareholder value.
They have stated that they stand behind the defamatory report. But please remember that they paid enormous amounts of money during 4 years to not be exposed as the commissioner of that said report. Please also remember that the report was based on a success fee structure where the report producer was being paid based on how severely they could hurt our shareholder value.
Evolution works hard. We are methodic. We are patient, and we are very disciplined. We believe in right and have strong and good culture based on morale and solid ethics. And as a last note in the quarter, the Board has proposed that no dividend will be distributed for 2025 as it has assessed that the cash dividend currently is not the best way to create long-term shareholder value. The Board has not made further decisions on the capital allocation for 2026 yet. It's not dramatic, rather refreshing. When further decisions are made, we will let you know about it. So with that, we thank you for listening so far, and now we open up for questions.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Pravin Gondhale from Barclays.
2. Question Answer
Firstly, on capital allocation, I appreciate that Board of Directors have not decided to propose any dividends. Could you explain what are the reasons behind those decisions? And when can we expect any further communication in this regards? And secondly, on Europe, what are the key countries in Europe where you flagged that channelization is decreasing at faster pace? Has that materially accelerated in Q1? And when do you expect that to stabilize?
On the capital allocation, the Board is responsible for that, and they will take a decision that is creating the most shareholder value, and they are thoroughly and taking this question serious and looking at it. And as a result, they cancel the dividend for 2026. As soon as they have made their analyze, taking the decisions, they will get back and we will communicate what to do with our excess cash. I cannot, at the moment, give any more clarification on that.
When it comes to channelization in Europe, and if we split this in two, channelization in Europe in a number of countries are not really known. The ones that make some of the investigations and estimations of that could be U.K. They have a low channelization. It's dropped significantly over the years. Netherlands, the same, but there are also others such as maybe even Sweden. It's quite hard to get those figures in total as the market -- the unregulated market is growing and not clear. So that's the comment on that. There are also other countries taking other regulatory measures or governmental measures that affect the situation in Europe as well. So that's the background or backdrop to Europe.
And if I sort of follow up on that, could you just elaborate on what is the subjectivity part of the impact, which is impacting the player activity in Europe and in which countries?
I think that -- I will briefly comment on it, but I think that the regulation in many countries stays the same, but the subjective evaluation or the implementation of the regulations have changed. So even though the regulatory framework stays the same, suddenly, it's applied in a different way. That's what I mean with subjectivity.
The next question comes from Georg Attling from Pareto Securities.
Martin and Joakim, I have a couple of questions, starting with Asia. So another quarter of sequential growth. And also when I look at the player data here in April, it looks very strong for Baccarat. So I'm just wondering what makes you reluctant to calling the trend shift here in Asia for the rest of the year.
I think that we need to be cautious. We need to be also prepared for that as I write in that it's a little bit of a cat and mouse game. And we methodically, systematically work on the situation, as you can see, and we're very happy with the 2 quarters in a row where we grow, but we're just a little bit cautious in our communication.
On Europe, another question. You alluded to it earlier, but just wondering, is this a broad-based decline across most countries or focused on a few countries where large declines?
I think you would say that it's a little bit of both. I mean there are war, oil price situation in the world, and it affects, I think, Europe quite a lot. You can also see that it affects the dollar and other. And there are specific countries taking measures and it's a little bit of mix.
Okay. Just a follow-up on that. What do you view is really in your hands when it comes to Europe because there's only so much you can do with the channelization and I assume you're quite keen to stop this negative trend in the region.
End user satisfaction, desire to play Evolution games, strengthen and higher entertainment value. That's the key for us. We are even looking at it like if we do even better games, higher entertainment, we will pull players back into the regulated environment, even though the hurdle has been created, which make them go away. So our core focus, as always, see to that we deliver the best games that the players desire, position them with the operator or the future operators, see to that we always are on top. That's the only thing that will matter in the long run.
That's clear. Just a final question on LatAm, where growth is accelerating quite nicely. Just wondering what do you view as the drivers to this acceleration? Is it market growth, studio expansion, larger game portfolio or something else?
Great games again, end user desire to play our games, studio expansion, market growth situation and so on. It's a good environment to be in. But if we didn't have the games to supply to the market, we would be nothing. So it's a combination.
The next question comes from Nikola Kalanoski from ABG Sundal Collier.
I'm a bit curious on game shows. And so from an outside-in perspective, game shows seem to be growing quite nicely with respect to player count and the category seems to be becoming a larger and larger share of the player count. Are you generally seeing a less volatile revenue profile from game shows compared to some of the other game categories?
No.
Short and sweet. And then a short question on Ice Fishing. Are there any regions in which this game is particularly popular? Or would you say it's equally popular all over the world?
Ice Fishing is a super success, a great game, gaining traction all over the world. Actually, a loved game, one of the best we've made.
The next question comes from Ben Shelley from UBS.
I've got 3 questions. Question one, do you think margins can remain stable year-on-year given Europe and Asia are still declining and you are expanding capacity in Latin America?
I think that the incremental margin and the scalability of our business model is for sure proven this quarter. I think that in spite of the situation in Europe, we delivered good cash flow, fantastic margins, and it shows that the investments that we do are really, really well placed. So my view is yes.
And given channelization issues in Europe, how do you see the outlook for the U.K. amid material iGaming tax hikes? And is there anything interesting you are seeing from operators in the market already?
I think that -- I will answer it in general terms. Everyone in the online gaming sector in one way or the other, if you're an operator or a supplier or even something else, you would know that if you have a tax level that is like somewhere around 25%, 20%, but even 15% is great and 20% works and 25%. But as soon as you hit like the 30% bracket, it starts to be really difficult and you open up for lowering channelization and unregulated play.
When you put taxes on 40% level and a lot of other hurdles, you make it so difficult and not nice for the player experience that players in quite a large amount seeks play -- gameplay outside. I think that, that will slowly come into play. Right now, regulators talk only about what they do as repressive measures, but they don't talk about what happens to the players that are outside the regulated remit. And I think that, that needs to come into focus and you need to find that balance. I look forward to see that balance coming back.
And then just lastly, on competitive intensity in the live casino industry. Are you experiencing any pricing pressures, any loss of share?
We have experienced that all along. I mean, I've been in the company for quite a long time. I think that the only difference is that there are different names related to the competitors. Some during one period it's one name and the second period is another name and so on. The pricing pressure from competition, not able to cover the gaps that we increase all along with the innovation and the game shows we do is always compact. It's always there.
The next question comes from Martin Arnell from DNB Carnegie.
My first question is on Europe and this discussion what's in your own hands and what you can do to improve. How important do you think the new game releases will be for Europe in order to come back to growth?
I have a positive view on Europe going forward. And I think the game releases that we are going to do and also even the games that we already have will have an impact and is super important. I think that some of the games that we do are the creator of gameplay and entertainment and people, persons and end users search those games. So the more of those games that we have, the more pull into the regulated environment we will have.
And many of them are tilted to second half, but you have a few -- is it correct that you have 2 new Monopoly games scheduled for Q2? Correct.
Yes, that's correct. Yes. But the major ones are in the second half. And that's -- I always said it's a little bit frustrating for me, but it takes time. The big game, Game Night, it's a huge game, hundreds and hundreds of square meters of game show and different environment, studios, you go in and you follow the player in those, and it takes time to build. It's not -- it's a really, really complex world that we are creating.
Interesting to look forward to that. And on the -- just also a question on like orders from your clients on new dedicated tables. Has that changed anything dramatically? Or is it stable? Or how do you...
We don't guide on that. I would say that we are continuously doing well.
On dedicated tables orders, okay. And final question would be on this game show discussion, the product mix when it comes to game shows, are the new game shows more lucrative for you than the old ones in terms of like player activity, bet size, et cetera?
I don't -- I'm sorry, I don't guide on profitability per game or new game or old games. I think that the type of games that we do now with the type of Monopoly and Hasbro content is, of course, highly valuable for everyone, us and the operator and the player.
The next question comes from Ed Young from Morgan Stanley.
My first question on Europe, please. You've talked through the channelization angle and the subjectivity part of it. But if I look at your disclosure, the regulated mix is up despite the European decline and some Asia growth. So is it fair to say that this is primarily a decline in your European jurisdictions that are not locally regulated in the quarter rather than the channelization issue, which has obviously been ongoing. The second question...
Okay, let's take one question at a time...
Sorry, let's -- sure.
Otherwise, I will -- due to my lack of memory, probably not answer. You have to look at -- we're growing nicely. everything more or less in LatAm is regulated. We're growing nicely in U.S., adding money there as well, adding a little bit of money in Asia. There is a percentage point here and there and there are decimals to that. So I wouldn't necessarily draw that conclusion to a point. There are other regulations in Europe that are not regulated that are suffering and there are regulated jurisdiction in Europe that are suffering.
Second, you obviously added Playtech to your legal complaint. Can you just maybe give your reflection on where you are now in terms of what you're aiming for through the legal process and on what time line we should expect to get an idea of damages, including punitive damages that you're seeking?
We have had an opponent in this legal debacle that has been ongoing for 4 years, and we have systematically been progressing and winning in court. That's taken 4 years. It will take a very long time. And the opponent that we have is also taking a lot of measures to delay everything, which we have seen in the past, and we expect that in the future as well. So think about years, probably many years.
And then finally, there's been some confusion in some of the questions we've had this morning. So perhaps you could help clear this up. In terms of the Argentina studio acquisition, just to be clear, you've acquired the studio, i.e., the building of a competitor's departed? Or have you acquired a competitor in some of their revenues in Argentina that have contributed to the quarter?
Studio.
The next question comes from Karan Puri from JPMorgan.
Thank you for taking my questions, most of them.
Good morning.
Most of them have already been answered, but just quickly on the Argentina point, I just want to clarify, is there any inorganic revenue contribution coming from that acquisition for LatAm or not? That's...
No, no.
That's -- got it. And the second question, actually, I just wanted to check on the U.K., do you see any further discussions with the regulator on this front? Any idea when this might be resolved?
I have no idea when it will be resolved. Nothing -- no progress to report.
Just one quick one, if I can squeeze that one in. One on the RNG performance. It seems like it came in much stronger than anticipated, at least on a year-over-year basis. Maybe can you provide some incremental color on this, please?
I think we're doing great in RNG right now, fantastic games on Nolimit. We're gaining traction. We are on our way. We systematically methodically work with it, and I think that we're doing better and better.
The next question comes from Andrew Tam from Rothschild & Co Redburn.
Just one for me. We just heard from some of the operators out there about some of the headwinds in terms of the Turkish market. To what extent, just curious, did Turkish weakness contribute to the weak European result?
I won't quantify market specifics in Europe, but that also contributes to the decline in Europe, yes.
The next question comes from Rasmus Engberg from Kepler Cheuvreux.
Good morning.
Good morning.
I took a sleep of comfort, that's why I was a bit slow. That's why I was a bit slow.
In the Americas, both North and LatAm, which business is growing faster? Is it RNG or is it live?
Live is growing faster.
In both?
In LatAm in total, I don't want to go down to a specific number. We're doing a little bit better and better on RNG in total. And it's -- yes, but live is the main show.
Okay. And second question, your rate of expansion with new studios this year compared to last year? Is it higher or lower or roughly the same?
Good question. The decisions we will take during 2026 will be a little bit more forward leaning and expansion will be maybe in actual terms about the same, but we are doing more for 2026, 2027, 2028 this year than we actually did 2025. I look forward to that.
And I don't know if you can answer this, but are you -- is Evolution going to have a Board meeting after the AGM or in conjunction with the AGM?
I actually don't want to answer that to avoid any speculation.
So it's a constituent Board meeting in connection with the AGM. That's correct. Yes.
Thank you.
Thank you, interesting question.
The next question comes from Ben Shelley from UBS.
I just wanted to ask on accounts receivables and compared to your quarterly revenues, they remain elevated year-on-year and broadly stable quarter-on-quarter. Are there any comments or any updates on your Q4 comments here?
Yes, I can pick that up. No, I mean, yes, you said any updates from Q4. Yes, Q4 was definitely on an elevated basis, and we are constantly looking into it, constantly reminding customers, constantly chasing overdues. When we review, there's nothing alarming in there. So we are now kind of more methodological -- whatever that word is, thoroughly doing this work and with a higher discipline than before. So we saw a roughly EUR 10 million reduction during this quarter, and I expect that to continue.
The next question comes from Jamie Bass from Citi.
Just one question from me or 2 parts to one question, I guess. So firstly, are you feeling relatively confident that a solution will be found for Galaxy Gaming before the deadline? And if not, is the deadline you've got now, is that a hard deadline? Or can that be extended again?
I can't -- I don't want to guide on it. Of course, we are working hard to solve everything outstanding, and it's progressing. And right now, the deadline is hard. So then that comes down to, is there any possibility with some to postpone it. Right now, the deadline is hard.
There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.
Thank you very much for participating, listening to us here today and looking forward to see you in a quarter again. Thank you. Bye-bye.
Transkripte auf Deutsch freischalten
- Alle Event Transkripte auf Deutsch
- Sofortige Übersetzung
- KI-Zusammenfassungen für die wichtigsten Insights
Evolution AB — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Evolution AB — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Solide Margen und starkes Wachstum in USA/LatAm, jedoch dämpfen europäische Regulierungs‑ und Channelization‑Probleme das Gesamtwachstum.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: EUR 513 Mio. (−1.5% YoY)
- EBITDA: EUR 335.3 Mio.; Marge 65.4% (EBITDA = Ergebnis vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen)
- Live vs RNG: Live −3.1% YoY; RNG +8.1% YoY
- Cash: Liquide Mittel inkl. Anleihen EUR 1,2 Mrd.
- Free Cashflow: Operativer Cashflow nach Investitionen EUR 311 Mio.; CapEx Q1 EUR 34.6 Mio.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Regionale Priorität: Fokus auf Expansion und Investitionen in USA und Lateinamerika; Europa kurzfristig vorsichtig.
- Produktoffensive: Großes 2026‑Roadmap‑Programm (mehrere Monopoly‑Titel, SciPlay‑Feature zum Kombinieren von Slots und Live) als Wachstumshebel, Hauptlieferung H2.
- Regulatorische Maßnahmen: Ring‑fencing (Zugriffsbeschränkung auf lizenzierte Betreiber) bleibt, kombiniert mit Studio‑Ausbau (Riga, Michigan, Argentinien).
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Timing: Wesentliche Spiele laufen überwiegend im zweiten Halbjahr 2026 an — potenzielle Katalysatoren für Umsatzwachstum.
- Margenperspektive: Management erwartet strukturelle Skalenvorteile; Ziel: Margenstabilität trotz regionaler Verschiebungen.
- Risiken: Anhaltende europäische Channelization/subjectivity, laufende Übernahmegenehmigungen (Galaxy; Frist 17. Juli) und Rechtsstreitigkeiten gegen Wettbewerber.
- Kapitalallokation: Vorstand schlägt keine Dividende für 2025 vor; weitere Entscheidungen für 2026 offen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Dividende/Kapital: Analysten fordern Klarheit; Management verweist auf Board‑Entscheidung ohne Termin oder Zahlen.
- Europa‑Schwäche: Fokusfragen auf Kanalisation und subjektive Regelauslegung (UK, Niederlande, ggf. Schweden, Türkei); Management nennt keine detaillierten Länder‑Zahlen.
- M&A & Recht: Galaxy‑Transaktion und Klagen (inkl. Drittparteien) bleiben offen; Management erwartet langwierigen Prozess (Jahre) und gibt keine Schadenshöhe an.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Bedeutung: Evolution zeigt starke Profitabilität und Liquidität mit klarer Wachstumsstory in USA/LatAm und Produktkatalysatoren für H2; europäische Regulierungs‑/Channelization‑Risiken und ausstehende Kapitalallokations‑Entscheidungen bleiben die wichtigsten kurzfristigen Unsicherheiten für Aktionäre.
Evolution AB — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Evolution Q4 Report 2025 presentation. [Operator Instructions] Now I will hand the conference over to the speakers CEO, Martin Carlesund; and CFO, Joakim Andersson. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the presentation of Evolution's year-end report for 2025. My name is Martin Carlesund, and I'm the CEO of Evolution. With me, I have our CFO, Joakim Andersson. As always, I will start with some comments on our performance and then hand over to Joakim for a closer look at our financials. After that, I will conclude with an outlook and then we will open up for your questions. Next slide, please.
So let's start with the financial and operational highlights in the quarter. Overall, we saw somewhat better performance in Q4 compared to Q3. The net revenues came in at EUR 540 million, corresponding to quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.4%, but a year-on-year decline of 3.7%. Adjusted EBITDA amounted to EUR 341.5 million, giving a margin of 66.4%.
Asia turned back to modest growth quarter-on-quarter, signaling some progress in our hard work to battle the cyber criminality in the region. As pointed out several times before, there is no quick fix to these issues. We constantly adapt and develop our technical solutions to win in the long run. We believe that it's harder to steal our content today than it was a year ago.
Latin America, North America and Africa also showed growth, whereas Europe declined both on a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter basis. Our Live revenue declined by 4.5% to EUR 438.6 million while R&D increased by 1.7% to EUR 75.7 million.
I believe our slot brands have great potential ahead. Live is currently affected by both Europe and Asia, while North America and Latin America continued to do well. In the U.S., we believe Live will continue to grow its share of the total online market. And in the quarter, we launched Ezugi as the second brand in New Jersey.
Talking more about games. Our headline title for 2025, Ice Fishing, is gaining in popularity following its launch this summer. More and more players enjoy the fast pace and highly entertaining format. We have actually seen a doubling over the last 3 months. It's trending on social media and at times, it has been close to player numbers that we've seen in crazy time; amazing.
And speaking about speed, the quarter also saw the launch of Red Baron, our third crash game that is simple and fun both for veterans and beginners. Operators and players love it and the numbers are steadily increasing.
Since this year, this is an end-year format report, let us also quickly zoom out and look at financials for the full year. Net revenues were almost flat with an increase of 0.2% to EUR 2,067 million. Adjusted EBITDA decreased by 3.2% to EUR 1,366 million, giving a margin of 66.1%, which is just within the communicated range of 66% to 68% for the year.
To conclude the slide, looking at both the quarter and full year, operationally, I believe we did great. The financial outcome could have been better, but given the many challenges that we have faced, we still managed to defend our revenue and deliver solid margin together with a very strong cash flow. We always want to do better, and we look forward to continuing our hard work in 2026.
Despite what happens around us, it's vital that we stay ahead of the game and increase the gap to competition through expansion and innovation. I'm fully convinced that we have succeeded in that 2025 and even more convinced that we will do it also in 2026. Two weeks ago, we added Ice in Barcelona and our road map for the year is breathtaking. I will get back to that later.
Next slide, please. If we then move on to our operational KPIs. First, consisting of headcount and Game Round Index. On headcount, we are growing by 5.8% on a year-on-year basis and 3.8% on quarter-on-quarter. And we now see a better, more cost-effective distribution of all delivery.
The Game Round Index can be seen as a general indicator of activity throughout our network over time. For an individual quarter, it can vary a lot and does not always correlate with the revenue development. In the second half of the year, activity went down somewhat connected to our measures in both Europe and Asia. But if you look at 2025 versus 2024, we actually saw a slight uptick of 1.8% for the full year.
Next slide, please. As this year -- as this is end year report, we also have yearly KPIs on the customer dependency and a number of tables within Live. Currently, we have about 870 customers, a number that has gone up during the year, mostly linked to the new relationships and operators in Brazil. We have decreased dependency on the 5 largest customers from 46% revenues in 2024 to 39% in 2025. The largest customer represents about 12% of revenues.
The number of tables have increased by 300 during the year, linked to new studio openings in Brazil, the Philippines, Romania and the U.S. The resource mix have been improving during 2025, and we look forward to further improvements in 2026 and also better supply to market. We will continue to expand in 2026 among else with a new studio in Michigan.
Next slide, please. In this report, we're introducing a real breakdown of our revenues based on our customers' location. The absolute majority of our customers is based in Europe, followed by North America and Latin America. All of our revenue is regulated as a basic requirement to become a customer with Evolution is to hold a license from an approved regulator.
You also see revenue split based on our customers and their players, our customers' customer, which is an estimation based on the IP number of players received from our customers. This is the breakdown of revenue we have included in historic reports connected to our customers' players IP addresses, about 47% of the revenue estimate is regulated.
Next slide, please. I will now give a few comments on each of the major regions based on the estimation of revenue based on our customers' customers IP number. As highlighted in the beginning, Europe declined quarter-on-quarter. We believe that we currently have the stringiest -- most strict ring-fencing measures among all providers in Europe; and in some markets, we see that players turn to unlicensed operators instead of the official channel -- and instead of the regulated and the channelization declined significantly.
The current challenge is not the actual ring-fencing, but instead the channelization decline in some major countries as a result of regulatory measures. Simply put, the players are by the regulation pushed out of the regulated limit and are to a larger extent playing on unregulated operators that we don't accept. This is bad for the industry and pushing out the most vulnerable players, but long-term, we believe that the regulatory scale will find its balance again.
If looking beyond short-term performance, we see that players shift more and more towards game shows. And with the best road map ever in 2026, aiming at exactly these type of entertaining games rocket [ fueled by asper ] brands, I really look forward to the development in 2026.
Speaking about Europe, we can note that we haven't heard anything from U.K. Gaming Commission since last summer in relation to their investigation. We don't know when they will come back, but have been very cooperative, and as already stated, have very strict ring-fencing measures in place since very early last year.
For Asia, I've already said that we have made some progress in the cyber crime mitigation. The overall regulatory dynamics continue to be somewhat challenging, but at the same time, we see good development in the Philippines where the regulatory framework is getting more stable.
Next slide, please. North America and Latin America both reported all-time high in terms of revenues. Growth-wise, North America has been somewhat modest during the year, and the regulation pace is very slow if looking at the U.S. as a whole. But after year-end, we saw some positive development with an iGaming legislation that was passed in May.
The potential in existing market also remains strong as Live Casino share has a lot of potential. I already mentioned that the launch of Ezugi as our second Live brand in Italy and New Jersey. Speaking about U.S., we are still working to get the necessary regulatory approvals to complete acquisition of Galaxy, only 2 states remain where Nevada is one.
Nevada recently announced a guideline for licenses that operate in online gaming in other jurisdictions, and I have seen some speculation that this may cause an issue for us to get the approval. The process is moving forward, and we are still within the time line of closing before 17th of July, and I have no further comments at the time being.
Moving on to Latin America, where growth continued to accelerate both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter. Brazil is driving growth as the new regulation is settling in. During the quarter, we also noted that the main competitor in Live decided to close down operations in Argentina. We have seen this in several parts of the world in the past that despite large resources in -- it's highly complex and expensive to build a Live at scale.
Next slide, please. Okay, let's take a step back and look at our global footprint of studios. 2026 marked the 20th anniversary of Evolution. And up until 2013, we operated with only one studio out of Latvia. Fast-forward to today, we have 24 studios with the 4 latest being located in Brazil, the Philippines, Romania and New Jersey.
In the very beginning of Evolution's history, it was possible to target several markets from that 1 studio in Latvia, but as regulation has evolved more markets are putting demands on local presence. Even though it requires a larger investment, this is great for Evolution as we have an unrivaled experience in building studios with very short lead times.
It's a know-how that provides us with a competitive advantage, raises the barriers to success for others and also speaks to regulators that we can quickly set up operation and offer job opportunities in their local markets. Another aspect of the scale of evolution is that our students are connected in STAR network, and we can use a direct usage independently, creating scalability over all time zones.
Next slide, please. I already mentioned the breathtaking road map 2026. As you remember, last year, we entered an exclusive partnership with Hasbro for online live casino and slot games for MONOPOLY and other Hasbro game titles. It's an exclusive worldwide deal that covers online content for all our brands in Live and RNG, a true milestone that will enable us to bring fantastic games to our players.
Two weeks ago, we showcased some of the titles that we will launch during this year at ICE, which is the industry's largest yearly exhibition. Normally, we state that we have one big showcase title, like Ice Fishing last year. But this year, it is impossible to pick one. That's how strong the lineup is.
Let me just mention a few highlights from 2026, and let's start with Game Night, which will be the largest game show to date and a feast of bonus games based on Hasbro favorites such as Connect 4 and Hungry Hungry Hippos. It will use the largest money really in the whole world, but instead of a flatbed will have a roulette-style bouncing ball and a wheel that is set at 45-degrees angle. The wheel itself is enormous but so are the Hippos.
[ Fun enough, ] it will only be the biggest game show for a few months because later in the year, we will launch MONOPOLY Filthy Rich. This will be a gigantic Hollywood-style game show in a studio that would make any moviemakers jealous. With 5 exciting bonus game rounds on MONOPOLY features plus a super bonus MONOPOLY World.
Also based on MONOPOLY is MONOPOLY Roulette, which will be the only roulette with 2 bonus of games and the MONOPOLY rolling a 2-dice game with a MONOPOLY-style board. We will also launch several new MONOPOLY titles within RNG universe. The first one being MONOPOLY Deluxe from BTG that is already live.
In addition to the Hasbro titles, we will launch many other games that will appeal to both traditional players and others, DRAGON DRAGON which might be the coolest name ever on the game, is a simple, fast-paced guessing game will play that on -- where the 2 coins would be yellow, red or both. In Always 6 BLACKJACK, the dealer card is always 6, which provides more predictable game.
From Ezugi, we have [indiscernible] which is a unique alternative to the classic roulette using a classic claw machine as a very nice piece of engineering, by the way. In total, we have more than 110 new games and RNG releases plan for the year, and I could not be more excited.
Our CPO, Todd Haushalter, described this year's roadmap as all about fun, fun, fun and that is exactly what it is. 2026 will increase to get to any competitor more than ever, but more importantly, we are creating great entertainment for every single player.
And with that, I will hand over to Joakim for a closer look at our financials. Next slide, please.
Excellent, Martin. Thank you. So let's now spend a few minutes on the financial details. I'm now on Slide 10, and we'll repeat a few messages that Martin opened up with. Well, on this slide, see our revenue and adjusted EBITDA development over time. The full year 2025 has seen a flat revenue development whilst the quarter-by-quarter trajectory shows a somewhat uneven trend. In the fourth quarter, we are reporting EUR 514 million of revenues, EUR 341.5 million in adjusted EBITDA and consequently, a 66.4% margin.
As Martin said, with this quarter, we are ending up at 66.1% in EBITDA margin for the full year of 2025, which is within our margin guidance.
Let's go to the next slide. On this side, we will have a more detailed look at our profit and loss statement. I have highlighted a few key takeaways on this slide, and I will comment on them one by one.
So first, and again, net revenues of EUR 514 million. In this quarter, we have EUR 51.7 million of other operating revenues, which is due to a reduction of an earn-out liability. This is the only amount we are adjusting for when we talk about our adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin. As you can see and as I have highlighted on the slide, we had similar adjustments also in Q3 and Q4 2024.
Moving on to the second highlight. Total operating expenses amounted to EUR 215 million, which is 6.3% higher than Q4 last year and up 2.1% quarter-on-quarter. Despite costs being slightly higher quarter-on-quarter, we are beginning to see the benefits of our initiatives to drive operational efficiency. Several initiatives are ongoing when it comes to optimization of our tables and studios as well as the way we work with our supporting functions.
What is important to note is that this is not a one-off cost-cutting project, but something that we will work with continuously. If we then move to the third highlight. It's our profit for the period that amounted to EUR 306.8 million in the quarter. And for the full year, we had a profit of EUR 1.06 billion. Finally, our earnings per share EPS after dilution amounted to EUR 1.54.
Let's move on to the next slide, where I'm going to show you the development of our cash flow. First, on our left-hand side, we have our operating cash flow after investments, which amounted to EUR 262 million in the quarter. One factor behind the relatively low cash flow this quarter was the seasonally weak working capital.
While elevated year-end accounts receivable is a recurring pattern, we are actively addressing it, and we have seen good progress in January. The graph shows that in-year fluctuations are not unusual. However, the overall more uneven performance on top line in 2025 has driven greater volatility in our cash flow this year. Cash conversion remained solid and was at 82% for the fourth quarter.
Then turning over to the other graph and our capital expenditures, we can see that we are slightly up quarter-on-quarter with a total CapEx relating to tangible and intangible assets of EUR 38.5 million. That also means that total CapEx for the year was EUR 134.8 million.
Next slide, please. On this page, you will find a summary of the balance sheet for 2025 compared to what it looked like at the end of 2024. The main items that I usually highlight, which are all signs of our financial strength or the value of the bond portfolio of EUR 104 million. Our total cash balance that amounted to EUR 818 million and equity position that at the end of the year amounted to almost EUR 4.1 billion.
Although a minor point, as mentioned earlier during the P&L review, we have made an adjustment to our earn-out liabilities. Consequently, the other liabilities category on the balance sheet shows a slight quarter-on-quarter adjustment. We continued with the buybacks in the fourth quarter. And in total, we invested EUR 93.7 million and bought back 1.6 million shares.
In total, we invested EUR 500.2 million in 2025 and got 7.3 million Evolution shares, which today corresponds to 3.6% of the company. And when talking about buybacks, we wanted to highlight what the total shareholder remuneration has looked like over the last years.
On this slide, you will see dividend payments in blue boxes and buybacks in green boxes. There are a few takeaways from this slide, but I would like to point you to 2 of them. Firstly, as illustrated by the gray bar to the right, we have returned more than EUR 3.5 billion to our shareholders since 2020. Secondly, during 2025 alone, total shareholder remuneration amounted to almost EUR 1.1 billion, which equates to a yield of 9.3% based on the market cap at year-end.
With that remark, I will hand it back to Martin.
Thank you, Joakim. So let's summarize and then move on to the Q&A. Operationally, it was a good quarter and year, maybe the best ever. We increased efficiency, maintained margin, delivered fantastic games, we continued to expand our footprint just as we should. We have also handled many challenges always standing up for what we believe in, always trying to do the right thing.
The situation we have been up -- put up against and are still handling are not something any company could do, especially not while also being able to maintain revenues, deliver both a solid margin and an excellent cash flow. It shows what a fantastic management team we have with the right values as well as the thousands of experts and young talents across the global build Evolution to the strong company that we are. I would like to send my sincere thank you to each and every one of those.
And speaking about the excellent cash flow, I would also mention that the Board will decide and announce its recommendation regarding capital allocation for 2025 earnings later this quarter. All in all, we are in spite of the financial development, proud of 2025. But with that said, we want to do more 2026. We will deliver absolutely fabulous product road map 2026. Expansion will be at full speed in the U.S. and LatAm, while we continue to invest in Europe and at the same time, deliver margin in line with 2025, meaning 66%. I really look forward to the rest of 2026.
Now thank you for listening, and we will open up for questions. On the Q&A slide, you will also find a link that takes you to a video, almost like an early Easter egg with a sneak peak of the amazing road map that you can watch after the call. Please click it and have fun. Next slide, please, and then we'll open for questions.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Ed Young from Morgan Stanley.
2. Question Answer
I've 3 questions, please. First of all, on the new games, I think for anyone who went to ICE or seen the road map, the opportunity going to see as seems almost obvious with the Hasbro releases. But for 2025, you discussed being really happy with the operational performance that obviously wasn't matched financially. What would it take in '26 for the progress on the content and operational side to be more matched in the financial performance? The second question is, if I'm okay to ask them together...
My memory is very, very good, but short. So now to deliver on in 2026, just a stable environment. If we just could have a stable environment, solve a little bit continuously meticulously get a little bit better in Asia that's it. No more, no less.
Okay. There was a sequential decline quarter-on-quarter in Europe. Could you perhaps give us a bit more color? Obviously, as you mentioned, ring-fencing measures went in early last year. Was there any particular extra regulatory development or change? Or are you seeing any underlying change at a customer level or in the markets that can help explain that? How should we think about sequential European growth as we head into 2026?
We're not happy with the quarter in Europe. There are a lot of effects on the regulatory measures and the instability of the market. And some countries are not developing according to what we want. So it was not a good quarter. The overall situation in Europe, where the channelization now drops to 50% level in certain countries or some countries which are good, that affects us. We only target 50% of the market. And the regulation is not balanced right now. So players are pushed out of the regulatory limits. So that affects us. So the total situation in Europe wasn't good in the quarter.
Okay. Finally, could you give us an insight of why you've given this new geographic disclosure? What's the message you're giving us?
It's not too much smoke signals. It's -- there's a lot of focus on regulatory aspects where players are coming from and so on. And we feel that it's important now to disclose and show this is our revenue, this is our customers, this is where our customers are, then the geographical split of revenues that our customers provided IP adders of their players. And it felt like it was time to disclose that and show that to you -- to put a little bit of emphasis on that.
The next question comes from Georg Attling from Pareto Securities.
I'll just start with what you alluded to in Nevada. So the direct question is really if you think there is a need for further ring-fencing to complete this Galaxy acquisition?
We are progressing with the Galaxy acquisition. The Galaxy acquisition is not large enough to affect our business model in general. So we are moving forward according to the business model that we have.
Okay. Second question on the CapEx here in 2026, how should we think about this given, you gave no guidance? Is it in line with 25% or a ramp-up from that base?
We will get back on it. It's just a couple of weeks. It would be well in time for the AGM. So we look forward to disclose a good capital allocation policy and action for 2025 figures quite soon.
Okay. And then just a final question on Asia. I mean it's been very choppy here in the last 3 quarters. What's your view on the underlying development in trying to combat the cybersecurity problems? Has it been stable since the last 3, 4 quarters? Or is it really an underlying improvement here in Q4?
The market development issue has been also shocking a little bit some countries and it's not been super stable, but still good. I mean we had a not-so-good quarter 3, and now we're slowly taking back a little bit. We're happy with that movement, and we're doing a little bit of action; slowly, slowly getting to turn for the cyber criminality and hoping to see better development, of course, forward. But we don't know exactly when that will happen.
Yes. And when you look into '26 in Asia, do you see that this will largely be resolved or will it take longer than that?
I can't guide you on that. We are working day and night to find ways to do it. It's a very complex environment and someone is really stealing our product and we do what we can. And I know that there are others that experience the same thing. So we will see how and how fast we can resolve this.
The next question comes from Martin Arnell from DNB Carnegie.
My first question is on the situation in Europe. You said it wasn't good in the quarter, and we saw that. But is it anything that suggests that it will or could improve in the coming quarters here?
I think we can do better than what we did now. That's a little bit the same as I answered to add like what do you need to do better? A little bit stable environment, then it will look really good.
So it's also in your hands and not only sort of in how the regulatory markets are working or...
You can always do better. I mean even if we would have a growth of 50% in the quarter for -- and you would ask me, we can always do a little bit more. Now adding the games that we have on the road map will, of course, make a difference and I look forward to do that. So there's more to do always. But the baseline is that a little bit stable environment would be -- that would be very nice.
And on that topic, what's been the reception so far when you conclude from ICE in Barcelona, for example, on the new MONOPOLY games among your big customer network?
They are flat, I guess. I don't know to find -- they are everyone -- there's no -- everyone looks at the games and like, "Wow, when are we going to get them?" Everyone looks at the games like there is nothing in comparison, there is no one else doing anything else that is even remotely doing what we do. So when they look at our road map, they are like, "Oh, when can we have it?"
Sounds interesting. And when is the first game launch? Is that April on the MONOPOLY, 1 of the 33?
We will release a couple of games now with RNG. As you saw, MONOPOLY Deluxe is already out. It will come. And we are eager to do it as soon as possible. But Q1, Q2, a couple of games and then throughout the year.
Final question for me. There was a lot of discussions on AI at Barcelona and ICE, and how could that impact live casino? Can you clarify your view on that?
I think AI is a great opportunity. I think that we will use AI. We will probably have a product with a virtual dealer just like we have first persons, which are games that are top of the line best in the world. Then I think that, as I stated before, AI is -- 2026, maybe up until 2030, the best support tool there are, you will give a person meeting another person, all the information that they need to have on how to handle it and all the customer information or whatever it is.
I don't think that you or me would like to have an AI bot answering the questions or doing that all the time. Many times, we still want the human interaction. And the development with TikTok and that type of videos is going in the other direction. So we have to do it. It will happen. It will be there. There will be an AI dealer doing it, and it will be absolutely smashingly beautiful, but real life, real physical events will still be there for the years to come.
The next question comes from Monique Pollard from Citi.
The first question was just on the EBITDA margin. So that's come in at 66.1, obviously, for the year. So the low end of the guided range of 66 to 68. And then obviously, 2026, you said similar to the 66.1, you achieved in the 2025. I'm just trying to understand, if over time, there's been a bit of a shift, obviously, in where the studio capacity and studio locations are and whether that is putting upward pressure -- sorry, downward pressure on the margins or whether it's just a lack of being able to scale the top line because the top line has been coming in slightly weaker than expected?
It's a good question. I would answer it like there's always ifs and buts. But if we wouldn't have ring-fenced, you would have seen a much higher margin. Of course, we simply would have had higher volume on the same capacity. If we wouldn't have had a situation where we actually took down the delivery out of some studios due to the strike recently and then moved it around, we would have had a higher margin.
So it's a combination that now the resource mix is much better, and we're slowly getting back to the right capacity. And of course, if we would have had a little bit more revenue, it would have fell through and the incremental margin would have been good on that revenue. So it's a little bit of both.
Yes, I can maybe add. And it's also, I mean, a little bit in the future because when new countries or regions open up with new regulation, then it's very much up to that regulation and the kind of rules for the regulation and the rules to operate and with local studios, et cetera, which always will have then -- of course, will have an impact on the margin going forward. But that's difficult to speculate on.
Understood. And then the second question was, you mentioned, obviously, the working capital, it's seasonally weaker, but also there was this sort of issue with the accounts receivable, but that you're having some good progress with that in January. Could you talk us through sort of what you're doing there to try and sort of combat that rising accounts receivable?
Yes, Monique, what I meant, I mean, the seasonally weak AR is due to year-end Christmas holidays and breaks. I think it's a very common theme. I think that we also -- I mean, as a big company, strong financials, maybe we -- customers are a little bit taking advantage of that and then using us as a little bit of a bank over year-end to polish their working capital. So I think that's the main reason for why we saw the buildup in December.
Then I mean, naturally, in January, we follow up on everything where it's outstanding. Customers have -- we've seen a lot of customers paying because of the fact that we have past year-end. So nothing, no drama, although the numbers were a little bit higher maybe than expected and no drama and then we see the swing back on working capital now.
Okay. That's clear. And then I had a question just on Europe. Obviously, you've mentioned, do you think you now have the strongest ring-fencing measures in place amongst the suppliers. I just wanted to understand whether you had progressively ring-fenced any more market during 4Q in Europe or whether the markets that you ring-fenced back in February with the same that have been ring-fenced out. I didn't know if there had been any progression on your part in terms of what you were doing?
No, it's about the same. There is no big difference. I think that the channelization is one challenge and a little bit instability in general and the market is one challenge during the quarter. And we look forward to get a more stable environment in 2026.
Excellent. And my final question was just on the RNG growth rate. Obviously, that slowed slightly in the fourth quarter after a stronger 3Q. I just wondered whether you think either the road map of product that you've got coming in for RNG in 1Q or other things could sort of help reaccelerate that growth rate as we go through 2026?
I think we can do even -- we can do more in RNG, yes. And I think that, for sure, MONOPOLY, but also our own brands will help a lot.
The next question comes from Ben Shelley from UBS.
So firstly, in the release, you spoke about a primary focus on the U.S. and Latin America. Can you expand a bit on this, please? And is there a shift in the strategic focus here that we should be aware of?
No, there is no shift in the strategic focus. All markets are equally important and we continue doing exactly. So there's no shift. It's just that in the coming period, we have quite a lot of things happening in the U.S. We're launching Ezugi, and we're expanding in Latin America. So they come out as first where we are doing it. And then as I stated several times, we offer a little bit more stable environment. And then, of course, we continue to invest in Europe, but not as much because we don't need that in the same way.
Very clear. And then just on the U.K. Gambling Commission. I know you still haven't heard anything, but it looks like you have changed your wording slightly in your release regarding the review. Does that reflect the change in your expected outcome?
I don't know anything about outcome more than what I knew before. No, actually no. No, no intentional change in wording. It's just that months passes, and I don't know what to make after that. We're patiently waiting, and we're doing what we are doing. And we have some ring-fencing since the beginning of last year. We'll see. No intentional change.
And then in your release -- in your last release at Q3, you spoke about volatility in the Philippines and India. Obviously, Asia has grown quarter-on-quarter. Is it right to think that these markets have stabilized now?
Philippines, more stable, yes. India more stable, yes.
The next question comes from Andrew Tam from Rothschild & Co Redburn.
Just 2 for me. First one, just a segue for Ben's question on India. Given the Nevada industry guidance and India being on that list as one of the 10 countries, are you planning to stop operations there given your commitment to the Galaxy acquisition?
We are not planning to change the business model as of now due to the Galaxy acquisition, as I said before. We will look into the policy and see what comes out of that and no decisions in that direction.
Understood. My second question, just trying to assess. It looks like Russia is considering regulating online casino. Will you be applying for a suppliers' license there or are you planning on stopping supply into the Russian market until that legalizes given the Nevada guidance?
We are not. There is a lot of rumors and Putin says one thing or other, I would just spontaneously see it's very difficult to apply for license there, but let's see whatever happens in the world.
The next question comes from Rasmus Engberg from Kepler Cheuvreux.
Just a little bit confused with Europe. Throughout your reported history, Q4 has never been weaker than Q3. And now it is, and it's quite materially weaker. I'm just trying to understand, is there anything you can do to help us understand why that happened? Is it a new level going into 2026? Or are there some sort of one-offs in Q4 that we should adjust for?
I can't say that there is any material one-offs that I can give and state that it's a bad quarter, and there is a number of different aspects in the markets. There is no difference in our performance or the way that we act or relation to our customers, everything is fine. But the market was not in favor during Q4. That's a fact.
And considering this, could you update us on the group level, how do you think -- how we should think about activity in Q1 in constant currencies relative to Q4? Is it roughly similar or how does it look seasonally?
If we take online gaming as a global phenomenon, I would say that Q4 is stronger, Q1 is a little bit weaker than Q4, but still a good quarter. But then, of course, you have February with 8% lesser days. I don't know if it's [indiscernible] this year or not. But -- so it's a little bit -- Q1 is okay, but a little bit weaker than Q4 on a global scale.
And just a final question. You still report much more tax than you pay, so you sort of accumulate that. Is that something you're going to continue to do going forward? How do you look at that from -- it's kind of a global question in a way, but...
It's the pillar 2, and it's really -- if you ask me as CEO, it's a little bit up in the air. So we will see where that falls down eventually. But we, of course, according to pillar 2, deduct for the 15% tax. So that's why it's on the balance sheet. And then there are rules of how and when and whatever that's going to be paid.
So no change there?
No change.
The next question comes from Richard Stuber from Deutsche Bank.
I mean apologies if you said it right at the very top, but could you give a bit more of an update in terms of the litigation with Playtech and whether you've actually sort of named them as a defendant and when we next here on the next phase of litigation? And similarly, has this impacted any of your sort of commercial discussions with any new or existing clients?
And the second question is just you talk about this year, you'll be growing, you think, in line with the sort of general markets in the different regions. Could you just give us an indication what you think the market growth rates are in casino?
There is no real update when it comes to the main litigation, meaning Playtech. It has its due course, it's continuous and it's always slow and it will be with us for a while. There's no material update. So we look forward to move forward with the lawsuit.
Customer reactions to the way that our competitors have been acting and the type of companies that they have engaged and the way that they did interviews and whatever else they did with former employees and so on is, of course, shocking for many; exactly what comes out of that, I don't know. But it's shocking. It's not good for the industry. It's not good for anyone, and it's shocking for our customers.
When it comes to -- we have, of course -- we want to take market share. We have the best products we're moving forward, and we really want to grow faster than the market. Now the market growth is -- it's very hard. I mean, our figures are public, but many others are not. It's very hard to judge that.
And often when we get the market growth, we get it afterwards. So we are a little bit in the dark as you are. Then there are 3i and different various institutes trying to measure it. And they are more often wrong than right. So I don't have that. But once we look at the market growth, we want to be ahead of it. So that's the target.
The next question comes from Jack Cummings from Berenberg.
My first question is just on North America. I think the North America growth you reported is still a bit slower than what we see in terms of the market rate in the relaunch of Ezugi is going to help kind of close that gap? That's the first one.
And then the second one, you mentioned in the prepared remarks in the release that you're still going to invest in Europe, but slightly less aggressively. Just wanted to clarify kind of what exactly you mean that less capacity going in, less studio investment, what does less investment in Europe look like?
Okay. Let's start with the end. So less investment, it's like in comparison to other investments. I mean we're going to build a lot of products, new studios. All the Hasbro games that you will see will be built in Europe. So there is a strong investment in the European set, and that will be distributed out there.
And we will see to that we cater for all the growth in different markets and adding whatever. But in comparison to, for example, the build up that you see in Brazil, that is stronger. We need to invest more in relative terms in Brazil to build up that market, and we see that ahead, and that goes for U.S. as well.
When it comes to Ezugi launch in U.S., we believe that, that is the second option for the players and for the operator, and we believe that we will accelerate the growth with that, of course. We also think that the share of Live now when the market a little bit more mature, will increase. So there's potential in that when it comes to, for example, U.S. and North America.
What was the first question? I think that I answered that.
Thank you for all the questions. It is now time to hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.
Thank you very much for listening and taking your time. It was a pleasure to answer your questions. Now don't forget to click the link. It's a beautiful little film that you can watch and you will be blown away by the fantastic road map 2026. Thank you very much.
Transkripte auf Deutsch freischalten
- Alle Event Transkripte auf Deutsch
- Sofortige Übersetzung
- KI-Zusammenfassungen für die wichtigsten Insights
Evolution AB — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Evolution AB — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Nettoerlöse Q4: €514 Mio (CFO-Angabe), Adjusted EBITDA €341.5 Mio; EBITDA-Marge Q4 66,4%.
- Geschäftsjahr: Umsatz €2.067 Mio (+0,2% YoY), Adjusted EBITDA €1.366 Mio (−3,2% YoY), Jahresmarge 66,1% (innerhalb Guidance 66–68%).
- Cash & Buybacks: Kassenbestand €818 Mio; 2025 Buybacks €500,2 Mio (7,3 Mio Aktien, 3,6%); Q4 Buybacks €93,7 Mio.
- Operative KPIs: CapEx Q4 €38,5 Mio (FY €134,8 Mio); Cash Conversion Q4 82%; Headcount +5,8% YoY.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Marktexpansion: Fokus auf USA und Lateinamerika mit Studio‑Eröffnungen (u.a. New Jersey, Michigan) und Ezugi‑Launch in New Jersey/Italien.
- Produktroadmap: Exklusive Hasbro‑Partnerschaft; >110 neue Spiele 2026, Headline‑Titles (MONOPOLY‑Serien, Game Night, Ice Fishing‑Momentum) sollen Reichweite und Retention steigern.
- Risiksteuerung: Aktive Maßnahmen gegen Cyber‑Kriminalität in Asien und strikte Ring‑Fencing‑Maßnahmen in Europa; Management sieht dadurch kurzfristige Kanalverschiebungen.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Margenhinweis: Management strebt für 2026 eine EBITDA‑Marge in Höhe von rund 66% an (ähnlich 2025).
- Akquisition Galaxy: Abschluss weiterhin im Zeitplan, Ziel: Schließung vor dem 17. Juli 2026; Nevada‑Leitlinie wird als potenzielles regulatorisches Risiko genannt.
- Kapitalallokation: Vorstand wird Empfehlung zur Verwendung des Jahresergebnisses noch dieses Quartal bekanntgeben; Buybacks bleiben zentraler Bestandteil der Renditepolitik.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Europa‑Schwäche: Analysten kritisierten den Q4‑Rückgang; Management erklärt Channelization‑Effekte durch Regulierung (Spieler zu unregulierten Anbietern) und sieht mittelfristig Erholung, aber keine klare Timing‑Prognose.
- Asien & Cybercrime: Nachfrage zu Stabilität — Management berichtet von langsamem Fortschritt, keine Garantie für vollständige Lösung 2026.
- Regulatorische Themen: Galaxy‑Genehmigungen (insbesondere Nevada) und laufende Untersuchungen (UKGC) sowie die Playtech‑Litigation blieben offene Punkte ohne substanzielles Update.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Operativ stabil mit starker Cash‑Generierung und hoher Kapitalrückführung; kurzfristige Top‑Line‑Risiken in Europa/Asien bleiben jedoch zentral. Für Aktionäre bedeutet das: solides Cash‑Profil und Dividenden/Buybacks als Rückzahlungsquelle, aber Wachstum hängt 2026 stark von regulatorischer Normalisierung und Roadmap‑Execution ab.
Evolution AB — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the presentation of Evolution's report for the third quarter of 2025. My name is Martin Carlesund, and I'm the CEO of Evolution. With me, I have our CFO, Joakim Andersson. As always, we will start with some comments on our performance in the quarter and then I will hand over to Joakim for a closer look at our financials. After that, I will conclude with an outlook and then we will open up for your questions.
Next slide, please. So let's start with the financial and operational highlights in the quarter. And I would like to start by taking the bull by the horns and address the bad performance in Asia. This has been a recurring theme over the past quarters. But unfortunately, this time, it looks a bit worse. We were, as you remember, very cautiously optimistic about the remainder of the year in the last report. And there's really nothing that doesn't say that Q4 could be better. However, we are experiencing a lot of volatility, which makes the near-term performance hard to predict. At this stage, we want to be realistic and keep expectations low.
So what are the main reasons behind the Asian development. First is the cybercrime activity that continues to hurt us. Every day and around the clock, we do everything that we can to mitigate the issues. However, some measures do impact also the end users, and this is what makes it tricky. At the point in time, within the quarter, we did too much, causing loss in revenue. On the other hand, if we do too little, we lose to the pilots.
Towards the end of the quarter, we found a better balance, but it's still volatile. And we are -- we do constant security updates to our core to increase protection. We will continue to adapt the changes that are working, and to fine-tune the methods that are working well and explore completely new actions as well. I ask for continued patience on this, but rest assured that is a top priority.
Additionally, in Asia, the newly regulated markets, Philippines is volatile, which often is the case when operators and players adapt to the new framework. There are also other markets, such as India, that show signs of moving towards regulation, which creates a higher level of uncertainty than before. And to clarify, with showing signs, I mean that the current heated debate and quick and not widely acknowledged political decisions is something that we often see in the very beginning of potential regulation. Over a longer period of time, it will likely not be noticeable, but on a quarterly basis, it will cause variations like the one we see now.
With the context of Asia in mind, let's look at the overall numbers. Net revenue came in at EUR 507.1 million, corresponding to a year-on-year decline of 2.4%. EBITDA amounted to EUR 336.9 million, and the EBITDA margin came in at 66.4%, which is within the range of our full year margin target of 66% to 68%.
What stands out as positive in the quarter is the performance in Europe, which is back to growth quarter-on-quarter compared to the first half of the year. We saw the full effect of our protective ring fencing measures in the second quarter, and this provided a new foundation for growth. Worth mentioning is also that we got recognition for our ring fencing from one of the largest regulators in Europe, where we were pointed out as one of the best B2B suppliers. I'm happy with the progress in Europe in this quarter.
North America also performed decently, and Latin America is stronger than what we have seen earlier this year. Our Live revenue declined by 3.4% to EUR 431.7 million, while RNG increased by [ 4.2% ] to EUR 75.5 million. It is actually the first time that RNG outperformed Live in terms of growth. Our studios have worked hard and especially Nolimit City has performed great in this quarter. To further strengthen our portfolio, we have launched a completely new brand, Sneaky Slots from scratch, and it will be very exciting to follow that progress going forward.
On Live, growth is held back by Asia, but we continue to see good growth in the rest of the world. In both North America and Latin America, Live is still in early days and gains considerable attention from operators and players alike. The opening of our new studio in Brazil has been a true success.
On the game side, our highly anticipated Ice Fishing title has finally seen the light, and reception has been great across our market. It is mirroring the trend of faster and shorter forms of entertainment that are widely consumer channels like TikTok and Reels. And it is needed -- is indeed a much faster experience than, for example, Crazy Time. Another great thing is that expansion of Ice Fishing to other studios will be fast compared to the more massive games like Lightning Storm. With its success, we will definitely explore more opportunities in the speed game show arena going forward.
To conclude the quarter, overall revenue is not where I want it to be. But when opening the lead, it's clear that the development comes from 1 out of 4 regions. The development in Europe, North America and Latin America is overall good and also supports the margin together with our clear focus on cost efficiency.
Next slide, please. If we then move to our operational KPIs, consisting of head count and game round index. On head count, we are growing 4.2% on a year-on-year basis, but we have actually decreased 2.7% quarter-on-quarter. The slowdown is, to some extent, reflected in the revenue. We don't hire unless we grow, but looking at recruitment base within full year, there are sometimes fluctuation based on temporarily slower high pace in recruitment. As we plan for more studio expansion over the next years, the long-term trend is that we will see continued increase in the number of Evolutioneers. The game round index can be seen as a general indicator of activity throughout the network over time, as you know. And for an individual quarter, it can be -- can vary quite a lot and does not always correlate with the revenue development. However, as you also can see this quarter, this actually shows a decrease.
Next slide, please. Innovation and quality will always be our signature when it comes to our game portfolio. And I am ever so proud of the continued delivery on our product road map for 2025. During the quarter, we released Ice Fishing, which I have already talked about, and also Dragon Tiger Phoenix, SuperSpeed Dragon Tiger, both the latter are based on a popular Dragon Tiger, a straightforward car game that now has been elevated with the new excitement. Rules are simple and gameplay is quick. In Dragon Tiger Phoenix, the Phoenix is introduced as the third legendary car and the players simply bet on which car that will win or if it will be a tie.
Another very exciting release is the Sneaky Slots brand, which joins our portfolio that already includes Nolimit City, Red Tiger, NetEnt, and Big Time Gaming. We have created Sneaky Slots from scratch, leveraging all our know-how that we have within RNG and using our one-stop shop and global sales network to further boost its launch. Sneaky Slots will fill a gap between Nolimit City and NetEnt in terms of game style. And selected releases will use ex mechanics from Nolimit City that we know that the players love. First title was released -- was NetEnt, which will be followed by the new title every month until year-end.
Among upcoming releases, we have Red Baron, a mix of Live and RNG where the goal is to cash out before the Red Baron flies away. The longer you wait, the higher the potential. Another release is Insurance Baccarat, which is an exciting variation of the classic Baccarat that adds a unique insurance feature to protect the space.
While summarizing the year, we look back at over 110 releases, which is a truly great achievement. And as time flies, there's now only 3 months left until [ Ice ] where we, as always, will showcase the most exciting titles for 2026. I can promise that Todd and his team are ready to take entertainment to yet another level.
Next slide, please. Okay. Let's look at the geographical breakdown. As already highlighted, I'm pleased to see that Europe growth quarter-on-quarter, with revenue amounted to EUR 182.2 million. We have talked a lot about ring fencing this year, and you probably remember that the effects on revenues were a bit larger than we had anticipated. It is a price that we have to pay to stay ahead of the regulatory curve. But with that said, we have a new base to grow from. And despite the summer without any major sports event, development has been overall good.
I should also mention the dialogue with the U.K. Gaming Commission, which continued, and we are yet to receive the conclusion of its review. What I believe is important to note is that we have been very cooperative and also responsive to various requirements that the Gaming Commission has put upon us. We still have to wait for the outcome, but I truly believe that we have the most sophisticated compliance framework among all providers targeting the U.K.
Moving on to Asia, where I have already provided the context for the bad development and revenue decline of 9.6% quarter-on-quarter. Even though the market in Philippines has been volatile, our newly opened studio has been off to a great start. A while ago, there were some media noise on our studio partner losing its B2C license, but it has nothing to do with us or our studio. Everything is working as it should. We did, however, suffer some building damage in the 6.9 magnitude earthquake that struck Cebu in the beginning of October, but to our great relief, no employee was hurt and operations continued, even though that is secondary when people's lives are on the line.
Next slide, please. On the contrary from Asia, North America is, thanks to its regulation, more predictable and stable. Quarter-on-quarter growth is modest, but on the positive side, it is -- on the positive side, the operators continue to invest heavily in Live casino solutions and environment. Year-on-year growth is 14.5%. To meet the demand, we have launched our second Live studio brand, Ezugi, just around the end of the quarter, and we are planning to open a second studio in Michigan during the first half of 2026. I would also like to highlight that we, after the quarter, have launched Crazy Time in Connecticut. Great. Very, very good.
Also, while speaking on North America, I would like to mention something on Sweepstakes as it has been a topic of discussion during the quarter. Sweepstakes is a popular product in the U.S., and we offer it in states where it's not prohibited or in any way under regulatory scrutiny. Sweepstakes is a very small part of our total revenue, but we believe it has some potential. And as you know, as the market leader, we'll want to offer a great variety of content. In the quarter, a city attorney in Los Angeles made a personal interpretation of the California law, and as our strategy is that we don't offer Sweepstakes where there are regulatory uncertainties, we pulled it from the market, simple as that.
I'm also quite certain that you will ask us about the completion of the Galaxy Gaming acquisition. We are still awaiting some regulatory approvals, but believe me, we will be able to -- but we believe we'll be able to close the transaction before year-end. However, it's a regulatory process. It's not completely in our hands.
Moving on to Latin America, where growth is picking up with 6.4% year-on-year and 5.9% quarter-on-quarter. The new regulation in Brazil seems to be done with its initial [ teething ] problems, and operator and players are becoming more active. Our new studio in Sao Paulo, Brazil has developed nicely during the quarter and will expand as we move forward.
Now I will hand over to Joakim for a closer look at our financials. Next slide, please.
Great. Thank you, Martin, and good morning. As usual, I will now zoom in on some of the financial highlights this quarter. Let's start on Slide 7, where we have the financial development of the last 14 quarters.
For the ones that are following us and are used to our format, you will note that we have added the revenue split by regulated and unregulated on this slide. Let's start there. As you can see on the line, regulated revenue is up to 46% of the total this quarter. And even if this will fluctuate between quarters as revenue mix shifts, the longer trend is clear. The portion of regulated revenue will continue to go up.
To the left, as mentioned by Martin earlier, we had net revenue of EUR 507.1 million this quarter, and EBITDA margin of 66.4%. What is not shown on this graph is that we, now year-to-date, are at 66.7% in EBITDA margin, making it within the expected range of 66% to 68% for the full year. As you can see from the chart, our growth has clearly tapered off and even become negative, and this is not something we are happy about, and we can assure you that we are doing whatever we can to reverse that trend.
Let's go to the next slide. And here, we had our profit and loss statement. A lot of numbers on this slide, so I have highlighted the key takeaways, and I will comment on them one by one. So firstly, again, we had net revenues of EUR 507.1 million, which is down 2.4% year-on-year and down by 3.3% quarter-on-quarter. Secondly, total operating expenses amounted to EUR 210.5 million, which is 5% higher than last -- higher than Q3 last year, but more importantly, down 3.4% from last quarter, which is good evidence of our efforts adjusting the cost base to the weaker revenue momentum. We are not only trying to work smarter and be more efficient optimizing how we use our studios and tables, but we are also taking some broad-based cost-cutting measures, which will continue for the rest of the year and into 2026.
Thirdly, our operating profit amounted to EUR 296.6 million in the third quarter. And finally, EPS after dilution amounted to EUR 1.25. To be noted, the profit for 2024 includes EUR 59.7 million of other operating revenue related to reversal of earn-out liability. And so to make it comparable with this year, you should probably adjust for that.
Let's move on to the next slide, where I'm going to show you the development of our cash flow. First, to the right, our capital expenditures. And as can be seen in the graph, we are down quarter-on-quarter, the total CapEx related to tangible and intangible assets of EUR 29.8 million. With that, we are likely going to be slightly lower than the full year forecast of EUR 140 million that we announced in the beginning of the year.
If we then look left, our operating cash flow after investments amounted to EUR 342.1 million in the quarter, which corresponds to a cash conversion of 83%. With that, we are back on track after a seasonally and unusually weak second quarter. The change in working capital was positive EUR 35.2 million this quarter, meaning a swing back from the weaker number last quarter, which is good and in line with our expectations.
Then finally for me, some brief comments on our financial position on the next page. On this page, you will find our summary of the balance sheet for the third quarter compared to what it looked like at the end of last year. The main items that I usually highlight, which are all signs of our financial strength, are the value of the bond portfolio of EUR 103.2 million, our total cash balance that amounted to EUR 656.4 million and the equity position at the end of the quarter, which amounts to EUR 3.8 billion.
We have continued with the buybacks in the third quarter. And in total, we invested EUR 187 million and bought back 2.5 million shares. In total, we have now used EUR 406.5 million of this year's mandate from the Board of EUR 500 million. And following the release of the Q3 report today, we'll be back in the market with an aim to use the full mandate before the year ends.
With that, I will hand back to Martin for his closing remarks.
Thank you, Joakim. So let's summarize the quarter and then move to the Q&A.
Performance in Asia was bad and left a negative impact on the group revenues as a total. But with that said, the rest of the world is doing decent to good, and we are determined to get Asia back on track. I understand that it causes some frustration, especially since we actually saw some signs of improvement in the second quarter. And believe me, I'm frustrated, too. I can only repeat that it requires patience while being a top priority.
I'm happy to see that the margin has improved compared to the first half of the year, and we don't see any reason why -- for it not to stay within our target range of 66% to 68% for the remainder of the year. Cost efficiency is something that I feel strong about as it's part of our roots as an entrepreneurial company. We never spend a penny unless it provides value to the business in terms of growth.
This presentation is about the financial performance in Q3. We don't have a separate slide on the movement in the ongoing deformation litigation in the U.S. We have -- where we have for 4 years finally received information on who was behind the [ false ] report. This process will continue in court, and I will not make any comments about its future development. What I can say is that we believe in fair competition, where innovation and excellent operations count. When a competitor decides not to play by these rules, it hurts not -- it hurts not only us, but the industry as a whole.
With that said, with a little bit more than 2 months left of 2025, we will continue to run, adapt and improve. When we summarize the year from a financial perspective, it will have been a bumpy ride, but from an operational perspective, a very strong and important period for Evolution.
With that, we'll open up for questions. Next slide.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Martin Arnell from DNB Carnegie.
2. Question Answer
My first question is on -- if we could discuss the Asia situation just a little bit more. I think you mentioned it remains volatile and you, of course, the ambition is to get it back on track. And my question would be, are there any signs that it has bottomed out because the counter measurements, that's in your control, right? So if you have been too stringent, you can adapt. But the regulatory situation and the effect from that is more -- is not in your hands. Is that a correct interpretation?
We are doing everything we can with the countermeasures. And as I said, we did a little bit too much, and we have to do a little bit less, and we'll find the balance. And I think that we are on to it and we're doing the right things. And it's also natural that there will be a situation where you do a little bit too much because otherwise, you won't know where the borders are.
When it comes to the dynamic and the regulatory situation in the region, there's a lot of countries. And right now, there's volatility in some of the regions, some of the countries and that affects us as well. I can't predict much more than that.
And my second question would be, first on Europe, return to growth quarter-on-quarter there. Is that because players finding their way back after the ring fencing through regulated alternatives, do you think?
That's a very good question. And I -- yes, I believe that players in some markets find their way back and want to play a regulated and good compound. So that's probably part of it. And we see good development in total. And I'm actually happy with the development in Europe.
Okay. And final question is just on investments. I mean is there any investment that you could accelerate to improve this current situation in Asia? You've always commented that you will prio growth over margins.
It's -- there is no -- it's not -- if I could throw more money at the problem and I would get a quicker solution, I would do that. I don't see that it's a money issue. We invest and we put the resources -- topnotch resources in the world to do whatever we can. And there is actually -- but don't quote me on that, please, but there is no limitation when it comes to that money. We put revenue and market share before cost, but we also need to adapt to the situation we have. So that's what we're doing right now.
The next question comes from Ed Young from Morgan Stanley.
My first question is on North America. It's showing the best growth across your geographies, but it's still behind market growth. Could you give us an update on the drivers there? What's going well? What's going less well? And do you expect any material change in the growth rate into next year?
The second is on Asia. It sounds like it's a reasonable conclusion from your comments around countermeasures, Martin, you may never be able to fully deal with these issues. So put another way, should we be rebasing fundamentally our Asia revenue and growth expectations? Or on what sort of time line do you have optimism over market growth and market share gains in Asia?
And then finally, I'll ask it. I appreciate giving your very final comment. You may not want to answer, but what are you looking for as an outcome from your legal action? Are you seeking maximum financial damages? You expecting regulators to review your competitors' license suitability? What are you looking for? And what sort of time line do you expect this to play out?
Thanks. I got it. So when it comes to growth in U.S., Live is doing really well. We have a couple of fluctuations, maybe we didn't have the best quarter when it comes to RNG. There are a little bit fluctuations over the quarters, I'm happy with the development. I look forward to the future in U.S. That's the situation in the U.S.
When it comes to Asia, to address this problem, it's technically difficult. It's very advanced, and we're doing it. And we're tuning and we're finding. My belief is over time, that we will find the right balance and the right solutions and continuously enhance and protect our product to make it even better. So in the longer perspective, I look at a very good situation in the Asian market. Now I don't have any -- I can't share any sort of time frame on that right now. I'm a bit more cautious with that.
When it comes to the outcome of the litigation process in U.S., I mean I look for fairness, justice. I think that it's horrible to do what has happened to us. Someone is hiding between layers of companies and hiding the true identity and writing false -- a number of false statements in the report to us. It's unfair. We are protecting the shareholder value of Evolution. The company, as such, defending ourselves from our employees. And the first thing that we look for is some kind of justice, I would say.
The next question comes from Ben Shelley from UBS.
I've just -- I've got 3, if that's okay. On Asia, could you talk a bit more about the developments in India in more detail? What exactly is happening on the ground? And how should we expect this to develop over the coming quarters?
My second question is on North America. Could you talk more about your Sweepstake exposure in the U.S. and how meaningful that is versus your North American revenues?
And three, I was wondering if you could -- if you had any early thoughts on capital allocation for 2026? Do you think EUR 500 million is the right starting point for share buyback expectations for next year?
So the situation on the market in Asia, is a lot of different countries. We point out, Philippines is very volatile right now. There's things happening in India, but there's also other countries that are fluctuating and things are happening there as well. India is a large country. There are regions that have portions regulated when it comes to sports. There's a desire in some regions to regulate. Now there are suggestions on a sort of federal level to take a few steps towards blocking online gaming. These type of movements we often see, when there is talks and happenings about regulation, it opens up for different routes forward. It could go into regulation, it could settle down or it could go to somewhere else. We can't speculate on that. We just see that it's affecting us to a certain level right now.
North America, I think that you asked about Sweepstakes, and Sweepstakes is -- we provide to the Sweepstakes market, where there are no regulatory problems or any legal problems. And we are very lean. We talked to regulators. And if there would be a letter or someone, a regulator or an authority stating, don't do it here, we would immediately go away.
U.S. had the history of river boats that, from the beginning, travel on the river, down to only shore and they have to have the engine running and then they didn't have them, and then it was [indiscernible]. These type of movements have been -- prediction gaming could be one of these. But these type of movements have been there. And we want to supply to them as long as there is no regulatory or authorities saying no. So we did that.
In the case of California, it's a state attorney in Los Angeles that made a personal lawsuit, and that's okay. And immediately when that happen, we withdraw from that. So that we -- okay, if that's what you want, then we will withdraw from that. So that's the Sweepstakes situation.
Capital allocation, I don't want to comment on that. It's, in the end of the day, an AGM decision and a Board proposal. We are acting on the capital allocation that we have. And you also have the capital policy that we published last year, and I'm sure that the Board will continue following that.
The next question comes from Pravin Gondhale from Barclays.
Firstly, on Asia cyber attacks, so yes, we are seeing that. It sort of continues to be a drag on your performance. But do you see any risk of spreading these cyber attacks to your other markets like Latin America, where black market continues to be big?
And then in Europe, can you just give us a sense that between Live and RNG, which have been the key drivers of your European growth on a sequential basis, and any sort of steer on how do you expect European revenues to grow from here?
The protection measures that we add to our core is valid for the whole core, meaning supply to all parts of the world. So one of the upsides in doing what we're doing now with advanced technology and AI and everything is that it also protects our core in other markets and all over the world.
So I would almost say that it becomes a competitive advantage where we increase the gap to competition. And eventually, we make it so hard to steal our products. So if you want to steal the product, you have to go to someone else. So it's protecting everything. So any measure we take in Asia will be accommodated in all of the core. So that's that.
And when it comes to the split in the growth, I mean, we're doing very well right now, momentarily very well, maybe not even showing in the figures in the right way. But when it comes to RNG, we're happy with the development. Nolimit City is delivering great games. And of course, it's contributing in a good way to the total revenue in Europe. Now it's still a smaller part. So Live is the big part. So don't forget that. I mean, it doesn't matter if it does tremendously well. It doesn't affect the figures that much.
The next question comes from Monique Pollard from Citi.
Three from me, if I can, as well. The first was just on the regulated revenue increase we saw in the quarter. And you talk about the sort of direction of travel. Just trying to understand whether that increase in the regulated revenues is driven by the fact that North America and regulated territories performing better than Asia or whether there were some new markets that regulated in the quarter that also added to that progression?
The second question was just on the U.K. Gambling Commission review. You mentioned in the presentation that there's no new news, but also in the report, you say you're expecting a conclusion by the end of the year. So I just wondered what gives you confidence in that time line of end of year, please?
And then the final question is in relation to the news we had a couple of days ago on Playtech Black Cube. I appreciate you don't want to get into the details of the types of damages being sought, et cetera. But it would be really helpful if you could give us some indication of how you look to assess the damages. So is the starting point for assessing damages based on market cap movement on the day that these bits of news became public? Or are there other sort of processes you use when you're thinking about the damages that have been caused by these reports?
The regulatory percentage, 46% in the quarter, good development. We're moving in that direction. That's nice. That comes out of, of course, that the regulated markets are outperforming the nonregulated, and it's affected, of course, by the situation in Asia. So more and more gets to be regulated. And I might remind you that as soon as it tips over to 50% and if the revenue grows equally, it will continue to increase more and more. So we're in a good position with that.
When it comes to the U.K. Gaming Commission time line, unfortunately, I don't have any other information than what -- it's in the hands of the regulator, and we have been -- our estimation is that it will be by the end of this year. I have no further information. That's what it is.
For me, when it comes to the Playtech situation, I mean -- I will say about the same things all over again, but -- when someone behaves in that way, [ hypes ] in -- during 4 years doing this type of action with that type of company that the Black Cube using, Juda as a PR company, it takes a bit away from my belief in humanity and fair play and in ethics and moral. Exactly how we will assess the damages, that's a later question, but it's a severe amount.
The next question comes from Adrien de Saint Hilaire from Bank of America.
So first of all, on Asia, again, it's been a volatile region now for a while. I'm just curious, high level, if there is a point where you might draw a line in your commitment towards that region and refocus towards other markets?
Secondly, you touched on this, but cost of employee was down quarter-on-quarter. Can you explain a bit what's going on there and the sustainability of that?
And then, sorry, this is a bit like technical perhaps, but there's been quite a switch between current liabilities and other noncurrent liabilities in the quarter. Can you explain a bit what's going on there, please?
Okay. I will start with the first 2, and then I will, with warmth, hand over the last one to Joakim. So we look forward and we are engaged, and we actually think it's intriguing, even if it's tough, to find a solution to protect our product in Asia. But I think it will become more and more important also for other markets if we look in a longer time perspective. So we don't have any line that we will draw against Asia. We'll continue to fight that. And as I stated before, it's not about money. It's not a cost that is the problem. It's to find real good solutions on the level for that.
When it comes to cost per employee and the cost base, we have talked about all since actually July 2024, where we have the strike in Georgia in that situation and the cost mix and we had to shift a little bit. So we had an unfavorable cost mix. Now we're starting to be able to shift that, which is what we have talked about during the quarters that we need to have a better and favorable cost mix. It's not like we're cutting delivery right now. It's -- we are putting the delivery in the studios, which are good. So that's the reason why we come to that.
And then I will hand over to you, Joakim.
Of course, the balance sheet question. It's simply a reclassification of earn-out bilities that we have moved from long -- being long term to short term in this quarter as they indeed are shorter than a year. I think that's the one that you are referring to. Well spotted, by the way.
The next question comes from Raymond Ke from Nordea.
A couple of questions from me. I'll take them one by one, starting with no surprise maybe at Asia as well. Compared to, say, Q2, how much of the decline here that we saw in Q3, which is due to cyber attacks, and how much is from regulations and changes in geographies like Philippines and India, would you estimate?
I don't split that out. There are sort of 3 components in the situation. One is cyber attacks, and the cyber attacks is, of course, the constant level of it, but also our action that was a little bit too tough and then we had to retract. And then there is unstability in the region when it comes to regulatory situation. And here, we point out India and Philippines as 2 of those, but there are also others. So unfortunately, I don't want to go into exactly where in detail, and it's also very hard to see that.
Got it. And then regarding sort of the regulatory situation in not just Philippines and India, I understand it. But how many months of impact would you estimate that we have seen here in Q3? If we compare it sort of to ring fencing back in Q1, do we have the full effect? How much should we expect ahead? It would be really helpful to understand.
No, I understand. I assume that you're talking about Asia, right?
Yes, that's right.
So I think that there is a difference between the situation in Europe and Asia, so to speak, but the ring fencing has a little bit of a tail. I think that in Asia, the situation is more momentarily, okay, this is where we are right now, and we need to take it from there. And then we need to see that we do the right things in the coming quarter and see to find the balance.
Got it. And then on North America, your sequential sales growth was flat here in Q3. You had momentum going into Q2 where it added EUR 2 million on top line. How much of the trend here in Q3 would you say is due to withdrawing from California stake? Is it the majority here? Or is there other explanations?
I wouldn't say that, that affects significantly.
And finally, just one more, if I may. Could you maybe help us get a better understanding of how you intend to reach your margin target with the revenue we see here in Q2? How much should come from, say, revenue growth? How much should come from additional cost savings? Is it sort of equal, equal? Or how should we think about that?
No. If I jump in and take that. I mean in Q3, clearly, we are within, right? It has a separate quarter, 66.4% this quarter. And also, as we said, year-to-date, 66.0%. So if we just repeat what we now delivered in Q3, we are there, right? So it doesn't take a lot to make it for the full year, and we are quite confident that we will make it for the full year.
The next question comes from Rasmus Engberg from Kepler Cheuvreux.
Cheuvreux that is. Do you anticipate that India could potentially have an impact also in the fourth quarter? So that's the first question.
I can't comment on that. I don't -- I look at Asia right now, and I'm cautious when I make any predictions due to the situation that it's so volatile.
Fair enough. Can you explain the next step in your legal battle with regards to Playtech? What happens next? And could you also perhaps give us an indication of what the run rate of costs that you're incurring, if possible?
The first question I can answer. It's like -- the thing that happened this week is actually a non -- it's not an action that affects Evolution in any way. When we initiated the litigation, it was with a fake name, [ Joe Roe ], and that was Playtech, but we just didn't know that it was Playtech. So right now, that is just exchanged for Playtech because we finally got the name. So that's what happened. That's -- and then we gave you, to the market, all the information we had relating to that, and that's it. So from our perspective, and the next thing is that there are a number of depositions and potential information that should be shared, and the legal process will continue just like it had been.
When it is -- when it relates to the cost, it's naturally very expensive to do this type of exercises. We do it to protect the shareholders. We do the value for the shareholders. We do to protect the company. We think it's unfair. It's unheard of. It's a behavior that we just don't understand. Now we won't split it out right now, maybe in the future to come, we will look into it. But right now, we don't comment on the exact cost.
The next question comes from Jack Cummings from Berenberg.
Two questions, please. The first is just on the ring fencing in Europe. Is there any more that you still have to do? Or is all of the European ring fencing now completed?
And then just on my second question, I appreciate it's a little bit early than when you normally talk about full year '26. Based upon your comments on cost shift and cost mix, would you expect to see EBITDA margins expand in full year '26 or full year '25?
When I look at ring fencing, I think that we are in a very good position right now in Europe. Things can happen in both directions, but I don't know any other actions that are ahead of us right now.
When it comes to EBITDA margin, we have full focus on 2025 to deliver the 66% to 68%. And we look forward to do that. And then I assume somewhere on a release to Q1 report -- the Q4 report, sorry for that, I'm a little bit ahead of the curve, then we will guide you for 2026. [indiscernible] is positive.
The next question comes from Karan Puri from JPMorgan.
Most of my questions are actually answered. Just one on Europe, I guess, wondering how should we be thinking about a more normalized growth profile in '26 onwards once you sort of lapped the ring fencing adjustments. If you could share a bit on that, would be great.
The answer to that -- I don't guide on the future, but historically, over the time, Europe is the most mature market, and we had a pace of growing 9%, 10%, quite consistently over a number of years. That's the best knowledge we have of the situation. And right now, we are ring-fenced, and we are starting to see a little bit of growth from that.
The next question comes from Andrew Tam from Rothschild & Co Redburn.
Just one question from me. Can I just clarify just your position on India. You talk about the regulatory volatility there. I just wanted to just fully understand what that means. Obviously, you've seen in recent weeks, one of your largest customers globally, decide to exit that market entirely with the real money gambling band. Are you saying that, that is a market that you would look to ring fence as well, should you get some more regulatory clarity going the other way against you?
Ring fencing has to be done in relation to regulation and what is there. We are watching it closely right now, and there are volatility in India, as you understand. At the time, if there would be a ring fencing, that will be later down the road.
Okay. So no plans to ring fence in future in India?
We're watching it carefully right now and see what will be there.
The next question comes from Martin Arnell from DNB Carnegie.
Yes, I just had a follow-up question on RNG, actually because I saw that you had growth improvement there. And could you just say, is it because Nolimit City has a strong edge in the market? Or do you see the market for RNG has improved?
We are doing better and better, slowly, bit by bit when it comes to our RNG offering.
There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.
Thank you very much for participating, listening to us. I really look forward to seeing you in a quarter. Thank you.
Transkripte auf Deutsch freischalten
- Alle Event Transkripte auf Deutsch
- Sofortige Übersetzung
- KI-Zusammenfassungen für die wichtigsten Insights
Evolution AB — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Evolution AB — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: EUR 507.1 Mio. (−2.4% YoY; −3.3% QoQ)
- EBITDA: EUR 336.9 Mio.; EBITDA (Ergebnis vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen)-Marge 66.4% (Guidance 66–68%)
- Live vs RNG: Live EUR 431.7 Mio. (−3.4% QoQ); RNG EUR 75.5 Mio. (+4.2% YoY)
- Regionen: Europa EUR 182.2 Mio. (QoQ‑Wachstum); Asien −9.6% QoQ; Nordamerika +14.5% YoY; LatAm +6.4% YoY
- Cash & Buybacks: Cash EUR 656.4 Mio.; Q3 Buybacks EUR 187 Mio. (2.5 Mio. Aktien); YTD eingesetzt EUR 406.5 Mio. von EUR 500 Mio. Mandat
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Asien-Problematik: Cybercrime und regulatorische Volatilität drücken Umsätze; Schutzmaßnahmen wurden anfangs zu strikt umgesetzt, werden nun feinjustiert
- Regulatorik & Europa: Ring‑fencing in Europa wirkt, Quartalswachstum sichtbar; Anerkennung durch großen Regulator; UK Gambling Commission‑Review laufend
- Portfolio & Expansion: Produktpush (Ice Fishing, Sneaky Slots), Studios in Brasilien und geplant Michigan H1 2026; Galaxy‑Akquisition steht unter regulatorischer Freigabe
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Margenziel: Ziel 66–68% für 2025 beibehalten; YTD 66.7%, Q3 66.4% — Management ist zuversichtlich
- CapEx: Q3 CapEx EUR 29.8 Mio.; Full‑Year‑Forecast EUR 140 Mio. wird voraussichtlich leicht unterschritten
- Risiken: Kurzfristige Umsatzunsicherheit dominiert (Asien: Cybersecurity + Regulierung); Abschluss Galaxy und UKGC‑Outcome bleiben maßgebliche Ereignisse
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Asien-Timing: Analysten drängten auf ein Bottom/Zeithorizont; Management verweigerte konkrete Timeline und trennt nicht klar Cybercrime vs. regulatorische Effekte
- UKGC & Ring‑fencing: Nachfrage nach Abschluss und Folgen; Management: Ring‑fencing weitgehend umgesetzt; Schluss der UKGC‑Prüfung erwartet bis Jahresende, aber ohne Garantie
- Kapitalallokation & Litigation: Fragen zu künftigen Buybacks und Schadenshöhe gegen Playtech/Black Cube; Management nennt keine Zahlen oder verbindliche 2026‑Versprechen
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Evolution zeigt starke Profitabilität und Liquidität (hohe Marge, hoher Cashbestand, aktives Rückkaufprogramm). Kurzfristig bleibt das Umsatzrisiko in Asien material; Stabilisierung dort und regulatorische Klarheit (UKGC, Galaxy‑Freigabe) sind die wichtigsten Katalysatoren für Wiederanstieg beim Wachstum.
Evolution AB — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to the Evolution Q2 Report 2025 presentation. [Operator Instructions] Now I will hand the conference over to the speakers CEO, Martin Carlesund; and CFO, Joakim Andersson. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to the presentation of Evolution's report for the second quarter 2025. My name is Martin Carlesund, and I'm the CEO of Evolution. With me are our CFO, Joakim Andersson.
I will start with some comments on our performance as usual, and then hand over to Joakim for a closer look at our financials. After that, I will conclude with an outlook and then we will open the floor for questions.
Next slide, please. So let's start with the financial and operational highlights in the quarter. The two main operational themes for the first quarter continued to impact our financial results. Firstly, we continued to win European markets in order to stay ahead of changes that we know will come to the regulatory advantage. What that means is that we effectively ring fence the markets with local regulation and ensure that our games are only with locally licensed operators in markets where such license exist.
What started with the U.K. has now followed on more European markets affecting our revenues in the region for the short term. The impact of these measures depend on the level of channelization in markets where it's high, it has had little impact, but in markets where low channelization is, it hits -- has meant that it drops in revenue. We firmly believe that the regulation is a driver for the market, and we continue to support regulatory in any way we can. This is something that we are proactively doing to ensure that we are fully prepared on the relationships. Thereby, we increased our advantage, competitive edge and a further distance between us and the competition. However, the data, the increased regulations are affecting us to somewhat higher extent year-on-year than we anticipated. Adoptions almost take time. and the environment in Europe is still a bit turbid making it difficult to provide exact forecast.
The second operational challenge is the continuing cybercrime activity in Asia. We are making good progress in combating these criminal activities, and we do everything we can to make sure that we get paid for our innovation and products. In the second quarter, we are starting to see some benefits with Asia being back to growth in the quarter. More on that on the regional breakdown in a minute. For both these regions, we remain cautiously optimistic about the remainder of 2025 as we continue to evaluate the effects of these measures.
So let's say a few things on the numbers. Net revenue came in at EUR 524.3 million, corresponding to year-on-year growth of 3.1%. EBITDA amounted to EUR 345.3 million, and the EBITDA margin came in at 65.9%, which is in line with our full year guidance of 66% to 68%. We do continue to believe that the second half of the year will be stronger than the first half and we keep our full year estimate as before.
Our Life segment was impacted by the European and Asian development with revenue coming in at EUR 453.7 million, corresponding to growth of 3.6%. We continue to see good momentum in North America and also believe that activity in Latin America would pick up, supported by the new regulation in Brazil. R&D revenues total stood EUR 76.6 million, growing year-on-year by 0.3%. One main reason for the slow growth in R&D this quarter is the largest payout in R&D, affecting the total revenue stream. Overall, R&D has solid performance adjusted for the payout, and we still have good potential to grow in this segment.
We have several milestones since last month. We have signed a fantastic licensing agreement with Hasbro to continue to develop more games like [indiscernible] and Monopoly Live. This is really customers to our innovation and dedication with this license agreement having belonged to competitor for the last two decades, we are thrilled to be able to launch more high point trademark Evolution games featuring iconic Hasbro brands. We also signed a new partnership agreement with Bally's Corporation in Rhode Island, which constitute a new landmark in our U.S. expansion. We launched our first ever studio in Asia in the Philippine. The studio marks a significant milestone in Evolution's expansion and serves the regulated Philippine market which is the first license by gaming jurisdictions in Asia. We are today launching -- actually, this day, our brand used to do in Brazil with perfect time to seize the opportunities that lies in the vast and unregulated markets.
To conclude the summary of the quarter, I would like to say that even though I'm not satisfied about financial results operationally, I'm proud of what we accomplished this quarter. We really push forward, take on our challenges and we delivered solid results. To sum things up, overall, it's a stable quarter where we really prove our outstanding ability to do business as usual even when facing challenges.
Next slide, please. If we move on to our operational KPIs, consisting of headcount and the game round index. When looking at the headcount, we are almost exactly were at the end of the first quarter, just over 22,000 employees, corresponding to year-on-year growth of 5.2%. With [indiscernible] recently launched, the need to recruit remains very high. With dedicated persons in all locations to be able to serve demand and keep the Evolution trademark quality. We're also changing our resource mix, and we will see a higher degree of efficiency moving forward, and this will compress studios and also affect the number of employees as we move forward to 2025.
When looking at our new studios in the Philippines and Brazil, I'm so proud that now no matter where we are in the world, the same high standards and benefits apply. We give thousands of young people, exciting and of international study and offering international and I'm proud of the employee we are. I would like to take this opportunity to emphasize that we, when building a studio, wherever it displayed have the same exceptional standard. This means that business in Colombia, Georgia and in Philadelphia, we will have the same great work environment and standard for all employees. In many markets where we entered, we set a completely new standard when it comes to work environment and facilities and that makes a very tough.
Now the game rounds index can be seen as a general indicator of activity throughout our network over time for the quarter in doesn't as correlated to the revenue development. However, as you can see for this quarter, we increased our revenues as well as the higher activity in the network.
Next slide, please. Now I'll come to my absolute favorite slide and really the slide which determines the numbers on all other slides. So let's look at new game releases. We are still in the midst of our product leap years. And for 2025, we have a high ambition with 110 games planned to be released. During the quarter, we have released SUPER COLOR GAME, a huge color splash of excitement coming into our game portfolio. It's a live big dice game that prompted It's a live big dice game that prompted big wins and a nonstop action with up to 1,000x multipliers. You simply bet on your favorite color among diverse betting options, nothing short of a true success. First-person backbone, sure to be one of the most officially spectacular dice games, a capsulating RNG-based dice game similar to Ba, easy to navigate interface, cutting-edge 3D graphics and a lifelike gaming action. We also released Lightning Backbone, a completely new dice game with a 1,200 multiplier, dynamic dice action, continues -- it's also our last addition to the Lightning family. Among the upcoming releases, we have a highly anticipated ice fishing, a speed game show with a money wheel unlike anything else. The live hold will cost for multipliers fish in waters. It is truly something different. You might have seen it on the ICE 2025 in January. This is also the game you saw on the first slide today for the cover page. We have also Super Speed Dragon Tiger and Dragon Tiger Phoenix set to be released later this summer and beginning of the fall.
On the R&D side, we released 20 new fantastic games this quarter. So to summarize, a lots happening on the product side, just as usual, and we are very excited to see how the newly released games are received. I'm so proud of all our brands who consistently break barriers in the industry and show what gaming entertainment should look like. Next slide, please. I briefly mentioned something before that I think warrants some more details. On July 1, we announced a truly groundbreaking agreement with Hasbro, a world-leading company with iconic brands recognizable in every household. Evolution is now the exclusive global provider for monopoly and other iconic brands. This worldwide deal, which includes the U.S. covers online content for all Evolution brands, such as Live, of course, but also Netent,Zugid, Red Tiger, BTG and Nlimitedity.
This agreement comes as a result of a very successful relationship where we have developed MONOPOLY Big Board and MONOPOLY Live, 2 games, both on our very top of our lineup and 2 of the best-performing games in the entire industry. With these 2 games, we managed to show what we can do and make out of classic Hasbro brand. It's spectacular and it's very, very nice to have this partnership. So starting January 1, Evolution will be exclusive provider of Hasbro gaming content. And we couldn't be more excited, as I already mentioned. This is really a milestone for us. We are also excited -- all of the brands, fantastic iconic. Even if it's hard to believe, online gaming is just in the early days and with Hasbro, we will be able to forge a new chapter in the history, meanwhile, even further in the distance to our competitors.
So from that exciting news, let's move on to the next slide, please. Let's look at the geographical breakdown, starting out with Europe and Asia. I would say we have a few things that stand out this quarter. Europe, as I mentioned in the introduction, our ring-fencing measures are affecting our revenues in Europe, maybe even to somewhat higher extent than we anticipated. Revenue in the second quarter amounted to EUR 180.2 million, which corresponds to a negative growth of 5% compared to the first quarter this year, primarily driven by full quarter effect of the ring-fencing. In the U.K., we continue the dialogue with the Gaming Commission, and we will let you know when there is an outcome from the review. We continue to work with optimization, the resource mix. We are making good progress and expect to see benefits in the coming quarters. We're facing continued challenges in Asia, although we are much better positioned to combat these issues now than we have ever been as our efforts are yielding effect. Asia came in at a good 4% growth quarter-on-quarter and revenue amounted to EUR 209.1 million. In Asia, we have also launched our first ever studio in Philippines, serving the regulated Philippine market, which is the first licensed iGaming jurisdiction in Asia. This is really a huge accomplishment and milestone growing our Asian footprint.
Next slide. As for North America, it continues a growth trajectory and keeps its fine momentum. The region is up almost 23% year-on-year with a total revenue of EUR 73.9 million and performing very well in the Live segment. North America is healthy, regulated with clear rooms, making businesses a little more predictable and stable. It is also important to keep in mind that live casino games are still in its infancy in the region that has been characterized by land-based and online R&D that we now see waking up and taking live casinos to heart. With the new agreement with Bally in Rhode Island, we stand to increase our footprint in the region even more. We're also progressing well with the Galaxy acquisition, and we expect to close the transaction during the second half of 2025. In Latin America, we see modest growth for the quarter coming in at 3% year-on-year with a revenue of EUR 37.6 million. There is vast potential in the region, especially in the Brazilian market where the adoption to a regulated environment takes time. That's normal, and we remain confident that when the regulation set in and the new playbook is fully understood, activity will pick up. And one of the best news for the company and definitely for this region is that today, we are opening our brand-new studio in Sao Paulo in Brazil. This studio comes at the perfect time to capture the new market. Other regions mostly consist of Africa. We see 20% year-on-year growth for the quarter and the revenue amounted to EUR 23.4 million. I believe that Africa has great potential in the coming years, and we will work as hard as ever to continuously expand the market. And on that positive note, I will hand over to Joakim for a closer look at our financials. Next slide, please.
Next slide, please. Thank you, Martin, and good morning. Okay. So let's now drill down into the numbers for a few minutes. Starting with a graph showing our financial development over time on Page 8. As you have seen and heard, we have delivered net revenues of EUR 524.3 million this quarter, which is a slight increase from last quarter and corresponds to growth of 3.1% year-on-year. Yet again, we see some currency headwinds. And if we would adjust for that, we would have seen a growth of approximately 8.8%. Our EBITDA was EUR 345.3 million this quarter, which corresponds to a margin of 65.9% --
Let's go to the next slide. And here, we have our profit and loss statement. And Martin already covered the revenue breakdown on his first slide, so I will not repeat that. But on the [indiscernible] we saw our total operating expenses grow by 10% year-over-year to EUR 217.9 million. And even if this still is growing at a higher pace than the revenue, we are consciously and constantly continuing to seek optimal cost-efficient solutions across the company, not only in relation to optimizing the resource mix. And as a result, we are almost flat on total OpEx quarter-on-quarter. The financial items were negative EUR 11.9 million this quarter, primarily driven by revaluation of bank balances. Further down in the P&L, tax was EUR 46.2 million in the quarter with a tax rate of 15.7%.
And all in all, if we summarize, we had a net profit for the period of EUR 248.3 million and earnings per share of EUR 1.22. Let's move on to the next slide. And I'm now on Page 10, where we have an overview of our operating cash flow and capital expenditures. Let's start by looking at the graph to the right, which shows the development of our CapEx. Total CapEx in the period amounted to EUR 33 million. And with this pace of investments from the first half of the year, we believe that our full year expectations of EUR 140 million is very valid.
Our operating cash flow after investments amounted to EUR 192.3 million in the quarter. In Q2, we typically see the weakest cash flow due to seasonal tax payments. But in this quarter, we also had an unusually high buildup of working capital due to some timing effects of invoicing and payments. We do not see anything worrying in this, and we expect normalization in the next quarter.
And then finally for me, some brief comments on our financial position on the next page. On this page, you will find a summary of the balance sheet for the second quarter and compared to what it looked like at the end of last year. The main highlights on this page probably relates to the cash position, where we, after tax and dividend payments, ended the quarter with a cash balance of EUR 505.3 million. Our total equity amounts to EUR 3.7 billion. And during the second quarter, on the back of a renewed mandate from the general meeting, we continued buying back own shares in the market and the total amount of EUR 65.4 million was used to buy back 1.1 million shares. For the first half of the year, we have used EUR 219.5 million to buy back 3.2 million shares. And if we add the EUR 572.5 million in cash dividend, a total amount of almost EUR 800 million has been returned to our shareholders so far this year. With that, I will hand it back to Martin for his closing remarks.
Thank you, Joakim. So let's summarize the presentation and then move to Q&A. Financially, we have been off to a slow start this year due to the ongoing continued issues in Asia and self-imposed proactive stricter ring-fencing of regulated markets in Europe. As a consequence, our revenue growth is not reflecting our potential and where it's supposed to be. However, even though the quarter is not financially brilliant, it is on a total level in line with where we foresaw that we would be when initiating measures to address our challenges.
Given all the outside noise and circumstances, we actually had a solid quarter and a quarter that saw a lot of events taking place, signaling that we continue to push forward and build our future. 2025 will be a great year for Evolution, even if not financially our best, but a year where we lay the foundation necessary to keep our growth trajectory going forward. This year will increase distance to our competitors, both in terms of readiness and in terms of products. Our pipeline is the strongest yet. We keep on breaking records with the game releases we have. As a last remark, I want to say that 2025 is refreshing, and we are as hungry as we were 20 years ago. We remain committed and dedicated raising the bar for ourselves, for our colleagues and for our industry. With that, we open up for questions.
[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Martin Arnold from DNB Carnegie.
2. Question Answer
I want to start with your comments about improvements in the second half. And if we could go through a little bit on sort of the drivers behind that. Could we start there?
The next question comes from Martin Arnold from DNB Carnegie.
I want to start with your comments about improvements in the second half. And if we could go through a little bit on sort of the drivers behind that. Could we start there?
We have a good improvement from last quarter. We're cautiously, very cautiously optimistic. We are more or less in our range when it comes to the guidance, and we believe a little bit stronger second half.
And how big part will the new studios be, Martin, you opened in the Philippines recently and today in Brazil.
The Philippines and the Brazilian studio is, of course, in the total is super good. We're really proud of that we launched them. The effect of them into the figures in next quarter or today or tomorrow is, of course, not significant. They will contribute over time.
So it's a slow start or a small start and then you build it up as you've done in the other studios previously?
It's the same as any others do, yes.
Yes. Yes. And on your countermeasures versus the cyberattacks, how much of a control do you think that you have now? Do you keep your statement that you expect continued gradual improvements from the countermeasurements throughout the year in Asia?
I will answer that now, but we also need to let other ask questions. So we don't take all time. But yes, we are progressing with the countermeasures. We are really -- we are happy, and we are in a better shape now than what we were before. We look forward to continue all of that. We're in the absolute forefront of what we can do technically. And we are, as I said, very cautiously optimistic for the second half.
The next question comes from Oscar Ronnkvist from ABG Sundal Collier.
Just wanted to continue on Asia. So we saw, I think, it was 4% sequential growth here. You've previously talked about that the underlying growth has progressed solidly while you have seen cyberattacks sort of offsetting that for a flattish development on Asia. So just on the puts and takes in Asia, the 4% sequential growth we see now from Q1, is that representing in your view, the underlying development? Or do you still see increased pressure from the cyberattacks that still weighs on the quarter-over-quarter development?
It's a good question. It's a very difficult question to answer. I would rather say that we are happy with the traction that we have had and turned Asia into a little growth now in the quarter. And we are, as I stated, looking forward to the coming quarters, even though we are cautious. It's very hard to determine how the growth are in total and comparing to that, but we see some traction in the measures that we are taking.
Got it. And just to follow up, if you see the only sort of the negative part of the Asia cyberattacks, given your countermeasures, the technical ones, do you see now that the people who are stealing your streams, is that becoming lesser and lesser now? Or is that still sort of a similar problem and we just see the underlying growth shining through?
It's -- when we take measures, we take away a little bit of revenue that is good revenue and a little bit of revenue that is not -- that is criminal or stealing. So it's very hard to -- underlying and not underlying. We see traction of the actions that we are taking right now. We see a little bit of -- we see growth in the region, and we're happy with that. And we are focusing day-to-day to continue that trajectory, and we are cautiously very cautiously optimistic.
Perfect. Just a final small one, but the RNG growth that, I mean, effectively 0. You said that it was impacted by a large RNG payout in the quarter and maybe I cannot quantify it perfectly, but is it sort of on track with the previous quarters if we exclude the payout?
Good question. I would say that we are -- it's an okay quarter, not a good quarter even if that wouldn't have happened, but it's an okay quarter. We are on track where we are, where we should be.
The next question comes from Ed Young from Morgan Stanley. .
My first question is on first question is on Europe. It sounded from your commentary, Martin, like that was sequentially a little bit weaker than you expected maybe from the ring-fencing. Can you perhaps give a little bit of color on if there was any particular region or any particular aspect of that, that was a surprise or if it was reading it, and it was the underlying picture in Europe that was a little bit weaker?
It's probably a lot of effect. But we have 2 months out of 3 of the effect of ring-fencing in the Q1. you know the figures there. And now we saw a little bit stronger effect, and there's a lot of countries and a lot of things happening in Europe. And the effect is a little bit stronger than what we had anticipated. But it's also very hard to know exactly where you're going to end up.
Fair enough. And secondly, your commentary about efficiencies there, and I guess this is baked into your H2 margin expectations, but you spoke about a couple of things, one of which was a continued drive towards efficiency, but you also mentioned a couple of times changing resource mix. Is that weighting of the employee bases? Or is there anything else that you're particularly driving out with that comment?
The resource mix is regional weighting weighing where we put our resource and where we have them. And after the situation where we downscale a little bit in Georgia, as we know, last year, we have had a not so beneficial resource mix. And now when we build out and we add other studios, which is better and more cost efficient, we will adjust that.
Perfect. And then finally, just quickly on the working capital, you said you'll sort of get it back next quarter. Was there anything that drove it particularly? It's perhaps a little bit surprising to see the scale of it in Q2. Was there any, again, particular customer or mix effect behind that? Or what drove that in Q2?
No. Ed, it's Joachim. No, nothing particular. I mean it's -- I know from experience that the summer months can also be a little bit tricky. You don't get -- I don't have -- customers don't have the team there in place to pay. So I mean it can shift a little bit. We saw probably a little bit larger effect of that this quarter than we expected. But when we dig into the numbers, it's not alarming, even though if the number is a little bit bigger than expected. So we think it's a timing effect and the calendar date kind of end of month date and stuff like that, nothing alarming.
The next question comes from Pravin Gondhale from Barclays.
Firstly, on the Asia, you talked about the majors at length. But I understand there are some internal majors, which are technology enforcements or enhancements and then there are some external legal majors when it comes to your countermeasures. Where are we on that curve of development of internal majors? Are you -- you think you have done whatever needed internally on the technology front and now it's only about external. Where are we on that curve when we think about the countermeasures there?
I think that we -- I don't know external, internal, but there is, of course, one portion of motivation of your customers to keep the network clean and that's sort of in some extent, external. We are focusing on that, but we're also, of course, focusing on the internal countermeasures, technical things that we can do to protect our innovations and fantastic products. And we are continuously working and focusing on the internal, and we expect to continue doing that, maybe even for a very long time period. I don't see an end to it. I see that we will continuously need to develop that. And we have a little bit of traction on that now and happy with the results being cautiously optimistic now for the rest of the year.
And then UKGC review, do you have any visibility on the expected time line for the conclusion of the review?
No, I don't have the visibility on the time line. It's in the hands of the regulator for the most part. I would say that we answer them and do whatever we can in a fast measure, but we don't have -- I can't guide you on the time line, unfortunately.
The next question comes from Estelle Weingrod from JPM.
I've got 3 questions, please. The first one, maybe on the visibility around Asia. What is the underlying growth one can expect medium term? I mean, should we think about more like a mid- to high single-digit growth going forward versus the double-digit percentage we had in the past? Second question on margin guidance for the full year, it implies a material improvement in H2. I just wanted to understand what are the key levers to achieve that? And the last question is just on FX. Just wanted to understand better the biggest drivers there as it seems that estimates were going for a slightly softer adverse impact here.
Okay. We do not unfortunately guide on growth for any region. And given the situation, the only comment I made so far is that we're cautiously optimistic and happy with the quarter when it comes to growth in Asia. When it comes to the margin, we withhold our margin guidance of 66% to 68%. We are in line with the guidance, I would say, in Q2, 65.9%, more or less in the range. And we are a little bit shy of the guidance in Q1, which was down 65.4%. Correct me if I'm wrong there, Joakim. But -- so that gives a little bit stronger second half of the year. Material improvement, I don't know. It's just that we would be in the range. And to get into the range, we need a little bit stronger next year -- next half year. The FX effect is blended. We put that out as a headwind of 8.8%, and that's a mixed bag of a lot of effects. But naturally, I mean, if the dollar goes down, our revenue converted to euro for North America goes down. So that affects us. And there are a couple of those effects in the group.
The next question comes from Raymond Ke from Nordea.
A question also on the sort of cyberattacks in Asia. I'll try to phrase it in a different way. It sounds like your planned sort of measures are being implemented, and it's more a matter of just continuously dealing with the cyber attacks. Is that a way of understanding it? Or do you still see upside from implementing measures themselves, if you know what I mean?
This situation that we have now is it's not new. It's not only us. It's been going on for years, for example, in sports, where you want to see Champions League and you go into site and you pay, I don't know, $15 for that EUR 1. And then you watch the Champions League football game. And it's actually stolen. That has been there everywhere. And to actually protect your intellectual property, your innovation and your Champions League stream that you bought for a lot of money, you need to continuously do a lot of technical measures. And as the Internet evolves, you need to do that. And we were caught a little bit off guard with the technology that they were using to see our stream. And now we are gaining traction with the actions we take and protect it. And I think that we are in the absolute forefront of Internet right now to what is possible. But I also think that we need to continue that work to a longer time period going forward.
That was really helpful. Secondly, on just the Galaxy acquisition expected to close here in H2. Do you see any sort of regulatory hurdles in conjunction with that? I'm thinking specifically about how maybe U.S. regulators view online versus land-based casinos.
I think that they actually view it exactly the same. Usually, online or land-based is just 2 different parts of the same license. So where we have a license, we already have a license, it doesn't matter really if it's online or land-based to that extent. There is a lot of states, a lot of licenses, a lot of administration, lots of information, and it's progressing well. We're actually doing well. But it also depends on the time lines and the meetings in the regulators when they have those meetings and what we're supposed to do. So we're doing well, and we look forward to being able to close it in the second half.
Perfect. Then a third and final one, if I may. Just a quick one on net financials at minus EUR 12 million, it sort of stands out compared to other quarters there. Is there anything one-off in nature in that, that we should be mindful of?
Yes. I mean it's a quarter where we have had obviously the buybacks continuing. We have also had the dividends, and we took money up and converted it into EUR. So it's been a fairly material bank balances in EUR that's been revalued.
The next question comes from Jamie Bass from Citi.
Just 2 questions from me, please. First off is going back on that sort of expectation for stronger performance in H2. Is that mainly based on sort of a sequential improvement in Asia? Or are there other regions that you think can also improve as we go through the year? And then second question is on the geo blocking. So we've had a bit of confusion on this side. So just to completely clear it up, firstly, excluding the U.K., is this all proactive measures or any of these in other countries outside the U.K. reactive? And also, what proportion of regulated European markets have you now implemented geoblocking?
Okay. The improvement that we see in the next quarter relating to the margin, as I stated, we believe that we will be within our guidance, 66% to 68%. We are a little shy of that mainly due to the fact of Q1, and we look forward to gain that traction. That traction to get us into that guidance, which is then just a 1 percentage point in Q2 and a little bit more. There is a mixture of that. We will work with the resource mix. We will work with -- we look forward to the flattening out the effect of the ring-fencing and we're cautiously optimistic in Asia, and we look forward to Brazil, and we look forward to a lot of things. And that will come down to a little bit stronger second half. Then -- what was the second question, sorry, about that? -- blocking, how much coming. Yes. With the G blocking, it's -- I mean, you can look at what happened in Q1. And then you look at the -- that was only 2 months and now we have a full quarter and then you get the figure. And then you see that we are a little bit more than that. And we don't guide on each and every market, but we are working hard to see that we are in a position proactively on the European market, and that is a little bit more expensive than what we anticipated. And then there was third question -- did you have any more questions? Maybe we forgot one. No, no, it was just those...
The next question comes from Andrew Tam from Rothschild & Company, Redburn.
Most of mine have been answered, but just one for me. Can you confirm or deny whether Evolution makes available any of its streams -- video streams to parties outside of its B2C operator customers?
I didn't miss that. Sorry. What did you -- sorry, tell me again.
The question is, do you make your video stream available to any third parties outside of your B2C operators? Yes or no. No.
We work only with license operators and aggregators.
The next question comes from Rasmus Engberg from Kepler Cheuvreux.
I had just 2 questions on -- firstly, in the second quarter, there is a sequential improvement. Was this continuously throughout the quarter? Or has it anything to do with Easter? Or how would you characterize it?
There are, of course, some seasonality effects in online gaming. So I would say that actually, June and the summer months are a little bit weaker than, for example, November, December. So that comes into play. But there is no -- we don't guide on the monthly. There is nothing to point out there.
Okay. And the second question, with regards to the second half of the year, should we think of it as a gradual improvement in the margin? Or how should we think about it?
I was almost making a joke, you mean the 0.1% above 56%. I didn't do that. Sorry about that. But we are cautiously optimistic. We see a lot of things that we are doing right now to get into our guidance. And then that's where we are. I don't see any bumps or gradually, we will get there.
There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.
Okay. Thank you, everybody, for all of your questions and for listening. And I look forward to see you soon again, and have a nice day.
The host has ended this call. Goodbye.
Transkripte auf Deutsch freischalten
- Alle Event Transkripte auf Deutsch
- Sofortige Übersetzung
- KI-Zusammenfassungen für die wichtigsten Insights
Evolution AB — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Evolution AB — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Nettoumsatz: EUR 524,3 Mio (+3,1% YoY; währungsbereinigt ca. +8,8%).
- EBITDA: EUR 345,3 Mio.
- EBITDA‑Marge: 65,9% (Ergebnis vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen), in etwa im Rahmen der Guidance 66–68%.
- Life‑Segment: EUR 453,7 Mio (+3,6% YoY).
- R&D: EUR 76,6 Mio (+0,3%), beeinträchtigt durch eine größere Auszahlung im Quartal.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Regulatorik Europa: Proaktives Ring‑fencing in regulierten Märkten reduziert kurzfristig Umsatz in weniger kanalisierten Ländern, soll aber langfristig Wettbewerbsvorteile sichern.
- Cyberabwehr Asien: Technische Gegenmaßnahmen zeigen erste Wirkung; Management ist "vorsichtig optimistisch", erwartet graduelle Verbesserung.
- Wachstum & M&A: Hasbro‑Lizenz (weltweit, ab 1.1.), neue Studios (Philippinen, São Paulo), Partnerschaft mit Bally's und erwarteter Abschluss der Galaxy‑Akquisition H2/2025.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance: Volles Jahr unverändert; EBITDA‑Marge weiterhin 66–68% angestrebt, Management erwartet stärkere zweite Jahreshälfte.
- Investitionen: Q2‑CapEx EUR 33 Mio; Full‑Year‑Erwartung EUR 140 Mio.
- Risiken: Fortdauernde regulatorische Unsicherheit (UKGC‑Review), anhaltende Cybercrime‑Risiken in Asien und Währungs‑Headwinds.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Asien‑Thema: Analysten hakten auf Nachhaltigkeit der Verbesserung; Management antwortete mit begrenzter Quantifizierung, spricht von tractie und weiterem technischem Engagement.
- Europa‑Ring‑fencing: Nachfrage nach regionaler Wirkung und Timing; Management nennt stärkere als erwartete Wirkung im Q2, kein genauer Zeitplan.
- Cash/Working Capital: Einmaliger Aufbau durch Timing; Management nennt das nicht alarmierend; umfangreiche Share‑Buybacks und Dividenden wurden thematisiert.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solides, aber von Sondereffekten geprägtes Quartal: Guidance bleibt, Margenrahmen intakt. Kurzfristig belasten Ring‑fencing in Europa, Cyberangriffe in Asien und FX die Umsatzentwicklung; mittelfristig stützen starke Produktpipeline (Hasbro‑Deal, 110 Spiele 2025), neue Studios und aktive Kapitalrückführung die Aktionärswerte.
Finanzdaten von Evolution AB
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 23.407 23.407 |
6 %
6 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | - - |
-
-
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 5.292 5.292 |
6 %
6 %
23 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 15.647 15.647 |
9 %
9 %
67 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 1.821 1.821 |
12 %
12 %
8 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 13.826 13.826 |
12 %
12 %
59 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 11.750 11.750 |
14 %
14 %
50 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen SEK.
Nichts mehr verpassen! Wir senden Dir alle News zur Evolution AB-Aktie direkt und kostenlos in Deine Mailbox.
Auf Wunsch erhältst Du jeden Morgen pünktlich zum Frühstück eine E-Mail, die alle für Dich relevanten Aktien-News enthält.
Evolution AB Aktie News
Firmenprofil
Evolution Gaming Group AB ist in der Entwicklung, Produktion, Vermarktung und Lizenzierung von Business-to-Business-Casino-Lösungen für Glücksspielbetreiber tätig. Es bietet Live-Casino-Studios, landbasierte Live-Casinos, mobile Live-Casinos und Live-Casinos für das Fernsehen an. Das Unternehmen wurde im Jahr 2006 von Richard Hadida, Jens von Bahr und Fredrik Osterberg gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Stockholm, Schweden.
aktien.guide Premium
| Hauptsitz | Schweden |
| CEO | Mr. Carlesund |
| Mitarbeiter | 16.714 |
| Gegründet | 2006 |
| Webseite | www.evolution.com |


