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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 2,53 Mrd. A$ | Umsatz (TTM) = 216,55 Mio. A$
Marktkapitalisierung = 2,53 Mrd. A$ | Umsatz erwartet = 348,42 Mio. A$
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 2,34 Mrd. A$ | Umsatz (TTM) = 216,55 Mio. A$
Enterprise Value = 2,34 Mrd. A$ | Umsatz erwartet = 348,42 Mio. A$
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
DroneShield Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
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Analystenmeinungen
8 Analysten haben eine DroneShield Prognose abgegeben:
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DroneShield — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone. Welcome to DroneShield's First Quarter of '26 4C results. It's a pleasure to be speaking with you this morning. So my name is Angus Bean. I'm the CEO and Managing Director for DroneShield. And I've got with me Josh Bolot, who is our Head of Investor Relations and Strategy and we're pleased to present our results to you this morning.
Firstly, many of you have seen the news. DroneShield completed a leadership transition in the last couple of weeks of both our CEO, Oleg Vornik and our chair. We announced the market that our chair, after 10 years, Peter James, would not be standing for reelection, and we have had the appointment of -- sorry, for election our incoming Chair, Hamish McLennan. The news of this leadership transition has been received very well. And I'd like to thank, obviously, the whole 500 staff of DroneShield for their support during the last 2 weeks as well as our investors, various stakeholders and our partners around the world in the support of this transition.
We'd also like to invite you to attend or join online, our AGM at the end of May, and we look forward to having another update of the business at that time. I'd like to also touch on what I've been up to in the first 2 weeks as CEO of DroneShield. Many of you have seen me in the past over the last 10 years in previous roles as Chief Technology Officer and Chief Product Officer. And it's a pleasure and an honor to step into the CEO role.
In my first 2 weeks, it's a bit about listening. It's been about speaking with our team, understanding what they need, what their challenges are and making sure that we're all working together. DroneShield is now a sizable global entity and making sure that the team are moving together is a core part of my role. We've also been speaking to shareholders, understanding their views on the business, learning how we can improve and really listening to where they believe the business can be taken in the future. And we thank you for all the input from all our shareholders around the world.
And lastly, we've been speaking with our partners who more and more we rely on to provide great commercial and technical opportunities for us around the world. So thank you for all of our partners.
Let's move into the presentation. As many of you would have seen by now, we released our numbers yesterday, and these are outstanding results. This is the second highest quarter in terms of revenue on record for the business, and it demonstrates the continued momentum that -- and leadership that DroneShield has in the counter-drone market. Already, by this early stage in 2026, we have $155 million of committed revenue, which is an outstanding result for a business that only a few years ago was doing sub-$50 million on an annualized basis. So to be here in April with $155 million revenue committed for the year is an outstanding result.
Interestingly enough, we are seeing, in our opinion, a better ratio between the larger military contracts that we at DroneShield have become known for, but also an increase in repeat and recurring smaller orders which is lending itself to allow the business to be much more predictable and allow us to make better decisions in the future. We are just as comfortable executing on these large military contracts as we are with the more sustained revenue streams from both military and the emerging nonmilitary market, which by dollar value individually are less, but certainly at a much significantly higher volume. And that's really good to see. It allows us to make better decisions as a business.
You'll also note an increase in our Software-as-a-Service revenue stream for the quarter. One of our objectives, and we'll speak more about this later in the presentation, is to get to the point where we have above 30% recurring revenue as part of our business strategy. And so this is a great first step in moving in that right direction.
In terms of financial discipline, you will also recognize this is our fourth consecutive quarter of positive net operating cash flow. Again, an important milestone for the business as we are proving operating leverage is increasing and our ability to operate the business is improving.
In terms of momentum, I'd like to give a -- I'd like to give a bit more of a history analysis of the numbers. What you can see from the years of 2021 and 2022, is the early adopters, some small trial and test evaluations of our technology. Through 2023 and '24, we had a significant increase in those revenues, and that was primarily through first-time buyers and customers rolling out our products in a minor way. In 2025, we had an outstanding year. And this really represented the first time that militaries were buying as part of defense programs of record and part of much larger military programs that takes a number of years to come to fruition.
2025 really recognize that for us and as you can see in 2026, the results so far are very positive as both militaries are continuing to buy as part of much larger planned procurement activities. And this is where DroneShield really sees a lot of our business coming through in the future.
We've spoken to some of the company highlights and the financials but it's important to understand what the future and also the company's position. Our sales pipeline remains strong at $2.2 billion. This is the same update we provided just over 2 weeks ago in March -- sorry, at the end of March. We have 312 deals in the pipeline, 15 of which have a value over $30 million. So the pipeline remains strong. We do have a number of deals that are outside of these 312 , but these are yet to be fully qualified. And so these are unweighted and not -- and at various stages of development in terms of the sales maturation cycle, but $2.2 billion pipeline remains a strong pipeline for the next couple of years.
Operationally, we're in a great place. We have over 500 staff now in 7 different countries with a large portion of our capital being invested into research and development, which is becoming the norm in the defense and military industry where companies are being asked to self-fund programs and then the output of those programs is being procured at scale by militaries around the world.
Our cash balance remains strong, again above $200 million cash balance, which really gives us the ability to be flexible and jump on opportunities when we see them. Globally, we are increasingly seeing a very turbulent and perhaps a chaotic environment where the world is moving to a multipolar order, and that is causing large tensions around the world. Our 2 primary markets remain the United States and Europe. The U.S., for example, we are seeing the confluence of 2 really significant trends. One is the regulatory environment and the second is the unlocking of significant revenue -- significant -- of significant budgets for defense and non-defense spending.
In terms of the regulatory environment, we recently saw the Safer Skies Act, which unlocks 17,500 state and local law enforcement to actually start going through the process to procure counter-drone equipment, which was previously unavailable to them. The programs of records such as JIATF401 now are really taking -- starting to take place. We have the Department of Homeland Security also allocating significant budgets to Counter-UAS.
A headline for us for this update is the recent receipt of a FIFA World Cup associated order, which is critically important, as DroneShield has done a number of headlines, both executive protection and sporting events around the world in the past. But the FIFA World Cup is an important one because it demonstrates, again, this idea that local law enforcement, who is the end customer are also starting to adopt counter-drone technologies, specifically those that DroneShield offer. This is a very positive sign.
Europe and the U.K. remain a core part of DroneShield's strategy. Many of you are aware, we moved our Chief Commercial Officer, Louis Gamarra, and his family to Europe. And so our center of sales gravity is now in Amsterdam where we've recently opened our new headquarters. We've also opened up production in Europe as well, and we'll continue to expand that. And that allows us to be compliant with the Readiness 2030 or ReArm Europe Plan where we need to be at 65% European industry content to be part of that program. So we are now compliant and we have already started receiving orders through that umbrella.
Outside of those 2 major markets, we still see strong growth in Asia, Latin America and the Middle East. And these are -- we are continuing to grow our sales and commercial operations in these areas. Australia remains our home, and we are really proud as an Australian business. We are part of the flagship LAND 156 program on both Line of Effort 2 and Line of Effort 3, and we anticipate to see additional orders from Australia in the months and years to come.
In terms of our competitive differentiators, we have both technical and commercial differentiators. Our technical team, which I'm incredibly proud of, we have over 350 world-class engineers, developers and designers. We are able to take this technology from the ground up from the chip all the way through to the end product manufacturing. So we have full in-house capabilities to provide these world-leading technologies and we are in full control of that manufacturing cycle. Additionally, over the last 10 years, DroneShield has developed significant amounts of data on various types of drones, whether that be radio frequency recordings through to radar data, through to acoustic recordings. And so DroneShield holds one of the largest counter-UAS appropriate datasets in the world, which is a core tool and a core differentiator for us. This is something that is incredibly hard to replicate in a short space of time.
Commercially, we are a truly global company now. You've seen that we've bolstered our -- both our U.S. and our European presence as well as our presence here in Australia. And fundamentally, our 70 distributors around -- 70 partners around the world remain a core part of the business and that the DroneShield's hub-and-spoke model continues to prove to be effective.
In terms of the vision for 2030, this is something that Josh and I will be speaking more and more about over the next few months. It's exciting. We're seeing continued growth of our military market. In addition, we are seeing that now the green shoots of this commercial or nonmilitary market, which we have anticipated for almost a decade. DroneShield is incredibly well positioned as our technologies can be utilized in both military and nonmilitary markets, particularly with the regulatory change we discussed. DroneShield will remain a flexible organization in terms of how we approach the market. And so we have a multichannel market approach where we can either be the prime, the subprime, the partner or go through a regional distributor, or go direct to end users. So DroneShield, we take a multichannel approach there, and it really depends on the environment and the requirements of that location.
In terms of the revenue target, we have a -- our big goal is to hit $1 billion annualized revenue with 30% of that is recurring revenue in the next few years. This is a substantial uplift on numbers that were already a 4x increase on previous years. But to fuel that, we are seeing strong diversification across our end users, geographies and our products, both hardware and software. And so we feel that the DroneShield business is in a very strong position in terms of its diversification across all those metrics.
We also -- you'll also see, and you'll hear from us again in the next few months around DroneShield beginning to monetize our whole of lifecycle solutions. Today, we do some of the harder parts, which is new sales and new product development. DroneShield will be getting into additional services, both software and recurring services to continue to -- continue to strive towards that $1 billion annualized revenue and that 30% recurring revenue number. Our global presence, as I mentioned, remains strong with headquarters now in Australia, the United States and Europe, but you'll also see us continue to expand on our regional hubs in Asia, Middle East and Latin America.
And finally, regional manufacturing in core markets will be a core part of the strategy over the next few years.
I think this slide does a lot of work in terms of explaining how we see the counter-UAS ecosystem. DroneShield is very well positioned, providing layers 1 and 2 of the counter-UAS industry. In most cases, for most customers, the first technology they will look to employ is a radio frequency detection, and if they're able to, defeat solution. This, as many of you know, is DroneShield's bread and butter and has been a core technology that we continue to build on today. This is the most cost-effective and most reliable way to down the most amount of drones or deal with the most amount of drones that we see in the market today. So radio frequency continues to be a core technology being deployed by Tier 1 militaries and security operators around the world.
Once the customer buys enough and they're starting to scale up their usage of those RF protection devices, often the next thing they need is a way to orchestrate them together. And that's where our DroneSentry-C2 comes in. DroneSentry-C2 allows an operator to have multiple devices deployed on a Google map style interface and they can then operate those devices fully remotely. We also released DroneSentry-C2 Enterprise at the end of -- excuse me, of last year that allows customers to also manage multiple sites themselves, so another layer above that DroneSentry-C2.
From there, often, our customers ask us for additional layers of protection, and that's where we rely on our partner network of radar, optical and various other technologies where DroneShield provides layer 3, 4 and 5 solutions as part of that C2 solution. This is a constantly evolving technology field, where new technologies or various adaptations of existing technologies is constantly changing. And DroneShield can remain relevant in all of these areas by partnering, and through our extremely good test and evaluation team we can find the best sensors and effective technologies around world, integrate them into our C2 and offer them to our end users. You would have seen recently this included the recent signing of an MOU with Origin Robotics, an interceptor drone company out of Latvia.
Over the last 10 years, DroneShield has developed a comprehensive suite of solutions across the 3 core operational scenarios that we see in counter-drone and these are dismounted, on the move and fixed site. DroneShield now offers solutions for all of these categories. And in addition, late last year -- sorry, in 2025, we offered our first SentryCiv product, a product that is specifically designed for the nonmilitary market. This is something that you'll continue to see from us in the future as we refine our approach to the emerging nonmilitary market.
We've talked a little bit about the Software-as-a-Service, and we'd like to unpack exactly how that works. So we have 3 layers of software at DroneShield at the device layer, the site layer and at the enterprise layer. DroneShield now, again, over the last few years developed all their solutions from the ground up ourselves. And we can now successfully apply a Software-as-a-Service subscription to each of these layers, meaning that customers that are utilizing all 3 layers have a multi-software SaaS applied to their solution. And if you think of this as close to antivirus analogy, this is something that our customers are really fond of in terms of they need ways to keep their software updated to the latest software as similar again to antivirus. The longer you go without updating the software, the more likely that the drone technology may have changed and you may miss some significant change. So DroneShield has a strong pull to its Software-as-a-Service revenue streams through the need to keep those software up-to-date on each level of those devices.
I'd like to acknowledge our senior leadership team. Again, over the last few years, we've strengthened our leadership team and we now feel very well positioned to continue to refine that and continue to build out the organization to achieve our significant revenue targets in the future.
Lastly, as we mentioned at the top of this presentation, we have announced changes to our Board and our Chairman of 10 years, Peter James has decided to retire from the Board and he will not seek reelection at our next AGM. And Hamish McLennan has been -- will be appointed as the Chairman following our AGM in May. All right, and for last point on the Board. As we have previously announced, we will be -- we are reviewing and we have an ongoing process to seek additional Board members to continue to grow the experience and also the skill sets that our Board can offer the business to support that growth.
Thank you for listening to the presentation this morning. I think one of the most important part of these presentations is to dive into some Q&A. And I'll hand over to Josh to start that process, and we'll also start taking some questions from the Q&A posted in the Zoom link. So Josh?
Thanks, Angus. And thank you for those investors and interested parties who have submitted questions in advance. That's been very useful. I will also combine those with some that we've received online and please continue to submit those.
One question which has come through has been regarding the global conflict and escalation of global conflict and the widespread commitments in higher defense spending in the counter-drone space and how that's feeding into our revenue pipeline -- potential revenue pipeline. So maybe you want to talk a little bit about that and also the commercial fields that we're now moving towards.
Thanks, Josh. That's right. Well, firstly, the global situation, as we mentioned, does seem to continue to deteriorate and that puts DroneShield in a very important position as drone technology is one of the core disruptors and is essentially revolutionizing the military and security environment.
DroneShield we find ourselves as an Australian business in a strong position to create these solutions and provide them to our end users, our Western allies around the world. Even in the last week, we've seen significant budget allocations from Australia, from the Philippines and from the United States specifically calling out counter-UAS as a core part of their expanded defense budgets. Our view is that this is driving the exceptional results that we've announced this morning with $155 million of committed revenue for 2026 at this very early stage. And so we'll continue to execute well, keeping our heads down and focus on both our product development strategies as well as our commercial strategies to take full advantage of these additional budgets being allocated at a rapid clip.
Thanks. The next question relates to revenue and profit guidance assessments. I'll address that one. DroneShield does not provide revenue or profit -- or earnings guidance. We share information about our progress, which includes, obviously, periodic financial reporting, the presentations to investor groups, including these and those which we lodge with the ASX and material contracts and that threshold for material contracts is over $20 million now and as well as other trading updates. And we feel this is the right approach given the nature of the industry we operate in. And as the company moves towards a more predictable style of revenue, for example, the recurring revenue, the SaaS lines over the next few years, that will help provide a greater granularity around that.
In regards to the material contracts of $20 million, and this may cover off a few other questions. There was a question about the frequency with which we announced those. I think what's important right now is that 3 weeks ago -- just under 3 weeks ago, we announced the revenue pipeline. So the committed revenue for the year was at $140 million. Today, it's sitting at $155 million and we have not announced any material contracts over that period. So that provides an indication of a number of smaller sub-$20 million orders that are constantly being received from existing end users as well as new end users. And that's a very important sign of just the general maturity of the business as it's growing. So that kind of addresses that one.
The other part, which we want to talk about is that the revenue and the trading update that was provided at the -- in the early days of April was prepared just as April was beginning. And there was a slight variation between the Q1 revenue change in -- on the 8th of April and what we've ultimately reported yesterday. That they should be taken in context that a comprehensive month end takes longer than a few days. An order delivery, which was made in the closing days of March was only notified to DroneShield during that month end process. And we recognize revenue when customers confirm the receipt of the day that they receive it. The suggestion that this might lead to bringing forward revenues is incorrect, and it still remains our second highest revenue quarter and the highest cash receipts quarter.
Angus, the next one, which I might put to you is we're on government panels both in Australia and other jurisdictions. What's the commentary around the Australian panels?
That's right. So Australia's flagship defense counter-UAS program is called LAND 156, it's run by the Australian Army. And we are on 2 of the 3, and we hope to be on the third when the time is right, but we are in 2 of the 3 of those lines of effort. We've already received orders under the second line of effort, and we are on the panel, as you mentioned, Josh, for Line of Effort 3 and things are starting to move quickly where we're involved in a lot of good discussions with the Australian Department of Defense around LAND 156.
Great. The other discussion has been -- it's come through a few times. I'll address it because it will take a few questions off the register. The question is regarding dividends and the intention to pay off the dividend reinvestment scheme. DroneShield is a high-growth focused company and it has not paid dividends today. There is no current intention to do so as it is maintaining cash balances for reinvestment in product, potential acquisitions and other such opportunities. The Board does assess the situation from time to time, and will advise the market when there are updates to the dividend policy.
A broader question here, Angus, is regarding the movement of technology towards other drone and robotic technologies seen in the market. There's been a question received online regarding non-aerial counter-drone defeat and maybe that expands the conversation towards our product development pipeline as well.
Thanks, Josh. So DroneShield, absolutely. We've updated our approach. And if you look at a lot of our documentation, we now refer to instead of just counter-UAS, which is counter uncrewed aerial vehicle. We often say UXS. And the X means multi-domain, okay? And so over the next few years, we are going to see an increase in ground UGVs, the surface of the water, USVs, and even underwater autonomous vehicles emerging. DroneShield and DroneShield's Technologies, we believe, are very applicable as these new types of threats emerge, and we have some of the core building blocks, whether it be the radio frequency, the radar and obviously, our C2 is the core orchestration layer to counter these emerging multi-domain assets.
And so DroneShield, yes, we are opening our aperture as the technologies change and as we see essentially the super cycle and the trend go towards replacing human inventory and humans on the battlespace with a more robotic and autonomous vehicle selection. So DroneShield, we are one of a handful of companies around the world that has the proven expertise to execute the technology stack that will be utilized against these types of technologies in the future as well as the vision to counter these types of technologies in the future.
Thanks. The next question we've received is in relation to the staff costs and administration and corporate costs and that we've received this offline as well as online. So first I'll address that. The comment in -- this refers to a comment in 1.2F of the 4C, where there were some additional wordings regarding the salaries of the engineering team. This is an inadvertent error from a version control in the preparation of the 4C only. It has never appeared in prior 4C's and it does not impact the underlying numbers or methodology. The engineering team has always been in the staff costs of Line 1.2E and as they are in this 4C. So the commentary there is an inadvertent comment.
On the matter of staff costs more generally, during the fourth quarter of 2025, there were some exceptional one-off items in the staff cost number. This led to it being higher in that quarter compared to those of the current Q1 2026. Without these one-off costs, Q4 staff costs, which were higher and would have set somewhere between those of this current quarter and those in Q3. So that addresses those matters.
The next question regarding -- we've received online is regarding the transition changes. And I think it's fair to say we've addressed those quite thoroughly in the communications in early April. But importantly, there has been a considered plan with Angus joining and with Oleg's decision to step back. He still remains an adviser to the company and has -- and provides regular support where required, including in discussions with staff, with end users and with partners around the world. So we obviously understand that, that news would have been a surprise to some, particularly after so many years and developing the company from it's really embryonic stage. But after nearly over a decade after nearly 12 years, a decision for someone to step back and have personal reasons why they'd like to do that, I think, should be respected.
The next question, which I'll bring to from the floor, let me just bring that up for a second. Perhaps you just want to talk a bit about the head count and where you see the main areas of our head count moving.
Sure. So as we've mentioned, we have about 500 staff across the world at the moment. We've -- over the last couple of years, many of you know, we've substantially increased our head count and we will continue to do so in a controlled way throughout '26 and '27, and you'll see a lot of that head count growth will be in our critical regional hubs of our new headquarters for Europe in Amsterdam and our headquarters for the U.S. outside of Washington, D.C. And so control growth will continue into the future in terms of the head count. And obviously, that is in response to the dramatically increasing demand that we're seeing for our products. Our demand on our commercial and sales teams, but also as we are rolling out larger and larger amounts of our multisite multi-center solutions, our field service engineering, training staff to provide those full programs into those end customers around the world.
There's been a question regarding the sales pipeline. I know we've addressed that. And a little bit about the frequency with which that's going to be reported. At the moment, it has been reported at the end of March and was there a decision to update it again now?
Thanks, Josh. So look, we felt that it wasn't appropriate to update the pipeline again so quickly after updating it only just 2 weeks ago. So the pipeline we've published for this update is the one that is relevant for this allocation of reporting and so we felt that was the appropriate way, and we'll continue to update the pipeline and obviously, our progress towards that pipeline throughout the year.
Great. A question regarding local and international competitors and how we differentiate ourselves in the global marketplace.
Thanks, Josh. DroneShield has a number of critical differentiators, both technical and commercial, as we mentioned. We are one of the most experienced, if not the most experienced counter-UAS company globally. And so although the DroneShield is a core part of this massive groundswell towards counter-UAS, there are competitors around the world. But very little have the scale of operations, the experience to roll out their solutions now at the quality level but also at the scale that many of our end users now demand. So DroneShield, we're in a very strong position.
Additionally, being an Australian business and as we mentioned, around defense we are only regulated in most cases by our Australian Defense Export Controls office, which is a really good thing because we have no U.S. defense export controls on our -- most of our core product line items. We are bound by EAR out of the U.S. government for some of the radar technology that we integrate and we import from the U.S. but our core product lines are only controlled by the Australian Defense Export office, which we have a great relationship with.
Thanks. There's been a few questions online and also in advance regarding governance and remuneration. So I'll take those ones on. In terms of remuneration, the question is about the remuneration structure and incentives that align with shareholder value. I think there's been a clear move in making sure that their alignment and structures that work with both the shareholder expectations of value creation and growth and retention of staff. This includes the setting of performance metrics, which involve strong revenue growth targets of $300 million, $400 million and $500 million in 12-month periods over the next 3 years, also includes staggered vesting periods, 50% on achievements of that target and 50% after 12 months of continued service as well as minimum shareholding policies for key management personnel.
The Remuneration Committee of the Board receives advice benchmarking and feedback from consultants as well as shareholder advisory groups. There will be further discussion of this in the Notice of Meeting for the Annual General Meeting, and we encourage everyone to read through that as well as attend and ask at the AGM.
In terms of the remuneration and incentive structure of Angus, of the newly appointed CEO and Managing Director, these were shared in the leadership transition announcement. In relation to that, more generally, there have been questions regarding the governance steps, which have been initiated as a result of entering the S&P ASX 200. As indicated, we did -- we did initiate a search for additional non-exec director. And in that process, Hamish McLennan was identified. In speaking and identifying Hamish and his engagement with the company, we found a global leader who had worked across many industries, both in Australia and international markets, bringing a range of skills, both of a business nature and of the governance nature, which are highly useful in our business.
So we look forward to welcoming him on the Board. The search for additional directors has not ended, and we will continue to do so and update the market along the way. We believe that the Board will evolve as the company matures, and that's consistent with any other company of this nature.
The next question, which I'll address to you, Angus, is regarding the interplay of third-party products, the interoperability and how the -- how those conversations are sold to end users in the context and trends of our product versus the interoperable third-party products.
Sure. That's a great question. So DroneShield has those really core technology building blocks of radio frequency RF detection and defeat. We have our C2 and our sensor fusion layer. And as we mentioned, in layers 3, 4 and 5, which we offer to end users. That is a conversation mostly that happens with the end user. We have deep relationships now as we are on some really important programs around the world with what are they seeing in terms of the needs of the operators in the field. What are they seeing in terms of the need to secure low-altitude airspace, to secure air bases. And so we understand we have a very strong funnel of information in terms of the future needs and requirements of those operators. And so we take that into account and then we essentially do global searches around the world for best-of-breed types of sensor and effector technologies.
And as we've announced of 3 almost consecutive partnerships over the last few months, Origin Robotics, OpenWorks and Robin Radar. We believe these are 3 absolutely exceptional organizations providing a great product and also opens up new markets and new regions for us. So you'll continue to see us do that. DroneShield, we are very focused on our C2 and our core technologies. But we acknowledge that we will need additional layers to be able to be that full turnkey counter-UAS provider but that doesn't mean that DroneShield needs to develop all of these technologies in-house ourselves, and specialization is really important. And so you'll see us continue to partner with the best of the best around the world.
There is a question regarding -- and we received this question outside of reporting periods as well regarding the large contract, which is a -- large possible contract, which is sitting in the pipeline. And I think we've previously talked about a number of $750 million, the status on that at the moment.
That's -- yes, that's right. That's a significant goal for us, and it's a contract that, as we've previously discussed, is a follow-on contract from some of the larger contracts that DroneShield received in previous financial years. So we are essentially the incumbent in terms of the technology provider for that contract. And so we feel in a strong position. And I myself have, recently in the last couple of months, met with the end user and decision-makers around that contract. We will continue to update the market on any -- with any confirmed information around that contract, but we won't be advising anything further at this stage outside of the contract remains in the pipeline, and we have great relationships with end user.
Thank you. There are a few questions regarding manufacturing. And I think those have largely been dealt with, but just to reiterate, at the moment, the majority -- the vast majority of our product is manufactured in Australia, and that's very important because that allows us to service the markets that we do and with relative ease. We have recently announced the manufacturing capability in Europe, and that is a very important facilitator for us to work towards the ReArm Defense Readiness Program in Europe, and we're very pleased to have that in effect now. The U.S. will come -- had a similar arrangement in place later in the year, and we'll update the market regarding that through a press release.
I think more generally, a discussion regarding our approach to manufacturing might be worthwhile sharing.
Sure. So DroneShield, we generally take a light CapEx approach to manufacturing, where we are not involved in the fabrication of most of the parts, and we outsource that to a great supply chain of partners, as Josh mentioned, most of which are here in Australia. And so we don't need to be -- we can be very light on CapEx in terms of manufacturing. We don't require to essentially buy and maintain large mechanical equipment to do that. We utilize our supply chain for that. But what we do are the really important high IP and high-value add components of that manufacturing process. And so that often is the electronics subassembly process, the quality assurance and checking process and the final field testing of the solution prior to it being deployed into the field.
So that's where -- that's how we do our manufacturing process. And as you've seen recently in Europe, we've successfully now transplanted our manufacturing setup to a completely external manufacturer -- contract manufacturing arrangement in Europe and that, again, shows that the way we design and develop our solutions. This model is very possible. While there is a lot of IP and know-how in terms of the manufacturing of these goods, the core really difficult part of what we do is actually the software and the encryption of that software that gets loaded onto the devices and so we successfully transplanted that production into Europe, which we're really happy with now. And as Josh mentioned, we are also looking at production options for the United States. But again, the core technology and the core software platform will be distributed from our team here in Australia.
One of the questions which has come through is regarding our views around profitability versus growth. I think the company has worked exceptionally hard to reach the pivot point that it has in the last 12 to 18 months, where particularly over the last 4 quarters, it is operational net cash flow positive. And in 2025, announced underlying EBITDA of close to $37 million, which is a 17% margin. I think what we've indicated to the market regarding our operating cost base provides an indication that we are looking at profitable growth within the business as we bring additional product lines and solutions online matched with the growth in the recurring revenue stream.
In essence, we do look at -- when we are at opportunities we look at the payback period of new product investment. We do look at that from a number of angles both in terms of the return on investment that it will generate from delivering it into the market.
The other thing that we've thought about is when we are looking at acquisitions, is the speed with which we may be able to do a similar thing or the same thing versus acquiring that. So to date, the company has not made any acquisitions, and it constantly is put different ideas and different opportunities. We balance that off with our internal investment and the payback period for those. I think that's quite a useful thing to think about because we do have a useful level of cash available for growth, be it organic or acquisition based.
There's been a few questions, particularly around the commercial market. So one question is regarding the progress on SentryCiv to date and the types of customer scenarios that has been used and the growth that we expect there. I think we both know have some really good interesting case studies around that. And also how that will play out over time with things like Safer Skies and the split between commercial and military. So that's a broad question, but I think they go together.
Thanks, Josh. That's right. So the commercial market, as we mentioned, we believe, is now after almost a decade of talking about and monitoring the situation is coming online. Let's say, the nonmilitary market. And DroneShield, as I mentioned, we are in a strong position with already our first product. It's really specifically designed for that nonmilitary market, our SentryCiv product. The SentryCiv product is a high SaaS, almost entirely SaaS-based product, again, feeding another strategy that we developed to feed into that 30% recurring revenue base over the next few years. And it is -- we've made now a number of sales around the world of the SentryCiv product. But these sales, obviously, we don't publish as they are below the $20 million revenue number. But I'm really encouraged and excited to see the quality of the customers who are procuring this.
We are talking about really major law enforcement and major, let's say, commercial operators around the world. And so our relationships are deepening with those commercial operators and those law enforcement markets that were previously unavailable to us, either through regulatory or through their lack of finances to actually go out and procure counter-drone equipment. So we are monitoring the commercial space very closely. We are starting to move the business more in that direction, bringing on our product teams specifically designed for that growing segment. But similarly to the way we have successfully penetrated the military market over the last decade, we will -- we don't want to go too early -- too hard too early. We want to mature that approach with the market and make sure every step along the way we take to capture that market is the correct one. And so we will -- you'll continue to see sort of a steady stream of movement in that direction as we continuing our core short-term revenue driver of the military market is self-sustained as well.
So yes, we're really excited about the potential emergence of this commercial sector and the green shoots we saw in the first quarter of this year.
Thank you. There's a lot of -- a few questions regarding how we interact with the primes of the industry, both as customers, competitors and partnership arrangements with them. I think that's a broader question, particularly some of the companies that people have talked about in the U.S. and Europe.
Sure. So I think one of the most common misconceptions about DroneShield, and we get the question a lot, which is are you concerned about these really significant defense primes who have traditionally been very dominant players in the defense space for many years? And do you see them as a threat to the business? Our honest answer is in almost all cases, these defense primes are our customers much more than they are our competitors. And so whether it be in the U.S. or even now across Europe, we are actively selling to defense primes who are taking our technologies and our products and integrating them into their existing defense programs or into their larger defense rollouts as they capture them.
So often, the defense primes are a partner of DroneShield. And as I mentioned previously, DroneShield, we remain very flexible with our approach to market where we can go direct, we can be the prime, subprime, contractor or even engage the market through an authorized distributor in country. So we're really flexible with that, and it will really depend on the region and on how we approach each of those markets.
There's a couple of short ones, which I'll just quickly rattle off. Do we deal with the Ukraine? I think we previously identified that we have less than 5% of our revenues currently based on sales to the Ukraine market. To market, obviously, that we've been very supportive of in the earlier stages of the conflict there. And the -- it is still a presence in our revenue, but it is not more than 5% at the moment.
A question regarding our security and processes to ensure that we, I guess, commercially and militarily cautious in our approach, both in terms of making sure that our intellectual property is protected and our employees are appropriately vetted. So I don't know if you want to talk about that.
Yes, sure. No, that's a great question. So DroneShield, we are a DISP-certified organization, DISP, defense industry security program. And that is the major defense and security program that's rolled out here in Australia. And we are then -- we essentially govern the business via the rules of DISP. And that sets out very clearly what we need to do from an employee vetting perspective through to a cybersecurity and physical security controls perspective as well as provides a lot of insight in terms of the governance, policies and procedures that we need to have as part of an organization.
So it's great actually to work with the DISP team as they provide for you the frameworks that you need to implement and then our significant security team then essentially rolls that out across the business. We are continuing to uplift that DISP certification, but also our general security posture across the organization and globally as DroneShield becomes a supplier of main stage, as we mentioned, larger programs of record. Our security needs to mature and continue to mature to make sure we meet the market where it is and make sure we protect the business.
Interesting question, actually. And it's inventory related. I think I'll start off with the answer and then we'll work towards the forward-looking part of the answer. So it's regarding inventory obsolescence. And what's happened in the past, I mean, we announced a one-off inventory impairment, the significant item of $8.5 million in the FY '25 results. That product is still in our warehouses and available for sale, it is still an effective product, and there are still sales of those, albeit at a slower rate.
I think more generally, though, the question which comes through, which is how we deal with inventory obsolescence with the release of new hardware as we move into that expanded product set.
That's a great question, Josh. So yes, certainly, that is something that we are considering deeply. And one of the things we're going to talk about, particularly in the second half of this year as we bring on our next-generation platforms which I am dying to speak about, but we will hold off for now, is obsolescence.
The good news here is the products that initially we'll bring on to the market do not directly replace any product lines that we see today. And so the product lines that you see on the website currently, we will continue to provide to end users for the next few years to come. And so this is not an immediate impact and much of the next-generation platforms will be slight variation in terms of product positioning or a completely different technology itself. And so we will -- there won't be any necessary disruption in terms of obsolescence but it's certainly something we need to manage. And as we grow our product lines, we are trying to be very strategic about the use of our core components. And for example, using the same chipset, if we can across multiple product lines, allowing us to then order at much higher volumes of an individual item, therefore, getting a better price per item. But then that product -- that chipset that is being used -- utilized in multiple different DroneShield product lines.
So we've already started to roll this out in a lot of the core technology platforms that you'll see from us over the next 2 years. Essentially, we'll use a lot of the same family of chips and same core componentry. So again, reducing the chance of either component obsolescence or product obsolescence.
There are actually a number of questions, which are very interesting in relation to different trends and different things which people see in social media and whether they're kamikaze drones, whether they're fiber optic, whether they're real, whether they're AI. Maybe you just want to talk about how we assess each one of those developments and where it leads into our product road map.
Thanks, Josh. It's a broad question, but I will do my best. Look, essentially, counter-drone, this is, as we've discussed, one of the most -- drone technology itself is one of the most disruptive elements to the defense and security apparatus around the world as we speak, and DroneShield is one of a handful of companies that are incredibly well positioned with the experience, but also the operations and funds to execute on that emerging trend. There is a lot of noise. There is a lot of diverging technologies being developed.
And there's no question, we need to make really good decisions around the technologies we invest in the future, whether that be technologies we choose to develop ourselves. The potential use of an M&A activity to acquire technology new to the business, or as you've seen from us recently, just choose to partner and create really good agreements that are beneficial to DroneShield with Tier 1 technology providers around the world. So we're going to take a balanced approach to that, and we'll assess each of those technologies based on its own merit as to which one of those 3 avenues we want to go down to attain that technology for our end users.
The great hedge, I guess, we have from a technology perspective is our DroneSentry-C2 platform that essentially allows us to roll with the technology and integrate various different types of technologies, sensor or effector and provide that as a fully consolidated solution, full turnkey for our operators or if technologies evolve and our customers more increasingly so already have our technology in country in operation, we can augment their existing solutions with this new technology over time.
So -- and it is one of the reasons I believe that when Oleg decided to step down as CEO and the Board ran their process that they did end up selecting the Chief -- previous Chief Technology Officer to essentially run the business as I believe that my personal -- personally one of the best positioned people in the organization to make some of those hard calls.
I think we'll use this as the last closing question, and it might tie nicely to some closing remarks as well. In relation, I think we've answered the vast majority of questions. And there are some questions, which, unfortunately, we're just not able to answer in a public forum or generally because of operational security reasons or for other reasons, it's just not appropriate for us to provide commentary on those matters.
But I think the one which might encourage towards a broader answer and a closing statement is regarding the things that you see happening in the next 2 to 5 years in the business, which will help to get us towards that 2030 vision.
Sure. Thanks, Josh. So look, in terms of what do we need to do? The position that the DroneShield company finds itself in is very strong. And that is, again, to highlighted and demonstrated by this first quarter of '26 update. And so both financially, operationally and technically, we are in a good position. Many of you have mentioned in the comments, these are lofty ambitions, the $1 billion annualized revenue and 30% of that being recurring revenue. These are significant uplifts on where we are today. But we do believe these are achievable. And certainly, we are redesigning and reshaping the organization, gearing up to really go after these ambitious goals.
And I certainly wouldn't have stepped into the role and wouldn't have the excitement that I do have if I didn't feel these were achievable. In terms of what we need to do, it's a continuation of our current existing R&D strategy. We currently hold a 2-year product and technology road map that we believe will set the business up really well for the growth that's required to hit those numbers from a product and technology perspective. You will see us, as I mentioned, continue to grow our regional hubs in both the U.S. and Europe. Both of these footprints now are generating good revenue for the business. You've seen a number of those larger deals, most recently out of Europe, but I think there were some comments before about not announcing any U.S. contracts, and I'd like to highlight what Josh was mentioning is that we have received a number of U.S. contracts, but many of them, if not all of them, have fallen under the $20 million, but the volume of those contracts has increased. And that's perfectly fine for us as a business as well. And if anything, it allows us more predictability and more certainty in the organization.
So outside of growing the regional hubs, we'll continue to grow our partner base both commercially and technical in the future. And this is something that DroneShield as an Australian business, one that is highly trusted and respected in the sector, we are in a great position to utilize that goodwill and utilize the trust that we do have to partner with some of these great organizations and either enter new markets or augment existing solutions around the world.
Thank you. Thank you very much, Angus. I think we're just on 10:00. So we appreciate the time that many hundreds of people -- hundreds of people have used to listen to this update. And as Angus mentioned, we have our Annual General Meeting with the Notice of Meeting coming out in the -- by the end of the month. The Annual General Meeting is on the 29th of May, and we encourage everybody to either attend in person or online. Thank you.
Thank you, everyone.
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DroneShield — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Solides Q1‑Update: starke Pipeline und $155M zugesicherte Umsätze für 2026; Fokus auf Ausbau wiederkehrender SaaS‑Erlöse und internationale Skalierung.
Kurz: operative Cash‑Positivität, >$200M Barmittel, $2.2bn Pipeline; Management bestätigt Wachstums- und Monetarisierungsziele ohne formelle Guidance.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Committed 2026: $155M zugesicherte Umsätze (Stand April 2026)
- Pipeline: $2.2bn ungewichtete Pipeline, 312 Deals, 15 davon >$30M
- Cash: Barmittel > $200M, finanzielle Flexibilität betont
- Operativer Cashflow: viertes Quartal in Folge positiv
- EBITDA FY25: ca. $37M (Ergebnis vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen) ≈17% Marge
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Führungswechsel: Angus Bean als neuer CEO, Board‑Anpassung mit zukünftigem Chairman Hamish McLennan; Kontinuität und aktives Recruiting für weitere Non‑Execs
- Wachstumsziel: ambitioniertes Ziel von $1bn Jahresumsatz mit 30% wiederkehrenden Erlösen (Software‑as‑a‑Service, SaaS) bis 2030; Monetarisierung ganzer Lifecycle‑Services geplant
- Marktstrategie: Multichannel‑Ansatz (direkt, Prime/Sub, Distributor), Regionalisierung der Produktion (Australien, Europa, USA geplant) und Partnerschaften für Sensor/Interceptor‑Integration
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance‑Politik: Keine formelle Umsatz-/Gewinn‑Guidance; Company liefert 4C/Trading‑Updates und meldet materielle Verträge ab $20M
- Kurzfristig: $155M zugesichert + $2.2bn Pipeline → Rückenwind, aber Zeitplan der Vertragsabschlüsse bleibt Unsicherheitsfaktor
- Märkte & Risiken: Treiber sind höhere Verteidigungsausgaben (z.B. Safer Skies Act) und Event‑Aufträge; Risiken: Timing großer Aufträge (z.B. diskutierter $750M‑Follow‑on noch unbestätigt) und Komponenten/Obsoleszenz
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Pipeline‑Reporting: Update Ende März; Management begründet Frequenz, Materialitätsgrenze $20M erklärt
- Kommerzmarkt: SentryCiv (SaaS‑fokussiert) zeigt erste Verkäufe; Safer Skies öffnet lokale Behörden als neue Kunden
- Produktion & Inventar: Hauptfertigung in Australien, Europa‑Fertigung aktiv, US‑Fertigung geplant; FY25 Einmal‑Inventarabschreibung $8.5M bleibt verkaufsfähig
⚡ Bottom Line
- Relevanz: DroneShield zeigt starke Nachfrage, zunehmende Vorhersehbarkeit durch Volumen kleinerer Orders und wachsende SaaS‑Anteile; robustes Cashpolster reduziert kurzfristigen Finanzierungsdruck. Anleger sollten jedoch das Timing großer Auftragsabschlüsse, die Umsetzung der US/Europa‑Produktion und die fehlende formelle Guidance als zentrale Unsicherheitsfaktoren beobachten.
DroneShield — 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to those joining the DroneShield investor call covering our 2025 annual results. I'm Oleg Vornik, the CEO and Managing Director of DroneShield. And joining me today are Carla Balanco, our Chief Financial Officer, on my right; and Josh Bolot, our Head of Investor Relations, on my left. Angus Bean, our Chief Product Officer, is unfortunately unable to join us today due to customer travel commitments overseas. We will aim to speak for approximately 15, 20 minutes presenting the results, followed by questions. Please submit your questions well in advance so we can start immediately with the questions following completion of the presentation.
2025 has seen a record revenue of about $260 million, about a 4x increase on the previous year. Importantly, it has been a profitable year for us of about $3.5 million profit being also $33 million of underlying profit before tax. And importantly, having $15.9 million of net cash from operations. This reinforces our aim to have rapid growth as well as being profitable and operating cash flow positive moving forward.
The pipeline has slightly increased from $2.1 billion to $2.3 billion in the last month since we presented the 4Q results, and a lot of it was due to our increase in the Asia Pacific pipeline specifically. The pipeline corresponds to about 295 deals. Great diversity of deals is how we have certainty of ongoing business where there's diversification across the stages of maturity, geography, products, customers and other factors. Some of those deals are significant. There is about 18 deals over $30 million each and our largest deal being about $750 million. Previously, we advertised this deal is about $800 million, but with being European deal and the Australian dollar continuing to strengthen, the Australian dollar value of the deal has slightly reduced.
DroneShield continues to be significantly well positioned to win in the exploding counter-drone market. We have 460 employees in about 7 countries around the world, and that includes over 350 engineers. We continue to invest significantly in R&D in this rapidly evolving landscape, and it's about $70 million plus of R&D that we spend every year. And we continue to have significant cash balance of over $200 million to support our growth.
To recap on top of what I was saying earlier about the record revenues, the SaaS is continuing to grow, and our goal is to continue to ramp it up to the eventual aim of over 30% a year over the next 5 years. And the growth in SaaS will be reached through having multiple streams of SaaS over increasing amount of hardware in our space. We're familiar with some of the recent market commentary about some of the software companies that have been sold off. And the big difference in the DroneShield case is we have an integrated hardware and software solution, where a lot of our IP is really deeply inside the hardware as well as software. And the data we use for our software is not something you can easily just scrub off the Internet. So when you're looking at the drone signal data, you have to collect it in a number of countries, often very sensitive situations. So very high IP that cannot be easily disrupted by the likes of ChatGPT.
Along with the record revenue growth, we're seeing significant matching growth in customer cash receipts and big increase also in the committed and also recognized year-to-date revenues and cash receipts already going in, into 2026. So a very strong start of the year. We talked briefly about the profit where the underlying profit before tax for 2025 has been about $33 million and then showing the significant operating leverage going forward. What I mean by that is with the roughly 65% gross profit margin as the revenues grow, that is going to outpace the growth in costs, resulting in what we're aiming to be increasingly profitable position.
And the bottom right-hand chart is the NPAT to EBITDA bridge. I'll leave it as read, essentially $36 million in underlying EBITDA with $3.5 million statutory NPAT. If there are any questions on that, happy to answer that.
The sales pipeline, this has largely been covered when we presented about a month ago. So one change, as I mentioned, is the increase in our Asia Pacific position where a number of countries bordering China are significantly concerned about the Chinese drone threat, and we're continuing to see increase in demand there.
But overall, to recap on the key themes, U.S., we believe, will have a number of growth factors. So in addition to the military, where there is a $1 trillion record defense budget for '26 and $1.5 trillion defense budget proposed for '27, we're expecting to see significant public safety market, not just with the Safer Skies legislation enabling police to take down drones, but also significant funding applied ahead of the FIFA World Cup in June, July, and we expect to see meaningful sales between now and that time and also going forward. Importantly, we believe that police will be a bridge towards the counter-drone being seen less so strictly military type of solutions and more into the civilian solution. So then increasingly deployed by critical infrastructure operators, airports and corporates.
In Europe and U.K., we have opened our sales office in Amsterdam, managing our local distributors around Europe. And both Europe and U.K. are driving our momentum significantly at the moment, underpinned by everything you read in the news about Ukraine and the general instability there. Europeans realizing they cannot rely on U.S. for their security. And being Australian is a great neutral position in terms of appealing for sales for both the European and the U.S. markets.
In Australia, DroneShield has been selected on the panel for LAND 156, which is the rollout across defense spaces nationally and we anticipate for there to be a significant amount of business for us even starting from this year in this $1.3 billion program. We have approximately $79 million in inventory as of 31st of December. That combines $26 million in finished goods as well as $53 million in raw inventory, which is largely the long lead items to ensure that we can deliver to our customers in a short amount of time. We have moved to an enterprise ERP system, which enables us to really push out on our goal of moving production from $500 million a year to $2.4 billion by the end of the year, which is underpinned by the new 3,000 square meter facility in Sydney as well as our manufacturing hubs in the U.S. and Europe, which are being finalized as we speak.
2025 has seen inventory impairment of about $10.3 million, constituting 2 factors, the $8.5 million in finished goods, which substantively relates to DroneGun Mk4 out selling DroneGun Tactical. We believe it's a one-off situation because we essentially introduced 2 product lines with the Mk4 being the success to tactical within a couple of years of each other. And we do not intend to introduce successor versions to the DroneGun Mk4 and RF controllers, we believe that at the hardware level, those are essentially as best as the technology can get within those form factors and the future versions of those technologies will look entirely different. And therefore, we do not believe that similar sort of impairment is likely going forward. And the $1.8 million in raw materials, so a lot of it was linked to us moving to the new ERP, and it's in line with FY '24 impairment of $0.6 million.
On the manufacturing, as I mentioned earlier, we are expanding from $500 million a year to $2.4 billion, and that includes the European and the U.S. assemblies. For those relatively new to our story, we have essentially 2 streams of products. You have the dismounted being the RfPatrol, body-worn drone detector. It's a hardware that has AI on the edge. So SaaS software that lives inside of it that we do quarterly software updates on. And then there's DroneGun, which is what we've historically been most well known for.
In fact, those observing our news probably would have seen with electronic arts major game adopting DroneGun as one of its key weapons. But in fact, DroneGun has only been just under 20%, 19% of our revenues in FY '25. And in fact, the business is fundamentally moving towards being a diversified company with our on the move and fixed site DroneSentry system constituting just under 40% and RfPatrol being just over 40% of our revenues. And SentryCiv, the civilians specific subscription-based product that we launched last year, I think will start ramping up as the civilian sector grows as well.
Our SaaS strategy is separated into 3 streams. You have the device level SaaS. So today, when you buy RfPatrol, DroneSentry-X that comes with RFAI detection software. And then we're currently trialing the RFAI attack, which is AI-enabled defeat software that will be a paid product from about middle of the year. Then we do AI that sits inside the cameras and then also utilize third-party AI for radars and of course, SentryCiv, which is our own SaaS as well.
And then the site SaaS, so when you have a base or generally maybe critical infrastructure facility, you'll be having a number of sensors, DroneShield and third parties stitched together by our DroneSentry-C2, or perhaps commanders with tablets with our Sentry-C2 Tactical. And then our latest product that we introduced at the end of last year being our DroneSentry-C2 Enterprise when you have entire region or a country looking for patterns of drone incursions, drone attacks. So the idea when I was saying earlier about the SaaS getting to 30% of the revenues over the next 5 years being our goal.
For example, you might be buying DroneSentry-X and on that, you might have our RFAI detection software and then RFAI defeat, you'll probably be pairing DroneSentry-X with a camera that will come with our DroneOptID SaaS, probably a radar as well, which will have its own SaaS. It will probably sit on a base underpinned by DroneSentry-C2 and potentially even in the region overseen by DroneSentry-C2 Enterprise. So this is an example of how multiple SaaS packages can apply to a single piece of hardware.
Sometimes we get asked what's a small company at the end of the world in Sydney able to do to compete against large defense players. And historically, when you think about defense, you think about perhaps U.S., Europe, Israel, maybe South Korea, you don't think about Australia. And we have been lucky to an extent of being in this game right from the start and deploying significant engineering force on this. And also being in Australia, we knew that we cannot sustain ourselves just for the Australian market. So we became an export business from day 1. In fact, today, about 95% of our revenues are export, and I'm expecting the trend to be similar going forward. And so as a result of this truly global threat being the drone attacks, we developed distributors in about 70 countries around the world and now we have active customers in dozens of countries around the world.
And with that, over time, Australia also being very good base for engineering, we developed solutions which are smaller, lighter, more effective for both detection and defeat and also those relationships with end users around the world, Australia being a great country again in terms of the relationships with these Western and Western allied countries that feed us honestly, probably more information that we can do with in terms of rapidly changing our technology roadmap to adapt to the latest drone threat. So a number of commercial and technical differentiators.
In terms of specific competitors, what we generally say is that within the niches of counter-drone that we choose to compete in, we are the dominant player. So if you think about body-worn drone detection, our RfPatrol is, we believe, the leading product by number of units sold around the world. There are a couple of others. So MyDefence has a product and DZYNE has a product, but we believe that we significantly outsell them based on what we're seeing. And similarly, for handheld defeat, we believe DroneGun is the best-selling product of its nature around the world. In the on-the-move detection and defeat, the closest product to DroneSentry-X will be a product that AeroVironment has, but it's a pretty small part of their business. And if anything, in the long term, this potentially be a cooperative relationship.
In terms of the C2 solutions, there are a couple of competitors. So we're listing Dedrone and Anduril, but I think we have a number of unique differentiators on both of them, and we don't necessarily compete with Anduril being a much higher cost and strictly military solution compared to DroneSentry-C2.
Last thing to add here is that the traditional defense primes are not competitors and really more customers because they are not really moving at the speed and the cost base that is required to be successful in this cost asymmetric market. Cost asymmetric, meaning if you've got a $500 drone, you can't really be fielding a $10 million solution. So with that, we see the traditional primes as customers.
On the corporate governance, many of you will be familiar with a lot of the media scrutiny we had at the end of last year. We have engaged Freehills, a Tier 1 legal advisor, to give us essentially gold standard in corporate governance. And with that, we have yesterday revealed a number of updates of our policies, the trading policy, disclosure policy, the minimum shareholding policy, and others. And in my view, what has actually happened is the business has been growing incredibly quickly. So on the indices front, for example, we joined the All Ords in March '24, ASX 300 in September '24, ASX 200 in September '25, and now, depending on how fast we grow, we might be knocking on the door of ASX 100.
So as a result, when you grow so quickly, policies, procedures can sometimes fall behind, and this was an opportunity for us to establish gold standard for this particular area, much like we are running really quickly, recapping our -- changing our policies for a much larger business right across the company. We made a number of hires, so Head of People & Performance at the end of last year. Josh joined us in January this year, and also Chief Operating Officer, who joined us from a similar position from Thales, where he brings a wealth of that high-end operational experience.
The last slide, then we'll turn to questions, and I encourage everybody again to please be asking us questions. So as we stand today, we are excited to be starting to launch the next generation of hardware across our product family, so this will be towards the second half of the year and into '27. The counter-drone market continues to have very low saturation because you think about drones, they only really came into people's minds about 10 years ago, really started having negative that sort of nefarious impact from the start of the Ukraine war.
So thinking about only 5 years ago, and counter-drone is a derivative of the drone market, so military started to buy or looking to buy in any meaningful quantities only in the last 5 years, and when you're selling to the government market, the wheels can grind slowly, right? And so as a result, I would say militaries have probably sub 5% market saturation, civilian market has close to zero, and therefore, we have significant opportunity in front of us. The SaaS revenue we talked about are going from about 5% current to about 30% and continuing to expand our market share. So in addition to selling hardware and software, we'll be looking to expand into training solutions, support, counter-drone as a service, and other related initiatives to maximize, I guess, that ownership of the customer and providing the services to them.
We talked about establishing of the European manufacturing facility, and also in the U.S., and we believe that the next 12 to 18 months, we'll start seeing additional -- initial material sales in the civilian space, such as data centers, potentially airports, and other key customers. We're continuing to work on our processes and systems due to our rapid growth and in a very disciplined manner, looking at the opportunistic M&A. Now, there are no competitors that we would like to buy, but we're always interested to look at emerging counter-drone technologies, in addition to what we may be doing in-house, and we're really well-positioned to assess what makes sense due to our understanding of the sector.
And as we look over the next 5 years, we're looking to get to the target revenue of over $1 billion a year. This may sound like a lot, but then we quadrupled our revenues last year alone, so that will hopefully give you some sense of our ambition. And also, just the fact that the maturity of the market is still so early, and the customers are going to be putting increasing orders, hopefully. Most of our revenues are from repeat customers, right? So people placing increasing orders as they get more comfortable with the idea of having counter-drone solutions and more budgets to go with it. And continuing to have that global focus is probably the last point to say.
So with that, we'll conclude the presentation part of that session and turn to any questions.
The first question is: How likely do we think is it to sign a $750 million deal with Europe, and do we have production to deliver on the deal timely?
So it's not going to be trivial, we think that we're well-positioned, and it's the same customer who gave us a $62 million order in the middle of last year, and smaller orders in addition to that. So we have an existing, really good relationship with that customer. And the production capacity, so depending on how fast the customer wants to execute on the deal, if they say to us, "Go as fast as you can", I believe we should be able to deliver it in batches over perhaps under 9 months. If the customer wants to stagger it, which is entirely possible, in stages, it might be, say, over 2 years or so. So that's my best estimate at this stage.
I think the next question, I'm trying to rephrase it. What is our announcement level for deals?
So we continue our approach as of the past, where approximately 10% of last year's revenue has been our announcement threshold. For '26, it'll be $20 million, unless there is a strategic element to announce a smaller deal.
So there's a question about $18 million of the $30 million deals. When are we going to be announcing them?
Well, hopefully, once we win them, we will be announcing them.
The next question is about, does DroneShield have plans to expand its drone technology into different domains, such as naval drones, used in Ukraine conflict? And do we see it as an area we could pivot to?
Absolutely. So when you see us talking in our announcements about counter-drone, we actually refer to it often as C-UxS, not C-UAS, A being aerial. We consider drones being all domains, whether it's ground, naval, or flying machines. And the good news is that the technology that we use is equally valid for flying machines, swimming machines, and crawling machines, and we can be effective on all of those.
The only time when the technology stops working is for the underwater drones, so UUVs, where our command and control is still effective, but for the detection, for example, you'll be most likely looking to use a sonar. If we see more of that being where the market is heading, we would simply focus on integration of most sonars and lead with our C2. But the vast majority, we believe, for the foreseeable future, will be aerial, ground, and what we see in Ukraine, as you said, being the swimming drones.
So I think the next question I might pass to Carla, our CFO. The January update referenced gross margin of 65%. The statutory FY '25 number was 61% after the inventory impairment. Should we think of 65% as the normalized run rate?
Thanks, Oleg. Yes, our average normalized run rate for the gross profit margin should be seen as 65%. There's obviously items that will affect this margin. And those items will be the percentage of system sales versus dismounted sales. Our systems carry a lower gross profit margin. And the reason for that is because of the external third-party componentry that is incorporated in the system, such as the cameras and the radars. Those items carry gross profit margins between 15% and 30%. Therefore, we do think a 65% average moving forward for our gross profit margin is our aim.
Thanks, Oleg.
Thanks, Carla. The next question is about Bundeswehr, the German army. Are they a customer of our products, and do we have plans to supply the Bundeswehr?
Yes, Bundeswehr is a key focus for us, and in fact, if you follow the German defense market, there's a high-profile defense exhibition in Germany that is just concluding now that we were at. So yes, it's very much focus for us. Germany is a key European market.
The next question is, what is our current penetration of Ukraine and neighboring NATO markets?
So we have hundreds of detection and defeat systems deployed in Ukraine and continuing to add more. We have systems deployed in Poland and a number of other areas. So yes, absolutely, we are deployed, I want to say probably with about 10 or 12 European NATO countries, plus obviously U.S. and Canada, as far as NATO is concerned.
The next question is: Is there a goal for the stock price?
I mean, as high as possible, but unfortunately, I only get to influence it so much.
How much revenue do we estimate currently comes from civilian buyers? Do we estimate a shift?
So today, almost all of the revenue comes from military, border security and intelligence community with a bit of public safety being police. I think the question was referring more to customers like airports and data centers. So today, those are minimal, but we're starting to see green shoots of demand. And if you looked at our total addressable market, we're estimating about $30 billion TAM, total addressable market for the military and another roughly $30 billion for the civilian market. And we think over the next 5 years, our revenues will truly become more 50-50. And once the civilian market gets going, I think it can evolve potentially much faster than the military market has.
Next question, given the continuous innovation in the industry, what gives us confidence that the inventory is sound? And are we able to reduce the inventory risk in terms of moving to just-in-time manufacturing?
So as I briefly mentioned, the inventory write-down this year was a bit of a unique situation, where we introduced 2 DroneGuns within several years of each other and essentially, our newer DroneGun ended up cannibalizing some of the older DroneGun sales. And by the way, we continue to sell DroneGun Tacticals, we just decided together with our Board to take a prudent approach and do the inventory write-down.
Going forward, we don't expect to launch superseding versions of any of our product lines today, but rather really different product form factors. So I don't expect for there to be cannibalization, meaning if you want to have a jammer in a shape of a gun that you hold in your hand, I believe DroneGun Mk4 is kind of as good as it will get. So there will be better jammers, but there'll be backpacks, they'll need more space and so on.
I don't believe that just-in-time manufacturing really works for this industry because some of our longest lead circuitry has a 25-week lead time. And I don't believe it will change much because, again, of just complexity of the technologies that we're dealing with and our buyers want to be able to fulfill small orders quickly, right?
So our goal, which is largely in consultation with our sales force and customer expectations is to be able to deliver orders in single digits of millions instantly. So you probably would have seen, we did an announcement at the end of last year. We received an order about $5 million on the 30th of December, delivered it by the 31st of December, which was pretty incredible. Then the $62 million order we had in the middle of last year, we delivered within 2 months and then the $750 million order I talked about fulfillment in under 9 months. So for that, you need to hold inventory.
But we're pretty happy with the raw and finished inventory we're holding. And please remember that raw, as I was saying, is largely long lead time items as well. They're not finished goods. And also keep in mind that, for example, RfPatrol and DroneGun and some other products we have, have interchangeable parts that you can use in between the products. And we're trying to have as many interchangeable parts between product families as possible.
What are our plans for increasing effective range and distance of our products?
I guess it's the same thing, range and distance. So my first comment somewhat flippantly is that more is not always better. So for example, for the detection, more range you get often more false alarms you get. And our customers don't necessarily want to be able to see 20, 30 kilometers out. And at some point, physics kicks in as well, right? So a lot of our work with customers if they're very new to counter-drone is saying, okay, well, if you come with an expectation of detecting a proper missile 200 kilometers away, there's nothing that will detect a small drone 200 kilometers away. So explaining that there is natural physics limitation to range. But a lot of it is just pushing the envelope of physics, right?
So you're saying, okay, there's noise floor in radio frequency, how do you see through the noise floor, how do you reduce the false alarms. There are quite a lot of parameters that you want to optimize how you detect never seen before drones, how do you deal with the Chinese drones, which are hiding behind other bits of noise, which are running away from you when you're trying to disrupt it. So there are a number of challenges in addition to distance, but that is ultimately why you have 350-plus engineers working on that problem with a lot of drone signal data and just continue to get information from their customers.
The next question is about, can we provide some more detail about the types of drone deployments by China, which are behind the concerns that our Asia Pacific customers have?
So a well-publicized example, this is a bit dated about 2 years ago, has been of a Chinese drone landing on the deck of a Japanese naval ship. Now you imagine massive embarrassment, loss of faith -- loss of face. And so that's an example, right? So small drones are buzzing over military facilities and just generally harassing both the civilian and the military targets. So this is what our Asia Pacific customers are looking to protect against.
Has DroneShield considered underwater drones and drone capabilities -- anti-drone capabilities and detection?
Yes. So we actually first came upon the concept of underwater drones and what to do about them about 5 years ago. Those who have been following us for a while would have seen we introduced a partnership with a sonar company. And our job there is our command and control. So DroneSentry-C2. Again, remember, we're not a drone gun company. We are much more than that. So we make a command and control solution that various modalities of sensors plug into. And so we had a sonar compatible with our command and control system, started marketing it those 5 years ago, not a single person bought one.
Now the conclusion we reached is that the market just wasn't ready for it. And my view is that the market is still not ready for underwater drones, but the threat is there. And underwater is significantly different, as I was just saying 5 minutes ago, to every other types of drones. So drones that crawl on the ground or the surface of the water that fly in the air because traditional physics of radio frequency in the air doesn't propagate well under water. So you need sonar for the detection and something else, be it nets, torpedoes, it depends really on the customer in there, the ability to deploy countermeasures for the defeat. But our role in all of this will be providing a command/control solution, which also will protect against drones from the air and the ground and so on.
Can we quantify the current order backlog and how much of the revenue is expected to be awarded in this financial year?
So if you look at the chart, we are sitting at a bit over $100 million in committed revenue this year, and we recognize roughly about 20-ish or so. So that means the backlog of about 80 and virtually all orders for this year, plus obviously, the revenue that we will actually secure. Now my controversial view is that I don't like backlog, backlog means a customer has placed an order and is patiently waiting or sometimes impatiently waiting on delivery from us. My goal is to deliver goods under order as soon as possible to customers.
So you find that big defense primes often advertise their backlog. So they say, "Hey, I've got a 5-year contract, I'm going to deliver this and that over the next 5 years, and that is seen as a positive, great. But in our industry, it's actually negative in a sense that you want to be rapidly delivering to customers and not making them wait. So vast majority of the revenue I anticipate for '26 is not inside of that $80 or so million current backlog, but the new revenue that we will earn and deliver and recognize from now before the end of the year.
What likely drone threats exist or may exist that DroneShield does not have solutions for, for example, cable drones?
So I think the person is referring to the fiber optic drones. So there's a slide in our presentation, which talks specifically about why fiber optic drones are not a threat. So for example, we are effective against fiber optic drones because we offer a command and control solution that integrates with radars, which can detect anything that flies, including fiber optic drones and also depending on the customer solutions like HPM that can take down those drones. But my view is, I think I said to many of you before is that radio frequency is the backbone of drones. And fiber optics exists very much around the edges with significant limitations. You think about flying a drone with 10 kilometers of fishing line attached to it, wrapping around trees, buildings, you fly a bit too quickly, you snag the cable. It's really very much an edge case.
And RF to drones, I believe, will be a bit like wheels and cars, like whatever cars will look like in 50 years, they'll probably have wheels on them because we're flat in our world and built a lot of roads. So similarly, for how much was invested in the radio frequency. Now that's not to say there will be new types of RF, which is like I was saying, the Chinese are now putting what was 5 years ago, sensitive electronic warfare techniques into $5,000 drones designed to avoid detection and defeat. We're starting to see slow rise of cellular control drones. But tethered drones, I don't believe, have that much future and our existing on-to-move and fixed site solutions already have a way of dealing with them.
The next question is $28 million of our FY '26 committed revenue is the SaaS pipeline tracking 2x of '25. So about 7% of SaaS for FY '26, how are we going to get an uplift to get to 30% by 2030?
Great question. So I talked before about the 3 strands of SaaS, the device level SaaS, which has a bunch of elements to it, like the detection, defeat for the radio frequency to separate SaaS, our RFAI, RFAI attack, talked about DroneOptID SaaS, the radar SaaS, the SentryCiv SaaS and then the DroneSentry-C2 and the C2 Enterprise. So today, out of the roughly 4,500 pieces of hardware deployed around the world, maybe only half actually receive SaaS, the other half being DroneGuns, which don't require SaaS by design.
Going forward, as the technology continues to rapidly iterate, so hardware probably has a 3-, 4-year cycle, I would expect over the next 5 years for us to have tens of thousands of pieces of hardware, almost all of them receiving SaaS. And not just one piece of SaaS on every piece of hardware, but having like an example I was giving with DroneSentry-X, you have one piece of hardware, but then you might have RFAI, RFAI attack. It's part of the system. So it has a radar SaaS, camera SaaS and the C2 SaaS. So having multiple pieces of SaaS maximizing that SaaS element as part of the total revenue. But then also on top of that, I talked about the wallet share, right? So talking about the training and counter-drone as a service. So there's quite a lot of elements that we are actively exploring with customers at the moment.
The next question is about how do we see ourselves in terms of the World Cup this year in the U.S.?
So we talked about the Safer Skies Act, which enables police and public safety officers more generally to use jammers take drones down going forward. This, we believe, will really drive adoption of counter-drone technologies within public safety system that will protect those stadium venues. So we have a public safety team inside of our U.S. office run by Tom Adams, an ex-FBI guy. And we are actively engaging with a number of police agencies around the world -- sorry, around the U.S. at the moment and believe we'll have meaningful sales from that between now and the World Cup.
What countries or theaters of war are considered no go for DroneShield?
So pretty common sense, right? We would not work with Russia, China, North Korea, Iran. I mean, essentially, any country which is either prohibited or gray zone list by the Australian government because we do need export licenses to sell. And well clear what those are. We've been working with Department of Export Controls now since the beginning, and we have a very close relationship with them. We basically would never ship to those countries. And the processes are very strict, right? I mean, even though our products are entirely safe for humans, so none of our products can hurt human being or even the drone for that matter, the strictness of export controls is comparable to a proper weapon.
So for example, a guy who runs our shipping department is an Italian guy who used to be shipping torpedoes around the world on behalf of a Italian defense prime. And so it's the same strictness of the process in terms of end users entering into paperwork not to share our equipment with anybody else. And ultimately, this is not just between us and them, but also involving Australian government. So exceptionally strict control processes.
What are some of the drone-related verticals that look interesting to us from an M&A perspective?
So we'll always stick with counter-drone as we want to continue playing in what we know. There are technologies like high-power microwave, which I find really interesting, and it fits in our nonlethal but complementary to drones, for example. I think there will be new methods of detection potentially relating to shock and vibration coming from drones. So essentially, the way I see this is the equipment needs to be cost effective. It's hard to justify having a $10 million piece of equipment against $200 drones. It needs to ideally protect an area, not just 200 sort of meter range around it, unless it's super cheap, so you can have mass volume of these things.
And ideally non-ITAR because we want to have the market of all of the NATO and NATO allied countries. And the current AUKUS process in terms of Pillar 2 is streamlining a lot of that ITAR stuff between Australia, U.K. and the U.S. But ideally, we want to be continuing to focus on non-ITAR technologies.
The next question talks about how was our exhibition at Enforce Tac in Nuremberg.
So I wasn't there myself, Angus, our Chief Product Officer, was leading our delegation. We have a number of European team members who were in Enforce Tac and the download I had so far is that it's been an exceptionally positive meeting and helpful for our folks on Germany with Bundeswehr as well as the rest of the European market.
So the next question is, why has DroneShield not introduced Phantom shares to attract and retain talent and not put pressure on the share price?
So the Board regularly revisits what are the most appropriate structures. In my opinion, phantom shares are not an optimal structure. And so we haven't been introducing it, but the -- this is something the Board does review regularly what makes most sense.
There are increasing reports of hybrid attacks at airports throughout Europe, what are our plans in that space?
So we have had equipment deployed at the airports. For example, you might have seen news articles with the DroneSentry-X at Copenhagen Airport a few months ago. I think airports more generally struggle bureaucratically. So in some countries like in Germany, actually, Bundeswehr has technically a lot of influence over what gets deployed at the airport. So it just becomes of kind of too many cooks problem where you have airport, you have the military, you have government more generally kind of all coming up with what's the most appropriate solution. But I think you're right in that the pressure continues to escalate on airports to deploy counter-drone measures. As today, you imagine you stop all flights for 15 minutes, 30 minutes, an hour, and that's a significant disruption. And the alternative is even worse, plane taking off and a drone blowing out an engine, right? So we are talking to some of regulators. We're talking to airports directly. We're talking to military. So the idea is that you just keep pushing, chipping away of the stakeholders until eventually you kind of break through and start deploying gear.
The next question about viewers saying they watched a terrifying video on Chinese robot advancement moving to RF control.
So I mean, robots can be seen as UGVs and ground vehicles, and this is very much part of our market. So UGVs, ground vehicles, UAVs, aerial vehicles or fly drones and USVs, so unmanned surface vehicles, both essentially on the surface of the water. And the physics is exactly the same in terms of how radio frequency radars. Radars work a bit not so well close to the ground because you get a lot of ground clutter coming up, but radio frequency is generally pretty good.
Have any shipping companies expressed interest in DroneShield to protect ships through conflict areas in Red Sea and Iran?
Yes, we have some shipping companies using our kit already. This normally needs to be a bit of a layered arrangement of government forces being on those ships and them having our kit, which ultimately links to if you -- who can own -- possess jammers. So the law of the high seas essentially says, well, anybody can do anything. But then, of course, those ships need to come to harbor eventually. So usually, the arrangement that we're seeing at the moment is if the ship has government security on it, they'll be able to use our kit and some of them do.
I'll pass the next question to Carla as it deals with the net profit margin. So I'll read out the question. I understand we're investing heavily to scale, which is importing reported net profit, but net margin is low. When do we expect net profit margin to materially improve? And what level of margin do we believe -- what level of margin do we believe is achievable in FY '26 as we continue to scale?
Thank you, Oleg. So right now, our focus is, obviously, we want to grow the business and we want to increase our revenues. We know that profitability is important as well. And we are focusing on trying to improve our profitability position, taking into account that we were in an operating loss, a net loss a couple of years ago, and we've only now really started to focus on improving our net profit position.
However, as you mentioned, we are scaling really rapidly. So balancing that rapid scale in terms of implementing a new enterprise risk system that we'll be doing this year, also our ERP system, opening a European office, focusing on U.S. manufacturing, European manufacturing, all of these items add costs to the P&L. And so we are focusing on trying to control costs, but focusing on increasing those revenues. And by doing those 2 things, naturally, our net profit will increase.
I cannot provide any details at this stage in terms of what I forecast our net profit margin to be. But what I can say is our fixed cash costs for this year is looking at around $150 million. We have capitalized R&D and so we're looking to capitalize between $25 million and $30 million on R&D. Our gross profit margin, we spoke about already, which is 65% in terms of normalized average gross profit margin. And that is about as much as I can provide at this time. Thank you.
Thanks, Carla. Does DroneShield see Asia, excluding China and Central South America as big potential markets than European Union as they quickly adopt drones, as seen in the Thai-Cambodian conflict? And are there any difficulty selling into those regions, countries not seen as Australian allies?
So I'm not sure about these becoming bigger than EU. EU is a huge driver for us, but becoming big, yes. So the key countries in Asia we're focusing on is Japan, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, Taiwan, and there are a couple of others as well. None of those markets have an issue with export permits with the Australian government. So we've been working there. And in Central and South America, so Mexico and Colombia both have issues with drug cartels and past that, there's Brazil, Argentina and others. So again, growing markets, especially Mexico and Colombia. And we haven't had issues in terms of export permits working with Department of Export Controls.
The next question talks about competitive landscape across product lines. We're seeing new entrants and are we increasingly having to compete on price?
No, we don't compete on price. It's interesting. So when we started 10, 11 years ago, there was really maybe us and 1 or 2 other companies. And then roughly maybe 5 years ago, the amount of competition really blew out. You go to defense show and every single stand is suddenly a counter-drone company, all kinds of stuff. Now we're seeing the market consolidate significantly. So some get merged or acquired, for example, DZYNE, which is a compilation of 3 or 4 companies or BlueHalo that got absorbed into AeroVironment and some go out of business just because customers basically don't buy from them because the products don't make sense. So we don't really see new entrants just because the industry is so high barrier now.
We talk, for example, about drone signal data, right? Like you try to go around dozens of countries collecting drone signals in various environments. Some of these drones are very sophisticated restricted government drones, very, very difficult to build up and maintain that database, deal with relationships with military, government and customers, looking at radio frequency at the edge of physics, like, say, maybe 5, 7 years ago, the aim is to take an existing technology that has been successfully deployed in electronic warfare and cost effectively adapt it to counter-drone.
Today, you are truly at the edge of like stuff that we are using is often a lot more sophisticated than any electronic warfare solution just again because we've been at it for so long and you just keep getting better and better. So it's very hard for new entrants. If anything, I would say our products will become more expensive, but also with more capability. So some of our new product lines will be launching from end of the year will be triple the cost of the existing products, but roughly keeping the same gross margin. But then the capability will be significantly higher as well. So if anything, I see our pricing trending higher rather than lower.
How do we keep captured equipment from being used by the enemy?
So it depends on the equipment. Most of our equipment and increasingly more and more are software-enabled. So obviously, we have ability to deny any changes in software. And then if you don't do changes in software, then the software quickly becomes obsolete.
Can it be linked with laser beam technology?
Can be in terms of our command and control DroneSentry-C2. But I actually have a pretty dim view on the laser. It makes for cool news headlines. But remember, right? So lasers have their place, right? So you always see militaries deploying some laser solutions. But think about mass deployments. You have systems that often cost $10 million plus that have obviously kinetic impact. You don't want to be blinding people if you're using it for stadiums.
So I would consider laser in the same bucket as say, high-power microwave; an exquisite, very useful but very specific use case rather than what we are targeting most of our technologies being mass deployment to as much of the customer base around the world as possible, which has to be no collateral impact. But then if a customer comes to us and says, can you provide a laser solution? We have our great friends in AIM Defence based in Melbourne. They do amazing laser solutions. So that's what we'll be putting forward, assuming it works from an export compliance point of view.
Have we considered drone protection with the making of other drones?
I think anti-jamming, I'm trying to rephrase the question. So no, we don't really do things on the drones that stop other counter-drone systems being able to detect or defeat them. It's very different technology. I mean it's a bit like saying Boeing doesn't do anti-aircraft missiles, even though Boeing is great at planes, like you kind of have to stick to what you're good at. So drones and counter-drone are actually very different technologies, even though they are obviously on the opposite ends of the same battle.
Are we prepared for threats to the business such as cyber attacks, theft for facilities or threats to executives or employees?
So this is something we take very seriously. And also, there are government standards across physical cyber and other classes of security that we follow. So we have a team led by an experienced executive that deals specifically with cyber threats. And thankfully, knock wood, we haven't had a single successful cyber attempt, but we're continuing to see a ton, and this is something we take extremely seriously.
In terms of insider threat, there is a very thorough employee vetting and also employee vetting program. We use a dedicated defense software in terms of monitoring employee actions, for example, ensuring the person doesn't download a whole bunch of stuff they're not supposed to. There is natural segregation on a need-to-know basis. So for example, I don't actually write code, so I don't have access to the code database because why should I? And a number of other kind of standard defense industry things. We don't need to reinvent the wheel here. So similar things to what the likes of Lockheed Martin or Thales or Raytheon doing, I mean, we do largely all the same stuff, gold standard and continuing to revise that as the technology evolves.
In terms of threats to the executives, so yes, look, I mean, it's something that we looked at a lot. So for example, about a week or 2 ago, to give you a recent one, there was a case of somebody, I believe it was a Ukrainian guy, who got deported from Dubai, where he was based, forcefully to Russia as he was accused by Russia of killing a Russian general involved in Ukraine war. So for example, my directive internally was if you happen to be on the Russian sanctions list, which I personally am, for example, then you don't transit through Dubai. You don't stop in Dubai. And so this is something that we take very seriously.
Do we have a capability to detect and neutralize drones swarms?
Yes. So our detection and defeat is what you call volumetric, meaning you're scanning not just a little area at a time, but a whole wide area and you're basically staring at the sky and you can detect multiple drones at the same time, essentially, I don't want to say limited, but exceptionally large number of drones. And similar for the defeat, jamming and its advantage of jamming versus some other technologies like cyber can affect multiple drones at the same time.
Next one. What do we see as the main threats to our growth and profitability going forward? Is it emerging competitors, for example?
It's a great question. So I don't believe there are major blocks, right? But generally, you want to be on top of technology. So you always live in fear that our friends in China will invent something that's entirely immune to anything that we do, detection and defeat wise. But the reality is that physics are physics and as smart as engineers in China are, they still have to follow the laws of physics. So that nature limits to what parts of the bands you use and how you hide behind noise and so on. So we think we're pretty well positioned.
And again, we've been in this space for 11 years. We understand the industry, and we continue to be on the bleeding edge of it. But you need to keep at it, right? Like you can't rest on your laurels. That's why you have 350 engineers out of the 460 people because you just have to keep innovating on a weekly, monthly, quarterly basis. I'm super excited about the next gen of hardware that we're releasing, the next gen of software, our RFAI version 3 that will go on top of the new gen of hardware when we release it at the end of the year. So this is all part of -- all part of that.
And also, there is just general growth, right? So the organizational theory is that as you get past 30, 50, 100, 300, 500 employees, you almost have to break and remake organization. So how you follow your processes, how you communicate, all of that needs to be entirely changed so the organization doesn't sort of collapse onto itself. So that's what a lot of our focus is on at the moment.
Do we need to work with CASA to certify our solutions to use in the Australian airports?
So there is no such thing really I wish there was as a certification to be deployed at Australian airports. So first of all, it's not CASA. CASA used to be in charge of counter-drone security, and then it was transitioned to Airservices Australia several years ago. And Airservices ran a limited trial, we were involved in it. And since then, nothing really happened, unfortunately. And I mean, I get it. I don't want to blame Australian government. To be honest, U.S. government and all the other Western governments are doing exactly the same, meaning not doing much.
But I think as drones continue to pose a threat to airports, this will just continue to become more and more a pressing issue. And I think once a few airports start deploying it, you'll be seeing more and more continue to do it because today, it's kind of easy to say, well, nobody else is deploying, no other airports are deploying counter-drones. So I just won't do anything. But I think that excuse will start going away. And so we're really excited about that eventually starting to snowball, but we're continuing to push. So in Australia, this ultimately sits with the transport minister. So we're continuing to push at the government level to have counter-drone deployed at airports.
Next one. Are we seeing increasing pricing pressure with Anduril and other primes pushing into the space?
So I think if anything, anything to do with primes will probably mean we're increasing our margins, not reducing given the cost structure of the primes and Anduril would be in the same bucket. I wouldn't call them the cheapest by any measure. So no, as I was saying, Anduril is really only overlapping with us on Lattice, the C2. And I don't want to say it's a competitor to DroneSentry-C2 Enterprise. It's just a different product. So there will be customers like the U.S. military where Lattice will be competing with Northrop Grumman and their environment and other dedicated C2s.
And for example, the countries where we are deployed, they for various reasons, wouldn't be using Anduril C2. So I'd say -- and also, by the way, in the civilian space, Anduril doesn't really go into that space either. So I think -- or public safety, for that matter. So I think it's not really competitors, but if anything, our customers. Anduril is our customer, too, by the way, as they are the SIP, administrator essentially on the U.S. SOCOM program.
We -- next question is we just released the $21 million contract. Can we elaborate?
So we've been working with this Western customer for a number of years. If you read the announcement, the details are all there, had a number of contracts with them, and now they're just ramping up in terms of the deployment. And we're really excited in that particular country, we are the only counter-drone system of any significance. And it's actually a very large Western country in terms of defense budget. So now it's just a matter of continuing to sell more. We talked about low market situation to really kind of assist the customer into high situation with our equipment.
Okay. Last question I'm seeing here. If there are any more, please ask or otherwise, you can e-mail your questions to us later. Are there any plans to integrate counter-drone tools directly into drones or other mobile platforms? What are the challenges of this?
So not drones, but if you look at programs like AIR6500, which is Australia's mission -- sorry, missile protection system operated by Lockheed Martin. So those likes of programs where you have complete airspace awareness, so you are protecting against missile threats, but also you want to be able to protect your lower airspace against drone threats. So for example, attacks locally from drones taking out your jet fighters at Amberley or Williamtown airbases. So it's the likes of those, so call it like the larger air defense programs that we'll be looking to integrate with over time. And our DroneSentry-C2 has pretty standard APIs. So that makes the integration pretty streamlined. But ultimately, the government and customers will be driving a lot of this.
The next one I'll leave to Carla. Can we talk to income tax benefit in the second half versus tax expense in the first half, what to expect going forward?
Thanks, Oleg. So with regards to our taxes, you would have seen in the annual report that we have a complicated tax structure. We are tax residents in the U.S. as well as in Australia. What that means is that obviously, our tax profit and accounting profit are very different and there's items that were deductible in the second half of the year versus the first half, resulting in a tax benefit versus the tax expense for the first half of the year. Currently, we have about AUD 11 million in carryforward losses to be used against future tax profits.
Thanks, Carla.
How does selling through resales impact margins?
So our margins are already after the use of resellers. So essentially, the way you should think about the customer cash flow is our revenue is what we get from the reseller and the reseller would have their own margin on top. Now what we do is in the U.S. and Australia, we would influence the customer directly. But in the U.S., when you sell, you often sell through vehicles like DLA, TLS, it's just how you do defense procurement there. So there is a degree of clipping the ticket. And when you say, sell in many European countries or Asia Pacific, you have to go through distributors because these are people that have local relationships, obviously, understand the customers, the language and it saves us from trying to hire people in 70 countries around the world.
So even despite the resellers, we're able to achieve very attractive 65% gross margins, but then we don't have to employ people in every country. And to be honest, some of the best guys who are resellers in terms of their relationships with the end customers, you can't employ them. They'll have their own little shops where they would sell maybe a dozen different product lines, we would often be their only counter-drone brand, but then they will be, for example, selling radars, electronic warfare, maybe drones themselves to the customers, and we tap into those unique relationships.
A lot of the recent contracts are with existing customers, how we're going with converting prospects into customers, what's been experienced like bringing in new customers into DroneShield?
So this is the whole art of selling to governments, right? So we lean on our distributors, but also we try to own as much of the customer relationship as possible. So you're not entirely dependent on the distributor. There is this complex web of the government budgets, which are often competing with different priorities and counter-drone is a priority. But for example, sometimes the customer may choose to buy drones rather than counter-drone equipment as that happens to get the priority. I mean, usually, customer gets a bit of both. Then you often have -- is it us or is it going to be another competitor, you normally try and ensure that the tenders are written with advantage to DroneShield in mind.
Often if you see tender for the first time when it comes out, that means that it's been shaped by a competitor. So you want to be involved in the earlier stage. But generally speaking, you really want to ensure you're servicing the customer, right? You're providing that quarterly software updates is an important touch points. If there is an issue, you attend to that. And that's also expanding our fee wallet as well, as I was saying, in terms of having those support fees that we plan going forward.
In terms of the new customers, so we continue to gradually expand to new customers. And so every once in a while, we -- like, for example, there was a new customer in South Africa about a year ago that we got and there are smaller customers in Asia Pacific that we would get in the last couple of months. But the goal really is to say there are -- in terms of what moves the dial, right? So there are probably 20 government customers around the world like U.S. Army that move the needle. And so the best bet for us is to focus on programmatic levels, so large-scale deployments while opportunistically going at the tactical level, so unit level to get those purchases. So it's less about kind of scrubbing and ensuring you get all the little fish. I mean you do that kind of in your spare time as best as you can of going around the elephant opportunities. And also once you have product deployed with customer, often they'll come back to you anyways for the top-up. So it's a pretty sticky position.
I think that's all the questions we had, and we are over an hour. So we'll stop here. Thank you for your time. And if there are any questions, please e-mail them to us at [email protected]. Thanks for your time.
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DroneShield — 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: ~USD 260 Mio (rekord, ~4× YoY ≈ +300%).
- Profit: Statutory NPAT (Net Profit After Tax) USD 3,5 Mio; underlying Gewinn vor Steuern (PBT) ~USD 33 Mio; underlying EBITDA ~USD 36 Mio.
- Cashflow: Net cash from operations USD 15,9 Mio.
- Pipeline: USD 2,3 Mrd (↑ von USD 2,1 Mrd; ~295 Deals; 18 Deals >USD 30 Mio; größter Deal ~USD 750 Mio).
- Bilanz: Cashbestand >USD 200 Mio; Inventar USD 79 Mio; Inventarabschreibung USD 10,3 Mio; normalisierte Bruttomarge Ziel ~65% (statutory FY'25 61%).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- SaaS-Fokus: Ausbau der Software‑Erträge (Software‑as‑a‑Service, SaaS) von ~5% aktuell auf >30% der Umsätze innerhalb 5 Jahren durch drei SaaS‑Ströme (Gerät, Site, C2/Enterprise) und zusätzliche Service‑Wallets.
- Skalierung Produktion: Ausbau der Produktionskapazität von USD 500 Mio/Jahr auf USD 2,4 Mrd; neues 3.000 m² Werk in Sydney, EU‑ und US‑Fertigungs‑Hubs in Planung; ERP‑Rollout zur Unterstützung.
- Technologie & Vertrieb: integrierte HW+SW‑IP als Differenzierer, ~460 Mitarbeitende (≈350 Ingenieure), R&D >USD 70 Mio/Jahr, Exportgeschäft (~95%) über Distributoren in ~70 Staaten.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Wachstumsziele: Ziel >USD 1 Mrd Jahresumsatz in 5 Jahren; SaaS >30% der Erlöse; normalisierte Bruttomarge ~65%.
- Timing & Umsatztreiber: kommendes Hardware‑Upgrade H2 2026 → 2027; RFAI‑Defeat als kostenpflichtiges Produkt ab Mitte 2026; erste relevante zivile Verkäufe (Airports, Rechenzentren) binnen 12–18 Monaten; FY‑26: >USD 100 Mio verpflichtete Umsätze, davon ~USD 20 Mio bereits erkannt.
- Risiken: lange Lieferfristen (einige Bauteile ~25 Wochen), Abhängigkeit von Exportgenehmigungen, Unsicherheit bei Konvertierung großer Pipeline‑Deals in verbindliche Bestellungen und organisatorische Skalierungsrisiken.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- $750M‑Deal: CEO: bestehende Beziehung zum Kunden; Lieferung in Chargen möglich — bei Eile unter ~9 Monaten, sonst gestaffelt bis ~2 Jahre; Eintrittswahrscheinlichkeit als realistisch eingeschätzt, aber noch nicht finalisiert.
- Margen & Inventar: CFO bestätigt normalisierte Bruttomarge ~65%; Inventarabschreibung (USD 10,3 Mio) primär Einmaleffekt durch Produkt‑Kannibalisierung; Rohbestand größtenteils langlaufende Komponenten.
- SaaS & Backlog: Management erläutert drei SaaS‑Stränge und Multi‑SaaS‑Pro‑Device‑Ansatz; FY‑26 Commitment ~USD 100 Mio, gezeigter Backlog ~USD 80 Mio; Bekanntmachungsschwelle für Verträge ~10% des Vorjahresumsatzes (≈USD 20 Mio in 2026).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starke Umsatz‑ und Profitwende 2025 mit hoher Cash‑Position und großer Pipeline schafft Glaubwürdigkeit für das ambitionierte Wachstum und SaaS‑Ziel. Investoren sollten jedoch Conversion der Pipeline, Margenstabilität nach Inventarabschreibungen, Lieferketten‑Risiken und Export‑/Governance‑Themen genau beobachten.
DroneShield — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the DroneShield December Quarterly Investor Presentation. I'm Oleg Vornik, the Chief Executive Officer of DroneShield, and with me is Carla Balanco, our Chief Financial Officer; and Angus Bean, our Chief Product Officer.
I will aim to speak for about 20 to 30 minutes, and then we'll turn to Q&A, which will be the majority of this session. I encourage everybody on this call to submit your questions as you go as opposed to wait until the end of my presentation, so we can commence the responses to Q&A as soon as we're done.
I'm going to skip the basics of DroneShield as I assume most who have dialed into this call
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in revenues as well as about $202 million in cash receipts. This is a truly outstanding result and approximately just under 4x the increase from the top line of last year. But importantly also, we have started really strongly on the 2026. And a reminder that we are going in calendar year-end. So roughly this time last year, we would have begun the year with maybe $5 million or $10 million in locked in cash receipts and revenues while today, we're essentially $100 million that we have carried over from the end of last year, and that will be reflected in the next 1 or 2 quarters, plus any additional business that we're currently working on.
The SaaS revenue similarly has continued to climb. So we have gone from just under $3 million in '24 to just under $12 million in '25, and we have already locked in over $18 million for 2026. And again, this we anticipate to continue to climb as we secure more sales with SaaS attached to it, but more on that as we speak about our SaaS strategy.
In terms of the profit before or after tax, we're going to be releasing this in about a month from now as part of our annual results, and that is what our finance team are busily working on.
The next slide gives roughly a quarter-on-quarter and a year-on-year comparison. So across all top line metrics, the revenues, the customer cash receipts, the SaaS revenue and the operating cash flows, we are seeing significant increases.
The revenue from customers and the secured revenues is not the only metric. The pipeline remains strong at about $2.1 billion, and that is a small reduction from the $2.4 billion roughly that we had about 3 months ago. And a lot of it is driven by a -- us essentially being slightly more conservative when it comes to the civilian revenues in the U.S. We're seeing still a lot of momentum in those non-military opportunities in the U.S., and I'll talk more about it. But essentially as part of us being more strict in how we apply those metrics and also remembering that U.S. civilian sector is a very nascent industry and much like what military used to be several years ago when you had the early stages, you are not always seeing that progression.
And if you go -- just give me one second. I have received and know that I need to reshare the slide deck, so I will do so now. [Technical Difficulty] Okay. Now you should be able to start seeing the screen again. Apologies for the IT issue.
So $2.1 billion pipeline, which is an exceptionally strong pipeline that I will talk more to in the next couple of slides. But ballpark, we're talking 300 deals diversified across products, geographies, stages of maturity and so on.
Underpinning all this is about 350 world-class hardware and software engineers here in Sydney that has taken a decade for us to build. There is no team of this sophistication and quantum in the market that we're aware of. And this is what's leading to the highly differentiated nature of our products, both the current products, which I believe, are the best out there, but also the next generation of products that we'll be commencing release of in the second half of the year, which we think will completely transform how our customers think about counter-drone solutions.
The $70 million plus R&D spend and we expect that to continue, slightly increase, but not a lot. So we expect to go from about 500 to 600 people, assuming our recruitment program goes on track by end of '26. Most of those would be engineers as well as ops and salespeople. And this will continue building on our highly -- basically high gross margin products, so 65% gross margin as well as a healthy cash balance.
So let's talk about the individual geographies. U.S. has, for a long time, been the engine of growth of the business, so 70% revenues. Last year, Europe has taken that title and Europe will continue driving a lot of our momentum as we're seeing a number of countries really ramp up their defense, realizing they cannot just rely on the U.S., they need to be self-reliant, and increasing their defense expenditures significantly. And within that, we're really well positioned, including setting up manufacturing in Europe. We have a number of well-credentialed distributors that we trained and are deeply ingrained with our military but also critical infrastructure and customers through Europe and set up our office in Amsterdam led by Louis Gamarra, our Global Chief Commercial Officer, who is then managing those distributors around Europe.
In the U.S., after a relatively quiet '25, we expect to have a very strong '26 once the current U.S. congressional '26 budgetary discussions are concluding. And hopefully, that will be all in the next month or so. And that is across several verticals. The defense budget, which is already at the record of USD 1 trillion in '26 is proposed to be USD 1.5 trillion in '27 and we believe we're well positioned as JIATF 401, which is the centralized procurement office for counter drone in the U.S. will start kicking in.
Outside of the defense, the Department of Homeland Security has set up a dedicated team, the Program Executive Office with USD 1.5 billion contract vehicle. And that's also linked into the FIFA World Cup in June, July where you need significant security, including counter drone.
And Safer Skies Act in a nutshell enables police and majority of police in the U.S., state and local, not federal, enables states and local police to be able to jam on our product, if you think DroneGuns, RfPatrols, DroneSentry-X, on-car sensors and effectors are perfectly suited for police deployment.
And also, we have been included in the Golden Dome, the $151 billion SHIELD IDIQ. Now those are primarily missile protection sites, but all of them will need counter drone protection. So that's where we intend to play.
In the U.K., those of you following me on social media would have seen that I shared a picture in Hereford about a day ago where there was a U.K. Minister of Defense visiting the SAS HQ facility, and that was our RfPatrol basically being demonstrated as part of the visit, and that is not a stage marketing opportunity. This was a genuine visit unrelated to DroneShield and this shows how deeply embedded DroneShield is within the various arms of the Ministry of Defense. And we believe that the actual opportunity is much more than just $17 million or 5 projects. This is what we are actively tracking. But I think the U.K. will be spending significantly on counter drone, and I believe we are, by far, the best positioned business there.
In Australia, we've recently been included into a Line of Effort 3 panel for LAND 156, which is saying to be the managing contractor on specific sites. And we expect that work to commence as in the participants on those panel will start getting those roles sometime this year as well as us being part of Line of Effort 2, which is purchases of portables like DroneGun and RfPatrol and where we received initial small couple of orders totaling $6 million last year, and we expect to get more off the back of that.
In Asia, a lot of our efforts are driven off Japan and the rest of Chinese neighbors, and we expect that to continue ramping up significantly.
Outside of all these geographies, South America is probably the key driver where we're very active in both Colombia and Mexico, and Colombia has announced USD 1.7 billion counter drone budget. And the key focus for South America tend to be fixed site systems, our drone DroneSentrys, which provide protection for the whole facility.
I'll likely skip through the Safer Skies Act except to say that this is significantly increasing our U.S. law enforcement demand.
On the products, again, I will skim and maybe refer back to it during the Q&A session, but a reminder that we do a complete range of dismounted and on-the-move and fixed-site products. So we are a radio frequency AI-enabled drone detector and defeat maker, but we are also an integrator. So integrator of third-party detectors and third-party effectors. And this is quite important, especially when it comes to fixed sites.
I want to spend a little bit of time talking about the software strategy. So today, software is a small, about 5% part of the total revenue. We plan to have it as close to 30% over the next several years as possible. And this will be achieved by every new product that will be released going forward, having one or multiple SaaS streams on top of that product.
DroneSentry-X is a good example. So today, when you buy DroneSentry-X, you have RFAI, which is our AI-enabled engine that runs as a SaaS product on that. But then you're also probably going to have it deployed as part of your site. And within that, our C2 is also the other SaaS product that will be applicable to you.
If now you happen to run multiple sites, our enterprise SaaS, so DroneSentry-C2 Enterprise kicks in, which gives you a region or a country-wide awareness and that is an additional product again.
Now if you're having a multisensor solution, chances are, you have cameras, so our DroneOptID SaaS, you probably have radars where there's SaaS attached to it as well. And we'll continue releasing new SaaS families, optimizing for more and more of the SaaS offerings on top of the hardware that we sell.
I think selling as hardware and software positions us really well competitively. I would not want to be a pure software business in the world of ChatGPTs, et cetera, today, where you're worried that the big AI is going to eat your lunch. And I think hardware, which is highly customized, high IP sort of product, we have a lot of effort that we've been putting in, in terms of designing that circuitry, designing those antennas, how it all sits together.
And having AI that works on that hardware, not in the cloud, it's not large server farms, but on the device, AI on the device, is making us a truly unique proposition that is very difficult for somebody to replicate. And I don't believe we have any competitors that are doing anything quite like we are in terms of our deployment of AI to sense and take down drones. And so this is our strategy to then grow our SaaS to 30%.
But then importantly, selling to militaries and government agencies is recurring by nature. So in the world of counter drone where you really need new hardware every 3 or 4 years, whatever the customers are buying today in terms of hardware, they'll be fully replacing in about 3 or 4 years. In fact, some of our customers are already seeing the trend and they're asking us, and I think this is potentially where the industry is moving, towards Counter-Drone-as-a-Service.
So instead of paying us x dollars for hardware and then continuing to pay SaaS, it's basically becoming one giant SaaS and the hardware refreshes are baked into that. Now this is not going to be done by everybody. And this will enable us to continue receiving those bigger one-offs in the short term from the hardware purchases as well. But I think in the long term, so over the next 5 to 10 years, I think a lot of the industry will move towards Counter-Drone-as-a-Service, which will further smooth out our cash flows.
Number of differentiators, so technical and commercial, I've talked to many of you about this before. On the technical front, the AI. So our enormous database of drone signals, the largest proprietary database of its kind in the world, we believe, which is collecting drone signal data from 70-odd countries in which we operate. And this is one of our also key advantages compared to, say, North American or European competitors, a lot of whom focus on their regions because the markets are big enough.
Coming out of Australia, we always had to be a global export business because the market here doesn't support a business of our size, and that enabled us the global reach as well as building those enormous databases. And then we have data engineers in Australia, cleaning, tagging the data and enabling them the dedicated hardware with an AI engine to perform against drones.
Now we're super excited and we can talk more about it in the Q&A if people are interested on this call about the next generation of AI engine that we are planning to release later this year, which we really think will be the game changer in the performance of the drone detection as well as the defeat. So as a result, our gear can detect, further defeat, further be lighter, smaller and be in various form factors. So on-the-move, fixed-site or both.
On the commercial front, we are one of the most global counter drone businesses. Now we don't supply to the likes of Russia, China and North Korea, Iran and so on, but within the Western and Western allied countries, I don't believe there is a counter drone company with a wider deployment than DroneShield is.
And over the last 10-plus years, and we've truly been a pioneer in this business, and there are a lot of people in this company with very significant longevity. We've seen the whole cycle, both from the commercial and technology experience. We have this think tank capability of understanding where the threat is moving, what the drones are likely to do, how to direct our road map, what makes sense, and this is also our competitive advantage.
In the world where you have to have understanding, not just with military technology, drone technology, but also the acquisition cycles and how various customers like.
On the competitive positioning, we have 1 or 2 competitors usually across most of our product lines, but we are aiming and I believe we are today the leader in every product segment in which we operate. Traditional defense primes, we see more as our customers rather than competitors just due to the requirement to rapidly evolve like 3 to 4 years hardware cycles, quarterly software updates and also be cost competitive. Live defense primes are not positioned for that kind of performance. Theirs are more like, if you want to build a tank or a missile with very different sort of competitive moat.
And I believe that we remain the only publicly listed pure counter drone company in the world. There are other publicly listed companies that do lots of things as well as counter drone being a relatively small part of what they do. But we are the only pure-play counter drone listed company in the world.
And on the manufacturing capacity expansion and maybe in the interest of time, I'll stop on this slide, we are on track to expand to $2.4 billion by end of the year. We are -- we're just in the process of completing the move now to our 8x. Beside the facility expansion in Sydney, we are setting up manufacturing in Europe and in the U.S.
So the idea is for smallish orders up to maybe $5 million, we can usually deliver really rapidly. So for example, the order that we announced on the 30th of December last year, about a month ago, we delivered the following day, and this was in Europe. And for larger orders like the $62 million order we received in the middle of last year, we delivered that within 2 months. And the idea is that if we receive an order in hundreds of millions of dollars, we can still deliver that within, say, 2 quarters. So that's the goal of manufacturing capacity and how we look at the inventory.
I'll stop there and see if there are any questions in the function. Just give me one moment.
So the first question is why did the pipeline move from $2.5 billion to $2.1 billion?
So this was what I was alluding to earlier about in the U.S. when it comes to the civilian sector, we had more bullish assumptions that we have today in terms of follow-on projects. So some of those non-military, non-law enforcement, more nascent industry type situations, where I still think there's going to be an enormous business to be done in data centers and airports and energy infrastructure. But a bit like what we've been seeing with the military sector, say, 5 years ago, those customers are still struggling, given it's their very first time buying counter drone equipment. They need to figure out how much they want to spend, how they want to lay it out. So we have significantly trimmed and made more conservative our near-term forecast for the U.S. non-law enforcement, non-military sector in terms of what we presented in the pipeline.
So in the very near term, I still expect defense to be the majority driver of business in this company, except in the U.S. where I think law enforcement will be a very significant contributor. And I think over the next 3 years or so, the civilian sector would really start picking up to the point where if you think about the total addressable market, the USD 30 billion for the military and USD 30 billion for the civilian sector, I'd see in the long term, this business being 50-50 military and non-military.
Any guidance or TAM for SentryCiv?
So SentryCiv is our commercially focused more affordable product that we released several months ago. We already started having early sales to customers. And this is focused on civilian customers who are budget conscious and they want to be spending hundreds of thousands of dollars or in the low millions for their deployment, but rather they want to be spending tens of thousands of dollars a year. And it's a little bit too early to tell. And I think a lot of that adoption will drive as the civilian market starts to take on. So we're talking potentially farms concerned about activists, and we've already been seeing purchases on that front, some energy infrastructure, stadiums and so on.
The next question is when or how would we consider a U.S. listing to increase exposure to U.S. investors?
I think there will be a time when that makes sense. However, my view is that you need to be significantly larger. So today, we're about AUD 4 billion market cap or US, call it, USD 2.5 billion. But while that is significant. So we are probably halfway on the ASX200. That is truly a micro cap by the U.S. standards, and I believe that it's going to be a disservice for our shareholders if we list on the U.S. market now. But say if we are 2x or 3x the size, which given the growth we achieved, we more than tripled just last year alone in terms of the share price and the size, that could start making sense. So I think this is a regular thought that we're having. But right now, my personal opinion, a bit too early in terms of diluting from our primary listing in Australia.
The next question is, when are we expecting to start manufacturing products in European Union and in the U.S.?
This half year. So in Europe, this quarter, and in the U.S., the following quarter.
Are we finding any challenges to slow this down?
No, I mean, there's obviously the usual process, nothing simple in terms of the supply chains and whatnot, but we're not seeing an issue.
The next question is how do we counter fiber optic drones?
So there's actually a slide in the appendix of the investor presentation that I will draw those of you who are interested in this question, but I'll give you a short summary. So radio frequency and drones are very closely linked. I see this a bit like wheels and cars because there's been so much invested in road infrastructure, whatever cars will look like in 50 years, they'll probably have wheels on, whatever they'll look like. So similarly, radio frequency is so core to the drone technology that the reason why fiber optic and attempts at AI exist is to try to circumvent what we do, but we are still dealing with the vast ramp of what drones are. And fiber optics have very severe limitations like you think practically, right, flying a drone with 10 kilometers of a fishing line attached to it and snagging at other things or snagging the line itself, very, very difficult. You can't fly quickly. And a lot of the images by the way, coming from Ukraine, I wouldn't necessarily trust what you see.
Information warfare is prevalent. They say in war the first casualty is off on the truth. So -- but if you are really looking to make sure you can counter them, remember we're an integrator as well. So we build in radars and cameras that can track fiber optics, and we can integrate, and we already have, in fact, integrated things that can effectively count current electronic systems inside of our DroneSentry that can deal with that as well. But frankly, our customers are not seeing a lot of concern based on everything I'm observing on fiber optics, and it's more of a media thing.
The next question I may pass to Angus about RFAI and our next generation and what it means. I'm personally really excited by that. So Angus, over to you.
Thanks, Oleg. Good morning, everyone. Thank you again for attending this morning and your continued support and interest in DroneShield. Yes, very keen to talk about our next-generation AI technologies.
As many of you know, we have been a pioneer in the counter drone space. We're also a pioneer in utilizing what we call micro AIs. So these AIs are run on the edge. As Oleg mentioned, these are not cloud-based, big server farm, big GPU-based systems. These are very low power, very high throughput AI systems that run essentially on the edge. And that strategy that we developed over 8 years ago has proved to be incredibly accurate as our detection performance often, as you can see in the results of '25, has been really good, and there's been a large adoption of these systems. And the other thing that it allows us to do is attach a software and service license arrangement to the products as well to get those recurring revenues.
The AI, the next generation is coming through, and we're really excited about the developments. So we -- our current models, RFAI-ATK and RFAI V2 are doing really well in the market. We are working on both RFAI-3 and RFAI-ATK-2 that will be reduced -- sorry, will be released onto the existing products but also, as Oleg alluded to, our next-generation platforms later this year. And there will be a slow rollout through the different products that are appropriate over time.
One last point I'd make on here is the key thing you need to understand about building an AI business is the algorithms that you develop are important and they're difficult. But once you get through that, it really becomes a race for information or a race for data. DroneShield has more data available on drones than almost any company in the world and we're utilizing that as the core foundation to both sustain our current generation AI models. But more importantly, that's also the bedrock of our next-generation AI models, which will be much more open and much more applicable to the new varieties of drone technology that we're seeing in the future. So a bit of color on that one on to you. Oleg?
Thanks, Angus. The next question is, do our products -- I'm paraphrasing the question slightly. Do our products have any familiarity to systems developed by Palantir?
So Palantir develops more broader software only based battle space awareness systems. This is quite a bit different to us. We are focusing specifically on counter drone, we're doing a fusion of hardware and software. And in fact, I believe that going forward that fusion, that working together of software, the C2 and the hardware will become increasingly more important. So no, I don't quite see us competing with Palantir, which I think is a great company.
The next question is, do we think that any of our customers are delaying purchasing our current generation of products for the next generation?
Look, I doubt it. So the next generation of products will come in batches through to and probably from the end of the year onwards. I mean it's probably a bit of an analogy. Would you not buy an iPhone and wait for another year for another iPhone. Look, you probably would wait except if your life depended on it, you'll probably buy the current iPhone as it stands and then you'll buy the next one when that is released. So I don't believe there's any way. There's expectation, in fact, that military see working with DroneShield as a long-term partnership, which is also how the 65% gross margins are justified, in that we're doing significant ongoing investment in R&D, which means we will be releasing new hardware every several years, software every quarter. And they will be having to upgrade and also that's where counter-UAS, the service idea comes in.
Next question is, can we talk to the new product road map and any changes in the mix of potential uplift?
So there's not everything that I can speak about. But the general comment I would make is that the average sales price would be higher. So we're pricing our product to the gross margin, which we -- on the hardware front in -- are planning to keep at 65%. But the extra product cost is likely to be close to triple just due to the more advanced chips, circuitry and so on. But essentially, it would mean that the revenue should continue to rise, I believe, as low market situation and customers are looking to still have counter drone products where they often have very little by way of the civilian sector hasn't been started, for example. And so larger dollar numbers, but similar margins. And hopefully, as SaaS continues to increase as a percentage, that will, in time, increase the gross margins across the business.
The next question -- sorry, it's a bit of a long one. I'm trying to read it as I go. So maybe I'll turn this one to Angus as well. So the person is asking about the -- us previously talking about the ongoing cat and mouse dynamic in the technology. Can we give an update on how the landscape is evolving? So what are the drone makers doing to make our life difficult essentially? And how are we responding? And then a follow-up, what are the fundamental shifts in the underlying technology that we're seeing and how we're positioned with those changes?
So Angus, over to you.
Thanks, Oleg. Great question. So yes, we are definitely in counter drone 2.0, and we talk about that a lot on DroneShield where we really are in the second era of counter drone warfare, whereby the big shift here is that the drone manufacturers are actively building systems and technologies to mitigate previously deployed counter drone solutions. And so we are seeing a really large uptick in that. And we've spoken about this before. This is the reason why we invest so much of our time and energy and financial resources into R&D. We have, as Oleg mentioned, the largest R&D team specifically to meet the needs of this emerging market.
So to give you some examples of what we're seeing and drone manufacturers use, we are seeing really wideband RF communications. We're seeing mesh networking in drones. We're seeing obviously the fiber optic, which we still feel is a very niche use case, technology becoming into play, and we are responding accordingly. But we're responding with solutions that our customers can actually purchase and field. There's a lot of solutions out there, particularly once you get into kinetic and high energy and laser systems that either financially or operationally are not really something that a lot of our customers can deploy easily to the level that we basically expect from DroneShield. So we're responding with solutions that are going to work for our customers, most importantly.
The thing -- and going back to the point forward, we've been looking at this for 10 years now. But the thing that we really understand is the core principles of the drone technology. We've watched this technology evolve over time. We have some pretty good understanding of where the evolution is going and it really is going back to first principles. There are physical limitations on what you can do with the radio system, there are physical limitations on the airframes and once you understand those first principles, then you can build technology to meet those changing needs.
And as Oleg mentioned, what are we doing about it? We are looking at integrations of a number of different technologies that we don't plan to build ourselves. I think a good example of that is the interceptor drone category, but we are currently doing test evaluation, and we are in very close communication with a number of interceptor drone companies around the world that market itself very competitive, no clear owner and winner. So we plan to take a strategic view and just partner with best-in-breed. We are doing that work now to work out who those partners are and pushing those integrations.
Oleg, did you want to talk to anything on the M&A front on that side?
On the M&A front, our goal is to ensure that we continue being best of breed in anything that we buy. So you'd notice we have $200 million in the bank. Obviously, we have ability to use our stock as well, but we do not want to buy one of many. And I think there have been cases in the counter-drone industry where people went out and purchased companies that were not best of breed basically just for the sake of making transaction. We are very disciplined, which is why in our 10-plus year history, we haven't done an opportunity yet, but that's not to say that we're not actively looking.
And in fact, we have hired [ Josh Bollo ] to start with us this week and one of his explicit focus areas is assisting us to identify M&A targets for us. And so we -- this is something that we're actively thinking about, but it has to be a success for the company. I often find that, and as you guys may well know, I come from M&A background myself. In a transaction situation, the target benefits much more than an acquirer. And obviously, here as being an acquirer, I want to make sure that it is value add to the shareholders. So we're being very careful. But I believe the opportunity is there in terms of acquiring best-of-breed capability, otherwise, we'll just keep developing things organically.
The next question is around the Golden Dome. So the SHIELD IDIQ, the USD 151 billion program that we are now a part of. And the question is, has the U.S. given any context to the time lines and when we're going to see pipeline from SHIELD IQ (sic) [ SHIELD IDIQ ].
So there is no pipeline from SHIELD IDIQ in our sales pipeline right now because it's a little bit too early. On the timing, it's really difficult to tell. There have been, as you probably know, a large number of companies included in that IDIQ, but it's also a very large program. So I'm hoping to get some news over the next 6 to 12 months on this. And I'm glad we're included. And like I said, all of these missile protection sites will need to have a counter drone program attached to it. And so I believe we're well positioned.
So the next question is -- I'm trying to summarize it, is that basically, I think, the asker is wanting to get some more background around me selling the stock of the performance options in the business back in November last year.
So look, the background is as follows: myself as well as a number of senior executives in the business get rewarded when we hit revenue thresholds. Those are exceptionally ambitious thresholds. When we had no revenue to speak of, it was $10 million. When we hit $10 million, the next threshold was $50 million. When we had $50 million, the next threshold was $200 million, which is the one that was achieved in November last year.
And now the next threshold we communicated, which is more of an industry best standard, is a number of those thresholds rather than what you call cliff vesting, which is what we've been operating in a more elegant way up to now, where you have $300 million, $400 million and $500 million in revenue as your threshold and for each one of these numbers being reached, you have some vesting of the options immediately and some the other half 12 months later. So it's a very, very staggered fashion.
So once those performance options have vested and I've chosen to exercise them, that essentially crystallized immediately half of that as a tax bill, regardless whether I would have sold them or not and regardless where the share price would have gone. So essentially for me to immediately crystallize $25 million in tax liability regardless where the DroneShield share price is, which is a huge burden. So clearly, anybody looking at this now would have said, okay, well, Oleg is looking to sell at least $25 million worth of stock to pay the bill to the ATO.
And then the rest, look, I grew up in a fairly poor condition as some of you who followed me would know in social housing and so on. So this was an opportunity for me to secure my financial future. I had a mortgage, a fairly significant renovation bill, unfortunately, that went out of control, but more generally secured the financial future.
Look, unlike what some of the articles reported, I did not sell everything. I still have a multimillion dollar equity position through the stock options and obviously continue to care about the business. And I would also say that while the price has reduced a bit before, like from about $6 plus to about $4, it was completely unrelated to selling. It was before the selling. And this was in line with the general listed market slide down after a hard run up a couple of months before.
And in terms of impact from misselling, well, the price now is higher than what it was before I started selling. So those that would have held on. I'll be seeing the money. And I would say that we are #1 performing stock in terms of 3x plus growth out of the ASX200 in 2025. And I hope as we continue to keep goals, the share price will continue to perform.
And maybe the last thing I would say is that while obviously I was in the news as a director and my filings are public, there are a number of employees in the company that also benefited from this, and I'm really glad for them because life at DroneShield is not simple. In order to achieve those revenue targets, the amount of effort and the sacrifice on people's family life and so on is very, very significant. We're not just posting these results because we're lucky. So I'm glad that all of these employees, they've been around for many years and have prioritized the company over anything else in their lives, have been rewarded and continue to be rewarded as part of the stock structure and this is aligning with obviously investor interest. And then ultimately, as we'll continue to keep goals in terms of our financial performance, the stock price follows that as we've seen through '25.
I think the next question I might pass to Angus in terms of the other current supply shortages across semiconductor industry expected to impact 2026 revenue. And maybe more generally, Angus, if we talk about our supply chain and how we deal with that.
Sure. So one thing we're really proud of at DroneShield is we've never missed a delivery. So in all of our history, when we have been working with our customers, many of those had been urgent requests for equipment, we've been able to supply generally into the time line in which the customer needed that equipment. That's something we're really proud of, and that's the sort of thing that gives many of our end users and our customers the confidence to go with DroneShield and -- so that they can place significantly larger orders with DroneShield and know that we'll meet their demands. I mean the great example we had last year was the very large European order, over AUD 60 million, which we essentially was able to turn around in just over 2 months which is an incredible feat of our operations team, working very closely with our various supply chain partners.
In terms of the supply chain, we are investing a lot of capital into ensuring that we can meet those long lead time items, we can build confidence in our supply chain partners, and we can secure the stock that we need. And obviously, the much larger facilities that we already have in Sydney at the moment are supporting that as well, having additional warehousing and just logistics support to do much larger orders and turn them around very rapidly. So we're not experiencing any delays that are material to us in delivering on orders at this time. And so we're in a relatively good position there.
Thanks, Angus. The next question is around whether DroneShield is being affected by the Trump tariffs. So we have revised our pricing and fully passed on the tariffs when they were introduced last year. So no, we are not affected.
The next question is slightly long, so I'm trying to summarize it. It's around how do we continue to innovate in response to new drone technologies such as fiber optics.
So to kind of reiterate what me and Angus said before, DroneShield at the heart is an engineering organization. We have 350 engineers, but not just slabbed together over the last month, but a lot of these people have been in the organization, especially in the senior roles in the last 5, 7 years, right? I've been in this company now for more than 10 years. Angus has been here for a very similar amount of time. Even outside of the engineering functions, Carla, our CFO, has been here for about 8 years. So there's a lot of longevity in the business and understanding of the trends and where things might go, right? And the drone makers are a clever bunch, but physics is physics and there are natural limitations of what those guys can do. And I guess, further up the curve you go, the more difficult it gets and where they are waiting for them as they're making their technologies more sophisticated.
So to me, innovation in drones is a very positive thing. If the drone makers stopped innovating, the counter drone industry would commoditize and our gross margins would collapse. So that rapid engineering mindset and deep experience in anything to do with counter drone is our key competitive advantage, and we actually want the drone makers to keep innovating. Our customers do not want us to be -- what -- they're not expecting us to be 100%, nobody is, but they want us to be materially better than competition, which I believe we are, and to continue to innovate.
The next question is whether we can give an update on the Homeland Security World Cup. So this is the June, July event and how we're positioned.
So there was a grant from FEMA, a U.S. government agency for about $0.5 billion. And there are a number of U.S. law enforcement agencies that have been applying for these grants at various degrees of that process. There's only so much I can share. And obviously, under the Safer Skies Act, a lot of these guys once they go through their Huntsville, Alabama FBI range training school are able to use jammers as well. So we are well positioned. Obviously, the urgency is there. So I'm pretty optimistic, but I can't give solid update in terms of the dollar numbers that we're currently associating with the program in part because I think there's just going to be so much movement over the next several months.
There are next couple of questions, which are essentially asking us for revenue forecast for '26.
Look, I'd love to have a crystal ball. So we don't give guidance. The reason why we don't is because you're in a nascent industry and it will just be irresponsible for us to give a number. We're not a toll road, we're not an airport. I can tell you that my internal direction to the sales team is to have a very meaningful increase like we're talking multiple increase over '25 sales. And obviously, we'll update the market as we continue to push towards the target. And I would notice that we already started the year with essentially $100 million in the bank in terms of the revenues, which is by far the strongest where we had in any of the years in the past.
The next one, I'll pass to Angus. Does DroneShield have concerns with the emergence of microwave-based drone defense technology? How we differentiate ourselves from the company's focus on that technology, specifically combating drone swarm defense? Angus?
Thanks, Oleg. So yes, high-powered microwave solutions are emerging as a counter drone technology. We -- many of you would remember, we do have a strategic relationship with a company out of the U.S. called Epirus, who are, in our opinion, the leader globally in that space. The technology is incredibly impressive. However, it has very large limitations around cost. We are talking multiple tens of millions of dollars per panel, which is a price point significantly higher, many pages higher above where many of our solutions are priced. So it's a very different price point.
So often we don't compete directly with these types of companies, and we see them more as a strategic partner for those customers, and those customers have a very limited subset of the core defense customers that we have who are interested in that technology. We have ways to partner with various companies to provide that should we be requested. So a very different price point, very different technology and very complex to deploy, very complex to sustain. So incredible technology, and we think we've got some great partnerships there, but it's a very different strategy than the much more broader, larger piece of the pie that DroneShield is going after.
Thanks, Angus. And to reinforce what Angus just said, I firmly believe that for counter drone solution to work, it has to be cost effective. So drones are costing a few thousand dollars a piece. You can't have a $10 million, $20 million piece of equipment unless you're protecting only what will be effectively, a couple of sites in a nation where you basically throw anything at that in a counter drone solution. So if you want to be selling more than 5 or 10 of something, you can't be costing $10 million or $20 million in the counter drone land, which is also why we don't really see defense primes in this situation.
The next question is about dividends. Also a topic we get periodically. When will the dividends be payable given -- well, the question was also saying, given performance options are taking priority?
So firstly, I wouldn't see dividends and performance options as a trade-off. They're related to entirely different things. Performance options related to basically motivating the staff to achieve the results that shareholders are looking for. And the dividends are about capital allocation in saying, are we wanting to invest the capital for rapid growth? Or do we want to return the excess capital that we don't have deployment for to achieve the growth to shareholders. And right now, we're seeing an immense amount of opportunity as we continue to post these record results. And so dividends are not a priority at this time, but this is something that the Board regularly reconsiders. But I would see this, frankly, more of a consideration when we finish the growth rate at the incredible levels that we are doing now.
The next one is thoughts of being part of ASX100?
So we got into ASX300 in September '24, into ASX200 in September '25, if my memory serves me right, or I could be slightly off. And we are, today, I believe, sitting somewhere around a number, depending on how you count 120 or 130 but in order to get into the ASX100 , you can't be #99 and you need to be more like further up. So there's a significant jump from where we are to get to ASX100. But hey, if we tripled in the share price last year, depending on where we get to this year, this is all in the realm of possible and obviously, that opens additional angles in terms of further funds investing into the company.
The next question is, can we give some context into the $800 million opportunity that we're working on? What stage of the sales cycle are we in this deal?
So it's a European countrywide deployment where this is a part of a much bigger deployment, but our share of it is about $800 million. It's the same customer that we had the $62 million order with in the middle of last year. I hope to see the project awarded in the second half of the year. But as you'd expect of mega projects of this size, there's a lot of political angles to it, budgetary locations at the national level. So there are a lot of moving parts. But I'm hopeful to have the order in the second half of the year.
And then the question is, how soon do they want it fielded? So whether it's ASAP or whether it will be staged over a period, over a year or a couple of years, perhaps, and also what are the payment terms?
So obviously, we'll be seeking payment terms to ensure that we either have no or absolutely minimal cash drag. And remember, 65% gross margin means that you don't need to have enormously favorable payment terms not to have cash drag or on an order of that size.
So the next question, I think this is the last question that we currently see in the line. So if you have more, please feel free to ask now. Can we talk -- can we speak -- sorry, I'm just trying to summarize this. So -- can we talk to market-sensitive contracts, which are now under $20 million threshold. For example, would LAND 156 or other Australian government contracts always be market sensitive?
So I think the question is, for contracts, which are not quite $20 million. So $20 million is a dollar threshold over which we will always announce. If it's under $20 million, but it has some kind of a deep strategic element, would we announce it?
And the answer is, if there is a deep strategic element, meaning it has a clear pathway towards larger sales, the fact that we got a particular contract, then we would be looking to consider announcing, but there needs to be that strategic element for us to do so. So you wouldn't be expecting a lot less cadence in the amount of sales announcements we do, but obviously each one is going to be a lot more material than what people have seen in the past.
The next question is about the expense. So do we expect to increase our fixed expenditure line? So maybe I'll pass this one to Carla, our CFO.
Thank you, Oleg. So on the question, it asked specifically if the $800 million would increase our fixed expenses?
And the answer to that is no. So it would not significantly increase it because we are currently putting structures in place so that we can increase our manufacturing to way above that level. So therefore, everything that we are currently doing in terms of uplifting all the internal structures, focusing on our manufacturing capability, we will not need to significantly increase our fixed cash costs.
Thanks, Carla. And in terms of our base costs, so as we said in the investor presentation, there is about $150 million in run rate cash cost. This is not what the question was asking, but I'm just expanding on that. As of December, and this is based on about 500 people head count plus the on cost, like the spaces we lease and so on. So that will increase a bit as we get from 500 to 600, but at the revenue growth that we're expecting, our aim is to continue being operating cash flow positive as, in fact, we have been in the December quarter, as you can see from the 4C quarterly.
Then the next one is, do we have any update on Mission Syracuse?
No, we do not. And if there is an update, chances are you will hear it from the Commonwealth before you hear it from us. That's usually how the nature of the Australian defense announcement works, you have to let the customer make the announcement first.
The partnerships question. So maybe I'll pass it to Angus. So, is DroneShield considering partnerships with specialist connectivity providers such as Elsight to enhance resilience and stability of RF communications, avoid signal loss, tight integration, it sounds like an outside shareholder asking this question, and enabling tighter integration across different platforms, assets and operating environments. Angus, over to you.
Thanks, Oleg. Look, we have a number of partnerships, some of which we do talk about it, a lot of them we don't. And that is for supply chain resiliency, but also just for commercial reasons, we don't always announce our partners. Look, we are open to partner where it make sense. But also, I think one of the hard lessons we've learned over the last 10 years is your core capabilities, core technologies, if you don't have them in-house, you don't control the destiny of those technologies, it's very hard to keep pace with where the market is going. And so we do have a strong tenancy for core technologies, particularly those 2 right now -- or sorry, those 3 are the RF detection, and RF defeat and the C2 layer. These are our core technologies, we remain in-house. And then we look to partner with the integrators and different technology providers to layer on top of those 3 and equip the units. And the story behind that strategy is those are the 3 elements that most of our customers need first.
So DroneShield is generally the first partner that -- or first supplier that most of our customers come to. They're the first 3 layers that they look to put in place, then we can work with those end customers to layer additional partners and technology. So we want to control that relationship. We want to supply the intelligence and our understanding of the industry to those customers, and that's why we focus again on those 3 layers. And then we had those additional ways where it makes sense.
Thanks. A question that just came through, have any major European and North American institutional investors already discovered DroneShield? If so, which ones?
In terms of public information, you would see that Fidelity has been a substantial shareholder, so over 5%. I think they're currently sitting at about 7% according to their substantial shareholder notices. So that's obviously a sort of a pan, call it, Boston, London, huge investment giant, and now they've been with us for quite some time. I want to say probably over a year, if I remember correctly.
And then we can't really comment on the registered composition, but we see a $4 billion market cap and quite deep liquidity and inclusion in a bunch of indices. We're now getting to the press piece of being on the screen for a lot of the funds. And we are starting to do an active outreach using opportunities like quarterly release and annual report that we're releasing in a month to market to those institutions.
We still remain a majority retail-held stock, and I think it just reflects our heritage, having grown very quickly from a tiny company to a fairly big one. But I think in the long term, this would be a majority institutionally held company as you'd expect.
I believe that concludes all of the questions. So we'll stop there. Thank you for your time. And if you think of anything else, please feel free to email us with your question at [email protected]. Thanks for your time.
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DroneShield — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Essenz: DroneShield meldet deutliche kommerzielle Dynamik: große Pipeline (~$2.1 Mrd), rasches SaaS-Wachstum und laufende Skalierung von Produkt- und Fertigungskapazitäten. Management betont Edge-AI‑Differenzierung (AI on device) und will Hardware‑ plus wiederkehrende SaaS‑Umsätze kombinieren.
⚡ Strategische Highlights
- SaaS‑Ziel: SaaS-Umsatz von < $3M (2024) → < $12M (2025); für 2026 bereits > $18M gebucht; Management plant langfristig ~30% Umsatzanteil durch SaaS.
- Technologie: Fokus auf Edge‑Micro‑AIs (RFAI-Serie; nächste Generation später 2026) und große proprietäre Signaldatenbank als Wettbewerbsvorteil.
- Geografie & Fertigung: Europa wird Wachstumstreiber; Fertigungsausbau in EU (dieses Quartal) und USA (nächste Quartal) geplant; Ziel, Produktionskapazität bis Jahresende auf ~$2.4 Mrd zu skalieren.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Pipeline: Nominal ~$2.1 Mrd (run‑down von ~$2.4 Mrd) — Management strafft Annahmen für US‑zivile Projekte.
- Finanzen: Erwähnte ~ $202M Kunden-Cash‑Receipts und Anfangsbestand ~ $100M in gebuchten Folgeumsätzen für 2026.
- Produktfahrplan: Rollout der Next‑Gen AI (RFAI‑3 / ATK‑2) und neue Plattformen gegen Ende Jahr; SentryCiv als günstigeres Produkt für zivile Kunden.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Pipeline‑Reduktion: Kritische Nachfrage zur Kürzung von $2.4 → $2.1 Mrd; Management begründet dies mit konservativerer Einschätzung der US‑zivilmärkte.
- Produkt‑/AI‑Upgrade: Nachfrage, ob Kunden Bestellungen zugunsten der nächsten Generation aufschieben — Management sieht keine materialen Verzögerungen.
- Lieferkette & Fertigung: Fragen zu Lieferkettenrisiken und Terminen für EU/US‑Fertigung; Management betont bisherige Liefertreue und geplante lokale Kapazitäten.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Bewertung: Call bestätigt hohe Nachfrage, starke Investitionen in R&D und klaren Plan hin zu wiederkehrenden SaaS‑Erlösen; Kurzfristig bestehen Ausführungs‑ und Marktrisiken (US‑ziviler Markt, Großauftragspolitiken). Für Anleger: hohes Wachstumspotenzial, aber noch Phasen volatilität und Abhängigkeit von großen Ausschreibungen.
DroneShield — Special Call - DroneShield Limited
1. Question Answer
Hello, everyone, and warm welcome to today's drone conference in cooperation with Dr. Reuter Investor Relations. It's a pleasure to have you all today for this very special roundtable. And this session is dedicated to DroneShield. And we are very delighted to have the chance to talk to the CEO directly, Oleg Vornik. And the stage is yours, Oleg.
Thanks for having me, Franzi? And good morning, and good evening, everybody. I'm Oleg Vornik, the Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of DroneShield. Today, we'll talk about the basics of the business as well as the current thematics that the business is facing and hopefully, a little bit about the future of the business.
For those less familiar with the company, DroneShield is an Australian-based global leader in counter-drone solutions. We make hardware and software that detects and takes down small drones, such as what you're seeing in the cover of our investor presentations of our DroneSentry-X. So you see that in the middle of that boat, that in gray-blue device on a mast called DroneSentry-X Mk2, deployed as part of the NATO exercise Bold Machina a couple of months ago in Netherlands. The device provides several kilometer bubble around the object, in this case, the boat, doing radio frequency-based detection as well as a smart jamming takedown when the user desires it to address one or multiple drones coming into its vicinity and safely coming down. Everything we make is completely safe for humans, and we do not do kinetic solutions at this stage.
The company has operated for about 10 years. We started from essentially just a couple of person garage business when nobody was thinking about small drones doing any nefarious activities and expanded today into about 70 countries around the world, including several dozen countries in Europe. Our manufacturing today is in Australia as well as all of our engineering. However, we are expanding into Europe, now having a sales hub on the ground in Netherlands as well as setting up a production facility in Europe as well, which will be fully functional within the next several months.
The order of this presentation is set up as our last quarterly. So it's a little bit out of order in terms of results first and then the products. So please bear with me if you're relatively new to the story.
In terms of the investment thesis, DroneShield is, as I was saying, a global leader in what is a surging industry that is very new across both military and civilian sectors. I think everybody on this call would be in agreement that things are probably going to get worse before they get better. And with it, both defense and general security spend is continuing to increase. And with it are the electronic warfare. And as part of electronic warfare, specifically counter-drone budgets.
Ukraine has shown how drones and counter-drone solutions can impact today's battlefield. Drones do not replace expensive kings of battlefield such as tanks, frigates, missiles. However, they are a disruptor and they are a force multiplier. For example, you can use a $200 drone to blow up a $5 million tank. So every tank and armored vehicle now needs a counter-drone solution. And also, you can have a $200 drone shutting down an airport or creating significant scare at a military base, which is what now we're seeing in a lot of facilities around Europe. So while it doesn't displace other things already used in security and warfare, you need counter-drone solutions.
And often, we get asked, well, what happens if tomorrow, there's peace in Ukraine. Now firstly, I think just like everybody on this call, we are hoping that there will be peace in Ukraine very soon. I think it's going to take a little while. And even with that, counter drone will be center of any future conflict and so will be drones. But because it's such a new market, nobody has anywhere near enough counter-drone solution. So the difference between counter drone and, let's say, rifles or helmets, all these other devices existed for a while. I mean helmets has been existing since Roman times. Everybody got plenty of those. And yes, wars increased sales of helmets, but ultimately, if tomorrow wars subside, there's already plenty to go around. But counter drone specifically, because it's so new, nobody has been even thinking about it until maybe 3 or 4 years ago, there is, I'd say, less than 5% market saturation into what is essentially a $60 billion total addressable market, we believe. Half of that in terms of the military and intelligence and half of that into civilian market.
So often people think of counter drone just as a military problem. But if you think about protection of airports, data centers, ports, energy infrastructure, prisons, there are a lot of contraband delivery to prison windows using drones and stadiums, corporates. So anywhere where drones can create danger through delivery of dangerous payload or cyber threats or espionage, counter-drone solutions have a role to play.
We sometimes get asked, well, what happens if Lockheed Martin tomorrow decides to get into the counter-drone space. And we really do not believe that traditional defense primes are well positioned for this. The reasons are multiple. Firstly, counter-drone solutions need to be cost effective. You cannot be firing $50,000 missiles at $200 drones. You're going to be running out of money and missiles very quickly. And similarly, you cannot be using $10 million, $15 million lasers against $200 drones because how many of those lasers they're going to have.
Secondly is the rapid evolution. When you're talking about new hardware for counter drone every 3 or 4 years, software every quarter, because the drone technology is evolving really quickly, you really need an agile company and traditional defense primes are not positioned like that. And so because of that, we see those large companies actually as our customers as opposed to competitors.
And lastly, in terms of exposure to this sector, while there are lots of public listed drone companies in terms of the pure-play counter drone, we are the only company in the world.
I just had a comment saying there's no voice. Can somebody confirm that you can hear me okay, please?
Yes, we can hear you perfectly.
Right. Thank you. So let's move to the next slide. On the September quarterly update, we have recorded about $93 million in revenue. This is more than our entire 2024 revenue the year before. So $93 million in the third quarter represents about 11x what we have secured in the comparable quarter of last year. Similarly, about 7.5x increase in cash receipts, 4x increase in SaaS revenues, and I'll talk about SaaS revenues a little bit later and twice increase in our operating cash flow.
Slide 4 gives you a bit of a graphic summary. So we started in 2015. We listed in 2016 as a means of raising money for developing our technology and the sales footprint around the world. The counter-drone industry as such really started in 2022, where Ukraine has demonstrated the potential of drones, their battlefield. And with that, we're now seeing the surge, which I believe is just the beginning of the growth for both the counter-drone sector and for DroneShield specifically.
In addition to the significant financial performance that we just talked about, so $165 million in revenue for the first 3 quarters. So now we're going through towards the end of our fourth quarter. We're running calendar year, $5 million profit before tax for the June '25 and about $193 million. These are all numbers as of October that we publicly announced, the financial update.
In terms of looking forward, we are looking at about a $2.5 billion pipeline. Now what is the pipeline? The pipeline is when a customer that is usually a well-credentialed government customer comes to one of our salespeople and says, "Okay, I now want to place maybe another order." Most of our customers today are repeat customers. Over 90% of the business comes from repeat customers. And I'm not exactly sure when or what products or if I can secure the budget and maybe there's going to be competition, but it's a lead. And as each of these parameters get individually confirmed, so the customer confirms is definitely DroneShield. And by the way, a majority of our projects, we do not compete in the sense that it's sole-source award to DroneShield. And obviously, the customers evaluate which company they want to go for before.
The specific opportunity matures from a credible lead all the way up to a purchase order when it gets a 100% weighting. So we've got about 300 projects in the pipeline across virtually all continents around the world. We've got some pretty meaty projects as part of that. So the largest opportunity we have, which is in Europe with the same customer who placed a $62 million order. By the way, when I say dollars, I mean Australian dollars. And the largest opportunity here is about $800 million.
And how are we different? So there's a separate slide I'll talk to. But at a high level, we're saying we've got, we believe, more engineers than just about anybody else out there, about 330 and growing world-class hardware and software engineers. We continue to significantly invest in R&D. We're a very high margin -- high gross margin business. So historically, we had about 65% gross margin on our sales, which is pretty remarkable for a majority hardware business, and it shows the high degree of differentiation and also a very healthy cash balance of just under $0.25 billion.
Speaking of sales pipeline, so Europe is by far the biggest driver for this company right now. It's both in terms of the revenue contributed year-to-date as well as the outlook where almost roughly half of our pipeline is across different places in Europe, and that includes -- we now have hundreds of systems deployed in Ukraine, but also Western Europe significantly as well. U.S. has historically been about 70% of our revenues, and we are significantly investing in U.S. as well as in Europe to rapidly develop that market. I think there are a number of exciting growth drivers there, like Department of Homeland Security really looking to ramp up their counter-drone spend, Department of War looking to increase the counter-drone budgets, legislation potentially changing to enable police departments to jam where public safety generally is limited to detection today in terms of the local and state-based level and other drivers.
So Europe, firstly, and then also U.S., I think, will be quite significant for us, but also everything else. Like, for example, in Latin America, we have significant business in both Mexico and Colombia who are fighting Narco Cartels, basically sending drones against our customers being government agencies in what is a fairly underreported, but pretty deadly war going on between government agencies and Narco Cartels.
In Australia, we expect the rollout of LAND 156, which is a $1.3 billion counter-drone deployment across various military bases. In Asia, we're seeing significantly increasing tensions between China and all of its neighbors, and we had substantial sales in Japan in recent times, and I expect those to continue in 2026. U.K. has been fairly slow up to now, but we expect for there to be meaningful purchases even into 2026 as it's finally getting the point that it really needs to start investing in counter drone as a sector. And we are the only, to my knowledge, widely deployed counter-drone product today with the U.K. Army through our partnership with British Telecom.
We believe the total addressable market for counter drone in the military space is about $35 billion. But very importantly, it's a super nascent market. So today, probably 5% of that market has counter-drone systems, meaning for every customer that has one system, they really need more like 20. A lot of customers have nothing to speak of. And that's across quite a variety of spaces there. As you can see, counter drone has a really diverse problem. So you need it on the soldiers, on the vehicles, on the bases, on flying objects, on the vessels, on border security, the list is quite significant. And that's even before you go into the civilian market.
Now civilian market has been somewhat slow. And the way I see it developing is 1 of 2 ways. One, if we see -- and this resonates with our American audiences really well, like a drone 9/11 type event where there is a potentially large-scale loss of life and incident involving a drone, I think then we're going to see a really rapid response in the sense of every critical infrastructure-type asset having to mandatorily have a counter-drone system, much like airport security has changed almost overnight after the original 9/11 event. But even without that, and I think we're all hoping something like that would not happen, although statistically, I think it's just increasing in chances.
I think there's continuously increasing number of flights over critical infrastructure facilities. For example, even with data centers, we're now seeing a lot of unidentified drones flying around data centers while they're being built, essentially snooping on the design of the data centers. And then once they're built, attempting to land on the roofs of data centers and using proximity to do cyber attacks and hacking into the data and so on. So a very significant kind of threat from drones to data centers. And that's one example.
Slide 9 talks about our solutions. So this slide is on the hardware, and then I'll talk about the software. So hardware today corresponds to about 95% of our revenues. And software, the other 5. Our aim is to get to as close to 30% to 40% of total revenues being a software over the next 5 years. So first, I'll start on the hardware, and then I'll talk about the software strategy. The hardware goes into families, the handheld products. So today, it is RfPatrol, body-worn drone solution, and we are launching the next generation of that product in 2026 as well as DroneGun. So that's a body-worn jammer, which is probably what we're most well known as a company, which is a little ironic because it's actually some of the more basic technology compared to other products that we offer, still fairly sophisticated in itself.
The DroneSentry product is actually a family of solutions. So next to the F/A-18 plane, you're seeing DroneSentry-X, which I talked to on that Dutch mode on the cover slide. But then in addition to the radio frequency-based approach, we also offer other modes of detection and defeat. So here in the picture, you're seeing third-party radars and cameras. We also offer acoustics. And then for the defeat, we offer other solutions such as protocol manipulation. We'll be integrating things like intercepted drones into our command and control. So it's a fully flexible modular on them and will be in fixed-site solution.
And then Sentry-C2, what you're seeing on the very right of that slide is our latest launched product. It's a cost-effective subscription-based solution, fully cash flow positive from day 1 for us in terms of how the pricing model works, where you would attach the box to a site of a prison, a stadium or other cost-conscious customers and that provides you with capabilities such as tracking a drone location on the map and a number of other functionalities such as analytics.
On the software, we have fundamentally 3 levels of software, device, site and enterprise. On the device level software, we have radio frequency AI, which is AI-enabled detection that today sits inside of RfPatrols and DroneSentry-X. So about 5 years ago, we realized that we cannot just do a library-based approach because there are unlimited number of drone protocols coming out. So we moved to AI, but the problem -- just like with any AI, the problem is you have to have enormous amount of drone data signals. So that's where our presence in 70 countries around the world really helped. So we started collecting and retaining with customers' consent data that our devices have been recording all around the world in different regions, and drone signals sound entirely different depending where in the world you are, the background environment and so on.
And even today, so we've got a bit over 4,000 devices deployed around the world. A number of them are able to transmit data back to us as well as data from our trials. Our database grows virtually weekly, and we have data engineering teams, which clean, tag and improve the data so that artificial intelligence engines can continue to improve. And that's one of our core competitive differentiators.
When it comes to RFAI-ATK, that's the same thing, but focused on the defeat of drones across different spectrum. And that's our device-based software. On the site, there is DroneSentry-C2. So it's a bit like Google Maps, there are dots floating around, the drones are flags where pilots are. And then you have rich suite of analytics.
And then we have DroneSentry-C2, which I need to update the slide for, which is essentially lots of DroneSentry-C2 instances. We had our first sale of that system to an Eastern European country on the Eastern flank of NATO, which gives you country-wide awareness of nefarious drone behavior.
I'm mindful of time, so I'll start skipping. I'll take Slides 11 and 12 as read. I'm happy to answer any specific questions, but we often get things like, what about fiber optic drones, what about AI drones and so on. So I'll take that as read. The presentation is available on our website. I'll talk a little bit about competitive differentiators. So technical and commercial.
On the technical front, we have more engineers working on the counter-drone problem longer than just about anybody else and continue to do so. And some problems, you just have to spend time thinking about and developing in-house skill. And so as a result, our products today can detect further, defeat further, be more accurate, less false alarms, lighter and so on. We talked about the AI database as well.
On the commercial differentiators, apart from our reputation and the branding and the commercial presence around the world, trusted relationships with end customers really matter because unlike selling in the consumer space, when you're dealing with the militaries, it's really hard to get in. But once you're in, it's a really close collaborative relationship with end customers who then feed you what they're seeing around the world. We often get asked, "Well, what do you guys in Australia at the end of the world know about the problems we're having here in Europe?" And the answer is, "Well, we get information from Ukraine and all the other European customers who tell us, here are the drones we're seeing, here are various technologies that we're observing inside of those drones, here is how you might be looking to solve it." And then we incorporate all of that in our technology road map.
I'm mindful of time again. So on the competitive positioning, at a high level, I'd say in every niche we play, there's usually a handful -- a small handful of competitors, which are different across the niche like handheld detection, defeat, again, handheld defeat on the move and so on. And we have a number of differentiators compared to these firms.
Manufacturing capacity expansion. So we're currently in the process of moving to $2.4 billion capacity expansion by end of '26. So this will be through a combination of our new European facility, new U.S. facility as well as expansion of our Australian facility.
And with that, I can see there are questions that start to come in. Maybe I'll stop presenting and see what questions come.
Thank you so much, Oleg, for the presentation. We'll now move forward to the Q&A session. And today, we kindly like to ask you to only pose the question in the chat. And I'd like to ask today because it's a drone conference. And if you could elaborate a little bit more on the plans for Europe 2026. I know you opened just recently in Amsterdam. Could you tell me a little bit more about that?
So several strengths to it. First, on the sales front, outside of Australia, which is our home market, we generally tend to embed distributors in the countries where we operate, and then we tend to refine them, change them if it's not working, train them, go in front of customers with them. And now that we are seeing very significant momentum in Europe, we have decided to invest to have on-the-ground representation with a very capable local sales team working hand in glove with our various European distributors, having our own warehouse with goods available on short notice when you need -- when you have urgent requirements by our customers.
And I think eventually, we'll end up, which is European Center of Excellence, and this will be very likely in 2026, partnering with one of key European governments to essentially create this, call it, like a counter-drone Center of Excellence Research Institute as we're seeing very significant demand for sovereign. And by sovereign, I don't mean just a particular country, but also potentially regional counter-drone points of excellence. So this is pretty exciting for us. And of course, manufacturing that we expect to start, which will be majority European componentry from first quarter of '26.
Thank you so much. And we have another question from [ Albert Iype ]. An hour ago, during this event with EOS, they told us that drone tech is not part of the latest consortium solution, which won the LAND 156. Therefore, EOS is up to now not compatible with DroneShield's products and software. What do you expect from LAND 156 in perspective of future revenue? Is there a foot in the door? Or are there iron in the fires regarding it? Is there a partnership with Leidos? Or is it only DroneGun RfPatrol effect, so [indiscernible] retailed with broad integration? Sorry about the last part of the question, but it is in the chat.
Great question. So LAND 156 consists of several parts. We have already received one of the largest orders awarded to any one company for the portables, which is still small experimental purchases for Phase 1.
Leidos Australia was appointed as part of the next phase to be government's adviser to provide basically advice on what the government should deploy to protect its bases domestically and overseas. Leidos has initially bid with a handful of companies, including EOS. That group of companies, in my opinion, is completely irrelevant going forward because the only company that matters here is Leidos because they have a multiyear contract with the Australian government. Everything else, so in terms of role of EOS, role of everybody else in the consortium is fully up for discussion. And I would not read anything into who was in the Leidos consortium at the time of selection of Leidos.
There's going to be a panel of suppliers that will be appointed shortly. Exactly how shortly, I don't know. I think the original plan was supposed to be several months ago, but I think it's going to be very soon. And then the plan would be for the government to draw on the suppliers from that panel, and that would include all of our solutions potentially, assuming we're in the panel to start deploying over the next decade or so as part of the $1.3 billion solution.
Now in terms of EOS compatible or noncompatible with our products and software, the most important thing is what will the customer meaning Australian government decide to use. If they decide to deploy our C2, our command and control system and EOS' remote weapon stations, then sure, we can integrate it. There's no problem. Please remember that one of key differences, there are many differences between us and EOS. But please remember that one key difference between us and them is that they're a business of making individual effectors, so remote weapon stations, lasers and now interceptor missiles. While we are a business of making individual products like DroneGuns or DroneSentry-X, but we are also importantly an integrator. So we provide complete systems with third-party kit like radars, cameras, et cetera, integrated in. So that's one big difference.
Thank you so much. And then we have another question from the chat. How many drones can be taken down in 1 minute with one of your products? Where is the planned production facility in Europe?
We can take unlimited amount of drones down. Remember that smart jamming is a volumetric solution. So it impacts in, say, in the case of DroneSentry-X, a complete dome around the -- around what you're trying to protect. So whether it's 1 drone or 100 drones, it doesn't matter. This is one key advantage of what we do versus kinetic solutions.
There are many advantages of what we do versus kinetic solutions. No one solution is perfect. But for example, anything that enters into an area gets equally affected at the same time. You don't need to go drone #1, then drone #2, then drone #3. And of course, the other advantage is that when you're protecting, say, an airport in a densely populated area, if you're protecting a military base, surrounded by settlements, you're not going to be firing bullets or lasers. It's simply unsafe. In an open war, you will, but not in a domestic setting. So it's because of that nonkinetic solutions and especially something that's not bullets or lasers like what we do, jammer's protocol manipulation solutions have a lot wider appeal. And I will repeat, there's no one fits all. It's all ultimately about layering. But in terms of universality, the nonkinetic solutions provide the best approach, I believe.
In terms of the country, I can't comment, sorry, due to confidentiality.
And then we have the last question. And I kindly also ask you to pose the questions and message us afterwards. So don't worry, your questions will be answered. And the last question is what kind of sales force size are you deploying for U.S. growth efforts?
For the U.S. growth efforts, so remember, we do both distributor and own sales force. So today, we have approximately 10 salesperson in the U.S. And what I find with salespeople is it's not about quantity because this is not a shop floor. So one well-positioned person selling to the U.S. Army can outdo 100 ordinary people. That's basically the magic of somebody who is great at selling and also concentrated customers like the U.S. Army, like where you're going to get big bucks is basically selling a programmatic level. And for that, you don't need a lot of people. You just need really good people with a really good plan. But that said, as we're going now starting to go after the public safety and the civilian space, those are more fragmented markets. So we'll aim to beef up a little bit. But all of these people then are supported by also distributors. So there's quite a complex structure. So you think in terms of people who work on tenders, people who help shape government acquisitions programs for us and so on. So we have also providing support from Australia. So you don't need a huge amount of sales force to go into that.
And also, the other thing that we've done is hiring people who are specifically going after defense primes in terms of embedding our products onto the defense prime platforms.
Thank you so much, Oleg, for the answers and also for you for your attention. If you have any questions in the future, please do not hesitate to contact Oleg directly or the Investor Relations team. And of course, the recording and the presentation will be also on the Airtime platform. So for the investors, this is an excellent opportunity to also look at the slides and get more information on DroneShield. And with this, I hand over to Oleg. Thank you so much for being here.
Thank you, Franzi. So if anybody got questions, [email protected] is how you can reach me and my team, and thanks for tuning in.
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DroneShield — Special Call - DroneShield Limited
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: DroneShield positioniert sich als weltweit einziges reines, breit eingesetztes Counter‑Drone‑Unternehmen mit starker Installationsbasis (≈70 Länder) und Fokus auf nicht‑kinetische, softwaregestützte Lösungen. Markt ist sehr jung und adressierbar; Nachfrage wird durch geopolitische Spannungen und zivile Sicherheitsbedarfe getrieben.
- Zahlen: Management nennt AU$93M Revenue im September‑Quartal, AU$165M YTD und eine Sales‑Pipeline von AU$2,5 Mrd.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Europa‑Push: Sales‑Hub in Amsterdam, Lagerbestand vor Ort und geplanter „Center of Excellence“; Produktion in Europa mit Mehrheit europäischer Komponenten geplant ab Q1/2026.
- Produktmix: Hardware dominiert aktuell (~95% Umsatz); Ziel ist 30–40% Softwareanteil in 5 Jahren (SaaS/ C2‑Plattformen wie DroneSentry‑C2, Sentry‑C2).
- Skalierung: Ausbau Fertigungskapazität (Management nennt Ziel‑Capex/Capacity‑Zahl bis Ende 2026) und rund 330+ Ingenieure; hohe Bruttomarge (historisch ≈65%) und starke Repeat‑Customer‑Rate (>90%).
🔍 Neue Informationen
- Pipeline: Konkrete Angabe AU$2,5 Mrd Pipeline mit ~300 Projekten und größtem Einzelopportunity‑Auftrag ~AU$800M (gewichtet nach Reifegrad).
- Finanzsprung: Q‑Durchbruch: AU$93M für ein Quartal (11x YoY‑Quartal) sowie gesteigerte Cash‑Receipts und SaaS‑Wachstum; liquider Mittelbestand knapp unter AU$0,25 Mrd.
- Fertigung: Geplanter Produktionsstart in Europa (Mehrheit europ. Teile) Q1/2026; weitere Kapazitätsausweitung inkl. USA angekündigt.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Europa‑Details: Nachfrage nach Klarheit zu Standort & Umfang der EU‑Fabrik; Management bestätigt Vertraulichkeit, betont aber laufenden Aufbau von Verkauf/Service/Warehouse in NL.
- LAND 156: Frage zur Kompatibilität mit EOS/Leidos‑Konsortium; CEO erklärt, Leidos als Integrator wichtig, Panel‑Zuteilung steht aus, Integration mit Drittanbietern technisch möglich.
- Kapazität & Einsatz: Wie viele Drohnen pro Minute? CEO: volumetrische Smart‑Jamming‑Lösung wirkt gleichzeitg auf beliebig viele Drohnen; Produktions‑ und Sales‑Scalierung (US: ≈10 eigene Sales) wurden ebenfalls besprochen.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Die Präsentation bestätigt starke Nachfrage, operative Skalierungspläne (Europa/USA) und eine hohe Pipeline—positiv für Wachstum, aber mit klaren Timing‑ und Umsetzungsrisiken: Konversionsraten der Pipeline, Zulassungen/Integrationsentscheidungen (z.B. LAND 156) und Abhängigkeit von Verteidigungs‑ sowie zivilen Regulierungsentscheidungen bleiben die Hauptunsicherheiten für Aktionäre.
DroneShield — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome, everyone. I'm Oleg Vornik, the Chief Executive Officer of DroneShield. With me today is our Chief Financial Officer, Carla Balanco and our Chief Product Officer -- Greetings, everybody. My name is Oleg Vornik. I'm the Chief Executive Officer of DroneShield. With me today is Carla Balanco, our Chief Financial Officer; and [indiscernible] our Chief Product Officer; and today, will be presenting to you our September quarterly results. Please feel free to submit your questions upfront, and then we'll aim to take about 20, 30 minutes to go through the presentation itself and then answer your questions. We'll probably tend to go for about 60 to 90 minutes depending on the amount of questions. So let's begin.
DroneShield continues to be a well-positioned leader in the rapidly growing counterdraw industry. We are seeing continued deterioration in geopolitical situation and around every single conflict we're seeing, there are drugs. We're seeing that not only in Ukraine but in Asia Pacific with Chinese drones all around the region in Europe with all of you seeing the shutdown of European airports such as what we're seeing on the color of the presentation. I was showing just earlier with our drones in Denmark throughout the U.S. and rest of the world. Ukraine has reversibly brought the drones as the centerpiece of every future work there. And hopefully, we'll get up to question, well, what happens to those at the war in Ukraine, I think we are holding for it.
But bottom line is military planners around the world are looking to ensure they are ready for the next call, which means lots of drones and also [indiscernible] solutions drones have clearly shown to be both the multiplier and the disruptor on the battlefield. So you can have a $100 do well in if you like a tank, you can send the draw product lines to disrupt. If you disrupt the anime, you can do surveillance instead of standing your own sales. So it's clear that any future conflict would have lots of drones and with the need of lots of [indiscernible] and if you're a military planner, your #1 goal is [indiscernible]. So ensuring you have enough equipment of every kind, including the latest technologies, so you determine the end starting more.
And secondly, if the Board does begin we will be able to have a demand of equipment on hand as opposed to do the already supply during the war itself, which is the worst possible time. But importantly, this is not just the military market. We have recently done an updated total addressable market study showing that [ calodrone ] is roughly $60 billion opportunity. So around $30 billion for the civilian market and $30 billion for the military market. Civilian market has been a little slow to adopt to this new threat, but it is a very significant opportunity nonetheless. So we're looking at airports like drones disrupting flights. Cyber threats. So data centers, drones landing on the roofs of data centers and conducted cyber [indiscernible] to prisons, drugs, weapons, cigarettes, cell phones, escape kits, drones disrupting energy infrastructure, stadia conducted corporate [indiscernible].
And because of that, we recently launched our century to our dedicated subscription base civilian of [ counter drones ] counter solution for the civilian applications with lesser budget prints and then to be high-end civilian customers like airports and data centers, which will continue to use our main [indiscernible] solution. We delivered on Sugar's really we position with a number of unique different shares and traditional defense primes are not well positioned to play in this area, which required [indiscernible] and rapidly changing solutions. So today, we'll do a core software updates and hard refreshes every 3 to 4 years, and I'm excited about the lead of next-generation technologies that will be releasing dots the second half of next year.
Last but not least, we are the only publicly listed control company in the world. And we provide that exposure to investors looking to participate in the [indiscernible] sector. On the results themselves, results speak for what they are, by far, the record quarter, accelerating what was already a record set of results in the last quarter. Why? Because now we're seeing [indiscernible] saying, hey, I need a lot of card equipment. I only started looking at this recently. So most of our customers have not looked [indiscernible] problem until Ukraine war 3 years ago. And they have very little to speak of. So the market situation is timing. We say that in the military space, it's a 5% market situation. So a lot of our customers that may have 1 system really need 100. A lot of our customers have absolutely nothing. So over the last 3 years, our companies have conducted reviews certifications, compliance checks, smaller purchases and now they are moving to mass acquisitions and DroneShield is well positioned globally as the dramatic condition is not commenting.
And our revenues are picking for themselves and we into accelerate. So revenue, $3 million just for the third quarter. That is more than our entire last year combined, which was really a record year of itself. 11x uptick on the quarter-over-quarter of last year. Cash received, $77 million, again a tonne, 7x to 8x increase on quarter-on-quarter last year. Sets revenues, only 4x increase quarter-on-quarter last year. And once these where a strategy to move from the current roughly 5% of revenues to as closed 30% to 40% of the revenues over the next 5 years, and we'll talk about that later in the presentation. And operating cash flow, importantly, turning significantly positive at $20 million from a negative $19 million quarter-on-quarter last year, and our aims at companies to be consistently profitable and operating cash flow positive going forward while continuing to plan the growth.
Next, we seen some that I just mentioned in charge. So remarkable continued acceleration, and we believe that this continue going forward as our customers seek to procure counter drone systems to meet their requirements in an urgent fashion with everything that's going on around the world in Europe, but also U.S., South America, Asia Pacific cargoes a truly global problem, and we are well leader place. For the key highlights, to recap, we're seeing incredible record financial performance across every single metric you can think of, the revenue, the profit before tax. So we do update our profit every half year. But if you look at our last update in quarter to call, we had a profitable half year and our aim is to continue remaining profitable moving forward. 193 million secured revenues. Now a logical question to ask is how much can we improve it by end of this year. And it is difficult to say.
However, we are taking up to another $130 million of profitable revenues this quarter in a perfect scenario. What is perfect scenario been? So we have about $27 million of finished inventory that corresponds to about $80 million of inventory by sale value in additionally, number of matches in progress. Depending on the nature of customer orders. So what is the composition of the orders in terms of the products, the timing, there is not a potential upto in the perfect scenario, $130 million of further revenues that we could secure material pipeline. So we are increasing the size of the pipeline is $2.5 billion now. Historically, the conversion rate has been approximately 1% and 5%, improving from about 1 and 10, maybe 5 to 7 years ago.
And I'll talk about the pipeline separately when it comes to -- there's it's across about 300 projects, and there are several very large projects in the pipeline or by projects of $100 million each and the largest appreciated of about $800 million in Europe with the same customer previously put a $62 million order with us. And we believe we'll continue to be really well positioned. So approximately 330 engineers are real 100 vehicle. This is very much a [indiscernible] game, and we're well resourced and continue to receive incredible amount of intelligence from around the world. on the latest drone techniques. And our customers share intelligence and data from our sensors to continue assisting us to develop best technologies. We want draw manufacturers to because ultimately, that's what's providing challenge for our engineers and continues to make our products highly differentiated. And with it, we're spending $50 million plus in terms of the annual R&D spend, we continue to build our moat with a very hot cash balance of over 230 fiber.
On the pipeline, Europe continues to be in our large driver with about 66 projects. But this is a global business. We're active in about [ seven ] countries around the world, and there will be a number of additional drivers. For example, in Europe, we are doing Amsterdam office that we are starting shortly. We have manufacturing in Europe that's coming online in the first quarter of '26, we have acted the U.S. that's coming the line around mid-26 as well as continuing to build up tons around the world to take advantages of the rapidly growing [indiscernible] demand. We already talked about the top addressable market, but it's very large, it continuing to grow. So roughly $35 billion in the military space, about $28 billion in the sealing market. And importantly, very will but we have customer situation. So we are the very [indiscernible] of this opportunity [indiscernible].
On the product themselves, I believe most of [indiscernible] other call would be well aware of the products we offer is a combination of highway software, the small in both. And a lot of the technology when you think about AI on edge as opposed to most language models, it's about how do you build your hardware that can run your software AI engine right on the edge in the palm of your hand. So with it, we have all the 2 families of products being the dismounted or handheld solutions. So the RF patrol, the portion the sector and the drawdowns, the defeat so they listen for the ready frequency connection to the drone and the controller to sense detection and provide an [indiscernible] actually very difficult because drones today are continuously making themselves more and more difficult to be detected and also disruptive often against very complex environment, which is why approximately 5 years ago, move to artificial intelligence and a library less based approach to be able to detect [indiscernible] any artificial intelligence into our very large drag signal assets.
So we started going around the world, and this is, again, benefit of us being present in about 70 countries and collecting drone dates in places like Japan, Europe, Ukraine, U.S., South America, and so on. And we continue to have a large number of devices around about 4,000 devices in the quarter globally and all 1,500 of them are software enabled. That with customers consent, then relay the data back to us. And now the engineering teams are continuing to grow those data sets and making our drone detection [indiscernible].
The second family of products is on the Melbourne fixate solution, what we call DroneSentry. DroneSentry combines [indiscernible] modalities. So our DroneSentry-X, which you're seeing in the middle of the slide makes [indiscernible]. So that's a multi-kilometer of [indiscernible] protection you be around site combined with [indiscernible] systems like radars, camera, [indiscernible] to be able to compare drone [indiscernible] that's our civilian more budgetary credit the option for low bunch customers that present a stadium. So it's a [indiscernible], if you get a tablet and you can see a drug being tracked around the map of the tablet, which gives you an option to send security and rest the pilot or not wait the drones in real time and give you a bunch of statistics around it. So this is all about hardware.
Now on the software, this is an important part of our strategy to grow from 5% of revenues from software to up 3% to 4% [indiscernible]. So today, only our patrol and drones, we see the cession base broadly. In the future, if we divide the drone shot made. We have one or multiple families of tower updates that will charge that. So for example, this month, we released our FAI pack. This is AI-enabled at engine, which for the next 2 quarters, we are running in the bundle with caters to have our drug and care. But after that, there will be an additional subscription price. So if you buy a DroneSentry, you now have 2 SaaS growing funds into pure be SaaS-enable detection Saas-enable defeat.
Future generations of draw guns will have our FAI attack [indiscernible]. Now when you look at DroneSentry, the fixed and one box solution done is core. It's our sense fusion engine, our map engine. It gives you and map on the screen with [indiscernible] floating around [indiscernible], our flags where the pilot side, label to [indiscernible] and also [indiscernible], like, for example, you're getting 2 flights you've got 20 flights a week if you're present, and with other [indiscernible]. So dropoff ID, our SaaS-enabled care-based our software. The radio-based SaaS software. And we have a number of GP modules under consideration.
Again, the [indiscernible] DroneSentry is an ecosystem of SaaS when somebody buys a fix-it solution. Like for example, we have a number of these in Poland on the Eastern [indiscernible]. DroneSentry talked about with the electronic officials intelligence. So we're currently having our being fourth, an $11.2 million contract, and it's a 2-year contract very adjacent in the skill set to our capital solutions. So all about detection of never seen before signals, and we're learning from them to take back to our main control work. And by the way, without tonal of the IP is 100% or in overlying on any third-party IP, the government does evolve in the anymore. I would like to take the next couple of slides as read. I get a lot of these questions in terms of what's going to happen to drop ship with fibrotic drones and AI-enabled drones.
So I take it you guys have read through it. I'm happy to answer additional questions. In terms of our differentiators, we say that we have a number of technical and commercial differentiates. On the technical front, we have always been an incredibly engineering-focused company while some of our compares are really been marketing business with a bit of technology on the site. So when our competitors at 5-inch years, we have 15 when we have an incredibly highly agile organization, meaning as a result over the last 10 years, our products can detect for that you feed further have more accuracy these smaller, lighter, better performance customer expectations. So all of these various technical different ships.
On the moment differentiators, the relationships with customers, selling to governments to militaries to [indiscernible] infrastructure is very different to sell into the consumer market, where over time, you have more on turbos for your customers. For example, in the military space, U.S. to risk would just deal with locking [indiscernible] Boeing with a case plans and we talk to 20 other suppliers. Because there's a lot of sensitive days in as being exchanged, and especially a cost of vulnerabilities. Militaries are usually a lot more forward if I'm speaking by their strength. There's a [indiscernible], which tends to be very sensitive. The drone shield of the last 10 years the pioneer in this space, managing felt as the trusted supplier of that technology to not grow governments around the world, and we continue receiving their feedback and the result well positioned for those procurements. There's a common miss that all government work needs to be tendered. That is not true when it comes to defense, homeland security because often when you tempt you have to reveal your requirements, which is a problem.
So because of that, our customers often get an exemption and are able to do direct award as opposed to a tender for our products. So most of our business comes at from tenders, but from the direct purchases based evaluations by our customers. Speaking of [indiscernible] we state that across each product category, we normally have 1 or 2 competitors. And we usually all in the category in which we compete. For example, in handheld detection, there is a product by mine events or Wingman. We are at a higher price point but significantly high capability as well, a similar thing for design. Same thing for hand healthy fee. Again, we are a high price point than many of our competitors, but we're also in a high capability. And what we're finding with our customers, we need to be cost effective. But at the same time, you provide fast value might even most effective, especially if your customer lives depend on it.
So the names aren't listed there. But the point is that across the world, across the product segments, we are the most widely deployed company that we are aware of. I already talked about the traditional defense and security brands. They have more of our customers than competitors. They're not well positioned as the organization to deal with the rapidly changing technology product. They are also our complementary providers in a sense of that off, they run based even systems, which are against larger shiny objects like every sense, aircraft, helicopters, and we deal with smaller brands. And so 2 systems can work together and our [indiscernible] do APIs or common communication protocols that can communicate with GBA distance. We're not competing with Chinese or Russian systems. So they are not considered possible for the Western customer. There's been a lot of consolidation in the [indiscernible] space.
So if anything, we're seeing that drones are continuing to proliferate, and I would not want to be a drone manufacturer today competing against Ukrainian or Russian drone makers, that's definitely more commoditized in terms of becoming a legal like in terms of putting your like your bodies, comms modules, engines and so on together, and there's a lot of rapid innovation inside there in Ukraine. For [indiscernible] systems, it's really much going into electronic warfare, where you need almost like farm and development like large teams of engineers, March during the development over a period of years. It's much more complex game. And because of that, we've seen the number of [indiscernible] makers continuing to consolidate.
We will be seeing less and less of our competitors' drag. On the manufacturing front, we're expanding from about $500 million a year to about $2.4 billion by end of '26. This is a number of flights. So today, we are substantially relying firstly, on our supply chain of component makers. So we have approximately 50 of those parties, mostly Australian where we think we can buy in Australia, we get it here. The only time we go outside of Australia, things industries that don't exist in Australia chips, batteries, some other things for that is also the U.S. that we can. So we're moving from our current a 400 square meter facility that we used to assemble and do final quality testing from that supply chain to about 3,000. So about 8x increase in Sydney. And also we're relying on 2 contract manufacturers, one in Sydney, one [indiscernible] to do the final assembly as well. And this is reducing our requirements.
So what we have stated before is that all of the expansion in Australia was to do less than $15 million in [indiscernible] including 3 years to come in our quarter because, again, we have this supply chain underneath us. So we don't do things like buying expensive CNC machines on [indiscernible] equipment. That is all done by our supply chain and instead of focus on rapid R&D and then final [indiscernible] testing the products mentally not a manufacturing. Should not be seen as well. We're acknowledging how many. And then in the U.S. and in Europe, we are finalizing arrangements with contract manufacturers there. So the European contract refracture will be online in the first quarter of 2016, and the U.S. contract manufacturing will be by about mid I already briefly talked about inventory.
So we maintain about $82 million of inventory. So we can and that is by book value. So that's a bit under $300 million by sales value in terms of our finished inventory and in progress or inventory and for the current quarter, in a perfect scenario in terms of the customers placing orders just mentioned motor in the right way, the timing and so we get potential deliver up to another $130 million of orders before the end of the year. Our strategic priorities remain the same. So we're looking to grow our pipeline to about $5 billion. My personal goal is to have our revenues cracking over $1 billion over the next 5 years. This is not guidance. And this will be achieved through both our current products, the next generation of hardware that we're releasing over the next 12, 18 months. And importantly in the recent role of SaaS and software inside of our products as our customers are seeking to rapidly close the gap in terms of how little they have is how much they need to have.
So for our customers, both military and civilian, over the next 5 years, the priority will be how do you go from [indiscernible] solutions. And then from a 5 or a given market would be like saying unreplaced cycle because whenever you buy it 3 or 4 years ago is not with any more, given how quick it drone technology is developing itself. With that, I conclude the presentation, and we'll turn to questions.
So give me one second, I'll just read through what we have in the Q&A. So the first question is, have the U.S. Development of Defense or European military given us feedback that we have a competitive advantage that your competitors can provide.
Yes, and we'll get us all the time. And if we did not then we would not be seeing those sales. So generally, competitive advantage cost to the range, range of detection, range of effectiveness. So when our customers send a bunch of drugs against double equipment during the demos, Harmonica with Taramani can we do feed and other similar parameters. The next question is, what is our ability to meet the $800 million order with current manufacturing footprint? Do we need to further scale up?
So Assuming we get a $100 million order around middle of next year. I hope is that we can do a good chunk of it, maybe half or 2/3 even depending on exact composition of the order and timing within FY '26 and then the remain will fulfill over 27%. The customer will expect rapid fulfillment. And so this is part of our expansion from $500 million year to $2.4 billion by end of next year. The next part of the same question was background on the Land 15 opportunity in feedback from the government. So for those who are whole new to the story. So M16 is the Australian popular defense rollout across domestic and overseas basis. [indiscernible] means defense industry previously said that this is going to be roughly $1.3 billion opportunity over the next 10 years.
So [indiscernible] Australia subsidiary of the U.S. Defense [indiscernible] was appointed as, call it, the administrator of the program in the last month or 2. Our understanding of the recent [indiscernible] play a countertrend. They're not a [indiscernible]. They are more of a specialist of the Ministry contents government programs. They want somebody who is not biased and want to avoid the governor warranty voice situation we say [indiscernible] Australia, then it's difficult for drone [indiscernible] recommend drone [indiscernible] systems being deployed because there will be confines. So because of that, [indiscernible] was appointed, and we believe we'll be well positioned for the actual deployment of account systems as the rollout will commence from '26 awards.
So the next question is, what are the challenges in scaling up our operations to meet the demand that experience so far. And that's likely is in the demand that's likely to accelerate going forward. I would say is the general challenges of scaling, right? So I think of the business as sales operations and technology. And as you scale all 3 needs to scale up. So on the sales, how do you have an efficient structure of the best own sales guys and the key centers around the world, managing distributed network, having the right certifications, access points to governments. And also importantly, actually, integration with larger platforms. So if you're saying you want to be integrated with every iron platform that you want to be inside of every sensor government facility. The aim is to have very close integration with those platform providers, right? So tankmakers, people that make their access control systems. So the final decision managers will be the customers, so we need to influence them, but then you also need best involvement of actually talking to platform providers, including defense, security price for them to meet who the offering as part of the overall system, which also help for them the to sell their kids because they're now saying, hey, if we sell a tank and the tank also has a cantonal system from the best in the field.
When it comes to operations, the challenge is how do you sell a lot more pieces and with it maintain all software updates. So I mean, nothing that hasn't been done before in other sectors, but it's just growing pains. And when it comes to tech, it's about keeping up with essential Chinese government making jobs. Now the good thing is our customers don't expect us to be perfect. We don't say we are. So the analogy that Angus, our CPO often gives is it's a bit like offense. So people kind of holster fans, people climb all the [indiscernible].
So similarly, you not expect it to be perfect, but we expect to be the best and continue to rapidly improve. And we want the Chinese and the Russian draw makers to continue improve because that's how we keep our competitive differentiation because the do manufacturers will stop improving, stop seeking to avoid you. The whole downtown industry would just commoditize our margins from collapse. The next question is, what is the time line of orders being made by Europeans for their drone makers. So many of you have seen conversations about [indiscernible] and the news, we see drone wallets 2 parts. So there is actual water deployment systems, and we're already getting some of those and receive some of those orders in small wells, for example, more of our Q4 order in Poland. But also protection of facilities deep inside Europe. So when you look at Hanger were being disrupted, that's not us to fly from Russia, they don't have social range.
Instead, it's drones being launched domestically by Russian agents games and so on disrupting those assets. So you need a whole lot of facilities being protected by accountants. And the $800 million project that we believe will land roughly around middle of '26 at this stage is part of this issue, the drop issue. Impact of government shutdown in the U.S. on orders in quarter fourth quarter '25. So yes, there has been some delay on the U.S. actually issuing purchase orders while the government isn't a shutdown, but we don't expect it to have any impact on our fourth quarter results.
It just shifts the orders by a couple of weeks while the government was shut down, but then there's rapid catch-up. In the U.S., this has happened a number of times recently. So Gavin agents, unfortunately, well test in this situation. Gross margin profile across product range. So I might've should turn this one to Carla, our Chief Financial Officer.
Thank you, Oleg. The gross profit margins across our [indiscernible] products ranges from 65% to 75% at an average with the third-party products that we integrate. So that's cameras and radars, the gross profit margins at around 15% to 20%. So that will bring down our products on the systems that we sell, where our internal DSX or our fixed sites are generating that, on average, 70% margin, but when you include the cameras and radars that brings it down slacky.
Thanks, Carla. Next question is, I'll try to summarize it best I can. I think the person is seeking to understand where the robots are going to be involved in war in the future over the next 5 to 10 years and how are we thinking about it. So we are actively in the process of integrating our kit with other -- what I call the robots, we call them autonomous systems. But same thing. So whether it's on robotic dogs, where they on tracked vehicles, whether it's on unmet boats, all of that will have cauldron kids sitting on top, and that's part of the same thing as I was talking earlier, but, for example, [indiscernible].
So you have [indiscernible] enrollment when you first talked to on the same time, talk to their customer and say, hey, if you're buying these other man platforms, they really need to have counter on protection on top of them. And then we're talking to counter drone system providers saying, hey, you need. So you're talking to the role meters basically saying, hey, you need to control on top of that. The next person is asking, can we talk about the current legislation in the civilian markets across U.S., Europe, Australia and how is it likely to progress in next 5 years now on. And how do we envisage competitive intensity in tempering for civilian contracts. So U.S. is probably the best the best first indicators. So there is a lot of focus on the U.S. legislation now to enable stays first state of awful law enforcement to be able to take drones down today on the federal [indiscernible].
And there's a very significant buy you think of Boston police department and all the other [indiscernible] police department. So today, they can detail the they can now jam. When the legislation changes and do you think this could be as little as the next 12 months, legislation can work pretty quickly with the current U.S. administration [indiscernible] demand. But Also, I think this will start putting pressure on the next field down, which is [indiscernible]. So today, the U.S. approach is by planting federal agents more important against like the Super Bowl. So you're stating who normally have [indiscernible] security agents inside a stadium Super Bowl or minicars cost there on. And then they would operate systems like ours. But I think over time, there's going to be a lot of focus on ability for either remote operation by federal agents or facilities themselves being able to operate systems.
So here in Australia today, Australia Federal Police is able to use our games. So for example, today, there is a drone disruption around the Sydney Airport, while Sydney Airport themselves can do detection, police is the one who have been doing with can. So it's a little awkward as a solution, but I think over time, as we see more pressure to streamline this. And our approach has been to talk to regulators to then apply pressure ample to get all with it. this will all going to get streamlined. And this is all [indiscernible] I will call it like a drone 9/11. I can assure you that tomorrow, anywhere around the world, there is a civil incident with mass supply evolving a drone, which is a miracle that hasn't happened. I hope it doesn't, but statistically speaking on seminal time. There's got to be very, very rapid change in legislation. And just like a fire loss that will be motor in every such public facility, [indiscernible] system would be as well.
Now if you're supplying to the military space, you're already operating at a higher level than what the civilian sector would require. So you just have to adjust to the budgets. Airports and Data centers are generating similar bunches to the military by 4 others. [indiscernible], more affordable solution will be the right fit, which is why we introduced it. We think we're going to see same crew of teepees, in the defense space because the auto companies compete in the civilian sector some that will be outpriced, Like, for example, I don't really see their arm competing much in the civilian space. But I think there is a significant opportunity for us as that said, [indiscernible].
The next question is on the $2.5 billion pipeline, how do we think about timing? How long would we expect to work through the pipeline, assuming we close all deals in the pipeline. So we think of Pico and Pwin when we talk about the pipeline. So Polis the probability of a particular project going ahead or getting delayed change [indiscernible]. So that's the biggest trend. And [indiscernible] will continue to remarkably improve because as the sector matures, our customers are getting expired about hard not have failed acquisition process. So in the past, very often the Verified capital would buy [indiscernible] will now on deteriorate. They would know how to approach this. Now they are also on bonds. So we believe that [indiscernible] will continue to make [indiscernible] when it comes to [indiscernible] so this is our business coats look for most situations because 6 old doors per cell, and we don't really see much -- we don't only see much of a threat. Yes, there will be situations where customers want a bit of diversity in terms of buying from several suppliers and whatnot. But in our experience, in our pro categories will do dominate.
So the $2.5 billion pipeline, which by the waste projects to end of '26, which is as far as we can see. I say, our base case, this is not guidance that we'll get maybe a bit of that, which is consistent with the pipeline conversion of the next 12 months. The next question is competition for drone children was our roll up to develop ways and bay system. I think I might turn that one to Angus, our Chief Product Officer.
Thanks, Oleg. For EOS, [indiscernible] a laser-based solution for canoe. It's a very different price point, very different technologies so I can generally we wouldn't be competing against EOS. [indiscernible] the customer is looking for that, it's very different to our products. However, our products are very complements for that platform laser-based or even our microwave systems. Require technology to slow to and then they can engage. And that's really where our technology is. And so DroneShield, we've positioned our product and our technology stack to be at the front end of the engagement. Therefore, generally the first thing that the customer adopts.
The next one is, can we expand on the 5 opportunities of $100 million each, including sectors or regions that relate to it, they like the don't expected time frame for conversion? So they are all across the regions. So U.S., Europe, South America, Asia Pacific, are pretty the most. They're all defense or holing security type customers. They are all repeat [indiscernible], and timing is roughly some time next year. Timing is very different process, especially for larger projects by roughly all next year.
The next one is if a peace deal were to be implemented quickly between [indiscernible], how would it impact our pipeline of projects. we believe that we have very close to 0 impact. So this is because I was saying before, military planes preferred to bag in Patin is a goal to having a knee-jerk reaction to rocking drones flying around cup-hanging imports. We might get $1 million to $2 million using acquisition contract on the back of a crisis, but all of the larger opportunities we have are things that we've been working on over months and years in some cases. And this will continue regardless of the current geopolitics. Militaries want to be ready and have robust long-term planning processes regards of what share we use.
The next one I think I'll turn that one to Angus again. What do we think is our advantage over our competitors.
Thanks, Oleg. DroneShield has a number of solutions. And as Oleg mentioned, we've been doing this almost longer than anyone else in the game. So 10 years of research and development to lead up to this point. a substantial advantage technically in our product performance, the ruggedization. And then as you've seen by the results this year, and the ability for us to scale and support mass rollouts of these solutions. So that does take time. And I think we've had a good run up to this moment. So that's a real competitive advantage. The other thing and I would mention is that we are a true technology company. And if you walk inside dry child, you [indiscernible] here, it feels much more like Google than it does a traditional defense company. and that gives us a lot of advantage by the culture, but also the ability to remain agile and nimble and respond to these evolving drone threats. So really critical. We maintain that.
Thank you. I think the next one might turn back to you again. So the person is asking what is our position on future collaboration with specialized drone hard kill market participants.
Thanks, Oleg. Sure. So as I mentioned previously, we've repositioned our products at the very engagement end of the solution. So our C2 platform and based solutions in general, the first 2 layers that are customers looking to roll out as they develop their [indiscernible] solution. Then we strategically have partnered with absolutely Tier 1 best-in-breed radar and optical manufacturers around the world to provide that additional layer. And the question here is more around [indiscernible], which we see that as sort of fall or even fifth layer to the Can-UAS problem. We are looking at and partnering with high-field solution providers around the world. We're going through a number of evaluations at the moment, and we'll determine which ones are appropriate for our customers in our markets with her some exciting announcements leading start saying in the next year.
Thanks, Angus. Maybe just to keep rolling with you still. So the next person is asking people and their knowledge are an important part of our current and ongoing success. What is our human acquisition and development strategy? The reason posties so huge capacity as the TPO as well, which he just started sharing were relinquished to inserting the tariffs here via we built the majority of our -- or all of our technology majority of our overall still [indiscernible].
Thanks, Oleg. That's right. Look, early color and myself are really proud about a lot of the things we've built here, but I don't think we're more proud of anything other than the team that we've developed as Oleg mentioned, over 400 people in DroneShield now and a truly world-class engineering team and organization. The big advantage we've had is actually to build this organization in Australia. If you want to do high-tech defense security, RF engineering, complex system integration, tranche one of the best, if not the best option in all of Australia to come at work. We backed that up with a really positive culture. We have an extremely high retention rate over many years.
A lot of the people who have been part of the organization throughout the last decade. It's still here today, and there's a lot of retained knowledge and information. So we have very high retention human resource metrics are looking really positive. And it's all about building the culture, maintain the culture even as we scale, and I'm quite proud about how will we maintain our core values and mission through the large-scale effort we've done over the last 24 months.
The next question is, what kind of margin profile should onshore $1 billion of revenue. So we anticipate that our 65% margin that Carla mentioned before, will remain intact. Which will be about EUR 650 million worth of gross profit? The current cost base is about $100 million the year and the operational leverage would be that this will increase, but it will certainly not be a buyback increase in line with the increasing $1 billion of revenue. So the growth is speculated in our guidance. I would say on the EUR 650 million of gross profits, we might do maybe EUR 300 million of profit before tax. Next question is, last week, the White House [indiscernible] $0.5 billion anti-drone plan for '26 World Cup named LA, how positioned for those contracts?
We are actively engaging with molecular agencies, which are involved in this project. And obviously, there's also some elements in Canada as well as Mexico [indiscernible] as well. The next one is given we're the only public control company would we consider listing in the U.S. So in time, yes, but you need to be probably 3x of our current size. Otherwise, we just become another lost microcomp in the U.S. market. And we're finding that the large U.S. investors have no issue investing in a Brian, the next question is, are we certain that the civilian airports across Europe, we have an understanding of antidotal technology available to them we certain. No. So I think, look, there is a lot of -- there is a lot of general let's say ways when it comes to airports, which is also why we are approaching by regulators to ensure there's enough pressure for the airports to adopt control systems.
Today, Nordic single airport around the world to our knowledge of the fully deployed canton system. And we think this is enormous change for the action. So yes, if there's a drawn tomorrow. Therefore, we'll have a huge amount of pressure to deploy [indiscernible] system. Interestingly, in the U.S., unlike an Australian area is governance, which means once FAA issues guidance to deploy one of several other things diversity reasons. [indiscernible] systems is going to be masked war procurements.
Meanwhile, we are both engaged directly with the boards to promote [indiscernible] for example, no, you don't have a machine gone in perform this reasons. You probably don't want to have high-powered rate because you can feel [indiscernible]. Other things that are able to do so, an educational campaign. Our case of our sense is actually perfect for airport deployment in terms of the low range and not deteriorating else at the airport. So we think the airports will start an option over the next 12 to 18 months. I think the pressure just continues [indiscernible]. How we think about competitive positioning in the civilian space versus drone and the differences in system architecture. I will actually throw this one to Angus, one some [indiscernible] comment I make is early in 1 of my presentation, I mentioned that we've chosen to be a hearing company with marketing in addition to that, while digital largely really evolved as a marketing business with an after-fee comes to engineering, which is why they normally have any hard way to lead with it.
But we're pretty much course to go into common control system as the path as opposed to having both, which is what we offer. But our [indiscernible] comprehensive.
Thanks, Oleg. So [indiscernible], we have been competing against for a number of years over a number of different markets. Really, the key here is solutions that work and engineering solutions that are proven in the battlefield and in real-world environments. And if we evaluated correct those terms, we were really comfortable with the propositioning in [indiscernible]. Overall, we have a few more prolines than they do and generate the war price a little bit higher than [indiscernible], performance is generally [indiscernible].
Thanks.-- all right. I'll turn the next one to Carla. Regarding [indiscernible], is it safe to assume that these are active opportunities in lose a contract or customer decides to miss opportunity in the late stage. [indiscernible] get removed from the pipeline.
Thanks, Oleg. Yes. So that's correct. So all of these are active opportunities. So if there is a delay to a future period where we don't know when that is going to materialize, we move that from the pipeline if it's lost to remove from the pipeline. So all of those are current opportunities that we're working on.
The next one is the channel mix trend to as distributed business during sales, what's the driving the line. So in the Australia and in the U.S., which are, I guess, two of our long-established home markets, customer expectation is to deal directly with the manufacturer being us, and this is also our home. So we engage directly and then -- we sell directly in Australia, while in the U.S. for bureaucratic reasons, there is sometimes an intervener these companies are called DLA. I mean there are some others, which are basically when you're buying your era acquisition vehicle, so you would sell by one of those, but you're driving the requirement and holding the relationship we sell. When it comes to Europe, it's a bit of a hybrid model.
We seek to build relationships with customers directly being fined them as much as we can't create requirements, but we all to come be everywhere, and we don't speak the language in lots of places. We don't have the often required performance history of contracts, which is why we'll be looking to going distributors. Now [indiscernible] is not trivial. So we interned the right kind of a distributor, you need to train them. They would often have 10 or 20 different brands. You might often to be the only Caito brand, but they might have course sales of radars, tactical comps, systems, not vision roles, and you need to have your sales person top of the distributor to use a small company 10, 20 people, but highly experienced won and stay on top of them saying, hey, what if you go to sweep to position transfer products?
And if you haven't done much [indiscernible] find another treatment. Most of our distributors are very our long position relationships, a number of years that understand our products, and we work with them to align very large programs. or in certain countries, which are less the customers of control was bested by when a [indiscernible] does set now the event should come to acquisition content systems. [indiscernible] no plan to enter unmanned traffic management market. I think it's what is fans like [indiscernible] delivered in the past. the unmanned traffic management or UTM sector is growing at this point. It's very much a government sponsor, government as you're required, there's not a huge amount of commercial use cases for the platform. But it is evolving, and it is increasing in its viability alongside other markets such as the drone is a first responder, the idea where a drone can be deployed to a side of agreements before the police or ambulance arrive on site, and we are seeing this being rolled out across areas like North America and Europe at the moment.
[indiscernible] we're actually really well positioned to support these 2 industries. So we do not have plans today to lead the charge into the sort of unproven markets, but we are speaking with a number of partners where we can provide our Canada solution, which in this case, this brand is base awareness solutions to those UTM or DFR operators. And we have a huge part to play in these evolving markets. It's very, very early days, and we are well positioned. The next question is with the 20% or 5:1 pipeline conversion was the reason why 80% isn't closing now. So the biggest one is the Pago, meaning customers getting their projects delayed. Budgets just taking longer than the affected. This is expected to improve. So just like it used to be maybe 1 in 10, now 1 and 5 and a substantially reduced or improved over the last several years. We've got compensate kind of more competent in their approach to procurement.
We believe that this can well be down to maybe even 1 and 3 and in the next several years as the customers become better at getting their procurement in time and just becoming more confident. Then on the use amount of press, right, to do the oil calendar on system. A couple of 5 years ago, deploying Canada on system, this was kind of like an early stage in even and nice to have no big deal that you're running a couple of years later for Q1 No, it's not having. There's a huge amount of pressure given everything around the world.
So I think the next one will be for Angus without the question. Can we comment on the ideal transaction [indiscernible] drones how see frequency protecting the fee partner with Kinetic such as [indiscernible] microwave system based on the feedback and how can we provide the rails of IND for frequency at [indiscernible] quite a lot to unpack there.
[indiscernible]. So in terms of the -- what we call the connotes general sequence of use -- the first thing that happens when a drawing fly to any security area as we get a radio frequency detection. The second thing that happens is the radar will pick up the drug our C2 system will fuse that data together. So you'll no longer get a radar track and an RF loan of bearing. You'll get a nice drawing object that is displayed clearly to the operator with confidence and also a threat level in C2. The third step is that generally is an optical slow to the camera then slew onto the target, whether that be optical or feed or a thermal feed and then there were lot arms of the target and start tracking the drone across the sky. The question then moves to what can you do about that in terms of a response.
We have built out already obviously manufacture and build ourselves, and we're putting a lot of time energy into our RF attack solution. The second layer is a cyber approach that we have also integrated into the solution to attempt to actually take over the control of our AV platform. And the last, generally, the third step is potentially the hard kill solution. As I mentioned, we are currently evaluating a number of different hard call solutions for their performance, their precision and also their appropriate to our customers. we will provide the solutions that our customers require. And really, that will determine that these types of solutions that we that we move forward with more than anything else. In terms of the effectiveness and ranges, look, a lot of that is quite confidential in nature.
But generally, we would say that traditional boards and then that type of capability is not a great solution for counter drone. These trains are increasing to be very small. They can move at 12 meters an hour firing many boards into the night side to take down a drone is not a good idea. People are looking at laser systems, microwave solutions. But all of these solutions have positives and negatives. And what we are doing is evaluating those and we'll be layering in solutions that are complementary to our existing platform throughout the end of this year and moving into '26.
And just to emphasize with asymmetric nature of this welfare, you can have a $10 million or $100 million as against $200 drops. The cost of the [indiscernible] solution needs to be proportional to the cost of the drug. Otherwise, you just can't have wide deployment solution will keep costs from tens of hundreds of thousands of dollars and also in white deployed. Like for example, we'll work with a great [indiscernible] solution to the U.S. from a company called [indiscernible] I don't know how the VR technology will be and when it be allowed to be in the U.S. because it's so highly restricted level on cost. The main question is about entity. Do we [indiscernible] use of different customers? What's the market or at the moment. So yes, we have now deployed trials with different customers. And I think the market is significant. So when you think about all of the relatively lower end budgets, top customers, to presents, stadiums, corporates, like say Tasmania, you now have activists building some farms and local facilities. All of that has been the right market for Century. time line to dividends.
So today, we're focused on growth. The Board rail reviews its capitalization policy. So when I need the updates we advised how do we think about the R&D spend moving forward as a percentage of revenue or growing parent. So we not only think about it as a percentage of revenue. We think about it nor as what do we need to achieve the jet. So we have grown over the last year from about 250 to 400 staff out of that, about 330 inches. There is a mature limit meaning you completely restructure our engineering team once you get to a certain point in terms of significantly on manager answer because of that is operational leverage. And you really want to go to the quality, not the quantity. So as Angus often serves, there is your capability hires and capacity higher than the gross book, you're really reaching this up to certain demand.
So I would expect the R&D to probably increase by maybe up to 30% next year, even if say double or triple the revenue, but you in nature in both in terms of your hiring and just how much makes sense in terms of the return on your R&D absolute. So I'll leave the next question to Angus. Given our increasing reliance on artificial intelligence-driven detection and cloud connected systems, how is the company strengthening its cybersecurity posture to protect it's and sensor client day, especially for defense customers.
Thanks, Oleg. Great question. So at the middle part of last year, we actually brought on a new Chief Information Security Officer. It's the first time we appointed that role in the business. So Scaled our security team comes from a very team background working in Silicon Valley as well as [indiscernible] America from companies like Microsoft Javier. So he's leading the team now. We've more than 40% increase over the security team over the last 12 months, a very, very strong one believe one of the strongest security teams in Australia Additionally, we are a discertified organization. So that's the defense industry security program. And so we have a high level of security across the organization as part of that program.
And then we are audited by the Australian Commonwealth on security postering on a regular basis as being part of that program. So we -- as always, always ongoing battle similar to operations. You're constantly improving as you're extending the business with always more work to do, but we're actively addressing it.
Next up is for Angus as well [indiscernible] implementing 0 trust solutions to its cloud services such amounts?
I'm not going to talk in too much detail around our actual security execution. But certainly, there is a really strong mix of both on-premise security as well as cloud, and there's a lot of A lot of our customers do operate in a fully gapped environment, and that has different challenges as well. So the physical security of the service themselves. So that often the server is forward deployed in quite challenging conditions, and so we need to manage that as well. So there's a lot of security being built from all the way through hardware through our cloud in structure.
Thank you, Angus. There are no further open questions at this time. So we'll conclude the EBITDA. Thank you, everybody, for joining. If anybody has any further questions, please feel free to e-mail us investors have drugs showed all alternatively to me, all of the [indiscernible]. Thanks for your time.
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DroneShield — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $3,0 Mio. im September‑Quartal (Management: "rekordviertel", starkes YoY‑Momentum; CEO spricht von ~11× Anstieg gegenüber Vorjahresquartal).
- Cash: Eingegangene Zahlungsmittel $77 Mio. (Management: 7–8× YoY Anstieg).
- Operativer CF: $20 Mio. positiv vs. –$19 Mio. im Vorjahr (starke Verbesserung der Liquiditätslage).
- Aufträge/Pipeline: Gesicherte Umsätze $193 Mio.; Pipeline ca. $2,5 Mrd.; Inventar Buchwert $82 Mio. (~$300 Mio. geschätzter Verkaufswert).
- Marge/R&D: Bruttomargen intern 65–75% (Systeme inkl. Fremdkomponenten deutlich darunter); R&D‑Spend >$50 Mio./Jahr.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Marktposition: DroneShield sieht sich als führender, börsennotierter Anbieter im Counter‑Drone‑Segment mit globaler Präsenz (≈70 Länder) und hunderten Projekten.
- Produktstrategie: Fokus auf hybride Lösungen: Edge‑AI‑Detektion, DroneSentry‑Plattform und neue SaaS‑Abos für zivile Kunden (Airports, Rechenzentren); nächste Hardware‑Generationen H2 2026 angekündigt.
- Skalieren & Fertigung: Ausbau Fertigung/Final Assembly (Sydney 400→3.000 m²), EU‑Fertigung Q1 2026, US‑Kontraktfertigung Mitte 2026; Ziel: Kapazitätserhöhung auf mehrere Mrd. Jahresvolumen.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Umsatzpotenzial: Management nennt ein "perfektes Szenario" mit bis zu $130 Mio. zusätzlicher Erlöse noch im Jahr; formelle Guidance wurde nicht als verbindlich ausgegeben.
- Pipeline‑Conversion: Pipeline $2,5 Mrd.; historische Konversionsraten niedrig, Management sieht Verbesserung, aber Zeitrahmen unsicher (Basisfall: relevante Realisierung bis Ende 2026).
- Profitabilität: Ziel: nachhaltig profitabel und operativ cash‑positiv; Management erwartet beizubehaltende hohe Bruttomargen (~65%) bei Skalierung, Kostenbasis ~$100 Mio./Jahr.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Fertigungskapazität: Kritische Frage zu Erfüllbarkeit großer Aufträge (z. B. $800 Mio.). Management: großer Teil lieferbar 2026, Rest 2027; Ausbaupläne bereits im Gang.
- Zivile Regulierung: Nachfrage aus Airports/Data Centers hängt von Gesetzgebung ab; Management erwartet beschleunigte Adoption in 12–18 Monaten, konkrete Termine aber variabel.
- Pipeline‑Timing & Risiken: Nachfrage, Budgetfreigaben und politische Verzögerungen (z. B. US‑Government‑Shut‑down) führen zu Unsicherheit; Management hält Einfluss auf Q4‑Ergebnisse jedoch für begrenzt.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starke Quartalszahlen mit deutlicher Cash‑Verbesserung und großem Opportunitäts‑Pipeline. Wachstumspotenzial ist hoch, der Wert hängt jedoch von der Order‑Conversion, Fertigungs‑Skalierung und zivilrechtlicher Regulierung ab. Anleger sollten Conversion‑raten, Großauftrags‑News und Margenentwicklung eng verfolgen.
DroneShield — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to the DroneShield Second Quarter 2025 Investor Webinar. I'm Oleg Vornik, the Chief Executive Officer of DroneShield, and with me is Carla Balanco, our Chief Financial Officer. This session will go for approximately just under an hour, starting with about 20 minutes of the presentation going over the presentation we released a week ago in conjunction with our 4C followed by Q&A. We encourage the participants to submit the questions as they arise, so we can go straight into Q&A at the completion of the main section of the presentation.
On the macro thematic, we're seeing increasing geopolitical threat profile as the world is unfortunately becoming a less stable place. A number of actors, governments are continuing to significantly increase their covert operation capability and other attacks, including cyber, but also drones and of course, the war in Ukraine is continuing. As a result, we're seeing the all-time high global defense spend, especially in Europe, but also more generally across nato governments and elsewhere.
Drones are playing increasing part in just about every conflict around the world. And with it is the requirement for increased adoption of counter-drone solutions. Unlike other technologies, more established technologies like night vision goggles, guns, radars, there's virtually no market penetration of drone and counter-drone solution today, given how nascent the whole industry is, which is driving the urgency of procurement of both drones and counter-drone solutions.
DroneShield believes that counter-drone is an approximately USD 10 billion total addressable market with a very small to negligible market situation today. A lot of what you're seeing on the slide on the screen is military based, but we are expecting to also see the civilian markets such as data centers, stadiums, airports and the like become significant contributors to our market as it starts to mature.
Snapshot of the DroneShield performance. We have secured approximately AUD 72 million for the first half and the full set of first half results will be available at the end of this month as part of our half annual presentation. This is a 210% increase versus our first half of the '24, by far the highest first half result to date, and that includes the second quarter '25, so in December year-end, so June '25 quarter revenue of AUD 38.8 million, up 480% versus second quarter of '24. Again, highest quarter revenue to date for the company as we continue to pick up steam.
On the SaaS front, so SaaS is relatively small in dollar terms, AUD 3.5 million for the half year, but growing quickly, up 177% versus first half of '24. And the company's strategy to keep driving SaaS is to continue to roll out new families of products. So for example, today, SaaS is driven mostly for the drone detection products, but we're also aiming to release a SaaS product focusing on drone defeat and also drive broader adoption of command and control systems, which are subscription-based and also the next generation of drone guns will be SaaS-enabled, which today's generation is not. So all of that is expected to continue driving the SaaS.
AUD 176 million of year-to-date secured revenue. So that means either revenues are recognized, which is the AUD 72 million of it as of the 30th of June or we have received binding purchase orders, and we intend to deliver that revenue prior to the end of this year. Now this was as of mid-July. So we expect to receive a number of additional POs prior to the end of the year, which will add to that amount. In addition to the record financial performance to date, we're continuing to execute on what we're seeing a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity for the company. We have a AUD 2.3 billion pipeline, which has increased about 112% over the first half of '24, comprising about 284 projects, and that's corresponding to visibility to end of this year and 2026. So that's an increase not just in dollar terms, but also number of projects from '24 to now.
Importantly, that includes a number of large deals. So 13 deals over AUD 30 million each and 52 deals over AUD 5 million each. In terms of going forward, the complexity of the industry continues to evolve as drones themselves are getting more sophisticated. To deal with that, DroneShield is fundamentally an engineering business. So today, we employ 285 world-class engineers across half a dozen different disciplines. We don't rely on any secret third-party source. We generate the IP that we sell inside the company, and we're continuing to selectively increase that engineering skill bench as we grow in sophistication of our products.
We spend more than AUD 50 million in R&D annually, and we have a significant cash balance to support our growth. Now as you've seen, the second quarter '25 was actually positive cash flow quarter, but the cash balance ensures that regardless of what might possibly happen to revenues, we can continue to execute on our R&D programs, things that we work on today, some of those products will not see light of day for another year or 2 years, and it's important to have that continuity. And also, we are selectively looking at acquisitions, which might be value adding to the company. We're very disciplined when it comes to acquisitions. We're mindful that for a lot of acquisitions, the target benefits more than the acquirer does, and it would need to really add to our presence in the counter-drone space for it to make sense.
The next slide is largely a graphic of what we just talked about. So AUD 176 million of revenues locked in, about AUD 3.5 million in SaaS for half year to date, growing cash receipts and importantly, 70% roughly gross margin maintained across the board. Our products are highly differentiated. We're not a price taker and continued rapid development of drone technology is what ensures that we can maintain our margins and keeps us away from the industry becoming commoditized. We like the complexity. We like the challenge. We feel we're well positioned for it, and that's what creates the economics of this company.
The sales pipeline is becoming significantly more diversified compared to the previous years where the business was significantly geared towards our U.S. market. The U.S. market has continued to be exceptionally strong in terms of the outlook, where we have a 25-person office, substantially sales driven, but also increasingly R&D, where we now have several R&D pieces that we're expanding into.
The current U.S. administration large recent bill is expected to significantly drive both our Defense and Department of Homeland Security work, and that's reflective of the 100 deals in the pipeline of about AUD 684 million. Europe is the largest in terms of the pipeline outlook that is both for Ukraine as well as NATO and other governments. That's also where we recently received a AUD 62 million order that we expect to complete delivery of prior to end of this month. U.K. has been a relatively small market for us, where we operate in partnership with British Telecom, but we believe that, that market is really going to expand very quickly. So the deals and the dollar values we're displaying on this page is just set well-defined projects that we're seeing as of today. So all of that is going to grow as the urgency in the counter-drone space continues to increase.
Australia is our home, and this is also where we currently project about AUD 80 million over 16 deals. And again, this is just for rest of '25 and '26, the time frame on all of this page. In terms of specific contracts, LAND 156 is unquestionably the biggest opportunity. We have recently announced a AUD 5 million win on our first phase of LAND 156. And now we are patiently awaiting the outcome of Phase 2 or System Integration Partner project, which would be a large and significant deal. It's difficult to tell exactly when it's going to come to fruition, but we are hopeful that we'll see announcement of the preferred tender this year. In addition to that, we're executing on other opportunities in Australia, for example, our electronic warfare work where we recently announced a 2-year Department of Defense contract.
Asia Pacific remains a significant market for us, where we announced a AUD 32 million deal in April and working on other opportunities as well as other regions we have now boots on the ground in terms of sales in Latin America as well as Middle East. In the interest of time, I will skip through our product summary. Most of you will be well familiar with it with the only newsworthy item is the addition of SentryCiv, which is right at the right edge of the slide, which is the recent product we've done in a soft launch mode focused specifically on the civilian market. So it's a subscription-based product. It's a lower-priced product, but still has very favorable margins compared -- consistent with the rest of our economics.
And as we believe that the civilian market is likely to explode in the next couple of years, this product will be our go-to for a lot of those customers that do not necessarily have the budget for our full-fledged drone DroneSentry solution, but require some kind of ability to detect and track drones from other facilities. Our hardware is complemented by several subscription packages, which will continue forming the backbone of our SaaS. On the detection front is RFAI or radio frequency artificial intelligence. So using AI on a library less basis to detect never seen before drones and RFAI-ATK, which we're planning to launch in near future, which is the same but for drone defeat.
In the middle of the slide is DroneSentry-C2 or the command and control system. So DroneShield is both a sensor maker as well as an integrator. And when you have multiple types of sensors pulling into your system, customers don't want to have lots of boxes. They want to have one smooth operating system using AI to do sensor fusion. So that pulls everything on one pane of glass, giving you drone tracks, giving you alerts, analytics and so on. And that is available both as the fully fledged DroneSentry-C2, a control room type software and DroneSentry-C2 Tactical for field deployment on the tablet. And we believe this is fairly unique software, DroneSentry-C2 Tactical.
The last bit, electronic warfare and signals intelligence. So very synergetic to our main counter-drone business about detection of never seen before signals and library-less approach. And this is what we do our electronic warfare multiyear contracts with.
Many of you will be familiar with our differentiating factors, largely technology and the commercial factors. On the technology factors, in short, we've been there right from the start. We had one of the largest engineering teams in the world at any given point in time. So that means we're able to, as a result, sense further, defeat further, be more accurate, better built and so on. Importantly, we believe data is critical. So about 5 years ago, when we moved to AI-enabled detection, we started collecting what now became an exceptionally large data set of drone signals in different environments around the world, and we have data engineering teams in Australia to manage the data, and it consistently gets larger as those devices provide additional data points to our engine, which drives the quarterly updates of that AI engine.
On the commercial front, over the last 10 years, we have established a number of relationships with Tier 1 customers who are feeding us intelligence from all over the world, which enables us to respond and build our technology road map. So today, we operate roughly a 2-, 2.5-year road map, which is delivered on a monthly basis, and that is being consistently revised back based on the feedback from the customers. And that is really a key advantage for us, those customer relationships as far as our commercial differentiators and the strength of the branding and the pipeline, of course.
When you sell into defense and security markets, you don't just turn up and sell. Opportunities can take a long time to mature. You have a number of compliance certification, et cetera, metrics to meet. So having been in this game now for a number of years and having sales which materializing now, which might have started a while ago, is in line with our commercial advantages. On the tech road map, broadly 2 priorities. So acceleration of the current gen and the release of next-gen products. The focus, of course, is to try to put as much into the second box as possible, but it's also important to maintain the existing generation platforms.
And then in terms of execution on strategic priorities, I wouldn't read through all the slide, but essentially, it's about saying we want to keep launching next-gen of hardware and software to keep up with the increasing drone threats. Ultimately, what we say is that we're not competing with other counter-drone manufacturers. We are competing with the likes of Chinese, Russian, Iranian governments who are seeking the best to avoid sensing and defeat of their drones by technologies like DroneShield.
In addition to enhancement of our technology, continuing to increase our SaaS revenue. So the ultimate goal is to have many, many thousands of devices in the field, all receiving multiple SaaS updates, and that is forming the backbone of the revenue of the business. And this will take us years to achieve, but that is the goal. And then also enhancing our regional manufacturing. So we started with manufacturing all based in Australia. Today, as those following us would see, we are expanding as part of our AUD 2.4 billion annual capacity manufacturing goal to set up manufacturing in Europe as well as in the U.S. And also down the track, we see potentially establishing manufacturing hubs in Middle East and South America as well. So I'll complete the presentation at this point, and we'll turn to questions.
I believe all of you guys will know how to ask a question. Please feel free to add into the queue, and I'll go through it in order. So the first question is how do we stay ahead of the fast-changing technology?
So local intelligence is key. You need to know what you are dealing with first. So that's where our Tier 1 customer relationships come into the game, the feedback from the field, from the customers, the feedback from the demos. So first, you establish a problem set. And then you have what we believe is the best and the brightest in the field in terms of engineers shaping the response, then you pull the products to customers, go through your own demos and customer demos and then you deploy the resulting software and hardware into the field.
So even though our hub is in Sydney at the end of the world, and this is truly a global problem, having those networks of customers, distributors, field teams that we've established over the last 10 years is what's feeding us intelligence to continue being one ahead in this threat.
The next question is, how do we make sure that given the fast change in technology that our increased stock holdings do not become redundant?
Stock redundancy is absolutely a risk, and we are cognizant of that. And this is a risk that we've been managing for the entire 10 years of the business. If you think about DroneGuns today, we started with DroneGun Mk1 at the end of 2016, then we move to Mk2, Mk3 and now Mk4 and also DroneGun Tactical. RfPatrol is now in Mk2, but also Mk2 Wideband, so second and third generation offering. So there are multiple ways in how you deal with it.
So when you develop technology road map, you have anticipated completion dates, for -- the release dates of the new product. So you try to basically run down stocks of a particular line of the product before you release the new one. Also, even when you release the new product, there's quite a period of time when the existing product will continue to sell while you're bedding down the new product. So the aim is to continue to -- or aim to fully sell out of the existing or the older product before you get to the new one.
Then on the product build front, you try to have as many interchangeable parts as possible. So for example, our DroneGuns and -- our DroneGun Mk4 and RfPatrol, Mk2 have identical battery kits, charging kits and so on. So you'll be able to potentially reuse a lot of the parts even if you do have a redundancy scenario for some units.
The next question is, there is a notification on a tender for an approximately AUD 12 million contract. Is that the research package already announced?
Yes, that is a research package that we have previously announced, I think, about maybe 2 or 3 weeks before the tender notification came up.
Also, to what extent are there conflicts between ASX reporting obligations or material sales and obligations of confidence, national security, commercial and confidence and what are consequential delays in announcing material sales results?
So if we receive a material sale, it is our obligation as a company to immediately announce to ASX, and the company continues to be in compliance with that obligation. ASX has rules that enable companies in the national security space like DroneShield to be less stringent on the specifics inside the contract when you do the announcement. So put it in simple terms, ASX says, well, it doesn't matter if the contract is Brazil or Colombia, as an example. What matters is what is really important as a type of information for the investor to know. And if you cannot state a name of the country or a name of the customer, can you do a description that gives investors essentially same level of information without specifically saying what it is. And we've been working constructively with ASX on this now for several years. This is not a new issue. So that way you get around not breaching national security issues and at the same time, have timely disclosure to ASX.
I can take the next one. So there's a question here. What are the percentage of product returns from warranty claims? What is the -- what is it costing the company? Are the different products have high or low warranty claims?
So around warranty claims, the current cost to the company in relation to the warranty claims is currently around 1% of revenue. So it's still relatively low.
Thank you, Carla. The next question is the impact of fiber-linked drones.
So my personal view is that fiber-linked drones are overhyped, and it's partly deliberate in terms of information, warfare disinformation and so on. So for those on this call, I invite you to think practically of how it works when you have a small drone dragging potentially 10 kilometers of a fishing line behind it.
If you go in a straight line in an open space, potentially no issue. But otherwise, the chances of you snagging 10 kilometers of fishing line, you're dragging behind you on trees, buildings, other fishing lines, even drone doing a maneuver and snagging into its own line are quite significant. So while we are seeing this as a threat, I'm not being dismissive of it. And for example, our radars are able to detect drones that operate using fiber optic lines because they still move. And we also cooperate with hard defense systems, for example, with our good friends in California at Epirus that do high-power microwaves that fry electrics in drones that move towards their panels. And so that will be effective with the fiber optic drones. We believe it is more of a niche issue as opposed to a structural change.
And fundamentally, radio frequency will remain the backbone of drones going forward. My personal view is that radio frequency to drones is a bit like wheels to cars. Whatever cars will look like in 50 years, chances are they will have wheels on them.
Is there any update on when LAND 156 SIP award will be announced? No, unfortunately, we know just as much as everybody on this call does. So we're patiently waiting to hear from the government.
Next question is, is it only defense and airport industry sales come from?
So today, sales come from defense, law enforcement, border security, intelligence and facilities protection. We expect -- and I'm talking material, I'm not talking small sales, which can come from a number of other sectors. But we expect that over the next 2 years, the civilian sector will significantly wake up and a lot of it can be a 911 of drones type driven where a drone delivers a loaded handgun to window of a prison and they may shoot a bunch of people inside and then there's an overnight change in legislation. Now every prison facility has to have a counter drone system, which is where our SentryCiv offering comes in.
So we think there is a large likelihood of the civilian sector changing their approach overnight, and we need to be ready. Interestingly, production capacity is coming as an important differentiator as we're hearing that a lot of our competitors are struggling with significant production capacity, which is also where the AUD 500 million to AUD 2.4 billion annual production expansion is coming into play to give confidence to our customers that we can fulfill larger orders as well.
The next question is the person asking says that they believe Mk4 does not have SaaS tied to it? That's correct. Whereas the Mk5 will have the SaaS component tied to it. Also correct, which will help fuel the SaaS revenue growth. Yes, that's correct.
When do we expect the Mk5 to be released? There's no release date at this stage, but we are working on it. How do we manage data sovereignty? So we have a partnership with a military-grade data center in Australia that hosts the information that will require like the data sets and so on. What do you do to protect against a hostile state actor? So I'm assuming we're talking about attack on DroneShield itself as opposed to our customers using DroneShield equipment to protect against hostile state actors using drones. In terms of DroneShield security, there are particular standards that are a benchmark in Australia for defense companies. Those standards range from cyber to physical security to protection against insider threats, to how you best practice, how you segregate information and so on.
So we have an inside security team, and they are ensuring that we are difficult to crack. Look, don't get me wrong. Nothing is perfect. Nothing is completely impossible to crack, but we have never had issues to date, and we hope to keep it that way by staying step ahead.
The next question is, when may we list on the U.S. exchange? So today, I believe it makes no sense to list on the U.S. exchange because at the current market cap of a couple of billion dollars, we are significant by Australian by ASX standards. So for example, I believe that we'll be entering the new tier of the ASX Index in September at the time of the next rebalance. However, by the U.S. standards, we are -- I would not say micro cap, but we are a fairly small business. So if you either dual list or you move the listing across, you will end up losing a lot of liquidity for not a lot of benefit. I also find that a number of American investors have no issue investing in ASX-listed stocks, like, for example, FMR or Fidelity Management & Research has recently taken just under a 10% stake in DroneShield.
Now this is a Boston-based world-class American fund. And similarly, Vanguard is just over 5% of our register in other U.S.-based fund. And underneath the substantials, we have a number of other U.S. funds that have no issue under their mandates to invest in ASX-listed stocks. In terms of more ordinary retail American investors, generally, we believe that most of the U.S. stock brokers enable you to trade international stocks like ASX stocks. You just have to set it up on your trading account.
The next question is, can we get a set of the slides? So the slides that we're using today are the same set of investor slides as we released about a week ago when we released the 4C. So please look at either the DroneShield Investor page under our website or under the ASX's website for DroneShield from about a week ago.
Was the Q2 profitable? So we will be releasing the full set of accounts for the first half, so Q1 and Q2 by the end of this month as part of our HY '25 report. How do we characterize our competition and in what ways are you ahead? Let me share the competition slide that we have in the appendices. I would categorize competition as segment based.
So in different product categories, we have different firms and also they're usually fairly geographically focused. Anduril, for example, will be our prime competitor for LAND 156 program. However, they are not our competitor in a sense of making DroneGuns or DroneSentry-X products or even RfPatrol for that matter or even really operating outside of Five Eyes. DroneShield is a fairly global business.
I won't go through all of these names, but just to give you maybe a selection of a few others. When it comes to Dedrone, that was acquired by Axon, so they're a credible competitor in the law enforcement space as their products are, in our experience, lower grade compared to the products that we offer. And also they don't have strength in portables in the same way as we do. And now we are pushing into the space with the recent hire of an FBI sales director based in Virginia. So we're trying to crowd into their space, but we don't really believe that they have ability to move into the defense space where we operate. And Axon at parent is fundamentally a great company, but in the law enforcement space primarily.
So similarly, when you go through the others, like AeroVironment and BlueHalo, they have a product called Titan. It's a DroneSentry-X competitor, but we don't really see them in the handheld space or really outside of a handful of countries that they prioritize.
The next question is -- I'll try to paraphrase the question, that drones for warfare are evolving in terms of the number of manufacturers out there significantly. Is it similar for the counter-drone space? Fortunately, no. So drones are a very commoditized market. I would not want to be in the drone market today as it feels like every man and his dog are trying to build a weaponized drone. Counter-drone is, if anything, consolidating. If you look at the list and the notes on the page, we are displaying, a lot of these companies actually been acquired over the last 12 to 24 months. And the reason for that, it's actually much harder to build counter-drone tech than it is to build drone technology itself. So I would say that the counter-drone tech, if anything, is maturing and shrinking in size due to its increasing complexity.
The next question is, do we think the revenue will continue to grow at the rate we are seeing? So we do not -- great question. We do not publish guidance because of the nascent nature of the industry. However, I believe we're well positioned for growth due to the low market situation. So customers -- so the first thing is low market situation. Customers who are buying from us they have nowhere near enough gear to meet their requirements. If you think about every group of a handful of soldiers needing a system, every armored vehicle, every installation.
You guys probably all heard of the Operation Spiderweb in Russia and Operation Rising Lion, which is similar in Iran with drones essentially delivered via a van or similar to an edge of an airfield and then flying out from the edge and destroying a bunch of expensive airframes. The reality is that majority of, if not almost all air bases in the West have nothing to protect themselves against a threat like this. And if anything, it's a miracle. We're not seeing more of these attacks now happen that the blueprint has been so well established over the last couple of months. So there is this enormous rush by military players to think how to stop attacks like this, drones being delivered to their front door and then attacking their facilities because traditional method of stopping people walking into the base or sending a missile into the base are not effective for small drones, which can get around, sensors built for sensing things which are not drones and same thing for the defeat.
So we're seeing this exploding demand. There is only a limited amount of parties that can provide counter-drone solutions to deal with that. Defense primes are not our competitors. In our experience, they're generally struggling to innovate at the speed of relevance. And then from our perspective, we're well positioned on the technology front, with our large engineering team, we're scaling up the operations [Audio Gap] in our production capacity.
So the next question is, is demand largely driven by defense or has public safety aided to the growth? So public safety is rapidly emerging. It is part of our sales already. And I think we will continue to grow in legislation in the U.S., which enable public safety use of drone countermeasures, I think will continue expanding that market because legislation, especially in the U.S., meaning state and local law enforcement cannot jam drones is probably the biggest stop to that market really growing really quickly.
Next one is being at the end of the road in Sydney, as you say, are there any problems in this connected world? So as I was saying, our strength is deployment around the world. So we have a number of distributors, customers, sales teams, field teams around the world, they're feeding us that intelligence information.
Is there any -- is there an application for commercial airport flight paths stopping rogue private drones entering hands in dangerous passenger planes? So I think to rephrase the question, are drones dangerous for airports? 100%, they are. So if a drone gets ingested into an airplane engine. That means all kinds of studies showing you're going to blow out the engine because something that's been designed to deal with birds cannot deal with metal objects with lithium-ion batteries in them. So it's pretty deadly for engines. Now if it's a 4-engine plane, you're probably going to blow out engine, but going to still land. If it's a single engine plane, you're probably going to crash the aircraft.
So it's the reason why when today drones are detected around pathways at airports, you have to shut down the whole airport until you deal with the drone. Now that's a lucky scenario because it means you detect the drone. But if you haven't, the time when you know the drone is there is when it gets ingested into the engine of the plane. Luckily, there have never been publicly reported incidents of a drone getting ingested into the engine, but there already been cases of a drone cracking into a windshield and damaging fuselage of an airplane. And I really think it's a matter of time before there's going to be something worse in the sense of an engine actually ingesting a drone.
The next question is, are there significant European competitors within the same sector as DroneShield the way we have a head start? So if you look at the competitor slide that you should be seeing in front of you. So we've got a couple of European competitors. They tend to be niche to largely their own countries, be it Germany or France. There is a Danish competitor that is a bit more global in nature, but we find that we outperform them consistently on the quality of the products.
So we are not really seeing European competitors as much of an issue. I mean our stronger competitors, I would argue, are American-based. But it's an interesting time. I would find it challenging today to be an American company being in Europe due to the general sentiment with the geopolitics going on. So this is one of the strengths of being an Australian company. It's considered a fairly neutral place to be. Frankly, everybody loves Australians in our experience. There's nobody who is negative to Australians. So that's our strength in terms of being a global exporter business.
So the next question is, the person asking noticed that the company was cash flow positive from operating activities in the last quarter. That is correct. He is asking, can we provide some guidance on when we expect to achieve positive net profit on a full year basis? We don't provide guidance, but stay tuned. I mean the objective for us, and we received a clear message from our shareholders that they want us to be profitable. Now, it is important for us to continue investing in R&D because it's very easy for [indiscernible] company to milk it for cash for a couple of years and then see the revenues drop off the cliff because you haven't kept up in this rapidly expanding sector. So on one hand, we are solving for continuing to be the leader in what is an absolutely exploding industry size-wise. And on the other hand, we understand that our investors want us to be profitable.
So the next question, I'll try to paraphrase it. I'm not sure I understand it. But I think it was about what happens to AI-enabled drones when you jam it? So I think there is a lot of misconception out there about autonomous and AI-enabled drones. A lot of people think that if you fly without a pilot, that's autonomy. Now a lot of those drones are flying using satellite communication, and that is fairly easy to jam because satellites are quite high up in the sky. The signal is weak. If you jam that, the satellite communication is lost. So then the next piece of technology that we have seen coming into play is computer vision. So a drone use a camera and it flies traditionally for the first majority of its flight until maybe the last 500 to 1,000 meters. And then it's just close enough for the drone to see the target that is recognized. It's like a tank or a human.
Now keep in mind that if it's a small target like a human and a drone will not carry an amazingly expensive camera. Remember, it's a AUD 1,000 drone. That creates a limitation on the distance. The technology is fundamentally similar to what you might use if you say, running in the field and the drone is tracking you and filming you, so it knows what you look like, so it just keeps following you. So similarly, a drone recognizes an object and then at that point, it just barrels towards an object and smashes into it. And at that point, jamming it still useless. So the aim is to detect and jam the drone before the drone can see you, which is actually not that challenging because you just have to exceed the distance that computer vision for the drone enables you to do.
The other thing to keep in mind is a lot of functions of a drone do not go well with autonomy. So for example, if a drone is collecting data, it has to send it back to its base. Or if a drone is having -- is needing to do precise strikes, it needs to often be guided by the pilot. If you cut away that and you just have a complete autonomous drone that really has issues with how well will continue performing.
Next question. Are we looking at water-based drones? Yes. So to us, a drone is not -- or not UAS, unmanned aerial system, but CUxS. So x could mean a drone that swims on the surface of the water, so USV, unmanned surface vehicle. It can mean a drone that's crawling on the ground, unmanned ground vehicle, UGV, it can be a drone that swims under the surface of the water, UUV. And we believe that eventually, there will be a concept of drones and space, though some may say satellite is already a drone anyway. So yes, drone in any environment to us is a target.
How do we protect against hostiles taking equipment in the field and using it themselves or reverse engineering it? It's difficult to reverse engineer our products for a number of reasons. One, you have a very high degree of encryption inside of them. Now nothing is impossible to break. But even if you eventually break the encryption. Remember, the algorithms are built together with the AI data set that I was talking about. If you get access to the code, but you do not get access to the data set, which is stored in Australia, you can't really progress the code forward. So a lot of these things you can see looking backward, but you can't necessarily project it forward.
Also, technology evolves super rapidly. So if you haven't built the code and again, you don't have the data, what you have today will be largely useless in 6 or 12 months from now with how rapidly the technology evolves. So the speed of evolution and the software updates on a quarterly basis is critical in this as well. So yes, technically, adversary can use the products if they find them in the field. And this is, I guess, same issues for really any defense technology. I mean, yes, there are things like you can put a drill into the middle of the product and destroy it if you have time. But if you don't, it's just like any other one. Anything can be hacked into ultimately. But the speed of evolution and needing to marry it with the data set to really be useful for development is what makes it really useless in the long term.
Next question is, have we -- or do we expect to be approached by a larger competitor in the takeover bid for DroneShield and for DroneShield to become their subsidiary? Look, we have had approaches in the past and none that the Board has seen us credible enough to take to shareholders for a vote. We are the only public listed company in the world, meaning we release a lot more information than our competitors do. So I think this will continue. The way the Board thinks about it is, ultimately, we're here on behalf of the shareholders. So we are not running the company for sale, running it for growth. But if we have an offer that's considered as credible enough of potentially worthy of shareholder acceptance, the Board will take it to shareholders. And if there is a sufficient voting threshold that the vote is approved, then that will go ahead. So we are pretty pragmatic on this.
Have we made any plans to ensure that the supply chain isn't disrupted in the event of a global war? So COVID was enough a dry run for us, and we ran the ship pretty tight. So majority of our supply chain resides in Australia. RfPatrol, our body-worn drone detection device, for example, is 85% Australian industry content. There are some things we get elsewhere, like, for example, chips we get from the U.S. because Australia doesn't have a chip industry. But generally, in terms of how we build redundancy, how we hold supply of long lead items, how you -- when I say redundancy, it's a number of ways in terms of your contract manufacturers, in terms of supply chain parties for a particular discipline like metal fabrication and so on. You try to have as much diversity as possible to avoid disruptions.
There's a question regarding foreign exchange risks, how do we manage that? So currently, our strategy is using a natural hedge, but we are closely monitoring if we need to do anything above that, but that's our strategy at the moment.
The next question is about deploying the company's cash position towards acquisitions to accelerate growth and how do we see the reasonable conversion rate of the pipeline? So on the cash position, the primary use in terms of acquisitions is acquiring other synergetic technologies. And we are regularly looking at potential technology targets to see what could make sense. There's always buy versus build. We're happy with our core technologies, so radio frequency, jamming integration, and we don't really need more capability in that space. But in terms of other modalities of detection and defeat, this is something that we are regularly assessing. In terms of the conversion rate of the pipeline, historically, it's been changing. And as the industry is rapidly maturing, it's changing again. So it's a bit hard for us to comment.
Next question is, do we have a product for swarm protection? Yes. So the great thing about radio frequency detection and jamming is that it's irrelevant whether you're dealing with 1 drone or 100 drones. So both the detection and the defeat is for a particular area. So for example, our DroneSentry-X will give you a complete bubble over your facility. So as a result, you can deal with a virtually model. Nothing is unlimited, but a very, very large number of targets.
Next question is, is Electro Optic Systems a major competitor to us? No. So Electro Optic Systems does remote weapon stations, hard defeat. We think hard defeat is a very limited application for counter-drones specifically. And detection, tracking, soft defeat integration is where vast majority of the market is.
Next question is, is the -- and by the way, we'll be wrapping up in the next couple of minutes. Is the plan to pay dividends at some stage? So focus for us right now is growth. Board is regularly assessing it, and we'll advise if that changes.
Is there a sustainability model in place for manufacturing DroneShield products? Yes. So we follow the best infield practices in terms of sustainability for how we build.
What excites us about the future of DroneShield? Do we ever become a prime defense player? So counter-drone is what we do. We are not going to become the next Lockheed. I think the fastest way to get out of business is to become too broad in your offering and lose being the best in a particular thing. Counter-drone is a huge, huge coming space, and we think being a leader in that is more than plenty. And say if we happen to win the SIP award for LAND 156, that essentially makes us a prime and that you deal with a lot of subcontractors underneath you. And in fact, we're already a small prime in our own way. We work with radar manufacturers, camera manufacturers, and we supply complete systems, which is kind of a definition of a prime. And the size of the contracts is also increasing. So the AUD 62 million contract that we recently announced and the large ones in the pipeline.
I think at this point, we'll take the rest of questions on notice. If those of you that have questions outstanding, please able to e-mail us to [email protected], and we'll aim to revert to you with all of your queries. Thank you for your time.
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DroneShield — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Kernbotschaft
- Wachstum: H1‑25 gesicherte Umsätze ~AUD 72 Mio; Q2‑25 Umsatz AUD 38,8 Mio (+480% YoY). Per Mitte Juli beschreibt Management AUD 176 Mio "locked‑in" Umsatz und einen Pipeline‑Wert von ~AUD 2,3 Mrd.
- Markt & Marge: Management sieht TAM ≈ USD 10 Mrd für Counter‑drone, behält ~70% Bruttomarge; Q2 war operativ cash‑positiv.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- F&E‑Fokus: Rund 285 Ingenieure, >AUD 50 Mio Jahresaufwand in Forschung und Entwicklung; Quartalsweise AI‑Updates auf Basis großer Signaldatenbanken.
- SaaS‑Strategie: SaaS‑Umsatz wächst schnell (AUD 3,5 Mio H1), Produkte: DroneSentry‑C2 (Kommando/Control), SentryCiv (Soft‑Launch für zivilen Markt) und künftig SaaS‑fähige DroneGuns.
- Kapazität & Regionen: Ausbau regionaler Produktion (Europa, USA) mit Ziel einer jährlichen Fertigungskapazität bis zu AUD 2,4 Mrd; Diversifizierung der Pipeline jenseits USA (Europa, APAC, LATAM, ME).
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Aktualisiert: Soft‑Launch von SentryCiv, Europa‑Auftrag ~AUD 62 Mio, LAND156 Phase‑1‑Auftrag AUD 5 Mio, positive operative Cashflow‑Quartalsmeldung; Mitte‑Juli Zahl AUD 176 Mio gesicherte Umsätze.
- Keine Guidance: Management veröffentlicht weiter keine formale Jahresprognose wegen nascentem Markt; HJ‑Bericht (HY'25) wird Ende des Monats veröffentlicht.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Technologie‑Vorsprung: Management betont Datenbasis + AI‑Libraryless‑Ansatz und enge Tier‑1‑Kundenbeziehungen als Schutz vor schnellen Wettbewerbsverschiebungen.
- Inventar‑Risiko: Stock‑Obsoleszenz wird aktiv gemanagt (gestaffelte Produkt‑Releases, austauschbare Teile, Run‑down‑Strategie).
- Konversion & Offenlegung: Diskussion über Pipeline‑Konversionsraten, ASX‑Meldepflichten vs. nationale Sicherheitsbeschränkungen und die Unsicherheit des LAND156‑Zeithorizonts.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Deutliche Umsatz‑ und Auftragsdynamik bei hoher Bruttomarge und wachsendem SaaS‑Anteil macht DroneShield zu einem stark wachstumsorientierten Emitter im Counter‑drone‑Sektor. Kurzfristige Risiken bleiben lange Sales‑Zyklen, Unsicherheit bei großen Programmen (z. B. LAND156) und fortlaufende Investitionen in F&E; für Aktionäre bedeutet das hohes Upside‑Potenzial, aber erhöhte Volatilität.
Finanzdaten von DroneShield
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Dez '25 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 217 217 |
276 %
276 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 85 85 |
420 %
420 %
39 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 132 132 |
220 %
220 %
61 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 91 91 |
175 %
175 %
42 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 45 45 |
108 %
108 %
21 %
|
|
| EBITDA | - - |
-
-
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | -4,04 -4,04 |
70 %
70 %
-2 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 3,52 3,52 |
367 %
367 %
2 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen AUD.
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Firmenprofil
DroneShield Ltd. befasst sich mit der Entwicklung und Vermarktung von Hardware- und Softwaretechnologie für die Erkennung und Sicherung von Drohnen. Zu seinen Produkten gehören DroneGun, DroneSentinel und DroneSentry. Das Unternehmen bietet außerdem Drohnenlösungen für Flughäfen, kommerzielle Einrichtungen, kritische Infrastrukturen, den Schutz von Führungskräften, Behörden und Gefängnissen an. Das Unternehmen wurde am 4. November 2015 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Sydney, Australien.
aktien.guide Premium
| Hauptsitz | Australien |
| CEO | Mr. Vornik |
| Mitarbeiter | 450 |
| Gegründet | 2015 |
| Webseite | www.droneshield.com |


