D.R. Horton Aktienkurs
Vergleich mit Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 Was ist das?
Die Peer Group sind die Unternehmen mit dem ähnlichsten Geschäftsmodell. Sie dienen als Vergleichsmaßstab, um eine Aktie einzuordnen.
🧮 Wie wird sie ausgewählt?
Nach Ähnlichkeit des Geschäftsmodells, also Unternehmen aus derselben Branche, mit vergleichbaren Produkten und einer ähnlichen Kundengruppe. Nur so vergleichst du Äpfel mit Äpfeln.
🏛️ Wofür ist sie wichtig?
Ob eine Aktie günstig oder teuer ist, lässt sich am ehesten im Vergleich beurteilen. Ein KGV von 18 oder ein EV/FCF von 20 wirkt je nach Maßstab günstig oder teuer. Die Peer Group liefert dabei den treffsichersten Maßstab: Unternehmen mit ähnlichem Geschäftsmodell, die denselben Bedingungen unterliegen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
Liegt eine Kennzahl unter dem Peer-Durchschnitt, ist die Aktie relativ günstiger bewertet, über dem Durchschnitt entsprechend teurer. Ein Abschlag zur Peer Group kann eine Chance sein, aber auch einen Grund haben (zum Beispiel geringeres Wachstum). Der Vergleich ist ein Startpunkt, kein Urteil.
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 38,60 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 33,35 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 38,60 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 33,13 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 43,64 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 33,35 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 43,64 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 33,13 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
D.R. Horton Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
26 Analysten haben eine D.R. Horton Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
26 Analysten haben eine D.R. Horton Prognose abgegeben:
D.R. Horton Events
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aktien.guide Basis
D.R. Horton — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call for D.R. Horton, America's Builder. [Operator Instructions] Please note this conference is being recorded.
I will now turn the call over to Jessica Hansen, Senior Vice President of Communications for D.R. Horton.
Thank you, Paul, and good morning. Welcome to our call to discuss our financial results for the third quarter of fiscal 2026. Before we get started, today's call includes forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although D.R. Horton believes any such statements are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual outcomes will not be materially different.
All forward-looking statements are based upon information available to D.R. Horton on the date of this conference call, and D.R. Horton does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Additional information about factors that could lead to material changes in performance is contained in D.R. Horton's annual report on Form 10-K and its most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q, both of which are filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
This morning's earnings release and our supplemental data presentation can be found on our website at investor.drhorton.com, and we plan to file our 10-Q later this week. After this call, we will also post our updated investor presentation to our Investor Relations site on the Presentations section under News and Events for your reference.
Now I will turn the call over to Paul Romanowski, our President and CEO.
Thank you, Jessica, and good morning. I am pleased to also be joined on this call by Mike Murray, our Chief Operating Officer; and Bill Wheat, our Chief Financial Officer. The D.R. Horton team delivered a solid third quarter, highlighted by earnings per diluted share of $3.20. Consolidated pretax income totaled $1.2 billion on $9.2 million of revenues resulting in a pretax profit margin of 13.3%. We closed 23,983 homes during the quarter, which was at the high end of our guidance range and achieved a home sales gross margin of 20.7%.
We remain focused on capital efficiency to generate strong operating cash flows and deliver compelling returns to our shareholders. Over the past 12 months, we generated $3.4 billion of cash from operations and returned all of it to shareholders through repurchases and dividends. For the trailing 12 months ended June 30, our homebuilding pretax return on inventory was 17%, while our consolidated returns on equity and assets were 12.8% and 8.5%.
Our return on assets ranks in the top 20% of all S&P 500 companies for the past 3, 5 and 10-year periods, demonstrating that our disciplined returns-focused operating model delivers sustainable results and positions us well for continued value creation. We work every day to leverage our industry-leading platform unmatched scale, efficient operations and experienced teams to bring homeownership opportunities at affordable price points to more Americans.
65% of our mortgage company's closings this quarter were to first-time homebuyers. Our teams manage each community with discipline balancing pace, price, incentives and inventory levels to meet demand and maximize returns. Affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment continued to impact new home demand and our operators will continue to adjust as market conditions evolve. Mike?
Earnings for the third quarter of fiscal 2026 were $3.20 per diluted share compared to $3.36 per share in the prior year quarter. Net income for the quarter was $905 million on consolidated revenues of $9.2 billion. Home sales revenues in the third quarter totaled $8.7 billion on 23,983 homes closed compared to $8.6 billion on 23,160 homes closed in the prior year quarter.
Our average closing price was flat sequentially and down 2% year-over-year to $362,000. This is below the average price of new homes in the United States by approximately $155,000 or 30%, reflecting our continued focus on affordability. Bill?
Net sales order value in the third quarter totaled $8.4 billion on 23,084 homes sold, both flat with the prior year quarter. Our cancellation rate for the quarter was 20%, up from 17% in the prior year period and from 16% sequentially within our normal historical range. The average number of active selling communities increased 2% sequentially and 9% year-over-year. The average price of net sales orders was $365,600, essentially flat both sequentially and year-over-year. Jessica?
Our gross profit margin on home sales revenue in the third quarter was 20.7%, above the high end of our guidance range, reflecting lower stick and brick costs and slightly lower incentives in the second quarter. However, we expect incentives to remain elevated relative to historical levels. On a per square foot basis, home sales revenues and lot costs were flat sequentially, while stick and brick costs were down 2%.
Year-over-year, home sales revenue was down 3%, stick and brick costs were down 5% and lot costs were up 5%. We currently expect our home sales gross margin to be relatively flat in the fourth quarter compared to the third quarter. Bill?
Our homebuilding SG&A expenses in the third quarter increased 8% compared to last year. and SG&A as a percentage of revenues was 8.3%, up from 7.8% in the prior year quarter. We remain focused on managing our platform with discipline to gain market share efficiently and we expect to return to positive SG&A operating leverage when revenue growth resumes, and our average sales price and community absorption rates stabilize. Paul?
We started 23,900 homes in the third quarter and we ended the quarter with 38,000 homes in inventory, down 1%, both sequentially and year-over-year. 23,300 of our homes at June 30 were unsold. 7,600 of our total unsold homes were completed, of which 600 have been completed for more than 6 months. For homes closed in the third quarter, our median cycle time from home start to home close improved by roughly 3 weeks year-over-year.
Our improved cycle times enable us to hold less housing inventory and turn it more efficiently. We expect starts in the fourth quarter to be lower than the third quarter, and we will continue to manage our inventory levels and start pace based on market conditions. Mike?
Our homebuilding lot position at June 30 consists of approximately 570,000 lots, of which 22% were owned and 78% were controlled through purchase contracts. We continue to actively manage our investments in lots, land and development based on market conditions. We remain focused on relationships with land developers across the country so we can build more homes on lots developed by others. This approach enhances our capital efficiency, returns and operational flexibility.
Our owned lot position is down 13% from a year ago. And in the third quarter, 67% of the homes we closed were on lots developed by either Forestar or third parties, up from 66% in the prior year quarter. During the third quarter, our homebuilding investments in lots, land and development totaled $2.1 billion, including $1.5 billion for finished lots and $520 million for land development and $75 million for land acquisition. Paul?
In the third quarter, our rental operations generated $31 million of pretax income on $266 million of revenues from the sale of 601 single-family rental homes and 339 multifamily rental units. At June 30, our rental property inventory totaled $3 billion, including $2.7 billion of multifamily rental properties and $321 million of single-family rental properties.
We remain focused on improving the capital efficiency and returns of our rental operations, and we currently expect our rental inventory to remain around $3 billion. Turning to our financial services operations. Pretax income for the third quarter was $70 million on $221 million of revenues, resulting in a pretax profit margin of 31.9%. Mike?
Forestar, our majority-owned residential lot development company reported third quarter revenues of $407 million on 3,659 lots sold with pretax income of $49 million. At June 30, Forestar's owned and controlled lot position totaled 92,000 lots. 66% of Forestar's owned lots are under contract with or subject to a right of first offer to D.R. Horton.
During the third quarter, we purchased $360 million of finished lots from Forestar. Forestar's strong separately capitalized balance sheet, national operating platform and lot supply position them well to provide essential finished lots to the homebuilding industry and to continue aggregating significant market share over the next several years. Bill?
Our capital allocation strategy remains disciplined and balanced, supporting an operating platform that delivers attractive returns and substantial operating cash flows. We maintain a strong balance sheet with low leverage and healthy liquidity providing significant financial flexibility to adapt to changing market conditions and opportunities. At June 30, we had $6.1 billion of consolidated liquidity, including $2.1 billion of cash and $4 billion of available capacity on our credit facilities.
Total debt at quarter end was $7.1 billion, with $600 million of homebuilding senior notes maturing over the next 12 months. Our consolidated leverage at June 30 was 23%, and we continue to target leverage of around 20% over the long term. During the first 9 months of the year, homebuilding cash provided by operations totaled $1.3 billion, and consolidated cash provided by operations was $881 million.
During the third quarter, we paid cash dividends of $0.45 per share, totaling $127 million. and our Board has declared a quarterly dividend at the same level to be paid in August. We also repurchased 4.2 million shares of common stock for $616 million during the quarter, reducing our outstanding share count by 6% compared to a year ago. At quarter end, our stockholders' equity was $23.8 billion, down 1% from a year ago, while book value per share increased 5% from a year ago to $84.85. Jessica?
Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we currently expect consolidated revenues to be in the range of $8.8 billion to $9.3 billion, with homes closed by our homebuilding operations to be in the range of 22,500 to 23,000 homes. We expect our home sales gross margin for the fourth quarter to be in the range of 20.5% to 21% and our consolidated pretax profit margin to be between 12.3% and 12.8%.
For the full year of fiscal 2026, we now expect consolidated revenues of approximately $32.5 billion to $33 billion and homes closed by our homebuilding operations, of 83,800 to 84,300 homes. We now forecast an income tax rate for fiscal 2026 of approximately 25% and still expect operating cash flow of at least $3 billion common stock repurchases of approximately $2.5 billion and dividend payments of around $500 million. Paul?
In closing, our results and positioning reflect the strength of our experienced teams industry-leading market share, broad geographic footprint and focus on delivering quality homes at affordable price points. These are key components of our operating platform that support our ability to grow market share generate substantial operating cash flows and consistently return capital to our shareholders. We recognize the current volatility and uncertainty in the broader economy, and we will remain agile and disciplined as we focus on enhancing the long-term value of D.R. Horton.
Finally, I want to thank the entire D.R. Horton family, our employees, land developers, trade partners, vendors and real estate agents for your continued dedication and hard work. We remain committed to continuing to improve our operations and creating homeownership opportunities for even more individuals and families.
This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now host questions.
[Operator Instructions] And the first question today is coming from John Lovallo from UBS.
2. Question Answer
The first one is that stabilization is something that we've heard numerous times in our channel checks despite what's been continued volatility from not only an interest rate but a geopolitical standpoint, I mean, would you agree with that assessment? And do you think that we're kind of getting to a point where we're starting to form a bottom here?
I would say that when looking at our sales, our sales were relatively in line with normal seasonality for a little softer post our call in April and still see plenty of buyers out there in our sales offices as we travel and in front of people, it's just needing to see them be a little more confident in the overall economy and their ability to move forward with a sale -- with a purchase today.
Understood. And you guys slightly pulled back, I think, about 3% on your full year deliveries despite being -- within actually towards the upper end of the third quarter range and with flattish orders on a year-over-year basis. So I guess, is the trimmed outlook predominantly driven by just uncertainty in consumer confidence and geopolitics as we move into the fourth quarter, is it a function of maybe lower than internally expected orders in the third quarter? Or are you just kind of moderating growth to maintain margin?
It was lower than our internal expected sales rate. We really kind of needed to see a little better than normal seasonality in the quarter and felt like we could see that at the beginning of the quarter that demand softened a little bit as we went through the quarter and hence, the reduction in our annual guide.
But to your point, John, happy with the trade-off of what we were able to achieve from a gross margin perspective at the lower sales volume level.
The next question will be from Stephen Kim from Evercore.
Impressive results in what I consider to be a pretty tough environment, but that's kind of related to my first question. When you think about the current environment and you look at your outlook for, let's say, long-term through cycle returns, how do these current results stack up relative to that? Like do you regard your current returns is about average longer term? Or if not, what are the elements that you expect might push your returns higher or lower over the longer term?
Yes, Steve, our current returns are lower than where we expect them to be longer term. We have our margins. While in the longer-term historic range, we believe our longer-term stabilized margin should be a bit higher than this. Our operating margin, including our SG&A leverage should be better than this over time, when we're seeing some more consistent growth, we have not seen growth on our top line for a few years here.
And so we're always positioning for growth and so with a little better operating leverage. And frankly, I think we still feel like we have some opportunity to improve our capital efficiency in our homes and inventory and our land. So we continue to focus on that. So overall, we would expect our returns on our capital, whether it's ROA, ROE, both to be higher longer term than they are right now.
That's encouraging, and I appreciate that color, Bill. Second question kind of relates to scale? And I think you talked about when growth returns, that's when you think SG&A could be leveraged and that makes sense. However, I was curious if you could contextualize that given the fact that we've seen a lot of consolidation in the industry from competitors, let's say, both foreign and domestic. I'm wondering if you can comment on how you think about your opportunity set from a scale perspective, particularly, I know you've been hard at work generating a lot of economies of scale and your volume is kind of stabilized here. But you still talk about future growth.
And so I'm curious, can you talk about what the importance of scale for you to achieve the efficiencies that you desire. Should we be thinking there's another sort of step function higher in volume that could unlock some of these opportunities? Or maybe you could think about it a little differently, you could walk us through that.
Steve, when you look at our scale today or at our revenues and absorption being relatively flat over the last couple of years, that's why we have been expanding our footprint. We've opened or so markets over the last 5 years, and we've lacked some leverage on our SG&A because of creating that foot. But I think that, that footprint geographically puts us in a great position as we see demand rebound a little bit.
We see some strengthening in consumer confidence and demand. We feel we're in a great position to gain scale nationally. We also feel very good about our positioning at a local level. That scale is still very important to us. We see the benefits of it, believe in it, talk about it and still have our operators in a position to maintain their position in the market and grow when the opportunity is there for us.
And as a reminder, we're only #1 only in half of the markets we operate in today. So we still have a lot of opportunity to continue to grow our share locally across the country.
That's great perspective. Appreciate that, guys.
The next question will be from Alan Ratner from Zelman.
Obviously, very impressive results on the gross margin. It looks like a lot of that has been driven by really strong cost controls. And I'm curious, as you think about the cost environment today, Obviously, you've done a great job of pushing back on suppliers and trade and driving down costs where you can. Where do you think you are in that process? Because as we look at, at least the [indiscernible] announcements on Canadian Concrete. I'm not sure how big of a piece of your business that is fuel remains elevated. So do you feel like there's still further room to drive costs lower? Or is there a risk over the next handful of quarters that, that could actually reverse given all of those headwinds I just mentioned.
We lost a little bit of your question, Alan, but I think I got the gist of it. We've seen good improvement in our cost containment efforts in comparison to the prior year but it's an ongoing battle. And there is certainly some headwinds out there right now with some fuel cost increases. I don't believe that Canadian recently announced Canadian tariff changes are going to have a material impact on D.R. Horton. in our footprint.
But looking for us to hang on to perhaps squeeze out a little additional cost improvements in future quarters, but it's more challenging now just as you get closer to an optimal state to get significant improvement going forward.
The next question will be from Matthew Bouley from Barclays.
I wanted to ask on incentives. I think you said the incentives were slightly lower quarter-over-quarter. And so you mentioned demand softened a bit during the quarter. It looked like finished spec came up slightly and obviously, interest rates are where they are. But it seems like, obviously, you're still guiding to that flattish sequential gross margin going forward. So maybe you can just kind of unpack what's assumed around incentives there. And why wouldn't there be kind of an incremental incentive headwind going forward?
Well, as in the current environment, we saw a slight improvement in incentives, but as Paul mentioned, it was a bit softer later in the quarter. So we do expect incentives to remain elevated. And as Mike just discussed, we may still see some stick and brick savings, but we have achieved a lot of what we expect to achieve today. So really, where we see where we are is a relatively stable outlook going into the next quarter.
Obviously, a lot of our sales and our closings in the quarter occur in the same quarter, so there's still some uncertainty around what may be required going forward. But right now, the visibility we have points to a relatively stable margin going into Q4.
Okay. Got it. And then secondly, stepping back, I wanted to ask about your exposure to the first-time buyer. I think it looks like it's -- you're around 2/3 today, first-time buyer. And we can go back any number of years once upon a time, that was half the business, maybe even less than half the business. So it's been a very steady mix towards that first-time buyer.
And so given the state of the first-time buyer today, would you say that the kind of 2/3 of the business you're at now maybe stabilize do you expect it to actually continue to move higher if you kind of look at it as we are kind of the answer to the affordable needs of the country today? Or would you actually look at it and say, you know what, we -- maybe we actually do want to mix a little bit back towards that kind of first-time move-up buyer. So just curious on how you're positioning the business from that perspective on a multiyear time frame.
The positioning of our business today lends itself to still seeing significant portion of our buyers, I think, in that 2/3 range as first-time homebuyers there's some opportunity to go up some. We'll certainly take it. If we see more buyers out there, we're happy every day to sell them a home. That said, as we penetrate markets, we also take the opportunity to move upmarket a little bit.
So I think blending that at a community level and at a division level, our operators are charged every day to find the market, go meet that market. But I would expect us to see a first-time homebuyer segment relatively consistent with what we see this quarter.
The next question will be from [ Eric Bosshard ] from Cleveland Research.
The stick and brick down 5% curious where you're seeing that if labor is a meaningful piece of that? And then the path forward you expect from here and how this is influencing or contributing to gross margin?
Sure, Eric. The majority of the savings we're seeing is still on framing, which will be inclusive of labor. As I think we've talked about previously, we pay for a lot of things turnkey. So we can't split it out for you perfectly labor versus materials. But framing was our biggest cost category of savings. Very positively, though, across all of our major cost categories, we saw a decline in terms of our costs on closings in the third quarter.
And so I think we expect that to hold at least into Q4. Maybe into '27, we start to have a slight lumber headwind again with where lumber prices have gone, but we feel good for at least the next quarter or so.
And then in terms of how that is supporting gross margin or supporting the ability to increase incentives, how are you thinking about that or planning that? Or how is that playing out?
Incentives and the cost -- the stick-and-brick cost structure and incentives in our mind are kind of separate things. We think about the home we want to deliver on a lot, try to build it as efficiently as possible. And then look to go to market with the appropriate price and incentives that stimulate demand in the marketplace to get the pace we need to drive the return we need and then manage the return on the basis of trying to pull back or increase incentives to stimulate demand or to improve margin, 2 separate parts of the equation for us.
And then secondly, you were relatively clear that in the quarter, a little less volume, a little bit more margin. Is this the path forward strategically? I know it moves around, but is that kind of plan A from here?
That was our plan this past quarter, and we're going to respond to the market based on what we see quarter-to-quarter, month-to-month, really week to week. So we're managing our business I think very efficiently responding to the market as it comes to us. Our operators did a great job of delivering on the quarter in terms of our guidance in closings and in margin. We did make the decision to hold margin a little more then push into the units and hence, the reduction in our guide for the year. But we're going to continue to manage the business as efficiently as we can to drive the best returns that we have at a community level.
The next question will be from Sam Reid from Wells Fargo.
You gave a lot of helpful color on lot cost inflation. I believe it was up 5% year-over-year in the third quarter. Curious as to what's embedded for lot cost inflation in the fourth quarter and then contextualize where you see that line item potentially tracking into next year, whether you expect to get some help just from Slack in the horizontal supply chain or whether there could be some implications from higher oil costs on some of those horizontal lot inputs.
We expect to see similar lot cost appreciation, although we're seeing some savings and some benefit in the development costs that won't come through for several quarters, well into '27 and '28, anything that we are seeing today. So expect to see similar level of log cost inflation as we head into the fourth quarter.
That's helpful. And maybe let's switch gears and quickly touch on SG&A. There was a step up in SG&A spend on a dollar basis. I realize there was probably some community count embedded in that. But just if you could contextualize some of the levers behind the higher year-over-year homebuilding SG&A dollars just so we can understand how we should be thinking about that both for the quarter and also for Q4.
Yes, Sam. The primary driver of the SG&A has been our community count increase. Our active communities were up 9% year-over-year. Our total dollar spend of SG&A was up 8%. So relatively in line there, and that's been a trend for the last 2 to 3 years as we've added 30 markets over the last several years.
So -- but yes, our volume -- so our absorptions per community have declined a bit, and so our overall revenues have not increased, and we've been adjusting our ASPs to meet the market as well. So we've had some deleveraging over the last couple of years, but at the point at which we do begin to see stabilization in pricing and absorption pace, we would expect them to be in a position to get forward operating leverage on SG&A. But right now, we're in a position where we've built the infrastructure, and we need to see the growth coming off of that in the future.
The next question will be from Ryan Gilbert from BTIG.
I want to circle back on the finer spec inventory question. does look like finished specs are up around 2,100 homes sequentially. I think that's more than the typical sequential increase. Is that more than you expected? Is that tied to some of the softer results in the I guess, May and June versus what you saw in mid-April. And then how should we think about potential gross margin implications for rightsizing the spec count?
So we look at the spec count, it's a function of a few things. One is some improvements that we continue to see in our construction cycle times. So we're finishing homes faster. At the same time, our average selling communities are up 9%. So that's up more than those completed specs are up. Therefore, we have fewer per community at this time.
And then the other part to the forward margin piece, those completed specs are very recently completed. You can look at our aged specs, and they're actually down a few hundred units year-over-year. And so we feel pretty good about going into the fourth quarter, able to provide a stable margin guide.
Yes. And as we said in the scripted part, we do expect our Q4 starts to be lower than Q3 and we'll continue to adjust our starts accordingly based on the demand that we're seeing. Of our total completed specs, only 600 have been completed and unsold for greater than 6 months, and that's actually down from 800 sequentially. So to Mike's point, the vast majority of our completed specs are very fresh.
Right. Okay. Yes, that makes sense. And then second question is on community count growth. I think you've talked in the past about that growth rate decelerating to kind of a mid-single-digit rate at some point in time. I'm just wondering, given the continued declines in the control block count, should we recalibrate that mid-single-digit growth rate expectation? Or do you think you can continue to grow community count despite lower control bots?
Yes. I think that would still be our base case over the longer term is that our goal would be to have a roughly mid-single-digit community count growth. It can be a little bit choppy. It's actually been sticky at the low double digits for quite some time. We did see a slight moderation to a 9% increase on a year-over-year basis this quarter and 2% sequentially. So did start to see it trend down modestly and would still expect it to trend down to mid-single digit over time.
The next question will be from Anthony Pettinari from Citi.
I was wondering if you could talk about any meaningful regional variation you're seeing in terms of demand and any MSAs that stand out as being stronger or weaker. And I guess, related question, we've heard about some MSAs with tech exposure being strong, like big area, some others like Seattle being weak. Is there anything you're sort of observing there? It's kind of sometimes hard to tell whether that's a plus or minus, but...
I think what you just mentioned is consistent with what we're seeing and fairly consistent with what we talked about last quarter on the call is that across really the -- what we show as our North operating area, which is the Mid-Atlantic states, the Ohio Valley, the Midwest seeing relative strength in most of those markets. little more weakness out in the Northwest and especially as you look up into Seattle, where we've seen some of the shift in the software jobs and more layoffs and some headwinds to demand in those markets. and that's pretty consistent with what we've seen through this quarter.
Okay. Okay. And then any other regional variations that you'd highlight in terms of, I don't know, Sunbelt or Northeast or...
The Florida market seems to be performing pretty consistently at this point in time and some of the same across the Southeast. So it's been pretty encouraging.
Right. Great. And then I guess one last one. Sticking brick costs down year-over-year, you've taken down cycle times year-over-year. Is there sort of a theoretical limit or for cycle times? Just generally, how should we think about that?
You'll never hear us say there's a floor in terms of our ability to run our business more efficiently. That said, the reduction has come more from complete to close than it has from our start to complete. In other words, in the construction cycle time, we've come down maybe a day, I think sequentially, and most of that reduction has been from complete to close.
So our focus in the field and our operations in our communities is to sell the homes earlier in the process. We're building homes at the most efficient rate that we have in the history of the company. And so we need to get back to selling homes earlier in the process that will help reduce that overall start to close cycle time, and we do think there's some room to bring that down further.
The next question will be from Rafe Jadrosich from Bank of America.
Can you remind us the lag between when lumber prices move and when it shows up in your gross margin for delivered homes?
It usually takes a few quarters for that to come through based upon how we're kind of priced to an average price at the point of purchase order and then those homes have to go through the production process to be sold and closed to show up in margin. So it's usually...
A few, so 3?
Yes, 2 to 3 quarters is fair.
Okay. And then the second question, just your operator has been pretty nimble sort of balancing margin and volume and sort of coming -- earlier this year, it seemed like there was more of a push into the volume in the first half, and there's been an adjustment here. Can you just talk about maybe what you're seeing out there that kind of caused that shift? Is it where 3Q orders came in? Is it the outlook for the fourth quarter? And then what would it take to sort of get you to shift back to more aggressive volume given the growth ambitions you have longer term and the strong pipeline?
Our efficiency and reduced cycle times have allowed us to respond inter-quarter to those changes in demand. And I think that's really what you saw with our second quarter where we saw a strong early selling season allowed us -- our spring selling season allowed us to increase our star-based respond to that, and then we adjust in kind.
I think when throughout this past quarter, we saw the market soften a little bit, and that's why we're anticipating to see our start rate in the fourth quarter be below what it was this past quarter. So really, it's our operators, to your point, being nimble, responding to the market. and being out there on the ground every day responding to the market that comes at them.
The next question will be from Trevor Allinson from Wolfe Research.
First question is back on incentives and your rate buydown program with the rates moving higher through the quarter, have you made any adjustments to those programs? And if so, can you talk about what rate you were buying down to on average currently? And how does that compare to recent quarters?
It was actually the first quarter that we did see our rate in backlog tick up. because of that move in rates. So we saw our average buy down decreased slightly to 1.6% from 1.7% in the second quarter. and the mortgage rate for our buyers and backlog utilizing our mortgage company at June 30 was 4.9% against, call it, a rough market rate of about 6.5%. So we're still in the market pretty consistently with anywhere from, call it, 4.99% to 5.5% depending on mortgage product. We have an array of offerings. So you'll find some things outside of that band, but that would be the largest piece of our offering today.
Okay. And then second question. Last quarter, you talked about selling specs earlier in the construction cycle, expecting that to provide some gross margin benefits. Can you quantify -- or just talk about any of the benefit you saw in 3Q from that process? And should we expect incremental tailwinds from selling earlier in the construction process in 4Q?
We definitely did see probably on those closings a lower incentive level having to be offered. At the same time, it provides a much greater efficiency to the turn of the inventory in the selling process earlier so that as soon as the construction process is complete, the buyer has gone through the mortgage qualification process, and they're excited and ready to move into their home.
Certainly more room for improvement, though, we saw a step-up in those closings this quarter, but it's not where we ultimately want it to be.
Thank you for all the color and good luck moving forward.
The next question will be from Susan Maklari from Goldman Sachs.
My first question is on the rental side of the market. Can you talk about what you're seeing there, especially post the housing legislation that passed and how you're thinking about the outlook in terms of that part of the business?
We certainly saw with -- until it was settled some uncertainty in that market, a pullback on the single-family for rent purchasers. We have seen them out there with interest, I haven't seen a significant shift as of yet. It's fairly new in terms of the legislation being activated, but feel good about our position there. Majority of what we're selling is really on a forward sale basis. And so we have those opportunities and continuing to work with the buyers that have been with us in the future and look for new buyers for that segment.
Okay. That's helpful. And then thinking about the priorities of capital allocation, you reiterated the guide for the $2.5 billion of buybacks. I guess considering though where you are already coming into this quarter, and the seasonality of the cash flows, how should we think about the potential for some upside there? What are you watching for to get more active in that? And can you talk about any other priorities in terms of capital allocation?
Our share repurchases and dividends are governed by our cash flow. And right now, our visibility to cash flow is still to meet or exceed $3 billion. And so our year-to-date spend on repurchases has been in excess of our cash flow year-to-date. Obviously, we expect a strong cash flow performance in Q4 to get that more in line. So right now, we don't really have visibility to any upside to any large extent on our current year repurchases, but we will monitor cash flow as we move through the quarter and adjust accordingly.
The next question will be from Mike Dahl from RBC Capital Markets.
Maybe to expand on Susan's question. Can you just broaden out and give us your perspective now that the roads housing has officially passed and you know all the final details. Give us your view on kind of puts and takes and whether or not anything really is impactful aside from what you just commented on the SFR or BTR dynamic?
I think one of the biggest impacts will be on the SFR. It settled down for institutional investors, their ability to operate in their business without required sale. I think that is certainly a benefit. We're encouraged by the fact that there's still a lot of focus on affordability. And on deregulation, I think that has the biggest long-term impact or opportunity at the state level.
And then really, it has to come down to a local level, municipal and county level where we see some deregulation opportunity. We're hopeful for that. We see more of that discussion today throughout our communities. But don't expect to see any significant shift or change in either demand or supply in the near term from what was just passed.
Got it. Okay. Appreciate that. And then just shifting gears back to the land dynamic. I mean, your land acquisition spend in particular, has been coming down. And obviously, that's kind of alongside the lot count. But can you just give us your give us your perspective on the land market right now and how you're managing that? It seems like for the time being, even as you enter new markets and try to build those positions, you're comfortable with kind of moving to the sidelines a bit on acquisition or shrinking your account a little, but just curious to get kind of your updated views on how that market is evolving.
We're certainly trying to have our land acquisition efforts in line with what we see as market demand right now. And there are some markets that we've been able to rework some of our lot position, lot portfolio with working with our developers been very pleased with their partnership and working through some changes along those lines.
At the same time, there's still opportunities. We see where it still makes great sense to go out and tie up new positions. We're probably buying less road dirt in the most recent quarters than we have in a while, and we'll probably continue that trend a bit right now because there's a fair number of lots that are in the pipeline, both under control by us and that are available from some of our development partners to look at.
Our focus is to continue to manage it more efficiently and own fewer lots where we can if we're still in a position to be in control of our start pace which will govern our revenue. So we have about 1.5 years of owned land today, which is down from 1.6 years sequentially and 1.7 years year-over-year. But more importantly, we control 6.7 years. So we're in a great position even with our lot count coming down a little bit. We're pleased that our owned lot count has come down, but we still control on the 7 years plan overall.
The next question will be from Buck Horne from Raymond James.
I'm just wondering if you can go back to the intra-quarter demand trends a little bit. Just as it relates to the can rate. I'm just wondering, as demand kind of seasonally softened into May and June. I was wondering if you saw -- was the can rate also to increase their back-end loaded? Or was it more of a slowdown in kind of the incoming gross orders or some combination of both?
Yes. It was a little bit of both as we saw a bit of softening mid-quarter in the latter part of the quarter, our can rate did tick up alongside that. And so that was something that our operators were adjusting through the quarter.
Even our exit rate though, [indiscernible] for the quarter was still low within our normal historical range.
Awesome. That's helpful, Jessica. Appreciate that. And what were the largest reasons for cancellation in the quarter, it was the ability to qualify or just cold feet or any other reasons?
Yes. It's still largely qualification as it historically has been. We haven't [indiscernible] general lack of confidence. We'd love to see a bit more confidence among our buyers today, but the qualification is still largely the biggest reason for cans.
The next question will be from Kenneth Zener from Seaport Research.
And the gross margin beat, can you talk to -- I mean your regional segment results are very consistent versus other builders. So was it -- what kind of led to that modest beat that you guys had? Was it regional mix? Can you talk to these newer 30 markets, which you said you have higher SG&A, do they also have higher gross margins.
No. Typically, a new market wouldn't have higher-than-normal gross margins. It takes a little while for them to live into that on both the gross margin and SG&A front. So that would be a little bit of a drag compared to our company averages.
I think mostly that margin beat is the efforts in cost reduction and it's stick and brick and it's seeing those come through now with the efforts that our operators have been focused on for some time, and that's largely where we saw, I think, the difference in the margin be slight reduction in incentives as well as we adjusted throughout the market and took the position to hold on to a little bit of margin instead of leaning into absorption.
Okay. And then you talked about 4Q starts being below 3Q, which is not -- it's not heroic. Last year, your starts were 14,500. Is that the range that we should be thinking about, given that occurred last year? I'm just trying to think about your base of inventory units, which historically, you said are in the inventory tends to -- that was your long-term revenue outlook. Now you're a little more efficient, so it could be higher than that. But I'm trying to think where you're bringing starts in 4Q and inventory for your '27 positioning.
Certainly seeing 4Q starts inside of 3Q. And while that's not heroic, it will be more starts probably than we had last year in the fourth quarter. It was deliberately suppressed to try to bring inventory back in line. largely, it's going to be dependent upon the sales environment we see through the quarter and positioning for our September 30 inventory. A 2x turn had been a historical norm for us. Today, we're looking in excess of that, and our internal goals are to get that to 3. And we'll be [indiscernible] this year, but we'll be close.
The next question will be from Jade Rahmani from KBW.
Just the multifamily inventory given where rates are and cap rates in the market as well as supply overhang. What's the outlook for stabilizing and moving that inventory?
We write at about $3 billion in terms of our total, and that's split largely between apartments at $2.7 billion and around $320 million in our build for rent. Our focus on the build for rent has really been on a forward sale, so we don't need to grow that much other than if we see demand for that, then we'll be able to build into it. And we're looking to hold that inventory stable at about that $3 billion mark.
And then the multifamily, we do expect to close a few more units in Q4. So expect that inventory to come down a bit. in Q4 and then in aggregate, keep the overall rental inventory multi and single within the $3 billion range. So a bit coming down in the short term, though.
And then on the technology side, I was wondering if there's anything in off-site manufacturing or AI you're seeing that looks promising. The housing legislation included some manufacturing housing incentives and maybe that's an area of potential synergy. Just curious about your thoughts there.
We continue to evaluate opportunities to deliver the housing more efficiently. Looking at a wide number of off-site manufacturing processes and players that are trying to work crack the code there. We haven't yet found anything that's replacing the way we've done it for a long time. They can do it more efficiently. But we are continually looking and evaluating.
The next question will be from Jay McCanless from Citizens.
So my first question, nice to see the backlog price up. year-on-year for the first time in several quarters. I guess, is that just a function of mix? Or were you guys able to find some pricing power in some of these markets?
I think that's largely a function of mix. We do have pricing power in some markets. And when that opportunity is there, our operators are going to take it at the community level. some of that slight reduction in incentives as well. Well, if it's in our rate buydowns we'll add back to the revenue call.
And then the second question, just kind of looking at July and rates have been moving up pretty aggressively. I guess, what have you seen so far on traffic and demand? And also as part of that, what are you seeing from competitive inventories, especially on the entry level and first-time buyer side?
I don't know we've seen much change in inventories. I think that the industry as a whole has been relatively disciplined and trying to measure that towards demand, still early in July for us to forecast, and we're responding daily in the field and at point of sale to meet what's in front of us.
And the next question will be from Alex Barron from Housing Research Center.
Sorry if this was asked in a different manner. But on the single-family rental side, it seems the business has sort of been winding down. Is that the basic idea of what's going to happen? Or is this going to come back at some point?
We have taken the business from one in which we develop the entire neighborhood, stabilized the neighborhood and sold it as a fully stabilized rental property to one in which we're working with those institutional and owners of those properties to basically deliver units to them as we complete construction. So they're responsible for the lease-up and stabilization process of it. We do the site identification acquisition development. They then do the lease-up and stabilization process and ownership.
And there was probably a little bit of a gap while there was a lot of uncertainty until we knew how the actual act was going to come out. And so I think those buyers now can be more comfortable to move forward. So we certainly are not winding that business down. and could do more of it going forward depending on investor appetite.
And it's a more efficient model. So we will operate it with a lower inventory balance than we had historically in the SFR business.
So will it still show like an on-balance sheet type business where you report revenues and closings and stuff? Or is it more of a off balance sheet or JV or something else?
Same. Not a JV. Selling homes on completion to third parties.
Okay. And on the multifamily side, it seems like you guys still have a lot of assets committed, but it doesn't seem like there's too many revenues coming out of it lately. So can you expand on what the future looks like.
We do expect an increase in revenues in Q4 from multifamily business. There are a number of projects that are under contract are completed or stabilized. And so we've got a little bit of a back-end weighted revenue base here for fiscal '26. And as we look into fiscal '27, we do have an active pipeline that is working and expect to continue to add to that over time. But the revenues have been a bit inconsistent quarter-to-quarter.
And that does conclude today's Q&A session. I will now hand the call over to Paul Romanowski for closing remarks.
Thank you, Paul. We appreciate everyone joining us today, and we look forward to sharing our fourth quarter and full year results with you on Thursday, October 29. And to the entire D.R. Horton team, congratulations on a solid third quarter. Thank you for all that you do.
Thank you. This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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D.R. Horton — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
D.R. Horton — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
Q3 2026: Starke Margen und hoher Cash-Return bei D.R. Horton, Jahresguide leicht nach unten wegen nachlassender Nachfrage.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $9,2 Mrd. konsolidiert im Q3
- EPS: $3,20 (vs. $3,36 Vorjahr)
- Homes: 23.983 Closings, am oberen Ende der Guidance
- Bruttomarge: Home‑sales gross margin 20,7% (oberes Ende der Prognose)
- Cash: $3,4 Mrd. operativer Cashflow TTM, vollständig an Aktionäre zurückgeführt
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Kapitalallokation: Fokus auf Dividenden und Rückkäufe; Board bestätigt Quartalsdividende $0,45 und Ziel für Repurchases ~ $2,5 Mrd.
- Inventarsteuerung: Starts werden aktiv gesteuert (Q4‑Starts unter Q3), Priorität auf Margen/Capital Efficiency statt reiner Volumenausweitung.
- Lot-/Landstrategie: Ca. 570.000 Lots kontrolliert (22% owned); starke Nutzung von Forestar und Drittanbietern zur Steigerung Kapital-Effizienz.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q4: Umsatz $8,8–9,3 Mrd., Homes closed 22.500–23.000, Home‑sales gross margin 20,5–21%, konsolidierte Pretax‑Marge 12,3–12,8%
- FY2026: Umsatz $32,5–33,0 Mrd., Homes 83.800–84.300, Steuersatz ~25%
- Cash & Kapital: Operativer Cashflow ≥ $3 Mrd., Repurchases ≈ $2,5 Mrd., Dividenden ≈ $500 Mio.; Konsolidierte Liquidität $6,1 Mrd.
- Risiken: Nachfrageschwäche, erhöhte Incentives, mögliche Materialkosten‑Rückschläge (z.B. Lumber) und Lot‑Inflation.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Volumen vs. Marge: Management wählte in Q3 Margenerhalt über zusätzliches Volumen; Jahresausblick leicht gesenkt wegen schwächerer Sales‑Pace im Quartal.
- Anreize & Ratenbuydown: Incentives leicht gefallen, bleiben aber erhöht; durchschnittlicher Buydown in Backlog ~1,6%, gebundene Käufer‑Rates ~4,9% vs. Markt ~6,5%.
- Kosten & SG&A: Stick‑and‑brick‑Senkungen (insb. Framing) tragen zur Marge bei; weiterer signifikanter Abbau schwieriger. SG&A stieg 8% (mehr Communities); Hebelwirkung erwartet erst bei wieder anziehendem Umsatz.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solide operative Performance: Margen über Guidance, starker Cash‑Return und disziplinierte Bilanz. Kurzfristig limitiert Wachstum durch gedämpfte Nachfrage und erhöhte Incentives; Aktie profitiert weiter von Rückkäufen/dividendenfreundlicher Kapitalallokation, während Anleger Nachfrage‑ und Kostenindikatoren beobachten sollten.
D.R. Horton — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call for D.R. Horton, America's Builder. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded.
I will now turn the call over to Jessica Hansen, Senior Vice President of Communications for D.R. Horton.
Thank you, Paul, and good morning. Welcome to our call to discuss our financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026.
Before we get started, today's call includes forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although D.R. Horton believes any such statements are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual outcomes will not be materially different. All forward-looking statements are based upon information available to D.R. Horton on the date of this conference call, and D.R. Horton does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements.
Additional information about factors that could lead to material changes in performance is contained in D.R. Horton's annual report on Form 10-K and its most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q, both of which are filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This morning's earnings release and our supplemental data presentation can be found on our website at investor.drhorton.com, and we plan to file our 10-Q later this week. After this call, we will also post our updated investor presentation to our Investor Relations site on the Presentations section under News & Events, for your reference.
Now I will turn the call over to Paul Romanowski, our President and CEO.
Thank you, Jessica, and good morning. I am pleased to also be joined on this call by Mike Murray, our Chief Operating Officer; and Bill Wheat, our Chief Financial Officer.
The D.R. Horton team delivered solid second quarter results with consolidated pretax income of $867 million on $7.6 billion of revenues and a pretax profit margin of 11.5%. New home demand remains impacted by affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment. However, our tenured teams continue to respond to current market conditions with discipline.
During the quarter, we delivered a consolidated pretax profit margin above the high end of our guidance range, generated revenues within our expected range and increased net sales orders by 11% compared to the prior year quarter. At the same time, we reduced our unsold completed homes by 35% from a year ago, reflecting our focus on balancing sales pace, pricing and incentives to drive incremental sales while maximizing returns.
We continue to focus on capital efficiency to generate strong operating cash flows and deliver compelling returns to our shareholders. Over the past 12 months, we generated $3.7 billion of cash from operations and returned $4 billion to shareholders through repurchases and dividends. For the trailing 12 months ended March 31, our homebuilding pretax return on inventory was 17.6%, while our consolidated returns on equity and assets were 13.2% and 8.9%. Our return on assets ranked in the top 20% of all S&P 500 companies for the past 3-, 5- and 10-year periods, demonstrating that our disciplined, returns-focused operating model delivers sustainable results and positions us well for continued value creation.
Our sales incentives increased during the second quarter, and we expect incentives to remain elevated for the rest of the year with a level dependent on demand, mortgage interest rates and other market conditions. We work every day to leverage our industry-leading platform, unmatched scale, efficient operations and experienced teams to bring homeownership opportunities at affordable price points to more Americans. 65% of our mortgage company's closings this quarter were to first-time homebuyers. We will continue to tailor our product offerings, sales incentives and inventory levels based on demand in each of our markets to maximize returns.
Mike?
Earnings for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 were $2.24 per diluted share compared to $2.58 per share in the prior year quarter. Net income for the quarter was $648 million on consolidated revenues of $7.6 billion. Home sales revenues in the second quarter totaled $7 billion on 19,486 homes closed compared to $7.2 billion on 19,276 homes closed in the prior year quarter. Our average closing price was $361,600, down 1% sequentially and down 3% year-over-year. Our average sales price on homes closed is below the average price of new homes in the United States by approximately $160,000 or about 30%, reflecting our focus on affordability. In addition, the median sales price of our homes is approximately $70,000 lower than the median price of an existing home.
Bill?
Net sales orders increased 11% year-over-year in the second quarter to 24,992 homes, while total order value increased 10% to $9.2 billion, in line with our business plan and expectations. Our cancellation rate for the quarter was 16%, consistent with the prior year period and down from 18% sequentially. The average number of active selling communities increased 4% sequentially and 11% year-over-year. The average price of net sales orders was $366,300, up 1% sequentially and down 2% compared to the prior year quarter.
Jessica?
Our gross profit margin on home sales revenue in the second quarter was 20.1%, which included a 40 basis point benefit from a favorable litigation outcome and lower-than-normal warranty costs. Assuming normalized warranty and litigation costs, our home sales gross margin would have been 19.7% in the second quarter, slightly higher than our guidance range.
On a per square foot basis, sequentially, home sales revenues and stick and brick costs were both down 2% while lot costs were essentially flat. Year-over-year, home sales revenue and stick and brick costs were both down 4% per square foot, while lot costs were up 4%. We currently expect our home sales gross margin to be 19.7% or slightly higher in the third quarter as we expect to realize additional construction cost savings on homes closed. Incentive levels and gross margin for the remainder of the year will continue to be dependent on demand, mortgage rates and broader market conditions.
Bill?
Our homebuilding SG&A expenses in the second quarter increased 2% compared to last year, and SG&A as a percentage of revenues was 9.2%, up from 8.9% in the prior year quarter. The year-over-year increase in our SG&A expense ratio was primarily driven by lower home closings revenue, reflecting the decline in our average sales price. We continue to manage our platform with discipline and remain focused on gaining market share efficiently while driving operating leverage over time.
Paul?
We started 27,500 homes in the second quarter and we ended the quarter with 38,200 homes in inventory, of which, 22,900 were unsold and 5,500 were completed and unsold. Our completed unsold homes are down 25% from December and 35% from a year ago, with both unsold homes as a percentage of total inventory and completed unsold inventory at their lowest levels since fiscal 2023.
For homes closed in the second quarter, our median cycle time from home start to home close improved by almost a month year-over-year. Our improved cycle times enable us to hold less inventory and turn homes more efficiently. We expect starts in the third quarter to be lower than the second quarter, and we will continue to manage our inventory levels and start pace based on market conditions.
Mike?
Our homebuilding lot position at March 31 consisted of approximately 575,000 lots, of which, 23% were owned and 77% were controlled through purchase contracts. We are actively managing our investments in lots, land and development based on current market conditions.
We remain focused on our relationships with land developers across the country to allow us to build more homes on lots developed by others. This approach enhances our capital efficiency, returns and operational flexibility. In the second quarter, 67% of the homes we closed were on lots developed by either Forestar or third parties, up from 64% in the prior year quarter. During the second quarter, our homebuilding investments in lots, land and development totaled $2.1 billion, including $1.5 billion for finished lots, $500 million for land development and $120 million for land acquisition.
Paul?
In the second quarter, our rental operations generated $12 million of pretax income on $212 million of revenues from the sale of 566 single-family rental homes and 216 multifamily rental units. At March 31, our rental property inventory totaled $3 billion, including $2.7 billion of multifamily rental properties and $347 million of single-family rental properties. We remain focused on improving the capital efficiency and returns of our rental operations, and we currently expect our rental inventory to remain around $3 billion.
Turning to our financial services operations. Pretax income for the second quarter was $52 million on $193 million of revenues, resulting in a pretax profit margin of 26.8%.
Mike?
Forestar, our majority-owned residential lot development company, reported second quarter revenues of $374 million on 2,938 lots sold, with pretax income of $44 million. At March 31, Forestar's owned and controlled lock position totaled 94,000 lots. 65% of Forestar's owned lots are under contract with or subject to a right of first offer to D.R. Horton.
During the second quarter, we purchased $280 million of finished lots from Forestar. Forestar's strong, separately capitalized balance sheet, national operating platform and lot supply position them well to provide essential finished lots to the homebuilding industry and to aggregate significant market share over the next several years.
Bill?
Our capital allocation strategy remains disciplined and balanced, supporting an operating platform that delivers attractive returns and substantial operating cash flows. We maintain a strong balance sheet with low leverage and healthy liquidity, providing significant financial flexibility to adapt to changing market conditions and opportunities.
During the first 6 months of the year, homebuilding cash provided by operations totaled $619 million and consolidated cash provided by operations was $442 million. During the second quarter, we repurchased 6 million shares of common stock for $904 million, reducing our outstanding share count by 8% compared to a year ago. We also paid cash dividends of $0.45 per share, totaling $130 million, and our Board has declared a quarterly dividend at the same level to be paid in May.
At quarter end, our stockholders' equity was $23.6 billion, down 3% from a year ago, while book value per share increased 5% from a year ago to $82.91. At March 31, we had $6 billion of consolidated liquidity, including $1.9 billion of cash and $4.1 billion of available capacity on our credit facilities. Total debt at quarter end was $6.6 billion, with $600 million of homebuilding senior notes maturing over the next 12 months. Our consolidated leverage at March 31 was 21.7%, and we continue to target leverage of around 20% over the long term.
Jessica?
Looking ahead to the third quarter, we currently expect consolidated revenues to be in the range of $8.8 billion to $9.3 billion, with homes closed by our homebuilding operations to be in the range of 23,500 to 24,000 homes. We expect our home sales gross margin for the third quarter to be in the range of 19.7% to 20.2%, and our consolidated pretax margin to be between 12.2% and 12.7%.
For the full year of fiscal 2026, we now expect consolidated revenues of approximately $33.5 billion to $34.5 billion and homes closed by our homebuilding operations of 86,000 to 87,500 homes. We continue to forecast an income tax rate for fiscal 2026 of approximately 24.5%, operating cash flow of at least $3 billion, common stock repurchases of approximately $2.5 billion and dividend payments of around $500 million.
Paul?
In closing, our results and positioning reflect the strength of our experienced teams, industry-leading market share, broad geographic footprint, and focus on delivering quality homes at affordable price points. These are key components of our operating platform that support our ability to aggregate market share, generate substantial operating cash flows and consistently return capital to our shareholders. We recognize the current volatility and uncertainty in the broader economy, and we will continue to adjust to market conditions with discipline as we focus on enhancing the long-term value of D.R. Horton.
Finally, I want to thank the entire D.R. Horton family, our employees, land developers, trade partners, vendors and real estate agents for your continued hard work and commitment. We look forward to continuing to improve our operations and expand homeownership opportunities for more individuals and families throughout fiscal 2026.
This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now host questions.
[Operator Instructions] And the first question today is coming from Alan Ratner from Zelman.
2. Question Answer
Really nice job in a tricky environment. So congratulations. First question, I would love to drill in a little bit more on the gross margin outlook. It sounds like adjusting for the various warranty and litigation charges, it sounds like you're expecting pretty stable margins sequentially, which is very encouraging given what's going on.
I know you mentioned you have some tailwinds there from lower construction costs. I was just curious if you can kind of give a little more detail on what you're seeing on that front lately, especially with the higher oil prices of late. We're starting to pick up some chatter about fuel surcharges from suppliers and trades. And I'm curious, if you're experiencing that in general, what your outlook there is maybe beyond the third quarter if oil remains near current levels?
Sure. As we've discussed in prior quarters, we focused to do out our operations on sitting down with our trades and working our costs down as we held our starts back in Q4 and Q1. I feel good about what has been accomplished there. It's an ongoing effort, will continue to be ongoing. But we can now see in our construction cycle and our construction -- our homes under construction, lower costs coming through. And so we've started to see the front end of that in the current quarter that we're reporting, and we can see a bit more of that coming through next quarter. And so we expect to see some incremental benefits in Q3 and Q4.
With respect to recent inflation, potential inflation from oil prices, that's something we'll be monitoring closely. Right now, we have nothing tangible to report in terms of anticipating inflation from that. But if we were to see an extended period where oil prices stayed elevated for an extended period, then there could be some pressure. If it remains a relatively temporary period, we wouldn't expect too much impact.
Great. I appreciate that. Second question on the rental segment. I know it's not necessarily an area of growth for you guys, but obviously, a lot of noise with the outstanding extended bill related to BFR. I see you did sell 500-plus homes in single-family rental this quarter. Just curious if you could talk about the demand you're seeing kind of -- for going forward on BFR and whether you think this is going to kind of cause a bit of a pullback in activity in your rental segment beyond '26 if it does come to fruition?
We still see interest out there, but there is uncertainty around the legislation, and I think a little bit of a pause in terms of people waiting to see how that plays out specifically as it relates to the 7-year potential sale requirements.
Generally speaking, we have underwritten our build for rent communities as for sale. So if need be, as we go forward, we can move those if needed. We also have focused the majority of our forward business on forward sales. In other words, we aren't starting those unless we have a contract and firm commitments. And so I feel good about our positioning there, not overly relying at all on having that business continue to be able to hit certainly our guide, and feel good about our positioning in the space.
The next question will be from John Lovallo from UBS.
The first one is, how would you sort of characterize demand in March relative to normal seasonality? And the reason I ask is we've had certain checks that indicate normal seasonality sort of occurred each week through the first week of March and then sort of leveled off as the war started. Other checks have indicated they saw normal seasonality all the way through March, notwithstanding the war. And then I'm curious also what you're seeing year-to-date in April from a seasonality standpoint?
I would say the demand was good. We saw sales in line with normal seasonality, kind of as we expected and hoped throughout the month, and we're pleased with our sales results through mid-April at this point. But it's only the middle of the month at this point.
And our cancellation rate was stable throughout the entire quarter.
Yes. No change in that.
Yes. No, that was encouraging. Okay. And then on the order ASP of $366,000, it seemed to stabilize a bit here in the second quarter. It was actually up, I think, quarter-over-quarter for the first time since maybe the second quarter of '24. I mean was there any notable mix impact to call out there? And do you think we sort of found the floor on order ASP or close to it at this point?
I don't know that there was a notable mix for that impact. Our incentives do remain elevated as we had called out. And we're not going to call a floor relative to the market, and demand will depend on what we see through the remainder of the spring and into the summer selling season.
The next question will be from Stephen Kim from Evercore ISI.
Yes, strong results here in a tough market. I wanted to ask you about the incentive environment. You called for incentives remaining elevated through the remainder of the year. And I'm curious if you've seen any changes in trends worth calling out in terms of perhaps maybe an increase in the use of arms or temp buydowns. If you could just give us a sense for what you're seeing in terms of recent trends or recent activity in terms of how your incentives are tracking?
Sure. On the ARM front, we ran about 10% of our closings, at least through a mortgage company this quarter, more an ARM product. That's down from 13% sequentially, but it is up from essentially 0 a year ago. We are incentivizing. We've got products out there that are ARM incentives. So we are not surprised by that tick up. It's been somewhat strategic. I don't know that we expect it to grow materially from here. It could bounce around in that 10% to 15% range would be my guess today.
And then in terms of just the buy down overall, we did have 90% of the buyers that utilized our mortgage company get some version of a permanent and/or a temporary buydown this quarter, which is up on our overall closings. That's roughly 73% of our closings had some form of a buydown.
And could you give us a sense for overall, what incentives may, in aggregate, represent as a percentage of the, maybe the MSRP, the initial home price? And whether this has been -- it's been -- whatever it is, I'm sure it's obviously elevated, as you indicated. It sounds like there's no expectation to sort of bring that down, at least as far as you can see this year. And I'm wondering how would you respond to folks who are worried that this is becoming a new normal, that the buyer has become conditioned to expect very elevated level of incentives. And do you still have the same confidence that you had, let's say, 3 years ago when we started getting into this mess that you're going to be able to bring those incentives all the way back down to the level they historically were.
Steve, the incentives as a percent of revs is roughly 10%. And as it speaks to that level of incentives relative to market, rates have remained relatively stable. They've been somewhat range-bound, and we've stayed pretty consistent in the rates that we're offering. Therefore, that cost of those rates has stayed relatively stable in terms of the total incentive package. That being the most significant incentive that we are giving.
I think we're going to need to see rates moderate some before we see that break up, and/or an increase in consumer confidence and more buyers in the market that allow for a reduction in incentive and over time, eventually, some increase in base house pricing. But we incentivize and look at that on a community by community level. We do have communities that we see a reduced incentive level. We haven't seen that come in aggregate when you look at our overall revenues. And as we focus on selling earlier in the process, we see the opportunity to hold back on some of those incentives as well.
The next question will be from Ryan Gilbert from BTIG.
Just first question on selling -- what you just said on selling homes. Earlier in the process, it does look like based on the backlog data, you've been able to sell more homes before they've been completed. Is that just a function of the drop in standing inventory? Or are you able to offer more incentives on homes under construction than you have been able to previously or have consumer preferences shifted away from completed spec?
With our cycle times where they are today, we're able to sell earlier and still put them into the BFC if that's the incentive that we're needing to get them across the finish line, whereas before construction cycle times were elongated and we weren't able to do that. But usually, when we sell a home earlier, we actually see a gross margin lift versus selling a home later.
Okay. Got it. And then second question on starts, pretty big year-over-year pickup. Did you increase starts throughout the quarter? Do you need to make any adjustments as a result of the Iran conflict? It sounds like potentially not based on the third quarter guidance. But yes, any color on the starts gains throughout the quarter? And then if you think 3Q will also be down on a year-over-year basis in addition to sequentially?
On the starts for the quarter, we maintained our plan for the quarter, throughout the quarter, and we felt really good with the sales demand we saw. So the starts plan was in line and continued. I think we'd be -- expect to be seeing starts down sequentially in Q3, but likely roughly flat with what we had last year, somewhere in that range. Obviously, dependent upon the sales environment at a community level.
The next question will be from Sam Reid from Wells Fargo.
Just wanted to talk through the cycle time benefit you got in the quarter relative to last year. I know this came up a little bit on the prior question. But how much of the 1-month improvement was explicitly from lower construction cycle times versus shorter complete to close? And then can you talk to any sequential benefits you might have gotten from that lower complete to close in Q2 versus Q1?
Our complete to close was down about a week sequentially, which is good. We still have room that we can improve that further. But a week quarter-over-quarter is a good start.
No, that's awesome. Helpful to hear. And then I know your red tag sale, I believe that's ongoing right now. Can you just remind us whether there are any timing differences between the sales this year versus last year? And maybe any tweaks to incentives we should be mindful of on the red tag sale? I mean I know you run it fairly regularly, but always trying to get a sense for any changes at the margins.
We've been consistently doing a red tag sale normally around the start of our fiscal quarters, and the incentive levels vary by community, by submarket. No, I won't say there's anything different in timing this year or anything really different in the incentive levels we're looking at in the aggregate. We have a little less completed inventory today in today's -- the current red tag sale than we did in the prior red tag sale.
And the next question is coming from Matthew Bouley from Barclays.
So I wanted to first get a sense of what led the margins to be above your guidance and presumably with that continuing to how you're thinking about Q3 here. So was it kind of a reflection of the 6% mortgage rate environment we had from earlier this year? I mean it sounded like lot costs at 4%, probably a little bit lower than what we've seen recently, maybe more success on stick and brick than you had thought. Just sort of how do you bucket all that out?
I think it's a combination of all those things. We've seen some reduction in stick and brick come through that Bill spoke to less reduction of the increase of lot price. So those somewhat offsetting. And then we saw a fairly strong quarter from a demand perspective. And just under 25,000 homes sold in the quarter allowed us to hold incentives, maybe a little more than we had anticipated, and that's the result of our margin being at the high end or above our guidance.
Got it. Okay. No, that's perfect. And then secondly, I wanted to dig in back to that ARM's question. So I guess, number one, was there any more sort of temporary buydowns on top of the ARMs? Or is that 10% you mentioned kind of the whole thing. But then more specifically, I guess, going from 0 to 10% or if it's more with the temporary buydowns, like is there a rule of thumb? Or how would that impact your homebuilding gross margins relative to your financial services margins as well?
I don't think the -- it had a really significant material impact on the company. I think the ARM product has been pretty slow on the uptake this time versus prior cycles and people definitely prefer a 30-year fixed rate mortgage. And it is up 10% from 0 last year, but it's down 3% from Q1. So it's not having a significant impact truly on margins at the homebuilder with the financial services team at this point.
The next question will be from Anthony Pettinari from Citi.
On stick and brick, you talked about trends in building products costs. I'm just wondering if you could talk a little bit more about the labor piece, what that is year-over-year? And is there kind of an opportunity to keep driving that down on a year-over-year basis? And sort of what you're doing there?
We are seeing consistent labor and plenty of labor in the market. Hence, our reduced cycle times, and we continue to see those. The construction cycle times have slowed in terms of reduction just because we're below our historical average pace of home construction. So with more labor means more competition. And so we've seen certainly a portion of those total stick and brick savings come through labor as well as some mix of materials. That specific amount or percentage or split, we don't have, but expect to see, with what we're seeing in the market, that we continue to see some stick and brick savings show up, especially into our third and our fourth quarter in our homes that we closed.
Okay. That's helpful. And I'm wondering if you could give any more kind of regional color on market strength and particularly what you're seeing in Texas and Florida, the spring season?
I think we're seeing good demand in Texas consistent as well in Florida. The markets feel pretty good to us. Generally, across the country, I would say that most of our markets are performing well in line with expectations, perhaps a little bit of softness in a few of our markets of kind of traditionally heavy exposure to the software industry, that buyer sentiment may be off a bit. Other than that, just kind of a good start to spring, pretty encouraged.
The next question will be from Trevor Allinson from Wolfe Research. Apologies, it looks like we just last Trevor. We'll come back to him if he comes back in. The next question will be from Michael Rehaut from JPMorgan.
I wanted to circle back to comments you made earlier about demand trends in March and April, and you kind of indicated that, I believe, March, in line with seasonality, and you're pleased so far with April. I was kind of curious if you could kind of go a little bit more into detail on that? Obviously, the consumer sentiment data has come out a little shaky since the start of Iran war, a lot of volatility, a lot of headlines. And just kind of curious what you're seeing more on a bottoms-up basis from your home buyers and week-to-week, if perhaps month as a whole might have been kind of consistent with seasonality, but if you saw any more volatility on a week-to-week basis?
We don't generally comment on intra-quarter in terms of monthly trends, but to reiterate what Mike said, demand was good throughout the quarter and in line with our expectations and normal seasonality. Normal seasonality would be that February into March and into April are really getting into the heart of the spring selling season. And we didn't see any meaningful impact or disruption to the business that we would tie to any global or gas-related price increases. And I've said earlier, but also our can rate was stable throughout the quarter, which is another positive.
Okay. I appreciate it. I guess, secondly, you highlighted gross margins being stable going to the third quarter, if you exclude the 40 bp benefit, also expecting to benefit from lower costs into the third quarter. Perhaps if I heard it right, more than the second quarter as some of those benefits compound, let's say, or you feel the full impact. With flat gross margin sequentially, you have better continued gains on the lower cost. Are there anything that's offsetting that, that otherwise, you wouldn't see a potentially slight sequential improvement? And I'm thinking, in particular, if perhaps there's still kind of some movement around incentives or higher land costs or any factors that might offset the otherwise benefit from lower construction costs?
We do continue to expect our lot cost to incrementally be a bit higher. It was relatively flat this quarter sequentially, but year-over-year, still up 4%. So that is a continuing headwind that -- our base case for this year was that we would see enough improvement in our stick and brick labor costs to offset that. And that's what we've seen thus far. That's kind of what we see as we look into Q3 right now. Obviously, incentive levels will depend on demand and mortgage rates and all the other factors that will impact our selling process. But -- so that remains to be seen what will happen on the incentive front.
And the next question will be from Trevor Allinson from Wolfe Research.
You mentioned earlier that your completed specs are down about 35% year-over-year. So made some real progress on working down inventory. In past quarters, you've talked about industry inventory levels kind of still being extended here. Have you seen the industry overall also start to make some progress on working down inventory? And then was that a factor either industry-wide or for you guys, specifically in your 2Q gross margin coming in better than you anticipated?
I think we have seen inventory levels reduce across the competitive environment and I think similar to what we have done, a little more control on starts and that being dependent on the sales pace and demand. And we have absolutely watched that closely week-to-week and managing our starts in line with our housing demand that we see and our expectations as we move from quarter-to-quarter. So we feel good -- very good about our inventory position and good about the starch level that we had as it related to our sales throughout the quarter.
Okay. Very helpful. And then second question on your lot count, it's down about 10% year-over-year. You've got land prices, which remain sticky demand, still challenged. Is it your expectation that lot count kind of still continues to move lower sequentially here as maybe fewer deals just meet your underwriting standards in the current environment? Or were you able to find enough deals here where you expect that lot count to kind of flatten out from where it's at now?
I think we feel really good about the current lot position we have, and we're probably as good as we've ever been in the company's history of positioned with our land pipeline, such that we're able to kind of pass on deals that don't make sense in today's current incentive environment and being disciplined in our approach to the underwriting.
I think our development partners continue to work with us as well to adjust lot takedown schedules. And so that's probably a big driver of the sequential decline in our owned lot count as we still have an immense need for finished lots and appreciate those relationships and the ability to flow our takes in the projects where we need to.
The next question will be from Rafe Jadrosich from Bank of America.
Just following up on the last comment. Can you talk about your exposure to land banking, maybe as a percentage of the option mix and then your ability to actually slow down the pace of the lot takedowns?
We have a mid-single-digit exposure to land lot bankers within our lot portfolio. So it's not a significant part of our land strategy at this point. Most of our lot position is held by third-party developers that are putting lots on the ground for us or Forestar. And we've been able to work with those folks in terms of adjusting, as Jessica said, take down schedules, timing of development phases to meet the market in line that makes sense for the market. We believe our strategy of working with third-party developers provides us a lot of operational flexibility, in addition to capital efficiency and utilizing the benefit of some very knowledgeable and seasoned experts in the development world.
Great. That's really helpful. And then I know it can be difficult to predict at times, but just can you help us at all with how we should think about the community count growth in the second half of the year? And if there's any sort of cadence that we should be considering?
We don't -- I always start with this. So we don't guide to community cap for a reason. It's a really hard one because it is so dependent on what's happening with our sales-based community by community. But it had stayed on a year-over-year basis, up a double-digit -- low double-digit percentage. We were up 11% year-over-year and 4% sequentially. We do continue to expect that to moderate at some point. I think the biggest positive this quarter, irrespective of community count, is that our sales were up 11%, in line with our community count increase. So we didn't see any decline on a year-over-year basis in terms of absorption. So another really positive sign about the second quarter and the demand environment.
We expect it will moderate for that mid-single digit. Exactly what that timing will be, whether it's in the next few quarters or it's next year, sometime, that's the part that's a little more difficult to predict.
The next question will be from Buck Horne from Raymond James.
Apologies if I missed this earlier, but I was just wondering if you could clarify for me, the changes to the top end of the revenue guidance for the year, given the -- I mean, the pretty resilient strength in net orders and the faster cycle times you're seeing, I just wanted to be clear on what the messaging was on kind of taking down the top end of revenue guidance for the year?
We lowered our closings guide by 500. And then we also saw a lighter ASP than we would have originally anticipated, and we're not really assuming our ASP to increase in the back half of the year. And so it's a combination of slightly lower closings at the high end and slightly lower average sales price.
And those lower closings would be driven by what factor?
We were light on our closing guide in both Q1 and Q2. We didn't achieve what we said we were going to do. We're still very well positioned to deliver in the heart of our original guide. We just felt like it was prudent to bring down the top end, since the first half of the year, we didn't deliver exactly what we were expecting.
Got it. Got it. Appreciate it. And just secondly, I was just curious if you're making any thoughts or changes around your land pipeline just due to what's changing around gas prices and just as consumers are having to drive longer distances for new home communities and the elevated cost of commuting, does that -- if we see an elevated energy price outlook longer term, do you start to reevaluate some of the locations where your communities are at in the pipeline?
We would have to see a very extended period of elevated gas prices to want to be responsive to that. The time that it takes to bring these communities online and our positioning of those communities are where we'd like to see them. So we feel good and comfortable about our community and our future community counts and locations. That said, we adjust as the market moves. And if we see an adjustment in market based on distances, then we'll adjust in kind, but nothing that we feel we need to be proactive about at this point in time.
The next question will be from Susan Maklari from Goldman Sachs.
My first question is on the SG&A. Can you just talk a bit more on how we should think about the path from here and your ability to get some leverage in the second half as those closings continue to come through?
So we do expect to see some leverage in Q3 and Q4 as our guide for closings is a step up. So we'll see a higher revenue volume in Q3, Q4. Obviously, we want to be as efficient as we can there. The decline in our ASP over the last few quarters and then specifically this quarter, obviously, is a little bit of a drag on the SG&A ratio as well. But we -- as we look forward, we do expect to see SG&A as a percentage of revenue coming down from where we've been in the last few quarters.
Okay. All right. That's helpful. And then how should we think about your ability or your willingness to continue on the shareholder return? Any thoughts there on potential upside or changes to the guide? And how you're thinking about balancing investments in growth relative to the dividend and the buyback in this environment?
Our approach will remain consistent there. We're focused on generating strong cash flows from operations. And then you're basically utilizing 90% to 100% of that cash flow for distributions to shareholders. We've been consistent with our dividend and inching that up each year, and then the remainder goes to share repurchases. We're still guiding to approximately $2.5 billion of share repurchases this year. We're ahead of pace through Q2, when we saw the pullback in the stock in the latter part of the March quarter. Obviously, we continue to purchase and leaned into it a bit. So we've really essentially accelerated a bit of our repurchases into Q2, but still right on track towards our $2.5 billion guide for the year.
The next question will be from Jade Rahmani from ABWK.
Could you talk about what's driving these warranty and litigation benefits, which you've experienced for more than this quarter and if you expect further benefits going forward?
Yes, Jade. The last 3 quarters, we've had various kind of one-off events that occurred. This quarter, we had a favorable outcome from a specific litigation case that had been previously reserved, and the results was better than what we had anticipated when we booked the reserve. And so that was a positive benefit this quarter. As well as we did see our warranty costs step down a bit, and we're seeing the benefits of that. We set our reserves based on really where our costs have been. So there was some benefit from that.
So this quarter, we would attribute 40 basis points of benefit from those items that we do truly believe are one-off. And so really, our forward anticipation is that the net impact of litigation and warranty would continue to be around 40 to 50 basis points negative impact on margin each quarter. This quarter, that impact was 0. We would expect normally it would be a negative impact of 40 bps.
And as a reminder, our supplemental presentation out on our Investor Relations site does give that line item detail on the home sales gross margin slide. And so you can see quarter-to-quarter what that is. And if you go further back than the last 3 quarters, you will see we're right in the heart of that 40 to 50 basis point typical impact.
And in terms of the share buybacks, is there a multiple at which above book value, you don't think it makes sense and where you would look to rather lean on the dividend as a way to efficiently return capital?
We look at all aspects of our distribution strategy, and valuation of where the stock is, is a component of that. However, we're committed to continuing to distribute the substantial majority of our cash flow to our shareholders. We've typically kept the dividend at a more consistent level because any payment of dividends, you prefer that to continue to increase over the long term, and we are very reluctant to reduce dividend levels. And so the share repurchase would be the element that would be more likely to either toggle up or toggle down over time.
The next question will be from Mike Dahl from RBC Capital Markets.
Nice results. I just wanted to ask a clarifying question on the incentives. I believe in the opening remarks, you made a comment about incentives continued to increase in the quarter. But then a lot of your subsequent commentary, it sounded like it was actually a little more stable. So I just wanted to kind of confirm, was that a comment that was sequential or year-on-year? And then I understand that on a forward basis, the market conditions will dictate where you go with that. But in terms of what's embedded in the 3Q guide, is that for stable sequential incentives or different level, good or bad?
I think you heard that properly as stable incentive levels from Q2 to Q3. In Q2, about 61% of our homes closed were sold within the quarter, so they're very reflective, the results were reflective of the market conditions we experienced, and that's what we're kind of projecting forward from an incentive level.
Okay. So the 10%, in the 10% you experienced in 2Q, was that also stable relative to -- so 1Q...
It ticked up slightly, but it was essentially rounded to the same number.
Got it. Yes, yes. Okay. That makes sense. I wanted to also follow up on the material cost dynamic. I appreciate that you guys have some forward visibility given the way you negotiate with your trades and labor. If we've now seen a slew of price increase announcements across a large basket of construction materials and building products and understanding that it may take time for those to go through, it may fluctuate based on ultimately what's happening on the ground today. But from a timing standpoint, if we start seeing price increases go into the market, this later this spring, when does that flow through to? Is that a fiscal '27 closings dynamic for you at this point in the year? Are you pretty locked for '26 starts and closings?
If we started to see those price increases truly come through, then yes, that would be more of an impact on fiscal '27. Certainly, we'd see some, but I think probably offset in balance, and we really haven't seen that to date. So we'll just see how that goes based on what occurs in the world.
Increases get announced a lot. That doesn't mean we actually take them.
The next question will be from Ken Zener from Seaport Research.
Given your normal order seasonality, do you feel -- did your teams tell you that you guys gained share? Or is that kind of just the demand environment?
Hard for us to gauge what we're doing on share versus the overall environment. It felt pretty good. Anecdotally, I'd say maybe it's a little bit of share, but I don't know. We'll find out when everybody else reports.
Over the next 1.5 weeks, I think you'll have a pretty good idea.
Yes. I mean our cash flow each other [indiscernible].
Right. No, it's very impressive. And then your lower land cost, I think you said it was up 4% year-over-year. Could you give us some context to that? I think it was more in the mid- to high single digits. And then can you talk to the benefit you believe you're realizing from when you slowed down starts to renegotiate? Just trying to understand how those 2 factors are -- might play out going forward.
When you talk about the benefit of slowing starts, are you talking on the land side or on the labor side? Labor? Yes, I think that...
It could be both. I mean really just to illuminate us, if you would.
Yes. I think that what we have seen and expect to see as we go into the third and fourth quarter, that the stick and brick savings between both materials and labor will offset any increase that we see on the land side. We have -- as we've gone through community by community, just like we do on the sales and our incentive level, this is a regular discussion with our development partners and/or landowners relative to the terms of any particular deal. And we've seen some savings on land deals, not widespread, but some land and lot reductions based on the reality of the environment and the pace at which we're buying lots and/or starting up.
And Ken, so the first part of your question, we did see moderation in terms of that increase on a year-over-year basis. We were up 6% last quarter, 4% this quarter. Too early for us to say it's going to continue to decline or stay right in that 4% range. But we have expected, as we continue to move through our earlier -- or our more recently purchased land that, that will moderate in terms of the year-over-year increase.
The next question will be from Jay McCanless from Citizens.
Jessica, I wanted to go back to a comment you made about a gross margin tailwind on homes that you guys sell earlier in the construction process. Is that some extra upgrades going in? Or is that just some cost attribution flowing through?
Some of that comes from choice selling earlier in the process compared to a completed home or one that we may be more motivated to move off balance sheet and get a buyer in there. So when we sell early in the process and there's a little more choice, whether that's lot selection or some of the things that go in the homes, I think those all attribute to a slight advantage on gross margin at the time of sale.
Yes. Just to clarify that we would expect a slightly higher margin on homes sold earlier in the construction process than those that are sold when they're complete, just to make sure we got the headwind tailwind on margin and cost of sales.
And we typically always talk to the point that once the home is completed and unsold for a period of time, we do start to see the margin degrade, which is why we have such a focus on not letting our completed specs age and how pleased we are with our completed spec reduction today.
Okay. That's great. The second question I had, I guess, along those lines, if you are able to sell a little bit earlier, I guess, how much were you able to raise prices in certain markets this quarter? Or is it still kind of tricky to pull that off?
It's certainly tricky to measure with any consistency because that is a community-by-community balance. In some cases, it's a reduction of incentives compared to a price increase, and trying to nail that down and put a number to it is just not something that we have.
The next question will come from Jonathan Bettenhausen from Truist Securities.
I know it's a smaller mix of sales, but another good quarter for the North. It's a fairly large region from a geographic perspective. So are there any metros specifically to call out that you're seeing outsized growth? Or is it more just kind of broad across the region there?
Pretty consistent across the regions. It's also reflective of investments we've made in that geography over the past several years that are now coming in and bearing fruit. So we're really pleased with the teams, how they're performing across the North region, and the contribution they're making to the overall sales results as Texas and Florida are not quite the powerhouses they once were.
Yes. Okay. And just to follow up on that. Can you talk about the kind of investment thesis in the North?
The investment thesis? It was markets we had not heavily penetrated. We saw opportunity to take national market share by expanding our presence in those markets, and we did it through a combination of greenfield organic growth as well as a few acquisitions.
The next question will be from Alex Rygiel from Texas Capital.
Cancellation rates have remained fairly stable, but have the reasons for the cancellations changed at all?
No. We continue to see that the vast majority of our cancellations are due to the buyer ultimately not being able to qualify for the mortgage once they get into the full documentation process.
And the next question will be from Alex Barron from Housing Research Center.
I was recently in San Antonio and saw you guys had several communities priced in the high 100s, low 200s. And I was wondering if that's just something you're only doing in that market? Or it's a new push you guys are doing across more markets to build more lower-priced affordable communities?
Alex, we have focused on finding a more affordable product and doing it where we can in the markets that especially allow the smaller lot prices and allow for those smaller square footages. Not something we can do across all municipalities in the country. We still face a lot of minimum lot size requirements that put the cost a lot out of range to achieve that and/or minimum square footages. But where we can achieve, we have seen good success with that. And certainly in Texas, allowing to get some of the lowest prices we can provide around the country where you're seeing in San Antonio, and we're seeing those across the Texas markets and feel good about the positioning.
Okay. And are you finding above average sales pace for that price point?
We are. It certainly opens up homeownership to places where there is no other option in a lot of the markets and certainly not for a new home with a warranty and stability of neighborhood and community that we're delivering. So it's absolutely opening up home ownership across the markets, and we see a higher pace because of that.
And that does conclude today's Q&A session. I will now hand the call back to Paul Romanowski for closing remarks.
Thank you, Paul. We appreciate everyone's time on the call today, and look forward to speaking with you again to share our third quarter results on Tuesday, July 21. And congratulations to the entire D.R. Horton team on a solid second quarter. We appreciate everything that you do.
Thank you. This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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D.R. Horton — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
D.R. Horton — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $7,6 Mrd. konsolidiert; Hausverkaufsumsatz $7,0 Mrd. vs. $7,2 Mrd. Vorjahr (−2,8% YoY).
- Gewinn: Nettogewinn $648 Mio.; Ergebnis je Aktie $2,24 vs. $2,58 Vorjahr; Ergebnis vor Steuern $867 Mio. (Vortax‑Marge 11,5%).
- Orders: Nettoaufträge +11% YoY auf 24.992 Häuser; Bestellwert $9,2 Mrd. (+10% YoY).
- Marge: Bruttomarge Hausverkäufe 20,1% inkl. 40 bp Sondervorteil; normalisiert ~19,7% (40 bp Effekt aus Litigation/Warranty).
- Inventar: Gesamtbestand 38.200 Häuser; fertige unverkaufte Objekte −35% YoY (5.500 fertig, 22.900 unverkauft).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Kapitaldisziplin: Fokus auf Kapitalrendite: $3,7 Mrd. operativer Cashflow 12M, $4 Mrd. zurückgegeben an Aktionäre (Dividenden & Rückkäufe).
- Operative Steuerung: Starts werden marktbasiert gesteuert; Zykluszeiten verkürzt (~1 Monat), ermöglicht früheren Verkauf und niedrigere Bestände.
- Lot‑Strategie: 575.000 Lots (23% owned, 77% under contract); verstärkte Nutzung von Forestar/Third‑party lots zur Kapital‑Effizienz.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q3: Konsolidierte Umsätze $8,8–9,3 Mrd.; Homes closed 23.500–24.000; Haus‑Bruttomarge 19,7–20,2%; konsolidierte Vortax‑Marge 12,2–12,7%.
- FY‑2026: Umsatz $33,5–34,5 Mrd.; Homes closed 86.000–87.500; Steuersatz ~24,5%; operativer Cashflow ≥ $3 Mrd.; Rückkäufe ~ $2,5 Mrd.; Dividenden ~ $500 Mio.
- Risiken: Incentives bleiben erhöht und abhängig von Hypothekenzinsen; Litigation/Warranty typischerweise −40–50 bp belastend; Öl‑/Fuelschwankungen überwacht.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Margendynamik: Analysten fragten nach Herkunft der Margen‑Verbesserung; Management führt geringere Baukosten (stick & brick) gegen höhere Lotkosten (+4% YoY) an.
- Incentives & Hypotheken: Diskussion über temporäre/permanente Buydowns und ARMs (ARMs ~10% der Closings); Incentives ~10% der Erlöse; Management sagt: bleiben elevated, sinken erst bei moderateren Zinsen.
- Inventar & Starts: Reduzierte fertige Spec‑Bestände und verkürzte Cycle‑Times wurden vertieft; Lot‑Takedown‑Flexibilität mit Drittentwicklern betont; konkrete Timing‑Prognosen vermieden.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Bewertung: Ergebnis zeigt diszipliniertes, renditeorientiertes Modell: starke Cash‑Generation und aggressive Kapitalrückführung. Guidance leicht angepasst (Top‑End reduziert wegen niedrigerer Closings/ASP). Für Aktionäre bleibt das Chancen‑/Risiko‑Profil positiv, aber abhängig von Hypothekenzinsen, Incentive‑Niveau und Landkostenentwicklung.
D.R. Horton — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call for D.R. Horton, America's Builder. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this conference is being recorded.
I will now turn the call over to Jessica Hansen, Senior Vice President of Communications for D.R. Horton.
Jessica, please go ahead.
Thank you. Sorry. It would help if I took myself off mute. Thank you, Paul, and good morning. Welcome to our call to discuss our financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026.
Before we get to get started, today's call includes forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although D.R. Horton believes any such statements are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual outcomes will not be materially different. All forward-looking statements are based upon information available to D.R. Horton on the date of this conference call, and D.R. Horton does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Additional information about factors that could lead to material changes in performance is contained in D.R. Horton's annual report on Form 10-K, which is filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
This morning's earnings release and our supplemental data presentation can be found on our website at investor.drhorton.com, and we plan to file our 10-Q later this week. After this call, we will also post our updated investor presentation to our Investor Relations site on the Presentations section under News & Events for your reference.
Now I will turn the call over to Paul Romanowski, our President and CEO.
Thank you, Jessica, and good morning. I am pleased to also be joined on this call by Mike Murray, our Chief Operating Officer; and Bill Wheat, our Chief Financial Officer.
The D.R. Horton team had a solid start to fiscal 2026 with consolidated pretax income of $798 million on $6.9 billion of revenues, and a pretax profit margin of 11.6%. New home demand remains impacted by affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment. However, our teams continue to respond to current market conditions with discipline. We exceeded the high end of our revenue and closings guidance, achieved a home sales gross margin within our expected range, and our net sales orders increased 3% compared to the prior year quarter, demonstrating our ability to balance pace, price and [ incentives ] to drive incremental sales and maximize returns.
We are focused on capital efficiency to generate strong operating cash flows and deliver compelling returns to our shareholders. Over the past 12 months, we have generated $3.6 billion of cash from operations, and we have returned $4.4 billion to shareholders through repurchases and dividends. For the trailing 12 months ended December 31, our homebuilding pretax return on inventory was 18.6%, while our consolidated returns on equity and assets were 13.7% and 9.4%. Our return on assets ranks in the top 20% of all S&P 500 companies for the past 3-, 5- and 10-year periods, demonstrating that our disciplined returns-focused operating model produces sustainable results and positions us well for continued value creation.
We increased our sales incentives during the first quarter, and we expect incentives to remain elevated in fiscal 2026 with the level dependent on demand, changes in mortgage interest rates and overall market conditions. We work every day to use our industry-leading platform, unmatched scale, efficient operations and experienced employees to bring home ownership opportunities at affordable price points to more Americans. 64% of our mortgage company's closings this quarter were to first-time homebuyers. We will continue to tailor our product offerings, sales incentives and number of homes in inventory based on demand in each of our markets to maximize returns.
Mike?
Earnings for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 were $2.03 per diluted share, compared to $2.61 per share in the prior year quarter. Net income for the quarter was $595 million on consolidated revenues of $6.9 billion. Our first quarter home sales revenues were $6.5 billion on 17,818 homes closed, compared to $7.1 billion on 19,059 homes closed in the prior year quarter. .
Our average closing price for the quarter was $365,500, flat sequentially and down 3% year-over-year. Our average sales price on homes closed is lower than the average sales price new homes in the United States by roughly $135,000 or almost 30%. Additionally, the median sales price of our homes is $70,000 lower than the median price of an existing home.
Bill?
For the first quarter, our net sales orders increased 3% from the prior year quarter to 18,300 homes, while order value remained unchanged at $6.7 million. Our cancellation rate for the quarter was 18%, consistent with the prior year quarter and down from 20% sequentially. Our average number of active selling communities was up 2% sequentially and up 12% year-over-year. The average price of net sales orders in the first quarter was $364,000, which was flat sequentially and down 2% from the prior year quarter.
Jessica?
Our gross profit margin on home sales revenues in the first quarter was 20.4%, up 40 basis points sequentially from the September quarter, entirely due to a recovery of prior-period warranty costs received during the quarter. On a per square foot basis, home sales revenues were flat sequentially, while stick-and-brick costs were down roughly 1% and lot costs increased 2%.
Excluding the 40 basis point benefit in our gross margin this quarter from the recovery of prior warranty costs, our home sales gross margin would have been 20%. Additionally, incentive increases moved throughout the quarter, so we expect our homes sold gross margin to be lower in the second quarter compared to the first quarter. Our incentive levels and home sales gross margin for the remainder of the year will be dependent on the strength of demand, changes in mortgage interest rates and other market conditions.
Bill?
Our first quarter homebuilding SG&A expenses decreased 1% from last year, and homebuilding SG&A expense as a percentage of revenues was 9.7%, up from 8.9% in the prior year quarter. The increase in our SG&A expense ratio was primarily due to our lower home closings volume as compared to the prior year quarter. We continue to manage our platform with discipline and are focused on gaining market share efficiently while driving operating leverage over time.
Paul?
We started 18,500 homes in the December quarter, up 27% sequentially from the fourth quarter, and we expect our starts in the second quarter to be higher than the first quarter. We ended the quarter with 30,400 homes in inventory, of which 20,000 were unsold. 7,300 of our unsold homes at quarter-end were completed, down 2,000 homes from September. 900 of our unsold homes have been completed for greater than 6 months.
For homes we closed in the first quarter, our median cycle time, measured from home start to home closed, decreased 2 weeks from a year ago. Our improved cycle times enable us to hold fewer homes in inventory and turn our housing inventory more efficiently. We will continue to manage our homes and inventory and starts pace based on market conditions.
Mike?
Our homebuilding lot position at December 31 consists of approximately 590,500 lots, of which 25% were owned and 75% were controlled through purchase contracts. We are actively managing our investments in lots, land and development based on current market conditions. We remain focused on our relationships with land developers across the country to allow us to build more homes on lots developed by others, which enhances our capital efficiency, returns and operational flexibility.
Of the homes we closed this quarter, 67% were in a lot developed by either Forestar or a third party, up from 65% in the prior year quarter.
Our first quarter homebuilding investment in lots, land and development totaled $2 billion, of which $1.3 billion was for finished lots, $610 million was for land development and $80 million was for land acquisition.
Paul?
In the first quarter, our rental operations generated $110 million of revenues from the sale of 397 single-family rental homes. Our rental property inventory at December 31 was $2.9 billion, which consisted of $2.5 billion of multifamily rental properties and $356 million of single-family rental properties. We remain focused on improving the capital efficiency and returns of our rental operations.
As for our financial services operations, pretax income for the first quarter was $58 million on $185 million of revenues, resulting in a pretax profit margin of 31.4%.
Mike?
Forestar, our majority-owned residential lot development company, reported revenues for the first quarter of $273 million on 1,944 lots sold, with pretax income of $21 million. Forestar's owned and controlled lot position at December 31 was 101,000 lots. 62% of Forestar's owned lots are under contract with or subject to a right of first offer to D.R. Horton. $180 million of our finished lots purchased in the first quarter were from Forestar.
Forestar's strong, separately capitalized balance sheet, national operating platform and lot supply position them well to provide essential finished lots to the homebuilding industry and aggregate significant market share over the next several years.
Bill?
Our capital allocation strategy is disciplined and balanced to support an operating platform that produces attractive returns and substantial operating cash flows. We have a strong balance sheet with low leverage and healthy liquidity, which provides us with significant financial flexibility to adapt to changing market conditions and opportunities.
During the first 3 months of the year, homebuilding cash provided by operations was $498 million. Consolidated cash provided by operations was $854 million.
During the first quarter, we repurchased 4.4 million shares of common stock for $670 million, and our outstanding share count is down 9% from a year ago. We also paid cash dividends of $0.45 per share, totaling $132 million, and our Board has declared a quarterly dividend at the same level to be paid in February. At quarter-end, our stockholders' equity was $24 billion, down 4% from a year ago, and book value per share was $82.60, up 5% from a year ago. By December 31, we had $6.6 billion of consolidated liquidity, consisting of $2.5 billion of cash and $4.1 billion of available capacity on our credit facilities.
Debt at the end of the quarter totaled $5.5 billion, and we have $600 million of homebuilding senior notes maturing in the next 12 months. Our consolidated leverage at December 31 was 18.8% and we plan to maintain our leverage around 20% over the long term.
Jessica?
Looking forward to the second quarter, we currently expect to generate consolidated revenues in the range of $7.3 billion to $7.8 billion and homes closed by our homebuilding operations to be in the range of 19,700 to 20,200 homes. We expect our home sales gross margin for the second quarter to be in the range of 19% to 19.5% and our consolidated pretax profit margin to be in the range of 10.6% to 11.1%.
For the full year of fiscal 2026, we still expect to generate consolidated revenues of approximately $33.5 billion to $35 billion and homes closed by our homebuilding operations to be in the range of 86,000 to 88,000 homes. We continue to forecast an income tax rate for fiscal 2026 of approximately 24.5%, operating cash flow of at least $3 billion, common stock repurchases of approximately $2.5 billion and dividend payments of around $500 million.
Paul?
In closing, our results and position reflect our experienced teams, industry-leading market share, broad geographic footprint and focus on delivering quality homes at affordable price points. All of these are key components of our operating platform that support our ability to aggregate market share, generate substantial operating cash flows and return capital to shareholders.
We recognize the current volatility and uncertainty in the economy, and we'll continue to adjust to market conditions in a disciplined manner to enhance the long-term value of our company. Thank you to the entire D.R. Horton family of employees, land developers, trade partners, vendors and real estate agents for your continued efforts and hard work. Let's continue working to improve our operations and provide homeownership opportunities to more individuals and families during 2026.
This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now host questions.
[Operator Instructions] And the first question today is coming from Stephen Kim from Evercore ISI.
2. Question Answer
Actually, quite impressive here given the headwinds. So congratulations to you guys. I wanted to ask you about your SG&A, if I could. I think that it was probably a little higher, my guess is, than you expected. And I was curious, you attributed the higher level primarily due to lower closings year-over-year, but your closings didn't miss your expectations or your guide. And so -- and actually, it beat. So I was kind of curious, did the SG&A sort of surprise you? And was there anything else other than the fact that you had some lower closings, just given the fact that it didn't really sort of square with your closings came in? And particularly within that, could you -- is there anything in the way of incentives or something that is showing up in SG&A?
Steve, nothing unusual in SG&A this quarter. Overall, relatively in line with our plan, and we hit our operating margin guidance for the quarter. If you look at the overall spend on SG&A, it was down slightly year-over-year in terms of absolute dollars. And as we look at our platform and we look at what we're planning to do this year, we're planning on growing our closings. Our guide is to grow our closings for the year. And so we're maintaining our platform in place.
But our first quarter closings were down. And just we get less leverage on our SG&A when we have fewer closings during the quarter. But our expectation is for the year is we would not continue to see this kind of increase as a percentage of revenues over the course of the entire year.
So just to clarify, you're saying your guide for the year is for SG&A to be kind of flattish on a year-over-year basis as a percentage of revenues, is that what you're saying?
We don't guide any of our margins or expense ratios over the course of an entire year. We just guide 1 quarter out. We're guiding our operating margin for Q2 and our gross margin for Q2 and then, obviously, our volume for the entire year.
Got you. Okay. And then I guess, you've also -- you've talked about your capital allocation and your -- sorry, specifically, you reiterated your guide for cash flow. And I was curious if you -- I think in the past, you had talked about cash flow -- targeting a cash flow conversion of about 100%. Can you talk about how that progression is going and whether or not that's still a reasonable expectation in the foreseeable future?
Yes, that's still a reasonable expectation. We're still guiding. We reiterated our guide to have cash flow -- consolidated cash flow greater than $3 billion. I think we're tracking right in line with expectations.
The next question will be from John Lovallo from UBS.
Pretty strong community count growth in the first quarter of about 12% year-over-year on average. How are you guys thinking about kind of the cadence of community count growth as we move through the year?
John, that community count is up. It was up 12% and 2%, I think, sequentially. And we still think we're going to see that community count continue to stay at a higher level, but we do expect it to drift down more towards mid-single to high single-digit range. We're pleased to have the community count out there today as we've seen absorption across the market, not seeing as much absorption per flag. So having mutual communities allows us to maintain our guide and still feel comfortable with where we're positioned today as we see the spring season unfold.
Understood. And then if we walk from the fourth quarter gross margin of 20%, excluding the inventory reserve or the warranty -- I'm sorry, the warranty reserve benefit, what are sort of the moving pieces there? I know, [ Jill ], you mentioned that incentives kind of stepped up as you moved through the quarter, but how are you thinking maybe about land, labor and materials on a sequential basis?
Sure. First, John, just as a reminder, in Q4, we also had an unusual item flowing through our warranty and litigation costs. We had 60 basis points of greater than typical litigation costs last quarter. This quarter we had the opposite direction, a 40 basis point benefit from those warranty costs. So kind of on an apples-to-apples basis, our fourth quarter gross margin was 20.6%. Our Q1 gross margin is 20.0%. And then our guide for the quarter is 19% to 19.5% in Q2. So at the midpoint, we're estimating to be down roughly 75 basis points quarter-over-quarter.
The guide really reflects what we've been seeing, which is our stick and brick cost relatively flat sequentially and slightly down year-over-year, which is what we really posted this year -- or this quarter as well. We expect our lot cost to continue to be up sequentially on a year-over-year basis based on what we currently see in our lot pipeline. And then as I did say on the call, we had to use a higher level of incentives as we moved throughout the quarter. So the guide really, most importantly, incorporates the most recent market conditions we've seen and our backlog margin coming out of the quarter at the end of December.
The next question will be from Matthew Bouley from Barclays.
I wanted to stick on the incentive topic. If I'm hearing you correctly, I mean, it sounds like that Q2 guide is reflecting of your increase in incentives over the past quarter in terms of what you're selling. So obviously, we've had this move lower in mortgage rates over the past several months, over the past couple of weeks, et cetera. I mean, does the move lower in rates at a certain point either support that kind of cost of incentives for you guys? Or are you able to kind of do anything creatively around ARMs or temporary buydowns, et cetera, in this backdrop? Just kind of any visibility to where you might see that incentive sort of peaking out at some point?
The cost of the incentives that came through in the first quarter were largely resulted from interest rate loss provided when rates were slightly higher, therefore, at a higher cost. We accelerated the use of those incentives throughout the quarter and the exiting incentive levels in December are heavily coloring our margin outlook for the second quarter. If rates continue to compress and stay compressed, we would expect to see a slight decrease in the cost of providing those incentives, but that's not yet factored into any of our guidance.
Okay. Perfect. And secondly, maybe just sticking on this topic of lower rates, I know we can't always read too much into the first 3 weeks of the calendar year, but just any color on sort of the cadence of demand, traffic and sales maybe through the quarter? And then since you have gotten this move lower in rates in recent weeks, is there just any kind of signals you can take from the past couple of weekends on how buyers are responding to that?
Matt, I would say through the quarter, relatively consistent with what we would expect to see seasonally entering into that quarter and being one of the lower quarters in terms of overall demand. As we enter into the spring and in the first 2 weeks, really too early to tell what we're going to see as far as trajectory into the spring. But when we see those kind of rates -- moves in rates and hovering right around 6%, it does spur some activity in our sales offices. And I think today, feel good about our position in terms of our inventory, our community count and the level of sales we've seen through the first quarter and into the first couple of weeks here of the second quarter to reaffirm our guidance for the year.
The next question will be from Alan Ratner from Zelman.
Obviously, there's a lot of focus on the policy side, and I'm sure we'll hear some more from President Trump this week on that front. But I guess, first off, in terms of what has been announced so far or at least floated out there, with specific regard to your rental business, I'm curious if you're thinking about that in the context of the proposed ban on institutional buyers purchasing single-family homes. I know you guys have been kind of reducing investment in rental in general. But how are you thinking about managing that business investment there, building out communities with the uncertainty hanging over that part of the business?
Alan, our focus on SFR rental has largely been and continues to be on purpose-built communities and believe that that's a good place for us to continue to stay focused. We don't sell many homes to institutional buyers in our for-sale communities. So for us, really not much competition for those people that are coming in to buy a home, looking for a home and whether it's first time, move-up or any one of our segments. We think we'll continue to stay focused there.
And with our SFR business has shifted more from a full build, lease and then sell a fully stabilized asset to more of a forward sales scenario. So feel really good about the position of our single-family rental business, and we'll see how all of this plays out over time, but I feel good about our position there.
Okay. I appreciate that. Obviously, we'll see whether there's any type of exclusion or carve-out for those purpose-built communities. I think, obviously, there's a good argument for that to be the case. But shifting gears a little bit in terms of the land market. I'm curious if you could talk a little bit about what you're seeing on the land front in terms of have costs started to come down at all in the land market? Are you seeing more of a bid-ask spread widening and kind of a slowdown in overall activity, development cost inflation? Any color you can give there, because, obviously, I think that's going to be a necessary component towards rebuilding the industry's gross margin, is to see some relief on land costs and development inflation.
I don't think we've seen significant capitulation in the land, the raw land market itself. I think the sellers there are really patient. We have seen probably some progress on some of the development cost aspects as activity levels have slowed. And further, we've seen some improved terms, not a tremendous amount of price discounts or any distress opportunities, but rational conversations with our land development partners about meeting the market together and working through communities at acceptable paces. So we've seen some adjustments in pacing, which has been very helpful. But we haven't seen any broad default of deals or new deals coming -- the deals coming back to the market over and over again with distressed sellers.
The next question will be from Ryan Gilbert from BTIG.
I just wanted to go back on the, I guess, the year-to-date demand trends. Paul, it sounded like you said that when rates get to around 6%, you see a pickup in the sales [ office]s. Has that been the case so far in January? Have you seen a pickup in homebuyer demand given the drop in rates?
We've been pleased with what we've seen so far. Again, it's early, very early in the spring selling season, and we'll see how that plays out over time, but feel good about our positioning. And any time you see the rates move across a threshold like that, it certainly creates more activity in our sales offices.
Okay. Got it. And then on the supply side, it looked like maybe there was a step down in industry-wide housing starts, and I think we're seeing some move lower in resell inventory as well. Are there any markets where you're seeing any benefit from less inventory coming online or maybe supply or home construction dropping that could potentially help margins going forward?
I don't think there's any specific markets I can speak to where we've seen any significant shift in supply. I do believe that it's been a pretty rational approach to the market in terms of starts for us and across the industry. We feel good about our inventory position. Our starts slightly exceeded our sales this quarter. We do expect our starts to be more in the second quarter than in our first. And what we watch closely is the number of completed homes that we have, and that is down a couple of thousand units sequentially this quarter over last.
So feel good about our positioning, the amount of supply we have in the market and have the homes we need to meet demand in the spring selling season.
The next question will be from Sam Reid from Wells Fargo.
I wondered if could just do a quick postmortem on the warranty cost piece of gross margin and that reversal you called out in the first quarter. First of all, were you expecting to get a reversal there? And then second, is there any warranty noise we should be contemplating in the second quarter guide? And then perhaps just want to talk to kind of what should we be thinking out for warranty costs within gross margins on a go-forward basis?
Sure, Sam. The warranty recovery was something we've been working on for a period of time to recoup some costs that we had to incur, that you'll see when we file our 10-Q were predominantly in our San Antonio market in the South Central region. So we were pleased to get that settlement in and be able to net against the warranty costs that we incurred during the quarter. We also did see just a slightly overall level -- slightly lower level of warranty and litigation costs incurred this quarter than our typical. And you layer that into also the litigation cost last quarter, and you see a big swing in the warranty and litigation cost line item and our gross margin supplemental detail that we provide that was actually a 20 basis point benefit. We would expect going forward that to be more normal.
And if you go and look at prior quarters outside of the last 2, let's call it, anywhere from 30 to 60 basis points that we net against our gross home sales gross margin for warranty and litigation costs. And we don't know of anything at this time that would make that be different in the go-forward quarters. The last 2 quarters have just been unusual in terms of what's happened.
That helps, Jessica. And then switching gears here. One of your big competitors is stepping up the use of ARMs. Can you just remind us your mix of ARMs and where that sits relative to last quarter and last year? And then if there is any change in your ARM cadence, any implications for financial services margins that we should be cognizant of?
Our use of ARMs is in the low single digit as a percent of homes financed through our mortgage company and -- although we've seen some more attractive ARM products that, for us, if they can be utilized for long-term approval, meaning that they're a longer-term ARM, then we've seen some. But it hasn't stepped up much. Still the incentive used most when we talk about rates is, for our buyers and through our mortgage companies, is a 30-year fixed rate.
Yes. So when Paul says low single digit on ARMs, that's just an absolute ARM product that is their product. If you look at the rate buydowns we're utilizing, we did see a tick up in temporary buydowns that we layered in on top of the permanent, that was more like a low double-digit percentage this quarter. But that's been running anywhere from a mid- to high single-digit percentage.
The next question will be from Eric Bosshard from Cleveland Research.
The comments you've made about affordability. I'm just curious, obviously, there's some hope for some external solution to affordability. But absent that, the steps that you're looking at to address affordability, what you're doing with incentives is having some effect, but are there any structural things you're evaluating or taking in regards to how [ size or how construct ] or location or even markets that you're considering related to this ongoing affordability issue?
Eric, we focus every day on meeting the homeowners where they need to be, especially on a monthly payment. And for us and in today's market, the reality of home pricing and cost of materials and cost of land is that we have seen continued introduction of smaller homes, whether that's a plan or 2 inside of an existing community or a whole community focused at more affordable price points. For us, the biggest limiter to some of that and creating more of that tends to be lot size and minimum lot size requirements at the municipal level where we can achieve that and get to a little higher density with more efficiency and provide a house that meets the monthly payment needs, especially of our first-time home buyers, we see success there.
And so we have focused on that across markets. And I wouldn't say there's any particular area where we're seeing that more, maybe other than those municipalities that are a little more flexible and allow us to go meet the market where it wants to be met.
Okay. And then secondly, if I could, the first-time market, first-time customer is about 2/3 of the business. I'm curious, is -- the other 1/3 of the business behaving similarly to that 2/3, to the first-time, or is there some difference in performance, price sensitivity, traffic volume, anything that's notably different?
I wouldn't say anything notably different. There's a lot of macro discussion going on, which I think impacts buyer sentiment in the market, and we've seen some consistency across that. Certainly, as you move up the price curve and there's less sensitivity to rates that move-up home buyer can move with a little more consistency when they want to and as they want to. But I would say, overall, I haven't seen a specific trend which shows a big separation of what's happening in our first-time home buyer market compared to our move-up.
The next question will be from Anthony Pettinari from Citigroup.
As you think about '26, do you expect to continue to outgrow the market? Or maybe could you be more in line with the market? Or are there regions where you're willing to let go a little share to maintain margin? And then just in terms of your spec count down year-over-year, is that just reflecting expectation for just kind of maybe a tougher spring season versus last year?
I think in terms of looking at our growth expectations relative to the market, we are expecting to grow this year. We have certainly positioned for growth with the increase in markets served over the past few years as well as significant increase in community counts being up 12% year-over-year. But we take that community by community and market by market, looking to maximize the returns there. And where we can aggregate market share profitably, we'll continue to do so, as we've done for the company's history. And the second part of your question?
Specs decline.
The spec decline is something that we've been focused on with compressing our building times and our cycle times. That way we'll be more efficient with the capital deployed in a given neighborhood and more responsive to more immediate buyer demands when they walk in. So the spec count reduction has been deliberate and purposeful. And it's not a limiter necessarily on our growth as it has been in the past because we can build homes faster than we ever have been able to.
Okay. That's very helpful. And then just following up on kind of the policy, we talked about, I think, a few proposals. But I'm just curious what policies do you think could be most helpful or impactful in terms of improving housing activity and getting more folks in homes in kind of a sustainable way?
Anthony, we're pleased that the administration acknowledges housing affordability is an issue and that there's a lot of focus on that from a lot of folks and think that it needs to be a focus. There's lots of different things that could be done on both the supply and the demand side. But ultimately, consumers are feeling good about where they are today, seeing the resale market open up, seeing availability at the local level, willingness for us to go drive more affordable housing into the market. All of those things, I think, would be helpful, and we'll see how all of this plays out over time.
And we're already doing more to address affordability, I'd say, than any other builder out there. And we'll see what ultimately comes out of the policy, but we believe we're the best-positioned builder to take advantage of if there is any sort of demand pickup out there, particularly for the first-time homebuyer.
The next question will be from Michael Rehaut from JPMorgan.
First, I wanted to focus on there's recent tweets, I guess, or comments made by the FHFA director directly speaking to share repurchases by large homebuilders in contrast to putting out more volume into the market. So I want your thoughts on that. Obviously, today you reiterated your outlook for [indiscernible] share repurchases for the year. I'm curious if you've had any direct conversations with the FHFA regarding this. Because obviously, you guys are mandated by all public companies, you have an obligation to our shareholders, first and foremost. And so I'm just curious if there's been any discussion with the FHFA, and your thoughts on those recent comments.
Michael, we have maintained our balanced approach, and you look at our starts pace this quarter sequentially, up 27%, as Jessica intimated, providing affordable housing to more Americans today. I think 64% of the homes financed through our mortgage company were first-time homebuyers in closings this quarter. We feel very good about our position to continue to meet that demand and provide the housing that we need out there. No direct conversations for us around buybacks and feel like a balanced approach. And that's why we reiterated what we plan to do on our guidance for the year. We feel like we're in a great position to continue to provide the housing that we need to with the cash flow that we're generating to both invest in our operations and our business and to provide returns and return money to our shareholders.
Okay. All right. Appreciate that. I guess secondly, you kind of highlighted earlier in the call that your incentives went up during the first quarter, and that appears to be the primary driver of the sequential decline in gross margins in the second quarter, among other factors, I guess. I wanted to get a sense, as a percent of sales, where incentives [ ended in ] the first quarter versus the beginning of the first quarter. And if that shift occurred towards the end of the quarter, or was it kind of ratable throughout?
Yes. Mike, the increase in incentives was really ratable throughout the quarter, sequentially increased throughout the quarter. And so we exited the quarter at a higher level of incentives and a lower gross margin on our closings in December than for the overall quarter. And so that's really the level that we carry into Q2. And so that's a big part of the driver of our guide for our Q2 margin.
And pleased that incentives are still having the desired impact, right? Our sales were up 3% year-over-year as a result of those efforts.
And can you just remind us what percent of sales incentives were by the end of the quarter versus the beginning of the quarter?
We've been running a high single-digit percentage. Today we might have ticked up to low double digits.
The next question will be from Trevor Allinson from Wolfe Research.
A follow-up question on your view on current new home inventory levels in your markets. I appreciate it varies market by market. But if we were to focus on some of the more important geographies in Florida, Texas and some of the other more important markets, is there still excess inventory relative to demand, or has the slowdown in starts we've seen across the industry here in the fourth quarter, brought that more into equilibrium?
I would say we still see pockets of elevated inventory, and that is market to market. I don't think we're here today to call out anything with specificity as to where we're significantly overweighted in inventory. But certainly, market by market and submarkets inside of larger MSAs, and there are subdivisions and communities out there where demand hasn't caught up with the amount of supply that's in the market, but we see that continue to rightsize across our footprint.
Okay. Paul, that's very helpful. And then second, obviously, there's been a lot of activity on the policy side here. There's an expectation for a lot of activity. Rates have come down here. If those are successful in driving better demand this spring, how do you guys think about your preference to do more volume versus the 86,000, 88,000 closings target you have currently versus recapturing some margin as incentives still remain really elevated?
Trevor, we're going to take a look at that community by community. And as always, we're going to look to focus on driving the best return out of that given community based upon competitive dynamics at that submarket level, replacement lot supply and what our demand trends are there. And where there is opportunity for margin expansion, we'll take it. Where it makes more sense to drive more pace, we'll do that as well. Looking for a balanced approach, no different than what we've been doing. It's just responding to the current market conditions in place in front of us, sales office by sales office.
The next question will be from Rafe Jadrosich from Bank of America.
As we head into spring selling, can you compare the market today versus, say, a year ago in terms of the demand and inventory that's out there? .
I don't know that there's a direct parallel to be drawn. We are encouraged by the fact that we've still got people out there looking to buy a home. There's certainly not a lack of interest. I think it's breaking through the consumer confidence and seeing people feel good about their decision to move forward. We are encouraged by the traffic we see out there today.
I do believe that if you look at today over last year at this time, there's a little more balance of inventory. Certainly, we see that across our communities, and think you see that across the industry. So set up -- we believe we are in good position as we move into the spring selling season. Comfortable with where we're positioned with our communities, our community count, our inventory and, most importantly, our people in the field, taking care of buyers as they come into our models.
And then on the stick and brick side, I think you said that in the fiscal first quarter, stick and brick costs were down 1% quarter-over-quarter, and I think you're guiding for it to be flattish quarter-over-quarter in the second quarter. Is it flattening out now? Or is there still opportunity to take more cost out? Where are you in the process of sort of clawing back some margin from either the trades or building product or distributors?
We believe there's still opportunity there. And our reduction in starts was intentional to give us the opportunity to meet with our trades or vendors or suppliers and look at the reality of the market in front of us. So although our guide is too flat and not seeing significant reduction in stick and brick, part of that too is a percent of -- or it's based on a square foot basis, which is a little harder sometimes to measure based on mix and product and sizing. But we certainly feel like there's opportunity to continue to see some reductions in the cost of homes that we're putting around.
The next question will be from Susan Maklari from Goldman Sachs.
My first question is, thinking about the conditions that you've talked to and your ability to continue to hold on to that improvement that you've seen in cycle times and the efforts that you're realizing with your suppliers, if we do see somewhat of a lift in demand as we go through this year. Do you think you can continue to maintain that flexibility that you've realized?
We've had long relationships with these trade partners. The last time we had a really significant production disruption was partially labor, largely was due to material shortages. That is something we do not expect at all this time at all. Materials are in great shape, product is available. And the relationships we've had with labor trades in several markets going back 30, 40 years, consistently paying the bills on time, consistent starts cadence and the consistency of product deployed has been really helpful in maintaining our partnership with those trade bases.
Okay. And then maybe turning to the growth side of things. Can you talk about what you're seeing in terms of some of the smaller privates, how they're feeling today, your ability to perhaps leverage further M&A as an element of growth that you're looking to achieve?
We continue to look at opportunities that are in the market. And I think that our focus has been more on the tuck-in opportunities to either expand our capacity in a particular market and/or an entry into a market. But we continue to evaluate those as they come towards us. And I think if you see anything in the future, it will be similar to what you've seen over the last several years with the smaller builders that give us a solid platform and are a good fit to us in markets.
The next question will be from Ken Zener from Seaport Research.
Paul, with orders up 3%, there's a community count effect there, but a lot of [ details ] today, but my basic question is this. Demand is there. You need to offer some incentives, but demand is there amid very low job growth. For example, Dallas, you're familiar with, job growth is around 30,000 year-over-year, it's well less than half the long-term rate, yet you're still seeing demand. Can you talk to like where that demand is coming from amid such low job growth that we're seeing, it's not just Dallas, it's in many different markets, yet you guys are still seeing activity? Is that -- do we really need job growth to normalize, to get your margins in a more stable upward slope?
I think job growth is always going to be key to overall household formation and the demand side of our business. There's no question there. I do believe that we are seeing, continue to see some pent-up demand. And as people grow, and especially for our buyers, for the first-time home buyer, that have delayed that home purchase decision and making the decision today to come out of an apartment and/or out of their parents' home, it makes it a little less reliant on seeing just pure job growth to create household formation in some of MSAs that we operate in.
So I do think it's a balance. I think, long term, we absolutely need to see job growth and continued job growth if we want to see growth in overall housing demand.
Right. And can you kind of comment that -- I mean it's AI and many different things today, the 10-year is up 5 or 6 basis points again. But do you feel like we're really [ plowing ] forward just from that quote pent-up demand that didn't occur? Because it's quite odd that we're seeing demand so strong when the job growth has been so weak. And it begs the question of, right, what if it stays weak, do you pull -- have you tapped essentially your demand that was there not tied to job growth? I'm just trying to figure it out because -- do you know what -- what do your people say when you don't have really good job growth yet housing demand is there?
Well, I think it's why we continue to prefer our focus on the entry-level and first-time buyer because they're a need-based buyer. Everyone needs a place to live. And so if we can strike that right affordability balance, they might need a little bit of help in terms of [ gift ] funds from parents or relatives. We continue to see just shy of 20% of our buyers utilizing our mortgage company are utilizing gift funds to make that purchase. But the lower the price point we can put houses on the ground at, the more buyers that are out there. Because once again, a first-time buyer needs a place to live. If we can be competitive with [ rent ], they're still interested in that home purchase.
The next question will be from Jade Rahmani from KBW.
If rates do move lower, do you think homebuilders will choose to pass along that saving to buyers rather than take margins in the hopes that that would stimulate demand further?
I think we continue to see a balance to meet the consumer where they are relative to the rate environment. And it would be a -- can you spur additional demand and drive more pace, more units, if that's going to be the most incrementally positive lever we can pull on returns, and we would go in that direction. If it's a community where there's more scarcity of supply, it might result in an improvement in margins.
Even with our increased incentives though in the December quarter, we kept our lowest 30-year fixed-rate offering at 3.99%. And so we would have the ability, to Mike's point, we'd always choose to go lower if rates move lower and it could cost us the same, or if demand is just picking up and we don't need to move lower on that rate offering, we won't. But we did in the December quarter stay with 3.99% as the lowest 30-year fixed rate buydown we were offering.
And with 64% first-time homebuyer in your mortgage company, could you give any color as to whether you think an allowance of 401(k) savings to be used for deposit down-payment would move the needle at all? Could that be material? Or do you think it's unlikely to be so?
I think anything that opens up the ability of people to either get to a monthly payment and/or get to down-payment, which are the 2 things, especially for a first-time homebuyer, that we need to solve for, right, it's getting to a monthly payment that they're comfortable with, can and should afford, as well as the down payment that they need to purchase a home. So we absolutely think it will be helpful. To what level, we'll see what gets put forward in terms of policy and how that plays out. But anything that we see to help get people moving, not just new home market but in the resale market as well, we believe is accretive to our performance.
And the next question will be from Alex Barrón from Housing Research Center.
I just wanted to confirm the volume guide you guys are giving. Is that just for the wholly owned communities? Or does that also include the homes you guys are doing in rental communities?
Sure, Alex. Our home closings guide for the year is for -- by our homebuilding operations, so it does not include single-family rental, but our revenue guide for the full year is consolidated revenues. So would anticipate our rental revenue included in that. .
Got it. And I wanted to ask on the margin guidance. Was that mainly driven by offering higher incentives in the way of rate buydowns or more like in the way of price cuts?
Mostly incentives based on buydowns and based on the level of buydowns and incentive costs we were seeing as we exited Q1 really driving the Q2 levels.
Okay. And if I could ask one last one. Are you guys starting to feel any impact from tariffs and materials costs?
No. We still haven't taken any significant or noticeable increase in a material due to a tariff.
Thank you. This does conclude today's Q&A session. I will now hand the call back to Paul Romanowski for closing remarks.
Thank you, Paul. We appreciate everyone's time on the call today and look forward to speaking with you again to share our second quarter results on Tuesday, April 21. Congratulations to the entire D.R. Horton family on achieving a solid first quarter. We are honored to represent you on this call and greatly appreciate all that you do.
Thank you. This does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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D.R. Horton — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
D.R. Horton — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $6,9 Mrd. konsolidiert (+– gegenüber Guidance; Home‑Sales $6,5 Mrd.)
- Ergebnis: GAAP-Netto $595 Mio.; EPS $2,03 vs. $2,61 Vorjahr
- Margen: Pretax‑Margin 11,6%; Home‑sales Bruttomarge 20,4% (ohne Einmal‑Warranty 20,0%)
- Volumen: 17.818 Closings (vs. 19.059 p.a.); Net Sales Orders 18.300 (+3% YoY)
- Bilanz/Kasse: 12M OpCF $3,6 Mrd.; Quartals‑Buybacks $670 Mio.; Liquidität $6,6 Mrd.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Return‑Fokus: Betonung auf Kapital‑Effizienz und hohe Cash‑Generierung; Homebuilding ROInventory 18,6% (TTM)
- Marktreaktion: Incentives erhöht, Bestand/Starts marktgerecht gesteuert; Starts Q1 18.500 (+27% seq.)
- First‑time Buyers: 64% der Hypotheken‑Closings über eigene Mortgage‑Einheit; Produktmix auf bezahlbare Preispunkte ausgerichtet
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q2‑Guide: Umsatz $7,3–7,8 Mrd., Closings 19.700–20.200, Home‑sales Bruttomarge 19–19,5%, Konsolidierte Pretax 10,6–11,1%
- FY‑Leitplanken: Umsatz $33,5–35,0 Mrd., Closings 86k–88k, Steuersatz ~24,5%, OpCF ≥ $3 Mrd., Buybacks ~ $2,5 Mrd., Dividenden ~ $500 Mio.
- Risiken: Margen abhängig von Incentives, Hypothekenzinsen und Lot‑/Entwicklungskosten
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- SG&A‑Quote: Höhere Quote durch geringeres Quartals‑Volumen (weniger Hebel); absolute SG&A leicht rückläufig
- Incentives: Anstieg im Quartal, buydowns (temporär) stiegen; Q2‑Guide reflektiert höhere Exit‑Incentives
- Land & Supply: Kein breiter Preisverfall bei Rohland; bessere Entwicklungskonditionen und Pacing, aber keine großen Distress‑Opportunitäten
⚡ Bottom Line
- Konsequenz: Solider Start ins Fiskaljahr: Revenue/Closings über Guidance, starke Cash‑Generierung und aktive Kapitalrückführung. Kurzfristig drücken höhere Incentives und Zins‑/Marktunsicherheiten die Bruttomargen; strategisch bleibt D.R. Horton auf Kapitaldisziplin, Marktanteilsaggregation und First‑time‑Buyer‑Fokus ausgerichtet.
D.R. Horton — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call for D.R. Horton, America's Builder. [Operator Instructions] I will now turn over to Jessica Hansen, Senior Vice President of Communications for D.R. Horton.
Thank you, Paul, and good morning. Welcome to our call to discuss our fourth quarter and fiscal 2025 financial results.
Before we get started, today's call includes forward-looking statements as defined by the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Although D.R. Horton believes any such statements are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no assurance that actual outcomes will not be materially different. All forward-looking statements are based upon information available to D.R. Horton on the date of this conference call and D.R. Horton does not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements.
Additional information about factors that could lead to material changes in performance is contained in D.R. Horton's annual report on Form 10-K and its most recent quarterly report on Form 10-Q, both of which are filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This morning's earnings release and supplemental data presentation can be found on our website at investor.drhorton.com and we plan to file our 10-K in about 3 weeks.
Please note that we are now posting our supplementary data presentation at the time of our earnings release. After this call, we will also post our updated investor presentation for your reference.
Now I will turn the call over to Paul Romanowski, our President and CEO.
Thank you, Jessica, and good morning. I am pleased to also be joined on this call by Mike Murray, our Chief Operating Officer; and Bill Wheat, our Chief Financial Officer.
This year, the D.R. Horton team had the privilege of providing homeownership to nearly 85,000 individuals and families, including approximately 43,000 first-time homebuyers. In total, our homebuilding and rental operations provided more than 91,200 households a place to call home during fiscal 2025.
We work every day to use our industry-leading platform unmatched scale, efficient operations and experienced employees to bring affordable homeownership opportunities to more Americans. New home demand remains impacted by affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment. Our teams continue to respond with discipline during the fourth quarter, driving a 5% increase in net sales orders while carefully balancing pace, price and incentives to meet demand.
The D.R. Horton team produced solid fourth quarter results to finish the year, highlighted by consolidated pretax income of $1.2 billion on revenues of $9.7 billion, with a pretax profit margin of 12.4%. For the year, our consolidated pretax income was $4.7 billion with a pretax profit margin of 13.8%.
Our homebuilding pretax return on inventory for the year was 20.1%. Return on equity was 14.6% and return on assets was 10%. Over the last 10 years, D.R. Horton has delivered a compounded annual shareholder return of more than 20%, and compared to the S&P 500's compounded annual return of 13.3%. Also, our return on assets ranked in the top 20% of all S&P 500 companies for the past 3, 5 and 10-year periods, demonstrating that our disciplined, returns-focused operating model produces sustainable results and positions us well for continued value creation.
We remain focused on capital efficiency to generate strong operating cash flows and deliver compelling returns to our shareholders. In fiscal 2025, we generated $3.4 billion of cash from operations after making homebuilding investments in lots, land and development totaling $8.5 billion. We leveraged our strong cash flow and financial position to return $4.8 billion to shareholders through repurchases and dividends.
Over the past 5 years, we've generated $11 billion of operating cash flow and returned all of it to shareholders. Over the same time frame, we grew consolidated revenues and an 11% compound annual rate, reflecting consistent, efficient execution and disciplined, balanced capital allocation. We strive to offer our customers an attractive value proposition by providing quality homes at affordable price points. We will continue to tailor our product offerings, sales incentives and number of homes in inventory based on demand in each of our markets to maximize returns. Mike?
Net income for the quarter was $905.3 million or $3.04 per diluted share on consolidated revenues of $9.7 billion. For the year, net income was $3.6 billion or $11.57 per diluted share on revenues of $34.3 billion.
Our fourth quarter home sales revenues were $8.5 billion on 23,368 homes closed. Our average closing sales price for the quarter of $365,600 is down 1% sequentially, down 3% year-over-year and is down 9% from our peak sales price of more than $400,000 and in 2022. Our average sales price is lower than the average sales price of new homes in the United States by $140,000 or almost 30%. Additionally, the median sales price of our homes is $65,000 lower than the median price of an existing home. Bill?
Our net sales orders in the fourth quarter increased 5% from the prior year quarter to 2,078 homes and order value increased 3% to $7.3 billion. Our cancellation rate for the quarter was 20%, up from 17% sequentially and down from 21% in the prior year quarter. Our cancellation rate is in line with our historical average.
Our average number of active selling communities was up 1% sequentially and up 13% from the prior year. The average price of net sales orders in the fourth quarter was $364,900, which was flat sequentially and down 3% from the prior year quarter. Jessica?
Our gross profit margin on home sales revenue in the fourth quarter was 20%, down 180 basis points sequentially from the June quarter. 110 basis points of the decrease in our gross margin from June to September was due to higher incentive costs on homes closed during the quarter and 60 basis points of the decrease was from higher than normal litigation costs.
On a per square foot basis, home sales revenues were down roughly 1% sequentially, while sticks and bricks costs per square foot were flat and lot costs increased 3%. For the first quarter, we expect our home sales gross margin to be flat to slightly up from the fourth quarter. We anticipate our incentive levels to remain elevated in fiscal 2026 with both incentive levels and home sales gross margin for the full year, dependent on the strength of demand during the spring selling season, changes in mortgage interest rates and other market conditions. Bill?
Our fourth quarter homebuilding SG&A expenses were flat with the prior year quarter, and homebuilding SG&A expense as a percentage of revenues was 7.9%. For the year, homebuilding SG&A was 8.3% of revenues.
Our annual SG&A expenses increased 3%, primarily due to the expansion of our platform, including a 13% increase in our average community count. The investments we have made in our team and platform position us to continue producing strong returns, cash flow and market share gains, and we remain focused on managing our SG&A costs efficiently across our operations. Paul?
We started 14,600 homes in the September quarter and ended the year with 29,600 homes in inventory, down 21% from a year ago. 19,600 of our total homes at September 30 were unsold. 9,300 of our unsold homes at year-end were completed, including 800 that had been completed for greater than 6 months.
For homes we closed in the fourth quarter, our median cycle time, measured from home start to home close decreased by a week from the third quarter and 2 weeks from a year ago. Our improved cycle times enable us to hold fewer homes in inventory and turn our housing inventory more efficiently.
We expect our sales pace will increase in the first half of our fiscal year in preparation for the spring selling season, and we will continue to manage our homes and inventory and [ starch pace ] based on market conditions. Mike?
Our homebuilding lot position at year-end consisted of approximately 592,000 lots, of which 25% were owned and 75% were controlled through purchase contracts. 78,000 or roughly half of our owned lots are finished and the majority of our option lots will be finished when we purchase them over the next several years.
We are actively managing our investments in lots, land and development based on current market conditions. We remain focused on our relationships with land developers across the country to allow us to build more homes on lots developed by others. Of the homes we closed during the quarter, 65% were on a lot developed by either Forestar or a third party, up from 64% in the prior year quarter.
Our fourth quarter homebuilding investments in lots, land and development totaled $2 billion, of which $1.3 billion was for finished lots, $540 million was for land development and $120 million was for land acquisition. For the year, our homebuilding investments in lots, land and development totaled $8.5 million. Paul?
In the fourth quarter, our rental operations generated $81 million of pretax income on $805 million of revenues from the sale of 1,565 single-family rental homes and 1,815 multifamily rental units. For the full year, our rental operations generated $170 million of pretax income on $1.6 billion of revenues from the sale of 3,460 single-family rental homes and 2,947 multifamily rental units.
Our rental property inventory at September 30 was $2.7 billion, down 7% from a year ago and consisted of $378 million of single-family rental properties and $2.3 billion of multifamily rental properties. We remain focused on improving the capital efficiency and returns of our rental operations. Jessica?
Forestar is our majority-owned residential lot development company, and our strategic relationship is a vital component of our returns-focused business model. Forestar reported revenues for the fourth quarter of $671 million on 4,891 lots sold with pretax income of $113 million.
For the full year, Forestar delivered 14,240 lots, generating $1.7 billion of revenues and $219 million of pretax income. 62% of Forestar's owned lots are under contract with are subject to a right of first offer to D.R. Horton and $470 million of our finished lots purchased in the fourth quarter were from Forestar.
Forestar's strong, separately capitalized balance sheet, substantial operating platform and lot supply position them well to provide essential finished lots to the homebuilding industry and aggregate significant market share over the next several years. Mike?
Financial services earned $76 million of pretax income in the fourth quarter on $218 million of revenues with a pretax profit margin of 34.7%. For the year, financial services earned $279 million of pretax income on $841 million of revenues with a pretax profit margin of 33.1%. As we now post the supplemental data presentation to our investor website prior to the call, we will no longer review detailed mortgage metrics during our prepared remarks. Bill?
Our capital allocation strategy is disciplined and balanced to support an expanded operating platform that produces attractive returns and substantial operating cash flows. We have a strong balance sheet with low leverage and healthy liquidity, which provides us with significant financial flexibility to adapt to changing market conditions and opportunities.
During fiscal 2025, we generated $3.4 billion of operating cash flow representing 10% of our total revenues and 95% of our net income. During the fourth quarter, we repurchased 4.6 million shares of common stock for $689 million. For the full year, we repurchased 30.7 million shares for $4.3 billion, which reduced our outstanding share count by 9% from the prior year end. We also paid cash dividends of $118 million during the quarter, and $495 million during fiscal 2025.
Our fiscal year-end stockholders' equity was $24.2 billion, down 4% from a year ago. However, our book value per share was up 5% from a year ago to $82.15. At September 30, we had $6.6 billion of consolidated liquidity, consisting of $3 billion of cash and $3.6 billion of available capacity on our credit facilities.
We repaid $500 million of our 2.6% senior notes in September and debt at the end of the quarter totaled $6 billion. We have no senior note maturities in fiscal 2026. Our consolidated leverage at fiscal year-end was 19.8% an and we plan to maintain our leverage around 20% over the long term. Based on our strong financial position and cash flow, our Board declared a new quarterly dividend of $0.45 per share, a 13% annualized increase compared to the prior year, making fiscal 2026, our 12th consecutive year of dividend growth. Jessica?
Looking forward to fiscal 2026, we expect new home demand to reflect ongoing affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment. As outlined in our press release this morning, for the full year of fiscal 2026, we currently expect to generate consolidated revenues of approximately $33.5 billion to $35 billion and homes closed by our homebuilding operations to be in the range of 86,000 to 88,000 homes.
We forecast an income tax rate for fiscal 2026 of approximately 24.5%. We expect to generate at least $3 billion of cash flow from operations in fiscal 2026. We currently plan to purchase approximately $2.5 billion of our common stock during fiscal 2026 in addition to paying dividends of around $500 million.
For our first fiscal quarter ending December 31, we currently expect to generate consolidated revenues in the range of $6.3 billion to $6.8 billion, and homes closed by our homebuilding operations to be in the range of 17,100 to 17,600 homes.
We expect our home sales gross margin for the first quarter to be in the range of 20% to 20.5% and our consolidated pretax profit margin to be in the range of 11.3% to 11.8%. Finally, we expect our income tax rate for the quarter to be approximately 24.5%. Paul?
In closing, our results and position reflect our experienced teams, industry-leading market share, broad geographic footprint and focus on delivering quality homes at affordable price points. All of these are key components of our operating platform that support our ability to aggregate market share, generate substantial operating cash flows and return capital to investors.
We recognize the current volatility and uncertainty in the economy, and we will continue to adjust to market conditions in a disciplined manner to enhance the long-term value of our company. Looking ahead, we have a positive outlook for the housing market over the medium to long term.
Thank you to the entire D.R. Horton family of employees, land developers, trade partners, vendors and real estate agents for your continued efforts and hard work. Let's continue working to improve our operations and provide homeownership opportunities to more individuals and families during 2026. This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now host questions.
[Operator Instructions].
The first question today is coming from John Lovallo from UBS.
2. Question Answer
The first one is when we think about the walk from the 20% gross margin in the fourth quarter to the $20 million to $20.5 million in the first quarter. I mean how do we sort of think about incentives, land, labor, material costs? And is the warranty litigation costs expected to remain a 60 basis point headwind? Or how should we sort of think about that piece?
Thanks, John. The 60 basis points unusual impact from litigation this quarter is not expected to persist into Q1. Our baseline would be that we have a more normal impact from warranty litigation going forward. And so if you take our 20.0% reported margin this quarter, pro forma for the litigation would be 20.6% this quarter. And so our guide of 20% to 20.5% would be down slightly from Q4 to Q1 gross margin.
And that just reflects the environment we're in and the level of incentives that we're seeing and our exit gross margin at the end of the quarter was a bit lower than we anticipated coming into the quarter. And so that's what was reflected in the Q1 guidance.
Makes sense. I mean it's also the slowest quarter of the calendar year. So that would make sense. But okay, if we think about the starts pace in the quarter, it seems like it was down fairly meaningfully. I mean, rough math maybe 30% per community. I guess how quickly can you ramp this to meet demand if it exceeds your expectations, even to get to that sort of 87,000 deliveries at the midpoint?
John, our starts were lower certainly in the quarter, and that was intentional as we look to get our inventory in line with where it is also in response to our continued improvement in our cycle times. I feel like we don't need to carry as much inventory and also an opportunity for us in a slower starch environment to go into the market with our vendors and try and find reduced stick and brick as we move into the spring season.
And we're going to need to increase our starts as we go through the quarter and into the spring, but feel very good about our ability from a labor base and from our positioning of our communities and our lot supply to respond to the market as it comes on.
The next question will be from Stephen Kim from Evercore ISI.
I guess my -- looking at your guide on 1Q, it -- the gross margin, I think you've explained it pretty well here. But the consolidated pretax still seemed a little lighter for us. So I was curious as to whether or not your outlook in 1Q is anticipating maybe just some seasonal lightness or something in profitability from either rental or Forestar financial services? Or is there something else maybe below the homebuilding gross margin line that you might want to call out?
We would expect rental to be a little bit softer quarter. We delivered a lot this year. And so rental is lining up to be back end or back half of the year, heavier again for us this year. And so that certainly would have an impact on our consolidated op margin. And then to your point, we'll just have less leverage on SG&A from the lower closings volume on the homebuilding side.
That's very helpful. I appreciate that. Second question relates to your free cash flow guide, which was healthy. You had talked about, I think, in the past being able to achieve free cash conversion, I think, about 80% to 100%. I just want to make sure that I remember that correctly. Is that kind of in line with what you are looking for still on a go-forward basis?
Yes. We expect to be more consistent in our cash flow conversion going forward. This year, cash flow as a percentage of revenues was between 10% and 11% overall and we expect to be in that range. The guide is roughly in that range as well.
The next question will be from Sam Reid from Wells Fargo.
Quick follow-ups on the gross margin. I just want to drill down a little bit deeper on that sequential step up in warranty expense, just to make sure I fully understand kind of some of the puts and takes there. Why you expect it to normalize into the first quarter? And then I'm sorry if I missed, but could you also just remind us what's embedded in Q1 on lot costs and stick and brick.
Sure. On the litigation, we had several large settlements that settled this quarter, nothing outside of the ordinary course of business, but they were larger than normal just in terms of size. And that has an impact on some of the factors that we use in our litigation reserve model.
We had to increase a few of those. And so that drove the change in the quarter. Those are elements that we don't expect to repeat going into the next quarter. And then as we look at margin going forward, our base expectation is we do expect our lot costs in our home closings to continue to increase incrementally. And we're certainly going to be striving to offset that as best we can with the stick and brick savings as we move into the year.
That helps. And maybe drilling down a bit more detail on the incentive line item. So it does look like incentives stepped up sequentially. Can you just break out the difference between step-up in price discounting versus rate buydowns? And then I know you do buy down to some very below market rates in certain communities units as low as 3.99%. Just curious whether the proliferation of those significantly below market buydowns stepped up in Q4?
Yes, Sam. So as we anticipated on our last call, we did expect to lean in more heavily to the offering of [ $399]. That is something that we've been doing, and we saw the mortgage rate in our backlog come down. It's actually below 5% today, coming into this quarter. And we also saw a slight increase in the percentage of buyers sequentially that received a rate buy-down overall. So that accounted for about 73% of our total closings in Q4, which was up from 72% sequentially.
The next question will be from Alan Ratner from Zelman & Associates.
And apologies in advance. I got disconnected for a moment. So if I repeat the question, I'm sorry. But first question, just a pretty solid order number, especially considering kind of the start pace way down. Just curious if you can kind of talk a little bit about how demand trended through the quarter and whether you feel like that year-over-year order growth is any indication of maybe a little bit of an improvement in demand as rates were coming down?
Or was there perhaps a little bit of a shift in incentive strategy? I know the incentives were up a bit for the quarter. Just curious if you kind of increased them in the back half of the quarter that might have driven some of that order increase.
I think we did see a decent demand throughout the quarter. It was choppy as rates were a little bit volatile, and that will push people off the couch and back on to the couch. It seems like with the headlines. But we did lean into the incentives pretty hard in the quarter as we talked about and we expected to. We did start a fair number of homes in our June quarter. And in those homes, we're going to sell and close in September.
And we have a few more in the backlog that will be closing out as well. But we moderated the start space to reflect a sales environment, as Paul says, to rightsize our inventory position and leaning into our production improvements. the ability to compress the cycle time will allow us to deliver homes faster from start sale to delivery at closing.
And so in today's environment, we'd expect our starts in the first half of the year to be up from our recent starts pace that we've had.
Got it. Okay. That makes a lot of sense. And then second question, just looking at your closing guide for '26, up slightly year-on-year. Obviously, your homes under construction are way down. It doesn't feel like there's anything today that would point to '26 being an up year from a demand perspective.
So I'm just curious how you're thinking about kind of maybe the upside and downside risks to that closing guidance. Obviously, it will be dependent on the spring. But is this more you taking a view of, hey, we've got the communities opening. We want to put homes on the ground and kind of keep the machine running or is that actually your expectation that maybe lower rates a little bit, a still solid economy that you feel a little bit more positive about the demand outlook heading into this year's spring versus last.
Alan, I would say that we are absolutely in position to deliver on the units in the guide. When you look at our community count being up 13%, and that's been increasing double digits for some period of time. So we're not assuming increased absorption per flag to achieve this guide.
We have the production capacity throughout the industry, we think, to deliver on that. And we have what I would characterize as solid traffic in our communities today. There's some uncertainty and consumer confidence certainly is keeping people on the fence. So ultimately, it's going to depend on the spring selling season and the strength of the market.
But we believe we're in a position to deliver on our guide and feel good about our positioning today. Even with our inventory, total housing inventory at a lower number. That's been purposeful because we believe we have the ability to deliver the units in a time of fashion.
And the next question will be from Matthew Bouley from Barclays.
I have, I guess, a similar question to what Alan just asked, but I want to add a little more to it around the gross margin side. And so obviously, guiding to growth in the housing market that is not growing at the moment, and I hear you loud and clear on the community growth supporting that.
But maybe in the context that the gross margins came in a little bit below the guide, even excluding the unusual litigation. So I'm trying to understand if there's any signal there kind of any conceptual change to that balance between growth and gross margin? And perhaps are you actually willing to maybe sacrifice a little bit of gross margin here in order to drive those volumes higher this year?
I think we're continuing to respond to the market that's in front of us on a day-to-day and week-to-week basis at each of our communities. The growth in the community count and the lots that are available to us today in our portfolio that are ready to start homes on is probably unprecedented in the company's history relative to our outlook for the year. So we feel like we have a lot of flexibility to lean into the strength that materializes in the market. And at the same time, we can't -- cannot continue to run the machine to a 0 profit margin. That makes $0 whatsoever.
Yes. Got it. Okay. Understood. And then maybe just zooming into the lot costs. So I guess it sounded like there was still a little bit of inflation sequentially. I'm just curious at kind of the very front end, whether it's development costs or kind of renegotiating with your land counterparties, et cetera. Is there an outlook to either flattening or eventually improving lot costs? And when may that begin to benefit you guys?
I think, Matt, given the mix of our overall lot portfolio in different age, I don't think you're going to see much of a shift in that over the next 12 months. We are seeing on the front end from a development cost perspective, some flattening there and some reductions that we expect to take advantage of and new lots that are going on the ground either for us or through our third-party developers. Not as much movement on the overall land valuation, but we are seeing favorable opportunity to renegotiate on terms and time to control our lot position in the number of lots that we own based on market conditions.
And I think an even better opportunity that we look at in '26 is renegotiating our stick and brick cost, lot costs continue to be sticky, and we're doing everything we can on that front, but we would expect our stick and brick costs to come down as we move throughout the year.
And the next question is coming from Rafe Jadrosich from Bank of America.
I just wanted to ask on the second half, the delivery outlook, it seems like it's more second half weighted. Can you talk about like the start pace and community account that you're assuming, how do we think about the cadence of that through the year?
I think overall, our starch space needs to move up, right? I mean at 14,600 starts this quarter, well below what we need to be doing on a quarterly basis. But again, that's been intentional to get our inventory in the pace that we're looking for and feel good about our capacity and ability to start into the market, but our starts are going to have to keep pace with or exceed our sales pace a little bit as we look at the first and second quarters into this year.
And with respect to community count, we've been seeing double-digit year-over-year increases in community count. We do expect that to moderate at some point more to the mid- to high single digits. But right now, as we go into the year, we are up double digits. So that positions us well to not have to plan for higher absorptions in order to achieve our volume and our business plan.
And then just following up on the last question. Can you just tell us what the year-over-year increases on lot cost? And then what you'd expect that to be through 2026?
Yes. I think we were up 8% on a year-over-year basis on a per square foot for lot cost. And I think as we've said, we do expect that to remain pretty sticky at least on closing for the next year or so. And so it's probably best case mid-single, but it could continue to be high single as well as it takes a little bit longer for that ultimately to flow through in our closings.
The next question will be from Trevor Allinson from Wolfe Research.
First question is on demand in Texas. We've heard a couple of builders call out Texas being among the weaker markets here, but your South Central orders were up 11% year-over-year. So can you talk about what you're seeing there is the strong order performance decision to lean more into volumes? Or you've got really strong community count growth that you see a lot of that come through in Texas? Just any commentary on what's driving the good order growth there relative to some of your commentary from the [indiscernible].
Trevor, I would describe Texas like a lot of markets and areas and geographies, and that's choppy. It's kind of market to market. We did lean in, as you saw in our margins, the incentives to drive the absorptions that we were looking for in the fourth quarter. Still have certainly bright spots throughout the state, but others that we still have an elevated inventory level that we and the industry need to work through in the coming months.
Okay. And then second question, you talked about getting your inventory lower in the quarter. You're also now talking to about increasing your start pace here. So perhaps suggest that you feel good about where your inventory is at. What about for the industry more broadly relative to demand?
Do you think that the reduced starts pace here recently has brought inventory more in alignment with current demand conditions? Or do you think, especially in some of these weaker markets that there's still room for inventory to move lower here early -- late in 2025 and early in 2026?
I do think the reduction in starts has helped to balance inventory market by market. Again, it is market by market as you look at that. Across the board, our slowing starts also gives us the opportunity to work on repricing some of our stick and brick costs and the ability for us to sell houses and [ star ] houses and increase our start pace is predicated upon the sales environment and the ability to reduce our vertical construction costs, so that we can start houses.
So I expect to see that the inventory balance helping support a backdrop of increasing starts into our December and March quarters.
I think we've had a lot of chatter about builders just being more rational today, right? And so we are seeing the industry by and large, adjust their inventory overall, so we don't end up in an oversupply situation in most of our markets.
The next question will be from Anthony Pettinari from Citi.
Your repurchase guide $2.5 billion, I think, is kind of significantly below what you'll probably end up doing in '25, despite cash generation could be somewhat similar year-over-year. Is that just caution early in the year or before the year starts? And then maybe more broadly, can you just talk about potential capital allocation priorities in '26 in terms of step-up in land purchase development? Or any other thoughts there?
Yes. We repurchased $4.3 billion in fiscal '25, the guide of $2.5 million is lower, it's all governed by our cash flow. This year, we have said several times in fiscal '25, we had a unique situation coming into the year. We had a higher than normal level of liquidity coming into the year. So we felt like we had some cushion there to utilize it.
And we took advantage of when our price was much lower to buy shares with that. We were also coming into fiscal '25 below our leverage target. So we had some room on our balance sheet, and we did increase our leverage a bit and utilize that cash and our share repurchase as well. So we had some unique opportunities in fiscal '25 to lean in a bit, take advantage of the dislocation in our stock price.
But going forward and over the long term, consistently, our share repurchases and dividends will be governed by our level of cash flow. And right now, going into the year, every year has a potential upside and downside relative to our business plan. But right now, our baseline is we expect to generate $3 billion of cash flow and essentially distributed to our shareholders, $2.5 billion of share repurchase, $500 million of dividends. And so that's our baseline going into the year and then we will adjust as necessary depending on what the market shows us in the spring and ultimately what our cash flow generation is.
Okay. That's very helpful. And then when I look at your net sales order growth year-over-year by region, it looks like you have relatively strong sales order growth, except in the Southeast. And I'm just wondering if you can give any kind of additional color on the Southeast, if there are MSAs that are stronger or weaker or particular inventory challenges? Or just any kind of color you can give on that region and kind of where you are in terms of visibility into inflection there?
Generally, within the Southeast, Florida is a big component of the company, and that's a huge component of the Southeast region we report. There are some markets within Florida that have struggled with some inventory balance issues. Notably, Jacksonville and Southeast Florida have had some excess inventory and demand has been a while coming to absorb that. So that's kind of what you're seeing in the current quarter's results in the Southeast for us.
The next question will be from Michael Rehaut from JPMorgan.
The First, I wanted to circle back to the gross margins for a moment, but look at it from a perspective of -- we've highlighted discussed the outlook for continued land cost inflation and the hope that, that could be offset by lower labor material costs. I'm trying to get a sense for, theoretically, let's say, if from here on in, so from the 20% to 25% gross margin expected in the first quarter, if land costs are going to be up, let's say, mid- to high single digits, what type of reduction would you need in construction costs to offset that so that gross margins would be flattish without any help from better pricing?
I think absent of any pricing or reduction in incentives or breaks on the cost of our builder forward and financing, I think you need to see that somewhere in the 3% to 5% range, and we'll see how that comes in over the year, but I have certainly seen our vendors interested in the starch pace increasing as are we. I mean that's good for the industry, and they recognize that.
We've been at the table with us to help do what we can to replace the homes that we're selling today with a more affordable home, and that's really the ultimate goal is to open up homeownership to more people. So we do see the opportunity to balance the reality of the increased lot cost that we see over the note 12 months.
And what was -- what were construction costs on a year-over-year basis for the fourth quarter?
We were down year-over-year and flat sequentially. And for the full year, we were down about 1.5.
Okay. That's helpful. And then, I guess, secondly, on some of the regional commentary. I guess we've heard that Texas remains kind of choppy, I believe you said, in Florida, some pain points. I guess I'm interested in if those are the 2 markets today that you'd consider broadly speaking, the most challenged across your footprint? Or how does California and Pacific Northwest fit in there? And then if you've seen any change for the better or for the worse, marginally better, marginally worse where you sit today versus 3 months ago?
I think California has also been a bit of a struggle. I think we're seeing some strength or at least stability, if you will, across the Midwest and into the Mid-Atlantic. I think gauging it today compared to 3 months ago, I would say similar and it really is choppy.
I mean -- and there's a lot of headlines and noise and we would have expected to see a little bigger bump the reduction in mortgage rates that we've seen, and we've seen them come down a little more here recently. And I hope that, that turns into more people getting off the fence and into the buy box. But we do see interest in our sales offices, and we do see people out there looking for homeownership.
The next question will be from Ken Zener from Seaport Research Partners.
I wanted to step back if we could, just to -- because your orders are up -- it's a big deal, right? In a market that is challenging. But could we start -- first question, 20% gross margin guidance, while it's down sequentially, it's actually kind of in the range, if you take the historical view of the industry, that's pretty normal.
So do you think that, in fact, this could be the more normalized rate given how much you've improved your asset efficiency in terms of upwards of 2/3 year lots being bought finished [ A]? And also, -- can you talk to a lot of the homebuilders described consumer confidence. The way I look at it, we describe it as job growth in Dallas is kind of half what it was historically, Phoenix has been kind of flat the last 6 months, Vegas has been a bit negative.
And I'm asking this because aren't we actually kind of in a more environment where the consumer -- while interest rates matter and affordability matters, there's just not a lot of job growth, so it's more of a traditional economic slowdown?
I think that job growth certainly, I mean, absolutely has an impact on new household formations and consumer confidence. And where you see that flatness and in those markets, that is going to have an impact on go-forward demand. Do still feel very good about our positioning across our markets. and at the affordable price points and the need for housing, but ultimately, yes, Ken. We need to see consistent sustainable job growth to drive growth in the housing market.
And the 20% question?
I think we feel pretty good where our margin profile is based on the disruptions we've seen in the housing market over the last year or 2 and we've adjusted accordingly. And the bottom line, op margin, we're still producing generally better than what our old historical norm would have been. Not ready to call a bottom on anything right now, but we do feel good still over the long term about running on average sustainably higher pretax profit margins.
Okay. And then I guess you said incentives went up 120 bps. I know you guys haven't quantified it in the past. I think it would be good if you did. But you said high single digits in the past. Are we in -- at the -- does 120 bps increase now bring us into low double digits in terms of incentives?
No, it was a 110 basis point sequential increase and we're still a high single-digit percentage overall.
And no specificity, I take it, correct?
No. I mean, we give you the gross margin detail that shows kind of our core lot level gross margin and then the things that also impact our gross margin below that, that we've already talked to in terms of the outside litigation costs, we also did in our supplemental presentation, break out external broker commissions now. So you'll see if the 110, 10 basis points was related to increased broker commissions, which is to be expected when we're trying to drive incremental sales.
The next question will be from Susan Maklari from Goldman Sachs.
This is [ Charles Perron ] in for Susan. First, I would like to discuss the performance of operations in smaller markets where you have a larger market share. You've been successful in those markets in the past few years. Can you talk about the opportunities you're seeing there relative to your larger markets? And how this influences your ability to outperform the market next year?
Yes. I think we have seen -- when we just kind of look at the beginning expectation or budget for some of those divisions at higher level of able to achieve their intended absorptions. And when we're in a lower competitive environment, and we can react to the market, whether that's up or down and control some of those inventories a little better, we have seen pretty solid performance in some of those and feel good about our geographic footprint.
We've expanded quite a bit into some of those secondary markets over the last couple of years and happy to see our divisions and our teams maturing in those markets.
Got you. That's helpful. And second, I want to drill down on the ASP a little bit. Considering the 3% growth in closings and flat revenue guide for next year, this suggests the potential for ASP pressure continuing into fiscal '25? I guess, first, is this a fair assumption? And more broadly, how do you expect the ASP to trend in 2026, should market conditions persist? And how much of that would be driven by like-for-like pricing versus mix relative impact?
Yes. I mean, we continue to try to focus on affordability. That's one of the constraints in the market today. And so our ASP has been trending down caused both by mix in terms of smaller homes and the mix of homes that we're providing as well as the incentive levels that we're providing. So our base assumption is that we will continue to see a net decline in ASP in fiscal 2026 for those same reasons.
The next question will be from Mike Dahl from RBC.
I had another follow-up on the starts and inventory dynamic. You guys did a great job on really significantly reducing inventory in the quarter. Now at the same time, you're acknowledging that you do have to ramp start base consistent with what you've guided for the year.
So that's still absent market improvement suggests that you are going to ramp specs back up, which I understand is normal seasonally, but I'm trying to get a better handle on what exactly we should be thinking about in terms of your comfort level on ramping specs specifically back up into 1Q given the current market dynamics?
I would say our preferred path is to sell the homes earlier in the process and be building more backlog. We are going to need to see an increase in starts, whether those are for specs or sold homes, but we just -- with the speed at which we're building homes, the ability to deliver with predictability of delivery date and rate even on a new start. We just don't need to carry as many total specs and feel comfortable with the spec count that we have, and we'll be managing that to the market as the sales come.
Got it. Okay. And then as a follow-up, you did just close on the acquisition of [ SK Builders ] in South Carolina. I was wondering if you could comment a little bit more on how much contribution you expect from that?
And then taking a step back, you've done a number of these kind of tuck-ins to help bolster market share at a local level. And [ kind of ] from the growth, maybe give us a broader view on how you're seeing the kind of the M&A and bolt-on and for yourselves?
I think the SK acquisition helps our positioning in Greenville, South Carolina market quite a bit. We picked up about 150 houses in inventory, another 400 lots on the ground today and then sales orders on those homes in construction, but 2/3 of them are sold.
And then we got control another 1,300 lots in good communities throughout the Greenville market that will help further leverage our operating platform in Greenville. And with what happened there, we continue to look at those tuck-in opportunities to accelerate the pace of delivery of loans into those markets across the country, we tend to operate their capital structure, cost structure at a higher pace than some of the smaller builders do with some of the limitations they have on capital and cost.
So it's very accretive to our platform, and we look to see people that are really good at the small local homebuilding are also generally very good at the local entitlement and some development operations and kind of decoupling their operations from entitlement development from homebuilding and splitting it between us and them works out really well for a long-term win-win for both the seller and the D.R. Horton.
And if anyone's not familiar, that was an October transaction that didn't happen during the quarter, so it was subsequent to year-end.
The next question will be from Jade Rahmani from KBW.
I wanted to ask you about your view on interest rates and if you think a step down in mortgage rate will translate into further mortgage buydowns. In other words, if you will pass on that improvement to buyers in the new home market to maintain relative standing with the existing market? Or if you think those lower rates will actually alleviate some of the incentive pressure?
Jade, we're still solving for a monthly payment across most of our communities. And so the ability to offer a lower rate than market and to solve for a monthly payment that it allows people to move forward with a purchase is what we will continue to do. In the current environment, the reduction in rates generally has meant a little lower cost for us in the rates that we're offering.
We're still largely at the low end, about 3.99% rate that we're offering. And we'll just see as it comes. I think it's probably going to be a combination of both. In other words, if we need to step down some more, to drive to the monthly payment to open up the absorptions that we're looking for a community level to drive the returns that we want, then we'll continue to do that. And if rates drop down and we are allowed to reduce our incentive in terms of the cost of that BSC, we'll take advantage of some of that. So I would expect it to be a balance as we look forward.
And in terms of buyer preferences, on the incentive package, have you seen any shift toward outright lower home base prices or savings in other areas over mortgage buy-downs?
I think for our buyer, again, it still comes back to the monthly payment. And the most attractive monthly payment we can put them in is with a lower rate. And I think it's -- it's a benefit to the homeowner over time in terms of they're paying down more of their principal. And I think just overall, it's been a solid incentive and probably the most that people have taken and had interest in is still at the lower range.
The next question will be from Jay McCanless from Wedbush.
So I just wanted to follow up on your comments. I think it was Bill, you said that the exit rate on gross margins at the end of the quarter was lower than you guys expected. I mean, was that more incentives, higher lot costs? Maybe talk about that a little bit? And what have you seen so far in October?
On a like-for-like basis, we landed about 40 basis points below the low end of our guide for Q4. And really, most of that we would put at the feet of incentives. What it took in order to get the sales for the closings that needed -- that we needed to generate the volume and generate our returns.
For fiscal '25 was -- ended up being a little bit more than what we anticipated as we went into the quarter. And so as we go into Q1, we'll be trying to strike the balance as best as we can, but we are starting Q1 at a lower entry point than we did when we entered Q4.
Got it. Okay. And then I can't remember who made the comment about this, but about lower rates seeming to drive some traffic, but maybe not conversions. I guess, what are you all hearing from the field? Why aren't people willing to go ahead and pull the trigger? I mean I know we've all talked about confidence [ ad nauseam ] at this point, but are there other things that you're hearing from the field that are keeping people from going ahead and stepping up and buying the home.
In some cases, it's -- they want to buy the homes qualification issue for what payments they can afford. As Paul said, we're solving back for a payment and when we can align that payment that's attainable for them that they are compelled to do that and make that move.
Other buyers with rates bouncing around being volatile, they're thinking, well maybe I should wait for them to drop. Maybe I should I can't afford now because they're spiking up. I think we'll see rates -- if rates drop, we'll see an increase in the transactions in the existing home side, which helps relocate people and shuffle them around a little bit and those folks then will be looking for different housing options other places. And we see a lot of people with house to sell contingencies that come in that want to buy a house, but they can't get their household.
And the next question will be from Alex Rygiel from Texas Capital.
What percentage of your buyers are using adjustable rate mortgages. And how has that changed over the last 12 months?
Sure. It's come from essentially 0 to mid- to high single-digit percentage on closings this most recent quarter. And as we have introduced some new ARM products tethered to a rate buy down. I do think our base case would be that percentage continues to drift up, but it won't move sharply.
And then secondly, as you reaccelerate starts, can you comment on the average square footage of the floor plans? Have you changed it much at all? Or do you expect sort of modestly smaller homes kind of for the foreseeable future?
I would say modestly smaller. Our square footage has continued to drift down slightly, but not a significant change over the last 12 months. I think where we are today and where we have starts coming, it will be on the smaller end in the community, but we'll respond to the market as it comes. So the good news about having the ability to sell early in the process is it opens up us to be more responsive to the market and not just responding with the inventory that we've already selected.
Thank you. This does conclude today's Q&A. I will now hand the call back to Paul Romanowski for closing remarks.
We appreciate everyone's time on the call today and look forward to speaking with you again to share our first quarter results on Tuesday, January 20. Congratulations to the entire D.R. Horton family on a successful fiscal 2025.
Due to your efforts, we just completed our 24th consecutive year as the largest builder in the United States. We are honored to represent you on this call, and we look forward to everything we will accomplish together in fiscal 2026.
Thank you. This does conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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D.R. Horton — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
D.R. Horton — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz (Q4): Konsolidierte Umsätze $9,7 Mrd.; Home‑sales $8,5 Mrd. (23.368 Schließungen).
- Ergebnis: Q4 Nettoeinkommen $905,3 Mio. / $3,04 je Aktie; konsolidierter Vorsteuergewinn $1,2 Mrd.; Vorsteuer‑Marge 12,4%.
- Orderbuch: Net Sales Orders +5% YoY auf 2.078 Häuser; Orderwert $7,3 Mrd.; Stornorate 20% (in Linie mit historischem Durchschnitt).
- Profitabilität: Home‑Gross‑Margin Q4 20% (−180 Basispunkte seq.); ~60 bps wegen Litigation, ~110 bps durch erhöhte Anreize.
- Bilanz & Cash: Operativer Cashflow FY $3,4 Mrd.; Rückkäufe + Dividenden $4,8 Mrd.; Inventar 29.600 Häuser (−21% YoY).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Return‑Fokus: Klare Kapitaldisziplin: Ziel, Renditen zu maximieren (ROE 14,6%, RoI Inventar 20,1%) statt reines Umsatzwachstum.
- Inventarsteuerung: Start‑Pace bewusst reduziert, kürzere Zykluszeiten genutzt, um Spekulationsbestand zu senken und Flexibilität für saisonales Hoch zu behalten.
- Lot‑Strategie: Starke Kooperation mit Forestar für fertig gestellte Lots; 65% der Q4‑Schließungen auf Dritt‑/Forestar‑Lots, aktive Steuerung von Land‑Investitionen.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Jahresguide 2026: Konsolidierte Umsätze $33,5–35,0 Mrd.; Homes closed 86.000–88.000.
- Cash & Kapital: Mindestens $3 Mrd. operativer Cashflow; geplante Aktienrückkäufe ~$2,5 Mrd. und Dividenden ~ $500 Mio.
- Q1‑Guide: Umsätze $6,3–6,8 Mrd.; Homes 17.100–17.600; Home‑gross‑margin 20–20,5%; konsolidierte Vorsteuer‑Marge 11,3–11,8%.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Margendruck: Zentrale Nachfrage zu Incentives vs. Litigation; Management erwartet Litigation‑Effekt nicht als wiederkehrend, sieht aber anhaltend höhere Incentive‑Niveaus.
- Starts & Kapazität: Warum niedrigere Starts trotz positiver Orderentwicklung – beantwortet mit intentionaler Reduktion zur Inventaranpassung und schnellerer Zykluszeiten; Ramp‑Up möglich, wenn Nachfrage stärkt.
- Lot‑/Baukosten: Lot‑Kosten bleiben "sticky" (jährl. Anstieg ~8% per sq ft); Relief erwartet vor allem über niedrigere Stick‑&‑Brick‑Kosten und bessere Konditionen mit Zulieferern.
⚡ Bottom Line
D.R. Horton präsentiert ein ertragsorientiertes Ergebnis mit starker Cash‑Generierung und aktiver Kapitalrückführung, während Nachfrage durch Erschwinglichkeit und höhere Incentives gebremst bleibt. Kurzfristig drücken Anreize und Landkosten die Margen; das Management setzt auf Inventaroptimierung, lot‑Partnerschaften und operative Hebel. Entscheidend für die Aktie bleibt die Entwicklung der Frühjahrs‑Nachfrage und der Hypothekenzinsen.
Finanzdaten von D.R. Horton
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 33.350 33.350 |
4 %
4 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 25.715 25.715 |
1 %
1 %
77 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 7.635 7.635 |
12 %
12 %
23 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 3.721 3.721 |
1 %
1 %
11 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 4.313 4.313 |
21 %
21 %
13 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 112 112 |
15 %
15 %
0 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 4.201 4.201 |
21 %
21 %
13 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 3.053 3.053 |
23 %
23 %
9 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
D.R. Horton, Inc. arbeitet als nationaler Hausbauer, der sich mit dem Bau und Verkauf von Einfamilienhäusern beschäftigt. Sie ist in den Segmenten Wohnungsbau und Finanzdienstleistungen tätig. Das Segment Wohnungsbau umfasst die Untersegmente Ost, Mittlerer Westen, Südosten, South Central, Südwesten und Westen. Das Segment Finanzdienstleistungen bietet Hypothekenfinanzierungs- und Titelvermittlungsdienste für Wohnungskäufer in vielen seiner Wohnungsbaumärkte an. Das Unternehmen wurde 1978 von Donald Ray Horton gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Arlington, TX.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Romanowski |
| Mitarbeiter | 14.341 |
| Gegründet | 1978 |
| Webseite | www.drhorton.com |


