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Kennzahlen
📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 1,71 Bio. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 75,47 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 1,71 Bio. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 107,92 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 1,76 Bio. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 75,47 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 1,76 Bio. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 107,92 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
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Broadcom — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Broadcom Inc.'s Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Ji Yoo, Head of Investor Relations of Broadcom Inc.
Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Joining me on today's call are Hock Tan, President and CEO; Charlie Kawwas, President, Semiconductor Solutions Group; and Ram Velaga, President, Infrastructure Software Group. Also joining is Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer. As we announced, Kirsten will be retiring June 12, and today, we have joining us our incoming Chief Financial Officer, Amy Tiner. Thank you, Kirsten, for your leadership over the past 12 years.
Broadcom distributed a press release and financial tables after the market closed, describing our financial performance for the second quarter fiscal year 2026. If you did not receive a copy, you may obtain the information from the Investors section of Broadcom's website at broadcom.com. This conference call is being webcast live and an audio replay of the call can be accessed for 1 year through the Investors section of Broadcom's website.
During the prepared comments, Hock and Kirsten will be providing details of our second quarter fiscal year 2026 results, guidance for our third quarter of fiscal year 2026 as well as commentary regarding the business environment. We'll take questions after the end of our prepared comments. Please refer to our press release today and our recent filings with the SEC for information on risk factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements made on this call.
In addition to U.S. GAAP reporting, Broadcom reports certain financial measures on a non-GAAP basis. A reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP measures to the extent possible is included in the tables attached to today's press release. Comments made during today's call will primarily refer to our non-GAAP financial results.
I will now turn the call over to Hock.
Thank you, Ji. Well, in Q2 revenue was a record $15 billion as we grew 79% year-on-year. Driving this growth was AI semiconductor revenue at a record $10.8 billion, 143%... sorry.
Well, let me restart, guys. Thank you, Ji. Thank you, everyone, for attending joining today. In our fiscal Q2 2026, total revenue reached a record $22.2 billion, up 48% year-on-year, above our guidance on strength in AI semiconductors. Q2 operating margin was a record 67%, and adjusted EBITDA was a record 69% of revenue, which was above our guidance. Even as our revenue scales up massively driven by AI, our operating and EBITDA margins remain strong and stable.
Turning to semiconductors. Q2 revenue was a record $15 billion, as I said before, as we grew 79% year-on-year. Driving this growth was AI semiconductor revenue at a record $10.8 billion, up 143% year-on-year and above our outlook. Networking represented almost 40% of our Q2 AI revenue. Demand for XPUs and networking is simply insatiable. During the quarter, bookings for AI semiconductors were over $30 billion against the $10.8 billion we shipped.
In the second half of 2026, we expect AI semiconductor revenue to double from the first half we shipped last -- from the ship this year. Consistent with this trend in Q3, we expect AI semiconductor revenue to accelerate to $16 billion, up over 20 -- to up over 200% year-on-year. For the full year 2026, we expect to achieve AI semiconductor revenue of $56 billion, up approximately 180% from fiscal 2025. Now we expect this momentum to continue into fiscal year 2027, and reiterate our AI semiconductor revenue guidance to be in excess of $100 billion. We expect AI semiconductor revenue growth to continue in fiscal 2028 based on the following initiatives with our 6 core customers.
As you are aware, with Google, we announced in April that we entered into a long-term agreement to develop and supply multiple generations of TPUs and AI networking. Our relationship continues to be strategic and very substantial as we continue to deliver vastly superior technology and execution compared to other alternatives. This ability to provide differentiated value to Google ensures that our business will sustain and grow for the foreseeable future.
For Anthropic. As you know, for 2026, we are providing access to Broadcom TPU-based compute of over 1 gigawatt. In April, we entered into an agreement to enable Anthropic to access another 5 gigawatts of next-generation TPU-based compute beginning in 2027. For OpenAI, we have delivered silicon, and we are on track for production late 2026. We have a contractual commitment to deploy 1.3 gigawatts in 2027 as part of the larger 10 gigawatts that we by 2029 agreement we announced last year.
For Meta, in April, we announced a partnership to deliver multiple generations of MTIA XPUs. And under this agreement, we expect to deploy 3 gigawatts through the end of 2028. The initial order for 1 gigawatt, which includes XPUs and our networking has been received and we'll start delivering in the second half of 2027. For our other 2 customers, we expect shipments to begin late 2026 and accelerate into 2027. To date, we have received purchase orders totaling $6 billion.
While we have significant IP and execution leadership in XPUs, networking is key to building scalable XPU and GPU clusters. And here in networking, with at least one generation of technology and product leadership. For scale up within racks, we enable direct attached copper based on an industry-leading 200G and 400-gig serdes, driving co-packaged copper with Ethernet and PC Express switches. For scale-out between racks, we have been shipping the industry's only 100 terabit Ethernet switch, the -- for over a year. We will now be taking out our next-generation 200 terabit switch this quarter. And in CPOs, which is co-package optics 1.6-terabit DSPs, CW and EML lasers, we are the de facto standard in the industry. To extend AI and that cost us across data centers, we remain the industry leader with our Jericho3 and Jericho4 fabric solutions, enabling the world's largest deployments of and multiple hyperscalers.
Our strategic vision is to bring together Broadcom's leading technology and investor partners with the strongest balance sheet to deliver at scale, sufficient compute capacity at the lowest cost and power for the leading AI frontier labs, including Anthropic and OpenAI. To deliver this vision, we are creating the AI XPU platform with Apollo and Blackstone and other leading investors to deploy more than 20 gigawatts of compute capacity through 2028. The first tranche of this platform valued at $35 billion is, in fact, currently been launched by Apollo.
Now turning to non-AI semiconductors. Q2 revenue of $4.2 billion was up 6% year-on-year. Bookings during the same period exceeded $6 billion, which is a clear indication we on the path towards a full cyclical recovery. Broadband, server storage, and enterprise networking together were up, partially offset by a seasonal decline in wireless. Consistent with this trend in Q3, we forecast non-AI semiconductor revenue to be approximately $4.5 billion, up 12% from a year ago.
In summary, we expect Q3 semiconductor revenue to be $20.5 billion, up 124% year-on-year.
Let me turn to Infrastructure Software segment. Q2 software revenue of $7.2 billion was up 9% year-on-year, in line with our guidance. Bookings continue to be strong as we sustain ARR growth of 17% year-over-year. For Q3, we forecast software revenue to be approximately $8.9 billion, up 31% year-on-year. We just released VMware Cloud Foundation 9.1, focused on improving infrastructure efficiency, security and support for enterprise AI inferencing workloads. With strong server demand globally, the deployment of VCF9.1 for on-prem cloud computing is extremely strong, driving robust revenue growth. This release adds heterogeneous compute support across GPUs and CPU architectures, including AMD, Intel and NVIDIA platforms, enabling customers, enterprise cloud customers to run AI Kubernetes and traditional virtualized workloads on a common private cloud environment.
So to sum it up for Q3 2026, we expect our consolidated revenue to grow to $29.4 billion, up 84% year-on-year. We expect operating margin to be stable at approximately 67% of revenue and adjusted EBITDA to be at approximately 68% of revenue.
And with that, let me turn the call over to Kirsten.
Thank you, Hock. Let me now provide additional detail on our Q2 financial performance. Consolidated revenue was a record $22.2 billion for the quarter, up 48% from a year ago. Gross margin was 77.1% of revenue in the quarter down 230 basis points year-on-year as semiconductor became a larger proportion of our product mix. Consolidated operating expenses were $2.2 billion, of which $1.6 billion was R&D. Q2 operating income was a record $14.9 billion, up 52% from a year ago. Note that even with the decline in gross margin, operating margin increased 200 basis points year-over-year to 67.3% as operating expenses remained relatively flat. Adjusted EBITDA of $15.2 billion or 69% of revenue was above our guidance of 68%.
Now a review of the P&L for our 2 segments, starting with semiconductors. Revenue for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was a record $15 billion with growth accelerating to 79% year-on-year driven by AI. Semiconductor revenue represented 68% of total revenue in the quarter, and AI semiconductor revenue represented 49% of total revenue.
Gross margin for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was approximately 70%. Operating expenses of $1.2 billion reflected increased investment in R&D for leading-edge AI semiconductors and represented 8% of revenue. Semiconductor operating margin of 62% was up 460 basis points year-on-year, reflecting our strong operating leverage.
Now moving on to infrastructure software. Revenue for infrastructure software of $7.2 billion was up 9% year-on-year and represented 32% of revenue. Gross margin for infrastructure software was 93% in the quarter and operating expenses were $1 billion in the quarter. Q2 software operating margin was up 310 basis points year-on-year to approximately 79%.
Moving on to cash flow. Free cash flow in the quarter was a record $10.3 billion and represented 46% of revenue. We spent $231 million on capital expenditures. We ended the second quarter with $19.6 billion of cash compared to $14.2 billion in the prior quarter. We ended the second quarter with inventory of $4.3 billion as we continue to secure supply to support strong AI demand. Our days of inventory on hand were 86 days in Q2 compared to 68 days in Q1 in anticipation of accelerating AI semiconductor growth in the second half of the year.
Turning to capital allocation. In Q2, we paid stockholders $3.1 billion of cash dividends based on a quarterly common stock cash dividend of $0.65 per share.
Now moving to guidance. Our guidance for Q3 is for consolidated revenue of $29.4 billion, up 84% year-on-year. We forecast semiconductor revenue of approximately $20.5 billion, up 124% year-on-year. Within this, we expect Q3 AI semiconductor revenue of $16 billion, up over 200% year-on-year. We expect Q3 infrastructure software revenue of approximately $8.9 billion, up 31% year-on-year.
Moving on to margins. As the proportion of AI revenue significantly grows in Q3, we expect Q3 consolidated gross margin to be down to approximately 74%. This decline in gross margin does not represent a structural change in semiconductor margin. Rather, it reflects product mix between semiconductors and infrastructure software. Regardless of the impact to gross margin, we expect Q3 operating margin to be 67%, which is flat quarter-on-quarter, demonstrating our strong operating leverage. We highly recommend that investors model semiconductor and infrastructure software margins separately to properly reflect the impact of changes in total revenue mix going forward. We expect the non-GAAP tax rate for Q3 and fiscal year 2026 to be approximately 16% due to the impact of the global minimum tax and the geographic mix of income compared to that of fiscal year '25. In Q3, we expect a non-GAAP diluted share count to be approximately 4.94 billion shares, excluding the impact of potential share repurchases.
That concludes my prepared remarks, Operator, please open up the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from the line of Harlan Sur with JPMorgan.
2. Question Answer
Thanks for all your support, Kirsten and Amy, welcome to the team. First, just a house -- quick housekeeping item, Hock. On this fiscal year, AI sort of 2x growth second half over first half. That will put AI revenues over $60 billion with sequential growth in fiscal Q4, but you gave us this $56 billion number, which is only like 1.5x half-over-half growth with AI actually being down sequentially. So if you could just help us kind of square the numbers there? And then for my real question, back in December of last year, you talked about in the AI backlog in the next 18 months, $73 billion. Market sort of took that number, spread that linearly over 6 quarters. But we know that the backlog is always more front-loaded over the first 4 quarters, right? And sure enough, like you're going to deliver around 80% or more of that backlog in this fiscal year or first 4 quarters.
Just given the strength of all our programs, the broadening of the customer base, accelerating year-over-year trends in your AI shipments, all the multi-gigawatt partnerships that you just articulated today, which is -- most of it, which is set to start to fire next year. Is it fair to assume that your 18 months AI backlog second half of this year to first half of fiscal '27 sits at $200 billion or better?
That's a very complicated set of number questions. To begin with last time with '26, doing a math basically 2x to 2x. The first half, we ship in total AI revenue, something in the range of $19 billion. You're going to be precise. So -- and if we do what I indicate in 2x that in the second half, you get to pretty much in the range of what we're talking about, which is around $56 billion, Harlan. So that number is still very, very -- does tie up very well.
Now your bigger question on the second half, which you've gone in a very detailed analysis of this. Yes. we keep the momentum going as we expect to see in 2027, what we will see in 2027, continued growth of the level we're talking about. And if you drive on that basis of what we're seeing here, almost 2x -- 2,000 -- in the range of 2x, what 2026 will be. I think you will easily see that 2027 will very easily $100 billion in 2027, which is pretty much what we indicated last quarter, and we are continuing to say that it will be over $100 billion in 2027. So in that sense, if anything else, it might be based on what we're doing very much on track, if not stronger. But -- we're not trying to guide you every quarter what '27 would be like. So we basically say we continue to be in excess of $100 billion in '27. But it is on the same trajectory as we are seeing in the back half of '26.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Blayne Curtis with Jefferies.
Hock, I wanted to ask you, inter-quarter, you had that 8-K with the long-term agreement with Google. I think, obviously, you're probably not going to tell me what the total value is there, but I think there's a lot of concern about share within that customer. I was just kind of curious your -- now that you have this agreement, maybe you could speak to a little bit more in terms of your confidence. And if there's upside to that customer, is it a fixed amount? Or is there share? Is there any way you can kind of add some color to that agreement that came out?
Well, it's -- it's a very, very strong agreement, and it basically reflects the strength of the partnership we have, simply because of the products we do, the multigeneral products, and the intellectual property we deploy into this whole program.
To answer your question specifically, it's a commitment that is very substantial in dollars, very, very substantial amount of dollars. Now we also accept the fact that while we like to win every design in that program. We also accept the fact that given the growth of consumption of and development and consumption of AI compute even by our partner, Google, that we fully expect that there will be some diversity of sources for them. But our commitment from them is a very substantial dollar mark.
One moment for our next question, and that will come from the line of Ross Seymore with Deutsche Bank.
Congrats to both Kirsten and Amy. Question on the gross margin side of things. I know, Kirsten, you talked about it going down due to the mix dynamic within the semis versus the software side. Given the strength in the software side in the quarter, seems like the gross margin is falling a little bit harder. So behind the scenes, can you just talk a little bit about what the drivers within semis are? Is that the XPU versus the networking side of things? And is that trend likely to continue next year? Are there rack scale versus chip scale, all those sorts of dynamics? Any color you could give on that would be helpful.
Yes. Certainly, as our semiconductor business growth, just to reiterate, on a consolidated basis relative to our software business, you're going to have a decline in margins, right, a bit, right? You'll have compression. But remember that we're -- it's accretive on because we have strong operating leverage, right? So our operating margins will stand up a bit over time to that.
Within semiconductors, we've always said our ASICs, TPUs, some of the wireless business has lower margins. So as the TPUs continue to accelerate, there'll be pressure overall on margins. But the connectivity side, the AI networking side of the business has very rich margin. So it will offset it somewhat as we go.
I mean, Ross, as Kirsten said in her remarks. Structurally, the semiconductor margins remains very stable and very solid. It's the mix, particularly mix between software and the non-AI to the very, very high -- rapidly growing AI semiconductor that is just diluting gross margin.
And the Rack versus chip side of things? Is that all clarified now? .
No racks. It's chip.
Chip business only.
We own chips.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Ben Reitzes with Melius.
Appreciate it. Wanted to ask about 2027, Hock. With regard to previously, you talked about the TAM being and well, it's kind of a longer-term question actually. You've talked about the TAM being 10 to 20 and whatnot. It seems that one of your competitors talked recently about the TAM per gigawatt going up a lot as we go throughout the decade. And it seems it wasn't just due to infrastructure. It was due to the compute and networking components and other things. Perhaps you're familiar with the comment that Jensen made where the overall infrastructure is going from something around 50 something towards 100 and the compute content going way up. Are you seeing the same thing as you go throughout the long term? Is that potentially being an accelerator what you've already outlined in terms of your TAM per gigawatt, and how are you thinking about that?
Sure. Well, I think the accelerating part, if you talk about power, realize one thing, is the dollars per gigawatt, the content dollars of racks per gigawatt is not accelerating that much because you are creating chips that have -- each individual chips are driving higher and higher power -- so you're driving less chips, though the ASP of each chip is going up in price. So dollars per gigawatt -- billions of dollars per gigawatt is relatively stable. But the number of gigawatts will keep -- will accelerate as I think some of our remarks indicate. And that's what we are seeing. -- that amount of gigawatts required compute capacity, as mentioned by number of gigawatts is growing very fast. And we're seeing that -- and we are seeing that particularly to the point where for even two of our customers that we're talking about, which is Anthropic and OpenAI, for which we are creating this platform to enable them to run sufficient compute power. We're talking about capacity, as mentioned by gigawatt power that are way ahead of what we fully -- what we have expected, say, 6 months ago. And that's just these guys.
We don't talk about the consumption beyond the Plant XPU platform we have announced here from our other customers, which is Google-owned internal workloads, matters, workloads and any other case and the other 2 customers that we have. So fold that in, and you're talking about gigawatts in totality, you ask about '27 or '28, that will continue to grow. We expect, in fact, '28 to be a substantial growth from what we are forecasting in '27.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Timothy Arcuri with UBS.
I wanted to ask you about supply and kind of your ability to get incremental volume of wafers and HBM. As I look at some of your competitors, I mean, they're kind of able to drop $20 billion out of thin air and get incremental wafer supply. So I'm wondering, do you feel pretty good about like if a customer comes to you, are you able to get upside in terms of wafers and HBM and -- and are you beginning to consider maybe using other foundries to add more optionality to your supply?
Getting supply is not just about dropping money them though that does a -- No, we are very comfortable that we have been able to secure supply of the types you mentioned about 4 needs, '26, '27. Working on '28 and '29 right now.
Right. But if a customer comes to you and wants incremental supply, are you able to go to your suppliers and get it the way that it seems like some of your competitors are.
Customers have been coming to us incrementally over the last few months. We expect that to continue. And by and large, yes.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein Research.
Hock, you gave some gigawatt shipment targets for next year for your various customers. I just want to know, are those any different? Do they contemplate any change from what you said last quarter, where I think you said that was like close to 10 gigawatts, you'd be shipping in '27. And can you just sort of help us shape the year? It sounded to me like you expected that to be more back half loaded in '27 given the shape of the ramps. But most importantly, is there any change that is it more gigawatts or less gigawatts or the same gigawatts versus what you were suggesting last quarter?
Well, good question. Yes, for '27, we indicated about 10 gigawatts shipment in '27. There's still very much intact. They will be shipping -- we're planning to ship 10 gigawatts in '27. And that nothing has changed. Back half loaded to that extent, yes, and which really provides an interesting trajectory into '28 with this back half trajectory. So '28, we expect a lot more gigawatts.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Jim Schneider with Goldman Sachs.
I was wondering if you could comment a little bit on the profile of your networking business, Hock, as we head through fiscal '26 and '27, about 40% of AI revenue this quarter. Would you expect that to sort of fall back down as some of these custom ramps ramp into the end of the year into early next year? Or would you sort of expect to stay at the upper end of that range? And maybe talk about when you see some of the optical and CPO revenue becoming meaningful?
There's a hell of a great question, Jim. It's just very difficult to answer because of how do we predict them. There are quite a few moving parts there, one of which is to start with is as more as a volume as more and more of our customers turn to XPUs. Obviously, XPUs uses very much our -- a lot of our networking components across the board. So that's great for us. And that drives increase in consumption. But it also means that we have been able to sell networking to non-XPU footprints. So that part of it would dilute the growth rate. And this 40% I consider as a very -- well, I'm almost a situation where stars are aligned where we are shipping a lot of networking to non-XPU, while -- the growth of XPU obviously allowing us to grow this networking business to our XPUs and we get to 40%. But I see that as probably as high as that percentage of total AR revenue would go. Not the first time I indicated that the more expected percentage as a share of total AI revenue for networking would be closer to around 30%.
One moment for our next question, that will come from the line of Tom O'Malley with Barclays.
So I noticed with the most recent deal with Anthropic that you guys are using Broadcom chips as a backstop for the deal. Do you expect more deals to come like this in the future? And then as you start to see the AI environment, is there any way you're thinking about financing in the future? Are you going to continue to do it with chips? Or anything that you can offer on that?
Can you repeat that question, especially at the front end I didn't quite get what you're saying here, and I don't want to answer it the wrong way.
Sorry, Hock. Essentially, most recent deal with enthoropic is being backstopped by Broadcom chips. Do you think that in the future, you will see more deals done this way? And then any comments on the future financing of deals with the large AI models.
I have to correct you on that. deal -- then I'll deal with Anthropic and that we basically talk about basically release disclosed in our 8-K recently as the deal we did with traffic is we use our GPU chips that we developed to provide the compute capacity to Anthropic. We won that it wasn't backstop in that sense. We were the one providing the chips to Anthropic. We were the one providing the compute capacity Anthropic.
One moment for our next question. That will come from the line of C.J. Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald.
I guess, Hock, in recent years, you've talked about really focusing your efforts on very large XPU platforms. And I'm just curious, we're seeing many kind of XPU attached derivatives across interconnect, storage, other. And I'm wondering if there's any sort of programs there that are more niche that are whetting your appetite?
Well, no, I don't think so. I think our business model is actually very, very straightforward, which is we are developing XPUs, custom accelerators for use buying our customers who are pretty much all LLM developers, whether it's for training or inference. We are also creating a portfolio of critical components to enable these XPUs and even GPUs to be clustered and from better performance. And that continues to be the model we do, which is we provide chips technology in the form of chips, whether they be computer accelerators, we call XPUs, or networking chips that cluster them together, be it switches, PCI Express connectors, DSPs, lasers, NICs and routers. And that's very much still the model we employ in semiconductors. And we still, as you can see, our financial model and our -- the program we go to drive towards a chip business model through the technologies we provide.
What we are doing to enable some of these LLM players to be able to get access to the volume of compute capacity, the large gigawatt capacity they mean to scale up their models is we are, as I announced here today, creating in partnership with guys with the best balance sheets around vehicle to basically have this chips funded for these LLM players who otherwise might have difficulty getting access to our technology, which provides them with the lowest power and the lowest cost.
One moment for our next question, that will come from the line of Atif Malik with Citi.
I have a question on infrastructure software business. Are you guys seeing any impact of AI -- Agentic AI on your software growth and renewals? And if you can just talk about some sort of long-term growth for that business?
Well, we're not seeing it, if anything else, as I reported, the high volume of core count of CPUs, selling together with GPUs is driving some accelerated growth of our VMware business. And as you can see, in Q3, we're seeing an accelerated growth, and we expect that to continue again for the next multiple quarters as this demand picks up. Long term, given the kind of products we do in infrastructure software, very, very close to literally the hardware, the basically the hypervisor, which is where our products are, we do not expect to see any impact on software products.
And one moment for our next question. That will come from the line of Edward Snyder with Charter Equity Research.
This is very interesting because the gigawatts that you laid out for the different customers. It's very clear that the 2 that are offering kind of CSPs, don't want to see, but consumer versions of AI, Anthropic and OpenAI have very large gigawatt commitments in the out years. I know part of that is catch up because they've just started late where your oldest customers has been doing these for quite some time. But even part of Google's is offering cloud services to other folks, too. So are we seeing a shift here? I know that initially, a lot of the XPUs and the AI services were through the hyperscalers with their own customer workloads. We've talked about that ad nauseam. And now you're seeing -- I finally hit the enterprises and you've seen cloud take off with the programming, which is sweeping everybody. Can we expect then that there's going to be this big second wave of demand that's driven as AI starts seeing enterprises and consumer getting access to it or finding usable tools because the number you're saying here are significantly different for the 2 classes of customers?
Well, that's a very interesting target. And you may be very well right, that enterprise consuming AI is still relatively at an early stage of the game. But having said that, what we're also seeing is a lot of what the enterprise is consuming on tokens. They are buying a lot of these tokens from the platforms, the product plan, API platform API, they pull from the platforms of the same name of customers we talked about, which is Anthropic, OpenAI, Gemini. These are on the large guys, they're pulling it from. And that's where, I think, a high -- substantially, most of these tokens consumption are tied to those LLMs. And these LLMs guys as they productize their frontier models, whether it be ChatGPT 5.5 or Gemini 3.5, comes back to the same end demand on compute capacity we provide to all these guys. And so even the growth of enterprise demand that we're now starting to see as enterprise starts to consume AI, AI tokens, for their own workloads for their own productivity users as consumers do. They are buying from the same source, the same few guns. And that's one driving this very large, I call it, in scale growth in compute capacity that we are experiencing, and we see that continuing to happen now through 2027 and what we're seeing now through 2028 as well. So this is getting to be quite a sustainable and steepening trajectory of demand.
So if I could, doesn't this change the dynamic of what we talked about before, you talked about Lot 7 -- about so customers for your XPUs, -- but this is actually happening. We've already seen a Google offering cloud services for GPUs. It opens up XPU access to all those smaller companies that don't kind of meet the criteria for doing the own ASICs that you could partner with to Broadcom's technology through these platforms. Is it why would that not be the case?
Well, I guess the answer to that is it's possible, but the reality of the whole issue is this -- the compute capacity, most of the AI generated provided in the form of SaaS models. APIs are pulled from the cloud, whether they're from Bedrock, Vertex, Azure or the first-party from the -- it is still provided in the cloud. So most of all that demand at the end of the day in terms of compute capacity, which is what we're doing, comes from those few large frontier model developers and the products they generate to supply to consumers and enterprises globally.
Source of demand comes from those frontier model labs who are developing the products, which consumer enterprise like you and us and our companies are consuming. And what we're doing is providing that capacity to that demand source as opposed to going to a company or a bank and trying to provide them XPUs and then they're having to try to build it run create a software stack to then write applications and run it themselves. I'm sure there are a few enterprises doing now, but there are not many. It's early stage in that whole game. Right now, the -- most of the demand are coming from the frontier model players who are creating products things, as I said, like code assistance, like our engineering verticals, which are really coming from the same source of guys who are doing all those few guys doing the frontier model. It's not really coming from 100,000 companies directly trying to buy XPUs or for the method GPUs is...
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Joe Moore with Morgan Stanley.
You talked about $30 billion of AI bookings in the quarter, which is a lot, I guess, relative to this quarter and next quarter shipments. Can you talk about the dynamic? Why is there so much backlog now? Or is there -- you sort of said you can react to upside with supply, just why so many bookings this quarter relative to revenue?
Well, that's -- that's a huge demand of compute -- see a lot of large is few 6 customers now being realized that lead time to get compute, you need lead time. You need to be thoughtful. And it's not just asking for wafers to get the chips on memory to ensure that HBMs are available or DRAM is available, they're also talking about, "Hey, I got to have the power, the power shell." So all this is planning ahead. And what we are seeing the bookings that come in is not for immediate delivery some hope to have. But the reality, they all accept is they need to align quite a few other things in place before they can deliver. But they are placing their orders early and they're placing their orders down, and they are placing orders in fairly huge demand, which basically gives us a lot more visibility than we normally otherwise would have in semiconductors.
Our visibility runs all the way to 2028 right now. Three months ago, I can tell you, visibility run pretty much '27. Today, it runs '28, and that's -- and that's a big part of the reason why we are creating this XPV platform as really the platform to plan, to build up this cap -- put in place such capacity for those large frontier model customers of ours who are seeing, as you guys are seeing in some of the financials, they are telling you and there are any experience you have, which is driving a huge amount of consumption of tokens from those compute capacity we are giving them. We have the benefit now of a lot of lead time. and we're planning that. And it's not because of shortage of our components is also the other elements that need to be put in place, which particularly relates to power and connection to into an infrastructure globally through America, at least, that enables inference to be distributed through to consumers and enterprises throughout the country. So it's -- we're just getting a lot of lead time.
We do have time for one final question, and that will come from the line of Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowen.
In the past, you've talked about sort of $15 billion, $20 billion per gigawatt of compute. And given the 10 that you implicit implied is what you'll be doing next year, it implies a much larger number than $100 billion. You've also mentioned that the value per gigawatt does vary per project. So I guess, how should we think about the evolution of your revenue per gigawatt over time as I would expect, on one hand, the -- pricing to increase on programs you're already shipping, but also there are other projects that are entering the model.
Our revenue -- our content by gigawatt will increase, but it's simply our content from the fact that our comps will XPU will go up in price very dramatically, particularly when you not only put SRAMs into it, you start putting a long -- you start putting embedding CPU core into the XPUs and making those ships basically multi-die with lots of HBM. So the trajectory of content increase will go up. It just doesn't go up every month, every 6 months or every quarter, but it will follow one generation to the next, that the content will grow per gigawatt.
I would now like to turn the call over to Ji Yoo, Head of Investor Relations for closing remarks.
Thank you, operator. Broadcom currently plans to report its earnings for the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 after close of market on Wednesday, September 2, 2026. A public webcast of Broadcom's earnings conference call will follow at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time. That will conclude our earnings call today. Thank you all for joining.
Sheri, you may end the call.
This concludes today's program. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Broadcom — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Broadcom — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Broadcom meldet Rekordumsatz und Margen, getrieben von massivem KI (künstliche Intelligenz)-Chipwachstum und langfristigen Multi‑Gigawatt‑Partnerschaften.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Konsolidiert: $22,2 Mrd. Umsatz (+48% YoY)
- Halbleiter: $15,0 Mrd. (+79% YoY), AI‑Halbleiter $10,8 Mrd. (+143% YoY; 49% des Umsatzes)
- Margen: Operativmarge 67,3% (Rekord), Adjusted EBITDA $15,2 Mrd. (69% der Umsätze)
- Cashflow: Free Cash Flow $10,3 Mrd. (46% des Umsatzes); Kassenbestand $19,6 Mrd.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- KI‑Skalierung: Ziel für AI‑Halbleiter: $56 Mrd. in FY2026 und in excess of $100 Mrd. in FY2027; weitere Wachstumspläne für FY2028
- Kundenpartnerschaften: Langfristige Multi‑Gigawatt‑Abkommen mit Google, Anthropic, OpenAI, Meta; bisher PO‑Volumen und Commitments in Milliardenhöhe
- Plattform & Integration: Fokus auf XPUs (spezialisierte KI‑Beschleuniger), Networking und Co‑Packaging (Optik/Leiterbahnen) plus AI‑XPU‑Plattform mit Investoren zur Bereitstellung >20 GW bis 2028
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q3‑Prognose: Konsolidierter Umsatz ~$29,4 Mrd. (+84% YoY)
- Segmenten: Semiconductor ~$20,5 Mrd. (AI ~$16 Mrd., >200% YoY); Infrastructure Software ~$8,9 Mrd. (+31% YoY)
- Margen & Steuern: Konsolidierte Bruttomarge ~74% (mixbedingt), operative Marge ~67%, Adjusted EBITDA ~68%; Non‑GAAP Steuersatz ~16%
- Shares: Verwässerte non‑GAAP Aktienanzahl Q3 ~4,94 Mrd. (ohne Re‑Purchases)
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Backlog & Timing: Analysten fragten nach der Höhe/Verteilung des 18‑Monate‑Backlogs; Management bestätigt starke Front‑Loading, Sichtbarkeit bis 2028 und bekräftigt >$100 Mrd. 2027
- Supply‑Flexibilität: Nachfrage nach zusätzlichen Wafern und HBM (High Bandwidth Memory): Management sagt, Versorgung für '26/'27 gesichert, arbeitet an '28/'29‑Optionen und kann auf Upside reagieren
- Marge vs. Mix: Rückgang der Bruttomarge erklärt durch höheren Anteil AI‑Chips (TPUs mit niedrigerer Chipmarge) vs. sehr hohe Softwaremargen; operative Hebelwirkung soll Margen stabil halten
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Broadcom liefert starke, KI‑getriebene Wachstums- und Margenresultate mit hoher Cash‑Generierung und klarer Kundenpipeline; Hauptrisiken sind Produktmix‑Effekt auf Bruttomarge, Timing der Lieferungen und die operative Sicherstellung von Supply und Rack‑Infrastruktur.
Broadcom — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Broadcom Inc.'s First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Ji Yoo, Head of Investor Relations of Broadcom Inc.
Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Joining me on today's call are Hock Tan, President and CEO; Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer; Charlie Kwwas, President, Semiconductor Solutions Group; and Ram Velaga, President, Infrastructure Software Group.
Broadcom distributed a press release and financial tables after the market closed, describing our financial performance for the first quarter fiscal year 2026. If you did not receive a copy, you may obtain the information from the Investors section of Broadcom's website at broadcom.com. This conference call is being webcast live, and an audio replay of the call can be accessed for 1 year through the Investors section of Broadcom's website.
During the prepared comments, Hock and Kirsten will be providing details of our first quarter fiscal year 2026 results, guidance for our second quarter of fiscal year 2026 as well as commentary regarding the business environment. We'll take questions after the end of our prepared comments. Please refer to our press release today and our recent filings with the SEC for information on the specific risk factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements made on this call.
In addition to U.S. GAAP reporting, Broadcom reports certain financial measures on a non-GAAP basis. A reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP measures is included in the table attached to today's press release. Comments made during today's call will primarily refer to our non-GAAP financial results. I will now turn the call over to Hock.
Thank you, Ji. And thank you, everyone, for joining us today. In our fiscal Q1 2026, total revenue reached a record $19.3 billion and that's up 29% year-on-year and exceeding our guidance on the back of better-than-expected growth in AI and semiconductors. This top line strength translated into exceptional profitability with Q1 consolidated adjusted EBITDA, hitting a record $13.1 billion which is 68% of revenue.
These figures demonstrate that our scale continues to drive significant operating leverage. Now we expect this momentum to accelerate as our custom AI XPUs hit the next phase of deployment among our 5 customers. So looking ahead to next quarter, Q2 '26, we're guiding for consolidated revenue of approximately $22 billion, which represents 47% year-on-year growth. Let me now give you more color on our semiconductor business.
In Q1, revenue was a record $12.5 billion as year-on-year growth accelerated to 52%. This robust growth was driven by AI and semiconductor revenue, which grew 106% year-on-year to $8.4 billion, way above our outlook. In Q2, this momentum accelerates, and we expect semiconductor revenue to be $14.8 billion, up 76% year-on-year. Driving this is AI revenue growth, which will accelerate very sharply to 140% year-on-year to $10.7 billion.
Now our custom accelerator business grew 140% year-on-year in Q1. This momentum continues in Q2. The ramp of custom AI accelerators across all our 5 customers is progressing very well. For Google, we continue our trajectory of growth in '26 with strong demand for the seventh-generation Ironwood TPU. In 2027 and beyond, we expect to see even stronger demand from next generations of TPU.
for Anthropic, we are off to a very good start in 2026 for 1 gigawatt of TPU compute. And for '27, this demand is expected to surge in excess of 3 gigawatts of compute. Our XPU franchise, I should add, extends beyond GPUs. Now contrary, the recent analyst reports Meta's custom accelerator MTIA roadmap is alive and well. We're shipping now. And in fact, for the next generation XPUs, we will scale to multiple [ gigawatts ] in '27 and beyond.
Rounding off for customers 4 and 5, we see strong shipments this year and which we expect to more than double in 2027. We also now have a sixth customer. We expect OpenAI deploying in volume, their first-generation XPU in 2027 and over 1 gigawatt of compute capacity. Let me take a second to emphasize our collaboration with these 6 customers to develop AI XPUs is deep, strategic and multiyear. We bring to the partnerships, each of them unmatched technology in service, silicon design, process and acknowledging, advanced packaging and networking to enable each of these customers to achieve optimal performance for their differentiated LLM workloads.
We have the track record to deliver these XPUs and high volumes and an accelerated time to market with very high yields. And beyond technology, we provide multiyear supply agreements as our customers scale up deployment of their compute infrastructure. Our ability to ensure supply in these times of constrained capacity in leading-edge wafers, in high-bandwidth memory and substrates ensures the durability of our partnerships. And we have fully secured capacity of these components for '26 through '28.
Consistent with the strong outlook for XPUs, demand for AI networking is accelerating. AI networking revenue grew 60% year-on-year and represented 1/3 of total AI revenue. In Q2, we project AI networking to accelerate a lot more and grow to 40% of total AI revenue. We are clearly gaining share in networking. Let me explain in scale out, our first-to-market Tomahawk 6 switch at 100 terabit per second as well as our [ 200G SERDES ] are capturing demand from hyperscalers, whether they use XPUs or GPUs. This lead will extend in '27 with our next-generation Tomahawk featuring double the performance.
Meanwhile, in scale up as cluster sizes and our customers expand, we are uniquely positioned to enable these customers to stay on direct attached copper through our 200G SERDES as we next step up to 400G SERDES in 2028, our XPU customers will likely continue to stay on direct attach copper. And this is a huge advantage as the alternative of going to optical. It's more expensive and requires significantly more power, reflecting the foregoing factors our visibility in 2027 has dramatically improved.
Today, in fact, we have line of sight to achieve AI revenue from chips, just chips in excess of $100 billion in 2027. We have also secured the supply chain required to achieve this. Now turning to non-AI semiconductors. Q1 revenue of $4.1 billion was flat year-on-year, in line with guidance. Enterprise networking, broadband server storage revenues were up year-on-year, offset by a seasonal decline in wireless.
In Q2, we forecast non-AI semiconductor revenue to be approximately $4.1 billion, up 4% from a year ago. Let me now talk about our infrastructure software segment. Q1 infrastructure software revenue of $6.8 billion was in line with our guidance, it was up 1% year-on-year. For Q2, we forecast infrastructure software revenue to be approximately $7.2 billion, up 9% year-on-year.
VMware revenue grew 13% year-on-year. Bookings continue to be strong and total contract value booked in Q1 exceeded $9.2 billion sustaining an ARR, which is annual recurring revenue growth of 19% year-on-year. Let me reinforce that this growth in our infrastructure software business reflects our focus and investments in foundational infrastructure. And our infrastructure software is not disrupted by AI. In fact, VMware Cloud Foundation, VCF is the essential software layer in data centers, integrating CPUs, GPUs, storage and networking into a common high-performance private cloud environment as the permanent abstraction layer between AI software and physical chips, silicon, VCF cannot be disintermediated or replace.
It allows enterprises in fact, to scale complex generative AI workloads effectively with agility that hardware alone cannot provide. We are confident that the growth in generative and agentic AI will create the need for more VMware not less. So in summary, let me put it all together for Q2 2026, we expect consolidated revenue growth to accelerate to 47% year-on-year and reach approximately $22 billion, and we expect adjusted EBITDA to be approximately 68% of revenue. So with that, let me turn the call over to Kirsten.
Thank you, Hock. Let me now provide additional detail on our Q1 financial performance. Consolidated revenue was a record $19.3 billion for the quarter, up 29% from a year ago. Gross margin was 77% of revenue in the quarter. Consolidated operating expenses were $2 billion, of which $1.5 billion was R&D. Q1 operating income was a record $12.8 billion, up 31% from a year ago.
Operating margin increased 50 basis points year-over-year to 66.4% on favorable operating leverage. Adjusted EBITDA of $13.1 billion or 68% of revenue was above our guidance of 67%. Now let's go into detail for our 2 segments. Starting with Semiconductors. Revenue for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was a record $12.5 billion, with growth accelerating to 52% year-on-year driven by AI. Semiconductor revenue represented 65% of total revenue in the quarter.
Gross margin for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was up 30 basis points year-on-year to approximately 68%. Operating expenses of $1.1 billion reflected increased investment in R&D for leading-edge AI semiconductors and represented 8% of revenue. Semiconductor operating margin of 60% was up 260 basis points year-on-year, reflecting strong operating leverage.
Now moving on to infrastructure software. Revenue for infrastructure software of $6.8 billion was up 1% year-on-year and represented 35% of revenue. Gross margin for infrastructure software was 93% in the quarter and operating expenses were $979 million in the quarter. Q1 software operating margin was up 190 basis points year-on-year to 78%.
Moving on to cash flow. Free cash flow in the quarter was $8 billion and represented 41% of revenue. We spent $250 million on capital expenditures. We ended the first quarter with inventory of $3 billion as we continue to secure components to support strong AI demand. Our days of inventory on hand were 68 days in Q1 compared to 58 days in Q4 in anticipation of accelerating AI semiconductor growth.
Turning to capital allocation. In Q1, we paid stockholders $3.1 billion of cash dividends based on a quarterly common stock cash dividend of $0.65 per share. During the quarter, we repurchased $7.8 billion or approximately 23 million shares of common stock. In total, in Q1, we returned $10.9 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases.
In Q2, we expect the non-GAAP diluted share count to be approximately 4.94 billion shares, excluding the impact of potential share repurchases. We ended the first quarter with $14.2 billion of cash. Today, we are announcing our Board of Directors has authorized an additional $10 billion for our share repurchase program effective through the end of calendar year 2026. Now moving on to guidance. Our guidance for Q2 is for consolidated revenue of $22 billion, up 47% year-on-year.
We forecast semiconductor revenue of approximately $14.8 billion, up 76% year-on-year. Within this, we expect Q2 AI semiconductor revenue of $10.7 billion, up approximately 140% year-on-year. We expect infrastructure software revenue of approximately $7.2 billion, up 9% year-on-year. For your modeling purposes, we expect consolidated gross margin to be flat sequentially at 77%. We expect Q2 adjusted EBITDA to be approximately 68%. We expect the non-GAAP tax rate for Q2 and fiscal year 2026 to be approximately 16.5% due to the impact of the global minimum tax and the geographic mix of income compared to that of fiscal year '25. That concludes my prepared remarks. Operator, please open up the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions]
And our first question will come from the line of Blayne Curtis with Jefferies.
2. Question Answer
Just a clarification on the question. Just a clarification, Hock, the greater than $100 billion. I think you said AI chips. I just want to make sure you're clarifying the difference between the ASICs and networking and didn't know how rack revenue fits in there. And then the question, I think the biggest overhang on the group here is that you grew roughly double in the quarter AI. I think that's what kind of cloud CapEx is growing this year. I'm just kind of curious to your perspective. I think given the outlook that you have for '27, you should be a share gainer. I'm just kind of curious to your perspective in terms of the pessimism that investors kind of think of that the hyperscalers need to get a return on investment in this year or next year or if not the year after? I'm just kind of curious, your perspective, how you factor that into your outlook?
Well, what we see -- what we've seen over the last few months and continue to see even more is -- and it's really not so much talking about hyperscalers. Our customers, Blayne, is limited to those few players out there, and some of them are hyperscalers. Some of them are non-hyperscalers, but they all have one thing in common, which is to create LLMs, productize it and generate platforms, be it for enterprise consumption, in code assistance, agentic AI or be it for consumer subscription that we know about whatever it is, is that few prospects and many of whom are our customers now, who are creating this -- whether it's generative AI, agentic AI, but creating a platform. That's our customer. And with respect to each of those guys, we have seen far stronger and stronger demand for compute capacity for training, which is something they do need constantly.
But what is very, very interesting and surprising to us is very much for inference in order to productize the LLM, their latest LLMs they create and monetize it. And that inference is driving a substantial amount of compute capacity, which is great for us because this -- or these players, these 5, 6 customers of ours on their path to creating their own custom accelerators. And beyond that, their own design architecture of networking clusters of those customer accelerators.
So I think we're going to see demand picking up as we have heard announcements in the past 6 months. Now to clarify your first part, Blayne. When I say we forecast, we have a line of sight that our revenue in '27 will be significantly in excess of $100 billion, I'm focusing on the fact that these are pretty much all based on chips, whether they are XPUs, whether they are switch chips DSPs, these are silicon content we're talking about.
[Operator Instructions] And that will come from the line of Harlan Sur with JPMorgan.
Congratulations to the team on the strong results. There's been a lot of noise around CSPs and hyperscalers embarking on their own internal XPU TPU design efforts, right? We call it COT or customer-owned tooling. This is not a new dynamic with ASIC, right? I think the Broadcom team has been through the COT competitive dynamic before over the 30 years, right, that you've been a leader in the ASIC industry and very few of these COT initiatives have ever been successful.
Now on the AI, some of these COT initiatives are coming to the market now, but it looks like -- they're at these 2x less performance in your current generation solutions, 2X less complex in terms of chip design complexity, packaging complexity, IP. So maybe just a quick 2-part question. Hock, one for you is given your visibility into next year, do you see the COT [indiscernible] projects taking any meaningful TPU XPU share from Broadcom? And then maybe the second quick question for, Charlie, is given that Broadcom's TPU XPU programs from a performance complexity IP perspective are 12 to 18 months ahead of any of these COT programs, how does Broadcom team widen this gap further?
Well, that's a great question. And it fits into that -- I purposely took the time in my opening remarks to say that when any of our -- any I guess, hyperscaler or LLM developer tries to create become self-sufficient entirely in creating what you call customer-owned tooling or COT model, they face tremendous challenges.
One is technology. which is a technology as it relates to creating the silicon chips and particularly in XPUs that they need to do the computing and that is needed to optimize and run an inference on the workloads they produce their LLM. It's technology we talked about comes in from different dimensions. We need the best silicon design team around, you need cutting-edge, really cutting-edge SERDES, very advanced packaging. And most -- and just as much you need to understand how to network clusters of them together.
We've been doing this for 20 years -- more than 20 years in silicon and in this particular space today in generative AI. If you're trying to as an LLM player to do your own chip, you cannot afford to have a chip that is just good enough. You need the best chips that is around because you're competing against other LLM players. And most of all, you're also competing against NVIDIA, who is by no means letting down their [ gun ]. They are producing better and better chips with every passing generation.
So you have to, as an LLM, trying to establish our platform in the world, have to create chips that are better than if not competitive, not just in NVIDIA, but all the other platform players that you're competing against. And for that, you really need own belief, and we see that percent -- partner in silicon with the best technology, IP and execution around.
And very modestly, I would say, we are by far way out there. And we will not see competition in COT for many years to come. It will come eventually, but we're still a long way off because the race which we see continues. And 1 thing I add in there that is particularly unique to us, when you create the silicon, you really have to get it up and running in high volume in production very quickly, time to market. We are very, very experienced in doing that. Anybody can design a chip in a lab that works well. Can you produce 100,000 of those chips quickly at yields that you can -- that you can afford? And we don't see too many players in the world that can do that. Charlie?
I think you covered it very well, Hock .
One moment for our next question and that will come from the line of Ross Seymore with Deutsche Bank.
In your script, you leaned a little bit more into the networking differentiation than you have in the past. So I guess kind of a short-term and a longer-term question. The short term is, what's driving that up to 40% of the AI revenues? And the longer-term question is, is that going -- that percentage mix in that $100 billion plus, is that changing now what sort of leadership do you expect to maintain in that business, whether it's scale out or scale up? And is your leadership position there helping on your XPU side as you can optimize across both the compute and the networking side.
Well, let's address the first part of that fairly complex question first, Ross. Yes, in networking, especially with the new generation of GPUs, XPUs that are coming out there. We're running at 200 gigabit SERDES out there in terms of bandwidth. And the Tomax that we introduced over 6 months ago a closer to 9 months ago. We're the only one out there. And our customers and the hyperscalers wants to run with the best networking and with the most band we found there for their clusters.
So we are seeing huge demand for this only 100 terabit per second switch out there. So that's driving a lot of demand. And couple that we're running bandwidth on scaling out optical transceivers at 1.6 terabit. We are, again, the only player out there doing DSP at 1.6 terabits. That combination is driving, I would say, the growth of our networking components, even faster than our XPUs are growing, which is already pretty remarkable.
So that's what you're seeing. But at some point, I would think these things will settle down, though. We're not slowing down the pace because, as I said, next in '27, we'll launch next-generation Tomahawk 7, 2x the performance and will probably be by far, the first out there, and then we'll continue to sustain that momentum. And -- but at the end of the day, to answer your question, yes, I expect as the composition of our total AI revenue in any quarter that we'll be ranging between probably 33% to 40% AI networking components.
One moment for our next question and that will come from the line of CJ Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald.
I'm curious, how are you thinking about the move to disaggregate [ prefill decode ] from the GPU ecosystem? And the impact of custom silicon demand. Are you seeing any potential changes in sort of the relative mix between GPUs and customer silicon?
I'm not sure I fully understand your question, CJ. Could you clarify what you mean disaggregate?
Sure. Pushing off workloads to CPX for prefill and working off [ Grok ] for decode and having that disaggregated kind of world. And does that put any pressure in terms of the demand for custom versus going with a full GPU stack.
Okay. I get what you mean. That's what disaggregation [indiscernible] what you -- in a way, what you're really saying is what, how is the architecture of accelerated GPU or XPU evolving as workload starts to evolve. And that's what we are seeing very much in particular. The one size fits all of a general purpose GPU gets you only that far. It can still keep going on because you can still run different workloads like you run, make sure of experts even though you have -- you want to run mixture of experts with sparse costs to be very effective, you hear the term, but in a GPU, you are designed for dense matrix multiplication.
So you do it with software kernels, but it's not as effective as you [ hot coated ] in silicon and make those purposely designed to be much more performing for mixture of expert workloads, say. The same applies for inference. And what that drives down to is you start to see designs of XPUs become much more customized for particular workloads of particular LLM customers of ours, and the design starts to [ depart ] from what is the traditional standard GPU design, which is why as we always indicated before. XPUs will effect will eventually be more the choice simply because it will allow flexibility in making designs that work with particular workloads,
1 for training even and one for inference. And as you say, 1 perhaps would be better at prefilling and want to be better at post-training or reinforced learning or test time scaling. You can tweak your TPUs towards the XPU [indiscernible] to a particular kind of workload LLM that you want. And we're seeing that roadmap in all our 5 customers.
One moment for our next question and that will come from the line of Timothy Arcuri with UBS.
I had just a question on sort of the puts and takes on the gross margin as you begin to ship these racks. I mean, obviously, it's going to pull the blended margin down. But I'm wondering if there's any guardrails you can give us on this. It seems like the racks are maybe 45%, 50% gross margin. So I guess, should we think about that pulling gross margin down like 500 basis points, roughly, as these racks begin to ship? And I guess part of that, HOck, is there some like floor to the gross margin below which you wouldn't be willing to do more racks?
Hate to tell you that you must be a bit hallucinated. Our gross margin is solidly at the number Kirsten report. We will not be affected by the gross one and buy more and more AI product going up. We have gotten our yields. We've gotten our cost to a point where -- the model we have in AI will be fairly consistent the models we have in the rest of the semiconductor business. Kirsten? .
I would agree with that. I think on further study, relative to even comments that I did make last quarter, the impact relative to our overall mix is actually not going to be substantial at all. So I wouldn't worry about it. .
[Operator Instructions] And that will come from the line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein.
I don't know if this is for Hock or Kirsten, but I wanted to dig in a little more to this substantially more than $100 billion next year. I'm trying to just count up the gigawatts. I counted, I don't know, 8 or 9, you have 3 from Anthropic, one from open AI, so that's 4. You said Meta was multiple, so east, that gets you to 6. Google, I figure should be bigger than Meta.so like at least 3, that's 9 and then you got a few others.
I just thought that your content per gigawatt was sort of, call it, a $20 billion per gigawatt range. I guess what I'm asking, is my math around the gigawatts you plan to ship in 27 correct? And how do I think about your content per gigawatt as that ships -- maybe we'll be "substantially" more than $100 billion.
Stacy, you have a very interesting perspective, and I've got to [ remind ] you for that. But you're right. You can look at it a gigawatts, which is the right way to look at it instead of dollars because that's how we sell our chips. So you have to realize we -- depending on our LLM customer, our 6 customers, sorry, not 56. The dollars per gigawatt is varies, sometimes quite dramatically. -- it does vary. But you're right. It's so far from the dollars you are talking about. And if you look at it by gigawatt in '27, we are seeing getting close to 10 gigawatts. .
Our next question that will come from the line of Ben Reitzes with Melius Research.
Hock, great to be speaking with you. I wanted to ask you about your commentary about supply visibility on those 4 major components through 2028. A, how did you do it? This is probably you're the first one to kind of go out through the '28 time frame? And secondly, after this astounding growth in 2027 for your AI business, do you have enough visibility to grow quite a bit in 2028 based on the supply that you see in that kind of commentary?
The best answer is, yes, you're right. We anticipate this sharp accelerated growth. Nobody could anticipate that rate of growth is showing, but we kind of anticipate a large part of it, I guess, longer than 6 months. We were early in being able to lock up T glass, the [ infamous ] T glass you all heard about, we were very early. We've locked up substrates. We have worked on our good partners on the rest of the stuff we talked about. And so the answer to your question is it's somewhat anticipation early and the fact that we have very good partners out there in these key components. What else can I say except that, yes. Charlie, do you want to add anything? .
Yes. Just maybe a couple of quick ones. I think you covered that piece really well. I think, Ben, the other piece that's really important as Hock said, we build custom silicon for 6 customers. We have very deep strategic multiyear engagement with them. They share with us because of this custom capability exactly what they anticipate at least over the next 2 to 3 years, sometimes 4 years.
And so because of that, that's exactly why we went and secured all the elements, Hock, talked about. And when we secure this, it requires investments with these partners, sometimes developing not just more capacity, but the right technology and capacity for that. So we have to go secure it for multiple years. And we're probably -- you're right. We're probably the first 1 to secure that up to '28 or beyond.
And can you grow in '28 with what you see in supply? Sorry to sneak that in.
Yes.
Our next question will come from the line of Vivek Arya with Bank of America Securities.
Hock, I just wanted to first clarify the Anthropic project you're doing the $20 billion or so for a gigawatt this year, how much of that is chips and how much of that is kind of rack? I just wanted to understand when you say $100 billion in chips, is there a distinction between chips versus your rack-scale projects because just that project is supposed to triple next year.
And then my question is your AI business is transitioning from kind of 1 large customer that was where you had kind of exclusive partnership to now multiple customers who are using multiple suppliers. So how do you get the visibility and the confidence about how your share will progress at these multiple customers because it's a very kind of fragmented engagement that they have across a whole range of cloud service providers and so. So what are you doing to ensure that you have solid visibility and the right market share at this fragmented set of customers who are using multiple suppliers. .
Vivek, you have to understand 1 thing about, first, as Charlie correctly put down, very nicely. We only have very few customers to be precise 6 for the volume we are driving the revenue we're driving we only have just 6, prior to the even less refilling. And number two, also I have to understand with the dollars each of them spend and the criticality of the nature of what they're embarking on.
And that's why I threw out this method has MTI, that's the A customer accelerator program. To them, as every one of my customers in this space, it's a strategic play. It's not optionality to them long term, short term, medium term is strategic, extremely strategic. They don't stop and they are very clear each of them on where they want to position these custom silicon within the trajectory of the LLM development and the trajectory of how they develop, inference for productizing those elements. That part, we have very clear visibility anything else on GPU, using new cloud -- using cloud business, these are all transactional and optionality. So you have to -- you point out very correctly, it seems very confusing. Trust me, not for us, on those customers we have. They're very strategic. They're very targeted, and they know exactly what they're building up and how much capacity they want to build up each year. And the only thing they think about is can you do it faster. Otherwise, it's very strategic and targeted on a projected road map. Anything else you see in the mix is pure I call it, opportunistic for these guys, the optionality. So it's very clear.
And on the clarification, Hock, Anthropic racks versus chips?
I'd rather not answer then, but we're okay. As Kirsten said, we're good on our dollars and margin.
Our next question that will come from the line of Tom O'Malley with Barclays.
I have 1 for Hock and one for Charlie. So Hock, I know you're very specific in particular about what you put in the [indiscernible] and you noted that customers are saying a direct attached copper through 400 gig SERDES. Is there any reason you're pointing that out in particular, especially as a leading pioneer in CPO. And then on Charlie side, as you're adding more customers here, I'd imagine customers that design ASIC with you are going to use scale-up Ethernet. Maybe talk about scale-up protocols and how you see Ethernet developing here as well...
Okay. No, unless -- I'm just highlighting the fact that with -- on networking, our technology is really very, very uniquely positioning us to help our customers and more than our customers, even customers using John purpose GPUs, not just XPUs, which is that if you are running trying to create LLM and running, creating your own AI data centers and we're designing architecting it. You truly want larger and larger domains or clusters phone and you really want to connect XPUs to XPUs directly where you can.
And the best way to do that is used directly attached copper. That's the lowest latency, lowest power and lowest cost. So you want to keep doing that, especially in scale up as long as possible. In scaling out we pass that we use optical. That's fine. While I'm talking about scaling up in a rack in the cluster domain, you really want to use direct attach corporate as long as you can. And we are still based on our technology that Broadcom has with -- especially on connecting XPU or even GPU to GPU. We can do it with copper, and we can push the envelope from 100 gig to 200G to even 400G, we have SERDES now running 400G that can drive distance on a rank to run copper. All I'm trying to say is you don't need to go run into some bright shiny objects called CPO, even as we are the lead in CPOs. CPOs will come in its time. not this year, maybe not next year, but in its time. Charlie?
Yes. No, well said Hock. And on the question of Ethernet with the debut of the cloud, Ethernet became the de facto standard in every cloud for the last 2 decades. If you look at the debut of the back-end networks, as Jack articulated, there was 2 years ago, a big fight about what protocol should be used to achieve the latency, the scale necessary on scale-out.
And the industry at the time, 24 months ago was not clear. we were clear. We were very clear, actually, about what the answer should be. And again, because of the deep engagements with our partners, they made it very clear to all of us and the industry, GPU or XPU that Ethernet is the scale out of choice. Checkmark. Today, everyone is talking about scaling out with Ethernet. Now when it comes to scale up, yes, exactly like what happened 3, 4 years ago, on scale up now, what's the right answer for this. And what we're hearing consistently and what we're seeing is the right answer is Ethernet. And as you know, last year, we've announced with multiple hyperscalers and many of our peers in the semiconductor industry that Ethernet scale up is the right choice. That's what we believe will happen. Time will tell, but a lot of the XPU designs were doing. We're being asked to scale up through Ethernet, and we're happy to enable that.
And our next question that will come from the line of Jim Schneider with Goldman Sachs.
Hock, it was helpful to hear you discuss the progress of your other full custom XP engagements outside of TPUs. As we look into next year, is it fair to assume that those are mostly targeting inference applications or not? And then could you maybe qualitatively speak to either the performance or cost advantages relative to GPUs that is giving those customers the ability to forecast in such large scale?
Thanks. It's -- most of our customers begin with inference, simply because that tends to be -- that tends to be the easiest path to stand on. Not necessarily from anything else than the fact that when you do inference, it's much -- it's less compute, but also then the question is, do you need this general purpose massive, dense matrix multiplication GPUs, when you can do it more efficiently, effectively with customs inference silicon XPUs that do the job better or just as well, much cheaper cost, lower power. And that's what we find this customer starting with.
But they are now in training and many of the XPUs are used both in training as well as inference. And by the way, they are interchangeable. Just a GPU can be used not just for training, which they are, perhaps, more perfectly suited to, but they can be used for inference. What we're seeing is our XPUs are used for both. And we are seeing that going on. But we're also seeing very rapidly more for those customers who are much more mature in the progression I talked about in their journey towards complete XPU that they will start to develop 2 chips each year, simultaneously, one for training, 1 for inference to be specialized Why? Because what we're seeing very clearly for this players, LLM players, you do the training to get -- to achieve a higher level of intelligence, smart for your LLM.
So great, you get yourself a great LLM state-of-the-art or more. Now you've got to productize it, which means inference. Well, you can then decide at that time, you've got your model going as the best because if you decide then to do your inference productization, it will take you a year at least to productize at which time somebody else is going to create an LLM better than yours. So you -- that's a leap of faith here that when you do training to create the next level of super intelligence in your LLM, you have to be investing simultaneously in inference, both in terms of the chip and the capacity. So our visibility is really coming out better and better as we find those 6 customers get more mature in the progression towards better and better LLMS. So yes, that is the trend we are seeing. It's not happening to all our 6 customers yet, but we're seeing a majority of them headed in that way right now
Thank you. One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowens.
Congrats on the results. I appreciate all the details on the expectations for deployment at specific customers. I was hoping you could just maybe reflect on how visibility has changed over the last 1 to 2 quarters that gave you the confidence to give us more details? And then on a specific one, you mentioned greater than 1 gigawatt for OpenAI in 2027, with that deal being for 10 gigawatts through 2029, that implied a pretty sharp inflection, I guess, in 2028. Is that the right way to think about it? And was that sort of always the plan?
Yes. Well, yes, this -- as you've all seen, and you all know in this generative AI race that we are in now, and I shouldn't use the word race, let's call it, progression among the few players we see here, I mean, it's a competition. Each is trying to create an LLM better than the other and more tailored for specific purpose, be it enterprise, be it consumer, be it search. Each one is trying to create it more and more. And all of that requires not just training, which is important to keep improving your LLM models. But inference for productization and monetization of your LLMs.
And we are going -- and probably call it the fact that we've been engaged with some of them now for more than a couple of years. We're getting better and better visibility as they have more and more confidence that the XPUs they are working on with us is achieving what they are getting it as they get the sense that the XPUs they are working on with the software, with the algorithms they needed, they are having more confidence that this XPU silicon is what they need.
And it gets better and better. And It's get better, we get more visibility as Charlie puts up perfectly because at the end of the day, we only have 6 guys to work on. And these 6 guys are all, as I said, look at XPUs and AI in a very strategic manner. They don't think 1 generation at a time. They think multiple generation multiple years.
And in spite of all the noise out there on what's available they think very long term on how they deploy the experience they develop with us, how they deploy in achieving better and better LLMs that they want to create and more than that, how they deploy and monetizing. So it's -- we are part of their strategic roadmap. We are not in just optionality of, oh, shall I use a GPU, shall I use it in the cloud because I need to train for 6 months. No. this is more than that. The investment these guys are making a long term, and it's great to be part of that long-term roadmap as opposed to a transactional roadmap. And the noise, as I answered an earlier question from is there's a lot of noise that makes up short-term transactions with one is long-term strategic positioning of our business and our product. And to sum it all, I think our business in XPUs is a strategic sustainable play for all the 6 customers we have today.
Thank you. That is all the time we have for Q&A today. I would now like to turn the call back over to Ji Yoo for any closing remarks.
Thank you, Sheri. Broadcom currently plans to report its earnings for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026 after the close of market on Wednesday, June 3, 2026. A public webcast that Broadcom's earnings conference call will follow at 2:00 p.m. Pacific. That will conclude our earnings call today. Thank you all for joining. Sheri, you may end the call.
This concludes today's program. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Broadcom — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Broadcom — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $19,3 Mrd. (+29% YoY)
- Bereinigtes EBITDA: $13,1 Mrd. (68% der Umsätze; bereinigtes EBITDA = EBITDA adjusted)
- Halbleiter: $12,5 Mrd. (+52% YoY); AI‑Halbleiter $8,4 Mrd. (+106% YoY)
- Free Cashflow: $8,0 Mrd. (41% der Umsätze)
- Kapitalrückfluss: $10,9 Mrd. an Aktionäre (Dividenden + Aktienrückkäufe)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- XPUs: Breiter Rollout eigener AI‑Accelerator‑Designs bei aktuell 6 Großkunden; Management betont multiyährige, strategische Partnerschaften.
- Supply‑Sicherheit: Kapazitäten für Leading‑Edge Wafer, HBM und Substrate gesichert für 2026–2028 zur Absicherung Ramp.
- Networking‑Vorteil: Tomahawk‑Switches und 200G SERDES treiben Marktanteilsgewinne im AI‑Netzwerk; Tomahawk‑NextGen in 2027 geplant.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q2‑Guidance: Konsolidierter Umsatz ~ $22 Mrd. (+47% YoY)
- Segment‑Prognosen: Semiconductors ~ $14,8 Mrd. (+76% YoY), AI‑Chips $10,7 Mrd. (+~140% YoY); Infrastructure Software ~ $7,2 Mrd. (+9% YoY)
- Margen & Steuern: Konsolidierte Bruttomarge ~77% unverändert; bereinigtes EBITDA ~68%; Non‑GAAP Steuersatz ~16,5%
- Kapitalrückkauf: Board genehmigt zusätzlich $10 Mrd. bis Ende 2026.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- COT‑Risiko: Analysten fragten nach kundeneigenen XPU‑Initiativen (Customer‑Owned Tooling); Management sieht COT als langfristig anspruchsvoll und kein nahes Massenrisiko.
- Racks vs. Chips: Bedenken, dass Rack‑Sales Margen drücken; Management betonte stabile Margen dank Yield‑ und Kostenkontrolle.
- Nachfrage‑Visibility: Nachfrage‑ und Gigawatt‑Prognosen (nahe 10 GW in 2027) sowie >$100 Mrd. an Chip‑Inhalten für 2027 wurden erläutert; Management stützt Prognose auf enge Kunden‑Roadmaps.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starkes Q1: Rekordumsatz und exzellente Profitabilität. Die kurzfristige Story ist ein deutlich beschleunigter AI‑Ramp mit gesicherter Supply‑Kette und aggressiver Kapitalrückführung. Hauptrisiken: Kundenkonzentration, Ausführungsrisiken bei Volumina und mögliche langfristige COT‑Wettbewerber, die Management jedoch als kurzfristig begrenzt einstuft.
Broadcom — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Broadcom Inc.'s Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Ji Yoo, Head of Investor Relations of Broadcom Inc.
Thank you, Sheri, and good afternoon, everyone. Joining me on today's call are Hock Tan, President and CEO; Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer; and Charlie Kawwas, President Semiconductor Solutions Group.
Broadcom distributed a press release and financial tables after the market close, describing our financial performance for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025. If you did not receive a copy, you may obtain the information from the Investors section of Broadcom's website at broadcom.com.
This conference call is being webcast live, and an audio replay of the call can be accessed for 1 year through the Investors section of Broadcom's website.
During the prepared remarks, Hock and Kirsten will be providing details of our fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 results, guidance for our first quarter of fiscal year 2026 as well as commentary regarding the business environment. We'll take questions after the end of our prepared comments.
Please refer to our press release today and our recent filings with the SEC for information on the specific risk factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements made on this call.
In addition to U.S. GAAP reporting, Broadcom reports certain financial measures on a non-GAAP basis. A reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP measures is included in the tables attached to today's press release. Comments made during today's call will primarily refer to our non-GAAP financial results. I'll now turn the call over to Hock.
Thank you, Ji, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Well, we just ended our Q4 fiscal '25. And before I get into details of that quarter, let me recap the year.
In our fiscal 2025, consolidated revenue grew 24% year-over-year to a record $64 billion, and it's driven by AI semiconductors and VMware. AI revenue grew 65% year-over-year to $20 billion, driving the semiconductor revenue for this company to a record $37 billion for the year. In our Infrastructure Software business, strong adoption of VMware Cloud Foundation or VCF, as we call it, drove revenue growth of 26% year-on-year to $27 billion.
In summary, 2025 was another strong year for Broadcom. And we see the spending momentum by our customers for -- in AI, continuing to accelerate in 2026. Now let's move on to the results of our fourth quarter 2025.
Total revenue was a record $18 billion, up 28% year-on-year and above our guidance on better-than-expected growth in AI semiconductors as well as Infrastructure Software. Q4 consolidated adjusted EBITDA was a record [ $12.2 billion, ] up 34% year-on-year. So let me give you more color on our two segments.
In Semiconductors, revenue was $11.1 billion as year-on-year growth accelerated to 35%. And this robust growth was driven by the AI semiconductor revenue of $6.5 billion, which was up 74% year-on-year. And this represents a growth trajectory exceeding 10x over the 11 quarters we have reported this line of business. Our custom accelerated business more than double year-over-year, as we see our customers increase adoption of XPUs, as we call those custom accelerators in training their LLM and monetizing their platforms through influencing APIs and applications.
These XPUs, I may add, are not only been used to train and influence internal workloads by our customers, the same XPUs in some situations have been extended externally to other LLM peers, best exemplified at Google, where the TPUs use in creating Gemini, have also been used for AI cloud computing by Apple, Coherent and SSI as an example. And the scale at which we see this happening could be significant. And as you are aware, last quarter, Q3 '25, we received a $10 billion order to sell the latest DPU [indiscernible] to [indiscernible]. And this was our fourth customer that we mentioned. And in this quarter Q4, we received an additional $11 billion order from the same customer for delivery in late 2026.
But that does not mean our other two customers are using GPUs. In fact, they prefer to control their own destiny by continuing to drive their multiyear journey to create their own custom AI accelerators or XPU racks, as we call them. And I'm pleased today to report that during this quarter, we acquired a fifth XPU customer through a $1 billion order placed for delivery in late 2026.
Now moving on to AI networking. Demand here has even been stronger as we see customers build out their data center infrastructure ahead of deploying AI accelerators. Our current order backlog for AI switches exceeds $10 billion as our latest 102-terabit per second Tomahawk 6 switch, the first and only one of its capability out there. continues to book at record rates. And this is just a subset of what we have.
We have also secured record orders on DSPs, optical components like lasers and PCI Express switches to be deployed -- all to be deployed in AI data centers. And all these components combined with XPUs, bring our total order on hand in excess of $73 billion today, which is almost half Broadcom's consolidated backlog of $162 billion. We expect this $73 billion in AI backlog to be delivered over the next 18 months. And in Q1 fiscal '26, we expect our AI revenue to double year-on-year to $8.2 billion.
Turning to non-AI semiconductors. Q4 revenue of $4.6 billion was up 2% year-on-year and up 16% sequentially based on favorable wireless seasonality. Year-on-year, broadband showed solid recovery, wireless was flat and all the other end markets were down as enterprise spending continued to show limited signs of recovery. And accordingly, in Q1 we forecast non-semiconductor revenue to be approximately $4.1 billion, flat from a year ago, down sequentially due to wireless seasonality.
Let me now talk about our Infrastructure Software segment. Q4 Infrastructure software revenue of $6.9 billion was up 19% year-on-year, above -- and above our outlook of $6.7 billion. Bookings continue to be strong as total contract value booked in Q4 exceeded $10.4 billion versus $8.2 billion a year ago. We ended the year with $73 billion of Infrastructure Software backlog, up from $49 billion a year ago. We expect renewals to be seasonal in Q1 and forecast Infrastructure Software revenue to be approximately $6.8 billion. We still expect, however, that for fiscal '26 Infrastructure Software revenue to grow low double-digit percentage.
So here's what we see in 2026, directionally, we expect AI revenue to continue to accelerate and drive most of our growth. And non-AI semiconductor revenue to be stable. Infrastructure software revenue will continue to be driven by VMware growth at low double digits. And for Q1 '26, we expect consolidated revenue of approximately $19.1 billion, up 28% year-on-year. And we expect adjusted EBITDA to be approximately 67% of revenue. And with that, let me turn the call over to Kirsten.
Thank you, Hock. Let me now provide additional detail on our Q4 financial performance. Consolidated revenue was a record $18 billion for the quarter, up 28% from a year ago. Gross margin was 77.9% of revenue in the quarter, better than we originally guided on higher software revenues and product mix within semiconductors.
Consolidated operating expenses were $2.1 billion, of which $1.5 billion was research and development. Q4 operating income was a record $11.9 billion, up 35% from a year ago. Now on a sequential basis, even as gross margin was down 50 basis points on semiconductor product mix, operating margin increased 70 basis points sequentially to 66.2% on favorable operating leverage.
Adjusted EBITDA of $12.2 billion or 68% of revenue was above our guidance of 67%. This figure excludes $148 million of depreciation. Now a review of the P&L for our 2 segments, starting with Semiconductors.
Revenue for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was a record $11.1 billion with growth accelerating to 35% year-on-year, driven by AI. Semiconductor revenue represented 61% of total revenue in the quarter. Gross margin for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was approximately 68%. Operating expenses increased 16% year-on-year to $1.1 billion on increased investment in R&D for leading-edge AI semiconductors. Semiconductor operating margin of 59% was up 250 basis points year-on-year.
Now moving to Infrastructure Software. Revenue for Infrastructure Software of $6.9 billion was up 19% year-on-year and represented 39% of total revenue. Gross margin for Infrastructure Software was 93% in the quarter compared to 91% a year ago. Operating expenses were $1.1 billion in the quarter, resulting in Infrastructure Software operating margin of 78%. This compares to operating margin of 72% a year ago, reflecting the completion of the integration of VMware.
Moving on to cash flow. Free cash flow in the quarter was $7.5 billion and represented 41% of revenue. We spent $237 million on capital expenditures. Days sales outstanding were 36 days in the fourth quarter compared to 29 days a year ago. We ended the fourth quarter with inventory of $2.3 billion, up 4% sequentially. Our days of inventory on hand were 58 days in Q4 compared to 66 days in Q3 as we continue to remain disciplined on how we manage inventory across the ecosystem. We ended the fourth quarter $16.2 billion of cash, up $5.5 billion sequentially on strong cash flow generation. The weighted average coupon rate in years to maturity of our gross principal fixed rate debt of $67.1 billion is 4% and 7.2 years, respectively.
Turning to capital allocation. In Q4, we paid stockholders $2.8 billion of cash dividends based on a quarterly common stock cash dividend to $0.59 per share. In Q1, we expect the non-GAAP diluted share count to be approximately 4.97 billion shares, excluding the potential impact of any share repurchases.
Now let me recap our financial performance for fiscal year 2025. Our revenue hit a record $63.9 billion with organic growth accelerating to 24% year-on-year. Semiconductor revenue was $36.9 billion, up 22% year-over-year. Infrastructure Software revenue was $27 billion, up 26% year-on-year. Fiscal 2025 adjusted EBITDA was $43 billion and represented 67% of revenue. Free cash flow grew 39% year-on-year to $26.9 billion.
For fiscal 2025, we returned $17.5 billion of cash to shareholders in the form of $11.1 billion of dividends and $6.4 billion in share repurchases and elimination. Aligned with our ability to generate increased cash flows in the preceding year, we are announcing an increase in our quarterly common stock cash dividend in Q1 fiscal 2026 to $0.65 per share, an increase of 10% from the prior quarter. We intend to maintain this target quarterly dividend throughout fiscal '26, subject to quarterly board approval. This implies our fiscal 2026 annual common stock dividend to be a record $2.60 per share, an increase of 10% year-on-year.
I would like to highlight that this represents the 15th consecutive in annual dividends since we initiated dividends in fiscal 2011. The Board also approved an extension of our share repurchase program, of which $7.5 billion remains through the end of calendar year 2026.
Now moving to guidance. Our guidance for Q1 is for consolidated revenue of $19.1 billion, up 28% year-on-year. We forecast Semiconductor revenue of approximately $12.3 billion, up 50% year-on-year. Within this, we expect Q1 AI semiconductor revenue of $8.2 billion, up approximately 100% year-on-year. We expect Infrastructure Software revenue of approximately $6.8 billion, up 2% year-on-year.
For your modeling purposes, we expect Q1 consolidated gross margin to be down approximately 100 basis points sequentially, primarily reflecting a higher mix of AI revenue. As a reminder, consolidated gross margins through the year will be impacted by the revenue mix of Infrastructure Software and Semiconductors and also product mix within Semiconductors.
We expect Q1 adjusted EBITDA to be approximately 67%. We expect the non-GAAP tax rate for Q1 and fiscal year 2026 to increase from 14% to approximately 16.5% due to the impact of the global minimum tax and shift in geographic mix of income compared to that of fiscal year 2025.
That concludes my prepared remarks. Operator, please open up the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from the line of Vivek [ Arya ] with Bank of America.
2. Question Answer
Just wanted to clarify, Hock, you said $73 billion over 18 months for AI, that's roughly $50-ish billion plus for fiscal '26 for AI. I just wanted to get -- make sure I got that right.
And then the main question, Hock, is that there is sort of this emerging debate about customer-owned tooling, your ASIC customers potentially wanting to do more things on their own. How do you see your XPU content and share at your largest customer evolve over the next 1 or 2 years?
Well, to answer your first question, what we said is correct that as of now, we have $73 billion of backlog in place secured of XPUs, switches, DSPs, lasers for AI data centers that we anticipate shipping over the next 18 months. And obviously, this is as of now, I mean, we fully expect more bookings to come in over that period of time. And so don't take that $73 billion as that's the revenue that we ship over the next 18 months. We're just saying we have that now and in that bookings has been accelerating.
And frankly, we see that bookings not just in XPUs, but in switches, DSPs, all the other components that go into AI data center. We have never seen bookings of the nature that what we have seen over the past 3 months, particularly with respect to Tomahawk 6 switches. This is one of the fastest-growing products in terms of deployment that we've ever seen of any switch products that we put out there. It is pretty interesting and partly because it's the only one of its kind out there at this point at 102 terabits per second. And that's that exact product needed to expand the clusters of the latest GPU and XPUs out there.
So that's great. But as far as what is the future XPU is your broader question, my answer to you is don't follow what you hear out there as gospel. It's a trajectory. It's a multiyear journey. And many of the players and not too many players doing LLM wants to do their own custom AI accelerator for very good reasons. You can put in hard way if you use a general purpose GPU, you can only do in software and -- kernels and software. You can achieve performance-wise so much better in the custom purposed design, hardware-driven XPU.
And we see that in the TPU and we see that in all the accelerators we are doing for our other customers, much, much better in areas of [indiscernible] call, training, inference, reasoning, all that stuff.
Now what that means that over time, they all want to go do it themselves, not necessarily. And in fact, because the technology in silicon keeps updating keeps evolving. And if you are an LLM player, where do you put your resources in order to compete in this space, especially when you have to compete at the end of the day against merchant GPU who are not slowing down in the rate of evolution. So I see that as this concept of customer tooling is an overblown hypothesis, which frankly, I don't think will happen.
A moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Ross Seymore with Deutsche Bank.
I want to go to something you touched on earlier about the TPUs going a little bit more to like a merchant go-to market to other customers. Do you believe that's a substitution effect for customers who otherwise would have done ASICs with you? Or do you think it's actually broadening the market? And so what are kind of the financial implications of that from your perspective?
So that's a very good question, Ross. And what we see right now is the most obvious move it does is it goes -- the people who use TPUs, the alternative is GPUs, merchant basis as the most common thing that happens. Because to do that substitution for another custom, it's different. To make an investment in custom accelerator is a multiyear journey. It's a strategic directional thing. It's not necessary a very transactional or short-term move.
Moving from GPU to TPU is a transactional move, going into AI accelerator of your own is a long-term strategic move and nothing would deter you from them to continue to make that investment towards that end goal of successfully creating and deploying your own custom AI [indiscernible]. So that's the motion we see.
And that will come from the line of Harlan Sur with JPMorgan.
Congratulations on the strong results, guidance and execution. Hock, again, I just want to -- I just want to sort of verify this, right? So you talked about total AI backlog of $73 billion over the next 6 quarters, right? This is just a snapshot of your order book like right now. But given your lead times, I think customers can and still will place orders for AI in quarters 4, 5 and 6. So as time moves forward, that top [indiscernible] number for more shipments in the second half will probably still go up, right? Is that the correct interpretation?
And then given the strong and growing backlog, right, the question is, does the team have 3-nanometer, 2-nanometer wafer supply, colos, substrate, HBM supply commitments to support all of the demand in your order book. And I know one of the areas where you are trying to mitigate this as in advanced packaging, right? You're bringing up your Singapore facility. Can you guys just remind us what part of the advanced packaging process the team is focusing on with the Singapore facility?
Well, to answer your first simpler question, Harlan, you're right. You can say that $73 billion is the backlog we have today to ship over the next 6 quarters. You might also say that given our lead time, we expect more orders to be able to be absorbed into our backlog for shipments over the next 6 quarters.
So taking that we expect revenue -- a minimum revenue one way to look at it of $73 billion over the next 6 quarters, but we do expect much more as more orders come in for shipments within the next 6 quarters. Our lead time depending on the particular product, it is -- can be anywhere from 6 months to a year.
On -- with respect to supply chain is what you're asking, critical supply chain on silicon and packaging, yes, that's an interesting challenge that we have been addressing constantly and continue to. And with the strength of the demand and the need for more innovative packaging, advanced packaging because you are talking about multi-chips in creating every custom accelerator now. The packaging becomes a very interesting and a technical challenge.
And building our Singapore fab is to really talk about partially in-sourcing those advanced packaging. We believe that we have enough demand, we can literally in-source not from the viewpoint of not just costs, but in a viewpoint of supply chain security and delivery. We're building up a fairly substantial facility for packaging, advanced packaging in Singapore, as indicated, purely for the purpose to address the package advanced packaging side. Silicon-wise, now we go back to the same pressure source in -- with TSMC. And so we keep going for more and more capacity in 2-nanometers, 3-nanometers, and so far, we do not have that constraint. But again, time will tell as we progress and as our backlog builds up.
One moment for our next question. The next question will come from the line of Blayne Curtis with Jefferies.
I wanted to ask, with the original $10 billion deal you talked about, a rack sale, I just wanted to -- with the follow-on order as well as the fifth customer, can you just maybe describe how you're going to deliver those? Is it an XPU? Or is it a rack? And then maybe you can kind of just walk us through the math and kind of what the deliverable is? Obviously, Google uses own networking. I'm kind of curious, too, would it be a copy exact of what Google does, now that you could talk to it to -- name? Or would you have your own networking in there as well?
That's a very complicated question, Blayne. Let me tell you what it is, it's a system sale. How about that? It's a [ real ] system sale. We have so many components beyond XPUs, customer accelerators in our AMI system -- in AI system, any I said them used by hyperscalers that yes, we believe it begins to make sense to do it as a system sales and be responsible. But be fully responsible for the entire system, or rack, as you call it. I think people are understanding as a system sales better.
And so on this customer number 4, we are selling it as a system with our key components in it. And that's no different than selling a chip. We certify a final ability to run as part of the whole selling process.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein.
I wanted to touch on gross margins and maybe it feeds into a little bit the prior question. So I understand why the AI business is somewhat dilutive to gross margins. We have the HBM pass-through. And then presumably with the system sales that will be more dilutive. And you hinted at this in the past, but I was wondering if it could be a little more explicit. As this AI revenue starts to ramp, as we start to get system sales, how should we be thinking about that gross margin number, say, we're looking out 4 quarters or 6 quarters? Is it low 70s? I mean could it start with the 6 at the corporate level?
And I guess I'm also wondering I understand how that comes down, but what about the operating margins? Do you think you get enough operating leverage on the OpEx side to keep operating margins flat? Or do they need to come down as well?
I'll let Kirsten give you the details, but enough for me to broadly high level explain to you, Stacy. Good question, phenomenal. Is -- you don't see that impacting us right now, and we have already started that process of some systems sales. You don't see that in our numbers. But it work. And we have said that openly. The AI revenue has a lower gross margin than our -- obviously, the rest of our business including software, of course. But we expect the rate of growth of -- as we do more and more AI revenue to be so much that we get the operating leverage on our operating spending that operating margin will deliver dollars that are still high level of growth from what it has been. So we expect operating library to benefit us at the operating margin level, even as gross margin will start to deteriorate high level.
No, I think Hock said that fairly. And the second half of the year when we do start shipping more systems the situation is straightforward. We'll be passing through more components that are not ours. So think of it similar to the XPUs where we have memory on those XPUs and we're passing through those costs. We'll be passing through more cost within the rack.
And so those gross margins will be lower. However, overall, the way Hock said it, gross margin dollars will go up, margins will go down, operating margins -- because we have leverage operating margin dollars will go up, but the margin itself as a percentage of revenues will come down a bit. But we're not -- I mean, we'll guide closer to the end of the year for that.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Jim Schneider with Goldman Sachs.
Hock, I was wondering if you might care to calibrate your expectations for AI revenue in fiscal '26 a little bit more closely. I believe you talked about acceleration in fiscal '26 off of the 65% growth rate you did in fiscal '25. And then you're guiding to 100% growth for Q1. So I'm just wondering if the Q1 is a good jumping off point for the growth rate you expect for the full year or something maybe a little bit less than that?
And then maybe if you could separately clarify whether your $1 billion of orders for the fifth customer is indeed OpenAI, which you made a separate announcement about.
Wow, there's a lot of questions here. Let me start off with '26. Our backlog is very dynamic these days, as I said, it is continuing to ramp up. And you're right. We originally 6 months ago said, maybe year-on-year AI revenues would grow in '26, 60%, 70%. Q1 we double. And Q1 '26 today, we're saying it double. And we're looking at it because all the thresholds keeps coming in, and we give you a milestone of where we are today, which is $73 billion of backlog to be shipped over the next 18 months. And we do fully expect, as I answered the earlier question, for that $73 billion over the 18 months decreased growing. Now moving is a moving number as we move in time. But it will grow.
And it's hard for me to pinpoint what '26 is going to look like precisely. So I'd rather not give you guys any guidance, and that's why we don't give you guidance, but we do give it for Q1. Give it time, we'll give it for Q2. And you're right, is in -- to us, it is an accelerating trend. And my answer is likely to be an accelerating trend as we progress through '26. I hope that answers your question.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of [ Ben Reitzes ] with Melius Research.
I wanted to ask, I'm not sure if the last caller said something on it, but I didn't hear it in the answer was I wanted to ask about the OpenAI contract. It's supposed to start in the second half of the year and go through 2029 for 10 gigawatts. I'm going to assume that, that's the fifth customer order there. And I was just wondering if you're still confident in that being a driver, are there any obstacles to making that a major driver and when you expect that to contribute and your confidence in it.
You didn't hear the answer from my last caller Jim's question because I didn't answer it. I did not [indiscernible] and I'm not answering it either. It's the fifth customer, and it's a real customer and it will grow. They are on a multiyear journey to their own XPUs. And let's leave it at that.
As far as the open AI view that you have, we appreciate the fact that it is a multiyear journey that will run through '29 as our press release with OpenAI showed 10 gigawatts between '26 -- more like '27, '28, '29, Ben, not '26. It's more like '27, '28, '29, 10 gigawatts. That was the OpenAI discussion. And that's, I call an agreement and alignment of where we're headed with respect to various respective and valued customer OpenAI. But we do not expect much in '26.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of C.J. Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald. .
I guess, Hock, I wanted to talk about custom silicon and maybe speak to how you expect content to grow for Broadcom generation to generation. And as part of that, your competitor announced CPX offering, essentially accelerator for an accelerator for massive context windows. I'm curious if you see a broadening opportunity for your existing 5 customers to have multiple XPU offerings.
Thank you. No, yes, it's -- you hit it right on. I mean the nice thing about a custom accelerator is you try not to do 1 size fits all and generationally. Each of these 5 customers now can create the XPU customer accelerator for training and inference in [indiscernible] basically it's almost 2 parallel threads going on almost simultaneously for each of them. So I have had plenty of versions to deal with. I don't need to create any more version. We've got plenty of different content out there just on the basis of creating these customer accelerators.
And by the way, when you do customer accelerators, you tend to put more hard way in that unique differentiated versus trying to make it work on software and creating kernels into software. And that's very tricky too. But thinking about the difference where you can create in hardware, those [indiscernible] call data routers, versus the dense matrix multipliers, all in 1 -- same [ chip ]. And that's what many of -- just 1 example of what creating customer accelerators is letting us do. Or for that matter, a variation in how much memory capacity or memory bandwidth from -- for the same customer from chip to chip, just because even in inference, you want to do more reasoning, first decoding versus something else like [indiscernible].
So you literally start to create different hardware for different aspects of how you want to train or influence and run your workloads. It's a very fascinating area, and we are seeing a lot of variations and multiple chips for each of our customers.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Harsh Kumar with Piper Sandler.
Yes, Hock and team, first of all, congratulations on some pretty stunning numbers. I've got an easy 1 and a more strategic one. The easy 1 is, you guide in AI Hock and Kirsten is calling for almost $1.7 billion of sequential growth. I was curious maybe you can talk about the diversity of the growth between the 3 existing customers? Is it pretty well spread out, all of them growing? Or is 1 sort of driving much of the growth.
And then Hock, strategically, 1 of your competitors bought a photonic fabric company recently. I was curious about your take on that technology and if you think it's disruptive or you think it's just [indiscernible] at this point in time.
I like the way you address this question because the way that you address the question to me is almost hesitant. Thank you. I appreciate that.
But on your first part, yes, we are driving growth and begin to feel like this thing never hit and it's a real mixed bag of existing customers and on existing XPUs. And I'll be pick of it, it's XPUs that we're seeing. And that's not to slow down the fact that as I indicated in my remarks and commented on the demand for switches, not just Tomahawk 6, Tomahawk 5 switches, the demand for our latest 1.6 terabit per second DSPs that enables optical interconnects for scale out particularly, it's just very, very strong. And by extension demand for the optical components and laser [indiscernible] just going nuts. All that come together.
Now all that is small relatively lesser dollars when it comes to XPUs, as you probably guess, I mean to give you a sense, maybe let me look at it on a backlog side. Of the $73 billion of AI revenue backlog over the next 18 months, I talked about, maybe $20 billion of it is everything else. The rest is XPUs. Hope that gives you a sense of what the mix is. But the rest is still $20 billion, that's not small by any means. So we value that.
So when you talk about your next question of silicon photonics, and as a means to create basically much better, more efficient, lower power interconnects in not just scale out, but hopefully, it scale up. Yes, I could see a point in time in the future when silicon photonics methods is the only way to do it.
We're not quite there yet. But we have the technology and we continue to develop the technology, even at each time we develop it first for 400 gigabits bandwidth, going on to 800 gigabit bandwidth, not ready for it yet. And even with the product -- and we're now doing it for 1.6 terabit bandwidth to create silicon photonics switches, silicon photonics interconnects, not even sure it will get fully deployed because engineers -- our engineers, our peers and the peers we have out there was somehow trying to find a way to still do -- try to do scale up within a rack in copper as long as possible and in scale out in nonpluggable optics.
The final, final straw is when you can do it well in pluggable optics. And of course, when you can do it even in copper, then you're right, you go to [indiscernible] and it will happen, and we're ready for it, just saying not anytime soon.
One moment for our next question. That will come from the line of Karl Ackerman with BNP Paribas.
Hock, could you speak to the supply chain resiliency and visibility you have with your key material suppliers, particularly [indiscernible] as you not only support your existing customer programs but the 2 new custom compute processors that you announced in your quarter. I guess what I can get at is you also happen to address the very large subset of networking and compute AI supply chains. You talked about record backlog. If you were to pinpoint some of the bottlenecks that you have, the areas that you're aiming to address [indiscernible] from supply chain bottlenecks, what would they be? And how do you see that ameliorating into '26?
It's across the board, typically. I mean it's -- we are very fortunate in some ways that we have the product technology and the operating business lines to create multiple key leading-edge components that enables today's state of the AI data centers. I mean our DSP, as I said earlier, is now at 1.6 terabits per second. That's the leading edge connectivity for bandwidth for this -- for the top on top of the [indiscernible] XPU and even GPU. And we intend to be that way. And we have the lasers, EMLs, VCSELs, [indiscernible] that goes with it.
So it's fortunate that we have all this and the key active components that go with it. And we see it very quickly, and we expand the capacity as we do the design to match it. And long -- this is a long answer to what I'm trying to get at, which is I think we are any of these data center suppliers of the system regs, not counting the power shell and all that. Now that starts to get beyond us. On the power shell and the transformers and the gas turbines.
If you just look at the rack, the systems on AI, we probably have a good handle on where the bottlenecks are because sometimes we are part of the bottlenecks, which we then want to get it [indiscernible] to resolve. So we feel pretty good about that through 2026.
One moment for our next question. That will come from the line of Christopher Rolland with Susquehanna.
Just first, a clarification and then my question. And sorry to come back to this issue. But if I understand you correctly, Hock, I think you were saying that OpenAI would be a general agreement, so it's not binding maybe similar to the agreements with both NVIDIA and AMD.
And then secondly, you talked about flat non-AI semiconductor revenue, maybe what's going on there? Is there still an inventory overhang? And what could -- what do we need to get that going again? Do you see growth eventually in that business?
Well, on the non-AI semiconductor, we see broadband literally recovering very well. And we don't see the others -- no, we see stability. We don't see a sharp recovery that is sustainable yet. So I guess, given -- a couple more quarters. But we don't see any further deterioration in demand. And it's more, I think, maybe to -- AI is sucking the oxygen a lot out of enterprise spending elsewhere and hyperscaler spending elsewhere. We don't see getting any worse. We don't see it recovering very quickly with the exception of broadband. That's a simple summary of non-AI.
With respect to OpenAI, without diving into it, I'm just telling you on 10 gigawatt announcement is all about. Separately, the journey with them on the custom [indiscernible] progresses at a very advanced stage and will happen very, very quickly. And it's -- and it will have a committed element to this whole thing. And then we -- but what I was articulating earlier was the 10 gigawatt announcement. And that 10 gigawatt announcement is an agreement to be aligned on developing 10 gigawatts for OpenAI over '27 to '29 time frame. That's different from the XPU program we're developing with them.
And we do have time for one final question, and that will come from the line of Joe Moore with Morgan Stanley.
Great. So if you have $21 billion of rack revenue in the second half of '26, I guess do we stay at that run rate beyond that? Are you going to continue to sell racks? Or does that sort of that type of business mix shift over time? And I'm really just trying to figure out the percentage of your 18-month backlog that's actually full systems at this point.
Well, it's an interesting question. And on that question basically comes to how much compute capacity is needed by our customers over the next, as I say, over the period beyond 18 months. And your guess is probably as good as mine based on what we all know out there, which is really what they relate to. But if they need more, then you see that continuing even larger. If they don't need it, then probably it won't. But as of -- what we are trying to indicate is that the demand we are seeing over that period of time right now.
I would now like to turn the call back over to Ji Yoo for any closing remarks.
Thank you, operator. This quarter, Broadcom will be presenting at the New Street Research Virtual AI Big Ideas Conference on Monday, December 15, 2025. Broadcom currently plans to report its earnings for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026 after close of market on Wednesday, March 4, 2026. A public webcast of Broadcom's earnings conference call will follow at 2:00 p.m. Pacific.
That will conclude our earnings call today. Thank you all for joining. Operator, you may end the call.
This concludes today's program. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Broadcom — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Broadcom — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $18,0 Mrd (+28% YoY).
- AI‑Halbleiter: $6,5 Mrd im Quartal (+74% YoY), Treiber des Segmentwachstums.
- Adjusted EBITDA: $12,2 Mrd (68% vom Umsatz; +34% YoY).
- Bruttomarge: 77,9% (besser als Guidance).
- AI‑Backlog: $73 Mrd AI‑Bestellungen (Teil des Gesamtbacklogs $162 Mrd); Free Cash Flow Q4 $7,5 Mrd (41% des Umsatzes).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- KI als Motor: Management sieht beschleunigtes KI‑Spending 2026; AI‑Umsatz soll weiter stark wachsen und dominiert das Wachstum.
- System‑/Rack‑Verkäufe: Verkauf zunehmend als komplette Systeme mit Pass‑Through‑Komponenten; sorgt für höheren Umsatz, aber tendenziell niedrigere Bruttomargen.
- Kapazität & Packaging: Ausbau einer Advanced‑Packaging‑Anlage in Singapur, um Lieferkettenrisiken zu mindern und Packaging‑Kapazität zu sichern.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q1‑Guidance: Umsatz ~ $19,1 Mrd (+28% YoY); Semiconductor ~$12,3 Mrd (+50% YoY) inkl. AI‑Halbleiter ~$8,2 Mrd (~+100% YoY); Infrastructure Software ~$6,8 Mrd (+2% YoY).
- Margen & Steuern: Q1 adjusted EBITDA ~67%; konsolidierte Bruttomarge ca. −100 Basispunkte seq.; Non‑GAAP Steuerquote steigt auf ~16,5% durch globalen Mindeststeuersatz/geografische Mix.
- Risiken: Umsetzung hängt von Lieferketten, Packaging‑Kapazität und Erhalt von Content bei großen Kunden ab.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Kunden‑Tooling: Diskussion, ob hyperscaler eigene XPUs bauen; Management sieht Kunden‑Custom‑Silicon als Mehrjahres‑Journey, erwartet kein massives Verdrängungsszenario.
- Lieferkette: Nachfrage nach 2nm/3nm, HBM, Packaging; Singapur‑Facility soll Engpässe im Packaging mildern, Silizium‑Kapazität bleibt kritisch.
- OpenAI & Backlog: Fifth‑customer‑Order bestätigt, Details (z.B. OpenAI) wurden nicht vollständig offengelegt; nennenswerte Beiträge von manchen Vereinbarungen erst 2027–2029 erwartet.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Sehr starkes Quartal und hohe Cash‑Generierung; AI‑Momentum erhöht Wachstumsperspektive und rechtfertigt Dividendenerhöhung + Weiterführung von Aktienrückkäufen. Anleger sollten jedoch die Margenwirkung von Systemverkäufen, die Ausführung bei Packaging/Wafer‑Kapazität und Kundenkonzentration eng verfolgen.
Broadcom — Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Okay. Good afternoon, everybody. Welcome to the Goldman Sachs Communacopia and Technology Conference. I'm Jim Schneider, the Semiconductor analyst here at Goldman Sachs. It's my real distinct pleasure to welcome Broadcom and CEO, Hock Tan, on the stage today. Welcome, Hock.
Thank you.
Thanks for being here. I think it's fair to say that your business portfolio has really evolved radically over the past several years. Company is much bigger today, partly because the software business is much bigger due to VMware, but also really just the Semiconductor business is so much bigger now due to AI. If you just sort of step back and think about the top 2 or 3 priorities for Broadcom over the next few years, what are they? And then if we sit down here again in 5 years, what do you think is going to be the one thing that surprises investors the most?
Well, I'm not sure what will surprise you guys the most, but I'll answer that first part. Right now, front and center for us as we see it, is this huge opportunity in AI, in AI compute to be precise. I mean, we are seeing very, very interesting, very, very strong demand for AI compute. And we are driving the business model. We're driving resources of this company to addressing the specific needs from, to be honest, a very narrow group of customers.
If you think philosophically about AI for a second, maybe help us understand your vision personally for where AI is going as a technology. Why does the world need AI? How useful do you think it's going to be? Is it going to live up the amount of investment that the investment community is putting into it today?
I hate this question you know, na? Because I'm not like that. I'm not a cheerleader. I try not to be anyway. It's hard not to hear. No with -- I think AI is here at least to stay for a while because I think we have discovered what AI could do. It's this huge sophisticated algorithms that enables us based on history to so impressively predict what would happen next. [ I thought on -- I look at AI as, ] even generative AI, now many of you probably say it's more than that, but it is pretty good.
And because of that, it's a great tool to be used to basically make us feel more intelligent and probably it does. But where we are, coming back to your first question on Broadcom is, we're very -- the key part, a lot of all this is we're not writing the algorithms to create the LLMs. We make no to such pretrained model that does it. What we're doing is we enable it because you can write and create the best algorithms in the world, and they exist today and they keep improving. But if you don't have the ability to create compute, to manifest it as compute, all of it is just nice equations and algorithms on whiteboard is not practical.
So -- and the manifestation of it is that compute, which is where our know-how in semiconductors, especially in being able to create a very effective compute vehicle, compute engine is what makes the difference. And that underpins where we are. And what we're seeing for the next 3 years is accelerating demand for that compute capacity. In that narrow group of customers, we focus our attention on, Jim, is those guys trying to creating those LLMs out there. In many ways, this LLM is another term for these people -- these players trying to create super intelligence and by so doing it, over time, create the new platforms of tomorrow.
Yes. Are there any use cases for AI that excite you most personally in terms of utility, monetization or otherwise?
It's great for you to be able to create a nice poem for my wife. I'm sure it does for you, too. That's a use case that excite me.
Excellent. Maybe you want to turn it back to Broadcom's business for a second, but maybe if there's a...
I told you I hate this kind of question.
Let's talk about your business. You just guided your fiscal '26 AI revenue to grow on, previously in the 60% range. On the earnings call last week, you had -- you announced that you expect this growth to accelerate materially as now you've converted another customer who's focused on inference. Maybe help us understand the broader trend you're seeing among customers here. Is the demand intensity higher for inference or for training right now?
Well, I think, it's hard to take a snapshot at any point and say it is. I think what we see here among the seven "players that we have." We consider both customers and others that consider prospects. One thing I see in common is they are the ones investing to create best LLMs out there. And it's a constant road map. It's a constant journey for them. And that creation of intelligence improvement comes only from creating better LLMs, which comes from research in training.
Training, create the intelligence, inference, monetize the intelligence. So you tell me which happens more. It's a function, I think, at that point in time when one of those players we engage with decide, "Hey, it's time to create -- scale to create monetization." So they're going to inference. Otherwise, if you're just going for super intelligence, just focus on research, that's training. And I think both happens. And both are at very high level of investment usage at this point.
You mean -- give us a sense for 2026, how big is the acceleration beyond the 60% you've already called for? And more importantly, do you think that growth rate is even faster in '27 for you?
I'd rather not talk about '26, '27 because I don't give that guidance. Just to give you a sense, yes, we did indicate 60%, '26 growth rate, which was the growth rate of '25. It looks like we're accelerating beyond that in '26. We put a milestone. We gave you a little clues all over the place just to confuse you. But we gave you a milestone that says -- and that was done about a year ago, earnings call, that we see a served available market, available market, not a forecast of $60 billion to $90 billion. Remember that, right?
So now you ask me this question. Let me throw you something that might -- I mean you think about. As you know, I signed up for an extension of my contract to 2030. With this extension, of course, I get some incentives. One of that incentives that tied to it is tied to -- so you guys know AI revenue for Broadcom, very simple. And I need to hit to achieve max on my incentive for 2030, 5 years from now, give you a sense, AI revenue of exceeding $120 billion, okay? Today, '25, our AI revenue is $20 billion. But that gives you a sense of our belief how strong the demand for compute is in this race towards AI, generative AI, super intelligence.
That's a good CAGR, Hock.
Well, that is a question whether you get there.
Very good. It's great to hear that -- the detail. Just one last question on this AI revenue piece. You've talked previously about your three existing customers. You've added a fourth, and you've talked about three additional prospects you have in the pipeline. Maybe just kind of give us a sense about, do you see a universe of potential customers outside those four plus three prospects? Or is it pretty much those seven is what you see as the potential opportunity?
For Broadcom, we're driving a business model just on those guys. These are guys who are creating those LLMs and who knows how long these guys will survive, whether they will go through the whole race. But what we see now is about seven guys doing it. And beyond that, we do not see those as our market at all.
Okay. Fair enough. Maybe just go a little deeper on some of the customer side of things. I think in the past, you said that you view companies that have their own LLM capabilities to be the most valid important customer prospects. Separately, I think you've also said that you want to pursue largest volume opportunities available in the market. So maybe give us -- investors a sense of how do you diligence the different customer prospects? Can you discriminate customers between ones that have promise and the ones that are a little bit less interesting to you? How do you make that determination?
I think we kind of made it simple now these days. Those customers who are doing -- really doing LLMs, that's our customer. That's it. We'll stop looking at whether they're big or small.
Okay. I think it's easy. Relative to competitive landscape, I think, the conventional wisdom out there in the investment community is probably that custom ASICs are good for internal workloads and merchant GPUs are more broad-based, and they're good for more of the external workloads as well as internal workloads. I think we've seen more than a few headlines of the advantage of one of your largest customers on the custom ASIC side and what's happening there.
So I'm kind of curious, do you see that conventional wisdom shifting at all? Or do you see it changing? Do you see a point in time where enterprises are going to have more software capabilities and actually are able to use ASICs to some of the major CSPs?
I don't think we look at it that way. And to answer your question, I don't think enterprises, at least in the foreseeable future would ever want to consider developing the core technology for them to enable AI computing. Rather, the way we have looked at this market consistently is really in generative AI that we see today, it's two broad simple segments. There's one segment, as I mentioned, of these few players and some of them are hyperscalers, some of them are not. They're just, for one of a better word, super start-ups in AI. I know some of you call them as labs, perhaps it is.
These are the guys who are really making that investment in LLMs, which entail huge amount of R&D, particularly in respect to training, which is just -- not just creating that algorithms to create those LLMs and make it work, but to also create the ability and spend on the ability to train huge amounts of data to improve on their journey towards super intelligence as we -- for one of a better word. That's one category.
And then we have a second category of customers who are almost like the rest of us. I call it enterprise. They probably include sovereign. They include public cloud guys. But at the end of the day, they go back to enterprise out there. There's thousands and thousands of companies out there who are looking at AI as a very interesting tool to improve the way they run their business to basically achieve mostly productivity gains, which is truly -- and trying to find use case for it and doubling most of them POCs right now on AI tools and trying to run AI and whether they get that ability through renting GPUs or buying some and running on-prem, these are that category.
And that category of market are largely inference, truly inference. They talk about training. It's limited. Post training, perhaps, test time scaling, but it's all inference. It's looking for use case and trying to get a return on investment, mostly on productivity. And these guys are going to stay largely on merchant silicon, merchant GPU because they're not going to create XPUs, write software stacks to make it work and figure out all these things, who cares? All they want is get their models running and a return on investment.
These guys, I do not see, at least in the near term, ever going beyond merchant GPU. There's 10,000 of them perhaps today, each spending $10 million a year, maybe more. That's a big size, $100 billion market. In contrast, we see these few guys creating LLM, very few. But they are able to spend today some $30 billion a year on AI compute. So you have $100 billion here and you're maybe $100 billion, $200 billion there. We focus on one market, and they're very distinct from the other market.
Very fair. And then also serving the custom compute segment. Can you maybe talk about how you add value there and the defensibility of your position? In other words, talk about some of the core IP that you add or you augment your customers' design with the value you provide through the manufacturing process. But to the point, when investors ask what -- how defensible is your position? And are you at risk of your customers, your biggest customers going straight to a foundry with their solution? How do you answer that?
It's the same way why we are -- where we are in the Semiconductor business over the years. It's engineering. It's deep engineering, advanced engineering IP, especially in the semiconductor space, some part of it in the software space. It's about having a lot more intellectual property in creating your chips at the end of the day, but it's even beyond that. Thanks for that question. People think about AI compute as the GPU or the XPU, which is what we call the actual multiplier engine that's used to do matrix multiplication and regression.
But it's much more than that because, as you know, each single GPU or XPU, no matter how powerful we all make it. And we can make them very powerful by cramming more and more multipliers, [indiscernible] multipliers into this 800 square millimeter piece of silicon. And you do that by going deeper and deeper submicron process technology so you can cram more and go even one step further by then -- instead of making it one die in one package or chip, you do multi-dies. We have reached a point where the latest product we're doing, we have actually three dies in one package. That's how much we have crammed in.
So we can make this GPU or XPU in our case, super, super good in doing this multiplication and matrix regression. But that's not enough. You don't create train -- you are not able to do this generative AI training of this huge database to create this billion, billion parameters models with one single GPU or XPU, no matter how hard you try. You need to create a cluster of them.
And the more complex your LLM becomes, the larger your clusters have to be. Then you face yourself a totally different problem. How do you create all this matrix multiplication across, say, 100,000 of the GPU simultaneously. And then you go to 1 million. That's even a bigger headache. That's one of the -- that is, in fact, I consider the biggest technology challenge in computing on generative AI as you progress your models higher. And that comes in the other aspect, networking. How do you connect them? How do you have the bandwidth to connect them? How do you schedule the workloads, orchestrate it so that they can all run in parallel. This is more so as much software as the networking side, which is hardware.
I think this is one of the biggest challenge towards progression, making massive progress on being able to create super intelligence. How do you get these huge workloads that you're supposed to run on these huge models and be able to train a huge amount of data on a 1 million GPU or XPU simultaneously and converge on a solution. And that's part of it is slowly coming to a surface that is networking, that might be the biggest problem because in generative AI, I said that before, I'll say it again, the network becomes the computer, not any single GPU or XPU.
We all tend to focus on that. It's way beyond that. Developing XPU, GPU and when trying to come up, it's hard, a lot of intellectual property required, but truly, it's easier than doing the networking. That's where the challenge starts. And yes, that's how we differentiate ourselves. We come up with a better mousetrap, better technology and just outrun the competition, no different than what we're doing in all other areas in semiconductors where we have been very successful.
Yes. And that's a perfect segue into the next question I am going to ask about networking because clearly, that's a mainstay franchise for the company historically. Talk about -- I think you've previously talked about in these AI networks, I think you said scale-up opportunity is about 5 to 10x larger in content relative to scale out. How do you think about the adoption curve for Ethernet and scale up? And just sort of talk about your sort of overall product portfolio and how it gets there?
Ethernet is going to happen inevitably because you don't want to have to create new protocols, which are closed protocols for -- to replace something that is frankly available, tested, proven for the last 20, 30 years and where most of the operators, designers with the hyperscalers who are the leaders in developing are very familiar with. It is and it comes to a bigger picture of what you -- where you're getting at is disaggregation. There's more with XPUs. We are in Broadcom in a way, disaggregating the XPU or GPU from the networking side. That's a choice.
You can choose to have whatever GPU, XPU you prefer and you can choose whatever networking switching you prefer. And that disaggregation is eventually going to optimize by being able to pick the best of breed of each, your ability to do generative AI computing and leads to eventually best performance in reaching the LLMs outcomes that you want to drive to. It's less a platform. It's really about disaggregating, which is exactly what hyperscalers have when they create cloud computing, public cloud computing, reach -- achieve towards that direction.
They disaggregate hardware, software, CPU from networking, everything. I think you will see in generative AI, that's the path is headed now on those platform LLM guys I talked about. When it comes to enterprise, however, I think it's still very OEM-based simply because the enterprise don't have the interest nor capability to create that need to disaggregate and optimize. The footprint are not big enough. But those guys doing the LLM, those few guys I talked about, for us, we're dealing with seven. They will disaggregate, they will optimize.
And then if you think about your outlook for the Networking business, obviously, some -- however much AI grows, how do you think about the networking business tracking that envelope faster, slower, the same?
I tend to think it will -- a lot of that will be tied again back to that narrow group of customers. We talk about the big hyperscalers and those super startups. And the growth will gross from no other reason than it's a move to Ethernet, which is one thing. But more than that, that the ability as you go to larger and larger clusters, the importance of scaling up within a rack becomes super important.
And when you do that level of scale up within rack for AI, generative AI computing, this is where the matrix multiplication truly happens in your model, you're talking about massive bandwidth. You're talking of bandwidth now soon that will go to -- and this is about not just GPU to GPU, XPU to XPU connection, you're talking about memory sharing across GPU. And you know how much memory these GPUs have. So you really want to have a bandwidth that goes to 100 terabit per second and not stick at the 28 we are seeing today in the copper racks that is you want to go optical. You want to be able to connect not just 72 GPUs to each other. You want to connect 512, even to 1,024 XPUs to XPUs.
That's the scale you want to drive through, the bandwidth you want to drive through which will create very much faster convergence to the solution -- to the training solution outcome you're looking for. That's the road map we're driving towards. And we're not talking years away. We're talking like within the next year or 2, '26, '27, that will start to happen. The product is out there, and the technology is available. It's a question of the deployment at this point.
Very good. One question I get a lot of times is on the Co-Packaged Optics and their role in the industry going forward. Maybe how ready is that technology, in your opinion, for mainstream deployment or large customer deployment? And how do you think the adoption curve is going to go for CPO?
I love to hype you guys on things. The latest is Co-Packaged Optics. It's just optics, okay? I don't know why you need to call it Co-Packaged Optics, except it's silicon photonics. Now the world is still getting ready for silicon photonics. A big part of the reason is what I said earlier, when you do scaling up to a scale larger and larger because the clusters get bigger and bigger and you're an LLM player, so you do that.
If you're not an LLM player, you're a little enterprise and you just run one rack or maybe no more than 36 GPUs, you don't need any of that. Run direct attach copper, you're done. So these big LLM guys trying to run 100,000, 200,000, 500,000 XPU or GPU. Then you want, as I said earlier, scaling up in a rack, you want to make it optical because by doing it optical, you can connect directly 512 compute nodes, XPU or GPU to each other, much better than anything else you can do.
And potentially, you go one step further on bandwidth at your -- [ direct ] power switch, you can go to 1024, but that's optics, moving away from the copper we are seeing today. Now copper will still be around 2026 mostly. But by 2027, it's all going to be optical. Then people talk about what optical solution do you need? So people talk about, "Hey, one thought is called silicon photonics." And one manifestation of that is Co-Packaged Optics, where you integrate the active components in a fiber optic interconnect into the silicon, whether it's a GPU silicon or the switch silicon, you do both. That's called co-package opting. And that's a dream.
This is really a good dream because you reduce power, we know by 40%, you do it. All that is great. And we -- and at Broadcom, we already have the technology done 3 years ago. The issue is this optics, typically optical interconnect because it's a lot mechanical, have anywhere from 5% to 8% failure rate. So when you have pluggable optics that you guys hear about, when it fails, you just unplug it and put in a new one, pluggable.
When you do co-package optics or silicon photonics, you integrate your GPU, that expensive $40,000 GPU into the optics that fails at 5%, 8%, you got a problem. So the question is, which we have been studying, when you create silicon photonics, does the integrated solution have the failure characteristic of silicon, which is like 0.1% barely or optics, which is 5% to 8%. That data, we're still collecting. And we have been collecting for the last 2, 3 years. I'd like to believe it will have the characteristics of silicon rather than optics. But again, as we test through it, we'll figure it out. So I'm sorry, long answer to your short question.
No, it's quite okay, quite okay. And then finally, I think you talked about competitively, your belief is that Ethernet is going to win in the end. Maybe talk about over what time frame you think that occurs? And just kind of like any of the factors that would slow that down from happening?
The easiest answer is as among the few hyperscalers we deal with, the ones who are doing LLMs, they are the ones who are also seeing that it's an existential need to create their own custom accelerators, the XPUs. As they replace -- as they start to deploy XPU in a steady, progressive manner like all things over the next 5 years, you'll see Ethernet come into play. So there's a direct correlation back to disaggregation, the disaggregation out of integrated platform [racks ] to one that's more disaggregated with XPUs and Ethernet switching, interconnects, one that is kind of more optimized for the other.
Yes. I'd be remiss if I didn't touch on your software portfolio for a moment...
I knew you were getting to that.
Maybe just talk broadly. I mean you've obviously done a great job of acquiring companies in the enterprise, where you have very sticky customer bases, very -- driving very high margins over time for that business. Maybe talk about sort of the durability of your software franchise as you see it, whether it be in VMware or all the products you've had up until now on the existing business? And then maybe just kind of address your appetite for M&A in the software space? Or are you 100% focused on the AI opportunity at this point?
I love the Software business we have acquired because we are very careful what we buy. And the whole game and the whole thing in software is you hit it right on, durability, sustainability. And the key thing to it is you have to invest. Unlike what you may think, we actually invest a lot in the software we have. If nothing else, to make it be better for the customers who are using it. And not only that, proper investing in the technology to make it better, you invest in support.
Enterprises will always break software. When they do, you want to make it very resilient so that they can get it back up fast. So support is important. And that's why we make a lot of investment that in services and support and keeping it durable. If you do that, we accept the fact that we don't need our Software business to grow dramatically, just sustain and grow single digits. Just by doing that and not trying to just push to grow, you make very good margin. And you've seen that in the way we announced it, very good profitable margin, but a stable kind of business.
And here's the funny part about answering your first part of it, non-AI and software, great businesses of ours contribute a big part of our revenue and earnings. But in a matter of a few years, my AI revenue will exceed a combination of both. [ It isn't ] a really a matter of 1 or 2 years, it will exceed.
So from our viewpoint, with this big opportunity and the dramatic growth I have indicated that we are going through, we're kind of looking at it and say, you don't need to buy anything else, you don't need to invest in anything else to accrete to your revenue nor earnings. Just keep investing in AI. And our view for the next few years, that's where we are.
That's a great place to end it. Thank you very much, Hock, for being here. We really appreciate it.
Thank you.
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Broadcom — Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2025
Broadcom — Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference 2025
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Fokus: Broadcom setzt primär auf AI (künstliche Intelligenz) Compute für wenige große LLM (Large Language Model)-Player; Networking wird als zentrale Differenzierung („das Netzwerk wird der Computer“) positioniert.
- Auswirkung: Management erwartet deutlich beschleunigtes AI‑Wachstum in den nächsten Jahren und sieht Software als stabilen Cash‑Treiber, nicht als Hauptwachstumstreiber.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Kundenfokus: Konzentration auf ~7 Firmen, die LLMs bauen; Broadcom bedient bewusst nur diese enge Kundengruppe.
- Netzwerk‑Differenz: Skalierung (Scale‑up) und hohe Bandbreite/Optik (Ethernet, Co‑Packaged Optics) als Schlüssel für massive Cluster; Netzwerk‑IP plus Orchestrierungssoftware als Wettbewerbsvorteil.
- Softwarestrategie: Gekaufte Enterprise‑Software bleibt defensiv: nachhaltig, margenstark, geringe M&A‑Ambition zugunsten AI‑Investitionen.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Customer‑Update: Broadcom nennt inzwischen vier verpflichtete Kunden plus drei weitere Prospects — Zielmarkt bleibt ein enger Kreis (~7).
- Quantifizierung: AI‑Umsatz 2025 ca. $20 Mrd.; Ziel (Anreizgebunden): >$120 Mrd. AI‑Umsatz bis 2030 — signalisiert sehr hohe interne Wachstumserwartung.
- Timing: Migration zu optischen Lösungen erwartet — Kupfer dominiert 2026, breitere Optik‑Adoption 2027; Scale‑up‑Bandbreiten (100Tb/s) innerhalb 1–2 Jahren adressierbar.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Training vs Inference: Management betont, beide laufen simultan; Training treibt Forschung, Inference die Monetarisierung — Nachfrage verschiebt sich kundengetrieben.
- Defensibilität: Hock Tan nennt tiefe IP in SoC‑Design, Packaging, Networking und Software; beantwortet Abwanderungsrisiko zu Foundries mit Fokus auf Engineering‑Vorsprung.
- CPO‑Reife: Diskutiert technische Vorteile, nennt aber Zuverlässigkeits‑Bedenken (optische vs. silikon‑typische Ausfallraten) — Data noch in Erhebung.
- Was vermieden wurde: Konkrete Guidance für FY‑2026/27 blieb aus; Management gab keine präzisen Wachstumsraten über die bereits kommunizierten Hinweise hinaus.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Sehr bullishes strategisches Bild: starke Stellung in AI‑Compute und Networking mit hoher Upside, aber hohe Kundenkonzentration und Ausführungsrisiken (Packaging, Optik, Infrastruktur) bleiben kritische Beobachtungspunkte.
Broadcom — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Broadcom Inc.'s Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Ji Yoo, Head of Investor Relations of Broadcom Inc. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Sheri, and good afternoon, everyone. Joining me on today's call are Hock Tan, President and CEO; Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer; and Charlie Kawwas, President, Semiconductor Solutions Group.
Broadcom distributed a press release and financial tables after the market closed, describing our financial performance for third quarter of fiscal year 2025. If you did not receive a copy, you may obtain the information from the Investors section of Broadcom's website at broadcom.com. This conference call is being webcasted live and an audio replay of the call can be accessed for 1 year through the Investors section com's website.
During the prepared comments, Hock and Kirsten will be providing details of our third quarter fiscal year 2025 results, for our fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 as well as commentary regarding the business environment. We'll take questions after the end of our paired comments. Please refer to our press release today in our recent filings with the SEC for information on the specific factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements made on this call.
In addition to U.S. GAAP reporting, Broadcom reports certain financial measures on a non-GAAP basis. A reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP measures is included in the tables attached to today's press release. Comments made during today will primarily refer to our non-GAAP financial results.
I will now turn the call over to Hock.
Thank you, Ji. And thank you, everyone, for joining us today. In our fiscal Q3 2025, total revenue was a record $16 billion up 22% year-on-year. Our revenue growth was driven by better-than-expected strength in AI semiconductors and our continued growth in VMware. Q3 consolidated adjusted EBITDA was a record $10.7 billion, up 30% year-on-year. Now looking beyond what we are just reporting this quarter, with robust demand from AI, bookings were extremely strong.
And our current consolidated backlog for the company hit a record $110 billion. Q3 semiconductor revenue was $9.2 billion as year-on-year growth accelerated to 26% year-on-year. And this accelerated growth was driven by AI semiconductor revenue of $5.2 billion, which is up 63% year-on-year and extend the trajectory of robust growth to 10 consecutive quarters. Now let me give you more color on our XPU business which accelerated to 65% of our AI revenue this quarter.
Demand for custom AI accelerators from our 3 customers continue to grow as each of them journeys at their own pace towards compute self-sufficiency. And progressively, we continue to gain share with these customers. Now further to these 3 customers, as we had previously mentioned, we have been working with other prospects on their own AI accelerators. Last quarter, one of these prospects release production orders to Broadcom. And we have accordingly characterized them as a qualified customer for XPUs. And, in fact, has secured over $10 billion of orders of AI regs based on our XPUs. And reflecting this, we now expect the outlook for fiscal 2026 AI revenue to improve significantly from what we had indicated last quarter.
Turn to AI networking. Demand continued to be strong because networking is becoming critical as LLM continue to evolve in intelligence, computer classes who grow bigger. The network is the computer, and our customers are facing challenges as they scale to classes beyond compute nodes. For instance, Scale Up, which we all know about, is a difficult challenge when trying to create substantial bandwidth to share memory across multiple GPUs or XPUs within rate. Today's AI rate scales up a mere 72 GPUs at 28.8 terabytes second bandwidth using a proprietary MVLink.
On the other hand, earlier this year, we have launched Tomahawk 5, we've opened AI with open Ethernet, sorry, which can scale up 512 compute nodes for customers using XPUs. Moving on to scaling out across rigs. Today, the current architecture using 51.2 terabit per second requires 3 tiers of networking switches. In June, we launched Tomahawk 6 and our Ethernet-based 102 terabit per second switch, which flattens the network to 2 tiers. Resulting in lower latency, much less power. And when you scale the clusters beyond a single data center footprint, you now need to scale computing across data centers. And over the past 2 years, we have deployed our Jericho3 Ethernet router with hyperscale customers to just do this. And today, we have launched our next-generation Jericho4 Ethernet fabric routed with 51.2 terabit per second deep offering intelligent congestion control to handle classes beyond 200,000 compute nodes crossing multiple data centers. We know the biggest challenge to deploying larger clusters of compute for generative AI will be in networking.
And for the past 20 years, Broadcom has developed for Ethernet networking is entirely applicable to the challenges of Scale Up, scale out and scale across in generative AI. And turning to our forecast. As I mentioned earlier, we continue to make steady progress in growing our AI revenue. For Q4 2025, we forecast AI semiconductor revenue to be approximately $6.2 billion up 66% year-on-year.
Now turning to non-AI semiconductors. Demand continues to be slow to recover. In Q3, revenue of $4 billion was -- fed sequentially. While broadband showed strong sequential growth, enterprise networking and service storage were down sequentially. Wireless and industrial were flat quarter-on-quarter as we -- in contrast, in Q4, driven by seasonality, we forecast non-AI semiconductor revenue to grow low double digits sequentially and to approximately $4.6 billion. Broadband, service storage and wireless are expected to improve, while enterprise working remains down quarter-on.
Now let me talk about our infrastructure software segment. Q3 Infrastructure software revenue of $6.8 billion was up 17% year-on-year, above our outlook of $6.7 billion as bookings continued to be strong during the quarter. We booked in fact, total contract value over $8.4 billion during Q3.
But here is what I'm most excited about. After 2 years of engineering development by over 5,000 developers, we delivered on a promise when we acquired VMware. We released VMWare Cloud Foundation version 9.0 a fully integrated cloud platform, which can be deployed by enterprise customers on-prem or carry to the cloud. It enables enterprises to run any application workloads, including AI workloads on virtual machines and on modern containers. These provides the real alternative to public cloud.
In Q4, we expect infrastructure and software revenue to be approximately $6.7 billion, up 15% year-on-year. And in summary, continued strength in AI and VMware will drive our guidance for Q4 consolidated revenue to approximately $17.4 billion. up 24% year-on-year, and we expect Q4 adjusted EBITDA to be 67% of revenue.
And with that, let me turn the call over to Kirsten.
Thank you, Hock. Let me now provide additional detail on our Q3 financial performance. Consolidated revenue was a record $16 billion for the quarter, up 22% from a year ago. Gross margin was 78.4% of revenue in the quarter better than we originally guided on higher software revenues and product mix within semiconductors.
Consolidated operating expenses were $2 billion, of which $1.5 billion was research and development. Q3 operating income was a record $10.5 billion, up 32% from a year ago. On a sequential basis, even as gross margin was down 100 basis points on revenue mix. Operating margin increased 20 basis points sequentially to 65.5% on operating leverage. Adjusted EBITDA of $10.7 billion or 67% of revenue was above our guidance of 66%. This figure excludes $142 million of depreciation.
Now a review of the P&L for 2 segments, starting with semiconductors. Revenue for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was $9.2 billion, with growth accelerating to 26% year-on-year driven by AI. Semiconductor revenue represented 57% of total revenue in the quarter. Gross margin for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was approximately 67%, down 30 basis points year-on-year on product mix. Operating expenses increased 9% year-on-year to $951 million on increased investment in R&D for [ Ledge ] AI semiconductors. Semiconductor operating margin of 57% was up 130 basis points year-on-year and flat sequentially.
Now moving on to infrastructure software. Revenue for infrastructure software of $6.8 billion was up 17% year-on-year and represented 43% of revenue. Gross margin for infrastructure software was 93% in the quarter compared to 90% a year ago. Operating expenses were $1.1 billion in the quarter, resulting in infrastructure software operating margin of approximately 77%. This compares to operating margin of 67% a year ago, reflecting the completion of the integration of VMware.
Moving on to cash flow. Free cash flow in the quarter was $7 billion and represented 44% of revenue, we spent $142 million on capital expenditures. Day sales outstanding were 37 days in the third quarter compared to 32 days a year ago. We ended the third quarter with inventory of $2.2 billion, up 8% sequentially in anticipation of revenue growth next quarter. Our days of inventory on hand were 66 days in Q3 compared to 69 days in Q2 as we remain disciplined on how -- inventory the ecosystem.
The third quarter within $10.7 billion of cash and $66.3 billion of gross principal debt. The weighted average couponing and years to maturity of our $65.8 billion in fixed debt is 3.9% and 6.9 years, respectively. The weighted average interest rate and years to maturity of our $500 million at floating rate, debt is [ 4.7% ] and 0.2 years, respectively.
Turning to capital allocation. In Q3, we paid stockholders $2.8 billion of cash dividends based on a quarterly common stock cash dividend of $0.59 per share. In Q4, we expect the non-GAAP diluted share count to be approximately 4.97 billion shares excluding the potential impact of any share repurchases. Now moving to guidance. Our guidance for Q4 is for consolidated revenue of $17.4 billion, up 24% year-on-year. We forecast semiconductor revenue of approximately $10.7 billion, up 30% year-on-year. Within this, we expect Q4 AI semiconductor revenue of $6.2 billion, up 66% year-on-year. We expect infrastructure software revenue of approximately $6.7 billion, up 15% year-on-year.
For your modeling purposes, we expect Q4 consolidated gross margin to be down approximately 70 basis points sequentially, primarily reflecting a higher mix of XPUs and also wireless revenue. As a reminder, consolidated gross margins through the year will be impacted by the revenue mix of infrastructure software and semiconductors and product mix within semiconductors. We expect Q4 adjusted EBITDA to be 67%. We expect the non-GAAP tax rate for Q4 and fiscal year 2025 to remain at 14%.
I will now pass the call back to Hock for some more exciting news.
I don't know but exciting, Kirsten, but I do. I thought before we move to questions, I should share an update. The Board and I have agreed that I will continue as the CEO of Broadcom through 2030 at least. These are exciting times for Broadcom and I'm very enthusiastic to continue to drive value for our shareholders.
Operator, please open up the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions]. And our first question will come from the line of Ross Seymore with Deutsche Bank.
2. Question Answer
Thank you for sticking around for a few more years. So I just wanted to talk about the AI business and specifically the XPU. When you said you're going to grow significantly faster than what you had thought a quarter ago, what's changed? Is it just the impressive prospect moving to a customer definition. So that $10 billion backlog that you mentioned? Or is it stronger demand across the existing 3 customers? Any detail on that would be helpful.
I think it's both, Ross. But to a large extent, is the fourth customer that we now add on to our roster, which we will ship pretty strongly in 2026, beginning of 2026, I should say. So a combination of increasing volumes from existing 3 customers and we moved through that very progressively and steadily and the addition of a fourth customer with immediate and fairly substantial demand really put our really changes our thinking of what '26 would be starting to look like. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions]. That will come from the line of Harlan Sur with JPMorgan.
Good afternoon. Congratulations on the well executed quarter and strong free cash flow. I know everybody is going to ask a lot of questions on AI, Hock. I'm going to ask about the non-AI saving business. If I look at your guidance for Q4, it looks like the non-AI sing business is going to be down about 7%, 8% year-over-year in fiscal '25, if you hit the midpoint of the Q4 guidance.
Good news, the negative year-over-year trends have been improving through year. In fact, I think you guys are going to be positive year-over-year in the fourth quarter. You characterized it as relatively close to the cyclical bottom, relatively slow to recover. However, we have seen some green shoots of positivity, right, broadband, server storage and enterprise networking, you're still driving the DOCSIS upgrade in broadband cable. You've got on upgrades in China and the U.S. in front of you, enterprise spending on network upgrades is accelerating. So near term, from the cyclical bottom, how should we think about the magnitude of the cyclical upturn. And given your 30- to 40-week lead times, are you seeing continued order improvements in the non-AI segment, which would point you to continued cyclical recovery into next fiscal year?
Well, if you take a look at that non-AI segment, I mean you're right, from a year-on-year Q4 guidance, we are actually up, as I say, slightly couple 1% or 2% from a year ago. It's not much really to shout about at this point. And the big issue is the puts and takes and the put and takes and the bottom of all this is other than seasonality that we perceive, if you look at the short term, without looking year-on-year by looking sequentially, we see in things like wireless and we even start to see some seasonality in server storage these days. We don't -- it kind of all washes out so far.
The only consistent trend we've seen over the last 3 quarters that is moving up strongly is broadband. And nothing else, if you look at it from a cyclical point of view, seems to be able to sustain an uptrend so far. I don't think it's -- but as a whole, they are not getting worse, as you pointed out, Harlan, but they are not showing a V-shaped recovery as a whole, that we would like to see and expect to see in cyclical semiconductor cycles. The only thing that gives us some hope is broadband at this point, and it is recovering very strongly. But then it was a business that was most impacted in the short downturn of '24 and early '25. So again, one take that with a grain of salt.
But the answer to you for you is non-AI semiconductor is kind of slow to recover, as I said. And Q4 year-on-year is maybe low single digit is the best way to describe it at this point. So I'm expecting to see more of a U-shaped recovery in non-AI, and perhaps by late mid '26, late '26, we'll start to see some meaningful recovery. But as of right now, not clear.
Are you starting to see that in your order trend in your order book just because your lead times are like 40 weeks, right?
We are. But we've been track before we are -- the bookings are up, and they are up year-on-year in excess of 20%. Nothing like what AI bookings to lie but 23% is still pretty good, right?
[Operator Instructions]. That will come from the line of Vivek Arya with Bank of America.
Best wishes for the next part of your tenure. My question is on, if you could help us quantify what is the new fiscal '26 AI guidance. Because I think the last call, you mentioned fiscal '26 could grow at the 60% growth rate. So what is the updated number? Is it 60% plus the $10 billion that you mentioned? And sort of related to that, do you expect the custom versus networking mix to stay broadly what it has been this past year or evolve more towards custom. So any quantification and this networking versus customer mix would be very helpful for fiscal '26.
Okay. Let's answer the first part first, if I could be so bold as to suggest to you, when I -- last quarter when they said, "Hey, the trend of growth of '26 will mirror that of '25which is 50%, 60% year-on-year. That's really all I said. I didn't -- but of course, it comes up 50%, 60% because that's what '25 is.
All I'm saying, if you want to put another way of looking at what I'm saying, which is perhaps more accurate is we're seeing -- the growth rate accelerates as opposed to just remain steady at that 50%, 60%. We are expecting and seeing 2026 to accelerate more than the growth rate we see in '25. And I know you love me to throw in the number at you, but we are not supposed to be giving you a forecast for '26. But best way to describe it, it will be fairly material improvement.
And the networking versus custom?
Good point. Thanks for reminding me. As we see -- and a big part of this driver of growth will be XPUs, at the risk of repeating what I said in my remarks, comes from the fact that we continue to gain at our 3 original customers. They have to, they're on their journey and each passing generation they go more to XPUs. So we are gaining share from these 3. We now have the benefit of an additional fourth significant customer. I should say, fourth and very significant customer. And that combination will mean more exposed. And as I said, at the rate as we create more and more experience among 4 guys, Networking, we get the networking with this 4 guys, but now the mix of networking from outside this 4 guys will now be a small bet diluted via smaller share. So expect actually networking percentage of the pool to be a declining percentage going into '26.
[Operator Instructions]. And that will come from the line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein Research.
I was wondering if you could parse out this $110 billion backlog. Did I hear that number right? Could you give some color on the makeup of it -- like how far does that go -- and like how much of that $110 billion is AI versus non-AI versus software?
Well, yes, Stacy, we generally don't break up back on digital to give you a sense of how strong the business is as a whole for the company, and it's largely driven buying AI in terms of growth. Software continued to add on a steady basis. And non-AI, as I indicated, has grown double digits. Nothing compared to AI, which has grown very strongly. Give you a sense, perhaps fully 50% of it at least is semiconductors.
Okay. And it's fair to say that semiconductor piece, it's going to be much more AI than non AI.
Right.
[Operator Instructions]. And that will come from the line of Ben Reitzes with Melius.
I appreciate it. Hock, congrats on being able to guide to the AI revenue well above 60% for next year. So I wanted to be a little greedy and ask you about maybe '27 and the other 3 customers or so. How is the dialogue going beyond these 4 customers? In the past, you talked about having 7 now added a fourth of production. And then there were 3. Are you hearing from others. And how is the trend going maybe with the other 3, maybe beyond the '26 into '27 and beyond? How is that momentum, you think, going to shape up?
And you are definitely greedy and definitely overthinking this for me. Thank you. But yes, that's -- as asking for a subjective qualification and frankly, I don't want to give that. I'm not comfortable giving that because sometimes, we stumbled in the production in fairly -- in time frames that fairly unexpected surprisingly. Equally, it could get delayed. So I'd rather not give you any more color on prospects, then let's tell you these prospects are real prospects and continue to be very closely engaged towards developing each of their own expense with every intent going into substantial production like the fall we have today a customer.
Yes. You still think that 1 million units by goal for these 7 though, is still intact?
For the 3, I said, now therefore, that's still -- only for the customers, for the prospects, no comments, I'm in no position to judge on that. But for our 3, 4 customers now, yes.
[Operator Instructions]. And that will come from the line of Jim Schneider with Goldman Sachs.
Hock, I was wondering if you could give us a little more color, not necessarily on the prospects, which you do have in the pipeline, but how you view the universe of additional prospects beyond the 7 customers and prospects you've already identified. Do you still see there being additional prospects that would be worthy of a custom chip. And I know you've been relatively circumspect in terms of the number of customers that are out there and the volume that they can provide and selective in terms of the opportunities you're interested in. So maybe frame for us the additional prospects as you see them beyond the 7.
That's a very good question. And let me answer it in a fairly broad basis. As I said before and perhaps repeat a bit more -- we're very -- we look at this market in 2 broad segments. The one is simply the guys, the parties, the customers who develop their own L&M. And the rest of the other market I consider is collectively lump as enterprise. That is markets that run -- that will run AI workloads for enterprise, whether it's on-prem or GPU, XPU or whatever as a service, the enterprise. We don't address that market, to be honest. We don't. That's because that's a hard market for us to address, and we are not set up to address that.
We instead address this LLM market. And as I said many times before, it's a very few narrow markets. Few players driving frontier models on consistent on a very accelerated trend towards super intelligence for one -- plagiarizing the term of someone else. But you know what I mean. And they are the guys who would invest, who need to invest a lot initially, my view on training, training ever larger and larger clusters of ever more capable accelerators. But also as for these guys, they got to be accountable to shareholders or accountable to being able to create cash flows that can sustain their path. They start to also invest in influence in a massive way to monetize these -- models. These are the players we work with. These are individually people, players who spend a lot of money on a lot of compute capacity just that they are only so few of them. And we have -- I have indicated identified 7, 4 of which now our customers, 3 continues to be prospects we engage with. And we're very picky and careful, I should say -- who qualifies under that, and I indicated they are building a platform or have a platform and are investing very much on leading LLM models. And we're ever and I think -- that's about it. We may see one more perhaps as a prospect. But again, we are very thoughtful and careful about even making that qualification. But right now, for sure, we have 7. And that, for now, it's pretty much what we have.
[Operator Instructions]. And that will come from the line of Tom O'Malley with Barclays.
I wanted to ask the on the Jericho4 commentary. NVIDIA talked about the XGS switch and us talking about scale across. You're talking about Jericho4 sounds like this market is really starting to develop. Maybe you could talk about why you see a material uplift in revenue there? And why it's important to start thinking about those type of -- as we move more towards inferencing.
Great. Well, thank you for picking that up. Yes, scale across is the near term now, right train, scale up, which is within the rent within which computing within the rank Scale Up, doing across ranks about in the data center. But now when you get to clusters that are -- I'm not 100% sure where the cutoff is, but say above 100,000 GPU or XPUs that you're talking about probably in many cases because of limitation of power shell, that the data that you don't do 1 single data center footprint site to hand to sit with over 100,000 of those XPUs in one side -- may not easily available land may not be complete -- so many -- some outcomes, most of all our customers that we see create multiple data center sites close at hand, not far away within range 100 kilometers. It's kind of the level, but be able to then put in homogenous XPUs or GPUs in this multiple location 3 or 4 and network across them so that they behave, in fact, a single cluster. That's the coolest part and that technology would require us because of distant deep buffering very intelligent congestion control is technology that exists for many, many years in the likes of the telcos of AT&T and Verizon doing network routing. Except this is for even somewhat more trickier work growth about the same. And we've been shipping that to a couple of hyperscalers over the last 2 years as Jericho3 as the scale of these clusters and the bandwidth required for AI training expands, we now launched this Jericho4, 51 terabit per second to handle more bandwidth. But same technology, we have tested, proven for the last 10, 20 years, nothing new. Don't need to create something new for that. It's running an Ethernet and very proven, very stable. And as I said, last 2 years, under Jericho3, which around 256 connections on no compute nodes. We've been selling to a couple of our hyperscale customers.
[Operator Instructions]. And that will come from the line of Karl Ackerman with BNP Paribas.
Hock, have you completely converted your top 10,000 accounts from vSphere to the entire -- Cloud Foundation virtualization stack. I asked because I think last quarter, 87% of accounts had adopted that, and that's certainly a marked increase versus less than 10% of those customers who bought the entire suite before the deal. And I guess as you address that, what interest level are you seeing with the longer tail of enterprise customers adopting BCF? And are you seeing tangible cross-selling benefits of your merchant semiconductor storage and networking business as those customers adopt VMware?
Okay. To answer your first part of the question. Yes, pretty much virtually way over 90% has bought VCF. Now I like to -- I'm careful about choice of what because we have sold them on it and they bought licenses to deploy it doesn't mean they are fully deployed. Here comes the other part of our world. which is to take these 10,000 customers or a big chunk of them who have taken more about their vision of a private cloud on-prem and working with them to enable them to deploy and operate it successfully on the infrastructure and on-prem. That's the hard work over the next 2 years that we see happening. And as we do it, we see expansion across the IT footprint on VCF private cloud running on the data set within their data center. That's a key part of it. And we see that continuing. And that's the second phase of my VMWare story.
First phase is convince its people to convert from perpetual subscription, and so doing purchase VCF. Second phase now is make that purchase, they made on VCF very create the value they look for in private cloud, on their premise, on their IT data centers. That's what's happening. And that will sustain for quite a while because on top of that, we will start selling advanced services security, disaster recovery, even AI running AI workloads on me. All that is very exciting.
Your second question is, is that able to enable me to sell more hardware? No. Well, it's quite independent. In fact, as they virtualize their data centers, we consciously accept the fact that we are commoditizing the underlying hardware in the data center, commoditizing services, commoditizing, storage, commoditizing even networking. And that's fine. And by so commoditizing were actually reducing cost of investments in hardware in data centers for enterprises.
Now beyond the largest 10,000, are we seeing a lot of success. We are seeing some. But again, 2 reasons why we do not expect it to be as successful. One is the value, the TCO, as they call it, that comes from it will be much less. But the more important thing is the skill sets that needs to not just deploy that you can get services and also to help them, but to keep all putting it might not be something that they can take on. And we shall see. This is a -- this is an area we're still learning. And it'd be interesting to see -- well, VMware has 300,000 customers. We see the top 10,000 as making has been people and makes a lot of sense, derive a lot of value in deploying private cloud using VCF. We now are looking at whether the next 20,000, 30,000 midsized companies see the same way. Stay tuned. I'll let you know.
[Operator Instructions]. And it comes on the line of CJ Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald.
I was hoping to focus on gross margins. I understand the guide down 70 bps, particularly with software lower sequentially and greater contributions from wireless and XPUs. But to hit that [ 17 ] spot 7, I either have to model semiconductor margins flat, which I think would be lower or software gross margins to 95% up 200 bps. So can you kind of help me better understand kind of the moving parts there to lap only a 70 bp drop?
Yes. I mean GPUs will be going up along with wireless, as I said on the call, and our software revenue will be coming up just a bit as well.
It means we...
XPUs, yes. Our part is typically our heaviest quarter, right, of the year for wireless. You have wireless and GPUs with generally lower margins, right? And then our software revenue coming.
[Operator Instructions]. And that will come from the line of Joe Moore with Morgan Stanley.
Great. In terms of the fourth customer, I think you've talked in the past about -- customers 4 and 5 were more hyperscale and 6 and 7 work more like the LLM makers themselves. Can you give us a sense for -- if you could help us categorize that? I thought that's fine. And then the $10 billion of orders. Can you give us a time frame on that?
Okay. Yes. No. It's towards at the end of the day, all 7 LLMs. Not all of them have a current -- has a huge platform we're talking about, but one could imagine eventually all of them will have or create a platform. So it's hard to differentiate the -- but coming back -- coming on the second and the delivery of the $10 billion, I'll probably be in -- around, I would say, the second half of our fiscal year 2026. I would say, to be even more precise, likely to be Q3 of our fiscal '26.
Okay. Q3, it starts or Q3, what time frame does it take to deploy $10 billion?
End in Q3.
[Operator Instructions]. And that will come from the line of Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowen.
I was hoping you could provide some comments on momentum for your first scale up Ethernet and how it compares with UA Link and PCIe solutions out there. how big of a -- how meaningful is it to have at the Tomahawk Ultra product out there with a lower latency? And how meaningful do you think to scale up the Ethernet opportunity could be over the next year as we think about your AI networking business?
Well, that's a good question. And we, ourselves, are thinking about that, too, because to begin with Ethernet, our Ethernet solutions are very disaggregated from the AI accelerators, anybody does. It's separate. We treat them as separate. Even though you're right, the network is a computer. We have always believed that Ethernet is open source. Anybody should be able to have choices, and we keep it separate from XPU. But the proof of the matter is, for our customers who use the XPU, we develop, we optimize our networking switches and other components that relate to being able to network signals in any cases, hand-in-hand with it. In fact, all this experience have developed with interface that handles Ethernet very, very much so. So that's in a way with XPUs with our customers, we are openly enabling Ethernet as a networking protocol of choice very, very openly. And it will not be our Ethernet switches. It could be any other but somebody else Ethernet switches that does it. It just happens to be where the lead in this business, so we get that. But beyond it, especially when it comes to a close system of GPUs, we see less of it, except in the hyperscalers, where the hyperscalers are able to architect the GPUs clusters very separate from the networking side, especially in scale out. In which case, on those hyperscalers, we sell a lot of these Ethernet switches that are scaling out. And we suspect when it goes to scaling across now even more Ethernet that are disaggregated from the GPUs that are in the place. As far as experience are concerned, for sure, it's all Ethernet.
[Operator Instructions]. That will come from the line of Christopher Rolland with Susquehanna.
Congrats on the contract extension, Hack. So yes, my questions are about competition, both on the networking side and the ASIC side. You kind of answered some of that, I think, in the last question. But do you view any competition on the ASIC side, particularly from U.S. or Asian vendors? Or do you think this is decreasing? And on the networking side, do you think UA link or PCIe even has a chance of displacing Sue in 2027 when it's expected to ramp.
Thank you for embracing Sue. I did expect that to come up. And I appreciate that -- well, you know I'm biased to be honest. But it's so obvious I can't help us being biased because Ethernet is well proven. Ethernet is so known to the engineers, the architects that sits in all these hyperscalers, developing, designing AI data center, their AI infrastructure. It's the logical thing for them to use, and they are using it, and they are focusing on it. and the development of separate individualized protocol, frankly, is beyond my imagination why they bought Ethernet is there. It's been well used. It's proven it can keep going up.
The only thing people talk about latency, especially in scaling up hence, the emergence of NVLink. And even then, as I indicated, it's not hard for us, and we are not the only one who can do that, a few others in Ethernet can do it in the switches. You can just tweak the switches to make the latency super good, better than NVLink, better than InfiniBand less than 250 nanoseconds easily. And that's what we did. So it's not that hard. And perhaps as my say that because we have been doing it as the Ethernet has been around the last 25 years at length. So it's there, the technology that's only to go and create some cooked up protocols that now you have to bring people around. Ethernet is the way we go. And we definitely have competition too because it's an open source system.
So I think Ethernet is a way to go. And for sure, in developing experience for our customers, all this experience with the agreement of customers are main compatible interface with denim and not some fancy other interface that one has to keep going as bandwidth increase. And we -- and I assure you, we have competition, which is one of the reasons why the hyperscaler is like Ethernet . It's not just us. They can find somebody else for whatever reason, they don't like us. and we're open to that. It's always good to do that. It's an open source system and there are players in that market, not any core system.
Switching on to XPU competition. Yes, we hear about competition and all that. It's just -- it's a competition that is an area that we always see conditions and our only way to secure our position is we try to invest and now innovate anybody else in this game. We've been fortunate to be the first one, creating this XPU model of ASICs on silicon. And we also have been fortunate to be probably one of the largest IP developers of semiconductor out there, things like serialize -- the serialize sets been able to develop the best packaging been able to design things that are very low power. So we just have to keep investing in it, which we do to outrun the competition in this space. And I believe we're doing a fairly decent job of doing it at this point.
And we do have time for one last question, and that will come from the line of Harsh Kumar with Piper Sandler.
Congratulations on all the exciting AI metrics, and thanks for everything you do for Broadcom and sticking around. My question is you've got 3 to 4 existing customers that are ramping as the data centers for AI clusters get bigger and bigger, it makes sense to have differentiation, efficiency, et cetera, therefore, the case for XPUs. Why should I not think that your XPU share at these 3 or 4 customers that are existing will be bigger than the GPU share in the longer term?
It will be -- it's a logical conclusion, as, you're correct. And we are seeing that step by step. As I say, it's a journey. It's a multiyear journey because it's multigenerational because -- this experience don't stay still either. I'm doing multiple versions, at least 2 versions, 2 generation versions for each of these customers we have. And with newer generation, they increase the consumption, the usage of the XPU as they gain confidence as the model improves, they deploy it even more. So that's the logical trend that XPUs will keep in these few customers around whereas they successfully deployed and their software stabilizes the software stack the libraries that sits on these chips stabilizes and proves itself out. They will have the content to keep using a higher and higher percentage of their compute footprint in their own XPUs for sure, and we see that. And that's why I think we progressively gain share.
Thank you, Hock.
Thank you. I would now like to turn the call back over to Ji Yoo, Head of Investor Relations, for any closing remarks.
Thank you, Sheri. This quarter, Broadcom will be presenting at the Goldman Sachs Communacopia and Technology Conference on Tuesday, September 9 in San Francisco, and at the JPMorgan U.S. AllStar Conference on Tuesday, September 16 in London. Broadcom currently plans to report its earnings for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 after close of GIT on Thursday, December 11, 2025. We public webcast of Broadcom's earnings conference call will follow at 2:00 p.m. Pacific.
That will conclude our earnings call today. Thank you all for joining. Sheri, you may end the call.
This concludes today's program. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Broadcom — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Broadcom — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $16,0 Mrd. (+22% im Jahresvergleich, YoY)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $10,7 Mrd. (Ergebnis vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen; +30% YoY; 67% Marge)
- AI-Chips: $5,2 Mrd. (+63% YoY); Gesamt-Semiconductor $9,2 Mrd. (+26% YoY)
- Auftragspolster: Rekordbacklog $110 Mrd., davon mindestens >$10 Mrd. XPU-Aufträge
- Cash & FCF: Barmittel $10,7 Mrd.; Free Cash Flow $7,0 Mrd. (44% des Umsatzes)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- XPU-Fokus: Broadcom gewinnt Marktanteile bei bisherigen drei Kunden und hat einen vierten Großkunden in Produktion—XPU-Volumen treiben AI-Wachstum.
- Netzwerk-Strategie: Tomahawk‑6 und Jericho4 adressieren «Scale up/out/across» für große LLM‑Cluster; Ethernet als bevorzugtes, skalierbares Protokoll.
- VMware-Integration: VCF 9.0 als Kernprodukt; Ziel: Migration der Top‑10k Kunden von Lizenzkauf zur tatsächlichen On‑prem‑Bereitstellung und Cross‑/Upsell von Services.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q4‑Guidance: Konsolidierter Umsatz ~$17,4 Mrd. (+24% YoY); Adjusted EBITDA ~67% des Umsatzes.
- Segmentprognose: Semiconductor ~ $10,7 Mrd. (+30% YoY) inkl. AI‑Halbleiter ~ $6,2 Mrd. (+66% YoY); Infrastructure Software ~$6,7 Mrd. (+15% YoY).
- Risiko: Management hebt FY‑26 AI‑Ausblick an; Nicht‑AI‑Halbleiter bleiben langsam in der Erholung—Timing der Backlog‑Umsetzung entscheidend.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Vierter Kunde: Management bestätigt vierten bedeutenden Kunden mit starken Lieferungen Anfang 2026; die >$10 Mrd. XPU‑Bestellung soll bis Q3 FY2026 auslaufen.
- Nicht‑AI‑Zyklus: Analysten kritisieren mangelnde V‑Erholung; Management erwartet eher U‑Form mit Breitband (DOCSIS) als erster Branche, die sich erholt.
- Wettbewerb & Mix: Diskussion über XPU‑ vs. GPU‑Mix und Ethernet vs. proprietäre Links; Management betont IP‑Vorsprung, Investitionen und selektive Chancenvergabe.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Klarer AI‑Momentum‑Catalyst: starkes Umsatz‑/EBITDA‑Wachstum und großes Backlog erhöhen die FY‑26‑Erwartungen für AI. Gleichzeitig bleiben Nicht‑AI‑Halbleiter zyklisch schwach und die Wertschöpfung hängt von der fristgerechten Lieferung/Deployment der XPU‑Aufträge sowie der Monetarisierung von VMware‑Deployments ab.
Broadcom — VMware Explore 2025 Las Vegas
1. Management Discussion
Welcome, people. It's great to be here today, and I always look forward to this event as a chance to engage with family, and a special shout out to those VMUG members here today. We love you guys.
Well, last year, I was here, we talked about private cloud being the future of the enterprise. 12 months later, the future is here. And we have the data to back that up. Global survey of IT professionals earlier this year made it clear what you, your top priority wants. 7 out of 10 of you plan to come back on-prem.
You want to invest in private cloud. But here's the challenge. We always have this. VMware, you know that, innovated for years, but they never truly integrated the building blocks of a cloud. This is just a sampling what we've heard from you. But now here's the good news. Since the acquisition two years ago, we roll up our sleeves, did the tough engineering work and the result today is VMware Cloud Foundation 9.0, a real software-defined platform to run all your application workloads with compute, networking and storage tightly integrated. And this is what you ask for.
We deliver VCF as a single SKU. We made it plug and play. And with VCF 9.0, just want you to know, private cloud now outperforms public cloud. It has better security, better cost management and, of course, greater control. So the technology works. It works like a dream, of course, with Broadcom and VMware. But deploying into your organization may not be that easy. I run an organization myself, I get it. I feel your pain. So let's talk about the three points of friction we see here, all right?
Developers. Developers don't want to think about infrastructure. Modern apps run on containers and developers just want to write code using their favorite DevOps tools. Meanwhile, your job is to put guardrails in place. And with VCF 9.0, we run containers as seamlessly as we run virtual machines. You no longer need two separate different platforms. We're giving you infrastructure at the speed of the developer. And it's not -- but it's not just developers you need to work with. Look at your own team. You have networking, you have storage, you have compute, you have security, and each of these teams speak their own language. Once again, this unified platform changes all that.
With VCF 9.0, you break down the silos in your organization. This is a platform that embraces IT developers and unites compute, networking and storage. And here's the payoff, big one. It's an accelerated path to production for your apps today. This is more than just nice to have. It's critical for all of us.
Moving on, next issue. Your job is to secure the business against multiple threats, both physical and virtual. At the same time, all you face pressure to move quickly. How often do you hear this? Yes, we care about security. Just don't let it slow things down. Well, VCF allows you to balance these two priorities, okay? We have a broad set of security solutions integrated into VCF 9.0. You no longer need a bunch of agents, additional security tools. It's all built in.
That brings me to the final, probably most important point of friction. Most of you continue to be weighed down by your legacy infrastructure, and you're afraid to move forward. So how do you let go of your IT path so you can build for the future?
Well, I can tell you for sure, the answer is not to run straight to public cloud as you did 5, 10 years ago. If you're going to do cloud, do it right, embrace VCF 9.0 and stay on-prem. That VCF 9.0 is the culmination of 25 years of VMware technology and innovation. And this is the platform for the future.
And we want -- for you, we want to give you the best cloud platform in the world. And I mean that. We want to make you a hero, the person who drives this huge impact in your organization. But it's one thing to hear me talk about private cloud and VCF 9.0. It's even better to hear from a customer. So now let's take a look.
[Presentation]
Please welcome Paul Turner.
Wow, what a great audience. It's kind of fun actually being back here in Vegas. But more importantly, what a story from Barclays. For them, VCF isn't just infrastructure, it's powering the business. It's delivering a secure private cloud for all their applications, including AI. They have transformed IT, and VCF isn't leading -- isn't following that transformation.
It is leading it. So for years, one thing has been true. VCF is everywhere. It changed how business gets done. It allowed us to standardize and automate IT operations, but virtualization was just the start. The next chapter is private cloud. Delivering secure, trusted applications today requires governance of networking, storage, backup, DR, security policies. These define the application perimeter and the reliability, security and availability of that application.
VMware Cloud Foundation, VCF, delivers on that full promise of private cloud, automated, secure and ready for all applications. VMs, yes, containers, yes, AI, yes. This will power the next generation of the data center and deliver an agile, secure private cloud environment that can be delivered anywhere, on-premises, edge, hyperscalers, every hyperscaler that you know deploys us, and of course, all our service providers and CSPs. It's IT moving at the speed of developers, but providing the controls, security and trust the business requires.
From global banks to health care, governments, defense industries, the most critical services that you know run on VCF. And 9 out of the top 10 Fortune companies have committed to VCF. It's trusted by 95% of top manufacturers, 90% to public sector, 85% of financial services. Even the biggest technology companies that you know, 90% of them are committed to VCF, health care organizations. And today, I'm really, really pleased to announce that Walmart, the #1 Fortune company in the world is committed also to VCF. They have selected Broadcom as their strategic vendor for virtualization. What we are doing there is we're helping to unify all of Walmart's global distributed operations with VCF. So you're not alone. Everyone is moving this way.
A year ago today, I was on this stage, and we announced VCF 9.0, and we delivered on that promise. Over 1 million hours of engineering, 5,000 engineers, 8,000 patents underpin that technology. VCF 9.0 delivered available now GA. GA earlier this year. But don't just take my word for it. Our B experts are kind of like the leading technologists. They're like the gurus of virtualization. Why don't we hear what they have to say?
[Presentation]
So what do you think about that? Come on. It's actually great to hear from the B experts, but they missed my favorite feature. I think they -- I wouldn't say they got it wrong. They had some cool features. But my favorite is native Kubernetes built into VCF stack. That looks a heck of a lot better, right? So anyway, aside from that, you hear from us, you hear from B experts. It's really important that we hear from customers like you. So please welcome on stage, Jeremy Wright, Director of IT at Grinnell Mutual. Welcome, Jeremy.
Good morning. My name is Jeremy Wright, and I am the Director of IT Infrastructure at Grinnell Mutual. We are a 116-year-old insurance company tucked away in small town, Iowa. And just like Grinnell, I consider my team to be small but mighty. We're just 17 dedicated individuals supporting mission-critical workloads for our customers, agents and mutuals across 19 states. So let me take you back to last year's explore.
I was out here just like many of you, and I was wondering what is Broadcom going to do with VMware? And is VCF 9 going to be fit for a small outfit like mine? I had followed the acquisition very closely. I had heard what people were saying about pricing. So I came here looking for answers. And as I listen to sessions on VCF 9's tighter integration, I really started to think like this looks like it's a good fit for really big companies, but is it powerful enough and fit for a team like mine?
And that doubt lingered. I went to a pivotal vSAN session, and it was a session on the financials of vSAN. And at the end of that session, I walked up to John Nicholson and I asked him a question. I said, how do you get someone like me who's very, very comfortable with discrete storage and how we use that across a metro storage cluster to go to something like vSAN? And his answer was just one sentence, but it gave me a very good perspective that I used that night to go over the math. And eventually, I figured out that going vSAN over discrete storage could save me up to $1 million on my next renewal.
And so I got really excited. I started going into these B experts blogs like William Lam, getting on the subreddits, listening to other customers. And I started to look at global deduplication and site maintenance mode for stretch clusters like ours. And VCF started to feel like it's not going to be too big for us and that it's just going to perfectly scale to my small team.
But convincing the C-suite is never automatic. Our hardware isn't -- wasn't up for renewal until March of 2026. We had SQL licensing coming up, Microsoft renewals overlapping with this change. And so I drew on years of budget wrangling to craft a 5-year plan about how we were going to slash our lease spending and optimize our Microsoft renewals and deliver creative lease timing -- or creative timing on these payments. And I presented it all to the CFO and the COO. And once I made that case crystal clear about how we would manage that transition period, they were on board.
And so what sealed it for us and what is continuing to seal it for us is how VCF is transforming our infrastructure from the ground up. Grinnell is over a century old. Our IT has been layered on decade after decade, and it can be really hard to make change in an environment like that. But VCF is helping us do that. And it's not just software, it's really a unifier for us. So for the first time, my network, systems, DevOps, DDA, desktop automation, telecom teams are working very closely together in the same platform.
And we also have security at Grinnell, whether you're protecting 100 people or 10,000 people, a lot of the tooling is the same. So our small security team has a lot of ground to cover. And VCF is turning out to be a force multiplier for our small security team as well. And VCF is really this hub where we're all coming to work together, and we're building this shared understanding of what we're all doing.
We're all in the same meetings. We understand the why behind how is this architected? And why did we do this? On a platform like AWS, I would need to hire more people. We would need to get more people in. We would have to build additional skills, and we would end up creating additional silos because of that.
But with VCF, it's really allowing my small team to extract maximum value from a really cohesive set of tools. And that unifying software, it extends to that pain point that exists between infrastructure and developers. Our developers were really struggling with VDI that we had built for them to run their IntelliJ IDE. And so we launched what I call Operation Monday. It's all about giving time back to the developer.
We're going to containerize our IDE, and then we're going to deliver that to them using VMware Kubernetes service and VCF automation for the self-services piece. It's a really exciting crossover engineering experience where we don't have to talk to them or teach them about the VDI performance intricacies, and they don't have to school us on their developer tools.
And so what is this all going towards? What is it all laddering up to? It's really allowing us to capture the full power of private cloud. I talked about like needing to hire more people to do this in AWS. And there's this misconception that public cloud is always going to equal fewer people, but I just couldn't make that make sense.
I would definitely need more headcount with additional skills. And so the story I'm telling and the story you should be telling is that VCF builds you a private cloud with all of the features, self-service, scalability, data sovereignty without the public cloud headaches. Stop thinking about it as servers and infrastructure and start thinking and talking about it as private cloud. That $1 million savings that I was talking about, that's really just the start.
VCF is going to change every single one of the renewal conversations that we have in the next 3 to 5 years. And it's really exciting because all I see is possibility for saving money. I've used VMware products since the 2.x days, and I feel like VMware has made me two promises. The first one is that we're going to let you virtualize your workloads and extract maximum value from the hardware that you already own.
And they've been delivering on that promise for a really, really long time. The second one is that we're going to enable customers of any size to run a full stack private cloud on-prem. And for the first time, I really feel like VMware and Broadcom are delivering on that promise.
So if my small team can embrace VCF, certainly, so can you. And if a small team like mine can have these big ideas and do big things inside of VCF, so can you. Dive into the sessions, talk to your reps. I really think that your aha moment is out there waiting for you [ AT ] Explore this year. I want to say thank you to my Grinnell Mutual infrastructure team.
Without them, none of this is possible. I want to say thank you to 27 Virtual for being an amazing partner during our implementation. And thank you to Broadcom for finally delivering a platform that lets our small shop punch above its weight.
Thank you, Jeremy, and thank you for your whole team. It's amazing when you hear a powerful story like that from Grinnell Mutual. They modernized, they had faster delivery, stronger security, their small team was able to scale and simpler operations, whether it's small, midsized businesses, large or full strategic businesses, big government industries, all of them can be powered by VCF. So I changed shirt. Why? We're not talking about just what we've done and 9, you can get all that stuff now. We're talking about the next generation of VCF.
And I'm really pleased to talk about kind of three big areas that we're looking at investing in, that we are investing in to actually deliver the next part of the VCF 9 platform. Infrastructure at the speed of the developer, private AI, but as a service, and cyber resilient data. So Hock talked about developers, and they need velocity. But what causes velocity, right?
We've got to accelerate developers. We've got to help them move faster, that accelerated path to production. That's what creates velocity. Okay? So what have developers got the autonomy that they need, but IT stayed in control. That's the shift. Developers get everything they want, speed, agility for their applications, business maintains security, trust, maintain the confidentiality of the business overall.
The Developers, I'm really happy to announce all of these new things that we are doing to accelerate that developer speed, that accelerate, that velocity of the developers and the autonomy of them. All of these are new developer services. vSAN native S3 object storage built into the platform available to all of you.
Yes, block interfaces, file interface, S3 interfaces. Secure enterprise-grade Postgres and MySQL delivered by us, storage -- database as a service available for all of you. And for all of those developers, full IaaS stack, all developer as a Service, you're going to see it a little later. GitOps with Argo CD built in. So you can actually do CI/CD pipelines, application delivery. You can go from a Git-based YAML spec of all of your different applications to auto deployment of those applications. SCO service mesh. You don't just need to build Containers as a Service, VMs, you've got Containers as a Service. I can also build Function as a Service, and I can actually interface those functions through a service mesh that we maintain and support for you as part of the platform.
Policy is code. Everything is codified. Everything is written, all of the specs in terms of your firewall rule settings, your load balancer rule settings, everything configured in so that I can store that in my Git, publish it, do my pipeline push, my CI/CD pipeline push, you name it, and harden containers, but more on that later.
These six new features are going to dramatically accelerate developer productivity. And the cool thing is they build on something that's already there in 9.0. vSphere Kubernetes services, not just 9.0, it's there in [ 5.2.2 ]. vSphere Kubernetes services native in the platform. Okay? This gives you full life cycle management of Kubernetes. Most importantly, a CNCF compliant, right?
Cloud native compute foundation, the Open Source standard for maintaining Kubernetes. This is fully compliant with that, available to all of your customers. You get multi-cluster management so that you can manage across the different vCenter and different domain regions that you have for your environment. But not just that, Kubernetes requires a whole set of services to actually be complete.
All of the standard Kubernetes packages are maintained and supported by us for you, all part of VCF, all included. That means you get Prometheus for monitoring. You get a Harbor registry service. You get Valero, so you can do backup of your container-based applications and much, much more, right, Pinniped for identity management, everything included. This is what vSphere Kubernetes service is, VMs, containers, fully orchestrated with Kubernetes in the platform. And I'm particularly excited about this announcement. This is huge. We're taking the #1 private cloud, which is your beloved VCF, but we're combining it with the #1 cloud OS in the world. Anyone know what that is?
It's Canonical Ubuntu. Canonical Ubuntu, with this partnership, all of you are going to get an integrated Ubuntu with full maintained security updates, maintenance updates included in the platform. Long-term support included. You get these Chiselled containers. A Chiselled container allows us to actually build the -- we remove all the periphery libraries that are unnecessary for running that individual container.
So what have you just done? You've reduced the security risk for that container, and you do it for every container that you have, minimizing any security threats or risk. And AI-ready images. So you've got all of the VGPU drivers. So out of box, the fastest AI deployment possible. Together with Canonical Ubuntu and the VCF platform and our vSphere Kubernetes service, this is the easiest Kubernetes deployment possible. It is Kubernetes at scale. It is containers and VMs in one platform, all orchestrated with Kubernetes.
Thank you. I should have paused and waited for a clap and a cheer. It is very cool. It is kind of cool. But instead of me talking about it because it's much more fun to actually see a demo, which is why I have the shirt on. So let's kind of see with this accelerated path to production. Remember, developer autonomy, IT control. So I'm the IT guy. So I've gone and set up inside the organization, multiple organizations. This is full multi-tenancy in the VCF platform, legal, finance, engineering, IT.
I'm going to drill into the legal organization. You can see I've set it up across multiple regions. so that they can deploy disaster recovery as they need to for their applications. And I also have -- I'll go over to the services. I've enabled a whole set of services that, that development team can run. Remember, they can run independently of IT, but all of this through the policy control of IT.
So I've set up a Kubernetes service for them. They, of course, have a virtual machine service. They have volume and network because of course, they need to have the IaaS stack. But I've also enabled some other cool things. I've enabled private AI. All of the AI services are available to them, all those images are available to them. They have a registry service, the Harbor registry service so they can manage their container content.
But you will notice they're missing on data services. And most applications actually need a stateful database. So why don't we enable some database services that IT thinks are the right controlled ones that their security teams have approved. So we'll go and enable that. Go into the data services, right? This is Database as a Service.
[indiscernible] data service layer, add a new data service policy. This one I'm going to call the Postgres policy. You're going to guess which database I'm deploying. Deployed it into one particular region. You can see I have a choice, MySQL, Postgres or even Microsoft SQL Server. So we can deploy and manage SQL Server instances, too.
So I'm going to select Postgres. And IT thinks that the only secured versions that have gone through their quality pipeline are versions 14 and 15, and you can allow minor versions of them, but they're the only ones that right now are through the certification process and approved. So we're going to make that available. But at this point, everything is available.
Database as a Service. You'll notice that the data services is now an installed service ready for that tenant. Every tenant looks like this. Each of the tenants, you can decide what are the right services that get deployed for each of them. It's as easy as that. That is what a cloud looks like. That is a big change. So now to walk us through the developer experience, please welcome on stage our Senior VCF Technical lead, Sabina Anja.
Good morning, everybody. Let's have a little bit of fun. In this scenario, my team is responsible for the legal oversight application at the large enterprise. You can tell I'm one of the developers. This application helps us move faster without any compliance issues. Now before we ship a new feature, maybe a self-driving capability, a new data sharing model or even an update to how we store things like customer contracts, we need to know, is this even legally allowed in every country you operate in.
Now this is what this app does. It connects to a knowledge base of regulations, queries and AI model and gives us a green, yellow or red light based on region, product and especially legal risk.
Now to build it, I'm going to need a few things. I'm going to need a front end. I'm going to need a Postgres database. I'm going to need a Gen AI back end to valuate all of this data and a set of Kubernetes services, clusters for the components of the application and a model run time managed in my harbor model gallery.
But here's the key. I don't want to wait weeks to get infrastructure provisioned. I don't want to write tickets for load balancers or firewalls and for it still not to work. I want infrastructure to be code.
Now as a developer, this is my starting point. All the services I need, databases, Kubernetes, load balancers, even private AI are right here ready to use. I have project spaces for my development and production versions of my applications. Inside the production project, I can spin up an application name space for deploying my app. In the application name space, I'll just fill in the basics, app name, region and class.
The platform enforces the right policies behind the scenes. Now I can place my app across different availability zones. Each zone is an independent fault domain with separate power, network and infrastructure. It's the same model the public cloud uses, and now I get that resilience in my private cloud.
Now I've chosen multiple zones here, so I get resilience without ever needing to touch the infrastructure. And I can select the level of isolation by choosing either a virtual private cloud that's dedicated or shared. Now everything is in place for my application. From here, I'm going to shift to code because my deployment is automatic through Git.
Let's go ahead and look at that application a little bit. I'm back in my IDE. This is home base for me. I'm defining everything the app needs in code. And as a developer, I've mentioned it before, I don't want to open tickets. I don't want to be bounced around different IT teams. I don't want to hear the person is on holiday. I want to declare my security policies in YAML with what traffic to allow, what to block and the platform will enforce it automatically.
I'm defining my Postgres cluster. There's no need to deploy and configure a database. IT has set it up for me as a service. I have replication, storage, backup schedules, all of them captured in code. Now all of this means consistency every time with resilience built in. Now this is GitOps, right? The work is just code, commit. The update is tracked, it's reviewed, it's reproducible.
That's it. You get APML files, firewall rules, database conflicts, cluster settings, front end deployment, all of this is versioned together. And when I push, Git automation will take over. The platform will deploy the app. It applies the policies, provisions the database, its infrastructure is code just like I expect.
That's a lot going on there. So it's also quick. So what just happened? Argo CD saw my Git change. This is my CI/CD pipeline. My application, legal oversight, remember, the contracts review, that was out of sync and auto sync kicked in. The desired state includes web service deployment, security policy, dev cluster references and a Postgres cluster.
The result, my app is healthy. My sync is okay. My front end Pods are running one out of one. From commit to a secured fully running application and database, automated and audible with GitOps. Now once Argo is done syncing, this is where I'll go next. I'm going to come back into the platform because I want to get a view of how the app is performing, things like CPU, memory, even cost. This goes directly to my application. If something spikes, I have direct visibility into the app, it's resources and it's context.
Now what is developer autonomy at the end of the day? Defining my application and code, pushing to Git and the platform helping me taking it from there. I get to stay in familiar tools, things I'm used to, VS Code, GitHub, and I get to consume approved services from the catalog. And at the end, I see everything in one place. So that is the developer view. We're now going to go back to the admin view and hand it back to Paul.
Wow, isn't it great to hear an excited, happy developer? I mean I'm the IT guy. They used to think of me as the Department of Motor Vehicles. Yes, the DMV, as quick as that, not anymore, not anymore. So thank you, Sabina, for that. I should have said that at the very beginning. But anyhow, but here's -- let's go back to the admin view. Here, again, full visibility into it.
I can see the quotas. I can see the region usage, memory disk. I can see the clusters, the databases used. I can see most importantly, costing. So let's drill into the legal application, right? We've just deployed that. You can see that on a particular basis, I can see the actual growth and trends over time of how that usage has been, and you can see the growth in that usage.
But I can also drill down into the containers and the VMs that are used by that application. So this isn't just about chargeback, cost back and how can we actually allow empower developers and better resource management. All of that is true, but I also get full visibility into the application. Imagine how that helps you on diagnostics, working with your application teams, things have gone wrong, how to actually root cause issues, amazing.
So what you've seen is the accelerated path to production. You've seen from the IT side the complete control that they need to manage their environments. And you've seen the developer, the happy developer, Sabina, the happy developer because she's got what she needed, automated delivery of applications, Git-based pipelines, CI/CD delivery. This is a big sea change, the accelerated path to production. But that's one area.
So for the next investment area, private AI as a Service, please welcome on stage Chris Wolf.
All right. We got a lot to go, get over with this conference, so I'm going to get right to it. And I want to start off with the legal oversight app that you've already seen. And now here's the thing. Our worlds are never perfect, right? You saw this great scenario, but like come on, like in your world, something always goes wrong. And this is where I'm happy to share with you the VCF Intelligent Assistant. So VCF Intelligent Assist is an AI integrated chatbot where you can ask questions, you can start to get help and more easily resolve any of the support challenges that you might run into.
So in this case, we're going to go ahead and start to ask about like, hey, our legal oversight app, we're running into some performance challenges. What are some things that you might suggest? We get some responses here, okay, private AI GPU dashboard, that's a pretty good place to take a look. Cool. So how am I going to get to that? So let's find that out. So let's go ahead and head over to the dashboard in VCF operations. And surprise, right? We got a red area. There's a problem here.
We got a hotspot. We want to be able to load balances. But this is an AI application. So is this something that I can be motion then rebalance out my cluster. Let's go back to the chat assistant and let's find out.
So here we go here. Now we're getting more information and notice what you're seeing in terms of the sources here for our explainability. It's our docs, it's our KB articles. It's even blogs. So yes, of course, we're also indexing William Lam's blog. So don't worry, we got you covered. So we go from here now, we can see that we can do this. Let's go to our vSphere client. The vMotion completes.
And these are large language models, large GPUs, major data sets. We can vMotion AI workloads just like anything else, which is pretty freaking cool. So we go back to VCF operations dashboard, lo and behold, things are looking great. So this is the first thing I wanted to share with you. There's a lot more to come here.
I wanted to step back though and talk about Broadcom because people often ask, what's Broadcom's leadership role in artificial intelligence? What's Broadcom about? And we can break it down into a couple of key points. When you think about open ecosystems, you should be thinking about Broadcom. Our Ethernet business and Ethernet is back ending the largest AI hyperscalers in the world today. You think about Broadcom, you should think about interoperability. You look at VMware Cloud Foundation. You look at the choice of hardware that you have below the stack for your AI workloads and the choice of models and services you have above the stack.
So when you're trying to bet on an uncertain future, the best place to bet with and the best partner for you is going to be Broadcom. Now I'm happy to share more work that we've done with NVIDIA as our partners. So when you look at those open ecosystems, NVIDIA has been key to our AI journey for a number of years. And you see a number of announcements here that we're happy to share with you today.
This includes additional GPU support, so the Blackwell B200s, the RTX Pro 6000 GPUs, ConnectX-7 and BlueField 3 NICs. This gives you Direct Path IO, gives you GPU direct RDMA, GPU direct storage, GPU pass-through support as well. And then finally, something you may not be aware of is our HGX reference architecture. A lot of you are consuming AI infrastructure or purchasing AI infrastructure through your OEMs and you're buying that HGX form factor. Well, you can put VCF on that, extract all the value and move forward as well.
Now it doesn't just stop there. Last year, we announced our partnership with Intel and Gaudi 3 support. And I'm happy to share with you today that we're taking that ecosystem one step further with support and a partnership with AMD as well. So we will have virtualization enablement and support for the MI 350 GPUs going forward. This has given you the enterprise software stack and that open ecosystem around this as well.
So again, more choice for you. And again, this has given you your choice of accelerators and anything that you're looking to do with AI now and in the future. Now if I pause, it was three years ago, time flies. Three years ago, we introduced private AI at this conference on this stage. And what's happened since then? The world has caught on to the notion that you can bring your models to wherever the data resides, you can run those models at a lower cost without having to sacrifice privacy or control of your data.
This isn't just our vision anymore. Even the hyperscalers are doing it, too. We're happy to have them with us on this journey, but where we differentiate is we are committed to choice of AI models and services, choice of hardware going forward. So you're not having to buy all of these siloed AI appliances. You can bet with us on a common AI platform, and that's going to just enable and unlock choice now and in the future.
Now customers have been on this journey with us as well. And I'm happy to share that over the past year, we've onboarded more than 80 customers. This includes a lot of household names and several of these, they're partners. They're here with us today. So I'd like to thank Mark, Ram is here. Keith is here. So this is U.S. Senate Federal Credit Union, University of Texas, University of Bristol. Again, a lot of good momentum across a large number of industry verticals, and that's continuing to move forward at a really fast pace.
Now innovation hasn't stopped there either. There's a lot more here. So some key things I want to highlight. We've shown you some of the things that we're doing in infrastructure already, and our core platform is really going to continue to unlock a lot of that flexibility for you. New innovations coming is not just model context protocol, but ensuring that you have a secure identity chain, ensuring that you have secure role-based access controls as you're bringing these different data feeds into your AI services.
Our multi-accelerator model run time. This means you can deploy a model once, I can change accelerators. This could be AMD GPUs, NVIDIA GPUs, even CPUs, and I will not have to refactor my application. And then finally, with Multi-tenant models as a Service, I can load a single copy of a model into one or more GPUs. I can share that among multiple lines of business or multiple tenants while keeping all of the data private. This will further lower your cost for AI services as you run them internally, and it gives you the equivalent of what the hyperscalers are doing in the public cloud.
Now how many of you are saying, Chris, this is amazing. Like how do I get it? How do I get it? You might also be saying, you know what, I have that special someone, the holidays are around the corner, they seem to have everything, what should I do? I got the answer for you. We are now bundling private AI services in VCF 9.0. That's what I'm talking about. Let's go. Let's go.
Yes. Now I've kind of given you the taste of it. I want to give you the full meal now. There's no better person to show you how all of these services work than the engineering leader whose team has built these, and I'd like to welcome Tasha Drew to the stage.
Thanks, Chris, and hi, everybody. Today, I am super excited to give you a quick tour of some of the capabilities of private AI services and behind-the-scenes look at how we are using those services to deliver intelligent assist for VMware Cloud Foundation, which Chris just demoed to you.
The first service we're going to look at is Model Gallery. As your organization scales its AI workloads, your developers are going to want access to the latest cutting-edge upstream and open source models. This introduces an immediate enterprise governance problem the Model Gallery service is designed to solve.
This service gives you tooling and workflows to safely connect to popular model registries on the Internet, download models and then security scan and validate the behavior of those models. Once you're satisfied in the model's providence, we repackage the model for you so you can upload it to your internal model gallery and share it with the appropriate teams and users using your organization's role-based access control. Here, you can see my team's model gallery for Intelligent Assist and some of the other services we're developing.
Now that you have models safely imported and shared, you're going to want to be able to deploy those models as a service for your organization. To help you with that, we've developed the model runtime service. From directly within VCF, you can select the model you want to deploy, pass in specific runtime flags and you're off to the races.
Here, you can see my team deploying the Qwen3 embedding model. which is what we're using for Intelligent Assist. And on the right-hand side of the screen, the YAML documents are being automatically created so that you can save this deployment in your CI system for quick and easy recreation. Your deployed models are running behind the ML API gateway. Your users continue to interact with the model via the APIs they're used to, but you have the operational flexibility to scale models up and down horizontally based on load or do a rolling upgrade with no end user impact.
Now that you have Models as a Service running, your users are going to want to use those models to deliver retrieval augmented generation application, or RAG apps. In this architectural pattern, developers instruct a model to compose its answers only using a set of documents that have been provided to it. However, when we talk to our customers, we found that while they saw tremendous value in RAG apps, they were struggling to reliably get their documents out of where they were stored and correctly processed and stored in a vector database.
To meet this challenge, we built the data indexing and retrieval service. This service provides data connectors for popular document locations like Google Drive, Microsoft SharePoint and Confluence. You can select which documents or folders should be provided in a knowledge base for the RAG app, and we take care of processing those documents. You can also set a regular refresh policy to make sure your AI applications data stays fresh as the original documents are updated.
Here, you can see the documents my team has processed for the Intelligent Assist. The final service I'm going to highlight today is Agent Builder. Agent Builder is a higher-level service you can provide to your developers and data scientists where they can come to a UI, see the models you're running for them and the knowledge bases that are available to them to use. Users can then provide specific prompt instructions to the model, manage their tools and knowledge-based settings and quickly test out the agent they've created, allowing for a fast inner development loop.
Once you're happy with the agent you've created, here you can see us testing out the intelligent assist for Chris' demo, your agent is saved, and you can use it as a back-end service to power your AI applications. Thanks for going on this quick tour of private AI with me. If you'd like to learn more about how to deploy and use these services, please check out this blog for step-by-step instructions. Now back to you, Paul.
Thank you, Tasha. Private AI Foundation is now included. How about that? But there's a third area, cyber resilient data. And security resilience is no longer a checkbox. It's imperative. We've seen it across industry, one breach, one outage, one ransomware hit, and suddenly, it's not your systems at risk, it's your customers, your IP, your reputation, even your license to operate.
Marks & Spencer back in May had a $440 million loss, weeks of downtime online and in-store. A leading technology company, Snowflake, had a credential attack. It impacted 165 companies that were using their service. And government and public sector isn't immune to this either. The U.S. national government public database had 2.9 billion records, probably all of your records, social security numbers, user names, passwords and more, billions of records, billions of losses.
VCF is your secure foundation. Built into the platform today, we already have multifactor authentication, encryption at rest and in motion, secure network zoning, live patching so you can update from those CVEs and much, much more. We extend that with our [ Bitdefender and AbiWord ] which looks at runtime security. How do I protect applications and look at actually what's happening on the network and in real time, get Zero Trust security, deep threat visibility and web app protection, meeting your PCI and HIPAA compliance needs.
And of course, our Tanzu, I've got to protect the developer pipeline. We can do that. We cannot just help you protect it, we can make sure that CDE remediations are done with ease because you can push code with ease, you can implement guardrails within your applications and full automated bills and service controls.
But we're not stopping there. I said we're innovating. I'm announcing today our new VCF Advanced Cyber compliance. This new extension to VCF provides a very, very powerful capability, complete continuous compliance enforcement, not just for your VCF environment, but more importantly, for your applications, okay, based on our SAL technology, but fully available for all of you. We have enhanced platform security, looking at how do we protect the resiliency of the platform itself, secure by design container images, confidential computing built in across AMD and Intel-based environments. And we do proactive assessments to monitor and maintain your environment for you.
And of course, if things go wrong, full automated ransomware and data recovery. All of our VLR, Live Recovery capability is part of this advanced cyber compliance. So you can do Disaster Recovery and Compliance Recovery -- sorry, and Cleanroom Recovery.
So we've covered a lot. You've seen all the work that we're doing on engineering the next generation of VCF. But we're not just talking about VCF this week, there is a whole lot more information. As I'd like to say in Ireland, there's a shift on more information that you're actually going to hear about this week. And hopefully, you enjoy it.
But it's really, really exciting times. But while we think about it, we've covered a lot, innovation in the data center, innovation for AI, innovation for security. And we've heard from customers, just like all of you, we're building their private cloud and seeing real results.
But before you go, I want to kind of share with you one thing. Standing here today, I kind of think of the journey we've been on together. 25 years ago, when we introduced server virtualization, people thought we were crazy. Why would you want to share a server? But you, all of you, the people in this room, you saw the potential. You transformed server economics forever. You transformed the data center through encapsulation and standardization of applications.
But we didn't stop there. We extended virtualization to networking and storage, delivering on the promise of the software-defined data center. Again, we had our doubters, but all of you proved them wrong. You redefine the data center, making it more flexible, more efficient, more resilient, software defined.
And now we're at the next inflection point, the modern private cloud, an agile, secure and cost-efficient cloud for all applications deployed anywhere. And you, you're not just IT practitioners. You're the architects of the future. You're writing the next chapter of the data center. So remember this, you're not just implementing technology. Together, we are redefining IT. Thank you for being here, and have a great week.
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Broadcom — VMware Explore 2025 Las Vegas
Broadcom — VMware Explore 2025 Las Vegas
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Kernaussage: Broadcom positioniert VMware Cloud Foundation (VCF) als integrierte, „private‑cloud‑first“ Plattform: VMs, native Kubernetes, Daten‑ und Sicherheitsdienste sowie private AI‑Services in einem Plug‑and‑Play‑SKU, mit Fokus auf Entwicklerproduktivität, Datensicherheit und On‑premises‑TCO.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- Produktintegration: VCF 9.0 wird als single SKU ausgeliefert; native vSphere Kubernetes Service, vSAN‑native S3‑Objektspeicher und Database‑as‑a‑Service (Postgres/MySQL/SQL Server) sind jetzt Plattform‑Services.
- Developer‑Stack: GitOps (Argo CD), Functions‑as‑a‑Service, Service Mesh, Policy‑as‑Code und integrierte CI/CD‑Pipelines zielen auf „accelerated path to production“.
- AI & HW‑Ökosystem: Private AI‑Services (Model Gallery, Model Runtime, Data Indexing, Agent Builder), Canonical/Ubuntu‑Integration für abgespeckte, AI‑ready Images; erweiterte GPU‑Unterstützung (NVIDIA Blackwell/RTX, ConnectX‑7/BlueField3) und AMD MI350‑Support.
- Sicherheit: Neue VCF Advanced Cyber Compliance für kontinuierliche Compliance‑Durchsetzung, Live‑Recovery und erweiterte Laufzeit‑Schutzfunktionen.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Ankündigungen: GA‑Verfügbarkeit von VCF 9.0 wurde bestätigt; neue integrierte Entwickler‑ und Datenservices (S3, DBaaS, GitOps), private AI‑Stack als Bestandteil von VCF, Canonical‑Partnerschaft sowie erweiterte Accelerator‑Support‑Matrix.
- Kundenmomentum: Großkunde‑Commitments (u. a. Walmart genannt) und >80 Onboardings für Private AI im letzten Jahr wurden hervorgehoben.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Relevanz: Produktseitig erweitert Broadcom die Monetarisierungsansätze (Subscriptions, Services, HW‑zertifizierungen) und adressiert Entwickler‑, AI‑ und Sicherheits‑Use‑Cases. Positive Signale zur Nachfrage (Walmart, andere Top‑Kunden) reduzieren Adoptionsrisiken, bleiben aber abhängig von Preiswahrnehmung, Implementierungsaufwand und konkurrenzfähigen Hyperscaler‑Angeboten.
Broadcom — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Broadcom Inc.'s Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, for opening remarks and introductions, I would like to turn the call over to Ji Yoo. Head of Investor Relations of Broadcom Inc.
Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Joining me on today's call are Hock Tan, President and CEO; Kirsten Spears, Chief Financial Officer; and Charlie Case, President Semiconductor Solutions Group.
Broadcom distributed a press release and financial tables after the market closed, describing our financial performance for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025. If you did not receive a copy, you may obtain the information from the Investors section of the Broadcom's website at broadcom.com. This conference call is being webcast live, and an audio replay of the call can be accessed for 1 year through the Investors section of Broadcom's website. During the prepared comments, Hock and Kirsten will be providing details of our second quarter fiscal year 2025 results, guidance for our third quarter of fiscal year 2025 as well as commentary regarding the business environment. We'll take questions after the end of our prepared comments.
Please refer to our press release today and our recent filings with the SEC for information on the specific risk factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements made on this call. In addition to U.S. GAAP reporting, Broadcom reports certain financial measures on a non-GAAP basis. A reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP measures is included in the tables attached to today's press release. Comments made during today's call will primarily refer to our non-GAAP financial results. I will now turn the call over to Hock.
Thank you, Ji, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. In our fiscal Q2 2025, Total revenue was a record $15 billion, up 20% year-on-year. This 20% year-on-year growth was all organic as Q2 last year was the first full quarter with VMware. Now revenue was driven by continued strength in AI semiconductor and the momentum we have achieved in VMware. Now reflecting excellent operating leverage, Q2 consolidated adjusted EBITDA was $10 billion, up 35% year-on-year. Now let me provide more color Q2 semiconductor revenue was $8.4 billion, with growth accelerating to 17% year-on-year up from 11% in Q1. And of course, driving this growth was AI semiconductor revenue of over $4.4 billion which is up 46% year-on-year and continues the trajectory of 9 consecutive quarters of strong growth.
Within this, custom AI accelerators grew double digits year-on-year, while AI networking grew over 170% year-on-year. AI networking, which is based on Ethernet was robust and represented 40% of our AI revenue. As a standard-based open protocol, Ethernet enables one single fed break for both scale out and scale up and remains the preferred choice by our hyperscale customers. Our networking portfolio of Tomahawk switches, Cherry core routers and NIC is what's driving our success within AI clusters in hyperscale. And the momentum continues with our breakthrough Tomahawk switch just announced this week.
This represents the next generation 102.4 terabits per second switch capacity. TMOV enables clusters of more than 100,000 AI salarators to be deployed in just 2 tiers instead of 3. This flattening of the AI cluster is huge because it enables much better performance in training, next-generation frontier models through a lower latency, higher bandwidth and lower power. Turning to XPUs or customer accelerators. We continue to make excellent progress on the multiyear journey of enabling our 3 customers and 4 prospects to deploy custom accelerators. As we had articulated over 6 months ago, we eventually expect at least 3 customers to each deploy 1 million AI-accelerated clusters in 2027, largely for training their frontier models.
And we forecast and continue to do so a significant percentage of these deployments to big custom XPUs. These partners are still unwavering in their plan to invest despite the certain economic environment. In fact, what we've seen recently is that they are doubling down on inference in order to monetize their platforms. And reflecting this, we may actually see an acceleration of pen demand into the back half of 2026 to meet urgent demand for inference on top of the demand we have indicated from training. And accordingly, we do anticipate now our fiscal 2025 growth rate of AI semiconductor revenue to sustain into fiscal 2026.
Turning to our Q3 outlook. As we continue our current trajectory of growth. We forecast AI semiconductor revenue to be $5.1 billion, up 60% year-on-year which would be the tenth consecutive quarter of growth. Now turning to non-AI semiconductors in Q2. revenue of $4 billion was down 5% year-on-year. non-AI semiconductor revenue is close to the bottom and has been relatively slow to recover but they had bright spots. In Q2, broadband, enterprise networking and service storage revenues were up sequentially. However, industrial was down and as expected, wireless was also down due to seasonality.
In Q3, we expect enterprise networking in broadband to continue to grow sequentially, but service storage, wireless and industrial are expected to be largely flat. And overall, we forecast non-AI semiconductor revenue to stay around $4 billion. Now let me talk about our infrastructure software segment. Q2 Infrastructure software revenue of $6.6 billion was up 25% year-on-year, above our outlook of $6.5 billion. As we have said before, this growth reflects our success in converting our enterprise customers from perpetual vSphere to the full VCS software type subscription. Customers are increasingly turning to VCF to create a modernized private cloud on-prem which will enable them to repatriate workloads from public clouds while being able to run modern container-based applications and AI applications.
Of our 10,000 largest customers, over 87% have now adopted VCA. The momentum from strong VCF sales over the past 18 months since the acquisition of VMware has created annual recurring revenue or otherwise could not ARR growth of double digits in our core infrastructure software. In Q3, we expect Infrastructure software revenue to be approximately $6.7 billion up 16% year-on-year. So in total, we're guiding Q3 consolidated revenue to be approximately $15.8 billion up 21% year-on-year. We expect Q3 adjusted EBITDA to be at least 66%.
With that, let me turn the call over to Kirsten.
Thank you, Hock. Let me now provide additional detail on our Q2 financial performance. Consolidated revenue was a record $15 billion for the quarter, up 20% from a year ago. Gross margin was 79.4% of revenue in the quarter better than we originally guided on product mix. Consolidated operating expenses were $2.1 billion, of which $1.5 billion was related to R&D. Q2 operating income of $9.8 billion was up 37% from a year ago, with operating margin at 65% of revenue. adjusted EBITDA was $10 billion or 67% of revenue, above our guidance of 66%. This figure excludes $142 million of depreciation.
Now a review of the P&L for our two segments. Starting with semiconductors. Revenue for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was $8.4 billion, with growth accelerating to 17% year-on-year, driven by AI. Semiconductor revenue represented 56% of total revenue in the quarter. Gross margin for our Semiconductor Solutions segment was approximately 69% up 140 basis points year-on-year driven by product mix. Operating expenses increased 12% year-on-year to $971 million on increased investment in R&D for leading edge AI semiconductors. Semiconductor operating margin of 57% was up 200 basis points year-on-year.
Now moving on to infrastructure software. Revenue for infrastructure software of $6.6 billion was up 25% year-on-year and represented 44% of total revenue, gross margin for infrastructure software was 93% in the quarter compared to 88% a year ago. Operating expenses were $1.1 billion in the quarter, resulting in infrastructure software operating margin of approximately 76%. This compares to operating margin of 60% a year ago. This year-on-year improvement reflects our disciplined integration of VMware.
Moving on to cash flow. Free cash flow in the quarter was $6.4 billion and represented 43% of revenue. Free cash flow as a percentage of revenue continues to be impacted by increased interest expense from debt related to the VMware acquisition and increased cash taxes. We spent $144 million on capital expenditures. Days sales outstanding were 34 days in the second quarter compared to 40 days a year ago. We ended the second quarter with inventory of $2 billion, up 6% sequentially in anticipation of revenue growth in future quarters. Our days of inventory on hand were 69 days in Q2 as we continue to remain disciplined on how we manage inventory across the ecosystem.
We ended the second quarter with $9.5 billion of cash and $69.4 million of gross principal debt. Subsequent to quarter end, we repaid $1.6 billion of debt resulting in gross principal debt of $67.8 billion. The weighted average coupon rate and years to maturity of our $59.8 billion in fixed rate debt is 3.8% and 7 years, respectively. The weighted average interest rate and years to maturity of our $8 billion in floating rate debt is 5.3% and 2.6 years, respectively. Turning to capital allocation. In Q2, we paid stockholders $2.8 billion of cash dividends based on a quarterly common stock cash dividend of $0.59 per share.
In Q2, we repurchased $4.2 billion or approximately 25 million shares of common stock. In Q3, we expect the non-GAAP diluted share count to be approximately 4.97 billion shares, excluding the potential impact of any share repurchases. Now moving on to guidance. Our guidance for Q3 is for consolidated revenue of $15.8 billion up 21% year-on-year. We forecast semiconductor revenue of approximately $9.1 billion, up 25% year-on-year. Within this, we expect Q3 AI semiconductor revenue of $5.1 billion, up 60% year-on-year. We expect infrastructure software revenue of approximately $6.7 billion, up 16% year-on-year.
For modeling purposes, we expect Q3 consolidated gross margin to be down approximately 130 basis points sequentially, primarily reflecting a higher mix of XPUs within AI revenue. As a reminder, consolidated gross margins through the year will be impacted by the revenue mix of infrastructure software and semiconductors. We expect Q3 adjusted EBITDA to be at least 66%. We expect the non-GAAP tax rate for Q3 and fiscal year 2025 to remain at 14%. And with this, that concludes my prepared remarks. Operator, please open up the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions]. Our first question will come from the line of Ross Seymore with Deutsche Bank.
2. Question Answer
I wanted to jump on to the AI side and specifically some of the commentary you had about next year. Can you just give a little bit more color on the inference commentary you gave? And is it more of the XPU side, the connectivity side or both that's giving you the confidence to talk about the growth rate that you have this year being matched next fiscal year?
Thank you, Ross. Good question. I think we're indicating that what we are seeing and what we have quite a bit of visibility increasingly is increased deployment of XPUs next year, much more than we originally thought. And hand-in-hand, we did, of course, more and more networking. So it's a combination of both.
And the imprint side of things?
Yes, we are seeing much more inference now.
One moment for the next question. And that will come from the line of Harlan Sur with JPMorgan.
Great job on the quarterly execution. Good to see the positive growth inflection quarter-over-quarter year-over-year growth rates in your AI business. As a team, as mentioned, right, the quarters can be a bit lumpy. So if I move out kind of first 3 quarters of this fiscal year, your AI business is up 60% year-over-year. It's kind of right in line with your 3-year kind of SAM growth CAGR, right?
Given your prepared remarks and knowing that your lead times remain at 35 weeks or better, do you see the Broadcom team sustaining the year-over-year growth rate exiting this year, and I assume that, that potentially implies that you see your AI business sustaining the 60% year-over-year growth rate into fiscal '26 again, based on your prepared commentary, which again is in line with your SAM growth maker. Is that kind of a fair way to think about the trajectory this year and next year?
Harlan, that's a very insightful set of analysis here. And that's exactly what we're trying to do here because over 6 months ago, we gave you guys a point a year, 2027. As we come into the second half, of 2025. And with improved visibility and updates we are seeing in the way our hyperscale partners are deploying data centers AI classes. We are providing you some level of guidance visibility, what we are seeing how the trajectory of '26 might look like. I'm not giving you any update on '27. We're just still establishing the update we have in '27, 6 months ago. But what we're doing now is giving you more visibility into where we're seeing '26 headed/
But is the framework that you laid out for us like second half of last year, which implies 60% kind of growth CAGR in your SAM opportunity. Is that kind of the right way to think about it as it relates to the profile of growth in your business this year and next year?
Yes.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Ben Reitzes with Melius Research.
Hock, networking -- AI networking was really strong in the quarter. And it seemed like it must have beat expectations. I was wondering if you could just talk about the networking in particular, what caused that? And how much of that is your acceleration into next year? And when do you think you see Tomahawk kicking in as part of that acceleration?
Well, I think the network AI networking as you probably would know goes pretty hand-in-hand with deployment of AI accelerator clusters. It isn't. It doesn't deploy on the timetable that is very different from the way that accelerators get deployed, whether they are expense or GPUs. It does happen. And they deploy a lot in scale out where Ethernet, of course, is the choice of protocol but it's also increasingly moving into the space of what we all call scale up within those data centers where you have much higher, more than we originally thought consumption or density of switches than you have in the scale-out scenario.
It's, in fact, increased density in scale up is 5 to 10x more than in scale out. And that's the part that kind of pleasantly surprised us. And which is why this past quarter the AI networking portion continues at about 40% from when we reported a quarter ago for Q1. And at that time, I said I expect it to drop. It hasn't.
And your thoughts on Tomahawk driving acceleration for next year and when it kicks in?
Tomahawk, oh, yes, that's extremely strong interest now. We're not shipping big orders or any orders other than basic proof of concepts out to customers, but there is tremendous demand for this new 102 terabit per second Tomahawk switches.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. And now will come from the line of Blayne Curtis with Jefferies.
Great results. I just want to ask maybe following up on the scale-out opportunities. So today, I guess your main customer is not really using an envy link switch style scale up. I'm just kind of curious your visibility or the timing in terms of when you might be shipping a switched Ethernet scale-up network to your customers?
The banking scale up?
Scale up.
.
Well, scale-up is very rapidly converting to Ethernet now. Very much so, for our fairly narrow band of hyperscale customers, scale up is very much Ethernet.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein.
I still wanted to follow up on that AI 2026 question. I wanted to just put some numbers on it. just to make sure I've got it right. So if you did 60% in the first 3 quarters of this year, if you grow 60% year-over-year in Q4, it puts you at like, I don't know, $5.8 billion, something like $19 billion or $20 billion for the year. And then are you -- are you saying you're going to grow 60% in 2026, what put you $30 billion plus in AI revenues for 2026. So I just want to -- is that the math that you're trying to communicate to us directly?
I think you're doing the math. I'm giving you the trend. But I did answer that question. I think Holland adds earlier. The rate we are seeing now so far in fiscal '25 and will presumably continue. We don't see any reason why it doesn't give a lead time visibility in '25. What we're seeing today based on what we have visibility on '26 is to be able to ramp up this AI revenue in the same trajectory.
So is the SAM going up -- so is the SAM going up as well because now you have influence on top of training. So is the SAM still 60 to 90? Or is the SAM higher now as you see it?
I'm not playing the SAM game here. I'm just giving a trajectory towards where we drew the line on '27 before. So I have no response to it's the same going up or not. Stop talking about Sam now. Thanks.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Vivek Arya with Bank of America.
I had a near and then a longer-term question on the XTU business. talk for near term, if you're networking upside in Q2 and overall was in line, it means XTU was perhaps not as strong. So I realize it's lumpy, but anything more to read into that any product transition or anything else? So just a clarification there. And then longer term, you have outlined a number of additional customers that you're working with what milestones should we look forward to? And what milestones are you watching to give you the confidence that you can now start adding that addressable opportunity into your '27 or '28 or other numbers? Like how do we get the confidence that these projects are going to turn into revenue in some reasonable time frame from now.
Okay. On the first part that you're asking, it's like you're trying to count how many [indiscernible]. I mean whether it's HP or networking. Networking is hot, but that doesn't mean experience any softer. It's very much along the trajectory we expect it to be. And so there's no lumpiness, there's no softening. It's pretty much what we expect the trajectory to go so far and into next quarter as well and probably beyond. So we have a -- it's a fairly I guess, in our view, a fairly clear visibility on the short-term trajectory. In terms of going on to '27, no, we are not updating any numbers here.
We -- 6 months ago, we drew a sense for the size of the SAM based on 1 trillion GPU XP clusters for three customers and that's still very valid at that point, that would be done, and we have not provided any further updates here. No, are we intending to at this point. When we get a better visibility clearer sense of where we are, and that probably won't happen until '26. We'll be happy to give an update to the audience. But right now, though, in today's prepared remarks and answering a couple of questions. We have -- we are -- as we are doing -- as we have done yet, we are intending to give you guys more visibility what we've seen the growth trajectory in '26.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of CJ Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald.
I was hoping to follow up on Ross's question regarding inference opportunity. Can you discuss workloads that are optimal that you're seeing for custom silicon? And then over time, what percentage of your XPU business could be inferenced versus training?
I think there's no differentiation between training and inference and using merchant accelerators versus customer accelerators. I think they're all the whole premise behind going towards custom accelerators continues, which is it's not a matter of cost alone. It is that as custom accelerators get used and get developed on a road map with any particular hyperscaler, that's a learning curve learning turf on how they could optimize the way the and their algorithms on their large language models gets written and tied to silicon.
And that ability to do so is a huge value-added in creating algorithms that can drive their LOMs to higher and higher performance, much more than basically a segregation approach between hardware and the software is that you literally combine end-to-end hardware software as they take their journey. And it's a journey. They don't learn that in 1 year. doing a few cycles get better and better and analyze the file the fundamental value in creating your own hardware versus using a third-party merchant silicon that you are able to optimize your software to the hardware and eventually achieve way high performance than you otherwise could. And we see that happening.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Karl Ackerman with BNP Paribas.
Hock, you spoke about the much higher content opportunity in scale-up networking. I was hoping you could discuss how important is demand adoption for co-package optics in achieving this 5 or 10x higher content for scalp networks. Or should we anticipate much of a scale-up opportunity will be driven by Tomahawk and [indiscernible]. Thank you.
I'm trying to decipher this question of these. So let me try to answer perhaps in a way I think you want me to clarify. First and foremost, I think most of one scaling up a lot of the scaling up that's going as I call it, which means a lot of XPU or GPU to GPU interconnects it's done on copper interconnects. And because the size of this -- of this scale cluster, still not that huge and they can get away with copper -- using copper interconnects.
And they're still doing it mostly they are doing it today. At some point soon, I believe, when you start trying to go beyond maybe 72 GPU to GPU interconnects you may have to push towards a different protocol model at a different media from copper to optical. And when we do that, yes, perhaps then thing side exalting stuff like co-packaging might be for of silicon with optical might become relevant. But truly, what we really are talking about is that at some stage, as the clusters get larger, which means scale up becomes much bigger, and you need to interconnect to each other in scale up many more than just 72 or 100, maybe even 12 in start going more and more.
You want to use optical interconnects simply because of distance. And that's when optical will start replacing copper. And when that happens, the question is what's the best way to deliver on optical. And one way is copackage optics, but it's not the only way. You can just simply use continued use perhaps pluggable at low-cost optics and which case then can interconnect the bandwidth, the ratings of a switch and our switch is down 512 connections. So you can now connect all these GPUs 512 for scale-up phenomenon. And that is huge but that's when you go to optical. That's going to happen, I said within my view a year or 2, and we'll be right in the forefront of it.
And it may be copackage optics, which we are very much in development but it's a lock-in co-package or it could just be as a first step pluggable optics. Whatever it is, I think the bigger question is when does it go for optical from copper connecting GP to tribute to optical connecting it. And the staff in that move will be huge. And it's not necessary go package offices. So that's definitely one path we are pursuing.
And one moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowen.
I realize it's a bit nitpicky, but I wanted to ask about gross margins in the guide. Revenue implies sort of $80 million to $100 million incremental increase with gross profit up, I think, $400 million to $450 million, which is kind of pretty well below corporate average fall-through. Appreciate that semis is dilutive and custom is probably dilutive within semi, but anything else going on with margins that we should be aware of? And how should we think about the margin profile of custom longer term as that business continues to scale and diversify.
Yes. We've historically said that the XPU margins are slightly lower than the rest of the business other than wireless. And so there's really nothing else going on other than that. It's just exactly what I said, that the majority of it quarter-over-quarter, the 130 basis point decline is being driven by more XPUs.
There are more moving parts here, then your simple analysis pros here. And I think our simple analysis is totally wrong in that regard.
And one moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Timothy Arcuri with UBS.
I also wanted to ask about scale up, Hock. So there's a lot of competing ecosystems that's A-Link which, of course, you left. And now there's the big GPU company opening up NVLink. And they're both trying to build ecosystems and there's an argument that you're an ecosystem of one. What would you say to that debate? Does opening up NVLink change the landscape and sort of how do you view of your AI network and growth next year? Do you think it's going to be primarily driven by scale up? Or would still be pretty scale-out heavy?
People don't like to create platforms and new protocols and systems. The fact of the meta is scale up can just be done easily. And it's currently available. It's open standards, open source, Ethernet, just as well just as well, you don't need to create new systems for the sake of doing something that you could easily be doing in networking in Ethernet.
And so yes, I hear a lot of this interesting new protocol standards that are trying to be created. And most of them, by the way, are proprietary. Much as they like to call it otherwise. One is really open source and open standards is Ethernet. And we believe Ethernet will prevail as it does before for the last 20 years in traditional networking. There's no reason to create a new standard for something that could be easily done in transferring bits and bytes of data.
0
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Christopher Rolland with Susquehanna.
Thanks for the question Yes. My question is for you, Jack. It's a kind of a bigger picture one here. And this kind of acceleration that we're seeing in AI demand. Do you think that this acceleration is because of a marked improvement in ASICs or XPUs closing the gap on the software side. at your customers? Do you think it's these require ketoconomics around inference test time compute driving that? For example, what do you think is actually driving the upside here? And do you think it leads to a market share shift faster than we were expecting towards XPU from GPU?
Yes. Interesting question about none of the foregoing that you outlined. Very simple, why inference has come out very, very hot lately is remember, we're only selling to a few customers, hyperscalers with platforms and LLMs. There are not that many. And we told you how many we have and we haven't increased any. But what is happening is these hyperscalers and those with LMM need to justify all the spending they're doing training makes your frontier models smarter.
That's no question. It's almost like science research and science, make your frontier models by creating very clever algorithms that consumes a lot of compute for training, smart training mixes smarter. You want to monetize [indiscernible]. And that's what's driving it. [indiscernible] I indicated in my prepared remarks, the drive to justify a return on investment and a lot of that investment is training. And that return on investment is by creating use cases, a lot AI use cases, AI consumption out there through availability of a lot of influence. And that's what we are now starting to see among a small group of customers.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Vijay Rakesh with Mizuho.
Just going back on the AIS revenue side. I know you said fiscal '25 kind of tracking to that up 60% as growth. As you look at fiscal '26, you have many new customers lapping a meta and probably you have the 4 of the 6 hyperscalers that you've talked in the past, would you expect that growth to activate into fiscal '26 about that kind of the 60% you talked about?
In my prepared remarks, which I clarify that the grade of growth we are seeing in '25 will sustain based on improved visibility and the fact that we're seeing insurance coming in on top of the demand for training as the clusters get buildup became bigger, still stands I don't think we are getting very far by trying to pass through my words or data here I just attribute. And we see that going from 25 into 26 as the best forecasts we have at this point.
Got it. And on the NVLink fusion versus the scale up, do you expect that market to go the route of -- on top of the rack where you've seen some move to the Ethernet side in kind of the scale out? Do you expect scale up to kind of go the same route.
Broadcom do not participate in NV Link. So I'm really not qualified to answer that question, I think.
One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Aaron Rakers with Wells Fargo.
I think all my questions on scale up have been asked. But I guess, Hock, given the execution that you guys have been able to do with the VMware integration looking at the balance sheet, looking at the debt structure. I'm curious if you could give us your thoughts on how the company thinks about capital return versus the thoughts on M&A and the strategy going forward?
Okay. That's an interesting question. And I grant not too untimely, I would say, because, yes, we have done a lot of the integration of VMware now. And you can see that in the level of free cash flow we're generating from operations. And as we said, the use of capital has always been -- we're very -- I guess, measured and upfront with a return through dividends, which is half our free cash flow of the preceding year. And frankly, as Kirsten has mentioned 3 months ago and 6 months ago to in our last earnings call, the first choice typically of the other part of the free cash flow is to bring down our debt to a more -- to a level that we feel closer to no more than 2 ratio of debt to EBITDA. And that doesn't mean that opportunistically, we may go out there and buy back our shares as we did last quarter. and indicated by Kirsten when we did $4.2 billion of stock buyback.
Now part of it is used to basically when employee RSUs vest basically use -- we basically buy back part of the shares in used to be paying taxes on vested RSU. But the other part of it, I do it -- we use it opportunistically last quarter when we see a situation when basically, we think that it's a good time to buy some shares back, we do. But having said all that, our use of cash outside of dividends would be at this stage, used towards reducing our debt. And I know you're going to ask what about M&A? Well, the kind of M&A we will do in our view, would be significant, would be substantial enough that we need debt in any case. And the good use of our free cash flow to bring down debt to, in a way, expand, if don't preserve our borrowing capacity if we have to do another M&A deal.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Srini Pajjuri with Raymond James.
S A couple of clarifications. First, on your 2026 expectation. Are you assuming any meaningful contribution from the 4 prospects that you talked about?
No comment. We don't talk about prospects. We only talk on customers.
Okay. Fair enough. And then my other clarification is that I think you talked about networking being about 40% of the mix within AI, is that the right kind of mix that you expect going forward? Or is that going to materially change as we, I guess, see expense ramping going forward?
No. I've always said and I expect that to be the case in going forward in '26 as we grow, that networking should be a ratio to XPU should be closer in the range of less than 30%, not the 40%.
Thank you. One moment for our next question. And that will come from the line of Joe Moore with Morgan Stanley.
Great. You've said you're not going to be impacted by export controls on AI. I know there's been a number of changes since in the industry since the last that you made the call. Is that still the case? And just can you give people comfort that there's no impact from that down the road?
Nobody can give anybody comfort in this environment, Joe. Rules are changing quite dramatically as trade bilateral trade agreements continue to be negotiated in a very, very dynamic environment. So I'll be honest, I don't know -- I know as little as probably -- you probably know more than I do, maybe in which case then I know very little about this whole thing about whether there is any export control, how the export control will take place, we're guessing. So I'd rather not answer that because no, I don't know whether it will be.
And we do have time for one final question, and that will come from the line of William Stein with Truist Securities.
I wanted to ask about the VMware. Can you comment as to how far along you are in the process of converting customers to the subscription model? Is that close to complete? Or is there still a number of quarters that we should expect that, that conversion continues.
That's a good question. And so by saying a good way to measure it is -- most of our VA contracts are about typically 3 years. And that was one VMware did before we acquired them, and that's pretty much what we continue to do. The is very traditional. So based on that, the renewals were like 2/3 of the way, almost to the halfway, more than halfway through the renewals. So we probably have at least another year plus maybe 1.5 years to go.
Thank you. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to Ji Yoo for closing remarks.
Thank you, operator. Broadcom currently plans to report its earnings for the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 after close of market on Thursday, September 4, 2025. A public webcast of Broadcom's earnings conference call will follow at 2:00 p.m. Pacific. That will conclude our earnings call today. Thank you all for joining. Operator, you may end the call.
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Broadcom — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $15 Mrd. (+20% YoY (Jahresvergleich))
- AI-Semiconductor: >$4,4 Mrd. (+46% YoY)
- Segm. Semiconductors: $8,4 Mrd. (+17% YoY)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $10 Mrd. (+35% YoY), 67% Marge
- Free Cash Flow: $6,4 Mrd. (43% Umsatz)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- AI-Momentum: Management sieht anhaltende, organische AI-Expansion; Netzwerke (Ethernet) und kundenspezifische XPUs (XPU = custom AI-Accelerator) treiben Wachstum.
- Tomahawk & Scale‑Up: Neue Tomahawk‑Switch (102,4 Tb/s) soll 2‑Tier‑Cluster ermöglichen, geringere Latenz und höhere Bandbreite; starkes Kundeninteresse, derzeit POCs.
- VMware‑Transformation: VCF (VMware Cloud Foundation)‑Umstellung erhöht wiederkehrende Umsätze; ARR (jährlich wiederkehrender Umsatz) wächst zweistellig.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q3 Umsatz: ~$15,8 Mrd. (+21% YoY)
- Q3 AI‑Revenue: $5,1 Mrd. (+60% YoY)
- Margen & EBITDA: Q3 adjusted EBITDA ≥66%; konsolidierte Bruttomarge soll q/q ~‑130 Basispunkte wegen höherem XPU‑Anteil sinken.
- Risiken: Exportkontrollen bleiben unsicher; Management gibt dafür keine Garantie.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Wachstums‑Persistenz: Analysten hakte nach Nachhaltigkeit des 60%‑Wachstums in FY25 vs. FY26; Management signalisiert gute Visibility für FY26, konkrete 2027‑Updates werden nicht gegeben.
- Networking vs. XPU: Viele Fragen zu Scale‑Up, NVLink vs. Ethernet; Broadcom favorisiert Ethernet; Tomahawk stark nachgefragt, aber noch keine großen Lieferungen.
- Margendruck XPU: XPUs sind marginal leicht dilutiv, treiben Bruttomargen‑Volatilität; Management bestätigt niedrigere XPU‑Margen relativ zum Kerngeschäft.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starke, AI‑getriebene Operative Leistung: hohes Umsatzwachstum, außergewöhnliche EBITDA‑ und Cash‑Generierung. Kurzfristig positiv für Aktionäre, aber Konzentrationsrisiken auf wenige Hyperscaler, Unsicherheit durch mögliche Exportkontrollen und hoher Verschuldungsstand bleiben relevante Risiken; Kapitalrückführung bleibt Dividenden plus gezielte Buybacks, Priorität auf Schuldenabbau.
Finanzdaten von Broadcom
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Basis
| Mai '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 75.465 75.465 |
32 %
32 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 23.884 23.884 |
24 %
24 %
32 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 51.581 51.581 |
36 %
36 %
68 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 4.253 4.253 |
3 %
3 %
6 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 11.991 11.991 |
26 %
26 %
16 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 35.337 35.337 |
46 %
46 %
47 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 2.027 2.027 |
23 %
23 %
3 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 33.310 33.310 |
55 %
55 %
44 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 29.317 29.317 |
127 %
127 %
39 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
Broadcom, Inc. ist ein globales Technologieunternehmen, das Halbleiter- und Infrastruktur-Softwarelösungen entwirft, entwickelt und liefert. Es ist in den folgenden Segmenten tätig: Halbleiterlösungen, Infrastruktursoftware und IP-Lizenzierung. Das Segment Semiconductor Solutions verwaltet die Bewegung von Daten in Anwendungen für Rechenzentren, Telekommunikation, Unternehmen und eingebettete Netzwerke. Das Segment Infrastruktursoftware bietet ein Portfolio von Netzwerklösungen für Mainframe-, Unternehmens- und Speicherbereiche. Das IP-Lizenzierungssegment lizenziert einen Teil seines breiten IP-Portfolios. Das Unternehmen wurde 1961 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in San Jose, Kalifornien.
aktien.guide Basis
| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Tan |
| Mitarbeiter | 33.000 |
| Gegründet | 1961 |
| Webseite | www.broadcom.com |


