Biogen Aktienkurs
Vergleich mit Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 Was ist das?
Die Peer Group sind die Unternehmen mit dem ähnlichsten Geschäftsmodell. Sie dienen als Vergleichsmaßstab, um eine Aktie einzuordnen.
🧮 Wie wird sie ausgewählt?
Nach Ähnlichkeit des Geschäftsmodells, also Unternehmen aus derselben Branche, mit vergleichbaren Produkten und einer ähnlichen Kundengruppe. Nur so vergleichst du Äpfel mit Äpfeln.
🏛️ Wofür ist sie wichtig?
Ob eine Aktie günstig oder teuer ist, lässt sich am ehesten im Vergleich beurteilen. Ein KGV von 18 oder ein EV/FCF von 20 wirkt je nach Maßstab günstig oder teuer. Die Peer Group liefert dabei den treffsichersten Maßstab: Unternehmen mit ähnlichem Geschäftsmodell, die denselben Bedingungen unterliegen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
Liegt eine Kennzahl unter dem Peer-Durchschnitt, ist die Aktie relativ günstiger bewertet, über dem Durchschnitt entsprechend teurer. Ein Abschlag zur Peer Group kann eine Chance sein, aber auch einen Grund haben (zum Beispiel geringeres Wachstum). Der Vergleich ist ein Startpunkt, kein Urteil.
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 31,94 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 10,03 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 31,94 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 10,65 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 38,75 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 10,03 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 38,75 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 10,65 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Biogen Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
43 Analysten haben eine Biogen Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
43 Analysten haben eine Biogen Prognose abgegeben:
Biogen Events
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aktien.guide Basis
Biogen — Morgan Stanley 24th Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
All right. Great. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us. I'm Terence Flynn, Morgan Stanley's U.S. biopharma analyst. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. Very pleased to be hosting Biogen this morning.
Joining us from the company is Chris Viehbacher, the company's President and CEO. Thanks so much, Chris, for joining us on a Monday morning here in Times Square, but really appreciate the time.
I just thought we'd maybe start big picture here. The company has been very active. -- kind of reshaping the business over -- under your tenure over the last several years. And one area you've been pretty active on is the business development front, including the recent Apellis acquisition. And so maybe just high level, talk to us about capital deployment strategy and how that's reshaped the company and positioned you from a growth and pipeline perspective over the next several years.
Well, good morning, everybody. Thanks for the invitation, Terence. Great to be here. internally, we talk about new Biogen. And that is really what's driven our capital allocation strategy to date. Old Biogen was really very much focused on neuroscience, really moonshot type projects, extremely expensive, long Phase III program, very little diversification and actually quite a narrow pipeline. And in fact, when I first arrived at Biogen, the only physicians we actually called on were neurologists. And today, we're building out a commercial team that's not only seeing neurologists, but also nephrologists, transplant nephrologists, rheumatologists, dermatologists, epileptologists, retina specialists.
So there has been a significant shift in the therapeutic areas of focus for the company. And a lot of that has been driven by the BD and that was very intentional. We did not want to abandon our roots in neuroscience. We continue to work in ALS, in Alzheimer's, a little bit in Huntington's. But having been so long in MS, we looked at MS as a neuroscience business, but the reality is you treat the immune system with MS. And so immunology felt like a logical place for us to go. And there you can do much shorter and more defining Phase II clinical trials. So we were trying to, on the one hand, broaden our commercial areas of focus, but also have areas where we weren't taking quite so much risk in deploying so much capital. We did that with the Hi-Bio acquisition, which gave us felzartamab.
Apellis, although we're talking about kidney disease and eye disease, it's -- these are complement inhibitors and so also in immunology. So -- and immunology is obviously a vast area. Today, we're pretty much focused in the rare and smaller indications in immunology. But I would say today, in terms of allocation, I think we've got an extremely good setup at Biogen right now. We've got 10 Phase III clinical trials that will start to read out as soon as next quarter. that could lead to 8 product launches indications with 5 molecules. And I think with Apellis, we're now we have the potential to really have an inflection in our revenue growth.
And so as I look at capital allocation, I'm more focused on -- we're collectively more focused on our early-stage development. We're -- we think we can grow this business with what we have. And -- but the nature of this business is the day you launch a product, you should be starting to develop the successor product. And that's what we're really doing. So it's going to be preclinical Phase I, Phase II assets.
Yes. Okay. Great.
Which is also the most capital effective time to do acquisitions.
Yes. And what's the market dynamic right now for those kind of assets? I mean, I'd imagine still fairly competitive out there when you think about the profile of things you guys are looking at?
Yes, it is because you're getting a number of assets, particularly immunology, where you've got already where the underlying disease biology is pretty well defined. So they have -- there is some areas of this that are highly competitive. At the same time, we have China coming in. And so the supply, if you like, of early-stage assets has expanded significantly.
Yes. Okay. Great. Maybe before we talk about some of the other therapeutic areas and the diversification, I just want to touch on LEQEMBI. Obviously, still a really important product. for you guys and your partner, Eisai. So maybe just level set us in terms of kind of current market dynamics, how to think about steady state market share and then the subcu induction launch, which I know has been a near-term focus?
And so there's a bit of a paradox with Alzheimer's. On the one hand, we have a huge population with an unmet need, and yet the uptake has been slower than many would have expected. And part of that is really just an enormous change that has had to take place within the neurology practice. This is really requiring a team approach, which neurologists haven't really had to do. I mean, we have to organize PET scans and MRIs and infusion beds due to the cognitive assessment they've had to expand the staff. And before they expanded the staff, was there really enough -- going to be enough reimbursement for that?
Then with the infusions, what we have seen is a number of physicians are carefully choosing which patients will go on treatment. Are they robust enough themselves to get themselves to an infusion center every 2 or 4 weeks? Or do they have a caregiver that can take time off work regularly to do that. And so one of the things that we have been really focusing on is how do we simplify that care pathway. And I think we made a lot of progress on that, and I think we could potentially see an inflection now in the LEQEMBI sales. both in terms of market share as well as in overall market growth. And that's really because we've, first of all, tried to eliminate the PET scan because there's now blood-based diagnostics.
Neurologists love scans because the only time you can really try to figure out what's going on inside the brain. But a PET scan costs $5,000. The blood-based by diagnostics is less than $130. And then the next thing we're doing is really using those blood-based diagnostics to get a better triage of the patients coming in. It's very hard to get an appointment with a neurologist. And at the start, too many people just weren't eligible. Their disease was too far advanced. Now what we're seeing is a lot of use of blood-based diagnostics in a primary care setting. And so the yield, if you like, of eligible patients getting in went from 50% to 70%. And now the last stage has really been the approval of a subcutaneous form. We had that for the maintenance indication last year. Now this year, we've had it for induction. And that's important not only for the care pathway, but also from a competitiveness profile.
I think Lilly's really main argument has been once monthly infusions instead of every 2 weeks. When you have a subcutaneous that goes away. And Lilly does not have a subcutaneous for donanemab. So I think, obviously, now moving to the subcutaneous means moving from Part B to Part D. So the negotiations with the plans are underway, and any reimbursement would be eligible from first of January. So we're not going to really see the uptake of subcutaneous in any meaningful way until we get that Part D reimbursement.
Yes. But you are seeing medical exceptions get processed, right? As I remember from the 2Q call?
80%, I think, are better of all medical exemptions -- formulary exemptions that are requested are approved, yes.
Okay. And so January 1, you're confident in that time line because I think that was a question we got recently, I was could that slip even further? Or you're fairly confident January 1, you're going to have part D access?
Well, Medicare makes all those decisions effective 1st to January. So that won't slip. What we don't know is you have -- there will be some plans that will reimburse subcutaneous for all indications. We got approval in July, so that's theoretically in advance of the announcement in the kind of late fall time frame. So we'll have to wait and see which plans reimburse for both indications or at all. So -- but I think we are hopeful that we can get decent reimbursement on 1st of January.
Okay. Would we know for sure, by your third quarter call, like in October, is that a reasonable expectation to think about when you might have full visibility there?
I think it might be. I think they're usually in November, so it might [indiscernible] bit. So that's all in the hands of the plans -- they have to get everybody to sign up for these plans in the fall. So it's usually -- it's usually in and around that time frame.
Okay. Okay. Great. The other -- there are 2 other focal points in terms of Alzheimer's. So Roche has a brain shuttle approach that they're using, which it looks like could potentially lead to lower rates of ARIA. So first question is just how do you think about potential competitive dynamics, if that does play out? And then anything you guys are doing on kind of a similar vein to try to further improve the ARIA rates with LEQEMBI?
Well, first, I mean, trontinemab is not coming to a neurologist near you anytime soon, right? So I think that right now, I think it is these 2 molecules that are really going to be the ones in the market for probably the rest of the decade, I mean as far as we can tell. And I think what you're going to see is actually a lot is going to really depend on these early treatment studies that are coming out, which have, I think, the potential to completely redefine the market. Lilly has their trailblazer -- I think it is a study that might read out as early as next year. We have the AHEAD 3-45 study, which are probably the more definitive studies in early diagnosed patients.
One of the things that has always been there is what's the level of efficacy. And actually, the level of efficacy of these drugs is wonderful. I mean, we clear the amyloid plaques. The question has always been, for who does that make the most difference? Because this is a disease where you're killing off neurons and harming synaptic function. So it seems logical that if you can treat patients before you've lost too many neurons that they should do better. And in fact, we demonstrated from a study of low towel patients that when you got -- and that's really a marker of early-stage patients. In those, 70% of patients, 70% were stable on disease over 6 months. No further decline. And in fact, 60% actually showed some improvement. So that says that really, if you can get to patients earlier and the AHEAD 3 study is looking at people who have almost no amyloid buildup because Alzheimer's is believed to be an amyloid driven telepathy because it's really the tale that determines the severity of the disease.
So AHEAD 3, we'll look at the hypothesis. Well, if you can stop the amyloid buildup above a certain threshold, you may never get Alzheimer's. And the AHEAD 45 is looking at those patients who are yet -- do not yet have symptoms. But if you could actually stop the development of amyloid at that point, do you either prolong this so that maybe the patient dies or something else or lives longer or maybe also never gets the disease. And though -- and then, of course, we have tau coming along with diranersen, and there's going to be a whole interplay of where's amyloid and tau. And the whole reduction of ARIA is going to be interesting because the hypothesis has always been that as you remove the plaque, that's what caused the ARIA.
But if you're in early-stage patients, there is at least a hypothesis that ARIA may not play a role anyway. And so certainly, as Biogen, we plan to be in both these areas. We are looking at the next generation of A-beta. We are right now in the lead on tau. And I think you'll see a progressive increase in this market. The number of people over the age of 65 continues to grow and the percentage of the total population of people over the age of 65 continues to grow. So the unmet need is only going to grow in Alzheimer's.
Yes, for sure. You mentioned, I think Willy has guided to having their data from TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 3 next year. Any update in terms of timing for the AHEAD 3-45 program that you can share?
That one is fully recruited, and you just have to wait the time for follow-up. One of the problems of this is we don't really know how fast Alzheimer's really develop. So even if you retard the growth of amyloid beta, how long does it take to really show a difference. So we have 4 years that we're looking at. So you have to wait for 4 years, basically. I mean this study started in 2020, and it will read out in 2028. That's one reason why we also decided to diversify the portfolio of the company. You can't be doing studies like that all the time.
Yes. Last one before we go to the lupus portfolio. It just is a positive readout from TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 3 good for AHEAD 3-45. And is the converse also true are there differences that limit read-across potential? Because again, before your data, everyone is going to be focused on Lilly's data and what does it mean for Biogen and e-size program?
Well, we're certainly cheering for Lilly that they succeed, but there are differences in the endpoint and in the patient population that they're studying. So a negative study, we don't think would necessarily read through to AHEAD.
Okay. Moving on to lupus. So litifilimab, you have some upcoming Phase III SLE data expected in the fourth quarter from 2 studies. And then you are running also a CLE study that's going to have data in the first half of '27. So maybe first, just help us set expectations for the 2 SLE studies that are coming out here in the fourth quarter. What are you guys -- why are you confident in success? What are you hoping to see?
Well, I think if people are nervous, it's really because this has been a graveyard for a lot of molecules, right? I mean this is, first of all, a very heterogeneous disease. There are some specialists do even question whether this is a single disease. But there are different joints involvement, different symptoms. I've seen numerous patient panels where one patient will say to another. My lupus is not your lupus. And so trying to find an endpoint that covers all of those things.
The other is that people are -- have situations of flare and then they have remission. You've got the utilization of steroids. So there's always sort of some level of background therapy in placebo. And so probably the most important thing is really the patient selection coming into the study. Clearly, our teams have learned from others. You may recall that SAPHNELO of its Phase III did not work, and that was largely related to the use of inside, I think it was in the group. And we have, for instance, already controlled for that as did SAPHNELO with their second Phase III.
The other I would say is we faced exactly the same situation with multiple sclerosis. There's also heterogeneous disease. It's something that you treat over a longer period of time. One of the things that's coming out of market research, for instance, now because this is a market that should be the same size as MS, but it's not today. And one of the problems has been the penetration of the biologics. And it's not really somewhat just a fault of the biologics. It's if you're going to treat patients over decades, which is the same thing for MS, you want to save the big guns, if you like, until you think the patient is more serious. So there's been a reluctance to use the biologics because they've only got two. So our brief is that as physicians have more treatment options, first of all, that, that market will grow. And a lot of this is going to be which drug is right for the right -- for this patient at which time.
And again, this was exactly the same thing that we went through with multiple sclerosis. There is a heavy predominance of this disease in women and also in African-American women. And again, this is an area where we have a lot of experience, not only in MS, but also in postpartum depression. And that requires a different outreach. So I do think one is we have to make sure that the studies actually read out. But again, I think we have been able to learn from other studies and from our experience. And then from a commercial point of view, I think Biogen is uniquely positioned to really try to build this market. And then, of course, we have the cutaneous lupus coming in, in Q1 of the next -- first half of next year, I think it is.
Yes. What -- and so what do you think about, I guess, SAPHNELO is a precedent on positive study, one negative study. Do you feel pretty comfortable that even if you had a similar result, you'd be able to get approval in SLE on kind of a mixed bag of data?
You prefer having both, but there is at least precedent. And then you also have CRE. So you've got multiple shots on goal here.
You mentioned CLE. I think Phase II, obviously, is next year, but I think there's going to be some 1-year data at the European conference coming up here later this year. thing we should focus on that data set as we think ahead to the Phase III data next year?
The cutaneous lupus is an interesting one to study. First of all, there's -- nobody has been actually approved yet in just cutaneous lupus. Now the distinction is a little bit -- it's really a function of which physician is looking at it because you do have patients with SLE that have some skin engagement, where there's a greater preponderance of the skin engagement, then at some point, the patient gets referred to a dermatologist. So if you like, I think as we look at the segmentation of the market, we know we're going to have to see rheumatologists for SLE, but there might be some cutaneous there, too. And certainly, when you go to the dermatologist and the cutaneous lupus is is more predominant. And that is single organ engagement, and it's also very visible like many other dermatological conditions. So I think the read-through on a Phase II should be although given recent events, you can't be sure of any Phase III, but I think there's a reasonable expectation that there's a high probability of read-through from the Phase II.
Great. You touched on some of the commercial dynamics already, but maybe the related question is just the build of your own team. Where does that stand? Is that more of a end of this year into '27 dynamic as you build out the lupus sales force and footprint there?
So we have started already. Really starting on the medical affairs functions. We have been busy building out that and in all areas, in dermatology, rheumatology, nephrology, epileptology. That will continue into next year. Most of the commercial build-out would be closer to the actual approval. The good news is that for most of the conditions, particularly in the rare diseases, you don't have a huge commercial team to build out. And in lupus, I think we still have some people involved in multiple sclerosis. And so we think we might be able to move some of those, but particularly in the U.S., we might be able to utilize some of the same people for lupus.
Yes. And maybe just remind us, I think you framed the opportunity as an $8 billion market for lupus. Is that...
Worldwide, yes. I mean, if I look at the -- I think the MS market is $25 billion or $30 billion. If you look at the actual epidemiology, it's that size. Now nobody is really jumping to that number yet because it's going to take some time to really get the penetration of the biologics. But I think we look at this as much as a market growth opportunity and a market share. There's going to -- there's so many patients, and it's so heterogeneous. I'm not really too worried about the competitive dynamics because it's going to be which patient for which drug. And it's exactly the same dynamic we saw in multiple sclerosis.
And the other is, is that we're going to have multiple shots on goal on this. We have litifilimab, but we're also partnered with UCB on dapirolizumab, which has already demonstrated on positive Phase III complementary mechanisms of action. And then we have an IRAK4 degrader that has entered the clinic. And so we see doing the exact same strategy as we did with MS, which was to have a portfolio of products that are applicable to patients at various times in their disease journey.
Great. Maybe we'll pivot over to one of your other late-stage pipeline assets, felzartamab. This is pretty interesting as you got from Hi-Bio trial ongoing in AMR. We're going to have data in the first half of next year. So I know you had some pretty strong Phase II data that were generated. So maybe just help us think through, again, what's the bar for success here as we look ahead to this next key readout after lupus.
Yes. Maybe before we zoom in, I mean, just on a macro level, I mean, I actually fell in love with immunology when we were developing DUPIXENT years ago when I was at Sanofi. These are multi-indication assets. You're essentially following a biological pathway, a cascade of the immune system, and that can lead to multiple different indications. So on the one hand, that is highly capital efficient because once you've established the safety in one indication, then you can rapidly go into other indications. Now the tricky part of that is that you're going to have a broad array of things that you have to do on the commercial front, which is exactly what we had to do back in the days of Sanofi. And here, we're talking also about an asset with multiple indications.
Initially, the first 4 really are in kidney. You've got AMR, you've got IgAN, you've got PMN and you've got MVI, which is basically AMR, except that you don't have any donor-specific antibodies. But we also are looking at 2 non-kidney indications and initiating clinical trials in those. And we have a follow-up to that with the CD38. And the reason we're particularly interested in the CD38 is that one of the things when you're in immunology is you have to always be a little bit careful. I mean you need your immune system. And generally, what we're trying to do is tap down the immune system. But when you do that, you potentially expose people to opportunistic infections, for example. If you take CD20s, great B-cell depletion, but hey, you need those B cells sometimes.
The CD38 is really precision immunology. We're going really after 2 things. One is the plasma cells that produce the autoantibodies, but we also have these natural killer cells or NK cells. And so we're actually only affecting the immune system as it relates to these rare kidney diseases. And we leave the rest of the immune system intact. And the other thing that is quite interesting about that is we seem to have something that feels disease-modifying at least for a while. Because when we look at IgAN, as an example, we'll go through a process of 9 infusions. And then we were able to maintain the effect over 18 months with no treatment at all. Now how long that lasts is something that we'll be testing in a Phase III clinical trial. But to us, that gives us a lot of competitive advantage.
Now the first one is antibody-mediated reduction. There are about 11,000 patients in the U.S. if you look at the waiting list for kidney transplant, you're going to find that quite a significant percentage of people who've already had a kidney transplant. In fact, we've had patient panels where we had one woman who's undergone already 4 kidney transplants. And it's a very worrying thing for people. So the Phase II study showed that we had an 80% resolution of that. Now smaller numbers, we have to replicate this in a Phase III, but we will be the first to market in this. And the other interesting thing about this molecule versus even some other CD38 is that we're not really we're not really agonizing the complement immune system as some do. And if you're already trying to fight in autoimmune, you don't want to fire up another part of the immune system. And that seems to be unique to this molecule.
If you look at the pricing, most recent pricing in IgAN, I mean, if you just took the IgAN pricing, there's about a $3 billion to $4 billion market opportunity in the U.S. alone. Now the interesting thing is that there's a different treatment regimen for AMR than there is in IgAN. So we think we can actually price AMR for a rare disease while still having a competitive price in IgAN. So the opportunity in AMR could even actually be even bigger. But we'll have data for that in the first half of next year as well.
And how do guidelines work at transplant centers? I mean, how important are those as you think about the rollout of this product. As you said, it's like there's a lot of people on the transplant list, I'm sure they're focused on rolling this out as quick as possible to people if it is successful. But did guidelines play a big role in terms of what the uptake curve could look like or any other constraints that we need to think about for this launch as you roll it out, if successful?
Guidelines tend to always follow. This is one where I think the unmet need is very significant. We know where these patients are. And one of the benefits of the Apellis acquisition was that we are now commercializing actively a nephrology product with EMPAVELI. And so we're actually already seeing the nephrologist. We're in -- there isn't a complete overlap between EMPAVELI and AMR, but there are also EMPAVELI patients, some of the transplant centers. So we know where all of those folks are. We're building -- we have a medical affairs organization. This is one where I'm challenging our team, I think we should be able to see quite a rapid uptake. But we'll have to wait and see exactly what the clinical trial data show and what the label is. But that one should be, if all goes well, that should be a relatively rapid uptake, I think.
Yes. Okay. The other one, you touched on this a little bit, but maybe just expand. So if the AMR data are positive, what are the lateral implications for IgAN, PMN, MVI, is there a direct read through to those or are there nuances but how do you think about likelihood of success of the kidney indications in the event that the AMR data are positive?
Yes. So I think actually -- well, it will be a read through, we think should be a read-through for MVI, Although, again, MVI is there's 2 things that could drive the rejection. One is the donor-specific antibodies that you inherited with the transplanted kidney, but there's also your own immune system. And so MVI is really -- it's your own immune system. So there should really be a high probability of success, again, is science, and you really want to see the data first. On IgAN, I think the interesting thing on IgAN is I think if you reduce the proteinuria in the Phase II, hopefully, you can do that in the Phase III. I think what we're going to want to see is replicating this disease-free or this treatment-free period because I think that could be really where we compete. IgAN has become a heavily competitive space. But at a global leadership conference we had at Biogen, we had on the table for everybody, the number of drugs. We had a little dish of all the drugs that these patients are taking.
And I've been in this business a long time and done a lot of market research. People define good health as being I'm not taking any medications. And so if you have a treatment-free period, we believe that, that is an enormous competitive advantage in the IgAN space because everybody is going to have roughly about the same proteinuria, then you've got EGFR that could play a role, and we'll have to make sure that we are competitive in that space. But I think it's really going to be the -- not just the convenience, but the psychological benefit of saying, "Hey, I think I beat this thing."
Yes. Okay. Great. You mentioned part of the Apellis acquisition was the access to the renal sales force. And so maybe just give us the latest on kind of how to think about EMPAVELI growth, but also SYFOVRE here as those are kind of the 2 key commercial assets you also brought in-house. I think you guys have guided to mid- to high teens growth. Just should we expect that to continue into next year?
Yes. So one of the -- there were a number of drivers for this. We will -- and we were always upfront about being intentional about doing M&A. Our MS portfolio has been very resilient, but it's clearly not other than VUMERITY, which still has exclusivity in which we're still investing and seeing growth in it has been a declining business. And LEQEMBI did not initially take up the slack, although with LEQEMBI, but also with SKYCLARYS and with ZURZUVAE and Cofal-D, our growth brands are now at least outpacing the decline in the MS business. But we've been more or less flat over the last 3 years. We stopped the decline of revenue and profit. But when I looked out into the future, it was still going to be -- when you launch a product, they're not immediately profitable. And it's just not healthy for an organization not to grow. You need growth in the company. You -- it really was what drives a lot of the energy, but it also drives discipline and most of your metrics work best when there's growth.
So we did need to get back to growth faster. But we didn't want to just do it just by the growth. We want to have something that was strategic. Immunology, like I said at the outset, has been a core part of where we want to go. This is a complement inhibitor. So that is into -- again, this is one of these ones. It's a single molecule that's in kidney. It's in a rare blood disease and it's also in eye disease and that's very much in line with what we're trying to do. And all of these products are early in their growth cycle. All of these have intellectual property protection for quite some time.
SYFOVRE, we, I think, are off to a good start. We did a lift and shift of the entire commercial team to avoid some of the distraction that causes a dip in sales. And I think you saw in the second quarter that actually if anything, growth actually accelerated a little bit after the acquisition. And I think we can keep SYFOVRE growing. I think when we did the acquisition, we said that we had about the same internal forecast as the Street, which is kind of mid-single-digit growth. but the company wasn't valued on that basis. I mean investors were a lot more pessimistic. And if anything, I would say we're actually a little more optimistic than when we acquired the company on SYFOVRE. It's still a competitive dynamic, and we will need to still invest in the growth of the marketplace. But I think we're encouraged by what we see near term.
And EMPAVELI gets us into the nephrology office. I mean if we hadn't done that, we just still invested in medical affairs, but we wouldn't have had a commercial team until we actually got approval for a product. So today, when we go to a we were at a nephrology congress and it just happened that the Biogen booth was right next to the EMPAVELI booth. And so we can literally just do a geographic integration right there at the Congress. And and that makes a difference. And you have different interactions and you've got a every single specialty is different. One day when I retire, I'm going to do a book on the taxonomy of each of these different medical specialists. And you can't underestimate that. The neurologist is different than the oncologist, it's different than the cardiologists and the nephrologists. And this gives us the ability to understand how nephrologists work, how their practices operate build those relationships of trust.
And so one of the things which we did not value in our equation, but which we saw as a benefit to the acquisition is potentially a faster uptake of felzartamab by having that team in place already.
Great. Well, I think we're up against time, Chris, but always a pleasure. Thank you so much.
Thank you Terence.
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Biogen — Morgan Stanley 24th Annual Global Healthcare Conference
Viehbacher skizziert ein „neues Biogen“: Diversifikation in Immunologie/Niere, Acquisition-Integration und mehrere nahe Phase‑III‑Readouts.
Morgan Stanley Fireside Chat mit CEO Christopher Viehbacher.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Strategiewechsel: Biogen verschiebt den Schwerpunkt von reiner Neurologie zu breiterer Immunologie, Nephrologie, Dermatologie und seltenen Indikationen, um Risiko und Zyklusdauer der Entwicklung zu verkürzen.
- Kommerzielle Hebel: Apellis‑Akquisition liefert Nephrologie‑Commercial (EMPAVELI, SYFOVRE) und soll Uptake neuer Kidney‑Assets beschleunigen.
- Pipeline‑Timing: CEO nennt 10 Phase‑III‑Studien, Readouts beginnen bereits im nächsten Quartal; Potenzial für mehrere Produktlaunches in den kommenden Jahren.
🔝 Strategische Highlights
- Capital Allocation: Fokus auf frühphasige, kapital‑effiziente Assets und selektive M&A statt große, monotherapeutische „Moonshots“.
- Alzheimer‑Strategie: LEQEMBI: Vereinfachte Versorgungswege durch Blut‑Diagnostics (statt teurer PET‑Scans) und Zulassung einer subkutanen Induktions‑ und Erhaltungsform; Wechsel von Medicare Part B (Medicare Teil B) zu Part D (Medicare Teil D) angekündigt.
- Immunologie & Niere: Felzartamab (CD38‑gerichtet) mit hohen Phase‑II‑Signalen in AMR; breites Programm (IgAN, PMN, MVI) und mögliche treatment‑free‑Phasen als Differenzierer.
📣 Neue Informationen
- Konkrete Zeitfenster: Litifilimab SLE‑Phase‑III‑Readouts im 4. Quartal; CLE (cutane Lupus) Daten H1‑2027; felzartamab AMR‑Daten in H1‑2024 (CEO: erste Hälfte nächstes Jahres).
- Alzheimer‑Zugriff: Subkutane LEQEMBI‑Induktion zugelassen; CEO erwartet, dass Part‑D‑Entscheidungen zum 1. Januar wirksam werden, tatsächliche Planabdeckung variiert nach Kasse.
- Pipeline‑Skalierung: „10 Phase‑III, 5 Moleküle, bis zu 8 Indikations‑Launches“ als operatives Ziel – absehbares Wachstumspotenzial, aber abhängig von Trial‑Ergebnissen und Erstattungsentscheidungen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- M&A‑Fokus: Wie wettbewerbsfähig sind frühphasige Immunologie‑Assets? Antwort: Markt bleibt kompetitiv, aber China und mehr Zuliefer erhöhen Angebot.
- LEQEMBI‑Adoption: Thema Part‑D vs. Part‑B, Bluttests statt PET und subkutane Form; Management erwartet besseren Zugang ab 1.1., aber Plan‑by‑Plan‑Variabilität.
- Studien‑Risiko Lupus/Felzartamab: Analysten haken nach Endpunktrobustheit, Heterogenität von SLE und Read‑through zwischen Indikationen; Management verweist auf Lessons‑learned und mehrere „Shots on goal”.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Biogen präsentiert eine klare Diversifikations‑ und Kommerzialisierungsstrategie: Akquisitionen (Apellis, Hi‑Bio) plus ein eng getakteter Phase‑III‑Fahrplan könnten die Wachstumsdynamik umkehren. Kurzfristige Katalysatoren sind mehrere Readouts und die LEQEMBI‑Part‑D‑Entscheidung; wesentliche Risiken bleiben klinische Resultate, Erstattung und Marktdurchdringung.
Biogen — Wells Fargo 21st Annual Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Awesome. Thank you very much. Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Session 2 for me. So we have Biogen management team with us today. We have with us Robin Kramer, the Chief Financial Officer of the company, and we also are joined by Adam Keeney, the Head of Corporate Development of the company. Thank you very much for joining us.
Thank you for having us.
Great. So I think I'm hosting you for the first time at the Wells Fargo conference. So again, thank you very much, you and Tim and the IR team basically for making it happen. So Robin, it has been 1.5 years for you as a CFO of the company, and a lot has changed at Biogen in those 18 months. So from your lenses, where do you think Biogen has done really well in those 18 months or so? And where do you think that you see the room for improvement as there is always a room for improvement?
Thanks for the question. It's actually been an incredibly exciting time to be the CFO at Biogen. I've been at the company now almost 8 years, but in the CFO role just over 1.5 years. And it's really been an exciting time under Chris' leadership. And I think he was very clear from the get-go on what the strategic focus for the company was and really diversification of Biogen and its portfolio, but also returning the company to growth.
And so when I look at the really significant progress we've made on a number of fronts, the first would be that the launch of the growth products and the key products there, we've really had an opportunity to launch those effectively and help to offset the erosion in the MS portfolio. So really putting the base business in a really good spot. Also looking at the pipeline and looking at diversification of the pipeline beyond the neurology area and really broadening that and execution of transactions that supported that like HI-Bio and the felzartamab assets and then really taking that updated and revised pipeline and pulling programs into Phase III.
And so we now have 10 Phase III programs, and those begin reading out here in the fourth quarter. So we're really -- the pipeline is at a pivotal point for us from a growth perspective. And really deploying capital in things like the Apellis acquisition, which has the opportunity to have near-term growth, both top and bottom line, while we wait for the pipeline products to launch and contribute to the long-term trajectory of the company.
So amidst all of that, we're really continue to be focused on managing the OpEx, making sure we're also delivering growth on the bottom line. And I said that's a bit of a tricky thing when you're investing in the launch products, but also deploying capital into the pipeline, but that continues to be an area of focus for us.
Got it. And I think I just go back to, I think, January of 2024, where Chris laid out that for a product revenue base of about $8 billion, our expense base is a little bit higher than what it should be. And it kind of coincided with you being the CFO of the company as well. So for both of you, this question is that you did trim some pipeline, you prioritize some assets there. So what was the philosophy behind like what is the guiding principle there that these are the assets we will take forward versus these are the assets you'll churn here?
Yes. So I have the opportunity to lead the project around the Fit for Growth initiative, which was our initiative to look at the cost base and infrastructure to make sure that we were taking a prudent approach to optimizing that. But also, we were at a pivotal time where we needed to redeploy investments from the MS portfolio to the 4 launch products, including LEQEMBI, SKYCLARYS, ZURZUVAE. And so the process of doing that was very much a holistic contribution by everyone in the organization to make that pivot, but it was necessary in order to have the capital to put towards deploying towards the launch products.
And from a philosophical standpoint, being very disciplined in thinking about capital allocation has been a strong suit coming out of the Fit for Growth, making sure that from an R&D portfolio perspective, that we were investing in those assets that we had the highest conviction on and really making sure that we're advancing those 10 Phase III programs where we are really focused on making sure that we're bringing those to market and that they're set up for the highest level of success.
Got it. And there's another thing which I have noticed that like it was like an over-indexed company to neuro to like, I mean, now you are more I&I and all that. So that is also part of that just to manage the overall riskiness of the business probably.
Yes. Chris, very -- really from the get-go was looking for making sure that we were diversifying the pipeline beyond neurology and having these high-risk, high-reward bets as it relates to progression of assets in the pipeline and diversifying in areas that -- where we believe we have a right to play rare immunology. And maybe I'll hand it to Adam because he's been the architect behind finding these wonderful assets for us to put into the pipeline and to put us on that trajectory.
Thank you. So Chris joined Biogen just over 3.5 years ago. I joined about 6 months after that. And one of the early conversations was how do we diversify outside of neurology. Historically, Biogen had taken the hardest path possible, trying to find first-in-class unvalidated biology in new spaces without any clinical or regulatory precedent to really build de novo brand-new markets. And so we said to ourselves, well, we can do that in some instances in certain areas, but we can't do that across the portfolio. So we were very intentional to look for opportunities that were in areas that we had conviction from a data standpoint, but where the endpoints were validated, where the Phase II studies were approachable, where the Phase III designs were understood, where the endpoints were clear and where you had a faster opportunity to get to a commercial product.
So if you take nephrology as an area now, this has been an emerging area of interest in the last 10 years due to the fact that you can use proteinuria as a validated surrogate, but then eGFR is a very well-recognized full approval endpoint. So with the HI-Bio acquisition, brought us felzartamab, that was our entrance into nephrology, but the overall risk profile there is very different, and then we leverage that opportunity across 4 indications within nephrology. So we can -- you can see that there's a pipeline in the product there that has a very different risk profile, different investment profile compared to an Alzheimer's project, for example.
Got it. So glad that you mentioned felzartamab, a HI-Bio drug. So investors do see multiple indications there, AMR, IgAN and all that. But because the uncertainty around duration and whatnot, they are struggling to understand the size of all these opportunities. So if you had to rank like AMR to IgAN and all that, IgAN is a little bit more competitive and membranous nephropathy is there. So how would you rank them? Like how would you think about the overall size of these markets here?
I think we think of AMR as the foundational opportunity for felzartamab. AMR currently antibody-mediated rejection of kidney transplantations has no approved therapeutics. There's 11,000 patients in the U.S. that have secondary rejections for their transplantation. It's a very, very significant health care burden. And so we see felzartamab in EMR, both as the first data readout, but also as the opportunity to expand from there. If you look at the overall pricing dynamics in nephrology space, they're actually seeing very robust pricing.
So we're able to actually anchor felzartamab at a high price into a well-defined high unmet need indication. And that data will replicate the Phase II data that was really transformational in terms of the ability to save the grafts and save the transplant. So a really unique opportunity. From there, we can expand into IgAN, PMN, MVI. And there, we can leverage, again, the regulatory and clinical expertise and knowledge that has been built over the last few years to give us a differentiated value proposition. We see this as a unique opportunity where you can have a course of therapy, reset the immune system that then provides a durable response.
So we think that actually in IgAN, for example, which is younger patients, that's an attractive profile where you have your administration and you have a drug holiday, you track disease and only redose if disease recurs. So we think that's an interesting value proposition that's differentiated. And then felzartamab with CD38 has the opportunity to explore non-nephrology indications, and we've launched 2 additional proof-of-concept studies in Phase II. So we see really a broad scope exploring not only nephrology but also CD38 as a mechanism for autoantibody-driven diseases. So we see a lot of value there and a lot of longevity in terms of the franchise that can be built behind that product.
Which 2 indications are those?
We've not disclosed those just yet.
Okay, got it. Got it.
And one of the exciting things about that transaction is that we took a different approach there and the approach being to leave the team in place, create the opportunity to have a West Coast hub and to make sure that we were creating an environment where they could continue to accelerate these potential additional indications into the clinic. And so it's been quite productive even since the point where we did the acquisition on advancing the programs into Phase III.
So the ones that are in Phase III now all advanced in the time since we've actually acquired the company and then the moving of the additional indications into the clinic. So leaving them in place, agile, executing on the work that they're doing in order to try and get to the clinic and to market as quickly as possible.
Got it. Very helpful. So one question I have is that like -- so when I look at your P&L for next 5 years, I mean, projections and all. OCREVUS royalties still contribute a meaningful portion of the profits right now. And there is a step down coming once the first biosimilar launches. But before that step down, you have multiple cards turning over from the pipeline side, salanersen launch, HD, SPINRAZA and all that. So I mean when you think about 2028 to '30 time frame when all these launches are happening, what factors do you think would be more important for us to understand whether you could grow through this? Like it's not a patent cliff in a traditional sense, but it is kind of a cliff on the P&L. So how would you think about -- how would you make us think about that?
Yes. First, I would focus on the full breadth of the Roche/Genentech relationship. So we have the right -- we have our royalty associated with OCREVUS. So I'll touch on that one first. So there -- they recently launched the subcutaneous version of OCREVUS, and they've had quite good traction on that. So if you think about the time frame around when folks are thinking about this or trying to project that, we're going to be at a higher level given the subcutaneous in the transaction there, the exit at the point of the entry of the biosimilars. So exiting dollar revenue ramp.
In addition, we have -- through the profit share, we have rights in RITUXAN and GAZYVA. And GAZYVA, actually, they've had the approval, both in the U.S. and the EU as it relates to lupus nephritis this year. So we have a launch product happening there. So as the OCREVUS, it will still be in that launch phase and not at peak revenue at the time that we hit the endpoint on the -- at the point of the step down on the OCREVUS.
And then I would say the work that we've been talking about having done over the course of the last 3 years has diversified our revenue portfolio. Some of this diversification or investment has been in growth products that we had in the portfolio like HD for SPINRAZA, which is we're having really great infiltration of that across the patient population. And so that's off to a really great start. So even in the products that have been in the portfolio for a bit, we still have opportunities as it relates to that.
And so then across TYSABRI, we've had good resiliency there, which has been important. And then very importantly, the transaction that we did with Apellis added 2 additional commercial products to our portfolio and increased diversification top line as well. And so the breadth of our product offering and commercial products is quite different than it was 2 or 3 years ago.
Got it. Completely makes sense. So why don't talk about a Apellis deal as well here. So investors are still not fully convinced about the durability of SYFOVRE asset. They understand the C3G asset a little bit more and the durability there. But SYFOVRE, they're still digesting this, the durability part of it. So what could we learn in the next 12 months in terms of discontinuations, persistency and all those aspects that will help us like get more comfort around this?
Yes. So if we just think about the geographic atrophy market, it's a very large market, but very underpenetrated. So both products actually have the opportunity to really add new patients. And I think that is the key to activating physicians and patients around the urgency to treat and the need to intervene early and maintain treatment. So we're looking at both adding new patients, and we're considering DTC and other campaigns to improve awareness of the need to treat GA, the availability of effective therapeutics.
But then once patients are on treatment, maintaining the treatment is a critical factor. And because this is a treatment that you don't see an immediate visual benefit, you've got to continue to educate the patient for the need to be retreated. And so we're doing a lot of work commercially around how do we ensure persistency. So I think new patient starts and persistency are critical. But the opportunity to grow SYFOVRE, but also the space is very considerable given the large number of patients that are available in the U.S. So there's a very significant opportunity for growth, but it's really about bringing new patients in and maintaining treatment for those patients that are on therapy.
Got it. Very helpful. And then the financial side of the question here is that you did talk about at least $250 million of run rate synergies by the end of '27. So how much of that is already locked in versus depending on execution? And then like what would make the numbers to move higher or lower here?
Yes. So as it relates to 2026, so it will be dilutive in 2026, but we've already implemented some of the cost actions. And largely, the dilution is being driven by the interest expense. So from an operating margin perspective, we've already done some rightsizing there. As we exit the end of the year, most of the actions will have taken place. We'll still be doing some system-type integration activities through the middle part of next year.
And as you noted, what we've indicated is that exiting next year, annualized savings are expected to be roughly $250 million. That is largely being driven by R&D and G&A. As we've said, one of the strategic elements of the Apellis acquisition was bringing on the medical and commercial nephrology expertise in anticipation of the felzartamab AMR launch. And so the sales and medical organizations are essentially being left intact. So our optimization activities are really in that R&D and G&A area.
Got it. Very, very helpful. And then -- so you did mention TYSABRI a little bit at the beginning. It has performed very well compared to what we were thinking in the face of competition from biosimilars and all. So what are the reasons why it has been more resilient than everyone expected? And how should we think about the durability of this franchise going forward?
Yes. So the biosimilar essentially entered in the first quarter. And TYSABRI has for the quarters in 2026, really done very well as far as exhibiting resiliency. We put that into a couple of reasons. The first is that TYSABRI is very well respected by neurologists and the patient community. And so we have long-standing relationships in regards to that, supported by our patient services organization, which is, we think, part of our special sauce. So the team of folks that are part of that patient services organization really have a high-touch relationship with both patients and HCPs and long-standing relationships from the point that the patients come on to the TYSABRI from a therapeutic perspective.
In addition, TYSABRI is supported by the JCV assay, which we have patent protection on and is an FDA-approved assay. So given the potential side effects in PML, the fact that we have that assay is also, we think, contributing to the resiliency that we're seeing in TYSABRI. Ex U.S., we have a subcutaneous offering. So when you look to Europe, part of what is creating the resiliency ex U.S. is also that subcutaneous administration.
Got it. That makes sense. So your growth portfolio is actually becoming a bigger part of your story now. I think there, the question is more about whether you're -- because like this is always the case, not just Biogen, specifically the case with every company that the legacy products always have higher margin versus the growth portfolio. So especially in the case of LEQEMBI and also, like talk to us a little bit about how do you think about the margin profile of the growth business versus the legacy portfolio? And then how do you think it could evolve over time?
Yes. So you're right, exiting 2025 and actually for most of the quarters in 2025, the growth portfolio was able to more than offset the erosion that was in the legacy MS portfolio. And we had very exciting results in Q2 where you could see the growth portfolio, even excluding the 2 products from Apellis exceeded the legacy MS portfolio. And so we're excited to have that diversification there.
From a margin perspective, they're still high-margin products in large part because of the areas that we play and the fact that we are generally in areas where it's rare, we're seeking to meet an unmet need. And so even beyond the U.S., your pricing ex U.S. tends to be in closer and parameters to the U.S. pricing just because of the nature of the areas we play in. And some of those growth products, when you look at the commercial infrastructure that's necessary to support them, it's a little bit more agile and lean than the commercial area -- the commercial investments that you had to make in neurology or MS. So some of it has to do with getting below the margin line because largely what you're talking about is getting to the margin line, the fact that you can have a sales and medical base that is more agile.
And again, part of the reason that the Apellis transaction was really a good transaction for us is helping to be able to leverage that infrastructure as we enter into new spaces with felzartamab. So we look for optimization in how we're diversifying our therapeutic areas. But also as we think about the areas that we started to play in, they tend to have a lighter touch on the sales and medical efforts.
Got it. Completely makes sense. I do want to talk about the SMA franchise here. So you seem to have turned a leaf there with like HD, like even like before we get to HD, like I think SPINRAZA's decline has been arrested a little bit in the last few years. And then now HD, you are saying that you are also taking some share from some of the orals out there. So talk to us a little bit about like before we get to salanersen, I mean, do you think HD could make it a stable franchise? Or like how do you think -- how do you envision it?
Yes. So we've been very excited with the rapid nature by which the patients have been switching from the low dose to the high dose. And when you sort of peel back and you talk to the folks in -- on the R&D and our development side, it was a patient-driven expansion into HD and the patients were asking for more. And so we put in place the study to be able to see whether a high-dose option was -- would be appropriate. And so I think you had the health care community and the patients seeking to have SPINRAZA with a higher dose. And we do think that SPINRAZA is viewed very favorably from an efficacy standpoint. And I think seeing the rapid nature of the switch over to high dose is a good indication. That's happening both in the U.S. and in the EU.
And the nice part of that is it gives us an opportunity to have a bridge to salanersen. And so you're right, it has stabilized. The patient volumes have stabilized over the last year or 2. And what we are starting to see is some level of switching, a little too early to tell the degree to which we might see more sort of pediatric cases because for the most part, those are going the gene therapy route, but we're starting to see those, and we're starting to see some switchbacks. And so that will be something that we monitor, but we think there's an opportunity there.
Got it. And then can you talk a little bit about the port device that is in development right now? So how does this help in terms of -- like I think you're developing it for SMA first and then eventually maybe in Alzheimer's also. Can you talk a little bit about that?
Yes. You want to cover the port device?
Sure. So yes, we have been in collaboration with a company called Alcyone for some time. So we went ahead and acquired the company last year. So this provides us -- so as you know, the SMA market, SPINRAZA is a once a quarterly intrathecal administration. But the device is actually implanted so that it is an indwelling catheter that stays in the spinal canal. And then there's a port that comes up to the side. And so you just can inject SPINRAZA directly into the port. You don't have to do the spinal tap every time.
So for certain patients, I think that's going to offer a very significant benefit. And that allows us to maintain longevity and make sure that we're reducing the barriers to treat -- to use SPINRAZA from an administration standpoint. That also has opportunity, though, as you think about other intrathecal administered ASOs. And so we have a collaboration with Stoke, for example, in Dravet. We have BIIB080 from an Alzheimer's perspective, and we have other preclinical assets as well as salanersen.
So we think that having an optionality around the device just provides a lot of flexibility and opportunity for certain patients to choose their preference when they're thinking about administering of different therapeutics. We do believe that efficacy drives choice. But then if you can remove or reduce the barriers to treatment that I think is going to be an effective strategy.
Yes. And the nice thing about salanersen that we're excited to explore is that, that would be a once-yearly.
It does look like a better drug as well. Like how do you think about salanersen profile here?
We were very excited about the results and excited to be putting that into Phase III. And from a serving the unmet need, we think it's -- we're very excited about the advancing of it.
Got it. And then, I mean, you are really going big in nephrology right now. So like now that I have you, Adam, here. So can you walk through the thought process behind going deeper in nephrology, not just felzartamab, but again, you are in lupus nephritis and you -- like -- I mean -- and then a bunch of lupus assets, they're not nephritis per se. But again, like just talk a little bit about lupus.
Yes. So again, I think 3 years ago, we set out on a plan to diversify the company, have a different type of R&D risk. And so we were looking at areas where we could get comfortable with Phase II proof of concepts that had reasonable reproducibility to Phase III in spaces that still had very significant unmet need, but where the path to approval was clear, the endpoints were validated. The clinical trials were approachable from a size, length of time. And if you think about nephrology, that ticks a number of those criteria. We do see end-stage renal disease is a very significant burden. Transplantation, kidney transplantation is a very significant health care issue. So if we can find opportunities where we can bend the curve in terms of renal preservation, we think that, that's a very important value proposition, not only in the U.S. but outside the U.S.
So then it comes down to what are the assets that you can get excited by. We think that CD38 is a differentiated mechanism and value proposition. And then it gets to where do you position those in different indications. And nephrology, again, is a series of smaller rare diseases. And so we started with AMR, IgAN, PMN, MVI. With EMPAVELI, we're also exploring not only C3G, but also FSGS. So these are indications all within nephrology. So there's a lot of commercial synergy there because you can basically set your relationship, your sales force, your medical to the nephrologists and the transplant centers, which are very well defined commercially approachable in terms of the number of nephrologists. But then you can have multiple products for different diseases within that specialty. So there's a lot of efficiency there.
And so with HI-Bio initially, but then with Apellis, we are really building out a franchise in nephrology. We continue to be active externally, looking at additional investments and early-stage assets in nephrology, and we continue to be excited by the opportunity there from a scientific standpoint.
And then just lupus is another example where we've been able to diversify outside of neurology. Litifilimab is actually a homegrown Biogen asset and now on the brink of readout in both SLE and CLE that we're very excited by. And then we've a collaboration with UCB on dapirolizumab that, again, allows us to really build out a lot of internal expertise in that space, not only clinically, but now hopefully commercially.
Got it. So if Biogen does more BD, what would be the gating factor now because you're just out of the Apellis deal? So how -- is it therapeutic area? Is the size of the deal? Like how would you think about it?
Well, I do think that we're very excited by the near-term growth prospects with existing portfolio that we have in terms of commercial products, but also the new pipeline readouts. So I think our attention for this year and into '27 will be more early stage. I think our stated areas of immunology, rare disease, neurology will be maintained. I do think we're interested to establish franchises now in -- but we have rheumatology, dermatology, nephrology, neurology. So we have an opportunity to find additional assets that supplement those areas with earlier-stage projects.
Robin can speak a little bit to the financing capacity, but we're not constrained from a financial standpoint, particularly early-stage deals. As we go into next year, I think the balance sheet builds, and we're able to think about larger single transactions. That may be dependent on some of these pipeline readouts where we deploy that capital. But we're a very fortunate position that we have now the scope to invest in many different areas, a robust late-stage pipeline and growth products. So we're able now to think about how do we ensure long-term sustainability by investing in early stage.
Got it.
And maybe just touching on the capital available. So what we've said is that we fully expect to pay down the debt associated with the Apellis transaction by the time we exit 2027. In the meantime, we have sufficient capital to do the activities that Adam has talked about and making sure that we are deploying capital in the front end of the pipeline, exhibited by the recent announcement we had on RayThera, which we closed in Q3, which is an immunology asset going into Phase I. And so -- but we're really back to optimal liquidity here as we exit 2027.
Got it. So one last question for both of you. Fast forward 1 year, September 2027 Wells Fargo Conference. I hope you are here. I hope I'm here. So if we are sitting here next year, what would make you look back at the year and say it was a great year for us?
Two things. One, we meet our commitments as it relates to the existing growth portfolio, both top and bottom line performance. And the second would be that we are extraordinarily busy working on doing prelaunch and launch activities associated with lupus and with AMR.
Yes. I would just add, I think that the continued progress of the growth -- the commercial growth products is an area that will really underpin the midterm stability for the organization. So I think delivering on those commitments are going to be key. And so we look forward to giving those updates next year.
Awesome. On that high note, thank you very much and good luck.
Thank you.
Thank you. Thank you, for your time.
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Biogen — Wells Fargo 21st Annual Healthcare Conference
Biogen verschiebt Fokus von reiner Neurologie hin zu Nephrologie und Immunologie, stärkt Pipeline mit 10 Phase‑III‑Programmen und integriert Apellis.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Diversifizierung: Management betont Abkehr von Übergewicht auf Neurologie hin zu Nephrologie und Immunologie, um Geschäftsrisiko zu reduzieren.
- Pipeline-Fokus: Biogen hat 10 Programme in Phase III, erste Readouts beginnen im Q4; Pipeline‑Katalysatoren sollen langfristiges Wachstum tragen.
- Near‑term Wachstum: Apellis‑Akquisition bringt sofortige kommerzielle Produkte, soll Top‑ und Bottom‑Line stärken, Konsolidierung/Integration läuft.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- Felzartamab (HI‑Bio): Management sieht antibody‑vermittelte Transplantat‑Rejektion (AMR) als Initialindikation mit hohem unmet need; Erweiterung auf IgA‑Nephropathie (IgAN), membranöse Nephropathie (PMN) und weitere möglich.
- Apellis‑Integration: Ziel ~250 Mio. USD jährliche Synergien bis Ende 2027, Optimierungen vor allem in F&E und G&A; 2026 wird als vorübergehend dilutiv bezeichnet (z. B. Zinsaufwand).
- Kommerzielles Momentum: LEQEMBI, SKYCLARYS, ZURZUVAE und SPINRAZA‑HD treiben Wachstum; TYSABRI zeigt Resilienz dank JCV‑Assay (FDA‑zugelassener Test) und subkutaner Form.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Operative Umsetzung: Einige Kostenmaßnahmen bereits implementiert; die meisten Optimierungen sollen bis Ende 2026 stehen, Synergien 2027 annualisiert.
- Finanzstatus: Biogen plant, die mit Apellis aufgenommene Verschuldung bis Ende 2027 zurückzuführen und sieht ausreichend Liquidität für weitere frühe BD‑Deals.
- Device‑Strategie: Übernommenes Alcyone‑Port‑Device (implantierbarer Port/Katheter) soll Verabreichung intrathekaler Therapien (z. B. SMA, Alzheimer‑ASOs) erleichtern.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Felzartamab‑Priorisierung: Management rangiert AMR als Basisindikation; genaue Marktgrößen und Ranking der Indikationen wurden nicht quantitativ spezifiziert.
- SYFOVRE‑Persistenz: Zur Haltbarkeit der Behandlung in der geografischen Atrophie (GA) betonte Biogen neue Patientenstarts und Persistenz‑Programme, lieferte jedoch keine harten Retentionskennzahlen.
- Synergien vs. Umsetzung: 250 Mio. USD Ziel ist genannt; Team gab an, Teile sind bereits realisiert, andere hängen von Integrationserfolg und weiteren Maßnahmen ab; konkrete Anteilsaufteilung nicht offengelegt.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Biogen wandelt sich zu einem diversifizierteren Mittelständler mit klaren klinischen Katalysatoren (10 Phase‑III‑Programme) und unmittelbarer Umsatzunterstützung durch Apellis; kurzfristig bleibt 2026 wegen Integrationskosten/dilution volatil, mittelfristig sind De‑Risikoing durch neue Indikationen und Synergien die Hauptoptionen für Aktionäre.
Biogen — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
[Audio Gap] conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Biogen Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call and Business Update. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Tim Power, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Power, you may begin your conference.
Thanks, Jess, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Biogen's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. During this call, we will make forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from our forward-looking statements. We provide a comprehensive list of risk factors in our SEC filings, which I encourage you to review.
Our earnings release and other documents related to our results, as well as reconciliations between GAAP and non-GAAP results discussed on this call can be found in the Investors section of biogen.com. We've also posted slides to a website that will be used during the call.
On today's call, I'm joined by our President and Chief Executive Officer, Chris Viehbacher; Dr. Priya Singhal, Head of Development; and Robin Kramer, our Chief Financial Officer; Alicia Alaimo, President of North America, will also be available for the Q&A section of the call. We'll make some opening comments, and we'll move to Q&A and to allow us to get through as many questions as possible, we kindly ask that you limit yourself to just one question.
And I'll now turn the call over to Chris.
[Audio Gap] with the goal of achieving sustainable revenue growth. So if I take the three elements that I think contribute to that is, first is our growth product portfolio. Now even before we include the products from Palace ], we've seen significant growth. And in fact, our growth portfolio now is greater than our legacy MS portfolio.
And that's really been most recently enhanced by two important achievements. The first is SPINRAZA high dose, where we've seen across all markets. The first market to be approved was in Japan than Europe and now the U.S., and we're starting to see this roll out into more international markets.
In all of those markets, this conversion has gone much faster than we expected. And that's an important development for us because this is an extremely competitive market where efficacy matters. And we've seen considerable efficacy benefits come from the high dose of SPINRAZA. And this is a franchise that we see for the longer term because we've got [ salinersen ] coming along behind that.
So maintaining market share. And in fact, what we're seeing is some anecdotal switchbacks, particularly from the oral product to SPINRAZA, it's important not only for the quarter, but important for the franchise longer term.
The second major achievement this quarter was really taken LEQEMBI IQLIK. It's the first of its kind, Alzheimer's treatment. So now offering [ one ] dosing for both initiation and maintenance. I think there's probably two opportunities in particular here, maybe even three.
The first is obviously, with the biweekly infusion, a number of physicians are thinking carefully about which patients are actually going to be eligible for treatment. If they don't think that the patient can get there on their own or there's not a caregiver who's prepared to take the time to get that patient to the infusion centers. those patients are often not offered treatment. So this should perhaps make it easier for a broader section of patients to become eligible for treatment.
We think also that there could be a benefit in maintaining patients longer on therapy. And then finally, we think there's a competitive advantage because the benefit of the competitor has with once monthly dosing now seems to be much less when you've got a home subcutaneous option for them.
The second element of the sustainable growth is our pipeline, and we'll come on and talk about that in a few minutes. But then the third element is really [ CYFOVRI and Pavel ] from the acquisition of appellate. You've seen strong double-digit growth for both the full quarter and year-to-date for the combined sales of those two products.
Now we're only consolidating the revenue from the 14th of May when we closed the transaction. But those products are already contributing significantly to our own growth. And I'll take the opportunity here just to note that if I think about all of the integrations that I've certainly seen over my career, one of the most important metrics is really how revenue does through this period of turbulence really in an organization.
There's an awful lot of uncertainty that comes from these major transactions. And the ability to maintain continuity of revenue is, I think, the #1 measure of the success of an integration. And I think so far that we have seen that, and that's really because this is mostly a U.S. transaction, this is really a credit to Alicia, Alicia's leadership and her team and really reaching out and making sure that the [ Appellate ] team feels great about joining Biogen.
And certainly, when I talk to the former [ Apellis ] now Biogen employees, one sense is a sense of energy and passion and commitment. So we're very much encouraged by the importance of this acquisition.
So the next slide is really, again, and Priya is going to talk a lot more about this. But we've got a growing base, and now we've got 5 registrational Phase III clinical trial results coming along. Obviously, 2 in SLE for lupus, 1 in CLE for lupus, 1 for AMR and 1 which is really from our partner at Stoke in [ Dravet ] syndrome. So those are now within the next 4 quarters. So these are these are imminent and could really make a difference to the long-term growth outlook of Biogen.
As we talked about before, we're also rebuilding our early-stage pipeline. We went 3 years really without filing an IND. We made some really pretty dramatic moves to overhaul our research organization, how we do research. And the encouraging thing is that I think we are now in a much better place already in our early-stage pipeline.
Some of that is coming early. We've had 3 INDs already this year. We've got more to come. We've done a number of key collaborations like [ Bank and Dave ] last year, the acquisition of [ Bayer ] this year also substantially boosts our early-stage pipeline. These are -- this is really investing today for really what the products launching in the mid-2030s. But you've got to start today if you want to have those -- that growth tomorrow.
And then if I look at this slide, this is a slide we first showed at JPMorgan earlier this year. At that time, you said, look, there are a number of near-term current growth drivers, and you see them with LEQEMBI IQLIK, VUMERITY, SPINRAZA, SKYCLARYS and [ Casady ]. And that is the group of products that now exceed our legacy MS portfolio and grew strongly in the quarter.
Now when you add [ Ciporin and Pavel ], these products already and themselves are enough to help Biogen get back to a growth story. And then when you look at what's coming, we just talked about these these imminent data readouts, that's the second wave here, the registrational late-stage pipeline. These are all products with significant opportunity.
Now this is also a major shift for Biogen. 3.5 years ago when I came, we really only were visiting the neurologist. We had a few products that we could still promote in MS, and we had SPINRAZA. We are now looking at visiting rheumatologists, dermatologists, nephrologists outside the U.S. in epileptologists and nephrology transplant. So there's been a significant growth in the breadth of our portfolio.
That's exciting, but it also means that really now we are shifting to not just growing the substrate of growth, but now executing on that growth story. So there's a lot going on inside the company to make sure that all of those launches are a success.
But we're also keeping an eye on the longer term, and that's that third wave, the opportunities for longer-term growth. [ Dear Nursing ], and you've seen the data on that, very promising new modality in Alzheimer's, not necessarily part of the equity story near term. But longer term, this could significantly contribute to Biogen's growth. This is where this removed early stage pipeline that I just talked about is so important in the research portfolio.
From a [ BD ] M&A point of view, I think we have what we need to grow near term. I think we'll be less intentional about M&A and perhaps more opportunistic but we'll be certainly intentional about the earlier stage development. I mean ideally, we'd like to be bringing in assets between development candidate at IND stage.
And so when you look at what is the opportunity, and these are not revenue forecast, but really an initial sense of what's the addressable market that come from the pipeline. And I would say we're still doing work. We've got lupus here as a potential $8 billion market. The MS market is over $20 billion. And I think we're not there yet in terms of being able to really say how we access that. It's probably a $2 billion to $3 billion market today, but there's no real reason why this market shouldn't be the size of MS.
But even if you just say the $8 billion, that's a significant opportunity for us to go after. And obviously, not only with SLE, but we would hope to be the first product to be approved with for CLE.
Then you got AMR, approximately 11,000 patients just in the U.S. alone. Phase III data coming in early 2027, that's at least a $2 billion addressable market. It depends on which pricing you're using. But when you see the pricing that is now occurring in IgAN, that is going to have a spillover effect on AMR. And then when you think about microvascular inflammation, which is another indication we're pursuing, that market could also grow. And, of course, then later on, we've got IgAN and PMM data coming for felzartamab.
And then [ Dravet ] syndrome. As you know, we have the ex U.S. rights, but even in ex U.S. markets, there are about 7,000 patients in Europe alone. And when you add up all of our key Biogen territories, that's at least a $2 billion opportunity. Again, we're busy working on that. We're still, in some ways, 18 to 24 months from launch on those things and continue to work. But this shows the potential. It also shows why we have to execute with excellence, and we're busy investing today to make sure those launches are a success.
And so we go to the last slide. If you looked at Biogen pre the [ Appellate ] announcement, consensus of investors was that Biogen was going to be roughly flat through 2030. I think we're already seeing that consensus start to shift because people start to appreciate the [ Apellis ] transaction. But the way we certainly see it is when you take the appellate marketed products, and you add them to our own growth product portfolio. I think we're seeing a growing picture.
And when you now then take the late-stage registration pipeline, now I can remember vividly, one investor in the meeting that we had just after we had announced [ Appellate ] saying, "I get it. The late-stage pipeline now comes on top of a growing basis instead of a stable basis." And I think this slide neatly encapsulates really the strategy to return to sustainable revenue growth.
And with that, I turn it to Priya, who can talk a little bit more about that late-stage registration pipeline.
Thank you, Chris, and good morning, everyone. As we deliver the new Biogen, a large part of our transformation and near-term opportunity for growth comes from our late-stage pipeline, as Chris mentioned, and I am excited about this future. That is because today, we have one of the strongest and most diversified late-stage pipelines in Biogen's history with multiple near-term opportunities to create value in the upcoming years.
We shared this slide with you at the beginning of the year. And today, you can see that we are delivering on the opportunities we outlined, including the FDA approval of IQLIK initiation, which is an important innovation for patients and caregivers.
Beyond IQLIK, Biogen and [ Eisai ] presented new data at AAIC earlier this month. This included real-world evidence supporting the long-term benefits of continuous LEQEMBI treatment. We also shared new data for [ David Nelson], establishing proof of concept in Alzheimer's disease and we are now focused on developing the next steps for the program.
And more broadly, we continue to demonstrate medical leadership across our portfolio with important new data presentations for both [ tisotumab and ZorivoNursen ].
While these milestones reinforce the potential of our portfolio today, what makes this period particularly exciting is what lies ahead in the near term. We are now entering a multiyear registrational cycle, beginning with SLE data by the end of this year. and followed by multiple catalysts extending through the remainder of the decade.
And while we remain focused on advancing our high conviction late-stage opportunities, in parallel, we continue to invest in the next wave of innovation. The progress we have made this quarter has meaningfully accelerated the transformation of our pre-proof-of-concept pipeline.
At this point in the year, we are also now beyond our high-risk, high-reward readouts, as we mentioned at the outset. This includes our Phase II BTK inhibitor, [ BIB91 ], where we achieved proof of concept in relapsing remitting MS. And in line with our disciplined approach in how we advance assets, we are evaluating next steps, given the increasingly competitive nature of that market.
As we rebuild our early-stage pipeline, we expect to add 6 new programs this year, including new Phase II proof-of-concept studies to broaden the potential of [indiscernible] and [indiscernible] in autoimmune disease as well as first-in-human studies from our internal pipeline and the lead asset from the pending [ Vatera ] acquisition, which is now already in Phase 1.
Overall, we believe these investments are building a durable innovation engine with the promise of delivering sustainable, long-term growth and value creation.
So as we step back and look across the next several quarters, we expect readouts from 5 registrational studies across 4 important indications, SLE, CLE, AMR and [ Dravet ] syndrome. And reflecting the strong execution of our teams and enrollment momentum, we have also accelerated the expected Phase III readouts for [ vazadimab ] in AMR and [ mitipiimab ] in CLE with data now expected in the first half of 2027.
Later this fall, we also look forward to presenting new 52-week data from the Phase II portion of the ongoing [ Ametis ] study at the EADV Annual Conference, which we believe will provide important insights into the durability of response for [ litefolumab ] in CLE.
Taken together, these milestones are expected to generate important data over the next several months that has the potential to shape our next phase of growth. In summary, the strategic decisions and investments we have made over the past 3 to 4 years has positioned us to deliver near-term readouts while advancing long-term innovation. And we look forward to continuing to share our progress with you.
With that, I would now like to turn the call over to Robin, who will provide a financial update for the quarter. Thank you.
Thank you, Priya. Good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be speaking with all of you today following a strong revenue performance in the second quarter. Total second quarter core pharmaceutical revenue was $1.8 billion, up 4% year-over-year and 12% quarter-over-quarter. This performance was driven by our growth portfolio, which generated over $1 billion of revenue in the quarter, up 24% year-over-year and 25% quarter-over-quarter.
The Biogen stand-alone growth products, excluding our [ appellate ] SYFOVRI and [ Apave ] revenue was $933 million, up 9% year-over-year and 10% quarter-over-quarter and as Chris noted, generating revenue in excess of our legacy MS portfolio again this quarter.
Our growth portfolio has been further strengthened with the addition of SYFOVRI and [ EmpaVelli ] from the [ Appellate ] transaction. which generated $128 million in combined revenue for the period post the May 14 acquisition date. This quarter's results demonstrate strong commercial execution and the significant progress we've made in our portfolio transition.
Let me now take you through some key highlights from our core pharmaceutical product performance in the second quarter.
First, for the growth portfolio. SPINRAZA revenue was $402 million, up 2% year-over-year and 7% quarter-over-quarter. This was driven by both demand and stocking for the high-dose regimen in the U.S. partially offset by shipment timing in certain ex U.S. markets.
High-dose SPINRAZA was approved in the U.S. in March, the EU in January and Japan last year. During the period of patient transition to the high dose regimen, we benefit from revenue associated with the onetime transition dose. SPINRAZA high-dose maintenance is priced at parity with SPINRAZA.
We are pleased that the pace of conversion to high dose has been going well and enthusiasm from the patient and prescriber communities for a higher efficacy option has been strong. We also believe this is encouraging for the opportunity for our registrational pipeline asset, [ Salanersen ], which has recently received Breakthrough Therapy designation.
VUMERITY revenue of $197 million was down 7% year-over-year, partly driven by inventory dynamics and up 10% quarter-over-quarter. Revenue for the first half of 2026 was up 7% versus the comparable period in the prior year.
LEQEMBI end-market revenue was $184 million, up 15% year-over-year and 9% quarter-over-quarter. We saw a continuation of market growth in key markets, including the U.S., Japan and China. And as Priya mentioned, we are pleased to have received FDA approval for IQLIK initiation earlier this month.
SKYCLARYS saw patient demand growth both in the U.S. and ex U.S. in the second quarter with revenue of $168 million, representing 29% growth year-over-year and 11% on quarter-over-quarter. SKYCLARYS Claris is now available in 36 countries, and we continue to expect SKYCLARYS growth to come largely from ex U.S. as we advance the launch.
ZURZUVAE continued to show strong underlying demand growth with revenue of $71 million, and we're also pleased to announce that ZURZUVAE now launched in Germany. For the MS portfolio, I would like to highlight that [ TYSABRI ] continued to demonstrate resilience in demand in the midst of a biosimilar launch in the U.S. and Europe. Second quarter revenue of $451 million was down 1% year-over-year and up 2% quarter-over-quarter. We've invested for a long time to establish [ Tysabri ] as an important option for MS patients. and we're pleased to see this reflected in the resilience of [ Tysabri ] thus far.
Turning now to an update on the [ Appellate ] acquisition, which closed mid-quarter on May 14. The integration is progressing well, and both SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI had strong performance in the quarter. SYFOVRE continued to demonstrate market leadership with total revenue in the quarter of $162 million up 8% year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, with total commercial injections up 13% year-over-year. EMPAVELI continues to launch in C3G and primary IC-MPGN and with total revenue of $46 million, up 123% year-over-year and 12% quarter-over-quarter.
The Apellis acquisition accelerates our return to growth. It adds 2 best-in-class commercialized medicines to our growth portfolio, which we expect to contribute materially to our top line growth in the near and long term. We expect SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI on a combined basis to grow in the mid- to high teens through at least 2028. In addition, we expect this transaction to materially increase our non-GAAP diluted EPS CAGR through the end of this decade.
We expect approximately $120 million to $130 million of impact to our other income expense line in both 2026 and 2027 and associated with it expense and foregone interest income associated with financing the transaction. We expect to generate at least $250 million of run rate synergies by the end of 2027, largely from optimization of general and administrative expenses and research and development.
For 2026, we expect approximately $0.85 of non-GAAP EPS dilution, primarily from financing costs associated with the transaction. We expect the transaction to be accretive to non-GAAP diluted EPS in 2027. We believe this transaction represents an attractive use of capital that will further bolster both our top line and bottom line growth prospects and therapeutic areas aligned to our immunology and rare disease strategy.
Moving on to the financial highlights, total revenue for the quarter was $2.7 billion, up 3% year-over-year. Revenue from the anti-CD20 royalties and profit share included in other revenue was $514 million, up 10% year-over-year. This increase was driven by royalties from [ OCREVUS ] which benefited from the recent subcutaneous launch and resilience from [ Rituxan ] in the U.S.
In addition to the revenue contribution in the quarter from SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI as previously discussed, our results of operations for the second quarter of 2026 include 0.5 quarter of operating expenses and financing costs associated with the acquisition of [ Appellate ]. Non-GAAP cost of sales as a percentage of revenue was 22% in Q2 2026 versus 21% last year. The increase was primarily due to product mix largely from increased contract manufacturing revenue.
GAAP cost of sales as a percentage of revenue was also impacted by higher amortization costs associated with the acquired inventory fair value step-up adjustment for SKYCLARYS from the [ Reata ] transaction and SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI from the [ Appellate ] transaction.
Non-GAAP core OpEx or combined R&D and SG&A expense increased 20% year-over-year. This reflects approximately $95 million of [ Appellate ] operating expenses from the May 14 acquisition date through the end of the quarter.
For R&D, it also reflects our investments in our Phase III clinical programs, including [ felzartamab ] indication in MDI and [indiscernible], which were advanced as registrational studies in the second half of 2025; and [ lidafilimab ], where we expect the Phase III SLE data later this year including a $25 million year-over-year decrease in R&D funding from the royalty pharma funding for [ lidafilimab ].
For sales and marketing, it reflects support of our U.S. and international product launches and investments in prelaunch activities for our late-stage high conviction pipeline. As we previously announced, we recorded $164 million of acquired IPR&D and milestone charges associated with our investments in the development pipeline in the second quarter of 2026, including a $100 million upfront to TJ Bio, associated with the acquisition of the [ felzartamab ] rights in China, giving us worldwide rights to [ felzartamab ], a milestone payment of $45 million to Ionis in connection with the initiation of the Phase III trial for [ salinersen ] and SMA, and an upfront payment of $15 million to Ionis to opt into BIB147 in broad ALS.
Now turning to cash flow and the balance sheet. We continue to generate strong cash flow with about $408 million of free cash flow generated in the second quarter. We exited the quarter with $1.3 billion of cash and $6.8 billion of net debt. We closed the [ Appellate ] transaction in the second quarter, which was funded with $3.6 billion of cash from the balance sheet and $2 billion of term loans. During Q2, we repaid $200 million of the term loan and continue to expect to repay the remainder of the term loans by the end of 2027.
Turning now to guidance. Based on the expected revenue performance of our base business, including our growth products and [ Tysabri ], our guidance update reflects a $0.60 increase in the underlying business guidance as compared to our previous guidance. We are pleased to be increasing our total revenue guidance from a mid-single-digit percentage decrease to a mid-single-digit percentage increase. This reflects both the expected performance of our growth products into cabin as well as the addition of SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI into our product portfolio.
Our guidance also reflects updates to core operating expenses other income and expense and our full year tax rate primarily to incorporate the impact of the acquisition of [ Apellis ]. We expect our core operating expenses in the second half of 2026 to be between $2.65 billion and $2.7 billion.
Our guidance also reflects updates associated with our strategic investments in the early and late-stage pipeline as well as those associated with our near and midterm growth. It incorporates transactions that have been executed and our current expectations of those that will occur for the remainder of the year. It incorporates approximately a $3 non-GAAP diluted EPS impact of charges associated with IPR&D and milestones, including the Q2 TJ Bio transaction, the Ionis milestone associated with achieving the first patient dosed in [ STELLAR 1 ], our pivotal Phase III [ selinersen ] study in SMA; and the pending Vatera transaction associated with the addition of a Phase 1 immunology asset into the early-stage pipeline, which is expected to close in Q3; and the expected full year 2026 $0.85 dilution associated with the [ Appellate ] transaction, again, largely driven by the impact of financing costs.
Our updated 2026 full year non-GAAP diluted EPS range is now between $12 and $13. Please be sure to review this slide as well as Slide 25 in the appendix of this presentation and our press release for other important full year 2026 guidance assumption.
In closing, strong commercial execution in the Biogen based business and the addition of SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI resulted in strong top line performance in Q2, and the completion of the [ Apellis ] acquisition accelerates our near and midterm top line and bottom line growth potential.
With that, I would like to pass the call back to Tim to open us up for questions.
Thanks, Robin. Jess, could we go to our first question, please? .
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Chris Schott with JPMorgan..
2. Question Answer
Great. Sorry, on met again. Just a quick question for me on HD SPINRAZA. Just a little bit -- elaborate a little bit more on how the ramp is coming here compared to internal expectations. And just any metrics you can share on the conversion you're seeing in some of the markets where the product has been launched for longer?
Maybe also as part of that answer, can you just talk about how meaningful is the impact from patients switching back to HD to overall volumes? So the product as well? I'm just trying to get just a general sense of just how this is progressing and impacting the franchise.
Chris, this is Alisha. I'll take that question. So if you really think about SPINRAZA is almost a decade after introducing the first SMA treatment, what I think you're seeing is SPINRAZA still setting the bar on efficacy in the space.
And also if you think about how to SPINRAZA HD even come about, this was from several years ago, we had many patients come forward. to Biogen saying we just wish we had more. We wish we had more. We feel like we could take an even higher dose. And then obviously, Biogen went in and developed this new formulation. And here, we have high dose today.
So now that we've launched, we are seeing basically the demand in the urgency really being driven by this patient community. In fact, if you think about metrics, SPINRAZA high dose is exceeding the original launch of SPINRAZA in both start forms and grads in the first 13 weeks of launch, and we are growing every single week.
So when you look at the Q2 revenue, sites are ordering high dose to prepare for each patient's next dose. And when you think about the dosing of the product, you do have to wait a quarter or 2, depending on when you had your last dose of SPINRAZA. The feedback from patients so far that have received the product has been quite positive, also from the physicians quite positive. So the teams are really supporting the payer approvals and the account P&T reviews and patient transitions.
Now in this initial bolus of launch demand, you are seeing that the majority of the patients are transitioning from spin 12 megs to high dose. However, we also have several patients who are either new to SPINRAZA and particularly babies, we hadn't dosed a baby in years. And so we are seeing babies now getting dosed. And also, we have had several switchbacks from [ RD ].
So we think for this year, what you're going to see is the bolus of the transitions along into the beginning of next year, but our big focus for 2027 is going to be on new starts and on switchback.
One of the advantages that you have that we didn't realize was going to be such a positive in the market. is with the spin 12 mg, there are 4 loading doses with high dose, there's only 2. And we do have patients who are more willing to do the 2 as the loading dose than the 4, and that is where you're seeing also some of the switchbacks and new patient starts.
Yes. And just the U.S. is actually 1 of the last countries to launch [ Axeon ] usually. So Japan, where we launched earlier as in Europe, that's where actually we're seeing, particularly in Germany, seeing a reversal of the trend of switching to oral therapy and some trending back now.
I think it's still early days. And as Alisha said, it's largely first people moving from the lower dose to the high dose. But again, as Alisha said, in all markets, and I go talk to physicians around the world when I'm visiting our affiliates, at the end of the day, it's really in these devastating diseases efficacy that really matters, and there is an enhanced opportunity here for that.
We'll go next to Umer Raffat with Evercore
I guess I want to touch up on expectations ahead of your lupus readouts this fall. And specifically, we've seen Benlysta track at sort of mid-teens separation on SRI. We've seen [ Safanella ] from AstraZeneca track at something in the 20s.
I guess in your -- based on all the work you guys have done what separation versus placebo would constitute something that's considered very clinically meaningful and differentiated over what's out there in the marketplace right now?
And Priya, could you also just remind us what dose of your BTK inhibitor is going forward? I'm just trying to think about the liver implications, but I would love to know what the dose is.
This is Priya. I'll take that. So I think just stepping back, we're really excited about our [ TOPAZ ] trial. This is [ TOPAS ] 1 and 2. We will have results from both of these in Q4 this year. These are our SLE trials. .
So maybe just stepping back, I'll just comment on the fact that we've taken all the learnings from the prior trials to really ensure that we set these trials up appropriately. And by that, I mean we focused on the high placebo responses that you've seen in past trials. Our trials have had rules to limit standard-of-care utilization by that, I mean NSAs, corticosteroid [ tapers ], handling data for responders and nonresponders.
But we've also stepped up to really think about the fact that this is a heterogeneous disease. So how do we control a patient and participant heterogeneity? And we have tried to model our inclusion/exclusion criteria to be really quite -- track very closely to Phase II LILAC proof of concept.
Now with regards to what we expect, I think we remain confident in our trial design, site selection, patient selection really to get a robust response. We'll see how we kind of perform in the trial, and we'll wait for the results. I won't speculate.
Our primary endpoint is [ SRI4 ]. However, we have a key secondary endpoint in [indiscernible] and we have multiple patient-reported outcomes. So we'll really be looking at the totality of the data, including [Audio Gap] and we'll be presenting 52-week data at EADV this fall, so we remain confident in that data set as well.
Now moving to your second question on the BTK inhibitor. We haven't actually disclosed doses, I won't be sharing much more information, and we're looking at what the next steps might be for this.
You want to add anything, Alicia, in the market research. Because I think -- this is 1 of those ones where it's no 1 thing that's going to be a marker of success. You've got steroid sparing. One of the things that we consistently hear from patients is fatigue and yet you can't really build fatigue into an endpoint in the clinical trials as easily. So real-world evidence will play a role, but maybe you can say a few words on what it's going to take commercially to succeed.
Yes. Thank you, Chris. Umer, Nice to hear from you. First of all, we have now recruited several senior leaders with lupus experience an entire medical team with lupus experience and several marketers with lupus experience. And I have to say we've probably got more insights from them than the actual market research that you can get that through third parties. .
And I have to say that we talk about things like SRI-4 and endpoints. But when you really look at a physician and a patient interactions they have, what we're finding in this market is there is a huge disconnect on what they expect from treatment.
Doctors want to run a patient's experience just by what they see in labs and patients will come in and say, the 3 things that are really bothering me are fatigue, brain fog and joint pain. And I do believe in this market, when you look at CLE, where there's only less than 5% of CLE patients receiving advanced therapy.
And I also -- because there is no approved therapy, I think the CLE patient members are undercalled. I know that we've reported out 75,000. I think that, that is a much lower number than is actually out there.
Secondarily, you're seeing that patients are getting lost in the system being transferred from derm to room and room to derm where no one really knows how to treat them. And then with the treatments that are on market as of today, there is downfalls. One does not work very quickly or very well and another has an infection safety issue.
And so when you speak to these physicians, they are really looking for a treatment that can work much more quickly and can work in both CLE and SLE. So I think that there's a very long runway for this therapeutic area. And because there is such a huge unmet need in these patients, are known. We can track them in the system because they are -- most of them are diagnosed. We know which physicians they've been diagnosed by and who they see. I think that even though there is a lot of work to do, I find this to be a very good therapeutic area to enter.
We'll go next to Marc Godman with Leerink Partners.
Yes. Can you give us a little more insight on SYFOVRI and just what is happening behind the scenes, like new patient starts or just the durability of patients? And we understand that the injections were up 13%. But just trying to understand like what's going on there and what kind of growth we should be expecting from here? .
Thank you for the question. There is a lot going on with SYFOVRI since we've been able to integrate them into the organization. First, I want to say I'm very much impressed and very grateful for the level of talent and expertise that joined from the Sipo routine. I think the first thing that we have noticed with both SYFOVRI and EMPAVELI is when they came onboard the company, both used very similar launch plans. .
And I think the 1 thing that we've really learned over the last 7 years with our 7 launches is that we really tailor make our launch plans. We really build them from the ground up. We launched very much informed, and it's not templated.
And so what we've been able to do is work with the SYFOVRI team across the board, understanding what's really driving sales, where can we maybe reallocate capital? And how do we get the Biogen machine to sort of help drive some of their momentum. And so I'm very encouraged by the strongest quarter since really launch for SIFOVRI. And in the month of June, the month of June was the best month in the brand's history.
And so what we're really seeing is the quality of growth across a number of areas. I think, number one, you're seeing our free drug has been lowered by half. We did end up looking at free drug programs and looking at where we put some guardrails in place to make sure really only the patients that need access to free drug do get it. and that has dropped by half. That's been part of momentum.
Secondly, if you look at where this brand started on sentiment across HCPs for slowing the progression of GA and where physicians are today, this SYFOVRI team has done a truly tremendous job on changing that sentiment. And because sentiment has improved so much, that is where you're seeing new writers coming on board. It's also where you're seeing many more patients coming onboard.
They grew both in patient numbers and in physicians who are prescribing. And I think that 1 of the tailwinds on that was the long-term 5-year data that they've been presenting, which is really a lot of education around the progression of GA.
And specifically, when you look ahead, the market is only 50% of the retina specialists are treating and only 20% of these patients are diagnosed. And so the team is really looking at a couple of things. One is the direct-to-consumer. We have decided to shut down a few programs we're reallocating to a new commercial. I think maybe the SYFOVRI team and leadership thought, their DTC came out a little too soon now that we think that the market is ready. We do plan on launching a DTC campaign that we believe will be very effective.
Secondly, prefilled syringe. We do look forward to that launch as well. prefilled syringe is going to really support the workflow for physicians. We believe it will make it much faster for them, much more efficient, and they probably will be able to get more injections into the eyes with saving them approximately 15 minutes with these injections. So that's also great.
But more importantly, on a previous call, I think I had mentioned to you when we were looking at SYFOVRI, one of the things we had seen in our diligence is that there really was a big discount, a lot of patients discount after a year. Well, now that the team is onboard and we really looked at the data, we've noticed that actually the discounts happen after the first injection. That's where the big bolus comes from, even though it really only shows up in the numbers after a year where you see the 50% drop off.
And we now believe due to all of the brands that we've had, where we've had discount issues after either the first injection or first IV infusion, we know exactly what to do for that. So we are also rallying the team around how we support educating those patients and physicians on why they do not need to discount after the first injection, what kind of education needs to happen in the doctor's office.
So right now, we believe the HCP growth is trending in the right direction. We believe we will keep up that momentum. And then our focus is going to turn to educating to the patients and activating them with DTC.
We'll go next to Salveen Richter with Goldman Sachs. .
Just circling back on your BTK inhibitor, BIIB091. Could you just speak to how you expect this asset to be differentiated versus the later-stage assets under development and how you're thinking about the safety profile, given what's been seen?
Thank you, Salveen. This is Priya. So just stepping back, we took BIIB091, which is a peripheral BTK inhibitor, noncovalent, into a Phase II trial in RRMS a few years ago. And now we've concluded the trial. And what we see is that it could have compelling efficacy in RRMS. But actually, as I mentioned in my remarks, we are looking at what is the appropriate next step because we see RRMS as a very crowded competitive market. but we're also looking at the external inflections that we've seen in the BTK landscape.
So we will communicate more about how we see this asset progressing further. And we haven't actually made a decision to specifically advance it into an indication. So we're not there yet. We're still evaluating the data. Overall, we see that it could perform really well in RRMS, but I think it's another very important example of how we prioritize assets in our portfolio where we look at the scientific data, but we marry it up with the value and the opportunity in terms of totality and really capital allocation. So this is an example of where we're taking a pause. We're looking at the data, and we will assess how and when and if we would advance it. beyond where it is today. I hope that helps.
will go next to Michael Ye with UBS.
Thanks. Our question actually is going back to letefilimab in CLE. Do you believe that CLE is a higher probability given perhaps less heterogeneity of the patient population you've already sort of talked about some of the risks in SLE and heterogeneity and placebo rates. So could you just comment about your view of CLE versus SLE and perhaps some of the data you might be getting at EADV that could help drive more confidence in that because I think there's some additional data presentation coming up?
I think stepping back, I actually don't see a difference in terms of probability of success between SE and I remain confident in really the data that we saw from our LILAC Phase II trial, which we believe was a compelling proof-of-concept trial. And it was important because we tested the SLE population. However, it was enriched for where we believe litefilumab will have the strongest actions based on its mechanism of action.
So we have focused our SLE trial to be quite specific to patients who have skin and joint involvement. And that is why I think I remain confident in how we've set this trial up and probability of success.
Similarly, with CLE, I also remain confident because of the focus on the skin and the data that we've generated so far. It just happens to be the situation that for SLE, given the broad indication and it's a very unfortunately prevalent disease, we have 2 Phase III trials -- and then with CLA, we have a Phase II, Phase III trial, and that was a seamless trial, the [ AMICUS ] trial.
So you may remember that we actually have the opportunity to share Phase II data. It is not because we are more or less confident that we're sharing it. We have the opportunity to look at the Phase II data by itself without disrupting the Phase III portion, and we are just simply taking that data forward and bringing it to EADV.
We've already shared the Phase II randomized control part of [ Ametis ] earlier this year. So now we're sharing the 52-week data, which hopefully will say more about durability of response. But no, I think we remain confident in all 3 trials.
And then, as was mentioned, we think this is really highly undertreated. Very few biologics have made it. And they haven't really penetrated the market, and we think that is actually related to their treatment response. And we think with the right mechanism of action, we really have a very -- we would be -- we could meet a very high unmet need in this area.
We'll go next to David Amsellem with Piper Sandler. .
So on Impavly, I noticed you are initiating a Phase II in FSGS, Wondering broadly how wide of a development that you're going to cast regarding the molecule, just given its complement C3 inhibition and how you're thinking about other indications potentially beyond FSGS?
And then secondly, if you can comment on your anti-CD40 that's Phase I ready, maybe comment on how it's different mechanistically than the CD40 ligand antagonist as a [ alibabat ] Amgen is running a Phase III program in sovereigns.
Maybe I'll start with [indiscernible] there. So I think we remain excited about the fact that we've brought in [ EmpoBelly ] and of course, it's nephrology indications as well as the proxy [indiscernible] and hemoglobin urea remain very important commercial indications.
But as we've been -- we brought this in, our legacy [ Apellis ] team was already working up a lot of indications, and we looked at these, and there were two important nephrology trials that they were considering. One was delayed graft function, which we have based and we would not be continuing that. But the FSGS, we believe, remains a really important indication.
And the reason for this is that we believe it's a high unmet need. It does have clarity on primary endpoint and regulatory pathway as well as the ability of [ EmpoBelly ] to really address the C3, C3B cleavage pathway and thereby impact the auto antibodies. And we have real-world data, but also muting models where we've seen elevated levels of C3. So we believe this really is a science forward approach.
And we are being very prudent. We're taking this forward as a Phase II proof of concept, and we could have data really in short order once we initiate the trial. We also already have sought -- I think our [ Ampobelly ] legacy team has already sought FDA feedback. So this still comes with a really nice package, which we believe is worth prosecuting. So that's where we are.
We will be looking across really where does complement specifically, C3, have a large role in disease. But the other part, as I mentioned in the other example, just a short while ago, is really the value proposition. So we are always looking at the addressable market.
For example, with the FSGS, we know there's about 27,000 patients in the U.S. We know there's 4 types. We will be running a very clear and decision enabling trial to really give us next steps.
Now with regards -- shifting to your second question about the anti-CD40, we remain excited about the pathway -- we think it's differentiated and it could be something that we bring forward also in autoimmune disease. We haven't shared that yet, but we will be communicating more when the time is right.
We'll go next to Alex Hammond with Wolfe Research. .
So it's been a few weeks since you posted or presented the full [ Celia ] data at AAIC. I guess given it's been some time for you to digest the reactions on the medical and regulatory community, what feedback have you been getting -- has there been any feedback that's kind of shifted your thinking at all in the Phase III trial design, particularly the potential for early combination with [ Abeta ] antibodies.
Yes, I'll take that one. And as I said in my remarks, [ DerNurson ] is really part of the longer-term story of Biogen. And the Phase II was really an exploratory study. And the main objective was really to see if you reduce tile, could you move cognition? Because up until now, Tau has been a theory. It's been a favorite theory, but it's still a theory. And this is the first time anybody has shown any data on this.
Now the business decision really to go forward with that is Priya had already -- when we got the data range for an independent biostatistician to review the data. We had an outside [ KME ], review the data before we announced it, done multiple advisory groups. We had the [ AIC ]. One of the very strong feedback is the signal is real. This is not due to chance. A lot of people got there doing a lot of overanalysis of the dosing question.
There's a lot of different hypotheses. There's one -- it's very clear that tau is important to neurotransmission. And so while too much is not good, maybe too little is also not good. We just don't know. This is the issue of being in breakthrough. It's very exciting, but it's also one of the reasons we decided not to build the company on this type of product. This is one of these high risk, high reward.
We're doing a lot of investigation and discussion with the neurology community. And obviously, we'll be consulting with the FDA. We also have long-term extension data that are coming along, and we'll make those available.
But this is a long-term investment. It will be -- we're confident in the signal. And it could be an exciting option, but still going to have to go through Phase III, and it's not something that's going to affect Biogen's growth over the rest of this decade. So that's all we really want to say about [ dearnersing ] at this stage.
We'll go next to Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets.
On solid quarter. on subcu like induction, just curious what the initial demand or interest has looked like on the ground here versus your expectations? And then your latest views on the access dynamics and potential timelines there. .
Thank you. I'll take that question. As you know, earlier this month, we received approval for LEQEMBI IQLIK induction, And it will be available by the end of August in market. So what we've done is our field teams are trained. We are educating the HCPs and letting them know availability is expected next month.
So we've already had some demand. Of course, it's not getting filled yet, but they are put into a queue. And so we've had -- as of yesterday, several physicians have already written scripts. And so we're not really counting that yet in our expectations until the product is actually readily available for the market. So we're keeping a close eye on that.
Now as you also know, [ Eisai ] is trying to make access very easy for this and as simple as possible. And they are the ones working with the payers on Part D access. And so we will find out again in several months, what kind of access we will see at the beginning of next year.
However, even if some of the Part D plans don't contract, for LEQEMBI IQLIK, the other route, which they've been going through with IQLIK maintenance has been medical exceptions.
Now when we pull the data to look at the medical exception rate for the product, it is quite high. higher than most other therapeutic areas. And so even when a physician does put that through the grant approval rate is high, meaning that they are getting the product for the patient.
And so it remains to be seen what happens as of [ 1/1 ] next year, for the coverage, which, by the way, even if you get a Part D plan coverage, a prior auth must be filled out. So doctors either filling out a prior other filling out a medical exception form for the product. So we also believe that based on the market research that we have done recently, IQLIK will evolve this market. and will be another contributor to growth once it gets off the ground.
Now keep in mind, a lot of the protocols for LEQEMBI are written for IV. And so a lot of the IDNs and hospitals and systems are starting to rewrite those to incorporate IQLIK, obviously, also into their workflow.
And we also see that Chris had mentioned earlier, when you look at drop-off rates, which there's drop-offs at many points in a patient journey, but one particularly is when they finally get to a physician who believes in AAT and goes to prescribe the product; one of the largest drop-offs are patients not wanting to take IV in general, that is agnostic of LEQEMBI or [indiscernible]. We also believe in our market research, it shows that those patients would opt on to doing subcu. And so there is a big portion of patients that drop off exactly for that reason. And so we believe that, that will also help accelerate the market.
We'll go next to Pal Matias with Stifel.
How are you guys thinking about the brain channel space right now? And as you think about yourselves investing so much in building this Alzheimer's market do you feel like Biogen needs to have a brain channel to capture what the sales potential of A beta is going to look like? And if so, what's the best way to get there?
It's a very important area for us and has been for a while, perceives any data readouts that we've had recently. So that's what I can tell you. We are working internally. We're also looking externally, and we've been doing the work on shuttle delivery really deeply here.
So we remain very interested in getting to tissue delivery modalities. And I think we would think about that across several targets. That's what I can share, but it's a high priority for us.
Yes. I mean longer term, Alzheimer's is certainly going to be a core part of the portfolio of Biogen, particularly now that there's there's a very good chance that [ Derinersen ] ultimately makes it to market. Clearly, we have to go through the Phase III program. But again, I think when you -- what really is important for this market, and you've talked to physicians who actually treat patients. It's really moving cognition. So that's what has caused us to go forward with [ deranursen ].
Now then it probably makes sense to have a portfolio of products. And we're already even talking internally, and we haven't made any decisions yet, but are you going to combine an [ A beta ] with an anti-tau, for example. There's a question of, well, maybe you don't even need to take after you do say 3, 4 injections of anti-tau, maybe you need that just an [indiscernible] to actually keep the tau from coming back.
But all of those things are kind of what we're gaming. This would be something that certainly would affect the business in the next decade. But I think if we're going to be in Alzheimer's, we are certainly looking to have a portfolio. And clearly, brain shuttles would be the next generation of products to pursue. And as Priya said, we've been working on that for several years now.
We'll go next to Evan Seigerman with BMO Capital Markets.
I think, Chris, you had mentioned felzartamab and AMR could be a $2 billion opportunity. So that's really not reflected in Biogen's current valuation, What do you think we, as investors, need to see to be convinced of that? And what could you be showing us when we get that data come next year? .
Thanks, Evan. One of the things that we saw when we were doing diligence on the [ Pallas ] was that there really hadn't been much value associated with EMPAVELI. And I think there is a tendency to really focus on kind of lead products in companies. And for some of these programs, where there is no treatment, there are also no analogs. And so I think what we see is and what we've heard from a number of analysts and experts is that there tends to be a placeholder value put in there.
And people then want to wait and see the data. But 1,000 patients. And if you took even the Otsuka price for iGame 350,000 you're getting somewhere between a $3 billion and $4 billion market. And when you consider that the Phase II data showed an 80% resolution of AMR in an open label in a small study and obviously something we have to repeat in a Phase II. But there is no product approved for AMR today. So -- and the option for patients is either treatment with [ felzartamab ] or perhaps a second kidney transplant.
I mean I was in I was in Brazil recently and visited the hospital where they do more kidney transplants than anywhere else in the world, they estimate that somewhere between 10% and 20% of people on the kidney transplant list are people have already had a kidney transplant. So there is a huge unmet need. This is a product that really seems to work. So we have very high hopes for this product.
We'll go to Terence Flynn with Morgan Stanley.
Maybe just a follow-up on that last point. This is probably for Chris or Priya. Just in terms of the TRANSCEND trial, can you remind us of the powering on the primary endpoint and what's required from the FDA to support approval in the late AMR indication. And then how should we think about lateral implications from TRANSCEND for microvascular inflammation?
Yes. I can start. I mean we haven't commented publicly on the powering. We believe we have a very robust trial design and power to really give us confidence in the outcome. So I think we remain confident in our trial design.
As you know, the trial, the TRANSCEND trial is a 6-month placebo controlled. This is biopsy driven as an end point, which is really important. And then patients move on to maintenance for the next months. And I think durability, but the 6-month time point are both important.
We have been able to -- I think that's another really good sign, but we've been able to accelerate the trial. So now we expect data in the first half of 2027. And I think overall, we remain really excited.
Now the MVI is obviously a more recent diagnostic criteria through the [ BAMS ] criteria. And this is important because these are donor-specific antibody negative patients, but it's a very important population. And what we decided to do along with our high [ Bio ] team, they are absolute experts in the area is to actually initiate the MVI trial, which is a transpire trial as soon as possible. So that trial is already underway. And so we will also have data emerging from that trial.
And we think that, yes, the the [ fazatemab ] mechanism of action of addressing plasma cells and the anti-CD38 will have an impact in both MVI as well as in AMR. MVI itself in the U.S. is a sizable population of about 6,000 patients. So this remains an important auxiliary but very important aspect of the unmet need.
So we think this is really a very, very important opportunity, and we remain confident that [indiscernible] really has a very good high probability here of giving us the data that we're looking for.
Thanks, everybody, for joining us today. If you've got follow-up questions, you know order to find us. Take care.
Thank you ladies and gentlemen, that will conclude today's call. We thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time.
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Biogen — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Biogen — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Solide Q2: Umsatzwachstum getrieben von Wachstumsportfolio und Apellis-Integration; mehrere Phase‑III‑Daten als nächste Katalysatoren.
Management betont Übergang zu nachhaltigem Wachstum via kommerzieller Stärke, registratorischer Pipeline und gezielten Zukäufen; Guidance wurde angehoben.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Gesamtumsatz: $2,7 Mrd. (+3% YoY)
- Core Pharma: $1,8 Mrd. (+4% YoY, +12% QoQ)
- Wachstumsportfolio: >$1 Mrd. Umsatz (+24% YoY, +25% QoQ); Biogen-standalone Wachstum $933M (+9% YoY)
- Key Produkte: SPINRAZA $402M (+2% YoY), LEQEMBI $184M (+15% YoY), SKYCLARYS $168M (+29% YoY), TYSABRI $451M (‑1% YoY)
- Cash & Guidance: Free cash flow Q2 $408M; Cash $1,3Mrd; Net Debt $6,8Mrd; non‑GAAP EPS Guidance $12–13
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Wachstumstreiber: Fokus auf Ausbau des Wachstumsportfolios (SPINRAZA HD, LEQEMBI IQLIK, SKYCLARYS) und kommerzielle Execution nach Integration von Apellis (SYFOVRE, EMPAVELI).
- Pipeline‑Momentum: Fünf registratorische Phase‑III‑Readouts innerhalb kurzer Frist (SLE, CLE, AMR, Dravet etc.), ergänzt durch Rebuild der Early‑Stage‑Forschung und gezielte BD/M&A‑Priorität auf IND‑nahe Assets.
- Integration & Kapitalallokation: Apellis‑Integration läuft gut; Management will M&A künftig opportunistischer angehen, aber selektiv in frühe Entwicklung investieren.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance‑Update: Underlying Guidance um $0.60 angehoben; Umsatzpfad nun von mittlerem Rückgang zu mittlerem Wachstum (Jahr).
- Kosten & Effekte: H2 Core OpEx erwartet $2,65–2,7 Mrd.; ~ $0,85 non‑GAAP EPS Verdünnung 2026 durch Finanzierung Apellis; Transaktion soll 2027 wieder accretive sein.
- Weitere Annahmen: ~$120–130M Effekt auf Other Income/Expense 2026/27; Ziel ≥$250M Run‑Rate‑Synergien Ende 2027; mehrere registratorische Readouts H2‑2026 bis H1‑2027 sind entscheidend.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- SPINRAZA HD: Conversion schneller als erwartet; starke initiale Nachfrage und Wechsel zurück von oralen Wettbewerbern, größeres Upside in 2027 durch New‑starts und Switchbacks.
- Lupus (TOPAZ): Fragen zu erwarteter Wirkung vs. Placebo; Management betont Trial‑Design gegen hohe Placebo‑raten, nennt jedoch keine Effektgrößen und vermeidet Spekulation.
- Apellis & SYFOVRE/EMPAVELI: Nachfrage und Injektionen steigen; Maßnahmen gegen Patienten‑Drop‑off (Reduktion Free‑Drug, DTC, Prefill‑Syringe) treiben Momentum.
- BTK (BIIB091) & andere Assets: Team pausiert für Portfolio‑Priorisierung; keine Dosisdetails preisgegeben, weitere Entscheidungen daten‑ und wettbewerbsabhängig.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit für Aktionäre: Q2 bestätigt den Übergang zu einem wachstumsgetriebenen Biogen: starke kommerzielle Performance plus Apellis stärkt Perspektive, während kurzfristig Finanzierungskosten, IPR&D‑Aufwendungen und Integrationskosten die 2026er EPS belasten; die anstehenden Phase‑III‑Readouts sind die primären Value‑Katalysatoren.
Biogen — Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC Meeting) 2026
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. My name is Jess, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Biogen and AAIC 2026 Webcast. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference is being recorded. Thank you.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Tim Power, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Power, you may begin your conference.
Thanks, Jess, and good afternoon, everybody. Thanks for joining us today. I'd like to start by just pointing out that we'll be making forward-looking statements, which are based on our expectations. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, and our actual results may differ materially. I encourage you to consult the risk factors discussed in our SEC filings for additional details.
Joining me on today's call are Dr. Priya Singhal, Head of Development; and Dr. Diana Gallagher, Head of Clinical Development for immune-mediated neurodegeneration. You can access the press release and supporting materials regarding today's presentation as well as a replay of the call at biogen.com.
And I'll now hand it over to Priya.
Good afternoon. It's great to be speaking with you from AAIC. As you know, we also just had good news for patients with the approval of LEQEMBI IQLIK for treatment initiation for early Alzheimer's disease. We at Biogen have chosen to tackle Alzheimer's disease for several years. And having been at the forefront of innovation in Alzheimer's, it is really good to be here at a key Alzheimer's medical meeting with important progress in the field to share.
Today, we are pleased to join you to present data for diranersen, which we believe demonstrates an important advancement in targeting tau. The CELIA study was a pioneering effort. What we have observed is that diranersen offers a differentiated approach that leads to tau lowering, demonstrates robust tau tangles reduction in the brain and importantly, has a substantial impact on multiple clinical endpoints.
Several aspects of the CELIA data are unprecedented. As you know, the purpose of the CELIA study was to determine if we could achieve proof of concept and therefore, identify a dose to advance into Phase III development. We know that many of you have had questions about how we are thinking about this asset because we did not observe a typical dose response with this drug, which was the primary endpoint.
What I can tell you today is that we are seeing promising results that importantly provide us with proof of concept and an emerging dose, which is supported by: one, an unprecedented reduction in both tau tangles in the brain and clinical efficacy; two, diranersen being favored for all doses, showing consistency across the data set; three, the 60-milligram dose twice a year, demonstrating the largest and most substantial benefit across nearly all endpoints; and finally, the results that reinforce the prior findings from the smaller Phase Ib study.
Furthermore, not only did we see a CDR-Sum of Boxes benefit similar to the anti-amyloid therapies at 18 months, but also cognitive efficacy signals not seen before in an Alzheimer's clinical trial for a potential disease-modifying therapy. This is important because while CDR-Sum of Boxes is an important endpoint for clinical research, patients and their doctors care deeply about cognitive endpoints and cognition overall. Diranersen now has the potential to be administered just twice a year and has a mechanism that is not associated with ARIA.
Now let's walk through what we have learned from CELIA with Diana.
Thank you, Priya. Let's start with a reminder of the 2 targets most closely associated with Alzheimer's, amyloid and tau. While the current treatment landscape is focused on amyloid, research has also told us that tau and more specifically tau pathology spreading across the brain is much more temporally linked to cognitive decline. Thus far, as you know, antibody approaches have not been successful in showing clinical benefit. We believe that this may be because they primarily target tau outside the cell and are likely unable to impact the intracellular tau pathology.
However, diranersen acts via a very different mechanism. Our ASO targets the reduction of the translation of the MAPT gene into tau protein, thereby reducing the production of all isoforms of tau inside the cell, impacting both intracellular and extracellular mechanisms. Our hypothesis remains that reducing tau production results in overall reduction of tau pathology in the brain, potentially translating to a clinical benefit as a result, neither of which have been seen before in any other tau-directed agents tested thus far.
So now let's talk about how we tested that hypothesis. On this slide, you'll see our Phase II design. Let's remind you of a few key features. This was an 18-month study recruiting patients with early Alzheimer's and mild cognitive impairment, where patients were randomized to placebo and 3 different dose levels of diranersen. We measured several clinical endpoints, including CDR-Sum of Boxes, ADAS-Cog 13, MMSE, ADCS-ADL-MCI as well as modified iADRS and Ad Comm.
We measured total tau in the CSF for all subjects. And then within a substudy of the population, approximately 30% of the subjects, we also measured tau PET to assess changes of tau across different regions of the brain. The primary endpoint was intended to formally assess a dose response to CDR-SB and change from baseline.
Before we look at the results, let's review who we recruited into the study. Here, you can see the baseline characteristics of the patients recruited. What you can see is that the arms were generally well balanced across elements such as MCI versus early AD as well as APOE4 gene status. So now let's talk about what we found in this study. To start, the primary endpoint assessed was whether increasing dose levels improved efficacy compared with a predefined dose response. As you know, we did not meet and observed that dose response pattern in this trial. Importantly, as shown on this slide, diranersen was favored over placebo across nearly every endpoint though, which is very promising.
So let's take a close look at what we saw in the data. Starting with CDR-Sum of Boxes. We saw the largest and most substantial effect at the 60-milligram every 6-month dose level. What's most interesting is that for this dose, you're seeing the difference compared to placebo, which is similar to the current anti-amyloid therapy. And when we dig deeper into the data for that 60-milligram dose, we see a very compelling profile emerge.
On this slide, we have placed the 60-milligram data from today's AAIC presentation into context alongside results from historical amyloid therapy trials. While these are not head-to-head comparisons, we believe they are useful for thinking about our decision to move diranersen forward to Phase III. Recognizing the sample size limitations of the Phase II, what we are seeing is that the benefit on CDR-SB is similar to anti-amyloid, but with a greater effect size on cognition than what we have seen with other agents.
For example, we observed 42% for ADAS-Cog 13 and 50% for MMSE. You'll note that for ADCS-ADL-MCI, we were not seeing separation for the 60-milligram dose at this endpoint so far at 18 months. But importantly, we will continue to follow patients and look forward to seeing how this evolves over time, including looking at 24 months. And furthermore, even at the 18-month time point, the story for functional benefit is much broader, as I'll show you on this next slide. And that's because when we examine the individual components of the CDR-SB, the benefit is not driven solely by cognition, but is also evident in the functional domain.
As you may recall, CDR-SB consist of 6 domains and the top 3 on this slide assess cognition, and you can see consistent treatment effect against each of those measures. But interestingly, the bottom 3 domains assess function, and we also see separation across these as well and a pattern that's reminiscent of what we've seen before on dose response. So we believe the fact that we are seeing impact on both cognition and function is encouraging.
On the next slide, we'll move into the biomarker data. And while we see substantial reductions in CSF tau, as you can see in the top panel of this slide, what further strengthens our confidence in these clinical findings of CELIA is that we're also seeing reductions in tau tangles in the brain as measured by tau PET. Looking at the bottom panel, you can see that in this subset of approximately 30% of patients where tau PET was measured, we see the burden increasing as would be expected for placebo in early AD. However, in all 3 diranersen arms, tau pathology accumulation was not just slowed but reduced from baseline. This has never been seen before with any other tau-directed agents. And in our view, this is a very important finding.
Turning now to safety. What's important to note is that diranersen was well tolerated in the CELIA study with no new safety signals identified as compared to our Phase Ib. Most AEs were mild or moderate and not serious, and the majority of patients completed dosing and even rolled into our ongoing long-term extension study. As we saw in the Phase Ib, confusional state was reported as an adverse event, and there was a higher incidence of confusional state AEs observed at those higher doses. But importantly, ARIA, which was not anticipated with this mechanism of action and the results in CELIA were consistent with this expectation, it was not observed.
I hope the data we overviewed today helps you understand the CELIA results and the implications. I'm going to now turn it back over to Priya to close out the discussion.
Thanks, Diana. I would now like to address what is next for diranersen. First, we will continue the long-term extension study of CELIA to evaluate durability as well as safety and tolerability. We expect to have 2-year data for CELIA by the close of 2026. And as more of the CELIA data becomes available, we will look to share and publish these data at medical congresses and in the literature. We have also reviewed the CELIA data with several external experts who are equally excited by the results and agree that advancing diranersen to Phase III is the appropriate next step.
We are now working urgently towards a Phase III study design and overall evidence generation package. For both of these, we continue to engage with key leaders in the field and will engage with global regulators as we take a thoughtful approach to determining the ideal design of the Phase III and additional data generation approaches. We look forward to sharing more with you in the future.
To conclude, we are excited by the opportunity to bring forward diranersen, which we see as having a compelling and differentiated profile, especially with respect to cognition, a tolerable safety profile without increased risk of ARIA and the potential to be administered just twice a year. And I'll note that the dropout rate in the trial was low and 94% of patients who completed the study have continued into the long-term extension study, which is very encouraging for obvious reasons.
Therefore, dosing continues in the LTE, and we have the opportunity to continue to learn more about diranersen, including the 2-year data. I hope that the review today helps you appreciate why we are excited about diranersen's overall potential to be the first tau-targeting medicine for early Alzheimer's disease and the reasons that we are advancing it to Phase III.
Tim, please go ahead and open the call for questions.
Thanks, Priya. Can we go to the first question, please?
[Operator Instructions] We will move first to Evan Seigerman with BMO Capital Markets.
2. Question Answer
As we look at the data, is it possible that you're not -- is it possible that we're knocking down tau too much at the high doses to not get an effect? And how do we know the 60-milligram dose is the right dose to take forward? There is a potential benefit of tau in some patients, as you know. And we don't know exactly if you're kind of cutting out too much of that in these patients. So a long way of saying, is 60 milligram the right dose to be taking forward? Should we be looking at lower doses here?
Thanks, Evan. I'm going to turn that over to Diana.
Thanks, Evan, for the question. So yes, I mean, one of the reasons we moved from Phase Ib, where we had in a small sample size tested some of these dosing paradigms to a dose-ranging Phase IIb was to answer the exact question you're pausing there and then to determine, do we have a path to Phase III and what is the dose. What we see in that 60-milligram dose, I think, is that we see the reduction in the tau CSF as well as a reduction in the tau tangles, which corroborates what we've seen in Phase Ib. And we see it across every endpoint that we measured of the key secondary endpoints with the exception of the ADCS-MCI.
And so that's really encouraging to us. In terms of assessing whether or not that we have the dose in its totality right, you see this also diranersen is favored across every dose, but our goal here was to identify the dose or the emerging dose that we take forward into Phase III. And we think that's what we've done here.
Thanks, Diana. Let's go to the next question, please, Jess.
We'll go next to Salveen Richter with Goldman Sachs.
When we look at the 60-milligram dose arm, the end was small here. There were a lower amount of patients with APOE4, and there were fewer women in that cohort and lower amyloid PET potentially. So I guess what I'm trying to ask is when you look at all the information you have at hand right now on top of the efficacy metrics, just speak to how you think about further elucidating this on top of the dose work in the Phase III trial and the thoughts of doing a combo with amyloid in Phase III? And if I could just also add what's driving the confusion state?
There's a couple of questions there. Maybe we'll take them in order. And I think the first one had to do with understanding what we're seeing in this proof-of-concept study. And it is acknowledged that we were testing 3 different dosing paradigms versus placebo in that 2:1 to 2:2. And so we think we had nice overall distribution in the baseline demographics, but of course, it's never going to be identical.
And we think that when we're looking at that, we see effect sizes that are pretty comparable across. We've started to look at some subgroup analysis. We will be presenting that in the future. But what I can say directionally is that we're not seeing any significant differences based on some of those demographics that you had mentioned earlier. Of course, as we move into a large Phase III, we'll be able to confirm that in the next study.
I think the next question you had was how are we thinking about designing our Phase III. It's a great question, and it's something, of course, we'll be engaging with regulators about in the coming weeks and months. And I think, first, we have to remember, this is the first drug that has shown the ability to hit the target, reduce the tau tangles and show the clinical benefit. So we will be engaging with them to understand what is necessary from a sort of dosing standpoint as well as safety and ultimate efficacy in order to meet expectations there.
And so we're really excited about what tau can do for Alzheimer's disease in particular. And we also know that we will be hopefully engaging in a market that continues to have utilization of multiple sort of drugs. So we will be -- we're thinking just as you are about future states where patients based on their personalized biomarkers may sort of use drugs at the same time or sequentially and more to come there. But right now, we're focusing, first and foremost, on the tau monotherapy and then thinking about adjunctive data we can generate in parallel to that.
And finally, I think you had a question, Salveen, about the confusion event.
Sure. So as we mentioned, you did see that there was an increase in confusion in a dose-responsive way that [indiscernible] had shown on the podium today. I think what's important to note is that most of those events were mild to moderate. Most of them occurred within the first 7 days of dosing and then resolved within 7 days of dosing and patients were able to treat through that and continued on diranersen. So 94% of patients who were eligible rolled over into the long-term extension, which was a question we didn't know from an intrathecal standpoint, how would patients and families react to this. So we're seeing a lot of retention for this drug and this route of administration, which we think is encouraging as we move towards Phase III.
We will go next to Eric Schmidt with Cantor.
Maybe given this is a bit of a smaller Phase II, how did you guys convince yourself that the placebo group is not behaving apparently? Any comparisons you might have looked at would be helpful. And then I know there was also a question about the rate of completion on the study with the higher dose groups having a lower rate of completion. Could you comment?
Sure. So generally, in looking at placebo, acknowledging this is, as you said, a small study and cross-study comparisons are challenging. We see it's generally consistent with trials or sort of peer trials with mild Alzheimer's or MCI. So for example, we see the CDR-SB moving at about 2 points. There are some small changes and differences that you can see when you compare every single trial, but overall, we see it moving as expected.
And I think you had a second part of your question, which had to do with the higher dose discontinuation. Yes, overall, it is true, and we showed in the disposition on the podium today, what those rates were. I think it's important to note overall, in particular, comparability, particularly between the placebo group and the low-dose group. So that's something we'll continue to study. But again, the fact that we had high completion rates for an Alzheimer's study, particularly one that's intrathecally administered and high rates of rolling over to the long-term extension is something that we were looking to assess and are pleased with seeing.
And I think we're really pleased with the emerging dose and its benefit risk profile, right, because we are seeing very consistent rates of adverse events and rates of discontinuation. So that remains quite promising.
We'll go next to Michael DiFiore with with Evercore ISI.
Number one, what could explain the disconnect between tau lowering and clinical response? You think that the PD effect and clinical response will be positively correlated, but we saw the opposite. And also, why do we see cognitive benefit, but no clear functional benefit on ADCS-ADL? And just one more. Why would you say the decrease or benefit on MMSE was so much higher than it was on CDR-SB, especially when CDR-SB is generally considered to be a more sensitive measurement?
So we'll work to take those in order. And I think one of the first things I want to do in terms of tau lowering is sort of address that. We definitely understand why you're asking this question. It's important to note that it was a sub-study. So of those 131 patients that we were able to have tau and that there's a lot of individual variability in baseline tau levels, particularly in early AD. So we're going to continue to assess all of the different components of that as we -- to look at the variation in baseline tau burden as well as other baseline factors and what of all of those could be sort of rolling up into efficacy differences as well as differential tolerability. So that's a good question and something we're continuing to examine.
Your second question, I think, has to do with ADCS-ADL-MCI. It is a functional endpoint, and it is something that we didn't see moving on that 18-month time point. Interestingly, I'd point you back to the Nature Medicine paper where when we looked at another functional endpoint, we looked at week 37 and then week 100. We did see there actually on FAQ that it wasn't moving very much at 37 and then we started to see it at 100. So one of the reasons we have a long-term extension is to continue to see if any of these endpoints, which aren't behaving maybe as we would initially expect change over time.
But even separate from whether it does or doesn't move as we look over time, the reason we looked at other composite endpoints was because they have function in them. So as you saw in the podium, the CDR-SB has both cognition and function, and we do see a dose response similar to what we saw with the other endpoints on function. So we believe we're seeing an effect on function. It's not that there's only cognition. We see cognition and function, both in the CDR-SB as well as on the iADRS. So that was why this weight of evidence across multiple endpoints, key secondary endpoints is how we are confident that by targeting tau, we're seeing this clinical benefit.
I think your last question was why would there be a disconnect. And that's a great question. We're pleased to see the impact on CDR-SB at that level that we are seeing and on cognition and function. But you're right, that effect on MMSE and ADAS-Cog for cognition is really quite remarkable in cross-study comparisons. So it's something we're kind of at this pioneering space with what happens when you hit tau, what clinical benefit can you see. We're definitely seeing a significant impact on cognition alongside function. So we'll continue to examine over time, whether they remain comparable or continue to have this pattern. But I want to emphasize that it's in both cognition and function.
I'll just add that CDR-Sum of Boxes, as Diana mentioned, has got domains for cognition as well as function. We're seeing with ADCS that there could be a lag. So we might see this improve at 24 months, and that is something that we're waiting to see the 24-month data. That's going to be an important time point. And I think what's really encouraging about MMSE is that it is a test that physicians administer in the office and seeing such a treatment effect at the 18-month time point is really encouraging. But it could be a function, and I'm speculating here, it could be a function of the fact that tau is really the penultimate sort of protein accumulation before you get symptoms.
So maybe there is a differential on cognitive outcomes with an agent that addresses tau. We don't know this. This is speculative, but I would say let's look at the long-term extension data at the 24-month time point and see how these evolve.
We'll go next to Paul Matteis with Stifel.
I was wondering if you looked at inflammatory biomarkers or neurofilament at either of the higher doses and if you see any changes there? And I guess just more broadly, it sounds like you don't want to speculate on the mechanism of the inverse dose response. But at this point, are you -- like would you say you're convinced that there isn't some on-target tox when you lower tau too much?
Yes. We have -- thanks, Paul. We have looked at inflammatory biomarkers. We haven't yet disclosed that data. We look forward to disclosing it with sort of more data. And I would say that it's possible. I think there are several hypotheses as to why a higher dose may not actually translate to clinical efficacy. But I think we would be speculating. And I think it's important for us to kind of come back to the fact that we do have a dose that has emerged with a very encouraging benefit risk profile. As you say, tau does have a role in the normal physiology of the brain, microtubules and neuron. So all of this is possible. But I think we are really encouraged and excited by the fact that we've isolated the dose here.
We will go next to Terence Flynn with Morgan Stanley.
Maybe 2 for me. I was just wondering if you can comment at all on the phosphorylated tau data. It looked like that was something you did not present today, but just wondering if that's consistent with what you saw in Phase I. And then on the Phase III design, how are you thinking about the primary endpoint? I know when you did the sell-side call several weeks ago, you weren't committing to CDR-Sum of Boxes. And now that we've seen some of the other secondary endpoints, looks like the effect size might be more dramatic. So any preliminary thoughts on how you're thinking about primary endpoint for Phase III?
Turning to your first question first on the phosphorylated tau endpoints. We are analyzing that data, and we're looking at it, but haven't disclosed it yet. So we have a lot more data that we're going to be disclosing in the coming months, and we can look forward to sharing that.
In terms of your question about what will the primary endpoint for the trial be, we will be engaging with regulators, as I mentioned, both in the U.S. and rest of world. And I think we have not finalized what that will be. We do see an effect on CDR-SB, which was one of the important things that we wanted to do here. We also see it on iADRS. We also see it on cognition. So again, this weight of evidence we have across multiple endpoints gives us the opportunity to engage in that dialogue. But we have an understanding, particularly in the U.S. of typically what their expectations have been. And so we'll have that conversation with them.
And maybe we can offer that we have looked at p-tau181. We know that it's consistent, and we haven't shared details, but we look forward to sharing that.
We'll go next to Michael Yee with UBS.
Two questions. One is, do you believe that the tau reductions are basically pretty much all the same in overlapping confidence intervals on the doses. And so maybe all of those doses pretty much give you the same result. And so when you look at the results there and try to concord that with cognition, that basically all the overlapping confidence intervals are also pretty much the same also on iADRS. So to me, it looks like only CDR-Sum of the Boxes is a standout, but all the other ones basically overlap, particularly iADRS. So do you agree with that comment? And would you be open to using iADRS, which is arguably a potentially better endpoint for Phase III?
So I think all things are possible, and we're examining the data, as you said, and thinking about engaging with regulators. Again, we'd like to point out, we do see that impact on CDR-Sum of Boxes as well as the iADRS. And so seeing it in both places gives us that optionality and flexibility, which we're encouraged by. And to sort of toggle back to your question, is it true? It is true, there was a robust impact on the tau biomarkers, both in the lowering in the CSF as well as the impact across the tau PET. And so we continue to examine that data as well. But you're right, we saw a very robust sort of target engagement and reduction of tau tangles across all the doses, which was absolutely encouraging.
And we do think that a lot of those confidence intervals overlapped. So we think that it is -- it's hard to say that there was a dose response on the tau reduction. The second thing I would just say about iADRS and CDR-Sum of Boxes, I think that we are -- I just want to be clear that we do believe that there is -- the lowest dose has the largest and most substantial effect as of now. We will continue to examine this at the 24-month time point that we've called out. We think it's important. And so we'll have to see how that evolves.
But as of now, we believe the low dose is distinguishing itself. And so that's important. And I think iADRS gives us confidence, right, because we included a [ safety ] literally of all cognitive and composite endpoints that other trials in the anti-amyloid have ever used, and we see a consistent signal and consistently better at the lowest dose. So there may be an overlap in some, but we think that the lowest dose is distinguishing itself. And actually, for CDR-Sum of Boxes, even the absolute change at the 18-month time point of about 0.54 is quite impressive. So we're continuing to see whether that will evolve. But yes, we think the lowest dose is declaring itself.
We'll go next to Chris Schott with JPMorgan.
This is Taylor Hanley on for Chris Schott at JPMorgan. We were just wondering, can you give some thoughts or color on how you're thinking about the commercial potential for diranersen versus LEQEMBI and Kisunla just when you're comparing both their efficacy and their safety profile?
Sure. It's a great question, and it's one that we've thought about. I mean just stepping back, we know that about 6.5 million patients have Alzheimer's disease. This number keeps growing. There's an annual incidence of about 500,000 patients. I think the anti-amyloids have really done a valiant job and continue to -- this market continues to develop. And specifically, as blood-based biomarkers come in, we think that diagnosis rates will increase.
The important thing to remember about an anti-tau agent is that we think it offers a different therapeutic modality for patients who have early Alzheimer's disease, and it's actually quite proximal to their development of symptoms. So while it's early to really paint the whole treatment landscape, we think that this is quite a large market, and there will be different patient segments, and as Diana mentioned, who may be typed on a different biomarker profile and would be suited to different options.
For example, while the CDR-Sum of Boxes at the 18-month time frame is consistent with the anti-amyloid, we haven't yet seen the 2-year data, and we know that the other cognitive endpoints are orders of magnitude different. So how will all of this evolve at 24-month time point? What will the Phase III show? And how will we design that Phase III? Those are the questions that we're trying to tackle. But we think there is an important role for a therapeutic modality that tackles tau.
And I think that we are also looking and very cognizant of the fact that if we are successful in Phase III, we would launch into a space that does have anti-amyloid treatment. So how do we tackle that? What data do we need to generate to ensure that prescribers are comfortable when they think about all these different patient profiles and treatment paradigm. So I think it's the totality, but we think this is a large opportunity. It's obviously a few years away. We're just at the threshold of starting a Phase III. So a lot of work ahead of us, but we believe it's going to be an important and exciting opportunity.
We'll go next to Mohit Bansal with Wells Fargo.
This is Sadia Rahman on for Mohit. Just wondering if you've looked into any subgroup analyses here yet and if that might give you more confidence that any of the small baseline imbalances, for example, on CDR-SB or CDR global scores here might not be driving any differences in these responses between the different doses?
So it's a great question. And we showed the sort of overall demographics of the patients and the differential in the different dose groups. It's pretty well done for a small sample size, but you called out a few small changes. I think due to time constraints, we weren't able to show everything and that analysis -- subgroup analysis is ongoing. But what I can say is based on what we've been looking at so far, we're seeing efficacy across those patient profiles. So we're obviously ultimately going to consider presenting those things, but there's nothing that we're really seeing differentially at this time.
And I think overall, we're just seeing very consistent overall trends. We've also looked specifically at some very important subgroups like the APOE4 carriers, and we know that there's a differential in terms of can anti-amyloids -- are they being used to treat that population? And actually, we see consistent trends across. Small numbers in a small trial, but quite consistent trends.
We go next to Andrew Tsai with Jefferies.
It's pretty obvious that the low dose is doing the best out of 3 arms. But a bigger picture question could be that can you guys name some CNS neuro drugs that have succeeded clinically and commercially despite having a lack of dose response. Just wanted to get a sense of how common actually this phenomenon might be in CNS.
We couldn't understand the question. We heard your first part where you acknowledged that the lowest dose does best, but we didn't hear the question. Can you repeat it slowly?
He might have muted his line. What I think I heard was that is there a precedent in other CNS [ drugs ] shown a dose response. And I think there are certainly examples where efforts are taken to examine whether or not a prespecified dose response is met. That hasn't necessarily been seen, but the efficacy shown allows you to move to Phase III. And so here, again, this is the first time anyone's early been able to engage tau in this way. You saw a lot of our doses are kind of close together in terms of target engagement and tangle reduction.
And so what was important for us was to say, do we believe based on the weight of evidence across all the biomarkers as well as key secondary endpoints that we have a dose we can move forward. So it's really that go-forward position that the confidence in identifying that dose. I hope that answers what we thought we got most of your question.
I'll just add that we also were taking this assumption from the anti-amyloid, which have really been the only successful drug development programs for Alzheimer's disease. But there is a fundamental difference with amyloid, we are looking to clear all of it. And with tau, we are not looking to clear all of it. Instead, we're looking to find a sweet spot where we have benefit risk because tau does have a role in the normal physiology of the brain. So there could be fundamental differences in the biology and that could contribute to the lack of dose response, which was set up as the primary endpoint.
We'll go next to David Amsellem with Piper Sandler.
This is Alex von Riesemann on for David. We wanted to briefly touch on the Alcyone acquisition you made last year. You've previously said that you were exploring the device for SPINRAZA, but we're just wondering if Biogen has an appetite to use the device for diranersen? And how do you think this may change its role in the treatment landscape relative to a traditional intrathecal and other IV or subcutaneous options?
Yes. It's a great question. And that ThecaFlex device, as you said, from Alcyone is something that could be an option that we could build into as we're thinking about designing the Phase III, which, as Priya said, is still under development. And for patients with Alzheimer's, they may, particularly for twice yearly administration, want to have different options. For some patients, they might say going to the doctor and having intrathecal twice a year is fine. Others may say, have complex spine or they may just say their families may say, if I can have the option of an indwelling catheter, that just makes things easier. So what's great is that hopefully, we can have the opportunity to offer for patients and families the decision to make on their own.
We'll move next to Emily Field with Barclays.
I guess I wanted to follow up on one of the answers you just had about, I guess, targeting that tau sweet spot, I guess, because diranersen lowers tau indiscriminately both the physiological and pathological. Is that what creates that sort of 60%, I guess, ceiling on lowering tau? And do you think that that's as far as you can go without impacting the physiological tau?
And then secondly, you flagged baseline tau variability as a possible driver between some of the cognitive outcomes that you showed today. And I was just wondering if you're planning on including baseline tau as a stratification factor in the Phase III or how you plan to explore the impact of that in the future?
Yes. Maybe I can address the first part, which is, yes, I think that the short answer to that is no one knows this for sure, and we were testing it in Phase II. What we know from the biology, we were never looking to clear all tau. That was never the goal. And I think that we wanted to test the doses and the regimens to see whether we could isolate the right approach. And that is where I was referring to the sweet spot because it's possible that 60 milligrams twice a year gives us that sweet spot. And so we're really happy that we have been able to identify that in Phase II, which was really a dose-finding study. So yes, we think there is a sweet spot, and we think that, that is exactly what might be emerging here.
Regards with baseline tau and how we're thinking about Phase III, I'm going to turn it to Diana. We are thinking about this very deeply.
Yes. So I think one of the things that we are obviously going to bring this into a much larger study, and that study will allow us to do additional analyses with much bigger sample sizes where we can look across multiple components, as we said, we can look at baseline tau levels. We can look at also multiple other covariants to sort of further elucidate what that relationship between impacting tau is on its own as well as relative to other covariants. So that's something we absolutely will continue to assess in our larger Phase III as we move forward.
We'll move next to Alex Hammond with Wolfe Research.
So acknowledging you have to finish the end of Phase II meeting with the FDA, when can we expect Biogen to kind of disclose what the Phase III design will be and obviously, therefore, the start of the Phase III? I guess do we have to wait for the long-term extension to complete?
Go ahead, Diana.
Yes. So just to answer the first question, no, we don't have to wait for the long-term extension to complete. That just allows us to further characterize over time what the changes are. And then in terms of when, you can imagine, we're very busy thinking about and designing all the components of the Phase III and pulling that information together. So we're not prepared to give specific guidance on that today, but we'll certainly keep folks updated as we lock in that plan and engage with regulators.
Yes. And having an end of Phase II meeting at earliest is of paramount importance. So we're really working towards that while in parallel, we're waiting to collect a little bit of that long-term data. This long-term extension goes beyond the 24 months for all patients. It actually goes out to 2 years, beyond that. So no, we wouldn't be waiting for that at all.
And just the last thing to build on is while regulators of paramount importance to us, you can imagine here at AAIC, but -- and subsequent to that, we're engaging very intensively with key medical experts, advocacy groups, patients and families so that we understand we can design a trial and ultimately sort of launch a therapy, hopefully, that meets the needs that they have. So if there's a lot of voices that we're listening to and incorporating it to figure out the best we hope...
And this regulatory approval is just one of our many goals. We are really looking ultimately to have a drug that will be meaningful to patients and prescribers.
We'll go next to Phil Nadeau with TD Cowen.
Two from us. So I guess, first, on the ADCS-ADL-MCI, any thoughts on why there was no separation in that endpoint? It is somewhat different than what we've seen for the beta amyloid antibodies? And then second, on the inverse dose response, is it possible that the increase in adverse events like infusional state at the higher doses could be obscuring some of the treatment effect on cognition and function, and that's why those doses don't quite measure up to the low dose?
Yes. On the first one, I think on the ADCS-ADL-MCI, it's a great question. It is behaving in a pattern that is different from the other 5 endpoints. So it's something we need to continue to examine over time. And we haven't seen an effect yet. As I think I mentioned earlier in the presentation, it's something that we're wondering. Is it something that could lag? We're not sure. We do believe, however, that function is being impacted because we are seeing in the CDR-Sum of Boxes scores on function as well as on the iADRS composite endpoint with function, which incorporates function that we're seeing it. So it does have a different pattern.
We'll continue to examine it. We did see function in the Phase Ib coming later. So all good questions. And hopefully, over time, that will become more clear. And I think your other question was around the dose response. And so I think what we would just like to highlight again is that across all the doses, diranersen was favored. And as Priya said -- and that was across almost every endpoint with the exception of the one we just talked about. But we do see that 60-milligram looking optimal in terms of impact on these endpoints as well as tolerability. So that idea of having a dose that's twice a year that's well tolerated is an attractive proposition for us to be considering moving forward.
We'll go next to Jason Zemansky with Bank of America.
Congrats on the progress. I wanted to follow up on one of your earlier comments, but could you characterize the distribution of CDR-SB responses within the low-dose cohort? I mean, were they relatively consistent? Or did we see a range across the participants? I guess what kind of supports the idea or the reproducibility of the observed benefits given its smaller size? And then I guess, beyond the biological variables discussed, could some external issues such as like selection of the sites have accounted for some of the variability that may have influenced the results?
So maybe we'll take that first question. We did show and break out for you on the podium side, and we can send it back around if you don't have it. But for the low-dose group, slowing ranging from 20% to 42% on cognition and 21% to 29% on function versus placebo. And so you can see like that 60 dose group how it performed compared to placebo as well as how it performed compared to the mid and the high dose, and that's on both cognition and function. So hopefully, you can see all that data that we showed.
And then on sites and external, you can imagine we spent a great deal of time training our sites and looking and clearing all the data. So I think that is not something that we believe is an issue here. We're really trying to isolate what sort of biology -- biologically, how we're manipulating tau and could there be a differential impact clinically. And so that's why the dose ranging was designed actually to answer this question.
We'll go next to Myles Minter with William Blair.
Congrats on data. Just the cadence of discontinuations in the high dose, like what was that? Did most people drop out in the first 6 months? Or was it pretty even over it? And then I just wanted to clarify something you said about the confusional state cases in the high dose. I think you said mild to moderate self-resolving happened within the first few weeks. Presumably, that is happening well before you get material tau knockdown as you've shown with your CSF and PET scan data. Just wanted to confirm that.
So in terms of your first question, that's correct. Most of the AEs -- the most common AEs were procedural pain or post-lumbar puncture syndrome and then this confusional state, which had a higher incidence in the higher doses. But of the patients who experienced that, most were mild or moderate in severity, nonserious. And you're right, it occurred pretty approximately to the lumbar puncture timing, so within 7 days, not weeks, but within about a week and then resolved within about another week. And so typically did not lead to study drug discontinuation.
In terms of what that means, I think, yes, your point is very interesting, right? That would be too quick as you can see from the biomarker engagement studies, it took time. It takes time basically for the ASO to stop the production. And then once the production has stopped to see the resolution of the tangles, that would not necessarily line up with acute and reversible impacts on confusion. So definitely an area of study for us. But yes, it is not something that's correlated with tau.
[ We have time for ] 2 last ones. Maybe let's go to the next one, please, Jess.
Certainly. We'll go to Yatin Suneja with Guggenheim.
This is Delma for Yatin. So following up to previous questions on baseline characteristics, did you identify any opportunity to enrich for a specific drug stage or baseline tau PET cutoff or other parameters in Phase III? And are you planning to include patients under treatment with LEQEMBI in Phase III?
So I think you had 2 questions. The first one was around baseline characteristics and overall block stages. So as you can see, what we showed and has been showed across others is it was a tau sub-study, and so we'll continue to sort of show the data, and we had previously published with the baseline tau levels were. And as noted, there is some variability as well as everyone had their amyloid, we have this understanding their amyloid substudies as well.
And the majority of patients were in that 85 to 95 centiloids of amyloid. So we have both tau and amyloid to examine over time. And so we'll be thinking about how to continue to characterize those moving into Phase III. But it's something that I think we have a pretty good understanding of, from ourselves as well as the field, the sort of overall burden of both tau and amyloid in these mild AD and MCI patient populations.
And at this time, we wouldn't consider any enrichment.
Yes, I think it's probably -- at this point, we wouldn't necessarily want to restrict ourselves to that enrichment because we're still understanding in the first place, what engaging this target can do clinically. And so we'd rather sort of examine across MCI and mild AD, what impacting tau can do clinically. So we want to gather all that data. We did have prespecified subgroup analyses as part of our statistical analysis plan to help us look at the different cohorts. But overall, we would keep them.
And I think your last question was about LEQEMBI, right, and sort of the idea of co-administration. I think we said at the -- earlier in the webinar here, we're absolutely thinking about, first and foremost, engaging on the tau monotherapy because we have to establish in Phase III what the impact clinically is with this dose and, of course, safety and further characterization. But we know that we're going hopefully to be launching into a field where patients are using potentially sequential or one at a time based on personalized biomarkers.
So definitely a thought for us, something that we're considering in a total development plan, how we'll be characterizing both. So must establish the monotherapy impact, definitely thinking about a future state of sequential and combination as well and how we can develop data around those.
Jess, conclude with our last question, please.
Certainly. Our last question comes from Jay Olson with Oppenheimer.
Based on the totality of data that you've now collected for LEQEMBI and diranersen, what is your current hypothesis on the relative contribution of amyloid versus tau to long-term disease progression? And then separately, could you describe your clinical definition of the confusional state? And why does it seem to be dose related? Would you consider it an on-target or off-target side effect of diranersen?
So I can take that last part first because we -- I think we've addressed it a little bit earlier. The temporal relationship of the confusional events being sort of within 7 days of dosing and resolving within 7 days after that would not be expected to sort of be consistent with the impact on tau. It takes time. Again, MAPT ASO is stopping the sort of moving the -- we have to reduce the protein overall. And then we see -- by reducing the amount of protein, we see ultimately the clearance of the tangles in the brain. So that temporal relationship is not something we would necessarily say is due to tau lowering per se.
And I think your first question was about the sort of how would we characterize the confusional sort of events. And I think we had said mild to moderate acute and onset and resolving typically within a week. And the last was about the relationship between amyloid and tau. And it's a really exciting time to have multiple sort of mechanisms of action that we can see how they intersect with Alzheimer's disease. We're going to be generating our own data with LEQEMBI, looking at preclinical and seeing what manipulating amyloid preclinically is.
And then we are also going to be obviously here some of the first people to see what over time, which long-term extension study will help us do as well as a Phase III, what the ultimate impact of reducing tau can do. So time will tell more of these stories across the entire sort of spectrum of Alzheimer's disease. And what's exciting is to be at a time where hopefully, we're able to sort of get at both amyloid and tau.
Okay. Thank you all for the excellent questions. I mean maybe I'll just close with a couple of comments here. I just want to point out that this is a very exciting data set for us. And the reason that we are excited is that we are seeing a drug that is really hitting on a potential regulatory endpoint as well as cognitive endpoints and on the cognitive endpoints, treatment effects that we haven't seen so far. We think we've isolated a dose that is emerging as a dose that could go into Phase III. This drug also has the potential to be administered twice a year.
And I think it's supported by unprecedented biomarker data, specifically the tau PET data, which points to tau pathology reduction in the brain. And so while, yes, we didn't hit the dose response, we think that the data set is very, very encouraging with clear signals. And we think that the data in totality really makes complete sense for us to forward this to Phase III. And so that is what we are working with urgency on. And I'm sure we'll be here to talk with you again and share updates as we make progress.
So I want to thank the team here that is joining me today. Thank you, Tim. Thanks, Diana.
We'll end the call there. We try to [indiscernible] more questions.
Thank you.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that will conclude today's call. We thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at this time.
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Biogen — Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC Meeting) 2026
Biogen präsentierte auf der AAIC Phase‑II (CELIA) Daten zu diranersen: starke Tau‑PET‑Reduktion, kognitive Signale und ein 60 mg‑Dosierungskandidiat für Phase III.
Kurze Präsentation der Studiendesigns, Biomarker- und klinischen Ergebnisse; ausführliche Q&A zu Dosis, Sicherheit und Phase‑III‑Planung.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Wesentlich: Diranersen (Antisense‑Oligonukleotid gegen MAPT) zeigte in CELIA erstmals Reduktion von Tau‑Tangles im Gehirn und begleitende klinische Verbesserungen.
- Dosisfindung: Obwohl kein klarer, linearer Dosis‑Response nachgewiesen wurde, hat Biogen die 60 mg‑Dosis alle 6 Monate als führenden Kandidaten identifiziert.
⚡ Strategische Highlights
- Wirkmechanismus: Intrazelluläre Tau‑Produktion wird durch MAPT‑Senkung reduziert, anders als extrazelluläre Anti‑Tau‑Antikörper.
- Klinische Signale: Deutliche kognitive Effekte (z.B. ADAS‑Cog13, MMSE) und CDR‑SB‑Vorteile bei 18 Monaten; funktionelle Effekte teils heterogen.
- Kommerz/Portfolio: Potenzial als halbjährliche Therapie ohne ARIA‑Signal; Biogen prüft Phase‑III‑Design, spätere Kombinationsszenarien mit Anti‑Amyloid denkbar.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Biomarker: Tau‑PET in ~30% Subgruppe zeigte Reduktion gegenüber Baseline in allen Dosisarmen — ein bisher nie gezeigtes Ergebnis für Tau‑Targeting.
- Safety/Logistik: Kein ARIA beobachtet; Confusional‑State‑AEs dosisabhängig kurz nach Lumbalpunktion, meist mild/moderat und reversibel.
- Next Steps: Langzeitverlängerung (LTE) läuft; 2‑Jahres‑Daten bis Ende 2026 erwartet; Phase‑III‑Design und Regulator‑Engagement in Arbeit.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Dosisfrage: Warum kein klarer Dosis‑Response? Management sieht 60 mg q6m als „Sweet‑spot“, weitere Analysen und regulatorische Gespräche geplant.
- Robustheit/Imbalancen: Kleines Sample, gewisse Baseline‑Unterschiede (APOE4, Geschlecht, Amyloid) — Subgruppenanalysen laufen; größere Phase‑III‑Stichprobe nötig.
- Endpoints & Safety: ADCS‑ADL‑MCI zeigte keine Trennung bei 18 M; Confusional‑State‑Ereignisse traten früh post‑LP auf und sind zeitlich nicht mit Tau‑Knockdown korreliert.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: CELIA liefert überzeugende Proof‑of‑Concept‑Signale: erstmals Tau‑PET‑Reduktion plus kognitive Effekte und eine praktikable halbjährliche Dosis ohne ARIA. Risiko bleibt wegen kleiner Stichprobe, atypischer Dosisantwort und vorläufiger funktioneller Endpunkte; Phase‑III‑Resultate und 2‑Jahres‑Daten sind entscheidend für Bewertung von Wirksamkeit und kommerziellem Potenzial.
Biogen — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
Today's Annual Healthcare Conference in very [ toasty ] Las Vegas. My name is Jason Zemansky. I'm one of the mid-cap analysts here at the bank. Very pleased to have joining me Biogen and specifically Adam Meyers, Head Immunology and New Disease Areas franchise. So Adam, thank you so much for joining us.
Yes. Thanks for having me.
Maybe for those of you who may be less familiar with your role at Biogen, could you please provide an overview of your focus within the organization?
Yes, absolutely. And as we open the session, just disclosing, obviously, I'll be making forward-looking statements, suggest folks looking at risk factors we outlined in our SEC filings. But yes, very happy to be here. I've been with the company actually about 14 years, and I'm leading our Immunology and New Disease Area Franchise. And really immunology is a growing space for the organization. And my team works to lead our late-stage immunology programs cross-functionally in PrEP to bring these new assets to market.
Biogen seems to be making more of a deliberate pivot towards immunology. Certainly, Chris has spoken a lot lately about multiple sclerosis being not only a neurology-based disease, but also an immunology-based disease. And so can you expand on how, I guess, you and the organization as a whole envisions immunology fitting in moving forward?
Yes, absolutely. I mean immunology is obviously a broad area treated by a variety of specialists. But when you look at Biogen's history and really the field of MS history in MS, most of the therapies that have been brought forward are really targeting an underlying source of inflammation that is causing multiple sclerosis. And so the time that we've spent building expertise around the biology of MS helps us as we expand into new areas of immunology with different specialty call points.
When you look actually at some of the therapies currently used for MS, something like a CD20, obviously, there's a lot of interest in BTK inhibition. These assets are being studied not just for MS, but a variety of autoimmune diseases. And so the history that we have in MS, the research team that we continue to expand, some of the expertise that we've been acquiring through business development, all of these things position us well from an immunology perspective.
Maybe just to delve a little bit deeper. I mean, what specifically aligns with -- in immunology with the company's core capabilities? Is it more on the research side? Is it something else?
Yes. I mean I think that certainly, it has started from an R&D lens. We certainly have the capability to develop therapies with underlying I&I type implications. But beyond that, I think it translates very well also into medical and commercialization. So when you think about MS, obviously, the main call point there is an MS specialist. And we've been very successful with the portfolio of therapies for MS over the past many years.
And so from a commercialization perspective, not just a scientific perspective with the shared underpinnings, the ability to build a portfolio, build a set of relationships in a specialty space with customers follow science, demonstrate that we can build value. And frankly, some of the underpinnings, things like patient services. And we really have some world-class patient services to enable education and access for patients. All of these things, I think, are immediately transferable from what we've done, say, with an MS neurologist to a rheumatologist for lupus or a nephrologist for IgAN.
As you think about moving forward, how willing is the organization to stretch? When you think about some of the parameters of an I&I-based disease, while it might align biologically, pathologically in terms of the market opportunities, they're a little different from neurology and rare diseases. They tend to be much more competitive, patient population is much more heterogeneous. Help us walk through some of the puts and takes here.
Yes. I mean I think, look, there's always synergies in -- being in the call points you already have. There's no doubt about that. But obviously, we needed to diversify beyond neurology. And I think you can see demonstrated where there's good science and a substantial unmet need, we have been willing to go towards, in particular, nephrology as a new area. And so I think willing to stretch, but in the end, the science and the patient need have to guide that this is a place Biogen is really well positioned to uniquely bring value to the patient and physician community.
Got it. Well, let's turn to certainly the pipeline. The next potential commercial asset, litifilimab has 2 Phase IIIs that are reading out for SLE. Lupus is a challenging indication. So what do you think you need to show to differentiate the profile, whether it's skin joint or SRI-4?
Yes. I mean I begin by reflecting on our Phase II program, and we were able to run a 2-part Phase II study, one in SLE patients with skin activity and another in CLE patients with or without SLE. So we really were able to study a very broad spectrum of patients with lupus. In the SLE part, the primary endpoint was focused on joint. And the reason being joint is the other most common manifestation of lupus beyond skin. And so the idea is through demonstration of proof of concept in being able to reduce joint activity in that part of the study, complemented by the CLE side of the study and also measuring skin in SLE patients, we had proof of concept in both skin and joint disease.
In the SLE side, we also did measure the primary endpoint we're now using in Phase III. That's called the SRI-4. It's probably more complex and not as clearly understood in clinical practice, but it is the regulatory endpoint. And we saw a treatment effect in Phase II on that SLE SRI-4 of over 25%, which was very marked. And so when you think across these 2 areas, entering a lupus market that is growing and will probably become very crowded over the next few years, and I think we're on the precipice of tremendous gains for our SLE patients and potentially creating a new CLE market, I think we feel very good about where we are.
It is a heterogeneous disease, but these study designs have been very thoughtful, and we have taken really the best of the Phase IIs and the confidence we gained and implemented that into the Phase III program. So what do we need to see from that Phase III program to think that we're successful? I mean really, when you think about these patients, an SRI-4 does not mean a whole lot to them. It may mean something to the physician, but that physician is looking to protect their organ systems. Obviously, it's a multi-organ impacting disease.
But the patient, what we hear from them is I just want to be able to approach every day and live my life. So that comes to fatigue, reducing pill burden. On the cutaneous side, obviously, there's a huge psychosocial impact of very visible scarring lesions. So they just want to be able to engage in their life with their family, their job, their community. And so I think what you'll see is, of course, we're going to focus on skin, joint and those composite endpoints. And I do think that litifilimab has the potential to be very, very competitive and certainly superior on the CLE side to no option being available. But I think we'll have to complement that with additional patient-focused data coming out of Phase III.
So in terms of the actual SRI-4 outcome, I mean, what should we look for come Q4 here? I mean what level of benefit here would be enough to differentiate, as you said, the level there that you think you could drive a pretty sizable commercial outcome?
Yes. I mean, ultimately, SRI-4 will be one piece of the puzzle. When you look at the current competitive set, that is already approved, SRI-4 outcomes or BICLA, which is a similar composite outcome have usually been in the low to mid to maybe upper teens, and we saw 27%, I think, in Phase II. So ultimately, that's a piece of the puzzle, but I think that number alone really isn't going to be, in my mind, what drives use of litifilimab.
The totality of the data, the potential from a safety profile perspective of having a very targeted mechanism of action, blocking production of problematic type 1 interferon from these pDCs versus broad blockade of interferon, which does have some positive benefits or heavy B-cell modification or depletion, there's some potential benefit from a safety perspective as it relates to infections and other things. The convenience factor is going to be very real in this patient population.
And so right now, we're at subcu monthly delivered at home. That is very different than a weekly subcu or an IV therapy. So those components combined with a breadth of efficacy across skin, joint and hopefully some good patient-reported outcomes, I feel like litifilimab is in a good position relative to incumbents and even other products in later development.
If litifilimab performs as expected, how do you think it will compare to dapirolizumab in SLE? Is there an ideal subpopulation in SLE for each agent? Or is it more of a staging question?
Yes. I mean we're very fortunate to have 2 late-stage assets in the portfolio. In fact, right now, that is an anomaly in industry. And that's because we actually believe lupus is heterogeneous enough as a disease that one therapy is not going to be the answer for all patients. So for us, it's really more about complementary and building a portfolio with options for patients than it is about viewing or comparing and contrasting the 2 assets.
When you think about what dapi was able to show in its Phase III study with the second study due to read out in 2028, you saw a breadth of efficacy and certainly some nice response on composite endpoints, but you saw the ability to reduce steroids reduced disease flares. You've seen nice impact on fatigues. These are things that you will see out of a larger Phase III study. And so in the end, in a -- there isn't a one-size-fits-all therapy and thinking about how we've been successful with MS in developing a portfolio, the option is really what matters.
I don't think at this point, the world of biomarkers and patient segmentation in lupus is strong enough to say it's easy to pick the right patient for a product, but having multiple options, litifilimab more on the innate immune system side for those that have type 1 interferon perhaps driven disease, dapi more on the adaptive immune system targeting B-T exchange and that type of signaling gives you the ability to perhaps provide some judgment as to right drug for the right patient.
I think Jackie from the team has a follow-up on the Apellis deal.
Yes. So switching over to BD. So as you think about the Apellis deal, Biogen has focused a lot on its outlook for both assets. But can you give us more of a sense of the commercial implications or benefits as you build out a nephrology franchise?
Yes. I mean, obviously, pending close of that deal, the intent was to do 2 things, right? One, it does represent new products, growing products that can add to top line revenue. And the other for me that sits with these pipeline products that I'm especially enthusiastic about is the expertise coming from Apellis and the established field force. Nephrology is an area that has really exploded in activity for the past few years, but the number of people that have deep expertise in nephrology, especially working in the field building relationships is very limited.
And that's something that we would have built, but Apellis immediately brings. When you think about the broader opportunity, I think when we think about the next couple of years, somewhat in line with consensus, we think these products can grow in the mid- to upper teens space. SYFOVRE, obviously, it's really about building what is an underpenetrated market and educating on the value of staying on therapy.
With EMPAVELI, it's very early in its launch cycle. It has a broad label. It is a rare disease. We obviously have a lot of experience in that space, and we do see a progressive linear growth that is consistent with other rare disease products we've commercialized over the longer term. So between what it does in terms of near-term revenue and then also preparing us with a field force for felzartamab is a really, really valuable set of attributes.
Chris mentioned felzartamab a lot in his discussion following the acquisition. So I guess drilling down a little bit further, what particularly -- what asset -- what about these assets or the infrastructure will be key to unlocking felzartamab's potential?
Yes. I mean I think in terms of unlocking felza's potential, obviously, really enthusiastic about entering this growing nephrology space. Certainly, I think that looking at felza and its unique CD38 targeted biology, along with now what we have coming to us from Apellis, really, our job is to conduct these late-stage programs well, make sure we do the right disease state education, especially as we try to build a new AMR market, understand how we can differentiate in IgAN. And so as we build out that strategy and complement with a talent base, I think we'll be in a very nice spot.
Over the years, Biogen has advanced a number of ophthalmologically based assets. Does the acquisition and specifically SYFOVRE signal a renewed plans to enter this space?
Honestly, I think that really, you have to look at the acquisition holistically. And obviously, I've spent time sort of emphasizing the nephro side of it and really what we believe is a significant growth opportunity with EMPAVELI. And so I think those synergies are probably a greater driving force. But certainly, I think Biogen has proven on multiple occasions that, again, where there's science and where we think we have a unique ability to provide value to patients and payers, certainly, I think there's always that possibility. And a lot, I think, will be dependent on how SYFOVRE performs and then what else appears in potential pipelines.
Got it. Maybe pivoting back to felzartamab. You're looking at 3 different opportunities. So AMR, IgAN and PMN. What's the evidence for CD38's broad role in these indications? And what gives you confidence it's going to be efficacious in each of these?
Yes. I think it really is something I would dichotomize between transplant, which is AMR and MVI, which we opened the Phase II registrational quality study in as well and then more on the GN side of things with IgAN and PMN. So I'll maybe start with transplant and specifically focus on AMR. So this is a space where with AMR, there's potentially 11,000 patients. AMR is a leading cause of kidney rejection.
And obviously, that's highly problematic because you think about the patient experience, usually, there's some form of kidney dysfunction or disease that has led to the need for dialysis in a transplant and that is not only an expensive proposition for the health care system because these transplants in the U.S. average about $450,000, but it's a really, really terrible experience for a transplant patient who has basically been given the gift of life to immediately find that over time, they're developing AMR.
And so certainly, CD38 in this space and targeting and depleting the plasma cells appears to play a strong role. And when you look at the Phase II data, we were fortunate to see about 80% of patients having a reduction in disease activity and actually about 2/3 having full resolution of AMR, and that's biopsy confirmed. So that's a really, really strong indicator coming out of Phase II that will hopefully replicate in the ongoing Phase III study with 120 patients.
On the IgAN side of the equation, obviously, a very active space. And the common question is, how will you compete against APRIL BAFFs and what is happening with these first few accelerated approvals and probably several to come. But CD38 biology is quite different in this space. So you're talking about, again, depleting plasma cells that are CD38 positive and in doing so, we know those plasma cells are creating the autoantibodies that lead to the immune complexes that are finding themselves on the fold of the kidney and impacting kidney filtration. So it is those plasma cells creating that effect.
So really targeting the direct source of the disease, whereas these APRIL BAFFs or broader B-cell modulators, but maybe not as directly implicated in the production of these autoantibodies. And so between the unique mechanism, some of the unique constructs of felza, so for instance, lack of CDC potential implication for longer-term chronic use, the fact that felza has a chronic tox and repro package that most CD38s do not. These things will hopefully provide some data to reinforce safety.
And ultimately, we think the CD38 biology will play a strong role in treatment of IgAN. And additionally, when you look at that Phase II data after the initial course of therapy over 5 months, you have patients showing potential durability out to 2 years. So whereas an APRIL BAFF is a chronic therapy, weekly, twice weekly, maybe monthly, you can take felza over the course of 5 months and then potentially not need another course of therapy out to 2 years.
Got it. Maybe one quick follow-up on IgAN. Does this mean that you think felza is a replacement for the APRIL BAFFs? Or is it something that could be used to complement them?
Yes. I mean, -- it's hard to think about combo therapy at this point. I think it's early days with the APRIL BAFFs. I think when you combine immunomodulators, there are things we don't understand. I think that at least to start, the view is this is a very viable alternative to an APRIL BAFF based on the Phase II data, we saw roughly 50% reduction in proteinuria.
That's very consistent with what these Phase III programs have been demonstrating for their accelerated approvals. Time will tell on the EGFR. But I think the idea is it is a potential choice that, again, targets CD38 as a key mechanism of disease and potentially provides durable treatment outcomes rather than sort of constant chronic therapy.
Got it. And then pivoting back to AMR. I guess, what do you need to see from the data to feel optimistic about kind of the broader opportunities of an anti-CD38 monoclonal?
Yes. I mean I would say that as I think about this development program in general, I mean, AMR is a very different disease than IgAN. And so successful efficacy in AMR will be confidence inspiring, but not necessarily predictive of a positive IgAN outcome, for instance. I think what we will learn is, one, we'll get a much better sense of the safety profile through larger studies.
And then from a dosing perspective, from a PK/PD perspective, things we learn in AMR may help us understand some of the PK/PD that we can anticipate in the IgAN program. So in some senses, distinct opportunities, but some of the foundational information we'll get from AMR should help build confidence for IgAN to follow.
What fraction of the, as you mentioned, 11,000 transplant patients could benefit from an agent like this?
Yes. So with these 11,000 patients that are developing AMR, we know time to onset median is about 2 years. We know over the course of a decade, probably 75% of them are at risk of losing their graft and hence needing to go back to dialysis or needing another transplant. And again, I think about that in terms of not only that patient and needing a new kidney, but what it means to a patient that otherwise would be waiting for that next kidney.
So clearly, treating AMR benefits the patient and future patients. But I think on the whole, when we think about this, it is -- AMR is a leading cause of kidney rejection in the 25,000 transplants a year. The prevalence is about 11,000. How many will stay responsive beyond the data we've generated thus far, very contingent on the long-term studies, but obviously, very appreciative of the results we've seen in the Phase II and at least getting to that high efficacy rate.
Is there a chance that they could hold off rejection indefinitely? Or do you think that there's -- at some point, it's going to happen?
Yes. I mean I think the premise is with the dosing regimen we've placed into Phase III, the goal, of course, is for this to be chronically there to hold off rejection indeterminably. We're going to have to obviously follow these patients in the Phase III program for much longer to see if that plays out.
Got it. Let's finally pivot to -- you have a number of upcoming proof-of-concept readouts, I think, that are somewhat overlooked. But let's focus in on BIIB091. So this is your BTK inhibitor. What prompted the reinvestment in MS after essentially not investing that much in the space for some time?
Yes. I mean what I would say is I probably don't characterize it as a reinvestment. We've been working on BTK inhibitors for MS continuously since -- well, as long as I've been working in immunology at the organization. Obviously, finding the right BTK given what we've learned about covalent versus non-covalent, potential hepatotoxicity, all of these things play a role in what would make for a BTK with the right benefit risk profile, not only for MS, but potentially more broadly in autoimmune diseases because we know these BTK inhibitors are being used more broadly.
Additionally, on top of that asset, we do have a BTK degrader. So would degradation provide advantages versus inhibition. So that readout is pending midyear, and we will provide an update on it. I think the idea being very much though that this is really just a continuation of the work we've been doing and BTK inhibition has been one of the more promising areas for MS.
So on VUMERITY and the legacy portfolio, they've continued to do well. How attractive an area of growth is the landscape still for the company?
Yes. I mean I think VUMERITY has certainly done very well and certainly happy to see that it is continuing to grow. It's the #1 prescribed oral branded oral in the U.S. It's fair to note that the other products in the MS portfolio have still been undergoing that slow decline. I would say, in general, the RMS patient is probably more well served than patients with progressive disease, in particular with that type of disability progression.
And so I do think opportunities remain, in particular, in that space when you can find the right molecule with the right safety profile. And so we'll see this data set shortly and looking forward to sharing what we think are the appropriate next steps for the asset.
Can you just give us an idea of the benchmarks here. I mean, what does it take to compete essentially given that a lot more new agents have launched in MS?
Yes. I mean, on the RMS side, I think what we've seen is there are several good agents that really control formation of new lesions, right? So you have to meet the bar that is already set by the heavy players in the field. On the progressive side, even the products approved for progressive MS seem to be working more in the patients with active lesions versus the patients without active lesions who are still seeing disability progression.
So I would say the bar is lower in that space because there's limited treatment options. And ultimately, again, even the things that have been successful are really more in an active type of patient than not. So it's hard to give you a specific bar in that type of patient because the efficacy is pretty modest.
All right. Well, we're heading up on time here, but maybe just to finish things. Given the new focus on I&I, I mean what part of the portfolio do you think that's going to look like in a couple of years, understanding a lot needs to play out?
Yes. I mean, as I think about it, I have been fortunate to work in I&I at Biogen for 12 years through the ebbs and flows. And what you can see, especially under Chris' leadership is the diversification of our portfolio. Obviously, one of the great benefits about targets in I&I is they have multi-indication potential. They have the ability to generate proof-of-concept data sometimes in weeks or months rather than years.
And so I think we'll continue down the path we have of making select investments where we really appreciate the science and find a disease where there is less saturation and substantial unmet need. And ultimately, that just brings more balance to the portfolio that we have. And so I think the future is bright for I&I at Biogen starting with the lupus readouts end of year and going into next year with felza for AMR.
Perfect. Adam, thank you so much for joining us.
Yes. Thanks very much for having me.
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Biogen — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
Biogen betont strategische Neuausrichtung in Immunologie und Nephrologie; Schlüssel-Readouts (Lupus, felzartamab, BTK) und Apellis-Deal als kommerzieller Hebel.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Takeaway: Biogen verschiebt das Gewicht vom reinen Neurologie‑Fokus hin zu Immunologie (Lupus, BTK‑Inhibitoren) und Nephrologie (felzartamab), gestützt durch die Akquisition von Apellis für Kommerz‑ und Vertriebsstärke.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- Portfolio: Zwei späte Lupus‑Assets (litifilimab, dapirolizumab) plus felzartamab und BTK‑Programme sollen ein multi‑indikationsfähiges I&I‑Portfolio bilden, nicht einzelne Blockbuster.
- Kommerz: Apellis‑Akquisition liefert etablierte Feldmannschaft und Produkte (SYFOVRE, EMPAVELI) zur Beschleunigung des Nephrologie‑Aufbaus und kurzfristiger Umsätze.
- Differenzierung: Litifilimab setzt auf gezielte Hemmung der pDC/type‑I‑Interferon‑Achse und subkutane Monatsgabe; felzartamab zielt auf CD38+ Plasmazellen mit möglicher langdauernder Wirkung nach begrenzter Behandlungsdauer.
🔎 Neue Informationen
- Timelines: Litifilimab Phase‑III‑Readouts gegen Ende Jahr; BTK‑Degrader/BIIB091 Update Mitte Jahr; felzartamab Phase‑III (AMR) läuft mit ~120 Patienten. Apellis‑Produkte prognostiziertes Wachstum Mid‑ bis Upper‑Teens.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Lupus‑Differenz: Wie unterscheidet sich litifilimab konkret von dapirolizumab? Management betont komplementäre Mechanismen (innate vs. adaptive) und Portfolio‑Ansatz statt Kopf‑an‑Kopf‑Vergleich.
- Apellis‑Synergie: Welchen Beitrag leistet die Akquisition für Nephrologie‑Rollout? Antwort: sofortiger Zugang zu Vertriebsexpertise und Umsatz, plus Vorbereitung für felzartamab‑Launch.
- Felzartamab‑Evidence: Diskussionen zu Wirksamkeit in AMR vs. IgAN/PMN; Phase‑II‑Signale (hohe Remissionsraten bei AMR, ~50% Proteinurie‑Reduktion IgAN) werden als vielversprechend, aber noch nicht entscheidend bezeichnet.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Aktionäre bekommen ein klareres Bild: Biogen diversifiziert gezielt in wachstumsstarke Immunologie‑ und Nephrologie‑Felder; mehrere bevorstehende Readouts und die Apellis‑Integration sind potenzielle Kurs‑ und Umsatztreiber, bergen aber klinische, regulatorische und Wettbewerbsrisiken in heterogenen Märkten.
Biogen — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. My name is Cynthia, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Biogen First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call and Business Update. [Operator Instructions]. Today's conference is being recorded. Thank you.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Tim Power, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Power, you may begin your conference.
Well, thank you, and good morning, and welcome to Biogen's First Quarter 2021 Earnings Call. During this call, we will make forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from our forward-looking statements. We provide a comprehensive list of risk factors in our SEC filings, which we encourage you to review.
Our earnings release and other documents related to our results as well as reconciliations between GAAP and non-GAAP results discussed on this call can be found in the Investors section of biogen.com. We've also posted the slides to our website that will be used during the call.
On today's call, I'm joined by our President and Chief Executive Officer, Chris Viehbacher; Dr. Priya Singhal, Head of Development; and Robin Kramer, our Chief Financial Officer; Alicia Alaimo President of North America will also be joining for the Q&A section of the call.
We'll make some opening comments and move to the Q&A section and to allow us to get through as many questions as possible, we kindly ask that you limit yourself to one question.
And I'll now hand the call over to Chris.
Thank you, Tim. Good morning, everyone. So we've had a very strong start to the year. And I was thinking about where we have been as a company in 2023, we had just completed 4 years of declining revenue and profit. And since then, we've been able to pretty much stabilize the business. And -- that's really been a huge amount of work by all of our teams. And the interesting thing about this business is it's not enough to just trim some cost, and we did have to cut some excess cost.
But one of the things that we have really been doing is going through every single line of the P&L and thinking about are we investing for growth? Because you do have to invest in this business. You cannot save your way to prosperity. And so there's been a lot of really careful thought about how do we invest for growth, be it in research and development or in commercial.
And as Robin has talked about in the past, we actually have shifted a lot of costs. 90% of our commercial costs were really behind the MS portfolio in 2023. And by shifting that to our growth products, I think one of the things you see here on the first slide is that the growth products are now generating $850 million in the first quarter, and that's up 12%. And the 12% is actually even a little bit of an understatement because SPINRAZA declined slightly.
Now SPINRAZA declined mostly because of the timing of shipments and there was a one-off event last year on VAT, I think, in Europe somewhere. But remember, timing of shipments is a big thing at Biogen. Out of the 15,000 patients on SPINRAZA that we treat every year, about 9,000 are ex U.S. And in a lot of countries, we only ship once or twice a year into those countries. So it tends to be lumpy by nature. What is good news is the new high dose SPINRAZA.
As you've seen, this has now been approved in the U.S., and we already have patients on the new dosage regimen. But it has already been approved in Japan. It was the first country to approve the high dose. And then Europe, and we're getting a lot of positive feedback from those countries where it's been launched. Not only is this going to be significant in terms of competitiveness in a highly competitive area. But we're also seeing some anecdotal reports of switch backs.
In this market, whenever you have one of these devastating diseases, efficacy is really paramount. And I think the high dose really should help us have an edge on the efficacy front in this market. So we're very happy to see the growth products growing like that. We look to our major opportunity with LEQEMBI and as you know, over the past few years since launch, a lot has been done to try to improve the care pathway, make it easier for both physicians and patients. And the IQLIK is really is fundamental to that.
Last year, we had the approval for the maintenance indication -- and you'll see numbers where we have significant numbers of patients who are continuing on after the first 18 months regimen to remove the plaques and going on to to maintenance. We have a PDUFA date of May 24 for the induction subcutaneous. And again, we see this as an opportunity to facilitate the care pathway, improve patient convenience and improve our competitive profile versus [ Gasuma. ] So that's the business, the Biogen business is doing well. And now on top of that, we are the proposed a pellet acquisition. We haven't yet closed, but -- and so we're limited in what we can say. But obviously, this expands our commercial growth portfolio.
There are 2 marketed products. And I'll just remind everybody that this is 1 molecule. It has 3 indications, and it has 2 brands. And as I talked to a number of investors on SYFOVRE, there is this focus on ophthalmology. And what I think a lot of people forget is that geographic atrophy is really an autoimmune disease. And it is caused by the formation of lesions as a result of [ Averen ] immune activity. And what we're really trying to do with geographic atrophy is to prevent the growth of these lesions. So when people start talking about visual acuity, that's probably going to be very difficult because the eye tends to adjust around these lesions. And what really is the goal of treatment is to prevent progression of the disease, which could potentially lead to blindness.
And so I think there's a lot that we need to do in terms of thinking about how we really position this drug and where the benefit is. Empaveli is an enormous benefit to us. we have greater conviction every day on felzartamab, and we look forward to seeing the first data and hopefully that -- those data will realize our aspirations for this product. But if you went back 6, 7 years ago, nobody was interested in nephrology. And now really with the advent of the FDA acceptance of proteinuria as a biomarker, a lot of companies have come into this space. IGAM is obviously the biggest market in this -- and so as we think about recruiting for felzartamab and our prelaunch activities, you're finding that you've got a lot of companies out there that are recruiting in nephrology.
I mean, Vertex is, Vera is just to name a few, for example, -- and so within the belly and with the addition of the Appellate team, -- we have a whole team ready to go in nephrology, and we'll be present in the nephrology offices, building those relationships, going to congresses now with a marketed product, not a future product. And so we believe both in the growth of Empaveli, but what that can do for a whole nephrology franchise at Biogen, and we're pretty excited about that, I have to say. And I think all the conversations that we've been having with the Apellis team leading up to a potential integration.
I think there's -- first of all, there's an incredible talent in the Palace team. But I think it's also fair to say that within Biogen, I think we can probably bring more resources to really support those teams. And I don't see a big inflection in SYFOVRE, for example, but I do think -- there is an opportunity for growing product there. And I think, as I say, Empaveli within a broader nephrology franchise, that could be a game changer for Biogen in the future. So as we look at this, -- we do expect the acquisition to be accretive in 2027. And when you look out over the next few years, this materially increases Biogen's EPS outlook.
And if I turn to the next chart here. Now don't get your micrometers out here and try to measure these arrows here, this is meant to be illustrative of where we think this is going. If we just take what Wall Street thinks Biogen is going to do, I can't say that we would be happy with that, but that's what's out there in the public domain. It's roughly flat through 2030.
Now when you look at what appellate can do is this allows Biogen to start growing now is our belief. And then the pipeline starts to read out. We've got a lot of data readouts already starting this year and consecutively over the years. And as one investor told me said, I get this. before we had a pipeline coming on a flat business. Now I see a pipeline coming on a growing business. And I think that's the fundamental difference in what the Apellis acquisition does for us.
And we're still going to continue to do business development. In all of this, we just acquired the China rights for felzartamab that's an important market for IgAN, but China is a big important market for us. And Biogen has been relatively small in China. China is the world's second biggest pharmaceutical market and so felzartamab and acquiring these rights not only just to acquire the worldwide rights for PELSA, but also really to build our business in China.
So again, we continue to invest in growth, but I think a lot of the investments, a lot of the work that we have done over the last 2, 3 years is now coming to fruition. And at least this is the vision. Now we are very conscious of the fact that business 10% is strategy, execution. And so we need to now execute as a team to bring all of this, but at least this is the aspiration that we have for our company.
With that -- let's talk about that pipeline, and I'll pass it to Priya.
Thank you, Chris. This was a very strong quarter for Biogen from a development standpoint, with meaningful progress across both our marketed products and our late-stage pipeline.
Starting on the left-hand side of the slide, you can see the continued progress in supporting our marketed portfolio. First, the U.S. approval of high dose SPINRAZA represents a meaningful advancement for people living with SMA and reinforces Biogen's leadership in the category. Additionally, in Alzheimer's disease, new real-world data for Leqembi show strong treatment persistence with nearly 80% of patients remaining on therapy at 18 months and almost 70% at 2 years. We believe that these data underscore the importance that patients and HCPs attribute to ongoing treatment of this progressive disease, extending beyond just amyloid block reduction.
Turning to the right-hand side, we presented important new data that reinforce the potential of our late-stage high conviction pipeline. New data from Salanersen demonstrate durable benefit over 1 year in children previously treated with gene therapy, highlighting the potential for high efficacy with 1 yearly dosing.
Importantly, the first patient has now been dosed in the pivotal STELLA-1 study evaluating Salanersen in treatment-naive T-symptomatic infants. At the same time, we continue to build confidence in Litifilimab, where we presented positive Phase II data from the ongoing Phase II/III AMITA study in SLE. All of this progress reinforces our confidence in our late-stage pipeline. And as you can see from this slide, we don't expect to wait long for that potential impact. This year marks the start of a multiyear registrational data flow that includes multiple programs and extends through the end of the decade.
We believe these data, as you also heard from Chris, will continue to strengthen our growth outlook. And importantly, as previously reflected, we have several data-related inflection points in 2026. We -- as you know, we have a PDUFA date coming up for our Leqembi IQLIK initiation next month. We also have readouts from our pre-proof of concept pipeline, where we continue to pioneer and address key scientific questions that could benefit patients.
Our registrational readout cycle begins later this year. And over the next 18 months, we expect to see SLE and CLE data from all the Phase III studies of Litifilimab as well as readouts from the first Phase III study of FELZARTAMAB in AMR and the Phase III study for ZOREVUNERSEN in Dravet syndrome. I believe this is a very exciting time for the Biogen pipeline.
I would now like to turn the call over to Robin for an update on our financial performance.
Thank you, Priya. I'd like to start with key highlights from our strong first quarter 2026 results. Total revenue was $2.5 billion, up 2% year-over-year with GAAP diluted EPS of $2.15, up 31% year-over-year and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $3.57, up 18% year-over-year. We're pleased to see our growth products continue to perform well generating $851 million of revenue, up 12% year-over-year.
Our growth products, which includes VUMERITY, generated more revenue in first quarter of 2026 than our remaining MS products. We also maintained our cost discipline while supporting our late-stage pipeline development and product launches with approximately $1.1 billion of non-GAAP core operating expenses in the first quarter of 2026.
As a result, we generated $594 million of free cash flow in the quarter, allowing us to further support the business and invest in future growth, including the expected appellate transaction. which we believe represents a capital allocation opportunity that will further bolster both our top line and bottom line growth prospects and therapeutic areas aligned to our immunology and rare disease strategy.
I'll speak more about the transaction in a few moments. I'll now turn to our revenue performance for the quarter, starting with our growth products. LEQEMBI market revenue was $168 million for the first quarter of 2026, up 74% year-over-year. We saw a continuation of sequential market growth in key markets, including the U.S., Japan and China.
In China, we saw strong uptake with Q1, reflecting continued demand growth and sequential revenue benefited from completing the drawdown of inventory in Q4 2025. LEQEMBI remains the market leader by total patient share in the U.S., Japan and China. -- and we look forward to next month's U.S. PDUFA date for IQLIK initiation.
SKYCLARYS saw sequential global patient demand growth with first quarter 2026 global revenue of $151 million, representing 22% growth year-over-year. For SKYCLARYS, U.S. revenue was impacted by the inventory dynamics we discussed on the Q4 2025 call with moderate growth in demand, Outside the U.S., we continue to see demand growth as we continue our SKYCLARYS launch.
SKYCLARYS is now available in 35 countries and we continue to expect SKYCLARYS growth to come from ex U.S. as we advance the launch.
Now turning to the highlights of our key P&L items for the quarter. Non-GAAP R&D expense in Q1 2026 was $480 million, with the increase year-over-year, reflecting investments in our Phase III clinical programs including felzartamab and Litifilimab and do phasing of spend within the year. Non-GAAP SG&A expense in Q1 2026 was $600 million with the increase year-over-year, reflecting planned prelaunch activities supporting lupus and nephrology, direct-to-consumer advertising for VUMERITY and ZURZUVAE and due to phasing of spend within the year.
First quarter 2026 GAAP and non-GAAP effective tax rates were 15.4% and 15.3%, respectively. The year-over-year decrease was due to favorable impacts from a foreign tax settlement in vesting of certain share-based awards, partly offset by the increase in U.S. taxation on foreign earnings in 2026 under the one big beautiful bill app.
And as we previously announced, we recorded approximately $34 million of acquired IP R&D in the first quarter of 2026, related primarily to our [ AltiGen ] and Alloy transaction, resulting in an approximately $0.20 on per share impact to GAAP and non-GAAP EPS.
As a reminder, in the first quarter of 2025, we recorded $165 million of acquired IP R&D associated with the upfront payment to Therapeutics as part of our collaboration for ZOREVUNERSEN for the treatment of Dravet syndrome in all the territories outside the U.S., Canada and Mexico, resulting in approximately $0.95 per share impact to GAAP and non-GAAP EPS.
This strong commercial execution, coupled with disciplined financial management drove continued robust free cash flow performance. We generated $594 million of free cash flow in the first quarter of 2026 and exited the quarter with $4.7 billion of cash and marketable securities and $1.5 billion of net debt. With the Apellis transaction expected to close in the second quarter of 2026, we plan to fund the transaction with $3.6 billion of cash from the balance sheet and $2 billion from bank borrowings.
Given our expected strong cash flow generation, we expect to repay the $2 billion in new borrowings by the end of 2027. Given the dynamic policy environment, we have updated the slide we first provided you this time last year.
We continue to believe the structure of our U.S. manufacturing footprint, supply chain and overall business model position us to be potentially more resilient to macroeconomic factors and policy uncertainty. Currently, based on potential tariffs as announced to date, we do not expect to see a material impact to our business in 2026. This information does not reflect the impact of the pending acquisition of the Apellis.
Turning now to guidance. Our overall belief in the strength of the underlying business is as strong as when we guided in February. We also continue to believe it's important to make investments for growth. In addition to the roughly $0.20 EPS impact from the acquired IPR&D charges we incurred in Q1, we also expect to incur $145 million or an $0.80 EPS impact of acquired IPR&D charges in the second quarter.
Specifically, the TJ Bio transaction for felzartamab rights in China, which further enhances our nephrology franchise and gives us worldwide rights to felzartamab is expected to comprise $0.55 of the EPS impact. As Pria noted, we also achieved the first patient dosed in STELLAR 1, our pivotal Phase III Salanersen study, triggering a milestone in the second quarter, which results in approximately $0.25 of EPS impact.
Turning to some key considerations for this updated guidance. You can see that our expected business outlook and underlying assumptions, including our revenue outlook remained consistent with our prior guidance.
As I mentioned earlier, we expect roughly $600 million of contract manufacturing revenue this year to be phased as roughly 2/3 coming in the first half of the year. We expect Q2 core operating expenses to be roughly consistent with Q1. It remains our objective to be disciplined on costs as we continue to invest including supporting the programs that we've been bringing into our pipeline through business development. Please be sure to review this slide and our press release for other important full year 2026 guidance assumption.
And finally, a few points on the expected impacts from the Apellis transaction. The transaction is not yet closed, so we won't provide consolidated guidance today. That said, we do plan to provide 2026 guidance inclusive of the Apellis when we report second quarter results following the transaction's close.
We can say today that we believe we will be getting 2 best-in-class commercialized medicines that enhance our growth portfolio. We believe Syfovre and Empaveli will contribute meaningfully to our top line growth in the near and long term. We expect approximately $120 million to $130 million of impact to our non-GAAP and other income expense line in 2026 driven largely by financing and foregone interest income.
We expect that our strong combined cash flow generation will provide us with the opportunity to delever by the end of 2027 and that the transaction will be accretive to non-GAAP EPS in 2027. We believe this transaction represents an attractive use of capital that will further bolster both our top line and bottom line growth prospects in therapeutic areas aligned to our immunology and rare disease strategy.
With that, I would like to pass the call back to Tim to open us up for questions.
Thanks, Robin. Can we go to our first question, please?
[Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes from the line of Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the quarter. As we look towards the upcoming BIIB080 data, I'm curious to your latest views on like what kinds of signals you'd be looking for there to move forward? And how much would that be impacted by your expected potential to further improve the administration form there?
Priya?
Thanks, Brian. Just stepping back, BIIB080 is an antisense oligonucleotide. It addresses tow and aims to reduce call -- and we've seen that in prior trials, an extracellular approach using an antibody has really not worked. And so that's where the ASO approach is differentiated. We believe it could target both intracellular and extracellular tell. We did see cloud reduction in our Phase Ib was a small trial, which is very encouraging, which prompted us to get to a proof-of-concept study. And that is what the Celia readout will tell us. because we -- this is a pioneering effort and what we're looking to see is whether reduction of now leaves to and translates into a clinical benefit, specifically on cognition.
But as we do that, we're exploring several doling regimens, several treatment frequencies. So we'll be looking at the totality of data. We're expecting the data sometime midyear and I think our goal would be to look at the data and then communicate it and present it at upcoming forums. So that's the plan.
And on the dosing regimen?
Yes. On the dosing regimen, I'd like to say that really, the trial enrolled very quickly from an [ Infratil ] perspective. We recognize that if this actually translates into a medicine we would be considering other options. So we are looking at other options of delivery. These are in preclinical and research and we recently acquired Alceon as you know, and that gives us another potential avenue to explore if and as we continue with implicit delivery.
Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Tsai with Jefferies.
So as we think about your other catalysts for 2026, just wanted to ask on LITIFILIMAB actually in the filing strategy. Would you guys consider filing for SLE right away if both Phase IIIs were positive later this year? Or would you wait of to wait to file after the older do file 1 or 2 NDAs. And then if just on SLE study hits that big, but the other 1 was trending, would you still file in that SLE?
Thank you, Andrew. We are excited about the potential for LITIFILIMAB. We have 2 Phase III trials in SLE. We expect them to read out this year, we accelerated the second trial and we are really doing well on our CLE trial. We expect that to read out early next year.
Now with regards to the filing strategy, we don't usually comment on it, but I'd like to say that we think that this would be a package as of now, and we'll communicate more as this kind of the studies read out.
Secondly, whether if we saw one positive trial and one negative trial, I think, again, we'd be looking at the totality of data, but there is precedence for that. with the other product in the field. So we don't think that, that, by itself, it would be a showstopper. We remain very encouraged and we are very pleased with the breakthrough designation that LITIFILIMAB got for CLE earlier this year. And we also just presented data from a second Phase II that was positive in CLE. So we continue to be optimistic.
Your next question comes from the line of Geoff Meacham with Citi
Chris, you mentioned you're still looking at BD opportunities even post Apellis. Maybe just help us with how maybe you rank external innovation versus investments and internal R&D and SG&A, obviously, post the appellate you need to make investments to get that -- to get the growth profile going?
Yes. So I think -- thanks, Geoff. We we feel, as we have said in the past, I think we're feeling very good about our late-stage pipeline. -- lupus, I think, could be quite a significant franchise for us because in addition to LITIFILIMAB, we also have a partnership with UCB on dapirolizumab, and we have -- we'll be taking the marketing lead in the U.S. and Japan. On that product. And of course, we have some other assets in early-stage development coming along for lupus.
The whole nephrology franchise, I think, is going to be quite significant for us as well. And then obviously, we have appellate. So as we look at BD, I would say, really that most of what we're going to be focusing on is early stage development and research because that part of the pipeline is quite thin. We have strengthened that with a few collaborations, particularly in immunology with [ Banca and Dara ] for instance, last year and the partnership with Citi and there's some other ones in there.
So we're looking at really building the next generation of growth. I think if we execute well and we can bring everything and the pipeline does come through, this should be a company that can grow well into the 2030s. And what we need to really be thinking about is what comes after that. So that's where, as I say, the early stage research stage pre-IND and perhaps Phase I is where the focus is going to be.
I think on M&A, we would probably be more opportunistic. I don't think there's any particular need at that point to do that. But I guess we'll keep an eye on, but we're not going to be doing the search. So over the last 2, 3 years, I mean, we have had a very systematic search and felt that we wanted to do M&A. I would say with the Apellis transaction and with the pipeline, we don't see the same need to be as proactive on that front.
Your next question comes from the line of Michael Yee with UBS.
Going back to BIIB080. You guys had downsized the study from 700 patients. I think you ultimately had targeted or ultimately about $400 million and why is the cut expenses to get a signal. Can you just remind us, given the context of wanting to be thoughtful about expenses. What type of trend it would make sense for you to push forward, but on the other hand, when you come out with the data, if you don't think there's a really strong trend that you'd be pretty clear about that and would therefore signal to Street that we don't plan to invest there. Maybe just add some color to that, Chris, or Priya, help us understand in terms of the disclosure and how we should be thoughtful about it.
Thanks, Mike. I think just stepping back, yes, we had designed the original CELIA trial with a larger N and I think it was our Phase Ib trial readout that gave us the confidence to redo the power for that study and redesign that trial. And so we feel quite confident that the trial is adequately set up to give us an answer on really testing this very important hypothesis because we already saw the tau reduction in Phase Ib and now we're looking for the transition of tau reduction to clinical efficacy.
Just as a reminder, the primary endpoint of the trial is CDR summer boxes, which, as you know, is a validated end point, but we are looking at a few different doses and 2 treatment paradigms, quarterly as well as 6 monthly. So we'll be, again, looking at the totality of that to see if we can isolate a signal of clinical efficacy. And I think we'll be very disciplined in how we look at that.
The way we've really changed that over several years now is that we think about our go/no-go criteria well ahead of data readouts and this data readout is expected midyear. So you can expect that we'll be looking at that data very carefully, but with really being very disciplined about what the next step is. because that is what this proof of concept is designed for, if and how we get to Phase III.
I think one of the interesting here is that, again, there's just no precedent here, right? And designing the study, I think, it would be fair to say, we basically looked at what we did with amyloid trials, right? We've got the 18-month follow-up. We're looking at a similar population because that's the only thing we know. So we're going to be discovering an awful lot in this study.
Certainly, you want to see the right reduction in tau and tau pet results will be important. And then obviously, can you see some movement on cognition. That would be important to be able to advance. Does that have to be statistically significant? Does that have to be a certain percentage. I think that's where the totality of information is going to be while we feel relatively confident in being able to reduce the tau, nobody knows how long you have to reduce the tau for to get a benefit on cognition.
And -- when you think about the progression of plaque, that is a longer onset and tau is a shorter onset. So we don't really know exactly who the right patient population is going to be. That might be the same as amyloid might be different. And that's why we've said from the outset, this is a pioneering study. And we and the whole medical academic community are going to learn from that.
The bar doesn't necessarily have to be that high. But I think we do have to see some signs that give us -- obviously, hope that this would have a clinical benefit.
Your next question comes from the line of Salveen Richter with Goldman Sachs.
On LEQEMBI, could you update us on the adoption and use of blood-based biomarkers and whether you're seeing patients who completed to some less switch to LEQEMBI maintenance?
Maybe Alisha, you like to take that one?
Sure. Blood-based biomarkers have been growing almost at the same clip as that we've been seeing in the past over 20 which we know they've had really rapid adoption. However, haven't typically been used for confirmation solely. But what we are seeing, there is a PCP pilot that is going on right now, as you know, with Biogen and Eisai, and we do have early indicators that from that pilot, we're seeing a higher usage now of blood-based biomarkers in the PCP than what we do to who do not have that pilot running. So we're showing that once we educate, they are doing it more and more.
Also more importantly, recently, CMS did add that blood-based biomarkers can be used as a confirmation when you go into their database, so when you go and use the drug, you can actually get it reimbursed. I know last year, that was a big question that physicians had and now that has also been put into place. So I believe, moving forward, we are going to see that blood-based biomarkers will be used more and more for confirmation what they are today.
The adoption will be a little bit slow, but awareness is extremely high. So I do think the more that they use it, test and try it, the more they'll be used for confirmation.
When you move towards something the question that you asked about [ Casein ] in this first quarter of the year is when you'll expect to see the tranche of patients that started on Cassina that are now hitting their 18-month mark. And so quarter 1 is when you will see the patients now typically stopping the product. and for us to start getting the feedback. I can say that physicians are asking what do we do? -- some patients.
And if you look at market research, patients in general, who are in either of the products want to stay on product, there is a fear of coming off. and having a decline in their cognition. And we do have several accounts that are looking at how do they switch them to LEQEMBI, as you know, we cannot provide data on that because we don't have data, but we do have physicians that are looking at, can we switch them to maintenance or to subcu maintenance of LEQEMBI.
Your next question comes from the line of David Amsellem with Piper Sandler.
So high-level question on SYFOVRE. If you can talk to it. I know the transaction hasn't closed. But can you comment at a high level on evolving competitive dynamics, particularly with other agents that are in development that are focused in terms of their primary outcome measures on visual acuity as opposed to lesion burden. So help us just understand how are you thinking about where SYFOVRE is going to fit in this evolving landscape.
And ultimately, what kind of data you can point to regarding the product regarding its impact on visual acuity.
Thanks, David. So just stepping back, I mean I think SYFOVRE indicated for geographic atrophy. This is a very highly prevalent irreversible and progressive disease that leads to blindness. I think the median time point is about 6, 6.5 years. And the gold standard for assessing efficacy has been lesion growth.
And I think that is where SYFOVRE has very compelling data, 42% statistically significant reduction in lesion growth. that's kind of at the time of launch. But subsequently, Apellis has also presented 5-year long-term data that shows that you can actually slow down progression by 1.5 years. That's obviously really meaningful in that time frame of 6 years. I totally agree that there is competitive dynamics here. I think with either way, that's on the -- the other product that's on the market, it targets C5, which is upstream of C3, which is the target for SYFOVRE.
And we haven't really seen that long-term data as of now. from [indiscernible]. But moving into what's on the horizon from a competitive landscape, I think we are seeing more targeting of C5 again. That's one. The other is that with Annexon, we haven't seen that the Phase II data were very persuasive. And actually, it did not impact geographic atrophy lesion growth. which we believe is the standard, gold standard.
And Chris mentioned the lesion growth is really important to focus on eventually the best corrected visual equity would be impacted. But at the outset, that's not really the goal because the I adjust to peripheral vision. And that's an important aspect to kind of keep in mind. And when we saw the data from Annexon, this was obviously a very important aspect of our diligence, we saw that actually the BCVA for placebo really went down, and therefore, the drug arm looked good, but I think it remains to be seen. With regards to Regeneron, I know that's competition as well, also target C5 and it's systemic, and it's a combination.
So we believe they're also Syfovre because it's targeted to the eye, it really enables that tissue delivery, which we believe is really important. And Regeneron, the proof of concept still has to come. So we'll wait for that. But we do know that Soliris actually with a very similar mechanism of action failed in Phase II in GA. So I think a lot to watch out for, but we feel really that the IFB data are compelling, and it's going to be a very huge effort for us from an educational, medical, scientific leadership to make the case on why it's important to treat now.
Yes. And I think is from a commercial point of view, the fact that SYFOVRE has 5-year data creates sort of a data moat here. this is a progressive, slowly progressive disease. And people want to have confidence in the safety and how this also develops over time. So I think it's going to take quite a long time for any competitor actually to generate the same level of data that is going to be necessary for the confidence of physicians and patients.
Your next question comes from the line of Paul Matteis with Stifel.
Great. And congrats on a great quarter. A couple of other just quick hits on SYFOVRE if I may. As it relates to just thinking about spending on that franchise over the next few years, how are you at least qualitatively right now thinking about synergies and leveraging existing capabilities with also the reality that GA may still be a pretty promotionally sensitive market that could require things like ETC. And then maybe just any quick thoughts on the prefilled syringe, your level of optimism there and how meaningful that could be?
So Alicia, you have a lot of work in this space.
Yes, I'll take that question. Thank you. first, I can say that we've met several of the leaders over at Apellis, and I want to say that I'm very impressed with that team and with the leadership that they actually have. Many of those individuals have had the ophthalmology background for quite a long time and know the space very well. So I will say they've done a very good job and a tremendous job, especially with the vasculitis cases that came up early on on handling that, and I think they're doing a very nice job today.
When we look at this market and see the opportunities that it has, it is a very large market. It's 1.5 million patients, as you know, only 20% are treated. And there is a really significant unmet need for this patient population. And this launch has sustained growth in injections and in patient growth. And so we believe there is a very large number of patients who are untreated.
There's around 500,000 that currently sit in these targeted physician offices that this team currently calls on for GA. And in our experience, when you have a product that slows progression activating the patients and creating urgency with these HCPs is critically important.
And therefore, we know moving forward, we will need thoughtful education, very strong messaging and an explanation as to why there is a strong value to slowing this progression.
With that being said and knowing that we obviously do not -- we have not closed the deal yet. We know that activating these patients will be critical in this space because when you go in and ask for something, you typically get it. So we do know we will be spending money on DTC and TV ads, as you know, they did run TV ads for 2 quarters, and they did stop those TV ads. I think that would be something that we'd be looking at once we close the deal because educating these patients will be critically important.
We'll also be looking at the messaging for how they're able to handle this in the office. We have no idea up into the space, how much time have they had to spend on vasculitis versus actually being able to compete hand-in-hand in these offices.
And thirdly, I think that they are going to benefit greatly from our patient services and also from this machine that we've had the luxury of building over the last 7 years. If you really take a step back and look at Biogen, especially in North America, we've launched 7 products over the last 7 years in completely different spaces, which means we've created this dynamic engine that has been able to support the launches across all of the TAs that we now have.
Therefore, we believe, going to your question, we will find synergies and a lot of the headquarters capabilities that we will bring to them that maybe they have not been able to invest in. We're also going to look at where they currently spend money that maybe we could reallocate to some of these other areas that we believe will drive the growth.
And we're going to be able to do a great analytics in understanding which tactics they're using now they think are working and which ones we might be able to tweak moving forward. I also have an understanding that they might have a wish list of things they'd like to do, maybe they haven't done so far for the launch. And so we are going to be looking at all of that with them. and believe with Apellis and with Biogen, both of them together will be much stronger than either one of them alone.
And so I know my teams are very excited about welcoming them into North America. And we're looking at giving specialist SYFOVRE a lot of support, so they feel like they have everything they need to succeed in this space.
Your next question comes from the line of Mohit Bansal with Wells Fargo.
Congrats on all the progress. So would love to understand high-dose SPINRAZA helps with switching and persistence as a new offering, do you think it can stabilize the franchise or even grow at this point? Would love to understand how you're thinking about it.
You want to take that from North America, Alisha?
Is the question specifically about SPINRAZA or SPINRAZA high dose?
High dose?
High dose. Okay. Well, first of all, I'll say that I'm sitting in the same boardroom, I was sitting in when we had a patient advocacy group, and I pitched to a couple of executive committee members that we had feedback from patients that they wanted more. And you fast forward to today, we all of a sudden have SPINRAZA HD.
So first and foremost, I will say this is 1 area of the business, which I have never seen in my career. Where this patient community is smart, they are savvy. They know exactly what comes out, when it's coming out, and they will make those requests prior to any approval in the market. So when you look at what has happened, the SPINRAZA HD has been out less than a month. I will tell you that 20% of my patient base have already have start forms in to go and SPINRAZA the high dose.
We also have patients that are switching from competitors and patients that are adding on to Zolgensma. So for the U.S. organization specifically, I do believe that high dose, which we've had a pretty stable business so far. -- with SPINRAZA, and my team has done an excellent job with SPINRAZA 12 mg, but we do believe high dose now has a new opportunity for us, and we are seeing great interest in high dose from not just patients but also physicians.
And so we're off to a great start. Hundreds of start forms have been submitted and I think that this is going to be very positive as we transition from SPINRAZA high dose and hopefully one day Salanersen.
Maybe, Chris, I can cover ex U.S. similarly, we had the approval ex U.S. in Europe, and we're seeing similar traction, particularly in Germany with roughly 20% of the patients converting over to high dose. So off to a really strong launch in Europe as well.
I think when you think about high dose, you think about also the being able to potentially replace the intrathecal injection coming along? And then obviously, Salanersen, I think, Priya, can say we've had our first patient dosed in the Phase III study here. I think this is a franchise that is going to be durable and can grow over time as we introduce these things that make it easier. Now I talk to physicians around the world when I go visit our affiliates. And every time they talk about someone who has switched off SPINRAZA, there's always a tone of regret in their voice.
It generally is because of intrathecal fatigue, but they have the regret because they know that in their view that this is the most efficacious drug. And I think the HD now gives them even more reason to defend the efficacy -- and I think, again, with the Alteon device, we hopefully can eliminate some of the intrathecal fatigue.
And certainly, by the time we get Salanersen, that's expected to be a once-yearly intrathecal and that should also help with the administration. But these are -- it's amazing to hear the emotion of physicians. These are children who are now going to school who would have died years before. And this is just one of those amazing medicines that Biogen has come up with that has had such an impact on health care for, particularly in the pediatric population.
Next question comes from the line of Evan Seigerman with BMO Capital Markets.
Congrats on all the progress. I'd love to drill down a little more on the strength we saw with SKYCLARYS. Can you walk me through some of the drivers of this? I know it's been a lumpy product. But is this traction something we should really start to think through later in the year? And kind of what are some of the drivers there?
Don't you start with the U.S., and then we can talk about X.
Yes. So for SKYCLARYS, which you saw for the quarter is with the $72 million year-over-year, it was a 4% growth quarter-over-quarter, it was down. And it was down because the inventory was built at the end of Q4 last year. And then fast forward to Q1, if you look at the amount of buying weeks, Q1 has 2 fewer buying weeks than the prior quarter.
If you look at patient demand, our patient demand was right on par -- it's just we had a little bit of lumpiness with the inventory.
Now the second thing, though, just to remind everyone is where the U.S. is at launch, is we are now at the launch phase where we are going out, we are using our patient finding our next best action in the field where our reps every week receive a list of all the different offices they can go visit because we believe the patient is there, and then they go on the hunt.
With that being said, now the majority of our patients are coming from doctors who will only ever write on prescription ever for Friedreich's ataxia. These patients tend to be slower progressors and they're much older than what we had predicted when we first launched the product. And so it will take more time as we find them. But the good news is, is that we are finding them and they are going on product, but it does take time from finding the patient when they finally put in their script.
In ex U.S., actually, our revenue in the quarter exceeded the U.S. for the first time from SKYCLARYS as we continue to execute on the launch there. in Europe and starting in Latin America. So we do see from a demand perspective, demand increasing ex U.S. and expect that to continue as we continue the launches. And as I mentioned earlier, it's already available in 35 countries.
In ex U.S., we have a little different strategy. So we've -- as Alisha said, it's really finding the patients. So as we found the patients, we have put them on drug and they're on early access programs while we negotiate reimbursement.
So as we get reimbursement, you'll start to see the revenue suddenly flow through. But it might be lumpy because we can switch potentially several hundred patients, all at once from being a 0 revenue patient to a full revenue patient.
We have -- right now, we have not only rent more revenue, but we've had now for some time, more patients outside the U.S. on drugs and insight. Just as I say, they haven't been fully reimbursed. And that's progressive. And we're now seeing really the rollout and potential reimbursement in Latin America, for example.
Your next question comes from the line of Alexandria Hammond with Wolfe Research.
Another on BIIB080, what's the potential in other telophase. And as a follow-up, what will be the most important biomarker from the upcoming Phase II results in terms of informing next steps beyond Alzheimer's?
Yes. Thank you. This is an area that we are discussing quite deeply. We know the high unmet need in primary tauopathies. And what we've seen in terms of our reduction with BBA at least in our Phase Ib trial was very encouraging. I think we would be looking for tau reduction and we would be looking for other details, I mean, regions of the brain and such, and that would inform our strategy on whether we would continue to think about doing more work in primary tauopathies. But yes, it remains high on our list of evaluations and potential possibilities.
Your next question comes from the line of Terence Flynn with Morgan Stanley.
Just one on FELS for me and AMR. Obviously, you called out the acquisition of the China rights for $100 million and then some pretty significant back-end loaded milestones. So just thinking through what this means for the broader commercial opportunity maybe both, not just in China but also in -- on the global basis and how you're thinking about that relative to consensus.
Yes. Again, I think as you look at kidney disease, a lot of this there have not been treatments for it. And there's a whole alphabet soup of these things, right? You've got IC-MPGN, you've got AMR, you've got PMN. You got C3G and I think it takes -- it's hard to actually even to come up with sometimes the epidemiology. I can tell you on the MPGN for Empaveli, it's actually not very clear exactly what the what the actual underlying epidemiology is.
So it's hard for, I think, investors to really assess some of these. What we do know, for instance, on the MR is we just take that there are about probably 11,000 patients. And if you actually look at the price of IgAN, it certainly if you look at it with the latest Otsuka price in IgAN of about $350,000 a year, you're looking at a total addressable market north of $2 billion, somewhere between $2 billion and $3 billion, in fact, right? And there hasn't been any treatment there in the past.
And certainly, the Phase II data, although small numbers, showed a remarkable 80% resolution of AMR. And then you've got MDI, which is sort of a cousin of AMR. SP530023306 That adds another 5,000 or 6,000 patients, and we've just initiated a trial in MVI. IgAN is obviously going to be a significant market, particularly in Asia. And I think there's 2 things where we see competitiveness.
When you start looking at any autoimmune disease and pre can speak more to this, but you really want to think about where are you in the whole immune cascade. In most cases, if you're treating an autoimmune disease, you're trying to suppress the immune system. They don't really want to do that any more than you have to. And so having something that is close to the actual disease cause, I think, is going to be relevant.
And that's where we think CD38 is a huge advantage of really acting on the plasma cells and the NK cells. But the other is really the durability of treatment. And IgAN, we showed in a Phase II that after 9 infusions that we still had durability of treatment after 18 months. And that that says that maybe we're doing something here that looks more disease-modifying than other agents. But Priya, you should probably weigh in here you since you're much more expert than I am on this.
I think you covered it well Chris. We're really excited about the first readout of felzartamab. We expect this in 2027. And really, it's stepping back is -- it's targeting the CD38 positive plasma cells. -- which we believe are a key source of the pathogenic autoantibodies. And the readout is really a biopsy readout, which is also very objective. So we're excited about this.
Great. I think we've got time for 1 last question. Maybe that's the last one, please.
Your next question comes from the line of Jay Olson with Oppenheimer.
Congrats on the quarter. Can you talk about the real-world treatment persistence of LEQEMBI that was presented at ADPD with regards to -- how do you expect the subcu version to further impact treatment persistence?
Thanks, Jay. So overall, there's a question -- there has been a question lingering out there, whether after reduction on clearance of blocks, you continue to keep patients on an anti-amyloid therapy, specifically 1 like LEQEMBI, which has a dual target of the soluble toxic species as well as block reduction. We've shown extensive data in prior meetings on the benefits of keeping patients on therapy. This again is a progressive disease.
Once neurons die, you cannot recover them. And we've shown that fluid biomarkers actually come back within less than 6 months. And then although the plant comes back much slower. So that's one piece. I think the real-world evidence data is compelling because it shows that patients and neurologists actually want to continue to stay on therapy.
That, I think, is the powerful reflection of that data. And this continues to be really, really important for us. Now we are waiting -- we already have subcutaneous maintenance, which again makes it simpler and offers patients optionality on staying on therapy. But with subcutaneous initiation where we'll get an outcome from the FDA next month, we continue to remain very optimistic about how this could inflect in terms of the patient journey.
And then finally, I'll just add a point about our presymptomatic trial of HEAD345, which is still to read out in 2028. And we'll see about that readout. We think it's going to be an important landmark trial in the field. But what becomes important with subcutaneous of getting accepted is that there could be an interchangeability, which could be very relevant in the presymptomatic population.
So again, we believe that this is going to be a very important inflection point.
Thanks, Priya. Thanks, everybody, for joining the call today. We've got more questions to reach out to me or [indiscernible]. Thank you.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Biogen — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Biogen — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Solider Q1 2026: leichtes Umsatzwachstum, starke Wachstumsprodukte, klare Pipeline‑Katalysatoren und geplante Apellis‑Akquisition.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $2,5 Mrd. (+2% YoY)
- GAAP EPS: $2,15 (+31% YoY)
- Non‑GAAP EPS: $3,57 (+18% YoY)
- Wachstumsprodukte: $851 Mio. (+12% YoY; inkl. VUMERITY, Leqembi, Skyclarys)
- Free Cash Flow / Kasse: $594 Mio. FCF; $4,7 Mrd. Kasse, $1,5 Mrd. Nettoverschuldung
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Investieren statt nur sparen: Management betont gezielte Reinvestitionen in F&E und kommerzielle Aktivitäten; kommerzielle Kosten von MS‑Produkten zu Wachstumsprodukten verschoben.
- Apellis‑Akquisition: Erwartete Schließung Q2 2026; Syfovre und Empaveli sollen Wachstum und Nephrologie‑Franchise stärken und 2027 nicht‑GAAP‑EPS beflügeln.
- Pipeline‑Tempo: Multijähriger Datenfluss begonnen; mehrere registrierende Readouts 2026–2027 (u.a. Litifilimab, Felzartamab, Zorevunersen).
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance‑Status: Management bestätigt Februar‑Ausblick grundsätzlich; konsistente Umsatzannahmen.
- IPR&D‑Effekte: Q1: ~$0,20 EPS Belastung; Q2: erwartete erworbene IPR&D‑Aufwendungen von ~$145 Mio. (~$0,80 EPS), davon ~$0,55 EPS für China‑Rechte an Felzartamab und ~$0,25 EPS Meilenstein.
- Finanzierung Apellis: Finanzierung geplant mit $3,6 Mrd. Kasse + $2 Mrd. Bankkredit; Rückzahlung der neuen Schulden bis Ende 2027 erwartet.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- BIIB080 (Tau ASO): Erwarteter Mid‑Year‑Readout; Management sucht Tau‑Reduktion plus klinisches Signal, nannte aber keine klaren statistischen Go/No‑Go‑Schwellen.
- Leqembi & Subcu: Starke Real‑World‑Persistenz (≈80% bei 18 Monate); PDUFA (FDA‑Entscheidungstermin) für subkutane Induktion am 24. Mai erwähnt – Subcu könnte Pfad/Adhärenz verbessern.
- Apellis / SYFOVRE: Fragen zu Wettbewerbsdaten und Marketing‑Synergien; Management betont 5‑Jahres‑Daten als Differenzierer, gibt aber keine detailierten Kosten‑/Synergie‑Zahlen.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Biogen zeigt stabilen Kerngeschäfts‑Cashflow, beschleunigt Wachstum via Wachstumsprodukte und M&A. Kurzfristig belasten erworbene IPR&D‑Kosten und Integrationsrisiken; mittelfristig steigern Apellis‑Portfolio und mehrere Programm‑Readouts (BIIB080, Litifilimab, Felzartamab) das Upside. Aktionäre sollten PDUFA (24. Mai), BIIB080‑Readout mid‑year und den Abschluss der Apellis‑Transaktion beobachten.
Biogen — Biogen Inc., Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. - M&A Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. My name is Kolby, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Biogen business update call to discuss the proposed acquisition of Apellis. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Tim Power, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Power, you may begin your conference.
Thanks, Kolby. Good morning, everyone, and thanks for joining us this morning.
I'd like to point out that we'll be making forward-looking statements, which are based on our expectations. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties, and our actual results may differ materially. I encourage you to consult the risk factors discussed in our SEC filings for additional details. And this communication is for informational purposes only and is neither an offer to purchase nor a solicitation of an offer to sell any common shares of Apellis.
Joining me on today's call are Chris Viehbacher, our President and Chief Executive Officer; Adam Keeney, Head of Corporate Development; and Robin Kramer, Chief Financial Officer. Chris, Adam and Robin will each offer some opening comments, and then we'll move to a Q&A session where we'll also be joined by Alisha Alaimo, President and Head of North America; and Priya Singhal, Head of Development. You can access the press release and supporting materials for today's announcement as well as a replay of this call at biogen.com.
And I'll now hand it over to Chris.
Thank you, Tim. Good morning, everybody. Over the past year, I often get the question on M&A, what is Biogen really -- what would Biogen consider? And I always put that into the context of where the company is right now. We're feeling great about our late-stage development pipeline. There are a lot of assets that we think are high conviction assets. But as you look at it, that probably doesn't -- that pipeline doesn't really start to contribute to growth until 2028. And as always, these launches take time to build up to peak sales.
So as we thought about potential acquisitions, we said, well, one is we don't want to take a lot of Phase III risk because we've got actually a nice pipeline. But if we could find an asset that was post Phase III, either just about to launch or early in its launch such that there's still plenty of growth opportunity that, that would be something that would be interesting that could drive our near-term as well as our long-term growth.
The second is we have opened the strategic aperture of the company over the last 3 years from being a pure neuroscience company to one that is in neurology, immunology and rare diseases. And that is already increasing the scope of the physician community that we need to cover. We are having to acquire new capabilities. And we didn't really want to stray outside of that. So if there was an acquisition, it really had to make sense from the strategic narrative of the company.
The other is that we didn't feel any need to stretch our balance sheet. And so for us, we were very comfortable if this was going to be somewhere up to about $5 billion to $6 billion.
And then obviously, the fourth criteria and the most important is that you had to be able to acquire it at a price that still creates value for Biogen shareholders. And we think that Apellis actually meets all of those criteria.
This is really an immunology play. We're talking about complement inhibitors. The complement system, as you know, one of the first lines of defense in the immune system. And pegcetacoplan is really a C3 complement inhibitor. First indication was with EMPAVELI in a rare disease called PHN (sic) [ PNH ] kidney disease. That was followed then by an ophthalmology indication with SYFOVRE in geographic atrophy. And then most recently, last year, EMPAVELI received also the indication of C3G and also the MPGN.
And so we're looking at products that are early in their launch cycle. And that the value of any company, as you all know, is really a function of the revenue forecast. And products that are approved and on the market, obviously, there's always variability in revenue forecast. But I think certainly, I feel a whole lot more confident in forecasting a product when it's already on the market and we have market data.
So this expands our commercial growth portfolio, as we said. And I think the second point here is the path into nephrology. This is a new area for Biogen. We believe with felzartamab, we've got an extremely valuable program in our pipeline, but we're busy trying to acquire capability in medical affairs, in commercial. And actually, the acquisition of Apellis really accelerates that. There is a very strong team commercially, medically in Apellis. If you're going to go to a medical conference, now we're a company that actually has a commercial product. We're getting to know all of the physicians. There's quite a significant overlap between the physicians prescribing EMPAVELI and IgAN. There's about a 50% overlap of physicians who will be prescribing AMR.
So we just think that if the clinical trials work out for felzartamab as we hope, that we will have a running start into the launch, and we could actually potentially achieve peak sales faster than we would if we were just doing on this on our own.
SYFOVRE is out there in the marketplace. I think we see that as a continued growth story. I think this is one where we clearly see that this is the better product in that category. But I think we're not necessarily seeing a revenue forecast that differs significantly from the consensus forecast. In fact, we're probably a little on the conservative side on that product.
So what this does net-net is, we add meaningfully to our top line and our bottom line, and we really do expect a meaningful increase in our non-GAAP EPS CAGR through to 2030. And it doesn't stretch our balance sheet, and Robin is here and she'll say more, but we believe that we can delever by the end of '27, by the end of next year, and that still preserves some strategic flexibility.
That said, I think having done this acquisition and with our pipeline, I think we will be focusing principally on now on early-stage assets. And any M&A would be purely opportunistic, but we're probably not really looking to go out and do anything in specific terms on the M&A front going forward.
So with that, I'm going to turn it over to Adam Keeney. You may not have met Adam before. Adam is our Head of Corporate Development. He and his team are the ones that really did the heavy lifting on this. Adam is a research scientist by training, worked in business development, corporate development at Sanofi and at J&J, was CEO of NodThera for many years and has been a terrific addition to our team about 3 years ago.
So I'll turn it over to you, Adam.
Well, thank you very much, Chris, and good morning, everyone. So earlier this year, we showed this slide that describes our strategy for delivering a new Biogen, with the potential and the opportunity for long-term sustainable growth. This strategy anticipates 3 sequential sets of growth drivers, including our growth portfolio of currently marketed products. With confidence in our portfolio and pipeline continuing to increase, the acquisition of Apellis has the opportunity to further strengthen our business by adding two best-in-class products to enhance this growth portfolio. We believe these are differentiated medicines that address significant unmet need in immune-mediated retinal disease, in rare hematology and in kidney diseases.
Let me take a moment now just to walk us through each of these products.
Starting with SYFOVRE, which is the first FDA-approved therapy for geographic atrophy. Geographic atrophy is a serious immune-mediated retinopathy, which, if left untreated, can lead to irreversible progressive vision loss that meaningfully impairs the patient's quality of life. So we are taking a realistic view on the potential of the future growth of SYFOVRE. What is clear is that the GA market is large, underpenetrated with an estimated 1.5 million patients diagnosed in the U.S. with very few currently being treated. We know that the market is competitive, but we're also optimistic that the best-in-class profile of SYFOVRE, coupled with Biogen's demonstrated U.S. capabilities and Apellis' sales and marketing team, we can enable the product to realize its full potential. In addition, we are encouraged by the opportunity to launch a prefilled syringe to further support SYFOVRE's launch and differentiated profile.
Now turning to EMPAVELI. EMPAVELI was approved in PNH, a rare hematology indication for some time. And as you know, it's commercialized by Sobi ex U.S. More recently, EMPAVELI was approved in 2 rare immune-mediated kidney diseases, C3G and IC-MPGN. These are rare diseases with very significant disease burden. 50% of patients reach end-stage kidney disease within 10 years, resulting in a number of patients requiring kidney transplantation. We see EMPAVELI as a differentiated medicine with significant revenue growth potential ahead.
EMPAVELI is the only FDA-approved therapy for both adults and pediatric patients in primary IC-MPGN as well as pediatric C3G and post-transplant C3G recurrence. In its registrational studies, EMPAVELI demonstrated clinically meaningful benefits across all 3 key markers of disease, reduction in proteinuria, stabilization of kidney function and clearance of C3 deposits.
Commercially, the launch is in its early days, which creates a meaningful revenue growth opportunity as awareness, diagnosis and treatment adoption continue to expand. We believe we have a real opportunity to leverage Biogen's established commercial capabilities combined with those of Apellis to drive long-term value for EMPAVELI and support the patients suffering from these difficult diseases.
Furthermore, Apellis provides an established nephrology sales and marketing capability and infrastructure that we can leverage as a foundation for felzartamab's launch in kidney disease.
As you can see on this slide, EMPAVELI provides a foundation for our growing nephrology franchise. With the nephrology expertise, infrastructure and capabilities that Apellis have built, we have the opportunity to establish a foundation for our own growing kidney franchise today. Having EMPAVELI already approved in rare kidney diseases provides a commercial presence in nephrology and transplant centers that have an overlap with felzartamab, enabling us to begin building deep relationships with nephrologists and the patient community.
With this deal, we're looking to accelerate our expansion into nephrology and establish an anchor for a broader durable platform to fully realize the opportunity with felzartamab to drive significant long-term growth.
I'd now like to pass the call over to Robin, who will provide a financial overview of the proposed transaction.
Thank you, Adam. I'll now take you through some of the financial highlights of the transaction. Biogen's acquisition of Apellis for a price of $41 per share represents an upfront consideration of approximately $5.6 billion in cash and contingent value rights payable per share in two separate payments upon achievement of certain thresholds related to the global sales of SYFOVRE. We expect to finance the acquisition with a combination of cash on hand, revolver borrowings and a bank term loan. We estimate the impact of the financing costs and foregone interest income to be approximately $120 million to $130 million, both in 2026 and 2027. We expect to repay the borrowings associated with the transaction by the end of 2027.
The transaction is subject to customary closing conditions, and we anticipate closing the acquisition in the second quarter of 2026. As Chris and Adam shared, we believe the Apellis transaction enhances our growth portfolio in immunology and rare disease and accelerates our expansion into nephrology, consistent with our new Biogen sustainable growth and capital allocation strategies. We're gaining 2 best-in-class commercialized medicines that enhance our growth portfolio. We believe SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI will contribute meaningfully to our top line growth in the near and long term. We see real opportunity to create sustainable value with this deal, benefiting from the combined commercial capabilities of Biogen and Apellis. We expect the revenue from the two products together can grow in the mid- to high teens for at least the next 2 years.
Our near-term revenue estimates for both products combined are consistent with analyst consensus. We have high expectations for EMPAVELI, which we believe has significant growth potential, benefiting from the combined capabilities of Biogen and Apellis. For SYFOVRE, we are optimistic that we can realize its full potential over time with the opportunity to launch a prefilled syringe to further support SYFOVRE's launch and differentiated profile.
Additionally, we remain enthusiastic about the opportunity for felzartamab in kidney disease and one of the compelling aspects of the proposed acquisition is the potential to advance our expansion into nephrology by adding a U.S. nephrology infrastructure that can be deployed for the commercialization of felzartamab.
As you know, we've demonstrated strong cost discipline, and we'll have the opportunity to continue to be disciplined on operating expenses following the close of this transaction. We believe this transaction represents a capital allocation opportunity that further bolsters both our top line and bottom line growth prospects and therapeutic areas aligned to our stated immunology and rare disease strategy.
Finally, from a financial perspective, we believe this transaction will strengthen our near- and long-term growth potential as we add two growing commercial assets. We expect it to become increasingly accretive starting in 2027, and we believe this transaction meaningfully increases our non-GAAP diluted EPS CAGR through the end of this decade. Our expected combined strong cash flow generation provides us with the opportunity to pay down the debt used to finance the transaction by the end of 2027, preserving our strategic flexibility. Finally, we plan to update our full year 2026 financial guidance when we report earnings for the first quarter.
I'll now pass the call over to Chris.
So again, this is a strong strategic fit now. But I would tell you that we have spent quite a lot of time with this project. We started looking at this company well over a year ago, did a lot of market research. Initially, we concluded that actually market forecasts and the company's own projections were probably running ahead of what the reality was coming back to us in terms of market research. So we didn't actually engage with the company until actually those forecasts became more in line with our own forecast. In the meantime, we've also done an awful lot of market research on -- particularly on the kidney. We know that the -- as Adam said, that the epidemiology of MPGN is a little less clear. But Alisha and her team have done a huge amount of market research. And I think as we look at the near term, I think we certainly understand the market opportunity and what is going to be available.
So as we consider with this, this is a very compelling value creation opportunity. I think we feel comfortable with our revenue forecast. We feel comfortable that we're going to be able to work with the Apellis team to really bring the teams together and do even more with these two products than either company could do on their end. And again, as Robin said, we haven't really stretched our balance sheet overly here, and we have strategic flexibility. So we believe, as I said, if I look at those 4 criteria I started with, that Apellis really looks at it. We've looked at a whole range of companies. You can pretty much assume that anything under $5 billion of market cap, we have looked at, and we believe that this was the best opportunity that really fits strategically with Biogen and where our pipeline is taking us.
So with that, I'll turn it over for questions to Tim.
Thanks, Chris. Kolby, can we go to the first question, please?
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Phil Nadeau of TD Cowen.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the deal. I guess one of the more controversial aspects of Apellis in the public market is the competitive position of both SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI. What are your thoughts on the competition in the GA and kidney spaces?
So on GA, and I'll ask Alisha also to comment. But I think on the current competition, we clearly see an advantage for SYFOVRE. At the same time, this is a very competitive space, and Apellis is investing significantly. This is a complex disease, geographic atrophy. There isn't a clear measure for visual acuity. And so patients are really having to take an injection in the eye every 2 months. And they don't necessarily see any immediate benefit. And so we do see an opportunity for increased patient engagement. There's certainly going to be other products coming along in development for geographic atrophy. I think there's an opportunity to grow this market faster. Less than 10% of eligible patients are actually being treated today. So there's plenty of market opportunity even with competitors coming along.
And again, without any real clear marker of efficacy, I think everybody else is going to have the same challenges with this marketplace. But I do think Alisha and her team have built an extremely effective organization, particularly for patient services and geographic atrophy is not a rare disease, but I do believe, at least in the initial phases of integration that this rare disease approach could actually be helpful.
And on EMPAVELI, there is a competitor from Novartis, but the efficacy benefit is significantly greater on EMPAVELI. And again, Alisha and her team have done an incredible amount of work to really understand center by center, where the patients are. And I think, Alisha, you're feeling pretty confident in what we're thinking about for our forecast for the next 3 years. Alisha, do you want to add anything here?
Sure. Thank you, Chris. So I think really, today, as I sit here in the seat, we have had a little bit luxury of time as we've looked at this deal. Biogen is very well positioned to partner with the talent in Apellis, which Apellis has done a very good job across both of these launches. And we think that this is a really good time for us to work together to really drive both of them even further than what you see today.
So we will learn from them really what they've tried, maybe some things that they wanted to go further on, they weren't able to do and apply both of our strengths moving forward for both of these launches to even get to a better outcome than maybe what they have today, especially because it is going to be highly competitive for both of these areas.
So when it looks -- when we start with SYFOVRE, this is a launch that we've had our eye on for quite some time. We've been following it very closely. As all of you know, it is a very large market, around 1.5 million patients and only 10% get treated today. But this launch has had sustained growth in both the injections and in patients. And so we do look forward to meeting with the team to understand a lot of their challenges. And based on the research that we've done and some of the diligence that we've done to date, we do think that there are 3 areas for this launch where we can become quite competitive.
I think first and foremost, they have the launch strategy for the prefilled syringe. We very much look forward to meeting with the team, understanding what that strategy is and how we will enter the market. Our understanding in this space is that HCPs do have a very strong preference for prefilled syringes. So this will give SYFOVRE really a competitive edge in the market.
The second that Chris alluded to is really around how they are activating and educating patients in this space. So in our experience, as you know, with several of our products, when you have a therapy that slows progression, having the surround sound approach to patients is incredibly important. And I think over the last 7 years, we've had 7 launches. In fact, just last Friday, you saw SPINRAZA HD, is also launching. So we've built really great capabilities in both the specialty area, but also the rare disease area on how you activate the patients and really educate them on why they need to stay on treatment longer.
The third area where we think we can also see improvement, and this is also going to do with the HCP community and understanding through Apellis, what work they've done with them. But you do see for both products in this space, one of the issues that they have is a drop-off rate on keeping patients on product. And I think that we've done a lot of great work with our other therapeutic areas and how you start and stay on treatment. We'll be working with Apellis very closely on looking at what can we do with SYFOVRE in the space with HCPs and education. I also think from some of the power that we have on our medical side and then the expertise that they have in nephrology and in GA, we are going to be able to make both launches really continue to have a long runway.
We'll take our next question from Geoff Meacham of Citibank.
This is Nishant on for Geoff. Going back to the SYFOVRE opportunity, I know you mentioned around like 1.5 million people in the U.S. there's a market opportunity there. What do you see as the biggest gating factors to accelerating penetration from here? Is it the diagnosis, the retinal capacity or physician comfort around benefit and risk.
Biggest barriers around SYFOVRE.
Biggest barriers around SYFOVRE. I think there's a couple. I think, one, the physicians have done a very good job on how they treat the patients. So they're at least getting them diagnosed when they come in. I think there's two areas here. One is, are they activating to come in and ask for the product. I don't know the answer to that. However, what I would think because there isn't a major DTC push, there's a little bit from the competitor. But for SYFOVRE, I think activating these patients is actually quite difficult because they're sort of living with this disease and they're sort of working around it. And sometimes when they go in, it could be a little too late. So how do we start that education earlier?
The second challenges are, and I think all of you see it probably in the revenue number is how we really make sure we balance and manage contracting that happens in this space. We do have a lot of experience in that. We look forward to meeting with Apellis and understanding their strategy and looking at what are some of the things that we can do to also help. And also on the Medicare side, we have a lot of experience in Medicare and Copay. And so also looking at their free patient programs, looking at things like bridging programs and understanding what we can do to also help patients have affordability when it comes to the medicine.
And then thirdly, the one that I mentioned last, which I think is one that might not have been talked about and that we have found in research, and again, I look forward to learning from the team is 50% of patients do drop off for both products in this space. And that can create quite a leaky bucket. So even if you're activating all these patients and 50% really drop off because they don't see an improvement even though the drug is slowing progression. We have now seen that in other therapeutic areas. And I think doing a lot of education around what that means in real world and producing some real-world evidence around it and making sure I did see they have data out now that does show the improvement for the 1.5 years in evidence that they just published. I think just making sure people know that information as well will be important.
But I do think when I look at both products, even in research, I can say vasculitis was an issue in the very beginning. We do believe that is now very rare. We also believe that when you look at market research with physicians, they're either neutral to positive. So Apellis has done an excellent job turning that around in the field. And so now it really comes down to who can go into those accounts and when and who can activate the patients. And so I'm sure Apellis already has a lot of great plans in place, and it's how do we partner with them to even give them more support than what they have today.
We'll take our next question from Salveen Richter of Goldman Sachs.
Just a follow-up on SYFOVRE here. When you look at the competitive dynamics from drugs that are currently in development, and we have some data coming up from Annexon as well as Regeneron. How do you think about risk of differentiation here when you were doing your competitive diligence?
Yes. This is Adam. I can take that question. So obviously, when we do any acquisition, we look at the competitive landscape. We look at data on all the potential opportunities out there. I think when you look at the two companies that you mentioned, they are early in development. They have still to read out their late-stage programs. There's a mixed data set in terms of the Phase II proof of concept, mixed endpoints and mixed modalities and mechanisms. So I think we'll await for those readouts. Obviously, as we think ahead, we have accounted for competitive entry into the SYFOVRE forecast. So I think we're comfortable with our assumptions.
We'll take our next question from Terence Flynn of Morgan Stanley.
I guess, Chris, just bigger picture, anything you've learned as an organization from the Reata transaction that you can apply here to this deal? And then can you give us any details about the actual size like in terms of headcount of the commercial team that you're adding both in nephrology and on the GA side?
Yes. I think, look, on Reata, we are clearly in a much stronger position having done that transaction than had we not done it. I would say if there was something that we didn't anticipate was we got the epidemiology right. I think the patient population that is there is actually a little older than what we expected. And it comes back to something that Alisha was talking about that when you're talking about a slowly progressive disease, the adult population is probably not as severe as the younger population. And therefore, the willingness to treat is not quite the same. So we actually do believe we're going to drive the value out of Reata.
I would say, as we looked at particularly SYFOVRE, we saw a lot of parallel with that. I think Alisha gave a terrific answer on that, that you're talking about a disease that's slowly progressing, you're again into essentially -- if I had to pick the best ones to market are always treat to cure. Here, we're treating to hopefully prevent a worse outcome, including blindness. And so you have to convince the patient that continuing treatment is going to be better longer term, but they may not see an immediate benefit. And so we spent quite a lot of time just making sure that we understood that dynamic on SYFOVRE.
And I think I would say, I think we all have to be realistic about how that is going to grow. I think there's a huge market, as Alisha said, but it's going to take quite a lot of effort to unlock that potential. There are some near-term catalysts on that. But I think where we see the real underappreciated value of Apellis is really EMPAVELI. I do think we feel a lot of more confidence in the growth of the kidney franchise and what's exciting to us is really we see a lot of experience and capability in Apellis that we don't have. And I think combining the two organizations will certainly make Biogen stronger and I think give us a whole lot more confidence in our ability to launch felzartamab with success.
We'll take our next question from Emily Field of Barclays.
I'll ask two. I guess the first one is, in the prepared remarks, you said that your forecast for the franchises are in line with consensus for the two products. But kind of putting together all of the commentary, it sounds like you might be above the street on EMPAVELI and below on SYFOVRE. So I was just wondering if maybe you could provide any color or context around that.
And then just on the accretion expected by 2027, I'm just trying to get a sense of kind of where this is coming from? Is this from rationalization of the R&D cost base at Apellis? Are you placing any value on anything in the pipeline there? Or is some of the synergy estimates coming from expected lower G&A investment on the Biogen side ahead of the felzartamab launch?
Well, just to start, I do think this is -- again, this is largely a U.S. opportunity and Alisha and her team have done a lot of work. But I would think you're right, we're probably slightly conservative compared to market forecasts on SYFOVRE. Although again, as Alisha said, I think we do see opportunities. It will -- I don't think we see a big inflection anytime soon, but we do believe in the long-term growth potential of this. So this is one where we'll have to invest with patients and thoughtfully, I think you have to really start with this patient by patient as opposed to looking at the 1.5 million and just assuming this is going to all come together. We are very encouraged by the kidney opportunity.
I'll turn it over -- just I didn't answer fully the last question. The commercial team at Apellis is about 350 people, and we haven't actually gone through a whole person-by-person analysis. But I think we are looking to try to retain as much talent as possible in that organization.
But I'll turn it over to Robin for the accretion story.
Yes. So your perspective on the revenue and the product mix is spot on with what we're thinking about. And then on a combined basis, that would be the mid- to high teens growth. And we do see an opportunity really beginning in 2027 to have this transaction be accretive in a meaningful way on a go-forward basis.
We'll take our next question from Paul Matteis of Stifel.
Great. When you guys did your diligence, what did you identify as the biggest risk to this deal long term? And what got you comfortable with that risk?
Yes, I think we've hit on a couple of themes. I think that we're very comfortable with the near-term number forecast that we have for the deal model, both for SYFOVRE and EMPAVELI. I would say in the long term, like every rare disease, there is a variance, a variability, a range of potential epidemiology here. I think we're very comfortable with the C3G epidemiology. We also know where those patients are, how they're activated, how they're treated, the overlap with felzartamab. There is probably more of a range on the IC-MPGN epidemiology. And so that does lead to a little bit more uncertainty at the very long back half of the forecast. But I think that we can really start to learn from the initial launch and how to activate those patients as we go.
On SYFOVRE, as we've mentioned, I think this is not a near-term inflection. But over the long term, we do see a large number of patients available and the variability in the forecast is how many of those patients can get activated and how many can stay on drug. So I think those are some of the drivers of the long-term forecasts.
We'll take our next question from Michael Yee of UBS.
Putting in the perspective, the premium and the valuation that was paid, can you talk a little bit about process and the competitive nature of the process and/or how you got comfortable with the premiums given a number of comps this year and just kind of talk through that a bit.
Yes. As you can imagine, Mike, we spent quite a lot of time on that. I think I can't really speak to the competitive nature. We'll have to wait for the disclosures. So I can't say anything about that.
What we can say is, I think two things. First of all, obviously, the premium looks high compared to the spot price. But we don't really think the spot price is the relevant measure for looking at valuation. As you know, again, and as I said before, the valuation really comes down to revenue forecast. And we have been working on this for over a year. And pretty much as we follow this, I think there's been a pretty strong continuity on what we think is the intrinsic value of the company, and we certainly feel comfortable about where we've ended up with the sale price.
There's also -- there has been a lot of macro pressure, as I said earlier, also on the short term and a lot of biotech companies. And so when you look at this on a 90-day VWAP basis, that's an 86% premium. That's still a good healthy premium. No question about it. It's about a 32% premium roughly?
35%.
35% premium to the 52-week high. But I think when you start looking again at the multiple of the price to revenue, revenue at peak revenue, the revenue at 3 years and 5 years, Obviously, the bankers have all of the comparables. We actually think that all of this is pretty comparable to other similar type transactions. What is most important is that at least in terms of our own forecast and for all that we know today, we do believe that we still have plenty of room to create shareholder value for Biogen.
We'll take our next question from Brian Abrahams of RBC Capital Markets.
This is Kevin on for Brian. Maybe can you talk a little bit about potentially other indications that you could maybe take EMPAVELI into? Apellis has initiated a few other studies. And then maybe in the context of also having an oral early-stage C5 antagonist, just how are you sort of positioning or how are you thinking about your positioning in the complement landscape going forward?
Priya, you could take that one.
Yes. Thanks for that question. We're looking at this very carefully. I mean I think Apellis has done a really nice job with both EMPAVELI and SYFOVRE. And we are very interested, as you know, in immunology. And that's actually a premise for how we approached this. So I think it's exactly right. We're looking at the mechanism of action. We're looking at the trials that they've already started. We're also looking at some of their early-stage products like the siRNA, and we're thinking very carefully through what would be the next best indications. But we're early in that evaluation. So we're continuing to look at this very carefully and remains a very important point that we will kind of continue to look at in the next several weeks and months.
We'll take our next question from Jay Olson of Oppenheimer.
Congrats on the deal. We definitely appreciate the value creation opportunity, especially with the synergies in your nephrology and immunology franchises. We're curious about what this deal implies for your strategic plans in neuroscience and the level of commitment to continue investing in neuroscience, especially with the timing of this deal in proximity to BIIB080 data and if there's anything to read across from that?
There's definitely nothing to read across on that. I think this has been a thoughtful strategic process now over the last 3 years. As you know, the company was pretty narrowly focused in neuroscience. And I think I was certainly pretty clear coming in that we remain committed to neuroscience, but that's a very hard area for a company to survive long term in if that's your only area of therapeutic focus. A lot of the neurological conditions don't have a strong scientific underpinning in terms of understanding causes of disease. Studies in this area are extremely long and extremely expensive. And so we sought to open the strategic aperture. And basically, immunology was a logical place for us to go because as I have always argued, MS is certainly a neuroscience, but it is also an autoimmune disease. And so we felt that we had enough immunology expertise to branch out into that. And really with the experience of launching SPINRAZA that we could get into rare diseases.
So today, I would say our focus is in neurology, immunology and rare diseases. Our commitment to Alzheimer's is extremely strong. And certainly, if we have a successful readout on BIIB080, that's going to be quite a significant investment for the company to bring that to market. We continue to invest significantly alongside our partner, Eisai, even today on, for instance, the AHEAD 3-45 study, really a seminal landmark study on the early treatment of presymptomatic patients. Our commitment to ALS is still very strong. I think Biogen is very proud of the fact that the whole neurofilament aspect of the biomarker really facilitates and accelerates the research into the dreaded disease of ALS.
And of course, we also have a strong investment alongside our partner, Denali in Parkinson's disease with the LRRK2 study, which will also read out. So I don't think anyone can say that we are abandoning that. It is one that is a very expensive, a very risky area, but I think it also corresponds to a lot of the capabilities of Biogen. But I think for the longer-term sustainable growth, we felt that we needed a broader platform. And as I say, immunology and rare makes sense. And to that end, I think the acquisition of Apellis fits exactly in with that strategy.
We'll take our next question from Chris Schott with JPMorgan.
Just a two-parter on EMPAVELI. Just to frame this out, can you just talk a little bit about where we are now in terms of penetration and where you think that can go over time as you think about the longer opportunity for the drug? And then maybe relative to felzartamab, how much infrastructure does Apellis provide relative to what you think you ultimately need? I'm just trying to get my hands around how far along does it get in terms of that kidney build-out.
Alisha, do you want to take that one?
I'll go ahead and take that one. So far for EMPAVELI, clearly, there's a significant patient need, and we are still early days into this launch. And based on what we've seen so far, the patient start form demand has been quite encouraging. We are excited about what Apellis has also achieved, and we look forward to having new colleagues join us in order to partner with them on the significant launch and also to look at how we start really building for felzartamab in parallel.
We're seeing early indicators that HCPs are prescribing EMPAVELI across several different patient types, including pediatric, adult, native kidney and post-transplant. So that's also quite a very significant early signal. And we also could see adoption of C3G happen somewhat a little bit more quickly than IC-MPGN, given that the primary IC-MPGN is somewhat hard to diagnose and less well recognized today.
And so in their penetration, I will say that when I look at this launch, as a rare disease launch versus my other rare disease launches, typically, you expect a big bolus in the beginning. And because this has very focused HCPs, we're seeing this be a nice linear growth. So it's not that you have one big bolus and then all of a sudden it goes away. We believe from the work that we've done prior to doing diligence and also through diligence that this product still has quite a long runway when you look at where they are today versus where they need to be. So it's early days. Not every focused physician has prescribed the product. There are 7,000 nephrologists, and we are seeing really a quite nice linear growth with start forms in the patient segments.
Now of course, early in launch, you do see where sort of you can call it low-hanging fruit, like the pediatrics, of course, they're going to have much more severe disease, and there'll be much more urgency to treat and also on the severe end. So the sort of bandwidth that you see is they went for peds and severe. We believe there's also quite a lot of moderate as well as we move through this launch. So again, I would say from what we know today, and we still have not met with the team that we would expect a linear growth.
And in terms of the capability and felzartamab launch?
Yes. So this is also very interesting. So first and foremost, hiring in nephrology is actually not so easy. It's a competitive space. And here we are with this acquisition of EMPAVELI, and we are hiring in individuals that have quite a bit of experience in nephrology. So a majority of EMPAVELI field team, both medical and sales were hired for the rare kidney launches, even though I know they start in PNH, and they have really good experience in that specialty.
Now when you look across how we sort of work this with felzartamab, the call points across C3G and IC-MPGN are not going to be identical for AMR. However, there is significant overlap as Chris and I believe Adam already alluded to. Since both C3G and primary IC-MPGN of recur post-transplant, EMPAVELI's customer audience includes both post-transplant nephrologists and general nephrologists. So as you know, AMR patients are treated in both of those settings, depending on how long it's been since their transplant. It also allows us to engage with this product in a broad range of physicians prior to launching felzartamab, much more meaningfully than what we would if we were just building for the launch today.
Now additionally, I know we talk a lot about AMR. But even with this team and what we know to be true about the capabilities that they have, we believe that every physician target for rare kidney will also be a key target for us when we get to the IgAN launch. And as you know, IgAN is going to be very competitive. So now that we will already build those relationships years in advance, we also see a great synergy for IgAN.
We'll take our next question from Evan Seigerman of BMO Capital Markets.
Congrats on the deal. Can you just remind us of the IP or exclusivity for both of the assets? And then I want to touch on the CVR structure. Can you walk us through how those sales levels were chosen for the CVR on payment? And really what needs to happen commercially to achieve those by the prescribed time frames?
Yes. So obviously, as part of our due diligence, we did very extensive look at the IP internally with external counsel. So I think we're very comfortable with the IP projections in the model. In terms of the CVR, so I would say that these are probably more aspirational sales tiers. I think it is reflective that we do see some outcomes that get us to very significant overall sales over time, as Chris alluded to. I think we can also say that in our base case model, we're not assuming we're going to get to these sales tiers. So this would be an opportunity above and beyond what we've currently forecast.
And obviously, if we were to pay $2 -- plus an additional $2 at these sales tiers, that's very significant additional value that will accumulate to Biogen and some of which will be shared with Apellis shareholders. So we like the mechanism. It's a way to set some ambition. And if we were in a position to pay those, then that would be a very significant value-creating event primarily for Biogen, but also for Apellis.
We'll take our next question from Andrew Tsai of Jefferies.
Congrats on the deal. Since you guys absorb the nephrology infrastructure from Apellis, could the readout time lines for felzartamab's various Phase III programs be accelerated or pulled forward? Or maybe speak to how fixed these data time lines are between 2027 and 2029. And is there a way this transaction can help also increase the product success for these programs as well?
Yes. I'll take the first -- this is Priya. I'll take the first part. So I think we're very excited about felzartamab and the first readout that we expect as early as 2027. So we think that, that remains on track. We're very excited about that. And then the follow-up indications as we've communicated previously. We do think that this, as I think, has been mentioned by folks already on the call that this could add to our probability of success in terms of building the infrastructure, meeting the nephrologists where they are, really getting the engagement from both medical as well as commercial on the already approved products that we bring in with Apellis, but then having the opportunity to engage with nephrologists in various call points. So yes, we do think that, that has a synergistic and additive impact.
We'll take our next question from Brian Skorney of Baird.
Just on SYFOVRE, I think we saw a mid-single-digit sequential decline in sales from '24 to '25. Can you just discuss the dynamics there, which is really just 3 years into the launch and why you think you have confidence it will rebound and grow? And it also just seems like the injectable eye drugs have been somewhat at mercy to Copay assistance program funding. Are you accounting for some contribution to good days in your cost analysis? Or do you see a way where ongoing Copay assistance program funding isn't critical to sales growth in this group?
Just I think if you look at analyst forecast, I think there is a general feeling on the market growth that this will increase. There's probably some short-term effects that have an effect on the 2025 sales. I can't really give any projections on SYFOVRE. Obviously, there is a feature of the charitable contributions here in that marketplace, but I can't really comment on that. I think you have to -- we're looking at this more on a longer-term basis. And as I said, we're probably slightly conservative to where the market forecasts are. But again, if you look at the number of patients, I think if we can get more patient activation and particularly increase the persistence on treatment, then there is an opportunity for this product to grow.
We'll take our next question from Jason Zemansky of Bank of America.
Congrats on the deal. Maybe Alisha, to follow up on some of your earlier points and connect some of the dots here. But especially regarding the build-out necessary in nephrology, fundamentally, does this deal require approval of felzartamab to work? And are you looking for additional assets in nephrology?
Well, I can say that we have calculated a revenue synergy for felzartamab, but that was not included in our valuation model. So for the deal to work, it does not require that felzartamab has to be approved.
We'll take our next question from Ami Fadia of Needham & Company.
This is Poorna on for Ami. How much do you think you will need to expand upon the sales force to support the launch of felzartamab? And separately, how critical are the initiatives you mentioned that Biogen could undertake to boost Apellis efforts to achieving the consensus forecast?
Ami, could you repeat your question? Maybe operator, just make sure we can hear her line again. It was hard to hear your question.
Yes. One second.
But how much do you think you would need to expand upon the existing sales force to support the launch of felzartamab? And next, how critical are the initiatives that you mentioned Biogen could undertake to boost Apellis' efforts to achieving these consensus forecast that you have generated?
So I can start with the field force. We're not going to know until we actually see who the current team is calling on. But I do want to just remind you that you have C3 and IC-MPGN on sort of the EMPAVELI side, and then you have completely different indications now on the felzartamab side. So we will look to see where there can be synergies in call points where it may make sense at certain accounts but they are going to be quite different launches.
And so we will need to make the decision at some point in time as to whether it's more efficient for a successful launch to have focused resources or if they need to be combined. But we could end up even in a hybrid space as well. I think for things like the medical teams, we're going to be looking at, does it make sense for MSLs to basically be able to talk about all of them in front of the nephrologists. And so those are things that still remain to be seen, and we won't know until we actually get to know the teams and understand where they're focused.
We'll take our next question from Myles Minter with William Blair.
Congrats on the deal. I want to talk about nephrology. I wanted to ask about ophthalmology and your appetite to do additional deals there. I know you've had a Nightstar acquisition on the gene therapy side, which didn't go in your favor. But now with the commercial product in the bag, just wondering whether you're going to start building a franchise around that.
It is true once you have a franchise, you could think about are there things that you can add on. I don't see us necessarily doing acquisitions on that front. I think we have looked at a number of licensing opportunities in early-stage research or early-stage development that we could develop alongside that. But that would be developed over time. But I don't necessarily see that we're going to go out shopping specifically to do that. But it's clearly a potential opportunity for us over time.
We'll take our last question from David Amsellem of Piper Sandler.
This is Naoki on for David. So this is another one on IP, but with composition of matter expiring around 2032 to '33, can you talk to more details on your diligence surrounding additional IP and your confidence in the lengthy exclusivity runway to the late 2030s or more and articulate other potential barriers to generic entry?
Yes. So obviously, you have the filed IP. You also add patent term extensions to that. And then there is an entire patent portfolio that Apellis have got granted issued patents on that include formulations and methods of use. So we looked at the entire patent portfolio and made our assumptions on the appropriate loss of exclusivity and also the erosion curves post loss of exclusivity. So we feel comfortable we've done the appropriate due diligence and can see how the patent estate will unfold.
Well, thanks, Adam. Appreciate your time today, everybody. And if you've got additional questions, just reach out to the IR team at Biogen. Thanks again.
Thank you, everybody.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Biogen — Biogen Inc., Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. - M&A Call
Biogen — Biogen Inc., Apellis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. - M&A Call
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Deal: Biogen bietet $41 pro Apellis‑Aktie (~$5,6 Mrd. Bar) plus Contingent Value Rights (CVR) an; Abschluss erwartet im Q2 2026.
- Strategie: Akquisition erweitert Biogen von reiner Neurologie in Immunologie und Nephrologie und bringt zwei kommerzielle Produkte: SYFOVRE (Geographic Atrophy, GA) und EMPAVELI (PNH und seltene Nierenerkrankungen).
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Portfolio: SYFOVRE (GA) und EMPAVELI (PNH; C3 Glomerulopathy, C3G; immune‑complex MPGN, IC‑MPGN) liefern Near‑term‑Umsatz und ergänzen Biogens Pipeline für Launch‑Kapazitäten.
- Nephrologie: Apellis bringt eine etablierte Nephrologie‑Infrastruktur (≈350 kommerzielle Mitarbeiter) und erlaubt schnelleres Hochfahren für felzartamab‑Launch.
- Finanzierung: Finanzierung über Barmittel, revolver und Term‑Loan; erwartete Zins-/Opportunitätskosten ~ $120–130 Mio in 2026 und 2027; Rückzahlung der Schulden bis Ende 2027 geplant.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Preis & Struktur: $41/Aktie (~$5,6 Mrd. upfront) plus gestaffelte CVR‑Zahlungen an Apellis‑Aktionäre bei Erreichen bestimmter globaler SYFOVRE‑Umsatzschwellen.
- Timing & Wirkung: Biogen erwartet, dass die Kombination ab 2027 zunehmend accretive wird und die non‑GAAP EPS‑CAGR bis 2030 erhöht.
- Guidance‑Update: Biogen kündigt an, die FY‑2026‑Guidance beim Q1‑Ergebnis zu aktualisieren.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Marktrisiken: Relevante Debatten zu Wettbewerbsdruck in GA (andere Mechanismen in Entwicklung) und zu Diagnostik/Aktivierung als Haupthürden für Penetration.
- Uptake & Persistenz: Management nennt drop‑off‑Raten (~50%) als zentrales Problem; Patient‑Aktivierung, Retention und Erstattung (Medicare, Copay‑Programme) sind entscheidend.
- Bewertung & IP: Diskussion um Premium zur Marktpreisbasis; Composition‑of‑Matter‑Patente laufen ~2032–33, Biogen nennt ergänzende Formulierungs‑/Use‑Patente und Patentverlängerungen als Schutzfaktoren.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Wertung: Deal diversifiziert Biogen, liefert sofortige kommerzielle Erlöse und beschleunigt Nephrologie‑Fähigkeiten für felzartamab; finanziell aus Sicht Managements handhabbar (Deleveraging bis Ende 2027, accretive ab 2027). Risiken bleiben: SYFOVRE‑Marktdurchdringung, Epidemiologie‑Unsicherheiten bei IC‑MPGN, CVR‑Erreichbarkeit und Integrationsleistung.
Biogen — Stifel 2026 Virtual CNS Forum
1. Question Answer
Great. Thanks very much. This is going to be an interesting 45-minute discussion on a number of topics within the Biogen pipeline. With me is Diana Gallagher, Head of Clinical Development; and Stephanie Fradette, Head of the Neuromuscular Development Unit. Maybe just you can each of you just sort of briefly introduce yourselves, how long you've been at Biogen, and then we can get right into it. I think I wanted to start with maybe talking about tau, but we can cover a lot of stuff. So Diana, do you want to go first?
Sure. Thanks for having us, Paul. So my name is Diana Gallagher. I have several of the therapeutic areas of Biogen, so the Alzheimer's, the MS and the immunology portfolios, and I've been at Biogen almost 11 years this month, yes.
Awesome.
And Steph Fradette, again, thank you. Thank you for having us. I lead our neuromuscular development unit, and I've essentially been at Biogen for the last 16 years, believe it or not, and really focused on our neuromuscular efforts for over the past decade.
Okay. Awesome. All right. Well, great to talk to you both of you, and thank you both for taking the time. So yes, so I'm super interested in this tau readout. I have followed this space for a while. We were always somewhat skeptical on the antibody approach. And it feels like the oligo approach is super interesting, not just because you can knock it down at the source, but also because your PET data shows there may be actually like a clearance mechanism for existing tau.
So super, super interesting. I feel like the question though, that everyone has when they look at this target and think about the amyloid experience is the whole correlation first causation question. So maybe just to like walk through the evidence for why tau is a disease driver and not just a correlate. What do we know about tau's role in the disease process? And again, what is out there that sort of suggests that you can actually modify the disease by reducing levels of tau in the brain?
Yes. Thanks for the question. I mean we feel quite confident that tau is an important target in Alzheimer's. It is 1 of the 2 pathological hallmarks of the disease. And the emergence of tau pathology really coincides even more closely than amyloid prevalence with the coincident cognitive decline. So there are lots of theories about how this works, but the idea that the amyloid comes in and deposits and then the tau is being sort of uncaged and moving through the brain, very coincident with cognitive decline and they're sort of working in parallel is a hypothesis that is out there and one which we're really interested by.
It is, as you noted, a hypothesis that needs to be tested. And we think that the baby is a really interesting way to test that hypothesis to establish for the first time, proof of concept, right? Because the antibodies, as you mentioned, have not been able -- they've really been targeting the extracellular tau, but we believe that the best way to fully test the hypothesis to really shut down all the isoforms and see what happens. And we've been able admittedly a small 1b to sort of show evidence that the ASO approach, the MAPT ASO can do that.
We see it knockdown in the CSF. We see the signal on the tau PET. And now the CELIA trial is designed to say, okay, if we do that, we do it for a period of time over 18 months, what does that look like on clinical endpoints? So highly innovative space and hopefully begin to answer the questions about that relationship between clinical endpoints and manipulating tau.
Yes. Okay. Great. Maybe talk about like the safety of the approach, not just like the data you've seen so far, obviously, like I think is the most important. But on a theoretical level, like what do we know about the role of tau in adult brains? Like I think a lot of the literature in tau describes it as like maybe one quote I found was an integral cytoskeletal protein. Like is it critical in the brain? Like do we know that? What have you seen so far? And like what are the theoretical risks, if any?
Right. So yes, I think that tau does perform critical functions related to structural integrity of neurons. And so it's never been our sort of idea that we would knock it out completely. Genomic data, however, suggests that up to 50% reduction in tau may be associated with really no gross neurological effects. So we feel like we've targeted a degree of knockdown, which is sufficient to test the hypothesis and manage safety.
Of course, we acknowledge there's still questions there, which is why we're testing different doses and different dosing paradigms in that to really establish the safety and tolerability, that PK/PD relationship and then ultimately with efficacy. So we're definitely trying to explore lots of different elements in the CELIA study, including safety and tolerability for MAPT ASO...
Okay. But like right now, you feel fairly comfortable about the safety of like 60% knockdown, for example?
Yes, yes. I mean I think that's on the range of what we saw in the Ib study in the CSF. And so of course, we're continuously surveilling and monitoring how the patients are doing in the trial. And so we have not only the main trial, but a long-term open-label extension. And so yes, we continue as planned. And then, of course, it's ultimately that relationship between efficacy that we are waiting to read out.
Yes. Okay. As it relates to tau reduction and like how much reduction we need, I remember like intimately well, the analysis you guys laid out of the aducanumab Phase IIIs, right, and how getting to that much bigger amyloid reduction was really the difference between having meaningful efficacy or not. In the context of that, like do we think that this level of tau lowering is enough? Like is there anything we can point to? And also, how do we know that maybe the tau lowering you're seeing with IT delivery is in the right areas of the brain. So maybe you could sort of speak to both of those points.
Sure. I'll take the second one first, which is, are we hitting in the right regions. And so that has been something and was a big point of the Ib to -- which wasn't sort of designed to look at clinical efficacy, but really was designed to look at CSF and then examine on tau PET. And so we were able to see in the Ib reductions in tau PET across multiple areas of the brain that we believe are relevant, and that's in the public domain.
Happy to send it back over if folks are interested. But we do feel like we're having nice engagement there, both in the CSF and on the tau PET studies. Again, the question becomes, to your point, the second question, we don't know, and that's one of the things why this is such an exciting, interesting, but really still pioneering study to say, okay, now how hard, how much, how long and how does that translate into efficacy? And so that's something in this -- as we read out top line from CELIA will help us start to piece together.
Yes. Yes. Okay. Makes sense. Maybe talk a little bit about the study itself. And do you feel like this study is well powered to elucidate an efficacy signal? Like what would be the hurdle for success?
Yes. So we think about this as a true proof-of-concept study that's going to allow us to sort of, as you said, understand the safety and the tolerability, look at the target engagement, both in the CSF and on the imaging studies and then look at the 2 different dosing paradigms and their relationship to clinical endpoints. So it is out to 18 months with CDR sum of boxes, very -- as well as multiple other cognitive endpoints that we're studying.
So we feel like we'll be able to understand those relationships that would allow us to decide how, when, if it makes sense to move to the next trial. But there definitely will need to be additional evidence. This is a proof-of-concept study. And so our expectation is we'll need to continue to study this to further frame out that relationship between dose and clinical effect as well as an expanded safety database and all the things you need to do for a registrational novel entity in a disease like this.
Of course. Yes, of course. Maybe to clarify for people listening, like is the thought -- obviously, the thought would be you'd need another like big Phase III. But is the thought that this is a robust study where like the decision you make is going to be a p-value-driven decision? Or is it more of a qualitative whole picture decision? Does that make sense?
It does make sense. And I think we really are thinking about this as a proof-of-concept study for internal decision-making that allows us to determine how we want to move forward with the asset. It is not sort of intended to -- and it would be part of a submission and supportive, but it's not intended to be something that we can use in the absence of other confirmatory data. So we feel like to help us figure out key questions, safety, tolerability, dose dosing paradigm, it's positioned well for that. But again, as we said, we're trying to answer a lot of questions in a field that no one's ever sort of been able to engage the target this robustly. So we'll know more as we start to pull down the data and see.
Yes, fair enough. Okay. You guys are evaluating every 3 months and every 6 months. Do you think every 6 months is going to be enough to get there? Maybe talk about like the modeling work you've done or any data you have that I guess you have some durability data that supports this dose. I feel like that's obviously super important given the logistical challenges to uptake that IT administration could bring.
Right. Yes, it's a great question. And just again, coming back to it, as you sort of alluded to, we're first trying to understand this relationship between how much you need to engage the target, the extent which you need to engage it to see clinical efficacy. And then that's even an additional question for what the durability of that sort of looks like. So this was really designed over 18 months with the sort of continuous dosing in these 2 paradigms to allow us to see, is there a difference?
And we do have the open-label extension data as well, which can help us inform what continuous sort of looking at the target, knocking down the target looks like. And we'll have to start to see if there's differentiation, if there's separation between those doses, what that separation looks like from a PK/PD, but then is there any different clinical endpoints, I think will allow us to sort of determine what the rationale for dose selection would need to be in a future study.
Yes. Okay. Can I ask a question just like maybe this is a little bit of like a naive question. But when you think about like tau PET and what tau PET is telling you about happening in the brain versus like the p-tau assays we have, like 181 and 217, obviously, ones in the plasma, but like are those getting at the same change in the underlying subtypes of tau? Or could they be telling us like sort of different things about what's happening in the brain?
Yes, I think it's a great question. And I think we're still sort of understanding the relationship between the peripheral biomarkers and how much they're reflecting amyloid and tau sort of burden. So we feel like the reason we're looking at the CSF and we're looking at the tau PET is to really see in the organ of interest being the brain, really characterizing that pharmacodynamic activity and understanding that pathology as best we can, neuropathology with imaging, what that looks like on clinical endpoints.
And then it took a long time to get there with amyloid therapies, sort of understanding ultimately the relationship between centiloid reduction and clinical endpoints and how we're bridging that back to plasma-based biomarkers. I think we're still at the earlier part of that journey, but hopefully, we'll get there, but we really are relying on the CSF and the imaging. And then we'll continue to augment, of course, with the blood-based biomarkers.
Right. Okay. Okay. Chris Viehbacher has talked about Biogen having a backup non-IT administered tau pipeline asset. At a session I hosted with him and some investors, he talked about like that being a super important part of the strategy here and sort of making sure that, that was lined up ahead of this data readout in this chance that this is positive that you can move forward with something like that. What else can you say about this candidate you guys have in your pipeline? And if this Phase II study is positive, like how ready to go is this asset?
Yes. I think just as you said, taking a step back, Chris articulated it, and I'll just reinforce that as a company, we're very focused on sort of answering these questions and improving the patient experience across our portfolio. So this is really exciting what we're doing and assessing here with BIIB080, but we are also working on next-gen platforms across different tissue types, including the CNS. And they are preclinical programs. So we're not able to say too much more at this point, but hopefully can share more in the future, but it's definitely a big focus for us as we think about not just do we get the right target and bring it to the right patients, but are we doing it in a way that is the best modality and the most convenient and efficacious way for them.
Okay. Can you -- are you able to answer if this would be something like that's with the same ASO, but like a conjugate or if it would be like a different candidate entirely?
Yes. I think we'll share more data as we move it further in the pipeline. Yes.
Okay. Okay. All right. We'll have to wait and see. All right. Well, in the meantime, I want to talk about one more Alzheimer's topic and then maybe we can ask you, Steph some questions on the muscle side. But on Alzheimer's, right, there's obviously also a ton of anticipation around the presymptomatic studies, and we'll get the TB3 readout likely before the AHEAD 3-45 readout.
So I think one of the major questions of TB3 hopefully is positive, right, is sort of what is the implied read-through onto the lecanemab presymptomatic study. So maybe talk about the design of your trial, like the thought process behind patient selection. And when we get the data from Lilly, what -- how will you interpret the read-throughs on to the probability of success for your own trial?
Right. So we definitely are interested and see the potential for anti-amyloid therapies in presymptomatic Alzheimer's as a significant opportunity and feel like the AHEAD 3-45 study is really well positioned to answer the question on early intervention. This collaboration with Eisai on this trial is really designed to study a broad spectrum of truly presymptomatic patients. So just to sort of walk through it, the AHEAD 3-45 is looking at patients with an amyloid burden greater than 40 centiloids and is trying to determine if LEQEMBI can prevent cognitive decline in these "low plaque level patients," right?
So clinically don't have evidence of cognitive decline, but definitely have the presence of amyloid at this level. And it's using a validated endpoint, the PACC-5, which has demonstrated sensitivity to detect cognitive changes in patients like this. So different than CBR Sum of Boxes, and we're hopeful that we'll be able -- because detecting that treatment effect, even though we're going out 4 years, it is a more nuanced in early disease and with progression being slow, but still happening, we want to be able to detect that.
So that allows us to look at that sort of low amyloid level. And then we have AHEAD 3-45, which is even lower, so 20 to 30 centiloids and looking at further accumulation of plaque. So really can we sort of attenuate accumulation. And then if we can attenuate accumulation in AHEAD 3-45, then we start to say, hey, we're looking at both amyloid accumulation at low levels as well as preventing cognitive decline. It's a pretty powerful data set to bring to bear about what an anti-amyloid therapy can do in this presymptomatic group over 4 years.
So it takes a lot of data to see what's possible here. So it's a big investment. I think TB3 is designed differently, but also really interesting. It has, based on what we can see in the public domain, a little bit more of a skew towards sort of presymptomatic or kind of right sort of at that tipping point, not quite as early as ours. So I think we'll be answering different questions. If it works, first of all, great for patients and families who feel like -- and Steph and I go to meetings all the time where people, particularly with familial forms are like, I want -- I know what's happening, like I want to get on a therapy.
This is like a ticking time bomb. So I think this allows us -- that will be good, but it won't answer quite the scope and the breadth that TB3. So positive readout, I think, reads through. "negative" we have to examine and then also say, hey, we have a different data set, possibly different endpoints as well as different inclusion criteria. So we feel like that's a really robust study to answer the questions we've designed.
Yes. Okay. That's great. So we saw a 30% disease slowing about in the early MCI population for lecanemab and donanemab. And obviously, that varies a little bit based on the cut. But how are you thinking about what a realistic effect size might be in presymptomatic? Like what's the evidence for this to be a bigger effect? And have you powered the study assuming a bigger effect? Like what's your confidence level there?
Yes. You're right in the sense that supported by Phase III data from a low and no tau group, which suggests like the earlier you go in disease, you might see a bigger treatment effect. And of course, no one's ever designed it exactly like we've designed AHEAD 3-45. So you have different burdens of amyloid and it's going to be impossible to make it -- we literally can't compare like sort of presymptomatic and symptomatic of what's going to happen. We have to run the trial. But we do see in the low and no tau subgroups, so in the populations that we feel like are earlier in disease progression in the long-term extension, 70% of patients have had no cognitive decline and 50% of patients have shown even some improvement at the -- versus baseline at 4 years with continuous lecanemab.
So again, we'll have to test it in the AHEAD 3-45, but it's this idea coming from the open-label extensions and other supportive data that the earlier you go, the more likely you could be to see a more dramatic attenuation or even holy grail. So we'll see it when we see prevention of cognitive decline. So we can only extrapolate from that existing data and look at the slightly earlier groups, but they're not -- I don't want to say they're comparable to how early AHEAD 3-45 is.
Yes. Okay. Okay. I guess with TB3 is being set up as being event-driven, it's maybe like more intuitive that they could make a claim around like a relative risk reduction on the proportion of patients that progress to like a more clinical Alzheimer's phenotype. Would you -- if the AHEAD 3-45 is positive, would you be able to make the same type of claim or the same types of like data cuts that would be obviously helpful from like a marketing and digestibility perspective?
Yes. I think it's a great question. It's -- we'll obviously look at all the data that they generate, and we are also collecting a really extensive amount of both biomarker as well as clinical data. So I think -- and we will have different subsets of patients in all the way from the sort of above 40 and then down to that 20 to 30. So I think that that's possible. And we will have 4 years of data, which will be a pretty robust set of analysis to look at. So I don't want to speculate before we see anything, but I think we're very happy with the way we've designed it, which allows us to characterize the treatment effect.
Okay. Okay. And that data is 2028, correct?
Yes.
Okay. Okay. Maybe last question on Alzheimer's, but just from like a logistical and treatment capacity perspective, I think the cynical view on presymptomatic is something like it's been super challenging to even get to a high treatment rate of the symptomatic population, right? Like is the world even ready to start trying to treat presymptomatic patients from both a bandwidth perspective, a diagnosis perspective, like an insurance perspective? Like what would you say to that? Like how do you think about this as sort of an addressable commercial opportunity from a pragmatic perspective?
Yes, it's a great question. And I think what's exciting is the world is changing, and we're seeing it happen like even in real time. So there are key enablers that are going to need to be implemented for that to happen. And I think you're starting to see what would they be blood-based biomarkers, diagnostics will be important, right, to make a diagnosis. Even in regions where there's a lot of access to neurologists as well as imaging studies, it still takes time for patients to sort of move through the funnel.
And so the majority of neurologists are using blood tests now to at least -- they're starting to get comfortable with them and then go to confirmatory imaging studies. And we start to see like how comfortable people will get with that? Can they get comfortable with blood-based biomarkers alone as a move, we're starting to imagine a scenario where that could happen. There may even be a scenario where it starts to amyloid testing at or after a certain age will become part of a panel, right? You start to look at what's your accumulation over time look like in conjunction with other potential risk factors that you have and sort of monitoring you for that.
And the more data we collect and understand in natural history studies, the more comfort we will gain around time to intervention. So I think that diagnostic piece is really huge. We know even in the AHEAD 3-45 study by implementing blood-based biomarkers as a screening event before confirmatory imaging, you reduce by 50% the screen fill rate. So it is feasible. And then the subcu would be the other part that a route of administration for at-home use will also be. And sort of -- I think those are factors that may allow primary care doctors to play a bigger role because we can't load this all on to the neurology community. We need an easier way to sort of make the path easier for PCPs too.
Right. Okay. All makes sense. Great. All right, Steph, thanks for being patient here. But I appreciate you joining. So yes, I mean, obviously, a topical time for your group as well with salanersen and high-dose SPINRAZA. Do you want to maybe just kind of level set and talk about some of the MDA presentations for salanersen, and then we can talk more about sort of positioning and next steps there?
Absolutely. So just to take a quick step back, salanersen is an investigational ASO. It was designed with novel ASO chemistry that's really designed to increase potency. And that allows us to target optimization of efficacy, but doing so with once yearly dosing, which is obviously a huge advancement for the field if successful. And we were able to present data from our Phase Ib study. I get a lot of questions about why did we design this Phase Ib study the way that we did.
Obviously, designing a Phase I study for an investigational therapy in a landscape that's relatively crowded and has effective therapies available, we had to make choices. So this particular study was designed or run in individuals that had received gene therapy, and they had received that gene therapy at least 6 months prior to enrollment in the trial, and they were perceived to have suboptimal clinical status for their investigator.
And so there was clear clinical evidence for unmet need, the potential for additional efficacy. This, of course, wasn't a powered efficacy study. We really were focused on looking at safety, pharmacokinetics and then looking at both biomarker and clinical outcomes in a more of an exploratory way. And so the study enrolled 2 age groups, 6-month to 2-year olds and a 2- to 12-year-old cohort, and we looked at 2 different doses. So we looked at both a 40-milligram and an 80-milligram dose. And so really a number of different cohorts there and the total end was 24. And sort of the new news that we presented last week was that we now had at least a year of follow-up in all 24 of those participants.
And so we were able to sort of take away a couple of different things. First and foremost, both the 40- and 80-milligram doses were considered generally well tolerated and both plausible for moving forward into Phase III. Of course, we were looking again at pharmacokinetics across those doses. But interestingly, we've learned quite a bit, perhaps more than we even expected with regards to the biomarker and clinical outcome data. We saw that consistent with the fact that these individuals had suboptimal clinical status, they also had elevated neurofilament levels. So in the good majority of these patients, they came in with levels of neurofilament that exceeded what we would expect both in an untreated and treated population of SMA.
And so again, consistent with sort of the active neurodegeneration that we'd be expecting in this population. And once we were able to initiate salanersen, we were able to bring those levels down rapidly and sustain those reduced levels of neurofilament over time. And then on the clinical outcome side, again, we're -- it's a heterogeneous population, but what we're seeing is in many of these cases, these infants and children, I should say, we really wouldn't be expecting to see continued improvement or attainment of novel new WHO milestones because in some cases, they had been, for example, 5 years out from receiving gene therapy.
And once salanersen was initiated in these children, in many cases, they were able to actually achieve a new milestone. And so taking a step back, this gives us confidence that salanersen has the potential to be a differentiated therapy in the SMA landscape and gives us a lot of confidence in moving ahead with these Phase III studies, it really has informed the design of these Phase III trials, and we're looking forward to getting them off the ground.
Okay. Great. At this point, do you think salanersen is clearly more effective than SPINRAZA or even high-dose SPINRAZA? Or is that -- is the jury still out there? Like obviously, once annual is a huge advantage unto itself, but how are you thinking about the other piece of the puzzle?
Yes. And to that point, the goal of salanersen, of course, less frequent dosing is important, but we can't sacrifice efficacy. Efficacy is front and center in the minds of clinicians and families in the SMA world right now. And so while I can't say anything definitively, we haven't run a direct head-to-head experiment, -- what I will say is it's designed to achieve concentrations and efficacy consistent with the high-dose SPINRAZA. So we're really trying to maximize efficacy while also spreading out that dosing interval with this program. So we have more to learn in the Phase III setting, but I think the early signals tell us that it's doing something unique and time will tell.
Okay. Do you want to talk about the design of that Phase III study? And I guess the SMA -- the world has really changed a lot since the SPINRAZA pivotal studies were conducted. So I guess maybe talk about the design and then like when that study reads out, like is it going to be clearly comparable where we're going to be able to answer the question around similar or better efficacy than the standard of care?
Yes. So there are 3 Phase III studies that we've announced and provided detail on over the last week. The heart of all of this is the pivotal. So it's the STELLAR-1 study. This is a trial that we're conducting in treatment-naive presymptomatic infants with 2 or 3 SMN2 copies. And what we're basically looking at is are they able to achieve key milestones, so sitting in the 2 copy population and walking in the 3 copy population within normal development time lines. And so we're really trying to -- this is a study that we will look to, to establish salanersen's sort of effectiveness as a monotherapy.
We are also running a supportive STELLAR-2 study, and this study will enroll individuals that received gene therapy pre-symptomatically. And 6 months later, they're randomized to either receive salanersen or sham controlled. And so again, here, it's different than what we did in Phase I, where these patients had over evidence of suboptimal clinical status here irrespective of that. we're going to be able to look to see if you are initiating salanersen in that population, what's happening. And putting those 2 studies together, we'll be able to look at monotherapy salanersen relative to monotherapy gene therapy relative to the initiation of gene therapy followed by salanersen in a presymptomatic population.
So this is really important as we think about the future sort of future treatment decisions for the incident population in particular. And then on the other side of the coin, we have a study called SOLAR, that's going to be conducted in teens and adults. And this is a study that will enroll both treatment-naive and risdiplam-treated individuals, 60 treatment naive, 30 that are switching over from risdiplam, though I will say after spending the week with the SMA community, both at MDA and SMA Europe last week, we're getting a lot of push to increase the size of that risdiplam treated cohort.
There's a lot of excitement about understanding that specific population. And so that will help us understand, again, the other -- the broad spectrum of SMA individuals both treated, untreated and across the different age groups and phenotypes to really help us understand the positioning of salanersen in the future landscape.
Yes. Okay. Okay. Got it. Makes sense. So then maybe in the context of this, do you want to talk about the high-dose SPINRAZA program? And just in general, like how does that fit into the -- not just the treatment paradigm in kind of the near to midterm, but like the overall portfolio that you're building over the long term in SMA?
Yes. So I would say that we're lucky with SPINRAZA because it's the only therapy that has the opportunity to optimize -- that we have the opportunity to optimize, I should say. And so we started the development of this high-dose regimen several years ago. And really, this is our step into a next era of treatment in SMA. I think we're just now as a field coming around to the fact that while the first generation of therapies has done a tremendous amount, it's completely changed the trajectory of SMA, there's still a great deal of unmet need.
And while treating an infant pre-symptomatically may allow that infant to walk, which is -- was completely unheard of 10 years ago when we were having conversations, their gate may not be and in many cases, is not normal. And so we know that there's clear unmet need. We know that there's an urgency to treat. We hear a lot of clinicians say, I don't want to look back 10 years from now and wish that I had done something different. We know we only get one pool of motor neurons for life, and we're sort of consolidating all of the tools that we have that tell us about the health of those motor neurons so that we can act today to try to achieve better outcomes tomorrow and high-dose SPINRAZA is a huge part of that.
And so we're working to try to get high-dose SPINRAZA to people living with SMA around the world. And then ultimately, we would anticipate that many of those individuals would choose to transition over to salanersen if and when it is approved and available.
Yes. Okay. Great. All right. Well, maybe in the last 10 minutes or here, we can just cover the litifilimab readout and maybe a quick other question on on DAPI and Felza. But starting with the litifilimab data, which is coming soon, Diana. So maybe I'll just -- I'll ask you like a total weighted question and hear your response. So I think on the investor community, there's like people have become just inured with how challenging lupus can be and how you can have these Phase II data sets that look promising and then the Phase III doesn't replicate.
And I think in the context of that, when I get questions from investors on liifatelimab, it's like it looks like the drug is active, but the p-values are not 0.01, they're kind of closer and then the endpoint in the Phase III has changed. And so just in like the backdrop of that, maybe help us make sense of the Phase II data and like how confident can we be going into this Phase III study? Like is this the kind of study you feel like this is fairly derisked and like we understand it's overpowered? Or are we still in that gray zone where we're trying to fully prove out that this drug works as well as we hope?
Sure. Great questions. And I think it kind of falls into 2 different pieces, like asset and then sort of lupus drug development and execution. So maybe I'll sort of start from the asset standpoint. We know that manipulating -- BDCA2 is a better target. It's a homegrown molecule. We've been very interested in it for a long time. Like it's been -- we have a deep understanding of this mechanism and manipulating that PDC biology, all the way from a skin study, 1b, really beautiful heavy biomarker 1b study that we did.
Then that gave us the confidence to move into the proof-of-concept studies, which are the back-to-back papers in New England. And there, we were really -- and it's been methodical all along the way, right? And there, we're really showing on the SLE side, what impact does this formerly BIIB059 or now litifilimab, what does litifilimab do on skin and joint effects in patients with lupus and so you saw that their reduction in tender swollen joints as well as improvement on multiple skin metrics as well as SRI-4.
So that was a proof-of-concept study. It was not designed or powered to be as big as what you'll need to do for a Phase III study, but it gave us the confidence to move into a Phase III study. And remember, we're doing 2 Phase III studies. So we're going from that proof-of-concept study to then power 2, 540 patients each on SLE trials. So definitely the ability to answer the question with the replicate SLE studies powered for SRI-4 I think we feel good about. It did require and as it should to go from POC to Phase III, really expanding that.
And then as you say, people have POC and they go to Phase III, what do you do differently? And I think, first of all, right target, which we feel like we have. Second, right patients. You really have to rigorously look at those inclusion/exclusion criteria and make sure you're putting the right patients in. Lupus is a complicated, really heterogeneous disease. And so really...
So how do you do that to try to homogenize the population?
Yes. I think it's about looking at ensuring patients who have active disease activity despite standard of care, right? So you really don't want the mildest form like early tiny bit of rash. Are we really sure they have lupus to begin with. We really have worked very hard to get the right patient population in there. And then it's diligent, diligent execution. I mean running global -- we've learned a lot in the past decade ourselves as well as the field, what it takes to run global trials, the level of adjudication that it's required, the level of training at multiple sites to help ensure that we're sort of enrolling the right patients and then collecting the data really judiciously.
So I would just say we feel the Phase II results were in both SLE and CLE quite robust, allowing us to make this decision to go forward in CLE. So just let me say one thing about SLE. I wouldn't -- I don't think of it as changing the endpoint because the POC wasn't powered or designed to hit on SRI-4 but we collected SRI-4 and that is the primary in the replicate Phase IIIs. And in CLE, it's that CLASI endpoint, and that's something we worked incredibly hard on looking at those effect sizes.
You see it in the New England paper, and we're about to share new data on the Phase II portion of the AMETHYST CLE trial. So we're also in that Phase II/III for CLE as a late breaker at AAD at the end of this month. So again, this idea, are we manipulating the biology with litifilimab, we feel like we are. And so we're excited to hopefully get registrational data at the end of this year on SLE and followed by CLE. So, I hope that helps.
Okay. Great. No, that was awesome. Okay. Fantastic. I'm going to go quick...
DAPI, I can jump to that quickly. I mean their first Phase III, one of like only the third positive Phase IIIs that we've seen in SLE. I think there's a lot of -- we didn't see the dose response in an -- like the way the dose response in the Phase II, but we learned from that DAPI Phase II adjusted in Phase III, executed against Phase III, hit the primary endpoint as well as have multiple evidence of supporting data of what matters to patients beyond BICLA or SRI-4, which are these composite endpoints, but we saw meaningful tapering of steroids.
We saw reduction in flares. We saw fatigue, improvements in fatigue, which really, really is important to patients. They deal with a lot in lupus, but if you ask them what are -- like what's one of the most debilitating symptoms, they say this just absolutely profound fatigue. So seeing that consolidated effect by manipulating CD40 biology suggests to us we're really having significant multisystem impact in lupus with the CD40 pathway.
Yes. Okay. Great. And for CD40, like can you talk a little bit about there's this sort of safety history here with, I believe, a subtly different approach. Remind me if it's either receptor or ligand, but like what's the context there? And what's your level of confidence that the TI for DAPI is wide and you're not going to run into this?
Yes. So you're right. Historically, the first generation of the CD40 ligand molecules were the -- they had an Fc Fab fragment that was believed to be the causal for platelet activation and aggregation, which led to clots and thrombosis and negative events. So this -- our DAPI is designed specifically and engineered with an Fc free Fab fragment. And so that was always top of mind for us, particularly because lupus patients do have increased risk of clotting just as part of their underlying disease biology.
And so we engineered that completely out. And so it's a heavily PEGylated molecule that allows us with the Fc-free Fab fragment. And based on the safety and tolerability that we've seen so far, here is quite differentiated from first gen, in terms of any risks of that clotting above and beyond what is endogenous to the disease.
Okay. Okay. Great. I still have a list of a few other things I wanted to ask, but I'll just kick one last one, Felza. Three indications, right, that you talked about AMR, IgAN, PMN. How would you rank order where you're most enthusiastic, not just in terms of probability of success, but probability of having like a truly differentiated product in an area of unmet need?
Yes. So I think you're right. One fun thing about Felza with and immunology in general when you go after is a pipeline and a product. And so I think we're excited about multiple aspects. As you said, we see that antibody-mediated rejection as a really exciting and interesting sort of sea change for patients who are immediately go through, have renal failure, then end up getting a transplant, then have their transplant rejecting, sometimes pretty within 6 months. And so that proof-of-concept data that we generated where you basically initiate the therapy and you can see this profound -- you're already an antibody-mediated rejection and we can resolve that is really pretty exciting.
And that's an opportunity that's probably underappreciated, 11,000 patients in the U.S. who have AMR 6 months after a transplant, and we saw 80% resolution at 6 months in the Phase II. So obviously, we're in the Phase III. We need to sort of replicate that, but that's quite exciting. And then in terms of other drivers, you're right, the opportunity in IgAN is also, I think, really exciting. We have the potential to bring a differentiated approach where you sort of come upfront with this therapy and then you potentially have these holidays, which, again, is really meaningful for patients to have these opportunity.
Patients always want as much medicine as they need and no more. Sort of fix me and then can I get a break. And so that's a really interesting paradigm shift there for IgAN. We know it's a crowded space, but there's a lot of unmet need. And then, of course, membranous is another really debilitating condition. So if we can bring something, particularly if people after first line need to go to another one, I think it's exciting. So it's all 3, each for different reasons. But I would say that having 3 Phase IIIs with this asset positions us really nicely to move forward.
Yes. Okay. Great. Well, I know we could have talked about a lot more, but I really appreciate you all taking the time, and we got through a lot of topics and interesting details. So thank you so much, and thanks, everyone, for dialing in and listening.
Thank you, Paul.
Thanks, Paul, for having us.
Great.
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Biogen — Stifel 2026 Virtual CNS Forum
📊 Kernbotschaft
- Kurzfassung: Biogen liefert ein breites Pipeline-Update: Tau‑ASO (BIIB080) zeigt Liquor‑ und Tau‑PET‑Engagement; CELIA ist ein 18‑monatiges Proof‑of‑Concept. AHEAD 3‑45 (lecanemab) läuft für präsymptomatische Prävention (Daten 2028). SMA‑ASO salanersen zeigt 1‑Jahres‑Signale; Phase‑III‑Pläne sind angekündigt. Weitere Programme: litifilimab (Lupus), DAPI (CD40) und Felza (Nieren/AMR).
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Tau (BIIB080): Antisense‑Oligonukleotid (ASO) reduziert MAPT in Liquor und signalisiert Tau‑PET‑Abnahme; CELIA soll Sicherheit, Dosisparadigmen und klinische Signale über 18 Monate klären.
- Alzheimer Prävention: AHEAD 3‑45 testet lecanemab in sehr frühen Amyloid‑Stadien mit PACC‑5 (Preclinical Alzheimer Cognitive Composite‑5) als Endpunkt; Screening mit Blut‑Biomarkern reduziert Fehlselektion.
- SMA‑Strategie: Salanersen (einmal jährlich) zeigte Neurofilament‑Senkung und neue Meilensteine; drei Phase‑III‑Studien (STELLAR‑1/2, SOLAR) sollen Positionierung gegenüber high‑dose SPINRAZA klären.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Konkretes Update: Phase‑Ib‑Follow‑up zu salanersen (≥1 Jahr) mit biomarker‑ und klinischen Signalen; detaillierte Phase‑III‑Designs veröffentlicht. CELIA und litifilimab sind in registrierenden Programmen; AHEAD‑Datenzeitpunkt 2028. Keine Änderungen an Finanz‑Guidance genannt.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Tau‑Safety: Wie viel Reduktion ist sicher (Diskussion um ~50–60% Knockdown) und welche neuronalen Funktionen werden beeinträchtigt? Management verweist auf Monitoring und OLE (Open‑Label‑Extension).
- Dosis & Logistik: Nachhaltigkeit der Wirkung bei IT‑(intrathekaler) Applikation, optimale Intervallwahl (3 vs. 6 Monate) und kommerzielle Umsetzbarkeit; Biogen arbeitet an nicht‑IT Backup‑Programmen.
- Read‑throughs: Wie TB3/Lilly‑Resultate auf AHEAD bzw. lecanemab‑Prävention gelesen werden können; Management betont unterschiedliche Populationen und Endpunkte, daher nur begrenzte direkte Übertragbarkeit.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Das Event bestätigt Biogens diversifizierte klinische Pipeline mit mehreren binären, wertrelevanten Readouts (CELIA, AHEAD, salanersen, litifilimab/DAPI, Felza). Hohe Upside‑Chancen bestehen, doch viele Programme sind noch im PoC/registrierenden Stadium – Kernthema bleibt klinische Replikation und regulatorische/operationale Execution.
Biogen — Leerink Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
We're good. Okay. All right. Let's start back. Thank you, everybody, for joining us for our next session. We -- I'm Marc Goodman, one of the biopharma analysts at Leerink Partners, and we have Biogen next. And very interesting, Head of West Coast Hub, Uptal Patel. I'll let him give a little bit of background of how we got to the company and how this West Coast Hub has been started, but very interesting for the company to do that through this acquisition that you'll hear about. And obviously, a very interesting asset that we're going to go through all the different indications and stuff. But I do think maybe just for 60 seconds, just give your background and how the West Coast Hub is like what does it look like and how it's evolved, what the goals are?
Sure. Well, my name is Uptal Patel, as Marc mentioned. Thanks for having us, and we'll be making some forward-looking statements. So just the usual disclaimers to look at the risks in our SEC filings because those results might end up differing materially if I talk about any future risks. So I'm a nephrologist. I was in Academia, took a career detour into industry to try to develop new treatments for people with kidney disease and joined a company a few years ago called HI-Bio or Human Immunology Biosciences, that was really focused on developing targeted immune therapies for severe unmet needs.
And they had licensed a molecule, felzartamab, from a German company called MorphoSys that had started proof-of-concept studies in 3 different indications. All of those read out positively, and we were looking to advance them into Phase III and get this to patients. And Biogen was a wonderful partner that emerged, aligned with our vision of advancing all of these and saw the broader potential potentially for this targeted anti-CD38 approach and decided to build a unit around it, around the original HI-Bio team that formed in South San Francisco that gave Biogen a connection to the West Coast that they had lost, but the IDEC campus years ago, allowed us to retain some of that start-up feel and act quickly.
And in the past year, we launched those 3 Phase III studies. And so we were 40, 45 people initially. We've hired over 100 people and establishing a bigger team as well while we pick on new programs. There's also a connection to the research unit that Biogen has been evolving, with its new focus in immunology that goes back many decades, but a more dedicated one with the pipeline that is bicoastal. So part of the research team sits in the West Coast as well as the East Coast.
Thank you. So you mentioned felzartamab as the key asset. I don't know if you mentioned the name, but that's the name that you got. Let's talk about that product. Let's talk about the different indications. What was the first indication that was the most obvious?
The most was actually primary membranous nephropathy. That's a quintessential autoantibody-driven disease. 80% of people with that have an autoantibody that's very specific to a specific protein on the podocyte, one of these cells in the kidney that helps form the filtration barrier. And that's to a protein called PLA2R. So anti-PLA2R positive membranous nephropathy was an indication where we had a few different proof-of-concept studies. They were our initial readouts, and we were very excited about moving that forward, but investors actually didn't like the 2-year endpoint that was required.
This was during a tough funding environment. We still believe in it and have advanced that program to Phase III, see it as an important opportunity. But what kind of stepped in front was antibody media rejection, some really compelling results from our Phase II proof-of-concept study in AMR, kind of put that as the lead indication, and that indeed is the one where we'll have the data readout most early.
So should we start with AMR?
Sure.
Go through that, and then we'll come back to that one. But that was the idea. That was the engine. Okay. So let's go through AMR, talk about...
Yes. So AMR stands for antibody-mediated rejection. It's a complication in people who receive kidney transplants. It is one of the leading causes of late kidney transplant loss. Once people develop it, over 75% will lose their grafts within a matter of years. The median time to graft failure is about 2 years. Classically, it was believed to be caused by donor-specific antibodies. So antibodies that the host develops against the recipient's organ. And -- but there was evidence that anti-CD38 approaches could work and a group of investigators approached MorphoSys, asked to be supported for an investigator-initiated trial, and they ran that trial in 22 people at 2 sites in Europe.
And it was a small study, but very well done by 2 key investigators who had been part of the AMR trials for the prior few decades, knew what they were looking for. All of those other proof-of-concept studies were 20 to 40 patients of similar size. And they designed it very well to include serial biopsy samples. They had AMR diagnosed prior to inclusion at 6 months and 1 year. It was a 1:1 randomized trial where people were dosed with felzartamab. They were randomized to that arm for about 5 months, our 9-dose regimen given over 5 months. The biopsy assessment at 6 months sort of shortly after stopping that course of therapy was the primary endpoint.
And that showed dramatic reversal of AMR by histology. And that's a diagnosis that is defined by some criteria called the Banff Classification criteria for rejection. And the key score in it is a component called the Microvascular Information Score, which scores the inflammation around the vessels of the glomeruli and the peritubular capillaries. And what we saw in that small Phase II was that not only did over 80% of people have reversal by histology, but over 2/3 of the participants treated with felza had scores that went down to 0, and that had never been seen in the field before. So they knew that this therapy was potentially transformative, and we quickly tried to get that moving forward into a Phase III, which is now being run and look forward to sharing updates on that.
Yes, let's talk through. So what is the design of it?
So the Phase III design is larger, 120 patients. It's global, mostly Europe, North America, South America, Australia and New Zealand. And people will be randomized to felzartamab or placebo. And similar design, biopsy is necessary at inclusion. Primary endpoint is at 6 months and people will be followed to 1 year. Same dosing regimen for the first 6 months for felzartamab. But what we saw in the Phase II is that the AMR activity came back in those who had therapy that was stopped. And so we're going to continue dosing into the second 6 months for those originally randomized to felzartamab. And because of the overwhelming efficacy we saw in the Phase II, the people on placebo will cross over to active therapy at 6 months. And so that was really important because dropouts have been an important part of these trials. We didn't want to.
And you want to make sure they actually want to be...
We want to make sure patients stay and complete the study.
Yes. Interesting. Okay. And -- so the study is just...
The study is enrolling well.
Enrolling well.
We'll share updates as we get to the end of that. That will allow us to start the 1-year clock and -- but we expect to have a primary top line readout next year, with filing next year.
Right. So sometime next year. Give us a sense of the market for this indication. What does it look like?
So in the U.S., where we have very good data, there's about 300,000 people plus who have -- who are living with a kidney transplant and somewhere around 23,000 people have AMR. And the group -- the subset of those that meet the criteria for this trial that are generally -- have had the transplant for at least 6 months, have donor-specific antibodies that are positive, is about 11,000 people. And we know that pretty well because this is a population that's followed very closely, and there's routine monitoring. People usually don't drop out of care. So it's 11,000 people roughly in the U.S. alone.
Okay. And this can be -- well, first of all, this one study should presumably be enough for an approval?
Correct. So we have breakthrough designation, orphan designation and have the ability to interact with the agency.
And how do the other regulatory agencies around the world feel about this?
Similarly excited. So we are...
But this should be good enough for the Europeans. It should be good enough for the Japanese as well, just as far as...
Yes. We're not running the trial in Japan. The transplantation programs are a little different there, but...
Europe.
Europe, for sure.
But yes, Japan might make you do something with their own patients, right? They like to do that.
Yes, that's okay because we have data in Japanese participants from our IgAN study, so we can do that. Transplantation is a little different. They don't do as much [indiscernible] kidney transplantation where the rates of AMR are higher.
I see. So the market is just completely...
So the numbers of people who are living with a kidney transplant are much smaller.
Right. Okay. So it's 11,000 that are right now and is that a growing?
That's a growing number. So there's over 100,000 people on the waitlist for kidney transplant. It is the preferred treatment for kidney failure. People can survive on dialysis, but the 5-year survival is 20%. So people don't do well on dialysis versus transplantation can prolong life to almost near age equivalent. So that will continue to grow.
So what's the competition look like? What's the standard of care, what are people doing?
So the standard of care is really anchored on this idea that this older idea that donor-specific antibodies drive the disease. And so nothing is approved, but people have essentially developed a routine of trying to extract the antibodies through plasmapheresis or interfere with their activity through administering routine scheduled intravenous immunoglobulin. Neither of those are really effective in reversing AMR, but it's all people have. So they're sort of -- they're used in practice.
And I think the evolution will be now that there's a potential therapy like a targeted therapy like CD38, that will change. The other therapies in the pipeline are really focused around complement. So there's a C1s inhibitor. There's -- Alexion has their own targeted complement inhibitor. But these are -- these, we think, are downstream from the pathogenesis of AMR, where targeted CD38 therapies deplete not only the autoantibody-producing cells or the alloantibody-producing cells in this case, but they also remove natural killer cells, which also express CD38 and are the drivers of this disease. And that's sort of a newly recognized part of the pathogenesis that our studies helped elucidate.
So we're going to talk about the other indications in a second. But when you think about them, is this the indication that has the least amount of so-called competition, probably?
I think so.
The one where you're probably the leader if it executes on the study.
We believe so. The other studies that are out there are in Phase II. And so us being in Phase III, I think we've got a good lead.
Yes. And they're complement inhibitors, too. So completely different.
Completely different.
Technology. Interesting. And the pricing for this product?
So we haven't gone into details about it, but just if you took a back of the envelope calculation, current IgAN pricing as an analog for a rare kidney indication, somewhere north of $200,000, just approximately you could do the math, but essentially, for an indication with a defined population of 11,000 people, that's over a $2 billion market. Like you said...
You get half of them, you've got a $1 billion indication.
Exactly. And the goal is to continue to suppress the AMR activity in those who we can treat, the prevalent patients we can treat and there'll be new incident patients along the way.
Yes. So just to say to me, like this seems like the one where you can check the box and feel the best about the opportunity in addition to it's probably going to work.
Yes. And what we're really excited about is what we hear from patients and clinicians. It really has restored hope for a lot of people, losing an allograft once you've got this lease on life that helps you avoid dialysis is devastating for patients. So we're very excited about that.
Good. Okay. So that's AMR. Where do we go next? IgAN?
Well, before we leave AMR, we'll talk about MVI rule.
Yes, yes, let's do that.
That's...
I like that indication.
A newer recognized indication. It stands for Microvascular Inflammation. And again, with the Nature Medicine paper we published last year based on the Phase II studies, we showed that NK cells were directly responsible for this AMR pathogenesis. And MVI is a newer entity where the donor-specific antibodies are negative. They can be negative for a variety of reasons. They haven't met the threshold yet of being positive. It's earlier in the phase of developing full-blown AMR with DSA positivity. And a really nice epidemiologic study was published late 2024 in the New England Journal that was from a number of international registries, and they looked at the outcomes of people who have this MVI, which was identified with an updated classification of that Banff criteria that I mentioned.
The 2022 classification included specific criteria for this group of patients because there was growing recognition that their outcomes were almost as bad. And that's what this very nice EPI study showed that they have graft loss rates almost as bad as DSA-positive AMR. The size of that population in the U.S. is about 5,000 patients. So again, the opportunity to have an impact in a large number of people.
And so the plan is what...
So the plan is we started a Phase II study. We've enrolled the first participant this month. Very excited about that. It's going to be at the same centers that we're running the Phase III. So we've got some synergies and efficiencies there. And that's a Phase II study that will potentially be registrational enabling that we're excited about.
It could be pivotal. Interesting. And so how many patients did you say in that study?
That one has 81 patients.
Okay. The other one was like 120...
100.
Slightly smaller.
Slightly smaller.
Okay. Very good. And the pricing on this indication would mesh with the other indication, you think?
Yes. So AMR, we expect that people will require ongoing dosing. And so that's sort of the context for AMR. IgAN, which is probably the next indication we can talk about a little different, larger population, a lot of other therapies and some competition. But what we saw in our Phase II IGNAZ study that was published, the people who received the 9-dose course over 5 months then didn't require -- didn't -- weren't given treatment again through 2 years, and they had durable efficacy from the 9-month assessment of reduction in proteinuria all the way out to 2 years off treatment. And that provides a really compelling additional therapeutic opportunity for patients. The pathogenesis makes sense. So rather than suppressing the maturation of the B cells into these professional antibody-producing cells, the plasma cells, plasma blasts, felzartamab depletes them. And so it gets rid of them entirely until they reform either from maturing from memory B cells or there's a new activation of that person's disease that puts them there.
So let's talk about IgAN a little bit. So what kind of proof of concept do you have so far?
So the Phase II study was a modestly small, so 54 participants across 4 dosing arms and an additional Japanese cohort. So the 4 doses were placebo, 2 doses over 2 weeks, 5 doses over 2 months and 9 doses over 5 months. And then a Japanese cohort that got the 9-dose regimen was followed up to only 1 year. But the other participants, we have 2-year data on. And when we look at the results, what we see is, again, about a 50% reduction, placebo-adjusted reduction in proteinuria, which is on par with the other therapies that are out there with durable effects out to 2 years, no suggestion that they're going to increase.
We saw a very good safety. We saw a pattern of immunoglobulin decrease that's different than some of the other therapies out there. We see modest drops in immunoglobulin G, total IgG with return to normal a few months after dosing. So that gave us confidence that in the long term, this could be really potentially differentiated. We have the ability to not treat chronically. We don't interfere with the earlier B cells. So we also showed during our Phase II study that was run during COVID that people would mount the normal immune response to COVID vaccinations, for example. And this is important because some -- there's obviously all sorts of risk that people might be susceptible to with chronic therapy.
So talk about the competitive market, what's it look like?
I think there's 3 buckets of therapies out there. The first is sort of the foundational class of therapies that really treats the injury that exists. So there are CKD therapies that generically will help minimize the decline in kidney function, but not be disease-modifying. So that's the SGLT2 inhibitors, ERAs, MRAs on top of ACE inhibitors. The next group is a group of therapies that can help treat active inflammation driven by complement. So complement gets activated because of immune complex deposition in the kidneys. Those immune complexes are formed by the galactose-deficient IgA1 that is the hallmark of the disease and the autoantibodies to it that plug up the kidney filtering units and cause inflammation.
But if you stop the production of those abnormal antibodies and the autoantibodies, then you presumably will have fewer immune complexes and potentially not have the need for a complement inhibitor. So that's the benefit of the last group of therapies, the ones that essentially are probably disease-modifying that include the APRIL BAFFs as well as the CD38 therapies. In the APRIL BAFFs, there's a lot of them. They have different features and -- but they're all looking to have about the same efficacy and safety, but they require chronic administration as soon as you stop dosing them. It's very clear that within 3 to 4 months, you have a return of your proteinuria and other markers of active disease.
Interesting. Okay. All right. So the Phase III...
Phase III is underway.
Underway.
Global study going very well. I think that helps us see the enthusiasm and opportunity that patients have.
And it's the same endpoint, just remind us.
So yes, similar design as all the others. So randomization, 1:1, felzartamab 9 doses over placebo. People followed out to 2 years with a 9-month interim analysis based on proteinuria. We also have a small subcohort of people with lower levels of kidney function that we're interested in studying. Those people have GFRs between 20 and 30.
Got it. Okay. Good. Next indication should we...
Next, we'll go back to PMN.
I was going to say let's go back to the start. Yes, let's go over.
So Primary Membranous Nephropathy, again, quintessential autoantibody-driven disease. And what we saw in our Phase I/II proof-of-concept studies was that the 9-dose regimen of felza rapidly depleted this pathogenic autoantibody, PLA2R. The population we studied were high risk, so they had high levels of this autoantibody. And then that led to kind of a deepening over time even past the interval of therapy. And so that, again, consistent with this idea that if you deplete the cells that are causing the disease, you can get durable efficacy.
We did see heterogeneity there, and we did see some people have return of the pathogenic autoantibody close to 1 year. And so our Phase III design, we took some lessons from the data we had, which was only up to 1 year. And we have essentially a trial that includes 180 participants randomized to felzartamab or active treatment tacrolimus, and we'll talk about where that fits in the constellation of available therapies. And people who received felzartamab will get the 9-dose course over 5 months at the beginning of year 1 and then again, at the beginning of year 2. And the approvable endpoint in this space is complete remission at 2 years.
The available therapy, so today, there's nothing approved, but there's sort of 3 different therapies that people generally cycle through. The first is anti-CD20s wherever they're available. And those do work in a large number of people, but 20% to 40% of people don't respond initially to therapy and then about 30% actually relapse after maybe an initial response. So that probably reflects the biology that these plasma cells and plasma blasts that produce these pathogenic autoantibodies don't express CD20. And so that fits with this idea that there's really a need for something that actually gets that population of cells. The other therapy that people can respond to is tacrolimus or calcineurin inhibitor, which works through immune and non-immune mechanisms to reduce the proteinuria. But it can't be given too long. Otherwise, it can cause some kidney injury, and so that's a real downside for that therapy. And then the last that generally works, but it can be quite toxic is cyclophosphamide, essentially an antichemotherapeutic agent.
And give us a sense of the size of this population.
So in the U.S., about 36,000 people. So it's sizable. There's, I think, room to sort of say it might make sense in a world where there are available generics for CD20s to see if people respond to that. And then felzartamab, what we've shown is that people who either relapse or don't respond can respond to an anti-CD38. The other patient group upfront that we think could really benefit are those that are really high risk. So people with very high PLA2R titers generally have been unresponsive to anti-CD20 therapy. And so there's this, I think, still a good proportion of patients that would benefit from a targeted CD38.
I didn't ask you, but the other population, the IgAN -- I mean that's over 100,000 patients population.
In the U.S. estimate, you'll see different numbers, but at least 130,000.
Yes. I forgot to ask you, but I think everybody knows that's a really big one. So okay, good. What are some other indications besides those that you're looking?
Yes. So one -- a couple of things that we're working on is we recognize felzartamab in the format that we inherited it, is an IV formulation. We're working on generating a subcu format to optimize patient convenience and get this to as many patients as it might benefit. We don't want that to be a limitation. The other is that I think we really believe in this target and are working on a next-generation anti-CD38 as well. And the goal for that is that it really would help us expand beyond this initial set of indications.
You and I previously have spoken about how the original people who developed this molecule as well as the HI-Bio team that licensed it recognize that over time, out of desperation, a lot of clinicians have used anti-CD38 therapies that are available for myeloma off-label to treat very challenging patients with autoimmune diseases. And so there's an entire series of autoantibody-driven diseases that there's case reports or controlled trials for using available anti-CD38s off-label to show essentially proof of concept, some safety and kind of gives us a road map for other indications where there may be an opportunity.
Like what? Like what do you think?
There's a number of dermatologic, neurologic, rheumatologic disorders. And yes, we're planning to actually start 2 POCs this year in a few additional indications and look forward to sharing that when we get it.
Still don't want to talk about it yet. Okay. Fair enough. What else? What else should we talk about in the last 3 minutes? We kind of went through all of that. What else is kind of happening at the West Coast Hub? And what other areas are you involved in?
Yes, working very closely with the research team and thinking of ways that anti-CD38 might be paired either in combinations or sequential therapy for some of the new immunology indications we're going after. So there's a lot of work there and working with them closely to help build out our immunology portfolio that's becoming quite exciting.
Are you involved like with the lupus studies as well?
We're not directly involved. We've got enough stuff to do. We -- although we've grown as a team, we're still much smaller than the development team that has been working on this for a very long time. And yes, they're...
I was just thinking any of these overlap with that at all?
No.
Partially. I mean, they all seem a little different.
Yes. No, quite different. So I think the one thing to recognize is that the -- people might say, well, you're looking at a lot of different indications, how are you going to get this to patients? What's the commercial build going to be like? I think if we just take AMR first, there's roughly 250 transplant centers in the U.S. But really, most of the patients, probably north of 80% are followed at 50 to 100 of those centers. So that's not an unreasonable place to start. And many of those centers are specialized centers that also have the type of specialized glomerular disease clinics where difficult to treat IgAN patients and PMN patients are going to be.
So it provides a nice foundation to build out further. As we think about the rare kidney indications, IgAN, PMN, there's about 10,000 nephrologists in the U.S., probably 5,000 are actively treating people with glomerular disease. But what's happening in the space is that because of a number of new therapies in development, the community is recognizing there probably needs to be glomerular disease centers of excellence, which might sort of shrink that number even further by the time we get to the launches of IgAN and PMN.
Interesting. And that's happening kind of behind the scenes right now.
That's happening in the community organically because you want clinicians who are comfortable helping patients get on the best therapy for them. And if you don't use these therapies enough, you may not be familiar with some of the advantages or disadvantages.
Yes, there's been a lot of consolidation in the doctors' practices of nephrology. I've seen a lot of private equity kind of roll up a lot of industries. I didn't know if nephrology was one of them.
Nephrology is trifurcated. There's kidney transplant specialists. There's just general CKD docs take care of patients inpatient or outpatient. And then there's some who focus on dialysis. And then there's obviously people who wear all 3 hats or 2 of the 3 or 1 of the 3. And there's been -- obviously, there's always been large consolidation on the dialysis side. 80% of the market is controlled by 2 groups.
Certainly on the dialysis.
But on the provider side, generally, there are larger practices. There's strength in numbers. And because of that, a lot of these larger practices will identify one or a few people to focus on glomerular disease, for example.
Yes. Good. Anything in our last 30 seconds that we didn't hit on that you want to say or.
No. Thanks for the update.
Yes. Good. No, it's great. Thank you. Thanks for the overview and very exciting. I mean that's a product with what we do, 4 indications.
4 indications and adding.
And 2 coming.
Yes.
So, who knows, it's the next dupi. Right?
Chris would love to hear that.
All right. You tell them that. Thank you.
Thanks a lot.
Yes. I appreciate it.
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Biogen — Leerink Global Healthcare Conference 2026
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Takeaway: Biogen baut mit der Übernahme des HI‑Bio‑Teams ein West‑Coast‑Hub und fokussiert auf felzartamab, einen anti‑CD38‑Antikörper. Leadindikation ist AMR (antibody‑mediated rejection, antikörpervermittelte Transplantatabstoßung) mit Phase‑III‑Programm; parallel laufen Prüfungen in IgAN (IgA‑Nephropathie) und PMN (primäre membranöse Nephropathie).
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- AMR‑Programm: Phase III global, n≈120, primärer Endpunkt Biopsie bei 6 Monaten; Placebo‑Crossover bei 6 Monaten und verlängerte Fortführung für Initial‑Behandelte, Top‑Line‑Ergebnis erwartet im nächsten Jahr.
- IgAN & PMN: IgAN: Phase‑III‑Studie mit 9‑Monate‑Interim basierend auf positiven Phase‑II‑Daten (dauerhafte Proteinurie‑Reduktion). PMN: Phase‑III (n≈180) vs. Tacrolimus; Felzartamab‑Kurse in Jahr 1 und 2 geplant.
- Plattform‑Pläne: Entwicklung einer subkutanen Formulierung und Next‑Gen‑anti‑CD38; kommerzieller Roll‑out konzentriert auf 50–100 führende Transplant‑/Glomeruluszentren.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Zeithorizont: AMR Top‑Line und mögliche Zulassungseinreichung im nächsten Jahr; MVI (Microvascular Inflammation) Phase‑II gestartet (n=81) als potenziell registrierende Studie.
- Marktgrößen: USA‑Schätzungen: AMR‑Target ≈11.000 Patienten, PMN ≈36.000, IgAN ≥130.000; Preisanalogien deuten auf hohe Einzel‑Jahrespreise (>~$200k) in seltenen Nierenindikationen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Wettbewerb: Nachfrage zu Komplement‑Inhibitoren vs. CD38‑Ansatz; Biogen positioniert felzartamab als früher im Pathway wirkend und potenziell differenziert.
- Regulatorik & Evidenz: Management meint ein einzelnes gut kontrolliertes Phase‑III‑Ergebnis könne für Zulassungen ausreichen (Breakthrough/Orphan vorhanden).
- Offene Punkte: Keine konkreten Preis‑ oder Launch‑Pläne genannt; Japan‑spezifische Anforderungen und Langzeit‑Durabilität bleiben zu klären.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Felzartamab könnte bei positivem AMR‑Readout ein erstes zielgerichtetes Therapiekonzept gegen transplantatbezogene Antikörper‑Pathologie liefern und Biogen in seltenen Nierenindikationen signifikanten Umsatz eröffnen; entscheidend sind die anstehenden Phase‑III‑Ergebnisse, Langzeit‑Wirksamkeit und die kommerzielle Umsetzung.
Biogen — TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference
1. Question Answer
Good morning, and welcome to TD Cowen's 46th Annual Healthcare Conference. I'm Phil Nadeau, one of the Biotech analysts here at Cowen, and it's my pleasure to moderate a fireside chat with Chris Viehbacher, CEO of Biogen. Chris, could you give us your vision for Biogen over the next 5 years? How is it going to create shareholder value?
So good morning, everybody. And Phil, I just want to thank you and Cowen for always holding the conference here in Boston. Given the temps outside it's too bad, we don't actually have a real fire for this fireside chat. So it's an exciting year for Biogen. We have been on a journey to rebuild the company, expand its portfolio, its areas of focus. And just even in the last year, we've been adding meaningfully to our late-stage pipeline such that we now have 10 Phase III programs in the pipe. The first of which will start to read out this year. And then sequentially, every calendar year, we'll be turning over cards until now -- from now to the end of the decade. So that means inside, we're busy also preparing for launches, getting prelaunch activity, building up medical affairs.
And One of the things I'm actually quite proud of is that we actually have dramatically expanded the pipeline and yet we still are spending 25% less on R&D than we did 3 years ago. So I think we've also seen a significant impact on productivity within the company. We still maintain a lot of the financial discipline. We've been able to draw resources from other parts of the company to invest in, for instance, all our prelaunch activities. And now some of the focus is really on reloading the early-stage pipeline because we're very happy with where we are in the late-stage pipeline, but now is the time to really be building up the preclinical and early clinical development pipeline. So I think we're in a good spot to start a whole new era of growth over the coming years.
And may be focusing on growth. You've guided to revenue decline by a mid-single-digit percentage in 2026. I think investors, therefore, are keenly focused on when revenue could return to growth. Can you talk about when that could happen? Do you think you currently have the right product portfolio and pipeline to drive growth? Do you need external assets or success internally?
Yes. So in some ways, Biogen is, there's two Biogens, right? There's a new Biogen that is already growing pretty sustainably. And that's with all our growth products, the 4 we launched in the last 3 years as LEQEMBI, QALSODY and ZURZUVAE and SKYCLARYS, plus we're also still heavily investing in SPINRAZA and VUMERITY. And those products actually outpaced the decline of our MS portfolio over the last couple of years. And that's the other Biogen. Obviously, we have a whole legacy portfolio that is facing ever-increasing competition. But I think we've been able to really manage the decline pretty substantially.
So the new Biogen will continue to grow with all those products have runway into the next decade and what I think then starts to accentuate that growth are these new product launches coming along. So if we get positive results on lupus, Felzartamab coming along, we've got the successor to SPINRAZA with salanersen coming along. We've got Zorevunersen in Dravet syndrome coming out. So there's a lot of things coming along. And I think we also have a number of new catalysts in LEQEMBI. So I think we would look to see coming out of the end of this year and into next year, potentially some increased sales escalation of LEQEMBI.
We will discuss LEQEMBI but maybe before getting to that business development. So Biogen has been quite active over the last couple of years. Can you talk about Biogen's current thinking on business development? What's the appetite for doing deals? How big of a deal could you do and what therapeutic areas?
If you think about Biogen, there's if you want to replace $1 billion of after-tax profit, it's going to cost you about $15 billion to $20 billion. That's more than Biogen can do. So for us, we had to be quite careful about how we do M&A. I mean, I think the first thing you always want to do is get your own house in order. M&A should never be just the only plank in your strategy. And that's why we focused an awful lot on thinking about what therapeutic areas did we want to be in. We had been a purely neuroscience driven company. That was really the most risky area you could be in, in research and development, not to mention the most capital intensive. So thinking about expanding our research and development portfolio getting the pipeline full and part of that has been with some of the BD that we've been doing.
And now I think if we're -- as we look at M&A, we're looking at what could actually accentuate that? What could we actually do that fits with the narrative of the company that perhaps gets us into certain therapeutic areas faster that could add to cash flow. But we don't really want to look at things that are going to launch in '28, '29 because I've got a lot of that stuff already. So I think what we're looking at is something that is early stage in its launch trajectory, something that's probably at least got Phase III results or extremely high conviction in Phase III and of course, you got to spend a lot of time and have a lot of patience for that because there's just not that many assets out there that you can acquire that still also drive shareholder value.
Focusing on LEQEMBI, maybe to set the table, where would you -- how would you characterize the launch today? Where is it in its various markets? And how could it evolve?
So I'll tell you, I've been in this business for 35 years. This is by far the most complex launch I've ever seen, largely because this has represented such a departure for the prescriber community in terms of how their work practice operates. This has been a major change in how they have to help patients. The neurologist isn't used to having to go and negotiate for infusion beds, thinking about the MRIs at a regular frequency, the website to get patients registered. So a lot of physicians, first and foremost, had to think about the care pathway, potentially hiring people in the office, where they going to get reimbursed?
And I think one of the early things that was a win was actually reimbursement has almost never been a problem in this space. Whether it's the PET scans, the MRIs, the diagnostics. So that gave physicians already a lot of confidence. And the second thing they were worried about was the ARIA. There was this perception that, well, was there really that much efficacy and now we have ARIA to deal with. And I think one of the things that we've also seen is that physicians are still obviously appropriately concerned about ARIA, but they feel a lot more confident that they know how to deal with it.
Remember that most ARIAs is asymptomatic. And once they realize they don't really have to do anything but monitor patients. That has really changed physician attitudes as well. I think one of the other things that we've seen is the perception of efficacy has changed. CDR Sum of Boxes is just not used in neurology practices. So what they are seeing are people who are having actually visible benefits from efficacy. We're talking about the priest who could suddenly -- who retired and was able to come back 6 months later and preach an Easter sermon. You're talking about people who can suddenly drive that we're able to infusion centers to the women who looked in the mirror and could remember her name for the first time in the year. So these sorts of things are what really matter to the physicians.
Now in the meantime, what we've also been doing behind the scenes is how do we make that care pathway easier for physicians. And you've got the blood-based diagnostics. Now we have the first ones approved. And that has two major benefits. One is there are 13,000 neurologists roughly. And today, about half of them are actually prescribing in Alzheimer's because not all neurologists had Alzheimer's patients in their practice. But there are 500,000 patients newly diagnosed with Alzheimer's every year. So you can do the math pretty quickly to figure out it's going to be hard to get an appointment with a neurologist.
And at the start 50% of those patients who are getting those appointments were too far advanced in their disease to be eligible for treatment. With the advent of the blood-based diagnostics, there is some triage that's now occurring, particularly primary care. Several hundred thousand tests were sold alone last year by the LabCorps and the Quest of this world. And so that yield is now up to 70%.
The other benefit that we see is that physicians will, we think, will progressively stop doing the PET scans or lumbar punctures to validate the diagnosis. That was also a major step. I mean a PET scan, if you haven't ever done one is a hugely invasive and lengthy procedure and costs a lot of money. So then the next thing is the infusion beds. Well, one of the things that we could do was introduce a subcutaneous formulation. So we first got the maintenance therapy, which means people who are coming at the end of the 18-month amyloid removal process, want to stay on therapy. So we stepped them down to once monthly infusion. So that was already easier than every 2 weeks.
Then last year, we got the approval for the subcutaneous form for infusion -- for maintenance. And this year, we've now had a priority review, and we expect to have on May 24, if all goes well, an approval for the subcutaneous in the induction. So at that point now, physicians have a choice between continuing with the infusions or having the at-home pens. And so all of these things are starting to make life easier for the physician. We have also started now the patient education through direct-to-consumer advertising because we've actually seen as we look at our prescriber details, we saw a number of physicians who are sort of treating one patient. And when we went and found them, we discovered that most of those were patients who had come in and asked for the treatment.
And so now what we're trying to do is go deep with those prescribers and get more patients actually asking for it. And because it is a burden for the physician to actually go and do but as said, now that we're making it easier and we're getting more patients asking for it. All of that should really start to come together over the course of this year, and hopefully, we'll see the benefits of that going into next year.
To drill down on the subcu initiation regimen in its impact. You mentioned the May 24 PDUFA how quickly could we see an impact of subcu initiation on trends? What are the gating factors to the adoption of subcu initiation?
So just reminding everybody that LEQEMBI infusion is a Part B once you switch to the subcutaneous, that's a separate BLA and that will also be Part D. Part D reimbursement works differently. Remember, Part D is largely a privately delivered government-sponsored program. They come together every year in sort of the May, June time frame to decide what's on formulary. They announced it in the autumn, somewhere around October, November, then the patients sign up for these Part D plans, and it becomes effective on the first of January. So we would expect to be considered for the subcutaneous in the summertime. And if the plans do agree to reimburse that, that would be from a from 1st of January 2027. Now in the meantime, you can actually request formulary exemption and a number of patients, particularly what we're seeing on maintenance are doing that. And we're not aware of any patients who have requested that who have not received that formulary exemption. But there's clearly paperwork involved and effort on the physician.
Maybe looking further into the future, how confident is Biogen in the AHEAD 3-45 trial? And what could that do to utilization?
So Ahead 3-45 is really going to be a landmark study. Sometimes I read articles and things like that about efficacy. And you have this feeling that people think about Alzheimer's as people who are kind of like the absent minded professor type, they've forgotten where their car key is. They forget that this is a devastating neurodegenerative disease. Every day, when you have this, you are losing neurons. And what is incredible is that this is a disease that's a silent killer for many years. For 10 years or more, you could be accumulating these plaques in your brains and losing neurons. And so what we call mild cognitive impairment or what we think about as early Alzheimer's, when you get symptoms is nothing of the sort. You've already been suffering from this disease for quite a long time. So the logic is, the earlier you can treat, the more neurons, you should be able to retain and therefore, they also retain your cognitive ability.
And what's also interesting is that actually, today, people believe that Alzheimer's is an amyloid driven tauopathy. So the severity of Alzheimer's really depends on how much tau you have. And it's really the amyloid that is driving the overproduction of tau. So we measure tau by a PET scan, and you can see the size of that and it's measured in centiloid. At about 40 centiloids of plaque, that's where it's believed that you start to produce tau. So AHEAD 3 is looking at these super early patients before they get to the 40 centiloids of amyloid. And there, the promise is, well, if we can prevent the amyloid from building up, do you ever get overproduction of tau and do you ever get Alzheimer. So that would be like the holy grail of Alzheimer's treatment.
But of course, we also know that there are going to be people who don't yet have symptoms but have more than the 40 centiloids. So there, there's also going to be a question of risk benefit. So we take someone who's in their early 60s, has a scan because they've had a positive blood test. They're at 60 centiloids. Well, this is an otherwise healthy patient. Do I treat that patient today because there is still always a safety aspect to consider. And that's what AHEAD 45 we expect to answer is, first of all, what is the incidence of ARIA. I mean, I think most people would assume that it will be much less because the ARIA is believed to be as a result of removing the amyloid. So if you're starting with less amyloid to begin with, the hypothesis is that you won't have as much ARIA. But of course, we need data to prove that.
But the second aspect is, well, if I also treat them, can I actually postpone Alzheimer's for an extended maybe an infinite time frame, so you're also into prevention. Or is it certainly going to be that the course of the disease would be much milder than you would otherwise expect. We started that study in 2020. That study is not going to read out until 2028. When Lilly was doing their study, remember, they had much different endpoints. By the way, we're always cheering for Lilly's positive result because this will have a positive impact on the overall disease state. But Lilly was looking at just time to event, and that really wouldn't answer that question. Is there a positive risk benefit for treating that 60-year-old with 60 centiloids and that's where I think we will have the definitive result.
But the second question is, well, if they could do an interim, why couldn't we do an interim? The problem is we have no information. This is really groundbreaking science. We don't know how long it takes for someone with 60 centiloids of amyloid to actually progress to having symptoms. And so we have said, okay, we're going to give everybody at least 4 years of follow-up. You could do an interim but I think you risk getting the wrong result because nobody knows how long it takes to actually get. And I think that's why we're also seeing Lilly study, not reading out anytime soon because I think they also have kind of seen. Well, actually, we don't really know.
Now again, this is an incredible study, this 8-year study that we've done because it really does provide, I think, so much information about how this disease originates and how you could alter the course of that disease. So we're excited about it because, clearly, if this is positive, now we can -- because we have these blood-based diagnostics, we can help people perhaps never get it or certainly get it much later in life. And the belief is that you're going to have much higher efficacy because you have a reserve of neurons now that you can protect.
Before we leave Alzheimer's, BIIB080 has data coming midyear. There's increasing enthusiasm for that program among investors. How does Biogen position? And what is your level of confidence we could see good data?
I've been in this business a long time with GSK and Sanofi, but I've never seen so much groundbreaking sciences when I came to Biogen, I have to say. These studies whether it's for LRRK2 or BIIB080, these are studies that are being watched by the entire medical community. Tau is, by far, the most exciting target, if you ask neurologists because, again, as I said earlier, the severity of Alzheimer's is really related to the level of tou you have. So the belief is, actually, it's really the tou that is the most toxic part of this. And if you can affect tou, you could have an even bigger effect than affecting amyloid. That's what the belief is. So we're going to test that.
Now you've seen antibodies that don't work. And that's because we believe you have to affect the intracellular tau and the antibodies are really affecting the extracellular. So you're not really getting enough impact on tau. We did a study, in Phase Ib, where we actually demonstrated that we can significantly reduce the levels of tau. You have to be a little careful because unlike amyloid, you don't want to eliminate tou entirely. So you have to get to the right level of tau reduction.
And now we'll have to see, okay, you can reduce tau. How long do you have to reduce the tau to get an impact on cognition. And I think one of the things we saw with the GLP-1 studies is it ain't easy to move that needle on cognition. So this all again will be a groundbreaking study, we have no idea until we actually see the results, but we will see that by midyear. And as I say, the entire Alzheimer's community is waiting anxiously for those results as am I.
I think we all are. Moving on to some of the other commercial products. SPINRAZA could have your next milestone with an April 3 PDUFA for high dose SPINRAZA. How do you think that, that could change the competitive dynamics in the SMA field.
So one of the things about -- if I were to go ask the audience here, what do you think is the best way to deliver drugs? Do you want to pill? Do you want an injection or do you want a spinal tap, everybody would say, pill, right? Well, it turns out that that's true until you get into really life-threatening devastating diseases. And at that point, what you really want to do is have the best possible efficacy. And when you think about Biogen competing against a gene therapy that offers or their advertising is one and done And a pill. How do we even compete? Well, we compete because it is believed that we have the highest level of efficacy. And when you have children who would otherwise not survive, children who need to walk and sit and you're a parent, you want the best possible efficacy.
So -- but what we have seen is that at some point, there is a fatigue of the intrathecal injections and people will wander over to the oral treatment. So what we have done is now said, let's offer a higher dose. So we get you to a higher therapeutic level faster. We're going from 12 milligrams to the 50 milligrams. And that changes, again, the equation on efficacy. We just launched in Japan, and it's early days, but we're actually already seeing the switchbacks from some of the Evrysdi patients. And we're also seeing a number of new patients coming on from other therapies, potentially gene therapy.
We did a study, for example, that demonstrated the benefit of adding SPINRAZA even after gene therapy. So those dynamics about the drug administration will still stay. But I think we are shifting the debate a little bit and shifting the debate on efficacy in favor of SPINRAZA.
How is Biogen thinking about pricing HD?
I think we're looking more at market share as a lever for growth and for pricing.
Can you talk about how salanersen butcould contribute to the SMA franchise over the long haul?
Salanersen we first developed was to really deal with the intrathecal fatigue. And we had offered what we're really looking for is a once-yearly injection. And that in itself would have been a value-enhancing product. But what we're actually seeing is that not only, only once a year, but we've actually seen indicators of development in children that nobody has actually seen before in our Phase II study. We had children who had received gene therapy in infancy. But at age 4 could still not sit or at age 5 could still not walk. And and again, these are all small numbers, and they have to be validated by our Phase III program. But after 3 months of treatment on salanersen, these children were sitting and these children were walking. So there is a promise of even higher efficacy in addition to the improved administration. And quite frankly, I think once yearly intrathecal could really compete in terms of mode of administration against any other form.
On SKYCLARYS one of the key growth drivers that you mentioned before, how do you see that launch progressing in the U.S. and Europe?
So we're rolling that out worldwide. This is a disease that affects principally descendants of European populations. So actually, you go where all of the explorers went. So we were actually just doing a business review on Friday. Most of these patients really are in Europe, North America, Latin America, but we're actually now starting to find them in the Middle East. You won't find them necessarily in China, but we're saying, well, actually, there was quite a significant European population at various times in places like Shanghai. Or you could go to India. And we were talking about Goa actually, which is the former Portuguese Colony. So the big thing is finding the patients. We're talking about fewer than like 10,000 in the world. And we just got approval in Brazil. So now we're seeking reimbursement in Brazil. We think that's going to be a significant market. We already have more patients outside the U.S. than inside the U.S.
Inside the U.S., I think the thing that we hadn't known at the start because, again, there was no therapy before, so nobody really knew anything about these patients. But there's actually a lot more older patients and it turns out that the pediatric are a lot more severe and you have a milder form when people are older. And so the real effort right now is twofold. One is to really convince the older patients who've lived with this condition that there is still a benefit to going on therapy. And the other is now to complete the study for the pediatric indication because right now, we're limited to 16 and above, and there'll be a significant market for patients who are less than 16. So it's finding those patients. It's going and getting the reimbursement country by country. We tend to get them on drug through the early access programs early and then negotiate pricing.
Given an MFN world, rare diseases is you don't really have the same variations in price simply because you can't afford to because there is no volume effect. But nonetheless, we've probably taken longer to negotiate pricing just to make sure that we don't get caught up in any MFN difficulties. So it's going out and rolling out very successfully.
Can you remind us what is Biogen's guidance for when that pediatric trial could complete?
We think that will be done by 2028.
Moving to multiple sclerosis. Biogen's guided to a mid-teens decline in the MS franchise, excluding VUMERITY this year. Is there anything that can be done to slow that decline? Or is it just the function of a maturing aging product portfolio?
Well, I think -- so you've got a number of products in there. One is you have the AVONEX, the interferons, AVONEX and PLEGRIDY actually declined at about a 8% to 10% rate actually. So we're still selling close to $1 billion of those products around the world. And one of the things about multiple sclerosis is that patients who are doing well are tend to be patients you don't want to touch their treatment because they're not having relapses. They're not progressing. And so most physicians tend to be quite sticky in their prescribing habits. And we certainly see that with the AVONEX as well. Then you have TYSABRI is probably considered by most neurologists to be their favorite drug actually. If you actually just looked at pure efficacy and the benefits of it, but of course, you have the whole risk of PML through the JC virus and you have to do the assay.
So what we tend to have right now is a group of really dedicated physicians who just are highly loyal to their patients who are on TYSABRI. We've seen the introduction of a biosimilar, but they don't have the same assay as we do.
And given that you have to administer the assay on a regular basis, I think it's going to take a while for the biosimilar to really gain the confidence of physicians that their assay is as reliable as ours. Because on the one hand, you've got amazing efficacy but you always have that risk on the side. You don't want to just take any chances with that.
Now the small molecule business, the TECFIDERA, that has gone down to almost nothing. We were able to get a reprieve on market exclusivity in Europe. So we gained an extra year, but now we're seeing the erosion on a classic small molecule basis in Europe. So we had 6 months of that in 2025. We'll have a full year effect in 2026. I would say, though, coming out of that, I think you're going to see some of that decline in the MS portfolio start to level off a little. It will still decline, but maybe not at such a high rate because it's really being driven by the rapid erosion of TECFIDERA in Europe. But TYSABRI in Europe, we have actually a subcutaneous version of that, and the biosimilar does not. So we've actually been able to retain the 50% of the business that is subcutaneous. And that seems to be pretty sticky as well.
So I think it declines on a gradual basis. We don't promote. I mean, when I got to Biogen, we were putting 80% to 90% of our promotional effort behind that business. And we have basically cannibalize those resources to invest in new products, there's nothing new, I mean that you can say about that. The one thing that Biogen has is an extraordinary patient services organization. Most companies have outsourced that. We have not. And if you know anybody who has any kind of serious disease today, one of the things you're going to hear is how about -- how much you have to fight with insurance companies. Something like 70% of branded prescriptions now face some sort of delay because of prior auths or some other paperwork problems we help patients negotiate on that.
We help patients find the co-pay assistance. We help patients just understand the care pathway. We happen to be in San Francisco at the JPMorgan conference going to see an investor, a young women associate takes us into the meeting room. And as we're getting seated in the portfolio managers are walking in, she just stops to thank Biogen because she's been on TYSABRI for so many years, and she said, no other company offers this kind of level of patient support. And this is really something that's particularly important in rare diseases. And I think it's going to be important for us as we launch in lupus, for example.
Most companies are mass marketers and you can't get down to thinking about each and every patient. This is actually something I saw years ago at Genzyme too from Sanofi. If you really can develop that capability, but it's not easy to do and you do have to have patience and invest in that.
Great. With that, I think we're out of time. Thanks so much.
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Biogen — TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Strategie: Biogen stellt sich als zwei geteiltes Unternehmen dar: ein wachsendes Geschäft mit neuen Launch‑Produkten und ein schrumpfendes Legacy‑Portfolio. Ziel: organisches Wachstum durch Launches plus selektive BD (M&A) und stärkere kommerzielle Infrastruktur.
- Pipeline: Deutlich ausgebaut: rund 10 Phase‑III‑Programme; erste Readouts noch dieses Jahr. Forschungskosten sind laut Management ~25% niedriger als vor drei Jahren bei gesteigerter Produktivität.
🔭 Strategische Highlights
- Launch‑Vorbereitung: Investitionen in Medical Affairs, Prelaunch und Patient‑Services, Fokus auf Versorgungswege (Diagnostik, Infusion vs. subkutan).
- LEQEMBI‑Strategie: Ausbau der Nachfrage durch D2C‑Aufklärung, Blutbasierte Tests zur Triage und Umstellung auf subkutane Formulierung zur Erleichterung der Gabe.
- BD‑Philosophie: Selektive Akquisitionen mit prioritärem Ziel: assets mit klarer Phase‑III‑Evidenz/naher Kommerzialisierung; große transformative Deals werden als zu teuer eingeschätzt.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- PDUFA‑Termine: Management nennt einen erwarteten PDUFA‑Termin für die subkutane LEQEMBI‑Induktion am 24. Mai (induktive Zulassung) und verweist auf Part‑D(=Medicare Part D)‑Formulary‑Timing mit möglicher Wirkung ab 1. Januar 2027.
- Pipeline‑Meilensteine: BIIB080 (Tau)‑Daten Mitte des Jahres; Salanersen und Lupus‑Programme als wichtige kommende Katalysatoren.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Wachstumszeitpunkt: Frage nach Rückkehr zu Umsatzwachstum; Management sieht Wachstum durch neue Launches und LEQEMBI‑Skalierung, erwartet aber mittelfristige Belastung durch MS‑Erosion.
- LEQEMBI‑Adoption: Kritische Punkte: ARIA (amyloid‑related imaging abnormalities)‑Risiko, Versorgungsinfrastruktur, Erstattungswege (Part B vs. Part D) und wie schnell Subkutanes die Hürde senkt.
- M&A‑Ansatz: Nachfrage nach Größe und Therapeutik‑Fokus von Deals; Antwort: nur selektive, wertschaffende Akquisitionen mit relativ naher Kommerzialisierung.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Der Talk bestätigt eine klare Transformationsstrategie: ausgebautes Late‑Stage‑Portfolio und intensive Launch‑Vorbereitungen sollen mittelfristig Wachstum liefern, zugleich bleibt near‑term Risiko durch das schrumpfende MS‑Geschäft und die operationalen Hürden bei LEQEMBI‑Adoption.
Biogen — Piper Sandler Virtual Novel Targets in Immunology Symposium
1. Question Answer
Okay, good morning, everyone. And as I keep saying this morning, happy Friday the 13th, but on a serious note, we're delighted to be hosting our Virtual Immunology Symposium. This is David Amsellem from the Piper Sandler Biopharma Research Team. And we're delighted to have Biogen with us for the next 25 minutes or so. So we have Dr. Diana Gallagher. She is the Head of Clinical Development for MS Immunology and Alzheimer's. So thanks so much, Diana, for taking the time to chat with us.
Certainly, there's a great deal going on regarding Biogen's immunology pipeline and some late-stage readouts that are coming.
Maybe I'll start with your lupus programs. So you have dapirolizumab and litifilimab, both in late-stage development. But I wanted to ask a high-level question on the strategic rationale of prioritizing lupus, specifically SLE and other manifestations of the disease given that it's historically been such a challenging space in terms of drug development. So I guess with that in mind, why such a big priority to lupus? Obviously, it's a major unmet medical need. But just given the challenges, maybe talk about your thought process here.
Sure. So we've been working -- first of all, thanks for having me, David. We're really excited to be here. And you're right, lupus remains a very underserved, heterogeneous disease area, major unmet need, where patients need more treatment options. We have been working in lupus. It's not new for Biogen BDCA2 program or BIIB059, now called liti. We've had -- we did the IND now over a decade ago. So we've been in this space for a long time. We've had our collaboration with UCB, looking at CD40 biology for a long time, so -- two decades. And we've learned a lot as has the field over time. I think about the biologies that we're going after as well as sort of right target, right patients and excellence in execution. And I think we feel like now those three pieces are really lining up for us, and we have iteratively discharged risk along the way as we've gone from sort of research to early development to late-stage development in these -- with these specific assets.
Yes. Just a general question on dapirolizumab and litifilimab. How do you think each of these -- and we have more data late stage for dapirolizumab, I'll concede that, but how do you see each of these addressing the limitations of the existing biologic treatment options, specifically belimumab and anifrolumab.
Yes. It's a great question. I think we know that lupus is seriously undertreated. Even in the United States, we're only seeing anywhere from 20% to 30% patients get on biologic therapy. Of those, most of them don't reach what our American College of Rheumatology targets of lower limits of disease activity and steroid sparing because you can be diagnosed with lupus 15, 20, 25 years old, if you're heavily reliant on steroids that comorbidities you're going to develop over time are substantive. You really start to have a lot of side effect. So we think people are undertreated. We think that the drugs that are available are manipulating biology, but we may be able to bring even more compelling efficacy. And the patients say it best, my lupus is not your lupus. They say to each other. So I think people are going to have to often, you can't be diagnosed with something at 18, and it works for you until you're 88, right? You might have to cycle through different drugs. We know they have different organs manifesting at different times. They may be flaring and need a certain sort of efficacy profile and then they [indiscernible] because it's relapsing and remitting. So you're constantly wanting to titrate their medication and more options going to allow you to bring all the efficacy and limited side effects for a lifetime of treatment in lupus.
So maybe paraphrasing you, a great deal of disease heterogeneity ultimately lends itself to the need for a multitude of different advanced treatment options. I mean, is that a good way to think about it?
It's a great way to think about it. And it's very exciting, not only our work, but you see the field really moving. I think you're right, lots of times people thought it. 5, 10 years ago, it was very difficult to execute in this space. So I think we're starting to show the biology is breaking. Clinical trials are moving in the right direction in terms of execution, and hopefully, we'll bring a lot more options for these patients.
So diving into litifilimab. So this is a BDCA2 receptor directed therapy. Can you talk to the underlying mechanism here and its role in disease pathophysiology, not just in SLE, but also in cutaneous lupus. I know there's a trial of a more advanced trial in CLE. So maybe talk about mechanistically its applicability both in SLE and CLE.
Sure. It's a great question. So we, as I mentioned, have been working on this program for quite some time. It's manipulating this BDCA2, so that's something expressed on cells often a particular type of cell, but not exclusively called the plasmacytoid dendritic cells. We know that those cells are big producers of interferon, and we know that interferon drives a lot of sort of these interferonopathies or these complications that you start to get with inflammation, with bringing in other cells responding to inflammation, which is causing tissue damage. And so if we can break that cascade, so we bind, we break this idea of the BDCA2 will stop that biology. And it's not just interferons, we believe downstream of that. We have TLR 7 and 9. We're starting to affect interferons and other relevant cytokines to really break this cycle. And in terms of what does that mean, how does that manifest clinically, I think we've shown it in multiple different spaces, but I would think about it as overall disease control. So we hit overall disease control when we looked at SRI-4, which is a composite endpoint, but we also look very specifically at two critical manifestations, skin and joint. And so we showed in the joints, you have reduced number of joints impacted in terms of tender and swollen, which allows people to sort of function much better. And in terms of the skin, and we can get into it because we're super excited, we got breakthrough designation for CLE. You can see anywhere a significant clearing of the skin disease. And the skin impact in cutaneous lupus is profound. We're thinking about massive alopecia or hair loss, often big flaking, scaling and even scoring lesions often on the face, but throughout the body. So the ability to calm that down and allow the skin to heal has obviously physical improvements for them, but major mental health and quality of life improvements.
So I wanted to switch gears a bit and talk about the heterogeneity of trial endpoints and in SLE. So litifilimab, your endpoint, your primary is SRI-4. I think dapirolizumab, the primary was BICLA response. So I just want to better understand the rationale behind the different endpoints and the extent to which there's buy-in from the FDA here. I also know that these are accepted outcome measures, but would it be helpful to understand the differences between the two endpoints.
Sure. You're right. They're both well sort of characterized approvable endpoints that have a lot -- some differences and a lot of similarities. And so BICLA uses, it's like a BILAG-composite sort of end point. It requires partial improvement across all sort of affected organ systems without any worsening. Well, SRI-4 uses the SLEDAI-2K at its core, and it requires a four-point improvement. So it can be a little more sensitive to specific changes and specific organ systems. You don't sort of have to have across all sort of organ systems, you can also achieve efficacy by seeing specific organ systems. And so I will tell you that in both our trials, we measure both, both like BICLA is primary for DAPI, as you said, but we're also measuring SI-4 as a secondary and conversely in liti. SRI-4, we've chosen -- we had been examining that. Both of them were the POC sort of endpoints, and we kept them for the Phase III endpoints because we understood how to power and think about it, but we're measuring both in each case.
Okay. So it's really just a function of, I guess, the signal you saw in your proof-of-concept study, and you wanted to carry that forward in your pivotals. It's really nothing more than that.
That's right.
Okay, okay. That's helpful. So just moving on to -- so there's the TOPAZ Phase II program, which -- that's reading out, that's in SLE. But you also have AMETHYST in CLE for litifilimab. I guess one question I had here was, I think in Part B of the study, it's a 24-week endpoint. It's a shorter duration relative to the SLE study endpoints in TOPAZ. So -- and I realize that it's a CLE, not SLE, but wanted to better understand that difference in measurements in terms of duration.
Sure. It's a great question. I think we think about it in two ways. So in both the studies, we will go out to 52 weeks. So old booking ultimately over a year. In systemic lupus, of course, we want to see the patients improve as quickly as possible. We all want that for them. And we also want to see durability of effect. So that is something that particularly as we're entering that space, and where we're sort of differentiating on options, some of which you mentioned are approved and more coming. We want to see that onset and durability of effect in SLE. In CLE, we also want to see -- again, we just talked about your hair is falling out, your skin is massively inflamed, it's a more dermatologic based condition. Speed of onset and resolution of those symptoms is something that we heard from patients is critically important. So we will look at that 16- to 24-week endpoint, and then we will also look at durability of effect.
Okay. But to be clear, in Part B, the endpoint, the primary is at 24 weeks. Is that right?
Yes, that's right. Yes, as we went on that CLASI, yes.
Got it. Okay. So I wanted to move to DAPI. And regarding the successful Phase III, and I know you have the confirmatory study that's ongoing, but I wanted to just look backwards at the successful study. There was the BICLA response, but can you just talk about the steroid tapering profile that you saw for dapirolizumab?
Yes. And this, as you said, what are the lessons learned, many, many sort of challenging clinical development programs in lupus, one of them is managing steroid utilization, particularly in large multi-multicenter global trials, where clinical practice is different in different countries and even with different physicians. So you really have to be very clear about what the steroid taper expectation is, like how much steroids are you on, and let's have a protocolized, I'll call it, force, but per protocol steroid taper that they must attempt. And so we really -- we know that's important for overall wellness. We know the guidelines push it, but you have to put per protocol to get it ultimately to see if it's statistically relevant and also could be something we could get in our label. So we did do that, and you see that we're quite encouraged that up to like 1/5 of the patients were able to substantively reduce their steroids down to this 7.5- or 5-milligram dose, which is really where you're starting to get to, say, the long-term side effects are very differentiated. That's where we really want them to be. So we were able to see that, yes.
Okay. And then regarding safety, and you had a webinar last year where you discussed the lupus pipeline. And you talked to the potential for DAPI to be used safely in pregnant women, and you had preclinical data showing that it doesn't cross the placenta. I was wondering if you could talk to that data, and how you plan to leverage that in practice.
Sure. So it is as we sort of talked about at the top lupus effects women predominantly, but not exclusively, and particularly young women, who are often contemplating pregnancy or going through pregnancy. And most of the approved agents are not -- and all off-label things people use are not approved for -- often not allowed to be used in pregnancy. DAPI is differentiated because it is a heavily pegylated molecule, so it just doesn't cross that placental barrier, at least as we can see in primates. And so the other piece would be, does it not get into breast milk. So if you can create an option that allows for both utilization in pregnancy to not cross to the fetus as well as post birth to not get into breast milk and maintain high efficacy for these women, that's really differentiating. Of course, it's not an approved therapy. So we're working hard to sort of think about most people go for this in a post-approval setting. We're thinking right now in dialogue with agencies about what would it take to, right, start to examine some of these things in parallel? Or how should we be thinking about it? And ultimately, that's something we'll have to have an aligned sort of pathway for, but it's definitely top of mind for us because of how unmet the need is.
So looking at the R&D landscape for SLE, I mean we're going to see a number of readouts for orally available agents. There's INVOKE, there's SOTYKTU, there's the S1P modulator, Cenerimod, I mean all these Phase IIIs are going to be reading out in the next 12 months. And they're all mechanistically different, but wanted to get your thoughts on the potential for a more varied treatment landscape with if these oral agents or someone or more of them were to work, and what that could mean for DAPI and for litifilimab.
Yes. I think we don't see lupus, as we mentioned a few minutes ago, is a winner take all sort of market. We really see that with lifelong need -- with a relapsing and remitting condition and very heterogeneous condition, there is plenty of room for patients to have optimized therapy that treats the manifestations of the disease as aggressively as possible, but across the range. So there are patients that would say to us, "I want to be on as much medicine as I need and no more." And then "If I was come off it. I want to come off it." And so as you're working through that with them, you're going to have to have, I think, a range of options. And also the organ systems at different times and the flares are happening. I think we'll see -- yes, of course, it will be the idea they love and maybe science is just probably not going to be a one and done set it and forget a biology for them given the complexity. So that's how we're thinking about it. Of course, more options is -- we look forward to that, too. And we are -- don't just have DAPI and liti, we certainly have an early pipeline thinking about moving into orals ourselves so that we can bring a range as well.
Okay. So I wanted to talk about some earlier stage opportunities here. So you've got 122, the LRRK2-directed product. Maybe talk about that and its role in LRRK2 and its role in neuro inflammation. And what I kind of look at an asset like that is the extent to which you could have applicability in other neurodegenerative diseases beyond Parkinson's, maybe talk about that.
Yes. I think we've -- that is a really interesting asset. It's been something that we have a large controlled randomized trial trying to figure out what it can do in Parkinson's. We are not -- it's not our first Parkinson's trial, nor are we naive to the idea that these are very, very challenging spaces to work and profoundly manipulate biology. They're hard endpoints to move in Parkinson's. And so I think we sort of see it as something that we started pre-PoC, high conviction in that biology, but a sort of higher risk, high-reward component of can we hit PoC. And I think we've designed a nice trial that allows us to answer that question. In terms of applicability. You're right, that biology is interesting across. It's very -- I think the most risk forward sort of place to put it -- we sort of chose LRRK2 biology for Parkinson's. I think that the best biology is. You see it in a couple of other inflammatory conditions, but I don't think right now, that's where we would put it. We really want to take our shot here based on our conviction with the genetics and the preclinical data.
Okay. That's very helpful. And then switching gears to 091. So the BTK ambition is certainly, I guess, not new. But maybe talk about its utility in MS specifically, and how you're thinking about maybe the right way to ask the question is, just given how crowded MS has become, what do you need to see here to really, I think, capture your attention and say, okay, this is something we really should move forward and really invest precious R&D resources in.
Yes. Great question. I think it is, as you said, it's a really interesting biology in the sense that we know it manipulates findings in MS. We are certainly -- you see both the covalent molecules as well as these non-covalent molecules, all having different degrees of impact on biology in MS. So we have the ongoing Phase II study. That study is in relapsing MS. That study is -- has a comparator even in it, which is pretty unique, right? We have like at 2 doses and then VUMERITY in it to really see where we are. So that allows us to get a very good sense to your point. RMS is -- it's a crowded space. So our threshold to enter into that space will be appropriate to that crowding and needing to see what we need to believe that it's differentiated. And so we'll get that full data set later this year and be able to take, I think, a really informed decision on that molecule. We also have initiated a Phase I study of our BTK degrader. So we have -- that's in the clinic now, too. So we have sort of two -- that would be differentiated sort of greater biology that we'll have to sort of think about how we want to position that. So we still are very intrigued by BTK biology. It works in lots of things, not just MS, as you see, but it's really, to your point, about proving out the differentiation so we know where to put the resources behind it, and it's like you have the biggest impact.
Yes. And I'm curious, just a follow-up question about the degrader. I know we're in early stages here. And you mentioned MS, but just understanding the biology and mechanism here, how are you thinking about to the extent you can talk about it, other autoimmune disease settings here. And again, bearing in mind these are early days.
Definitely early days. And -- but I think we've spoken publicly on that idea that we are moving into this ideation of like these assets are not one -- sort of one drug, one disease, but are sort of products, which can create a whole portfolio. So multi-indication strategy is definitely on the table for assets like we call it 145, the BTK degrader as well as 142, the IRAK4 graded program.
Yes. Okay. Wanted to spend just a little bit of time on felzartamab, and I know that over the next couple of years, we're going to have some really important data milestones. But maybe a high-level question. I know we have about a minute or so left. But looking at CD38, obviously, there's a big focus on autoimmune diseases in the renal setting. But maybe talk more broadly about CD38 biology, and how you're thinking about broader development, not just the felzartamab, but I think you've started talking about the next-generation CD38 that came out of HI-Bio. I mean how are you thinking about that target more broadly?
Yes. So B-cell biology is a huge area of interest for us. You've probably heard Jane Grogan, our Head of Research; and Nick Wilson, our Head of Immunology Research, in particular, talk about it. So you're right, antibody-producing B cells that express the CD38 are implicated in multiple autoimmune diseases. So it was a very sort of intentional choice that our legacy HI-Bio colleagues made to go after immune-mediated kidney disease, but that does not preclude going after multiple other indications. So we definitely think that it's going to be involved in multiple other plays we could take. And that's why having, as you mentioned, sort of additional asset -- earlier asset, maybe that we can tune up and tune towards different diseases would be really great. So we're really looking forward to where we believe it can have an impact. And it may even be with believe, we can maybe do some more with believe, but with the backup or the sort of next-gen, I think we can sort of think about moving it into other inflammatory -- other autoimmune-based diseases. And it's -- there's a lot of biology and reasons to believe there too.
Well, definitely more to come there. I wish we had more time, but I'll leave it there. But thanks so much, Diana, for a really wide ranging and deep discussion, really appreciated and lots certainly going on and certainly an exciting year ahead in terms of data milestones. So really appreciate the time. Thanks, everyone, listening in, and we'll conclude. Have a great rest of your day.
Thank you, David. Have a great day.
Buh-bye.
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Biogen — Piper Sandler Virtual Novel Targets in Immunology Symposium
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Fokus: Biogen setzt konsequent auf Immunologie, speziell Lupus, mit zwei Spätenwirkstoffen: litifilimab (BDCA2) und dapirolizumab. Management betont, dass Krankheitsheterogenität mehrere Therapieoptionen verlangt.
- Pipeline: Parallelprogramme (BTK, BTK‑Degrader, LRRK2, CD38/felzartamab) schaffen ein breites Portfolio zur Diversifikation von Risiko und Indikationspotenzial.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Lupus‑Taktik: «Right target, right patients, execution» – Programme über Jahre entwickelt; Proof‑of‑concept-Signale nutzbar gemacht, Trialdesigns gezielt gewählt.
- Endpunkt‑Strategie: litifilimab primär SRI‑4, dapirolizumab primär BICLA; beide Trials messen jedoch beide Endpunkte zur Robustheit.
- Frauen‑gesundheit: Dapirolizumab zeigt in Primaten geringe Plazentagängigkeit (pegyliertes Molekül); Management prüft regulatorischen Weg für Schwangerschaftsfragen.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Regulatorisch: litifilimab (CLE) hat Breakthrough‑Designation; AMETHYST Part B primärer Endpunkt bei 24 Wochen (CLASI).
- Klinik‑Updates: Dapirolizumab: ~20% der Patienten konnten Steroiddosis auf ~7.5–5 mg reduzieren; BTK‑Degrader (Phase I) ist in der Klinik.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Priorisierung: Warum Lupus? Antwort: hohe Unmet‑Need, heterogene Biologie und langfristige Entwicklungserfahrung.
- Endpoints: Unterschied SRI‑4 vs BICLA begründet durch frühe Signale; Management misst beide Endpunkte.
- Kritische Punkte: Schwangerschaftssicherheit basiert auf Primatendaten; zu menschlichen Daten/zulassungsweg blieb Management vorsichtig.
- Wettbewerb: Orale Phase‑III‑Readouts (SOTYKTU, Cenerimod u.a.) werden Landschaft verändern; Differenzierung ist Voraussetzung für erhebliche Ressourcenzuweisung (z.B. BTK in MS).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Biogen zeigt klare strategische Ausrichtung auf Lupus mit mehreren potenziell differenzierten Assets und handfesten klinischen Meilensteinen (TOPAZ, AMETHYST, BTK‑Ph2, LRRK2, felzartamab). Hohe katalytische Chance bei gleichzeitig signifikantem Entwicklungs‑ und Zulassungsrisiko; Schwangerschaftsdatensätze und direkte Vergleichsdaten werden entscheidend für Marktpotenzial sein.
Biogen — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. My name is Ruth, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Biogen Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Call and Business Update. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference is being recorded. Thank you.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Mr. Tim Power, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Power, you may begin your conference.
Thanks, Ruth, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Biogen's fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings call. During this call, we will make forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from our forward-looking statements. We provide a comprehensive list of risk factors in our SEC filings, which I encourage you to review. Our earnings release and other documents related to our results as well as reconciliations between GAAP and non-GAAP results discussed on this call can be found in the Investors section of biogen.com. We've also posted the slides to our website that we'll be using during the call.
On today's call, I'm joined by our President and Chief Executive Officer, Chris Viehbacker; Dr. Priya Singhal, Head of Development; and Robin Kramer, our Chief Financial Officer. We'll make some opening comments and then we'll move to the Q&A session. [Operator Instructions]
And I'll now hand the call over to Chris.
Thank you, Tim. Good morning, everybody, and welcome to Biogen's fourth quarter earnings. We finished the year strongly with a very good fourth quarter, and I think, finished the year in a very satisfactory manner. We finished slightly above the upper end of our guidance. And I think -- as we look at the business here, we're principally focused on our growth products. And they generated $3.3 billion in fiscal '25, that's up 19%. And now you noticed we actually include VUMERITY now in our growth products. We've tended to just look at MS as one group. But actually, when you look at the oral segment, VUMERITY is about the only branded medicine left in that. And we have found that actually, with intelligent investments, we've been able to grow that brand very nicely. And so we're including that in our growth products going forward. When you look at just the products we've launched since 2023, the four LEQEMBI, SKYCLARYS, ZURZUVAE and QALSODY, they are now generating over $1 billion, around $1 billion in revenue, and they have also grown very strongly. And then the MS business actually still generated $3 billion. So from a commercial performance point of view, I think Biogen is functioning and firing on all cylinders and doing very well. I think the big story of 2025 is really the advance we've made in our pipeline. Priya will show a chart later on our pipeline. And that chart has really expanded over the course of the year.
In this year, we expect to see a number of key readouts, LEQEMBI IQLIK, and I'll come back to that. That's under review in the U.S., Japan and China. In the U.S., as you know, we got a priority review and have a PDUFA date of May 24th. Litifilimab, which is an important new medicine in lupus has been granted FDA breakthrough designation for the cutaneous form of lupus. And we are actually starting to expand our early-stage pipeline. We put a BTK to greater into the clinic early this year. But I'd also point out the acquisition of Alcyone Therapeutics, which will really, I think, improve the experience of patients who get intrathecal injections. I think SPINRAZA, in the eyes of many physicians I talked to, has the highest efficacy. But at some point, patients do consider that the intrathecal is a problem. And this is an opportunity to replace the intrathecal with a much more convenient delivery mechanism. We also have been active in business development. And in the fourth quarter, we had new collaborations with Vanqua and Dayra Therapeutics.
We'll go to the next slide. So LEQEMBI is still the market leader and continues to be the market leader with over 60% of the anti-amyloid therapy market share. I would remind everybody that we tend to want to look at new Rxs as a measure of a launch. And this is one of those areas where that might not be the most appropriate thing to look at because the competitor product really is only in therapeutic use for a limited period of time. And only LEQEMBI actually has a maintenance indication. So I think, in this case, actually, looking at total prescriptions is the most appropriate way, and that's where LEQEMBI continues to be the market leader. Now this year, we're going to see the -- hopefully, the approval of the IQLIK. We've had the IQLIK approved for maintenance last year, along with getting the maintenance indication. That's already important. We're seeing a lot of patients come to the end of the plaque removal phase. And the persistency data suggests that we have about a 70% persistency, so that's people who are continuing on with therapy even after the plaque removal position. The IQLIK was introduced in October of last year. Now that's a Part D reimbursement, and we won't have that reimbursed fully until 1/1/27. However, patients who want that are able to request formulary exemptions. And from what we've heard, that virtually everybody who has been asking for that seems to be getting that. We don't have, obviously, very clear data on that.
Now the game changer could be really the IQLIK for induction. One of the competitive aspects of donanemab is that it has once monthly infusions, where we have once every two-week infusions. Once you move to a subcutaneous injection, now we're not talking about infusions at all anymore. And we're hearing certainly stories that people want to travel and people don't necessarily -- aren't always able to drive long distances to infusion centers. So we think that the IQLIK could actually create a whole new opportunity and certainly reduce the burden for neurologists. Remember, there are about 500,000 new patients diagnosed every year with Alzheimer's and only really 13,000 neurologists. So to the extent that we can make this care pathway more convenient for both the physician and the patient, we hope that, that can increase the throughput. We're already seeing with the increased use of blood-based diagnostics that those patients who have their diagnosis validated, and who are actually eligible for therapy, has actually increased from about 50% to 70%. So all of these things I think they're moving in the right direction. I remind everybody that the market has more than doubled for anti-amyloid therapy. And I think we're seeing a growing -- we're certainly hearing a number of stories from the physicians that they're actually seeing benefit in patients. The CDR sum of boxes is really only used in clinical trials and not in actual practice. And so as I say, I think this all augurs well for continued growth in this business. And perhaps going into next year, we might even see an acceleration of that growth.
Go to the next slide. So here's where what we've been trying to do really is build a bridge to growth. And really, the growth we see in three different ways. The first is, obviously, to grow those new medicines that we have, and you see them on the chart that's it today. And when you actually look at this chart, with the exception of VUMERITY, all of these were not only first-in-class, but also first-ever treatments for diseases. So that's meant that we actually are going in with breakthrough medicines, but we also have to create those markets. LEQEMBI, we've talked about. SPINRAZA, we've been able to launch the high dose in Japan. Early signs from the Japanese market are that we're actually going ahead of expectations on adoption and actually seeing some switch back. We look forward to seeing more data as that comes along. Europe will be next up. And of course, we have a PDUFA date in April for high dose in the U.S. ZURZUVAE has really been a surprise to all of us. Again, we more than doubled sales in 2025. This is really, I think, also opening opening people's understanding to the real burden of postpartum depression. And we're seeing a number of prominent people like, Jennifer Lawrence, and we were just featured in -- ZURZUVAE was just featured in People Magazine. And this is not only leading to some commercial success, but I think really changing the perception of postpartum depression. This is still highly undiagnosed approximately 0.5 million mothers every year suffer from this and only about 80,000 are diagnosed and still fewer obviously treated on ZURZUVAE. So there's a real opportunity to both grow this market, but I think also really make a real difference in postpartum depression. SKYCLARYS continues to grow. We saw approval in Brazil this past year, and we're looking for launching that. This year, we're now into launching this product pretty much everywhere around the world, except in Asia, of course, where this disease doesn't really exist for genetic reasons. We often are running ahead on the numbers of patients versus sales because we are providing the product through early access programs and then negotiating as we go along. So I think we'll continue to see steady progress. Like SPINRAZA, these are our medicines that tend to have a bit of a lumpy sales trajectory. Personally, I'd like to look at rolling four quarters of these. We're in the low volume, high-value products. If you take SPINRAZA, there are some countries where only ship once or twice in the year. So the timing of shipments is -- can distort actual trends if you're just looking at a single quarter. But then now that we've got those growing, and I just told you about how strong those products have been, we've got a whole next layer, a next wave of potential growth with litifilimab, the SLE data coming, hopefully, by the end of the year. Felzartamab is -- we'll show data in AMR potentially next year. Zorevunersen, our partner, Stoke, has indicated that they might be able to be having a data readout in '27 as well. Dapirolizumab, we already have one positive Phase III, and we're executing on a second Phase III. Salanersen had extremely interesting results after Phase II. We were administering the drug in children who had already had gene therapy, for example, in infancy, but at Page 4 or 5, we're still not able to sit or stand. And we saw some examples of that. Obviously, all of this has to be confirmed in a Phase III study, which we have ongoing. And then LEQEMBI preclinical is also potentially a real game changer. We all have to remember that this disease is really a silent disease for many, many years before people ever get symptoms. And throughout that period of time, people are losing neurons. And so it would seem to make sense that treating patients earlier and being able to preserve a maximum number of neurons should have a benefit. And that's really what this clinical trial is designed to show is going into early-stage patients, can we see that we can either prevent potentially ever getting symptoms or at least deferring the disease into much later into the future. That's a huge undertaking. We began recruiting for that study in 2020. It's been fully recruited, and we would expect to see results in 2020. So you can see that this is going to be a very rigorous study. It will be a landmark study. This will be not only from a commercial point of view, but this is really groundbreaking science and will inform the entire neurology community. And then, of course, we still are investing in earlier stage. We have potential readouts for some high-risk, high-reward projects like the [ LARK 2 ] in Parkinson's. We have a new modality, which it could be extremely interesting, which is the anti-tau ASO that will also read out of the Phase II this year. And we're really focusing on our research portfolio. I talked about some of the collaborations we've been doing. We've got the BTK. We've got an [ Iraq 4 ] for lupus going into the -- that went into the clinic. And we're looking to add more early-stage BD deals, but I think we've also got a few more INDs that could come into the clinic over the next 18 months.
So next slide, please. So what are we focusing on really in 2026? Obviously, we have an important date with the LEQEMBI approval. The subcutaneous AI initiation coming up on May '24. And we'll obviously hope to see that get approved. We also have the -- hopefully, the approval of the high dose regimen for SPINRAZA in the U.S. that has a PDUFA date in April. We've got the two Phase III studies in lidafilimab in SLE. And I want to congratulate Priya because there are about 55 other clinical trials ongoing in lupus, and Priya and her team were actually able to accelerate. Originally, this was not going to read out until 2027. So for me, I always -- from a commercial point of view, I'd like to see accelerated development because it augurs well for later stage commercial potential. And finally, we are advancing that high-risk, high-reward pre-POC pipeline. I would say today, we feel pretty good about where our late-stage pipeline is, but we do need to build up our earlier stage pipeline. And that's going to lead to our full year guidance on a non-GAAP diluted EPS basis of about $15.25 to $16.25.
So I think with that, I'm going to be turning that over to Priya.
Thank you, Chris. I'm really encouraged by the progress that we've made to rebuild and transform our development pipeline. As you can see from this slide, most of these late-stage high scientific conviction opportunities are new, having been added in just the last 12 months. And as we announced last quarter, we have accelerated TOPAZ-2, our second SLE study for litifilimab, which is now expected to read out by the end of this year. What you can also appreciate from this slide is that 2026 is an important year that begins a multiyear registrational data flow for over the next several years. And in just the next 18 months, we could see data from litifilimab for both SLE and CLE and data from felzartamab in AMR, all of these being registrational readouts. Importantly, as you have seen, we recently announced securing priority review for LEQEMBI IQLIK initiation and received breakthrough therapy designation for litifilimab in CLE. It is very encouraging to see that these programs are also being recognized externally as potentially impactful. We also continue to demonstrate and emphasize scientific leadership. We recently presented new data across some of our key franchises at medical congresses, including meetings hosted by the American Society of Nephrology and the American Epilepsy Society. In December, we also presented at CTAD, where we highlighted the importance of continued utilization of LEQEMBI in a maintenance setting. And just this week, we published pivotal DEVOTE SPINRAZA high dose data in Nature Medicine. All of this put together reinforces our belief that our pipeline will continue to play a critical role in delivering the new Biogen.
Turning now to our full development pipeline, which we believe we have transformed into a more balanced portfolio across the risk-reward spectrum. This is the result of a very deliberate process that we have carried out over the last few years to discontinue lower-value projects and bring in new potentially higher value assets. Today, our late-stage registrational pipeline consists of high scientific conviction programs with significant commercial potential. This is different than the Biogen approach in the past. It is also balanced alongside our early-stage pre-POC pipeline with the high risk, high-reward assets where we continue to follow the science to determine next steps. We remain focused on broadening our early-stage pipeline from both internal research assets and potentially business development opportunities. Today, we continue to make progress by adding BIIB145, our BTK degrader into the clinic, having recently initiated a Phase I study in normal healthy volunteers. And we continue to look to potentially add more INDs into our pipeline over the next several years and months.
Turning to the future. and looking forward to the next 18 months, I'm really encouraged by the number of expected data readouts and key milestones. And I would now like to highlight some of these. Starting with SMA, we now have SPINRAZA high-dose approval in Europe and Japan, while we await a regulatory decision in April in the U.S. With Salad Nelson, which we believe could transform the standard of care in SMA, we expect to present exciting follow-up Phase Ib data at the Muscular Dystrophy Association meeting next month. With litifilimab and building on our recent breakthrough designation for CLE, we are now planning and preparing to share new data from the Phase II portion of the Phase II/III seamless AMETHYST CLE trial at a medical meeting, hopefully, in the first half of this year. Excitingly, for Likely, with priority review, we now expect to have an FDA decision for IQLIK initiation in May. Importantly, we also have regulatory filings underway both in Japan and China. We believe IQLIK is a differentiated important opportunity that could provide additional optionality for patients as this important market continues to grow. We also expect to have data from our pre-POC pipeline for BIIB122 in Parkinson's disease and BIIB080 in early Alzheimer's disease sometime around midyear. These data sets will guide us in determining the further development for these assets. Most importantly, 2026, we are looking forward to the litifilimab Phase III data in SLE, expected at the end of this year, and we continue to be encouraged by the opportunity in CLE where we expect to see data around midyear next year and in a similar time frame, we'll start to see data reading out for felzartamab in AMR.
In conclusion, I hope you can appreciate the increased momentum of our pipeline over the next 18 months, and we believe this will drive our goal of delivering the new Biogen.
I would now like to hand the call over to Robin for an update on our financial performance.
Thank you, Priya. I'd like to provide some key highlights about our strong fourth quarter and full year financial results. Unless otherwise noted, the comparisons I make during my remarks are versus 2024 and and refer to non-GAAP unless otherwise stated. Starting with earnings. Our fourth quarter and full year 2025 non-GAAP EPS came in above our expectations. Fourth quarter non-GAAP diluted EPS was $1.99. Full year non-GAAP diluted EPS was $15.28. As expected, our Q4 2025 GAAP and non-GAAP results reflected $222 million of IPR&D charges for our fourth quarter business development transactions, including the license agreements with Vanqua Bio, Dayra Therapeutics and the acquisition of Alcyone Therapeutics. This had a $1.26 impact on EPS. I I'd like to point out that our GAAP operating income was impacted by approximately $180 million of onetime charges that occurred in the quarter relating to litigation and other matters. We achieved strong revenue performance for the year. Our growth products performed well, generating over $800 million in Q4 2025 and $3.3 billion for the full year 2025, up 6% and 9%, respectively, versus 2024. In addition, we continue to see resilient performance from our U.S. MS business.
Total revenue for the full year 2025 was $9.9 billion, up 2% versus 2024. Our strong commercial execution, combined with disciplined expense management, enabled robust cash flow generation. As a result, we delivered $2.1 billion in free cash flow for the year, exiting the year with $4.2 billion in cash and marketable securities. This further strengthened our balance sheet and provides us with flexibility as we continue to invest for growth.
I'll now cover our Q4 revenue performance. In Q4, revenue from our growth products exceeded revenue from our MS business, excluding VUMERITY, which we include in our good growth products. LEQEMBI continued to see steady sequential demand growth globally with fourth quarter in-market sales booked by [ Eisai ] of approximately $134 million, up 10% and 54% and versus Q3 2025 and Q4 2024, respectively. LEQEMBI delivered steady sequential and year-over-year growth in the U.S. and internationally. SKYCLARYS saw sequential global patient demand growth with Q4 global revenue of $133 million, representing 30% growth year-over-year. In the U.S. Q4 revenue was $89 million. This represents sequential growth of $14 million, which benefited from approximately $9 million of favorable inventory dynamics. We expect this inventory build will be drawn down in Q1 2026. Outside the U.S., fourth quarter revenue of $44 million was impacted by approximately $12 million in net pricing adjustments.
Looking forward, we are optimistic about the future growth as we bring on new markets. Global SPINRAZA revenue in the fourth quarter was $356 million. In the U.S., we were pleased to see SPINRAZA growth year-over-year, where fourth quarter revenue was $169 million. Outside the U.S., fourth quarter revenue of $188 million was impacted by the timing of shipments. Overall, SPINRAZA continued to demonstrate resilience in a competitive market with full year revenue down 2% year-over-year.
VUMERITY fourth quarter revenue was $181 million, driven by steady year-over-year demand growth, boosted by improved affordability in the U.S. with the IRA Part D redesign. Q4 U.S. revenue was negatively impacted by timing of shipments associated with the favorable inventory build we discussed on our Q3 earnings call. For the full year, VUMERITY generated $747 million, representing 19% year-over-year growth. And we are pleased to see strong performance from ZURZUVAE and QALSODY driven primarily by increased demand. For our remaining MS products, global TECFIDERA revenue in the fourth quarter was $398 million, demonstrating continued resilience. In the U.S., we generated $244 million of revenue. Ex-U.S. revenue was $153 million, where the impact of biosimilar competition for the IV formulation in the EU was partially offset by continued demand growth for our subcutaneous formulation. TECFIDERA saw the expected acceleration of generic erosion in the EU, which we expect to continue in 2026. Revenue from our anti-CD20 therapeutic program was $521 million in Q4 2025, up 12% year-over-year. This increase was driven largely by royalties from OCREVUS, which benefited from subcutaneous launch.
Now a few comments on the rest of the P&L. In the quarter, cost of sales benefited from favorable product mix due primarily to the expected minimal low-margin contract manufacturing revenue in the quarter. Non-GAAP R&D expense decreased 6% Q4 2025 versus Q4 2024 and 10% for the full year '25 versus the full year '24, primarily driven by continued cost reduction measures realized in connection with our portfolio prioritization initiatives and our Fit for Growth program, offset in part by our investment in our Phase III clinical program, including felzartamab and litifilimab, which was funded in part by an R&D funding arrangement.
SG&A was up roughly 1% for Q4 and full year 2025 versus '24, driven primarily by planned prelaunch activities supporting lupus and nephrology and direct-to-consumer advertising for LEQEMBI and VUMERITY. As I discussed earlier, our GAAP and non-GAAP results include a $1.26 impact from our Q4 business development transaction. Our GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates in the quarter benefited from the release of reserves upon the expiry of a statute of limitations. We are pleased with the quarter and our full year 2025 results. This strong commercial execution, coupled with disciplined financial management drove continued robust cash flow performance for both Q4 and full year 2025, with free cash flow of $2.1 million for the full year 2025.
And turning to the balance sheet. As a result, we have further strengthened our financial position and closed the year with $4.2 billion in cash and marketable securities and $2 billion of net debt. The financial strength provides us with flexibility to support strategic investments as we look to drive meaningful innovation for patients and long-term value for our shareholders.
Looking ahead, we believe the transformation activities we have taken so far have established a strong foundation to deliver on the vision of the new Biogen. A crucial element of realizing this vision is our commitment to strategically invest in prelaunch activities to support our lupus and nephrology portfolio. We are focused on ensuring that we are well positioned for the portfolio of the future while continuing to maintain our focus on financial discipline. With our first Phase III data expected at the end of this year for litifilimab and SLE and next year for felzartamab and AMR, we are making critical investments now to position ourselves to launch these products successfully. And at the same time, we are expecting to keep our core OpEx in 2026, roughly consistent with 2025.
Now turning to our outlook for 2026. We expect full year non-GAAP diluted EPS to be between $15.25 and and $16.25, reflecting growth versus our full year 2025 results. Total revenue is expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage for 2026 compared to 2025 Competitive pressures in MS are partially offset by increased revenue from our growth products. We expect our full year revenue for our MS products, excluding VUMERITY, to decline by a mid-teens percentage versus 2025. We expect our full year contract manufacturing revenue to be roughly $300 million in each half of 2026.
Moving to the P&L. We expect gross margin to be roughly consistent with 2025. And building on my comments regarding consistent OpEx for the year, we expect Q1 expense to be roughly 10% higher than Q1 of last year due to phasing of spend in 2026. Please be sure to review this slide and our press release for other important guidance assumptions.
Now I'll pass the call back to Tim for Q&A.
Thanks, Rob. Let's go to our first question, please.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Alex Hammond with Wolfe Research.
2. Question Answer
I guess one on LEQEMBI. Can you walk us through how to think about the cadence of sales growth this year. We're really just trying to understand the timing and percent of patients likely to go on to maintenance, and how that may impact revenue?
Sure. Thanks very much. So like I said, we don't really have clear data about how many patients actually go on to maintenance since we really only know how many vials we sell. But the data that we do have suggests that there is this persistency of about 70%. So that suggests that quite a number of people come to the end of the plaque move period and go on to maintenance. Now the vast majority of those are still on the monthly infusion because you switch from a biweekly infusion during the pack removal period. And once you go on to maintenance that becomes once a month. Now we're also seeing a progressive take-up of the subcutaneous pen, but again, we don't have full reimbursement for that, so patients have to go through the formulary exemption process. So I think what you're going to see is pretty much continued sequential quarter-on-quarter growth. There's increased use of blood-based diagnostics. And that is, as I said earlier, helping to make sure that those patients who are eligible for treatment are actually getting to see the neurologist an increasing number of neurologists. Again, right now, our estimate is about 10% to 15%, but that's expected to grow are using the blood-based diagnostics to validate the diagnosis which will hopefully reduce the number of PET scans and lumbar punctures. There's an economic reason for that, too, PET scan costs about $5,000. The cost of a test is, I think, somewhere around $140. So there's -- there'll be an economic reason to move to the blood-based diagnostic. Obviously, if we can get the pen for induction approved, that is a major benefit I think we're also going to see though that not everybody is going to immediately go to that. I think -- certainly, for those patients who are perhaps more rule-based and have a long drive to an infusion center, you might see more rapid uptake. We certainly heard some physicians who talk about the desire to continue to have the patient come in, at least in the early phase of plaque removal to monitor the potential for ARIA and do the MRI. So now what we do hope is that with the approval of the subcutaneous for induction, that as payers start to look at their formularies 2027, I think there is a good chance that some payers will take the subcutaneous for both induction and maintenance and that both of those become fully reimbursed on first of January. Now that's kind of an individual payer decision, and we won't know until they announce their formularies in the fall of this year. So I think you're going to continue to see, as I said, that linear growth pattern. But I think we're also seeing some very strong response to direct-to-consumer advertising. So all of these factors are accumulating. We're certainly hearing anecdotal evidence that physicians seem to be appreciating the benefit that they see in their patients. So I think in the first half, it's probably continued linear growth sometime in the latter half of the year and certainly potentially going into '27, there's a potential for acceleration in that. But I think we really need to see the full reimbursement to make sure we take full advantage of the subcutaneous pen.
We'll go to Phil Nadeau with TD Cowen.
Chris, I think the #1 thing investors abating is when Biogen's top line could return to growth. What are your thoughts on that? When do you think the growth products could overtake the declines in the legacy franchises and what role could business dome have in that?
Well, so far, the growth products in the last 2 years or certainly last year, did outstrip the decline DMS. Now this year, we'll see a full year of TECFIDERA generic erosion in Europe. We had about 6 months of that in 2025. So I think we will see a little bit more erosion of the M&S portfolio as a result of that. At the end of the last year, we also saw the introduction of a biosimilar for TYSABRI. It's early days yet, so we can't really determine the erosion, but I think we're reasonably optimistic that we can maintain a strong market share for SABRE brand. This is -- there's a limited number of physicians who are very strongly believers in the importance of TYSABRI. So that's what we're going to rely on. We also have an extraordinarily strong patient services organization in our U.S. company. I think to return to growth, I think there's two things really need to happen. One is we do need to start seeing the positive Phase III results come out and the launch of products. So if we assume that the Phase III for litifilimab is positive for SLE, that could be launching in '28. If we assume that the AMR data are positive, that could be a launch in 2028 as well. And I think particularly, AMR could be a launch that takes off quite quickly, just given the the identified patient base that exists and the fact that there's no treatment. The other, of course, is BD, and we continue to look for potential acquisition opportunities. These are companies that are post Phase III results and really or early stage in their commercialization. And certainly no more than around the $5 billion-ish -- $5 billion to $6 billion mark. But you know the reality is that it's hard to find things that actually generate value for our shareholders. There are certainly companies out there, but we haven't found one that we can acquire for a price that we think makes sense for our shareholders. But we continue to look. We are looking every day out there in the marketplace. And I think that's an opportunity. But equally, I would say we are -- we have some pretty high conviction in our late-stage pipeline. Now nothing is ever given in research and development, as we all know. But 10 Phase III programs that's a real achievement from over the past year because at the end of 2024, really only had litifilimab. Now we not only have those programs, but we've got potential -- let's see what happens with BIIB080 and the [ Mark 2, ] and we're starting to put programs into the clinic. So we're continuing to look, but I think it's really seeing these products launch and if we can find an acquisition. But otherwise, I think we've been able to really again create that bridge to growth. We're generating cash. We're generating profits, and we're investing significantly in our growth brands.
Our next question comes from the line of Brian Skorney with Baird.
With the BIIB080 catalyst coming up, I was just wondering if maybe I can get a comment from Chris or maybe Alisha, if he's on the call. Obviously, you guys have been very successful with SPINRAZA as an intrathecal injection even in the face of oral competition. But LEQEMBi has been much harder in Alzheimer's is an IV, which I think to most degree an easier mode of administration than intrathecal. So I guess how would you be thinking about the commercial opportunity for 080? And what sort of clinical data is really needed to kind of see the next level of commercial success over LEQEMBI.
Well, I think we really want to see the data. What I can tell you is that the neurology community is going to be also looking at these data very closely. Every Alzheimer's expert, I talked to really think tow is an important target. And if you look at the severity of Alzheimer's, that's really related to the level of tau. So there is a logic there. And with BIIB080, we know we can actually reduce to. The question will be how long do you have to reduce the tau to move the needle on cognition. And I think you've seen from the GLP-1 data that it's quite hard to move that level of cognition. So I think we want to see data first. I think if there is, then you also want to see what the side effect profile is. There is a belief that we're not going to have anything like [ ARIA. ] But again, we need to see those data. This is a Phase II data that is really break for science. Nobody knows. Nobody has been able to move the needle so far. Our belief is also that it's the intracellular tile that matters as opposed to the extracellular tau, which is why the antibodies haven't worked. I do think it's a complex disease, Alzheimer's and most complex diseases require multiple modalities. And so from a commercial point of view, obviously, there's already a lot speculation about what would be the sequencing of these treatments? Would you treat the tau first? Would you treat the Abeta first? Or would you put these in combination? And then there's also an opportunity once to see the data, can you go into other tauopathies. So it's a little premature to say, but I can say that if it is positive, I think the neurology community is going to be very excited about that. But I would also remind everybody that we would then have to go into a Phase III program. And anything in Alzheimer's doesn't happen on a very quick basis. So this would take several years again to be able to do that Phase III and launch the product.
Our next question comes from the line of Michael Yee with UBS.
Following up on BIIB080, which I think is going to be really an important readout I understand the primary endpoint is CDR sum of the boxes after 18 months, which is great, and I think the study is well designed. But how important is looking at subgroups, for example, high tau versus low tau or are any of those prespecified, and how important is tau sub study, where obviously PET tau imaging is going to be critically important to see if we're actually doing anything.
Priya?
Thanks, Michael. No, it's very important, I would say, I think as Chris just outlined, this is a very important test of the scientific hypothesis. So we'll be looking at tau. We'll be looking at fluid biomarkers. We'll be looking for trends in clinical data, and we'll be trying to triangulate all of that. And importantly, I think we've set it up well because we do have a top study. And we are testing, as I'll just remind everyone, we are testing three doses and two dosing regimens, and it is a randomized controlled trial. So all of that will be very informative. We believe this will be very important to assess, yes, all of it.
We will go to Salveen Richter with Goldman Sachs.
When I look at your late-stage registrational pipeline, you've put that whole basket under high conviction here. And I -- just wanted to understand in the context of litifilimab with these Phase III trials reading out and the kind of mixed Phase II data sets here and just the mat risk around lupus. What it is that leads you to believe that this is high -- that you have high conviction here on the outcomes in the Phase III?
Priya.
Thank you, Salveen. Well, I'll just start off by saying that we really believe that litifilimab is a high scientific conviction lead stage program. And the reason for this is that it targets the BDCA2 pathway, as you know, and we know that BDCA2 is really a receptor that is expressed exclusively on what we know as the pDC cells, plasmacytoid dendritic cells, which regulate immune response and then control the type 1 interferon signature pathway. And I think that what we've shown, and we have published this in the New New Journal of Medicine, both the parts of the LILAC study, where in the first part of the study, we looked at systemic lupus. And in the second part, we looked at cutaneous lupus. And in both independently, we believe we had important data that we would classify as proof of concept. So I think we have designed the trials to really be assessing that and confirming that. Our primary endpoint is also similarly established as SRI-4, which is the SLE responder index. And what's important about this primary endpoint is that it requires more than a four-point or greater reduction with no worsening, so really captures disease activity. And I think that because of the pathway, which is very relevant for skin and joints, we have targeted our inclusion in the litifilumab, TOPAZ-1 and TOPAZ-2 trials to be really appropriate for the mechanism of action. So overall, we remain encouraged and optimistic. Of course, we have to wait for readout. And again, the readout for SLE is end of the year and CRE will be sometime midyear next year.
We have a question from Umer Raffat with Evercore.
Maybe I'll switch gates to felzartamab for a quick second. How important is it for you to hit on the eGFR endpoint beyond the primary endpoint? And I'm asking because back in Phase II, it was hard to evaluate endpoint given the massive imbalance on eGFR. And on this felzartamab point to, I guess, how do you think about limiting the scope of development to just kidney transplant AMR. Why not AMR and other organ transplants as well?
Thanks, Umer. So overall, I think it's a very important endpoint. I think as we've set it up, the primary endpoint is what we'll be focusing on, but we'll be definitely looking at all the secondary end points. And I think eventually, as in most cases, the totality of data will matter. We remain really excited about it based on the proof of concept. It was a small trial, but the magnitude of effect of greater than 80% that we saw in that small Phase II trial was really compelling. And I think that that's really the piece that is very encouraging. Now speaking of other times plan, thank you for that question because we are ourselves evaluating the impact of the -- addressing the CD38 auto antibodies in other transplants. So it remains an important area of internal evaluation and query. And obviously, we'll communicate more on that as this becomes important. I also wanted to call out that we have -- we are in the process of initiating another sort of sister indication trial with the microvascular inflammation, which we think is going to be a very important aspect as we continue to think about what do patients and prescribers really need in the field of antibody-mediated rejection.
Yes. I think the only thing I would add is that we do -- we are aware of some physicians who are experimenting with CD38, I know some physicians, for example, in heart transplant, and we'll be monitoring, obviously, a lot of that activity. We're not sponsoring any of that, but certainly be looking to learn from whatever experience they have.
Our next question comes from the line of Evan Seigerman from BMO Capital Markets.
I want to touch on HD SPINRAZA with the potential approval in the U.S. coming in April. How should we think about what that could do to your top line growth for 2026 in the rare disease business.
So like I said before, the first country to approve this was Japan. And again, we are seeing higher results initially. I mean we're in the first few months of month. So it's difficult to draw definitive conclusions, but we're certainly off to a better start than we even had expected. And it's not just, as I said, in terms of adoption, but it's also switch back. We certainly have seen much higher levels of efficacy in the study, which suggests that there is an increased benefit to getting to a therapeutic level faster. I know in Europe, it is -- our teams are very excited about the launch, and they'll be next up, and we'll see results from that. And the feedback, again, is from the community as everybody has been waiting for these data. So the big thing in the SMA market is really efficacy versus convenience. Most physicians I talk to, and I'd like to go and talk to physicians who prescribe SPINRAZA around the world. And if you ask them about efficacy, they will -- most of them believe that it's really SPINRAZA. But at some point, the convenience of the oral starts to attract patients. Now here, we're going to be dramatically increasing the level of efficacy. And I think the choice between oral and efficacy will be harder for some physicians and parents. Market research suggests that there could be an increase in sales. But I think I would say there's no market research like actual sales. So I think there is an opportunity for upside here how fast physicians will be willing to transition patients is something that I think we have to wait see for practical purposes. But it is an important launch. And again, it's highly looked toward from the part of the patient advocacy groups as well as the physician community.
We will go to Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets.
Congrats on the progress. So you have a slide detailing some of the prelaunch activities. And I guess I was wondering if you could maybe talk through the on-the-ground process of pivoting and redeploying the existing commercial infrastructure ahead of the potential lupus and nephrology launches. And while it sounds like cost structure won't change much this year. Broadly speaking, I guess I'm wondering how you would expect commercial investments will need to evolve longer term in order to support the potential growth that you're bridging to? Like do you have a long-term margin target?
Well, the first thing is acquisition of experience and capability because we're going into areas where Biogen has not been present in the past. With AMR, we'll be seeing transplant nephrologists with IGAN, we'll be seeing nephrologists with lupus, we're going to see rheumatologists. And so in each of these, and of course, outside of U.S., we're going to see epileptologist and neurologists. So we need to build capabilities. And there, I think I'm extremely encouraged. Market research is always hard to do because it's a little theoretical for physicians. So one of the surrogate markers I look for is the ability to attract talent. And we've brought in a number of people from companies who have already a strong presence in those areas. And when you're betting your career on a product, I think that's an important move for people. And so people who are joining Biogen are joining because they see potential in these products. So I'm already encouraged by that. But the interesting thing is, I remember when we were developing DUPIXENT, all of the indications that DUPIXENT has today are areas where Sanofi previously had no experience. And yet, actually, by recruiting really not very many people in medical and commercial. Sanofi's obviously made that a successful product. And the reality is, is that you don't need to have the entire team necessarily have that experience. You need to have enough medical capability, and on the commercial side, at least the commercial leaders with that. So I don't foresee that this is going to have a massive impact on our OpEx trajectory. But it is important that we have people who understand these spaces because, as I always say, if you've launched 1 product, you've launched 1 product. There's so many differences between physician types, the patient, and we have to really understand the patient journey. So today, we're investing mostly actually in market research. We're going to be obviously present in congresses and presenting the data as they come along. But it's more of a getting ready at a global level and then progressively at a regional and local level, and we're not at this stage really looking at seeing any major change as I say, in the actual level of investments.
Yes. Chris, what I might add is that we look to the largest degree possible to reallocate resources from our legacy business towards our growth products, both in launch and those that are in the pipeline where we may have the opportunities to bring them to market.
Our next question comes from the line of Jay Olson with Oppenheimer.
Congrats on the quarter. We have a financial question to follow up on part of what Brian was asking. We're curious about the product margin for LEQEMBI. Can you talk about the level of expenses that you're investing in LEQEMBI, how does it compare to where you would like it to be longer term? And what's the steady-state target for LEQEMBI's product margin?
Yes. So we don't get into the specific product margin associated with LEQEMBi. But as was the case with most launch products as the launch progresses and we continue to make enhancements on the manufacturing processes, we would expect that we would see improved margins over the near to midterm.
Yes, in most products, I mean, this is really going to be driven by revenue, right? I mean the we are certainly investing significantly still in R&D. We have the AHEAD 3-45 study. We've been developing the subcutaneous formulations and all of those are extremely important for the development of LEQEMBI. From a commercial point of view, there is still a significant investment. This is an area, again, where we're having to create the market and educate. And so I wouldn't necessarily expect though to see the OpEx level to expand. But I would say if we're going to see margin expansion, it's going to be because the revenue starts to grow into the the OpEx level, if you like. So I would say we should see increasing margins over time as long as the revenue increases.
Our next question comes from the line of Eric Schmidt with Cantor.
Maybe another one for Robin on capital redeployment. Your balance sheet is being pretty stronger than it was. You're still creating a lot of cash flow. And Chris, just asserted a lot of confidence in the pipeline, including the late-stage pipeline. Is this the right time for a share buyback or otherwise a return of capital to shareholders?
Yes. So as it relates to deployment of capital, where we're focused on deploying capital in a manner that creates long-term shareholder growth. As Chris mentioned, we are looking to deploy capital towards business development transactions. But we do think about capital deployment in a broad manner. And so it's not out of the question that we might consider share buyback. But at this point, we're primarily focused on growing that top line.
Our next question comes from Chris Schott with JPMorgan.
Just a bigger picture one on the pipeline. Chris, in one of your parties when you joined us creating a more balanced pipeline seems like you've clearly been doing that in the late stage. But on the earlier-stage pipeline, can you just elaborate a little bit more on your priorities here? Should we just be thinking about there being more of these kind of high-risk, high-reward type assets, or is that as a part of the pipeline we should think about that same kind of balancing out approach playing out over time?
No. I don't think we have the size as a company to be in the high risk, high reward business. So I think we do have a lot of capability in Alzheimer's and ALS. So I think ALS, I think we believe that we can still invest there without so much risk because for us, at least, the neurofilament is an important biomarker, and so we believe that we'll get an early read as to whether a molecule is working or not in ALS. And that makes it a whole lot less high risk, but it's still a very high reward area. Obviously, if you could do something for the sporadic ALS population. So we haven't abandoned that. In fact, we have several targets in preclinical that we're working on. Alzheimer's is an area that we believe is going to be a core part of Biogen going forward. And beyond tau, we are working on some other areas and mechanisms, but that's pretty much the extent of our neuroscience. There's still MS. We are working on MS. But the area of unmet need in MS is pretty narrow now. It's it's really progressive MS, and that's an extremely important area of unmet need, but it has equally been a very difficult target to hit. So there is some limited work on MS. But most everything else in the early stage, we're really looking to immunology. And immunology is obviously a big space. And I would say, if I'm in a 5-year time horizon, we're really sticking with this rare immunology space as we've seen with felzartamab, for example, and and other products. But as you get into earlier stage, then I think we can open up the aperture a lot more. And if you look at something like a Dayra or even the Vanqua. Those are those -- both are opportunities to have a portfolio and a product. That's a really interesting thing about immunology is that as you follow these immune pathways, you're going to have a principal target. But once you have derisked the safety of that, it's relatively cost-efficient to be able to go and do signal-seeking studies in other areas. And so I think that's one of the areas we were looking for because it's a highly cost-efficient area for a company of our size. And most of -- I would say there's going to be probably a lot more in immunology than neuroscience. But as I say, ALS and Alzheimer's and to a degree, MS continue to be a target for us.
Our next question comes from the line of Danielle Brill with Truist Securities.
Maybe a couple of modeling items here. You mentioned the onetime reimbursement true-up for SKYCLARYS. What was the magnitude of that? And how should we be modeling the quarterly run rate in '26. And then additionally, for ZURZUVAE, how should we be thinking about the impact of the European rollout?
Yes. So in respect to SKYCLARYS and the true-up that was occurring in ex-U.S., that was $12 million. And I would look at that in relation to the occurring in the fourth quarter. Now as Chris has mentioned in the past, as we go and launch ex U.S., you have a situation where you have reimbursement occurring on a country-by-country basis. And so you have timing of booking to an estimate until you get finalization of that reimbursement in place. And so periodically, you may see true-ups or changes in estimate. But in respect to this, it related to two countries in Europe, and it was a onetime item in the fourth quarter.
But I think you're going to continue to see nice steady growth of Friedreich's ataxia. We still see this as a major opportunity. There are a lot of patients in South America. And so I think the launch in Brazil will be particularly important for us. That will be initially in a private market and then we'll progressively get state reimbursement as well. ZURZUVAE will be interesting in Europe. Initially, the pricing assessments were coming back, such that it didn't make sense. But I think one of the things that we have seen from the success in the U.S. is that some of that is translating into Europe as well. So I think we are going to be doing a highly selective rollout in Europe. It's not going to be pan-European because of the pricing questions. But I think we're already seeing pricing levels that are actually enough to be able to launch. And obviously, we are very mindful of the MFN environment. And while we have not -- we're not one of the companies that signed an agreement, as you've seen, there are demonstration projects now that have been launched by the administration. And so as we launch new products, we are certainly looking at this from an end point of view. And that will mean that it's probably a target of about 3 or 4 countries that we're going to be starting with as opposed to the whole 27.
Well, that concludes the call. Thanks, everybody, for your time today. If you've got more questions, just reach out to any of us in the IR team. Thank you.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Biogen — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Biogen — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: Gesamtjahr 2025 $9,9 Mrd (+2% vs. 2024).
- Growth-Produkte: $3,3 Mrd FY (Q4 >$800M), +9% YoY; LEQEMBI Q4 in‑market Sales bei ~$134M (+10% QoQ, +54% YoY).
- Ergebnis: Q4 Non‑GAAP EPS $1,99; FY Non‑GAAP EPS $15,28 (in GUIDANCE‑Bereich).
- Cash & FCF: Free Cash Flow $2,1 Mrd; Kasse & marktg. Wertpapiere $4,2 Mrd; Net Debt ~$2,0 Mrd.
- Einmaleffekte: IPR&D‑Charges $222M (EPS‑Auswirkung $1,26); GAAP‑Sonderaufwand ≈$180M.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Fokus: Biogen verschiebt das Geschäftsmodell auf neu eingeführte „growth“ Produkte (LEQEMBI, SKYCLARYS, ZURZUVAE, QALSODY) und inkludiert VUMERITY in diese Kategorie.
- Pipeline‑Expansion: Mehrere registratorische Programme und beschleunigte Studien (litifilimab, felzartamab, BIIB080/122); Akquisition Alcyone zur Verbesserung intrathekaler Therapie‑Erfahrung.
- Kommerzielle Priorität: Ausbau Diagnostik/Diagnosepfade (Bluttests), Markt‑Creation für Anti‑Amyloid‑Therapien und Vorbereitung auf neue Indikationen (Lupus, Nephrologie, AMR).
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- EPS‑Guidance: Non‑GAAP diluted EPS $15,25–$16,25 für 2026.
- Umsatzprognose: Gesamtumsatz 2026 erwartet mittlere einstellige Rückgang; MS‑Produkte ex VUMERITY: mittelhohe zweistellige Rückgang.
- Kennzahlen & Timing: LEQEMBI IQLIK Priority Review, PDUFA 24. Mai (Datum aus Call); SPINRAZA High‑Dose PDUFA im April; mehrere Phase‑III‑Readouts (litifilimab Ende des Jahres, felzartamab später).
- Operativ: Bruttomarge grob stabil; Q1‑OpEx phasenbedingt ≈+10% YoY; Auftragsfertigungsumsatz ≈$300M je Hälfte 2026.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- LEQEMBI‑Cadence: Kernfragen zur Persistenz (Management nennt ~70%), zur Umstellung auf subkutanes IQLIK und zur Erstattung (vollständige Part‑D‑Erstattung erst 1.1.2027; Formularausnahmen derzeit genutzt).
- Pipeline‑Risiken: Nachfrage nach Belegen für litifilimab (SLE/CLE) und felzartamab (AMR); Analysten wollten Validierung der Phase‑II‑Signale sowie Zeitplan für mögliche Launches.
- BIIB080‑Daten: Wichtige Diskussionen zu Endpunktwahl (CDR‑Sum‑of‑Boxes), Tau‑Subgruppen und Rolle von PET/Fluid‑Biomarkern; Phase‑II erwartet Mitte Jahr, Phase‑III wäre Folge bei positivem Signal.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solide Q4 mit starker Cash‑Position; Management setzt klar auf Wachstum über neue Launches und eine ausgebaute Late‑Stage‑Pipeline. Kurzfristig bleibt Umsatz 2026 belastet durch MS‑Rückgang, langfristiger Upside hängt an Erstattung IQLIK und kritischen Phase‑III‑Readouts (litifilimab, felzartamab, BIIB080).
Biogen — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Good afternoon, everybody. I'm Chris Schott from JPMorgan, and it's my pleasure to be introducing Biogen today. We have the company's CEO, Chris Viebacher, who's going to talk about the progress the company has made across its portfolio. So Chris, happy New Year. Looking forward to the presentation, and we'll jump to a Q&A session once Chris is done.
Thank you, Chris. Happy New Year, everybody. I think I should be well managed here. I've got my current Head of IR and my prior Head of IR from Sanofi here with me to make sure I don't screw up. All right. So exciting year at Biogen. We've been on a long journey. The -- obviously, the MS portfolio has been declining. I think the first year I was here as CEO of Biogen, we talked about the melting iceberg. And this is a period where every pharma company gets at one point, where the growth drivers of your business are arriving at the end of their intellectual property lives and the new company has to emerge. And so the playbook for that is really what we've been doing here. The first one, we need to actually manage our cost base.
And it's not just about cutting costs. I mean we did achieve the $1 billion in gross cost savings, $800 million in net. But it was really around redesigning the organization. Biogen had been historically focused on multiple sclerosis, and yet we were launching new drugs in Alzheimer's and postpartum depression and not to mention other areas. And so we needed to actually retool the company and rebuild it for the future.
So we did actually also reduce headcount by about 15%, which I think brought a nimbleness and agility back to the company.
Then of course, you've got to think about your pipeline and going through the pipeline, it's always the case that the more money you have in the company the less discipline you become about what goes into the portfolio because there's always something super interesting in science and the discipline disappears a little bit.
So when you come to these to the end of these patent lives, you renew your discipline, and we did that, and we ended up taking out quite a lot of things from our R&D pipeline. I'm very grateful for Priya Singhal our Head of Development, a very steely eye to these things.
And it's amazing what you can do because we now have 10 Phase III programs with five potential new products, and yet we are spending 26% of on R&D than we did 3 years ago. So that just shows you how in a lot of the times, how much productivity you can find in the company.
Now in the meantime, we've also launched four new medicines of course, true to Biogen's reputation, everything is breakthrough. And so -- sorry, they're not only first-in-class, these are all first in disease therapies. I know there's still -- okay, right. I got to look at the wrong screen.
So the -- those are actually in Alzheimer's disease, Friedreich's ataxia, postpartum depression and in ALS. And what did that do? Well, the revenue from those programs are now offsetting the decline in the MS and that's been important because I think we've been able to put a floor under the company. So as the new product pipeline emerges and the MS pipeline slowly declines, we have been able to exercise an awful lot of discipline in how we manage our business. And of course, that has strengthened our growth potential not only because these products all have a long runway for growth, but we've been able to do some transformational transactions as well.
So our long-term strategy is really based on three things. So you've got the current growth drivers, which are really LEQEMBI, SKYCLARYS, ZURZUVAE, QALSODY, VUMERITY and also SPINRAZA.
Now in here, I would say there were two products that I think had lost a little bit of the love and attention that we needed. So SPINRAZA is in a very competitive situation. And I'm very grateful to our teams for having been able to stabilize our market share in that competitive environment. And that's going to be important because as you see later, we have a successor to SPINRAZA called Nusinersen.
And just today, actually, we had the high-dose SPINRAZA approved in the EU. And VUMERITY is still the only branded product in the oral segment of multiple sclerosis, and that has grown at double digits, and we still have market exclusivity into the next decade.
LEQEMBI, of course, has grown strongly, SKYCLARYS for Friedreich's ataxia. ZURZUVAE, I think, has been a really nice surprise. We are certainly not only exceeding market expectations but indeed our own expectations.
And QALSODY, while it's not going to be a big product, I have said internally that -- we've done this because it has such a positive impact on patients with ALS, but we'll never make any money on it. But fortunately, the teams at Biogen are trying to meet my words on that. And actually that product is doing a lot better than we expected as well.
So then this is kind of confusing because the big slide is the one that's the next slide and the one that's up there is the little slide. So that's what I just said.
Okay. So here, you can see that these growth drivers collectively grew 53% and $1.9 billion, and those are the ones that are offsetting our revenue.
So if I go now next to the pipeline, you can see that we've actually got a whole series of new products that are coming along that will start to read out this year, starting with litifilimab this year. Next year, we start to see litifilimab in CLE. This year, it will be in SLE. But we also start to see results in -- with Zorevunersen and with felzatamab in AMR and then obviously, in '28 to '30, then we have quite a lot of products.
Now one of the things that's been important is really having a balanced pipeline. And this is kind of interesting because, again, Biogen has always been dedicated to breakthrough science. Biogen takes an awful lot of pride in going after those diseases where there is no cure and where often quite a number of other companies are not willing to go.
But that has created a risk profile that was often difficult for investors to appreciate. So what we tried to do is be true to Biogen's heritage and still have a number of breakthrough products.
So if you look on the right, which is our Wave 3, we have a readout of BIIB80 in tau. This is a new modality in Alzheimer's disease. And this is one of the most interesting areas for neurologists who are treating Alzheimer's. It's a great belief that in addition to amyloid beta, you need to treat the tau.
And you've seen, of course, that a number of antibodies haven't been able to work in this space. And our belief is that with an ASO, we can act on intracellular tau.
Now we know from Phase I studies that we can actually significantly reduce tau. And we saw some tantalizing evidence that actually we can see some pretty amazing efficacy. But obviously, we will need to see this trial to get a real sense of how this drug -- but performs.
But we are in uncharted territory. We know we can knock down the tow. We just don't know how long you have to knock down the tow to move the needle on cognition.
Equally in here, you've got the partnership with Denali in Parkinson's. LRRK2 has long been a favorite target for people who are treating Parkinson's. But again, until we see the readout, we won't really know the importance of this.
So in addition to being of interest to investors, the medical and scientific community are really awaiting the results of these trials. And again, this goes back to who Biogen is doing this breakthrough science.
But again, to try to make the company more sustainable, we've moved into areas where we think we can actually get a higher level of conviction because we have a higher level of evidence earlier in the development portfolio.
And in there, of course, you have salinersen. This is the next generation of SPINRAZA. We believe that this could be a once-yearly intrathecal injection.
We have some Phase II data. We have seen children who have had gene therapy in their infancy, but who still could not sit or stand at the age of 4, 5. But after 3 months of treatment was salinersen, we're able to do so. And I can tell you there's no job satisfaction that you get that really beats that.
Then you have Zorevunersen, these are children who suffer incredible numbers of epileptic seizures, and that affects their childhood development. And what we have seen is that we can not only manage the seizures, but we are actually impacting cognition and development.
Now that was a Phase II open-label study, and Stoke is leading partner on this incredible medicine that's leading the Phase III program validate those results. But again, this is one where we have high conviction and is still very much true to Biogen with breakthrough medicine.
Felzatamab is I think is still a very much underestimated asset within Biogen's pipeline. We are looking at antibody-mediated rejection. There's PMN, there's IgAN. We're looking at another three indications. We have a next-generation anti-CD38 antibody in development. We're developing subcutaneous formulations for the current antibody as well as the next generation.
When HI-Bio acquired felzartamab for MorphoSys, they looked at 35 different indications? They clearly went after the initial ones that were the quickest and least expensive to develop. But this is clearly a portfolio and a product. And we're very excited not only about the three indications we've always got -- we've already got running. There's another one called microvascular inflammation for which we'll also start what could be a registration study very shortly. But then there are another three indications for that. And I think if we have two [ mabs ], then we can have two different molecules that could really go after that whole list of potential indications.
And then you have lupus coming along. And lupus, I think, is still also very much underappreciated. There are as many, if not more patients with lupus than with multiple sclerosis. And yet I don't think there's anybody that sees the lupus market as being the same size as multiple sclerosis.
And I think actually Biogen is the exact right company to unlock that market. This is a heterogeneous disease. We have multiple modalities between the dapirolizumab and litifilimab to attack this disease. We're looking at SLE as well as CLE.
And I think what is really going to be important is to really understand the patient journey. We had a number of questions from investors today about what's the clinical data that will really make a difference Well, actually, that's like saying what are the clinical data that will make a difference in multiple sclerosis? Well, it depends on who's the patient? What stage is their disease at? And that's what Biogen is used to doing.
And Biogen has this incredible ability to interface with patients.So I think actually, we have an opportunity to really create and go beyond where existing competitors are in building an important market for lupus.
So we are -- we have a number of other catalysts coming along, LEQEMBI. As you know, this has been a difficult market, largely because of the complexity that the neurologist has had to deal with. And our job has really been to try to simplify the care pathway.
One of the ways that we can do this is with subcutaneous injection. So we already have approval for the maintenance indication. And we are seeing with a very high degree of adherence to therapy that patients who are coming to the end of the 18-month period of elimination of are actually wanting to go on to the maintenance therapy.
The next is, of course, we've already submitted for approval, the subcutaneous formulation for induction. That's going to be also extremely important, partly because we do have a competitor and the competitor offers once monthly infusion versus our every 2-week infusion.
But that advantage is going to go away once we have a subcutaneous formulation. Because for maintenance, we need one auto-injector per week. And for induction, we will use two auto injectors, but given simultaneously. So that will improve not only the patient experience, but it simplifies the pathway.
Now with blood-based diagnostics and with subcutaneous this makes the life of the physician much easier. We also are going to be reading out the studies for SLE. Those are expected at the end of this year. Early next year, we'll have the readout for cutaneous lupus. And then the readout, as I said, for the other two high-risk, high-reward assets, BIIB80, probably about mid-year, probably a little earlier than that, we will have BIIB90, and BIIB122 for LRRK2.
So in summary, we can certainly say we're executing on a consistent strategy to deliver long-term sustainable growth. We're delivering on our launch products, including unlocking significant potential for LEQEMBI.
We've expanded and strengthened our pipeline in areas where we have strategic advantage. And now we have a more efficient cost structure to balance short-term profitability while investing in long-term growth.
So 2026 starts really a transformational era for us. Obviously, 2026 in itself is interesting, but we see not only the cards turning over for lupus this year. But then going into next year, again, lupus in CLE in AMR and Zorevunersen. And then we also have felzartamab and salinersen. As well as the pediatric indication for SKYCLARYS coming in 2028.
So where we sit today, we have, I think, a very high conviction in our pipeline. We've been able to stabilize the business, and we're very excited at Biogen. So thank you.
Yes. So maybe to kick off the Q&A. I know we touched on this during the presentation. But Chris, when I know you joined one of your prior view is creating a more balanced, less high binary risk kind of pipeline. How far along in that journey do you feel you are today? So are we kind of there today? Or is there still more work to do?
Well, I think in terms of the pipeline, I would say, we've got 10 Phase III programs, which is quite a lot for us, five new product launches. When we add up the peak sales of those assets, not everything is obviously going to work.
But just supposing that everything did work, that's sort of 1 to 1.5x our current business. So I think from a late-stage pipeline, we're in good shape. Where we're still lacking is we have, the covered pretty bare in the early stage development. And in research, we took a pretty radical approach to research this year and are more focused on external. I think the collaboration that we did with Vanqua, with Dayra are indicative of things that we want to do, City Therapeutics.
So we're starting to really build a research pipeline because every time I have seen a company have a very solid late-stage pipeline, people ignore the research. And we only come back to research when it looks like, oh, we have to replace that. So I think Biogen has an opportunity to grow well into the 2030s. And so with research, we want to make sure that, that goes also into the 2040s.
And I think on -- you probably to think a little bit about business development. I think if we could, I think we'd like to find one more near-term growth asset, something that is already at a phase end of Phase early commercial phase. But I think I said last year, your propensity to do M&A is inversely proportionate to your confidence in R&D. And we're pretty confident, I have to say. As confident as can be in obviously.
And on the earlier stage front, there's a lot of opportunity there from your perspective?
I mean one of the things that we have done is try to expand beyond neuroscience Neuroscience is an extremely important area, but there is -- there hasn't been as many opportunities to do business development, and it's extremely capital-intensive and long to develop assets.
So immunology was where we chose to go. And we did that because we felt we were already in immunology. MS is really an autoimmune disease. And immunology is a wonderful big space.
And in fact, I see Sebastian sitting there. I mean, when we were at Sanofi and we started developing DUPIXENT. DUPIXENT, I think, was really the product that really got everybody excited about immunology.
And so today, we're probably more in the path of looking at rare immunology for the next 5 years. I don't think as Biogen, we necessarily want to get into large indications. But when we look at research, Well, now you have the time to pretty much do anything you want in there. And there's a whole lot of -- a lot of interesting areas that you can get into. And what I particularly like about immunology is it's a cost effective way of doing research.
Because when you follow these immunology pathways, it can lead to multiple indications. So instead of one target, one molecule, one indication, when you look at DUPIXENT, you've got atopic dermatitis and asthma and COPD. Now the interesting thing is that companies tend to want to go and do research where you already have a presence. In immunology, you've got to be a little bit more opportunistic. But I think at that point, we could go into any of the indications, including dermatology and rheumatology. At a research level. That's not necessarily we want to go at mid-stage at all.
Excellent. Maybe come back to LEQEMBI. I know we had a steady ramp in 2025. Just expectations we go into '26, especially with subcu induction coming online?
We've been seeing consistent quarter-on-quarter growth on LEQEMBI. And there's a couple of things that I think are a number of things that are coming to help us.
The first thing I think we really had to deal with was some level of still residual skepticism around Abeta as a target. And that really became -- that was really the result of so many years of investing against that with no results. And what I think we're seeing out there in the market. And the head of our U.S. business is talking about some of the stories that we're hearing. But physicians are actually seeing the real benefit of treating this disease. And CDR summer of boxes is only used in clinical trials. Physicians don't use this.
But when you're seeing patients who are doing well and doing better, Alisha was talking this morning about a priest who couldn't do service anymore in church, but who was able to do a service for Easter this year. I mean that is amazing. And a little feedback here. Is that better?
Yes. And so there's, first of all, a realization that it is important to treat. Second is we are making this easier. The blood-based diagnostics, I think there were 350,000 sold last year. Now part of the problem is that you've got 500,000 newly diagnosed patients every year. and only about 13,000 neurologists.
So there is a bottleneck in trying to get an appointment with a neurologist. So one of the most important things is how do you improve the throughput there. But one is if you have the blood-based diagnosis is that we are seeing a lot more patients who are actually eligible for treatment to be able to get in. So when you look at PET scans, for example, the rate of PET scans that show someone who is actually eligible for treatment has gone from 50% to 70%.
And then the blood-based diagnostic could actually start to eliminate the need for the PET scan. And then when you couple that with the subcutaneous formulations for maintenance, for induction, well, now the physician doesn't really need to think about where do I have to go PET scan. I don't need to think about scheduling the infusion beds. We'll still have the MRIs, but that makes life easier for the physician.
We're both Lilly and Biogen and Eisai are doing direct-to-consumer education and that is proving to be important, and that will continue this year. So we've got a number of catalysts coming along this year. Now the subcutaneous is still on formulary exemption. So we will be applying for full reimbursement this year. That happens in -- well, the plans decided in May but don't inform people until the fall, and that would be effective for first of January 2027.
But so far, we haven't really seen any problem for those who want the subcutaneous. There seems to be a very high rate of acceptance of these formulary exemptions. So as I say, I think I think we're well on our way to really seeing great progress on LEQEMBI.
That's encouraging. So in that context, is it -- should we think about this accelerating? Or do you think that steady progress kind of approaches the way to think about it.
I think you could maybe see towards the end of this year. I think probably as we get full reimbursement for the subcutaneous, that's where you're really going to see it. But again, I think we're seeing good, steady growth.
And I think particularly, think about the maintenance, everybody we put on LEQEMBI, to the extent that they're continuing on maintenance, that is also growing the business because on Lilly's product, you can't come, right? So you've got to be constantly defining new patients. We're adding up to a number of.
And what's really interesting in this is normally in a product launch, you'd be looking at NRxs. But this is a launch where the TRxs quite important because we actually can maintain patients on drug. And of course, all of you have ever done a revenue forecast, one of the most important factors is time on drug. And so with maintenance, we're actually extending. So again, I think some very exciting opportunities for LEQEMBI.
Yes, absolutely. We're expecting competitor data potentially for preclinical Alzheimer's sometime next year or so. I guess just help us think through how relevant or not should we that TRAILBLAZER III data to your ahead 3, 4, 5 studies that you're running?
I mean Alzheimer's is a neurodegenerative disease. So every day you have this disease, you're losing neurons. And it seems like it would make sense that the earlier you treat, the more you can preserve neurons.
And the evidence for that, I think we've seen in data that we presented from Clarity where we looked at patients with low tau levels. And as you all know, the level of tower really determines the severity of Alzheimer's.
When you look at that group, we saw after 6 months, 70% of patients were stable on disease, and 60% actually showed an improvement. Now that compares to the 27% some CDR sum of boxes. So that sort of says, okay, if we can actually replicate that. What you really want to do is get patients before they've lost too many neurons.
Now, the really deadly part of this disease is that it's a silent disease. You could be accumulating plaques in your brain. There are people here in this audience who are probably accumulating plaque and they don't know it. and it might be 10 years before you actually get symptoms.
Now doing a study in that group is extremely difficult because how do you find them? And we started our study in the presymptomatic patients in 2020. Now back then, we didn't have the blood-based diagnostics. So we had to find people with a family history of Alzheimer. But we've been able to recruit that and now follow them up and Lilly will be doing the same.
But even Lilly, you don't know in that preclinical group, how long it takes for them to develop Alzheimer's. So that's why you have to do this study over such a long period of time. But I do think by the end of this decade, that we're probably going to be looking at earlier-stage patients because you're getting so much more benefit from that. But it's a huge opportunity.
Yes absolutely. What level of benefit do you think we need to see from these studies for this to be commercially important?
Well, I think what you're really going to want to see, imagine someone who's sort of 60 years old, right? They've had a blood test. You've got some amyloid plaque and you go do a PET scan and you've got, say, 60 centiloids and you usually get symptoms somewhere around 80%.
Now that patient is otherwise healthy. I don't think a physician is really going to want to treat that patient unless you actually show that there is a benefit on cognition. And hopefully, some delay in ever getting Alzheimer's and maybe potential never getting Alzheimer's because there's going to have to be a good sense of the benefit risk of treating. So I think that's the result that we're going to be looking for that there is a very clear benefit managed with the risk to actually treating patients at that level. So I don't think it necessarily has to be any different. We would expect it to be higher.
But I think personally, being in that age group that's at risk myself, I think anybody would want to say, I mean, if you think about people in their 60s today. This is the baby boomer generation is still wanting to be active. They want to still go skiing. They still want to keep working. And if you stay fit, you can do it.
The one thing that you can't control today is Dimentia. And I can tell you all my friends, I'm really afraid of that. So if you could find that earlier and say, we can help potentially put that off into the future or maybe there's even a chance of you can't get it. I think people will want to do that person.
Staying in Alzheimer's your tau data coming this year. Can you just talk about what gives you confidence in the ASO approach versus others who have gone after the target.
Yes. So there's extracellular tow and intracellular tau. And the antibodies go after the extracellular tau, and it has always been Biogen's belief that you cannot move the needle enough by sopping up the extracellular.
So our belief is that with antisense oligonucleotide that we can actually reduce the level of intercellular tau. And actually, our Phase 1 really demonstrated that. We had a very significant reduction in tau, as I said earlier, and some tantalizing efficacy signals.
So we think there is a differentiated mechanism. We think the Phase 1 validates at least the reduction of tau. Now we have to see, can we actually move the needle on cognition.
And I think -- but most people still don't really realize is how hard it is to move that needle on cognition. And so we get the question often, what level do you have to really see. And I don't think -- my personal view is I don't think you have to see necessarily that much because if we move it at all, it will be already more than anyone has ever done. But of course, you really have to wait for the data, and that's what we're going to do, especially since they're now within reach.
And would you envision these being used with the Abeta antibodies or sequentially.
That's a huge question amongst the neurology community. I can tell you. I mean, there's already people thinking about sequencing. Do you do tau first, you do the Abeta first, you do them in combination, I think we want to see the Abeta first.
But the other thing that's quite interesting is if this is in fact positive, the team is already looking at other tauopathies that you can go into. So -- but because we're really in uncharted territory, you really need the first sea data. And then the world as your oyster.
Just pivoting over to the SPINRAZA franchise between HD and with salinersen over time. Just talk about how you see BIB's role kind of evolving within this space. I know there's been a lot of evolution of the category, but with those two assets, kind of how should we think through that?
I mean, I've discovered SPINRAZA obviously coming to Biogen. And this is such an amazing medicine. And Biogen, again, here was a pioneer. And you're talking about infants who can't sit or stand, who often die very early. Whenever I travel, I see a lot of physicians and particularly those who are treating patients with SMA. And physicians get quite emotional when they're seeing now children actually going to school that would otherwise have died. So this is something that Biogen is creating.
Now in the meantime, we've seen gene therapy arrive. We've seen oral therapy arrive. And obviously, those are more convenient delivery and sometimes people get tempted to try to go for the one and done on gene therapy or the convenience of the oral.
But every physician I talk to still thinks that it's really efficacy that matters most. And the problem has been intrathecal. So what do we do about that?
Well, number 1 is we acquired a company called Alcon and this is a company that's developed a device that can be inserted under the skin and has a catheter that runs around to the spinal column and means that we could actually eliminate the intrathecal injection.
The second is we have high dose, and that is really around the efficacy. And this delivers a higher level of drug earlier and we get to an even better level of efficacy. And at the end of the day, when you have these really devastating diseases, it's still efficacy that matters.
And then the third is obviously salinersen, where we can move to a single intrathecal per year, hopefully, and that's what we believe we can achieve. And that would make life a lot easier for both patients and physicians. So we see SMA as being franchise that we want to be in longer term. And we have been investing, as I say, in devices and in new dosing regimens and new molecules to maintain that leadership.
Excellent. We've got some -- maybe ever to lupus your Phase III data later this year. I know it's hard -- the patients that are heterogeneous. But just help us frame out what you need to see from the study for this to be clinically meaningful on a differentiated asset.
So differentiation is an interesting question. When you talk to Lupus patients, one of the patients tell you your Lupus is not my Lupus. But there are a number of things that are common. One is fatigue.
Fatigue is really something that comes out in all of the patient discussions we have. Some suffer from more joint some have the skin conditions. Some might have other organs. When we did four patients at our Global Leadership Summit last year, one patient had to wear sunglasses because they can't tolerate light. So it can manifest itself in a number of different ways.
For others, it's really flares and the time between flares. And that's why I think this the Biogen experience in MS is going to be so important because MS is also one where the disease can manifest itself in different ways in different patients where you need multiple modalities to at it. And Biogen is still the only company in this space that still has its own patient services organization.
And I think what's really going to be important in which drug is right for which patient at what phase of their disease. And you can't take a mass market approach to that. You really have to know the physician, but you also have to know the patient.
And I have to say, in the 3 years I've been in Biogen, this is one of the things that's most impressed me as to how we can do that. So I think if we can replicate the Phase II results, we have all the elements that we need there's clearly two products out there. We think we can do better than those products clinically.
But I think this will be a little bit more complicated as well because you're talking about a disease that affects younger women, which is, by the way, also similar, not only to MS, but postpartum depression. And many of them are African-American women. And that's also a patient population that Alisha and her team have gotten to know through post partum depression.
And so again, I think really reaching out to patients who are not necessarily seeking therapy. I mean the people who are CLE, for instance, often are covering that up. people don't necessarily want to talk about lupus. But I've been super impressed with our U.S. team and how we, for instance, address postpartum depression.
A lot of taboo around as well. And yet, we have seen actually a lot of media coverage. We've been working with different patient groups with physicians and have been able to overcome a lot of those. And again, these are all skills that I think are quite unique to Biogen, and I think will be extremely important as we come to market with lupus. And again, I think I don't see any financial models out there that think about lupus as being the size potentially as MS.
Last couple of minutes here, 2026, just talk high level about some of the pushes and pulls we should think about from a revenue perspective for Biogen this year?
So I'd say we're -- we've been working with our partner, Eisai. I think LEQEMBI has got a lot going on. And I think we've been investing quite significantly in the field, on DTC. So LEQEMBI is obviously quite important with the -- hopefully, now with the approval this year of the subcutaneous induction. I think we're going to continue to see growth in ZURZUVAE, and that's extremely important. We've been rolling SKYCLARYS out around the world. And particularly now we've had approval in Brazil. And this is a medicine that's extremely important countries like Turkey, like the Middle East, like Latin America. So that actually is coming to fruition.
And in Europe, we have a lot of patients on drug through expanded access programs, but now we're looking to get reimbursement from governments. And of course, so I think from a revenue perspective, we're going to see pretty much continued results as we saw in 2025.
I think continued discipline around OpEx. Again, I think it's pretty impressive that we can move to having 10 Phase III assets and be spending 26% less. And that's particularly a tribute to Priya Singhal who leads our development organization. And I think it's also a factor of the change that we've had in development makeup. I think we can do all three Phase III programs for felzartamab for what it will cost to do one Phase III in Alzheimer's, right? So the constitution of your portfolio matters in this regard. So I think, again, I think we see 2026 as starting a whole new era for Biogen.
Great. Well, a great way to wrap up. Appreciate all the comments. Thank you. Thanks so much.
RECONNECT
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Biogen — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
Biogen — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Kurz: Biogen stellt sich vom MS‑Fokus zu einem diversifizierten, late‑stage‑getriebenen Unternehmen um: Kostenstruktur gestrafft, vier Neueinführungen, 10 Phase‑III‑Programme und fünf potenzielle neue Produkte schaffen eine stabilere Basis für Wachstum.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Kostdisziplin: Management nennt rund $1 Mrd. Bruttoeinsparung, $800 Mio. netto und ~15% Personalabbau zur Effizienzsteigerung.
- Portfolio: 4 Lancierungen (u.a. Alzheimer, PPD, Friedreich‑Ataxie, ALS), 10 Phase‑III‑Programme; R&D‑Aufwand laut Aussage ~26% niedriger vs. vor 3 Jahren.
- Kommerz & Zugang: Fokus auf LEQEMBI‑Skalierung (Bluttests, subkutane Formulierung, DTC‑Aufklärung) sowie Ausbau in Immunologie (lupus, felzartamab).
🔎 Neue Informationen
- Pipeline‑Zeitplan: Im Vortrag genannt: Litifilimab (SLE) Readout dieses Jahr; BIIB80 (Tau) Mitte Jahr; BIIB90 und BIIB122 folgen; Zorevunersen, felzatamab‑Readouts ebenfalls terminiert.
- Regulatorisch/Kommerziell: Heute EU‑Zulassung für hochdosiertes SPINRAZA angegeben; Antrag für subkutane LEQEMBI‑Induktion eingereicht; vollständige Erstattungsentscheidung und Wirkung frühestens Jan 1, 2027 (nach Managementangabe).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Pipeline‑Balance: Nachfrage zu Reifegrad: Management sieht Late‑Stage gut besetzt, beklagt aber dünne Frühphasenfunnel und will externe Forschungspartnerschaften stärken.
- LEQEMBI‑Rampen: Fragen zu Beschleunigung; Antwort: stetiges Wachstum, Subkutansubmission und Blutdiagnostik sollen Durchsatz und Akzeptanz deutlich erhöhen.
- Tau‑ASO & Risiko: Analysten fragten nach Differenzierung vs. Antikörpern; Management verweist auf starke Tau‑Reduktion in Phase‑I, betont aber Unsicherheit, ob das kognitiv wirkt.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Impact: Die Präsentation zeigt eine klare strategische Neuausrichtung: geringere Kostenbasis, multiple Near‑term‑Katalysatoren und breiteres Indikationsfeld mindern das bisherige Einprodukt‑Risiko. Aktie bleibt jedoch stark ergebnis‑abhängig von anstehenden Phase‑III‑Readouts und Erstattungsentscheidungen.
Biogen — Piper Sandler 37th Annual Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Good morning, everyone. Welcome to day 2 at the 37th Annual Piper Sandler Healthcare Conference. This is David Amsellem from the Piper biopharma research team. We're delighted to have Biogen with us. So we have Dr. Uptal Patel, who's the Head of Biogen's West Coast Hub, and we're going to have what I think is a really timely discussion focused on Biogen's immunology pipeline. There's a lot in advanced development. There's some big data readouts over the next few years. So I think this will be a really interesting and certainly timely discussion. So thank you, Dr. Patel for joining us.
And I wanted to dive right into felzartamab, your CD38 directed treatment here. So I know you hosted -- you and the team hosted a webinar earlier this year, highlighting the clinical program. You talked not just about autoimmune diseases impacting renal function, but also other autoimmune disease settings with this molecule in mind. So given that backdrop, can you talk more broadly about the CD38 target and why you see it as particularly interesting?
Yes. First, thanks for having us, and thanks for having an opportunity to share some of our experience with felzartamab. I think the story for CD38 really begins with recognizing that antibody-producing B cells that express CD38, have been implicated in a number of autoimmune diseases, particularly those with pathogenic antibodies driving the diseases. And so that context is important in recognizing for a number of different antibody-driven diseases. Available therapies just have not been effective. And so having a more plasma cell plasmablast targeted therapy, which are the antibody producing cells that drive these diseases, was something that was very appealing from a therapeutic perspective, allowing more targeted therapies, allowing those earlier B-cell populations to remain intact, while you then address these important pathogenic antibody producing cells.
Sure. So more specifically, looking into the role of CD38 in a range of autoimmune diseases impacting renal function. Why is renal diseases your top clinical priority?
Yes. Well, prior to Biogen, felzartamab came to Hi-Bio via a company called MorphoSys that developed felzartamab and they were acquired by Novartis since then, but had a history of producing very good antibodies. And what they saw was this opportunity to target CD38 for autoimmune diseases versus the currently marketed anti-CD38 that have been used for multiple myeloma. So out of desperation clinicians around the world have used available anti-CD38s off-label to treat their more difficult to control patients and have published these experiences over the past 2 decades.
And what you see is a breadcrumb trail of spaces where essentially targeted CD38 therapy could be effective in these autoimmune diseases. And so kidney diseases are in that group. And what's nice about them, I think, is that there's been an evolution in the endpoints that allow essentially trials that could be done on a sort of more feasible time frame in a number of different rare indications where available therapies haven't been effective. As an example, for IgA, anti-CD20 therapy does not work. Yet it's an autoantibody-driven disease. And so that, I think, provided the foundation for a number of different rare kidney disease opportunities for them to start in that we've been fortunate to pick up.
Yes. So I think your most advanced program is in late antibody-mediated rejection in renal transplantation patients. So before we go into the existing body of data, I wanted to level set the underlying unmet medical need here, the size of the population and essentially what is the target population here.
Yes. Maybe I'll start with a couple of high-level thoughts. Target population is roughly about 11,000 people. And that's a subset of the 300,000 or 400,000 people who are alive with the kidney transplant. And this subset is those with late antibody-mediated rejection, which is the first area we're starting in. But there's a lot of other adjacent opportunities in this population. And so if you think about the context here, patients who've received the kidney transplant essentially have been given this opportunity to have the preferred treatment for kidney failure versus dialysis. And this is the #1 cause of late graft loss that there are no effective therapies for that is devastating for patients. And so having something that could reverse that course and preserve these precious societal resources of kidney transplant for longer is a really important problem to address.
So let's talk about your Phase II data here, and that's published and it was highlighted in the webinar. But I think it would be good to review the body data in late antibody-mediated rejection.
Yes. So this was a small Phase II study, 22 participants, randomized 1:1, felzartamab to placebo. The felzartamab dose regimen was 9 doses over 5 months. And this population was exclusively DSA positive late antibody-mediated rejection so people well past 6 months after transplant, generally, though, about 8 years into their transplant course. And what we saw was inclusion biopsies were required for entry, and then the primary endpoint was safety, but what we had was 2 efficacy time points at 6 months and 12 months. So the 6-month time point was shortly after the course of felzartamab was provided or placebo. And then the 12-month endpoint was off therapy for the last 6 months.
And what we saw was remarkable. So the primary pathologic components that defines antibody-mediated rejection is a score looking at the inflammation of the microvasculature in the kidney. So the microvascular inflammation score is generally what drives this -- the histologic classification. And the medians were moderate AMR, moderate to severe AMR, matched in placebo and felzartamab. And 2/3 of the people in the felzartamab arm achieved MVI scores of 0 to 6 months. And this is unprecedented. None of the other therapies that have been tried in Phase II, multiple different Phase IIs targeting a brief different mechanisms have ever achieved that.
And essentially, we had about 80% reversal of microvascular inflammation at that 6-month time point. So the scores got low enough such that you could be classified as not having active AMR. By 12 months of therapy, we saw a reversal of some of that, suggesting that perhaps ongoing dosing would be required, and that's what we've taken into the Phase III study.
And regarding the Phase III, can you just walk through the design and primary outcome measures?
Yes. So it's designed very similarly. It's a 1-year study. And we'll have essentially people randomized to felzartamab or placebo. And then 6 months, because of the overwhelming efficacy that we saw, we didn't think that it would be reasonable to keep people on placebo and essentially all the placebo participants will cross over to active treatment. And those originally assigned to felzartamab will continue on some version of maintenance therapy. So we'll have assessments in 6 months, just like we did in Phase II as well as 12 months. The difference will be the 12 months will include a felzartamab arm that has received maintenance therapy.
Okay. And what will be the top line data, the initial top line data look like? Or in other words, what will we get in that top line readout? I believe that's a '26 event if I'm not mistaken.
2027.
'27, sorry. But what will the top line contain, I guess.
Yes. So fair. This is an important space for which there are no prior comparators. Just for context, the last Phase III in this space was an IL-6 antibody that was looking at a 5-year overall graft survival primary endpoint with a 2-year accelerated endpoint looking at kidney function. So what we've designed is very different because of the compelling Phase II study results we saw. And so we'll be looking at reversal of AMR by histology. So what defines the disease once it's reversed, essentially the lack of disease is the primary endpoint. There's a number of important supportive data that will support that. The first is when -- in our Phase II, we also saw that a biomarker that reflects graft injury, so donor-derived cell-free DNA, which is specific to graft injury also drops very aggressively with treatment starting within the first few weeks, stayed down with treatment.
And then as disease activity picked up, that also picked up so that's a very early marker of disease control that we'll have data on in the Phase III. And then we'll also have exploratory data of looking at molecular markers that also corroborate sort of this resolution of AMR. And then the overall function with kidney function will have larger numbers in the Phase III to also look at that. And that's something that we saw again, in the small Phase II suggestive evidence of not only preservation but perhaps some improvement in kidney function, and that will be better powered in the Phase III.
Okay. So just to be clear, just to clarify, in '27, the first pulling back of the curtain, so to speak, will be that 12 months data. The top, okay. Got it. In terms of IgA nephropathy just moving on to that program. So as I understand it, bigger market but a lot of drug development here. So the April target, you have that target, I mean so these are -- there's a lot of excitement here, but a lot of competition. So with all that in mind, where do you see the fit for felzartamab, just putting the body of clinical data aside and just knowing what we know, how do you see the fit mechanistically with all these other agents that are targeting that have other targets?
Yes. So in IgA, lots of progress every month. There's new announcements, which is great for patients, and we're excited to see all of that. I think where felzartamab really has an opportunity to sort of standout is that we think it will be the only option that will allow durable disease control of treatment. And so why do we believe that? Harkening back to this mechanism, again, CD20s don't work. So depleting earlier B-cell population isn't effective in controlling disease. And we know that the plasma cells and plasma blasts that drive the disease are what needs to be addressed. And so by directly depleting them, we essentially remove the disease-causing cells and in our Phase II study, that's probably what accounted for the really impressive durable effects that we saw.
So after a 9 dose regimen, 5 months of dosing out to 2 years, we saw ongoing reduction of proteinuria as well as total IgA that suggests that it's really got this important disease-modifying mechanism. So how will that fit into the other therapy. So I think what's evolving is that there will be some foundational therapies, building on ACE inhibitors and SGLT2s, the new ERAs will certainly provide a potentially non-disease-modifying foundational CKD prevention -- progression prevention set of therapies.
The next class that will be important to some patients are those that address really inflammatory manifestations of IgA? Like, for example, the complement inhibitors will have a role for some patients. And then the APRIL/BAFF are a really important advance for patients. What we see there is that these agents modulate B cell maturation and viability of plasma cells, plasma blasts. But in all of these studies, when they include the off drug components at the end of their study, you see that within 3 or 4 months, proteinuria returns back to the high levels at the beginning and eGFR progression continues. So they work, but they require ongoing dosing so what we also don't know is the long-term effects of requiring the B-cell modulation on other important safety perimeters.
So I guess 1 point of differentiation is the potentially the absence of the need for ongoing dosing. Is that a fair way to think...
Absolutely. Yes. So in our assessment with patients, providers, that's a really compelling opportunity. So we think all of these options will be important for patients, but also choice for something that could be -- could provide more durable long-term treatment-free efficacy.
One question I had about the pivotal study here is that how do we think about pace of enrollment here? I mean you're competing for patients, and there's a lot going on in the space. So how do you think about that?
Yes. First, I think what's important is that these therapies have helped increase the awareness of IgA nephropathy. So more patients are being tested, which is a good thing and more patients are being identified. We're somewhat fortunate in that many of these Phase IIIs have been fully enrolled. And so it's also a good time to come online with the new program. Many of these therapies that are getting accelerated or full approval still aren't available in a variety of places and uptake has been low. So it still provides, I think, an opportunity for clinical trials to provide a new therapy -- therapeutic option for patients while we evaluate the efficacy and safety.
So I wanted to, in the interest of time, toggle over to the PMN program. So as I understand it, lots of rituximab usage here. So I guess with that in mind, can you talk to the different subgroups of PMN patients where you envision a fit for felzartamab.
Absolutely. So PMN also some growing interest in the therapeutic development space, which is fantastic for patients. Clearly, a long history of anti-CD20 use, again, off label, there's no approved therapies for PMN. What the literature suggests is that for high-risk patients who start off with, for example, in the PLAR2 positive patients. If they start off with very high autoantibody levels, they tend to not be as responsive to anti-CD20 therapy. So we think that's a direct opportunity for targeted plasma cell plasma blast depletion, where we've seen very rapid reductions in PLA2R in high-risk patients. The other is that unlike IgA nephropathy, there is a sizable proportion of patients who respond to CD20. There is also a sizable portion of people who either don't respond initially because they got these plasma cells, plasma blast and niches that can't be reached. And these cells don't express CD20.
And so you see lack of response initially or relapse because essentially, the CD20 therapy is not depleting these cells that are causing -- that are producing these pathogenic autoantibodies. So I think there's 2 big populations. The first is upfront in high risk patients and as well as perhaps second line in patients who don't respond or relapse after CD20.
Okay. What's the size of the population that don't respond or relapse after CD20.
Yes. So that's anywhere from 30% to 50% of patients. It depends on how long you follow up. But it's a sizable proportion of patients. Now with the better CD20s, that could be some slightly smaller but even with the more potent CD20, the biology isn't going to be different. Those cells still don't express the plasma cell, plasma blasts don't expect CD20, and they do express CD38, who'll provide opportunity for targeted therapy even after CD20 therapy.
And 1 more question about felzartamab just briefly. Just talk about your potential clinical development plans for the drug beyond late AMR and IgAN and PMN. What other trials could come next? I think you talked about lupus nephritis, if I'm not mistaken. But I know there's others. So just help us give us a road map of what comes next.
The short-term road map, we do have an active Phase Ib signal-seeking study in lupus nephritis. This is an open-label study with up to 20 participants, and we look forward to sharing some data on that in the coming year. The second study that we're just about to kick off is a related subset of that AMR population I described being quite large. So currently, the current Phase III is in DSA positive antibody major rejection. There's also from the work we've done, a recognition that DSA negative AMR is an important population. And so in the past year, what's become clear is that the epidemiology of that population has become more clear. It's about half the size of the DSA positive AMR population and their outcomes are almost as bad. So essentially, a very important complication that can lead to kidney failure almost as much as DSA positive population. So we're kicking off a Phase II study any day now that will allow us to examine the efficacy of felzartamab in this isolated microvascular inflammation population.
So the nomenclature here gets -- is an evolution because previously, the dogma was that these DSAs, donor-specific antibodies drove the disease, but some of our work is identified, but there's also DSA independent mechanisms that drive this microvascular inflammation particularly driven by NK cells that also express CD38 that we also deplete with felzartamab. No, no, sorry. And then the last set of indications is really kind of alludes back to that idea that there are a number of autoantibody-driven diseases that essentially have been implicated, the plasma cells, plasma blasts have been implicated in. And we see those as tremendous opportunities, and we'll be starting a few new proof-of-concept studies in the coming year as well.
Okay. So I wanted to spend the rest of our time talking about lupus, which is obviously a very important part of the immunology R&D portfolio. So I guess why prioritize SLE and other manifestations of lupus and particularly given that it's been historically so challenging in terms of drug development.
So lupus is very heterogeneous. So I think this was summarized nicely by a patient in one of our recent focused seminars that patients with lupus will say my lupus isn't your lupus. And that heterogeneity has probably also been part of the challenge in identifying effective therapy. So far, there's only 2 approved therapies. We think the penetration is really only up to about 20% of the population that could benefit from therapies. And so this has been an active efforts for Biogen for many years. We've got, I think, some really exciting data across 2 different mechanisms. And so with litifilimab, essentially targeting BDCA2, you're able to deplete type 1 interferon signal through plasmacytoid dendritic cells that drives the disease and with very compelling data from 2 Phase IIs that suggest a pretty strong clinical effect. We're excited and looking forward to the readouts from those Phase IIIs in the coming year.
And then the CD40L therapy with dapi again, already 1 positive Phase III, and that's really only the third mechanism that's been proven in a large Phase III to be effective. And so we're running a second Phase III and look forward to read out some following the others.
So I wanted to take a step back. So there's disease heterogeneity, there's also heterogeneity on trial endpoints. So litifilimab, your endpoint here is the SLE Responder Index-4. Dapirolizumab, I think it's BICLA response. So just help us understand the rationale behind the different endpoints here. And I know that these are validated endpoints, but I wanted to just get your thoughts on why different primary outcome measures for these different studies? And do you have buy-in from the FDA?
Yes. So the teams that have worked on that built off of the proof of concept studies that we've got. And this is a space that's an evolution. And I think what we've found is that targeting the right endpoint with the right subpopulation is important. And we've been very, very grateful for a strong partnership with FDA to find alignment across all of our programs.
Okay. So litifilimab is also in development in CLE. And my understanding is there's nothing approved in CLE. So can you talk to the AMETHYST study in CLE for litifilimab? I mean why a 24-week endpoint in Part B of that study. It's a shorter duration relative to the SLE study endpoints. But I just want to understand what the rationale is there.
So I think 1 of the challenges for lupus for those who have been in this space, there's a number of different multiple composite sort of endpoints that capture different aspects of the manifestations of lupus. And what's nice about CLE is that we've got more objective data with these skin findings, right, and so what that allows is, I think, in some ways, a cleaner assessment can happen more quickly if your therapy is working quickly. And so I think that's sort of that design reflects that opportunity in this subpopulation of lupus patients.
Sure. And then I think I have time for 1 more question which I'll fit in. So also a CLE study question. Just remind us, to the extent that the AMETHYST study is successful. Can you file on it given the absence of approved therapies in CLE. I mean is it designed as a registration quality study, I should say.
Yes. So I think if it were in isolation, that might be challenging, but it's not because we've got the broader lupus program. So I think that sort of the opportunity here is that will -- that's sort of helpful on multiple fronts, the efficacy assessment more broadly across lupus, but also then a more robust safety database.
All right. Terrific. Well, we're out of time. Thanks, Dr. Patel. Thanks to everyone in the audience.
Great. Thank you.
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Biogen — Piper Sandler 37th Annual Healthcare Conference
📊 Kernbotschaft
- Kernbotschaft: Biogen positioniert felzartamab (anti‑CD38) als zentrales Asset in der Immunologie. Phase‑II in spät auftretender antibody‑vermittelter Nierentransplantat‑Rejektion (AMR) mit 22 Patienten zeigte ungefähr 80% Rückbildung der Mikrogefäßentzündung (MVI) nach 6 Monaten. Phase‑III läuft; erstes Top‑Line‑Datum angekündigt für 2027.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Mechanismus: Ziel ist selektive Depletion von Plasmazellen/Plasmablasten (CD38), dadurch Erhalt früher B‑Zell‑Populationen und direkte Entfernung krankheitsverursachender Antikörper‑produzierender Zellen.
- Phase‑III: Randomisierte 1‑Jahresstudie mit 6‑Monats‑Readout; Placebo‑Crossover vorgesehen, Felzartamab‑Patienten erhalten Erhaltungsdosis.
- Indikationsplan: Primär late AMR; weitere Programme: IgA‑Nephropathie (IgAN), primäre membranöse Nephropathie (PMN), Lupusnephritis, CLE und weitere Proof‑of‑Concept‑Studien.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Neu: Phase‑III‑Primärendpunkt ist histologische AMR‑Rückbildung mit unterstützenden Biomarkern, darunter donor‑derived cell‑free DNA (dd‑cfDNA). Start einer Phase‑II für DSA‑negativen AMR steht bevor; Phase‑Ib‑Daten in Lupusnephritis erwartet.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Recruiting: Sorge um Einschlussgeschwindigkeit in IgAN wegen Konkurrenz; Management nennt erhöhte Diagnose‑aktivität, gibt aber keine konkreten Einschluss‑Timelines.
- Differenzierung: Kernfrage war, ob felzartamab dauerhafte, therapiefreie Kontrolle bietet vs. kontinuierlich dosierte Komparatoren; Phase‑II‑Daten deuten darauf hin, erfordern aber Bestätigung.
- Endpunkte & Subgruppen: Diskussion über PMN‑Subgruppen (30–50% Non‑Responder auf CD20) und unterschiedliche Lupus‑Endpoints (SRI‑4 vs. BICLA) sowie FDA‑Alignment.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Felzartamab hat ein klares, differenziertes wissenschaftliches Argument und überzeugende Phase‑II‑Biomarker/Histologie‑Signale. Entscheidend für Aktionäre sind robuste Phase‑III‑Histologie‑ und dd‑cfDNA‑Daten (First readout 2027), Eindämmung von Rekrutierungsrisiken und das Sicherheitsprofil in größeren Kohorten.
Biogen — Evercore 8th Annual Healthcare Conference
1. Management Discussion
Thank you guys for being here. Super excited to have Biogen management join Alisha. Thank you for making time. I'll let you kick things off.
Thank you. Thank you for all of you that showed up today. I appreciate that you're here. Even if you have other work to do, I love that you're at least in the room, so I don't feel alone up here with one of my favorite people. So first and foremost, I'm supposed to say the company line that I will be making forward-looking statements today. So if you have any questions, please go to the Biogen website and look at the disclosures.
I think first, what I'd like to start with, and I don't know how close everyone is with the story of Biogen, I know that you are. But sitting in the seat today versus 3 years ago is a very different seat for this company since our new CEO took over, Chris Viehbacher. And I think one of the first things that we did as a company, which was calling it a new Biogen, he really started to overhaul what we were doing as an organization, started with Fit for Growth. That was our cost-cutting measures, where we really came into the organization and said, you know what, we need to restructure how we're allocating costs. And this is now the year that we have finalized that to achieve our $1 billion in gross savings and $800 million in net savings.
And I think when you look across the board, he's done really, along with the executive team, a fantastic job of optimizing and maximizing where we're going as an organization, especially our pipeline. And I think it becomes very important for pipeline because if you think of 7 years ago with Biogen, we were just an MS company, and we now have 4 different franchises. The ones that I think that you probably talk about most often are LEQEMBI for Alzheimer's disease. But when you look at today, for Biogen, we have 10 Phase III or Phase III-ready programs in place. And next year is the first year that we start turning over some of those cards, which will be very important to us. And so when you look at that and you look at what's reading out next year, we have BIIB080 for tau. I think there's a lot of interest for that.
And then we also have litifilimab for lupus, 2 SLE readouts will happen along with Parkinson's phase, I believe, Phase I or II for a LRRK2 asset, which will also be interesting. But more importantly, we have several launches that are going to be coming along. And actually, when you look at where we were just a couple of years ago, someone earlier today asked me, Alisha, but what's the one big product when you look at 2030? And I said, if you look at a pie chart, we are going to have several big products, which will be the first time that I think Biogen will be in that seat. And so I think Chris has done an excellent job with capital allocation. And I think when you look at our launches, we've had some very good launches over the past couple of years.
2. Question Answer
Outstanding. Outstanding. I guess I'll start with the topic everyone is obsessed with right now, which is preclinical Alzheimer's opportunity.
I had a feeling you were going to go there.
I go there. Let me just start by asking you, we hosted the R&D leadership team recently from Biogen. One of the takeaways was they expressed openness that in a scenario where Lilly shows a certain signal in their study, Biogen could find ways to accelerate the readout on their end as well. I guess my question to you is, there's a lot of numbers being thrown around from a commercial perspective and what the size of the market is. How have you thought about what that market size could look like in pre-Alzheimer's?
So I think for presymptomatic, what a wonderful day if we are able to actually go to individuals who are still in their prime, in their life and say, if you would like to maybe prevent this from happening, there's a possibility to doing it. When you look at the market size for that, it's so tough to say because I think Alzheimer's in general right now, if you look at MCI mild or severe, the numbers are quite large. So if you look at pre-Alzheimer's and if you think that Alzheimer's is getting worse and not better, then you're going to look at multiples of that for presymptomatic.
And I think different numbers are thrown out there because there are no codes. There are no ways of diagnosing presymptomatic Alzheimer's. And because of that, even if you talk to someone in commercial or a different company or a payer or an HCP, no one will have any idea until we understand what these trials look like. I think the other interesting thing is if the trial from Lilly comes out as positive, that is great, I think, also for Biogen and Eisai. But if it comes out as negative, it's not necessarily bad for Biogen or Eisai. And that is because the trials are truly completely different in the way in which we recruited the patients and what we're actually trying to answer.
And so at the end of the day, I think there's a lot of runway. I mean, first of all, you see how long it's taking for the current patient population who have symptoms, who go into a doctor's office and say, I have a memory problem to try and get on product. Imagine it being -- I mean, I always say everyone in the room, obviously, has no cognitive decline. That is what presymptomatic is. It's people like you who are living totally normal than us saying you might want to go on to a drug. And so building an infrastructure for that and convincing patients to come into the office is a very different way of approaching the market.
Makes sense. Would you agree that at its peak, the current indication is half or less versus the pre-Alzheimer's opportunity? Like the pre-Alzheimer's is to 2x plus of the current indication theoretically?
Theoretically, I think that is the number that has been thrown out most often and has also been the number that has been validated by external sources. But when I say sources, again, it's a very loose number. I do find it to be a large opportunity. I think going wild with the number is probably not useful, but I do think being a couple of multiples is probably more of a reasonable.
Got it. And Alisha, does your thought process change based on what the effect size looks like? So for example, there's an expectation Lilly trial should track 40% to 50% effect size. Do you have to be in that ballpark to accomplish these numbers or not necessarily?
You know, we had spoken about this earlier. But even when our trials read out for LEQEMBI and even for Kesimpta, doctors still say, but what does that mean? What do these numbers mean? What does that look like in -- like clinically for a patient? A lot of -- these are just clinical trials. Doctors aren't close to it. So I think even like an effect size, it becomes -- you have to go to a doctor and say, this is the type of patient you're looking for. This is how you'll try and diagnose them. And then this is what we believe the benefits will be. Benefits, though, for physicians are very different depending on their experience.
So even if you look at drugs today, it is not -- a doctor doesn't come back and say, wow, their CDR summer boxes are really looking good, Alisha. What they say to me is they remember their husband's name for the first time. We had a priest who went back and finally went back to a Sunday service and could do a Sunday service again. That is the language in which they use. So until the trials read out and we understand the meaning of the outcomes and meeting the endpoints, that's when you know how to actually.
Have you heard of anecdotes like that? Because my perception, at least looking at the data always was whatever you remember today, the further degradation will be slower. It's not like you will revert back to remembering more things.
So we have seen through a couple of our trials that some patients report improvements and there's also stabilization and there is also slower decline. But you do get feedback where patients can remember things again, they feel differently. They also report back. I told you the priest that we had one gentleman who was this -- he loved cooking. He lived in this house with this massive library and his kids were so sad because he stopped cooking. That's how they knew something was wrong as he didn't cook anymore. And he had been on product for, I believe, it was around the 6- to 8-month time period. And the son had called one of our doctors and said, "I knew something was working." He pulled out the most complicated recipe in his library, and he made a meal for us that night. So that's the feedback that you hear from individuals that matter.
Fascinating. I guess from your perspective and from the commercial organization perspective, is it a much heavier lift to convince people that, "Hey, I know you're 50 and healthy and no Alzheimer's, but you should really be on this because you might develop it." Like wouldn't theoretically that be a far more difficult heavy lift? Or you're just going to show them their blood-based biomarkers.
Well, that's what I'd ask all of you. I mean I know that for someone like me, if they told me I had to go on a statin, and I'd be like, really, are we sure about that? I'm in the industry, right? So I think that all of us have a natural thing of like, I don't know if I need that yet. Going to a 50-year-old or even in our trial, we have 55-year-olds and saying, "Hey, you need to go on this," it has to be pretty convincing. I think that we've all become much more difficult in being able to be convinced with everything that's out there. And I think we're all -- especially all of you, you're so smart. In this room, I think you can probably negotiate your way out of anything when it comes to medicine because you know much more in the average person, but you do have to be quite convincing, I think, to get people on.
Okay. Got it. Excellent. Fantastic. I guess maybe at that point, we should probably transition then into just understanding the commercial dynamics on LEQEMBI itself right now. I think there was an element of -- folks looked at this very, very closely, and I don't think they've looked at it as closely in a while. So maybe for the benefit of everyone, could you remind everyone what's the price of LEQEMBI for induction? What's the price in maintenance? And then what's the price for subcu?
Yes. So when you look at the WAC price for IV induction and you go to maintenance, that will be 50% off of the WAC of IV induction, okay?
So IV maintenance is half of induction?
Yes. IV maintenance, half of induction because you're only going in for 1 IV a month versus 2. Now we just launched a new formulation, which is called IQLIK, and IQLIK is the subcu administration for LEQEMBI, which clearly offers flexibility and optionality for patients who don't want to go in to get their IV. If you go from IV induction to subcu maintenance, it's a 30% reduction in price or revenue.
Got it. So I guess I'll tell you the direction I was going with this. When I think about your induction pricing, $23,000, maintenance, if it's once a month, it's half that, 13,000. But the subcu is more like around the $18,000 price point. Just sticking with that logic chain, when you get the induction approved on a subcu basis, theoretically, it sounds to me like there might be a bit of a price step-up in the works implicitly just the way the subcu could get priced. Is that an unreasonable way of thinking about it?
I like the way that you think, Umer, I always have. And I will say that if you were to look at market research for sort of economics around this, I think that research would show that a higher price point could be sustainable because you're no longer having a patient come in for the cost around the infusion and the administration and the staff that take place. So I think we have not been public yet with our price. We're still working through that because Eisai is the final decision maker when it comes to price. But I think that it would not be unreasonable if we thought it could be higher because we believe that, that is what market research shows.
Got it. And for induction subcu, will that be a single shot or 2 shots?
Two shots.
Two shots per week.
Per week.
Got it. Which then -- and remind me, the blood-based biomarker, how often does that need to be done on an ongoing basis?
So right now, the way in which blood-based biomarkers are being used is this year, which I think for anyone that's close to blood-based biomarkers in general, it usually takes over a decade for these things to take off. Just this year alone, $350,000 will probably be done mostly by neurologists, 70% of those are being done by neurologists, 30% are being done by PCPs. The bigger question, though, is very few of them are using it for confirmation. That means that they are triaging. Triaging means if it's a negative, they knock the patient basically out as you don't have Alzheimer's. But if it's indeterminate or positive, they still go for a CSF or a PET scan.
So blood-based biomarkers, I would call it right now, physicians play with them a little bit. I'd say they do their own testing and then they look at it with concordance versus their own PET or CSF. Now that guidelines are out and now that 8 have launched that meet the specificity and sensitivity threshold, we believe they're going to move into confirmation, but that will be after a lot of education. So they're only really being used early on. They're not being used post -- while they're on product.
Okay. Great. Maybe just transitioning to some of the other programs as well. I remember last year when we were chatting right here, perhaps even on these seats, we talked about the ZURZUVAE program. You were fairly comfortable on how that launch was going and how perhaps it was underinvested at the time. So clearly, the team has spent more time. How is that launch looking now? There was a little bit of choppiness in 3Q I felt, but it kind of got back on trajectory.
Yes. So first of all, ZURZUVAE or Zuranolone, which is for postpartum depression is a 14-day oral medication. And for anyone who is a mom or who has suffered from postpartum depression, I think maybe you've heard recently, Jennifer Lyons came out. She was on Zuranolone. I say the day that she came out and spoke about basically the impact that it made on her life and as a mom, the media.
I didn't know she was a mom actually.
Yes. She is, she is. And so she had gone on Zuranolone, and she said it absolutely changed her for the good because she was really going through such a dark time in her life. I feel that we didn't actually invest a lot right upfront. But I think looking back, it was probably just enough. If you remember during that time, we thought we'd have MDD as well as PPD. I built a team for MDD and it ended up not happening. We pivoted to PPD, which we didn't do a lot of research on, thought we were going to psychiatrists because if you buy data, it looks like psychiatrists write the medications, it ends up they do not. They miscode it as PPD, even though it's MDD. So then we had to pivot again, and we ended up going to OB/GYNs and OB/GYNs have been excellent.
The thing that we have figured out though over the last 2 years is it's called a mental minute. There is only a 60-second time period that a patient or a mom is in front of a doctor where they actually even talk about PPD and they don't even say PPD, they say, how are you doing? Typically, if a patient wells up and cry, they go, "Oh, this might be a problem." If they say "I'm overwhelmed," they go, "Oh, that's just being a mom." So we've had to work on what do you do in that 60-second mental minute to get them to react differently.
The launch has gone very well. If you look at our numbers, our quarter-over-quarter growth has been excellent, and it continues to go. We don't talk about Zuranolone or we're not asked a lot about Zuranolone. Everyone asked about LEQEMBI, but I would say keep your eye on the space because the product is doing very well.
What is the peak opportunity like realistically on this?
So we typically don't talk about peak opportunity, but I will tell you, it's much larger than what you see today.
Got it. Okay. I think the felzartamab program is obviously...
By the way, how you said you saw a little glitch in the summertime.
Yes.
It's because IMS reinstated their methodology. It had nothing to do. It's just the data. Yes, it was the data that -- we called them. We tried talking to them about their methodology, but after land...
There's multiple companies reporting this with IMS.
Yes. The -- I don't know what they're doing, and we tried to talk to them about it, but...
Okay. Okay. Got it. On felzartamab, I think the first indication is perhaps where you don't have much competition at all. Could you speak to what the market opportunity could look like?
We are very excited about felzartamab. If anyone can recall, there was an acquisition that Chris had done with a company called HI-Bio, which now is part of Biogen. We kept them in the West Coast. They're called the West Coast hub and felzartamab we believe is going to be a very, very good product for us in nephrology. Everyone asks us about IgAN. However, IgAN is the third launch that we have for this molecule. The first launch is the one I'm really excited about. It is an AMR. There's approximately 11,000 patients that suffer from this. We know which centers they're at. We know where these patients sit. And just so you know, AMR, if you have it, basically 75% of all patients with kidney transplants lose their kidney. And so this helps prevent that.
There are 11,000 patients for that. So we believe that this is going to be a very large product for us. The second indication is MVI, which is another 4,000 to 5,000 patients. And then the third indication is IgAN. As soon as we launch AMR, we do 3 launches in 1 year. We will go AMR, MVI, IgAN back to back, and then we have PMN a little bit after that. And so felzartamab really is this comprehensive program that we have that we believe even AMR alone, we find to be a very nice sized indication.
So is it -- I mean, this is very rough math, but every 20% penetration into that 11,000 patients could be $1 billion in sales. So AMR alone could be a multibillion indication theoretically. I'm not saying necessarily that's where it happens, but is that inconsistent with how you've thought about it?
So right now, we're looking at because we just -- I'm just opening up a franchise as of January of next year. So I already have my franchise head that I have located and appointed. Now I just need to make the offer, and they will start building a team. I think one of the teams that will become very important is market access. And so what we need to do is look sequentially at these different indications and what price point will hold for each and then where the value is coming from. Depending on how you price it, you are not -- you are reasonable depending on the number that you're using. But it also just -- we do have to look at like what can the market hold, where is the value in this market and then what happens when you have multiple indications one after the other.
Excellent. The program we didn't talk about previously, but I wanted to touch up on for a brief second. Oral BTK, how important is that for future planning if you were to have a real clean liver profile, oral BTK to put out there with all the MS infrastructure you have?
Well, so I think that the key to your question is a clean liver profile. I think the market really wants BTKis to work because of the high efficacy. So they're not doing the B-cell depletion through things like Ocrevus or Kesimpta. And so the glitch is going to be the side effect profile. I think that if it is clean, the MS market will be able to hold it even though there's a lot of competition out there. I do think an oral with high efficacy and good safety will be something that they'd be willing to pay for. But if you do have a safety problem, there will be a problem with probably reimbursement or step-throughs.
Outstanding. I know that's all the time we have, so I want to be very respectful.
Thank you.
Thank you again.
Thank you, guys, for everyone that was listening. Appreciate it.
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Biogen — Evercore 8th Annual Healthcare Conference
📊 Kernbotschaft
- Kernaussage: Biogen hat sich unter CEO Chris Viehbacher neu ausgerichtet: Fit‑for‑Growth mit ~$1 Mrd. Brutto‑ und $800 Mio. Nettoeinsparungen abgeschlossen; Firma breit aufgestellt (vier Franchises) statt nur MS; Pipeline mit ~10 Phase‑III/Phase‑III‑bereiten Programmen schafft mehrere potenzielle Wachstums‑Driver neben LEQEMBI.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Kostenprogramm: Fit‑for‑Growth finalisiert, klare Kapitalallokation zugunsten Pipeline und Launches.
- Pipeline: Fokus auf ALZ‑Tau (BIIB080), litifilimab (Lupus), LRRK2 (Parkinson) plus mehrere Phase‑III‑Programme; erste Readouts ab nächstem Jahr.
- Kommerz & Diagnose: LEQEMBI‑Portfolio erweitert (IQLIK subkutan); Blutbasierte Biomarker sind aktuell Triagelinstrumente, breite Bestätigung/Adoption braucht Weiterbildung.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Formulierung: Subkutane IQLIK‑Option angekündigt; Subcu‑Induktion erfordert zwei Injektionen pro Woche; Wechsel von IV‑Induktion zu subcu‑Maintenance würde aus Managementsicht ca. 30% weniger Umsatz pro Patient bringen.
- Diagnostik: Management spricht von grob ~350.000 Bluttests in diesem Jahr (≈70% Neurologen, 30% Hausärzte); bislang vorrangig Triagestatus, nicht routinemäßige Bestätigung.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Prä‑Alzheimer: Marktgröße sehr unsicher; Management sieht theoretisch ein Mehrfaches gegenüber symptomatischer Indikation, aber Diagnostik‑Codes und Patientenselektion fehlen.
- LEQEMBI‑Preis: Diskussion um IV vs. Subcu‑Preisgestaltung; Eisai trifft finale Preisentscheidung — Biogen erwartet Marktforschung, die höhere Subcu‑Preise stützen könnte.
- Biomarker: Wie oft Tests nötig und wie schnell sie zur Bestätigung genutzt werden; aktuell eher Triage, Bestätigung per PET/CSF bleibt Standard.
- Felzartamab & BTK: Felzartamab‑Launch sequenziell (AMR→MVI→IgAN) mit klar definierbaren Patientengruppen; orale BTK wichtig, aber abhängig von sauberem Leber‑Sicherheitsprofil.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Gespräch bestätigt strategische Repositionierung: Kostendisziplin plus breite Pipeline steigern mittelfristiges Upside; near‑term Treiber und Unsicherheiten sind LEQEMBI‑Preissetzung/Diagnostik‑Adoption sowie Readouts mehrerer Phase‑III‑Programme (insbesondere Tau, Lupus, felzartamab). Aktionäre sollten Preisentscheidungen von Eisai, Biomarker‑Adoption und die nächsten klinischen Readouts eng verfolgen.
Biogen — TD Cowen Immunology and Inflammation Summit
1. Question Answer
Good afternoon, and welcome once again to TD Cowen's 2025 I&I Summit. I'm Phil Nadeau, one of the biotech analysts here at Cowen, and it's my pleasure to moderate a fireside chat with Biogen. We have with us today, Diana Gallagher, who is the Head of Clinical Development of MS&I and AD at Biogen. Diana, thanks for joining us today. I thought we'd start with maybe a few broad overview questions before diving into the programs in a little bit more detail.
Just first on I&I generally at Biogen, it's clear Biogen has reinvigorated its I&I efforts over the last couple of years. Why is Biogen's strategy -- what is Biogen's strategy in I&I and kidney? Why does Biogen thinks it makes strategic sense to be in these areas?
Sure. First of all, thanks for having me here, Phil. It's terrific to be here. And for that first question, I think in a lot of ways, although people often think about us historically as a neuroscience company, I think our success in MS has really relied on deep expertise in immunology, more specifically in neuro-immunology of the CNS. And so that really creates the groundwork upon which we're basing some of this.
And I'd mention, too, that we have had some of our work in lupus for a decade, 1.5 decades, we've been working on some of these. So it's not brand new. I'd like to remind folks. And -- but the advantage, I think, of these drugs is, in many ways, to support a diverse product portfolio. So by targeting these immunological pathways, these drugs often can be applied to multiple disease indications. And so once we establish the safety and we understand how we're manipulating the biology, it allows us to sort of think about a multi-indication strategy, and that's quite attractive for us.
Can you talk a little bit more about how you think an I&I R&D pipeline should be structured? What's the ideal spectrum of risk, which therapeutic areas or diseases are attractive and which ones are not?
Yes. I think that one of the things we sort of like about immunology, in particular, is this idea of in these -- you sort of always are led by the science, right? Then you can develop these, you understand that target that you're going after. You think about the biomarker strategy that you're going to leverage. You can bring it into sometimes pretty efficient early development trials, maybe even pick an indication that you think really allows you to answer that biological question very crisply. And then you can use that to sort of expand out.
So depending on the target, we may bring that into an indication where we sort of see like, hey, if we hit in this sort of -- if we manipulate biology in this way in this proof of concept, that gives us increasing confidence to expand into a multi-indication strategy. For some targets, we might start with 2 indications at the same time, and then that will -- if we hit those, it ungates others. You see us sort of doing that with felzartamab, I think, pretty effectively. So that's sort of the idea of how we're strategizing it.
Based on our conversations, we suspect investors don't give Biogen much value for its immunology and kidney pipeline. Why do you think that is? What do you think investors are missing?
Yes. It's hard to know. But I think if you look at felzartamab, it's a really, I think, very carefully crafted sort of approach that exemplifies what I've just discussed. You have an anti-CD38 antibody, very well-reasoned rationale of how it should manipulate biology in kidneys. You have a really unique indication in antibody-mediated rejection with a very robust biopsy endpoint. So that was very efficient in an investigator-initiated study to basically say, hey, this really manipulates this biology, which gave us the confidence to then go into additional Phase III studies with a lot of weight of evidence.
And then similarly, at the same time, take it into more indications where there was a more established traditional biomarker path and regulatory path in IgAN, but we looked and what's beautiful, you run a study like that, you look at the urine to protein creatinine ratio, you say, "Hey, I know if I hit that, that's going to translate into EGFR. I know what the regulatory path looks like for that.
So you really understand that sort of all the way from the dosing the drug to hitting the biomarker profile to understanding what the product profile looks like pretty efficiently in both IgAN and PMN. So I think that was 3 for 3 figuring that out, which was a really nice thing to see.
Are there other indications that are yet to be announced that Biogen thinks felzartamab could work in? Anything -- I know you can't tell us what the indications are, but are there other potential areas of application for anti-CD38?
There definitely are, and I think there's a lot of folks thinking about those. One that we recently sort of articulated was the MVI. So not just the antibody-mediated rejection endpoint that we've already started our Phase III, but sort of expanding into microvascular injury in the kidneys, which is on the spectrum towards full rejection. And as you can imagine, the idea that we, for solid organ transplant are able to really meet that need and really attenuate rejection is important.
So that MVI in addition to -- microvascular injury in addition to antibody-mediated rejection is one of the first things that we're pushing into and considering others as well.
Great. Maybe turning to lupus, which you referenced Biogen has been in for quite some time. Obviously, the late-stage pipeline currently has 2 candidates in it, dapi and litifilimab. Historically, lupus has been a very difficult indication for companies to succeed in. What does Biogen -- why does Biogen have confidence that it could succeed where these others have failed?
Right. It's a great question. I think that our confidence is really data-driven. So maybe I'll start with litifilimab. So that's a homegrown molecule that we brought forward, did a very detailed sort of Ib study back in the day where we had skin biopsies where we're really following that paradigm I just told you about, do we manipulate biology? Do we understand how to pick the doses? We did that. Then we moved it into 2 proof-of-concept studies in the LILAC trial, which is sort of a combined trial, but we showed in back-to-back New England Journal articles back in '22. Here's how we're manipulating biology in SLE, an overall treatment effect as well as showing good data on skin and joint.
And then in CLE, which is an indication area that we've really been sort of committed to for a long time and are very proud of because there's no approved therapies for cutaneous lupus. So we had POC there. So that allowed us really those well-conducted early development studies plus robust POC allowed us to feel like we understood how to sort of -- that we should and then how to move forward into what are 2 Phase IIIs ongoing for SLE and then a II/III for CLE.
So very data-driven. And I would also say you learn by doing. I mean when we first started in lupus, we were all as a field, trying to understand the clinical development paradigms, trying to understand the inclusion and exclusion criteria, trying to understand how should we manage the background medicines, how should we do the steroid tapering. So a lot of clinical like trial execution excellence in addition to having the right molecule. So all of that, I think, has come around and kind of coming at the right time for us.
And then for dapi, litifilimab, we have a positive Phase III. So the confidence there comes from being a great target in a CD40 ligand, which broadly manipulates sort of biology, enrolling the right patients. So it's moderate-to-severe lupus who've been actively flaring and designing a well-powered trial in the first PHOENYCS GO trial that we saw that said, hey, you hit the primary endpoint in BICLA.
But also we were really happy to see we're affecting flares or reducing flares, which is really important to patients. We're seeing tapering of steroids. And we're seeing an improvement in fatigue. So when you see all those things moving in a trial, it's an accomplishment. And so we're really happy to have -- in collaboration with UCB, who's been a great long-standing partner for us with dapi, really happy to have 2 different products to bring to bear, hopefully, in lupus.
That's a great overview. Maybe to dive into each of the ongoing pivotal trials in a little bit more detail. So Biogen's recent earnings call had announced that the TOPAZ -1 and 2 trials in CLE have completed enrollment with data expected by the end of 2026. Could you briefly review the design of TOPAZ-1 and 2?
So TOPAZ-1 and 2 are SLE studies. So that's -- yes, no problem. Those are replicate studies in SLE of 540 patients each. So definitely excited to -- these are large trials to recruit. So we're -- and they're both global studies where we're looking at patients who have a systemic lupus. We sort of enroll patients who have a certain disease severity that we bring into the study. And we have -- in that trial, we're testing 2 different dosing paradigms, which is administered subcutaneously once a month. And we're just examining sort of our primary endpoint there is the SRI-4, which is a composite endpoint that -- and we're also measuring BICLA. So those are as another endpoint. Those are overall sort of markers of improving disease control in lupus.
And so we'll be looking at that. And then we have other endpoints, as I mentioned, looking at controlling joints and impact on skin as well as, of course, we're going to look at the steroids as well as multiple other endpoints. So large replicate, global, well-powered studies to corroborate an impact on overall disease control with that primary endpoint.
What do you think are the key risks to the trials? If they were to fail, why would that be?
Yes. I think we're very -- we've been very intentional and very thoughtful about how we use the POC data to appropriately power about that we're testing 2 doses. So that is a good thing. I think to do that dose ranging so that we will cover hitting the target and then understanding if we hit the target, will that manipulate biology and going into a representative sort of sample.
So I don't think we can do much more than that. But of course, as well as controlling the background, medications and then adjudicating the disease severity. So we're really -- I mentioned that I think historically, lupus, it's not just having a drug and then putting it into patients who really have lupus, it's all the clinical trial execution pieces. So it's a very high-touch hands-on approach to executing these trials. I can't know if we got it all right, but hopefully, we brought as much to bear as possible.
And any thoughts as to what data needs to be produced on the key endpoints in the studies to make litifilimab a part of the standard regimen? Is statistical significance enough? Or is there some specific quantitative level that you're hoping to achieve?
Yes. Of course, we power them to sort of hit the primary as well as look at, like I mentioned, secondary endpoints that are meaningful to patients and providers. So when we're looking at what patients want, first and foremost, to feel better. This is a disease that is very debilitating, right? You have joint pain. You have often a lot of systemic symptoms, which can include profound fatigue fevers, just sort of overall skin manifestations. Some of them have other sort of organ systems, which are flaring to certain degrees in their kidneys. Some have cognitive issues with brain fog.
So it's a really multifaceted disease. And these composite endpoints allow us to see, hey, on all these different endpoints, for this patient, are we manipulating your disease in a way that for the features which matter to you are overall, are we manipulating. So I think, of course, we're going to look to see parity with -- there's only 2 approved drugs so far. We are looking to see how we're performing against those. But also, we know the ACR guidelines are pushing. We want people on less steroids.
If you're diagnosed at 20 years old, you can't be living on steroids until you're 70, right? They have major toxicities. Most patients, even on biologics are not getting to lower limits of disease activity. So there's more that they could do for overall disease control. So those -- we're not getting good fatigue improvement. So those are all the features in this large replicate trials that we're going to be looking for.
And in cutaneous, which is the skin predominant lupus, there, it's -- we're sort of looking for almost like you do in other dermatologic diseases, sort of percent reduction, right, in overall sort of amount of surface area, we'll call it, for lack of a better word. So there's endpoints like you see in psoriasis or atopic dermatitis, where you say, can I get 50% improvement? Can I get 70% improvement? And that's proven to be clinically meaningful to patients.
Got it. Actually, maybe could you go into a little bit more detail on the design of the AMETHYST trial? How many patients enrolled? When do you expect to release data?
Yes. So AMETHYST is -- we had the positive LILAC proof of concept, and now we're moving into this Phase II/III. And so the first cohort, which we enrolled was 90 patients. And now we're at the like high -- in the mid-300s up to 400. We're still sort of finalizing that and looking at that sample size for AMETHYST. So it will be a robust study, one of the biggest cutaneous lupus trials ever conducted which is great. We love that. And it will be in concert with having SLE data.
I think we'll be able to look comprehensively and say, "Hey, we have these 2 nice SLE studies. We have this dedicated CLE study. Altogether, we really see how this is manipulating biology. So there -- we have thresholds for cutaneous amount of cutaneous disease, which is sort of in that moderate to severe level. So you have to have moderate to severe cutaneous disease to come in. And then we're looking at 70% improvement, 50% improvement. Those are the types of metrics that we'd like to see to say, hey, this biologic is helping you.
Got it. Has Biogen discussed its filing strategy in SLE and CLE. Would you file the 2 indications independently? Would you file at the same time and hope to get a broad label? I honestly can't recall if that's something that Biogen was saying?
I think so. Yes, I think that's something that we are definitely thinking about how to optimize. We know that we have a single Phase III in CLE. So I think they are -- as I mentioned, it is in concert, we'll be thinking about them together, but the exact way in which we're doing that, especially with the trials, timing and what the best strategy is, we're still working through and should have, I think, next year, some more thoughts about that. But we're super excited to have gotten the SLE 2 trials enrolled now. Hopefully, CLE will bring it around, finish enrolling that study. And then hopefully, we'll have a couple of different options and choices for how to approach it.
Maybe moving to dapi. You mentioned the PHOENYCS GO trial. For those less familiar, could you summarize the data from that positive Phase III?
Sure. So that trial was enrolled patients, over 300 patients with moderate to severe, what we call active sort of systemic lupus. And it was very carefully sort of crafted to really make sure that we would bring these right patients in that even despite standard of care and they were allowed to be on steady doses of standard of care, still had unmet need. And so we brought them into the study. We sort of had a fixed and we do it in [indiscernible] as well, steroid taper.
So we say, okay, we're going to get our drug on board. And then after a certain number of weeks, you have to start tapering your steroids, so we can see if you're able to effectively do that. We also measured all the components I mentioned of overall disease control in every organ system using these composite endpoints. We measured fatigue. We also -- we measured overall disease activity scores. So we're really looking very carefully across those over 300 patients to see if adding the CD40 ligand to your -- to disease which was really not ideally controlled could actually bring you into control.
And what you saw over time, as you look across that 52 weeks in that study, you saw that onset. You saw, hey, you overall see the impact on the BICLA, which is this composite score. We also hit on SRI-4, which is a different composite score. You saw the steroids coming down. You saw the reduction in flares. You saw the fatigue scores improving. And you see me, I keep moving my hands because they were -- I just was so happy when they came back because directionally they track. A lot of the curves look similar, right? Switch out the endpoint, but you see the same effect that -- and there was durability, right, because it's a relapsing and remitting disease. So these are people who are actively flaring.
So you want to see, yes, even over a year, they might have bursted through, right? They might have relapsed despite therapy, but we showed they had actually a 50% reduction in flares if they were on our drug. So that was the top line.
How does the design of PHOENYCS FLY compared to PHOENYCS GO? Are there any notable differences?
No. It's very similar. I think that, of course, we look at the data and learn from it. But essentially, it's going to be looking at that BICLA. It's going to be powered effectively to do that. The one thing that we did mention, and it's in the public domain, one of the things you never know, particularly it's severe -- moderate to severe disease and as you're manipulating steroids up and down, how -- when will the treatment effect come on?
So our first primary was the endpoint at week 24, and we just missed. So we're thinking about that. It's really overall disease control as opposed to. So that's something we're kind of thinking through. But honestly, it's -- they were designed to be replicate. So they're quite similar. Yes.
And has Biogen guided to when PHOENYCS FLY could read out?
I think we are -- I think [indiscernible] was 28.
And again, any thoughts there, what type of data needs to be produced to put dapi into the standard regimen for the treatment?
Yes. I mean we'd love to see that replicate that PHOENYCS GO data, not on the primary end. So it's a yes and answer for those other components, the flare reduction, the fatigue and the steroid sparing. Even as we're designing, you can see that the American College of Rheumatology keeps pushing us to try to get -- no, get them on 5. We used to be if they were down to 7.5 milligrams of prednisone, that's good enough. Now they're like 0.5. There's really this push because as a consequences of long-term steroids for these patients that they want them on as low a dose as possible. So we're going to be looking at all of those. Can we reduce flares, reduce fatigue, reduce steroids and hit the primary.
That is helpful. Maybe in the last couple of minutes, Biogen unveiled a new program recently, BIIB142, the IRAK4 degrader. Could you provide a brief introduction to that program? How can an IRAK4 degrader be differentiated? And for what autoimmune diseases could it be most promising?
Yes. So what intrigues us about that target is probably and that asset in particular, are 2 things. IRAK4, we know plays a key role in inflammation. And this is an oral molecule, and it's actually a slightly different modality in that it's a degrader. So it is complementary in that it's a different mechanism of action and a different presentation in an oral molecule. Where we could take it is that's sort of a fun thing when you're in immunology because you could take it into lots of different things.
The first thing we need to do, of course, in the healthy volunteer study is just kind of get our bearings with the PK and the PD and then continue to look at the types of -- we could take it into multiple autoimmune conditions. So we're contemplating all manner of those. You could imagine, of course, we might think about how could this look potentially in a lupus portfolio, but we could also bring it into other places as well. So we haven't locked in the final, but hopefully, it's a multi-indication strategy if we can do it the right way. And we'll sort of update as we go of where we're going to put that.
As you said when the Phase I data could be released?
We haven't. Yes, we're just getting going.Yes.
We covered a lot of your I&I and kidney programs, but is there anything we haven't discussed that you'd like to highlight? Any other programs that we haven't brought up that you think are particularly promising?
I think we definitely continue to build out our early-stage pipeline. And hopefully, we have been fortunate enough to bring in even more immunology research expertise to Biogen. And so you saw us we did the Vanqua deal where we brought in that C5 asset. Hopefully, we'll continue to bring in potentially other particularly preclinical and assets into our portfolio so we can collaborate and do more of this work.
Of course, also on the kidney side, that's definitely -- we have a follow-on anti-CD38 because feels is amazing, but there's other places, as you indicated, we could take it. And so whether we choose to do that with a frontrunner asset or with a next-gen type of follow-on anti-CD38 is also under consideration. So those are some thoughts here.
Great. With that, I think we're out of time. Thanks so much for joining us today. We really enjoyed the overview and the discussion.
My pleasure. Good to be here. Thank you.
Thanks.
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Biogen — TD Cowen Immunology and Inflammation Summit
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Strategie: Biogen erweitert Neuro‑Immunologie zur systemischen Immunologie und Niere; Fokus auf multi‑Indikationsansatz, um mit wenigen Targets mehrere Erkrankungen abzudecken.
- Pipeline: Leitprogramme: felzartamab (anti‑CD38) in Nierenerkrankungen, litifilimab und dapi in Lupus; neues orales IRAK4‑Degrader‑Programm BIIB142.
⚡ Strategische Highlights
- Felzartamab: Anti‑CD38 mit nachgewiesener biologischer Wirkung; Entwicklung in antibody‑mediated rejection und Erweiterung in microvascular injury (MVI) geplant.
- Lupus‑Portfolio: Litifilimab (homegrown) mit umfangreicher Proof‑of‑Concept‑Datenbasis; Dapi (CD40‑Ligand, Partner UCB) hat positives Phase‑III (PHOENYCS GO) gezeigt.
- Neue Modalitäten: BIIB142 ist ein oraler IRAK4‑Degrader — potenziell multi‑indikationell, noch in früher Entwicklung (Phase I bevorstehend).
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Topaz‑Status: TOPAZ‑1/2 (je 540 Patienten) sind als replizierende SLE‑Studien beschrieben; Datenerwartung laut Management weiter Richtung Ende 2026.
- AMETHYST: CLE‑Studie begann mit ~90 Patienten; Gesamtgröße wird auf ~300–400 Patienten skaliert — eines der größten CLE‑Programme.
- Keine neue Guidance: Es wurden keine neuen Umsatz‑ oder Zulassungs‑Termine genannt; Filing‑strategie (gleichzeitige/gestaffelte Zulassung) bleibt offen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Strategische Einordnung: Warum Immunologie/Niere? Management betont Transfer von Neuro‑Immunologie‑Expertise und Multi‑Indikationsvorteil.
- Risiken Lupus: Kritische Fragen zu Trial‑Design, Steroid‑Tapering und Replizierbarkeit — Management nennt sorgfältige POC‑basiertes Design, räumt aber Ausführungsrisiken ein.
- Daten & Timing: Nachfrage zu PHOENYCS FLY‑Readout und Phase‑I‑Daten für BIIB142; konkrete Termine wurden nicht spezifiziert.
📌 Bottom Line
- Implikation: Der Talk bestätigt Biogens klare Verlagerung in Immunologie/Kidney und liefert Detailtiefe zu Studiendesigns. Werttreiber bleiben mehrere ausstehende Phase‑III/II‑Daten; Hauptrisiko ist klinische Replizierbarkeit und Timings der Readouts.
Biogen — Wedbush Rewind ASN 2025 Conference
1. Question Answer
Well, thank you, everybody, for joining me at the next presentation in our Wedbush ASN Rewind. My name is Laura Chico. I'm one of the senior biotech analysts here at Wedbush. And joining me for this next session, we have Uptal Patel, who is the Head of the West Coast Hub at Biogen. And Uptal, thank you for joining us today. Very excited to have you here.
Thanks, Laura. Great to be here.
So we're kicking off each of our panel discussions with a little bit of focus on the ASN meeting specifically. And so the first question I'd love to talk out to you is what are your biggest takeaways coming out of the ASN event? I think what was most surprising? What was a little familiar? Anything that you'd like to highlight here in the beginning?
Absolutely. I think from the beginning, the opening plenary with Prabir Roy-Chaudhury, the ASN President, with his history of working with key and is really focused on trying to help us usher a new era in nephrology that really focuses on cure along with many other ASN presidents. I think this year is the year it felt like a tipping point, right? So we have not only a wave of new innovative therapies coming online, but there was really kind of a more clear focus of how cure is possible. And that was reiterated by a number of plenary speakers. But also, you just walking around, you sensed a different level of enthusiasm about the promise of new therapies versus really just treating the complications of progression with renal replacement therapies.
Well, and I think that certainly echoes a lot of the themes that we're hearing from other folks as well. You're finally getting closer to these toys actually coming to market and be able to fill up the toolbox or the toy chest with them. Well, let's pivot over to Biogen's efforts and I guess, specifically with felzartamab. And I thought it might be helpful for those in the audience that might be a little less familiar, I wanted to give you a few minutes to maybe help us set the stage and talk a little bit more about felza's origin story, but also the various pivotal studies going on today because there are actually quite a few pivotal efforts already underway with felza.
Absolutely. So the origin story probably starts with at least the creation of Human Immunology Biosciences or HI-Bio, really a company founded by Travis Murdoch to focus on developing targeted therapies for severe immune diseases. And there were a variety of different potential approaches, but one of the really most compelling opportunities for a targeted therapy that could have a real impact across a range of immune diseases was using anti-CD38, which is expressed on the professional antibody-producing cells in the body.
And they examined a number of different therapies in development and found one that they really had the conviction would potentially offer essentially a best-in-class opportunity for an anti-CD38 therapy, specifically for immune-mediated diseases. And this was at MorphoSys. MorphoSys was a company more recently acquired by Novartis, developed wonderful antibodies. And they had this program that they had launched years ago, had developed this molecule specifically for immune diseases, completed preclinical safety toxicity studies, which wasn't possible with other CD38, did a reproductive safety toxicity study as well and started development in a number of sort of indications, proof-of-concept studies that when we in-licensed felzartamab from them inherited. So we inherited several live programs, which already sort of had a bit of a path in rare kidney, which was, I think, a fortuitous opportunity to make advances there.
Okay. I think that's a great spot to start. And targeting CD38, I think it's a bit of a novel strategy within nephrology specifically. So I'd love to start kind of the 30,000-foot view and drill down. But maybe talk about the indication selections that have been chosen initially to pursue with felza. And just for audience, we're talking about not only IgA nephropathy, but AMR, PMN, among others, walk us through how you first got to these indications specifically and then how perhaps that was triaged or narrowed over time.
Absolutely. So maybe thinking about the sort of context here, there's been an explosion of autoimmune diseases, immune diseases worldwide, but most of them are actually -- the largest components of those are really antibody-driven diseases. So pathogenic antibodies that affect a variety of different organ systems, whether that's the kidney, the neurologic system, whether it's a hematologic manifestation, a dermatologic manifestation, a number of specific pathogenic autoantibodies have been identified. And these pathogenic autoantibodies are produced by plasmablast, plasma cells, which express CD38, which is why targeting them seems so promising and in essentially, the breadcrumb trail that I think people have been able to follow is that out of desperation, when people have tried using anti-CD20s, which CD20 is not expressed on these cells, where this is ineffective for these severe patients with a variety of these autoimmune diseases, it's not worked.
And so off-label use of available marketed anti-CD38 has been effective. There's a number of case reports across various disease indications. And I think that informed the MorphoSys team about some areas to try to start their early development. And so a quint essential autoimmune disease is primary membranous nephropathy, where for at least 80% of people, that pathogenic autoantibody is directed against PLA2R -- PLA2R. And that is expressed on podocytes. And so when these antibodies bind to the podocyte, essentially causes kidney damage by forming these deposits, thickening the basement membrane, creating sort of very severe nephrotic syndrome for patients. And the initial studies that MorphoSys ran were in primary membranous nephropathy.
So they had a few different studies underway, 3 different studies that we inherited. One was sort of looking at a few different doses of felzartamab as well as repeat dosing. And another was looking at sort of this 9-dose regimen that they had arrived at for a 1-year period. And that's the one that allowed us to see that this could really have a real benefit in patients who either were very high risk upfront or had relapsed or never responded to CD20s. The other really insightful observation they had was that in IgA nephropathy, this disease was not responsive to CD20s at all. And so it was another example where targeting the antibody-producing cells directly, selectively depleting them could have an outsized effect. So for IgA nephropathy, it was a nice Phase II where essentially in a single study, although it was small, there were 5 arms, placebo against 2 doses versus 5 doses versus 9 doses.
And then there was a Japanese subcohort for 1 year, but it was a 2-year study where people were dosed and then followed up to 2 years. And what we saw was tremendous efficacy that was extended well beyond the dosing interval. So after, for example, 5 months of dosing with 9 doses, essentially, there was durable treatment effects out to 2 years. And then AMR was also, again, insight from case reports of off-label use where patients seem to respond to anti-CD38 in the context of AMR. And so this was a very thoughtful investigator-initiated study by 2 sites in Europe, University of Vienna, [indiscernible] and at [ Charité ] in Berlin, Dr. [indiscernible]. They conducted this study, 22-person study, randomized, double-blinded with biopsies for inclusion at 6 months and 1 year. Saw tremendous efficacy, 80% resolution by histology.
The key pathologic score there, microvascular inflammation went down to 0 for the majority of people who were treated. This had never been seen before. These 2 investigators have been part of multiple other Phase II proof-of-concept studies in Phase IIIs that went on to be unsuccessful. And so this was sort of transformative efficacy that was observed in AMR. So those were the foundational indications that we sort of adopted and carried forward as we had positive results into Phase III. At the same time, once we had felza, the first new study we launched was a signal-seeking study in lupus nephritis. So people who have not been fully responsive to prior therapies, really a small open-label signal-seeking study, and that's currently underway still.
Okay. Helpful. And I think kind of coming out of ASN, obviously, a lot of buzz around IgA nephropathy. So maybe that makes a logical starting point as well. And you mentioned the durability piece of the early data for felza, which certainly stood out to us. But -- and particularly against the backdrop of a changing therapeutic landscape. We've gone from having no therapies to -- in a few months, we're likely to have a couple or at least one targeted therapy on the market. So I'd love to get your perspective on how you see felza fitting into the evolving treatment landscape. And I assume your base case assumes the approval of the April, April [indiscernible] as well. But yes, maybe that would be a good starting point. Where does felza best fit into IgA nephropathy.
Yes. So first of all, it's never a good time to be patient, but what -- how wonderful is it that we now have multiple, multiple therapies showing efficacy, not only sort of foundational therapies like SGLT2 inhibitors, endothelin receptor antagonists, which will help with the overall CKD preservation of kidney function, but also targeted therapies that focus on inflammation that might be driven by complement. And then to your point, I think there's a class of potential disease-modifying therapies that includes therapies that will modulate the B cells that are producing these autoantibodies that drive disease.
So these antibody-producing cells produce galactose-deficient IgA1 and then the autoantibodies against those. And that can be addressed by inhibiting APRIL and/or BAFF. And to your point, there's a number of different therapies that have been evaluated. We've got interim readouts on multiple, and we're expecting a final FDA decision on one of them here, hopefully, within the month. That's fantastic. Those therapies look like they're reducing proteinuria, stabilizing GFR and having a real effect on the drivers of disease and long term could be incredibly powerful for preventing progression to kidney failure.
So that's wonderful. I think the opportunity that CD38 offers on top of that is also disease modifying, but selectively depleting these cells so that you no longer have to continue dosing. So what we know from the APRIL BAFFs is 3 to 4 months after stopping dosing that proteinuria returns and progression may return as well. So although they're effective, they're essentially modulating the B cells, and so they require ongoing dosing, whereas targeted selective depletion with anti-CD38 seems to provide a durable response that could be -- it certainly appears to be as long as up to 2 years and potentially longer.
And I guess, could there be a scenario then for APRIL therapy? You just kind of alluded to -- I have a hard time imagining APRIL, APRIL BAFFs being dosed on a pulse or periodic basis. But remission is one of the intriguing aspects of the felza dosing. So I guess as you're thinking forward, could a felza cycled approach be what advances in the marketplace within IgA nephropathy?
Yes. I think as we think about these options for patients, if we step back and say, let's look at -- think about the lens through which patients and providers are going to make some decisions. Obviously, safety. So we still need to see that in all of these studies. So far, many of the reports have been relatively small and/or the durations of therapy haven't been long. So we do need to have a better understanding of long-term safety. And we don't know the effects for any of these therapies for chronic administration over long periods of time.
Efficacy, I think the bars are set pretty clearly to preventing progression. But patient preference is important. And to your point, could there be sequential or combination therapies that allow optimal patient preference to come in. This could also include what happens to be covered for them, right? And that's the second part of all of this for the entire community is how do we get these therapies to patients. That's a complex journey of all of the HTA assessments and pricing reimbursement access issues, but those could be patient specific as well, depending on where you live and what you -- how you're covered.
I think the part about if we sort of start with the theme we started with potential cure, I think that's what patients want. And so therapies that might allow us to get closer to that could be really, really important to facilitate.
And so getting rid of the cells that produce the pathogenic autoantibodies that drive the disease is compelling. We don't know what happens for possible return of activity, disease activity. Will it happen in the majority of patients or just a fraction? And are there ways we can identify who might be more susceptible to reactivation of disease? And could, to your point, maintenance therapy with some other approach be helpful in minimizing that. It's not clear. I think one of the things that we're looking forward to is in conjunction with our Phase III study, we'll have a long-term extension study where we'll be able to understand the sort of time course of this durability and the need for retreatment with at least a CD38 or other therapies.
Okay. And maybe that brings me to my next question around kind of the bar for success within the Phase III setting. And it's kind of a twofold question because there's a regulatory hurdle that needs to be met. And certainly, there's precedence -- clear precedence, I would say, for FDA to approve above that 30% proteinuria reduction mark. But obviously, the evolving landscape might impose a different competitive bar. So I'm kind of curious, how do you think about a successful Phase III felza readout in IgA nephropathy? And what does that look like perhaps?
I think the bar for now hasn't changed, but I think the coming year or 2, we could see it evolve. So far, we haven't had disease-modifying therapies fully approved, but that's about to change. So moving forward, studies that start 1, 2, 3 years from now may have trouble having placebo-controlled trials. That's issue number one. The second is the bar with which all of these are going to be compared will evolve as well as new therapies enter the market because some of these patients may not fully respond. Some of them may have been treated with some of these newer therapies, but still have active disease and end up in new studies.
So we'll have a different perhaps background therapy, perhaps population of patients who might be more incident rather than prevalent over time. And so I think some of those nuances will need to be considered. And then finally, there's probably going to be some geographic polarization here that occurs because of access differences in where the disease is well controlled versus not well controlled. And I think all of that will need to be considered as people look at the data that are being used to provide the evidence for not only registration, but then for patient and physician decision-making.
Okay. Very helpful. And it would be interesting to see how everything changes over the coming 18, 24 months even. I'd like to pivot over a little bit towards AMR, if that's okay. And I think the readout in the Phase III AMR study is likely one of the first pivotal data points that we will get for felza. If I recall correctly, I think you're anticipating data in the 2027 time period for this study. And this is also one where you have some derisking data with daratumumab. You mentioned kind of these other studies with off-label use demonstrating it could reverse AMR. So I'd love for you to walk through a little bit in more detail some of that Phase II data, but also maybe help us put that into context for what it means in the Phase III setting, if that makes sense.
Yes, I think so. So late AMR is a really important indication for us. It is the leading cause of kidney transplant loss. We know that essentially the pathology is driven by microvascular inflammation and in some cases, persistent donor-specific antibodies. Diagnosis is essentially made through surveillance or indication biopsies. And so it is diagnosed pathologically. And the current standard of care is really not adequate. There aren't any approved therapies and most patients do go on to progress. In fact, over 75% of transplant loss appears to be related to this if you've been identified as having late AMR. So most people have a median graft survival after diagnosis of about 2 years.
So really high unmet need. We think there's a significant opportunity to change this given the very compelling -- but compelling data from our Phase II, but it was a small study. So we do need to replicate that. What we saw was, like I said, reversal of AMR by biopsy. But what was important was that even though it was small, everything was consistent across different assessments. So not only pathology, but molecular scores as well as we were able to measure biomarkers of graft injury that are very specific to the graft and those essentially normalized with treatment. And then we were able to see, again, small numbers, not statistically significant, nor powered to do that, but saw differences in preservation of kidney function that directionally were supportive.
I think all of this is important in designing the Phase III. What we also saw though was that in the Phase II trial, people received treatment for 5 months. So this 9-dose regimen over 5 months, they had a 6-month biopsy that showed resolution. But by 12 months, with no additional therapy, there was evidence of recurrent AMR activity. And so that showed up as increases in the molecular scores, increases in the pathologic scores, the MDI score and then some of the other supportive biomarkers as well. So what does that mean? That means that with this disease where you have a foreign body in the recipient, the immune system has recognized this and the immune activation is severe enough that there probably needs to be ongoing suppression of these antibody-producing cells and NK cells, which is the other part of the story that I don't think people expected, but we showed in a nice Nature Medicine paper that probably was the NK cells and NK cell depletion that drove a lot of the improvement in microvascular inflammation.
That's sort of a more newly recognized part of the pathophysiology that essentially not all of antibody-mediated rejection is driven by antibodies, that there are donor-specific antibody independent mechanisms that may be mediated by NK cells.
And so depletion of the antibody-producing cells and NK cells together appears to be what may have driven the results we saw. But that requires ongoing suppression. And so the biggest difference between the Phase II and Phase III is that people will receive ongoing dosing in that second 6 months. And the other part is that because we have evidence of potential really transformative efficacy, the participants who are randomized to placebo initially will cross over to active treatment at 6 months.
Okay. And that was going to be my next question, the key differences. So that -- okay, so continuous dosing, the second 6 months. And kind of similar question as we asked earlier, but what does TRASCEND need to demonstrate then in terms of a success bar? And is it just -- well, I'm wondering how eGFR improvement kind of fits into this as well.
Yes. So I think the primary is really resolution by histology of AMR. So we want to see reversal of that. So the BIIB122 classification for pathology scoring is what we're using in the Phase III. The 2019 version was used in the Phase II, but that's evolved. There's no major differences that are sort of applicable here other than a separate category called isolated microvascular inflammation, which we can talk about separately. But for AMR, resolution by histology adjudicated by a panel of pathologists is our primary endpoint.
And what we are also looking at is the durability of that to 12 months, so between 6 months and 12 months. And then also what we want to see is consistency across all of those other mechanisms that we described that gave us confidence that there was a real treatment effect here. So looking at the reduction in the markers of injury, the donor-derived cell-free DNA. And then to your point, stabilization of GFR is also important. That will also allow us to then look at what the changes overall could predict for the graft.
So there's now a score, the iBOX score that has been qualified in the EU as a potential secondary endpoint supportive for kidney transplant trials that essentially is a mathematical model using a variety of clinical and patient characteristics, but including these pathology scores and GFRs to essentially predict longer-term graft survival from these parameters. And in a small exploratory analysis of the Phase II data, we show that we do change the iBOX risk prediction of future graft loss with treatment with felza. And so we'll be using that as well, and that is currently under review at the FDA as a potential surrogate endpoint.
Okay. Would -- and I'm just kind of thinking ahead here, but what type of AMR patients then would be most likely to benefit from felza? And I guess as you're thinking about kind of the marketing strategy, is there a certain segment that would be pointed towards for felza?
Yes. So if we sort of zoom out of what's happening in the transplant space, there's about 250 transplant centers in the U.S., 50 to 100 manage the majority of patients. Although some community nephrologists have patients who graduated from those centers and are now under their care, patients are routinely followed for graft function. If there's any changes, usually that triggers an indication biopsy to explore possible causes.
And then the diagnosis is made by, again, a biopsy. And so the patients who are included in this trial are those who had a kidney transplant for at least 6 months, and that qualifies as sort of antibody-mediated rejection showing up late versus more perioperatively in the first 6 months. And generally, that aligns with having de novo donor-specific antibodies versus preformed that relate to sort of a different context around transplant with sort of mismatches and desensitization needs.
Okay. And I'd be remiss not to kind of pivot over towards membranous for a little bit only because there are multiple things going on with felza. But certainly looking forward to the TRANSCEND data, but less investor attention on PMN, primary membranous nephropathy at this point. However, I do think this is an area that we start to see increasing interest in as we're going forward here. So I think with that, you've observed varying types of -- varying degrees of relapse rates with different therapies in PMN. So how do you approach this in terms of a patient population? And again, kind of similar question as in AMR, but where does it make the most sense to focus on within PMN for felza?
Yes. So again, also good for patients that there's been a really tremendous evolution of therapies for PMN. Our observation in starting all of this was that CD20 does work in a good number of patients, but it also doesn't work in a large number. So that provided a real sort of motivation to sort of think about how selective depletion of the antibody-producing cells could help with controlling this disease. So for our Phase I/II studies that we generated data on PLA2R autoantibody levels were an inclusion and specifically high levels were what we were looking at. So higher-risk patients with high PLA2R, autoantibody titers, but also people who were explicitly refractory to multiple courses of prior therapies.
And those generally included anti-CD20s and/or cyclophosphamide. So what we saw was efficacy in a setting where people hadn't fully responded to other therapies. And so that gave us, I think, the motivation that there was an opportunity here for -- there's a role for CD38 therapy to provide essentially another therapy for patients who either aren't responding upfront, so it could be high risk and less likely to respond to CD20s or relapsing from them.
And with that, that's -- our study is a pretty standard design. It's essentially open label because we're comparing a therapy that's IV to tacrolimus that's an oral therapy. And so we just wanted to make it a somewhat reasonable study for participants and not have them have blinded therapy of both. And then the 2-week -- I would say, the 2-year assessment of complete remission is also pretty standard. And this is -- there's been a number of Phase IIIs that have followed this path. Essentially, getting proteinuria down below 0.3 or 0.5 grams is sort of the bar with stable GFR as a corollary.
And maybe taking a step back now because we've gone through each of the programs. And I guess for PMN, would that be -- would the Phase III study support a registrational filing on its face? And the reason I ask is maybe taking a bigger step back, what is the overall filing strategy for felza? Is it a first indication maybe in AMR and then leveraging out as data rolls in? I'd love to kind of understand a little bit more on kind of how does felza reach the market first and what has to happen for the subsequent indications?
Yes. Like you described, we're expecting data for AMR in 2027. So expect filing and approval in '28. And that will be the first indication. I mentioned isolated microvascular inflammation, and that is a new indication that essentially was identified from the 2022 BIIB classification of AMR. This was a category that was sort of considered not rejection.
But with additional study, very sound epidemiologic studies of large registries, it's clear that the people who have this essentially don't have DSAs, and we can talk about a few reasons why they may not have DSAs measured, but they have the pathology of AMR that manifests very severe microvascular inflammation. And their outcomes are almost as bad as those with full-blown AMR with the donor-specific antibodies. And we're launching a study there. We're hoping that, that could be something that we are able to also include. And then IgAN will follow a few years later followed by PMN.
Okay. I think maybe one other question that we've previously gotten from investors is the formulation strategy around felza. And I guess any other commentary you could share around plans to adopt maybe a subcutaneous dosing formulation?
Yes. So the other CD38 you mentioned is daratumumab, obviously, very impactful therapy for patients with multiple myeloma. They went to a subcu formulation and that improved, I think, the access for patients and the tolerability of administration. We, as HI-Bio didn't have the resources to do that and have been thrilled that Biogen, we now have the full capabilities of a remarkable company and are working to develop subcu options for felza.
Okay. Interesting. That will be interesting to see the development there. I know we only have a couple of minutes left. The standard way we've been winding down each of the panels has been -- we started off with taking away key takeaways from ASN. I'd love to kind of wrap up, though, coming out of the meeting, what you're most excited about for Biogen and felza specifically as you're heading into 2026.
Yes. So I think what's exciting is the momentum that we have in deepening our understanding of the diseases we're studying. So across AMR, IgAN, PMN, we have conceptual models of how the diseases actually are caused. But with new therapies, we get to probe that biology in different ways and try to actually pressure test that. And what we're finding is some of our insights about those disease mechanisms actually aren't correct. And so we're also using our current Phase II data to look back at what are the insights that might help us understand these diseases through a new lens.
As an example, the role of the NK cell in AMR. That was sort of paradigm changing and really important because otherwise, without recognizing that, we weren't advancing therapies. As an example, plasmapheresis was the mainstay of therapy, physically removing these antibodies, but that didn't lead to efficacy. And now we have maybe potentially an explanation why that could be. So across IgA nephropathy, we talk about Gd-IgA, galactose-deficient IgA being the driver, but there's a dislocation between reduction in Gd-IgA, proteinuria reduction and stabilization of GFR. Why is that?
Well, there are probably some other things happening. All of us have galactose-deficient IgA, but it's not pathogenic. So what is the difference and what might be happening here? And then for PMN, similarly, there's clearly a complex part of memory cells and plasma producing -- plasma cells producing the pathogenic antibodies. We're looking at ways that we can have a deeper understanding of that to sort of get to more optimal therapies for patients. So disease mechanisms is really important. I think also very important is completing enrollment for our active trials. But then also thinking about the opportunities for felza. There's a number of different indications where it could be helpful as a therapy. We know that from, again, what I described, the off-label use of currently available CD38, demonstrating efficacy where current therapies are falling short. So looking forward to sharing more about that in the future as well.
Well, it's an exciting time for nephrology and excited that Biogen is advancing felza here in a number of different indications. So -- looking forward to all the future data cards turning over. With that, I think our time is up. But Uptal, I really want to thank you for joining us today. I appreciate all the insights and look forward to following the progress here.
Yes. Great. Thanks for having us, Laura. Be well.
Thank you.
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Biogen — Wedbush Rewind ASN 2025 Conference
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Kernaussage: Biogen positioniert felzartamab (Anti-CD38) als potenziell krankheitsmodifizierende Therapie in mehreren nephrologischen Indikationen (IgA-Nephropathie, Antikörper-vermittelte Abstoßung (AMR), primäre membranöse Nephropathie (PMN)) mit Hinweis auf langlebige Remissionen nach begrenzter Dosierung in frühen Daten.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Wirkmechanismus: Ziel ist selektive Eliminierung von Plasmazellen (CD38-exprimierend) zur Reduktion pathogener Autoantikörper; ergänzt andere Ansätze (APRIL/BAFF-Inhibitoren) durch potenzielle Einmal-/Puls‑Therapie statt Dauerbehandlung.
- Indikationsfokus: AMR als First‑to‑file: überzeugende Phase‑II‑Biopsiedaten (häufige histologische Remission), danach IgAN und PMN; Lupus‑Nierenstudie als Signal‑Suche.
- Formulierung: Entwicklung einer subkutanen Darreichungsform vorgesehen, um Anwendungskomfort und Zugang zu verbessern.
🔎 Neue Informationen
- AMR‑Programm: Phase‑III (TRASCEND) verändert Protokoll: fortgesetzte Dosierung in Monat 6–12 und Cross‑over für Placebo, primärer Endpunkt ist histologische Auflösung nach BIIB122‑Klassifikation; Biogen erwartet AMR‑Daten 2027 mit Folgeeinreichung/Marktzugang 2028 (Managementaussage).
- Durabilität: Frühdaten zeigten Remissionen bis zu 2 Jahren nach begrenzter Dosierung in IgAN; in AMR trat jedoch Rezidiv nach Stopp auf, daher wird kontinuierliche Unterdrückung geprüft.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Bar für Erfolg: Diskussion, dass regulatorische Anforderungen (z. B. Proteinurie‑Reduktion in IgAN) aktuell klar sind, sich aber durch neue Zulassungen und veränderte Background‑Therapien verschieben könnten.
- Patientenselektion: Wer profitiert am meisten? Management nennt Hochrisiko‑Patienten (hohe PLA2R‑Titer in PMN, spät auftretende AMR nach ≥6 Monaten) sowie refraktäre Patienten nach Anti‑CD20.
- Sicherheit & Dauer: Analysten fragten nach Langzeit‑Sicherheitsdaten und optimalem Dosierungsregime; Management betont laufende Langzeitverlängerungsstudien zur Klärung von Retreatment‑Bedarf.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Das Management liefert ein klares klinisch‑strategisches Narrativ: felzartamab könnte insbesondere in AMR ein First‑to‑market‑Profil erreichen und bei IgAN/PMN eine nützliche, potenziell langlebige Alternative zu kontinuierlich dosierten B‑Zell‑Modulatoren werden. Hauptrisiko bleibt die Langzeit‑Sicherheit und die Frage, wie oft Retreatment nötig ist.
Biogen — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. My name is Cynthia, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Biogen Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call and Business Update. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference is being recorded.
I'd like to turn the conference over to Tim Power, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Power, you may begin your conference.
Thanks, Cynthia, and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Biogen's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. During this call, we make forward-looking statements, which involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from our forward-looking statements. We provide a comprehensive list of risk factors in our SEC filings, which I encourage you to review.
Our earnings release and other documents related to our results as well as reconciliations between GAAP and non-GAAP results discussed on this call can be found in the Investors section of biogen.com. We've also posted the slides for our webcast. We posted the slides on our website that will be used during this call.
On today's call, I'm joined by our President and Chief Executive Officer, Chris Viehbacher. Dr. Priya Singhal, Head of Development; Alisha Alaimo, our President and Head of North America; and Robin Kramer, our Chief Financial Officer. We'll make some opening comments and then move to Q&A session and to allow us to get through as many questions as possible, we kindly ask that you limit yourself to just one question.
And I'll now turn the call over to Chris.
Good morning, everyone. Thank you, Tim. To have the first slide, please. So I think we've delivered a very strong third quarter. Particularly, I'm very happy to see our growth launch products, delivering year-on-year growth of 67% in the third quarter. The launch products again in this quarter, and if I look at this year-to-date as well, more than have offset the MS decline on a year-to-date basis. [ La Kemvi ] continues to show good, strong, sustained sequential global demand growth with sales globally of $121 million.
You may recall that we disclosed in the second quarter that we had increased inventory levels in China. And so we had higher Q2 sales and with some offset now in Q3 but when you look at this on a rolling 12-month basis, we're very happy with the progress we're making on [indiscernible] the approval of the iClick subcutaneous injection for maintenance is now approved in the U.S. and it has rolled out and patients are benefiting from that.
Sky Claris is now available in 34 markets globally. We've got 30% year-over-year revenue growth. That is actually not as high as even the patient growth because we have a number of early access programs in countries making sure that patients benefit from the product while we negotiate with pricing and governments around the world.
And ZURZUVAE, 150% revenue growth year-over-year. This is just an amazing product. One of the most interesting things is I think we are actually changing the perception of postpartum depression. Every day, there are media stories about this terrible condition from others. Jennifer Lawrence is the most recent person to talk about her experience with postpartum depression.
So ZURZUVAE is not just a product. I think we are really revolutionizing how people look at this. And that's important, and it's -- but it's also driving a lot of revenue growth for us. If I look at the pipeline, again, very good strong progress. We have litifilimab Phase III studies now are fully enrolled, and both are now expected to read out in the second half of 2026.
Now I look at this as not just an acceleration. Lupus is an extremely competitive area. There are a lot of studies ongoing. And one of the things when you look commercially at a new product is, can I recruit patients in clinical trials? Because that's kind of a harbinger of how things are going to work commercially. So if we can accelerate, we can accelerate in a competitive environment that tells me that already physicians are seeing something special about litifilimab, and I'm certainly encouraged by that not just from the fact that we're going to get the data earlier.
But as I say, I think it's a good sign for the commercial success longer term of the product. We continue to build out our early stage pipeline. As we'll see in a minute, we've got, I think, an extremely robust late-stage pipeline. Now is the time to turn to an earlier stage. We've started a Phase I study for BIIB142. It's an [ IRAK-4 ] degrader for autoimmune disease.
We actually expect to put another 3 to 4 molecules into our early-stage pipeline over the coming 18 months. And then we continue to be active on the BD side. We announced the agreement to acquire [ Alceon ] Therapeutics. This is a very strategic acquisition for us. ASOs continue to be a load of administration that is necessary to treat a number of diseases.
We ourselves have other products such as [ selinersen, ] B-80, [ zuravenersen. ] And so this is a mode of administration that will be much more convenient for patients and we're seeing other companies obviously also developing ASO. So this is really going to be a breakthrough, we believe, for patients who are taking intrathecal injections.
And then we have just added the [ C5aR1 ] antagonist through our licensing agreement with [indiscernible] of the nice things about immunology drugs is that they tend to offer you an opportunity to create a portfolio in a product. As you follow these immunological pathways, they can lead to a number of different indications. And the beauty of that is, of course, that once you've been able to demonstrate safety, you can then very efficiently go into other indications.
And again, we expect to announce at least another one, if not 2 further research stage deals by the end of the year. So if we can move to the next slide, please. Now these are -- I love this slide. When I look at this and I look at the lines that are extending all the way across the page, I mean, the company our size, 10 Phase III or Phase III-ready programs and that covers 5 Phase III NMEs.
And we've got a lot of conviction around this pipeline. And we've seen a lot of good data in Phase I. And we're getting close to now seeing a lot of the readouts out of that. Now one of the things that you probably don't think about is that these are not just 10 Phase III programs. This is also 10 launches. If I take just [ felzotimab ] as an example, there are 4 indications of that. 2 of those, AMR and MVI are transplant. Two of those are in nephrology. And then, of course, we've got lupus coming along with 3 indications in lupus.
And of course, we're still in rare disease with orvanursin. We have a next generation of SPINRAZA with selinersen, and we're quite excited about what's coming along with BIIB080 in tau. But all of those require now that we start building up commercial teams building insights, thinking about pricing, thinking about value propositions. So a lot of activity going on inside the company.
Another thing I'd like to look at in terms of trying to predict whether things are going to be a success or not is, can we attract strong talent. Because people bet their careers when they come to a company. and especially if it's a new product. And I have to say I've been super impressed with the talent that we've been bringing into Biogen.
And that sort of says to me that people are willing to bet their careers on these exciting new products. And I have seen time and time again over my career that, that often translates into commercial success. Market research is important, but I think some of these other indicators are even more important. So we coming the next slide.
So what we've been trying to do over the last 3 years. The first is, obviously, let's grow our new product launches. And again, 67% revenue growth says this is a very strong performance. We've got with [indiscernible] Sky Claris, Jersey even [indiscernible] And when I look over the last trailing 12 months, it's almost $1.2 billion in revenue.
So -- and obviously, these products all have long runways in terms of market exclusivity and in each of these, these are first in first -- not only first-in-class, but first-ever treatments in these areas. So we're actually doing an awful lot of market creation. For those of you who've got a lot of commercial experience, you know that creating markets is a lot tougher than just going into established markets and taking market share.
And I think that speaks to a lot of the commercial strength of our teams at Biogen. Then let's look at the profitability of our legacy business. And yes, I think we beat on the top line this quarter because of MS. But that's not all by accident. And I think we are beating just about every analog when you're looking at products that have come to the end of their market exclusivity periods.
I think that speaks to the strong customer care. I think it speaks to the strong loyalty of patients to Biogen's product. We are still the company that treats more patients with MS than any other company out there. And one of the things that we shouldn't forget is it's not all legacy.
There's an amazing product out there called VUMERITY that has been growing very strongly this year. It's almost $0.5 billion sales in the first 9 months of this year. And this is a product that has market exclusivity well beyond the end of the decade. And very proud to see particularly our U.S. team investing more into this business and that is responding well.
And it is really the only patent protected product still in the oral segment, which is extremely important part of the MS market. And then we've been very conscious of being efficient. We are going to deliver this $1 billion of gross savings. We were clear right from the get-go that we would be investing some of that as part of the launch in our new products, but also in research and development.
You've seen our revenue growing, but our OpEx growth was still flat over this year. Despite a lot of new investments, we have added products to our late-stage development and we are doing all of this recruitment for the commercial preparation of all these launches that are now in Phase II.
And then obviously, if I look at our pipeline, we have cut development costs by almost 25% and research by 40% and I would argue that we have a stronger pipeline than we did before. And that's really a lot of what Priya has done in terms of being very careful about which products we put into development, building conviction behind those. I think as I look at the pipeline, I'd say we've got a very exciting and a high conviction late-stage pipeline.
One of the reasons that we're doing these early-stage deals is, I think we now need to build an early-stage pipeline and Vanquis is just one example of that. We continue to generate strong cash flow, and we continue to look at where are the opportunities across the entire spectrum about how we can grow our business. I think we are very disciplined about where we put that cash flow.
Everything that we want to invest in has to be something that contributes to growth. And so with that, perhaps we can learn a little bit more about our pipeline, and I'll pass it over to Priya.
Thank you, Chris. This year, we've made important progress across the development pipeline and we are positioned to continue to deliver multiple expected milestones over the next 18 months. As Chris noted, we remain focused on execution against our strategic objectives. And there are a few achievements I'd like to highlight from this quarter.
Importantly, as Chris mentioned, despite competitive recruitment for trials in the space, we have now fully enrolled both TOPAS studies for litifilimab in SLE. This allows us to now pull forward both expected readouts from these studies into next year 2026. Next, we continue to advance to exciting new opportunities. First, with [indiscernible] where the pivotal study design for presymptomatic infants and the broader clinical development plan has been aligned with the FDA.
We are also engaging with ex U.S. regulators and expect to initiate the registrational study in early 2026. We also continue to advance [indiscernible] in late MVI, where we expect to initiate a potential registrational trial in coming months. And today, we announced an update on high dose SPINRAZA, where the FDA provided us with a path forward we resubmitted promptly, and now we have a PDUFA in April 2026.
Over the last few years, we have transformed both our late-stage and early-stage pipeline. We have followed the science and secured proof of concept to advance high scientific connection assets into potentially registrational stages. And as we prosecute the early-stage assets, we continue to follow the science by testing the most important scientific hypothesis.
We now expect to deliver several readouts from our pre-POC pipeline next year. We're also focused on broadening the pre-POC pipeline, both with internal research assets that we advanced to IND stage like with 142 [indiscernible] and by also remaining deeply engaged in targeting external innovation, including our announcement last week, as Chris mentioned, to collaborate with Banco Bio on clinical 1 antagonist.
Turning to our late-stage pipeline. I'm encouraged by the breadth of opportunities to further scientifically advance our assets including our ability to educate on the profile of our innovative medicines with our data. For example, this week at ACR we presented important differentiated data from our positive Phase III DAPI trial, showing a consistent clinically meaningful benefit across outcomes that are relevant for SLE patients and providers such as flare reduction, fatigue, morning stiffness, musculoskeletal pain, LL DAS as well as remission.
And underscoring our comments that we made at our September lupus seminar on the potential importance of [indiscernible] for patients with SLE, including women of childbearing age we presented data demonstrating limited placental transfer in a preclinical setting. Next, I would like to spend a few minutes on the continued LEQEMBI development to deliver optionality for Alzheimer's disease patients.
As you can see on the left side of this slide, we have already been successful this year in delivering meaningful differentiated treatment options for LEQEMBI. Today, it is the only anti-amyloid therapy with a maintenance option as well as an at-home subcutaneous maintenance action. And we continue to advance our rolling submission to the FDA for LEQEMBI subcutaneous initiation.
The option for maintenance and the availability of subcutaneous delivery are also potentially relevant to Legend in the presymptomatic AD population. The AHEAD 3-45 study, as you can see here, is an important study that aims to comprehensively evaluate Legend in 2 different stages of presymptomatic AD with the appropriate scientific questions and the relevant primary endpoints.
Additionally, we have seen increasing momentum in the development, approval and utilization of blood-based biomarkers. We see this as a key enabler that potentially simplifies the diagnostic pathways. We remain excited and believe the potential for LEQEMBI in the presymptomatic AD population can be an important opportunity for Biogen. In closing, I'm encouraged that LEQEMBI ahead 345 is just one of several important registrational readouts we have over the next few years.
As you can see on this slide, our high scientific conviction pipeline will play a critical role given the increasing momentum in our registrational data flow. This will begin with 2 litifilimab Phase III readouts in SLE next year, and 2027 onwards, we will see multiple registrational readouts across several assets in diverse and important therapeutic areas.
With that, I would now like to hand the call over to Alisha for an update on our commercial business.
Thank you, Priya and good morning, everyone. Today, I'll review the commercial results we achieved in Q3, beginning with our multiple sclerosis portfolio. Our MS business continues to deliver significant revenue, which provides the resources to invest in our growth products, advance our pipeline and achieve our vision for the new Biogen. In the U.S., we saw strong performance, mainly driven by strategic actions to support VUMERITY's growth and some onetime events.
When we look at competitive dynamics globally, we are seeing increased impact of TECFIDERA generics in Europe. And for Tysabri, we believe we are well prepared for our biosimilar entrant in the U.S. Now turning to LEQEMBI, which delivered another strong quarter with global revenues growing 82% compared with Q3 2024, underscoring its increasing impact on the Alzheimer's community worldwide.
In the U.S., our team is working collaboratively with Eisai driving strong execution and customer engagement, which we believe supported our prescriber base growing another 14% quarter-over-quarter. This quarter, we sustained consistent growth of new writers and new patients and LEQEMBI holds majority share as the #1 prescribed anti-amyloid treatment. Throughout 2025, we estimate LEQEMBI captured roughly half of all the new patients treated with anti-amyloid therapies.
Now with the launch of iClick subcutaneous auto-injector for maintenance LEQEMBI is the first and only anti-amyloid treatment to offer an at-home injection, giving physicians, patients and care partners more options to continue to slow disease progression following the 18-month initial treatment period. Early feedback from customers and payers has been positive. And into next year, we will remain focused on securing Part D coverage and supporting patient access to LEQEMBI.
Last quarter, we noted that for the first time we observed early signals indicating the anti-amyloid market grew with 2 players. We are encouraged that this quarter, our data shows the market continued to grow by approximately 15%. We also shared that blood-based biomarker testing was advancing at a significant pace. And here, our physicians have pointed to a meaningful impact.
They report blood tests to help move from probable to definitive diagnosis more quickly, enabling HCPs, patients and their families to focus more on the treatment discussion. We anticipate up to 350,000 Alzheimer's blood tests this year and more than 60,000 PET scans to date, which is a 75% increase compared to this time last year.
Our data show early indicators that PET, CSF positive tests are increasing, which we believe may be attributable to increasing use of Alzheimer's blood diagnostics as a triaging tool. As we previously noted, we are educating HCPs about the quality of blood-based biomarkers, including the performance of BBM and that meet the requirements of the Alzheimer's Association's new practice guidelines for amyloid triage and confirmation.
As we look to 2026, we expect LEQEMBI's momentum will continue to be driven by our focused strategies, which we believe are already having a positive impact on intent to prescribe perceptions of efficacy and safety and health care providers' understanding of the role of anti-amyloid therapies. Moving on to Sky Claris, where the launch continues to drive patient growth across all regions, including the U.S. and overseas.
Sky Claris is now available in 34 countries, contributing to strong growth of 30% and compared to the same time last year. In the U.S., as expected, patients continue to grow quarter-over-quarter with quarter 3 revenue being impacted by channel mix in the context of the IRA changes to Medicare. As we shared in the past, our strategy in the U.S. is to reach the remaining [ Friedreich ] ataxia patients, their neurologists and PCPs, which our data indicate are primarily based in the community.
Our efforts are focused on delivering on the school as nearly 2/3 of new patients in Q3 were prescribed by first-time writers and roughly 1/4 of new scripts were written by PCPs. Outside the U.S., we remain focused on continued geographic expansion with multiple commercial launches planned in the first half of 2026.
Last, turning to ZURZUVAE, which continues to perform above our expectations. As we shared earlier this year, our expanded field team has had a meaningful impact, delivering $55 million in the U.S., which is a 19% revenue growth compared to last quarter. We are also encouraged by the increasing breadth of writers, which grew 19% quarter-over-quarter.
And in quarter 3, of ZURZUVAE prescriptions were written as first line, demonstrating health care providers' belief in the value of therapy that provides rapid relief to mothers impacted by postponing depression. Across our portfolio, I am proud of our teams for executing with discipline and delivering on our strategic priorities.
Their hard work is helping us serve patient communities, build new markets and drive sustainable growth. I will now turn it over to Robin for an update on our financial results.
Thank you, Alisha. I would like to provide some key highlights about our strong third quarter financial results. Unless otherwise noted, each of the comparisons I make during my remarks are versus the third quarter of 2024. We delivered 3% revenue growth this quarter, driven by continued strong commercial execution. Our 4 launch products generated $257 million in revenue in the quarter, representing a 67% growth.
We continue to see resilient performance from our U.S. MS business which was favorably impacted by gross to net adjustments, timing of shipments and strong demand growth for VUMERITY. This was partially offset by continued generic erosion of TECFIDERA in Europe. Notably, the year-to-date cumulative revenue from our launch products has more than offset the year-to-date decline in our MS product revenue.
This commercial execution, combined with our disciplined operating expense management resulted in non-GAAP diluted EPS growth of 18% for the quarter. We also delivered $1.2 billion of free cash flow in the quarter. Turning to our guidance. I'm encouraged by the strong business trends that we continue to observe in Q3. This is reflected in our improved revenue outlook. You'll note that our non-GAAP EPS outlook has been updated to reflect that stronger business outlook while adjusting for expected business development activities that are expected to close in the fourth quarter.
I will provide more details on this in a moment. Let me cover some key components of our Q3 revenue performance. Starting with our MS franchise. In addition to the strong commercial execution that Alisha discussed, the Merit benefited from approximately $22 million of favorable inventory dynamics.
And overall, USS benefited from favorable gross to net adjustments of $38 million in the quarter. Outside of the U.S., sales were primarily impacted by expected generic pressures for TECFIDERA. We continue to defend our IP. However, we observed an acceleration of erosion, particularly in Europe as generics continue to launch in new geographies, including Germany.
This, combined with the channel dynamics, resulted in a sequential net decrease in TECFIDERA revenue of $28 million versus the prior quarter in Europe. On a positive note, year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter impact of the Tysabri IV biosimilar in Europe was roughly offset by growing demand for our subcutaneous formulation, which has no biosimilar alternative and now accounts for more than 50% of all branded and biosimilar natalizumab patients in Europe.
For SPINRAZA, we continue to be encouraged by the consistency and demand globally. And as expected, ex U.S. SPINRAZA was impacted by the drawdown of the inventory build from the first quarter. We continue to expect full year global SPINRAZA revenue to be relatively similar in 2025 as compared to 2024. Turning to our launch products, starting with LEQEMBI.
We continue to see steady sequential demand growth globally with third quarter end market sales booked by [indiscernible] of approximately $121 million. As you will recall, we had a $35 million inventory build in China in the prior quarter, representing roughly 6 months in demand in the region. Approximately half of this build was drawn down in Q3.
Therefore, as expected, there were negligible sales recognized for China in Q3 as demand was satisfied with the inventory in the channel. We continue to expect demand in China in Q4 to be satisfied with this remaining inventory with minimal revenue generated in the fourth quarter.
Zyclara saw continued growth globally with revenue increasing 30% from this time last year. In the U.S., continued sequential patient growth was offset by approximately adjustment related to channel mix in the context of the IRA redesign related to Medicare. We expect Sky Claris to continue to grow, and we are working to secure reimbursement in certain European markets as well as in Latin America.
As Alisha noted, we are pleased to see continued strong growth for ZURZUVAE driven by increased demand. Now a few comments on the rest of the P&L. Before I get into the quarterly dynamics, I would like to highlight the variance shown here between GAAP and non-GAAP cost of sales. GAAP cost of sales was $674 million, up 6% year-over-year due to an approximately $100 million pretax charge accrued in Q3 that related to a judgment on Genentech's claim for past royalties and interest related to TYSABRI.
Without this impact, it would have been approximately $570 million, representing an 11% decrease year-over-year. More broadly, cost of sales benefited from favorable product mix from lower contract manufacturing revenue in Q3 2025, which has a lower margin. This trend is expected to continue through the remainder of the year due to the planned campaign timing of contract manufacturing that we have previously discussed.
Non-GAAP core operating expense or R&D plus SG&A expense is flat year-over-year. What's evident in our results is that we remain disciplined in our cost management as we continued to deliver on our R&D prioritization and Fit for Growth initiatives, while ensuring that we are supporting investments in our launch products and long-term growth potential.
Now I'd like to provide a brief update on our balance sheet. This quarter, we generated approximately $1.2 billion of free cash flow due to business performance and continued cost management discipline. We exited the quarter with $4 billion in cash and marketable securities, and $2.3 billion of net debt.
Our financial strength gives us the flexibility to reinvest in strategic growth initiatives, including advancing our pipeline, supporting product launches and exploring growth opportunities as we work to deliver the new Biogen. Turning now to guidance. We have updated our non-GAAP EPS guidance to reflect a stronger underlying business outlook and investment for growth from business development transactions expected to close in the fourth quarter.
As you know, the SEC requires inclusion of acquired IP R&D charges associated with business development transactions and GAAP and non-GAAP financial results. As since these onetime charges, our business outlook has continued to strengthen in the quarter, yielding a $0.25 per share improvement.
Our updated full year guidance includes an approximately $1.25 per share impact for business development transactions that we expect to close during the fourth quarter including the license agreement with Sana Bio and the acquisition of [ Alceon ] Therapeutics. The following are some key considerations underlying our financial guidance.
We expect sales to be roughly flat to up 1% as compared to last year at constant currency, an improvement from our last guidance update in July. This reflects strong business performance, including the resilient performance of the U.S. MS business year-to-date. We also expect increased competitive pressures on the ex U.S. MS business to accelerate, particularly for TECFIDERA in Europe, where we expect the sequential impact in Q4 to be roughly double the erosion we saw this quarter.
In addition, as we discussed into July, we are investing to support exciting new pipeline expansion opportunities, including a new program for felzartamab and MDI and the salanersen Phase III study discussed by Priya earlier in the call. As discussed earlier in the call, we are also beginning to invest in prelaunch activities for our late-stage high conviction pipeline and key initiatives such as direct-to-consumer advertising in support of our launch products.
We believe these investments position us to drive future growth while delivering innovative solutions for patients. As we look ahead to the fourth quarter, we expect operating expenses will be approximately $1.1 billion. This reflects the typical seasonality of our Q4 spending, our ongoing investments to drive growth and our focus on cost efficiency.
It also reflects the progress we've made in our pipeline with the opportunity to invest in 10 programs, either in Phase III or expected to start Phase III in the coming months. We are encouraged by our progress towards delivering the new Biogen, and we believe it's important to make these investments as we work toward our goal of sustainable growth and long-term value to shareholders.
Importantly, we believe we remain on track to deliver the $1 billion of gross savings and $800 million of net savings projected under the Fit for Growth initiative by the end of 2025. And as I have mentioned previously, we expect contract manufacturing revenue in Q4 this year to be $10 million to $20 million due to planned timing of contract manufacturing batches versus Biogen innovator product manufacturing.
Please be sure to review this slide and our press release for other important guidance assumptions. And with that, I will pass the call back to Tim to open up questions
Thanks, Robin. Cindy, could we go to our first question, please?
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Umer Raffat with Evercore.
2. Question Answer
I wanted to spend a quick second on [ VOC ] trial, if I may. And my question is, in a scenario where we do see a trend, how do you see that impacting the LEQEMBI franchise? And even more importantly, how does that change your thought process around the portfolio offering you have in the space? Would you need to have a Glip collaboration or an asset in-house in a scenario like that?
Well, I think on the study, let's see what the results are and where that's going to affect. We've looked at that. I think if it is positive, we do think it's probably going to be more used in the primary care setting at an earlier stage. We'll have to see what the -- again, what the results are, but it doesn't seem like this would actually affect the amount of plaque I do think, as a company, though, we are interested in having a full portfolio of products to achieve Alzheimer's. We have the VIVA program.
And obviously, working on brain-shattle technology so I think we would probably evaluate that as and when the data are available. There's certainly no lack of GLP-1s out there.
I can just add that I think what's really important here is that they are hypothesizing that neuro inflammation will play an important role. And as Chris mentioned, I think that it doesn't really target the pathology. The important thing is that the EVOKE trials included patients on stable doses of Alzheimer's treatment, including the anti-amyloid antibodies.
So we'll be interested in seeing that data. And what we also believe is that it will increase the awareness of the disease and the need for treating disease early.
Your next question comes from the line of Evan Seigerman with BMO Capital Markets.
Can you step back, I'm really struck by your progress in immunology. Can you just talk to me about how this renewed focus can drive growth and pipeline expansion into the end of the decade? And what can you do with Biogen to accelerate some of these programs?
So maybe I'll start. When I came to Biogen, I argue that we've always been immunology because basically a lot of diseases like MS, we are treating by really trying to have an impact on the immune system. As I pointed out, our MS drugs don't even cross the blood brain barrier. So I would argue, we've always been an immunology company. And immunology is really an area that has really flourished over the last 10 years.
And I think DUPIXENT was really 1 of the first drugs to really demonstrate the disease-modifying capability when you follow those pathways, and of course, they can lead into a wide range of activity. So that's an area we understand. In the short run, I think we're more focused on rare immunology and immunology that is overlaps with areas that we already have some experience in.
I would argue, for example, with lupus, lupus is an extremely complex disease with a lot of different symptoms and things that affect patients. And I think the experience that Biogen has had in MS will be directly applicable to lupus. And I think we'll be able to develop that market in a way that the existing companies with their products haven't been able to do.
And I think over time, we can actually build out a portfolio of products that broadly affect the immunology. There's a lot of opportunity here. There's a lot that we still don't understand. And as we look at kind of the first -- the next 5 years, they're more in this rare immunology. But if I look at a 10-year time frame, then I think we can go into broader indications.
And [ Vanquis ] is just one example of bringing in an asset that could actually have multiple indications. And I think you'll see us do more of those. And again, these are areas where you really have to have a deep scientific understanding of how these pathways work. They can be -- there are a lot of things that cross over.
One of the things that we just see in diseases NRF2, microglia and things like that actually cross over diseases. And that crossover I think is something that we can bring to the immunology part as we go into different indications even with [ felzartamab, ] for example, although we're in 4 kidney indications, we're looking at another 3 indications that have nothing to do with kidney again, because we understand things like neurofilament and other things, we think that we have perhaps some insight that will allow us to develop medicines that other companies don't.
So for us, it's -- it's a core area. We're not abandoning neuroscience by any means, and we still have a very strong investment in Alzheimer's and ALS. We still have a big 1 going on in Parkinson's as well. But I do think immunology is a great space for Biogen to be.
Your next question comes from the line of Salveen Richter with Goldman Sachs.
You mentioned the focus on expanding your early-stage pipeline via BD, and this is partly driven by the late-stage pipeline here where you have about 10 Phase III trials ongoing. Could you just maybe speak to the confidence in the latter that's allowing you to kind of maybe just work on that earlier basket here.
I guess there's 2 parts to the question. The confidence in the late-stage pipeline, certainly, if I look at felzartamab, I think we feel that we've seen some pretty compelling data in the Phase II Obviously, there's always a risk as you go into Phase III. But we've got -- we've seen -- if you just take AMR, I mean we had an 80% resolution of AMR in patients.
On IgAN, we saw that actually even 2 years after the last treatment of a patient that they were still seeing a benefit. So makes us believe that we have a disease-modifying effect in IgAN. So all of those things on felzartamab on BIIB080, obviously, we're doing pioneering work. Nobody has really ever reduced tau to the levels that we expect to be able to do so, and we'll see what the results of those trials -- that trial is.
As I look at lupus, again, we had very strong Phase II results, I think, particularly in CLE where there is no drug yet approved. I think we have a very strong belief [ Dapirolizumab ] has already proven itself in 1 Phase III. And so doing a second Phase III would seem to be -- have a reasonably high probability of success.
And I think, again, even on [indiscernible] that the company has been working on for quite a long time. So I think there's never a guarantee in research and development. But I think we have morphed the pipeline from a lot of moon shots, if you like, to something where we've actually had a thoughtful progression and derisking of our pipeline.
And if I look at the peak sales potential of that late-stage pipeline in relation to our existing business.
[Technical Difficulty]
Ladies and gentlemen, this is the conference operator. We are experiencing an interruption in today's call. Please stand by. I'm going to place music back on the conference. Do not disconnect your lines. Thank you.
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We kind of disconnect there. Chris, do you want to just respond to the last question, if you don't mind?
Yes, I'm not sure where we dropped off. It's interesting with all the hundreds of billions of dollars going into data centers and AI. We still have things like telephone calls. Yes, just on the -- so again, high conviction around the late stage, early stage, we are building a lot of commercial capability now in preparing for the launch of that late stage.
Building up an awful lot of capability and understanding of immunology and now it makes sense to actually continue that and build upon that in the early stage. A lot of companies get so focused on the launches and the late-stage pipeline that research can sometimes be neglected.
But this is now really the time to be investing in the next generation of products. And I would argue there's never been a better time to be in immunology. And I think Biogen is ideally suited to it.
Your next question comes from the line of Brian Abrahams with RBC Capital Markets.
Maybe a question for Alisha. Can you give us a sense on the early experience with LEQEMBI subcu maintenance uptake and access with regards to non formulary exceptions what the potential time lines might look like to get on formularies, both for maintenance and induction? And maybe whether we should be thinking about net price here, ultimately landing at parity between the IV and the subcu forms?
All right. Thank you for the questions. I think so far, the feedback has been very positive from not only payers but HCPs and patients. We also anticipate that subcu maintenance is going to enable patients to also stay on therapy longer. So we see it as a big upside. It will take some time for providers and patients to just with new outpatient treatment modality even in a maintenance capacity.
But we do see this as a great bridge as we move into the potential of subcu initiation. So we do expect a gradual uptake, but over time, it will become a meaningful driver for long-term therapy and for our treatment outcomes. Now and into next year, what the teams are doing is first are educating sites on what you referenced, which is this non-formulary redemption process.
However, payers have told us that this should not pose challenges to HCPs who are interested in transitioning their patients from IV and we are already aware of the first patients successfully navigating this process with their physicians, and we do know that we have several patients that are already on subcu.
We also have a companion that has rolled out to the entire market that's also helped patients with how to do the auto injection, making sure they get their shipments and also making sure that physicians feel comfortable. Also through the non-formulary exemption process, if you look at analogs in the market outside of Alzheimer's disease, great rates are typically quite high.
So again, we don't think that will pose a challenge. And then second is working through this Medicare Part D formulary for in the cycle for the goal of gaining access for patients across the nation. So we are now going through that process for Medicare, and we believe that we will have access, full access by 2027. In the meantime, though, they do go through the non-formulary exemption process. But at the end of the day, we are hearing that iClick is really just an amazing option for patients and physicians.
In fact, just the other day, I was speaking to a physician who had done his 10,000 infusion of LEQEMBI. And he said some of his patients are very excited they can go on vacation. They can take this with them, and it's now giving them freedom to be able to travel even more than what they do today. So far, so good. Moving into 2026, and we believe the initiation is going to even be a great accelerator for us as well.
Your next question comes from Paul Mattis with Stifel.
There's been a lot of increasing interest in the prevention studies being run by Lilly and U and ESI. And I guess I wanted to just ask a broader question. How should we think about the commercial implications if these studies are positive? Obviously, these could change the narrative significantly on the utility of [ Abeta ] drugs. But what our team is struggling with is it's still a real challenge to actually treat the diagnosed population.
There's all these capacity issues. MRIs. It's been a very, very complicated sort of supply chain. And so -- it feels to me like actually diagnosing patients and mobilizing providers to treat people who are asymptomatic might create even more significant capacity issues and difficulties with, again, the whole chain of use with these drugs.
So what would you say to that? And how can you guys sort of prepare for a successful outcome here to actually generate a significant ROI.
You want to take that.
Thanks for the question. I'll go ahead and take that one. We've been thinking about this quite a bit, obviously, with top of mind as the potential of a successful trial reading out, whether it is going to be release trial or it will be [indiscernible] trial.
And some of the things that we're looking at is especially in the PCP area, how they improve the quality of their referrals into physicians. Now as I said, blood-based biomarkers are growing at a rapid pace. Also just recently, Roche had a BBM that was approved called Alexis. And this is really only a rule out BBM and is approved for a primary care setting, which basically helps them with this sort of asymptomatic or very early stage. Alzheimer's disease.
So we believe through some of the efforts of the field on educating, which, by the way, we're not the only ones. There are several organizations that are supporting these efforts to make sure that physicians understand that a lot of these BBMs meet the criteria for confirmation. And what we're seeing is that during a pilot that we're running now, which we'll read out after the next quarter is can we actually improve the prescribing or the diagnosing and also then the referral and the quality of that referral.
I will say, though, that we are seeing already in PET CSF that the positivity rates of those tests have increased dramatically as well at the beginning of this journey, we were sitting at 50-50 positive versus negative and we are now north and upwards of that number and positivity. We believe that's through the improvement of the triaging with the blood-based biomarkers. So I think that's 1 part of it.
The second part of it is, of course, some of these patients then won't land in Medicare depending on their age. And so it's how do we also socialize and work with the commercial plans because they are the ones that would need to cover the product at that point. And so clearly, some of those conversations have already happened because we do have some younger population patients that want to go on product -- and so I do think we are thinking through that.
And by the time these trials read out, I do think that capacity will be also much better.
And I think we can also say to complement what Alisha just said, the subcutaneous form when that gets effect gets approved as we expect for initiation for maintenance. If the blood-based diagnostics start to replace the PET scan and the lumbar puncture, you're dramatically reducing the workload at the neurology. And as we've talked about in past meetings.
A lot of what we've been doing is trying to make the care pathway simpler for physicians with the idea of being able to increase throughput. And as Alisha rightly pointed out, I mean, Today, about half of the patients who are able to get at a point where their neurologists are not actually eligible. And again, as we increase that yield really from the referrals, as Alisha pointed out, that again will significantly increase the capacity.
And we have to say that we still have quite a few neurologists that have not yet actually initiated therapy on Alzheimer's. So this -- I think we'll still -- as this comes along, I think we'll find that the capacity will flex.
Your next question comes from the line of Marc Goodman with Clearlink Partners.
My question is about Sky Claris. Can you just give us a little more color on what's happening behind the scenes? I mean, you mentioned the $6 million impact in U.S. sales, and you talked about OUS reimbursement issues a little bit. what's going on with volume growth maybe in the U.S. and then just overseas? Or are we seeing patient growth? Are we seeing good persistence like are there discontinuations? Just give us a sense of just what's happening with Sky Claris a little bit more.
Thank you. I'll go ahead and take that question. I think first, 4, I'll start with ex U.S. Building on the successful launch in the U.S., we continue unlocking new geographies for Sky Claris, which is now available, as we said earlier, in 34 countries. And we are pleased to see the steady and continuous growth once the access is granted overseas.
And with that is a country-by-country basis, and they do continue to add patients on a weekly basis, which we see updates about. When you look at the U.S., the U.S. is in a different situation because we did launch earlier. And with that, we have basically had very high penetration in our centers of excellence, and we believe 90% of our remaining opportunity sits in the community.
And so we do have patient growth, and we do have volume growth. When it comes to discontinuations, when we first launched, we did notice that in the beginning, our discons, though in line with Moxy, we're happening quite early on, and we put a lot of tactics into place over this last year to address that with not only the field force, but the medical team.
And I will say, fast forward to today, our discount rates have actually declined. So we've improved our discontinuation with education with physicians about some of the side effects they see and also what patients can expect. I think the second part of this, which I think will probably impact the entire world with this launch is how patients after they've been on it for a year or 1.5 years, because it slows the progression, it's very hard to be able to see like what does slowing progression look like.
And we have had a couple of instances where patients have discounted after about a year's time period, they've declined actually quite quickly, and they've now come back on to products. So we do know that at that time point, we will put more tactics into place on educating the actual patients and activating the patients.
Let's go to the next question, please.
Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Tsai with Jefferies.
So going back to Alzheimer's, you guys have a Phase II tau data set coming up mid-2026. So I'm curious what you would want to see on CDR-SB and the degree of talent reduction as well? And if that study is positive, what would be your guys' base case and upside case expectation on the regulatory pathway?
Sure. So I think overall, we believe that [indiscernible] is really important pathological target and accumulation of tau is relevant and central to Alzheimer's disease. With BIIB080, the approach we've taken is really to address whether knocking down to, all 6 isoforms of tau can result in target engagement.
So we would need to see impact on biomarkers, fluid biomarkers, imaging biomarkers and then see at least a trend on the clinical benefit. That would be important for us to kind of think about the hypothesis. We know that early-stage research in AD is always highly uncertain. But I think if this hypothesis is proven, there's a huge opportunity. Now I think the other question you had was how would we think about it in the portfolio perspective.
I think once we have that, it would be a stepwise approach to thinking of if it is positive, is there value to combination, parallel, sequential dosing and these are areas that we're thinking about really deeply as we think about what would be the optimal approach and outcome for patients with early Alzheimer's.
Let's go to the next question, please.
Your next question comes from the line of Terence Flynn with Morgan Stanley.
Maybe just a follow-up for me on Tao. I know J&J is progressing an anti-tau antibody in Phase II and could have some data early next year. you guys obviously explored this approach as well. I think there are some differences maybe in terms of binding here. But when we see that J&J data, assuming it comes before BIIB080, how should we think about read through to your ASO program.
I think overall, based on what I understand from the J&J program, this is positinimab. And it's a tau monoclonal antibody it targets the mid-domain of tau. So it is different. And in our experience, we've had an experience and the field has had an experience of targeting tau with monoclonal antibodies thus far, that has not been promising.
And we believe that the main reason here is the extracellular tow that it targets. And actually, that is the hypothesis. SPAs is testing. So we'll wait to see they are in Phase II. And I think what we saw from the Phase I data was an impact in some of the fluid biomarkers However, we didn't actually see any data on tau PET, which we believe is very important. So we'll look for that data.
And in terms of read-through I think, as I said, it's early days for research in Alzheimer's disease with an anti-tau agent. So we'll have to see what we see and then really try to analyze it but I think if it works, it could be helpful, right, because it would then address the point that is knocking down to actually has an impact.
So I think it would be overall positive, but we wait to see the data first.
Let's go to the next one, please, Cynthia.
Your next question comes from the line of David Amsellem with Piper Sandler.
I have ZURZUVAE question. So just wanted to get your thoughts on the fit of the product in the commercial portfolio, given that it's primarily a women's health product that doesn't really synergize with your other business units. I guess, how are you thinking about keeping the asset now that more well-resourced well-capitalized partner now controls the other 50%?
Well, I'm not sure how well capitalized I would say. I think we are -- we still feel like first, we are very happy with the partnership with [indiscernible] I mean that is going extremely well. And they have taken a different approach than SAGE. But I do think that this is still a product where Biogen actually can play a significant role. There is a huge unmet need. You're having to shape a market.
And that is an area where commercially Biogen is very strong. from a resource point of view, I'm not so sure that even for Supernus is this is an easy fit because the prescriber base for Supernus typically is a psychiatrist but here, the main prescriber is actually the OB/GYN. And so the resource level, I think, compared to the actual sales and profit of the product, still mean that this is an opportunity.
I'm not sure we are keen to get into other neuropsychiatry areas. But I think in terms of being able to create a market, at least and her team are doing a terrific job. It was a tricky one because, again, this is a one-and-done treatment. And so you really have to build prescribers who are prescribing multiple times. But the opportunity is significant. There's only about 80,000 women treated today and about 500,000 mothers, and this is just the U.S. alone,
I believe this suffer from postpartum depression. So I think this fits very much with the ethos of Biogen. And I don't know, Alisha, whether you want to add anything there?
Yes. Just to add to what Chris said. I mean, first of all, we have really gotten off to a great start with Supernus, and they've done a really nice job of trying to minimize the business impact anytime we have a handover. So we really are off to a very good start with them.
On the surface, it looks like there are synergies when it comes to the rest of the portfolio, but that's only when you look at really the field force. If you look behind the scenes and you look at really our infrastructure of Biogen, which we're in a very fortunate situation. And you look at things like our bio group, which is really our commercial operations group, we have a lot of synergy when it comes to data and analytics insights generation.
And especially, we have a very strong omnichannel presence. And so what's been great about even putting ZURZUVAE into our portfolio is that we've been able to utilize a lot of the back office support to support this launch. And we believe that's also part of the reason why the launch has been successful is because of all of the experience that we've had with our other products.
And also with our AI generation, we're doing some really interesting things for the ZURZUVAE launch as well. So stay tuned also on some more direct-to-consumer that we're planning for next year, which I think is really going to be a great accelerator for ZURZUVAE.
Maybe I can just add that we also have approvals in the new and U.K., and it is a very important moment for mothers with PPD because it wasn't really recognized as an entity, and this speaks to the quality of the data and the efforts and the high unmet way.
Let's go to our last question, please.
Your next question comes from the line of Jeff Meacham with Citi.
It's Ross on for Jeff. I guess our question is, how was -- how is the company thinking about capital allocation, especially considering balancing BD and new launches, especially if there seems to be a heightened focus on developing an earlier-stage pipeline?
Yes. Thanks, Jeff. I mean, first, everything we're doing, as I said earlier, is to invest in long-term sustainable growth. We have been able to, I think, do a great job through previous judgment of building a very strong late-stage development pipeline. I mean a lot of companies when you're putting a lot of things into Phase III development start having to increase the R&D spend and yet we are still actually spending less than what we did 3 years ago.
So I think we've demonstrated capital efficiency on that. We're being very thoughtful but also the indications. So we're not going into indications where we have to go up against typically an AbbVie or a Sanofi or people like that. So the actual commercial investment is relatively modest compared to the opportunity.
And that's, again, a space where Biogen plays well. We are recruiting people to bring in new capabilities in nephrology and in transplant and in lupus but that's actually a relatively small number of people. And I think one of the best times to bring in assets is actually pre-IND you can do that on a cost-effective basis.
You can take advantage of the fact that a lot of companies have venture capital backed financing, that is designed to take that risk, and you can actually build a portfolio easier of early-stage assets, either by collaboration or licensing -- and then you bring them in at the right point where Biogen can actually start to use, it's more commercially oriented skills and development skills to shape those products.
So I think from a capital allocation point of view, I think we can manage all of this. And I think we still have room, and we're not abandoning looking at later-stage assets, but the later this stage, obviously, the more expensive and you have to be extremely disciplined on ensuring that whatever you buy is going to generate a return on investment.
So I think we are in a good spot today. And I think we've got the capital we need to do the business. But of course, we're continually monitoring that and making sure that everything we do is driving shareholder value.
Thanks, Chris. That's it for today. I know it's a very busy morning for everybody. When you've got more questions, the IR team is here to answer those for you. Thank you.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Biogen — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Biogen — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: +3% vs. Q3 2024
- Launch‑Produkte: $257 Mio. in Q3 (+67% YoY)
- LEQEMBI (Endmarkt): ~ $121 Mio.; China‑Inventar aus Q2 reduzierte Q3‑Umsätze
- Ergebnis & Cash: Non‑GAAP‑EPS +18% YoY; Free Cash Flow $1,2 Mrd.; Kasse $4,0 Mrd., Nettoverbindlichkeiten $2,3 Mrd.
- Einmalaufwand: GAAP Cost of Sales enthielt ~ $100 Mio. Vorsteuer‑Last (Genentech‑Streit).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Markterschaffung: Fokus auf neue, first‑in‑class Launches (VUMERITY, LEQEMBI, Sky Claris, ZURZUVAE) statt nur Share‑Gewinn.
- Pipeline‑Bau: 10 Programme in Phase III/Phase‑III‑bereit; Early‑Stage‑Ausbau mit 3–4 erwarteten Molekülen in 18 Monaten.
- BD & Technologie: Akquise/Lizenzierung (u.a. Alceon, Sana‑Deal) zur Stärkung Administration/ASO‑Technologien und Immunologie‑Portfolio.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Umsatzprognose: Volljahr nun ~0–1% Wachstum (konstanter Wechselkurs), Anhebung gegenüber Juli.
- EPS‑Update: Non‑GAAP Aussichten verbesserten sich um ~$0,25/Aktie; erwartet ~ $1,25/Aktien Belastung durch Q4‑BD‑Abschlüsse.
- Kosten & Investments: Q4‑OpEx ~ $1,1 Mrd.; Fit for Growth: $1 Mrd. Brutt‑/ $800 Mio. Nettoeinsparungen weiter geplant.
- Meilensteine: Litifilimab TOPAS Readouts H2 2026; PDUFA für High‑Dose SPINRAZA im April 2026.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Alzheimer‑Markt: Diskutiert wurden Subcut‑Uptake, Part‑D‑Zugang (Management zielt auf breite Part‑D‑Zulassung bis 2027) und ob Subcu‑Preisparität erzielt wird – konkrete Preisdetails verweigert.
- Diagnostik & Kapazität: Blutbasierte Biomarker als Enabler; Capacity‑/Bildgebungsengpässe bleiben ein Thema, Management setzt auf Vereinfachung des Care‑Pathways.
- Immunologie & R&D: Fragen zu Litifilimab, felzartamab und BIIB080: Management verweist auf starke PII‑Daten, erwartet weitere Readouts, bleibt aber zurückhaltend bis zur Datenauswertung.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Bewertung: Solide Quartalszahlen und ein starker Launch‑Momentum stützen die Aktie; kurzfristig belasten BD‑Abschlüsse und ex‑US‑Generika (Tecfidera) die GAAP‑Kenngrößen. Wichtige Kurskatalysatoren sind die Pipeline‑Readouts 2026–2027 und die Kommerzialisierung der Subcut‑Option bei LEQEMBI.
Biogen — Bernstein 2nd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Welcome, everyone. My name is Will Pickering. I'm Bernstein's analyst for U.S. Biotech. Very pleased to have Biogen here today joined by Priya Singhal, Head of Development. Priya, thank you so much for coming.
Thank you for having me.
In many ways, I think that Biogen needs no introduction. It's a long well-known company in our industry, but -- maybe you could take a few moments to speak to the journey that you've been on to create a new Biogen, how your approach to R&D is evolving?
Yes, we've been very excited to create the new Biogen. And I'm really pleased because I think we are well on our way. And I'll start with the fact that from a commercial perspective, the Alzheimer's launch, we are seeing some inflection points in the LEQEMBI launch. This is important because we just got approval for subcutaneous maintenance, which we think is a very important option for patients. And we've also begun our rolling submission for the subcutaneous initiation. That means patients, hopefully, once we have the outcome next year for subcutaneous initiation and we already have it for maintenance, patients could actually have an autoinjector that they take at home. And I think it provides optionality because they can still choose to come to an infusion center, and we know there are many different segments of patients as well as health care providers.
The other important catalyst in the field that we've seen is that blood-based biomarkers have, as you know, FDA approved the first one, the IVDR, but there are many available today. And I think what it does for the field is it provides the option of being tested. And that has many downstream positive consequences because it can free up neurology chairs, it can free up the reason to have a CSF or a PET. And actually, we've seen data that the number of blood-based biomarker test has gone up exponentially. And there has been an increase in the positive outcomes from CSF and PET, and we think those could be related. And so it's important.
The other piece from a commercial perspective, as you know, we've launched several drugs in the last few years, all first-in-class, so it's really been a pioneering effort. But I think what we're really pleased about is we're seeing year-on-year revenue growth from our growth products more than offset the decline from our MS product. And this is important because I think the growth products are where we are really focused and it really is looking encouraging at the moment.
The R&D piece that you asked is very dear to my heart, of course, and it's very important because we embarked upon a journey to curate, evaluate the total pipeline, starting from research and going into development. And what we have today is a late-stage high scientific conviction set of programs that we expect registrational data as early as next year. So it's been a very important move because we've gone from low value, low probability of success to high-value, high probability of success. And the reason that we have been able to make that change is we are advancing programs into Phase III and late stage based on a derisking POC data set and that is important. And we are treating internal assets and external innovation the same. So you've seen us advance litifilimab. You've seen us advance dapi, both for lupus into Phase III, very exciting potential build of a lupus franchise here. But equally, we broadened and acquired HI-Bio. And with that, we have already initiated 3 Phase III trials for felzartamab in the rare nephrology space. And we are evaluating it for several other indications, including a Phase II MVI indication that we think we can start next year.
So it's a very exciting time. We also did more business development with the Stoke Therapeutics. You saw us have an alliance with Stoke on zorevunersen, which we think could be really meaningful and disease-modifying for patients and children with Dravet syndrome. And here, we have seen very exciting data specifically on the Vineland Adaptive Scale. And we -- I have already started our Phase III trial with Stoke and dosed patients.
We also are building our pre-POC pipeline, and I'd like to focus on that next because here, we have some very important readouts coming up next year. We have BIIB080, we have BIIB122, we have BIIB091, as well as we have just announced that we've transitioned an internal asset, which is an IRAK4 degrader. This is coming from our collaboration with C4. So again, a great example of collaboration but starting early. And this is a very important -- IRAK4 is a very important node in the inflammatory pathway. And we think it could be very meaningful once we get data from our first in-human. We're looking to dose our first patient actually in few weeks now. We think we could get important insights that could bring us into considering several autoimmune conditions, including lupus.
So really, what we have is we are building depth and breadth across our key franchises like Alzheimer's lupus. And with immunology, we're really going broad. We are looking at many aspects in research where we could enhance tissue delivery, but also look at different immunological pathways that could have applications in different system organ classes. So exciting times and looking forward to the next wave of potentially registrational readouts next year.
Excellent. Well, maybe we can start digging in on LEQEMBI, and congrats on the recent subcu maintenance approval. Maybe talk about why that approval is important and sort of how it derisks the path to the subcu induction approval next year?
Yes. it's really important because -- and I'll start with the fact that LEQEMBI is an anti-amyloid therapy, really, we believe the only one with a dual mechanism of action. Because not only does it target aggregated amyloid plaque, but it also targets soluble amyloid species. And with that, we were able to make the case, and we have now in our U.S. label, the need to treat or the option to treat intravenous maintenance, right? And we've shown data out to 4 years very recently at AAIC, 3 years before, recently 4 years. And what we see is that patients who continue to get LEQEMBI, either once monthly or intravenous or biweekly, they actually differentiate from patients who are being followed in ADNI and other cohorts. So we see that they do tend to decline, but they don't decline as much. And this is very meaningful at that early stage of disease.
And so what we did was we were very systematic about it. And this is, of course, in collaboration and partnership with our partner, Eisai, we submitted for subcutaneous maintenance at a first step and we were able to get approval for that. So this is very exciting because now patients actually have the optionality to transition from intravenous to subcutaneous autoinjector. As I said, it could be at home, it could be in the clinic, and it can transition from intravenous. So you could be on intravenous and then transition to subcutaneous.
We've already shown data on bioequivalence on the 500-milligram, the initiation dose, and that is what we have started our filing. And we -- this is a rolling submission. So -- and it's an sNDA -- sBLA to our subcutaneous filing, maintenance filing, we expect to hear sometime mid next year. And if that comes through, then it will really be exciting because I think it gives the patients and HCPs an opportunity to start at home.
Great. Great. You also have a tau ASO in Phase II with the CELIA study, which I believe is going to read out in the middle of next year. Maybe could you talk about what you're hoping to see in that study and more broadly, how you see tau fitting into the treatment landscape?
Yes. So as we know for Alzheimer's disease, 2 proteins are really pathognomonic and they are thought to be interconnected actually. And we know that tau is important, especially as symptoms initiate right before that. So this is an important area of query, scientific query. And I think that we ourselves have shown that extra cell -- targeting extracellular tau is actually does not lead to any clinical benefit and even does not impact the tangle, and we now know the tangles to be intracellular. So the way we've approached this is we've approached this through a modality of antisense oligonucleotide. And that is what BIIB080 is. It's an ASO, it's delivered intrathecally. We did a very small Phase Ib trial. And what we observed in that trial, a small number of patients, but it was an important observation that we were actually able to reduce tau by 50% to 60%. And we were able to see an impact on tau tangles, which is what tau PET shows, but also tau fluid biomarkers and emerging signs of some clinical benefit. And we have designed the CELIA trial as the important next stage in this development where we can really have the scientific query be answered on if you reduce all form -- all 6 isoforms of tau, what is the impact on tau, both fluid and PET biomarkers, but also is there an impact on clinical benefit. And that is what we hope to see. Now we are testing 3 doses and 2 frequencies. So we have the quarterly but we also have the 6 monthly intrathecal delivery, and that's important. And we'll see a readout mid next year. So we'll see what the trial shows us.
Great. Looking forward to it. Any interest in working on a subcu version for that? And maybe speak to what's the feedback from the trial in terms of intrathecal dosing?
Yes. The feedback from the trial maybe start there first, was very encouraging because actually, the trial was enrolled quite rapidly. And so we are excited about that aspect. I think that we are definitely looking at tissue delivery mechanisms and more efficient ways of tissue delivery early in research and latent research. So we're looking at shuttles, we're looking at other forms, other modalities. So it's a very important priority area that we are focusing on.
Yes. Great. Great. And then for the GLP-1 trial in Alzheimer's. I mean there's some debate on how -- which way that cuts for amyloid targeted therapies. Maybe you could share any thoughts there?
Yes. It's an important area. And I would say that maybe just to back up GLP-1s, I think that the reason -- there were some failures in Phase II. These were different programs. And now this is, of course, Novo Nordisk with EVOKE and EVOKE+ with semaglutide. And I think what's important here is the hypothesis is that addressing neuro inflammatory pathways could have an impact in Alzheimer's. The hypothesis is based on meta analysis that was debenture of all causes and then further refined and it showed some benefit in the meta-analysis. I think that regardless of the outcome, it is a very important area. Number one, GLP-1s are really being widely prescribed.
The fact that these trials are being run for early Alzheimer's disease gives and creates more awareness. And one of the areas that we have been really thinking forward towards is how does this market expand. And I think market expands with competitors. This is a very large space with newer patient populations as presymptomatic populations, but also with newer ways in which you could tackle other pathways that may be relevant. So I think that's number one that we think it will be -- it's positive because it's already creating some increased awareness.
Second thing is, I think that we'll see what the data shows. But in their trial, they actually used anti-amyloid as a backbone. And we think that is important and is relevant and is the right approach because we don't expect that the GLP-1 will directly target amyloid. And so even if this is positive, we think this could go into a space of combination therapy where tackling the anti-amyloid -- tackling the amyloid will be important in addition to potentially any benefit that we might see. So we think net-net, it's a positive. Of course, we have to wait to see the data. And so we look forward to the data.
Great. Great. And then another trial that there's a lot of interest in is Lilly's TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 3 and sort of what that could mean for your AHEAD 3-45. Maybe if we could just sort of start with key differences in those trials. Why you design your trial the way that you did? And then if you want to share any comments on what investors should read through when we see those results?
Yes, sure. So I think just stepping back, as the world has been focused on longevity, we think that Alzheimer's disease, both early and presymptomatic stages will be really important. In fact, we think presymptomatic is going to be a very large opportunity. It is -- with this sort of data and landscape in mind on how we think this will evolve, that we embarked upon the AHEAD 3-45 trial with Eisai as our collaborators. And we're really trying to address the landmark questions that are relevant for the presymptomatic, preclinical stage of Alzheimer's disease.
Number one, which -- and this is 2 trials, AHEAD 3 and AHEAD 45. AHEAD 3 is aiming to answer the question that if you have 40 centiloids of amyloid in your brain, can we prevent further accumulation because what we know well is that it's a cascade. So amyloid continues to aggregate, then you have tau and then you have symptoms. And so that's the first question. That's AHEAD 3 that has a biomarker endpoint which is further accumulation of amyloid. So it's amyloid PET.
AHEAD 45 is tackling a slightly different question, which is, okay, you've now accumulated amyloid beyond the 40 centiloids. So you may be at 60, 70, and this can vary at what point patients will have cognitive decline, but can we prevent symptom onset and cognitive decline. So that is how we've designed the 2 trials. That second trial, the 45 is the larger of the two. It is a more important question. I think kind of to answer because of the way patients are being diagnosed today, and this could change in the future. And that has a primary endpoint that is a sensitive preclinical Alzheimer's disease composite endpoint. It's the PAC5, but it also measures amyloid and biomarker as a secondary endpoint. And I think both are going to be really, really important.
Now with this in mind, when we screen patients, we use amyloid PET, we'll be looking at that at certain frequency. We also incorporated blood-based biomarkers to reduce screen failures and all of these efforts were really successful. And I think what's important here is to be able to answer those two questions because I think you can think of the presymptomatic population as being stratified. And as we get deeper into blood-based biomarkers, we may have more amyloid leveling biomarkers. We're not there yet but we could have those. And that would be a very important aspect, and we've already tried to incorporate some of the early aspects of this.
Now the way that our competitor has gone after it is they are looking at can they slow down the progression to the next stage of Alzheimer's. But with that in mind, I think their inclusion criteria ended up including patients who are CDR global score different from sum of boxes. So GS, CDR GS 0.5 and some 1. And that's a big chunk of patients. That means they are already sort of symptomatic. So I would wait to see, and I'm curious to see what they read out and whether they do a subgroup analysis that answers the true presymptomatic population. So we're looking forward to our AHEAD 3-45 trial. We think that's the trial, and those are the answers that communities and patients and regulators will be looking for.
Great. Maybe we can move over to SMA, and you've got a couple of sort of efforts ongoing there with the high dose and also with salanersen. So maybe if we could just sort of start with the unmet need you see in SMA today and how that maps to Biogen's strategy there?
Yes. I think this is an area of deep pride and success at Biogen, and we believe it's going to be a very important franchise that can endure. And the reason for that is we launched SPINRAZA and had approval in the '16, '17 -- 2016, '17 time frame. It was the first disease-modifying therapy. It is still really, really important today. But despite the advent of small molecule as well as gene therapy, we know there's a residual high unmet need. This is clear. And there are many important reasons for that. So we have continued to build out what we think is going to be the next important step. And with that, the DEVOTE study for SPINRAZA high dose. And the reason for that was we went with the right dose we thought was at the time, but we believe based on our pharmacology metrics -- pharmacometrics modeling that a higher dose was possible. And when we did the DEVOTE trial and the pivotal Part B trial where we had symptomatic children with SPINRAZA naive, we saw an important drop in neurofilament and then we saw that translate into motor milestones. And we compare this to a matched control from the standard dose. And in the Part C, we actually transition patients from standard to high dose.
So we believe this was a very important trial. We filed for this. And actually, we were in review. And yesterday, we got a complete response letter. The important aspect here to note is that the complete response letter is not focused on any deficiencies in the clinical data package. It is actually related to CMC Module 3 and to technical specifications. And the FDA offered us options in their CRL letter to actually resolve them. And the good news here is that we believe we have the data readily available to submit -- resubmit. So this will be a resubmission and we believe that will happen really soon in weeks. And so I'll move on, but I think that the high dose is attempting to really address the high unmet need, outstanding unmet need.
Now I'm going to bridge that because we haven't stopped there. We have a follow-on new molecular entity, also an antisense oligonucleotide, which preclinically we engineered and built with Ionis with higher potency, durability and stability with a potential once year dosing. And we recently actually declared proof of concept based on interim Phase Ib data because we were looking at 2 doses. Now what's important to recognize here is our patient cohort with both the doses, the 40 milligrams and the 80 milligrams for salanersen, as it's called, is really important because we chose in this trial to really go with a high bar. We chose previously treated patients, and then we dose them with one dose of salanersen because it's a once-a-year antisense oligonucleotide. And we look -- we were looking for neurofilament light chains because we know that, that's to be a reliable biomarker.
But interestingly, we saw really exciting clinical anecdotal data from patients. And I'll just quote one, we have a few, but I'll quote one, which is a child, a 5-year-old, who received gene therapy above the age of 1 could not fit still the age of 5 and then actually received one dose of salanersen and was sitting few months after. So very exciting. We have some several other [ vignettes ] very similar. And so now we're laser-focused on initiating our Phase III trial. And I think we'll be able to initiate it in the first part of 2026.
Excellent. Well, I could ask you many more questions on both of those, but I want to make sure that we have time for lupus and also for felza so maybe we could move over there. In lupus, you have dapi and litifilimab. You gave us a very thorough review of those just a few weeks back. But maybe before we get into the details of each drug, if you want to start by just sort of framing the opportunity in lupus that you see.
Yes. I think it's a very critical question. I mean if you step back and think about it, lupus is a very heterogeneous disease. If you saw our webinar, you heard us there saying and patients spoke at the webinar as well. And patients tell each other, my lupus is not your lupus. That tends to go towards undertreatment and underdiagnosis. And actually, we have a statistic, which is only about 20% of lupus patients are treated with one of the two biologics that are in the marketplace. And while lupus is recognized as an entity and has been for many, many years, there are only two biologics that are available today. And dapi, which is one of our products, and we had a positive Phase III trial, it's the third ever positive Phase III trial in lupus, which is hard to imagine because it's a really important high unmet need, also happens to be underserved populations. So it's a very critical high unmet need. So that, I think, is the big opportunity. We think this will need to be shaped. But we think that bringing therapies that matter to patients and to -- from our market research to KMEs and to providers will make the difference. So we really believe that this is a very untapped market and bringing the right therapies will matter.
Now we are going after it in two different ways. We have dapi, of course, we're in our second Phase III trial. And then we have litifilimab, which is tackling the type 1 interferon signature and really anti-BDCA2, but we are tackling both CLE and SLE. CLE cutaneous lupus, so we have 3 Phase III trials that are ongoing. And we are not stopping there. We have a Phase I trial with lupus nephritis with felza. So two late-stage assets, one early-stage asset. And as I mentioned, we just transitioned IRAK4 and lupus is very much within our indication selection possibility for IRAK4 as well. So we're looking at breadth and depth, and we're looking at different mechanisms of action. And this is really based on our conviction that this is a very important market.
Now obviously, it's a large market. We need to expand it and so we're not just waiting for data. We're taking a very different approach. With MS, we have a lot of experience in autoimmunity. We also have a lot of experience that you can have multiple products all of whom could have a significant share. And we don't think this will be a winner take all. So we are already preparing for our potential lupus readouts, SLE potentially end of next year in '26, and then hopefully, a cadence thereafter of CLE and dapi in years to follow. So we are also working with our medical team, our providers and building the education because these are all different mechanisms of action. And we think lupus may be in the future ripe for sequential combination therapy. So we're really thinking about a lot of these things.
Great. And I believe your next Phase III for that will be litifilimab next year in SLE?
Exactly. We have two Phase IIIs, and we are doing everything we can, and we're excited because we're getting to the close of our recruitment.
How would you frame what you're hoping to see in those data sets?
Well, those data sets, what's exciting about litifilimab is that we published in the New England Journal of Medicine. We published our LILAC study, and we had two parts in that study. We had where we were going for patients who had manifestations of systemic lupus with fever, joint involvement and all of that, and then we have cutaneous lupus. And so really success in all of it, and we think this will be a package. SRI-4 is our primary endpoint for lupus and then the CLASI for our CLE, but we have a lot of secondary endpoints. So it will be a very robust. Look, with dapi, we're looking at BICLA. And we are also looking at steroid sparing, which today has made its way into the guidelines because patients have a lot of steroids on board, and we are -- and severe flare reduction.
And for litifilimab, I believe you're testing both the low and the high dose. What is the rationale for that?
Yes. So we had one dose in LILAC, but we did a lot of modeling, and we believe that while the low dose will work we want to see if a high dose could work better. We're taking our lessons across drug development and trying to do it all so that we have the right answers at the time of approval.
Great. And then for your dapi, the second Phase III trial, I believe you've said '27 to '28 for that one?
That's right. That's right.
And I noticed that you upsized that trial compared to the first Phase III. What were some of the considerations that went into that?
Yes. I mean, we're very excited about the data that we had from our first Phase III. And I think this is just making sure that we leave no stone unturned from having the right-sized safety database. It is a new molecule, and so we want to have that.
Great. And it's an interesting market because on the one hand, as you said, there's only 2 approved drugs. There's limited uptake of those. On the other hand, it's fairly crowded in terms of the development landscape. And so fast forward a few years, hopefully, at least one of your drugs is on the market, and perhaps we'll see some competitors on the market as well. What would you expect to be the key differentiators for Biogen and lupus?
Yes. I'm glad you brought up the point about being crowded competitive landscape. It's an area where it's hard to recruit. And I'm really proud of what the teams are doing because we've managed to do a really spectacular job despite COVID and all the geopolitical issues and the competitive landscape. And I think that bodes well. That's helpful, right? It bodes well. The other piece I think that's important to remember here is that this is not a winner takes all. So we think the market will expand. We think many therapies will be needed, and we think it will be like MS eventually, where there will be different mechanisms of action where patients may respond to one, not respond to the other. For example, with dapi, we recently shared data on fatigue. And what we've heard from patients is that you're going after all these other endpoints, but what I can really deal with is fatigue. And we showed that we can really reduce that.
So now it's another question of getting all of these things discussed with regulators and getting it into labels, but I think these are very, very much differentiated. With SLE and CLE for litifilimab, they're going after type 1 interferon and anti-BDCA2. And we think that, for example, with CLE, we think it's really critical. It's a huge market. No real therapies out there for 70 years. And steroids that are the foundation of all these lupus manifestations are now in the guidelines as being steroid like you have to get your patients off. So the patients when you ask them, they are looking to get off steroids. KME's prescribers are looking to get their patients off but they need an alternative that can match it on the endpoints and the treatment. And I think that will be a differentiator.
Great. Maybe we'll move to felza and you're pursuing several different indications here, AMR, IgAN, PMN, lupus nephritis -- in one sense, they're all rare kidney but they're also different in terms of unmet need, competition, so on. And so how do you think about the role that felza could play in those? And maybe your relative excitement across the 3 -- the 4 at this point?
Yes. Actually, more than 4 because MVI that we'll start next year. So it's very exciting. And we're looking at several other indications. So I think felza is really exciting space. And the way we've integrated the company, very exciting, really exciting team that's leading that forward and we are excited because we started all 3 Phase IIIs. That was a goal for '25 and we were done with initiation. So it's very exciting.
Now let me start with the fact that we believe that all these are 3 are relevant indications where we've shown proof of concept. So it goes back to my overarching principle that we don't take things into Phase III until we show proof of concept. So we've derisked them to a great degree. I'll start with AMR, where we could get data as early as 2027. And that's going to be exciting because today, if you think about patients and if you think about a societal burden, 75% of patients lose their kidney, they end up getting a rejection due to late AMR. And that is exactly where we saw transformational efficacy in a small trial, but really transformational efficacy. And we believe that this is going to be really important and is driven by the anti-CD38 sort of auto antibody play, and we think that's going to be really relevant. So I think that from an AMR perspective, it's very exciting. We think that it's going to be important because the CD38 that's expressed on plasma cells, but we also think natural killer cells have a very important role to play, which may have been the reason some other products have failed because they weren't really targeting the key cell types that are relevant for this very important condition.
Moving on to IgAN, you're right, it's very crowded. But I think what the beauty of IgAN and the [ MOA ] here is, it's this [ for ] hit hypothesis, where we think it's galactose-deficient IgA that's relevant for the mechanism. It's the autoantibodies to that, they form the immune complexes and they get settled in the kidney. And what we saw that was interesting to us, even when we did the diligence and of course, the Hi-Bio team is published on this. What we saw is that the proteinuria, the IgA reduction coincides with the proteinuria and impact on eGFR. And we saw the durability 18 months after the 9 dose 5-month regimen was dosed. Now it was a small trial, right, because many doses were tried, but we see that there's stabilization versus placebo. And that's very important because there's a potential based on market research that we've done, there's quite a significant potential on patients being able to have a nonchronic therapy. And so we think that's going to be relevant while maintaining the efficacy relevant to the APRIL and the BAFFs. So we -- of course, it's an area of deep continuous education and all of that, and that is why we have really stepped up on our premarket approval, education and efforts on immunology. And that encompasses rare kidney but also lupus and all of that.
Great. Well, you preempted my question on AMR and why CD38 is a better mechanism. But maybe I'll move over to IgAN. And you get some questions around, well, the UPCR stays depressed, but then it looks like the GFR is starting to trend lower a little bit. What gives you kind of the confidence that it's the UPCR that, that signal is what you should rely on. And strategically, you're comfortable going forward with this dosing holiday strategy?
Yes. I think the first and foremost is, I'll just say the main thing is that we saw the reduction in IgA and that coincided with the reduction in proteinuria and eGFR. But the other piece here is that post dosing, we saw the stabilization. So the stabilization gives us quite a bit of confidence. We always have the opportunity to explore other paradigms. But I think that this was a significant time of drug and that was quite compelling. And we've also done a lot of market research, and that is the response that we also get from those angles.
Great. And then the PMS. We haven't talked about that one yet.
Very important. I mean I think what we've seen is that the refractory patients, the relapsed patients do really well. And now the way we've designed our Phase III is that we think that the high-risk patients with the high levels of circulating PLA to our antibodies, but also patients who don't have that can potentially benefit. So we are expanding that base. We also know that more than 1/3 of the patients today do not respond to the anti-CD20. So we think this is a very large opportunity, 36,000 patients in the U.S. and 1/3 of those do not respond to anti-CD20s. So that is the way we've designed the trial, and we have confidence that we're going to see this movement and response in this broader population. So we are really going after the broader population, not just the refractory and the relapsed population. Also treatment-naive, high-risk population.
Got it. And then IRAK4, you've made -- you've mentioned this a few times. Maybe let's just give it this kind of center stage if you want to talk about that program and what the development plan would be for that?
Yes. Right now, I think we're very excited. IND is accepted. We're about to dose our first patient. So we are very excited. We're moving very fast. The first in-human trial, which will be normal healthy volunteers will give us the right data set to really expand. And I think that Biogen as it looks at expanding into immunology is looking, and we're doing with felzartamab, you will see us considering the portfolio in a pill more and more. And IRAK4, I think, will peak center stage as we kind of contemplate that. But more than contemplate because we've already started building out what a potential Phase II program could look like. And that's the beauty, I think, of targeting such a critical node in the inflammatory pathway like IRAK4, that it gives us the opportunity. So we'll have the good problem of thinking of choices. And we may choose more than one like we have with felzartamab.
Great. Well, we look forward to learning more on that one. And we've covered a lot of different programs today. Would you like to maybe share some concluding thoughts on how all of these fit together into the kind of the coherent Biogen R&D strategy?
Yes. First, thanks so much, Will, for great questions here. I think stepping back Biogen is at a very different point in many, many ways. One is our new launches are outpacing the decline of the MS portfolio, which is obviously a question and -- so we think we are addressing that really well. The Alzheimer's franchise continuing to grow and we believe we have a differentiated asset, we think we're in the early stages. We are continuing to build a lot of depth in our lupus franchise. And as I spoke to, we have multiple shots and multiple mechanisms of action that we're targeting. Felzartamab is bringing our immunology, rare nephrology into the sort of forefront and we are already enrolled in all the Phase III trials. And we continue to build on our expertise in neurology. You saw that with salanersen but also with Zorevunersen that has the potential to read out in 2027 in Dravet syndrome. So very exciting. And we have just changed the shape, nature, look and confidence in the aggregate profile of the pipeline today, but also the individual programs. So any one of the individual programs, we believe is very high value, potentially $1 billion or more. But if more than one comes to fruition, obviously, that exponentially increases the value of the pipeline. And we remain focused and disciplined on augmenting the pipeline with external and innovation -- internal innovation with the research, reinvigoration and reimagination of open innovation. So we're really tackling it from all sides, while being very, very careful and disciplined about cost. So I think I'm really excited about what we've been able to do and what the future could bring.
Wonderful. Thank you so much for coming.
Thank you. Thank you for having me.
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Biogen — Bernstein 2nd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Kurzfassung: Biogen präsentiert eine strategische Neuausrichtung: Wachstum über Alzheimer (LEQEMBI), Immunologie (Lupus, felzartamab) und seltene Erkrankungen (SMA, Dravet). Pipeline wird systematisch auf späte, höherwertige Programme konzentriert; mehrere registrierende Readouts und regulatorische Meilensteine stehen bevor.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Alzheimer: LEQEMBI als "dual mechanism" Anti‑Amyloid, Subkutan‑Maintenance genehmigt; Rolling‑Submission für subkutane Initiation läuft, Ziel: Start einer Autoinjektor‑Option.
- Immunologie/Nephrologie: Felzartamab: drei Phase‑III‑Studien initiiert (AMR, IgAN, PMN/weitere Indikationen geplant); Hi‑Bio‑Integration beschleunigt Rare‑Kidney‑Portfolio.
- SMA & NME: DEVOTE‑CRL (SPINRAZA High Dose) betrifft CMC; Salanersen zeigte PoC in Phase Ib, Phase‑III‑Start geplant für Anfang 2026.
🔍 Neue Informationen
- Regulatorisch: Zulassung für subkutane LEQEMBI‑Maintenance erteilt; Rolling sBLA/sNDA für subkutane Initiation eingereicht (Entscheidungserwartung laut Management "mid next year").
- Pipeline‑Katalysatoren: CELIA (tau ASO BIIB080) Readout "mid next year"; IRAK4‑Degrader: First‑in‑human‑Dosis in wenigen Wochen geplant.
- Unterbrechung: SPINRAZA High Dose: Complete Response Letter wegen CMC/Technik; Biogen plant Resubmission binnen Wochen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- LEQEMBI‑Subcut: Wie stark reduziert die Subcut‑Option Zulassungshürden und Behandlungsbarrieren? Management sieht mehr Patient:innen‑Optionen und mögliche Verschiebung in Richtung Heimbehandlung.
- Tau‑ASO & Delivery: Erwartung an CELIA: biomarker‑signal (Tau PET/Flüssigmarker) und klinische Wirkung; Diskussion über intrathekale Frequenz vs. zukünftigere subkutane/shuttle‑Lösungen.
- Wettbewerb & Studienvergleich: Unterschiede AHEAD (Präklinisch/Presymptomatisch) vs. TRAILBLAZER‑ALZ3 wurden betont; Fokus auf Populationsdefinitionen und Endpunktauslegung.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Deutlich stärkeres, diversifiziertes R&D‑Profil mit mehreren potenziell milliardenschweren Assets und nahen Readouts. Kurzfristig bleiben Ausführung‑ und Zulassungsrisiken (SPINRAZA‑CRL, Subcut‑Initiation) sowie regulatorische Timings die wichtigsten Kursfaktoren.
Biogen — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Great. Good morning, everybody. Thanks for joining us. I'm Terence Flynn, Morgan Stanley's U.S. biopharma analyst. Very pleased to be hosting Biogen this morning. We have Chris Viehbacher, the company's CEO. Before we get started, for important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. Chris, thanks so much for joining us this morning.
Great to be [indiscernible]. Thanks.
Absolutely. Maybe I'll turn it over to you to kick off with some prepared remarks, and then we'll go into questions.
Well, yes, I'll just say we've been on a journey the last 2.5 years with Biogen. There is a -- it's pretty common in our industry, as you well know, that the more successful you are, the more likely it is you're going to have a problem, right? Because we are in an unstable industry living by the life of our patents. And Biogen's MS portfolio, really great drugs has been slowly declining. And the relay of growth that we thought was going to be there with LEQEMBI has proven to be slower. And so that's meant that we really had to reinvent the company to a great degree.
And we've done a number of things. One is we took a major risk in some ways of pulling all the promotion from our MS portfolio. And that actually did not affect the actual sales trajectory. And that gave us a lot of ammunition to go invest in new product launches. We've been doing some business development. One of the issues of the company had been we were so focused on neurology. And neurology is an exciting area, but it's also a very difficult and risky area.
And we couldn't move too far because of where I think Biogen's capabilities lie, but we have been pushing more into immunology and rare diseases. Building out our pipeline, building out our commercial portfolio. So I'm actually feeling very good about where the company is today. I think we've been through a lot of change, but the culture of the company is intact. We've been hitting our marks on our pipeline so far. We've got an awful lot of data catalysts coming starting next year.
And so, as I look out, I'd say, unlike a lot of companies, we've kind of got our pipeline more than capable of offsetting our -- the erosion of our existing business. Most of our patent expiries are in the rearview mirror. And I think Biogen is starting to be positioned for a period of long-term sustained growth.
Great. Well, I think we're going to get into a lot of those points. So thanks for framing that. I guess the first one I wanted to do a check on is just the policy dynamic. Obviously, that's been an overhang not just for Biogen, but the whole sector right now with respect to both tariffs and an MFN. So any update that you can share from kind of your interactions with D.C. policymakers and where we stand in this whole dynamic right now?
Yes. This is -- I think every one of us in the industry are spending a whole lot more time on thinking about the dynamics in Washington. I would say, though, from a Biogen perspective, we're a little bit sheltered from some of that, and that's largely because of our product portfolio. So in terms of tariffs, for example, 54% of our revenue is actually outside the U.S. And in the rare disease space where we are predominantly positioned, you can't really take significant price reductions in other countries and make any business because there's just not enough patients.
And actually, that was one of the things I saw years ago when I was at Sanofi when we acquired Genzyme. You can actually get decent pricing in Latin America, in Asia. And that's how we also do 54% of our revenue, by the way, outside the U.S. is that we actually have that. So from an MFN point of view, we're not as exposed either. So I think where we are, we feel relatively protected from what's going on in the environment. That said, it is a serious point in time for the industry. I mean I remember we thought the sky was falling in when Medicare Part D came in, and we thought the sky was falling in again when the Affordable Care Act came in. Both of those ended up not being detrimental to our business because there was a volume offset.
The Affordable Care Act expanded Medicaid coverage, for example. And while we pay them awful lot of excise taxes and there were some other things, actually, the business flourished. Here, we're going to see actually a volume decrease, right? Because the number of Medicaid patients is expected to decline after '27, '28. And we're not necessarily seeing any expansion of coverage out of things like MFN or tariffs. So this is probably a more challenging period certainly than what we've witnessed in the past.
Any sense on -- I mean, this is always difficult. It's one of those crystal ball questions in terms of timelines that you're expecting or when we might know more from a visibility standpoint? Is this like by the next weeks? Is this by year-end? Is it going to linger?
I think this month will certainly be wanted to watch. There's -- the government needs to be funded. And so we have to be careful on that. I think under the IRA, I think the next batch of products is going to be announced. The 60-day period of those companies that received the letters, I think, will come this month. I think one of the things we do see is that MFN is not a simple task, though. And tariffs, yes, but the administration is also extremely concerned around the security of drug supply chains.
And as an industry, we have put hundreds of billions of dollars on the table of new investment in the U.S. So I think there's still enough moving parts here that I think -- and we certainly know that there are a lot of people, for instance in Congress who are very concerned around the competitiveness of the innovative biotechnology industry, particularly seeing the rise in power of China. So I wouldn't say it's all negative. There's a lot of maneuvering that has to happen. But I would say, generally, we're engaged as an industry, and I'm still optimistic that we will be able to preserve our competitiveness.
Great. Maybe just sticking on the strategy front here. You mentioned business development. You guys have been, I'd say, kind of moderately active. Just as you think about the opportunity set, it was interesting, you talked about rare disease in the context of MFN. But maybe through the evolving policy dynamic, does that change the opportunity set of the types of assets that you guys are looking at now given some of those cross currents we were just talking about?
Well, one of the things you certainly start to look at when you look at business development is where is the product made. And there's a lot of places that have gone to China, for example. And so you have to start thinking about, okay, we need to repatriate the manufacturing because the likelihood is that we're not going to completely escape tariffs. There will be some tariff environment somewhere. We don't know what it is or what it looks like. But one of the things you have to do is, let's say, okay, what's the cost and what's the timeline for bringing something back.
One of the things about business development that is also not clear is what happens when company A owns the rights in the U.S. and company B owns the rights in the rest of the world because in those types of agreements, you typically have antitrust clauses that actually prevent company A from influencing the price of company B. So I think they may -- that is something that I think the industry is thinking about. And again, we haven't seen real clarity on that today. But that could also influence how business development deals get struck.
And that implication there would be that a company would want worldwide rights as opposed to doing some split because you need to control global pricing.
Well, the question is, if you have a company that has the -- if you take -- we did ex-U.S. rights with Stoke. So -- and Stoke retained the rights in the U.S. Biogen has those rights ex-U.S. Depending -- Biogen cannot -- and Stoke cannot influence us as to what price we pick in Europe, for example. But then would Stoke have to pay attention to that from an MFN point of view because it would hardly be fair to hold Stoke accountable for Biogen's pricing in Europe. So you might actually see more of those split rights to avoid the MFN problem.
But that's very difficult to say today. I mean that's things that we are thinking about. And all it really illustrates is that for every rule that comes along, there's going to be an impact somewhere and there may be options for us to try to ameliorate the situation, which again comes back to, this is an industry that has constantly faced an awful lot of challenge. And somehow, I think we've demonstrated resilience in all that. But the uncertainty right now is certainly extremely high.
Yes. You mentioned competition from China, but there's also the kind of opportunity set to do business development deals there. We've seen a number of companies in the sector do that. So as you think about [indiscernible] opportunity versus the competition lens, how do you think about those 2 aspects vis-à-vis your business?
I think if we you'll have to do this right. I mean there's clearly going to be caution around data sharing, for example, respect for intellectual property. But if we do get all of that right and everybody plays by the rules, net-net, this could be a positive for the industry because there's greater sources of innovation. At the moment, it seems most of the Chinese companies are not really ready to go global.
And so there are ex-China rights available. Again, you have to do your diligence about the companies and where they did their data. And we've seen it's not so simple to translate. Summit this morning, suddenly, everybody thought, okay, this is a better KEYTRUDA. But when you actually go to replicate the data, it doesn't always work out. But I think net-net, there could be a bigger source of BD substrate if you add China in there.
Yes. And how should we think about over the next kind of 12 months in terms of your level of activity? Is this something you still see as a priority? Or do you feel like you have enough internally right now and you're kind of executing on these opportunities and then it's more kind of medium term when we should expect more activity from you guys?
So BD is still a priority. One of the things I've seen over my years is that really at senior management, we have not spent enough time personally and individually in research. Research is really where you're building a company. And we tend to leave that to a head of R&D. But what we do is we end up spending a lot of money on R&D, and then we have to go do a lot of expensive acquisitions because the R&D didn't develop.
And yet, I think from a capital efficiency point of view, but I would also argue from a capability point of view, bringing innovations at around GLP tox would be the ideal thing. So one of the things I'm focused on is really making sure we have enough of a research pipeline because I see a period of strong growth coming from Biogen. But the time to prepare for patent expiries in 2035 to 2040 is now.
And I take personal -- I'm not a scientist. I know enough to be dangerous. But I'm really focused on do we have enough in research that will carry this company through into the 2040s and 2050s and doing that today. So that's the priority #1. Priority #2 is, I mean, we are balancing the growth of the new products versus the decline of our existing portfolio in MS. If we could find a business development deal that's pretty close to commercialization, we would do it. Now you look at stock market valuations and you say this should be an M&A paradise. All the valuations are down.
But what you do find is actually good companies are actually getting funded. And it's a good companies you want to buy, and it's not so easy to buy at those levels. And so the good news is that where we are today, I don't feel any desperation to do a deal, but it's always incumbent upon management, I think, to use your capital and see if you can do something that creates shareholder value. But we are very disciplined in how we look at that.
Okay. Great. Maybe we'll move on to the one of the key launch products in LEQEMBI. As you said, it was a bit of a slow start, but there are some inflection points that you guys have talked about. One of those is the subcu, which you recently got approval at the end of August here. So maybe just as you look out through the back half of this year into '26, how confident are you about the forward trajectory here in the product and it being one of the key growth drivers for the company?
So I think Alzheimer's is probably the single biggest opportunity for Biogen still. This was a highly unusual launch, I have to say. And I've been in this business for 35 years. I've seen product launches in just about every therapeutic category there is. This launch was a slow start, but not because of the product and not because of demand. But this is a dramatic shift in the practice of neurology. And it entailed a huge amount of work for the neurologist. And the neurologist was already a busy practice.
And now you're suddenly putting thousands of Alzheimer's patients where they need a PET scan or a lumbar puncture to get validation of the diagnosis. I need to go now find infusion beds. In some cases, hospitals are requiring the neurology department to a business case about why we should make those infusion beds available to an Alzheimer's patient versus a cancer patient, for example. And -- most neurologists have not had to do business cases before.
Suddenly thinking about adding staff. If you're in an IDN, a lot of those IDNs are pretty stressed financially because of the rise in salaries post-COVID. Some of the hospitals tell us it took 90 days to get approval to hire a nurse who can take care of a lot of this work. So this has been a massive shift in how neurology is practiced. We also have roughly 500,000 newly diagnosed patients every year, and there are 13,000 neurologists. And so it's taken quite a long time for people to get an appointment.
And the other problem is that you really -- these drugs work best if you can catch people early enough. It's a neurodegenerative disease. Nobody knows how to bring neurons back to life. And so the best time is before too many neurons have died. Right now, that's MCI. I think by the end of this decade, we're going to see this whole market shift to presymptomatic patients. But today, it's MCI.
And unfortunately, about half of the patients that finally get into see a neurologists are too advanced in their disease to be treated. So a lot of the things that we have been doing are trying to improve the productivity of this neurologist. If you can get one of these precious neurology appointments, how do we get now as many patients through that neurologist as possible. And that means how do we make that easier for the neurologist. One is, can we get rid of the PET scan and the lumbar puncture?
Well, now we've seen the blood-based diagnostic has been approved by the FDA. Now it's not that neurologists are going to abandon PET scans from one day to the next. Neurologists like these scans. It's how they look in the brain, and they've been using them for generations. But I think over time that they will shift more to a blood-based diagnostics instead of PET scans.
The next are the infusion beds. Well, we now have the approval for the subcutaneous formulation. So once the patient has finished the 18-month initiation period, now they can actually take the pen once a week at home. And that eliminates the need for those patients to have infusion beds. We got that approved on a Friday. And on the Monday, we initiated the rolling submission for the initiation period. And there, now you'll be able to, over time, I think, see physicians switching from, again, infusion beds even during that 18-month period to at-home use of pens.
We still have the MRIs -- and probably in the early days, we may see some patients staying on infusions if they're in an urban setting because neurologists like to have the MRI done when they're coming in from infusions. But I think this will greatly alleviate a lot of the workload at the neurology level. We've initiated a DTC campaign, and I think we're seeing already a strong resonance from that. So all of these confluence of things, we already saw a nice increase. We were above market expectations in Q2 on LEQEMBI. And I think we're now seeing that this market is opening up, and we're gaining momentum here.
Maybe on the neurologist side, are there any programs that you guys are working on to help increase that number? Or do you think 13,000 is ultimately where we're going to stand and it's more some of the other steps that you've taken? Or is there a way to actually boost that number, so then that also helps alleviate some of this bottleneck?
Well, we're facing shortages in a lot of specialties and then particularly post-COVID. I mean we see this actually in postpartum depression as well. We're probably missing thousands of OB/GYNs versus what we need. So I'm not sure that we're going to be able to increase the population anytime soon. But what we can do again is how do we get more patient throughput. We are looking at doing a PCP pilot because of the blood-based diagnostic, perhaps we can actually get that referral to the neurologist earlier.
Right now, a patient starts to have some memory loss and some signs of dementia. Is that just normal aging? Or is that something else? And it can take 3 or 4 years between the patient starting to complain about some memory loss and the actual referral to a neurologist. You can ask people at LabCorp and Quest, they are certainly selling a lot more of these Alzheimer's diagnostics. I think we bought some data suggesting in the last year alone, 300,000 of these tests have been sold.
And the idea would be if you could get that referral earlier because now I have a diagnostic, I don't know how much amyloid plaque I have, but I have some presence and the primary care might say, minimum now is maybe the time to actually go see the neurologist and therefore, increase the yield of patients who are eligible for treatment to actually get one of these appointments.
And where are we in terms of commercial coverage of the blood-based diagnostics because I know that's something that you guys have been working on, but in terms of actually getting insurance coverage for those.
I think -- well, once you get -- you can sell a diagnostic if you have a CLIA lab essentially, and you don't need an FDA approval, but you're not really going to get uptake or reimbursement until you get that. And so we are -- we have been talking to a lot of the diagnostics companies. And clearly, we are talking to our physicians about the availability of that. Again, the neurologist is a cautious physician. And I think it will take probably 6 to 9 months to get meaningful uptake of a blood-based diagnostic.
But it's starting to -- I think they're starting to get confidence that they can maybe dispense with the PET scan. And I think the payers might drive that. It's about $5,000 for a PET scan. Last I heard, I think the Alzheimer's test is available for under $1,000 -- so as I look at 2026, we see a confluence of favorable factors here. You've got the subcutaneous for maintenance. You should have the subcutaneous sometime in the middle of next year for initiation. You've got an increased investment in direct-to-consumer advertising.
And I think a lot of the physicians are now starting to understand ARIA and believe that, that is manageable. And again, if you can get now these earlier-stage patients, and I think Lilly is presenting -- is potentially going to present a first study in presymptomatic. And the odds are that you're going to see much higher rates of CDR Sum of Boxes, you have benefits, although that's not their endpoint. But you'll start to see better rates of efficacy.
We have this landmark study, we and our partner, Eisai, called the HED345. And that will be a truly presymptomatic patients, people with very low levels of amyloid plaque. We believe that Lilly study is actually really just pre-MCI patients. Important though, because I think that will benefit the whole field. But it turns out that if you have plaque at less than 40 centiloids, and we have the AHEAD-3 study looking at that, it seems that at 40 centiloids of plaque, that's where you trigger tau, tau production. And then the tau production -- overproduction is almost independent of your level of amyloid after that.
Now there, the promise is that we still have to wait several years for that, you could actually potentially prevent Alzheimer's. But certainly, again, if you can catch people earlier because people are building plaques and losing neurons years before they actually demonstrate symptoms. So -- we're very excited about Alzheimer's just because there's now so much data, there's new modalities coming along. You've got the diagnostics, and there are a lot of patients who could really benefit from treatment.
Yes. I just want to circle back on one question just on the market dynamics. It does look like on the prescription data that Lilly has been making a bigger push on market share recently. It sounds like it's more about growing the total market here, and that's what we should be focused on as we go into '26. But can you just talk through those dynamics in terms of share and then also rate of growth for next year relative to this year for the market?
We always talk about molecules, but most of us in business are talking about people because it's people who are operating our business and people who are prescribing and people who are patients. And so if you're a sales rep from Lilly, where is the first place you're going to go? Well, you're going to go where Biogen and Eisai have actually already created the care pathways and opened up those. And so that was logical that they were going to go and look for share.
But the real prize is growing the prescriber base and growing the benefit of that drug. And in the second quarter, I think we saw market growth occurring from the efforts of both companies, which is what we've always believed. We've always believed that it was beneficial to have Lilly out there in the marketplace. Every single market that has been created always grows faster when you have multiple players.
So we should expect market growth above what we saw in '25 if we think about '26, high level?
That's what we're hoping.
And you think you can deliver at least comparable market share? I mean do you think this shakes out roughly 50 -- I know you're not going to give specific guidance, but is there any reason to think this would be different than a 50-50 split over time?
I don't think so. I don't see why. I mean, on the one hand, Lilly offers the once-a-month dosing, and they tried to present this as kind of a one treatment cycle and done. At the same time, now Biogen and Eisai have demonstrated that, well, 4 years after starting treatment, you're still doing better, and we have a maintenance indication approved by the FDA, and we have a subcutaneous form. So why would you stop treating? And donanemab can't have a maintenance indication. So that is playing out there in that way. But again, -- there's more patients out there than either company is dealing with today. And so we're not so focused on LEQEMBI versus donanemab. It's really around how do we establish this marketplace and get more patients benefiting from these treatments.
Okay. And I want to come to the presymptomatic setting. But first, Novo is going to have some data from their oral sema evoke trials. And I think there's some debate in terms of is that an opportunity for the Abeta? Is it a competitive threat? Does it increase the total pool of people that are going to be coming on to therapy? So I would just love your kind of latest thoughts on when we do see this data, what it means for the market in the event, let's say, that's positive data?
Yes. It's hard to know whether it's going to be positive. one talks to an awful lot of experts. There's some plausibility why it might work, whether it's -- we know that obesity is a risk factor for Alzheimer's. So if you're reducing that. Second is there seems to be potentially some impact on neuroinflammation. We'll have to wait and see the data. I mean the GLP-1s are the people have said, do you really want to give those to elderly people because of the risk of muscle loss. But I think net-net, it will be a positive because in all likelihood, they will be -- they're not going to be used instead of disease-modifying treatments, but alongside them.
And you might actually see a lot more patients in primary care starting to get diagnosed because these would be available to primary care physicians. And so then you're getting a bigger population of early-stage diagnosis and if they continue to progress, and they end up in the neurologists and on Abeta. So I think I could see a synergistic benefit out of that.
Okay. And again, you talked to this a little bit, but the preclinical setting, I think there's a growing focus on that opportunity here. And as you alluded to, you're running the AHEAD 3-45 trial. Lilly has a TRAILBLAZER-ALZ 3 study. As we start to think about doing cross-trial comparisons, maybe just talk to us about why you chose the design that you guys chose and why you're confident that that's the right approach here? And then when we see the Lilly study, how much read across is there from that trial to your program?
Well, one of the things about these neurodegenerative diseases, it take so long, right? I mean this AHEAD 3-45 study, we started recruiting in 2020, and we expect to have results in 2028. I mean that's the scope of the investment that you need to do in this space. But we do believe that will be a landmark study. We believe that Lilly study is more with patients of higher amyloid burden because that's where their drug has benefited. And so they're really kind of pre-MCI patients.
Now again, they'll be earlier and every bit of evidence that we have seen suggests that earlier is better. We demonstrated already with LEQEMBI that if you get people with very low levels of tau, so very early patients, now when you look at it after 6 months of treatment, you have 70% of patients who have shown no further decline. You've stabilized those patients. And that is huge, by the way. If you're an Alzheimer's patient, you're a caregiver in Alzheimer's patient, not seeing further decline, and this is amazing.
And this is -- this blows the doors off the 27% CDR Sum of Boxes because that was in a different patient pop. Now he was talking about, okay, we can see a lot, and 60%, 60% actually see some benefit. And that sort of suggests that the neurons are not just alive or dead, but perhaps in a stress-time-frame status that can actually recover if you reduce the pressure that's being caused by the plaques. So we do believe that Lilly should be able to demonstrate also very strong data in these earlier patients.
However, their endpoint is really a time to event. And what you really going to want to know is, is it worthwhile to treat a patient who is otherwise healthy, has no symptoms of Alzheimer's. We don't yet know what the risk of ARIA is in these patient populations. And that's why I think the Eisai, Biogen study is going to be so important because we are looking at those early-stage low levels of plaque and what is the impact on CDR Sum of Boxes? What is the impact on cognition? Because you're talking about someone who's maybe 60 -- early 60s, they've had a blood test, it's positive. PET scan says, I don't know, 50 centiloids. Do I wait until I get to 70, 80 to treat them? Or should I treat already at 50?
And I think payers are going to want to see that because that's not an inconsequential investment. And staying on the drug then for quite a long time and hopefully maybe never getting Alzheimer's or certainly much later than they otherwise would have. But that's where the real promise is, is really getting patients as early as you can and preserving as many neurons as you can because when people talk about efficacy, these drugs are highly efficacious. We get rid of all the plaques, both donanemab and lecanemab.
But that the issue is that you're dealing with an upstream effect on the neurons. And so your reservoir of neurons is really what's going to depend on how healthy you are. And we can stop the destruction of neurons, but we can't bring them back. So the logic of doing these studies, and that has to be borne out, obviously, by the evidence of the trials, is that if you can intervene before you've lost too many neurons, you will do much better. That is the goal of the study.
And is it possible that we see any data from you guys before '28?
We haven't -- we don't think so, largely because you do want to follow all of these patients through and show the benefit of cognition. And remember, you're dealing with asymptomatic patient. So you have to wait for them to progress. And so you don't want to take a chance of looking at that too early and not see the benefit on cognition.
Yes. All right, Chris. Well, I think we're up against time, but always a pleasure. Thank you so much.
Thank you. Great to be with you.
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Biogen — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Neuausrichtung: CEO Viehbacher beschreibt einen tiefgreifenden Turnaround: Rückzug von Promotion im MS-Geschäft, stärkere Diversifikation in Immunologie und seltene Krankheiten und verstärkter Fokus auf frühe Forschung. Management erwartet, dass die Pipeline mittelfristig den Umsatzrückgang ausgleicht.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- Kommerz: Promotion des MS-Portfolios zurückgefahren; Kapital wird in neue Launches und DTC (Direct-to-Consumer)-Marketing gesteckt.
- Pipeline: Priorität auf Forschung vorwiegend bis GLP-Tox, Ziel: Eigenes Innovationsfundament statt teurer Akquisitionen.
- Business Development: Disziplinierter BD-Ansatz; Interesse an spätstadialen Assets und Ex-China-Deals, gleichzeitig Vorsicht wegen Lieferkette und IP-Risiken.
🔍 Neue Informationen
- LEQEMBI: Subkutane Erhaltungslösung bereits zugelassen; Rolling Submission für Initiations-Formulierung läuft — Entlastung von Infusionskapazitäten erwartet.
- Diagnostik: FDA-zugelassene Bluttests und breitere DTC-Aktivitäten sollen Zugangsbarrieren (PET, Lumbalpunktion) reduzieren.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Politikrisiko: MFN/Tarife und Lieferkettensicherheit — Biogen sieht sich wegen hohem Auslandsanteil (54% Umsatz) weniger exponiert, beobachtet aber Repatriierungsbedarf.
- Marktdynamik: Engpass bei Neurologen, Rolle von PET vs. Bluttests und Wirkung subkutaner Formulierung auf Durchsatz wurden thematisiert.
- BD & China: Chancen vs. Risiken bei China-Deals, Fokus auf weltweite Rechte vs. geteilte Rights wegen MFN-Implikationen.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Auswirkung: Biogen positioniert sich strategisch neu: Kurzfristig bleibt LEQEMBI-Launch und politische Unsicherheit der Treiber für Volatilität; mittelfristig schaffen Pipeline, SubQ-Formulierung und stärkerer Forschungsfokus eine plausible Basis für nachhaltiges Wachstum, vorausgesetzt Execution und politische Rahmenbedingungen bleiben beherrschbar.
Biogen — Cantor Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Okay. Good morning, everyone. Time for our next presenting company. We're delighted to have with us Biogen. My name is Eric Schmidt. I'm one of the analysts at Cantor. And with us representing the company today, Uptal Patel, who's the Senior VP of Development at Biogen's West Coast hub. He is a specialist in everything that is felzartamab. So we're going to be speaking quite a bit about that exciting pipeline program. And we're also delighted to have with us from Biogen's IR team, Steve Amato. Steve is a specialist in everything Biogen related. So we're delighted to have him with us today, too.
We're going to start with just a couple of questions on the most recent happenings at the company. I think many of you have seen the updates with regard to LEQEMBI's label change in the last week or so. So let's start with the good news, Steve. You've got an expanded label inclusive of subcu delivery, maintenance subcu delivery at least. What does that mean for the company's commercial efforts? And how might that help competitively and what's going on out there?
Yes. And thank you, Eric, thank you for having us. As a quick reminder, we'll be making forward-looking statements. Actual results may vary, and we have a full list of our disclosures on our website. With that, we're very encouraged by how we see LEQEMBI playing out. So ultimately, we've seen that market start to grow. We announced that in Q2, we saw a 15% growth in the market, which we think is very encouraging. And it's important to understand the objective here is to make it faster and easier for patients that are diagnosed with Alzheimer's disease to receive treatment. And as Eric noted, we received the approval for the subcutaneous formulation for LEQEMBI maintenance utilizing auto-injector, and we think that's a big positive for patients.
Ultimately, now with this approval, patients have the option after going through a treatment initiation period with the biweekly IV, they can either drop down to monthly IV or they can transition to utilization of a weekly auto-injector. So it's again, building out that optionality. That combined with the data that we -- the most recent data that we presented back in July of this year, showing that with 4 years of continued treatment, we get a continued expansion of clinical benefit. We think maintenance, and now even more so with the subcutaneous formulation, is a more convenient option for patients to stay on therapy longer as they aim to maximize -- to actually maximize that clinical benefit.
Now with that being said, we think there's perhaps an even bigger opportunity to impact the patient journey and the health care infrastructure with a subcutaneous formulation for treatment initiation. So here, this would allow an individual who is treatment naive to immediately start utilizing the auto-injector, allowing for potentially at-home administration. And the good news there is that we have already shown bioequivalence between the proposed 500 mg subcu weekly dose and the approved IV for treatment initiation. And we also initiated the rolling submission to the FDA as well. So we're really encouraged by the potential there with subcutaneous LEQEMBI.
That's a great overview. Thanks, Steve. Can you remind us on pricing, what the price is of the auto-injector, how it relates to what has been going on in IV in a more maintenance setting fashion and how it also may relate to the induction price?
So it's premature to speak about induction price, but for maintenance, the annual cost is estimated to be around $19,000, which is around a 50% premium from IV maintenance.
And won't that be also your subcu induction dose and strategy? Or could we assume that it could -- do you have flexibility on pricing when you get to the induction regimen?
So we'll have to see how, obviously, label negotiations play out and what the ultimate label looks like. It could be a different presentation in terms of milligrams per ml, but we'll have to evaluate that label.
Okay. And then you also had a label update last week that was maybe less favorable. It encouraged doctors to provide yet another MRI scan to try and reduce risk of ARIA. I think now even -- you've got more of an even playing field versus your competitor out there, both products recommending 4 different MRIs. Is that correct?
That's correct. There was a label update. We feel good about the safety and clinical profile of LEQEMBI. I think, obviously, ARIA was an area where there was probably early in the launch was a great focus in trying to -- prescribers trying to make sure they got the right patients on the therapy. We've presented real-world data showing that there's no difference -- or no meaningful difference in the ARIA rate that's observed in clinical trials versus what we're now seeing in the real world. So we're further encouraged by that.
No chilling effect, you don't think in terms of asking doctors to do another scan.
So we'll have to see how that plays out ultimately. So it would be another step for the patients. But ultimately, as ARIA is still a concern within the market, we think that could help alleviate some of those concerns.
Okay. Let's zoom out from LEQEMBI. Obviously, that's an important product. But looking at the whole view at Biogen, you've got a variety of new product launches that are seemingly growing at a pretty good clip, LEQEMBI, SKYCLARYS, ZURZUVAE. And to some extent, I'd say those are offsetting a base business that has been bleeding in terms of its top line contributions. Just give us a sense of when you think these 2 dynamics could cross and what the outlook for growth is over the next few years?
Yes. It's a great question. Right now, the company believes that we're executing on the actions that are required for generating that long-term sustainable growth. But to your question around kind of near-term top line, I think it makes sense to take a step back and look at where we are as a company right now. So to your point, we have a legacy MS business, which has shown a high degree of resilience, perhaps even more resilience than we thought earlier in the year. But outside of VUMERITY, we don't view those as growth products, and they're nearing the end of their life.
On the other hand, we do have recent launches, which are showing continued momentum and growth, and we feel good about that. And to your point, actually, at Q2, we messaged that the year-over-year increase in the launch revenue was more than offsetting the year-over-year decline in MS. So we think that's a really encouraging sign. But as we think about the top line over the next couple of years, it is going to be a function of kind of the pushes and pulls between the rate of decline in the legacy MS business and the rate of growth in our new product launches. But with that being said, I think over the medium term, we have a significant opportunity to grow.
And I think perhaps what investors maybe at this point aren't fully appreciating is the potential value and the opportunity we have with the pipeline to transform the company. We obviously have felzartamab, which has pipeline and a product potential and my colleague, Uptal, will tell you much more about that. But even outside of that, we had an investor event yesterday where we went over our lupus pipeline, which is anchored by 2 late-stage Phase III assets, one of which has already proven positive Phase III, conducting a confirmatory Phase III right now.
So we feel good about those programs. And then even more recently, we had positive Phase I data for our once yearly salanersen, which is an ASO that's being evaluated in SMA, which can have some real impact on the patients on the standard of care in SMA and where we expect to initiate Phase III studies starting early next year. So we think there's a lot to be excited about across the pipeline.
So you're investing fairly aggressively in internal R&D. Is there a pressure to do an external deal and further augment the top line growth in the nearer term?
So I think between our ongoing launches, in addition to the potential we have in our pipeline, we have the potential to achieve significant growth. Now with that being said, the company is obviously continuing to evaluate opportunities where we can augment that growth, but that's going to be something that we do in a disciplined way, understanding those earlier-stage assets are ones where you can ultimately help guide the development trajectory and knowing that later-stage assets are coming at a premium, and that's all being factored into decision-making.
Okay. From a valuation standpoint, we've argued pretty vociferously that Biogen shares are undervalued on a cash flow basis. I don't think anyone's disagreed with us yet the stock has not been a good performer to what do you ascribe that to?
So I think there, ultimately, again, it goes back to the company taking the actions that we think are required to deliver long-term sustainable growth, which we think is the best way to deliver shareholder value. I would say -- and Eric, I don't need to tell you this, but ultimately, in an industry that's defined by finite products with a finite lifespan, there comes up necessities once in a while to reinvent yourself. And I would say Biogen right now is going through a portfolio transformation. I think ultimately, we're working to deliver the new Biogen through all the pipeline assets that we've discussed through advancing those product launches, and we'll provide updates as we go. But as right now, focusing on delivering long-term sustainable growth.
Okay. Thank you, Steve. Appreciate the overview. Uptal, maybe you can just orient us to felzartamab and what this molecule is and why it's interesting.
Sure. Thank you. Thanks for having us. So my name is Uptal Patel. I'm a nephrologist. I joined Biogen through HI-Bio, where I was CMO and lead the felzartamab programs. So if you look at immune-related diseases, so many of them are driven by autoantibodies. And autoantibodies typically are produced essentially by various cells that actually express CD38 and CD38-directed therapies that deplete these cells is a really nice targeted way to address autoimmune-driven diseases. And felzartamab was developed specifically for autoimmune diseases. Unlike other marketed products that were developed for myeloma, we have some differentiation that's really important. We have low complement-dependent cytotoxicity. We have a chronic and reproductive safety profile in nonclinical species that is more amenable for the kind of dosing we'd see in these populations. And we think that the foundation of felzartamab allows an opportunity to, although we're starting in rare kidney diseases, really expand to other autoimmune-driven diseases.
So why start in rare kidney diseases?
Well, it's a huge unmet need. So if you look across the various autoimmune diseases, some of them have not had very clear endpoints. There's some variability in current standard of care. And in rare kidney, there is really white space where there haven't been transformative therapies that get at the underlying root of the causes for those diseases. And so it provides an opportunity for sort of an initial focus with expansion beyond that.
So as an example, antibody-mediated rejection, one of our lead programs, is a really devastating complication for those who receive kidney transplants. Most people receive a kidney transplant. It's sort of a gift. The wait list is over 100,000 people, fewer than 30,000 people a year receive a kidney transplant. It's the preferred treatment for kidney failure and an incredible benefit for patients who actually get there. But losing a kidney from antibody rejection, one of the leading causes of graft loss is devastating. But it's driven by these donor-specific antibodies and a variety of other mechanisms that don't require that, that allow us to sort of start there with an effective therapy that has been transformational in our initial data.
And when you even begin to think about beyond rare kidney disease, where do you also think this role, this antibody may be best suited?
So within the kidney disease space, there's antibody-mediated rejection IgA nephropathy, PMN. And outside of that, there's a variety of different places that complement Biogen's portfolio, whether that's rheumatologic diseases like lupus, lupus nephritis, we have a program, in neuro, in endocrine. There's a lot of opportunities to expand.
Okay. So obviously, felza is a CD38 antibody. It works on the B-cell lineage. What's special about this relative to other B-cell modulators? Why CD38?
So among the therapies used for autoimmune diseases, a lot of them are broadly active, and they act on earlier B-cell populations that then have the potential complications with safety, limit vaccine response, lead to excess infections. And so CD38-directed therapy really targets the more mature professional antibody-producing cells without affecting the earlier B-cell populations. And that targeted approach then allows you to maintain the rest of your humoral immune system, mount antibody responses to vaccines, and we've demonstrated that and selectively deplete them. So other approaches also might modulate B-cell maturation. And this selective depletion then allows this possibility of a more durable therapy. And in some diseases, we think that might be possible to have larger gaps in therapy.
We've seen B-cell depletion take on enormous importance in a number of indications. How would we expect B-cell -- CD38-directed B-cell modulation to differ from absolute depletion in terms of clinical phenotype?
So if we look at the spectrum of diseases that we're initially active in, we see sort of various immunologic pressure, IgA being potentially the lowest, antibody rejection being potentially the highest. And selective depletion we're seeing is, first of all, leading to pretty profound efficacy across these with PMN in the middle. But we're also seeing that with depleting the cells that cause the disease, you can have durable effects without the need for continuous dosing, like in IgA nephropathy, where we can dose for 5 months but see durable drops in the markers of disease activity out to 2 years. In diseases like PMN, we're seeing that, that might require additional dosing, but might be annually. And in antibody-mediated rejection, higher immunologic pressure with an allograft that is persistent causing the immune system to continue to recognize it, that's an area where we might need continuous dosing.
I mean I assume you would think about an area like IgN is requiring intermittent dosing, dose drug holidays. So what benefit does that bring to the patient?
So it's great that there's an evolution of therapies in IgA nephropathy, particularly some that affect B cells and potentially can be disease modifying. What we have done is looked at -- talked to payers, talked to providers, talked to patients and found that there's a real need for therapies that offer a different option, a differentiated option that might not require continuous dosing. These patients are young. They're in their 20s, 30s, 40s and continuous dosing can be complicated. People can miss doses, where our therapy could allow somebody to have a 5-month course, but then a drug-free holiday for several months out to 2 years, we'll see if it can last longer.
Let's start with your lead indication of what I think most of us might consider your lead indication, late AMR, late kidney -- antibody-mediated kidney rejection. We saw some data, obviously, from an early study published in New England Journal of Medicine. It was phenomenal. I guess the one criticism of that data set might have been that it was a fairly small sample size. How would you address that?
That's true. It was a small proof-of-concept study. The results were indeed striking. So we saw about a 20% placebo response to resolution of MVI by histology, but an 80% response in those treated with felzartamab. Just for context, other therapies that have been tried in this space generally have about a 20% efficacy. So our placebo rate matched that.
What was different is that the extent of response was markedly different than any other therapies that have been evaluated, specifically, the hallmark of this disease is microvascular inflammation, which is a sort of score on histology of the amount of glomerular inflammation and peritubular capillary inflammation. We saw 2/3 of the sample have scores of 0, so complete resolution of this inflammation that drives the disease. That was after -- that was with a 24-week period. That's never been seen before.
The other supporting data to show that there's a real benefit here is that there's a biomarker called donor-derived cell-free DNA that's essentially a very specific marker of allograft injury. And we saw that drop very dramatically within 12 weeks, stay down through 24 weeks, which is also a very nice marker of disease effect. And then to put all of that together, small sample and cautious in interpreting the GFR comparisons between the groups, but we saw a pretty striking difference in the glomerular filtration rate estimates across the 2 populations, continued decline, about 4.5 ml per minute per year in the placebo group and stabilization in the felzartamab group.
Okay. So very consistent data as well. Remind us of the size of this opportunity and then time lines for the Phase III readout.
So this is not well characterized, but we think that there's about 23,000 people with antibody-mediated rejection in a prevalent population of about 300,000 people who have a kidney transplant. And we think about 11,000 of those have late AMR. And again, the current standard of care has been completely ineffective. It's actually quite expensive. It involves plasmapheresis and IVIg or other immunosuppressants that haven't demonstrated efficacy. And so if you just take as a base case, this 11,000-person estimate with a modest cost for therapies that could include what we see in IgA nephropathy in the $150,000 per year range, that's a market opportunity of over $1.5 billion. And so that's not trivial. We think it's quite promising.
Great. And who's going to pay for this? Is there still capitated reimbursement in this environment? And is it an add-on to that capitation? Is that causing a potential payer issue?
So I think this is a place where the cost of graft loss is tremendous. So dialysis costs $200,000, $300,000 a year, a new kidney transplant costs over $400,000 a year -- or for the initial episode. So there's a real need for all insurers to sort of be aligned with preserving kidneys that have been provided. And so this is generally late AMRs past the period of that initial 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-year period where there might be some capitated payment plans. So we think there's a real incentive here to preserve grafts that people have received.
Okay. Let's move on then to PMN. It's maybe the second of your indications. What is PMN? And what's the data to support felza being active here?
Sure. So primary membranous nephropathy is a quintessential autoantibody-driven disease where there are antibodies that are targeting podocyte-specific proteins. And this causes a very high-grade proteinuria, a lot of symptoms related to this for patients that generally in their fifth and sixth decades. And the current standard of -- there's no approved therapies, but the current standard of care is generally chemotherapeutic agents like cyclophosphamide or anti-CD20s or a variety of other therapies that include steroids and others.
The challenge has been that because CD20s aren't -- CD20 isn't expressed on plasma cells, plasma blasts, these professional antibody producing cells, you see that there's about 1/3 of patients who receive CD20s don't actually respond. And then another 1/3 who might will relapse within a period of time. And so there's this opportunity for felzartamab to sort of help fill that goal -- fill that gap with patients who've relapsed, and we've demonstrated efficacy with felzartamab in patients who have relapsed or been refractory to prior therapies.
The other is that in high-risk patients, they also tend to be less responsive to upfront CD20. And so our studies in Phase I, Phase II demonstrated that in patients with high PLA2R, an autoantibody that we can measure present in over 80% of people with PMN, we saw pretty striking responses that were rapid within a few weeks, over 90% reduction in PLA2R. Off therapy, the 5-month course of therapy, they continue to have deepening reductions in PLA2R, which then generally translates to responses and reductions in proteinuria.
Tell us about that correlation. You have shown good autoantibody reductions. What is the evidence to correlate that to kidney function?
Yes. So essentially, for PMN, it's hard to have clinical responses prior to having an immunologic response. So essentially until the autoantibody burden is controlled, it's hard to have reductions in proteinuria. And so the correlation is quite striking. When you look at some of the epidemiology, you see that essentially a 3-month drop in PLA2R is predictive of the 1-year reduction in proteinuria. That correlation held up in our data. It's held up in other data. And so it's a very strong correlation.
And what's the landscape here with other B-cell targeted therapies in development?
So it's growing. I think there's a few BTK inhibitors at play. There's APRIL/BAFFs entering the space. Obviously, CD20 with a humanized form improved from the current available therapy is in trials. And all of these, I think, have some potential advantages. What I think is important about felzartamab is it provides a differentiated option, particularly for those who may not respond initially or high risk initially.
And is felza the lead indication? I know it is the leading drug of B cell modulation in this space. Or are there others in Phase III with you?
There are others in Phase III. I think there's expected readouts for a newer anti-CD20 next year.
Okay. And the size of this opportunity in terms of numbers of patients?
So about 36,000 people in the U.S. So sizable opportunity, again, allows room for a variety of therapies and particularly different sequencing. We think felza can be an important frontline therapy in high-risk patients and an important second-line therapy if other therapies prove to be effective.
Great. Okay. Let's get on to IgAN, which in some ways is the biggest of them all. How many patients are affected with IgA nephropathy?
So different people have different estimates. We're using a conservative estimate of about 130,000 people. Again, this space is -- there's an explosion of sort of new therapies here. And so we think that although there are some really promising therapies on the horizon, there's a really an important opportunity for a differentiated asset that could allow noncontinuous dosing.
Why is there a debate about how many U.S. patients have IgA nephropathy?
So IgA nephropathy typically affects younger individuals in their 30s to 40s with some variation around that. It presents initially relatively asymptomatically. So it can be hard to detect until people actually are identified as having something that's abnormal typically in their urine. And then the diagnosis requires a biopsy. And so we think that's one of the leading reasons it's underdiagnosed in the U.S. In other countries where the prevalence is higher and they have screening programs, it's much more -- it's diagnosed in real time, and there's much less of a lag.
Okay. So what would be a competitive profile given all the newer potential entrants in the space? What do you need to achieve in terms of clinical profile?
So the typical pathway for development in IgA nephropathy is a 2-year study with a 9-month accelerated assessment based on proteinuria. The 2-year endpoint is GFR. And what we have seen to be competitive is at least a 30% reduction in proteinuria at the 9-month time point and stable GFR and at least separate -- differentiated from the placebo. I think what's interesting is although we had a small proof-of-concept study, we had about 12 people per arm dosed compared -- doses of 2, 5 and 9 doses compared to placebo.
And we saw that in the 9-dose regimen, within a few months, you have stabilization of proteinuria, about 50% decline, which continued to drop after the dosing interval. So 5 months of dosing, but a 2-year study, so 19 months off therapy, we see that there's ongoing reductions in proteinuria. That was striking. And this is also paired with data showing that we have stabilization of GFR relative to placebo.
So why would this drug work after the dosing interval? I know you showed the graph that you just described that there was some diminution or decline in proteinuria post the stoppage of dosing, but that didn't necessarily make sense to a lot of us. And many of us expect it's just a matter of time before you see a rebound anyway.
Yes. So the backdrop of the disease is that these autoantibody-producing cells are generally in the mucosal-associated lymphoid tissues which are a much more accessible compartment than the bone marrow. So our hypothesis is that this is readily accessible with depletion of these antibody-producing cells. We see a durable reduction in the cells that are producing this and therefore, IgA levels broadly, but also GAG deficient IgA, the autoantigen in this disease.
Unlike the drops in IgG and IgM that we see, for IgA, we see about a 20%, 30%, 40% drop that endures through 2 years. So what that suggests is that this compartment that where IgAs produce generally mucosal associated lymphoid tissue seems to result in a deeper depletion that's more durable.
Okay. So currently, felza is IV, I think, once weekly for 5 weeks in this indication. There are now multiple players coming to the IgAN space that offer the potential for subcu dosing. How do you line up those 2 routes of administration?
Yes. So the journey for us has been pretty rapid. As a start-up, we didn't have the resources to embark on a subcu program, but been grateful to join Biogen and have the resources of -- across the company. And that's an area of active effort, and we'll look forward to sharing more about that in the coming year.
Do you need subcu to be competitive?
So again, we think it's a nice option, particularly for patients where there will be subcu options and allow outpatient administration. So for IgA nephropathy, a larger population, we think it will be potentially helpful. For -- our assessment in AMR is that it may not necessarily be all that important.
Well, there's nothing else.
There's nothing else.
Okay. You mentioned other indications, and I think SLEs seem to be maybe on the tip of your tongue. Obviously, there's an ongoing study there. What and when can we hope to see from that?
So we have an open-label signal-seeking study in lupus nephritis. There's been some off-label use case reports of commercially available anti-CD38 in lupus nephritis demonstrating remarkable efficacy, CAR-T like. Those are small single center studies. And so there's some caution we have to use in interpreting those data. But what we're looking to do is see if we can replicate some amount of efficacy in patients who've not responded well to other therapies. So aggressive lupus nephritis Class III, IV with or without Class V, high-grade proteinuria, active immunologic activity. And so we're in the process of conducting that study. Hopefully, we'll have some results to share next year.
2026.
2026.
Great. Uptal, really interesting program. Thank you for walking us through it from A to Z. Steve, I appreciate you being here today. Thanks, Biogen team.
Thank you.
Thank you.
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Biogen — Cantor Global Healthcare Conference 2025
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: Biogen erweitert LEQEMBI‑Optionen durch eine zugelassene subkutane (s.c.) Erhaltungsdosis per Auto‑Injector und reicht s.c. Induktionsdaten rolling bei der FDA ein. Parallel dazu ist felzartamab (CD38‑Antikörper) als potenzieller Gamechanger in Nieren‑Autoimmunerkrankungen in der klinischen Entwicklung — hoher Upside, aber abhängig von Phase‑III/confirmatory Daten.
📌 Strategische Highlights
- LEQEMBI‑Formulierung: Erhaltungs‑s.c. erhöht Patientenoptionen (wöchentlicher Auto‑Injector vs. monatliche IV) und kann Adhärenz/Verweildauer verbessern.
- Preis & Kommerz: Geschätzte jährliche Erhaltungskosten s.c. ≈ $19.000 (≈+50% gegenüber IV‑Erhaltung); Induktionspreis noch offen, hängt von Labelverhandlung ab.
- Pipeline‑Fokus: Felzartamab differenziert über selektive Depletion plasmaproduzierender Zellen; Indikationen: antibody‑mediated rejection (AMR), primäre membranöse Nephropathie (PMN), IgA‑Nephropathie; Lupus‑Programme in Entwicklung.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Regulatorisch: Zulassung für s.c. LEQEMBI‑Erhaltung liegt vor; Rolling Submission für s.c. Induktion läuft — echtes Upside für Marktzugang bei Erstbehandlung möglich.
- Sicherheit & Label: Label‑Update verlangt zusätzliche MRTs wegen Amyloid‑related imaging abnormalities (ARIA); Biogen sieht reale Daten ohne relevante ARIA‑Zunahme.
- Felzartamab‑Status: Starke Proof‑of‑concept‑Signale, Entwicklungspläne für Phase‑III; Lupus‑Nephritis‑Daten werden für 2026 erwartet.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Pricing: Wie flexibel ist Biogen bei Induktions‑Pricing für s.c. und welche Preisstrategie beeinflusst Adoption und Payer‑Verhandlungen?
- ARIA/MRT: Führt die zusätzliche MRI‑Anforderung zu einer spürbaren Hürde bei Verschreibungen oder nur zu moderater Zusatz‑Komplexität?
- Wachstum vs. Rückgang: Können neue Launches (LEQEMBI, SKYCLARYS, ZURZUVAE) das rückläufige MS‑Basisgeschäft nachhaltig überkompensieren; ist ein externe M&A‑Schritt wahrscheinlich?
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Kurzfristig positiv: s.c. Erhaltungsoption stärkt LEQEMBI‑Kommerz. Mittelfristig entscheidend sind Induktions‑label, Payer‑Akzeptanz und ob felzartamab Phase‑III‑Ergebnisse liefern. Für Aktionäre heißt das: deutliches Upside durch Pipeline, aber substanzielle klinische und kommerzielle Execution‑Risiken bleiben.
Finanzdaten von Biogen
Umsatz
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Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
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Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
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EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
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der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 10.028 10.028 |
0 %
0 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 2.608 2.608 |
6 %
6 %
26 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 7.420 7.420 |
2 %
2 %
74 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 2.589 2.589 |
7 %
7 %
26 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 2.002 2.002 |
6 %
6 %
20 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 2.795 2.795 |
12 %
12 %
28 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 573 573 |
24 %
24 %
6 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 2.222 2.222 |
19 %
19 %
22 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 835 835 |
45 %
45 %
8 %
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Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Biogen, Inc. ist ein biopharmazeutisches Unternehmen, das sich mit der Entdeckung, Entwicklung und Bereitstellung von Therapien für neurologische und neurodegenerative Erkrankungen beschäftigt. Es bietet TECFIDERA, AVONEX, PLEGRIDY, TYSABRI, ZINBRYTA und FAMPYRA für die Behandlung von Multipler Sklerose, SPINRAZA für die Behandlung der Spinalen Muskelatrophie und FUMADERM für die Behandlung von schwerer Plaque-Psoriasis an. Das Unternehmen wurde 1978 von Charles Weissmann, Heinz Schaller, Kenneth Murray, Walter Gilbert und Phillip Allen Sharp gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Cambridge, MA.
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| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Mr. Viehbacher |
| Mitarbeiter | 7.500 |
| Gegründet | 1978 |
| Webseite | www.biogen.com |


