Beta Bionics Inc Aktienkurs
Ist Beta Bionics Inc eine Topscorer-Aktie nach der Dividenden-, High-Growth-Investing- oder Levermann-Strategie?
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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 609,16 Mio. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 110,24 Mio. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 609,16 Mio. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 136,35 Mio. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 409,64 Mio. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 110,24 Mio. $
Enterprise Value = 409,64 Mio. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 136,35 Mio. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Beta Bionics Inc Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
18 Analysten haben eine Beta Bionics Inc Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
18 Analysten haben eine Beta Bionics Inc Prognose abgegeben:
Beta Beta Bionics Inc Events
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Beta Bionics Inc — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
[Audio Gap] Analyst at Bank of America. Next up, we have Beta Bionics, Stephen Feider, Chief Financial Officer. And we have Blake, Investor Relations.
So maybe to start out, you reported a strong Q1, revenue 2.5%. Maybe just high level kind of what trends you see in the quarter and kind of drove the beat versus expectations.
Well, happy to be at the conference. Thanks for hosting us. Let me just say that. It's good to be up here with you. So the main tailwind that we have for our business that allowed us to outperform and what we're excited about is we're seeing more and more adoption in the pharmacy channel. And what the pharmacy -- so in the first quarter, we had a high 30s percentage of all of our new patients get reimbursed through that channel.
Why that's important is for people who are -- for patients who are considering purchasing a pump, the out-of-pocket that you see in pharmacy is something like $25 or less per month, whereas contrasting that to DME reimbursement -- the out-of-pocket is closer to something -- somewhere in the range of $500 to $1,500. So a dramatic difference in price, and that creates a much easier product for the patient to purchase better for Beta Bionics.
So number two is, we are expanding the field sales team. So we did an expansion in the first quarter of 2026. We are continuing to expand in the second quarter. And the guidance that we've communicated is that we'll grow the territory presence in the United States by at least 20 territories in 2026, and all of that will be front-loaded in the first half of the year. So what that -- what I'm telling you here and saying that is that we're both growing adoption for our product because we have new territories. We're a differentiated product with growing confidence in the outcomes of what we're doing and the automation that's embedded in the product.
But secondarily, sorry, in terms of -- that's in terms of the same-store sales. But we're also growing the actual field sales presence. So there's a lot of places in the country that don't have familiarity with the iLet. And by growing the field sales team, that's allowing us to expand our footprint and grow awareness of the product.
When you think about Q1, now that you've seen all the other reports, how do you think your share trended in Q1 and when you look at the other kind of reports from new patient starts?
Yes. We're evaluating Q1. And I think that even just from the meetings I've had with investors already today and post like all of the pump companies now reporting, I think the perception is that maybe Q1's performance or Q1 in total for new patient starts across the entire pump industry was a little soft. I think I may agree with that. However, the seasonality did not surprise us at all. So I think our pump -- our performance in terms of new patient starts in Q1 was in line with expectations. And there's nothing that I would point to that compressed insulin pump adoption in Q1 that for the market to like come to understand as to why the results were they were. I think that people just don't appreciate that Q1 is the biggest step change seasonally. The drop from Q4 to Q1 is the biggest step change seasonally that we see in insulin pumping.
So I actually like feel really good about what we -- our Q1 results and we're -- for the tube insulin pump market, we think we're doing great. We're actually beating the competition. Our sales reps are performing at a level of efficiency that's exceeding the other 2 pump companies. And all that to say, we are going to need a patch pump to win in this market, and we'll launch one at the timing that we've communicated in the past, but we just feel really good about our spot.
On seasonality, a couple of quarters ago, you were saying kind of less seasonal Q4 to Q1 is more of a headwind versus like normal typical seasonality in Q4. And now you have one of your competitors talking about more seasonality in Q1. Like what -- how do you kind of match up the 2?
Yes. I think, well, what I guess I've been consistent with my communication is that I think that in terms of the step changing seasonally, and this is by looking at the patterns of seasonality for the last 5 years, trying to normalize for new product launches, trying to normalize for any outsized like onetime factors. We see the largest step change downward from Q4 to Q1, a medium step change upward from Q1 to Q2, flat Q2 to Q3 and then a small step change up from Q3 to Q4.
And now we're back to that large step change down. And that's trying to normalize for like all factors. And so I've actually seen the market that way like for a while. Look, our -- one thing to note is when you compare what I just said to our last year's results, meaning Q4 '24 to Q1 '25, the step change down wasn't as strong, but we did launch a product right at that time. We launched the color iLet. So I think that, that sort of mucks up the comparison. But I think we've been -- the way I just communicated is how I've seen it since I've been in the industry.
Okay. That's helpful. And just the overall health of the pump market and some type 1 a little more penetrated than type 2. But when you look at the overall health of the market, is the market maturing? Is it falling? Is there still a lot of opportunity for that kind of sustain double-digit growth?
Yes. I think the pump market is far healthier than what perception currently believes. Type 1 market continuing to grow. I don't want to comment specifically on like what -- I obviously have a perspective on what it's going to grow this year, what it grew last year, depending on which analyst model you look at, you could get a different number. But healthy growth certainly last year, a lot of that driven by type 2, but still growth in type 1. And I see the same for the market going forward, too.
New patient starts in 2026, you talked about a lot of variability and trends throughout the year. I think you still talked about 21,000 to 23,000 new starts. Just trying to understand what gives you the confidence to meet that and help us understand some of the -- I guess, the variability that you talked about.
Yes. Well, we didn't actually -- we don't guide to new patient starts. So we have -- we, of course, understand that the consensus is built from the analyst models, and we do our best to shape the analyst models to where we like them to be, feeling good about the new patient starts consensus and again, acknowledging that we do have some control over how those numbers get created. But I actually feel like new patient starts is reasonably predictable for our business. We have sales territories that now we have enough experience and historical data to suggest what a current territories expectations can be based on their ramp rate.
So to me, that's actually an area of our business that is reasonably predictable.
And then I assume you assume that you're going to be taking continued share kind of at the same rate in guidance or...
Well, look, like I just said a moment ago, I I'm proud of how we're winning in the tube pump market. So I think we will continue to be a winner in terms of where -- getting new patients from that particular subset of the patients who are willing or already currently wearing an insulin pump. I think some of that what I -- if I was going to like confirm or give you a number as to what we thought our market share was going to be for the rest of the year, would almost sort of be like forecasting what the patch pump competitors new patient starts are going to look like, which I don't really want to do.
What I will say is that I really like our position here and that we've built a differentiated product. We've got growing confidence in the algorithm that we have. The clinical outcomes are fantastic. We have all the cash we need and we're set up perfectly to launch our patch pump into a market that clearly, that's what a lot of patients would prefer. And when we do, I really like our position.
When you think about, I guess, the competition in rest of the market, the form factor is converging more to a patch pump, you're kind of one of those converters, if you will. Like how do you think the market starts to compete when form factor is more of the same? Is it more on the algo? And how do you continue to differentiate that?
Well, I think that the form factor to be a patch pump that I would consider to have a credible chance to beat the incumbent, I think that you have to have a patch pump user experience that is as good or better than the incumbent, that's may perhaps obvious. But what's maybe not obvious is when you actually look at the solutions that our competitors are planning to bring to market, there are some significant deficiencies relative to what the incumbent is. So I don't really see like a patch as a patch as a patch pump.
Like by the way, there already are patch pumps that are cleared that no one really cares that much about and no one is trying to go buy because they're inferior to the -- again, the incumbent, like I just said. So I think one really notable characteristic that is like an obvious user experience disadvantage that we haven't really come to fully appreciate yet is that if you have to recharge your device, like meaning you either have to carry 2 reusable portions of the device or you have to take your device off and then recharge it.
Like to me, that's such an inferior experience relative to the incumbent patch pump, but I don't see that as a competitive form factor. But -- let's say then we -- like look at our product that we plan to bring to market mint and with the incumbent patch pump, which I think mint is as good or better of a user experience. Then what's going to matter to get to your real question, is the algorithm and the clinical outcomes and the ease of use for patients and the ease of use for the health care provider, primary -- and pharmacy reimbursement. So all those areas -- and that's why I think Beta Bionics is a market leader. So we need this form factor ultimately to compete at the grand level.
Are there potential improvements on your algorithm as well?
I don't have any specific commentary on that. Here's what I'll say, here's what we're not doing. We're not sitting back and just saying this is going to be our algorithm for here and never more because, of course, we're not. Algorithm is a core competency of us, but I just -- I haven't commented publicly on like what exactly we're considering.
Yes, I was just trying to think about your competitive positioning. If you're competing on the algorithm, other companies obviously advancing their algorithms. There's continue to close the loop, if you will. Just like how does your offering stack up as those other algorithms have been talked about for the market?
Yes, we have to maintain the lead, which means continued innovation, what I like to call this disrupting yourself. So the disruption of ourselves means make improvements to fully automated or fully closed-loop algorithmic technology for insulin only and then also to have bihormonal technology, which means automated for insulin and glucagon. And we've talked about the merits of that product in the past, too.
Great. On patch pump, what's the kind of the -- where kind of -- I know you're not going to say a lot, but just would you help us understand one question that we get is how can Beta manufacture this product. So that's kind of maybe how I'd ask the question, somebody at your scale, ability to manufacture the demand and that's kind of where the competitors have gotten tricked up in the past on patch pumps.
Yes. A broad one to make my point figure you would ask something like this. Okay. So we have -- this is the reusable portion here. This is what you would fill up with insulin every 3 days and replaced with the adhesive and you throw that away. And then here is the reusable portion. There's no recharging required for this. What happens is you're wearing the patch pump when they both are assembled, you take this off your body, you set the reusable aside and then you put the reusable back on to the new one, okay. So that's the step we're adding.
But the key thing you asked about manufacturing is, the reusable portion lasts 2 years. It's where all the expensive components live. The bill of materials is actually pretty high on this. But again, it's fully waterproofed everything. No recharging to reiterate. But the actual like thing that you have to make at and millions and millions a year of is this disposable portion.
And yes, that is hard. But what should give investors confidence that we Beta Bionics can pull it off. I think number one is the design decision. So like actually think about what is really in here. It's 2 batteries, a cannula, you have to put a needle in the exact right place, of course. There's a bonding mechanism to bond to the reusable portion. Yes, there's adhesive. But like that's kind of it, reservoir. So that's not like -- obviously, in a highly regulated sterilized clean room environment like that is difficult. But it's not like building what the patch pump incumbent is doing today, which, by the way, is insanely impressive, is building a fully disposable patch pump every 3 days for like under $10. That's not on my estimate, not theirs. That's impressive. So this is just a way easier design, all right?
Number two is we already do it, meaning we already make disposable products that keep like millions and millions of disposable products with sterilized clean room environment, semi-automated manufacturing equipment in Irvine. We already do that today. We make the cartridge and the cartridge connector, and we have a massive installed base that uses one of those every 3 days, each of those. So this is not a new skill for us. We're not like standing up like, oh, gosh, we get a mint, how are these guys going to create a clean room environment. This is already a core competency. So I think that should help you understand.
What's the hardest part of the whole process?
The hardest part of the whole process is -- this is now -- this is a CFO answering a manufacturing engineering question. Obviously, I have an opinion because I'm really close to the project. I think it's a needle placement, like getting a dead on, which, by the way, is the hardest part about the cartridge connector too, like it has to be like extremely precise. The tolerance is really small.
To get the needle through the cannula or...
You put like what's going to happen is there's -- the needle inserts when you push this insertion mechanism in. And like when you actually place the needle in this particular device every time, like making millions and millions of them, the precision of that has to be like so dead on that like that enough to do that like in a semi-automated manufacturing environment with like machining is like reasonably difficult.
Okay. And if it's not right, just a concern [indiscernible] the pump fails and doesn't ejects.
Yes. Well, you'd have testing mechanisms in place, so you would never like ship one, but it would cause scrap and...
Okay. No, that's helpful. And I guess the plan is still kind of...
We will commercialize it by the end of 2027.
Okay. And that's more depending on manufacturing, not FDA approval?
Well. Yes, so the Gantt chart for this project is big, of course. But the 2 like big items are, there's a regulatory bar and then there's like the manufacturing readiness bar. And our estimation is that the manufacturing readiness bar will take longer than the regulatory bar. We started them both in parallel, of course. So like they're not -- we're not waiting to get a clearance before we work on manufacturing capability, but that is the gating item in our mind currently.
I guess because you probably assume like your existing patients are going to switch over. So you're going to -- on day 1 manufacturing need a decent amount of capacity.
Yes. Not only will some of the existing patients want to change over, but new demand, perhaps pent-up demand from announcements before you launch it. So yes.
Okay. Maybe just give us a state of affairs in the pharmacy channel. You talked to a lot of payers, PBMs, just kind of the, I guess, receptivity to moving more of these devices into the pharmacy channel.
Yes. Okay. Well, I said at the start of the conversation why pharmacy is a major advantage because it's a lower out-of-pocket cost for patients. That's a big one, but it's -- we actually -- it's a advantage reimbursement model for us as a company. It looks more like a subscription model. I don't want to revisit the entire business model. I've done that a ton, but it's no upfront. We don't get paid upfront for the pump itself and then we get paid over time in a recurring revenue model relative to DME where it's all upfront.
So I believe that over time, insulin pumps will be reimbursed as a pharmacy benefit. I think that it's clear to me that's what payers actually prefer. It's advantage for the company. People jump from insurance to insurance. And the way that modern day consumerism works is you pay for things when people are on your product and they're actually using them. So like in the eyes of a payer, like the payer wants to pay if the patient is using the device and on their insurance, not like, hey, I was -- I bought them a pump this year and then next year, they're on a different insurance plan. That's not the -- so you get the point.
I think the important question I want to answer here, and I'm actually going ask Blake to help me with this, but I think there's a lot of concern amongst the investor world that I'd hope to clear the air on a bit. And it's that there is this big cram down in price risk in pharmacy. Like oh, once everyone moves to pharmacy, could a [ rogue ] decision-maker at one of these companies create a race to the bottom in price that puts all this downside pressure on insulin pumping? Or is that already kind of looming and like this is something that all the companies are aware of and they're just not.
And the answer to that is no. I'll do my best here to like attempt to tell you why I believe that strongly that the insulin pump market in terms of price in pharmacy is reasonably well protected. Obviously, there's some risk, but I just don't see that -- I don't see that for us. And I hope we as an industry can get better at communicating why. So here's my attempt.
Number one is that insulin pumps are not commoditized products. When a doctor prescribes a patient with an insulin pump, number one, it's based on that patient's needs because the actual user experience of the algorithm is dramatically different from one patient to another. Whether they can and are willing to interact with the device, their sophistication with counting carbohydrate, the settings that they set that they manage, all that is starkly different. The other thing in terms of -- sorry, I'm losing my train of thought. Blake you might help me out here.
Sure. The other thing beyond the commoditization is just in terms of the actual profile of profitability and gross margin of these different companies in terms of even where the market leader in insulin pumps is today that's getting reimbursed in the pharmacy channel there. We would argue that they're not that the industry in general isn't making money hand over fit such that it would become a clear target for payers to want to desire to cut price. So we think that pricing in general is -- can be competitive but also highly rational and is highly rational today, which wouldn't necessarily create a cram down on price.
And beyond that, I would just encourage folks to think about this not necessarily like a pure medical device, but we are talking about the pharmacy channel, and there are numerous pharmaceutical analogs in oncology, immunology, you name it, where there are different classes of drugs that treat different patients for different reasons, whether it's biomarker-based, whether it's severity of your condition, a really good example of this is the irritable bowel disease market. There's about 8 drugs in that market from, I think, call it, like 2004 to 2000 -- today. Don't quote me on exact here, but there's about 18 years there where because these different classes treated different people for different reasons, 18 years were priced not only sustained, but actually increased over the long term. That included multiple different drug classes and even biosimilar entrants in some where maybe that drug was used to treat a small portion of patients.
So. Yes, sure, the brand drug did see price compression from the biosimilar, but the rest of the market still held up in terms of pricing. It wasn't until Humira had a biosimilar entrant in 2023 and Humira treats outsized proportion of these patients in that 8 drug market that the actual broader market started to see price compression. So until or unless, and we would argue that we are a long ways away from this. But until or unless there is a level of commoditization in insulin pumps and dosing algorithms that creates that level of commoditization or that the more patients can benefit from a variety of different therapies for different reasons. We just don't expect to see that pricing compression.
So I'd encourage folks to think about it that way. Insulin pumps are prescribed specifically for the type of pump that a patient or a physician thinks that a patient would benefit from. And there are numerous factors that influence the outcomes from lifestyle to insulin sensitivity to things like exercise that just make different algorithms work for different reasons.
And so the combination of all of those factors make us quite confident. We believe that pricing is going to be quite sustainable for a long time in this world.
How do you think about -- or how important are like rebates and tiering on different PBMs for insulin pumps?
All right. Well, pharmacy benefit plans have 3 different tiers in terms of pharmacy coverage, that's well understood. Our product is going to always fall and mint will be the same, fall into -- for the foreseeable future will be a Tier 2 or Tier 3 product.
We evaluate which position, either Tier 2 or Tier 3 that we would -- that we want based on the economic model associated with that physician, and I'll explain. There's a difference in the amount of rebates that you pay, like probably the manufacturer pays to be covered as Tier 2 versus Tier 3. And so just take whatever that -- just imagine that difference is say, like I'm just picking a number, 5%, and that's what's the rebate difference.
Well, the other difference between a Tier 2 and Tier 3 position is the co-pay that the patient pays when they're covered on that particular product. And that co-pay difference is not perfectly clear to us, but we have a really strong sense of what that co-pay difference is between Tier 2 and Tier 3 when we're deciding which position we want to target. So what we do is we look at -- and again, it's hypothetical, we look at that 5% difference that we have to pay in rebates for Tier 2 versus Tier 3.
And then because we buy down co-pays, all patient co-pays to $25 or less, which is what we do currently on iLet, and we're not sure what we'll do yet on mint. But because in this case, we buy down co-pays, we can look at how that 5% in gross dollars is going to compare to the difference between the co-pay buydown that we'll have to pay to get Tier 2 versus Tier 3 position. So if the rebate is going to cost us, say, $40 per month difference to be on Tier 2 and the rebate to get to Tier 2 position, we would only pay, let's say, like $25, then we actually would prefer to be on Tier 3 in this particular case because buying Tier 2 cost us more than the rebate difference.
And to a patient, this is all opaque. So like the patient doesn't see what their co-pay is, the buydown happens automatically, and that's kind of how we think about it. So I get a lot of questions about like I'm glad you asked this. I get a lot of questions about how this dynamic works, and it's actually really simple. I hope is the takeaway there. It's just a math problem.
To make something crystal clear because we get this question a lot, but the pricing that we've disclosed in the pharmacy channel, that is net of all the things Stephen just described, net of co-pay assist, net of rebates, net of any other discounts.
Okay. And when you think about the difference for the patient between Tier 2 and 3, it's the co-pay as all they see. But they don't because they buy it down, right? So the patient -- it's net neutral depending on what tier it is. What else matters between Tier 2 and Tier 3 other -- factors?
It's just a rebate and co-pay.
Yes, that's it.
And then why not any Tier 1s?
Tier 1 is like generic. So pumps are not close to generic.
Okay. So you wouldn't even go there. I'm still learning the pharmacy...
Again, I think I'm trying to communicate this as like a really simple concept, but I do appreciate that the investor world like needs to understand this because I started our whole conversation by saying that the move to the pharmacy model is a major advantage for us to manage reimbursement. So I think understanding the dynamics of it and giving confidence is important.
When you think about the payer perspective, not the PBM, but the payer is paying more per month. And we talked about having the -- it's a monthly fee, not a big upfront fee until paying when they're using it. What -- are there any other aspects in the pharmacy channel for why a payer would prefer that over the DME?
Yes. The economic model, like we've talked about and yes, over -- if we -- if and when we retain patients for longer on our product, then the payer net-net pays more into the pharmacy reimbursement model than they do in DME. They see it as a risk transfer and they like it for that reason. So I'll just reiterate that point.
The other important element of payers being more inclined to cover pumps in pharmacy is that they want patients on pumps. So because the out-of-pocket is so dramatically higher in DME, they see that as cost prohibitive in many ways. And so more patients on pumps is considered economically beneficial and just better overall for like health of the patient.
It also matters to the amount of work that goes into verifying and processing and monitoring the claims around where a beneficiary on that plan who's on a pump that they bought through DME for $4,000, $5,000, what have you, and where that beneficiary actually is at that given time, that's a lot of work that's required, and there's a lot of human hours behind that, that goes into their SG&A line, even though it's different from, say, just their cost trend. there is an actuarial conversation around where the dollars are actually coming from.
I hear some say like the payers have more visibility in the pharmacy channel than the DME channel. Is that what that's referring to or...
Yes, it's the visibility and it's the point that if someone is on their plan benefiting from their therapy and getting those short, medium and long-term benefits for themselves and ultimately to the payer, then they'll pay for the therapy.
It doesn't really matter for you yet, but when you do launch mint, there's probably going to be people in your existing DME base that want to transfer to the pharmacy and you think about a payer who just paid $1,000 for a pump, how do you get those patients to switch over? Is there some inhibiting factors on that side? Or is it just not big enough to matter?
Yes, there's no prohibitive blocking mechanism to allowing a patient to transition. So I don't know if it's not big enough to matter. That's not really my call to make, but that will happen. Acknowledging, it's not the design of the program that will happen though.
I was thinking about how easy it is to take a DME patient, an existing patient to the pharmacy channel.
Yes, there's no blocking mechanism in place. I guess the last thing I want to -- sorry if you...
I was going to close, but if you have some...
Yes. I think just looking at -- obviously, you guys are -- the folks listening in here, you guys are in the investor world looking at medtech companies, and you've seen compression in diabetes and in particular, in insulin pumping. And we acknowledge that, and we'll continue to exude our confidence that we have in what we're doing at Beta Bionics.
But I think I just -- one thing I would I would share with you is that's kind of interesting is we -- Sean Saint, our CEO and I started at Beta Bionics, and took over together in what I thought was a fun turnaround story in late 2022. And we laid out a path knowing that we are going to, of course, need a patch pump in order to win. We laid out how we are going to get this device cleared, what kind of capital we are going to need to do it, why it made sense to front-run pharmacy reimbursement and do all this work to build confidence in the product, build a brand that people were loyal to and familiar with.
And we've actually been charting that path like beating even our own expectations. And what's really interesting is like despite all that, if you look at like our stock price and like how the market perceives it, it's a roller coaster like you've never seen, I mean you've seen before, but it's a crazy roller coaster. But like internally, every employee at Beta Bionics that knows what the actual plan of the company is, what the vision is, the narrow priorities that we have, it is unwavering. And we are which -- by our standard, we are right on plan. And we are super excited about what we currently have, the outlook for iLet. And when we launched mint, we're super confident that all these decisions that we've made that they were the right ones at the right time, and we have plenty of cash to do it. So I really like our position.
Sounds great. Thank you. Thanks for joining us.
Thanks, Travis.
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Beta Bionics Inc — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, and welcome to the Beta Bionics First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to Blake Beber, Head of Investor Relations. You may begin, sir.
Good afternoon, and thank you for tuning in to Beta Bionics First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. Joining me on today is our Chief Executive Officer, Sean Saint and Chief Financial Officer, Steven Feider.
Both the replay of this call and the press release discussing our first quarter 2026 results will be available on the Investor Relations section of our website. Information recorded on this call speaks only as of today, April 21, 2026. Therefore, if you're listening to the replay, any time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate.
Also on our website is our supplemental first quarter 2026 earnings presentation and updated corporate presentation. We encourage you to refer to those documents for a summary of key metrics and business updates.
Before we begin, we would like to remind you that today's discussion will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements reflect management's expectations about future events, our product pipeline development time lines, financial performance and operating plans. Please refer to the cautionary statements in the press release we issued earlier today for a detailed explanation of the inherent limitations of such forward-looking statements. These documents contain and identify important factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements.
Please note that the forward-looking statements made during this call speak only as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update them to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, except to the extent required by law.
With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Sean.
Thanks, Blake. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining. We're pleased to share with you all today our financial results for the first quarter as well as positive updates to our full year guidance for 2026. In Q1, the company continued to progress rapidly across our key initiatives, both commercially in terms of driving adoption of the islet and expanding pharmacy channel access and developmentally in terms of advancing our Mint patch pump program and our bihormonal program. Our teams continue to execute relentlessly to deliver life-changing solutions to the diabetes community today and over the long term.
Diving into a brief overview of our Q1 performance, we delivered $27.6 million in net sales, which grew 57% year-over-year. Q1 revenue growth was driven predominantly by growth in new patient starts as well as our growing installed base of users who continued to access their monthly supplies for the iLet through the pharmacy channel and who we continue to retain at a high level. The percentage of new patient starts that were reimbursed through the pharmacy channel grew to a high 30s percentage compared to a low 30s percentage in Q4 and a low 20s percentage in Q1 2025.
Our gross margin was 59.5%, expanding over 860 basis points year-over-year. Stephen will discuss our gross margin dynamic shortly in more detail. but I wanted to highlight this exceptional performance is evidence that the pharmacy business model is working, as is our ability to drive leverage and manufacturing costs as we scale. I'm proud of these results and eager to build on them as we progress throughout the year.
With that, I'll hand the call over to Stephen to provide some additional color on our first quarter performance and our full year 2026 guidance. Stephen?
Thanks, Sean. Our Q1 performance exceeded our expectations across the board. Revenue performance was mainly driven by new patient starts and the recurring revenue generated from our growing pharmacy installed base. Q1 revenue saw a modest contribution from pharmacy and DME stocking but the stocking benefit in Q1 declined relative to Q4 in both channels.
I'd now like to highlight some of our Q1 commercial metrics. New patient starts declined more than 10%, but less than 20% compared to Q4 2025, consistent with our expectations given typical seasonal demand patterns from Q4 to Q1. A high 30 percentage of our new patient starts in Q1 accessed iLet through the pharmacy channel. The increase compared to the prior quarter exceeded our expectations. It is important to note that most pharmacy plan changes occur at the beginning and midpoint of the calendar year. Thus, we do not expect an uptick from Q1 to Q2.
Our pharmacy strategy continues to deliver strong financial results for the business, driven by the advantaged recurring revenue model, low out-of-pocket costs for patients, a streamlined process for health care providers and our ability to retain patients utilizing the product.
Lastly, we continue to expand the insulin pump market as approximately 70% of our new patient starts came from people with diabetes using multiple daily injections prior to starting the iLet.
Moving on to gross margin. Q1 gross margin was 59.5%, representing an increase of 52 basis points relative to the prior quarter and an increase of 864 basis points relative to the prior year. The primary driver here is our pharmacy installed base, which generates high-margin recurring revenue and where we continue to see strong user retention.
Previously, I've shared a simple way to think about how the pharmacy channel impacts our overall gross margin. The framework I introduced was that when our pharmacy installed base in a given quarter exceeds 3x the number of new patient starts through pharmacy in that same quarter the pharmacy channel generates higher gross margin than the DME channel and becomes accretive to our overall gross margin. We crossed that threshold in Q1, and we expect further gross margin expansion as our pharmacy installed base continues to grow.
The other key driver of strong margin performance this quarter was lower cost of materials for the iLet relative to the prior quarter and year. We also benefited from a couple of onetime gross margin tailwinds in the quarter including higher-than-planned iLet production and modest contribution from pharmacy islet revenue. While we don't expect those onetime tailwinds to repeat, I expect our core gross margin to remain a key area of strength going forward and an important driver of our ability to generate free cash flow at an earlier stage as compared to our diabetes peers.
Total operating expenses in the first quarter were $40.7 million, an increase of 47% compared to $27.6 million in the first quarter of 2025. The increase in sales and marketing expenses relative to the prior year was driven by expansion of our field sales team, which we made excellent progress on in Q1 towards our previously stated goal of expanding by at least 20 sales territories in 2026.
Newly onboarded territories generally take at least a quarter to begin contributing meaningfully to sales. So we're excited for those additions to take shape throughout the year. On R&D expenses, the increase relative to the prior year is driven by the Mint and bihormonal projects. The increase in G&A expenses relative to the prior year is driven by continued efforts to scale the company in support of commercial growth and pipeline initiatives.
As of March 31, 2026, we have approximately $240 million in cash, cash equivalents and short and long-term investments. We believe we are sufficiently capitalized to fund all of our key initiatives and remain well positioned to generate free cash flow well ahead of historical diabetes peers. We feel that all of the key indicators that we monitor suggests we are building a sustainably successful and profitable business, including strong product market fit, solid sales force productivity, growing pharmacy traction, healthy gross margins and continued operational discipline.
I'd now like to discuss our revised full year 2026 guidance which we're raising across the board. We now project total revenue for the year to be $131 million to $136 million, up from our prior guidance of $130 million to $135 million.
On pharmacy mix, we now expect 37% to 39% of our new patient starts to be reimbursed through the pharmacy channel versus our prior guidance of 36% to 38%. Our increased revenue and pharmacy mix guidance reflects our higher expectations for new patient starts, driven by strong Q1 performance and the success we've had in onboarding new sales territories, we're on track toward our goal of adding at least 20 territories in 2026.
On gross margin, we are raising our outlook to 57.5% to 59.5% for the full year versus our prior guidance of 55.5% to 57.5%. Our gross margin outlook reflects the strong performance in Q1 normalized for onetime tailwinds and our expectation of continued contribution from our pharmacy installed base, along with increasing leverage from manufacturing scale over the course of the year.
To briefly comment on operating expenses, we expect year-over-year growth to accelerate for the remainder of the year compared to Q1, driven by continued expansion of the sales force, increased investment in brand and direct-to-consumer marketing and spending related to Mint in our bihormonal programs.
With that, I'll hand the call back over to Sean.
Thanks, Steven. To wrap up the call, I'll briefly touch on our remediation efforts regarding the FDA warning letter we received in late January and then highlight the progress we're making in our innovation pipeline. Regarding the warning letter, the company is continuing to take this matter very seriously. Our teams and leadership are conducting thorough systemic reviews of our quality management system and instituting corrective actions that we believe address the agency's observations. The company is responding quickly to the agency's concerns and we've been providing periodic updates to the FDA regarding changes to our processes and documentation that we believe address many of the FDA's concerns as stated in the warning letter.
One example of our progress thus far is our efforts to remediate old complaints under our new complaint handling system and definitions for reportable complaints. We recently completed that work well ahead of schedule which we believe is a good representation of our organization's commitment to resolving the warning letter in an effective and timely manner. We still have work to do in other areas to fully address the agency's concerns and we look forward to continuing to work together with the FDA to resolve this.
Now to the pipeline. Let's start with a quick update on Mint, our patch pump and development. In Q1, we continued to advance Mint toward our goal of an unconstrained commercial launch by the end of 2027. We remain confident in our ability to gain FDA clearance for Mint, manufacture the product at scale and ultimately realize the opportunity to make market-leading product and automated insulin delivery that we believe it has the potential to be.
For our bihormonal system in development, in Q1, we initiated a Phase IIa feasibility trial to stress test and iterate the system. Our Phase IIa trials have helped us to identify further areas for system optimization and preparation for the more advanced stages of development, inclusive of a Phase IIb feasibility trial and Phase III pivotal trials. I'm excited by our continued progress with the bihormonal system as it represents what we believe has the potential to be a transformative innovation for people with diabetes. Our industry talks a lot about moving towards fully closed-loop algorithms, which the industry generally defines as algorithms that don't require any engagement from the user.
Another topic that's always top of mind for the industry is health outcomes. The ADA's glycemic goals for most nonpregnant adults with diabetes is less than 7% A1c and greater than 70% time in range, which the vast majority of people with diabetes aren't achieving today. When we look at the body of evidence of insulin only fully closed with algorithms, we believe that they will not enable the majority of people with diabetes to achieve the ADA's glycemic goals. But bihormonal may be different. We believe that the existing body of evidence of bihormonal fully closed-loop algorithms shows the potential for the majority of people with diabetes to achieve the ADA's glycemic goals. That is such a big reason why bihormonal has game-changing potential for the industry at large and why our commitment to the program has never been stronger.
At the end of Q1, we also launched a key new feature called Bionic Insights within our health care provider portal. This is a one of its kind intelligent data analytics and reporting feature within the industry. Bionic Insights surfaces clinically relevant indicators user activities and system events and packages them into actionable insights that help health care providers make more informed and personalized treatment recommendations for their patients.
Early feedback on the feature has been overwhelmingly positive and we're extremely excited by its potential to further improve experiences and outcomes with iLet. Lastly, on our innovation pipeline, I want to cover type 2 diabetes. In Q1, we continued to see some health care providers prescribe iLet to their type 2 patients off-label. We estimate that 25% to 30% of our new patient starts in Q1 were from type 2. While we're not committing to a specific time line, we remain eager to pursue the type 2 diabetes indication through the FDA.
I want to leave you all with 1 key message from today's call. We are building a business that we believe is uniquely positioned to succeed over the short, medium and long term, fueled by our exceptional commercial product, pharmacy channel strategy, operational efficiency and what we believe to be the most innovative pipeline in the diabetes industry. We're excited and motivated to deliver.
Thank you all for joining today's call. We'll now open up the call for Q&A.
[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Mike Kratky with Leerink Partners.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the strong quarter. I guess to start, it was really encouraging to see the high 30s percent of new starts through the pharmacy channel, but your updated guidance of 37% to 39%, seems to suggest it could hang out there over the next few quarters. So is there any fundamental reason driving that assumption? Or anything you're seeing from a competitive standpoint that maybe tempering expectations there?
Mike, I appreciate the question. And happy belated birthday, by the way. I forgot that I missed that. So nothing notable about the calendar year other than the biggest step-ups in pharmacy coverage happened at the start of the year and at the middle of the year, so January and July. And the other thing that's important to note about pharmacy reimbursement is that while we feel like the business is highly predictable in areas like revenue, this particular area isn't perfectly predictable.
It's B2B sales, long sales cycle. And so our guidance acknowledges both of those factors that I just shared there. In terms of competitive pressure that we're feeling as it relates to the pharmacy channel, none at all that's dampening guidance in any way. Actually, if anything, the move from our competitors our tubed pump competitors to the pharmacy channel makes payers and PBMs more inclined to want to move insulin pumps or tube insulin pumps in particular, to a pharmacy reimbursement. So we actually don't see that move that we're seeing from our competitors to be bad at all.
Awesome. Very much appreciate that. Maybe just separately, in terms of the ongoing sales force expansion, any additional color you can provide in terms of what inning we're in there or how far along you are there?
Yes. I don't want to speak specifically to the number as you can imagine, based on the prepared remarks, we are not in the ninth inning, meaning there's more expansion to happen, but most of the expansion of the field sales force will happen in the first half of the year. So a lot of it happened in the first quarter, and then you'll see some in the second quarter as well, and that will round out most of what we expect to expand by.
Our next question comes from the line of David Roman with Goldman Sachs.
I appreciate you taking the question here. Maybe I'll just start with the ADA guideline changes that I think went into effect in December regarding AID therapy. Could you give us some perspective on what you're observing in the field as it relates to prescribing patterns. I know you talked about in your prepared remarks, beta contributing to expansion of the overall pump market. But help us understand a little bit more what you're seeing both on the type 1 and type 2 side from an underlying demand perspective.
Yes. David, this is Sean. Good question. I don't think that the ADA guideline changes while helpful are really impacting prescribing patterns on a daily basis. Things like that take time to filter out. I don't think we've ever seen the industry just react to a shift. And I think also the guideline evolutions were relatively subtle. Beyond that, I'm really not sure what I can add in terms of evolution. I mean I think the last quarter has been relatively stable in terms of prescribing patterns, narrative, et cetera. I just don't have any data at the moment.
Okay. Maybe just to clarify there. We obviously continue to get a ton of questions around GLP-1s, especially given the oral dynamic. So maybe just any perspective there? And then just for my follow-up here, you talked, Stephen, I think about accelerating OpEx growth through the year. How are you thinking about just overall investment in cost to serve here? Because as we look across the space, you have one of your competitors very aggressively going down the DCC path. You have a lot of people out there hiring reps. But it looks like, generally speaking, revenue expectations are pretty similar for most of the players here. So are you seeing a higher customer acquisition cost as the market becomes more competitive and how you're thinking about just that OpEx versus growth trade-off?
Well, let me take the first part of that, the GLP-1-based question. I'll just say that look, I mean, I think in many ways, this is sort of an ask-and-answer point on GLP-1. I think they are phenomenal class of drugs. I think they are helping a ton of people. I think when you talk about certainly type 1 and also insulin-dependent type 2 in terms of insulin managed type 2 specifically, not really a huge impact there.
Obviously, orals, I think, are a continued evolution of that drug class. It's a great evolution for those. But when you consider that we were going from a once-a-week injectable to an oral probably not the thing that kicks it over into a class of drug that people taking 4 injections per day were in a pump are utilizing. That's not the reason it wasn't helping them is my point. I don't think oral is going to be the change there. But again, another evolution of that drug class that's helpful for them. I'm going to let Stephen take the second half of that investment question.
Yes, sure. So first thing, David, I'm going to comment on is with regards to our sales and marketing growth for the rest of the year and what we're expecting in OpEx. So as I just alluded to in Mike's question, you'll see our sales and marketing spend grow here into the second quarter because of expansions of our field sales team, and that's why you saw the uptick in sales and marketing in Q1 '26 relative to Q4 '25. So that's what we're anticipating. And this also embeds some investment that we're making in direct-to-consumer advertising not at the same level as some of our competitors, but we are making notable investments there. In terms of the customer acquisition cost.
I think that's a really good point. And I think when you look at our P&L, for example, our sales and marketing costs in Q1 '26 are 75% of our revenue. That's not an efficient business at scale, of course. And so our sales and marketing costs -- our customer acquisition costs needs to go down, and it will. And the ways that it will go down, primarily are building an installed base, in particular, in pharmacy, where we generate a high gross margin recurring revenue from selling supplies in the pharmacy.
And then the second one is that we are readying this business in terms of the brand recognition and building a customer first or customer forward go-forward brand in anticipation of the Mint product. And yes, for those 2 reasons, I'm comfortable that we are building a profitable business in the medium, long term, that will start generating free cash way earlier than what we've seen in -- sorry, I got a little feedback there. But earlier than [ 90 ] diabetes peers, but I acknowledge that the customer acquisition costs today for a business like us acknowledging we're getting most of our new -- a lot of our new patients from pharmacy channel and we're building a brand that it doesn't look like a perfectly economical sales and marketing model at this exact moment.
Our next question comes from the line of Frank Takkinen with Lake Street Capital Markets.
Great. I wanted to start with one on gross margin. Obviously, a really strong performance in Q1. I was hoping maybe you can help quantify some of the benefits you called out related to the higher iLet production, anything else that you mentioned on what may have contributed to Q1 and then extrapolating that out to -- it feels like gross margin is trending kind of towards the higher end of the guided range today is the something in there kind of tempering that expectation.
Frank, I appreciate the question. So with gross margin -- yes, there were -- as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, there were onetime tailwinds that we had in Q1 that brought the gross margin up from what it's current run rate is I don't want to quantify specifically what that impact was, but it was relatively small, but notable. So that is the first point.
And then the second thing you asked about is kind of relative to our guidance, doesn't your Q1 actual performance look -- these are my words, not yours, but you're kind of alluding to -- doesn't this look like sort of conservative based on what the Q1 performance is. And I would say maybe, but I just want to acknowledge 2 key points.
Number one is just reiterating that Q1 did have some onetime favorability in it. And then the second point is that cost of sales generally has sometimes discrete and semi unpredictable onetime charges that can happen unfavorably in any given quarter. And in the short run periods makes gross margin semi difficult to predict. And so acknowledging that similar to how we had a favorability of a onetime charge in Q1, I'm not at all forecasting any future results of that nature for us.
But I am saying that we're -- our guidance embeds the openness to that. But I think, look, gross margin is a very high point for our business. There is massive room for upside in gross margin in the -- in the long term for the company. And I hope what you're seeing in just the results even this quarter, is that we're demonstrating cost favorability in our ability to manufacture costs more and more efficiently quarter-over-quarter. And then the pharmacy business model is absolutely working.
I even alluded to today that the pharmacy business unit or the pharmacy revenue model has a higher gross margin as of this quarter than even the DME revenue model. And this is in its early stage. So more upside to come in gross margin in the long term, but they are sort of your answer to on why guidance is set the way it is.
Got it. Very helpful. And then maybe just for my second one, related to cash burn, any seasonal considerations we should think about with the cash burn from Q1, Q2, Q3 and Q4. You saw a little higher cash burn in Q1? And just kind of trying to understand how we should model the burn profile throughout the end of the year.
For sure. Yes. I think cash burn for us is going to sort of approximate adjusted EBITDA for the rest of the year. The reason Q1 cash burn exceeded. We burned about $25 million in Q1. That was higher than what our adjusted EBITDA was around $17 million. And the reason for that is paid transparently, we paid cash bonuses in Q1. So there's a big change in our crude expenses.
And then the second thing is there was some working capital differences between Q4, quarter end and Q1 quarter end, notably, inventory accounts receivable and accounts payable. So those total about $4 million of impact, and that will kind of get you to where closer bridging the gap between that $25 million of burn and the adjusted EBITDA number.
Our next question comes from the line of Jon Block with Stifel.
Great. Maybe I'll go to a couple of modeling questions. But the first one, Stephen, I think -- the Street was about 44%, 45% in 2026 sales and 1H prior to the -- print. It sort of landed around $31 million for 2Q '26. And just curious, is that -- you mentioned this year would be more front-end weighted relative to 2025 for a handful of reasons. But when we look at that 1H weighting or maybe even more specifically, the $31 million for 2Q, is that the right cadence to think about for the model or anything else to call out as we think about the balance of the year on the top line?
Yes. I'll reiterate the guidance that I gave on the last call that you just alluded to, John, which is that or the first half of 2026 will have more revenue in terms of waiting for the calendar year period than what we saw in the first half of 2025 than what we saw in the first half of 2025. I'm sorry, I'm not going to specifically comment on the number you shared in terms of Q2 guidance. That's not a number -- we don't want to give quarterly revenue guidance. But based on what I just told you, I think you can kind of get a really good sense as to what that number is and -- or at least a tight range for it. So I'll leave it there.
Fair enough. So maybe I'll take a different shot on goal to go to gross margin. Going into this year, I think what you alluded to was gross margin would increase sequentially throughout 2026. And obviously, there was material upside to 1Q '26, right, sort of like a good problem to have. you don't want to quantify the onetimers. But just help us out, like when we think about gross margin going forward, now that you're already at the upper band of your revised guidance for GM, what are the -- like call it, the upside or downside for GMs or COGS from here as we think about the next handful of quarters.
Yes. So again, I'm not -- well, I appreciate the question, and I'm not quantifying the extent of the one-timer that we saw or the one-timers that we saw in Q1 to give you the run rate Q1 gross margin. But relative to the run rate Q1 gross margin, we are still expecting an uptick quarter-over-quarter in gross margin. So there's no -- there was nothing, I guess, notable about Q1, we're not calling down gross margin or a different slope for the rest of the year in terms of the outlook. It's just that Q1 had a big number for reasons that I've now explained.
Okay. Sorry, if I can just clarify there. So we're still -- we're up sequentially off the normalized 1Q '26 GM number. You're not going to quantify it. But logically, it's got to be about a 200 bp tailwind if you're up sequentially and still get to the range, the revised range.
Yes, without commenting on specifically the 200 bp tailwind, bingo.
Our next question comes from the line of Richard Newitter with Truist Securities.
It's Philippe on for Rich. Just a follow-up on the pharmacy channel. I think you guys mentioned that more competitors find to enter with durable pumps into the channel is potentially going to accelerate the shift over. So I'm just wondering if you could dig into that, maybe give any context on the conversations that you've been having with your PBM partners. And then just 1 follow-up.
Yes, Philippe, it's Sean. Really beyond just saying that the more companies that are accessing this channel, the more normal it becomes, the more -- the less one-off these conversations are, the more of us that have success through this channel, the more future people accessing will also have that success. And that success brings more success with other payers. And the more payers that start to pay, the more that the ones who choose not to become outliers.
So I think this is definitely a snowball rolling down a hill and multiple payers accessing this channel are a positive for all of us. And yes, so we're more than happy to see that. And I think it ultimately makes our entire industry quite a bit more healthy. Frankly, we're happy to have started that snowball rolling in the durable pump space.
And then if you could just remind us why you expect economics in the channel to hold over the long term. I think there are a lot of misconceptions around multiple players in the channel and potential trend downward and economics. Just any clarity around that would be helpful.
Yes, that's a good question. The primary reason at the moment is that insulin pumps are noncommoditized market. And when you look at the pharmacy channel, there are plenty of examples of commoditized markets getting into a race to the bottom because you're in a situation where a particular payer really only needs to offer one of those products because they're easily switchable, and in fact, you'll see situations where scripts can be changed between different products without the approval of the health care provider. That is not the case in insulin pumping.
When you write a script for an iLet, the payer well, whoever must deliver on islet specifically, and you need to get a new script for something else. It is the definition of a noncommoditized market. So there's really -- there really limits the ability to create downward price pressure in the situation in a market like we have today. Because of the nature of automated insulin delivery and the unique algorithms that we're all providing, that really isn't going to change anytime soon given the clinical trials, et cetera, et cetera, that are required to go into these pumps.
And as of today, anyway, we are still looking at a very differentiated market. And of course, we think iLet being one of the more differentiated products out there. Does that help?
Super helpful.
Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Johnson with Baird.
So, Sean, just maybe staying on that pharmacy point. I think any updated thoughts you have on rebates maybe and how you're thinking about rebate dollars you might provide the channel here over the next few years, handful of years anyway? And how do you balance kind of staying at Tier 3 in some of your contracts and buying down the co-pay versus maybe trying to move up to a Tier 2 but having to chase some added rebate dollars as you compete against maybe one of your biggest -- one of your bigger peers in the pharmacy channel there. So just rebates versus buying down co-pays in that? Just what's your outlook there over the next few years?
Yes. Great question, Jeff. And you're absolutely right. That is very much building on fleet-based question. I would start with -- when you just look at the noncommoditization of the market, limiting the ability generally of payers to create the downward price pressure we see a lot of durability of pricing here for the foreseeable future. So that's one aspect of your question. But the second, frankly, is very different. And that's the Tier 2 versus Tier 3 argument or argument.
So let me just be clear on that. Tier 2 versus Tier 3 has 2 fundamental differences and really only the 2. They are the rebate required to obtain Tier 2 versus Tier 3 and the co-pay that the user is asked to pay when their particular product is covered in either Tier 2 or Tier 3.
So most companies, Beta Bionics certainly included. We have co-pay assistance programs, which are transparent to the user, which ensure that we control that co-pay at a particular level. Currently, I believe we're at $25 or less per month. What that means, though, is that it's a math problem for us, we just balance the rebate required to move between tiers, with the reduction in co-pay that we would get when we do it.
And out of that, it's a very simple math problem to tell us whether or not a Tier 2 or Tier 3 positioning would be more advantage for Beta Bionics. We will always pick that, keeping in mind that our patients will always pay the $25 co-pay that or less than control. So it's really a win-win for us and our users.
Our next question comes from the line of Matthew O'Brien with Piper Sandler.
The first one is a little convoluted, so forgive me, but I don't have perfect information here. But as I look at the model, it looks like the Type 2 growth that we saw in Q1 was meaningfully higher than on the type 1 side. And so I'm just wondering, is the math there about right? Type 2 is really kind of carrying you right now as far as overall patient growth on a year-over-year basis. Are you still growing type 1 somewhere in the double-digit range? And then are you exposed in the intermediate term by not having a type 2 indication just given how well you're doing there? And then I do have a follow-up.
All right. Yes. So is type 2 growth driving the growth of the business? Look, type 2 has been -- I have to be a little careful here because, of course, we don't have the indication. So you're going to always hear Sean and I when we're talking about type 2, a little hesitant to say too much. But Yes, the fact that 25% to 30% of our new users are coming to us with type 2 diabetes that is a large part of our growth. But does it -- is our type 1 growth shrinking? Or is the type 1 market or the applicability for our product in type 1 shrinking?
No, it is not. So the math will show that the -- Type 2 is a growth contributor for us, and it's a larger growth contributor than what Type 1 in this particular quarter was, but it's not because the market for our product in Type 1 is dwindling or anything of that nature. We're as confident as we've ever been.
Are we exposed by not having a Type 2 indication? I do think health care providers will prescribe what they want. That said, the fact that we cannot promote our product for Type 2. And we do not, and we -- of course, legally, we cannot. That is -- that does hinder our growth, yes. it's an indication that we desire that we'll ultimately need in order to win at the level that we desire to in the medium and long term. But the fact that the product is prescribed the way that it has been in Type 2 is really just a product of doctors being educated about what insulin pumps are out there. But if we have the ability to market ourselves for that particular area? Absolutely, it would help us.
Got it. And apologies for that long question, and I think here comes another long one. But just the R&D spike that we saw in Q1 versus Q4, and I know there's some timing issues there, but is it fair to say, I still think the bihormonal work is both kind of earlier stage versus Mint? Is it fair to say the big bump that we saw a higher than what we were modeling was really related to Mint. And then do you -- are you sensing that your Mint timing is you don't have to give it to us, but just is on track versus what you were expecting or maybe potentially a little bit earlier than what you were expecting internally?
Yes. Thanks for the question, Matt. It's Sean. Look, I'm not going to comment on the split between where we're spending our money between bihormonal and mint. What I will say is that both products continue or most projects continue to move forward and both will see upticks in spending over the next period of time. So I think at some level, that was true on both. But I'm not going to call where the lion's share fell.
And then in terms of Mint, not really a lot I can share right now. I think the notable point that maybe I'll sort of reiterate is that we've been sharing the time line we've been sharing for quite a while, and it hasn't slipped. And we've been continually reiterating it now forever, I think. And I think that's what you want to see from us, right? We're not moving it all around. We're just -- we want to be predictable, and that's what we've been but with that being said, no really additional updates except reiterating our time line unconstrained launch by '27.
Our next question comes from the line of Jeffrey Cohen with Ladenburg Thalmann Company.
So I guess, firstly you'd call out lower cost of materials in Q1, that was net favorable. But anything related to articulation or scale as a function of that or too small at all?
Can you say the last part of your question related to inflation or scale or what did you say?
So Q1 cost of materials was some of that deflationary in a sense? Or was some of that scale related as far as share scale?
Yes. The primary driver of the lower cost per unit and the cost of materials is simply just volume, so CS scale. The more components were able to -- were able to purchase a larger scale, the lower cost per component.
Okay. Got it. And then second, I want to follow up on the bihormonal. What might we see during 2026 as far as any data or publications related to the IIa or the IIb trials feasibility studies.
Yes, Jeff, that's a great question. Frankly, I don't think we really intend to publish a lot of this information. There's not really a benefit to us to do that. So what we will do is -- I don't know publishing, but as things complete, our cadence here has been to let you know that things are done, not so much to tell you what's coming up. We'll continue to follow that path, '26 should bring some meaningful updates, but I'm not going to call out exactly what those are at this point, but I will reiterate. Now we probably won't publish the results of these trials for various reasons. I just don't think there's a benefit.
What I will say, and I alluded to this in our prepared remarks, is that in the past, we really have published data on this. There's been quite a few studies published by Beta Bionics on our formative studies over the last 20-odd years on this product. And a lot there, and there's some really, I think, phenomenal results to be looked at. So that I think sets a line as to kind of where we'd like to see things sort of at a minimum. But they're, I don't say they're great outcomes from my perspective. So I would encourage you to go take a reread of some of the stuff we published in the teens.
Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Blackman with TD Cowen.
I've been jumping around calls. But, Stephen, I just want to get a feel for the new disclosure on new patient adds that I know we can pick whatever number we want. But would you have us be sort of in that middle of that range? Is that a reasonable sort of launching point to model off of that greater than 10%, but less than 20% Q-over-Q decline is being in the middle of that, a fair point to sort of model that new patient number off of.
Totally appreciate why you want to know that, unfortunately, what we've said in the prepared remarks is what we prefer to disclose in terms of the extent. So I'm sorry, Matt, but I won't comment any further.
And then just remind us again on the sales force expansion, I know we talked a little bit about it, but we know you're adding 20 territories. But just relative to the expansions you've done over the last several years, how similar or how different is this versus those expansions? Is this a lot of white space that you're filling in? Or are you now to splitting territories going deeper into areas, geographies so that you can really pound away at accounts. And if so, is the execution of the sales force expansion any different than what you've tackled successfully in prior years? And that's all I had.
Yes, Matt, this is Sean. I'm not going to comment on size of the expansion. And this is probably an unsatisfying answer, but I'm going to say, yes, of course, it's both of those things. I would say technically, white space would be an area that you kind of consider that you don't have a rep. And we don't really have white space. There's a rep covering everywhere in the country.
That being said, there are absolutely areas of the country that get essentially no rep visiting. We never actually put a foot on the ground in that area. So we are putting reps in those spaces. So it's not technically white space, but for all intents and purposes, it is.
But then also, we're -- they're replacing people at some stage. We're adding people in areas that we're well covered. It's just all those things. We tend to take people that we tend to find good people and put them where we can at some level. You're not just going to say, well, I'm going to take whoever is available and, I don't know, pick a particular MSA and just find a person. We want to make sure that we get good people in every place. So that governs to some extent, where and when we add.
Our next question comes from the line of Travis Steed with Bank of America.
This is Grace, Sean, for Travis. I just wanted to start the first one maybe about the 2026 revenue guidance, I think it's implying about $33 million of year-over-year dollar growth. You did like $35 million in 2025. Just wondering if this is sort of a level of conservative in the guide or what sort of do you think it takes from the pipeline or other parts of the business to accelerate revenue growth going forward on a dollar basis.
Yes, understood. This is Stephen. Thanks for the question and for dialing in. Yes, your math is correct in terms of what the guidance kind of implies year-over-year growth wise. The puts on what could go right for the business that would allow us to exceed the revenue guidance, which we do set, of course, that we have confidence in what we guide to is the iLet builds confidence from the health care providers that -- from endocrinologists around the country and the clinical results that we get from our product, they continue to resonate with health care providers, patients have unique and great experiences on the device, tell their health care providers, other health care providers about it or their health care provider about it, and we start to build confidence and traction in same-store sales.
The other thing that's put on the business is the new store sales. So as Sean just alluded to, we added a lot of new sales territories already. We'll continue to add more of them in the second quarter. And most of the places where these new sales reps are going do not prescribe the iLet today. And so turning on those particular health care providers by making them aware of the benefits of automation, the great clinical comes that we have from our product if and that exceeds our expectations in terms -- or what's embedded in the guidance, that would be another upside to the numbers that we've guided to.
And then maybe just a follow-up on any directional color that you can sort of help with on new patient starts, relative maybe to 2025 or seasonally throughout the year of 2026 and maybe how that DTC advertising spend is going to help leverage the new patient starts in 2026?
Of course. The only -- we don't guide to patients start specifically. But the only point I'll kind of communicate to you all and is just to reiterate that Q1 is the weakest quarter seasonally. And we absolutely expect an uptick in new patient starts and then, of course, revenue to coincide in the second quarter.
And other than that, I think I'll just kind of leave it to our full year guidance as it relates to revenue, which I think kind of embeds what our expectations are and new patient starts. But the Q1 to Q2 jump is the largest seasonal step change that we think happens in the calendar year, and you'll see that, we believe, in our results.
Our next question comes from the line of Ryan Schuler with Wolfe Research.
Just one for me on competition. There was a competitor who did a recent IPO and another competitor who launched a nationwide product launch. Have you seen any changes in the competitive environment? And maybe where do you see the most opportunity today?
Yes. Good question. No. I mean, IPOs don't really have any bearing whatsoever on the actual market dynamics as far as we're concerned. So yes, we're well aware of that, of course, but no impact from our perspective. On the nationwide product launch of the other competitor, look, sure at some level, you hear about it. There's definitely news out there. I would point out that, that particular product is while being a very good product is quite similar to some of the other products on the market. And I do believe it's increasing competition with those other products quite a bit, quite a bit different from what we offer. And in general, you're the same person who's looking at our product like ours is not looking at that one.
So I would say a more muted impact to us, however. It's true that increased competition always that the margin is going to dilute everybody just a little bit. So I'd say that's unfortunate, but I wouldn't say that it didn't impact us all that much.
Beyond that and then that product, of course, has been known and available at some level for a while -- nothing really that's changed the narrative out there. There hasn't been a big product launch, a meaningful product launch that we're aware of for quite a while at this point, things are relatively stable. So for a company like Beta Bionics, our job is to continue to get the word out. We are offering a meaningfully differentiated product. That also means it's new. That also means it's different. It also means health care providers are not nearly as familiar with it as some of our competitors. So that's our job today. We've been doing it historically with a smaller sales force. And frankly, we've been doing it in a -- I don't want to call it a niche exactly, but a smaller portion of the market, meaning the tube pump market. And with all that being said, I think we really -- we like where we're at. We've taken meaningful share of the new patient starts every quarter, especially when considering our sales force, especially when considering the smaller portion of the market that we play into which is doing exactly what we do now. It's getting the information on our differentiated iLet system with our new algorithm out there, getting the health care providers familiar and setting us up to then bring that more nationally with an added sales force and then ultimately to the entire market with our Mint program.
So I think we're doing the right things to set ourselves up for long-term success here. But those are long-term statements, and I suppose I started with, yes, no recent evolutions of the market that we're aware of. So thank you. Thank you.
Ladies and gentlemen, I'm showing no further questions in the queue. And that concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Beta Bionics Inc — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Beta Bionics Inc — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Beta Bionics Inc. Q4 and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Blake Beber, Head of Investor Relations.
Good afternoon. and thank you for tuning into Beta Bionics Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Call. Joining me for today's call are Chief Executive Officer, Sean Saint and Chief Financial Officer, Stephen Feider. Both the replay of this call and the press release discussing our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results will be available on the Investor Relations section of our website. The replay will be available for approximately 1 year following the conclusion of this call. Information recorded on this call speaks only as of today, February 17, 2026. Therefore, if you're listening to any replay, time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate.
Also on our website is our supplemental fourth quarter 2025 earnings presentation and updated corporate presentation. We encourage you to refer to those documents for a summary of key metrics and business updates. Before we begin, we would like to remind you that today's discussion will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements reflect management's expectations about future events our product pipeline, development time lines, financial performance and operating plans. Please refer to the cautionary statements in the press release we issued earlier today for a detailed explanation of the inherent limitations of such forward-looking statements. These documents contain and identify important factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements. Please note that the forward-looking statements made during this call speak only as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update them to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, except to the extent required by law.
Today's discussion will also include references to non-GAAP financial measures with respect to our performance, namely adjusted EBITDA. Non-GAAP financial measures are provided to give our investors information that we believe is indicative of our core operating performance and reflects our ongoing business operations. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures facilitate better comparisons of operating results across reporting periods. Any non-GAAP information presented should not be considered as a substitution independently or superior to results prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to our earnings release and supplemental earnings presentation on the Investor Relations section of our website for a reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measure.
With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Sean.
Thanks, Blake. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining. With this call, we're officially turning the page on our first full year as a public company. It's been an exciting year to say the leastand I want to take a brief moment to reflect on it before we dive into the details of our Q4 and full year 2025 performance. Beta Bionics exists to deliver solutions to people with diabetes that reduce burden expand access and ultimately improve outcomes at the population level. We believe that in doing so, we can, for the first time, begin to lower the average A1c of people living with diabetes in the U.S.
Our performance over the last year is strongly indicative that we're on the right track. On our first earnings call, we shared our key targets for the full year 2025. And as we'll highlight in more detail shortly, we outperformed substantially on each of those metrics. Close to 20,000 new users adopted our technology in 2025, more than doubling our installed base entering the year, which now stands about 35,000 total users that have adopted the iLet since launch.
We added those users with what we believe is a substantially smaller sales force than our competitors, which we believe on a per territory basis made our sales reps potentially the most productive in the durable pump market in 2025. That goes to show you the power of our fully adopted algorithm, our robust ecosystem of digital tools to support our users, their caregivers and their providers and ultimately, our team's ability to execute and deliver results.
We continue to lead from the front on our pharmacy channel strategy for durable pumps and established formulary agreements with all the major pharmacy benefit managers or PBMs that operate in the U.S. We were also affected by driving adoption of those formulary agreements at the individual plan level, which is a critical step in the process that ultimately enabled many of our users to access the iLet and its related consumables for significantly lower out-of-pocket costs. We also believe our gross margin profile is already the strongest in the durable pump space, as evidenced by our performance this year, especially considering the success that we've seen in the pharmacy channel, which had a short-term dilutive effect on gross margin in 2025.
On the R&D side of the business, we took meaningful steps in the development of Mint, our Pachon program, which we unveiled to the world at our first Investor and Analyst Day in June. We also completed our first clinical trials as a drug company executing a PK/PD trial for our glucagon asset and a first-in-human feasibility trial for the entirety of our bihormonal system in development. I'm proud of all we've accomplished in 2025, and I look forward to 2026 as another year of relentless execution on our key objectives that we believe will ultimately position us to revolutionize diabetes care in the years to come. We have lots of ground to cover on today's call, beginning with our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results, Steven will then provide some additional detail on our fourth quarter performance before introducing our guidance for full year 2026. I'll wrap up the call with regulatory and pipeline updates, and then we'll take Q&A.
Starting with a brief overview of full year 2025 performance, I'm proud to announce that we delivered $100.3 million in net sales, which grew 54% year-over-year. Our gross margin of 55.4% expanded slightly year-over-year, while our percentage of new patient starts through pharmacy grew to a high 20s percentage for the full year 2025 relative to a high single-digit percentage in the prior year. To put it simply, these are excellent results. The iLet is winning with its unmatched automation.
Our highly transparent and inclusive real-world efficacy and safety outcomes are excellent and available for the world to see in our latest corporate presentation. Beyond the product, we're quickly innovating the business model for durable insulin pumps and we're remaining disciplined in our execution and cost control.
Diving into Q4 results. Specifically, we generated $32.1 million in net sales which represents 57% growth year-over-year. Q4 revenue growth was driven by a few items. Number one, we delivered 5,592 new patient starts in the quarter, which grew 37% year-over-year. Number 2 is our growing installed base of users accessing their monthly supplies for iLet through the pharmacy channel, whom we're retaining at a high level. Number 3 is modest favorability in stocking revenue that we saw in both the DME and pharmacy channels relative to the prior quarter year.
In pharmacy, in particular, we saw a modest pull forward of about $1 million of stocking orders from Q1 into Q4 and ahead of price increases that were implemented at the end of the year in that channel. In Q4, a low 30 percentage of our new patient starts were reimbursed to the pharmacy channel, increasing slightly relative to the prior quarter and substantially relative to the low teens percentage we saw in Q4 of the prior year. Our gross margin in Q4 was 59%, expanding 179 basis points year-over-year.
Gross margin expansion is being driven by the benefits of increased scale and manufacturing volume leverage, greater contribution of high margin revenue from our growing pharmacy installed base and continued cost discipline. .
With that, I'll hand the call over to Stephen to provide some additional color on our fourth quarter performance and introduce our full year 2026 guidance. Stephen?
Thanks, Sean. Our Q4 revenue, pharmacy mix and gross margin results exceeded our guidance across the board. While we don't guide on this metric, our 5,592 new patient starts grew 5% sequentially relative to the prior quarter which was in line with the lower end of our expectation for the quarter. While Q4 remains the strongest quarter seasonally for new patient starts in the diabetes market as it has been for us since we launched the iLet, we believe its relative strength compared to the other quarters is diminishing.
We believe that historically, Q4's relative strength was predicated on people with diabetes who waited to purchase an insulin pump until they met their out-of-pocket maximums for the year and before their deductibles reset in the new year. By waiting until their out-of-pocket maximums are reached, patients could save as much as $1,000 to $2,000 on a pump they purchased later in the year through the DME channel. Since 2023, the majority of new pump users in the U.S. have acquired their device to the pharmacy channel, where the majority of users can initiate and maintain therapy for under $50 per month.
Said another way, -- we believe that over the past few years, people with diabetes who may have previously waited until Q4 to adopt a new pump or waiting less frequently than they used to. Our pharmacy channel strategy enables us to compete for those new users and is a key reason why we've seen great adoption of the iLet throughout the year. In Q4, approximately 69% of our new patient starts came from people with diabetes that used multiple daily injections prior to starting the iLet, which is an important representation of how much the iLet is expanding the market for insulin pumps and addressing an unmet need.
Moving on to gross margin. Q4 gross margin was 59%, the improvement we saw in our Q4 gross margin relative to the prior year and the prior quarter was driven by 2 primary factors. Number one, growth in the pharmacy installed base, which generates high margin recurring revenue and where we continue to see strong patient retention; and number two, lower cost per unit from higher manufacturing volumes driven by growth in patient demand.
Total operating expenses in the fourth quarter were $35.1 million, an increase of 42% compared to $24.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2024. The increase in sales and marketing expenses relative to the prior year is driven by the expansion of our field sales team, which still stands at 63 territories exiting Q4. The increase in R&D expenses relative to the prior year is driven by the Mint and bihormonal projects. The increase in G&A expenses relative to the prior year is driven by new costs related to operating as a public company.
As of December 31, 2025, we have approximately $265 million in cash, cash equivalents and short and long-term investments. We are sufficiently capitalized to fund all our key initiatives and remain well positioned to begin generating free cash flow well ahead of historical diabetes peers. I'd now like to introduce our full year 2026 guidance. Starting with revenue. We expect to generate $130 million to $135 million of revenue in 2026. On our channel mix we expect 36% to 38% of our new patient starts to be reimbursed through the pharmacy channel.
Lastly, we expect gross margin to be between 55.5% and 57.5%. Our revenue guidance contemplates our expectations for the iLet to continue to expand the pump market while taking market share, stable and strong patient retention in both the DME and pharmacy channels, stable pricing in the DME channel, and a low single-digit increase in price for supplies sold through the pharmacy channel. Other key variables that may impact our revenue performance relative to our guidance include the percentage of new patient starts in the pharmacy channel, and the rate at which we expand our sales force throughout the year.
Our gross margin guidance contemplates our continued cost discipline, improved leverage of manufacturing overhead at greater scale and continued contribution of high-margin revenue from growing pharmacy installed base. Another key variable that could impact our gross margin performance is our pharmacy mix of new patient starts were meaningful changes from 1 quarter to the next can have a material impact on our near-term gross margin. A quick comment on operating expenses and CapEx. For 2026, we expect OpEx and CapEx to increase as a percentage of revenue relative to the prior year.
We expect both sales and marketing and R&D spend to accelerate on a year-over-year basis, driven by sales force expansions as well as Mint and bihormonal costs, respectively. We expect G&A spend to increase slightly year-over-year to support the organization as it scales. CapEx spend will accelerate predominantly related to Mint. In terms of revenue cadence we expect Q1 to decline sequentially from Q4 2025. As I mentioned earlier, while the growth of the pharmacy channel is muting traditional seasonality in the insulin pump market, Q4 remains the strongest quarter on a relative basis even if its relative strength is diminishing.
Q1 also continues to be the softest quarter on a relative basis due to annual deductible resets. While many patients do not wait for their medical deductibles to be met before purchasing an insulin pump, a portion still do. As a result, the pool of patients initiating therapy through the medical benefit is typically larger in the back half of the year, especially relative to Q1. In Q1 of 2025, we were able to partially offset this typical Q1 seasonality headwind for 2 primary reasons. Number one, we were still benefiting from momentum generated by our late 2024 product launches, including color iLet Bionic Circle and the Libre 3 Plus integration.
Number two, we meaningfully expanded pharmacy coverage in Q1 2025 through our agreement with Prime Therapeutics. That expansion allowed significantly more patients to access iLet earlier in the year with minimal out-of-pocket costs, driving incremental new patient starts. While we continue to view iLet as highly competitive in the market, we do not expect Q1 2026 to benefit from the same level of tailwinds. We did not have comparable product launches in late 2025. And although we anticipate incremental growth in pharmacy coverage from Q4 2025 to Q1 2026 -- we do not expect a similar step change in pharmacy coverage expansion as we experienced in Q1 2025.
Stepping back from Q1, we expect full year 2026 revenue to be slightly more weighted towards the first half of the year compared to 2025. In the first half of 2025, we experienced a significant increase in the percentage of new patient starts flowing through the pharmacy channel. That mix shift was dilutive to revenue in the first half, but became accretive in the back half of the year. In 2026, we again expect the pharmacy mix to increase with that growth weighted towards the front half of the year. However, we expect the magnitude of the shift to be more modest than what we saw in early 2025.
As a result, we expect a modestly higher revenue weighting in the first half of 2026 relative to the prior year. Beyond pharmacy mix, the other key variable that could influence revenue cadence throughout the year is the pace at which we expand our sales force. In 2026, we plan to add at least 20 new sales territories up from the 63 territories we had at the end of 2025. We expect to expand throughout the year as we identify high-quality sales reps in priority markets.
Going forward, however, we will no longer provide specific quarter-end territory counts in order to better align our disclosure practices with those of our peers. With that in mind, I'd like to address our approach to the new patient starts disclosure going forward. Since our IPO, we have provided exact new patient starts figures to support the investment community and understanding the complexity of our traditional DME channel model versus our innovative pay-as-you-go model in pharmacy. We now feel at this stage that the investment community has a strong understanding of our dual channel business model. Therefore, to better align our disclosure practices with industry peers, we will no longer provide an exact quarterly new patient starts figure.
That said, we remain committed to an industry-leading level of transparency, and we will continue to provide our quarterly revenue by product and channel. Our mix of new patient starts going through the pharmacy channel and quantitative trend-based commentary on new patient starts each quarter. Again, this is more disclosure and transparency than we typically see in the insulin pump space. We will continue to evaluate our disclosure strategy to align with industry practices while maintaining a leading level of transparency in line with our brand.
Shifting back to our 2026 guidance. Regarding the trajectory of gross margin throughout the year, we expect Q1 gross margin to decline relative to the levels we saw in the second half of 2025 driven by 2 factors. Number 1 is Q1 demand tends to be seasonally lighter, which translates to lighter manufacturing volume. Number 2 is we expect to see an increase in our mix of new patient starts in the pharmacy channel in Q1 as discussed earlier. Beyond Q1, we expect gross margin to sequentially improve in each quarter throughout the year as we drive more leverage from greater scale, and we generate more and more high-margin revenue from our growing pharmacy installed base.
Before I hand the call back to Sean, I want to say how proud I am with this team. And just our second full year on the market, we scaled past $100 million in revenue, high-need pharmacy reimbursement for a tubed insulin pump and made significant progress across our R&D programs. We did all that while operating with a level of cost discipline the industry simply hasn't seen. Energy and enthusiasm at Beta Bionics are high at their highest since joining the company. The team has filled is competitive people, all focused on winning and doing their very best for people living with diabetes. I'm excited.
With that, I'll hand the call back to Sean.
Thanks, Stephen. Before I get into the innovation pipeline, I'd like to address the warning letter that we received from the FDA in late January related to observations made by the agency following the inspection of our Irvine facility in June of 2025. After that inspection, the agency issued us a Form 43, which we highlighted on our previous earnings call. We take the FDA's observations very seriously. And following issuance of the Form 43, we immediately began remediation efforts to directly address the observations.
We were disappointed to receive a warning letter, but I remain proud of the incredible work our teams are doing to address the agency's concerns and confident in our ability to resolve them. We look forward to working together with the FDA to evolve and strengthen our quality systems and processes. I want to briefly highlight those key issues and discuss our remediation efforts and spirit of transparency and to instill confidence in the work we're doing to address the agency's concerns and ultimately close out the warning letter. First, the agency had several findings concerning our complaint handling system.
Specifically, they found that our definitions of complaints that rose to the level of Medical Device report or MDR, were not consistent with their expectations. This alignment is a hard thing to do without direct feedback from the FDA and and many companies have had to work through the exact issue with the agency to get it resolved. I'd like to highlight an example of what I'm talking about. In the agency's view, a reportable hypoglycemia event includes those that are self-treated with glucose drinks or candies. By contrast, prior to receiving feedback from the agency, our definition of a reportable hypoglycemia event included only those requiring third-party assistance which was aligned to the ADA's definition for severe hypoglycemia.
The FDA's view that self-treated hypoglycemia should also be reported isn't codified to us without direct feedback from the agency and through our collaboration. Beta Bionics has aligned our definition of reportability with the expectations of the agency and the warning letter seem to confirm that the agency agrees with our new criteria. These criteria often vary meaningfully between different companies in the industry. So 1 of the most important things that we're staying mindful of is collaboratively establishing and implementing practices that the agency agrees with, specifically in the context of Beta Bionics.
Another finding in the warning letter is that certain MDRs that were previously filed or caused to be filed by this change in definition were filed after the 30-day deadline. In many cases, these late filings were caused by the change in reportability definitions. Specifically, when we remediated old complaints that were previously not reportable and later became reportable, the 30-day time clock had already expired causing a number of late reports. Beta Bionics believes that both our new definition as well as our new complaint handling system will eliminate this problem in the future. We previously discussed that while we remediate our old complaints, an elevated MDR rate would be present and this remediation would last through Q2 of this year. We're on track with this remediation and reiterate our intention to have all of our old filings fully compliant by the end of Q2.
Additionally, findings in the warning letter relate to our procedures for tracking, trending and analyzing our complaint data to ensure our product meets expectations in the field. I want to be clear on this one. We certainly had procedures and they've been previously audited as acceptable. But as with most things, the more you use them, the more you can identify areas for improvement, and that's what happened here. We've been working on those improvements since June and are confident through our collaboration with the agency that we will sufficiently address their observations.
Another typical area that the agency had feedback on was our CAPA or corrective and preventative action system. Again, while we had a CAPA system, the agency found areas where we could have -- could have opened a CAPA and did not or could have done a better job with what we call VOE or verification of effectiveness which is the process to ensure that changes we make through the CAPA process work the agency's feedback was crucial to our understanding of where our CAPA process needed to evolve and this is another area that we've devoted a lot of attention towards remediating as it relates to the agency's observations.
And lastly, the agency had feedback on our corrections and removals procedure. In today's day and age, companies like Beta Bionics are in the advantageous position to be able to push out software updates to our products easily with firmware over-the-air updates. This is a benefit to our users as it allows the product to get better without users having to send it to us. However, the FDA takes a broad view of what constitutes a safety change, and their feedback was that there were certain software updates that we had made where we should have filed a corrections and removal report.
Beta Bionics must now file all the required reports and to be clear, these reports have to do with changes previously made to the software and no additional changes that we are currently aware of are required. We expect the agency will be satisfied with our response to their concerns here. As many of you may have noticed, there have been several warning letters recently issued in the diabetes space. From the limited public information available, these letters generally seem to have to do with this use concerning quality systems, indicating how challenging it can be to get these systems fully aligned with the FDA's expectations with our direct feedback from the agency. While these findings are serious, we also believe that they are straightforward and that our remediation of the systemic issues found is well underway.
I'm proud of our team's response to both the 43 and the subsequent warning letter -- and as we previously stated, we do not believe this warning letter impacts any of our previously shared time lines. Now for the fun stuff. Let's start with an update on Mint, our patch pump in development. I spoke earlier about our leadership in the durable pump space, propelled by our differentiated algorithm, pharmacy channel strategy and excellent gross margin profile. We expect that Mint will enable us to extend our leadership into the broader automated insulin delivery market beyond just the durables segment.
We expect Mint to be a game-changing product with an advantaged user experience from both a form factor and algorithm standpoint relative to other patch pumps on the market or in development. Our efforts in the pharmacy channel with iLet have been critical in terms of our ability to form key relationships with PBMs and payers that we'll leverage to build coverage for Mint. In many cases, we expect that existing contracts for iLet will be amended to incorporate Mint. And in other cases where we don't yet have coverage for the iLet in pharmacy, we expect to be able to generate coverage for Mint, given mechanisms for patch pump coverage already exist for the majority of payers.
On gross margin, we expect Mint's design will eventually enable us to drive industry-leading gross margins for any automated insulin delivery system at scale. In Q4, we continued to make great progress on Mint just tracking well towards key internal milestones on the way to unconstrained commercial launch by the end of 2027. Our work in Q4 continued to boost our confidence in the product's merit and ultimately, our ability to potentially obtain FDA clearance and manufacture at scale.
For our bihormonal system in development, in Q4, we completed our first in-human feasibility trial in New Zealand. This was our first time testing the entirety of the bihormonal system, inclusive of our glucagon asset in humans, which represents a key milestone for the program. The trial was highly informative to our go-forward development strategy and we continue to observe no safety signals for the glucagon asset. As we've progressed this development program, we've also gotten greater clarity from the agency on our regulatory path to approval for the system, which can be described in development phases.
We're currently in Phase IIa for the program, meaning we are conducting feasibility trials in small groups of patients to stress test the systems capabilities and iterated accordingly. The first in-human feasibility trial was just completed as part of Phase IIa, and we'll be initiating another Phase IIa feasibility trial in the first half of this year to stress test and iterate the system further in preparation for the more advanced stages of development. Following the completion of our upcoming Phase IIa trial, we expect to progress to Phase IIb, which we anticipate will be a much more robust feasibility trial that will enable us to advance to concurrent Phase III pivotal trials.
This pathway doesn't represent a change to our development program rather, it provides increased specificity to the expected requirements for our system to ultimately gain NDA approval for the glucagon asset and 510(k) approvals for the pump and algorithm. We continue to be extremely excited by the bihormonal system's potential to transform clinical outcomes for people with diabetes, but more importantly, the potential to transform the way people experience their diabetes and shift their mindset from diabetes being a disease that they manage to simply a disease that they have.
Lastly, on our innovation pipeline, I want to cover type 2 diabetes. In Q3, we continued to see some health care providers prescribe iLet to their type 2 patients off-label. We estimate that 25% to 30% of our new patient starts in Q4 were from Type 2, increasing slightly relative to the prior quarter. While we're not committing to a specific time line, we remain eager to pursue to diabetes label through the FDA. To conclude our prepared remarks, I want to highlight the key message from today's call. It's been about 2.5 years since we launched the iLet, and in that time, BetaBiotics has emerged as a leader in the durable insulin pump space. Our product is exceptional, and it's changing lives.
Our real-world evidence strategy is setting the gold standard for transparency in our industry, enabled by the iLet's automation, which has been shown to improve clinical outcomes regardless of our users baseline A1c or engagement with the product, -- our pharmacy channel strategy is making durable insulin pumps more accessible for our users than they've ever been. Our digital solutions are delivering users, their caregivers and their providers the information and support they need to generate the best outcomes possible on our product.
Our product is breaking the mold of what has historically believed to be possible in durable pumping, and we're delivering financial results that we're proud of. But our work doesn't stop here. We're working to expand our capabilities to the broader automated insulin delivery market with Mint and with the bihormonal system, we're looking to redefine how people experience their diabetes and the outcomes they can achieve. This cohesive strategy is what defines our business and what we believe will drive our ability to succeed over the short, medium and long term. Stay tuned.
With that, thank you all for joining today's call, and we'll now open the floor to Q&A. .
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from David Roman with Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
This is Phil on for David. Want to start with the top line. Last year, you delivered north of 20% upside to your initial sales guidance for the year despite stronger pharmacy conversion than initially anticipated. As we think about the forecast for this year, given the increasingly recurring nature of the business, our model only contemplates pretty modest new patient growth to be able to hit the high end of your guidance.
I guess -- could you talk a bit more about the level of conservatism that's still in guidance moving forward -- and any additional color you can give on the outlook for new patient starts embedded in this initial guidance?
Phil, Stephen. I appreciate the question. Look, I don't want to call the guidance for 2026 conservative. So I'm not going to use that word. I think -- and also, I'm not going to speak to exactly the new patient starts that are embedded in the guidance. But we do, of course, have confidence in hitting the guidance that we've communicated. And then the 1 little extra color I would add as it relates to the revenue guidance. Any time that we have dramatically outsized performance in the pharmacy channel, meaning the percentage of new patient starts that get reimbursed in pharmacy it creates a short-term headwind on revenue.
And so we do have to embed in our revenue guidance, knowing that we need to continue to beat -- to hit the revenue guidance that we communicate. We have to be ready for the fact that we could massively outperform on our pharmacy new patient starts percentage. And because of that revenue headwind, we do embed that in our 2026 revenue guide. .
Fair enough. The gross margin guidance for the year came in a little bit light of what we were expecting, given the underlying leverage in the back half of the year. Wondering how much of that maybe comes from your rate of pharmacy conversion versus underlying the direction of travel for underlying gross margins would be helpful. .
Yes. The point you just alluded to is really the reason for the gross margin guidance being where it is, besides the fact that, again, we like to have confidence in any particular guidance that we communicate. But in the event that we outperform on the percentage of new patient starts growth from 2025 to 2026. That again creates a short-term revenue headwind, but it also creates a short-term drag on our gross margin profile because, again, in the pharmacy business model, as you know, we give away the iLet for free, and then we charge a monthly recurring revenue -- we generate monthly recurring revenue of around $450 for all patients that continue using the product in the pharmacy channel.
But in the event that we massively outperformed our guidance in 2026 in terms of pharmacy new patient starts. That can -- again, will create a short-term drag on gross margin and hence, we're guiding gross margin where we have.
Our next question comes from Michael Polark with Wolfe Research.
I'm curious on the fourth quarter, just with all the focus on your starts performance of 5% sequentially. Have you developed a view as to what the pump market in the U.S. starts were up, how that performed Q-over-Q? Do you have a number of a chance, obviously, your peers are still mostly to report, I'm curious if you developed an opinion.
Yes, Mike, I appreciate the question. For the reasons that you stated, because our competitors haven't really published their earnings, we don't have a particular perspective on what our market share was in the fourth quarter and how that performed relative to Q3. So I'm sorry, I don't have a take on that yet. I'll wait to see our competitors' numbers.
Fair enough. For the follow-up, maybe about '26, I heard 20 new sales territories to be created, invested in, that's over 30% growth in territories. I know it will be done over the course of the year. I know you're not going to be too precise, but can you maybe comment 1H-2H centric, I think I'm interested in what the formal guidance has considered for the timing of those incremental territories.
Yes. Of course. The guidance is at least 20 territories will be expanding by in 2026, and there will be a large expansion in the first half of the year. I don't want to say that there won't be an expansion at some level in the second half, but there's much of that expansion is in the first half of the year.
Our next question comes from Matthew Blackman with TD Cowen.
Great. I just want to start, I want to make sure I -- so correct me if I've gotten some of this wrong, but it sounds like 1Q will be down more than, let's call it, roughly 14% quarter-over-quarter decline that you saw in 2025 versus 4Q '24. But then it sounded like first half of 2026 should be modestly higher than thing like 41% of the full year revenue we saw in the first half of 2025. Did I capture all of that correctly? Maybe start there. .
I'm sorry, Matt, can you -- you cut out a little on our end. I hope it's not us, but can you repeat the second half of your question there?
I think my headset cut out. So yes, let me do it again. I apologize. It sounded like your commentary for the first quarter was that it will be down more than I think the roughly, let's call it, 14%, you were down in the first quarter of '25 versus the fourth quarter of '24, but then you expect the first half of 2026 should be modestly higher than the first half revenue you saw in 2025? Did I capture that commentary correctly?
Yes, you did directionally. So I'm going to repeat some of that back to you. What we did say is that the -- there is seasonality to the business and this is with regards to the step change from Q4 to Q1. So there is seasonality to the insulin pump business. The biggest step change that we see in terms of seasonality in our businesses from Q4 to Q1, and you should expect a reduction in revenue and new patient starts from Q4 '25 to Q1 26. And that step change or that reduction should be larger than what you saw for both new patient starts and revenue than what you saw last year. So from, again, Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, that reduction, you should see a larger reduction from Q4 2025 to Q1 '26. And the reason for that is that there's product launches that were unique in Q4 2024 and notably the color iLet, which created a lot of pent-up demand in Q4 '24 and Q1 '25 that kind of obfuscated traditional seasonality. Again, we launched a color iLet that was smaller, massively different form factor.
And then the second thing is that we did see a very large uptick in the percentage of new patient starts going through the pharmacy channel from Q4 '24 to Q1 '25, which created also this demand improvement in those comparative periods. And we won't see the same from Q4 '25 to Q1 '26. So that's the first part of your answer is yes, and for all those reasons, I think that were important to share. The second part is I was -- in the prepared remarks, I was just commenting on the weighting of revenue, and we expect the weighting of revenue to be more heavily weighted towards first half 2026 than what we saw first half 2025 weighting to be, meaning, first half '25 revenue divided by total year '25 revenue, that percentage, that will be lower in '25 than what we'll see in '26.
Got it. Okay. I appreciate that. I guess the other question I wanted to ask I don't know if you have this handy, but even if just directionally thinking about the sales territory expansion in '26, is there a way to even roughly quantify how much of the addressable market you were able to cover in 2025. How much incremental the 20 territories would give you, again, even just directionally? And I guess, maybe most important, how much of a rate limiter do you think that's been in terms of iLet adoption .
Yes. All right. Well, another good question. I think that the right number of territories in the U.S. for an insulin pump company, and this is kind of a wide range because I want to reserve the right to change as we sort of grow here is somewhere between 120 to 180 sales territories. That's like when you have the level of sort of adoption that in particular, like, let's say, our patch pump competitor has, I think it's probably on the higher end of that. But the point is, I think, in order to cover all of the endocrinologists and high-prescribing primary care doctors in the country, you need somewhere between 120 to 180. And so for most of last year, as you know, we had 63 territories. So obviously, the simple math is we had half to 1/3 of the country covered -- now the reality is that our territories tended to be a little wider or a little larger.
So we are probably covering actually more than 33% to 50% of the entire country, but that gives you a directional understanding of how much of the country generally we were sort of addressing and what 20 incremental territories does. .
Our next question comes from Jon Block with Stifel.
Maybe just to pick up on that thread or to pull that thread a little bit. Maybe you guys can just talk to why are 20 reps the right number, right? It takes you to the low 80s. But Stephen, you just talked about a number, 120-plus. So when I think about exiting 2026, I mean you're that much closer to in you're that much closer to type 2 label as a possibility. So maybe just talk about why the organization with the balance sheet you have, wouldn't push a little bit harder and faster, just when we think about the number of reps that you're on loading or plan on load this year.
Yes, good question. And Sean, I'll start here and just if you want to jump in and add a little more. Look, we, of course, have confidence in the product that we're offering and -- and so expansion is absolutely the intention of the company. And we are underpenetrated in terms of doctors that are aware of what the iLet is and having a sales rep that's communicating to them what the great clinical outcomes are for their patients. So that absolutely is true. But I also did say that we were going to expand by at least 20, so I don't want us to just anchor on '20 is like on the low end of that and say that's the only amount that will be -- or that's the amount that we will be limited to in 2026 in terms of expansion.
And the last point I would make is that we are anticipating, as you know, from our R&D pipeline, we are anticipating future products, and Sean mentioned them in his prepared remarks. And I think embedded in sort of like our plan for the sales force expansion is being a little cagey here is sort of anticipation of future time when we have another product on the market. So there's that as well. .
I'll just add to that, John, that we always believe in being deliberate, right? I mean I don't think that you can realistically launch a product come out of the gate, hire 200 people and field 200 fully trained people and expect that your manufacturing line can produce that many -- the whole bit, right, there's so many systems, et cetera, that have to scale along with the number of reps and there's a lot of opportunities to get it wrong. Beta Bionics is playing the long game here, and I don't think anybody needs us to take over the world on day one.
So we're going to do this deliberately and conservatively at some level, and we're going to get it right.
Great. That's helpful. Maybe just a shift in I guess I'll go there. There is this hypoglycemia concerns or chatter, and it's out there. Maybe it's more Wall Street than Main Street, et cetera. But Sean, any data or metrics that you plan to share with -- the Street that might be forthcoming? And then maybe just to add on to that, I'm curious, in the real world or out in the field, what are your reps hearing or any blowback -- and has that evolved in the past 3 or 6 months?
Yes. Fair question, Jon. Well, first of all, in terms of data, I would point you to our current corporate deck on the website, which does speak to this. Look, our best information on the iLet, and of course, we see all of our data in our cloud, et cetera. I'll just say a few things. First of all, it's consistent with our clinical trial, right? We're seeing the same or even slightly lower rates of hypoglycemia that we saw in our clinical trial, it was clearly acceptable at that time. number one. Number two, those rates of hypoglycemia seem to be roughly 1/3 -- 1/4 to 1/3 of the ADA guidelines for hypoglycemia.
So we're meeting that metric by 4x. Again, I'll point you to our data on the corporate deck as well. But what I'm telling you is, to the best of our knowledge, yes, we hear the narrative. No, we don't see some outsized hypoproblem with any description, it is a true statement that people with diabetes do occasionally get low, they get low on every system. And in fact, if you look at severe hypoglycemic events, it's roughly an order of magnitude worse than it is with iLet or other AID systems.
But I do want to highlight a difference. And I believe I've talked about this before. And it's -- at this point, what we call the Tesla effect. People -- there are car crashes every day. But when a Tesla crashes, it's national news. I think the data at this point is clear. Teslas are safer than the average driver, full self driving, of course, is what I'm referring to. And yet, that's national news when something happens. We do believe that there is a version of that that's happening with the iLet. We've provided an increased level of automation than the world has ever seen with insulin pumps. There is very, very little to do for the user of an iLet.
However, lows do still happen when a person chooses their dose, gives that dose goes for a walk and gets low, they think, wow, I probably shouldn't have done that. When a user utilizes the iLet doesn't choose a dose at any level and then goes for a walk and gets low, they think look at what this thing did to me. So I think that's where that's coming from. And I think it's somewhat natural that Beta Bionics will live that world because we are the tip of the spear in terms of automation and insulin pumps here. But again, I'll focus back on what I started my response with all of the data that we've published all the data we are aware of, do not indicate any level of outsized typo problem with the iLet.
Our next question comes from Matthew O'Brien with Piper Sandler.
Congrats on getting to $100 million in sales so quickly. Maybe just a follow-up on -- you welcome maybe to follow up on Phil's question to start with. Just on the guide, even if you go to the midpoint of the range, the absolute dollar number is actually lower in '26 versus '25, and you're getting the benefit of all these pharmacy patients from a revenue perspective here at 26% versus 25%. So is there something else that's contemplated in here that we should be thinking about? I don't know if it's potential impact of the warning letter or competition or higher attrition because more pharmacy, -- anything like that specifically to call out here in terms of this initial guide versus what you kind of did on an absolute basis last year? .
Matt, good question. And I appreciate the congrats. In short, no, there's no odd characteristics of the competitive landscape that we're particularly afraid of. We're not seeing any elements of our pharmacy business model where there's attrition that's trending any different than what we've seen. And by the way, we've had great retention on the product -- we're just setting a guide that we have confidence in and we feel good about.
Okay. Very fair. And then on the gross margin side, I mean, the number in Q4 is eye-popping as far as how you did on the gross margin side for the range that you gave for the rest of for '26, it just implies a pretty big step down in the first half of this year. So I'm just wondering if there's something maybe even in the back half that you're contemplating, I don't know, is that a, we could start to see some Mint sales? Is that something that just to be specific on Mint, do you still expect to be second to market as far as [indiscernible] scale? .
I'll let you answer the question on Mint. But yes, as it relates to -- sorry, I just lost my train, can you take the Mint question.
Yes, sure. And to be clear, when you said you can take the question, I don't think he met you, I think you met me -- all right. So on Mint, I don't recall exactly the statements we've made in the past on order of release. And I, frankly, Matt, don't remember the exact details of when all of our competitors are currently saying they're about to come to market. What we're doing today is reiterating our time line of an unconstrained launch by the end of '27, so that's what I'll commit to. But I'm not going to call our shot on exactly what position that puts us in because, frankly, we don't have visibility to what others are doing. And thanks for the eye popping comment, Stephen.
Yes. And in terms of the gross margin guide for the year, yes, obviously, 59% in Q4 is a great number. I think something notable about Q4 gross margin was that we didn't see a big uptick in the percentage of pharmacy new patient starts from Q3 to Q4 2025. But remembering that, that particular metric for us is only so predictable. So obviously, we do guide to that metric in 2026. But in the event that it outperforms our expectations, which it has the possibility to do, we have to be ready for a short-term headwind on our gross margin profile. And so hence, that's embedded in the guidance. But there's nothing competitive about the product or there's no like new problem or they're not seeing an uptick in warranty rates or anything of that nature. It's just, again, simply us being careful in the event that a particular metric outperforms what we've communicated.
Our next question comes from Mike Kratky with Leerink Partners. .
Maybe just to start, now that we're more than halfway through the first quarter, can you share any qualitative or quantitative commentary around what you've seen so far year-to-date in terms of new starts -- and if that's aligned with your expectations on seasonality and your outlook for the sequence from 4Q to 1Q?
Yes. Yes, I guess I'm going to kind of repeat something I already had communicated. So sorry, this is just a regurgitation, Mike, although I do certainly appreciate the question. So as it relates to the first quarter, there absolutely is seasonality in the insulin pump business -- and where we see the largest step change in seasonality is from the fourth quarter to the first quarter. And so you should expect a reduction in revenue and new patient starts from Q4 2025 to Q1 2026. And you should expect that reduction in new patient starts, in particular, to be larger than what we saw and what we saw in the last year's reduction. So last year's reduction was [ 6% ] reduction for reasons that I've already communicated regarding new product launches and the change in pharmacy adoption, you should expect our production to be in excess of that 6%.
Understood. And just a follow-up. I think 1 thing that stood out in the guidance in that 36% to 38% of expected pharmacy mix. So to get to the upper end of that range exiting this year in the low 30s, -- is it fair to think that you could be above 40%? And what needs to happen in order to achieve that? .
Yes. Look, I don't want to call it like a number above our guide. Obviously, we guide to the 36% to 38% for a reason. But what would have to happen for us to outperform that. And by the way, that is, of course, possible as well, first of all, we need PBM agreements, which we have most -- almost -- over 80% of all lives in the country covered under a PBM agreement. So for the most part, that's a green check box. And then the next, we need the underlying health plans associated with those PBMs. We need an underlying agreement with those. And that's where the lion's share of the work still is left to grow our pharmacy adoption from where it is today to be coming mostly mostly or all a pharmacy reimbursed product.
But like in terms of specifics, I mean, we have some Medicaid contracts some Medicaid programs where we -- or states where we're seeing Medicaid coverage, and we can continue to grow more of those those state adoptions for Medicaid and then underlying plan agreements, again, associated with the already existing PBM contracts that we have. But it absolutely is possible for us to outperform the guide.
Will remind everybody that these things do tend to be a little front-half weighted. They do happen throughout the year, but it does tend to occur a little heavier in the front half of the year. .
Our next question comes from Richard Newitter with Truth Securities.
This is Philippe on for Rich. I guess just a follow-up on Mint, you guys are clearly guiding to a step-up of CapEx spend for the platform and investing. So I'm just wondering if you could maybe just give any update on like where are you at on the checklist before submission -- any color would be helpful.
Yes. Sorry, Filipe, I don't think we're going to go beyond what we've said in prepared remarks in terms of exact status cement at this point. I'm sorry. .
No, no problem. And then just a follow-up. On pharmacy, you guys have a bunch of competitors now that are durable competitors who are starting to make progress in channel. So I'm just wondering One, like how -- are you seeing any impact to your contract like conversations with PBMs? And then two, I guess, like if there are more low-cost durable pump options like how does that maybe potentially impact you competitively on the go forward?
I'd like to start this 1 and maybe you can provide some color, Stephen. I would say that the conversations are evolving slightly and that you're right. There's more people out there, more durable pump companies now knocking on the doors. And -- from my perspective, that's a positive because it's providing an expectation that this is exactly how these things are covered. Beta Bionics was the company to go out and start this conversation, and we were pretty successful doing it. But with everybody following along, it's just a bit of a tidal wave of momentum that's going to help the entire industry move there. And -- to the extent that pharmacy is a competitive advantage, we love that. But the reality is it's an improved business model to allow these companies to operate better and a better experience for our users. So we're happy to have pioneered that, and we're happy to have more momentum moving in that direction. So -- that's the color. But Stephen, anything to add to that? .
I think well said.
Our next question comes from Jeff Johnson with Baird.
Coming to go back to the territory question. I know a few questions have been asked here on it. But -- as we track some of the metrics for you guys, it does look like you maybe and I'll stress or maybe higher than 40 or some new sales reps that would cover about 20 territories just in the last couple of months. And again, our visibility isn't clear on that by any means. But I guess, Sean, I don't hear from you, and I do have 1 follow-up question then, but I'd love to hear from you, -- how much of that was maybe backfilling reps. We've actually lost more or 2 of your reps that we've talked to over the last year, 1.5 years. So it feels like maybe there's been a little bit of rep departure, but how much of that was backfilling reps versus higher and expanding territories over the last couple of months?
Yes, Jeff, thanks for the question. I'm not going to comment on exactly how many people we've hired recently, just not going to do it. What I will say is we are always hiring backfills at some level. in any group of like I said, 63 territories 126 people or whatever that is, you're going to have turnover for multiple reasons, some for performance, some for other jobs that were offered what have you and you're always going to be backfilling. So there is some of that going on at all times, but I'm not going to comment on exactly how many we may have hired outside of that group or even in that group recently.
Yes, fair enough. Understood. Yes. No, Stephen, maybe clarifying. You talked about 1 million pull forward in PDMChannel, from Q1 into Q4. I think as -- I can't remember a conversation with you or someone else over the last month or so as we kind of were trying to titrate our '26 model. it sounded like there was going to be maybe $10 million to $12 million in additional stocking in mostly in supply, some in pumps. Is that still the right number to be thinking about as a component of your revenue guidance for '26 -- and how would that $10 to $12 million if we're ballpark accurate compared to maybe total stocking you saw in 2025. .
Yes. I actually don't I think I've ever communicated any particular number on what the stocking dynamic would be for 2026 in terms of dollars. So the $10 million to $12 million actually isn't -- it's not it wouldn't be even directionally accurate. So in terms of -- yes, I guess that number is not accurate, and I don't really want to comment on it. .
Our next question comes from Travis Steed with Bank of America Securities.
I guess -- just want to make sure we've got the Street models in the right place. I see $27 million in Street models for Q1. Taking all the comments you've given. Is that kind of the right place to be? Or does that need to move 1 way or the other? .
Yes, that's directionally accurate. .
Okay. And then gross margin, I think that 54% in Q1. Is that the right place to be roughly as well?
I don't want to comment specifically on any quarterly guidance as it relates to margin. .
Okay. And there were some comments on stepping up OpEx as a percent of sales in 2016. Just wanted to try to think about how much of that's R&D sales and marketing versus G&A? And kind of the how much of that pipeline versus kind of sales force expansion? And kind of any color on how that kind of rolls out.
Yes. I don't want to -- I'm not going to give you a numeric answers for how much to expand sales of each of those particular line items. But the most notable expansions in terms of OpEx will be numer one to sales and marketing for reasons that we discussed already with the sales force expansion. But we're also going to see a pretty dramatic uptick in investments in marketing, notably some direct-to-consumer advertising and some marketing branding for direct-to-patient initiatives. And then the second thing is relates -- sort of the other line item to comment on is with regards to R&D investments. And there's various projects that Sean outlined in his prepared remarks that we're working on. And as a result of those particular projects, notably the bihormonal program and Mint, you will see an uptick in R&D expense in 2026, that's pretty meaningful from 25%. And then G&A will be -- will show a very mild increase.
Our next question comes from Frank Takkinen with Lake Street Capital Markets.
I have 1 follow-up on pharmacy channel starts related to the 36% to 38% guidance. How should we think about that cadencing. Is there an element of DME having more pronounced seasonality in Q1, potentially resulting in that pharmacy channel start number actually starting higher in Q1 and then kind of staying flat. -- throughout the year? Or is that not a phenomenon that occurs? .
Sure. Yes. That's a really good question. Unfortunately, it layers a couple of things on top 1 another. They make it a little bit hard to answer. So let me talk about seasonality for a quick moment. Historically, seasonality in DME was a question of early in the year, you have this big co-pay, eventually start meeting your co-pays and it gets cheaper to get a pump. So people were waiting to get that pump to later in the year. Now with pharmacy being available all year around with certain competitors, we think that the waiting aspect has gone away instead of waiting for 1 pump, you would just get a different pump right now. So that decreases the vast increases at the end of the year that we see. However, and this is associated with your question. Q1, you're still going to see a drop because you do still see resets of deductibles. So people who would have come to you in, let's say, December and been able to get the pump for relatively 0 out-of-pocket costs May in January, have a higher out-of-pocket cost. So that's why the pronounced drop in January. And I'm losing my question.
Yes. I guess, Frank, does that make sense? .
Yes. That's sort of helpful. I think the really the concept of just DME starting at a higher -- or sorry, pharmacy is starting at a higher percent of total starts in Q1 and then kind of staying flat? Or like how does that farms trend throughout the year?
Thanks a reminder, Frank. So pharmacy coverage goes up earlier in the first half of the year more in the first half of the year than it does the second half of the year, right? So that's going to be 1 layer. Additionally, you're right. likely a higher percentage in Q1, holding everything else constant, would go through a pharmacy because of the DME decisions being made. So those 2 things layer in. But again, it's not unlike seasonality we've talked about in the past, there's more than 1 thing causing that. So I think it becomes kind of hard to predict. But directionally, yes, you should probably see a higher -- well anyway, those 2 things are on top of 1 another. Hopefully, that makes sense. .
Yes. That's great. And then just 1 quick follow-up. Just can you talk about the Phase IIb a little bit more? I heard the prepared remarks, but just maybe what are you looking for exactly in that Phase IIb before kicking up to pivotal.
From Beta Bionic side, the Phase IIb is primarily about confidence that when we get into the pivotal, we're going to have success. Over the course of Beta Bionics history with the vibromonal trial, and this has been true all the way from, I don't know, 2007 until now, -- all of the trials that we've run, all of the formative trials that we run, that we now call 2A trials were very, very small. And we've polished a bunch in the past. I won't rehash it now. it can be very difficult to extrapolate the results of a several hundred patient year-long clinical trial from a very short, small end trial. So -- it's a bit of a diligence item to walk before you run and just step up and make sure we're not going to get to an enormous trial and really fall. So that's primarily what that's about. And the agency would have slightly different words for that. But I think at the end of the day, it would be a similar reasoning. .
Our next question comes from Danielle Antalffy with UBS.
Just a question here on type and less about the time line for approval, et cetera. But just at a high level, how you guys think about that market as you already the adoption of iLet in type 2. We hear at the very pump for type 2 patients. So go-to-market strategy in that patient population, probably a little bit different than type 1, particularly given where the patients are managed. So I'm just curious about how you guys are thinking about that ahead of a potential FDA approval there and sort of really getting after that.
Yes. Good question, Danielle. I think you just identified the right point there, which is where the patients are managed. And I think what I'll illustrate, and I think you know this from your very question, is that in the endocrinology space, the health care providers have proved to be quite mature and understanding of what the iLet is and other products are, and they know where they can be utilized. And that's exactly what we're seeing across the different devices. In the primary care space, that's probably going to be less true. And so I think it does become more important that type 2 indication is there by the time we start to market meaningfully in the primary care space. which we've already said that we don't have a primary care sales force at this point. So -- and the way we intend to do that is a little bit different.
But I do agree that a type 2 indication is going to be extremely important there because -- well, for the reasons that you implied. So we're aware of that dynamic.
And Danielle, thanks for launching coverage on us. Great work.
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Jeffrey Cohen with Ladenburg Company.
I wonder if you could dive into R&D a little bit as far as '26 with regard to cadence throughout the year. I know you had called out just an incremental increase across the board. .
Yes. So I don't want to speak specifically on what timing of the investments you'll see in R&D. But generally, Jeff, you can expect consistent investments -- a consistent pattern of investments throughout the year. There may be some lumpiness when we say start trials or the like, but I wouldn't model anything more heavily -- significantly heavily weighted in 1 quarter or another. .
Okay. That's helpful. And you all to maybe taking some pricing in the pharmacy channel. Any plans for the DMA channel? Or what are you expecting or pricing throughout the year? .
Yes. As we alluded to, we took a small -- or a low single-digit price increase in pharmacy for our supply revenue and then no change to your modeling for DME revenue price.
Thank you. This concludes the conference. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Beta Bionics Inc — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Beta Bionics Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, and welcome to the Beta Bionics Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to Blake Beber, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Good afternoon, and thank you for tuning in to Beta Bionics Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Joining me for today's call are Chief Executive Officer, Sean Saint; and Chief Financial Officer, Stephen Feider. Both the replay of this call and the press release discussing our third quarter 2025 results will be available on the Investor Relations section of our website. The replay will be available for approximately 1 year following the conclusion of this call.
Information recorded on this call speaks only as of today, October 28, 2025. Therefore, if you are listening to any replay, any time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate. Also on our website is our supplemental third quarter 2025 earnings presentation and updated corporate presentation. We encourage you to refer to those documents for a summary of key metrics and business updates.
Before we begin, we would like to remind you that today's discussion will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements reflect management's expectations about future events, our product pipeline, development timelines, financial performance and operating plans. Please refer to the cautionary statements in the press release we issued earlier today as well as our SEC filings, including our Form 10-Q filed today for a detailed explanation of the inherent limitations of such forward-looking statements. These documents contain and identify important factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements.
Please note that the forward-looking statements made during this call speak only as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update them to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, except to the extent required by law.
Today's discussion will also include references to non-GAAP financial measures with respect to our performance, namely adjusted EBITDA. Non-GAAP financial measures are provided to give our investors information that we believe is indicative of our core operating performance and reflects our ongoing business operations. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures facilitate better comparisons of operating results across reporting periods.
Any non-GAAP information presented should not be considered as a substitution independently or superior to results prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to our earnings press release and supplemental earnings presentation on the Investor Relations section of our website for a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measure.
With that, I'd now like to turn the call over to Sean.
Thanks, Blake. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining. We're proud to share with you all today the details of our strong performance in the third quarter as well as discuss our updated annual projections for the full year 2025.
Starting with our performance in the third quarter, we continue to make key advances across our business, both commercially and in our innovation pipeline. Demand for the iLet, both in existing practices as well as new practices continues to exceed our expectations. And in the third quarter, we saw a record number of both new patient starts as well as the percentage of those new patient starts going through the pharmacy channel. The iLet automation and adaptation continue to set a new standard for our industry, simplifying and alleviating the burden of managing diabetes for our users, their caregivers and their health care providers. but we're not stopping there. And we're continuing to push the envelope on key innovations to our pipeline that I believe will enable Beta Bionics to disrupt ourselves in the future and deliver even more life-changing solutions to people with diabetes and the community that supports them.
During today's call, I'll begin by covering our Q3 results, which exceeded our expectations across the board. Stephen will then discuss our Q3 performance and updated full year 2025 guidance in more detail. Lastly, I'll share some exciting updates across our innovation pipeline, including iLet and some new features we recently rolled out; Mint, which is our patch pump in development; and lastly, our bihormonal system in development.
Let's begin with an overview of our Q3 2025 performance. I'm pleased to share that we delivered $27.3 million in net sales, which grew 63% year-over-year. Q3 revenue growth was predominantly driven by 5,334 new patient starts in the quarter, which grew 68% year-over-year as well as our growing installed base of users accessing their monthly supplies for iLet through the pharmacy channel.
In Q3, a low 30s percentage of our new patient starts were reimbursed through the pharmacy channel, which is significantly higher than the high single-digit percentage we saw in Q3 of the prior year and increasing sequentially compared to the high 20s percentage we saw in Q2 of this year.
As of the end of Q3, Beta Bionics has greater than 80% of insured lives in the U.S. covered under formulary agreements with pharmacy benefit managers, or PBMs, including all the major PBMs that operate in the U.S. However, patients covered under those formulary agreements do not yet benefit from the pharmacy channel until the health plans that partner with those PBMs adopt the iLet for reimbursement under their pharmacy benefit. which is why the over 80% of covered lives under PBM agreements differs from the low 30s percent of our new patient starts that actually benefited from accessing iLet and its consumables through the pharmacy channel during the quarter.
Driving adoption of the iLet as a pharmacy benefit at the health plan level remains a core focus of ours, and that is why we share the percentage of new patient starts going through the pharmacy as the right KPI to use to measure our progress in that channel, not just the PBM covered lives percentage, which does not account for pull-through at the health plan level.
Shifting now to gross margin. Our gross margin in the quarter was 55.5%, up 212 basis points compared to 53.4% in Q3 of 2024 and up 167 basis points sequentially relative to 53.8% in Q2 of this year.
Last quarter, we guided towards sequential gross margin expansion in Q3 of this year relative to the prior quarter. citing benefits of increased scale and manufacturing volume leverage, greater contribution of high-margin revenue from our growing pharmacy installed base and continued cost discipline. We delivered in all those areas in Q3 and expect that each of those factors will continue to provide a tailwind to gross margin in Q4, as Stephen will discuss in more detail shortly.
Looking ahead, I'm confident in the direction this business is headed in. The iLet's highly differentiated, fully adaptive closed-loop algorithm is producing phenomenal real-world outcomes, and those outcomes are resonating with users, caregivers, providers and payers. We're expanding availability for the iLet in the pharmacy channel, enabling more people with diabetes to access insulin pump therapy with minimal to no upfront out-of-pocket costs.
The 20 new territories we onboarded toward the end of Q1 of this year have hit the ground running, and they're validating our strategy to remain disciplined and highly selective in our sales force hiring as we look forward.
With that, I'll hand the call over to Stephen to provide some additional color on our third quarter performance and full year 2025 guidance and later wrap up the call with some important updates on our pipeline. Stephen?
Thanks, Sean. Approximately 70% of our 5,334 new patient starts in Q3 came from people with diabetes that used multiple daily injections prior to starting the iLet, which is an important representation of how much the iLet is expanding the market for insulin pumps and addressing an unmet need.
We believe the iLet is a game changer given its unique simplicity and ease of use, powered by the most advanced adaptive algorithm available. Given its simplicity, we're able to reach a broader group of patients and providers that were previously inaccessible to existing automated insulin delivery players, and we're seeing that in our results.
Turning to gross margin. The improvements we saw in our Q3 gross margin relative to the prior year and the prior quarter are driven by 2 primary factors: number one, growth in the pharmacy installed base, which generates high-margin recurring revenue and where we continue to see strong patient retention; and number two, lower cost per unit from higher manufacturing volumes, driven by growth in patient demand.
Shifting to operating expenses. Total operating expenses in the third quarter were $32.2 million, an increase of 62% compared to $19.9 million in the third quarter of 2024. The increase in sales and marketing expenses relative to the prior year is driven by expansion of our field sales team, which still stands at 63 sales territories exiting Q3. The increase in R&D expenses relative to the prior year is driven by the Mint and bihormonal programs. The increase in G&A expenses relative to the prior year is driven by new costs related to operating as a public company.
Let's discuss cash. As of September 30, 2025, we have approximately $274 million in cash, cash equivalents and short- and long-term investments. We are sufficiently capitalized to fund all of our key initiatives and positioned to begin generating free cash flow well ahead of historical diabetes peers.
Turning to our updated full year 2025 guidance. We are raising guidance across the board. We project total revenue for the full year of 2025 will be greater than $96.5 million, up from our prior guidance of $88 million to $93 million. This means we project sales of at least $28.5 million in Q4 2025. For the full year 2025, we now expect 27% to 29% of our new patient starts to be reimbursed through the pharmacy channel versus our prior guidance of 25% to 28%. This implies that we project our pharmacy mix as a percentage of new patient starts in Q4 to be similar to the mix we saw in Q3.
I want to point out a couple of factors that could create variability to the upside or downside in our pharmacy mix of new patient starts in Q4. On one hand, we continue to drive more adoption of the iLet under the pharmacy benefit at the health plan level, which pushes pharmacy mix higher.
On the other hand, new patient starts in the DME channel tend to be strong in Q4 because many people have hit their out-of-pocket maximum and can receive their pump and supplies at no cost until year-end. Taking those dynamics together, we expect Q4 pharmacy mix as a percentage of new patient starts to be similar to Q3 but recognize there is potential for that mix to trend higher or lower based on those dynamics.
Moving on to gross margin. We are raising our outlook to 54% to 55% gross margin for the full year 2025 versus our prior guidance of 52% to 55%. This means we project Q4 gross margin to be in line with or improve slightly relative to Q3. We are increasing guidance at the low end and midpoint of the range for a couple of reasons.
Number one, embedded in our revenue guidance raise and pharmacy mix guidance raise is a raise in our expectations for new patient starts, and that increased scale should generate a lower per unit cost through manufacturing volume leverage. And number two, we expect to benefit from our growing pharmacy installed base, where the large number of new pharmacy users year-to-date, combined with the strong retention of those users, produces high margin recurring revenue in Q4 and beyond.
We continue to contemplate the impact of existing and potential tariffs in our full year gross margin guidance. We are aware of recent initiatives focused on reevaluating the application of tariffs in our industry and do not have a reason at this time to believe that duty-free exemptions from custom components of the iLet and its consumables are in any jeopardy.
With that, I'll hand the call back to Sean to discuss updates on our innovation pipeline. Sean?
Thanks, Stephen. As I've stated before, our goal with our pipeline programs is to disrupt the industry and disrupt ourselves.
Let's start with an update on Mint, our patch pump in development. We've spoken at length in the past about the key advantages of Mint's 2-piece design architecture, where we believe we've chosen a design that creates an advantaged user experience relative to other patch pumps currently on the market and in development. Our design choices spanning from a patch change experience that doesn't require phone interaction to eliminating the need for recharging and to enabling firmware over-the-air updates are all in service of user experience.
Add those advantages to our industry-leading algorithm, which has been shown to produce excellent clinical outcomes independent of user engagement, and we believe that Mint will be a true game changer when it commercializes.
In Q3, we continued to execute according to plan on our Mint timelines and remain highly confident in our ability to gain 510(k) clearance for the product as well as manufactured at scale. Our goal remains to commercialize Mint with an unconstrained commercial launch by the end of 2027, meaning we expect to be able to fully support demand for the product by that time.
Shifting to our bihormonal pump program. In September, we completed our pharmacokinetic, pharmacodynamic or PK/PD bridging trial for our glucagon asset. Full results from that trial are in line with our expectations, and we believe such results are supportive of the continued development of our glucagon asset for use in our biohormonal system and development.
In Q4 of this year, we expect to initiate a feasibility trial of our biohormonal system to test it in humans for the first time with our glucagon asset before progressing the asset to any larger scale studies. As a reminder, the PK/PD study was the first-in-human trial for our glucagon asset, but the biohormonal system also includes our bihormonal pump and algorithm for insulin and glucagon dosing, and we're yet to test that system using our glucagon asset in humans such that we believe the best strategy is to run at least one biohormonal system feasibility trial before progressing to pivotal trials.
There is no change to our expectations that we'll conduct concurrent pivotal trials to fulfill the requirements for a 505(b)(2) NDA with a chronic drug indication for glucagon and the ACE and IAGC 510(k)s for the pump and algorithm, respectively. We continue to be extremely excited by the biohormonal system's ability to transform clinical outcomes for people with diabetes, but more importantly, the ability to transform the way people experience their diabetes and shift their mindset from diabetes being a disease that they manage to simply a disease that they have.
To highlight another recent win in our pipeline, on September 29, we received a special 510(k) clearance for certain feature updates for the iLet. These updates focused on improving the usability of the pump. We introduced an improved workflow for the cartridge change process to make it more seamless for the user and eliminated redundant low glucose alerts to ensure our users are focusing on the alerts that matter most, while reducing alert fatigue. These updates are illustrative of both the intent we have in listening to feedback from our users as well as the speed with which we operate in an effort to ensure our users' needs are consistently met every day.
There's one more update that I'd like to discuss on the regulatory front. In late June, the FDA issued a Form 483 following an inspection. The Form 483 is primarily related to our customer complaint handling system and our criteria for reporting complaints to the FDA, which are ultimately reflected in the FDA's Manufacturer and User Facility Device Experience database, also known as the MAUDE database. The result of the FDA's inspection is not unusual in our industry as numerous precedents the agency has set for our peers at similar stages would suggest.
We believe that in those instances, Beta Bionics and our peers likely develop similar definitions for what constitutes a reportable complaint prior to the FDA's feedback. And each company has successfully taken the steps required to align reporting with the FDA standards. We are no different, and our remediation efforts to the Form 483 are straightforward and well underway.
Regarding the change to the criteria for reporting complaints to the FDA, we revised our definition of what complaints are reportable to better align with the broader industry standards. Our revised standard operating procedure for reportable complaints took effect in late July, which resulted in a notable increase in reportable complaints in August and September.
To cite some examples of how our definition of reportable complaints has changed, prior to the 483, we were not reporting complaints such as the device screen cracking or a hypo or hypoglycemic event that did not require medical intervention. We now report these types of complaints to the FDA given they could result in an adverse event if ignored.
I want to make something abundantly clear. While the number of complaints we have reported to the FDA increased, most notably in August and September after the new system went live, this is not the result of a change to the underlying complaint or adverse event rate relative to our installed base.
In terms of what to expect going forward, since we received the Form 483 in June, we've submitted monthly progress reports to the agency. We're confident that our new complaint handling system and reporting system meets or exceeds the expectations laid out by the agency in their Form 43 observations.
As part of this process, we will be applying the new reporting criteria to all historical complaints we have received since the iLet launched. That remedial filing process started very recently. As such, we expect to see the number of MAUDE entries relative to our installed base increase considerably from October to November and remain elevated until we have completed the remediation process as both current and historical complaints will layer on top of each other.
We expect to complete the remediation process by the end of Q2 2026, at which time the number of MAUDE entries relative to our installed base will fall as historical reports are no longer being submitted.
Shifting to the topic of type 2 diabetes. In Q3, we continued to see some health care providers prescribed iLet to their type 2 diabetes patients off label. We estimate that over 25% of our new patient starts in Q3 were from type 2, which is consistent with the prior quarter. While we're not committing to a specific timeline, we remain eager to pursue the type 2 diabetes label to the FDA.
To conclude the prepared remarks portion of today's call, I want to highlight the key points that we hope you take away from our discussion. Number one, iLet's differentiation is resonating wider and deeper in the market. Number two, our commercial strategy is working, and we're continuing to execute relentlessly toward the goal of making iLet the new standard of care.
Lastly, we're aiming to build the most innovative pipeline in the industry with the goal of disrupting the industry and ourselves, and we continue to make progress on each key pipeline initiative every day. This is a business that we believe is set up for sustainable success over the near, medium and long term, and we're excited to continue sharing updates with you all as we continue to execute.
With that, thank you all for tuning in, and we'll now open the call for Q&A.
[Operator Instruction] Our first question comes from Mike Kratky with Leerink Partners.
2. Question Answer
The fact that you're creeping up on $100 million in revenue for the year and at a much higher rate of pharmacy mix than we've been expecting is super impressive. So, congrats on the ongoing execution. Just to that point, can you share some additional color on what's driving that momentum you're seeing? What factors really seem to be contributing to that demand? And can you talk about the cadence of new starts throughout the third quarter, specifically that's shaping your assumptions on the fourth quarter?
Yes, Mike, first of all, thanks a lot for that. Appreciate it. In terms of what's driving the quarter, I mean, frankly, I don't think it's anything different than it has been driving our success all along. We do see the iLet as a new category of device. And fundamentally, that takes a bit of time, right? We're not launching just another insulin pump here. We're launching an insulin pump that you have to think a little differently about -- and that takes time. And necessarily, we're going to see increased adoption as the world gets it more and more over time. And I think we just saw that continuing. But I don't think there's any particular initiative that I could point to uniquely in Q3 that really impacted the quarter. Stephen, can you comment further?
Yes. Cadence in demand, I'll just address that briefly. It was generally consistent across the entire quarter. So, nothing, really to read into in terms of timing of demand and where it was relative to the upcoming quarter.
Understood. And maybe just one quick follow-up. In terms of things that are out of your control, how does the government shutdown impact your assumptions on timing for the Mint launch, if at all?
I would say it doesn't currently have an impact on our expectations for timing. We reiterated those earlier in the call. Yes, I'll leave it at that.
Our next question comes from David Roman with Goldman Sachs.
Maybe I'll just start with a further question on kind of what you're seeing in the underlying market dynamics. You talked about the 70% of patients coming from MDI converts. Can you maybe give us a flavor on the remaining 30% of the patients, whether that's coming from conversions of patients who are coming up for renewal. It looks to be a big bolus of renewal patients coming to market. Is that conversions from different pump therapy? Maybe just help us understand the balance of the growth drivers there and how you see that unfolding through the rest of '25 and into '26.
Yes. Thanks, David. This is Stephen here. In terms of the remaining 30% that are coming to us from competitive pump systems, they're coming roughly 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 from the 3 primary competitors. And in terms of the outlook in the future, there's nothing that -- look, that bifurcation of our demand coming from 70% coming from injections and the other 30% coming from competitive pumps. That's been pretty consistent over the last 4 to 8 quarters. And there's nothing that we see in our business that would imply that the future will look any differently.
I would say there's still a -- the market for insulin pumps in both -- in type 1 and type 2 is still very underpenetrated. I needs to remind you of those percentages. And so the large opportunity that still exists for a company like ours with a new and differentiated system remains in MDI, and I expect most of our demand will continue to come from there.
That's very helpful. And I appreciate you reiterating the timelines around the Mint full commercialization by the end of 2027. But can you maybe just remind us of the different steps that need to take place between now and then? For example, have you finished human factor testing? And what types of updates do you -- will you be able to provide us along the way?
Yes. I don't think we're going to provide any additional information on where we are at the moment. I mean, we would reiterate that generically, the 3 main steps that we need to look for here are 510(k) clearance followed by manufacturing readiness followed by launch. We've talked about those in the past. But I don't want to get into the details of exactly where our internal program is, less people read more or less into them than they deserve. So, for the moment, we'll reiterate our timelines, and we reserve the right, of course, at all times to update you as we know more.
Our next question comes from Matt O'Brien with Piper Sandler.
Can you hear me okay? I've had some technical issues.
Loud and clear. You got it, Matt?
All right. Great. I appreciate the questions. Maybe just starting with those 20 new territories that you added in Q1. Maybe if you can just tease out the impact that those 20 territories are having here in Q3 because you don't typically see such a meaningful step-up here in the third quarter versus Q4 based on seasonality. So just maybe talk about how those reps are ramping and then kind of what's left for that group and that cohort as we think about maybe the next 18 months?
Yes. All right. So, the territory -- the new territories that we added at the start of the year, are absolutely growing in their maturity and increasing in productivity, but the entire sales force on balance also is. So, if you looked at even just the quarter-over-quarter growth in new patient starts from Q2 to Q3, we saw an 8% uptick. And yes, that is driven in large part by the 20 new territories that we added in the start of the year, but the iLet is still new to almost every territory nationwide. And so we're continuing to see an uptick in new store sales, same-store sales across the entire country.
Okay. And then maybe talk a little bit -- I wanted to ask a little bit more about Mint, but just maybe talk a little bit more about the 483 because that's a little bit of new information and how serious that is, your remediation efforts. It sounds like you're kind of on track already. So maybe just try to frame up the 483 for us, not that they're ever great to see, not that you take them for granted. but just how this one falls in terms of seriousness and then your ability to respond quickly.
Yes. Great question, Matt. I mean, it's tough to put a qualifier on something like that. I mean, obviously, the FDA issues 43 is when they find something to be important. But I think with the 43 as long as you're aggressive with dealing with the problem and you don't have a big problem, and we've certainly been that. We're very far along in our remediation efforts.
New systems are fully in place at this time. And what we're seeing now, as we stated on the prepared remarks, is just the implementation of those systems and sort of remediating past complaints. But the new systems are in place at this time. And no, we don't foresee any ongoing challenges at all. Stephen, do you got anything to add to that?
Sure. Yes. I think -- look, the FDA -- the interpretation of the rules for what's considered a reportable complaint and what's considered a nonreportable complaint actually leaves a lot of room for interpretation. And so we were interpreting -- before the 43 observation, we were interpreting the rules a particular way that we had a lot of confidence in, and we're not apologetic about. However, when the FDA did their observation, they disagreed with our interpretation, which is totally fine. They asked us to remediate the -- and use the new definition. And we, of course, complied.
And to us, this is a very benign issue as long as we actually do what we say we're going to do. And so we're bringing it to your attention because we feel it's important to be transparent. There may be some misinformation out there about what -- why we've seen an uptake in reportable complaints in the MAD database. We don't see it as an issue at all, and it's kind of on brand for us to just answer the mail. And so hence, why we brought it up today.
Our next question comes from Travis Steed with Bank of America Securities.
This is Stephanie Piazzola on for Travis. Congrats on a good quarter. Maybe just wanted to follow-up again on the increased complaints being reported. Maybe you can just elaborate more on the real-world performance and feedback and retention that you're seeing despite some of the complaints received. And if you could clarify, it sounds like you've made good progress on the remediation already, but some things will continue through Q2 of next year, if I heard that right. So maybe you can just clarify what's going to be outstanding through then.
Yes. First of all, I wouldn't read anything into the word complaint in this case. The insulin pump industry is -- if you look at the complaint rates that all insulin pump companies receive, it's somewhat shocking at some level. And the primary reason for that is that definition that Stephen alluded to earlier, where really anything, anybody calls in with a problem of your product or an experience issue and it gets reflected as a complaint, which is fine. Those are the rules.
But I don't want anybody to hear, and I don't believe it's true that there's any complaint with the product that -- I don't know, the words here. Anyway, I wouldn't read too much into it. Second half of that question is -- I think -- I don't know. I think the kind of answered, Stephanie. Did we -- was there a part that we missed? Yes, I forgot the second half of your question.
It was just that you mentioned you made good progress on the remediation efforts that continue through next year. So...
Yes. Sorry, you want details on that, absolutely. So, what it is specifically, and I think we said this, but I'll give just a little more clarity. When -- over the time, we received calls, right? Everybody receives calls and you have to decide whether or not those get reflected as reportable complaints to the agency. So, what we're doing at this point is we're going back through all of those calls we've received since the dawn of time and reporting the ones that now qualify under the new definition as reportable events that did not prior. Does that make more sense?
Yes. Got it.
And we'll be done with that process by Q2 of next year.
Okay. Understood.
Again, the systems are now in place. The -- everything is working as it should at this point. We just have to go back and do all that catch-up work. That's all.
Okay. Got it. And then you talked about some of the positive growth drivers that you have this year and are going to continue into Q4. Maybe just thinking a little bit ahead to next year, how we can think about some of those continuing and then any headwinds that we should keep in mind for next year as well?
Yes. I'll start with that one, and then Stephen can add anything that he may want to. The primary growth driver that I listed was obviously additional understanding what iLet is. Again, I think there's -- when you look at data on adoption from health care providers, it really takes quite a number of years, in fact.
So I think that we expect that tailwind to continue over time as people start to understand iLet better as we develop more and more of our own real-world evidence and get that get that evidence out there, showing the world how well iLet really is working in a real-world setting. So those continue, obviously. The other tailwind that I'll mention is obviously pharmacy adoption. There's a lot of reasons that pharmacy adoption is better for the business. It makes it easier to adopt iLet, easier to script iLet. Obviously, with the expansion of that, that's certainly going to be a tailwind, and we hope that the expansion of pharmacy adoption itself continues more into next year as well.
And this year -- and by the way, thanks for the compliment, Stephanie, on the results. We're definitely happy with them.
Yes.
The uptake that we've seen in pharmacy this particular year, meaning now in the low 30s percentage of our new patient starts, it's way exceeded even our internal expectations. And what it's really doing for next year's financials that's great is that we're retaining those patients at a very, very high level. And because of that, it's high-margin recurring revenue now that we have in this pharmacy installed base, which is the design of the whole program, and that's the intention of the whole program to move to a subscription-like revenue stream. And you're going to see that in our financials, and you've already been seeing that in even like the gross margin profile that we now, again, have this high-margin revenue that we've generated from our growing pharmacy installed base.
Our next question comes from Michael Polark with Wolfe Research.
First topic for me was the 510(k) clearances you mentioned, a different cartridge change process and elimination of redundant low glucose alerts. I guess I'd just be curious the cartridge change process, what improved? How was it before? How is it now? And what kind of was the root cause, if you will, of too many low glucose alerts. Is that a software fix or another change?
Yes. So, on the first part, the cartridge change process, these are really just subtleties in the process, different screens and whatnot, user experience stuff. It's -- they're not huge, but we think meaningful. On the low glucose alerts though, I want to really make sure that one is really clear.
With a system like an insulin pump, you can get, for example, an urgent low, a low, a very low. There's all different kinds of alerts and they can stack on top of one another and require you to clear each one individually and what have you, or you can look at it and take the most severe of those alerts and only deal with that one, for example. So, it's sort of related to that. It's just that you really have to clear 4 alerts at all in effect tell you you're low, that seems pointless, right? Does that make sense?
Yes, understood. The other one is just maybe kind of a look into '26 as well, a reminder on what's a good way to think about sales force expansion as you roll into next year? Any soft circle for number of territories that you would hope to add?
Yes, of course. Good question, Mike. Yes, of course, we have our internal expectation of how many new sales territories we're going to expand and win next year, but I'm not going to talk about a forecast for 2026 that gives any indication as to what our revenue is going to look like. So unfortunately, I'm not going to share that number.
Our next question comes from Frank Takkinen with Lake Street Capital Markets.
On a really, really solid quarter. Just a curiosity question versus my model, and I could be unique in how I modeled it this quarter, but it feels like the bigger portion of outperformance, you outperformed on both my DME and PBM expectations. A bigger portion for me was related to DME. Was this just a modeling discrepancy on my side? Or was DME maybe a little bit stronger than you anticipated? Any specifics on maybe where the pumps are placed, which geographies you maybe didn't have health plans set up or anything to kind of call out that maybe drove that DME being a little stronger than my expectations?
Yes. Good question, Frank. The outperformance in DME, of course, is just mostly driven by new patient starts exceeding expectations, but there actually was some favorability from stocking dynamics. in Q3 relative to Q2. And that created favorability in DME revenue in Q3 relative to Q2. There actually -- and you didn't ask about this, but there's actually the inverse impact we saw in the pharmacy supply kit revenue. There was an unfavorable stocking dynamic or had an unfavorable impact on revenue in Q3 relative to Q2. And what I mean by this in the case of DME is that the DME customers ended their quarter with more inventory on their shelves in Q3 than they did in Q2, creating, again, what I would call a favorable stocking dynamic in Q3.
Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And then maybe on the bihormonal timeline? I know you guys are talking about the feasibility study, but how should we maybe think about when you guys might formalize a cleaner timeline kind of similar to how you've talked about patch end of 2027. Will you do that with the bihormonal pump in the near future? How should we think about that?
Yes, Frank, look, we'd love nothing more than to give you a solid timeline on the bihormonal product. But -- and we obviously have internal expectations on that, that we have not shared. However, given the complexity of that particular product being -- having to get both CDRH and Cedar on the same page in terms of what a pivotal clinical trial looks like and all the requirements around the drug and frankly, our own evolution into a drug company as well, I think it would be a little bit premature to start putting timelines out on that now because, frankly, they could evolve as we learn.
And as we get the agency, both halves of the agency on the same page with what it is that we're doing here. So not just yet, but please be assured that we're working toward getting most importantly, the product out the door as soon as we possibly can. But of course, the next step will be to help you all understand the timelines on that as soon as we can. But in the meantime, hopefully, you do see that we continue to make progress on the product, including, as I said, the completion of PK/PD and the soon implementation of the new feasibility trial, which we're excited about.
Our next question comes from Jeff Johnson with Baird.
So Sean, maybe on that -- on the bihormonal question there. Even if you can't put a timeline out there, which I understand, can you just remind us, we're so accustomed to 510(k) pathways here in the diabetes space. We know kind of 6-month review processes. We know these tend to be 13-, 26-week trials, things like that. Once you do start a pivotal, how long would a pivotal for a bihormonal run as far as from -- in a single patient? I know it takes a while to enroll in first patient in, last patient in and all that, we'd have to estimate. But I guess my question is more, how long would the study last on a per patient visit or per patient basis? And then how do we think about the review timeline once you do get that data and submit it to the agencies, how long a review process could last?
Yes. Great question, Jeff. The ICH guidelines dictate that for a chronic drug indication, we need a year's worth of data on an individual patient. So, to your point, plus enrollment, et cetera, but the trial itself will run at least a year on at least -- well, not at least one on a number of patients. And then timelines for enrollment, timelines to review of that data, early interactions with the agency, but then the actual NDA submission itself, I believe, is a year.
One year on that, too, yes. Okay. That helps. And not a pharma guy, so never as strong there. But also then, Stephen, maybe can you just maybe quantify for us the stocking headwind in pharmacy and the stocking tailwind in DME at all and how much of that was on supply side? Just as we look at the supply revenue this quarter on a per patient basis in the pharmacy channel, it came down about 10%, 12% or so sequentially, and we keep trying to wrestle with how much of that is attrition versus stocking dynamics and all that. So, just maybe help us quantify, especially in the pharmacy channel, maybe what that stocking headwind was in the quarter?
Yes, of course. I have 2 parts to this answer. First part is that I'm not going to quantify the exact dollar amount of the stocking impact in DME versus pharmacy, but the 2 offset one another nearly dollar for dollar in the quarter. So net neutral stocking impact with, again, favorability in DME, unfavorability in pharmacy.
And then on your point about attrition and retention, -- while I'm not going to share retention rate or attrition rate, even though I know we get asked about it consistently, and this is for reasons that I think we've been very clear about, most notably that the competition doesn't share attrition or retention rates.
I do want to point to one output of your model, Jeff, and I guess, any investor or analyst that has a model that I would sort of maybe alleviate maybe your feeling on that question. So, if you look -- the metric that I want to point your attention to is the number of pharmacy supply kits per pharmacy patient per quarter. And so the math there, what you can do -- how to do the math to get to that metric is you'll take the pharmacy revenue -- pharmacy supply revenue, I should say, in a given quarter, divide that by the price of each pharmacy supply kit, which you know is roughly $450 because that's what we've said. And then divide that again by your belief of what the pharmacy installed base is.
So that's again, it's pharmacy revenue in a given quarter, divided by the price, $450 and then divided again by the pharmacy installed base. And what you're going to find when you run that metric in this quarter and in all the most recent quarters is that, that metric is well over -- well in excess of 3. And that's regardless of what attrition rate or retention rate assumption you use in your model, no matter how low you choose the attrition rate to be.
And what does that say? If it's above 3, well, remember that a patient only uses 1 pharmacy supply kit per month. And so you would use 3 per quarter. So, by very virtue of that number, which is again, an output in your model, by that being above 3, I think that illustrates why there's not a retention or attrition issue at the business. So, I guess hopefully, that was helpful. But again, I won't -- I'm not going to talk specifically about attrition and retention, the number for reasons that we've communicated in the past.
Yes. No, that math is helpful. That's exactly how we run it in our model. I guess it's just we're trying to understand the 40% decline we've seen in per patient per pharmacy over the last 2.5 quarters.
So I think you -- I think the other thing to remember is that you're going to see like, again, big deviations in that metric from quarter-to-quarter. meaning, yes, you did see a downtick in it this quarter. You've also seen uptakes in the same metric if you looked over trending over quarter-to-quarter.
And what that really points out is that there are fluctuations in pharmacy stocking, and it does have a material impact on our revenue in a given quarter. But really, the reason why there is so much fluctuation is just think about how much our pharmacy demand has changed. We've gone from our guidance being low teens or low double-digit percentage up to now, we're in the low 30s. And so, pharmacy customers don't really know how much to order to keep up with demand. And that's a part of why you're seeing big fluctuations.
Our next question comes from Richard Newitter with Truist Securities.
Congrats on the quarter. Maybe just on the pharmacy channel and the percentage here. So, you're obviously exceeding your expectations, our model and I think consensus too, exiting -- you're on track to exit at a low 30s percent. Could you help us just think through where this percentage could reasonably get to? Or where we should not be -- what threshold we shouldn't be exceeding before you potentially are on commercial with a patch? Is this something that could be 50% exiting 2026? Or what's the threshold that we should be thinking about or put some bookends around it as we fine-tune our models because clearly, you're exceeding where we all had you on the trajectory.
Yes. I appreciate the question. Frankly, the frustrating answer for us and you is that we don't know. We're doing something nobody has ever done before, and that's push a durable pump through the pharmacy channel. To your point, we've exceeded our own expectations on what we can do there. We hope that those exceedances continue and that we can get even farther than even we think we can. But it's very hard for us to make a prediction on that, and I don't think we're frankly in any better position to do it than anybody else. We're just forced with going out and actually doing the work. So, I'm sorry, we can't make that prediction. But what I will tell you is that we'll try and make that number as high as we absolutely can.
Okay. Fair enough. And then just on type 2 indication, I think, Sean, you've talked in the past that it's not something that you necessarily -- it's precluding you from moving -- moving that percentage higher. It was a little flat this quarter. I'm just curious, anything you're seeing? We have multiple players out there with an official indication and data. And you mentioned you're not going to commit to precisely the strategy and timing of what you're going to do to ultimately secure an indication. But if you could elaborate on how you're thinking about that and what your options are?
Yes. The first thing I would say is that I wouldn't look at it as flat. The percentage was the same and our new patient start, obviously, base grew. I don't think there's any benefit to Beta Bionics to grow that 30% or roughly 30% to -- or roughly 25%, excuse me, to something much larger. I mean, we need to grow our total new patient starts -- and to your point, we're not really out selling it. So, it kind of is what it is on a percentage basis, and that's okay.
There's some other things that go into the dynamic as to whether or not we would make the decision to invest in that or when we make the decision to invest in that is what I should say, that I probably just can't get into at this stage because they result -- they relate to some internal product pipeline stuff. But yes, I don't know, I would say that we're doing as well as anybody effectively in that channel, and we don't even have the indication. So yes, I'll leave it at that.
Our next question comes from Jon Block with Stifel.
Anything to call out regarding just the competitive landscape? There's really been a good amount of focus there with the new entrant, but your competitive wins as a percent of adds actually ticked up a bit Q-over-Q and obviously had a huge growth rate if we look at it year-over-year. So just any color you can provide there with the landscape may be changing or maybe not?
Jeff, yes, I appreciate the question. Short answer is no. It is a highly competitive industry. It's competitive not only just for recruiting the right type of sales reps, but every account has a lot of different sales reps that are trying to sell and get the attention of the HCP at that given account. But we're confident in what we have. We have a highly differentiated product, the easiest system on the market, we believe, to use for doctors, for patients, a compelling solution with the pharmacy reimbursement. And so, I don't see the market or the competitive landscape as meaningfully different than it was semi recently, and we feel confident.
Okay. Stephen….
Sorry, that was Jon, my bad.
All good. All good. Stephen, maybe I'll stick with you. I'm struggling with the guidance from gross margins in a good way. And I know you gave some reasons that you sort of said, hey, it implies flattish to slightly up GMs Q-over-Q for 4Q. But your pharmacy mix is largely consistent with the assumption is with 3Q. And we've seen a lot of scale, right, throughout 2025 when you just look at your sequential gross margin improvement despite pharmacy ramping as an overall percentage. So, can you just tell me why like that improving scale dynamic wouldn't resonate as much if you would in 4Q '25? Or is this maybe just leaving a little bit of wiggle room considering you really don't know the percentage DME versus pharmacy because of the deductible metric you brought up earlier?
Of course. On the high end of the range, the gross margin guidance for Q4 is actually in line with the increase or the increase that we're guiding to in Q4 revenue. So, the increase in scale and the benefit that we would get to gross margin is actually sort of in line again with the revenue increase quarter-over-quarter. But on the low end of the range, you're right, that may like seem a little surprising to you that we're guiding to that low.
Really, it just comes down to lack of predictability around the pharmacy reimbursement channel. There is a world where in Q4, we outperformed our expectations in pharmacy, which actually creates in terms of new patient starts. And what would that do is it would create a short-term headwind to revenue and gross margin. And that's one reason.
And the second is that cost of sales -- well, look, we like to set -- the guidance philosophy around here is for metrics like this, we like to set expectations at a level that we have a high degree of confidence in. And with cost of sales, there can at times be things that are semi-unpredictable that could come up and be a onetime charge. I'm not suggesting I see any of those in Q4, but that can happen. And so hence, we like to be, I guess, a little cautious with large uptakes in gross margin guidance for that reason.
Our next question comes from Jeffrey Cohen with Ladenburg Thalmann & Company.
Congrats on a strong quarter. Just one for us. If you could maybe talk about your special 510(k). Was this software only and was uploaded to all the units out there? And does that help or would that help in Mint development? Or are some of those updates being embedded into Mint now?
Yes. The -- it's a software upgrade. And as with all of our software upgrades, that's something that all of our users get a chance to download and use. And in fact, we always like to push people to our newest software. The -- I would say that part of those software upgrades are related to Mint and some not. Some of the way we do the alarms and alerts and alarms certainly will be reflected in Mint. -- cartridge change process, of course, has nothing to do with Mint whatsoever. So yes and no. But as with anything, Beta Bionics considers ourselves to be primarily user innovation, user experience company, I should say. And to the extent that those user experience things are applicable to Mint, we'll absolutely reflect them in that.
Our next question comes from David Roman with Goldman Sachs.
I appreciate your taking the follow-up. And I hate to focus on the 483, but the MAUDE dynamic has become such a distraction for investors intra-quarter. And as we think about the kind of remediation process here, that does have the potential just to create some noise for people out there counting up MAUDE reports, which is sort of like a meaningless metric, but it does get a lot of attention. So, can you maybe just help us frame like how we should think about those reports when we see them, how to interpret the remediation filings? And just maybe help us kind of calm the obsession with counting MAUDE entries.
Great question. Well, look, to -- from our perspective, this is something that every company in the diabetes space has gone through at one time or another. I think, as Stephen alluded to, the guidelines associated with what constitutes a complaint or a report, I should say, are unclear at best, and we've all had to align our understandings with that of the agency.
For anybody who really wants to dig in, I guess I encourage you to. You can go to the MAUDE database. That's the whole point of the thing. And you can look what's being submitted in our case, the case of any other company out there. You can look at rates. We've been fairly transparent with what our installed base is, et cetera, and you can compare those things. And we think we compare favorably. But in terms of how to think through it beyond that, I'd say that's hard to say. We don't see an underlying problem in our data here. The 43 itself had nothing to do with the actual complaints being received or the number of them. It had to do solely with the definition of the reports being filed as complaints, and that's all. So hopefully, that's clear.
I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the call back over to Sean for any closing remarks.
All right. Thanks, everyone. As usual, we enjoyed discussing a strong quarter with you today. We appreciate your work to understand our business. And I guess we look forward to seeing you all next quarter. Thank you.
Yes. Thanks, everyone.
Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Good day.
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Beta Bionics Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Beta Bionics Inc — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Management Discussion
I'm Stephen, and this is Sean.
2. Question Answer
Welcome. Disclosures. You're not going to go to the website anyway, but it's here if you feel really compelled. Massive, thank you to Stephen and Sean for coming along from Beta Bionics and agreeing to this, and I really appreciate having you guys.
Thanks, Patrick. Great to be here.
Yes. It's been a good conference -- and yes, we're looking forward to the time here.
Yes, good energy. I mean let's just dive into right -- like why don't we -- I mean maybe 2 minutes just to level set people. I think probably almost everybody in this room is aware of like pumps and how that market works. But maybe just from your perspective, what really distinguishes beta relative to the pump competitors?
Yes, absolutely. So we all know Beta Bionics is an automated insulin delivery pump, but we don't like to call it an insulin pump, let's call it bionic pancreas to differentiate it, why the difference? It is the most automated version of an insulin delivery system ever. We've all been adding these user simplicity functions like trying to reduce boluses and whatnot, and we've done that completely.
But we've also added the concept of moving from a static to an adaptive algorithm, which removes the need for the health care provider to set up and manage the pump, which means it can be done by, for example, a primary care physician. We have data on that.
We generally believe that the insulin pump industry has -- this is not a criticism by the way, more of a statement of fact has sort of failed at improving outcomes with diabetes not on the patient basis, but on a population basis. The way the evidence of site for that is that the average A1c in the country is not really falling, right? But we know that we can take those patients and improve their A1c massively.
And we do that by providing a product that's not absolutely fantastic for 1 person, but broadly applicable to everybody, which means work with CGMs that they like, meaning provide a form factor that they prefer, meaning give them an algorithm that they can utilize successfully. And lastly, provide to them in a channel that they can get it, namely pharmacy if they can't afford the DME channel, et cetera. And by doing all of those things, we do think that we're in a position to meaningfully improve population health, meaning lower A1c of the population, at least with type 1 diabetes over time. That's what we're up to.
Love it. I mean loaded questions forward, but starting with Type 1. What 40% on penetration in the U.S. You could argue it's still pretty low, frankly, given who wants to be doing multiple daily injections and trying to manage and everything. What do you think is that's been holding it back has been growing well, but was still less than half of patients where do you think is the gap?
To me, there's really only 1 answer to that question. And I mean, there's a lot of -- on the margin answers, but the big 1 is primary care. You take that 40% number and you look at 45-ish percent of patients are managed by primary care providers and if you ask them, 80%-ish of their patient cohort on AID pumps, what is it [ 80% times ] 45 is what 36 or something like that. There you go.
That's pump penetration, meaning it's not being used by primary care providers. Why? Because by and large, they don't know how to do it because they're complicated to set up and manage and that's the direct thing that we've added with Beta Bionics. I do think it's important to note that the patients are not any different, right? The same patient goes to an endo, goes to a primary. It's more a factor of where you live, et cetera, than who you are.
And therefore, that 80-plus percent penetration in the endo space really ought to apply perfectly provided in the primary care space. But we do need to provide a product that can be well utilized by those patients with that provider, and we think we've done that -- we do a clinical trial, clinical trial data showing that outcomes with our product with primary care providers are identical to those with endocrinologists. That's unprecedented, but we've done it, illustrating that you really don't need to certainly manage the pump the way a traditional endocrologist does.
Do you think the PCPs don't trust their patients or don't trust themselves?
Certainly the interesting question he phrased that way, themselves would be my guess. Managing diabetes is not particularly complicated, but it's also not easy. And it's not something that they do on a daily basis. So we have protocols on how to manage Type 1 with MDI, it's like the [ Berg ] install protocol, you can look up, which tells you exactly how to do it based on testing blood glucoses and waking blood sugars, et cetera.
And they work to some extent as long as they're followed, they require every 2-day titration. They're just not followed enough. So I think it does come down to that. They just don't know how to set up and manage the pump.
The CGM like -- in to Sean's point and Sean, feel free to add to this. CGMs figured out what Sean was alluding to a moment ago there with primary care and making a system easier to prescribe far earlier than pumps did. So in like 2015 -- CGMs before like 2015, before Dexcom created a sensor that didn't require a calibration. They would compare with another using metrics like accuracy, so the MARD and metrics that patients turns out probably didn't care about. But then once they launched, once we made the devices easier, not we, but once the industry made CGM easier to use, that was a huge unlocking mechanism that now Type 1 penetration for CGMs is north of 80%. I don't actually know that number. It's probably closer to 90% now.
And yes, I think that the key takeaway there, and as it relates to primary care and insulin pumping, is that insulin pumps before the iLet have been comparing themselves with 1 another on metrics that, frankly, I'm not sure the patients ultimately really care that much about. Yes, time and range and A1c matters, but really, patients want to understand how this device fits into their life and how it makes their life easier.
And that's the unlocking mechanism for diabetes devices. We're the first company that just like any great innovation has changed the metrics. From again, just caring about A1c and time and range to how does this thing any easier to use. We're the only pump position to do that and hence, why we've had a lot of success.
So it's a great point, Stephen. If you look back, every single innovation, every single intervention in diabetes has always had 1 thing in common, and that's the more you engage with it, the better your outcome always. Whether it's BG checks per day, CGM checks per day, injections per day or both they don't care more engagement, better outcome into the iLet. And we have data showing that our outcomes are independent of engagement. That's absolutely first. It's absolutely innovative. Then it really puts a point on what Stephen is talking about. You want easier, then you got to get a product that actually doesn't need you to engage with it all that much.
Could that be a subset within Type 1s because there's some -- unlike yourself, there are some, who developed very, very young, and they've been doing MDI an incredibly long time. And maybe now they're relatively older. Like there's a trust that you're giving up to an algorithm. And there might be good clinical data things, but is there a subset they just kind of need to age out of the pool, which is -- another out -- is that a subset that's just going to be really difficult to convert or just the need proof.
With diabetes, there's -- it's very hard to talk about the patient profile because there's a gazillion of them. It's absolutely a spectrum from this to that. And maybe it's even in 3 dimensions. So yes, there's always going to be that. We know people like that. But what I think we are seeing is that there are people who don't necessarily trust it, but there's nobody who really likes it, meaning there's nobody that gets up in the morning rare and go saying today, I get to manage my diabetes. It's not fun, right?
And over time, as we build trust and what our algorithm does and how it works, you will convert people like that. You won't convert everybody but you will convert a number of them. But we don't have to, right? If we go back to my argument from earlier, roughly 80% of patients at least 2 have attended an endocrinologists have accepted the fact that pumps are a better way to go. And that's growing over time, even in the endocrinology space.
If we do the exact same thing in the primary space, and that's not the only place we're going, of course, but then there's a long way to run before we start to run into what's clearly that, I don't know, late adopter, they're laggards, I guess they call them.
Another PCP discussion. You go in, you just like, look, you don't really need to call count here. Like how do you communicate because they don't want to see trials I'm guessing?
Yes. PCPs are definitely different. And I want to be clear that we're at the very infancy of penetration in the primary care market at this point. And the reason is that what I don't think works is just showing up with doubling of your sales force calling on every primary care doctor and existence and explaining why iLet's better, is not going to have any success at all doing that.
I mentioned the protocols earlier. When a new type 1 comes into a primary care's office, they put a piece of paper and say, "Okay, start them on 0.5 units per kilogram per day. So is it right here?" That protocol needs to say right iLet. In order to do that, it's not a one-to-one with the health care provider. It's going to be with clinic. It's going to be with the ADA, things like that, the larger bodies.
We're generating the data now that shows that we should be that -- but the work to actually get that done is still, to some extent, coming. But I do think that the iLet is in a unique position to be able to do that. Because what I don't think is going to be useful is to protocolize exactly how 1 reviews spaghetti chart, which is our modal day glucose chart over time.
And so, okay, based on this kind of trend, do you think you're seeing hit the change to the carb factor, for example. You just don't need to do any of that with our product. So it's a pretty unique greenfield opportunity for us. But it will take a little longer than converting a single doctor. But when you convert, for example, a health care system, the whole thing comes.
A lot of people I speak to when they hear about the algo and iLet jump to the conclusion that it's even better suited for Type 2 because the stereotypes that exist around Type 2 patients the management of their condition versus Type 1 -- is that serotype less true than people think that it is? And how do you view the Type 2 opportunity overall?
Well, we don't have an indication in type 2, not -- so I think it's -- we'll be a little careful on saying what isn't true. We don't know. I understand the stereotype, I can understand why somebody might say that about our algorithm.
Certainly, over 25% of our users are coming to us with Type 2. There's something that's clearly resonating there. It's important to state that we don't push in Type 2. So that's just what's happening in the market. I don't know if I can go into all that much more detail on that.
Yes. What I can say about the Type 2 market is that that particular segment of the market is growing in its insulin pump adoption at an unprecedented level. And so I think you won't find an analyst model out there that predicted the uptick that we would have seen in Type 2 insulin pumping in the first half of the year, and we don't really see that stopping.
But again, we can't be advertising for marketing what the product -- how the product is doing on type 2 because we don't have the indication.
The people would feel tied to a slow to engage with the health. And so, I think people just assume that to your point, the curve was very aggressive?
And it's really Beta Bionics and our tube pump competitors that are driving that. I would illustrate that when you look at our clinical data, we have quite a bit of data in a very high A1c segment. These are people with A1c 14 to 17 when they came to us and they end up with a GMI, I think, in that group of 7.7%, if I'm remembering correctly. That's just an astounding difference. And I'm not familiar with another intervention that they've been able to take something from 14 to 17 out of 7.7% whatever kind of diabetes you have at 14 to 17, that's a disengaged population.
Clearly, whatever we're doing is able to have some level of success without that engagement because the patient didn't change we had in iLet. So I think that's the point on what you're saying.
I also realize I just misspoke. I meant to say our tubeless pump competitor and I'll start the reasons for the -- they go from Type 2. I said 2, but I'm saying the name. Tubeless. Sorry, go ahead.
Yes. I mean, that is also 1 of the distinct things like even within Type 1, if I could stop carb counting, is that just better? Is the 1 fewer thing that I happy to do? Or is it you find versus a subset of people who just do so eventually prone to doing it that they -- there's a control thing there or something?
So there is a segment of people that will continue to carb count in their head and then convert that to a usual meal. You don't need to do that turns out, like I do it at some level. I'm in I see it in carb. I'm really bad at that. So as everybody else, we know that. That's the reason that usual works. It's because somebody might say 40 or 50 or 60 or 70 that's all kind of usual like they're not getting that right exactly.
That happens at some level. What's really interesting though is that I think this even surprised us at some level. We didn't appreciate the number of our users that we're going to not touch it at all. Forget about carb counting, just don't even call a meal. I think we shared this data at ADA, where check me on this, something like 15% or 16% of our users call less than 1 meal per day.
And of that group, it's 1 every 3 days on average, which we would define as large as fully close with mode. And they're going from roughly an A1c of 9.4% to a GMI of 7.4%. 7.4% in a fully closed of mode. It's unbelievable. But again, we don't have an indication for that, but that's what's happening in the real world.
Yes. Super interesting. And then on the topic of form factor, you guys obviously are going for a multiform-factor approach ultimately. How do you think -- so I know you're agnostic between them long term, how do you think it ends up on overall market?
Yes, in terms of split between durable disposal.
You're waiting for that 1.
So that's our mint product right there, the tubeless version that Stephen alluded to earlier. So what do we think the ultimate split between the 2 is hard to say. I think today, you guys probably know those numbers even better than we do. We can look at Omnipod new starts is as everybody else is added up, and there you have it.
There probably additional drivers that move that over time. But what I would say is if you want to fulfill our goal of being able to move the entire population health, and you really have to provide both. I don't see a world where either form factors, just the absolute dominant form factor, nobody wants the other one. There's good reasons to want both. So we should offer both.
And we feel strong about that. But is right here, probably a size you're sort of familiar with -- we're pretty proud of the sucker.
Do you want to walk through some of the features that I don't know how familiar?
Yes, sure. Again, it should sound reasonably familiar. It's a 200-unit insulin capacity. The size is as you're familiar with. We have made 1 design decision that's a little different or atypical, and it's just right here. It's a 2-part durable disposable product. That was done for very good reasons. It's done for user experience reasons. This is a durable product. It's paired to your phone all the time. I'll get to the importance of that. This is a disposal.
This is what -- more what you're familiar with build this up every 3 days. So the user experience of this, you're wearing it, right? You take it off. Take this off, discard this part. You didn't have to go into your phone and stop a sensor session or a pump session, right? Because you pulled this apart there you go. So that's all it costs you.
Take a new 1 out, fill it up, you no longer have to wait for your phone to pair with it because this is already paired, another step you've eliminated, still haven't gone into your phone. Put these together, that took me all of 1 second. That just started the thing up, primed it, flow got into your phone, put that on yourself, pull up the safety lock and hit the button and you're done. And you still haven't gone into your phone.
So that is differentiated from some other experiences you may be familiar with and that we've done away with the need to interact in the phone in any way. And the cannula insertion experience is a little bit different, which we feel will have some advantages as well, but time will tell on that one.
In short, the experience generally is the same, but with fewer steps and hopefully less discomfort.
What not the unit economics relative to doing it that way rather than checking everything?
Yes. So at any level of scale, meaning a couple of years after we launched this thing commercially, the design decisions that we've chosen with the durable component lasting 2 years an indisposable having all the inexpensive components, will have the gross margins at above the level of the tubeless pump competitor. So very advantaged on gross margin, assuming the same price point, which we don't expect to be a problem.
In this durable, we have a PCB, a processor, memory, radio, speaker, motor, gear train very, very expensive components, right? Things you don't throw every 3 days and you can avoid it. In this guy, we have a couple of injection molded plastic components, 2 batteries and the patch that fits in your body, comparatively inexpensive component, so you don't mind turning away every 3 days. So that's why it's comparatively easy to do what Stephen just explained.
I remember chatting with you guys [indiscernible], I think it was [indiscernible] '24. And it's part of the bigger picture thing, like you moved pretty quickly on that. CGM integration, you ended up moving faster than some of your peers. And you still have that kind of like speedy small company energy. How important do you think that is for how you've been competitively? How do you keep that because -- some of your peers are won't be...
It's central to what we are as a company and how we'll be successful. Yes, I don't think anybody should ever lose that. But if you lose it before you're successful, good luck, it can be natural in the long run, but we'll sure fight it as long as we possibly can. Both Stephen and I are engaged in the business on a daily basis, exception factor we're here and we're still trying to keep up with things in between our meetings upstairs.
We try -- for example, we don't have the word committee at Beta Bionics. It's just not a thing. You need a decision boom come to me and you'll have it or make it and we'll back you on it. We move very quickly because of the way we trust our employees and the way when people are uncomfortable, we'll help them out. That's not in and of itself going to mean much today. But I think the proof is in the pudding, frankly. And CGM is a great example. We were absolutely at the forefront of every 1 of the integrations that we did.
Interesting side note to this architecture here. This guy again is a durable. So it's analogous to the iLet in that it's paired with your phone. Let's just say we were to launch a new CGM with this then you would go to your phone and hit update, and we would update the software on this, and you have it the next day, right? That's a major competitive advantage compared to a situation where you might have to build your entire inventory that's in the field with Fed new software. We can over-the-air update this one, so continue advantages like that.
I'll take that question, by the way, but you I think that we do these like we're new to being a public company, Sean and I are like -- Sean and I used to -- we're new to operating a public company. And I'm kind of surprised at times not disappointed, but surprised that we do like conferences and various meetings with investors and very little time actually gets spent on talking about the management philosophy of the business and like the way work actually gets done. And I think that's a really core advantage to our company. And I think they're going to be like historically different capabilities and paces of innovation from 1 company to the next.
And we have a lot of things that really work well for us in that regard, and we're proud of it, and I don't expect it will stop, especially not as while Sean and I are managing the company together. But 1 of the key things, and not to guess Sean up too much here, but actually having an engineer led company really does matter. Sean is like very close to this mint project.
Everyone in our company shows up unless you're in the remote sales team, you show up to the office every day. That innovation is happening, like a couple of hundred feet from Sean's desk and the people, the team members that are involved in it, we've removed every decision cycle down to giving the right people the right authority.
And if there's a decision that needs to be made, Sean makes it. And I think that's a part of the philosophy that just kind of maybe speaks to the time lines and the execution that you alluded to. So thanks for the compliment and -- there's more I could say, but anyways, we just think out of it.
I appreciate that. I want to say 1 thing. I'm not always right, not by a long shot, but far better to make that damn decision, find out that you're wrong and make a different 1 than to obsess over it for months on end and not make any decision at all. So hopefully, you didn't hear some Egomania, but Sean's always right because I get the case at all. But I can be wrong really fast.
There's a funny story recently of a decision I saw Sean make and it was it was the name of the product, which is called Mint. So Mint is I think a great name. You guys -- if you don't like it, don't tell me, but I think it's an awesome name it stands for mini insulin therapy. And it seems like people really like it.
And so that product, how it got -- decisions like this typically get made in my corporate past life is that someone puts together a deck of a bunch of names like using -- hiring a consulting firm, which probably comes up with some really good ideas. And the rationale as to why there's a committee of people everyone wants to be involved in it because it's so crucial of a decision.
And at least that's what we led to believe -- and then ultimately, it gets made over a period of time and you ask the employees what they think.
You've heard about the market research?
Market research is just crucial. In Mint's case, there are 3 names that would hit Sean's desk. I was there kind of standing by the door, not even sitting down. Sean looked at them. Somebody said, I kind of like Mint sounds good. I like it too, let's go with that. That's how you move fast.
It's better to move fast and be wrong or right?
The point is you can belabor all you want. It's a pretty good name.
It's kind of fresh.
What I -- what I feel like I remember from that meeting is it wasn't even really a naming meeting. This was more like a naming concept meeting. And we were like, well, for example, here's some, I like that one.
Let's just be done. -- forget it. Let's just not name the product, it's fine. Mini insulin therapy.
Speaking of that maybe moving on -- we've gone on and on about company.
Now like I think they did it like that. [indiscernible] GLP-1s. 2023 callback going very retro. But I feel like we're kind of done with the panic and history associated with that. But -- how do you think about the combo with a product like iLet, particularly because you're already pretty good about getting people they want A1c to set it in the right place. And it's just another tool to kind of get them there within the type 2 community, which I know you don't have a label for, et cetera, but how do you think it yes.
Well, I mean, I think, look, it's a phenomenal class of drug, no question about that. On news flash, it's not getting Type 1 of insulin. That's certainly true. And in the Type 2 space, while it may prevent certain people from racing to insulin, it's also not getting your people who are on intensive insulin therapy is our target market back off either.
So I think it can and does make it a little bit easier to control people but it's not going to fundamentally change the market. And I'll remind everybody, too, that it's expensive. It's really expensive. It's more expensive than insulin therapy. So I don't think we've seen a major impact. It's Mark. I mean the pump industry has outgrown its history here in the face of GLP-1.
So asked and answered as far as I'm concerned, but that's not to say that I don't believe in them. I think they're a great class of drug they are.
The great for yoga structures NLA, I think, it seems to be a little mainline. The other 1 that's like been a little bit more topical currently, it's obviously compared to bidding. And then actually, the areas of reform that I was more interested in was the shift to more of a rental model, which you guys kind of you're already going in that direction. But my interpretation what I saw that was like, okay, well, the stated aim is to get people to be able to churn the system faster so that they can get access to your innovation faster.
A, is that a good or a bad thing from your perspective? And b, does that increase the speed of the innovation cycle because now you don't have to wait for years or am I just reaching that?
It's a very good thing. It's especially good if you believe in your products and you believe that you develop those products faster than anybody else, meaning you always have a technological lead, which we do. everybody has asked us in 1 form or another. Well, geez, moving to a pay-as-you-go model, doesn't that transfer the risk to you. But you don't get paid up front, you might not get the full payment over time. Sort -- our perspective is that if you get that payment upfront and then they don't like your product and they you attrit in 1 way or the other, then you're dead anyway, right?
4 years from now, they're sure not going to be getting a new product. They're certainly not telling their doctor that they love it, and the doctor is not writing them for their other patients. So if you believe in your product, you believe people are liking it, then pay-as-you-go model ought to be something you really -- is a benefit to you, especially, since you can also pull them from other people earlier. We do believe that. We think patient choice is a great thing, and we believe in our products.
So we'll always -- the first time you tell me that we want to -- the first time I tell you, I want to pivot to a big upfront payment. It's probably when I lost confidence of product.
Yes. I mean, do you think like -- we don't know what the phase-in will look like, but could you get a bit of a churn in the entire -- it doesn't really affect you guys because you're still small in taking share. And amongst the big players, could you get a big churn and who's on what, if you know to mean we're just sticky?
Yes. I mean people tend to be reasonably sticky, I think. I mean you'll see some of it. But every year, you've got whatever it is 1/4 of people come up for renewal anyway. -- and making that decision as it is. So you have a few more, sure. But I don't think -- I think you would see more of a shift within that quarter if it's indicative of what you would see in that situation.
What do you see? You see people with newer entrants or better technology taking share. So for us, moving to a pay-as-you-go type model is a huge benefit. If you have a massive installed base, and you want to hold on to that, it's probably not a good thing. 5 years from now, 10 years from now, ask me the same question. I hope my answer is, well, yes, it certainly benefits us with better technology that has always been us and it still is.
I hope -- and then the competitive bidding side of things, at least within the DME, -- is that a thing? Or is that not a thing?
Well, look, there wasn't a single proponent of it in the public comments of competitive bidding. That doesn't mean that it won't actually happen. But my perspective is that it's within a rental model, the competitive bidding as it's being proposed at the rate that is being proposed specific to Medicare fee-for-service, like only a small subset of people that it would be a bad thing.
And again, I don't believe that it will actually end up going through. But if it did, at the particular rental rates that are being contemplated. Yes, I think it's -- it would be a bad thing. And frankly, our tolerance, and I think probably the other pump company that would be impacted, our tolerance for taking much price concession in that particular small component is already pretty minimal. And so it wouldn't really impact our business, if we frankly just walked away from it.
And so there's -- I guess there's a world where we would do that. But really, to be -- I just wanted to add 1 clarification to Sean's point, which are well said. We are absolutely a huge advocate of pay-as-you-go. The rental model though, in our public statements, we thought we'd see some logistical problems with a rental model for insulin pumps. So you're getting a pump back kind of refurbishing it you'd have to sterilize it on a version of sterilization has to happen for blood-borne pathogens, and that has like some problems. Pumps don't just get hot swapped from 1 to the other. That doesn't really work like that.
And that's kind of how the proposal is sort of implied.
Yes. Makes a lot of sense.
Yes. I think that the -- 1 of the stated goals you mentioned earlier is to increase choice this whole thing, right? And I think as Stephen was sort of implying there, it's a little bit antithetical choice to drive people out of that market. Because you just simply put too much price pressure on it and it's kind of already on the edge of that now.
This is probably a ridiculous comment. But 1 of the things I wondered about in the past is, does anybody end up making a durable pump that is so durable that you just don't end up to replace it just because it's like -- it doesn't -- it lasts for more than 4 years, and it can be remotely software updated, and it's just built like a tank. I sort of -- 1 of your peers had a smaller pump form factor that I sort of looked at that and wondered if that ended up that way because run it for 7 years. I know it's a weird statement, but...
Well, health care and reimbursement, so we are in animal and you have to design a product for the possible product and to fit into the reimbursement system that you have. At the moment, the DME Pix code-based system isn't every 4-year thing, no matter how long it lasts. But that being said, if you wanted to redefine that system, that's okay, that the product you just described sounds like it fits very well into a rental-based model, where you just keep being paid for as long as the users on it as long as that things still last -- and if it doesn't, it's on you to replace it. That would fit well, very well in the pharmacy channel.
Make sense. On the pharmacy channel, the -- no one's quite sure how the durable side is going to end up there. You guys have a vision for how that is -- there's some others where it's maybe not always clear which way around it is going to go? How do you think that model ends up landing?
Well, it's tough to call an exact shot on this one. especially from our position, which is as market leaders in the movement of durable pumps to pharmacy. -- certainly higher than we are now. But what's the terminal number? I don't really know. I think we see 2 things that are probably competing at some level. PBMs,
I think, over time, see the other PBMs, putting these products on the menu, and they'll probably start to fall faster, right? Plans on the other hand, the ones that are still holding out become the laggards and maybe have a reason for not wanting to do it. I haven't been convinced. Those 2 things are competing.
1 is going to accelerate things on decelerate we just call our shot. But I think a very reasonable -- how do I put this? As we watch Beta Bionics over the next period of time, -- that will be our leading indicator of where this can go because we are by over nature leading at this. So we'll keep at it.
You guys have a slightly unique opportunity on the licensing side as it relates to dual hormone and that side of things. Maybe give the audience [ part members ] an idea of what that is, the opportunity there? And then also, can you be more aggressive in capping the highs, if you can protect the lows? Is that a thing?
Well, absolutely. I mean the idea of [ hormonal ] is that we can help you forget about having diabetes. And that was the best comment we ever heard in our formula clinical trials as I started out I had diabetes. At some level, a fully closed system takes care of insulin delivery completely. You'd think that would be forgetting about having diabetes, but it's not quite because you still have to worry about those lows, right? Every system iLet included has the occasional low you have to be aware, be ready to treat that.
[indiscernible] eliminates that concern. With that, we can also then additionally eliminate the highs because we can be a little bit more aggressive as well. So where that ends up, how we tune that knob between lower the highs without increasing lows, we'll see, right? That's the clinical trial that has to happen. I assume you were talking over the licenses that we licensed glucagon, a shelf-stable human pumpable glucagon from Xeris, and that puts us in a unique position. It's an exclusive license to be able to provide it by hormonal system.
And -- we think that if you truly want to forget about having diabetes, which I think is everybody's goal, bi-hormonal is really the only way to do that. We've never seen a system that really could eliminate lows without it. And the reason for that is insulins to darn slow. You can't -- you can turn off insulin, but you can't turn it off fast enough to prevent the insulin or your body from calling that low.
If you do something like exercise or after reading or something like that, which is just no way to avoid. So yes, it's a very unique product that we think is going to be truly revolutionary when we get there.
Okay. Also on to both of you. I know that you try and eliminate as much waste time as possible internally. But what's your favorite meeting every month? Maybe you have like and friendly, like let's...
We have our 1 weekly project management meeting, which is my only real standing meeting a week and it's every week, and we all get together is not a whole company, but senior staff, and we talk about everything. It's not a better way to keep up on what's going on and keep the excitement going on the whole company, I don't know.
I take 15 minutes every Wednesday morning to tell about 25 people on my team what's going on in the business. So just to be radically transparent of what actually -- what's actually happening. And people, I think, with -- they feel like they're very connected to the business and it companies being honest with them, and they actually know what's going on. They know like what the A+ problems are.
You have more people volunteering for the work. And I find that you have people that are like ready to run through a wall to try to help. So I think it's that. So just a 15-minute not written down just radical candor, what's going what's actually happening.
Sean and Stephen thank you so much.
Thank you.
Thanks, everybody.
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Beta Bionics Inc — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, and welcome to the Beta Bionics Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Blake Beber, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Good afternoon, and thank you for tuning in to Beta Bionics Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. Joining me for today's call are Chief Executive Officer, Sean Saint; and Chief Financial Officer, Stephen Feider. Both the replay of this call and the press release discussing our second quarter 2025 results will be available on the Investor Relations section of our website. The replay will be available for approximately 1 year following the conclusion of this call. Information recorded on this call speaks only as of today, July 29, 2025. Therefore, if you are listening to the replay, any time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate.
Also on our website is our supplemental second quarter 2025 earnings presentation and updated corporate presentation. We encourage you to refer to those documents for a summary of key metrics and business updates.
Before we begin, we'd like to remind you that today's discussion will include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements reflect management's expectations about future events, our product pipeline, development timelines, financial performance and operating plans.
Please refer to the cautionary statements in the press release we issued earlier today as well as our SEC filings, including our Form 10-Q filed today for a detailed explanation of the inherent limitations of such forward-looking statements. These documents contain and identify important factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations expressed or implied by our forward-looking statements. Please note that the forward-looking statements made during this call speak only as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update them to reflect subsequent events or circumstances, except to the extent required by law.
Today's discussion will also include references to non-GAAP financial measures with respect to our performance, namely adjusted EBITDA. Non-GAAP financial measures are provided to give our investors information that we believe is indicative of our core performance and reflects our ongoing business operations. We believe these non-GAAP financial measures facilitate better comparisons of operating results across reporting periods.
Any non-GAAP information presented should not be considered as a substitution independently or superior to results prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to our earnings press release and supplemental earnings presentation on the Investor Relations section of our website for a reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP financial measure.
Now I'd like to turn the call over to Sean for some opening remarks.
Thanks, Blake. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for our second quarter 2025 earnings call. We're excited to share with you all today our financial results for the second quarter as well as positive updates to our full year guidance for 2025.
Starting with our performance in the second quarter, our team continues to execute at the highest level across all aspects of our business, and we made key advances commercially, clinically and in our innovation pipeline. We continue to see robust demand for the iLet and our efforts to expand the iLet's commercial reach resulted in a record number of new patient starts in the quarter in both the DME and Pharmacy channels and a record percentage of those new patient starts going through the pharmacy channel.
In late June, we hosted our first Investor and Analyst Day, where we talked about the iLet's place on the continuum of user engagement from hybrid to fully closed loop and the continuum of system adaptation from static to adaptive algorithms. The iLet demands the least engagement from the user and delivers the most automated adaptation of any AID system, setting a new standard for our industry. We also highlighted the superior clinical outcomes of the iLet with our real-world data through the first 2 years of iLet's launch.
We demonstrated that the iLet drove meaningful changes from baseline HbA1c to follow-up glucose management indicator or GMI, which is a proxy for A1c, regardless of our users' baseline A1c group, prior therapy or level of engagement with the iLet. We also shared outcomes for users treated by endocrinologists or primary care practices and the outcomes were virtually the same. We're extremely proud of those data and believe that iLet is the only pump in the market that's capable of producing those results across such a wide range of users and clinicians.
It's important to remind you all that if we had a user's baseline A1c and at least 3 weeks of CGM data uploaded to our cloud, they were included in our real-world results. We've noticed a trend in our industry of subsegmented data in ways that make it appear more favorable, sometimes in dramatic fashion. And we encourage everyone to read the fine print on these data sets to get a sense of how populations are being subsegmented in a way that skews the results.
Beta Bionics is committed to providing fair and honest representations of our real-world data. And when we do subsegment our data, we do it to highlight the performance of our system in our hardest users, not our easiest ones. In this way, we are not only setting a new standard with our technology, but also with our approach to sharing real-world results. In Q2, we also made some key strides in our innovation pipeline, which I'll dive into in more detail on later in the call.
I've never been more confident that we're building a highly differentiated business that is poised to achieve success over the short-, medium- and long-term. Our team's dedication to our mission of delivering life-changing solutions that simplify and alleviate the burden of managing diabetes is stronger than ever, and we want to thank our community of users, health care providers and caregivers in our Bionic universe that inspire us every day to achieve our mission.
For today's call, I'll cover our Q2 results, which exceeded our expectations across the board. Stephen will provide some additional color on our performance in the quarter while highlighting positive updates to our annual guidance for the full year 2025. I'll discuss the recent CMS proposal for the 2026 durable medical equipment payment system, which has implications for durable insulin pumps and Beta Bionics. Lastly, I'll wrap up the call with key updates across our innovation pipeline, including Mint, which is our patch pump program and then our bihormonal system.
Starting with a brief overview of our Q2 2025 financial performance, I'm proud to announce that we delivered $23.2 million in net sales, which grew 54% year-over-year. In Q2, we saw 4,934 new patients adopt the iLet, growing 57% versus the prior year. A high 20s percentage of those new patient starts were reimbursed through the pharmacy channel, which is substantially higher than the mid-single-digit percentage we saw in Q2 of the prior year and increasing relative to the low 20s percentage we saw in Q1 of this year.
As a reminder, we believe the best metric to measure pharmacy coverage is the percentage of total new patient starts that were reimbursed through pharmacy as opposed to percent of lives covered under formulary arrangements with Pharmacy Benefit Managers, or PBMs, which doesn't account for adoption by the underlying health plans or the underlying logistics required to utilize this channel.
As of July 1, Beta Bionics has effective formulary agreements in place with all the major PBMs that operate in the U.S. While we're proud of that accomplishment, it does not yet mean that all of those patients are benefiting from the pharmacy channel. We'll continue to work with the health plans that partner with those PBMs to expand adoption of the iLet under the pharmacy benefit as we've been successfully doing over the last 2 years.
Shifting now to gross margin. Our gross margin in the quarter was 53.8%, up slightly relative to 53.7% in Q2 of 2024. There are a few moving pieces that impacted our gross margin in Q2 that Stephen will address in detail shortly. But overall, our gross margin in Q2 is indicative of our continued cost discipline across the business as well as our ability to extract leverage from our fixed manufacturing overhead as we continue to build scale.
As I mentioned earlier, these Q2 results exceeded our expectations across the board, and I'm proud of what our teams accomplished. There are a number of drivers to point to when it comes to our strong performance, and we expect all of them to continue to contribute to our performance going forward.
The first driver to call out is the market's deepening appreciation for our highly differentiated fully adaptive closed-loop algorithm. At the Investor and Analyst Day, we showed that the iLet delivered an average baseline A1c to follow a GMI decline of 1.6% in the real world, a result that we believe is unique in the history of insulin pumping and even diabetes management more broadly. And we're generating those results in our true real-world population, meaning our entire user base for whom we have baseline A1c and at least 3 weeks of CGM data. This isn't a fractional advantaged subsegment of our data, this is a representative real-world population.
With each quarter, we see the iLet growing into new accounts and penetrating deeper into existing accounts, and there's still substantial runway. In Q2, we launched an update for the Bionic portal, our health care provider portal, which now allows providers to access real-time clinical outcomes for their patients that are using the iLet. The updated portal facilitates collaboration between providers and the clinic, enhances the connection that providers have with their iLet patients between visits and enriches communications between providers and their patients during visits to the clinic.
Initial feedback from iLet prescribers has been overwhelmingly positive, and we're already seeing the Bionic portal drive more rapid adoption of the iLet at the provider and clinic level.
As you may recall, in the second half of 2024, we launched 3 new products, including integration with Abbott's Freestyle Libre 3 Plus CGM, Color iLet and the Bionic Circle remote monitoring app. These product launches continue to gain traction in Q2, and we expect their contribution to continue to grow in the second half of the year. In Q1, we expanded our sales force by 20 territories to bring our total territory count to 63. Those 20 incremental territories began selling in earnest in Q2.
The last driver I'll mention is we're continuing to expand our pharmacy channel presence, enabling more people with diabetes to access insulin therapy with minimal to no upfront out-of-pocket costs. What I hope you all take away from this is that we're positioning Beta Bionics core business for success today and tomorrow, all while making key advances in our innovation pipeline, which I'm excited to share with you in more detail later on during the call.
But for now, I'll hand the call over to Stephen to provide some additional color on our second quarter results and discuss our increased full year guidance for 2025. Stephen?
Thanks, Sean. Approximately 71% of our 4,934 new patient starts in Q2 came from people with diabetes that use multiple daily injections prior to starting the iLet. We look at this metric because it's an important representation of how much the iLet is expanding the market for insulin pumps and the results we're seeing reinforce our confidence that the iLet is addressing an unmet need in the market.
Let's talk about pharmacy. In Q2, a high 20s percentage of our new patient starts were reimbursed through the pharmacy channel. We're continuing to see great traction from our pay-as-you-go model from PBMs and the underlying health plans that partner with those PBMs.
Turning now to gross margin. In Q2, our gross margin was 53.8%, up slightly compared to 53.7% in the second quarter of 2024. While gross margin may look very similar between Q2 of this year and Q2 of the prior year, there are 2 points I'd like to highlight that are indicative of healthy underlying gross margin dynamics. The first to highlight is related to pharmacy.
As we've discussed extensively in prior earnings calls, increasing our pharmacy mix is financially accretive over the medium- and long-term because we are reimbursed for the monthly supplies at a higher rate than in the DME channel. However, in the pharmacy channel, we forgo the upfront payment for the pump itself that we would have received if the pump went through the DME channel.
This creates 2 dynamics: number 1, when we increase the percentage of new patient starts going through the pharmacy in any given quarter, the upfront revenue for the pump that we forgo creates a transitory headwind for our revenue and gross margin in that quarter.
Number 2 is our existing pharmacy installed base generates substantially more revenue per month versus the DME channel.
Coming back now to Q2's gross margin. We saw a substantial uptick in percentage of new patient starts going through the pharmacy in Q2 of this year relative to the prior year. That creates a headwind for revenue and gross margin this quarter but is great for the business over the medium- and long-term. In parallel to that, our pharmacy installed base of Q2 '25 was over 7x the size of our pharmacy installed base at the end of Q2 '24.
Over time, as our mix of new patient starts continues to shift to the pharmacy, we believe the high gross margin recurring revenue generated from our existing pharmacy installed base will overpower the near-term headwind we experienced from new patient starts going through the pharmacy channel. Stated differently, in the near future, we expect the pharmacy channel's gross margin will consistently outperform the DME channel's gross margin.
The second point that is indicative of healthy underlying gross margin dynamics is manufacturing volume leverage. As production volumes increased in Q2 of the prior year, we benefited from lower per unit costs driven by a reduced bill of materials and improved absorption of fixed manufacturing overhead.
So in summary, growth in new patient starts through the pharmacy channel caused year-over-year margin compression, which was offset by high-margin recurring revenue from a substantially larger pharmacy installed base and lower per unit costs from manufacturing volume leverage. The pharmacy installed base and lower per unit costs are both durable gross margin tailwinds going forward.
Shifting now to operating expenses. Total operating expenses in the second quarter were $32.4 million, an increase of 63% compared to $19.9 million in the second quarter of 2024. The increase in sales and marketing expenses relative to the prior year is driven by expansion of our field sales team, which now stands at 63 sales territories exiting Q2. The increase in R&D expenses relative to the prior year is driven by the Mint and bihormonal projects. G&A expense increases relative to the prior year are driven by new costs related to operating as a public company.
Let's move on to cash. As of June 30, 2025, we have approximately $281 million in cash, cash equivalents and short- and long-term investments. We remain confident in our ability to generate positive free cash flow at an earlier stage relative to our peer group's historical precedent. Here are a few reasons why.
Number 1, our device is designed to be manufactured efficiently evidenced by our current gross margin profile.
Number 2, our revenue model is shifting towards the pharmacy, which we are confident is financially accretive versus the DME channel over the medium- and long-term.
And number 3 is our management team's track record of operational efficiency, which is evident in our operating margin at our scale relative to competitive precedents at a similar scale. We know that an efficient operator title is earned, not given, and we intend to earn the public's trust on that with each passing quarter.
Now turning to our 2025 annual guidance. We are raising guidance across the board. We now project that net sales for the full year of 2025 will be $88 million to $93 million, up from our prior guidance of $82 million to $87 million. We now expect 25% to 28% of our new patient starts to be reimbursed through the pharmacy channel versus our prior guidance of 22% to 25%.
Allow me to remind you what the increase in pharmacy guidance means for revenue over the next 4 years. The raise from 23.5% to 26.5% new patient starts through pharmacy, which are the midpoints of our previous and updated guidance are expected to generate a roughly $1 million headwind to 2025 revenue. This roughly $1 million headwind is baked into our updated 2025 annual guidance of $88 million to $93 million.
From 2026 through 2028, we'd expect that same increase in pharmacy guidance to result in up to a $9 million tailwind to cumulative revenue, assuming no attrition. Said a different way, a $1 million headwind in year 1 flips into a potential $9 million cumulative tailwind in years 2 through 4. We accept that trade-off.
In terms of how to think about the revenue cadence for the remainder of the year, we anticipate revenue in Q3 to be slightly higher than Q2 and revenue in Q4 to increase relative to Q3, which is seasonally typical in the diabetes industry. For new patient starts, we expect Q3 new patient starts to be similar in Q2 and Q4 to increase relative to Q3. We expect the percentage of new patient starts reimbursed to the pharmacy in the second half of the year to increase relative to the high 20s percentage we saw in Q2.
That said, we expect the rate of pharmacy mix increase in the second half of the year won't be as pronounced as the large increases we saw in both Q1 and Q2, which were fueled in large part by the formulary agreement with Prime Therapeutics that went into effect on February 1 and the strong adoption we saw from the underlying health plans that partnered with Prime as their PBM.
While we now have an effective formulary agreement in place with all the major PBMs that operate in the U.S. as of July 1, sales cycles with the underlying health plans that partner with each PBM are highly variable depending on the specific PBM and the specific health plan that partners with that PBM. In the case of Prime, we saw immediate pull-through of the formulary agreement at the health plan level. For our more recent PBM agreement that became effective on July 1, we don't expect to see the immediate pull-through by the health plans that we saw with Prime.
Moving on to gross margin. We are raising our outlook to 52% to 55% gross margin for the full year 2025 versus our prior guidance of 50% to 53%. We are increasing guidance for a couple of reasons. Number 1, embedded in our revenue guidance raise and pharmacy mix guidance raise, is a raise in our expectation for new patient starts and that increased scale should generate a lower per unit cost through manufacturing volume leverage.
And number 2, we expect to benefit from our growing pharmacy installed base with a large bolus of new pharmacy users we onboarded in Q1 and Q2 produces high-margin recurring revenue for the balance of the year. So the takeaway here is that while the outperformance in pharmacy adoption is a headwind to our gross margin outlook for the year, we expect to be able to more than offset that headwind, and we are raising guidance as a result.
In terms of how to think about the gross margin cadence for the remainder of the year, we expect gross margin to increase slightly from Q2 to Q3 and again from Q3 to Q4. Regarding tariffs, I want to reiterate our prior commentary that custom components for the iLet and its consumables are exempt from tariffs under the Nairobi protocol. Overall, we expect the impact of tariffs on our business to be minimal and their impact is contemplated in our updated gross margin guidance for the year.
With that said, I'll hand the call now back to Sean to discuss the recent CMS proposal and our innovation pipeline. Sean?
Thanks, Stephen. On June 30, CMS released a proposed rule for the 2026 durable medical equipment payment system, which includes provisions that may impact insulin pumps supplied to Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries. To be clear, this proposal only applies directly to traditional Medicare fee-for-service, not Medicare Advantage, which is managed by private plans. Approximately 10% to 15% of our users are Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries. So let's walk through the key components of the proposed rule and our perspective on them.
There are 2 major elements in the proposal. First, CMS is proposing to implement a competitive bidding program for insulin pumps. Under this program, DMEs would submit bids to supply insulin pumps and CMS would set the reimbursement rate at the 75th percentile of the accepted bids. DMEs that bid above the price threshold set by CMS may be excluded from supplying pumps to Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries in the bid geographic area. This is new for pumps and is designed to reduce overall cost to the system.
Second, CMS is proposing a shift to a pay-as-you-go rental model for pumps, replacing the current model where CMS pays the DME supplier for the pump over a 13-month period, after which the patient owns the pump and CMS no longer pays for it. Under the new model, CMS would pay DMEs a fixed amount each month for the pump for up to 60 months instead of just paying for the pump over the first 13 months. This is designed to allow patients to switch pumps more easily and to shift attrition risk from CMS to the DMEs. In the new model, if the patient stops using the pump any time during the 60-month period, CMS no longer pays for it.
Here's our view on the proposal. We support CMS' intent to modernize payment models in a way that better supports people living with diabetes. We believe the competitive bidding may undermine that goal. The Medicare fee-for-service channel is already the most financially challenging for both pump manufacturers who sell insulin pumps and supplies to DMEs, and the DMEs who distribute those pumps and supplies to patients and collect reimbursement from CMS. That reimbursement amount from CMS is what DMEs would be bidding on if competitive bidding is implemented.
In the proposal, CMS is capping the maximum allowable bid at approximately $226 per month. We believe this cap represents a single-digit percentage reimbursement cut relative to what DMEs currently receive from CMS today on a normalized basis across 60 months. We believe that cap was calculated using lower monthly infusion set and cartridge usage assumptions than what users actually require each month, and we encourage CMS to correct this in the final rule. Whether or not the proposed cap stands, we do not anticipate any material financial impact on our business as we are not directly affected by the change.
In the unlikely scenario that DMEs face price compression at or beyond the proposed cap, that could force manufacturers or DMEs to withdraw from the Medicare fee-for-service channel in certain regions, thereby limiting patient access and choice, which is not what CMS intended with the proposed rule.
Regarding the proposed shift to a pay-as-you-go rental model for pumps, we agree with CMS' intent to align reimbursement with the actual therapy use. We were the first durable pump company to implement a pay-as-you-go model to the pharmacy channel. That said, applying this model to the DME channel introduces significant logistical complexity. Insulin pumps are personalized medical devices that are not designed for refurbishment and reuse in the way other DME categories might be.
If CMS decides to finalize this model, we'll work with our DME partners to explore safe refurbishment arrangements for our customers and find a path forward financially that ensures our DME partners can continue to supply the channel. While it's too early to say what that arrangement will look like, we see the shift to pay-as-you-go as a net tailwind for the business.
Let me walk you through that thinking. This would be a pretty extreme scenario. But if we hypothetically align the way we receive payments from DMEs to the way DMEs would receive payments from CMS in a pay-as-you-go model, we would expect that change in revenue recognition to result in a single-digit percentage headwind to our overall revenue in year 1, followed by a single-digit percentage tailwind to our revenue in each of years 2 through 5; and cumulatively, no material impact to the amount of revenue we recognize over that 5-year period.
So how does that become a tailwind? Two reasons. Number 1, in the same way we see the pharmacy pay-as-you-go model reduce upfront out-of-pocket costs that patients spend on an insulin pump, a pay-as-you-go model in the DME channel could have that same effect. This could increase overall pump adoption by Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries. Number 2, by enabling patients to switch more easily between pumps, we believe that benefits a market newcomer with a smaller installed base rather than incumbents who have more to lose, plus easier ability to switch pumps would help a differentiated product like iLet gain more share.
So to summarize our view of the CMS proposal, we don't expect to see any material revenue impact from competitive bidding. We expect the potential shift to pay-as-you-go will create tailwinds for the business, and we're ready to adapt with our DME partners to ensure our customers are taken care of. We'll keep you updated as the rule progresses. We anticipate the comment period to close in early September with a final ruling from CMS in early November.
Now let's dig into our innovation pipeline. Our goal with our pipeline programs is simple: disrupt the industry and disrupt ourselves. At our recent Investor and Analyst Day in June, we unveiled Mint, our patch pump in development and provided a live demonstration of its features and the patch change process. Mint is being designed to marry the best aspects of fully disposable and partially disposable patch architectures and every decision we made in the design of the product is centered around the user experience. We believe the Mint wear experience will fit well into a user's everyday life.
Mint is being designed so that users won't need their phone to change a Mint. Users won't ever need it to charge a Mint, and users won't need to remove a Mint when they swim or shower. The 4.5-millimeter steel cannula is being designed to feel very similar to an insulin pen, which we expect will minimize discomfort during cannula insertion. Said differently, we're seeking to provide a patch experience that aligns well with what patch wearers are already used to and love, while also improving upon that experience where we see opportunities to do so.
Another great feature is that we expect to be able to roll out firmware over-the-air updates to the reusable controller. So if a Mint user wants to switch to the latest and greatest CGM and we're integrated with that CGM, that can happen overnight. These expected features are what we believe will separate Mint from every other fully disposable or partially disposable patch, whether they're already on the market or still in development. This is what we mean when we say our architecture is intended to be the best of both worlds.
We strongly believe that we've harnessed the best aspects of both 1-piece and 2-piece architectures, all in the name of user experience. Add this to our industry-leading algorithm, and we believe Mint will be a game changer when it launches. In Q2, we continue to advance Mint rapidly towards our goal of commercialization by the end of 2027, which we are reiterating as our target, and we remain highly confident in achieving it.
Shifting to our bihormonal pump program. In July, we completed dosing for our shelf-stable pump-compatible glucagon candidates pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic or PK/PD bridging study. As a reminder, the trial is intended to enable us to bridge all of our previous bihormonal clinical data, including 3 prepivotal inpatient and 6 pre-pivotal outpatient trials to our new formulation of glucagon. We expect to have full results from the PK/PD study in the second half of 2025, which will inform our go-forward development strategy for our glucagon candidate.
Preliminary PD results are in line with our expectations and supportive of continued development of our glucagon candidate per our previously communicated development strategy. While the full PK/PD data won't be publicly available, we expect to provide additional updates on the program and our development strategy during our Q3 earnings call. As of now, there is no change to the expectations that we'll conduct concurrent pivotal trials to fulfill the requirements for a 505(b)(2) NDA with a chronic drug indication for glucagon and the ACE and iAGC 510(k)s for the pump and algorithm, respectively.
I want to share a quick thought on the potential form factors for our bihormonal system. In the past, our bihormonal form factor has been a durable pump with 2 channels in it, one for insulin and one for glucagon. That form factor seems very acceptable to users who have used it in formative clinical trials, and it's very similar in size to our insulin-only iLet commercial launch hardware. However, with the addition of Mint technology to our pipeline, that opens up several doors to us.
The bihormonal form factor could be a durable pump with 2 channels. It could also be the Color iLet plus a Mint or it could be 2 Mints, one dispensing insulin and the other dispensing glucagon. We have the flexibility to choose. And while we won't call our shot today, we will spend significant time between now and launch, investigating our users' preference so we maximize the user experience of the bihormonal system, which is a core belief of Beta Bionics.
However, that plays out, we continue to be extremely excited by the bihormonal program's ability to transform clinical outcomes for people with diabetes, but more importantly, the ability to transform the way people think about managing their diabetes as well as producing a larger lifetime customer value to Beta Bionics.
To briefly touch on the type 2 diabetes label expansion opportunity, in Q2, we continued to see some health care providers prescribe iLet to their type 2 patients off-label. We estimate that over 25% of our new patient starts in the quarter were from type 2. While we're not committing to a specific time line, we look forward to pursuing the type 2 diabetes label through the FDA.
We covered lots of ground on today's call, so I want to leave you all with a few of the key points that we hope you take away from our remarks. The iLet is continuing to see excellent traction in the market, and we're building the right team and the right tools around it to expand its reach and transform the way people with diabetes, their loved ones and their health care providers manage diabetes. Q2 was an excellent quarter for our business, and we're proud of the results we delivered that also enable us to raise our full year 2025 guidance. We're confident that our business can overcome any challenges thrown its way, whether that's tariffs, policy changes that impact our partners or new entrants into the market.
We're building the most innovative pipeline in the industry with the aim of disrupting the industry and ourselves and remain as confident as ever in our ability to deliver those innovations to the people with diabetes who need them. This is a business that is set up for sustainable success today and tomorrow, and we're excited to continue sharing updates with you all as we continue to execute against our mission.
With that, operator, please open the call for Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question will be coming from the line of Matthew O'Brien of Piper Sandler.
2. Question Answer
And really nice quarter across the board here, everyone. So congrats on that. I did want to ask about a couple of things that might get a little bit of attention here from investors.
Well, the first thing on the pricing side, it looks like the DME ASPs were quite strong in the quarter, but the pharmacy looked like it's a little bit below what I might have been modeling. So is there anything going on in the pharmacy channel specifically on the pricing side of note that we should really be thinking about? And then I do have a follow-up.
Yes. So Matt, are you talking specifically about the iLet pharmacy price or the monthly supply kit ASPs or both?
Both, but more so on the supply kit side.
Yes. Okay. So on the iLet in the pharmacy channel, you did see a downtick -- so I'm going to just -- I'm going to comment on both. And the first one is on the iLet in the pharmacy channel. You did see a downtick in the ASP in that for that particular channel, because we're seeing more adoption from PBMs, which is evidenced by the uptick in the pharmacy new patient -- percentage of new patient starts.
And when that happens, we no longer rebate the -- or sorry, we then issue a rebate for the iLet and the ASP in that particular channel then goes down over time. And so you have seen that, again, is indicative of the success that we're having in winning new patient starts and getting more traction in the pharmacy channel with, again, more PBM adoption and more underlying health plan adoption.
There actually isn't anything -- and moving to the pharmacy supply kits, there's actually nothing about the ASP changing from Q1 to Q2 or nothing of no changing the ASP from Q1 to Q2. There is some stocking dynamic that was present in Q2 relative to Q1. And what you saw was some headwind or unfavorability in Q2 relative to Q1 from stocking. So that dynamic is probably what's contributing to your numbers there, Matt.
Got it. Okay. That's good to hear. And then the other piece is just on the churn rate. It looks like it was about 5% in the quarter based on my math, which I know that could be wrong. But I just want to make sure the numbers are about right there. And then just anything you would call out on the churn side that might be a little higher or lower DME or pharmacy? And specifically pharmacy, are you seeing a little higher churn rate through that channel?
Yes. So while I can appreciate that churn rate or the attrition rate that we have in the pharmacy channel, in particular, has a ton of impact on your model. And by the way, it's something that we monitor very closely at Beta Bionics. For reasons that are as simple as the industry doesn't -- or the diabetes industry doesn't report on attrition rates, Beta Bionics is not going to be the first pump company that does. So again, I understand that it's an important metric that you have in your model, but it's not something that we're commenting on.
Here's what I will say in principle though, that I think highlights why we have a lot of confidence in our attrition rate or in our retention rate, I guess, to use a more positive connotation. Every single patient that we can send through the pharmacy channel, we do. So how this works logistically is when Beta Bionics gets a prescription for the iLet, we check to see if the patient is covered in pharmacy. We check to see if the patient is covered -- and if they are, we send that patient in pharmacy. If they're not, we send them through DME.
What that's indicative of is that we know -- because we know what our retention rate is in the pharmacy channel, we know that it is the most advantaged channel for us financially, which is why we send every patient there that we can. So I'll just, again, make that point to emphasize that despite us not communicating our retention or attrition rates numerically, they're very good, and it's why we continue to prioritize pharmacy over DME.
And our next question will be coming from the line of Travis Steed of Bank of America.
This is Stephanie Piazzola on for Travis. Congrats on a good quarter. Maybe just wanted to start out by asking about the guidance. You beat Q2 by almost $4 million and are raising the guide by $6 million at the midpoint. So maybe just talk about some of the drivers of that increased outlook in the back half of the year and the confidence in those.
And then you gave some quarterly cadence commentary, which was helpful. But maybe if you could elaborate a little bit on the underlying assumptions of the Q3 revenue being higher than Q2 and the Q3 new patient starts similar to Q2.
Yes, sure. So there's a lot in there. The first [ cut ] question you asked is about why do we have confidence in our guidance for the rest of the year, and we're raising guidance not just by the amount that we beat in Q2.
So my first statement I'll say is we have a high degree of confidence in every bit of guidance that we communicate. So our revenue guidance for the remainder of 2025 is no different.
As it relates to the Q3 new patient starts guidance and the revenue outlook for the rest of the year, I think kind of embedded in your question there, Stephanie, is you're asking, okay, so why are you forecasting or why are you guiding to a flat new patient start number when we're also expecting revenue to grow and the company has grown quarter-over-quarter.
So I guess I'll answer that -- I'd give 3 reasons for that. The first one is -- in diabetes, as you're aware, seasonally, we tend to see Q1 being the weakest quarter relative to the other quarters throughout the year and then Q4 being seasonally the best quarter, whereas Q2 and Q3 tend to be kind of flat or neutral relative to one another. So there's nothing that we're noting about Q3 seasonality in our guidance.
The second is that Q2 was a very strong quarter, which is part of the reason why for the flat new patient start guidance in Q3.
And then the last point, the third point is just a reiteration of what I said actually to start my answer here, which is that any time we do give guidance, we set it at a level that we have a higher degree of confidence in our ability to achieve. And that new patient starts number is no exception.
Yes. That's helpful. And then I just wanted to follow up on the CMS home health proposal for 2026. And maybe if you could just talk about some of the next steps as part of the process and I guess, a bit more on the expected timing of how long it could take for some of the things in the proposal to be implemented?
Yes, sure. So yes, the next steps are -- CMS will receive comments from companies, DME distributors, in particular to the insulin pump industry. They'll see comments from companies like Beta Bionics as well as DME distributors. I think it's by the end of August is when those particular proposals -- or early September, I think, is when those responses are due. So that will happen.
And then CMS will put together whether or not they choose to move forward with the proposal and implement -- if they do implement the competitive bidding process and then ultimately have -- make a ruling sometime in the future for when the new policy would be enacted. And our expectation is the earliest that would be is 2027.
And our next question will be coming from the line of Michael Polark of Wolfe Research.
I'm interested for a generic comment on kind of same-store new store dynamics as you assess the sequential growth in starts to what -- how much would you attribute to kind of increased penetration with existing prescribers versus the sign-up of new prescribers?
Yes. Mike, good question. You're not going to love my answer because I'm not going to answer it numerically. But we're actually seeing the dynamic of both happening. So we did -- we did expand our field sales team relative to this time last year. So there is an element of new territories where Beta Bionics' field sales presence was before this new expansion, still had a lot of white space throughout the country. So like areas that had no field sales presence at all. So there is a new store dynamic as a result of that. But we are seeing across the board, an uptick in prescriber adoption within territories that we already do operate in.
And again, we do quantify these things but they're not KPIs that we do communicate externally. But absolutely, the message of iLet simplicity is resonating. HCPs are seeing good results from their patients and becoming more comfortable prescribing the iLet, and I think that's evidenced by our results. So the dynamic is actually both, Mike, but I'm not going to quantify them for you.
Understood. If I can follow up, I appreciate all the comments on the Medicare proposal. I know the response to this one will probably lean squish, but to the extent this moves forward substantially as envisioned, and I'm talking specifically about the shift to pay over time.
To what extent would this Medicare fee-for-service standard create risk that the commercial DME or Medicare Advantage contracts over time head in this direction as well? How do you assess that path?
Yes. Good question. Look, nowhere in that proposal -- it doesn't mention anything of that nature. And we don't see any associated risk from this particular proposal stemming into commercial plans or within into the pharmacy model. I will just highlight that a pay-as-you-go model, like that's being proposed here in the CMS proposal, which is what this rental model is, as Sean, I think, well outlined on the -- in the prepared remarks. That's working quite well already in the pharmacy system, where Beta Bionics even and all patch pumps are getting reimbursed through -- well, I guess, in the case of patch pumps, their Medicare Part D coverage, which Beta Bionics isn't -- or our iLet is not.
But we're already seeing in Managed Medicare coverage on the iLet through a pay-as-you-go model that exists in pharmacy. And so I think in the event that the CMS wanted to shift to a pay-as-you-go model into the pharmacy channel, they would use an already existing infrastructure that's already in place today. So I guess, twofold to that answer, Mike.
I think I'd like to add to that one, Stephen. It's very hard for us to assess the risk of that happening. But I think what we've done is insulate ourselves from it with our pre-existing transfer to a pay-as-you-go model proactively. There are reasons that it makes a ton of sense and makes a lot of sense for us as well. And again, we're already doing that proactively. So I can't speak so much to the risk of it, but I will say that we're preparing ourselves properly for it, if it were ever to happen.
And the next question will be coming from the line of David Roman of Goldman Sachs.
This is [ Phil ] on for David. I thought I'd start with the type 2 comments that you ended with Sean. Stronger contributor as a percentage of new patient starts with a much stronger new patient start number overall. I was just hoping you could talk a bit more about the market dynamics going on there, the success that you're having, albeit off-label and what would kind of act as a trigger or what we need to hear for a bigger push towards type 2?
Yes, it's a great question, Phil. I think what I'll say, given that iLet obviously is off-label in that regard, I'm going to make comments -- I'm going to keep my comments more general in terms of how physicians run their practices. I think it's a true statement that physicians are responsible for understanding the different tools they have available to them and where they can best be used and what they do and with whom, and prescribe them as they see fit. And that's why the off-label rules are as they are. They have every right to do that.
I don't want to get into the specifics of iLet, but I think that, that's clearly being taken into account in the prescribing patterns that we're seeing as the awareness of iLet generally and other products becomes more broadly known. So sorry for the slightly vague answer, but, yes, type 2, so...
No, I think that's helpful. The second one is probably for Stephen. It's a different way of the guidance question and appreciate that pharmacy mix in a given quarter will matter to this question. But given the growing proportion of recurring revenue that's coming in, it is going to be the case in this revenue ramp period that if you see sequential increase in patients, there should be even more so a sequential ramp in revenue to accompany that, right, because you have the pump revenue as a supplement to a growing base of recurring revenue.
I guess, said differently, do you have better visibility moving forward into the guidance assumptions you're giving because of the relative scale of the recurring versus onetime-only revenue over time here?
Yes, great question. Both answers are yes. Yes, we see upticks in our revenue if we had flat new patient starts quarter-over-quarter because we have this powerful installed base that's generating recurring revenue in the pharmacy channel. And yes, our business is more predictable if a higher percentage of our revenue is coming from pharmacy because that -- that's a recurring revenue stream.
Okay. Great. Just one clarifying one. The pay-as-you-go model just from a timing standpoint could go into effect in '26, while the comment on the competitive bidding process not going into place was '27, right?
No, actually. We would imagine that those -- the competitive bidding process would end up dictating the rental model -- or that would end up being a [ pre-req ] for the rental model going into place. And so my comment on when we expect -- 2027 being the earliest we would expect this to go into adoption, it means the policy in its totality. Competitive bidding, which then leads to a rental model and then that actually starts selling through that rental model in 2027 at the earliest. I'd say, that's very speculative, but that's what we think.
And our next question will come from the line of Frank Takkinen of Lake Street.
Congrats on the great quarter and increased guidance. I wanted to start with one more on type 2s, and I appreciate the sensitivities given it's off-label, but with how good that number has been trending. I was hoping you could help us understand a little bit more of maybe where that strength is coming from? Is that the primary care channel? Is that patient group using the pharmacy benefit channel more? Or anything else specific to call out that has increased the use in that channel?
Yes. Okay. So Frank, we have to be a little careful here as we don't have a type 2 indication. So I don't want to sound like we're promoting the iLet for type 2 use. And I'll just reiterate what Sean said about doctors have the ability to prescribe what they want. So I'm not going to answer your question too thoroughly. But yes, absolutely, the iLet is -- when it is being adopted for type 2 patients, it's happening in both the primary care channel as well as the endo channel, similar to how the iLet is, frankly, today.
Okay. That's helpful. Understood. And then just secondly, maybe an update on sales force hiring. I appreciate the color and update you guys provided today, but maybe talk about kind of sales force hiring expectations.
Yes. So we started the year with 43 sales territories, we ended the year with 63 -- sorry, ended the first quarter with 63 sales territories, and we still ended this quarter with 63 sales territories. You're not going to see a massive uptick in our territory expansion for the remainder of the year. We will likely expand again in early next year.
And our next question will come from the line of Jeff Johnson of Baird.
I think she said, Jeff. I hope you're hearing me okay here. Just maybe one clarifying question. You talked about maybe that pharmacy channel mix not increasing at the same rate in the back half of the year as we saw in the first half of the year. Part of that due just to the strong uptake you saw through the Prime contracts that started in February. As you have expanded access through additional payers here, why is the Prime contract different maybe than some of those other payers?
Or said another way, if you're pushing as many of your patients who do have pharmacy coverage into the pharmacy channel, why can't that rate of push and kind of that rate of adoption continue to move in the same sequential kind of pattern?
Yes. Really good question. Okay. So the Prime deal is quite different than what we've seen with other PBM contracts in that when -- when we -- so let me actually I'm going to back up one second. To gain pharmacy coverage and the way that we define coverage is new patient starts going through the pharmacy channel. There's 2 really important steps that have to happen in order for us to obtain that coverage. The first one is we need the PBM agreement. And then the second is we need the underlying health plans that partner with that PBM. In the case of Prime, both step 1 and 2 happened at the same time.
In the case of the other PBM agreements and notably the one that Sean brought up on the call -- in his prepared remarks that will go into effect, the large PBM agreement that goes into effect on July 1, that is not the case. We -- step 1 happened, but the underlying agreements with the health plans are a separate sales cycle that we need to go win and then add at future dates.
Now for the other PBM contracts that we have that are already in place and have been historically, we continue to tick off underlying health plans that are a part of that step 2, which is part of the reason you see the sequential uptick that we've had historically in pharmacy adoption. It's not just because of the Prime deal that we had in the first half of the year, but also the other PBMs, we continue to layer on more and more underlying plans.
All right. That's helpful. That explains it. And then just one other question, I guess, on the competitive bidding in the pay-as-you-go model. One of your competitors out there is talking about potentially as a tubed pump getting in Medicare Part D. You guys, obviously, on the pharmacy channel are kind of taking a monthly on the PBM side. What would it take?
Is there any possible way to get into Part D as opposed to Part B? And does your read of the documents -- of the CMS documents suggest that Part D will not be subject to competitive bidding? That was our read, but I think there's a couple of varied opinions on some of the wording in that document.
Yes. So what would it take? We've always said that the longest train or the big train to turn in order for durable insulin pumps to start becoming reimbursed primarily through the pharmacy channel was Medicare Part D treatment, which today, durable -- for those that aren't aware, the iLet and durable insulin pumps are considered Part B covered.
Jeff, frankly, I don't really want -- to predict when that train turns and we start seeing durable insulin pumps be considered Part D treatment, I don't really want to predict. I think this does maybe start the discussion and maybe move it faster than it otherwise had been because it's clear that CMS is interested in a pay-as-you-go model, which is what the pharmacy channel really enables. But I still do think that there's nothing -- and so -- but I don't really want to give a time line to predict when that happens.
I also, by the way, which leads me to actually to your second question, nowhere in that proposal does it mention anything about Part B or insulin pumps, notably patch pumps that are considered Part D treatment. It doesn't mention them at all in that proposal. So I would have no reason to believe that the proposal is insinuating anything about patch pumps or any Part D treatment insulin delivery device because, frankly, it just don't mention it at all.
I have a higher-level conversation -- or comment on that, Jeff. I think we have 2 concepts here, and they overlap, but they're not the same thing, but they are related. The first is durable versus patch pumps or durable versus disposables if you prefer. We've all come to know and understand what that means. However, there's also the concept of a durable pump model, meaning an upfront payment followed by a smaller supply payment versus a pay-as-you-go model traditionally applied to a disposable system, and that makes all sense in the world.
So I think what I'm saying is that as durable pumps get paid more in a pay-as-you-go model, the specific distinction of a durable versus disposable device start to not matter because that's not really what they were getting at originally, right? These -- the reasons for these statements have evolved over time. The pay-as-you-go model is the original definition of that I believe. But -- so what does that mean? I don't know, we'll have to wait and see.
And the next question will be coming from the line of Richard Newitter of Truist.
This is Felipe on for Rich. I guess just like -- off the last point, I was wondering if you could just help us better understand in terms of new starts, because your presence in pharmacy is a lot larger compared to some of your durable pump competitors. So I'm just wondering like is removing that upfront cost maybe a decision driver for new MDI patients thinking about starting on durable pumps? And then just one follow-up.
Yes. Yes, absolutely. If you were to ask me a question, why are we seeing such an uptick in new patient starts? Why do we continue to exceed expectation or even our own expectations on new patient starts? I would give you 2 reasons. One is the iLet is absolutely resonating for its highly differentiated characteristics, meaning it's simple to use. The clinical results are fantastic. And so as doctors try it, they get great results and they prescribe more of it. So really simple.
But the other dynamic is that absolutely, the pharmacy coverage -- the availability of the pharmacy reimbursement model for patients makes it so dramatically easier for a patient to purchase the iLet either to switch from their other durable pump, by the way, because they're not locked into a 4-year warranty period or just simply because the out-of-pocket is so much less than it would be for the iLet and DME that it does create a tailwind for new patient starts, and that's a large driver of our new patient start success.
And then just on the gross margin guidance, you're upping your pharmacy contribution. So I'm just wondering like what's the main driver of bringing your gross margin guidance higher with that headwind?
Yes. We continue to see benefit from a lower cost per unit with scale. And so we just -- we have a really strong sense of what our cost per unit is going to be for the remainder of the year and hence, confidence in our ability to continue to increase it.
And our next question will be coming from the line of Jeffrey Cohen of Ladenburg Thalmann.
Sean and Stephen, just one from our standpoint. You talked about the field sales reps and territory coverage. And when you think about the back half, could you kind of walk us through how you may expect the OpEx to look as it relates to Q3 and Q4 related -- relative to the first half?
Yes, sure. So with G&A expenses and sales and marketing expenses, you won't see a big uptick in OpEx for the rest of this year in Q2 -- in Q3 and Q4. With R&D, you may see an uptick in Q3 and Q4 associated with the Mint program as well as the bihormonal project.
So again, we'll get -- we'll start to get more and more leverage out of our sales and marketing costs as well as the G&A costs, but there will be some lumpiness to bihormonal or as a result of bihormonal and the Mint projects.
Okay. Got it. As it looks over the next 2 to 6 quarters, would you expect R&D to be lumpy?
Yes.
Thank you so much. There are no more questions in the queue. And that does conclude the presentation for today. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.
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Beta Bionics Inc — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Beta Bionics Inc — Special Call - Beta Bionics, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
All right. Thanks, everyone, for joining us today for our first investor and analyst event. Sorry for the technical difficulties and brief delay, but we're up and running now. But yes, I appreciate everyone joining on an early Sunday morning. By way of quick introduction, I'm Blake Beber, Head of Investor Relations at Beta Bionics. We have a great agenda for you today. I'm joined here by Sean Saint, our CEO; Mike Mensinger, our Chief Product Officer; Mark Hopman, our Chief Commercial Officer; Dr. Steven Russell, our Chief Medical Officer; and Stephen Feider, our CFO.
I'd like to remind everyone that some of the statements you'll hear today are forward-looking in nature and reflect management's expectations about future events, our product pipeline, development time lines and operating plans. These forward-looking statements speak only as of today's date, and we undertake no obligation to update them to reflect subsequent events or circumstances except to the extent required by law. You can refer to this slide, our disclaimer slide in our investor event deck as well as our SEC filings for more information on forward-looking statements.
Both the replay of this webcast as well as the supplemental slide presentation will be available on our website for 1 year following the conclusion of today's event. Information recorded during today's event speak only as of today, June 22, 2025. If you're listening to the replay, any time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate.
So without further ado, we can get started here. I'd like to introduce Sean Saint, our CEO.
Thank you, Blake. Sorry about the snafu everybody. I can assure you that it will be properly reflected on Blake's review. Anyway, thanks for coming today. I know it's early. We've got a bit of a jam-packed agenda. We'll try and move through it quickly. We're going to leave a ton of time for questions at the end. We're going to start today with a commercial update by Stephen and Mark. I'm going to talk a little bit about not our algorithm specifically, but algorithms generally and the differences between the algorithms primarily because I think there's a lot of misinformation out there.
I want to make sure we're all kind of singing from the same sheet of music on how to think about the differences in these algorithms. We'll talk about our iLet real-world experience, of course, with Dr. Russell. And then, of course, the patch pump demo, probably why maybe a few of you are here. But we're leaving it at the end, so you have to listen to the rest of us. And then we're going to leave a lot of time for Q&A. So with that, I'm going to turn this over to Stephen.
Awesome. Thank you. All right. Hey, everybody. Yes, as Sean said, I'm Stephen Feider, and I'm Beta Bionics CFO. There's just 2 quick things for me this morning. Number one is a housekeeping item. So we're not going to -- it's our policy to not comment on the current quarter. So nowhere in today's presentation or in any Q&A are we going to comment on the Q2 performance.
And the second thing is we actually launched a really cool product here at ADA this weekend. This new product is called the Bionic portal. What it is, is an online health care provider portal. And if you're interested in seeing the health care provider portal or the Bionic portal in action, stop by our booth sometime today and someone from the Beta Bionics team will happily show it to you.
But there is one feature that I want to highlight here about the Bionic portal. So when we're presenting our clinical data or the clinical outcomes on the iLet, we like to use a particular graph to do this. What this graph does is it takes a given patient population in the real world. And when we take that population and we look at their A1c, their hemoglobin A1c right before we start on the iLet. We then compare that and we take that starting A1c and compare that to the glucose management indicator, the abbreviated GMI or their approximate A1c after they're using the iLet.
So again, we take the starting A1c right before you start on the iLet and then compare that to the glucose management indicator, the approximate A1c after using the iLet. Now that clinical comparison is the strongest and most used sales tool that we have. Our field sales team uses it every single day when we're talking about the iLet and showing the clinical outcomes of that to health care providers.
Now what the Bionic portal does and as of this weekend, is it makes those clinical outcomes, like that particular data I just described, accessible to any health care provider, any clinic who's prescribing the iLet. And it does this in an online platform that's easily accessible. It's updated in real time, and it's in a format that's very easy to understand. And we believe this is the first-of-its-kind product like this that exists in insulin pumping.
So here's just a snapshot or a screenshot of what it looks like. This is a particular -- what you're seeing here is a particular clinics patient population that's on the iLet. And what we show, again, on the left side of the screen is they're starting A1c kind of bucketed. And then on the right side, their resulting glucose management indicator, their approximate A1c. So a very cool product. Just in conclusion, the so what of this, like why does this matter? Demonstrating great clinical outcomes is core to what iLet's value proposition is.
And we believe that by making these results more accessible for HCPs that it will build even more confidence in our product and lead to even more high-volume prescribers to the iLet. So again, stop by the booth if you're interested in seeing this thing in action. That's all I have all for me. The next thing is Mark Hopman, our Chief Commercial Officer, is going to tell you about our pharmacy business model. Mark?
Excellent. Thanks, Stephen. I have one slide to go over with you today. We're going to walk through our pharmacy strategy and how it impacts the key stakeholders that deal with that. In early 2014, I accepted a newly created role at Dexcom, which was tasked with spinning up their pharmacy business. And at that point in time, Dexcom had, had 0 prescriptions ever filled, 0 revenue ever generated. About 8 years later when I left, we had done well over $1 billion of sales through pharmacy. And as you know, that's a major channel for them today.
So there was no analog at that time to copy. It had never been done before. So there was a lot of trial in there, but we had some good success. And what I'm doing here and leading is -- we're distilling that down to the best practices that we learned during that and replicating it here. And as we just announced on our Q1 call, we raised guidance for pharmacy new patient starts to 22% to 25% for the year.
So we're very pleased with how this effort is going. So if you look at the overall strategy, there's 3 parts to it. First is the PBM agreement. This is getting on the menu. Many companies will state how many patients they have under contract, which means they're on formulary at a particular PBM. While we definitely look at that metric, it's not the metric we care the most about.
We care more about how many new patient starts there are. So in this process, you have to take a deal to the PBM that meets their strategic goals and sign a contract with them that does put you on the menu, but it doesn't make your product be ordered off that menu.
So the next part of this is health plan adoption. This is where they actually go in and model and look at the financials. They look at other things as well, but the financials are the most important things. Again, in Q1 call, we talked about how Prime Therapeutics had adopted the Ascent formulary. And so we've seen some nice pickup from that, but that's the concept of the health plan adopting the PBM coverage.
Equally important to this, though, is you have to have operational excellence to execute against that coverage, and it's very difficult to straddle a pharmacy benefit and a DME benefit at the same time. And so we're not going to give away our secret sauce on how we do that, but we're very confident and very proud of what we have set up internally to identify which benefit the patient lives in and then help shuttle them down the appropriate pathway. So from a stakeholder perspective on these new patient starts, just quickly looking at the different important players. You have the user. And for the user, you have a streamlined insurance approval to get on product much faster. It's also lower out-of-pocket cost.
For our particular product to a patient, commercially speaking, they pretty much never pay for the hardware. It's free to them. And then they pay $25 a month or $300 for a total year of our product. That includes if they're in deductible, it includes if they have to get the pump that year. And so that's a huge change for -- diabetes is a very expensive disease, and they're used to paying the first year of pump therapy, several thousand dollars. And then each subsequent year, $1,000 or more for us, we can confidently say for the vast majority of our patients, it's $300 or less per year. So that lower out-of-pocket cost is big.
And lastly is no pump jail. On pharmacy, there is no pump jail. Pump jail on the DME side is you're locked in for 4 years because of that large outlay that the insurance company has made on your behalf, and they need the time to recoup the clinical return on investment that they paid for that patient. Patients hate that. No U.S. consumer other than maybe a house and their car sign up for something for 4 years, especially in a piece of technology that's going to evolve quickly.
From a provider's perspective, those things are important, too, but getting the patient on product quickly and also less administrative burden. On the pharmacy side, prior authorizations in many instances are done electronically where they do a 180-day look back for rapid-acting insulin in the patient's profile, and then they'll make an immediate pay decision, whereas on the DME side, pretty much everything is still done manually. Also, the no 4-year commitment is big to them.
From a payer perspective, and I'm going to -- we get a lot of questions about this, so we're going to take it head on, is you know the economics of the pharmacy side versus the DME side. And over a 4-year time period, it is about 3x more costly. So why would a PB -- or why would a plan when they're modeling this decide to put the benefit on the pharmacy side.
And if you look at their population of patients on the product, they have -- it's a population of decays with 2 variables. The first variable is attrition from the product. So if you're paying -- and this is their economics, this isn't their economics, Stephen usually talks about for us. But from their economics, they're paying between $4,000 and $5,000 for that pump on the DME side.
If a patient is on it for a day, a week, a month, a year, they have not had time to get the clinical benefit, return on investment for that $4,000 to $5,000. And so they put in place these mechanisms of pump jail. But imagine trying to land a message if you're health plan A that says, oh, you got a pump 2 years ago, even though you weren't our patient, and so we're not going to pay for it now for you. And that's a horrible message to land. So they hate that.
So that's one decaying variable. The second decaying variable is churn, what they call churn in the industry. There's -- here's a situation. Imagine you're UnitedHealthcare, you just paid for a pump. And then 2 weeks later, that particular patient changes jobs and they move to a different insurer. So now you as UnitedHealthcare just paid $5,000 for something that Aetna is going to have that patient for the next couple of years.
So when they do the modeling and they look at the pay-as-you-go model, they take the fact that there's 0 upfront cost with a higher monthly cost to them versus that huge payment upfront and then the lower monthly cost. So that's the #1 thing they look at. They also like the less administrative burden on the prior authorization, but most of it is financial.
And we just raised our guidance on that. So we are finding that sweet spot of where those numbers cross over for them financially and so they're adopting. And then lastly, for us, it's faster access to users. It's also a bigger addressable market because we can now go after other people who are in pump jail because it doesn't matter on the pharmacy side. And then the pay-as-you-go economics for us, it's about 3x the revenue generation over a 4-year period than the DME side.
So we'll take more questions at the end if there are on that process. But with that, I will throw it over to Sean.
All right. Thanks, Mark. Thanks, Stephen. All right. So as I said earlier, I'm going to talk a little bit not so much about the specifics of our algorithm, but the differences between them and hopefully introduce kind of a framework and some words that we can all use to better understand these algorithms and frankly, that you all can use to ask me questions, to ask my friends at other companies' questions to really understand what it is we're talking about because there's a lot of obfuscation that goes on about these different algorithms, people trying to make them look the same when sometimes they are and in other cases, they're actually quite different.
So I want to start with this. A closed-loop technology really has 2 stakeholders. The user certainly, that's obviously the one we build this for, but also the health care provider. So those are different concepts and they require different words and different portions of the algorithm, frankly. So let's start with users. Continuum, highly engaged algorithms. This is traditional. This is where we started and then no engagement required on the right.
We already have words for this. Hybrid closed-loop systems on the left. These are hybrid. They're not fully closed loop because they require your engagement, makes sense. On the right, fully closed loop requires absolutely no engagement from the user. So where is the line between those? We'll get to that.
On the left line -- on the left side, hybrid closed loop, things like carb counting definitely needs to be done. Things like manual correction boluses, temporary basal rate adjustments, extended boluses, all those things have to be entered into the pump manually. But as you move to the right, you might start to see some simplification. You might start to see preprogrammed carb boluses, fixed meal time dosing, those sorts of things.
Go a little bit farther, you're going to get the meal announcements. This is where iLet is today, right? You all know that scheme. I won't repeat it, but it doesn't yet constitute fully closed loop because those meal boluses are still required. Our label asks you to do it. So our contention is that the definition of fully closed loop, and I think that this is consistent with what I've heard others talk about, is that you do not need to meal announce. They are truly optional.
But maybe the feature is still there. We're not -- nobody is saying that you have to take away the ability to meal announce in order for it to be fully closed loop. You just have to have them be fully optional. You don't want to do it, it's totally fine. It's completely in agreement with the labeling and the instructions. So hopefully, that makes sense.
So we're not quite there yet. We do believe that we're the farthest to the right along this continuum, and we're going to show data in a little bit about the product being used in that mode. In other words, people ignoring the label and not meal announcing, which is their right and happens on every system out there at some level.
Okay. I said 2 stakeholders. So the second one is the health care provider. This is definitely an orthogonal concept. So let's show it orthogonally, right? Now here, we also have 2 ends of the spectrum. We have static and we have adaptive. Again, let's show what that means. With a stat -- the job of the health care provider, of course, is to set up and program the pump and make sure it works best for that person at all times.
So we're going to start with calculating the initial settings and programming them into the pump and then keeping that pump good for that patient every 3 months, right? But as we head toward adaptive a little bit, you might start to see setup wizards. We're seeing those. That's good. That helps with the initial setup of the pump, but it doesn't remove the requirement to review the data and modify those pump settings every 3 months.
Go a little bit farther, you might start to see things like adaptive basal rates. That's certainly a little bit of a work reduction. But again, every 3 months, you're still in those pump settings, you're still reviewing the data and you're still modifying them. And then you get to adaptive, where there are, in fact, no settings to be adjusted by the health care provider. Of course, iLet.
Okay. So now with those 2 concepts, I want to talk a little bit more about this portion, which is, again, the setup and management of the pump, not the use of the pump and how difficult that is, right? So what a health care provider is typically going to do when they start you on a pump is they're going to take your weight, let's pretend this is a statement of medical necessity here. They take your weight, your total daily dose if they have it. They're going to utilize the rules of thumb or the ACE pump guidelines or the ACE guidelines, excuse me, to calculate all of the initial settings that need to be programmed into that pump, right?
Then they program it into the pump. And this is the step here that a set of blizzard could help with. This is our schematic example pump. It has 5 settings on it: basal rate, insulin sensitivity factor, insulin carb factor, insulin carb ratio, glucose target and duration of insulin action. And in this particular case, we've shown it over 4x settings. You can use many more, you can use fewer. This is reasonably typical. So what do we have here? We have 20 settings that need to be set up in this particular pump, again, an example, okay?
So a decent amount of work. So what I want to show and what I hope to convince you of is that these settings are important and that they're difficult. So let's talk about what each and every one of the settings does, not all 20 because I'm not going to go through all the time settings, but you get the point. To do that, we're going to look at the dosing of insulin, the actual math associated with dosing of insulin.
It's actually pretty straightforward. Every 5 minutes, that pump is -- by the way, this math is exemplary. It's not anybody's exact math, but you'll get the point. It is how it works. Every 5 minutes, you're going to look at however much insulin you're going to get from your basal rate. You're going to take your blood glucose, subtract target because that's how far above target you are, divide that by your insulin sensitivity factor. We call that correction insulin.
You're going to take the carbs you eat, you divide that by the carb ratio. That's your mealtime bolus. You're going to subtract from that any insulin on board you may have. That's insulin still in your body, still being metabolized, hasn't done its job yet, hasn't brought your blood glucose down yet. We get that number from a fairly complex equation that comes from your duration of insulin action.
So now you can see how each and every one of those settings impacts the actual insulin delivery that we see every 5 minutes, right? And you add that all up, you get your dose. So what does that look like in the real world? And trust me, I have a point here. So we're going to take our example pump. And what we're going to do is we're going to highlight each one of the settings that's active in a particular 5-minute period, so you can see what's going on.
And we're going to look at a day in the life. This particular user starts at 180. You can see on the left, 4 of the 5x settings are being used every 5 minutes. On the bottom, you'll see that the insulin delivery -- that's not going to work. I'm going to back that up, sorry, this is going to work. Yes, down here, we're going to show insulin delivery. At the bottom of the chart, you can see that blood sugar is coming down, insulin delivery is kind of stable.
Everything is sort of fine, but you're using 4 of those time setting each and every 5-minute period. We get to 6:00 a.m. Those time settings switch over to the 7 to 12-hour time. And in this case, the insulin delivery has gone down a little bit because blood sugar was coming down. Now we get to a meal. The user had to manual enter this, of course. We get a big bolus that fifth setting, the insulin-to-carb ratios come into play, and we continue on. Blood sugar is now going up.
So the correction controller is going to start kicking in more insulin automatically. We get to near noon here. We're going to have another meal, bring in that other -- that fifth setting again and continue on. And you get the point, right? Now we have -- in this case, the user's blood sugar didn't come down all the way, and they asked for a correction bolus. Now another meal.
So you can see all the interactions of the product by the user, but you can also see what each and every one of those settings is doing all day long. And here's the -- in this case, the user's blood sugar went down after that last meal and they asked for a temporary basal rate to probably help eliminate any impending hypo. And there's the first day.
And what's interesting about this is you can actually look at any particular portion of this day and say, wow, it kind of went high after lunch. It's entirely possible that the carb ratio is wrong around lunchtime. It's a relatively straightforward thing to do. But bear with us because we can't actually do that. We put that day in memory, we go on to the next day. This day, we start more like 90 instead of 180. But other than that, the general things that are happening, here's a correction bolus, a meal, another meal, the day looks similar and yet almost completely opposite. Get to the end of that day.
Now that day is in memory, right? The problem with this is that the health care provider is in charge of not looking at these 2 days, but looking at data more like this. This is 14 days of data. We lovingly call this a spaghetti chart for obvious reasons. And they need to look at this and deconvolute each one of those 20 settings for that user and try and modify them.
In the best case scenario, there's going to be some obvious trends in here. More commonly, it looks something like this where it's very hard to do that. So hopefully, that's a good explanation of why trying to figure out these time settings every 3 months is an extraordinarily hard thing to do, right? So that's what iLet is trying to do. That's what adaptive closed-loop algorithms are trying to do, remove the settings completely, take away the necessity of staring at those spaghetti charts. We think they'll still look because everybody wants to know that their patients are doing well, but you don't have to is the point. And that's what iLet is about.
So I guess the next important concept is we just showed 14 days of data because 90 days would be overwhelming. But the health care provider is traditionally going to see you, as I've said several times, every 90 days. They certainly can't see you every 5 minutes. They can't see you every meal, but iLet can. So how fast can we adapt? Well, this is a graph here of the predicted GMI that you get after starting, and you can see down here at the bottom after 0, 1, 2, 7 days of use. What does it tell you?
It tells you within a couple of days, it's adapted, a couple of days. And then it looks completely static after that. But don't confuse that with the fact that the algorithm is static. The outcome is static, right? What that means is, as you change as a person, you change your diet, you start an exercise regimen, whatever it is, the system is staying with you automatically. You're not waiting for your next health care provider and a rekick off of another set of setting evolutions.
The system does that automatically in real time, okay? So hopefully, I've convinced you that the settings are hard, which means you need kind of a specialist to do that, actually a serious specialist, call that an endocrinologist. I think we all know that, what, 40% to 50% of the pump market is, excuse me, 40%, 50% of people with type 1 diabetes are managed by an endocrinologist, right? These are the people with the skill sets to do that. There's a reason that primary care providers aren't managing pumps very commonly, and I've just shown it to you.
So the question, I guess, is how easily can a primary care provider manage a patient on iLet or how successfully can they manage a patient on iLet or any fully adaptive system. And here's the answer. Endocrinology, we see an average reduction of 1.6% from baseline A1c down to follow-up GMI, the way Stephen described earlier, then primary care sees the exact same, least surprising result ever, right, because there's absolutely nothing to do.
That's what a fully adaptive algorithm gets you. Access to the other 50% to 60% of people with type 1 diabetes in this country, okay? So let's bring back those first 2 concepts that I talked about earlier. There's the hybrid versus fully closed loop continuum, and there's the static versus adaptive continuum. And obviously, you see we get kind of 4 quadrants.
So our competitors, by and large, today are static hybrid algorithms. These are great systems, nothing wrong with it. It's just what they are. And we are trending toward fully closed loop, not there yet, but an adaptive system. Obviously, we've heard that they are intending to move toward fully closed loop. That's great. We agree.
We are doing the exact same thing. But what I hope you leave here today with is an understanding that once you say fully closed loop, that's not fully closed loop in all regards. There's static, fully closed loop, there's adaptive, fully closed loop. And unless we get to fully adaptive closed-loop systems, we haven't opened up primary care. We haven't saved the physician any time and et cetera, et cetera.
So with that, I'm going to -- and in this new framework that I've laid out, I'm going to turn this over to Dr. Russell to talk about our first 2 years of experience on iLet and give us just a little more history on how this has been going. Dr. Russell?
Thank you, Sean. So I'm going to tell you a little bit about what those algorithms, those adaptive algorithms are able to accomplish in the real world. First of all, let's start with the background, the situation as we found it when iLet was launched. So this is a histogram from data published in a paper looking at an insurance database.
So this was a large database. They looked at everybody who worked with that insurer, was covered by that insurer and looked at their A1c at a point in time. And what you can see is that there is a large spread of baseline A1cs. As a reference point, the American Diabetes Association and all other professional organizations recommend that you try to achieve an A1c below 7% to minimize the risk of complications.
For a long time, we've reported that in the population at large, only about 20% of people are able to achieve that goal. And that means that the rest are at much higher risk of complications. And you can see in this particular population, it's about 23% have an A1c below 7%. And there's a long tail with people with much, much higher A1Cs all the way out to greater than 14%.
How does the population that are started on the iLet compare to that? This in black is a histogram of the people starting on the iLet across the first 2 years of use. And you can see it's somewhat similar to that overall population. It's a little bit worse. In other words, the population has shifted to the right. People have worse glucose control before they start the iLet than in this insurance database.
I'd like to point out that, that's probably because those were people who had commercial insurance. We know that people with Medicare and Medicaid tend to have worse glucose control than people in that insurance -- commercially insured population. And if you look, you can see that we have more people in the 9% to 10%, 10% to 11%, 11% to 12% and so on, population bins as compared to that insurance database.
And I think that's because the iLet has -- as I'll show you, we've earned a reputation for being able to manage glucose even in people who have traditionally had a very hard time maintaining good glucose control because of the amount of automation that we have. So this is that rainbow graph that was described earlier that Stephen talked about earlier. And what this shows is dividing people's baseline A1cs into bins and then looking at where they wind up on the iLet.
So you can see there's a broad range of baseline A1cs all the way from 4% to 6% people who have really almost unphysiologically low A1cs all the way up to 14% to 19%. Actually, our highest baseline A1c for someone starting on the iLet is 19.1% at this point. I have to admit, I didn't even know it went up that high, but we have seen that in our baseline data.
And you can see that the overall average baseline A1c is 8.9%, a little bit higher than the average baseline A1c in the population at large. Well, what do we achieve with the iLet? And you can see that everybody comes down into a much tighter range. We go from an overall baseline A1C of 8.9% to an average GMI of 7.3%. And not only do people with very high A1cs get large reductions, everybody winds up in a very tight distribution around that new mean.
And that's because the iLet is adaptive. If your glucose is too high on one day, the iLet will automatically increase the basal dosing, the correction dosing. If you're getting too high of a postprandial excursion, the iLet will automatically increase the amount of meal insulin it gives you on the next day. So the iLet is continually adapting to your changing insulin needs. If you're having too many lows, the iLet will automatically back off on insulin dosing to try and mitigate that.
And so everybody winds up in this very tight distribution around the mean automatically without any intervention from a health care provider. And that adaptation process is literally happening from minute to minute. Every 5 minutes, the iLet is adapting. And that's something that as an endocrinologist, I simply can't provide, right? I see patients every 3 months, every 6 months. I do calls with them in between times if they're -- if things are going off the rails, but there's no way I can provide daily input.
So if we go back to this distribution and ask how do we change the game for these folks. So if I just go to that population schematic that I showed you before, and then I superimpose on it, people on the iLet, you can see how that population changes, right?
Before, there were about 20% of people who had A1cs above 10 on the iLet, it's 0. 0, and those people are at very high risk for complications of diabetes. You can see the whole distribution shifts down dramatically. The most -- most of the people are now in that 7 to 8 bin. Second most common group is in the 6% to 7% A1c bin or GMI bin.
And we have very few people above 8%. It's a total of 6% or above 8% GMI on the iLet. So this is a remarkable sort of population health level effect. My goal in doing this, I've been working on this project for a long time. I've been involved with developing these algorithms since 2006. The goal was always to make an impact at the population level.
Previous technologies that require so much input from the health care provider and where the outcomes are dependent on the skill of the user and how much attention they can devote to their diabetes management, they primarily were helping people who are already doing pretty well. So if you have the skills to already do pretty well, you could get on these hybrid closed-loop systems and you could do even better.
But we weren't really touching that big tail of the population that may not have had great numeracy skills, may not have had great executive function, may not have been able to focus and spend their time or may just not have wanted to. They did the math and they thought, I want to spend more time thinking about my life than I want to spend thinking about my diabetes, and I'm willing to take a risk, a long-term risk to do that with the iLet that they don't have to.
Now there's also a subgroup analysis that we've done. And one of the questions you might ask is what about people coming from MDI. So this is the first time they're using a pump. If we look at people coming from MDI, they have a worse baseline A1c than our population at large, 9.2% average A1c, but they come down to a GMI of 7.3% on the iLet. So you don't have to have expertise. You don't have to be a pumper to get these benefits from the iLet. And this is a rainbow diagram to show that the general, overall picture is the same.
People with very high A1Cs get very large reductions in A1c to GMI. People with better glucose control at baseline see less improvements and they come down to a slightly better ending GMI. But overall, everybody winds up in that very tight range because of the automation of the iLet. What about people coming from other AID systems? Although the majority of the people coming on to the iLet are coming from MDI, we do have quite a significant number of them who are coming from hybrid closed-loop systems, other competitive AID systems.
And you can see that they do better at baseline. They have an average A1c of 8.1%, quite a bit lower than the population as a whole. So those AID systems, those hybrid closed-loop systems are providing a benefit, but they still get significant reductions of A1c to GMI when they go on to the iLet, because the iLet is relieving them of the necessity to be so involved in their diabetes care. And it's removing that dependency on their skill, their judgment, how often their care provider can engage with them.
And again, you see this rainbow diagram that shows you the pattern is very similar. We're still getting benefits in those people coming from hybrid closed-loop systems. Now this data was mentioned previously. Endocrinology practices get great results with the iLet, but remarkably, primary care practices also get fantastic results with the iLet. And you can see that the number of people coming to us from primary care practices is relatively small.
It's almost 14,000 people in this database from primary care practices, only a little over 1,000 -- I'm sorry, from endocrine practices and only a little over 1,000 from primary care. So that is a tremendous opportunity. Our sales staff has primarily been focusing on endocrinology practices, as you might expect. We've been trying to learn more, going to meetings, trying to learn more about the primary care space, but that is clearly a big opportunity for us. And more than half of people with type 1 diabetes in the United States are managed by primary care doctors, and they're primarily managed with multiple daily injections because the hybrid closed loop pumps are just too complicated.
And these are the rainbow diagrams that correspond to those bar charts. And you see the same pattern over and over again, everybody coming in within a fairly tight range. It's remarkable how similar those are. They're almost identical coming from endocrinology and coming from primary care practices. What about fully closed loop? We teased a little bit that we were going to talk about fully closed loop. So we've looked at our population. We now have quite a large number of people on iLet, and they have a range of behaviors, as you might expect.
Some of them, they do the meal announcements as we suggest that they do. They announce all their significant carb-containing meals and snacks. It's simple. We think that's why a lot of them are able to do it. They just say it's usual for me, breakfast, usual for me or breakfast more than usual, but many of them choose not to do so. And so we have about 16% of iLet users who are announcing very infrequently, on average, once every 3 days. And this is over the entire time period of this database over this 2-year period. So on average, we've got about 7 months of follow-up data for people in that cohort.
So we're talking about one meal announcement every 3 days over 7 months, right? This isn't cherry picking the 1 day that they didn't announce a meal and then aggregating that data. This is over the entire period. And those folks are getting remarkably good results. They have a worse baseline A1c, 9.4% than the population at large. And they don't do quite as well on GMI. They come down to 7.5% instead of 7.3%, but that is a remarkably small difference when you're considering that they're almost never using the meal announcement feature. They're almost in fully closed loop right now.
And in addition, I didn't mention this before, but our hypoglycemia rates are very low with the -- with our overall population. That is also true of people using this system in a nearly fully closed-loop mode. 83% of them have both time less than 70 below 4% and time less than 54 below 1%. They actually have very similar hypoglycemia metrics to our population as a whole.
And then taking it a step further, we looked and we found that we have 530 users who haven't announced a single meal in the last 21 days. And then we looked at what is their outcomes over that 21-day period. So they went from a baseline A1c of 9.4 to a GMI of 7.4, full 2% reduction of A1c to GMI, even though they're not using the meal announcement feature at all and an even larger percentage of them meeting all those hypoglycemia goals. And you may hear data from other -- another AID company where they say, well, we looked at the days when people didn't announce meals, and we have these amazing results.
But they don't tell you what percentage of days those are. And those are just isolated days, plucking a day out of a whole period of time where the person didn't announce a meal. I mean the first thing I think is, well, maybe that was a day where they fasted or maybe that was a day when they didn't have too many carbs. It doesn't tell you anything. We're reporting continuous days, whole patterns of behavior in that top group, these are for an average of 7 months that people are using this way.
So I think it's much more believable that we're actually seeing good performance for people using it in that manner. And this is that rainbow diagram, again, for that group of people. So now I'm going to pass it over to Sean and Mike to talk about a new initiative that we're working on that we think is really exciting.
Thanks, Steven. Well, I'm only going to take a second here and just introduce Mike. Mike is our Chief Product Officer here. What Chief Product Officer means is, yes, Chief Technical Officer. It also means defining what our products are going to be and ensuring they get all through the process. So end-to-end product here at Beta Bionics. I don't know anybody better to do this. And certainly, the world's expert on our patch pump program, which Mike is going to introduce right now. Mike?
Okay. Good morning, everybody. Great to be with you today. So before we actually get in and show anything on the patch pump program we're working on, we're going to take a second and talk a little bit about our design philosophy here at Beta Bionics. So we know that diabetes, I think most of you know, is such a huge burden. It's one of the highest burden diseases that exists, right? People -- you don't -- you can't escape this burden, follows you to work, it comes home with you. It's there while you sleep, even follows you on vacation, right?
So our mission here is to lower that burden and iLet has been in a class on its own to be able to remove correction -- manual correction calculations, manual carb counting, all these tasks that you need to do in diabetes. So every minute that you spend on diabetes could have been spent with your loved ones, with your hobbies, any way you choose to spend it, but diabetes is the last thing you want to be doing.
So that's how we design products. That's how the algorithm has been designed, and that's how we approach every problem we do. So when you look at other products, you may see a list of marketing features, square wave boluses and dual wave boluses, all these different things. We're defined by less, a lack of features because we want less time, less things to do and less tasks.
So when you see what we're going to present, that's how we came up with the designs that we come up with. So with that, the best testimonial that we've had so far was an 8-year-old girl on iLet, and she said, today was the first day that I forgot that I had diabetes. Super powerful. That's what we strive to achieve, and that's what motivates everyone inside of Beta.
So with introducing our patch pump in development, Mint by Beta Bionics. So here's our pharmacy starter kit, mint will come in through the pharmacy channel available. Mark talked about the advantages through that channel there. The starter kit will come with -- we'll get into the architecture, their user guide and everything they need for their first month of supply.
We're going to do an example change here for you in just a second. But before we get into that, I wanted to get a little bit about the architecture and explain the product. So remembering that user burden framework, we analyzed multiple different potential architectures, and we chose what was the best balance of lowering user burden and also minimizing environmental waste and other factors. So it's a 2-part design. We have a reusable controller, which we call the mint controller, and we have the part that is disposable that the user throws away every 3 days, which we call the mint cartridge.
So it's a 200-unit patch pump. It's intended to be used for 3 days. At 3 days, you may have changed your patch pump in the middle of the night, and now it's not a convenient time to change it at the end of 3 days. So we're going to include a grace period, so you can choose to change your patch pump within the next 12 hours when it's convenient for you. You don't have to wake up in the middle of the night and change it on its schedule. The electronics include all of the electronics, the motor, the Bluetooth radio and that great adaptive iLet closed-loop algorithm already built in. So even when you're not near your phone, the system is in closed loop and manually calculating all of the doses automatically for you.
It will be controlled by an iOS or Android smartphone. We're going to update the iLet app. So you don't have to carry an extra device with you, another controller. It will already work in the device you already have in your pocket. Importantly, it will never require charging, which is a huge burden in any potential architecture. On the disposable side, of course, we have the 200-unit insulin reservoir. We have the batteries in there that enables no charging. And we have a very comfortable 4.5-millimeter cannula that minimizes insertion discomfort.
So some of the advantage of this architecture here. First and foremost, the adaptive closed-loop iLet algorithm, right? So this on its own in any patch pump form factor, even if we completely screw it up, would be a compelling product on its own. To have all these outcomes that Stephen showed in a patch form factor is going to be a tremendous market opportunity for us. So we're very excited about that. So getting the same or better outcomes with a lot less work in a patch form factor, we're very excited to see.
But we didn't want to stop there. When we look at the user burden around the hardware itself, the majority of it comes in the patch change process. This is something the user has to do every 3 days. It's a lot of steps. It takes a lot of time. So we looked at reenvision that process, and that's what we'll show you today. And the important tips here that you'll notice are number one, you don't need to interact with your phone at all post initial setup. So the change process, even if your phone is downstairs in the kitchen, you can do it all without the phone.
We also have that very small 4.5 millimeter cannula to minimize the insertion discomfort, and we've tried to remove every single step, which we'll go through in some detail in a second. But we didn't stop there. As Mark mentioned, we're also thinking about the user experience of how to get the product and the user experience of the provider and lowering the burden to get the product through -- from your provider through the pharmacy process.
So it optimizes insurance approvals, minimizes paperwork back and forth between the doctor's office and then also out-of-pocket costs, getting it down to on average $25 a month. So tremendous user experience improvement through the pharmacy. And then we're surrounding it with a robust digital ecosystem. So having compatibility with the latest sensors, including G7 and the Abbott Libre 3 Plus having that controlled through the upgraded iLet app that's already on the phone in your pocket.
The Bionics Circle is a remote monitoring platform that we launched last year that has -- that enables parents and caregivers to have a full view of your glucose, your insulin delivery, if you've announced meals, what the battery level is or if it's time to change your patch and how much insulin you have remaining if we need to change your patch early if you run out of insulin. So surrounding all of that with a robust digital ecosystem.
So before we actually go do the demo, a quick overview of what you're going to see, so you have some context. So 5 simple steps here. Step 1, peel the patch pump off. Step 2, you take that to mint controller out of the old cartridge. Step 3, you fill up the new cartridge with insulin. Step 4, you attach the mint controller to the new cartridge and then step 5, you apply the pump and insert the cannula. Very, very simple process.
So what you're not going to see here is involvement from the phone, which saves a lot of steps. We'll talk about that. No Bluetooth pairing required. You do that once every 2 years, not every 3 days anymore and no charging required ever. So we'll go through this process here.
So I'm wearing a mint right here. So for the demo, we're just doing saline. We're not pumping insulin. So inside of the mint pharmacy pack here, we have 2 5 packs of the refills. And we're going to pull out one of the new mint. And I've prefilled my syringe here with saline just to save some time. So first step is to pull off the old product. And then we're going to take out the controller.
We're going to open the new cartridge from the sterile packaging, okay? And we're going to fill it with insulin, saline today. My eyesight has gotten bad with age. Okay. So the user can fill this with the desired amount of insulin. Not everybody needs 200 units over 3 days, so you don't need to fill it completely full. Okay. And then we're going to take off the liner. Apply the mint controller. Okay. And the mint will be initializing, you can hear the beeping. It's hard to hear it. So this is automatically priming and getting the system ready for delivery. And then we apply the mint to the arm, follow the adhesive and insert the cannula -- sorry, and then insert the cannula. And that's it. Very quick, very seamless, very easy.
That was pretty cool, Mike. I feel like you glanced over a few things, though. So I want to make sure we're very honest and open with everybody about all the steps that we're doing. You didn't disconnect the old session to stop that.
So the beauty is because we have the mint controller that follows you from patch to patch. You don't need to go and have that step to tell the old one, you're done with it, right? And if you forget to do that on other products, it will be screaming at you on the table or in the crash can, if you...
What do they call? Scream of death?
Scream of death. No more of that. We're done with that experience.
Cool. Good point. But you didn't pull out your phone to pair the radio because you got to Bluetooth it and wait until that.
Wouldn't it be annoying if every time you got in your car, you had to pair your phone to your car. That would be annoying, right? So we don't have that anymore. You pair it once every 2 years and then you're done. That's a step you don't have to do. And you don't have your Bluetooth settings cluttered with hundreds of patches after a year.
Look forward to that, familiar with a different experience than that, let's put that. Yes, but with these 2-part systems, traditionally, there's a big criticism that one is on the charger and when you pull it off, you have to pull that. And I didn't see you do that or you have to take the one you pulled out, put it on the charger and wait for an hour. And again, you kind of jumped over that.
Yes. charging is such a hassle, if you're traveling, you forget your chargers, you would forget your extra -- architecture doesn't require it. We did debate that possibility, but charging is too high of a burden, too easy to make mistakes. So that's why the batteries are included in the disposables.
Good idea. So what I'm familiar with, you tend to have to verify that's on your body and then insert the cannula and then there's a whole process and you kind of seem to skip over that.
Yes. Again, with this architecture, that was another advantage. So you take the mint controller, you install it in the new disposable. It automatically knows it's a new disposable and it makes itself ready for delivery automatically. You don't have to tell it to go.
I also didn't see wins. I -- is that thing really real?
Yes. It's the smallest cannula that will be available at the 4.5 millimeter, very tiny, very comfortable.
Yes, pretty familiar with the bite you get ordinarily.
And no ticking time bomb in the insertion process anymore.
Yes, you got to love that one. Well, so Mike, I'm pretty familiar with patch pumps generally. You build them, you put the software on at the beginning of the process. You got to go all the way through the build process. They got to fill the channel, on McKesson, AmerisourceBerg and Cardinal Health, whatever your distribution channel is, and then ship the patient and then you have 3 months of supplies, they're in your closet. And to get from end to end, that's going to take 6 months. For me, the challenge there is that if there's an upgrade to like, say, some new sensor that may come out, that can take 6 months for me to get that software or that feature set? How are you going to handle that?
Yes. Other products have had long delays because of the distribution channels and the supplies you may have at home, you may have several months. And if you can't do a remote field update, then you have to wait for that new feature or the new sensor support. So just like with iLet, when we added compatibility with Dexcom G7 as an example, we're able to roll that out through remote firmer update and users could update the next day after release and immediately have that benefit.
So with mint, that's exactly the plan. You'll be able to do the same thing as with iLet is just open your iLet app and do a firmer update and you're up and running with whatever new feature or sensor compatibility that we just announced.
You said you need your phone. So apparently you need your phone for something that...
Yes, you do need your phone for a few things. Obviously, you need your phone for set up. It includes some beautiful setup wizards designed by our amazing product development team. If you want to announce your meal, you do that through your phone, and you can receive alerts and alarms on the phone as well.
That's the only time it's required.
Absolutely.
Carb counting required?
No carb counting on iLet ever.
Pretty cool, you want to show us?
But we can announce -- show you how we announce a meal, yes.
All right.
So we have a -- see where the cord go. Here we go. So this will be our updated iLet app.
I'm jealous of that blood sugar.
Yes. Thank you. Working pancreas is my secret now. Can we see it on the feed? It's plugged in. Always a technical hiccup.
I can see it. The app is working.
Switch over from slides. I think it's -- actually you didn't change the -- okay, while we're doing that, I'll show an overview of what the process looks like here. So as soon as we can get that going, we have the -- what the user does is they're going to open the new iLet app that will be updated to have the new features available for the patch pump. So announcing meals through the phone, receiving alerts and alarms through the phone.
They would tap the meal announcement button. The user simply selects what meal they're reading, is it breakfast, lunch or dinner? All 3 adapt and learn independently. And then they select the carb amount. So typically, a user just says, this is my usual amount of carbs for my breakfast. It's approximately in that zone or they can select it's a lot less than my usual or a lot more than my usual.
Those are the 3 choices, very simple. They don't need to have precise carb counting. I wish we could show you the actual app, but I'm not sure we're going to have this cooperate today. Okay. I'll just hold it up. So here it is. We have the meal announcement button on the bottom. You select breakfast for this morning. I'm going to have my usual amount of carbs.
It's actually up now, Mike.
Okay. There we go.
It's on the camera.
So on the bottom here, we just select announce meal, breakfast, usual amount of carbs and then slide to deliver. My patch just beeped. I don't know if you heard that, confirming that I've initiated a bolus and there we go. There's my meal announcement. I didn't have to figure out how much insulin to do, iLet automatically determines the right amount of insulin for my breakfast as is learning. And that's it.
Thank you, Mike. What I hope you just saw there is a patch pump architecture that really combines the best of both worlds of single-part, disposable products and/or 2-part systems. There's obviously benefits and drawbacks to each, and we think we've done a really good job of harnessing those benefits of each one in our particular architecture with the particular design decisions that we've made and that Mike and his team have made.
So what that does is it gives us an architecture that's a very compelling patch pump architecture to allow us to access the patch pump half of the market, people who prefer that. Add that to iLet, which is, of course, a compelling durable product architecture for the other half of the market. So that expands our addressable market.
Mint is going to be reimbursed exclusively through the pharmaceutical system. Obviously, that's something that we've pioneered on the durable side. We're going to accelerate that on the patch pump side. It's a cost-effective architecture, right, at scale. And by any measure, something where you only have to replace the cartridge of batteries in the patch instead of the entirety of all those expensive components is going to be advantaged at any level of scale.
And then as Mike mentioned earlier, environmental waste. It is somewhat unbelievable how much stuff we throw away in diabetes every 3 days. We did our level best to help eliminate that problem as well. So with that, that sort of concludes our prepared remarks today, and we hope we've left some time for questions, yes, right on time, considering we started 10 minutes late. And yes, we'll open it up. Do we have a mic or something? How are we doing that?
We do, yes. Blake is going to walk around with the microphone if you guys have questions and...
All right. Obviously, everybody is available for questions. So dive in.
2. Question Answer
Rich Newitter from Truist Securities. Maybe just on the 2-piece patch here. Can you give us some updated time lines on when you think this could get to market and what...
You did not take long to get into that question.
What the process is? And then also, how should we think about the margin impact to you guys and financials? And then if you could also just weave in your kind of your go-to-market strategy here?
Yes, good question. In terms of time lines, we're not going to update the guidance we've already provided. We're still stating by the end of '27. Our intention today was to give you an idea of where the product is. There was a particular article that was written that called it -- I think it was potentially aspirational at this stage. Probably not. I think you've seen a little bit more output from us than that. Again, the patch Mike is wearing right now is actually pumping saline and his phone is really controlling it, et cetera, et cetera. So it gives you some kind of idea.
We're not going to get dragged into terms like design freeze or design lock or what have you because they actually don't mean anything. In the actual medical device development world, they just don't. There are going to be changes to this product all the way up to and post launch. But what you can see today is that the product is there and exists and is in the form it's going to be at in the commercial launch.
In terms of public statements about our launch timing, certainly, you'll see a 510(k) clearance when it happens. You know we don't have that because it's a public statement. We'll talk about that when it happens. Don't expect that to be coincident with actual launch timing because as most people have shared, manufacturing and something like this is the hard part. It truly is.
You've probably heard a lot of feedback that manufacturing patches is extremely hard, especially 1 pieces. That's true. That's one reason we've gone with the 2-piece architecture, still hard. So yes, expect -- but we, of course, reserve the right to revisit those time lines at the time we make a public statement about our 510(k) clearance, which obviously haven't done yet. And then, Stephen, do you want to talk about margin impact?
Sure. So the pump -- the patch was designed with user experience in mind, but it also has the benefit of -- the design has the benefit of being cost advantage relative to the other patch on the market. All the expensive componentry is in that the 2-year durable part and the much less expensive part, really just a couple of batteries in it, syringe, cannula are in the disposable.
So with the same ASP pricing structure as the current patch on the market, which is what we imagine our pricing will be, at any level of scale, we can manufacture this more cost effectively. And so we expect the margin profile to be relative to our patch pump competitor advantage.
Go ahead, Chris.
Chris Pasquale, Nephron. I had a question about the rainbow charts that you guys showed, which are great. But I look at that breakdown and it's still 2/3 of the population technically above target. Are there clinical sequelae being at 7.5 versus 6.5? Why not be more aggressive with the algorithm? And is that where dual hormone comes in? Is that the role you see that playing down the road?
Yes, that's a good question. I think that the algorithm was optimized to get the best clinical results that we could get while having minimal levels of hypoglycemia. So you would definitely be having greater risk of hypoglycemia if you try and push harder, especially in some people who had much more challenges with controlling their blood glucose may not be announcing meals.
I will say that for people with A1cs below 7, you probably saw on the chart that the A1c to GMI goes up. We thought that, that might be because of some peculiarities of A1c down in the low range. And so we've done an analysis of people for whom we had follow-up A1cs and whereas we go from 6.4 to 6.9 or 7 in most of those rainbow graphs, if we go A1c to GMI.
If we go A1c to A1c, it's 6.4 to 6.5. So we're able to maintain glucose control for people who already have good glucose control well below 7. And I think one of the main differences there is lifestyle. If you have a lower carb diet, it's much easier to have tight glycemic control. If you exercise, if you do a number of things that can help your glycemic control, you get better glucose control. So what we see is many people who come and talk to me at this conference who had excellent glucose control on some other system, they come into the iLet, they get even better glucose control.
So it's -- I think it's not really a limitation of the system, except that we're trying to be careful with not causing hypoglycemia. And can you repeat the second part of your question, please?
The role of dual hormone.
The role of dual hormone, yes, that's an important point. So what we saw in our pre-pivotal studies with dual hormone is that we got about an additional 0.5% of A1c. In the pre-pivotal studies, which were a less challenging cohort admittedly than our post market, we were seeing about half of the people in those pre-pivotal studies be able to get to a GMI below 7. That's a little higher than what we're seeing post market.
But as a point of comparison, in those previous pre-pivotal studies, in that same cohort, we were able to get 90% of people to a GMI below 7 with the biohormonal system. So we shifted that whole distribution downwards. And then there was only a little tail above 7 and all of those wound up between 7 and 7.5.
So that's the power of biohormonal. It allows us to shift that entire population downwards. And at least in those pre-pivotal studies, we also saw further reduction in hypoglycemia combined with that. So that is the promise of being able to go with biohormonal.
Chris, it's important to note that the DCCT taught us that there's a reason 7% is goal, right? You meaningfully eliminate complications as you approach 7% A1c. As you go below that, you start to see hypo increase, as you mentioned, there's a reason that we shoot for 7% and not 5%. So there you go with biohormonal.
Yes. I have one other point about that, and that is the DCCT found that there was kind of a hockey stick shaped relation of complications above 7.2 or so, it started to go up. But keep in mind, those people on average started with an A1c of 9, and you can't remove that damage that has already occurred. There's some interesting observational studies from some Scandinavian investigators, where they have they're able to follow people from the time they're diagnosed throughout their entire lifespan with diabetes.
And they found that if -- I think I'm going to get this right, if they got to an A1c below 7.5 within a year of diagnosis, there was no signal for complications. So it may be that if you get good glucose control early, you might not need to get all the way down to 7, maybe 7.5 would be good. And another piece of evidence is there's a whole -- a small group of people, several thousand people in the world who have glucokinase mutations. And so they start off from birth having a much higher glucose, an A1c between 7 and 7.5. And they stay that way throughout their entire lives. They have normal lifespan and they don't get any complications of diabetes. So I personally think maybe 7.5 is good enough to get -- to dramatically reduce complications in the modern environment.
Jeff Johnson from Baird. So Sean, two questions for you, I guess, on pipeline beyond what you've talked about today. You guys filed a T1, T2 combined study in the last week or 2 on clinicaltrials.gov. Should we read that as being your T2 label expansion study? Would that study be powered enough on T2 to potentially pursue label expansion there?
Do you want to take this one?
So that study is a primary care study. So you may have seen that there was a study published by Sean and [ Tamara Ozer ], our colleagues at the University of Colorado. They did a preliminary study where you saw some real-world data comparing the endocrinology office and the primary care office. That was a study where they in primary care recruited people who were MDI folks, who didn't have experience with pumps and then they put them on the iLet. And then I started this study when I was still full time at Mass General Hospital. It's carried on by Melissa Putman, my colleague, where we recruited people who were pumpers already and put them on the iLet.
And what we found is that the outcomes were basically the same. So it was sort of similar to the real-world data. Now Sean and Tamara Ozer are going to expand on that study. It's funded by the Helmsley Trust, and they're going to recruit a much larger number of people out of the primary care setting by primary care doctors, they're supervising the study, but they're not the ones who are going to be recruiting them.
And they're going to be testing their performance with using the iLet. And that study is recruiting both type 1 and type 2. Partly because sometimes in the primary care world, it's not entirely clear if people are type 1 or type 2. And so we wanted to make sure to include both. However, that study is not powered to -- we think, to be able to do an indication to get an indication and to expand the label. However, it will give us a lot of important information about how a study like that would have to be powered.
Any updated time line then on when you pursue type 2? And you showed a nice little chart there of iLet kind of moving towards fully closed loop. What's it take to get there? And do we need to see how many -- a number of pre-pivotals before you move into a pivotal? Are we talking '27, '28 closed-loop iLet? Or how to think about that?
No updated time lines. I'm going to need to ask you to -- prompt in the second half of that question in a minute. I want to reiterate, though, on type 2 that in the Q1 earnings call, we stated that -- make sure I get this number right, Stephen, is it 25% to -- roughly 25%, what do we say? %.
20% to 25%.
20% to 25% of our users are coming to us with type 2 diabetes. I think it's important to note that it's more difficult, not impossible, to get a pump approved for type 2 because of the traditional negative C-peptide requirements, right? Now in pharmacy, that tends to go away. In our case, we also released that we were, whatever it was low 20s percent pharmacy in Q1. So if you think about that on a per covered patient basis, we're actually quite well utilized in type 2 without the label.
This is the way to think about that. So no updated time line on that. I'll leave it alone, but I just want to provide that additional color. Then the second half of your question was fully closed loop, iLet will take to get there. Well, we don't know. Nobody has ever had that indication before. But what we showed today is the fact that iLet is being used by a subsegment of our patients, and we don't know self-selected or how that works, but a large percentage, 16% in a very acceptable way.
So does that mean -- does that mean submit that data? Does that mean do a study on fully closed loop with iLet? Does that mean optimize iLet for fully closed loop with some other change? Any of those things are available to us. We don't know which one will necessarily be acceptable with the agency. We're going to learn as you will. We're certainly thinking about it.
I wanted to add something on the type 2. We do have a poster on the outcomes in our real-world data divided out among type 1 and type 2 that's available in the poster hall.
Matt O'Brien, Piper Sandler. 2 questions. I'll just do the first one upfront here. The acceleration in the pharmacy for the year, maybe this question is for Stephen. What drove that quick change versus what you guys had originally laid out? And then can we associate that pump due to an acceleration in the HCPs that you're adding because of the ease of use? And maybe, Stephen, just talk a little bit about the economic benefit that you see in year 2 and 3 from that versus maybe what we had initially been expecting here in year 1?
Yes, sure. Mark, are you comfortable taking that?
I'll take the first part and you take the financial part. The increase in pharmacy has mostly been driven by adoption, and it's been augmented by our increased efficiency at getting the appropriate patient down the appropriate channel. So that is why you have seen the numbers increase. As I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we were -- I had the historical experience of seeing how adoption occurred at Dexcom, and things have definitely gone faster here they did from approximately mid-2014 through mid-2016 back with Dexcom. So we've been pleased with that progression. And so we had we raised our guidance to 22% to 25% of all new patient starts for this year.
Mark, I just want to be super clear on that. When you say adoption, you mean adoption by the plans, not by patients or health care providers, right?
Adoption by the plans, yes.
Yes. So briefly, a reminder how the pharmacy business model actually works, contrasting to DME. In DME, we get a large upfront. I recognize a large upfront amount of revenue when we sell the pump. So roughly $3,500 of revenue on day 1 when we sell a pump in DME and then about $70 a month to sell the supply kits.
Contrasting that to pharmacy, we recognize around $0 upfront when we sell the pump and then $450 a month to sell the exact same kit of supplies. So doing that math, where the -- it's financially advantageous to Beta Bionics is after 11 months, and it's about 3x the amount of reimbursement over a 4-year period. So every patient we can send to that channel, we can -- every patient that we can send to pharmacy, we do because to Matt's point, it's advantage to us financially in the medium and long term.
So -- but what actually you see in our financials, if you look at, say, Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, you saw a gross margin reduction. And the real reason for that, even though the revenue was like there was only a small reduction from Q4 to Q1 was that we saw a big uptick in pharmacy adoption. We went from a low teens percentage of our business -- of our new patient starts in Q4 going through pharmacy to a low 20s percentage in the first quarter.
Now that creates some short-term headwind, but that's a very, very lucrative, powerful installed base in pharmacy that now has a huge benefit for us in future quarters. And again, after month 11, assuming that the patients stay with the product, which we have a lot of confidence in and we're seeing in the data, it's a much better business model for us.
And the follow-up is for Sean. Are you to the point -- sorry, it's another patch question, but are you to the point now where you're corresponding with FDA on human factors specifically? Or is that something to come? You have to still kind of finalize some things on the development side? And then how difficult is the manufacturing process? We're not going to see like a year lag. Are we. Like, hey, we got approval in early '27, but we can't make it until the end of the year?
First of all, I admire your ability to get me -- get a little bit more information out of me on this, I didn't think that was going to happen. Nice work. Look, FDA interactions are constant on products from way before you even start the product all through until you're cleared and in fact, after as well. So have we talked to the FDA on this product? Yes, of course, we have.
I'm not going to give you any additional benefit on what we've said to them and what interaction we're in, et cetera But yes, of course, this is not -- this would not be a surprise to them, to put it that way, extremely generally. And then on -- what was the second one?
Manufacturing process.
Right, Manufacturing process. I'm not going to comment on that today, but I'll reiterate that at the time we get 510(k) clearance, we'll be in a better position to know what it's going to still take. It just depends on obviously when that clearance would ultimately come and where we are in the manufacturing process. Let me say it another way. It doesn't take 12 months to build a manufacturing line for a patch. It takes a hell of a lot longer than that, right? So again, that makes it extremely important as to when we get that clearance.
Jakob Dodd, Morgan Stanley. I found the discussion on the adaptive closed loop really insightful and compelling. But I'd be curious to know how has Beta been able to achieve that level of adaptiveness, whereas perhaps some competitors have not over the years? And how durable is that algorithmic advantage going forward?
Yes. That's a really good question. And I think there's a bunch of answers to it, and I'm also interested in the team's perspective, but let me take a first crack at it. The way we've developed a product is very different than the way everybody else developed theirs. And that's just sort of -- it wasn't any great insight. It was just sort of the way it happened.
Traditional pump companies started with, we'll call them dumb pumps, and I don't mean that to be dismissive. They're great products developed in the '80s, and they moved forward, and we added features on top of them, right? And a lot of those features you heard me mention today and Mike mentioned, extended boluses and all the stuff, features that have been added.
And hybrid closed-loop systems were features that were added on top of traditional insulin pumps, insulin pumps that already had settings in them and all those requirements that we talked about today that use that map that I talked about today, and they were developed in that light. But iLet was done completely differently. And in fact, the algorithms that iLet is based on were developed before the founder of iLet, Ed and our clinical collaborator, Steven, had any pump to work with, right?
They were run on a laptop. So they weren't confined to the thinking of what a traditional pump did. They just asked themselves, what should it do? And in fact, when you think about it in terms of how hard it is, when did that work occur? Steven can double check me, but I think the first animal studies done on this product were done in -- actually, I don't even know that. First human 2007?
First human study is 2008.
2008. First ambulatory study 2013 -- sorry, ambulatory out of the CRC trial.
2012.
So when you think about it, the first study that was done that way on any hybrid closed-loop system was actually done by us. So we've been at it a really long time. It is actually hard. I showed you the basic math on how dosing works every 5 minutes. And we didn't get into the details of each individual algorithm. Okay, I said glucose is high, subtract target, that's how high you are divided by your insulin sensitivity factor, right? Okay, great. But a correction control in a hybrid closed-loop system might include a rate of change term, okay?
It's not really all that much complexity on top of those existing dosing algorithms. But how the hell do you learn that ISF? In terms of that spaghetti chart that I showed you, that's the hard part. So at some level, you're just going to have to take my word for it. The adaptive portions of the algorithms are hard. The real-time controller, which is that math that I showed, is comparatively easy. I'm not trying to take anything away from it. They're still hard, but there you go. So yes, we do believe there's a durable competitive advantage here. And again, you have seen people start to march toward adaptivity, but still pretty far away from where we are. Steven, anything to add to that?
Yes. I would just add that we were kind of forced to make the algorithms adaptive because we wanted to have a really different user experience. We wanted to eliminate carb counting. We wanted to eliminate the need to do manual corrections. And those design decisions were made a very long time ago.
And then we realized, well, if that's going to be the case, it's going to have a robust autonomous adaptation. And then we iterated that through a lot of clinical trials. So we did 20 pre-pivotal clinical trials every time iterating. And we learned a lot from that process. And we -- I think going forward, we can move a lot more quickly than that to further improve our algorithms.
I think we -- in moving to closed loop, we're not having to make 2 jumps. We're not having to make the diagonal jump from a static system to also a fully closed-loop system. We already have the adaptive nature of the device, and it already works really well in a fully closed loop for a lot of people. So we just have to make that lateral move to make it work in fully closed loop for everyone essentially.
Matt Miksic from Barclays. Just a follow-up maybe on Chris' question around the destination where you're landing slightly above 7. A couple of things. Is there an analysis of that where you're able to sort of take out the folks who are not putting in any meal announcements to give a sort of nonhand-off profile of what those patients look like?
And then the second part is anything about, I don't want to call it gamification, but encouragement of folks who aren't to get incrementally more active to kind of show them that they can nudge that number down a bit.
So that's a really interesting question that I guess I'll be honest to say, I've never really thought of, and I'll tell you why I'm thought it. So if I understand your question correctly, what you're asking for is a subsegmentation of the data, including only people who are meal announcing as requested, let's say, average of 3 per day. Fair. We haven't done that because we don't tend to subsegment our data in ways that benefits it.
We tend to look at subsegments that are tougher, right? We -- there's been a, I think, lamentable tendency in our industry to do sort of exactly that. And it's caused a situation where you have had a hard time through every individual clinical trial and saying, okay, that looks great why, right? And we'd rather not do that. We'd rather use the thing in a broadly applicable trial and just tell you how it did in the real -- closest to the real world.
So we believe that our pivotal trial was as close to predictive of the real world, and I think that's proved true as anything that's been done, my opinion, but there you go. That being said, I don't know what it would show because I haven't looked at it better. If I remember correctly, in -- I'm not sure if it's our real-world evidence or a clinical trial, we have an average number of meal announcements of about 3. Can you help me out here?
Yes, it's about -- we have looked in our 1-year real-world evidence. We haven't done it for a 2-year yet, where we looked at outcomes according to number of meal announcements today. So we have done that. And for people announcing I think it's 3 or more meal announcements per day. The GMI is 7.1, I think. It is lower. So -- but I think what's remarkable is that people in that group who are announcing only 1 meal every 3 days are getting 7.5.
So to us, it's more remarkable that the difference is as small as it is. The other thing that I totally agree with, Sean, I think you'll see from competitors, people using the recommended settings, the lowest target, the shortest insulin action time, and they're encouraging people to use more aggressive correction factors and sensitivity factors, and they like to report just the data for the people using the most aggressive factors.
But that's not real world. It's a small percentage of their populations. And we've always felt that we need to take people as they come. And we know that populations that are announced less meals on the iLet have higher baseline A1cs. That amount of meal announcements may just be the amount of attention they can give to their diabetes, and they still deserve to not die early and with lots of complications. So we're focusing on trying to get the best outcomes for everybody regardless of they're willing to use the optimal settings and they're willing to be the slave to the device essentially. We want to work for them rather than the other way round.
I think it's a perfectly valid goal to report and try to get the best latency time range on care for a certain subsegment of patients, right, a narrow group. It's great for those patients. But I think we've laid out today and both these guys talked about is our goal is completely different, and that's to improve the population health. And we're not going to do that by focusing on the Uber engaged patient and getting them to an A1c of 6 or whatever it is. We're going to do that by focusing on the entirety of the population and getting them to target.
It is a controlled target system. Target is 7 in our clinical trial, 48% of people got to 7, center of the bell curve, we nailed it.
I think it's -- we're at time. So I think -- I guess, Larry, do you have one more final thing?
[indiscernible] What can we expect?
Yes, good question. I'll take half of that question. I'm not going to talk about what our capacity will be at launch. What I probably will say is we're not going to be looking at a massively limited launch. We'll do a broad launch at the time we're ready. And I'll additionally say that we're not waiting for a 510(k) clearance to kick off the manufacturing line. We have -- just like we always talk about, we have confidence that users like our product, they're going to stay on our product, that we're not worried about things like attrition. We also have confidence that our technical team and our regulatory team are going to get this product cleared. So we're not going to wait for that. And I'm not going to go any further than that.
If you guys are interested in seeing the patch, by the way after, Mike will be around for a while. And if you want to see the app in person, Mike will show you after. So thanks, everybody.
All right. Thanks very much for coming. Really appreciate it.
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| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
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| Umsatz | 110 110 |
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100 %
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|
| - Direkte Kosten | 47 47 |
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43 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 63 63 |
-
57 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 103 103 |
-
93 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 38 38 |
-
34 %
|
|
| EBITDA | -75 -75 |
-
-68 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 1,86 1,86 |
28 %
28 %
2 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | -77 -77 |
-
-70 %
|
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| Nettogewinn | -66 -66 |
-
-60 %
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