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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 100,09 Mrd. HK$ | Umsatz (TTM) = 14,58 Mrd. HK$
Marktkapitalisierung = 100,09 Mrd. HK$ | Umsatz erwartet = 17,92 Mrd. HK$
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 98,64 Mrd. HK$ | Umsatz (TTM) = 14,58 Mrd. HK$
Enterprise Value = 98,64 Mrd. HK$ | Umsatz erwartet = 17,92 Mrd. HK$
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
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aktien.guide Basis
Asmpt — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I'm Ben Poh, Head of Investor Relations. And today, I will be moderating the call. On behalf of ASMPT Limited, welcome to our First Quarter 2026 Investor Conference Call. Thank you all for your interest and continued support.
[Operator Instructions] Before we start, let me go through our disclaimers. Please note that there may be forward-looking statements about the company's business and finances during this call. Such forward-looking statements could involve known and unknown uncertainties and risks that could cause actual results, performance and events to differ materially from those expressed or implied during this conference call. For your reference, the Investor Relations presentation on our recent results is available on our website.
On today's call, we have the Group Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Robin Ng; and the Group Chief Financial Officer, Ms. Katie Xu. Robin will cover the group's key highlights for the first quarter 2026 and provide outlook and guidance for the following quarter. Katie will provide details on the financial performance for the quarter.
Now I will hand the time over to our Group Chief Executive Officer, Robin.
Thank you, Ben. Good morning and good afternoon and good evening to all. Thank you for joining us today for our first quarter 2026 earnings conference call.
Now let me start with the key business highlights for Q1. This quarter, I'm pleased to share that ASMPT achieved the highest quarterly bookings and billings in the last few years. We continue to see AI drive demand across multiple products as the rapid evolution of AI increases the value and complexity of back-end semiconductor manufacturing. New AI architectures demand heterogeneous integration, tighter interconnect pitch, higher bandwidth and power efficiency. And these requirements are driving higher precision, alignment and process control needs across packaging flows, benefiting a wide range of the group's product from TCB photonics, CPO, flip chip and mainstream volume and die bonding and pick-and-place solutions.
Let me provide some color on these specific product areas. First, let's look at TCB. In Logic, we delivered sizable shipments for chip-to-substrate applications, reinforcing our leadership in chip-to-substrate TCB. We received bookings for 4 ultra-fine-pitch chip-to-wafer TCB tools, featuring our fluxless plasma-based AOR technology from a leading advanced logic customer. We are also actively engaging key logic players across multiple programs, and we are well positioned for more opportunities as the industry advances towards more complex logic chip architectures.
In memory, our TCB tools remain at the forefront of technology development. A key memory player is using a flux-based TCB tool for assembly and this customer is also qualifying a Fluxless AOR solution for HBM4 16-high.
Next, we'd like to share an update on Photonics. I'm pleased to report that our Photonics revenue grew nearly fivefold year-on-year, benefiting from strong demand for high-speed optical transceivers of 800G and above. In addition, our 1.6T transceiver solution received bulk orders from leading optics suppliers in the data center networking supply chain. This demonstrates strong traction for our optical transceiver solution as the market leader.
I would like now to touch a bit on co-packaged optics or CPO before we move on to the next item. CPO represents a paradigm shift in AI system design, bringing optical engines closer to compute silicon to reduce electrical losses, lower power consumption and improved system efficiency. Our CPO solutions enable high precision bonding to integrate diverse components, including fiber array unit, microlens, electronic IC and photonic IC into a single high-performance optical engine.
We have deepened our engagement with multiple leading global players and this positions the group well to gain market share as CPO adoption accelerates. Looking now at our flip-chip solutions. I'm pleased to update that they registered strong bookings growth, both Q-on-Q and year-on-year.
This momentum is coming from two areas. First, there is an accelerated adoption of 2.5D packaging for larger AI package sizes that is driving a steady pipeline of opportunities for embedded bridge die-bonding solutions for both chip-on-wafer and chip-on-panel solutions. Second, we also gained traction in panel level fan-out for radio frequency and power devices. Both these areas are well solved by our flip chip solutions, which combine cost efficiency, scalability, high placement accuracy and strong throughput.
And finally, in our mainstream business, we registered strong bookings for both SEMI and SMT. SEMI's mainstream business benefited from sustained utilization at leading global IDMs and OSATs alongside rising demand for AI data center power management solutions. In China, there was increased demand for wire and die bonding applications. For SMT, we achieved record booking gains in driven by strong customer demand across AI servers, optical transceivers and China EVs. In particular, SMT's high-flex high-force solutions for large format boards are a leading choice for AI server assembly.
As we broaden our AI customer base, we are fully committed to delivering the highest quality of solutions and services. ASMPT was recently recognized with a prestigious Intel Epic Supplier Award for 2026, the highest supplier recognition award for excellence in business collaboration. This is a reflection of our strong technical capability and deep engagement with our customers.
With these highlights, now let me hand over the time to Katie, who will walk you through our group and segment financial performance.
Thank you, Robin. Good morning, and good evening, everyone. Before I start, I would like to say that unless otherwise specified, the numbers I'll be referring to today are for the group's continuing operations only, with adjustments made on the non-HKFRS measures.
This slide covers our group financial results for Q1 2026. In Q1, the group delivered revenue of USD 507.9 million flat Q-on-Q, but up 32.0% year-on-year, driven by SMT and SEMI. Group revenue came in above market consensus and was the highest in the last 3 years. Group quarterly bookings exceeded expectations with SMT bookings at a record level. Group's booking reached USD 727.0 million, up 46.0% Q-on-Q and 71.6% year-on-year, the highest in the last 4 years. This strong growth came from multiple products, notably SMT products, wire bonders and die bonders and photonics.
Group adjusted gross margin was 39.5% Q-on-Q, up 357 basis points due to higher gross margin and revenue contribution from SEMI. The year-on-year decline of 151 basis points was due to a higher revenue contribution from SMT.
Group's adjusted OpEx declined 4.6% Q-on-Q but increased 12.4% year-on-year, largely due to unfavorable FX impact and from strategic infrastructure and R&D investments as we have guided for 2026 during our last earnings call. Both adjusted operating profit and adjusted net profit improved Q-on-Q and year-on-year due to higher revenue and operating leverage. Adjusted EPS was at HKD 0.81, up 118.9% Q-on-Q and 189.3% year-on-year, which was above market consensus.
Moving on to the Semiconductor Solutions segment. In Q1, SEMI revenue delivered USD 274.5 million, up 12.2% Q-on-Q and 14.6% year-on-year. Q-on-Q, growth was driven by high-end die bonders and TCB, while year-on-year growth came in from multiple products, largely driven by AI-related applications.
SEMI bookings were USD 309.6 million, up 22.6% Q-on-Q and 43.2% year-on-year due to higher demand for wire bonders and die bonders driven by China OSATs, high-end smartphone-related applications AI-related power management applications and optical transceivers. SEMI achieved a book-to-bill ratio of 1.13, which marks 3 consecutive quarters of improvement.
SEMI adjusted gross margin reached 46.4%, achieving the guidance we set last quarter. Adjusted gross margin improved by 594 basis points Q-on-Q but declined slightly by 37 basis points year-on-year. The significant Q-on-Q improvement was mainly driven by high volume and favorable product mix. SEMI adjusted segment profit was HKD 309.4 million, up 165.9% Q-on-Q and 16.8% year-on-year. The strong Q-on-Q improvement was mainly driven by higher gross margins and operating leverage.
Let me move to SMT. SMT Q1 revenue was USD 233.5 million, down 11.0% Q-on-Q but up 60.7% year-on-year. Q-on-Q decline was due to seasonality, while year-on-year increase was due to strong demand from AI servers and China EVs.
As mentioned earlier, SMT achieved a record bookings of USD 417.4 million, up 70.0% Q-on-Q and 101.1% year-on-year. This was primarily driven by strong demand from AI servers, optical transceivers and China EVs together with robust China demand arising from global data center expansion. SMT adjusted segment profit was HKD 141.8 million, down 28.3% Q-on-Q due to lower volume, but it improved year-on-year.
Now let me hand the time back to Robin for the outlook and the revenue guidance.
Let me present our Q2 2026 revenue guidance. The group expects Q2 2026 revenue to be in the range of USD 540 million and USD 600 million. At the midpoint of USD 570 million, this represents an increase of 12.2% Q-on-Q and 37.0% year-on-year. Notably, our midpoint revenue guidance exceeds current market consensus, and it will be mainly driven by SEMI.
Group bookings in Q2 2026 are expected to remain elevated for both segments, though SMT will be down Q-on-Q due to the high base effect from Q1. The continued proliferation of AI expected to drive structural demand growth for both SEMI and SMT in 2026 across multiple products. This includes our flagship TCB and HP solutions, photonics and CPO to mainstream wire and die bonding and pick-and-place solutions that enable AI infrastructure deployment. Looking ahead, structural AI-driven demand is expected to support revenue growth across both SEMI and SMT in 2026.
This concludes our first quarter 2026 presentation. Thank you, and we are now ready for Q&A. Let me pass the time back to Ben to facilitate.
[Operator Instructions] And I see a raised hand from Gokul of JPM.
2. Question Answer
Great results, and also thanks, Robin, for your amazing leadership over the years. So first question is on memory TCB. What are we seeing in terms of bookings and potential for bulk orders for memory TCB given that we haven't really seen any big bulk orders in the last maybe couple of quarters now. And at the same time, the R&D progress seems to be quite good on both flux-based and fluxless. And in addition to that, could you also talk a little bit about your engagement with the bigger memory vendor that the market is talking about, which has largely been using internal TCB tools? Do you see that there is an opportunity opening up with this customer, which will definitely expand your addressable market?
Thank you, Gokul. I think there are a number of questions within your questions. Let me address I think the first one first. You're asking about memory TCB bookings and potential for bulk orders for TCB and in the last few quarters. The last bulk order that we received was in Q4 2025. We're still confident that we are well placed to -- well positioned to receive orders from memory makers as far as they are ready to dish out orders for equipment supply ourselves.
Now I think your second question is on fluxless, R&D fluxless, how is it going. I think we are making good progress, especially on the logic side, as we have mentioned, we have won 4 tools in Q1 for CoW fluxless applications. We believe this is a start of this particularly exciting program. I think as the industry continue to migrate to more complicated GPU or even ASIC architecture, I think at some point, they may have to switch to a chiplet kind of configuration rather than using SoC, and that's where the opportunity to use our TCB fluxless tool for chip-on-wafer application will be there.
So since now that we are already in that supply chain, I think, again, I think we are really well positioned to capture more opportunities for CoW fluxless application going forward.
I believe your third question relates about the biggest memory player who is used to using internal TCB tools. Yes, I think we are unable to really name or confirm any specific collaboration with any customer, I hope you understand. What I can say that in the process of finalizing an evaluation program with a key memory player. We definitely see this as a positive step, possibly in the future, enabling our group's technology from memory as a process standard in the future. So we are excited about this potential collaboration going forward.
Gokul, very quick. Just going back to the question on the memory TCB bulk order. I just want to -- probably to say that we want to reiterate, right? Our TAM forecast is actually of the $1.6 billion is intact. And you're probably reference into some of the recent adjustments for the next generation of GPU HBM4 road maps. They are leading to some -- maybe quarter-to-quarter, there might be some variability in the times of a customer's decision. But our activity level remains very healthy, but it could be uneven from quarter-to-quarter.
Got it. That's very clear. Second question I have is on your photonics, obviously, very strong growth, 5x kind of growth. Could you help us size the like photonics business, I think you've said it long back that it was probably under $100 million annual run rate ballpark? Or is this still -- is now much bigger than that?
Yes. I think, Gokul, you...
When we transitioned?
Yes. Maybe answer the photonics first, Gokul.
Well, go ahead, Robin. I'll follow up later.
Yes. There's a little bit of feedback on this.
Yes. Your line is breaking up, actually, Gokul.
Okay. Anyway, I'll answer the Photonics question first Gokul. Yes, Indeed, when we look back in a deep dive into the photonics and the CPO market recently, actually, the TAM looks even more promising than before. right? So -- but we are not ready to disclose the TAM at this point in time. But I can tell you the TAM looks bigger than before. So when we combine the optical transceiver TAM and the CPO TAM, I must say that the TAM looks interesting. We are definitely paying a lot of attention in this area.
And fortunately, I think for photonics, we are already a very strong player in the optical transceiver market. And I think for the CPO, you probably will follow up with your question on CPO as well. I think we're well positioned with some key players already. Our solutions, I would say, have been designed in with a number of key CPO players. So when the adoption takes place, I think we're in a good position to capitalize this opportunity for CPO. Maybe back to you for second question, please.
Yes. So I think just to follow up on that CPO comment, Robin, the market understanding, obviously, is that hybrid bonding plays an important role in CPO for the EIC, PIC attach. And obviously, your hybrid bonder is still in qualification, especially the second generation. So could you talk a little bit about the progress there? And maybe also help clarify. I think there are multiple die attach steps, not just hybrid bonding, I think beyond that as well. So I just wanted to understand like what is the span of like SMT's involvement when it comes to CPO, just beyond the EIC, PIC attach?
That's right. I think we also said in the MD&A, we are participating in several key high-precision bonding areas for CPO, one of which is FAU attach on PIC. The other one is what you mentioned, stacking EIC on PIC. The third application we can think of is micro lens attached on PIC and also finally, the whole optical engine on the substrate. So we have solutions actually for all these key bonding solutions.
That's why we feel particularly quite excited about the CPO market. And as I said earlier, I think the TAM looks interesting, maybe not in the initial years. But I think the CPO will accelerate probably from '28 onwards, and the TAM in fact, looks very interesting for CPO. So these are the areas we are participating.
Now back to your question on EIC on PIC, hybrid bonding is one solution. I think CPO players are also exploring whether they can use TCB for the application as well. So if they use PCB, that will be also very an interesting market segment for us.
I'm seeing a next raised from Daisy. Daisy, could you please unmute yourself and raise question?
Yes. And my first question is regarding the OSAT CapEx. So we saw that the OSAT CapEx is getting higher and higher for this year. So which area do you expect to record the highest growth for the year based on the current order visibility? And I mean the regions. And also, China is the largest revenue contributor last year around 41% of your total revenue. Within China, do you see that still advanced packaging, I mean your TCB and other hybrid bonding tools growth, outgrow the mainstream or mainstream for this year is also very strong. That's my first question.
Thank you, Daisy. In terms of -- I think your first question first in terms of OSAT CapEx yes, in fact, we are experiencing strong demand, I would say, on the OSAT front, mainly coming from wire bond die bond because of the AI demand for infrastructure. I think we have been talking about this for a few quarters already, but in Q1, the demand is particularly very strong. What is driving this is really power applications that go into data center. So this require new power devices and because of that new capacity is required.
So that's driving a lot of our wire bond and die bond and also not forgetting SMT as well. We mentioned that SMT had a very fantastic booking in Q1 highest so far in history, largely also driven by AI server boards. And in there, there are a lot of power packages using tools from SiP, tools from SMT as well. So all this infrastructure deployment and spending are driving a lot of our mainstream tools, both in SEMI as well as in SMT. Now I think your second question is about China, whether China region, whether AP grow, is it faster than mainstream or mainstream is still very strong.
I think typically, in China, say especially on the SEMI side, the mainstream side are definitely stronger than the AP side. However, on the SMT side, in the rest of the region, still stronger than the China side. So there's a mix in terms of China demand coming from SEMI and SMT segment.
And my second question is also regarding the optics, photonics solution. So you mentioned that the revenue delivered fivefold increase year-on-year this quarter. And may I ask why we suddenly saw a very strong pickup in this segment. And I believe you mentioned that regarding the booking, the photonic solutions is both in your SEMI solutions segment and SMT segment. May I ask what tools for the SMT and what tools within the SEMI solution?
Yes. I think it's really all AI-driven, data center driven, as you can imagine, as the industry continued to increase the silicon compute, the transmission side has to match that capability as well. So that drives a lot of growth presently in terms of optical transceivers and the industry is moving from 400G to 800G to 1.6T, and we have a very, very good solution for optical transceivers.
This segment has been seeing steady growth for a few quarters already. We have been reporting there. So it's nothing new to us. We have been saying that optical transceiver is a good market for us. We have been quite dominant in that space. We've been winning market share as well. So that's something that we are experiencing from many quarters already in terms of photonics.
Now your second question is for -- both segments indeed are participating in this area. Now for SMT, mentioned in the optical transceiver there are many, many components, some require higher precision than others. So for those components that require higher precision bonding. They use our SEMI tools for that purpose. For those that do not require a lot of precision they use our SMT pick and place tool to bond those components. So both segment SMT and SEMI are actually benefiting from this surge in demand for optical transceivers.
Yes. Next, I will request Kevin from Citi to unmute.
So I have two questions. Number one is that I would like to get some more detail on the booking guidance outlook. As you see right now, our booking is back to -- especially like SMT back to a record level. So can we get for the coming quarters, do we see -- have a rough sense of breakdown for booking into the, say, SEMI and SMT and specifically, which region are we seeing the most growth from. And also, last time we mentioned we're seeing some improving visibility. Is this still the case so that right now, approximately how many months of visibility do we have right now? .
Thanks, Kevin, for the question. Now I think you're referring to Q2 bookings. Now we -- as you know, we don't really guide but we can definitely give you some color we see bookings in Q2 this quarter to remain elevated. Booking may, however, moderate Q-on-Q but still expected to grow strongly on a year-on-year basis. We believe in large part, we continue to benefit from the secular demand for AI-related applications. And in the infrastructure spending, plus, of course, overall improving market condition as a whole. Giving a little bit of color as to the or the segment booking.
Now for SEMI, Q2 SEMI bookings are expected to increase Q-on-Q and more significantly higher on a year-on-year basis. However, for SMT bookings are likely to decrease Q-on-Q due to high base effect as we have reported, Q1 booking for SMT was at a record high. So we don't expect the current level to continue on a Q-on-Q basis. However, having said that, SMT bookings are also expected to be higher on a year-on-year basis. Now you asked about visibility.
Looking ahead, while we are definitely more optimistic about business compared to some quarters back, there is less visibility for the second half of 2026 for the whole group. I think this is pretty normal for a business that we can't really look too far away. So I hope I answered your question, Kevin.
Yes. Maybe real quick, I think Kevin was asking about the booking by region. And Kevin, we actually sort of answered it already when we were talking about -- when Robin was addressing Daisy's question. Since overall, the regional mix will stay relatively stable. But like what Robin was mentioning about the strength of China OSATs. So there will be a little bit more booking from China. But overall, it's quite steady.
Great. My second question is on the EMIB outlook. I think recently, there has been some demand pickup on this technology. I'm just wondering what type of or tools are addressing this kind of demand? And also our position to the share allocation in this type of technology. Do we need a special type of TCB and that require customization as well?
Yes. I think, Kevin, I can't hear you properly. I think you mentioned EMIB-T right? .
Yes.
Okay. So A couple of layers we have to understand on the EMIB-T program. If you are talking about embedded die bonding, we believe this is on a large substrate, probably 510 x 500. Unfortunately, TCB, we are not ready for that yet in terms of that kind of panel size because it will take some time for us to deliver a tool of that size for TCB. But however, if this EMIB program takes off and we believe it will, we are already -- this particular customer is really using our tool for CoW application.
So do you have to -- I mean, if this program proliferates, right? So they will probably need also more tools to place a lot more components on the EMIB-T substrate. So I think I think we will benefit from that particular area that means on the CoW tools, which we're already in. But if you're talking about embedded die bonding for the EMIB-T, we are not there yet.
Next, I will move to Sunny. Sunny, could you please unmute and raise your question?
Hello. Could you hear me okay?
Yes. Very well.
Congrats on the very good results and thank you, Robin, for all your leadership over the years. And so my first question is on your opportunity on the logic, especially on chip-on-wafer. And so Robin, earlier, you mentioned the chip-on-wafer migration for TCB could be somewhat related to chiplet. That was a bit surprising to me because I always think that the chip-on-wafer migration for TCB should be related to larger package. And so how should we think about from here? You just secured 4 tools from a leading-edge foundry customer. How aggressive are they in migrating to TCB for chip-on-wafer from here? How should we think about when you may get another bulk orders? Would that be in second half? Or will you need to wait until maybe 2027?
Okay. Thanks, Sunny, for your question. Now when we -- when I mentioned about chiplet, between chiplet and SoC, when the GPU architecture is using SoC, there is less need to use TCB to place the SOC onto the interposer because you don't need that kind of precision. But when you try to -- when you go into SOIC kind of packaging, you need more precision to put those chips onto an interposer. So that's why TCB will be needed going forward. So I think as the industry migrates from an SoC structure to an SOIC structure, we see increasing use of TCB for that application.
So however, having said that, we have been telling you guys that for 2026, the number of tools for CoW will not be significant because it all depends on the migration to the next chip architecture. So we believe '26 will not be high for CoW. But going forward in the years to come, I think there's a meaningful TAM over there for CoW application for logic. Now how aggressive is this migrating to CoW? Yes, I think I already answered your second question as well. So '26 will not be high, but '27 would be meaningful.
Also, if I may follow up on my first question. Also, these leading-edge logic customer, they are already working on the follow-up solution beyond CoWoS, meaning CoPoS. So yes, so from your perspective, for their CoPoS, they will start from smaller form factor, 310 x 310. And so from your perspective, are you seeing any signs of clients trying to pull forward the technology development. And for CoPoS, how should we think about your overall opportunity, especially around chip-on-panel.
Yes. I think we are -- as we speak, we are developing tools for CoP. So we deal to deliver demonstration tools sometime this year. So that part, we are already engaged with the key advanced logic customer. So that is another exciting area for TCB. So if you look at TCB in general, we have a wide customer base. We have a very diverse applications. We don't just depend on certain applications, but a very diverse application both on the logic side as well as on the HBM side. So certainly, panel packaging at CoP level is an interesting development for us as well.
Also, if I may, I do want to ask a question on SMT. So any update on your strategic review for the division? And have you identified a specific option that you want to go for? And what would be the time line?
To answer your second question first, no. I think we are still in the progress of evaluating. But certainly, we have received some interest in the SMT business at this point in time.
Next, I would like to request Arthur. Arthur, please unmute.
Robin, can you hear me?
Yes.
Congrats on a strong result and guidance. So I will have two questions. Number one is on the CPO. You just mentioned that you have a deep dive into the process, right? And you mentioned the timing is '28. I want to confirm that that's the optical engine shipment or that's your equipment shipment timing?
Shipment TAM, we're referring to our equipment TAM for CPO, it wouldn't look interesting from '28 onwards.
Okay. Interesting on '28. Because what we heard from the supply chains that actually some of the CPO equipment already kick off. So can you share more color on your target for example, is for the GPU side maker or is for the ASIC side maker?
I think the clientele that we have probably serving both Arthur. I think can really differentiate whether it's ASIC or GPU, yes.
Okay. Okay. And my second question is about the HBM. So thanks for sharing this good progress. Do you think for the HBM4 and 4E and actually, you can continue to -- so my question is about HB progress, hybrid bonding progress and your tools, so do you think the visibility is getting longer and longer in the HBM side?
Not really. I think the road map from our customers are pretty clear, but like what Katie said, if there is adjustment to the road map, of course, the demand will vary from quarter-to-quarter. But however, in the long run, I think we are still sticking to a very significant TAM of $1.6 billion in 2028. And we intend and we have never wavered from our aim to target 35% to 40% market share for the whole TCB market.
Got you. And finally, a question to Katie. On the modeling perspective, we know there is a strong booking, right? But how about your component supplier lead time? Is it getting longer? Or does that remain controllable? How should we think of the real billing seasonality of this year? Do we see any constraints?
Yes. Arthur, thank you for the question. Maybe I'll answer it by segment. On the SMT front I'll do that first, though we have very, very strong bookings, as we've mentioned a few times now, the conversion -- the revenue conversion is somewhat impacted by the lead time of our suppliers. The team is actually actively addressing this, and we expect that in the second half, this kind of situation actually will get better.
On the SEMI side, I mean, there's always the kind of tight supply chain, especially given all the uncertainties around the globe. But so far, we will say that we are managing the supply situation just fine.
Next, I would like to request Alex Chan to unmute. I think Alex have some technical problem. Maybe we'll go to the next one. Next, I would like to invite Donnie. Donnie, could you please unmute?
Can you hear me?
Yes, Donnie. Go ahead.
Robin, my first question is regarding to your NEXX business. So I'm wondering if that -- I mean, I remember in the past few years, the NEXX one of the NEXX major business was plating tool, and it can be sold to some PCB companies. And recently, I think PCB companies or substrate companies are expanding capacity due to their running out of the fab. So I think I just want to ask is like if NEXX can generate some revenue momentum recovery in the future? Are you still considering to sell this business? And also in terms of time line, when we expect that we can dispose SIPLACE and NEXX, these two businesses in the future? Would that be in second quarter? So this is the first question.
I think let me answer your second part of the question first. We don't have an exact timing for you. Whenever there is a deal we have we will announce it. But so far, we have nothing to mention here. Now you're talking about NEXX, yes, they are into deposition. When we make a decision to divest NEXX, we don't just look at financial alone. We look at strategic fit to our whole business, right? So we feel that we want to divest that because we're going to focus more on the SEMI back-end. NEXX is not exactly in the back end. NEXX is on the middle end. So that's the reason why we made the decision to divest NEXX, not purely on financial but because of strategy.
Okay. Okay. Understood. Just one follow-up on this. So when you decide to divest NEXX, have you already seen the pickup of the orders from those PCB and substrate makers?
I would say, yes, as I said, but our decision is not based on financial alone. It's really more on strategy.
Okay. And my second question is regarding to the CPO. So my understanding was that AMICRA for example, can be used for laser bonding or, as you s, maybe micro lens bonding on to IC. I guess that's the major business still today. But I'm also wondering if you can quantify a bit more on the 5x growth in the first quarter of this year. It's like what kind of base in the last year? And also in terms of the inspection, as you know, for CPO, the FAU alignment with optical engine is also very critical and it also requires inspection. So we have AOI tool. We have AOI tool. I'm wondering if we can explore some of the business opportunities there or we are mainly staying at the die bonding market?
Yes, very good question, Donnie. Actually, when we deep dive into the Photonics business, right? So we also think that may be we shouldn't just focus on just on the die bonding because there's indeed a lot of opportunities in the photonics in the CPO as well as the optical transceiver business. So too early. I don't have any concrete answer for you at this point in time. But coming back on the FAU, yes, I think AMICRA has a solution especially for FAU attached onto the PIC. So as I said earlier, I think as far as CPO is concerned, we feel good. We feel excited about this particular development. So we will probably have more of the share as we move throughout the quarters in the years to come.
And in terms of 5x growth, can you elaborate a little more is like what kind of base we are growing from in
capacity.
Yes. I would say Donnie, right now, it's still a small base. But again, in terms of growth, if it was a significant growth we thought it's worth to highlight to you guys as well that we are making good progress in terms of optical transceiver as well as CPO.
I'm afraid this is the time that we have. And now I'll pass the time back to Robin for his closing remarks.
Yes. So thank you for a very good discussion today. So let me take a step back and say that this quarter really marks an important point for ASMPT. We delivered one of the strongest quarters in recent years, not just in terms of revenue and bookings, but notably also how broadly AI is translating into more opportunity for ASMPT, from TCB and advanced packaging to photonics, CPO and mainstream platform, we are indeed seeing AI driving demand across multiple products and customer segments at the same time.
Also this breadth matters because it reflects the increasing complexity of AI system architecture and the value of back-end manufacturing, an area where our range of solutions, our scale, our capabilities are allowing us to participate meaningfully across the technology space. We are indeed very encouraged by the operational leverage we have demonstrated this quarter. Our adjusted margins improved sequentially, supported by product mix and volume, and our results came in ahead of market expectations.
So looking ahead, we continue to see AI as a multiyear structural driver of our business, with strong engagement across advanced logic and memory photonics and CPO and mainstream wire and die bonding and SMT pick-and-place solutions. We believe ASMPT is well positioned to support this next phase of industry growth across both SEMI and SMT.
So once again, thank you for your interest and your continuous support. We look forward to updating you more in the next quarter. So this concludes our call. Thank you, and take care.
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Asmpt — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Starkes Q1: Rekordbuchungen treiben Umsatzwachstum, Guidance für Q2 liegt über Konsens, H2-Visibilität bleibt begrenzt.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: USD 507,9 Mio. (0% Q/Q, +32,0% YoY)
- Buchungen: USD 727,0 Mio. (+46% Q/Q, +71,6% YoY) – höchster Quartalswert in 4 Jahren
- Adj. Bruttomarge: 39,5% (+357 Basispunkte Q/Q, -151 Basispunkte YoY)
- Adj. EPS: HKD 0,81 (+118,9% Q/Q, +189,3% YoY)
- SEMI Book-to-Bill: 1,13 – SEMI-Wachstum getrieben von Die-/Wire-Bondern und TCB
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- AI-Impulse: Künstliche Intelligenz treibt Nachfrage breit über TCB (Through-Channel Bonder), Photonics, CPO (Co‑Packaged Optics) sowie SMT/SEMI Mainstream.
- Technologie‑Push: Fortschritte bei fluxless AOR-TCB (plasmaprozess) und Hybrid-/Chip‑on‑Wafer (CoW) qualifizieren erste Tools; Chip‑on‑Panel (CoP) Demonstratoren in Entwicklung.
- Marktposition: Starkes Wachstum bei Photonics (≈5x YoY) und Anspruch auf signifikante Marktanteile in TCB; Management peilt langfristig ~35–40% Marktanteil im TCB-TAM an.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q2‑Guidance: Umsatz erwartet zwischen USD 540–600 Mio. (Mid USD 570 Mio., +12,2% Q/Q, +37,0% YoY) – über Konsens
- Buchungen: Weiterhin erhöht, SEMI voraussichtlich Q/Q steigend, SMT wegen hohem Q1‑Base voraussichtlich Q/Q rückläufig, aber YoY höher
- Risiken: Eingeschränkte Sicht in H2 2026, Abhängigkeit von Timing großer Kundenentscheidungen, Lieferketten-/Komponentenleadtimes können Umsatumsumsetzung dämpfen
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Memory‑TCB: Nachfrage und Bulk‑Orders unregelmäßig; Management bestätigt aktive Evaluierungen mit einem großen Memory‑Player, nennt aber keine Namen oder Termine.
- Photonics & CPO: Management sieht deutlich größeres TAM als früher, aber will es noch nicht quantifizieren; Hybridbonding und weitere Bond‑Applikationen in Qualifikation, breites Produktset für FAU, EIC/PIC, Microlens.
- SMT‑Strategie / Veräußerungen: Strategische Prüfung (SIPLACE, NEXX) läuft; Interesse vorhanden, kein Zeitplan; SMT‑Buchungen stark, aber Umsatzrealisierung kann durch Lieferzeiten limitiert sein.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Q1 übertraf Erwartungen: starke Buchungen und Margenverbesserung untermauern AI‑getriebenes Momentum. Die Q2‑Guidance ist optimistisch und liegt über Konsens. Kurzfristig bleiben Timing‑Risiken bei großen Kundenentscheidungen und Lieferkettenengpässe entscheidend; mittelfristig bietet Photonics/CPO und TCB erhebliches Upside.
Asmpt — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I'm Ben Poh, Head of Investor Regions and today, I will be moderating the call. On behalf of ASMPT Limited, welcome to our fourth quarter and full year 2025 Investor Conference Call. Thank you all for your interest and continued support. [Operator Instructions]
Before we start, let me go through our disclaimer. Please note that there may be forward-looking statements about the company's business and finances during this call. Such forward-looking statements could involve known and unknown uncertainties, risks and could cause actual results, performance and events to differ materially from those expressed or implied during this conference call. For your reference, the Investor Relations presentation on our recent results is available on our website.
On today's call, we have the group Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Robin Ng and the Group Chief Financial Officer, Ms. Katie Xu. Robin will cover the group's key highlights for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 and provide outlook and guidance for the following quarter. Katie will provide details on the financial performance for the year and quarter.
Now I will hand the time over to our Group Chief Executive Officer, Robin?
Thank you, Ben. Good morning. Good afternoon and good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for our fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call.
Before we begin, and as I'm sure you know by now, I recently announced my decision to step down from Erol as Group Chief Executive Officer for personal reasons and to devote more time to my family. I will remain in my role until the successor is appointed to ensure a smooth and orderly transition. I'm proud of what we have achieved as a business during my time as CEO and I'm grateful for your trust in me over the years. I'm confident that ASMPT has the right foundations and the people in place for its next phase of growth. Thank you once again for your continued support.
Moving on. The group has decided to divest ASMPT nacks, which has been classified as a discontinued operation. Therefore, -- please note that unless otherwise specified on today's call, we will refer to the group's continuing operations only.
Now for the key highlights for 2025. We experienced strong performance in both our semi and SMT businesses, supported by AI-driven structural growth. There was an increase in customer activity translating into meaningful bookings and revenue for the group, evident in both advanced packaging and our mainstream portfolio. Group bookings grew 21.7% year-on-year driven by both SMT and semi businesses and our full year revenue increased 10% year-on-year, mainly from our flagship TCB solutions.
Now let's look at TCP. TCB momentum strengthened further in 2025 with significant new orders across logic and memory, solidifying our TCB technology leadership. We established deep engagement with both logic and memory customers and saw encouraging traction in areas such as HBM and C2W ultra fine pitch applications. This continues to reinforce our position as a leading provider of advanced packaging solutions as customers move to more complex chiplet-based and high-density architectures.
Turning to our SMT segment. Bookings were better than expected, supported by AI servers, China's EV ecosystem and increased requirements for data transmission for base stations. Last but not least, we also advanced several transformation initiatives from late 2025 to date. These are to enhance focus on our back-end packaging business, improve agility and optimize our portfolio as part of a longer-term strategy. These actions will place us in a stronger position to scale capabilities in the areas where customer demand is more structurally aligned with our technology strength.
Overall, 2025 was a year where we executed well, deepen customer engagements and continue building the foundation for sustained growth. I will elaborate further as we move to today's presentation.
Let me now provide an update on the TCB total addressable market. This time last year, when we presented this slide, we expected the term to reach around USD 1 billion by 2027. Since then, the landscape has evolved meaningfully. The acceleration of AI-driven investment especially in advanced logic and high-bandwidth memory has expanded the market significantly more than our earlier assumptions. Based on our latest projections, we now estimate the TCB TAM to grow from roughly USD 759 million in 2025 to USD 1.6 billion by 2028, representing a CAGR of 30%. This reflects sustained adoption of 2.5D architectures, higher HBM stack and the industries move towards final pitch interconnect. All areas where TCB is increasingly the preferred solution.
Our target market share remains at 35% to 40%. This is supported by the breadth of deep engagements across leading logic and memory customers and by the performance of HBM, C2S and C2W TCB platforms, including strong uptake of our plasma enabled ultra-fine pitch capabilities. We are well positioned to benefit from this expanded TCB TAM, and we are committed to continue investing in this exciting technology.
Moving on to advanced packaging. This remains a strong growth engine for us in 2025 supported by rising complexity in both logic and memory packaging. As customers shift further towards chiplets highest at HPM and final pitch interconnects, we continue to see solid demand across our TCB platforms, in particular. Of note, with our breakthrough into comparative fish beer market, we also grew TCB market share significantly, achieving record TCB revenue growth about 146% year-on-year. In 2025, our AP revenue growth of 30.2% year-on-year was driven by TCP. As a result, AP's contribution to group revenue also increased from 26% in 2024 to 30% in 2025.
Now let's look at TCB more closely. In logic, our C2S solution maintains its dominant position as a process of record with a steady flow of orders from key OSAT customers in 2025. Extending into early 2026, we are pleased to share that we have secured additional orders for 9 more TCB tools from the same customer. We are well positioned for further order wins as the market shift towards larger compound lines. At the same time, our C2W ultra-fine pitch platform, enhanced with plasma EOR technology secured orders for 2 tools in February 2026 from a leading customer for C2W applications. Since the announcement, we have secured 2 more such tools from the same customer. As the industry transitions from master technology to TCB, the group stands to benefit significantly as the preferred C2W solution provider offering plasma enabled capabilities.
This engagement underscore the confidence customers place in the ability to support tighter technical specifications and next-generation packaging road maps. In memory, we deepened our engagement with several customers and continue to expand our share with shipments in Q4 2025. Our tools have demonstrated superior performance with industry-leading production yields and interconnect quality. We were also the first to secure HVM for 12 high orders from multiple players, and we are now leading HVM-4 16 development with flex-based TCBI deployed for sampling, and our fluxes AOR-TCB process under qualification.
These are important milestones for our technology leadership as HBM architectures scale further. Beyond TCB, we also made progress in hybrid bonding, where we receive customer buyout and ship modules. Our second-generation hybrid bonding solution is highly competitive, offering high alignment precision, bonding accuracy, footprint efficiency and units per hour.
In Photonics, revenue grew year-on-year, and we sustained our leading position in the 800G optical transceiver market, while continuing development work with industry partners on 1.60 transceiver solutions. Our CPO collaboration also continues to move forward with key global players. And in SMT SIP applications, Demand remained robust, especially in AI-related RF and system in package application. Our next-generation chip tool also gained traction among advanced logic smartphone applications. Overall, Advanced packaging delivered another year of meaningful progress with broader adoption across logic, memory, photonics and SiP and it continues to be a central pillar of our long-term growth.
And finally, our mainstream business. This accounted for about 70% of fiscal year '25 group revenue. In 2025, AI-related demand was also a strong momentum driver for our mainstream business. Rising requirements for AI data center power management applications, kept utilization reach elevated and leading global IGMs, benefiting semi mainstream. Meanwhile, SMT mainstream secured more orders to support increased data transmission requirements for base stations and AI server [indiscernible].
In China, our mainstream business saw around 18% year-on-year revenue growth across both semi and SMT. Semis growth was driven by strong demand for in and diode applications underpinned by robust set utilization. SMT benefited from increased deployment of AI server bots and strong demand for Ebix in 2025.
With these highlights, let me now hand over the time to Katie, who will walk you through our group and segment financial performance.
Thank you, Robin. Good morning, good evening, everyone. Let me take you through the group financial performance. Before I start, I would like to reiterate that unless otherwise specified, the numbers I will be referring to today are for the group's continuing operations only, with adjustments made under non-HKFRS measures. This slide covers our financial results for 2025.
For the full year, the group delivered revenue of USD 1.76 billion, representing an increase of 10.0% year-on-year, driven largely by TCB. Group bookings reached USD 1.86 billion, representing 21.7% year-on-year growth. Both SMT and semi registered high bookings during the year. The group continues to build a healthy backlog with book-to-bill of 1.05, which is our highest since 2021. In 2025, group adjusted gross margin was 38.3%. This was 172 basis points lower year-on-year, reflecting lower gross margin in both SMT and semi.
Group operating expenditures was HKD 4.56 billion, up 3.2% year-on-year, mainly driven by strategic R&D and IT infrastructure investments of HKD 237 million as we communicated at the beginning of last year. These investments were partially offset by disciplined execution of cost control and efficiency measures.
Now looking ahead for 2026 packs, as Robin mentioned, we are committed to continuing the investment in our core technologies, and we expect OpEx to rise by about HKD 200 million in 2026. In 2025, both adjusted operating profit and net profit improved year-on-year due to high revenue and operating leverage. In the fourth quarter, we delivered revenue for continuing operations and discontinued operations of USD 557.1 million that surpassed the upper end of our guidance. Q4 revenue for continuing operations was USD 508.9 million, representing an increase of 12.2% Q-on-Q and 30.9% year-on-year, driven by strong growth across both semi and SMT. Group Q4 bookings were USD 499.7 million. The Q-on-Q increase was due to stronger TCB bookings, while the year-on-year growth was largely driven by SMT's mainstream business.
Group Q4 adjusted gross margin was 35.8% and down 175 basis points Q-on-Q and 101 basis points year-on-year. This sequential decline came from both semi and SMT with year-on-year decline due to lower semi margins partially offset by higher SMT margins. Group Q4 adjusted operating profit was HKD 161.0 million, up 4.3% year-on-year due to -- up 4.3% Q-on-Q due to higher revenue and operating leverage. Group Q4 adjusted net profit was HKD 119.9 million, up 42.2% Q-on-Q and 390.7% year-on-year. The Q-on-Q increase was largely due to fees of HKD 39 million from order cancellations while the year-on-year increase was due to stronger operating profit. Adjusted earnings per share were $0.30.
Moving on to the Semiconductor Solutions segment for the fourth quarter of 2025. We Semi delivered Q4 revenue of USD 245.6 million, an increase of 9.4% Q-on-Q and 19.5% year-on-year. Q-on-Q and year-on-year growth was driven by AI-related applications, mainly from Photonics. Semi Q4 bookings were USD 253.3 million, up 15.4% Q-on-Q and 2.3% year-on-year. The increases were due to TCB orders from advanced logic customers and a market share gain in high-end die bonders. Semi book-to-bill ratio in Q4 2025 was $1.03. Q4 adjusted margin for semi came in at 40.3%, down 102 basis points Q-on-Q and 292 basis points year-on-year. The Q-on-Q decline was largely due to product mix and inventory provision as a result of an isolated order cancellation.
Year-on-year decline was due to product mix, inventory provision mentioned above and higher factory utilization in Q4 2024 during the TCB ramp. Q4 adjusted segment profit was HKD 98.0 million, up 62.5% Q-on-Q and up significantly year-on-year. Both Q-on-Q and year-on-year improvements were mainly driven by higher volume and fees related to the other cancellations.
Next, let me move to the SMT Solutions segment performance for the fourth quarter of 2025. SMT delivered strong Q4 revenue of USD 263.3 million, up 15.0% Q-on-Q and 43.8% year-on-year driven by AI servers, EVs in China and the billing of a bulk order for smartphone applications. However, contributions from automotive end market outside of China and industrial remains soft. SMT recorded Q4 bookings of USD 246.4 million, down 3.9% Q-on-Q but up 73.3% year-on-year. The Q-on-Q decline was due to seasonality, while the year-on-year increase came from the demand for AI servers and EVs in China. Q4 SMT gross margin was 31.6%, down 225 basis points Q-on-Q, but up 199 basis points year-on-year. The Q-on-Q decline reflected continued weakness in automotive and industrial end markets and the building of bulk order mentioned above, which had a lower margin. The year-on-year increase was mainly due to higher volume.
Q4 segment profit was HKD 193.1 million up 18.5% Q-on-Q and significantly year-on-year due to higher volume.
This slide highlights ASMPT's revenue breakdown by end markets. Computer end market was significantly up, becoming the largest contributor to group revenue, accounting for 22%. The growth in computing was largely driven by our TCB solutions. Consumer end market was the second largest contributor at 17%. Year-on-year revenue growth came largely from the group's mainstream solutions, consistent with higher revenue from China. The communication end market contributed to 16% to group revenue, driven by photonics and high-end smartphone-related applications. The automotive end market contributed almost 16% to group revenue, supported by EV demand in China, where the group remains a leading player. Lastly, the industrial end market contributed 10% to group revenue, reflecting soft market conditions.
As you can see from this slide, we're a truly global business partnering with customers across all major regions. China remained the largest market, contributing 41% of group revenues. However, Europe and Americas declined year-on-year, mainly due to soft market conditions in SMT with Europe's share of revenue down to 13% and Americas down to 11%. Looking at Asia outside China, their proportion increased collectively from 24% to 34%, largely driven by TCB revenue. The group continued to maintain low customer concentration risk with the top 5 customers representing approximately 16% of total revenue in 2025. We have an existing dividend policy of disturbing about 50% of the annual profit as dividends, and we firmly believe in returning excess cash to our shareholders. For the second half of 2025 with adjusted EPS at $0.68 in Hong Kong dollars, while continuing and discontinued operations, the Board has recommended a final dividend of $0.34 per share. In addition, the Board has recommended a special cash dividend of $0.79 per share after taking into consideration the net cash inflow from recent strategic projects. Together with the interim dividend of $0.26 per share paid in August 2025, the total dividend payment for 2025 will be USD 1.39 per share.
With that, let me now pass the time back to Robin for an update on our transformation initiatives and the next quarter's revenue guidance.
Thank you, Katie. As mentioned earlier, we undertook several transformation initiatives from the late 2025 to date as part of our long-term strategy. In November 2025, we completed the divestment of our entire equity interest in AMI in exchange for cash and new shares in Santen original advanced compounds Company Limited. In January this year, we announced a strategic options assessment of our SMT Solutions segment. The assessment is underway, and we will update at the appropriate time when there are material developments.
Lastly, today, we make public the decision to divest ASX incorporated. These initiatives share a common objective of optimizing ASMPT's portfolio streamlining operations to enhance agility and improving margin and profitability while ensuring continued investment in infrastructure and technology development in high-growth areas. We also sharpened our focus on the back-end packaging business. In the meantime, business for all our segments continue as usual.
Let me now turn to our Q1 2026 revenue guidance. The group expects Q1 2026 revenue to be in the range of USD 470 million and USD 530 million. At midpoint, this represents a decline of 1.8% Q-on-Q and 29.5% year-on-year. Notably, the group's midpoint revenue guidance for continuing operations only already excites talent market consensus, which includes both continued and discontinuing operations. We anticipate sustained Q-on-Q revenue growth in our semi segment driven by TCB and high-end die bonders, although this will be partially offset by SMT seasonality. On a year-on-year basis, the higher group revenue is expected to be driven mainly by strong momentum in SMT coupled with steady growth of semi.
For Q1 2026, group gross margin is expected to improve, led by semi gross margin returning to the mid-40s level. This improvement is driven by higher volumes from TCB and high-end die bonders. SMT's gross margin, however, is expected to stay at similar levels as automotive and industrial end markets remain soft. The group bookings momentum will accelerate in Q1 2026, supported by both segments.
Looking further ahead, structural industry growth from AI demand is expected to drive revenue growth across both semi and SMT. In TCB, with our industry-leading technologies, and deep engagement across a broad AI customer base, we are well positioned to expand our TCB business in a rapidly growing market. Our semi and SMT mainstream businesses continue to be supported by global investment in AI infrastructure and steady demand from China, while SMT automotive and industrial end markets are expected to remain soft in the near term.
This concludes our full year and fourth quarter 2025 presentation. Thank you, and we are now ready for Q&A. Let me pass back the time to Ben to facilitate.
Thank you, Robin. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the Q&A session. [Operator Instructions] So with that, may I have the first question. Okay. Gokul, please omit yourself and raise your question.
2. Question Answer
Ben, Robin and Katie, Robin, first of all, thanks for your leadership over the many years, and good luck on your retirement. My first question is on TCB, the addressable market TAM expansion to $1.6 billion. Could you talk a little bit more about where is the upside mostly coming from in your estimates? Let's say we get to this $1.6 billion, what will be the mix of HBM versus logic look like in 2028? And given that you gave an estimate of $750 million addressable market for last year, what was the market share roughly for ASMPT last year? Should we assume that it was about 30% or so for TCB, just to get a starting point of your TCB journey when we think about this TAM expansion?
Gokul, this is Katie. Let me try and address the questions that you have. First, on the TCB TAM, just take a quick minute on the methodology. Actually, last year, that was our first time publishing the TAM at $1 billion. This year, actually, the methodology is very, very similar. So we essentially used the wafer per month that actually you guys have published in the industry, and we start that to the number of AI chips and the interconnects and then choose needed, right? So it's the same methodology. So to your question about what's driving the expansion? Obviously, right, really, it's the starting point is the wafer per month that has expanded significantly for the AI industry overall. So that's the main expansion.
Now, in terms of the mix of hyper bond -- sorry, HBM and logic, I think in previous years, we've communicated HBM is the larger portion of the TAM. And it'll continue to be so probably until as we go into the outer years, right, if we talk about HBM 20 high beyond, then at that point, maybe hype-bound will be kicking in and then the logic side, especially COW, will actually become more prominent in the TAM.
So then the other things you asked about the last year's market share and you said about 30% and you are quite in the ballpark for that one.
Got it. That's very clear. Second, on the proceeds from, I think, this rationalization of the portfolio and some strategic actions that you're taking. Good to see that happen. But could you also talk a little bit about what is the kind of end state that you're hoping for once this rationalization is being done? Are there areas that you're kind of trying to bulk up on as it putting to the back-end packaging business? And specifically on NEXX, what is the rationale for divesting NEXX given that has a fair bit of 2.5D bumping and ECD plating kind of business, which theoretically, it feels like closer to the advanced packaging business. But just help us understand why that divestment of NEXX is also happening.
Gokul, thanks for the question. I'll take that question, Gokul. So basically, I think it's really focusing really on our back-end packaging business because this is where we feel this is where the structural growth will be -- and this is where I think our strength sort of match the industrial road map for packaging. So really back to focusing on back-end packaging. So first, you notice we divest our late crane business just as just 1 step. And now we are assessing SMT, which is more the downstream operation.
And then as to your question on NEXX, you're right. NEXX is -- although it is advanced packaging, but it's not exactly back end. -- belong more to the middle and -- and their technology, to be honest, is more wet technology, whereas technology is really more on automation, innovation and so forth. So we feel that it's probably the right time to consider divesting mix next to really focus all our attention and all our resources on the back end side.
Understood. And maybe if I could squeeze in 1 more. I think any quick view on how the mainstream DME solution business you're expecting it to progress, Robin? What are you hearing from your customers given at least from a CapEx perspective, many of your customers seem to be moving up for the first time in this up cycle?
Yes, yes. I think we're beginning to see maybe we talked about green shows some quarters back. But this time around, the ratio seems to be real from our point of view. Now because there is a tier wind behind the mainstream business. And this time around, we feel that -- we have been talking for a few quarters already, Gokul, that we feel this standalone is underpinned by AI investment as well. You can imagine when the industry continue to invest more and more in terms of data center besides the GPUs, there are many other components inside the data in the sites the servable AI pool. You have power management devices and many other components, right? So you can imagine with all the server bots going into a data center and the build-out of data center CapEx. There is huge massive amount of components need to be packaged using both our semi wire bond and the normal die bond tools as well as our SMT pick-in-place tools. So this AI data center investments are really driving our mainstream, both on the semi side as well as on the SMT side.
Okay. Okay. That's very clear. So we should expect that mainstream semis also should be growing. I think it's not been growing for maybe 3, 4 years now after 2021, but it looks like '26, we should see some growth in the non-advanced packaging piece of semi solutions as well, right?
Yes. As far as you can see, I think our visibility is, again, is quite normal in our business to be limited to 1 or 2 quarters, right? So I think first half looks to be okay. Half-on-half better than -- half-on-half growth year-on-year, half year also, we think it will grow. But if you ask me on the second half, let's wait for a while to see how it develop limited visibility at this point in time for second half.
Thank you, Gogo, for your questions. SP1 I see a raise hand from Daisy. I will request Daisy to unmute and raise your question.
Firstly, I want to ask about the HBM opportunities because I listened to your competitor's earnings call, they are talking about high-bandwidth flash opportunities. Have you guys also seen these opportunities from ASMPT side?
Yes, we do, Daisy. This is a very good question. I think this is, again, probably an exciting development. To be honest, we have not factored this into a TAM, TCB TAM because potentially, the way we assess the technology or the packaging technology required, I think TCB could be also be a tool to package HBF. So this is something that we look forward to. If the industry -- if the industry develop in this direction, I think we will also stand to benefit in time to come.
Okay. And also following Gokul's previous question and you previously also mentioned that you expect the second half will also grow versus first half. So I want to ask about the order visibility for -- from ASMPT side because I think in normal times, back-end order visibility is 3 to 6 months. And how is the order visibility now? And what is the magnitude that you are seeing that second half could grow versus first half?
Correction, correction, Daisy correction. Let me be clear. Just want to answer Gokul's question. I'm just saying first half 2026, we have better visibility because of the momentum we are seeing in terms of advanced packaging as well as mainstream. But second half is still limited in terms of visibility. But at least this time around, we can see a little bit further, maybe slightly more than a quarter, but second half, let me correct your statement, second half we still have limited visibility. So when I mentioned just half-on-half I'm sort of giving you some color. First half this year, demand probably will be better than first half last year as well as second half of last year. So I'm just comparing half-on-half and year-on-year. But second half, I repeat, we still have limited visibility at this point in time.
Okay. Thank you, Daisy. And next, request [indiscernible] to unmute.
Robin, you will be missed. First, congrats on the strong results. So first question is on the backlog. You highlighted that backlog almost over $800 million. Can you give us more color on the spread between the semi and SMT? And also, you highlight the high-end bonder. Can you share with more on the TCB's product such as panel label fan-out?
[indiscernible], on the backlog, just really quick. The semi signed backlog is stronger as a large quantum than SMT.
Is this a significant higher or is pretty Estima? Yes.
Met the percentages roughly 60-40, I guess, don't call me that exact, somewhere there.
So [indiscernible], on your second question about high-end Dion, which I think you're referring to what we have mentioned in our announcement, Yes, I think if we're referring to semi, I think it's good news. We have penetrated into a high-end die-attach application for high-end smartphones, right? So if you look at the camera modules or high-end smartphones, there are many, many box ship components in there, which need to be put in place as well. So the customers have chosen our die-attach application to place those components. So this is a brand-new market for us. We have never been in this market. So we really look forward to having more market -- increasing the market share in this particular area. So that's for the high-end in bond I think you're referring to.
Now you also have a question on panel-level [indiscernible]. We see a lot of trend in that direction. We feel that this is also driven by AI as well, right? So panel level [indiscernible] for components that go into their center becoming more and more visible. So definitely, we have a tool, basically a mass reflow tool that we can deploy for a solution that is so we're also bringing well placed to capture this opportunity.
Got you. And second question is on Page 10. You highlight there is older cancellation on the semi side. Can you give us more color? Is it associated with the NEXX?
Yes, the -- so this audit cancellation does not have an association with NEXX. So let me just give a little bit more color on that. The order cancellation came from a global IDM who's focused on automotive applications and other came a few years ago and it was for our semi mainstream products. The customer had to cancel the order due to weak automotive industry performance. So that's why we got this cancellation. But I want to make sure that well, understand this is a very much an isolated event.
Next, I would like to request Leping to unmute and raise the question.
The first question is also about the TCB TAM. So when you derive the TCV time in 2028? What's the split between memory and logic? And you also said that you're targeting 35% to 40% market share in 2028. So what's your current market share in memory and logic and what's the upside we can expect in the next few years?
Leping, maybe just add a little bit more basically essentially the answer provided a on the split of memory and logic. Currently, the memory -- the HBM portion in the TAM definitely is much larger than logic. But as we go out -- a few years out, this dynamic will actually shift where the larger -- especially COW should take a larger share. But we do not share the specific split for confidentiality reasons or competitive reasons, I should say.
Now in terms of the market share, as Robin has mentioned in the opening, ASMPT is very, very strong in COS and also when we are actually making all of wins on COW. So our market presence in the logic space is very strong. On HBM, you guys probably remember a year ago, we broke into HBM market. So we have gained market share there. So that's kind of where we are in terms of market share.
Maybe just to add on a little bit in terms of the competition landscape, I think in the logic space, we are a for a very key supply chain for iron use application. And then recently, the good news is that we announced we won 2 tools for C2 fuel application, right, for the same supply chain, and then we won 2 more. So I think it is a signal that we are also being recognized as a solid solution provider for the CDW space as well. Now on the memory side, I think the competition landscape is different. We have a strong company in the memory space. But we have done a fantastic job in 2024. We have practically 0 share in HPM. And in 2025, we managed to penetrate in a very meaningful way. in the HBM market. Now that we are -- we have a strong foothold in the memory market. We look forward to better times ahead in terms of HBM demand allocation.
Okay. The second question is about the memory super cycle. So are you seeing an acceleration of the capacity expansion from your HBM customer -- and given your HBM 4 of order win, are you customers provide a longer-term rolling forecast to secure your TCB tool for the 12 high and high? Or how you play your capacity in this year for the TCB business?
Yes. Thanks. Definitely, definitely in terms of the ABM CapEx is really in line with investment in data center, right? So data center investment continue to increase. You can expect HBM to continue to increase as well, not just in the number of HBM but also in the highest stack from 125 to 165 to 20 high potentially. So that means there will be more and more opportunities for TCB packaging as HBM continue to stack up in terms of high.
Now you asked whether about capacity allocation, to be honest, I think there are some more differentiation between 12 and 16, but they are not major, some hardware module need to be different. If we use to package 12 between 12 and 16, there are some hardware modifications, but also some software. So not -- so there's not much material differences between the tool in the 162.
Thank you, Leping. And next, I would like to request Simon Woo to unmute and raise your question.
Robin, as always, we'll miss you. So the is long-term pressures for 2028 you are expecting CV market $1.6 billion for 2028. Any rough idea of the percentage of the hybrid bonding assumption for that time or very low single digit to a single [indiscernible]?
Sorry, Simon, because your line is breaking up. So do you mind to say that again?
So my question is that the hybrid bonding portion or the 2028 TAM, $1.6 billion.
So this is the TCB temp, so there is no hybrid bond in the TCB TAM. But I guess you're asking our assumption of the hybrid bond adoption timing. Is that what your question is?
Yes, sure, yes. Yes.
Okay. In our model so far, for HBM 16 high, we assume that and we're actually confident that the TCB will continue to serve 16 high because as we get into 20 high, it really depends on the JTC standard, right? If the standard continues to relax, then there will actually be an upside to this model. Otherwise, we assume that in the model itself that the 20 high will be moving on to Hybean cost.
Partially.
Expect PCB can be used for [indiscernible]?
Yes, Simon. I think looking at how -- looking at the -- how the technology -- CP technology developed over the years and also into the future, we are confident that the TCB technology to get with -- of course, we need to collaborate with our customers as well. They are wafer technology will probably, we believe, will continue to improve. So I think a combination of both the wafer as well as TCB tools, we are hopeful and optimistic that 20 high transdue TCB. Of course, if what Katie said, if the JD standard can be relaxed to increase the high from 75 to beyond 25, maybe 50 or even 1050 micron, then the chance of using more for '20 and beyond will even be higher. So this is a mix. So we just have to wait for a little longer to see how the industry plays out in terms of the high restriction.
Yes, very clear, sir. Do you believe the load earlier core-out PLT will require hybrid bonding at or maybe year or later?
Sorry, you're breaking up. Sorry, I need to ask you to repeat.
Taking on I should use a better one. But my question is alluded earlier -- do you see any meaningful progress for the hybrid bonding for Coast area?
So I believe your question is in the logic area whether there's more opportunity for having bonding, right?
Yes. Correct. Correct.
Yes. Actually, to be honest, hybrid bonding has already been adopted at the chiplet level, right, for certain devices. -- but certainly, but we believe that, that has already been ongoing. It all depends it's very dynamic, right? So even, to be honest, even at a chiplet level TCV can be used as a 2 as well, especially when we look at the exciting technology that we're going to develop for TCB going into the future. The TCB technology will get closer and closer to the hybrid bonding technology. So from that perspective, we are optimistic and hopeful that at some point, TCB can also be used also at a chip integration level. But as I said, this industry is very dynamic. So nobody knows what's going to happen, but let's continue to monitor this space.
Yes. Very clear. Sorry, the last. 30% of your revenues or the bank packaging -- any rough idea -- that means anyway, $0.5 billion of your revenue for the expectation last year. But any other idea what was the TCB potion out of the oven packaging revenue last year?
You're talking about TCB proportion to advance packaging. Is that what I'm saying? .
Yes, 2025. yes.
Very dominant a major share of the AP revenue for TCB.
[indiscernible], majority portion?
Yes, ballpark around it.
If you look at the TCB market, the 10 slides that we shared, and Robin mentioned you know what the TCB market size was in 2025. And I think Gokul mentioned about our market share as you do with the rough calculation, you actually get there, if that's what you guys are trying to do?
Yes, $200 million, $300 million, maybe. Sorry, 1 last question from some investors in what overall the revenue appearance or iron per your metal restructuring for the SMT or lead frame, the back-end area of what percentage of the revenue will be off once you complete the restructuring process?
Maybe let me try to answer your question. So for a clarification. For AMI, we were shareholding. And now after the disposal of AMI, there's actually no revenue impact year-on-year of the last few years. So there's no revenue impact at all. For the NEXX business, we just announced today to be as discontinued business or put up for sale, right? NEXX revenue is about USD 100 million, that's what you're looking for.
Thank you, Simon. Yes, I think we have time for 1 final question. And Donnie, we request you to unmute and raise your question.
Wish Robin you all the best after the retirement -- my first question is regarding to your guidance. Can you break down or elaborate more on the bookings momentum in the first quarter? -- and particularly TCB because I think based on your announcement in fourth quarter last year, we already have received quite some TCB orders. So I'm also wondering what kind of trend in terms of the TCB bookings into the first quarter this year? This is my first question.
Thank you, Donnie. I think you probably expect my answer, we cannot be too granular because for competitive reason as well. But I think in overall, I think 2026, we're expecting TCB to continue to grow in line with the investment -- so much investment in data center, right? So that tens -- now if I drill down to the booking, I'll give you some booking color for Q1 2026. We're likely to see a strong booking in Q1 -- Q-on-Q around 20% growth Q-on-Q and even stronger around 40% year-on-year growth for Q1 booking '26 for both SMT segment as well as the semi segment. I think we have been talking a fair bit over the last couple of quarters as well that we see AP will continue to grow. And because of mainstream momentum gaining very strongly over the last 1 or 2 quarters and into Q1 2026 as well. So I think both advanced packaging as well as mainstream will continue to do well in Q1 2026 as far as bookings are concerned.
Now however, I have a caveat just now as well, right, with the stronger booking -- also let me share bit or qualify that we might see some impact on revenue conversion because we are seeing longer material lead time due to tightness in the supply chain. -- right? So although bookings are going to be very strong in Q1, but the conversion to revenue may take a little bit longer than usual because of supply chain tightness, okay? Yes. So I think this is some color I want to give you. And by the way, I think Q1 bookings, the way we see will be the highest quarterly booking in 4 years.
Understood. Can I have a follow-up on this. So for the semi business bookings, the strong sequential growth -- can we say it's primarily driven by more like conventional packaging or from advanced packaging.
Mainstream will probably grow a little bit more than advanced packaging. Advanced packaging tend to be a bit lumpy. We have been saying that for a long time really don't expect AP revenue to be continuously high because first and foremost customers are limited, less customers than the mainstream second, is a high value tools, so customers cannot continue to buy the quarter-on-quarter. So -- but the demand for TCP is steady for sure, right? But Don't expect this to continue to be on a quarter-on-quarter basis continue to grow. So that's a site. But on -- but what we are seeing quite interesting is really on the mainstream side, -- so we see really a pickup in terms of mainstream for those reasons I said earlier, they are driven data center.
Okay. Got it. And my second question is regarding to your 2025 review in terms of the market share gain, particularly in the HBM market. So -- but if you -- if I remember correctly, we actually received quite sizable orders from fourth quarter 2024 from leading HP customers -- and since then into 2025, actual bookings despite of -- there are some repeat orders, but it seems like not as significant as what we had back in fourth quarter 2024. So I just want to clarify that our market share gain in 2025 for HBM and TCB is primarily driven by the big orders we received in fourth quarter 2024?
Just really quick. Donnie, the market share data is actually based on billing.
Yes. So the follow-up is like -- when should we expect to receive a more meaningful repeat orders from the leading HPM customer? I mean -- or when should we can be expect that orders can be maybe more significant than what we had back in fourth quarter 2024?
Yes. I think it all depends on how soon the rollout in volume for section high, right? So also that depends on their customers rollout of the new architecture. So the timing has to be aligned with ultimately how all the ultimate consumer rollout the GPU architecture. So I think as the industry moved from 12.5 to 16 high, I think all equipment supply, including yourself for TCB are waiting anxiously for that particular customer to allocate TCP demand. So -- so at this moment, we feel that 2026 will be a year whereby there will be new to it for [indiscernible]. But exact timing, unfortunately, Donnie, I cannot give you any visibility at this point in time. But it cannot be too long basically no opinion.
Thank you, Donnie. That will be our last question for today. So I will pass the time back to Robin for his closing remarks.
So thank you for all your well wishes, but my retirement. Now before we end, let me capture some really key takeaway from today's discussion. First, 2025 was a year of solid execution for us. and strengthening our customer engagement across the group. So we delivered growth in both bookings and revenues with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.05 and a healthy backlog, reflecting continued momentum and trust the customer placing us Second, AI-related demand was the engine of our overall business in 2025 across both infrastructure and applications, AI drove significant activity in both semi and SMT. This reflects an enduring structural trend that we expect to persist for some time as we increasingly shift customer road maps and priorities.
Last but not least, TCB was a standout for us in terms of momentum and in terms of technology leadership. We expanded envision in both logic and memory, securing wins across HBM, C2S and CW application. So with our latest CCB 10 projection, this highlights the scale of the opportunities in TCB, and we continue to target a 35% to 40% share of this market. So in short, before I close, overall, we are well positioned as we enter 2026. So thank you once again for joining us, and we look forward to updating you in the next quarter. This concludes our call. Thank you, and take care.
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Asmpt — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Solide Buchungen und starkes TCB-Wachstum; kurzfristig Druck auf Margen und Lieferketten, Divestments und hohe Dividende im Fokus.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz (FY): $1,76 Mrd. (+10,0% YoY)
- Buchungen (FY): $1,86 Mrd. (+21,7% YoY)
- Q4 Umsatz (fortg.): $508,9 Mio. (+30,9% YoY; +12,2% QoQ)
- Bruttomarge (FY): 38,3% (−172 Basispunkte YoY); Q4: 35,8% (−101 bp YoY)
- Book-to-bill: 1,05; Dividende: Gesamt 2025 $1,39/Share (inkl. Sonderdividende)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Fokus: Konzentration auf Back‑End‑Packaging und Ausbau der TCB‑Technologie als Kernwachstumstreiber.
- Portfolio‑Bereinigung: Verkauf/klassifizierung mehrerer Einheiten (inkl. NEXX als eingestellte/verkaufsbereite Einheit) zur Straffung und Margenverbesserung.
- TCB‑Ambition: TAM‑Prognose auf $1,6 Mrd. bis 2028 (CAGR ~30%) mit Zielmarktanteil 35–40%.
- Investitionen: Geplante OpEx‑Erhöhung ~HKD 200 Mio. in 2026 für R&D und IT‑Infrastruktur.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q1 2026 Guidance: Umsatz $470–530 Mio. (Mittelwert −1,8% QoQ; −29,5% YoY)
- Margen: Erwartete Verbesserung, getrieben vom Semiconductor‑Segment (Semi‑Bruttomarge zurück in Mittleren 40ern).
- Buchungsdynamik: Management sieht Beschleunigung (Q1‑Bookings farblich ~+20% QoQ / ~+40% YoY genannt).
- Risiken: Lieferketten‑Engpässe können Umsatzerlöse verzögern; SMT‑Automotive und Industrie bleiben kurzfristig schwach; begrenzte Sicht in H2.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- TCB‑TAM‑Split: Fragen zu HBM vs. Logic; Management nennt HBM aktuell größer, konkrete Split‑Zahlen aus Wettbewerbsgründen nicht offenbart.
- Divestment‑Rationale: NEXX als eher „nasse“ bzw. nicht‑Back‑End‑Technologie → Verkauf zur Fokussierung auf Automations/Back‑End.
- Backlog & Visibility: Backlog stärker im Semi (ca. ~60/40 Semi/SMT); Buchungen hoch, aber Umsatzkonvertierung kann wegen Materialengpässen verzögert sein.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: ASMPT profitiert strukturell von AI‑getriebener Nachfrage und TCB‑Momentum; starke Buchungen und hohe Dividende stützen Anlegervertrauen, während Margendruck, Lieferkettenrisiken und begrenzte H2‑Sicht kurzfristig Vorsicht rechtfertigen.
Asmpt — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning. Ladies and gentlemen, this is Ben Poh, the Head of Investor Relations at ASMPT. And today, I'll be moderating the call for the first time. On behalf of ASMPT Limited, welcome to our third quarter 2025 investor conference call. Thank you all for your interest and continued support. [Operator Instructions] During the Q&A session priority will be given to the covering analyst.
Before we start, let me go through our disclaimer. Please note that there may be forward-looking statements about the company's business and finances during this call. Such forward-looking statements could involve known and unknown uncertainties and risks that could cause actual results, performance and events to differ materially from those expressed or implied during this conference call.
On the call, unless stated otherwise, all references to gross profit or margin, operating profit, segment profit and net profit are on adjusted basis as described in our MD&A. For your reference, the Investor Relations presentation on our recent results is available on our website.
On today's call, we have the Group Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Robin Ng; and the Group Chief Financial Officer, Ms. Katie Xu. Robin will cover the group's key highlights for the third quarter, guidance and outlook for the next quarter, while Katie will provide details on the financial performance for the third quarter.
Now I will hand it over to our Group Chief Executive Officer, Robin.
Thank you, Benjamin. Good morning and good evening to everyone today. It is a pleasure to have you all on our earnings conference call for the third quarter of 2025. Now let's start with the key highlights of the third quarter.
This quarter, we continue to experience strong momentum driven by AI. The group's Advanced Packaging and mainstream businesses continued to benefit from sustained AI adoption. The group's strong Advanced Packaging momentum has been driven by Thermo-Compression Bonding or TCB. We remain dominant in advanced logic, have made rapid inroads into high-bandwidth memory or HBM and more recently have a first mover advantage in HBM4.
At the same time, AI infrastructure comprising data centers, data transmission and power management contributed to demand in the mainstream business. In China, demand was also driven by EV and high factory utilization across OSATs. Now let me talk about our technology leadership in TCB.
We have further solidified our leadership in HBM. The group's HBM TCB solution have achieved better yields versus the competition. And as I said above, we are leading in the transition to HBM4. In addition, our proprietary fluxless active oxide removal technology provides superior scalability for HBM 16-high and above with the lowest cost of transition.
In logic, the group's ultrafine pitch TCB for chip-to-wafer with plasma AOR solution has successfully passed final qualifications for quality and reliability at a leading foundry and is ready for high-volume manufacturing. Notably, plasma-based technology has been endorsed by this leading foundry, underscoring this technological advantage over other processes.
Turning to TCB orders. Encouragingly, the group achieved recurring orders from both memory and logic customers in the third quarter. In memory, our TCB solutions for HBM4 12-high became the first to secure orders from multiple HBM players. We expect to remain as a primary supplier, demonstrating our technology leadership in the rapid transition to HBM4.
In logic, the group continued to win orders as a process of record for chip-to-substrate applications for key customers. As the market transition to a larger compound dies, we are well positioned to secure sizable orders in Q4 2025 and beyond from the OSAT partners of a leading foundry. As a business, we remain confident in the outlook for TCB demand.
As to the other updates, in hybrid bonding, the group continued to ship hybrid bonding tools in Q3 2025. Our second-generation hybrid bonding solutions are competitive in alignment precision, bonding accuracy, footprint efficiency and units per hour. In photonics, we continue to dominate the optical transceiver market, reinforcing our leadership as a key supplier of 800G transceivers while also actively engaging industry players on next-generation 1.6T photonics solutions.
Moving to SMT. Bookings were better than expected in the third quarter, demonstrating signs of recovery in the business. SMT's AP solutions achieved strong bookings year-on-year growth in the third quarter and won sizable Systems-in-Package orders from IDMs and OSATs for RF modules for base station to support AI growth. SMT also continued to win orders for the next-generation chip [ SMT 2 ] in advanced logic smartphone applications from a leading foundry and OSAT partners -- and OSAT players. In our mainstream SMT business, the demand came mainly from EVs where we remain a leading player in China.
Before I conclude this section, I want to highlight that we have delivered a profitable quarter, excluding the strategic restructuring costs from the voluntary liquidation of the Shenzhen AEC plant as announced in August. The decision was made to optimize the group's global supply chain to better align with the evolving market dynamics and customer needs.
As said in the announcement, this move is expected to improve the cost competitiveness, agility and resilience of the group's global manufacturing operation for its key products and solutions.
With those highlights, let me now pass over the time to Katie, who will talk about our group and segment performance.
Thank you, Robin. Good morning, and good evening, everyone. Let me take you through the group financials. This slide covers the group's key financial metrics for the third quarter of 2025.
The group delivered revenue of USD 468.0 million, representing an increase of 7.6% quarter-on-quarter and 9.5% year-on-year, largely driven by growth in SMT. In third quarter, the group recorded bookings of USD 462.5 million, driven by AI momentum. We recorded recurring TCV orders in memory and logic and SMT bookings were also better than expected. This marks the sixth consecutive quarter that we have achieved year-on-year growth.
The group had an isolated bookings cancellation in the third quarter for its panel deposition tools from a leading high-density substrate manufacturer in response to a slower-than-expected digestion of its existing capacity. This is a one-off occurrence. And excluding this cancellation, the group's bookings in the third quarter would have been USD 486.6 million, 1.5% higher quarter-on-quarter and 20.1% higher year-on-year.
The group achieved a book-to-bill ratio of 1.04 for the quarter, maintaining a ratio above 1 since Q1 2025. SMT posted a robust ratio of 1.12, while SEMI's ratio was at 0.96. The group closed the quarter with a backlog of USD 867.7 million.
The group's adjusted gross margin for the third quarter was 37.7%, which is lower than our typical level. It was impacted by a larger contribution from SMT and the lower SEMI gross margin, which I will explain in the next slide. I would like to note that the group's year-to-date adjusted gross margin remained healthy at approximately 40%.
The group's operating expenses were up 6.2% Q-on-Q and 5.3% year-on-year. As expected, higher OpEx was largely due to strategic R&D and infrastructure investments and foreign exchange impact. They were partially offset by prudent spending control and some benefits from restructuring.
The group's adjusted operating profit was HKD 124.4 million, down 26.6% quarter-on-quarter and 30.3% year-on-year due to lower gross margin and higher operating expenses. Group adjusted net profit was HKD 101.9 million, down 24.4% quarter-on-quarter, but up 245.2% year-on-year.
The quarter-on-quarter adjusted net profit, which included the fee collected from the order cancellation mentioned above was offset by the absence of tax credits recorded in the previous quarter. The year-on-year increase in adjusted net profit was driven by the fee collected from the order cancellation and a lesser negative impact from foreign exchange. The adjusted earnings per share was HKD 0.24.
Now moving on to the Semiconductor Solutions segment for the third quarter of 2025. SEMI's revenue was USD 240.5 million, down 6.5% quarter-on-quarter, but up 5.0% year-on-year. The year-on-year revenue increase was driven by stronger demand for wire bonders and die bonders due to the increased needs for power management across multiple applications. Quarter-on-quarter revenue decline was due to the timing of key customers' AI technology road maps, which impacted AP demand this quarter. There was also some shipment disruption caused by a typhoon in September in China.
SEMI's bookings of USD 207.8 million were down by 1.7% quarter-on-quarter and 12.4% year-on-year. Excluding the booking cancellation explained above, SEMI's Q3 2025 bookings would have been USD 231.9 million, 9.6% higher quarter-on-quarter and slightly lower year-on-year. SEMI recorded quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year growth in wire bonders and die bonders. TCB orders were up quarter-on-quarter but remained at a lower level due to the impact on AP demand, as mentioned above.
As I said earlier, SEMI's adjusted gross margin was lower than normal at 41.3% for Q3 2025. Q-on-Q decline was due to a higher contribution from wire bonders, lower TCB revenue and a relatively lower manufacturing utilization in Q3 2025. Year-on-year decline was due to high base effect from TCB manufacturing ramp in Q3 2024 and a higher contribution from wire bonders this quarter. Encouragingly, year-to-date SEMI adjusted gross margin has stayed in the mid-40s and AP margins have remained stable.
SEMI adjusted segment profit was HKD 82.6 million in Q3 2025, down 52.8% quarter-on-quarter and 41.5% year-on-year, mainly due to lower gross margin and higher operating expenses, as mentioned in the previous slide.
Next, the SMT Solutions segment of our business. SMT delivered strong revenue of USD 227.5 million, up 28% quarter-on-quarter and 14.6% year-on-year. This was due to a robust performance in Asian markets driven by AI servers, EVs in China and the delivery of a smartphone bulk order booked in the previous quarter. However, contributions from automotive outside China and industrial remained soft.
SMT registered Q3 2025 bookings of USD 254.7 million, down 5% quarter-on-quarter, but up 51.8% year-on-year. Marginally lower quarter-on-quarter bookings were due to a high base effect from the Q2 smartphone bulk order, while the year-on-year increase was driven by strong momentum across both AP and the China mainstream markets.
AP bookings were supported by demand from IDMs and OSATs for telecom base stations and AI servers. China's mainstream business recorded strong year-on-year growth due to demand from EVs. SMT delivered a gross margin of 33.9% this quarter, up 136 basis points quarter-on-quarter and 163 basis points year-on-year. And segment profit was HKD 163.0 million, up 205% quarter-on-quarter and 65.6% year-on-year. Both were driven by higher volume effects.
With that, let me now pass the time back to Robin for Q4 revenue guidance.
Thank you, Katie. Now to Q4 revenue guidance. The group expects Q4 2025 revenue to be between USD 470 million and USD 530 million. This is up by 6.8% quarter-on-quarter and 14.3% year-on-year at the midpoint, which is above market consensus. This growth will be supported by momentum in both SEMI and SMT.
Looking ahead, the group's TCB TAM projection has a potential to go beyond USD 1 billion in 2027, supported by recent news about investments in the AI ecosystem. AI data centers will continue to drive demand for AP, particularly TCB for HBM4 and advanced logic where the group has technology leadership.
The group's mainstream business will be supported by global investment in AI infrastructure and stable demand from China, while visibility for automotive and industrial end markets recovery remains low. While the group has not experienced any material impact from tariff policies, it acknowledges that uncertainties remain. The group's global presence will provide flexibility to navigate any potential impact, and we will continue to monitor the situation closely and adapt as needed.
This concludes our third quarter 2025 presentation. Thank you, and we're now ready for Q&A. Let me pass the time back to Ben to facilitate.
Thank you, Rob. [Operator Instructions] With that, may I request Gokul to unmute.
2. Question Answer
First question I had is on the HBM4 commentary from you, Robin. And you mentioned that you are leading this transition to HBM4. Could you explain a little bit more what exactly that is indicating? Do you think that you would have higher market share in HPM4-based TCB compared to the incumbent Korean vendor?
And also your updated view on when does the fluxless TCB insertion happen for HBM? Is it happening for HBM4 or we are waiting for HBM4E for this migration to happen?
Gokul, have you finished?
Yes, that's my first question.
I think the question is on the HBM4, right?
Leading transition to HBM4.
That's right. Yes, I think as mentioned in our MD&A, we believe we have established ourselves as a primary supplier for the HBM4 market. I mean we have a conviction because we have won -- we are probably the first to have won the HBM4 orders for not just 1, but 2 major HBM players.
Now I think the second question is on fluxless. We believe that there is point as the industry continue to stack higher and higher and move from HBM4 to [ 4E to 5 ], in our opinion, it's quite inevitable that they have to move to a fluxless solution because the number of IOs will continue to increase, the pitch will probably narrow down, the chip gap will get smaller. So all this means that fluxless will be a better solution compared to a flux-based TCB solution.
So just to clarify, Robin when you talk about 2 HBM vendors, does it include the biggest market share player? Because I thought they are still using the incumbent vendor, right?
Yes, of course, of course, as we said, we have won orders from 2 of the 3. So definitely, yes, we are talking to the leading one.
Got it. Understood. Also maybe next question is, I think you observed some pause in AP and TCB in Q3. What is the reason for that? And given your guidance for 7% Q-on-Q growth for Q4, could you talk a little bit about how SEMI's overall and TCB within that will be growing? That would be outgrowing that 7% or it will be growing slower than the 7%?
I think in terms of when we talk about pause, actually, it's really largely driven by the timing of key customers' technology road map, right? So we are confident that when they launch the new architecture, we will get the orders. So it's a matter of timing in our opinion. So TCB demand, whether in terms of booking or billing will actually align with this timing as far as concerned. So it tends to be a bit lumpy, yes.
Is that more about logic? Or is it more about HBM? And also any indications on like segment-wise too, how are we thinking?
Gokul, I would say both because the technology road map will drive both HBM as well as on the logic side as well. Yes.
Okay. And Q4, any thoughts?
I think in terms of, if you are alluding to booking, maybe it's time for me to give you some color on booking for Q4, right? I'm sure this question will pop up during the conference call as well. Now the way we look at Q4 booking color on the group-wise in Q4, group-wise booking in Q4, we expect our bookings to be kind of flattish compared to Q3 reported number of -- Q3 reported number was USD 462 million. So going forward in Q4, we expect that to be kind of flattish on a group basis.
However, we do expect that this Q4 booking for the group will be the seventh consecutive quarter of year-on-year booking growth since Q2 2024. So it's encouraging to note that we have been growing our bookings for 7 consecutive quarters. And I think Gokul, encouragingly we see SEMI bookings are expected to increase by mid-teens Q-on-Q mainly due to TCB.
So I'd say Q-on-Q mid-teens and still comparing against the reported number, right? So that's for the SEMI bookings, expected to increase mid-teens Q-on-Q mainly due to TCB. So we expect TCB booking to sort of increase on Q-on-Q basis compared to Q3. And for SMT, we expect SMT to decline Q-on-Q due to the already high base effect in the prior quarter.
Now baked into the Q4 booking for SEMI, I think the [ QR ] for chip-on-substrate application. And as the market moves towards larger compound die because of higher computing power -- compute requirement, we are confident of achieving a sizable TCB order for OS application in Q4 from the leading foundry OSAT partners. And these orders will be likely built in early part of 2026, which will be definitely gross margin accretive, right?
So I think to sum it all in terms of Q4 and certainly beyond Q4 in terms of booking color, we remain confident that the strong AI tailwinds, including the recent news regarding investment in the entire ecosystem for AI will continue to drive demand for AP, in particular, our TCB technology leadership will position us strongly going into 2026 and beyond. So this is a bit of Q4 color and slightly into Q1 as well.
And next, I would like to request Donnie to unmute.
My first question is a housekeeping question. So considering we have disposed the AEC operation in China, wondering if Katie can give us some color on how should we estimate the OpEx or OpEx ratio in the coming quarters as we have seen the OpEx ratio has been pretty high for the past few quarters. So wondering if it will be coming down after the disposal of the AEC operation and also some cost control management.
And my second question is regarding to the TCB. So my understanding is that despite we have some progress in fluxless TCB, but the real volume shipment remains small into maybe fourth quarter this year. So I was just wondering if you can give us a time line where -- when exactly the fluxless TCB for memories and for leading foundries can ramp up more significantly in the future.
And also some comment on the progress in China will be also appreciated. As you know that China has been aggressively increasing their AI chip production capability, including HBMs as well.
I think I will take the first portion, Donnie. So you asked a question about AEC liquidation. I just want to make a correction. For AEC liquidation, as we announced, the savings was going to be RMB 150 million each year. Majority of that saving actually will be benefiting COGS, not OpEx. There will just be a little bit factories and G&A that will be part of OpEx. So that -- so on AEC, let me just spend a quick minute. The liquidation took -- sorry, the announcement took place in August, and the project has been progressing pretty well. And we do expect that the savings will benefit us going forward.
And on the OpEx ratio and specifically on OpEx, there's actually no change. At the beginning of this year, we announced that we will be investing incrementally HKD 350 million in R&D, especially AP and the infrastructure of the company. So every quarter, we've been actually -- we are on the path of the investment. And because of that incremental investment, we've mentioned in prior quarters that this year's OpEx will be similar to prior year with some marginal increase. And that narrative has not changed and will not change for the year.
Okay. I will take on the second question, Donnie. In terms of TCB fluxless application. As mentioned in our MD&A, we have made very good progress in terms of fluxless [indiscernible] TCB for logic side, Chip-on-Wafer. I think plasma technology has been endorsed by the leading foundry.
And also just to recap, Donnie we have been saying already in the past, but it's good for recap that Chip-on-Wafer demand this year, even we have won the technology battle, the Chip-on-Wafer demand will not be significant this year. We are looking into 2026 for inflection point in terms of Chip-on-Wafer application for logic TCB fluxless. Now I think that's your question, if I'm not wrong.
Yes, next question on the time line for the memory and leading foundry shipment.
Yes. I think in terms of fluxless, I answered the first question to Gokul already. So I think it all depends on when they will adopt the fluxless TCB for memory. As I said in our opinion, as the industry continues to step higher, the chip get smaller, more IOs in our opinion, at some point, quite inevitable that they have to move towards a fluxless TCB solution even for HBM.
And any color on China's adoption of TCB or opportunities there?
Yes. Donnie, I think we have been saying we are -- we supply to the global customer base. I think in terms of volume, obviously, the rest of the world volume in TCB is still higher than those of China. And for sure, we -- China ambition to really step up in terms of advanced packaging.
And next, I will request Kevin to unmute.
My first question is on the TCB outlook. As mentioned on the logic side, we are already passing the qualification, right? So I was wondering how should we think about the potential business opportunity on the chip-to-wafer part as compared to chip-to-substrate, as mentioned that most of the contribution will be coming from next year. And when is it likely the timing of this contribution will start?
And also on the memory side, I think we just mentioned that HBM4 we are screening order from multiple customers, right? So just wondering for the customer, are these for sample tool or for production already?
I can answer your first question first, Kevin, in terms of chip-to-wafer. Quite similar answers to Donnie. Chip-to-wafer in terms of volume, we expect it to be still smaller compared to substrate because substrate, I think the whole industry has moved -- almost the whole industry has moved to TCB solution. Whereas for chip-to-wafer at the moment, it's only the leading foundry leading the pudding in terms of using a TCB for particular end customer.
So if more end customers adopt TCB, then you will see Chip-on-Wafer TCB solution fluxes will increase. Otherwise, it's just one customer. I think the volume will still be smaller than the substrate volume.
Now in terms of HBM4, I would say they are already into some kind of a small volume production already using our tools for HBM4 production for the 2 customers that we talked about.
My next question is on the hybrid bonder side. So we are -- I was wondering how competitive are we in our Gen 2 hybrid bonder, which [indiscernible] we are already shipping? And what kind of chip order process are these for? Or this is going to be for mainly on the logic side or for the memory side?
Yes, Kevin, we have -- I would say we are shipping HBM -- HB, hybrid bonding solution for both logic and memory. As we speak, we are actively collaborating with other key logic and memory players and we're making good progress and all these projects are at different stages of evaluation. So we are hopeful that at some point when the hybrid bonding market takes off, we are there to compete with incumbent.
Okay. So we have already -- are we securing order from these customers already? Or this is just right now still in the evaluation process?
Yes, still in evaluation for some of these very key logic and memory players. We are engaging them very actively as we speak.
And next, I would like to request Sunny to unmute.
Could you hear me okay? So my first question is on a high level, directionally, how should we think about the recovery of mainstream SEMI solution from here? I wonder in the last few months, now given more manageable impact from tariffs, do you think the overall client sentiment is improving or not much change for 2026?
Thanks, Sunny. I think in terms of mainstream, I would say quite encouraging because mainstream are now also -- I mean AI also contribute to the mainstream demand. I think as you're probably aware, China is a significant portion. So we see China volume has been picking up for the last few quarters. So that's giving -- that's supporting the mainstream quite a fair bit for both SEMI as well as SMT.
Now in terms of tariff, I think the initial part of the year and initial period of the year, I think the tariff situation definitely has some impact on the sentiment of our customers. Now I think with the tariff situation a little bit more stable, I think customers are now a little bit more confident, I would say, in terms of placing orders. That's why we are also seeing -- we have good orders coming from mainstream wire bond, die bond and SMT are also seeing a mainstream application for putting chips on larger PCB boards for base stations and all that. So all these are also partly driven by the AI adoption.
So in general, we see mainstream certainly coming up on the bottom. But going forward, we see mainstream stable, especially the demand coming from China provides that kind of stability for mainstream.
Got it. And then I have questions on TCB. Maybe if you could remind us the lead time for you to make TCB tools nowadays. In terms of orders, should we expect the inflection point to potentially come maybe in first half or second half of 2026 for logic and for HBM?
I think for logic, I think we mean that sizable orders for the chip-on-substrate for larger compound die will most likely realize the revenue in the early part of 2026. For HBM, it all depends again on the timing of our key customers' technology road map. So if they accelerate, we will see revenue earlier for HBM. If there's a further delay, then our timing will also align accordingly.
Now in terms of TCB lead time, actually, internally, we are efficient. We don't take a long time to assemble a TCB machine. It all boils down to material supply, right? So if we -- if customers give us more visibility, we can order materials earlier, then the lead time will be shorter. So I think that's the dynamic of the TCB lead time at this point in time.
Sorry, maybe a quick follow-up. So for logic -- so on Chip-on-Wafer, any view on when the leading foundry may start to migrate to TCB? Maybe will that be in second half of next year or early 2027? And therefore, assuming if your lead time is about like 2 quarters, should we see orders starting to come through maybe from first half of next year?
We are hoping orders will come sooner. But again, as I say, it depends on the timing of the road map. We are confident that chip-to-wafer, we will have delivery or shipment in 2026. I don't think it will delay to 2027.
And next, I would like to request Daisy to unmute.
My first question is for Katie regarding the SEMI Solutions gross margin. Katie, you previously mentioned that the closure of AEC will have a positive impact of the cost of goods sold going forward. Yes. So how we should think about the near-term and the long-term gross margin for the SEMI Solutions segment?
Daisy, assuming you're kind of talking about basically the gross margin going forward, right?
Yes.
Okay. So first on the AEC point, is correct. We would expect the savings to come in gradually in Q4 and then full-fledged in next year. Now in terms of the overall SEMI Q4 gross margin, we do not provide guidance, but just some kind of directional pointers. Robin guided Q4 revenue probably could tell that the TCB contribution -- revenue contribution will continue to be lower, but with some have high photonics but wire bond momentum will be sustained. So therefore, we expect a slight margin accretion for SEMI's margin in Q4.
And then when you look at the group level, then if SEMI and SMT mix stays similar and SMT experiences a stable margin, then we expect basically slight margin accretion for the group in Q4. Now of course, we always caveat right it's really depending on the mix going forward, especially in the midterm in kind of longer run, we -- the technology leadership in HBM and advanced logic with those leadership, we expect the TCB order in Q4 and beyond -- I'm talking about in the midterm now, would actually provide support to SEMI's gross margin. And with this liquidation that you mentioned earlier, we do expect that the SEMI gross margin will come back to the kind of the mid-40s level.
It's clear. And second question is for Robin on the hybrid bond. So you are at an evaluation stage for the leading foundry and HBM customers. So for the HBM use hybrid bond, do you see that it will happen in 16-high or 20-high.
Since we are a dominant TCB player, we hope that they can continue to use TCB even up to 20-high. But nevertheless, we are prepared that if they have to switch to hybrid bonding, we will be there also to provide competitive solution for hybrid bonding for HBM 20-high.
Yes. And also a quick follow-up for your leading foundry customer, your European peer has been a dominant supplier for hybrid bond at that leading foundry customer. So how you see your hybrid bond opportunity at this leading foundry customer?
Yes. We will be relentlessly knocking on their doors for sure. But I think having said that we also have been saying that because we are not the leading player in hybrid bonding, I think the advantage is that we know the pain point, existing pain points, right? So with that coming in from behind, we are relentlessly and diligently working with all the leading logic and memory players, asking them what are the current pain points so that we can incorporate features, engineering innovations to mitigate or totally eliminate those pain points using our tools. This is what we have been doing.
So I think we are confident that our Gen 2 and in future Gen 3 should be able to address all the pain point and give us an entry point in all this leading key logic and memory players.
And sorry, final follow-up. So in the Gokul's question, you said that you are the primary supplier of the HBM4 market and the first company won the HBM order at 2 key customers. So is it the fluxless TCB or the flux TCB?
It's still the flux TCB at this point in time.
[ Flux 1 ]?
Yes. The Flux 1. Yes.
Next, I will request Leping to unmute.
I have another question about the TCB. So what are the current customer concentration level of your TCB equipment now? And what may look like in the future? So is it mainly still concentrated on the top 3 memory maker and the leading foundry? Or you also see some broadening of your customer to other OSAT or other foundries in the market? This is my first question.
I think we have definitely we have broadened our TCB fan-out to not just leading foundry, the OSATs, HBM and also globally as well. So we're pretty engaged with all top AI customers needing requiring or requiring TCB solution. I hope I answered your question.
Okay. The second question is about this -- you have the deposition equipment cancellation. So is it due to some the road map change of the -- in the advanced packaging? Also, I remember, is it due to the -- you have a company subsidiary called NEXX, it is from that subsidiary.
It is from that. It is from NEXX. I think it's a case of digestion of capacity, right? So there was a bit of a sizable capacity maybe about 2 years ago, right? So the customer take time to digest. So -- and these particular customers decided to give it up and pay us a cancellation fee.
Next, I will request Alex to unmute.
First question is about your margin on SMT solution. It seems like your quarterly revenue level already increased to the level similar to 4Q '23 or early '24. So I see the margin still like low 30s to -- is this the normalized margin going forward? Or you expect margin can return to high 30s level sometime in the future?
Yes, Alex, this is Katie. Thanks for the question. So for -- you're kind of comparing to a few years ago where actually the SMT's end market composition were quite different. The -- few years ago, actually, automotive and industrial were running really, really strong and their contributions to SMT's revenue were much larger. And this is where we actually could command relatively higher margin.
So currently, as we mentioned, the automotive and industrial end markets are relatively muted. And that's why the margins are sitting in the, call it, low 30s. Unless the end market composition changes, this kind of level will be sustained in terms of margin percentage.
Another follow-up question on TCB. You mentioned the TAM would reach like USD 1 billion in 2027. Do you have probably a rough split between the logic versus memory and also split between C2W applications?
Yes. I think it's dynamic. I would say, Alex, it's very dynamic. Again, it all depends on customer road map and all that. But generally speaking, if you take really looking further into the future, it's just intuitive that the HBM TCB demand or size or TAM will be larger than logic because of the number of stacks and also as the industry migrate from one architecture to the next generation, they require more HBM stacks per chip, right? So naturally, I think HBM demand over time, not in a particular year, not in a particular quarter, but over time, HBM demand for TCB will be larger than logic.
Got it. So what is the company's target market share for each application?
We don't go down to that kind of granular level HBM market share or logic. But overall, I think last year, we put out the TAM for TCB, our aspiration is to hit 35% to 40% market share in the entire TCB TAM.
And next, I would like to request Arthur to unmute.
Can you hear me? So the first one, Robin, if you can -- can you share with us a high-level ballpark figure on the revenue contribution from AI?
This is a difficult question. I think for -- we don't share -- sorry, first, we don't share, but also this is a difficult question because we talk about AI benefiting both AP and mainstream. Well, we have better visibility on how AI benefit AP. But in terms of mainstream, it's a little bit tricky because wire bond, die bond, they are quite fungible. Today, customers may say, okay, I use it for AI-related packaging, tomorrow, they use it for others. So it's a bit difficult to really unpack, sorry.
No problem. Because you just mentioned that you saw some power application, they start to come back and the drivers from the AI. So that's why I want to get this high-level ballpark figure. Maybe we can discuss it next quarter when we have a visibility.
The question number 2 is on the cancellation from the high-density substrate. And I think Leping already touched base a little bit. So my question is, is the key component of the equipment fungible? Can you give it to the other substrate customer?
The short answer is yes, there's no inventory related issue relating to this cancellation.
Because if we look into the AI business of the rack and also the key component, actually, we heard more and more PCB, HDI substrate shortage at this moment. So I'm kind of wonder, so was the client is based in Japan or in Taiwan or China?
None of this actually, none of this. I mean this is a NEXX business, we are saying that they supply to a few key players, high-density substrate players. It just happened that, as I said, I repeat again, it just happened that there was a big capacity ramp-up in the last 2 years. And this particular customer just say, okay, I'd rather not keep you holding on all these orders, I decided to cancel it. So I think in short, this is that kind of circumstances.
So in the future, when we look back, this could be an isolated event. So do we think this demand for the other customer will return?
No. This in a way I don't -- if you are thinking is this AI related, I wouldn't say this is AI related. Yes, this is -- they are serving a particular IDM which use all this equipment for RDL and all that. So it's a particular application. I would say it's not related to AI. So don't link this cancellation with AI that we have been talking about. De-link these 2 pieces, Arthur. This cancellation has nothing has nothing to do with AI.
I think we have time for one last question. I think we have Gokul here.
So my question is more on the margins and operating leverage. I think we are having pretty good momentum both now in mainstream and in TCB. Margin still seems to be a little bit sluggish. How do you think, let's say, next 2, 3 quarters, TCB revenues will come through given all these orders, bookings realize into revenues. What does it do to gross margins? Like is TCB still accretive to group gross margins right now? Or is it kind of similar to group gross margins?
Second part of the question, again, to Katie is on operating leverage because now that we are back to some degree of revenue growth, we're still not yet seeing meaningful operating leverage come through. I'm asking because Street expectations are for very big operating leverage to kick in for next year. I think revenue growth of 10%, 15% contributing to doubling of your operating profit is what a lot of Bloomberg estimates are looking at. So just wanted to understand what is the extent of operating leverage that we can expect?
I think we have seen operating margin go back to high teens to 20% at really, really peak kind of levels back in 2021. But in the recent past, we've not really seen operating margin really get beyond the mid-single-digit levels. So just wanted to understand what is the extent of operating leverage we can expect as we start some of these ramp-ups for TCB and other products?
I appreciate the question. First thing, TCB, I just want to make it very clear that TCB margin has been stable and is accretive to SEMI business. Now overall, when you say operating leverage, volume has come back up, but not quite at the super cycle level. And within the volume, we always say there are a few mixes that actually impact margin. One is the segment mix.
So far, as you can tell, like in Q3, for example, the SMT contribution to the group is at about 50%, right? SMT naturally has lower gross margin. Therefore, the segment mix could be different based on the contribution from the 2 businesses.
The other thing is on product mix. Within SEMI, for example, it really depends on the product mix between TCB and wire bond in Q3 and as we guided for Q4, if you look at that product mix, when we have less TCB revenue, but more wire bond revenue coming from mainstream applications, the margin -- the gross margin side would not -- would be under certain pressure.
But having said that, in the long run, as a few of you asked earlier, we do expect that our SEMI business will continue to enjoy the accretive margin contribution from applications like TCB. And with the AEC liquidation we mentioned, we should have savings from operation efficiency, et cetera. So that I think our conviction for SEMI gross margin to stay in the mid-40s and then gradually going up has not changed.
And then so at the group level, we've been talking about the 40%, right? I think, again, I'm talking about in the long run, not a specific given quarter, I think we are comfortable that the group's gross margin will be at that level and gradually improve as we go.
Got it. So just on the OpEx side, same, because that's something that you can control revenue harder to control, especially on mainstream. Are we going to stay around this roughly HKD 5 billion kind of level going into next year? Or we still see that OpEx will keep growing given we are investing in some of these newer technologies?
Yes. So Gokul, I actually cannot answer your question very well right now. Maybe give us a quarter because the organization actually is going through the budget process. But directionally, as we have talked about before, the OpEx has been running at HKD 4.7 billion in the last few years. And this year, with the R&D and infrastructure investment, we have communicated that will be marginally higher.
Though the investment is at HKD 350 million, we are doing certain restructuring projects and the cost saving projects that you probably have seen in the last few years on trying to bring it down. So this year, I think you guys can do the math, right, it's about HKD 2.8 billion. So that's kind of where we are.
I think going forward, Gokul, we're not going to change our commitment in R&D investment as you guys were talking about TCB, hybrid bond, all that, that side of the conviction has not changed. We'll continue to do the right investment.
On the other front, for the overall efficiency and productivity of OpEx, we'll continue to look into any opportunities we can find and trying to contain that. So again, I cannot give you a specific number. We'll probably share with you more. But I think our strategy -- our thinking on OpEx has not changed.
That will be all for the last questions. And I will now pass the time back to Robin for his closing remarks. Thank you.
Thank you, Benjamin. Just a couple of pointers before we officially close the call. The group maintained strong business momentum this quarter. Our AP and mainstream business will continue to benefit from sustained AI adoption. TCB solution, we secured repeat orders in both memory and logic, reflecting ongoing technology leadership, particularly in HBM4 and advanced logic.
What Katie said, we are in the midst of really finalizing our budget for 2026. But certainly, I can -- at this juncture, we can give you some direction or some color on how we look at 2026. We expect a growth year in 2026 largely driven by AP because of AI and underpinned by the sustained momentum of our mainstream business. And finally, we remain confident in the total addressable market for TCB, which we believe could go beyond USD 1 billion in 2027.
So thank you. With that, we will close the call and see you next quarter.
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Asmpt — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
ASMPT meldet Q3‑Wachstum getrieben von AI‑Nachfrage, solide Buchungen und TCB‑Führerschaft, aber kurzfristig margenbelastet durch Mix‑Effekte und Einmaleffekte.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: USD 468,0 Mio (+7,6% Q‑on‑Q; +9,5% YoY)
- Bookings: USD 462,5 Mio (ohne Storno USD 486,6 Mio); Book‑to‑Bill 1,04; Backlog USD 867,7 Mio
- Bruttomarge: Group adjusted 37,7% (SEMI 41,3%; SMT 33,9%)
- Ergebnis: Adjusted operating profit HKD 124,4 Mio (-26,6% QoQ); Adjusted net profit HKD 101,9 Mio (+245% YoY vs. niedriger Vorjahr)
- Segmentmix: SEMI USD 240,5 Mio (-6,5% QoQ), SMT USD 227,5 Mio (+28% QoQ)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- TCB‑Führung: Technologischer Vorsprung bei Thermo‑Compression Bonding (TCB) für HBM4 und advanced logic; Wiederholaufträge von mehreren HBM‑Kunden
- Fluxless & Plasma AOR: Eigenes fluxless Oxide‑Removal und Plasma‑AOR qualifiziert für Chip‑to‑Wafer, bereit für High‑Volume‑Fertigung
- Portfolio & Kosten: Gen‑2 Hybrid‑Bonder im Versand, SMT‑Erholung sichtbar; freiwillige Liquidation Shenzhen AEC zur Supply‑Chain‑Optimierung (jährliche Einsparung RMB 150 Mio, primär COGS)
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q4‑Guidance: Umsatz erwartet USD 470–530 Mio (Mittelpunkt ~USD 500 Mio; +6,8% QoQ, +14,3% YoY) – oberhalb Konsens
- Buchungsfarbe: Group Q4 flattish vs Q3; SEMI‑Bookings sollen mid‑teens QoQ zulegen, getrieben von TCB
- Mittelfristig: TCB‑TAM möglicherweis >USD 1 Mrd in 2027; Risiken: Timing der Kunden‑Roadmaps, Mix‑Effekte, geopolitische/Handelsunsicherheiten
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- TCB‑Timing: Fluxless‑Adoption und Chip‑on‑Wafer‑Volumen erwarten Management zufolge erst 2026 als Inflection Point; HBM4‑Tools bereits in kleinem Produktionsvolumen bei zwei Kunden
- Bookings vs. Umsatz: Q4‑Bookings insgesamt flach, SEMI‑Anstieg erwartet; Umsatzrealisierung bleibt „lumpy“ abhängig von Kunden‑Roadmaps und Materiallieferzeiten
- Margen & OpEx: Kurzfristig Margendruck durch SMT‑Mix und einzelne Stornos; OpEx bleibt erhöht wegen zusätzlicher R&D‑Investitionen (HKD 350 Mio p.a.), AEC‑Einsparungen wirken vorwiegend auf COGS
⚡ Bottom Line
- Einschätzung: ASMPT profitiert klar vom AI‑Trend: TCB‑Technologie und SMT‑Erholung stützen Wachstum und liefern eine Guidance über Konsens. Kurzfristig drücken Mixeffekte, ein Storno und höhere R&D‑Ausgaben die Margen. Für Aktionäre sind die kritischen Beobachtungspunkte der tatsächliche Volumen‑Ramp von TCB/HBM4 und die Überführung der starken Buchungen in margenstarken Umsatz sowie die Wirkung der AEC‑Restrukturierung auf die Profitabilität.
Asmpt — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning and good evening, ladies and gentlemen. This is Leonard Lee from the ASMPT IR team, and I'll be moderating today's call. On behalf of ASMPT, welcome to our 2025 Second Quarter Investor Conference Call. Thank you for your interest and continued support. [Operator Instructions]
Before we start, let me go through our disclaimer. Please note that there may be forward-looking statements about the company's business and finances during this call. Such forward-looking statements could involve known and unknown uncertainties and risks that could cause actual results, performance and events could differ materially from those expressed or implied during this conference call. For reference, the Investor Relations presentation to our recent results is available on our website.
On today's call, we have our Group CEO, Mr. Roman ink; and our Group CFO, Ms. Katie Xu. Robin will cover the group's highlights, outlook and next quarter's performance, while Katie will provide details on the financial performance.
With this, let me now hand this over to Robin.
Thank you, Leonard. Good morning, and good evening to everyone today. It is a pleasure to have you all on our earnings conference call for the second quarter and the first half of 2025.
Now let's start with the key highlights of the first half. Let me begin by saying that the strong demand continues to be driven by the AI tailwinds across our AP and increasingly remain stream as well. For the first half, we achieved better-than-expected bookings and our revenue guidance for Q3 is above market consensus. The group's advanced packaging continued to grow, with AP revenue contributing significantly to group revenue in the first half of 2025. This growth was primarily driven by the ongoing demand for thermal compression bonding or TCB tools.
In the first half, the group secured repeat orders for TCB tools in both memory and logic applications, maintaining the largest TCB stock base by surpassing 500 tools worldwide. In the mainstream business, the group is beginning to benefit from AI to wins. AI data center demand has driven bookings growth for new power management capabilities. The group also experienced strong booking growth in China, driven by electric vehicles and consumer end markets. I'm also pleased to say that we have maintained gross margin above 40% despite foreign exchange rate was in the first half of 2025.
With that overview, let me go into more detail about advanced packaging. Our business is growing and we remain confident we'll continue to do so. In the first half, our AP business increased its revenue contribution to around 39% of the group's revenue. or approximately USD 326 million, driven by strong AIT wins. TCB has continued to be the largest AP revenue contributor and remain a key growth driver.
Orders in the first half were up 50% year-on-year as we gain further traction with customers, including major AI players. The group's leadership position in TCB across both logic and high bandwidth memory or HBM, supply chains continued to strengthen, supported by the expansion of our AP customer base. During the first half, the group secured TCB orders from various HBM players, further reinforcing our leadership position in this market. The group successfully installed the bulk order of TCB tools for the leading HBM customer, fully meeting their high-volume manufacturing requirements for HBM3E [indiscernible]. These tools have demonstrated outstanding performance delivering industry leading production yields and exceptional interconnect quality.
Additionally, another key HBM customer began low-volume averaging for HB4 12-high with TCB. In the HBM4 market and beyond, the group continues to maintain its technological advantage due to its active oxide removal or AOR technology. These innovative capabilities enable us to support customers as they transition to next-generation HBM and beyond. AOR is a key differentiator facilitating the demanding requirements of HB4 and beyond. This includes higher input/output connections, more challenging bundles with final bump pitches, thinner dies and a high number of die stacks. Promisingly, the group is currently engaged in is for AOR sampling builds for multiple customers.
Turning now to chip to substrate or C2S TCB. The group secured additional orders in the first half of 2025 for C2S solutions as a leading foundries OSAT partner. The group also delivered several high-volume shipments of these TCB tools in the first half of 2025, serving as a sole supplier of chip to such. Meanwhile, our joint development of ultrafine pitch chip-to-wafer or C2W logic applications for next-generation AOR TCB with the leading foundry is progressing from pilot production to volume production.
Moving on to hybrid bonding. The group expects hybrid bonding to coexist with other packaging technologies and its adoption will be gradual. We continue to see progress with both first- and second-generation hybrid bonding tools with various customers actively engaged at different stages of setup, qualification and shipment. Notably, our second-generation hybrid bonding feature competitive capabilities in terms of alignment and bonding accuracy, footprint and UPH. As previously announced, we expect to ship this second generation to a HBM customer in Q3. In addition, there is also continued collaboration with a leading IDM, a leading research institution and a leading foundry on our 2 capabilities.
Now turning to photonics and core optic package of CPO. Rapid AI growth continues to increase data center bandwidth requirements and boost demand for high-bandwidth optical transceivers and co update package CPU applications. Our photonic tools are able to package this high bandwidth transceivers, especially 800G and above. Due to a clear market relationship, we expect continued order momentum from global transceivers market serving all major [ AIPS ]. While the CPO market is still in an early phase, we are actively working closely with leading CPO players around the world. In the first half of 2025, we had a major win with a leading IDM and are well positioned to grow our market share.
Finally, the system in package or SIP business within AP. SMT on orders in the first half of the year from the leading global high-end smartphone players for radio frequency, modules and wearables. In addition, SMG has been gaining traction with its next-generation chip SMB 2 in several areas, including AI-related applications with shipments leading to leading foundry and OS players.
Next, I will turn to our mainstream business. During the first half of 2025, as I mentioned earlier, AI deal wins are beginning to benefit the group's mainstream business. Demand for data centers has driven increased needs for new power management capabilities among all major AI players. AI growth requires more power-efficient data center racks to meet the shift with 800-volt high-voltage DC power distribution architecture. This has driven increased demand for semi wire and diodes and SMT placement tools.
In addition, in the first half, the group achieved a strong half-on-half and year-on-year gains growth in China. For SMG, the growth was primarily supported by AI and EVs where we continue to be the leading EV player in China. Meanwhile, semi saw increased utilization across both set providers, serving both consumer and EVM base.
With that, let me now pass the time over to Katie, who will talk about our group and certain financial performance.
Thank you, Robin. Good morning and good evening, everyone. This slide covers the group's key financial metrics for the first half of 2025. The group delivered revenue of USD 837.6 million. SEMI delivered strong revenue growth of 31.7% year-on-year and 6.1% half-on-half, while SMT experienced revenue declines year-on-year and half-on-half.
Group's bookings reached USD 912.8 million, which was better than expected, showing 10.5% growth half-on-half and 12.4% growth year-on-year. The group continues to build backlog with 2 quarters of book-to-bill above 1.
In the first half, the group's gross margin was 40.3%, and up 121 basis points half-on-half, but down 65 basis points year-on-year. The half-on-half was primarily due to segment mix, while the year-on-year decline was mainly due to an unfavorable product mix in SMT.
The group's operating expenses reduced by 6.3% half-on-half but went up 1% year-on-year. The half-on-half OpEx reduction was due to the group's prudent spending controls and restructuring benefits despite strategic R&D and IT infrastructure investments. The group's operating profit reached HKD 329.3 million showing 79.5% half-on-half growth, but a 12.2% year-on-year decline. The half-on-half improvement was driven by gross margin improvement and OpEx reduction.
As a result, adjusted net profit was HKD 218.1 million, up 95.7% half-on-half. Our half-on-half improvements were driven by tax credits from R&D centers in Europe and Asia but partially offset by unfavorable foreign exchange translation from a weakened U.S. dollar despite the group's hedging facilities. Similarly, the year-on-year decline was also due to this unfavorable foreign exchange translation, partially mitigated by favorable tax credits.
We have an existing dividend policy of distributing about 50% of the annual profit as dividends. Therefore, for the first half of with EPS at HKD 0.52 in Hong Kong dollar, the Board has recommended a dividend of HKD 0.26 per share in line with this policy. Our business remains focused on increasing shareholder value and continuing to evaluate options to return excess capital to shareholders.
Most of the financials on this slide are covered on the previous page. I will not go into the details, but I will touch on revenue by end markets. Computers became the largest contributor to the group's revenue. supported by strong growth driven by AI. Automotive is the second largest contributor, supported by EV demand in China. The next contributor is communication supported by demand from photonics and high-end smartphones. This is followed by consumer and industrial end markets.
Now let me move on to group's Q2 financial results. We delivered revenue at approximately the midpoint of the revenue guidance, totaling USD 436.1 million, an increase of 8.9% quarter-on-quarter and 1.8% year-on-year. The quarter-on-quarter improvement was mainly due to growth in SMT, while SEMI remained flat. The group's bookings reached USD 481.6 million, which was better than expected for the second quarter in a row, showing 11.9% growth quarter-on-quarter and a 20.2% growth year-on-year. These increases were mainly due to the growth in SMT. Q2 book-to-bill ratio was 1.1 and as I mentioned earlier, has now been above 1 for 2 quarters.
In the second quarter, the group's gross margin was 39.7%, down 119 basis points quarter-on-quarter and 30 basis points year-on-year. The quarter-on-quarter decline was mainly due to a decline of 161 basis points in SEMI, while SMT improved by 108 basis points. However, Q2 gross margin would have been above 40% using Q1 2025 foreign exchange rates. The group's operating expenditure was HKD 1.18 billion indicating a 5.7% quarter-on-quarter increase and a 1.8% year-on-year reduction. This was largely due to strategic R&D and IT infrastructure investments and the foreign exchange impact, although partially mitigated by prudent spending control and restructuring benefits.
The group's operating profit reached HKD 169.4 million, showing 5.9% growth quarter-on-quarter and 25.4% year-on-year. Q-on-Q was mainly due to volume effects, while year-on-year improvements were due to OpEx reduction and higher volume effects. As a result, adjusted net profit was HKD 134.9 million, up 62.1% quarter-on-quarter but declined 1.6% year-on-year. The quarter-on-quarter improvements were mainly driven by better operating profit and tax credits mentioned earlier.
Moving on to the Semiconductor Solutions segment performance. For the second quarter of 2025, SEMI revenue grew to USD 257.6 million, up 1% quarter-on-quarter and a 20.9% year-on-year. This segment contributed about 59% of the group's revenue. TCB tools for the logic and memory solutions were our largest revenue drivers in Q2. Wire bonders and die bonders showed quarter-on-quarter year-on-year growth. This was supported by shipments to major IDMs focused on AI-related power management applications as well as to China customers, especially OSATs.
SEMI bookings were USD 212.5 million, down 4.5% quarter-on-quarter and 4.6% year-on-year. In Q2, both quarter-on-quarter and year-on-year experienced wire bond, die bond growth, while TCB orders were down due to uneven AP order flow. SEMI's gross margin of 44.7% for Q2 2025 was down 161 basis points quarter-on-quarter and up 19 basis points year-on-year. The quarter-on-quarter decline was mainly driven by product mix. Lastly, SEMIS's profit was HKD 174 million in Q2 2025, a decline of 25.9% quarter-on-quarter, but up 99.8% year-on-year. The quarter-on-quarter decline was mainly due to lower gross margin and higher operating expenses arising from strategic R&D investments. Year-on-year improvement was driven largely by volume effects.
Next, on to SMT Solutions segment. SMT delivered revenue of USD 178.5 million in the second quarter of 2025, an increase of 22.6% quarter-on-quarter, with a decline of 17.2% year-on-year. The growth was mainly due to stronger revenue in China and AP, partially offset by continued softness in overall automotive and industrial end markets. SMT bookings of USD 269.1 million were up 29.4% quarter-on-quarter, largely driven by a bulk order to meet the supply chain diversification needs of a leading smartphone and customer as well as order wins in the AI server market.
Additionally, SMT's gross margin of 32.5% for the quarter improved by 108 basis points quarter-on-quarter but declined by 311 basis points year-on-year. The quarter-on-quarter improvement was due to higher volume effects, partially offset by product mix and foreign exchange impact. Year-on-year decline was largely due to lower volume and product mix.
This slide highlights ASMPT's management's best estimates of revenue breakdown by end markets for the first half of 2025 compared with the first half of 2024. This highlights our exposure to diverse end markets. The computer end market was the highest contributor to group revenue, accounting for 30%. Strong revenue growth was mainly driven by continued demand for AI-related applications in both memory and logic. The automotive end market was the second highest contributor at 15% supported by EV demand in China.
The communications end market contributed 13% to group revenue, with demand in photonics and high-end smartphone-related applications, continuing to support this end market. The consumer end market contributed 12% of group revenue, driven by SEMI mainstream solutions, particularly for China. Lastly, the industrial end market contributed 8% of group revenue, in line with soft market conditions.
As you can see from this slide, we are a truly global business, partnering with customers around the world. China registered year-on-year revenue growth, increasing to 36.7% of group revenue. AI demand supported the growth in revenue from Korea to 13.6% and Taiwan to 10.6%. Revenue share from Europe and Americas declined year-on-year. mainly due to market softness in SMT, with Europe's share down to 11.4% and Americas to 12.3%. The group maintained a diversified customer base with the top 5 customers accounting for approximately 24.8% of total revenue in the first half of 2025.
I will now pass the time back to Robin.
Thank you, Katie. Looking ahead to Q3 2025, the group expects revenue to be between USD 445 million and USD 505 million. up 10.8% year-on-year and up 8.9% quarter-on-quarter at midpoint, which is above market consensus. We are confident of sustained AP revenue and expect SMT revenue to improve. The group remains confident that AP will continue to grow, benefiting from the strong AI tailwinds and our technological leadership in the market.
We reiterate our TCB total addressable market projection of USD 1 billion in 2027 and remain focused on solidifying our TCB market leadership in both memory and logic applications. The group's mainstream business will be supported by momentum in China and opportunities driven by the emerging demand for AI data centers. However, the automotive and industrial end markets will remain soft in the near term.
While the group has not experienced negative impact from tariff policies he acknowledges that uncertainties be made. The group's global presence provides flexibility to navigate any potential impact and we will continue to monitor the situation closely and adapt as needed. This concludes our second quarter and the first half of 2025 presentation.
Thank you, and we are now ready for Q&A. Let me pass the time back to Leonard to facilitate.
Thank you, Robin. We will now proceed with the Q&A section. [Operator Instructions] Donnie, please unmute yourself and go ahead with your question.
2. Question Answer
My first question is as usual, the housekeeping question. I'm wondering if you could kindly give us some color on the booking trend into the third quarter across the different businesses. And secondly is the SMT bookings been recovered strongly in the second quarter. And as you just mentioned, it's a part of reason driven by leading smartphone vendors capacity diversification across the world. So just wondering, will this trend continue into the second half, driven by the tariff uncertainty or it has been majority happened in the first half already?
Yes. Thank you, Donnie. I'll take your question. Your first question is on the booking part of Q3. Yes, I think the way we look at Q3 booking, Q-on-Q, for Q3 versus Q2, we think it's going to be slightly down by, say, single-digit percentage. And then on a year-on-year basis, we expect the bookings in Q3 to be up double-digit percentage. So the kind of range we are kind of expecting for bookings in Q3.
Now in terms -- if you drill down a little bit more, Q-on-Q decline largely due to SMT because due to the absence of a big order that we have in Q2 SMT. So I think that caused the Q2 SMT booking to come down. But SEMI, it will be -- in terms of the AI, we continue to be strong. We believe the momentum is there for AI in Q3. So that would drive TCB bookings as well. And as we have said earlier in our MD&A as well, we see emerging also opportunities in terms of data center, a bit of an increasing our SEMI mainstream demand as well as SMT placement tools. The SEMI demand will come mostly from the normal die bonders and the lenders.
I think probably last thing to know about year-on-year group bookings for Q3, we see that the momentum will continue. If you look back our year-on-year bookings have been on the rise for 6 quarters already. So I think this is something probably worth noting. So I think that will answer your question number one.
Now in question number 2, you're asking about SMT booking recovery strong in Q2. Yes, indeed, so we won this bulk order from 2 customers. This is part of our end customer, we suspect for and the ultimate end customers' diversification, what you call the drive, right, to have manufacturing capacity diversified in other parts of Asia. You're asking whether this will repeat in the second half. We don't exactly can tell, but we are hopeful that there will be another order in the second half. But even if that happens, we will be not as material as the one that we have got in Q2. I hope I answered your question, Donnie.
Just a quick follow-up. So you mentioned about the SEMI bookings into third quarter should be improving. And you mentioned about bonder wire bonder recovery driven by maybe AI-related applications. So I just want to clarify. So for third quarter outlook, it's like conventional packaging like die bonded or wire bond may be growing faster than advanced packaging?
Not really. Not really. As I said earlier, the Q3 booking, we see PCB booking should increase Q-on-Q. I don't have the rate of growth, but I would say AP will continue that the momentum will be there. For the SEMI tools, the die bonded and the wire bonded, yes, indeed, we are seeing growth driven by 2 factors. One is the AI data center because the new power management requirement and to also driven by China. We see increasingly the momentum in China mainstream for both mainstream SEMI and SMT is on a good track.
And may I now ask Sunny to mute yourself.
Hi, Leonard. Could you hear me okay?
Yes. Yes. Go ahead.
So my first question is on TCB. If we could start from -- how should we think about maybe in the coming like 12 to 18 months? Your order opportunities within this big player, competition seems to be intensifying? And earlier in the year, you mentioned that you would expect maybe a second but orders to come to maybe at some point in second half or in early 2026. So any update there? And how should we think about the competition into 2026?
I'll answer the questions, Sunny. The first part is how to be viewed 12 to 18 months order opportunity for HBM. So maybe let me start by probably recapping where we are right now. So in terms of HBM, as you are probably aware, we have shipped already and store the bulk order that we received last year for a leading HBM player. That is for HBM3E 12-high. That has that has gone into volume production using our tools. And certainly, we are pleased to announce that we have been performing very well in terms of the tools and definitely meeting customer expectations in terms of our technology, in particular our yield and also our quality of interconnect.
So I think that then gives probably confidence that even we will continue to gather more shares of the HBM market going forward. Now in particular, we are confident of our next-generation TCB2 technology for HBM, in particularly for HBM4 and beyond. As we have been saying for many quarters right now, we have this AR technology or active oxide removal technology that can truly differentiate us from our competitors. And I think with the advent of the new AI chip coming into the market, I think will be put to use devices HBM4 will be put to use. And since we are the first mover for HBM4, we remain confident that going forward, we will continue to win orders for HBM4 using our tools and in the future also using our AR technology. So this is how we see the HBM market going forward, Sunny.
Also a quick follow-up is, earlier you mentioned Q3 TCB bookings should continue to grow. Is that driven by HBM or logic?
Both, Sunny. I would say both. In fact, on that note, probably to mention that we also, in the meantime, expanding our customer base as well. globally worldwide. So we have TCB touch for both logic and ship on a global basis. So we are spreading out and diversifying our customer base.
Got it. My second question is on your TCB engagement with the leading foundry. So could you share a bit more color on the progress that you have moved to volume production -- and would you be able to get the boat orders maybe so second half of the year or early 2026 since they should be ramping up the next-generation air accelerators into second half of 2026? And are you the supplier for these maybe AOR type of TCBs for chip bond wafer in 2026?
Yes. Again, we -- yes, you are right. We have moved from, I would say, progress from pilot production to volume production at a leading foundry for this very advanced ultra AOR TCB for chip wafer. There is competition. We have a competitor over there. But as far as we are concerned, I think our technology has put us on an advantage, we believe. And in terms of order, we mentioned many times, Sunny, that even we win this particular battle, we have comparison over there, the volume this year for chip-to-wafer would not be material, probably a couple of tools for 2025. But we believe that 2026, that's where the volume production will start for wafer tools and the leading foundries. Back to you, Sunny.
Got it. So for them to maybe start using your tools of wafer to support the key accelerated platform upgrade in second half of next year. Should we expect, if that happened, the order should counsel maybe by early 2026, the latest?
Possible. Yes, certainly possible. Definitely, yes.
May I ask Gokul to unmute yourself please.
My first question is on HBM for TCB. Could you talk a little bit about HBM4? What are you hearing from your customers? Are they basically going [indiscernible] TCB for HBM4 across the board using your AOR or other kind of [ Plexus ] technologies? Or can they still reuse the existing flex-based older TCB tools, of which they have a pretty large installed base off? And HBM3E, especially at your lead customer, looks like very competitive right now. There are 3 vendors. Do you think that HBM4 also is going to be like that? Or you think the vendor list will narrow when it comes to HBM4?
Thanks, Gokul, I'll take the question. I would say not across the board. It depends on the customer. One customer are still doing a lot of experiment using or not using and other customers have definitely started using our tool for sampling build for using. So as far as we are concerned, as I said earlier, we are the first mover in terms of HBM4. So we are well positioned to capture the market for HBM4 when that takes off. And we believe that HBM4 will probably come around sometime in the second half of 2025, in line with the launch of the new AI chip architecture.
Now I think your second question is about hedge went with a lead customer with business competitors, which before vendors will be narrow, I think all major players, let me answer from the customer try to answer you from a customer perspective, the way we see it. I think all major HBM players will have to move to HBM4 to support the new AI architecture. One of them are probably a little bit hit in terms of HBM4 deployment. As I said, we are doing something built for all customers actually, 2 of them we have make shipment. I think the other leading HBM player, we're also engaging them in terms of sample build using the vehicles for outside. So we have a lot of engagement with all these HBM players.
Just to follow-up, Robin, just to clarify this. So when it comes to HBM4 12-high, which is probably the one that's going into production early next year. you think most of your customers, especially the lead customer will have to use AR or fluxless TCB or they can still stick with the older TCB machines?
They will try to use the -- they will not try to transition to a new if they can. But the way we see once they start to move into 4, where the chip architecture gets a little bit more challenging. We strongly believe that the ARR will be the technology that we have to employ.
Okay. Okay. Understood. So that's more 4E than 4. Okay. That's clear. Just on the logic side for TCB, could you talk a little bit about your chip-to-substrate shipment run rate? It's been very strong in second half last year and early part of this year. do you think it grows into next year? Or given the cohort capacity expansion is kind of diesel rating, we should see a little bit of slowdown in the 2 substrate growth next year? And is C2W chip-to wafer big enough to kind of offset that next year so that your logic TCB growth can still continue at a pretty a pretty good clip even if it substrate kind of slows down?
Yes. On the chip-to-substrate, the way we look at it is the die and the compound die are getting bigger and bigger. In fact, there's really no way using TCB to package the compound in on the substrate. I think as we speak, the -- our customer base are already thinking of new tools, new to architecture to handle larger and larger die. So we are already in a lot of engagement with all this customer base to come up with new tools that can handle larger compound eye. So I think this trend, this is a multiyear trend will continue as far as long as data center continue to have this massive buildup into the future.
Now in terms of C2W your question is whether it's big enough to offset logic TCB growth, even as chip-to-substrate slows. I'm not sure whether to subset was slow, as I said, you'll continue -- in fact, the trend will continue. So let me answer the other part, whether chip-to-wafer speaking now. I think, as I said earlier, I answered the question posed by Sunny, chip-to-wafer TCB tools, I think the demand will pick up in 2026. Because right now, the POR is still [ mass refill ], but we believe increasingly even at chip-to-wafer level, TCB is needed to package all the various die including HBM. As far as logic die, passive die onto the wafer going forward. Gokul, back to you.
Yes. So just to then -- so then we are expecting that logic TCB C2W combined every -- is still going to be growing next year based on the order flow that you've got because the order flow seems to be a little bit up and down. It think you had a decline in TCB last quarter. This quarter is kind of growing. So I just wanted to understand how about logic TCB next year?
Yes, yes. I think Gokul, remember, we came out with kind of a time picture for TCB. So the TAM will continue to grow from now to 2027, and we're still confident that by the time we hit 2027, the TAM will be $1 billion TCB.
Got it. Understood. Maybe one last follow-up for Katie. I think could you talk a little bit about the margin leverage from increase in advanced packaging? Because when I look at SEMI's margins, margins are kind of largely still in the same mid-40s kind of ballpark, even though our advanced packaging mix has risen almost to 40% in first half of the year. It looks like Q2 should be even higher than that, even though you don't break it out. But we don't seem to be getting that margin uptick on gross margin or operating margin level in a meaningful sense when it looks when I look at the semiconductor solutions business. Is there anything that we should look at it? Or is there any turning point where we could kind of see that we hit that meaningful gross margin leverage or operating margin leverage happening from this mix improvement?
Yes. So Gokul, I think that a couple of years of the question. First, maybe just a little bit color on Q2. So for SEMI Q2 gross margin, the mix actually was relatively more favorable towards the mainstream products. Comparing to Q1, which you probably remember, where we delivered a bulk TCB order, right, so the Q1 margin was very much supported by the bulk order for AP. Now going forward -- also kind of going forward, like we've mentioned before, TCB margin is accretive, and we do expect that looking out to future quarters that the margin expansion for SEMI will be there. But again, like we always say, right, each quarter really depends on the product mix, volume, et cetera. But in the long run for SEMI, yes, definitely, we do expect that the margin will expand gradually because of the TCB/AP content.
May I now ask Daisy to unmute yourself, please?
Can I go one question regarding the new power management capability? As you mentioned that AI data center demand has begun to benefit the group's mainstream business driven by the increase in need for new power management capabilities. So could you elaborate more what other semiconductor components in these power management? Is it power discrete or it's components like [ PMIC ]?
Yes, it's a very range of devices of our components that are needed in the AI data center, right? The test we see that it's driving demand for mainstream tools, for example, wire bond, die bond, molding equipment, for example, [ sintering ] equipment. So we see this trend happening in the last 2 quarters, Daisy.
Okay. So do you think that this trend will benefit all the vendors or because of ASMPT's leadership technology, it will benefit ASMPT more versus your competitors?
I think these are pretty standard tools. I think it's a more putting more capacity buy than technology buy. More towards capacity by then typically to buy in our opinion, yes.
Okay. Robin, it's clear. And another question is for Katie. And you mentioned that Q2, you benefit from the tax credit. Do you think that this is sustainable? Or it's just a one-off?
Yes. Daisy, so the short answer is, this is a one-off tax credit. We have R&D centers in certain jurisdictions where we have tax credits. And usually, actually, tax credits will flow through the P&L, you probably won't even notice that every quarter. But for these 2 specific locations, due to the local practices, the tax credits could only benefit P&L after they file the statutory audited statutory reports. So for these 2 locations, the 2024 audited statutory reports were filed in Q2 this year, and that's why it came through into the Q2 financials. I do not expect them to repeat next quarter, for sure.
And I may now ask Leping to mute yourself and ask your question.
Yes. So here are 2 questions. My first question is about the SMT business. So you mentioned that the order win in the AIS server market. So recently, we also see some PCB vendors are ramping up their capacity for the server PCB. Does these 2 things related? And can you comment on where are the CapEx cycle of the PCB capacity expansion for the server market? And what are the market positioning of your SMT equipment in this market?
Yes. Leping, let me take the question. I think they should be related. Of course, without understanding more where they're coming from, but I think it sounds that they're related. And in terms of CapEx cycle, as far as the AI center continue to build up. I think this could be the trend going forward. So in terms of SMT positioning. I know we are pretty strong in this particular area because of our technology. So we're quite pleased that we are fracturing this part of the market share.
Okay. The second question is, I noticed that your computer this quarter quite impressive account for more than 30% of the total sales. Can you share some color about the breakdown of the this computer, how much is currently roughly coming from the SMT it's quite big. And how sustainable do you expect this compare will continue to account for this such high or the 30% market -- of your total sales looking forward in the second half?
Leping, thanks for noticing that the 30%, it is very high for the first half of revenue. But I just want to call it out that I just mentioned a few minutes ago that in Q1, we had a bulk order for TCB, right? So actually, that actually has supported the computer percentage going up. But your question, I think, specifically we do not break down the end market by the specific segments of ours. But overall, like what Robin mentioned, the SMT side is benefiting is benefiting from the overall AR silver trend, and we have a very strong position in that specific sector.
May I now ask Alex to unmute yourself and ask your questions, please? .
So just a little confused about your about your TCB order trend. So in your [indiscernible], you mentioned in second quarter, TCB decline, I mean, the bookings TCB declined quarter-over-quarter and Y-o-Y. However, you also mentioned that the HBM TCB order has been solid and you received the various HBM players, and we have seen your revenue contribution from Korea jumped to 14% in the second quarter. So does this mean that the logic application in the large application TCB order has been relatively weak? We need to wait -- we need to wait for the CW application to introduce. So before that, we won't see any meaningful rebound for TCB for logic applications?
Yes. Alex, let me try to make it clearer for you now. I think, first and foremost, for TCB market, driven by AI, I think it's the nature of the business, right? So the customer base in the first place are not very big, although we have been expanding our customer base. We are talking about 20 to 30 customers, right, compared to, say, on the SEMI side or SMT side, we're talking about hundreds customers. So you can imagine with that kind of scale at the mainstream side versus the AP side to get the order flow for AP and TCB will be uneven quarter-to-quarter.
So -- but of course, it takes a longer period 6 months, 1 year, you can see a better trend. So don't bring into too much my suggestion. Don't read too much into quarter-to-quarter variation in terms of order flow for AP. Now we're talking about whether logic is we need to wait for you to wafer to come back. Again, it's also related to the fact that the nature of the business. I mean we don't -- you can expect the same customer to continue to place top order quarter after quarter, quarter-on-quarter. That's not possible.
So I think in terms of the logic side, chip to substrate, I mentioned, I think one of the questions earlier either by Gokul or somebody else, we're in a very strong position. We continue to engage our customers in the future generation of the component for chip-to-substrate. And you're right, the chip to wafer were coming in a bigger way in 2026. So that will help to add to the order flow level comes to 2026.
Alex, also this is Katie. I just want to clarify one thing. You were asking about booking, which Robin answered, but then also you were kind of observing from the geographic location of Korea right? that's actually on revenue. So I just want to make sure that, again, the career jumped really in the first half is because of that bulk order that we were referring to earlier. So just be mindful when you look at the order and revenue for AP or those TCB orders, there is a longer lead time typical 6 to 9 months. So if you're trying to figure out the timing of those quarterly or yearly timing from booking to revenue, please keep that in mind as well.
Yes. Understood. I'm just wondering, probably the HBM order, you obtained like 1 or 2 courses go deliver this quarter. So I mean, for the past 2 quarters, logic applications, TCB order was quite weak compared with HBM application Okay. So my follow-up question is about your market share for the HBM customers. Can you give some -- probably some color on like your market share with your largest HBM customers or you're targeting market share in the next 1 to 2 years? And also, have you shipped the HBM application TCB or Chinese customers?
Yes. Alex, in terms of market share, first for HBM, if you have been following us for a while, we acknowledge that we are not the first mover in terms of HBM. Considering where we come from, from 0 base to where we are today, I think we have made a huge improvement in terms of market share for the HBM market. And we are confident that with the advent of HBM4 then going forward, we certainly have a differentiating technology compared to our competitors. I think that will prove us in a good state to continue to kind of demand in the particular space.
Now I can't comment in any particular region for TCP customers, but certainly, we have been stressing our AP solution or TCB solution, we have a worldwide customer base.
I now ask [ Catherine ] to mute yourself and answer your question, please?
My first question is regarding the hybrid bonding. How do you see yourself the key differentiator between your hybrid bonding tools and the leading and the other peers hybrid bonding tools? And how do you think about your market share in the hybrid bonding market?
Yes. For hybrid bonding, we have been saying our [ LBG ] to our generation 2 hybrid bond, which is going to be shipped sometime the first 2 is going to be shipped sometime in Q3 will be very competitive. We have taken out all the pain points for hybrid politer the years. do a lot of channel checking with our customer are pain points. So we are addressing those pain points one by one. And we believe our gen 2 machine tool for hybrid bonding will be a very competitive one.
So we are confident that going forward, with if high-bonding picks up in terms of demand, we are ready to play in a more active way in the particular market for hybrid bonding. Now so as I said, in terms of features, we're very competitive whether in terms of bonding accuracy, in terms of [ UPH ], in terms of footprint and more importantly, in terms of total cost of ownership, I think our Gen 2 is a very competitive tool.
Got it. And my second question is regarding your China revenue. So congratulations on your China revenue pick up. Just with the China localization accelerating, are you seeing any shift in the customer preference? And how is your pricing and margin profile in China evolving versus other regions?
Your first question is for localization, accelerating. Yes, certainly, I think that's a trend. A lot of localization happening in China as well. So the volume in China will -- we have seen, as I said, the momentum in China is very good. Rent in the recent quarters, we see the demand coming more and more from the consumer market. It seems that the consumer market are starting to pick up.
The EV market in China as well, that's also benefiting both our SEMI as well as SMT mainstream. The Chinese market is obviously very, very competitive. But what is really interesting for the Chinese market is the volume, right? So we all know the semiconductor market is also highly dependent on China for the volume. So the Chinese market will give us a volume more than anything else. Back to you, Catherine.
Yes, yes. So a little bit of a follow-up on that. So how do you think about the pricing and margin of your China revenue compared with other regions? And do you think that this pickup in China market is a one-off event? Or will it continue probably to the next few quarters?
Sometimes it's not exactly comparable depending on the configuration that you want, right? So depending on the application as well, say, for example, smartphone requirement is totally different for automotive. So the pricing does vary from more of the application end market rather than the regional pricing from one region to another region. So it all depends on also on the application in the market.
Now whether it is sustainable, is this pickup sustainable, we certainly hope so. We did a lot of channel checking with customer base. They seem to be more optimistic than before. And also looking at the utilization rate across the factories. That seems the momentum seems to be there, inching up, picking up in terms of utilization rate. So I think that's a good sign. Consumption of lead frame seems to be on the rise as well. That's also a good sign that the factories are working. They're really working the utilization is up in China. So I think that helps to give us a little bit more confidence that this time around the momentum in China may be sustainable yes.
I may now ask Simon to connote yourself.
Okay. Robin, yes, today, again, the overall guidance for the AP, broadly optimistic, but the you want to double check why you think they are the near-term model still for the tile or the -- I mean, the TCB because foundry based on the long-term agreement with the U.S. fabless customers, HBM memory also is more an annual contract basis. And why you think the your customers, the TCB order, some quarter very strong, the other quarters, some sequential decline. Do you see any signs for a little bit toward trend of the AI theme? Or what you think the background of the older uneven spend here?
Yes, Simon, I tried to explain. I think as someone asked your question as well. I tried to explain when we mentioned uneven order flow is be timing, right? So if you break up by quarter, about to have volatility, you use our volatility, so I'm using the same word. We use uneven order flow pound to have from quarter-to-quarter. But if you take a longer -- 1 year versus another year. If you look at first half of 2025, we mentioned our AP or TCB have grown half-on-half year-on-year.
So on a half yearly basis on a longer-term basis, you can see a better trend on a quarterly basis because of the nature of the business, as I mentioned earlier, if we talk about AI customer we have talk about 20 to 30 in the world right now, right? You compare to SMG mainstream is SEMI, we have hundreds of customers. So you see the scale is totally different. So far, by nature of the business, there will be an even older from quarter-to-quarter. So don't look at quarter-to-quarter to decent the trend, look at a longer period to center trend.
Of course, yes, that's why your TAM guidance has not really changed. But maybe a pathway, for example, if I make HBM if I run the HBM memory business or even CoWoS packaging business and then the equipment vendors leading time 6 to 9 months. So I think your customers should worry about 6 to 9 months or sometimes 1 year in the equipment delivery time. But how the ASMPT can respond to the unexpected rush order if your manufacturing cycle time becomes more like 3 quarters?
Yes. I think, first of all, once we are trying to tap down internally, we will make it more efficient in terms of cutting down our lead time for sure. We are working part on that so that we can respond faster to our customer requirement. And secondly, the other way to mitigate some of this issue is really to have buffer stock. So because of the engagement on all these customer we roughly know where the demand road map is. So we can build buffer stock just in case they won the machine very fast, we are able to supply in a very quick time. But but little quantities, right? So there's always this balance field. So this is how we communicate the situation.
Yes. Very clear. So -- and then very quickly, we are very impressed on the AP, the best packaging revenue contribution. So first half last year, so that automatically implies more than 30% growth in AP. But the question is such strong growth is a more HBM memory driven or loaded or half and half? Any rough idea of the contribution mix?
Yes. So Simon, I think first on also when we talk about AP is actually more than TCB because we have a full range of AP tools, including TCB, although TCB is the major revenue contributor, okay? Now within TCB itself I think going in the longer term, I mentioned before as well, if you look at our TAM, how we arrive at our TAM of 1B in the longer term is in terms of ranking, in terms of the demand for TCB tools by application, HBM will be the largest followed by chip wafer tools and then follow chipsubstict tools. This trend will play out in the long run, not now. But in the meantime, , HBM is still the #1 prelim followed by chip-to-substrate on our case.
One thing, maybe some investors e-mail to me, the 500 units so far, would you specify the to since he is altered quarter this year on Page 6, your slide, 500 unit equipment?
We have been to meeting this information since 2012, I think. Yes, 2012 announced.
2012 up to second quarter this year?
That's correct. That's correct.
Okay. All right. One -- sorry, last thing declined quarter-on-quarter, sorry for the very short-term question, but is it more HBM related to the near-term trend, right? TCB declined quarter-on-quarter, I mean, the bookings declined quarter-on-quarter that's more HBM memory related rather than a logic rate?
Last few years, yes.
With that, we now conclude our Q&A session. Before we close the call, I'd like to ask Robin to say a few words.
Thank you, Leonard. Let me just -- okay. Thank you all for your questions and really allow me to quickly highlight some of the key takeaways from today's call. So the first strong demand continuously driven by AI tailwinds across AP and increasingly in our mainstream solution as well. For the first half of 2025, we had better-than-expected bookings, something that's probable taking away as well. AP continued to grow with AP revenue contributing significantly to group revenue in the first half of 2025. This growth was primarily driven by ongoing demand for TCB tools.
In the mainstream business, the group is beginning to benefit on tailwinds. The data center demand has driven bookings growth on new power management capabilities and we also experienced booking growth in China. Finally, we maintained group gross margin above 40% despite foreign exchange headwinds in the first half of 2025.
With that, this concludes the call. I'll see you all in the next quarter. Thank you very much and take care.
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Asmpt — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Starke AI-getriebene Nachfrage treibt Advanced Packaging (TCB/AOR), Bookings solide und Q3-Guidance über Konsens; Risiken: FX und ungleichmäßige Auftragsverläufe.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz H1: USD 837.6 Mio.
- Q2 Umsatz: USD 436.1 Mio. (+1.8% YoY, +8.9% QoQ)
- Bookings H1: USD 912.8 Mio. (+12.4% YoY; Book-to-bill >1 für 2 Quartale)
- Bruttomarge H1: 40.3% (−65 Basispunkte YoY)
- Adj. Nettogewinn H1: HKD 218.1 Mio.; EPS HKD 0.52, Dividendenempfehlung HKD 0.26
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- TCB-Führung: Thermal Compression Bonding (TCB) bleibt Hauptwachstumstreiber; Installationen >500 Tools weltweit.
- AOR-Fokus: Active Oxide Removal (AOR) als Differenzierer für HBM4 und anspruchsvollere Die-Stacks; Sampling mit mehreren Kunden.
- AP‑Diversifikation: Advanced Packaging ~39% des Umsatzes; zusätzliches Momentum in Photonics (CPO) und in SMT durch China-/Smartphone-Aufträge.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q3 Guidance: USD 445–505 Mio. (Midpoint +10.8% YoY, +8.9% QoQ) — Management: über Konsens.
- TAM‑Ziel: TCB Total Addressable Market weiter bei USD 1 Mrd. in 2027.
- Risiken: Wechselkurskopplungen, mögliche Folgen von Handelszöllen und unregelmäßige Quartalsbestellungen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- TCB/Wettbewerb: Analysten fragten zu HBM4‑Timing, Wettbewerbsdruck und ob AOR notwendig ist — Management erwartet AOR‑Vorteil und signale erste HBM4-Volumen.
- C2W‑Ramp: Chip‑to‑Wafer (C2W) für Logic soll in 2026 stärker voluminös werden; Pilot→Volume bei einem führenden Foundry läuft.
- Order‑Volatilität & China: Q‑to‑Q‑Schwankungen bei AP/TCB erklärt durch kleine Kundenbasis; SMT‑Erholung in China geprüft, aber teils orderspezifisch (Bulk‑Aufträge).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation für Aktionäre: ASMPT profitiert klar von AI‑Tailwinds durch steigenden AP‑Anteil und TCB‑Führung (AOR als Schlüssel). Bookings und Guidance sind robust, allerdings bleibt Ergebnisentwicklung sensibel gegenüber Produktmix, FX‑Effekten und unregelmäßigen Bestellzyklen; Dividendenpolitik bleibt kapitalrückführungsorientiert.
Finanzdaten von Asmpt
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 14.578 14.578 |
10 %
10 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 9.031 9.031 |
13 %
13 %
62 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 5.548 5.548 |
6 %
6 %
38 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 2.698 2.698 |
1 %
1 %
19 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 1.925 1.925 |
9 %
9 %
13 %
|
|
| EBITDA | - - |
-
-
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 949 949 |
49 %
49 %
7 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 1.072 1.072 |
331 %
331 %
7 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen HKD.
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| Hauptsitz | Cayman-Inseln |
| CEO | Mr. Ng |
| Mitarbeiter | 9.000 |
| Webseite | www.asmpt.com |


