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Kennzahlen
📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 335,46 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 4,92 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 335,46 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 6,04 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 331,86 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 4,92 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 331,86 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 6,04 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
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aktien.guide Basis
Arm — Q4 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the ARM Fourth Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 webcast and conference call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Jeff Koval, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Sharon, and welcome everyone to our fourth quarter fiscal '26 earnings call. On the call are Renee Hass, Arm's Chief Executive Officer; and Jason Child, ARM's Chief Financial Officer. Today's call contains forward-looking information about the company and its financial results.
While these statements represent our best current judgment, our business is subject to many risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Important risk factors that may affect our business and future financial results are described in our annual report on Form 20-F filed with the SEC. ARM assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements.
We will also refer to non-GAAP financial measures during the call. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in our shareholder letter as can a discussion of certain projected non-GAAP financial measures that we are not able to reconcile without unreasonable effort and supplemental financial information.
Our earnings materials are available at investors.arm.com. With that, I'll turn the call to Rene.
Thank you, Jeff, and welcome, everyone. ARM delivered a record quarter and record fiscal year. Revenue this quarter was $1.49 billion, up 20% and our highest quarterly revenue quarter ever and above the midpoint of our guidance. Licensing revenue grew 29% year-over-year to $819 million, driven by strong demand for the ARM platform. Royalty revenue grew 11% to $671 million with growth across Edge AI, physical AI and cloud AI, where our data center royalty has more than doubled year-over-year.
That drove record non-GAAP EPS of $0.60, even while we continue to increase investment in R&D. For the full year, revenue reached a record $4.92 billion, up 23% year-on-year. Royalty revenue was up $2.61 billion, up 21% and licensing revenue was $2.31 billion, up 25%.
Non-GAAP EPS was also a record at $1.77. Fiscal 2026 was our third consecutive year since going public of more than 20% revenue growth, demonstrating the strength of our business and the increasing relevance of ARM in the highest growth areas of compute. This quarter was driven by key highlights, including the expansion of Arm's product strategy and our continued momentum in cloud AI.
As AI is moving from human-based queries to continuous agent-driven workloads, this shift is expanding the role of the CPU. These agentic workloads require CPUs to coordinate tasks, move data, manage memory, enforce security and orchestrate work around accelerators.
As Agentic AI scales, data centers will require more than 4x today's CPU capacity, creating a data center CPU market opportunity of more than $100 billion by 2030. The ARM AGI CPU, which we launched at our ARM Everywhere event last quarter and is purpose-built for Agentic AI addresses this need directly.
Our first production silicon product to the data center will deliver more than 2x the performance per rack compared with X86 platforms with the potential to reduce AI data center capital expenditure by up to $10 billion per gigawatt. Meda is our lead partner and co-developer and is working with us on a multi-generation road map to support personal super intelligence for more than 3 billion users.
The ARM AGI CPU expands our customers can work with or Customers can now deploy ARM compute through IP, compute subsystems or silicon, 1 compute platform, 1 software ecosystem. That is unique to ARM. IP and CSS remain the foundation of our royalty growth. Silicon extends the ARM platform and gives customers another way to build AI infrastructure. Ecosystem support has been significant. More than 50 leading companies are supporting the expansion of the ARM compute platform into silicon, including the very biggest names in the industry.
Customer response to the ARM AGI CPU has been very strong. We now have more than $2 billion of customer demand across fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2028. This is more than double what we stated at launch. We are on track towards our forecast of $15 billion as this business, as stated at our ARM ever event and soon, the data center will be arm's largest business.
The direction is clear. Customers want ARM at the center of the AI data center. Customers need ARM where Agentic applications run and they need ARM or accelerators scale. For example, SAP will move their core database and business application workloads to ARM, starting with AWS Graviton and expanding the ARM AGI CPU.
This represents a significant strategic shift. Cloudflare will deploy ARM across its global network to support traffic management, security and AI inference closer to users. We have also secured design wins with key network infrastructure providers, including F5 and SK Telecom. AI infrastructure needs CPUs and accelerators working together efficiently at scale. NVIDIA, Amazon and Google are already using ARM-based CPUs as head nodes along the accelerator-based systems.
Cerebos, OpenAI, Rebellion and Positron are doing the same with the ARM AGI CPU. This momentum builds on our existing scale in the cloud. That scale is increasingly driven by ARM never CSS and ARM-based compute which now represents about 50% market share with top hyperscalers.
Recent announcements from key customers show that AI infrastructure is being built around ARM-based custom silicon. At Google Cloud Next, Google announced TPU for training and TPU 8 for inference, in both cases, replacing x86 host processors with custom arm Axion CPUs. The increased performance at 50% less power enables an 80% improvement over the previous X86 solution.
AWS continues to scale its custom silicon strategy with ARM-based Graviton alongside Trinium and Nitro while Microsoft is advancing its ARM-based strategy with Cobalt, designed to deliver high-performance and energy-efficient compute for Azure workloads.
And at NVIDIA GTC NVIDIA and Severa, the next-generation ARM-based CPU built for Agentic AI and building a stand-alone rack integrating 256 Beras. Across the largest AI platforms, ARM-based CPUs are becoming central to performance, efficiency and cloud economics. Our opportunity does not stop the data center.
AI is moving to every device and every physical system. -- phones, PCs, vehicles, factories, robots, cameras, sensors and connected devices all need efficient, secure compute with software that scales. These AI workloads will all run on ARM. With over 350 billion chips shipped and over 22 million developers, the ARM compute platform is the most comprehensive in history, and we are positioned to bring AI from cloud infrastructure to the edge and to the physical world through a common compute platform and ecosystem.
We enter fiscal 2027 with record results, strong customer demand and a larger opportunity ahead of us. Our strategy is clear: grow royalties through IP and CSS and add silicon as a new growth vector and scale the ARM platform across the next generation of AI workloads.
With that foundation in place, our focus is execution and continuing to build the future of AI on ARM. And with that, I will hand it over to Jason.
Thank you, Renee. We have delivered another record quarter. Total revenue grew 20% year-on-year to $1.49 billion, which is nearly $250 million higher than our previous record. Our strong Q4 revenue also capped a record year.
Revenue growth of 23% exceeded 20% for the third straight year and lifted fiscal '26 revenue to $4.9 billion. Our revenue strength translated into record EPS for both Q4 and fiscal '26. Royalty revenue grew 11% year-on-year to $671 million, our highest ever figure for Q4 royalty revenue.
The biggest contribution to royalty revenue growth was from cloud AI. Data center royalty revenue continues to more than double year-on-year, and we see no break in this momentum. This is primarily driven by the accelerating ramp of ARM-based server chips by all major hyperscalers as well as increased deployment of data center networking chips, particularly DPUs and SmartNIC, where ARM has close to 100% market share.
In Edge AI, our smartphone revenues continue to deliver growth despite end market weakness. This is driven by our higher royalty rates from increasing penetration of RMB 9 and compute subsystems into higher-end smartphones. Physical AI has also contributed to our strong royalty performance driven by secular growth of ADAS and autonomous systems based on ARM technology. Turning now to licensing. License and other revenue was $819 million, up 29% year-on-year. Growth was driven by strong demand for next-generation architectures and deeper strategic engagements with key customers.
For example, we signed a long-term strategic partnership with the Indonesian government to strengthen Indonesia's capability and the development of AI technology.
We also signed 2 next-generation CSS licenses one to be used to develop chips for smartphones and the other for data center networking chips. These agreements reflect the continued investment by our customers in next-generation ARM technology.
Of the $819 million of license revenue, our agreement with SoftBank for technology licensing and design services contributed $200 million, flat with the prior quarter. As always, licensing revenue varies quarter-to-quarter due to timing and size of high-value deals.
So as we continue to focus on annualized contract value, or ACV, as is a key indicator of the underlying licensing trend.
ACV grew 22% year-on-year, maintaining strong momentum. This continues to be above our long-term expectations for license revenue growth. As Rene noted or as Renee mentioned, customer demand for the ARM AGI CP was very strong. We now have line of sight to more than $2 billion of demand across fiscal '27 and '28.
However, we are maintaining our outlook of $1 billion while we pursue supply chain capacity, and we still expect the first revenues from production ship sales to land in the fourth quarter of this fiscal year. Turning to operating expenses and profits. Non-GAAP operating expenses were $734 million.
This was about $10 million below our guidance and up 30% year-on-year due to strong R&D investment. These investments in R&D reflect ongoing engineering expansion to support customer demand for more ARM technology, including continued innovation in next-generation architectures, compute subsystems, and the recently announced ARM AGI CPU product family.
Non-GAAP operating income was $731 million, resulting in a non-GAAP operating margin of about 49%. Non-GAAP EPS was $0.60, driven by both higher revenue and slightly lower OpEx than expected.
Turning now to guidance. For Q1 we expect revenue of $1.26 billion, plus or minus $50 million. At the midpoint, this represents revenue growth of about 20% year-on-year. We expect royalty revenue and license and other revenue to both be up around 20% year-on-year. We expect our non-GAAP operating expense to be approximately $760 million and our non-GAAP EPS to be $0.40 plus or minus $0.04.
The strength of demand we're seeing, combined with our expanding portfolio and deepening customer engagement gives us confidence in our ability to deliver sustained long-term growth.
For those of you that missed our March Arm EveryWare AGI CPU event, we expect that by FY '31, we will be generating $15 billion in AGI CPU revenue and $10 billion in IP revenue for a total of $25 billion. We expect this to translate to more than $9 in EPS. With that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] and the first question comes from the line of Andrew [indiscernible] from Citi.
2. Question Answer
It's only been 6 weeks since you held beyond everywhere event and announced the new AGI CPU, somehow it feels a lot longer given the rate of change in the chip industry and in particular, the AI space, you can certainly see that as well in the demand you just highlighted. You're now saying that you've got over EUR 2 billion of demand for the next 2 fiscal years.
I was just hoping that you could give us a bit more detail on how that additional demand has transpired over the last 6 weeks or perhaps type of customer is some of it greater demand with the launch customers you highlighted to us in San Francisco with is it all new interest, new customers applications they've got in mind? And also, Jason, I just wanted to touch on the point you made there where you're not changing the guidance, the demand has doubled and you're now sort of seeking incremental supply from your foundry and I presume memory partners as well.
What do you think you'll be able to do in terms of accessing that supply? How are you going about that?
Yes. Thank you for the question, Andrew. So I'll tackle the first part in terms of where the demand is coming from such a little bit upon the supply situation and then let Jason address sort of the members aspect to it. So 1 of the beauties of the product that we announced at the Arm Everywhere event is the fact that the CPU can come in a number of different flavors, but 1 of the more attractive options is actually buying finished racks from our partners, such as Super Micro Lenovo, ASRock, that enables customers to order and deploy quite quickly.
Many customers that we've talked about are already using Arm, so whether that's through internal designs or running designs at the cloud. So a lot of the software work has been completed -- so the work required in terms of bringing on new compute capacity that's ARM-based, there isn't a lot of friction to that.
So you have a situation where a software is done; and b, you've got availability of a rack design that you can put in the data hall pretty quickly. So to your question, it's a combination of both. It's a combination of some of the customers that we talked about during the day, increasing their forecast.
And there are also customers that we didn't talk about on the day who have said, hey, we are very, very interested, and we're ready to deploy, how quickly can we get units? So the number that we talked about at the end of March was supply in place to support $1 billion of demand.
And that includes memory that includes wafers, that includes packaging, that includes access to test equipment. So for the $2 billion, we are now in the process of securing supply to support that. And the teams are working around the clock to make sure we can find the right answers for our customers. Relative to how that impacts guidance going forward, let me turn that to Jason.
Yes. Thanks, Andrew. So in terms of the expectation, I think we said back at the Armor event that you should assume probably $90-ish million or so of revenue, just $100 million in -- at this point, we're not changing that target. As we get deeper into the year, we will provide some kind of indications on how things go in the supply chain.
And then, of course, in Q3, we'll give you much firmer estimate of what we expect to deliver in Q4 and then maybe some indications of what we think FY [ '28 ] will look like as well.
And the question from the line of track well Go ahead.
Yes. Thanks for taking the question. Maybe first just as we think about, I guess, like the royalty rate growth for 1Q and then just thinking about the full year, is there any help that you can provide just kind of the puts and takes there? Clearly, data center very strong, accelerating but then how do you kind of think about consumer electronics, smartphones, et cetera?
I'll go -- thanks for the question, Joe. So in terms of for, as we said before the quarter, we had a bit of a tough comp in that. We had particularly strong ramp of MediaTek 400 a year ago, more so than what we expected this year.
And so as a result, you saw a bit of a slowdown in royalty revenue. As indicated by our guidance, we're expecting that to get back to the kind of 20% range by Q1. So I would say within the assumptions within our expectations are we will probably continue to see unit growth, I think, actually flip to negative for the mobile market in this last quarter. We're going to continue to see very flattish, maybe slightly negative numbers for the overall market.
The lower end of the market is probably going to be where most of that impact is. So it doesn't have too much impact on us. And then, of course, any sort of negative impact we do see. We expect that to be more than offset by demand in cloud AI or specifically in the data center. I would say on the data center, there's certainly been a lot of positive announcements from some of our partners, certainly, AWS and Google, in particular, about kind of the deployments and either accelerating some of those deployments.
And now you could say that the 3 largest GPU providers across with Vera or Grace. And then, of course, with now Google pairing TPUs with AxION 2, the latest ARM-based chip and then, of course, training all paired with the latest version of arm-based Graviton.
All of those partners are now all in arm, and we're expecting that, that should provide continued growth and upside throughout the year. hard to say exactly what that pace of growth will look like since we're not going to announce their numbers that they haven't announced, but we do expect to see continued upside.
So any of the weakness that we see in memory and mobile, we do expect that to be largely offset plus, I would say, on the cloud side. And then outside of that, the other category of automotive continues to be growing strong and we don't see any changes there, we continue to gain share and continue to grow kind of in that double-digit growth rate. And so overall, we feel pretty good about the royalty outlook for the balance of the year.
The next question comes from Vivek I from Bank of America Securities.
Renee, yesterday when AMD spoke about the CPU market 2030 [indiscernible] $120 billion, slightly more than the $100 million that you had given before. But then they also suggested that they expect to maintain 50% share, I imagine interrelevant in that time frame also.
And then there are all these captive programs, right, Graviton Axion and Vanda trying to understand what is ARM's natural kind of niche in the market? Like which of these parties conceptually can you take share from to your business...
Yes. Thank you for the question. Yes. When we talked about $100 billion TAM on March 24 at the ARM Everywhere day, I think we were the first company to talk about numbers in that magnitude, and we had a bunch of questions about it. Now it's sort of nice to see the rest of the market catching up and going higher than the number.
Could the number be $120 billion out in that time frame, certainly, we are seeing literally not only an explosion of CPU demand, but 1 of the areas that we're seeing growth in terms of CPU is number of cores per CPU.
Many of these agents want to run independent jobs or flows or a batch on a specific CPU core. So again, the ARM AGI CPU is 136 cores, which is much larger than many of the competitive offerings in the go-forward space, could I see a world of 256 cores, 512 cores absolutely. It's a great place for ARM because in a very, very high core count design, what really matters is efficiency per core, and that's where we're world class.
As far as the market share numbers, AMD has 50 -- Intel has 50, and we have 50, so you add up to some crazy number. All I would say is as follows: we see a very, very strong direction with all of the arm hyperscalers who use our technology today. As Jason mentioned, whether it's NVIDIA, whether it's Amazon, whether it's Google, the very largest and most prevalent accelerators by volume is the TPU, it's trainium and it's Ruben today, Blackwall going to Ruben, those all connect to arm and increasingly, they are going to be a 100% arm.
So we feel very, very good about the market share there. We also talked about a lot of customers such as Cloudflare such as Meta, such as SAP SK Telecom, OpenAI, customers who simply aren't going to design their own ARM-based CPU, they either for CapEx reasons or engineering reasons for whatever the reasons are, they're not going to go off and make the spend there.
So we think it's a market that we can play in, in a very large way. And I think even indicators of AWS selling Graviton to outside partners -- it's kind of an indication that there's just huge, huge demand for ARM-based capacity. So we think we're going to play alongside our partners in this space. And we also think the opportunity is very, very large for both. And I'm actually confident that by the end of the decade, I believe the largest market share by CPU type will be ARM.
Our next question today comes from the line of Timm Schulze-Melander from Rosharon.
so Rene, maybe just to start with you and to key off that CPU TAM commentaries you just made there. I just wanted to check that I heard you right, that you anticipate 100% attach rate of Arm CPU with those accelerators you mentioned?
And then maybe just looking forward, from an OpEx perspective, as you get into that merchant market as your products attach to some of your partners' products. Do you have any undertakings in terms of operating expenses in terms of in-market customer support? And then I had a quick follow-up for Jason.
Yes. Thank you for the question, Tim. Yes. So to clarify my comment, my expectation is that for the training platform over time, TPUs over time, and NVIDIA's accelerated over time, I believe that the vast majority of the market share there will be ARM. NVIDIA is there essentially and we are starting to see that happen with Graviton already over the last number of quarters.
And the announcement that Google made at Google -- next with the and AI, the training and inference chip. So that trend is well underway. And the reason for it, as stated is that by getting much better performance in the same power envelope, the overall performance of the platform has greatly improved.
Google is talking about an 80% improvement in terms of the overall performance. So it's really numbers like that and the advantages that customers see in terms of embracing the platform. That gives us very, very high confidence that, that trend should continue. If I understood your question correctly on the OpEx side or customer support issues, et cetera, et cetera, relative to ARM-based server racks being bought by customers.
What I would expect it would be a relationship that we would typically have with our partners with the ODMs where they're building finished racks and design, the customer is responsible for the software. We're not delivering the application software, but anything regarding the low-level code, the firmware, the boot on, that's all on us. So we'll have customer support ready for that.
And then, of course, if there's any issues regarding the hardware, we will manage that all ourselves. Relative to the OpEx associated with that inside the company, I'll let Jason bridge on to that. But that's all baked in, in terms of when we talk about the growth rate of headcount. We've taken all of that into consideration relative to what customer support platform solution looks like?
Yes. In terms of the OpEx for support, that was baked in the numbers that we shared at Armour and embedded within our long-term guidance and so already accounted for.
Got it. And maybe the quick follow-up, just looking at FY '27 for the year. Could Jason, could you just give us some help in terms of the shape of the of how you expect royalty revenues to kind of flow through the year? And maybe some commentary around the OpEx as well would be really helpful.
Yes. So I expect that the royalty growth is going to be in the roughly 2% for the year. And so across each of the quarters, plus or minus spending on the quarter, but we'll all be relatively close to the 20s percent range.
And that's really for both license and royalty. The license will be just like the last -- I guess, the last 3 years, will be a little bit back-end weighted. I think it's about 60%, probably second half versus 40% points. And then on OpEx I know we initially had thought maybe the OpEx would step up a little more into -- from Q4 to Q1 as we just guided to, we're expecting that to be a little less than we thought before.
And now I would expect that the license -- or I'm sorry, that the OpEx growth is going to is going to grow sequentially every quarter by, call it, a few percent. And the overall expense will still kind of be -- we'll show incremental margin improvement throughout the year. and we will be growing expenses less than revenue by the time the end of the year, and it will be building kind of slowly throughout the year.
But we will be getting back to delivering incremental margin by end of the year, like where we're at, we were at a couple of years ago before we started the investments in the --
Our next question today comes from the line of Chris Sankar from TD Cowan.
Any other question on the CP to GPU ratio. It seems like with inference as a compelling case for AGI, CPU, I'm wondering what is your assumption on when we get to 1:1? And do you expect the CPAP ratio across one-to-one and also, if you can differentiate between the opportunity and the head node versus the host note, that would be very helpful.
Yes. So I think it's a kind of a complex question in terms of thinking about today's world and statically how things look. The way I think to think about it is while the ratios may not go to more CPUs than GPUs from a chip standpoint, they probably will from a core count standpoint.
And what do I mean by that? The way to think about Blackwell and Ruben and some of these large accelerators is that they're pretty much reticle limited, meaning that the size of the chip is already limited by the amount of area that a mass can print -- so it's not like you're going to get many, many more GPUs and then 1 can argue how efficient those GPUs are as they consume all that silicon.
On the flip side, today, the RMA GI CPU, for example, it's 136 CPU cores, Vera, that's 88. As I mentioned earlier, could I see those core counts doubling or quadrupling over the next number of years? Absolutely. Does that mean that, oh, the ratio of chips stay the same, if 1 chip has 500 cores and it used to have 136 cores. So clearly, the ratios are going are going to change from a CPU core count, maybe not a chip count.
Where we'll see the growth, in my opinion, is not so much in the head node to a GPU architecture because it's a little bit fixed given the way the GPU is architected and how it feeds to CPU -- but will you see many, many more CPUs inside of data hall, dedicated racks of CPUs that are doing agenetic orchestration and scheduling and management 100%.
And you simply just have to look at Infinia announcing a dedicated Virirec, 256 Vera CPU chips, 88 cores per chip in a 200-kilowatt liquid cooled rack, that is designed to sit in a data center adjacent to a verarubin system. And that's simply because of the size of the system. It's liquid cooled.
So imagine a world where you had scores of vararubin racks, now you may actually have a veriracin between or 2 varies -- so that changes the ratios completely. I think 1 thing we know for sure is that we probably have undercalled the CPU demand in terms of the transition here.
We talked about a 4x increase we could get our heads around a bigger number than that. But ratios are a tough way to look at it, just given the math that I just described.
Now take our next question. And the next question comes from the line of Sebastien Naji from William Blair.
It's great to see the strong demand for your AI CPU. One of the questions that is top of mind for many investors is how this shift in your business model is impacting some of your existing IP customers who also sell ARM-based CPUs in some form -- could you maybe just give us a sense of how your larger customers have reacted since your announcement in March? And how you think about managing that potential tension between your product and IP businesses.
Yes. Thank you for the question. It's a super important question. One of the things that we wanted to ensure relative to the overall strategy of selling silicon, is that we had the support of the ecosystem.
Now for us, the ecosystem represents a lot of different partners. The ecosystem are the people who build Arm-based chips like Samsung or TSMC that ecosystem is EDA partners like Synopsys and Cadence, the huge amount of people who work in the software space in the Linux world and everything around Kubernetes containers, for example, and then, of course, our licensees, AWS or Microsoft or Google or NVIDIA in this case, all we have products, so we went to them early on this, and we explained to them what we were doing. We explained to them why we were doing it, and we explained to them why it was beneficial to the ARM ecosystem that we do it. And that's largely because the more software that's written and optimized for ARM makes everyone stronger.
And we asked for their support of the strategy at the Arm Everywhere day.
And every single partner we asked said yes. We had probably over 50 different partners, the names I just gave you, all of them. In some cases, they provided a quote. In some cases, they provided references to other partners.
And then in some cases, they did a video for us, which we used at the event. So I think by the fact that everyone was asked and everyone said yes, and how can I help? I think it's about as good as an endorsement I could give for that. So we're -- we're deeply grateful for it. We don't take it for granted. We're very, very appreciate of it. And we think, again, it lifts all boats.
And probably the last thing I would say on this is that the primary reason we did this was that our customers asked for it. And at the end of the day, we are responding to customer demand in a market, and we see this today because we're sold out and we've got people looking for more products, there is demand for these products.
And at the end of the day, customer demand speaks volumes.
Our next question today comes from the line of Vijay Rakesh from Mizuho.
Great quarter and guide here. Rene, just a quick question. Actually look at look at the demand on agent CPUs. And obviously, the CSP seem to be ramping up on that as well. How is your data center royalty revenues growing, I guess, as you look at fiscal '27 or last year? I'm sure that's picking up, but any color on that?
The royalties associated with customers building chips based on neovers, those royalties have doubled year-on-year. and I'm looking at Jason , I expect they're going to double year-on-year again in this year. So the answer -- the answer to that statement is yes. So that business is incredibly strong. And when we talked last quarter in February and I said that this was going to be our largest business.
I was speaking about it in the comp so the royalties were. So now when we add the ARM AGI CPU business, we have 2 extremely strong sources of revenue that I think the best way to think about it is, don't cannibalize each other. They're going to run in tandem with each other. We're going to have a strong business around the RMA GI CPU.
We talked about $15 billion by fiscal year '31. And then we also have an IP business that we expect to double to $10 billion. And that IP business will largely be driven by data center prices.
Got it. And then on the licensing revenue side, should we still think of it as a high single-digit percent growth fiscal '27, '28? Or is that trending higher to with 9 and
Well, for this year, I think we said you should expect license revenue to be more in the 20-ish percent range. Over time, I would expect I think the long-term target is probably in the high single digit, low double-digit range.
But it's hard to say to say. We've seen this kind of AI investment, super cycle or whatever folks are calling it has now gone on for 3 years. So who knows how much longer it goes, but it's at least going to happen for the next year. and beyond that, hard to say.
But I would expect at least at least 10% year-on-year growth for the long term is probably putting the floor that we can see for right now.
We will now take the next question. And the question comes from the line of Harlan from JP Milan.
And congrats on the expanded AGI demand profile. On the $1 billion of revenues for AGI across '27 and '28, most of it obviously is going to be in '28. I think at the event, you told us gross margin profile on these first gen products is about 30% plus. I know it's embedded in your total cost structure.
But Jason, can you just give us a rough sense on the OpEx attributed to supporting your chip business this year and next year? I know it's early revenues, but I'm just trying to figure out like the scale of the chip business cost structure. And as you drive your chip revenues higher, like what -- when can it drive accretion to the earnings power? I know the calendar '30 endpoint, I think, is roughly in OpEx for the chip business, but where is it distort next year?
Yes. I would -- it's a good question. I would say, yes, the revenue split for '27, '28, something like million for Q4 '28 and then $910 million or whatever for '28 million. That's kind of what we laid out 5 or 6 weeks ago. And as said, we have demand above that. But for right now, let's just assume that's the number until we work through some of the wafer memory shortage issues.
In terms of the OpEx, yes, so the OpEx that's in our plan and what we've guided to, that does include the support related to that business. If you kind of just look at that business on a stand-alone basis, we see it as a business that because a lot of the cost of development is really -- probably the most expensive part of developing the chip is really the compute die, which really is effectively kind of the CSS.
So we're able to kind of leverage that, that automatically makes this business much more profitable as a stand-alochip business given that we get kind of that work as part of our IP business already. So the incremental costs and OpEx are apt add to the chip business is not that significant. It's a team that's in the -- probably in the dozens of people, not hundreds.
And so you can assume that it's operating profit positive next year, -- and when you go out to say, 2031, I think we said the IP business probably gets to something like a 65% operating margin business or EBITDA margin business and that the chip business is probably in the 35-ish percent range, and that's where we expect to get to. How quickly we get there is probably going to be a function of how fast the revenue grows and at least at a $15 billion rate, I think those are the right numbers based on everything we see right now.
Thank you. We will now take our final question for today. And the final question comes from the line of Lee Simpson from Morgan Stanley.
Great. at the end here. I just wanted to go back to the ratio of CPUs to GPUs particularly as it relates to orchestration, -- and I think, Rene, you mentioned it's better to look at this really from a core count perspective, particularly when handling these agentic sessions. I'm just trying to get a sense from a bottom-up perspective -- are we looking at this as each agentic flow requires 1 core -- or could we look at this differently and say that there is an average number of ARM instructions that are needed to orchestrate each token generated by the accelerator.
Yes. Thank you, Lee. You've gone into deep math there. I think the latter is a little too complicated to think about it. Maybe a more straightforward way to think about it is -- each of these agents are running a batch or running a job themselves.
There is certainly a level of complexity in terms of the way the branch prediction coding is handled and essentially the way you would code the example. But if you just think about the nature of an asynchronous workload for an agent, it runs a job, it does some scheduling it stops, it waits, it pauses. It's actually pretty good for a single core design to handle that as opposed to having multicores having to run that all together in unison. It's going to be more power efficient if you run it through a single core.
And the more cores you have, in theory, the more batches you can run. So our viewpoint is very much 1 of more cores is better. And that's why I think you're going to see increasingly larger core counts in the CPU chips. So you'll see more CPUs cores being shipped.
You may not see 3x to chips, but the chips will be more expensive, which is why when people look at $100 billion TAM in 5 years or $125 billion, whatever the number is, largely, it's going to be driven by the fact that the CPU chips are going to have lots of CPU cores which will drive ASP up.
But I think it's a core per core batch job not multiple instructions across multiple cores.
Thank you. I will now hand the call back for closing remarks.
Thank you, and thank you for all the questions. This was an amazing quarter billion approximately in revenue, not long ago as what ARM did in a single year and do nearly $5 billion in revenue a few years after the public offering of the company, when we projected around this time, we'll be doing about $4.5 billion is a great testament to all the work done by arms employees, customers and partners. What we are seeing, to be clear, is unprecedented compute demand and that we are at the center of that demand growth.
The best way to think about ARM's growth trajectory, particularly now that we've announced the ARM AGI CPU is that we have 2 growth vectors that will drive this. The ARM AI chip, as we talked about, with $1 billion of demand in March 24, we're now seeing over $2 billion of demand over the next 2 years, 2x what we talked about, and we're on track to achieve $15 billion of revenue by fiscal '31 and our business around IP, the new overuse IP with CSS has doubled year-on-year. We're projecting it to double again year-on-year.
And we are seeing adoption and acceleration with AWS, Google and Microsoft. Both of these vectors represent a structural growth for ARM that is very, very strong and very sustainable. With that, thank you again for all your questions, and we appreciate all your interest in ARM.
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Arm — Q4 2026 Earnings Call
Arm — Q4 2026 Earnings Call
Rekordquartal: Umsatz- und EPS‑Rekorde getrieben von Cloud‑AI und starkem Interesse an der neuen ARM AGI‑CPU, Versorgung limitiert kurzfristig.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $1,49 Mrd. (+20% YoY; über Guidance‑Mittelpunkt)
- Lizenzumsatz: $819 Mio. (+29% YoY)
- Royaltys: $671 Mio. (+11% YoY; Data‑Center‑Royaltys mehr als verdoppelt YoY)
- EPS (Non‑GAAP): $0,60 (Q4 Rekord); FY‑Non‑GAAP EPS $1,77
- Margen/OpEx: Non‑GAAP Op‑Income $731 Mio.; OpEx $734 Mio.; Non‑GAAP‑Betriebsmargin ≈49%
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Strategie: Zwei Wachstumspfade – IP/CSS (Compute Subsystems) zur Royalty‑Skalierung und zusätzlich eigene Silicon‑Produkte (ARM AGI CPU) als neues Wachstumsfeld.
- AGI‑CPU‑Momentum: >$2 Mrd. Kundennachfrage für FY27‑28 (mehr als doppelt zur Lancierungsangabe); klare Roadmap mit Lead‑Partnern und >50 Ökosystem‑Unterstützern.
- Marktchance: Management sieht Data‑Center‑CPU‑TAM >$100 Mrd. bis 2030; Ziel: AGI‑CPU $15 Mrd. und IP $10 Mrd. bis FY'31.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q1‑Guidance: Umsatz $1,26 Mrd. ±$50 Mio.; Non‑GAAP EPS $0,40 ±$0,04; OpEx ≈$760 Mio.
- Langfristziele: AGI‑CPU $15 Mrd. bis FY'31; kombinierte Plattformziele $25 Mrd. und >$9 EPS bis FY'31 (Managementannahmen).
- Risiken: Kurzfristige Limitationen durch Wafer/Memory/Packaging/Test‑Kapazität; Lizenzumsätze bleiben volatil wegen Timing großer Deals.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Supply‑Frage: Viele Analysten hinterfragten, wie ARM die Nachfrage (> $2 Mrd.) realisieren will; Management bestätigt Arbeiten an Supply‑Kette, hält Guidance aber vorerst unverändert (line‑of‑sight ≠ bestätigte Lieferkapazität).
- Partner/Can‑Ibalism: Sorge um Konflikte mit bestehenden Lizenznehmern; Management betont breite Unterstützung des Ökosystems und argumentiert, dass mehr ARM‑Software allen Lizenznehmern nützt.
- Profitabilität & OpEx: Fragen zu OpEx‑Belastung durch Silicon‑Geschäft beantwortet: inkrementelle Support‑kosten seien begrenzt ("Dutzende, nicht Hunderte" von Mitarbeitern); erste Gen‑Margen des Chips wurden als ~30%+ bezeichnet, Details offengehalten.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starke operative Performance und überzeugende Nachfrage für die ARM AGI CPU verheißen hohes Wachstumspotenzial; kurzfristig limitiert die Lieferkette den Umsatzfluss, weshalb Management konservativ in der near‑term Guidance bleibt. Für Aktionäre bedeutet das: großes optionales Upside durch die AGI‑CPU‑Roadmap, aber erhöhte Abhängigkeit von Fertigungs‑ und Lieferkapazitäten sowie anhaltender Volatilität bei Lizenzabschlüssen.
Arm — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Arm Holdings plc
1. Management Discussion
[Presentation]
Please welcome Arm's Chief Executive Officer, Rene Haas.
Such a nice warm welcome. Thank you. So welcome to our live stream audience, watching the Arm Everywhere event. I don't think we've ever done a live stream event like this and to the folks here in the audience, thank you so much for coming to the historic Fort Mason.
And you may not know that Fort Mason here in California, was actually an official defense site for the Civil War. And this is where a very famous battle between Alabama, Georgia and California took place.
Now you're thinking to yourself, I don't remember that battle. That's why this area looks so pristine. There actually was not a battle. But it actually was a fort. So I thought that was actually kind of neat. I didn't actually know that. So thank you again for attending a big day for us. We have a lot to share with you. So I'm going to jump right into it.
When we thought about how to name this event and how to talk about our company, we thought Arm Everywhere was really appropriate because one of the things that we're very proud of that we don't always think about in our daily lives at Arm, but it's really quite impactful. It's just the scale of the company and the scale of the magnitude we have.
So when we start looking at numbers, 117 billion, what is the number? That's the total humans ever to live on earth. So that's -- if you count up by all of our calculations, how many people have lived on the planet since inception, about 117 billion. 350 billion plus are the number of Arm chips to have ever shipped. That is 3x the total number of humans who have ever existed on the planet.
So it's not just 1 for every human. It's 3 for every human to have ever lived. 7x the total number of non Arm-based CPUs shipped combined. Just think about that number. And 160 Arm chips for every global household, Mine is probably larger than 160, but 160 is about the average. So that just gives you a sense of the scale of what we've done, and it's really important because it feeds into everything that makes us what we are today and, of course, could not be done without our ecosystem partners.
Now the company's DNA was really born to run off batteries. Company started in the early 1990s. It was a spinout of a British computer company named Acorn. And that company had a mandate to build a chip, and that chip had a couple of requirements. One was it had to run in a plastic package, which back then was really important. And number two, it had to be really low power. The first part was important because of heat.
The second part was important because battery life met everything because this was going into the world's first PDA. So the company, we nailed that. We nailed that objective so solidly that -- and this is a true story, that when the first Arm development board that had the first Arm1 processor was powered up, and these were plugged in now into a back of a wall.
So you had a development board, lots of logic chips plugged into an AC outlet. When the AC outlet plug was removed, the chip kept running. And the chip kept running based upon the leakage current that was coming off all the other chips on the board. So the folks came in the next night and they saw the silico was still driving a signal.
And that is really what for us launched the revolution of smartphones. We were designed into the very first GSM phone for those who remember that Nokia brick on the far edge. But then the BlackBerry, which many of us who had loved, still love. Wish it came back, all the way to the modern smartphones of Android and iPhones. That is where we started in terms of the battery life.
It launched a generation of smartphones. Now one of the breaks we got about 10 years ago was when SoftBank bought Arm. Yes, it was about 10 years ago, it was 2016. And when SoftBank bought Arm, Masa gave us an opportunity now that we're a private company to invest into areas that we were not able to invest in before. And that gave us the opportunity to expand the platform to a number of other verticals. We took everything that we knew about smartphones and then expanded that out into the cloud. We launched Neoverse.
We got our first design wins in the data center. And then we were also able to invest into autonomous, automotive, physical AI. We could not have done that without that 2016 moment. And this is my thank you to Masa for allowing us to do that. We could not have made that all happen. It's paid significant benefits for the company.
However, as good as our products are, as competitive as the platform is for physical AI, for autonomous, for the cloud, it is really what I like to call the ecosystem of ecosystems that really differentiates us. And this is where the partnership really comes to life because that mobile platform that we built cannot happen without the software. And the software layer in the case of the mobile area is iOS, it's Windows, it's Android, it's MacOS.
And then the litany of applications that not only run on the Arm compute platform, but they're highly optimized, highly tuned and allows the partners in the ecosystem to build great products. That formula applies to every vertical that we participate in. It applies to what takes place in the cloud, whether it's Linux or OpenAI or Anthropic and then the platform that runs with it.
And this is why we like to call this the ecosystem of ecosystems because it's not just one vertical. And you can see when we look at the physical AI platform with automotive, same formula. 22 million-plus software developers that are very unique to a vertical, but they leverage a lot across the ecosystem that allows people to get started in other areas. So this is the magic, and this is what is uniquely Arm.
It is what's very, very unique about our compute platform. There's no one on the planet who can serve the edge to the cloud in the way our ecosystem does. Now over the past few years, we've been evolving our strategies largely because we see the demands in the marketplace are around the chips are more complex. The cycle times to build these chips are getting longer, 5-nanometer to 3-nanometer to 2-nanometer means longer fab times, longer peg times.
There's a need to do more and to do it faster. We've traditionally provided IP, IP in a stand-alone form, the CPU, the GPU, system IP. And that has served us well for the first 30-plus years of the company. But as I said, we were starting to see huge demand for the need to go faster, make products better and get time to market sooner. And we introduced something called compute subsystems.
We did this about 3, 4 years ago. We invested very heavily in terms of the engineering requirements to do this. And what this does is it takes all the blocks of IP and puts them together in a finished way, verified, performant, tested that the end customer can then take to market. And in some cases, it shaves a year, in some cases, 18 months off the time of starting design to get into production. It was a very significant investment for us.
We put a lot of effort and engineering into it. But we've already seen massive benefits in terms of the customer base. We introduced this 3 or 4 years ago. Our business model is a license plus royalty. Royalty is the laggard. So royalties start to show up 2, 3 years after we license a product. Already, CSS represents almost 20% of our royalties and growing.
Now that's our evolution. But of course, we're now in an era where everything is different than we knew it before. And when I think about artificial intelligence, and I get a lot of questions when I talk to analysts or media about did AI just come up on us by surprise. And I think back to a time I was in Bletchley Park about 1.5 years ago, and the Bletchley Park is where the original crypto work was done by Alan Turing to help the West against the Germans and World War II.
There is an area there where you can go in the museum and you see papers from Alan Turing about can machines think. I think those papers were written in the 1940s. So the idea of AI is obviously not new. And if you're a sci-fi, aficionado or fan, I certainly was growing up. Arthur C. Clark was one of my favorite authors. 2001 A Space Odyssey, now we have people who weren't even born in 2001, who are here.
I always looked at this and said, of course, this is going to happen. I just didn't think in my lifetime, I would see it at the pace that we've seen it. And for anyone who says this is a bubble and it's going to pass, it may be a financial bubble in the case of investment may slow down and it may be an investment bubble in the sense of the valuations may not be what they are today tomorrow.
But if anyone thinks that this is something that is going to go away, it's a little bit of an ostrich syndrome. This is here with us. And it's really changed how people think about computing. However, somewhere along the way, people kind of thought CPUs were dead. And there was a thought that the only way you handle AI is through accelerated computing, that the CPU's role in the AI world is no longer relevant.
Now if we think about the role of the CPU and what happens in the cloud, now this is the cloud before AI. So I'm going to say it's before that last slide that I showed. Huge growth in compute cloud. We saw growth from AWS, Microsoft, GCP. And the conventional use of the cloud was you type in an answer, you do a search, -- any seats left for the Warrior's game?
I think there are a lot of seats left for tomorrow's game, by the way, I have seen or tonight's game. You got the prompt back. This is the cloud. Very simple, you do search, but CPU is very heavy. So when we look at the growth of SaaS 10-plus years ago, 10, 15 years ago and all the growth around cloud, the CPUs were doing literally all the work. Now when you add the AI cloud, if you will, and now you are a human and you're putting in a prompt into your device, whether it's your phone or your PC, Well, of course, there are still CPUs involved.
The cloud is servicing that request, and that request gets sent for a token, which the accelerator generates and a CPU in that data center orchestrates and sends a token back, the token being a word or an answer that provides the request for the query. So this is all the work that's being done by the AI data center. So CPUs are involved both in the cloud and obviously, they're involved in the AI data center.
And we estimate that in this data center, there's probably 30 million CPU cores per gigawatt. So there's a lot. And data center here is a combination of what sits right in the AI cluster, whether it's your head node to your accelerator or what sits next to a dedicated rack. But the math is basically about 30 million CPU cores per gigawatt, okay? And that is the world that we've seen coming up to about the last year or so or maybe even less.
And what has changed in the last number of months has been this explosion of agents. Agents are essentially tools that act on a request and come back with a full flow of answers. So it's not just a query for an answer, but it's actually work. It's run a payroll task, do a scheduler, go off and write a number of analyses relative to a tool flow and provide me an answer.
And we heard so much about OpenClaw here in the last few weeks as an example, and it's not the only example. Now why is this important? Why am I talking about this? Because as we move to agentic query, the number of tokens per human go up by 15x, if not greater. And if you think about the why of that, it's pretty straightforward.
Agents can generate requests, a, far faster than humans; and b, they don't sleep. They're at a 24/7. So the agents are now pushing these requests into the cloud into the data center and what's happening? The data center is choking. These accelerators, which are very expensive, that generate the tokens now need to send those tokens back through the cloud. Now if we think about what an agent is, an agent is a workflow.
As I said, it's a payroll task, it's a scheduler task. It's asynchronous. It is a lot of work relative to scheduling. That's what CPUs do. That is what CPUs do. That is not a work that can be done by an accelerator. The way to think about this is the accelerator generates the tokens, but it's almost like pushing a dump truck up and someone's got to move all that dirt. The CPUs are the pieces of equipment that move that dirt and Agentic AI only increases that.
So what you see is a huge bottleneck now in terms of flow. So what does that mean? You need more and more CPUs, lots of them. CPUs near the head node, CPUs next to the accelerator rack, more CPU racks inside the data center, you just need more. And by our calculations, and we think this may be a little bit light, goes up about 4x, 120 million CPU cores for that same gigawatt, okay? So in that same profile, we now need 120 million CPU cores.
Now we're trying to put 4x the amount of CPU cores in that same power envelope. Power is precious, obviously. The capital required for it is precious. So trying to put all those extra CPUs into a data center that is already stuffed to the brim with accelerators and CPUs doing the core work, that is a problem.
[Presentation]
Now every tough problem needs a good solution. And we're announcing our first silicon chip that we are selling to customers for revenue.
The Arm AGI CPU. Now this is a big, big deal. And I would love to tell you every feed and speed about the product right now, but Mohammad will kill me if I do that. So we'll go into a lot of detail about the product and how we conceived it and the why. But let me be clear, we are now in a new business for Arm, and we are supplying CPUs as chips. The biggest reason we're doing this is that our partners have asked for it.
But we're also really doing this to solve the problem I just described. As Agentic AI becomes mainstream, all of the work required to make that happen is CPU bound and you need a CPU that has the DNA of being born to run off a battery. So as I said, -- reason 0 is our partners have asked us for it. And one of the partners we work the closest with on this is Meta.
And I'm super pleased to have Santosh Janardhan with me today, who's going to do a better job than I can to tell you why Meta made that choice. Santosh?
Hey folks, welcome. Every year, I try to run the San Francisco half Marathon and they distribute the bits the day before you run right here. I can tell you, it looks very, very different compared to what I guess you're seeing now. So hi, my name is Santosh Janardhan. I lead infrastructure at Meta.
So what does that mean? Well, it means that we traditionally go and custom build and design our data centers, we run it. We custom build our hardware, our GPUs, our CPUs, and we'll get into that quite a bit, the network that connects them. And obviously, the software that sort of binds it all together. It's a fancy way to say that if your Instagram is not working, if your WhatsApp is not working, your message is not arriving, I am the person to blame.
Now if you think through our family of apps, that marks about 3 billion, 3.5 billion users that use our products daily. Every single day, about half of humanity logs into one of our sort of apps and hammers away at it. And as you can imagine, that creates a decent amount of scale. We run a decent amount of the Internet. And we're probably the only hyperscaler that's not a cloud, right?
So if you think about gigawatts of capacity, tens of millions of servers and increasingly, more and more, you're seeing bigger and bigger CPU and GPU, AI clusters. Rene sort of went through that quite a bit. I think it's interesting to go and look at how this has grown over the last years. AI clusters are a fairly new thing, really started sort of post-COVID 2022, '23, just after sort of a ChatGPT came along.
And our initial clusters were pretty small. In fact, when I look back for this, in '23, our initial clusters are about 128 GPUs. That's it. But as you can see, even in '23, we started scaling quite a bit. And as you sort of fast forward, it really started growing. The demand for this has far surpassed sort of what any one of us could imagine it was. We are in the tens of thousands of GPUs stitched together in a single cluster now.
And if I project it forward, and this is the thing I really want to set context, there is absolutely no sign of this slowing down. In fact, it's almost exponential. I only see it accelerating. right? So the demand is exponential. And as Rene was saying, power is constrained. I want to talk a little bit about some of our clusters. That is Prometheus. Prometheus is one of our bigger clusters. It will surpass well over 1 gigawatt by the end of this year.
There's a lot of GPUs, I can tell you. And we stitched together a bunch of data centers, a bunch of tent. That thing you see, the blue colored thing is actually a tent. It's a fancy tent, but still a tent, right? It's weatherproof. It can survive about a category 2 hurricane. But we're putting together all of this, stitching it together with a network.
And so to our developers, to our researchers, what they end up getting is about 1 gigawatt worth of an AI cluster in a single combined entity, which is pretty powerful, as you can imagine. But like I was saying, the demand is exponential to put it mildly. That is Hyperion. It is going to go up to 5 gigawatts in a few years. Most people can't fathom what a gigawatt is. A gigawatt is about 10 Palo Altos, the town of Palo Alto, 10x what it consumes is 1 gigawatt.
This will be 5. That's 50 Palo Altos, right? That's what we are building out. So it's going to go and go really, really big. So why do we do this? At Meta, we have this vision of delivering personal super intelligence for every single one of our users. This means creating models that can go and figure out the most relevant experience, the most engaging experience for every one of you on our platforms.
It means creating a personal assistant for every one of you, right? Now if you have to go and deliver sort of personal super intelligence to billions of people, what kind of systems would that take? We're talking about billions of people each using sort of exact amount of compute over and over. And like I said, over 3 billion users a day, right? This -- if this advances, there you go.
So what does it take? Well, it takes power, it takes land. It takes a decent amount of hardware, software, obviously. And most of all, it takes silicon, a lot of silicon, right? And this is why I think Arm is such a natural partner for us. What we want is a partner who can match our ambition who can match our cadence of velocity of innovation. And what we realized when we're sitting down with Arm is that they codevelop it.
They were as hungry as we were and most importantly for us, we were as power conscious and as efficient as we wanted sort of them to be. This is why while Arm is now the primary co-collaborator and the primary sort of partner, the CPU that we are ending up developing is pretty foundational. It can be -- it's not just a meta CPU. It's not just an Arm CPU. This is something that I think will end up being a foundational CPU for the whole ecosystem.
I think we are at the threshold of something pretty sweet here because you're going to hear more and more about sort of the constraints that data centers are facing. You're going to hear more and more about while the demand for compute is growing, the power is not growing at the exact same curve. So this marriage is -- I think about it personally as a win-win situation, right?
So it's extremely sort of heartening to see Arm moving on from not just being an IP license provider, but actually getting into the game of sort of building something that is production scale and production ready. Exciting times. 2 years, 3 years in the making, but I think about this as the sweetest of things take some time, but we're getting there. Now like I said, we are obsessed with efficiency.
And if you think about one of the biggest appeal that Arm has had over the years, it's power profile. Arm can go -- Rene had this fascinating experience that he was talking about taking 30 million cores instead of 30 million, now making it 120 million and fitting in the same power envelope. But that's one thing. You don't want to compromise on performance, right? This is the thing that I really want to make sure we drive here.
The biggest reason why we sat down with Arm and had this conversation was we want to put in a lot more cores per watt, but we do not want to compromise on the performance piece. That marriage is why I really think it's a win-win situation here. In fact, about 2, 2.5 years ago, we sat down with Arm, we actually first surveyed the market to see was there a CPU that could meet the specs that we wanted. If we met the performance, we couldn't get the power.
If we got the power, we couldn't get the performance. And this is why Arm ended up being such a partner. The ability to scale that Arm gives us when you push in a lot more cores. And if you think about personal super intelligence, if you think about the orchestration that Rene showed, you don't want to starve your CPUs nor do you want to starve your GPUs. That marriage that you end up doing is, I think, that most people are going to realize pretty soon.
Now the design point that we chose for this was something to minimize risk for this iteration. We wanted to make sure we get our first CPU right, get it working out of the box. But this is a multigenerational partnership. I just want to emphasize this. When we look at subsequent iterations of things that are already in the hopper of what we're going to build out, I truly believe that this chip is going to expand sort of the performance on multiple axis.
In fact, this ecosystem is actually going to be awesome. When you challenge the incumbents, you see innovation across the board. That, I think, is what all of us will end up achieving. Now I want to talk about why. I want to take this back, I guess, to why we do this work. But like I say, 3 billion, 3.5 billion people use our products every single day. This means there's your friends messaging each other on WhatsApp. It could be a small or medium business messaging the users on a platform.
It could be somebody going and doing an AI interaction with Meta AI. None of this is possible without infrastructure. Infrastructure has now become -- has gone from being on the backside of sort of technology innovation to being the enabler of technology innovation, right? AI is built on the backbone of infrastructure. So every interaction, every post, every feed, every call is done on the basis of what we build out on the back end.
And at least for us, we're custom building data centers, we're custom building hardware and custom building silicon. That's why Arm, I think, is such a big partner for us because for us, we want to squeeze every bit of performance out of what we build out. We think about optimizing things like performance per watt, performance per gigawatt, and Arm allows us to do that. It allows us to go and increase the efficacy of everything we build out.
Why? So that we can go and serve more users so that we can hopefully improve every one of your lives in some way, shape or form. And that's why I think Arm has been an awesome partner. So thank you, Rene and team. It's been absolutely a pleasure to work with you, and hopefully, we'll do this for years together. Thank you.
Amazing. Santosh, thank you. That was terrific. I have someone else I'd like to ask to join us to also talk about how they plan to use our Arm AGI CPU. And that's Kevin Weil from OpenAI. Kevin?
Thank you, sir.
Kevin, thanks for joining us.
Thank you for having me.
Welcome to Fort Mason. Have you been here before?
I have. There are a few conferences in the past.
Well, welcome. So first off, just tell us and tell me, why does -- why does this launch today matter to OpenAI?
Well, I thought you did a good job painting this. AI performance these days is system performance. And GPUs kind of get top billing wherever they go, but really the CPU is playing an incredibly important role as an orchestrator.
But also, I think as AI becomes more agentic, when you look at a rollout that an agent is doing, it's using it's using tools inside containers, that's CPUs, it's running Python scripts as it does -- as it performs skills. Those are CPUs. So the CPU plays an incredibly important role. And it's really the whole system together that makes it all possible.
Now your role at OpenAI is a pretty cool one, right? You're doing math and science and the stuff that's super compute heavy. And when you think about compute constraints, and I know when I talk to you or Sam or Mark or anyone at your company, it's I need more compute. Yes. Tell us about that.
Yes.
Tell us about that.
That is one of the most common things I hear inside OpenAI. I need more compute. It's kind of the coin of the realm. I mean the root of it is we have more demand from customers. We have more ideas internally that we want to experiment with. We have more things that we want to do than frankly, the industry can keep up with.
And when you get to the bottom of all this, it's certainly it's about silicon, but it's also about power. And so if you have a CPU that can draw less power, it could be just as performant, but use less power, it means you have more leftover for everything else that you want to do. That means more inference and more compute. That means more intelligence. And if there's one thing that I've learned in my couple of years now at OpenAI, it's that more intelligence leads us to be able to build better products for all of you.
The thing that I keep coming back to that I try and remind myself of all times is as amazing as the models are today, -- and every year, I'm blown away by the amount of progress we make. As amazing as the models are, the model that you use today is the worst AI model that you will ever use for the rest of your life. It's the worst AI model you're going to use for the rest of your life.
And a year from now, you're going to be -- you couldn't imagine coming back to the AI models of today because they're getting better at such a rapid pace, which just means there's basically infinite demand for intelligence. So we are not stopping from here.
And in your world, in your new role, where you're looking at verticals that are somewhat untapped today, math and science and things of that nature. When you think about the Arm AGI CPU or more broadly, what does more compute do for you in that space?
Well, I mean, the more compute you have, the more inference you're able to do, the longer the rollouts you're able to do. AI, as we go -- as we're sort of progressing from this world of AI as chat to AI solving harder and harder problems. And just like you or me, when you solve harder and harder problems, you're going to need to think a little bit longer.
So the more important problems we solve as we start to think about things like enterprise AGI, science, you're going to need more compute, which means if you can draw the power that you have, which will always be finite, you can draw that more efficiently. You can do more and we can solve more problems.
And for you personally, what are you most excited about broadly in terms of everything we see going on with AI?
Well, I mean, I kind of -- I think I have the coolest job in the world. I get to work on accelerating science with AI. And you've seen sort of a revolution in the past, even just 3 months with GPT 5.2, 5.4, codecs. I mean it used to be that people said, oh, well, these are just stochastic parsers. They're sampling from a distribution of data that they were trained on, but they can't do novel things.
Now we're seeing every day AI solve open problems in science, in mathematics and physics and biology. We're seeing AI help us understand the nature of the universe. We're seeing AI work for weeks on end using a robotic lab to run 36,000 different experiments to optimize the synthesis of a new protein faster and better than any human could. So it's an exciting world. I think science is going to move faster than ever, and it's all built on the kind of infrastructure that you're providing.
We are grateful for your support. Kevin, thanks.
Thank you so much.
Thank you. I love the idea that the model that we're using today is about as bad as it's going to get. That's crazy. I want to repeat, in case I wasn't crystal clear on the first go around. We are now delivering IP, CSS and chips. IP, CSS and chips. Contact your local sales representative. Will is here. He can be reached afterwards.
Now seriously, I talked earlier about the ecosystem of ecosystems and none of this could be done without the ecosystem that we have, particularly around Neoverse. We have many partners that we work with on the supply side, whether it's around memory or connectivity. But we've also got great customers who use our IP today.
And they are so supportive of what we're doing. Santosh talked about the demand. The market is so large. The demand is so significant that no one company can serve it. So what I'd like to do is rather than me going on and on and talking about it is have you hear from some of our partners and friends who I think you'll probably recognize a few.
[Presentation]
Charlie and Matt and Sanjay and even my old boss did better than I could in terms of talking about this. But this has not happened without a fantastic partnership and support from the ecosystem.
Now I know you are dying to hear about this product as am I. And I'm now going to turn over to Mohamed Awad, who is going to tell you all about the Arm's AGI CPU, and why it is absolutely amazing. Mohamed?
Thank you, Rene. Thank you, Santosh. Thank you, Kevin. Thanks to all of you. Thanks to the entire Arm team that made today possible. We have been looking forward to this, and it is so exciting to be here. It's so exciting to talk to you guys. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.
Rene talked about how the world is transitioning from sort of legacy data centers to AGI data centers to agentic data centers heading down this path and how the CPU is at the heart of it. We've designed our AGI CPU around 3 simple principles. We believe that's the heart of what we're doing. It's the heart of what we focused on. It's the heart of how we think about it.
First, performance, performance, performance. With this many threads going on, with this much work to do, with this much orchestration to happen, you can't slow down 24 hours a day, as Rene said, these agents are going to be running. And if they're not performing fast enough, then the rest of that infrastructure that's relying on it grinds to a halt. So we focused on performance. Second, we focused on scale.
The scale of what we're talking about here is just incredible. You heard Santosh talk about gigawatts, gigawatts, scale at the CPU level, scale at the Board level, scale at the rack level, scale at the warehouse level, all the way up. We focused on that. And finally, we focused on efficiency, maybe most importantly, because at the end of the day, with this much at stake, with this much compute we're trying to deploy, we're not going to get there unless we provide that performance, we provide that scale and we do it in an efficient package.
Those are the principles that have guided us. Wait for it. Those are the principles that have guided us, and we refuse to compromise. We've designed on all 3. Play the video now.
[Presentation]
I got to tell you, we are so, so proud. Our team has done a fantastic job on this, and it's really been designed for the ground up from this. Let me tell you a little bit more about what you just saw because I know there was a lot packed into that video.
Arm AI CPU starts off with our standard Neoverse V3 compute subsystem. That's the same compute subsystem we make available to the entire ecosystem, and we have other partners building on it. We're incredibly proud of that. We pack in 136 of those cores, which are very high-performance cores designed to be high performance. Our V-Series is our most performant line, and you've seen it set records across lots of different hyperscale implementations and those of other system providers.
We add to that a dedicated 2-megabyte L2 cache, and we support up to 3.7 gigahertz in frequency. But it's not just the CPU core. We thought about the entire system. As part of the design, we went with 96 lanes of PCIe Gen 6, which supports CXL 3, which means you can attach it to any accelerator you like. It also means that you can support things like memory expansion.
On the memory side, DDR5, with up to 6 gigabytes per second of memory per core, which can be sustained to each core. That is unique. That level of performance to every single core on both the I/O and the memory is unique to us in this type of a package, in this type of a performance point at this efficiency level. And it's not just about the bandwidth. It's not just about the I/O.
It's about the overall design. You see we designed the whole thing to be low latency so that you could get to less than 100 nanoseconds of latency from the memory. We did so by sticking with a dual chiplet design, each chiplet having all of the memory in the I/O directly on it rather than having to worry about complicated pneuma domains and multiple hops across the silicon. The result, it wasn't a typo in the slide, 300-watt TDP, 300 watts.
That is amazing. It's built on a 3-nanometer TSMC process and allows for that maximum compute density. This is what purpose-built design looks like. This is what we're so proud of. The AGI CPU is breaking records all over the place for performance, for scale and for efficiency. You saw some of that in the video. This is a standard OCP air-cooled rack. Nothing unique about it, nothing especially exotic about it, just OCP rack, standard, right?
That's our Head of OCP right there clapping, just so everyone's aware. 36 kilowatts, we pack in over 8,000 of these performance CPU cores. We do so by going to a 2-node 1-use server, 30 of them. You can't do that in other systems because the power consumption is just too high. This is setting records for air cooled. But you know what, if you want liquid cooled, we can do that, too.
Over 45,000 CPU cores and a 200-kilowatt, again, a standard rack from OCP. Over a petabyte of memory in this thing. And oh, by the way, fun fact on this one. It's a 200-kilowatt rack. We actually will consume about half that much power. We ran out of space. That's why we couldn't put more cores in there. Yes, it's pretty wild. The scale of this stuff is crazy. It's just really inspiring. These are standard racks, but there's nothing else like them.
To get to this level of efficiency, we really had to design the Arm AGI CPU from the ground up. And that's what I'm so proud about, and I'll tell you about in a minute. But before I get that, I want to just talk about the fact that these are standard racks because it's not only about the fact that we are using -- there we go. It's not only that we're taking from OCP and leveraging some of their platforms, we're also giving back.
We're in the process of making a bunch of contributions to OCP, things like Arm server ready, authenticated access control and diagnostic tools. And those contributions won't just be for the Arm AGI CPU, they will apply to the entire ecosystem. So it will make it available so that -- and they will be beneficial for all Arm-based platforms because it really is an ecosystem that we're building here. Arm has always been about nurturing and partnering with the ecosystem.
That's always been core to our identity. And those relationships are paying great dividends now. You saw the video that Rene played, and we're so grateful about all those partnerships. It's those partnerships actually, which have allowed us to build the Arm AGI CPU. Some of them are very long-standing. Partners like TSMC and Samsung and Micron and SK hynix, these are partners that we've been working with for well over -- for decades, literally for decades.
And we've also got some new partnerships, which is why we're so proud to say that the Arm AGI CPU -- went a little bit far there. Can you go back, please? -- is available now. Said it there. It doesn't say it there. Yes. So Arm available. Arm AGI CPU is available now, and we're so proud of that. It's actually in customers' hands. Customers are actually evaluating it as we speak.
We are ready to go. And we're so grateful for our partners, both on the ODM side, on the memory side, on the CPU side, on the manufacturing side who have helped us get to this point. We'll be in production by the end of the year, and we are excited to share that with you. We've got -- today, we've got firmware ready to go. We've got specifications ready to go. I talked to you about platforms. I talked to you about supply.
The one thing I haven't talked to you about yet is software. Let's talk about software. Now the next slide. Okay. So the reality is that Arm has been investing in data center software ecosystem for well over 15 years. I don't know if everyone understands how long we've been investing in the software ecosystem. For the beginning of that time, in the early days, it was just Arm investing in the software ecosystem.
And then something happened in 2019. We launched Arm Neoverse. And what Arm Neoverse did, that compute platform when we launched it, it allowed our customers to begin to launch products with a much lower barrier to entry. It allowed them to build their own silicon and start to coalesce around a common platform. And that started that software flywheel turning.
You see when tech leaders started adopting Neoverse, they started to optimize software around it. And the more of those tech leaders that adopted Neoverse, the faster that flywheel started to spin. Today, we've got AWS and Google and Meta and Microsoft and Oracle and NVIDIA, all investing alongside us in the software ecosystem. And that really was what allowed us to kind of really make some great traction in software.
Together, we've made Arm a first-class citizen on most modern software packages. And for our AI software ecosystem specifically, not only are we a first-class citizen, not only the software run well on Arm, software actually runs best on Arm. And the reason for that is very simple. For AI, the Arm software ecosystem, the Arm architecture is the primary CPU architecture in support of AI today.
In fact, the work we've done together with technology leaders means that tens of thousands of companies today run their software on Arm in the cloud on over 1.25 billion Arm Neoverse cores, which we've already shipped into data centers around the world. And that growth is only accelerating. That's actually the curve. You see Arm in the data center just works.
This is a key point. And I don't know if I'm making it well enough. So I'm going to bring somebody on stage who's got a little experience with software. Paul Saab has worked on Meta's infrastructure for over 18 years. He's one of the longest tenured employees at the company. There's a laundry list of things that he's been responsible for, including the adoption of flash storage all the way through the implementation of IPV6. Today, he's specifically focused on making AI more efficient in their infrastructure. And that's how we got to know each other.
Please welcome Paul Saab.
Thank you.
Thank you. Thanks for being here. Thanks for being here.
Thank you for having me.
You've told me the story before, but I really want to hear you guys have had a long history with Arm. -- goes back longer than just a couple of years ago. Can you maybe give everybody a little bit of a history lesson as to kind of how things started?
Yes. I think it was like 2014, 2015, we were looking at Arm. We were really excited about the efficiency wins that we were seeing. We were really back then just targeting our hack/PHP platform called HBM.
And it was working great. Like we made it work. It was performant and then the market kind of went away for us. We didn't really have a platform anymore. And so we just sort of tabled it. And we ripped all that code out. Everything in the code base was removed.
Okay. So that was 2014 and 2015. Obviously, something must have changed or you wouldn't be standing here today, right? So kind of where do we go from there?
Well, the story is kind of funny is like we were -- it was like post -- we're just coming out of the COVID bubble, and we had a bunch of people over at the house sitting around socializing and whatever. And I turned to one of my colleagues and I said, hey, I want to build -- I want to port the Arm again. I kind of had this gut feeling that the ecosystem in the world had changed.
And if we didn't start then we would be kind of playing catch-up when it actually happened. I didn't even ask my boss here for permission to buy these machines or even to start the project.
It's a good thing he approves now.
I don't really ask him permission for much to do. But yes, so we started -- we decided we found some machines out there. I went to some other colleagues. I said, hey, I want to port to Arm and he actually responded was like I was wondering when you were going to ask me. So we got the machines in, started porting, making great progress, but it was super slow.
We only had 8 machines. But we had this vast x86 ecosystem. And I went to the guys and I was like, hey, can we cross compile? And that's what we ended up doing. We ended up like working around the clock. It took us about 90 days, 5 engineers, and we had a full complete port, full system ready, but then we ran into another problem. We had no silicon to buy.
And this -- and Santosh referenced this that like we looked at every partner. And I think this is about the time you and I started talking.
So you'd say the market was a little bit underserved maybe for what you guys were.
I think underserved is an understatement.
But let's go back to the 90 days, 5 people. I mean, really -- it's okay. So I'm going to take your word for it. It was 90 days, 5 people, but that's just getting the code working. Like now you've got to now operationalize and get it performing. Like how is that going?
It's still a small team. I mean it's a lot of very devoted people bringing the systems up. From the time we finished that initial port in 2022, it took us about 2.5 years to actually get some sort of production worthy systems in that were TCO effective, performance per watt. And it was still a very small team.
And even today, it's really a small team that's focused on hyper optimizing. It started off with -- once those performance systems landed, it was really just one engineer until a few more came in. But that engineer never had written a single line of Neon, never written a single line of SVE and single-handedly took some of our most precious workloads and made them work on Arm.
And how is it performing now generally, like on typical workloads? Like how should we think about the performance in the general?
We're seeing performance that is basically equal to anything you can buy in the market today at massive performance per watt improvements.
That's great. That's great. Okay. My light is going to start blinking in a minute here. So I'm not going to keep you on stage too long. But I just -- first of all, I want to say thank you. But before I let you go, I guess one question for you.
If somebody is out there thinking about, hey, because there are tens of thousand companies that are using Arm already, but there's still a few that aren't. What sort of advice or guidance would you get? And what would be your kind of recommendation to them?
I think small focus teams doing the port. But like if I were starting the port today, I would be using an LLM. I mean what we're -- what I'm seeing some of the engineers that are now optimizing even existing Arm accelerated code, they're using LLMs to even boost those by 10% or 20%.
So the barrier to entry today like porting to Arm is, I would say, close to 0. because like the LLM is just going to do it for you. I don't even write any handwritten code anymore myself. It's just all LLM, all test cases all across the board. So like there's no excuse to port to Arm today.
Excellent. Thanks, Well, that was inspiring. I mean, Paul and I have obviously known each other for a little while. And the tenacity and what I hear around is once Paul gets something in his mind, it just kind of happens. So I appreciate all the support, Paul. Thank you. We're so part of the partnership that we've had with you and with Meta more broadly. So thank you very much.
What I love about that story is that they had a need, the market was underserved. And together, we worked together to go address it. The reality is the opportunity for the AGI CPU is broad. The software is ready, and we have a great product. And that's why we're seeing such great customer traction. We're seeing it in multiple areas.
If you think about companies like Cerebras and Positron and Rebellions, they're joining Meta and OpenAI by using Arm AGI CPU for things like managing head nodes that they're building or managing accelerators they're building, so a head node type use case or also for agentic orchestration and fan-out.
These are specific use cases that they're looking at. And then in the cloud, we see companies like SAP and SK Telecom and Cloudflare who are actively using or planning on deploying Arm as part of their infrastructure. These are just a few of the customers that are planning on using Arm AGI CPU. But rather than me tell you let's listen to them.
[Presentation]
I just want to say thanks again to all of our customers and some partners that are supporting us here today. The support we've gotten has really just been incredible. We built Arm AGI CPU for you, and we're so pleased with the response. You see Arm AGI CPU has been designed from the ground up to make sure that performance scales and power stays predictable.
That's the superpower, performance, scale and efficiency. And it's resonating with our partners. You see that's a very different approach than it's taken by x86. They've burdened their execution -- they are burdened with execution overhead and legacy feature support. They chose to focus on things like modularity, support for lots of different markets and esoteric use cases. We are ruthlessly focused on improving efficiency and reducing latency.
Ultimately, this is about architectural philosophy. We're not strapped to the past. We are not strapped to the past. Listen, we don't support Lotus Notes, okay? We just don't do it. We're focused on exactly and only what the AGI at data center needs, performance, scale and efficiency. Let me take you through that in a little more detail. It starts with performance. And performance for us is all about doing more work for every clock cycle.
This has always been an area. Great IPC has always been an area where Arm has shined. How much work do you get done every single cycle? Our AGI CPU absolutely shines here. Now what we see is that legacy CPUs, they sometimes try to compete on this vector by doing things like increasing the frequency, going to boost modes. But here's the reality. When you increase the frequency, what else do you increase? Power.
That's a problem. These boost modes are not sustainable across long periods of time. They're not sustainable across a chip. With Arm AGI CPU, what we give you is full performance sustainably all the time. And ultimately, that means scale. We linearly scale across cores, and our memory and I/O subsystem is specifically designed to be matched to those cores so that we can continue to feed them, 6 gigabytes per second of memory bandwidth to every single core. In order to scale, what we see some of these legacy architectures do is multi-threading, right?
What happens when you do multi-threading? You throw 2 jobs at the same core. That's how they get to a high thread count or try to get to a lot of devices. But the reality on that is your I/O and your bandwidth, that doesn't double. So you've just moved the bottleneck elsewhere. And oh, by the way, the CPU needs to be burdened with managing that back and forth. And so your performance degrades, you end up starving your processes.
What we see over and over again is that data center operators have to overprovision their data centers by 30% or more to deal with this lack of nonlinear scaling. This is an actual thing that happens. We take pride in not having to do that. There's actually a great demo of this out on the show floor. I encourage you all to check it out after the keynote. And then finally, we have this maniacal focus on efficiency.
Obviously, that's always been Mark's -- that's always been Arm's hallmark. It's always been something that we've been great at. We're leveraging all those techniques and methods and experience that we've built up over the decades around building incredibly efficient processors, incredibly efficient technology. And we're packaging that all up in a custom design specifically for this use case. AGI CPU is purpose-built without that legacy overhead because it all comes back to performance, scale and efficiency.
It's my efficiency bullet. At the end of the day, no wasted cycles, no stranded compute, no wasted power or silicon, and we're super proud of that. Let's look at what it means in practice. I'm going to show you the results, and they kind of speak for themselves. First, let's talk about sustained performance. What you see here is the performance that you can expect to achieve consistently. So this is consistent performance.
No performance throttling because you're over power budget, no memory or I/O contention. This is the sort of performance you're going to see. You can see with AGI CPU, it's world-class. You've got world-class performance, you can take to the bank. Next, let's talk about scale. How many threads or agents can you run in each rack? How much compute do you actually support with a fixed power budget with a fixed physical footprint. Remember those racks I showed you earlier, there you go.
That's where we land. And of course, there's efficiency, performance per watt. What's going on with my screens. They're flipping all over the place. Can you go back, please? Go back one more. So what you're seeing here, these are -- all of these charts are with SMT disabled. So these are single-threaded cores for us, single-threaded cores for them. So no multi-threading whatsoever, okay?
I told you what I thought about multi-threading, which is why we elected to show it to you this way. But oftentimes, what we hear is that multi-threading is going to improve that middle chart. It's going to allow for more scalability. Multi-threading is going to improve the performance per watt. Let's take a look at what happens if we turn multi-threading on, okay?
See, first of all, your performance goes down. That's the chart on the left. And the reason why the performance goes down is because you can't just add more work and expect performance to be the same. So that's pretty self-explanatory. And in this particular case, again, we've held it at kind of based on the memory and the I/O bandwidth available, kind of where you land. That second one, the sustained threads per rack.
The reality is that because of the limitations on the device and all of the bottlenecks, you end up in a scenario where you can't actually use all of those threads. Many are left idle. And then finally, performance per watt. Yes, there is a small improvement there, but not enough to change the calculus. At the end of the day, the results are clear.
This is a killer product and Arm is a class of its own. Performance, scale and efficiency. I'll say it one more time. This is what the Arm AGI CPU is built for. And the impact on the AI data center is going to be profound.
Let me turn it back to Rene. Thank you.
Thank you, Mohamed, and thank you, Paul, and your LLM agent that's going to do all the conversions for us. So we've shared a lot with you today, and I'm grateful for your patience and time. If there were just a few things to take away from this morning, I think it starts here. performance per watt, which translates to performance per rack. When you look at an x86 equivalent structure, same power delivery, 36 kilowatts, 2x the performance in the same power.
That's what you need to remember. For those of you who are paying for that power, there's another number you need to remember. If you think about 1 gigawatt of capacity and you think about the CapEx associated with that extra power you're spending at the sake of performance, it's up to $10 billion of CapEx. Obviously, these are serious numbers.
So again, the takeaway from the Arm AGI CPU is 2x performance per watt, probably more than 2x -- now you heard a number of comments in the videos, including Santosh, that when you embark on the kind of engagement and partnership we're talking about, while a day like this and an event like this is wonderful and amazing and we're talking about a great product, it's really not about the day, but it's about the future and commitment to a road map.
So we are committing to future generations of this product. Arm AGI CPU 2 is coming out soon as is Arm AGI CPU 3. As you heard in the videos again, these are multigenerational engagements. We are investing a lot. Our customers are investing a lot. The ecosystem is investing a lot. We are absolutely committed to a road map and a future around this product line. In addition, we will continue the CSSs around these products.
And as Mohamed mentioned, one of the big benefits of the CSSs are the speed it allows our customers to get to market. It also enables a lot of benefit for us as well. So the CSS road map will continue. So I want to close a little bit around what we think the financial opportunity is for Arm. So before this day, our business has been IP and IP compute subsystems.
And we have been doing extremely well in that business, far better than what we had talked to investors about 2.5 years ago when we did our roadshow for the IPO, we're actually ahead of that. When we look at the AI data center business, that represents today about a $3 billion TAM. And now I'm just talking about roughly the royalties. So I mentioned on one of the earnings calls that the cloud AI business will probably be our largest business in a few years.
And this is really driven by all of the growth that Mohamed talked about, the deployment of 1.25 billion Neoverse cores and forward. When we think about our business going forward, the Arm AGI CPU and as Mohamed mentioned, we have committed customers, Meta, OpenAI, Cloudflare, SAP, F5, customer you saw in the video. When we think forward about what is the market opportunity for this business, it is a dramatic sea change for the opportunity.
When we look at what's going on with Agentic AI, the growth of CPUs, the benefit that power-efficient CPUs bring to the data center, we think this represents about $100 billion TAM for us in the future. So today, it is all about the Arm AGI CPU. But there will be some tomorrows. And don't ask me about tomorrow today, but there will be some tomorrows.
And we think this opportunity to take the work we've done across all of the markets, as you've heard in the video from edge to cloud, from milliwatts to gigawatts, we think we have an opportunity to address greater than a $1 trillion TAM by the end of the decade. So we've got some work to do, but I couldn't be more proud of what our company has achieved, grateful to the ecosystem that helps us achieve it and the customers that are now committed to buy our product.
I want to close by saying that we stand on the shoulders of our ecosystem. None of this is possible without the ecosystem that we have nurtured for 35-plus years, many of you who are here today and watching on video. Thank you for attending today. Arm is everywhere, and we appreciate your support.
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Arm — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Arm Holdings plc
Arm — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Arm Holdings plc
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Kernbotschaft: Arm kündigt mit dem "Arm AGI CPU" den strategischen Markteintritt als Chipanbieter an (neben IP und Compute Subsystems). Ziel: agentische/AGI‑Datenzentren adressieren, mit klarem Fokus auf Performance, Skalierbarkeit und Performance‑pro‑Watt. Starke Partner (Meta, OpenAI, Cloudflare u.a.), Evaluation jetzt, Serienproduktion bis Ende des Jahres.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Geschäftsmodell: Erweiterung vom Lizenz‑/Royalty‑Modell zur direkten Chiplieferung; CSS (Compute Subsystems) bleiben zentral und treiben Royalty‑Wachstum (CSS ≈20% der Royalties laut Vortrag).
- Produktorientierung: Zweckoptimierte CPU‑Architektur für AGI‑Orchestrierung: Verzicht auf Legacy‑Ballast, Fokus auf sustained single‑thread‑Leistung, lineare Skalierbarkeit und geringe Latenz.
- Ökosystem & Roadmap: Multigenerationen‑Plan (AGI CPU 2/3 angekündigt), enge Co‑Entwicklung mit Hyperscalern und OCP‑Integration zur schnellen Aufnahme in Standard‑Racks.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Technische Daten: Basierend auf Neoverse V3: 136 Kerne, 3nm Fertigung, 300 W TDP, DDR5 mit bis zu ~6 GB/s pro Kern, 96× PCIe Gen6 mit CXL3, dual‑Chiplet‑Design für <100 ns Speicherlatenz.
- System‑Metriken & Verfügbarkeit: Beispiel: 36 kW OCP‑Rack mit >8.000 Performance‑Kernen; 200 kW Rack mit >45.000 Kernen (laut Demo). Produkt "available now" zur Evaluierung; Produktion bis Jahresende geplant. Management sieht AI‑Cloud‑Royalties heute ≈$3 Mrd. und schätzt $100 Mrd. TAM für diese CPU‑Sparte, langfristig >$1 Bio. Ende Dekade (Prognose).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikationen: Klarer strategischer Schritt, der Arm in höhermargige, volumenstarke Server‑Silicon‑Märkte bringen kann. Positiv: starke Partner‑Commitments und ein bereits ausgebautes Software‑/Neoverse‑Ökosystem. Risiken: Serienfertigung, Supply‑Ramp, Margendruck und harte Gegenreaktion der x86‑Anbieter; Umsatzwirkung könnte erst mittelfristig (Royalties lagging) sichtbar werden. Anleger sollten Adoption, Produktions‑Timeline und reale Performance/Total‑Cost‑of‑Ownership im Blick behalten.
Arm — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Arm Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Webcast and Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Jeff Kvaal, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you very much, and welcome to our third quarter fiscal '26 earnings call. On the call are Rene Haas, Arm's Chief Executive Officer; and Jason Child, Arm's Chief Financial Officer.
During the call, Arm will discuss forecasts, targets and other forward-looking information about the company and its financial results. All of these statements represent our best current judgment about future results. Our business is subject to many risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. In addition to any risks that we highlight during this call, important risk factors that may affect our future results and performance are described in our registration statement on Form 20-F filed with the SEC. Arm assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements.
We will refer to non-GAAP financial measures during this discussion. Reconciliations of certain of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in our shareholder letter, as can a discussion of certain projected non-GAAP financial measures that we are not able to recognize -- reconcile without unreasonable effort and supplemental financial information. Our earnings materials are available at investors.arm.com.
And with that, I'll turn the call over to Rene.
Thank you, Jeff, and welcome, everyone. Arm delivered a record third quarter. Revenue grew 26% year-on-year to $1.24 billion, our fourth consecutive billion-dollar quarter. Royalties increased 27% to a record $737 million, driven by record units with strength across AI and general-purpose data center. Our data center royalty revenue has grown more than 100% year-on-year, and we expect in a few years, our data center business to be our largest business, larger than mobile.
License revenue was $505 million, up 25% year-on-year as more leading companies signed high-value licenses for next-generation technologies. That performance lifted our non-GAAP EPS to $0.43, even as we continue to increase R&D investment.
Our performance this quarter reinforces the strength of the Arm platform and our continued commitment to investing in innovation across a broad spectrum of compute technologies. The fundamentals of the Arm business have never been stronger.
AI is changing how compute is built and where it runs across cloud infrastructure, edge devices and physical systems. The industry requires platforms to deliver high performance, energy efficiency and flexibility across a broad range of power envelopes and use cases. Only Arm's compute platform can address these demands, supporting AI workloads ranging from milliwatts to gigawatts.
To align with how our customers deploy AI, we've organized ourselves around 3 business units: Edge AI, Physical AI and Cloud AI. Edge AI comprises the smartphone and IoT businesses, Physical AI includes automotive and robotics, and Cloud AI encompasses data center and networking.
A key driver of our royalty momentum is Compute Subsystems, or CSS. We launched CSS nearly 2.5 years ago, and demand continues to exceed expectations. This quarter, we signed 2 additional CSS licenses for Edge AI tablets and smartphones, bringing us to 21 CSS licenses across 12 companies. Five customers are now shipping CSS-based chips, including 2 shipping a second-generation platform. And the top 4 Android smartphone vendors are shipping CSS-powered devices.
CSS helps customers get to market faster by lowering integration risk and complexity. As demand scales, it increases the value that Arm delivers per chip, creating a significant tailwind to royalties.
In Cloud AI, the shift towards inference is reshaping data center design. And increasingly, that inference is agent-based. These workloads are persistent, always-on and power constrained. This is a fundamental change in how AI systems operate. This is because agent-based AI requires coordination across many agents running continuously, and that the CPU can only do coordination. As this model scales, customers need CPU chips with higher core counts and better power efficiency to operate continuously within tight power and cost constraints.
This trend directly benefits Arm. Arm-based CPU chips deliver industry-leading performance per watt, enabling customers to scale core counts and run always-on AI workloads. We're now seeing this trend play out in the market where Neoverse CPUs have surpassed 1 billion cores deployed, and Arm's share amongst the top hyperscalers is expected to reach 50%.
Leading hyperscalers are launching new products with increased core counts to address this opportunity. AWS launched its fifth generation Graviton processor with 192 cores, doubling the core count from Graviton4, and delivering 25% higher performance and up to 33% lower latency versus Graviton4.
NVIDIA's next-generation Vera CPU features 88 Arm-based cores, up from 72 cores in the Grace CPU generation.
Microsoft introduced Cobalt 200, built on the higher-performance Arm Neoverse CSS V3 with 132 cores, up from 128 cores in Cobalt 100, which was based on the prior Neoverse N2 platform.
And Google previewed its second Arm-based server processor with Axion-powered N4A instances delivering up to 2x better price performance and 80% better performance per watt in the comparable x86 offerings. Google has now migrated over 30,000 applications to the Arm instruction set.
We are also seeing more integrated platform designs to improve system efficiency, often translating into more AI output or more tokens per watt within the same power envelope.
AWS integrates Graviton with Arm-based Nitro DPUs and Trainium accelerators, and NVIDIA pairs GPUs with Arm-based Grace CPUs and Arm-based BlueField DPUs with its transition to Vera, delivering a 6x increase in DPU compute capability over the prior generation.
Together, these trends make clear that as AI inference becomes more agent-based, the importance of CPUs is only increasing. And as a result, Arm's role at the center of the modern data center architecture continues to grow rapidly.
Outside the data center, AI is now moving to everyday devices. The edge and physical AI markets are opening up new growth opportunities. These systems operate in real time under strict power, safety and reliability constraints, where efficient and predictable general-purpose compute is essential.
Arm's strengths, power efficiency, predictable latency and always-on operation are best suited to on-device agents that continue to monitor inputs, prioritize tasks, and invoke models when needed to preserve battery life. Our common software foundation across devices, vehicles and robotics let customers scale deployments without rebuilding software stacks.
We now see that momentum in customer innovation. Rivian announced its third-generation Autonomy Computer based on the Arm-based Rivian Autonomy Processor. The first production vehicle based on a custom Arm chip and the first to deploy Armv9 in production car. Tesla's upcoming Optimus humanoid robot is also powered by a custom Arm-based AI processor, and platform from leading silicon providers like NVIDIA's Jetson Thor and Qualcomm's Dragonwing platforms are scaling Arm-based solutions across robotics and autonomous systems.
To close, AI is moving to every environment and every powered envelope. Arm provides the foundation for that shift, a platform that spans milliwatts to gigawatts, and a developer ecosystem over 22 million developers, more than 80% of the global total. We are now seeing the results of strategies we put in place years ago, focusing on the data center, power efficiency and compute subsystems. As a result, as more and more applications move to agentic AI, Arm will be the compute platform connecting cloud, edge and physical AI use cases.
And with that, I'll now hand it over to Jason.
Thank you, Rene. We have delivered another strong quarter. Total revenue grew 26% year-on-year to a record $1.24 billion, marking our fourth consecutive quarter above $1 billion.
Royalty revenue exceeded our expectations, growing 27% year-on-year to a record $737 million. The biggest growth contributors were smartphones with higher royalty rates per chip, and in the data center, where our revenues continue to grow triple digits year-on-year as we see ongoing share gains from custom hyperscaler chips.
Royalty revenue from Edge AI devices such as smartphones continues to grow much faster than the market. All the major Android OEMs are now ramping smartphones with chips based on both Armv9 and CSS.
In Cloud AI, data center royalty revenue continues to double year-on-year with the ramp of Arm-based chips by all major hyperscaler companies. We are getting a further benefit as the build-out of these new AI data centers are driving increased deployment of networking chips, particularly DPUs and SmartNICs, where Arm has a very high market share.
In Physical AI, the automotive market grew double digits year-on-year and contributed to our strong royalty performance. Overall revenue -- royalty revenue growth continues to reflect Arm's increasing royalty per chip and rising market share.
Turning now to licensing. License and other revenue was $505 million, up 25% year-on-year. Growth was driven by strong demand for next-generation architectures and deeper strategic engagements with key customers. We signed 2 new Arm ATA or Arm Total Access agreements during the quarter and 2 new CSS licenses, both with leading smartphone handset OEMs. These agreements reflect the continued investment by our customers in our next-generation Arm technology.
Of the $505 million of license revenue, our agreement with SoftBank or technology licensing and design services contributed $200 million.
SoftBank has become an increasingly important customer as they build out their AI compute strategy, including their recent acquisitions such as Ampere and Graphcore. We believe that the revenues we are receiving from SoftBank are durable as they relate to current generations that will continue as SoftBank executes on its road map.
As always, licensing revenue varies quarter-to-quarter due to the timing and size of high-value deals. So we will continue to focus on annualized contract value, or ACV, as a key indicator of the underlying licensing trend. ACV grew 28% year-on-year, maintaining a strong momentum following the 28% year-on-year growth we reported in Q2 and Q1. This continues to be above our long-term expectation of mid- to high single-digit growth for license revenue.
Turning to operating expenses and profits. Non-GAAP operating expenses were $716 million, up 37% year-on-year due to strong R&D investment. These investments in R&D reflect ongoing engineering headcount expansion to support customer demand for more Arm technology, including innovation in next-generation architectures, compute subsystems, and into our exploration into chiplets and complete SoCs.
Non-GAAP operating income was $505 million, up 14% year-on-year. This resulted in non-GAAP operating margin of about 41%.
Non-GAAP EPS was $0.43, close to the high end of our guidance range, driven by both higher revenue and slightly lower OpEx than expected.
Turning now to guidance. Our guidance reflects our current view of our end markets and our licensing pipeline. For Q4, we expect revenue of $1.47 billion, plus or minus $50 million. At the midpoint, this represents revenue growth of about 18% year-on-year. We expect royalties to be up low teens year-on-year and licensing to be up high teens year-on-year. We expect our non-GAAP operating expense to be approximately $745 million and our non-GAAP EPS to be $0.58, plus or minus $0.04.
The strength of customer demand we are seeing today, combined with a growing base of long-duration contracts at structurally higher royalty rates, provides increasing confidence in our future revenue profile. This confidence allows us today to invest in next-generation architectures, compute subsystems, and silicon that are needed to enable higher performance, greater efficiency and more AI use cases. We believe this virtuous cycle of customer demand and ambitious investment positions Arm for sustained growth over the long term.
Just before we get into the Q&A portion of the call, as you will have seen, Arm is hosting an event on March 24, and I'm sure there will be interest about what we are planning to announce. There will be a million ways of asking what we may or may not be announcing. Please be patient, as we won't be providing any details ahead of the event.
With that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for the Q&A portion of the call.
[Operator Instructions] And your first question today comes from the line of Joe Quatrochi from Wells Fargo.
2. Question Answer
Rene, you touched upon in the prepared remarks, but I was kind of curious if you could just maybe give us a little more detail of just how you view Arm's role and the role of the CPU in AI and cloud data centers? And just how does that change as we start to see more proliferation of AI agents?
Yes. Thank you for the question. There is a number of shifts taking place in the data center, as I mentioned in the opening remarks. First off, as the shift moves away from exclusively training to predominantly inference, that is a workload that launches a number of different solution paths. One of them that we're seeing is around agentic AI. And the agents that are actually talking to other agents or having to control workflows such as service tickets or other work streams, those are very, very well suited for CPUs because CPUs are very, very power efficient, always-on, very, very fast latency. And what we are seeing is already an increased deployment of CPUs to address that problem.
Now it's just not CPUs that are good for that problem. It's the number of CPUs you have. And obviously, given the power constraints inside a data center, the efficiency of those CPUs. So for all those reasons, that's a very positive tailwind for Arm. And in particular, we're seeing those proof points now, as I mentioned, where the latest generation of CPU chips from the hyperscaler providers and also NVIDIA have increased the number of cores, and we think that only continues.
And just as a follow-up, maybe one for Jason. I know you're not giving fiscal '27 commentary today, but just how do we think about the puts and takes of this royalty revenue growth and the risks that are associated with the potential like demand destruction that we're seeing in consumer electronics potentially from memory?
Yes. Yes, that's a -- it's a great question and something we spend a lot of time looking at. So in particular, I think MediaTek last night talked about something like around a 15% reduction in unit volume for next year. And that's pretty consistent with what we've heard from other smartphone and handset providers around what they think the memory supply chain constraints could provide.
And so we've done our own kind of analysis of it. And what's interesting is we're hearing from our various partners that they're really trying to make sure that they protect the high end of the market, so the premium and flagship portion of the market, which is great for us because that's where all of our CSS and v9 royalties are, so the highest by a significant margin.
And then on the very bottom end of the segment, that's where most of the supply chain constraints will probably be felt. For us, that's v8 and even older generations that are dramatically smaller royalties. So I think if you were to say, what if there's a 20% reduction in volumes next year, for us, that would translate to probably somewhere around a 2% or 4% at worst impact on smartphone royalties. If you then project that across the whole business, it'd be a 1%, maybe 2% negative impact on total royalties.
The good news is, because, as Rene mentioned, the Cloud AI or infrastructure business has been continuing to grow ahead of our expectations, it's actually growing at a level that's more than compensating for those kinds of risks on the memory and mobile side. So I think we have a very good setup for next year, and not too concerned about at least the royalty revenue impacts that we might see from these unit volume and supply chain constraints.
Your next question today comes from the line of Simon Leopold from Raymond James.
First one is, I'm hoping you're able to shed some light on this, but wondering what your thoughts on are whether or not SoftBank will potentially need to sell some of the Arm stock that it holds to finance some of the investments you talked about making and how we should think about the implications for your shares? Then I've got a quick follow-up.
Sure. Thank you for the question. That's one that we read a lot about, and there's a lot of speculation on chat boards and whatnot about that. I can tell you from talking to Masa about this, and I would quote him directly, he is not interested in selling 1 share of Arm stock. And that doesn't mean 2 shares or 3 shares. That means any shares. He's very long on the company. He's very, very bullish, as am I, about our long-term prospects. And he has no interest in selling. There's been a lot of writing about it, but I can tell you from a direct conversation and direct conversations, plural, that I've had with him, that's just not the case.
And then just as a follow-up, you've provided a forecast for some deceleration in the royalty revenue growth. I'm just wondering if you could elaborate on the trend? Is it more difficult comps? Or is there something else shifting that we should be considering?
Yes, this is Jason. I'll take that. I would say the royalty trends for next year are pretty consistent in absolute dollars, maybe a little bit lighter just because of what you're now seeing on the memory shortage side, like I said, maybe 1% or 2% impact largely due to that. The growth percentage is down a bit because of the overperformance that we saw last quarter and expected to see again this quarter. So we are coming off of a stronger comp.
Now the obvious question then is because you've had stronger growth both in Q3, we thought we'd grow about 20%. We grew 27%, so a $30 million beat or more. And now seeing some of that flow through into Q4.
Will that flow into next year as well? Right now, too -- I'd say, too hard to say. There's a lot of talk about memory and even wafer shortages. And so that stuff doesn't affect us as much as many of the full fabless semiconductor companies.
But -- so I'd say right now, we'll give you updates as we learn more. But overall, the absolute magnitude of royalties for next year are expected to be pretty close to what we were thinking what we said earlier this year. But we'll see if this recent strength continues and allows us to take things up as we proceed in next year.
[Operator Instructions] And your next question today comes from the line of Vivek Arya from Bank of America.
I actually just had 2 clarifications. One is, I was hoping you could quantify the exact amount of data center revenue? I know you said that it doubled, but how much is it? So we can get a sense for, right, what the magnitude is versus the overall company sales.
And then the clarification -- the other clarification I had was, I think you mentioned SoftBank contributed $200 million. I somehow recall the original expectation was about $178 million, $180 million. And if you could clarify that? And what are you embedding for March and onwards from that contribution?
Yes. The -- well, the $178 million last quarter, it was -- so no new deals were signed. It's just the deals from last quarter, it was $178 million for the quarter. The full quarter has the impact now is about $200 million. So nothing new, it's just a full quarter impact. I would expect that $200 million going forward -- is the right run rate going forward.
And the data center revenue?
Yes, data center revenue, we provide the details on that once a year. I think at the beginning of this year, we said it had just hit double digit. And because it's growing so much faster than the rest, I assume it's going to be somewhere in kind of the teens to probably getting closer to 20%.
As Rene said, over the next 2 to 3 years, you should expect to see it get similar or maybe even larger than smartphone business, which is in the kind of 40% to 45% of total business.
Your next question comes from the line of Mehdi Hosseini from Susquehanna Financial.
Yes. Just as a follow-up to the smartphone topic. Two, how should I think about the migration to the v9 higher royalty is going to help offset the lower smartphone units?
Yes. So I'll let Jason provide the detail. But again, as a reminder, with the way that we handle v9 for smartphones, particularly v9 CSS is, every smartphone cycle, we deliver a brand-new CSS. Each time we deliver the brand-new CSS, the royalty rates are generally increased year-on-year.
So when we think about v9 in smartphones, the appropriate way to think about it is it's all CSS. It's all moving to CSS now. And as a result of that, we get price every year with the royalty increase year-on-year.
Yes. And in terms of the guidance kind of that I just gave in terms of if there's a minus 20-degree unit impact, there's at most a kind of 4% to 6% revenue impact, just specifically within smartphones. That would be incorporating the higher royalty rate per unit that's already been contractually agreed to and that we assume we'll be shipping later in the year.
Your next question comes from the line of Vijay Rakesh from Mizuho.
Rene and Jason, just a quick question on the -- on your partnerships. As your partner, SoftBank executes on its AI road map, should we be expecting like an Arm custom ASIC down the road given the substantial partnership that you have with them with the $200 million a quarter NRV that you're getting? How should we look at that, the timing and how that will impact the fiscal '27, let's say?
Yes, nothing. Hi, Vijay. Nothing we can say specific about any products that you're asking about. So unfortunately, not much more we can say there.
Your next question today comes from the line of Krish Sankar from TD Cowen.
Rene, I just wanted to find a little bit about how to think about Arm's IP penetration rates or percentage rate in AI data center semis today? And where do you think that evolves over the next 3 to 5 years?
It's a wonderful question. I think what we're going to do in the next 3 years is a evolving of how these data center chips are built out. What do I mean by that?
Today, you've got a classic architecture, where you've got a CPU, which connects into an accelerator. The CPU does some work, the GPU does some work. I think what we're going to start to see over time is a morphing of the workloads that the CPU takes that the GPU used to do. And as I mentioned you go to agentic inference, that's going to mean more CPUs, which could be more different custom chips that are CPU-based.
In addition, the inference workloads which are dominated by 2 pieces of area of work, specifically prefill and decode, you could see some specific solutions around that, that continue to extend things like what a Grok has done, for example, you could still see more kind of innovation across that area.
I also think -- you asked about the data center, but I think we're going to start to see a lot of that migrate to the smaller form factors, where different combinations of IP and solutions are going to be needed to address areas where power is much more constrained, particularly around physical AI, and then the lower edge devices.
So I think there's a lot of innovation to come in solving the AI problems because one thing that's clear is that these AI workloads are going to be running on every single piece of hardware that has compute. And because the vast majority of the compute platforms out there today are already Arm-based gives us a gigantic opportunity to move where that goes.
Your next question comes from the line of Harlan Sur from JPMorgan.
On Compute Subsystems, obviously, you continue to drive solid momentum with 2 more licenses added in the quarter. The value-add of CSS that we hear from your customers is resonating extremely well, right? It improves their productivity, it improves their overall system performance. They're willing to pay a higher licensing fee and higher royalty fee for that value add, as you mentioned.
I'm curious to know what percentage of the royalty mix is CSS today? And what proportion of the royalty revenue could it become over the next 2 to 3 years?
Yes. Thank you, Harlan. I'll let Jason take that.
Yes. So Harlan, yes, a lot of progress on CSS with the 5 CSSs that have actually already been turned into silicon and actually something we're receiving royalties on. It's had a material impact.
I think of CSS last year, I think it was just kind of approaching double digit. And this year, it's well into double digit. Think of it as being into the teens. And then I would say over the next couple of years, I expect it to probably -- it could be upwards of 50%.
But we'll have to see. I think the primary drivers for acceleration of CSS has really been mostly around our customers needing to shorten the cycle time, and CSS that cuts cycle time about half.
And so stay tuned, but I would expect to continue to see that acceleration occur and to continue to see. I think right now, every CSS customer that's had a chance to sign up for the next version or kind of renew for the next generation has all done that. So that's certainly a really key indicator of the value that, as you said, customers are seeing from it.
Your next question comes from the line of Charles Shi from Needham & Company.
I think going back, maybe it was 1 year, you guys kind of soft guided FY '26 and FY '27 growth should be around 20%. You're definitely delivering that FY '26. We definitely will see how we think about FY '27, about the quarter. But any early view you guys can provide FY '28? I know I'm asking -- and plus 2 years here, but you guys did do that going back about a year, and I was hoping if you can provide any early view into the outer year?
Yes. I would say for '26, as you said, we had said at least 20%, and I think now we're guiding to 22% at the midpoint. So as you said, exceeding that target.
For '27, not guiding on full year, but in terms of kind of at a high level, the 20% growth rate, I think, certainly is very reasonable and not anything that we back away from.
In terms of '28, we haven't drawn anything out there yet. I'd say maybe stay tuned. There are opportunities as we contemplate other possible offerings and what that could do to our numbers is still something we're working through. So we'll give you an update on '28 sometime down the road.
Your next question today comes from the line of Srini Pajjuri from RBC.
A couple of clarifications, guys. On the memory impact, I guess, you talked about -- you quantified that impact. But Jason, the outlook for the next quarter on the royalties being up low teens, do you think memory is already having an impact on the smartphone volumes? Is that why it's only up low teens?
And then to add to that, you talked about CSS accelerating. I'm just curious, given the pressure on the bill of materials, do you anticipate or are you seeing any impact in terms of the adoption of CSS and v9, I guess, as you look into the next few quarters given the bill of materials challenges?
Yes. Thanks for the question. I'll take the second part first, and then Jason will take the first part on memory. Question was regarding CSS pricing impacting bill of materials. No, we're not seeing any of that at all. What we are seeing is that the value gain by accelerating time to market outweighs anything that customers are considering. Given the complexity of building these chips, the increased cycle times through the fabs going from 5-nanometer to 3-nanometer to 2-nanometer means that the design windows are really short, and missing the first few months of shipment or having any kind of delay is critical to profits.
So based on that, we've really not had many discussions with anyone regarding the BOM impact. The value that we create relative to profits gained by the customer is what really drives the decision point.
And then regarding the memory impact on the next quarter, I'll let Jason address that.
Yes. The memory impact, very minimal, I would say. And that's not really the driver of the guidance on the growth. The absolute growth in royalties has much more to do with typically, seasonality. Our Q4 or calendar Q1 is always one of the slower quarters. And the one thing that happened a year ago is we did have a MediaTek chip come out in Q4 of a year ago -- our Q4, calendar Q1 of a year ago, which was unusual timing. So we are lapping that. So it's much more about kind of what we're comping, and to some extent, seasonality.
But overall, full year royalties, I would expect to be in that north of 20% range, which is kind of what we were expecting early in the year and still expect Q4 or calendar Q1 to be stronger than what we previously expected. So it's really -- the year-on-year growth piece is really more of a seasonality/comping kind of an unusual onetime release from a year ago.
And your next question comes from the line of Andrew Gardiner from Citi.
Jason, perhaps one for you. On the OpEx side, we've clearly seen significant investment in the business, particularly in R&D, given everything that you guys are doing.
You've given us a bit of a steer on fiscal '27 revenue growth. Clearly, R&D has been growing at a faster rate than revenue in the current period. Is that something we can expect to continue into fiscal '27 given everything that you guys have got in front of you? Or will we actually start to see R&D growth slow relative to the revenue?
Sure. So a little early to talk full year. I can tell you right now, our expectation is that the Q4 to Q1 step-up will be similar to last year. I think last year, it was low double-digit sequential growth, and you should see the same kind of sequential growth as a year ago.
Right now, I would say the growth after Q1 is probably going to moderate more so than it did this year. We did see pretty significant step-ups throughout the year. I don't expect there to be quite a significant step-ups for next year. But as we progress more into next year, we'll give you a little more color, but that's the high level, I'd say, modeling approach that we take right now.
And the question comes from the line of John DiFucci from Guggenheim Securities.
Rene, you've seen a lot in technology over the years. So I'm going to ask a question that's kind of a little bit self-serving here. I'm curious how you'd characterize what's happening in the stock market recently as it pertains to the software sector? And if you might, since you're at least partially a software company, how does AI affect your business other than driving demand? In other words, how should we think of how you'll leverage AI in the design of chips and systems?
Yes. Well, regarding the stock market's reaction to the software company, I had agreements with that. I probably would be in a different position than the one that I have. And I'm not sure I can -- I'm in a great position to discuss what the near-term impacts are to the stock market. But what I can say after watching and being in technology my entire career, we do see these kind of things time to time where investors or the market gets jittery around what the broad impacts are, when we're in the midst of fairly significant technology disruptions.
I can say, for our business, given the fact that we are an intellectual property provider that goes into physical things, chips, AI is not going to replace a physical chip anytime soon. They're kind of linked at the hip, if you will, relative to -- you need the hardware to run the software.
I think there's just enormous opportunity, however, still for growth in the overall sector because when I think about where AI actually is operating truly inside the enterprise, it's very lean. When I think about our own company and things like our payroll systems or purchase order systems or our SAP systems, there's some AI going on there, but not nearly enough to be massively transformative yet. And I think part of that is just the complexity of integrating these large systems and changing software workloads.
So I think we're in super early days, to be quite frank, and having been in technology, again, my entire career and have seen lots of technology disruptions, this one feels a little bit like the final frontier in terms of the amount of productivity and change that AI can benefit, and we're still all trying to get our arms around it.
If you just even look at the numbers of spend, I heard earlier today, Google or Alphabet announcing $180 billion CapEx spend. That used to be what semiconductor companies used to spend a year on fabs times a few. So we're in uncharted waters, and maybe that's why you're seeing some jittery numbers relative to how the market reacts. But from where we sit, there's just huge demand for compute, and that's what Arm does. And so I think in the long game, I'm super excited about the opportunity for us.
We'll now take the final question for today. And the final question comes from the line of Timm Schulze-Melander from Rothschild & Co.
It's a 2-parter for Rene, please. You've talked a lot about inference in the AI future. You just referenced the Grok architecture. And I really wanted to ask you what are your thoughts or how should we think about SRAM, SRAM at the edge, some of these different memory structures and what they could mean for your business?
And then the second part is just the cadence of power efficiency for Arm. Is there something that we should think about in terms of the average annual or per v8 to v9 energy for compute efficiency that you see going forward?
Yes. So I'll take the latter part first because it kind of bridges into the first. We look at how to address power efficiency 24/7. And the reason for that is increasingly, as you get into these smaller form factors, the one thing that you don't get much liberty on is battery life and space. So as a result, we have to always think about operating in a constrained environment where you're adding more and more demand of compute. When you add AI onto something that already has to drive a display or open an app or recognize a voice, it's a constant thing that we think about and worry about.
I think we're very well positioned to address it because we are the incumbent in many of these platforms. So it is something we spend a lot of time and energy on.
To your first part of the question on SRAM and different memory technologies, absolutely, that's something we're highly involved in. To oversimplify a computer, a CPU needs memory, and memory needs a CPU. So when you're designing a piece of hardware, the two go very much hand in hand. And there is a lot of work and research being done about not just SRAM, but alternative memory technologies and solutions that can address these increasing demands on AI.
So again, this question prior to yours in terms of the overall broad opportunity, what people in our space tend to worry about is that there isn't hard problems to go think and work on and develop new technologies for. We don't have that problem. Every single end application is going to be impacted by AI. We believe every end application will run AI through Arm. So we're spending a lot of time and energy, and you can see by our investments to come up with innovative ways to address that.
Thank you. I will now hand the call back to Rene for closing remarks.
Yes. Thank you, and thanks for all the thoughtful questions. And we could tell by the range of the questions, we were talking about memory prices inside the quarter and then what alternative memory technologies could look like years from now. I think that's a very good way to sort of describe the current quarter, but how we're very, very bullish about Arm long term.
We delivered the best quarter in our history. We delivered the best quarter in our history on royalties, which is really an indicator for the strategies we have going forward. And we have a huge amount of customers shifting to Arm in a big way with more CPU accounts. That being said, the quarters that we're most excited about are the ones ahead of us. We think we have huge opportunity, as I mentioned, in the new areas of Physical AI, Cloud AI and Edge AI. And we intend to do everything we can to make Arm the compute platform of choice for all AI workloads. Thank you.
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Arm — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
Arm — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $1,24 Mrd. (+26% YoY), viertes aufeinanderfolgendes Quartal über $1 Mrd.
- Royalties: $737 Mio. (+27% YoY); Data‑Center‑Royalties >100% YoY, Treiber: KI‑ und Rechenzentrumseinführungen.
- Lizenzumsatz: $505 Mio. (+25% YoY); inkl. $200 Mio. aus Verträgen mit SoftBank.
- Ergebnis: Non‑GAAP EPS $0,43; Non‑GAAP‑Operative Marge ≈41% (OpIncome $505 Mio.).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Strategische Gliederung: Neuorganisation in drei BU — Edge AI (Smartphone/IoT), Physical AI (Automotive/Robotics), Cloud AI (Data Center/Networking) zur Kunden‑Ausrichtung.
- Compute Subsystems (CSS): 21 CSS‑Lizenzen, 5 Kunden bereits in Produktion; CSS erhöht Royalty‑Wert pro Chip und verkürzt Time‑to‑Market.
- Data‑Center‑Momentum: Agenten‑basierte Inferenz erhöht Bedarf an effizienten, hochkernigen CPUs — Arm sieht hier strukturelles Wachstum und steigende Hyperscaler‑Adoption.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q4‑Guidance: Umsatz $1,47 Mrd. ±$50 Mio.; Royalties +low‑teens YoY; Lizenzen +high‑teens YoY.
- Kosten & EPS: Non‑GAAP OpEx ≈ $745 Mio.; Non‑GAAP EPS $0,58 ± $0,04.
- Risiken: Memory‑/Wafer‑Constraints können Smartphone‑Einheiten drücken; Management schätzt ein Worst‑Case‑Szenario (−20% Mobil‑Units) als ~1–2% Negativwirkung auf Gesamt‑Royalties.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- CPU‑Rolle in KI: Analysten fragten nach der Bedeutung von CPUs bei agentischer Inferenz; Management betont Effizienz, Always‑on‑Betrieb und wachsende Core‑Counts als Vorteil für Arm.
- Memory‑Impact: Nachgefragt wurde, wie stark Speicherknappheit Royalties trifft; CFO: derzeit moderat, Saisonalität und starke Vergleiche erklären Teile der Guidance.
- CSS & SoftBank: Nachfrage zu CSS‑Anteil (kann in den kommenden Jahren deutlich steigen, ggf. >50%); zu SoftBank‑Aktienverkäufen/Produktdetails gab Management keine neuen Aussagen (SoftBank‑Holding soll nicht verkauft werden).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Rekordquartal mit starkem Data‑Center‑Momentum und CSS‑Tailwind; kurzfristige Risiken durch Memory/Saisonalität begrenzt laut Management. Höhere F&E‑Ausgaben drücken OpEx, stützen aber Produktpipeline und mittelfristiges Wachstumspotenzial — positiv für langfristig orientierte Aktionäre.
Arm — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Arm Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Webcast and Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to your first speaker today, Jeff Kvaal, VP, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Sharon, and welcome, everyone, to our earnings conference call for the second quarter of fiscal '26. On the call are Rene Haas, Arm's Chief Executive Officer; and Jason Child, Arm's Chief Financial Officer.
During the call, Arm will discuss forecasts, targets and other forward-looking information regarding the company and its financial results. While these statements represent our best current judgment about future results and performance, our actual results are subject to many risks and uncertainties that could cause results to differ materially. In addition to any risks that we highlight during this call, important risk factors that may affect our future results and performance are described in our registration statement on Form 20-F filed with the SEC. Arm assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements.
We will refer to non-GAAP financial measures during the discussion. Reconciliations of certain of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in our shareholder letter as can a discussion of projected non-GAAP financial measures that we are not able to reconcile without unreasonable efforts and supplemental financial information. Our earnings-related materials are on our website at investors.arm.com.
And with that, I'll turn the call to Rene. Rene?
Thank you, Jeff, and welcome, everyone. We continued fiscal year 2026 with strong momentum, fueled by accelerating demand for AI compute from milliwatts in the smallest of edge devices to megawatts in the world's largest hyperscale data centers. Artificial intelligence is reshaping every layer of technology and Arm is the only compute platform delivering AI everywhere.
Q2 is our best second quarter ever, with revenue of $1.14 billion, up 34% year-on-year, marking our third consecutive billion-dollar quarter.
Royalty revenue reached a record $620 million, up 21% year-on-year, driven by growth in all major markets, including data center, smartphones, automotive and IoT. Unprecedented compute demand has led to our data center Neoverse royalties to more than double year-on-year.
Licensing revenue rose 56% to $515 million as companies continue choosing Arm to build their next-generation AI products.
Our strong results lifted non-GAAP EPS above the high end of guidance.
During the quarter, we announced a strategic partnership with Meta to scale AI efficiency across every layer of compute from AI-enabled wearables to AI data centers on a consistent compute platform. This partnership combines Arm's leadership in energy-efficient compute with Meta's innovation in AI infrastructure and open technologies to deliver richer, more efficient AI experiences to billions of people worldwide.
In the data center, access to power has now become the bottleneck, and this is accelerated adoption of Arm's Neoverse compute platform, which has now surpassed 1 billion CPUs deployed. Our compute forms the foundation of custom silicon from leading partners, including NVIDIA Grace, AWS Graviton, Google Axion and Microsoft Cobalt.
For example, Google's Arm-based Axion chip delivers up to 65% better price performance while using 60% less energy. And as a result, Google is migrating the majority of their internal workloads to run on Arm.
Customers are increasingly deploying Arm Neoverse CPUs alongside their AI accelerators to orchestrate massive clusters, highlighting the versatility and scalability of our platform.
The addition of 5 new Stargate sites this quarter further expands visibility into future AI capacity and reinforces is Arm's central role in the hyperscale build-out.
As AI chip design becomes more complex, our compute subsystems, or CSS, are helping customers accelerate their development cycles and reduce execution risk.
Demand for CSS continues to exceed expectations. During the quarter, we signed 3 new CSS licenses, 1 each in smartphone, tablets and data centers, bringing our total to 19 CSS licenses across 11 companies. We also expanded our collaboration with Samsung, which is leveraging CSS for its Exynos family of chipsets, driving up to 40% AI performance over previous non-CSS generation.
As a result, the top 4 Android phone vendors are now shipping CSS-powered devices. CSS has quickly become the starting point for customers, building next-generation silicon, offering faster time to market and delivering higher royalty rates for Arm.
In the quarter, we also launched Lumex CSS, our most advanced mobile compute platform to date. Lumex enables rich on-device AI experiences such as real-time translation, image enhancement and personal assistance. Flagship devices from partners like OPPO and vivo are expected to ramp later this year, bringing console-quality performance and new AI capabilities directly to mobile devices.
At the edge, AI is transforming how people interact with their devices in their hands, homes and vehicles. Google launched the Pixel 10 smartphone featuring the new Arm-based Tensor G5 chip, which runs Gemini models up to 2.6x faster and twice as efficiently as prior generations.
NVIDIA began shipping its Arm-based DGX Spark system for AI developers, a compact desktop supercomputer for local model training, fine tuning and inference.
In automotive, a flagship electric vehicle built on Arm's platform introduced advanced park assist, voice control and safety features featuring Arm's Automotive Enhanced technology.
Tesla's next-generation Arm-based AI5 chip delivers up to 40x faster AI performance, enabling the next wave of intelligent vehicles and autonomous machines.
Our leadership in AI is amplified by our unmatched software developer ecosystem, now more than 22 million strong, representing over 80% of the world's developer base. This ecosystem is a powerful growth engine for Arm. Every new ARM-based device brings more developers, which drives more software innovation, which in turn fuels greater demand for our compute platform across every market we serve.
As mentioned in our last call, we are continuing to explore the possibility of moving beyond our current platform into additional compute to subsystems, chiplets or complex SoCs. As a result, we continue to accelerate the investment in our R&D as we are seeing increased demand from our customers for our work from Arm.
AI is shaping how the world computes and Arm is a foundation making it possible. From milliwatts to megawatts, we deliver the performance, efficiency and scalability to meet this moment and the years ahead.
And with that, I'll hand it over to Jason.
Thank you, Rene. We have delivered another strong quarter. Total revenue grew 34% year-on-year to $1.14 billion, a record for Q2. It exceeded the midpoint of our guidance range by $75 million and marked our third consecutive quarter above $1 billion.
Royalty revenue exceeded our expectations, growing 21% year-on-year to a record $620 million versus our guidance of mid-teens. The biggest growth contributors were smartphones with higher royalty rates per chip and in data center where we continue to see share gains from custom hyperscaler chips.
Royalty revenue from smartphones grew in order of magnitude faster than the market as multiple OEMs ramped smartphones based on Armv9 and CSS chips.
Data center royalties doubled year-on-year given the continued deployment of Arm-based chips by hyperscaler companies.
Automotive and IoT both continued to grow year-on-year and contributed to our strong royalty performance. Overall, royalty growth rates continue to reflect Arm's increasing royalty rates and rising market share.
Turning now to license. License and other revenue was $515 million, up 56% year-on-year. Growth was driven by strong demand for next-generation architectures and deeper strategic engagements with key customers. We further expanded our license and services agreement with SoftBank. We also signed 4 ATA and 3 CSS deals. These agreements reflect the continued investment by our customers in next-generation Arm technology.
As always, licensing revenue varies quarter-to-quarter due to the timing and size of high-value deals. So we continue to focus on annualized contract value, or ACV, as a key indicator of the underlying licensing trend.
ACV grew 28% year-on-year, maintaining strong momentum following the 28% year-on-year growth we reported in Q1. This is well above our usual run rate of low teens growth rate -- low teens growth and is also above our long-term expectations of mid- to high single-digit growth for license revenue.
Turning to operating expenses and profits. Non-GAAP operating expenses were $648 million, up 31% year-on-year on strong R&D investment and slightly below guidance. These investments in R&D reflect ongoing engineering head count expansion to support customer demand for more Arm technology, including continued innovation in next-generation architectures, compute subsystems, and possibly chiplets or complete SoCs.
For example, over the past 4 years, we've invested heavily in developing the technology that makes up the Lumex Compute Subsystems for smartphones, which we announced in September. This project took around 1,000 man-years with a team size peaking over 450 engineers and required around hundreds of billions of dollars in investment -- hundreds of millions of dollars in investment. Lumex CSS has attracted strong market interest and we're already seeing royalty revenue from an early licensee.
Non-GAAP operating income was $467 million, up 43% year-on-year. This resulted in a non-GAAP operating margin of 41.1% and an improvement from 38.6% a year ago.
Non-GAAP EPS was $0.39, $0.06 above the midpoint of our guidance range, driven by both higher revenue and slightly lower OpEx.
Turning now to guidance. Our guidance reflects our current view of our end markets and our licensing pipeline. For Q3, we expect revenue of $1.225 billion, plus or minus $50 million. At the midpoint, this represents revenue growth of about 25% year-on-year.
We expect royalties to be up just over 20% year-on-year and licensing to be up 25% to 30% year-on-year.
We expect our non-GAAP operating expense to be approximately $720 million and our non-GAAP EPS to be $0.41, plus or minus $0.04.
Our higher revenue allows us to both accelerate R&D investment and pass-through upside to EPS. We are seeing strong demand from our customers for Arm technology, which gives us confidence in our long-term growth trajectory, and our strategy to enable AI everywhere, in the cloud, at the edge and in physical devices. And we will continue investing aggressively in R&D to capture these opportunities and ensure that AI runs on Arm.
With that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for the Q&A portion of the call.
[Operator Instructions] And your first question today comes from the line of Sebastien Naji from William Blair.
2. Question Answer
Congrats on the nice results. Rene, I wanted to ask about the AI opportunity. There's been a seemingly nonstop stream of new data center deals announced over the last quarter, calling for tens of gigawatts of additional computing capacity to be stood up.
How do you feel about Arm's strategic positioning with respect to these AI deals? And what do you view as the opportunity across the build-out?
Thank you for the question, Sebastien. As a Board member of SoftBank and also given our heavy involvement there with Stargate and regular dialog with OpenAI, I believe I have a unique perspective in terms of visibility in terms of this market.
One thing that's become quite evident is that power has become the bottleneck for everyone and power not only means access to energy, but everything underneath it in terms of infrastructure build-out, turbines, transformers, everything associated with generating power.
So in that environment, everyone wants to move to the most efficient compute platform as possible. Arm is about 50% more efficient than competitive solutions. We've seen that across the board in benchmarks, but also more importantly, in real-life performance. And that's why we see NVIDIA, Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Tesla, all using Arm-based technology.
We see an unprecedented demand for compute and all the incremental compute that we've seen announced literally has all been based on Arm. So that's driving huge growth opportunity for us, and it's one of the indicators as to why we've seen such growth in our Neoverse business more than doubling year-over-year.
Your next question comes from the line of Joe Quatrochi from Wells Fargo.
I noticed in the filing you announced your intention to acquire DreamBig Semiconductor. Curious just kind of what's behind that? And how does that kind of fold into your plans to potentially expand beyond your current kind of offering platform?
Yes. Thank you for the question. So DreamBig is a great company. They've got a lot of interesting intellectual property particularly around the Ethernet area and already make controllers, which are very, very key for scale-up and scale-out networking.
So when we look at the demand for what's going on inside the data center and particularly in the area of high-speed communications, that type of technology will be very helpful for us to broaden our offering to end customers. So we're very excited about the company and DreamBig has got some fantastic engineers.
Your next question comes from the line of Jim Schneider from Goldman Sachs.
I noticed in your disclosures that you saw a material step-up in related party revenue. So I was wondering if you could maybe talk a little bit about -- there's also been many announcements related to Stargate and SoftBank since the last earnings call. Can you maybe give us any kind of color you can on the nature of that relationship and how things are changing in terms of design activities?
So one of the ways to think about Stargate and particularly given the relationship between Arm and SoftBank is a huge opportunity for Arm to partner with SoftBank and SoftBank's partners to provide technology into all those solutions.
So without getting into too many of the specifics, but at a high level, if you think about what's associated with building out these data centers, you have the compute, obviously, you have the networking, you have everything associated with power distribution, you have a potential technology that gets into the power mechanism of the data center and then everything associated with even potential assembly of the data center.
So as a result of all the work that SoftBank and the SoftBank family of companies are doing, it provides huge opportunity for Arm to provide solutions into that space. So that, at a high level, is the way to think about how the SoftBank family works together on these designs.
Your next question comes from the line of Ross Seymore from Deutsche Bank.
I wanted to go back to the OpEx side of things. I know it was a little bit below your guide in the second quarter, but the fourth -- third quarter looks like it's going to step up again.
Kind of a bigger picture one. You mentioned about exploring different sorts of go-to-market methodologies, chiplets, et cetera. When do you expect to give us more color on when that's going to go from exploration to return on investment or the actual strategy, how should we monitor that and expect to get more information from you?
Yes. Thank you for asking. The best detail I can give you is there's nothing I can talk to you about today in terms of time line, about products or technologies. When the time comes for us to announce it, you'll be the first to know in terms of what we're doing.
Right now, the best commentary I can give is that everything associated with those solutions does require a significant level of R&D. Now as you've seen on the guidance going forward, our revenue go forward is higher than our OpEx increase, which is something we've been very careful to manage. So we feel comfortable about that.
But at the same time, what we're looking at in terms of the opportunity for compute and more importantly, compute using Arm has never been greater. So as a result, we want to make sure we're in the best position possible to capture it. We're looking at all possibilities in terms of how to do that. And when we're ready to talk about what that is, we will certainly advise.
The only thing I would add is, I think last quarter, we said, as soon as the way we think about when we announce something, if it were to be something related to full SoCs, it would be once there's tape-out, once there's samples back and once there's actually noncancelable customer orders, when we achieve all 3 of those milestones, that's when we would probably talk about something because this would be a new business and something we haven't done before. So whenever those milestones are achieved, that's when you should expect to hear from us.
Your next question comes from the line of Vivek Arya from Bank of America.
I just wanted to clarify how much was the SoftBank contribution in Q2 versus what you thought? And then what is baked in for Q3 and hopefully, if you have the number for Q4?
And the real question is how long can this quarterly rate persist? And if you do move into physical chips or chiplets or any other products as part of target, does it start to cannibalize this licensing stream?
Yes. So thanks for the question. In terms of the impact, it was about a $50 million increase from last quarter. So last quarter, we think we were about $126 million. It actually went up $52 million, so now about $178 million. and that's a good run rate to assume going forward.
The only way it would change is if we have any additional deals. And again, these are license plus design services. So think of it as being licenses to our IP to work with SoftBank on exploring solutions. But then think of the design services being effectively a kind of a funded R&D model. And so that's a lower margin revenue, of course.
So these -- in terms of how long these revenue streams will occur, we're not at liberty to say yet, but I would say, as Rene said, at some point, probably in the next year or so, you'll hear us talk about what products those might be. But obviously, that's not just up to us. It's when SoftBank is ready to talk about what these products could look like and what the revenue profile, et cetera, is.
And so when that would occur, it's likely to assume that there would be some different revenue source, whether it's royalties or gross revenue from selling a chip if in fact, it's a full SoC. Those are all things that are still to be worked out. And yes, I would think of that as being, to some extent, cannibalistic of whatever the current license and design services.
But then, of course, if there is a product, you could also assume there could be successive generations of products after that, in which case you could stack royalty between license and design services. But then, of course, there could also be royalties or whatever the revenue relates to whatever the product that ships in market is.
So I would think of it as very much durable revenue, in that I think if SoftBank wasn't a related party, we would just be booking license and design services, and it wouldn't be a related party, but then the numbers would be pretty similar. And so the fact that the related party I think is probably what makes it look somewhat unique. But the reality is we also, as Rene already mentioned, this is not really just between us and SoftBank. They also have contracts with many others, OpenAI, other Stargate partners as well. So I would think of this as all being part of a larger effort.
Your next question comes from the line of Timm Schulze-Melander from Rothschild & Co Redburn.
I had 2, please. Just following on, on the Stargate theme and the sites. Can you maybe just talk about the shape of what that revenue opportunity looks like on a sort of 1-, 3- and 5-year view just kind of when it's going to start having an influence on the revenue -- the annual revenue or quarterly revenue of the business?
And then my second question was, just to make sure, I wasn't sure I caught it right. You talked about the Lumex CSS. I think that's a product that you launched in September, but I think you also said that you already have royalty revenues associated with that. If you could just maybe expand on that a little bit, that would be really helpful.
Sure, sure. I'll take the first part of that question, and I'll let Jason take the second half.
Without giving you kind of a go-forward forecast of 1, 3, 5 years, maybe a way to think about it is, back in January of this year, OpenAI with Oracle and SoftBank announced Stargate, which was a $500 billion project to build out data centers over the next number of years.
When we go back to where we are now 11 months later, I would say the demand picture for compute is greater than it was at that time. So this is a bit of why you're seeing all kinds of different accelerated announcements around spend, et cetera, et cetera.
So if nothing else, I think the opportunity for compute has only grown since we made that Stargate announcement. And to be clear, that announcement is around a joint partnership with OpenAI and SoftBank being equity partners in this investment for compute.
So we are quite bullish in terms of this overall demand for compute. Right now, what is in the way of realizing that potential is all of the infrastructure required around the power. But from everything that we can tell from people we talk to inside the ecosystem, the demand for compute to train these new models, reinforcement learning to make them great and then inference to serve them, the demand opportunity is stronger than what we announced 11 months ago. So this is why we're accelerating all the investments that we talked about to take advantage of that opportunity.
On the Lumex CSS royalty question, I'll let Jason answer that one.
Yes. So I would say the licensee that's already actually -- that we're already receiving royalties from, that is, I'd say, earlier than expected. And the way -- because we just launched this in September, the way it's happened so quickly is this actually -- we're not able to say which partner it is, but it is a partner where this is not their first CSS, this is their second CSS.
So as a result, there was already kind of close partnership on the first generation. And so then when we launched the next generation, because the teams have already been working pretty close to each other, it allowed that second generation to be adopted very quickly and for royalties to come really just within a couple of months after the technology was delivered.
So kind of unusual, a little ahead of what we had expected, but it very much speaks to exactly why CSS has been more successful even than we thought when we launched it 2 years ago. It's really about speeding up time to market, and this is an excellent example of that occurring.
Your next question comes from the line of Harlan Sur from JPMorgan.
Rene, you talked about Neoverse royalties growing 2x year-over-year with all these cloud-based CPUs ramping. And then on top of that, with these high-performance AI clusters, right, they're using more DPUs or SmartNICs that are also using Arm cores.
On the networking side, data center switching and routing chips have multiple Arm cores embedded in them for things like telemetry, load balancing, overall system management.
The bottom line is that there's significant Arm compute going into all aspects of the data center, right? We're also even seeing Arm taking over x86 in the service provider networking markets as well.
So last fiscal year, cloud and networking accounted for about 10% of royalty revenues. We're midway through this fiscal year. Maybe you guys could just true us up, I assume, this mix has increased. Is it approaching 15%, 20% of total royalty revenues for the team? Any color here would be great.
Yes. I'll let Jason address the numbers, but thank you for being a great salesman and describing our penetration across domains. You're 100% right. There's Arm technology in virtually every set of the networking stack. The BlueField technology at Mellanox, DPU-based, that's Arm. Significant technology goes into the switches around Tomahawk and Arista are all using Arm technology.
So we are definitely seeing an acceleration of all that. And at the same time, I think the power efficiency piece is probably the biggest accelerant I think we're going to see just in terms of being able to offload as much as everything you can on to the more power-efficient domain of the compute platform.
So I'll let Jason comment on royalties scheme in terms of where that is going directionally.
Harlan, so on the royalties, yes, I mean, it ended the year at around 10-ish percent. And so we're certainly with the growth rate in infrastructure being double, I'd say, all the other categories in overall average royalty, you should expect it to continue to increase.
We'll provide a full update at the end of the year. But your trajectory of somewhere in the 15% to 20% range is not a bad assumption and probably a reasonable expectation for where we expect to trend throughout the year.
So I would say it's probably going faster than we expected a year ago.
Your next question comes from the line of Krish Sankar from TD Cowen.
I have a question for Rene. Clearly, you kind of highlighted how you have strengthened smartphones and also increasing market share in data centers. I'm kind of curious, when you look over the next few years, how do you see chip demand and token generation playing out and its implication for Arm, especially as you move into more of an inference world where edge devices may play a bigger role?
I think from some accounts of people who I talk to will say that today on some of these data centers, these build-outs of multi-hundred megawatts that still -- and again, depending on how you define training versus inference and reinforcement learning, majority of compute is being used for training still. That clearly will flip. Well, at some point, it has to, we think. And then that demand starts to move to inference.
What we're seeing is all kinds of demand for different architectures and compute type of solutions to run inference not in the cloud. Obviously, you're going to not rely 100% on something on the edge. But today, it's the reverse. It's about 100% on the cloud. And we think that is going to change.
We are seeing already lots of demand for the CPUs and Lumex that have these scalable matrix extensions, and these are the extensions that allow you to run AI workloads at higher performance. That's only going to continue.
And I think for Arm, that is an enormous trend for us on 2 levels. Number one, huge trend for us because the further you move away from the cloud on to battery-level devices, that's a domain that Arm can play in, in the sense of the software workload running exclusively there. But at the same time, customers would love a scalable software solution between the cloud and the edge.
And that's a lot of what's behind the announcement that we made with Meta in October. This is around working in such a way with Meta where whether they're running something in the cloud or running in the edge, for developers, they're able to port models in such a way that it's as efficient as possible no matter where you're running.
So this is all, I think, a good thing for us because more tokens means more compute, more computes means more compute needed at the edge, and more compute at the edge is really good for us because that's a -- I think we're in a very, very unique position to address that.
We will now take our final question for today. And the final question comes from the line of Lee Simpson, Morgan Stanley.
Well done everyone on a great quarter. I see China is maybe 22% of sales this Q. And I was just wondering what is driving that? Is it more licensing or royalties for strength in the quarter?
And maybe just as you look at the licensing pipeline for the rest of the year, have you seen more reason to be confident in the growth this year for licensing, especially as you look to Q4, which, as I believe we said before, there's potential for good renewal deals this year.
Thanks for the question, Lee. In terms of the China performance, yes, it definitely has done well. And I would just overall say the demand in China looks to be as strong as we've ever seen. We did have one of our largest license deals actually come out of China.
And so I would say license was slightly more of a -- I'd say, more of the overperformance came from license. Royalties are also growing strong in China as well, but license was a little bit of a bigger driver this quarter. And our pipeline indicates that we have a pretty strong license pipeline for the remainder of the year.
In terms of overall license revenue, hard to say as we get into Q4. There are some large deals as we always have. In terms of timing. Right now, we're just guiding on Q3. But next quarter, we'll definitely have much more clarity around what deals are going to be able to land in Q4 and whether there's any pull forward, pushouts or whatnot.
But as a reminder, we don't -- the deal cycles on large license deals are usually 6 to 9 months, and we don't really lose deals. It's really just about what exactly are the market needs for customers and when do they need it. And given the certain -- the current CapEx kind of forecast and all the AI cycles that continue to be as strong as they've been for the last couple of years, I have a lot of confidence, but we'll give you a little more detail next quarter on what's going to land in Q4.
Thank you. That was our final question for today. I will now hand the call back to Rene for closing remarks.
Thank you, and thank you, everyone for the questions. As we stated, we could not be more happy with the results last quarter. Royalties at a record, 34% growth year-on-year, just terrific results.
But more importantly, when we think about the opportunity for Arm going forward, the future has never been brighter because if we look at what's going on with artificial intelligence, artificial intelligence is driving unprecedented demand for compute.
And given the unprecedented demand for compute, we are seeing all kinds of constraints on power and infrastructure to deliver that compute, which means that the compute that's being delivered for AI needs to be as efficient as possible. That's also a great place for Arm.
And then as more and more of this AI compute moves from the cloud to edge devices and requires the most efficient compute on the planet, that's a great place for Arm, too.
So we are extremely excited about the future going forward. We continue to invest to ensure that we can take advantage of that opportunity. And on behalf of everyone inside Arm who made this quarter happen and to our partners and customers, thank you so much, and thank you for all the questions.
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Arm — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Arm — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $1,14 Mrd. (+34% YoY), drittes Quartal in Folge >$1 Mrd.
- Royalties: $620 Mio. (+21% YoY), Rekordwert; Neoverse-Royalties mehr als verdoppelt YoY.
- Lizenzumsatz: $515 Mio. (+56% YoY); ACV (Annualized Contract Value) +28% YoY.
- Profitabilität: Non‑GAAP EBITDA/Op‑Margin: Operatives Ergebnis $467 Mio., Non‑GAAP-Marge 41,1% (vorjahr 38,6%).
- EPS: Non‑GAAP EPS $0,39, $0,06 über Guidance‑Midpoint.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- KI‑Plattform: Arm positioniert sich als "AI everywhere"‑Plattform von Edge bis Hyperscale; Power‑Effizienz als Differenzierer (Management: ~50% effizienter).
- Produkte & Ecosystem: Rasche Adaption von Compute Subsystems (CSS) und neuer Lumex‑Plattform; 19 CSS‑Lizenzen, starke Partner‑Ramps (Smartphones, Data Center).
- Ausbau & M&A: Ausbau der R&D‑Investitionen; strategische Partnerschaft mit Meta; geplante Übernahme von DreamBig zur Stärkung von Netzwerk/Kommunikations‑IP.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q3‑Guidance: Umsatz $1,225 Mrd. ± $50 Mio. (Midpoint ≈ +25% YoY).
- Segmentprognose: Royalties +≈20% YoY; Lizenzumsatz +25–30% YoY.
- Kosten & EPS: Non‑GAAP OpEx ≈ $720 Mio.; Non‑GAAP EPS $0,41 ± $0,04. Management will R&D beschleunigen, sieht Revenue‑Upside zur Finanzierung.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- AI‑Buildout: Nachfrage und Energieversorgung als Bottleneck; Management sieht erhöhten Anteil von Arm in Hyperscale‑Rechenzentren, konkrete Watt‑/Zahlen blieben allgemein.
- SoftBank/Stargate: Verwandte‑Parteien‑Umsatz stieg um ≈$52 Mio. auf ~$178 Mio. Run‑Rate; Dauer und genaue Struktur der künftigen Zahlflüsse unklar.
- Produkt‑Expansion: Interesse an Chiplets/SoCs; Management verweigerte Zeitplan‑Details – Ankündigung erst nach Tape‑out, Samples und nicht stornierbaren Kundenaufträgen.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starkes Wachstum, getrieben von AI‑Nachfrage und schnelleren Lizenz‑Ramps; erhöhte R&D‑Investitionen signalisieren aggressiven Ausbau des Produktumfangs. Kurzfristig bleibt die Story von steigenden Royalties und robustem Lizenzpipeline getragen, mittelfristig bergen verwandte‑Parteien‑Deals und mögliche neue Hardware‑Geschäfte Unsicherheit über Margenprofil und Timing.
Arm — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Arm First Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Webcast and Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your first speaker today, Jeff Kvaal, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you very much, Sharon, and welcome, everyone. This is our first earnings call of fiscal year 2026. On the call today are Rene Haas, Arm's Chief Executive Officer; and Jason Child, Arm's Chief Financial Officer. During the call, Arm will discuss forecasts, targets and other forward-looking information regarding the company and its financial results. While these statements represent our best current judgment about future results and performance, our actual results are subject to many risks and uncertainties that could cause results to differ materially. In addition to any risks that we highlight during this call, important risk factors that may affect our future results and performance are described in our registration statement on Form 20-F filed with the SEC.
Arm assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements. We will refer to non-GAAP financial measures during the discussion. Reconciliations of certain of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in our shareholder letter as can a discussion of certain projected non-GAAP financial measures that we are not able to reconcile without unreasonable effort and supplemental financial information. The shareholder letter and other earnings-related materials are available on our website at investors.arm.com. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Rene. Rene?
Thank you, Jeff, and welcome, everyone. We began fiscal year 2026 with strong momentum, fueled by the insatiable compute demands of AI. From smart centers in homes and factories to the world's most advanced AI supercomputers, AI workloads are being deployed everywhere. This is driving unprecedented demand for compute that's not only performant, but also energy efficient. And Arm is the only compute platform built to deliver AI performance across the full spectrum of power and performance from milliwatts to megawatts. As a result, Q1 was our highest revenue quarter -- second highest revenue quarter at $1.05 billion. Royalty revenue reached $585 million, up 25% year-on-year with strong momentum across all of our end markets.
Licensing revenue was $468 million as companies continue to make Arm the AI platform of choice. Custom silicon on Arm is driving unmatched AI scale in the cloud. More than 70,000 enterprises now run AI workloads on Arm Neoverse data center chips, a 40% increase year-on-year and a 14x surge since 2021. Arm Neoverse CPUs now power the most important AI infrastructure in the world, including NVIDIA Grace, AWS Graviton, Google Axion and Microsoft Cobalt, among others. Driven by a performance and efficient compute, for example, NVIDIA Grace Blackwell is 25x more energy efficient than the previous x86-based system.
We expect the market share of Arm Neo-based chips to top hyperscalers to reach nearly 50% this year. We are also seeing AI moving to the edge, where the need for local real-time intelligence is enabled by Arm's efficiency and scale. Our compute platform delivers a unique combination of AI performance acceleration and energy efficiency, including the Ethos-U85 NPU for an enhanced image recognition, and our v9 CPUs with a scalable matrix extensions for accelerating language models, which can boost the performance of these models while limiting power and latency overhead. Technology leaders, including Apple, Samsung and MediaTek, are integrating these AI capabilities for faster, more efficient AI on premium smartphones. AI workloads are going local and Arm is making it possible.
Our leadership in AI is amplified by our unmatched software developer ecosystem. Over 22 million developers, more than 80% of the global base build on Arm. This ecosystem is a powerful flywheel. More developers means more for software availability, which in turn drives more demand for our compute platform across every market. Our compute subsystems, CSS, are helping customers move faster and the demand has exceeded our expectations. Our first generation of CSS is now in market with 5 customers and is delivering double the royalty of Armv9. We signed 3 additional CSS licenses this quarter with existing CSS customers, including 2 for the data center and 1 for PCs, more than doubling our CSS licenses from a year ago. Recently, Xiaomi launched the XRING O1 and Samsung launched the Galaxy Flip 7 using the Exynos 2500, both based on the latest Arm compute subsystem platform.
These subsequent generations of our CSS platforms deliver even greater value functionality and time to market and bring the highest royalty rates we have seen to date. This includes the launch of Zena CSS, a platform optimized for AI-driven automotive workloads like autonomous driving. Also in the quarter, a major smartphone OEM has committed to our GPU platform to accelerate graphics and AI in multiple generations of their flagship smartphones through 2030. Our business relationship with SoftBank has expanded to help them build towards their greater, broader AI vision.
We are continuing to explore the possibility of moving beyond our current platform into additional compute to subsystems, chiplets and potentially full-end solutions. To ensure these opportunities are executed successfully, we have accelerated the investment into our R&D. These investments include expanding engineering delivery across multiple levels, adding to the already significant product investments we have made to date. Momentum behind the broad CSS adoption and increased demand for AI compute on Arm are driving a powerful growth trajectory for the company. And with that, I'll hand over to Jason.
Thank you, Rene. We have started fiscal year 2026 with another strong quarter. Total revenue of $1.05 billion was our second successive quarter over $1 billion, our best Q1 ever and above the midpoint of our guidance range. Royalty revenue grew 25% year-on-year to a Q1 record of $585 million. Royalty revenue is growing across all target end markets, including smartphones, data center, automotive and IoT. Smartphones grew an order of magnitude faster than the market given continued uptake of flagship smartphones based on Armv9 and CSS.
Licensing and other revenue decreased 1% year-on-year as expected, following a very strong Q1 of FY '25. Rene mentioned our progress with 3 new CSS deals. What is unique about these deals is that we closed on our first 3 opportunities to upgrade existing CSS customers into next-generation platforms. Our next-generation CSS platforms deliver even greater value, functionality and time to market and bring the highest royalty rates we have seen to date. This gives us confidence into further investment in the platform. Also contributing to our license revenue, ACV and RPO growth were a -- was a multigenerational GPU deal with a leading smartphone OEM, and SoftBank expanded its IP licensing and design services agreements with us.
Licensing revenue varies quarter-to-quarter due to normal fluctuations in timing and size of multiple high-value license agreements and contributions from backlog. As always, we recommend that you look at annualized contract value, or ACV, to best understand the underlying licensing growth rate. ACV in Q1 was up 28% year-on-year. This is well above the high end of our recent run rate of low teens and our long-term expectation of mid- to high single-digit license growth in part given the new licensing deals I mentioned. We have not changed our long-term view of licensing growth of mid- to high single digits.
Remaining performance obligations or RPO was flat sequentially as the new licensing deals offset revenue we recognized from licenses signed in prior quarters. As you know, Arm's revenues today come from technology developed years or even decades ago, and our costs today are investments for future revenue streams. In the first quarter, R&D spending led our non-GAAP operating expenses to $619 million. Operating expenses were slightly lower than expected as the timing of some expenses will now fall into Q2 of fiscal '26. The CSS royalty rate increases that we outlined -- that we've outlined are one example of the return from previous R&D expense. This translated to $412 million of non-GAAP operating profit and non-GAAP EPS of $0.35, which was above the midpoint of our guidance range, inclusive of a $0.01 FX headwind.
Let me spend a moment on the current tariff and macro climate. We continue to expect a limited direct impact on our royalty and licensing revenues given current conditions. We have less visibility into the indirect impact on end demand. The continued uncertainty reduces near-term visibility on royalty revenue. In licensing, customers have historically invested through near-term slowdowns given lengthy chip development time lines.
Turning now to guidance. Our guidance reflects our current view of our end markets and our licensing pipeline. For Q2, we expect revenue of between $1.01 billion and $1.11 billion. At the midpoint, this represents revenue growth of about 25% year-on-year. We expect both royalties and licensing to be about flat sequentially. Consistent with Q1, we are accelerating investments in our next generation of technologies. We expect our Q2 non-GAAP operating expense to be approximately $655 million. This includes the impact of the Q1 expenses that will now fall into Q2 plus FX. We expect non-GAAP EPS to be in the range of $0.29 to $0.37.
We have high confidence in healthy growth in the coming year and in years to come. Our confidence stems from our visibility into customer design pipelines, contracted royalty rates, rising demand for custom silicon and AI from cloud to the edge. We expect to continue pressing our advantage by investing aggressively in R&D to support our customers and partners, capture our opportunities and ensure AI runs on Arm. With that, I'll turn the call back to the operator for the Q&A portion of the call.
[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of David O'Connor, Exane BNP Paribas.
2. Question Answer
Rene, you mentioned in your script expanding and moving into full-end solutions. And when we look out there in the market, a lot of reports that Arm is potentially entering into things like the ASIC market with partners, which itself is a lot of execution risk for Arm. And also, question why you guys think you would be successful in such a market when others are struggling. So I guess my question is, is there anything that you can share with us today around kind of Arm's strategy in ASICs moving to these full-end solutions?
Thank you for the question. Yes, you're right. I have nothing to specifically announce today. What can I say, however, further integration has been the direction of travel for our companies. One of the things that we're seeing with newer customers such as CSPs and OEMs and also even traditional customers has asked for a better starting point as they develop their SoCs. And this is largely driven by the complexity of these chips and the time it takes to develop them. This led us to CSS, our compute subsystem, which as I mentioned and Jason mentioned, have been successful beyond our expectations.
Many of the chiplets that are being developed are mostly Arm IP, and we already support chiplet development through our Arm Total Design ecosystem. And with that, we're looking now at the viability of moving beyond the current platform to additional subsystems, chiplets or possibly full solutions. Now inside the company, we have either inside or access to all the expertise and technologies we would need to design, implement and have a chiplet, for example, manufacturing. Personally, I appreciate the complexity of this, having lived this in multiple semiconductor companies in my career. And amongst the leadership team, we also have comprehensive experience in this area.
So when we look at what's going on inside the market today, both in terms of the direction of travel of delivering complex chips and Arm being the only compute platform that can provide a solution from the smallest devices to the largest data centers, milliwatts to megawatts, we're in a very unique space to provide solutions in a way that no one else can. And as a result, we're looking deeply at those possibilities.
Your next question comes from the line of Vivek Arya from Bank of America.
On the royalty side, it grew 25%. I think last quarter, you had suggested 25% to 30%. So just which end market drove a little bit of that delta versus your expectation? And then I think you had also suggested that royalties could grow 10% to 15% sequentially in Q3 and Q4 also of this year. Is that still kind of the trend line we should be expecting?
Vivek, this is Jason. I'll take that. So on the royalties in the quarter, yes, we came in very close to our forecast within 1% or so. However, I think we talked last quarter about a little bit of a range. And I would say we were in the lower end of that range. And I don't know if I'd say there's weakness, but maybe the growth wasn't quite as strong in the smartphone sector as maybe we had expected. As mentioned in the call, we still grew in order of magnitude faster than the market, but the market was in the low single digits kind of growth rate. And I think that was a little bit slower than folks expected. In terms of the forecast for the rest of the year, I don't expect too much difference. Maybe this kind of smartphone impact we'll have to keep an eye on to see as we go later in the year. But overall, I expect royalties to be pretty close to where we were from the previous quarter.
Your next question comes from the line of Joe Quatrochi from Wells Fargo.
You talked about your Neoverse share top hyperscalers expected to reach nearly 50% this year. Any help in the context of like what that was last year? And how do we think about just the mix of those workloads running internal versus external?
Thank you for the question. I think if we look back to a year ago, one of the significant changes that we've seen has been where our share last year was probably sub 20%, call it, 18% and now we're looking to approach nearly 50%. It's a combination of 2 things. It is what I would call in the general purpose workloads where Arm has been taking share versus conventional x86. This is through Graviton and Google Axion and Microsoft Cobalt, those share gains continue.
In addition to that, you also have these AI workloads running specifically for training and/or inference, which in previous generations were on the NVIDIA Hopper generation, which is connected to an external x86, now moving to Grace Blackwell, GB200 and then GB300, which is an integrated Arm design along with NVIDIA Blackwell next-generation GPU. So the combination of the growth in the AI data centers, also the fact that we are going from essentially 0 share with Hopper to almost exclusive share with Blackwell. And then when you combine that with our growth in the conventional data center market, that's what's putting us close to a net 50%.
Your next question comes from the line of Mark Lipacis from Evercore.
I had a question for Jason and maybe a bit of a quick follow-up for Rene. Jason, what -- you mentioned FX was a $0.01 impact to EPS for this quarter. And then you said that the out quarter guidance included the impact of FX, but I don't believe you quantified that. And I was hoping that you could just remind us like what -- spell that out for us. How much is FX expected to impact EPS for next quarter? What's -- remind us your hedging strategy and the rule of thumb of how to think about FX going forward?
And then, Rene, if you are -- Neoverse chips are going to get to 50% this year, that suggests 50% share still for x86. What is the reason that customers stay with x86? Does your share asymptote somewhere below 100% at some point in time? Or like how should we think about ultimately where you guys could get?
Thanks, Mark. I'll answer the FX question quickly. So yes, $0.01 impact on the current quarter. We expect approximately $0.01 per quarter impact over the next 3 quarters for the balance of the year. The way our FX strategy works is we basically start on the hedging process at the beginning of the year. Of course, we collect all of our revenue in U.S. dollars. About 2/3 of our OpEx or so is in euro and pounds. And so we basically make estimates on our expenses. In these cases where we're maybe starting to increase some of our OpEx related to some of the opportunities that Rene expected, we have some unhedged portion, and that's why there's maybe a little more impact than what we've seen in the past. But overall, for the full year, thinking something like $0.04 or so.
Yes. And regarding the question in terms of where could the market share go? So I think a couple of things going on make us very, very positive about the share gains continuing beyond 50%. One is the fact that the Arm architecture allows for a high degree of customization and a high degree of unique design capabilities that could be done at the chip level, at the blade level and even at the rack level to greatly not only change the total cost of ownership, but maximize the overall performance because customization is very, very beneficial in those cases. So huge benefit there because of our unique position.
And then secondly, as the share gains continue across the AI data center, there are advantages to keeping to a single software stack across a single CPU architecture that simplifies management of the overall software of the data center. So that's another intangible that could help us. So in general, we're very, very pleased about getting to the number that I just described, and we think it can grow beyond that. We have high confidence.
And your next question comes from the line of Andrew Gardiner from Citi.
Jason, I was interested in the points you were making on the significant step-up in ACV in the quarter. You mentioned both the GPU signing as well as additional licensing with SoftBank. Can you give us a sense as to sort of the magnitude between the 2 of those drivers? And in particular, on the GPU side, in the press release, I think you said a major smartphone OEM in your prepared comments, I feel like I had the major OEM. I just wanted to sort of clarify that. Just any color you can provide behind those 2 drivers would be great.
Sure. So first, I would say it's a major OEM. That's what you should take away. In terms of the -- the other question?
ACV.
All right, ACV. So the ACV step-up, again, the 3 big kind of CSS deals, which, as I said in our prepared remarks, were exciting because this is actually the first chance for someone who's used the CSS now to decide if they want to adopt the next generation. And so to sign those deals, we think it is a pretty big deal and a pretty good verification or testimony to the value that CSS is providing.
So while that provided incremental -- a significant amount of incremental license revenue, only a portion of that, of course, is booked. So part of it goes in RPO and of course, part of it is booked in the quarter. If you were to just look at all those rest of world deals, that would take ACV up to, call it, 17-ish percent, and then, of course, this large step-up in the relationship with SoftBank and our custom design services relationship and license with them, that's what gets you up to the kind of the 28% level. So kind of, by all dimensions, we've seen an acceleration from both the rest of world -- our customers across all geographies as well as specifically with SoftBank.
Okay. Understood. And just quickly a follow-up on the CSS signings. You mentioned the second generation will generate an even higher royalty rate than the prior one. Can you give us any sense as to the magnitude of that change?
We've said in the past that CSS was roughly -- if you kind of think of -- kind of the best example of, say, flagship or premium mobile, it used to be that a v8 was in the, what, 2.5%, 3% of ASP and then a v9 was at roughly 5%, so it roughly doubled. CSS doubled that to roughly 10%. So the new CSS deals are north of 10%. Too early to say kind of exactly what the percentage is. But I think in the past, when we launched the CSS program, we thought that CSS probably was -- at 10% was getting close to a ceiling. I'd say the good news is we're seeing that it's not the ceiling. So we'll provide more kind of clarity as more deals get signed and as we start to guide to future periods. But make no mistake, this is definitely higher royalty rates than what we had expected and what we had forecasted in the out years. So it's definitely good news.
Your next question comes from the line of Vijay Rakesh from Mizuho.
Rene and Jason, just going back on the same question on the ACV. With the SoftBank expanding the license deal there, can you give us some more color on how that looks? I think this is probably with the Stargate for next year, but -- as you look at that -- as you guys do an accelerator there, is that -- are you going to benefit from the full ASP? Or will it be a licensing deal? Can you give us some color?
Yes. Thanks for the question, Vijay. I'll try to answer your question as simply as possible, although there's some details you asked for that I can't really make a comment on. So at a very high level, Stargate, which is a joint investment venture between SoftBank and OpenAI is looking to scale up to 10 gigawatts over the next number of years in terms of overall investment. That is a lot of compute, and there's a huge potential for lots of different design opportunities.
SoftBank has a very broad AI vision. We're looking to help them with that. Again, without mentioning specific products and application spaces, you can imagine in a data center of that size running different workloads around inference training and such, and today, all of the Stargate opportunities use Arm as the core CPU, we have a unique opportunity to provide solutions there. So a lot of that work has now started, but we're not able to give you any specifics in terms of products or time lines.
And then going back on the server side, when you look at the 50% share that you talked about, you obviously have some good -- big customers there between Google and Amazon and obviously, Microsoft. But you also have another CSP that is potentially starting. Do you expect Arm to be in the market with the merchant CPU? Or will it all be kind of licensed platforms that run internally?
Yes. So right now, not able to really say anything regarding your question in terms of us providing a specific product. But the market share gains that we anticipate over time are somewhat independent of that strategy. We feel super confident both in terms of the direction of travel of investment in software that's running on Arm and the road map that we'll be able to provide the product technology in any form to increase market share.
Your next question comes from the line of Krish Sankar from TD Cowen.
This is Steven calling on behalf of Krish. Rene, I had a question for you, kind of big picture. Just over the last couple of weeks, a number of hyperscalers have increased their CapEx targets for this year and also talking about further growth into next year. I'm kind of curious like just for your initial thoughts on the implications for, number one, royalty growth for this year and next year as it pertains to existing Arm processor ASIC type design wins and also looking a little further out for licensing opportunities for further CSS type wins.
Yes. Thank you for the question. I think I would interpret this continued increase in CapEx for all of these AI data centers as only a very strong tailwind for Arm, both on the technology side in terms of the products that we provide and also with the royalty rates associated with it. As Jason mentioned, we're now on to our second generation of CSSs. We talked about CSS as a concept a couple of years ago before we went public, and we're now starting to see the benefits of those hitting our royalties.
Over the next number of years, as these newer CSSs with even higher royalty rates hit, we should expect an expansion of the royalty growth on that. Right now, on the overall CapEx side, what we are seeing is still unabated demand for that. And the reason -- one of the broader reasons for this is that AI has one of the unique capabilities that it will touch literally every industry that we know. Over time, there isn't really going to be anything that can't be impacted by it. And it's still very, very early days in terms of how enterprises are broadly using it. So I think you're seeing that in terms of the hyperscalers being very aggressive on the spend. And you're seeing the evolution of the models support that the more compute, the better the models get, the better the models get, there's more need for compute.
And I think for us, it's all a good thing because we're at the heart of compute. And also, I think as these models evolve and start to move to different parts of the ecosystem more broadly, those are also domains where Arm is already the platform -- compute platform of choice. So I think it all adds up for good news for us in the long run.
Your next question comes from the line of Sebastien Naji from William Blair.
I just wanted to ask if you could provide any commentary on the Arm China business and in particular, whether some of the loosen GPU export controls we've seen here over the last month could drive a more meaningful contribution from Arm China in the data center versus your prior expectations even 3 months ago?
Yes. One of the things -- thank you for the question. One of the things that we've been pretty consistent on communicating is that for Arm, the China market largely tracks the global market in terms of China really does rely very heavily on the Western ecosystem relative to the software that runs on Arm. So whether it's smartphones or autonomous vehicles or the data center, our traction and momentum in China is quite consistent with the rest of the world.
To your direct question on have we seen anything potentially on the new export controls changing anything regarding our business, not really. The specific H20 release doesn't really impact us very much. So I would say on that question, no. But again, more broadly, with Arm China, we continue to see consistent growth there that's aligned with the kind of growth we see across the rest of the world.
This is Jason here. Just to add on. China in Q1 was about 21% of revenue. So it ticked up a little bit from the 15% that it was last quarter and about 14% of where it was a year ago. So the China business is, I would say, strong and continuing to grow nicely.
Your next question comes from the line of Stephane Houri from ODDO BHF.
I have a question about the adoption of Armv9. If you can give us the number where we stand now. Last quarter, I think it was about 30%, if I remember well, where are we standing now?
Thank you, Stephane. Yes, we actually said last quarter, we gave the update for end of year, and it was a little over 30% and that we're now just going to update this on an annual basis. However, still wait until the end of this year is the next time we're going to provide the financial update or the percentage update. But what I can tell you is that royalties did step up from 18% year-on-year growth last quarter to 25% this quarter. So you should assume that B9 and CSS percentage continues to grow nicely.
Yes. The thing I would add on to that is, and one of the reasons why we're not communicating it to the level that we had in the past, it can be a little bit misleading because with version 9, for example, on some of the mobile phone iterations, we're on our fourth generation of v9 implementations delivered. And on each generation, the royalty rate has increased. So when we combine royalty rates increasing from 8 to 9, but more significantly, each generation of v9 is higher than the previous one, and those generations are on a per annum basis or at least the implementations that use them, the royalty rates will continue to grow faster than v9 adoption. So the one-to-one correlation between royalty rate growth and v9 penetration, we want to make sure that we communicate that should be separated out.
Why don't we make the next question the last one.
Your final question for today comes from the line of Lee Simpson from Morgan Stanley.
I'll maybe ask a 2-part question, if I can get away with it. You did call out Ethos and Zena at CSS in the prepared remarks. So I guess with Ethos, first of all, it has a good capability set at the edge, but does it make sense to actually stretch the performance here in time and go beyond that 4 tops level? And where could an MPU like that be applicable long term? I mean could it be used in a cloud environment? Is it applicable as a performance level there in time?
And maybe just on Zena, interesting that you've had the first deal done already in CSS. But obviously, it's -- there's a range of opportunities in the car. So I'm just trying to understand, do we think of this as a self-driving opportunity play? Or is this more gen EV and ADAS? And where would the ramp in licensing happen? Would it happen within this year?
Yes. Thanks, Lee, for both questions, giving us a chance to shout out Ethos and Zena here. So Ethos, we haven't announced its future road map, but you can imagine it will be something that can continue to get larger than 4 tops. It's not a data center product. It's not the space to think about it. It's going to be much more in an area where it needs to run off a battery and in some cases, batteries that don't get charged very often. So extremely low-power applications, but also small in terms of physical fit and form factor. I imagine something that could physically be on your body that could be doing AI acceleration. So lots and lots of application spaces for that. So we're very excited about that platform and also more importantly, the long-term potential for it.
Zena CSS, and again, thank you for asking about it and also recognizing that already we've got customers signed up for it. The automotive market is one that is an excellent candidate for CSS. The customers in that time frame don't have decades and decades of SoC experience. They benefit greatly from a design that accelerates time to market. They benefit greatly in terms of the work that we do there. There's a lot of growth potential in terms of what we could do with Zena in the automotive sector.
The way to think about where it likely lands is in an L2 to L4 ADAS type of application. So working in that control plane in that data plane around everything that has to do with the autonomous section. There is increasingly emerging of the IVI subsystem with the ADAS system. Both have huge amounts of software investment and software stacks that run on Arm. So it was just a natural that we would go with it. We ended up working on it sooner than we thought. As we talked about a few years ago when we kicked off CSS, we were quite purposeful in terms of the markets we entered. This was a market that we were seeing huge benefit for. So we're very happy to have announced it. We're happy to have a lead customer and momentum is very strong there.
And timing of follow-on license deals?
We have a very strong pipeline of deals for that, that we'll be able to share with you when we're able to announce them.
I will now hand the call back to Rene for closing remarks.
Yes. No, thank you for that, and thank you for all the questions. We are at a very unique time in the industry's history. I think we're seeing, obviously, AI being the most transformative technology, innovation and disruption that will impact our lives going forward. AI requires a huge amount of compute whether you're doing that in the cloud, an automobile, smartphone, a PC or even small devices like security cameras or earbuds.
ARM is the only company on the planet with a compute platform that can address all that. We're seeing the indicators of that now with Grace Blackwell in the data center and customers using our acceleration capabilities inside of CPU with our SME or Ethos products. We are extremely excited about the future, and it could not be a better time to be working in this industry and the growth trajectory of the company, I think, is unparalleled.
Thank you, everyone, for your questions and your interest in Arm.
Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
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Arm — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Arm — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $1,05 Mrd. (Q1; zweitstärkster Quartalsumsatz, über Guidance‑Mitte)
- Royaltys: $585 Mio. (+25% YoY)
- Licensing: $468 Mio. (‑1% YoY)
- Non‑GAAP EPS: $0,35 (über dem Guidance‑Mittelpunkt)
- ACV: +28% YoY (Annualized Contract Value)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- AI‑Momentum: Arm positioniert sich als Plattform für KI von Edge bis Cloud („milliwatts to megawatts“) und sieht anhaltend starke Nachfrage.
- CSS‑Wachstum: Compute Subsystem (CSS) gewinnt deutlich an Fahrt; zweite Generation bringt höhere Royalty‑Sätze (»north of 10%«) und erste Automotive‑/GPU‑Commitments.
- Strategieerweiterung: Management prüft Chiplets und mögliche Full‑end‑Lösungen, investiert R&D‑seitig kräftig zur Sicherstellung der Ausführung.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Q2‑Prognose: Umsatz $1,01–$1,11 Mrd. (Mittelwert ≈ +25% YoY); Royalties und Licensing voraussichtlich sequenziell stabil.
- Kosten & EPS: Q2 Non‑GAAP Opex ≈ $655 Mio.; Non‑GAAP EPS $0,29–$0,37.
- Währungswirkung: ~ $0,01 EPS‑Headwind pro Quartal; Full‑Year ungefähr $0,04; Risiken: Makro, Zölle und Nachfrage‑Unsicherheit.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Full‑solution/ASIC‑Ambitionen: Analysten fragten nach Eintritt in ASICs/chipletting; Management kündigt keine Produkte an, betont aber interne Kompetenzen und prüft die Option mit Vorsicht.
- Royalty‑/ACV‑Treiber: Nachfrage nach CSS‑Upgrades, ein mehrjähriges GPU‑Lizenzpaket eines großen OEM und eine erweiterte SoftBank‑Beziehung trieben ACV und RPO‑Effekte.
- Data‑Center‑Share: Neoverse‑Anteil bei Hyperscalern soll dieses Jahr ≈50% erreichen (Vorjahr ~18%); Argumente: kundenspezifische Optimierung und einheitliche Software‑Stacks.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Solider Start ins FY‑26: starker Royalty‑Wachstumspfad, CSS als struktureller Hebel für höhere Margen und ACV‑Wachstum. Kurzfristig höhere R&D‑Opex und Währungsrisiken; mittelfristig erhebliches Upside, sofern CSS‑Rollout und mögliche neue Produktformen erfolgreich umgesetzt werden.
Finanzdaten von Arm
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Basis
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 4.920 4.920 |
23 %
23 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 121 121 |
0 %
0 %
2 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 4.799 4.799 |
23 %
23 %
98 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 1.115 1.115 |
13 %
13 %
23 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 2.776 2.776 |
34 %
34 %
56 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 1.157 1.157 |
14 %
14 %
24 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 249 249 |
36 %
36 %
5 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 908 908 |
9 %
9 %
18 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 904 904 |
14 %
14 %
18 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Firmenprofil
ARM Holdings Plc ist eine Holdinggesellschaft, die sich mit der Bereitstellung von Halbleitertechnologie beschäftigt. Sie entwirft, entwickelt und lizenziert CPU-Produkte und damit verbundene Technologien über ihre Tochtergesellschaften. Das Unternehmen wurde 1990 gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Cambridge, Vereinigtes Königreich.
aktien.guide Basis
| Hauptsitz | Vereinigtes Königreich |
| CEO | Mr. Haas |
| Mitarbeiter | 9.584 |
| Gegründet | 1990 |
| Webseite | www.arm.com |


