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Kennzahlen
📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 40,28 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 4,29 Mrd. $
Marktkapitalisierung = 40,28 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 5,73 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 39,97 Mrd. $ | Umsatz (TTM) = 4,29 Mrd. $
Enterprise Value = 39,97 Mrd. $ | Umsatz erwartet = 5,73 Mrd. $
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Special Call - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone. I'm Chris Brickley, Director of Investor Relations at Alnylam, and I'm pleased to be kicking off our 10th RNAi Roundtable series this morning. Throughout these events, we aim to highlight a few of the exciting programs in our pipeline that represent some of the next wave of transformative medicines we expect to deliver from our RNAi platform.
Today, we'll be covering ALN-6400, which is an investigational therapy targeting plasminogen with the potential to address rare bleeding disorders. Today's event is expected to run approximately 75 minutes. Pushkal will moderate a question-and-answer session at the conclusion of the presentations. And if you'd like to submit a question, you can do so at any time during the event by typing your question in the Ask a Question field located within the webcast platform.
As a reminder, we will be making forward-looking statements during this webinar, and we encourage you to read our most recent SEC filings for a more complete discussion of our risk factors. With that, I'd like to turn it over to Pushkal Garg, our Chief Research and Development Officer. Pushkal?
Thanks, Chris, and welcome, everyone, to today's roundtable on ALN-6400, which we believe represents a potentially transformative RNAi therapeutic for patients living with rare bleeding disorders. With me today are 2 accomplished scientists, who embody our world-class R&D capabilities, John Gansner, Hematologist and Executive Director and the Program Lead for the ALN-6400 Program; and Martina Slingsby, Senior Clinical Scientist and ALN-6400 Clinical Science Lead. We're also delighted to have with us today Dr. Hanny Al-Samkari. Dr. Al-Samkari is Associate Professor of Medicine at Harvard Medical School and Co-Director of the HHT Center of Excellence at Massachusetts General Hospital. He's a globally recognized authority on HHT and other bleeding disorders.
As you all know, Alnylam is pioneering an entirely new class of medicines to treat human disease. This generational technology leverages the mechanism of RNA interference, a natural process of gene regulation that occurs in every cell of our body.
RNAi works like a biological scalpel, allowing to silence any gene in the genome. Moreover, RNAi is a catalytic mechanism that lends itself to highly potent molecules that require low doses to affect biology and the approach is highly specific and entirely reversible, which minimizes safety liabilities.
Additionally, we're able to engineer long half-lives to enable very frequent administration, which allows us to improve patient adherence and convenience. We've harnessed this natural mechanism into a unique and sustainable innovation engine, which can enable sustained long-term growth. We continue to invest in the power of human genetics, where we now have access to more than 2 million lives through various biobanks that allow us to uncover new genetically validated targets.
We also continue to advance the delivery of RNAi to major tissues throughout the body. Beyond the liver and CNS, we have our first adipose targeted program in the clinic, and we believe we're well positioned to achieve delivery to 10 tissues in the next several years. And of course, we continue to optimize the oligonucleotide backbone of our siRNAs for a wide range of clinical applications. Not only do we continue to evolve our underlying platform capabilities, but we seek to deploy our technology towards creating medicines that have a material impact on the lives of patients with significant unmet medical needs.
To do so, we employ a therapeutic area agnostic approach, pursuing diseases with high morbidity and mortality and -- which we can address with highly genetically validated targets with a strong biologic rationale.
Overall, this integrated approach has enabled us to create drug candidates with high quality and historic clinical probabilities of success far in excess of industry benchmarks. To date, this strategy has yielded what we believe to be one of the most robust pipelines in the biotech industry with over 25 programs spanning rare, specialty and prevalent indications across multiple therapeutic areas.
The investigational therapeutics underscore the depth of opportunity we have at Alnylam to deliver meaningful growth in the years ahead. Indeed, you'll be seeing this growth accelerate in the near term as these programs move forward and reach important inflection points. This year, in 2026, we have 3 pivotal studies ongoing, including 2 cardiovascular outcomes trials for Nucresiran in ATTR cardiomyopathy as well as zilebesiran in hypertensive cardiovascular disease.
We also anticipate 4 key data readouts before the end of this year. We expect Phase I data for both ALN-HTT02, our Huntington's disease program and ALN-2232 in development for obesity and weight management. As you'll hear today, we also expect results from the ALN-6400 program. We plan to share healthy volunteer data from our Phase I study, and we expect initial results from our Phase II study in hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia.
And as we look ahead to the next couple of years, the milestones continue to ramp up. In 2027, we anticipate 4 or more pivotal studies ongoing by the end of the year, growing to 5 by the end of 2028 and over 5 key data readouts in each of those years.
Additionally, in 2028, we anticipate the launch of Nucresiran in hATTR polyneuropathy, assuming positive Phase III data and regulatory approval. And of course, we continue to build the pipeline through the filing of 3 to 4 new CTAs each year as we scale to meet our Alnylam 2030 goals.
A key component of our Alnylam 2030 goals is the growth through sustainable innovation pillar, where we aim to deliver 2 or more new transformative medicines beyond TTR that have blockbuster potential.
As mentioned earlier, we also aspire to achieve RNAi delivery to at least 10 tissue types and have over 40 programs in the clinic by the end of 2030. Now when we think of the next wave of growth in Alnylam, there are several programs that we believe can represent the next wave of transformative medicines to be delivered from our pipeline.
We'll cover those during our RNAi Roundtable series throughout the rest of 2026, starting with today's session on ALN-6400. As you'll hear from the speakers, we have a promising and differentiated approach that has the potential to address rare bleeding disorders by targeting plasminogen. In this instance, we're not knocking down a disease-causing protein, but rather reducing expression of a downstream protein that is involved in all forms of bleeding disorders. This strategy has a very strong genetic validation and clinical rationale, and we believe it has the potential to offer durable bleed protection across a variety of bleeding disorders without increasing thrombotic risk.
In upcoming roundtables, you hear about 2 other investigational programs that we have -- we believe have the potential to change the practice of medicine. Zilebesiran, our program targeting angiotensinogen with the potential to reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease by providing continuous control of blood pressure and ALN-HTT02, which we're studying to treat Huntington's disease.
And with that, I'd like to hand it over to my colleague, John Gansner, who will discuss the compelling opportunity we see for ALN-6400. John?
Thanks, Pushkal. I'm John Gansner, a practicing hematologist and the program lead for ALN-6400 here at Alnylam. I'm delighted to be able to tell you about the opportunity in front of us, which I think has the potential to revolutionize care for patients with bleeding disorders. We believe there's a broad opportunity across a range of bleeding disorders and that the high disease burden patients with bleeding disorders experience underscores the unmet need for therapies that provide durable and safe bleeding protection.
There are approximately 5 million people living with bleeding disorders globally. These disorders have various etiologies, but they all share a common phenotype bleeding. And this bleeding has a significant impact on patients. It is associated with anemia, iron infusions, blood transfusions, various procedures, ER visits and hospitalizations.
Patients living with bleeding disorders experience disruptions to their daily lives and experience social stigma and anxiety. Furthermore, there are limited or no approved treatments for most of these bleeding disorders. We are developing ALN-6400 to address the significant unmet need in the treatment of bleeding disorders. ALN-6400 targets liver-expressed plasminogen or PLG to prophylactically reduce bleeding.
On the left side of the slide is a schematic of ALN-6400 mechanism of action. ALN-6400 is delivered by subcutaneous injection and lowers liver production of PLG. This reduces the amount of a protein in the blood called plasminogen that is converted to plasma and decreases fibrinolysis or clot breakdown. By stabilizing what I like to refer to as an inner Band-Aid or the natural clot that forms to stop bleeding, we expect ALN-6400 to reduce bleeding in a range of bleeding disorders.
We have 4 strong reasons to believe that our approach will be successful. First, we have a genetically and preclinically validated target. Second, the mechanism is clinically derisked by an existing class of medications called antifibrinolytics.
Third, early data have shown that ALN-6400 is not expected to increase thrombotic risk. That's really quite critical here, and we believe it could be a key differentiator. And fourth, our platform allows for infrequent subcutaneous administration to enable effective prophylaxis. I want to showcase some of the genetic evidence and preclinical data that lead us to believe that PLG knockdown will reduce bleeding.
Based on a U.K. biobank analysis, genetically predicted lower levels of circulating PLG protein are associated with reduced GI bleeding, reduced nose bleeding and reduced heavy menstrual bleeding. In addition, preclinically, we have shown that a PLG siRNA reduces fibrinolysis and mucosal bleeding in nonhuman primates. We observed a near 70% reduction in menstrual bleeding in this model. That's pretty impressive given this is not a model of heavy menstrual bleeding and the animals are starting with what we consider to be normal menstrual bleeding.
We've been steadily generating evidence that, to this point, show there is not expected to be an increase in thrombotic risk with low PLG and PLG knockdown. Genetic and proteomic data, some of which will showcase at the ISTH Congress next month, suggests that low PLG levels are not associated with an increased risk of arterial or venous thrombosis. Natural history data from 107 patients with plasminogen deficiency showed no history of venous thrombosis.
And preclinical models of provoked thrombosis have been reassuring. Despite near complete knockdown of PLG, thrombotic response was the same as control. This could be because our mechanism of action does not alter thrombin generation, which we've confirmed preclinically, as shown in the figure on the far right.
We think the fact that we have not observed an increase in thrombin generation with near complete knockdown of PLG could be a differentiator when it comes to safety. I'm excited to say that we prioritize not just 1 but 2 indications based on high unmet need and disease burden, specifically hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia or HHT and von Willebrand disease, or VWD. These are the 2 most common bleeding disorders worldwide, affecting approximately 1.5 million patients globally in the case of HHT, and 1.5 million to 3 million in the case of VWD.
It's important to note that despite the high unmet need, there are no approved treatments for HHT and that the current prophylactic treatments for VWD have high burden, which I'll touch on later. HHT is a multisystem bleeding disorder with high clinical burden and no approved treatments. This is a disease of abnormal blood vessels that are fragile and prone to rupture and bleeding. Here, I highlight some quotes from Austin, a patient with HHT, who we will hear from at the end of this presentation.
95% of patients with HHT experience nosebleeds, but you really need to hear the patient stories to understand what this means. Picture a faucet of a sink turned all the way on. That's very distressing and dangerous. More than 2/3 of patients with HHT are anemic or iron deficient due to blood loss. About 1/3 have gastrointestinal or GI bleeding and 11% are hospitalized due to HHT at least once a year. It's a terrible disease. We believe that ALN-6400 has the potential to be a first-in-class treatment for HHT.
It brings hope with the possibility of durable and safe bleeding control. We think that its long-acting mechanism could provide sustained bleeding protection with only 4 injections a year. We also expect that as treatments receive regulatory approval to treat HHT, diagnosis rates will increase as we have seen in other disease areas after the first treatments are approved.
Currently, it is estimated that only about 35% of patients with HHT are diagnosed. This could be much, much better. I'm going to turn now to VWD, where there are really limited and burdensome treatment options for prophylaxis. Patients with VWD are either deficient in something called von Willebrand factor or make a defective version of it. This disrupts platelet adhesion and affects the stability of Factor VIII, leading to increased bleeding. So a completely different mechanism from HHT.
But these patients also suffer from substantial bleeding manifestations, which we believe ALN-6400 has the potential to address. There is a disproportionate burden for women with VWD and 90% experience heavy menstrual bleeding. Hysterectomies are unfortunately all too common as is highlighted by the patient quote. And then you see the reference to getting stuck over 32 times a day. The injection burden with existing prophylactic treatments is so high that some patients even require ports, which are medical devices that can be used to simplify I.V. injections, but also have drawbacks.
The current state of prophylaxis for VWD is limited to IV factor infusion, which you have to do 2 to 3 times a week. This is very burdensome and particularly difficult for children. As you can imagine, it's hard to put an IV in your child 2 to 3 times a week. There are many patients who would benefit from prophylaxis that choose instead to manage their bleeds on demand because of the burden of multiple IV infusions per week.
We believe ALN-6400 has the potential to transform prophylaxis for patients with VWD who need effective, durable and safe bleeding control. Based on ALN-6400's mechanism of action, we believe that patients with VWD would benefit from improved protection from bleeding regardless of VWD type or bleed type. By offering patients an innovative, less burdensome option to manage their disease, we anticipate that more patients will opt for prophylactic treatment than do today. We believe ALN-6400 has the potential to transform treatment across both HHT and VWD, offering 2 unique and sizable opportunities.
In HHT, there are no approved treatments currently available. So it's no surprise that current diagnosis rates are quite low at about 35%. Based on what we have seen in many other disease areas, we expect that diagnosis rates will increase significantly once a treatment becomes available. We estimate there are approximately 1.5 million patients globally and 70,000 in the U.S. In VWD, while there are treatments currently available, they are burdensome, resulting in low treatment rates as patients often avoid prophylaxis and seek treatment only for severe cases.
The opportunity here is to increase the treatment rate as more patients adopt prophylactic treatment as efficacious and lower burden options become available. This, too, represents a sizable opportunity given we estimate there are approximately 3 million patients with VWD globally and 140,000 in the U.S. We are really excited about the potential of ALN-6400 as a hemostatic agent with its differentiated approach that has the potential to improve the lives of patients across multiple bleeding disorders by providing long-acting durable protection from bleeding.
We are highly encouraged by its early safety profile and expect that it could reduce treatment burden, enabling more patients to benefit from prophylactic treatment. And with that, I'd like to turn it over to our guest speaker this morning, Dr. Hanny Al-Samkari. Dr. Al-Samkari is an Associate Professor of Medicine at Harvard Medical School and holds the Peggy S. Blitz Endowed Chair in Hematology/Oncology. He is a classical hematologist and clinical investigator, who co-directs the HHT Center of Excellence at Massachusetts General Hospital.
Dr. Al-Samkari has published extensively about HHT and cares for several hundred patients at his center. Hanny?
Thank you so much, John. So it's my pleasure to chat a bit about HHT and von Willebrand disease and talk about the manifestations of these diseases and a bit about the patient journey and the unmet need from my perspective as a bleeding disorders expert and a provider for these patients. Next slide. Here are my disclosures. Next slide. So this is how I think about the spectrum of inherited bleeding disorders. And I encourage you to think about it in a similar way. So on one end of the spectrum, we have coagulation factor problems. And the classic disease there is hemophilia, where you have a deficiency of a coagulation factor that leads to bleeding, you have normal angiogenesis and therefore, normal blood vessel structure.
On the other end of the spectrum, you have hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia, which is -- there's no coagulation factor deficiency but is a disease primarily of angiogenesis and angiogenic problem. That results in abnormal blood vessels, which we call telangiectasia and arteriovenous malformations that are fragile and they don't properly mature and they bleed and they cause a huge burden of bleeding in these patients.
Now if you look at the incidences, and John already highlighted this, right, we -- when we think of inherited bleeding disorders, the first thing that comes to mind is hemophilia. And hemophilia is obviously a very important inherited bleeding disorder and one of the most common inherited bleeding disorders, but it's actually the third most common, right?
So I think of these as the 3 "common" inherited bleeding disorders. They're all rare diseases technically, right? But when we talk about bleeding disorders, there's the rare and there's the ultra-rare, and these are the rare, which makes them more common relatively speaking. So HHT is about 1 in 5,000. Von Willebrand disease is in the middle. Von Willebrand disease is a coagulation factor deficiency that actually causes angiogenic disruption. So these patients have both impaired hemostasis from bleeding as well as impaired hemostasis from abnormal blood vessels that form and often form in their intestines.
So we have over 30 FDA-approved agents for hemophilia. We have addressed really a massive amount of the need there. Thankfully, my colleagues in the hemophilia space as well as their industry partners have really transformed this disease in a really incredible way. Whereas for the other 2 of these diseases, we are really -- we have a drastic amount of unmet need.
We're really in a difficult place, okay? So for HHT, I don't express hyperbole when I say I believe it is the nonmalignant hematologic disorder that has the greatest amount of unmet need in 2026. And then von Willebrand disease is rather common, and there is a significant gap for patients that have moderate-to-severe von Willebrand disease that is not currently being addressed by the therapies that are FDA approved right now.
I have platelet problem over in the corner. And I think it's just -- I'm just happy to mention or I think it's important to mention that right now, we have no approved therapies for the vast majority of the inherited platelet disorders, but that we actually use plasminogen inhibition primarily to treat them. That's a totally separate talk from other time, but is, I think, somewhat relevant to the topic of today's conversation. Next slide.
So let's talk about HHT. Next slide. So I'll give you a few cases. So this is a 41-year-old man with severe nosebleeds. He works in the biomedical field, diagnosed HHT in his 20s, sent for regular nasal and intestinal cautery procedures that each worked for a couple of months, but ultimately, his bleeding came back worse after each procedure as we know happens in this disease when we use procedures because it's an angiogenic problem. And the more tissue injury you cause, the more you provoke the body to create more telangiectasias and AVMs in these patients. And this patient, unfortunately, ultimately went on disability and his promising career halted because he just could not work with blood gushing from his face, constantly limiting him at work.
I think we all have experienced nosebleed at some point in our life. And so it's easy to maybe make the I think, misunderstood thought that nosebleeds aren't that big of a deal, right? They're not as bad as other kinds of bleeding. When in reality, when they are severe and when they are recurrent, they are perhaps one of the worst kinds of bleeding because they're so obvious and they impact you doing almost anything in your daily life, and that includes working.
And he had chronic anemia requiring regular intravenous iron, constant ER visits for severe nosebleeds. He was diagnosed with major depressive disorder, not surprisingly from his nose bleeding. About half of patients with HHT ultimately are diagnosed with a DSM-5, diagnosed with psychiatric comorbidity because of their nose bleeding. And his well-meaning doc started him on an antidepressant an SSRI, which reduces platelet function. So that worsened his bleeding, right? He said to me, I'm barely 40, but I feel like my life is nearly over, I just want to go back to work and maybe one day be able to have a girlfriend, right?
This is a typical -- this is not an unusual case or a kind of a corner case. This is a typical patient I see in my clinic. Next slide. So HHT is not "that hereditary nose bleed disease, " right? It is a multisystem inherited bleeding disorder with numerous morbid and potentially fatal manifestations. So we've talked a lot about the nose bleeding, and John mentioned 30% of these patients have chronic GI bleeding, right? Between the nose bleeding and the GI bleeding, there is a huge burden of iron deficiency anemia, and it's very common for these patients to be dependent on intravenous iron infusions.
And there is a small subset of the most severe patients that are dependent on red cell transfusions. In addition to that, we have visceral arteriovenous malformations in lung, liver and brain, which can cause a whole host of complications that are quite morbid, high output heart failure, liver disease, pulmonary hypertension, pulmonary hemorrhage, hemorrhagic stroke, epilepsy, other really serious complications.
But you might think, well, gosh, those are the real problem with this disease. But actually, no, right? Patients rank bleeding as by far the most important clinical manifestation because it impacts them on a daily basis and so profoundly, right? So AVMs and anemia tie for second behind bleeding, far behind bleeding. And as has been mentioned, there's no FDA-approved or EMA-approved therapies to date. Next slide.
So because this is an autosomal dominant disease, when I see a patient in clinic, half of their family has HHT. Many of them have not yet been diagnosed, right? So you find one patient and you find 20 more. And this is why at the HHT Center at MGH, I care for several hundred of these patients, several hundred of these families. This is a disease unlike hemophilia, which is a disease primarily of men as an X-linked disease, this affects all sexes equally and actually is the most clinically significant and morbid inherited bleeding disorder of women.
And women actually tend to have more severe bleeding and visceral disease manifestations than men, although both certainly can have severe manifestations. These patients have reduced overall survival because of their bleeding and non-bleeding manifestations. Next slide. The pathologic lesion of HHT is the arteriovenous malformation or AVM. So this is an abnormal lesion, abnormal vascular structure, whereby there are these abnormal fragile friable connections between artery and vein that bypass the normal capillary network. These lesions appear on mucocutaneous surfaces. They appear within organs. When they're small, less than a few millimeters, we call them telangiectasias. When they're bigger than a few millimeters, we call them AVMs.
But the important thing to recognize about them is that they're high flow lesions. These are connected to arteries and arteries have the high pressure inside them. So when these lesions rupture, they often cause squirting bleeding, gushing bleeding, and that's why we can often see the very profound nosebleeds in these patients. Next slide.
These are just some examples of patients that have a lot of telangiectasias. These are very obvious. You don't need 20 or 30 telangiectasias. You only need 2 or 3 to make the diagnosis. I've never met a patient yet in my career that has mucocutaneous telangiectasias in typical locations and recurrent epistaxis who didn't ultimately have HHT.
And as has been pointed out, this is significantly underdiagnosed because, well, for one thing, there's no approved therapies. And another thing, it's something that has not been adequately, I think, given enough time in medical training and medical school, and that's all changing now. Next slide.
More examples of telangiectasias. Next slide. These are telangiectasias in the gastrointestinal tract. And when you zoom in very closely, you see the very kind of spidery appearance of them, the very tortuous abnormal vessels. And these chronically ooze in most patients with HHT. So 3/4 of patients with HHT actually have chronic gastrointestinal -- have telangiectasias in their gastrointestinal tract and about half of them have chronic bleeding that is very clinically significant and usually leads to hematologic support dependence through IV iron and/or red cell transfusions.
Next slide. These are the telangiectasias in the nose that cause the recurrent epistaxis. Next slide. So again, because of these manifestations in these telangiectasias, we have 95% of patients. This was from the comprehensive HHT Outcomes Registry of the United States, a U.S. government-funded registry of HHT Centers of Excellence that enrolled unselected patients with HHT, patients of any age, patients of any severity. And this is the initial report that we just published in blood, 95% with chronic recurrent epistaxis and almost 2/3 of these patients that have moderate to severe epistaxis as is defined by thresholds based on international consensus report in defining epistaxis severity HHT. Next slide.
So 30% with chronic GI bleeding, although only 40% of the patients had even had an upper endoscopy. And by the way, many of the lesions are buried deep in the small bowel. They're not easy to find. And so for the patients that had GI bleeding, 3/4 of them required IV iron and half of them have required red cell transfusion. Next slide.
Heavy menstrual bleeding observed in the setting of essentially chart review was seen in 35% of patients. There's another study actually that is soon to be published that shows a rate of heavy menstrual bleeding of 3/4 of patients with -- of women, menstrual-aged women with HHT. So certainly something that's been underrecognized and people haven't asked about it. If you don't ask about it, you don't diagnose it. And then other bleeding from other areas as well in 41% of patients.
Next slide. So the overall burden of mucosal bleeding in patients with HHT that is moderate-to-severe is 3/4 of these patients, which this is the level of bleeding that is very clearly indicated to treat, right? We want to treat patients with mild bleeding also. But right now, we are forced to use off-label therapies that have a lot of toxicity. And so we only treat the moderate to severe bleeders. Next slide.
Iron deficiency and iron deficiency anemia is "the norm" in this disease, which is a big problem because in addition to drastic reductions in quality of life, one of the most -- one of the clearest things you can do to increase somebody's quality of life is fix iron deficiency in a patient who's iron deficient, but these patients are chronically bleeding. And so it's constantly a game where you're chasing your tail trying to make sure they remain iron replete.
About half of these -- half of patients with HHT, more than half have anemia in this study that evaluated a snapshot in time, 1 year of patients with HHT using ICD-10 codes. And then about half of those patients received iron infusion or red cell transfusion within that year. Next slide.
So when we talk about the bleeding complications of HHT, this is sort of a summary from the CHORUS Registry that I mentioned. And I didn't mention the pulmonary hemorrhage from ruptured pulmonary AVMs that happens in 1 in 50 patients with HHT, which is certainly potentially fatal and this happens in 1% of all pregnancies in women with HHT. And then 1 in 30 patients with HHT developing intracranial hemorrhage. And just to give context, right, that is similar to hemophilia in the '90s before routine factor prophylaxis. The rate of intracranial hemorrhage in 2026 in patients in the United States treated with nonfactor prophylaxis is 0.4% for hemophilia. It's 3% for HHT.
Next slide. So the standard of care for bleeding in HHT is highlighted on this slide or described on this slide. And really, what we are forced to do is supportive therapy with iron. We do procedures when we have to because, again, we really have moved away from recurrent procedures, certainly at HHT centers, although in the community because as you can see, the drugs on this slide are cancer drugs that are FDA approved only for patients with terminal or metastatic cancer, which a lot of docs in the community, including hematologists, oncologists are not comfortable administering drugs like pomalidomide and bevacizumab, administered indefinitely to patients with HHT who have decades of life ahead of them.
The procedure piece is primarily used in HHT Centers to stabilize unstable patients. And then we treat with drugs, and we treat with oral antifibrinolytics, primarily in those patients that have mild-to-moderate disease, and these are patients with patients getting tranexamic acid or aminocaproic acid 2 horse pills every 6 to 8 hours, which is not the easiest thing for patients to take, as you can imagine. And the efficacy of this approach is really limited by/patient compliance, ability to take the pills, side effects that patients have.
And then we have, on the other end, clinical trials of novel agents because, again, we have no approved therapies or repurposed systemic anti-androgenic drugs, which work, by the way, on average for about 3 to 5 years and then they stop working. And so the unmet need here is really profound.
Next slide. All right. So let's switch gears and talk about von Willebrand disease, the most common inherited bleeding disorder. So here's another case, a 40-year-old woman with type 2b von Willebrand disease, complicated by chronic GI bleeding. She's previously managed on 3 times weekly intravenous von Willebrand factor, plasma-derived, but developed infusion fatigue.
She was switched to twice weekly recombinant von Willebrand factor, but this only treated her heavy menstrual bleeding, not the GI bleeding she had from these abnormal vascular lesions in her intestines. On endoscopy, she has these vascular malformations that intermittently bleed, put her on octreotide with minimal effect. This is a drug that reduces blood flow to the intestines.
And she's still missing infusions of recombinant von Willebrand factor, which is normally given twice weekly due to the fact that she's a single mother of 3 kids. She has a busy job, which she works almost 60 hours a week, and she has infusion fatigue. It's not the easiest thing to continue to do this forever. Next slide.
So von Willebrand factor is an important blood protein that forms clots to stop bleeding, okay? It protects clotting factor VIII. And so people who have low von Willebrand factor also have low factor VIII levels. typically in conjunction with the reduced von Willebrand factor. And it facilitates the binding of platelets to subendothelial collagen, these glycoproteins -- platelet glycoproteins that bind subendothelial collagen as well as platelet-to-platelet interactions.
So it serves in many ways as kind of the glue that helps platelets stay together and helps platelets attach to the site of vessel injury. Next slide. So von Willebrand disease is quite common in the bleeding disorder space, the most common inherited bleeding disorder. It's frequently missed. Like HHT, it's frequently missed. And in both of these cases, right, von Willebrand disease -- type 1 von Willebrand disease is the most common type is autosomal dominant, right? Like HHT is autosomal dominant.
So what happens is the bleeding gets normalized in families. Oh, yes, women in our family, they have heavy periods. People in our family, they get nosebleeds. That's just "our family curse. " We just have a lot of bleeding. It gets normalized. And so people don't even know that they have heavy menstrual bleeding. If someone -- if a doc asks, it's normal because the mother of the woman told them it's normal because their sisters have it.
It's just normal to them. So it's very frequently missed. And it can come to attention because of severe iron deficiency anemia or in the case of von Willebrand disease, profound or complicated postpartum bleeding or post-procedural bleeding. Next slide.
So these are the manifestations of von Willebrand disease. Again, not to belabor the point, but heavy menstrual bleeding being a really major one. And this heavy menstrual bleeding in patients that have more mild disease can be managed with tranexamic acid and can be managed with oral contraceptives. But in many cases, it's not adequately managed by our current therapies, and there is a gap and a need for a better therapy for these patients. And then on top of that, right, these patients not infrequently will have some epistaxis. They can have gingival bleeding, they can develop gastrointestinal hemorrhages, and there are increased risk of surgical bleeding and more bleeding after trauma and more bleeding with pregnancy and pregnancy complications with delivery.
In patients who have the most severe kind of von Willebrand disease, they can actually look like a severe hemophilia A patient. Next slide. So not to get too into the weeds, but here are the types of von Willebrand disease. Type 1 is a quantitative deficiency. Most patients have a mild to moderate bleeding propensity. Type 2 is a qualitative deficiency. And the typical type 2 patient has moderate bleeding, but these patients can have mild bleeding and they can have severe bleeding.
And then there's type 3, which is autosomal recessive, essentially an inheritance of 2 type 1 -- drastic type 1 mutations. And this is quite rare, but these patients can look for all the world like a severe hemophilia patient. Next slide. So our current treatments for von Willebrand disease really leave a conspicuous gap. Patients with mild type 1 and type 2 disease are generally managed all right with desmopressin before most procedures, von Willebrand disease factor containing concentrate before major procedures and they have -- they take antifibrinolytics, which certainly do work to help with bleeding after dental procedures, certain surgeries. Sometimes these can be used as an abortive for a particularly bad nosebleed, patients will take 2 tranexamic acid pills.
Patients that have moderate to severe type 1 and type 2 disease and the patient's type 3 disease, however, there is a clear unmet need in this group of patients. So the type 3 patients, as was given -- type 3 patients and severe type 2 patients as was given in the example case that I gave, right, they are often dependent on intravenous infusions of von Willebrand factor, plasma-derived or recombinant -- and these infusions can reduce bleeding and they do reduce bleeding, but they're a really significant burden on the patient.
And it's really challenging if you're in this kind of middle group where you have multiple nosebleeds a week, you have heavy menstrual bleeding that's not managed by typical therapies. You don't technically have type 3 disease. You don't technically have severe type 1 or type 2 disease, but it's moderate. Most of these patients don't want to go on regular infusions. It's just too much of a burden. So there is a clear gap there for those patients. And it's not enough to give these patients oral antifibrinolytics because they don't -- they're not adequate in managing bleeding.
Next slide. So what do we need in von Willebrand disease and HHT? We need safe and effective medications for moderate to severe mucoccutaneous mucosal bleeding. We ideally want a drug that's convenient. It should be -- should have a minimal or nil thromboembolic risk. In patients with HHT, they have increased thromboembolic risk over the general population. And in any bleeding disorder, you don't want to give patients a higher thromboembolic risk if you can avoid it because of, obviously, the challenges with antithrombotic therapy in these patients. The ideal drug is prophylactic as opposed to something on demand and should be ideally administered infrequently.
And it's got to reduce epistaxis in HHT, and it's got to reduce overall mucocutaneous bleeding in HHT and von Willebrand disease. And in a perfect world, would reduce the burden of anemia and the requirements for hematologic support, I.V. iron, red cell transfusion, particularly in HHT, and of course, would improve patient-related health-related quality life. So with that, I'm happy to hand it off to Dr. Martina Slingsby.
Thank you, Dr. Al-Samkari for the excellent and comprehensive overview of the clinical burden of HHT and von Willebrand disease. Your examples really bring to light the devastating impact of these diseases on patients' lives. My name is Martina Slingsby, and I'm a PhD scientist, and I've been the research lead and now the clinical science lead for the ALN-6400 program at Alnylam.
I will now take you through our clinical plans and progress. I've had the privilege of working on this exciting program right from the idea stage around 4 years ago, where the Alnylam model of genetic and preclinical validation and a streamlined approach allowed us to quickly identify a lead candidate and start a Phase I study at the end of 2024. Only about a month later, under 3 years from the idea, we were able to demonstrate clinical proof of mechanism in humans. In September last year, we initiated a Phase II study in patients with HHT.
And last month, we initiated another Phase II study in patients with von Willebrand disease. Here is an overview of our Phase I study in healthy adult volunteers. This was a double-blind, placebo-controlled study testing 4 ascending single-dose levels of ALN-6400. An innovative aspect of this Phase I study was the oral tranexamic acid or TXA benchmark run-in and washout period.
As we heard from Dr. Al-Samkari, the antifibrinolytic drug, TXA is commonly used in both HHT and von Willebrand disease, but is not an approved therapy for these conditions. Due to its short half-life, it needs to be given frequently at high doses, typically at 2 tablets, 3 times a day for a total of 3 to 4 grams a day. It is common for patients with HHT to take this dose of oral TXA continuously every day for years, whereas patients with von Willebrand disease typically take TXA more on demand. In Phase I study, we performed this TXA benchmark run-in where all participants received standard of care doses of TXA prior to their subcutaneous injection of ALN-6400 or placebo. This allowed for mechanistic comparison of the intra-individual antifibrinolytic effect and how durable this response was with TXA relative to ALN-6400 using a mechanistic assay called tPA-ROTEM, performed at various time points in the study, which I will show on the next slide.
We designed the study like this to learn what level of plasminogen lowering is needed in order to have a similar antifibrinolytic effect as oral TXA and what level of plasminogen lowering could lead to a more durable antifibrinolytic effect in the blood. This study has now been completed, and we remain on track to share data in the second half of this year. In the Phase I study, we demonstrated clinical proof of mechanism that ALN-6400 is able to inhibit fibrinolysis in humans. For this, we use tPA-ROTEM, which is an ex vivo assay, which shows whole blood clot formation, clot stabilization followed by clot breakdown or fibrinolysis.
A larger area of blue trace means that the clot is more stable and lasting for longer, signifying an antifibrinolytic effect. The top panels show representative ROTEM traces from a healthy volunteer dosed with oral TXA. And as you can see, at the TXA peak effect, the blue trace was extended, meaning clot breakdown of fibrinolysis was reduced. This effect only lasted for a few hours since the TXA trough 8 hours after TXA dosing, the antifibrinolytic effect had to a large extent, worn off.
The lower panels show the ROTEM rotent responses from the same healthy volunteer after they were dosed with ALN-6400, showing a deep antifibrinolytic effect that was sustained for 3 months. Based on the Phase I results, we have now selected 2 dose levels of ALN-6400 that demonstrated mechanistically greater and more durable antifibrinolytic effects in the blood compared to oral TXA, which we hypothesize will translate to a greater reduction in bleeding.
The bleeding protection effect of TXA last hours per dose. We now plan to investigate whether a single dose of ALN-6400 can offer bleeding protection for several months in our Phase II studies, where we hope to demonstrate clinical proof of concept of ALN-6400 for the reduction of bleeding.
Here is an overview of our multinational HHT Phase II study called InsigHHT, where patients with HHT are randomized to receive multiple doses of ALN-6400 dose level 1, 2 or placebo. In this study, we are focusing on patients with HHT who suffer from moderate-to-severe nosebleeds, like Dr. Al-Samkari referred to in his talk, make up the majority of the HHT patients that he sees. The goals of the study are to evaluate safety and tolerability to determine the Phase III dose and regimen and assess efficacy by a reduction in nosebleeds.
We expect initial results in the second half of this year. We aim to begin a Phase III study in HHT as well as to present full Phase II data at a scientific congress in 2027. We have just started a multinational von Willebrand disease Phase II study called HMBeacon, where adult and adolescent patients with all types of von Willebrand disease and heavy menstrual bleeding are randomized to receive multiple doses of ALN-6400 dose level 1 or 2. As you heard from Dr. Al-Samkari, heavy menstrual bleeding despite the current treatment options remains a huge unmet need in von Willebrand disease. Yet a paper was just published that emphasized that menstrual outcomes are frequently overlooked in von Willebrand disease trials. I am very proud to be part of this Alnylam effort to change that and to be the first company to do a study focusing on women with heavy menstrual bleeding.
The goal with this study is to evaluate safety and tolerability, determine the Phase III dose and regimen, achieve a quick path to proof of concept by focusing on reduction in menstrual bleeding since that is a reliable bleed type that happens every month. We will also be collecting information on other types of bleeds since we're planning to conduct a Phase III trial in both male and female patients with von Willebrand disease of all types, where the primary endpoint is anticipated to be annualized bleeding rate.
In summary, we believe ALN-6400 offers a differentiated approach with broad impact potential across bleeding disorders. We are encouraged by our data so far and believe that ALN-6400 has the potential to safely provide durable protection and reduced treatment burden, which could meaningfully address the unmet needs of patients living with rare bleeding disorders.
Now we will listen to a patient story from [indiscernible] and his family about what it is like to live with HHT.
[Presentation]
And giving us such a powerful window into the realities of living with HHT. Their experience is really brings to life what Dr. Al-Samkari was highlighting in his presentation about the profound unmet need, this disease places on patients, their families and why we're working with such urgency to advance ALN-6400 for patients with HHT and Von Willebrand disease.
We're going to move now into the Q&A session.
So as a reminder, please submit your questions through the dialogue box located within the webcast platform, and we'll answer as many as we can within the time remaining.
Joining me today for Q&A are our 3 presenters, John Gansner; Martina Slingsby and Dr. Hanny Al-Samkari. And in addition, Christi Kelsey, Senior Vice President of Value and Pipeline Commercialization at Alnylam will be joining us for the Q&A session.
So I'll just give a moment for the questions to come in.
All right. And so maybe here we go here. So one is maybe for you, John, Dr. Al-Samkari talked a little bit about the variety of bleeding disorders that are out there across a spectrum of factor, structural defects, platelet defects. What gives us the confidence -- for you the confidence that plasminogen lowering would work across these various etiologies?
That's a very important question, Pushkal, and I'll start by just saying that ALN-6400 targets liver-expressed plasminogen or PLG, which is really a central mediator of fibrinolysis. And that, again, is the process that breaks down blood clots. And so our goal with ALN-6400 is to stabilize the fibrin mesh that holds together naturally occurring blood clots thereby reducing and preventing recurrent bleeding. So you can really think of the therapeutic hypothesis as ALN-6400 is a drug that aims to stabilize and inner bandaid. We believe our approach could be effective across multiple bleeding disorders because plasminogen is a central mediator of fibrinolysis across bleeding disorders in blood and bleed types. And this is really substantiated by the fact that antifibrinolytics are used to reduce bleeding across multiple bleeding disorders.
That's super helpful. And maybe then a related question that came in is, I guess, this assumes if you described this as an inner -- there is a band aid approach that these patients caught sufficiently for this mechanism to work. So maybe Dr. Al-Samkari, can you just talk about across the variety of bleeding, do they have enough clotting that's happening for this kind of an approach to work? And then what would we expect? Would we expect this to reduce the intensity of bleeds that have already started or to prevent bleeds or both?
Yes. Great question. So yes, these patients do have adequate clotting, adequate thrombin generation for this approach to work. They do produce clots. The issue here, and with HHT the amount of thrombin generation is totally normal, and other bleeding disorders, the amount of thrombin generation is reduced, but still adequate to produce clot. Just one thing I think it's really important to recognize is that when we talk about the hemostatic system, we have the coagulation system and the fibrinolytic system. They are 2 separate systems under the hemostatic system. And they both are important.
And the fibrinolytic system, it functions -- it was a kind of constitutively and normally independent of what's going on with the coagulation part of the system. And so this helps us to address sort of rebalance the amount of fibrinolysis with the amount of coagulation that's going on in patients that have coagulation defects and reduces fibrinolysis in patients that have -- sort of rebalances the amount of fibrinolysis that's occurring in patients that have vascular structural defects.
It's also worth noting that in HHT patients do have increased fibrinolysis within lesions. That's something that we didn't actually mention. And so it is also relevant to reduce that as well. But should -- would I expect it to reduce bleeding incidents, bleeding intensity, bleeding duration, all of those things.
And we know that currently, right, are sort of not very adequate from a PK/PD standpoint, antifibrinolytics that we use. They certainly work. But when you give somebody 2 horse pills every 6 to 8 hours and the effect is only really therapeutic for about 2 to 3 hours after the patient takes the medication takes the pill, we know that these drugs work when we give intravenous infusions, right, in the hospital, they work quite a bit better because the person is getting a high dose and good inhibition of plasminogen. It reduces frequency of bleeds. It reduces intensity of bleeds and it reduces duration of bleeds. So all of those things, I expect this approach to work for.
Super helpful. Martina, maybe a question for you. There are a variety of indications. These are 2 diverse indications that we're pursuing. Why did -- why do we pick these 2 sort of deliver proof of concept and to pursue first?
As you mentioned in your presentation, Pushkal, it's really the philosophy at Alnylam when we select indications is really based on around 3 main criteria, and that is the first being the overall scientific rationale, it's got to make sense. Second, the degree of unmet need; and thirdly, and probably most importantly, where do we have the potential to show the greatest impact on patients' lives. And looking at these three criteria, HHT and Von Willebrand disease really fulfill them and really rose to the top here as a good starting point, where, as we've heard, the mechanism of lowering fibrinolysis to reduce bleeding, it's likely to have a transformative impact on the management of these bleeding disorders.
And then based on their high unmet need, but they have high unmet need for different reasons, as we had mentioned in Dr. Al-Samkari's talk in HHT, there are no approved treatment options. So there is really a medical need for a therapy that can offer prophylactic bleeding control, reduce nose bleeding and overall blood loss from other sources of bleeds alleviate the profound anemia burden and the need for frequent hematologic support such as iron infusions.
Whereas in Von Willebrand disease, there are prophylactic treatments, but they are burdensome, requiring IV infusions 2 to 3 times a week, leading many patients to opt out of prophylaxis, which results in under treatment. We believe that ALN-6400 can potentially offer a durable bleed protection across all Von Willebrand types with a lower treatment burden of infrequent quarterly subcutaneous dosing. So this is why we selected HHT and Von Willebrand disease.
That's great. And maybe Dr. Al-Samkari, I think questions for you around -- given in your kind of perch across all that's happening in this space, can you just kind of calibrate your level of, I guess, enthusiasm based on all the biology that was covered here today and what you know in terms of potential of this therapy. What's your sort of general level of enthusiasm about this approach to treat these bleeding disorders?
Yes. I mean I'm very enthusiastic. So I -- right now, when I write about antifibrinolytics, and when we talk about them and use them in clinical practice, we refer them as nonspecific universal hemostatic agents. The challenge is they just are not good at an outpatient perspective, use an outpatient perspective and use chronically because of their pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamic limitations. And we know we have lots of evidence that they're safe in patients with bleeding disorders. We have lots of evidence even in HHT as an inherited bleeding disorder with an elevated thromboembolic risk that they're safe.
We have longitudinal data. We have multiple randomized controlled trials that they're safe. It's just that we need a better mousetrap. We need a way to affect plasminogen at a greater -- to a greater degree and much more consistently, which is why I'm very enthusiastic about the prospect for plasminogen knockdown in HHT and other -- across other bleeding disorders. Right now, when we have any inherited bleeding disorder that has no FDA-approved therapies and even for those with FDA-approved therapies, one of the most common drugs, if not the most common drug we use is tranexamic acid, right? So if you could have a much, much better version of this, right, that is easier to use, that has longer effect that is much better at actually reducing fibrinolysis. We anticipate the safety profile will be similar and tranexamic acid is very, very good. And so that's one of the main reasons why I am as enthusiastic as I am.
It's good to have something that works across different pathophysiologies. These diseases are genetically heterogeneous. Von Willebrand disease and HHT both are very genetically heterogeneous and bleeding is the major problem to both of them. And so having something that works independently of what's going on from a genetic standpoint, is also very reassuring that I can have a therapy that will work -- that most likely will work for any of my patients with the disease.
Fantastic. And then you started to touch on this, but can you just elaborate in terms of what safety concerns? I mean, thrombosis is one, what -- Martina reviewed some of the data, what's your take on data supports or around the thrombosis risk. These patients have a baseline thrombosis risk? What is that? And how do you monitor for thrombosis in the clinic?
Yes. Excellent question. So the baseline increased thromboembolic risk in patients with HHT is about two- to fourfold that of the general population. It is driven by multiple different mechanisms, but one of the major ones is chronic iron deficiency, which is -- which causes increased Factor VIII levels and which leads to a higher risk for thrombosis. And obviously, if you can reduce the bleeding, you can reduce the iron deficiency. It's a virtuous cycle in that way.
But how we monitor these patients clinically, we don't -- when we treat these patients, we don't monitor things like D-dimer, prothrombin fragment and HHT because these are patients that are chronically bleeding. And so they're chronically going to be producing D-dimers and prothrombin fragments, and it's not helpful to monitor those over time because very frequently, they're elevated at baseline. We monitor these patients clinically. We do proper physical exams. We ask them proper questions. We educate them in advance of the symptoms and signs to look for and give them a low threshold to talk to us and reach out if they develop those symptoms or signs. And we also have a low threshold to do proper imaging to evaluate if somebody is potentially having an event.
The other part of your question, sorry, Pushkal, you mentioned the data -- so the data -- so why do I feel comfortable? I feel comfortable because we have real substantial body of evidence. And it's been -- Dr. Slingsby pointed out a lot of it. We have great data in patients with HHT showing no increased thromboembolic risk, multiple RCTs, multiple real-world evidence cohorts with over 100 patients followed for years, receiving 4 grams a day of tranexamic acid or aminocaproic acid that show no increased propensity for thrombosis.
We have studies in nonhuman primates. We have studies in mouse models with drastic knockdown of plasminogen showing no increased thrombin generation, no increased incidence of thrombosis. We have real world experimentation in patients with congenital plasminogen deficiency. People who have 5% or 1% of normal plasminogen levels, living their entire lives with these levels, followed for decades in a study called History, which is the major natural history study just published a large report in blood last year, no increased propensity for thromboembolism in these patients despite having very low levels for decades.
We have the U.K. Biobank data, which looked at over 50,000 patients, which was queried by 2 independent groups that came to the same conclusion. You could have reduction in plasminogen levels of any 5%, 90% from normal and no increased thromboembolic risk. So it doesn't get a whole lot better than that when it comes to the level of evidence that we're not really worried about thromboembolism. And let me tell you, it's not easy to anticoagulate these patients. It's not easy. So I have a very -- it's very important to me that when I'm using to treat my patients does not have a substantial thromboembolic risk. And it's important to note that right now, right, in HHT, the drugs that I do use for patients that don't qualify for clinical trials are things like bevacizumab and pomalidomide that have known thromboembolic risks, right? So -- even the bleeding is so significant that we're forced to use those drugs. So it's very, very reassuring to me the safety of plasminogen lowering as we've seen it in plasminogen inhibition, as we've seen it thus far.
That is super clear. Thank you for really reviewing all of that. I think that's super important. We've got a number of questions I wanted to clarify that.
Maybe we should then shift. We were excited about this approach. Martina, maybe this is to you. What data can we expect to see in the clinical readouts later this year? What does good look like in HHT and Von Willebrand? And then maybe John, you can speak to the Hunting -- the HHT data read through to the Von Willebrand disease, given we're going to see the HHT data first. Is that predictive of what we might see? And why do we start that first? And then will that be somewhat predictive of what we see in Von Willebrands. Martina, I will start with you there.
We are now excited to have complete data from our Phase I trial, and we will communicate these results later this year about our learnings of safety and pharmacology of ALN-6400 in-house volunteers. In terms of the HHT Phase II study, just to recap, that includes 48 patients with moderate to severe HHT treated with ALN-6400 or placebo over a 24-week double-blind period. Recruitment has gone very well attesting to the high unmet need in patients with HHT and also to the excitement of our investigators for enrolling patients in this study. And this study is really designed to tell us about safety and tolerability and show us how ALN-6400 can reduce nose bleeding and other improved on other hematologic parameters. And we expect initial Phase II results this year, and we plan to share the full data at a medical conference next year in 2027.
In terms of what wins would look like in these 2 parallel Phase II studies, the successful outcomes for both studies is to demonstrate that ALN-6400 is safe and well tolerated across these 2 indications. And in HHT Phase II, we'll be focusing on a reduction in bleeding, particularly in nose bleeding, but also the overall blood loss and the impact that has. And in our Phase II study and Von Willebrand disease, we are focusing on this reduction in menstrual bleeding, and we are also looking at reductions in other bleed types that these patients may experience also to inform our Phase III studies.
And I'll hand it over to John to comment.
So I mean I just want to go back to what I emphasized earlier, which is ALN-6400 targets liver-expressed plasminogen, which again is that central mediator fibrinolysis. And therefore, we really think that it has the potential, as Dr. Al-Samkari said, to work across bleeding -- blood -- bleeding disorders and also bleeding types. And so we do think that, Pushkal, to answer your question, what we see in HHT will be predictive of what we see in Von Willebrand disease. And we're very hopeful that we will have positive results in both studies.
We'll have to run them to see, but there's actually a lot of overlap between the bleeding types even within those 2 diseases themselves. So you see epistaxis or nose bleeds in patients with Von Willebrand disease, just like you do in HHT and you see other bleed types, heavy menstrual bleeding as Dr. Al-Samkari also emphasized. So we do think the one will be predictive of the other.
Fantastic. And maybe Dr. Al-Samkari, as a clinician, what's the clinically meaningful reduction or impact in these 2 diseases?
Yes. It's a really good question. So we've defined this in HHT an international consensus report that was published last year in an individual patients and improvement in epistaxis intensity, frequency or duration and we say or, but usually effective therapies affect all 3 of these domains of epistaxis, an improvement of 30% relative to baseline is a clearly meaningful improvement. That's what we call an epistaxis response. Between clinical arms of a study, we define the minimal clinically important difference of an improvement of at least 15% relative to baseline in one of these epistaxis parameters, which equates to about 50% of patients achieving that epistaxis response threshold, okay?
This is a difficult disease to treat. It is not easy. And so the -- and it's very, very clear that patients have significant improvements in their quality of life and in their overall blood loss when we achieve at least a 30% improvement. In Von Willebrand disease, an improvement of -- in the annualized bleeding rate of approximately 50% is what I would say would be a clearly meaningful improvement.
Very, very helpful. Let's shift. We're getting a number of questions around sort of just the market opportunity here and the value. So maybe, Christie, I'll bring you into the conversation. How are we thinking about the market opportunity in these 2 diseases? Can you speak to -- we got some epidemiology in our presentation, but can you just speak to what's the addressable proportion of those patients? And where do we see the value? How much is in these indications versus we've talked about a variety of other bleeding disorders, where does the value come from?
Yes. No, great question. And maybe just to pull through a couple of key themes. So on value, we expect significant value creation from these opportunities with combined blockbuster potential. And we expect these two first indications to really be the lion's share of value for the asset. I think a theme I've heard today is just the profound unmet need. If we think of HHT just to go through the numbers, obviously, 70,000 patients in the U.S., over 1 million globally, no approved therapies. And the reason why that's important in value, and I think it's been mentioned today, when there's no approved therapies that often results in not a strong urgency to diagnose. So naturally, from a value perspective, we see that as a market build opportunity. As treatments become available, there's increase in awareness, diagnosis and ultimately, utilization.
To dig a bit deeper on who would this be appropriate for? We anticipate ALN-6400 when thinking about HHT to be most appropriate for those patients that have moderate to severe disease with high clinical burden. We heard today of the profound clinical burden of this disease, and that's about 30% to 40% that meet this criteria. Now it's important to note the current criteria of severity is based on the epistaxis severity score, and that's based on, obviously, nose bleeds alone. Given the multi system bleeding disorder that this is, we expect that these measures will evolve over time, taking into account the full clinical burden and its increasing the opportunity.
For Von Willebrand, I'll be quite quick. This is an underserved market. From the numbers, we know 140,000 patients in the U.S., 3 million globally. But I think as Dr. Al-Samkari communicated, there is a gap. Yes, there's about 25% of patients treated in hemophilia treatment centers, but our internal estimates say upwards of 80% of those patients are eligible for prophylactic treatment and they're not getting it. The current treatments are very invasive. They're very time-consuming. They're very burdensome. I love the example of the patient with job and obviously, children, it's very difficult to take IV infusions 2 to 3 times a week.
So we know from other prophylactic markets like HAE and hemophilia the dosing frequency is a very, very strong commercial differentiator and basically shifts markets and unlocking significant value. So I think bottom line is significant value creation, combined blockbuster potential in both of these disease areas are just waiting for this next wave of innovation that we've seen in some of the other areas that we've mentioned.
That's fantastic. I guess a related question came in, which is people were noting that Incyte recently did a transaction in this space in Von Willebrand disease. Does that change our assessment of the opportunity here and for more innovation?
Not at all. If anything, another kind of external proof point or validation of the opportunity that we see. We really look forward to bringing forward this innovation at pace, and we do believe very strongly that our quarterly dosing profile especially in Von Willebrand disease is quite differentiated and again, unlocking significant value. So it's great to see others that recognize the opportunity that we're talking about today.
Great. And I think we just have time for 1 or 2 more questions. Maybe Dr. Al-Samkari for you, Christi, feel free to add if you do. But just can you -- why are the diagnosis rates so low for these HHT patients? Why are the treatment rates so low for the Von Willebrand disease patients? What's the diagnostic journey for these patients? Is there genetic testing? If you could just kind of spend a couple of moments to tell people and then why they are so low and where the...
Absolutely. So in HHT the Forest registry recently -- the recent publication right it taught us that in the United States, the average patient with HHT has clear signs and symptoms of HHT by age 16, but is only diagnosed on average at age 37, right? So over 2-decade diagnostic delay, which is really unacceptable. But the reality here is that it's a manifestation of the fact this is an inherited bleeding disorder that's progressive. So it gets worse as people get older and really adult docs and I'm an adult doc myself, so I will speak for us, right? We don't do the best job in the world as diagnosing inherited disorders. It really truly many people assume that the pediatricians have done that or are supposed to do that. And many children don't have that many -- that severe manifestations of disease. The most severe manifestations in HHT are really between ages 30 and 70. That's when things come up and these patients are adults.
And so I teach everyone now recurrent epistaxis in an adult if HHT and Von Willebrand otherwise because it's the most morbid potential cause of that. And quite frankly, usually ends up being the diagnosis. So why is it not -- why it is underdiagnosed? A lot of -- sort of fragmentation of care, number one. There are about 28 HHT centers of excellence in the United States, a number that is increasing. Not all of those centers are even funded by the government yet. That's changing. There are 145 hemophilia treatment centers for half the number of patients. Most states don't even have an HHT Center of Excellence yet.
But now starting in 2022, HHT has federal funding, that funding is going up and has already gone up and more and more HHT centers are being opened. And certainly, when we have approved therapies, that's if you build it, they will come kind of situation. But it's an educational gap. And that educational gap is something that the federal funding is explicitly addressing with that -- with funding for CME for docs and for centers to teach their surrounding community.
The diagnoses are -- that the under diagnosis rate is getting better. There's actually studies that have shown these huge increases and prevalence in the United States of HHT in the last 10 to 15 years, that's not because more patients have suddenly come down with HHT. It's because of increased diagnosis. And so this is really going into hyper speed right now. And I suspect that within the next 5 to 10 years, our under diagnosis rate will be down to 20% to 30% from the current 60% or so that it is today.
Why are so many patients Von Willebrand disease not adequately treated? It's because you either have -- you have a toy hammer or a sledge hammer. There's nothing in between, right? The toy hammer is the desmopressin. The sledge hammer is the prophylactic infusions. And so a lot of these patients are just kind of left in the middle and even a lot of docs feel like, well, your disease isn't that enough for 3 infusions of [ Will ] at every week it's not that, and it's too much for tranexamic acid and desmopressin. These patients sort of left in the middle. So I really think that the -- obviously, advances here will help to address that issue.
Very helpful. Thank you for clearing up. Clearly, a lot of room for improvement here. Hopefully, we can make a difference in that as we develop medicine. I think the last question that came in, we did get a number around what our Phase III plans are.
Maybe I'll start the first part, which is -- and what do we know about regulatory endpoints. So John, I'll -- so the preview, should speak a bit to what we understand about endpoints. I can just speak about the Phase III plans. I think we've highlighted in our presentation. Obviously, we're waiting for Phase II data first, and that's a clear milestone we need to get through, and we're anticipating Phase II initial results, as Martina said, at the end of this year for HHT and we'll plan to share those in early '27 at a scientific meeting. Von Willebrands, we -- that study is ongoing, and we'll wait to see. But pending positive results in HHT, we may start a Phase III next year in '27 and Von Willebrands to follow. But we'll give you more updates on that. But again, these are programs that we think given that the short timeline, we may be able to conduct fairly rapidly, again, assuming compelling efficacy and safety data along the way.
But maybe, John, you can just speak to where -- what the thinking is around what registrational endpoints might look like in these diseases?
Sure. Of course, Pushkal, I'll give a concise answer since I know we're short on time. So for Von Willebrand disease, I think it's pretty clear, as Martina said in the slide, the primary endpoint is expected to be ABR. There's a clear precedent in Von Willebrand disease. Trials that resulted in a marketed approvals for ABR to be used. So I think that's very clear, and that's what we'll use.
For HHT, there are no approved treatments, and therefore, there is less certainty. However, we are pretty convinced that because epistaxis is so important from a disease burden perspective to patients and to physicians that, that will be one component that we need to take into account. And again, we think we will have an impact on that in our Phase II study, but we have to show it. And then obviously, we also think that other things like red cell transfusions, IV iron infusion, health care resource utilization and anemia are also important things that we need to take into account when we're thinking about Phase III endpoints.
Fantastic. All right. Well, that -- look, I think that brings this to an end. I want to thank everyone for your questions who participate in the webinar, particular thanks John, Martina and Christi to each of you and especially Dr. Al-Samkari for sharing your insights as a treating physician to today's discussion.
This concludes today's RNAi Roundtable, and you can access the replay of the webinar and download the slides in the Capella section of Alnylam's website. The tenth season of the roundtable series continues on September 17, with this session on zilebesiran which has the potential to reduce the incidence of cardiovascular events by providing continuous control of blood pressure and then followed by a spotlight on ALN-HTT02, which aims to reduce the progression of Huntington's disease on October 26. Thank you all for joining, and have a great day.
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's meeting. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Special Call - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Special Call - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Alnylam präsentiert ALN-6400 als langfristige RNAi‑Therapie zur Reduktion von Blutungen bei HHT und von-Willebrand‑Krankheit; PhI/II‑Daten 2026 erwartet.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: ALN-6400 senkt hepatisch gebildetes Plasminogen per RNA‑Interferenz, verlängert antifibrinolytische Wirkung gegenüber oraler Tranexamsäure und zielt auf dauerhafte, vierteljährliche Prophylaxe bei hereditärer hämorrhagischer Teleangiektasie (HHT) und von‑Willebrand‑Krankheit (VWD).
📈 Strategische Highlights
- Validierung: Genetische Daten, Präklinika und Phase‑I‑tPA‑ROTEM‑Assay stützen Mechanismus; ausgewählte Dosen zeigen länger anhaltenden Effekt als orale TXA.
- Indikationen: Fokus auf HHT (hoher ungedeckter Bedarf, keine zugelassenen Therapie) und VWD (Prophylaxelücke wegen IV‑Infusionslast); mögliche Reduktion von Anämie, IV‑Eisen und Transfusionen.
- Development: PhI abgeschlossen, InsigHHT und HMBeacon (PhII) laufen; wenn positiv, Phase‑III‑Planung 2027.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Neu: Phase‑I‑Beweis der Wirkungsdauer: ALN‑6400 erzeugte in tPA‑ROTEM eine monatelange antifibrinolytische Wirkung vs. Stunden bei TXA; zwei Dosisstufen ausgewählt.
- Timings: Erste Phase‑II‑Ergebnisse H2/2026; vollständige PhII‑Daten geplant für 2027; potenzieller schneller Weg zu Phase‑III bei positiver Sicherheits‑/Wirkungsbilanz.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Thromboserisiko: Zentrale Nachfrage — Management zeigte zahlreiche genetische, real‑world und präklinische Daten, die kein erhöhtes Thromboserisiko erwarten lassen; Monitoring wird klinisch‑symptomatisch erfolgen.
- Übertragbarkeit: Wird HHT‑Signal VWD vorhersagen? Management hält Ergebnisse für prädiktiv, da Fibrinolyse ein übergreifender Mechanismus ist, aber betont Notwendigkeit von Indikationsspezifischen Endpunkten.
- Regulatorik: VWD registratorisches Endpoint‑Präferenzen für jährliche Blutungsrate (ABR) klar; bei HHT bleibt Epistaxis‑Reduktion plus Hämatologie‑Parameter/Resource‑Use das wahrscheinliche Kombinationsset.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: ALN‑6400 ist ein vielversprechendes, platformgetriebenes Asset mit überzeugender Mechanismus‑ und Early‑Human‑Datenlage; bei positiven PhII‑Ergebnissen besteht substantielles klinisches und kommerzielles Upside, aber Schlüsselrisiken bleiben: langfristige Sicherheitsdaten, klare klinische Effektstärke in PhII/III und Marktaufbau angesichts aktueller Unterdiagnose.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Goldman Sachs 47th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
Great. Good morning. Thank you, everyone, for joining us. It's a pleasure to have with us the Alnylam team. With us is Jeff Poulton, CFO; and Pushkal Garg, Head of Development.
Maybe to start here, could you lay out your 5-year goals where you've talked about 25% revenue CAGR as well as 30% non-GAAP operating margin. Could you frame the contribution of AMVUTTRA relative to nucresiran in the context of that and the pipeline as it relates to the 2030 outlook?
Yes. Let me -- I'll sort of walk through the main categories of the goals that we rolled out earlier this year. We called Alnylam 2030. This is the fourth iteration of 5-year goals that the company has put out. And this has really, we think, been part of the story in terms of driving performance for Alnylam, both externally in terms of being really clear with the market about the areas that we're focusing our business, but also internally to make sure that the employees all are rowing in the same direction on the things that are important to us.
So the areas that we focus the goals on this year for 2030 were around leadership in TTR, which clearly is a big focus of the market. And we've defined leadership across the period in 2 ways, being the sort of peak revenue franchise in 2030 and also cumulatively across the 5-year period. That's how we're defining leadership. So that's the goal for TTR.
On the pipeline, this is really about driving diversification beyond TTR. And so we're very focused on advancing the pipeline to do just that by 2030. We've got a number of metrics. I'm sure Pushkal can go into these in more detail. But we're looking to have 2-plus new products that are either in the market or a line of sight getting to market that could be blockbuster type opportunities beyond TTR.
Again, that's really important to us to start driving longer-term diversification of the pipeline. And then some other things that are important to us are expanding into new tissues because we think that, in particular, unlocks a lot of very attractive opportunities. So we're looking at 10 tissues by 2030. And then just the breadth of the pipeline, we're looking to have 40 clinical programs by 2030.
And then lastly are the things that you touched on, which are really about how we're anticipating scaling the business financially. So we guided to a 25% top line CAGR, that's product sales, collaboration and royalty revenue. And I'll get to your question about nucre versus AMVUTTRA in just a second.
And then we also guided to non-GAAP operating margin of 30% across the period. And let me just touch on that for a second because I think that was an area where the market had to adjust a bit. The market was at a much higher rate by 2030. I think consensus at the time we guided to 30% across the period was more like 50% operating margins in 2030.
And with our gross margin profile through 2030, given the AMVUTTRA royalty burden, I mean, the market consensus is around 75% gross margins, very difficult for us to be at a 50% operating margin in 2030. And we're also investing heavily in R&D across the period to drive the R&D goals that I talked about to drive long-term diversification.
So back to the question about what's AMVUTTRA versus nucre, for 2030, that's primarily going to be AMVUTTRA just because of the timing of the Phase III studies that we're running for nucre right now. Again, Pushkal can get more into the details, but we have 2 Phase III studies for nucre. The PN study will be quicker.
We're looking at 2028 in terms of timing to market. And then we look at CN is likely at 2030. So the primary revenue driver is going to be AMVUTTRA across the period post 2030, assuming that we have a profile that we think we could have in terms of a best-in-class profile for nucre. That will drive long-term top line growth, but also importantly, unlock more margin. We talk about 30% through 2030. But with a heavy royalty burden on AMVUTTRA, we think that unlocks margin into the mid-40s post the launch in cardiomyopathy.
And how does external business development fit into your strategy here? Maybe walk through size, therapeutic area and potentially even expanding outside in terms of a different modality versus siRNA.
And I'll just touch on what we said about R&D investment, and I'll maybe let Pushkal talk a little bit more about the types of things that we might be interested in. The guidance on R&D reinvestment in the business as a percentage of revenue is 30% across the period. And that does include headroom to do business development. But I'll let maybe Pushkal take the question about areas of interest.
Look, we're really excited about what we have in terms of just a product engine and the probability of success that's associated with that, right? And so if you think about it over the past years, we've had over 50% probably the success of things we put into the clinic coming out on the other side. So our primary focus is going to be in our internal pipeline. We have about 25 drugs in development, and we'll have 3 or 4 new INDs each year as we go into new areas. So that's the primary focus.
But we also recognize there's a lot of innovation happening outside, and we now will have sort of really the financial wherewithal to be thinking about some of that, as Jeff outlined, as AMVUTTRA continues to grow. And so we are thinking about where we can deploy that capital.
A lot of that is going to be used where we do think about BD is where we're going to have a very high bar, right? Again, it's going to have to compete with internal programs. And so we'll make sure there's a strong scientific and economic basis for what we're doing. And we primarily see this not sort of to be confined to more or less early-stage assets that are actually going to either really help us advance whether it's on our delivery objectives, et cetera, or early-stage assets that synergize in some way with where we have a commercial business, right? And so I think those are probably the main areas where you'll see us focusing on for the next few years. But we're in no hurry to do it. We'll be -- kind of be very thoughtful about what we do.
And what will we see from the pipeline within the next 12 months? And what do you see from that -- from the overall portfolio as kind of the key levers of next growth beyond TTR?
Yes. So I think if you -- I'll maybe start with the second part, if you think we have got nucresiran that's obviously in the clinic now, and Jeff touched on that. That's moving. We have zilebesiran now, which offers continuous control of blood pressure, 2 injections a [ year ] reduce variability, improve adherence, restore nocturnal dipping. We think that will result in a real cardiovascular outcomes benefit. So that ZENITH study is underway and enrolling well. That's not going to read out until around 2030 time frame.
In the nearer term, we have a number of things that we're going to be seeing data on. We have our first metabolic disease asset going into the adipose tissue, ACVR1C or ALK7. So that's started. We think that's going to be a big driver of reducing visceral fat while preserving muscle mass. And we see the overall obesity overweight market evolving and subsegmenting quite a bit. And so we see a real role for that, perhaps as a monotherapy, certainly in combination with other therapies against a variety of metabolic health conditions.
We have an exciting program targeting Huntington's disease that's going to give us some data this year. We have a very unique approach that targets not only the mutant Huntington's protein, the full length, but actually this important isoform, the exon 1 fragment that I think really-- now is a huge consensus in the academic community is critical to the sort of propagation of these Huntington aggregates. And so we can specifically knock down both the protein and the transcript, both of which are believed to contribute to disease. And that's in contrast to prior approaches to silence Huntington's and other existing approaches. So it's a very unique way.
And so later this year, we'll have some exciting data, we hope, in terms of both knockdown, being able to get high levels of knockdown, infrequent dosing, good associated safety. And with those data, I think we'll be in a good position to actually move into more advanced pivotal trials. And so that's something we'll be updating on later this year.
And then the third big asset that we have is an exciting program that targets plasminogen. And that is an agent that has the potential to be a universal hemostatic agent. There's about 3 million [Audio Gap] treatments really for [indiscernible] disease. We don't have effective prophylactic therapies for most of these. And so what we're bringing forward is a drug that will be a few times a year and actually stabilize clots. And the beauty here is that the genetics and the preclinical data suggest it can stabilize clots without increasing the risk of thrombosis. The first indication we're pursuing is something called hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia, which causes bleeding through in the GI tract, nasal cavity, et cetera. And so we'll be able to look at bleeding data from that program later in the year.
Great. Maybe just pivoting over to your TTR franchise here. So in the context of the 2026 revenue guidance, how do you view the AMVUTTRA trajectory for the remainder of the year, including any other idiosyncratic items such as shipping weeks or ex-U.S. pricing adjustments, for instance?
Yes. So the guidance, as you said, for the year is $4.4 billion to $4.7 billion Q1 was held back both U.S. and ex U.S. by some phasing factors that will not impact the balance of the year in our international markets. We had a price reduction in Germany at the end of 2026 for the launch in cardiomyopathy, which has an impact on the existing PN business, obviously, unlocks a much larger opportunity.
But in the quarter, when you take the price reduction, it does have a headwind effect on the business. So our international markets were down $7 million between Q4 and Q1. We absolutely expect growth for the balance of the year in our international markets. We're now launched in the majority of, I would say, the major markets ex U.S., so Japan, Germany, the U.K. and Italy. We're continuing to work on opening up France and Spain, but we do, again, do expect growth for the balance of the year in our international markets.
In the U.S. in the first quarter, we grew about $60 million versus Q4. And the things that we had flagged that were headwinds for Q1 from a phasing perspective were the typical insurance reauthorization process, which we did see impact the business, particularly in January. And then with the way our product gets ordered and shipped and revenue booked, the number of Wednesdays in a quarter actually has an impact. And with the way the calendar fell, there were more Wednesdays in Q4 than Q1.
None of these things that I've just described will impact the rest of the year. In the U.S., the focus is really around 2 things to drive the business. First, I would say the foundation in terms of what we've accomplished to date, one is on the sort of preference side, what we see where physicians are using AMVUTTRA, right? And they've got 3 choices to make 3 options to treat these patients today. But where doctors are experienced with AMVUTTRA for cardiomyopathy, we have a leading share amongst those physicians. That's a good starting place for us.
Secondly, I think on the access side, we've done a very good job in establishing the opportunity for physicians to write the product and feel confident that the patients can get the drug. So from a payer perspective, we're at more than 90% of patients have first-line access to AMVUTTRA. That's terrific. The only part of the market where there are some steps in place is the commercial part of the market, but that's a fairly small part of this market.
Patients, majority of the patients, zero out of pocket, right? So it's not a financial burden for the majority of the patients. And then from a provider perspective, we've really done a nice job on the buy-and-bill side, both with the health networks, the hospital networks where we've got the drug on formulary.
And then for physicians that may be outside of those hospital networks where they don't want to buy and bill, there are infusion clinics. There's about 2,000 clinics in a network that we've created that make that where they can refer the patients to the clinic to do the buy-and-bill. So that's all in place. What we're really focused on for the balance of the year is first expanding the prescriber base.
Again, I talked about we have a leading share when physicians are using it. We want to drive more utilization into the part of the market where they're not using it today. So some of that's based on sales force targeting and really focusing more energy on docs that are not using the product yet. And then additionally, we are still starting to put a little more effort behind driving earlier diagnosis.
We announced a partnership with a company called Viz.ai that has an AI algorithm that can get connected to electronic health records and review echo tests, right, both prospectively and retrospectively. And we'll run a pilot with them in 5 health networks to see if we can have success in driving more diagnosis. So those are the things I would say are highlights for the U.S. that will help drive more growth for the balance of the year.
And how are you thinking about the cadence of the ex U.S. launch and just the trajectory with regard to gross to net dynamics for the TTR drug?
Yes. I mean that's really on a market-by-market basis. Obviously, we're negotiating, I mentioned right now in France and in Spain. And look, the impact that, that will have on the business depends on ultimately where we land in terms of an agreed price. We have had some success in certain markets where we're priced at a premium to the existing standard of care in markets outside the U.S. And in other markets, it's more priced at parity. So that really is determined on a market-by-market basis based on negotiations with the local authorities.
And the U.S. net price decline?
Yes. We -- so I would say the story here has been consistent since the time of launch. We talked about a gradual reduction in net price over time as the business scales. Last year, that meant about a 5% net price decline versus 2024, and we've guided to something similar this year compared to 2025. And I think we're on track to -- that's the right guidance for the market.
Got it. Have you seen patients covered for tafamidis and AMVUTTRA combination use and in which segment? And maybe talk to evidence of cross management in Medicare Advantage.
We have seen some combination use. I think combination use is generally restricted in the commercial part of the market as well as the Medicare Advantage part of the market. That leaves the fee-for-service part of the market where there's no active payer management that are putting policies in place to restrict combination use.
And in the cardiomyopathy part of the market for us, that's probably about half of our business. And so we have seen and particularly in that segment of the market that there has been some combination use. Of course, we have data in our label, right? That's one of the subgroups that was studied in the HELIOS-B study, and we saw a consistent effect in patients that were on tafamidis as well.
And so I think that's been supportive of some of that combination use that we see ongoing. We think the more significant unlock for the combination opportunity in terms of timing happens when TAF goes generic and with Pfizer announcing recently the settlements that they've had with the generic filers that's middle of 2031, which from a timing perspective for us, given the design of the nucre study, which is largely going to be a combination study, and we think we bring that to market in 2030, that's probably a good timing for us.
You've framed that when you had Phase III data in ATTR-CM in second half could support combination use here. How are you thinking of positioning amidst payer and price dynamics as monotherapy and combination, especially in Medicare Advantage where we're cross managing as well.
Yes. I mean, again, I think what I talked about is that on the Medicare Advantage and the commercial parts of the market, they typically have policies in place today that do restrict combination use. So we're not seeing a lot of combination use in that part of the market. It's really more in the fee-for-service part of the market today.
And I don't think that will change significantly until, as I mentioned before, we get to the unlock on tafamidis -- tafamidis goes generic and then you've got a much cheaper option to do the combination with. That's what will really open up more opportunity for combination in our view.
And how are you thinking about just your pricing relative to the other drugs and there?
Yes. Look, I think there's -- we're the only drug in the Part B part of the market today. We're competing today against 2 stabilizers that are in the Part D part of the market that are at a lower price point than where we are. We're obviously waiting on the data from the AstraZeneca on this product. We -- our belief is that largely will also be a Part D product, although it sounds like they have some optionality between D and B. And so I'm not sure that, that's going to change anything when they come to market if it's predominantly a Part D product in terms of pricing dynamics for us. So we feel relatively confident about where we are right now from an access perspective.
Pushkal, do you want to speak to maybe your thoughts on how that trial will play out, both from the overall standpoint, but also in the TA/combo arm and whether that could actually be stat sig?
Yes. Look, I think they've got -- clearly, we know that molecule is effective, right? It showed good results in the PN population. And so here, they're doing an outcome study. It's about twice the size or a little bit more of HELIOS-B. So I think they're well set up to have a clinically important effect seen. I think if I had to benchmark, I would sort of say it's probably going to be more or less in the same size of treatment effects that we've seen already with AMVUTTRA and HELIOS-B. It's a little bit shorter.
So maybe they could have a little bit of a lower effect size as a result of that. But I think the fact that their population is so large still sort of sets them up, I think, for statistical significance. Now I think they've also announced recently some changes to the hierarchy of their endpoints.
How that's going to play into how far down the hierarchy they can get. It's hard for me to kind of prognosticate on that. But I think our going-in assumption is they're going to have an effective drug. It's going to be effective across the 2 segments of the population. The effect size will be in the range of what we've seen with HELIOS-B.
And so I think, again, we feel well positioned for AMVUTTRA and the fact that we already have a label that allows combination use. And again, as Jeff was saying, that we're following that up with nucresiran, which now is a much larger study, which is predominantly combination and we have both of those data sets at the time that tafamidis goes generic in 2031.
And for your next-generation TTR asset, nucresiran, for the Phase III CM study, do you believe the majority of patients will be on background stabilizer therapy? And what gives you confidence in the timing of events and the separation of the curves in that context?
Yes. So it is largely a combination therapy study. We expect there'll be some monotherapy use, but a lot of it will be on background stabilizer. And we kind of again designed this in anticipation of where we see the market evolving over time. We designed this with a lot of insights from HELIOS-B. So we have several hundred patients worth of combination therapy in that study. So we have really good individual level data to be able to understand what is the rate of sort of events that we can expect, what kinds of events, how they accrue, et cetera.
And so that gives us a lot of insight in terms of as we designed the TRITON-CM study with nucresiran. And it was using those insights that we kind of set the study up. We also recognize that it's likely, as we've seen successive clinical trials in this space that patients are getting diagnosed earlier, may be somewhat milder.
Enrollment has gone actually far ahead of schedule, and we've been really excited about that. It shows the real strong interest in this molecule. But we also, as somewhat predicted, saw that patients are a little bit on the milder side relative to what we saw in HELIOS-B. We had a predefined provision in the study to increase the sample size by 500.
And given the speed of enrollment, we pulled the trigger on that, and that's going to help us really accrue more events and compensate for the fact that maybe there'll be a somewhat lower event rate given the milder population. It's also an event-driven study. So obviously, we'll follow until we get enough of those events [Audio Gap] following that we, if anything, this increase in sample size a little bit sooner given the sample size. So we feel well positioned with that study.
Maybe a last question on the TTR side. But can you frame the size of the overall TTR market and your confidence in Alnylam's share here and where you expect these additional drugs when you antibody depleters and gene editing to ultimately fit in?
Maybe I'll start. I'll just say I'm going to repeat some things that we said on a TTR webinar that we did earlier this year around sort of our revised view of the size of the opportunity. We've talked about in the U.S., 200,000 or more patients and then globally, 500,000 or more. I think what's important is we're still very early in diagnosing and treating that patient population, right, that prevalent patient population. So we're probably around 20% of those patients are treated today. So there's a significant opportunity here to continue to drive diagnosis and treatment rates over time. But Pushkal, I don't know if you want to add.
Yes, I think as we think about treatments over time, look, this is a growing market. I think there's going to be a lot of space for multiple therapies in this disease area. I think -- we certainly feel very good about where the silencer class is, I think, going to evolve into being a foundational therapy, starting with AMVUTTRA, particularly when nucresiran comes along and to have sort of a twice-a year drug that gets to 95% knockdown, I think is going to be really great for patients.
But look, there's going to be continued innovation. The depleters are very interesting, right? We have 2 depleter studies going on now, large Phase IIIs. I think we'll see what those data ultimately look like. I think the conventional wisdom is these are somewhat cumbersome right now. They're IV. They're given monthly. I think there's several hour infusions.
And that they may be particularly used then for patients who are more advanced when they present sort of Class IV types of patients, Class III patients and really as a shorter-term induction approach to kind of clear some of the amyloid, hopefully, and then keep them on a backbone ideally of a silencer or perhaps a stabilizer depending on the physician and patient's preference.
So we look forward to seeing those data, and it will be interesting to see how that all plays out. But that's, I think, the conventional wisdom right now. I think in terms of the gene editing approach, look, I think it's a very, very interesting approach. I think -- and I'm sure there will be a segment of the population that may benefit from that or choose to opt that way.
I think the relative benefits compared to, for example, twice a year nucresiran that get you to 95% silencing, I think, starts to become a little bit more difficult to see where -- how that market evolves and given that we'll also have some challenges to figure out in terms of pricing and how that all works with a one-and-done therapy. So again, I think there'll be plenty of space for a number of players here, but we feel very good about what we're doing with both AMVUTTRA and ultimately with nucresiran.
As you noted earlier, you'll have data from 3 early-stage programs this year. Maybe starting with ALN-HTT. What's your confidence in that program in terms of the mechanism and the ability to achieve sufficient distribution here in Huntington's? And what's the bar for HTT knockdown?
Yes. So look, we're really excited about the program. We have, as we said, very strong genetic data and a lot of scientific data that's accumulating in terms of the specific way that we're targeting around this exon 1 fragment. In terms of delivery and safety, our C16 platform, and we put out now data on APP, which is the lead program in that platform.
Now we have, I think, over 18 months, 24 months of data out there suggest we can get to very high levels of knockdown over 70% with biannual dosing, and it's well tolerated. That's -- just to remind you, if you think about prior programs like Tominersen program against Huntington's disease, they got to about 25% or 30% lowering max, and that wasn't well tolerated.
They actually kept trying to have to reduce dose and space out dosing that early generation ASO. And so I think we feel good that our general approach and both now from human data from APP, what we've seen preclinically, where we can actually get very good biodistribution there as well in nonhuman primates and deep levels of lowering with infrequent administration and good tolerability.
So I think overall, the platform, we're very confident of in terms of the C16 platform. We have now multiple products that are in the clinic between us and our partners at Regeneron using that platform, and we've seen good safety, good knockdown and good biodistribution. I think we all have to have a little bit of humility going into an entirely new disease. So while we're very confident in the approach that we're taking scientifically, at the end of the day, we're going to generate data in patients to show that there's a clinical benefit that comes from that.
In terms of the target, I would say in general, I think the genetics and the preclinical data and sort of expert consensus which is if you get over about 50% knockdown, then we should be in a good range to sort of explore the therapeutic utility of that. So that's what I would be looking for.
And you have ACVR1C in obesity that's reading out as well. Maybe walk us through the strategy here with this asset and whether you would need to combine it with a GLP versus use it as a monotherapy.
Yes. Look, I think, obviously, the GLPs have transformed the entire space here. I mean it's -- but there are -- I think there still remains a fair amount of unmet need. We see the market segmenting over time, patients with various types of comorbidities, some patients who can't tolerate the GLPs are certainly at full doses.
People need to preserve muscle mass and you can't tolerate the risk of sarcopenia that comes from the GLPs. And so we're developing ACVR1C, where we think we have very strong, again, genetics and preclinical data that this can really specifically target visceral fat. And we know that visceral fat is the key factor in terms of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, diabetes risk, et cetera.
And so what we're doing this year is this is our first adipose targeting program. We'll have data at the end of the year, primarily on knockdown, safety, but also some visceral fat data. And then we'll kind of come back and talk to you a little bit more about what we might be doing with this in terms of segments of the population, potentially in combination with GLPs, but potentially in combination with other agents as well where we think that we can really discern and make a meaningful impact on aspects of cardiometabolic disease.
You have your plasminogen knockdown program as well in bleeding disorders. Is there a benchmark that you see as meaningful with regard to reduction in bleeds in HHT? And you did recently initiate a study in von Willebrand disease and heavy menstrual bleeding. So maybe speak to the unmet need and rationale for these 3 programs.
So as I was saying earlier, this target really addresses it a protein called -- a liver protein called plasminogen, which basically leads to clot breakdown. It promotes fibrinolysis. And so by silencing it, we can actually have an antifibrinolytic effect and stabilize clots. And the beauty here is that you can actually hopefully stabilize clots, reduce bleeding without increasing the risk of thrombosis, which is what all the data would suggest.
And this mechanism is such that it really should work across a variety of bleeding disorders. So if you think about HHT, it's really a disease of vascular malformations that happen. If you think about Von Willebrand disease, which is really the most common bleeding disorder, HHT is the second most common bleeding disorder. It's really a platelet disorder, platelet aggregation. So we can attack bleeding disorders through a number of different mechanisms, all with this unifying approach that's downstream in the overall bleeding cascade.
So we picked these 2 because they both have a tremendous amount of unmet need. They're fairly prevalent with regards to rare bleeding disorders. As I said, von Willebrand is the #1 and HHT is #2. And they both -- HHT, there's no approved therapies. Von Willebrand, there are treatments that are available. They're primarily used for acute treatment, they're not really suitable for prophylaxis.
And what we're thinking about is a drug that would probably be given several times a year, subcu and really reduce bleeding risk. In terms of the magnitude of effect, look, I think it's going to vary a little bit. There's not just the number of bleeds, but there's the intensity of the bleeds that we want to reduce. If you think about HHT, for instance, there's patients who have bleeds, nose bleeds that last several hours a day that can be 3 to 4 days out of a week. The impact is devastating in terms of their ability to interact in social circles to go to school, to go to work. And so we'll be looking at all of that to characterize the efficacy of the drug.
Mivelsiran that's being studied here in Alzheimer's also cerebral amyloid angiopathy. Maybe help us understand the approach there and speak to the tau approach as well.
Yes. So lots happening in that space. So mivelsiran targets amyloid precursor protein, which is really the top of the cascade where all that amyloid is ultimately produced. Amyloid can actually come in a couple of forms, Abeta 40 and 42. And they -- some of that leads to Alzheimer's disease. Actually, the AB40 is actually involved in a disease, a closely related disease called cerebral amyloid angiopathy, where the amyloid deposits in the blood vessels of the brain cause them to become brittle and it's the second leading cause of hemorrhagic stroke, this disease CAA.
So we have a Phase I that's been going on in early onset Alzheimer's disease. We've reported out on that. We've seen great levels of knockdown tolerability. We've started the CAA study. We have a goal that we've announced this year to complete enrollment in that study. It's a 200-person study by the second quarter of this year. And that will set us up to have data end of '27, early '28 time frame.
And there, we're looking at bleeds. We're hoping to see bleed reduction. On the Alzheimer's side, we actually just -- I think it just got posted today, announced a small Phase II study in Down syndrome Alzheimer's disease. We think that this approach is going to be most effective in somewhat of a preventative setting, getting in early in disease and start stopping amyloid deposition. And it's also important because it can reduce both intracellular and extracellular amyloid as well as all the various isoforms of amyloid that form without increasing the risk of ARIA.
And so this Down syndrome population is actually -- the mechanism lines up very nicely. Trisomy 21 is the belief that actually the overexpression of APP in that setting is what actually leads to the Alzheimer's disease, which is 100% penetrant in Down patients. If they live to about 40 to 45 years old, which the majority now do, there's about 50,000 such patients about 90% to 95% of them -- and so we think our approach can be a benefit to that population. So we're doing a study there. And the learnings from there will also then inform approaches into the sporadic AD population as well.
As you touched on, there's also advances happening on the tau side. Biogen has put out some top line data suggesting that with their ASO, they may be seeing some benefits in terms of cognitive dysfunction -- cognitive function. And we have an siRNA that we're bringing forward that's in Phase I development against tau as well. And so we look forward to seeing those data. And then that will open up for us a little bit thinking about how we bring that molecule forward in Alzheimer's potentially as a monotherapy, potentially we can think about combination approaches. So really, we think we're really well set up as we kind of think about the next stage of innovation in the Alzheimer's space to make some progress.
Perfect. Jeff, it looks like you're on track for investing 30% of revenue in R&D.
I think we'll have the opportunity to do it, right? And again, importantly, what that's about is driving long-term top line growth also beyond TTR, which we think is critical and the time is now.
Yes. Perfect. Well, with that, thank you so much. Really...
Thank you.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Goldman Sachs 47th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2026
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Goldman Sachs 47th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2026
Alnylam stellt die Strategie "Alnylam 2030" in den Mittelpunkt: AMVUTTRA trägt kurzfristig, nucresiran und zahlreiche Pipeline-Assets treiben langfristiges Wachstum.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Ziel: Fünf-Jahres-Plan "Alnylam 2030" mit 25% Umsatz-CAGR und 30% Non-GAAP-Operativmarge (über den Zeitraum bis 2030).
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- TTR-Fokus: Ziel, Spitzenposition im Transthyretin-Amyloidose-(TTR)-Segment zu erreichen; AMVUTTRA bleibt Haupttreiber bis 2030.
- Pipeline-Diversifizierung: Ambition: 2+ neue marktfähige Produkte bis 2030, Ausweitung auf 10 Gewebe und ~40 klinische Programme.
- Finanzen & R&D: Reinvestition von ~30% des Umsatzes in Forschung und Entwicklung; BD nur selektiv, ergänzend zur internen Pipeline.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Zeithorizonte: Nucresiran: PN-Indikation ~2028, Kardiomyopathie (CM) etwa 2030; daher dominiert AMVUTTRA die 2030-Erträge.
- 2026-Guidance: Jahresumsatzrahmen genannt: $4,4–4,7 Mrd.; erwarteter US-Nettopreisrückgang ~5% vs. Vorjahr.
- Margen-Prognose: Royalty-Belastung von AMVUTTRA begrenzt Margen; mögliche Margensteigerung in die Mitte der 40% nach Nukresiran-Launch.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Margen & Assumptions: Kritische Nachfrage zur 30%-Zielmarge (Marktkonsens höher); Management erklärt Royalty-Belastungen und erhöhte R&D-Investitionen als Ursache.
- BD-Strategie: Management betont Fokus auf interne Pipeline (≈25 Wirkstoffe) und nur gezielte Zukäufe, vor allem zur Verbesserung der Delivery oder komplementärer Assets.
- Pipeline-Timing & Risiken: Wichtige near-term Daten: Huntington (ALN-HTT), ACVR1C (Adipositas), Plasminogen (Blutungsstörungen) sowie Mivelsiran-Studien; Unsicherheit bei Ex-US-Preisverhandlungen und event-getriebenen Studien (Nucresiran CM).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Klare Roadmap: AMVUTTRA sichert kurzfristiges Wachstum, während nucresiran und mehrere ambitionierte Programme die Diversifizierung und Margensteigerung langfristig ermöglichen. Anleger sollten Execution‑Risiken (Zulassung, Payer‑Verhandlungen, Royalty‑Last, event-getriebene Studiendynamik) gegen das beträchtliche klinische Pipeline‑Upside abwägen.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
1. Question Answer
Good morning. I'm Tazeen Ahmad. I'm one of the senior biotech analysts at the bank. It's my pleasure to have our next presenting company with us, Alnylam Pharmaceuticals. Sitting up here on stage with me is Jeff Poulton, who is, of course, Chief Financial Officer.
Jeff, welcome back to Las Vegas. Thanks for making the trip.
No, I always make the trip to Vegas. I'm always here for this one. So I appreciate the invite.
Yes. We have to continue the tradition. So maybe we can start off with a quick overview of the company in case anyone in the room isn't as familiar with Alnylam and its platform.
Yes. I mean we're a 25-year-old company. It was founded based on Nobel Prize winning science. RNAi is really a new modality that we've developed. It was a long haul to figure out some of the delivery challenges with the technology. But over the last 6 or 7 years now, they figured that out, and we've had a steady stream of products launching into the market. We've built the commercial side of the business, which I know we're going to talk a lot about here in the fireside chat.
We've transitioned the company from being a loss-making company to now being a profitable company. And we've put out new 2030 goals earlier this year to kind of provide a picture of where we think we're taking the company over the next 5 years. We think there's a lot of top line growth ahead. And importantly, now that we're profitable and we've got a real nice trajectory on the top line, we have the ability to significantly invest in the pipeline, which we're taking the opportunity to do because we want to be more than just a TTR company. That's an incredibly important franchise for us, and we intend to invest in that, but we want to be able to grow beyond TTR. And this next 5 years from a pipeline perspective is really about setting up that foundation so that there is growth beyond TTR. So there's a lot to be excited about here, I think.
We agree. So let's talk about AMVUTTRA, which is the key topic of...
Yes.
So you launched the product last year. In fact, it was this time last year, we were sitting here with early innings of the launch. So now we're comfortably into a few quarters. You have -- the sell side had to raise estimates for last year just because of the pace with which sales grew. You have now provided 2026 sales guidance for AMVUTTRA in particular, the range is $4.4 billion to $4.7 billion.
Yes, it's total TTR, it's almost all AMVUTTRA...
[ AMVUTTRA ]...
But just to be clear. Yes. Yes.
And so that's healthy growth over what you reported last year.
Yes. Yes.
And you talked about very early in the year, some of the dynamics that would be impacting 1Q.
Yes.
So now that 1Q is reported and behind us, you've reiterated guide. Maybe talk to us about what you're seeing that's giving you confidence that you could at least reiterate guide given 1Q's growth wasn't necessarily as robust as previous quarters?
Yes. Maybe I'll start there just to recap what we reported and what the kind of pushes and pulls were on Q1 and then talk about the -- we reiterated and why we're confident in our ability to achieve the guidance.
So we reported a couple of weeks ago, we did $910 million in revenue for TTR, which is 150% plus growth year-over-year. We didn't launch until CM in Q2 last year. So obviously, a huge amount of growth compared to Q1 last year.
Relative to the quarterly growth, that's what you're sort of mentioning in terms of lower growth, right? So we did -- in Q4, we did $134 million of TTR growth compared to Q3. And when we were on our year-end call, we talked about Q1 was going to be lower growth than what we delivered in Q4 for a number of reasons. One, outside the U.S., we are actually guiding to a reduction in revenue in TTR from Q4 to Q1, about $25 million is what we said to expect. And a lot of that was going to be driven by pricing in Germany.
So as we launch in new markets outside the U.S., where we've expanded the label to include CM, we are likely adjusting price downward from where it was for PN, right? We've been on the market outside the U.S. in PN for 5 years. And so as you bring the price down to launch in CM, it has an impact on your existing PN business because we got one price for the product.
And so given the size of the market in Germany and given the price adjustment and the size of the price adjustment, that was what was creating the headwind in Q1 because that price adjustment hit right at the end of the fourth quarter, so really impacted Q1.
Now the result in international and Q1 was a little better than down 25%. It was down 7%. The impact in Germany was what we expected. So we did better outside of Germany than what we had anticipated. And a couple of things. One is the CM launch in Japan, which is the first market that we launched in outside the U.S. lapped about middle of last year, is going very well. And actually, they did better in Q1 than what we had anticipated around CM volume. So that was good.
And then the PN business, which is still the main driver outside the U.S. is we're just starting to get going in CM. The PN business is performing well, and that was a little better than we anticipated. So that's why international did a little better than we expected.
In the U.S., we grew $59 million in Q1. We had grown $111 million in Q4. And when we talked about Q1 being a little bit compressed in terms of quarter-on-quarter growth, there were a couple of things that were impacting the U.S. One is insurance reauthorizations, which is pretty typical seasonality for these high-priced meds. And we did see that play out if we looked at demand, meaning shipments to patients for -- to get the injection as well as start forms, which is kind of the prescription or the start to get patients on therapy. It was slower early in Q1 than it was as we were exiting Q1. And so we do think the fact that the offices had some administrative burden earlier in the year was impacting things.
And then the other thing that we highlighted for the U.S. is just the way the product gets ordered and shipped and revenue booked. We have a closed distribution network where we've got one major distribution partner that about 80% of the volume flows through. They order every Monday, every week on a Monday, product ships Tuesday, revenue books on Wednesday. So to the extent that there's a different number of Wednesdays when you're comparing growth across periods, that can have an impact. It just so happened with the way the calendar fell that Q4 last year had 14 Wednesdays and Q1 had 12. So all that, I would say, generally played out like we expected.
So now to your point, we reiterated the guidance. To hit the midpoint of the guidance, we need to average $150 million of growth a quarter the rest of the year. We just did $50 million, $52 million, right? So there needs to be a step-up in growth for us to achieve that. Ex U.S., like we're not going to have this dynamic that we had in Germany, the rest of the year. So we absolutely expect international is going to be contributing to that $150 million in growth on a quarterly basis for the rest of the year. So that will be beneficial to us.
And then in the U.S., we definitely expect a step-up in growth. I think, first of all, I would say the foundation that we've established in the last 12 months or so, particularly around access and logistics around Buy and Bill, we've really reduced the friction. I think first from a payer perspective, we've got about 90% plus of patients that can access AMVUTTRA first line, which was a huge debate as we were coming into the launch. So there's no friction there in terms of patients getting access to the product when the doctors decide to put them on AMVUTTRA.
Patients, the majority of the patients have $0 in out-of-pocket co-pay. So that's not a particular burden that's preventing access to the medicine. And then as it relates to Buy and Bill on the provider network side, we've done a very good job in the health systems that treat a lot of these patients to get AMVUTTRA on formulary, again. So when the doctors write it, the product gets filled.
And we've also created a sort of pretty broad network of third-party infusion clinics, which is really important for a Buy and Bill drug. We've got a couple of thousand clinics that patients could access around the U.S. And that puts most patients within 10 miles of an infusion clinic. And where that's important is if you have a doctor, let's say, that's in the community that's not experienced with Buy and Bill and they don't want to do it, they don't have to Buy and Bill. They refer the patient to the clinic to get the drug administered, they can still treat the patient.
And so we've done that very well. So that foundation is really strong. What we have to do, obviously, now to drive performance for the rest of the year is drive demand, right? And one of the things that we talked about on the call is what we're seeing so far a year into this is when you get a physician to try AMVUTTRA for the first time, it leads them to prescribing more AMVUTTRA. And that doesn't matter if they start in second line or if they start in first line, they use more of the product.
So if we look across the physician universe that's using AMVUTTRA today. We actually feel very good about the share that we have there, but we want more physicians to use AMVUTTRA, right? This is obviously a market that we've launched into -- in the last year, where Pfizer was the only game in town for 5 or 6 years, and that has been the standard of care. So it takes time to change that.
And so from a tactical perspective, commercially, we are really focused now on getting to physicians that are not writing AMVUTTRA at all today and doing the hard work to get them to experience it because we think if we can get them to use it for the first time, they'll use more of it. And that's really going to be critical to the performance of the business for the balance of the year. So that's something I think that we will report on quarterly as that prescriber base and how it's expanding because that's a big focus for us right now.
Okay. So we're halfway into this quarter, can you share any qualitative feedback on what you're seeing?
No. I mean it's -- we're not going to -- I'm not going to comment specifically on Q2. Again, I do think the things that I just highlighted in terms of our expectations of what's going to drive stronger growth the rest of the year are things that we remain confident in, but I'm not going to provide any specifics to this point on Q2 performance.
So it's more based on the confidence that you have in reiterating the guidance. That's the reason for the question.
Yes. I mean -- we remain confident in our ability to achieve the guidance, which is why we reiterated. Obviously, Q2 is going to be important. We'll be halfway through the year. We need to see that growth inflection from Q1 and I'm sure people are going to be very interested to see that.
Do you expect Q1 to have similar dynamics on a go-forward basis?
Probably some of these things like the insurance reauthorization point, I think, is an issue. And that's a bit of a learning probably just because the volumes are more than when we were in PN only that became a little more apparent what the impact on the business was. That's something that I think that will be something every year that we'll see.
Ex U.S., as we get launched in all markets for CM, that dynamic that we had in Germany, that's not going to recur, right? We're launched in Germany now, the U.K. and Italy and Japan. The other major ex U.S. markets that we're still working on to open up access are France and Spain. They'll either be by the end of the year or early next year. So we'll have a lot of that pricing ex U.S. dynamics behind us, and it will really be about driving volume on a go-forward basis.
In general, what type of price discount do you have to take ex U.S.?
It differs by market, right? And it depends where the PN price is. And look, the way this works in most markets outside the U.S. is they will look at your package of clinical data that they'll compare it to the products that are in the market for the same indication. They'll assess whether or not the data is -- looks like better efficacy, similar efficacy and then they'll obviously benchmark your price to those existing products.
So typically, we're launching somewhere around the tafamidis price in these markets, and that's lower than where we were. Again, we were in -- a much rarer, much smaller part of the market in PN. And so price is coming down, but it really does differ market-by-market depending on where the PN price and what the benchmark is for CM. But generally speaking, we're adjusting downward as we launch in CM.
Okay. This market is getting more crowded...
Yes.
For the second to launch, there's ATTRUBY, which is the -- another stabilizer. I think during 1Q, there was a lot of conversations at least with investors about the fact that it looked like it continued to increase its momentum throughout the quarter. Can you talk about the potential differences relative to how that gets reimbursed versus how AMVUTTRA gets reimbursed as to why that's not necessarily the way of comparing?
Yes. I mean I don't know that I'm going to talk a lot about ATTRUBY and their performance and it may or may not what might have impacted that. I mean when I look at -- I think they've done well. I think the launch to me looks consistent in terms of the amount of revenue growth that they've had quarterly. But I don't know that I'm going to get into a sort of a comparison of reimbursement dynamics in Q1 that may have been different for them because I'm not able to speak to that.
Okay. Now if you think about the next data catalyst that's been in the space, that's going to be for Ionis and AstraZeneca and they have a silencer. They were the third ones to go into pivotal. So they took their time to design a big study...
Yes. I think they learned a little bit from the others that went before them. Yes. Yes.
Yes, for sure. So relative to HELIOS-B, they had a bigger study.
Much bigger.
It was -- they were able to stratify based on different patient populations. I think people are particularly interested in seeing what the effect will be when you add a silencer on top of the stabilizer.
Yes.
So can you talk about the different scenarios and the outcomes you think that would be impactful for Alnylam. So there's obviously the blue sky where it looks good and it looks good in all the subgroups. How should we interpret that as to potential if at all pressure on AMVUTTRA?
Yes. I mean I think our expectations are that's going to be a successful study. As you said, it's a much larger study. So there's obviously -- than HELIOS-B was. So there's a powering benefit there. I mean they're more than 1,400 patients. We were 650 patients. And you're right, my understanding is the design of the study has about half of those 1,400 patients are on background TAF. So that's going to be a pretty robust data set in combination.
And in comparison, in HELIOS-B, we had about 40% of the patients that were on background TAF at the start of the study, so 250. So they got a much larger data set there. So the powering is different than what we had.
Look, I think there is a lot of discussion about that. And if they hit in the overall study, which we think they will, and then they hit in that subgroup as well and they have a statistically significant result there, is that going to give them a benefit commercially? We don't think so. We actually do have data in combination in our label, right, because that was a prespecified subgroup. And the results were consistent in that subgroup like they were across all subgroups that were studied in HELIOS-B.
And so physicians -- some physicians are using it in combination today, likely as a result of the data that we have in the label. So if they hit a statistically significant result in that study, our view is that will be sort of viewed as a class benefit, right? And we would get some benefit from that.
There's not a huge amount of combination use going on today. There's some, and that's largely because payers are -- have policies in place, certainly on the commercial side and the Medicare Advantage part of the market, they all have policies that restrict combination use, right, to manage costs.
In the fee-for-service part of the market for us, which is 40% to 50% of our volume, there are no policies that are written to restrict it. So that's probably where we're getting some combination use reimbursed today. But we think the broader unlock for the combination opportunity is when TAF goes generic. And now we've got more clarity on the timing of that, obviously, with the settlements that Pfizer's recently announced. That looks like that will be middle of 2031 before that big unlock occurs.
And that's when I think there's going to be a different dynamic in the market likely and how these products are used together, right? And so we can talk a little bit more about that, too, in terms of some other things that we're working on that might also position us perhaps even more strongly than the way AMVUTTRA is positioned for combination use down the line.
Yes. So we've done survey work on this. It's pretty consistent that doctors feel the best outcome over time is to combine stabilizers with silencers. As you've mentioned, I think the feedback has generally been that silencers are probably not that different from each other that if the study ends up working for one silencer, the interpretation would be that you would have similar efficacy across all drugs in that class.
So we agree on the view that -- and this is probably going to be in the 2030s and after that you see an increase in combination. But to the point you just made, maybe we can talk about some of the efforts that you're undertaking now that could position the company well for that later on.
Yes. So we've got -- look, we're -- we view ourselves as a leader in TTR, and we're investing in this franchise, I think as a leader would do. So we've got a third-generation product that's in the clinic right now, 2 Phase II studies, one for PN and one for CM, this is vutrisiran, right? And this drug has the promise of being a better drug than AMVUTTRA and hopefully better than WAINUA as well.
In terms of knockdown, we see in the Phase I study that we get to 95% knockdown. AMVUTTRA is more like mid-80s. And actually, the spread, the variability around that 95% is tighter than the variability around the 85%. And we know, particularly on the PN side, when we get deeper knockdown, it leads to better efficacy in the disease. And so we're hopeful that this study because of the deeper knockdown is going to show better efficacy. So that's kind of point one.
Point two, with this product is it's got longer duration. So this is a once every 6-month subcu administration. AMVUTTRA is once a quarter. WAINUA is once a month, right? So that would give us a real convenience advantage from a patient perspective. And we absolutely know patients would much prefer fewer injections than more. And so that would be positive to uptake.
And then lastly, from an economic perspective for us, this is pretty meaningful that there's no royalty burden on this product like we have on AMVUTTRA, which is close to 30%, given that there's a tiering of 15% to 30%. But given the tiering and the size of the commercial opportunity, like the weighted average is going to be pretty close to 30%.
And so just to touch on the -- what that could mean for us economically and sort of margin-wise longer term, we've guided with our Alnylam 2030 set of goals to have operating margins around 2030 -- I'm sorry, around 30% across the period out to 2030. That's weighed down by the gross margin because of the royalty we own on AMVUTTRA that's about 75% across the period.
So if vutrisiran delivers on this promise, right, of having better efficacy, more convenient and we get that into the market, that's going to be a very attractive profile, and I think it's going to drive nice uptake. And that really then unlocks a much lower gross margin and more significant operating margin post 2030. And we've talked about it, we see a clear path to mid-40s on operating margin. So this is an important product for us.
But let me talk a little bit about, again, the study, the CM study that we're running for that program, vutrisiran. We expect that's a study that -- it's an outcome study. And one of the things that we did with that study, and this is frankly, learning from HELIOS-B was rather than a time-bound endpoint, we've got an event-driven endpoint there, right? So that we sort of were more comfortable with the powering in the study as a result of that because patients are becoming diagnosed earlier and earlier, kind of less advanced in the disease, event rates are lower. So we've got an event-driven endpoint. I think that makes us feel good about the powering.
One of the things that we just announced on the Q1 call is that we've decided to increase the size of that study. We initially announced it as about a 1,250-patient study. And in the protocol, we had given ourselves the option to upsize that by 500. And we chose to do that and announced that on the call. The reason we announced it when we did is because the enrollment is going very, very well on that study. And we didn't announce it and make this decision pretty soon. That study was going to complete enrollment very soon to 1,250.
So we've decided to upsize the study. That's mostly around managing time risk with the study because it's an event-driven study and the patients that we're enrolling in the study are milder, similar to HELIOS-B, maybe just a little bit milder, but there's uncertainty around event rates and how long will it take once you get it fully enrolled to hit that number of event -- endpoints. And so having more patients in the study obviously gives you an opportunity to accrue more events faster.
So we feel actually -- even though we've upsized the study and we've got a little bit more enrolling to do, our confidence level in 2030 is higher. And that -- now that we know when TAF is going to go generic to have that product in the market that will have a huge amount of combination data, like that's largely going to be a combination study. We'll have enough monotherapy patients in the study as well to have that part of the label. But that's mostly a 1,750 patient going to be a combination study.
And so we'll have that data. We'll have -- we're assuming that the study -- the events accrue the way we think they will. We'll have that product in the market before tafamidis goes generic now given the timing of that. And again, if this becomes largely a combination market, that's good that we're going to have that product positioned in the market before TAF goes generic.
So we're excited about that. And I think that was a meaningful change. I don't know that the market completely understood what we did and why. So I wanted to be clear about that. That's mostly about managing time line risk in the study and getting to the number of events that we need to have to complete the study. And I think the fact that it's enrolling as rapidly as it is, is a very good sign.
Okay. So you talked about making this available and that could be attractive for patients. How are you thinking about switching patients from AMVUTTRA to nucre when it does come out?
Yes.
How would the dynamics of that work?
I mean -- I talked about the potential for the profile having -- this is a progressive fatal disease. So if we have efficacy data that looks better, than the existing silencers that are in the market. I think that's going to drive uptake, added to the fact that if it's twice a year rather than 4x a year or 12x a year, I think it's going to drive -- it's going to be an attractive profile for patients. And I think that will drive a lot of uptake for us.
Okay. Maybe another question about near-term competition. Assuming that Astra has positive data that -- they apply and then they launch next year, what is the concern that they might try to use price as a way of trying to gain traction in the market?
Yes. I mean they're -- today, they're a Part D product. They're not in the market for CM. They're in the market for PN. And in the U.S., they're actually priced higher than we are. I think, close to 10% higher.
We're already competing against 2 Part D products, both stabilizers, and they're both at a lower price point than we are today. And I talked earlier about access for us. That fact that there's 2 products on the market that are at a lower price point has not impacted our ability to get AMVUTTRA to patients on a first-line basis, right? More than 90% of patients have access to it.
So I don't think having a third Part D product that's at a lower price is actually going to change the dynamics that we're dealing with today and meaningfully impact access to AMVUTTRA. So again, we feel comfortable with the access dynamics at this point in time. I don't think that's going to change dramatically when they launch.
Okay. And then on discontinuations, are they tracking in line to what you would expect?
Yes. This is one of the things I believe that's underappreciated in the value of our medicine. We've got adherence and compliance on our drug that are more than 90%. And generally speaking, the biggest reasons why patients discontinue taking the therapy is because they pass away, right? This is a fatal disease ultimately.
And I think when you compare that just in general to patients that are on products that require them to take daily pills or sometimes -- in the case of one of our competitors, twice a day to take pills, patients even with these kinds of diseases are not compliant, right? And we have the benefit of very good compliance.
I think partly because it's fairly convenient once a quarter, which aligns with physician visits that they have. I think one of the things that we also do very well is we've got a patient services hub that supports these patients and is actively working with patients to make sure that on a quarterly basis that they're getting access to the medicine that they need. But ultimately, that can lead to better outcomes just being compliant.
And so I think that's a big advantage for us, and that's something that we're going to continue to really focus on to make sure that patients are staying on the drug. And obviously, patients staying on drug and getting it every quarter also has a beneficial impact to us in terms of consistent revenue.
Okay. So let's talk about the rest of the pipeline. So maybe just remind us of what data updates do you expect from the earlier pipe...?
Yes. I think we've got 3 readouts in the second half of the year that are worth paying attention to. Maybe we'll start with our Huntington program. This is a program that we're -- that's in a Phase I study that we're developing in partnership with Regeneron.
We've got an exon 1 targeting approach here. We're running a Phase I study that's primarily looking at safety in PK/PD, like how much knockdown can we get. We think for a variety of reasons, we believe we may have the right approach here to treat this disease. But what we really want to learn from this study, frankly, is what level of knockdown can we get hopefully, safely and form a dose that we would then take forward into a study that we would really be looking at efficacy. So we'll have that initial data in that program later this year.
Our bleeding disorder program that's targeting plasminogen, and this is a program that we think could ultimately be a pipeline and a product type opportunity where we have the ability across a variety of bleeding disorders to sort of improve clot stability with the genetics on this particular target without increasing the risk of thrombosis. And there's hundreds of bleeding disorders that very few of have treatments today.
The first indication that we've got a Phase II ongoing right now is in a disease HHT. I'm not going to pronounce it because I'll get it wrong, but that will have a Phase II readout that's a proof-of-concept readout where we're really looking at -- we're looking at the number of nose bleeds in that study. So we'll have that in the second half of the year.
In addition to we have an ongoing Phase I study in healthy volunteers. We'll have some additional data. We're actually expecting to start second indication Phase II with that same therapy this year. And so we'll actually do a -- we're going to do an R&D type webinar on this program later in the second quarter. So pay attention to that. We'll put some news out on that. I think this is an important one that the market probably isn't as educated on as we would like them to be. So we're going to spend some time talking about the product as well as the market opportunity that we see for that later in Q2.
And then...
Do you know how many -- sorry to interrupt you, but how many HHT patients are there?
I think in the U.S., from a prevalence perspective, the number is about 70,000. Now all those patients aren't diagnosed and treated today. There are actually no on-label treatments for this disease today. This is one of the things I think that we'll educate on in the webinar in terms of what's the burden of treatment associated with this disease. It's a pretty horrific disease in terms of impact on quality of life. And so we think it's an interesting opportunity. So more to come on that in the second quarter.
And then the last thing, I think, from a readout perspective is our initial obesity program, where we're targeting adipose tissue to go after ACVR1C. So this will -- again, this will be early Phase I data where we'll get PK/PD information, and we'll have that by the end of the year as well.
And how big is that opportunity?
I mean, obesity is huge, right? But this is lots of questions about some of these targets and some of the competitors have these about how much monotherapy weight loss can you get? How would you position these? Would these be monotherapy? Would they be combination? I think more to come on that in terms of our perspective on that.
Okay. And then last question on cash.
What was that?
The balance sheet?
Yes. I mean the good thing is I don't have to think about that quite as much as I used to. We ended the year with around $3 billion in cash, and we're going to start adding cash to the balance sheet as we go now that we're profitable, which is a nice position to be in.
Questions about capital allocation and that has start to come up more and more as you start to see a bigger cash balance. And we've talked about the priorities right now are 100% TTR launch and continue to invest appropriately behind that to drive demand. So that's a priority.
And then on innovation, certainly, internal innovation is the priority, but we have talked about starting to add external innovation into the mix as well. So I do think business development is an area that we will focus and we will start to spend some dollars on external innovation as well, likely earlier stage things. I think in particular, one of the areas that we're looking for some help externally is on delivery, right? We're trying to get to 10 tissues by 2030, and there's a lot of interesting innovation going on across the industry in delivery. And so that could be an area that we would invest from an external innovation standpoint.
Okay. And that's potentially near term, but if you see something...
Yes. I mean we're building the -- I would say we're building the BD muscle now. We've hired a new Head of BD in the last 6 months, and she's helping us build that team internally and sort of build the muscle on how you do these things. So we're starting down that path.
Okay. Perfect. With that, we're out of time. So Jeff, thank you.
Thank you.
[indiscernible] time with us.
Appreciate it.
Thanks, everyone, for joining.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Bank of America Global Healthcare Conference 2026
Alnylam bleibt kommerziell fokussiert auf AMVUTTRA‑Wachstum, bestätigt Guidance und setzt auf vutrisiran als Schlüssel für Margen und Kombinationsmarkt.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Fokus: Management betont Ausbau der Kommerzialisierung von AMVUTTRA und gleichzeitige Investition in Pipeline‑Diversifikation jenseits von TTR (transthyretin‑mediated amyloidosis).
- Confidence: Guidance beibehalten trotz Q1‑Verzögerungen; Wachstumstreiber sind weitere Internationalisierung und Ausweitung der verordnenden Ärzteschaft.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- AMVUTTRA‑Zugang: >90% der Patienten haben Erstlinientzugang, viele Patienten $0 Out‑of‑Pocket; großes Buy‑and‑Bill‑Netzwerk (~2.000 Kliniken) reduziert Logistikfriktionen.
- Vutrisiran‑Programm: Drittgeneration‑silencer mit tieferer RNA‑Knockdown (~95% vs. ~85%), 6‑monatiger Subkutan‑Dosis und ohne Royalty‑Last — potenzieller Umsatz‑ und Margenhebel.
- Finanzen & BD: Konzern ist profitabel, ~$3 Mrd. Cash Ende 2025; Prioritäten: TTR‑Launch, interne Innovation, selektive externe Zukäufe v.a. in Delivery‑Technologien.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Studienupdate: Vutrisiran CM‑Outcome‑Studie wurde von ~1.250 auf ~1.750 Patienten aufgestockt (event‑driven Endpunkt) zur Reduktion von Zeitrisiken.
- Markt‑Timing: Management sieht Tafamidis‑Generika als Katalysator für breitere Kombinationsnutzung ab ~Mitte 2031; Positionierung vor diesem Zeitpunkt wird als Vorteil gesehen.
- Q1‑Effekte: Schwächeres Q1 erklärt durch Preisangleichungen ex‑US (Deutschland) und US‑Saisonalität bei Reauthorizations sowie Kalendereffekte im Vertrieb.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Q1‑Schwäche: Analysten hoben Deutschland‑Preiswirkung, Versicherungs‑Reauthorizations und Wochentags‑Bilanzierung als Hauptgründe hervor; Management lieferte detaillierte Erklärungen, keine neuen Q2‑Zahlen.
- Wettbewerb & Kombination: Diskussion um kommende Silencer‑Daten (Ionis/AZ) und ob positive Resultate als Klasseneffekt interpretiert würden; Alnylam erwartet eher ein Gesamtmarkt‑Nutzen als direkten Share‑Verlust.
- Produktwechsel: Fragen zu Switch‑Dynamics von AMVUTTRA zu vutrisiran; Management nennt Wirksamkeitsvorteil, Dosierungskomfort und fehlende Royaltys als Argumente für späteren Wechsel.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Relevanz: Bestätigte Guidance signalisiert Managementvertrauen, aber es braucht in H2 eine spürbare Wachstumsbeschleunigung; kutivrisiran ist der wichtigste langfristige Upside‑Treiber für Umsatz und Margen.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Hello, and thank you for standing by. My name is Ian, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Q1 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn this call over to the company. Please go ahead.
Good morning. I'm Christine Akinc, Chief Corporate Communications Officer at Alnylam, with me today are Yvonne Greenstreet, Chief Executive Officer; Tolga Tanguler, Chief Commercial Officer; Pushkal Garg, Chief Research and Development Officer; and Jeff Poulton, Chief Financial Officer.
For those of you participating via conference call, the accompanying slides can be accessed by going to the Events section of the Investors page of our website, investors.alnylam.com/events. During today's call as outlined in Slide 2, Alnylam [indiscernible] our introductory remarks and provide some general context. Tolga will provide an update on our global commercial progress. Pushkal will review pipeline updates, clinical progress and upcoming milestones, and Jeff will review our financials and guidance before we open the call to your questions.
I'd like to remind you that this call will contain remarks concerning Alnylam's future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements for the purposes of the safe harbor provision under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those in our most recent periodic report on file with the SEC.
In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views only as of the date of this recording and should not be relied upon as representing our views of any subsequent date. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Yvonne. Yvonne?
Thanks, Christine, and thank you, everyone, for joining the call today. The first quarter of 2026 demonstrated continued strength of the business and represents the type of execution that will drive continued growth at Alnylam. Our leadership in TTR amyloidosis was on display, having achieved over $900 million in total net revenues from AMVUTTRA and ONPATTRO combined. We also entered into exciting new collaborations that we expect to drive TTR disease awareness and diagnosis and improve overall care pathways for patients.
On the R&D side, we continue to progress our deep pipeline of investigational medicines, including the presentation of impactful data for vutrisiran and [indiscernible] at ACC. We also initiated a Phase I trial of ARN-2232, which is our first adipose directed RNAi therapeutic and targets ACVR1. And on the financial front, the more than $1 billion in combined net product revenues generated in Q1, Alnylam's first quarter, exceeding the threshold in our history an important milestone.
We're also reiterating our full year financial guidance, reflecting continued confidence in the AMVUTTRA launch and the strength of our overall portfolio. [indiscernible] of biotech with a differentiated model built on a proven durable innovation engine and strong commercial execution, positioning us for sustained long-term growth. As the leader in RNAi therapeutics, we have established a modular reproducible approach to drug development and a product engine that has consistently translated scientific innovation into successful method. This high-yielding platform, combined with our outsized historical probability of success relative to the industry will be key to driving future growth. That capability is reflected in a deep pipeline of more than 25 programs currently in clinical development with continued expansion into new indications and therapeutic areas along with evolving platform capabilities.
Lastly, today, there are 6 Alnylam invented medicines that are collectively generating several billion dollars in annual revenues reaching hundreds of thousands of patients around the world. My colleagues will outline for you the commercial, R&D and financial progress we made in the first quarter of 2026. All of this progress builds our momentum towards accelerating innovation and scaling our impact as we look to deliver on our recently announced 5-year vision Alnylam 2030.
These ambitions are anchored in 3 strategic pillars. The first is to establish global leadership in TTR while continuing to build a durable franchise. Our second pillar focuses on growing through sustainable innovation where we aim to deliver therapies to not only slow the progression of the [indiscernible] but prevent halt or of asset. And the third pillar is scaling with discipline and agility to enable durable profitable growth. Taken together, our nylon 2030 represents our strategy to become the leading science-driven fully integrated global biopharmaceutical company and to maximize the potential of RNAi therapeutics for patients.
With that, let me now turn the call over to Tolga for a review of our first quarter commercial performance. Tolga?
Thanks, Ivan, and good morning. I'm pleased to share our continued progress in bringing Alnylam's therapies to patients globally. Q1 was another strong quarter of commercial execution and marked our first quarter exceeding $1 billion in product revenue, Specifically, we delivered $1.03 billion in combined net product revenues, up 121% year-over-year and 4% over Q4 2025.
While our TTR franchise continues to be our primary growth engine, we continue to see consistently strong performance in our rare disease business. So let's start there. Our rare disease portfolio continues to deliver meaningful impact for patients and consistent performance for our business. We generated $126 million in rare disease net revenue up 15% year-over-year. Growth was driven by increased patient demand, partially offset by higher gross to net deductions across U.S. and international markets.
Now turning to our TTR franchise. One year into the ATTR-CM launch, Alnylam continues to show strong momentum. Global TTR net revenues reached $910 million in Q1 and up 6% from Q4 and 153% year-over-year. In the U.S., TTR revenues grew 9% versus Q4 and more than 230% year-over-year. reflecting continued growth in patient demand. The $59 million in U.S. revenue growth over Q4 was achieved despite fewer Q1 shipping weeks and customary insurance reauthorization dynamics earlier in the year, anticipated headwinds that we shared with you on our February earnings call.
Access remained broad, pull-through was strong and adherence exceeded 90%. Outside the U.S., revenues declined $7 million from Q4, primarily reflecting our previously announced updated pricing in Germany following the ATTR-CM launch, but grew 35% year-over-year. Importantly, international TTR revenue outperformed our Q1 expectations shared in February, primarily due to continued strength in Japan, where our CM launch execution remains on track with leading analogs as well as strength in PN performance across our international markets.
This strength provided more balance to the quarter than anticipated as we did see the expected headwinds from the price adjustment in Germany. We remain confident in our 2026 TTR revenue guidance as we continue to expect more substantial quarter-over-quarter growth in TTR revenues, both in the U.S. and across the world over the balance of the year. As we move into the next phase of U.S. ATTR-CM launch, our focus is grounded in the strong foundation established in 2025.
First, physician preference and utilization. Alnylam's clinical profile has driven a strong and compelling first-line positioning with strong preference demonstrated by physicians who have experience using it; second, access and affordability. Our access has improved versus 2025 and continues to be durable with over 90% patients covered with first-line access and most facing 0 in out-of-pocket costs. Third, side of care infrastructure. We built a robust provider network designed to deliver a seamless patient experience. These fundamentals enabled a highly differentiated launch with rapid uptake and strong utilization across lines of therapy.
Importantly, our initial success has shown that physician experience with Auto leads to deeper and sustained use over time. As highlighted during our TTR investor event, moving forward, we're focused on the following 3 indicators of continued launch success. First, prescriber base expansion. We've already built a large and expanding base with more than 1,200 unique new U.S. prescribers since last March.
When we look at prescribing trends on an individual health care professional basis, we generally see that initial utilization of AMVUTTRA by a new prescriber is relatively balanced between first and second lines of therapy. Second line use is being driven primarily by moving that prescribers existing base of patients progressing on stabilizer on to AMVUTTRA, either a switch or combo therapy. Over time, as the existing base of stabilizer patients is transitioned.
We generally see that prescribers new second-line scripts reduced to a normalized level. Importantly, health care professionals experience with AMVUTTRA breeds a greater number and proportion of new scripts in the first-line setting. So our experience with AMVUTTRA has translated into a durable preference, and we also see significant opportunity coming from expanding the number of prescribers. We will do this by increasing engagement with physicians who don't yet have experience with AMVUTTRA, reinforcing the role of AMVUTTRA across the full patient journey and maintaining seamless patient access.
Second, sustained category growth. ATTR-CM remains significantly underdiagnosed and undertreated with an estimated 200,000 patients in the U.S. and more than 80% of still untreated. We are addressing this gap directly as part of our TTR leadership agenda, advancing practical, AI-enabled partnerships to facilitate earlier diagnosis and treatment. Collaborations with [indiscernible] others as well as support for an initiative with American Heart Association, or embedding AI diagnostics into real-world care pathways, expanding patient identification, and accelerating access to therapy.
Third, [indiscernible] and persistence supported by quarterly dosing and actual patient adherence. Pushkal will share some more color in a moment, but recently presented real-world data demonstrate greater than 90% adherence to vutrisiran over more than a 2-year period. This profile translates into [indiscernible] patients and by extension into sustained revenue which is central to any long-term growth outlook.
Online's global footprint is enabling strong execution on international market access for Aura reflected in a series of positive reimbursement milestones across key markets. In Europe, we're seeing favorable health technology assessment outcomes and reimbursement momentum, including recent launches in Austria, the U.K. Switzerland and Italy, supporting broader patient eligibility and more streamlined treatment pathways.
Taken together, these developments reinforce the growing global recognition of the value of AMVUTTRA and positions are slow to expand patient reach around the world. With that, I'll turn things over to Pushkal.
Thank you, Tolga, and good morning, everyone. Alnylam undoubtedly has one of the most robust pipelines in biotech with over 25 clinical programs, spanning multiple therapeutic areas across rare specialty and prevalent indications, representing a tremendous opportunity to improve patient health and create value in the years ahead.
Over the next few moments, I'll double-click on some of these programs to highlight some key near-term value drivers in the pipeline. In support of our ongoing efforts to demonstrate AMVUTTRA's unique profile that we believe supports first-line use, we shared new data on the drug's impact on patients with ATTR-CM at the recent American College Cardiology Annual Meeting. As Toga briefly mentioned, a retrospective cohort study of approximately 4 years of real-world data in patients with transthyretin-mediated amyloidosis indicated high adherence and persistence to vutrisiran treatment. Over the treatment period, greater than 93% of patients were adherent to vutrisiran, defined as 80% or more days covered by vutrisiran and over 85% remained on therapy for more than a year.
These data stand in contrast to the low adherence and persistence we've seen with many oral therapies and support the potential for vutrisiran's clinical trial benefits to translate into a real-world setting. In another analysis, we looked at diastolic dysfunction, which is known to be prognostic of poor outcomes in patients with ATTR-CM. The post-hoc analysis of HELIOS-B assessed outcomes at month 30 in patients who had evaluable diastolic dysfunction grades, DDG at baseline. There were 3 key findings.
First, higher DDG at baseline corresponded with adverse outcomes in ATTR-CM in the HELIOS-B study. Second, vutrisiran was associated with a lower risk of worsening DDG and compared to patients receiving placebo. And finally, vutrisiran reduced the risk of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events during the double-blind period, irrespective of patients' baseline DDG. Together, these data continue to underscore the differentiated and substantial impact of vutrisiran in ATTR cardiomyopathy. We also continue to advance our next-generation TTR [indiscernible] in the TRITON Phase III program. As a reminder, interim Phase I results with nucresiran demonstrated greater than 95% mean TTR knockdown and were supportive of a twice-yearly dosing regimen.
TRITON-CM is a randomized double-blind events-driven outcome study of nucresiran versus placebo. We initiated the study last year and are encouraged by the very strong interest we've seen from both investigators and patients who wish to participate. As a result, enrollment is proceeding faster than expected. In addition, and as anticipated, the patients enrolling in this study have somewhat milder disease on average, than those enrolled in HELIOS-B due to greater disease awareness and earlier diagnosis around the world.
Our study already includes a built-in safeguard against potentially low event rates in that it is event-driven. In other words, we will continue the study until we have enough endpoint events to ensure sufficient study power. Today, we are announcing that we will take advantage of the fast pace of enrollment to utilize a prespecified option in our protocol to expand enrollment by approximately 500 patients or from 1,250 to about 1,750 in total. This increase further mitigates the risk of low event rates, while maintaining or potentially even accelerating time lines for this important study.
Given the rapid pace of enrollment and the anticipated accrual of endpoint events we still project to launch by 2030, assuming positive data and regulatory approval. In addition, the TRITON-PN Phase III trial in hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy is also ongoing and if successful, has the potential to support approval in this indication by 2028.
As we look ahead to the next period of R&D evolution at Alnylam were guided by our new Alnylam 2030 set of 5-year goals specifically the pillar of growth through sustainable innovation. As a reminder, we've committed to delivering at least 2 new transformative medicines beyond TTR with blockbuster potential. We also anticipate achieving RNAi delivery to at least 10 tissue types with over 40 programs in the clinic by the end of 2030.
And lastly, we aim to invest approximately 30% of revenues in non-GAAP R&D through this period to support our next wave of medicines. We're on our way to achieving these goals and look forward to many clinical readouts in the coming quarters and years to unlock these transformative programs, which will propel Alnylam into its next phases of growth.
As for 2026, we plan to share updates from across the pipeline as outlined here. In the first half of the year, we expect to complete enrollment in the Capricorn 1 Phase II trial of mevelsiran in cerebral amyloid angiopathy and to initiate a Phase II trial of [indiscernible] in Alzheimer's disease. We're also on track to initiate a Phase II trial of ALN-6400 in a second bleeding disorder. In addition to these study milestones, we also look forward to several clinical readouts from 3 different programs in the second half of the year.
For ALN-6400 in bleeding disorders, we plan to share Phase I data from healthy volunteers in Phase II results in patients with hereditary hemorrhagic tolangictasia. We also plan to share Phase I data for ALN-HTT02 in patients with Huntington's disease and ALN-2232 in development for obesity and weight management. Within our robust pipeline are several programs, each with multibillion-dollar potential that we believe represents the next wave of transformative medicines. ALN-6400, which we believe has potential application across a wide range of bleeding disorders, [indiscernible], which has the potential to reduce the risk of cardiovascular events by providing continuous control of blood pressure and ALN-HTT which we are starting to treat Huntington's disease are among the many opportunities in our pipeline that may improve human health and accelerate growth in the years to come.
Given these are novel therapeutics that have the potential to change the practice of medicine, I'm excited to announce that we will be discussing each of these programs in greater detail during upcoming webinars starting this summer. Those of you who have followed Alnynam for a while may recall our RNA Roundtable series in which we spotlight key pipeline programs of interest in discussed disease areas, treatment landscape, unmet needs and the differentiated impact possible with RNA therapeutics. We'll be using a similar format to deep dive into each of these programs and outline the opportunities this summer. Stay tuned for more details in the coming weeks. With that, let me now turn it over to Jeff to review our financial results and 2026 guidance. Jeff?
Thanks, Pushkal, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be presenting a summary of Alnylam's first quarter 2026 financial results and discussing our full year guidance. Let's begin with a summary of our P&L results for Q1 2026. The Total global net product revenues for the first quarter were more than $1 billion or 121% growth versus Q1 last year, driven by the continued uptake of AMVUTTRA and ATTR cardiomyopathy. We achieved $910 million of TTR revenue in the first quarter, a $52 million increase versus Q4, consistent with the Q1 phasing expectations we discussed on our year-end earnings call in February. For the first quarter, collaboration revenue was $82 million or a 17% decrease compared with the same period last year. The decrease was primarily driven by a $30 million milestone payment received from [indiscernible] in Q1 2025.
Royalty revenue for the first quarter was $49 million representing an 85% increase compared to the first quarter of 2025, driven by higher global [indiscernible] sales. Gross margin on product sales was 80% for the first quarter representing a 5% decrease compared with Q1 last year. The decrease in margin was primarily driven by increased royalties on AMVUTTRA as higher revenues in 2026 and resulted in an increase in the average royalty rate payable to Sanofi compared with the same period last year.
Additionally, a quick reminder that the royalty rate we pay Sanofi on sales of AMVUTTRA resets each calendar year. As a result, as AMVUTTRA's sales increase over the course of the year, we anticipate that the average royalty rate on sales of AMVUTTRA paid to Sanofi will increase, resulting in a decrease in quarterly gross margin on product sales over the course of the year.
Our non-GAAP R&D expenses of $335 million increased 39% compared to last year, primarily driven by the costs associated with our ongoing 3 Phase III clinical studies including the Xenith cardiovascular outcomes trial for zalbisiran and the TRITON-CN and PN studies for nucresiran. Beyond the pivotal programs, we continue to increase investment to support important programs for bleeding disorders, Huntington's disease and CAA as well as early pipeline investment to deliver new INDs.
Non-GAAP SG&A expenses of $283 million increased 36% compared to last year, driven primarily by investments in support of the AMVUTTRA ATTR cardiomyopathy launch in the U.S. and in the international markets as well as increased employee compensation costs and other scaling investments to support the organization. We achieved non-GAAP operating income of $339 million, which represents a more than 4x increase compared to last year, driven primarily by the strong top line results that I previously highlighted.
We continued to deliver profitability on both the GAAP and non-GAAP net income basis in the first quarter, which represents our third consecutive quarter of both GAAP and non-GAAP profitability. Finally, we ended the first quarter with cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $3 billion compared with $2.9 billion as of December 31, 2025. The primary driver of the increase in cash during the quarter was our strong operating performance.
Now turning to our full year guidance. Today, we are reiterating our 2026 guidance as presented during our last earnings call, and as summarized on our guidance slide. Notably, on TTR revenue, as Tolga previously highlighted, our guidance continues to reflect an assumption of significantly higher quarter-on-quarter revenue growth for the balance of the year in order to achieve our $4.4 billion to $4.7 billion TTR product sales guidance.
Let me now turn it back to Christine to coordinate our Q&A session. Christine?
Thank you, Jeff. Operator, we will now open the call for questions. To those out then, who would like to ask you to limit yourself to 1 question each and then get back in the queue if you have additional questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Ritu Baral with TD Cowen.
2. Question Answer
So Tolga, I wanted to ask you a little more about your comments around first-line use and second-line use. You said that they were balanced, and I believe you mentioned that use improves with experience. And then you said something about second-line use reducing to normal levels. What is that sort of experience that you're seeing? Is it that doctors are starting with second line? And then with increased exposure and experience willing to start patients on first-line or are they starting on first line? And how much does your detailing sort of detailing contribute to it or combination therapy contribute to it as well.
There's quite a lot in that question, and we'll try to plan to unpack it as we go. But just before I turn it over to Tolga, I mean, just kind of reiterate our confidence really in the fundamentals of the AMVUTTRA launch. And we're really pleased with the progress that we've made as we march towards achieving our goal of TTR leadership by revenues through this next period. But Tolga, let's dive a little bit into resides.
Sure. No, I think it's an important dynamic and happy to expand more on that. So what we're really describing is the natural evolution of second-line dynamics as the launch progresses. As new prescribers begin using AMVUTTRA, essentially initial utilization is typically balanced between first and second line. early second-line use is obviously driven by physicians treating patients progressing on stabilizers. They had these patients that were already progressing in the last 5, 6 years. and they were waiting for a product with essentially in our target of mechanism of action. So over time, as those patients have transitioned second-line volume normalizes. At the same time, what we're really excited about is the growing physician experience has been leading to increased adoption in the first-line setting. I think that's a really important element to highlight. So we see this as a really positive and expected progression that you would see the early in the launch dynamics. Today, the business is modestly way towards first line. while second line remains an important and ongoing contributor to growth. And obviously, we are -- [indiscernible] we're talking makers of action, we are the -- we have the highest share in that respect. But what's also important is this is a gradual shift in mix as physicians move from early adoption to more established prescribing patterns. And from a strategic standpoint that you asked, -- our focus remains on strengthening first-line positioning, which in turn supports both broader and more durable utilization, including second line given our differentiated product profile. So for us, the key driver from here is really going to be about expanding the prescriber base, bringing more physicians into the AMVUTTRA experience, which we consistently see that translates into deeper and early line use over time.
Our next question comes from the line of Paul Matteis with Stifel.
I was wondering, Jeff, if you could try to help do some math for us on the call as it relates to the headwind this quarter from selling weeks? I know you talked about 2 [indiscernible] weeks, but I think that might be related to 1 specific. And then conversely, maybe if there was any sort of inventory headwind or benefit this quarter and sort of when you net out and take a step back, how would you sort of simplify for us what we're seeing in terms of actual demand growth from 4Q to 1Q for AMVUTTRA in the U.S.
Great. Thanks for the question, Paul. Look, good question. I think Q1 played out generally in line with our expectations in the quarter. If you look at the U.S. results, $59 million in growth. That was primarily demand-driven. There was some positive inventory impacts in the quarter, but that was offset by pricing, which is continuing to trend in the direction that we expect. Just to remind you on the things that we talked about impacting the quarter, insurance reauthorizations in the U.S. were part of the story. And we did see that. I mean, if we look at demand and start form generation across the quarter. January was the lowest, and we saw sequential improvement in February and March. So that played out as we expected. And then you hit on the ordering patterns, yes, that's correct. The number of Wednesdays in the quarter actually does make an impact in terms of comparisons quarter-to-quarter just because of the way the ordering works in the U.S. So the way things work in the U.S. for us is there's one wholesale distributor that we work with that drives about 80% of the volume. They order every week on Monday in the U.S., product ships on Tuesday and inventories received and is recognized on Wednesday. Just the way with the calendar fell last year and then into this year, there were 14 Wednesdays in Q4 last year and 12 in Q1. So that contributed. Look, if you looked at the TTR growth last year in the U.S., it was $111 million and again $59 million in Q1. So I think, again, this all played out as we expected.
I just wanted to clarify on the selling weeks. We have that dynamic at like close to an 11% sequential headwind. Is that an exaggeration of [indiscernible] dynamic or kind of roughly where we should be modeling it?
Yes. Again, I'm not going to get into maybe the specific detail on that, Paul, per your question, but it did have an impact and which was one of the reasons why we flagged it on the call in February. Just thinking about going forward, right, for Q2, there will be 13 Wednesdays. Q3 will have 14 in and then Q4 will have 13, right? And so over the course of the year, there's 52 Wednesdays, but that's how they're going to fall. So again, it's one of the things that drives confidence in our view in terms of growth going forward, higher levels of growth. on a quarterly basis going forward in the U.S.
If I could add in terms of the -- how the quarter should be characterized from a demand perspective, it was really largely driven by demand. So we did have some inventory benefit, but that was really offset by the gross to net adjustments. So net-net, this was really about demand growth.
That's spot on. Thanks for providing some color to the quarter. I mean, we were really pleased to be able to maintain patients how well the authorizations went, how patients were able to kind of get access with our commitment to make it as easy as possible for them. So we're seeing kind of good progress from 2025 to 23.6%.
Our next question comes from the line of Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
There's a study coming up for a competitor who has the [ silencer ]. I think there's a lot of eyes on the portion specifically related to adding that [ silencer ] on to a stabilizer. So I wanted to get your thoughts if that portion of the study proves to be robust, is there any reason to think that a result like that would not have been replicated with Ambu you had designed that trial. And looking ahead, how do you think physicians would interpret that type of data? Would that be specific to the target set? Or do you think it would be validating for silencers overall?
Thanks, Tazeen. Maybe I'll take a question. Tolga may have something to add as well at the end. Yes. Look, I think we're obviously looking to see the cardiac transform results as they come out. I think we're expecting a little later this year based on the announcements yesterday. But I think as it relates to the combination portion of that study, yes, it's -- they've got an upsized portion in that study. And we fully expect that, that study will be positive and that those results are positive. The reason we believe that is because we have the HELIOS-B results which have already shown that the silencing mechanism is effective in monotherapy and in combination therapy when it added on a background of stabilizer. We saw strong results in that category. It was not powered specifically for that group, but we saw additive benefit that was commensurate with the benefit we saw as a monotherapy. And that was realized then in the product labeling as well, where it was recognized that there was equal effectiveness on or off [indiscernible] and that's captured in the take in the label. And so we're obviously able to communicate that appropriately with prescribers and Tolga can talk more about that dynamic. So I do expect that they'll see a [indiscernible] benefit there, but I think it really just enhances and further validates the signal that we've already seen with this drug. The other thing I would just mention is that we talked today about the nuu study with TRITON-CM. And that is going to -- as we've talked about before, be primarily a study adding on top of patients who are on a stabilizer. And with today's announcement, I think we'll have perhaps the largest experience coming out of that study. So a very, very rich data set showing the benefits of adding a silencer on top of a stabilizer. So I think we're looking forward to those results as well. So I think we're very well positioned, both for how treatment patterns are today and how they're going to evolve over time. But Tolga, you have anything to add.
Making a kind of commercial comment [indiscernible] here, too. I think you've kind of focus very well on how we think about apron. But I think it's worth referencing our success in the PN indication. I mean, I think as you have seen in PN, there are 2 real dynamics that works in our favor. First and foremost, obviously, we have a significant. We had a significant lead time when an air plant came out in PN. And what you now see is we have a pretty robust and durable market share in terms of new patient starts over 75%. And then the good news is the category continues to grow in PN. And when you actually translated into the CM, which is a much larger obviously category, when you have a deeper, more durable and sustained [indiscernible], which we already have AMVUTTRA, it's going to be only advanced by nucresiran, hopefully. We are really well positioned given the lead time that we have. And again, from a label perspective, we already have a combination use in our label. We really feel good about another study actually confirming some of the benefits of the silencer class.
Our next question comes from the line of Konstantinos Biliouris with Oppenheimer.
Congrats on the quarter. Maybe I'd like to reverse [indiscernible] question and ask about the scenario that cardio transform sales to show an effect under the [indiscernible] cobalt nurse can demonstrate an effect under the stabilizer silence combo. Do you think that your competitor will be able to leverage [indiscernible] will be specific to nucresiran because of the potency and the durability of the drug.
Yes, there's a lot of scenarios there to work through. I appreciate the nature of your question. I don't know that I can answer it directly. Look, I think Again, I think there are commonalities between the plan approach and what we're doing in that they both knock down TTR, although at the same time, they are different molecules and they use different mechanisms. We use in our AI mechanism, they use an ASO mechanism. They're knockdown tends to happen a little bit longer over time based on the data that I've seen published, whereas we get to higher levels of knockdown a little bit earlier. So I think it's really difficult to sort of prognosticate all the different scenarios. I think maybe they'll see an effect. Maybe it's not static. I don't know. I don't want to speculate at all. but these are different molecules, but there are overlapping areas. And I think as we get the data sets, there'll be some inferences made in terms of where we can connect the dots and where there are maybe unique aspects of the molecules or study designs, for instance, that may have contributed. Our studies are event-driven for instance. And so we may -- that may give us, as we've talked about, additional insurance and help with powering of the studies overall. So Again, I think we'll wait to see how those studies pan out. But I think we feel very good based on the HELIOS-B results, our patient level insights that we have from those studies and the detailed data we have in terms of how to design TRITON-CM and to establish its success. And so we feel very good about that. And that is why -- part of the reason we had talked about the sample size increase as well today.
It's great. I think we are quarterly subparts regimen as well for AMVUTTRA provides additional differentiation. I think that's one of the reasons why we think such good adherence to [indiscernible] as well as, obviously, the compelling clinical profile that we provide.
Our next question comes from the line of Salveen Richter with Goldman Sachs.
With regard to AMVUTTRA, how are you thinking of the trajectory in 2026 post the headwinds that played out in 1Q? And in particular, could you just comment on the ex U.S. pricing dynamics in Germany and elsewhere and whether those have stabilized yet or are still ongoing?
Question is referring to the ex U.S. picture. I think talk clearly, you'll answer that, but I just want to say how pleased we are with the progress of our launches ex U.S. Tolga touched on this in his prepared remarks. And I think it's a testament, actually, to our pricing and reimbursement organization that we've been able to to move forward with a number of AMVUTTRA-CM launches in Europe and in Japan. Tolga you want to comment on pricing.
Sure. Thanks, Salveen, for that question. So let's unpack that a little bit in terms of our ex U.S. pricing dynamics. And we touched upon this in our earnings call, the prior earnings call. And obviously, it's worked out better than what we had anticipated. That was primarily driven by our Japan launch progress. That's going really well as well as obviously the robustness business in RPN. But if you look at the rest of the year, I think the way we should be thinking about it is when we launched the CM indication in markets outside the U.S., it does typically involve a price adjustment for our which can have an impact on the existing RPN business space. The magnitude of that impact obviously varies by market, primarily driven by the size of the price adjustment and the relative scale of that business, existing business. In that context, that Germany did represent the most significant impact in Q1 across all our international markets. And importantly, this was obviously a deliberate and expected step in expanding into a larger opportunity. Over time, the CM volume more than offsets the impact of the initial price adjustments on the PN base. And a helpful way to think about this is a mix shift. We're effectively trading a smaller, higher-priced segment for access to a significantly larger patient population. And then the mix evolves, the overall value of the market will expand. And what does this mean for the rest of the quarter is we expect this to become a net positive growth for starting in Q2, building throughout the year and contributing incremental on a full year basis. I think what we had said is essentially, the contribution of growth is going to be about the same, net-net as ex U.S. did contribute last year.
Our next question comes from the line of Cory Kasimov with Evercore ISI.
Apologies for asking another one related to cardio transform but assuming that doesn't factored out positively, how do you think about the evolution of pricing as another silencer enters the picture, especially given the Part B versus Part D dynamic? Is there any reason to think that pricing could materially change? Or is the PN experience applicable and CM in this case as well?
Look, it's never a good idea to speculate your competitors' pricing. But what we've seen so far is -- we've done really well in '26 in terms of how we've been able to actually increase our first-line access with payers. We anticipate that to continue. Payers are taking this disease very seriously and price sensitivity right now is not really in the works as we've seen and been able to demonstrate that. Currently, Yvonne slightly more premium than our product annual on an annual basis. What we've seen so far, and they had priced it after us. I think they're also seeing how the pricing is working. We don't really anticipate any significant shift in the moment. And of course, we have been managing this very, very thoughtfully and monitoring it very carefully.
Our next question comes from the line of Ellie Merle with Barclays.
In your prepared remarks, you commented on how second line use is reduced to a normalized level. But can you comment on the trends you're seeing in the first line. Are you seeing a steady number of naive starts or an acceleration in the number of naive starts. If you could just help characterize what you're seeing there, that would be helpful.
You touched on that Tolga, but maybe to add a little bit more color.
Yes. I mean I think what's really exciting is what we've been seeing consistently is that once physicians initiate patients on [indiscernible], utilization deepens shift towards earlier using over time, and that really strengthens our first line. So early adoption is largely driven by treating patients progressing on stabilizers in the second-line setting and the opportunity is to work through prescribing natural evolves toward a greater proportion of first-line use. Therefore, we feel very good about so far how we've been able to managing this. And essentially, our aspiration is to continue to grow that first-time use by expanding our prescriber base.
Our next question comes from the line of Jessica Fye with JPMorgan.
I was wondering if you could touch on how -- if at all, the recently announced Pfizer settlement for [indiscernible] impact, how you think about the TTR [indiscernible] looking out over the next several years.
Yes. Great question [indiscernible] timely. Look, I think we've been rather consistent in how we've been characterizing that our growth outlook is really not dependent on the timing of a generic entry in the stabilizer class. We do expect the impact on our TTR outlook from the settlement to be rather limited. Just to remind everyone, this remains a significant underserved category with a large proportion of patients untreated. And we know that nearly half of those patients that are on a stabilizer continue to progress and they do in need of an [indiscernible] mechanism of action. Importantly, demand for Anbutra reflects a fundamental shift towards treating this disease added source which we see as durable and independent of pricing dynamics within the stabilizer class. We also believe that the TRIDENT CM study positions us really well to generate a robust data package for [indiscernible] supporting continued leadership in an evolving treatment landscape. Today, we're really well established with broad first-line access, strong patient affordability growing physician preference and well ahead of any potential LOE considerations. So taking it all together, I think we feel very well positioned to sustain growth through both continued on but adoption and frankly, the advancement of our next-generation pipeline.
Our next question comes from the line of Luca Issi with RBC Capital Markets.
.
. This is Shelby on for Luca. Yesterday, AstraZeneca printed a pretty meaningful miss for TTR and we know is actually down 35% Q-over-Q. So I guess from a competitor standpoint, is Alnylam a net beneficiary of that miss in PN. And then maybe bigger picture, could you walk us through your latest thinking on the competitive landscape here in the U.S., especially given the Medicare Part B, Part D dynamic and with the [indiscernible] syringe coming for [indiscernible]
Yes. I mean, look, I think it is customary to see some softening in the first quarter of the dynamic. When I look at our numbers throughout our -- we had certainly seen that, but that tends to actually recover in March, and we've always been able to post a good growth based on our base based business. So I think you guys should raise that question with them. What we know is even before the CM indication, we have been able to establish a very strong new patient market growth -- market share upwards of 75%, while the category continues to grow. So we are very pleased with that experience, and we certainly have every plan to replicate that success in the landscape as well. When it comes to Part D and Part B, look, I think we're really well positioned in terms of how we've been able to provide that access. The fact that our product is a quarterly subcutaneous injectable meets very nicely with the cadence of how those patients actually visit those offices. And it's -- and by the way, again, we've been able to expand our actually access nearly 90% when it comes to overall access and over 90% in terms of first-line access without any step edits with 0 patient out-of-pocket costs. those dynamics not only been secured but also improved versus last year. And that's, again, a testament to the product profile as well as actually a testament to the payers who really understand this disease and they leave up to the physician and their choice in how they want to manage this category.
Our next question comes from the line of Myles Minter with William Blair.
This is John on for Myles. Maybe just switch gears just a little bit. Just wondering where you're seeing [indiscernible] competitive landscape along with some of the next-gen complement CD19, [indiscernible] or FcRn. And any thoughts as to why more [indiscernible] combo therapy didn't result in better efficacy there?
No, we're clearly pleased with the progress of [indiscernible] in patients with MG. The results were really quite supportive of use of this disease. [indiscernible] any additional perspectives you'd like to add?
No. Look, I think I guess I'd just echo what [indiscernible] said. I think we're really excited that Regeneron has advanced [indiscernible]. I think the data in myasthenia are incredibly compelling that they've generated. We think this is going to be [indiscernible] and expect this will be a formidable drug for these patients where there's a lot of unmet need I think the detailed questions in terms of the market and the opportunity, I think we should leave for our colleagues over there, but we will end and its opportunity to help patients.
Our next question comes from the line of Paul Metteis with Morgan Stanley.
And maybe just a follow-up on the generic [indiscernible] question. Would you anticipate increased combo use in the frontline setting? Or would that be more of a second-line setting effect? And then do you think you need the data from nucrisaran combo to kind of accelerate that. Or do you not need that?
Yes, Mike. Look, I think as I explained, we've been able to establish ourselves as a first-line treatment over 35% in a short 9 months since the launch of the third entrant. That really is the fundamental question in a way how the market is going to be unfolding. In respect to combination use, as we had shared before, there are physicians who prefer to have a second line use in a switch or combo. And if that were to happen so far, we haven't seen any significant headwinds. We don't really speculate on that, how payers are going to be managing that. I think one step goes generic, certainly, that dynamic will evolve. And I think obviously, [indiscernible] will we'll be in a great position given the data we're generating. We already also do have combo data in our label as well as, obviously, physicians have been experiencing it already over a year. So what we, again, appreciate the fact that it's how we got out of the gate in terms of our launch dynamics, and we continue to maintain that posture.
Yes, absolutely. I think the key point here is that, as you said, our fortunes aren't tied to the generalization of the stabilizer class and we're quite excited about the TRITON-CM designed for [indiscernible] deliver a very robust data package to support the evolving treatment landscape. I think we've come to kind of our last question. So I will just wrap up by thanking everybody for joining us today. think we're off to a good start in 2026. And as we maintain momentum with the ongoing launch of [indiscernible] Ampoxin ATTR cardiomoprathy. We also continue to deliver significant advancements across our really quite exciting and deep pipeline of innovative therapy 6. Thanks, everybody. All the very best.
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you for joining us. You may now disconnect. Have a good rest of your day. Goodbye.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Starkes Q1: kombiniertes Produktumsatz >$1 Mrd., TTR-Launch treibt Wachstum; Management bestätigt 2026-Guidance.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $1,03 Mrd. kombinierte Nettoeinnahmen (+121% YoY [year‑over‑year], +4% QoQ [quarter‑over‑quarter]).
- TTR: $910 Mio. TTR-Nettoumsatz (+153% YoY, +6% vs Q4 2025).
- Seltene Krankheiten: $126 Mio. (+15% YoY).
- Bruttomarge: 80% auf Produktverkäufe (−5 Prozentpunkte YoY), Belastung durch höhere Lizenzabgaben an Sanofi.
- Cash & Profit: $3,0 Mrd. Barmittel; Non‑GAAP Oper. Income $339 Mio. (>4x YoY) und dritter Quartalsgewinn in Folge.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- TTR‑Fokus: AMVUTTRA-Launch als Hauptwachstumstreiber; Ziel ist globale Führerschaft bei TTR‑Erkrankungen.
- Alnylam 2030: Drei Säulen: TTR‑Führung, nachhaltige Innovation (≥2 weitere transformative Wirkstoffe) und skalierte, profitable Expansion; Ziel: RNAi‑Zielgewebe auf ≥10 Gewebe bis 2030.
- Diagnose & Zugang: Kooperationen und KI‑gestützte Partnerschaften (z. B. American Heart Association) zur früheren Identifikation und Therapieanbahnung.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance: Bestätigung der Jahresprognose; TTR‑Umsatzziel $4,4–4,7 Mrd. in 2026, Management erwartet stärkere QoQ‑Zunahmen in H2.
- Risiken: kurzfristige Margenbelastung durch jährliche Royalty‑Reset an Sanofi und lokale Preis‑/Erstattungsanpassungen (z. B. Deutschland); operative Headwinds in Q1: weniger Versandwochen und Versicherungs‑Reauthorisierungen.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Prescriber‑Mix: Analysten fragten intensiv nach First‑ vs. Second‑line‑Trends; Management sieht Verschiebung zu First‑line mit zunehmender Erfahrung, will Prescriber‑Basis weiter ausbauen.
- Quartals‑Effekte: Nachfrage erklärt Q1‑Wachstum; Kalender‑Shipping‑Wochen und Versicherungs‑Reauthorisierungen wurden als temporäre Einflüsse genannt; Management nannte keine exakte %-Zahl.
- Konkurrenz & Kombinationen: Fragen zu Wettbewerber‑Studien, Kombinationsdaten und Preisdruck; Management verweigerte Spekulationen, verweist auf HELIOS‑B, TRITON‑Enrollmentserweiterung (+500 auf ~1.750) und Label‑Daten als Stütze.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Solide kommerzielle Traktion und Bestätigung der Guidance reduzieren kurzfristige Unsicherheit; Margendruck durch steigende Royalties und vereinzelte Länderpreis‑Effekte bleibt ein Thema, wird aber durch Volumenwachstum und starke Pipeline‑Katalysatoren (TRITON, mehrere H2‑2026 Readouts) ausgeglichen.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Special Call - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. I'm Tolga Tanguler, Chief Commercial Officer at Alnylam, and I'm thrilled to be hosting today's webinar to update you on our leadership journey in delivering transformative therapies for patients living with ATTR amyloidosis.
This past Friday marked one year since AMVUTTRA was approved in the U.S. for patients with ATTR cardiomyopathy, a pivotal milestone for Alnylam that has launched us into a new era of growth. We've built a strong foundation through years of disciplined execution and are rapidly advancing toward leadership in TTR. So how do we get here? In 2018, with ONPATTRO, we introduced an entirely new class of medicine, RNAi therapeutics that silence disease at its source, bringing a transformative option to patients with hereditary ATTR amyloidosis with polyneuropathy.
We have continued to build on that foundation with AMVUTTRA, which launched in '22 for the same indication. And exactly 1 year ago, we expanded into ATTR cardiomyopathy population, which while still an orphan indication, is far more prevalent than hATTR-PN. We're now driving strong adoption across that larger patient base, and we're just getting started. We continue to accelerate AMVUTTRA uptake across the world. We're advancing our next-generation TTR therapy, nucresiran, with the potential to further raise the bar.
And as announced today, we're investing in cutting-edge capabilities to enable earlier diagnosis, better coordinated care and sustained long-term outcomes for patients. The strategy is clear: lead with science, reach patients still untreated or progressing on stabilizers and deliver durable impact for patients and value for shareholders.
Following last year's approval of AMVUTTRA for ATTR cardiomyopathy, supported by the compelling results from the landmark HELIOS-B trial, we moved quickly to drive adoption and ensure seamless patient access. Execution has been strong, enabled by our deep experience in TTR and the strength of our commercial and medical teams. That execution is translating into results. Now we more than doubled revenues for our TTR franchise in '25 versus '24. We beat and raised our guidance twice over the course of the year, and we're guiding to a further 83% growth in '26 at the midpoint.
This momentum reflects both the value AMVUTTRA is delivering to patients and physicians and the strength of our commercial capabilities. Today, we'll focus on how we build on this momentum to shape the future of ATTR treatment by expanding diagnosis, advancing innovation and continuing to raise the standard of care in an increasingly dynamic and competitive landscape. And before we begin, I want to acknowledge the ATTR patient community. It is a privilege to work alongside physicians, patients and their families as they navigate this complex disease and to bring forward therapies with the potential to meaningfully change the course of their lives.
I'm joined today by our key commercial and medical affair leaders who are at the center of this progress, including Mark Soued, Senior Vice President, Head of U.S. and TTR Lead; John Kennedy, Senior Vice President, TTR Franchise Commercialization Lead; Dr. Sameer Bansilal, VP TTR Disease Area Lead; and Christine Akinc, our Chief Corporate Communications Officer, who will join us to moderate the Q&A.
Let me briefly walk you through how we will shape the future of ATTR treatment and how it connects to our path to leadership. I'll start with our cardiomyopathy launch, what we've learned, how that momentum is building and how we're applying those insights to scale and strengthen our leadership position. Mark will then step back and frame the broader opportunity in ATTR amyloidosis, including the significant number of patients who remain undiagnosed and untreated. Dr. Sameer Bansilal, will build on that with recent data reinforcing AMVUTTRA's differentiated clinical profile and how that translates into compelling value proposition for patients and physicians.
John and Mark will then focus on 2 defining potential future dynamics for the market, increasing competition within the TTR silencer class, where we've already demonstrated our ability to compete successfully in the hATTR-PN setting and the transition of stabilizer class with tafamidis loss of exclusivity. They will outline how we are positioned to continue to compete and grow through both.
And finally, John will bring it together with how we're planning to drive category growth, expanding diagnosis, increasing access and reaching more patients at scale. For the Q&A, please submit your questions through the webcast dialogue box. As a reminder, we will be making forward-looking statements. Looking at pace of AMVUTTRA's launch in cardiomyopathy, we're seeing strong early momentum. In 2025, performance was driven by our U.S. launch and the initial rollout in Japan, both demonstrating uptake that exceeds relevant specialty analogs. That momentum is translating into real scale.
More than 12,000 patients now treated globally across our TTR franchise, a large and expanding prescriber base, including more than 1,600 unique U.S. prescribers since launch last March, and this is clearly reflected in our financial performance. Since launch in cardiomyopathy, we have delivered $2.1 billion in total global TTR revenues, and we're guiding to $4.4 billion to $4.7 billion in 2026, underscoring our confidence in continued growth.
As we look ahead, it's important to start with what enables that future, the foundation we built in 2025. Our early success in cardiomyopathy reflects deliberate execution against the core fundamentals required to build a durable franchise. First, physician preference and utilization. AMVUTTRA's clinical profile has driven a strong and compelling first-line positioning with strong preference among physicians who have experience using it.
Second, access and affordability. Innovation only matters if patients can access it. Leveraging our experience in this space, we've secured durable first-line access for approximately 90% of patients with the majority paying 0 out of pocket. And our access is broader than it was in 2025, allowing us to reach more patients.
Third, site of care infrastructure. We've built a robust provider network to enable efficient administration. Today, around 90% of U.S. patients can receive treatment within 10 miles of their homes. These are not short-term metrics. They are the foundation for sustained growth. They position us to scale within a therapeutic category that continues to expand meaningfully.
If you look more closely, we can see the momentum unlocked through disciplined execution against these fundamentals. As a third entrant in ATTR-CM, competing against a legacy standard of care, we achieved an average approximately 35% new-to-brand market share across the first 3 quarters of launch. That's a clear signal of unmet need and willingness from both physicians and patients to adapt a new treatment approach.
Importantly, we're seeing consistent patterns emerge that will guide how we scale from here. First, experience drives preference. Physicians who gain experience with AMVUTTRA increasingly choose it as their first-line therapy for new patients.
Second, utilization drives depth. As physicians build confidence, they expand use, treating more patients and choosing AMVUTTRA consistently in their practice. Third, patient choice is reinforcing adoption. Patients are well informed and asking their physicians for AMVUTTRA, now the most requested brand among surveyed U.S. TTR patients who express a treatment preference.
With these dynamics, our foundational pillars in place, our focus now shifts to the next unlock, expanding the breadth of our prescriber base. That is a key driver of growth and a metric we will hold ourselves accountable to as we scale to the next phase of launch. To double-click on the first learning that experience drives preference, we're seeing clearly that experience with AMVUTTRA reinforces physician confidence and drives further adoption.
As with any new therapy, entering a competitive and established market, physicians begin with a set of practical considerations, particularly around access, affordability and efficacy. And from that perspective, real-world experience with AMVUTTRA has been highly favorable. It has broad access. Most patients pay 0 out of pocket, and it has a highly differentiated clinical profile that resonates with physicians, especially when they start using it. And as we now focus on expanding the breadth of prescribing, bringing more physicians into that experience, we're confident this will continue to drive deeper utilization and sustained growth over time.
Importantly, -- all of this is unfolding within a large and rapidly expanding U.S. treatment category. We now estimate nearly 200,000 ATTR-CM patients in the U.S. alone with more than 80% still untreated. What we're seeing is a category where the treatment volume is continuing to accelerate. As expected, increased focus and competition are driving diagnosis and treatment. The U.S. treatment category grew 56% annually in '23 and '24 with only a single approved therapy.
With the addition of a second stabilizer and the introduction of AMVUTTRA, the first and only silencer in ATTR-CM, U.S. category growth accelerated to 77% in '25. We expect this strong trajectory to continue in the U.S. as diagnosis expands and more patients are treated. We are well positioned at the center of that growth, combining a differentiated approach, strong execution and increasing physician adoption.
With that, I will turn it over to Mark, who leads our U.S. business, to outline the opportunity ahead and how we intend to capture it.
Thanks, Tolga, and I'm thrilled to be here today to discuss the opportunity ahead. Let me start by framing the ATTR-CM opportunity. Today, we're updating our latest understanding of global epidemiology. ATTR-CM remains a significantly underserved disease category. We estimate there are roughly 200,000 patients in the U.S. living with ATTR-CM. And importantly, more than 80% of those patients remain untreated.
Globally, we estimate approximately 500,000 patients are living with ATTR-CM. At the same time, awareness of the disease continues to increase meaningfully. Since 2019, we've seen prescription volume in the category grow, reflecting improvements in diagnosis, greater physician awareness and ultimately, more patients being treated. Taken together, these dynamics highlight both the substantial unmet need that still exists and the momentum already underway in expanding treatment across the ATTR-CM landscape.
To better understand how the category can continue to grow, it's helpful to look at the opportunity across 3 key patient segments. First, of the nearly 200,000 patients living with ATTR-CM in the U.S. today, approximately 80% or 160,000 remain untreated. This is up from the 125,000 patients that we estimated at our TTR Day in October 2024.
Second, we estimate that approximately 15,000 patients per year are new to treatment. That means you have an inflow of about 15,000 new starts every year, and that's a constantly refreshed number. And this is up from the 10,000 or so that we estimated in October 2024. And third, there is a meaningful opportunity among patients currently receiving stabilizer therapies who unfortunately continue to progress. There are some observational data suggesting that as many as half of patients on a common stabilizer, suggesting roughly 15,000 patients today fall into this category, representing an important population where physicians are increasingly evaluating additional or alternative MOA treatment options.
And this is up from the between 8,000 and 13,000 that we estimated in October 2024. Together, these segments illustrate the multiple avenues for continued category expansion, driven both by new diagnosis and optimization of treatment for patients already on stabilizers. And these categories will continue to grow in number over time.
Finally, it's important to consider how diagnosis itself is evolving. So prior to the availability of effective therapies, ATTR-CM diagnosis and treatment rates were extremely low. Around 2% of patients were identified before the first treatment options became available. As awareness and treatment options expanded, diagnosis and treatment rates have improved meaningfully. And looking forward, we believe diagnosis and treatment rates will continue to increase substantially based on benchmarks from other diseases such as MS or PAH or AFib, diagnosis rates reach around 70% over time as awareness, screening practices, clinical guidelines and the treatment landscape all evolve.
So with additional therapies entering the market and a growing focus from the cardiology community, we believe the ATTR-CM treatment category is still in the early stages of formation, creating a significant opportunity for continued growth over the coming decade. We'll talk later about how we are stepping firmly into that leadership role and ensuring diagnosis and treatment rates do indeed improve for the patients who depend on it.
So stepping back, we believe the ATTR-CM category remains in the early stages of its development with significant opportunity ahead. Today, nearly 200,000 patients in the U.S. are living with ATTR-CM. The majority remain untreated even as diagnosis improves and awareness expands. And when we look across the opportunity from the large untreated population to newly diagnosed patients entering treatment each year to patients progressing on stabilizers, we see multiple pathways to help patients in need and sustain AMVUTTRA's growth with durability.
And importantly, if diagnosis rates ultimately evolve towards levels we've seen in other cardiovascular diseases, the number of patients actively treated could actually increase substantially within the decade. So in short, we believe ATTR-CM represents one of the most significant remaining opportunities in cardiovascular medicine to improve diagnosis and expand treatment options for patients who are largely underserved today.
You'll hear more about what we're doing to grow the category later on in today's presentation. But with that context on the size of the opportunity and how the category is evolving, I'll now turn it over to Dr. Sameer Bansilal, who will walk through AMVUTTRA's clinical value proposition. Over to you.
Thank you, Mark. That clearly highlights the opportunity in ATTR-CM. The next question is, what defines clinical value and how does vutrisiran stand apart? From a clinical perspective, I'll focus on the data and the experience that matter most for cardiologists and patients. My name is Sameer Bansilal, I'm Vice President, Global Medical Affairs, TTR Disease Area Head at Alnylam.
I'm also a practicing cardiologist at the James J. Peters VA Medical Center in the Bronx. Over the course of my career, I've worked as a clinical trialist and outcomes researcher at Mount Sinai, NYU, Brigham Women's Hospital and the Harvard School of Public Health. As clinicians, our goal is simple. We want our patients to live longer, better lives and remain on therapy long enough to realize those benefits.
Historically, it has been difficult to achieve all 3 simultaneously. With their RNA silencing platform at Alnylam and continued commitment to ATTR-CM patients, we believe we have the opportunity to deliver across each of these goals. We ask cardiologists who treat TTR patients, what attributes matter most when selecting a therapy for patients with ATTR-CM. What you see on the left side of the slide is the rating for the patient outcomes that are most important to them.
Their top priorities include reducing mortality, reducing cardiovascular-related hospitalization and having a positive impact on patients' quality of life. What you see on the right side is the cardiologist rating of vutrisiran on these attributes. And as you can see across the board, for the outcomes that are most important to them as they make choices for their patients, AMVUTTRA rates very highly for mortality, for hospitalizations and also quality of life. So let's take a closer look at all 3 of these in terms of the data that drives these high ratings.
To start, let me walk you through the clinical rationale and evidence supporting our expectation that this therapy can help patients live longer, the mortality data. In the HELIOS-B trial, during the double-blind period and the extended follow-up during the open-label extension, vutrisiran has shown a definitive and increasing benefit on all-cause mortality to nearly 40% in the monotherapy population. When identified early and treated as we did in HELIOS-B, vutrisiran has the potential to bring patients close to their estimated age-adjusted mortality, which is remarkable for a disease that the survival rate over 5 years was extremely low only a few years ago.
A patient's experience with the treatment is often undervalued in our system. But in reality, it's one of the top priorities for patients and cardiologists treating them. How patients feel day-to-day matters. It can influence things like being able to take a walk with a friend or play with grandchildren. It matters to patients, and it directly influences treatment decisions. That's where targeting TTR production at its source makes a meaningful difference for patients. Gastrointestinal symptoms are one of the most common and burdensome extracardiac manifestations of ATTR-CM, affecting the majority of patients, whether hereditary or wild-type, with prevalence rates reaching as high as 70% in some populations.
In HELIOS-B, we saw that patients treated with vutrisiran have self-reported 40% fewer of these symptoms and depending on the specific GI side effect, as much as 65% lower incidence. What is noteworthy because we inhibit the protein at source, the lower incidence of these extra cardiac manifestations were observed early and the difference grew over time. This is in contrast to the effects noted with stabilizers. How are we impacting mortality and morbidity? What is the relevance of this inhibition at source?
One specific proof point that is unique to vutrisiran, and this is important data from the National Amyloidosis Center in the U.K. is that we have been able to show in HELIOS-B with serial cardiac MRI imaging in the monotherapy population, we observed not only a reduction in the amyloid burden, we also see that translate into improvement in structure and function. In fact, when we compare regression of amyloid protein, as noted in the LV mass change here and paralleled by ECV and multiple other measures, we see amyloid regression in 22% patients in the vutrisiran group in contrast to over 2/3 of patients progressing in the placebo arm.
The improvement in LV stroke volume is quite striking and has not been previously seen in terms of an improvement in myocardial structure and function. And we do believe that this is due to the innovation at source. These are both observed in a small subset of patients, and we continue to study these measures in ongoing and future studies. Patients can only realize these benefits if they take their medicines correctly, well and for the long term. Another noteworthy feature of vutrisiran is its once every quarter health care professional administered dosing, which is associated with a persistence and adherence profile that is quite exceptional.
We have previously shown in real-world analysis of hereditary ATTR peripheral neuropathy patients that quarterly HCP administration represents a significant benefit, and we see a meaningful difference as it relates to vutrisiran persistence and adherence versus old stabilizer therapy. Similar data in the ATTR-CM population will be presented at upcoming congresses. Finally, we are continuing to expand the evidence base to further strengthen AMVUTTRA's differentiation and support sustained growth.
Building on the strong clinical foundation established by HELIOS-B, we are continuing to generate real-world evidence through the DemonsTTRate observational study now enrolling globally. We are capturing a range of patients, and we'll be able to not only look at further clarifying the benefit, effectiveness and safety of vutrisiran as a first-line therapeutic, but we shall also be able to look at comparative and combination treatments as patients accrue.
Let me wrap up with what I just shared with you in terms of what this all means for patients through outcomes that align with what clinicians prioritize most when selecting a therapy. With vutrisiran, we are able to help ATTR-CM patients live longer to the point of them living nearly as long as they would without this disease. With this TTR inhibition at source, vutrisiran mitigates extracardiac adverse effects while positively impacting cardiac structure and function.
And then finally, the reason we think this happens quite consistently across the board with vutrisiran is our once every 3-month dosing. And with that, we have been able to get to more than 90% persistence and adherence over more than a two-year period. And that's all translating into the benefit, which we hope to capture in an observational study and many other studies that we are launching.
With that, I will hand over to John Kennedy.
All right. Thank you, Sameer. I'm John Kennedy, Senior Vice President, TTR Franchise Commercialization Lead. Let me shift to the competitive landscape within the silencer class and how we think about sustaining leadership going forward. We're competing against eplontersen in the hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy category today. And that experience has shown us 2 things. The first is that the category expanded. Our volume growth continued unabated and the total treatment category grew.
And the second, we maintained leadership. More than a year after competitor entry, we maintained about 70% share of new starts and more than 80% of the total market share. And we established this preference for AMVUTTRA before having the cardiomyopathy approval, meaning we were competing effectively before the benefit of label expansion. This reflects the strength of AMVUTTRA value proposition, including the favorable access dynamics that Tolga referenced, the adherence and persistence that Sameer mentioned and the customer preference built during our lead time.
And we believe these dynamics are all transferable to cardiomyopathy as well. Another consideration when thinking about the silencer landscape is how these therapies are used alongside stabilizer therapy. AstraZeneca has focused their commentary on the combination data they expect from CARDIO-TTRansform. But remember, HELIOS-B showed consistency of AMVUTTRA treatment effect with or without tafamidis background. We have the data. It's reflected in the label. And in fact, we're already seeing meaningful volume of use in combination and in the real world.
That means customers are gaining experience using combination mechanism of action, and we'll be able to continue generating even more data from real-world data sets. So if CARDIO-TTRansform demonstrates the benefit of dual mechanism of action approach, that would corroborate what we've already seen and bolster the case for even more combination treatment. Now it's not surprising there's been conversation about what CARDIO-TTRansform will show. And in fact, our market research has shown that the large majority of cardiologists believe favorable combination treatment data will support a broader class effect.
Again, it would corroborate what we've already seen from HELIOS-B. And ultimately, when clinicians reach for a silencer, they're looking for depth, duration and consistency of knockdown. Today, AMVUTTRA delivers on that with the fewest doses per year. And of course, our next-generation candidate, vutrisiran, is designed to extend that durability even further into the future with greater than 95% knockdown in just 2 doses per year.
Finally, we've also heard questions relating to pricing or access implications with a new silencer competitor that will be covered under pharmacy benefit. But remember, today, we're already competing against 2 ATTR-CM medicines, both covered under pharmacy benefit. And we know AMVUTTRA has excellent access, approximately 99% coverage overall and 90% coverage in first line and the majority of patients paying $0 in out-of-pocket cost for AMVUTTRA. So from an access perspective, we believe AMVUTTRA is already well positioned within the current coverage environment. Having another pharmacy benefit medicine in the mix does not change the calculus.
So pulling it all together, competition in the silencer class is a net positive for the category and for patients. ATTR cardiomyopathy remains significantly underdiagnosed and undertreated and increased attention in the disease ultimately expands awareness and accelerates category growth. We're already competing today in the silencer class in the hATTR polyneuropathy market. Competition has expanded that category. And despite that competition, we've retained clear leadership.
But ultimately, when physicians choose a silencer, they're looking for depth, duration and consistency of knockdown to drive meaningful outcomes for patients. We're well positioned to sustain differentiation with AMVUTTRA. Additionally, our next-generation candidate, nucresiran, is positioned to extend that leadership even further.
With that, I'll turn it over to Mark to speak about the second competitive event in ATTR-CM, the genericization of the stabilizer class. Mark?
Thanks, John. Okay. Let me now turn to the anticipated genericization of the stabilizer class, specifically tafamidis. Importantly, our trajectory is not dependent on the timing of tafamidis' loss of exclusivity. AMVUTTRA's differentiated profile is already driving demand and shaping physician preference today, and we expect that momentum to sustain and build both before and after the stabilizer class transitions.
And as we think about how the market may evolve, we see several dynamics that we believe will support sustained growth for AMVUTTRA. First, we are already seeing meaningful traction against the incumbent in new patient starts despite entering the market several years later. Within just a few quarters of our U.S. launch, AMVUTTRA has delivered steady share gains in new starts, reflecting growing physician and patient interest in differentiated upstream silencing. Importantly, that early adoption is translating into preference.
Among physicians with experience using AMVUTTRA, we're seeing a clear shift towards selecting it for new patients, and this dynamic is critical. As preference builds, then it's driving demand and establishing that foundation ahead of tafamidis' LOE positions us well for sustained growth over the long term.
The second important consideration is access. If you look at the U.S. payer mix in ATTR-CM, we should not assume that genericization will lead to universal step edits for AMVUTTRA. In fact, it will not. For patients already on treatment at the time of tafamidis' LOE, we expect continuity of care to remain the priority, meaning many patients will continue therapy without payer disruption. It's also important to remember that in Medicare fee-for-service, which is our single largest payer segment and represents approximately half of our business today, AMVUTTRA is covered to label with no step edits, and we would expect that dynamic to continue following tafamidis' LOE. Again, this segment represents nearly half of our business today.
Of course, it's possible we'll see step edits, particularly in the commercial segment of the market. But even when there is a step edit today, we've seen that when a doctor and a patient determine that AMVUTTRA is the right treatment, patients can usually access it, whether through appeals or a relatively rapid progression through a step. And let's not forget that many ATTR-CM patients may progress on tafamidis and therefore, require a switch or add-on treatment. And because of AMVUTTRA's orthogonal mechanism of action, we are well positioned to address that need.
This leads to another important opportunity following tafamidis' LOE, which is the potential to more fully unlock dual mechanism treatment strategies. Cardiologists are already accustomed to adding on and combining therapies in cardiovascular disease. This is how they practice. As John spoke about earlier, as the body of clinical data supporting silencing therapy continues to grow, including evidence emerging from studies like CARDIA transform, we expect increasing confidence in combination approaches using both stabilization and silencing.
At the same time, the availability of generic stabilizers could significantly reduce the cost of dual MOA treatment, making these strategies more accessible in clinical practice. And so taken together, this creates an environment where AMVUTTRA will play an increasingly important role. So when we step back, we believe AMVUTTRA is extremely well positioned in a post-LOE environment. We're already building first-line demand and physician preference today years ahead of anticipated genericization.
We expect durable access across key payer segments with continued need for therapies that offer an orthogonal mechanism of action. And the tafamidis LOE may actually accelerate adoption of dual-MOA treatment strategies, supported by a growing body of clinical data. And so taken together, these dynamics reinforce what we believe is a sustained opportunity for AMVUTTRA growth.
And so let me turn it back over to John to discuss how we'll accelerate our investments to drive category growth.
Thanks, Mark. So let me close by focusing on the opportunity ahead to further accelerate growth in ATTR-CM. We've already talked about the strong momentum in the category, but we see a clear opportunity to build on that and do it in a deliberate, focused way. As we continue to scale, our role as a category leader is not just to participate in the growth, but to help shape it, expanding diagnosis, increasing treatment rates and ultimately helping more patients.
We think about the diagnostic journey, there are really 3 stages: awareness, suspicion and diagnosis. Diagnostic tools already exist. Nuclear scintigraphy provides noninvasive, accurate and accessible confirmatory diagnostic test. So that's not really the primary barrier. The real opportunity is earlier recognition of disease, which requires much greater awareness and clinical suspicion upstream. So more patients are identified and diagnosed sooner. By increasing recognition of the disease and improving identification of these patients, we can help ensure more patients reach confirmatory testing and ultimately receive appropriate treatment. And that's where we're investing.
The first pillar of our strategy is expanding patient awareness and engagement, including our direct-to-consumer efforts. We're already driving meaningful interest from patients today. Now if you're not one of our target audience, you may not have seen our ad, but I can tell you, our target audience is seeing it and is working. Already today, we're the most requested ATTR-CM therapy by patients.
Second, we continue to expand the HCP prescriber base across cardiology and heart failure specialists. We've talked about the breadth of prescribing. We'll continue to increase that just as we have so far in our launch. We're built to cover the potential of the market with our field force, and we're engaging more physicians. The third pillar of our strategy is advancing AI-enabled diagnostic technology, importantly, with an emphasis on practical implementation.
We're partnering with nationally recognized organizations to identify patients earlier in the course of disease. So earlier today, we announced a set of strategic collaborations designed to accelerate earlier recognition and improve care coordination for ATTR-CM patients. One of these is our collaboration with Viz.ai, a leader in AI-powered disease detection and care coordination.
Together through the AWARE study, we're developing ATTR-CM care pathways at 5 large U.S. integrated health systems, integrating FDA-cleared Echo AI algorithm with electronic health records designed to help clinicians identify patients earlier in the disease and guide appropriate diagnostic evaluation and referral. The pathway will coordinate care across cardiology and heart failure teams. This AWARE study is the first multisystem prospective implementation study designed to evaluate how AI-enabled screening can be incorporated into real-world clinical workflows and improve diagnostic time lines and care coordination.
The initiative will help generate real-world evidence to inform broader scalable adoption across health systems in the Viz.ai network. The goal is simple: identify patients earlier and connect them to care before potentially irreversible disease progression occurs. The fourth pillar of our strategy is to enable end-to-end health system engagement, working directly with the large integrated health systems to improve care pathways.
So also announced today, we're working with the American Heart Association to strengthen systems of care for ATTR cardiomyopathy. This 3-year initiative will convene a national learning collaborative of multidisciplinary health systems to evaluate current care pathways and identify ideal models of care for diagnosis and managing ATTR cardiomyopathy. Participating centers will assess processes across diagnosis, referral, treatment and follow-up to improve coordinated care and patient outcomes.
We'll disseminate insights generated through this program nationally to enable broader adoption of effective care models. Now remember, we're already engaging approximately 190 accounts that drive about 80% of ATTR cardiomyopathy patient volume. With our new collaborations, we believe we can strengthen ATTR-CM care delivery across the health care system nationally.
Finally, we continue to expand global access for AMVUTTRA to ensure that patients around the world have access to this important therapy. We've launched in Japan and Germany and more recently in Austria and the U.K. We continue to advance additional regulatory submissions and pricing and reimbursement negotiations to expand access in markets around the world. So stepping back, the opportunity in ATTR cardiomyopathy remains significant. We're establishing leadership with AMVUTTRA a differentiated therapy, and we're building strong physician and patient preference.
We're investing to accelerate diagnosis all while expanding access globally. So taken together, we believe these efforts position us to continue driving meaningful growth while improving outcomes for patients living with ATTR cardiomyopathy.
So with that, I'll turn it back to Tolga.
Thank you, John. As you've seen today, Alnylam is well positioned to continue driving long-term growth with our TTR franchise. This is enabled by a treatment category that is underpenetrated and rapidly growing. All told, by 2030, we could see upward of 75,000 patients being treated for ATTR-CM in the U.S. alone. It will be a competitive market, but one in which AMVUTTRA is poised to stand out and be the revenue leader in TTR by 2030. We're confident in our ability to achieve that goal, driven by continued focus on these 3 key foundations we discussed earlier, driving differentiation preference, knowing that experience drives utilization, ensuring seamless patient access and affordability and setting up a broad care network.
With these elements in place and helping to deliver remarkably strong results out of the gate, we look forward to unlocking the next phase of launch. As we look ahead, we're focused on scaling what we built, driving sustained category growth, expanding our prescriber base and maximizing the strong adherence and persistence we're already seeing. These are the key drivers that will shape our next phase of growth. What you heard today is a plan for leadership in a category with tremendous amount of opportunity.
We're advancing the field with continued investment in TTR, including our next-generation therapy, nucresiran, which has the potential to raise the bar. We're also investing in new technologies to identify patients earlier. All of this with the goal of continuing to bring real transformative therapies to patients at scale. As you can tell, we're incredibly excited about the opportunity ahead.
So with that, let's head to our Q&A session.
Good morning, and thank you, Tolga, Mark, Sameer and John. So we'll now begin the Q&A portion of our webcast today. So just as a reminder, please enter your question in the dialogue box in the chat and we will get to as many as we can in our 20-minute session. Just as a quick reminder, the focus of today's session will be the presentation that was delivered earlier today, and we will hold any questions related to quarterly progress for our Q1 call. So with that, let's go to our first question. We have a number that have been queued up at this point. So you said a lot about expanding the prescriber base. Can you tell us who has prescribed so far? And are all the former PN writers?
Great question. Indeed, we are focusing on that. Before I turn it over to Mark, let me point out the fact that what's really great about this first year of learning is the fact that once doctors experience AMVUTTRA, they really enjoy it. They use it. So there are no real hurdles in terms of prescribing the drug and they start seeing the results. And therefore, what's really left is to continue to differentiate the asset as well as to continue to expand the prescriber bases. So Mark?
Yes. No, I think you said it well. I mean if we look at our prescriber base today, it's quite broad and balanced. And actually, 75% of our prescribers today for AMVUTTRA are new prescribers. And so as Tolga said, once they get experience with AMVUTTRA, we found that there's actually a preference adult for AMVUTTRA. And so that's why it's really important that we continue to expand that prescriber base, and we use that to essentially unlock the next wave of growth.
Great. So let's go to our next question. What do you expect your share of the 75,000 treated patients in TTR in the U.S. to be in 2030? And can you translate that into a peak revenue number for us?
Yes. So what we've done, Christine, is obviously, we guided the market for '26 revenues, which is at midpoint, over 80%, anywhere between $4.4 billion to $4.7 billion. That obviously is built on the great momentum that we've been able to build in 2025. Now in terms of the 75,000 number, one other key aspect of this is obviously our 2030 ambition. We certainly look forward to being the leader in terms of revenue by 2030 and 75,000 number has been incorporated into that. Maybe JPK, you can actually expand on that.
Yes, absolutely. I think you talked about some of the core elements. So we did provide TTR guidance for 2026. That's robust growth. And for the 2030 aspirational goals for the company, obviously, we did provide some commentary about TTR. So one component of that was to achieve leadership share of revenues for the category by 2030 and across the period. And then the second component that we talked about was our total revenue for the company would grow at about 25% CAGR over the period of time between now and 2030.
Now that's total revenue for the company, so more than TTR alone. But again, consider TTR is a significant driver of it. So that gives you a sense of the potential that we see. And again, it's all grounded in how many patients there are in the U.S., unfortunately, still untreated today. There's significant opportunity. We're seeing momentum. That's great, but there's still a lot of opportunity ahead.
Super. And we actually have a 3-part question for our next one. So are you seeing any changes in step-through requirements as a part of restrictions to first-line AMVUTTRA? And how are payer discussions going for 2027 policies? What gives you confidence in your ability to maintain this level of first-line access beyond 2027?
Yes. So as Head of U.S., Mark, you'll probably need to take this one. What I'll say is, look, there has been -- this has been a hot topic. Since we actually had our first event on investors with the TTR back in '24 in October, there was a lot of debate about are we going to be covered? What the burden on the co-pay for the patients is going to be? Are we going to be step edited? So in '25, obviously, we've been able to demonstrate that we got great coverage, nearly all patients actually not having any co-pay. And '26, in fact, the numbers have been actually better in terms of our coverage. So maybe, Mark, you can give additional color on that.
Yes. So indeed, in October '24, and I think leading up to the launch, there were a lot of questions. And at that time, I think we shared our expectations for favorable access based on AMVUTTRA's clinical profile, but also based on the dynamics between Part B and Part D. And our expectations have become reality. Today, we have over 90% of patients with confirmed first-line access. The majority of patients pay $0 out of pocket. And that, by the way, is with 2 Part D competitors in the market.
And so as we look ahead and we sort of see and think about how this is going to unfold, all those fundamentals remain the same. That's regardless of whether another Part D competitor comes into the market. And I'll point out that today, we are competing with WAINUA in polyneuropathy, and we have virtually unrestricted access I mean, one other point here to think about as we think ahead is also the LOE of tafamidis. And if we think about what that means, we believe that's actually a tailwind. We'll see the price of tafamidis come down.
We think that will help unlock combo usage, which I think this is something that a cardiology community would want to do. And so bottom line is we think we're very well positioned from an access perspective. And we actually think that those dynamics that allow us to have that access today will persist into the foreseeable future.
No, you covered it very nicely. I think this is going to continue to be an ongoing effort on our side. But looking ahead, we're very confident about how we're going to be actually be able to manage that.
Thanks, Dr. Tolga. So while there is no universal definition of progression, what are some of the common guideposts or indicators that physicians are citing as meeting the bar for combo therapy or switching patients to AMVUTTRA?
Yes. So maybe, Sameer, you should take that as the only clinician in the panel of today. Go ahead, please.
Yes. Thank you, Tolga. That's an important discussion, really draws a lot of interest in the clinician and the academic community. While there are guidelines on both sides of the Atlantic, I think the more we speak to clinicians and researchers, the answer is always the same. This is as much art as it's science. At the end of the day, we have to talk to our patients, and we have to bring our clinical judgment in. And that's driven by multiple variables, which come from the guidelines in terms of imaging biomarkers and other clinical outcome measures.
I would say that I think far more important, even though there are data from health systems and observational data that point to nearly 50% progression with stabilizers, the broader need is really to identify these patients early because this is a very progressive disease and treat them with an effective agent. I would argue in this case, vutrisiran has shown very definitive data that we can really help bring down everything from mortality to hospitalizations and more.
That's nice capture. What's really excited about -- exciting about this first year is also being able to see that now doctors do have an option, an [indiscernible] mechanism. And therefore, I think we've been able to really help physicians to start identifying those patients early and as they progress, and therefore, they can actually end up being with AMVUTTRA.
So we've gotten a few questions about the collaborations that were announced earlier today. So can you tell us about these collaborations? And do these collaborations give you access to new or different patient segments that you're not currently penetrating today?
John, I'll have you take this one. But let me say a few words. First of all, we're really excited about these collaborations, and there will be more to come. And the point of this is we did lay out that we -- 2030 is our goal for leadership, and we're acting like leaders. And a leader does actually what others don't, which is set up the right ecosystem, making sure that we're actually connecting the dots to make sure that more patients are getting treated as the awareness and options are continuing to increase. So John?
Absolutely. So these are a couple of initiatives that have already announced today. And yes, we're very excited about. The most simple terms, this is about increasing diagnosis and ideally, the timeliness of that diagnosis and then facilitating care coordination. So bear in mind, we already know the numbers. Unfortunately, too many patients are overlooked, not diagnosed and/or not treated. And unfortunately, for many patients who are diagnosed, it happens later than it likely should.
And so this is really about facilitating timely and accurate diagnosis for more patients. Now you asked a question in there about specific segments. What I would say is if we look at the utilization of AMVUTTRA so far in the launch, it's been broad and relatively balanced, whether it's wild-type or variant patients across the spectrum of disease severity, academic center or community, we're seeing broad and balanced utilization. So it's not really about unlocking a specific segment per se, but more just increasing diagnosis, ideally timely diagnosis so more patients can find their way to appropriate treatment.
Can you expand on the meaning of the 35% of new-to-brand starts? Does this mean that AMVUTTRA is 35% of all new patient starts?
Yes. So look, we're incredibly excited about the number itself, given the fact that as a third entrant to this category, under less than 12 months, we've been able to actually essentially secure about 1/3 of the net new patients into -- for AMVUTTRA. That's quite remarkable. Those of you who may be familiar with how the market dynamics work. But I'll have Mark maybe expand on that, how that number is calculated. What does it really mean?
Yes. So that's new-to-brand Rx -- and to your point, Tolga, that captures the totality of the patients that are coming on to AMVUTTRA. I think having 1/3 of all those new starts within 9 months of launch actually is pretty impressive. So I think we're very happy to see that. It's very encouraging. I think it speaks to AMVUTTRA's clinical profile and also, frankly, to a once-a-quarter HCP administered therapy, which allows for validated adherence and ensure that the patients actually get the medicine to get the efficacy. And so now the goal is to really unlock this next wave of growth, as I mentioned before, and really expand that prescriber base.
Great. Thank you. We've gotten a couple of questions about the CARDIO-TTRansform study. So if AZ shows statistically significant results in the combo arm and lower the price, how will you compete? And conversely, if CARDIO-TTRansform does not hit stat sig in the subgroup of patients on background TAF, -- how do you expect greater restrictions from payers? And how would this potentially impact your commercial strategy?
So it's a 2-parter. I'll have Sameer, who is himself a trialist, expand on what we expect from CARDIO-TTRansform, and then I'll have John comment on the latter part of the question. What I'd like to say is, look, as we laid out in terms of our silencer strategy, there's nothing new essentially. In terms of our label, in terms of our data set and the experience that we're already building with patients and physicians both, we're already establishing AMVUTTRA.
And given it's actually unique profile, deeper knockdown and longer duration, we're already highly differentiated in this class. But let me turn it over to Sameer and maybe he can expand on what we expect and how we're going to continue to compete.
Absolutely, Tolga. Thank you. Again, let me, first of all, remind everyone, I think for HELIOS-B almost 2 years back, in our primary paper, we showed very clearly that vutrisiran provides benefit regardless of tafamidis as a background therapy. So that's our anchor data on combination therapy. That is the data that is available today. We have shared that broadly in multiple roundtables that many of us, in fact, led personally. And I would say in those conversations, the data resonates.
So people already know of this data that vutrisiran in combination with tafamidis does provide benefit from that perspective. I would say that I think when you start thinking about what happens with CARDIO-Transform, we have had those conversations as well. And I think the belief set is only going to be that it's a class effect. And that's our best guess at this point based on what we expect with CARDIO-Transform later this year.
Yes. So one of the question there was about what do we expect for pricing and access. And I had shared some of those thoughts earlier today. So just restate it. If you think about it, already today, we're competing against 2 pharmacy benefit covered products. And you see the AMVUTTRA access, it's really unencumbered. We have about 99% coverage, about 90% of that is in first line with the majority of patients paying $0 out-of-pocket cost. So we don't really see a dynamic that changes here. And I think the other thing I'll go back to is instructive to think about the experience that we've had in hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy.
So don't forget, we've been competing against the silencer already today. In polyneuropathy, way past a year of competition with another silencer, we saw 2 things happen. Number one, the category expanded. More patients were being treated. And the second is we retained leadership. So obviously, we do know that competition is generally helpful for the category. And at the end of the day, when a physician is reaching for a silencer, they're looking for that knockdown profile. AMVUTTRA today delivers about 87% mean reduction in TTR with 4 doses per year. Nucresiran, which is still a development candidate, promises to have the potential of delivering 95% knockdown with just 2 doses per year. So again, we're well positioned for the competition.
Great. What should we expect as far as quarter-over-quarter growth for the remainder of 2026?
Yes. So as you highlighted, it's a good question, but it's a question that we're not going to be able to answer, and we'll actually address this in the Q1. But what I can tell you is this, -- we've laid out our guidance at JPM. And what we laid out was due to a couple of facts. One is we could see how the product is performing competitively. We can see how the category is growing very -- in an accelerated fashion. And last but not least, we have concluded our '26 negotiations with the payers.
And all these 3 important dynamics were green. And that gave us even further confidence to actually provide it a guidance that's over 80% in midpoint to $4.4 billion to $4.7 billion for a year. And that's building on over 100% growth that we've been able to achieve in '25. And we're very confident that we're going to be able to continue that progress. And in Q1, we'll discuss more of the details on the Q1 and what you'll obviously see for the remainder of the year, how we intend to meet and hopefully exceed that guidance.
Great. We've actually gotten a number of questions about the TAF LOE. So I'm going to ask a couple of parts to this one question here. So when do you think TAF will goes generic? And what does that actually mean for AMVUTTRA? Is the availability of a generic alternative going to be a headwind for all players in the space as payers will step at a generic TAF first or it will be a tailwind as it would unlock combo use? And then how do you weigh the potential headwind of first-line access versus a tailwind on combo use?
That's a long question. Exactly. Well, look, I'll have Mark address this. And he, I think, did a phenomenal job in the way he laid out how we're going to compete against the potential genericization of the stabilizer class. What's great about where we are today, though, is it really doesn't matter because essentially, we have an orthogonal mechanism of action that have already established its competitiveness in less than a year. So whether TAF go generic by end of '28, that's what Pfizer has stated or one may speculate that it may happen later. It really doesn't matter in the way we are competing. But maybe in terms of the granular detail, Mark, you can provide more perspective.
Yes, yes, I will say. So Pfizer has publicly stated they expect the U.S. LOE for TAF to be in late 2028. And we think we're really well positioned, to your point, Tolga, to continue to manage AMVUTTRA in that era. There's strong demand, as I just shared a moment ago in terms of our NBRx. There's strong demand for AMVUTTRA, and that's because it's a therapy that knocks down TTR at the source and we're seeing that physicians and with patients that really resonates.
Additionally, I'll just reiterate, we have strong access today, right? As JPK pointed out, over 90% first-line coverage, 99% total coverage. Most patients pay 0 out of pocket. We expect those dynamics, those fundamentals to persist post TAF LOE. And so we really see the TAF LOE, frankly, as a tailwind because we think this unlocks the ability for physicians and for patients to use combo therapy if they want. I'll remind you, as Sameer pointed out, that we show from our HELIOS-B results similar effect with TAF or without TAF. And we'll see what the AZ WAINUA data look like, but that's almost certainly going to provide a tailwind for the category. And so at the end of the day, our fortunes are not tied to whether TAF is generic at the end of '28 or not. We do think this is an unlock for the class big picture. And so we look forward to it.
So how do we think about phasing of ex U.S. TTR revenues as you roll out across additional geographies?
Sure. First of all, look, we're quite excited because we're a company that is obviously despite its early stages of commercialization, has been a global organization, and we have footprint across the world. And we've been able to commercialize first ONPATTRO and then later AMVUTTRA with the PN indication quite successfully.
And as we move forward with making this product available across the world, we're going to actually have important steps. As you already know, we shared that Japan launch is going extremely well, even better than most analogs and other launches regardless of the therapy area. And we also did indicate that in Q1, we're going to see a little bit of a headwind given the fact that we're actually going to make a price adjustment to further compete in the cardiomyopathy, which has a much larger prevalence.
Now that softness in Q1 is good news. It's good news because essentially, we're building up volume that's going to be able to actually overcome some of those headwinds in the full year. John, you already shared with the slide that how those rest of the world launches are going, starting with, obviously, Japan, Germany. Can you give a little more context?
Yes, absolutely. So again, Japan well underway, great momentum, excited about that. Germany. We started with the provisional launch while we are working through the pricing reimbursement process, but now that's underway. And you're spot on in that Q1 will reflect the new negotiated cardiomyopathy price in Germany. And so for the PN volume in Q1, there's an adjustment, but we'll more than make up for that in growth. Bear in mind, the prevalence of cardiomyopathy is tenfold greater than polyneuropathy.
So we'll make up for that in volume growth after the initial transition. And then today, I shared that we've also launched in Austria and U.K., and we have several other countries staggered throughout the remainder of this year and into next year. So the goal is simple, bring AMVUTTRA to as many countries as we can as fast as we can. In terms of the revenue contribution, it will be more kind of back half of the year weighted just given these transitional dynamics, but tremendous opportunity we continue to move forward.
Thanks, John. So what are the AMVUTTRA persistence adherence you see in real world for ATTM-CM (sic) [ATTR-CM] so far? And how do you anticipate these evolving over time?
I'm so glad somebody picked up on the adherence point because as I closed the presentation, there are 3 key metrics, along with, obviously, our other metrics that we've been talking about. There are 3 key metrics that we're going to be updating -- the Street. One is obviously the category growth. The other one is adherence rate. And essentially, what we're going to make sure is that our highly differentiated product profile comes across very clearly. So with that, John, do you want to was it Mark? Yes, sorry, yes, take it. Sorry.
Yes. So just building on your point. So if we think about polyneuropathy, we've seen adherence rates in the 90% range, upwards of 90% -- and we're starting to -- obviously, it's early days here on cardiomyopathy, you need enough time to measure adherence, but we're seeing very similar numbers in terms of cardiomyopathy. So an important point here, though, is obviously, with cardiomyopathy, that tends to be an older patient population. And so sadly, there are more of those patients that expire over time.
It's still a small percentage, but obviously, that's on an increasingly large patient base. And so that's why coming back to the bigger question here, that's why we think AMVUTTRA really has a compelling and frankly, advantageous profile in terms of once quarterly HCP validated -- HCP administered and validated dosing where you're ensuring that the medicine gets into the patient.
And with nucresiran, as JPK pointed out, there's an opportunity there to have every 6-month dosing, which I think will be even more compelling. So anyway, this is something we're going to report on regularly as we've committed to. But so far, things look pretty similar in CM as they were in PN.
We have a number of questions that have come in, but we have time for one last question. So what are some of the channels you're using to reach patients to become the most requested treatment?
That's a great question. Who's going to take that one?
I mean what I'll say is patients and physicians, we know they're very involved in their treatment. And they're very active, especially in cardiomyopathy. And we use a number of means. We certainly do a lot of direct-to-consumer, and that may be with television, that may be with social, that's with search, that's with radio. And what we've seen is that it really works. And patients are asking for AMVUTTRA now very regularly.
In fact, what we've seen in our Q4 research is that AMVUTTRA is the most requested brand by physicians, which is -- which tells you something. And you may be wondering why don't I always see the ads on television. That's because we have a more targeted approach to actually placing the AMVUTTRA advertisements where the patients really are. And so we've seen it working. And we also have an in-house patient services organization that includes nurse educators that are able to engage directly with patients in an appropriate manner. And so I think all of those things help to ensure that patients are educated. Do you want to add anything to that, John?
I think maybe I'll just point to some of the initiatives that we have at scale. So we talked about some collaborations that have been announced. One of these, just to give another example, is this sponsorship of American Heart Association initiative, which really brings together a consortium of organization health provider accounts that are integrated systems. And it's really designed to identify what are these best practices for engaging customers so that we can actually work through the diagnosis and the care coordination process as efficiently as possible. So that's working at kind of a system scale, which complements some of the work that you're talking about in terms of direct patient engagement or physician engagement as well.
What's really exciting about -- thank you guys both. What's really exciting about this category is you've seen the growth has already been pretty robust when Pfizer alone actually introduced the first option available. And now it has significantly accelerated with the addition of AMVUTTRA. And part of the reason is not only actually communicating and creating awareness with the physicians, but also actually communicating directly with these patients.
Patients are really aware of this disease once they're diagnosed, and they are actively engaged in their treatment. That's where we see actually a clear preference for AMVUTTRA. But more importantly, before -- as John actually laid out, before the diagnosis, there is a longer period of suspicion and awareness. And this is the part where I think we've been playing a very important role. And clearly, again, we have a very targeted, very selective approach to reaching those patients. And once we do, I think our narrative really resonates with them, and this is one of the reasons why you see the results that you see today.
Great. That's all that we have time for today. Thank you to our speakers and to everyone who joined us on the webcast. The replay will be available on our website later today, and we look forward to keeping you updated on our progress on our next quarterly earnings call. Have a great day.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Special Call - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Special Call - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
📊 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: Alnylam positioniert AMVUTTRA als führenden TTR‑Silencer in ATTR‑CM: starke Launch‑Adoption, TTR‑Umsätze mehr als verdoppelt 2025 vs. 2024, >12.000 Patienten behandelt und Guidance für 2026 von $4,4–4,7 Mrd (Mid‑point ~+83%). Fokus auf frühere Diagnose, Prescriber‑Expansion und Next‑Gen‑Programm nucresiran.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Kommerziell: Breite Verschreiberbasis (≈1.600 US‑Prescriber seit Launch; 75% sind neue Prescriber), ~35% New‑to‑Brand‑Share in frühen Quartalen; Site‑of‑care ≈90% Patienten <10 Meilen.
- Klinisch: HELIOS‑B: monotherapeutischer Mortalitätsvorteil bis ~40%; amyloid‑Regression in 22% vs. >2/3 Progression in Placebo; GI‑Symptome −40%; Q‑drittel HCP‑Dosis → Real‑World‑Adhärenz >90%.
- Investitionen: Angekündigte Kooperationen (Viz.ai AWARE, American Heart Association), DemonsTTRate‑RWD‑Studie läuft; nucresiran zielt auf ≳95% Knockdown mit 2 Dosen/Jahr.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Epidemiologie & Pipeline: Aktualisierte Schätzung: ≈200.000 ATTR‑CM‑Patienten in den USA (≈160.000 unbehandelt); ≈15.000 Neuanstarts/Jahr. Neu: operative Kooperationen für KI‑Screening und Care‑Pathways sowie laufende Real‑World‑Programme; 2026‑Guidance bestätigt $4,4–4,7 Mrd.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Access: Management betont robusten Payer‑Status: ~99% Coverage insgesamt, ≈90% First‑line‑Coverage, Mehrheit $0 Zuzahlung; LOE von Tafamidis wird eher Tailwind für Kombinationsstrategien gesehen.
- Wettbewerb: Sorge um CARDIO‑TTRansform; Antwort: HELIOS‑B zeigt Benefit mit/ohne Tafamidis, Team erwartet eher Klassen‑Effekt; nucresiran als langfristiger Differenzierer.
- Adoption: Schwerpunkt auf Prescriber‑Expansion (75% neue Verschreiber) und Messung von Persistence; erste RWD‑Signale für CM wirken ähnlich hohen Adhärenzraten wie PN (>90%).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Kommerziell starkes Momentum und aggressive 2026‑Guidance untermauern die Wachstumserwartung; wesentliche Treiber sind Access, Prescriber‑Breadth und Diagnostik‑Initiativen. Risiken: Konkurrenzdaten, Payer‑reaktionen nach Tafamidis‑LOE und das Ausmaß der Diagnoseskalierung. Kurzfristig positiv für Aktionäre, Beobachtungspunkte: Q1‑Report, CARDIO‑TTRansform‑Ergebnisse und RWD‑Adoptionstrends.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference
1. Question Answer
All right. Thank you, everyone, for coming today. This is to the TD Cowen Healthcare Conference and the fireside chat for Alnylam Pharmaceuticals. I am the covering analyst Ritu Baral. And with us from Alnylam, we have Kevin Fitzgerald, CSO; and Jeff Poulton, Chief Financial Officer. So guys, welcome. Thank you for being here. Let's start with AMVUTTRA because that's where every conversation of mine starts. And the revenue growth drivers, sustainability of growth specifically. How are you guys describing the key drivers behind AMVUTTRA's recent revenue growth? And how sustainable is this trajectory not just through 2026, but beyond?
Yes. Thanks for the question. I'd say there's probably 2 or 3 fundamental things that underpin our confidence in the growth going forward. One is just the growth of the category in general. This is an underdiagnosed, undertreated disease. We think probably you're at about a 20%, 25% treatment rate today. And if you look back 2 or 3 years when there was only a single therapy in the market, it's been growing fairly consistently the last several years, about 40% a year. We do anticipate that you're going to continue to see robust growth on a go-forward basis. Now you've got 3 players in the market.
You're talking about treatment or diagnosis.
We're just talking about market growth, treatment...
Treat...
Treatment, right? More patients coming onto therapy. And that 40% growth in treated patients over the last several years has been with one therapy in the market. What's been the standard of care, Pfizer's product. And you've got 3 companies in the market today, all investing behind disease awareness and driving treatment rates. And so that should be something that we have a lot of confidence in that that's going to continue to grow at a brisk pace. So that's one. Second is market access, which, as you know, Ritu, was a pretty significant debate prior to our launch in terms of being a Part B med, Part B buy-and-bill drug with a higher price than the other Part D products that are in the market.
How is that going to work for Alnylam. We're in the second calendar year of the launch today, and I would say it's worked very well. We have 90%-plus percentage of patients today have access to AMVUTTRA is a first-line therapy. And so we have not seen access be a headwind for the brand, and we don't think that is going to change over a period of time. And so -- but we'll continue to stay focused on that. Payers and plans have the ability on an annual basis to look at policies. We feel very good about 2026 in terms of access to AMVUTTRA.
And then lastly, of course, is preference, right? Market share, right? What's going to drive the brand first in the first-line part of the market, which is really where we have been very focused since launch is driving preference for AMVUTTRA. It's a progressive fatal disease and patient should be on the best, most potent therapy as early as they can. We think based on the data from HELIOS-B that we have the ability to argue that AMVUTTRA should be the treatment of choice. We shared some share data at JPMorgan through the end of the third quarter that showed our share in the first-line part of the market sort of mid- to high 20s. That's really been a focus for us...
And has that been increasing since then?
I mean we haven't given data for beyond the third quarter, but we feel very good about the positioning of the product in the first-line part of the market...
Was that your internal target, that level? Or are you continuing to see more room for growth...
Yes. I mean I don't think we put out a target. I mean what we've put out in terms of forward-looking information is on 2026 revenue guidance. We guided for the franchise $4.4 billion to $4.7 billion, which would be 83% growth at the midpoint, which would be more than $2 billion in revenue growth on a year-over-year basis. And then longer term, at JPMorgan with the Alnylam 2030 guidance that we put out, we did put a total revenue CAGR out over that period of a 25% total revenue CAGR. And that's not only product sales, that's collaboration revenue and royalty. But certainly, the biggest driver of that revenue CAGR over the period is going to be the TTR franchise. So again, I think that speaks to the confidence that we have in terms of the positioning of the product and the ability of that product to drive durable long-term growth for Alnylam.
As we think about commercial focus, is it really on expanding the first-line percentage and seeing that number?
Yes. I mean I think if we're success -- we think if we're successful in the first-line part of the market, which is the largest segment, that's where you have the opportunity to get access to the most patients. If we're successful there, then that we think will support also success in the second-line part of the market. And we've been very successful since launch in the second-line part of the market. But we've really been focused on driving that first-line share. That's been the focus.
How has payer contracting evolved and step edits now that you're a growing line item and therefore, are payers starting to pay attention.
I mean we've got '26 payer policies that are all set, and we have not seen any...
But not permanently, so they can always...
Every year, they have the ability to do this, but the '26 plans have been set, and there hasn't really been any change from '25 to '26 in terms of access to AMVUTTRA. Again, we're more than 90% of the patients today have access to AMVUTTRA in the first-line setting...
With no step edit.
No step edits. Again, maybe we should just talk about the payer mix. I mean this is a -- given the nature of the disease, this is a heavy-Medicare population. So it's probably about 80% of the patients that are on AMVUTTRA, whether that be for polyneuropathy or for cardiomyopathy, are Medicare patients. And then that Medicare part of the market is split roughly 50-50 between fee-for-service original Medicare part of the market and Medicare Advantage. And just as a reminder, in the original Medicare part of the market, there's no payer policies. There's no management of that part of the Medicare market. So that's obviously a very good segment for us in terms of access.
The fee-for-service.
Yes. The fee-for-service, there's no policies. There's nobody managing that part of the market. The Medicare Advantage, which is really where there was a lot of debate, I think, coming into the launch...
They do cross-manage the B and D.
Very, very little. I mean we have seen very little. Look, I think from a systems perspective to cross-manage B and D is challenging for payers. And so we've seen very little of that in the Medicare Advantage part of the market. So that's almost all first-line opportunity. The smaller part of the market is the commercial part of the market. So that's what's 15%, 20% -- and that's where we did anticipate some cross-management between B and D, and we've seen some of that, right? So that's where the steps are, right? That's where the majority of the steps are in the commercial part of the market. But again, that's a smaller part of the market.
What kind of step edits and what sort of documentation?
I mean it varies by plan, right? In terms of what you have to provide to work your way through the step. And look, we have the ability to support patients and offices when there are steps in place, but it really does vary by plan. There's not a single approach to how those steps are put in place.
How do you assess the midterm competitive threat from WAINUA? I mean, it's not near-term, that data is later this year -- the Phase III...
Yes. Look, this is -- I think one thing that's good with more competitors is what we talked about earlier that this is still largely an underdiagnosed and undertreated patient population. So the more voices that you have, the more it drives those things, and that can be good for everybody that's in the space. So I think I'd start there, number one. It's hard to comment too much further until we see their data. I mean I think there's a few things that -- number one, I'd say is just in terms of the -- how rapidly we knock down TTR, we probably have an advantage there in terms of time to get to there...
So a potential differentiator.
It could be -- I mean, we're going to have to see the data in terms of whether or not that translates into efficacy, but that's one. I think we're going to be very interested to look at the safety data in that study. I mean there's been renal tox issues with ASOs in the past. This is clearly a different molecule. But this is a -- in the cardiomyopathy setting, this is an older, frailer population. So it's going to be interesting to see if there are any safety signals there that could have an impact. In terms of how these products are dosed, we're once a quarter dosed, we're Part B, right? So that's physician administered their Part D once a month. So 4 times a year versus 12, majority of patients would prefer fewer injections to more injections.
You can get our products at home. You can have it administered in the home. So that's one differentiator. And then lastly, I think maybe it's instructive to look at what's happened in the polyneuropathy space since they came into the market. So in the U.S., they launched in polyneuropathy at the start of 2024. And if you look at the growth of our PN business prior to their launch, post their launch, you really didn't see any change in the trajectory of the polyneuropathy business.
And I think what's happened over time is, with the second entrant in the polyneuropathy part of the market in the U.S. The pie started to expand faster, just as what I said before in terms of another voice, but we're getting majority of that business. We probably have gotten 70% of the new patient starts since they launched in polyneuropathy. So that leadership position that we have, that kind of firmly established position was very helpful in polyneuropathy. We believe that we're going to have a similar situation in the cardiomyopathy part of the market with the head start that we've had on them.
One thing you've been able to do to really lock in that PN market was contracting, whether it was -- I'm still not sure, but I inferred there was certainly ex-U.S. contracting, national orders, national pricing in place. Is that something that you -- is that a strategy you can adopt for cardiomyopathy, whether U.S. and ex-U.S.?
Yes. I mean we're not doing any contracting in the U.S. today per se, right? So I don't think that, that's going to be part of the plan going forward in terms of competition with WAINUA ex-U.S., again, the dynamics are obviously a little bit different around sort of pricing and access than they are in the U.S.
Patient sizes as well. But...
Yes. I mean the polyneuropathy part of the market has been -- it is a much more mature market outside the U.S. because tafamidis got approved outside the U.S. for polyneuropathy and really built that part of the market. That didn't happen in the U.S. And so we were really building the polyneuropathy market in the U.S. with ONPATTRO many years ago. So the dynamics are just a little bit different in polyneuropathy, U.S., ex-U.S.
How do you hope next-gen will evolve into the TTR landscape? This is nucresiran -- and how is enrollment in TRITON.
Yes. I mean we're early days, but I would say enrollment is on track in terms of the plans that we had, and we're really excited about this opportunity. This is a next-gen, so uses different chemistry and allows us to dose less frequently. So we're looking at twice a year dosing, so once every 6 months and deeper knockdown and I would say sort of less variability around that deeper knockdown. So our belief is that, that could translate to better efficacy. We're looking at 95% knockdown versus mid-80s knockdown. And again, TRITON spread around 95% than it is around 85%.
So do you think that's going to end up representing sort of a linear improvement in outcomes?
Again, I think it's hard to say. I think the best data that we have, and looking at deeper knockdown and what efficacy benefits that you see, is in polyneuropathy on mNIS+7. And we do see certainly a relationship with deeper knockdown leads to better efficacy. So I think we're hopeful that we'll see that. We've got 2 studies underway with nucresiran, 2 Phase III studies right now, a polyneuropathy study that is very similar in design to what we did with HELIOS-A and that will read out.
With the same APOLLO-A control arm?
Yes. Yes. And that would be a 2028 launch is the expectation. And then we've got an outcome study for cardiomyopathy that's largely going to be a study that's going to be run on top of tafamidis, much bigger study than polyneuropathy study. This is about 1,200 patients...
What percentage do you think is going to be on top of.
Most will be on taf, right? And I think...
Like 80%, 90%...
I don't think we've put out a percentage, but it's certainly going to be mostly going to be on top of taf. And I think, look, the confidence level that we're going to have a successful study there is based on what we saw in the combination subgroup in HELIOS-B, where we actually saw very good efficacy on top of tafamidis. And actually, that's one of the things that we think sort of speaks to the potency of our mechanism of action that on top of tafamidis, which is 40% of the patients in HELIOS-B, we saw really good efficacy on every endpoint in the study, right? So it certainly seems that the stabilizers are leaving some efficacy on the table. So we've designed the cardiomyopathy nucresiran study with -- in terms of assumptions around powering with really good data from HELIOS-B to support the assumptions that we're making.
Going back to WAINUA for one second, just reminded me of something. One thing that the WAINUA developer has been saying is that they -- based on the design of the study -- they will be able to show stat improvement on all outcomes, I believe, all cardiac outcomes versus taf background. And you have similar data, but not exact data. Can you -- if they're saying that's their differentiator, what do you have to?
And they've got a powering -- their study is powered, right? They've got 1,400 patients in the study, 50% of those are the tafamidis subgroup. So it's a much larger study. We had 40% of the patients in HELIOS-B; it was 655 patients in total, 40% were on taf at baseline, so a much smaller sample size. So they've got a powering advantage, right? So I think our expectation is that they will show stat sig in that subgroup. Now we have data in our label on that subgroup of patients.
It's a different endpoint, but yes.
I mean the primary endpoint is very similar, right? And we have data that shows in that subgroup that there was an advantage. It's in the label, and that should be supportive of physicians using that product in combination. We are seeing some combination use today. That's more restricted, I would say, from a payer standpoint, and we don't think that, that will open up more broadly until path goes generic. But look, we think that based on that data that we can compete in that part of the market when combination therapy becomes more open from a payer standpoint.
And the nucresiran study that we talked about earlier is powered, right? In that patient population on top of tafamidis based on the way we've designed that study and the cardiomyopathy readout and launch would be expected in 2030. So we feel comfortable that we're going to be able to compete effectively even in the combination part of the market, first with AMVUTTRA based on the data we have and then certainly with vutrisiran to follow.
So last question on TTR before we move to Kevin in the pipeline. How do you see nucresiran in terms of how we model things? Are you looking at it as sort of continuation of market expansion and sort of keeping the growth going? Or at that point, in 2030, are we looking at sort of duration of franchise as an asset and sort of consolidation?
Yes. I mean I think it will consolidate the TTR business if it has the profile that we think it will, meaning patients would certainly prefer to be on a less frequently administered product, particularly if we have efficacy that looks like it has an advantage. So I do think it will consolidate the TTR business, which is going to be very good for us from a financial perspective.
Margins perspective.
No royalty burden. We've talked about 30% operating margins through 2030 and then the ability to really expand to probably at least mid-40s with a successful nucresiran launch. But I think it will also continue to grow the franchise longer term. Like again, this is a large rare disease that's undertreated today. Beyond 2030, there's still going to be plenty of opportunity to keep driving penetration rates deeper. And I think nucresiran will position us to continue to not only consolidate the AMVUTTRA business, but continue to grow the franchise overall beyond 2030.
With that, we're going to move to the pipeline and the biggest topic that I get talking to investors about the pipeline. This is what I call my airport lounge bar conversation when we're all delayed on flights. What asset in the pipeline should we be focusing on now? What's an internal priority for Alnylam amongst the myriad? I mean this is the downside of having such a rich pipeline, right? Where do you focus? What's the next lever?
Let's talk about the pipeline in general -- zilebesiran. So here's we'll talk about the cardiometabolic franchise in general. We've got zilebesiran for blood pressure. We've got GRB14, which is for diabetes, right? And then we have recently put in the clinic ACVR1c for obesity. So we'll start with zilebesiran, and we can also talk a little bit about how you might combine some of those. So zilebesiran is this product that literally takes blood pressure down and holds it there, right? And so what we know similar to how it's linear between lowering LDL cholesterol and outcomes, blood pressure, if you lower it and keep it down, you do better on outcomes.
And in fact, when we looked at the human genetics, the variability in blood pressure, if you go up and down, say you are taking your medication, you're off or it wears off and you spike in blood pressure, it's those spikes actually that are bad for the blood vessels. So overall, the profile of something that comes down unique in the industry and keeps your blood pressure low, we think, is really, really exciting.
And we're in a Phase III outcome trial to show that, right? That over time that, that benefit accrues right? So we're very excited about that program. If you look in GRB14 there hasn't been a new novel insulin sensitizer in years, right? And so there's a program where the human genetics is clear that if you lower this protein, you actually prevent that Type 2 diabetes. And so I think it's an insulin sensitizer and that it controls the level of the insulin -- of the insulin receptor itself.
Where are we getting...
We're in Phase II. So we're going to look for data in diabetics by the end of the year.
By that proof of concept -- and that endpoint, you're just looking at HbA1c or like fasting glucose...
No, we're also doing clamps actually.
Clamps.
Both. So there's a subpopulation where we're doing -- we have our program targeting plasminogen, which that's a program where, again, the human genetics, we set out looking for something that could be a universal hemostatic agent without thrombotic risk. So as you look across the targets that people have chosen over the years, most of them genetically carry thrombotic risk because when you change that pathway more towards clotting. So this particular target, plasminogen, what we found profoundly was that individuals could lower the rates of bleeding without a thrombotic risk. And so now we're in a number, there's about 3 million or more patients that have bleeding disorders and only a small segment of them with hemophilia really have treatments. And so we're very excited about -- we've gone into HHT.
What percentage does that -- like non-hemophilia bleeding disorders?
It's the majority of...
It's like 95-plus million. Okay, 90-plus percent -- of that 3 million.
Yes. 3 million.
3 million.
So we started out in an indication HHT, which these individuals actually have fragile blood vessels. And so they bleed constantly, so they can have nosebleeds that last for 2 hours...
What's the particular prevalence for HHT?
There's about -- we probably think between 40,000 to 90,000 of those individuals, and they -- a lot of them actually need to have transfusions. And so this is not just they bleed from their gums. And so we're in a Phase II trial. They're now in patients. And so again, we'll be looking to have data by the end of the year around how that's impacting them. And then we're filing in a second indication that we haven't yet named.
You've discussed some additional indications. Can you walk us through those in the market?
Well, so again, there's a number of them. There's things like hemophilia, right? There's things like von Willebrand disease. There's a couple of others that are smaller. And so we're going to walk through them because we think that this really is going to have benefit in all of those patients.
How do you think of the development path for this asset? Is this something where like you could have 2 trials in similar -- or different, but similar disease populations that could support an approval for the drug?
I mean I think we're going to do for -- the good news is that a lot of the readouts are sort of binary, right? So you have really hard outcomes, which is bleeding, no bleeding. And so as you walk across them, we'll probably do somewhat standard trials in some of them. And as you get to the more sort of the less prevalent diseases, you might think about something like a basket trial.
You have a Phase Ib Huntington's trial with [ HTT02 ] reading out in the second half, too. Can you walk us through those key endpoints and how you see the interpretation of that mechanism evolving, given the overlap of the mechanism with gene therapy and efficacy [indiscernible] data?
Yes. So let's start out with Huntington's devastating disease. And we are going in with a very specific mechanism, which is that we're hitting this thing called exon 1, right? So there's exon 1 and there's the full length. So this is a disease where you have both of those playing an important role. So you really want to hit exon 1. And it wasn't known in the field for a long time that exon 1 was important.
But now as this has evolved, it's very clear that exon 1 is part of that disease. And so we have unique mechanism here where we have an RNAi that targets that. It took us a little bit extra time to actually figure out how to do that, but we've got a really nice molecule that does that. We're in Phase I. We're looking at lowering in patients, have data by the end of the year that will look at safety of that molecule as well as a degree of lowering and we're looking for something maybe 40%, 50%. That's where the field thinks there'll be significant benefit for...
40% to 50% knockdown...
Knockdown. And so I think the uniQure data -- I don't like to comment on other people's data, it was a very small trial -- but I think if anything, that if you sort of read the tea leaves, it does look like that's the only other thing out there that's an exon 1 mechanism. I mean it maybe seemed to have some hints. I think the FDA has come back and said they want to see a bigger controlled study, but that's...
Putting the landscape together and if you do target this 40% to 50% knockdown for the next study, speculating, obviously, on contingent data, but speculating how long do you think you need to treat before you start moving the endpoints that FDA cares about?
I mean I'm not going to speculate on our Phase II design, but I think we're still looking at the data. There are natural history studies that are coming out of the progression of the disease. There are neurological endpoints that you're going to want to look at, but we're in the midst of sort of figuring out exactly how long and what those endpoints should be with all the KOLs.
In our last few minutes, I want to talk about next 5 years and long term. This is the conversation that I have with the generalists that are really looking on the long term. Are you going to be focused on maintaining and growing profitability or more on pipeline development and expansion into new therapeutic areas? I mean you guys used to be the R&D engine. You had a huge pipeline and absolutely no profits. And a huge R&D budget, which you reined in from some of your first few years, we've had that conversation. So how is that balance evolving?
Yes. This is where I think the Alnylam 2030 set of goals that we shared a couple of months ago is really helpful because I do think it sort of gives a picture of where we're going. Just to recap, I mean, that's really focused on 3 things. One is leadership in TTR, which we talked about earlier. Two is about, frankly, expanding the pipeline and creating opportunities to grow durably beyond TTR. We can talk about that more in a second. And then it's really about how we're going to scale the business financially. So we talked about the top line growth expectations, right? We set a 25% CAGR.
And then we provided our view of operating margins across the period, and we're looking at 30% across the period. So let me walk through that because there were a lot of questions about that. And frankly, we anticipated that because the market, if you looked at consensus going into JPMorgan and you look out 5 years, the market's expectations in terms of profitability were frankly much higher. They were at about 50%, actually better than 50% operating margins.
And that's really, really difficult, if not impossible, with the gross margin. With the cost and the royalty. Yes. Our gross margins are at about 75%. So to have operating margins of 50% when you're frankly starting at 75%, but that just doesn't leave enough room for investment in SG&A and R&D to be at that level. So we needed to be really clear about that with the market. And one of the things that we clarified is how we intend to invest in R&D across the period, and we did set a goal of 30% of revenues reinvested in R&D.
We think that's a prudent allocation of capital. Kevin talked about a lot of the things that are in the pipeline today that are going to drive that growth in the years ahead. Primarily, this is going to be focused on internal innovation. And again, I think that's smart given the success that we've had with the platform and the approach that we've taken historically in terms of how we use genetics to drive targets and things that we bring into the clinic. That's not going to change. We're very focused on opening up new tissues, right? We've got a goal to be in 10 tissues by 2030.
And maybe the harder R&D goal that we gave, very specific goal was to have 2-plus new therapies either in the market or line of sight to being in the market that can drive substantial growth that are beyond TTR, right? Really, we're really focused on trying to -- we're focused on protecting and growing TTR, but we want to make sure that we can diversify the business. And so that's why we've selected 30% as the place that we see the right investment rate to drive that kind of growth in the pipeline and innovation across the period.
So speaking of potential in-licensing, how -- like what therapeutic areas are you looking into? Or is it going to be more of a technology delivery focus thing to.
Maybe I'll clarify what we said about business development, and then I'll let Kevin maybe comment further on the types of things that we might be interested in. So that 30% reinvestment rate of revenues into R&D, we said primarily is going to be driven by internal, right? R&D. So our focus on RNAi. We said that we would start to add selective business development into that mix. That's included in that 30% reinvestment rate. So we do think that we will start to look at external innovation as...
And that's within the 30%...
It's within the 30%, right? We've left ourselves headroom for external innovation in that 30% -- so maybe I'll let Kevin talk about sort of our approach and how we might think about external innovation.
Yes. So I'd say I'm a drug hunter, right? So in a lot of ways, you're looking for both things that can enhance your technology, right? So what's...
Delivery...
Well, either delivery or a modality that maybe you can combine, right? With an RNAi. So as you start to think about things like that, there are -- for instance, our cemdisiran program with Regeneron for certain indications, it's an antibody with an siRNA, right? So you can get very creative about how you take RNAi as a foundation and maybe add something to it as well as if you start to think through delivery to 10 different tissues, there may be somebody that has a delivery modality that they're using for something else that you can repurpose for delivery to RNAi.
Any favorite therapeutic areas or strategic approach to therapeutic areas? I mean, you've obviously evolved from like an orphan company to targeting much larger indications. TTR is incredibly cuspy if you look at models on whether it's orphan or not. Your partner programs are large. And are you looking for commercial synergies for the marketing force as you look at?
I would say as we look at assets internally and externally, if there's something that fits within a franchise or a therapeutic area. It gets a little bit of weight. I think on the other hand, I'm always looking for what could be the next franchise right? So we're going to be very opportunistic. If there is another large indication where there's high unmet medical need where we think we can really make a huge difference, we'll go there.
And there is the willingness to spend on the SG&A in the midterm.
Yes. I mean I think external opportunities that we're looking at, probably earlier stage is probably much more likely at this point. Again, we've given a pretty robust top line growth expectation across the period. So we don't need to buy near-term revenue. So it's more likely that we're going to see things that are earlier in development that we've been investing internally...
With that, we are a little over time. Thank you, guys. Thank you, Jeff. Thank you, Kevin.
Thank you.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Eventtyp: Fireside‑Chat auf der TD Cowen Healthcare Conference — kein Earnings Call, Fokus auf Kommerz, Pipeline und Strategie.
- TTR‑Fokus: AMVUTTRA treibt Wachstum; Management bestätigt 2026‑Franchise‑Guidance von $4,4–4,7 Mrd und sieht TTR als Hauptwachstumstreiber.
- Pipeline‑Ambition: Klare Reinvestitionsstrategie (30% Umsätze in F&E) und Ziel: 2+ neue Therapien außerhalb von TTR bis 2030.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- AMVUTTRA‑Wachstum: Management attribuiert Wachstum an Marktausweitung (unterdiagnostiziert), >90% Zugangsquote, und Fokus auf First‑line‑Share (Q3: mid‑bis‑high‑20s intern berichtet).
- Wettbewerb: WAINUA wird als mittel‑frühzeitige Konkurrenz gesehen — Differenzierungsargumente: schnellere TTR‑Knockdown, Sicherheit und quartalsweise Dosierung versus monatlich.
- Next‑Gen & Marginplan: Nucresiran (twice‑year dosing, tieferer Knockdown) erwartet Konsolidierung des Franchises; 2030‑Ziel: 25% CAGR, ~30% operative Marge (ausbaubar bei Erfolg von nucresiran).
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Guidance: Wiederholung der 2026‑Franchise‑Guidance $4,4–4,7 Mrd; 25% CAGR bis 2030 bleibt Leitlinie.
- Timelines: Nucresiran: Polyneuropathie‑Start 2028 erwartet; Kardiomyopathie‑Outcome‑Studie mit Start/Lesezeichen für 2030 Launch. TRITON‑Enrollment on track.
- Pipeline‑Readouts: GRB14 (Phase II), Plasminogen (Phase II HHT) und HTT02 (Huntington Phase I) Daten angekündigt bis Ende 2024/Anfang 2025‑Zeithorizont (im Gespräch: „Ende des Jahres“; Terminangaben relativ zum Event).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Zugangsrisiko: Kritische Nachfrage zu Payer‑Management; Management betont 2026‑Policies stabil, aber jährliche Überprüfungen möglich und kommerzielle Segmente zeigen Step‑edits.
- Wettbewerbsdruck: Nachfrage zu WAINUA: Management vermeidet definitive Aussagen, verweist auf Datenvergleich, Safety‑Profil und Dosierungsfrequenz als mögliche Differenzierer.
- Modellunsicherheiten: Analysten fragten zu nucresiran‑Impact auf Marktstruktur und Margen; Management nannte erwartete Margenverbesserung (Mid‑40s langfristig möglich) ohne exakte Annahmen zu Uptake oder Taf‑Kombi‑Raten zu nennen.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Kurzfassung: Alnylam bestätigt starke TTR‑Ertragsbasis mit klarer Wachstums‑ und Reinvestitionsstrategie. Kommerzielle Dynamik (AMVUTTRA) und mehrere klinische Programme (nucresiran, zilebesiran, GRB14, Plasminogen, HTT02) bieten sowohl Near‑term‑Wachstum als auch langfristige Diversifikation; Schlüsselrisiken bleiben Payer‑Entscheidungen, Wettbewerbsdaten und klinische Readouts.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Q4 and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call.
[Operator Instructions]
This call is being recorded on Thursday, February 12, 2026. I would now like to turn the conference over to Christina Kensch. Please go ahead.
Good morning. I'm Christine Akinc, Chief Corporate Communications Officer at Alnylam. With me today are Yvonne Greenstreet, Chief Executive Officer; Tolga Tanguler, Chief Commercial Officer; Pushkal Garg, Chief Research and Development Officer; and Jeff Poulton, Chief Financial Officer.
For those of you participating via conference call, the accompanying slides can be accessed by going to the Events section of the Investors page of our website, investors.alnylam.com/events. During today's call, as outlined in Slide 2, Yvonne will offer introductory remarks and provide some general context. Tolga will provide an update on our global commercial progress. Pushkal will review pipeline updates, clinical progress and upcoming milestones, and Jeff will review our financials and guidance before we open the call to your questions.
I would like to remind you that this call will contain remarks concerning Alnylam's future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements for the purposes of the safe harbor provision under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in our most recent periodic report on file with the SEC. In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views only as of the date of this recording and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent date. We specifically disclaim any obligations to update such statements. With that, I'll turn the call over to Yvonne. Yvonne?
Thanks, Christine, and thank you, everyone, for joining the call today. Alnylam possesses a truly unique profile in the biotech industry, underpinned by our established and sustainable innovation engine, coupled with commercial excellence, driving durable long-term growth. We're the leaders in RNAi therapeutics with a proven organic product engine and a reproducible and modular process for developing our medicines that has resulted in outsized historical success rates. We also have a high-yielding pipeline with over 25 programs currently in active clinical development. And there are now 6 Alnylam invented medicines on the market that are collectively generating several billion dollars in annual revenues and treating hundreds of thousands of patients around the world. This broad execution across all areas of the business was clearly evident in 2025, which was a transformational year for Alnylam.
In terms of commercial and financial performance, we achieved a landmark approval of AMVUTTRA for ATTR cardiomyopathy and driven by the success of that launch, delivered nearly $3 billion in combined net product revenues, which was 81% growth compared to 2024. Importantly, we met or exceeded all of our ambitious Alnylam [indiscernible] 25 goals. And with today's announcement, we can now officially declare that we have achieved GAAP profitability for the 2025 full year and expect to sustain profitability going forward.
On the pipeline and platform side, in 2025, we initiated 3 Phase III studies and expanded our clinical pipeline with 4 proprietary CTAs in addition to the 5 that were filed by our partners. We also developed and launched a potential best-in-class enzymatic ligation based RNAi manufacturing platform called siRELIS. We believe this platform will enable us to greatly expand our capacity and bring RNAi therapeutics to more patients around the world while reducing the cost of goods. While 2025 was a defining year for the company, we're now focused firmly on the future, harnessing our success to accelerate innovation and scale impact. To that end, we're excited to have recently shared our new set of 5-year goals on Alnylam 2030. And these goals rest upon 3 strategic pillars, starting with achieving global TTR leadership while building a durable TTR franchise. We aspire to lead this market in revenue by 2030 and across the period and to launch nucresiran in 2028 for polyneuropathy and 2030 for cardiomyopathy.
The next pillar is growing through sustainable innovation where we plan to deliver 2 or more transformative medicines beyond TTR that have blockbuster potential. We also aspire to achieve delivery of RNAi to 10 tissue types and have a pipeline of over 40 clinical programs by the end of 2030. The high-yielding platform and outsized historical probability of success, combined with our rigorous and disciplined approach to portfolio management. We believe this is the right place to focus our efforts and resources, and we expect to invest approximately 30% of our revenues in non-GAAP R&D across the period to accelerate organic internal innovation and selectively access external innovation.
Given our expertise and leadership in this space, we believe this is a prudent allocation of capital that has the potential to deliver significant growth in the future. The final pillar of our 2030 goals is scaling with discipline and agility to drive sustained profitable growth. This includes striving to achieve over 25% revenue CAGR through the end of 2030 and to deliver a non-GAAP operating margin of approximately 30% across the period. It's important to note that this operating margin goal is only through 2030, which is the year we aim to achieve regulatory approval for nucresiran in ATTR cardiomyopathy. And if the nucresiran is successful in demonstrating the best-in-class profile that we expect, we believe it would drive swift patient uptake and given the lack of any royalty obligation for nucresiran potentially drive our operating margins to the mid-40s post 2030. Through these goals, I hope you can appreciate that we're building on Alnylam for the future, delivering continued long-term growth, underpinned primarily by our RNAi innovation platform. With that, let me now turn the call over to Tolga for a review of our commercial performance. Tolga?
Thanks, Yvonne, and good morning, everyone. It is a pleasure to show how we're continuing to bring Alnylam's transformative therapies to patients around the world. Q4 represented another quarter of strong growth for Alnylam. We delivered $995 million in combined net product revenues representing 121% growth year-over-year and 17% growth versus prior quarter. While our TTR franchise remains the primary growth engine, we're also seeing continued momentum in our rare disease business.
Let me start there. Our rare disease portfolio continues to deliver meaningful impact for patients and consistent performance for our business. In Q4, our rare franchise generated $136 million in net revenue, up 26% versus the same period last year, driven by increased patient demand and favorable order timing in partner markets. As a result, GIVLAARI and OXLUMO together became a $0.5 billion franchise in 2025, reflecting continued growth, more than 5 years post launch.
With that, let's turn to the TTR highlights. Q4 was another robust quarter for our TTR franchise, continuing the strong launch trajectory we saw in Q2 and Q3. Global TTR net revenues reached $858 million, up 18% versus the prior quarter and representing 151% growth year-over-year. In the U.S., net revenues for our TTR franchise grew 20% compared with Q3, '25 versus 222% versus Q4 2024. The quarter-over-quarter growth was primarily driven by a continued increase in U.S. patient demand, partially offset by an increase in gross net deductions and an unfavorable inventory channel impact. Outside the U.S., revenues grew 13% versus the prior quarter and 47% year-over-year, underscoring continued global momentum. We continue to be very pleased with the early signs in Japan, roughly 6 months into the CM launch as we continue to track in line with leading launch analogs in the industry. In Germany, we recently aligned pricing for AMVUTTRA for the ATTR-CM opportunity, reflecting the significant larger prevalence of the CM indication relative to polyneuropathy indication. As expected, this will create a modest near-term impact on total TTR revenue in Q1. But importantly, it positions us to compete effectively and participate in a substantially larger CM market in Germany.
As we have previously mentioned, we anticipate launching AMVUTTRA for ATTR cardiomyopathy in additional international markets throughout 2026 following the completion of local pricing and reimbursement reviews. As we continue to launch across ex U.S. markets, we are building global momentum that we expect to carry through 2026 and beyond. Finally, our international performance reflects the continued strength of our hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy legacy business, which remains robust despite competition. Broader engagement in the category is expanding awareness and diagnosis, ultimately benefiting patients and reinforcing Alnylam's leadership role in shaping the field.
Now let's turn to the U.S. ATTR-CM specific dynamics. Looking back on 2025, our confidence in the size growth and continued underpenetration of the ATTR-CM category has been reinforced. Despite approximately 40% volume CAGR over the past 6 years, the majority of patients with ATTR cardiomyopathy remain untreated. Against that backdrop, we are highly encouraged by AMVUTTRA's early momentum. In its first few quarters, performance relative to relevant specialty analogs supports the potential for a breakout launch, reflecting strong customer demand, the value of our AMVUTTRA's differentiated profile and disciplined commercial execution.
When we look at the early launch data, what's most encouraging is not just the pace of uptake, but where AMVUTTRA is being used and why? First, AMVUTTRA is rapidly establishing itself as an important choice in new treatment starts. By just the second quarter post launch, AMVUTTRA approached parity with tafamidis in share of new starts based on available estimates. While these available data will continue to evolve, the early signal is clear. prescribing dynamics in ATTR-CM are shifting.
Second, we're gaining traction in first-line patients, establishing AMVUTTRA as a first-line option remains our strategic priority, and we're making meaningful progress. In parallel, AMVUTTRA has quickly become the preferred option for stabilize and progress their patients consistent with its differentiated and orthogonal mechanism of action. Third, this momentum is underpinned by broad and durable access. Following completion of our '26 payer policy discussion, we can look ahead with increased confidence to even broader patient access for AMVUTTRA in 2026 versus last year.
Over 90% of payers now provide first-line coverage with the large majority of patients able to initiate treatment without step-through requirements. Most patients incur 0 out-of-pocket costs and approximately 90% can access treatment within 10 miles of their home, supported by a broad, well-established network sites of care. As we enter '26, we remain clear-eyed about where we are. The ATTR-CM launch is still in its early stages, just 3 quarters in, and there is important work ahead. At the same time, we have established the foundations for durable growth. underpinned by a strong value proposition, broad access and steadily increasing customer demand.
Looking forward, we see meaningful opportunity to further expand the category by improving diagnosis and treatment rates. And we are investing accordingly through targeted efforts in education and awareness, evidence generation and diagnosis enablement to ensure sustainable long-term impact for patients. We look forward to sharing more details at our upcoming investor webinar where we will mark the 1-year anniversary of AMVUTTRA's USFDA approval for ATTR cardiomyopathy on March 24, 2026, and highlight our progress for patients and the long-term growth and durability of our TTR franchise.
With that, I'll hand over to Pushkal.
Thank you, Tolga, and good morning, everyone. As Yvonne highlighted earlier, 2025 was indeed a year of substantial pipeline progress and platform innovation for Alnylam. First, we initiated 3 Phase III studies in 2025. Zenith is our event-driven cardiovascular outcomes trial for zilebesiran in patients with uncontrolled hypertension at high CV risk. We aim to enroll approximately 11,000 patients and have successful plan to launch around 2030. Triton-CM is our event-driven outcome troughed for nucresiran in ATTR-CM. Approximately 1,200 patients will be enrolled in this study with launch also expected in 2030, if successful. And Triton-PN is an open-label study of nucresiran in approximately 125 patients with hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy, if successful approval in this indication is expected in 2028. We also expanded our clinical pipeline, taking 4 new Alnylam-led programs into the clinic, ALN-2232, our first RNAi therapeutic directed to an adipose target, ACVR1c, with the potential to lead to durable weight loss, particularly reduction in visceral fat that is associated with poor cardio-metabolic health; ALN-5288, carding MAPT, or tau, for Alzheimer's disease and other rare tauopathies and 2 new programs for which we are not yet disclosing details to 2 competitive reasons, ALN-4285 and ALN-4915.
Our partnerships also continue to generate progress for 5 new partner-led programs entering the clinic in 2025 across a range of indications with significant unmet need. We're also excited for our partners at Regeneron. We remain on track to submit a U.S. regulatory application in the first quarter for cemdisiran in generalized myasthenia gravis with potential approval anticipated later this year or early 2027. And finally, as Yvonne mentioned, we also launched -- we also launched siRELIS, our proprietary enzymatic ligation manufacturing platform. As a result, we ended 2025 with a pipeline of over 25 clinical programs, spanning multiple therapeutic areas across rare specialty and prevalent indications, representing a tremendous opportunity for improving patient health and creating value in the years ahead.
Among these many programs, there are several that represent the next wave of transformative near-term RNAi therapeutics from Alnylam each of which has multibillion dollar potential. In the cardiovascular metabolic space, we're excited about zilebesiran, targeting angiotensinogen with the aim of achieving continuous control of blood pressure with just 2 doses per year. For metabolic diseases, we see compelling opportunities to address substantial unmet medical need in gaps in treatment left by GLP-1s in both overweight obesity and type 2 diabetes.
And in neuroscience, Mivelsiran targets amyloid precursor protein for the potential treatment of cerebral amyloid angiopathy and Alzheimer's disease. APP is a genetically validated target for both of these diseases and CAA, in particular, represents a blue ocean opportunity. ALN-HTT02 employs a unique exon 1 targeting approach with the potential to address Huntington's disease, a disease with no approved therapies through deep and widespread lowering of the Huntington protein in the brain. And in hematology, ALN-6400 offers an exciting opportunity for a pipeline and a product, targeting plasminogen to address a wide range of bleeding disorders with a unique approach that has the potential to reduce bleeding without increasing the risk of thrombosis.
Our first indication is hereditary hemorrhagic [indiscernible] which affects approximately 70,000 patients in the United States. We'll share important updates across many of these programs over the year, as outlined in our 2026 pipeline goals. In the first half of the year, we plan to complete enrollment in the CAPRICORN 1 Phase II trial of nivelsiran in patients with CAA and initiate 3 Phase II trials. The first of these has already been achieved, which is a Phase II study of ALN-4324 for patients with type 2 diabetes. The study is now actively enrolling patients, one for revelsiran in patients with Alzheimer's disease and another for ALN-6400 in a second bleeding disorder. Importantly, we expect to have clinical derisking data this year on several of the programs I just mentioned. Specifically, we expect to share Phase I and II results from the ALN-6400 program and Phase I data on both our Huntington's and ACVR1C programs in the second half of the year. And with that, let me now turn it over to Jeff to review our financial results and 2026 guidance. Jeff?
Thanks, Pushkal, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be presenting a summary of Alnylam's full year 2025 financial results and providing our comprehensive financial guidance for 2026. Let's begin with a summary of our P&L results for the full year. Total global net product revenues for 2025 were nearly $3 billion or 81% growth versus 2024, driven by a more than doubling of revenue in our TTR franchise primarily from the strong performance in the U.S. following our Q2 launch of AMVUTTRA and ATTR cardiomyopathy. These full year results were more than $800 million above the original 2025 product sales guidance we provided last year, a testament to the strength of our ATTR-CM launch performance. For the full year, collaboration revenue was $553 million or 8% growth compared with 2024 and included a $300 million development milestone in Q3 associated with the dosing of the first patient in our Zenith Phase III cardiovascular outcomes trial for zilebesiran. Royalty revenue for the full year was $174 million, representing a 90% increase compared with last year, driven by higher LEQVIO sales from Novartis. Gross margin on product sales was 77% for the full year representing a 4% decrease compared with 2024. The decrease in margin was primarily driven by increased royalties on AMVUTTRA as higher revenues in 2025 resulted in an increase in the average royalty rate payable to Sanofi compared with the prior year.
Our non-GAAP R&D expenses of approximately $1.2 billion increased 17% compared to last year primarily driven by costs associated with the initiation of 3 Phase III clinical studies, including the Zenith Phase III cardiovascular outcomes trial for zilebesiran and the TRITON-CM and PN studies for nucresiran. Non-GAAP SG&A expenses of approximately $1 billion increased 22% compared to last year, primarily driven by increased investments in support of the AMVUTTRA ATTR-CM launch in the U.S. we achieved full year non-GAAP operating income of $850 million, representing a $755 million increase compared with last year, driven primarily by the strong top line results that I previously highlighted. I'm also pleased to share today that we achieved profitability on both a GAAP and non-GAAP net income basis, both in the fourth quarter and for the full year 2025 and more than delivering on our [indiscernible] by [ '25 ] non-GAAP profitability goal.
I'd like to take a moment to thank the Alnylam employees who made this milestone possible through their active engagement and scaling our business with discipline over the past 5 years. Finally, we ended the year with cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $2.9 billion compared with $2.7 billion at the end of 2024. The primary drivers of the $200 million increase in cash during the year include improved operating performance and proceeds from the exercise of stock options, partially offset by net proceeds utilized during our convertible refinancing in Q3.
Now I'd like to turn to our financial guidance for 2026. Starting with net product revenues, we are reiterating the combined net product revenue guidance for AMVUTTRA, ONPATTRO, GIVLAARI and OXLUMO that we communicated in our JPMorgan press release dated January 11, 2026. We anticipate combined net product sales for our 4 commercial products will be within a range of $4.9 billion to $5.3 billion, representing combined full year growth compared to 2025 of 71% at the midpoint of the guidance range or more than $2.1 billion in growth. On a franchise level, the guidance is broken down as follows: Total Rail, $500 million to $600 million, representing full year growth compared to 2025 of 10% at the midpoint of the guidance range. Total TTR, $4.4 billion to $4.7 billion representing full year growth compared to last year of 83% at the midpoint of the guidance range. As Tolga noted in his prior comments, it's still early days in the ATTR-CM launch but we are pleased with our initial momentum and the strong fundamentals which support the long-term growth potential of our TTR franchise. As we highlighted at the JPMorgan conference, the 2026 TTR product sales guidance is underpinned by 3 key assumptions: First, we anticipate U.S. TTR category growth will remain brisk and consistent with prior years. Second, in the U.S., we continue to expect a modest decrease in net price as our CM business continues to scale. Specifically, we forecast a mid-single-digit net price decrease for AMVUTTRA in 2026.
Third, given the impact on our polyneuropathy business associated with lower CM launch pricing in international markets, we expect international TTR revenue dollar growth in 2026 will be consistent with 2025. I'd also like to provide some color on Q1 phasing assumptions associated with our full year TTR revenue guidance. For Q1, we expect considerably lower quarter-on-quarter TTR revenue growth compared with the $134 million of TTR growth that we delivered in Q4 '25. The lower growth expectation in Q1 is driven by a variety of factors, including the following: First, unlike in Q4, when our international markets contributed $23 million in quarterly TTR revenue growth, we are expecting an approximate $25 million reduction in Q1 international revenues with the primary driver of the decrease attributable to our CM launch in Germany where our AMVUTTRA pricing was adjusted downward in late Q4, as Tolga previously mentioned. For the balance of the year, we expect our international markets will return to quarter-on-quarter growth as the impact of increasing volume outweighs reduced price.
Second, in the U.S., we expect more modest quarter-over-quarter TTR growth in Q1 compared with the USD 111 million of quarterly growth achieved in Q4 due to fewer product shipping weeks in Q1 and the expected impact of annual insurance reauthorizations. Beyond Q1, we expect higher quarterly growth for the balance of the year in the U.S., and we remain confident in our full year TTR product sales guidance.
Now returning to our full year 2026 financial guidance. Our collaboration and royalty revenue guidance range is $400 million to $500 million, representing a decrease of 38% compared to 2025 at the midpoint of the guidance range driven by the onetime $300 million zilebesiran development milestone achieved in 2025 that I previously mentioned that will not recur this year. We expect the collaboration revenue associated with our partnerships with Roche and Regeneron as well as LEQVIO royalties from Novartis will drive the majority of our collaboration and royalty revenue this year.
Our guidance for combined non-GAAP R&D and SG&A expense is a range between $2.7 billion and $2.8 billion, with the midpoint of the range representing 26% growth versus 2025. Growth drivers for R&D expense this year include increased investment in clinical studies including the continuation of pivotal Phase III studies for zilebesiran and nucresiran as well as early pipeline investment to deliver 3 to 4 new INDs and support expansion of delivery into new tissues. Growth in SG&A will primarily be driven by ongoing launch activities to support AMVUTTRA for ATTR-CM in the U.S. and select international markets. Let me now turn it back to Christine to coordinate our Q&A session. Christine?
Thank you, Jeff. Operator, we will now open the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions]
[Operator Instructions]
One moment for your first question. I have Paul with Stifel.
2. Question Answer
Okay. I was wondering if you could just comment on what you're seeing so far in 2026 in terms of new patient adds and the mix of first line for vutrisiran versus tafamidis switches and how you see that evolving over the course of this year and what's assumed in guidance?
Yes, that's a great question. I think it's important just to underscore how pleased we are with the AMVUTTRA launch so far. Coming out of the gate strong, we're building towards an analog beating launch and really building a long-term franchise that's incredibly important. And all the fundamentals are in place to drive continued AMVUTTRA growth, which I think is underscored by our 2026 guidance on our 2030 goals. But Tolga, maybe you will speak specifically to -- yes, I mean, how you're seeing the market.
Thanks, Yvonne. Look, as Yvonne highlighted, what really drives our confidence in reiterating the guidance is really is the fundamentals. If you think about it, we've actually improved our first-line access. We're clearly seeing a strengthening physician and patient preference and even more importantly, continued category growth with more patients entering the market. Those trends were in place heading into JPM and have continued to build, and that's why we remain confident in the year.
Your next question is from Salveen with Goldman Sachs.
If I could just follow up on the confidence here and the guide for the year for the TTR franchise. Just speak to the the choppiness that we're seeing coming out of the scripts for the first quarter to date? And then how you think about the pricing dynamics as you look to a new potential market entry this year or next year as well as kind of the growth dynamics in Europe?
Yes. So let me take the pricing question first. We feel very well positioned from an access standpoint for this year. The large majority of patients have already first-line access without required petites and most patients are continuing to pay 0 out of pocket, partly supported by our value-based agreements and in fact, utilization within those agreements have been rather minimal to date.
In terms of on our pricing, our net price declined mid-single digits in '25 and our '26 guidance assumes a similar mid-single-digit decline. And that dynamic is fully integrated into our outlook. Now in terms of '27, it's obviously too soon for us to be able to provide specific guidance, but we felt really well positioned as we enter '26.
Your next question is from Konstantinos with Oppenheimer.
Congratulations on the strong year. A question on seasonality from us. Have you seen any seasonality during the fourth quarter, potentially patients who push the injection to the next quarter because of the holidays and whether this will be a tailwind for the first quarter of 2026.
Maybe Tolga, a question for you. I mean I think we spoke to Q1 phasing and that's actually kind of very typical in the industry. But Tolga, do you want to...
Right. So I would actually really step back and start thinking about rather than on a monthly fluctuations looking at the quarterly -- the total growth of this category. If you think about the historically, while quarterly growth has fluctuated, the longer-term category trend has been one of robust and really well sustained growth. On the order of about 40 plus over the past several years. So even within Q4, we've seen momentum improved as we exited the quarter. Now, as Yvonne highlighted, Q1 has been rather specific for across the industry in terms of the seasonality. We're certainly seeing some of that, but we believe that from that seasonality is really not impacting the underlying momentum that we're building in the category.
Your next question is from Ritu with TD Cowen.
I wanted to ask about the gross to net pattern over 2026. Tolga, you mentioned mid-single digits. Is that going to be sort of a stepwise adjustment in Q1 and then flat through the rest of the year? Or is it going to be gradual? Basically, I'm asking are all the access discussions for the full year done? And also, if you can comment about per Salveen's question whether potential longer-term competitive dynamics are factoring into how you're thinking about gross to net over the year.
Maybe, Jeff, you start on the general gross net question and Tolga may have some additional perspective.
Yes, Ritu, again, the guidance for the U.S. market for pricing this year is a mid-single-digit net price decrease similar to what we did in '25, and that would be expected to be gradual over the course of the year rather than sort of all upfront in the first quarter, gradual.
Yes. And in terms of the '27 outlook, as we highlighted, it's really too soon for us to make any comments at this point. We don't know what that data is going to look like. We don't know what their label is going to look like. But what I can say is, given how well we're positioned in terms of Part B versus Part D, we believe actually we're really well positioned in terms of being able to manage our our growth. And in fact, if you think about the guidance that we provided or I should say, our objectives from 2030, we're ensuring that our 2030 CAGR growth of 25% certainly incorporates some of that thinking. We believe we're going to be able to preserve and increase the value of this category.
Your next call comes from Maury with Jefferies.
You commented a little bit on this at JPMorgan, but just wondering for the 5-year strategy, you've mentioned the select external innovation as part of the approximately 30% revenue R&D spend. Can you just elaborate on that? Should we anticipate additional partnerships like the Roche one with zilebesiran or other forms of licensing? And is there anything more on timing, size and scope of an external BD deal?
Yes. Thanks for that question. Look, I think it's important to highlight that we really are focused on our rich internal pipeline, which is truly spring loaded for growth. But given our strengthening financial position, it does make sense to start to become open to select innovation that could provide access to technologies and earlier stage medicines that are complementing our existing commercial portfolio and R&D pipeline. And I think it's important also to state that we have a very high scientific and financial bar both for our internal innovation but also as we look to assess opportunities externally as well.
Your next question comes from Tazeen with Bank of America.
You talked about the time that you could potentially launch at the beginning of the 2030s. I say, 2030-ish. How should we be thinking about the impact to your operating margin once that product becomes available -- and just practically speaking, even if it might have the better profile that you described of less frequent dosing, how long do you think it would take for patients to appreciate something like that vis-a-vis switching from AMVUTTRA to nucresiran when it becomes available?
So there are a couple of questions here. I mean I'll just reiterate maybe the remarks that I kind of made earlier, which is, I mean, we're really excited about nucresiran. We believe that if it's successful, which we have high conviction in is going to have a best-in-class profile, which is going to lead to swift patient uptake. And this is going to be without the royalty obligations for the nucresiran. So clearly, this will have a significant positive impact on our margins post 2030. And as I said, we're looking at potentially driving margins to the mid-40s by 2030.
And just to tag on to that. I mean, if you look at what consensus gross margins are for our business out to 2030, Tazeen, it's mid-70s. And I would say the vast majority of that is related to the royalty that we pay Sanofi. So that tells you about the opportunity to improve margins post 2030 if we have the kind of profile that we expect with nucresiran.
Next question is from Luca with RBC Capital Markets.
Congrats on the progress. Maybe if I can pivot to the pipeline, Pushkal, can you just talk a little bit about Huntington. Again, I'm assuming that maybe later this year, you'll show some initial pharmacodynamic data and the reduction in mutant [indiscernible] CSF, but we all know that Huntington is a relatively slowly progressive disease. So I'm assuming that the clinical data like cUHDRS is going to be pretty preliminary, would that be fair? And itself, are you willing to start the pivotal Phase III trial, we just target engagement data in hand? Or are you going to wait before doing so until you see a clear function sign there. So I guess the question is, maybe walk us through what kind of go/no-go decision to start a Phase III trial for Huntington.
Well, that's a great question, and thank you for asking a question about the Huntington's program. It's a program that we have high conviction for addressing what I think we all know is that is an incredibly devastating disease. But of course, a lot of that question, Pushkal.
Yes. Luca, happy to address it. As I mentioned, as you highlight, the unmet need in Huntington's, I think is undisputable. We're very excited about the approach we have. We have an siRNA that targets the overall Huntingon's protein, but specifically also target this exon segment that is thought to be necessary actually for disease propagation. And so we think we have a very unique approach. I think unfortunately, prior approaches haven't really addressed this. And interestingly enough, the one approach that does is the uniQure approach, and we've all seen some recent data coming from there that suggest potentially through natural history data, there may be a favorable trend there emerging in terms of efficacy.
So we're very excited about the approach. We're in a Phase I program right now in Huntington's patients where we're really trying to see convincing evidence of lowering of Huntington's as well as to safety. You'll recall that prior efforts in this space have been challenged because they can't get to high levels of knockdown beyond about 20%, and then they've been associated with safety concerns. And [indiscernible] increases cerebral ventricular enlargement, et cetera. So I think those are the first 2 things, Luca, that we're going to be looking for. Can we get to good levels of knockdown, we'd like to get to over 50% and can we do that durably and safely for a period of time.
As we've mentioned, we'll put out some data at the end of this year. You're right that I wouldn't expect a lot in terms of clinical data at that point in terms of cUHDRS. This is really relatively modest number of patients. And so -- but we're hoping that, that -- again, if we see those 2 signs. Then to your second part, look, this is, again, given the unmet need, this is a program we're very much going to try and accelerate as quickly as possible. We want to do that in a responsible way. But you look to us to see what -- anything we can do to bring this forward to patients as quickly as possible and keep you posted on that.
Your next question is Myles with William Blair.
Another one on the pipeline for obesity. Just what's the rationale for prioritizing the ACBR1c asset or the [indiscernible] for something like [indiscernible] in your Phase I trial? And then is the target product profile for that that's going to come out of that data? Is it something that's equivalent to what we're seeing from your peer in Arrowhead or are you going for something superior on the efficacy side?
Pushkal, that's one straight for you.
Yes. Thanks, Myles. So look, we -- I think we see a tremendous opportunity in the overweight obesity space and the diabetes space. I think GLP-1s have obviously revolutionize that space. But I think we all recognize there's a lot of unmet need to actually aid in weight loss, A1c reduction without the muscle loss and the tolerability issues that happened with GLP-1s. So we're bringing -- we have prioritized ACBR1c because both I think in our preclinical work, based on the genetics, preclinical models as well as, I think, some of the emerging data that you're seeing coming from Arrowhead. You see that ACBR1c appears to be the more potent target. And so we've certainly prioritized that. We are interested in [indiscernible], but we think ACVR1c is more interesting. I think I think the other point here I think is worth noting is that I think when you look at the Arrowhead and Wave data, I think there's questions about the monotherapy magnitude of weight loss that they can deliver.
And I think this is a space where we're going to have to be particularly thoughtful. I think we're uniquely positioned to be thinking about unique patient segments that we might be able to target, looking at unique combinations that can bring disproportionate benefit to patients within this space. So -- but that's the reason for prioritizing ACBR1c. And as I said, we expect to have some results to share at the end of the year.
Next question comes from Mike with Morgan Stanley.
Maybe I could ask a question just on cardiomyopathy and trends there particularly for market share. Obviously, you've had some great share gains in the second-line setting and also positive trends in the front line. Just curious, particularly in front line as we move through the year. Do you expect that -- those share trends to continue to increase?
Yes. No, we've been very pleased by the sort of broad and balanced kind of access that we're seeing, Tolga?
Yes. I mean, as you saw, Mike, in the data we shared, particularly around new-to-brand dynamics, we're approaching near parity with tafamidis and the goal was there to intent was to demonstrate that in a growing and increasingly competitive category, we've been able to make meaningful and rapid headway. Now in terms of '26, obviously, we have reiterated our full year '26 guidance. And what gives us the confidence is the continuous progress we're making in terms of first-line access, rising physician and patient preference and also importantly, healthy category growth. Those were the drivers heading into JPM, and we'll continue to see them strengthened. And that -- obviously, that momentum supports our outlook for '26.
And of course, we're going to be having our TTR webinar in at the end of March, which will be an opportunity. So when you think about how we're going to build this very exciting franchise for the future. Thanks for that plug.
Your next question comes from Ted with Piper Sandler.
Great. And just maybe digging a little bit deeper in terms of the external partnering, should we be more thinking complementary technology then from your comments earlier, Yvonne? whether that be delivery types or other RNA mechanisms?
Yes. No, I think that's absolutely correct. I mean we are looking at areas where there's good strategic fit, so opportunities are complementary to what we're doing. You touched on delivery. That's 1 potential approach to consider. We have a very exciting internal pipeline. So we're going to be very judicious about what exome innovation actually helps us accelerate our internal innovation and also complements our current portfolio. But Pushkal, do you want to add anything to that?
No, I think you've covered it, Yvonne. I think we're going to be looking at that landscape of things that are complementary from a technology perspective that help us bring medicines to more patients more rapidly.
Your next question is from [indiscernible] with Barclays.
Maybe just a big picture one across the sort of emerging early-stage pipeline, which programs are you most excited about? Or do you think are the most derisked? And then a second question, just you mentioned for the U.S., you expect a mid-single-digit net price decrease in 2026. What would you expect for 2027? Should we expect something similar or potentially more or less with a new competitor?
Well, I think it started off with trying to get to see what our favorite programs are, Pushkal?
Yes. I mean, Eli, I think like choosing between your children. So we've got some very exciting opportunities I think in terms of your question about which are most derisked, I think, look, obviously, nucresiran is about as derisked as possible. We obviously have no doubt, but TTR silencing aids in both polyneuropathy and in cardiomyopathy. And with that drug, we'll get to 95% silencing and twice year dosing. Zilebesiran has shown blood pressure lowering, compelling blood pressure lowering in 4 studies now of Phase I and III Phase IIs of increasing stringency on top of background medicines with a durable profile and there is a wealth as Professor Williams highlighted last year, ESC of data that suggests that continuous control of blood pressure should lead to outsized benefits in terms of cardiovascular outcomes. So I don't think -- I think that's fairly derisked.
I think as you look forward, we have a number of other programs where I think actually in the period of '26 and '27, we are going to get very compelling data that leads to derisking. If you think about data coming out on Huntington's, or as I just mentioned in my comments to Luca in CAA, and we will get some proof-of-concept data on a number of different programs in overweight obesity, diabetes and a number of programs that we actually haven't named. And then, of course, the plasminogen program, where we've already seen convincing data that we shared last year at R&D Day in terms of proof of mechanism that we're seeing clot stabilization, very strong genetics. So I think that's been significantly derisked.
And you see our confidence in there. We've kicked off on Phase II. We've talked about kicking off a second Phase II. And so we're moving rapidly with that program. So I'm excited about the opportunities that lie ahead. And as I said, a number of exciting potential to help patients and create value.
Yes, that's great, Pushkal. I think the really unusual story about Alnylam is actually we have a derisked organic product engine. And this gives us tremendous leverage, helping us to kind of accelerate the pace of innovation and allowing us to scale with this proven platform into what's going to be a multi-franchise growth company. And as Pushkal highlighted, there are a number of near-term opportunities for us to really turn these programs and important [indiscernible] for patients. Jeff, do you want to add any perspective?
Just on the pricing question, I think that Eli had asked about. Again, what we've said consistently, I think since we've launched in the U.S. with the cardiomyopathy and the labels, we've expected gradual net price reductions over time as the business scales. Again, we're entering year 2, right? And year 1 was mid-single-digit price decrease. That's what we're expecting in year 2 and I would say over the longer-term guidance that we've given, right, 25% CAGR, that's the expectation across the period at this point.
That's great, Jeff. And apologies when we get these multipart questions, sometimes the -- one of the question kind of slips off the list. Tolga, do you have...
Yes, I have a multipart answer as well. I mean, look, just to support Jeff's point, in terms of how anticipated new competition may impact the pricing. As we reiterated, first of all, we're really well positioned from an access perspective, we've established credibility and durability of this franchise in '26 and if you think about the potential emerging competition, we're already actually in that competitive field with the polyneuropathy indication. And we've been able to secure great access to the patients with limited co-pay.
So I think I would anticipate -- and obviously, we provided our goals for 2030, and that value growth of 25% [indiscernible] remains so we're comfortable with providing that perspective for '27 as well.
Good. Well, I hope we covered everything you asked. Next question, please.
Next question comes from Cory with Evercore ISI.
I guess it's related somewhat to what you were just talking about. But with the competitive silence or data, obviously expected this year, I'm interested in your latest views on the potential for that asset to attain a differentiated label based on their trial? And how you think about that having a potential commercial impact on AMVUTTRA if it were to actually be the case?
Okay. Well, I think there's a sort of both a kind of commercial and then also a development kind of perspective on that question. So I think, Tolga, you want to just make a few remarks and then we'll hand it over for Pushkal.
Yes. Before I turn it over to Pushkal, I mean, look, it's obviously difficult to assess the impact without seeing their data, and it would be premature to speculate on the specific role that you're going to play. That said, I think what's really important to highlight is this category remains very large and significantly underserved markets. Additional entrants will certainly help drive diagnostics and treatment rates, which we believe ultimately will benefit patients and expand the category. So from our perspective, we feel very well positioned. We have a head start given our rapid and deep and sustained knockdown profile, strong clinical data package and obviously convenient quarterly dosing. So maybe, Pushkal, you can...
Yes. I think, Cory, I think we are looking forward to seeing the results. Obviously, we don't have a magic crystal ball, we'll see what the results are. But I think our expectation is that the study will be positive. They've shown good knockdown that occurs over a period of some months. And so I would expect, and they have a large outcome study, both in monotherapy and in combination. So I would expect the results to be positive. I think we'll be on the lookout for a couple of aspects of this. First of all, obviously, we want to look at the safety profile that emerges. This is an ASO in a large population that's somewhat older and frailer. So it will be interesting to see how that emerges.
And then on the efficacy side, look, I think -- again, I think that I expect to see favorable impacts on the outcome parameters as we've shown with HELIOS-B with vutrisiran. I think there's some speculation that will they have a stronger signal, for example, in the combination because they'll have a larger number of patients on top of a background stabilizer. My hypothesis would be I don't see any reason why the treatment effect size we would be any different than what we've already established in HELIOS-B.
Now they may have a tighter confidence interval or stronger p-value in that subgroup, but in terms of the effect size, I don't expect it to be materially different, and I think so it would be consistent with what we saw. Your question is, I think, the most critical one, which is how is that going to impact the label and I would just point out that our label already shows gives -- provides data for both on and office stabilizer.
And it specifically points out that the treatment effects were consistent in both populations. And so we have a very broad label. So I don't know how -- I don't foresee how the label would be materially different based on the statistical significance in that one subgroup. But that remains to be seen. But that's how I would map it out.
Next question comes from Danielle with Truist.
This is Alex on for Danielle. Just a question on AMVUTTRA access in community centers. I guess do you have a sense of how much of the market is not currently accessible due to the high cost of AMVUTTRA and potential hesitancy to stock the drug. Just curious if you have a sense of what proportion of new diagnosis are coming out of the community centers versus what proportion of AMVUTTRA patients are actively being managed in the community settings.
Yes. I mean, let me just take that very quickly. As we highlighted, from a payer perspective, first and foremost, because I think you highlighted whether there's an access issue, we feel really well positioned from access standpoint again, the large majority of patients have first on access to AMVUTTRA and that's regardless of where those patients are. In terms of accessing the medication, as we highlighted, first of all, our experience is that it's very broad and balanced. And in terms of the community saving patients, we've been able to actually secure alternative site of care agreements where 90% of the patients already have AMVUTTRA injection within 10 miles their residences. And we are continuing to expand that network. But I think we reached actually that critical mass already within '25, and we obviously continue to work on that.
Well, I believe that was our last question. So I'd just like to thank everyone for joining us today. Clearly, 2025 was a remarkable year in which we delivered a blockbuster launch of AMVUTTRA in TTR cardiomyopathy. We made significant advancements across our pipeline and we achieve sustainable profitability. And as we begin this next chapter of our story, we look forward to executing on our 2026 goals and the broader 2030 strategy. to both accelerate innovation and scale impact. Thanks, everybody, who joined the call, and have a great day.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Q4‑Umsatz: $995 Mio kombinierte Netto‑Produktumsätze (+121% YoY, +17% QoQ)
- Jahresumsatz: ≈ $3,0 Mrd kombiniert für 2025 (+81% vs. 2024)
- Profitabilität: GAAP‑Profitabilität erreicht für Q4 und FY2025; Non‑GAAP operatives Ergebnis $850 Mio
- Margen & Cash: Bruttomarge 77% für 2025 (‑4% vs. 2024); Barmittel und Äquivalente $2,9 Mrd Ende 2025
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Launch‑Momentum: AMVUTTRA‑Zulassung für ATTR‑Kardiomyopathie trieb das beschleunigte TTR‑Wachstum; 6 Alnylam‑Produkte sind kommerziell
- Alnylam 2030: Drei strategische Säulen: weltweite TTR‑Führerschaft, ≥2 transformative Nicht‑TTR‑Medikamente, Ausbau zu ≥10 Zielgeweben und >40 Programmen
- Plattform & Produktion: Einführung von siRELIS (enzymatische Ligation) zur Kapazitätserhöhung und Senkung der Herstellungskosten; Ziel: ~30% der Erlöse in bereinigte F&E investieren
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- 2026‑Umsatz: Kombinierte Produktumsätze für 4 Produkte $4,9–5,3 Mrd; Total TTR $4,4–4,7 Mrd
- Preisannahmen: Erwartete mid‑single‑digit Netto‑Preisreduktion für AMVUTTRA in den USA (2026)
- Revenue‑Phasing: Q1‑TTR‑Wachstum moderater wegen Deutschland‑Preisanpassung und weniger Versandwochen; internationaler Q1‑Effekt ~‑$25 Mio
- Sonstiges: Kollaborations‑/Royalty‑Guidance $400–500 Mio (Rückgang wegen nicht wiederkehrendem $300M‑Meilenstein); kombinierte Non‑GAAP F&E+SG&A $2,7–2,8 Mrd
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- AMVUTTRA‑Dynamik: Fokus auf First‑line‑Zugriff, rasche Marktanteilsgewinne vs. tafamidis und Ausbau der Diagnose‑Initiativen
- Brutto‑zu‑Netto & Saisonalität: Mid‑single‑digit Net‑Price‑Effekt erwartet; Q1‑Phasing/Saisonalität diskutiert, aber Management sieht langfristige Kategoriestärke
- Pipeline & BD: Hohe Priorität für nucresiran (2030) als Margen‑Treiber; selektive externe Partnerschaften zur Ergänzung der internen Pipeline
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Alnylam liefert ein starkes 2025: AMVUTTRA‑Launch treibt erhebliches Umsatzwachstum und GAAP‑Profitabilität. 2026‑Guidance ist ambitioniert, Risiken bleiben Preisdruck, internationales Phasing und Konkurrenz; langfristig entscheiden nucresiran‑Erfolg und Pipeline‑Derisking über Margenexpansion bis 2030.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Good morning, everyone. My name is Jess Fye, biotech analyst at JPMorgan, and we're continuing the 44th Annual JPMorgan Healthcare Conference this morning with Alnylam. Company had a lot of updates yesterday. I'm sure we'll talk about those.
We're going to start out with a presentation from the company's CEO, Yvonne Greenstreet, and then we're going to go into some Q&A. [Operator Instructions] But with that, let me pass it over to Yvonne.
Thank you, Jessica. Look, it's a real pleasure to be standing here as we launch this next exciting chapter in Alnylam's history. I'm Yvonne Greenstreet, the CEO of Alnylam, and I'm delighted to be joined on stage here -- maybe stand back a bit -- by my colleagues, Pushkal Garg, our Chief R&D Officer; Tolga Tanguler, our Chief Commercial Officer; and Jeff Poulton, our Chief Financial Officer. And of course, I'll be making forward-looking statements throughout my presentation.
Now as most of you know, Alnylam possesses a unique profile in the biotech industry. And what makes us so unique is that we have an established and sustainable innovation engine, coupled with commercial excellence. This has fueled our success to date, and we will continue to harness this to drive durable long-term growth. And it all begins with the leadership that we've established in RNAi with a proven organic product engine and a reproducible and modular process to developing our medicines that has resulted in outsized historical success .
We also have a high-yielding pipeline with over 25 programs in active clinical development. And in addition to success and leadership that we've demonstrated on the R&D side, there are now 6 Alnylam invented medicines on the market that are collectively generating multibillion-dollar annual revenue streams and treating hundreds and thousands of patients around the world through our global footprint. So these value-creating features give Alnylam a truly one-of-a-kind profile and frankly, one which is rarely seen across the biopharma landscape.
Since the company's founding in 2002, Alnylam has pioneered the RNAi and an important feature of our approach has been setting and not just meeting but exceeding pretty specific and ambitious long-term goals. Started back in 2011 when we set our Alnylam 5x15 goals, which to summarize, stated by the end of 2015, we will put 5 programs in clinical development. We delivered 7. We then followed that with our Alnylam 20x20 goals, where we said that by the end of 2020, we would have 3 approved RNAi therapeutics. We delivered 4.
Most recently, we've been working towards achieving our Alnylam P5x25 set of goals. And as we stand here having concluded 2025, I'm proud to say that our efforts have resulted in 6 approved products, and we brought RNAi therapeutics to about 0.5 million patients around the world who are on an Alnylam invented medicine. We also said that we'd expand our pipeline to over 20 clinical programs. We delivered over 25. Further, we said that over this period, we would achieve at least a 40% revenue CAGR, and we greatly exceeded that too at about 50%.
And finally, pending the formal announcement of our year-end results, which will happen in February, we are firmly on track to achieving non-GAAP profitability. Yes, and these strategic goals have guided us on our way towards achieving our vision of translating Nobel prize-winning science into a new class of medicines to transform human health. So let's double-click on some of the exciting highlights from 2025, which by all measures was a transformational year for Alnylam. And starting on the left, the key commercial and financial highlights include the landmark approval of AMVUTTRA for ATTR cardiomyopathy. And on a combined net product revenue basis, we generated nearly $3 billion, which represents a year-over-year growth of 81%.
On the pipeline and platform side, we initiated 3 Phase III studies. We expanded our clinical pipeline with 4 proprietary CTAs in addition to the 5 that were filed by our partners. And we developed and launched a best-in-class enzymatic ligation-based RNAi manufacturing platform, which we have termed siRELIS, and this will enable us to greatly expand our capacity and bring RNAi therapeutics to more patients around the world while reducing the cost of goods.
In our press release yesterday, we preannounced our net product revenues for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, delivering a breakout year with nearly $3 billion in combined net product revenues across our 4 wholly owned products. And of course, this was largely driven by the launch of AMVUTTRA in ATTR cardiomyopathy, which propelled our TTR franchise to achieve about $2.5 billion, doubling franchise revenue from the prior year and coming in more than $800 million above our original guidance.
So today, I couldn't be more excited to share our next ambitious set of 5-year goals for the company, Alnylam 2030 accelerating innovation and scaling impact. These goals rest on 3 strategic pillars. And I think you'll see these pillars are pretty consistent with what drove most of our performance in 2025. It starts with achieving global TTR leadership and building a durable TTR franchise. Specifically, we intend to lead the market in TTR revenue by 2030 and also cumulatively across the 5-year period.
We also plan to launch the best-in-class next-generation TTR silencer, nucresiran, first in polyneuropathy by the end of 2028 and then in cardiomyopathy by the end of 2030. The next pillar is growing through sustainable innovation. But most medicines today simply just slow the progression of disease. We want to do better than that and deliver therapies that prevent, halt or reverse disease. This includes delivering 2 or more new transformative medicines beyond TTR that have blockbuster potential. And if we include nucresiran, that makes 3 new transformative medicines.
We also aim to expand to 10 tissue types and build out a pipeline of over 40 clinical programs. In addition, we aim to invest about 30% of our revenues in non-GAAP R&D to accelerate organic internal innovation and selectively access external innovation. And the final pillar upon which our Alnylam 2030 goals rest is scaling with discipline and agility, where we plan to drive sustained profitable growth. And specifically, we aim to deliver 25% or greater total revenue CAGR through the end of 2030 and deliver an approximately 30% non-GAAP operating margin across the period.
Alnylam 2030 represents our strategy to become the leading science-driven, fully integrated global biopharmaceutical company and maximize the potential of RNAi therapeutics for patients. So let's dive a little deeper into the first pillar. Our aspiration is bold. It's to transform the experience for patients living with ATTR amyloidosis. And in the process, we're building global leadership and a flagship franchise for Alnylam. While diagnosis and treatment rates have improved, especially since the introduction of noninvasive diagnostics, most patients with ATTR cardiomyopathy remain untreated.
And so it's a large, rapidly growing and yet underserved category. And it's for this reason that we are driven to bring our RNAi therapeutic, AMVUTTRA to as many patients as we can as quickly as we can. We're therefore, incredibly encouraged by our early momentum. In just the first few quarters, AMVUTTRA's performance compared to the performance of some relative -- with some relevant specialty analogs suggests that we have the potential for a truly breakout launch. This speaks the cost of demand for new treatment options, the value of AMVUTTRA and our strong commercial execution as we continue to launch in ex U.S. markets, building global momentum, which will begin to manifest through 2026 and beyond.
We plan to share more details around AMVUTTRA launch dynamics in a TTR-focused webinar that we plan to host in March, but I'm going to give you a little preview. Impressively, within just a few quarters on the market, AMVUTTRA has already approached parity to tafamidis in share of new starts. But it's important to note that given imperfect data sources, which evolve over time, these numbers are estimates, but one thing is clear, we're challenging standards of care. And this -- I think it's really important to note that we are making great strides in establishing AMVUTTRA as a first-line treatment.
And it's the first and only approved treatment with an orthogonal mechanism of action, it's perhaps unsurprising that AMVUTTRA is the clear leader for the stabilizer progressor segment. This demand reflects health care professional and patient choice. It's also made possible by the broad access and patient affordability that we have been able to secure. Most payer coverage decisions are confirmed going to 2026 and a large majority of patients continue to have access to AMVUTTRA in first line, meaning no requirement to step through another treatment first.
And most patients pay $0 in out-of-pocket costs and 90% of patients can receive AMVUTTRA treatment within just 10 miles of their home, thanks to the broad network of health systems and alternate sites of care that administer AMVUTTRA. Bottom line, health care professionals and patients are choosing AMVUTTRA and access continues to remain strong. We'll continue to drive awareness and preference for AMVUTTRA on routes to our aspiration of global category leadership, but in addition to that, we're committed to reinvesting back into the category.
With so many patients still undiagnosed and untreated, we recognize our role in helping close those gaps. Our investments span evidence generation, education and awareness efforts, but also innovative collaborations to bend the curve on diagnosis rates, which include research collaborations, sponsorships, partnerships with medical societies and novel diagnostics programs. And we'll have more to share about these category growth driving initiatives at our upcoming TTR webinar in March and over the coming quarters.
And of course, we're also advancing nucresiran program. Nucresiran is our next-generation TTR silencer now in Phase III, and it has the potential to offer a best-in-class treatment experience for patients by providing rapid knockdown of TTR on the order of 95% with a biannual dosing regimen and to solidify our leadership for years to come. Assuming positive results from our TRITON Phase III studies and regulatory approvals, we expect to launch nucresiran first in polyneuropathy in 2028 and then in cardiomyopathy in 2030.
The next pillar is growing through sustainable innovation, where we aim to deliver therapies that not only slow disease but prevent halt or reverse course of disease. And this rests upon the truly unique innovation engine that has driven the sustainability. This is a modular process that we utilize to catalyze long-term growth. And of course, at the core of this engine is the Nobel Prize winning science of RNAi, and we're going to leverage our leadership and expertise here to continue to invest in the power of human genetics, where we now have access to more than 2 million lives through various biobanks to uncover new genetically validated targets to sustain our pipeline and leadership for the future.
To expand the delivery of RNAi therapeutics into 10 or more major tissues by 2030 and to enhance the fundamental attributes of siRNAs and advance our capabilities with continued platform requirements. As I said, Alnylam is unique. And here, we've a demonstrated track record of success. We believe that the seamless integrated approach enables us to do all of this with high quality and probability of success at scale. And this has helped us build out this robust and high-yielding pipeline, industry-leading pipeline, that you can see here across rare, specialty and prevalent indications and spanning multiple therapeutic areas.
I want to highlight a few of these programs, which represent the next wave of transformative medicines, each of them with multibillion-dollar potential. These include programs that span the cardiovascular metabolic space, neuroscience and hematology. Zilebesiran targets angiotensinogen with the aim of achieving continuous control of blood pressure. With just 2 doses a year, zilebesiran could address significant unmet need for over 60 million patients with uncontrolled hypertension who are at high cardiovascular risk.
We're also advancing assets for metabolic disease, which represents a substantial global unmet medical need. And we see a compelling opportunity to address significant gaps in treatment left by GLP-1s. ALN-4324 targets GRB14 with the potential to be a novel insulin sensitizer for patients with type 2 diabetes. And ALN-2232 is our first RNAi therapeutic directed towards an adipose target ACVR1C, with the potential to lead to durable and fat-specific weight loss.
Turning to neuroscience. Mivelsiran targets amyloid precursor protein for the potential treatment of cerebral amyloid angiopathy and Alzheimer's disease. Mivelsiran has the potential to prevent amyloid deposition, both in the vasculature of the brain to prevent the life-threatening clinical sequelae of cerebral amyloid angiopathy and in the parenchyma of the brain to impact the progression of Alzheimer's disease. ALN-HTT02 targets the Huntington gene to reduce the progression of Huntington's disease.
Our exon 1 targeting approach has the potential to lead to deep and widespread lowering of HTT in the brain. With over 100,000 symptomatic Huntington's patients globally, this also represents a multibillion-dollar market opportunity. We look forward to sharing initial Phase I data in the second half of this year. ALN-6400 targets plasminogen to address a wide range of bleeding disorders. There are over 3 million people in the U.S. alone estimated to be living with an inherited bleeding disorder.
The first indication we're pursuing is hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia, affecting approximately 70,000 in the U.S. Our Phase II trial in HHD patients is already underway, and we also plan to start a Phase II in a second bleeding disorder later this year. Now since our founding in 2002, we pioneered the RNAi revolution, solving hepatic delivery, proving the platform. This has resulted in 6 approved RNAi therapeutics. We intend to build on this foundation as we drive towards our vision for 2030 and beyond.
We plan to accelerate innovation and build on our competitive advantage by delivering to 10 or more new tissue types and utilizing potential combinations and polygenic approaches. We'll also look to continue our leadership in platform enhancements while selectively pursuing complementary modalities through business developments. Now let me conclude with our 2026 guidance and goals. In our press release yesterday, we provided 2026 net product revenue guidance. Specifically, we're expecting total combined product sales between $4.9 billion and $5.3 billion, driven by our TTR franchise guidance of $4.4 billion to $4.7 billion or 83% growth at the midpoint.
And really, what this does is indicate our strong conviction in the opportunity and reflects robust growth and excellent commercial execution. Let me now turn to our 2026 pipeline goals, which will drive our next phase of growth. We've got an exciting year lined up in which we expect 4 clinical data readouts advancing 3 Phase III studies, initiating 3 Phase II studies and filing 3 to 4 new INDs. But of course, it's not just about this coming year. We're building Alnylam for the future. We believe we have a generational technology, which has the impact, the possibility of impacting potentially millions of patients.
And our Alnylam 2030 strategy positions us for continued long-term growth and becoming the leading high-science global biopharma company. And as we look out over the next 5 years, if we achieve our aspirational goals, this is what we believe the profile of the company could look like in 2030. We expect to deliver substantial impact for human health around the world across a diverse range of diseases, as I said, potentially helping millions of patients. By 2030, we aspire to be generating well over $10 billion in annual revenues, driven by multiple blockbuster products and enabled by a best-in-class commercial organization.
We plan to maintain our industry-leading pipeline by continuing to reinvest in programs with the potential to transform human health. We also expect to substantially increase our manufacturing capacity and lower our production costs to support our rapidly expanding pipeline and commercial portfolio. Moreover, we want to be a company recognized for our commitment to social responsibility. If we do all of this, we believe that we will build substantial value creation for shareholders.
This is our vision, and thank you for your continued support up to this point in our journey. We hope you share the excitement that we have for building a leading global biopharma company and transforming human health. And we truly believe that we're in the early innings of RNAi and the best is yet to come. Thank you.
Great. Thanks for the presentation. [Operator Instructions] We spent a lot of time kind of going through those 2030 goals. What gives you the confidence to kind of lay out sort of these ambitious targets today?
That's a really great question, Jess. Now as I said, we we have this history. We have a 15-year history of setting these long-term 5-year goals. And the reason why we do this is that it really helps rally the organization. It creates focus. It creates accountability. And as you've seen, we've got a track record here. We have met or exceeded every single set of 5-year goals that we've delivered and most recently, piece of it by '25.
And we've built our next set of 5-year goals based on what has been an incredible year in 2025, where we've seen real momentum across the business in R&D, in commercial, in manufacturing. And so we feel that we have in our hands the opportunity to really impact human health and are going to set ourselves these bold goals on that journey. And I think it's important to say that we've set the goals, but we also have plans to ensure that we're going to be able to deliver them.
And when you're kind of setting goals that far out, how much buffer do you bake into kind of long-term targets like that?
So I'm not sure that's the right way to think about it actually because what we're trying to do here is set goals that are ambitious, okay, but that we feel we have plans that will allow us to achieve those goals. So by definition, it's not about buffers. It's about understanding the underlying assumptions behind our business and then developing goals that provide us with the potential to really impact patients across a broad range of diseases and build a substantial business. But Jeff, you may want to talk a little bit more.
I mean the only thing I'd add to that is, I think the goals are probably almost more important for internal purposes than they are for external because of what Yvonne has touched on that the organization is very accountable. So when we establish something like this, the desire sort of to galvanize the organization to drive that performance is real. I mean that's why we've continued to do these 5 sets of goals. So that's how we think about it. It's really about driving performance.
And then turning to the 2026 guidance you provided, specifically on the TTR franchise. Can you just talk a little bit about the AMVUTTRA drivers like underlying that guidance and how they may be similar or different from last year?
Sure. Look, '25 has been an exceptional year for us. As we shared with you, if you look at the fundamentals of the market, we really set up an exceptional business where we're gaining preference in market share, underpinned by the very much untapped market demand and the growth that continues to go from a category perspective. So in light of that, we obviously would like to be able to continue to build that market preference.
And what you'll see is where we're actually going to be accelerating the growth opportunities as well. So we want to be able to increase more diagnosis rates as we are actually continue to differentiate the product that's already been well received, both by payers, physicians as well as actually from the patient's perspective. So we just need to continue to elevate that and as we are growing the category.
So with AMVUTTRA writing, it sounds like you're seeing both in the academic and community settings. What are you kind of learning about prescriber behavior or patient characteristics in the different channels? And how do you use that information to kind of maximize frontline use?
So when you look at the fundamentals of the business and why we think it's actually very strong is because it's balanced, durable and there's a depth to our business, both from academic centers as well as from the community centers, the business that we're driving is more or less the same in terms of the quality. And what's also really important for us is how the community physicians and academic centers are experiencing the prescription.
Are they getting easy access? Are there patients actually being able to access the medicines and getting their injection conveniently? What's been the experience both in the academic centers and the community centers once the product is actually being used. And when we look at that across the board, we see a very similar dynamic. And what's, I think, really important for us, and you've seen in the numbers is to drive first-line preference. And that has been going really well. We're being very competitive, and we need to continue, obviously, that journey. So just the bottom line is it's a balanced business, and we're really not seeing a one particular patient type that's preferring one or the other.
What's your latest thinking on what eventual tafamidis generics will mean for the AMVUTTRA business?
So we've heard from Pfizer that tafamidis is losing patent protection 2028 in the U.S. From an Alnylam perspective, this isn't really a big deal for us. We're already approaching parity to tafamidis, as I described in my presentation. And actually, the real potential impact of tafamidis going off patent is that it really unlocks the opportunity for combination use. And when we think about AMVUTTRA, we have all that we need in this regard. I mean, we have data from HELIOS-B, which shows benefits in combination with tafamidis. It's on our label. And so we think that the introduction of generic TAF will actually likely accelerate a little bit of combination use.
Within that 2026 TTR guidance, how should we think about the contribution from international cardiomyopathy sales? And maybe you can expand a little bit on your expectations for price outside the U.S. where you've kind of commented a little bit before?
Yes. No, that's a really great question. Jeff, do you want to take that?
Yes. I mean I'm happy to take the question. The expectation is as we launch in markets ex U.S., you're not going to have split indication pricing. Price will likely come down, which will have an impact on the existing polyneuropathy business. Over time, the volume growth in the cardiomyopathy parts of these markets will more than offset that. But in 2026, it likely means you're not going to see an acceleration of growth outside the U.S. relative to the growth that we saw in 2025.
What are you guys going to be watching for in the eplontersen CVOT data coming out this year?
Yes. And obviously, we're waiting for the data to be released. But Pushkal, why don't you take that one?
Yes. I mean, look, we'll obviously be watching. I think we want to see the efficacy. We also want to see the safety, right? This is an ASO in a large, older population. I think we want to understand what the safety profile looks like as well. As we kind of think about the readout, just, it's probably also -- as we kind of think about, okay, how does -- it's another silencer type of mechanism in the disease. We kind of look at what we've established with HELIOS-B, which is 85% knockdown, 30% plus reductions in all-cause mortality, comparable reductions in hospitalizations. We're seeing some evidence of disease reversal on cardiac MRI, and we're seeing benefits on extracardiac manifestations like GI, et cetera, with 4 times a year dosing.
So I think when we look at the profile that's going to emerge for eplontersen, I think I would -- my instinct is that it will be somewhat similar to that. I don't expect it to be materially different. That said, I think there's been a lot of discussion around, well, they've got a larger population of patients on combination and is that going to mean anything. And I think as Yvonne just alluded to, we already have established benefits in combination using HELIOS-B, which is now reflected in the label. So while they may have greater statistical precision around that estimate, I don't expect that, that's going to result in a materially different claim, for instance, because we already have that established HELIOS-B, as Yvonne mentioned.
Maybe just building on that, I think we're going to have a head start as well. And I think we've demonstrated in the PN market segment, but we've been able to maintain a leading market share compared to eplontersen in the polyneuropathy indication. So we feel we're well set up with the data that we have for HELIOS-B and looking forward to seeing the data come out of CARDIO-TTRansform, but as Pushkal said, we don't believe it's really going to change the game.
And what about for nucresiran? What are the most important differentiators from AMVUTTRA? And I guess, how do you think about the transition or maybe like coexistence of that product with AMVUTTRA?
Yes, nucresiran is a really important opportunity for the company. And that's why we're really expediting development and delivering the PN indication, hopefully, by 2028 and CM in 2030. But Pushkal, why don't you speak to the specific...
I can speak to the profile and then Tolga, you want to speak to the -- how we're going to bring it forward. I mean I think we're very excited about nucresiran. As Yvonne highlighted in her presentation, we can get about 95% knockdown with nucresiran, AMVUTTRA delivers about 85%. That's going to lead to more patients getting that deeper level of knockdown, which we think is a benefit both in polyneuropathy as well as in cardiomyopathy, less variability, so more patients getting there.
It's twice a year dosing. So we think it's going to offer greater patient convenience. And so at the end of the day, our hope is that this will really be now the new sort of standard of care for patients with this disease, where we need to hit them strongly with the best available therapy. Tolga, do you want to comment on this...
Yes. I mean the only thing I would add is our ambition for 2030 obviously includes nucresiran, which we're really excited about. It's the target -- the product profile is really exciting. In terms of how the switch is going to happen, it's probably too soon for us to really articulate that. We've obviously managed through ONPATTRO and AMVUTTRA, although they're not exactly the same. And again, we're really excited about nucresiran, and we hope to be able to -- once the product is in our hands, we're going to be able to provide a lot more clarity around how the category is going to be developed.
And just I think also important to note that this really gives us a durable franchise. So we are committed to patients with TTR amyloidosis. We're committed to continuing innovating for these patients. And it really gives us a sort of durable long-term growth franchise here.
Just one comment here on nucresiran and the importance of it financially. From a margin perspective, we've guided to 30% operating margins through 2030. Nucre, we're talking about CM launch 2030. That will really drive a margin enhancement post 2030, assuming that we've got a successful product launch.
Okay. So the nucre transition could be sort of like a tailwind for the 2035...
Very soon, very soon after 2030. I don't think we'll need to wait to get to 2035 for us to see the impact.
The royalties -- the average royalty that we'll be paying on that is going to be high 20s. So if you can obviously switch that business from AMVUTTRA to nucresiran where you won't have the royalty burden, I think it should substantially benefit our margins.
So I guess, put differently, the 2030, 30% operating margin does not really reflect much of a transition?
Correct.
No, you won't get that in this period. It's really beyond this period, right? Because the CM launch is really what would unlock that.
Another element of that long-term guidance. When you talk about expanding into 10 tissue types, what sort of -- what counts as an expansion into a new tissue? It looks like you've brought something into the clinic or you've got preclinical proof of concept? What sort of...
Yes. This is a really important part of our strategy because we believe that the expertise and experience that we've built up in working in the RNAi field for more than a couple of decades now really helps us come up with strategies for accessing additional tissues. And that's why we set the target at 10 each tissue that we unlock, think about it acts as a value multiplier for the business. But Pushkal, maybe you want to talk a little bit specifically about how we're thinking about the different tissues?
Yes, absolutely. I think -- look, I think it's important to note, RNAi is an evolutionary concerned process. It's in every cell of our body. It's in every tissue of our body. And so if we can deliver into a particular tissue like we did in the liver now that we've done in CNS with our colleagues at Regeneron, that opens up now a wealth of possibilities. And so in terms of new diseases to go after or new targets to pursue. And so we've identified and we'll be pursuing at least 10 tissues that we want to get into where we think that there is a preponderance of disease as well as a preponderance of genetically -- genetic targets that we can pursue to ameliorate that disease.
As Yvonne said, that then allows -- that's a value multiplying concept for us where we can go after in that tissue, but also start to think about multiplexing across tissues, right, to really address polygenic and more complex chronic diseases. In terms of what counts, we've talked about -- what we're really talking about is things that are either in the clinic or sort of IND-enabled at that point. That's really what we're looking for through NHP studies, et cetera, so that we have a strong confidence that they're going to work...
So for the ALN-HTT data coming up, can you talk about what would represent success in that update? What would be kind of especially exciting when you unveil those results?
Yes. I mean, I think ALN-HTT is an incredibly exciting program. I don't think I have to describe the harness nature of Huntington's disease, which has been described as ALS and Parkinson's and Alzheimer's altogether. It's a devastating disease. We've got a unique approach, which I think is now being really supported by the academic science, which is targeting this exon 1 fragment is felt to be necessary to have an effect on this disease. We've been going through Phase I studies.
So we'll be sharing some data later this year. I think -- look, there have been, unfortunately, for the patient community, real setbacks with past programs that have looked this disease where they've actually had some deleterious side effects. So first and foremost, we want to ensure that we get good deep knockdown as well as good safety.
And that's really what the primary focus is going to be. Obviously, over time, we'll be looking at other measures, biomarkers and clinical measures of efficacy. But the first and foremost is we want to make sure that we have a safely administered drug that really does what we're hoping to from a pharmacology perspective and allows for infrequent dosing, we anticipate probably twice a year.
And maybe turning to mivelsiran. What are the data for that product that you're kind of most excited about so far? And what should we look for in the next update?
Yes. I mean I think this kind of connects again to what I just talked about with Huntington's disease. What's really remarkable is that in the few years, we've now taken the C16 delivery platform, and we're able to now actually have these discussions about how we can affect these really horrendous diseases, which I think kind of only imagined just a few years ago, right? And so with mivelsiran now, that is -- targets amyloid precursor protein, and we're really bringing that forward for 2 different indications. One is a blue ocean opportunity, which is cerebral amyloid angiopathy, the second leading cause of hemorrhagic stroke. We've got that in the Phase II study, which is enrolling well. But that's really a potential blockbuster and really entirely blue ocean.
And then we'll be coming forward with our plans in Alzheimer's disease shortly in terms of how we're going to pursue that indication. So these are very exciting opportunities. Again, what's amazing is we want to share more data in terms of the levels of knockdown that we're achieving, the safety that we're seeing now with some patients on drug for over 2 years. And then again, we'll start to share some data over time in terms of biomarker imaging, et cetera, that gives us confidence in this approach.
With our last minute, what would you flag to investors as the next kind of most exciting upcoming pipeline data readouts look out for?
I think -- look, I think as Yvonne highlighted, we now have 25 programs in the clinic. We're putting 3 to 4 molecules in the clinic every year. So there's going to be really a steady sort of flow of data coming out of the pipeline. We've highlighted a few things that we're going to share about some Huntington's data that we've talked about, some data on plasminogen, some data on ACVR1C for overweight and obesity.
But I think there'll be more data as well over time. Understandably, we're keeping some things a little closer to the chest these days than we may have in the past. It's getting competitive out there, but you can see that we're incredibly excited about what we have in our hands and continue to build an amazing portfolio across a range of diseases.
Yes. And Jess, if we think about where we are as a business, we could not be more excited about what's ahead. Thinking about the growth trajectory with AMVUTTRA, we doubled TTR revenues this year. We set ourselves some bold guidance to be the market leaders by revenue by 2030, and all the business fundamentals are strong. So we're very excited about driving that through.
Pushkal has talked about this very rich pipeline with a number of really important and exciting multibillion-dollar opportunities that we're going to be prosecuting over the next few years. And so we really have a business that is humming and we're going to use this 2030, 5-year set of goals to really accelerate our innovation and scale our impact and hopefully have significant impact on human health and build, I think, what is already a remarkable business, and we're determined to become the leading science and biopharmaceutical company.
Great. Well, thank you.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — 44th Annual J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Strategie: Alnylam legt die Alnylam‑2030‑Agenda vor: globale Führerschaft im TTR‑Segment, Ausbau der Plattform auf ≥10 Gewebe und Ziel >$10 Mrd Jahresumsatz bis 2030.
- 2025‑Momentum: Fast $3 Mrd Nettoproduktumsatz in 2025 (+81% YoY), TTR‑Franchise ≈ $2,5 Mrd; siRELIS‑Fertigung angekündigt zur Skalierung und Kostenreduktion.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- TTR‑Franchise: Fokus auf Markführerschaft; nucresiran (Next‑Gen TTR‑silencer) mit ~95% Knockdown, halbjährliche Dosierung, PL erwartet 2028 (polyneuropathie) und 2030 (kardiomyopathie).
- Pipeline & Plattform: >25 Programme in klinischer Entwicklung, Ziel >40 bis 2030, Ausbau auf ≥10 Gewebe; rund 30% der Erlöse sollen non‑GAAP in F&E reinvestiert werden.
- Finanzen & Betrieb: Ziel für den Zeitraum bis 2030: ≥25% Total‑Revenue‑CAGR und ~30% non‑GAAP Betriebsmarge.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Zahlenupdate: Vorabmeldung: 2025 Nettoproduktumsatz fast $3 Mrd; TTR‑Franchise rund $2,5 Mrd, ~ $800 Mio über ursprünglicher Guidance.
- Guidance 2026: Kombinierte Produktumsätze $4,9–5,3 Mrd; TTR $4,4–4,7 Mrd (Midpoint ≈83% Wachstum).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Glaubwürdigkeit: Analysten haken nach konservativen Annahmen vs. ambitionierten 5‑Jahres‑Zielen; Management verweist auf Track‑Record früherer 5‑Jahres‑Ziele.
- AMVUTTRA‑Launch: Nachfrage, Zugang und frühe Parität zu tafamidis in Neuanfängen; Diskussion zu Auswirkungen eines tafamidis‑Generikums (Pfizer‑Patentende US 2028) auf Preis/Combination‑Use.
- Wettbewerb & Readouts: Fragen zu eplontersen CVOT, ALN‑HTT (Huntington) und weiteren klinischen Daten; außerdem Margenwirkung durch nucresiran‑Transition und gewährte Royalties (durchschnittlich high‑20s % genannt).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Bewertung: Präsentation stärkt das Wachstumsszenario: kurzfristig starkes AMVUTTRA‑Momentum und ausgeweitete 2026‑Guidance, mittelfristig erheblicher Upside durch nucresiran und Pipeline‑Erfolge. Hauptrisiken sind klinische Readouts, internationale Preisbildung und Wettbewerb/generische Tafamidis‑Einflüsse; Erfolg bleibt execution‑abhängig.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Jefferies London Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Hi, everyone. My name is Maurice Raycroft, and I'm one of the Biotech Analysts at Jefferies. It's with great pleasure that I'd like to welcome the Alnylam management team. We've got Yvonne Greenstreet, the CEO; and Tolga Tanguler, the Chief Commercial Officer. Thanks so much for joining us today. And maybe to start off, it's been an exciting launch for you guys in the cardiomyopathy space. Maybe for those who are new to the story, if you can give a brief intro to Alnylam and talk about the launch so far.
Yes. I delighted to and really pleased to be here at Jefferies. I think it's becoming kind of an incredibly important meeting on the calendar. So delighted to be here. So, Alnylam, the leading RNAi company based on Nobel Prize-winning science, and we have been able really to build an extraordinary company over the last couple of decades, with respect to bringing forward 6 marketed products in a fairly short clip and build a very exciting clinical pipeline of over 20 programs and then all underpinned by what we believe is a very productive innovation engine that's going to continue to deliver new medicines actually for decades to come. And as we think about the company going forward, there are really 3 areas that we are absolutely focused on.
The first is achieving TTR leadership. We'll talk about it more, but we've had a terrific start to the AMVUTTRA cardiomyopathy launch, and that really is just the beginning. We believe that we'll be able to achieve leadership with respect to TTR over the coming years by bringing forward a medicine AMVUTTRA that we believe has the potential to be standard of care and then following that up with the next-generation program, which is called Nucresiran, which really provides us durability for this TTR franchise out until the 2040. So really establishing a leadership position in TTR, point number one.
Point number two is the opportunity that we have to grow through innovation. Built off the pipeline that we currently have, which has, we believe, the potential for 3 or 4 blockbuster transformative medicines that we're moving forward as expeditiously as possible to patients and an outsized probability of success from our R&D engine.
And the third aspect that we've been focused on has been around our financial performance, growing revenues, but also building a pathway to becoming profitable as a company through really disciplined capital allocation, carefully prioritizing our pipeline and making sure that we're building a company that has all the foundations to continue to grow for decades to come.
Got it. That's a great intro. And 5 years ago, you set up the P5x25 goal and have achieved that as envisioned. What comes next for Alnylam over the next 5 years? And what are your top priorities?
I just want to say a few things about the P5x25 goals because setting goals has been an incredibly important part of Alnylam and who we are. Every 5 years, we really focus on what we believe that the company could achieve for the subsequent 5 years. And we've done this for 3 times now. And each time we've either met or exceeded the very audacious goals that we set for ourselves.
And the reason why we do this, it's really important is actually it aligns the whole company, it focuses the whole company. It gives us a very clear pathway to what we're trying to do together. And I think by going out there and committing that to investors, I think also just strengthens the commitment that we have to achieving these goals.
So pleased to say we really are on the cusp of delivering what we call the P5x25 goals, which refer to number of patients on RNAi therapeutics, the number of products that we have on the market, the size of our pipeline, our revenue performance and importantly, a commitment to achieving sustainable non-GAAP profitability within the period. And we really are literally on the cusp of being able to declare victory. So I couldn't be more excited about what we've been able to achieve together over the last 5 years.
And it's now time to start to think about what might be around the corner. So I'm not going to say too much on that at this point in time, but we will commit to being able to deliver an exciting set of objectives for the company that will serve the needs of patients across a range of diseases, but we will also commit to value creation for investors. So we're very excited about what's to come. And I just want to finish by saying, in my mind, that's actually one of the most exciting things about Alnylam.
Yes, we've had an incredible trajectory over the last couple of years, but we really are in the very early innings of what RNAi therapeutics can deliver to patients. And as I look forward to the future, really the best is yet to come.
Got it. It makes sense. And for those goals, we'll probably learn more at the beginning of next year. Is that fair to...
Yes, we will probably have something to declare, and I hope you'll stay tuned for that.
Understood. Okay. So let's dive into AMVUTTRA, in our ATTR cardiomyopathy. It's off to a great start. Are you providing any more granularity on how many patients are currently on therapy? And how sustainable is this U.S. ramp up?
So we're not really speaking to specific patient numbers at this point, but I will say the launch has gotten off to a terrific start. What we said as we were preparing for the launch that a very important first step was to unlock the opportunity for AMVUTTRA to be available in the 170 health care systems that account for about 80% of prescriptions for patients with TTR amyloidosis with cardiomyopathy. And in the first quarter of launch, that was Q2 this year, we actually more or less achieved that and achieve that more rapidly, we unlock that opportunity more rapidly than we had believed possible.
And essentially, that allowed us to raise guidance kind of at Q2 because essentially we brought forward the revenues for the subsequent part of the year. So that was a really good start to the launch. And in the last quarter, we are really pleased to have actually doubled patient volume demand. And I think that's a substantial achievement that we're very proud of, thanks to the very good work that Tolga and his team are doing. And we've been able to grow the business, therefore, not just expanding the number of health care systems that we work with, but actually deepening the opportunity for patients to be prescribed AMVUTTRA in these health care systems. And I think that speaks to a couple of things.
I think, one, it speaks to the strength of the profile that we have developed for AMVUTTRA with HELIOS B. I think it also speaks to the fact that we haven't really had any access barriers to patients receiving AMVUTTRA. Patient affordability is good with a large number of patients having 0 out-of-pocket costs. So we really have set up, I think, a tremendous foundation for the AMVUTTRA launch. And really, I think what we're seeing is just continued momentum with broad and balanced utilization prescriptions coming from both academic centers, community centers, physicians that have prescribed AMVUTTRA historically, but also physicians that are prescribing for the first time. So I think really good signals as we think about building this durable TTR business over the subsequent years.
Tolga, anything else you want to add?
No. I mean the only point -- really nicely covered. Look, I mean, if you take a quick step back, the fundamentals are all there, right? If you think about it, this is a devastating disease. It's very fast progressing. So doctors really want to do something about it. And if you lose the cardiac function, you never take it back. So there is a sense of urgency in treatment. And yet, it's still underdiagnosed. So when you look at the category growth, the category growth is really accelerating as soon as newcomers come into play.
And last but not least is exactly what you alluded to, it's execution. In execution, we looked at how we want to be able to make sure that the access is there. And remember, this is a category where we like to call, we had a running start. We've obviously had a good track record on Polyneuropathy. We understood the category, but we had to expand and we had to approach it differently. That's where the whole access to these centers was very important. And that's, I think, was one of the reasons why we've done so well in our first launch quarter. But in the second quarter, as Yvonne indicated, the what I see is a very healthy uptake. So this balanced and broad patient uptake suggests to us that this kind of growth is very sustainable.
Got it.
And obviously, this allowed us to increase guidance again after Q3, which we were pleased to be able to do. And I think, again, underscores the momentum that we believe we have around this launch.
Got it. Okay. All helpful. And for the types of patients you're getting on therapy, maybe talk about the naive patients that are going on drug versus second-line patient, progressors and how that could evolve over time?
No, look, I think what we're really pleased about actually and Tolga touched on this, is a broad and balanced utilization across all patient segments. I mean, our focus from the very beginning was to make sure that we're able to establish AMVUTTRA as a first-line therapy for patients because we believe as a progressive and devastating disease, it's really important to start to have -- physicians have the opportunity to start AMVUTTRA in patients as first line. And given the very strong data from HELIOS-B, we have a profile that we think is resonating physicians. And we're certainly earning a very healthy share of the first-line opportunity.
And we also have another source of growth, which is the second-line opportunity. So, patients that are progressing on stabilizers that need an alternative therapy. And I think it makes perfect sense to us that in that scenario, and it's about 50% of patients that progress despite treatment with available therapies that many physicians, most physicians are probably going to reach for AMVUTTRA as an orthogonal mechanism of action to provide benefits to those patients as second-line.
So really pleased with our position across both first-line and second-line. And our focus remains making sure that physicians understand the benefits. So what we find is that more physicians understand the details of HELIOS-B study, which is a very rich study, the more compelled they are to prescribe AMVUTTRA first-line. So we couldn't be more pleased with the mix of business that we're getting.
Got it. And for the types of patients, are you getting information from the real-world launch, I guess, on a regular basis, informing you about these frontline versus second-line and then also mixed patients as well.
Do you want to speak to that?
Yes. I mean Look, first of all, as Yvonne indicated, when I look at the first-line patients after a short 6-month period, we're already inching ahead as the second most preferred option. And as Yvonne indicated, given that our orthogonal mechanism of action, we're clearly the right address in terms of second line. We're really not even competing there. We're getting the lion's share. When you look at the type of patients we have, and that's also, again, very encouraging. You're getting some early patients. You're getting patients that are maybe diagnosed in the later stages of their disease. When I look at the community centers, we're getting a lot of those. There was a lot of debate whether those patients will actually have the sort of the Part B patients that are they going to be able to come in, outside of the centers of excellence. We're absolutely seeing that.
So that's why I think we keep referring back to broad and balance because that's how you want to be able to sustain the level of growth. We're not actually seeing a one specific type of patient or one specific type of doctor that are preferring our drug over others. We're seeing this nice rise of broad range of patients coming into treatment.
And one of the questions we get more is like are we seeing much in the way of combination use. And I think we're seeing a little combination use. But I think as we said over a year ago that probably the combination opportunity would not really truly open up until their generic stabilizers available just given the cost of administering 2 medicines at the same time. And we feel really well positioned for that in the future because with the HELIOS-B data, demonstrated additive efficacy on top of tafamidis. And so when tafamidis goes off patent, which we believe is going to be in the 2028 time frame, we do believe that the obvious kind of combination is going to be with a generic TAF and with AMVUTTRA. So we're well situated for that scenario as and when it arises.
Got it. you think that could get pulled forward a little bit, the combo use just with what you're seeing...
We're seeing a little modest, I'd say, modest combo use, modest combo use.
Got it. And maybe jumping ahead a little bit, but the AstraZeneca, Ionis study that's reading out second half of next year, what could potential impact of that study be if they show stat benefit on top of stabilizers?
I mean, look, that's a good study, and I'm glad there's more data that's going to be generated on this. As Yvonne alluded to, if you look at the HELIOS-B data, you have already have background, starting 40% in the baseline and over 50% in the -- at the end of the trial that already demonstrated that stabilizers were leaving efficacy on the table. And when we communicate this and discuss this data set with the physicians, they actually appreciate this and they understand that this is more or less of a class effect. Now I think what we see is given that their size and our HELIOS-B trial was never really powered to actually demonstrate a significance of p-value. So what we anticipate coming out of the eplontersen study is probably you're going to see a little more tighter results in terms of the confidence interval. But at the end of the day, magnitude effect, there's no reason why we should see any real differentiator. And that's actually what the KOL community also sees.
And if you look at sort of how we've been actually competing in our polyneuropathy One could argue that, look, I mean, we have maintained 70% of new patient share and the category continues to grow. So I think given that the diagnosis rates continue to grow, I think this is going to be a good addition in terms of the armamentarium for the physicians to have another option, but we believe we're going to be able to maintain our leadership, which obviously we've had 18 to 24 months head start in terms of CM data.
I think that head start is really important. I think there are also some aspects of differentiation, which we believe that patients -- physicians will understand over time in terms of kind of rapid the regimen, AMVUTTRA given quarterly, et cetera. So we think that we'll be able to maintain this momentum. And importantly, in a rapidly growing kind of category, where it's probably more about voices, more voices coming to the table to educate physicians in order that patients can be able to be diagnosed more quickly and more often.
And I think one of the things we're trying to also make sure we're establishing the differentiation is by generating a lot of real-world evidence. So you've seen at AHA, we've had some really exciting data that we generated that actually shows signals of reversal. We have shown a GI data, which we thought actually was helpful, but we saw incredible traction with the physicians, how excited they were because essentially it impacts quality of life. So a lot of this data that we're generating through outcomes is going to be really important as we continue to differentiate the product.
Got it. And you mentioned under diagnosis earlier in a lot of rare disease type situations, companies talk about underdiagnosis, but I think it's a major issue here that doctors are focused on trying to -- and I guess, where do you see some of the improvements in diagnosis rates going and some inflection points?
So I think it's a really important question because we know that the sooner patients are diagnosed and they get treated, the better outcomes they have. So clearly, it's very important for patients that diagnosis rates continue to increase. I mean, as we think about this market, what we've said historically is that there are probably about 300,000 patients around the world with TTR with cardiomyopathy, probably about 150,000 in the U.S., but only 20% of those patients are diagnosed. We do see real opportunity though for continued acceleration of diagnosis, given it's become so much easier for physicians to diagnose this disease with the ready availability of scintigraphy at low cost.
We see diagnosis just continue to grow over time. So I think this is a market that we don't think is a flash in the pan that's going to grow for kind of 1 or 2 years and then peter out. We really see this as an opportunity to be able to continue to educate physicians, get more and more patients diagnosed and more and more patients treated. So this is a market that's going to grow for years to come. That's why actually our second-generation opportunity is so important. Maybe we'll come back to that later.
Yes. Yes. We will -- maybe just one other question just about the academic centers being familiar with the buy-and-bill strategy and community centers, maybe less so. Maybe just talk about the rollout there and...
Yes. No. I mean, I think, again, this is one of the sort of exciting insights that we were able to capture, especially in the second quarter of the launch. We're actually getting great traction in community centers. It's -- more than half our business is coming from those community centers because they are well equipped, frankly, to be able to do buy-and-bill. And they are seeing -- even their satellite centers of these academic centers are embracing this. So we really have not seen any challenges.
Now in those centers that they may not have the buy-and-bill capability, we actually establish what we call these alternative side of care. Essentially, these are infusion centers across the United States. We've had contracted over 2,000 of them, which essentially puts about 90% of our patient population within 10 miles of distance so that they can have access to. And we've actually gained great success through that.
Got it. Okay. And also briefly, I just wanted to ask on EU reimbursement. I'm wondering just what the status update is there on pricing, even though you've already got established network for polyneuropathy.
Yes. I mean, look, we've established ourselves quite well in Europe with -- we were -- just to remind everyone, we were -- we have been competing with tafamidis in polyneuropathy, and we had upwards of 90% market share in that particular indication. Obviously, with the new indication, it opens up a new round of negotiations -- and Germany is a soft launch where we're still negotiating our final pricing, and we would see the uptake after that negotiations are concluded. Now in Japan, we actually have already concluded that negotiation. And when I look at the -- some of the analogs, it's actually one of the best launches in the Japan market in this type of category where you see a rare specialty category. So uptake is already happening. And the rest of Europe and Germany, you would see more of a mid- to late '26 story, and we'll obviously update that accordingly.
Do you see what the price is in Japan?
No. But obviously, we've been able to -- look, a lot of considerations taken into account, including the larger volume of CM, that's going to -- this whole volume price dynamic, we have to watch out for that. So you're probably not going to see a direct impact of the ex U.S. markets contribution to our markets rapidly, but we actually don't anticipate a significant slowdown because we think we can manage the volume accordingly, when we are managing the price.
Got it. Okay. And let's talk about Nucresiran.
That's really exciting.
Next-gen drug. You're in 2 Phase III studies. Maybe provide a status update on that.
I mean we couldn't be more excited about the opportunity that Nucresiran is going to provide to patients. Think about a medicine like AMVUTTRA, which has got a terrific profile. You get TTR knockdown of around about 85%. With Nucresiran, we're looking at kind of upwards of 95%. And we feel that increased knockdown actually has benefits to patients that will probably play through into improved outcomes for patients. We've seen that in our polyneuropathy studies. We've seen that in other amyloidotic conditions.
So the hypothesis here is that with this better knockdown, okay, we're going to achieve better outcomes, and it's going to be in a regimen that's not 4 times a year, but it's twice a year. And it's also going to be free of the royalties due to Sanofi Genzyme. So we think there's a lot of reasons to be excited for Nucresiran from a patient perspective, but also from a corporate profile perspective over time. We're delighted that we've kicked those studies off. So we've got 2 studies, one is called TRITON cardiomyopathy. That's an outcome study because we really believe that if we're going to bring the next generation of opportunity to patients that we need to deliver outcomes, that obviously takes a little bit of time. It's an event-driven study, in about 11,000 patients. So it's a large -- sorry, 1,200 sorry. So it's a large study.
It's about twice the size of HELIOS-B, but we'll be able to come to market with a compelling profile. We're thinking roughly in the 2030 time frame. Enrollment is going very well because obviously, we have a really strong track record in executing on TTR studies. So that's TRITON-CM. And then we've also imminently kicking off TRITON-PN, which is our polyneuropathy study, and that's got a creative study design, really borrowing from the learnings of study that we earlier did with HELIOS-A and this is a fast-to-market strategy where we're looking at a much smaller study and being able to bring this to patients in the 2028 time frame. So both those 2 studies, we're really excited about them and moving forward as we can.
Yes. Okay. And we haven't talked a lot about the rest of your pipeline, which you've got a lot going on there. Maybe a couple of quick questions for Huntington's disease. There's a lot of interest there. Maybe just provide a status update on what time lines could look like.
Yes. So if I think about our kind of clinical pipeline, I mean, just to say that we've got what we believe are a number of blockbuster opportunities that will bring transformative medicines to patients. We've got Zilebesiran for hypertension. We've got a raft of CNS programs, Mivelsiran for cerebral amyloid angiopathy and Alzheimer's and then a very interesting program that if you have time, it's worth taking a look at, which is ALN-6400, which we are positioning as a universal hemostatic agent with really strong genetics behind it and could actually be a pipeline and a product, if you like, if we think about the numbers of bleeding disorders that we could go after.
But really to come back to Huntington's, we couldn't be more excited because this is a devastating condition. It's -- the unmet needs probably surpass kind of many other diseases that we can imagine. And we have in our hands what we believe is a program that could really impact the course of -- for these patients. It's got a mechanism that knocks down the full-length Huntington protein, but also the exon 1 fragment. We think that's differentiating. We've been able to deliver deep and broad distribution in the brain.
And importantly, the safety and tolerability is encouraging thus far with what we've seen with our C16 platform. And it's likely to be administered just a couple of times a year intrathecally. So we kicked off the Phase I study, and we're really looking forward to be able to bring that forward as quickly as we can.
Got it. We're excited to see data from that. So we're out of time. Maybe in closing, if you -- we're going to get your goals probably beginning of next year, our guess, but maybe highlight the key catalysts ahead investors should be focused on.
Yes, we've talked about Huntington's. I think that's something that you should actually really be focused on watching the program, the progress there. We'll be updating data from our Alzheimer study in due course. But really, I mean, the message that I want to leave this audience with is that we have rapidly growing AMVUTTRA revenues, which requires us with the opportunity to continue to invest in this very rich and high-yielding clinical pipeline as well as continue to move forward INDs on an ongoing basis as we access all the major tissues in terms of delivery of our siRNA. So a really exciting kind of year ahead, and you'll hear more about it as we get into '26.
Sounds good. Thanks, Yvonne. Thanks, Tolga. Thank you for joining us.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Jefferies London Healthcare Conference 2025
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Jefferies London Healthcare Conference 2025
📊 Kernbotschaft
- Kurzfassung: Alnylam stellt den starken AMVUTTRA‑Launch in der ATTR‑Kardiomyopathie in den Vordergrund: schneller Zugang in ca. 170 Gesundheitssystemen und eine Verdoppelung der Patientennachfrage im zweiten Quartal. Parallel treibt die Firma Next‑Gen‑Programme (Nucresiran) und ein breites CNS/ vaskuläres Portfolio voran, mit Fokus auf nachhaltige Non‑GAAP‑Profitabilität (P5x25).
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- TTR‑Leadership: Aufbau einer dauerhaften TTR‑Franchise: AMVUTTRA als derzeitiges Wachstumsvehikel, Nucresiran (höhere TTR‑Knockdown‑Rate, ca. 95%) als langlebige Second‑Generation‑Option.
- Launch‑Execution: Schnelle Marktverbreitung durch Kombination aus Buy‑and‑Bill in Akademie/Community und >2.000 kontrahierten Infusionszentren; breite Erst‑ und Zweitliniennutzung.
- Kapitaldisziplin: Priorisierung von Pipelinekandidaten, Ziel nachhaltiger Profitabilität und Fokussierung auf mehrere potenzielle Blockbuster (Huntington’s, Zilebesiran, ALN‑6400).
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Launch‑Dynamik: Zugangsbasis (~170 Systeme) schneller als erwartet erreicht; Management nennt eine Verdoppelung der Nachfrage und hat Guidance nach Q2/Q3 angehoben (konkrete Zahlen im Call nicht genannt).
- Programme & Timelines: TRITON‑CM (outcome‑getrieben) läuft, Marktstart Nucresiran ~2030 erwartet; TRITON‑PN zielt auf schnellere Zulassung, potenziell 2028.
- Ex‑US‑Status: Japan: Preisverhandlung abgeschlossen, gute Einführung; breiteres Europa‑Upside eher mittelfristig (mid‑/late‑2026 laut Management).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Patientenmix: Fokus auf Erst‑ und Zweitlinien: Management berichtet von „breiter und ausgewogener“ Nutzung, konkrete Patientenzahlen wurden nicht offengelegt.
- Konkurrenz & Differenz: Frage zu Konkurrenzstudie (eplontersen von AZ/Ionis): Management erwartet ähnliche Effektgröße, betont Head‑start und Differenzierungsmerkmale (Dosisregime, Real‑World‑Daten).
- Kombinationen & Generika: Moderates Kombinationsaufkommen; Management sieht echtes Kombi‑Potenzial erst nach Tafamidis‑Generikenszenario (erwartet ~2028).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starker Launch reduziert Ausführungsrisiken und liefert near‑term Umsatzdynamik; Nucresiran bietet signifikanten langfristigen Upside. Wichtige Investoren‑Katalysatoren: anhaltende AMVUTTRA‑Uptake, EU‑Preisverhandlungen, TRITON‑Studien (PN & CM) und weitere Real‑World‑Daten. Wettbewerb bleibt relevant, erscheint aber derzeit beherrschbar.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — UBS Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
All right. Good day, everybody. My name is Ash Verma, I cover SMID-cap biotech and spec pharma here at UBS, and welcome to UBS Healthcare Conference. And next company, really excited to present Alnylam Pharmaceuticals. And I have Jeff Poulton, who is the CFO; and John Vest, who is the Senior Vice President of Clinical Research. Thank you, guys, for joining us.
Nice to be here.
Yes. So a lot of excitement around the story. It's been one of the best performers on XBI in the last 2 or 3 years. Maybe if you can just give me a little bit of a sense on key highlights coming out of third quarter earnings, and then we can get into more.
Yes, there's obviously still a lot of focus right now on the cardiomyopathy launch in the U.S. We got approval right at the end of the first quarter. So we've now got 2 quarters under our belt. In Q2, we did $150 million in CM revenue in the second quarter, raised guidance on our second quarter earnings call and then doubled that in Q3. So we think we did $300 million in CM revenue in the third quarter and also upgraded the guidance a second time for the full year, driven by the TTR business. So we raised guidance at the midpoint by $275 million. And so really pleased with the early momentum that we're generating in that business. And I know you're going to have other questions about that. But that's been the focus, I think, for the company this year in terms of what investors have really focused their questions on.
Yes. Got it. Okay. So just maybe like big picture, I mean, you have been providing these 5-year goals, right? So in 2025, if you can like give us an update on where we are.
Yes. It's -- this is something that I think that's unique for Alnylam, and this has gone on for 15 years now. So the current set of 5-year goals that ends at the end of this year is the third iteration. And it's really been something that company has done to put bold goals out into the public marketplace that then really focus the organization to really drive performance and be very accountable for the goals that we put out. When the company has done this again, 3 times now, we've achieved the goals that we've set out every time. So that's kind of how we think about this when we put these goals out.
The P5x25 set of goals was really about establishing Alnylam over this period as a leading biotech company. And I think based on where we are now almost at the end of '25, we've achieved that. There were 5 goals: patients, 500,000 patients on an RNAi therapeutic; products, 6 commercial products that have come out of our research laboratories in the market; pipeline, 20 clinical programs. And then 2 financial goals, one around top line growth across the period. The goal was for a 40% CAGR across that 5-year period. Based on the guidance that we've given from -- for this year, we'll well exceed that goal. And then the last one was around profitability that we had guided to get to non-GAAP profitability within that 5-year window. And based on the guidance we've given this year, we're going to achieve that as well. So I think we feel very good about the performance against those 5-year goals.
Next question is, will we do it again? And I do think that we will at JPMorgan roll out a new set of goals that we'll be looking out to 2030.
And like for 2030 goals, like is the focus going to be revenue, margin or EPS? Like how does that start?
Yes. I don't want to steal the Evan's thunder. That's obviously something that she'll do at JPM. But I think the sort of the general areas that those goals will focus on are not going to come as a surprise to people. I think one will likely focus around TTR leadership and how do we define that across the 5-year period. We'll look at the pipeline in terms of progressing the pipeline to generate confidence that there's growth beyond TTR. So how would we think about that across the next 5 years? And then lastly, what you're asking about is how will the financial profile of the company evolve over that time period, likely both sort of top line as well as what would the margin profile look like? Those would all likely be things that we'll be talking about at JPMorgan.
Got it. Got it. Yes. I know you mentioned that like you always think about kind of putting ambitious goals out there, right? And 2030 consensus for the Street, actually, like I was just looking at it before getting on here, it's pretty decent place to begin with already with the $10.5 billion in revenue and a pretty substantial margin profile. Like I mean, maybe if you can -- to the extent that you can comment on that and just like qualitatively, what are the elements that you have to achieve that?
I mean I think that's what the goals will focus on in terms of expectations across the period, right? Again, from a financial perspective, I think we'll be talking about top line expectations as well as how the margin profile will emerge as we've now just become profitable and kind of how profitable, how fast will the company become? I think that's what will want to guide people on.
Great. So yes, in terms of the dynamics for the launch then, so can you give us a sense of like what are the drivers behind this acceleration?
I think the thing that went better and faster than we expected, and this was really what we talked about for the second quarter call was around access. So this is a buy-and-bill drug. So there were a couple of things that we were really focused on as we got the approval and launched the drug on the provider side, so those that are actually purchasing the product, administering it and then getting reimbursed for it. There's about 170 health systems. So think of these are networks of hospitals where the vast majority of these CM patients are being treated. We had to get the drug on formulary at these health systems to enable those health systems to start ordering the drug. And we, generally speaking, completed almost a vast majority of that in Q2 and now completely done in Q3. That went faster than we had anticipated. We had been talking about the revenue trajectory as being a second half of the year story before we launched. So that was one very early unlock that enabled faster revenue trajectory.
And then the second component of access is around the payer side. And what you have to do is work with the payers to get policies in place to enable access to the drug. And we've done that very effectively as well. So for the most part, we've got first-line access to the drug. We're not seeing a lot of step edits where you have to go through another product to get access to AMVUTTRA. It's a heavy Medicare population. It's about 80% Medicare split evenly between fee-for-service and Medicare Advantage. And then a smaller part of the market is commercial. But from a payer standpoint, we're really pleased with that first-line access for the product because that's really how we're positioning the product as a first-line product. It's a progressive fatal disease. Physicians have choices to make in terms of what product do I put the patient on first. And given the nature of the disease, we're making the case to physicians that this should be the product that you reach for first. And again, from an access perspective, they have the ability to get the patients on it as a first-line choice.
All right. So there, like just like you said, like second quarter in the launch, like where is most of the focus coming from the patients? Like is it first line as you're seeing? Or is it -- what's the mix like?
Yes. I mean, right out of the gate in the second quarter, there was a larger portion of the initial kind of prescriptions or start forms that were coming through in the U.S. that were second line. So there probably was a little bit of waiting for the product to be approved where maybe patients weren't doing well on the existing therapies where there was a pretty quick sort of switch to AMVUTTRA. But over the course of the second quarter, that first-line versus second-line source of business really balanced out and then that continued through the third quarter. So we're really seeing growth and equal growth, I would say, in terms of sources of business from both first line and second line. And I do think that positions us uniquely among the 3 products that are in the market that we've got a good source of both first-line growth as well as second line growth. So that's what we really have seen now for 2 quarters in the U.S. Good balance.
Yes. I know just like early in the launch, there's a lot of different dynamics that can be at play, like one of the things about the combo use for like how much of that are you seeing?
Yes. I mean that's predominantly monotherapy, which is what we have expected just given the cost of putting 2 drugs like this together. There is some combo use, and there's interest in that. But from a payer standpoint, they're going to make that pretty restrictive, I think, until we get to a point where you get a generic product in the market, which right now, I think the expectation is the end of 2028 in the U.S. is when we'll likely see a tafamidis generic. That will likely unlock the opportunity for more combination therapy at that point. We're seeing some of it today, but it's primarily still monotherapy.
Got it. Okay. I think -- so you have the volume growth pretty significant lined ahead of you. And sometimes when these like new market formation, I think there is a tendency that investors are kind of worried about like is there a pricing degradation that can happen going from here? So effectively like what happened with GLP-1s in the last few years, right? So I'm trying to understand like on the TTR side, is that something that is possible? Like where does the gross to net like go in the long run?
Yes. I mean I think what we said when we launched where we -- on the approval call for the cardiomyopathy indication, we talked about leaving list price where it was in the U.S. So no change. But we did anticipate net price gradually coming down over time as we ramp volume for the business. And I think for 2025, what we talked about specifically was we expected a mid-single-digit year-over-year price decline for the TTR business. We're on -- I think we're on track to sort of deliver that.
I mean the volume opportunity is so significant in CM that is price is coming down gradually, which I do think will be the sort of the general direction that this will go. The volume opportunity obviously more than offsets what you're giving up in price. So that's the way we're thinking about it right now. We feel good about '26. I mean most of these payers have kind of got policies locked in for '26 and what I described for '25 in terms of broad first-line access, we anticipate that to be the case for '26 as well.
So it's kind of the continuation of the same trend that we are seeing in '25?
I think that's -- our expectation is gradual reduction in net price over time as the volume in our business continues to ramp up.
Right. And then the other aspect of this, just if you can talk about like the Part B versus Part D dynamic on how that shakes out different.
Look, we've -- I've talked already about the success that we've had on the payer side, right, both on the provider and the payer side. We've unlocked the provider side where we've got the drug on formulary. So these hospital networks have the ability to buy and build a product now. We've talked about on the payer side, the success that we've had in getting policies written that enable first-line access. One of the things I think that's unique that Alnylam does that's enabled some of that on the payer side are value-based agreements that we have in place across all of our products, but we've extended those for cardiomyopathy as we're launching in CM.
And essentially, what that does is that it gives the payers confidence that the patients are going to -- what they're paying for, they're going to get because if the patients stay on the drug, there's no rebate. If the patient starts on the drug and then drops off, discontinues, then rebates kick in. Payers really like that for a rare disease, high-priced product like this that what they're paying for, they're going to get the benefit of because they're worried about the downstream costs if these patients are not staying compliant to the drug. So we're given a commitment from a compliance perspective. And I think that's been part of the story that's enabled the access that we have.
Got it. And then just in terms of the competing dynamics so between the 3 products that you talked about, yes, like where is the -- is it ultimately like expanding the pie? Or where are you taking share?
Yes, I think the expectation is that over time, as you've got more voices in the market that you are going to see accelerating growth. It's probably a little early to say precisely that that's happening, but we do expect that, that will happen. Look, we're very focused on that first line positioning right now, and I think we're competing very effectively there. I think the second line business is going to come for us. But again, both of those right now are sources of growth for the franchise, which is the place that we want to be.
Great. Excellent. So with that, I'll switch over to you, John. Maybe just if you can talk about the next-gen science here and maybe give us an idea like where we are in the development cycle?
Yes, sure. So I mean, look, we're obviously absolutely thrilled with the profile of AMVUTTRA, but you're asking about nucresiran, which is our next generation, and we really think we can take things to the next level with that. Based on the results that we had in our Phase I study with nucresiran, we're highly confident that we'll be able to achieve upwards of 95% TTR reduction compared to we get about 85% with vutrisiran. And we're also anticipating very low interpatient variability, meaning that the vast majority of patients will reach that -- those high levels of knockdown of 90% plus. And this is with a twice annual dosing treatment regimen.
So we're really, really excited about that based on everything that we've seen. We know in the hereditary TTR polyneuropathy space, lower TTR reduction drives better outcomes. And this has also been something that's observed consistently in other forms of amyloidosis like AL amyloidosis, where the deeper you can knock down that pathogenic protein, the better the outcomes are. So it's certainly our hope not only that we'll achieve this profile, achieve more convenient dosing for patients, but we believe that will drive better outcomes. So we're really excited. We've already kicked off our TRITON-CM. So this is an outcome study in ATTR cardiomyopathy. And we are in parallel initiating a study in hereditary TRITON-PN. So as a study in hereditary polyneuropathy, and we're off to a great start. So we're very excited about this.
Yes. Maybe just on TRITON-CM. Yes, great to see that start. Like where are you on the enrollment progression? And like when can we expect the top line for that?
Yes. I can't comment in detail on enrollment, but we're pleased with where we are. We're leveraging our now vast experience in this space in operationalizing these studies around the world. We're capitalizing on that experience, and we're really pleased with where we are. But I can't comment too much on exactly where enrollment is at this point of time. We've guided that we would anticipate launching this in CM in the 2030 time frame and that the hereditary PN is an opportunity for early to market that we can bring that based on that study design. More streamlined approach that we can bring that to market a year or 2 earlier.
One, I mean, one of the benefits of this financially is that there's not a royalty burden on the third-generation product. And so if the product has the profile that John described in terms of better efficacy, better outcomes, combined with the more convenient dosing, we would think that this would be a business that we could switch fairly quickly as we launch into the market. And that from a gross margin and obviously, a bottom line perspective would really allow us to expand, we think, margins fairly quickly for the company. So this is an important one for us.
Yes. Like as these trials are progressing, is there any like competition that you see from the new product launch? Or like are you able to enroll patients in the study irrespective of the...
Yes. That's a fair question. Again, I would point to the experience we have here. We know how to run these studies. We know how to enroll them, and it's a big world. And certainly, we will take that into account in our footprint and where we are and how we roll out that study, but we're really comfortable.
We're targeting 1,200 patients in this study globally, right? We did -- we talked about patient numbers at Q2. We think we put 1,400 CM patients in the second quarter just in the U.S. on therapy. So it's -- the market is big, right? So I do think that we're going to be able to enroll the study without having much of an impact at all on the commercial opportunity that we're seeing.
Yes. Got it. And then just in terms of the design of these studies, if you can talk about that a little bit, like what effectively for CM and PN, what is the construct of the study? And what type of patients are you essentially looking for?
Yes. Let me start with the CM study. That's as Jeff said, that we're targeting about 1,200 patients. This will be placebo-controlled. Importantly, and these are patients with ATTR-CM, so both hereditary and wild type. There will be no restriction on stabilizers in the study. So we would certainly anticipate and we've designed the study with the anticipation that the large majority of the patients will be on background of stabilizers. But we're -- our anticipation here with the global footprint, we'll be able to thoroughly characterize the experience with that drug, both in combination with the stabilizer as well as the monotherapy experience.
It's going to be an event-driven outcome study. So we'll run until we've got the requisite number of events to be highly confident that we'll achieve our primary endpoint. And the way that the dynamic in that space has happened, we'd anticipate that these patients will -- as we saw with HELIOS-B, which was reflective of a contemporary population with disease that's more reflective of what's out there today, patients a little bit milder on lots of background therapy, we'll continue that trajectory in TRITON-CM so that we're able to characterize this in today's patients.
Got it. Okay. And then you also have some data that you reported for zilebesiran. So for that, this KARDIA-3 study, right, just overall, like I wanted to understand like what are the key highlights from that and how the physician feedback has been?
Yes. And I would encourage everybody -- but I'll certainly comment, but I would encourage everybody to go and it's on our website. You can see the cast from the ESC Congress and the KOLs who are luminaries in the hypertension space who presented, there really paint this picture well. We are really excited about this, and we believe that the prescribing physicians out there share this excitement for this to really redefine paradigm of how hypertension is treated. And I'd point to a couple of key things here.
Number one, this addresses the issues around adherence that we see with hypertension. A big, big problem in this space is that patients -- there are effective therapies out there, but patients don't take them with a high pill burden and having to do it every single day. Here, we have a profile where we'll be able with the twice annual subcutaneous injection to have tonic control of blood pressure, which is point two, that with currently available therapies, there's more variation both throughout the day, diurnal variation and over time as well, we're able here to have clamped control of blood pressure over time.
And then just what we see in the population that we'll be looking at in the ZENITH study, which is our outcome study, we've kicked off patients who are on a background of at least 2 antihypertensive medications, including a diuretic, we're seeing 8 to 10 millimeters of blood pressure reduction, which is certainly 5 millimeters or greater is very clearly associated with the benefits and outcomes that we're looking at. So collectively, we really think we have an opportunity here to not just impact the patients with this disease, but to completely redefine the way people think about treating it.
Got it. Maybe just like coming back to you, Jeff, I think for the next 5 years, there's 2 different dynamics at play, right? So hopefully, you get the next gen in the market by 2030, let's say, and then you also have the tafamidis IP going away. So in terms of like what you see the impact of that on AMVUTTRA from like a revenue standpoint and when do you start to sort of convert the patient? So you have a few different dynamics here. Like maybe if you can talk about like how do you think that will play on?
Look, I think we're confident in the durability of the TTR franchise that we've got to be able to sort of grow through that period when taf would go generic. I do think that at that point that the market will likely start to pivot more towards a combination market. I think we've got some really interesting data actually in the combination setting, which John can probably speak to from HELIOS-B that does show up in our label. And so I do think that would be supportive of using the product that way at the point in time where the payers will allow more of that. And John also described for the third-generation product that the design of that study is largely going to be on top of a stabilizer. And that will be a much larger study than HELIOS-B and likely will allow us to have a specific claim associated with that. So I think we're well positioned to grow through that period given the profile of the product that we've got that would support using it in combination with a stabilizer.
Great. Yes. A couple of other pipeline questions. And before that, I'll just ask for the audience in the room, if you have any questions, feel free to send them or through the QR code, and we can take them over. But just some of the early stage pipeline. So mivelsiran, so this is just kind of the status on the Alzheimer's and CAA, like where are we on that? And what's the next step?
Yes. So mivelsiran, which targets amyloid precursor protein, really exciting program, which is currently in the clinic for both Alzheimer's disease as well as CAA, cerebral amyloid angiopathy which is a leading cause of hemorrhagic stroke. And we released data from our Alzheimer's disease program earlier this summer, multi-dose data, very encouraged with what we're seeing both in terms of target engagement and the pharmacodynamic profile, where with twice annual -- every 6-month dosing, we're seeing profound and sustained impact on the target protein and very importantly, also encouraged with the safety profile of the drug. So that's -- we're moving on there. I don't know that we can comment on when we will release data from that next.
But then I think also just to highlight that we're also in the cerebral amyloid angiopathy, and this is a real blue ocean scenario. There's really nothing to offer these patients. And again, it's a devastating cause of hemorrhagic stroke, and we're really excited about that opportunity as well. We have what we think is a differentiated approach and profile here. APP is genetically validated as being important -- fundamental importance in both of these diseases. With our approach, we're able to knock down both intracellular and extracellular components of this protein, which is differentiated from, say, antibody approaches to treating Alzheimer's disease where you can only get at the extracellular protein. So we'll update as U.S. results become available, but really excited about the progress we're making here.
A tough area with a lot of room for innovation there. So exciting opportunity. And then I know like the HTT02 in Huntington disease, so that's another one. So yes, if you can talk about like what's the differentiation that you're trying to draw from that and where we are?
Yes. Again, as with the APP programs, this HTT is just -- there is hard to think of a disease with a more devastating consequence and greater unmet need than Huntington's. And we have what we believe, again, is a really differentiated approach. Our exon 1 targeting strategy, we're knocking down not only the full-length Huntington's protein, but also a shorter segment HTT1a variant of the protein. And it's -- we believe it's a hypothesis that targeting both of these is going to be fundamental to unlocking the full potential of the drug. We're in the clinic. And I guess I would -- I probably can't comment specifically on when we'll update. We have at some point next year at a scientific congress we'll update on the results of that Phase I study. .
I think in terms of differentiating, maybe just to point to a couple of other things, though. We are able to broadly penetrate all regions of the brain as opposed to some of the other -- I suppose the uniQure's frequently a question we get that's targeted to a very specific region of the brain. So we believe that we're going to be able to both widely target different areas of the brain and also based on what we've seen in clinic so far, optimistic that we'll be able to push knockdown of the drug. Some other competitor programs have run into platform toxicities as they've tried to get to deeper levels of their pharmacodynamic effect. So we think we can really push and test this therapeutic hypothesis with this compound. We're very optimistic.
Got it. Yes. I mean you do have a bunch of different early phase trials going on, right? Like I mean, outside of the ones that we talked about, like which ones do you think you're most excited about?
One thing I would highlight is ALN-6400. This is -- we're targeting plasminogen that we believe has the potential to be a universal hemostatic agent. So we talk about this as the potential for a pipeline and a product. We've disclosed that we'll be starting by the end of this year. We've disclosed our first or initial disease, HHT or hereditary hemorrhagic telangiectasia, which, again, is a devastating disease with a very large unmet need. But based on our preclinical data, what we've seen in the clinic to date, we're optimistic that this concept could be applied across a wide range of bleeding disorders with the potential to achieve hemostasis without increasing risk of thrombosis, which is the -- that's sort of the holy grail in treatment of bleeding disorders. So that's one.
And then also just to speak about we had highlighted, I believe, at our last R&D Day, our ambition that we would be in every major tissue by the year 2030, and we're well on our way to first of 2 new tissues adipose with ACVR1 as well as our muscle programs. We haven't disclosed the targets or indications there, but we're well on our way in getting into the clinic in both of those new tissues within the next few months. So we're very excited about that. More to follow on the muscle program and other tissues over time.
Good stuff. Great. So any closing remarks, Jeff, from you?
I think you wrap it up. You've covered the sort of the key focus areas, and we look forward to laying out that kind of the 2030 equity story at JPMorgan.
Great. Excellent. Thank you guys for this. And yes, very excited for your future and looking forward to keeping in touch.
Thank you.
Thank you.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — UBS Global Healthcare Conference 2025
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — UBS Global Healthcare Conference 2025
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: Schneller US‑Launch von AMVUTTRA (ATTR‑CM): Q2 Umsatz $150M, Q3 $300M; Guidance‑Mittelpunkt 2025 um $275M erhöht. Formulare in ~170 Health‑Systems und breite Erstlinien‑Erstattung (≈80% Medicare) treiben Volumen; Netto‑Preis 2025 mid‑single‑digit Rückgang erwartet.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Launch‑Execution: Fokus auf Provider‑Formulare und wertbasierte Vereinbarungen (Rebates bei Abbrüchen) zur schnellen Zugangsöffnung.
- Next‑Gen: Nucresiran (3. Gen) zielt auf ~95% TTR‑Reduktion bei halbjährlicher Dosierung; TRITON‑CM als ereignisgesteuerte Studie, Ziel ~1.200 Patienten.
- Breite Pipeline: Zilebesiran (Hypertonie), mivelsiran (APP: Alzheimer/CAA), HTT02 (Huntington) und ALN‑6400 (Plasminogen, HHT startend) erweitern Indikationsprofil.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Finanz‑Update: Konkrete Launch‑Zahlen Q2/Q3 und Guidanceanhebung sind neue, belastbare Verkaufssignale seit dem letzten Earnings‑Call.
- Produktprofil 3. Gen: Nucresiran‑Daten versprechen deutlich tiefere TTR‑Senken und einfache Dosierung; Management erwartet CM‑Launch ~2030, PN früher.
- Frühphasen‑Fortschritt: ALN‑6400 Klinikstart bis Jahresende angekündigt; neue Gewebe (Adipo‑, Muskel) vor Klinikstart.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Alnylam liefert bei AMVUTTRA starkes kommerzielles Momentum; Volumenwachstum kompensiert moderaten Netto‑Preisdruck. Third‑gen‑Assets und breite R&D‑Pipeline stützen mittelfristiges Wachstum und Margen, bleiben aber abhängig von Studien‑ und Zulassungsergebnissen sowie Wettbewerbs‑/Preisrisiken.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Alnylam Pharmaceuticals 3Q 2025 Earnings Conference Call.
[Operator Instructions]
Also note that this call is being recorded on Thursday, October 30, 2025. And now I would like to turn the conference over to management. Please go ahead.
I'm Christine Akinc, Chief Corporate Communications Officer at Alnylam. Good morning ladies and gentlemen and welcome the commercial Officer. Pushkal Garg, Chief Research and Development Officer; and Jeff Poulton, Chief Financial Officer. For those of you participating via conference call, the accompanying slides can be accessed by going to the Events section of the Investors page of our website, investors.alnylam.com/events. During today's call, as outlined on Slide 2, Yvonne will offer some introductory remarks and provide general context. To will provide an update on our global commercial progress. Pushkal will review pipeline updates and clinical progress, and Jeff will review our financials and guidance, followed by a summary of upcoming milestones before we open the call to your questions.
I would like to remind you that this call will contain remarks concerning Alnylam's future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements for the purpose of the safe harbor provision under the Private Securities Ligation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in our most recent periodic report on file with the SEC. In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views only as of the date of this recording and should not be relied upon as representing our views of any subsequent date. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements. With that, I'll turn the call over to Yvonne. Yvonne?
Thanks, Christine, and thank you, everyone, for joining the call today. Alnylam's Q3 results announced this morning demonstrate the exceptional progress we are making across all aspects of the business. As we continue to evolve into a top-tier bisect company, our focus remains on these 3 core pillars that we believe will drive sustainable growth and value creation for years to come. The first is TTR leadership. The AMVUTTRA launch delivered another strong quarter. It's still early, but we're very encouraged by the progress and dedicated to establishing long-term leadership in TTR.
Next is growth to innovation, focused on the potential multibillion-dollar opportunities within our pipeline, and an R&D engine positioned to deliver sustainable innovation and value creation for many years to come. The third element is strong financial performance, with robust top line growth and disciplined capital allocation, providing us with the opportunity to sustain profitability going forward. And of course, all of this is underpinned by a best-in-class team and our award-winning culture. The quarterly results announced this morning represent strong execution on each of these fronts. Our commercial performance was driven by TTR franchise revenues of $724 million or 135% year-over-year growth, with growth largely attributable to the AMVUTTRA CM launch in the U.S., where we achieved total TTR revenues of $543 million, representing 194% year-over-year growth. As Tolga will describe, the broad and balanced uptake in the second full quarter of launch drive an approximate doubling of TTR cardiomyopathy revenue compared to the prior quarter.
In addition to these commercial results, we continue to advance our leading pipeline of RNAi therapeutics. Two new Phase III trials are getting underway. The ZENITH Phase III cardiovascular outcomes trial of zilebesiran in hypertension has initiated and the TRITON PN study of icrisiran in hATTR-PN will be initiating shortly to complement the TRITON CM study that was initiated last quarter. We're also excited by earlier-stage pipeline advancements in bleeding and neurologic disorders. And with regard to financial performance, our third quarter results show continued growth with $851 million in total net product revenues, up 13% year-over-year. As a result, we've again increased our total net product revenue guidance for 2025 and from the range of $2.65 billion to $2.8 billion, to a revised range of $2.95 billion to $3.05 billion representing an increase of $275 million or 10% at the midpoint, underscoring our confidence in the AMVUTTRA TTR CM launch and our other commercial products for the remainder of the year. Now with our Alnylam piece of is by '25 era concluding soon.
We're thrilled by this incredible execution over the past 5 years, reflecting tremendous progress on these ambitious goals. This is indeed a strong foundation on which to build our next phase of significant growth. and we look forward to harnessing this momentum. With that, let me now turn the call over to Tolga for a review of our commercial performance. Tolga?
Thanks, Yvonne, and good morning, everyone. It is a pleasure to show how we're continuing to bring Alnylam's transformative therapies to patients around the world. Following an exceptional Q2 continued on [indiscernible] strong trajectory of growth and execution. We delivered $851 million in combined net product revenues representing 103% growth year-over-year and 27% growth versus the prior quarter. Our TTR franchise remains the primary growth engine. And we're also seeing continued momentum in our rare disease business.
Let me start there. More than 5 years after launch, our rare disease portfolio continues to deliver meaningful impact for patients and steady performance for our business. In Q3, the rare portfolio achieved $127 million in sales, up 14% versus Q3 2024, driven largely by ongoing patient demand. While the timing of orders in our partner markets created some short-term shifts, the overall trajectory remains strong. I'm proud of the focus and dedication of our rare disease and partner teams who continue to reach patients with these 2 transformative medicines globally, even as much of the organization focuses on the TTR growth opportunity. With that, let's review the TTR highlights. Q3 was another exceptional quarter for our TTR franchise, continuing the strong launch trajectory we saw in Q2.
Global TTR net revenues reached [ $72 million, ] up 33% versus the prior quarter and representing 135% growth year-over-year. This performance was primarily driven by an increase in U.S. patient demand with an increase in U.S. channel inventory more than offset by an increase in U.S. gross to net deductions. It is worth noting that the increase in gross to net deductions primarily impacted ONPATTRO, reducing U.S. reported Q-over-Q growth in our hATTR-PN business relative to our recent quarterly run rate. In the U.S., net sales for our TTR franchise grew 42% quarter-over-quarter and 194% versus Q3 2024, reflecting continued robust adoption following the AMVUTTRA-ATTRCM label expansion. Before we provide further color on the U.S. launch, let me quickly share the ex U.S. dynamics. Outside the U.S. revenues grew 13% versus the prior quarter and 46% year-over-year, underscoring continued global momentum. Further, international AMVUTTRA ATTR-CM launches are anticipated across 2026, following the completion of local pricing and reimbursement reviews.
Having said that, we're particularly pleased with the early progress in Japan where the CM launch is advancing well and tracking in line with leading launch analogs, a strong validation of AMVUTTRA's profile and first-line potential. In Germany, launch activities remain in the early stages as final reimbursement decisions continue, and we're encouraged by how the product differentiated profile is resonating at key treatment centers. More broadly, our international performance reflects the continued strength of our hATTR pull neuropathy legacy business, which remains robust despite new competition. Broader engagement in the category is expanding awareness and diagnosis, ultimately, benefiting patients and reinforcing Alnylam's leadership role in shaping the field. Building on our global presence, we're positioned to extend our momentum as AMVUTTRA ATTRCM launches expand worldwide. Now let's turn to the U.S. on AMVUTTRA ATTRCM launch which recently completed its second full quarter and continues to build momentum.
In Q3, our U.S. TTR franchise across both PN and CM indications, delivered $543 million in net product revenues representing an increase of approximately $160 million versus the prior quarter. If we assume steady and consistent growth of $50 million quarter-over-quarter in the pulmonaropathy-based business, then we estimate the CM indication represents approximately $300 million of net product revenues this quarter. or doubled from Q2. This reflects sustained launch momentum in AMVUTTRA ATTRCM with patient demand roughly doubling compared to Q2 and as awareness and physician adoption continue to grow. Our strength is built on 3 key pillars as part of our launch strategy. First, health system setup. It is not complete. Nearly all of our 170 priority health systems are now using AMVUTTRA, driving broad utilization, combined with our extensive treatment site network, roughly 90% of the U.S. patients can receive their AMVUTTRA treatment within 10 miles of [indiscernible] anywhere in the U.S. and meaningful milestone and accessibility.
So again, the health system setup is effectively complete. As such, we plan to no longer report on this launch enabler on future calls. Second, access remains strong. Payer coverage is broad and nearly all patients have access to AMVUTTRA as a first-line treatment option, meaning these patients have no step edits. Of similar importance most patients pay 0 out of pocket. Finally, with health system setup and access and affordability in place, we are focused on treatment choice and the profile of our AMVUTTRA continues to resonate. We're seeing broad and balanced adoption across new diagnosed patients and those progressing on stabilizers in both academic and community settings. Subscriber growth also remains robust. Having reviewed the 3 strategic pillars, we're executing and delivering on them. Patient demand roughly doubled quarter-over-quarter, reflecting strong, sustained momentum for the AMVUTTRA-ATTRCM and U.S. launch.
In summary, it is still early in the journey, but the results to date highlight the substantial long-term opportunity ahead and underscore our strong positioning for leadership in this expanding underserved TTR category. Looking ahead, the majority of ex U.S. launches are expected to begin in 2016 as pricing and reimbursement processes wrap up, extending our global reach and providing a measured contribution to launch momentum. We continue to invest in the TTR category, advancing science, enhancing patient experience, and building a durable foundation. Pushkal and the R&D organization are leading that chapter. With that, I'll hand it over to you. Pushkal?
Thank you, Tolga, and good morning, everyone. In support of AMVUTTRA's strong launch in ATTR-CM, we continue to share new data from the HELIOS-B study that further underscore the unique and compelling profile of this medicine with the aim of cementing AMVUTTRA as the treatment of choice for patients with ATTR cardiomyopathy. To that end, as shown on the left, at ESC, we presented new data from HELIOS PE that demonstrates the sustained benefits of vutrisiran through up to 48 months, which includes 12 months from the open-label extension. Specifically, as compared to placebo, which substantially reduced the risk of the composite of all-cause mortality or first cardiovascular event by 37% in the overall population and 42% in the monotherapy group.
More recently, at HFSA, as shown on the right, we shared important new data from the double-blind period demonstrating that vutrisiran treatment was associated with a lower rate of gastrointestinal adverse events versus placebo across the overall vutrisiran monotherapy and baseline tafamidis treatment groups with reductions of 37% to 49%. This observation is quite important, so that suggests vutrisiran may reduce GI symptoms, which as you can see from the placebo data, we're seen in approximately 40% of patients. These symptoms arise from the multisystemic nature of ATTR cardiomyopathy and are a major source of concern for patients with this disease. With these continued insights from HELIOS B, we're excited about the prospects for RNAi therapeutics to become the standard of care in TTR amyloidosis. Nucresiran, our next-generation silencer may offer even greater TTR knockdown with subcutaneous biannual dosing is now being evaluated in the TRITON Phase III program. We announced last quarter the initiation of the TRITON CM trial in cardiomyopathy patients. Today, I'm happy to share additional details about the TRITON PN trial in hereditary TTR polyneuropathy patients, which we'll be initiating shortly. This will be an open-label trial of Nucresiran in approximately 125 patients with hATTR-PN. Patients will be randomized 4 to 1 to receive either nucresiran dosed every 6 months, or to a reference arm of vutrisiran, dosed every 3 months. The primary endpoint is the change from baseline in the modified neuropathy impairment score or mNIS+7 at month 9 in the nucresirian par as compared to the placebo arm from the APOLLO Phase III trial of patisiran.
You might recall that this is essentially the same study design we utilized in our HELIOS-A pivotal study of vutrisiran in hATTR-PN, which led to its initial approval in that disease setting. We expect top line results from TRITON PN in 2028 look forward to sharing additional details as the trial gets underway. Now moving on to another exciting program. We made great progress this quarter with our zilebesiran program in hypertension. This program represents an amazing opportunity to address some of the major shortcomings of existing antihypertensive therapies. By targeting angiotensinogen upstream of the RAS cascade we believe we can help more patients get to goal, not only in terms of the quantity of blood pressure lowering but also the quality of blood pressure control, reducing blood pressure variability, improving adherence, and restoring nocturnal dipping. Ultimately, we believe continuous control of blood pressure will drive long-term improvements in cardiovascular outcomes. At ESC in August and shown on the right, we shared results from the CARDIO II Phase II study.
As you can see, treatment with zilebesiran resulted in clinically meaningful reductions in [indiscernible] is tolled blood pressure in patients with uncontrolled hypertension and high cardiovascular risk at the month 3 primary endpoint with continuous control sustained through month 6. Moreover, the treatment effect was further enhanced in a biologically based enriched subgroup of patients. With these results, Cardia I met the objective of informing the design, patient population and dose for the global Phase III cardiovascular outcomes trial, Zenith. Zenith is a cardiovascular outcomes trial that will enroll approximately 11,000 patients to evaluate zilebesiran at a dose of 300 milligrams given every 6 months compared to placebo in patients with uncontrolled hypertension with either established or at high risk for cardiovascular disease on 2 or more antihypertensives. The endpoint is a vent trip with a minimum follow-up of 2 years, and we expect to launch, assuming a successful study and regulatory approval around 2030.
I'm also excited to share an update today on our ALN 6400 development program. ALN-6400 targets plasminogen, and we believe it has the potential to be a universal hemostatic agent that can address significant unmet needs across a range of bleeding disorders effectively becoming a pipeline and a product. Plasminogen is a genetically validated target, high circulating levels are associated with increased bleeding. And conversely, individuals with loss of function variants have reduced rates of bleeding. Importantly, loss of function is not associated with the increased risk of thrombosis. As we believe that by lowering plasminogen with ALN-6400, we potentially can slow down the process of fibrinolysis thereby stabilizing clots and preventing bleeding without increasing the risk of thrombosis. Today, we're announcing the first indication we'll focus on with ALN-6400, hereditary hemorrhagic tolangictasia, HHT. HHT is the second most common inherited bleeding disorder, affecting individuals of all ages. 90% of HHT patients live with recurrent nose bleeds which can be severe and life-threatening and many experienced gastrointestinal and heavy menstrual bleeding as well.
And importantly, more than half of patients face iron deficiency anemia. So this is a burdensome condition and from one for which there are very limited treatment options. Importantly, we've already demonstrated initial proof of mechanism for this program in healthy volunteers in Phase I. On the right are the results from an ex vivo assay of fibrinolysis from our Phase I study and shows in the top panel without ALN-6400, clot formation represented by the dark blue area quickly dissipates. Whereas with ALN-6400, there is an antifibrinolytic effect as represented by the dark blue area, which extends for a much longer time, and this effect is maintained after 43 days. We've now moved ALN-6400 into a Phase II trial in HHT patients and look forward to providing updates as this program progresses. We also continue to advance new programs into clinical development building a pipeline that has the potential to drive sustainable growth and long-term value creation.
Today, for example, we announced the initiation of a Phase I trial of ALN-5288, which targets MAPT or TAO for Alzheimer's disease and potentially other rare [indiscernible] . The trial will evaluate the drug safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics in adult patients with Alzheimer's disease. With that, let me now turn it over to Jeff to review our financial results and upcoming milestones. Jeff?
Thanks, Pushkal, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be presenting a summary of Alnylam's Q3 2025 financial results and discussing our full year upgraded guidance. Let's begin with a summary of our P&L results for Q3 2025 compared with the same period in 2024. Total product revenues for the quarter were $851 million or 103% growth versus 2024, driven by 135% growth in our TTR franchise, primarily from the continued strong performance of the U.S. launch of AMVUTTRA and ATTR cardiomyopathy. Collaboration revenue for the quarter was $352 million, representing a $294 million increase when compared with last year. The increase was primarily due to revenue recognized under our collaboration and license agreement with Roche, including $300 million of milestone revenue associated with the dosing of the first patient in our ZENITH Phase III cardiovascular outcomes trial with [indiscernible] .
Royalty revenue for the quarter was $46 million representing a doubling compared with last year, driven by higher [indiscernible] sales as Novartis continues to successfully grow the product globally. Gross margin on product sales was 77% for the quarter, compared with 80% in the third quarter of 2024. The decrease in margin was primarily driven by increased royalties on AMVUTTRA as higher revenues in 2025 resulted in an increase in the royalty rate compared with last year. For the fourth quarter, our gross margin on product sales is expected to decrease as the applicable AMVUTTRA royalty rates increased further, driven by higher expected sales of AMVUTTRA. Our non-GAAP R&D expenses of $310 million increased 23% compared to last year, primarily driven by costs associated with the initiation of multiple Phase III clinical studies including the Zenith Phase III cardiovascular outcomes trial for zilebesiran and the TRITON CM Phase III study for ducrisiran.
Our non-GAAP SG&A expenses of $263 million increased 35% compared to last year, primarily driven by increased headcount and other investments in support of the AMVUTTRA-ATTR cardiomyopathy launch in the U.S. Our non-GAAP operating income for the quarter was $476 million, representing a $507 million increase compared with last year, driven primarily by strong top line results both in product sales, a well's revenue from collaborations as previously highlighted. We continue to be pleased with the progress we are making towards achieving our non-GAAP operating profitability guidance in 2025. We ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $2.7 billion compared with a similar amount at the end of 2024. Cash for the quarter was impacted by our refinancing in September. We raised more than $600 million via the issuance of new convertible notes, which was more than offset by the use of $1.1 billion of cash to repurchase a large portion of our convertible senior notes due in 2027.
Additionally, we also entered into a $500 million revolving credit facility, providing a new source of flexible liquidity if necessary. Now I'd like to turn to our financial guidance for 2025 and where we are increasing our net product revenue guidance driven by the strong U.S. launch performance of AMVUTTRA and ATTR cardiomyopathy with specific details as follows: we are increasing our net product revenue guidance from a range of $2.65 billion to $2.8 billion to a revised range of $2.95 billion to $3.05 billion representing a $275 million or 10% increase from the midpoint of the prior guidance to the midpoint of the updated guidance. The combined full year growth compared to 2024 is an 82% increase at the midpoint of the guidance range. On a franchise level, the guidance is broken down as follows: we are increasing our total TTR guidance range from $2.17 billion to $2.275 billion to a revised range of $2.475 billion to $2.525 billion, representing a 12% increase at the midpoint.
We are reiterating our guidance range for our total rare franchise of $475 million to $525 million. We are also narrowing the range of our non-GAAP operating expense guidance to $2.15 billion to $2.2 billion as we expect to end the year at the upper end of our original 2025 operating expense guidance. The remainder of our financial guidance, including collaboration and royalty revenue and non-GAAP operating income remains unchanged. Turning now from financials to our key remaining goals for 2025. As Pushkal mentioned earlier, the TRITON TN trial of nucresiran and hATTR-PN will initiate shortly. We also expect to initiate a Phase II trial of [indiscernible] in Alzheimer's disease. Let me now turn it back to Christine to coordinate our Q&A session. Christine?
Thank you, Jeff. Operator, we will now open the call for questions. To those dialed in, we would like to ask you to limit yourself to one question each and then get back in the queue if you have additional questions.
[Operator Instructions]
First, we will hear from Salveen Richter at Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
Could you just speak with regard to AMVUTTRA how the momentum is going in the first line versus switches population and maybe talk about any combo use? And any clarity here on ex U.S. pricing would be helpful as well.
Yes. This is a great question. We're obviously really pleased with the continued momentum that we're seeing with respect to growth in our TTR business, particularly having doubled the patient demand volume for AMVUTTRA cardiomyopathy in the U.S. But Tolga, why don't you kind of take the question around.
Absolutely. Look, we're really pleased with another strong quarter. As we indicated, demand doubled in cardiomyopathy and utilization remains very broad and balanced. So let me double-click on that. What we're really seeing is an adoption across both academic and community settings and also from a wide range of prescribers and patient types. And essentially, that really demonstrates a very healthy uptick. Within that, what we also like to see is what we're seeing is we're getting in a place of very competitive setting in terms of first line. And our first-line share continues to grow quarter-over-quarter. And we're obviously maintaining a clear leadership in second line among those patients that are progressing or not responding to a stabilizer. So that breadth and balance gives us real confidence in the durability of [indiscernible] momentum.
And in terms of our ex U.S. pricing, we're still continuing to engage with a broad range of countries in terms of pricing and reimbursement. What we've so far seen is a really compelling pricing profile for in Japan. We're also launched in Germany, but we're actually in the early stages of pricing and reimbursement negotiations. And obviously, what we're really trying to make sure is the right value for our innovation is being recognized in Europe as well as we have in the U.S. And that remains to be seen throughout '26.
Yes. And there's a question on combination use. And I think, look, we're seeing some use in combination. But overall, the majority of the use is as a monotherapy. And as we've always said, the [indiscernible] goes generic, we anticipate that we'll see increasing combination use. Thanks for your question. Next question.
Will be from Paul Matas at Stifel.
This is Julian on for Paul. Just a quick question again on AMVUTTRA. I guess like what gives you confidence that you're going to continue to see an acceleration in patient adds next year and going into the end of this year? And also, it seems like there was somewhat of a contribution from switches from ONPATTRO in the U.S. this quarter versus last quarter. Again, any color on patient switches from stabilizers would really be helpful.
And then just really quick on [indiscernible] , can you just talk about what led to the decision to pursue that program and your confidence in the target. Does this say anything about your ALN-APP program in all sites as well?
Okay. So a couple of questions here, and we'll try and kind of unpack them Look, I think what Tolga shared in the prepared remarks were really the features of a very strong launch, as obviously, we're delighted by them. We do see kind of a lot more potential ahead of us. Tolga, do you want to...
Yes. Maybe I can take that on ONPATTRO contribution question right off the bat. Look, I think actually, you're probably misinterpreting that ONPATTRO declined from the prior quarter, and that really was driven by the ONPATTRO's favorability from last quarter's onetime Medicaid adjustment, which didn't repeat. So that really is the dynamic. We're actually seeing a pretty steady quarter-over-quarter maintenance of our ONPATTRO business, albeit very minimal. And also, our PM business remains very, very stable. So in terms of our ability to actually continue to robustly continue this momentum. Look, we're only 2 quarters into this launch. And we've already raised guidance twice.
I think that really speaks volume about the depth and the durability and our confidence in how we see these categories continue to grow. And as I mentioned, I think we do have a very balanced and broad uptick. And we certainly look forward to increasing our presence in first line, which is highly competitive as it is and maintain our leadership in those patients that are progressing on a stabilizer.
Thanks, Tolga. And I think the question with respect to [indiscernible] implications for APP. Pushkal, would you take that one?
Yes, absolutely. Look, we're very excited about bringing Matto the clinic. I think as a starting point, this just highlights what we think is the potential of RNA interference therapeutics to have really substantial effect in neurodegenerative diseases. So along with APP, we have Huntington's program, APT, our colleagues at Regeneron are advancing SOG. We've just been very excited about the -- our delivery -- our ability to deliver safely and with infrequent dosing.
[indiscernible] is a genetically validated target both in Alzheimer's disease and primary [indiscernible] , which are all neurodegenerative diseases where we get these neurofibrillary tangles that cause neurodegeneration and cognitive decline in patients. So very excited. We're building really a portfolio of therapeutics that we think hopefully can address some of the most intractable diseases in mankind. And I think this just speaks to the strength of the platform and hopefully being able to deliver a second and additional pillars in 2030 and beyond.
I think that's great. Thank you for asking a pipeline question. We really do believe that not only who we bought a very well developing revenue trajectory with respect to our TTR franchise, but we really do have a clinical pipeline that has a number of multibillion opportunities that we're prosecuting in fiscals, organizations, expeditious as began, clearly being able to help patients with severe neurodegenerative diseases would be an incredible achievement. So thank you, Pushkal. Next question.
[indiscernible] at Bank of America.
I wanted to get some color on payer dynamics as you get into the launch now Lari,like your third or fourth quarter in almost -- how are you getting feedback from payers or survey work seems to indicate that we're not seeing any pushback yet even as the drug has adopted to formulary. But as you're thinking about or currently negotiating 2026 status, can you share with us some of the feedback that you're getting from payers? Is there going to be any risk of payers preferring a stabilizer to a silencer or at least ordering which of the products that are currently available, they might prefer.
Yes. No, that's a great question. I mean, look, we're delighted that we really had no payer headwinds. And perhaps, Tolga, do you want to kind of speak to the outlook as we see it as we go into 2020.
Hi Tazeen, I think it's really good to hear that you guys feel like it's already been a year almost. It's actually only 2 quarters that we've had the launch -- and as Ivan indicated, that what we're seeing is really headwinds in terms of every actually payer piece, whether it's fee-for-service, Medicare Advantage or even in the commercial setting. I know there has been a lot of debate around whether we would be step edited or whether the burden on the patients in terms of co-pay would be high.
And what we're really pleased to see, as anticipated based on our experience in the PN, payers actually understand and they appreciate the value that this product brings. Clearly highly differentiated in a disease that's actually fatal and highly progressing. And both payers and physicians really appreciate that this disease needs to be treated early and effectively. And what we're seeing is not only within actually '26 but -- sorry, but '25 but also '26. Policies are being negotiated, and it's -- they're almost final. And we're seeing a very similar dynamic that we had anticipated early in the launch.
Thanks, Tolga. That's great.
Next is Maurice Raycroft at Jefferies.
Wondering if you can comment more on just the inventory demand number for third quarter and how to think about that for fourth quarter, along with gross to net and can you walk us through your expectations for fourth quarter revenues in the EU and how to think about the ramp up there?
Jeff, I think that's one for you.
Yes. I'll take the question on inventory and gross to net in the third quarter, very similar dynamics to what we saw in the second quarter. From an inventory standpoint, days on hand stayed pretty constant -- for the quarter, but there was growth in inventory in the channel, and that's because of the way the day on -- of inventory is calculated. It's based on demand. And given the ramping demand, that's what created additional inventory going into the channel for the quarter. that was more than offset in the quarter by an increase in gross to net. Tolga mentioned ONPATTRO. That was the biggest driver of the increase in gross to net between Q2 and Q3, where we see gross to net for the TTR franchise for the year continues to be mid-single-digit price decline on a net price basis on a year-over-year basis.
I think that Maury, maybe if you could repeat the other question about Europe and maybe -- today want to take that one. In terms of expectations for Q4, I think he was asking about. Is that right, Maury?
Yes, that's right. And just how to think about the ramp up in Europe as well.
Right. So I think the -- if I were to think in a greater scheme of things, the contribution of ex U.S. market is going to remain relatively modest, especially for fourth quarter, given that we only have really 2 markets that's going to be -- that's right now available. Germany and Japan. In Germany, we're continuing to actually have final pricing discussions. So that's obviously going to be rather limited. In Japan, we're very pleased with the momentum that we built. But again, in the greater scheme of things, the contribution is going to be very modest.
So ex U.S. market is going to be mainly 2026, mid- to late 26 story. What I really like seeing is how we're actually maintaining our PN business. If you look at year-over-year, the growth now is 46% in ex U.S. and TTR markets. That suggests that -- and this is actually in the presence of a new competitor now. So look, I mean, I think just like what we've done in the U.S., in the PN markets, we are competing very effectively capturing majority of the first-line patients. And we've actually established a great ecosystem and these key centers of excellence in Europe really recognize the value of our treatment and the product profile. So I would expect more to come on that in '26.
That's great, Phil. Look, I mean, I think as a company, we've built a really phenomenal R&D engine. And I think now we established a very robust commercial engine. So thanks to Tolga and his team with their achievements over the last quarter.
Next, we will hear from Jessica Fye at JPMorgan Chase.
Congrats on the quarter. I was curious if you could just elaborate on the approach you took to updating the TTR franchise guidance this time around in light of the fact that, as you said, we're still just 2 quarters into the cardiomyopathy launch?
Yes. I'm happy to take that, Jess. We updated the guidance. So obviously, what we're really doing here is predicting what we're going to see in the fourth quarter because that's the only time point we've got left in the year relative to the guidance that we've just issued. And if you look at the guidance, it's roughly estimating total TTR global revenue of $850 million to $900 million in the fourth quarter, which would reflect $125 million to $175 million of quarter-on-quarter growth on that range. The upper end of that range is very close to what we've delivered in both Q2 and Q3. And so I would say that's really how we've develop the guidance.
We're continuing to learn. As Tolga said, we're 2 quarters in. I think our understanding of the business and the ability to forecast it is improving as we get more data points. But we're comfortable with the range, and I would think about the midpoint is the most likely outcome for Q4.
Will be from Luca Issi at RBC.
Great. Thanks so much. I think congrats on another fantastic quarter. Maybe Tolga, CMS is obviously proposing to cut reimbursement for [indiscernible] I think, by 57% from $1,300 all the way down to $500. I guess what was your reaction to that news and maybe related, do you think that such efforts from CMS will remain insulated to just the diagnostic side of the equation? Or you think that CMS will optimal look also on the therapeutic side of the equation, given obviously the cost therapeutics are much higher than the diagnostics side? And then maybe super quickly, can you just maybe talk about subpoena from the U.S. Attorney General that you put in the press release?
Well, look, why don't I take the subpoena question really quickly. And look, clearly, we intend to work with the U.S. Attorney's office to produce the documents that have been requested by the subpoena and to understand, and address any potential concerns with respect to government price reporting. And of course, as you know, we don't generally comment on legal matters, but thank you for the question. And I'll hand it over to Tolga to take the remainder of your question.
Yes. So scans and how they are being currently reimbursed is obviously has been an important driver for the growth of this category. We actually anticipate more diagnosis and more scanning. We need to really fully understand how that reimbursement is actually going to play out. We haven't really seen any anxiety or concerns in the health systems that we're engaging with. So we're obviously, again, staying in tune and I'm sure we'll be able to manage that as the policy becomes more clear.
From Gena Wang at Barclays.
Also congrats on the great quarter. So maybe just want to confirm I heard correct that the price for AMVUTTRA will be declined at the mid-single digit year-over-year in the U.S.? And a related question is that once you launch your [indiscernible] , in Europe, how should we think about price change in Europe? Should we expect a huge dip or largely align with the U.S.?
And then second question is regarding the AMVUTTRA in ATTR cardiomyopathy in the U.S. Just wondering if you can share a little bit more color regarding the ratio between the first line versus second line. Are we talking about roughly 50-50 or second line is slightly higher?
So we got kind of a number of questions here about kind of price year-on-year in the U.S. price and color on the first line, second line split. I think all of those are for you Tolga. Why don't you go ahead.
I mean, look, Gena, as we had highlighted before, we would actually anticipate our net price to be gradually going down over time. And what you're seeing is perhaps some of those impacts and we'll continue to provide, obviously, what gross to net actually margins will look like over time. But I wouldn't expect a serious or significant shift in that. Now when it comes to Europe, obviously, those negotiations are continuing. And what we're making sure is that we are taking into account MFN and a number of other dynamics. And we'll obviously be able to provide a much more broader outlook in terms of how the volume and price is going to play out in the outer years.
As I said before, this is really going to be a mid- to late '26 story. And your other question is around remind me again, is ratio of first line and second line. Yes. I mean, look, I think what we really like to see so far, what we've been seeing is, we are increasingly getting more competitive in first line, second line in terms of stabilizer that obviously is an existing patient pool that has actually started very early in the launch, but what we like seeing is after first month into the launch, we start seeing a much more balanced and broad uptake between first and second line. And we certainly expect that to continue as we actually increase our first-line presence in the outer quarters.
Yes. And I'd just like to add how well the data from HELIOS-B are actually resonating with physicians. I mean, being -- cabin the first silence TTR with rapid knockdown of TTR resource. I think that's having an impact. I think the data that we continue to generate is important. I mean, Pushkal touched on this in terms of 37% relative risk reduction in all-cause mortality and first CV events. I think Pushkal also touched on the multisystem nature of the disease with a reduction in GI events. That really is, I think, I think, a compelling additional data point for physicians.
And of course, the quarterly regimen, I think, also resonates well where physicians can be sure that patients are actually going to receive their drug given the quarterly subcutaneous administration. So all in all, I think we feel really well positioned in this market. Both for a growing position in first line as Tolga said, we're highly competitive here and obviously, the leading choice for patients who continue to progress on stabilizes. So we feel we've built some really good foundations here. Thank you for the question. So I think we're on to our -- just 2 more questions.
Please go ahead, Ritu Baral at TD Colin.
Just back to Europe, Tolga. Can you talk about what degree of commercial investment is needed in Europe to expand beyond the PN indication. We're trying to figure out how to balance that against any potential lower cost? And then just a very quick follow-up. As we think about that first line dynamics, how much does center type impact first-line use, basically, if they're in commercial hospital systems versus patient characteristics?
No, that's helpful. Thank you, Ritu. So here are a few points around how you should be thinking about Europe. So we actually have quite an effective team that has been able to establish a market leadership versus tafamidis in the polyneuropathy organization. And the main reason why that organization is so effective is because this is a category, particularly in Europe, is really managed by centers of excellence, perhaps maybe with the exception of Germany. In most other centers, this is in countries. This is really managed by centers, albeit Italy or France, and some other major other European countries. We know in the U.K., for instance, there is one single center national media center that manages that. So it does require in test collaboration and obviously, a scientific engagement.
But in terms of the field activity, that's rather limited. And cardiomyopathy patients are actually mostly treated in these centers as well. So we wouldn't expect a significant expansion of our European businesses. Now when it comes to Japan, that market is a little more fragmented, so we do actually invest. We certainly play to win in that category, and we will obviously continue to invest what's necessary to make sure that the product profile is well understood and appreciated.
Thanks, Tolga. So one more question with our last question coming out.
Last question is from Cory Kasbah at Evercore.
This is Adi on for Cory. The tafamidis trends show a clear NRx jump from fourth quarter to first quarter in both 2024 and 2025. Should we model a similar jump up for AMVUTTRA, thinking that is it because of IRA Part D modifications in the past year or normal seasonality?
Yes. So maybe I'll take your question more from a perspective of category growth and what you should be expecting. Look, first and foremost, it's obviously still early days. And only one company has reported so far in terms of their quarter-over-quarter dynamic. But -- and we still like to see how Pfizer is going to report before we drove some firm conclusions about how that dynamic is working. But that said, everything that we're seeing, the category growth in ATTR-CM is accelerating.
And it's no surprise because we all know that this is an underdiagnosed and undertreated category, and there are a lot of patients are still waiting. And we've also seen this very much on [indiscernible] neuropathy with just one product coming in on top of us, we've seen the category growing, accelerating a lot faster. And the good news on polderopathy, we still remain actually the first-line market share leader. And within the expected category growth I would say we are exceptionally well positioned. As Yvonne and Pushkal mentioned, we are well differentiated in terms of our mechanism. We obviously have the robust outcomes supplied by HELIOS-B and importantly, we are continuing to invest in the category, especially on real-world evidence and data generation across both clinical and real-world setting. So our evidence base is strengthening. That really positions us to become a market leader in this growing category.
Great. Well, I think that brings our call to a close. And I'd just like to thank everybody who's joined us today. Look, our execution this quarter commercially in respect to our pipeline, I think it really demonstrates the new unique trajectory we have at Alnylam to become a top-tier biotech company and we look forward to sharing with you additional updates as we embark on realizing this vision. So thank you, everybody, and have a great day.
Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does indeed conclude your conference call for today. Once again, thank you for attending. And at this time, we do ask that you please disconnect your lines.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $851 Mio Nettoproduktumsatz (+103% YoY)
- TTR (transthyretin): $724 Mio Franchiseumsatz (+135% YoY); USA: $543 Mio (+194% YoY)
- Guidance: Nettoproduktumsatz 2025 angehoben auf $2,95–3,05 Mrd (+$275 Mio vs. vorherige Spanne)
- Profitabilität: Bruttomarge Produktverkäufe 77% (vs. 80% Q3‑2024); Non‑GAAP Operating Income $476 Mio
- Bilanz: $2,7 Mrd Barmittel; Collaboration‑Revenue $352 Mio (inkl. $300 Mio Roche‑Meilenstein)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Launch‑Fokus: AMVUTTRA ATTR‑CM‑Launch als Hauptwachstumstreiber; US‑Patientennachfrage hat sich in Q3 ~verdoppelt
- Pipeline‑Push: Zwei neue Phase‑III‑Studien gestartet/angelegt (ZENITH für zilebesiran; TRITON‑PN für nucresiran) plus frühe Programme (ALN‑6400 in HHT, ALN‑5288 Phase‑I AD)
- Kapitaldisziplin: Refinanzierung (neue Wandelanleihen), $1,1 Mrd Rückkauf 2027‑Notes, $500 Mio revolvierende Kreditlinie
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Umsatzprognose: 2025 Nettoproduktumsatz $2,95–3,05 Mrd; TTR‑Guidance erhöht auf $2,475–2,525 Mrd
- Betriebskosten: Non‑GAAP OpEx eingegrenzt auf $2,15–2,2 Mrd (Erwartung am oberen Ende)
- Zeithorizonte: TRITON‑PN Topline 2028; ZENITH (≈11.000 P.) zielt auf mögliche Zulassung ca. 2030; ex‑US Launchbeiträge vorrangig 2026
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Payer/Access: Management meldet breite Deckung in den USA (wenig Step‑Edits, oft $0 OOP) und steigende First‑Line‑Anteile
- Inventory & G2N: Kanalbestand stieg bei rasantem Nachfrageanstieg; höhere Gross‑to‑Net‑Abschläge erklärten Teile der Q‑Über‑Q‑Dynamik (ONPATTRO betroffen)
- Europa & Risiko: Preis‑/Erstattungsverhandlungen in Deutschland laufend; Japan gut gestartet; zusätzliche Unsicherheit durch CMS‑Diagnostik‑Reimbursement und behördliche Vorladung (Subpoena) wurde bestätigt
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starker AMVUTTRA‑Launch treibt Umsatz und rechtfertigt Guidance‑Anhebung; robuste Pipeline (mehrere Phase‑III‑Programme) bietet mittelfristig signifikantes Upside. Wichtige Risiken: zunehmende Gross‑to‑Net‑Dynamik/steigende Royalties, EU‑Preisverhandlungen und rechtliche/regulatorische Unsicherheiten.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Bernstein Insights: Healthcare Leaders and Disruptors - 2nd Annual Healthcare Forum
1. Question Answer
Good morning, everyone. My name is Will Pickering. I'm Bernstein's U.S. -- senior analyst for U.S. biotech. Very pleased to be kicking off our 2025 Healthcare Forum with Alnylam Pharmaceuticals. We have Jeff Poulton here, CFO. Jeff, thanks so much for joining us.
Thanks for having us. Good to be here.
Well, maybe just to start off, would you like to share some opening thoughts on Alnylam for those who are a little bit less familiar?
Sure. We're a company that pioneered a new class of medicine called RNAi therapeutics. It's been a 20-plus-year journey for the company. There was a lot of work, probably for the first 10-plus years around delivery. But once the company figured out delivery, there's really been a steady cadence of progress.
And where we are today is six commercial products in the market that came out of Alnylam's labs, four of which we're commercializing. We're certainly going to spend some time talking about the launch into the cardiomyopathy part of the ATTR market. That's sort of the big focus right now for the company. But beyond the commercial progress that we've made, we've also got a terrific pipeline, about 20 medicines in the clinic today, all based on that same underlying technology. So it's a true platform company that we think has the ability long term to serially innovate using that platform, and that's the focus of the company from an R&D standpoint.
Financially, obviously, a lot of focus right now on top line growth. Again, we'll talk about the launch. But given the top line growth, we're on the cusp of getting to profitability right now, which is a goal that we set out about five years ago. So we're pleased I think, for Alnylam. That's how we're situated.
Excellent. Well, why don't we start with digging into TTR? I mean, you had an absolutely amazing quarter. What were some of the drivers of that performance?
Yes. We had obviously a very good start. So just to sort of level set everybody, we have been in the ATTR market for the last 5, 6 years, but we've been in a smaller part of the market. We've been in the hereditary polyneuropathy part of the market. We think the hereditary part of the market is about 50,000 patients based on prevalence and the polyneuropathy part of that market is probably 25,000 to 30,000.
What happened with the HELIOS-B results about a year ago was really the unlock of the cardiomyopathy part of the market, which is probably 10x larger than hereditary PN. And so we got the approval and the label expansion in the U.S. at the end of March. So Q2 was really the initial launch into the new opportunity.
And as you said, we had, I would say, a very good start, TTR revenue, globally and this is Onpattro and Amvuttra combined was $544 million which was 77% growth year-over-year, but sort of double clicking on the U.S., which is the only market that we were launched in the quarter, we reported $383 million of revenue, which was $170 million of growth from Q1.
And we don't have the ability to report PN and CM revenue separately, but we do have a good sort of trend history in PN. And we were growing probably pretty reliably $15 million to $20 million a quarter -- quarter-on-quarter in PN. So the U.S. growth in Q2 was $170 million. So clearly, a step change in terms of growth driven by the CM launch.
So we estimated of that $170 million, $20 million, PN, $150 million CM, and we think we had about 1,400 patients on therapy for CM by the end of the quarter. Some of the other things that we looked at and talked about on the earnings call, probably the thing that drove the faster progress than we had expected was the provider setup. This is a buy-and-bill drug. So in addition to getting payer coverage, you've got to get the providers that are doing the bind in the billing. You got to get them set up to be able to do that.
Most of them that do the buying and billing are affiliated with what we call health systems. There's about 170 health systems, which are networks of hospitals. In the U.S., where the majority of these patients that have cardiomyopathy get treated. And I would say we got through almost all of that and getting the drug on formulary at those health systems. That was really the focus. We had originally expected that, that would take probably 6 to 9 months to complete that, which is why we had guided to this really being the second half of the year story in terms of revenue.
So we got almost all of that done. So we really unlocked that completely in the second quarter. So that was really the pull forward of the revenue. We also made good progress, I think, with the payers. I think we'll talk about that later in terms of first-line versus second-line coverage. We also talked about the sources of demand, right? This is sort of an interesting market. There's a second line opportunity for patients that are on the sort of existing standard of care that are progressing and then there's a first-line opportunity in terms of new patients presenting being treated for the first time.
We saw a pretty good balance between first and second line in the quarter. And I think we also saw a good balance in terms of where those patients were treated, some in the academic centers and some of them out in the community.
So really good start, I would say, very encouraging, I think, for the company.
And I'm sure a ton of work went into preparing for this launch. In terms of what went according to plan versus some positive surprises, you already called out the formulary, anything else you call out as surprises?
Yes. Just again, why do we think the unlock on the provider side happened faster than we had anticipated, which was really the positive surprise. I mean I think it was ultimately two things. I think, the fact that we've been in this market for 5-plus years on the polyneuropathy part of the market, we have relationships with these health systems, the majority of them.
They understand the technology already. That certainly probably facilitated things a little bit. But I do want to complement the commercial organization at Alnylam. I think they really did a very good job. They understood that we needed to move as fast as we could to make the early experience that physicians were having with prescribing the product. We wanted that to go well because sometimes if you get out of the gate where that's a challenge, that can then make them hesitant to prescribe the product.
And so we couldn't get this stuff done until we had the approval and the label to take into these big formulary discussions, but the team did as much work as they could in advance to prepare for that. And so I think that they deserve credit for that.
In terms of the things that maybe went as we expected, but we didn't talk as much -- I didn't talk as much about what happened on the payer side. This is largely a Medicare market. So probably, in PN, we've had about 80% of the patients that are getting access to the drug being Medicare patients. And that's split between Medicare Advantage and fee-for-service roughly fairly evenly. And then the majority of the rest of the market is commercial.
In the fee-for-service part of the market, there's really, frankly, not much to do once you have the approval, the drug gets covered to label. There's no policy that has to get put in place there to enable access. So we probably got out of the gate fastest there in terms of patients that had fee-for-service.
Medicare Advantage and commercial plans, you have to work with the plans to get policies in place. You can get access to the drug before policies are in place, but it's a little more cumbersome. There's a little more work required from the physicians. So we made really good progress in getting those policies in place in Medicare Advantage and commercial. Medicare Advantage almost all the policies that were written in the second quarter enabled first-line access, which was critical for us. We expected that, but it was nice to see that pull through.
And then on the commercial side, majority also first-line access, some step edits were put in place, again, which we expected. I think you really need to look at the policies and the way they're written to understand how challenging that might mean to still get access. Most of that is really going to be at the physician's discretion to determine whether or not the patient is progressing. And if they are, there's going to be an ability to access there.
So payer side, I think, went as expected. And then we talked -- I talked about the demand. I think our expectation was that we were going to see demand both from a second line and a first-line perspective. We're really focused on the first line, but we expected that we would get both. And I think that's very positive. And I think among the three players in the market today, we're probably uniquely positioned to have really two sources driving growth both the first-line opportunities as well as the second line. So -- but it was nice to have that go well. We expected it, but nice to see.
Could you talk about the mix of first-line and how that evolved over the course of the quarter, and sort of what you're expecting in the back half of the year?
Yes. right out of the gate, it was mostly second line, which probably is indicative of -- there probably was some warehousing going on where patients and physicians were waiting to get access to an orthogonal mechanism of action. And so we did see that right out of the gate that most of the early demand was second line. Over the course of the quarter, however, the first-line demand was building.
And by the end of the quarter, it was pretty balanced in terms of where we were seeing that sources of growth coming from, and that's what we would expect on a go-forward basis as both will be drivers of growth. We're really focused on first line. Maybe I should talk about the -- a little bit about the segments and how large they are.
On a first line, this is a disease that's pretty significantly undertreated today. We think it's about 20% treated today. And in the last few quarters, I think our expectation is there's -- actually, it's over the course of the year, there's about 18,000 new patients, we think, that are presenting to get access to therapy.
With new entrants into the marketplace, I think we have an expectation that you might see an acceleration of that. It's a little early yet to call that, but that's what it's been historically with TAF in the market. The second line opportunity is, Pfizer is not reporting patient numbers, but you could probably back into it, making some assumptions around prices, probably 40,000 to 50,000 patients on therapy.
And there's different estimates on how many of those patients might be progressing. We think about half. So there's probably a second line opportunity of about 20,000 patients. Again, we're really focused on first line because long term, given that it's only about 20% treated, that's really where the growth is going to come long term in this segment. So we want to be positioned well and compete effectively there.
It's a progressive fatal disease. And so our expectation is that physicians and patients are going to want to go on the best product as early as they can. It's not the kind of disease where you want to try something, see how it goes and then maybe switch to the best product because what you lose it's difficult to get back with this disease.
So it's our job now, obviously, to take the data that we've got and make the case that we have the best product. I mean we've probably talked a lot about the HELIOS-B results. I would -- there's no head-to-head studies across the category, but I do think that the HELIOS-B study was the sort of highest bar in terms of what needed to be met to have a successful study.
The patients that went into that study were less advanced in the disease relative to the other studies that have been running this disease. And secondly, they were heavily treated with other therapies, including 40% of the patients in the study at baseline that were on tafamidis, an approved product for the disease.
And in spite of all of that, we delivered across every endpoint in the study, both from an outcome perspective, which was the primary endpoint, which is ultimately what I think patients and physicians most care about, but also on the quality of life and functional metrics.
So that's really what we have our commercial team focused on is educating and making the case that when you have a new patient, this is the product that you should reach for.
Could you talk about the competitive dynamics you're seeing with Attruby, and how that cuts differently across different either patient or payer segments?
Yes. I mean it's a -- this is a competitive category. We've only got, obviously, for us only one quarter so far. So there's probably not too many definitive conclusions we can draw yet. But I would say in the first line, I think, what we saw in the second quarter is the majority of the patients are probably still going on TAF, which I think at this point is expected, I mean they were the only product in the market for 5-plus years.
Then Bridge got on the market with their product towards the end of last year, and this was our first quarter. But there's an unmet need here. And I think we saw that also in the first-line setting is that physicians were very interested in trying these new products. I think, by and large, in the second quarter, probably the physicians that we're trying something new were roughly splitting between Bridge and our product and sort of starting to get some experience there.
And again, this is why we're really focused on first line and driving clarity on the data that we've got from HELIOS-B so that we can continue to drive a greater share there on a go-forward basis.
On a second line -- from a second-line perspective, we talked about the number of patients that might be progressing. I think now physicians really have a choice to make if the patients are not doing well on tafamidis. They can switch them to another stabilizer, which is in the same class as tafamidis, or they can switch to an orthogonal mechanism, the silencer, which is obviously our product.
And based on the way cardiologists like to do this, they're -- the vast majority are switching them to a new orthogonal mechanism. And so I do think that we're going to continue to do very well in the second-line setting.
Going into the launch, there was a lot of investor debate about the Part B versus Part D dynamics. Could you talk about what you're seeing now that the launch is underway?
Yes. I mean, maybe a couple of things. We talked about the payer progress already, really first line in Medicare Advantage and majority of first line in commercial. That's what we expected. We're not planting the victory flag on that. We're not done forever. These plans have the ability over time to review and make adjustments to their policies.
We did when we launched. We kept the price the same as what we had in PN, but we communicated that we anticipated that price would come down gradually over time. We said on the second quarter call that we did see an increase in gross to nets in the second quarter, and we expect '25 versus '24 mid-single-digit reduction in net price. So that should be the expectation in terms of direction of travel. We believe that will enable us to maintain the type of access that I talked about over time.
Maybe just to talk a little bit about the pricing decision and why we made the decision that we did probably two or three factors into that. I think, first of all, this is a rare, progressive and fatal disease. Sometimes people forget a little bit about the fact that's an orphan disease. And typically, with payers, with a rare and fatal disease, they're hesitant to get really involved and manage those types of categories aggressively.
So that was part of the calculus. Secondly, I think it's based on the data. I've already talked about the strength of the data. We've got the broadest label in this space. We're the only product that's got both hereditary PN as the full opportunity in cardiomyopathy. So the data, we think, sort of supports it. And then lastly, in terms of what's the impact of the way we price the drug on patients.
What we saw in polyneuropathy is what we're seeing already in cardiomyopathy, which is the majority of the patients are not paying anything. About 70% of the patients that have been on the product, first in polyneuropathy, had 0 out of pocket. And again, we're expecting the same thing in cardiomyopathy. So even though this is a high-cost drug, from a patient perspective, it's an affordable opportunity.
So those were the things, I think, that went into the decision to price it the way that we did. And again, thus far, so far so good, but this is clearly an area that we're going to need to continue to focus as time passes.
Turning to the guidance. You raised net product revenue guidance by $600 million at the midpoint, which is a very substantial increase. On the other hand, by my math, you could grow sequentially, maybe a little over $100 million for the next two quarters and still get the top end of that guide? Maybe talk about some of the puts and takes for how you expect growth to look in the back half?
Yes. Maybe just talk about the sort of the sequencing of the guidance that we gave. We actually guided at JPMorgan this year. And historically, we've given product sales guidance combined for TTR and sort of our rare products together. This year, we decided to break them apart. So we wanted to provide more visibility to our expectations on TTR. And again, we guided at JPMorgan, which was two or three months before we even had an approval on a label.
Obviously, we were confident based on the data we had and the progress that we were making with the FDA. But part of that was also wanting to get a little bit ahead of the sell side because it was clear that a lot of the sell-side hadn't spent a lot of time on their models yet and thinking about numbers for '25. So we wanted to help, frankly, sell side and manage expectations.
And we did believe this was going to be a second half of the year story in terms of the CM launch. So we talked about the strength of the Q2 numbers. If you look at where TTR was halfway through the year based on the Q2 results, we were a little over $900 million. The guidance that we gave back in January for the TTR franchise revenues this year was $1.6 billion to $1.725 billion. So clearly, we had to upgrade the guidance based on where we were at Q2.
And so we upgraded more than $550 million in TTR to $2.175 billion to $2.275 billion. That's more than 30% upgrade from the original guidance at the midpoint. It's based on one quarter of results. And so I would sort of point people to that in terms of expectations for the second half of the year. Just to frame a little bit more in terms of the growth of that, that implies for the franchise on a year-over-year basis.
If we hit the midpoint of that guidance, the TTR franchise in total, so PN plus CM, we'll grow about $1 billion in revenue compared to 2024. In 2024, when it was PN-only, the franchise grew $300 million, right? So you can see the accelerating effect of the TTR or the CM opportunity in just nine months in the U.S., right?
And we are going to start to launch in additional markets outside the U.S. We've just started in Japan and Germany, probably not significant contributors this year, that will be more of a '26 story. We'll start to unlock more markets. outside the U.S. next year as well. So there's a lot of long-term growth potential here.
But in terms of the guidance, I mean, again, I think that was based on one quarter, and I would point the market to that in terms of expectations for the second half.
Oh, US, how should we think about the timing of when those approvals and reimbursement starts contributing to revenue?
Yes. I mean, I just mentioned, I think it will be a fairly modest contribution from Japan and Germany this year, and then we'll start to unlock more of the markets in Western Europe next year. The one thing that will be different outside the U.S. from the U.S. is pricing and what that should mean in terms of the -- sort of the growth ramp in CM.
We've talked about in the U.S., we didn't make any change to the price when we launched in CM. And we have a single price for the franchise as a whole. So obviously, as you start to add new patients in the U.S. for CM, that's all additive to growth.
Outside the U.S., it's likely going to be a different story. I mean these are single-payer markets, so you're negotiating with the governments to establish price. Typically, the way price works is you're benchmarked against what's in the market for that disease. And so in this case, it's tafamidis. And so we'll get benchmarked against that. And I'm simplifying this a bit, but typically, they look at your clinical data compared to the clinical data of the product in the market.
And if you're better, you may get a premium to existing product. If it's determined it's very similar, it will be probably similar in price. And if it's not quite as good, you're going to have a discount. That will be lower typically than the price that we're at for PN. And so there will be an impact on the PN business in terms of the headwind as you lower that price and launch into CM.
Now the volume, as we've already talked about in terms of the size of the opportunity is so significant that the volume in CM is obviously going to more than make up for what you're losing in PN, but it will impact -- again, the initial uptake.
I mean, we -- again, in the U.S., we have talked about that sort of stair-step effect. We grew 80% in the U.S. between Q2 and Q1, right? We won't have that kind of growth stairstep in the international market. So they'll contribute, but it will just be sort of a little bit of a different sort of profile when that starts next year.
Could you talk about your expectations for the longer-term evolution of the TTR market and what that means for Alnylam. So for example, a couple of years, you may have another silencer on the market, in a few years, potentially TAF generics. What does all that mean for your franchise?
Yes. Maybe we'll take those sequentially. So there's three products in the market today, one silencer and two stabilizers. There's a -- you mentioned that there's another silencer that's in the clinic for cardiomyopathy. That's the Ionis, AstraZeneca product. They're already on the market in polyneuropathy. I think their study is expected to read out second half of next year. So maybe second half of '27, I think, is what they're guiding to in terms of when they would potentially be on the market. We expect that, that study will be positive, and they will come on to the market. Maybe talk about the experience that we've had in PN, where, in the U.S., we really had the PN market to ourselves for four or five years and really build and establish that market.
They -- the Astra-Ionis product, Wainua, got approved at the start of 2024. And if you look at what happened to our PN business over the course of 2024, there really was no change in the growth trajectory from the year prior. And I think they were probably happy with the progress that they made in the launch.
So what's fairly typical in these rare disease type opportunities is when there's multiple or new voices coming into the market driving disease education and awareness, the market starts to expand faster. And that's what happened last year as the market started to expand faster, as the leader in the category, we were probably getting 2/3 to maybe 70% of the new patients that were coming on to therapy, which is what allowed us to continue to grow at the same pace.
It didn't -- you didn't see a switch dynamic really between our product and their product. We're once a quarter subcu, they're monthly injection. So we didn't see a lot of switching between the two products. So fast forward to cardiomyopathy, in terms of the silencer part of the market, I guess we would expect that's a pretty good proxy for what we would expect when they come into the market.
Obviously, this is all pending data from the study and understanding what that looks like. The other dynamic that you're asking about is TAF generic, and I know there's sort of a big debate about timing of that. I think our view is consistent with what Pfizer has guided in terms of likely timing in the U.S. We think it's the end of 2028. We think what that means for now is that it's largely going to be a monotherapy market because payers are going to make it difficult to get two products for the same disease reimbursed at this point.
There is some combination therapy going on today, and there, frankly, is interest in that. I think cardiologists are frankly very comfortable combining the products. I think the data from HELIOS-B study wasn't designed to have a statistically significant result in that combination setting, but the trends were really pretty favorable. There's some really interesting data in there in that combination setting.
In every endpoint in the study, it favored the drug, the combination compared to TAF alone. And so there's some very positive trends. That's in the clinical trial section of the label. And so I think there's a desire to do combo. I think it will be more limited until TAF goes generic. And then once TAF goes generic, I do think you're going to see a lot more combination therapy.
For us, I think we're encouraged by that because I think that reflects the fact that we think this will be a very durable franchise that can grow through TAF going generic. I think again, it will be mono primarily until then, and then we think it will be probably more of a combo market.
And I know we're going to talk about nucrisiran a little bit, but we think the design of the necrisiran study will also position the franchise well for that post TAF generic period as well.
Well, that was where I was going to go next. So that's going to be one of the other really important developments in the market 5, 6 years from now. Maybe talk about what the product profile is that you're going to achieve, and why it's important for the business?
Yes. So this is our third-generation TTR product. First generation was ONPATTRO, which was an every 3-week IV, then Amvuttra, which is once-a-quarter subcu, both of those get to knockdown of about 85% on average. Nucrisiran is that sort of -- again, I would say we're continuing to improve the chemistry which is allowing us to dose it at higher rates, which is leading to better knockdown.
In the Phase I study, we saw knockdown quickly and getting to about 95% and sustained for out to six months. So the increased knockdown, we believe, could lead to better efficacy, 85% to 95%, typically more is better in this kind of disease, and then the duration of the dosing once every six months compared to once a quarter, I think certainly from a convenience standpoint would be preferred by patients.
And so that's the profile that we're going for. There's some other elements of this that are attractive from a financial standpoint. There's a pretty heavy royalty burden on Amvuttra that's payable to Sanofi. That's between 15% and 30%, and you get to those -- that upper tier fairly quickly.
There's no royalties that would be due to Sanofi on nucrisiran. So even if you just switch the existing business, the impact from an earnings and a cash perspective is pretty substantial. And we don't think this is just switching the existing business. I talked about the profile. We think it's something that will sustain growth longer term. And longer term here means IP that goes out into the early 2040s. We're looking at Amvuttra probably 2036 in terms of when you'd see generic entry there.
So it extends the life of the franchise as well. So there's a lot to be excited about here, I think, with this particular product and why we're very focused on it.
And you're just now getting the study underway. But one of the questions that I get is, well, they have trouble enrolling the study given Amvuttra is a very compelling products. So anything you could say about that?
Yes. I don't think so. I mean, I guess I don't think that we'll have problem enrolling it because this gives patients the opportunity frankly to get on combination therapy because there's going to be no limitation for patients to be on a background stabilizer to come into this study. And so I talked about the fact that right now, combination therapy is difficult from a payer perspective in the U.S.
So I think there will be patients that will be very interested in that. Look, I also think that the experience that we have and the data that we put up, both with Onpattro and Amvuttra gives physicians and patients confidence in this mechanism that this is going to work. And they know based on the Phase I data that we're getting to deeper knockdown.
So I don't think we're going to have a problem enrolling and it's also a space that we know very well. We've been in this space for 10-plus years. The design of this study, frankly, was -- we're confident in it based on the HELIOS-B results. We talked about 40% of the patients in HELIOS-B being on background TAF at baseline. And I mentioned the positive trends that we saw in that patient subgroup in the study.
That's really the data that we use to design this study because we're not going to have any limitation on background TAF in this study. So most patients are probably going to be on TAF.
But it's an outcome study. We do think that long term for this to be reimbursed that you need the outcome data from a payer standpoint, and it's what the physicians and the patients care about. So we are looking at an endpoint very similar to what we had in HELIOS-B, in about 1,200 patients to get the powering right on this. Again, I would say that we're confident in that based on the HELIOS-B results.
So that study is underway. We do think -- and the other element of the endpoint is it's an event-driven end point, right? That's another learning from HELIOS-B, right? The event rates in HELIOS-B were much lower than what we've seen in prior studies. We were white knuckling that a little bit, obviously, up into the end, just like everybody in the market. And so we learned from that. And so these will be patients that are earlier in the progression of the disease.
As I said, they're going to be on background meds. And so we've got an event-driven endpoint, which also, I think, takes some of the risk out of the study being positive. But the study is underway, 1,200 patients. We think this is likely an approval and a launch in 2030. We will also start a polyneuropathy study before the end of the year, and that will be a smaller and a quicker study to run. And so we think that will get approval first, probably a couple of years ahead of CM, so likely in 2028. we'll be launching the product in PN. Again, that's also the expected timing of when we believe that TAF will go generic.
So we'll be getting this on the market about the time that will be happening.
Great. Well, I want to spend a bit of time on other parts of the pipeline. You presented some data at ESC, for zilebesiran. Maybe if you want to recap some of the data that you shared and also just sort of what that product could mean for the growth of Alnylam in the 2030s?
It's a good question. So this is our hypertension product, zilebesiran, targets angiotensinogen. What we're trying to do here in hypertension, which is the #1 modifiable risk factor for cardiovascular disease. And there's lots of products available for hypertension, orals, daily orals, actually, a lot of them are -- they're effective and they're cheap, right? A lot of those are generic. But the problem with those products is -- first and foremost, is patients don't stay on them.
They're not adherent to therapy. And so they're not getting the benefit of the product. And then secondly, the one the patient that stay on the product, given the pharmacothemics of those products, you get a fair amount of variability over a 24-hour period in terms of control of blood pressure. And that variability is also a risk factor for cardiovascular disease. And we think the profile of this product addresses both of those issues.
So this would be a once every 6-month administered product. So think about that. You don't have to worry about adherence. You get a shot, you're good for six months in terms of blood pressure control. And then given the clamped pharmacology, you get controlled continuously over a 24-hour period. So you're getting the benefit both during the day and at night.
And that nighttime dipping is really important, and you don't get very good control of that with the daily oral. So this is a product that we think both from a quantitative perspective in terms of the ability to lower blood pressure as well as the qualitative elements of it in terms of that continuous control it's really going to reduce risk in this patient setting.
So that's how we're thinking about this program. We presented data at ESC a couple of weeks ago in a Phase III study -- or excuse me, in a Phase II study, and I would talk about this Phase II study is kind of a warm-up act for the CVOT. So it was done in the same patient population. This is a high-risk CV patient population, and it was done on top of 2 to 4 of these other standard of care medicines.
And the data that we reported at ESC, we showed about a 5-millimeter mercury blood pressure lowering at three months, which is clinically meaningful. It wasn't statistically significant, even though the p-value in the 300-milligram dose that we're going to take forward was statistically significant, it wasn't -- the way the stats were designed, we couldn't claim statistical significance.
But really, what was important with KARDIA-3 is are things that we learned. I've mentioned it's a warm-up act for the CVOT, which will be about an 11,000-patient study that will run over multiple years, which is why you really want to learn as much as you can before you design and launch that study. So the things that we learned were the dose to take forward, and it's going to be an every 6-month dose. We learned about inclusion, exclusion criteria.
So looking at the patients and how they did across the different types of patients that were in the study, those that were at 140 or greater in terms of systolic blood pressure that initiated the study, and we're on a diuretic, we saw much better blood pressure, lowering 7 to 9 millimeters of mercury. So that's a learning that we'll take into the CVOT, and that will be part of the inclusion criteria in the CVOT.
And then lastly, we learned about the powering, right, how to power the study. And again, I mentioned 11,000 patients. And so we're kicking that off now. This is, again, another drug that probably will be to market around the 2030 time frame. This is a program that we're doing in partnership with Roche.
We put a partnership in place a couple of years ago. That was mostly about, frankly, from our perspective, the need to work with somebody who had commercial capabilities to launch this successfully. We just didn't feel like that was something that we could do on our own at this point. It really wasn't a financial decision. It was more about capabilities to maximize the value of the program.
So that will give us an opportunity to co-promote it alongside Roche in the U.S. and hopefully learn from them, and that will be a 50-50 profit split in the U.S. They'll have full responsibility for launching the drug outside the U.S., and we'll just get royalties on that. So an exciting program for us.
Great. You are now sort of at the final year of the P5 program. Do you plan to set new targets in 2026? And how are you thinking about what the shape of those should be?
Yes. Maybe just talk a little bit about P5 before about -- talk about what's next. Yes. So the company's had a history of putting 5-year goals out into the market. This was -- the P5 was the third iteration of those. So that was launched at JPMorgan and 2021 looked at five different things, two of which were financial goals, and that was the first time the company had included financial goals in these 5-year goals.
And I think that's because the company was just starting to build the commercial part of the business. And so the two financial goals were around a growth rate -- revenue growth rate across the period, so we committed to at least a 40% CAGR across the period. Based on the guidance that we've given for this year, we're going to beat that handily in terms of what the CAGR will be across that period.
And then we committed to getting to non-GAAP profitability, which frankly took a little bit of courage. We were a long way from profitability, and there was a lot to do to get to that point. But I think it actually really helped us that we made a public commitment to do that.
I know that internally that we felt real accountability for that as a result, and I think it created a dynamic where we were making choices at times about things that we were going to do. We couldn't afford to necessarily do everything and achieve that goal. So we've also guided to get into profitability this year, and I'm confident that we're going to do that.
I would say we're likely to do this again in terms of setting out another set of 5-year goals. I think it's been part of the Alnylam story. And a lot of times when companies do this, I think these are aspirational types of goals that maybe they're not really committed to achieving. We've really taken the opposite approach.
And these have been pretty bold goals typically when the company has put these out. And over the last 15 years, companies really achieved what it set out to do.
And so we don't want to walk away from that. And so I do anticipate that we'll do it. I mean I'm not ready to tell you what those are today, but I could generally tell you probably the areas that we're going to focus on. I don't think any of this will surprise people, but leadership in TTR. Obviously, we're 1/4 into the CM launch.
And clearly, the expectations for growth here are a big driver for where the stock is right now. So that's likely going to be an area that we'll talk about in terms of some goals over that 5-year period. Secondly is around innovation, really sort of driving towards what I would call a second act, like what should people be confident in could be a driver of growth beyond TTR.
We want to lay out some things that we anticipate achieving and accomplishing there. And then lastly, from a financial profile perspective, now that we're at profitability, how do we expect that to evolve maybe in terms of operating margins over the period. Those are the types of things that we're thinking about. So stay tuned. I do think that's something that Von will likely be talking about it at JPMorgan in January.
How do you think about capital allocation from here, and in particular, the potential role for external innovation now that you have more financial flexibility?
Yes. I mean things that we're focusing on right now in terms of investment are clearly on the commercial side, we're investing behind the launch in TTR. We had a foundation in PN. We're obviously building and scaling that up. We've done that in the U.S., and we'll continue to do that as we launch ex U.S.
On the R&D side, look, the platform has been a really productive platform for the company. And that's going to continue to -- as a result, and to continue to be the primary focus of innovation is continuing to invest behind that. Amazing platform that we've got. We talked in February at our R&D Day as an example that we're going to, by 2030, hope and expect to unlock every major tissue in the body.
And as you unlock new tissues, that opens up the opportunity for a variety of new diseases to target with the technology. So that will be the primary focus. You highlighted the fact that the company, from a financial perspective in terms of top line growth and profitability, is really moving into a place that will enable more flexibility.
So external innovation will probably also start to become part of the story. I don't have a lot to share in specifics right now, but I do think that will probably start to become more of the story, but I would point you back to internal innovation being the primary story.
Great. One more, if I may. One of the things that I hear a lot now is Alnylam fantastic story, but I feel like I missed it from a stock perspective. What you say to those folks that know the story well, I want to know what they're playing for from here?
Well, I guess a couple of things I get it, right? I mean we've had a really nice run up post the launch, but we're 1 quarter into the launch, right? So we got a long way to go on the launch, and we do expect that this is going to drive long-term growth for the company. And then secondly, we're a true platform company.
A lot of companies talk about it, but we really do have the ability to serially innovate. And so a lot of times when companies get this initial flagship commercial franchise, the real challenge becomes what's next.
I think we're going to have the ability to solve that because we've got this amazing platform. And so I would tell people to start taking a look at the things that we've got in the pipeline. I think over time, hopefully, we're going to deliver more data that's going to give people more confidence in that. But I do believe we're going to have the ability long term to drive diversified growth as well.
Great. Jeff, thanks so much for joining us.
Thank you.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Bernstein Insights: Healthcare Leaders and Disruptors - 2nd Annual Healthcare Forum
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Bernstein Insights: Healthcare Leaders and Disruptors - 2nd Annual Healthcare Forum
📊 Kernbotschaft
- Kurzfassung: Alnylam meldet einen sehr starken Start in der Kardiomyopathie-(CM)-Indikation: Q2 TTR-Umsatz $544M global, davon US $383M. Provider- und Formularium-Setups liefen schneller als erwartet, wodurch der Launch vorgezogen wurde. Management betont Plattformstärke (≈20 Programme in der Klinik) und die Nähe zur Non‑GAAP‑Profitabilität.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- CM‑Launch: Management nennt ~1.400 Patienten auf CM‑Therapie Ende Q2 und schätzt Q2‑US‑CM‑Beitrag bei ~$150M der Quartalssteigerung.
- Wettbewerb: Erste‑Linien‑Akquise erfolgt gegen tafamidis; frühe Marktanteile werden durch Daten‑Argumentation (HELIOS‑B) und Nebenvergleich definiert.
- Pipeline‑Fokus: Nucrisiran (3.‑Gen. silencer) mit ~95% Knockdown, Dosierung alle 6 Monate; Ziele: PN‑Zulassung ~2028, CM ~2030. Zilebesiran (Hypertonie) startet großes CVOT (~11.000 Patienten) mit Roche‑Partnerschaft.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Guidance: TTR‑Prognose wurde deutlich erhöht: Management hob TTR‑Ziel auf ca. $2.175–2.275 Mrd. (Upgrade >$550M gegenüber Januar‑Guidance).
- Preis‑/Access‑Ausblick: Erwartetes Richtungsbild: mid‑single‑digit Rückgang des Net‑Preises 2025 vs. 2024 wegen steigender G2N (gross‑to‑net), trotzdem hohe Patienten‑Bezahlbarkeit (≈70% $0 OOP).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Launch‑Treiber: Analysten fokussierten auf Formulary‑ und Health‑System‑Rollout; Management erläuterte schnellere Umsetzung wegen bestehender Beziehungen aus PN‑Geschäft und proaktiver Vorbereitung.
- Payer‑Dynamik: Teilfragen zu Part B vs. Part D, Medicare Advantage und kommerziellen Policies; Antwort: bislang überwiegend First‑line‑zugang in MA/commercial, Fee‑for‑Service unkompliziert.
- Wettlauf & Timing: Konkurrenzprodukte (weiterer silencer, generisches tafamidis ab ~Ende 2028) und Nucrisiran‑Einschreibung/timing für Zulassung wurden als zentrale Risiken/Chancen diskutiert.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investor‑Takeaway: Starkes operatives Momentum: vorgezogener CM‑Launch und substantielles Guidance‑Upgrade stützen Wachstum und kurzfristig die Profitabilität. Risiken bleiben: Preisdruck/nettoeffekt, Wettbewerb und Execution (intern/extern). Langfristiger Wert hängt von Nucrisiran, internationalen Starts und weiteren Pipeline‑Erfolgen ab.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
All right. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us at the Morgan Stanley Global Healthcare Conference. I'm Michael Ulz, one of the biotech analysts here, and it's my pleasure to introduce Jeff Poulton, CFO of Alnylam Pharmaceuticals. Before we get started, I just need to read a quick disclosure. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley research disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. And if you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representative. And with that, Jeff, thanks for sharing your time with us today. We really appreciate it. And maybe to kick things off, if you can just give a brief introduction to Alnylam and then we can hop into some Q&A.
Great. Thanks for hosting and having us here today. I'm at Alnylam and Alnylam is a company that's developed a new class of medicines based on Nobel Prize-winning science, RNAi or RNA interference. And it's been about a 25-year journey for the company. I would say the first 15 years were really around particularly on delivery, figuring out how to get the medicines to the right parts of the body and in the right cells in the body. And once that was figured out, things really started to change for the company. And the way the company is positioned today is there's 6 products that are in the market that were discovered in Alnylam's labs. 4 of those products are being marketed and sold by the company on our own. The other 2 are through partners. We've got a pipeline of 20-plus medicines in the clinic, all using that same underlying technology. And from a financial perspective, we're at a point in time where we're really transitioning the company from being a loss-making company to one that's being profitable. A lot of focus right now on the TTR franchise.
We sort of described that as a flagship commercial franchise, and we think we're at the beginning phases of a lot of growth given the expansion of the label into the cardiomyopathy part of the market. I know we're going to talk more about that through the fireside chat. Again, from a innovation perspective, we continue to be very focused on internal innovation, organic growth, continuing to put money behind the platform that's been very productive. We're very focused on continuing to drive things forward in the pipeline. So there's a second act beyond TTR. I think the investment community over time here is that they get more confident in that launch trajectory, we'll probably start to focus on that more, and we welcome that. We are focused on that. And then lastly, I'm thinking about the -- now that we're profitable, what does that sort of pace of profitability look like over the next 5 years or so. So we're in a very fortunate position right now.
Yes. Great. Thanks for that introduction. And like you said, you've made some tremendous progress over the years and lots to talk about here. But maybe before we start digging into some of that, earlier this week, you announced a financing. So maybe tell us a little bit about that.
Yes. We did a transaction yesterday where we issued some a -- convertible notes, $575 million worth. This is really a refinancing. We had done our inaugural convert financing back in 2022, and those notes matured in 2027. At the time that we did that inaugural financing, which was about $1 billion worth of notes, we bought cap call protection on those notes when they were issued that protected us from dilution as a company up to a share price of $424 a share. Following our Q2 results where we reported strong initial results in the U.S. and cardiomyopathy stock blew through that $424. And so that -- those convertible notes are getting more expensive now because they're beyond the cap call protection that we have. And so what we did with this transaction is with the money that we raised, obviously, on the new convert, we're establishing a much higher price for dilution on those shares. And that cash that we raised plus the cash from the balance sheet allowed us to retire a majority of the original convert yesterday.
Didn't get it all, and there's probably more to do on that at some point. But it really reduces us to that exposure of those notes given where the share price was. And the convert market is in a good space right now. And I think we're a high-quality issuer. So we got really good terms on the new convert as well, a 0% coupon and up 40% on the strike price. And then we put a cap call on top of that, that protects us to 75% of accretion from where the stock was when we issued yesterday. These are 3-year notes. So that would put dilution at over $800 a share over the next 3 years, if it goes beyond that. But we should be in a position over the next 3 years to retire these notes and probably be out of the convertible market at that point, given the financial profile of the company of getting to profitability, we'll have more options in terms of the way we would finance the business if we need to go out and get external funding.
Yes. Makes sense. And why don't we move to TTR cardiomyopathy. I'm sure you're familiar with that one and all the questions you get.
I am.
So I guess, first, just congratulations on the strong launch so far. And maybe just talk about what the key drivers behind that have been.
Yes. So we got approval in the U.S. for the expanded label to include cardiomyopathy at the end of March. And so the second quarter was the initial quarter of launch activity in the U.S. Before the launch, we had really been guiding the market to anticipate that this was going to be a second half of the year kind of story in terms of when we would start to see revenues increase associated with cardiomyopathy. And that's based on the fact that this is a Part B, it's a buy-and-bill drug. And so there's some things that have to happen both with the payers as well as the providers to enable that initial ordering and actually generate the revenue. And I would say, in the second quarter, the big surprise -- positive surprise for us was how quickly we were able to unlock access, both at a provider -- on a provider level and on a payer level.
On the provider side, the way that most of these patients get treated in the U.S. is there's about 170 health systems, which are like networks of hospitals where the majority of these patients are treated today. And again, we expect that it would take between the start of the second quarter and the end of the year to get our drug on formulary across those 170 health systems. That was largely complete in the second quarter, which is really what the unlock was to start the ordering and start getting patients treated. So that was terrific, right? So the results that we reported in the U.S. for TTR reflected about $170 million of growth between Q2 and Q1. Now that's PN and CM combined. I don't have the ability to report PN revenue separate from CM because it's the same product. It's the same SKU. When orders come in, it's for AMVUTTRA, not for PN or CM. But we do have a nice long history of what the PN business was growing at.
And if you look back over the last 4 or 5 quarters in the U.S. That was growing quarter-on-quarter about $15 million or $20 million a quarter. So obviously, a major step-up in terms of growth. We went up to $170 million. We attributed $20 million of that to the PN business and $150 million to CM. So a really very, very strong start. And we estimated there were 1,400 patients, commercial patients that were on therapy. Those -- none of those patients were patients that came out of the trial, right, the HELIOS-B trial. Those were all new patients, new to therapy for AMVUTTRA. And that 1,400 patients based on pricing, again, sort of sync up with the $150 million in revenue that we attribute to the CM business in the U.S.
And that -- the strength of that result and the fact that we really accelerated revenue into the quarter allowed us to upgrade the guidance for the year. Our top line revenue guidance went up $575 million, which was a massive increase almost all of that driven by the TTR franchise. I think the TTR franchise went up north of $550 million. So we're excited about the start. There's still a lot to do here. There's a couple of additional markets that we're opening up right now outside the U.S. Mostly the international opportunity is going to be more of a 2026 kind of unlock in terms of when we're going to see access and reimbursement. But we're off to a good start. And I know you're going to have some other questions about understanding the source of that business, so I'll hold glance on that.
Yes. So I wanted to get your sense of early treatment utilization, where that's happening, front line, second line, combos, et cetera?
Yes. I think initially, what we saw the initial start forms, which is kind of the prescription for these high-cost medicines, it was mostly second line. So these are patients that were on tafamidis that were probably waiting -- ultimately waiting for the approval that we're probably not doing well on tafamidis. And so right out of the gate, it was mostly second line. But as the quarter progressed, the first-line business progressively over the quarter was growing. And by the end of the quarter, it was pretty balanced in terms of the sources of the business, first line and second line. So we do expect that, that's likely going to be the profile going forward, which I think is actually a very good place for us to be that we're going to have 2 sources fueling growth, both first line and second line.
And we're probably going to be unique in that regard in the market today. I mean, tafamidis has really had the market to themselves for the last 5 years. Bridge launched last November. We launched at the end of March. I think what we're seeing on the second-line opportunity is when patients are not doing well on tafamidis, obviously, you have a choice, you can switch them to another stabilizer or you could switch them to an orthogonal mechanism. And what we're finding is the vast majority are choosing to switch to an orthogonal mechanism, which makes sense with the way cardiologists like to treat their patients. And so I think that's going to be a source of business for a period of time for us.
We're really focused actually on the first-line opportunity because long term, that's really where growth in the category is going to come from. Today, TTR, we think in the cardiomyopathy part of the market, it's about 20% treated. And so long term, that's really what's going to drive the growth of the category is increasing diagnosis and treatment rates, and we want to compete effectively there. I think we got off to a good start. There's more to do there. I mean this is a progressive fatal disease, right? So patients and physicians want to choose the best, most efficacious product as soon as they can. This is not one where you want to try this one and see how they do and then put them -- like once you progress in this disease, it's hard to get back what you lost.
So you want to get on the best product right away. So it's our job now based on the HELIOS-B data to work with the physicians, educate them and make sure they understand the profile of the product, which we think based on the data from HELIOS-B, we do think it's the best product. That's obviously something that we need. We'll see how that plays out over time. Just to remind people about HELIOS-B, I would say it had the highest bar in terms of challenge to show an efficacious product because that was a study that was run in what we describe as a contemporary patient population. So these were generally less advanced in the course of the disease than prior studies. And for sure, they were better treated and 40% of the patients in the study at baseline were on tafamidis. And then you had another 10% or those that added on tafamidis during the course of the study.
So the fact that we showed efficacy in the overall population in the monotherapy population, which were the way the study was segmented, we hit endpoints on all those. And then if you look at the combination part of the study, patients did well. It wasn't powered statistically to show statistical significance. But in that combination part of the study, on every endpoint, it favored AMVUTTRA, right, AMVUTTRA and TAF compared to TAF alone. So it was a high bar, and we met that threshold. So really, that's really now what we're doing in terms of educating the community, both with our medical team as well as our commercial team to make the case that this should be the product, the first product that you reach for when you have a patient with this disease.
And what kind of feedback are you getting sort of early in the launch here from...?
Yes, it's early. Obviously, we're 1 quarter in. But I think the things that we're hearing first from an efficacy standpoint is they're impressed by the all-cause mortality data from HELIOS-B, right? And that was an outcome study, and that's probably the thing that patients most care about is what's the impact on the hard outcomes. So physicians like that data. I think they like the breadth of the label. So we're the only product in the space in the U.S. that's got the full disease in the label, right? So we've got hereditary PN. We've got CM in both the hereditary as well as the wild-type population. We're the only product of the 3 that has that. The other 2 just have the cardiomyopathy piece. They don't have the polyneuropathy piece. So we've got the full breadth of the label. I think that they like the route of administration, the once-a-quarter profile.
It sort of ensures compliance, right? Sometimes even with progressive fatal disease, patients aren't disciplined around taking the medicines, right, daily orals, either once or twice a day. So I think it gives the physicians and ultimately, the payers like that, too, because they're paying for these drugs, and they like to know that the patients are going to get the benefit of it. And I would say the last thing, and this really speaks to, I think, the commercial execution that we talked about earlier in terms of the earlier unlock. Physicians have found it easy to get patients on the drug, which is super important, right, given the competitive nature of this space, we're the only drug right now that's a buy-and-bill drug.
And so you don't want that to be creating additional complexity for physicians when they want to put a patient on drug. And that's really where I think the team did a lot of good work in advance. And then as soon as we have the label, the ability to go out and get the drug on formulary, I think we also benefited because we've been in polyneuropathy for 5 years. So we've got the buy-and-bill sort of infrastructure in place. We've just expanded that. But that's gone well and the physicians appreciate that. Their time is limited. They don't want to have to get tied up and fighting with insurance companies and doing a lot of paperwork to get these patients on therapy when they want to put them on. So far, so good on that front.
Yes. Can you talk a little bit about what you're seeing in combination use?
Yes.
And I just ask because KOLs we talked with seemed to be excited about that potential...
Look, there's interest in that. And I think, fortunately, for us, because we had that pretty sizable segment in HELIOS-B, where they were 40% of the patients were on TAF at baseline, we have some pretty good data there. And actually, if you look in the clinical trial section of the label, there's a forest plot that shows the various segments in the study across the primary endpoint. And you can see it there, right, that it favored the combination compared to TAF alone, it wasn't stat sig. But I think that's helpful, right, as physicians and patients think about the possibility of combination therapy, they'd like to do it. I think it's going to be difficult to do it broadly until the TAF goes generic because at least in the commercial part of the market and the Medicare Advantage part of the market, most of the payers are putting policies in place that restrict combination use.
The original or fee-for-service part of the market, it's probably where it's happening today because there aren't policies that would restrict that. So well, I don't -- I can't quantify it, but I know that there is some combination experience that's taking place. We do think that when TAF goes generic and our expectation, I think, is consistent with what Pfizer has messaged historically that they expect generic entry by the end of 2028. That's where I think that would sort of open up the opportunity for more combination use more broadly. And again, I think we're well positioned based on the results for HELIOS-B and the data that made its way into the label.
And maybe you can talk a little bit about access. You touched on it a little bit, very easy to get the drug. I think before the launch, just given the pricing, there was a little bit of concern about that. So maybe how have you been able to manage that? Does that become an issue as you keep launching a drug or not? Or...?
Yes. So far, so good. Maybe just a little bit of the thinking behind the price. I mean, I think the first reason that we chose to price it the way we did, which is we didn't change the price. We had a price in the market for polyneuropathy. So when we expanded the label in the U.S., we kept the price the same, which is higher than the other products that are in the market. There's I think 2 or 3 things that led to that decision. First is the data from HELIOS-B that we've talked about, we think it was really strong, hit every endpoint in the study. And that, in combination with the fact that we're offering payers value-based agreements, which essentially is our commitment to the payers that the patients are going to stay on the drug and get the benefit of the drug. Payers are willing to pay for drugs like this when they know the patients are going to get the benefit of it and then stay out of the hospital, stay out of events occurring that cost them more money. And with the commitments that we're making with the value-based agreements, that really helps with the payer community.
The other thing is that this is a rare disease. People forget that a little bit because they like to talk about this being such a significant opportunity, but it is a rare disease. It's an -- we got an orphan designation and it's a progressive and fatal disease. And typically, payers are hesitant about and these types are diseases getting very involved in forcing patients on one product or another. That was part of the calculus. And then lastly, what's really important to the community and the physicians as well is what does this cost the patients to get on the drug. And because this is a Part B medicine, what we saw in polyneuropathy is about 70% of the patients have 0 out of pocket, right? And the remaining 30%, it's about $3,500 per year in terms of median and that's before potentially them getting third-party support to help pay for that. So from a patient perspective, this is an affordable medicine, even though it's a high-cost drug. So those were the reasons that we chose to price it the way we did.
So far, so good, right? I think that we commented on the Q2 results call that on the payer side that where payers have put policies in place in Medicare Advantage and in commercial now most of those are first line that are enabling first-line access, meaning there's no step edits in place that require you to go through one of the other medicines in the space. There's a couple of examples on the commercial side where that did happen. That's expected, not a surprise to us, and we think we can continue to manage and work through that. I will say that this isn't permanent. This isn't -- we're done. I mean these are policies that can't be reviewed and revised on an annual basis. So this is something that we're going to have to continue to work closely with the payer community to make sure that we have the drug positioned as a first-line drug.
Yes. Makes sense. And maybe just going back to the price a little bit and gross to net over time and just what you're seeing there and your expectations?
Yes. So when we -- on the approval call, when we announced that we were keeping the price the same, we did say that we anticipated that gross to nets would increase gradually over time, meaning net price will come down gradually over time. And I still think that's the right guidance for the market. On the Q2 call, we did talk about what happened with gross to nets in the second quarter itself. And we did see an increase in gross to nets in the quarter. And there were a couple of things that drove that. One was increased 340B utilization. there's rebates that you pay on that. And that was driven by the cardiomyopathy launch. And we expected that.
The other thing that happened in the quarter is actually part of our business gets processed as a Part D sale, even though we're a Part B product, and that's the home care part of the market, which is about 20% or 25% of the business. And given the IRA redesign in terms of who pays for what with these high-cost medicines, 20% of that cost is the responsibility of the manufacturer. So for that part of our business, we saw an increase in gross to net. So what we guided to was that we thought we would see gross to nets increase about mid-single digits this year on a full year basis versus 2024. And beyond that, I would say, '26 and beyond, we continue to expect that we'll see a gradual increase in gross to nets over time.
Got you. And maybe last question on TTR. Obviously, you're early in the launch having success. As you move through the next few quarters, like what are the key drivers in your view or how do things sort of progress?
It's really about focusing on driving demand in that first-line positioning for the product. We talked about the importance of that given the -- where the market is in terms of treatment and diagnosis rates. And given that, that's really what's going to drive long-term growth in the category, we're really focused on that first-line positioning. We're 1 quarter in, and physicians have these patients coming in every day now, and they have to make choices on what products they want to put their patients on. So that's really where we're focused, and that's something that we'll be tracking carefully over time. I think the other thing is we mentioned that we've got a couple of additional markets that we're launching in the second half of the year, Japan and Germany. I think as we move into 2026, given that the access and reimbursement time lines in other major markets in Europe, we'll start to add more markets in Europe next year as well. So that will be a bigger contributor in terms of growth. One point of clarification for people on the ex U.S. launches.
It's very likely that in most of these launches or markets when we launch, we'll be launching at a lower price than what we're at today, given the way access and reimbursement negotiations work ex U.S. And so that means for the polyneuropathy business ex U.S., it will be a headwind when we lower price. And so you probably won't have the same step that you saw in the U.S. There will be a little bit of bite taken out of that initially. Certainly, the volume is going to be more than enough to make up for that, and we'll ultimately see good growth ex U.S., but it might be just a little bit slower in terms of the impact because of that. So just trying to manage expectations on that front. The international part of our business in TTR has historically been a significant contributor to the overall franchise. It's been -- 40% to 50% of the polyneuropathy business has come ex U.S. So we do expect that this will be a meaningful contributor longer term ex U.S. as well.
Yes. Makes sense. Maybe we can move to inclisiran real quick, and maybe talk about how that's different from AMVUTTRA. And then kind of what the advantages is of getting that to market?
Yes. So this will be our third-generation TTR product. Probably most of you are familiar. The first product was ONPATTRO. Again, it's a silencer every 3-week IV infusion. So very high burden of treatment. AMVUTTRA was a huge step in terms of convenience advantage to once a quarter subcu. What this third-generation product, inclisiran offers is a couple of things. deeper knockdown and more consistent knockdown. AMVUTTRA and ONPATTRO, both, we get to about 85% knockdown and obviously, very good efficacy with that. What we showed in the Phase I study with inclisiran is we get it to 95% and hold it there. And actually, the variability around 90%, it's a sort of tighter spread than what we see around the 85%. So deeper knockdown typically translates into better efficacy. So our anticipation and hope is that we're going to see better efficacy with this product because of the deeper knockdown. The other benefit, which is, I think, something that patients always welcome is the durability is longer.
So this is an every 6-month dose product, so twice a year rather than 4 times a year. There's some additional sort of business advantages of the drug as well. We've got a pretty significant royalty that we pay to Sanofi on sales of AMVUTTRA that -- between 15% and 30%, and it ramps up to that 30% level pretty quickly. There's no royalty burden to Sanofi on sales of inclisiran. It's obviously a substantial margin advantage of this product. And then it's also got an intellectual property that pushes out into the 2040s, AMVUTTRA is 2036. And so hopefully, it extends the franchise and expands the franchise both. So this is an important program for us. And we've announced -- we've initiated the Phase III or the pivotal study for cardiomyopathy. That will be an outcome study, 1,200 patients, likely 2030 is what we're talking about in terms of launch. And then the polyneuropathy study, we intend to initiate that before the end of the year, so in the next few months. And that will be a quicker to market kind of study, probably a couple of years quicker than the CM study would be.
How do you think about when that gets to market, how you transition patients? Obviously, better profile, but there are other things you can do to increase that in any way?
I mean if you look at what happened with AMVUTTRA when we launched, right, I mean that went from -- again, every 3-week IV to once a quarter subcu, we did not have to work very hard, right? And very similar efficacy profile. We didn't have to work very hard to switch that business that was preferred very quickly by patients. Here, hopefully, we'll have better efficacy and more convenient. I think if that's the profile, I think there's going to be a high demand from patients that are on AMVUTTRA to want to switch. So I think we can switch that business, obviously, ultimately, depending on the outcome of the study.
Good. Makes sense. Maybe we can switch to zilebesiran. You recently presented some data there, Phase II data, KARDIA-3. Maybe give us some key highlights and next steps for that program.
Yes. I mean let me just talk about what we're trying to do here in this space, and then we can talk about the results with KARDIA-3. So this is a program for hypertension. And there's plenty of effective therapies on the market for hypertension, a lot of them generic. But the challenge with those products is they're oral and patients don't take them religiously on a daily basis. They don't stay on the meds, right? So you don't get the benefit or advantage of the medicine. And for the patients that stay on them, again, it's intermittent in terms of how they're taking these. So what that creates is variability in blood pressure control. And that variability is a risk factor for hypertension. And so this is a medicine that could be given once every 6 months, turn it on for 6 months and you get that tonic control of blood pressure. So you get the blood pressure lowering, which should reduce risk for these patients, but you also get a higher quality control of blood pressure because you reduce that variability, you get ton of control both at day and night.
We think that is another factor that will lower risk for these patients. So that's what we're trying to do with this program. So the KARDIA-3 data, I would describe it as a warm-up act for the outcome study. So this was a study that looked at zilebesiran in combination with 2 to 4 of these background meds. And what we found is we got clinically meaningful blood pressure lowering 5 millimeters of mercury. And so that in and of itself gives us confidence to take the drug forward. But the things that we learned that will apply to the to the Phase III study. Number one is the dose that we're going to take forward. So the 300-milligram dose is the right one to take forward every 6 months, 1 injection every 6 months. But we also learned some about inclusion/ exclusion. That 5 millimeters of mercury, if you look at the patients that were on diuretics that were in the study, you saw like 7 to 9 millimeters of blood pressure lowering.
So that will be an inclusion criteria in the Phase III study or in the pivotal study, the outcome study is that we want patients on diuretics. And also just based on the results from the study, we made helped to sort of fine-tune the powering assumptions. So this will be an 11,000-patient study. And the reason we're running this as an outcome study rather than just a blood pressure lowering study is what I described before, we think the benefits of this are twofold, not only the blood pressure lowering, which will reduce risk, but it's the quality of the blood pressure lowering and that tonic control. That in and of itself should also be risk reducing. The only way to show that is to run an outcome study and see what you get in terms of lowering of a MACE-type endpoint. So that's what we're going to do, and we think that would then position the drug well for an attractive commercial launch.
You just talked about time lines and...
Yes, it's an outcome study, 11,000 patient study. So a lot of this is going to -- we can fine-tune as we see how enrollment is going. But our estimate is that this is around the end of the decade kind of launch. It's a -- we've got to run this a long time to accrue enough events to see the benefit here. So yes, it's probably 2030.
Yes. Got you. And maybe in the last few minutes here, I can ask you a couple of macro questions you've been asked sort of topical, we've been asking all the companies. So we'll start maybe with China's rising biotech innovation, how are you thinking about your competitive position here? And will this influence your R&D or BD strategy going forward?
What was the first part of the question?
Just China's -- China...
China. China, yes, so we don't have investment in China today, either commercially or from an R&D standpoint. And I think that's something that we're thinking about carefully. Certainly, we're monitoring and seeing all the innovation on the R&D side that's happening very rapidly in China today. And I think our feeling is that we need to get closer to that. So that's something that we're exploring in terms of what that could look like. So I would say just kind of TBD on that.
Yes. Got you. And then second question, how are you currently leveraging artificial intelligence or thinking about AI's future disruption?
Yes. I mean I think we're probably doing a lot of the things that a lot of other companies are doing in terms of just improving the efficiency of certain processes using AI, that's probably not that exciting. We are doing that kind of stuff. I think the stuff that's more strategic that could be more meaningful to the overall business. On the commercial side, we are using AI in terms of sort of directing our sales force efforts. And I think that we've had some success with that. I think on the research side, we're certainly doing some stuff with AI around target, mining genetic databases for targets and things like that. So probably more to come on these types of things, but those would be the 2 areas, I think, strategically that we're investing more time and energy commercially as patient finding and then helping us sort of find the right targets to go after with our technology.
Yes. Okay. And then maybe last macro question. What has been most impactful for Alnylam from the regulatory side? Would it be changes with the FDA, MFN or tariffs?
I would say, first of all, maybe I'll go through this one by one. I think in terms of interactions with the FDA, we haven't seen any changes. I'm fortunate -- maybe we're fortunate, but I'm happy we got approved with the HELIOS-B, right, when we did, which was at the end of March. But we really haven't seen any changes in the interactions there. So, so far, so good. MFN, I think you're probably hearing from everybody, we're watching this very carefully. We're trying to understand where this is going. We understand what the administration is trying to achieve.
If we were asked to participate in that, we would constructively engage. We've not been one of the companies that's gotten one of these letters. So for now, it's kind of watch and wait and try to understand where this may be going. But right now, there's not a lot of specifics. I think on the last point about tariffs, I think we're in a pretty good position in terms of the vast majority of our manufacturing is done in the U.S. and the intellectual property for where it sits geographically as most of that sits in the U.S. as well. So we don't see a significant risk to our business associated with tariffs as a result.
And just on MFN, since you're more rare disease, is that maybe...
That's a good point. I mean I think on the IRA, if you've got an orphan designation, you're actually not subject to price negotiations in the future. Again, I don't know how MFN is going to work if it continues to work its way forward. Could there be a carve-out for orphan products? Maybe. And if so, obviously, we'd be in a good position. All 4 of the products that we're marketing and selling in the U.S. are orphan designation products. So if that were the case, that would obviously would be good for us.
Yes. And maybe just last minute. I'll ask just one last question in terms of -- we talked about some of this already, but just the catalyst path here and as we look over the next year, like maybe walk us through some of the...
I mean the biggest catalyst here without doubt is going to be commercial performance with AMVUTTRA. That's where the market is really focused, and we understand that. And so internally, we're putting an amazing amount of focus on that, too, and we're investing behind that launch to drive success. So that's the biggest catalyst. Again, I talked earlier, I think at some point, as people will get a few more quarters behind us and people get more confidence in that revenue trajectory, people are going to then start to turn to the pipeline. We've talked about a number of the things, late-stage programs, inclisiran and zilebesiran. But we've got a lot of interesting things going on in other parts of the pipeline, including CNS.
That's the next tissue that we've started to unlock. And we have demonstrated with the first program, mivelsiran that we can get it into the brain, we can get knockdown and we can do it safely. What we haven't delivered is any proof-of-concept data yet, and that's what we're working on right now. And we've got a number of additional interesting programs that we've moved into the clinic for -- into the CNS as well, including our Huntington's program. So let that data mature a little bit, and then hopefully, we'll show some proof of concept there, and that hopefully will start to get people more enthusiastic about the potential of those programs, but we're excited about that.
Yes. Great. Looks like we're out of time. Thanks so much, Jeff. Appreciate it.
Thank you. Appreciate it.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: Alnylam meldet eine sehr starke Anfangsphase des erweiterten Transthyretin (TTR)-Labels für AMVUTTRA: schneller Zugang, deutliche U.S.-Umsatzsteigerung und Guidance-Anhebung – zugleich Finanzierung zur Reduktion künftiger Aktienverwässerung abgeschlossen.
🚀 Strategische Highlights
- Kommerz: Schnelle Formulary‑Freigaben in ~170 Health‑Systemen führten zu einem Q2‑Umsatz‑Sprung (PN=Polyneuropathie; CM=Cardiomyopathie) – Management schätzt ~1.400 kommerzielle CM‑Patienten zum Quartalsende.
- Finanzierung: Neuer Wandelanleihe‑Takedown $575M, 0% Coupon, Strike +40%, 3 Jahre; Mehrheit der alten Konvertible zurückgekauft, verwässerungswirksame Schwelle deutlich angehoben.
- Pipeline: Fokus auf nächste‑Gen TTR (inclisiran) und Blutdruckprogramm (zilebesiran); inclisiran CM‑Outcome (1.200 P.) und ZIL KARDIA‑3 Daten treiben langfristigen Wert.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Q2‑Effekt: TTR‑U.S. Wachstum: +$170M vs Q1, davon ~+$150M CM und ~$20M PN; konzernweite Revenue‑Guidance um ~$575M erhöht, fast vollständig TTR‑getrieben.
- Finanzdetail: Neuem Convert liegt Cap‑Call‑Schutz, potenzielle Verwässerung erst oberhalb ~$800/Share über 3 Jahre; Ziel: in 3 Jahren Convertible‑frei dank Profitabilität.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Zugang: Analytiker hoben Early‑Access hervor – Diskussionspunkte: First‑line vs Second‑line‑Mix, Formularverfahren bei Medicare Advantage und Commercial Policies.
- Kombinationen: Interesse an AMVUTTRA+tafamidis; breite Anwendung limitiert durch Payer‑Policies bis zu generischem tafamidis (Pfizer: erwartete Generik‑Option bis Ende 2028).
- Preisrisiken: Gross‑to‑Net (Rabatte/Rebate‑Effekte) dürfte mittlere einstellige Prozentpunkte steigen; Treiber Q2: 340B‑Nutzung und Part‑D/Homecare Effekte.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Kurzfristig starke Commercial‑Story für Aktionäre: Guidance‑Upgrade und reduzierte Verwässerungsgefahr stärken Sichtbarkeit. Risiken bleiben bei Netto‑Preisen, ex‑US‑Erstattungen und langen Timelines für Schlüsselassets (inclisiran/zilebesiran ~2030).
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Citi's Biopharma Back to School Conference
1. Question Answer
Thank you all. Welcome all again to the 2025 Citi Biopharma Conference in Boston. Next on the docket, we have Alnylam. If you could, I guess, introduce us and kind of tell us a little bit about the company for no one who's -- for people who haven't heard of you before, bring us up to speed, that would be great.
[indiscernible] very productive organic platform for the company. We've got 6 products in the market today, 4 of which that we're marketing ourselves, which came out of our research labs, meaning the Skys Labs. And we've got a terrific pipeline of things that we think they are going to continue the growth trajectory for the company over the long term. And I know we're going to get into a number of those topics here in the next 40 minutes. I think the big focus right now for investors on the company is clearly the launch in ATTR cardiomyopathy, and we reported strong initial results, which was in Q2 in terms of what we delivered. Again, I know we're going to get into the details on that, but that enabled us to upgrade the guidance for this year pretty substantially, and I think got people pretty excited about what we were able to say about the initial demand for the product. So we're excited. Yes.
I guess going way back when, I mean, RNAi has been around theoretically for a long time. And much more recently, you started getting commercial approvals. It's a Nobel Prize -- there's a Nobel Prize associated with it. How has RNAi evolved? Obviously, at the beginning, there was a vision of all these different indications that could be approached. How has it evolved from early days to now?
That's definitely, Kevin, one for you.
That's fine. I've been with the company over 20 years. I've been in RNAi, probably 27 years. So I think the beauty of RNAi is that it's a naturally occurring mechanism. It's in every cell in the human body. And so the idea that you could take a small RNA and deliver it inside a cell and get it to co-op the mechanism by which microRNAs, which are these naturally occurring RNAis work was really pie in the sky when we first started.
As we moved along, there were really 2 key things we needed to solve. One was how do you get a small RNA inside a cell and how do you keep it stable long enough that it can act. And so over time, we solve that problem first with lipid nanoparticles for patisiran and then later on with something called GalNAc, which is really a small molecule that you put on the end and you drag it into the liver and then stabilizing the molecules themselves. And that really allowed us to have a pharmacology, which is fairly unprecedented. You can do a subcu injection once every 6 months, maybe once a year as we go forward and lower a protein that might be involved in human disease, right?
And so we started out in the liver. We've now moved over into the central nervous system and are currently expanding into muscle and into adipose heart and other places. We announced at our R&D Day that really our goal is to get into every major organ and to then start to go after diseases in that fashion. So it's been a very -- it's been a long journey. We've had our ups and downs, but the technology just works.
I'm going to definitely dig into the -- outside the liver at some point here. Naturally, people are focusing a lot more on something more recent. And that, of course, is AMVUTTRA, its strong launch. Now there's been a certain evolution in ATTR. I think that the expectations for what -- how significant it could be has changed a lot over the last few years. How do you see the ATTR market now versus how you saw it even 2 or 3 years ago?
Yes. I mean maybe a couple of things is it's a rare disease, but it's a big market, which maybe seems sort of like an oxymoron, but it's the truth based on what we know about it. We think that -- talk about the wild-type part of the market for just a second, but then I actually want to pivot to polyneuropathy, which is the place that we've been sort of playing commercially for the last 5 or 6 years. We think the wild-type part of the market, which is a cardiomyopathy market is about 300,000-plus globally in terms of number of patients. And we think that's largely underpenetrated today. Maybe about 20% of the patients are being treated today with cardiomyopathy.
We, again, mentioned earlier, we started out in the hereditary polyneuropathy part of the market. The hereditary part of the market is probably 50,000 patients and about maybe half of that polyneuropathy. So that's the place that we've been playing from a commercial standpoint for the last 5 years is about 25,000, 30,000 patients. We did $1.2 billion in revenue last year. That was polyneuropathy only, and that was growing more than 30% a year. We're probably somewhere around 5,000 patients on therapy for polyneuropathy. Now we're talking about opening up, obviously, with the label expansion first in the U.S. to what I described in terms of a much, much larger market opportunity.
So there -- and I think what you've seen in the first 2 quarters of this year with the second product that launched, which was Bridge's product and then Alnylam's product in the second quarter. And if you watch kind of how Pfizer's business has been evolving, there's a lot of growth here already. And our expectation is as you get more voices in the market for a rare disease like this, that drives diagnosis and ultimately, treatment rates up. So that's what we're expecting is going to happen over time as you may even see an acceleration of that growth. And it's been a terrific franchise for Pfizer, right? The CM for TAF, that's a $6 billion franchise. So there's a huge opportunity here, number one.
And then the second thing that I would highlight that we're certainly continuing to learn is there's still a lot of unmet need in the market. I mean the Pfizer franchise has been a great franchise for them, but there's still a lot of patients, as I mentioned, that aren't diagnosed or treated. But the patients that are on drug, they're not all responding adequately to the therapy. And now there's some choices for those patients. And so particularly for us with an orthogonal mechanism of action, right, the first one is an orthogonal to the stabilizer mechanism. I think that's a real opportunity for us as well in terms of that second-line setting. So the size and the unmet need are the things that I think that we continue to see here.
Towards that end, I know a few years ago, it was kind of viewed as a zero-sum game. There's going to be winners and there's going to be losers. And maybe that position is starting to shift to a degree. How do you see the coexistence of all that?
I think we've said that for a long time is that we don't think that this is a one company, one product, take all kind of market opportunity. It's a significant opportunity. So I do think that's the case. I mean we're obviously very focused on our product and educating and getting it into as many patients' hands as possible. But I do think it's a market that there can be multiple companies and products that are going to do well. I think you're seeing the beginning signs of that already.
In the early run here for you, are you starting to hear of an overall view on how the doctors look at each therapy, what types of patients might go aware versus other?
It's probably a little bit early. I mean I think that right now, because there's really been only one product for these patients, certainly, tafamidis is getting the majority of the new patients still are going on tafamidis, which is, again, I would say at this point to be expected. But this is a progressive fatal disease. So the physicians and the patients ultimately want to be on the best product they can be on as quickly and as early as they can be on that product. And so it's our responsibility and job now to make sure that we're educating the community as to why we think AMVUTTRA should be the product that they should reach for.
Again, it's not a disease that you want to put a patient on a product, see how they do for a period of time. If they're not doing well, then move them up, right? So that's really our responsibility. It's probably, again, a little bit too early to say exactly how those choices are being made. I mean we did talk on the Q2 results call about the patients that came on to therapy, there were about 1,400 patients that started therapy with AMVUTTRA in the U.S. for cardiomyopathy in the second quarter. And the initial patients right out of the approval were probably more second line, so more switches, maybe some add-on, but mostly switches, I would say. But over the course of the quarter, there was really a pretty good balance in terms of first line and second line.
So for us, I think the real priority is that first-line setting because long term, because what we talked about -- mentioned earlier in terms of the market being underpenetrated. And that's really what's going to drive growth over time is diagnosis and getting new patients on therapy. We want to -- that's where we want to win. That's what we're prioritizing. And again, because it's progressive and fatal, you should go on the most potent effective therapy as early as you can. We think that based on HELIOS-B results, we can make a very persuasive and compelling case that, that should be our product.
So that's what we're focused on. I think the advantage we've got on the second line side, which I mentioned earlier is we're the first orthogonal mechanism. So I think we're going to probably get a lot of that business as a result of the way cardiologists make decisions about moving patients around, and we're seeing that early on. So we're likely going to have 2 pretty good sources of growth over the long haul here, we think, both in that first- and second-line setting.
In terms of that initial couple of quarters performance, do you find that the initial prescribers are doctors who used to prescribe it under the polyneuropathy label and that there's going to be more of a -- it's going to take more time to kind of move into the broader cardiology...
I'd say it's pretty broad already in terms of what we're seeing in terms of uptake. It's really balanced first line, second line, community setting, academic setting. We talked about a pretty significant expansion of new prescribers in the second quarter compared to the first quarter. And so I think it's both physicians that are experienced with it on the polyneuropathy side, but early indications in the second quarter as we were also expanding it to physicians to use it that had never used it before. So I think that's going to continue on a go-forward basis.
I mean back in the day, I think that there's typically a 3- to 5-year mortality for patients when they were diagnosed with cardiomyopathy. Has there been an evolution in that number since tafamidis was initially approved? And I mean, as it gets longer, obviously, that means patients are going to be on medications longer itself. How should we be viewing that when we try to estimate what the true size of the market opportunity is?
Kevin, do you want to talk about that?
I think clearly, from the HELIOS-B results and other results, patients are going to live longer, right? And that's the whole goal of the therapy is to keep them alive all the way until their natural lifespan. So I think you've seen that in this disease over time is that you want to get diagnosed early and then you want to get on drug early enough that you have a natural lifespan and maybe something else, not this disease is in the end.
When looking at what's going on, I guess, with the big initial competition, Pfizer, who's been around for a while, $6 billion, they just recently announced this week that they're basically pulling VYNDAQEL. How does that really affect things in your mind?
Yes. I think -- I don't know for sure, but I think our belief probably is that's sort of a commercial decision, right, 4 pills for VYNDAQEL, 1 pill a day for VYNDAMAX, and they're competing probably pretty extensively right now with Bridge and Bridge is twice a day, 2 pills sort of each setting. So 4 pills a day for Bridge. So I suspect that it's about convenience for patients. Most of the business was already on VYNDAMAX. I think it was 80% of the patients from what I understand are already on VYNDAMAX. But that's my suspicion or our suspicion, I should say. But we don't think that this changes the IP situation in terms of when we would expect generic entry in the U.S., which I think Pfizer has consistently said end of 2028. And I think that's a view that we share. I don't think this is about that.
Got it. I mean, I guess you had talked about how it's -- you're targeting the frontline population. Have investors still kind of asking questions, trying to understand are there -- what types of questions are the payers actually asking and try to determining which to use? Obviously, there's a Part B drug versus Part D. So it's 2 different sides of the payer world. Are there -- do these 2 sides of the world actually talk? What's actually happening...
It's a good question. Maybe I should talk a little bit about the second quarter results and probably the key to that actually was sort of the progress that we made in the quarter on the access front. We had originally guided the market that we thought this was largely going to be a second half of the year story in terms of revenue growth for the company, meaning that we didn't expect a lot in the second quarter, and that's because of what you said. This is a Part B buy-and-bill drug. So there's really 2 key steps that you have to take to unlock physicians' ability to start using the product and putting patients on therapy and generating revenue.
One is on the payer side, you got to work with the payers to get policies in place that enable utilization of the drug. I mean patients can get on it without those policies being in place, but it's more work for the physicians in that situation. And so we've been really successful there on the policy side, on the Medicare Advantage and the commercial side of getting most policies in place during the quarter that enable first-line utilization of the product, which I think had been somewhat of a debate about whether or not that we were going to be successful with that. So that was one step.
But probably the more important step and the one that we thought was going to take longer is the providers. So the ones that are doing the buy and bill and the purchasing of the product, administering and then getting reimbursed for it. The majority of the providers that are doing the buy-and-bill work at health systems, right? They think of these like networks of hospitals, about 170 of those in the U.S. that are treating the majority of these patients. We got almost all of those -- the product on formulary in the second quarter.
And I think that's what we thought was going to take a little bit more time and really probably through the end of the year before we were going to reach that level of success. And so that really was the key to the unlock in the quarter of the much quicker revenue uptake. And I think a couple of things contributed to that. One was the fact that a lot of these health systems were familiar with and they had been utilizing AMVUTTRA for polyneuropathy. So there was a familiarity there that certainly helped us.
And then second, I think it was really good commercial execution. You really can't start having these conversations with these providers until you have an approval and you have a label. But the team -- the commercial team in the U.S. did everything up to being able to have the meeting to get the product on formulary that they could in advance. And so that really accelerated things when we got the approval. So those are the things that I think really helped. I will say on the payer front in terms of the policies that are in place that enable first line, that's not planting the victory flag. That's not necessarily a forever thing. Payers have the ability on an annual basis to review their policies and make changes.
And so that's something that we're going to have to continue to work on very carefully to make sure that we maintain that kind of access. And we have signaled that we believe that over time, that our net price for AMVUTTRA in the U.S. will come down gradually, and that's largely as a result of rebating that we may have to do to maintain the kind of formulary position that we've got in terms of first line over time. But we're off to a very good start, and we're encouraged by that.
Towards that end, with the buy and bill and some of these systems and the price -- kind of the net price being lowered gradually over time, what type of inventory do these systems actually hold? And I mean, is there a theoretical risk they're taking relative to a decrease? Or is it in the contracts to kind of make up for inventory?
Yes, the health systems don't hold a lot of inventory. The inventory is really held by our distribution -- vast majority of it with sort of a single distributor that we've got. I mean this stuff is shipped out on a daily basis. So the systems that are doing the administering don't need to hold a lot of inventory here. And look, I do think that the price reductions that we're talking about are going to be pretty gradual over time. So the sort of the risk that you're highlighting is probably a very small risk for the distribution partner that we've got.
Got it. So let's jump on to the follow-on, nucresiran. There's obviously 2 dynamics to this. One is the therapy itself and what its characteristics are. And of course, that we jump over there the economic situation with nucresiran, which is very, very different. Let's start out on how the therapy itself differs?
Yes. So nucresiran is our next generation. It's -- we call it IKARIA, which is a small Greek island, right, that -- where people live a very long time. So it's a very long-acting drug. And part of what we've done there is to make this drug exceptionally clean in terms of its off-target profile. So you can dose it higher up to -- we're up to 300 milligrams, which is the go-forward dose. And we also have -- it's got a much better ability to lower TTR. So TTR is into the high 90s, right? And so our data over time suggested from the clinical trials we run that more knockdown is better. And so between the longer acting, the clean profile and the ability to get lower TTR, we're very excited about that as a follow-on drug.
I mean does the data speak to what -- I guess, to what degree of an improvement in efficacy with knockdown. I know there's been a lot of companies kind of discussing what these percentages mean.
Yes, it's hard from the trials that we've done to put an exact percentage on it, but I think the trend there is very clear. A ED70 was not as good as an ED85, which we don't think will be as good as an ED95.
And what's the status? Where does that sit in the trials? And where could we actually start seeing some data?
We were -- we've initiated the Phase III study in cardiomyopathy, and we will initiate the polyneuropathy Phase III study by the end of the year as well. So we're off to the races, I would say.
When might we see data for each trial?
I think what we've guided to is CM because it's an -- and Kevin can talk a little bit more about the study, but it's an outcome study. So it's going to need to run. It's going to be larger and need to run longer than the PN study. We haven't announced the design of the PN study yet, but likely 2030 is what we're talking about with the CM opportunity with nucresiran and the PN opportunity should be a couple of years ahead of that.
Got it. Got it. And how are the economics different for nucresiran?
Pretty significantly. I mean, I think the 2 things, I think, economically that are important. One is the royalty burden to Sanofi is 0 with nucresiran, and it's between 15% and 30% on AMVUTTRA. So that's one, obviously, fairly significant difference. And then the IP on nucresiran gives us the potential to have the franchise extend out into the 2040s. AMVUTTRA is in 2036, 2037 kind of time frame in terms of when you could see generic entry. So both of those things, obviously, economically are good for the franchise.
Now if we jump back a little bit and look, the one part we didn't really talk about was combination therapy. I know that it's expensive drug. It's hard to say right now the extent that combination can get worked in. But over time, there's a possibility that it might become easier.
Yes. We think that because of what you said, putting 2 expensive therapies together, payers are probably going to make that difficult, which is what we expect. And I think you see most policies on the Medicare Advantage and the commercial side are making that difficult to get 2 products for the same disease reimbursed. Probably there's some opportunity on the Medicare fee-for-service side, but we think that will be pretty nominal, frankly, until we get to a generic entry, and we talked about the possibility of tafamidis being generic in the U.S. by the end of 2028. We do think that will open up the opportunity for combination therapy from a payer standpoint. We're fortunate about that sort of point in time, and you can debate whether it's 2028 or sometime later.
For us, frankly, it doesn't quite matter quite as much because we've got data in the label that shows that the drug was effective in the different subgroups that we studied in HELIOS-B, which included patients that were on a background stabilizer at baseline, and we did show a positive effect across all endpoints in the study when it was used in combination versus stabilizer alone. And so I think that we're going to be well positioned when the combination opportunity opens up more broadly.
The other thing is the design of the nucresiran study is likely going to be mostly an add-on study because patients that are on a stabilizer will be -- there's no cap on that coming into the study. So most patients are very likely going to be on a stabilizer in that study. And so that -- given the size of that study, that may lead to an actual claim, a combination claim. So I think we're in a good position as the market opens up the combination therapy. There is interest, I would say, from the physicians to use it in combination, yes.
So ESC 2024 for you was about AMVUTTRA, ESC 2025 was about zilebesiran. Could you tell us about that drug and what you presented this past weekend?
You want to start?
Maybe I'll just start just with the size of the opportunity that we're looking at here. Obviously, this is a massive potential opportunity. I think there's over 200 million patients that have hypertension across the 7 largest markets and somewhere between 1/4 and 1/3 of the patients high CV risk and uncontrolled hypertension. And that's really the patient population that we're targeting with the CVOT. That's the patient population that we looked at in KARDIA-3.
And so this is a significant opportunity for us longer term. This is a program that's in combination with Roche. We did a deal with them a couple of years ago. And so there's a co-development, co-commercialization opportunity there. They're picking up about 60% of the cost to develop the drug. And then as we launch, we would have the opportunity to co-market it alongside them in the U.S. They'll have full commercialization rights outside the U.S. But I'll let Kevin talk a little bit more about the data that we shared at ESC from KARDIA-3 and then the plan based on some of the learnings there to move this into a CVOT.
Yes. So I was going to start first with hypertension itself. And really, the most important part about hypertension is keeping your blood pressure low tonically so that you keep it down and it doesn't go up and down. And we've published some papers recently where we've actually looked at across populations where it's those spikes in blood pressure that actually are the most harmful, especially if those spikes occur at night and you don't get the so-called nocturnal dipping where your blood pressure naturally goes down at night. And so really, this is a disease of exposure over time to too high a pressure. And so the concept here really is to once every 6 months, be able to go into your practitioner, get a subcu injection, keep your blood pressure low.
And you don't have to worry about whether you took your pill every day, whether if you didn't take the pill, your blood pressure is going to spike, whether it spikes after night. And so the data really shows in this -- especially with this nocturnal dipping that leads to bad outcomes if your blood pressure doesn't go down at night. And so that was the whole concept of this drug was to really change how hypertension is treated, which is to go in and have the ability to keep that down tonically. And so we've run a bunch of trials. We were at a Phase I, Phase II and now you've seen sort of the results come out at ESC.
And really, what we're trying to figure out is within this, all of those trials showed clinically significant lowering of blood pressure on multiple agents. And really, what we were trying to learn is if you're going to go into a very large outcome trial, you want to know how to power it, you want to know the right dose and you also want to know the right patient population to try. And so the data that we presented at ESC really gave us confidence of all 3 of those things, which patient population should you enrich for, which dose should you take? And then we're going to go on into an outcome trial with our partners at Roche.
When you think in terms of the fluctuations throughout the day, is that a function of often people just taking all their pills in these combinations in the morning and they're wearing off by the end of the day? Is it something that more appropriate management if they were taking some of their -- the pills in combination in the morning and some at night, that might lessen the magnitude of it?
I think it could if you could change human behavior potentially. I don't think it will take care of all of it, like the nocturnal dipping is not the same on some of the standard of care that's out there. But I have to say, even looking at our clinical trial where we were measuring whether patients coming in and the run-in were supposed to be on medications, but we weren't detecting the medications in the system, right? And so it's just -- as people get older, in particular, if you're on multiple medications, they just don't take the pills regularly. And so I think -- and because it is a disease of area under the curve, like every time you're not doing that, you're actually putting yourself at greater risk. And so I think that's part of the whole underlying hypothesis.
When talking about this with physicians who have been treating blood pressure for years, and they're used to this whole process of titrating, you titrate one drug up, add a second drug on, start titrating that up, then you might add a third on, titrating that up until you find it. And then you bring a therapy that titration isn't a thing. How do they -- what's their initial response to that? And how do they compare, number one -- one versus the other? And brainstorming, how that actually fits into their practice?
Yes. So I think as they get their head around it, the concept becomes, okay, well, I can use your drug to take the blood pressure down and hold it tonically and now I can use these other medications to do my little titration and sort of in a narrow band, push it up or down a little bit more as I want to. And I think that's how they start to think about it once they get their head around a novel mechanism.
And I know in this trial, actually, it was the hypotension rates were pretty much in line with placebo. In the trial itself, how does that actually get managed? In the event there is a situation, does the protocol actually have it for down titrating other therapies?
So you can either down-titrate other therapies. We've shown early in our Phase I is that you can use salt to rescue short term. And then behind this, we don't feel like we'll ever really need to use it, but we do have something called Reversir, which is another drug that can reverse the action of our current medication.
Got it. So let's talk about the pivotal with Roche. I know you certainly gave some outlines of it this past weekend. What would this study look like?
Yes. So we're looking at somewhere around 11,000 patients, I think it was...
Yes. That's the right number.
Yes. And we're looking at -- it's an event-driven trial. And so we'll be looking at MACE endpoints. It's a lot like other hypertension trials and cardiovascular outcome trials that have been out there.
And how long would it take?
It's event-driven. So it's hard to say an exact time frame.
I think a minimum 2-year follow-up, but we haven't...
Minimum of 2-year follow-up. Yes.
I think we've said approximately 2030 is what the expectation right now, but it will obviously depend on enrollment and then how quickly we accrue the events, but that's the best guess at this point.
We'll have to double check ours. So how large of an opportunity is this ultimately in your mind?
Yes. I think it's a big opportunity. I highlighted previously just the size of the opportunity even in a subset of the market, which is really what we're talking about is going into hypertension for patients with high CV risk. Even that part of the market is 60 million-plus patients in the 7 largest pharma markets around the world. So there's a significant opportunity here. I think given the size of the opportunity and what was going to be needed to be successful commercially, that was one of the main reasons a couple of years ago that we did the deal with Roche. We thought that we needed their experience and, frankly, in the buy-and-bill and a much broader sort of buy-and-bill market as well as their experience in launching highly innovative therapies into very competitive markets, right? I think they had a lot of success in the hemophilia market as an example. We thought that we would really benefit from their experience with this drug, and we do think it's a sizable opportunity.
So we have a little less than 10 minutes left, and I wanted to drift outside of the liver. For years, it's been about the liver.
We have a few more things coming in liver.
I know there's a lot of stuff in the liver, but there's also a lot of other stuff coming outside the liver that are kind of just starting to emerge. What is the nature of the challenge outside the liver? And what is the cadence of when we can actually -- I mean we already know there's some things going on. Certainly, we have mivelsiran and there are other areas. But what is the cadence of actually seeing more of these therapies come out?
Yes. So where we -- our first foray really outside the liver was into the central nervous system, where we have our protein that targets APP. That's amyloid precursor protein for Alzheimer's and also a disease called CAA, which is basically an Alzheimer's of the vascular system in the brain as you can think about it. And that drug is an IT injection every 6 months. We've seen really phenomenal knockdown, ED80s, ED90s of APP in CSF. And that program is continuing to go ahead in early onset Alzheimer's patients where we're measuring over time a bunch of different biomarkers, including Abeta 40 and 42, which are part of that disease. But separately, we've launched into a Phase II in this disease called CAA, where people get microbleeds to start with in their brain and then eventually strokes. It's probably a very underestimated cause of stroke and especially in elderly patients.
That trial actually has both a sporadic arm, but also there is a genetic population in the Netherlands where they have mutations in this protein called APP that we're knocking down. And those patients on 100% penetrant get this disease. So their family members all eventually succumb to stroke. And so they've been very well studied. And once you get 4 or 5 microbleeds, which you can see by imaging, every time you have a microbleed, you leave behind a little bit of iron that can show up on an MRI. And so you can follow these patients over time, and there's a couple of other biomarkers you can follow. And so what we're looking to do there is to really reduce the bleed rate over time in those patients. And so that's very exciting. That's an ongoing trial.
Behind that, we have our Huntington's program in the CNS, where we've targeted exon 1, which is sort of a unique strategy. We had a molecule that targeted just the full length, and we're happy we didn't take that forward as the biology has emerged a lot of -- we think that disease, especially as it progresses, there's these little peptides that come off and aggregate out of this thing called exon 1. So we're able to knock that down. That's an ongoing trial. And then behind that, we have our first program in adipose, which will be in the end of the year, targeting ACVR1C. We've shown an ED98 plus and a very long-acting adipose delivery. And then behind that, we have several different muscle programs that are coming along quite nicely as well as we also have a blood-brain technology that we've been working on actively.
What's the challenge when taking RNAi out of the liver? I mean it was in the people working on it for the liver for a long time. And -- so we know the liver very, very well, but how does it work? What's different with it?
So I think the beauty of RNAi is it does work in every cell. However, every cell is not the same. I mean every organ is not the same. So if you look at the liver, it's predominantly hepatocytes. There are a couple of other cell types, but the hepatocytes drive a lot of biology. As you get into certain other tissues like obviously, in the brain, there's a bunch of different cell types in the brain. And our delivery system actually hits most of the cell types in the brain on purpose because APP that I talked about, Huntington's, they're very broadly expressed.
Now we have some other programs where we'll be looking to hit specific cell types. And a lot of that is just engineering, getting the right ligand-receptor pair. And then there are certain cells that are just a little bit more amenable to RNAi versus others. And so a lot of it is the challenge that we've been tackling the 27 years I've been in it, which is delivery, right? How do you get specific delivery? How do you make sure it gets in the right part of the cell.
Towards that end, what learnings from the liver, it wasn't always smooth getting to delivering RNAi technologies. Obviously, the biggest headache in the early years of the technology was getting in there, see it stabilized. How does it vary from tissue to tissue? And what learnings you take from the earlier iterations into these new tissues?
So the good news is we don't have to reinvent everything. So a lot of the learnings about how you make a good molecule for one tissue hold true in other tissues, the longevity, depending on the half-life of the cells in that particular tissue, adipose is actually very long-lived cells. You have basically the same adipocytes for a very, very long time. There's not a lot of turnover, so you can expect very long action there. I think there are some other things that you learn as you go cell by cell, how much they tolerate in terms of off-target, how much you have to pay attention to the chemistry. So there are some tricks as you move from tissue to tissue. But a lot of what we've learned can also be applied.
So we got a couple of minutes left here. Any way we should think about the next couple of quarters in terms of beyond we've already -- you've already talked about in guidance as far as our expectations for growth.
Yes. I mean, I think certainly, there's still going to be a lot of focus on the quarterly results for AMVUTTRA and cardiomyopathy. So we're -- as I talked about earlier, what the commercial team is focused on is really continuing to drive positioning-wise, first-line demand, and we think we're going to get the second line that's going to come with that. But sort of watching how the demand figures look on a quarter-over-quarter basis, I think it's going to be a big focus for the investment community.
And then look, we upgraded the guidance pretty substantially on the Q2 call. So we're very focused on delivering on that. We know the importance of when we say we're going to do something that we need to follow through and make sure that happens. So commercially, those are the things that we're very focused on right now to continue to drive strong performance through the balance of the year and have us in a strong position to start next year as well. People will start to look at their models for '26 soon as well.
Yes. Indeed, we are. Thank you so much for visiting us today. Appreciate it as you know long drive from Cambridge and look forward to chatting in soon.
Thanks, Dave.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Citi's Biopharma Back to School Conference
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Citi's Biopharma Back to School Conference
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Launch-Momentum: AMVUTTRA zeigt in den ersten beiden Quartalen schnelle Nachfrage und ermöglichte eine signifikante Guidance-Anhebung; Zugang über Formulary-Listings und Policys wurde zügig freigeschaltet.
- Pipeline-Fokus: Folgeprodukt nucresiran (stärkerer TTR‑Knockdown, längere Wirkung) in Phase‑III; hypertensionsprogramm zilebesiran (mit Roche) zielt auf großen CVOT.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Zugang & Vertrieb: Fast alle ~170 US‑Health‑Systeme, die die meisten Patienten behandeln, haben AMVUTTRA in Q2 auf Formularen platziert; Buy‑and‑bill‑Rollout beschleunigte Umsatzrealisierung.
- Nucresiran: Next‑Gen mit tieferen TTR‑Senkungen, go‑forward Dose 300 mg, Phase‑III in Kardiomyopathie initiiert; kein Royalty‑Abzug an Sanofi versus 15–30% auf AMVUTTRA.
- Zilebesiran & Roche: Co‑Development/Co‑Commercial‑Deal; KARDIA‑3/ESC‑Learnings definieren Dosis, Population und führen zu geplantem CVOT (~11.000 Patienten, ereignisgetrieben).
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Formular‑Update: Unerwartet schneller Formular‑ und Policy‑Erfolg in Q2, was kurzfristig zu höherem Umsatz führte.
- Studien‑Status: Phase‑III für nucresiran in Kardiomyopathie läuft; Polyneuropathie‑Phase‑III geplant bis Jahresende; CM‑Daten frühestens ~2030 prognostiziert.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Marktgröße: Management schätzt Wild‑type‑CM global ≈300.000 Patienten, aktuelle Durchdringung ~20% — Diskussion über Diagnoseraten und Wachstumstreiber.
- Wettbewerb & Preis: Diskussion zur Pfizer‑Strategie (VYNDAQEL/ VYNDAMAX) und Auswirkungen; Management erwartet weiterhin Patentlaufzeit bis Ende 2028 für Generika‑Risiko; konkrete Netto‑Preisprognosen bleiben vage.
- Payer/Inventar: Teil B vs D, Rebatteffekte und mögliche jährliche Policy‑Reviews als Risiko; Inventarrisiko der Provider als gering beschrieben (Distribution zentrales Lager).
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investment‑Takeaway: Kurzfristig ist Alnylam durch AMVUTTRA‑Launch und schnelle Zugangsgewinne positiv positioniert; mittel‑ bis langfristig bieten nucresiran (bessere Ökonomie, längere IP) und zilebesiran (großer CV‑Markt mit Roche) erhebliches Upside, aber mit mehreren Jahren bis zu entscheidenden Outcome‑Daten und fortlaufenden Risiken bei Preis und Payer‑Coverage.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Special Call - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Hello, everybody, and thank you for joining us. Thanks so much for those of you who are here in the room in Madrid, I made the trip out to ESC and to many colleagues around the world, including those in the U.S. who are celebrating the Labor Day holiday.
We really appreciate everyone being here for what's a pretty exciting milestone event, which is the announcement of the KARDIA-3 results and really the kickoff with Alnylam in Roche of a Phase III cardiovascular outcome study for zilebesiran. We're really excited about this because as you're going to hear this afternoon or this evening, we're really excited about the potential for zilebesiran to address one of the most stubborn and intractable health problems that's out there, a public health problem, which is uncontrolled hypertension, which is really the #1 addressable cause of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. And as you'll hear, cardiovascular disease is the #1 killer of people around the world.
So we're going to spend some time talking about that today. I've got some wonderful colleagues here to help facilitate the discussion. I'm going to start with just a little bit of an introduction. We're joined by Professor Bryan Williams from the University College of London, who's going to talk to you about the global burden of cardiovascular disease and why zilebesiran may be prone to be able to address some of the major determinants of why we've not been able to control hypertension as well as we'd like to.
Then Dr. Neha Pagidipati from Duke University, who presented in the hotline session at ESC today, is going to come up and reprise her presentation and provide a little bit of additional data talking about the KARDIA-3 results and put them in some context. My colleague, Simon Fox, who leads the zilebesiran program at Alnylam, will provide the perspective on the opportunity here. And then Dr. Manu Chakravarthy from our partner at Roche, will give a partner perspective, and we'll come back and have a short period of Q&A.
So we expect the prepared remarks to be about 30 minutes or so, and then we'll launch into Q&A, both from people in the room and on the webcast. These are our forward-looking statements. What I want to show you in the next couple of moments is really what's turned out to be a really remarkable pipeline of therapeutics based on RNA interference. And in particular, how well suited these drugs are for treating a number of factors that sort of contribute to cardiovascular disease and the portfolio now, a number of very transformational or potentially transformational agents that can address major causes of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.
As you all have seen us present before, we've been working for 23 years on developing RNAi therapeutics. And it's a really unique class of medicines with a very, very remarkable pharmacology. We're able to silence any gene in the genome, work upstream of today's medicines, a catalytic mechanism that allows for highly potent medicines that are also highly specific and reversible and importantly, allow us to have infrequent administration once a quarter, once every 6 months or annually. And we think that is really important in addressing many of these chronic diseases.
With this technology, we've built really a pipeline that's the envy of the industry across a range of diseases. We have 6 marketed products across both rare and prevalent conditions. And as I said, a number of these really point this technology towards major determinants of cardiovascular health. You're familiar with Leqvio, which is approved for hypercholesterolemia and is now in two large outcome studies being run by Novartis.
We had the recent approval of AMVUTTRA in ATTR cardiomyopathy. We're going to be talking about zilebesiran for most of this session. And we have early programs in type 2 diabetes and in obesity.
Just one moment on AMVUTTRA, just that you can see the power of this technology in terms of being able to work upstream at knocking down or silencing the disease-causing protein. In this case, TTR resulted in really spectacular results, about a 35% reduction in all-cause mortality, concordant benefits on a whole number of other endpoints. This has now been approved in multiple geographies around the world. And we've had the launch in the United States, which is the first quarter has been quite good with 1,400 patients already on therapy and new results being presented at the ESC talking about extended survival data for HELIOS-B that are being presented at this Congress.
But what we're here to talk about is zilebesiran. And the reason we're so excited about this is that we think it really gives us an opportunity to address some of the major things that small molecule or daily drugs can't really address, helping more patients get to goal in terms of the quantity of blood pressure, but also the quality of blood pressure control, reducing blood pressure variability, improving adherence and improving nocturnal dipping. And Dr. Williams is going to talk to you about why we think all of those matter.
This summarizes the zilebesiran clinical development program. You can see the Phase II studies, we've had three of them now that have all now IV studies actually, including the Phase I that have all shown repeatedly really impressive effects of zilebesiran in terms of reducing blood pressure.
And in KARDIA-1 as a monotherapy and KARDIA-2 with a single other agent. And now in KARDIA-3, Dr. Pagidipati will talk to you about how it performed on top of 2 other agents -- 2 or 3 other agents in a high-risk population. And we are going to be announcing today that we're kicking off a cardiovascular outcome study to study the impact of this mechanism and this approach of continuous control on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality.
So with that, I'm going to invite Dr. Williams to come up and talk to you about the burden of cardiovascular disease. Yes, right here.
Hi, everybody. So I'm Bryan Williams from London and been presenting at the meeting today. I just wanted to put some of this stuff in context because cardiovascular disease remains the single most important preventable cause of death globally. And currently, about 20 million people die every year from cardiovascular disease. And the tragedy is it's largely preventable. And if we look at the major cause for that, it's high blood pressure. High blood pressure is the most important preventable cause of death globally, accounting for about half of all cardiovascular deaths. That's now -- and this is a projection from the Lancet published just before the pandemic, which suggested that -- the risk factors contributing to loss of life, number one, will remain by 2040 high blood pressure. So we have to take this seriously. There's already a sort of scramble of new activity in this space over recent years.
If we look at the ability to control blood pressure at the moment, this is from really many of the better developed health care systems in the world. Less than 40% of women and less than 30% of men -- about 30% of men actually get their blood pressure control to a level below 140 over 90. Now the important thing about that is these are terrible control rates below 140/90, but guidelines now advocate even more aggressive therapy. So all of the guidelines are now suggesting to optimize treatment, we need to get blood pressure below 130/80.
So there's a huge treatment gap between what is expected and what is being delivered by current therapeutics. So can we do more to improve blood pressure control? I think we have to do something more. I think we've got to try and do better than we're doing at the moment. So just quickly, the elements of things that we're interested in, and Pang as mentioned this at the beginning, blood pressure levels achieved in the clinic is how we traditionally monitor blood pressure.
But actually, the levels over 24 hours are very important. The control of nighttime blood pressure is very important. Speed to control is very important. And increasingly, we're recognizing the consistency of blood pressure control is very important. And that's why I personally got very interested in this drug, having worked in hypertension for 30-odd years. And this is pretty novel or very novel and pretty unique in terms of its mechanism of action.
Let me just show you some data we got from a massive study we did on ABPM, ambulatory blood pressure monitoring nearly 60,000 patients. We published in the Lancet a couple of years ago. We're trying to work out which blood pressure is actually the one that we should be most concerned about in terms of measurement. And in the blue, you can see a straight-line relationship very steep. That's the relationship between nighttime blood pressure and risk of death. What we found was that it's nighttime blood pressure that is very powerful predictor of risk of death. And so what you need is something that will control blood pressure, not just when they're in the doctor's office, not just in sporadic moments, but on a consistent basis over a long period of time.
And to show you how powerful that effect was, if you look at clinic blood pressure, say that's 100%, 24-hour systolic blood pressure average over 24 hours, that was 4.7x more predictive of risk of death. Daytime, 3.8x more predictive, nighttime almost 6x more predictive. So we've got to control all of these. And at the moment, we've got a lot of fluctuation in treatment. Some of the drugs are not achieving that.
The second thing that we discovered back in early 2000s was the variability in your blood pressure, either minute to minute, hour to hour or even week-to-week. All of those parameters have an independent predictive value of risk of premature death and stroke. And so all of this points to the fact that we've got to try and control and smooth blood pressure control if we're to optimize patients' risk. And this is an example for a paper we published very recently on blood pressure variability and risk of death. Every single measurement that we make of how variable blood pressure is, was highly predictive independently of blood pressure itself of risk of death.
Finally, just to show you what this phenomenon of persistence of control being important. This, I think, is some data which convinced me that this is a really powerful issue. And it comes from the U.K., but it actually is a typical U.K. study because it involves over 1 million patients. And what we looked at here is the time the patients spent in control, going to their doctor, getting their blood pressure checked, we checked to see was it controlled every time they went, we gave a figure of up to 80% of the time. Or was it controlled only 50% of the time or only 20% of the time. The results were astonishing. That actually, if you happen to be controlled 80% of the time, your risk of cardiovascular death or MI or stroke was reduced by 75% compared to those who had less good control. And this is real-world stuff. This is what's happening out there in millions of patients in the clinic.
All-cause death was reduced by half if you had consistent blood pressure control. And to put that into context, one of the big studies in the United States, which had a huge impact on guideline was called the SPRINT trial. And that tried to get blood pressure below 120. So the argument there was if we've got to improve outcome, we've just got to keep going lower. And for people like me who treat these patients, I think we can't go lower. We can't even get to where we need to be now. And what they found is if they went below 120, they got a 25% reduction in cardiovascular death.
Well, we got a 75% reduction in cardiovascular death by going below 140, but doing it on a consistent basis. So the message here is that we need treatments that produce smooth and consistent blood pressure control. Now the final issue -- so I think the fact that zilebesiran has the ability to have a single injection, and it's done, job done always on 6 months. That is hugely important in my view and will be important in a clinical trial. The final issue that will be important is adherence. This is the WHO. They say that treatment of chronic diseases worldwide is a massive issue in relation to the adherence to treatment.
Now hypertension is an asymptomatic condition. It's even harder to encourage people to take medication. So adherence is really bad. And what we find is about 40% of patients don't take some or all of their medication. I'll skip through that.
So this idea that you can give an injection and guarantee adherence to therapy for at least 6 months from a single injection, I think, is really powerful and is often underappreciated as a real novel breakthrough. This morning, I was talking about how new drugs might improve blood pressure control. And one of the things that I emphasize is that we need drugs with a long duration of action to overcome adherence problems. And actually, 6 months is a pretty long duration of action and nothing comes close to it. So that's quite exciting.
So in conclusion, I think we have to improve blood pressure control, not just the numbers in the clinic, but the quality of control, the consistency of control over time. There is a great unmet need for treatments that are always on. We don't have any. And this will be, I think, a major advantage in hypertension and to reduce blood pressure smoothly and consistently over prolonged periods to reduce variability and to overcome major problems with treatment adherence.
So I'll hand back. But from my point of view, this is a completely novel therapeutic in the field of hypertension.
Thank you, Dr. Williams. So I'm Neha Pagidipati. I'm a preventive cardiologist at Duke, and I was very privileged to share these results of KARDIA-3 earlier today at ESC. So just for a quick background, and you saw a little bit of this before, the Phase II zilebesiran development program has 3 trials in it, KARDIA-1 KARDIA-2, KARDIA-3, which I'll present to you today.
KARDIA-1 tested zilebesiran as monotherapy in individuals with mild to moderate hypertension and showed a significant blood pressure lowering as monotherapy on the order of 15 millimeters of mercury for 24-hour mean systolic blood pressure. And what you can see in the graph here is that it really is just like what Dr. Williams said, continuous control through the daytime, through the nighttime, continuous control.
Then KARDIA -2, which was the second Phase II study, tested zilebesiran on top of a single antihypertensive agent. Now patients had a run-in and then they were assigned either indapamide, amlodipine or olmesartan and a high dose of olmesartan, 40 milligrams. And what we saw was a significant blood pressure lowering in each of these arms. It was on the order in the office systolic blood pressure of minus 19 millimeters of mercury on top of a diuretic, minus 10 on top of amlodipine and minus 7 on top of olmesartan, which has really never been shown before. Dual Ras Blockade has never been shown to be efficacious or safe before. So that was all very exciting.
And now the study objective of KARDIA-3 was to determine the efficacy, safety and optimal dosing of zilebesiran among individuals with uncontrolled hypertension and high cardiovascular risk with or without chronic kidney disease in order to inform the design of the cardiovascular outcomes trial. KARDIA-3 was a Phase II randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in 5 countries, and it included patients with established cardiovascular disease or at high risk for cardiovascular disease. Uncontrolled hypertension is seen here and who were already prescribed 2 to 4 antihypertensive agents, including a diuretic or a calcium channel blocker.
This was the study design. There are 2 cohorts, and I'm presenting today to Cohort A, which included patients with an eGFR of greater than or equal to 45 and Cohort B, which we'll present in the future, included patients with more advanced kidney disease. In Cohort A at baseline, patients were randomized to 1 of 3 arms, a single dose of zilebesiran 300 milligrams, 600 milligrams or placebo at baseline, and then they were followed for 6 months.
The randomization was stratified by factors that we a priori thought would impact the effectiveness of zilebesiran, which included race, baseline blood pressure and baseline diuretic use. And patients and clinicians in the first 3 months were encouraged not to change their antihypertensive therapy unless clinically indicated. And then the primary outcome was at 3 months. It was changed from baseline to month 3 and mean office systolic blood pressure. And you can see several of the secondary and exploratory outcomes here.
Now to account for multiplicity of looking at multiple doses, if both doses did not have a p-value of less than 0.05, then any single dose needed to have a p-value of less than 0.025 in order to meet statistical significance. These are the baseline demographics of Cohort A. And in the 270 patients, the mean age was in the mid-60s, and this was an appropriately diverse cohort with good representation of females, blacks and Hispanic individuals. And about 20% had a prior cardiovascular event and half had diabetes.
The baseline blood pressure, the mean systolic blood pressure was 143 to 144 and the mean diastolic blood pressure was in the 80s. The mean 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure was in a similar range. These are the baseline blood pressure medications that patients were on. And as you can see here, the vast majority, over 90% were on ACE or ARB therapy at baseline. About 2/3 were on a diuretic and over half were on a calcium channel blocker.
In terms of the number of oral antihypertensives, about half were on two therapies, about 1/3 were on 3 and the minority were on 4. And these are the results of Cohort A. At month 3, the placebo group had a decrease in systolic blood pressure of 7.3 millimeters of mercury. The zilebesiran group, 300-milligram group had a decrease of 12.3 and the 600-milligram group had a decrease of 10.6, resulting in a placebo-adjusted change of minus 5 in the 300-milligram group and minus 3.3 in the 600-milligram group. And after adjusting for multiplicity, these p-values did not meet statistical significance.
In terms of the secondary outcome of office systolic blood pressure at month 6, the placebo-adjusted changes were minus 3.9 and minus 3.6 in the 300 and 600-milligram arms, respectively. And for the secondary outcome of 24-hour mean ambulatory systolic blood pressure at month 3, the placebo-adjusted change was minus 3.6 and minus 2.6 in the 300 and 600-milligram arms. And at month 6, those changes were minus 5.5 and minus 7.4.
This slide shows the mean daytime and nighttime ambulatory systolic blood pressure at month 6. And what you can see here is that in the daytime, the placebo-adjusted change in the 300-milligram group was minus 4.9, and it was minus 6.9 in the 600-milligram group. And those corresponding values were numerically greater at nighttime at minus 6.6 and minus 8.2.
Now these are some data of the biomarkers that were tested, and that includes NT-proBNP, which many of you may know is related to heart failure and heart failure risk as well as urine albumin to creatinine ratio, which is related to kidney disease, but also a very strong predictor of future cardiovascular disease. And in patients with a somewhat elevated level of NT-proBNP at baseline, just greater than 12 picomoles per liter, you saw on average, 21% and 26% reduction, which is quite impressive in the 300 and 600-milligram arms.
And for the UACR, you saw reductions in the 37% and 32% range with the 300 and 600-milligram doses. The safety profile was, I would say, encouraging overall. There were very few serious adverse events, and they were generally comparable between arms and most of the instances of hyperkalemia and worsening kidney function were not confirmed by subsequent measurement and none of them required dialysis or hospitalization.
Now as I mentioned, one of the primary purposes of KARDIA-3 was to identify who is most likely to benefit from zilebesiran in order to optimally design the Phase III outcomes trial. And we knew from KARDIA-2 that zilebesiran appears to be most effective in individuals who are on a diuretic therapy, possibly because when you're on a diuretic therapy, your RAS system is upregulated. And so in a prespecified subgroup of KARDIA-3 in those on a diuretic at baseline, the placebo-adjusted change at 3 months was minus 6.6 with the 300-milligram arm and minus 5.1 with the 600-milligram arm.
And then if we further look at individuals who are on diuretic therapy, but who are truly hypertensive at baseline with a systolic above or equal to 140, in a post-hoc analysis, you can see a placebo-adjusted change of minus 9.2 or minus 7.0 with the 300 and 600-milligram doses, respectively.
So in conclusion, among individuals with cardiovascular disease or high cardiovascular risk who have uncontrolled hypertension on multiple antihypertensives, single doses of zilebesiran 300 or 600 led to respective 5 and 3.3 millimeter mercury reductions in office systolic blood pressure at 3 months compared with placebo. And this was not -- statistical significance was not reached. However, subgroup analyses did suggest that those on a diuretic may experience greater blood pressure lowering with zilebesiran. And we saw an acceptable safety profile with low rates of hyperkalemia, kidney dysfunction and hypotension, consistent with the findings from prior studies.
And we're very excited to announce the ZENITH trial, which will evaluate the impact of this novel, long-acting therapy on cardiovascular outcomes in patients with hypertension and established cardiovascular disease or high risk.
Thank you very much. And now for Simon.
Thanks, Dr. Pagidipati, and congratulations on a great presentation and a well-executed trial. Hi, everyone. I'm Simon Fox. I'm the program leader at zilebesiran, and it's my pleasure to be talking to you about the patient opportunity and the next steps for the zilebesiran program.
As Bryan said, it's become increasingly obvious that hypertension is a public health care crisis. It's become well known that even today with the numerous classes of antihypertensives, there are tens of millions of patients with uncontrolled hypertension. Of the 219 million patients that have hypertension across the 7 major markets, 77 million of these patients also have high cardiovascular risk and up to 62 million of these patients are currently uncontrolled. Now these patients with uncontrolled hypertension and high cardiovascular risk have the greatest unmet need. And these patients have comorbidities like diabetes, CKD and established cardiovascular disease.
Now moving on to the potential we see in zilebesiran. Dr. Pagidipati presented the findings of the KARDIA-3 study, and we clearly saw an enhanced response in a subgroup of interest. And these benefits seen were both blood pressure reductions and benefits beyond blood pressure control.
So putting this into context when reviewing the literature of the various independent risk factors, it's well known that reductions in daytime systolic blood pressure of 5 to 10 millimeters of mercury can result in significant reduction in cardiovascular risk. And we know that nighttime blood pressure is very important. A small additional nighttime blood pressure reduction of around about 1 to 2 millimeters of mercury could result in a risk reduction of cardiovascular death of 1% to 2%.
In addition to this, improvements in things like NT-proBNP and UACR can also have additional cardiovascular risk reduction benefits. And finally, improving blood pressure variability over the long term can also help further reduce cardiovascular risk.
In conclusion, given zilebesiran's emerging profile, which is exhibiting attributes like sustained daytime and nighttime blood pressure reductions as well as observed effects beyond blood pressure control, we believe this will have cumulative benefit over time, and therefore, zilebesiran has the potential to improve outcomes for the patients with the highest unmet need.
Now it's my pleasure to be presenting to you our Phase III pivotal trial design, which is named ZENITH. ZENITH will enroll a total of 11,000 patients. The patients to be enrolled will be the KARDIA-3-like patient population, as mentioned, previously uncontrolled hypertension with either established cardiovascular disease or at high risk of developing cardiovascular disease, including patients both with preserved and impaired renal function. Now these patients will have a baseline office systolic blood pressure of equal to or greater than 140 millimeters of mercury on stable treatment of 2 or more background antihypertensives and one of which will have to be a diuretic.
It will be an event-driven trial, and the primary composite endpoint will be a 4-point MACE, which is nonfatal myocardial infarction, nonfatal stroke and cardiovascular death as well as hospitalization for heart failure or urgent heart failure visits, and it will be comparing zilebesiran 300 milligrams to placebo. The trial will have a minimum follow-up of 2 years, and we've already engaged with regulators to seek advice on the specific of the trial design and the target indication. And the conversations have been extremely helpful.
And now with the KARDIA-3 data in hand, we have finalized the ZENITH protocol. Both Alnylam and our partners at Roche are thrilled to be initiating the global multicentered cardiovascular outcomes trial, ZENITH. We have already filed ZENITH protocol with multiple regulators to date, and we look to complete these filings by the end of next year. We are planning to activate our first sites in the coming weeks with first patient first dose planned before the end of the year.
ZENITH will have a global footprint, enrolling patients from approximately 35 countries across the major regions to ensure the trial reflects a real-world population and a real-world clinical practice. I just wanted to highlight that the global footprint of ZENITH illustrates Alnylam and Roche's commitment to developing innovative treatments for cardiovascular disease as well as our global aspirations for zilebesiran.
So what's next for Alnylam and Roche? Our immediate focus operationally will be to initiate and expedite enrollment of our cardiovascular outcomes trial through our clinical operation capabilities as well as our medical affairs capabilities. Once the trial initiates, the medical affairs team will be delivering medical education and scientific engagement.
Organizationally, we'll be looking to shape our go-to-market strategies as well as developing an understanding of the organizational capabilities and resources to successfully commercialize zilebesiran. We'll also be continuing to develop REVERSIR, which will further demonstrate the capabilities of our RNAi platform.
We've made a very choiceful key strategic choice to evolve our manufacturing capabilities to reduce COGS, given that zilebesiran will be targeting a prevalent disease such as hypertension and given our aspirations to commercialize zilebesiran globally.
And finally, the team at Alnylam and Roche are assessing the potential to develop zilebesiran for additional indications.
To conclude, Alnylam and Roche fully believe in the potential value zilebesiran has to offer and how we unlock this value is generating the most robust data to optimize the zilebesiran value proposition. Generating cardiovascular outcomes data will ensure favorable guideline positioning and demonstrate the value to health care systems.
We believe for HCPs that cardiovascular outcomes data, coupled with the ability to achieve continuous control of blood pressure safely with infrequent dosing will potentially drive rapid uptake and differentiate zilebesiran. And finally, generating this data will also drive confidence and preference amongst patients.
And with that, I'm going to hand over to our partner at Roche, Manu Chakravarthy.
Thank you, Simon. Really delighted to be joining you all from Boston. Firstly, I want to just thank our Alnylam colleagues for organizing this event. So thank you for that. On behalf of Roche, let me first express a deep gratitude to the patients who actually participated in the whole KARDIA program because without their partnership and volunteering for being in this trial, we wouldn't really have the privilege here to stand before you to share these very exciting results that you heard today. So thank you to that as well.
So from our perspective, the whole KARDIA program, particularly KARDIA-3, really represents a paradigm shift. And really in the way that we think about zilebesiran is a fundamentally new way to treat chronic disease. It's a differentiated approach to lower blood pressure and to improve cardiovascular outcomes.
You've already heard from Dr. Williams about the importance of blood pressure and adherence, but I want to echo those two points and add a couple of important additions to that, which is really the fact that one of our excitement for this program really resides in the fact that with a single injection, we're able to actually sustain blood pressure lowering for over 6 months. At least to the best of our knowledge, we're not aware of any drug that at this stage of development that can do that. And you've heard how singularly important blood pressure is as the most important predictor of outcomes, if you will. So even a 5-millimeter drop in mercury can potentially translate to about a 10% relative risk reduction in major cardiovascular outcome events.
The second point that I think it's totally worth emphasizing because we don't really think about it too much, but in the setting of chronic disease, it's very important, which is adherence. So in the large meta-analysis that Dr. Williams referred to. And when we looked at it a little bit more carefully to look at what the numbers are, it was quite -- at least to me, it was quite striking that for every 1% improvement in adherence, you could actually reduce cardiovascular event rates by another additional 13%.
So when you put these two things together, sustained prolonged reductions in blood pressure, especially the reduction in nighttime blood pressure, along with this improved adherence, we believe that we are well poised to really see a very strong impact on cardiovascular outcome benefits when we actually run the ZENITH trial. So that's ultimately the reason why we are also equally excited with our partner, Alnylam, to stand behind them to execute this trial because ultimately, as clinicians and as physicians and as public health stewards, if you will, what matters most to patients is not just the lowering of blood pressure, but ultimately, the changing of the trajectory of their health and an outcomes trial can ultimately prove that.
And the final point I want to leave you with is that we see zilebesiran as a cornerstone of our growing cardiovascular, renal and metabolic portfolio that you can see here on this slide as well. At Roche, we now have one of the broadest CVRM portfolios, which gives us the optionality, the ability to address unmet needs across a range of patient segments and importantly, allows us to think about very unique combination approaches.
So potentially down the road, in [indiscernible] zilebesiran in combination or other combinations that we may not yet have thought about could be all conceivable. And ultimately, delivering medicines that can have the transformational impact in cardiovascular disease is really the crux of the priority at Roche. So overall, just for me, personally, this is just the beginning, I feel, and we couldn't be more energized to see what comes ahead.
So with that, let me say big thanks again and hand it off to Pushkal to bring us home with closing remarks.
Fantastic. Thank you, Manu. Really appreciate you dialing in and those comments and perspectives from Roche. We're really delighted to be partnering with your whole company. The collaboration has been going extraordinarily well. I'm going to close quickly with just some of the keys to success.
Look, we couldn't be more excited. I hope you've picked up on that. This is another program that's really a product of our disciplined R&D strategy, where we really pursued with our sustainable innovation engine, diseases where we have high biologic conviction, high morbidity and mortality and the potential to halt or reverse disease be best-in-class. And you see, hopefully, from what everything we've spoken about today that we really believe that zilebesiran can be a paradigm-shifting therapy for patients with hypertension. This is an opportunity to rewrite how blood pressure is managed around the world and maybe even bend the curve on cardiovascular disease.
And so we, our partners at Roche, and you've seen our academic collaborators and experts really have a strong level of conviction about this that we can really potentially have a substantial impact on this disease. So hopefully, you picked up on that confidence. We're going to now switch over to Q&A. So I'm going to invite my colleagues to come on up, and we'll be able to take some questions from the room and on the webcast.
We're actually happy to start in the room if anyone who's joining us live would like to ask anything. Great.
2. Question Answer
Eliana Merle, UBS. Can you elaborate a little bit on why you think you see a synergistic effect with the diuretics and then also your expectations for the proportion of patients on the ZENITH trial that will be on diuretics as well?
Great. So Ellie's question was about the rationale for the synergies potentially between zilebesiran's mechanism of action and diuretic and whether that will -- how that might affect recruitment in the context of Phase III. So Neha, maybe you want to start to address. And Bryan, you may also have some comments there.
Sure. Yes, it's a great question. I think part of the first question that you asked was around the rationale for why we might see this kind of synergistic or complementary effect. And my -- I think that it has to do with the fact that when a patient is on a diuretic, their volume contracts and their blood pressure goes down, and that actually upregulates the RAS system. And the precursor for the entire RAS system is angiotensinogen, which is what zilebesiran is working on. So you're essentially increasing the substrate for zilebesiran to do its job. And so I think that's probably the most likely reason that we're seeing that kind of synergistic effect that we saw both in K2 and K3.
In terms of the proportion of patients who will be on it in the cardiovascular trial and the outcomes trial, it will be everybody because we're going to require that patients are on a diuretic because we think we'll see the greatest benefit in those patients. I actually don't think it's going to make it harder to recruit for the trial because even though there is some geographic variation in diuretic use, it is probably the single most well-used antihypertensive globally. It is very well available and in most guidelines is a Class I indication. So I actually don't expect it to be difficult to recruit.
Thanks, Neha. Bryan, anything to add?
Yes. I mean, I think we've known for years that if you use a single drug, it often gets counteracted by another mechanism. And so as Neha said, if you try and offload sodium and water, which is what diuretics do, you activate the reading system, which limits the effectiveness of the diuretic. So if you can block the renal system, what you're doing is you're pulling out more -- even more effectiveness from that strategy.
The other thing I would add actually is that as you move into more complex patients with -- who are often on multiple drugs and they've got underlying cardiovascular or kidney disease, you almost invariably need a diuretic as part of treatment because all of those conditions and aging are associated with increased sodium retention. So I think it's not a bad idea anyway for those patients to be on a diuretic. They probably should be on a diuretic if they're hypertensive. And then zilebesiran on top. So I'm very confident that combination will produce a much more robust and consistent response across the patient population that's going to be studied.
Makes sense. Can I ask another question. There were some comments when the presentation was made in terms of interpreting the results in the context of KARDIA-1 and 2 about how there was maybe sizable proportion of patients between screening and randomization that no longer had hypertension. Could you just elaborate on those comments a little bit and how we should interpret these results in that context?
Yes. So Ellie's question was really about understanding sort of the treatment effect that we observed here versus, for example, in KARDIA-2, where we were somewhat more sizable. And I think probably there's a couple of points that I can start with, and then I can ask Neha to follow up, right? In the KARDIA-2 program, obviously, it was a somewhat milder population without sort of the severity of cardiovascular disease. But importantly -- so -- and also being used in earlier line of therapy but probably the most important factor was that actually there was a run-in period that was incorporated into that study to ensure what baseline blood pressure was as patients entered into the study. So you may want to speak a little bit more about what we observed in KARDIA-3 relative to KARDIA-2 around baseline blood pressure, et cetera, that may have predicted that.
Sure. Absolutely. So that's exactly right. And obviously, in KARDIA-2, there was a run-in period. And here, for the purposes of being more generalizable and applicable to the cardiovascular outcomes trial, there was not a run-in. And what we saw was that for inclusion, patients had to have a systolic blood pressure greater than or equal to 140 at screening. Then there was a screening period during which they had their ambulatory blood pressure monitored, then they returned for their baseline visit and got randomized. At that time, when they return for their baseline visit and at the time of randomization, about 40% of them no longer had a systolic blood pressure greater than 140, but they were still included in the trial. And then about 25% didn't have a systolic blood pressure above 135. Anytime you take a population that isn't truly hypertensive, it is that much harder to show an antihypertensive effect. And so I think that clearly had something to do with the differences between the two trials.
So an important -- this was an important learning for us as we kind of go into the cardiovascular outcome study. And so one of the refinements that we've made working with the investigators is to ensure that patients have an elevated blood pressure at screening. But then at the time of randomization, it has to be confirmed that they have an elevated blood pressure. So with that extra precaution, we're confident now that we'll be enrolling patients in this longer-term CVOT who've got elevated blood pressure at the time that they get randomized to drug or placebo.
Let's hop over to the webcast. We have a number of questions that have come in already. So one of them is around K3 baseline characteristics. The percent of patients with previous CV event or CVD history in the 300 mg cohort has almost doubled compared to the 600 mg. Do you think this difference has any potential impact on the results?
So maybe, Neha, you can speak to that. But look -- the question is really about the 300 and 600 milligrams and whether any of the baseline characteristics may have led to why we didn't see more of a dose response between those 2.
Yes, it's a great question. I'm eager to hear what Dr. Williams thinks as well. There were some -- it is a relatively small Phase II study. And so there will be some imbalances in randomization, and that's one of the areas where we saw some of the imbalance. I'm not sure that, that necessarily contributed to the results. It is helpful to understand what the risk of the underlying population is. But in general, it was a pretty homogenously high-risk population across all of the arms. So I'm not sure the small kind of variations that we saw in the Table 1 and in the baseline demographics really contributed all that much. But I don't know if Dr. Williams or Simon has other thoughts.
No. I mean -- and also, it's quite difficult to do between dose comparisons in relatively modestly sized studies. I mean generally, we don't do that. We're looking to see whether there's an effect, but it's often not powered to try and actually detect an effect. I was just going to add to the first point. I mean, trials are difficult. And sometimes you get a perfect patient population and sometimes some of the patients in the trial are not quite what you wanted in terms of the way they behave. And you can't really control that very easily, and that's just the nature of what we do.
I'm pretty confident when you go into a large-scale outcome trial that those kind of things become less important because, first of all, the scale, there's a huge number of patients involved. Secondly, the duration. And if you've got a treatment that they're going to be getting on a 6-monthly basis that is going to guarantee that there's going to be an element of blood pressure control. Even if they don't take all their other medicines, the blood pressure and the blockade of the renal system in that population is always going to be superior to the placebo because we have to accept that the background medicines will get messed about with by the patients and sometimes by their doctors. I mean that's just the nature of trying to do something over a 3-, 4-, 5-year period.
So I wouldn't get too hung up on the KARDIA-3 side of things. You've got two very good trials, KARDIA-1, KARDIA 2. KARDIA-2 studies, which are just spectacular results. And there's no reason to sort of push that aside because of the sort of challenges around some of the patients recruited into this particular study.
That's very helpful, Bryan. And I think that's our belief, right, that the real benefits of what we're trying to do is going to be in outcomes. And that's where over 3, 4 years, we're going to be starting to see these substantial benefits. Every bit of science that we have in epidemiology that Bryan covered really well suggests all these benefits should come together really in accrue and maybe in somewhat of an additive or synergistic effect to result in outsized outcomes benefits. And that's what we're all super excited about.
I'll just add one more point on the dose response, which is I think when if you look at all the data that we've accumulated over time, the 300 and 600-milligram arms have actually performed reasonably similarly across studies. They actually both give us very high levels of AGT silencing, about 95%. And so it's not really too surprising that we didn't see a difference, but we certainly wanted to make sure before we kick off this very large study that we've picked the correct dose. And so we're very convinced that 300 milligrams, which is a single injection every 6 months is the right dose to pursue in the cardiovascular outcome study.
Yes, sounds great. How is the efficacy in KARDIA-3 in the population that was on background angiotenosin 2 receptor blockers. Was there different efficacy in that group as in KARDIA-2?
Yes. So maybe I can -- the question was really about how is the efficacy on patients who are basically on another RAS inhibitor, either an angiotensin receptor blocker or an ACE inhibitor. In this case, 90% of the patients, so pretty much the entire study population was on an ACE or an ARB. And so the efficacy that you're seeing both in the overall population as well as in the enriched subgroup that Neha talked about, that's the target for the cardiovascular outcome study are already being treated with a RAS inhibitor. And I think that's actually pretty remarkable as well if you think about the prior history of combined RAS blockade where I think the effect sizes actually in those settings have been quite small. And Bryan is nodding in no. So maybe, Bryan, you want to speak to that a little bit as well as the safety. So...
Yes, I would agree with you, actually. I think when you combine the drugs, as you have done, I was surprised initially because I think as a clinician, I kind of believe that we had blocked the system at the receptor level with angiotensin receptor blockers. And clearly, we haven't blocked it completely because we're seeing breakthrough in terms of the ability of this drug to take blood pressure further.
So it's certainly adding to the existing level of RAS blockade. I guess in the future, what will happen is if this drug is as successful as many people think it will be, it will replace these drugs. People won't need to take an ARB on a RAS blocker on a consistent basis. They will just use this drug to block their renal system. So to some extent, the main issue about dual blockade is about the concern initially about whether there would be a hazard [indiscernible] because there has been a hazard in the past with ACE inhibitor and ARBs together. But fortunately, that hasn't been seen.
That's right. Thank you.
And we actually have a question for our colleagues at Roche with Manu. So what excites Roche about zilebesiran within the context of your broader CV portfolio? And maybe more specifically, what about this data gives the conviction to advance to a global outcome study?
Manu, did you hear that question?
Also do you want me to repeat the question?
No, no, I just want to make sure you heard the question. It sounds like you did. So please go ahead.
Yes. Yes. So the question was really about what excites us about the data overall and convinces us to go forward with the large outcome study. We asked that question, obviously, quite a bit as well. So I think there are several things. I think some of them I touched on in my remarks, but happy to sort of reiterate a couple of them.
The first is really the magnitude of the blood pressure response in the population that has been very nicely outlined as the population of interest. It's the high-risk population. It's people that are on at least one single RAS agent and then they'll all be on diuretics. This is the key population at risk. And so we feel very confident based on the data that we saw, 9 millimeters of mercury reduction in that population with all the things that we would want to see, sustained lowering, nighttime lowering, both office and ambulatory lowering.
So there is lots of different things that are all highly consistent. And then the final piece is, of course, the biomarkers, too. I know that we don't over-index on it right now, recognizing it's a small study. It's obviously biomarkers, et cetera, but those biomarkers are actually really, really highly predictive. So NT-proBNP and UACR, really well-established biomarkers, almost as good as blood pressure to some extent in predicting cardiovascular risk.
So when you take the totality of the whole data set, along with the big question of adherence, which I alluded to as well as Dr. Williams alluded to, to us, that over a long period of time, will accumulate to provide that type of benefit that we anticipate roughly around the 15% to 20% relative risk reduction range, which is going to be highly meaningful from a patient perspective and a value-generating perspective. So that's the gist of why we felt very confident and very excited about the data that we saw.
I think your second question was about how does this fit into the Roche portfolio. So hopefully, I showed and alluded to that on my slide as well. But again, to emphasize, we've always approached cardiovascular, renal and metabolic diseases as one continuum, right? Because it's a very common underlying pathophysiology for many of these diseases. And so we are -- what we're trying to do here is to change the fundamental risk profile.
So in this case, blood pressure, in the case of diabetes, it's blood sugar. In the case of other things, it's lipids, et cetera. So we're really going after fundamental pathophysiological perturbations that we can modify in a meaningful way. And so zilebesiran really fits squarely into that way that we approach addressing chronic disease. And as I alluded to before, it also lets us the -- gives us the optionality for potential combinations down the road and to also explore other indications beyond just reduction of major cardiovascular risk events.
Thanks, Manu.
So let's stay on ZENITH for a moment. A question here about with 11,000 patients planned for ZENITH, what percent power is that to detect a 15% reduction in MACE and how about a 20% reduction in MACE?
Yes. So maybe I can speak to that. ZENITH is going to be an 11,000-person study, and it's event-driven. So we'll be actually looking at the number of events and the study will terminate when we have that appropriate number of events. And what I can say is that it's actually very highly conservatively powered. Both Roche and Alnylam want to ensure and the investigators that this is a successful study. We're testing a paradigm-shifting approach. And so we've really conservatively powered the study to be able to yield those kinds of meaningful results.
Great. And then with that data in hand, can we talk about how we would see zile fitting into clinical practice alongside other hypertensive meds? What lines of treatment? Is it mono? Is it combo?
Yes. So maybe I can start, Simon, you can start with how we're thinking about that from the company's positioning, but I think it'd also be important to hear from Neha and Bryan about how a therapy like this might be used initially and over time, where you might see it fitting in, assuming the results are positive.
Yes. Great. Yes. No, I mean, look, that's a great question. And clearly, you can see the design of the trial and patients will be on a background of two or more antihypertensives, but these are going to be the patients with the highest unmet need, right, high cardiovascular risk, established CVD and those patients at high risk of cardiovascular disease. And that's where we believe. Firstly, we can create the most value for patients, payers and physicians. And I think we all have aspirations for zilebesiran to go to earlier lines of therapy, but that's where we're going to start.
And look, we're going for a broad indication. So it will be something like zilebesiran is indicated to reduce cardiovascular risk in patients with hypertension and high cardiovascular risk. So I think the opportunity is sizable.
Maybe Neha, do you want to -- if something like this was available, how would you think about using it, assuming, again, positive results? And then we'll ask Bryan the same question.
Yes, it's a great question, actually. And I think all drugs start with the highest risk population for many reasons. First, that's the greatest unmet need. And those are the patients that we, as clinicians, when we're enrolling in clinical trials, we are most eager to get our highest risk patients into trials because the potential benefit for them is that much greater. And then you also generate more events, frankly, for the cardiovascular outcome and there's a practicality to that as well.
In clinical practice, though, we tend to start to use what is most effective and easiest to get over time. And that doesn't necessarily only end with the high-risk patients. So if you have a therapy that is very easy for patients, it is something that decreases their pill burden. They don't have to think about it. And it's not only having them take less pills, which makes them happy, which makes you happy because when they're not happy, I promise you the clinician is not happy because we hear about it.
Then it also provides you some measure of reassurance that they are getting continuous blood pressure control, whether they take their medications that day or not. So I could certainly see -- presuming that the outcomes trial will be positive, which we hope and expect that it will be, I could certainly see over time that zilebesiran kind of edges its way forward earlier in the line of therapy.
Bryan, anything to add?
Yes. I think it's fascinating because it is a completely different therapeutic than anything else we've got. And in many ways, it's reassuring that there are others in different areas like there's a whole spectrum of them being developed in the lipid field with triglycerides, LPA, cholesterol. So at some point, the payers and the regulators are going to have to face up to the fact that there is a different paradigm for treatment coming down the track. And for prevention, I think eventually, it's dawning on everybody that patients generally don't like taking medications every day, particularly if it's not producing symptomatic relief and doesn't seem to be doing anything.
So if you think about it, some sort of program of biannual twice a year injection to act as a cardiovascular prevention strategy would be very attractive. And I -- we know that there are ongoing trials with inclisiran, which I would anticipate will be positive in high-risk patients for cholesterol. So the health systems are going to have to get around the idea that they're going to have to work how to do this. And you can imagine that the two most important things you can probably do is lower blood pressure, lower cholesterol.
The idea that you could give a jam once every 6 months and who knows, potentially less frequent than that, depending on the -- what we learn about the duration of effect and things. That would be very attractive as a strategy to prevent cardiovascular disease. And you might do it initially in the high-risk groups. But eventually, you could see many patients saying, well, I would like a bit of that. That sounds quite interesting and better than what I've been used to using. But I think we have to accept that it's going to require a lot of discussion and a lot of people to start thinking in a slightly different way, but I think they will because I think this type of approach is going to catch on. I mean who would have thought patients would have been happy going around jabbing themselves for weight loss -- weight loss.
I remember when people started talking about that saying, people saying patients will never inject themselves like that. And they can't get enough of the stuff. So I mean, I think the -- this is -- people will do what's easy and will be less inconvenient to them.
Yes. No, I think really well. Maybe look, again, we're going to start in this high-risk population. As Neha said, this is really where there's the urgency to treat and from a practical perspective, how we have to do an outcome study. But over time, it would be wonderful if this drug could be used in earlier lines of therapy. And hopefully, the data will support that. I was actually meeting with patient advocates in the cardiovascular field this morning, and one of their big points was, I think you said this, patients don't like to be reminded that they're ill every day by having to take pills, right? That's really not a nice feeling. And so this may be a way for patients to not have to remember that and be reminded of it on a daily basis.
But when you're talking about prevention, and many of them are not ill.
Right?
And that's the point.
That's not the point. Yes.
We're trying to maintain health. And that's -- it feels alien to them that you should say you're healthy and we want to keep you that way, but you've got to take tablets.
Right. So it's like a vitamin at that point.
Maybe a slightly build question on top of the one that was just asked. So when we talk about the profile that Simon had to describe, what do we think that total addressable patient population could potentially be? And given the refinement in the Phase III population, does also represent a significant opportunity for Alnylam within their pipeline?
That's great. So maybe, Simon, you can speak just about to what we understand is the addressable population. And maybe Manu might have something to add as well from the Roche perspective.
Yes. I mean I think we've had others make comments about this, but, I shared a slide, 62 million was on there. Those are the estimated number of patients that have uncontrolled hypertension and high cardiovascular risk. Given the refinements, the use of our diuretic in the inclusion criteria, many of these patients are already on a diuretic. It's a first-line therapy. We saw the AHA, ACC guidelines recently come out for hypertension. They were speaking to diuretics. They were talking about earlier prevention for patients with risk factors for hypertension. So I think the opportunity for us has not changed. But perhaps Neha, do you want to give some more flavor to how you see it as well?
My God, there's so many patients like everyone. I can't imagine that the issue is not are there enough patients for this to be useful. The issue will -- if this outcomes trial is positive, the issue will be how will we get this therapy to everybody who needs it. And so yes, I don't see a concern.
Manu, did you have anything to add?
I can top the answer from me. I mean I think that's exactly right. Yes, everything that you guys have said about going into high risk first, all kind of make sense. So yes, covers it all.
Thank you, Manu.
Great. And for those of us here at ESC, we saw Dr. Williams present the BAX data earlier today. There's a question about whether we could give a sense on how KARDIA-3 compares to the Phase III result from BAX and resistant hypertension. They had a median of 3 background hypertensive and most on RAS blockade and showed pretty impressive placebo-adjusted blood pressure improvements. Just wondering how zile would compare.
Yes, really important question. I think people are seeing the results of two large studies on antihypertensives that read out in the same hotline session. We have the two presenters here. So while we can't do cross-study comparisons, we'll do a little bit of qualifications. So Bryan, you want to start and then Neha.
Yes. I mean, look, I mean, I don't usually cross-compare studies because I mean, they're done for different reasons, and they include different types of patients. Although in this case, we have probably got high-risk patients and diuretic background diuretic. The interesting thing about the BAX study when we designed it, I wanted everybody to be on a diuretic, even though we were giving a diuretic as well because actually aldosterone synthase inhibition is effectively a natriuretic agent.
So we were going for sort of bumper diuretic because I had long believed that once you get into these resistant cases, there's a lot of resistance to get salt off and this is a good mechanism to do it. So we ended up with 90-odd percent of people on a diuretic. So the thing I would say is that absolutely the strategy of Zenith is right. You have to do that for this population. And actually, the study you mentioned shows that you can do it. I mean, because we did this globally. I remember going to Bangkok or India and people saying to me, nobody takes diuretics here. I said, well, they will have to now. They want to get their blood pressure control.
And actually, you explained the rationale and you can get very high rates of uptake. So I'm very confident the study will be delivered. We gave that drug, Baxdrostat on top of RAS blockade. And you could imagine a scenario going forward where -- if you need a diuretic, that could be used in combination potentially with zilebesiran as a diuretic combination as part of treatment going forward.
So I think it's exciting that we've got new drugs being developed in hypertension. I can see many of these drugs being used in combination, and they all bring something different to the table, but they're all necessary mechanisms to try and get the most difficult patients controlled.
Fantastic. Neha, anything you want to add?
Yes. Maybe just a couple of points. I think it really is -- the trials are presented one right after another, but I think it really is important to remember that KARDIA-3 was a Phase II trial, not a Phase III trial. And along with that comes a lot of differences. I think the other thing from my perspective as a clinician, we have had -- and Bryan, you've spoken so well about this.
We have had a complete dearth of innovation in this space for decades. Forget the fact that it is the single greatest contributor to cardiovascular disease and death worldwide and yet nothing was done new in the space for decades. And now we have this kind of explosion of excitement. This is only a good thing. This is only the right thing for patients. It is only a good thing to have more options for our patients. I think the innovation that we're seeing with zilebesiran is so exciting because it is a totally new mechanism of action. It's a totally different way to deliver drug. It's a totally different way to think about prevention. But regardless, having more options is a good thing, not a bad thing.
Well said. We have one final question. I know we've just gotten started, but people are curious on enrollment projections and time line. And then specifically a question about whether we're planning to include the REVERSIR in the Phase III? And do we still think launch in 2030 is feasible?
Yes. So a couple of questions there. Look, we're just getting kicked off, as Simon highlighted. And obviously, there's real urgency for us to enroll this study with the right patients and do that. And so we're working with our colleagues at Roche, colleagues at DCRI and our CRO partners to really get this study up. And so there's a lot of enthusiasm. We met with the investigators and the national coordinators at this meeting. So there's a lot of enthusiasm, and we're all going to be working as hard as we can to get this enrolled.
We haven't projected specific time lines, but we still anticipate that around 2030 is when we'll get top line results from this study, but we'll give updates at the appropriate time. We did -- Simon mentioned that we do have a REVERSIR program. I think what the remarkable thing about this product is we've actually now dosed almost 1,000 patients with this drug. And I will say, before we put it into the clinic, there was a lot of questions about what might be the impact of lowering blood pressure for 6 months at a time. And what's been remarkable is whether as a monotherapy or in combination, over almost 1,000 patients incidence of symptomatic hypotension has been negligible.
It's really quite remarkable. And so we're very delighted by that. And there's many ways that people can actually have their -- if they do experience low blood pressure in an emergency situation, it can be managed that works very effectively on this drug. But we do, as Simon said, have the capability to develop a REVERSIR. So we are developing in parallel, and we'll see what the need is. We don't expect there to be any substantive need for something like that, but we want to be cautious, and we're doing that in parallel. And so we'll keep you posted. We're very, very excited about this program. So...
That's what we have time for. Back to you just to thank everyone and wrap us up.
All right. Well, look, again, thank you to colleagues who made it here. It's beautiful Madrid. Thanks to all of you who joined in on the webcast. Very heartfelt thanks to Neha, Bryan and Simon for joining up here and Manu for joining on the Zoom. I hope you all sense that there's really something very, very exciting here in terms of an entirely novel way to treat such a serious and intractable problem. And we just couldn't be more delighted about the opportunity to really shift the entire curve and be a paradigm-shifting the therapy for hypertension and cardiovascular disease.
So thanks for joining us, and we'll keep you updated in the future. Enjoy the rest of your weekend.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Special Call - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Special Call - Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Takeaway: Alnylam/Roche präsentieren KARDIA‑3 (Phase II) mit numerischer Blutdrucksenkung, aber ohne statistische Signifikanz auf den primären Endpunkt; gleichzeitig Start der großen kardialen Endpunktstudie ZENITH (Phase III, outcomes‑getrieben, 11.000 Pat.).
- Kontext: Zilebesiran ist ein long‑acting RNAi‑Wirkstoff gegen Angiotensinogen (AGT) mit Halbjahres‑Injektionen; Ziel: konstante 24‑h‑Blutdruckkontrolle und bessere Adhärenz.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- Dosiswahl: 300 mg alle 6 Monate wurde als Phase‑III‑Dosis bestätigt (beide Dosen zeigten hohes AGT‑Silencing ≈95%).
- ZENITH‑Design: Ereignisgetriebene Outcome‑Studie, ~11.000 Patienten, Vergleich 300 mg vs Placebo, Mindest‑Follow‑up 2 Jahre, Primärkomposit: MACE + Hospitalisierung/Dringlichkeit für Herzinsuffizienz.
- Kommerz/Produktion: Fokus auf Skalierung und Senkung der Herstellkosten (COGS) wegen hoher Prävalenz; Roche als globaler Kommerzpartner.
🔭 Neue Informationen
- KARDIA‑3‑Ergebnis: Placebo‑adjustierte Änderungen Office‑SBP M3: −5,0 mmHg (300 mg) und −3,3 mmHg (600 mg); primärer Endpunkt nicht signifikant nach Multiplikitätsanpassung.
- Biomarker & Subgruppen: NT‑proBNP −21/−26% und UACR −37/−32% (300/600 mg) in definierten Gruppen; Patienten auf Diuretikum zeigten stärkere Reduktionen (post‑hoc bis ≈−9,2 mmHg).
- Zeithorizont: Protokolle bei Regulatoren, Erste Patienten‑Dosis geplant noch dieses Jahr, Topline‑Erwartung um 2030.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Diuretika‑Synergie: Begründung: Diuretika erhöhen RAS‑Substrat‑Aktivität (AGT), dadurch stärkerer Effekt von AGT‑Silencing; ZENITH verlangt Diuretikum als Hintergrundtherapie.
- Baseline‑Regression: KARDIA‑3 hatte kein Run‑in; ~40% hatten bei Randomisierung keinen SBP≥140 → erschwerte Nachweisbarkeit; ZENITH wird Randomisierungs‑Bestätigung verlangen.
- Sicherheit & Contingency: Geringe Raten symptomatischer Hypotonien in ~1.000 bereits behandelten Pat.; REVERSIR (Antidot) wird parallel entwickelt, Einsatz wird aktuell als unwahrscheinlich betrachtet.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investor‑Relevanz: KARDIA‑3 liefert biologisch konsistente Signale (komfortable 24‑h‑Kontrolle, Biomarker‑Vorteile, Subgruppen‑Effekt bei Diuretika) aber kein klarer primärer Signalerfolg. Der Werttreiber wird ZENITH sein: ein positiver Endpunkt‑nachweis könnte zilebesiran als paradigmatische, halbjährliche Präventionstherapie etablieren; negatives Ergebnis würde das Risiko für Kommerzialisierung stark erhöhen.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Canaccord Genuity’s 45th Annual Growth Conference
1. Question Answer
Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for the 45th Annual Growth Conference. My name is Whitney Ijem. I'm one of the biotech analysts here at Canaccord Genuity, and I'm very pleased to be joined this morning by John Kennedy, SVP, Global Commercialization Lead for the TTR franchise as well as John Vest, SVP of Clinical Research. Thank you both for being here.
Thank you.
Thank you.
So we have a limited time and a lot to cover. I'm going to dive right in. Please save any questions for the end. Hopefully, there'll be some time. But if you do have questions as we go, just draw them down and maybe give me a nod and I'll remember to calling you at the end.
So just to start off, for any of those in the room who are not familiar with the company, can you please just kind of give a brief introduction on the background and kind of what Alnylam is all about.
Sure. Thanks. I can take that. So Alnylam for those of you who are not familiar with the company, was founded in 2002 based on Nobel Prize winning science. And in the interim, has become the global leader in RNA interference, which is truly a generational technology, which has validated and enabled an entirely new class of medications.
And our leadership in RNA interference cuts across many different dimensions. But the productivity of our research and development engine is chief among those where we have developed one of the most robust pipelines in the industry and have yielded 6 approved medications.
We've been at this for over 20 years, but the past year has been truly a watershed moment for the company. And we have established 3 pillars that we believe will drive long-term growth and value generation. The first of those is leadership in transthyretin amyloidosis.
With the approval recently of AMVUTTRA for ATTR cardiomyopathy, we have what we believe will be a new standard of care in this very important disease. And given the outstanding clinical profile of AMVUTTRA, combined with this rapidly growing patient segment with high unmet need, we have what is we believe will be a true franchise for the company that will enable long-term growth.
The second of these is growth through innovation. As I mentioned, we have, through our research and development, enabled what we believe is the most -- one of the most robust pipelines in the industry. And in -- on top of this, we have a sustainable innovation engine and drug discovery platform that will enable us to continue to innovate, drive growth and bring novel medications to patients in need around the world.
The third pillar will be outstanding commercial performance and that will be commercial execution as well as disciplined capital allocation, which, again, we believe and are highly confident will allow us to be sustainably profitable moving forward.
Excellent. Very helpful overview. And starting on the commercial side, as you mentioned, 6 approved products, 4 commercialized by Alnylam. We are unfortunately going to have time to talk about one. But it is AMVUTTRA, as you mentioned, the recently approved product. And I can use this word. You guys just reported a monster quarter, so I can say that with $492 million in revenues, that was 34% ahead of consensus. And it's early in the launch, obviously, but what do you think we were all missing on our side headed into that first quarter.
Yes, I'll take that. So yes, for AMVUTTRA, AMVUTTRA had already been approved for the polyneuropathy of hereditary ATTR. And so what we recently had is the approval of cardiomyopathy for ATTR. And so we're just into the first full quarter. And so it's still early. I definitely appreciate it's still early, and we have lots of work to do. But yes, the first full quarter of our launch went exceptionally well.
If we look at multiple indicators of how we go through the launch, the things that were important to us to make sure we set up the conditions for a successful launch, and we're generally tracking on or ahead of schedule on all those indicators. I think what I'd point out to most pronounced was the provider account setup. So just to back up, we do know that about 80% of the patients that present with ATTR cardiomyopathy will present to one of about 170 priority health care systems. These are provider accounts.
AMVUTTRA is the first buy-and-bill product in the category. And so we know that there's a setup that tends to be required for a buy-and-bill product in the category like this. That's routine, it's customary, and it tends to take several months for these provider accounts to essentially do whatever process they do, P&T committees to add a product to a formulary so that it's available for utilization for patients that flow through those systems.
So we've known this. It's a well-established process, but it tends to take several months for that setup to happen. And so we expected that would take the majority of 2025, for that provider account setup to happen. What really surprised us favorable was that, that happened much faster than we had anticipated. So at Q1, we were about what 5, 6 weeks into the launch. By then, already half of these priority accounts, health systems had added AMVUTTRA to formulary.
And now as of the Q2 earnings call, we shared that essentially the market is broadly set up. And so that allowed us to realize demand much earlier than we had expected. Originally, we thought it was going to be mostly a second half story because of that faster-than-expected setup, we saw more of that demand manifest earlier than we expected.
Excellent. Excellent. Okay. Perfect. And then another key discussion point, I guess, in the ATTR space is sort of diagnosis and treatment rate amongst these patients. So where are we with both of those in the U.S. and worldwide at the moment?
Yes. Generally speaking, we're still early. And there's been a tremendous improvements over the last several years in terms of diagnosis and treatment rates, but we're still early. So just to kind of back up. Globally, we estimate that there are more than about 300,000 patients affected by ATTR cardiomyopathy.
In the U.S., just a crude rule of thumb, call it about half, so 150,000 patients affected by the disease. Globally, about 80% of these patients remain undiagnosed. And certainly, the vast majority of these patients are untreated. And so yes, there's been some progress over the last several years because of better diagnostic or easier diagnostics and treatment choices, but we're still early and there's still a significant amount of growth to be had, and there are so many patients that we can help.
Okay. Perfect. So moving forward, the growth for you all will continue with penetration into those existing patients, but then increasing that the existing patient pool by increasing diagnosis rate, et cetera. Yes. Okay. And so as that rate increases, do you expect there to be a shift in the type of patients that are coming on to therapy if we're looking harder for patients, are we going to find earlier ones or less severe ones? Or how do you think about that?
Yes. Generally, we think of a couple of different segments of patients where there's opportunity. There are these new to treatment patients. They're on an annual basis, more of these patients presenting to a physician for that very first treatment choice, that first-line treatment. That's one patient segment, the new-to-treatment patient.
In the U.S., we assume that there's about 10,000 of those patients coming in on an annual basis. So globally, about 18,000 of these new-to-treatment patients.
A second segment are stabilizer progressors. So patients who have been treating with a stabilizer, regrettably some of those, we see estimates in the literature anywhere 30% to 50% of those patients may continue to progress and may be available for an alternate treatment option.
And then there's the remainder of those patients that are still undiagnosed and will continue to flow in. So with regards to what we're seeing, there has been a shift. I mean there's still so much more to do to improve on diagnosis. So it's not like we're catching these patients uber early. I think there's still more that we can do. But if you think about the patients that were studied in the first clinical trial in this space compared to what we're seeing as those first-line treatments today, these patients are generally a little bit earlier in the disease and are generally on substantial background treatments.
And I'd say that because if you look at the HELIOS-B patient population, that is the patient population that we study. Patients that are generally earlier in the disease and also with substantial background treatments. And so if there's a question, can these patients benefit from early and aggressive treatment? HELIOS-B says resoundingly, yes, there's absolutely a tremendous amount of benefit for treatment early with AMVUTTRA in this patient population.
Got it. Okay. And just one follow-up on that. For the stabilizer progressors. Those are the patients who are on the oral approved stabilizers, but still progressing, as aptly named. Are those patients coming off the stabilizers and moving over to AMVUTTRA? Are they doing combo therapy? Or what does that look like?
Yes. Just to kind of quantify it. Globally, we think there are about 45,000 patients that are actively treating on a stabilizer. So again, rule of thumb, U.S. call it, about half of that. In the literature we've seen somewhere in the ballpark of 30% to 50% of patients on the common historical stabilizer have experienced progression.
We are the first and only alternate treatment option in terms of the mechanism of action and orthogonal option. And so it's really just an obvious option for these patients that have been progressing on a stabilizer. In terms of utilization patterns, look, we're 1 quarter in. So I think it's a little early. We see some examples of combination therapy. But I would say, generally speaking, we expect this is going to be a monotherapy treatment market for the foreseeable future.
I think what could change dynamics is when you have tafamidis loss of exclusivity, which Pfizer has said, they expect at the end of 2028. That could be kind of an unlocking event in terms of more combination therapy. But I think until then, we'll likely see more monotherapy.
Got it. Got it. Okay. And given this competitive dynamic, as you mentioned, with the kind of existing oral stabilizers, what is your pitch to docs? Like when a salesperson shows up to the doctor's office, how are they presenting AMVUTTRA? And I guess, that's relative to the stabilizers, but then is there also anything you're doing in the near term relative to the potential future availability of a related silencer called [eplontersen].
Yes. So I think we're in a unique position. So we are the first RNAi silencer that's approved for ATR cardiomyopathy in the U.S., the first and only treatment that's approved for both polyneuropathy of hereditary ATR as well as cardiomyopathy of ATR. So we're the first and only that's approved for both manifestations. So we're in a really unique position.
What we hear from customers, physicians and patients alike is it makes intuitive sense. If you know the disease causing protein to rapidly knock down the protein essentially working upstream or at the source that intuitively makes sense. Now if you ask what is the implication of rapid knockdown of TTR, we know the results. That's what we showed in HELIOS-B. And what we saw in that study was profound impact on outcomes.
And in particular, it's noteworthy, we had all-cause mortality. A profound impact in all-cause mortality as a prespecified stand-alone statistically significant finding. And then on top of that, to be able to demonstrate preservation of functional capacity and quality of life and then delivered with 4 subcutaneous doses per year. So altogether, that's a value proposition that resonates and physicians will tell us, it's peace of mind to know that the patient is receiving the treatment as intended. So it's a very compelling first-line value proposition.
Now in terms of a future competitor, I think it remains to be seen if and when they come to market with what data package. And so I don't want to be presumptions and speculate, but I do feel like what we're doing right now is establishing AMVUTTRA as a first-line treatment option. That's the best thing that we can do. We have a wonderful data package that we can continue to educate on with some lead time.
If I were to look at hereditary polyneuropathy, we have been competing against another silencer for now well over a year. And what we see in that space is that more voices expands treatment options or diagnosis. And so we've seen an expansion of that category. That's a net positive for patients, and we have retained a resounding lead in first-line treatment choice. And hereditary ATTR polyneuropathy even in the context of competition. So we feel good. We've got a lot of work to do, but we can establish AMVUTTRA as that first-line treatment choice.
Perfect. And sticking with that competitive dynamic question, you spoke about the oral stabilizers and kind of where they are now. And what are you hearing from both doctors and physicians, I guess, particularly in that frontline setting on the appetite for, yes, an oral stabilizer versus a subcutaneous injection or versus maybe some of the next-gen kind of one-and-done gene editing approaches.
Yes. So just unpack that a little bit. I think in terms of just the choices that are available today, it's really -- this is a condition where it's rapidly progressing, devastating. And so it's an efficacy-driven decision. And we can go through the HELIOS-B data set. But again, I think we have a really, really compelling and robust clinical data package, coupled with a treatment regimen this quarterly dosing that aligns with when most patients will see their physician, gives that piece of mind that the patient is actually receiving the medicine as intended.
What we've seen with daily oral treatments in this category and others is that daily oral treatment is not perfect in terms of adherence and persistence. So it's all part of the value proposition that is relevant. Again, with regards to future competitors, even gene editing. I would say, fast forward, don't forget that we're continuing to drive innovation. That involves evidence generation for AMVUTTRA today, but also advancing our next-generation RNA silencer or nucresiran. And so by the time there may be a gene editing competitor, it's likely in the time frame when we would have nucresiran available to market as well, if all goes to plan.
Nucresiran has the potential to deliver 90%, 95% knockdown of TTR with incredible durability, about 2 doses per year. And so I think it really -- the question is, what's being brought to market by the competitor that weren't already providing for patients.
Yes. Fair enough. Fair enough. Okay. Perfect. And then you are also getting your ex U.S. launches off the ground. And this wouldn't be a contemporaneous panel. We didn't ask about MFN. So to what extent is MFN a concern? Or how are you thinking about that as you look to the ex U.S.
Yes. So first, really excited. We have regulatory approval in Europe, in Brazil, Japan and so international launches will continue a foot. So most of -- in almost all countries outside the U.S., there is a pricing and reimbursement process would go through, which is after the regulatory approval. So that's still a process to work through.
In many countries, that can be a little bit of a protracted process. For that reason, the ex U.S. launches is really a 2026 story for the most part. And so that's still work in front of us. Now as regards to Most Favored Nation, MFN, I think it's really, really hard to speculate. There's so much uncertainty around what that policy may be, how it may play out. And so it's very difficult to try and read the tea leaves in terms of where it's going.
And so we'll just use the latest information as we go forward with those ex U.S. launches. Now again, I'll say most of those decisions in terms of pricing reimbursement and launch are still in front of us. So we retain degrees of freedom while we learned as much as we possibly can about MFN, but again, it's really hard to speculate with so much uncertainty.
Yes, definitely. But you're not actively slowing down any launch processes ex U.S...
We continue to move forward, yes.
Okay. Excellent. Excellent. Perfect. And then tariffs, I guess, is there anything that we should ask about or be thinking about in that regard?
Nothing particularly noteworthy. I think it's been talked about, and I don't know that I have much more to add.
Excellent. Excellent. Okay. Perfect. All right. I could ask a bunch more questions on the commercial side, but I will move to the pipeline now. So sticking with cardio, the cardio side of things, zilebesiran. Can you talk about the current unmet need in high blood pressure? And kind of what's the TPP?
Yes. So the Zilebesiran program is just as a cardiologist is incredibly exciting, and we believe has the potential to truly redefine the treatment of this very important disease. So unmet need, hypertension despite the numerous available therapies remains the leading or addressable or reversible cause of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. And it's estimated that up to 80% of patients who are on therapy are not meeting their -- are not meeting their blood pressure targets. So there is a huge, huge unmet need for one of the most common problems that we encounter in medicine.
But in addition to just lowering blood pressure, there are a number of factors that feed into the morbidity and mortality that go along with hypertension. One is adherence to medication, that's a huge problem. There's variability in blood pressure control where patients may be controlled one day, not the next, controlled for part of the day but not for the second half of the day, in particular, loss of blood pressure control in the -- during the nighttime hours.
So these are major problems at factor. And that's when we look at this, we see a real need for something that could be have tonic control of blood pressure, very infrequent dosing, 2 doses a year, 24 hours a day, 7 days a week, 365 days a year, tonic control of blood pressure and address many of these deficiencies, potentially improve adherence as well. Those feed into what we're looking for in the profile of this drug.
Okay. Perfect. So if I forget to take my blood pressure meds, I won't have to. It's only twice a year. That's the idea. Yes. Okay. And so you -- as mentioned, you have another approved product that is commercialized by Novartis inclisiran that was developed for another kind of larger cardiovascular indications. So from a clinical development and maybe kind of early commercial experience with inclisiran, what were the learnings there as you look to kind of design the plan for [Zilebesiran].
Yes. Yes. So I think the fundamental learning there is inclisiran launched and as you're pointing out, a very common indication for control of lipids without outcomes data. And I think that Novartis learned from those -- from that early experience and the launch. And certainly, as we thought about going into this other very prevalent common indication of hypertension.
We and our partners at Roche felt that it was critically important we bring this to the market with outcomes data and that's what we're planning on starting a cardiovascular outcomes trial that we intend to start later this year.
Okay. Perfect. And in terms of the clinical development plan, what are the other key questions? There are several studies ongoing, I guess. So can you talk about what are the kind of key questions or key data points you're looking to generate with the various studies?
Yes. So we'll be at the ESC Congress in Madrid in just a couple of weeks here. We will be releasing the results of our KARDIA-3 study. This is a Phase II study of Zilebesiran in patients at high cardiovascular risk on a background of 2 to 4 background antihypertensive medications. And there will be very important learnings from that study.
Certainly, it will inform us and we'll confirm the dose that we want to take forward into the Phase III study. It will inform details around inclusion/exclusion criteria, and we'll confirm power and size of the cardiovascular outcomes trial. So really exciting and important data that we're looking forward to sharing in just a few weeks here.
Okay. Perfect. And then remind me, the cardiovascular outcome study is on track to start before the end of the year.
Yes. Correct.
Okay. Perfect. Excellent. All right. Again, I could ask more here, but in the interest of time, I'll move on. Everything we've been talking about so far is cardio kind of liver targeted. Moving over to CNS. On the CAA program. Can you talk a little bit about CAA as a disease, the mechanism, kind of the tissue target sort of differential route of administration there?
Yes. So this has to do with our mivelsiran program, which is targeting APP or amyloid precursor protein. And as the name suggests, this is a fundamental part of amyloid that deposits in the brain and has been genetically validated in 2 different very important diseases. One is Alzheimer's disease, which has to do with deposition of the amyloid precursor protein in the parenchyma of the brain.
And the other is CAA, which is the point of your question, is cerebral amyloid angiopathy where there's deposition of the same amyloid precursor protein in the blood vessels of the brain. Again, it's genetically validated target, and we do have a program going on in Alzheimer's disease, ongoing in Alzheimer's disease as well.
But the CAA, this is highly underserved. This is one of the leading causes of intracerebral hemorrhage or stroke -- where there are currently no approved therapies. And these are patients that live with a very, very high -- once they've had an intracerebral hemorrhage their chance of a second or then multiple bleeds is extremely high, about 6x as high as it would be with other causes of intracerebral hemorrhage. So a real, real unmet need here. We have an ongoing Phase I trial, cAPPricorn, where we're looking at 2 different populations.
One is a sporadic population. These are patients who tend to be a little bit older in their 60s, 70s who developed intracerebral hemorrhages due to this mechanism. And the other is the genetic population of Dutch cerebral amyloid angiopathy. This is much rare but this is a more severe form of the disease and one that happens much earlier in life. So these are patients who may -- who will start experiencing bleeds. This is a genetically defined population in their 40s or 50s. So you can imagine if you or somebody who carries the genetic risk for this -- maybe have a young family living every day with the knowledge that today could be the day that you have your stroke.
So really a horrible disease with no good treatment options and we're really, really excited about this opportunity moving forward.
Okay. And when will we get the next update there? And then for Alzheimer's?
Yes. We have not said anything -- disclosed anything about when we'll update on the CAA program. With the Alzheimer's program, we will be starting -- we hope -- phase -- we're tending to start a Phase II trial by the end of the year.
Okay. So yes, very clear unmet need and maybe more straightforward on the commercial side and the CAA space relative to Alzheimer's, but Alzheimer's obviously a huge, huge opportunity. And also a huge unmet need. So we're going to stick with that sort of huge, huge opportunity and move over to the metabolic side and talk about MASH. Where you have a Phase II program. So can you talk a little bit about the target and mechanism there, again, kind of TPP and when we'll get the next update?
Yes, I can't -- MASH is out-licensed to Regeneron. And I'm not -- we're not permitted to answer questions about that. What I can speak to is the rest that we have other very, very exciting programs in our cardiometabolic profile, targeting both type 2 diabetes as well as obesity. In type 2 diabetes, we have an ongoing study with GRB14. This is a novel insulin sensitizer something that hasn't been developed in this space in decades and one that we believe has a differentiated profile that avoids the weight loss -- or excuse me, weight gain that's associated with other insulin sensitizers. It's something where we see a real opportunity in obesity.
We're planning by the -- before the end of the year to start a study with [ArcB1], which is -- will be our first adipose. So this is not a hepatic target. This will be an adipose target. Where we think we have a differentiated potential to not only focus on the quantity of weight loss, but also on the quality of weight loss with preservation of lean mass in an area where we believe we can add to and improve on what's currently being achieved with incretins.
Got it. Got it. Okay. In the last 30 seconds, everything at Alnylam is homegrown at this point, as you mentioned, a robust kind of technology platform to generate new medicines. But is there any appetite to look externally to either capabilities, technology or new programs?
In 20 seconds. In short, we really are focused on growing the business and investing in our internal efforts and our internal pipeline and our internal R&D engine. Certainly, we will always survey the landscape and look for any opportunities that we might have to build on what we're doing. But our focus is on growing in-house.
Perfect. Excellent. Perfect timing. Thank you so much.
Thank you. Appreciate it. Thanks.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Canaccord Genuity’s 45th Annual Growth Conference
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Canaccord Genuity’s 45th Annual Growth Conference
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Takeaway: Alnylam hebt den erfolgreichen AMVUTTRA-Launch hervor: schneller-than-expected Formularaufbau in US‑Kliniksystemen führte zu früherer Nachfrage. Die Strategie ruht auf drei Säulen: Führung in Transthyretin‑Amyloidose (ATTR), anhaltende Innovation durch die RNA‑Interferenzplattform und kommerzielle Execution mit disziplinierter Kapitalallokation.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- AMVUTTRA‑Position: Erstes RNAi‑Silencer‑Produkt zugelassen für polyneuropathische und kardiale Manifestationen von ATTR; Vierteljährliche Injektion erleichtert Adhärenz gegenüber täglichen Oralen.
- Pipeline‑Fokus: Zilebesiran (Hypertonie) mit KARDIA‑3‑Daten am ESC und geplantem Outcomes‑Studienstart noch dieses Jahr; CNS‑Programme (mivelsiran für zerebrale Amyloidangiopathie, Alzheimer Planung Phase II).
- Internationales Wachstum: Ex‑US‑Markteinführungen laufen; Reimbursement‑prozesse erwarten frühestens 2026 in vielen Ländern; MFN‑Policy bleibt unsicher.
🔍 Neue Informationen
- Launch‑Update: Wesentlich schnellerer Provider‑Account‑Setup als erwartet (viele Priority‑Health‑Systems bereits listen), weshalb Nachfrage und Umsätze früher als prognostiziert realisiert wurden.
- Klinik‑Meilensteine: KARDIA‑3‑Ergebnisse werden beim ESC kongressnah präsentiert; Entscheidungen zu Dosis und Phase‑III‑Planung folgen; Outcomes‑Studie für Zilebesiran soll noch dieses Jahr starten.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Diagnose‑Lücke: Hohe Dunkelziffer (global ~80% und viele unbehandelt) — Wachstum primär durch bessere Diagnostik und Erstbehandlungen.
- Wettbewerb: Diskussion über Stabilizer‑Progressoren, Monotherapie‑Trend derzeit und mögliche Kombinationen nach Tafamidis‑LOE (Ende 2028 laut Pfizer‑Hinweis).
- Kommerz‑Risiken: Ex‑US‑Erstattungsprozesse, potenzielle MFN‑Auswirkungen und Timing zukünftiger Wettbewerber (andere Silencer, Gene‑Editing) wurden vertieft.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Relevanz: Frühphase‑Erfolg des AMVUTTRA‑Launches de‑riskert das kommerzielle Momentum, aber Hauptwachstum bleibt abhängig von Diagnoserate, Ex‑US‑Reimbursement und Wettbewerbstiming. Pipeline‑Meilensteine (KARDIA‑3, Outcomes‑Studie, CNS‑Programme) liefern klare Mehrwerte, bergen aber klinische und regulatorische Zeitrisiken.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Alnylam Q2 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] This call is being recorded on Thursday, July 31, 2025. I would now like to turn the conference over to the company. Please go ahead.
Good morning. I'm Christine Akinc, Chief Corporate Communications Officer at Alnylam. With me today are Yvonne Greenstreet, Chief Executive Officer; Tolga Tanguler, Chief Commercial Officer; Pushkal Garg, Chief Research and Development Officer; and Jeff Poulton, Chief Financial Officer. For those of you participating via conference call, the accompanying slides can be accessed by going to the Events section of the Investors page of our website, investors.alnylam.com/events.
During today's call, as outlined on Slide 2, Yvonne will offer introductory remarks and provide some general context. Tolga will provide an update on our global commercial progress. Pushkal will review pipeline updates and clinical progress, and Jeff will review our financials and guidance followed by a summary of our upcoming milestones before we open the call to your questions.
I would like to remind you that this call will contain remarks concerning Alnylam's future expectations, plans and prospects, which constitute forward-looking statements for the purposes of the safe harbor provision under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors including those discussed in our most recent periodic report on file with the SEC.
In addition, any forward-looking statements represent our views only as of the date of this recording and should not be relied upon as representing our views as of any subsequent date. We specifically disclaim any obligation to update such statements. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Yvonne. Yvonne?
Thanks, Christine, and thank you, everyone, for joining the call today. As shown in our Q2 results announced today, Alnylam is firing on all cylinders, and we're swiftly establishing ourselves as a top-tier biotech company. We're doing so by focusing on 3 core elements of the business that we believe will drive sustainable growth and value creation for years to come. The first is TTR leadership. As highlighted in today's press release, the launch is off to a very strong start. And whilst it's still early days, we're encouraged by the pace, and we're deeply focused on laying the groundwork for long-term leadership in TTR.
The next is growth through innovation, focused on the potential multibillion-dollar opportunities within our pipeline and an R&D engine set up to deliver sustainable innovation and value creation. To that end, I'd like to acknowledge the recent promotion of Pushkal Garg to Chief Research and Development Officer. Pushkal has been instrumental in progressing our pipeline. And in this role, Pushkal will oversee an integrated R&D organization to drive this exciting pipeline and platform into the future. Congratulations, Pushkal.
The third element is strong financial performance with robust commercial execution and disciplined capital allocation approach, providing us with the opportunity to sustain profitability going forward. As Tolga and Jeff will highlight later, the strong therapeutic profile of AMVUTTRA and ATTR-CM, combined with a large and underserved market, positioned this as a flagship commercial franchise with robust and durable long-term growth potential. And of course, all of this is underpinned by a best-in-class team and our award-winning culture.
Our results this quarter fit within each of these strategic pillars and represent one of the most impactful quarters to date for Alnylam. Our commercial performance was driven by TTR franchise revenues of $544 million, 77% year-over-year growth with growth largely attributable to the AMVUTTRA CM launch. This was just the first full quarter of the ATTR-CM launch. And as of June 30, approximately 1,400 cardiomyopathy patients were receiving AMVUTTRA, and this is a remarkable achievement.
This performance reflects results from our cardiomyopathy launch in the U.S. only. International markets are coming online for AMVUTTRA for CM and are expected to begin to contribute to the CM launch in the second half of the year. Kudos to our teams for delivering these impressive early results. In addition to these commercial results, we continue to advance our leading pipeline of RNAi therapeutics.
We initiated the TRITON-CM Phase III study of nucresiran, further establishing our commitment to leadership in TTR and are pleased to be announcing today that the FDA has granted Fast Track Designation [Audio Gap] to nucresiran for ATTR-CM. We also just shared encouraging Phase I multi-dose data for mivelsiran in Alzheimer's disease and kicked off a Phase I study for ALN-4324 in type 2 diabetes earlier in the quarter.
And with regard to financial performance, we're reporting our strongest quarter to date as a company with $672 million in total net product revenues or 64% growth year-over-year. As a result, we've increased our total net product revenues guidance for 2025 from a range of $2.05 billion to $2.25 billion to a revised range of $2.65 billion to $2.8 billion, representing an increase of $575 million or 27% at the midpoint, underscoring our confidence in the ATTR-CM launch and our other commercial products in the balance of the year.
So zooming out from the success of Q2, this progress represents stellar execution towards our “Alnylam P5x25” goals, which we seek to achieve by the end of this year. Doing so will further establish Alnylam as a unique top-tier biotech company, delivering sustainable innovation to patients for many years to come.
With that, let me now turn the call over to Tolga for a review of our commercial performance. Tolga?
Thanks, Yvonne, and good morning, everyone. I'm excited to share with you the results of our Q2 commercial performance. As Yvonne indicated, we are firing on all cylinders, and our Q2 performance was exceptional for the full portfolio. On a global basis, our commercial portfolio delivered $672 million in net product revenues, representing 64% year-over-year and 43% quarter-over-quarter growth. As you will see in a moment, the U.S. TTR performance was the major driver of growth given the ATTR-CM launch for AMVUTTRA. It is also encouraging that we saw very robust double-digit growth compared with Q1 across both our TTR and Rare franchises across the globe. All parts of our business are operating with focus and excellence.
Let's quickly start with our Rare franchise. Our GIVLAARI and OXLUMO teams stayed focused and delivered $128 million in combined Q2 sales, up 24% versus last year. Growth was largely demand driven with a tailwind from favorable GIVLAARI gross-to-net adjustments in the U.S.
Now turning our attention to TTR franchise, where we delivered $544 million in global net product revenues during the quarter, representing a 77% increase compared with the second quarter of '24 and a robust 51% increase compared with the first quarter of 2025. In the U.S., combined Q2 sales of ONPATTRO and AMVUTTRA rose 80%, up roughly $170 million from Q1, driven primarily by AMVUTTRA's ATTR-CM launch. We closed the quarter with approximately 1,400 cardiomyopathy patients on therapy, contributing an estimated $150 million in revenue. This performance was fueled by strong execution and faster-than-anticipated access across payers and providers.
Regarding the year-over-year dynamics, the U.S. TTR franchise grew 125% compared with the second quarter of 2024, primarily driven by the significant increase in demand from the ATTR-CM launch that I just highlighted.
Turning to our international markets. We delivered 18% year-over-year growth, driven by continued strength in our hATTR-PN business, which remains a solid growth engine. Importantly, we have yet to recognize any ATTR-CM revenue internationally as launches in Germany and Japan are slated to begin contributing in third quarter.
Now let me provide some additional perspectives on the U.S. TTR revenue dynamics, where the franchise achieved $383 million in the second quarter, representing a very robust 80% quarter-over-quarter growth. While we don't have the ability to report revenue by indication, the underlying trend is clear. From Q1 '24 through Q1 '25, the U.S. TTR franchise delivered steady growth of around $15 million to $20 million on average every quarter.
In Q2 2025, we saw a pronounced step change, indicating an estimated $150 million contribution from ATTR cardiomyopathy. I will now provide some additional launch metrics to further contextualize AMVUTTRA's launch performance in ATTR cardiomyopathy. Our launch began on March 20, 2025, and Q2 marked our first full quarter post approval. It is still early, and there is more work to do, but we're very encouraged by the strong momentum we're seeing.
As we've described on prior calls, we've been focused on 3 key enablers around the U.S. launch of AMVUTTRA in ATTR cardiomyopathy. Health system setup, access and affordability and treatment choice. The headlines are here, and I will go into more detail on each in the following slides. As we've shared on prior calls, there are approximately 170 priority health systems through which approximately 80% of ATTR cardiomyopathy patient volume flows. The majority of these provider accounts now have AMVUTTRA formulary, enabling therapy initiation throughout these health systems where ATTR-CM patients present.
What's more, nearly all of the priority health systems have already begun treating patients with AMVUTTRA for ATTR cardiomyopathy. This, together with the broad network of more than 2,000 alternate sites of care, has allowed us to achieve our aspiration. Roughly 90% of patients in the U.S. are able to receive AMVUTTRA treatment within about 10 miles of where they live. Bottom line, our priority was to enable broad provider account setup in our first year of launch. This has happened faster than we had initially anticipated. Since now at the end of our first quarter of launch, we are largely there.
In addition, patients are getting first-line access to AMVUTTRA across all payer segments. Coverage is now confirmed by payers covering the majority of U.S. patient lives, inclusive of Medicare fee-for-service, Medicare Advantage and commercial. We can, therefore, confirm that the large majority of patients have access to AMVUTTRA as a first-line treatment, meaning without requiring patients to step through another product first.
Most patients are indeed paying 0 in out-of-pocket costs. And consistent with what we've seen in polyneuropathy, there has been very limited use of our Quick Start Program, quite simply because patients are not experiencing delays in coverage. We're also seeing patient initiations flowing through all payer segments, Medicare fee-for-service, Medicare Advantage and commercial. These access dynamics are consistent with what we've long seen in hATTR-PN, and we're encouraged to see them replicated in ATTR-CM.
This reflects our deep experience engaging with payers and the advantage of our fully integrated in-house patient support services. Now most importantly, physicians and patients are choosing AMVUTTRA, a testament to its highly differentiated and compelling profile, including its rapid knockdown of the disease-causing protein.
By the end of second quarter, approximately 1,400 ATTR-CM patients had initiated treatment. While we don't plan to regularly report patient numbers going forward, we felt it was important to share this clear signal of early momentum in our first full quarter post launch. This strong uptake also gives us early insight into utilization patterns, which so far have been broad and balanced. More specifically, very early initial uptake was more pronounced among stabilizer progressors. However, within just 3 short months, utilization has become relatively balanced between first-line, new starts and stabilizer progressors. We're seeing steady growth across both sources of business, and we have a clear focus on making AMVUTTRA the first-line treatment of choice.
We also see balanced utilization across academic and community settings. And lastly, physician adoption has been broad. Since launch, the total AMVUTTRA prescriber base has tripled quarter-over-quarter. This reflects growing awareness and confidence in AMVUTTRA across both cardiology and multidisciplinary practices. Bottom line, we're highly encouraged by the early progress post launch. The trajectory supports sustainable growth and positions us for long-term leadership in TTR amyloidosis.
In summary, access ramped faster than expected and the value proposition is resonating. We've seen rapid payer adoption and broad physician engagement. The clinical differentiator of AMVUTTRA is clearly being recognized. We're seeing robust growth in an underserved and expanding ATTR-CM population. Look, this is a devastating disease, and we remain deeply committed to advancing care through real-world evidence generation and development of our next-generation RNAi therapeutics, nucresiran.
Finally, global expansion is underway. With regulatory approvals secured in Europe, Japan and Brazil, we've now launched in Germany and Japan, unlocking access to more patients worldwide. We're also maintaining stable growth in the hATTR polyneuropathy business, both in the U.S. and [ globally ]. These drivers underpin our increased revenue guidance and reinforce our conviction in significant revenue growth going forward. We're just getting started, and we remain focused on disciplined execution anchored in patient and customer centricity and delivering long-term innovation-driven growth.
I'll now turn it over to Pushkal to share more about our work to advance the science in ATTR and beyond. Pushkal?
Thank you, Tolga, and good morning, everyone. I'm delighted to see the early success of AMVUTTRA in these first few months of the launch. It is a true testament to the outstanding execution of our commercial and medical teams and to AMVUTTRA's unique and compelling profile established in HELIOS-B. To that end, we continue to generate evidence from the HELIOS-B study that further supports the long-term efficacy and safety of AMVUTTRA with the aim of cementing it as the first-line treatment of choice for patients with ATTR cardiomyopathy.
This slide highlights some of the unique and profound benefits of AMVUTTRA's rapid knockdown mechanism of action that are emerging from HELIOS-B. In the left column, you can see the benefits on NT-proBNP and troponin I, important clinical biomarkers of cardiac stress and injury, respectively. Not only do you see a larger effect -- a large effect in patients receiving drug versus those on placebo, but it's interesting to see a reduction compared to baseline in troponin I, suggesting a potential disease-modifying effect on this biomarker.
Further to that point, echocardiographic data in the middle column shows improvements in critical aspects of cardiac function, both diastolic and systolic. And ultimately, we saw this translate into substantial improvements in all-cause mortality as well as cardiovascular mortality of 33% to 36%. In addition to data coming from the HELIOS-B study, we are continuing to generate evidence to further support the safe and effective use of AMVUTTRA via numerous registry and real-world evidence-based studies and investigator-initiated studies. We look forward to sharing data from these sources over time.
Further to our leadership and commitment to innovation in ATTR amyloidosis, we announced in June the initiation of the TRITON-CM Phase III study for nucresiran, which may offer greater knockdown, greater efficacy and greater convenience for patients with ATR (sic) [ATTR] cardiomyopathy. As a reminder, TRITON-CM is a randomized, double-blind, event-driven outcome study. Patients are allowed to be on background stabilizer therapy. Approximately 1,200 patients will be randomized and the primary endpoint is a composite of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular events.
The primary analysis will be event-driven and will occur a minimum of 24 months after the last patient is enrolled. If successful, we target launching nucresiran in ATTR cardiomyopathy around 2030. Also, as Yvonne noted earlier, we've announced today that nucresiran has been granted Fast Track Designation by the FDA, which will enable a more streamlined review process.
In parallel, we have the goal to bring nucresiran to patients as quickly as possible and see an opportunity to do so in hereditary ATTR-PN. Though we are not yet prepared to discuss full details for TRITON-PN, we remain on track to initiate a pivotal study for the polyneuropathy indication by the end of 2025 and anticipate the potential to launch in this indication several years ahead of cardiomyopathy. We look forward to sharing more details in due course.
Moving on to another exciting program. Just a few days ago, we presented new multi-dose data from the Phase I study of mivelsiran in patients with early onset Alzheimer's disease. Recall previously that we observed marked reductions in Aß40 and Aß42, the pathogenic proteins implicated in cerebral amyloid angiopathy and Alzheimer's disease, respectively, with single doses of mivelsiran. We're pleased to see that continue with multiple doses administered every 6 months.
In addition to the durable knockdown observed, the safety and tolerability profile also remains encouraging. The majority of AEs observed were nonserious, mild-to-moderate and deemed unrelated to study drug. Importantly, we saw no evidence of changes in CSF white blood cells, protein or neurofilament light chain, which bodes well for this program as well as our CNS platform.
We look forward to further evaluating the profile of mivelsiran in the ongoing cAPPricorn Phase II study in CAA as well as a Phase II study in Alzheimer's that we expect to start by the end of the year. As Yvonne mentioned earlier, a key element of our journey towards becoming a top-tier biotech company is growth through innovation. Across what is one of the most robust pipelines in the industry, we are making great progress advancing promising programs across a range of therapeutic areas with multiple potential blockbuster opportunities.
In addition to some of the highlights we've already discussed, in Q2, we also kicked off a Phase I trial for ALN-4324, targeting GRB14, an insulin sensitizer for the treatment -- potential treatment of type 2 diabetes. We also remain on track to start a Phase II study of ALN-6400, targeting plasminogen in a bleeding disorder later this year.
In summary, Alnylam continues to make remarkable progress and deliver unique innovation that puts us in a great position to have a deep, sustainable pipeline that can deliver meaningful impact to patients for many years to come. With that, let me now turn it over to Jeff to review our financial results and upcoming milestones. Jeff?
Thanks, Pushkal, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be presenting a summary of Alnylam's Q2 2025 financial results and discussing our full year upgraded guidance. Let's begin with a summary of our P&L results for the second quarter compared with prior year. Total product revenues for the quarter were $672 million or 64% growth versus 2024, driven by 77% growth in our TTR franchise with particularly strong performance in the U.S. market, primarily related to an increase in demand associated with the launch of AMVUTTRA and ATTR cardiomyopathy.
Collaboration revenue for the quarter was $61 million, representing a $166 million decrease when compared with last year. The decrease was primarily driven by the modification of our cemdisiran collaboration agreement with Regeneron, which resulted in approximately $185 million of revenue in Q2 2024. As a reminder, this amendment granted Regeneron an exclusive license to cemdisiran monotherapy. Royalty revenue for the quarter was $40 million, representing an $18 million increase compared with last year, driven by higher Leqvio sales.
Gross margin on product sales was 79% for the quarter compared with 84% in the second quarter of 2024. The decrease in margin was primarily driven by increased royalties on AMVUTTRA as higher revenues in 2025 resulted in an increase in the royalty compared with last year. For the balance of the year, our gross margin on product sales is expected to decrease as the applicable AMVUTTRA royalty rates increase driven by higher sales of AMVUTTRA.
Our non-GAAP R&D expenses of $274 million increased 11%, primarily due to increases in start-up clinical trial expenses associated with our cardiovascular outcomes trial for zilebesiran and the TRITON-CM Phase III study for nucresiran. Our non-GAAP SG&A expenses of $261 million increased 26% compared to last year, primarily driven by increased headcount and other investments in support of the AMVUTTRA-ATTR cardiomyopathy launch in the U.S.
Our non-GAAP operating income for the quarter was $95 million, representing a $42 million decrease compared with last year, driven primarily by the recognition of collaboration revenue related to the modification of our Regeneron agreement in Q2 2024, as I previously highlighted. We continue to be pleased with the progress we are making towards achieving our non-GAAP profitability guidance in 2025. Finally, we ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities of $2.9 billion compared to $2.7 billion as of December 31, 2024, with the increase primarily driven by cash from operations and net proceeds from the issuance of common stock in connection with employee stock option exercises.
Now I'd like to turn to our financial guidance for 2025, where we are substantially increasing our net product revenue guidance driven by the strong early launch performance of AMVUTTRA and ATTR cardiomyopathy with specific details as follows: -- we are increasing our net product revenue guidance from a range of $2.05 billion to $2.25 billion to a revised range of $2.65 billion to $2.8 billion, representing a $575 million or 27% increase from the midpoint of the prior guidance to the midpoint of the updated guidance. The combined full year growth compared to 2024 is a 66% increase at the midpoint of the guidance range.
On a franchise level, the guidance is broken down as follows: -- we are modestly increasing the midpoint of our total Rare franchise guidance by raising the bottom end of our prior guidance range by $25 million and leaving the top end of our guidance unchanged, resulting in revised Rare product sales guidance of $475 million to $525 million. We are materially increasing our total TTR guidance range from $1.6 billion to $1.725 billion to a revised range of $2.175 billion to $2.275 billion, representing a 34% increase or more than $550 million at the midpoint.
Let me provide some additional context, which highlights the impact of the cardiomyopathy launch on our TTR franchise growth based on our upgraded guidance. During 2024, when we only marketed our TTR therapies for hATTR polyneuropathy, our TTR franchise delivered approximately $300 million in revenue growth compared with 2023. In 2025, with the ATTR franchise now including cardiomyopathy sales following the U.S. launch in Q2, the midpoint of our revised 2025 total TTR sales guidance of $2.23 billion represents an approximate $1 billion increase from 2024 total TTR sales of $1.2 billion.
And now my last comment on our upgraded sales guidance, which now assumes foreign exchange rates as of June 30 for the balance of the year, resulting in approximately $60 million of our $575 million guidance increase being attributed to changes in FX from our original guidance, which utilized December 31 FX rates.
The remainder of our financial guidance, including collaboration and royalty revenue, combined non-GAAP R&D and SG&A expenses and non-GAAP operating income remains unchanged. [Audio Gap] Let me now turn from financials and discuss some key goals and upcoming 2025 milestones. In the second half of 2025, we expect to achieve the following: initiate the Phase III CVOT of zilebesiran in hypertension. Note that we also announced today that we'll present KARDIA-3 Phase II [ this summer ]. TRITON-PN hATTR-PN initiate Phase II studies for mivelsiran in Alzheimer's disease and AL-6400 in a bleeding disorder.
Let me now turn it back to Christine to coordinate our Q&A session. Christine?
Thank you, Jeff. Operator, we will now open the call for questions. To those dialed in, we would like to ask you to limit yourself to one question each and then get back in the queue if you have additional questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Richter Salveen with Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
Congratulations here on the quarter. Could you give some details here on the patient profiles for AMVUTTRA with regard to the frontline patients and whether you're seeing mostly mixed phenotype patients or more of a broader population mix? And help us understand from here what the field force is most focused on.
Thanks, Salveen. I mean I'll start by saying, look, it's early days yet, but we're incredibly pleased with where the launch is going, particularly with broad and robust uptake because I think it also really shows is the data that we generated from HELIOS-B is really resonating with physicians. The rapid knockdown of TTR, all-cause mortality improvements, infrequent subcutaneous administration, which provides both convenience and security. So we're seeing broad uptake across first-line patients as well as patients that progress on stabilizers. We're seeing use across the community physicians as well as academic physicians as well as new prescribers as well as repeat prescribers. So the trends are really very supportive in suggesting continued growth.
Now I think it's fair to say that the initial pickup has been faster in the stabilizer progressing patients because when you bring in a new therapy and the patients who've been progressing on stabilizers, it's not surprising that physicians are looking for an orthogonal treatment for these patients. But we're now achieving a really healthy share of first-line patients. So we have a good mix of first-line stabilizer progressors. And what we're going to be doing is really consolidating and building on the foundation of this very early picture. Tolga, you probably want to add a couple of comments.
Actually, you pretty much covered everything. What I would say is, again, we're just 1 quarter in and what we're already seeing, what you described is validates our clinical thesis and commercial strategy.
The next question comes from Tazeen Ahmad with Bank of America.
I just wanted to get a sense on how you're thinking about net price for AMVUTTRA and gross-to-net moving forward?
Yes. No, thanks for that question. Jeff, perhaps you'd like to start off answering that. And if there are any additional perspective, Tolga and I can follow on from you.
Yes. Just a reminder of what we said back on the approval call in March. We said that we expected that we would reduce net price modestly and gradually over time. And that does hold for our expectation for 2025. 2025 relative to 2024, I would expect mid-single-digit reduction in net price for AMVUTTRA for the year.
Tolga?
Yes. I mean, look, I think one thing is also to importantly highlight is the fact that payer dynamics are moving very much as what we exactly expected. A lot of the payer policies are already out, both on Medicare Advantage as well as in commercial. And what we're seeing is a first-line access to those patients and patients actually paying minimal, in most cases, 0 out-of-pocket costs. So we will obviously manage that with early engagement with payers and the impact of the gross-to-net is going to be, as Jeff highlighted, will evolve over time.
Thanks, Jeff and Tolga.
The next question comes from Maury Raycroft with the Jefferies.
Congrats on the great quarter. Wondering if you can comment on whether there was any bolus effect in cardiomyopathy scripts in second quarter? And could you also please clarify to what extent did stocking contribute to the growth of U.S. AMVUTTRA revenue in the second quarter?
That's a great question. Look, I think Tolga has touched on this. We've really demonstrated very solid commercial execution. And that means that we've seen a little bit of faster progress than we expected, particularly around health system setup. So I touched on this already, but it's meant that we had initial faster pickup with stabilizer progresses. But as we went through the Q, we now have this very healthy share of first line. And we're just in the first quarter of launch.
So I think the key message number one for me is that the results that we're sharing with you today are not just a flash in the pan. We expect continued sustainable growth, and that's the reason why we raised guidance today. And I think the second key message is really just the durability of the franchise. We expect to see AMVUTTRA deliver continued sustainable growth, but we'll be bringing nucresiran forward as well, as Pushkal highlighted, which gives us the potential to deliver franchise growth out into the 2040s.
I'll comment on the second part of the question, which was about inventory. I think the headline for the quarter is, again, in the U.S., Tolga in his prepared remarks, highlighted the $170 million in growth in the TTR franchise in the U.S. Q2 versus Q1. Far and away, the biggest driver of that was the cardiomyopathy demand. 1,400 patients on therapy, $150 million in cardiomyopathy revenue for the quarter is what we're estimating.
On the inventory side, we did see about a $25 million benefit in Q2 compared to Q1. That's not actually because days on hand increased between Q1 and Q2 as it actually stayed constant at around 20 days, which is at about the midpoint of the agreements that we've got in place with our distributors. What drove the increase in inventory in the quarter was the calculation of what a day of demand is -- or a day of inventory is worth, which is based on a 12-week moving average of demand. And so it was demand that really drove the increase in inventory in the channel in the quarter, which is, again, a high-quality increase in channel stocking in the quarter.
Now on the gross-to-net side, we had an opposite movement. So a headwind that roughly offset the benefit that we had in inventory, which is why we're highlighting demand was the key driver of growth in the quarter. On the gross-to-net side, a couple of things. One is that we had an increase associated with the Part D rebate that we're paying like -- anybody that's got a Part D drug at this point is paying rebates on the IRA Medicare redesign.
We do have a small portion of our TTR sales that go through the Part D channel, and that's the home care part of the business. Historically, that's been about 20% in polyneuropathy. So there is an increased rebate that we're paying there, which was in line with our expectations. We also saw modestly higher 340B utilization in the quarter. So on price -- net price, Q2 to Q1 was down slightly, which is consistent with what I said on the earlier question that we do expect net price '25 versus '24 for AMVUTTRA to be down mid-single digits.
Thanks, Jeff. I think a very important question, and I think you've clarified that for our investors. So thank you.
The next question comes from Jessica Fye with JPMorgan.
Can you speak a little more -- in a little more detail to the assumptions underpinning the updated TTR franchise guidance as it relates to like the pace of new starts? And I guess just in general, can you just maybe provide a little assurance or reaffirm that the new guidance is not somehow aggressive?
Okay. So 2 parts to that question. Maybe Tolga, if you start with the first part and then, Jeff, you can follow on from that.
Yes, absolutely. Hi, Jessica, I mean, look, at the end of the day, what we have already laid out is we're expecting a steady growth in both first line as well as the second-line patient flow. As Yvonne indicated, let me also provide a little additional color. As expected, we initially saw uptick concentrated in patients who had progressed on stabilizers. And these are often sicker patients. Physicians naturally look for an alternative therapy with a mechanism of action that's unique, that's accessible, easy to administer and so forth. But what's been really particularly encouraging, and this is why the guidance we're providing is over $0.5 billion uptick from where we were is, about a month into the quarter, we began seeing a very healthy and accelerating trend in first-line use, just as we had positioned from the outset.
And frankly, that makes a lot of sense. This is a progressive and fatal disease. Physicians want to hit the disease early and hit it hard and not hold back their best therapy for later as they might in less serious conditions. So today, and this is where the guidance is really anchored in, we see both first-line and second-line segments are growing. They're growing rapidly. Uptake is broad across first and second-line and academic and community. And more importantly, we are seeing a good expansion of our prescriber base.
We've just expanded by threefold, and that continues to move in the right direction. So as we move forward, our focus is clear: to continue reinforcing AMVUTTRA as the first-line treatment of choice, supported not only by our approved label, but also by growing evidence, as Pushkal highlighted, with new imaging data, emerging cardiac biomarker trends that suggests AMVUTTRA may even help reverse disease progress. So nonetheless, we're just 1 quarter in and already seeing that behavior that validates our clinical profile as well as our commercial ambitions. And I think the current guidance really reflect that.
Yes. Look, I think I just want to emphasize that it's early days yet. We're only -- we've only just achieved our first full quarter here. And when we came up with the guidance -- we've given guidance that we expect to achieve. We're going to be focusing our team on continued execution. And as we progress, we will continue to update and share our perspective.
Yes. Maybe just a little bit more context on the guidance. Again, if you look at the -- what I've highlighted in terms of the midpoint of the guidance and what it implies in terms of year-over-year growth for TTR, about $1 billion, right, is what I highlighted. Last year, the PN franchise grew $300 million versus '23 and was growing at about 30%, right? So if you just sort of assume that, that's the growth that we're going to get from PN this year, that would imply $600 million plus from cardiomyopathy. We just did $150 million in the second quarter, and we feel really good about growth sustaining through the second half of the year. So I do think we have a high level of confidence in the guidance that we provided, Jess.
The next question comes from Paul Matteis with Stifel.
One for Tolga and the team. As it relates to stabilizer progressors, can you talk a little bit more about the criteria physicians are using? And I guess now that you've been in the market, do you have a sense of what percent of patients who are on a stabilizer currently would be dictated to be a progressor and a good candidate for AMVUTTRA based on the clinical criteria that are being implemented?
Yes. So we'll start with Tolga and then I'd like Pushkal to provide a clinical perspective.
Yes. So Paul, I mean, look, based on our research and obviously published data, clinical evidence suggests that anywhere between 1/3 to half the patients on stabilizer at one point progresses. And we see that number is continuing to grow. And then obviously, the only real option in terms of mechanistically and the clinical evidence suggests that it would be AMVUTTRA at this point. But let me turn it over to Pushkal, who can also provide some more clinical perspective about what we're seeing and how those guidelines are actually progressing.
Yes. Thanks, Tolga. Thanks, Paul. Look, I think it's really important. This is -- we talk about ATTR cardiomyopathy. And the thing here is that it has a clear cause, which is the accumulation of TTR protein in the -- misfolded protein in the myocardium. But as it clinically presents, it's a form of heart failure. And doctors have been treating heart failure for decades, and they know how to modify drug therapy for patients. They might add diuretics or SGLT2s or other agents as patients are progressing. And so I think they're well accustomed to actually looking at a variety of factors. And frankly, you have to rely on a variety of factors. There's not any one specific indicator.
An easy way to think about that is when you look at the European guidelines that were put out a couple of years ago, and they had a variety of considerations, including biomarkers, echocardiographic factors, exercise tolerance, patients' ability to lie flat at night, different things, pedal edema. And so I think what we're seeing now in these early days is that doctors are applying that general clinical rubric of looking at a patient, how they present their symptoms, their signs, and other factors in terms of determining how patients will progress. We do think that over time, more and more guidelines in this category will develop over time. But our expectation is that there will not be some one single factor that clinicians or payers will be able to rely upon to say specifically that the patient is progressing, but we rather have to look at the constellation of factors that affect the patient's symptomatology.
The next question comes from Luca Issi with RBC Capital.
Congrats on the strong quarter. Maybe if I can circle back on the TTR guide, maybe, Jeff, like if I assume $200 million in revenue for the year from ONPATTRO, that essentially means $550 million to $650 million in revenues for the next 2 quarters for AMVUTTRA, which is actually not dissimilar from the $492 million that you already printed today. I guess what I'm trying to say, it feels to me that this guide has still a good degree of conservatism in it, especially given that you're going to start selling this drug in international markets like Brazil, Europe, U.K., Japan, et cetera. But I would love if you have a different view here. So any thoughts there, much appreciated.
Yes. Luca, I appreciate the question. I'll again reiterate what I said to the earlier question here. We're guiding to $1 billion of TTR growth year-over-year. Last year, PN grew $300 million and is growing at about 30%. So that gets you to $600 million plus for cardiomyopathy. We just did $150 million in Q2. I think we feel very confident about that. If you look at historically, the guidance that we've given and the consistency with which we either met that or exceeded that, that's how we feel about the guidance that we're providing. I don't know if it's conservative at this point, honestly, we're 1 quarter into this. And certainly, we look forward to coming back at Q3 and reassessing things.
The next question comes from Ellie Merle with UBS.
Congratulations on the quarter. Just to drill into this a little bit more, how should we think about the rate of new patient starts per quarter from here? 1,400 is obviously a phenomenal number. Should we think of this cadence of new starts continuing in 3Q and beyond? And second, in terms of the mix, you mentioned now seeing more balanced starts mix between the new patients -- newly diagnosed and the progressors, whereas initially, it was more of the progressors. How do you expect this mix to evolve over time from here?
Okay. So I think 2 questions. You can probably take both of them, Tolga.
Yes. So, thank you. Look, at the end of the day, we're very pleased, obviously, with 1,400 paid patients within a 3-month period. And as you had highlighted, while the patient starts initially was more predominantly stabilizer progressors very quickly, that switched into a balanced and broad patient uptake. We certainly expect to see both of those categories continue to grow. Now in terms of the specific numbers, we kind of went out our way to be able to provide that clarity. As you know, AMVUTTRA is a single SKU, so we can't really isolate CN patients with precision. So we're going to continue to provide additional color and those numbers, obviously, we expect to go up. But in terms of the specific precision about how it's going to go quarter after quarter is not going to be -- we're not going to be able to report that.
The next question comes from Kostas Biliouris with BMO Capital Markets.
Congrats on the impressive launch. One question on payers from us, although you already touched a little bit on that. We have seen some commercial payers requiring stabilizer use prior to AMVUTTRA treatment in cardiomyopathy. Can you comment on how common those requirements are across the different plans? And what percentage of patients do these plans cover?
Yes. No, that's a great question. I mean I'll just start off by saying that as we look at this, access is just not a barrier. We're seeing broad coverage across Medicare fee-for-service, Medicare Advantage, commercial payers and the vast majority of patients are getting first-line with no step and this is exactly what we predicted coming into the launch and what we've been working on for quite some time. I think it really speaks to the AMVUTTRA profile as well as the nature of the disease. But Tolga, you might want to, I don't know other perspective.
I mean, you got it, Yvonne. I think the broad headline is really as predicted, we're not facing a significant headwind in terms of payer coverage. What I'm really pleased to see was within a short 3-month period, majority of both Medicare Advantage as well as commercial payers have published policies. And in those policies, AMVUTTRA, in broad strokes are covered first line. Now we also had actually flagged that there could be some commercial payers that could actually provide a step edit in their policies. We're seeing that, but it is incredibly minimal. It's in the single digits. And frankly, we don't anticipate that to continue to grow as most other large commercial payers have already written policies that covers AMVUTTRA as first line.
Now when it comes to step edits, we have the tools and the support systems that enables us actually, frankly, to help patients and providers to circumvent that or make sure that it's managed very, very carefully. This is -- it's -- we've actually built over the years a quiet engine, driving real impact in terms of our patient services -- and I'm really pleased to see how we've been able to pull through on all 3 segments. Patients are already getting on treatment, whether it's fee-for-service, whether it's Medicare Advantage, also on commercial payers, including those plans that have actually step it. So we don't see that for now. And obviously, we're going to closely monitor and continue to engage with payers to make sure that these patients that deal with the severe condition are getting a seamless access with our medicines.
Yes, that's great, Tolga. And one data point that really struck me was actually just the minimal use we're seeing of our Quick Start Program. We introduced a Quick Start Program with all of our launches to make sure that we can help patients with access. And we're just not seeing much use, which I think, again, is very encouraging.
The next question comes from Gena Wang with Barclays.
I also wanted to congrats on the outstanding quarter. So maybe, Yvonne, I think you mentioned that the vast majority will be the first-line patient. Is it fair to say that out of the 1,400 patients treated so far, will be over 50% of patients is a first-line patient? And then out of this 1,400 patients, how many of them received free drug?
Tolga, you love breaking this down.
Yes. Look, Gena, good to hear from you. I think what we had said very thoughtfully, I would say, is our uptake has been broad and balanced. So that included, again, early on, some patients that were actually progressing on stabilizers. And then what we're seeing a very, very strong trend of first-line indication. We're in the early innings. And I think the job is to -- and we're getting, I would say, our fair share of first-line patients, but the job is not done yet. What we want to make sure is that we continue this trend and make sure that we continue to educate both patients as well as prescribers why AMVUTTRA has a compelling product profile to be a first-line patient. So I just wanted to reiterate that.
Yes. It's really important that we clarify exactly where we are...
I think she also had a question about the 1,400 patients and how many of them were in the Quick Start Program. It was de minimis, right? It was very, very little.
It was absolutely very minimal.
The next question comes from Mike Ulz with Morgan Stanley.
Congrats on the strong launch as well. Maybe just a follow-up on TTR cardiomyopathy. You highlighted you're getting some nice broad use in the frontline as well as the stabilizer progressor patients. Just curious if you started to see any combination use early in the launch. I know you're not expecting it, but we've picked up some combination use in some of our [indiscernible].
Yes. No, thank you for that question. Tolga, why don't you take that?
Yes. Look, we certainly do see a very small portion of those patients getting a combination use. We would certainly expect that as tafamidis goes generics over the years to become more prominent. But right now, it's really be -- difficult to be very specific about looking at the specific combination use. But I think where it's allowed and where access is permissible, we do some utilization of combo.
I think we've got time for one last question.
The next question comes from Ritu Baral with TD Cowen.
Congratulations on the quarter. A quick question on variants. You guys addressed the mixed phenotype. But in your first-line and first-line accent -- access, what trends are you seeing in the V122I variant population as [ KOL ] feedback, at least on my model, has suggested I'm underestimating that prevalence by about 6x, but it is a more severe phenotypic presentation. And just a very quick follow-up. This is probably semantics, but you guys, Tolga, you've mentioned step-through and step-edits. Are they the same thing as prior authorizations? Or do you have a different set of prior authorizations?
Yes. So let me take your last part first. The step edit policies that we've seen, again, it's incredibly small. It's in the single digit, and it's mostly predominantly in the commercial setting. There are no real -- specific limitations other than patients putting on a stabilizer first. And frankly, there's no even a time limit or duration, and it's really up to the physician if the patient is progressing. So we find these policies relatively easy to manage for the patients.
And there are no specific hereditary or V122I indication. And frankly, we're not surprised about that. We have, I think, what we've demonstrated early on with the polyneuropathy, hereditary condition and then later with the broad cardiomyopathy label is that AMVUTTRA is well positioned to be a first-line patient for all diagnosed ATTR-CM patients. And we're really not seeing that trend. Now -- maybe I'll turn it over to Pushkal, if he has any specific commentary on the trial.
I think you said it well. Look, I think what we've seen in HELIOS-B is that AMVUTTRA works equally well in wild-type patients and in V122I patients. And as Tolga mentioned, this is the one class of drugs that's shown actually a benefit in hereditary patients, which constitutes the wide range of mutations, and we've seen benefits across that. So across, I think, all ranges of severity, whether it's NYHA Class I, II, III, whether it's hereditary or wild type, I think -- that's, I think, what really cements our belief that this is really -- and what we're hearing from prescribers in terms of the opportunity to treat patients with this drug as a first-line agent, Ritu.
Thank you, Ritu, I think this brings our call to a close. And I'd just like to thank everybody for joining us today on this call. Look, Alnylam is continuing to execute strongly across all areas of the business, and we're very much looking forward to providing you further updates as we progress throughout the year. Thanks a lot.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: $672 Mio. Nettoproduktumsatz (+64% Year‑over‑Year, YoY)
- TTR‑Franchise: $544 Mio. (+77% YoY); AMVUTTRA ATTR‑CM erster voller Quartalsbeitrag
- Patienten: ~1.400 ATTR‑CM‑Patienten auf AMVUTTRA per 30.06.2025 (erstes volles Launch‑Quartal)
- Bruttomarge: 79% (vs. 84% im Q2‑2024; Druck durch höhere Royalties auf AMVUTTRA)
- Liquide Mittel: $2,9 Mrd.; Guidance erhöht: Nettoproduktumsatz 2025 neu $2,65–2,80 Mrd. (Midpoint +27% vs. Vor‑Guidance)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- TTR‑Fokus: AMVUTTRA‑Launch in ATTR‑CM läuft schneller als erwartet; Ziel langfristige Marktführerschaft
- Pipeline‑Push: TRITON‑CM Phase‑III für nucresiran gestartet; FDA Fast‑Track für nucresiran; mivelsiran (Alzheimer/CNS) und ALN‑4324 (T2D) vorangetrieben
- Finanzdisziplin: Betonung auf nachhaltiger Profitabilität, gesteigerte SG&A für Launch‑Support, diszipliniertes Kapitalmanagement
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Revidierte Guidance: Nettoproduktumsatz 2025 $2,65–2,80 Mrd.; TTR‑Guidance $2,175–2,275 Mrd.; Rare $475–525 Mio.
- Margen‑Ausblick: Erwarteter weiterer Druck auf Bruttomarge durch steigende AMVUTTRA‑Royalties
- Sonstiges: Ca. $60 Mio. des Guidance‑Upgrades erklären sich durch FX‑Effekt; übrige Nicht‑GAAP‑Annahmen unverändert
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Patientenmix: Nachfrage breit; Management berichtet schneller Wechsel von primär „stabilizer progressors“ zu ausgeglichener Erstlinientherapie
- Preis/Netto: Erwartete Reduktion des Netto‑Preises für AMVUTTRA 2025 gegenüber 2024 im mittleren einstelligen Prozentbereich
- Channel & Payer: Q2 hatte ~ $25 Mio. Channel‑Bestandsanstieg (12‑Wo‑Durchschnitt), aber gross‑to‑net‑Headwinds (u.a. Part D Rebates); Step‑edits bei kommerziellen Plänen in Single‑Digit‑Fällen
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Starkes erstes volles Launch‑Quartal von AMVUTTRA treibt deutlich höhere Umsatz‑Guidance; nucresiran und weitere Programme liefern langfristige Upside. Risiken: fortgesetzte Launch‑Execution, Bruttomargen‑Druck durch Royalties und die Notwendigkeit, Zugang und Erstlinien‑penetration nachhaltig zu halten.
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Great. Good morning, everyone. Thank you so much for joining us. I'm Salveen Richter, biotechnology analyst at Goldman Sachs, and we're really pleased to be joined by the Alnylam team.
With me, we have Yvonne Greenstreet, CEO; and John Kennedy, Head of the TTR franchise. So Yvonne, before we even start, you announced some news this morning. So maybe this is a perfect time point to maybe speak to the European approval that came today and the strategy that you hope to take in Europe with TTR.
Yes. So hot off the press this morning. Well, first of all, good morning, everybody. Hot off the press this morning is that we managed to secure approval in Europe for AMVUTTRA for cardiomyopathy. It's a big news for us. It means that we can move forward with our plan to take AMVUTTRA to patients with TTR cardiomyopathy in Europe. I have to do a shout out to our regulatory team because we were able to file global submissions, achieve approval in the U.S. March 20, EU today and planning to launch in Japan and Germany second half of this year. So we really have now got some momentum, global momentum behind our TTR franchise, so very exciting.
Great. So maybe jumping back here, big picture. In 2021, you launched your P5x25 strategy outlining goals for Alnylam by year-end '25 including non-GAAP profitability, which -- and everything has been either achieved or appears to be on track to meet. How do you think about the 5-year vision for Alnylam from here?
Yes. That's a fantastic question. So you're absolutely right. In 2021, we launched what was some pretty ambitious goals actually back in 2021, really laying out the 5 years trajectory for the company. And as you said, I'm pleased to say that we're absolutely on track to meeting all of them, including achieving sustainable non-GAAP profitability by the end of this year. We haven't quite delivered them yet.
So I'm going to wait until we get to the end of the year, hopefully declare victory, and then we'll be in a position to present to you our next set of 5-year goals.
Having said that, I think when you look at Alnylam as a company, it really is a unique biotechnology company where we've got robust and growing revenues, primarily driven by our TTR franchise. We've got this incredible pipeline that is spring-loaded for growth.
We have a sustainable innovation engine that continues to deliver new programs into the clinic and a very robust financial position. So in a really unique position as a company in biotech. When you think about what we need to do to continue to grow the company going forward, we clearly need to make sure that we are leaders in TTR. I think we're on -- we are really pleased with the progress with our launch with AMVUTTRA thus far, but we really need to make sure that we achieve leadership in TTR.
And we need to continue to grow through innovation and continue to maintain this incredible high-yielding pipeline with probability success that multiples of what are achieved in the industry.
And obviously, we need to continue to scale and build the company in a very disciplined way and continue to deliver financial performance. So those are the sort of, if you like the, 3 pillars that are important in terms of how we think about growing the company going forward. And hopefully, we are able to declare victory with respect to P5x25 at JPMorgan next year, we will share more detail around our specific 5-year goals.
Great. I want to jump in further into TTR. But before we do that, you hosted an R&D Day this year. And you really laid out a broad siRNA platform pipeline off the base of your technology. Could you walk us through what you see as the growth levers beyond TTR?
Yes. No, that's an important question because we believe we're the leading RNAi company, and we think we'll deliver significant revenue growth with TTR franchise, but it's important to keep the pipeline behind that going. And I think we're making incredible progress.
Most of you have heard about zilebesiran for hypertension. But I just want to highlight a couple of areas, which are probably underappreciated. When we think about our CNS pipeline, I'm particularly excited by our program for Huntington's disease.
Huntington's, as all of you know, is a very, very debilitating condition. Patients continue to suffer from a wide array of symptoms that have been described by having Parkinson's and Alzheimer's all in one. And we have what we think is a unique approach for helping to meet the needs of these patients. An approach that not only focuses on the mutant huntingtin protein, but also the exon 1 fragment, and we believe that this is going to have a meaningful impact on these patients.
And the second program that I'd like to highlight, ARN-6400 targets plasminogen. I think many folks have really picked up on how exciting this could be. Essentially, we believe that this has the possibility by targeting plasminogen of being a [ universal ] hemostatic agent without the problems that you see with thrombosis.
And if we're right, ARN-6400 could be a little bit like Vyvgart being for Argenx and really be a pipeline in an injection. So 2 very exciting programs, which have the opportunity actually of moving forward pretty expeditiously.
Could you also speak just overall from a pricing dynamic with regard to Most Favored Nation pricing? And if that were to be implemented, how that factors into your plan for the ex U.S. launch from AMVUTTRA in cardiomyopathy? And help us understand this in the context of what's playing out with polyneuropathy currently.
Yes. Look, I think it's really difficult for anybody to speak with any degree of knowledge with respect to what's going to happen with MFN. There's just so much uncertainty at the moment. I think it's quite difficult for us to really predict specifically what the impact on our business is going to be.
I think one of the advantages that we have at Alnylam is all of our products are for rare diseases. They have orphan drug designation. And so when it's come to negotiations like the IRA, that orphan status has actually helped position Alnylam relatively well. But we'll see how things unfold with MFN.
On the TTR front, specifically in ATTR cardiomyopathy, on your 1Q earnings call, you outlined that greater than 50% of the 170 priority health systems that treat about 80% of these patients have the drug on formulary, of which over 75% have begun treating patients.
And so one could assume you've treated over 65 to 75 patients at this point. Could you discuss the drivers behind this rapid progress within the first 5 weeks post approval and how we should think about that on the forward?
I think it really helps having a medicine out there with AMVUTTRA treating patients with polyneuropathy. And actually, 45% of patients with polyneuropathy are actually diagnosed by cardiologists. So we're able to get off to a running start, if you like, with AMVUTTRA in cardiomyopathy. I think the reasons for our great progress are probably twofold.
I think one is actually just the strength of the data that we generated with HELIOS-B. I think it's a very compelling value proposition across the board for payers, for physicians, for patients. And I think the profile that we have with AMVUTTRA has really resonated within the ecosystem. So we're delighted with that.
And I think it's also a testament to our very strong commercial team with John sitting next to me here, who've done, I think, a tremendous job really building the commercial footprint that we need to deliver success.
And how are you thinking about the cadence of P&T committee meetings and patients starting treatment into year-end?
Yes. We haven't given specific details around that. But John, perhaps you want to say a few words about how we are thinking about that.
Yes. One of the things that we have said pretty consistently is that this is a buy-and-bill product. So there's an initial setup that we have taken very seriously. We've been laser-focused on that. And so I think that what we saw with the first quarter earnings is a reflection of how focused we've been to make sure that we have that proper setup that really unlocks that momentum in the second half.
So in terms of the cadence, we obviously haven't really committed any kind of velocity kind of metrics. What we have confirmed is our expectations for revenue. And so we fully expect that we're going to be able to meet or exceed guidance. That's what we aspire to do.
I think it's very encouraging that you had so much progress as of that first quarter earnings call. So that is certainly in track, if not a little bit ahead of our expectations for that initial setup. That allows the demand to actually fall through. And we do know that there's demand in the market.
And on that guidance front, you provided guidance this year for TTR of $1.6 billion to $1.725 billion, which is roughly 36% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Given that the polyneuropathy segment is still growing, can you help us understand, a, whether this guide is conservative in the context of what you provided, but b, where the growth on the polyneuropathy still lies?
Yes. No that's a tremendous question. And we're delighted with the performance of our business in PN. I think it speaks to a number of things. As I said, the profile of AMVUTTRA and strength of our commercial team, but the fact that there's actually a lot of patients out there and the market is continuing to grow even with competition.
Now we've been growing the PN business between 28% and 34% on a quarterly basis year-on-year. So that's actually robust growth. And we expect to see obviously growth over and above that with cardiomyopathy. One thing we won't be able to do is to split out polyneuropathy and cardiomyopathy sales directly because we sell to distributors, and we can't actually provide that granularity.
But given that we understand the growth rates that we're seeing with polyneuropathy, I think it's not going to be too difficult when we share our progress with our TTR franchise in our next earnings call to get a sense of actually what the growth ramp is going to be for cardiomyopathy.
But John, do you want to say anything about polyneuropathy business and why you think that remains so strong?
Yes. I think in polyneuropathy, there are some similarities to cardiomyopathy. This is still a rare disease, generally underserved. So there's a lot of growth to be had in polyneuropathy. We see that. And I think one of the things that we're seeing is [indiscernible] competition. That's just more voices. That helps diagnosis.
So it's actually been a category-expanding event. I think you'll see very similar dynamics in cardiomyopathy. The majority of patients globally, about 80% of these patients are untreated. So it's a category expansion opportunity. The fact that there are now multiple treatments, more voices in the market, I think, is helpful. So if you look at the guidance, it is an acceleration of the growth, but there's a lot of opportunity to be had.
Is there any granularity you can give us in terms of the breakout between treatment-naive and progressors for the patients who are starting treatment here?
So right now, I think what's really encouraging about the launch is just the broad utilization across patient types, both patients starting treatment for the first time and those that are already on treatment. I think there's breadth of the prescriber base in terms of community physicians and academic centers. And so we're really encouraged actually by the broad uptake that we're seeing thus far with AMVUTTRA.
And apart from sales numbers that will be provided on the 2Q and 3Q calls, are there any other metrics that you'll provide that will help us understand?
Absolutely. By the time we get to Q2 call, we'll have had a little bit longer with the AMVUTTRA launch under our belt, and we'll be able to provide some more specifics. Clearly, I think revenue is going to be the most kind of critical number for many folks that kind of watch the space. But I think we'll provide some granularity on some of the things that I've just shared in terms of the nature of prescribers, the nature of patients. So I think there'll be quite a lot more that we'll be able to share in our Q2 earnings call.
And you've spoken about your efforts of expanding alternative sites of care and overall providing optionality to where patients can be dosed, including miles from injection site in home. Just walk us through how that's playing out, right?
Yes, I'll start, and John may have some additional points to make. So at our last earnings call, we said we had 1,000 sites set up for patients and the plan is to double that, and we'll double that. And we intend to make sure that 90% of patients are within 10 miles of an infusion center. And obviously, also patients can also receive the administration at home, which I think is really helpful to patients that want that.
I also think that the quarterly subcutaneous regimen is a real actually advantage for AMVUTTRA in that it aligns pretty well with physician visits, but also physicians can be sure that the patients actually receive the treatment. With all therapies, their major compliance issues and for progressive severe condition like TTR cardiomyopathy, you're only going to get the benefit of a treatment if you actually take the treatment.
And we've been really pleased with our adherence rates in the polyneuropathy setting in excess of 95% and expect to see exactly the same thing with cardiomyopathy.
John, anything to add?
I think you covered it.
Speak to the reimbursement front here. So you've initiated treatment across payer mixes without step edits. Are you seeing a difference in access for patients on Medicare Advantage where cross management with stabilizers has been a point of debate?
Yes. No, I think -- I'll start and then we'll hand it to John. I think what is encouraging about this launch is that we're seeing initiations across all payer types. So fee-for-service, Medicare Advantage and commercial. There being no barriers to access. John, anything specific to...
What I'd add to that is in addition to seeing utilization across all payer segments, the majority of patients are paying $0 out-of-pocket cost. So if you remember, we're really informed by the experience that we've already had in polyneuropathy, where 99% of patients have access to AMVUTTRA and the majority of those patients have 0 out-of-pocket costs.
The payer mix is very, very similar in cardiomyopathy. So it's incredibly encouraging. So far, we're seeing utilization across all of those payers, whether it's Medicare fee-for-service, Advantage or commercial. And again, the majority are paying $0 out-of-pocket cost. So it's very encouraging.
And how are you overlaying the free drug program on top of all of this?
I think that's one piece. I think this is an important point to clarify. I think, again, there's a little bit of confusion around exactly how our program operates. I'll just start off by saying that we provide a very holistic service to support patients. And this is just one -- this quick -- what we call the Quick Start program. There's just one component of that. John?
Yes. I'll talk more broadly about our patient services organization. So it is fully owned. It's a part of our organization, and that's relatively unique in the industry, certainly in this category. So it's an important part of how we support this community.
We've had a patient service organization for a long time, a range of support services or offerings. Quick Start is one of those. So we've had this for years. It's just not a new initiative, but we continue to maintain it here to support this much.
What I would say is if you look at the polyneuropathy business, there's generally been limited utilization of it because there hasn't been a need for it. So essentially, the way it works is if a patient has challenges getting initial access, we'll provide that first dose. With quarterly dosing that gives a 3-month lead time to work through that.
And so again, we've had this offering for a long time, generally have had limited utilization. So far in cardiomyopathy, it's a very similar situation. We provide that offering, but it's been limited utilization. And it hasn't been an issue because we're seeing that utilization come through.
And maybe provide color on the cadence at which you'll manage AMVUTTRA's net price over time and how this will be accomplished because you have always had this ability to kind of adjust based on policies.
That's right. So we've indicated that we will see some modest adjustment to AMVUTTRA pricing over time, but we haven't gone into specifics of that at this point in time. I think it's way too premature. But as you said, we have the levers to manage this in the marketplace.
You touched on this earlier with the first question, but speak to the timing and expectations for your first ex U.S. launch, but also strategically being the first drug approved across the spectrum in Europe.
Yes. I mean we're obviously very encouraged that we've got a product that is unique in having a regulatory approval in multiple countries, U.S. included across both hereditary polyneuropathy and cardiomyopathy.
So our goal generally is to make AMVUTTRA available as broadly as we can, as quickly as we possibly can. What we've talked about so far in the second half of this year is that we expect to launch in Germany and Japan. There will be other launches to follow likely throughout 2026, which is a function of both the regulatory review in certain countries, but also that pricing and reimbursement process that does exist in many countries.
And one last question here, that you presented some data and analyses at the Heart Failure Conference this year. Can you speak to the key takeaways that played out here and how that factored in physician education efforts or how it is factoring in physician education efforts?
So the key takeaway from my perspective is that with HELIOS-B, we have a very rich data set, which we will continue to interrogate. And the more we interrogate the data set, the more it becomes clear to us that AMVUTTRA has a significant magnitude of impact as well as consistency of impact across all patient types.
So we continue to provide more information because I think that helps to educate physicians and give them a greater understanding of what they can expect to see as their patients take AMVUTTRA. But there are a few key, I think, additional data sets that we've shared. So yes, John, do you want to touch on that you find this [ exciting ].
Yes. What we showed from the primary analysis, first and foremost is -- this was a very rigorous trial. I mean these were patients generally earlier in the disease progression with substantial background treatments in the active and placebo arm. So it was a really robust test of effectiveness.
And in that, we did see a magnitude of outcome impact that was profound, including that 36% reduction in all-cause mortality as a stand-alone prespecified endpoint in addition to that preservation of function and quality of life with quarterly dosing. So what we're now seeing with additional analyses just reinforces a lot of the same themes. So we've seen additional outcomes that have reported out. For example, in addition [indiscernible] 33% reduction in CV mortality.
More recently, we saw there was a 46% reduction in urgent heart failure visits. So again, magnitude and consistency of those outcomes, coupled with that preservation of function. So we've seen remarkable biomarker data, some imaging data, for example, echo parameters like diastolic function, which suggests not just an improvement versus placebo, but in some of these parameters, improvement versus baseline. So it just reinforces the value proposition that we've seen, and it just gets richer and richer with more data analyses.
Moving over to the pipeline here, and I'll start with nucresiran. So you plan to initiate a Phase III study in the second quarter this year. Speak to us about how you're thinking about the overall trial design in order to elucidate the benefit that you see with this drug, not just from potentially dosing dynamic and then also how you manage for concomitant medications that could impact these trials in the future?
So hot off the press. We've actually now initiated TRITON-CM, so a little bit ahead of schedule. So yes, we're really delighted to have kicked this program off because we do see nucresiran bringing additional benefits to patients with TTR cardiomyopathy. It's also a testament to Alnylam's commitment to these patients to commit to continue to innovate for these patients with a program that has the opportunity not just for increased convenience with biannual dosing, but also much greater TTR knockdown. So we couldn't be more excited about the study.
I think one thing to note about the study is that it's an event-driven study. So we'll continue the study until we have a high degree of confidence that we have a result. And it's an outcomes study. So we will be following these patients for at least 24 months because we think that as we consider the evolving treatment of patients with TTR cardiomyopathy, it's really important for us to bring nucresiran to patients with the most compelling profile that we can deliver.
We're also going to be kicking off our study in polyneuropathy with nucresiran second half of this year. And that gives us an opportunity to bring nucresiran to patients in a much shorter time frame. So we couldn't be more excited about nucresiran.
And the opportunity that provides Alnylam as a company is really for kind of durable revenues out to the 2040s in what is, as John has said, a large and growing market. So a really important part of the TTR strategy.
Can you lay out for us from a data perspective or event perspective, what you're most focused on from the pipeline over the next 12 months?
Wow, I mean there's a lot that's happening in the pipeline. Zilebesiran, I think we're really excited about zilebesiran. We will be sharing data from what we call our KARDIA-3 study, where we're assessing zilebesiran on top of patients who are taking 2 to 4 antihypertensives, who are at high risk of cardiovascular disease.
And that study will -- is powered to show a 6-millimeter of mercury reduction in systolic blood pressure. Actually, it's been demonstrated if you're actually able to reduce blood pressure by 5 millimeters of mercury, you actually have a significant impact on cardiovascular outcomes. But not only does zilebesiran reduce blood pressure, but also provides continuous control. And we believe it's going to have a lot of ancillary benefits that are also going to drive improvement in outcomes. So we hope to be able to share the KARDIA-3 data with you second half of this year, and then we will be kicking off a cardiovascular outcomes study. So I think that's pretty exciting.
We continue to progress mivelsiran. It's a Phase I study ongoing in patients with early onset Alzheimer's disease. We continue to get more information from the multi-dose portion of our study as we go through the year. Very excited about that program.
We've already kicked off the program with mivelsiran in patients with cerebral amyloid angiopathy. I think that's an indication again that people should pay attention to. It's underrecognized. Diagnosis is growing as patients have more and more MRIs with the introduction of antibodies for Alzheimer's.
And we believe it's got a really kind of strong probability of succeeding in this patient group. So we're pretty excited about that. And what I continue to be really excited about for the company is actually the innovation engine that we have that continues to deliver 2 to 4 new INDs per year. And we're now able to deliver to the liver, the CNS muscle, heart, adipose tissue. Really one of our goals is actually to deliver siRNA technology to every single major tissue in the body.
So again, [indiscernible] when we think about the trajectory of revenues for TTR, very exciting when we think about the clinical pipeline. But I think what we're building here really is a company that is really just getting started.
Could you touch on your strategy in obesity and diabetes and when those programs could enter the clinic?
Yes. I think, look, our platform is actually really well suited to addressing the needs of patients with metabolic disorders and obesity, just given clamped PD, the fact that you can get infrequent administration. And so we believe that we should be able to provide benefits to patients in these 2 disease states. And we started to share some of the progress that we're making with our programs. One program is GRB14 for patients with diabetes.
The real opportunity here is actually to provide an insulin sensitizer without any weight gain. So we're pretty excited about moving that forward. And I told you now in adipose tissues, we've got another program that's actually targeting ACVR1C, which I think is going to have a really unique approach to treating patients with obesity. There's quite a lot going on in that metabolic obesity pipeline. It's a really exciting space.
Could you talk to capital allocation and BD strategy here. Do you feel -- I mean, you clearly have a lot going on, but do you feel a need to use your cash here and look at external options to bring in?
I think as you pointed out, we have a very rich pipeline. And our first order of business is to progress the pipeline that we have. We believe that there's some really transformative medicines that have the opportunity to be multibillion opportunities in the medium term. So we really must make sure that we focus on those and move those through.
And again, continue to invest in our platform. We continue to make platform enhancements, talked about getting into different tissues. So there's a lot that we believe we can do at Alnylam to create substantial value for many, many years to come. But we are in an ecosystem where it continues to be innovation that gets driven by other companies, and we keep a close eye on what's happening in the landscape. But I think it's going to be a pretty high bar, at least at this point in time for us to do any significant BD.
Great. Well with that, thank you so much. Really appreciate the time today.
Thank you.
Thank you.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc — Goldman Sachs 46th Annual Global Healthcare Conference 2025
📣 Kernbotschaft
- EU‑Zulassung: AMVUTTRA erhielt in Europa Zulassung für ATTR‑Kardiomyopathie; US‑Zulassung war am 20. März 2026, internationale Launch‑Pläne für H2 2026.
- Kommerzieller Start: Schneller Zugang in den USA: >50% der 170 Prioritäts‑Health‑Systeme listen das Produkt, viele P&T‑Meetings abgeschlossen und erste Behandlungen initiiert.
- Strategie‑Fokus: TTR‑Franchise bleibt primärer Wachstumstreiber; Pipeline (CNS, Herz, Hämostase, metabolisch) soll weiteres skalierbares Umsatzwachstum liefern.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- TTR‑Leadership: Management will Marktführerschaft bei TTR sichern via Ausbau kommerzieller Präsenz, Launch‑Hilfe und Netzwerk von Infusions‑/Home‑Sites.
- Pipelinedriver: Nennenswerte Programme: nucresiran (biannual, Phase III TRITON‑CM initiiert), zilebesiran (KARDIA‑3 Datenteil H2), ARN‑6400 (Plasminogen) und Huntington‑Programm.
- Kommerzielle Hebel: Ausbau von Sites (Ziel: Verdopplung auf ~2.000), Quick‑Start‑Patientenservice, hoher Anteil Patienten mit $0 OOP (out‑of‑pocket).
🔭 Neue Informationen
- TRITON‑CM: Phase‑III für nucresiran wurde vorgezogen und bereits gestartet; Event‑driven‑Studie mit ≥24 Monaten Follow‑up.
- Launch‑Roadmap: Deutschland und Japan für H2 2026 angekündigt; weitere Länder in 2026 abhängig von Preis‑/Erstattungsprozessen.
- Ziele & Timing: Management bestätigt TTR‑Jahres‑Guidance $1,6–1,725 Mrd. und sieht sich auf Kurs, Mehrgranularität für Q2‑Call angekündigt.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Preisrisiken: MFN (Most Favored Nation) bleibt unsicher; Management vermeidet konkrete Schätzungen und betont Orphan‑Status als Vorteil.
- Daten/Segmente: Nachfrage nach Aufschlüsselung Polyneuropathie vs. Kardiomyopathie bleibt unbeantwortet (Vertrieb über Distributoren verhindert Granularität).
- Zugang & Erstattung: Nachfrage zu Medicare Advantage/step‑edits beantwortet: breite Nutzung über alle Payer, Mehrheit $0 OOP; keine harten Tempo‑ oder P&T‑KPI genannt.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Das Event bestätigt: Alnylam hat mit AMVUTTRA frühen kommerziellen Momentum und eine breite, wachsende TTR‑Franchise plus einen aktiven, vielversprechenden Pipeline‑Funnel. Kurzfristig sind Umsatz‑Upside und Marktausdehnung wahrscheinlich; Hauptrisiken bleiben Preisregulierung (MFN) und fehlende Segment‑Granularität.
Finanzdaten von Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Basis
| Mär '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 4.287 4.287 |
83 %
83 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 822 822 |
150 %
150 %
19 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 3.465 3.465 |
72 %
72 %
81 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 1.293 1.293 |
29 %
29 %
30 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 1.420 1.420 |
26 %
26 %
33 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 764 764 |
1.422 %
1.422 %
18 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 55 55 |
5 %
5 %
1 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 710 710 |
715 %
715 %
17 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 577 577 |
314 %
314 %
13 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen USD.
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Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc Aktie News
Firmenprofil
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. ist ein biopharmazeutisches Unternehmen, das sich mit der Entdeckung, Entwicklung und Vermarktung von RNAi-Therapeutika beschäftigt. Es handelt sich um die Übersetzung von RNAi als eine neue Klasse innovativer Medikamente mit Schwerpunkt auf RNAi-Therapeutika zur Behandlung genetisch definierter Krankheiten. Das Unternehmen wurde am 14. Juni 2002 von John Kennedy Clarke, Paul R. Schimmel und Phillip A. Sharp gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Cambridge, MA.
aktien.guide Basis
| Hauptsitz | USA |
| CEO | Dr. Greenstreet |
| Mitarbeiter | 2.500 |
| Gegründet | 2002 |
| Webseite | www.alnylam.com |


