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📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 23,08 Mrd. € | Umsatz (TTM) = 25,99 Mrd. €
Marktkapitalisierung = 23,08 Mrd. € | Umsatz erwartet = 27,30 Mrd. €
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 25,44 Mrd. € | Umsatz (TTM) = 25,99 Mrd. €
Enterprise Value = 25,44 Mrd. € | Umsatz erwartet = 27,30 Mrd. €
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Michelin Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
27 Analysten haben eine Michelin Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
27 Analysten haben eine Michelin Prognose abgegeben:
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Michelin — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, dear shareholders, hello to everybody. It's a real pleasure for me and for all the Michelin teams to be here with you for our Annual Shareholders' Meeting. I would like to extend a warm welcome to everyone following us remotely via the live stream on our website. Like every year, we will ensure that this meeting is an opportunity for information, dialogue and decision-making as well centered on what brings us together, your group, Michelin. On this stage, you can see the full scope of Michelin's expertise in composites, in truck, aircraft and car tires, lunar wheel for NASA's Rover and some of composite polymer solutions. These are all applications that demonstrate our dynamic innovative power.
So without further ado, I hereby declare our 2026 combined General Meeting open. So I don't really need to introduce him. That's Yves Chapot, General Manager and Chief Financial Officer; and Benoit Balmary, who is our Group General Counsel. In the front row, we have Ms. Itto El Hariri and Mr. Frederic Gourd, who represent the auditors, PricewaterhouseCoopers and Deloitte & Associates, respectively. We have members of the company's Supervisory Board with the exception of Mr. Wolf-Henning Schneider and Ms. Monique Leroux, who are unable to be with us. And we also have Mr. Vincent Montagne, who is Chairman of the SAGES, the non-managing general partner. The members of the Executive Committee are here as well and the members of the Michelin Shareholders Committee.
We will now proceed to the election of the presiding officers as Chair of the meeting, I hereby appoint as scrutineers the 2 shareholders who hold -- each hold and represent the largest number of votes and who have accepted this role. There's Mr. Pierre Michelin, Chairman of Mage-Invest and [ Mr. Marc Donne ], representative of the Supervisory Board of the Michelin BIB Primaute Employee Savings Fund. The Board thus constitutes appoints Benoit Balmary as Secretary of the meeting. The attendance sheet shows that the quorum requirements have been met. The final tally will be provided just before the vote on our resolutions. The meeting may therefore validly deliberate on the items on the agenda listed in the notice of meeting, which was available on the website.
This general meeting, which is both ordinary and extraordinary, is convening on first call. I would now like to present a summary of the group's activities in 2025 and our outlook for 2026, and I'm going to give the floor to Yves Chapot.
Ladies and gentlemen, dear shareholders, I'd like to review Michelin Group's 2025 results as well as the outlook for 2026. And these are fully in line with the rollout in Motion 2030 strategy. So let's turn to the group's performance in 2025. The first area concerns the human dimension. Our team's commitment is a key driver of performance that enables the group to adapt to changes in our environment. In 2025, the engagement rate reached 84.4%, so up more than 4 points since 2019 and remains close to the 85% target set for 2030. This level places Michelin in the top quartile of the best performing companies in this field according to the Gallup study. In addition, the global employee stock ownership plan, BIB'Action, launched in 2025 has proved extremely popular. Employees subscribed to 20% more shares compared to 2024, bringing the proportion of active employee shareholders to over 65% of the workforce and their ownership stake to 3% as of end of December '25. So our goal is to keep up this momentum to reach 4% by 2030.
And finally, health and safety remain at the heart of our efforts as they contribute to everyone's well-being and performance. Thanks to in-depth work on prevention and behavioral change, this commitment resulted in an improvement in the group's total recordable injury rate, TRIR, which decreased by 0.53 points compared to 2024. These indicators reflect the global commitment of our employees, which drives the group's attractiveness, talent retention and sustainable performance. On the environmental front, we place innovation at the heart of our approach to reduce the environmental impact of our operations to enhance the environmental performance of our products and make this a key differentiator and to increase the use of renewable or recycled materials.
Furthermore, the group's climate strategy centers on reducing its carbon footprint and anticipating climate risks. Regarding the reduction of CO2 emissions from its direct operations, what we call Scopes 1 and 2, it's based on targets validated by the science-based targets initiative, SBTi. And by 2025, the group has already achieved its 2030 target with a 48% reduction in emissions compared to 2019, and we're maintaining our goal of net zero emissions by 2050. Michelin is also making progress in the energy efficiency of its products. For example, in specialty tires. Crane trucks equipped with the X-Crane 2 are achieving fuel savings of around 15% compared to the main competitor, a result validated by DEKRA. The group confirms its goal of reducing the rolling resistance of its tires by 10% by 2030 compared to 2019.
Now regarding abrasion performance. The group is continuing to make progress in reducing particulate emissions, and it's strengthening its leadership. In 2025, a study by the German Automobile Association, the ADAC, reveals that the particle emission of Michelin tires is 27% lower than the average among premium competitors, and that is huge. And finally, Michelin fully embraces its environmental responsibility by reducing its footprint and the use of natural resources through the Avoid plus 4R approach, avoid, reduce, reuse, recycle and renew. This approach results in a continuous increase in the proportion of renewable or recycled materials in our tires. The group is thus continuing on its path towards 40% renewable or recycled materials by 2030.
Now I'd like to present the group's financial performance and start with a bit of context. The year 2025 unfolded in a challenging environment. Certain markets were affected by increased competition, fluctuating customs policies and restrictive regulatory changes. These factors weighed on our volumes. To address this, Michelin's teams have demonstrated agility, ensuring effective operational management and aligning our industrial capacity with market expectations. Furthermore, sustained growth in Polymer Composite Solutions, bolstered by our recent acquisitions, confirms our ability to develop high value-added businesses, and we'll return to this later.
In this context, Michelin's 2025 revenue amounted to EUR 26 billion, down 4.4% at current exchange rates. These results reflect a 4.7% decline in volumes, largely due to weak original equipment business, particularly in the truck, tire and agricultural tire segments in North America. These volume declines were partially offset by a very favorable product mix driven by high value-added products, notably the Michelin brand and passenger car tires in sizes 18 inches and larger, a positive geographic mix and a better balance between the replacement and original equipment markets.
Segment operating income totaled EUR 2.7 billion. This decline is primarily due to low activity levels in the original equipment markets, particularly in the truck and Beyond-road segments. The group continues to strengthen its financial position with free cash flow before acquisitions, that's available cash flow before, which is EUR 2.1 billion, reflecting the quality of Michelin's operational management and the structural improvement in our cash generation capacity. Return on capital employed reached 9.2%, in line with our value creation requirements. So in addition, I'd like to mention the group's excellent debt ratio, which stands at 13% end of 2025 compared to 16.7% at the end of 2024, thanks to the reduction in net debt supported by very favorable free cash flow.
So in summary, despite an unstable economic and geopolitical environment, the group's financial results remain solid and demonstrate the group's resilience and ability to overcome difficult conditions and invest in its future with confidence and determination. The Polymer Composite Solutions business leverages Michelin's long-standing expertise in materials, processes and industrialization, which it is now extending to composite solutions beyond tires. This expansion is accompanied by a policy of targeted acquisitions aligned with the Michelin in Motion 2030 strategy, which supports both our ambition for external growth and our leadership in innovation. Following the acquisition of 2 companies, Pronal and Aston Seals in 2025, Michelin announced in early 2026, the acquisition of 3 U.S.-based companies: Cooley Group, specialized in high-performance polymer coated fabrics, Flexitallic specialized in seals and sealing solutions for the energy and industrial sectors and Tex Tech Industries specialized in technical textiles and high-performance materials.
These 3 acquisitions will increase the revenue of our Polymer Composite Solutions business by 35%. So consequently, the dynamic growth of the Polymer Composite Solutions business has led the group to create a new reporting segment, which will be integrated into our financial reporting starting in 2026. This fourth segment will provide clear dedicated visibility to these activities and will complement the 3 existing segments of tires and services, consumer, transport and specialties. And we are pleased to present, as Florent said, on the occasion of this Annual General Meeting, to present products that represent each of these segments. The group's 2025 results are presented here by segment. And as you can see, the Polymer Composite Solutions business accounts for a significant portion of 2025 revenue. It's EUR 1.2 million and an operating revenue of EUR 186 million.
And finally, the operating margin for these sectors confirms the strong performance of this segment, which delivers a margin near to 15% of revenue. As you can see, alongside tires, which remain the core of the group's business, we firmly believe in the development of polymer composite solutions to support the group's future growth.
I'd now like to discuss the Michelin brand. For over 130 years, it has embodied our values and commitments around the world. Its reputation and credibility are a true strategic asset. It contributes to the group's sustainable economic success. And in 2025, the Michelin brand broke 2 historic records. joining the top 10 of the world's strongest brands for all sectors, and its financial value exceeded $10 billion. So for the ninth year running, it has ramped up its undisputed leadership in terms of both brand strength and financial value. The Michelin brand is thus a strategic asset that embodies the group's identity and supports the implementation of the Michelin in Motion 2030 strategy.
Now in terms of shareholder policy, the group aims to offer its shareholders a fair return. Thus, with net income of EUR 1.7 billion, the group here at this meeting is proposing a stable dividend of EUR 1.38 per share for the fiscal year, representing a payout ratio of 57% of consolidated net income, up 5% points. Our cash generation also enables us to carry out share buybacks, which help return liquidity to the market that investors can then allocate to companies in the cash-consuming phase. And between 2026 and 2028, the group plans to repurchase up to EUR 2 billion in shares.
I'd like to present the breakdown of the value created by the group in 2025. In 2025, the group generated EUR 12 billion in economic value added compared to EUR 12.9 billion in 2024. Now this EUR 900 million decrease is primarily due to the decline in the group's earnings, of which more than EUR 300 million is due to the higher customs duties paid in 2025. So when considering the amount collected by or paid to governments and public administrations, it takes 2 forms. On the one hand, customs duties reduce the group's value -- added value. And on the other hand, taxes and other levies paid in the countries where we operate. So in total, in 2025, this amounts to EUR 1.1 billion.
And bearing this in mind, it's the breakdown of added value as we are telling it to you, 65% was paid to employees in the form of salaries and benefits. 14% was reinvested into the company through capital expenditure, 8% was distributed to the shareholders as dividends and 6% was allocated to share buybacks, including buybacks related to employee share ownership plans and long-term incentive plans. And finally, 5% was paid in taxes and duties in the countries where we operate. These changes are primarily due to the share buyback program deployed in 2025.
Now let's take a look at 2026, where we must prepare to adjust our management approach in response to an uncertain geopolitical environment and leveraging our agility. The conflict in the Middle East has primarily created a risk for our employees in the region and their safety has been our top priority. On the global economic front, this conflict poses significant risks to energy supply and raw materials. So this leads to higher costs for those raw materials and energy, and we are assessing that at minimum EUR 400 million for 2026. For Michelin, this requires strengthening risk management, diversifying transport modes and routes, optimizing inventory and revising supply scenarios to ensure industrial continuity and cost control as well as adjusting sales management. Furthermore, we remain very attentive to changes in our customers' behavior in this complex environment.
For 2026 and in this volatile context, Michelin aims to improve its operating profit for the sectors at constant exchange rates compared to 2025 and to generate free cash flow before acquisitions of more than EUR 1.6 billion in 2026. Our results in terms of people, planet and economic performance confirm the relevance of our Michelin in Motion 2030 strategy and the group's ability to balance sustainable performance, responsibility and value creation. This assessment strengthens our confidence in the future.
Dear shareholders, thank you for your attention.
Thank you, Yves, for this presentation, which was extremely clear. I now give the floor to Mr. Frederic Gourd, who represents the statutory auditors.
Ladies and gentlemen, shareholders, good morning. On behalf of the Board of Statutory Auditors, I'm going to present the report we have prepared for your consideration. We've issued several reports in fulfillment of our engagement for 2025 fiscal year. First of all, our report certifying sustainability disclosures. Next, our reports on the annual financial statements and consolidated financial statements as well as our report on your company's regulated agreements and commitments. We have also issued 4 reports regarding the extraordinary resolutions on which you are being asked to vote. These reports are included in the universal registration document, which has been available on the company website since April 7, 2026. So I'm now going to give you a summary of these reports, and I will start with our sustainability report, which was issued on the 16th of February.
Our engagement consisted of performing the work necessary to issue an opinion expressing limited assurance regarding the group's conformity process for determining the information disclosed and its compliance with ESRS, but also the sustainability-related information in compliance with the ESRS and compliance with the disclosure requirements regarding the green taxonomy. Concerning the process with the ESRS, we have not found any material errors, omissions or inconsistencies, and we have looked closely at the double materiality analysis. Concerning the sustainability disclosures with the ESRS, we have not identified any material errors, omissions or inconsistencies. And we focused, in particular, on the greenhouse gas emissions inventory and the transition plan for climate change mitigation. Regarding the disclosure requirements laid out in the articles of green taxonomy, we did not identify any errors, omissions or inconsistencies.
I'm now going to move on to our reports on the consolidated financial statements issued on February 16. These led to an unqualified opinion on the financial statements with respect to the IFRS standards as adopted by the EU for consolidated financial statements and French accounting rules for the annual financial statements. We based our opinion on the work conducted or coordinated by the Board of statutory auditors, which provides us with reasonable assurance that the financial statements and financial information are true and fair. Our work is tailored to the characteristics of your group. It covers routine operations and also significant events taking place during the year. We rely on internal control procedures and systems and apply audit teams under our own responsibility to the group's subsidiaries worldwide. The findings have been presented to your group's management and also to the Audit Committee.
We state that in our reports, there are no observations regarding the accuracy of the information provided in the group management report by the Management Chairman and the accuracy and fairness of the information provided regarding compensation paid to corporate officers. Our reports also include a description of key audit matters. That's those matters relating to the risks of material misstatement that we consider the most significant for the audit of the financial statements for 2025. The main topics of discussion with management and Audit Committee were concerned here. For each of these, we gave the reasons which led us to identify them, the nature of the risk identified and the audit response we provided.
So for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, these key audit matters are for consolidated financial statements, the valuation of goodwill and for the separate financial statements, the valuation of equity securities. We'll now look at the special report on related party transactions. We state here that we were not notified of any authorized arrangement during the past fiscal year or in prior fiscal years that might have continued into fiscal year 2025. As I mentioned in my opening remarks, we've issued 4 reports regarding extraordinary resolutions.
First report regarding the 17th, 18th, 19th, 20th and 21st resolutions on the proposals to delegate to the managers or one of them, various issuances of shares and/or securities. This report is on Page 540 of the universal registration document and contains no specific notes or comments. We have issued a second report pursuant to the 24th resolution on the proposal to delegate to the managers or one of them the authority to decide on a capital increase through the issuance of common shares with the cancellation of preemptive subscription rights reserved for participants in a company savings plan. This report is on Page 542 of the universal registration document and contains no specific notes or comments.
We've issued a third report regarding the 26th resolution on the proposed authorization to allocate existing or to be issued bonus shares. This report is on Page 543 of the universal registration document and contains no specific notes or comments. Finally, we've issued a fourth report regarding the 27th resolution on the proposal to delegate authority to the managers or one of them for a period of 24 months to reduce the capital by canceling shares of the company purchased up to a limit of 10% of the capital. This report is on Page 544 of the universal registration document and contains no specific notes or comments.
So ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the presentation of our reports. On behalf of the Board of Statutory Auditors, I thank you for your attention.
So thank you, Frederic Gourd, for your presentation. And I would now like to give the floor to Ms. Barbara Dalibard, who's the Chair of the Supervisory Board, and she will now present the Board's report.
Ladies and gentlemen, dear shareholders, it's both an honor and a great responsibility to present to you the work of the Supervisory Board, whose mission is to oversee the management of the company on behalf of the shareholders. And in this capacity, the Board evaluates the implementation of the strategy, reviews major transactions such as acquisitions and is involved in preparing for the succession of the managers. So as Chair of the Board, I ensure the proper functioning of this governance structure, maintaining close and regular contact with managing directors. We work in coordination with SAGES, the non-managing general partner, which contributes to the balance of governance as well as with its Chairman, Vincent Montagne, whom I'd like to acknowledge here.
Now before detailing our activities in 2025, I'd like to point out that you can find all of this information in the universal registration document on the michelin.com website. I'm very pleased to be able to count on a team that is fully committed and dedicated to carrying out all of the task I have mentioned. The Board has 11 members, all present here today. Thank you very much to them for their work. The members met 11 times in 2025 in plenary session, including 4 times to review major investment projects. The 100% attendance rate reflects their availability and their dedication. The Board's composition and the diversity of its member skills and experience are crucial for conducting a comprehensive and informed analysis of the group's management. The Board is thus composed of 33% non-French members and 45% women. You can find a complete overview of the areas of expertise in this universal registration document.
We pay particular attention to updating and anticipating our skills to best assess the quality of the group's management. And to this end, we undertake training initiatives, including one this very afternoon on the topic of AI. We've also verified the independence of Board members in accordance with the recommendations of the AFEP-MEDEF Corporate Governance Code with the exception, of course, of the Board members representing employees whose valuable contribution to our discussions, I would like to acknowledge. I'd also like to thank Thierry Le Henaff, the Board's lead member, who is responsible for chairing the meetings of the independent members and reporting back to the Board on the areas for improvement identified during these executive sessions. The work carried out in this context and the annual evaluation of the Board's functioning enable us to continuously improve.
Following our review on the activities carried out in 2025, I can attest on behalf of the Board that your company benefits from management of the highest quality. This solid and agile management is all the more commendable given the geopolitical and economic context, which is marked globally by an extremely high level of volatility and uncertainty. This assessment stems both from the review sessions dedicated to the Michelin in Motion 2030 strategy and from our discussions with Michelin's teams. In particular, we examined the strategy for Beyond the Road and Polymer Composite Solutions businesses, 2 segments that are critical to your group's future profitability and growth. A day at the Ladoux Research and Innovation Center allowed us to appreciate how the group creates synergies in R&D that benefit newly acquired companies. Throughout our meetings, we carefully examined the strength of the group's financial management while thoroughly analyzing its social and environmental commitments.
And once again, this year, Michelin has ensured a coherent balance between human factors, economic and financial performance and environmental imperatives. Significant work in close collaboration with SAGES has been carried out regarding the succession plans for the group's managers. Vincent Montagne, Chairman of SAGES, will present this to you. We initiated a rigorous and in-depth selection process well in advance in full cooperation with the Chairman of the Management Board and our Board working closely with the Appointments Committee and its Chairman. The smooth flow of communication on this matter is a key indicator of stability for the group and its stakeholders. As part of this process, after duly consulting the Supervisory Board, which issued a unanimous positive opinion, SAGES decided to propose the appointment of Philippe Jacquin as General Manager. Philippe Jacquard has extensive and long-standing knowledge of the group, which he joined in 1998.
He has held positions, including Technical Director, Development Director and Marketing Director for various business lines and geographic regions as well as a group level. He joined the group's Executive Committee in 2024 as Executive Vice President of Research Development, supervising the innovation partnerships and his extensive experience and personal qualities are clear assets. I'd like to take this opportunity to thank Yves Chapot with whom I've had the privilege of collaborating in my current role since 2018. I'd like to highlight his commitment to Michelin, to its customers, to its employees and to you, its shareholders, and the personal qualities he's consistently demonstrated in his role as General Manager. Yves, on behalf of the entire Board, a huge thank you for all you've contributed to the company. Thank you.
I would also like to highlight the competence, determination and commitment of the teams, which are essential drivers for your company's success. I wish to express our gratitude to them for our valuable discussions on behalf of the Board. And I will now go into a little more detail regarding the work of the Board's 3 committees. The Audit Committee successfully carried out its mission of internal control and risk management. The raw materials procurement program received particular attention given the international context. Work was also undertaken to strengthen the Board's review and oversight of acquisitions. Indeed, the issue is becoming increasingly important with the development of polymer composites activities. In close consultation with the CSR Committee, the Audit Committee reviewed the sustainability report and particularly the double materiality analysis.
Finally, against the backdrop of rapid growth in the use of artificial intelligence, part of the discussions focused on the ethical aspects of these technologies as well as their impact on cybersecurity risks. Jean-Michel Severino will shortly give us an insight into the work of the Compensation and Nominating Committee. But allow me, however, to address a few key points. As it does every year, the committee reviewed the compensation of the executive officers and the members of the Supervisory Board. The compensation policy was adjusted to better align with the existing practices of major publicly traded companies. The total maximum amount, the committee also devoted a significant portion of its work to identifying talent within the group and establishing various succession plans. Now this work is essential for Michelin's stability and continuity at all levels of the company. And as I mentioned, we carried out work by the Appointments Committee in collaboration with SAGES on succession plans for managing directors.
And I'd like to warmly thank Jean-Michel Severino for his unwavering commitment to this process. This Board led to the decision made in -- on the 12th of January to renew the mandate of Jean-Michel Severino. So I would like to thank the Board and Jean-Michel for what he's done and the courage that he's shown in overcoming the crisis that the group has had to face, and we trust him completely. Thank you.
So the council has also had to renew 3 members as well as Jean-Michel Severino, who's been a member since 2020 and Remuneration Committee. He is a key actor of the committee player on the Board and his wide-ranging expertise, particularly in finance as well as his deep understanding of geopolitical issues, greatly contribute to informing our work. I hope to be able to count on his commitment once again. We're also pleased to propose the appointment of the Board of Anne-Sophie Lotgering, whom Jean-Michel Severino will introduce to you.
The Corporate Social Responsibility Committee provides essential insight into our work while coordinating with the other committees in addition to reviewing the sustainability report and monitoring regulatory developments. It's focused on analyzing the group's decarbonation plan on water and tires and has really noted great efforts made there. And I want to make sure that your group continues to emphasize the efforts. The committee's discussions with Michelin's teams highlighted the group's deep understanding of these issues and the sense of responsibility that guides it in considering its impacts.
So having concluded my remarks, I now turn to the resolutions that will be put to a vote shortly and for which I invite you, obviously, to vote in favor. Regarding the financial resolutions, the Board has been able to appreciate the excellence of the group's management and the strength of its financial results. Jean-Michel Severino will shortly present the resolutions regarding the compensation policy for the Executive Directors and members of the Supervisory Board as well as the changes planned for 2026.
So dear shareholders, I would like to conclude by reminding you that reaffirming the Board's confidence in your company's management team, your group is delivering solid performance in the current environment, meeting its commitments and continuing to execute its strategy. On behalf of the Board, I'd like to express our deepest gratitude to Michelin's employees who can take credit for these results.
Thank you for your attention. I'll now give the floor to Vincent Montagne, Chairman of SAGES. He will present the work concluded -- conducted by SAGES as part of the succession process for the Managing Directors and the appointment being put to your vote today. Thank you very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, dear shareholders, I'm pleased to address you on the occasion of this Annual Shareholders' Meeting. I would first of all like to join Barbara Dalibard in expressing our deepest gratitude to Yves Chapot for his remarkable work in the service of your company over the past 34 years. Today, you're being asked to vote on the appointment of Philippe Jacquin as Joint General Manager of your company, reporting to Florent Menegaux, Managing Chairman. As you know, as Michelin's non-managing general partner, SAGES is responsible for selection and continuity of your group's management. In particular, it initiates the selection process for candidates for management in which the Supervisory Board and the Managing General Partner also participate. Following a highly structured and comprehensive process that we've conducted over the past 3 years, it's my pleasure to present the candidate who has been unanimously selected.
Philippe Jacquin, an engineer by training, embodies a leadership figure deeply aligned with Michelin values and perfectly prepared for his new challenges. With 25 years of experience at Michelin in a variety of roles, both in France and internationally, he has acquired a solid understanding of the group, its products, its expertise, its balance and its culture. Philippe Jacquin fully embodies Michelin's core values, a sense of responsibility, the pursuit of sustainable performance, respect for facts, which is so important, the humility to acknowledge areas of doubt and a particular focus on the development of each individual. This is Michelin's DNA. It's inseparable from the leadership style based on a high degree of freedom of speech and action. He speaks his mind and walks the talk with candor and courage. This authenticity fosters trust and brings clarity to decision-making.
Finally, I'm very impressed by this. He's a great athlete. He demonstrates tenacity and endurance that enable him to carry out transformable projects over the long term. That's why we unanimously agreed that Philippe Jacquin possesses the necessary qualities to become a general partner. It is now up to this general meeting to vote on this choice, which will be included in the 12th resolution.
Thank you for your attention. I now turn the floor to Jean-Michel Severino, Chairman of the Compensation and Appointments Committee.
Ladies and gentlemen, dear shareholders, I'm pleased and honored to address you in my capacity as Chair of the Compensation and Appointments Committee. I will elaborate on certain aspects of the committee's work, which concern compensation and also the resolutions to which you'll be asked to vote on. I would also like to note that you may refer to the universal registration document, and you will find this on the michelin.com website. So the details are on Pages 116 to 128 of this universal registration document. You can see on the screen, hopefully. The compensation for the last fiscal year for the Managing Directors, the Chair of the Supervisory Board and the Supervisory Board as a whole. This results from the application of the compensation policy adopted last year. The multiyear variable component corresponds to the allocation of performance shares. This is a maximum amount that may be awarded, the attainment of which depends on criteria aligned with the success of your group strategy, operational performance, performance in social and environmental responsibility and the relative change in the share price.
The committee has reviewed all of these compensation components for 2025, and I therefore invite you to vote in favor of resolutions 8 to 11. You will also be asked to vote on resolutions regarding the 2026 compensation policy for executive directors and members of the Supervisory Board. We ensure the alignment between the proposed compensation policy and the best interest of your company as well as those of the shareholder. This involves taking into account the group's results when determining fixed and variable compensation and designing such compensation in line with the group's strategy.
Now with regard to the managers, the Board recommends maintaining the current compensation policy, making just a few adjustments in the criteria used to calculate variable compensation. The idea is to reflect the objectives of Michelin in Motion 2030. Thierry suggested that it should remain 5% of the total figure, but we should then have a new criteria. This reflects the effects of the polymer solutions business, this means there was a weighting on -- related to the deployment of the group's transformations and CO2 emissions. So obviously, these are just as critical as they were in the past. So the long-term variable compensation will continue to take the form of performance shares under the same terms as criteria, those applicable to eligible employees of group companies.
Two adjustments have been made to the structure of this compensation plan approved in 2023. The first is the adaptation of stock market criteria to incorporate total shareholder return considerations. The second is the adjustment of operational performance criteria with a dual indicator relating to revenue growth, revenue growth for the Polymer Composite Solutions business and revenue growth for Tires and Services. So this performance shares is capped at 140% of the fixed compensation for the Managing Chairman and 120% for the General Manager. These levels are at the median for executives in the top 40 companies on the stock market index in France with equivalent responsibilities. Now for members of the Supervisory Board, we propose maintaining the cap on the total budget at EUR 1,150,000. This excludes the specific compensation of the Chair, which we suggest should remain unchanged compared to last year. However, we do propose new rules for individual allocation to better reflect best practices in place in publicly traded companies.
In France, this amended system allows for differentiated accounting of Board members and committee meetings in meeting -- in-person and remote meetings as well as participation of members residing in France and Europe and outside Europe, in fact. All of these recommendations regarding the compensation policy will be put to a vote shortly. These will be resolutions 6 and 7. The committee also worked on succession planning for members of the group's Executive Committee and managers, as mentioned, this will now lead -- this is not addition, we ask to vote on proposed appointments, which we have not yet mentioned. So we have 4 and 2 years in the case of Thierry Le Henaff and Monique Leroux.
So Thierry Le Henaff brings a keen insight to all of the Board's work. His career has enabled him to develop solid expertise in international corporate management and skills across all social and governance issues. His knowledge of the world of industry, in particular, high-tech materials and polymers are fantastic assets for the execution of the tasks you entrust to your Board. Now Monique Leroux has been a Board member since 2015, is Chair of the CSR Committee. She plays an essential role in analyzing sustainability and environmental protection issues. Given the cross-counting nature of the topics addressed, her leadership has greatly contributed to establishing it as a pivotal committee within the Board. She also brings valuable financial insights. I therefore -- furthermore, the Board has decided to recommend the candidacy of Anne-Sophie Lotgering as a new member of the Supervisory Board.
In accordance with the methodology, it applies for selection of new Board members the -- we were able to see the complementary expertise to be brought by Anne-Sophie Lotgering. In attention to these skills as a dual -- Dutch and French national, she will add international diversity to the Board. She wasn't able to be with us today, but she is going to talk to us via video.
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So I really hope that her skills will be convincing and that we will be able to count on her in our Board. Dear shareholders, I'm coming to the end of my presentation. I'd like to thank my colleagues on the Compensation and Nominating Committee. We've carried out the work I just reported to you guided by the long-term interest of your group and ensuring that we fully fulfill the mission that you have entrusted to the Board trying to really respond to your requirements. Thank you for your attention.
Thank you, Barbara. Thank you, Jean-Michel. Thank you, Vincent, for all your contributions. Now before we continue, I'd like to say a few words to Yves. I have known him for over 25 years in Michelin. I'm a baby at Michelin compared to Yves. I mean I've only been here for 30 years. He's been here for 34 years. So I just wanted to say how amazing his contribution has been. And I have really been able to see his values, his humility, his integrity, his rigor, his reliability, his humanity, all of these qualities that are totally in line with Michelin's DNA. You are the perfect person to really show that respect for people. You always pay attention to the smallest detail regarding people.
You respect the facts. And there is no room for mistakes. It's true. You have to be extremely precise in what you do when working with you. And that is a great thing. We really appreciate that. And of course, you respect our customers. Everywhere that you have been, you have always tried to implement these criteria. And our client satisfaction criteria is something that you set up with the LPS measure, and I wanted to thank you specifically for that.
And then in respect for the environment. Well, you come from a specific place where the earth is important to you as is the environment, as is society. You are really the embodiment of a society that promotes that special effort and care and individual progress. So that's a great thing that you've brought to us. And of course, respect for our shareholders. You've always paid attention to the result, of course. And in the last 8 years, you have really set your mind to making sure that you, as shareholders were treated fairly and well. So for all of this, Yves, I want to thank you from the bottom of my heart for everything you've done for Michelin, and we're going to miss you.
Thank you, Florent. I want to thank you first, shareholders, dear shareholders, for the trust that you have shown me over the last 8 years. I also want to thank all of the governance actors who play a key role in how your company functions, the Supervisory Board representing you with whom we have had this rich and demanding exchanges over the last 8 years and also the SAGES company that plays an important role in the company's governance. Barbara, Vincent, I'd like to thank you for your touching words. I also want to thank Florent. First of all, for the trust that you've shown in me. I've tried to live up to your expectations and be a very strong partner, and I'm happy to have worked alongside you managing this company for the last 8 years.
I am fully convinced that you will have a fantastic governance with Philippe. I would also like to thank all the members of the Executive Committee who are present. They are not here on stage, but they play a key role in how your company functions. But I also want to thank all of the employees of Michelin, without whom everything that you are seeing and hearing today, this couple of hours would not exist. I always have been extremely proud to represent the work of 130,000 people before you and before the different stakeholders that we present our results to. I'd also like to thank more specifically, my assistants [indiscernible], who is here today; and [ Margo, ] who have really provided fantastic support. Thank you.
That's so you, Yves. Thank you. Now these Annual General Meetings provide a unique opportunity to highlight your group's distinctive strengths as well as the challenges it faces. For over 130 years now, certain things have remained unchanged in the way our group operates every day. And it is the Michelin teams who can best say that. I'd like to invite Nicolas Seeboth, who's VP, Innovation for the Group's Polymer Composite Solutions Director to join us on stage. He's going to talk about this fantastic adventure.
Hello, everybody. I'm delighted to address you on the occasion of this Annual Shareholders' Meeting. I'm Nicolas Seeboth, and I am Vice President, Innovation for the Michelin Group's new composite business. And for this 10 minutes, I've set myself a challenge to make the invisible visible to you. Now you can see nothing or hardly anything, yet lots of things continue to exist. You can hear my voice, thanks to electricity, to wiring, to speakers, an entire invisible chain of technologies and skills that keeps this room running. When everything works, we don't think about it. We take it for granted. But if one of these elements is missing or fails, the whole chain grinds to a halt. That's what we can call the critical invisible. It's the invisible that keeps complex systems running smoothly. The invisible that suddenly becomes visible to everyone when a grain of sand turns the machine off a track because behind an invisible, there's a critical element.
And behind the critical element, there's often Michelin. The tire is also invisible in its own way. It's rather boring. It's round, it's black, but it's deceptively simple. And you all know behind this lies a complex and fascinating world of composites, hundreds of materials, just as many different types and ways of assembling them, hundreds of different chemical reactions related to temperature, pressure and various processes, millions of different interactions between these materials, thousands of experts to understand them, thousands of patents to protect them, but only one company which masters all these components. And that's us, Michelin.
So there was a question for us. If we have this technological gold mine in our hands, if we know how to design materials capable of functioning in extreme environments, if we know how to industrialize and produce them, market them and offer innovative solutions to our customers, then why limit this expertise to tires? Why not put it to work for other products, other customers, other markets, other critical situations. And that's what we've chosen to do. And this can be resumed in 3 letters: PCS, polymer, composite, solutions. Let me reveal what lies behind these 3 letters. First of all, and you probably guess this, it's our commitment to apply our innovations and expertise in materials to new products and markets, but not just any old product, products that are quite close to our tires because they share the same technical properties, the same demand for compromising high performance and the same critical role in people's lives. But I'm going to give you 3 examples of this if I say wear resistance.
You're probably thinking straightaway about tires. Well, that's quite normal. But let's think about something else, an iron mine in the Australian desert, the nearest settlement, hundreds of miles away, overwhelming heat. The soil is so rich in iron that it colors everything, even the horizon looks red. We're at the end of the world. In the middle of it all, a conveyor belt, a huge conveyor belt that can be up to 25 kilometers long. Just think about that, 25 kilometers.
This conveyor belt transport tens of thousands of tonnes of ore out of the mines hour after hour, day after day without stopping. But if it stops, everything else stops with it. For a client, a conveyor belt that breaks down can take -- it can take up to 20 days to repair, and that's $50,000 an hour. If you think of the number of hours, just work that out. And here, wear and tear is no longer just a technical matter. It's an industrial issue. It's an economic issue. It's a critical issue, thanks to the technology Michelin uses for its conveyors and thanks to the service we provide to our customers, we're not just selling a component, we're providing a solution to a critical problem.
Now if I say puncture resistant, Thinking about tires, aren't you? But you could think about life boats at sea. Imagine it's the dead of night. It's raining, the wind is howling, the sea is rough. And there you are with your crewmates on a boat with a rescue mission, saving lives and protecting others. That's your only priority at that time. These semi-rigid boats have inflatable tubes. These tubes are made from coated fabrics that have to be lightweight and flexible for quick deployment, yet resistant to impacts, all types of impacts to ensure the best possible navigation. Today, Michelin manufactures and sells these coated fabrics to its highly demanding customers who rely on the reliability of their equipment in a situation where lives are at stake.
Finally, what if I talked about composites, a material that can be used from minus 170 to plus 120 degrees C. You might think of the lunar wheel. It's here on the stage, in fact. And you -- so the materials of this wheel are designed to perform under extreme temperatures, nearly 300 degrees. And there are other applications for the same materials. Now imagine a rocket or the bottom section of the rocket, the part that generates millions of pounds of thrust for takeoff. Our technical fabrics are clearly visible if you know where to look. They're located at the junction between the nozzles and the body of the rocket. They protect this section from fire and heat and at the same time, from the extreme cold of the cryogenic engines powered mixture of liquid hydrogen and oxygen. A temperature range of several thousand degrees, condition amongst the most extreme known to man.
Once the rocket is launched, Michelin is there once again, right alongside the astronauts in the materials of their space boots. Each layer is vital in providing protection while allowing freedom of movement needed for the precise maneuvers of this extraordinary journey. From the beginning to the end of the space mission, Michelin plays a decisive role in supporting man's space flight. And this is a source of immense pride, conveyor belts in the desert, lifeboats, rockets, space suits. These examples illustrate the same principle where failure is not an option, Michelin is there. And that's our entire strategy, in fact, building step-by-step a portfolio of critical and proprietary components that no one else can supply to the same exacting standards. We have 2 important pillars, speeding up organic growth by acquisitions. And so targeted acquisitions for small companies, 12 in less than 10 years, including 3 this year, Cooley Group, Flexitallic and Tex Tech Industries. These bring us a distinctive industrial footprint with small sites.
We produce products close to our customers while mitigating our exposure to geopolitical tensions, and it's paying off this strategy, more than 60 patents filed in 2025, and our average annual growth is 6% since 2018. And if we add our most recent acquisitions, we could reach annual revenue of EUR 1.7 billion. But we're not doing this on our own behind these ambitions. There are committed people find PCS today, 6,800 employees spread across more than 70 sites worldwide. In fact, that nearly doubles the number of group sites. 8 years after its inception, Polymer Composite Solutions is now a very visible reality, and we're proud to bring it to life every day with the goal as always as offering everyone a better way forward. Thank you.
Thank you, Nicolas. So now you can better understand why we always feel good at Michelin because when we don't feel good we don't see people like that. And it's amazing how good he makes you feel. So thank you. Thank you, Nicolas, for having taken us on that journey. We've gone from materials, the decimally small to the desert to the moon. I mean, let's have a chat at the end to see what the next trip is. So thank you, Nicolas. But it's my turn to take the floor now. Okay. So after this special trip, let's just get back down to. So ladies and gentlemen, dear shareholders, it's a pleasure always to be here before you at this Annual Shareholders' Meeting. And I want to begin by thanking SAGES, the Supervisory Board for their renewed confidence because it's a great source of pride to be and a great responsibility to represent and guide Michelin on a daily basis.
Now as you're aware, this term will mark a shift in governance from the perspective of the management. Yves Chapot did not wish to have his term as General Manager renewed. The partnership we've formed over the past 8 years is coming to an end. And we are going to begin now after your vote, a new mandate. And I would like to thank the nomination of Philippe Jacquin, apart from his very human qualities and his expertise, I've known him for a while. Philippe has excellent expertise in innovation, and I think that will be precious to us for our future developments. Now this new mandate is a term that will see the rollout of our Michelin in Motion 2030 strategy brought to a conclusion. We launched this ambition strategy in 2021 in a context that was very different from today's. We were emerging from the COVID-19 crisis. The world was anticipating a dynamic and sustainable economic recovery and greater attention to environmental issues.
The reality is, unfortunately, very different and still is. The crisis have continued to multiply and they're more and more complex. And each year, that creates an increasingly unpredictable and turbulent world. We're witnessing a real and profound upheaval of the economic and geopolitical order. We once knew, as we have heard this morning and new societal shifts. The resurgence of tariffs and protectionism is disrupting global trade. The emergence of new conflicts and the indefinite time line for their resolution had a great deal of uncertainty. In the case of the Middle East, the effects of the crisis in Iran as well are unfortunately going to persist even after the end of the conflict. So beyond rising energy costs, and we've talked about that this morning and logistical disruptions that, that triggers, the consequences are spreading to industries and markets linked to petroleum-derived products. And unfortunately, we will have to face problems, but we don't exactly know where exactly they will take place.
So this crisis serves as yet another reminder to reduce as quickly as we can our reliance on petroleum-based products. Now the environment in which we operate has changed significantly. But Michelin will always be Michelin, always caring for people, always tech-driven and always pioneering. Every crisis we face makes us stronger. Day after day, we learn to absorb those shocks and manage tensions with greater agility. I was talking about the fact that we're now in this permacrisis. I mean, it's the new normal, isn't it? And I want to take this opportunity to commend the work of all our teams in steering our actions to ensure we are constantly adapting our local, local approach makes our international footprint the strongest of France's top companies and an advantage for picking up on early warning signs. These crises mean that Michelin is continuing to transform. The 6 major transformations initiated by the group are being rolled out in accordance with the road map. They make us more innovative, more agile and more efficient.
I am convinced that the Michelin in Motion strategy is the right path to build the leading manufacturer of composites and experiences that transform everyday life. Our strategy capitalizes on Michelin's distinctive strengths, our new composite activities that are expanding, and Nicolas mentioned them. The 3 acquisitions pay homage to that. But beyond those acquisitions, it's also about building this demonstrator in France dedicated to producing the new generation or the buy up company to develop a precision business, this company with DMC, with Credit Agricole and Danone. We will always use these developments to capitalize on Michelin's distinctive strengths, our unique talent. We have excellent high-quality products and services, and we have a strong brand, a brand that we are boosting. We have R&D industrial capacities that are unique. And again, Nicolas mentioned these. But amongst these strengths, I would like to highlight our industrial capabilities because thanks to that, our industry plays a critical role in providing everyone with a better way forward.
Products that are increasingly sustainable, more efficient, safer and have a constantly improving environmental impact. Our industrial teams make this accessible to as many as possible to our innovation. And I think you should take a look at this video because it was designed by our Polish teams and really demonstrates what I've been talking about.
[Presentation]
So this video, this symphony of matter takes form in each of our plants and reminds us that above all, a plant is a human environment. Everyone has a role to play, a place, responsibilities. But above all, every person can grow there. And that is what our purpose reminds us of to offer everyone a better way forward. All these people, all of the make this human fabric that strengthened day by day through commitment and collective effort. The dense of this fabric, the more robust our group is and the more harmoniously it functions. This social cohesion has been built and continues to be built day by day without ceasing through the respect we have for one another and by empowering everyone. So at a time when our societies are becoming more fragmented, Michelin is strengthening its cohesion. And that is one of our standout strengths. It's the more -- all the more valuable and central to our focus given the upheavals the world is experiencing. And among these upheavals are, in particular, all the technological transformations already underway, especially those related to AI and robotics and humanoid robotics.
Now Michelin has always embraced technology throughout its history, science and progress. We've always been pioneers in adopting and driving innovation. This trait is part of our DNA and has been central to our longevity over the past 137 years. And we will -- it's always very -- it's always amazing to see how our teams are ingenious at every level. Innovation is an opportunity because we choose to put it at the service of humans. If we've been using robotic and AI for a while, we're now deploying all of their development, and we're deploying them to all departments of our company. And we have 2 objectives. First of all, we want to help humans not have to do those hard tasks anymore. But we also want to help us save time for activities that really take a lot of time. But we want to keep people available to do what they do best, creativity, discernment, et cetera. And at the same time, we're working to strengthen people's skills, particularly their analytical abilities and critical thinking because these skills combined with empowerment are essential for everyone to enable them to make informed decisions.
AI is not the truth. For instance, the talent campus located within the Michelin Innovation Park at Cataroux, the plant just near here, offers everyone opportunities to train and adapt to these changes in an ongoing way. And our capacity to innovate and integrate these new technologies is very important for Michelin's performance. And talking about performance, high performance is a prerequisite for making a difference in the world and contributing to human progress. And when I say performance, I mean competitiveness. It is a driving force that pushes us to surpass ourselves. It encourages us to doubt and question our way of doing things to challenge ourselves. That's difficult and often uncomfortable, but it's an exercise in collective clarity and drives us forward as a group. And it's all the more essential in a world where everything is accelerating. We might be tempted to clean to our achievements and maintain a sense of control. But no, on the contrary, we use them as a springboard to strengthen our capabilities and staying the course on our Michelin in Motion 2030 strategy.
Competitiveness is a healthy driver provided we understand all its dimensions because viewing competitiveness solely through the lens of cost control is reductive. You Can be much more competitive when your employees are more committed, better trained and find meaning in their work on a day-to-day basis. You can be more competitive when you offer higher quality, superior products and services where your customers are willing to buy and recognize when we differentiate ourselves through the services we provide and personalization of our offer. So in short, when we create more value for them. We are more competitive when we have dynamic high-quality innovation when this innovation constantly seeks to better meet our customers' current and future needs. We're more competitive when our brand is strong, and it's already strong, but it has to remain strong. It has to be top of mind for consumers. It showcases Michelin around the world and embodies our core values and our uniqueness.
And finally, we're more competitive when our activities have a positive impact on society and on the planet. Taking care of our environment means that we are building the conditions for our future performance today. No organization can succeed in the long term in a society that it weakens or on a planet that it depletes. So you can see at Michelin, we view competitiveness as a multifaceted concept. We are trying to grow in the future. And we have all the assets necessary to succeed in the future. Every day, people at Michelin demonstrate their commitment, their inventiveness and their determination to transform the group to achieve success. And we will succeed because we share a corporate vision for future generations to bring critical innovations to the world by 2050 so that humanity can meet its greatest challenges in the development, in health, in protection of the planet and its resources. So this dream together with you I think we can make it a reality. So thank you for your trust, and thank you for your attention.
And I now give the floor to Benoit Balmary, who will remind you of the resolutions that are put to a vote.
Thank you, Florent. Ladies and gentlemen, shareholders, we would like to inform you that the documentation relating to the draft resolutions on the agenda of our combined Annual and Special Extraordinary General Meeting has been published within the legal deadlines. In particular, the annual report of your Supervisory Board, which includes detailed information on the Board's activities and the compensation of corporate offers was posted on our website on the 7th of April as part of the universal registration document for 2025. It also contains reports issued by the statutory auditors. Furthermore, the notice of meeting, including the full text of the draft resolutions and the corresponding reports from the Managing Chairman and Supervisory Board was made available on michelin.com on April 24, 2026, in accordance with regulations.
Consequently, in order to allow sufficient time for your questions, these draft resolutions will not be presented during the meeting. The full text of these 30 resolutions was published on April 6. The list of these resolutions is shown on the visuals displayed behind me. In line with the regulations, we collected your paper ballots until May 19 at midnight and electronic votes until yesterday, May 21 at 3:00 p.m. Thank you. That's the most exciting bit, wasn't it, of the meeting. So the general discussion is now open. So the law makes it possible for us to publish the answers to certain questions on the website, but we can have some questions from people here, and we will also then deal with questions which were sent remotely. And I would like to say that Michelin experts from Euromaster and [ Alo Puno ] will be able to answer questions about your own tires. They will be in the lobby as they were last year. So please ask them any questions you might have.
So I think we're kicking off with the shareholders' committee questions. So please go ahead.
Thank you for your presentations. and your engagement. I'm [ Lau Tankal ] So there's been extensive development in composite solutions. What are the levers that we have to penetrate these composite markets and the recent acquisitions and patents in what way will they make a difference.
So I suggest that Maude Portigliatti takes the floor. She's in charge of this division. So she's the best person to answer.
So hello, everybody. I think Nicolas has shared lots of our secrets, and I haven't that much more to reveal, but I'm going to talk about some of the most important drivers to help grow PCS. We need to really promote our technical difference. That's not unusual at Michelin, but we can use our materials, our membranes and elastomers. And we can also use our performance in terms of lifespan reliability and our compliance with regulations and also our environmental responsibilities. That's something we do apply to PCS as well.
The second lever is more -- is targeting growth sectors and applications which really are in line with the quality of our products that can be health care, aerospace, defense and other critical applications. And the third driver is to the fact they belong -- we belong to the Michelin Group with our stability. That is important for our customers. They really believe and rely on our reliability over time. So Nicolas talked about 60 patents in 2025. That's 1/3 of the group's patents, in fact, so lots of energy. Everybody is very busy in the research centers. So -- and there are also 30 patents in the pipeline for specific health care applications and materials and also all the intellectual property -- proprieties, which are related to the specific expertise of our teams.
Thank you very much. Next question.
Hello, everybody. Laurent Moity, I'm part of the Shareholders Committee as well. We're going through difficult times. There's lots of volatility as we've seen this morning, the company has -- how is the company really ramped up to be more resilient for the future?
So I can answer that one. So we have a certain degree of expertise in crisis management. We have permanent task forces on different issues. The current crisis linked to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the conflict in Iran will have impacts in terms of inflation. We're prepared for that. We're much more agile in the way we deal with pricing. For example, we can also adapt our supply chain. We are capable of finding other sourcing quite quickly. And as I was saying earlier on, our local-to-local approach is also beneficial when we are dealing with our suppliers.
So we really do try and have primary and secondary and even tertiary sourcing circuits for our supply chain, and that is linked to business continuity management, which we're actually quite good at. So the group's core values are quite simple. Whatever happens, we continue to respect these values. We're more agile. We are more cost effective, but we still produce top quality projects, and we can keep moving even throughout stormy weather. And none of the crisis, which started in 2019 has actually stopped. They really are all accumulating and there's more and more. So that is how our group is adapting to this situation.
Any further questions?
Hello, everybody. I'm Eve Maudoux. I'm in charge of trucks in [indiscernible], and I'm also on the Shareholders' Committee. So thank you very much for sharing this information. I wanted to ask you a question about the increase in Tier 3 truck tires in France. What's Michelin doing to defend its market share? And how does the group remain competitive to deal with these low-cost Tier 3 players?
Yes, there's really tough competition coming from the East and moving into the West. Perhaps Pierre-Louis Dubourdeau can answer that one.
So thank you, Eve, for your question. So the transport sector in France and Europe is suffering lots of fluctuations, lots of pressure in cost. The haulage companies need to make changes in terms of the environment for their fleets. Yet you know that for the past 20 years, there has been competition from imported tires that's putting a lot of pressure on us, but it's making us be better. We have to continue producing offers to our customers, which really stand out. If we do the same thing, then we won't help our customers solve their problems. So our current strategy is to bring different standout solutions to our highly demanding customers. These might be top quality, high-performance products, and we're actually changing our product portfolio and then 80% of our tires are being renewed with better fuel efficiency and other technical qualities. But a product isn't enough.
We also need to offer services. And today, we have these fleet management systems, which have been on the market for a while. We can now make them digital to reduce operating costs but also invest in preventive maintenance so that we have really a different relationship based on partnership. It's not just TCO. It's -- we help the haulage companies improve their turnover and also really reduce the mental load of our customers for these issues. So I think the key message to share is that when you do business with Michelin, you're not just buying a tire, you really are in a relationship based on trust. So lots of things are in the pipeline this year, in fact, and the teams in R&D are thinking about how we can keep moving the goalposts.
So thank you, Pierre-Louis. So we're now going to open questions to the public. Please raise your hand if you would like to ask a question, then someone will come with a number. I'll note them down and then we can take people in turn. So I'm going to tell you something about this actually. Last year, I couldn't see anybody, and I couldn't see who wanted to ask a question. And somebody who will be joining us later on developed this illuminated tablets in their garage. You did it last weekend, and that is so much a Michelin thing to do. So we'll take a photo later on. So this is a great innovation. So now I can see who's asking questions. So we'll start off with #2.
So hello, Laurent Bador on behalf of the employees of the CFDT Union, I wanted to come back to a question we asked last year. We said how tough it was with the Cholet plant was closed and so that we don't keep having the same problem time after time. We would like the company to have innovative dialogue with the social partners. We see that the Michelin 2030 approach is positive, and we did -- we should underline how we managed to collaborate and absorbing Pneu Laurent when everybody acts with respect and integrity. However, despite all the good work done together, industrial management and unions, we still can't manage to reverse the trend if we don't manage to get additional volumes in our plants.
Now my question is for you, what are the assets of our plants in France? And can you -- are you experiencing a positive benefit from this new dialogue and what needs to be done to safeguard our industrial footprint.
So thank you for pointing out that we are trying to make progress in terms of social dialogue, co-development with the unions is absolutely vital. We work in the same company. We share the same goals. We don't necessarily see things from the same perspective, but we are in the same company. So thank you for pointing that out. Now the market situation is highly complicated, particular for OEMs. So I think we've reversed the trend in replacement. But for OE, we are gaining market share, but the market is -- has slumped. That's true for passenger cars. That's true for trucks. So that has an impact on volumes, and we think that the situation is likely to improve and I have to be a bit careful because every time I announce something, then a new crisis turns up. But in theory, from the second half year of 2026, we think there could be a pickup if we're not impacted by the shortages I mentioned earlier on, but we don't know quite where they will impact us.
So we might end up, in fact, with demand that we can't meet. So it's early days, but we have set up action plans, highly ambitious action plans with our teams. We've adapted our pricing strategy accordingly and the volumes are getting better and the markets have responded positively to our actions, but we do depend on the global market. And since the 28th of February, in fact, the markets are not booming, shall we say, except China, who is actually doing best and our activities -- our business in China is doing well, actually, which is particularly good news for France, but they are -- but.
So question number three, I believe now.
Mr. [ Peroni ] I'm a shareholder from [indiscernible]. So Michelin passenger car tires, winter and all season are no longer ranked at the top when ADAC carries out tests and UFC in France and also ranking organizations in Switzerland.
So Jean-Claude Pats is going to share some insights into this issue, which is something we're actually quite concerned about ourselves.
So hello, everybody. So thank you for your question because it's something that we've been -- is top of the mind for us. So lots of consumers are asking this same question. What's the best tire to buy? What should I choose? And when they ask this question, they have various sources of information to help them reply. Some of them are those you mentioned, those are the reliable test organizations and their job is to test new tires on circuits on tracks over a very short period of time. So obviously, as far as possible, we do want to be ranked well or even be in top position in these tests, but not under any conditions. So what I want to say is that if in order to be in top place, you have to manufacture tires with a shorter lifespan. If you have to agree to make tires, which will be great when they're new, but don't perform very well when worn, then that's just not acceptable for Michelin.
And that's the dilemma that faces us, but we do know what is the impact of these tests for consumers who know nothing about tires, but we have to be careful in our approach, and we're constantly trying to find the best compromise between the expectations of the various stakeholders. But the priority #1 is our consumers' need from the first mile until the last. So you're perfectly right. ADAC and the other organizations haven't been given us the best score recently. But I'm more interested in what consumers say when we ask them shortly after having bought a tire 6 months afterwards, several years afterwards. For example, -- so there's a site called DriverReviews, which has collected more than 560,000 customer reviews in 11 different categories of vehicle. So out of these 11 categories, 7 out of 11 Michelin comes top. So Michelin is #1, and that is the priority. It's the opinion of our consumers.
Thank you, Jean-Claude.
[ Kristia Acastia ] I'm an individual shareholder. So last year, the Senate -- French Senate, you demonstrated clearly that companies were facing lots of constraints regarding international competitivity. So the restrictions that they faced, I'd like you to ask you how can we explain in Valenciennes, an automobile manufacturer for more than 20 years, manages to produce millions of cars with taxes, reduced working time, strict regulations. Is there a magic secret that only the Japanese have?
Well, we can continue producing products in France. Michelin still has 11 plants in France. Let's not forget that. Of course, we can still continue producing products in France, but we can't manufacture everything simply. We are running a race with shackles. So it's much harder in France because of all the constraints that we face. I didn't say it was impossible to manufacture products in France. I said that it was becoming more and more difficult today to export products from France because our costs are not competitive when compared to other countries. Of course, you can still make products in France, and we are still doing so, in fact. So I don't know very much about Valenciennes. I'm not quite sure who the manufacturer is. Oh, it's Toyota in Valenciennes. Thank you. Well, Toyota is -- have great cars and Michelin tires are great as well, which is why we'll continue producing them in France.
So I think we have something -- I think we have something new now. So 2 and 12. There was there a third one over there, #5 as well. So 2, 5, 12. Those are the questions.
[indiscernible] I'm a Michelin employee. So first of all, thank you for your presentation, and thanks to Mr. Chapot for all his efforts over the years, and I wish him well for the future. We don't often have a chance to ask your boss a question directly. So I'm going to go for it. I wanted to talk to you about buybacks and which I think are a good thing. And I wanted to understand the group policy to encourage engagement in these buybacks and how you in the company plan to improve contact with these new entrants, the new people arriving and how we can extract value from that.
The acquisitions and have -- that Nicolas brilliantly illustrated, they are in our Polymer Composite Solutions branch. It works on the principle that we have expertise in mass production, which we can replicate outside the world of tires, but they are areas where we don't have much marketing experience. We have always specialized in tires in the past 40 years. That's -- we're really familiar with transport or mobility markets. If we want to move into other sectors, for example, health care or energy or other forms of mobility such as aerospace, rockets, well, we really need to acquire companies which can bring us this market access, then we integrate them.
They become fully fledged Michelin companies with they are subjected to the same type of reporting. We deal with the health and safety of their employees to developing their activities and then to complying with rules and regulations. That's laws and it's also the rules in our own code of ethics. So we have this acquisition and integration process and it's [ moats ] teams, which are involved in this, and we place great importance on the first 3 or 4 years to ensure that there is enough value created with these companies that they fit the bill.
So [ Christine Blanchet ] I'm retired and I worked for Michelin for 42 years. on the Cataroux site, lots of changes are taking place with the Peak Hall 32, and it's ongoing. And I wanted to know about the involvement of the Michelin Group. And I wanted to talk to you as well about Lafont Michelin apparently it's going to move. So I wanted to know a little bit more about that.
So Adeline will be able to tell you about that. It's not going to move very far. Don't worry. It's only a short distance. And while Adeline comes and joins me, I would like to say that Michelin is that working for Michelin obviously has seen you well because if you worked for the company for 42 years and retired for 7, well, you're looking very good on it. So we have great plans for L'Aventure. We've called it a venture 2 with a specific area to our brand -- for our brand heritage that will be twice as big as the current space, and that will open in 2028 or early 2029 in the new Michelin Innovation Park. It will be an opportunity to present heritage -- we have more space to do so, but it will also be the possibility to share the power of our brand for our visitors, and there'll be lots more of them.
So what we do -- I need to say is that L'Aventure 1 is a fantastic success. It was meant to have -- we have meant to have 50,000 visitors. We've had 150,000 visitors. It's we haven't got enough space. We haven't got enough room to showcase everything we would like about Michelin's heritage. So there are 4 elements. There's a talent campus. There's the peak, there's a sustainable materials center, and there will also be a community area, which is near the historic test run. So it's an amazing project.
Patrick Raison, representing the ANAF, the National Association of Shareholders in France. I have 2 questions. The first is about Symbio of the Stellantis' retraction who is a shareholder and a client. Are you ready to finance Symbio alone if the hydrogen market is going to be slow to take off for another few years? And the second question on strategy in this geopolitical unstable world. What is the biggest priority, strategic priority for you now? Thank you.
Now for Symbio, I might just quickly answer then it is a fantastic adventure, technical adventure. Hydrogen will be a part of the future and will complement the other kinds of energy. It's a shame that in Europe, we are having trouble understanding that. Japan is continuing China, Korea is on that pathway. But in Europe, we cannot agree apparently, we have been let down by our clients. So it's a difficult decision to make, but we continue to believe in hydrogen and that fuel cells will be part of mobility in the future, but not all of it, but part of it. So we are continuing to invest, and we have rescaled Symbio to be more realistic. We are working with FORVIA still. And we have rescaled Symbio to a size where we can afford to wait, wait for the market to take off. But what's frustrating is that China, Korea and Japan are forging ahead and that in Europe, we still don't have a clear priority or strategic vision.
On the second question, so my main strategic priority today is the fragmentation of the company. That is the #1 problem. It's not very visible today, but we will feel the consequences. They will be social, economic, societal and they will destroy a lot of things because the extreme individualization will mean that companies implode. So companies who have understood that will be more robust than those that haven't. And today, I think it's a huge challenge. And it might be strange to hear that kind of an answer. You might be expecting an economic reason. But no, social fragmentation, I would say, is our #1 challenge.
Okay. So 12, #12, do we have several panels up? Because now I can see them. It's fun. 9 -- 12, 9. Okay 12 and then 9. First of all, the 12. Yes. It's -- there's a lot of questions in front, but not so many at the back. Okay. #12.
[ Paul Stephani ] Individual shareholder. I have a question on the future. We hear a lot about competitors from competitors that research -- about research into connected tires that could be valid on all types of road service. Are you working on that? And I have another question on automobiles sports cars. Where are you on the -- the project that you seem to have moved back from?
Thank you. So on connected tires, I want Philippe Jacquin to maybe answer that question. And then on Motorsports, Alexis Garcin.
Thank you. So connected tires exists, and we already have it for sale, but the future holds a broader offer. I might call it tire intelligence. If you understand how cars move and how they are made, I mean, the Tesla might be a good way of saying you have a chassis, the wheels and then the intelligence for the car to drive itself. And so for the car to behave healthily, safely, that intelligence needs to know about tires. It needs tire intelligence, and we are working on that information. We have just said that we would bring out a tire digital twin. That will be the intelligence that we embark in cars. We have the assets to succeed. You talked about our competitors. Competitors have developed digital models of tire performance. We think we're the only ones who can bring that digital twin to tires for the future. Okay? So that's my answer to your first question.
But for the second question, maybe I can hand the mic to my colleague.
Thank you, Philippe. Well, Michelin was born in the field of competition. There are 2 things that really set us apart. Every time that we have entered a competition, we have come out of that competition as well. We were in Formula 1. We were in MotoGP and prepared to exit. But we always come back. That's the first thing to say. We never leave for good because it's really at the heart of our DNA. And the second thing is that when we leave behind a sport, we leave a string of records behind us because when we saw that video on materials, it really shows it's worth in extreme conditions, and that's fantastic. This world of motorsports is fantastic with that. We're leaving MotoGP, and we will have left behind us more than 500 wins. Each record that has been beaten in time is fantastic. And having done that, we've done that with tires that contain more than 50% of recycled reuse materials. And that is really the challenge you have to rise to. That is what being a pioneer is about. We want more performance and use less material.
You talked about the WRC, the Rally Champion. We don't take part in that. Take a look at the different comments on social media for the tires currently being used and not everybody can perform in all conditions. And the video that you saw earlier with Miko Marchick, who's the European champion. He said that after he won his last race, he said it wasn't me. It was Michelin. Thanks, Michelin. And I think that speaks volumes. It really tells everyone about the quality of the engineers. We have the quality of the brand each and every day for each competition, we can push back the boundaries and each start is an invitation to return.
Thank you, Alexis. #9 and then 7.
I import Chinese scooters. And 2 years ago, I asked this question. And it was nice to hear that Michelin was developing a machine. Do you believe that we will have Michelin tires on scooters? Because last time I asked the question, they said, no, they're cheapskate. Well, yes, but they're not stupid. They know exactly that to export something with a Michelin tire is much better. So we have great market shares in scooters, and Jean-Claude will answer that question. But for the Chinese, I don't know, but he will tell us about that.
Thank you very much for your question because 3 or 4 weeks ago, I was actually in China, and I met the top manufacturer of Chinese scooters. And they don't just manufacture scooters, there are also other kinds of scooters such as Segway. They bought Segway, the American company. So we are closely exchanging with them, and we hope that maybe we might have quite a good significant business flow coming from there. So we're working on that right now. But what's interesting is to see, of course, and we are really monitoring all opportunities. But when I met the boss of this company, he told me that he wanted to work with Michelin. So I think that was recognition, very clear recognition of the quality of our products. And for scooters, I can confirm that everywhere throughout the world, we have market shares that are very encouraging. We are really making a difference on these products in relation to our competitors. And if you've already bought a Chinese scooter, you can change the tires because they're already available.
Great. Number 7.
Good morning, [indiscernible]. I've spent 40 years working for Michelin and 17 years retired now. Another great example. Fantastic. I want to go back to the tourism vehicles. I often help my friends fix their cars and get them Michelin tires. And recently, with the latest tires, I went to see, and there's a choice between 2 with a speed at 240 or 210. But you are competing. No, no, no, HEV. But the H210 tire is more expensive than the V. And the second surprising thing is that the QV tire, which is sold next to it, has the Kleber tire has the same shape. So it's not easy to make the distinction. It's not easy to get to that speed in France, maybe in Germany, but here, it's not good. Bridgestone, it's worth noting because, of course, we look at everybody is 2% to 3% higher than RV. The basic Michelin price, whereas Kleber is 20% cheaper. So it's not easy to make a choice.
I get it. I get it. And Citroen has Kleber tires. Okay. So we have the expert here, Jean-Claude, who will answer your question because I don't think I'm in any position to do that, but I certainly understand that it is a complicated and complex situation. But I might talk to you about the shape of the tire, the tread design.
Okay. Well, maybe I won't answer every single point that you have mentioned. However, I have taken on board your comment. And I think it shows that when you know nothing about tires, but you do, but a lot of people don't. And when you need to get tires for your vehicle, then you're facing a whole series of questions and you don't know the answers. It's difficult to find answers. And that is a challenge that we have to overcome, make our consumer experience easier, streamline it, make it less worrying than people find it today. And the different things you've mentioned, and of course, you are an expert in the field, I think most people have no idea about all of that. So that would be my first part of the answer.
Now maybe on the speed, Yes, of course, there is a speed component for a tire, but according to the couple, the power of the engine, the tire needs to behave in line with that. So we translate that into a speed index, but that's not just because the tire can be used at 210 kilometers now for a long time. Sometimes it is oversimplified. It's not just speed behind that. It's also about the talk and the speed. I mean, I won't go into more detail, more technical detail, but we need to make our consumer experience much more streamlined and pleasant. Thank you.
Thank you, Jean-Claude. And maybe on the tread, design, the cross climate completely changed everything for all weather tires because for the first time, we didn't start with a winter tire to have one that works in summer too or doesn't -- kind of half works in summer. We did something saying, what could this tire -- what could we add to this tire to make it work in the winter as well. And Philippe, correct me if I'm wrong. What we have done, a real revolution is that we have put the special mix into the rubber to make it more supple. But then it becomes more rigid because of the tread, the shape of the tread. So all competitors have done the same things. All of our competitors have done the same things. If you want an all-season that works, you have to have that kind of tread. And we couldn't patent that. So everyone was able to copy it. That shape will therefore be used for all-season tires, whether they're Kleber or others. And unfortunately, that's life.
Sorry, the 9 sorry, the 7, but it's not the same shape. It's exactly the same tread design. Yes, it looks like it is, but actually, it isn't. I know that we have a lot of experts who can explain -- come and have a chat with them, and they'll tell you it's not exactly the same tread design.
There's a question online. Let's take that. Michelin brand is strong and recognized, reliable. But as far as innovation goes, speed is important to be successful. So at the beginning of innovation, we are not necessarily up to standard. How do you see that duality, the strength of the brand, less robustness in innovation? Philippe, I think that's a question for you.
It's a good question. And that's the constant challenge that we have as innovation teams, knowing what to -- when to offer new technologies, new materials for something that is essential. That's the case for a tire, but not just a tire. That's what Nicolas described as well. And that's why we have a test protocol for our trial centers that is very well equipped so that right from the get-go when a client uses that innovation, they can use it safely. Now of course, that takes time to roll out, to deploy. The first tire needs to be used safely, then we have to run that several times, and it takes time. And we take the time that we need. But then you have to be able to scale up in the industry, and that can take time. But rest assured, the first time a tire hits the road used by our client, the client is safe.
Second thing, -- we say that in today's world, everything is going fast, but each industry has its own time scale. So AI doesn't go at the same speed that our molecules are transformed and change within our tires. And we need to understand that. We have fast cycles when we bring in a new technology in 5 to 10 years. We have normal cycles when we bring a technology in 10 to 15 years for tires. And our competitors are not going any faster. Nobody has found a way of going even faster. So rest assured, we are watching them like hawks. We want to be the fastest, of course. Thank you.
Thank you very much. Now unfortunately, we have to stop the questions because we need to finish and continue our meeting. So for those of you who still have questions, I suggest that you come and speak to us in person because we will be around. The members of the Executive Committee will stay around and we'll take time to answer them. So now that this question-and-answer session is over, I'd like to hand the floor to Benoit Balmary, who will announce the final quorum count, another exciting moment in this meeting.
Thank you, Florent. In order to validly deliberate, our Ordinary General Meeting must reach the legally right quorum of 1/5 of the voting shares. According to the counts provided to me, a quorum is present since out of 681 million tires (sic) [ shares ] we have 471 million. So we have the required quorum by over 136 million shares. So for our extraordinary general meeting, it has to be 1/4 of the voting shares is a quorum. This gives us a threshold of over 170 million, which is well exceeded since we have 471,710,510. Under these circumstances, both our ordinary and special meetings are validly constituted. I would like to remind you that voting will take place via electronic tablet, the operation of which will be demonstrated in an instructional video.
[Presentation]
If your tablet doesn't work, please raise your hand and [indiscernible] will come and help you. We're now going to vote on the resolutions. We're starting with ordinary resolutions, which must obtain a majority of the votes, i.e., 50% of votes plus 1 vote. The first resolution, approval of the annual financial statements for the 2025 fiscal year. Voting is now open. Don't forget to confirm your vote by pressing okay.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Make sure you press okay. For 99.99% of votes, the final resolution for -- the first resolution is adopted. The second, appropriation of net income for the year ended December 31, 2025, and approval of the recommended dividend. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. 99.93% for, the second resolution is adopted. Third resolution, approval of the consolidated financial statements. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
So the voting is closed. So the number of votes for. So in favor, 99.98%. So the third resolution is adopted. Fourth resolution, related party agreements. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. So the number of votes in favor, 99.99%. So the fourth resolution is adopted. Fifth resolution, authorization for the managers or either of them to put in place a share buyback program, except during a public offer period based on a maximum purchase price of EUR 55 per share. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is now closed. So in favor, 99.75%. So the Fifth resolution is adopted. Sixth resolution, approval of the compensation policy applicable to the managers. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor, 92.48%. The sixth resolution is adopted. Seventh resolution, approval of the compensation policy applicable to members of the Supervisory Board. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. The number of votes in favor 99.73%. The seventh resolution is adopted. Eighth resolution, approval of the disclosures concerning the compensation packages of the corporate officers. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. The number of votes in favor, 98.10%. The eighth resolution is adopted. Ninth resolution, approval of the components of the compensation paid or awarded to Florent Menegaux for the year ended December 31, 2025. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. The number of votes in favor stands at 95.98%. So the ninth resolution is adopted. The 10th resolution, approval of the components of the compensation paid or awarded to Yves Chapot for the year ended December 31, 2025. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. So 96.14% in favor. The resolution is adopted. Approval of the components of the compensation paid or awarded to Barbara Dalibard for the year ended December 31, 2025. That's 11th resolution and voting is now open. Yes.
[Voting]
So voting is closed. The number of votes in favor stands at 99.87%. So the 11th resolution is adopted. The 12th resolution, election of Philippe Jacquin as General Manager. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. The number of votes in favor 99.66%. So the 12th resolution is adopted. I'm pleased with the adoption of this vote of this resolution. Perhaps, Philippe, you would like to say a few words.
Well, I'm a little bit emotional. But yes, thank you. Firstly, dear shareholders, a few words for you. I wanted to say thank you. Thank you for that vote in favor. And thank you and also respect for those who voted against. Dear members of the Board, dear Florent, when we were preparing this nomination, we met several times. And I saw the trust that you put in me, and I want to thank you for that. I want to say that I will draw strength from it, courage, determination when I carry out my responsibilities. And I know how important that is. Dear Florent, thank you for your leadership, the strategy that you have taken us towards. And I'm really pleased to be joining the Board. And I will work by your side with discernment, with enthusiasm.
Dear colleagues here and those listening to us online, sometimes very far away. For now 28 years that I've been with Michelin, I've been fortunate to really experience that Michelin world and its values. I want to say thank you. Thank you for that because that human -- those human values have allowed me to develop. And I want to tell you that I want that human model to really remain at the heart of our strategy. And of course, I would like to congratulate you, Yves, and say a personal thank you to you for the last few months and this transition -- time of transition that we've had together. I also want to wish you every success for the future. Good luck.
I give the floor back now to Benoit for the remainder of the vote on the resolutions.
Thank you, Florent. So vote on the 13th resolution, the reelection of Thierry Le Henaff as a member of the Supervisory Board. The vote is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. The number of votes in favor is 98.93%. The 13th resolution is adopted. 14th resolution, the reelection of Monique Leroux as a member of the Supervisory Board. The voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor. 98.01%. The 14th resolution is adopted. 15th resolution, reelection of Jean-Michel Severino as a member of the Supervisory Board. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor. 96.53%. The 15th resolution is adopted. 16th resolution, election of Anne-Sophie Lotgering as a member of the Supervisory Board. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor. 99.58%. The 16th resolution is adopted. So we're now going to proceed to the vote on the extraordinary resolutions, which, as I remind you, must obtain 2/3 of the votes. 17th resolution, authorization for the managers or either of them to issue shares and/or equity securities carrying rights to other equity securities and/or securities carrying rights to shares with preemptive subscription rights for existing shareholders. The voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor. 93.22%. The 17th resolution is adopted. 18th resolution, authorization for the managers or either of them to issue shares and/or equity securities carrying rights to other equity securities and/or securities carrying rights to shares through an offer governed by Article L. 4412, Paragraph 1 of the French Monetary and Financial Code without preemptive subscription rights for existing shareholders. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
The vote is closed. Number of votes in favor. 94.56%. The 18th resolution is adopted. 19th resolution. Authorization for the managers or either of them to issue shares and/or equity securities carrying rights to other securities and/or other securities carrying rights to shares through public offer not governed by Article L. 4112 Paragraph 1 of the French Monetary and Financial Code without preemptive subscription rights for existing shareholders. The vote is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. number of votes in favor. 92.53%. The 19th resolution is adopted. 20th resolution, authorization for the managers or either of them for issues of shares and/or securities carrying rights to shares representing up to 10% of the capital in any 12-month period without preemptive subscription rights pursuant to the 18th and 19th resolutions to set the issue price by the method decided by the shareholders' meeting. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting has closed. Number of votes in favor. 94.27%. The 20th resolution is adopted. 21st resolution, authorization for the managers or either of them to increase the number of securities to be issued in the event that an issue with or without preemptive subscription rights is oversubscribed. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor 89.84%. The 21st resolution is adopted. 22nd resolution, authorization for the managers or either of them to increase the company's capital by capitalizing reserves, income or additional paid-in capital. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor. 99.81%. The 22nd resolution is adopted. 23rd resolution, authorization for the managers or either of them to increase the company's capital by issuing ordinary shares without preemptive subscription rights for existing shareholders in connection with a stock-for-stock offer or in payment of contributed assets. The voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor 94.43%. The 23rd resolution is adopted. 24th resolution, authorization for the managers or either of them to carry out a rights issue for members of a group employee shareholder plan and/or restricted share issues without preemptive subscription rights for existing shareholders. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor 99.14%. The 24th resolution is adopted. 25th resolution, blanket ceilings on issues of shares, securities carrying rights to shares or debt securities. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor 94.01%. The 25th resolution is adopted. 26th resolution, authorization to grant new or existing bonus shares to the employees and the managers of the company and the employees of group subsidiaries without preemptive subscription rights for existing shareholders. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor 94.9%. The 26th resolution is adopted. 27th resolution, authorization for the managers to reduce the company's capital by canceling shares. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor 99.61%. The 27th resolution is adopted. 28th resolution, alignment of the bylaws with government order 2024-934 October 15, 2024. The vote is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor 99.99%. The 28th resolution is adopted. 29th resolution, alignment of the bylaws with Decree No. 2026-94 of February 13, 2026. Voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor 99.98%. The 29th resolution is adopted. And final resolution, the 30th resolution, powers to carry out formalities. The voting is now open.
[Voting]
Voting is closed. Number of votes in favor 99.99%. The 29th resolution -- the 30th resolution is adopted. Well done.
Thank you. Thank you very much, Benoit. And I talked about the symphony of materials, but the symphony of resolutions, that's another kind of symphony, isn't it? Thank you very much, Benoit. It's amazing to watch you real off those resolutions. It's amazing. We want more complex resolutions actually to hear you say those. Okay. Well, thank you, Benoit.
Now there's no being further business on the agenda, I hereby adjourn the meeting. Thank you for your presence today, your loyalty and your trust. And you're invited to enjoy refreshments in the lobby shortly. And I hope to see you again next year. Thank you again. Thank you for your commitment, and thank you for standing by us.
[Statements in English on this transcript were spoken by an interpreter present on the live call.]
Transkripte auf Deutsch freischalten
- Alle Event Transkripte auf Deutsch
- Sofortige Übersetzung
- KI-Zusammenfassungen für die wichtigsten Insights
Michelin — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions
Michelin — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions
AGM: Michelin bestätigt robuste 2025-Zahlen, stellt Polymer Composite Solutions als eigenes Segment ab 2026 vor und kündigt Dividende plus Rückkaufprogramm an.
🎯 Kernbotschaft
- Strategie: Michelin bekräftigt die "Michelin in Motion 2030"-Strategie mit Fokus auf Nachhaltigkeit, Innovation und Ausbau von Polymer Composite Solutions (PCS).
- Führung: Geordneter Führungswechsel: Philippe Jacquin als neuer General Manager (Mitgeschäftsführer) gewählt.
- Resilienz: Management betont starke Cash-Generierung trotz volatiler Märkte und geopolitischer Risiken.
⚡ Strategische Highlights
- PCS-Expansion: Zielgerichtete Akquisitionsstrategie (u.a. Cooley, Flexitallic, Tex Tech) zur Skalierung von PCS; PCS soll als eigenes Segment ab 2026 berichtet werden.
- Nachhaltigkeit: Erreichte Reduktion Scope‑1/2 CO2 um 48% vs. 2019; Ziel: 40% erneuerbare/recycelte Materialien in Reifen bis 2030.
- Marktangebot: Fokus auf Premium-Mix, Services (Flottenmanagement, digitale Lösungen) und Produktdifferenzierung gegen günstige Wettbewerber.
🆕 Neue Informationen
- Segmentbericht: PCS wird 2026 als viertes Berichtssegment eingeführt; PCS‑Umsatz 2025 ~EUR 1,2 Mrd und operatives Ergebnis EUR 186 Mio (≈15% Marge).
- Akquisitionen: Drei US‑Zukäufe sollen PCS‑Umsatz um ~35% steigern; Gesamtchance PCS ~EUR 1,7 Mrd p.a. nach Einbindung.
- Kapitalrückgabe: Dividende EUR 1,38 je Aktie; Rückkaufprogramm bis zu EUR 2 Mrd für 2026–2028.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Wettbewerb: Druck durch günstige Tier‑3‑Player (LKW) und Tests wie ADAC; Management setzt auf Produkt-/Service‑Differenzierung statt Preiswettbewerb.
- PCS‑Integration: Wie schnell Marktzugang und Skaleneffekte realisiert werden; Management nennt Pipelines und Patentaktivität, gibt aber keine detaillierten Timing‑Zahlen.
- Risiken: Geopolitische Unsicherheiten (Nahost) und Zusatzkosten (~min. EUR 400 Mio für 2026) sowie Unsicherheit um Hydrogen‑Engagement (Symbio) blieben teils unkonkret.
🔚 Bottom Line
- Für Aktionäre: Solide Bilanz, attraktive Kapitalrückgabe (Dividende + bis EUR 2 Mrd Buybacks) und klare Wachstumsoptionen durch PCS sind positiv; kurzfristig bleiben Reifenvolumenschwankungen und geopolitische Kostenrisiken die Hauptunsicherheiten.
Michelin — Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions, Q1 2026 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Apr 29, 2026
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Michelin conference call.
I now hand you over to Mr. Yves Chapot, General Manager and Group CFO. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you very much. Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. So I will have the pleasure to share with you our sales figures for the first quarter of 2026 and try to give a little bit of color about our business going forward. For this meeting, I am accompanied by Benedicte Bonnechose, who is going to take over as the Group CFO from June 1, but I will handle the presentation.
So first, the quarter -- the first quarter of 2026 have started slightly better than what we were expecting. The group is posting stable revenue at ISO ForEx. We have 3% growth in the volumes sold at the Michelin brand in all our replacement markets across all our business segments. The 3 M&A operations that we have announced at the end of 2025, early 2026 are going well on completion and 2 acquisitions has been already closed at the moment I'm speaking. The Cooley Group is integrated for 2 months over the first quarter and Flexitallic will be integrated in the group figures from the 1st of April.
Nevertheless, the context in the Middle East has dispelled a shadow over the year to go. And at this stage, it is very difficult for us to assess the precise impact on our businesses, except one certainty, which is the increasing cost of energy and raw material, which is going to impact our costs. But in this context, we have not changed our guidance for the full year. And I will come back at the end of the meeting over the elements that lead us to maintain this guidance.
Looking first at the market, the market in the first quarter of 2026 were negative as expected, particularly the original equipment market. The passenger car tire market overall is negative, OE being down by 4%, mostly driven by the scale down of incentive in China and a market which is as well decreasing in North America, stable in Europe, but with a mix which is positive in terms of electrification as the European market is posting positive growth in OE for electric vehicles.
The replacement market is stable overall. We have nevertheless to keep in mind that the minus 3% in Europe and the minus 7% in North America are mostly driven by 2025 Q1 and Q2 anticipated from importers in the respective areas in Europe due to the antidumping inquiries made by the European Commission and in North America due to the perspective of the tariff. So 2025 figures have been, as you know, very distorted by the non-pool businesses. And that's why these 2 markets are posting negative figures. On the other hand, the Chinese market is growing by 9% over the first quarter. I do not mention it, but the 2-wheel market is slightly growing as well in most of the areas.
Regarding transportation, so truck and buses businesses, as expected, the original equipment market is negative, minus 3% mostly driven by North America, where the market is at minus 19%. It is in the continuation of what has happened during the last half of 2025. And when we look forward, although we see that the orders of new vehicles have started to increase in North America, there is still a quite important backlog of inventories of tractor inventories at the dealership that will take a few months to be fully absorbed by the market. So for the time being, the growth of sell-out of vehicle is absorbed not by the production of new vehicles, but mostly by construction of already vehicles that are already in that. North America -- South American market is as well highly impacted, minus 16% over the quarter.
On the replacement side, plus 3% overall, plus 7% in Europe, minus 12% in North America. In North America, it's mostly the consequence of the tariff that has led to a surge in import during the first 2 quarter of 2025. In Europe, the market is quite segregated between the pool and non-pool market. The growth of 7% is mostly triggered by the non-pool market or the import. We have as well to keep in mind that Jan and February was flagged with some difficult weather condition in North America that has impacted, by the way, both passenger car, light truck and tire market.
On the specialty side, Beyond Road, so agro, we see a recovery in small machine segment, particularly in Europe and North America. But high-power tractors market is still depressed at OE. Replacement market is recovering slightly in the different zones. The infrastructure market is posting more favorable trend. Material handling is stable. Mining market is growing at a modest pace, but with a slight decrease in inventory of mining companies, but still growing. And the aircraft market was positive over the quarter.
So having this element in mind, as I mentioned, the group posted a stable revenue at a constant exchange rate, but the exchange rate is weighting heavily on our top line, minus EUR 355 million or minus 5.4% of which 70% is coming from the U.S. dollar. Volume. So first, in terms of scope, we have the positive effect of the integration of the Cooley Group for 2 months, which is offset by the impact of the disposal of our compact line activities to the CEAT group, which explains a very, let's say, small scope effect over the first quarter.
Our volumes have lost 1.4% over the quarter and taking into account the strong growth in the replacement market for the Michelin brand at plus 3%. And it's mostly triggered, and we will see the detail later on by the original equipment market, both in transportation and consumer businesses. Price/mix is positive 1.1% as planned the mix -- the price effect is minus 0.8%. It's mostly due to the effect of raw material prices adjustments as raw material prices have started to decrease during the second half of 2025.
Mechanically, we have the adjustments for around 30% of our revenue and as well some measures that were taken that have started already during the second half of 2025 in order to adjust our competitivity. The mix is positive, plus 1.9%. It includes both the very positive -- the constant effect of our growth in 18-inch and above at the Michelin brand, which now represents 69% of our global volumes at the Michelin brand, both OE and RT for the consumer segment as well as a positive mix effect between original equipment and replacement market. Non-tire sales are stable at ISO scope and currency and the ForEx have been already commented.
So that's the first time that we are presenting our actual figures through our new reporting segment. So the first time that you see the Polymer Composite Solutions segment published separately. And I will start by this segment, which is posting 5.1% growth overall, which is basically the only segment posting positive revenue over the quarter, which demonstrates the relevance of our strategy, of course, with the help of the inclusion of the Cooley Group plus which contribute 10 points to the revenue growth. And I will later on do a zoom on this business segment.
Consumer volume are growing by 1.3% with a contrasted situation between original equipment where our volume have globally decreased in line with the market, probably less than the market in China, a little bit more than the market in North America due to the different fitment and the segment of vehicles where we are present. The replacement market on the other hand are very positive, particularly at the Michelin brand. But at the same time, we are still losing ground on the Tier 3 segment, both in Europe and North America and in some elements as well in Asia. 2-wheel post strong growth over different geographies, including China.
The Transportation segment is showing, it's not a surprise, the strongest decline in volume due to the contraction of our sales in the original equipment, particularly in North and South America. Replacement sales are positive in Europe and decreasing in North America and South America. In the specialties, you see a volume growth of 2.5%, thanks to mining and aircraft, but as well stabilizing Beyond Road activity at ISO Scope as the disposal of our compact line business is in the scope effect. Despite -- so Beyond Road is stabilizing the situation despite a challenging situation in agro trucks and material handling.
Moving now on the higher performance overall at the group level. So you see that most of the 100% of the volume lost is coming from original equipment, mostly equally shared between truck and bus and passenger cars with a slight decrease in agro. And on the other hand, the replacement volumes are stable with growth of 3% in Michelin brand and volume lost in the Tier 2 and partly Tier 3 brands over the quarter.
So as far as the Polymer Composite Solutions is concerned, so we have -- we will share with you the situation of the market, not by end market, but by product. In the Sealing business, we recorded a very strong performance and particularly in hydraulic applications. The coated fabrics and films are growing as well, thanks to business development Beyond the Marine application, which was the main -- which is still the main destination market for this product. And the belting market is posting a slight growth particularly in general industrial and aeronautics applications.
On the other hand, the conveyor belt market or heavy conveyor belt, particularly the one that are servicing the mining market are declining, particularly in Australia. And on top of that, we have an industrial maintenance in a site that takes 3 months instead of 1, and that has weighted on the performance of this division in this geography. But overall, we are seeing a solid growth in Sealing and Coated Fabrics with a slight setback in Conveyors.
As we are coming -- we are zooming on this -- on the PCS activity, I just would like to remind you the figure that was shared during the last Capital Markets Day in 2024 and that we have updated at that time, it was a comparison between 2018 and 2025 -- 2023, though it's updated with 2025. So basically, you can see 2 things on this graph. First, 2028 (sic) [2018], which was the first year of integration of Fenner. So it's Fenner joined the Michelin Group in May 2028 (sic) [2018]. The Fenner activities were generating EUR 820 million of sales, not including Solesis the medical application activity that has been later on sold and put in a joint venture with the North American private equity company. And this activity should in the 2025 pro forma represent EUR 1.7 billion. So it's a compounded organic growth of 3% and, let's say, growth generated by acquisition, which is of a similar order of magnitude.
At the same time, in 2018, the operating margin of this activity was 11.5%, and it would have been 15% in 2025. You see as well that the portfolio of activity has evolved over the period in 2018, 2/3 of the businesses was mostly conveyors, 1/3 is ceiling, 30% or 25% ceiling and the rest was belting. We have now an activity which is much more balanced. Conveyor belt is still a very important activity, but it has been balanced with the growth of the ceiling and mostly the coated fabrics and films, thanks to the different acquisition that has been done in the past years. We are still expecting to close the last of the 3 deals announced earlier, the TexTech company, let's say, during around midyear.
So now looking forward for the full year of 2026. At this stage and being after 1 quarter, we did not change the outlook for the full year tire market, which is basically stable market, softer in H1 than in H2 and particularly softer in original equipment, both, by the way, for passenger car and light truck and trucks during the first half of the year versus the second half. And for the specialties so we think that the market should be around 0 both for consumers and transportation overall OE plus RT. Specialties should post a slight growth given the positive trend of mining and aircraft. Again, this outlook has been -- is the same that the one we shared with you at the end of -- at the beginning mid-February and excluding a potential systemic impact on the demand following the conflict in the Middle East.
So now looking to the situation in the Middle East. First, in the areas, we have mostly commercial operations. We employ around 100 -- a little bit less than 100 employees in sales. We don't have any tire manufacturing activity in the regions. And we operate 2 joint venture in Saudi Arabia, one in -- which is the machine commercial operation and one which is in the sealing activity of our Polymer Composite Solution, which is servicing the oil and gas industry. Altogether, the region represents less than 1% of the group sales. And we have set up crisis sales very quickly at the end of very early March in order to monitor the situation, follow potential disruption for regional customer deliveries look for alternative commercial routes to serve these customers and of course, monitor our upstream supply chain resilience.
So as I mentioned earlier, at this stage, it's very difficult to predict precisely the consequence of the conflict. It will depend on the duration and the extent of the conflict. But for the time being, we are working on an assumption which is translate in oil price at around $100 per barrel for -- till the end of the year. So with this assumption in mind, we know one thing for sure is that we'll have to face inflation.
You remember that when we start the year, we were expecting a tailwind of EUR 400 million on the raw material. This tailwind will be at least -- probably at least completely wipe out by inflation in raw material and energy and logistics. So we estimate that with the scenario that I'm sharing with you, we should have to be around at least EUR 400 million of additional cost, of which 3/4 are related to raw material and 25% related to energy and logistics. Why only 25% of energy? Because half of our energy cost energy purchase are already secured since the beginning of the year.
So that what we know for sure. What is much more difficult to assess is the potential impact on the demand, on the tire demand, maybe first on original equipment and maybe then on replacement. Today, we don't have any sign of slowdown in many markets. But the more we will progress during the year, the more we'll see risk, particularly if the conflict is not stopping at any moment. The other element, which is as well difficult to anticipate, although we are monitoring very closely with our crisis sales is the potential disruption of raw material supply.
Again, at this stage, we have a reasonable visibility of our supply till the end of June. But beyond that, it's extremely difficult given the fact that nobody knows how long and how far this conflict will continue. So obviously, it will -- all these elements will have an impact on, let's say, put some pressure on our margin and our free cash flow. The free cash flow is both for the margin, but as well inflation is contributing to, let's say, the ballooning of our working capital.
But at this stage, with the structural levers, so the way we manage the operations, the fact that we are vertically integrated in some areas, particularly in synthetic rubber in some other products as well, the localization of our operations and our proven margin resilience in, let's say, recent similar or very volatile environment, all that lead us to maintain our guidance. So our guidance, I remind to generate segment operating income at ISO scope and ISO ForEx above the one we generated in 2025 and free cash flow above EUR 1.6 billion.
In this highly volatile and unpredictable environment, I would like as well to insist on the strength of the group and the fact that we are holding the cap on our strategy. First, we continue in 2026 to launch a new product to further enhance our innovation leadership. Second, we continue as well to work and to improve our efficiency. In Europe, we have recently announced that we have sold and closed the remaining of our U.K. retail distribution operations for light vehicles. And we have recently announced the consolidation of our agriculture track activity factories from 2 factories to 1 factory in North America, which lead to the close of one of the factory in order to improve the competitiveness of our operation.
And last, I remind that we have maintained our dividend per share for 2025 versus 2024, which lead to a dividend yield of 4.9%. And the group has started with the help of banks to complete EUR 750 million share buyback program that has been launched in the second half of February and that should be executed by the end of November.
So having shared all these elements, I think it's time now to open the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] First question is from Stephen Benhamou, Bank of America.
2. Question Answer
I have 2 questions. The first one is regarding your pricing. Can you please give us more color regarding your pricing strategy? And so I understand that you basically adopted a more aggressive pricing strategy to boost market share gains, notably in the U.S. So do you expect overall a negative pricing for the year? And if not, how do you intend to increase prices without weighing on volumes? So this is my first question.
The second question is regarding your expectation for the cost inflation. So you indicate at least EUR 400 million that includes raw mat, energy and logistics. But what about wage inflation? And is it a gross or net impact post mitigation measures? And basically, what's the phasing of those EUR 400 million cost inflation between H1 and H2?
Okay. So thank you, Stephen, for your question. So regarding the pricing strategy, as you know, I'm not going to comment our forward pricing strategy as there is currently an investigation from the European Commission on that topic. What I can simply tell you is that we have on one side, the index business, and I will not comment on it because it's quite mechanical. But it has an impact, and I will come back on that. And on the other hand, we are -- we have implemented a transformation within the group in order to manage our pricing in a more and more agile manner, which lead us sometimes to -- even in the same category to adjust the price at some SKUs upward and some other SKUs on board.
What I can already tell you is that there was already some price increase announced and implemented, for example, in Europe 1st of May, it has been communicated on the market recently because we are still -- we are already seeing some element of inflation, particularly the energy or the transportation cost, maritime shipping, just to mention it or even in non-transportation. And so we -- the answer regarding the balance between price and market share and competitivity, let's say, is all is in the quality of the execution by the team. And I believe that since the last quarter of 2025, our team have demonstrated their ability to grow in our market share in -- particularly in the replacement market, thanks to a very agile pricing strategy.
Regarding inflation, for the time being, it's mostly energy and raw material that are impacting us. We have not computed any wage inflation at this stage. But it's something that might happen in the second half if the situation is worsening. Nevertheless, and regarding the phasing, most of the phasing, of course, will be on H2. But we are still seeing -- we are already seeing actually an element that are going directly in the P&L, such as transportation, the impact of inflation.
Of course, all the elements that are contributing to the production cost, so either raw materials or energy in the production cost. Energy represents 2.5% of our group sales overall will be -- will impact our P&L probably most in the second half we have 4 months of inventory between raw materials, semifinished and finished products. So generally, you can count on 4 to 6 months lag between the increase of these costs and the inflation in our cost of goods sold.
And regarding the gross or net impact?
It's a gross impact. It's a gross impact.
Okay. And did you quantify your mitigation measures?
Of course, we quantify it. But what I can tell you is that we are -- as I said, you can classify our business into 2 categories. The business which is midterm contract with an index, indexation clauses, there will be a mechanical lag effect between the inflation, the increase of cost of goods sold and the increase of price. So this part will not probably be fully hedged over 2026. For the rest, it's a journey. We have demonstrated our ability in the past to hedge our cost.
Next question is from Akshat Kacker, JPMorgan.
Akshat from JPMorgan. I have 3 questions, please. The first one on volumes, a very good beat in Q1 versus expectations. Could you just tell us if you're already seeing signs of prebuys, specifically in March? We have seen some very strong industry data coming out from March. Have you seen any signs of strong dealer buying ahead of those price increases? Or are there any signs of sell-in activity looking different at the start of Q2? That's the first question.
The second question is on the trucks business. We can clearly see that the truck market in North America could be inflecting from very low levels and the comparables look very easy starting from Q2. But on the other side, replacement volumes have been at high levels. You have high inventories. So how are you thinking about overall truck volumes from here for the rest of the year in 2026, please?
And the last one, coming back to cost sensitivity of the conflict. Is the EUR 400 million number a second half impact for this year? Is that how we should think about it? And what have you really built into that EUR 400 million? Is it only the direct impact from synthetic rubber and carbon black and you haven't considered broader inflation in steel, chemicals, supply chain, et cetera? Just trying to understand the big buckets within that EUR 400 million, please.
So thank you, Akshat. For the time being, we have not seen any significant prebuy over the first quarter in any of the regions where we are operating. So we have not, let's say, meaningful volumes that can be interpreted as a prebuy from distributors. But that's something that we are obviously monitoring very closely as we are monitoring every month the sell-in and the sell-out as well the sale of our product to end users by distributors.
For the truck market, it's a bit reflected in the slide that I present for the full year market. Of course, we are starting -- we will start partly on OE to compare ourselves with data that were, let's say, at historical low level, particularly on the original equipment since the month of April, May 2025. As I mentioned, I will comment mostly the original equipment market and particularly the North American, which is weighting heavily on our OE performance because we have seen the European market slightly rebounding since the last quarter of 2025.
In OE, we consider that although we have seen an increase in the order of new vehicles, we consider that the market will probably need another 3 to 4 months to flush out the over inventory of vehicles that has been built up by the OEMs in the past 2 years. So it's very probable that over Q2 and even early Q3, we are not going to see a sharp increase in order of tire by OEMs because they are still selling vehicles that have been produced earlier.
As far as the cost and the duration of the conflict, the EUR 400 million are obviously mostly on H2. But as I mentioned, we are already seeing some very concrete inflation measures, for example, in transportation. And we have -- the assessment we did was so at least EUR 400 million, probably EUR 300 million on raw material, EUR 100 million shared between energy and transportation. And on the EUR 400 million of raw material, we are looking at all raw materials. So of course, it's synthetic rubbers, a lot of chemicals products, resins, but you can -- if you look at the SICOM data, you will see that the natural rubber price as well started to slightly increase. So we take in consideration all the elements of the different raw materials that we are acquiring.
Next question is from Harry Martin, Bernstein.
Harry, are you online?
Harry Martin, your line is open.
So maybe we can switch to the next one and eventually call Harry later on.
Next question is from Thomas Besson, Kepler Cheuvreux.
I have a few questions as well, if that's okay, I'll ask them one by one. First is, could you say a few words about your North American business? Last year, you had a horrific Q3, then a much better Q4. In Q1, there's been a lot of weather-related elements or one-off things. Do you see the state of your North American business in the first half of 2026 more aligned with Q4 or Q3 on an underlying basis, please?
So do you want to answer question by question. No, no, but I can answer to this one first. So I will say that Q1 2026 was a little bit in between Q3 and Q4 2025. The -- all the OE markets are negative in the U.S. and in North America, both for consumer vehicles or professional vehicles. And I remind that the replacement market in 2025 was boosted by the anticipation of the tariff. So it's still a market which is, let's say, in between the 2 quarters -- last quarter of 2025.
To follow up a bit on Akshat's question earlier. Could you talk about the April trading? I understand March has been a very strong month after a relatively soft start of the year. Do we continue to see a dynamic momentum in April? Or do you now see any anticipation from dealers of future price increases? Or is it still -- are they still pretending nothing is happening?
As far as I know, I don't see -- we have not seen a huge anticipation of dealers on future price increase, if price are -- now if price increases are announced. The magnitude of the price increase is not huge for what have been announced in Europe, for example. And I think I will not comment in April on the -- when we look at our own figures, we have as well to be careful because 2025 in April, we have a difficult momentum in Europe.
Do you have any update to give us on the European Commission China treatment that was delayed from December? Is it still expected for Q2? Do you expect any retroactive action?
So we expect the antidumping measures to be announced at the end of the quarter -- of this quarter, so the Q2 quarter. We do not expect any retroactive implementation. And that's at this stage is the information that we have in hand, yes. The tariff on the -- due to antidumping in Europe for passenger car tire probably from July or the end of June onward.
Next question is from Harry Martin, Bernstein.
Can you hear me now?
Yes, better Harry. Yes, we hear you clearly.
Great. The first one, as you mentioned, historically, Michelin has been able to pass on raw material costs without major EBIT impact. So I wondered why this time would be any different. I'm thinking if you see any differences in price premiums, market positions, mix that we need to be aware of or whether it all goes well, you should at least be able to recover a good amount of the inflation over time.
And then the second question I had, in the release, you talked about expanding market share in the 18-inch and above segment. I'd like to hear some more color on which markets you see those share gains coming in which vehicle types, what price points within 18-inch and above, you're having the most success there would be useful.
Okay. So regarding our ability to pass the raw material effect in the EBIT, we have as always to keep in mind that we have this lag effect for the index business, which play negatively when raw material prices are increasing and positively when it's stabilizing or decreasing. That's the first element that you have to keep in mind. And so we will not -- probably not fully compensate the full effect of inflation in at least on raw material in 2026 some part of it at least for the index business will be to recover in 2027.
The difference versus the past -- if you mentioned, for example, what happened after the war in Ukraine or the start of the war in Ukraine is probably that we are now already at a high level of raw material prices versus the situation we had before -- I remember after 2020, price went down. There will be -- there was some cooling down of prices in the end of 2024, 2025. But the question is the ability of the market to accept the level of price that this kind of inflation may come in. So that's the question more on the affordability side.
Regarding our market share, our market share gain in the consumer segment, particularly in the 18-inch tires. But on the replacement tires, I want as well to share with you that we have as well gained market share in some segments below 18-inch. So in terms of market, it cover, let's say, mostly all the markets in Asia, in Europe, maybe in a lesser extent in North America. And when you speak about the vehicle, if I take the Chinese market, it happened that I was in China last week. We are quite successful with local OEMs and partly with electric vehicles. So that's where we are gaining market share, particularly in -- for the OE market.
Next question is from Monica Bosio, Intesa Sanpaolo.
I have 2 questions. The first is, I know it's difficult to answer, but during the last call, the company anticipated a slightly positive volumes trend overall in the second quarter and still a light growth for 2026. I know it's difficult to answer as the macro scenario is evolving, but are you still confirming a positive volumes trend for the second quarter? And if yes, maybe if you can give us some flavor across consumers, transportation and specialties and if you are still confirming positive growth in volumes in 2026.
My second question is on polymer composites. I admit I do not very well the segment, but what is the company ability in passing through the raw material cost increases in these divisions? Any insights could be helpful. And the very last is just a check. Can you split again the EUR 400 million of growth headwinds between raw mat, energy and other items?
Okay. Thank you very much, Monica. I will take your question in the last order. So the EUR 400 million of headwind following the war in the Middle East is 75%, so around EUR 300 million in raw material and EUR 100 million between energy and transportation costs. Regarding Polymer Composite Solutions, we are in businesses except for the conveyor belt where the weight of the raw material in the production cost is far lower than the weight of raw material in the production cost of tires. So of course, if there is inflators, the companies that are operating this different business will -- depending on the respective weight because it can be very different between Sealing small belt or heavy conveyor belt, they will have to adjust their strategy. But it's really local and, let's say, local product-related operations.
Regarding volumes, so of course, the beginning of the year and after the 2 first months, we were on track to deliver a slightly positive volume in 2026. We have announced that Q1 will be negative. Q2 probably around flat, flattish and Q3 positive. There is -- you mentioned it in your question, it's very difficult to answer. But on one side, there is element that are in favor of, let's say, confirming potential volume growth over the year. It's the fact that in Q2 and Q3 last year, we have suffered particularly Q2 in Europe, Q3 in North America. So we are going to have the basis for comparison, which will be more favorable.
On the other hand, nobody knows at the moment I'm speaking, what will be the impact on the final demand, transportation, mileage driven by consumers when they are -- they have the sticker shock of the price of gas oil at the station or even the impact that the price of kerosene can have on the -- and even the availability potentially. So at this stage, I'm not in position to comment the impact of any of these elements on the final demand.
Next question is from Martino De Ambroggi, Equita.
The first question is on the supply chain, the raw mat and so on. What are -- where do you see the main risks for your supply chain today? And could you remind us what is the updated sensitivity to oil price, butadiene and natural rubber? And I have another follow-up later.
So I will probably give you a very, let's say, generic information. Geographically speaking, we are expecting more tense situation of the supply chain in Asia than in Europe and then in North America. So it's rather in this order. But as I said, it's very difficult to decipher where rupture can occur and how. Now looking at our -- so last year, we buy around more than EUR 5 billion of raw materials, of which 29% is natural rubber, 22% synthetic rubber and 21% fillers. So fillers is black carbon and silica. And the rest is shared between chemicals products, around 15%, steel coils 9% and textile. So that's basically the different source of our raw materials.
So of course, there is some -- there is a direct sensitivity on the oil price. But some of the products we are using are just derivated from the long oil transformation value chain. So that's probably where it's most difficult to assess. And we know that when the butadiene price is increasing or the synthetic rubber prices are increasing, there is an indirect effect on the natural rubber because some manufacturers might switch from one nature of rubber to another, depending on the prices.
So I will not try to give you a magic formula of translating with -- starting with dollar per barrel and translating million of euro of raw material costs. Keep in mind as well that we are a global company. All the raw materials are priced in dollars in USD, the underlying currency in the USD. And we are purchasing in euro, renminbi, Thai baht and as well Brazilian real and USD. So there is as well an effect on the currencies in our acquisition cost.
Okay. Okay. Rather complicated. One housekeeping question because I remember in the previous call, you mentioned raw mat tailwind of EUR 400 million that today you are telling us they are erased by inflation -- cost inflation. But in the previous call, you also mentioned that the cost inflation was in the region of EUR 200 million. So I'm unable to match the figures if probably the cost inflation is much higher than EUR 400 million starting from the EUR 200 million that you commented or I don't know if I remember correctly, the EUR 200 million at the beginning of the year.
No. At the beginning of the year, the assumption was the following. We were expecting a EUR 400 million tailwind from raw mat and EUR 200 million headwind from other inflators. So everything, including salaries in some regions, energy, transportation. And now we are -- so these assumptions are still valid. But on top of that, we are going to get EUR 400 million tailwind -- headwind, of which EUR 300 million is coming from raw materials. So you can say that if it's confirmed, the net effect on raw material will be EUR 100 million versus last year and another EUR 100 million on energy and transportation. So the net effect of cost inflation outside raw material should be around EUR 300 million.
Next question is from Michael Foundoukidis, ODDO BHF.
A few questions also on my side. I will ask them one by one as well. Maybe first on the volumes, some clarification because I'm not sure I understood correctly what you said. You don't change your market scenarios versus what you indicated at the beginning of the year. Even you kind of upgrade them when we look at the charts. I mean some of the charts, both in OE and replacement seem a bit higher than where they were in February. which is a bit puzzling me, especially on the OE with S&P cutting estimates from flattish in February to minus 2 now. So how to reconciliate that? And how to reconciliate also the view that you're saying in the Middle East slide that you expect more negative -- I mean, negative tire demand, but still you don't change your market scenario? That's the first question.
Yes. Michael, we have not changed our outlook globally in terms of market, both for consumer and transportation.
I see the minus 2, plus 2 are the same, but some of the charts, I mean, where the points are higher. But even if we say that it didn't change, why doesn't it change despite you indicating that the Middle East issue will have a negative impact on volumes. And you're also saying that you cannot commit any more on the Q2 volumes improvement.
So what I said is that the hypothesis that we share with you in detail, the one that is in the Slide 13 is -- has been built without taking into account the potential systemic effect on the Middle East conflict on the final demand because for the time being, till the month of March, we have not seen a very different market picture than the one that we described at the 2025 yearly disclosure.
Okay. So guidance still embeds a slight volume growth?
Yes.
Okay. Then maybe a question on pricing and for Q2, probably indexation clauses will remain negative. in Q2. Do you think that replacement prices increase that you mentioned in the call are sufficient to, let's say, offset them and lead to breakeven on the pricing side? And second question on that side, too. On the mix side, do you expect to maintain this around, let's say, 2% for the full year?
So on the indexation clause, I will not mix the indexation clause that we have seen in Q1 that we've seen in Q2 that are due to the price of raw material of the second half of 2025 with the fact that we are going to probably see indexation clause playing in the other way in the very late part of the year because of raw material price increasing now, but that will translate later on in our cost of goods sold. And I will not mix that with the increase on the replacement market because again, we try to have a fair price policy. So we don't -- I'm not trying to overcompensate one market by the other.
I mentioned very clearly that the over inflation triggered by the situation in the Middle East that is impacted -- that will impact our cost of goods sold on our index business in the second half will not be fully recovered by price adjustments because there is a time lag in the application or the tools. And regarding the mix, the mix was quite strong in the first half. It will depend on the, let's say, the weight of the recovery of the original equipment volumes. But as we can expect a slight rebalance between OE and RT, maybe we'll have a slightly lower mix effect in the second half.
Okay. Maybe a last one, more general to better understand your guidance. Since February, I would say that volumes are probably more negative than you assumed. Costs obviously are also. So how do you offset that in your guidance? I mean, probably pricing, of course, that's the number one. But is it only that? Is there anything else that we should have in mind to offset all those incremental headwinds that you have? Or was 2026 guidance in February very, very cautious? That's the last one.
Well, so your assumption is that, of course, the volume can be, let's say, less positive in the second half than what we were expecting in February. As well, we are going as well to offset that by the strong cost discipline. And as I mentioned at the end of the presentation, you know that we have implemented in the past 2 years, one of the largest restructuring plan that the group has ever implemented. We continue to work on our cost structure. We have downsized our distribution retail operations in the second -- in the U.K. for light vehicles in February. And we continue to work on improving our footprint. What we can say as well is that probably in this.
Any additional restructuring since February or any measures that you would add?
We announced, as I said, in February, we announced the closure of the sales and the closure of our retail distribution network in the U.K. for light vehicles, more than 100 point of sales. And we recently announced 2 weeks ago the closure of one factory for agro trucks in the U.S. and the merger of this factory with another one, transfer of the activity to another one, which is in a nearby area. On top of that, what we can say as well is that our volumes and our mix have been better in Q1 than what we were expecting early February.
Last question is from Ross MacDonald, Citi.
The first question, just on the mix benefits, obviously, quite strong in Q1 at plus 1.9%. Do you have any guide, Yves, you can give on the overall mix contribution for the full year 2026? And what sort of drop-through we should assume for that? It looks like on channel mix, tier mix and obviously, segment mix are all positive here. So how should we think about the overall mix benefit to revenues this year?
The next question, and sorry to come back to the net price versus raw mats. But if I take a step back and just look at the bridge from last year, basically, the headwind was really on the raw mat and logistics side and obviously, price mix and volume kind of offset each other. If I think about my bridge for '26, and let's leave price mix and volume to one side, what is the message here even in terms of the aggregate raw mat headwind and the manufacturing and logistics headwind, i.e., how much do price mix and volume need to be positive to offset that to hit your guidance?
If I understood correctly, we're basically wiping out the raw mat benefit for '26, and we have roughly EUR 300 million of manufacturing and logistics. But maybe if you could just split both of those buckets in terms of your assumptions for 2026, and then I can work back how much price mix and volume need to be to offset that.
And then a final question. Obviously, oil is continuing to rise. We have the tariffs in the U.S. It sounds like industry pricing isn't moving up too much. How do you think about value over volume strategy in that context? Is there a benefit to Michelin going after some of the lower-end volume in the U.S. to protect volumes and fixed cost absorption this year? I'd just be curious how you think about leaning on your budget brands to maybe shore up some of the volume this year.
Maybe I will take your question in the reverse order, Ross. Starting with the last one. Overall, you know that the weight of the raw material and the energy cost and the transportation cost is respectively lower in premium brands or premium products than on entry product in budget product. So except if there was a massive, let's say, tier down market effect, generally, this kind of situation is more favorable for premium manufacturers like us. So that's what I can -- because the cheaper brands that are mostly imported from Asia will have to be first being in Asia, they could be impacted by inflation faster than in North America and Europe. And on top of that, they have to bear the extra cost of the transportation. So that's my first answer.
Regarding the net -- assumed net price raw material versus in your bridge of 2026, as I said, we start the year -- at the start of the year, we're expecting the EUR 400 million tailwind on raw mat. And now we know that we have at least a EUR 300 million headwind, which is coming from the event in the Middle East. So net, it's still EUR 100 million tailwind. And on the loss of energy and other inflators, we are betting on EUR 200 million of inflation, on which we will have to wind the EUR 100 million coming from the impact of the Middle East country. Last, regarding the mix. So we have a strong mix. But if you look over the past years, we have a mix effect that continually translated around 1.5% which has moved around 1.5%, we are at 1.9% in the first quarter. I believe that's a reasonable assumption for the full year at 1.5% is probably the most relevant assumption that you can take.
Maybe if I can squeeze one more in just on the cost inflation point. Obviously, your analysis, it looks like the chart begins sort of late March, which would make sense. But would that imply there's maybe a further EUR 150 million, let's say, cost headwind into early 2027. How should we think -- I know it's still very early in 2026, but how should we think about the cost inflation that carries over into 2027 based on your analysis?
For sure, right. If the situation is lasting further, there will be a carryover in 2027. But let's take the situation quarter-by-quarter. Nobody knows, I have not looked at the news today when the almost straight to will be fully reopened. So I think I will not make any speculation, let's say, beyond one quarter.
Thank you, Ross. And I believe it's the last question. So ladies and gentlemen, thank you very much for your attention. Our next meeting is scheduled with the Shareholders' Meeting on the 22nd of May. And I would like to take this opportunity of this last quarterly call on my side to thank you for your attention and to thank you for the very stimulating exchange we had in the past 8 years. So thank you very much, and I wish you a good evening. Bye-bye.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's Michelin conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Michelin — Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions, Q1 2026 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Apr 29, 2026
Michelin — Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions, Q1 2026 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Apr 29, 2026
Michelin bestätigt die Jahres-Guidance, sieht aber durch den Konflikt im Nahen Osten und höhere Energie-/Rohstoffkosten erhöhten Margendruck für H2.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: Stabil bei konstanten Wechselkursen; Wechselkurs-Effekt −€355 Mio (−5,4%).
- Volumen: Gesamt −1,4% im Quartal; Replacement-Markt Michelin‑Brand +3%.
- Price/Mix: Netto +1,1% (Mix +1,9%, Preis −0,8%).
- Segment: Polymer Composite Solutions +5,1% (Integration Cooley trägt ~10 %-Punkte).
- Cash & Kapital: Free Cash Flow‑Ziel >€1,6 Mrd.; Aktienrückkauf €750 Mio läuft; Dividende unverändert (Dividendenrendite 4,9%).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Guidancehaltegrund: Verlässlichkeit durch vertikale Integration, Lokalisierung und Restrukturierungen; deshalb keine Änderung der Jahresziele.
- Portfolio & M&A: Zwei von drei angekündigten Zukäufen abgeschlossen; letztes Closing (TexTech) für Mitte Jahr erwartet.
- Preis- und Marktsteuerung: Fokus auf agile Preisgestaltung zur Marktanteilsgewinn, besonders im 18‑Zoll‑Plus‑Segment; konkrete Preiserhöhungen in Europa umgesetzt.
- Kostdisziplin: Weitere Standortanpassungen (UK‑Retail-Verkauf, Fabrikzusammenlegung Nordamerika) zur Wettbewerbsfähigkeit.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Jahresblick: Reifengeschäft 2026 insgesamt stabil; schwächeres H1, stärkeres H2; OE schwach, Ersatzmarkt stabil bis leicht wachsend.
- Konfliktrisiko: Management rechnet bei anhaltendem Konflikt mit mindestens ~€400 Mio Zusatzkosten (Annahme Öl ≈ $100/Barrel), davon ~€300 Mio Rohstoffe, ~€100 Mio Energie/Logistik; Sichtbarkeit Lieferkette bis Ende Juni.
- Zielzahlen: Segmentbetriebsgewinn (ISO Scope/ForEx) über 2025; Free Cash Flow >€1,6 Mrd. — diese Ziele bleiben bestehen, bergen aber höhere Ausführungsrisiken.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Pricing: Fragen zu aggressiver Preispolitik und EU‑Untersuchung; Management verweist auf agile SKU‑Preisanpassungen und Index‑Geschäfte (zeitliche Verzögerungen).
- Inflation & Phasing: Klarheit gewünscht über Zusammensetzung der ~€400 Mio (Rohstoffe, Energie, Logistik); Management sieht Hauptwirkung in H2, Teilwirkung kann 2027 tragen.
- Volumen‑Risiken: Keine signifikanten Pre‑buys im März; Unsicherheit wegen hoher OE‑Inventare in Nordamerika und Timing der Nachfrageerholung.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Implikation: Aktie bleibt anfällig für Margen‑ und Cash‑Risiken im H2 trotz stabiler Guidance; Mix‑vorteile und PCS‑Wachstum sind positive Treiber, aber Rohstoff‑/Energieinflation und geopolitische Unsicherheit erhöhen Short‑Term‑Risiko für EBIT und FCF.
Michelin — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Michelin conference call. I now hand over to Mr. Florent Menegaux, Chief Executive Officer; and Mr. Yves Chapot, General Manager and Group CFO. Gentlemen, please go ahead.
Good evening, good afternoon and good morning to all of you. Thank you for joining us, Yves Chapot and myself, for 2025 results call.
I would like to start by summarizing our 2030 Michelin in Motion strategy. What you see on your screen is The Group relies on 4 strong and clear distinctive assets. Our Michelin's way of managing based on empowerment, autonomy and responsibility. Our company's resilience comes from team cohesion and shared values.
Number two, we have a strong and well-recognized brand. Our MICHELIN brand is now worth more than $10 billion, and it is the ninth strongest brand in the world across all categories, not only in tires. We capitalize on a powerful innovation with deep expertise in complex materials assembly. And finally, we sell best-in-class products and services with long-term value delivered to our customers.
Our group operates, and that's in the middle of your screen in 2 complementary fields: Tires and Mobility on historic Core business and Polymer Composite Solutions in which our group is leveraging its material expertise acquired in tires and where we are accelerating our growth.
In 2025, and that's the right of your screen. Our group achieved the following performance. An engagement rate at 84.4%, high and stable, close to our 2030 target of 85%. A segment operating income of EUR 2.9 billion at iso-FX. This is, of course, disappointing performance as we did not reach our initial 2025 guidance. I am sure, however, you have noticed that we have reached the upper part of our revised guidance. It shows that we were able to turn things around in the last quarter.
Our free cash flow before M&A reached EUR 2.1 billion, reinforcing our financial strength and our ability to generate cash. Our renewable and recycled material rates stands at 32%, 1 point better than last year. The road ahead to our 2030 ambition is long, but we make strides.
Regarding the shareholder return, we are proposing a stable EUR 1.38 per share dividend, which corresponds to a 57% payout ratio. Confident in our future, we intend to launch a new share buyback program of up to EUR 2 billion over the next 3 years, 2026-2028 period.
Here, I would like to reemphasize to all of you that M&A is still a priority as we are deploying our Michelin in Motion 2030 strategy. Our structurally strong cash generation allows us to finance both CapEx, dividends and share buyback programs in a flexible way. Regarding our financial guidance for 2026, our ambition is to progress in terms of segment operating income at iso-scope iso-parity, which we want to make clear that our ambition is to progress at 2025 perimeter. On the cash side, we intend to generate at least EUR 1.6 billion in free cash flow before M&A.
Now I would like to take a few minutes to come back on our Polymer Composite Solutions development. Aside from our Core business in Tires and Mobility, where our ambitions remain intact as being the world leader, we are determined to grow our PCS Polymer Composite Solutions businesses. By doing so, we will improve the resilience of our group and its profitability.
Michelin's approach in PCS is based on 3 pillars: leveraging group R&D. Michelin leverages over 100 years of experience in developing the best tires. Our deep science in material and unrivaled ability to industrialize and produce at scale provide us with a unique opportunity to access several very attractive adjacent categories. We are building a diversified portfolio of independent businesses targeting Michelin critical applications.
Within our group, we manage our Polymer Composites business with a specific operating model. We developed strong synergies in terms of R&D, and we operate in a much more decentralized way than in tires. The destination markets represent an addressable market of more than EUR 70 billion organized around 6 main product categories, as you can see on the bottom left of your screen. Since we acquired Fenner in 2019, we have grown at a CAGR of around 7% with a balanced mix of organic and external growth. And with the latest 3 acquisitions we have announced, we could reach pro forma 2025 sales of around EUR 1.7 billion with an operating margin of more than 15%.
Our Polymer Composite Solutions business, including our recently announced acquisitions show a good balance, both in terms of market verticals and geographies, that's on the right, and market verticals are on the left. And what you can see is North America becomes our largest regions after the 3 latest acquisitions, and it will enable cross-selling synergies and contribute to the upcoming growth in PCS.
Now I'll hand over to Yves for the rest of our presentation.
Thank you, Florent. So I'm going to lead you through our performance in our key performance indicators over regarding People, Profit and Planet. Regarding People, the group has shown very strong improvement in terms of safety. Our TRIR is now at 4 -- below 4.5 which is an improvement of 53 basis points versus 2024. And our Net Promoter Score with our partner customers has improved by 5.3 points versus '24. We are on track for both indicators on our 2030 ambitions. I will come back on the Profit more in detail afterwards.
And regarding the Planet, versus 2019, we have already achieved 48% CO2 emission reductions versus 2019, which was nearly the objective we intend to reach by 2030. So we are far ahead, thanks to a lot of levers including purchasing of green electricity, but as well transiting from more carbon-intensive energy to less carbon-intensive energies.
And last, I would like to comment the Abrasion performance. If you compare the set of offers of Michelin in 2025 versus 2020, in average, the performance of our Tires in Abrasion has improved by 8.4%, which translates in less material for the same usage, but as well as an improvement and competitive advantage in terms of total cost of ownership for our customers. It makes us the undisputed leader in this area.
Now coming back more to the economic situation, I would like first to comment the market. The market has shown very contrasted pictures over the world and over the different segments. But overall, there were marginally soft versus 2024. Very tough in original equipment, particularly in B2B applications. If you look at regional equipment and if you set apart passenger car tire in China and truck and bus in Europe, all the markets were down versus 2024 with even minus 20% for the heavy-duty vehicles in North America.
The replacement market if you look at the figures, seems to post a more positive picture, but in reality, we should not ignore that this trend was triggered by the inflow of Asian tires in anticipation of the tariff in North America and the antidumping measures that the European Union is intending to implement versus passenger car tires coming from China.
So overall, at the end of the year, when we look at the inventory of our wholesalers, they are pretty heavy loaded with these tires and we estimate that it will take probably another semester to flesh out these tires from the distribution channel.
On the other hand, when we look at our own inventory, they are at a quite healthy level in all channels of distribution. Regarding Specialties, Mining, Aircraft are posting positive growth. Beyond-road is still plagued by the regional equipment cycle and that we'll have the opportunity to come back on the situation of Beyond-road, particularly in OE. Replacement has shown some signs of recovery, particularly in Europe. And the Polymer Composite Solutions are posting low single-digit growth over the year.
Regarding our sales, so 2025 has seen very strong headwinds, first one being the volumes. Our volumes were down by 4.7%, mostly driven by original equipment and I will have the opportunity to come back on that. The situation of volume has improved over the year. Volume in H1 were at minus 6.1%, in H2 at minus 3.4%.
Price/mix is still positive over the year, 3%. The Non-Tire activity are contributing to 0.3%. So you have seen the weight of Polymer Composite Solutions, but this activity grew in itself by 3.4% during the year. And of course, we have been severely impacted by the currency effect, EUR 800 million, 3% of which half is coming from the U.S. dollar and 2/3 in the second half, 1/3 in the first half. Overall, our sales, including ForEx has decreased by 4.4% over the year.
Now zooming on the volume. So volume decreased by 4.7%, so nearly 5% of which 80% is coming from our Regional Equipment businesses, half from the Truck Tire businesses with a strong drop, particularly in the North American, which is a very important market for us. And the rest is shared between Passenger Car and Agriculture, all across the regions. Passenger Car Tires have grown in China, but the market and our volumes have decreased in the other regions.
Our overall replacement sales were posting a slight negative, so one point volume contribution overall. But with a very diverse situation between MICHELIN brand, which is growing across practically all the business segments and our Tier 2 and Tier 3 brand that has been probably more impacted by the inflows of budget tires, both in our North American and European core markets.
Our operating margin. So the margin land at EUR 2.7 billion or 10.5%, including ForEx. I will start with the ForEx because half of this EUR 200 million is coming from the USD and 3/4 of the ForEx effect is coming in the second half of the year. Before the month of April, the USD tend to be more resilient versus the euro. But if you look across the full year, the euro has revaluated against nearly all currencies and particularly the USD. Volume is down by EUR 700 million, of which share between the margin effect and the lack of fixed cost absorption from our factory due to the very low level of factory loading.
We have a very positive price/mix. We nearly hedge the volume effect. Raw material is negative for the full year, but has a positive effect on the second half, which was mostly concentrated on the last quarter. Manufacturing and low costs are as well negative, but impacted by EUR 235 million due to the tariffs, mostly in the second half. So if you take out this effect, our manufacturing cost -- in fact, our maturing performance have been improving despite a very low factory loading during the second half of the year.
SG&A, which were slightly increasing at the end of the first half of the year, land EUR 5 million below 2024. And thanks to a strong reaction and around EUR 28 million improvement in savings during the second half. We have a positive contribution from Non-Tire business. And the other effects are mainly due to our group businesses. As in 2024, we have updated our businesses in November when in 2025, we did it in June with a last adjustment in December due to a better free cash flow performance than expected.
Now looking at the picture by business segment. You see that our segments, the most impacted segment are SR2 and SR3 in terms of volumes. SR1 volume loss is mostly coming from original equipment in Europe and North America and our Tier 2 and Tier 3 brand. But the MICHELIN brand in SR1 has been very resilient and has grown over the year. The SR2 is suffering obviously from the 9% volume decrease that I have already detailed. And the SR3 has been impacted as well by a strong volume decrease, which as is during the second half of the year at the end of June, we were posting a 6.8% volume decrease in SR3 versus 3.1% for the full year.
I would like now to come back on SR2 performance and our plan to recover and to come back to a healthier financial performance on this segment. Here, you will see on the right part of the slide, 2 charts: one which is showing you the market fluctuation within dark blue, original equipment; and in green, replacement for truck and bus tires over the past 10 years. So we know and it's particularly exacerbated for original equipment that this market is cyclical with roughly a market that can fluctuate around 30% below or above its average depending on the cycle. And you see below with the operating margin, the strong correlation between the operating margin and the cycles.
So our strategy is consisting now in trying to desensitize our SR2 margin to this cyclicality. First, by rebalancing the respective weight of our original equipment and replacement volume, rightsizing our manufacturing capacity and it's all the effort that has been done by the teams in the past 2 years, improving our local to local sourcing, accelerating our product plan renewal, increasing the share of services through our Michelin Connected Fleet activity and re-emphasizing reaching the importance of retreading to extract the full value of the machine technology. And with all these levers, we believe that we can try to have a less exposure to these fluctuations in the years to come.
Positive results in 2025 is coming from our cash flow generation. So despite a drop in EBITDA, we have been able to generate EUR 2.1 billion of free cash flow before acquisition. After acquisition, it's even better because we have made some disinvestments in 2025. Thanks to a huge effort in working capital despite some inflationary pressures coming from the North American tariff. We spent less in taxes and interest than in 2024. Our restructuring costs have increased versus 2024 by EUR 180 million. You see that our CapEx has slightly decreased as well, around EUR 100 million.
And we have a very positive contribution from our Joint Venture and Associates and from our assets -- some asset disposals that we did, real estate in Euromaster or in China.
Last, our ROCE has been impacted by a weaker segment operating income in 2025 despite EUR 550 million less capital employed in average in 2025 versus 2024.
These cash generations -- thanks to this cash generation, it provides us some headroom to deploy our strategy, as Florent highlighted. But we have been able, in 2025 to further deleverage our balance sheet with gearing, which land at 13% at the end of the year. It gives us -- gives to the group the flexibility to finance both the growth of its Polymer Composite Solutions and to increase its share buyback programs.
In terms of shareholder return, so our net results has decreased by EUR 230 million versus 2024, thanks to better contribution of JV and Associates versus the impact of the segment operating income, less restructuring costs and despite as well an effective tax rate, which has increased from 22% to 26%. We will propose to our shareholder meeting in May, a stable dividend per share of EUR 1.38 per share, which represents a payout ratio of 57%.
The idea is being that our payout ratio should fluctuate around 50%. And given the strength of our balance sheet, we will propose up to EUR 2 billion share buyback program in the next 3 years between 2026 and 2028, of which we will implement EUR 750 million in 2026.
Now moving to 2026. I would like first to come back on our future segment reporting, which is aiming to provide to our shareholders and to all of you a better understanding of our different activity. In this slide, you will see a pro forma 2025 segment reporting that will allow you in the next quarters to compare our 2026 financial reporting, so with 2025 actual performance.
I would like to highlight 4 points on this slide. First, you have probably observed that we have decided to rename our reporting segments to better translate as much as possible the nature of our customers. So the first segment, which is Automotive and Tools is mostly addressing consumers, even it's through distributors or OEMs.
The second segment has not changed. It's about Transportation, goods and people transportation. Specialties, it speaks by itself. And Polymer Composite Solutions, it's the name that we have shared with you since our last Capital Market Day in 2024. So what you will observe is that Consumer and Transportation segments performance has not changed.
Specialties now is made of 3 business lines: Mining, which represents 40% in terms of sales; Aircraft, 10%; and Beyond-road, 50%. Although Specialties are relative for the group with a 13.1% operating margin, this segment is clearly underperforming due to the weight and the performance of our beyond-road activity, which is impacted by the cyclicality of the Agro and the Construction businesses. And it's clearly, along with SR2 priority to -- the recovery of the performance of this subsegment is clearly a priority for the management of the company.
And you see that the Polymer Composite Solutions represents 4.7% of the group sales and nearly 7% of the segment operating income, and it's the most profitable segment in terms of operating margin with nearly 15%.
Florent mentioned earlier, the acquisition that we have announced in the past weeks, and that will be closed during 2026. In reality, the Cooley Group, the first acquisition has been closed on the second of February, and we expect TexTech and Flexitallic to close during the first half of the year.
If you take all these activities, they are all North American company, bringing nearly 2,000 new employees within the group, headquartered in different regions. And with an aggregate turnover of EUR 450 million, which is an increase of 35% for PCS, an average operating margin of 17%, so which is accretive and relative versus the existing Polymer Composite Solutions business for an enterprise value of around EUR 1 billion, which translates in a ratio of 11.5% EV/EBITDA and even 9.7% if we take the EBITDA of 2025 plus the synergies that we are expecting to extract in the coming 4 years. So not taking into account the growth potential -- the intrinsic growth potential of these activities.
So in terms of markets, coming back on -- particularly on the tire market, we are expecting a rather soft market over 2026 with probably balanced market between regional equipment and replacement, both for Truck and Passenger Car and probably a more optimistic picture for Specialties. In Original Equipment in Passenger Car, due to the fact that the incentive that has been implemented in China will have probably less effect in 2026, we expect the market not to grow at least in the first half and to be close to 0 in the second half.
So overall, a market that will probably be slightly decreasing versus 2025. And on the replacement market, we are confident that the market should slightly grow and particularly in the second half of the year. The 2-wheel markets should as well post a positive trend.
In the Truck and Bus, you see a very constructed situation on Original Equipment with still depressed H1, particularly in the North American market. We expect the OE truck market to decrease by 11% over the year and with the depressed first half and a slight recovery in the second half. And the replacement market should be more resilient over the year.
Mining should continue to grow at a mid-single-digit pace. We expect on Beyond-road to stabilize and start to rebound with the replacement market that should further increase. And we have a positive orientation for Aircraft as well as for Polymer Composite Solutions.
So in terms of guidance, as Florent shared already, we expect to deliver segment operating income at iso-scope and ForEx above 2025 and the free cash flow above EUR 1.6 billion before acquisitions. This guidance is relying on some key assumptions. We expect overall for the year to recover our growth in volume, probably with a flat H1 and a slight growth in H2 with a gradual recovery of Original Equipment market, particularly in B2B, and we expect this growth, thanks to an increased differentiation from innovation, both in terms of product and data.
We should have the tailwind of the raw material that will play for the full year. And we expect with the assumptions we have in terms of tariff and ForEx, and I might come back on that. We expect that we build our forecast on the ForEx situation at the end of 2025. So a USD 118 per euro and a stable tariff situation.
The tariff has impacted us at around EUR 250 million on the -- EUR 230 million in 2025 and should have an impact of around EUR 120 million in 2026. So taking into account all these assumptions and the levers and the willingness of the group to recover the growth path during that year, we believe that we can achieve these ambitions.
Thank you very much. And I think now we can open the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions]
The first question is from The first question is from Akshat Kacker, JPMorgan.
2. Question Answer
Akshat from JPMorgan. I have 2 questions, please. The first one on capital allocation. Clearly, a greater intent from your side to give back cash to shareholders, almost allocating 100% of free cash flow between dividends and share buybacks. And you also mentioned in your prepared remarks about M&A still being a priority. So could you just remind us how you're thinking about your balance sheet going forward and leverage targets over the cycle, please? That's the first question.
And the second one is on your EBIT development in 2025. Now when I think about the 2 halves, clearly very different from each other, EUR 1.45 billion SOI in the first half, EUR 1.25 billion roughly in the second half. And I remember you telling us that second half seasonality is for better profits. And you talked about a large element of one-offs based on lower capacity utilization in the second half. So are you in a position to tell us what was the real underlying earnings of the business in the second half excluded for those one-offs? And how should we extrapolate that going into 2026?
So I will start with a few elements and Yves will complement. So on the -- first, on the EBIT development and the seasonality, sometimes H2 is better than H1 and sometimes it's the reverse. Now 2025 has been really special because of huge movements of inventories across the globe due to the situation in the U.S. And therefore, this has perturbated the normal cyclicality of markets.
So today, we don't anticipate the situation to improve in the market in the first semester. But we have already signals that it will be gradually improving. Based on the circumstances we see now, of course, it will be gradually improving. So we are confident, plus the fact that we have been very reassured by what happened in the fourth quarter of 2025, where we adjusted -- it took us some time to realign and readjust what we had to do. But all the strong assets of Michelin are still there and transformations are still ongoing and our capacity to grow is still there.
So we have tuned and we have adapted to the market conditions, and it has paid a dividend in the fourth quarter. So we are confident in our ability to deliver what Yves just said.
In terms of capital allocation, we have decided to say that our balance sheet is too deleveraged. And at 13%, we have a lot of flexibility. So of course, we anticipate the interest rates to decrease in the coming years. We have today debts that are at a very advantageous rate. So basically, we said, okay, we can use our balance sheet that we have generated today to distribute our dividends according to what we have said, plus to buy back shares because that is in the past. In the future, our balance sheet is still strong and is very low -- has very low leverage. So that's why we have said we can do everything without compromising our strategy. Maybe Yves, if you want to add.
And maybe to focus on this capital allocation, before the COVID, we used to land the year with a cash of around EUR 2.5 billion. With the COVID, with the huge inflationary pressure that we get in 2022, which was nearly EUR 2 billion on our working capital, we end with a much bigger cash at the end of the year. And we consider that it's not optimized to keep this level of cash. So that's why we need as well to come back to a more healthier level.
And of course, we are at 13% gearing. If I take the assumption of at least EUR 1.6 billion of free cash flow and I had the dividend of a little bit more than EUR 900 million plus the EUR 750 million of share buyback. It means that we'll increase at the end of the year, the debt by nearly EUR 1 billion, which is basically the enterprise value of the acquisition we just announced, which is not -- which will probably lead us to still land in the round of 20% or below 20% gearing. So we are still in a very healthy and solid situation.
And sorry, and to come back on the market situation, I forgot to mention that the fundamentals of passenger car, the mileage driven all across the world is very stable. So it means that the OE being down in most mature markets, what happens is the vehicle park is aging very fast actually. And it's the same situation in Truck despite the fact that the freight cash index in the U.S. is sharply down. But the vehicle park is still very much aging. So it cannot age forever. So at some point, the market will have to recover, and that's what we start to anticipate.
Should we think about any extraordinary costs in the second half result of what you reported in the second half in terms of sharp adjustments to capacity? Or do you think that second half result is a good number to look at when we think about what carries over to the first half of this year?
No, because you -- the second half, we had a very contrasted picture between Q3 and Q4. We have a very bad Q3, particularly in North America, which lead us to the profit warning in October. And we have a far stronger and far healthier situation in Q4. So when we look at the trend of Q4 and projecting Q4 in Q1, it makes us relatively optimistic on our ability to improve our operating margin in 2026, starting in the first half.
The next question is from Harry Martin, Bernstein.
The first question I have is on the price/mix performance. When we spoke at Q3, you didn't have a lot of confidence in Q4 price/mix, guided it to slow sequentially driven by what competitors were doing with discounting and imports. In the end, price/mix accelerated in Q4. So how did you achieve that? Which markets were better than the expectations? And how do you feel about the price premium for your products in the key segments?
And then I'd like to ask about the non-tire M&A as well. It would be good to hear some more of the rationale and how you go about choosing targets. Of the 3 acquisitions in the U.S., some seem to be more in quite technical products, specialty fabrics and coatings. Some you could say are a little bit more simple type products, seals and gaskets. So help us understand where in this very [ disparate ] industry, the real value creation opportunity is and where that genuine underlying demand growth is for these products?
So on the price mix, what happened during the 2025 was very stressful because we had -- Q1, we had to fix China; Q2, we had to fix Europe; and Q3, we had to fix the U.S. And so it moved around, and it put us in a very stressful situation. Basically, the tariff situation led us to -- as we are the leader in price, led us to adapt to the market conditions and to the tariff situation, which put us out of the market basically. So we were not according to the market situation -- to the market conditions. So we have adapted.
And as soon as we have adapted, immediately, the good strong fundamentals of Michelin came back. And that's why we have seen the price/mix came back. So when we are -- you're slightly depositioned, of course, we've lost share during those moments in the various regions. We lost share, but we recaptured those lost share very quickly towards the end of the year because we came back to what is acceptable by the market. And of course, now we have -- we are much more agile, and we can adapt to any market conditions and any market situation much more quickly than what we were able to do in the past. So we have done a lot of work on this subject. So we are now much more agile. And maybe Yves, on the Non-Tire.
On the Non-Tire activity. So how do we choose the targets? We have a team in Polymer Composite Solutions, which is dedicated to this segment. First, some targets can come from the business units we have already in our portfolio and who has a very strong knowledge of their ecosystem. But we are as well studying potential targets that are offered to us or that we identify.
The criteria have not changed versus what we shared with you during the May 2024 Capital Market Day. We look at critical applications where generally the value of the product offered by these companies is relatively small versus the value of the entire system, they contribute to move or to make functioning. Then we look at companies or activities where we consider that we have a parental advantage in terms of research and development.
As Florent shared at the beginning, we look at are we able with our capabilities in terms of material science to enhance the performance, to reduce the cost, to improve the sustainability of the product that these companies are offering. And then, of course, we look at the financials. We look at the growth also potential. Are these businesses, these companies in segments that are at risk of commoditization or not? What are the underlying growth levers?
So that's why we look at that very carefully. It took us 2 years basically. In 2023 and 2024, we did not achieve -- 2023, we did the FCG. But 2024 and 2025, we did not achieve any major acquisition. It's just at the very end of the year and early 2026 that we are able to communicate. So it shows that we are both prudent, but as well, we want to invest where we can really bring value to the customers and, of course, to the company and our shareholders.
The next question is from Martino de Ambroggi, Equita.
Two more questions on the Polymers division. So what's your best case scenario in 2, 3 years' time? And under the current perimeter, you used to provide a medium, long-term target in terms of profitability for your divisions. Now we have a split of the specialty. So could you provide any target for the stand-alone Polymers division in the current perimeter?
And the second question is on the financial leverage because you mentioned we have low leverage. But what is the maximum amount of cash out or debt to EBITDA? I don't know, just to understand what is the firepower you are available, you are comfortable with in case of additional M&A?
First question, and Yves will probably take the second question. So on the first one is -- so in terms of profitability, the Specialties today is way below where it should be because of the weight of our Beyond-road activities that are having a tough time. So we are confident that the Specialties business should be at a much higher rate because Mining and Aircraft are showing that it's very strong.
And if we look at the Polymer Composite Solutions, what I've said in my introduction was it is -- it should be in excess of 15%. So like the Specialties, this should be highly relative in terms of operating income and even also in cash flow generation because they are light -- the Polymer Composite Solutions are light in assets, compared to the Tire activities. So that's why we have chosen to get there.
Now also the part of the synergies, we have most of the time, small cost synergies, but high -- and we have demonstrated that with Fenner and also we are demonstrating that with the FCG, we have high revenue synergies related to the technology we can bring in the market we get in, like Yves just mentioned. So in terms of profitability, we have said PCS should be at minimum 15% and giving us growth for the group, and we intend to grow that share.
So in terms of leverage, first, I did not comment it, but all the rating agencies have confirmed our rating, which is basically A with a stable outlook. And we know basically that we can increase our debt by a few billion, EUR 3 billion to EUR 4 billion without impacting our rating. So it's the first answer. We have the room to stay strong investment grade with a strong investment-grade rating while spending -- increasing by EUR 3 billion to EUR 4 billion our net debt.
And I think we have demonstrated so far that we make moves that are interesting for the shareholders in the long run.
The next question is from Thomas Besson, Kepler Cheuvreux.
First question, could you confirm that in Q4, both in SR1 and SR3, your volumes were positive and also confirm that we should expect these 2 segments to have positive volumes for 2026 so that your group volumes are effectively positive for the year? That's the first question.
And the second is 2 small topics on modeling. There's been, first, much stronger contribution in the P&L from your associates. Could you explain why and what we should expect again in '26 for the associates line? And the second small modeling question is your CapEx has been a positive surprise in '25. The group has clearly shrunk in terms of volumes over the last 3 years. Could you expect that you can stay at a relatively lower CapEx than what was projected at the last CMD in 2026? Or is it -- was it just a one-off in '25?
So on the volume, Yves was clear on that. We have grown at the MICHELIN brand, especially on replacement markets in SR1 and SR3. Now OE is still depressed. So we didn't grow at OE specifically, but we have improved the performance at OE in SR1.
But to answer precisely to the question, our volume both in SR1 and SR3 were positive in Q4.
Now in terms of CapEx, we did not spend exactly what we wanted to spend in 2025 because of internal thing. It's not -- we didn't drive specifically CapEx to shrink that much. So we have said we should be in the neighborhood of EUR 2 billion, EUR 1 billion because we want to improve the ergonomics and especially the productivity everywhere. So we still have a lot of things to do to complete our productivity effort. So that's why we maintain that level. But we have almost 0 capacity investment.
So regarding the JV and Associates, we had in these categories different kind of activities. We have some mature activities such as our distribution JV and Associates and the activities that are linked to the natural rubber plantation and transformation as well as one -- we have as well the medical joint venture, Solesis, that we have put in a joint venture few years ago.
These companies are generally positively contributing. And in the case of TBC, there was some additional contribution due to the fact that TBC concentrate itself on its core business, which is mostly wholesale and sold first, its retail business in -- company-owned retail in 2023 and more recently, its Midas franchise. So there was, let's say, an extra contribution.
On the other hand, we used to have in this segment also some technological ventures such [indiscernible] and Symbio. Symbio, as you know, due to Stellantis' decision to withdraw from the hydrogen value chain has to bear some heavy restructuring cost in 2025. So it has negatively impacted. But when we look -- looking forward, this negative contributions are now over. We have -- we are still the Symbio shareholder, and we have a plan over the next 3 years. But the cost of the next 3-year Symbio turnaround plan is already embedded in our 2025 contribution from JV and Associates. So looking forward, we should have, let's say, the natural recurrent contribution of distribution, medical business and natural rubber value chain.
The next question is from Monica Bosio, Intesa Sanpaolo.
I have 3, if I may. The first one is on the price/mix for 2026. If I'm not wrong, for 2026, we should see mostly a mix effect rather than price. And if I'm right, which is the division do you expect the mix will be -- which division will benefit the most from the mix in 2026, if I can ask? And the second question is on the Truck business. I understand that the company is implementing actions to make the Truck Tires less related to the cycle. So considering this action, what do you see as a sustainable margins for this area? And very finally, the last question is on the SR3. Are you planning any specific action regarding the manufacturing loading rates in beyond tires? And if so, what could be once again a sustainable margins for this area?
So on the price/mix effect, you're right, it's mainly a mix effect, but the mix is composed of many different dimensions. You have the geographic mix, you have the division mix, you have the product mix, you have the segment mix. There are many mixes. So it's -- unfortunately, we don't have the time to go into the details of the type of mixes.
But yes, on the other one, the price should be -- it would be more a mix than price. But remember, we have a lot of index businesses and the raw materials started to go down, and there is a lag between -- in the index business, the lag time before we see the decrease in the cost and before it translates into the price. That's what you start to see in 2026. But we know that -- we know very well how to manage pricing, and we understand what are our input costs. So we will be very agile and adapt.
In SR2, we have done a lot of restructuring. We forgot to mention that we have -- most of the restructuring in SR2, especially industrial restructuring is behind us. And in 2025 has been affected by the Cholet closure specifically, that has -- a portion of the SR2 business has been heavily affected by that closure. This is behind us now.
So it's very easy. Yves has been very clear. In the down cycle, we want the margins of this business to be not destroying value and in upward cycle, creating value. That's where we -- that's how we want to drive the business. And when we look at Beyond-Road, the learning rates are low because of OE. And we know in this business, very cyclical business, when OE gets back, then we almost immediately fall into shortfall in back orders and we lack product because the ramp-up is going to be extremely steep. So what we are doing is we are flexing our industrial capacities right now. So that in terms of planning, we are creating -- we are very innovative in the way we can flex these plans so that we are less sensitive to the market fluctuation. But then we cannot give you more details on that.
The next question is from Stephen Benhamou, Bank of America.
I have 2 questions, please. The first one is on the road map. So can you please give us more detail regarding the magnitude of the raw mat tailwind that you anticipate for 2026? And what's the expected logistics and wages cost inflation that you also anticipate? And what's the phasing between H1 and H2? This is my first question.
My second question is about the share buyback program. Can you please confirm that you said that you're committed to a program of EUR 750 million this year? And what about the remaining potential portion of EUR 1.3 billion? Should we expect a balanced program between 2027 and 2028? And last question is about your potential new road map. When do you expect to present this new road map?
Okay. So I will take the last portion. Actually, it's 4 questions. But -- so very quickly, we have said it's up to EUR 2 billion in 3 years on share buyback. We have said we will launch EUR 750 million, and we will look where we are at in terms of cash generation, our balance sheet and our acquisitions. And then we will see.
On the new road map, the new road map, of course, we are finishing -- we have to finish 2026 and 2026 just started. And before we come back to you on the CMD to say, okay, what is our road map from 2027 up to 2030, and we will give you that road map at that time. And maybe on the 2 first questions.
Yes. So on the raw material, we estimate that we'll have a favorable effect around EUR 400 million in 2026 with a negative logistics and wage inflation in the range of EUR 220 million. Today, it's around EUR 180 million of wages, labor cost and around EUR 40 million in logistics. Don't forget that we'll have as well EUR 120 million of the 2026 effect of the North American tariffs that we hope to be able to transfer to the market, but we have seen 2025 has shown us that it's not always a long and peaceful journey.
Okay. I think we have to take the last question.
The last question is from Christoph Laskawi, Deutsche Bank.
Sorry for being relatively short term. So good you commented on a very negative Q1 in volume terms, down 10%. Given that you've essentially now repositioned in China, in Europe and the U.S., could you comment where you expect Q1 volumes roughly to be for the market? And if we should think about your performance be rather in line with the market or slightly different to that?
And then just second question, really on the PCS business. Do you see after the 3 transactions year-to-date, the business in a place where you want it to be? Or would there be further white spots that you seek to add?
So I would not comment on what our competitors are saying. That's down to their business. We do not see the same thing, and we expect to bring, especially the MICHELIN brand where it should be -- and where it has been and where it should be, and we have every signal that it should be the case. So our anticipation in the first quarter, we don't see the market being down 10%. So I will not comment further on this. And maybe on PCS?
And maybe inventories to complete the answer to the first question, inventories in distribution for our product is at a healthy level...
Everywhere.
In all segments.
For PCS, yes, we are constantly looking at potential opportunities. But as you know, as I explained, the deal can take up to 18 months or 2 years. So the teams are working on some deals. But to tell you when they will be finalized, I don't have a crystal ball because it depends as well of the willingness of the seller and of course, our ability to -- as well to well understand. I mentioned the question of the parental advantage to make sure that we have a real parental advantage. So that's why we take the time we need to make sure we are making sound decisions in terms of acquisitions.
Well, thank you. This concludes our call. Thank you very much for attending. See you soon.
Thank you. Bye-bye.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's Michelin conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Michelin — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Michelin — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: Gesamtumsatz −4,4% inkl. ForEx; Währungseffekt ~EUR 800 Mio.
- Volumen: −4,7% YoY (H1 −6,1%, H2 −3,4%).
- Segment‑Ergebnis: SOI EUR 2,9 Mrd (iso‑FX); inkl. ForEx ~EUR 2,7 Mrd (10,5% Marge).
- Free Cash Flow: EUR 2,1 Mrd vor M&A.
- Kapitalrückgabe: Dividende EUR 1,38/Share (57%); Aktienrückkauf bis EUR 2 Mrd (2026–28), EUR 750 Mio für 2026 vorgesehen.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Strategie 2030: Fokus auf "Michelin in Motion" mit zwei Säulen: Tires & Mobility sowie Polymer Composite Solutions (PCS) als Wachstums- und Diversifikationsmotor.
- PCS‑Priorität: PCS soll >15% OPM erreichen; pro‑forma 2025‑Umsatz nach Zukäufen ~EUR 1,7 Mrd; gezielte, selektive M&A mit Parental‑Advantage.
- Operative Hebel: SR2/Beyond‑Road: Kapazitätsanpassung, Local‑sourcing, Produktrenewal, Ausbau Services/Retreading zur Entkopplung von Zyklen.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- 2026‑Ziele: Steigerung des Segment Operating Income (iso‑Scope, iso‑ForEx ggü. 2025‑Perimeter); Free Cash Flow ≥ EUR 1,6 Mrd vor M&A.
- Annahmen: Wechselkurs ~USD 1,18/EUR; Rohstoff‑Tailwind ≈ EUR 400 Mio; Lohn+Logistik‑Headwind ≈ EUR 220 Mio; Tarif‑Effekt ≈ EUR 120 Mio.
- Marktprognose: Leicht rückläufig vs. 2025, Volumen: flach H1, leichte Erholung H2; Risiken: ForEx, Tarife, Kanal‑Inventare.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Kapitalallokation: Buyback EUR 750 Mio in 2026 (Teil des bis zu EUR 2 Mrd Programms); Zielgiring nach Deals <≈20%; Rating A bestätigt.
- Underlying EBIT: H2 war volatil (schwaches Q3, starkes Q4); Management benennt Einmal‑Effekte (Niederauslastung, Inventarbewegungen) und stützt 2026 auf Q4‑Momentum.
- PCS‑M&A: Drei NA‑Transaktionen (~EUR 450 Mio Umsatz) sollen PCS deutlich vergrössern; erwartete OPM ≥15% und Umsatz‑/Technologie‑Synergien.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Kurzfassung: Michelin zeigt starke Cash‑Generierung und eine aktive Kapitalrückgabe (Dividende stabil, umfangreicher Buyback). 2026 wird eine moderate operative Erholung angestrebt; langfristig de‑risked Wachstum durch PCS, kurzfristig Risiko aus ForEx, Tarifen und zyklischen OE‑Märkten.
Michelin — Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions, Q3 2025 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Oct 22, 2025
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon and good evening. As a CEO, I wanted to introduce this conference and stand in front of you at this challenging moment for Michelin.
On Monday last week, we issued a profit warning. It came late in the year and with unexpected magnitude. I fully recognize it. I owe you clarity to help you understand what led us to warn this way.
I won't elaborate much on the highly uncertain business context. You are fully aware of it. My purpose today is to share more of what is specific to us.
First thing, until we got September financial results, we were in line with our expectations. But September business took a hit and forced us to drastically adjust the year-end forecast.
What hit us had mostly to do with our North American business, which represents around 40% of our group sales. Two major causes. The first one, we decided to stop our operations with the largest tire wholesaler in the U.S. as of 1st of July. This decision led to important volumes missing in Q3 versus last year, as we have been redirecting sales flows to other wholesalers. This one-off transition period should be behind us by year-end.
Second, we lost market share due to the positioning of our offerings. We passed price increases at OE to restructure our margin and on replacement markets to offset cost inflators starting with raw materials first, then EUDR and then tariffs. This resulted in a decrease of our market share over Q3. For the replacement market, we took the lessons. We have already taken steps to regain these lost shares.
Now if we consider the current situation from a broader perspective, it results from a combination of our strategy being implemented and the context in which we operate. Our Michelin emotion 2030 strategy is being deployed. And I have no doubt that it will lead to substantial value creation for the company and for our shareholders.
Deploying our strategy leads to resolute decisions and actions, and I take full accountability for these decisions, even though some of them conflicted with the current context.
Let me give you a few examples. We exited several value-destroying market segments, which logically led to negative volume impact. In parallel, we restructured our pricing conditions with OEMs to reach a better balance. We have done it over the past 2.5 years, margin got restored and volumes got rebalanced as well.
Context-wise, these 2 key measures came at an unfortunate time because there are negative volume impact accumulated with the widespread drop of OE demand across industries passenger car, truck, agriculture and construction. This resulted in low-utilization rates for our plants and low absorption of our fixed cost, which negatively impacted our segment operating income.
Another example, we restructured and we are still restructuring our manufacturing footprint and global capacity to adjust to a transform competitive environment and to prepare for the future. We announced 12 activity closures in the past 2 years. This is a lot in a very short time, and it penalized our financials before we will get the benefits from now onwards.
Last example, we were resolute on passing through cost inflators to the market to properly value our technologies. In a market disturbed by overcapacity and low overall demand, this was detrimental to the competitiveness of our offers on the replacement market. These examples show how some strategy-led decisions have interfered with context.
Let's be clear, I have no regret in driving those changes as they are making Michelin stronger and prepare it for the upcoming demand when OE markets rebound and vehicle fleets are renewed.
On the operational front, our teams are reacting and fighting in this context with numerous successes to name just a couple. In Q3, specifically, besides North America, group tire sales have posted growth in volume. In China, we have been able to tune our positioning last year, and we will deliver double-digit growth in 2025.
Our group has solid fundamentals, remains highly profitable and generates significant cash flow. Our balance sheet is strong and provides us with independence and room for maneuver. Our cash generation in 2025 is sufficient and will allow us to complete our share buyback program.
As a conclusion, Michelin is emerging stronger from the current turmoil. We are looking ahead to 2026 with confidence. Thank you for your attention and your long-lasting support. I now hand over to Yves for details on our sales development and our outlook for the near term.
Thank you, Florent. Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. So I will drive you through our sales of the third quarter and, of course, the bridges related to our new full year guidance.
So regarding first the context, if we look at the selling market at the end of September, they posted a slight growth in the segment one, plus 2% in OE, plus 1% in replacement. We have already commented in the past that the replacement market was mostly driven by flow of imports before the implementation of tariffs as well as the flow of imports in Europe before the implementation of duties for anti-dumping that the European Commission is expecting to officialize by the end of the year.
During the Q3, we have seen more or less the same trend, a little bit more dynamic original equipment market. And regarding the replacement market, the selling was probably better in Europe, and it's clearly the import from China because it has been expected that the tariff following the anti-dumping measures will be implemented probably with a retroactive effect from 1st of October, and a negative minus 4% replacement market in the U.S., probably the consequence of the implementation of tariffs from the third quarter.
On the truck side, the market is still very negative in original equipment, minus 4%. You note that the European market is nearly flat. We recorded a slight recovery in Q3. When the North American market is still very negative at minus 20%, it was minus 24% for Q3 and even worse if we look at the Class 8 segment.
On the replacement side, the market is at plus 4%. Here also probably triggered by the growth of imported brands, both in Europe and North America.
As far as the specialties are concerned, the mining business is steady. The Beyond Road continued to show a negative trend in OE, particularly driven by agro and the North American agro market is partially impacted by the implementation of tariff for the import of soya in China from U.S.
Replacement market posted slight growth and the other markets, such aircraft and polymer composite solutions are growing slightly as well. So that translates in an overall decrease of our volume by 4.4% at the end of the 9 months, 2.3% coming from the currency and 2.1% from our activity, meaningless scope effect, volume minus 5.5%, price/mix plus 3.2% and equally shared between price and mix. An entire business, which contributed positively to our sales at the end of the 9 months.
Zooming now on the third quarter. So you observed that besides the currency, the trend is very similar with the 6 previous months. The currency effect is huge, minus 4%, mostly driven by the USD. And as far as the other elements are concerned, meaningless scope effect, minus 4.5% of volume. And Florent has commented it, it's, in fact, nearly minus 10% in North America and slightly growing volume in the rest of the world.
Price/mix is less favorable, plus 1% in mix, plus 0.5% in price. The mix effect is exacerbated by the regional mix effect as traditionally, our North American business posted a higher margin than the average of the group. And entire business contributed by 0.3 points at the group growth in the third quarter.
Now zooming on the volume. Here, you have the picture of the first 6 months on the left and third quarter on the right of that slide. As you can see, our volume dropped during Q3, mostly in North America. So it represents nearly 5-point of our volume lost during the quarter, mostly triggered in SR1 by the wholesale shift that was explained by Florent and in SR2 by the original equipment drop.
We are seeing as well a negative trend or negative outlook of fleets in the U.S. with the level of freight, and we are included in the deck, in the annexes slide with a trend of the freight. We are seeing the freight at a very low level in North America for the third quarter.
If I look at the rest of the world, so OE outside North America is at minus -- slightly minus 1% for the group, here mostly driven by the beyond-road activities and replacement post a positive without North America, positive volume thanks to our mining business, our aircraft business, 2-wheels and the China region.
So now zooming on the guidance for segment operating income for the full year. So versus our previous guidance, which was issued at the end of July, so we dropped the guidance from above EUR 3.4 billion to in between EUR 2.6 billion and EUR 3 billion.
Basically, and we provide here some range, which help you to understand why we have communicated on such a wide range at this stage of the year. We are still the unknown of what is going to happen in North America and on the truck original equipment, which is not only North America, it's Europe as well.
The Brazilian market has been heavily impacted by the 50% tariff implemented by U.S. and it's weight down on the overall economy and the volume of freight.
Regarding the mix -- price/mix, so we expect price to be slightly positive during the Q4, but the mix is impacted by the geographical mix as well by the implementation of the tariff -- sorry, and of the EURD.
Raw materials should have a positive effect, but we have less -- I mean, we have less unknown. Regarding the raw material, it's pretty consistent with the hypothesis we had at the end of July. And regarding operating performance, it will be impacted from the tariff, from raw material, cost of goods sold and as well as operating efficiency, because our factories are running with quite a low level of activity. Year-to-date, we were at around 74% for SR1, 72% for SR2, our agriculture tire factory are running below 50% and our construction and earth-mover around 73%. So its impact as well the efficiency of the factory, not only the fixed cost absorption. And there might be some upside on the SG&A side. That's why we have put a range between EUR 0 million and EUR 100 million.
Now looking at the bridge, what should be the bridge at the end of the year versus 2024. So most of the loss will come from the volume. And in the volume, we have, let's say, 2/3 of volumes and 1/3 of fixed cost absorptions. Price/mix should partially but not totally compensated the volume effect.
In the raw material, we have -- which is pretty consistent, again, with our previous expectations, we have around -- close to EUR 100 million of EUDR effect. In the operational performance, so in the -- in our supply, logistics and manufacturing costs, we had the impact of tariffs. We assume that for the -- let's say, since first quarter of 2025 till the end of the first half of 2026, we will have around EUR 500 million of additional tariff cash out, EUR 300 million should impact our P&L in 2025 and around EUR 200 million at the beginning in the first half of 2026.
And we expect the currency effect to be in the range of minus EUR 180 million, minus EUR 200 million at the end of the year with an average euro-dollar parity at 1.13. And here, again, to explain the range of SOI lending, we try to help you to clarify this lending.
On the volume side, our expectation today is to be at minus 3% during the fourth quarter. But depending on the evolution of the contractor, it can move between minus 1% and minus 5%. There is as well some volatility in the mix and a little bit on the prices. And we consider as well that there is some uncertainty on the operational performance and others. So clearly, there is some opportunities.
Our product plan, we have renewed a large part of our offer in truck tire this year. We have launched a few new iconic range in passenger car tire, the Primacy 5, new CrossClimate 3, the CrossClimate 3 Sport. So it's clearly an opportunity. Our dynamic in China as well as opportunity and we believe that we have room for improvement in the management of our SG&A as well.
On the other hand, tariffs are still an uncertainty. Till yesterday, we were not clear about a 25% duty on the truck that has been decided from 1st of November by the U.S. We did not know if it's included or not the part, and if it was included or not USMCA product. In fact, we have learned yesterday that it does not include USMCA product.
We have -- as well the trend of the original occupant market are still uncertainties. And we have the question mark on the risk side about the GDP evolution and the consumer behavior in North America. And the pace of recovery of the OE truck market in Europe, which is in Q4, slower than in Q3. So all of that give you this EUR 400 million range uncertainty.
If I look at the market on the Q4, here you have for each market, the 9 first months and our Q4 expectations. On SR1, we noticed on our side, a little late start of the winter season in Europe. And probably on the original equipment side, we will have a basis of comparison in China, which will be less favorable as the Chinese government started to implement incentive for acquisition of BEV and hybrid end of the third quarter 2025.
On the truck side, OE should still be very negative, particularly driven by North and South America. And the replacement side should be negative as the market -- the selling market, after the tariff implementation and potentially the implementation of -- after the tariff implementation in North America. On the specialty side, we don't notice a huge change in the market evolution versus the 9 first months.
So as mentioned, we updated our guidance for our segment operating income one week ago with probably less -- we're less pessimistic on the free cash flow than on the segment operating income because we are managing our CapEx in the lower range -- in the lower part of our range of CapEx for the year, which means around EUR 2 billion. And we are going to as well record positive contribution from our working capital, partially on the inventory side and the positive contribution of our joint venture, as it was already the case during the first half of the year.
Now looking for 2026. So of course, we will tune our guidance in February with the full 25% full-year disclosure. But we already know that we'll not be able to achieve our '26 ambition that was shared during the Capital Market Day to reach EUR 4.2 billion at 2023 ForEx and 14% operating margin.
What we already know regarding 2026, probably 2 negative impact the tariff that I mentioned, we should have an additional EUR 200 million and a negative impact on the price side, coming from the raw material closures adjustments. But on the other hand, we'll have some tailwinds, the raw material that will -- whose prices are further declining. The -- most of the restructuring savings should be achieved by the end of 2026. As at the time we are speaking, most of the announcement made has been concretely achieved. I mean that the factories have stopped operations, except the two last ones that we announced during the first half of this year. We shall see a further SG&A improvement and hopefully, a slight volume improvement at ISO market condition.
On the free cash flow front, we maintain our ambition to deliver EUR 5.5 billion of free cash flow over 3 years before acquisition, thanks to some effort on our CapEx, the continuous improvement of our inventory and our working capital. So in this context and following Florent's comments, confident in our cash generation will speed up our share buyback program with an additional EUR 400 million that we are going to implement by the end of this year.
So basically, that's all for the presentation, and I think we can now open the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Thomas Besson of Kepler Cheuvreux.
2. Question Answer
It's Thomas from Kepler Cheuvreux. I have a couple of questions, please. I mean you have just said that you're going to implement EUR 400 million incremental buyback. Could you update us on where you were -- I think you had launched a plan last February EUR 4 billion, down EUR 500 million last year, and you were supposed to do EUR 250 million this year. Do you therefore mean you're going to do EUR 250 million plus EUR 400 million or EUR 400 million on top of the EUR 250 million you had in mind?
And could you indicate whether we may assume as well that you will maintain dividend given the strength -- the confirmed strengths of your cash generation and also confirm asset disposals? So that's the first question on capital returns.
The second question really is about the relative lack of visibility you still seem to have and allowing us to better understand what drives your relative performance versus end market compared with some of your peers. So I mean, you gave us a very wide range at the end of October for Q4. And we have seen Michelin over the last 2, 3 years, showing almost consistently decent underperformance versus the end market in the SR1, for instance. In 2025, you seem to largely underperform in SR2. We've seen Continental issue a reverse warning while you were issuing a warning, with them having as well some exposure to the truck market, you mentioned as a key reason for your warning.
So my second question is basically, why don't you have more visibility? And could you help us understanding when we should expect Michelin to be closer to its end markets in its various segments?
So I will give you some elements to answer, and then Yves will complement. So as far as the dividend for the end of this year, we have a dividend policy, and we have no reason to change that dividend policy. And of course, this is a discussion we will have with our Board, and we will discuss the details early next year.
As far as the buyback, it's on top of what we have done already. And we had done around a little bit in excess of EUR 750 million and the EUR 400 million comes on top of that.
Now the underperformance of our competition, and you mentioned Continental, we have several leads to that. As I was explaining, we have been undertaking a heavy restructuring of our plants. That has weighed a lot in our results in 2025, especially in the segment 2, on the truck operations because we had to ramp down and ramp up some activities. Our competition didn't have to do the same thing.
The second restructuring we have done is our structural pricing at OE and especially in North America, where we were over-indexed in market share at -- with OEMs in North America, and our prices were not at the adequate level. So we have done what we had to do on price, but in a market that has reversed sharply certainly, it has created some issue, and we've lost share with those OEMs. Half of those share loss were expected and not wanted, but we were anticipating those, half were not expected.
I think we have adequate margins now at OE, and we just have to wait for the market to get back to a more normal level. And of course, the market share loss has been opportunities for our competition. Of course, now under what conditions they took them is down to them.
Now we are also in terms of business, we have a big activity in Beyond Road. Beyond Road, especially in agricultural, agricultural in North America is heavily depressed. And we have 2 activities now. We have trucks systems and trucks. And we have a high performing for high-power tractors in North America. Right now, this business is heavily depressed. I don't think our competition has the same exposure to that business. And for us, it is still an area of focus to restructure our go-to-market and what we do with this business. And especially the OE portion in ag is heavily depressed. So these are some elements to help you understand why we have seen this difference in performance versus our competition. And maybe if you want to add...
Maybe on the visibility, why it's not higher at the end of October for Q4?
I mean we have had so many surprises since the beginning of this year. So I prefer that we stay cautious on what we can expect. Maybe we'll have good news. Maybe we'll have bad news. I don't know. I mean, really, this year has been really intense in terms of surprises.
Yes, just an illustration, our South American operations were trending very well during the first, let say, 8 months. And then the decision of 50% implementation of tariff from U.S. have completely turned the market upside down.
So really -- yes, so I wish I would have the clever glasses from others that are able to predict what will happen in the Q4.
The next question is from Harry Martin of Bernstein.
I'll start with a question on the U.S. on the volume side. I mean, can you help us understand what the immediate production actions that you're taking and some of the plants like the Truck and Bus segment in the U.S., where original equipment production is set to be down double digits for many more months before getting better?
And then a related question to this is, should we expect that the SOI drops are on volumes this year should be slightly better than normal given that the declines in 2025, a focus in North America where cost flexibility is usually higher than somewhere like Europe.
And then the second question, just about the pricing in the U.S. I mean you have a long track record of pricing, cost inflation and Florent, as you mentioned, the ability to earn a price for your technology. So it's been surprising from the outside that it's been pricing stepping backwards in Q3. How much of this environment do you think is transitory around dealers buying those cheaper tires ahead of the tariffs coming in, overcapacity? And should we expect a full price pass-through that sort of roughly EUR 300 million of tariff costs in the medium term?
So some element of answers and I will leave the rest to Yves. So on the U.S. volume, we are a net importer of truck tires in the U.S. from various parts of the world. So in the low level of markets, what we are doing is we are loading better our plants in the U.S. But it takes a while to adjust the global flows so that we reduce the imports from other countries to load better our plants. We will have this effect -- we have better effect of this happening in the fourth quarter and going on in 2026.
So the U.S. volumes are heavily depressed because -- but it's -- we consider that as temporary because we think the OE truck product producers have built inventories in preparation of a new legislation, new regulation on engines in the U.S. That regulation has been postponed. So it means that the truck OEMs have excess inventories of trucks on the yard, and they have to approach that, but that is temporary. So that -- this is depressing further the volume, but we think it's not structural to the market.
Now when you assess the pricing environment and when you look at what is happening also in the market, when we look at how the market is assessed, it's based on sell-in activities and sell-in has been mainly driven by cheap imports from Asia into North America in anticipation of tariffs. So the market has been artificially inflated by this phenomena. It happened -- the same thing happened also in Europe and in other parts of the world.
So as far as the pricing environment, our price premium continues to be what it used to be. In the long run, either the entire industry accepts to drop their margins or that will go into the market. When it will happen, I don't know. We've tried our bit. And then on the drop-through and...
Yes, maybe on the drop-through, so Harry, you clearly see it very well the -- our North American operation has been much more impacted in Q3 than during the first 6 months. Accordingly, we have lowered the capacity utilization in the U.S., where we have the higher -- probably a higher fixed costs so the less fixed cost absorption. So that's why we are probably -- we have recorded a higher drop-through in this year. Conversely, when the market will rebound and we'll be able to reload our U.S. factory, it will have a positive effect on the drop-through.
The next question is from Akshat Kacker of JPMorgan.
Akshat from JPMorgan. I have 3 quick ones, please. The first one on the overall inventory situation in passenger car and trucks. I think you are frequently highlighted the high inventories of budget tires and anticipation of those anti-dumping or import duties in different regions. Could you just talk about how those overall inventory levels look like in these different markets? And how long do you think it could take to normalize that based on current sell-out trends? And if you still expect continued low fixed cost absorption and low-capacity utilization going into the first half of next year? Just trying to understand the overall inventory situation for your business.
The second question is on the underlying profitability in the second half of this year. And thanks for explaining all the negative surprises that you've had in the last months, specifically. So when I think about all the actions that you mentioned, you've talked about inventory management. You've talked about sequential price actions. You have talked about low fixed cost absorption. And I know it's very difficult to answer, but can you quantify the extent of one-off that you are seeing in the second half of this year, which should not carry into 2026, please? Those are the 2 questions.
As far as the quantification, I have my personal calculator on my left. So I will leave Yves to answer on this. So as far as inventories levels, if we look at our inventory level is adequate at Michelin brand, adequate to low level, so we are well placed. Unfortunately, inventory levels at the dealerships are at a high level, almost everywhere because of -- especially in the Americas and Europe, because of this phenomenon of the flow of budget tires in every categories.
So now how long it will take to purge? Several months. We don't know. It depends on the level of activity overall. So back to what Yves was mentioning, for example, if I look at the U.S. Right now, the tons to be hold in the U.S. is decreasing. So this is not helping to purge excess inventory. So we just have to wait for the economy to stabilize further and to be at a higher level.
If we look at South America, Yves mentioned it very well, it was -- the economy was growing nicely up until -- in our business as well was growing nicely up until the 1st of July, and then suddenly in July, a change in the tariff. And suddenly, the economy in South America is having more difficulties. So of course, it has rippling effect on the truck activity.
In passenger car, what we see is the overall mileage driven is steady on the world, slightly growing, but steady. What is the real phenomena on passenger car is the aging of the vehicle park, that is aging very fast. So how long these phenomenons -- those phenomenons are going to last? I don't know because we consider that what is happening right now is not normal. These are not normal market conditions.
And then on the underlying earnings and the quantification is pretty tricky.
Yes, it's very difficult to quantify what we can call one-offs because it's -- we are more facing a very volatile environment. We -- and as you have seen during the presentation, every element of the bridge have some -- of course, the volume wider and the COGS because of the tariff as well wider, but every element of the bridge had some element of uncertainties. So we are more trying to build up our forecast on risk and opportunities based on the central scenario.
And then it's very difficult today to decipher what we'll have. We know, for example, that there will be some element will have positive effect in 2026. I was mentioning the raw material cost.
On the other hand, we know that the tariff started during Q2 and Q3, implemented mostly starting from Q3. And so it will have a effect over the first half of 2026. And hopefully, at one stage, it will start to normalize, providing they will not be renegotiation of the USMCA agreement. So that's the world we are living in as of today.
Just as I was listening to Yves, something came to my mind is that, for example, if I look at truck, in 2025, especially in the first semester, we had to -- in the first 9 months, we had additional cost due to the restructuring of our plants. And we had the ramp down and ramping up. So this could be considered as a one-off. But since this summer, we know that we have to reshuffle some of our flows because of what is happening in the U.S. and in other parts of the world. So suddenly, those one-offs are going to be offset positive one-off. The benefit of restructuring is going to be offset by additional costs just to reshuffle our flows. So that's why it's tricky to answer more precisely on this.
And what we can say is on particularly on the truck side, we have rightsized our manufacturing set up, and it is now in condition to be able to better react to an uplift in volume, partially when the original market will start to rebound.
Just one quick clarification. Have you built in any bonus provision relief in the second half of the year within your guidance, please?
Yes. Yes.
The next question is from Monica Bosio of Intesa Sanpaolo.
I have three, if I may. The first one is on SR2. In the first half, the margins for SR2 set at 5.5%. We know that the company does not guide at the divisional level. But on the back of the fixed cost absorption, which I can imagine is very low, in H2, can we imagine an operating loss for the SR2 division in the second half of 2025? Or are you still confident on the back of the restructuring that the division could achieve the breakeven?
The second question is on the potential savings from restructuring. We should see another batch in the fourth quarter. But can you also provide us any indication for 2026?
And very last is on the Beyond Road tires. I know it's difficult to answer. The visibility is very poor. But what is your outlook for 2026 across the quarters? For example, could we expect that positive volume trend Beyond-Road tires already in the second quarter? Or do you see volumes turning positive only from the second part of 2026? Just your flavor.
Yes. So we do not anticipate at this stage operating losses in the second half of 2025 for SR2. We had, in the first semester, some restructuring cost plus low volume, but we don't anticipate that. And restructuring, of course, has helped. And as Yves mentioned, we have speed up some restructuring. So we'll have the benefit sooner in our bottom line. So seen from today, we do not anticipate operating losses in SR2.
Now I will answer on the Beyond Road. Beyond Road typically, so looking at this very interesting environment we are in. Because of certain change in the tariffs between U.S. and China, China has started to stop buying American soybeans. Unfortunately, American soybeans, they are very large farms using very heavy tractors, and they consume a lot of truck systems. So now would it last? I don't know. Will those farmers find other markets than China? I don't know. It depends on the relationship between U.S. and China.
Now unless something changes there, we don't foresee a rebound in the agricultural activities in the near term. So really -- and we are over-indexed in truck systems. We have a very high market share in truck systems. And the truck systems only work on heavy tractors, especially in the U.S. and same for some of our technical tires in agriculture.
So our -- so far, our discussions with our specialized teams on this tell us maybe in H2 2026, maybe, but really you see things are moving very fast, and we don't know. It's difficult to have a good visibility. But you're right, for Beyond Road, these are very important markets and very, very lucrative markets.
That's probably Beyond Road. For the overall SR3, taking into account the growth in aircraft and in mining, we should be at a flat volume very soon and growing volume probably in first half of 2026 because of the other activities.
As far as -- regarding your question, about restructuring, we have -- we expect full savings of EUR 200 million over 2025, of which at the end of September, we have already recorded EUR 120 million, EUR 130 million. So we should have a further EUR 70 million in Q4 and a little bit -- probably a little bit more than EUR 100 million additional full year 2026.
If I may just a quick follow-up on the North American activities. On the back of the scenario, are you planning any further restructuring in this case, in Beyond Road tires? Or are you just waiting and see what's going to happen?
We are reengineering heavily our business activities in the Beyond Road in general, and we will let you know when we have made a decision.
And we completed during the quarter, the sales of our bias tires and small trucks activity to the CEAT group.
The next question is from Martino De Ambroggi of Equita.
Three questions, focusing on free cash flow. You mentioned Yves, CapEx will go down. Could you remind us what is your best estimate for '25 and '26? This is the first.
And the second always on free cash flow, is the cash out for restructuring. If I remember correctly, you mentioned EUR 400 million in the previous call for '25. What could be your assumption for '26?
And the last question is on the pricing. So I know very well, you don't make any more specific comment on prices. But could you elaborate a general comment on what is the pricing at sector level considering the low volume environment? Is there any big change that you see in the landscape? Or everything is similar to what used to be in the past?
On pricing, we will make no comment on the -- even on the landscape or we have said what we had to say on prices. Maybe for the CapEx...
For the free cash flow. So the CapEx, we will land probably slightly above EUR 2 billion. You know that we have a range between EUR 2 billion and EUR 2.4 billion. We were nearly between EUR 2.1 billion and EUR 2.2 billion last year. So we are piloting at the lower part of the range. And it should be similar in 2026, given the context we are operating in. On the restructuring side, we are expecting -- the figure has not changed, the EUR 400 million for 2025 is still relevant. And for 2026, it should be lower, probably around EUR 300 million.
Okay. And networking capital, is there any specific trend we should be aware of?
No, networking capital, we have 2 -- I will comment on 2 aggregates. First, on the receivable, we have a slight negative effect of our mix in the U.S. because of the change of wholesaler and that impacts slightly negatively our term of payment. But overall -- if I look at the overall working capital, our inventory are going down because we -- it was something that we shared during the CMD last year. We have a plan to better manage our inventory looking at the full process from the forecast from the sales team up to the way we are managing our inventory in our warehouse as well and the way we deploy our inventory over a given territory. Having said that, the only downside we can have on the inventory side is the impact of the tariff in the cost -- in the inventory level in the price, which is slightly negative. But on the other hand, there is currently a decrease in raw material prices, which should lend to a decrease of inventory price as well.
The next question is from Michael Aspinall of Jefferies.
Can I just go back to SR1. You mentioned the competition you saw in SR1 in the report that it mainly affected Tier 2 tire brands. Can you just remind us what your split is to the Michelin and non-Michelin brands? And did you see the kind of same types of competition in -- at the Michelin brand? Or was it mostly in Tier 2?
In terms of volume, 85% of what we sell is Michelin brand in terms of volumes. The rest is mainly Tier 2 and a little bit of Tier 3. Tier 3 really very intense competition. So right now, for example, our Union Royal brand that plays in the bottom of Tier 2 and top of Tier 3 is imported from Indonesia or we export from Indonesia to the U.S. So we are looking at how we can adapt the flows. And that -- for example, that brand was sold through the wholesaler, mainly through the wholesaler, that we have decided to cancel. So of course, we have to rechannel that brand into other wholesale channels. And the competition in Tier 2 is intense.
In Tier 1, it's less -- the Tier 1 market is more stable, even though now there is a big push from the Tier 4, Tier 3, especially in the U.S., that is weighing a little bit on the Tier 1 proportion. But I think it's more short-term things and structural long term, I don't foresee a major change in that. However, in Europe, Europe had more Tier 1 proportion than Tier 2 and Tier 3. And now it's getting more into levels of what we see in other parts of the world.
Okay. And just the second one on the distribution model. It sounds like -- I mean, I think there was a question earlier as to how much or what kind of things we could think about as being one-off change in distribution sounds like something you probably won't do every year kind of going forward. Maybe you can kind of help us with how much the change in distribution impacted volumes in 3Q or 4Q or the year?
It's a main driver of the volume loss in SR1 in North America, and it's a one-off because we are not changing wholesaler every year.
It's every 20 years.
It's every 20, years, yes.
The next question is from Michael Foundoukidis of ODDO BHF.
A few questions left on my side. First, to come back on ATD, I mean, it was a move that was planned by you probably since at least a few quarters. So could you give us more color on what exactly went wrong? Was it more challenging to get dealers to switch from ATD to NTW? Is it something like that? So that's the first question.
Second question, I'm sorry to insist on Q4, but this uncertainty you're mentioning and you're referring to is probably affecting a lot of companies, especially in autos. We could have expected tires to be somewhat less impacted, even considering trucks or ag exposure. So I know it's a bit of an oversimplification, but based on full year guidance or even the implied H2, your SOI runs at around, let's say, EUR 200 million per month.
We have only 2 months left and you're talking about EUR 400 million uncertainty over Q4. So what does it mean for the last 2 months, maybe a view on October, which is almost done? That's the second question. And maybe last, could you clarify your views on M&A in this context. Any change in terms of mindset or not at all?
Okay. So on the first question on ATD, the decision has not been planned several quarters before. The situation with ATD has deteriorated when they went Chapter 11, and they did not notified us in advance on this. And after that, we have reassessed our relationship with ATD, and we came to the conclusion that we could not continue with this type of wholesale channel for -- to promote our Michelin brand. So yes, we have decided then, but it was really a decision that was made late in the first semester.
And then we discussed -- it was made by our U.S. teams that they said, we don't foresee how we could improve the situation with ATD. So we said, okay, if you want to make the decision, we will follow you, and they've made the decision. Then of course, that business has to be rechanneled through 2 other wholesaler mainly, it's NTW and U.S. Venture. With U.S. Venture, it's going according and with NTW, it's slower than what we were anticipating and expecting. But of course, it's a big flow to rechannel, so that's why -- but we think that movement will be over by the end of the year.
Now if I look at the M&A ambitions in this context, our strategy is clear. We -- there is an M&A portion in our strategy. But as I always say to succeed in an M&A transaction is we have to have a buyer. We are clearly a buyer. We have to have a seller and you have to agree on the price. And so far, we have not been able to have the 3 according to what I just said.
Now number two and then Yves will complement. We have been surprised by September. And what we have seen happening in our September results, we had started to see the tariff effect. We started to see a lot of input costs happening plus the pricing environment where we know we cannot pass the input cost. So we said, okay, now that was a surprise we had in the September results. That's why for the remainder of the year, we have said, we just have to relook at what we should expect.
Yes. And maybe to give a little bit more color on that question, Michael, so I refer to the Slide #8 of the presentation. Don't forget that October and November are among the 4 best months in terms of operating margin for the group with March and September. So we have this seasonality effect. You know that traditionally, we have a far better segment operating income in H2 than in H1 because we have September, October, November, that are very critical months. The September sales in themselves were not too bad versus what we expected and versus last year, but it comes with a margin deterioration explained by mostly North America -- only North America with the consequence in terms of fixed cost absorption and mix that we have been describing.
Very helpful. Maybe just one last one, I could sneak in. On the share buyback program, could you just clarify very precisely what is new from the, let's say, EUR 750 million that you have done already and the EUR 1 billion program that you had, if I'm not wrong, could you clarify if there's something new on that?
So we have announced in Feb 2024, EUR 1 million program over 3 years. We completed EUR 500 million last year. We completed EUR 265 million by mid-October or early October. It's the one that we announced in -- at the end of July, and we will complete it with an additional EUR 400 million by the end of the year.
So that's EUR 150 million incremental versus the EUR 1 billion, or it EUR 250 million plus EUR 400 million, still remaining?
Incremental versus the EUR 1 billion and within 2 years instead of 3 years.
The next question is from Christoph Laskawi of Deutsche Bank.
The first one, sorry to come back to that market share. You commented that you are basically trying to get market shares back. Could you just remind us on the main levels for that? Is it just a normalization of distribution? Or are you planning to use the raw material tailwind next year to reposition brands a bit versus competition? And then when could we expect that to materialize?
The second one just on the winter tires, you commented a relatively slow start to the winter tire season. Now PSF commented that they actually saw quite a decent start. Is that basically due to brand-specific inventory levels at dealers or any other points that you would highlight?
And then sorry for a clarification question also on the share buyback program because my line was bad when you just answered it. Did you say EUR 400 million incremental to the EUR 1 billion or just EUR 165 million incremental?
We just said -- okay, so I leave the math to -- so we will do EUR 400 million on top of what has been -- on top of what we have done already and we have done EUR 500 million next -- last year and EUR 265 million this year. So you add EUR 400 million to that, EUR 500 million plus EUR 265 million, plus EUR 400 million.
Now on the winter and Continental. Continental has outsmart us in the pre-winter stocking season. And they've taken the remaining available space from the huge influx of cheap imports from Asia. So we -- the winter is not over, and we are very well positioned because we have very good product. And so the winter is not over yet, but they have been better than us in the preseason of winter.
So now long-term regaining shares, we have launched really excellent product. Primacy 5 mentioned by Yves, CrossClimate 3 is excellent. CrossClimate Sport, CrossClimate 3 Sport is really defining a new category. So all of that will contribute to regaining some position in terms of shares. And those launches have just happened. So we just have to wait and CrossClimate is already showing very good signs in several sense.
Now of course, the pricing on replacement, I have been very clear, and we had to reposition our prices because we became less competitive in the market. We have started to do it, and it will have the effect that our price premium really doesn't change in the market. So we look at our competitiveness all the time. And I'm confident we will get back to normal levels. We have a very strong signal happening in China, where we have done this and it had paid very strong dividend, and we are back to growth in China.
As a follow-up to that. Maybe we highlighted pricing to be still slightly positive in Q4, I think. But since you now started to implement those repositioning measures that obviously would see a fading into 2016, right, also considering the comp base in '25?
The thing is moving so fast that you cannot say what will happen in 2026 at this stage. We'll see. And even in 2025, we'll see.
And we don't comment further future price decisions.
I think this was the last question. So thank you very much for attending. And thank you for your commitment.
Thank you very much. Have a nice evening.
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Michelin — Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions, Q3 2025 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Oct 22, 2025
Michelin — Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions, Q3 2025 Sales/ Trading Statement Call, Oct 22, 2025
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Volumen 9M: Umsatzvolumen rückläufig um rund 4,4% per Ende 9M; Währungseffekt und Absatz schwach.
- Q3-Entwicklung: Q3-Volumen außerhalb Nordamerika leicht rückläufig; Nordamerika ≈ −10% im Quartal, Währungseffekt Q3 ≈ −4% (USD).
- Price/Mix: Positiv, rund +3,2% YTD (Preis und Mix kompensieren Teile des Volumenrückgangs).
- Profitabilität: Segment Operating Income (SOI) Guidance gesenkt von >€3,4 Mrd. auf €2,6–3,0 Mrd.
- Cash & Kapital: CapEx gesteuert ≈ im unteren Bereich (~€2 Mrd.), zusätzliches Aktienrückkaufprogramm +€400 Mio.; FCF-Ziel €5,5 Mrd. über 3 Jahre.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Strategie: "Michelin emotion 2030" wird weiter umgesetzt; Management sieht langfristigen Wert trotz kurzfristiger Turbulenzen.
- Operative Maßnahmen: Neuausrichtung der Produktionskapazität (12 Schließungen letzte 2 Jahre) und Preisrekalibrierung bei OEM (Original Equipment) zur Margenwiederherstellung.
- Vertriebsentscheidung: Beendigung der Zusammenarbeit mit dem größten US-Wholesaler per 1. Juli verursachte volumenbedingten Einmaleffekt; Neuverteilung auf andere Händler läuft.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance: SOI-Erwartung für 2025 jetzt €2,6–3,0 Mrd.; große Unsicherheit vor allem in Nordamerika und Truck-OE.
- Risiken: Zusätzliche Zollkosten (Tarife) und EUDR-Effekte (~€100 Mio.) belasten; Yves nennt Gesamt-Tarif-Cash-out ~€500 Mio. (davon ~€300 Mio. P&L 2025, ~€200 Mio. H1 2026).
- Volumenprognose: Q4 zentralannahme −3% (Bandbreite −1% bis −5%); Währungsannahme USD/EUR ~1,13 mit ~−€180–200 Mio. Effekt.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Kapitalrückgabe: €400 Mio. zusätzlich zum bereits ausgeführten Rückkauf (aufgebaut aus vergangenen Tranchen); Dividende bleibt Board-Thema, keine Änderung angekündigt.
- Underperformance: Kritische Fragen zu Verlusten gegenüber Wettbewerbern — Management führt Restrukturierung, Preismaßnahmen und Beyond‑Road‑Exposure (Agri, Truck systems) als Hauptgründe an.
- Visibilität: Analysten forderten Klarheit zu Inventarüberhängen (Billigimporte), Timing der Normalisierung und der Einmaleffekte; Management bleibt vorsichtig und nennt mehrere Unsicherheitsfaktoren.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Kurzfristig belastet Michelin durch Distributionswechsel in den USA, Marktverschiebungen und Tarif‑/Währungseffekte; Guidance deutlich gesenkt. Mittelfristig bleibt die Strategie intakt, Bilanz und Cash-Generierung stützen zusätzliche Rückkäufe. Aktionäre sollten erhöhte Volatilität und Schlüsselindikatoren (Nordamerika‑Volumes, Tarif-Entwicklung, realisierte Einsparungen) beobachten.
Michelin — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Michelin conference call. I now hand over to Mr. Florent Menegaux, Chief Executive Officer; and Mr. Yves Chapot, General Manager and Group CFO. Gentlemen, please go ahead.
Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for joining us tonight for our semester results. In a highly volatile environment that I am sure everyone has noticed, I would like to emphasize the very solid profile of our group. What we can see on the slide is that we have a very engaged and agile teams. We have an 85% engagement rate in 2025, which puts us in a very good position in terms of engagement. We have the ability to cope with crisis quickly and to adapt. And we also have a very strong innovative background.
We have built over time, robust financials, a high level of profitability and cash generation and a strong balance sheet. All major agencies rating at A level with scope and Moody's reaffirming their notation a few weeks ago. Our local to local sourcing strategy pays dividend, especially in this time. 70% of our U.S. sales is produced in the U.S. and the same U.S. sales -- 90% of the same U.S. sales is USMCA compliant. Our business profile is very balanced, both in terms of destination markets and geographies, and this participates to our resilience in turbulent times.
We are evolving in a very challenging and unpredictable context. First, public regulations that are amounting appearing everywhere. We have duties, EUDR, taxes. And all in all, these new duties, taxes regulations have a negative impact of more than EUR 100 million on our group results in the first semester of 2025. ForEx as well, and I'm referring mainly to the U.S. euro -- U.S. dollar, euro exchange rate is evolving very quickly. And we started the year with a positive FX assumption for 2025. And now we see a negative impact with a euro appreciating sharply versus most currencies, especially the U.S. dollar.
We also have risk on global growth and the consequence of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Businesses hate uncertainties in the context, but we have taken actions to manage risk and to seize opportunities. We have adapted and stabilized our where to play. We have now exited from most of the least accretive areas and this adjustment is mostly behind us. We have a clear OE positioning, working with the right partners and other fair contractual conditions.
We have optimized our manufacturing footprint. We have done a lot over the past 2 years. 12 activity closures have been announced and we are pursuing with 2 announcements over the past quarter. We are starting to see the benefits of it both in terms of loading and in terms of financials. We also have a sharp steering mode in the short term, agility in adjusting our spending to the current context, both in OpEx and CapEx and in the medium term, we continue to invest in the drivers of our differentiation. I mean, two of them, one is digitalization and two is innovation. And thanks to our actions and despite numerous uncertainties, we are maintaining our financial ambitions for the year 2025. In the absence of any further deterioration in the economic environment in the second semester of 2025.
A lot of unexpected events will occur across the world and will affect the general economy and our markets in a positive or a negative way in the year to go. We have, and we are solid on our fundamentals and determine to leverage every opportunity. What you can see on the screen now is our performance in the 360 mode. As you are aware, at Michelin, we always look at the group's performance from a combined perspective, people, profit and planet.
On the people side, we have made strong improvement in terms of safety and also in terms of retention rate for employees with less than 2 years seniority. And you see the rate has improved. That shows the ability of our group to retain its new talents. In terms of profit, we have generated EUR 1.5 billion segment operating income which is a solid H1, if you consider the strong headwinds, and it is in line with our sequencing of our profit generation for the year with this year should be more back end loaded.
In terms of free cash flow, you see almost at the equilibrium. We have returned to a seasonal pattern of cash flow generation with a strong increase in capital -- working capital requirements in the first half of the year. In terms of planet, you see we have had a strong reduction in our CO2 emissions, minus 15%, mostly driven by our progress initiatives in that respect and it's across all our activities.
As a reminder, our climate-related ambitions have been validated by SBTI and second metric to emphasize our progress there is around water withdrawal. You see we have -- it has diminished by 11%. Thanks to the, again, the numerous actions taken into our plans. We have just obtained a AAA from the carbon disclosure project, CDP, rewarding our group's commitment towards climate change, water security and supplier engagement. And now I leave the floor for more details with Yves.
Good evening, ladies and gentlemen. So I'm going to drive you through our results for the semester and the guidance for the full year. So first, regarding the market. I just want to remind that when we speak about OE volumes, it's linked to the production of vehicles and the sales of tires to produce vehicles and the replacement volumes are the sell-in market, so the sales from manufacturers to distributors or the imports in a given country for nonlocal production.
So you see first that on the passenger car and light truck segment, we have a contracted picture between original equipment and replacement with a sharp drop of original equipment sales market in Europe and North America, plagued by consumer confidence, question about the pace of electrification in some countries, and of course, the impact of incentive on these electrifications. On the other hand, the market in China was pulled by incentive and by export and grew by 10%.
On the replacement market, the market grew by 3% overall, plus 5% in Europe, plus 2% in North America and 0 in China. In Europe and North America, we believe that the market is mostly pulled by anticipation in the inclusion of anti-dumping inquiry in Europe and the threat of strong tariff from -- partially from Asian countries in the U.S.
On the two-wheel market, the market now is at a pace which is quite current between sell-in and sell-out and the market grew steadily in the first semester. On the truck and bus market, you see as well that the original equipment market are down in Europe and North America. In truck and bus, we focus only on the regions where we have a significant market share. So basically, it's Europe and the Americas. In North America, the minus 19% is even worse if we look at Class 8 vehicles. So the widest, the biggest tractors. And it's mostly due to the accumulation of inventory by OEMs over the past 3 years, when at the same time, the new U.S. administration decided to postpone some environmental regulation that would have triggered anticipated purchase from the fleet.
And on top of that, in the current environmental context, the fleets are hesitating to invest in new vehicles because of the lack of visibility and uncertainty. So the market has been down already since June, July, August last year, and it has continued over the first semester. On the replacement market, I will probably do the same comment than on the passenger car. The market grew by 4%, but we observed very strong movement of imports, particularly in North America from Tier 3 brands from Asia, probably as well in anticipation of some tariffs over the countries of exportations.
Overall, when we look at distributors in both passenger care and truck tires, there seems to be a bit overstock looking at the budget brand. But looking at our own brands, we consider that we are at a healthy level, both in Europe and North America across both segments. On the specialty side, the picture has not considerably changed versus last year. We are still seeing mining replacement in Beyond Tires in aircraft growing at a steady pace. Mining and replacement tire -- replacement for Beyond Tires at, let's say, low single-digit pace. At the same time, the original equipment market for agriculture, infrastructure is still down. It's for probably the third semester in a row. And we believe that probably during the second half of the year will be at -- the market will have probably bottomed.
The composite polymer solution show overall stable evolutions over the semester. Now looking at the bridge of our sales. So first, you observed that the sales are down by -- down by 3.4% at current foreign exchange rate. Given the EUR 200 million, so 1.5 points of currency effect, the sales are down by 1.9% at ISO ForEx. So maybe before I detail the different element of the bridge, I would like to a preliminary statement. As European Union has opened an investigation into a statement as -- or answer to a question about pricing during public earnings calls, although limited to Europe, we will not comment on pricing matters. And we maintain that we have -- we are complying with the competition rules, and we are actively defending our case, but given the circumstance, we'll not detail, for example, the breakdown between price and mix and we'll not answer about detail about the pricing.
So the different elements, you see, of course, the volume effect, which is minus 6.1%. Basically, it's -- if you look overall at the group level, it's minus 18% for original equipment and minus 1.2% for replacement. You see that non-tire business are contributing positively, plus 0.2% at the group level. And we benefit from a strong price mix effect driven both by price. We benefit from the indexation clauses following 2024 raw material cost increase and mix both with the product, brand and market mix which is obviously positive due to the big difference between original equipment and replacement market evolutions.
Looking now at the evolution of our volumes and to give you a little bit more flavor about this volume evolution. So you see that overall original equipment accounts for 85% of the total volume decline, mainly in truck and agricultural market. When some targeted business segments are generating growth. So in original equipment, we are as well penalized for passenger car in RS1 by customer and vehicle mix, which is unfavorable versus the market.
On the replacement market, the MICHELIN brand is flat, and the loss of volume is mostly coming from other brands such as Corsa for example, in Indonesia or Uniroyal in the U.S. Looking at the second segment, so transportation. You observe a sharp drop of OE on heavy vehicle, particularly the Class 8, I mentioned in North America. When replacement sales are stable, and we observed that the MICHELIN brand is keeping a share of line in these segments..
And on the specialties, a strong drop in OE mostly triggered by agriculture infrastructure businesses. A drop in replacement, which is mostly coming from other brands, such as Camso brand, for example, when at the same time, Michelin replacement, for example, is growing in replacement, in agro as well as in mining and aviation.
Now moving to the to the bridge of the segment operating income. So at the end of the semester, our segment operating income at constant ForEx is at EUR 1.5 billion, representing 11.3% margin. We have nearly EUR 50 million of negative currency effect, mostly triggered by the evolution of the U.S. dollar during the second quarter. And looking at the other elements. So scope effect is not meaningful at that -- during the semester. The important volume effect is due at 2/3 by the margin effect driven by the volume, 1/3 due to an ability to absorb the fixed cost linked to this volume drop, which is penalizing of course, the level of capacity utilization in our factories.
The price mix represents nearly EUR 500 million. And looking now at raw materials and manufacturing and logistics. So in raw materials, you have mostly the effect of the increase of the raw materials during the second half of 2024, for example, the natural rubber, the butadiene stay at a pretty high level until basically the month of March, it has started to drop after the beginning of April. And in this EUR 240 million, you have nearly EUR 63 million, which is coming from the tariffs implemented in North America. When we look at the manufacturing and logistics costs, it includes nearly EUR 50 million linked to EUDR for the implementation, the premium we pay on natural rubber as although we have decided to implement according to the directive, the EUDR -- to purchase EUDR natural rubber, the European Parliament decided to postpone this regulation at the very end of the last year. And in this context, extremely difficult to recapitulate this cost to our customers.
And during the first semester, we had some positive effect of the start of some positive effect of the restructuration, but due to the fact that we are running at a lower capacity than planned, this effect is not fully visible yet in our P&L. You see that SG&A are well managed because EUR 23 million represents less than inflation just on the payroll and the SG&A and we observed a positive contribution of the non-tire business over the semester.
Now looking at the profitability across segments, they are -- it's not a surprise. The segment which is the most impacted by the drop in volume is mostly the second segment where volumes are dragged down by the original equipment market and sales, minus 9.3%. So consequently, it has a huge impact on the operating margin of this segment.
The first segment is showing stronger resilience, thanks to a very positive mix effect, both market and product and brand effect. And in the RS3, we land at 14.5%. So it's nearly EUR 100 million, more than EUR 100 million, less than last year. But with a very contrasted situation, strong drop in the Beyond Road profitability due to the original equipment effect and the same impact of factory capacity utilization, but with a growing contribution from mining and aircraft tires.
Looking now at the cash generation, we end the year with nearly 0 cash flow, minus EUR 100 million at the end of the semester -- sorry, it's semester not the year. Our EBITDA is globally in line 18.6%, nearly 19% with the level of the previous years. in percentage. Of course, penalized by volumes slightly impacted in absolute value.
We are now back to, let's say, the usual seasonality where our working capital is growing during the first semester in reality growing till the end of August and then decreasing during the last month of the year and particularly at the end of June 2025, we have in the EUR 1.2 billion increase in change in working capital. You have nearly EUR 260 million linked to inventories, which is shared between volumes, 2/3 and price 1/3. Accounts receivable also increased and here, there is a one-off effect, which is due to the change of our distribution scheme in North America.
At the end of last year, we were still working with ATD, but with a very constraint credit facilities. And when we decided to switch, to stop to work with ATD during the first half of this year, we are, of course, working with other customers that are benefiting from, let's say, better conditions. Other elements like CapEx or restructuring or taxes are quite consistent with the previous year. We just have to notice that in the JV and other financial asset valuations, we have nearly EUR 90 million, $100 million of dividends paid by of joint venture TBC following the disposal of the Midas franchise in North America.
At the end of June 2025, our debt has slightly decreased versus June 2024 to EUR 300 million. Of course, versus the end of the year, it has increased mostly because of the dividend paid at the end of May. And we have gearing at 22.2%. So slightly better than last year at the same period. And I will not further comment on the agency rating as Florent already explained, that we are -- we have four A ratings for our long-term debt by all the agencies.
So looking in order to try to give you some colors about the -- our guidance. We are in an unpredictable and extremely volatile environment. So when we look at the first segment, passenger car and light truck, we believe the overall year should land between minus 2% and plus 1%, with probably a slightly comparing H2 to H1 worst perspective on H2 than H1, mostly driven by the fact that, for example, in China, in the second half of last year, the government has started already to implement incentives. So the basis of comparison will not be as favorable as this year. So we believe that the market should be slightly down in H2 on OE.
On replacement, we expect the market to be overall flat, probably with less sales of less non-pool brand flows on one hand and as well a higher comparison basis in 2024, for example, in Europe, in 2024, we benefit from a relatively good winter season, which might not be necessarily the case in 2025.
As far as the truck and bus segment is concerned, we expect the market to slightly rebound in Europe, but we believe that the North American will still be -- OE sales will still be depressed over the second semester. And on the replacement, a little bit the same picture where the market stable versus the second half of last year. Specialty, no major change, at one stage, we believe that both agricultural and construction infrastructure, original equipment market will probably reach a bottom and we rather expect a rebound in 2026 of this market than in the second half of 2025.
Now before coming back to the guidance, I would like to share with you the fact that despite there is this hazardous those conditions, we are determined to fight and enhance our customer value proposition, thanks to several levers. The first one is obviously our product plan. We have major new product launch during 2025. I just took two examples here in the first segment, the new CrossClimate free which is initiating a new segment with a CrossClimate sport segment.
And in the transportation industry, the Michelin X LINE GRIP D which will give plus 20% of mileage and plus 20% of rolling resistance to the end user.
Looking now at volumes in mining, we are now starting to see our sales rebounding. So we expect the second half to be significantly above the first half of the year. And in Beyond Road as well, we are observing some segment of the market where sales should stabilize during the second half.
Now to give you some other perspective, our presence in China, we have been in China now for nearly 46 years commercially and nearly 30 years from a manufacturing standpoint. China represents roughly 6% of the group sales. We have 6,000 employees, 5 factories, including our polymer composite solution factories, and R&D center, which is here to serve the local market and particularly the local OEMs. And we are engineering premium -- first position in a premium tire market share, both in OE and RT on the first segment.
The MICHELIN brand in China, a very strong awareness, 89%, nearly the level we have in some Western European countries. And our sales are supported by a strong franchise program, Tires Plus with 1700 service centers across the country. We have as well a very strong position with leading domestic OEMs that we serve in China, Geely, BYD, SAIC, Xiaomi, NIO, Xiaopeng, Li Auto and more as well.
In terms of innovation and ability of the group to offer the best compromise of performance versus our competitors, I would like to come back on the last publication from ADAC. ADAC summarized in the last June, all the studies they have done in entire operation since 2022. And looking at real usage with convoy of vehicles across a very large number of dimensions. Michelin stands far ahead of its premium competitors in terms of abrasion. So quantity of particle emitted for 1,000 kilometer. So we are, in average, 27% better than our premium competitors and 18% better than the first of these premium competitors. And the ADAC mentioned that Michelin continue to offer by far the lowest abrasion rate, where at the same time, we offer the best balance of performance when you look at energy efficiency, mileage, safety, handling capabilities and noise.
Last, in composite polymer solutions, as you know, we have acquired in the recent year different activities, generally exposed to different markets than the automotive. And I just want to share with you two examples where our research and development capabilities allow these companies to accelerate their synergy for their mission-critical applications. And for example, the gangway below, so for trains or metro Michelin technology, enhance the durability, the tear and UV resistance and the sound proofing of the vehicles.
And in another application, which is linked to expansion tanks for energy supply, we are able to improve the continuity and the security of the product and avoid any contamination -- product contamination. thanks to the materials that we introduced in these products. So that's another element, which gives us confidence in our ability to further grow in these business segments.
So now looking to the full year, as Florent mentioned, we are in a very erratic environment, both from the tariff, the overall economic perspective and the foreign exchange rate. So we have in the absence of any further deterioration in this economic environment during the second half of the year, our outlook for the full year remains unchanged with segment operating income above the one of 2024 at ISO ForEx and the free cash flow above EUR 1.7 billion before M&A, but at current ForEx.
And in this context, we are going to pursue and to implement from the first of August the second tranche of our share buyback program to be completed by the end of the year with a program of EUR 250 million which is consistent with the announcement we made in February '24 with a EUR 1 billion share buyback over 3 years.
Thank you very much for your attention. And I think now we can move to the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] First question is from Harry Martin of Bernstein.
2. Question Answer
So the first one, just on the full year guidance. So the H1 EBIT decline was EUR 282 million. You're still maintaining the guide for flat EBIT for the full year. So you need to reverse that decline with around 18% year-on-year growth in EBIT in H2. So how can we get comfortable with that, given there's limited volume growth in the second half? Would you be able to lay out some of the largest buckets within that step up in the second half?
And then the second question, a strategic one on the truck and bus segment. just with some of the performance this year. I mean this segment is margin dilutive versus the average in any year, not just a tough year. It's more cyclical seemingly more exposed to Chinese competition. And so my question really is, what are the reasons to stay in that segment at all? What are the parts that are still attractive even when you get these tough years as well.
So two elements to understand. First, the normal seasonality of the market is that the second semester is more weighted versus the first semester in terms of -- because vehicles are equipping themselves for the winter season, especially in the B2B area. So it means that normally, it's logical that we have more volume and margins in the second semester versus the first semester. Then we mentioned the fact that we have made a lot of restructuring, and those restructuring will pay dividend in the second semester. You have -- for example, we have also advanced some closures. So you will see the full benefit of that in the second semester.
And as Yves mentioned, we have made the assumption seen from where we are today with all the reasons I have mentioned. The profitability in the second semester should be much better than what it is in the first semester. However, there are many hypothesis that could change because of the environment. So we have made hypothesis on tariffs. We have made hypothesis on many things. But of course, in the second semester, that for external reasons, we may be impacted. But today, we don't know.
Now as far as the truck business, the fundamental of the truck business now are found. We have made the restructuring. I'm sure you've noticed, over the past 2 years, we have address the excess capacity we had. And we have also streamlined the markets where we were selling. Of course, it has weighed on our volumes. However, we think now we are in the appropriate conditions. Now we have a cyclicality in this business, especially in OE that is today hampering our the profitability in that segment. but we think it's exceptional.
The Yves mentioned, the truck OEMs have built inventory of trucks over the past few years in anticipation of the regulation that was postponed at the last minute. So now we are dealing with an excess inventory of trucks, but we have -- all the reasons in the North America. We were expecting things to improve by the second semester. It would probably be in the first semester of 2026. However, we see in Europe the OEM truck are getting better. So that's what we anticipate.
And on replacement, all what we have done is paying dividends. So the profitability should improve in the second semester. And structurally, will improve because we have made this restructuring of our assets of production. So for those reasons, and also figure that in the second semester, we will have less issues in terms of fixed cost absorption than we had in the first semester. So for all these reasons, this is what we are doing.
Now we cannot divest rom the truck business because we share the semi-finished product. We have dedicated plants for especially mixing for truck, and it will be very difficult to separate them from the passenger car activities.
And if I may, there is another element of comfort, which is the fact that during the first half of the year, we have a minus EUR 240 million effect on raw material that should be nearly neutral on the second half as the raw material prices has started to drop in April, and it should lead to a very positive effect in the last 4 months or last quarter of the year.
The next question is from Akshat Kacker of JPMorgan.
A couple of questions, please. The first one on the volume development in the business. Could you please share your current outlook for the full year that supports your full year earnings view as of today, do you still expect volumes in the full year to be down 2% to 3%? Or should we be thinking about a more negative number? And within that volume outlook, could you confirm that within passenger cars, on the replacement side of the business, do you expect to be in line with the market in the second half? Or do you expect to underperform in the second half, please? .
The second question is on tariffs and your strategy in response to those status. Could you just tell us and give us some more details on how tariffs have impacted the business from a cost perspective in the first half of the year and if you have changed your pricing strategy in any of your business segments going in the second half, please?
So I will leave on tariff Yves to give you more details about what we're doing, except on pricing because we will not make any comments on pricing. On the volume outlook, we anticipate that the -- especially the big selling that happened in Tier 3 product across all regions will stop in the second semester, which should have a positive effect for us. Now we have shown that we have also exceptional products that have been launched, CrossClimate 3, Primacy 5, CrossClimate Sport. Those are really market-defining products that should have a positive impact on our volume. So we anticipate globally that our volume should be steady versus the second semester of last year. That's the hypothesis we've made. And on tariff?
Yes, in which this hypothesis lead to nearly minus 3% over the year, given the performance of the first semester. On the tariff, the impact of the tariff during the first half was in terms of cash plus minus EUR 125 million. And in terms of P&L, minus EUR 63 million or EUR 64 million. Why I make the distinction because some of these tariffs are still in our inventory and will be booked in the P&L when we will sell the related product. Our expectation -- so I will not comment on the strategy, but our expectation at -- with the knowledge of the moment, is that the full year effect of the tariff on our P&L should be around EUR 200 million. So basically 1/3 in H1, 2/3 in H2.
Based on what we know today?
Based on the knowledge we had, let's say, yesterday morning.
Next question is from Martino De Ambroggi of Equita.
The first question is on free cash flow because you mentioned that the guidance remains with the current ForEx. So I was wondering if there is any ForEx translation benefit on this guidance and the other components, the main components for the free cash flow in terms of working capital. If you can remind us CapEx for the full year? And if there is any restructuring cash out to be taken into account in the current full year guidance?
And the second is on tariffs because you just mentioned EUR 200 million impact for tariffs. So excluding ForEx, does it mean that you would be able to offset this EUR 200 million since you are confirming the guidance or I'm missing something.
On pricing, we will not make comments. So you will have to make your own hypothesis. And on restructuring in 2025, we will have an impact in EBIT of the full benefit of the restructuring of around EUR 200 million in the P&L and in cash, the cash out will be around EUR 400 million cash out. And then Yves on the details of [indiscernible].
For the free cash flow. First, the FX has a rather negative impact as the dollar we are overall long in dollar in USD as the U.S. represents 30% of the group sales. Therefore, it means that our revenue and our profit in dollar and the cash generated in dollar is negatively impacted by the evolution of the dollar versus our functional currency, which is the euro. So cost restructuration, so Florent mentioned, it's minus EUR 400 million on the on the full year on the free cash flow.
And in terms of working capital, overall, we have probably at the end of the year. So as I mentioned already, it's between November and January, the moment of the year where we have the lowest working capital because our winter sales, we have a strong seasonality of sales between September and October, August and November, I would say. Therefore, inventories are at the lowest level and most of the accounts receivable of the peak of our sales have been paid by our customers.
The only effect that we will have, which is slightly negative on the overall free cash flow this year is due to what I mentioned during the presentation is the fact that we reorganized ourselves in the first segment in North America, in the U.S. with the vision to stop to work with ATD and to redirect the volume to U.S. Venture and NTW, which are benefiting from, I would say, normal payment term when ATD being under Chapter 11 during the second half of 2024 was managed differently.
Okay. In CapEx?
CapEx will be In the same range or slightly below than last year, but very similar than last year. In the CapEx in contrary, there will be a positive effect on the FX due to the fact that part of our CapEx are spent in dollar-based countries.
The next question is from Monica Bosio of Intesa Sanpaolo.
The first one is on the truck business. I understood that the second part should be much better in terms of margins. those volumes, hopefully, at least for Europe. But I'm still wondering, are you still confident in achieving a sustainable margin of 10% in this division which was your indication at the Capital Market Day. And I'm wondering the restructuring actions should bring EUR 200 million of net positive impact or EUR 120 million. Just a clarification.
And my second question is on the segment operating income. In the first half, the company had negative impact from manufacturing and logistics of roughly EUR 175 million. Can you give us a rough indication by year-end. And if I may, a follow-up. Considering the current environment, do you see opportunities for M&A in the non-tire business? And if yes, any color would be really appreciated.
So on the -- our forecast for truck, yes, but we have shown during our Capital Market Day. This is what we are shooting for. Now what I was explaining is that the current environment is truly exceptional, especially at OE in truck business and based on what we know today, we think second semester will improve, but also in 2026, it will improve sharply. Now your question gives me the opportunity to remind you as well that I forgot to mention that in the second semester -- in the first semester of this year, we have incurred also dysfunctioning in terms of industrial costs because of the restructuring because we had to make movements, we had to industrialize, we had ramp down, et cetera. And the fact that the plants that are especially in truck will be closed earlier, will have a bigger benefit in the second semester, and it will benefit mainly truck because that's where truck has been -- that's where we have focused most of our restructuring.
Apart from that, on the M&A opportunities, and then I will leave the industry to Yves. On the M&A, Michelin, to deploy strategy has an M&A chapter, but of course, I cannot tell you where we are. And of course, the current environment in every turbulent environment, there are opportunities. However, I remind always everyone, the fact that in order for a transaction to happen, you have to have a buyer. Michelin is a potential buyer, you have to have a seller. And that's not obvious and not evident every time. And that -- and then we have to agree on the price. And that's even more challenging. So we will see.
The negative impact of EUR 175 million on the manufacturing and sourcing logistics should be nearly slightly positive on the second half of the year as -- because it's due to the fact that in the second half of the year, we should start to see more the benefits of the reorganization of our manufacturing footprint. And we should have mechanically a better capacity utilization than on the first half. Of course, it's conditioned to the fact that there is no worsening in the overall economical environment. It's based on what we know today.
Okay. Just a clarification on the positive impact from the restructuring in the second part could be quantified in EUR 200 million or EUR 120 million? Sorry, I didn't get it. .
EUR 200 million for the year. For the full year.
And it's not only for a certain range, it's for all the business segment.
The next question comes from Thomas Besson of Kepler Cheuvreux.
I will ask two questions, please. The first is on cash returns. I think you confirming you're going to generate EUR 1.7 billion of free cash flow. You have 4 A ratings, and it's difficult to see M&A in a turbulent environment. So why not go straight to EUR 500 million share buyback in the second half with your share price lagging rather than talking about just doing EUR 250 million? That would be the first question.
The second question is on the expected development of your SR1 volumes versus the market. You've lagged your main competitors in the last 18 months. Your performance improved clearly in Q2 versus Q1. Do you assume that Michelin's SR1 performance is going to be closer to the market in H2? Or should we still expect you to be 1 or 2 points below the market.
So in -- on the SR1, on the share question, you had -- we measure market share on sell-in, meaning that tires sold by manufacturers to the retail or the wholesale distribution.You had a very heavy loading of Tier 3 brands, Tier 3, Tier 4 brands all across the world, very heavy loading. We anticipate that this heavy loading will stop in the second semester, which means that then suddenly, the market vision of the share will change because of that. And we have a very good product that have been just announced and launched between -- in the first semester and especially that they will affect the winter market. So we anticipate in the second semester to return to more normal view of our share.
We are not really concerned by the share losses we have, especially at MICHELIN brand things are, I would say, normal. OE is different. We have a vehicle mix -- customer mix slightly different? And also, your question gives me the opportunity to tell you that in China, we had some issues to fix some of the problems we had in terms of positioning and what we were doing also on replacement market in China, that is over. We now are back to a good growth mode in China. And as far as the cash back. Based on what we know today, we think it's EUR 250 million is the right number. And of course, if things change towards the second semester, then we will take into consideration your remark about our balance sheet.
The next question is from Stephen Benhamou of BNP Paribas Exane.
Yes. I just have one remining question. It's about the guidance because I'm not sure how to reconcile the confirmed SOI guidance and the EUR 100 million adjustment to provisions for bonuses. That would suggest in my view, a bonus cut as full year objective won't be achieved. So can you please help us to understand the mechanics between this positive adjustment and the confirmed guidance.
Very simple. We do -- the bonus is not triggered on the guidance. We have management bonuses that have objectives, and we know that we will not reach those objectives because of what we have done in the first semester. The objectives are well above the guidance. So that's why you may see a difference in -- but you cannot interpret the fact that you have that, and that doesn't give you a flavor on our ability to reach the guidance.
So just if management benefits are not based on the guidance, so they are based on, I guess, long-term objectives. So can you please just elaborate a little bit more on how we should look at this other line in the EBIT bridge for H2?.
We have management objectives, not only we have them on a long-term basis, but also on a yearly basis, and we fixed those objectives for the year, managerially and those objectives are above -- well above the guidance. The guidance is something we do -- we commit to the market that is different from what we expect out of the management.
Understood. So what we should expect for H2? .
In terms of bonus, we have made the adjustment on the bonus that we needed to make.
The final question is from Christoph Laskawi of Deutsche Bank.
Actually, just one clarification left. On M&A, you said there's nothing obvious right now, but I think a couple of assets are coming to the market by next year. So if there's a right asset, would you be willing to do larger transactions as well? Or is it something that you currently wouldn't consider? .
What do you mean by larger?
A couple of billion theoretically. In purchasing price? .
Sorry, what do you mean by large transactions?
Large transactions in the sense that you would be willing to pay a couple of billions for one deal? Or is that too big to even consider at the current state of the market? .
We will not -- I don't think we want to enter into this level of detail from the M&A. M&A operations are rather confidential. So we have -- you can do EUR 2 billion in one transaction, but you can do it in three transactions of EUR 700 million. So -- in fact, we have been clear about where we want to grow. It's mostly in the composite polymer solutions. It has been shared with you during the Capital Market Day last year. We have as well very strong and demanding criteria from a financial standpoint, which linked to Florent's previous comment about the price. So it's not really the size of the transaction, which matter. It is a transaction. Are we better apparent for the acquired activities and are we able to grow it and to create value with these acquisitions. It's not a question of the size of the transaction.
Gentlemen, there are no more questions at this time. May I hand it back over to you for any closing remarks.
Well, thank you very much. I just want to remind everyone that our group fundamentals are very solid. And the external environment is less solid than Michelin. So thank you very much.
Thank you very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's Michelin conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
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Michelin — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Michelin — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: -3,4% bei aktuellen Wechselkursen; -1,9% bei konstanten Wechselkursen (Iso ForEx).
- Volumen: Gesamt -6,1% (OE -18%, Replacement -1,2%).
- Segment-EBIT: EUR 1,5 Mrd., Margin 11,3% (H1).
- EBITDA: ~18,6–19% in Prozent, nahe Vorjahr.
- Cash & Verschuldung: Operativer Cashflow halbjahresweise ~-EUR 100 Mio; Nettoverschuldung rund EUR 300 Mio; Gearing 22,2%.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Resilienz: Betonung auf starkem Engagement (85% in 2025), lokaler Produktion (70% US‑Sales lokal) und A‑Ratings als Stabilitätsanker.
- Restrukturierung: 12 Schließungen + weitere Maßnahmen sollen Kapazitätsauslastung und Margen in H2 verbessern; voller P&L‑Nutzen für 2025 erwartet ~EUR 200 Mio.
- Nachhaltigkeit & Innovation: CO2 -15%, SBTi‑Validierung, AAA bei CDP; weiter Investitionen in Digitalisierung und F&E.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance: Segment-EBIT über 2024 bei konstanten Wechselkursen (Iso ForEx); Free Cash Flow >EUR 1,7 Mrd. vor M&A bei aktuellen FX.
- Annahmen: Keine weitere Verschlechterung der makro‑/Regulierungsbedingungen; Rohstoffpreise sollen H2 entlasten.
- Risiken: Tarifkosten (P&L‑Effekt 2025 ~EUR 200 Mio), negativer FX‑Effekt und regulatorische Belastungen (EUDR, Abgaben).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- H2‑Erholung: Kernfrage: Wie wird das H1‑EBIT‑Gap aufgeholt? Management verweist auf saisonales H2, Restrukturierungshebel und rückläufige Rohstoffkosten.
- Truck‑Segment: Kritik an Zyklizität; Management hält an Segment fest wegen Produktionsverflechtungen und erwartet strukturelle Besserung 2026.
- Tarife & Pricing: Tarife kosteten H1 cash ~EUR 125 Mio (P&L ~EUR 63–64 Mio); Management nennt vollen P&L‑Effekt ~EUR 200 Mio, kommentiert Preise wegen laufender EU‑Untersuchung nicht.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Michelin präsentiert solide Grundlagen und behält die Jahresziele bei, setzt aber stark auf eine H2‑Erholung (Saison, Restrukturierung, Rohstoffe). Hauptgefahren bleiben Tarife, FX und regulatorische Unsicherheiten; Anleger sollten H2‑Marge, FCF‑Realisierung und Tarif‑/Preiswirkung genau beobachten.
Finanzdaten von Michelin
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Premium
| Dez '25 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 25.992 25.992 |
4 %
4 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 18.973 18.973 |
2 %
2 %
73 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 7.019 7.019 |
9 %
9 %
27 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 3.441 3.441 |
2 %
2 %
13 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | 788 788 |
0 %
0 %
3 %
|
|
| EBITDA | 2.717 2.717 |
17 %
17 %
10 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 93 93 |
9 %
9 %
0 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 2.624 2.624 |
18 %
18 %
10 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 1.665 1.665 |
12 %
12 %
6 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen EUR.
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Firmenprofil
Die Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin SCA beschäftigt sich mit der Herstellung, dem Vertrieb und dem Verkauf von Reifen. Zu ihren Produkten und Dienstleistungen gehören Reifen, Mobilitätsdienstleistungen, Lifestyle-Produkte, Michelin-Lösungen und Michelin-Technik und -Dienstleistungen. Das Unternehmen ist in den folgenden Segmenten tätig: PKW- und Leicht-LKW-Reifen und damit verbundener Vertrieb, LKW-Reifen und damit verbundener Vertrieb sowie Spezialgeschäfte. Die Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin wurde am 15. Juli 1863 von Aristide Barbier und Édouard Daubrée gegründet und hat ihren Hauptsitz in Clermont-Ferrand, Frankreich.
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| Hauptsitz | Frankreich |
| CEO | Mr. Menegaux |
| Mitarbeiter | 115.800 |
| Gegründet | 1863 |
| Webseite | www.michelin.fr |


