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Kennzahlen
📘 Marktkapitalisierung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Marktkapitalisierung zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen laut Börse aktuell wert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft Unternehmen in Größenklassen (Large, Mid, Small Cap) einzuordnen und gibt Hinweise auf Marktmacht und Stabilität.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Große Unternehmen gelten als stabiler, zahlen oft Dividenden, wachsen aber langsamer.
- Kleine Firmen können stärker wachsen, sind aber schwankungsanfälliger.
- Die Marktkapitalisierung ist ein guter Indikator für Unternehmensgröße, aber kein Maß für Unter- oder Überbewertung.
📘 Enterprise Value (Unternehmenswert)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Enterprise Value (EV) zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich kostet, wenn man es komplett übernehmen würde – inklusive Schulden und abzüglich Cash.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
(= Marktkapitalisierung + Nettoverschuldung)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der EV ist eine realistischere Bewertungsbasis als die Marktkapitalisierung, da er die Kapitalstruktur berücksichtigt. Er ist Grundlage für Kennzahlen wie EV/FCF oder EV/Sales.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Der Enterprise Value zeigt, was ein Unternehmen tatsächlich wert ist – unabhängig davon, wie es finanziert ist.
- Er ist besonders wichtig für professionelle Investoren, da er eine objektivere Grundlage für Bewertungsvergleiche bietet als die Marktkapitalisierung allein.
- Ein Unternehmen mit hoher Verschuldung erscheint im EV teurer, eines mit viel Cash günstiger – auch wenn sie an der Börse gleich viel wert sind.
📘 Nettoverschuldung
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettoverschuldung zeigt, wie viele Schulden nach Abzug des verfügbaren Cashs tatsächlich verbleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen von Fremdkapital abhängig ist – und wie gut es in der Lage ist, seine Schulden kurzfristig zu bedienen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige oder negative Nettoverschuldung bedeutet hohe finanzielle Stabilität.
- Unternehmen mit viel Cash und geringer Verschuldung sind besser gerüstet für Krisen.
- Eine hohe Nettoverschuldung erhöht das Risiko – besonders bei steigenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
📘 Cash
📈 Was ist das?
Der Cashbestand zeigt, wie viele liquide Mittel einem Unternehmen sofort zur Verfügung stehen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Er gibt Auskunft über die finanzielle Flexibilität: Ein hoher Cashbestand ermöglicht Investitionen, Rückkäufe oder Krisenresistenz.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Cashbestand zeigt finanzielle Stärke und Handlungsspielraum.
- Cash kann für Investitionen, Schuldentilgung oder Aktienrückkäufe genutzt werden.
- Allerdings: Zu viel ungenutztes Kapital kann auch auf mangelnde Investitionsideen hinweisen.
📘 Anzahl ausstehender Aktien
📈 Was ist das?
Die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien gibt an, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell im Umlauf sind und von Investoren gehalten werden.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die Grundlage für viele Kennzahlen wie Gewinn je Aktie (EPS), Marktkapitalisierung oder KGV.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Je weniger Aktien im Umlauf sind, desto höher fällt z. B. der Gewinn je Aktie aus – wichtig für Bewertung und Dividendenrendite.
- Aktienrückkäufe verringern die Anzahl ausstehender Aktien – und steigern den Wert je Aktie.
- Kapitalerhöhungen haben den gegenteiligen Effekt: mehr Aktien → Verwässerung der bestehenden Anteile.
📘 Kurs-Gewinn-Verhältnis (KGV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KGV zeigt, wie oft der Gewinn pro Aktie im aktuellen Aktienkurs enthalten ist – also wie „teuer“ eine Aktie im Verhältnis zum Gewinn ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KGV gehört zu den bekanntesten Bewertungskennzahlen. Es hilft Anlegern einzuschätzen, ob eine Aktie im Vergleich zu ihrem Gewinn eher günstig oder teuer erscheint.
🧮 Berechnung
📊 KGV (TTM) = bezogen auf den Gewinn der letzten 12 Monate (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KGV kann auf eine günstige Bewertung hindeuten – oder auf Probleme im Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein hohes KGV kann Wachstumserwartungen widerspiegeln – oder eine überbewertete Aktie.
📘 Kurs-Umsatz-Verhältnis (KUV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KUV zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen – unabhängig vom Gewinn.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KUV ist besonders bei wachstumsstarken oder noch nicht profitablen Unternehmen hilfreich. Es zeigt, wie hoch der Umsatz an der Börse bewertet wird.
🧮 Berechnung
Marktkapitalisierung = 32,40 Mrd. € | Umsatz (TTM) = 21,46 Mrd. €
Marktkapitalisierung = 32,40 Mrd. € | Umsatz erwartet = 22,48 Mrd. €
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges KUV kann auf Unterbewertung hindeuten – oder auf schwache Margen.
- Ein hohes KUV kann hohe Erwartungen widerspiegeln – oder übermäßigen Optimismus.
- Besonders sinnvoll bei Wachstumsunternehmen, bei denen der Gewinn oder Free Cashflow (noch) keine Aussagekraft hat.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Umsatz (EV/Sales)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/Sales zeigt, wie viel Anleger für 1 € Umsatz eines Unternehmens zahlen, wenn man auch Schulden und Cash berücksichtigt – es ist eine kapitalstrukturbereinigte Version des KUV.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl eignet sich besonders für den Vergleich von Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Verschuldung – sie zeigt, wie teuer ein Unternehmen tatsächlich im Verhältnis zum Umsatz ist.
🧮 Berechnung
Enterprise Value = 36,69 Mrd. € | Umsatz (TTM) = 21,46 Mrd. €
Enterprise Value = 36,69 Mrd. € | Umsatz erwartet = 22,48 Mrd. €
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EV/Sales ist neutral gegenüber der Kapitalstruktur und eignet sich gut für Unternehmensvergleiche.
- Ein niedriges Verhältnis kann auf eine günstig bewertete Aktie hindeuten – ein hohes Verhältnis auf hohe Erwartungen oder Überbewertung.
- Besonders nützlich bei wachstumsstarken, noch nicht profitablen Firmen.
📘 Unternehmenswert zu Free Cashflow (EV/FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
EV/FCF zeigt, wie viele Jahre es dauern würde, bis ein Unternehmen seinen Unternehmenswert durch freien Cashflow „zurückverdient”.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Unternehmen auf Basis ihrer tatsächlichen Cash-Erträge zu bewerten – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder buchhalterischem Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriges EV/FCF deutet auf eine günstige Bewertung bei starker Cashgenerierung hin.
- Ein hohes EV/FCF kann entweder auf Optimismus oder auf temporär schwachen Cashflow hindeuten.
- Besonders hilfreich bei reifen, profitablen Unternehmen mit stabilen Cashflows.
📘 Kurs-Buchwert-Verhältnis (KBV)
📈 Was ist das?
Das KBV zeigt, wie hoch der Marktwert eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zu seinem bilanziellen Eigenkapital ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das KBV ist besonders bei Substanzwerten (z. B. Banken, Industrie) relevant. Es hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob ein Unternehmen unter oder über seinem buchhalterischen Vermögen bewertet ist.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein KBV unter 1 kann auf Unterbewertung oder schwache Rentabilität hindeuten.
- Ein KBV über 1 zeigt, dass der Markt dem Unternehmen Mehrwert über den Buchwert hinaus zuschreibt (z. B. Marken, Patente, Wachstum).
- Das KBV eignet sich besonders gut für Unternehmen mit stabilen, materiellen Vermögenswerten.
📘 Dividende je Aktie
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividende je Aktie zeigt, wie viel Geld ein Unternehmen pro Aktie an seine Aktionäre ausschüttet – typischerweise jährlich oder quartalsweise.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie ist die absolute Größe der Auszahlung je Aktie – wichtig für alle, die regelmäßige Erträge suchen oder Dividendenstrategien verfolgen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile oder wachsende Dividende je Aktie ist oft ein Zeichen für ein solides Geschäftsmodell.
- Die Dividende je Aktie allein sagt aber nichts über die Rendite – dafür ist auch der Aktienkurs relevant (→ Dividendenrendite).
- Langfristig steigende Dividenden sind oft ein sehr gutes Merkmal (z. B. Dividenden-Aristokraten).
📘 Dividendenrendite
📈 Was ist das?
Die Dividendenrendite zeigt, wie hoch die Dividende eines Unternehmens im Verhältnis zum Aktienkurs ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft dabei, Dividendenaktien vergleichbar zu machen – unabhängig vom absoluten Auszahlungsbetrag.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine stabile Dividendenrendite kann auf verlässliche Ausschüttungen hinweisen.
- Ein Vergleich der 1J- und 5J-Rendite hilft zu erkennen, ob das Dividendenwachstum mit dem Kurswachstum Schritt hält.
- Eine niedrige Rendite ist nicht zwingend negativ – sie kann auf starkes Kurswachstum hindeuten.
📘 Dividendenwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Dividendenwachstum zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen seine Dividende je Aktie über die Zeit gesteigert hat.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
5J: durchschnittliche jährliche Wachstumsrate (CAGR)
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Stetig steigende Dividenden gelten als Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und Aktionärsorientierung – besonders interessant für langfristige Investoren.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein stabiles Dividendenwachstum ist ein Zeichen nachhaltiger Ertragskraft.
- Ein hohes Dividendenwachstum kann ein erheblicher Hebel deiner Rendite sein:
- Wenn ein Unternehmen z. B. 1 € Dividende zahlt und diese über 5 Jahre jährlich um 15 % erhöht, bekommst du im 5. Jahr bereits 2 € je Aktie – doppelt so viel wie zu Beginn!
📘 Ausschüttungsquote (Payout)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Ausschüttungsquote zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Unternehmensgewinns (pro Aktie) als Dividende an die Aktionäre ausgeschüttet wird.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Quote hilft einzuschätzen, ob eine Dividende auf Dauer tragfähig ist – besonders im Verhältnis zum erzielten Gewinn.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine niedrige Ausschüttungsquote bedeutet: Das Unternehmen behält einen größeren Teil des Gewinns für Investitionen – typisch für Wachstumsunternehmen.
- Eine moderate Quote (z. B. 25–50 %) steht oft für ein gesundes Gleichgewicht zwischen Ausschüttung und Zukunftsinvestitionen.
- Hohe Ausschüttungsquoten können attraktiv wirken, sind aber riskanter, wenn die Gewinne schwanken oder sinken.
📘 Dividendensteigerungen in Folge (Erhöhungen)
📈 Was ist das?
Diese Kennzahl zeigt, wie viele Jahre in Folge ein Unternehmen seine Dividende pro Aktie erhöht hat – ohne Kürzung oder Aussetzung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein langer Track Record kontinuierlicher Erhöhungen spricht für Verlässlichkeit, solide Finanzen und aktionärsfreundliche Unternehmenspolitik.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein langer Zeitraum mit Dividendensteigerungen stärkt das Vertrauen – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Solche Unternehmen gelten als verlässlich und planbar für Einkommensinvestoren.
- Je länger die Serie, desto stärker das Commitment gegenüber den Aktionären.
📘 Umsatz
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz zeigt, wie viel ein Unternehmen insgesamt mit seinen Produkten und Dienstleistungen verdient – also den Bruttoerlös vor Abzug von Kosten.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Umsatz ist eine der zentralen Kennzahlen zur Einschätzung der Unternehmensgröße, Marktstellung und Wachstumskraft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein wachsender Umsatz zeigt eine steigende Nachfrage und kann ein guter Frühindikator für Gewinnsteigerungen sein.
- Vergleiche von aktuellem und erwartetem Umsatz geben Hinweise auf das Marktumfeld und Analystenerwartungen.
- Wichtig: Starker Umsatz allein genügt nicht – auch Margen und Profitabilität zählen.
📘 EBITDA
📈 Was ist das?
EBITDA steht für „Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens, bereinigt um bilanztechnische und finanzierungsbedingte Effekte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBITDA ist eine verbreitete Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der operativen Leistungsfähigkeit – insbesondere bei kapitalintensiven Unternehmen oder im internationalen Vergleich.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes oder wachsendes EBITDA spricht für starke operative Erträge – unabhängig von Bilanzierung oder Steuerlast.
- EBITDA ist besonders nützlich, um Unternehmen branchenübergreifend zu vergleichen.
- Wichtig: EBITDA ist keine offizielle Gewinnkennzahl – Abschreibungen und Finanzierungskosten werden ausgeklammert.
📘 EBIT
📈 Was ist das?
EBIT steht für „Earnings Before Interest and Taxes“ – also Gewinn vor Zinsen und Steuern. Es zeigt das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Finanzierungs- und Steueraufwand.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EBIT ist eine zentrale Kennzahl zur Beurteilung der Profitabilität aus dem Kerngeschäft – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder Steuersystem.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hohes EBIT deutet auf ein profitables Kerngeschäft hin – vor Zinslasten oder steuerlichen Effekten.
- Es erlaubt objektivere Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen mit unterschiedlicher Finanzierung.
- Im Vergleich mit EBITDA zeigt EBIT bereits den Einfluss von Abschreibungen auf das operative Ergebnis.
📘 Nettogewinn
📈 Was ist das?
Der Nettogewinn ist der verbleibende Jahresüberschuss (oder -fehlbetrag) eines Unternehmens – nach Abzug aller Kosten, Steuern, Zinsen und Abschreibungen
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Nettogewinn ist die zentrale Erfolgskennzahl – er zeigt, wie profitabel ein Unternehmen nach allen Kosten tatsächlich arbeitet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein steigender Nettogewinn zeigt, dass das Unternehmen effizient wirtschaftet – trotz aller Kosten.
- Die Entwicklung des Gewinns beeinflusst z. B. direkt das KGV und weitere Kennzahlen.
- Im Zeitverlauf lässt sich ablesen, wie stabil und profitabel ein Geschäftsmodell wirklich ist.
📘 Free Cashflow (FCF)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow gibt Aufschluss über die echte finanzielle Stärke eines Unternehmens – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln. Er zeigt, wie viel Spielraum für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldenabbau besteht.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow bedeutet, dass ein Unternehmen echte Finanzkraft besitzt – unabhängig vom bilanzierten Gewinn.
- Er ist oft die solideste Grundlage für nachhaltige Dividenden und Aktienrückkäufe.
- Sinkender FCF kann ein Warnsignal sein – auch wenn der Gewinn stabil aussieht.
📘 Umsatzwachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Umsatzwachstum zeigt, wie stark sich die Erlöse eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert haben – tatsächlich (TTM) und auf Prognosebasis (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (Umsatz erwartet ÷ Umsatz Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein wachsender Umsatz ist ein zentrales Signal für steigende Nachfrage, Geschäftsausweitung und Marktanteilsgewinne – besonders bei Wachstumsunternehmen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachstum ist der Motor langfristiger Wertsteigerung – besonders bei Technologie- und Wachstumsaktien.
- Wichtig ist nicht nur das aktuelle Wachstum, sondern auch dessen Nachhaltigkeit.
- Prognosen zeigen, ob Analysten weiteres Potenzial erwarten – oder eine Verlangsamung.
📘 EBITDA-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBITDA-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBITDA ÷ EBITDA Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Ein steigendes EBITDA ist ein Zeichen für verbesserte operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Finanzierungsstruktur oder Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Starkes EBITDA-Wachstum signalisiert operative Effizienz und Skalierung – besonders relevant in Wachstumsphasen.
- EBITDA-Wachstum ist ein Frühindikator für Margen- und Gewinnentwicklung – sollte aber stets im Zusammenhang mit Umsatz und EBIT betrachtet werden.
📘 EBIT Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das EBIT-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark das operative Ergebnis eines Unternehmens (nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern) im Vergleich zum Vorjahr gewachsen ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwartetes EBIT ÷ EBIT Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Erwartetes Wachstum basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein direkter Indikator für die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung des operativen Geschäfts – unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (Abschreibungen).
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Steigendes EBIT signalisiert wachsende operative Rentabilität – auch unter Berücksichtigung von Abschreibungen.
- Das EBIT-Wachstum ist ein wichtiges Maß zur Beurteilung von Geschäftsmodellen mit hohen Investitionskosten.
- Im Zusammenspiel mit Umsatz- und EBITDA-Wachstum ergibt sich ein umfassendes Bild zur operativen Entwicklung.
📘 Nettogewinn-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Nettogewinn-Wachstum zeigt, wie stark der Jahresüberschuss eines Unternehmens gegenüber dem Vorjahr gestiegen oder gesunken ist – sowohl tatsächlich (TTM) als auch auf Basis von Prognosen (erwartet).
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Erwartet = (erwarteter Nettogewinn ÷ Nettogewinn Vorjahr − 1) × 100
Der erwartete Wert basiert auf Analystenschätzungen für das laufende Geschäftsjahr.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der Gewinn ist die entscheidende Ergebnisgröße für ein Unternehmen. Ein wachsender Nettogewinn deutet auf steigende Effizienz, stabile Kostenkontrolle und nachhaltige Ertragskraft hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Wachsender Nettogewinn stärkt die Bewertung, Dividendenfähigkeit und Kursfantasie.
- Stagnierender oder rückläufiger Gewinn trotz Umsatzwachstum kann auf Margendruck hinweisen.
📘 Free Cashflow-Wachstum
📈 Was ist das?
Das Free-Cashflow-Wachstum zeigt, wie sich der freie Mittelzufluss eines Unternehmens im Vergleich zum Vorjahr verändert hat – also der Betrag, der nach allen operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Free Cashflow ist der echte, verfügbare Geldzufluss. Wachstum in diesem Bereich ist ein Zeichen für finanzielle Stärke und steigende Flexibilität bei Dividenden, Rückkäufen oder Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Sinkender Free Cashflow kann auf steigende Investitionen, höhere Kosten oder stagnierende operative Erträge hindeuten.
- Besonders bei Dividendenwerten ist das FCF-Wachstum wichtig – denn Dividenden werden letztlich aus dem verfügbaren Cash gezahlt.
- Ein negativer Trend sollte genauer analysiert werden – er ist nicht zwangsläufig schlecht, aber potenziell ein Warnsignal.
📘 Bruttomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Bruttomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellungskosten (Material, Produktion) als Bruttogewinn übrig bleibt – also der „Rohgewinn“ eines Unternehmens.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Auch: Bruttomarge = Bruttogewinn ÷ Umsatz × 100
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Bruttomarge gibt Aufschluss über die Profitabilität eines Produkts oder Geschäftsmodells vor Fixkosten, Steuern und Zinsen. Sie zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen produzieren oder einkaufen kann.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Bruttomarge deutet auf starke Preissetzungsmacht und effiziente Herstellung hin.
- Sinkende Bruttomargen können auf Kostensteigerungen oder Preisdruck hindeuten.
- Besonders im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern liefert die Bruttomarge wertvolle Einblicke in die Geschäftsqualität.
📘 EBITDA-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBITDA-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz als operativer Gewinn vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen (EBITDA) übrig bleibt. Sie misst die operative Effizienz – ohne Verzerrungen durch Finanzierung oder Buchwerte.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBITDA-Marge hilft zu verstehen, wie viel operativer Gewinn ein Unternehmen aus jedem Euro Umsatz erzielt – unabhängig von Kapitalstruktur oder steuerlichem Umfeld.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBITDA-Marge zeigt starke operative Ertragskraft – unabhängig von Bilanzierungseffekten.
- Die Marge ermöglicht gute Vergleiche zwischen Unternehmen und Branchen.
- Ein stabiler oder wachsender Wert kann auf effiziente Kostenkontrolle und Skalierbarkeit hindeuten.
📘 EBIT-Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die EBIT-Marge zeigt, wie viel Prozent des Umsatzes als operativer Gewinn nach Abschreibungen, aber vor Zinsen und Steuern übrig bleiben.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die EBIT-Marge misst die operative Ertragskraft eines Unternehmens unter Berücksichtigung der Kapitalintensität (z. B. Maschinen, Anlagen). Sie eignet sich gut zum Vergleich von Geschäftsmodellen mit unterschiedlich hohen Abschreibungen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe EBIT-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen auch nach Abschreibungen effizient arbeitet.
- Sie ist besonders relevant in kapitalintensiven Branchen.
- Langfristig stabile oder steigende Margen sind ein Zeichen wirtschaftlicher Stärke und Preissetzungsmacht.
📘 Nettomarge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Nettomarge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz am Ende als „Reingewinn“ übrig bleibt – also nach Abzug aller Kosten, Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Nettomarge gibt an, wie effizient ein Unternehmen über alle Stufen hinweg wirtschaftet. Sie zeigt, wie viel Gewinn tatsächlich je Euro Umsatz übrig bleibt.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Nettomarge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nicht nur operativ stark ist, sondern auch seine Finanzierung und Steuerbelastung im Griff hat.
- Vergleiche mit Wettbewerbern geben Einblicke in die wirtschaftliche Qualität.
- Sinkende Nettomargen trotz Umsatzwachstum können ein Warnsignal sein – etwa für steigende Kosten oder sinkende Effizienz.
📘 Free Cashflow Marge
📈 Was ist das?
Die Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug aller operativen Ausgaben und Investitionen tatsächlich als freier Mittelzufluss übrig bleibt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Marge misst die echte Liquidität, die ein Unternehmen erwirtschaftet – unabhängig von Bilanzierungsregeln oder Abschreibungen. Sie ist besonders relevant für Dividenden, Rückkäufe und Investitionen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Free-Cashflow-Marge zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen nachhaltig liquide Mittel erwirtschaftet.
- Sie ist ein starkes Signal für finanzielle Stabilität und Ausschüttungspotenzial.
- Wichtig ist der langfristige Trend – sinkende Werte können auf steigende Investitionen oder rückläufige operative Effizienz hindeuten.
📘 Eigenkapitalquote
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalquote zeigt, wie hoch der Anteil des Eigenkapitals an der Bilanzsumme eines Unternehmens ist – also wie stark es sich aus eigenen Mitteln finanziert.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote steht für finanzielle Stabilität, Krisenfestigkeit und gute Bonität. Sie ist besonders relevant bei der Beurteilung der Verschuldung.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalquote signalisiert finanzielle Stabilität – besonders in Krisenzeiten.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf ein höheres Risiko oder eine aggressive Verschuldung hinweisen.
- Wichtig: Die Eigenkapitalquote sollte immer gemeinsam mit der Eigenkapitalrendite betrachtet werden. Nur so lässt sich beurteilen, ob ein Unternehmen nicht nur solide, sondern auch effizient wirtschaftet.
📘 Eigenkapitalrendite (ROE)
📈 Was ist das?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen mit dem Kapital seiner Aktionäre arbeitet – also wie viel Gewinn es pro Euro Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Eigenkapitalrendite ist eine zentrale Rentabilitätskennzahl. Sie hilft Anlegern zu erkennen, ob das Unternehmen eine attraktive Verzinsung auf das eingesetzte Eigenkapital erwirtschaftet.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Eine hohe Eigenkapitalrendite spricht für ein starkes, effizientes Geschäftsmodell.
- Besonders interessant ist sie bei kapitalintensiven Firmen oder solchen mit hoher Eigenkapitalquote.
- Wichtig: Ein sehr hoher ROE kann auch auf hohe Schulden hinweisen – daher sollte sie immer im Kontext mit der Eigenkapitalquote betrachtet werden.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 Was ist das?
ROCE misst die Gesamtrentabilität eines Unternehmens – also wie effizient es das eingesetzte Kapital (Eigen- und Fremdkapital) zur Gewinnerzielung nutzt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Das eingesetzte Kapital ist das gesamte betriebsnotwendige Kapital, unabhängig von der Finanzierungsquelle.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROCE eignet sich besonders gut für den Vergleich unterschiedlich finanzierter Unternehmen. Es zeigt, wie effektiv ein Unternehmen Kapital investiert – unabhängig von der Kapitalstruktur.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROCE zeigt, dass ein Unternehmen sein Kapital effizient einsetzt – unabhängig davon, ob es durch Eigen- oder Fremdkapital finanziert ist.
- Je höher der ROCE im Vergleich zu ähnlichen Unternehmen, desto mehr Wert schafft das Unternehmen mit seinem investierten Kapital.
- Besonders wichtig ist der ROCE bei Firmen mit hohen Investitionen – z. B. in Industrie, Energie oder Infrastruktur.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 Was ist das?
ROIC zeigt, wie effizient ein Unternehmen das Kapital investiert, das langfristig im operativen Geschäft gebunden ist – unabhängig davon, ob es aus Eigen- oder Fremdkapital stammt.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
- NOPAT = „Net Operating Profit After Taxes“
- Investiertes Kapital = operatives Vermögen abzüglich nicht-verzinster Schulden
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
ROIC ist eine der präzisesten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung der Kapitalrendite – besonders im Vergleich zur Eigenkapitalrendite, weil es Verzerrungen durch Schulden vermeidet. Er zeigt, ob ein Unternehmen Mehrwert für alle Kapitalgeber schafft.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher ROIC zeigt, wie gut ein Unternehmen mit dem tatsächlich investierten (betriebsnotwendigen) Kapital wirtschaftet.
- Im Unterschied zu ROCE wird nur Kapital betrachtet, das wirklich zur Finanzierung operativer Aktivitäten dient – und verzinst werden muss.
- Besonders hilfreich, um die Kapitalrendite von Unternehmen mit viel „überschüssigem“ Kapital oder zinsfreien Verbindlichkeiten realistisch zu vergleichen.
📘 Verschuldungsgrad (Leverage Ratio)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Verschuldungsgrad zeigt, wie stark ein Unternehmen durch verzinsliche Schulden (z. B. Kredite und Anleihen) im Verhältnis zum Eigenkapital finanziert ist.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Die Kennzahl hilft, das finanzielle Risiko und die Abhängigkeit von Fremdkapital zu beurteilen. Ein hoher Verschuldungsgrad kann die Eigenkapitalrendite steigern – birgt aber auch erhöhte Risiken bei Zinsanstiegen oder Liquiditätsengpässen.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Verschuldungsgrad steht für finanzielle Stabilität und Unabhängigkeit.
- Ein hoher Wert kann auf erhöhte Risiken hinweisen – insbesondere bei schwankenden Zinsen oder konjunkturellen Schwächen.
- Wichtig: Immer im Kontext zur Branche und Kapitalintensität bewerten.
📘 Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS)
📈 Was ist das?
Das Ergebnis je Aktie (EPS) zeigt, wie viel Gewinn auf eine einzelne Aktie entfällt – und ist eine der wichtigsten Kennzahlen zur Bewertung von Unternehmen.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die verwässerte Aktienanzahl berücksichtigt auch potenzielle neue Aktien, etwa durch Optionen, Wandelanleihen oder andere Umtauschrechte.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
EPS bildet die Basis für viele Bewertungskennzahlen wie KGV, PEG oder Payout Ratio. Es macht den Gewinn für Aktionäre vergleichbar – unabhängig von der Unternehmensgröße.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- EPS hilft, die Profitabilität pro Aktie zu erfassen – und ist besonders wichtig im Zeitvergleich oder im Vergleich mit Analystenschätzungen.
- Steigendes EPS kann ein Zeichen für stabiles Wachstum oder Aktienrückkäufe sein.
- Wichtig: Verwende verwässertes EPS für realistische Bewertungen – besonders bei stark aktienbasierten Vergütungssystemen.
📘 Free Cashflow je Aktie (FCF je Aktie)
📈 Was ist das?
Der Free Cashflow je Aktie zeigt, wie viel freier Mittelzufluss einem Unternehmen pro Aktie zur Verfügung steht – nach Investitionen, aber vor Dividenden oder Schuldentilgung.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Der FCF je Aktie zeigt, wie viel liquide Mittel pro Aktie tatsächlich im Unternehmen verbleiben – wichtig für Dividenden, Aktienrückkäufe oder Schuldentilgung. Im Gegensatz zum Gewinn ist er schwerer manipulierbar und daher besonders aussagekräftig.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Free Cashflow je Aktie ist ein Zeichen für hohe finanzielle Flexibilität.
- Er zeigt, wie viel Kapital ein Unternehmen effektiv einsetzen oder ausschütten kann.
- Besonders relevant für dividendenstarke Unternehmen oder solche mit starker Kapitalrendite.
📘 Short Interest
📈 Was ist das?
Short Interest zeigt, wie viele Aktien eines Unternehmens aktuell leerverkauft wurden – also von Investoren geliehen und verkauft, in der Erwartung fallender Kurse.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Der Wert zeigt den Anteil der Aktien, der aktuell auf fallende Kurse spekuliert wird.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Short Interest dient als Stimmungsindikator: Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Skepsis oder negative Erwartungen gegenüber dem Unternehmen hin – kann aber auch zu einem „Short Squeeze“ führen, wenn der Kurs plötzlich steigt.
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein niedriger Short Interest deutet auf Vertrauen in das Unternehmen hin.
- Ein hoher Wert kann ein Warnsignal sein – oder eine Chance, wenn sich die Stimmung dreht.
- Besonders spannend in volatilen Märkten oder vor wichtigen Quartalszahlen.
📘 Employees
📈 Was ist das?
Die Mitarbeiteranzahl zeigt, wie viele Personen ein Unternehmen weltweit beschäftigt – ein Indikator für Größe, Struktur und Geschäftsmodell.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Sie hilft bei der Einschätzung von Skaleneffekten, Effizienz und Personalkosten. Zusammen mit Umsatz und Gewinn lassen sich Kennzahlen wie Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ableiten.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Viele Mitarbeiter bedeuten große operative Komplexität – aber auch hohes Umsatzpotenzial.
- Produktivität je Mitarbeiter ist ein wichtiger Indikator für Effizienz.
- Besonders spannend bei stark wachsenden Tech- oder Industrieunternehmen.
📘 Umsatz je Mitarbeiter
📈 Was ist das?
Der Umsatz je Mitarbeiter zeigt, wie viel Erlös ein Unternehmen durchschnittlich pro Beschäftigtem erwirtschaftet – eine Kennzahl für Effizienz und Produktivität.
🧮 Wie wird es berechnet?
Die Mitarbeiterzahl stammt in der Regel aus dem letzten verfügbaren Jahresbericht.
🏛️ Wofür ist es wichtig?
Diese Kennzahl hilft, Geschäftsmodelle zu vergleichen – insbesondere zwischen arbeitsintensiven und technologiegetriebenen Unternehmen. Ein hoher Wert deutet auf Automatisierung, Effizienz oder hohen Wertschöpfungsanteil hin.
🧮 Berechnung
🎯 Was bedeutet das für Anleger?
- Ein hoher Umsatz je Mitarbeiter spricht für ein skalierbares und margenstarkes Geschäftsmodell.
- Ein niedriger Wert kann auf arbeitsintensive Prozesse oder geringere Wertschöpfung hinweisen.
- Besonders hilfreich beim Vergleich von Tech- vs. Industrieunternehmen.
Heidelberg Materials Aktie Analyse
Analystenmeinungen
28 Analysten haben eine Heidelberg Materials Prognose abgegeben:
Analystenmeinungen
28 Analysten haben eine Heidelberg Materials Prognose abgegeben:
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Heidelberg Materials — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Heidelberg Materials First Quarter Results 2026 Conference Call. I am Sandra, the Chorus Call operator. [Operator Instructions] The conference may not be recorded for publication or broadcast.
At this time, it is my pleasure to hand over to Christoph Beumelburg. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, Sandra, and welcome from Heidelberg here with, as usual, Dominik Von Achten, CEO; Rene Aldach, our CFO; and the IR team. And after going through some prepared remarks, we get ample time for your questions.
So with that, very short intro over to you, Dominik.
Christoph, thanks. Hello, everybody. Great to have you on the call. Thanks for joining. Look, we had an interesting quarter in the start for 2026. Robust performance from our perspective, but quite significantly impacted by weather in U.S., Europe and partially in Africa. So the revenue side, EUR 4.5 billion, RCO, EUR 0.2 billion, down from prior year quarter, but important for us, positive price over cost. And that, to a large extent, mitigates the volume impact that has been driven by the weather.
I don't have to tell you Northeast, you saw the pictures from New York. You saw how Northern Europe and Western and Eastern Europe were under snow for a long time. So that's our footprint in that respect. So for us, I would say, normal course of business. Transformation Accelerator, I think, has taken off. But from my seat and our seat, I think there is still ample room for maneuver on the cost side. as we go through the year, especially given the volume developments in the first quarter. So we should expect further good traction on the transformation accelerator.
More than EUR 400 million are already on the clock, and we are very confident that we'll surpass the EUR 500 million by year-end, and that's important for us, especially in the current environment. Share buyback, we stepped up our last year's buyback of about EUR 400 million now to EUR 450 million with the next tranche that will start after next week's AGM. Important for us, as we always said, we want to grow organically with our sustainable product focus, but we also want to grow externally and great acquisition down under in Australia with MAAS that's going through the antitrust process right now, everything on track.
And then we have AKCANSA, I think a very interesting step-up into the majority position of a company we know very well of a market position in Turkey, we know very well. And from an expert platform, we know super well, and we can leverage for growth, not only in Africa, but also in other parts of the world, including. A little bit behind the scenes, we need our French Airvault plant through a massive rebuild significant investment well beyond EUR 300 million. step change in efficiency and decarbonization. The plant is now running.
The kiln is running, [ kiln ] produced, alternative fuel are running. So I think in that respect, we are really -- we will see a big change in the performance of France, not only on the financial side, but also in terms of carbon footprint. Keep in mind, the carbon footprint of this new setup is 30%, 3-0 percent better than the old plant. So a massive change. That's why we said step change. And with that, we confirm our outlook between EUR 3.4 billion and EUR 3.75 billion. ROIC will be above 10% and the CO2 emissions will be slightly reduced.
If you go to the details on Page 3, I don't think I have to go through that. EBITDA at EUR 484 million, 13% down. Operating margin slightly down to 10.7%. And then on the RCO down to EUR 163 million. If you see on Page 4, this is mainly driven by volumes. That's the impact that I was describing. From my seat, that is mainly and predominantly weather-related. There are some markets that are a little bit slugg. We'll come to that, I guess, through the discussion. But in general, this is weather impacted in Q1. Important that the price over cost remain positive.
If you then go to the margin, you see that LTM, so last 12 months, the margin is actually moving in the right direction in all business lines. So cement is moving in the right direction up to 27.5%. Aggregates is up to 25.7%. And for the group then that means an increase to 21.6%. So from our perspective, the green light, the train is moving in the right direction despite all the headwinds.
Transformation Accelerator, as I said, EUR 380 million of last year, so more than on track. Of course, normally, if you have the EUR 500 million, you would have expected EUR 250 million to EUR 300 million. So EUR 380 million, a fantastic job, and we just need to do it again, and that's what we are fighting for this year. So as I said earlier, you should expect to surpass the EUR 500 million by year-end. If you then go through the different areas, Europe is the one that has had harsh weather and where the results really came down. I think Europe is large, a large footprint and the markets are quite different.
From our perspective, the sluggishness of the market sits a little bit in a line between the U.K. and Germany and Benelux in between. The rest of Europe is actually okay. And then in the East, it's maybe Poland and Romania that is a little bit slower. The rest is actually going quite well, if not very well. So in that respect, the big countries for us are a little bit hit by the weather and some sluggishness in their performance. I'm sure we'll come back to that during the discussion.
Then if you go to North America, the result is below last year. And I would say that's all about the Northeast. And that's why from our seat, it's for us the biggest region by far. And it is the one that has been hit the hardest by the weather. That's why I think we are on it. April looks good. So I think from my seat and our seat, this will -- this is going in the right direction. There are also large projects that are now kicking in and really seeing the material pull. So I'm actually quite optimistic that North America in general, but also the Northeast will turn the corner.
Asia Pacific, I would say, stable with some ups and downs in the different countries. Then you can maybe later on say something to Australia, but also there, we see movement in the right direction. So overall, I think we've seen the worst in Asia and Australia. But the question is how much uptick we'll see throughout the year. Let's wait and see. Volume development also in April was actually good.
Africa, despite the fact that volumes were a little bit under pressure, especially in the northern parts of Africa, but also in some parts of sub-Sahara driven by the weather. In the end, the result was quite stable. And also there, April looks significantly better. So I'm pretty confident that also Africa or [indiscernible] for us will continue to deliver well during 2026.
And then on the guidance, as I said earlier on, we absolutely stick to our guidance. at 3.4 to 3.75 RCO, above 10% ROIC, a slight reduction in CO2 emissions. And then on the CapEx, 1.2 to 1.3 and the leverage around 1.5x. So that's it from our side.
Rene, do you have anything to add?
Okay. Just a short info about the next tranche of the share buyback. We started this after the AGM in May. You remember the last one was around -- the last few months were around EUR 400 million. This one will be EUR 450 million. So that's a significant -- or it's a nice uptick. And together with the dividend, I think we stick to our commitment that we want to increase the shareholder return, which we are de facto doing.
And that's just what I wanted to add to Dominik's explanations.
Thank you, Dominik. Thanks, Rene. So operator, we can start the Q&A process, please.
[Operator Instructions]
Thank you, operator. So as the line is pretty full, as usual, please stick to 2 questions at a time. And we start with Ben Rada Martin from Golden Sachs.
2. Question Answer
My first was on energy inflation. I know in the press release, you spoke about expectations of cost inflation and a partial offset from pricing and surcharges. I guess it would be helpful, could you quantify what the kind of base case of inflation is on your EUR 2 billion energy bill and I guess your EUR 2 billion or so transport bill as we sit today? And then the second one would just be on pricing. It'd be helpful to touch on how you saw pricing realization in the first few months of the year in Europe and North America, please?
Yes. Let me take the first and then the -- let me take the second and really take the first. So it's Dominik. Then on the pricing, I think pricing in Europe is intact for us, that's okay. The only -- to be honest, the only sluggish market a little bit is maybe the U.K. The rest is absolutely intact from our perspective. The one more, the other a little bit less, but no change from what we have indicated earlier on pricing in Europe. We continue to do value before volume. For us, it's important to move the price also because you look, the carbon certificate is still at EUR 75.
So from our seats, the cost position is pushing, especially for those who are short. So in that respect, no change from our pricing approach. And for North America, pricing, you saw this pricing in aggregates is very strong. I think also in comparison, I think our pricing in aggregates go to the details. I think top performance of the team in North America, which is important for us.
In cement, you can always dream more. But also there, if you take the benchmark, I think, top job of the team. Pricing is moving for us in positive territory. North America pricing is up also in cement. Remember, last year, we were down. So we said we're going to target a single -- low single-digit increase in cement in North America. So we are actually on track with pricing also in North America then.
And regarding the energy inflation, first of all, I want to clarify something we read a partial offset, but the clear target is to fully offset the cost. And as you know, I'm managing the Australian business, and I can assure you and I have the numbers in April, we fully offset the additional fuel costs we got direct and indirectly from suppliers. So that's number one. Number two, how much is this affecting us? It's interesting. The oil price is now 10% down today. So this moves every hour. And now to give you a precise number is difficult, but I'll give you a little bit of preview here how you think about -- you need to think about this. First of all, fuel and diesel and oil is only 15% of our energy bill.
So it's -- if you take EUR 2.2 billion, it's EUR 300-something million. And you can imagine that we learned from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and our hedge levels were never as high as they have been in 2026. So only a certain part is affected by the Iran, let's say, conflict. And I would have said we want to recover the full impact. And it's probably from a direct fuel and energy cost impact is probably low low single-digit cost increase on our energy bill, which we want to offset and now with the 10% oil price decrease that will be even lower.
So it's clear we want to offset. But mathematically, it's clear. If you just offset 1:1, that's margin dilutive. It's very clear that's the mathematics of this, but that should not impact us big time. So we seem here very comfortable.
Next one is from Luis Prieto from Kepler.
Just a couple of them very briefly. The first one, coming back to pricing. Is there a scenario in which we see further initiatives implemented in the second half of the year? I think are changing a lot, but is that something that is likely? And the second one, if I recall correctly, you mentioned in Q4 results that you were optimistic for the year with a conservative initial guidance. Has your stance at all changed due to geopolitical risks? In other words, can we still categorize the confirmed outlook as a conservative initial guidance?
Luis, let's go one after the other. Pricing, we never give up on pricing to be very clear. So there is no rule that we can't move in the second half. We try every day to advance our pricing. But we need to react to the volatilities, and that depends what Rene said earlier. It depends also on the geopolitical wiggle room that we have that we can't manage and we'll navigate well through the for as we did in the past. But the clear message to you is there is -- we never give up until the 31st of December and then the work starts on January 1. So pricing is a continuous movement in the right direction ideally. So no question around this.
Look, early days on the guidance, let's not get ahead of ourselves. We stick to what we have said end of last year, and let's not now speculate about too many potential upsides or deviations from that. Let us deliver. And as we go through the year, we keep you updated. But given also the geopolitical volatility, I ask for your understanding that it's still a way to go until the year-end, and we need to manage all the ups and downs. We are confident we can get there, absolutely confident we can get there. Otherwise, we would not tell you, but let's not get ahead of ourselves.
Next question comes from Paul Roger from BNP Paribas.
So I have one short term, one long term. So on the short term, pleasing to see there was a significant recovery in April or in Q2. I wonder if you could be a bit more specific and maybe even quantify the volume growth and also talk a bit about some of the recent trends and if they differ by market? And then secondly, on the longer term, you referenced a bit the deal in Turkey. Can you say a bit more about the rationale for that? And also whether there will be any strategic changes following that deal?
So just because the line was not super clear, Paul, just to repeat your question. The first one was recovery in April. And what was the second half of that first question?
Can you quantify a bit and talk about the hot spots and maybe some of the weaker spots as well.
Yes. And then the other one was China Perfect. So Paul, on the recovery in April, we are clearly above prior year and also our plan in April in terms of volume. Let me not get into too many specifics, but it's not just a small tick up. It's from our seat is a significant pickup. So I think that goes in the right direction. But I think there are also, to your second half of the point, there are markets are still sluggish. And I indicated them to you earlier. So if I look at Europe, it's this access between all the way between U.K. and Romania. You can always draw a line. And that is the one that I think we are waiting for a significant recovery.
I think I have some good indications here in Germany on housing here and there a little bit. There is movement below the hood, but we don't see it yet in our numbers. So the sluggishness, Paul, sits predominantly there. And then I think that is probably the weakest spot, which I can take a smile now and say, hey, that gives us the biggest upside, but let's fix that problem first. So those are probably the weakest links. The rest nothing to mind bother about. It's ups and downs, but it's nothing to be either too happy or worried about.
And then on AKCANSA, let me start and then Rene adds because he knows the business also quite well. He is also involved in that. So for us, why did we do this? You know that we know the business for 30 years. We had a joint venture with. And we have now the opportunity to take over their shares. That's what we are doing, which then puts us into almost 80% share, so predominantly ownership. From our seats, the business has been underperforming. That's also why we were forcing a little bit a solution here. And we do believe we are the best owner for this. You know that we have also a Turkish Board member who knows the business and the surroundings in Turkey very well. So as a team setup is also good.
The assets we know very well. We know the upsides of the assets. We know the market position in Turkey very well. We know the surrounding markets of Turkey, and that's important. The plant in [indiscernible] sits at the water and is a powerhouse when it comes to exports, both in terms of serving Africa, Asia and even North America. And I think that's important for us to get a grip on that because with all the volatilities, taxes here, imports absolutely, blah, blah, blah. There is a lot of wiggle room that you get and flexibility you gain in your network. And you know that we have a very powerful trading arm that is leading globally under HM trading.
But Rene, maybe you have something to add also financially, to this.
As Dominik said, the business was in '25 are not performing. But if you look at the prior years, it was okay and there's significant synergy potential if we manage this on our own. And I guess this is strategically very, very good deal. And if they come to normal EBITDA levels as well financially, it's good. So we buy an own known business. The risk downside is very low. And we have [indiscernible], who is working for [indiscernible], he knows everything and now we can manage by ourselves. So it's a very good strategic acquisition, helping as well our growth story within our financial metrics.
Next question comes from Elodie Rall from JPMorgan.
So just a follow-up first on both questions. April volume, does that mean that April volumes are up in Europe as well? If you could just clarify because I'm not sure I understand that you also said that overall European volumes are up in April.
And then second question is on your overall margin performance in Q1 and maybe going forward, because you're saying that you're delivering on your cost initiatives, but your EBITDA on a like-for-like basis is down in all regions, even in regions where you generated positive like-for-like sales. So for example, in North America, like-for-like sales were up 3%, but like-for-like EBITDA is down 27%. What's going on there?
And where are the cost savings basically going? Because it's a bit disappointing not to see that translating in EBITDA performance. So maybe Q1 is exceptional. And from here, it's okay. But if you could give us a bit of color there, that would be quite useful.
Okay. Very good. And, let me give you the first answer. The volumes are clearly up for the group. Europe is flat. And then to be clear, which is much better than the first quarter.
And Elodie, second quarter regarding margins, let's go through this. You say North America revenue is okay and margins are down. This is correct. But you know what, we have only one region in Q1 in North America, which is down. All the others are nicely up. And which one is the region which is down heavily, it's the Northeast, Dominik alluded to this, New York, what have you, snow, heavy snow. And this is by far our biggest region. And that is also -- it's a cement region with high margins. And if this is heavily down, then it weighs on the average margin. It's very clear.
And then we have as well, obviously, this maintenance timing inventory, you don't need to go into the details. So Q1 was impacted by the Northeast. All other regions were clearly up. So from our point of view, that is not a concern because in April, that region as well volume-wise went nicely up. So that's a tick. And then you know what, in Europe, we have 20 countries now to Q1 for the weather report to go through margins from my perspective, doesn't make any sense. The cost reduction focus is there, and we will push further.
And as Dominik also said it, the EUR 500 million is probably not the end number, but probably it will not be the end number, it will be nicely higher. So the savings will show up. And what we have also done in Q1, you have seen this, we further optimize the European footprint. We have announced to close another cement plant in Germany. We have announced to, let's say, restructure, optimize our cement network in Sweden.
So that will all come through, don't worry. And if you look at the European cement margins, I think they are even -- they are improving. So I'm not worried about this. Even if in Q1, look at the Slide 14 of the deck, the cement margins are up in Europe with she volumes and weather. So that gives me confidence. And there, you see the savings.
Next one comes from Arnaud Lehmann from Bank of America.
Firstly, just a clarification on your full year guidance. Do you include any contribution from MAAS Group in Australia or AAA in Turkey in the guide for EBIT?
Secondly, and if you can clarify maybe the timing of consolidation for these 2 assets, please? And secondly, just to finish the world too, in Africa, you mentioned bad weather for declining sales. And I thought it was always sunny in Morocco and Egypt, but maybe you can give us a bit of color.
Okay. On the guidance, I think no, it's not included. MAAS, Rene, you want to say something about?
Okay. MAAS, we have signed this after we have, let's say, decided on the guidance. And there's a -- they authority reviewing this. earliest, I would have said, late Q3, beginning of Q4. So that's it from us.
And AKCANSA, also there is an antitrust process running with the agencies in Turkey. So very hard to predict. Again, let's not get ahead of ourselves. It's not in the guidance, but it's very hard to predict when this will close. This can go fast, but this can also take longer. So I'm being cautious on this. We are not trying to overpromise here. So that would be an uptick if it comes earlier, but let's not speculate on too high hopes.
On Africa, as I said, I think the North Africa was actually good in April. Volume performance across the board was very positive. There was also Ramadan effects that's clear. And Sub-Sahara Africa comes and goes a little bit. But overall, also in Sub-Sahara, there are parts of sub-Sahara that were stronger than others. But overall, Amba is clearly up in volumes for April.
Next question comes from Pujarini Ghosh from Bernstein.
So if we discuss the RCO margin, so Q1 RCO obviously dipped quite a bit. And going back to your full year guidance, it implies almost like at the upper end, more than 10% increase. So my question is what kind of volume price, price cost expectations are you baking in to take you to either the bottom end or the upper end of the guidance? So basically, how should we expect the remainder of the year to progress?
And the second question is back on AMWA. So basically, you've discussed the Africa region, but the other markets in that segment, how are they doing? Is there any impact from the conflict? So yes, any color around that would be very helpful.
Let me take the second one, and Rene takes the first on the margins. Look, we are not in the direct conflict zone. The biggest impact we see for years now in Israel. Obviously, Israel is under a war scenario for quite some time now. So that's where we see the biggest impact. But Egypt is not impacted, at least not negative, I think even positively because the market in Egypt is strong. Malco, same thing. And we are not in the Middle East, Turkey, no impact other than the indirect impact that Rene was describing earlier. But other than that, Pi, we are not in the Middle East with any presence. So no impact to us.
And then to your first question regarding our guidance, as Dominik said it, we have one small quarter now. Yes, we are a little bit behind prior year, but we could explain this. And April looks good. We will catch something up what we have missed in Q1. And the overall North America, as we said it, pricing is very, very good in aggregates. Our volumes except Northeast were good across all the regions. So no change to our assumptions in North America.
AMWA also April very strong, catching up what we missed in Q1. Again, in Q1, our highest margin, biggest country that Morocco and they had floodings in the first 2.5 months. So -- and we see this catching up. So as well here, no change to guidance. And then Europe, as Dominik also said, there are a few bigger countries not performing like we want to. But we will make this up with cost and our pricing is okay. So also here, Overall, no change to what we said when we have given out the guidance. And probably there's maybe upside a little bit in Asia and Australia. So let's see. But overall, I think we will hit what we wanted to hit.
on the line is Yassine Touahri from On Field Research.
I think my first question would be on the cement margin in North America. I think the cement margin have been coming down for, I think, fourth quarter in a row now. And the compression that we see in the first quarter, it's like nearly 700 basis points. I understand it's like partly weather related. But again, it's very surprising. Is there any one-off in this or the timing of maintenance or anything that explains this collapse in margin in Q1 -- and when we look at the rest of the year, do you feel that you're in a position where you could see a return to margin expansion in cement or at least margin stability?
And then my second question would be on -- there is a press report suggesting that you might be looking at an acquisition in South Africa. Is it something that you can comment on? And if you cannot comment on the specific press report, could you explain a little bit your strategy in emerging markets? Could we see more acquisition in emerging markets in cement? Or are you going to focus mostly on developed markets?
Let me take the second one and then Rene takes the first one. As always, Yassin, no comments on any press speculations. That is also true for this one. And when it comes to M&A, we've always said we are going to grow both in developed and in emerging markets. We have a global portfolio. There are ups and downs in each of those markets. We want to balance also things out. We focus on delivering our financial metrics and our growth ambition. And in that combination, we look at every opportunity in our core business.
So we will not leave our focus on heavy building materials. That's what we always said, and that's our clear focus because we believe that's what we know best. That's where we'll have our global advantage. That's where enough growth sits -- and with that, we stick to what we have said all along. So both developed and emerging markets are absolutely there. You see now MAAS was a developed market acquisition. I would say Turkey is probably counting somewhat to emerging markets, maybe stuck in the middle.
But in that respect, the full range is up for grab, but it needs to deliver a contribution to the financial metrics. As Rene was explaining earlier, it's true both for MAAS and it's true for AKCANSA, and it's true for every acquisition that will come. So the pipeline is full, and you should expect more acquisitions as we go through the year.
Yes, regarding the cement margin, and I think I thought I have somehow alluded to this, that delta is coming again only from our biggest region, cement region we have in North America. And you are saying on a number level, it's what 650 or whatever basis points. In that region, we are talking 200 basis points, 2,000 basis points delta because there was not much going on there. So again, margin expansion, that's obviously with increasing costs and you put fuel surcharges in everything that's margin dilutive is clear.
So we need to get back to the margin path for North America. It -- it should not go down clear. And cement pricing needs to move better than it is last year, but that's not the problem in the whole industry, cement pricing last year was not great. But it's clear, Yassine, that we need to get better here and we will. And again, Q1, don't use Q1 because there is the biggest region under heavy pressure with no de facto much sales. So I'm not so concerned. again. So let's see.
The idea -- when we look at the second quarter, the idea is the volume should be better, at least in April. As a result, the margin pressure should be much less substantial and it could even be potentially stable depending on the pricing execution. Is that the way to look at it?
No, that's -- you have summarized it better than I did. That's correct.
But there are 2 more questions on the line. We are doing okay on time. So if you have any more questions, feel free to step back in line. The next question comes from Julian Radlinger from UBS.
So 3 from me, please. I think they should be relatively quick. The first one is a really easy one. So we've talked a lot about the cement margin decline in North America. The aggregates margin decline in Europe, is there anything other behind that than just volume declines that you saw in Europe? Second question, if I'm looking at your segments, taking a step back from the Q1 now, APAC continues to be the one that sticks out as the one where earnings have been moving sideways for a long time now.
I know you get this question a lot, but how happy are you with this region in general? Is the performance there meeting your expectations? And if the answer is no, what can you or are you doing about that? And are you -- and how far are you considering portfolio actions there as well? And then my last question, and this is sort of similar to what Yassine asked about emerging market acquisitions.
If you can kind of come back to that and elaborate a little bit, I'd love to understand a bit what makes certain emerging market assets look more attractive right now than, for instance, doing more aggregates bolt-ons or cement bolt-ons in the U.S. or contributing to European cement market consolidation in a region which is highly underutilized, things like that. If you can kind of help us understand a little bit the trade-offs there.
Yes. Okay, Julian, that's almost a textbook for the next half hour. So only a small 3 questions. Let me take a step and then Rene will jump in when it comes to your second question. Aggregates margin decline in Europe, it's very simple. I indicated to you, U.K. is sluggish, and that is one of our biggest aggregates. The aggregates volumes, if you look a little bit where they sit, they sit predominantly in the markets that I described as being sluggish. So I think that's the main reason. So if you take that in the flip side of your argument, that's the volume pressure there.
So I think overall, from my seat, we should also see a recovery in aggregates in Europe and predominantly in the U.K. It depends also on the specific market development. So I think overall, I think that's mainly the answer there. On APAC, let me give you the answer for total APAC and then Rene can again comment on Australia because I would argue we do take portfolio measures quite substantially in APAC. You know that we've done an acquisition recently in Malaysia. You know that we have done moves in Indonesia, and Rene will come to the moves in Australia. So we are growing that region quite substantially, and it has the beauty that it has a fairly stable market of Australia in there and then the more emerging markets, Indonesia, India, Malaysia, Thailand, Hong Kong.
So I think that's the case. And maybe before we get to Australia, it's clear that we continue to work on our portfolio. That's also clear for APAC. The question was whether we are satisfied. No. Does it meet your expectations? No. But can we change or should we things change overnight hastingly? No, because that's destroying shareholder value. That's not what we are paid for. So we are keeping an eye on what we can do from a portfolio perspective. But clearly, portfolio management will continue also in APAC. And you should expect that not only in Australia, but also in Asia. But Rene, maybe you describe a little bit the situation in Australia.
Okay. For Australia, we have done the BGC acquisition via our joint venture Smit Australia. That is a big, big, big success. And then following our strategy, we want to increase our, let's say, presence in markets where we are and where we can further improve, and that is the mass acquisition on the East Coast. I think that fits perfectly to our portfolio. And you have seen as well our other competitors in the building materials growing in Australia, and I guess we are doing the right thing. And we follow these result contributions of these acquisitions very, very closely, and they are all performing like we wanted to have it in Australia. So I think that fits perfectly to the strategy.
And then Julian, on your last question, emerging market acquisitions versus aggregate bolt-ons and European consolidation moves, I think it's pretty straightforward. Again, going back to what we said, we want to grow, we want to meet the financial framework. The beauty about the emerging market acquisitions that we do, they are very quickly value accretive, both in terms of margin and in terms of ROIC because in most cases, these are asset-light steps, not everywhere, but in most cases. So that means that typically on a ROIC performance, you get a good return. That's especially true for the AMWA setup.
And then aggregates and cement bolt-ons, obviously, we are looking at everything that moves, but we do say no to a lot of things because we don't see the value and the value accretion for our financial framework. It's a matter of availability of the acquisitions, but it's also a matter of price and the matter of synergies or missing synergies. So that's the way we look at that. And that's basically also true for European cement consolidation. Rest assured, we look at everything, but I haven't seen 10 deals in the last 3 months in that respect.
So there is not a lot of this movement moving yet. But absolutely, we are looking at this same principle. If we are the best owner for the asset, if we can drive the biggest synergies, if we can get value accretion to our financial framework, then we absolutely move also in cement consolidation in Europe.
Next one comes from Harry Goad from Berenberg.
I've got one question, please, on U.S. federal funding of infrastructure. So specifically on the IIJA bill where although I appreciate there's quite considerable capital still to be spent, as I understand that the bill needs to be reauthorized this year. Is there any -- I guess, first of all, can you give us any insights on what you're hearing on negotiations around reauthorization? And is there any risk on funding for not say 2026, but 2027 if negotiations sort of don't go as well as you would hope?
Harry, I think it's hard to predict -- it's never been harder to predict how these negotiations go in general, and that's not a detail for any negotiation. In general, I'm quite optimistic that they will bridge it somehow, whether they do it through a reauthorization in September or October or whether they do it in January. I don't think that's going to -- they have muddled through this in the past. You can go back to history. This has never led to a cutoff in investments. They somehow them do interim solutions or something.
If I look at the general political setup and the desire of the current administration to at least not lower the chances for the ballot in November, I'm quite confident that there will not be a dramatic swing to the one or the other points. I don't see that at all. So I think I would rather assume for now, don't quote me, but I would rather assume a fairly stable maneuvering. I wouldn't see a massive uptick and I wouldn't also see a massive decline at this point. And from our main scenario, we would assume that the funding continues well through 2026.
Next one comes from Glynis Johnson from Jefferies.
Two, if I may. The first one in terms of Transformation Accelerator. There have been some more recent plant closures that you've announced. And I just wanted to understand, are they part of the original transformation Accelerator program? Are they supplementary to that? And if so, can you give us any additional quantification of what the potential savings could be?
And then second of all, similar thematic actually is your friendly peer in Switzerland put an EBIT number on AI upside. You've obviously talked about digitalization very enthusiastically since the Capital Markets Day at the very least. Do you feel confident enough to put a number on it yourselves on what the upside could be in terms of digitalization and AI?
Rene, do you want to take the first one and then I'll take the AI one.
It is for the transformation accelerator. These plant closures we have announced in the Q1 will be additional savings to the original EUR 500 million. And that's why Dominik and I say the EUR 500 million will not be EUR 500 million will be more. And we always said there's fixed and variable cost part components. And don't assume this is for the full year. There's a process. We have unions. We have a lot of things to manage. There will be an impact in 2026, but the full run rate then will come in
And on the second topic is, you know that we've been on the topic of AI for quite some time now. We've given you very specific examples. And I'm always happy to see that others in the industry are also following that. I think that's fine. I think it will also increase the suppliers moving on this. the whole network will move down the road of AI, which I think is great. It's also great for us when we talk about our digital investments in terms of command AKCANSA and other things. So I think in that respect, we are moving in the right direction.
We are not -- we have not put a number on this at this point. Partially, it also drives the transformation accelerator, but we have bigger hopes and dreams on AI and let us continue to work on this in a diligent way along our processes and together with our customers and then eventually we will come up with something nice, but we should -- at this point, that's the status from our side.
We go back to a second round this time from Elodie again, JPMorgan.
Let me ask another question. So we haven't discussed benchmark ETS. It's something that we all seem to have forgotten now. But do you have any latest views that you can share with us on, first of all, when you think we'll get the benchmark, which has been longer waited for and what level you expect? And then the ETS reform to come, what kind of changes you have assumed the timing, the news flow, we should expect basically?
Yes, we manage our business, but it's hard to manage the politicians. And I'm being careful with making assumptions on what will come out of Europe in this respect. You know the discussions. I can only pick up what I'm sure you also picked up the rumor that the new benchmark will anyway sit around, what is it, 650, 660 or something. Let's wait and see. So that would be a little bit relief versus what the speculation was maybe a couple of months ago. But I can't tell you. My understanding is that they will try to come up with a decision here in the next couple of weeks. But it's -- again, it's hard to predict.
There is no formal date to the best of my knowledge. And then on EU ETS, again, a lot of speculations back and forth. The market at least is not speculating at this point about a fundamental change because the CO2 certificate price has been pretty stubborn around EUR 75. And normally, the market is pretty clever. I'm not trying to beat the market in that respect. So this for me gives an indication, maybe it's only one indication that there is a revision coming. But clearly, the market at least is not speculating on the revolution nor do we.
I think they probably will try to put some sort of relief in there, and you've discussed market stability reserve, linear reduction factor. You know all the ups and downs and limits around this. But it really would be not professional for me to speculate on where they exactly land because there are so many discussions going on also behind stores. We are -- wherever we can be, we are giving our inputs, absolutely, but it's hard to predict and I for your understanding, I don't think this would be professional for me to say anything more than I've said now.
Then we go full circle and end with the one that asked the first question, Ben from Goldman Sachs.
Excellent. My first was on evoZero. I know we haven't really spent much time on it today, but be interested, we're a few months into production with the product, how have the volume and I guess, the green premium realizations been versus your expectations set at the CMD? And then second one is we've seen some press articles about admixture shortages in APAC and diesel shortages. Are there any geographies that you think are at risk from physical supply shortages of input materials that's worth flagging?
Ben, thanks a lot. Let me answer the first one and then Rene, as he heads procurement, he will come to the second one. On evoZero, I think interesting dynamics continue. First part of your question, production goes very well. So technically, it's a clear green tick in the box. Also the integration with the cement plant, the team has done a fantastic job. We are producing -- we are capturing the CO2. We are storing the CO2. So the carbon bank is filling. That's fantastic. Big innovation, nobody has done this before, but it's really working. So I think in that respect, very, very encouraging, and we are working diligently on the sales side of things.
We have very engaging customer discussions all across Europe and with some global tickets that are also centered around their European footprint. So I think that's really -- the pipeline there is very full. And now to the price point discussion, it's clear, and we've always said that we are demanding for this product a completely different price point. And we are very focused to get to that price point. And for now, that works very well. So let's wait and see.
The good advantage that we have that we don't have a pressure to act. And that's much different from if you start a cement plant and you have a silo of 20,000 tonnes. If the silo is full, you have 2 options, either you sell the product or you stop your production. So that pressure is not there with evoZero to be very clear because we can breathe over 5 years in terms of storage with the tokens. So that gives us also ample opportunity to pull every lever we can or want on finding the right projects, the right customers for the right price point.
Okay. And then regarding your question about additives and diesel supply security here, I have nothing to report with no shortages, supply right now is okay. So nothing to report from that perspective right now.
Okay. This concludes our conference call. Thanks for your good questions. Just a reminder that, as always, we will be on the road following our AGM next week on -- when is it, Wednesday next week. We will be at a couple of conferences in Frankfurt, also in the U.S. So stay tuned. If you're interested, please let the IR team know. And with that, have a good day.
Thanks.
Thanks, everybody. Thanks.
Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over. Thank you for choosing Chorus Call, and thank you for participating in the conference. You may now disconnect your lines. Goodbye.
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Heidelberg Materials — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Heidelberg Materials — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Q1 2026: Wetterbedingte Volumenverluste drücken Ergebnis, Management bestätigt Jahresziele, setzt auf Kostprogramm, Buyback und selektive M&A.
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: EUR 4,5 Mrd.
- EBITDA: EUR 484 Mio. (−13% YoY)
- Operative Marge: 10,7% (leicht rückläufig)
- RCO: EUR 163 Mio. (Recurring comparable operating profit; wettergetriebener Rückgang)
- Transformation: >EUR 400 Mio. realisiert; Ziel >EUR 500 Mio. bis Jahresende
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Kostenprogramm: Transformation Accelerator läuft, Fokus auf weitere Einsparungen inkl. Anlagenschließungen und Optimierung der europäischen Struktur.
- Kapitalallokation: nächster Buyback‑Tranche EUR 450 Mio. nach AGM; Dividendendisziplin bleibt; organisches Wachstum und gezielte Zukäufe.
- Dekarbonisierung: Airvault‑Neubau in Frankreich läuft (−30% CO2 gegenüber Altanlage) und evoZero (CO2‑Capture) in Produktion mit aktivem Vertriebs‑Pipeline.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Jahresziele: RCO‑Range EUR 3,4–3,75 Mrd.; ROIC >10% (Return on Invested Capital); CapEx EUR 1,2–1,3 Mrd.; leichte CO2‑Reduktion erwartet.
- Einschlüsse: MAAS (AUS) und AKCANSA (TR) sind nicht in der Guidance enthalten; Abschlüsse/Timing antitrust‑abhängig.
- Risiken: Kurzfristig Wetter und Energie/CO2‑Preise; mittelfristig politische/geopolitische Unsicherheiten und EU‑ETS‑Entwicklung.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Energie & Preise: Management will Mehrkosten vollständig auspreisen; Diesel/Fuel ≈15% des Energiebudgets, direkter Effekt als „low‑single‑digit“ auf Energy‑Bill angegeben.
- Volumen & Wetter: Q1‑Schwäche v.a. Northeast US und Teile Europas; April zeigte deutliches Volumen‑Recovery, was Upside für Folgequartale bedeutet.
- Margendruck NA: Starker Rückgang in Nordamerika durch regionalen Einbruch (Northeast); Management erwartet Erholung mit Volumen‑ und Pricing‑Dynamik.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Management bestätigt Jahresziele und liefert drei Deckungshebel: operative Einsparungen (Transformation), Kapitalrückfluss (Buyback) und gezielte M&A. Q1 war wetterbedingt schwach, April signalisiert Erholung — kurzfristiges Risiko bleibt, langfristig bekommen Aktionäre durch Kostfortschritt und CO2‑Produkte (evoZero) klaren Value‑Treiber.
Heidelberg Materials — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Heidelberg Materials Full Year Results 2025 Conference Call. I'm Sergen, the Chorus Call operator. [Operator Instructions] and the conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast. At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Christoph Beumelburg. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, good afternoon, good evening to everyone listening into our Full Year 2025 Conference Call. Thanks for dialing in. As usual, we have Dominik and René with us, CEO and CFO plus the IR team in the room. We have some total remarks. We're going to go through them relatively quickly and then take the time for your questions. Over to you, Dominik.
Chris, thanks a lot. Hello, everybody. Sunshine in Heidelberg, 20 degrees. That's a good time to have the conference call, great setting. Welcome. Let's go into the summary first page. Very good year for us, yet another record year. I think all the key metrics is going in the right direction, as we all reached a new record high at EUR 3.4 billion. EBITDA margin up important for us. You know that we are very focused on improving the structural profitability up to almost 22%, also driven by a great success on the Transformation Accelerator initiative that has already encountered EUR 380 million of savings.
Remember, the saving target is down the road EUR 500 million by end of this year. I remember very well our Q3 conference call. Here you go, European margins increased to 20.5%. And so -- very good performance out of Europe, especially also in Q4. So I think a fantastic entry point going into 2026.
Free cash flow, René will further go into at a strong level of EUR 2.1 billion, leverage stable at around 1.2x. What is very good now is the ROIC that has surpassed comfortably the 10% mark. So 10.4%, I think is the highest we ever had and it's really well on track to our midterm guidance the capital markets where we said we go up to 12%. Shareholder return up 10%, so even more than the profitability increase with a combination of progressive dividend and share buybacks, EUR 1.1 billion. The second tranche has been done and the acquired shares have been canceled.
We are really continuing to make the difference, not only because we are the only global ones, not only because we are the heavy building materials guys but also because we now turn this into superior differentiating products. EvoZero hits the market as the world's first carbon captured net zero cement. And the first customers are happily using it.
And then last but not least, importantly, the outlook for this year, we are optimistic. We are going to increase our result with a range that you know from us is always cautious at the beginning of the year, EUR 3.4 billion to EUR 3.75 billion again above 10% and the CO2 emissions continue to decline.
With that, I think next page is basically just repeating what I just said. I think we don't need to go through that other than it's green on basically all dimensions and the adjusted EPS has also gone up, René will talk to you that in a minute. So overall, I think a strong performance. René, you want to say something on the transaction in Australia?
Thanks so many. Hello, everyone, from my side. You've seen 3 weeks ago, we have announced that we signed an agreement that we want to take over the construction materials segment of the mass group in Australia. And here you see some numbers. It's 40 aggregate quarries and you can read it, they have released the results and it's a listed company. He saw it's 7 million to 8 million tonnes of aggregate, [ 50 ] million cubes of concrete and asphalt in the recycling operations, that complements our footprint on the East Coast very nicely. And important is to say that we stay in our strict financial framework. You see it the transaction value is AUD 1.7 billion only, and after synergies, the multiple is 8.4%, which fits to our, let's say, targets what we have guided for. And you have seen probably 2 days ago, mass on stage 1 results. We as put it here on the chart, and the revenue was up 43% and the EBITDA increased by EUR 36 million which is on track to what we have assumed even slightly better. So you see there's good potential in that acquisition.
So the only one is what we need now is authorities from the regulators, which will come probably Q3, hopefully, and then we see how that goes. Dominik, over to you.
On the back of that, Page 5, I think we need to pause here for a moment because I think this is a super important slide, underpinning strongly, the 7% to 10% growth, the target we gave midterm on RCO, where does it come from? Organic and acquisitions side by side.
On the left side, you see the organic development. And we really have to take a couple of seconds here to digest this. 2022 versus 2025, the RCO went from EUR 2.5 billion to EUR 3.4 billion. I would say "Sorry, guys, [indiscernible], that's not a bad track record". It is solely driven by the triangle management of price costs that includes both fixed and variable costs and some M&A. So a good contribution, strong contribution from that end. But then you go back left to the volume side, and with the decline of the volumes in the past couple of years, we got a headwind -- a headwind of EUR 1 billion result. EUR 1 billion result just driven by volume decline.
Now statistically, I said it this morning in the press conference here, statistically, after 4 years of volume decline, we are coming nearer to the point where this will turn, and I will give you some further indications down the road. Now you can make the calculation yourself. If this only turns slightly on the much better cost base I tell you, we're going to have some fun when it comes down to the RCO development. So that's just the organic side.
And then you put -- you complement it with the acquisition side that goes on top of it. we not been sitting on our hands, but we told you we're going to accelerate. And that any just showed you how we are accelerating already at the beginning of 2026, with a focus on all our key markets, North America, Australia, Morocco, Tanzania, Southeast Asia and also Europe, including the recycling piece. So every market is now really focused on a very strong M&A pipeline. The pipeline is clearly full and you should see more M&A as we go through 2026, more than in 2025.
Then Transformation Accelerator initiative. I mentioned it already. We said, I think, in earlier calls, it's going to be backloaded, 40-60 between '25 and '26. And look, what we have done, it's been front loaded quite significantly. With a significant impact positively on the savings side. Then it will give you the impact that it also has on other financial metrics later on. But I think the EUR 380 million are really strong. So from my seat, I am very convinced that we will surpass -- well surpassed the EUR 500 million when it comes to the end of this year. So from my understanding, there is clear upside on the TAI savings.
If you go to decarbonization, I think we are trying to stay on the floor and we're trying to be modest, but I think it's fair to say all the numbers that we've seen so far we are now the clear leader the clear leader in decarbonization of the traditional levers long before we even come to carbon capture and storage. So our net CO2 emissions on alternative fuels, on clinker incorporation, unsustainable revenues. It's hard to be out. So I think all are moving in the right direction. And look at the jump down in alternative fuel rates, 300 basis points in just 1 year, guys. I think this is a very strong track record that will eventually also turn into superior results.
Talking about sustainability. I think it's clear that we want to make the difference on the back of this on the product side. In the end, every technology is only as good as it turns into an advantage for our customers. So we are very focused on selling at the very interesting margins, both EvoZero and evoBuild, including evoBuild carbon capture to make sure that we carry the technical advantages that we have built also to the P&L of our customers and to the advantage of our customers.
And we are going to build out our near zero leadership through CCS. We've done Brevik technically, it's running CO2 gets captured. The product is in the market. Padeswood is the one that we have now kicked off. We are going to continue to push Padeswood. And you know that we have gotten the funding for other projects in the framework needs to still be adjusted in order for us to FID any of these projects. I'm sure we'll come back to that point later on in your question.
Now what is important for me to understand, when you think about Heidelberg materials, it's not just about CCS. Sometimes I have to going to get some of your feedback, everybody says, "Hey, [indiscernible] at CCS, but not the rest", sorry guys CCS is well marketed, that's clear, and it's important for us for the future. It's the proof point that we get to near zero and net zero on concrete side, absolutely. But Heidelberg is not built on CCS only. As I showed you, it's built on a very solid decarbonization piece, and is built on a very strong and ever being stronger digital automation and AI piece.
And I just brought you this one example on autonomous trucks. I think we've shared with some of you already directly. And that is really now getting into -- being scaled up. We've done -- completed the pilot before end of 2025, we have completed a 2 million tonne haul package in our Bridgeport -- Lake Bridgeport quarry. And from there, we expect significant savings out of this.
This is not [ Mickey Mouse ] guys. This is a huge addressable cost base when we talk about both CapEx and OpEx. Buying these trucks is very costly, operating them is very costly. Also because you need drivers and not only one driver, you typically do two or three drivers if you run on the three shift system. And that means significant staff cost savings significant savings on fuel and tariffs, significant savings on repair and maintenance costs and, by the way, also better productivity levels. If you put that all together, this has fantastic paybacks below 2 years. There's not a lot of projects where you can get to us.
And again, very say mindset like in decarbonization. We do these things to bring it down to the bottom line. If it doesn't create value, we don't touch it. Don't assume that we are just investing into these things to make a big marketing splash about it. No, we make this to increase our margins to accelerate our growth. And here is a good example I could give you 10 more.
You followed also the partnership setup that we have created to also switch the industry into the cloud and to move the industry so long beyond Heidelberg Materials into the cloud, with a partnership ecosystem setup between Command Alkon, [ Geotech ], Pathways and C60, that one is really going well. And with that, both using that set up internally and also for third parties. The drivers are clear. We want to increase the stickiness for our customers, we want to boost their and our revenue and margins with that set up. We want to really accelerate our EvoZero and evoBuild sales by combining it with a very robust digital process. And obviously, we'll also use it to automate the EPD. So you don't get it only once a year, but you get it basically real time. Again, here only a couple of examples.
On the operational side of things, I think important to note that Q4 was a good Q4, especially when it comes to EBITDA, EBITDA margins and RCO, I think, strong exit point out of 2025 going into 2026. Of course, there is winter here and there. So I think it's fair to say that in Europe and also in the U.S., you saw the blizzard in New York during this week. There is a little bit in the small months and small quarters. There is always the risk of winter. And once things are frozen today, 20 degrees, as I said, sunshine in Heidelberg, so we are moving in the right direction.
If you go to the full year, I think we've shared with you the results. I think for me, that's okay. Let's go to the bridge on Page 14 and 15, you see that the picture that we've seen for a while has not fundamentally changed we have -- we see good price over -- positive price over cost, even stronger than in Q3, I think. So Q4 had a better price of our cost development than Q3. So you see the structural advantage of Q4 but a big volume hit again. So to my earlier remarks, if that only turns flat basically, that would be a significant advantage.
If you go to the same page on Page 15, for the full year, you see that price over cost is very positive, still a hit on the net volume side, but also to the very right, you see some good contributions from M&A now kicking in EUR 65 million. So I think that's good.
Then if you go to Europe, I think Europe convincing performance. And again, remember, in Q3, we had a little bit of a question and answer TikTok around what's going on in Europe. And we -- René and I, hold your breath guys, from 1 quarter to the other. We said there were some extraordinary shifts over the quarter borderline. So here we go. So I think Europe, despite s****** weather, sorry, despite s***** weather, especially in December, I think Europe will offer a very strong performance in Q4, and we are moving in the right direction. Both in terms of EBITDA but also in terms of EBITDA margin. And by the way, across all three business lines.
North America, I think, overall, okay, but I wouldn't say something to celebrate too much. I think there is upside in North America. From my seat, I think we are working well on the EBITDA. I think that's okay. especially if you take the weather effect into account because remember, our footprint is quite northern. So it's -- we have a big footprint in the Northeast, Midwest, including Canada and in the Northwest. And that's obviously in winter always a little bit. So Q4 and Q1 for us is always in North America is a little bit volatile. But I think on the EBITDA margin side on aggregate, good performance, I think 33.3%. I would say there is still upside on cement and ready mix as we go into 2026. And the team has fully understood this, as we have obviously discussed this internally.
Then Asia Pacific, I think, okay, but I would say, below my personal ambitions and expectations. I think, René, maybe you say something to Australia in a second. But I think overall margin moving up, that's good. That's a good sign that the structural profitability is moving. Cost management is being very good, despite the markets being really sluggish. China, Hong Kong, Bangladesh, Indonesia, [indiscernible], Thailand and especially India, better volume growth. Malaysia getting better throughout the year. So overall, I think the markets are still somewhat sluggish. Nevertheless, the team has pulled off a good -- very good margin performance. And with that structural profitability as volumes come back, I think we should see also better result development. Maybe René, you say something.
Sale, Q4, I think, was 10% up in Q4, which was very good and then the full year also up versus prior year, even if we -- due to the fact that the first 6 months were weak in Australia, so -- but the market is coming back in general, February confirms that the market is improving. So our outlook for Australia should be okay.
Yes. And then what you want me to say, you enjoy this one on your own. What do you want to say? I think a fantastic top line growth in all dimensions in the right direction, EBITDA at the margin level, the EBITDA margin in cement, 30%. I leave this for you to enjoy without a comment.
Africa, Middle East.
Sorry, I'm talking about 19, Page 19, Africa, Mediterranean and Western Asia. Okay. With that, René, I'll turn it over to you.
Thanks, Dominik. Let me go on Slide 21. Just quickly the highlights. Adjusted earnings per share go up 4%, and the adjusted, as you know, we take the out. And in previous -- in prior year '24, we had a EUR 65 million provision release in discontinued operations, which is also purely one-off it we've taken out, and that leads to a 4% increase. Free cash flow at EUR 2.1 billion. We come later to that. Why is this slightly going down cash conversion at 45%, which we said was the target for '25. Now with -- in the United Capital Markets here, we've moved this to 50. But I think with that number, we are on track, ROIC, at record level, as Dominik said, that tells you a little bit that we manage the company very -- in a very disciplined way, leverage at 1.2, [ no surprises ] below our midterm target.
And then capital allocation, we said it shareholder return went up 10%. And will also further go up in 2026 because we had progressive dividend plus we have the last tranche of the share buyback, so that will go up further. And then [indiscernible] is closed and [indiscernible] signed, so that's just repetition.
Let's go to the next slide, the P&L, until [indiscernible] have discussed, [ AOR ] is EUR 170 million better than last year, but still, we have some impairments, some restructuring costs in the EUR 264 million. And as we have outlined in the Capital Markets Day, we have, let's say, European at plan also and this needs to be prepared here you have numbers in for restructuring and impairment, but the good thing is it lower than in '24.
Financial result, I think, very, very, very low for the size of the company, EUR 193 million, I guess it's best-in-class number. income taxes goes slightly up, and you see our profits go up, so we have to pay taxes. Net result from discontinued operations, that's the minus EUR 80 million, what I said that's the EUR 65 million in last year. So the factor is nearly flat. And the noncontrolling interest, you see EUR 190 million that goes EUR 50 million up. Why is this? Because in Africa, we have countries where we don't own 100% like Morocco or Egypt and then here the minorities go out. So we come to a reported group share profit of EUR 1.94 billion, which is EUR 160 million up. And if you take the one-offs out, let's say, [ AOR ] and the big provision release, we go up by EUR 0.50 per share, which is, I think, a very good result.
If we go to the next slide, to the free cash flow, you see that here, EUR 2.1 billion, EUR 60 million lower. Two major, let's say, items. You see the CapEx goes up by EUR 80 million. And Dominik alluded to that, we have here already some money in Q4 for Padeswood, which is good. Yes, we are building something that's very good. And you know that we get here also support from the U.K. government.
And then another line is your noncash items and other, you see a minus EUR 152 million. And this is due to the fact that we have some cash out from provisions last for the restructuring last year, we have built up the provision and this year, we have paid it out. There's for restructuring. There's some -- obviously, some bonuses if the company does a record result and there's 1 to one-off payments for some litigations. So there's nothing we have very good transparency here. Obviously, there's nothing of concern.
And this end, you have seen the TAI project instead of EUR 250 million, we have delivered EUR 380 million. That comes obviously with some costs, but we should see some relief here because the big things have been done.
If you then go to the next slide, net debt development, you see that debt is going up EUR 400 million leverage, I'd say, EUR 1.2 billion to EUR 1.2 billion, that's flat. And how did we use the free cash flow, yes, net gross CapEx of EUR 1.1 billion, which then the biggest one was the Giant and Asment Témara, that's roughly EUR 800 million, EUR 900 million of this or EUR 800 million of this dividends, we have increased minorities also, share buyback EUR 400 million to EUR 1.1 billion return, which is plus 10%, and then some other [indiscernible] liabilities in there, which gave every year. I think very solid number EUR 5.7 billion for the company comes to a leverage of EUR 1.2 billion.
If we then come to the next slide, the earnings per share over a longer period that moves up to CAGR 12%. I guess that's a remarkable number. And obviously, the plan for '26 is that this move further up and the ROIC now at 10.4%, I alluded to that. It's a record number. RCO up tax rate, better invested capital well managed. So all three dimensions are very well managed, leading to that number. Dominik, I hand over to you for the outlook.
Thanks, René. Then let me go through the outlook before we come to your questions. Let's go from left to right.
So overall, North America, positive outlook as we have good both good volumes and also pricing expectations for North America. Of course, residential is going to continue to stay a little bit soft. But I think data centers but also the real estate sector is coming back when it comes to the commercial real estate sector. So overall, I think a quite positive outlook for North America.
Africa, Mediterranean and Western Asia are same thing. We kept it short intact organic growth, good management performance on pricing and costs should lead to another good year out of [indiscernible].
Europe, I think, overall, continues to be strong, especially in Eastern and Southern Europe. But I also do see some light at the end of the donor for this home market here in Germany and also our Northern European market, which is very important for us that it comes back. And hopefully, the same will then happen eventually in Benelux, France and the U.K.
Pricing, we have deliberately not put on the slide here in Europe because this is very competitive sensitive. That is why we are staying here very diligent when it comes to competition.
Asia Pacific, I think, good market momentum in Australia, as you heard from René and some positive development in India, especially on the volume side. But hopefully, Thailand will recover after the election now has been done was very quiet. I think this should lead to a stable government. And then Indonesia and China will remain probably a little bit challenging as they are trying to find their foothold in the new setup, both in China and in Indonesia.
So that's the picture for us, and that then turns into positive guidance. We are confident on RCO, I will grow our RCO between [ 3.4 to 3.75 ]. As you know from [indiscernible] materials, both cautious and a larger range at the beginning of the year, and then we'll continue to go through 2026. [indiscernible], we are confident that we can deliver again above 10% CO2 emissions should see a further slight reduction on the back of a global leadership already. CapEx, as René was alluding to slightly higher than in 2025 for the reasons he gave, and then leverage going to stay around 1.5x, in line with our midterm targets. That's it from our side, and then we'll get to your questions.
Thank you. Operator, can you start the QA process, please?
[Operator Instructions].
Okay. So we have quite a few people on the line. So please, as always, restrict your questions to two at a time, if you will. We start with Ben Rada Martin from Goldman Sachs.
2. Question Answer
My first was just on the 2026 EBIT guidance. I wonder, can you talk through some of your assumptions when it comes to scope and FX. I noted you're talking about better M&A year in 2026 versus 2025, but just so we understand what's driven by those two buckets? And I guess what's organic?
And then the second question would just be on the European EPS. I know we've seen a lot of uncertainty in the last few weeks, a range of outcomes. I'd be interested in, I guess, how you internally see the outcomes that are on the table I guess, if you're looking to incorporate any flexibility into your European cement planning at all, just when it comes to clinker rationalization and any investment? I know there's a lot of things being thrown up at the moment, but it would be valuable to touch on that topic?
René take the first one, and I'll do the second one, okay?
Ben, it's a Déjà vu for me. Now we have the same first question I think, last year when we talked about our guidance, also guys just for transparency, our guidance includes a 3-digit million negative FX impact, which is roughly 3%. And then the rest, you can do the math. So if we add up organic and scope, we are coming to a growth of roughly 8%, which is fully in line with what we told you at the Capital Markets Day. And the scope piece of this is probably rather on the 1% to 1.5% to 2% range. So that tells you something.
So as Dominik said it, let's see how it comes through the year. But I think an 8% growth, not considering FX is a very, very reasonable number. And maybe there is something in it. If it gets better, we have upside here on the fix side. If you look at the rates, maybe there is something and in the scope side, Dominik said it, we want to grow. Math is obviously not included in that guidance, for example. So I think there is some room if everything goes well.
Okay, René. Thanks a lot. And then, Ben, on the [ ATS ], we are not the market, but I can tell you, I'm shaking my head a little bit. I think I really don't understand quite frankly, what's going on there. because for us, to your point, the [ ATS ] system has been there for 20 years. Do you really believe that's going to get scrapped? Forget it. It's never going to happen. Are they going to make some adjustment maybe, but guys, just remember, [indiscernible], you asked about flexibility. Guys, we are daily able to shift between the different years, and we have proven this for many years now. And I think it's clear to be specific to your point, rationalization of capacity will absolutely continue because with or without CO2, we want to be the cost leader especially in Europe, but also in other parts of the world.
So -- and then you can put the CO2 thing on top, and that may create even more dynamics. But in the end, clearly, the rationalization will continue.
On the investment side, the general part of the investments also the traditional decarbonization will absolutely continue. Obviously, in line with returns. If we have a decarbonization investment, that depends on a CO2 price of EUR 100, and we don't have that CO2 price right now inside well, then we hold off with that investment, but that's nothing new for us. That's normal day-to-day business.
And the same is true for CCS. We always said, we only FID these projects, if there is a superior business case. And if the government will spread some uncertainty, we just sit on our hands and wait until the framework is in a way that we can use it. And that was the fact in Brevik, and that was the fact in Padeswood. That's why we've done those two. But guess why we have nothing done in Europe yet. Maybe there is not enough stability in the framework and not enough funding from either Europe or the national governments. And then we do not move. That's also what we said in the capital markets. don't get so excited in last year in May. We are the clear leader, CCUS leader we are going to be that for the next 5 years. There is no rush for us to go into anything crazy. We are going to stay financially disciplined. So I really don't understand all these more for me that I have to smile a little bit, sorry.
The next question comes from Luis Prieto from Kepler.
Two for me today. The first one is how have price increases started this year in the context of declining CO2 allowances. And also regarding this, when do we know more about benchmarks and how the industry is suffering or not from the lower loss.
And the second one, is surpassing the EUR 500 million transformation accelerator savings target to an extent included in your current guidance range that you just commented on?
Okay. Let René take the last one, and I'll take the first two ones. On the price increases, again, came down. There is no change to what we have told you before. Price increases get implemented across the world. That's also true for Europe.
Obviously, as I said, given the winter setup in Q4 and Q1, there is always -- there may be some delay as the business is just not moving at this point, but there is no change in terms of what we want to achieve in terms of pricing both in Europe and in the U.S. and in other parts of the world.
When it comes to the benchmark, Luis, we are not the EU Commission or the parliament. You know the time line around this. They are trying to get their answer on this in this quarter or at the latest next quarter, and they will publish a benchmark. There are thousands of rumors around what the benchmark figure will be personally. And this is my personal opinion, don't want me on this. I do not believe that the benchmark is going to be tightened to the very limit. It's going to be somewhere in the middle between where we are now and where the big speculation was in the park. So I foresee that there may be some relief on the benchmark versus the very extreme approach that was maybe discussed half a year or a year ago.
But it's -- sorry, that's the normal that's the normal review process that happens every year, but now everybody gets so excited about it. I don't know what's going on. Every a couple of years, you have this review cycle and then they play around with the benchmark and they do a little bit here and there, but that doesn't change anything fundamentally guys. So that's where we sit on the benchmark discussion.
So Luis, regarding TAI, just one in advance to -- you see our TAI numbers clearly in TAI savings in our P&L. We have reduced our fixed cost this year by EUR 40 million reported, even though we have EUR 40 million negative inventory. So like-for-like is EUR 80 million reduction. So that tells you that we see the net effect of the tie in our numbers. So that's number one.
Number two, to your question, do we have more than EUR 500 million in our guidance. I would say, obviously, there is a big part in the guidance. But as we have written it on the slide, maybe there's some upside in that number also.
Great. Next one comes from Elodie Rall from JPMorgan.
My two questions would be, first of all, going back to European cement prices. I just wondered if you could just tell us if the discussions that have taken place started to take place on the has impacted the outlook at all for you for European cement prices? And in particular, the price cost spread that you do expect to generate this year and next year, if there's any change to that in your view? And if a lower carbon price also impacts that?
And second, on your guidance, it'd be helpful if you could can help us understand what takes you to the lower and higher and of the branch in terms of pricing, volume or other assumptions that you've made there? .
Thanks, Elodie. To your first question, no and no. So no change. And we are fully on track and also know whether there will be an impact to price over cost from my perspective, no clear target will be, again, to deliver a positive price over cost scenario for 2026. So in both cases, no, no, which means, yes, yes, in the end, okay.
Regarding the guidance and to, first of all, the lower end, obviously, Dominik said it. I think we -- and you see it on the slide, we have assumed volume recovery in a few of our areas. And we were sitting here last year, and I said it also for euro volume recovery for the rest and it didn't happen, but we still deliver the result. So if the volume recovery does not happen, maybe we come to the lower end of the guidance. But if everything goes to plan, we can be probably a little bit better than the midpoint of the guidance. It's early in the year. I said it. We have some maybe tie-up side. There's a fixed maybe something, there's scope, maybe something. So this can lead us probably to the upper end of the guidance. I hope that's enough.
My team gets completely nervous with my now. And yes, yes, just to be very clear, what you asked whether there is any change on the pricing targets and the pricing implementation, no. whether there is any negative impact on the price over cost dynamics, now. So that's why I said, yes, yes, because both goes in the right direction in pricing and also in price of our cost, just to be clear about it.
Next in line is Pujarini Ghosh from Bernstein.
So one question is on the margin expectation for -- that's baked into your guidance for 2026. And could you provide a little bit of color around what range of margin expansion you're expecting given the very strong margin expansion we saw last year? And then how this flips into maybe the synergies, price cost, operating leverage or deleverage and anything else? And could there be some regional differences.
And I think my second question is around, again, going back to the question, and you've already invested in Brevik, and you've started investing in Padeswood. And last year at the CMD, you gave a very good explanation of the excellent profitability and returns from Brevik but supposing, hypothetically prices collapse. Then could you provide of your returns or at least from these plants to like every in the carbon prices?
René, maybe you want to talk about the margins -- with the margin question first, and then I'll help a little bit with the EU [indiscernible] and maybe they can also add with the financial.
That's a very detailed margin question, I have to say. So I'll give you a high level what should happen, obviously, what we said as well in the Capital Markets Day. For Europe, our margins should move further up. We do the, let's say, the plant optimization the pricing should be reasonable. And if volumes come back a little bit, that is all obviously contributing to our margin, and you see this also in '25. So that works and should go further up. .
Then we go to North America. You see we have in cement, you have seen the number went slightly down in '25. That should obviously recover because the cement price increase in the U.S. should be more pronounced than we added in '25. And also on the cost side, the U.S. colleagues have a very good cost target. And in aggregate, there should be decent pricing also. So margins in the U.S. should move further up.
And then in Asia or in APAC, the margins are already pretty at the bottom. So that depends on a little bit what does pricing do because cost management is very good. let's see how that moves in APAC for sure, Australia margins have to go up due to good cost and good pricing.
And then for [indiscernible], margin is already at 30%. So let's see how we move there. But overall, the sentiment here is also good. So overall, we should see the group margin obviously going up with all the measures we are taking.
The next question comes from Tom Zhang from -- sorry, sorry, yes.
So on the [ EOACS ] first of all, there is no sign whatsoever that the demand for our evoBuild carbon capture or EvoZero products is collapsing or even the prices comes collapsing, absolutely not. There is no impact whatsoever, just to be very clear. And I think that answers then also the question, what's the to a hypothetical approach for us that the hypothesis is not one that we follow at all -- and as you know, just as a general remark, our equity in Brevik is very limited. So you should try to get to the downside protection, forget it is meaningless. That's always what we said, it needs to be a very, very profitable business case and our skin in the game is not 0, but it is very, very small and reasonable that's both true for Brevik and Padeswood so there is no impact for us from that end.
The only -- if I may add and we discuss it intensively, obviously, as if the price really drops to EUR 30 to EUR 50, the only thing what we will do then is there will be a very hard review of all the CapEx projects we are doing. New CapEx projects, which are purely based on CO2 prices, we obviously have it very difficult to get approved because the business case just doesn't work.
If at all this happens, then you should see an improvement in our cash flow because the CapEx spending will somehow go down, yes. So that's because for the big projects, we will then put the brakes on and we said it today morning in the press conference also, uncertainty politically in a particular environment is not helping that Heidelberg is speeding up investments. So that's very clear. And if at all, our cash flow would go up.
Then Tom Zhang from Barclays.
Maybe following on from your point around cash, actually. My first question was just you just about hit the cash conversion target for above 45% this year. I understand there was quite a lot of restructuring cash out, could you maybe talk about the phasing of that? Has the cash out for restructuring, are we part of the peak of that? Should that come off in 2026, now that the bulk of transformation accelerator has done. And do you have a view around can we get above 45% cash flow conversion next year even though CapEx is going higher?
And then the second question is just on your shareholder return policy. I suppose you talked quite a lot about M&A as a use of excess capital, obviously, with the pullback in your share pricing, is that -- does that create an opportunity, I suppose, to either pull forward the third tranche, extend the third tranche. Yes, I was be curious of your thoughts on that.
Okay. Tom, thanks for the two questions. On the first, let's do the shareholder return policy question. we will start the third tranche after the AGM, as we have done the second one as we have done in 2025. So there's no change. And if you do the math, we announced EUR 1.2 billion for that program. and the third tranche will be the biggest. So that improves, let's say, the -- move the share buyback already up in 2026.
That's an important point. I think it's overlooked a little bit because we are going to stick to the EUR 1.8 billion. And then you can do the math, and you can calculate that the last tranche is deliberately the biggest. So in that respect, I think I'm not sure everybody got that.
Yes, it really falls at EUR 50 million, the third tranche in this year. So that is a good increase. And as we said it also, from a dividend perspective, so progressive. So that means it will go up. So you see -- we'll see nicely increased shareholder return also in 2026. And for now, no change to our return policy.
We increased -- we will increase it in '26 and then let's see how the year goes, what we then do the year after. In terms of free cash flow and the -- in cash conversion, yes, we reached the 45%. And coming to your question about restructuring and cash out I would say we should be near the -- we should have seen the peak. So the number in 2026 should be lower -- materially lower than we have seen in 2025, which should help obviously on the cash conversion. And then we -- as we said it, we want to come closer to the 50%. But also, we do see the U.S. Padeswood wood in 2026. But you see it in our CapEx numbers. We always stayed below our guidance. And that is a little bit the thing in the CapEx guidance. This year, we have EUR 1.2 billion to EUR 1.3 billion. And if we will be below the EUR 1.3 billion, which we have announced at the Capital Markets Day, there's a well room for the cash conversion, I think we are on track, Tom. There's a big one-off of this restructuring cost this year. So we should be okay in 2026.
Next in line is from Ephrem Ravi from Citi Group.
So two quick questions. Firstly, on M&A, you say the pipeline is very full and you seem genuinely excited about it. Just to get to that 1.5x net debt to EBITDA, you're talking about probably about EUR 3.5 billion of cash headroom for acquisitions and you've already spent about EUR 1.3 billion on mass. So are we looking more like EUR 2.2 billion, EUR 2.3 billion sort of scale of acquisitions? Or are you also looking at acquisitions that may require issuing equity? So just in terms of the scale of that you're looking at.
Second question, on your digital investments, obviously, [indiscernible] and those. A lot of the software companies or legacy software companies in the market have seen their share prices half or more because AI is going to basically replicate all of that. Do you think you've got the right suit of digital tools for the AI work rather than sort of the legacy software world in terms of your digital strategy?
On the very first one, 0 equity raise on for M&A. Just to be very clear, if there's any speculation on your end, sorry, guys, no equity raise for acquisitions. We never indicated that, and that's clearly off the table. Just to be very clear. But René, you want to make and then I'll say something on the [indiscernible].
[indiscernible] math, I need to understand because you said we have capacity of what EUR 3.5 billion or something. So our free cash flow is -- let's pick a number, is this year, EUR 2.1 billion, and then we pay a, let's say, EUR 1.1 million, EUR 1.2 million shareholder return, dividends and share back. Then there's EUR 1 billion left. And if I want to move the leverage [ 0.3 ] up, there's another 1.3 billion to come. So there's EUR 2.4 billion left for me. If I do that math, if I want to come to the net debt-to-EBITDA target is there will be some EBITDA contribution also.
But okay, and the math number, I need to correct, you said EUR 1.3 billion, it's AUD 1.7 billion, which is EUR 950 million. That's the mask number. And as Dominik said it, we have more capacity to do that. If we spent EUR 1 billion then the leverage would be still below [ 1.4 ]. It's a most just right now. And the [ 1.5 ] is not a -- it's our midterm target. We can be maybe [ 1.6 ], so we can be [ 1.2 ]. So that's our midterm target, which we will keep. But it's very clear we want to grow further, and there will be more M&A to come.
Okay. And then on the digital investments plan, I think you're right from my perspective, and you see what the capital markets have done in the last couple of weeks on the software side of things. Rest assured, we've taken diligent reviews on exactly that point. And I think from our seat, it's clear that the software world will split a little bit with all that AI discussion into, I would say, the general software companies and those who are deeply intertwined with the workflow end-to-end with your customers and those will rather profit from this whole discussion because we have a vast acceleration of product development and a much higher productivity in terms of coding. So the costs will lower. The time to market will be quicker and you get a very sticky connection in the workflow. So we have done this review also together with our partner, Thoma Bravo, and we have no reason to believe that Command Alcon gets any hit from this. It's probably rather the opposite.
The next question comes from Cedar Ekblom from Morgan Stanley.
Questions from me. Can you talk about the North American business. We've now had 4 quarters of consecutive negative organic top line growth. And if I'm assuming that you had a little bit of positive pricing momentum in the fourth quarter, you're looking at sort of high single-digit volume declines across all product categories in North America.
So I'd like to get a sense of how we should be thinking about the development in this very important market for you in 2026. Are we actually seeing growth yet at a top line perspective?
And then secondly, on M&A, we've obviously debated a lot about the scope for M&A, which sounds very material. It sounds like you guys are really bullish on the growth opportunities.
Can you just remind us about how are we thinking around sort of priorities regionally, products, et cetera, that would be helpful.
Yes, thanks a lot. Let me take those two questions, and René jump in if you want, on both. So North America top line growth, you're right. Top line was sluggish in North America for a while. I don't think we are on our own. So I think that tells you that the market, especially on the volume side has not been our friend, over the last couple of years, I would even say.
I think the other point is that cost management has been good. but it needs to be super good because inflation underlying inflation in North America is still fairly high. So I think there, you have that one element. The relief on the energy cost side in North America, you don't get as much as in other parts of the world. And then last but not least, when it comes to pricing, I think it differs quite market-by-market, quarter-by-quarter. And business line by business line.
And as I indicated earlier, if you look to the last couple of quarters, we are not entirely happy with the development on the cement side. I think there was some import pressure historically that I think has balanced out a little bit under the whole tariff discussion we are more optimistic for pricing in cement in the U.S. That's what you saw in the guidance. And obviously, anyway for aggregates. Aggregate pricing performance was actually good. we are -- that's the picture from our side, Cedar. You want to add to that?
Cedar you made the comment, high single-digit volume reduction. That is absolutely not correct. In cement, it's even close to flat in aggregate is now low single digit. So that's not correct. I just want to say this because. And if you look at also the competition, and we went to the transcript like-for-like, we are the only one which is really better than everyone else is [ Martin ], okay, fair enough. We don't need to hide from the other ones because from a volume perspective, we are not -- we are on par with the other ones.
Sorry, before we go on to M&A. So in the fourth quarter, you had minus 3.6% like-for-like negative organic at the top line. So if volumes are sort of flattish, that...
Ready mix, ready mix.
So we don't have to be worried about pricing trends in cement to pricing in aggregates were quite comfortable with those futures.
Exactly. The biggest stock was in ready-mix, Cedar. [indiscernible] ag is okay.
Okay. Great. And then on M&A, some color on target priorities, et cetera.
Yes. M&A. I mean, first of all, we want to stick to the core markets that we have announced and that you know very well, we're going to tighten the net -- we're going to stick to the business lines that you know. So no endeavor into any other stuff like light side or anything. We're going to stick to the heavy upstream, downstream, that what we've always done. And then from a geographic perspective, as you saw on the earlier map, on our core markets on the radar screen and in the pipeline. That's true for North America. It's true for Africa, Asia, Australia, and it's true for Europe. So no exclusion from there, it's an opportunity-driven game wherever we have the best opportunity, we will jump, but all pipelines are being filled and compete against each other.
Next question comes from Julian Radlinger from UBS.
Yes. So two for me as well. So first of all, in Europe, so the European margins in Q4 were really strong, especially in cement. Can you talk about what drove that? In Q3, I remember you had EUR 10 million to EUR 15 million inventory phasing related one-off. Has that reversed now? Is that effect in there? Is there anything else that's kind of one-off, like CO2 allowance sales or anything like that? Is it a result of the transformation program? What drove that strength in Europe, organic EBIT in Q4?
And then second question, just to come back to the M&A one more, please. So you said in the opening remarks that you expect more M&A in 2026 than in 2025 based on your pipeline, not that you factored into the guidance, but based on what you're seeing. So in '25, you had EUR 113 million EBIT contribution on -- well, you had EUR 150 million EBIT contribution. Does that mean you're -- based on your pipeline, you think you could possibly surpass that number in 2026. And then in that context, can you remind us, please, what the multiples were on average that you paid in 2025 and what you would expect for '26?
Okay. I'll have a quiet afternoon for a second. So René, maybe you start with Europe, Q4? And are there any one-offs?
Okay, the Europe, Q4, what I said clearly in the Q3 call, everybody was disappointed of Q3 margins, as I said, guys come down. It will move into Q4. some phasing effects which we have now the positives in Q4. There's no one-off of CO2 sales or whatever. Why should we sell our valuable certificates, No, we don't or the good thing out of Europe in Q4 was there was good pricing and very good cost management. So that's in simple terms, that is the answer, and it came out what we said margins in Q4 will be good, and they were good.
This is an important point just to add what René was saying. This is TAI. This is the plant adjustments, the capacity adjustments the FTE reductions, we always said we are going to focus this on Europe. And you see clearly, by the way, our year-over-year global fixed cost has come down in absolute terms.
Like-for-like. So I think that is really very strong and a good contribution, strong contribution came from Europe. And you should expect more as we go along because we are probably going to even accelerate the second wave of the master plan in Europe. So we are on it. And I can tell you there is more to come when it comes to margin expansion in Europe.
And when we come -- talk about M&A, and I don't know where you have the numbers on Slide 30, there are the numbers scope for 2025 on EBIT RCO level was EUR 65 million on EBITDA, EUR 115 million, EUR 113 million. And in the original -- at the beginning, I said our guidance includes 1.5% to 2% RCO scope, which you can do the numbers, it's probably between EUR 50 million and million, EUR 60 million. And additional scope is dependent when do we close the acquisition. The Maas acquisition is announced. That's great. But it's not in my hands when we get the regulator approval. So that depends a little bit. So to put now some estimations, I'm reluctant to do because it's not in my hands. We have something in the guidance. And if we do more M&A, and the closing is at the right time, there will be more in there, but I can't tell you how much.
And maybe to your multiples, just a general market, we disclosed the multiple on Maas and I think it's clear we are going to stay very disciplined on the M&A side. We are not going to do a 16, 20, whatever time multiple after synergies. That's crazy guys, we are -- as you saw the math, it's just above 8% for after synergies [indiscernible] returns and I think that's clearly the ballpark that we are using to commit or to stick in the framework that we have committed because you know if you go outside of this to make eventually returns on M&A in our industry will be very difficult. And that's why we're going to stay very focused to stay in that ballpark.
Next one from Arnaud Lehmann from Bank of America.
My first question is about Europe, please. You mentioned your positive outlook for pricing and the fact that price increases are getting implemented. On the other side of that, are there -- is there any cost inflation to consider, we know that French electricity costs could go up? Are there other cost factor that we need to account for? Or do you expect the price increase to flow through in the bottom line?
And my second question is coming back on your acquisition strategy. I appreciate you've made some comments, but looking at the business historically, it was U.S., U.S., U.S. We know at one point, maybe you wanted to do larger deals that did not happen. The more recent past, you've clearly focused M&A on you've done smaller deals in Morocco, Indonesia, Australia. I think there was press articles about Turkey recently. I appreciate you've done Giant as well in the U.S. So it's still on the list. But what has changed in your M&A mindset to justify this, let's say, geographic diversification in your M&A strategy?
I'll do the second one and let René do the first one on pricing in Europe.
Regarding Europe, you were asking about cost. Yes, you are right for France, the [ Arven ] electricity support, let's say, is not as cheap anymore has gone and now that hits us with additional cost. That is correct and no news. And then you asked about other costs.
Obviously, there is certain inflation on salaries. It's clear there is salary increases for our employees in every country, which is probably or whatever should it be, it's probably 2%, 3% wage increases. And then that's probably the big, let's say, cost movements.
On the other side, you Dominik said it also, our wave 2 of our European cement plant optimization, let's say, is coming into play. We have the -- we will have the TAI full effect on the cost side also. And then we have the price increases. So overall, as we said it, price over cost for Europe should be okay and positive. And overall, in energy should be roughly flat.
Obviously, January, February now was expensive because it was so cold, but the summer will come off again. So overall, for Europe, price over cost should be good and margin should improve.
Okay. And then Arnaud, on the acquisition side, just to sit back, sorry to correct you a little bit, but I can't see that we have lost the focus on U.S. We have done a giant massive big acquisition in the Southeast. We've done [ Burnco ], the assets of [ Burnco ] in the Northwest. So that we are not executing on North American acquisitions, I cannot follow. But it's not like it's U.S., U.S. and U.S. only. Sorry, we are a global company, and we can also create good or even better returns in other parts of the world. And that's why we look at a global picture. And that's why you also see acquisitions in Africa. That's why you see acquisitions in Australia, and that's why you see also acquisitions in Asia and acquisitions in Europe.
We always said in our core markets, and obviously, there is not only U.S., U.S., U.S. Plus, I think to be fair, also the U.S. market is challenging in acquisitions. It's very costly. And again, with the rigidity of our financial framework, we want to create the returns. That doesn't mean that we do anything in the U.S. guys. Very clearly, we are very, very focused, and we look at everything that moves in the U.S. market. But we are very diligent about does it fit to our financial framework. And you should see acquisitions in North America down the road, absolutely. But you should also see acquisitions in other parts of the world as they complement our existing footprint, existing markets, drive good synergies, improve the market position and with that, give us further growth potential organically and obviously, margin potential when it comes to better synergies.
The second to last question now comes from Harry Dow from Rothschild & Co. Redburn.
Just two from me. Firstly, maybe if we could just hone a bit back on Europe and recovery and kind of volumes in those comments. I was wondering if you could just give us some more color on what you're seeing on the ground. I think the like-for-like in Q4, I think it was minus 2% at the top line. I suppose it's not signaling any great improvement as of yet. But you sound like you got quite a lot of confidence I suppose that things are turning a corner.
So maybe just in some of the core countries, it would be great to hear sort of views on what you're seeing at the start of 2026. And then secondly, just around the comments on changing of clinker ratios and alternative fuels. I think obviously, that's seen as through the great lens of reducing carbon per tonne and overall. But I wonder whether you could comment also on maybe some of the economic benefits of that? I don't know how much some of those lower sort of fossil fuels and lower clinker ratios actually reduce costs, boost margins in your view? And maybe where regionally you see the most opportunity on that? I know the U.S. starts from a high base, but maybe there's more pushback from customers, but anything on the economics of those changes?
Let me just answer both and then René chips in if he wants. So on the volume side, in Europe, I think let's go country by country or, let's say, region by region a little bit. Southern Europe, absolute intact, good volume development expectation for 2026. Same is true for Eastern Europe. So that's, I think, one important part of Europe. Then we have, I would say, Germany and Northern Europe. I indicated earlier, I think we do expect recovery in both parts of that part of Europe for 2026. I think the ones that are lagging a little bit behind are Benelux, France and U.K.
Let's wait and see how that volume develops in those markets. But in general, don't forget in Europe also Q4 and Q1 are always winter quarters. This time we had winter. So you will see an interesting dynamic over the years now between the different quarters also in Europe, given the weather impact. And -- but underlyingly, and that's importantly from a market perspective, I think we clearly see positive indications in some of our key markets that things are moving in the right direction. I said it earlier, I think in the Q4, for example, in Germany, we saw that the groundwork has really increased. So those companies who are working on the ground to lay infrastructure and everything, they have really a much better and more healthy order book. and execute that order book. So that should also increase cement and concrete demand down the road.
So the early indicators, let alone the permits that are going up on housing and everything. So I think there are some good indications for volume developments in Europe. Nothing is perfect everywhere, but I think those are -- this is the color. And then on clinker incorporation, very interesting question that we have also internally. And I thank you for the question because I think it's important to clarify that again. Yes, we are the decarbonization leader, but we have combined this with superior financial performance guys, which tells you the clear message internally, which I'm happy to share with you.
We are doing the decarbonization on equal or better footing financially. If it's worse footing. And for example, for whatever reason, the coal price would drop to minus where it's 10% or 20% cheaper, then we go for coal. Sorry, we are a capital market-oriented company, and we don't throw money out the window if there is an opportunity to make money that sits within our strategy, but short term needs to be sacrificed for operational and financial performance, then we have a clear mindset here to pull that advantage. So there you see also how we play with this to make -- to give -- to create a full picture that you have seen here in the past hour or so.
Just if I may add, just you asked for the economics. As Dominik said it, alternative fuel, what does it do? Two things. In Europe, it is -- overall, it saves everywhere CO2 -- but in Europe, there is a price behind CO2. So we will save in theory, that price if you are short, you would save to use a part of a certificate, number one.
Number two is you replace fossil fuels, which are normally more expensive with a cheaper thing or even in some countries, we get a gate fee, so we will get paid to take alternative fuels. So we have a few plants in the group in Europe where we have positive cost from fuel because the alternative fuel is so high and we get a nice gate fee.
Even also in -- I'll give you another example, also in emerging markets, give you Indonesia, the example, I think the alternative fuel we are using there is half the price of coal they're not paying for CO2, fine, but we save 50% of the coal cost. So this makes absolutely sense to use alternative fuel to ramp it up. And this is core DNA. We know what to do, and we can do it.
Then clinker incorporation, it's even more pronounced because saving the percentage of clinker incorporation saves between 8 to 10 kilo CO2 per tonne, which is very valuable in the CO2 context, especially in Europe, plus using SCMs to replace the clinker is, let's say, the next cost advantage because the clinker is -- the clinker burning is the most expensive part of the cement production process. And this you replace with a cheaper product. So it makes all the sense of the world to hammer these 2, let's say, KPIs like crazy, which we have done. You see it, it's moving up, and we are #1 in both of them of the big ones, which publish. So that's for the economics.
And I think to build on what René said, Clinker Corporation next to alternative fuel is a good indication of future structural profitability. Why? If you take out that costly capacity like we do in master plan Wave 1 and 2, you build your cost position for the future because you get rid of both the most cost intensive, most maintenance intensive and most CO2 emitting part of the -- so it's a whammy in all positive directions, and that's why we are so focused to be the leader here, not only in Europe, but globally. And we do this in a very well-balanced decision-by-decision trade-off between CO2 impact and financial impact to the direct bottom line of the year. So I think that's well understood, Harry.
So we got time for one more question that's coming from [ Isaac Okio ] from On Field Investment Research.
So I have two. So first of all, any early indications that cement price increases are sticking in both the U.S. and Europe? So in Europe, maybe are the mid-single-digit increases holding so far? And do you see them supporting margins through the year? And some of your U.S. peers have guided towards low single-digit pricing growth in North America. Are you seeing similar trends? And on the CO2 pricing outlook, so maybe through the 2 scenarios, what would it mean for the long-term CCS strategy and cash generation growth if CO2 prices were closer to EUR 30 to EUR 40 per tonne as recently suggested by President Macron versus the EUR 100 per tonne assumption that was outlined at the Capital Markets Day.
Let me do the first and then René does the second. So no early indication of any changes. As I said before, pricing both in U.S. and Europe are moving in the targeted direction. We are not looking left or right. We take our independent pricing decision, both in North America, and we've indicated that we are clearly moving pricing ahead in all key areas and all product lines in North America. And the same is true for Europe. And as you know from the past discussions, we try to get out of the gate on as early as even possible. Obviously, with the winter, this may shift a little bit back and forth. But overall, there is no change to the original plan, and we continue to execute on pricing as we really have a value before volume strategy, that has not changed.
And then for the second question, I guess we've answered this already, but let's do it again. if the CO2 price goes to EUR 30, there's no business case for CCUS plant. So that's what Dominik and I said the whole time. We do it only if there's a financially valid good business case, and you can do the math by yourself with EUR 30 CO2, there's no good business case. So I think that answers the question.
So let's close this call. Thanks for your good questions. Just to remind everyone, we are going to be on the road together with management, and I'm on IR. Next week, we are going to go to the West Coast in the U.S. and to the East Coast. Then we're in London, Frankfurt and Paris with René and Dominik, we are in London again at the BNP conference, and we also hit Vienna, Zurich and Geneva. So if you want to see us, please let us know. And with that, have a nice day. Thanks for joining.
Thank you.
Thank you.
Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over. You may now disconnect your lines. Goodbye.
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Heidelberg Materials — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Heidelberg Materials — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- RCO: EUR 3,4 Mrd. – neuer Rekord (Management nennt dies Basis für 2026‑Guidance von EUR 3,4–3,75 Mrd.).
- Adjusted EPS: +4% YoY (Management hebt operative Progression hervor).
- Free Cash Flow: EUR 2,1 Mrd. (−EUR 60 Mio. vs. Vorjahr; Cash‑Conversion Ziel 45–50%).
- ROIC: 10,4% (höchster Wert, auf Weg zum mittelfristigen Ziel ~12%).
- Shareholder Return: +10% inkl. Dividende + Rückkauf (1. Tranche abgeschlossen, dritte Tranche geplant).
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Transformation: Transformation Accelerator (TAI) lieferte EUR 380 Mio. Einsparungen; Ziel EUR 500 Mio. bis Jahresende – Management sieht Upside.
- M&A‑Fokus: Pipeline soll 2026 aktiver sein; gezielte Akquisitionen in Nordamerika, Australien, Afrika, Asien, Europa; keine Kapitalerhöhung geplant.
- Dekarbonisierung & Tech: EvoZero im Markt, Brevik (CCS) technisch einsatzfähig, Padeswood in Bau; gleichzeitig Skalierung von Digital/Autonomie (z.B. autonome Trucks) zur Kostenreduktion.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- 2026‑Guidance: RCO 3,4–3,75 Mrd.; Ergebnis wieder >10% (Management nennt konservative Bandbreite).
- Kapital & Hebel: CapEx leicht erhöht (guidance EUR 1,2–1,3 Mrd.); Ziel Net‑Leverage ~1,5x mittelfristig.
- Risiken: Guidance enthält ~‑3% FX‑Effekt; M&A‑Abschluss (z.B. Australia/Mass) regulatorisch (Erwartung Q3) und CCS‑Investitionen abhängig von klarem CO2‑Rahmen/Preis.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- M&A‑Finanzierung: Nachfrage nach Transaktionsumfang; Management: keine Equity‑Emission, Rückkäufe (dritte Tranche) geplant, Balance zwischen Cash, Hebel und EBITDA‑Beitrag.
- Europe Pricing & Benchmark: Analysten fragten zu EU‑Benchmark/CO2; Management vermeidet Spekulation, erwartet moderate Anpassung, bleibt auf Preis‑über‑Kosten‑Pfad.
- CCS‑Sensitivität: Klare Aussage: bei CO2‑Preis ~EUR 30–40/t ist große CCS‑Investitionsbereitschaft nicht wirtschaftlich; bei hohem CO2‑Preis (≈EUR 100/t) sind Projekte ökonomisch.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solides, margenträchtiges Jahr mit starkem Cashflow und struktureller Profitabilitätsverbesserung. Wesentliche Upside‑Treiber sind TAI‑Einsparungen und beschleunigte M&A; zentrale Unsicherheiten bleiben Volumen‑Recovery, regulatorische Genehmigungen und CO2‑Rahmen für CCS‑Projekte.
Heidelberg Materials — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Heidelberg Materials Third Quarter 2025 Trading Update Conference Call. I'm Lorenzo, the Chorus Call operator. [Operator Instructions] The conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast.
At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Christoph Beumelburg. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, good afternoon, everyone, listening into our Q3 earnings call. Pleased to report the numbers that we published this morning. As always, we have in the room, Dominik, our CEO; Rene, our CFO; and from the IR team, Robert and Ozan and myself. So happy to receive your questions after the prepared remarks. And for those, I hand over to Dominik.
Yes, Chris, thanks a lot. Welcome, everybody. From our side, great to hear you and have you on the call. Let me just go through the presentation quickly, and then we get to your numbers. Good quarter for us. I think revenue up 1%, RCO up 5% after currency impact even 7%. So I think that's good, also operating EBITDA margin up by 65 basis points. I think that's a good quarter, driven also by the transformation accelerator, savings around EUR 250 million. So we are basically halfway to where we need to go and want to go, although we've still got 15 months to go. So I think that's well on track from our perspective, if not even better.
The share buyback is on track to be finished by December at the latest. So I think that should be good. The second tranche, obviously, of the EUR 1.2 billion, so fully on track to what we have communicated. Good news on the decarbonization side, we expand our leadership in that respect. I'm sure we get into your questions on this one. But we took the FID, final investment decision for Padeswood CCS project. Construction will start this year. So that's good news. And on the back of that and on the back of Brevik performing well in terms of carbon -- capturing the carbon and also putting it under the Norwegian Sea, we are able now to sell the first evoZero products to the market, and we have already the first projects that are up for delivery. So in that respect, things are moving well.
And on the back of all of that, we are confident to give you a positive outlook for the remainder of the year to end up at a narrowed range for the outcome of the RCO this year, which will now be 3.3% to 3.5% instead of 3.25% to 3.55%. So I think that's also good news. ROIC will be around 10% and the CO2 emission will come slightly down. So overall, I think fully on track.
If you go to the Page 3, you see again the numbers. I think that's all going in the right direction. Revenues up, EBITDA up, EBITDA margin up and EBIT up. I think that's in difficult market environments, I think a very convincing performance. That same is true for the full year, everything green in terms of revenue, EBITDA margin and EBIT. So I think we don't need to go through the details. You can read them yourself.
If you go to the Q3 bridge, Page 5, EUR 55 million -- almost EUR 55 million up, 5% on RCO. And you see, yes, there is still volume decline. So the net volume figure is still down. But the good news is price over cost is positive, and that's a very important measure for us. We told you all along that our clear target is to keep price over cost well in the positives throughout the year. And this is what we again delivered in Q3. And you see also on the left side, currency impact, there is a significant currency impact to my earlier remark, also in the quarter, almost EUR 30 million. And on the flip side, there is positive scope effect where the acquisitions start contributing. So in this case, EUR 30 million up.
If you look at the same picture on the 9 months figures, Page 6, you see that the net volume is minus EUR 91 million and the price over cost is EUR 202 million. If you want to read something positive into this, you see that the volume decline is slowing down because it's a big quarter, minus EUR 24 million on the volume side compared to 9 months, EUR 91 million, you can do the math yourself. I think there is a little bit of a stabilization effect on the volume side coming. And then also if you go to the scope effect -- let's start with currency. If you see the currency, I think the currency impact is significant. So you see for the full EUR 29 million, while for the quarter alone, EUR 28 million. So you see the currency impact is significant. So it's the scope effect. Again, EUR 29 million for the full quarter, but EUR 48 million for the first 9 months, do the math. So I think it's moving in the right direction also on getting the effects from the acquisitions.
If you turn to the transformation accelerator on Page 7, we are absolutely confident that we will hit EUR 500 million, if not more, on the transformation accelerator. We have EUR 250 million in the books on the 3 pillars that we are chasing. And it's really showing now also in terms of how we execute this internally, the advantage we have globally and to really push the global advantage of being very focused, a pure play in our industry to really drive efficiencies along the platforms that we have described, decarbonization, digitalization, but also technical excellence and the transformation accelerator is a fantastic tool to show also the contribution of that.
Now when we get to Europe, from our perspective, not a great quarter in Europe. We say that very clearly. There were a couple of one-offs in there. Rene will maybe go through the details in a minute. But I think okay on a fairly high level, but we are an ambitious team. And I would say, as good as Q2 was in Europe, I think Q3 was also driven by those one-offs, not a fantastic exercise. But I think everything that we can see and what we can manage internally, both in terms of pricing, but also in terms of costs, I think that goes in the right direction. The market is the market to some extent. And obviously, we have -- we are heavy weighted to some markets that are still under pressure, which is great news because if we do our homework right, then the upside potential out of this is substantial, if not substantially better than with any comparison. So in that respect, it moves in the right direction in general, but Q3 is nothing to over celebrate on Europe. We are very honest about this. But for me, the more important message here is this is a quarterly impact. We do not see a change in any positive trend from the bottom-up in Europe, and we are doing consistently our homework. So I'm very confident that Europe will show its strength down the road.
Then we go to the page, we move to North America. Other than Europe, I think strong quarter from North America. Also the comps we can see. I think overall, I think there was a good development in North America. Overall, I would say, revenues up, EBITDA up, RCO up like-for-like in the higher single-digit numbers. I think that is good. And also margins up, especially in aggregates, good performance also in cement, stable on a good level. So overall, I think a good quarter from North America.
Asia-Pacific, I think, splits into a couple of different messages. I think Asia, to be honest, is still in difficult territories. I think the hopes were higher. I'm being very honest with you on the Asian performance. I think we are doing good homework again. I think there are markets and countries that are really performing above our expectations, but there are clearly also countries like China, Hong Kong, to some extent, also Indonesia that are clearly under our expectation. Again, upside for the time to come, but I think that's not where we wanted it to be. Maybe on Australia, Rene, you want to comment?
Australia is a very strong quarter for us. August, September was very good also October was very good. So Australia is slightly coming back, which is very good cost base. Now the volumes come, we deliver good margins. So Australia is in very good shape, was very good shape in Q3.
Yes. okay. And then I think in a global portfolio, you have always movements, but I think the good news is that AMWA is continuing to clogging along on a very high level, I would say. So revenues up 6% like-for-like reported even 13% because of the Asment acquisition. Then we have the EBITDA up 23% reported, I would say that's a very strong growth, unparalleled and then like-for-like even up 15%. So underlying performance and acquisition works very well in Africa. And the same is true on RCO. Look at the EBITDA margin development, 250 basis points up, guys in cement. I have to say kudos to our team in AMWA that is really doing a fantastic job in difficult circumstances. I think let's not assume that this is all easy, but it's our duty as a global company to manage the volatilities. And I think the African team is doing a fantastic job.
Good news also on sustainability, a lot of good news, I would say. First of all, evoZero is now finally hitting the market. We've started the first projects with the underground station in Oslo, for example, and also a 3D printed house here in the vicinity of our headquarter here in Heidelberg. I've been on the site myself. That's quite energizing to see how you combine a 3D printing technology with near zero carbon products. I think that really moves in the right direction. It shows how applicable this product is and how much value we can drive for the end customer with this product. So I have high hopes that this is really our future, and this works well.
Final investment decision in Padeswood, I think why do we make a significant fuss about this? Because the final investment decision, guys, is an important milestone. And I think the market is underestimating this milestone. I have to tell you, there are project portfolios all over the place, by the way, also in Continental Europe, but there is -- in Continental Europe, guys, not one project, not one project that has even taken a final investment decision. And just to be very clear, a, the hurdle to take a final investment decision from a project stage is massive. And secondly, to then deliver the project that carbon capture...
[Operator Instructions] Hold the line as it has been lost and the conference will continue shortly. Please hold the line.
Sorry, guys. Somehow the line broke down. So let's go back to the sustainability side of things. In the end, I think good news is that evoZero now finally hits the market, and we have a couple of exciting projects. I think you still captured that. What is important is the FID, so the financial -- the final investment decision that we took now on Padeswood is, I think, vastly underestimated by the market. A final investment decision is a very important milestone and a difficult milestone to hit even if you have a lot of projects that you are chasing to get to a final investment decision is a major hurdle and I think should not be underestimated.
And then once you've made the final investment decision, you still have to execute the project. You have to capture the carbon, you have to store the carbon. And again, this takes 3 to 5 years before you get there. So I am convinced we have as Heidelberg Materials here, a huge competitive edge, and we will -- rest assured, we will build on this. If there are questions later on, I'm happy to make that point. But I think let's just be clear that this is a significant edge that we do have in that respect. And again, we are clearly going to build on it.
Talking about building on it, I think it's clear that the latest news from this week about the EU Innovation Fund decisions is just another proof point that we are on the right track and also the EU government has understood that there are companies that are delivering on what they are promising. So in that respect, I think we have -- all 4 of our applied projects basically got reunited. The one in Belgium, ANTHEMIS, the one in Airvault in France, the one in Italy in Rezzato and then the pilot project in Goradze in Poland next to the ones we already had, GeZero and ANRAV. For the 4 this week, we alone got EUR 520 million of carbon contracts for difference or in this case, EU Innovation Fund money. And we need to complement and want to complement this now with local support, and let's wait and see how we get there and when we get there. But overall, this was very encouraging news and a clear sign that the EU has understood who is leading the game here.
In that respect, I would move over to the financials, Rene, and do you want to take over?
Thanks, Dominik. Hello, everyone, as well from my side. So what you see here on one page is a rough overview about our key financial metrics. Adjusted earnings per share, 4% up. And even if you would take the reported earnings per share is even 11% up. So if we take the AOR out, it's only 4% because last year, we had the impairments of European master plan part of it in our numbers. So last 12 months, free cash flow is at EUR 2.3 billion, now that's EUR 150 million higher than the last 12 months December '24. I think that's a pretty good result. And the final outcome will depend on working capital in an outflow at year-end. So let's say, we have inflow, but let's see how much. But the clear target is to be on EUR 2.2 billion to EUR 2.3 billion. So that should flow in.
And then leverage, that's seasonal 1.5x right now, which will go down by year-end, we'll probably between 1.2x and 1.3x depending on, as I said, working capital. But I guess that as well showing the healthiness of our balance sheet. And then regarding M&A, Dominik alluded to it, we have closed Asment de Temara, Morocco, a very good acquisition for us. And then also in Australia, the Buckeridge Group of companies is closed and already in October, it will be in our numbers. So that is still a very, very good acquisition. And then the second tranche of the share buyback, as Dominik said, we will finalize by mid-December latest.
Dominik, I hand over to you for the outlook.
Okay. Then we have just the outlook. I think I mentioned that already. We have specified the outlook and narrowed the range to EUR 3.3 billion to EUR 3.5 billion on the RCO. ROIC will be above 10%, that's the clear target. We have slight reductions on CO2 emissions. CapEx will stay at the promised level around EUR 1.2 billion. And then the leverage will be around 1.5x. We are quite confident that it will come in even below that. So I think -- or better than that. So that also indicates that there is a clear opportunity to continue our growth on the organic side, but also on the acquisition side. So in that respect, all lines on green.
Thanks a lot. And with that, I would say let's turn to your questions.
Operator, do you want to start the Q&A process, please?
[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Luis Prieto from Kepler.
2. Question Answer
I had a couple of them, hopefully, very quick. The first one is, if you could please provide us with some sense of what the percentage level of subsidy obtained from the EU Innovation Fund for the plants in France, Italy and Belgium. You mentioned EUR 520 million for the award, but I'm not sure what the total CapEx for the 3 plants was. So that would be useful. And if you have any updated timing for the projects?
And then the second question, this might be a bit difficult, but a close peer of yours has stated that they see U.S. residential subdued next year in -- I assume in the U.S. Do you have any commentary on what you're seeing for next year in this particular part of the market?
Luis, thanks a lot. Look, on the subsidies, there is no number we can disclose at this point because, a, the investment levels is still obviously under scrutiny. Yes, there is and in that you put into the application process, but this is a moving target. So it's far too early to make a final conclusion because we -- keep in mind, we continue to learn from Brevik. We continue to learn from Padeswood, and that obviously goes into the budget. So we're not going to throw out any inflated number. We do our homework.
Secondly, I don't think that the EU Innovation Fund is the end of the subsidy game. There is carbon contracts for difference that are, for example, available in Germany and the process is still ongoing. So I don't want to jump to any early conclusions on this. So I ask for your understanding that rest assured, we will only greenlight carbon capture project if we have a very convincing business case. As we always said, Brevik and Padeswood are performing above the average return on invested capital compared to the total group, and that will stay the goalpost for any additional investments we do into carbon capture and storage.
On the U.S. residential side, it's very hard to read 2026 is still a couple of months to go. The situation in the U.S. on the interest rate side is volatile. There is discussions going on. The good news is that the turning point seems to be reached. So the interest rates are coming down. But remember, there is an interest rate and there is a mortgage rate, and there are historical hurdle rates where the mortgage rates need to sit at certain levels when you then see things coming back. Pent-up demand is absolutely there. But I think the -- some additional movement down on the mortgage rate side would still help. I'm quite confident. Do we see this in January 1? I don't think so. But throughout 2026, would we see some upside potential on the residential side from today's viewpoint? Absolutely.
The next question comes from Goldman Sachs, Ben Rada Martin.
I just had 2, please, and both were on the European cement business. I guess, firstly, Dominik, you mentioned some one-offs within the quarter. I was wondering, could you quantify some of those? And I guess, the expectations that they won't be recurring going forward? And then second, on the European cement business on pricing in 2026. We've got some pretty significant regulatory changes when we look at the ETS benchmark, the phaseout of allowances, CBAM. I'd be interested what kind of pricing do you expect on European cement in 2026? Is it right to think that the contribution will likely be larger than what we've seen in 2025?
Yes. Thanks, Ben. Let's let Rene take the first one, and then I'll do the second one.
So Ben, regarding the one-offs in the quarter, we had some, let's say, major inventory impacts, roughly EUR 10 million to EUR 15 million due to, let's say, phasing of production in some big European plants. And then we had some -- as well our other operating income was probably EUR 10 million to EUR 15 million lower than it was last quarter due to timing of some -- it's small asset sales here and there. It's small -- really small stuff. But if you had 10x EUR 1 million or something, that is up that what we had last year. So the inventory that should come back. And then the timing of the asset sales or other operating income as well as some other incomes there that should come back.
Okay. And then on the European question around CBAM, EU ETS, I think it's true that in the last couple of weeks, there was a little bit of noise about what's going on there. You saw probably that yesterday, the EU has been agreed now on a framework how to adjust some of the climate targets. From all what we see, no significant change to what is relevant for us. I think CBAM is there to stay. EU ETS is one is there to stay. Is there a discussion around what happens in 2034 and 2039? Maybe, but that's way out, guys.
For us, it's clear that you look at the carbon price right now, it's EUR 82 or whatever it is. So the significant price move further up. Our strategy does not change. We are fastly -- on a fast pace, decarbonizing our assets in Europe and become not only the cost leader, but also we are clearly from our side, pushing value over volume, and that strategy absolutely not changed. And to your specific question, Ben, do we expect for our company a better pricing performance in Europe in '26 than in '25? Yes.
The next one comes from Elodie Rall from JPMorgan.
Just first, it's not really a question since it's a follow-up from the previous question. Did you say that the one-offs were EUR 25 million, more or less in Europe? If you can just confirm that? And then second, on North America, margins in cement also went down, I think 113 bps in Q3. Revenues was up 2.5% on a like-for-like basis. So can you give us a bit of color as well of what's going on there from a margin perspective? And what kind of pricing environment are you seeing and expecting going forward as well in the U.S.?
Elodie, EUR 20 million to EUR 25 million is the number for your question number one.
Okay. And then on the -- Elodie, on the second question on the U.S. cement margins, the picture is quite different in different markets of the U.S. And personally, Elodie, I think there is also some tariff impact left or right, not on our side, but when it comes to the competitive situation in some of the different markets in the U.S. I think overall, the performance in North America in Q3 was good. That's true for the volume side. Would we have hoped for even better pricing dynamics in the U.S. on cement? Yes. I'm with you. But a similar answer, maybe not with the same amount because historically, the performance on cement pricing was even better in the U.S. than it was in Europe. I think there is upside potential to the cement price development going into 2026 compared to 2025.
Next one is Tom Zhang from Barclays.
First one, so you mentioned in the remarks, you're over-indexed to some of the more, I guess, sluggish or weaker markets in Europe. Could you maybe expand on that a little bit more? Maybe you're sort of talking about Central Europe, Germany and in particular, if you're seeing any changes in the competitive dynamic there as we go into 2026?
And then the second question, just around capital allocation. So you mentioned the second tranche of the buyback. We're close to finishing, but I see you haven't bought back really any shares for the last month. So if the balance sheet is looking at 1.2x to 1.3x leverage, maybe a bit of a slowdown in M&A in this quarter, at least, what are the hurdles to just starting tranche 3 early and maybe committing more capital to buybacks?
Thanks, Tom. Let me start the first one and then René takes the second one on share buyback. Now in Europe, I think Europe has a large footprint. And the question is, are all markets performing on the same level? The answer is clearly no. And I think it's no secret that Eastern Europe is, in general, performing well. And if you look to our exposure in Eastern Europe compared to others and our exposure in Northern Europe and in Western Europe, I think you will see some difference. And my comment was going towards the point that our markets -- stronghold markets, they are very much next to Eastern Europe. They are very much also tweaked to Northern and Western Europe. So for us, obviously, markets like Norway, especially Sweden, the U.K., Benelux, France, Germany, they are a significant stronghold for us.
And guess what, those markets are volume-wise have clearly underperformed in the last 2 or 3 years compared to the -- and you are now on levels far from the peak going back to the 50s of the last century. So the upside potential in those markets is fundamental to say the least. And that's why I think we are doing our homework, trimming the asset base, trimming the cost base and with that should have a significant upside potential as those markets come back up. That was the reason of my comment.
So Tom, regarding capital allocation, regarding the share buyback, that's correct. The last 2, 3 weeks, we did not buy a lot of shares, but that's in -- the process is in the hand of the banks and they steer, let's say, the purchase, and that's what I can tell you. And as well, I can tell you that we want to -- the deadline is mid of December that we want to finish this. So that's all on track.
And then regarding the third and last tranche of the second program for next year, we want to keep the same rhythm as we had it. And rest assured, we stick to what we have said. We will finish the share buyback in next year, and that's it. And then we see when we have announced it or when it's finalized, we see what else we do, that depends as well on M&A opportunities or whatever and how our cash flow goes. So we keep you informed when the time is ready for this.
Next one comes from Pujarini Ghosh from Bernstein.
So if we look at EMEA and APAC, we're seeing a significant margin expansion. So could you talk a little bit about what's driving that? Is it pricing, maybe volume growth leading to operating leverage or cost efficiencies? And my second question is on Germany. So we know that volumes haven't materialized as maybe we were hoping for at the start of the year. But on the pricing side, what are you seeing? And have you started talking to your customers about pricing for the next year? And what should we expect on German pricing in 2026?
Yes. Okay. Let me comment on your 2 questions. First of all, I think if you look at APAC, I think it's clear that Rene was making the point that Australia, I think, is moving in the right direction, and that is very much driven also by cost management -- disciplined cost management and also stable pricing and good pricing, I think, overall in Australia. But then clearly, I think the team in Asia is doing their homework. So we are massively looking at our costs. So the majority -- I'm looking a bit to Rene, but the majority of the improvement on the margin side does not come from the pricing. It comes clearly from our cost management. And that's the name of the game right now in Asia, which I think is also the right thing to do.
On Germany, please allow that I'm not commenting on pricing for competitive reasons on certain markets. We've never done this and cannot do it for legal restrictions. Overall, I think I go back to my earlier comment, I'm absolutely -- for us, it's a clear focus to -- focus on value over volume and see a significantly better pricing performance for our operations in '26 in Europe than in '25, and that obviously also includes Germany.
Next question comes from Julian Radlinger from UBS.
Two questions actually on CO2 for me today. So first of all, you just got another 4 sets of subsidies on these projects. We're seeing quite little activity in that area from most of your smaller competitors. And of course, you're doing a lot of other things to reduce your carbon intensity and clinker factor and so on as well. Where do you think you are on the CO2 cost curve today in Europe, very low end, bottom half? Or put differently, do you have a view on what portion of your cement plants in Europe might make it into the benchmark, the top 10 cleanest plants? That's my first question.
And then secondly, so you mentioned earlier the CO2 price in Europe is now above EUR 80. That's up from EUR 65 or so a year ago. Any good explanation why you think that might be happening?
Good questions, but maybe we are not the right ones to answer that. I think, first of all, on the benchmark plans, you know that this benchmark is run by the EU in a secretive process. There is very little transparency around this. We have our own assumptions, but please understand that we cannot -- I'm not starting to speculate. But as a general mark, it's clear that we want to be at the very top of that -- or if you wish to say the other way around, at the very bottom of the cost curve in order to -- especially if you include the CO2 price, that's the whole game for driving this decarbonization agenda that in the end, we want to have the majority of our plants sitting in the benchmark top 10. So I think in that respect, that's the clear aim, but I can't comment on any specifics of the running process.
And then on the EUR 82, there is only speculation. It's very difficult to judge what's driving that price. If it would be easy, we would all speculate in CO2 certificates. But I don't. So I think in that respect, hard to predict. But obviously, the higher the price moves, the better it is for us. If we are the decarbonization leader for us, that's absolutely okay. We have no problem with that. So we are in the camp of saying, hey, this has been the agreed system. This is how it works. And whether the price sits at EUR 80 or EUR 120 or EUR 150, we are able to cope with everything given our strategy. And in that respect, we are also fine with EUR 82.
Next question comes from Cedar Ekblom from Morgan Stanley.
Just a question back on pricing. I appreciate you won't give any specifics around how you're thinking about the pricing potential into next year in Europe. I do think it's interesting that some of your peers are willing to give more specific commentary, but I won't push you on that. What I do want to know is, is there any reason why you would not follow a supply leader in the market if that supply leader was going for quite large price increases? Is there a reason why you would try and maybe be a little bit more commercial and be undercutting or looking at volumes? I'd like to just hear more around the commercial strategy if you won't talk to specific potential price increases. That would be helpful.
Yes. Thanks a lot, Cedar. First of all, there is only one reason why we don't follow. There's only one single reason why we don't follow because we take our decisions independently. I don't care what others do. In this respect, we take independent decisions and especially on pricing, this is a completely independent process, and I don't care what others do. Of course, we are competing in the market, but our pricing decisions, we take absolutely independently. I think that's the first point.
The second point is, I think we have taken you along over the years what the transformation of the company is all about. And I think it's -- I'm very thankful for your question, Cedar, because while for decades, if not centuries, we were a very production-focused company, trying to build our assets in a competitive way. This transformation now moves very much and evoZero is just one prominent example towards the commercialization things. And we are just scratching the surface in that respect.
But that's why I keep telling everybody internally, it's value over volume. I think it's clear we need to drive the best value for our customers. And if we drive the best value for our customers, we also demand the right price points for that. That's the name of the game. That's how we run the internal incentives. That's what we focus on as a leadership in the company. It's all about doing the top job in our countries with our customers and our commercial teams. And there is -- I think, as I said, we are probably just scratching the surface in that respect, but that's our clear strategy, Cedar. Thanks for the question, very important topic for us.
The next one comes from Anna Schumacher from BNP Paribas.
I'm on for Paul Roger today. So I have 2. The first one, now that evoZero is on the market, do you have a better idea of the green premium for net zero cement? And is it possible to quantify it and compare to either low CO2 cement? And secondly, how could the U.S. shutdown impact demand if it isn't resolved soon? Does the potential fail in Washington make a new infrastructure bill less likely next year?
Just to -- I'm sure, Anna I got your second question because some of the line is not very good, at least maybe it's our fault. Are you asking about the U.S. infrastructure spending or...
Yes. So...
You were talking about the shutdown in the U.S.?
Yes. So whether the shutdown in the U.S., like -- is there a risk that the infrastructure bill might be less -- will less likely happen next year?
Okay. Anna, let me get to your 2 questions. Again, we -- the [ net zero ] products from our perspective is not a question around the premium. They are -- when it comes to evoZero, it's a unique product in the market, and it will demand a unique price point because it has unique value we can drive for the customer. And that's what we are very -- to my earlier remark to Cedar, that's what we are very focused on. So we're not talking about any premium because it is a completely different product that can't compete with any -- that is the way you can say it that way or the other way, there is no competition for this specific product. And that obviously comes with a sound commercial strategy and a sound value strategy for those customers that are buying those products. And that's for us, the clear focus. And it's clear for us that this uniqueness will also turn into a good pricing and margin performance, if not to say, very good pricing and margin performance for those products.
On the shutdown, I think...
[Operator Instructions].
So hopefully, we are back. I'm not sure where we haven't paid the bill for the telecom provider. So sorry, let's get back to your question, Anna. I think I don't want to speculate on the shutdown in the U.S. There is a lot of volatility around this at this point, also a lot of political rhetoric going on. Hopefully, it will come to an end rather sooner than later, but it's difficult for us to speculate on infrastructure. I don't think that there will be a significant impact. You know that the current administration is up for some reelection November next year. And if you would scrap infrastructure stuff, that doesn't go down well with the voter. So I do have significant hopes that they're not going to play around with this. And with that, I'm quite positive for the infrastructure situation in 2026.
Welcome back, Arnaud Lehmann.
Just a couple then. Can we talk about Africa? It's been quite strong for a while, but I think in the quarter, the margin was at EBITDA level above 30% for the first time maybe ever or at least for a very long time. Could you please give us a bit of granularity in terms of which countries have performed better than expected? And heading into next year, do you think this performance is sustainable for the Africa region? That's my first question.
And my second question is on the cost outlook. Have you seen raw materials, energy moving a little bit higher, including coal? And does that give you ideas around price increase in the kind of Asia and Africa regions for next year?
Okay. Arnaud. Let me do the first and then Rene takes the second one because he can then also comment on Australia, maybe a little bit because that's an important part of Asia Pacific. Now on Africa, we've always said it's not about one country. Africa is a portfolio of countries, and it would be far too volatile and risky to run Africa on just one -- a bet on one horse. That's why also it doesn't make much sense to comment on single countries there because things go up and down. But what I recommend, Arnaud, is to look at the past 5 years and our AMWA performance. So everybody gets excited that things are moving right now in the right direction.
But if you take the trajectory of our AMWA portfolio and its performance over the last 5 years, I would say there is almost a straight line in only one direction, and that's up. So that has to do with good management, but it has to do also with acquisitions and everything. But I think overall, I think this is our task as a management team to deliver consistently a good performance.
Now is this somewhat volatile within the different countries? Absolutely. But overall, as the AMWA portfolio proves over that time frame, and I think that's a meaningful period. I'm actually quite confident. Now can we guarantee you for the future? There is -- for nothing, there is a guarantee for the future. But are we working very hard to keep the trajectory moving in the right direction? Absolutely. And we have a fantastic management team in place that has shown that it can perform on a very high level. And I have no reason to believe that, that can't continue.
Arnaud, regarding your question regarding cost outlook and here energy raw materials. So from -- we have our budget meeting still to come, but obviously, we have a view. And for next year, energy, I don't expect that we get a lot of headwinds here from energy. And if you just look -- if we increase our alternative fuel rate like we do this year, there will be obviously fuel cost relief, yes. And from the power also, it should be at least flat, maybe it's even a little bit lower than this year. So energy is not -- currently status today, not a big concern.
And then raw materials and other items as well, the world economies are not booming. So there should be as well some cost relief in certain categories over there. And as you know, we -- with our tight program, we changed our procurement organization where we now try to organizationally do much more here centrally to get leverage also, and that is really -- you will see in our numbers. So I think that's okay. And then Asia outlook, that's -- as Dominik said, right now, it's not booming. It's not great. And let's see how the political situations in these countries go. But if we have Australia working, that is half of the result in Asia. And as I said to you, Q3 was good. October was very good. And the outlook for Australia, '26, '27 is pretty good. So fingers crossed that this will come, like I just said.
Moving on to another Arnaud, Arnaud Pinatel from On Field.
The first one is on evoZero. You are telling us that we should integrate much more of your decarbonization benefit. Could you help us by giving us a little bit more granularity on what tonnage you have already sold on evoZero? And is it fair to say that we have not seen in Q3 any real contribution of evoZero in Europe in your EBITDA? That will be my first question.
My second question is on the U.S. One of your competitor highlighted this morning that they are announcing a $12 per ton price increase in the U.S. for 2026 across their markets. They are mainly on the East Coast. It would imply a mid- to high single-digit increase for the U.S., a market where we have not seen any momentum in H2 2025. Could you please help us to understand if such price increase are possible taking into account the impact of the tariff and other parameters of the equation?
Yes. Arnaud, thanks a lot for your questions. Let me comment on both. When it comes to evoZero, you know that we're not disclosing too many specifics around this. But I think to just draw the line, it's absolutely right, your assumption that there is no meaningful EBITDA contribution at this point. As you know, we have just -- we told you that we can only and want only start selling these projects when the whole supply chain is robustly working. And that means that the CO2 is really stored. We are on track. The carbon capture is working. In fact, I get it every morning, I get the capture rate on my mobile phone. And the carbon bank is filling. So there are CO2 is being stored. And that means that we can now sell evoZero. But we are very, very focused on what we want to achieve, again, value over volume.
We're just running out there selling everything of CO2 just to chase something. We chase the best value from our side. And the good news is we have time to do so, and we will get the EBITDA contribution for sure. But you are right. If come Q3, there is basically nothing in there from evoZero at this point. This is ramping up as we go through the next quarters.
And you cannot comment [indiscernible]...
Yes. We said at the Capital Markets Day, it's a couple of hundred thousand tonnes for next year cement. So I think that's a little bit the target. I think that's what we communicated also in Brevik. But again, that's cement. I was earlier talking about the CO2 being captured and that turns into higher volumes of cement. So just for you to understand, the capturing of CO2 is then multiplied with something in order to end up in a cement tonnage.
Pricing in the U.S., I ask for your understanding that I cannot comment on any other announcements that others make. We don't make any announcements around this. And you will also not hear this from me. I'm going back to my earlier remarks, Arnaud, where I did say that for us, we expect a significantly better pricing performance in '26 than we have seen in '25, and that's true for the U.S. as well. And that's all I can say. I cannot comment on what others do.
And then the last question comes from Sven Edelfelt from ODDO.
I apologize if it has already been answered. My line was cut several times. So the first question is on Europe margin. Europe margin is down in Q3. So can you perhaps tell us about -- tell us more about the price over cost specifically on this region? Is it volume driven or the decline in the margin? Has there been any unusual maintenance? So that's the first question.
And my second one would be on the EU ETS. Can you maybe elaborate on the benchmark? I understand it might be lowered by roughly 50 kilo of CO2 going into next year. And I would be interested to better understand if you can specify what is driving this. I would be interested to know what is really linked to the benchmark and what is linked to the inclusion of calcined clay on alumina?
Yes. Sven, thanks a lot. Let's Rene start with the first one, and then I make a comment on the second one.
Sven, regarding European margin, I said it earlier in the call, we had roughly EUR 20 million to EUR 25 million one-offs in there, which should roughly come back. And then you asked about price over cost. We have price over cost in the quarter for Europe positive and just the volumes slightly down. So that's a little bit what to answer your question.
Okay. And then on the -- Sven, on the EU ETS benchmark, again, as I said, it's a fairly intransparent process. There is a lot of discussion around what's in, what's out. I also hear the speculation that the benchmark should come down, but I would be very surprised if it doesn't because then what would be the message, there is no decarbonization going on. So for us, again, if the benchmark comes down, we'll deal with it. We absolutely expect it to come down by how much, difficult to say. But it's -- for us as the market leader in Europe, I think it's clear that we want to be at the best end of the cost curve in that respect.
And whether calcined clay or alumina is in or out, I think I understand there is a constant discussion with the officials in EU, what's in, what's out. They certainly have an interest to drive down the benchmark. But I think it's clear that this benchmark still needs to be realistic and not driven by some specific setups that have nothing to do with the main market in Europe. So let's wait and see when the benchmark comes out, what will be the final result, and we'll deal with it.
Okay. That concludes our Q&A for today. Thank you very much for your questions, and that concludes also our call. We will be on the road even today in London and then tomorrow, seeing some of you guys and then next week attending some of the conferences in London and also U.S., Zurich, Paris and many, many more locations. We look forward to seeing you there. Thanks for joining.
Thanks, everybody. Thank you.
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Heidelberg Materials — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Heidelberg Materials — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: +1% YoY, Wachstum trotz volatiler Märkte.
- RCO: Revenue Contribution (RCO) +5% im Quartal (währungsbereinigt +7%); Price‑over‑cost 9M positiv.
- EBITDA‑Marge: Operative Marge +65 Basispunkte Q3.
- Transformation: Einsparungen EUR 250 Mio realisiert; Ziel ≥EUR 500 Mio.
- Cash & EPS: Adjustiertes EPS +4%; Free Cash Flow letzte 12 Monate (LTM) EUR 2,3 Mrd; Hebel saisonal ~1,5x.
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Rückkauf: Zweite Tranche des EUR 1,2 Mrd Programms läuft planmäßig; Abschluss bis Mitte Dezember avisiert.
- Decarbonisierung: Final Investment Decision (FID) für Padeswood CCS getroffen; Brevik läuft; erste evoZero‑Projekte (Oslo, 3D‑Haus) gestartet.
- Transformation: Management bestätigt Ziel ≥EUR 500 Mio Einsparungen; EUR 250 Mio bereits gebucht; Fokus auf Digitalisierung, technische Exzellenz und Kosten‑disziplin.
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- RCO: Range verengt auf 3,3–3,5% (vorher 3,25–3,55%).
- ROIC: Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) erwartet ≈10% oder darüber.
- CapEx & CO2: CapEx (Investitionsausgaben) rund EUR 1,2 Mrd; CO2‑Emissionen sollen leicht sinken.
- Verschuldung: Hebel saisonal ~1,5x, Ziel Jahresende ca. 1,2–1,3x.
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Subventionen: EU Innovation Fund: Zuschläge ~EUR 520 Mio für vier Projekte bestätigt; Management nennt keine Förderquoten oder %-Anteile.
- Europa: Q3‑One‑offs in Europa ~EUR 20–25 Mio (Inventarphasing, Timing von sonstigen Erträgen); Volumen rückläufig, Price‑over‑cost aber positiv.
- Pricing & evoZero: Management erwartet bessere Preisentwicklung 2026 (Europa/USA) gibt aber keine Zahlen; evoZero: erste Verkäufe, aktuell noch kein nennenswerter EBITDA‑Beitrag, Ramp‑up laufend.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Verengte Guidance, starker FCF und laufender Rückkauf stützen Aktie kurzfristig; kurzfristige Schwäche in Europa und rückläufige Volumina bleiben Risiko. Mittelfristig liefern CCS/evoZero und Transformationserträge signifikantes Upside, wenn Preise 2026 anziehen.
Heidelberg Materials — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Heidelberg Materials Half Year 2025 Results Conference Call. My name is Josef, the Chorus Call operator. [Operator Instructions] And that this conference is being recorded.
[Operator Instructions] The conference must not be recorded for publication or for broadcast. At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Christoph Beumelburg. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, good afternoon, good evening to everyone listening. We have our Q2 results call, and we prepared some remarks that you may have read already. Dominik and Rene will go through them real quick, and then we have ample time for Q&A. .
So over to you, Dominik.
Thanks, Chris. Thanks, everybody, for joining. Welcome from our side to the Q2 2025 call, where we will present you the prepared remarks. I think overall, great quarter for us. We are satisfied with the delivery of what we have promised, strong revenue growth 3%, but especially RCO, up 8%, carried by disciplined pricing, by good cost management, not so much volume up, clearly upside down the road. We have executed the second tranche of the share buyback. As announced, still running and has been started during Q2 and magnitude up to EUR 450 million. We are continuing to be on the gas pedal when it comes to growth. We have closed the giant acquisition in the U.S. in April, and we've also successfully closed the transaction in Morocco end of Q2.
So in that respect, things are moving in the right direction. That's also true for sustainability. Great progress here, minus 4% CO2 emissions year-over-year. I think that's good because we wanted to pick up speed a little bit towards the targets of 2030, and I think that moves in the right direction. And on the back of all of that, we are confident to confirm our outlook for 2025, with an RCO band of EUR 3.25 billion to EUR 3.55 billion, ROIC of around 10% and a slight reduction on CO2 emissions.
Okay. Then we go to Slide 4. When we come to the details of the results. You see revenues up 3%, EBITDA up 7%, EBIT up 8% even, and the operating margin moved up 81 basis points to 24.2%. I think that is pretty much in line with what we have targeted. H1 is a little bit weaker. That also tells you that Q2 has the right trend. And you see on Page 5, the results for the first half, which is then 6% up in EBITDA and 7% up in RCO, margin up to 18.7%.
What is important for us is on Page 6, you see that volumes are still coming down a little bit. So there was no help at all from the volume side, which leaves the upside on the road, but good management of price over cost with a clear positive EUR 99 million that then leads to an operating EBIT of more than EUR 1 billion first time for us in the history of the company.
H1 2025, then even with a more pronounced picture on the price over cost, you see also here the volume pressure for the first half, minus EUR 67 million was a little bit higher for the first half. That shows you that the volumes are ever so slightly leveling out and even coming back, which is good news, while the price over cost is even more pronounced in H2 than it is in -- in quarter 2 versus H1. So overall, also that trend goes in the right direction. It's carried not only but also by the transformation accelerator, we have said we target the EUR 500 million. We are absolutely fully on track to get there. I would be even hopeful that we may even overperform on that one. But for now the clock is ticking, and we have about EUR 140 million in the pocket, but the trajectory is going in the right direction.
So overall, I'm very satisfied, and we are very satisfied with what we see here. Europe, on a high level on the revenue basically more or less flattish, slightly up, reported like-for-like flattish, EBITDA margin moving up in the right direction and also RCO on a high level, moving beyond the EUR 500 million. For the EBITDA margins you see, in cement, up and also in aggregates up. So also there, the train moves in the right direction.
North America with a little bit of headwind like-for-like revenue is down but reported 4% up because the growth is really moving in the right direction. I mentioned Giant, EBITDA margin more or less flattish, RCO, more or less flattish. And therefore, the business lines, cement slightly up and aggregates quite significantly up in terms of margins. So I think the underlying structure is okay. We just obviously need the market to come back in North America, which we are hopeful that this will happen.
Asia Pacific, still I think there is upside from our perspective. But turning the corner in the performance, you see that EBITDA margin goes up. You see that the RCO goes up. And you see also that margins both in cement and aggregates go up. So I think that indicates that Asia is finding some stable ground from where we then can further accelerate. And talking about acceleration, AMWA; Africa, Mediterranean, Western Asia is clearly performing on a very high level, 25% -- almost 25% revenue up. EBITDA margin significantly up to 25.8% and results almost 50% up with plus 44% up to EUR 144 million. EBITDA margin in cement, really good now at 27.8%.
If you go to Page 13, you see that also good results on the financial side come with good results on the sustainability. Obviously, for us, key milestone in Q2 was the opening of Brevik, some of you were present there. This is the world's first carbon capture industrial scale plant in our industry. We are well on track also with acceptances and delivering the first -- storing the first CO2. So that looks really promising, and we are happy that on the back of that in H2, we will start with the sales of evoZero, which is a unique product globally, and we will clearly market that to some very exciting customers and projects.
Circularity moves on with our development in Poland, both on recycled aggregates and also recarbonation. So the combination of EcoCem there and also our Gorazdze cement plant are doing, in the hyper-local vicinity around the plant, a very good job where we will now deliver the first concrete with 100% recycled aggregates. I think that's great news. So circularity is also being advanced quite substantially.
And last but not least, especially also for our emerging markets, a very good news from Ghana. You heard us talk about the erection of the calcined clay plant. We are now in the market with the low carbon products there locally sourced and locally produced and locally sold, which for imports markets like Ghana is a very important advantage because you don't get stuck in ports with clinker imports, but rather produced locally, so 100% local content in that respect. That's great and the market is very well accepted -- the product is very well accepted in the market.
If you go to the details of the sustainability performance for us, it's -- we continue to build our leadership in terms of clinker incorporation sector. Now down to 68.5%. That's very good indeed. We started back in 2020 at almost 75%. So significant progress there. But what is also very important to see is the acceleration of the alternative fuel rate. You see that we jumped up from 30.6% to 33.5%. So the above 50% target is clearly in reach. Big contribution from that end, and we are very confident that we will get to the above 50% by 2030. And on the back of that, obviously, the CO2 emissions came very close to 500 kilograms on a global scale in reach with a target for 2030 of below 400.
With that, I would hand over to Rene and you go to the financials.
Thanks, Dominik. Hello, everyone, as well from my side. What you see here are the quick snapshot of our financials. You see the adjusted earnings per share is very nicely up that tells you that below RCO, everything is in shape. Also, our free cash flow generation in the last 12 months remains strong at around EUR 2.3 billion and very close to our 50% conversion target, which is good. Leverage is similar to last year at around 1.56x. And then as Dominik alluded to, our shareholder return is, let's say, progressing with the second tranche of the share buyback, which is ongoing, I think, overall, a very solid financials in terms of cash flow and below RCO.
If we go to the details on Slide 16, the full P&L, you see our AOR, additional ordinary result is EUR 108 million better than last year. Why? Because last year, we had the big impairment and restructuring costs for the plant closures in Europe in our numbers. So that -- obviously, there's a little bit relief here. Financial results flat, which stays at a very, very low level for the size of the company. Income taxes is EUR 50 million up. And why is this because we had last year, due to the impairments of the plants, which we closed, we had a positive DTA of around EUR 20 million this year -- EUR 20 million negative. So that's EUR 40 million, let's say, accounting effects on taxes.
The good thing is the current income taxes, which is as well determining or a big factor for our ROIC stays flat year-over-year, which tells you that our effective tax rate here for current taxes is improving. And then the rest, noncontrolling interest goes slightly up. Why? Because our Africa result is very strong. And here, for example, in Ghana, Tanzania, we have some minorities. Obviously, the result goes out. So in total, group share profit goes up roughly 20%, which is then translated into as well earnings per share. So I guess very, very solid financials below RCO also.
Coming to the cash flow on Slide 17. Overall, the cash flow is roughly EUR 100 million up versus prior year and where does this come from, obviously, change in EBITDA up and then you see that. The cash outflow from working capital is EUR 120 million better than it was last year. That's what I said what we are targeting to improve our working capital, and this is what you see here. And this is a little bit compensated. You see noncash items and other. We had to pay some cash out of provisions for the restructuring and you have seen the currencies moving, and we have some negative effect on our currencies. Now cash flow here in that number also. But overall, if you then look at CapEx, very disciplined, we are even EUR 40 million below last year. I think that is everything what we promised here. Again, we deliver.
If you go to the next slide, Slide 18, there's a net debt bridge. You see here our net debt per end of June stays at EUR 7.2 billion, which is a leverage of 1.56x. You see that in the last 12 months, our growth ambition here is clearly visible. We spent EUR 1.4 billion on M&A. And in -- for the shareholder returns, again, above EUR 1 billion. I guess it's confirming what we said. And in that EUR 7.2 billion, we closed Aspen until late June. So there's Aspen number in there. So pro forma, the leverage would be lower if you include also the Aspen result, which you obviously don't have in here. So in reality, the leverage will improve even like-for-like in the next few months.
For the outlook, Dominik, then I hand over to you back again.
Thanks, René, and I'll close with the final chart. On the back of all what you have heard, we have then confirmed our guidance or will confirm our guidance to come in, in an RCO between EUR 3.25 billion and EUR 3.55 billion. ROIC around 10%. CO2 emissions was a slight reduction. And then just as an indication, CapEx will stay around EUR 1.2 billion, and the leverage will stay around the midterm target of 1.5x. So that's it from our side. .
Thank you so much, Dominik and Rene. Operator, you want to start the Q&A session, please.
[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Luis Prieto, Kepler Cheuvreux.
2. Question Answer
I have 2, if I may. The first one is if you would be able to break down the price over cost building block of your Q2 EBITDA bridge between price increases, cost inflation, cost efficiencies, transformational accelerator and sustainable products. And the second question regards -- is with regards to your awards of EU Innovation from subsidies in two of your European plants. Should we assume that the remaining CCS projects will all be awarded EU subsidies and in what time frame? And if you could -- if I may squeeze in another one, if you can comment on what happens to the Mitchell decarbonization plans after the U.S. DOE subsidy cancellation?
Okay. Luis, it's Rene speaking. So I will take your first and Dominik will take the second. So price over costs for Q2. The good thing is all regions price over cost for Q2 are positive. And best news is the highest number is in Europe. So that's, I think, very convincing. And the -- every -- the biggest sales price increase was obviously in AMWA. We had fixed cost for all regions going into the right direction in Q2, we had in fixed cost below last year of EUR 36 million. And there, you see clearly our transformation accelerator effect. So overall, we are very happy that every region now is price over cost positive and sales price, again, also for all regions up versus prior year.
Okay, Luis. And then on the CCS project, couple of thoughts around that. First of all, EU funding is nice, but it's by far no guarantee that these projects will fly because in most cases, the EU funding is by far not sufficient to make the projects go. That's also why you see outside of [indiscernible], there is not even one FID decision taken in the industry. I wonder why. Because you need to complement these things with many, many, many other things before you can actually FID a project. So yes, everybody is so focused on EU funding, that's nice, but let's wait and see how these projects really come to the FID status. So for us, that's one not unimportant decision point, by far, not the most important one. Just to be very clear, just to set the scene a little bit right on that one.
And yes, there is a new round of EU innovation fund awards coming. And obviously, we have applied with quite a few projects for that funding round. And we are confident that we will get a positive decision on some of them. Let's wait and see how that goes. On the U.S. it's very similar to the behavior that we see that we read in the paper of the administration. Yes, they have canceled the -- formally not only our grant, but I think overall USD 3-point-something billion grants to, I think, a lot of projects. And we are now in negotiation with the administration how we deal with that situation.
We formally have appealed that decision, and we will now -- we have started to negotiate and see how that will play out. We have certainly not given up on the mutual project to send a very clear message. We are confident to somehow find a solution with the administration because I think they -- my understanding and our understanding is that they want investments happening in the U.S., and they want also jobs to be created, and both would be done through the Mitchell plant. And that's why let's wait and see how this plays out.
Next question comes from Elodie Rall from JPMorgan.
My first question is on volumes, please. So still negative in H1. Would you expect that to turn positive in H2? Notably, could you give us a bit more color on what's going on in the U.S., if the exit rates are any better, if you think the outlook is going to improve Europe, do we forecast a bit of positive volumes from here and sustainability maybe on the strong trends in Africa?
And then I just have a like a detailed -- a little bit of a housekeeping question, but it's this line in operating results in group services and other, which had a big swing of EUR 24 million in Q2. So I was wondering what drove this swing and if this should reverse in H2?
Let me take the first one, and then I'll give the second one to Rene. I'm sure he's already looking forward to that one. So Elodie, let me comment maybe and bring you some color on the volumes. I think in general, broadly, we should have seen the worst on volume decline, but we can't give you a guarantee which quarter exactly the turning point is reached. Whether it's happening, let's say, more towards the end of 2025 or more in 2026, hard to tell. That's also true for Europe. You know that the early indicators, if you look at permitting situation, everything that goes in the right direction, but it typically takes 6 to 12 months before it really kicks in volumes. So in that respect, whether it's the tail end of '25 or the beginning of '26, very hard to say.
That is probably true for both the markets that you described, Europe and the U.S. I think in the U.S., we have the special situation that the interest rates have not yet moved down, and that obviously doesn't help the rebound of the housing market. You know that's very interest rate sensitive. So that's the one point that I think we need to continue to watch in the U.S. And the second question for me is the mindset of the current administration, whether they want to continue with the uncertainty that they create through the current discussions or whether they want to slow down in that respect and bring some certainty to the table down the road.
Personally, if you ask me, I'm hopeful that looking a little bit at the midterms in November 26, I internally said, if it doesn't come down right fairly soon after Labor Day this year, in our industry, at least, you won't see a positive effect anymore before the midterms. So let's wait and see. I remain hopeful that the U.S. will see some rebound. And then I can be the weather guy because you know that the weather was a little bit volatile in the U.S. to say the least. Let's wait and see.
I don't -- that's something I can't manage nor guarantee, but it certainly was an usual weather pattern in the U.S. that we've seen, and let's see how that plays out in H2, and that will then also give the full-fledged answer to the volume. Africa, we continue to be very positive. Things look for the key markets for us look absolutely in the right direction. So there's no reason to believe that Africa can't continue to click along as they did.
Rene?
So Elodie, the good thing is you are in detail in our numbers in reading what we published, that's good. Thanks. And you give me the hard time with questions. But okay, this is -- there's a EUR 24 million, let's say, delta to prior year, but that is, let's say, accounting on group level provisions back and forth, in and out. So will this turn worse? I don't think so. Will we get something back? I would answer, yes. So there's no structural issue there. It's just movements, timings, provisions and what have you on group level.
Very clear, Rene. All good, Elodie?
Yes, yes.
Our next question comes from Tom Zhang from Barclays.
First one, just back on the U.S., please. So you mentioned positive pricing in all regions, but I guess slightly negative like-for-like still in Q2, so challenging volumes. Just wondering how you're thinking about price into the second half? Is carryover pricing still going to be enough? Or do you think there's a bit of a risk around price cost in the U.S. in the second half? And maybe if you could split that cement versus aggregates as well because I guess the margin progression has slowed a little bit in cement. And then the second question, just on APAC. So obviously, a very healthy rebound that you can see in the APAC RCO. Maybe just a little bit more color generally on what's driving that recovery and how sustainable that is as well into the second half?
Tom, thanks a lot. Maybe I'll take both of the questions. And then Rene, if you have some additional comments, just jump in. On the U.S., I'm positive on pricing in the U.S. That's true for cement and aggregates, maybe a little bit more positive for aggregates than for cement. But in general, the pricing momentum from our perspective is fine. And the clear answer to your price over cost question, absolutely, the clear target is to keep that well into the positive, and I have no indication that, that won't work. So in that respect, we are very confident that we can keep that positive.
When it comes to APAC, APAC for us consists of 5, 6 different key markets. I think Indonesia, to be honest, volume is okay, but overall, market development is fairly sluggish, not where we expect it to be. Obviously, that's the big upside. If that comes back, that would help us quite significantly. Good news is that India is clearly coming back after some difficult years for us in India. There, the performance has really rebound. The same is true for Thailand. China is not super important for us, but remains very sluggish from our perspective.
And then Rene, you may want to comment on Australia. That's an important market for us.
So you've seen the weather events in Australia in the first 6 months. So that was obviously not so helpful. So from my perspective, Australia should even perform better -- much better in H2 than in H1. So that's probably what I have to say to Australia. And did you mention Thailand on it? Thailand is super strong.
Next one comes from Ephrem Ravi from Citi. .
Two questions. Firstly, North America, trying to get a sense of the impact of the acquisition of Giant in your financials. I suppose most of the difference between headline and like-for-like growth is Giant. So very rough math, looks like the EBIT margin is substantially lower or around half of the rest of your North America business. Is that correct?
Or if that is correct, what would be the steps to kind of improve the margins there? And secondly, a little bit more strategic question. You had identified supplementary cementitious materials as one of your key growth areas in North America in your Capital Markets Day and a natural fit given your low-carbon cement offering in Europe. With CRH buying Eco Materials, do you think you should be moving a bit more quicker in that area before the assets get taken?
Tom, I will take the first one. The answer to your question, is it Giant? That you are clearly wrong because Giant, we closed somewhere in April. And remember, last year in August, we did some acquisitions in the ready-mix and aggregate space in the U.S. So that is the impact what you see here. And be careful first 6 months -- the first 3 months in the U.S., you can have even negative results due to winter and what have you. So that is not a Giant impact. So Giant, to give you the view, Giant is fully on our business plan. So that's positive. So we should see in H2, obviously improved numbers here. But bear in mind, we bought the aggregates and ready-mix stuff in the U.S. in August. So we have consolidation impact until August for this and then it's over. So Dominik, over to you.
Yes, Ephrem, thanks a lot for the SCM question. You're absolutely right that SCM for us, not only in North America, but also globally, is a focus. We never denied that. In fact, that's part of our strategy. When it comes to your specific question around North America and the specific transaction, to be very clear, from our perspective, it's not about speed, it's about discipline. We are disciplined on the execution of acquisitions, especially also in North America. From our understanding, the market is a little bit heated. So we are going to stay disciplined. And on the specific acquisition, I'm not going to comment on what our competition is doing. I can only tell you in transparency, we have looked at this exact same asset a couple of years back and after significant due diligence, have declined to execute. So we absolutely had it on the radar screen, but denied to execute. So that's where we are.
The next question comes from Pujarini Ghosh from Bernstein. .
Sorry for coming back to the U.S. pricing topic. So in the CMD, you had highlighted that over the past few years, you've increased cement and aggregates pricing at around 5% to 6% CAGR. And this year, we've heard from you and as well as some of your peers that pricing probably is not as strong. So I understand that it's still positive, but could you probably give us a bit more color into that? And one question for Rene. So coming back to the free cash flow and the noncash item that you pointed out, could you just explain what's going into that? You talked about currencies and provisions. Maybe if you can give some more detail.
Yes. Let me -- first of all, you don't have to excuse for your question on pricing. I think it's a big focus for us. So absolutely fine. We have no problem. If we can't comment on details, we'll let you know. But I think in general, to answer your question, it is clear -- it is positive pricing both in cement and aggregates. Obviously, with the regional market difference that I can't go into any additional details. But it's probably a little bit more pronounced positive in aggregates than it is in cement to my earlier comment. But absolutely, we are still focused to realize good pricing in North America. Keep in mind, there is also now in the translation into Europe, a significant currency impact for us because obviously, local currency has moved quite a bit, but we report in euro.
So now to your question, what is the noncash items in [ other ]. We have our discontinued operations there are -- where we have some cash outflow there. We have changes in provisions over there. We have their result from disposal of assets because if we are having a positive answer the impact that will be taken out there and you get the positive [indiscernible] in net CapEx. And that's probably -- these are the 4 items -- 4, 5 items and then some other smaller movements, which we have in there.
I hope that answer the question. The next one comes from Yassine Touahri On Field Investment Research.
Just a question about your view on pricing in Europe this year and next year. So I understand that this year, there is a bit of a pause in the price increase compared to what we've seen over the last 2, 3 years. And I'd like to try to understand how you're thinking about next year. Do you feel that you will be able to increase prices substantially because there will be less free allowance? Or do you feel like in the U.K., the independent imports might put a bit of pressure on prices or on your market share and might cap the price increase? It would be great to think a little bit about -- to understand the way you're thinking about those developments for next year.
Yes. Thanks, Yassine. I think on pricing in Europe, in general, our policy has not changed. We are absolutely targeting to cover at least inflation in our pricing. That's true for cement and aggregates. And I think that has worked well. That's clearly the message. Are there regional market differences? Absolutely.
Can I go into any more details? No, you understand the reasons from a legal perspective. But in general, to be very clear, the inflation coverage has worked in both business lines, and we are very focused to continue to make that happen and where we can advance pricing above inflation, that's obviously also our target, if possible. The mid- and longer-term outlook from pricing you indicated, I think, is positive because, yes, the costs will rise dramatically for especially those players who have a higher carbon footprint. That's the name of the game. That's why we are so focused to reduce our carbon footprint globally, but especially also in Europe.
And with that, create a cost advantage down the road. That also turns into the advantage to work more flexible on the pricing side of things and also with lower carbon products on higher margins. So in that respect, the pricing sentiment from -- you can only -- I can only comment on Heidelberg Materials. But in our head, pricing sentiment for Europe is clearly positive.
And when you see in the U.K., a lot of import terminal being built potentially like taking 15%, 20% of the market when you look at all the capacity. And when you see in France a company like EcoCem announcing that they want to take 5% to 10% of the market, what do you think can be the -- how do you think the industry can react? And how do you think can you avoid losing market share versus those new entrants?
It's a competitive game, guys. This is what it is. That's why I always said I want to be able to compete with the Chinese and everybody who I'm facing in my local markets. It's not something I can manage. It's the competition that's true now for the U.K. and it's true now for France. Hey, guys, we need to be competitive against imports or other local players. That is our clear mantra. I cannot keep everybody out or do something else. For me, that's not the name of the game.
We want to be the best operating player in each of the markets we are operating in. And that the local team has to face imports in the U.K. and deal with it. And the same is true for France. If they deal with new competition, well, they better make sure that they learn the lesson and understand that they need to get even better in order to outperform them. That, for us, is our clear focus. And then if CBAM has not been enacted fully, you know that the U.K. is discussing also about CBAM.
So let's wait and see how this plays out. I tend to believe this is more a short-term game that you are talking about now. The mid- and long-term economics for that may not work if CBAM is enacted. So let's wait and see. I put not all my hopes on CBAM, but that certainly will give some tailwind to bring a different market dynamic along and really also honor those who are deeply decarbonizing. That's the purpose of CBAM.
Next question comes from Cedar Ekblom from Morgan Stanley.
Just a couple of follow-ups. Can you make any comment on Padeswood? That was a project that we spoke about at the CMD as was potentially going to get approved in the not-too-distant future. Has there been any change there? Can you please talk a little bit about how you view the landscape in Germany? You guys are obviously there. You're a big player in the construction and infrastructure space. Maybe you've got a little bit of color for us in terms of how policymakers are thinking about the grand ambitions on infrastructure spending, current sort of backdrop?
Are there any projects actually getting approved? Perspectives there would be really helpful. And then I appreciate all the comments on sort of pricing discipline and I understand that fully. Are there any sort of regions, though, where you are seeing a little bit more competition or where the commercial approach of your competitors in the market is a little bit less disciplined. That would just be interesting to understand.
Okay. Cedar, thanks for your 2.5 questions. So we'll dive into them. Easy answer on Padeswood, fully on track. We hopefully get a final decision over the summer. That's been always the target. So from our perspective, that is still fully on track. When it comes to Germany, you've seen all the different announcements around infrastructure packages here and there, yet it's not fully in legislative -- through the legislative circles. So we expect this to happen in the early autumn.
Now it's summer break also in Germany, and then they go into the early autumn execution. And then you have stability on the planning. And then I think it takes a couple of months, as I said earlier, 6, 9, 12 months in order for it to kick in. So I would not expect, to be very honest, any significant lift up from these large infrastructure spends in the remainder of 2025, maybe at the very tail end, but then more so in '26 and going forward. But then it really kicks in. You know the mathematics around it. If only half of that comes ever true, that's a big boost for the German market. So in that respect, whether it's energy transition, whether it's data centers, whether it's defense spend, I think that is a big tailwind for the industry in Germany, and that's a little bit the thoughts around the timing.
In the meantime, you know that the interest rates are coming down. Early indication is that also housing and private construction comes back a little bit. There is small signs of hope also on that end, different to the U.S. So I think maybe we have even a couple of different factors going in the right direction when it comes to Germany. And pricing, Cedar, as I said, there is no concern for us in terms of any land slides or any clusters of markets where things go in the wrong direction. I think some of the markets have been asked by your colleagues upfront that are a little bit more volatile in this respect. But I ask for your understanding that we don't comment on any specific market for [indiscernible] reasons.
But Cedar, just to give you a little bit more color, I don't go into the details. But if you look Europe, up; North America, up; AMWA; Asia, flat, so that's a little bit by region. I think that's not a bad story. I would have said.
The next and last question comes from Marcus Cole from UBS.
The first one is just on Africa. So how do you think about sustainability of growth there, not just in the second half, but also moving into 2026? And the second one is just, can you remind us on your ambitions for M&A in emerging markets?
Yes, Marcus. First of all, sustainable growth. We've made that point very clearly in the capital markets. Africa is the only region in the world that has population growth in a meaningful way. And that will certainly also eventually drive the growth to be sustainable in Africa. Second driver is urbanization. You heard us say in the capital market that urbanization trend is fully intact, and that's also true for the big centers in Africa. So we are very positive on the mid- and long-term perspective for Africa.
That's why we are operating in Africa. And as I said, it's the only global region that has sustained population growth. So in that respect, we feel very comfortable. When it comes to M&A, you saw that Asment has now closed. That's an emerging market transaction in Morocco, will continue to build out in our core markets, not outside of our core markets, but in our core markets, we're going to continue to build out our market position, but we also turn out or leave markets where we believe that's not our core market.
You know that we are in transaction in Congo. Let's wait and see that, that gets closed. We've sold other smaller emerging markets, and we strengthened the position in our existing emerging markets. That's a little bit the strategy in the last couple of years, and we will communicate that we'll continue down that route for the foreseeable future.
Thank you. There's one more that sneaked in. No, disappeared, as I just said it. So I think this concludes our conference call for today. Thank you for asking your questions. The fact that we only have 45 minutes probably says that we're very straightforward with our answers. And the results, we are going on the road again after the summer break. Next conference we are attending is the Morgan Stanley Conference in London, and we are also roadshowing in the U.S. in September. So feel free to reach out to us if you want to see us and meet us. In the meantime, have a very good summer break. Speak to you then in September.
Thank you.
Bye. Enjoy your holiday.
Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over. Thank you for choosing Chorus Call, and thank you for participating in the conference. You may now disconnect your lines. Goodbye.
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Heidelberg Materials — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Heidelberg Materials — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quartal auf einen Blick
- Umsatz: +3% YoY
- RCO: +8% YoY (RCO = Result from current operations)
- EBITDA: +7% YoY; EBIT: +8% YoY
- Operative Marge: +81 Basispunkte auf 24,2%
- H1-Status: RCO H1 +7%, operatives EBIT erstmals >€1 Mrd. (erstmalig in der Firmengeschichte)
🎯 Was das Management sagt
- Wachstum & M&A: Zweite Buyback-Tranche gestartet (bis zu €450 Mio.); US‑Akquisition "Giant" im April geschlossen, Transaktion in Marokko Ende Q2 abgeschlossen.
- Transformation: Transformation Accelerator bleibt auf Kurs (Ziel €500 Mio. Einsparungen), bisher ca. €140 Mio. realisiert; Management erwartet ggf. Outperformance.
- Sustainability: Brevik (CCS-Anlage) in Betrieb; H2-Start der Vermarktung von evoZero®; Fortschritt bei Circularity und Einsatz alternativer Brennstoffe (AFR von 30,6% → 33,5%).
🔭 Ausblick & Guidance
- Guidance 2025: RCO bestätigt bei €3,25–3,55 Mrd.; ROIC rund 10%; leichte Reduktion spezif. CO₂ erwartet.
- Kapitalallokation: CapEx ~€1,2 Mrd.; Ziel-Leverage mittelfristig ~1,5x (Net Debt Ende Juni €7,2 Mrd.; Leverage 1,56x).
- Risiken: Volumenabschwäche (insb. US/Europa) und Unsicherheit bei CCS‑Subventionen (EU‑Förderungen nicht automatisch FID‑treibend; US‑DOE‑Entscheidung für Mitchell angefochten).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Volumentrwende: Analysten drängten auf Timing; Management: Wendepunkt wahrscheinlich Ende 2025 oder Anfang 2026, aber nicht sicher — Zins‑ und Wettereffekte erschweren Prognose.
- CCS & Förderungen: Kritische Nachfragen zu EU‑Innovation‑Fund und US‑DOE; Management warnt, EU‑Förderungen reichen oft nicht allein für FID; bei Mitchell wurde Berufung/Verhandlung mit US‑Administration bestätigt.
- Pricing & US‑Markt: Fragen zu Preis‑über‑Kosten in USA (Zement vs. Aggregate) und Margenwirkung durch Akquisitionen; Management betont positive Preiswirkung, Aggregates stärker als Zement, Giant auf Plan, Disziplin bei M&A.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Fazit: Solide Quartalslieferung: Margen und RCO steigen, Buyback läuft, Nachhaltigkeitsprojekte (Brevik, evoZero) schaffen Alleinstellungsmerkmale. Anleger profitieren von laufender Kapitalrückführung und Kostentransformation, sollten aber US‑Volumenentwicklung und Unsicherheiten bei CCS‑Subventionen weiter beobachten.
Heidelberg Materials — Analyst/Investor Day - Heidelberg Materials AG
1. Management Discussion
Wow, what a location, what a view, what an occasion. Very glad to have you all here. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our Brevik event. I'm glad you made it all here. I'm Chris Bunerburg. I'm heading Investor Relations and Communications for Heidelberg Materials. So let me start by saying thank you for being here. I know it's been a long journey for many of you. And if the beautiful boat ride yesterday and a nice dinner at the location yesterday haven't convinced you yet that it was worthwhile to hop on a plane, I think the next few hours will. We have a lot to share and a lot to show. And to be honest, also a lot to be proud of. So let me also welcome our virtual guests. Good morning, everyone, attending our investor conference online. We look forward to spending the morning with you.
Since we are in a cement plant and you get the beautiful view out there directly to our capture unit here, let me first remind you of some important safety rules. First, feel free to go outside, obviously, on the barge, but in all cases, please stay within the fence area. In case we need to evacuate, there are 2 emergency exits on my right and on my left, and the restrooms are located just outside the barge here to your left. So we're here on the banks of Brevik Jordan, home to this unique facility that you will hear a lot more about today. And I hope that many of you will be able to join us for the tours.
We have 2 tours this afternoon. I will say something at the end of the presentations. But today it's not just about Brevik. As you can see from the agenda behind me, you will be hearing from many of our Board members today that you met yesterday during the dinner, how we drive value for our company, and they will show you why we are all energized, all optimistic where we are now and where we are going in the next 5 years. So let's not waste any more time, get underway, enjoy the program.
I am certainly excited, I can tell you. Also good morning from my side. Thank you all for coming. Chris has mentioned that. And I'm absolutely sure you will not go home without many new ideas what this company is all about. I hope you agree that this location is very special. Well, I would argue a special location for special times. And these are very, very special times on many levels. You all know that after the water outside, concrete is one of the most widely used materials on our planet. In fact, it is the most used man-made material ever. It is critical to our everyday life everywhere. Concrete is used, and you know that, to build schools, hospitals, warehouses, private homes, office buildings, bridges, tunnels, I could go on and on. What is important to understand is the characteristics of concrete. It is very versatile. It is durable. It is fire resistant. It is sound, absorbent. It is 100% recyclable. So it has many, many great properties and one of the properties is super important also for us. It is produced locally, and it is sold locally. In short, concrete is essential for building a sustainable future. It is here to stay. I would argue, in fact, more than that because just like water, it will become significantly more important. You ask yourself why? I know you know that. But let me remind you, and let's remind us, the world is facing an unprecedented wave of investment into construction. As a world and as an industry, we are at an inflection point. We cannot build like we have built in the past. The climate challenge, as we discussed last night, as many of you know, demands change. Therefore, the future demands change. Exactly that's the reason why we are here in Brevic to show you that change is coming. In fact, it is already here. And to show you that we, at Heidelberg Materials are going to lead that change. We are going to lead that change. all around us behind us is an icon of that change, not just for Heidelberg Materials, but for the global construction industry. In fact, I would argue, the world has waited for this moment for centuries. This is the first fully decarbonized cement and concrete, evoZero.
Heidelberg Materials is revolutionizing the industry. Welcome to Brevik. Welcome to this new era, and welcome to the first moon landing of our industry.
This facility and others in the future will allow the most innovative and progressive building and infrastructure owners to create completely decarbonized building structures from now on with new materials, but -- and that is critically important to understand with the known and trusted properties of cement and concrete were always new. But those properties, they used to come with a high carbon intensity from today, this is history. Hello future, erasing the only disadvantage. Concrete becomes the most sustainable building material on this planet.
With this in hand, Heidelberg Materials, we, as a team, will embark on a path of growth and profitability acceleration until 2030. We will and want to make the difference.
Let me walk you through the key themes, let together lift the curtain. For many years, even decades, our industry has had what I like to call a rusty and dusty image. Okay. Fair enough, not today, but there is somewhere in the world, still a little bit of rust and dust about. But the stereotype our reality for quite some time. As Heidelberg Materials, we had the cutting edge, the cutting edge of revolutionary changes in the world. In fact, we are inventing them. Not only that, that's important. We are leveraging them for financial success. We are changing us, the way we operate, think and act. We changed. And that's equally important of our customers. We are changing our product portfolio. We are changing the way we make our products. We change our processes, and we innovate [indiscernible]. But to be very clear, and you know our company also for a long time, many of you, this is not just about technology and innovation for its own sake. We are building on what we do best, running ways to do it efficiently, at lower cost and more competitively. We are living in a material world the other at Conway quoted. Megatrends are providing a bigger tailwind than ever before. We are witnessing the biggest wave of capital investment in history. I know you know this, but let me stress it. I had a discussion with my kids, and I tell you, they use the word mega somewhat inflationary in their generation. And also being very honest, I sometimes disagree with them. However, in this case, I would say this is really appropriate. And Heidelberg Materials is at the very heart of this development. Who of you is surfing? Anybody in the room who is windsurfing? Nobody? Come on, it can't be true. No windsurfing. Okay. Can you see the surfer on the -- can you see here? Okay. Yesterday, all of us were already scared of waves of 1 meter or 2-meter. In fact, the Board was not able to go out because there were waves of 3 or 4 meters. The picture shows the monster wave that the German surfer Sebastian Stortner Concat, October 29 in the year of 2020. You imagine how high this wave was, 26.2 meters. We were scared yesterday of 2 meters, 26.2 meters, the highest wave ever conquered by a human being. The way that we can expect from the capital investments over the next years will be as big as this wave or maybe even bigger. The good news is we are in the right places at the right time with the right products and very important, the right sales approach to capitalize on these large-scale global trends and growth opportunities. And most important, we have the best team in place to pull this off. We're going to give you many data points over the course of the day. But if there is 1 thing I would like to get across, we as Heidelberg Materials, will be the winners riding this way.
Let's talk about the 5 waves. Wave number one, energy transition. Simply replacing 1 power station with enough renewable electricity to power about 100,000 homes takes a large material footprint. In fact, 50,000 tonnes of concrete versus 2,000 for a normal power plant. Each 1 of you can calculate 25x, 25x the amount of concrete. If you take a similar approach to the nuclear plant, 110 gigawatt nuclear plant takes 4 million tonnes of cubic meters of concrete. I just checked with John last night that the sales of our German or our British, he likes the preferred British, British concrete sales annually. You probably also heard that the U.S. administration, yes, there is 1 has actually -- last week, I think, said they want to build 10x, 10 gigawatts until 2030. Wave #1.
Wave #2, infrastructure. You've heard all this discussion about 43,000 bridges in the U.S., 6,000 bridges in Germany close to collapse, that's a problem and needs to be fixed. What you may have also heard, if you have been traveling in Germany, we still do have a railway system, but it's famous for its unreliability. So the company and the government, Deutschebahn and the government have decided they need to fix it with spending EUR 150 billion until 2030. Morocco, emerging markets plans to increase their airport capacity from 30 million to 80 million passengers by 2030.
Wave #3, housing. The world needs a lot of housing, growing population, 100,000 homes every day need to be built, for example, in Africa, by 2040, we will have 31 cities with more than 5 million people. The good news is, in 9 of those cities, Heidelberg Materials is already operating. Let's look at the housing shortage. Somebody from Holland here, in Netherlands? Yes, we had a couple of -- so here you go. We discussed last night, 4% with you 8 million -- 40 million people, your -- 4% of the EU population. And the Dutch government has said we need 900,000 new homes until 2030, which is a 10% increase over the total base in Holland. So housing remains a big issue.
Now a fourth wave came recently, defense. Just to play the numbers, if you take the GDP increase that is talked about, I just try to be conservative. I said we go from 2% of European GDP to 3%. That adds EUR 200 billion. You probably heard yesterday, Marc Rutas saying, "Hey, guys, we want to go for 5%." That would be EUR 600 billion. They are fantastic numbers if you turn this into what does this mean for us? Let's be conservative, 10% of that goes into infrastructure for shelters, for seaports, for air fields. Typically, it's -- if you follow up the estimations, it is about 5% to 20%. That tells you we are talking about a spend of minimum EUR 30 billion plus trying to be conservative on that one.
Last wave, digitalization. You all heard about the exploding demand for data centers. Amazon Web Services, Google, IBM, Microsoft, all are investing billions of dollars in data centers around the world. I have to be honest, preparing for this morning, and they spent a mind boggling $3 billion per week to build data centers. And that adds up to EUR 150 billion, but they want to really increase this big time. And the good news is to build 1 data center, it's about 50 multifamily homes. Just to give you an idea, we are talking big numbers because most of the research institutes actually estimate that the demand for data centers will go up 3 or 4 times to about USD 600 billion per year. Well, don't you think?
Each of these 5 waves are already massive. Combining them, I leave it up to you, all of you, to imagine. Yet some observers still perceive this industry as mature, standing still being boring. Let me tell you, this could not be further from the reality. As you just saw, the opposite is true. We are absolutely convinced as a team that there is plenty of excitement in this industry with Heidelberg materials at the very heart of it. Rest assured, we will make the difference. We are here to show you how we make this happen and what this means -- this transformation means for you, our investors and for the future of this industry. This is very significant get ready. We are very clear about who we are and how we will continue to be successful. This enormous task that I just described to you with the mega waves, demands all our energy. And very importantly, we must not get distracted. We are committed to a disciplined strategy of being a true heavy building materials company, with all pride, focusing on sustainable product applications of cement, aggregates, ready-mix, concrete, asphalt.
Since 2021, we have made 3 acquisitions and 12 disposals. We are focused on our core markets and made our position in them even stronger, where we analyzed that there were better owners, we sold the business. We continue with our diversified presence across geographies capturing different stages of the economic cycle, optimizing our portfolio by prioritizing with strong market positions with strong growth profiles. All business is local. I'm sure you have heard this many times. Well, I've been long enough around the industry to know that this mantra has changed as well. Of course, we still need local routes, local approaches. But to be successful. This is not sufficient anymore. This is not sufficient anymore, driven by the massive progress in technology, transparency and communication, ideas and practices move much faster from 1 place to the other. So if you get this right, you make the difference. That's us. We are not just a collection of local markets. We are driving success across our geographies and businesses by being a locally rooted globally connected efficient and digitally empowered global leader in heavy building material industry materials. Of course, we are continuously improving our global advantages along 3 platforms: Sustainability, digitalization and technical excellence. We have adjusted our organization accordingly. He will get a deep dive into each of the topics from my colleagues in just a few minutes.
Let me give you a sneak preview. On sustainability, we set ourselves the most ambitious emission reduction targets with the most attractive business case. That combination is critically important. EvoZero is a revolution invented in Europe, and commercialized globally with a focus on Europe for now. Our first mover advantage and scale allows us to drive significant value for our customers, as the supply of carbon captured net 0 cement is very scarce and demand for it continues to grow. To be clear, for now, we are not addressing the main market, but a hugely attractive smaller segment at the cutting edge.
One point to note, CCUS is technically ready at industrial scale with a sound business case. But I'm not fooling myself that the next challenge is just around the corner. Scaling CCUS scaling evoZero, rest assured, we are already on it and working hard to make the difference. EvoBuilds, the brand name for our ultra low carbon and ultra-low carbon and low carbon products is marketing all across Europe and all across the world, but will play an even bigger role in the future. When UTS will further reduce the free allowances for off carbon certificates from 2026 onwards, enforcing our ability to lead not only in sustainability, but also on pricing. Supplementary cementitious materials, alternative raw materials and alternative fuels will be accelerated across Europe and globally. You probably feel it. It's so exciting for me, and I would love to tell you more, but I do not want to steal Catarina's thunder.
Edge Connect, our customer-facing digital platform, which started in North America, is now connecting us with more than 25,000 customers in more than 20 countries, real-time, 24/7. We started centralizing and digitalizing our cement plants with age produce in Europe and are now bringing the concept to the next level in North America with Chris, with HROC, our Heidelberg Remote Operations Center. We leverage across the company, automation and AI to further advance our business case. With our investments into Command Alcon and Geotech, we are driving, and we are the driving force to move our industry into the cloud. making our own business better, increasing connectivity with our customers and driving the value of our investments. Also here, I could go on and on and on, but honestly, Dennis is far better to do that in a few minutes. We do competitive global benchmarking and best practice exchanges across all regions and business lines. We learn from our most cost-efficient operations in countries like China, Turkey, Morocco, Egypt and deploy these best practices around the world. Then importantly, we scale up piloted applications and AI applications and automation for global rollout. This is only a sneak preview from my side. Axel is the 1 who will share with you what he is driving.
We are leveraging these functional topics across the entire organization and bring them to life in our regions and countries. How does this work? In 2 of our key regions, Europe and North America. Let me share with you how we leverage platforms in some of our geographies. Now John, Chris, don't worry, I will save the best for you to present you and your teams do the very heavy lifting.
On Europe, there is a -- we are on the verge of a demand rebound. And we are primed as a market leader to capitalize on this shift. Underlying market demand will force a demand uplift also driven by stimulus programs in various countries. EUR 65 million to EUR 100 billion investments into the grid in Europe. Also Germany is EUR 500 billion stimulus program that you have heard about will drive not only the local economy, hopefully, and will have a spillover effect also in other -- into other European countries. And importantly, in parallel, we are not sitting still. We are making a step change, a step change in Europe in efficiency by continuing to redesign our asset base. So as demand rebounds, we expect a significant upward swing in profitability driven by our leading market position and the high operational leverage. On top, decarbonization will drive further growth and low and 0 carbon product, the low and zero-carbon product range will be a major differentiating and value driver.
I'll get to you, Chris. North America, we see strong demand growth driven by long-term structural trends requiring more building materials. You all heard about the $1.2 trillion, Infrastructure & Investment Jobs Act that is there to fix the bridges, build roads and also utilities. You have heard about the data center explosion in the U.S. in terms of investments almost EUR 90 billion went into data center investments already in 2022, and that is going to grow to EUR 165 billion, so almost doubling until 2030, growth rate of more than 8%. And then I would say, still in the starting blocks, the reindustrialization in North America will also lead to sizable investments. You all heard these announcements of all the proud U.S.-based companies, Apple, Johnson & Johnson, Roche, TSMC, you name them. We are uniquely positioned to capture strong growth from these investments. And now importantly, through our digital and AI-based solutions, we will substantially accelerate the profitable growth and make it overproportional. 1 disclaimer, in the meantime, you never know what happens these days. We stay flexible on our toes to adjust our cost base during volume volatility. Who better than Chris could give you further details later.
Yes, the past years have not been the decade or the decade of the emerging markets, true. But it is also true that structural growth in emerging markets will drive demand over the next years. Urbanization combined with the overall growth of the world population will add another 2.5 billion people, 2.5 billion people into urban areas by 2050. Not in Europe, not in North America, not in Latin America, 90%, 9-0, 90% of that growth happens in Asia and Africa. The Indonesian population will reach 300 million by 2030, growing 10% between 2020 and 2030. Cement demand will go up 3% per year. Africa grows from 35 million to 42 million people. The investment story will go up from 35 billion to 42 billion, and that is an annual growth rate of 5%. We are well positioned as Heidelberg Materials to capitalize from this growth. We have market we are a clear market leader in Tanzania and Ghana. We have a strong #1 position -- #2 position in Indonesia that we continue to build out and also optimize our network over there. And now very important in the emerging markets I'm always fascinating how we are making more out of less. We have many, many capital efficient operations such as Ghana and Tanzania, amongst others, with a return on invested capital, I always see a smile on the face of our CFO, significantly above group average. We plan to build on this as we are leapfrogging a heavy asset base. We run deliberately a superior asset-light model Instead of capital-intensive clinker plants, we deploy capital and cost-efficient cementitious assets across the continent. I hear you all writing already. Now this is all very exciting, but who the hell makes this happen.
At Heidelberg Materials, we can build on the collective strength of our high-performance team around the world, just over 50,000 people, led by a great management team of PLL owning entrepreneurs, complementing their local ambitious agenda with global best practices and a relentless drive for rigorous change creativity, innovation and very good financial results. I see some of them standing in the background there with payroll and tour those other guys together with [indiscernible], our Head of Northern Europe, who make it happen. We are just presenting this here to you today. Those are the guys who make it happen on the ground. So if you get a chance to talk to them, these are the people to talk to. Teamwork is deeply rooted in our DNA. and the key ingredient to our success. We are real doors check out with them. And everyone is committed to making a true impact shaping a sustainable, innovative and resilient future for our industry. I could not be prouder of this team. But first and foremost, it's all about a different mindset. The cultural shift within Heidelberg Materials. We have changed and will continue to change the company for the better. taking more and more of our 50,000 team members on this journey alone.
To be very open with you. We certainly do not have all the answers. We don't know today what we will learn tomorrow. But we have trained our muscles to react quickly, turnaround, if necessary and trusting ourselves that eventually we will make it happen. And we have the dedication and certainly, the will to make the difference. For you to experience this change firsthand, we are deliberately presenting our story going forward with 7 of our members of our management team. Hearing it from me, is 1 thing. Hearing it from all of us is the real thing. I know you are all waiting for the numbers. What does this all lead to? Let me bring it all together. Until 2030, we strive to increase our RCO result from current operations 7% to 10% per year. and bring our ROIC return on invested capital up to around 12%. We have sharpened the pencil on our specific CO2 emissions and reduce below 400 kilograms per tonne of cement issues material. With this platform in place, we are in a stronger position than ever to accelerate growth. We maximize value from sustainability, especially evoZero scale our leadership and grab the opportunities ahead. Rene is obviously the right person to lead you through more details. including the financial impact of evoZero and this new reality.
Now finally, you may ask yourself so much growth potential, an ambitious sustainability agenda and a digital agenda, significant scaling of technical innovation, a step change in Europe, growth plays in North America and in the emerging markets. Can they really deliver all of this? Well, let's do a quick check how we did against our ambitious midterm targets we set for ourselves back in May 2022, almost 3 years ago. We have not only delivered but over delivered against all of them. Rene will give you the numbers. So we have not only walked the talk, but we are convinced, and I am sure you are to at the end of the day that we will just do it again.
With that, enjoy the presentations from Catarina, Dennis, Axel, John, Chris and Rene. I love the team play. I'm excited to have all of you here with us today to turn the page to our 2030 strategy, making a material difference, a new chapter of leadership, innovation as well as sustainable and profitable growth. Setting the clear global benchmark in the heavy building material industry. Thank you.
For Heidelberg Materials, decarbonization is not a threat. It is actually a once-in-a-lifetime business opportunity. My name is Katherine Beumelburg. I'm the Chief Sustainability at New Technologies Officer of the company, and I would like to spend the next round about 20 minutes with you to discuss exactly this point. I'm the new kid on the block. I only joined the company in October last year coming from the oil and gas industry, where I was on the Managing Board of Schlumberger. After 17 years in Siemens from my background, I'm a mechanical engineer. And through all this time, the 1 thing that was always really important to me is decarbonization of industries because I'm convinced we need it for the planet.
So having that said, let's get started. So decarbonization is no longer a future ambition. It is really becoming reality just right now. We have 142 countries in the world that now have climate targets and they are backing them with regulatory frameworks. Then obviously, we do see the geopolitical, let's call them uncertainties, especially in the U.S. right now. And still, industry and country commitments are holding. Carbon pricing schemes are actually expanding. And while obviously, Europe is at the forefront, we see it happening in Asia, with China, Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia. We see it happening in North America, in California, Canada, Mexico. But the clear epicenter for now is Europe. Now Europe with the EU ETS is very much becoming a market driver for the hard-to-abate industries because the free allowances will start going down 2026, and they will go down to 0 by 2034, which is actually a very steep decline. I just discussed it with some of you yesterday evening. That means that the cost of carbon for carbon heavy industries will rise sharply. And with that, the pressure to decarbonize. But the truth is, for us, this whole decarbonization topic is more than a response to a regulatory framework. It is really once in a lifetime growth opportunity for our company. And I'm saying that with our company having created our unique product, evoZero, unlocking a new different value priced market segment and reducing the reliances on the free allowances at the same time. That means we have a double advantage, a growth potential in the new market segment and reduction in cost on the other hand. And Rene will go in more details and actually show you the business case behind it. With Brevik, the world's first and only operational industrial scale carbon capture cement plants, we are proud to be the front runners. We are setting the benchmark in Europe and scaling this leadership and then selling evoZero worldwide.
Having that said, let me look where we are today. We are delivering material impact. And as of -- and we learned a lot over the last years. on decarbonization and what we are able to do. Now let me present the new targets for 2030. We will reach less than 400 kilograms CO2 of cementitious materials by 2030. And as well as more than 50% of sustainable revenue. Sustainable revenue being either 30% less carbon or at least 30% recycled materials. To hit these goals, we are also raising the targets for our 2 main levers, which is we will increase the alternative fuel rate to higher than 50%, where our previous target was 45 million, and on the other hand side, we will further decrease the goal for the clinker incorporation rate, which had been 68%, and now we are sure we can achieve 64.
The reason why we are able to increase this target is because we got smarter. We learned how decarbonization works. We understood our levers better. And this is why we can make these commitments now. And then these are obviously long-term levers, and they will contribute to 2030, but then obviously push us beyond 2030 and beyond the less than 400 kilograms. And while CCS will only deliver around 3 million tons of CO2 stored underground by 2030, the CCS lever becomes far more important after 2030. When we have done all the conventional levers that we can. So it's the time now to really work on it to make sure we have it available after 2030.
Now having that said, we are well underway with our CO2 reduction. And let me show you some examples. So first of all, alternative fuels, 30% of our clinker plants reach at least 45% alternative fuel usage. And I've brought 2 specific examples. Germany, Langford is already around 100% alternative fuel rate. They secured a constant supply and an optimized usage of processed household and industrial waste tires and biomass to reduce the fuel-related emissions. Other example, Indonesia, Groban, where I had the pleasure to visit the plant earlier this year. When we bought the plant a while ago, it was 100% going on coal, and we are currently building a system that allows us to use 45% alternative fuels in the course of the next year. I think this is a very nice example that shows that we are the best owner to decarbonize these assets.
Then let me also highlight some topics on the clinker incorporation rate. So 40% of our cement production reaches a clinker and corporation rate below 68%. This is part of why we adopted the target, obviously. Let me also highlight some examples like here.
Let's look at the U.S. that is under 64% clinker rate already based on a very strong economic reason, and I make sure that I say it was an economic reason. We bought SFA, and Chris will give you more details on it and show you the case really. And when SIFI is the biggest flash recycler in the United States. And with this buying of CIFA which produces 1 million tonne flyers recycled fly ash per year. We reduced our global carbon footprint by 5 kilograms, so that's actually a very big lever. And they brought the U.S. in total under 64% already.
Then another example, Ghana and you potentially read it in the news in the last -- in the next couple of days. We have just built the biggest flash calciner for Calpiplay, and we are using this flash cacina and produce clay for Ghana and Portoga and we managed to reduce our Click & corporation rate buyer this Calcada less than 66%.
And then 1 other example that I particularly like because it's really CapEx low as an example in Germany. So Germany, which is 1 of our biggest markets reduced its carbon footprint within the 4 years between 2020 and 2024 by 80 kilograms. So an enormous improvement, and the main lever that they used was a shift in their portfolio. as well as optimizing the recipes of the cement. So portfolio and recipes, limited CapEx led to minus 80 kilograms. That is something that we now very much looked in detail what exactly happened and how we did it. And we will roll out this very balanced approach in those countries where we see the biggest potential over the next years. Because in the end, every percentage point matters for CO2 for cost and obviously for our competitiveness.
So let's look at our portfolio. And I must say I'm very proud to say that we have the most comprehensive low-carbon portfolio in our industry. We have 2 main brands in our sustainable products, EvoBuild and evoZero. EvoBuild cement contains at least 30% less CO2, while evoZero is obviously our carbon capture net zero product. And recently, our sector came together to develop a global low carbon product rating scheme starting from band that you see at the top going down all the way to near 0. With EvoBuild products, we already start in band with EvoBuild 30 and with EvoBuild 70 we are able to get down into the band between 200 and 300-kilogram per tonne. And then with evoZero, we are the only company in the world that can offer a product in the near 0 range. I think the real advantage of the scheme is that it gives customers maximum transparency and comparability between the products. And it was developed to basically be adopted by governments and by the private sector in their lead markets and in their procurement practices so that you really have an overview of what you buy.
Now today, we are here in Brevik. The [indiscernible] film should start.
[Presentation]
Nice. I actually love the movie. I think it actually really creates goosebumps. So today, we are all here in Brevik. Welcome to the world's first industrial-scale carbon capture plant in the world. And I personally think this is really an amazing place to be. Brevik is the result of the successful innovation partnership with Northern Lights and with the Norwegian government, who funded the project with up to 85% both in CapEx as well as in OpEx over a period of 10 years. And this is obviously not only a pilot. We are producing net 0 evoZero cement and we are with that gaining operational experience. We are learning, and it is the basis for leading the way in a space that nobody has entered before. Actually, it is our step on the moon. We are the only company to have achieved industrial scale carbon capture and cement. And as the first company globally to do this, we are collecting the data. Okay. We are building the know how.
[Technical Difficulty]
Guys, I'm back. Are they back too? Okay. And for those out there, we had a power outage. We didn't do that on purpose. So -- but it's great to have you all back and I will try to pick it up where I left it. By the way, with the advantage that nobody can say I was too long afterwards because I had this power thing in the meantime. So because that was what happened before I was too long.
So let me tell -- so we were talking about Brevik, right? And I was saying that I think being the first 1 and being the pioneer does come with very significant advantages, because advantage one is we do collect the data and we learn about the plants about the capabilities, and we will get smarter every day basically. Then we developed the talent meaning we are developing people that are able to run such a plant. And obviously, with the partnerships we had, we learned a lot about how to work in such an environment, how the contractual framework works, all of this. So being the first one, does include more risk in the beginning, and you have the advantage of being able to learn far more. Actually, we had 400 experts that have worked more than 1 million hours to build this up. And currently, we have 30 experts who are working on carbon capture here in the Brevik plant and Axel will give you some more insights into it later. But this is how we drive global advantage. We learn it here, and then we are able to scale it globally.
Now let me give you a quick glimpse into how the process works. And we have this live little diagram here. So first, we capture the CO2 in the big absorber that you see over there, then we compress and liquefy it and store it in the silver tanks that are there, but you don't see them right now because of the ship. And then from the tanks, it goes onto the ship with the ship, it's brought up the Norwegian coast and hits the Northern Lights infrastructure. It's stored again and by our pipeline is the first CO2 ever that is going to be stored in the Northern Lights reservoir, which is actually 2.6 kilometers under the seabed. It's actually a closed-loop, fully traceable system and this remarkable process actually leads to our evoZero. It's the first -- the world's first carbon-free net 0 cement at industrial scale. Only we have it, and Brevik is a true game-changing facility where a commodity that has been a commodity for a very long time is turned into a specialty, and what makes evoZero so truly unique, is actually its performance. It's a totally new product, but it does have all the characteristics of the SEM one, the portland cement that we are used to. At the same time, it's fully decarbonized because of a smarter process because we produce the cement, and after the production, we take the emissions and capture the Tier CO2 with the process that I've just shown you. Brevik is not only a project, Brevik is the future of our industry. And I am more than proud to be able to announce that we will take FID of paid wood in the U.K., our next carbon capture and storage plant, hopefully, within the next 6 weeks. So we are very close to this. And the volumes that are seeing on the slide here are the combined volumes of Brevik and pads wood. This is what we took into consideration when we calculated the 400-kilogram. Everything else that we do will come on top. And besides these 2, obviously, the next CCS project is already in the starting blocks.
But now let me show you a little bit what evoZero actually means for our customers. So first of all, customers can buy evoZero in 2 different forms. The first form is they buy the physical product here from Brevik, it's shipped from Brevik, and it goes to -- directly to the customer. The second form is actually buying evoZero as a virtual product, and as in this example, it's a product bought in -- from a plant of us in Spain, and we connect carbon credit from Brevik to the product in Spain to make sure that every carbon certificate that is produced here in Brevik, is only allocated once. We follow a 3-layered approach in terms of product assurance. Step 1 is that we track and account every ton of CO2 that we store here well, not here, but in Northern Lights, in our carbon bank. Step 2 is that we secure this process with blockchain technology and Dennis, who is there, will tell you more about that. And third, we have a third-party verification process that ensures full traceability and make sure that we have a 1 to 1 matching with the cement salt to be 100% sure, it is safe the way we sell it.
Now for evoZero, we are actually implementing a very targeted sales approach, and this is new for us as a company as well. I've already discussed, there was a couple of people yesterday evening. And actually, because the value of evoZero is most valuable for stakeholders in the build value chain earlier in the process than our regular Tier 1 to Tier 3 construction companies, we set up a team, which is dedicated for evoZero. This team has 2 layers. One is centrally in my teams, and it's a commercial team that globally works to represent evoZero, and then we have local teams in those countries where it's most promising to really drive the country customer engagement.
In addition to our traditional customer base, we are also engaging with these early stakeholders that I was talking about in the value chain, and that would be companies like asset owners because they see a very significant value in the lower carbon of the building. It could be real estate investors. It could be architectural companies, and I'll show you in a second what the advantage really is. And moreover than this, we actually work with key stakeholders besides the sales process that include governments, industry associations, NGOs and architects and investors to shape an enabling framework to actually be able to sell Levo because that's something that needs to be insured as well. This drives the demand for net-zero construction products. And this is how we really shape a new part of the market. Our initial focus for this is obviously Europe because based on the ETS system, this is where the business cases are easiest, but the plans are clearly to expand the capacity to North America over the coming years.
Now let me walk you through what the real customer advantage actually is. So with evoZero, we enable our customers to reduce the embodied carbon of the building, and that creates additional financial value. Let me explain how we do that. So first of all, of the life cycle carbon emissions of the building, you can broadly put them in 2 parts. One is the operations, the operations part of the carbon emission that's mainly heating and cooling. And then the second part is really the embodied carbon of a building. Of these embodied carbon of the building, roughly half comes from cement. If you compare it to the cost of cement in a project and how comparably in the building project and how comparably small this is, this is a huge lever to reduce carbon emissions. If you reduce these, you have an immediate impact on the entire project. Our customers can actually benefit from improved loan conditions and it looks as if they are ranging from 5 to 15 basis point reduction, but for the entire project, not just for the cement, of course. And then it can help fulfill the requirements that are given from cities so that developers are actually able to bid for projects. And there are lots of cities around the world that are just right now coming up with regulation for embodied carbon in the cities like Amsterdam, New York, Toronto, Seattle, London, Helsinki. So I think it's a growing number that puts a focus on this. And evoZero gives the opportunity to the developer to really bid for the project. And then taking into consideration that currently, the demand for green buildings is higher than the actual availability of green buildings that leads to higher occupancy rates as well as the willingness of tenants to pay higher rents or pay a higher price if they buy the building. And they do that because this has a very immediate impact on their emissions and their goal that they have announced. Based on this rationale, we are convinced of the business case for us and for our customers because it creates value and it drives decarbonization of the built environment.
Now as I said, Brevik is just the beginning. It is the first in a growing portfolio of carbon capture utilization and storage plants that we are working on across Heidelberg Materials. And I can confidently say this is the most advanced portfolio in the industry. As mentioned, Padeswood has taken an important step at Edmonton is getting very close to FID as well. Other projects are in advanced development levers, and you see them on the right side of the slide. But to be clear again, only CO2 captured and stored here in Brevik and paid wood is currently accounted in our 2030 goals. Everything else is long and medium-term upside that you see on the slide. This is our global advantage. We make decarbonization the driver of our profitable growth for the future.
Now having that said -- having all of that said, let me leave you with 3 major takeaways out of this part. First, for us, decarbonization has a convincing business case because we create value for our customers. Second, with the most advanced portfolio in the industry, we have a once in a lifetime opportunity to drive global growth. In new market segments, and with a value-based price. Brevik proves we can do this at scale, evoZero proves that carbon captured net 0 cement and concrete works. No other companies has that no other company has achieved what we have. This is how we actually lead and how we will scale evoZero globally in the next step.
Thank you, and I hope you enjoy the rest of the day and the tour over the plant. And with this, I hand it over to Dennis.
SP-3 Okay. Hi, everybody. My name is Dennis Lentz. I'm the Chief Digital Officer here at Heidelberg Materials, 4 for years in that role and joined Heidelberg Cement 15 years ago, in those days, still Heidelberg Cement and originally started in the business, and that is still what my heart beats for and what makes me getting up every morning not so much about the fancy tools. It's more about the business impact they can actually generate and the P&L impact we are after with it.
The next 15 minutes will be about a topic. And if we are honest, it's a topic we -- our industry is not really famous for it. It's the digitalization, the digital transformation. And as Dominik already outlined in his presentation here at Heidelberg Materials, we are actually proud to not only follow this trend, but really to pave the way for the whole industry into the cloud where digitalization and generating a P&L impact out of this is so much easier. Let's unpack that a little bit.
What you see here on the right side is the typical IT setup of a ready-mix business. It's very localized system. It's locked up data, nothing is connected very difficult also to bring innovation to such an environment. Just imagine a country here, for instance, in John's patch with 150 plants. If you want to bring something in terms of innovation to that business, you have to repeat it 150 times. That's a lot of effort, and it takes a lot of time to get something done. And a couple of years back, we realized that this cannot be the future. With all that new technology coming with much higher speed than before. This is not a foundation which we can rely on as a business. And that's why we had that vision of 1 central cloud platform, where we handle all of our most important business transactions where we can connect the dots and our people also our customers where access to new technologies such as AI is so much easier, but also faster and faster also means the benefits hit the bottom line earlier. And then we had a choice to make. Are we building this just for ourselves? Or are we building this in a way that others can also benefit from it. And that's exactly the decision which we have taken. We are not building it ourselves and just for our own business. We are building it together with a partner network we have invested in and which we were gluing together to build the cloud platform of our industry. And we are doing this for 2 specific reasons. Obviously, we want to make our own core business better, faster, but we also want to help our customers, our ready-mix and asphalt producing customers to move together with us into this cloud and open up all those opportunities and also offer value-add services to them. A nice side effect of that is the more adoption that platform gets, the more valuable also our participation in those digital partners get.
Let's unpack that a bit. And let's also look into who are those partners actually. And obviously, the most prominent and important 1 because it's the center piece is command icon for 2 specific reasons. One, it's the largest installed base in the customer. So in the U.S., it's a little bit tricky with data sometimes, but it's a fair assumption to say that in 8 out of 10 cases, and 8 out of 10 ready-mix deliveries, 1 way or the other, already command icon system is involved in this. And that was what attracted us because we did not only want to do this for ourselves. We wanted to do it also for our customers. And many and most of those customers are already on that platform.
The second reason is that the Command Alkon Cloud is covering those main processes I mentioned. It starts with sales, it continues with the materials you need to produce. It's continuing with production quality assurance, dispatching our trucks and deliveries and then ultimately bringing the material to our customers. and also to make it a good experience for them and make us and our ready-mix producing customers the easiest partners to do business with this in this industry. Remember, I said it is so much easier to bring innovation to a cloud-based environment. And that's exactly what we do with the other partners. Geotech up in Canada is the leading digital tech provider to the ready-mix industry. It's all about AI for recipe optimization, quality control and transit strength prediction. When you run a ready-mix business, it's very often difficult to actually get data and insights and turn it into actions. Very often, you run it a bit blind because remember that picture in the beginning, if the data is locked there, how to get it out there and how to turn it into insights and how to turn it into action. And that is what C6 is all about in the cloud. It turns data into insights and then into actions which our local people can follow up. And then -- and let me spare that a little bit for later on in the presentation. There is a lot of new work coming to our business with sustainability. We have to prove how much carbon is in those products. We have to show this to our customers. And obviously, we don't want to build up a lot of people doing this manually. And here, AI can help to make this a much smoother and better process. I know that digital sometimes for those not thinking about it every day can be a little bit fluffy. How does that translate into P&L impact? What is that actually doing to our business. So I thought I bring you a couple of examples where this really becomes tangible. And thanks to my colleague, Chris here. We have those examples because he's helping me a lot rolling them out in the U.S. business where we typically pilot things. Again, on the left side, this is the typical workplace of someone working in 1 of our batch plants, a very local workplace typically made for 1 better or maybe even 1.5 to 2 BEG looking after 1 plant. And very cumbersome to also stay or to make the system stay tuned that it exactly mixes into the mix, what is supposed to be in there. And as we know that this is difficult. Sometimes we have to plan for some mishappening and put some buffer into it. And ultimately, buffer, which could be avoided is nothing else than waste. And here on the right side, you see how that will look like in the future already today in some of our plants when we move it into the cloud. It's not any longer a local system. It's a local or it's a location-independent system, where ultimately, 1 better can look after up to 10 plants and just managing the exemptions of it, big efficiency gain for us, also addressing our needs or risks in terms of labor shortage. That alone in the U.S. when we roll that out to all of our plants is a EUR 12 million opportunity for us. On the bottom, you see a tool from Command Alcon called Batch AI, which basically trains plant-specific model, learning how the plant is reacting to different circumstances, temperature, moisture, different raw materials, mixes and so on, make sure always exactly what should be in the mix ends up in the truck. And that helps us to cut out waste and waste safe cost. But looking at my colleague here, also saved CO2 because the best tonne of cement is not yet evoZero. It's still the 1 which we don't need to put into the mix. And that alone is EUR 3 million or euro, sorry, here in the North American business of Chris.
Next example, this time from Geotech. And here, we really teamed up Geotech, bringing the technology to the table and we bring the industry know-how to the table and also a lot of data. We gave them 180,000 mixes of Heidelberg materials and how they performed in the past, and they used this to train the first real AI tool, helping us to optimize mixes. And we can use this ourselves as much as our cement customers and aggregate customers producing ready-mix can use that to make their mixes more efficient. For us, in the U.S., that's a EUR 4 million opportunity and always keep the local -- sorry, the global advantage in place. We are in the process of rolling all of these things out into our U.S. business, but it can obviously not stop there. We have to go then also to the other countries of Heidelberg Materials to get the full benefits out of it. Together with Chris, we have committed that all the digital initiatives we are targeting in North America, and Axel will also show you a couple of other ones in the cement space that we will get EUR 50 million of additional results coming from that across the different business lines. Remember, I said we are doing this for 2 reasons. We want to make our own business better, faster. This is that. But we are also doing it for the wider industry, especially our ready-mix and shot producing customers.
So let's switch perspectives. How does that make their business better. And you actually see me here in Atlanta talking to a couple of combined customers of Command Alcon and title work materials who really appreciate that we are kind of open sourcing our playbook, how to digitalize Ashford and also ready-mix assets. So what can we do to make their business better. We can help them with a Geotech AI to optimize their recipes so that they can also take waste CO2 and cost out of their business. We are offering them bundled services. An example for that is concrete together with the Geotech sensor to actually measure the maturity of the concrete. And that's really nice. There's also examples which bring the 2 transformational pillars of Heidelberg Materials nicely together, sustainability and digital.
Let me dive a bit deeper into those 2 ones here on the bottom. I don't know how familiar you are with the concept of EPD's environmental product declarations, right? So for those of you not knowing that, it's kind of comparable to the nutrition table, you find on the food you buy in your groceries. And where it's all about the caloric value and how much sugar is in the food us, the most important thing, which is on the EPD is the embodied carbon. And in the past, that was a very cumbersome and time-consuming process to collect all of that data to generate an EPD out of it. And sometimes it took actually years from us making an investment into our cement plant to reduce the embodied carbon level to really being in a position that our own ready-mix business, but also our ready-mix producing customers can show this to their end customers. And that's important because if the customers don't see it, they will not buy that material and that ultimately also hinders us from selling things like evoBuild or maybe later on then also evoZero. And that's why we recognize that need and invested into that space. We are doing this together with Command icon and pathway. So bringing 2 partners together. And in the meantime, it takes us hours to generate a cement EPD. And the good thing is we are not sharing a PDF or paper document with our customers. but we are sharing that data via the Command Icon platform in a digital way so that the customers can update all of their hundreds of EPDs resulting out of 1 cement EPD in seconds and not any longer in years. So the benefit for our customers is that they can prove the reduced carbon levels earlier to their customers. And the benefit for us is that it's easier to sell our sustainable materials. And now I want to close it up with a bit of a visionary note. You heard Catarina talking a lot about evoZero and also her sales team really looking after those projects globally. And Dominic also said ultimately, this will become a global product, which we market globally at 1 point in time. And again, bringing the 2 prospective sustainability and digital together, I'm actually convinced that at 1 point in time in the future, we can also use all of that platform to help our ready-mix producing customers to help us selling evoZero inside their mixes through this digital sales channel. So wrapping it up, we want to lead the whole industry into the cloud. We are not doing this alone. We are doing this with a couple of partners, which we invested in and glue together. We are making our core business better, faster through this. We empower our customers with value-added solutions and we started all of this in the North American business, strong commitment to roll all of those solutions out and turn them into P&L impact. But obviously, that can only be the beginning. The cool thing about digital is, you do it once and then you can easily scale it out to the world.
Good morning also from my side. My name is Axel Conrads. I'm the Chief Technical Officer for Heidelberg Materials since February of last year, actually 25 years already in the company and I'm leading the competence centers for ready-mix, aggregates and cement and 400 people worldwide are responsible to improve our efficiency in our operations as well as leading our noncapital as well as our capital projects worldwide and Brevik is a prime example of that proud achievement.
Looking at this picture, it holds me actually respond memories because that's our [indiscernible] plant in Bavaria, Germany, and this is where I started 25 years ago as a young kinase. And at that time, the task for me was to improve our alternative fuels from 10% to 50%. This plant is running now at 85%, which makes me very proud.
My last assignment was actually to be the regional president for our Midwest division in North America. And at that time, I was very proud to be part of the team that constructed and commissioned our Mitchell, Indiana cement plant that we commissioned in April 2023. The biggest plant we have now in North America, so a great achievement for the U.S. If we look at technology at Heidelberg Materials, we don't see that as an enabler. We see that as a core value driver for our industry. Across all our projects, all our plants and all our processes. We leverage technology to increase our efficiency, our industrial efficiency to improve our decarbonization road map as well as to lead our innovations. Very happy that I have a couple of examples, 6 examples today, not too many, but 6 examples today that show you how we are uniquely positioned to really leverage that technology to improve our efficiency in our operations. The core success factor for us is really a consistent application of the global advantages that we have in technology. If you look at us at Heidelberg Materials, we have global advantages and we linked that with technology, which we truly believe is a multiplier and an accelerator for our efficiency game.
So let me start with the global talent rule first. We talk a lot about automation. We talk a lot about autonomous and that also sounds very much as efficiency gain per se. But we need to realize that our employees is the core asset of this company. their skills, their competencies, their commitment, but also their mobility makes us successful to bring things like Brevik and many other examples as well. If you look at standard operating models, we have very sound, very detailed operating models for all our business line down to every plant down to every process. We don't standardize to standardize. We are not the army. We are not a bureaucracy, but the use standards to really embed our best practices in our operation and use that as a platform for new development.
Next 1 is R&D and knowledge multiplier. You know we have a very sophisticated R&D center in Germany. And they do great things. It's amazing what they come up with and what they innovate. And they don't do that to go to congresses or write papers. We use that to really take that into our plans, pilot that very well in the plant and from there on scale. And this is the next point, economies of scale. We do that very thoroughly. We have a central engineering unit in our competence center cement that is able to scale those innovations from 1 plant out to the world, over our 100 cement plants, our aggregate plans already makes plans very swiftly and very cost competitively because we have the scale on that.
Now all these 4 things are enablers. Between ability in doing is 1 big thing in that commitment. And this is what I'm extremely proud of in our company is the speed of implementation. We can excite our plans, our countries to go with us on the journey to implement things very quickly because they know we have tested them well and they see the economic value in doing that. So clearly, linking global advantages with our technology approaches that really accelerates and multiplies our efficiency gain.
I brought 6 examples with you, and I want to show you with that slide only 1 thing. All these global advantages pay a huge dividend into making those examples really happening and scale them very, very quickly.
So we talk about CCS. We talk definitely about Brevik you've heard before, right? We talk also about other carbon reduction levers that we have. We need to talk also about calcined clay. We talk about a shock autonomous trucks as well as our transformation accelerator initiative that I have the honor to lead for the whole board.
Let's start with Brevik. This is obviously our very proudest achievement of the recent time. For us, this is the world's first industrial-scale CCS plant with a capacity of 400,000 tonnes. And Dominic said that, well, this is for us like the first moon landing. And I can tell you very clearly, well, we are already in orbit, right, when we were still commissioning the plant, we still have to figure things out to really make a sound lending and really get that thing going. It was really mind boggling in new technology that was never tested before on that scale. So we are really proud what we have achieved here with the team. And let me tell you, it was not a switch of a button. Actually 8 years ago, we started to hire expert from a totally foreign field for ourselves, from the carbon capture side and merit them together with our expert of cement to really make that marriage of knowledge that later on become a marriage in technology that we see out there. So this is, again, a tribute to our global advantages. We could bring these talents together, but we also could use Brevik at the breeding ground for new developments for our next operations for Padeswood, as we mentioned before, people from Padeswood were part of this commissioning to experience that commissioning. So they will be quicker and better suited to do the next 1 that is coming up, technology that is all seen here in Brevik was tested on a smaller scale in other plants worldwide. And we took that knowledge from those plants and applied that her back to Brevik to make that a success. So we really work together to do that. we create now, based on that unique experience, already operating menus, we create digital tools, so we can scale that knowledge then very quickly into our operation. This is unique out there. You all know that we are able, and this makes us unique as well that we can scale that now very quickly that nobody else can do.
So Brevik is a major leap. No question about that. But as Katarina already mentioned, we are doing obviously much more to decarbonize our industry. We talked about alternative fuels. We talked about the reduction of clinker incorporation is 2 major points as well. But we go further than that. We take all the levers that we have. We actually, last year, started to go plant by plant and capture best practices of our very great people in our plants worldwide, from Africa, from Asia, from North America and Europe, and understand what leave us, what is there for us to gain in all our world's greatest plants that we have. And we took all these best practices together and created a menu of levers and took these levers and mirrored that across all our plants and understood which of these levers can be economically applied in all of our plants [indiscernible] only applied not just doing it, just what makes sense. We're very proud that we found another 1.5 million tons of CO2 reduction per year with very limited CapEx and an OpEx saving of more than EUR 50 million per year on that. So that's really the strength of the company to bring these best practices together do that in a very disciplined way and roll that out as quickly as we can and attribute to our global advantages. While we stand here at Brevik and celebrate what we are doing here, we cannot forget, and Catarina alluded to that. We have, at the same time, started the largest calcine in the work calcined clay in the world in Ghana, flash calciner, an individual investment that we have done for that, we are very proud of that, that we have for our emerging markets, a great product there to further decarbonize our industry. First time that we started with calcined clay is 15 years ago. We started that in Tanzania. And we use these last 15 years to fully understand how calcined clay works, but also how we can scale that in different directions.
Calcined Clay, let me talk maybe a little bit about Clay for the non-mineralogist or geologist of you. play is a deposit that is very common similar to limestone, but clay is not play. Clay has different minerals. In some of these minerals, you can heat treat to activate them to become a very potent secondary cementitious material with 80% less CO2 intensity than clinker, but at the same time, very comparable strength characteristics. So we took that idea and thought what else can we do with that? We found by now 15 plants in our group that can take the idea of calcined clay and these do things like that, a huge plan or to very small scale addition to our plans that don't require really CapEx. So we can scale things up and we can scale things down, and we can do that very, very quickly. You might have heard already about our Heidelberg materials optimization center. This is, for me, a very, very good example of technology-driven value generation. This is a hub in Dallas, Texas, that operates 12 of our cement plants in North America. We get the best people there to really sit together and exchange how we can operate these plants simultaneously better, just match what kind of synergetic improvement you get if the best people in the world sit together and simultaneously improve 12 plants at the same time and run them efficiently. We will hear much more on that from Chris later on his presentation, but this is really a new generational step for us to operate our plants.
Now how can we scale it? We can scale that and just copy/paste there to other areas in the future. But we also can only take partial solutions out of that and apply that, for example, to our 47 grinding units and remotely operate them from our integrated plants and have efficiency gains with that as well. So we scale again in different directions as well, full blown or partial or with a gain to improve our efficiency. We did that very quickly from Idea, and Dennis was very involved in that as well. We can speed that up very quickly, starting with the idea, roughly a little bit over a year ago, until we are now in the implementation phase already and started the first plants already having all plants online run out of Dallas in the next 2 years. So again, how quickly we can do that, that nobody else can do as we can. Also you might have heard about our autonomous truck project that we have. For us, this is not only an upgrade, this is really the step development into manless operation of our quarries. You all know it's difficult to find people for all driving to find people for shift for night shifts and weekends. This gives you us the opportunity to run a fleet completely males. We are the first to really utilize that technology in our industry, and we scale that very quickly. The real nice thing, the real cool thing about our solution to autonomous trucks is that it is a solution that is completely brand-agnostic and retrofittable. We don't have to buy new trucks for that. We don't care who supplied the trucks. We can retrofit that to all our trucks, and you see a little bit how that works. Keep in mind, these trucks are as big as a house, right? These are 100-tonne trucks. They -- if you stand them next to your house, you know how big they really are. This is the equipment. We are running with that. So with that technology, the retrofittable and bread agnostic, we can scale that, a, very quickly. It's a huge time advantage, but it's also very limited capital requirements. So the payback time for that is less than 2 years in average. We can do that in 3 years, over 30 quarries and covering more than 100 trucks with that.
Coming back to the scaling effect of that, right? Yes, we can scale that very quickly because we have trained our next generation of project managers to roll that out already while we did the pilot in Lake Bridgeport, Texas, U.S.A. for the last year. but we can also go further and utilize that technology for other equipments, front-end loaders, drills and so on. We can do that with different partners as well. We learned so much out of that we can scale that now in a short amount of time. I cannot stand here without talking about the transformation accelerator. And even yesterday in our evening dinner, when I talked about technology, everybody was a little bit interested when we started talking about transformation accelerator. And the interest was really high. That was very good. for us, the transformation accelerator is obviously an important project, but it is more than that. For us, it's a mindset. We want to really become the best efficient operator in the world, and that is a step towards that. What we did here as a global efficiency program is to take a little bit different approach than we did in the past. We really used our data. As you know, we have P&Ls down to every ready-mix aggregate and cement plant, and we understand the cost situation, the productivity situation, our plan is very good. Based on that, we benchmarked our operations and understand what good looks like and where we have improvement potential. We did that in a short amount of time. It took us 2 months to get the program set up all in turn without consultants with it all ourselves and are running that project now for 2 years. Our target is EUR 500 million. I'm very convinced that we achieved that. Why am I convinced because here we sit, end of April data already in the books, and we saw we have taken pretty good but out of that already. So we are very confident that we reach that. For me, the transformation accelerator is a little bit a different example than the others I showed. I think on the other ones, you've seen that we are quite creative with that. Here, you see that we are pretty decisive as well. If we set ourselves a target, we deliver on it. And we see already that we are on a very good track there.
So coming to an end. I'm very convinced that our global advantages increase and accelerate our efficiency. You've seen us and Katarina mentioned that and Dominik has mentioned that already. that we are pulling all levers in our decarbonization. We are not looking at CCS only. We are not looking at alternative fuels only. We are not only looking at a SCMs. We look at the full spectrum. We look at everything. We do that in a very disciplined manner and look for the economics on top of that, and then we go and then you cannot stop us anymore. I think we are very good in implementing scalable innovation. Yes, Brevik is a prime example. And yes, the autonomous trucks is a very good example. HROC is, in my opinion, a great example as well. But these are just some of the examples we are doing. We talked about already remote batching. We talk about remote grinding and many more things that enables us to become the most efficient operator. That's our target. We want to become the most efficient operator in our industry. And I think we are on a very good track to that. This is what we are doing right now. This is what we are currently working on and get into implementation and are on a good track in implementation. But we are working on the future as well. We'll work on the plan of the future not only in cement. We do that in ready-mix, aggregates and cement. And at the end of the day, this will not be a lighthouse, this will be a scalable solution that we will bring and scale across all our plants. Thank you very much.
Thank you, Axel. And indeed, also, thank you, Dominik. Thank you, Katarina. Thank you, Dennis, for your inspiring speeches. We have heard all how we are decarbonizing our industry, how we are setting new standards in digital, AI and technical excellence. Now it's time for a break. Let's do a quick break this time, 10 minutes. You should be back by half past 10 at your seats. Enjoy the break.
[Break]
Welcome back to everyone watching us online and welcome back to everyone that's still outside who should come in now. I hate to be the guy to be pushing you, but we run a tight program this morning. And it's my pleasure to introduce Chris Ward, a Board member for North America, who will explain to you how we are tapping the full market potential in North America. But before we do that, I -- it's my pleasure to introduce you to Jon Morrish, who will explain to you how we drive value from a reshaped asset base in Europe. Please come on stage, Jon.
Thanks, Chris. Yes, I'm not Chris Ward. I'm Jon Morrish. So yes. Thank you. My name is Jon Morrish. I've been a Board member for Europe for the last few years. And before that, I was the Board member for North America. I'm really pleased to be here to be able to outline to you some more information about Europe and how we are uniquely positioned here in Europe as the market leader and with an asset base that we are optimizing, reshaping and modernizing where we're already delivering profitable growth today, but more importantly, we see a real opportunity to make a further step change in profitability over the next short few years. We're the clear market leader in Europe. In cement, we have 25% market share across Europe, and we're either the market leader or we have a top 2 position in all of the key European countries. That gives us considerable size and scale and really strong attractive network coverage across 22 European countries in Europe. We have deep, long-term customer relationships that have stood the test of time and have a really balanced coverage across residential, nonresidential and infrastructure segments all across Europe. And we're seizing the opportunity that decarbonization will give to create real profitable growth in Europe.
Now the market recovery has started, and we're seeing the green shoots of that come through in different parts and at different rates across Europe, and I'll give you more information about that. But it's definitely started and coming through now. And therefore, we see -- we have a great position in Europe, to benefit the most from Europe's market recovery. We've worked really hard in recent years to establish a focused, yet really balanced business across our 3 core materials segments. Around half of our business is in cement across our 45 integrated cement plant coverage across Europe. Around 1/4 of our business is in our aggregates business through our 250 quarries across Europe. And then around 20% comes from our ready-mix business from over 1,000 batching plants spread across Europe. We vertically integrated through ready mix in all of our key markets, and then this is complemented by targeted businesses in precast concrete recycling and asphalt in certain countries. This focused yet really strong coverage and scale gives us a real benefit across Europe. And we needed this in recent times. When times in Europe, we're not so -- we're a little troubled. You can see on the graph on the left here, we've experienced volume declines over the last few years of over 20%. And during that time, we've seen housing at 40-year lows, and at certain times in certain countries, our energy prices have more than doubled or tripled it in certain countries. But despite this, you'll see that we've pushed and improved our profits by over 70% and during these tough times. We've done this by focusing hard on cost reductions. By proactively reshaping our asset base as we saw these volume declines and as also, we drove clinker incorporation down. And we've necessarily drive prices up hard and fast and then being able to hold those prices high over these last short few years. And I'm proud to therefore say that despite the volume hit of EUR 0.5 billion over this period, we pushed price over cost by over EUR 1 billion, driving our EBITDA improvement by over EUR 0.5 billion during this period, an improvement of 200 basis points. This has created a super strong position just as the markets are coming back. So how will we make that further step change we'll pull 3 core levers to make a further step change in profitability. The first is our unique positioning with our market size and our market leadership position, we will capitalize on the market recovery in Europe the most. Then we'll leverage our global advantage in decarbonization as a core engine of profitable growth in Europe, and then we'll also continue our radical focus on cost efficiency, maximizing the benefit of automation and continuing to reshape our asset base to match our needs.
So turning to the first of these, the market recovery in Europe and how is it going? As I may have mentioned, we have everything in place to capitalize on this market recovery. The construction recovery is gathering pace with a few key drivers that we see. Clearly, interest rates dropping and therefore, mortgage rates dropping spurs much-needed residential and nonresidential improvement across different countries at different paces. This is augmented by new build stimulus packages in housing in certain countries, Poland, for example, in the U.K. and even in France, and also infrastructure programs, notably in Italy, in Poland, in Germany, with the much publicized EUR 500 billion spending program and also in the U.K. And we also see defense infrastructure spending, as Dominic alluded to, in particular, in Eastern Europe, in Bulgaria, in Poland, in Romania, and that is taking shape. And we, as a company, are very well placed to supply what I would call the secondary effect of a Ukraine rebuild if and when that comes from our very strong positions in Poland, Romania and up through the Black Sea from Bulgaria and Turkey. And we see the recovery taking shape from early last year, as you can see by the market figures from '24 into '25.
And let me just take you on a few more examples around Europe. In Eastern Europe, in the Baltics, in Romania, Bulgaria and Greece, we've seen a broad and strong recovery since early last year, and this is continuing, helped by defense spending in those countries. In Central Europe, first of all, in Poland, we saw a positive recovery from the start of 2024 also, that time led by infrastructure. And our customers in Poland now tell us to prepare for a housing bounce back in the second half of this year after recent interest rate cuts of 0.5%. Staying in Central Europe in the Czech Republic. Again, we saw a bounce back from the start of last year. In that country, inflation dropped the furthest and the fastest. And so the recovery was led by residential and nonresidential rates, and that continues into 2025.
Jumping down to Italy. What do we see there is with the months anticipated infrastructure building program is now taking shape. This kicked in from quarter 3 last year with a really strong pipeline of infrastructure spending over the next few years. We have not yet seen a housing pickup, but we watch very carefully for that in the second half of this year.
Jumping back up to Germany. Unsurprisingly, the EUR 500 billion is yet to flow. It's early days for the government, but we've definitely seen a market sentiment pickup in Germany over recent months. and volumes in April and May have been strong. If we then hop over to the U.K., honestly, it's a mixed picture in the U.K. And I would see 2025 as a transition year. After 3 strong years of infrastructure spending in the U.K. underpinned by rail infrastructure. Some of these programs are slowing and pausing as they finish. But the pipeline for future infrastructure in the U.K. is strong, and there's a huge pent-up need for housing that we expect to kick in from later this year into 2026. And therefore, that leaves us with the remaining core countries for us: France, Belgium, the Netherlands and up here into the Nordics, where we see a similar pattern with volume declines now flattened out. We see that the worst behind us, and we're at a flat level and looking carefully for a market pickup from the end of '25 into 2026. And as you can see from this market coverage across Europe, these are our 22 countries. No one is better placed than Heidelberg Materials to benefit from this volume and market recovery in Europe. It's also because of our deep expertise and strong track record in delivering major project material packages all over Europe and this will be a key part of Europe's recovery as the infrastructure program, in particular, kicks in. And we are trusted to deliver these key projects.
On the screen here, we have 8 live examples of large projects taking place all over Europe. And just to take a couple of examples. The first in the U.K., in the West of England at Hinkley Point, where for the last 8 years, we've been building this huge nuclear power plant and our specialist team of nuclear experts, has been providing technical quality and complicated logistics support to build all of the concrete and all of the materials required for that huge plant. Our client, EDF, is so happy with the progress that we've made over that long time period. that they've just awarded us with all of the critical material package for the sister plant size well B that will start later this year in the East of England. Hopping down to another example in Italy, we've established a really strong track record in recent years with Webuild, Italy's largest construction companies. Firstly, with the Brenner high-speed rail tunnel that is under the outs where we've had a ready-mixed concrete plant embedded under the mountain for the last 3 years. and then also with the rapid rebuild of the Genoa bridge in recent years. Our supply capabilities and reliability has placed us in a really great position when the next huge project came up from rebuild, and that is the Genoa port redevelopment, and you see this picture of this strange structure here. This was just a few weeks ago when I was there, and we are building these huge concrete Cason structures that we then float into place to sync and build a new port there. These difficult projects are taking shape all over Europe, and we are best placed with the specialist knowledge, the resources and the capabilities to provide our customers with the confidence they need. When it matters, our customers trust us to deliver.
That takes me to the second lever that we are pulling. Decarbonization. The framework of the clean industrial deal in Europe represents a real business opportunity for Heidelberg Materials. For 3 reasons: carbon pricing through the ETF structure but very importantly now with CBAM confirmed politically last week. This drives a really strong business case for low carbon products and decarbonizing our processes. The clean industrial deal also has a real focus on lead markets, as Catarina mentioned. With the adoption of low-carbon ratings, and embodied carbon targets in government procurement. This was moving slowly 2 years ago, but is really picking up speed. First of all, led by proactive cities across Europe but also by national governments in the U.K., in the Netherlands, in France with the reshaping RA 2020 and across in different countries. It's really changing now. And thirdly, with grant funding, where there's a real focus now of EUR 100 billion of new money through the industrial decarbonization bank that will be there to scale up and roll out breakthrough technologies such as this place across Europe. So this framework benefits those who decarbonized furthest fastest with the best decarbonized products and that is us. In products, we're already doing this. by pushing and selling our evoBuild product range, where this is already over 40% of our sales of cement, and will rise to about 2/3 of our sales by 2030. And 2 live examples are on this slide here. The first is in Belgium and the Netherlands, where we are building a road network from Antwerp to Rotterdam, but it's already used 0.25 million tonnes of evoBuild 70, and that is a really low carbon product, 70% less than the reference SEM-1 there. In Germany, we're building the U5 subway project in Hamburg, which will be Germany's largest subway. And over the 5-year build program, they want and need to drive down their carbon footprint by 70% over that build program. So they're using our evoBuild products, evoBuild40 and 60, 200,000 tonnes just in the early phase of that project.
But we're not stopping there. In 2026, we will launch 3 more highly innovative low-carbon Evo build products, all less than 400 kilos per tonne cement tissues. The first is Turnere from our plant in Paderborn, Germany. This plant was earmarked to close with our clinker reduction program. But we decided to switch it into a low carbon, low clinker based carbon-based on industrial byproducts, and we'll launch that in early 2026. Our Q Cements, Axel talked about calcined plays and our Q cements will launch in France and Belgium. These are calcine play-based cements and then we'll roll that further a field across Europe after France and Belgium. And then our ultra low-carbon binders products coming from our Spanish plant, again, based on industrial byproducts. So we're really doing all we can in the evoBuild project space to drive our sales of evoBuild and drive down our carbon footprint. And in our process, we're really pushing the levers that we talked about before. In our alternative fuels, we'll move this from the current low 60s up to 80% by 2030. We'll drive down our clinker incorporation from the upper 60s now to 60% by 2030 and increase the use of supplementary semantics materials far more. And we're even recarbonating. This image here is last week from our largest plant in Poland, where we've commissioned our patented recarbonation reactor that takes recycled concrete paste from our recycling business and then reactivate it to reduce the CO2 through our process, really closing the loop on recycling, and this is a first in the sector. So we are using our global advantage, I think as I've showed on this slide, to really drive Europe's decarbonization, which, in turn, drives our profitable growth. And I think we're the only company in our sector, making this much genuine progress in Europe.
This takes us nicely to evoZero, where you've heard already from Catarina. And I just want to take you through what we're doing in Europe and how we're working together in our new sales approach. We're really turning it into a reality. With our dedicated Evo Zero country teams working hand in glove with their global colleagues from Catarina's team. We're focusing down the value chain, as Catarina outlined, and having fascinating new conversations with clients, developers, architects, structural engineers. And then we're linking those together with our well-known customer base in the precast industry in ready mix and in our construction companies and really making it happen in the countries.
Customer interest is based on hitting embodied carbon levels. The improved and increased real estate values that our clients think they can get, and also the reputational benefits of being first to market with a 0 carbon building. That's really happening in the countries. So our order book comprises orders for our cement into both precast concrete ready-mix concrete and mainly currently for the Buildings segment. And we're very pleased that we are already sold out for our 2025 volumes of around 100,000 tonnes to customers spread across 11 countries in Europe. Naturally, some of those countries are quite close and near to hand in the Scandinavian countries in the U.K. and in Germany, where we will ship the physical product to, but the virtual product will go as far a field as Romania and Bulgaria. EvoZero is genuinely special and a game changer for the industry. that no other company can deliver. It's got strong margin potential, and we have high demand. And Rene will outline the business case a little bit more in the next section.
Yes, we're not only relying on a market recovery from a strong position or on growing evoBuild and evoZero sales. We're also continuing our real push and our focus on our cost efficiencies and driving that across Europe, working closely with AXA. We focus a lot on making sure that we are adding value where we can add value the best. That is focusing on our assets and our precious capital, such as our fixed plant in our core business. our reserves, automating those assets and also decarbonizing, as I've outlined. And that means we focus less on where we don't add so much value. And in particular, in Europe, that means on our transport assets. The image here is the sale last year of our large transport business in France called Trettel, where we sold 600 trucks. We can focus better on our core productive assets than our transport fleet. The second area is really embedding and driving the performance culture all the way across and deep inside the business that we continue to do. We are a core part of the TAI cost saving program. And within that program, we focus really hard on benchmarking all of our operational sites all the way across Europe in each of our key businesses. We also do that benchmarking for the organizational structures in all of our countries, too. And then we're standardizing our back office functions as much as we can. And then when that's done, we put those functions in our 2 large business service centers, 1 in the U.K. and 1 in Bulgaria. And we leave the countries to focus on what they do best, sales, manufacturing and logistics. And then we have an obsessive focus on areas of the business that we can improve and that have got upside potential through our back-end black approach that we call in Europe. All of this is enabled by automation and AI, where we're working closely with the colleagues with Axel, but also with Dennis, with tools that we can now provide that we did not use to have.
Three specific examples here in Europe. The first is in our ready-mix business. Where we've proven over recent years, our remote batching concept in Italy, where we have 50 of our sites that are already with remote batching. We're now going to step change and roll out across Europe, and we'll have 400 of our 1,000 sites with remote batching by 2028. We really are stepping this up.
In cement, we have 22 clinker grinding plants across Europe. And we -- if you recall the presentation given by Axel, we are auto grinding -- we're automating those plants and by 2028, we'll have 15 of those plants auto-controlled.
And then in our sales and customer service, we're also implementing AI tools quite extensively. For example, in our cement in our ready-mix sales in Belgium, the Netherlands, the U.K., in Germany, we already use price quotation tools AI-generated price quotation tools. We already make extensive use of chatbots and now we're just rolling out voice spots. And we even have e-mail automation so that customers, when they send us e-mails, they go straight into our order processing system. By doing all of this and pulling all of these levers, the business is super ready to benefit from the market recovery.
In addition, we continue to actively restructure and reshape our clinker asset footprint. We started this around three years ago when we could see the volume declines really taking shape but also more proactively when we were driving forward and driving down our clinkering cooperation rates. We're already halfway through this and across Germany, France and Spain, we made the difficult decision to close 5 plants, reducing 13% of our clinker capacity in Europe. Now we're on to Wave 2. And we'll execute that over the next short few years, where we'll take out between 12% and 17% of our clinker capacity. And that will total between 25% and 30% of our clinker capacity base being taken out. But importantly, this will not impact our cement capacity. In fact, we are adding to that in certain countries. And we have extremely strong sourcing and access to supplementary cementitious materials, SCMs, all across Europe. So when markets come back, we are very able to service it. And these actions and decisive actions are clearly reducing our cost base and our asset base and improving margins on our ROIC.
So to pull this together, in Europe, we are pulling all the levers to be able to deliver a next step change in profitability. I hope we've shown you that we've already got a strong track record of delivering over the recent years in tough markets. And that leads us to be in really great shape to have high operational leverage and a great -- this, coupled with a great market position will enable us to deliver and benefit most from a market recovery in Europe. We're driving forward decarbonization and in particular, through EvoBuild and EvoZero, these will drive value further, and we're driving a step change in efficiency with less clinker capacity, yet more flexible production capacity and increased SCM's usage.
And this will enable us to deliver more profits. We're confident to be able to deliver EBIT margins up by at least 250 basis points, enabling us to deliver half of the group's ROIC improvement target that we are outlining today. We're pulling all the levers to take Europe to the next profitable level. And I think no other company is as prepared or as ambitious in Europe as Heidelberg materials.
Thank you. I'll hand over now to my colleague, Chris Ward.
Thank you, Jon, and good morning, everyone. I'm Chris Ward, and I lead our North American business. I've worked in the U.S. and Canada deep down in both our aggregates and cement business for 30 years. And I'm really grateful for the opportunity to speak with you today about our North American business.
Now let me start with sharing with you just a little bit for those less familiar with the U.S. business. Let me just share with you a little bit to set the stage, okay? And I'd say it's very easy. We have a very attractive footprint across the U.S. and Canada with leading market positions in both cement and aggregates. We have complementary downstream businesses in many of our markets and a track record of proven growth and margin expansion. And what I believe is still many nice opportunities to continue to grow this important business in North America.
Now I'll share with you over the next 15 minutes or so why I believe in North America, we're uniquely positioned to accelerate growth, drive efficiencies and add value. Now unique positioning means a lot of different things as you listen to some of my colleagues. In North America, it starts with our locations. And as you see on the map, as I tell people, we're not everywhere. But where we are, we have great, very strong long-term positions with very nice overlap of aggregates and cement complemented by the downstream businesses. I also tell people, 60% of the U.S. population lives east of the Mississippi River. And I think you see from the map that puts us in a very nice position. Also from a geographic standpoint, you see a nice blend between our Sunbelt states, typically driven by fast residential housing with a nice blend of -- to the Midwest the heartland of the U.S., along with the Northeast and then a very wide reaching a Canadian footprint from the West Coast through Toronto and the major metropolitan areas.
Now you see a lot of dots on this map. But let's be very clear. In North America, our business is anchored by cement and aggregates. And if I start with aggregates, I think this is often underappreciated for our business in North America. We have 254 plants with over 12 billion tonnes of reserves and resources. And as they say in that real estate industry, location, location, location. And I'll tell you, for us, in North America, we have very powerful long-term locations. Now I spent a lot of my early career in the aggregates business. I'm very conscious of the importance of us continuing to invest in these businesses. We're constantly looking for opportunities to add reserves to these positions and we're constantly investing to make sure that we have the capacity to grow with these local markets.
Now equally powerful for us in the U.S. and Canada is our cement and cementitious business line. Here, we have 11 cement plants with 16 million tons of cement production capacity, complemented very nicely by a wide-reaching SCM position with 6 grinding facilities, slag and 4 fly ash manufacturing plants reclaiming fly ash. And these SCMs, these cement positions are really enforced, reinforced by a wide-reaching rail distribution network and very importantly, supported by the most comprehensive overseas import terminals from Maine to Miami across the East Coast.
Now all of the cement movements is optimized to ensure that we're always balancing domestic capacity with the overseas import capabilities. And we shift that depending on where the -- through the market cycles across the U.S. And then very importantly, as my colleague, as Dennis spoke about earlier. As of recently, in North America, we now have all of these businesses, both our aggregates and our Cement business fully underpinned. [ My one ] scalable harmonized digital platform that we really believe will allow us to unlock future efficiencies throughout this business. And I'd say if you look at this platform, as I just described it, I'm confident when I look back because this platform has delivered.
We set very aggressive margin targets for us back in 2019. If you recall, we said we were going to grow our EBITDA margins by 400 to 500 basis points. We knew we had a gap to some of our competitors in North America, and we aim to close that gap. We did that by really harnessing the power of our global competence centers to focus laser-like on efficiency gains. We invested in [indiscernible] of our core assets to improve capacity and production costs. And we also knew to get to that level, those margin gains, we knew we needed a intense focus on the commercial side of the business, and we did that. And you see that show up in the results. You see our compounded annual growth rate on the cement pricing side of 7% since 2019. You see that commercial focus is realized 6.5% compounded annual growth rate in our aggregates business over the same period. And when you couple that strong commercial performance, along with the focused operational excellence programs, you see the nice margin development in our business over this time period with 600 basis points in our cement business and 312 basis points in our aggregates business.
Now it's this past performance that really gives me confidence as we start talking about the future of North America. It's this past performance that underpins my optimism about the future. This optimism is also underpinned by, I think, the general market structure and the general economic outlook that we see here in North America. And we talk about it in three distinct segments.
If we start with infrastructure, I think it's widely understood that the two IGA money still -- there's still a lot of potential in the two IGA infrastructure package bill. Nearly 60% of those dollars still have to be spent in the next two years. We have strong backlogs and as I told some of you over dinner last night, I'm very -- I feel pleased that the U.S. Congress is already picking up the discussion on reauthorization of this transportation bill. It's not officially expire until this time -- until another 18 months, but they're already having these discussions in Congress to extend the surface transportation bill, which will be very, very important to us.
The second segment, I'll highlight is really the residential sector. And this is a sector that, quite frankly, has stayed softer for longer than we expected. It tends to punch a little heavier than its weight. But we know in the midterm, despite maybe some rockiness in the short term. We know in the midterm, in the U.S., there's still a shortage. It's widely known. There's still a shortage of nearly 4.5 million to 5 million single-family homes. And the current rate that we're building homes in the U.S. still is lower than our historical average by 20%. So I think there's good reason to be optimistic in the midterm on the residential segment. And then lastly, the commercial segment. As Dominik talked about, the bow wave of infrastructure investment, we tried to highlight on this slide, we tried to highlight projects greater than $1.5 billion, specifically earmarked towards data centers, reshoring of manufacturing capacity. And you see those are up and down the East Coast -- okay, clearly, we highlighted them in our areas. But you see the nice portfolio of this reshoring activity, that bow wave that Dominik spoke about, that's what we're seeing in North America. A few examples might be that the Ford battery plant in Kentucky or the [ Eli Lilly ] pharmaceutical plant in Northern Indiana. These projects today, we're already shipping hundreds of thousands of tons of aggregates, cement, fly ash and slag. These are the type of projects that give us optimism about the future.
Now we know everybody is trying to get better in the U.S. and Canada, okay? We're pleased with our past performance. But I'll tell you, we are far from satisfied. And if we think about where we're going to go from here, we're going to really think about three specific levers that we're going to focus on. Very similar to how Jon framed it in a little bit different order. We in the North American business will stay radically focused on driving growth in the cement and aggregates business. We're going to leverage the global advantage. I'll tell you, I'm proud to stand up here and listen to my colleagues Axel and Dennis talk about North America leading the way on so many of these digital global initiatives that we're doing. Really excited to be part of that, and I'll share with you some of the deep dives on what we're doing specifically.
And then lastly, I'll highlight our unique positioning, not just in our locations, but in the products that we have available to supply our markets and the emerging trends of the industry. So let's deep dive into the radical focus. Now we continue to invest in our operations. And if I just take a few specific examples. In Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, the nearest limestone quarry into the city of Philadelphia. We've invested significant dollars and improved production capacity by 500,000 tons a year and an important market for us like Atlanta, Georgia, similar investment, improving capacity at that plant by nearly 500,000 tonnes per year. Both of these aggregate locations have excellent long-term reserves and will be there well past any of us are sitting in this room. And then, of course, the Mitchell, Indiana plant in the Midwest. This has been an excellent example of how we've really leveraged everything we do at the group level to now really make a core investment in the heartland of the U.S., and this plant still has a lot of installed capacity to grow with the market across the Midwest of the U.S.
Now those are a few organic examples. Let me just share with you a few and just highlight a few of the M&A examples we've done to continue to grow our business in North America. First off, if we think about the Northeast, the acquisition of Highway Materials. A great example aggregates, [ slag ], Philadelphia, already a very important market for us. Some [ HMA ] and really been a nice complementary business to our already existing portfolio in Eastern Pennsylvania. The CIFA group in the Southeast, and this is our first really significant investment into the Fly Ash business. But again, very powerful business across the Southeast. I'll pick up on this a little bit later. But how I think about it as well, this wasn't just the purchase of these specific plants but a platform that we intend to grow into other utility companies across the U.S. And then lastly, our most recent acquisition of Giant Cement, really rounding out our footprint in the New England markets, filling a white spot for us in the Southeast cement markets and adding a very nice alternative fuels recycling platform for us that we intend to leverage across our other plants in North America.
Now -- it's very -- I'll tell you, my teams get excited about investing in our plans, they get excited about M&A. But I'll tell you, they're also equally excited about really leading into the TA program and really driving -- and it is a core value for this company, continuous improvement. And it's something that we really, really stress, and I'll tell you, our teams are as energized about that as we are building new plants or making acquisitions.
And if we think about the levers that we're working on right now in North America, there's a few that I'll pick up that are really helping drive our transformation accelerator program and allow us to reach our targets across our business. First, you heard Dennis talk about Command Cloud. I think he did an excellent job really illustrating what Command Cloud can do for a business. I'll just share with you, it's not often and it's not easy to have one of our general managers get excited about change. And I'll tell you, I was with our teams in the Southeast, and that general manager said to me, Chris, this is game-changing, for me to have insights and me to have the potential to change things to improve our batching, our dispatching, quality control customer service. I'll tell you, they're very excited. And these are -- this is really unlocking data, unlocking opportunities that our teams just don't have with on-premise software.
So again, lots of excitement, equally exciting. I'll tell you this for our aggregate operators, okay? These are operations we have difficult time filling many of these jobs. In our aggregate [ quarry ] managers, along with our -- many of our large cement quarry managers, very excited to be leading the way when it comes to autonomous trucks. And then lastly, HROC and I'll say before, I'm going to have a deep dive on HROC right now. But I'll tell you, this is really a great example of our digital group team led by Dennis with Axel leading on the competence center side and the [ can do it-ness ] of the, I think, our business in North America, coming together to really make an excellent project.
Here, as Dennis said, we're consolidating, and we're bringing all of our plant operations controls to our headquarters in Dallas. Now this floor sits just beneath mine in Dallas. And it's interesting when I go down and I spent time with the team just a few weeks ago. I'll tell you why as I talk through it with the guys and girls from all over the world, top talents. And I listened to them production planning, maintenance planning, maintenance troubleshooting, process optimization, working handling glove with our local plants, the teamwork I see, the power of [ IC ] really reinforces to me that we're on the right track here. What does that bring to us? It clearly brings more cement capacity. When I think -- when we deliver -- I'll tell you, the team said to me, I had one of them asked just to go off script. He said, Chris, what is really your expectation of HROC? I said, really, it's very simple. We want world-class performance at all of our cement plants in North America. We want it every day, and we want it at every single plant. And it's really that simple. Because right now, we have pockets of great performance, but I think HROC is really designed to bring world-class performance at every plant every day, and that's our mission. If we do that, it unlocks almost 0.5 million tons of additional production capacity in our plants with no additional real investment. That's the size of a small cement plant. It unlocks margins of additional 60 basis points which is why we get excited.
And I'll tell you, HROC is not just a pilot. HROC for us is a blueprint. We expect to scale the learnings, scale the changes in our operating model to our other business lines of aggregates and ready mix in the years to come. And then lastly, and very importantly, with those efficiency gains in our cement business, we improved our CO2 footprint in our cement portfolio in North America by 10 kilograms per tonne. Now North America knows we've got an important role to play in reaching our global road map targets. And one lever that we pulled is really around SCMs. And as Katharina highlighted in her session, SCMs are a very important part of how we're going to reach our CO2 targets. And how you should think about SCMs, SCMs just make Concrete better. SCMs increased the durability, increased the resilience and they've lowered the total and body carbon of every yard or meter of of concrete poured. And we've really leaned into this, with investments in slag grinding capacity, both Houston, Cape Canaveral, [ Speed ] in Indiana and with our [ SiFi ] investment in the Southeast for fly ash, we've leaned into this and see very much power in this.
Now you might say sustainable products in the U.S. okay? Is really a premium to be paid. Is there a pull? Is there a demand from the market? And I'll say, yes, it's still early days in the U.S., but we definitely feel it. We sense specifiers pushing for it. We sense construction project owners wanting these products, and we're in a position now to deliver.
Now just a few projects I wanted to highlight. We've leveraged in a market like Houston, Texas, where we have our own concrete business. That contractor approached us with very high specification and said, "Can you get to this level? And I'll tell you, we tapped our EvoBuild family of products. 70% slag blend to help that customer meet their targets. In Miami, Florida, the tallest single-family housing building built south of New York City, we've done with 70% slag to meet both the embodied carbon targets, but also the other structural targets that, that contractor was looking to do. And I think could not have done without the slag contribution that we made. Again, 70% slag contribution in Miami, Florida. And then lastly, the U.S.'s most modern nuclear power plant on the border of Georgia and South Carolina has significant quantities of Fly Ash produced from our [ SiFi ] business allowed that project to be built as it was. And we're very, very proud of the fact that, that project, that plant, those fly ash volumes really contribute a successful project of that modernization, along with many others. So again, we believe that while sustainable products are early stages. We definitely are feeling that poll, and we really like what we see in terms of margin development in these other SCM products and our EvoBuild family of ready-mix products.
Now I just want to share with you how this all comes together. I've talked to you a lot about our intense focus on aggregates and ready-mix ready-mix, aggregates, cement. We talked about our global digitalization programs we've talked about. We've talked now about our SCMs and our unique footprint. Just a short to help pull it together. If we zoom in on the market of the Southeast of the U.S. This has always been a very important market for us in terms of a nice strong aggregates position, highlighted in the gray dots. We've had this position for many years. I started my career in this position. Now that was complemented by a cement plant that has been mostly sold out for many years in Birmingham, Alabama, along with a slide finding facility in Northern Florida. Now with the recent investments, you see on the pink dots is our [ SiFi ] position. Those are the 4 reclaimed fly ash plants that I talked about. Then you see the giant cement plant, the orange the big orange dot. This is now, again, fortifying our cement position in the Southeast. All the green dots represent the distribution network that I spoke about earlier, and that distribution network is both for SCMs and for cement. Then in addition to the [ Harleyville ] plant, a nice brand-new Savannah import terminal to help us flex during the economic cycle. And then the purple batch reflect the [indiscernible], the alternative fuels recycling business. So again, it's this collective strength that when you look at how this comes together in a market like the Southeast. This business, over the last three years will have doubles in size and margins will have improved by 500 basis points. So to summarize. I think we're on a great -- we certainly have a proven track record of growth and margin expansion with leading positions across many of the important growth markets in North America, okay? Certainly maybe some clouds on the horizon in the short term, but I'm very confident in the midterm potential that this platform has to deliver. I believe strongly we have the right assets, the right teams in place to deliver margin growth, RCO growth of 8% to 10% per year between now and 2030. My teams in North America know that's an ambitious target. But I'll tell you, we're energized, we're committed, and we look forward to delivering it. Thank you very much.
Great. Thank you so much, Chris, Jon, for your energizing presentations. We now embark on a first Q&A. We do a business-related Q&A. So I'm sure you have lot of questions on what you heard so far, but we deliberately said, let's keep it business related. After that, Rene comes on stage, we're wrapping it up with all the financials, then we do another Q&A with regard to the financials. So please join me on stage. Everybody who has presented. [Operator Instructions]
And with that, let's get started.
So you guys are all my mic'd up still?
Yes.
Wonderful. First question, Luis?
2. Question Answer
Yes. Just one operational question for me. We've seen the start of the year to be weakish on the pricing front, price over cost was a small number. There was a lot of transformation accelerator in there. So the like-for-like pricing trends, I don't want to say a bit of a concern, but we're weaker than I would have expected. What should we expect in terms of pricing over the next quarters and for the full year? Is there a catch-up in the pipeline? And I'm referring North America, Europe, but whatever you can tell these as well.
I think maybe we should go through the regions. Chris, do you want to start?
Do you want to say something [ on pricing ], Chris?
Yes, the North American business certainly started softer than -- the market certainly came out of the gates a bit soft this year. And I think that especially in the cement business line, we saw that soften a bit. Aggregates business is holding quite nicely. And I think we'll see that continue to trend. And time will tell on how the markets improve and where the cement prices go.
I think in Europe, it depends where you are. We've got pricing at different stages of the year. And it also depends on what cycle we're at in the recovery. We've got market pricing. We push pricing in different countries at different times in the last two or three months. And we've got different stages of pricing in different countries over the next few months to and in places where we've got softer volumes, we've really held on to price as well. I don't have many concerns at all.
Elodie?
So I had a question mostly for Katharina, I suppose, for everyone. But in terms of how you make your [ CCUS ] investment decision, I imagine a lot of that is driven by the subsidies and the [indiscernible] as well as your views on carbon price going forward. I mean that seems quite potentially essential in some of your assumptions. So what is the minimum carbon price that you have embedded in your assumptions how essential is it to make it economically viable in terms of taking those decisions?
Maybe you want to start, Dominik, and then you [indiscernible]?
Maybe Elodie, the carbon pricing is only one of maybe 15 to 20 different data dots that you need for a final investment decision for carbon capture the technology, it's the OpEx, it's the CapEx, it's the funding level. It's the location. It's the supply chain. There are, as I said, 15 to 20 different data dots. So in this respect, I think we need to be careful to zoom in just on one piece because as a global company, the carbon pricing sits in Europe, but we have also projects in North America. So we need to look at every different project. And yes, while carbon pricing plays a role in Europe and Catarina will take you through the assumption there, we don't restrict ourselves just to look at the carbon pricing because it's only one data dot and one variable [indiscernible] business case of CCUS. And maybe also Rene can later on elude a little bit to that.
And you were specifically asking about this business case, and Rene will show you later. And if we take the decision, we look at different scenarios for the carbon pricing. We did take the -- I think there are 10 big scenarios out there, how the carbon price may develop. And we took -- we lean very much on the conservative side. I think it's just how our company takes decisions. So when we looked at the business case, we actually took a carbon price under [ 100 ] in 2030. Honestly, I think the success of the business case is only limited dependent on the carbon price and we see the -- as I showed, the customer value is not only in the carbon price, but the customer value is really driven by a multilayered approach, be it loans, be it higher rents higher sales prices. And this is what drives the demand for EvoZero. And it's actually the demand for EvoZero is a very strong part of the business case. And I think this gives us room in terms of how the carbon pricing develops.
So Jon, you said it was pretty deeply confirmed last week, implementation of the [indiscernible] mechanism adjustments. How do you see the implementation of that coming through from next year? Do you think next year will be efficient already? Or you see a couple of years in terms of need to [indiscernible] all that and how this will deal with import risk into Europe?
I think the implementation of [indiscernible] is a key point in key countries, probably 5 or 6 key countries, Romania, Bulgaria, France, Italy, Spain. And then now that the U.K. is linked into the same system. And we are working as a company and also as our national trade associations with all of the customs authorities around Europe to make sure that European Commission does what they say they would do. They have a good plan and including third country verification. And we're working hand in glove with the European Commission to make sure that's put in place. So I think, yes, it will happen. I think you know full well that the first then next stage when free allowances drop off a little bit. The first short term will be small changes, but I think the midterm will be a significant impact from [ C-band ] On Europe, and it's something that we have been pushing hard for with policymakers over the last 3 or 4 years. And it's great that it was signed off last week by the European Parliament.
Next one from Glynis?
Glynis Johnson, Jefferies. I'm going to sneak in two actually, sorry. Chris, your presentation, you talked about Back to Black underperforming plants. Does that mean you have plants in the red? Can you talk a little bit about what is underperforming?
Sorry. [indiscernible] Jon, question to you. Then secondly, in terms of the CCUS, this one is definitely Catarina. The less than $400 million per tonne. I notice this bulk area wasn't in there. Can you just talk about some of the other CCUS plants that have been on previous slides, if I go back through the years and their timing and what the sort of new timing we can maybe anticipate?
Let's start with Jon and then Katharina.
Back to Black is a euphemism. It's an ACDC song, actually, that we use as the targeted focus. Look, it's no secret that ready-mix is a tough business in certain countries and that we are at the low ebb in the market cycle in some of our countries. And so we really are pinpointing any improvement focus we need and making really good progress in those targeted areas. And I was just highlighting the fact that we obsessively focused on that and bring them up even higher to optimize their performance.
On the CCUS pipeline, I think, first of all, we are very proud to be in the first of its kind CCUS plant here. Other than that, I've shown you the pipeline on projects that we are working on. And if you compare it to what we communicated before, this pipeline is shifted to the right. Why is it shifted to the right because we learned that some things do take longer. Permits take longer infrastructure, take longer. And nevertheless, we believe in exactly that pipeline. We take decisions step-by-step very much based on the business case of the single project. But the pipeline in itself, I think, is the strongest in the industry. And we are very committed to make the single business cases here work. And the other thing that we say is for the less than 400 kilograms per tonne that you were referencing, we only took into consideration Brevik and Padeswood from a time line end because they will bring at least 3 million tonnes under the ground. And these 3 million tonnes are kind of calculated in the 400 million target. All the rest that comes on top is basically on top.
[indiscernible] let me maybe add. I think two points are critical. We talked about the first-mover advantage. We are super committed as a team to keep in fact, build out this first mover advantage and not lose it just because we set out a huge amount of CCUS plants because technology will change. I think you sense that everything will change in that. So we take the time. And the second point, don't take this personal, but this industry has been focused far too much on volume, and we are falling in the same trap. Everybody is asking us how many volumes, how many volumes for us and our customers, it's value, it's not volume, and that's also true for CCUS.
Arnaud Lehmann from Bank of America. Two questions as well, if I may. Firstly, Dominik, many times you come back with the word global, and I think you're the last properly global company or you will be in a month, why do you think that makes sense? Can you help us understand the synergies a little bit on a global basis for what is essentially, as you also said, a multi-local business. That's my first question.
And secondly, on Europe, you mentioned the second wave of clinker capacity closure going forward. Are you comfortable with that at the time when Europe is about to see some sort of volume recovery? Germany is investing in infrastructure. So there will be a need. And how do you reconcile shutting down capacity market recovery and the value or volume strategy that you just mentioned?
Do you want this, [indiscernible]?
Yes. We're comfortable because we've been looking at this in detail across the footprint of Europe with our network and then various scenarios of different volume expectations. We're also comfortable because we're driving down our clinker incorporation through our product portfolio really well. And therefore, when you balance the two things and you spin out different scenarios, it gives us the confidence to be able to say, yes, we can take our clinker capacity out. But we've got really flexible cement and SCM capacity in order to shape that. So I can picture in my head, the map of the various plants we're considering, and we are taking those on a case-by-case basis. but within the fit of the network.
And [indiscernible], maybe on the global advantage, we strongly as a team believe and I think that was the purpose of today's presentation to really show how this goes hand-in-hand and I think the best example to pick is the one that Chris was mentioning in the Southeast, where you see how this came together, you know the idea that we buy into a fly Ash business with all due respect to the American team was not just created in North America. That was the long tradition of the group to bring something like that to the U.S. if you look at the giant acquisition, it's no secret. We bought it for 10x multiple. You could argue that's above our trading [ margin ] but I can all guarantee you after synergies, it will become -- it will come in far below our current trading multiple [indiscernible] whether synergies. And then if you move out to Texas, with this HROC, Nobody in the industry has figured out to remotely manage plants in an efficient way. So that's basically the three of them working together. And I can tell you maybe long after all of our time, this will be a game changer. We talk about this one. But I personally, I'm convinced this HROC idea is the next thing -- game changer you will see in our industry because it will take things upside down.
Next question comes from Yassine and we have one question from behind and the next one here, please.
Yassine Touhari with on field, investment research. The question would be on the commercialization of EvoZero. So you sold out in 2025. I understand that you've got 350,000 tonne planned to be sold next year. Could you give us a bit of color of how do you market it, how much have you managed to sell for next year? And I've got a question, which is more about the midterm. When you're thinking about government, a lot of the cement consumption in Europe has come from government. Are you starting to [indiscernible] to get the green procurement to be able to sell this EvoZero to public works and how the project is going.
There's actually a question for Jon and Katharina. So who wants to start?
I can start general and then Jon talked about it for the Europe piece, I would say. And so I think in general, we are exactly, as you said, we are working on lots of different puzzle pieces to establish this new market. I've shown you the CO2 grid that we have been developing in the industry to make transparent where products are in terms of CO2. This is what we are discussing like with governments, with NGOs, to make public what is possible. I think the point that we have to recognize is that it is building a new market segment. It's a market segment that hasn't been there before, and we have to reach those that get a benefit out of it. Now we talked about real estate investors developers architectures. Yes. We just announced our MOU with [indiscernible] last week and to do exactly that to lobby and work on creating this demand. And a very significant part of our customer base is actually government. And so the more governments understand what's possible and lean into this with the transparency that we are working on to provide the -- obviously, the easiest to be to sell, EvoZero. And then there are global customers like, for example, the whole hyperscaler industry that we saw as an example, both in Dominik as well as in Chris' presentation and where there is a huge pressure on decarbonization and at the same time, a huge demand. And I think these are other customer types that we are used to work with, so to say. And so we are in the discussions and really, it's an educational process as well, to be honest, to create this global demand. So this is why we are not worried about the demand creation.
I'll add to that just to give you some information in Europe. When we say it's sold, it means there's a customer commitment and a formal commitment from us to the customer, customer to us. We have a funnel of hundreds of conversations going on all across Europe and globally with the hyperscalers that we previously talked about. And so when we've said we've sold our 100,000 tonnes, which is the first piece. That means it's in the order book right now. There are then hundreds of further conversations going on all over Europe and more globally. That's why I really mean they're knitted together. And those are adding week on week. I'm literally sat there. I got three e-mails saying, more sales. And then in terms of creating that demand in the European countries, there are real government commitments for decarbonizing. And therefore, that's why I mentioned the clean industrial deal. There's a real push and a drive for a lead market and in particular, putting in place low-carbon ratings. That's a first step. That means everybody talks about the same thing as low carbon cement, low carbon concrete, we're all talking about the same reference point. And cities and governments are genuinely putting in government procurement targets for low embodied carbon they've paid lip service to this for the last 2 or 3 years, but we are generally having really strong conversations in government and in the European Commission on this and it's taking shape now.
We have time for two more questions. One in the back. Maybe you state your name for us?
It's Harry Goad from Berenberg. I've got two questions, please. Firstly, just going back to the topic of some end plant closures in Europe, can you indicate what that implies for your utilization rate, probably where it's at now and then what that is when this is completed? And also, do you expect competitors to be undertaking a similar process with regard to closures around Europe in the next 5 to 10 years? And then secondly, a question for Chris on the double IGA program. I think you said firstly that less than half of the money has been spent, but you also said negotiations have begun about subsequent programs. Just with regard to the money that hasn't been spent, how many years of visibility does that give you on the infrastructure side?
So we start with Jon?
I think I heard the question. The Capacity utilization, how this plays out?
The information about competitors, you have to ask them. It's not for comment but Jon can comment especially on what we are planning.
Yes. capacity utilization, I haven't got the specific figures to hand, to be honest with you. Wave 2, that's why I say it will be 12% to 17% will have totaled 25% to 30% of our capacity being taken out. And the capacity utilization actually depends on how fast the market picks up over the next 2 or 3 years. But I think we will still have the headroom that we need to be able to perform. That's why we've run 2, 3 different scenarios for each of these decisions. So [indiscernible] my answer to that. It really depends on your scenario for the pickup as to where the capacity utilization would be.
And [indiscernible] and Cement the point is much different. We are ramping up on cement. We're ramping down on clinker, also meeting what Katharina has presented, the 64% clinker incorporation, you can make the math. You have a lot of real room on the clinker capacity.
And regarding the two IGA monies, we see a very clear pathway for the next two years. So that money is appropriated. We see at least 60% of the funds that were originally earmarked in the two IGA appropriation bill. We see those funds that are still to be spent on DOT works across the U.S. over the next two years. And again, the discussions have started now on reauthorization of that highway bill with the baseline starting at this new level that the two IGA is starting at with obviously the industry pushing to account for inflation to continue to try and push that next authorization build through an even higher level.
We got time for one more question because Rene is waiting eagerly for his presentation. So one last.
It's [ Ben Roder Martin ] from Goldman Sachs. I just had another one on EvoZero. Very interesting to hear about the demand from hyperscalers and governments. So far, I wonder what portion of the order book do they represent at the moment? Is it relatively balanced when you think about the 2025 sold-out profile between the two? Or is there a little bit of a skew between those two subsegments?
Yes. Maybe on that one, quite honestly, we won't comment because you understand that's a competitive discussion. And in that respect, as we are understanding, I think there are -- as Katharina said, there are a lot of discussions going on with hyperscalers, but we don't want to give too much away before. We'll inform you if there is something spectacular coming along, okay?
I know there are other questions, but we do have a second Q&A. So please hold on to your questions for the second one. We now embark on another 10-minute break. Please come back at latest 5 minutes to 12 pm. Running a little bit behind, but we are making it up. Thank you.
[Break]
So hello and good afternoon, everyone, as well from my side. My name is Rene Aldach. I'm the group CFO since September '21 and responsible for our Australian business since January last year. And I'm 21 years in the company. I think you have heard a lot of good stories of my colleagues in the last three hours. And now I will wrap it all up what it means for our financials. And yes, I will give you some insights how the [ Brevik ] business case looks like. Over the next 20 minutes, I'll give you a few details about our past performance, the drivers of this and what you could expect or will expect from us going forward until 2030. Over the last 5 years, I guess, we had a very successful development in all our financial metrics. Our RCO grew by around 8% and combined with a very disciplined CapEx reach, we reached a return on invested capital of around 10%. In addition, we achieved a cash conversion of 50% and a free cash flow of around EUR 2 billion. As we have promised, we have increased our shareholder return to above EUR 1 billion and we have started our first share buyback program in '21, and we'll do the second tranche of the second program beginning of June. I think the company financials have never been as strong as they are right now. And this is a very solid foundation for accelerated growth in the future. We have outperformed our targets despite significant headwinds. As you know, in that period, we are looking at -- we had Corona, we have the Russia-Ukraine conflict starting leading to an energy crisis. And as you've heard from Jon, material volume declines in all of our European markets. I have to say, in addition, the volume development in North America and emerging markets was as well, well below our expectations which led to a volume impact of roughly EUR 750 million in the wrong direction. But even with these headwinds, we have increased our RCO by 50% of around EUR 1 billion. And how did we do this? And you heard it from our colleagues, value over volume. You see price over cost plus with EUR 1.6 billion and especially from Jon and Chris, you've heard we were pushing pricing into the market to recover our cost and we were even successful to overachieve just the cost equalization. We have as well increased our margin in that time, which I think is a remarkable success and we have launched the transformation accelerator you've heard from Axel in '24, where we made very good inroads already in Q1, and I'm super confident that we achieved the EUR 500 million savings until next year.
You've heard me talking about RCO. Also, our net CapEx, the last three years was even below our guidance of EUR 1.1 billion and leading to a nice free cash flow of EUR 2 billion, 50% cash conversion. And now let's focus on our key metrics, how we steer the company, how we look at investments.
Our return on invested capital went up from 6.5% to 10%. If you look at this, it's over 50% increase. And in the past, the industry was tracking along 5%, 6%, and now we have moved it up to a new level, I would say, with a ROIC of 10%. And I've heard from Dominik already that we want to move this even higher. We have over-delivered of our targets we have set in the Capital Markets Day 2022 already one year earlier for all the metrics you can see here. And I'm very pleased to give you the new targets in a few seconds.
Let's talk about capital allocation. Here also, we have exactly done what we have told you and have delivered on this. We always said, we want to increase the shareholder return, and we want to increase our bolt-on M&A growth story. And this is what you see here. On shareholder return, with increased of -- from 25% to 46% of usage of free cash flow. And on M&A, we moved it from 10% to 36%. And even this accelerated shareholder return on M&A, our leverage is even with 1.2% below our communicated target.
Our leverage is even with 1.2% below our communicated target of 1.5% to 2%. As M&A is and will be a very important part of our strategy going forward, I want to explain a little bit how we look at this and how we evaluate the M&A projects we have on our tables.
First of all, we have developed -- or we are developing very prudent business plans with scenarios on the upside, on the downside, how many synergies can we achieve and that we are in a cyclical industry. It's not only is read upwards because the industry is seasonal, so we take this into consideration. In combination with the comprehensive due diligence, we do for cement acquisitions detailed CO2 road map planning because you have heard it from Catarina, Grobogan, good example. In Indonesia, we have purchased that cement assets, I think, in November alternative fuel rate 0 and now we want to ramp it up to 45%.
So for cement assets, all these assets need to come on the path to achieve our road map golds. And that is also what Catarina said. If you look at this, if we would not buy this plant, the locals would run it and would be never be sustainable. So I think from a group perspective, we are the right owners to decarbonize as well these assets. Every investment will follow a strict financial criteria, which I will go through in a second.
On the next slide, you see some examples of what we have done. And we have spent around EUR 2 billion for M&A over the last 3 years. And each of these investments runs through the financial criteria screening by our, let's say, corporate finance. And at the end, it runs through my desk and then through the whole board. The ROIC needs to be at least on group target level after integration, obviously, not in year 1. And if it's in countries where the WACC is pretty high as well, the ROIC in discoveries in this potash project needs to be after local WACC. That's especially tariff emerging markets, where the weighted avatars of the capital is higher than mature ones.
Immediate contribution to our net profit in year 1 already and those investments need to reach our 50% cash conversion targets after integration. And it's right here. We were stressing that we do bolt-on beds in markets where we have already a good market position or where you want to improve our market position. And here, you've seen a lot of projects as well in Chris' presentation in the U.S., we're growing in all business lines. Similarly in Australia, and we said we very selectively grow cement in emerging markets, which you see here also. We did Gobogan, Asman and Tonga in very good markets for us where we further improve our market position. And then in terms of sustainability, you've heard from Chris, SEFA not only from a CO2 perspective is supportive of our targets as well financially because SEFA and the [ AS group ] is [indiscernible], are both trading significantly above the business plan we have assumed, plus the return on invested capital of these acquisitions is much better than the rest because they come with low asset base.
So that's another plus with these acquisitions. And the big topic was always you can't buy something which is over your multiple guys relax. We do this properly after synergy realization, every of these acquisitions is below our own multiple. Because then you come into the discussion what you want to do share buyback or more shareholder return, but we do a good mix of everything. And you see we have delivered, and we will deliver in the future. Now 2 seconds break because we are coming to a nice topic. You are all interested, I guess, that's probably the most anticipated information you are waiting for. And I want to explain it a little bit in more detail.
If you look at the graph, the dotted lines represent cost curves. The solid lines represent revenue curves. Now let's start with the red ones. The red dotted line is [indiscernible] the cost, if we would not have the CCS facility in place, and it's constantly going up. Why? You have the cement production cost plus. You know that the EU takes away free allocations. And at some point in time, we are short. So our production costs will go up because we need to buy CO2 certificates. That is a dotted red one.
The solid red one is, okay, we say we need to pass on the additional CO2 costs into the market. So our revenue needs to grow also. These are the two red ones without the CCS units. Now we come to the green ones. Obviously, the 10 is a cost curve, but you see it's far lower then the red one because we have that nice unit here over there, which avoids that we need to buy CO2 certificates. And you see it at the end going up a little bit. Because the takes more and more certificates away as well we had unit because it only captures half. At some point in time, we are short, we need to buy, so the production costs go up.
On the top line, the solid green one, that has three components. Obviously, the normal cement revenue, how we sell cement, the CO2 passed on and the effect of the EVO commercialization. And you see that before I come to the numbers in the margin, 3 years ago, I've shown you the same chart but was theoretical. Now that chart is built with real numbers. I don't -- there are not many assumptions in there. This is real numbers for that facility, including the cement plants.
And now let's come to the very interesting part. The 20 to 30 percentage points EBITDA margin increase is for the whole cement plant plus [indiscernible]unit. And bear in mind, we are only capturing half of the CO2 of that plant. That tells you that the margin for EVO Zero. If you just look at the few hundred thousand tons of EVO Zero, has to be significantly higher than it is presented here because the 20 to 30 percentage was margin is for the whole cement plant with the whole volume. I think that should be clear now and I'm excited to hear your questions afterwards. But you see -- and yes, we have heard it as well from Catarina, OpEx and CapEx to a certain extent, is funded by the government.
But again, this is a super profitable business case. And I think a game changer what we have heard already because we are the only ones in the world having such a product. If we go to the next slide, we start now with the one chart. You see our certificate allowance balances developing with CCS and results. You see the red line would be, okay, if we wouldn't have this CCS plant, we would be short. And with span, it's a green line. We are long. And that means cumulatively, it's 1.5 million tonnes we are, let's say, don't need to buy.
And if you put a number to this, pick a number for the CO2 price, I think it's a nice benefit. And you see at the bottom, I think lot asked the question what CO2 price? Are we assuming. Here you see it in the footnote. We are assuming EUR 80, '25 and '26, EUR 100 under 2030. And this also confirms that this is conservative, in my view. But if you have a good business case with conservative assumptions, you can probably do a better one if the CO2 price moves up to 150, then the numbers would be even look better. In the top chart, you see now the return on invested capital for the CCS unit combined with the EVO profits. And what does this tell you already in '25 with what did you say, 100,000 tonnes of volume, which is 25%, which is a -- it's 20% of the total volume it can do in the future.
The ROIC, the green bar is already above our new target of 12%. How cool is this? And then it moves up to a very nice number. Why because we moved the volumes from 100,000 to 150,000 tonnes. And obviously, the asset on our balance sheet we depreciate so the returns are getting higher. So overall, very profitable business case. And you can assume a similar good business case for Pagewood if we get the FID in the next 6 weeks, yes? So then we have to projects which nobody else has, contributing to our accelerated growth.
Now that was a little bit past and current. And now I'm very pleased to show you what we want to achieve in the future. And you see my colleagues are smiling. I'm smiling. I think we have a good story to tell and this will show up as well in our new financial targets. So what do we want to do? How do we want to grow our RCO to the -- listen carefully fastest and highest growth in the global building materials heavy industry with 7% to 10%. And I repeat it again, global heavy building materials industry. That is the fastest growth we have. And how do we want to do this? You have heard from John operational growth. There's material volume leverage in Europe and in North America and in the emerging markets.
You see our Q1 numbers for Africa volumes coming back a little bit at 60% up. If you look at margin per tonne in John space is much higher than we had a few years ago if we get volume rebounds, the leverage will be very comfortable. What else are we doing? You have heard from Axel, Dennis, Chris and John, we are relentlessly working on our efficiency and cost reductions. And I just looked it up during the presentation of my colleagues. Our fixed cost for '24 in an environment where global inflation was 3% to 4%, like-for-like was in absolute terms down. And this now is -- and there, in '24, the transformation accelerator was just born and not really moving. And now we put the transformation accelerator on top.
We put the initiatives from Dennis on top. We should see our cost base further improving. And John said to you, we take out another, what was it, 13% to 17% of capacity out of Europe which will obviously help our cost base and our return on invested capital. And then the next integral part of the strategy is M&A. We need to ramp this up. You have seen what we have spent in '24. We have given you a glimpse what we'll spend in '25. And this needs to at least continue or we need to further slightly accelerate with our targets. And as we said to you, the pipeline is full. We are very disciplined, and we clearly will deliver what we have said to you.
Now CapEx, there was a -- so my most famous topic with my colleagues. But as this is a very important part of our cash flow, we'll give you a little bit details how this should develop. The past, we have set very disciplined with below EUR 1.1 billion. And we will upgrade and now don't get nervous. We will upgrade the CapEx to EUR 1.3 billion, and why do we -- why do we do this? Number one, we want to accelerate M&A. And if we get them more assets in our group, Obviously, if you buy 3 cement plants, and these plants need some PPE CapEx. That's reason number one. Number two, we want to move -- you have heard from Catarina, we want to move alternative fret from 45 to 50 and [indiscernible] from 68% to 64 down, but do a little bit less CCS than we had announced 3 years ago.
So we move CapEx into these areas and want to accelerate to hit our [indiscernible] target. Number three, that number, the 1.3 billion on average includes the red bars which is the CapEx required for Page rot. And now if you look economically to this, since '22 to 2030 is 8 years. And how much inflation would we have in these 8 years, I don't know, 30%, 40% and in the group growing -- and we only move the CapEx from 1.1 to 1.3. So I think that's, I call it, super disciplined, and we will deliver also on this. Just as an additional information, these numbers include grave CapEx. We needed to spend some millions in '25 to get this finished and paid look. These two CCS units are included in those numbers.
Now I guess that is a very good message here. As we intend to generate a lot of cash flow, between EUR 15 billion and EUR 17 billion until 2030, I want to now explain what do we want to use the money for. First, I told you we want to do both on MMA, EUR5 to EUR 6 billion. Number two, is shareholder return, and this EUR 5 million to EUR 6 million includes progressive dividend, so we continue our path plus the amounts remaining of the second share buyback program. That is included in the 5 billion to 6 billion share return. Then you come to available cash of around EUR 6 billion. assuming our leverage target of 1.5 or that we have potential to lever up because already now, our leverage is below the 1.5 million we would have entered 2030, another EUR 4 billion spare cash if we would hit the leverage target of 1.5, which means until 2030, we would generate EUR 10 billion excess cash, which can be used for organic investments, further improve the business for further M&A and for new share mix.
I think that is a very good starting point and gives us a lot of flexibility in [ Minerva ] going forward. For 2030 now, new financial targets, we clearly want to step up the ambitions. You've heard it already from Dominic fastest growth in the global heavy building materials industry with RCO ramping up 7% to 10% per annum. ROIC in the heavy building materials industry to move it up from 10 to 12 is an extraordinary success, and we will deliver this Cash conversion, we will increase from our target of 45% to 50%, and that includes [indiscernible] Net CapEx, we've discussed for EUR 3 billion. And we take the leverage target down from more to 2 to EUR 1.5 million.
Now we are ready for accelerated growth. And I hope you have seen that we have the file [indiscernible] delivered -- exactly delivered what we promised even earlier, and you can trust us what we have put on the slides we will deliver in the next few years. And I hope you see the opportunities for my colleagues what I have mentioned. There's leverage opportunity on volume in all areas, there's commercialization leverage for [indiscernible] efficiency and cost improvements in the whole business in all business lines, and we want to push growth via M&A. And I think we are perfectly positioned to deliver this. So we are not making only a material difference with that first of its current facility. We have the Evos, which makes a material difference. Also -- and then I think the financials speak for themselves. I think as to where we have ambitious targets out there, and I promise you we will deliver those.
Thanks a lot for your attention.
Thank you so much, Rene, for this bold, but realistic wrap-up of the presentations and the outlook on our financial numbers. This concludes the prepared remarks that we have in the presentations. We now embark on a second round of Q&A. [Operator Instructions]. But let's start with questions in the room first. Cedar, maybe you start.
Cedar Ekblom from Morgan Stanley. Just two questions. You've laid out a very compelling story in terms of returns for your two carbon capture projects. You're getting a lot of money from government. You're talking about strong commercial rationale for the product. And just a face value, it seems maybe too good to be true. With return on invested capital for these projects well above your 12%. So can you maybe talk a little bit about how we should think about the risks around these projects and how that 12% ROIC or above might be at risk?
And maybe talk a little bit around your stakeholder relationships with governments because a lot of this is based on getting money. And then just on the second question, that EUR 10 billion of headroom in the medium term. That's a lot of money to deploy through bolt-on M&A. Should that be the route. So maybe you can talk a little bit about how we should think about bigger deals featuring in that 10 billion number, how you evaluate that? And what would make you want to do a big deal?
Yes, thanks a lot. Let us step back a little bit on both of your questions. I think, first of all, for us, with CCS, it's crucially important that we drive customer value. That for us is the radical focus because we see it happening, and we want to capture that value. And that's also a learning that Catarina, I think, has explained, it has worked its way through our discussions around CCS.
I think it's also clear that we are not married to Brevik as a technology in terms of amino technology. We are not married to the setup that we have in terms of business case. We are operating this plant on our own. So we will make sure, as I said earlier, that we are capturing the global advantage and the first mover advantage that we have created to really make sure that we keep it down the road. And the one other point is important, although it was not really -- I'm not sure whether it was implied in your question is we have now a flag on the SEM and a flag at 0. And now what happens in [indiscernible], alluded to it, we are accelerating in the middle, everything that's ultra-low-carbon, low carbon, which is also more capital efficient.
In order to up our financial performance because we feel we have this global advantage and the first mover advantage, and there is no rush to do something out of haste when it comes to carbon capture. And last point on that one, government relationships. If you are the government of Norway, and you see us presenting a case that Rene has presented in the first moment, say, oh, what's this? I tell you, we had this discussion over the last couple of months quite a lot.
In Germany, we have a couple of direct subsidies from the German government that has never materialized. In fact, there is this famous discussion about the EUR 600 million that they have spent into a plant that is now dead. [indiscernible] is down the drain. If you calculate the additional attention that the Norwegian government has gotten through this project, all the travel going back and forth, the public discussion, I would argue the Norwegian taxpayer has gotten super returns on this facility. And that's also a learning from us. We don't need to shy away because I think it's important also to explain to the government, you should be proud of having initiated a financial successful innovative business case. And that's also, by the way, how the Norwegian government looks at it.
Okay. Then SEDAR question #2 regarding excess cash of EUR 10 billion. Obviously, that is not a year 1 that needs to ramp up. And what we always said bolt-on M&As, yes, you can do a lot of with EUR 10 million. do we exclude larger acquisitions somewhere? And I mean large means we EUR 1 million , EUR 2 billion, No. But again, and I only stress -- this needs to fit to the metrics I've presented to you coming to a ROIC of 12% cash conversion 50. And as we all know, on the acquisitions have difficulties to reach that number, I would have said -- and that's -- now you know what that means. And we have now done 2 share -- or let's say, we are in the process to do the second tranche of share a second program.
So there's opportunity, obviously, for Sharebacks going forward because it's in our tool set we have now developed the last 2 years. And what that includes also SEDAR is, let's say, with another CCS project coming up. It's a good business case. Then I would have said, okay, we have brackets cash. We can deploy some money in that U.S. new project because it's a good business case. So that's how we think about it. What you will not get from us is crazy deals. That's what we always we will not do, and we stick to this. But the good thing is if the company is as cash synergy at we hope it will be, we have a lot of flexibility to do all the things, let's say, in combination what I've just said.
So many questions. Maybe in the front.
Tom Zhang from Barclays. The first one, just on the 20 to 30 percentage point margin increase, I guess that's Brevik specific. Is that a net number for the OpEx? And how -- how much of a parallel can we draw from that 20 to 30 percentage points to paid wood in your future projects?
Okay. The 20% to 30% is after funding, obviously, so as you have said, the Norwegian government is helping us in OpEx and CapEx and the OpEx is relevant for your margin question. So that's after the funding. And then for Patriot, we need to see -- I can't give you here any details. And for other projects, we do it case by case. And as I said, if we have reasonable business cases, we do them.
Got it. And then just with the EUR 10 billion cash again. So you were saying additional organic investments is one of the priorities. If I look at these returns already above 12% above group average from day 1. It feels like CCS projects elsewhere should still be a big priority. Is that the right way to think about it? I mean those additional CCS projects in Edmonton, Bulgaria, Germany, should be the priority ahead of large-scale M&A and probably shareholder returns?
Yes. Let me maybe just jump in there. I understand your excitement and your impatience on this because the natural behavior would be, hey, guys, you have 8, 10 projects. Why don't you just with the financials that he's showing why don't you just full speed go ahead. It's not just Catarina mentioned it's like switching on the light bulk this is so. Yes, it's nice for us to present this today. But this 15 years of work, as you saw in the video, to get to a successful business case. And that's why we are also very reluctant.
This is going to be a massive advantage for us at least because to figure this out, you cannot catch up to make it a financial business case like this, did we start with that assumption? No. We learned over the years how to do this. So we do one step after the other. And the commitment that all of us are sharing is only greenlight an FID CCS project if they need a business case that is getting close to the [indiscernible]. That's our clear target. Plus if we -- even if you are saying no, we want to move faster. We want to do 5 projects in a year.
We cannot control. We need permits where we need permits. We need transport and storage partners. You need everything to be set in stone, you need government funding. That's not an easy exercise. As he said, what is it, 15 years in the making and pets with is how many years in the making. So it's not so easy because it's -- we don't control the destiny for transport and storage Imagine you have an inland plant, you need to have infrastructure to move millions of tons of CO2, and that's what in my hands if the government needs to do this. So there's little bit as well affect us, which, as Catarina said, moves it out on the time and to the right.
We -- anybody from here. Sorry, guys, [indiscernible] please?
Harry Dow from Redburn. I think just two questions. I wonder whether you could or are willing to put a sort of a euro price tag on either 0 cement to help us and what the incremental cost of producing it from an OpEx perspective before [indiscernible] work behind the scenes. And then maybe behind that as well on the incremental OpEx, maybe more detail as when the color of where that is sort of being spent, i.e., maybe how much is it costing to get it transported installed? How much is maybe the incremental energy costs, things like that?
Yes. Maybe I'll do the pricing side and then Rene will add on the cost side of things. Look, I think Catarina has explained very well together with John, how we think about Evo in general. For us, our price point is only one part of the equation. It's all in the end, the question, what does the margin for the whole business case come up with? And we are customer by customer discussing what is the value we can drive with EZ for their customers.
That for us is the core focus. And that's why we think it is a super special product. It is unique in the world. And obviously, demand, as Rene was saying, a much different price point because it's a completely new product from the traditional cement products. I ask for your understanding, and we've never done this, by the way, and we have never discussed specific price points and also for competitive reason we can't. So I think -- and it's also unfair to our customers.
So in that respect, the value is focused and we are super comfortable that we are creating not only good value for our customers, but as you saw from Rene, also a good value for us as a company.
And regarding the operational costs, as of we obviously that plant is the super location because directly at the water. So you can imagine transport storage is much more. It's cheaper than you would have an inland plant in Germany, for example. And the thing is for that plant here, I can say -- I think I can say this, that the cost to operate this is far below this currency O2 cost. Which is, I think that's the message, which is very positive because that contributes additionally to the business case.
Thanks for allowing me for more questions. So just -- I know you don't want to give us more details. But realistically, where do you see capacity ramping up from CCS in the next 10 years? I mean right now, there's two projects -- we understand it's on a case-by-case basis. But where is realistically where could that go in the next 10 years as a percentage of your capacity in Europe, for example? And second, in terms of your targets, could you give us more color on what it means, where you have assumed for top line growth split by regions, if possible? And whether would translate as well in terms of EBITDA margin? Because in the past, you've given some EBITDA margin targets?
Thanks, Elodie. I think on the CCS, I think Catarina has alluded to the fact, and [indiscernible] has mentioned what we have -- and this is now today a strategy 2030. It's not a strategy 2035 and not a strategy 2050 or something. So I ask for your understanding that we have focused on 2020, in that case, being very specific. That's why we linked all dots together and say there is the branding case in there. There is the Patriot case to be reliable on the figures.
Whatever comes on top, we could use excess cash, even talking about Edmonton and others as close to we can do until 2030, if the business case is a convincing one and fits into the framework that Rene has we reserved that freedom. And then all of those projects that Catarina has shown on the pipeline, they are closely followed. But as I said, there are movements you won't believe between the different products in terms of time line because of all the restrictions that Rene was sharing and also the question, how successful is the business case. And that's we watch and then we take the freedom to go. I think you should assume that there will be additional volume coming after 2030 in a substantial amount. But I think let's not jump too far ahead and give you some dream number. We want to be reliable in that respect and really drive the value first before we talk about too many volumes.
And Elodie, revenue and margin as revenue, we are not steering the business via revenue. And I was surprised, I have seen Chris' numbers here. Revenue in the U.S. the last 5 years CAGR, 2-point-something percent and margin went up 500 basis points. So revenue, we don't give a target. But from a margin perspective, you don't see a formal target there, and we don't have one, but what I can tell you -- you have seen John's 250 basis points improvement for Europe. And I would have said this, you can assume as well for the group that we should hit those numbers, if you add what is it we have now 21.3%. If you would have 250 basis points, you are coming, let's say, I would say, close to 24%, 23%, 24%, I think, is a reasonable target.
Ken Ramp from Goodbody. Some more questions on CCS, more from a kind of monitoring a verification and risk and liability point of view. Who bears the risk of ship since the carbon oxide turns out not to be stored. Is there some kind of insurance contract? Is that borne by the state? How does that work within Northern Lights. And also just verification of the downstream part of it versus what you're doing. So how are those things assured from the point of view of the customer? Because obviously, if the for carbon [indiscernible].
Thanks a lot. I think I'm a trained lawyer, but I don't know the last footnote -- I'm looking at [indiscernible] and his team. I don't know the last footnote of the contract. But just to give you the general concept from my perspective, in the case of Brevik until the share here, it's our responsibility. And then it's the Northern Light supply chain that takes over and takes over also the responsibility. So from our perspective, that's a little bit the general split. Is that fair is? I think, yes, I see nodding. And then on the insurance side, I think we don't we feel quite confident that we can make this happen. So we don't pay large insurance premiums to try and cover our risk. But
You just said it. When this truly the premises liability is not ours anymore. And in so are not insurance guys. I think that's not our core focus.
Okay. Let's take Tobbias first and then I have seen Louis and [ Glynis ] and I think we have to and Harry as well, but then we have to wrap it up really.
Yes, it's Tobias. Just one question, if I may. Dominic, you said it yourself, you're going to ramp up the cement and reduce the clinker capacity at the same time. by definition, that should imply that the capital intensity of your business goes down if the CapEx requirements goes down as a percentage of sales. So when I look at your ROIC going from 10% to 12%, while at the same time, in the market prices are going to go up because of the carbon price. Shouldn't one say then that your target of 12% is quite conservative. And that actually the industry is changing because it's not as capital-intensive as it used to be.
I think -- thanks for your question, and thanks for the fact that you're also interested I think that's great. Look, from 10 to 12 is not a bad jump. I've started in the business where we were hovering around 3% or 4%. So I think let's take again one step after the other. We are not the marketing company. We are the doers and delivery company, as Rene was also saying, we are very comfortable with the ROIC. I think we've given you a hint why that is the case. Can we do of more? Of course, we can. You are allowed to do so as well, but let's take one step after the other.
Luis Prieto from Kepler. When I model CCS on Excel sheet, you can do whatever you want on an Excel sheet, and you let your imagination run on a price premium scenario or whatever, you can reach very high ROICs, which are consistent with the chart you showed us. So imagine that we reach a 40% ROIC for the sake of argument. What happens then? Do we need to think about potential competition of decarbonized products coming from outside of Europe as a feasible scenario because you can like theory tells you that you cannot run a business on a sustained basis on a 40% ROIC forever, something happens in between. So what do you have in mind? What are your concerns about those hybrid turns being at stake in the future?
Yes. First of all, I think your point that you cannot run a business sustainably on 40%. We are also following a little bit the data points in our industry. I think there are others who are claiming that, that can be done for perpetuity. And we are seeing this in our business that it is absolutely possible. And I think John was showing quite nicely that even our core business in Europe as being a market leader has some significant upside potential.
Now the other important point that hopefully we brought across. That is also why this is such a step change here for the industry and for us. And that's why we say it's just the beginning because this industry has been for decades, if not centuries, been a commodity industry. and what our radical focus is to get out of that commodity trap. So we want to make the difference. That's exactly how we -- that's the answer to your question.
[indiscernible], maybe just pass it on to [indiscernible].
Rene, your target the 7% to 10% RPO includes M&A. If I take the bolt-ons by your multiple because that's where you want to get to. It suggests it could be as much as half of your growth. Can you just give us context? Is it half it looked on the chart like it might be 1/3, something that helpful there. And then the second one is always what's missing for the presentation. Lots of learnings from Brevik. But Bevik costs have been set for a very long time. That's all because of the funding last time back in 2002, you said EUR 60, I think, was the average OpEx from your learnings from where you are now, what is the average OpEx for your CCS?
Okay. First question, share of M&A probably out of the 7% to 10%, it's probably 1/3, not half, obviously not half, that's so much 1/3. And regarding OpEx, the chart what we had 3 years ago that has included, I think, 7 projects where we put a mix on average on OpEx. And here for Brevik, the learning of what I said to you there are two components. One, you have OpEx of running that land and you have transport and storage. And for the OpEx for running the plant, I told you it's far below the CO2 cost. And I said also that you have an inland plant, if you have an inland plant, I think I'm not the techie, but running a mine or oxyfuel or whatever, there can be probably OpEx differences, but I mean it's the most expensive.
And then it comes to transport and storage, which is -- that is your, let's say, where it can hit you on the cost curve or not. Because if you need to -- if you have an Indian plant, it's obviously much more extensive than here just at the sea again, case-by-case decision.
The question would be a bit more color on the that you showed with the 20% to 30% improvement in margin. So if I understand the green lines show a cement plant, which is 50% EVs and 50% gray cement. And if I think about your normal grass event margin in Europe, it's approximately 30%.
How much?
30%.
Rough, rough.
So it means that in order to get 20%, 30% additional margin, you would need to get a 70% margin on the IPO cement. It's like the math. Does it seem reasonable to you?
I leave you the math. I have presented to 20 to 30 percentage points for half of the CO2. And the rest, I hand over to you exact. So -- but obviously, I said it, obviously, the margin for the pure product then is higher than what I have presented.
And the idea would be that in order to get that, you would need to sell the Evo at least like 3x the price of normal cement.
Again, your mathematics, I trust you that you do them right. And I think we'll leave it there.
Maybe a question over there?
This is Pujarini from Bernstein. One question on your capital allocation. So the $5 billion to $6 billion that you've shown on M&A, can you confirm that this is net M&A, so includes any potential divestments? And could you talk a little bit more about what are the main areas of acquisitions that you're looking on? I know these are small, but just generally and also if there are any areas of potential.
Also the -- our free cash flow, and we have said capital deployed EUR 15 million to EUR 17 million that includes some small divestment amounts. We said we do have every year, what if you divest its small that increase that included. So the M&A number you see here is just growing the company. And to be honest, right now, we have no big divestment down the table. We have Congo to come. Hopefully, they're close. Hopefully, soon. That's another EUR 100 million. That's it for divestment.
So there's no big divestment whatever included in these numbers. Regarding growth, I guess, we continue what we have done, Solid growth in the U.S. in all business lines, selective growth in emerging markets in cement, selective growth in Europe in certain markets. I think that's a story we want to continue. No change to strategy.
Maybe Harry last one, but I'm afraid we are running out of time. So last question from Harry Goad.
Harry Goad from Berenberg. Just two on M&A, please. Firstly, are you able to tell us what the average EBITDA op paid for acquisitions has been in recent years? And then I guess probably more importantly, what that looks like on a post synergy basis, and then the second one was you talked about this concept of paying or not wanting to pay a multiple to our own trading multiple.
Obviously, your own trading multiple has moved upwards quite significantly in the last 1.5 years, does that therefore mean the opportunities you can look at has expanded.
On the first question, the one that I've shown you on the chart and Dominic and Chris alluded to, for example, giant, we said it there is no secret times multiple headline price. And after synergies, we bring it down to below our current multiple. And the other ones, if you go to the other ones, I would have said after synergy maximum or around mix single digit, if you look at the emerging ones, that's mid-single-digit ones. And now it comes -- the -- firstly, you said we moved up dramatically our valuation. I don't agree with this. There's still room.
And number two, that will drive -- will not drive us in the trap and say, oh, no, our valuation side, we now go crazy. No, because if I pay high multiples, I have difficulties to achieve my ROIC targets. So yes, maybe it opens up a little bit more, but still, it goes through the same framework that this acquisition needs to achieve what we have presented here. Obviously, for the public, it's nice and you say go, you can afford more, but then it becomes difficult to start hitting our numbers.
Thank you so much for your questions. You see the friendly tour guides over there who are eager to take you on the plant tour. This concludes the Q&A. Dominik, you conclude the day.
That was a long runner. This was more than 4 hours field of content. You know what I enjoy most, are two little moments of this 4 hours. The one moment was whether power went. You realized what Catarina did. She told you the little story that even though her Board colleagues didn't know about her experience in Houston. She kept a smile on the face. And I'm sure none of you really noticed what happens.
Second moment was when Dennis was presenting and he was presenting the fact that the best ton of salt is the ton that you don't sell cement. I tell you, our grandfathers and fathers, they would have gotten into the ground and say, what are happening to your volumes guys? But this cultural shift in both of these little moments tells you what the company is on the move for because it sounds easy, but to get that cultural shift going, that mindset change that you can move the world even if the power goes. That's exactly what makes me proud of the colleagues sitting here and the 50,000 around the world. Now because it was a lot of facts, I'm trying to sum it up for you in 5 key points.
And I'm taking I'm grabbing an idea from good old [indiscernible] when he was getting into his job talking about the normal one. Because we clearly want to leave you with, in the end, one sheet of paper that you can take home to your loved ones, to your kids, to your parents to whatever and try to tell the story on just one page. So here we go.
[indiscernible] was already jumping ahead. We are the only global one. And clearly, I think it came through with an unmatched global advantage that we are turning into a very flexible business propelling the growth that Rene has shared with you, and we are maximizing our financial success. Second, we are clearly the deepest decarbonizing one. We are the first to get to net 0. We have a clear path on the ultra-low carbon products all the way down to 0. We have understood that it's all about the customer value because only then we can also maximize our value. And in return, we have developed a very convincing business case that Rene has shared with you during his presentation. Number three, we have the techies. We are the tech one. And I think both Dennis and Axel have done a fantastic job showing you what platform. Both of them have developed on the digital and also on the technical side in order to use this is a flexible springboard to really propel the growth of the company in a very efficient, cost efficient and speedy way. And I think that is super important.
And I was happy to see what both -- especially Chris in North America, but also John is picking up from these ideas and run with them to optimize their business going forward. Number four, we are the fastest growing one. So yes, we have shifted gears in the last 5 years. That's been a small shift. Fair enough. Rene has given you all the details, quite a successful one. But here we are at the next starting point. And we want to be and we will be the fastest growing company in the heavy building materials sector. We want to profit from the volume rebound you saw with the big wave that's coming in terms of investments. We are making the difference on the decarbonized products and we also grow through bolt-on acquisitions.
And if you take the super scope on the one and only global one, if you combine it with the two platforms of decarbonization and being the tech one, you combine it with fastest growth, there is one left, and that's the trusted one. Super important for us. We want you and we need you to leave to understand what we are doing, but we also want you to leave to understand we are as a management team. And all of us, 50,000 around the world are super committed to deliver what we have shown to you today. With that, this was an exciting 4 hours. The more exciting piece is yet to come. We have our colleagues before we do that. We show you a little bit how it looks like.
[Presentation]
Okay. What a cool video. You are going to see some of it. We are not covering as much ground as the drone did but we will try to give you a good overview of the plan, first and foremost, the carbon capture plan, of course. With that, I would like to say goodbye to our online viewers. Thank you for watching. We hope to see you soon at a road show or a conference.
Transkripte auf Deutsch freischalten
- Alle Event Transkripte auf Deutsch
- Sofortige Übersetzung
- KI-Zusammenfassungen für die wichtigsten Insights
Heidelberg Materials — Analyst/Investor Day - Heidelberg Materials AG
Heidelberg Materials — Analyst/Investor Day - Heidelberg Materials AG
📣 Kernbotschaft
- Kern: Brevik ist das erste industrielle CCS‑Zementwerk (evoZero) und liefert Proof‑of‑Concept plus erste Umsätze. Konzernfokus: skalierende Dekarbonisierung (evoZero/evoBuild), Digitalisierung (Edge/Command Alkon, HROC) und Effizienzprogramme zur Beschleunigung von Wachstum, Margen und ROIC bis 2030.
🎯 Strategische Highlights
- evoZero & CCS: Brevik operativ, Padeswood kurz vor FID; Verkauf sowohl als physisches Produkt als auch virtuell via 1:1 CO2‑Matching; First‑mover‑Vorteil in Europa.
- Operational Excellence: Transformation Accelerator (Ziel €500m Einsparungen), HROC (Remote‑Betrieb/Prozessoptimierung), autonome Trucks und Remote‑Batching für Skaleneffekte und CO2‑Reduktion.
- Portfolio & Kapital: Fokus auf Kernmärkte, selektive Bolt‑on‑M&A; Ziel: RCO‑Wachstum 7–10% p.a. und ROIC ≈12%; Net‑CapEx angehoben auf ~€1,3bn p.a. (Durchschnitt bis 2030).
🔭 Neue Informationen
- Targets: Bis 2030: spezifische CO2‑Emissionen <400 kg/t Zement, >50% Umsatz aus nachhaltigen Produkten (≥30% CO2‑Reduktion oder ≥30% Rezyklat), AF‑Rate >50%, clinker‑rate 64%.
- CCS‑Scope: Brevik + Padeswood in Konsolidierung der 2030‑Ziele (≈3 Mio. t CO2 Speicherleistung bis 2030); evoZero‑Volumen 2025 bereits ausverkauft (~100 kt in Orderbook).
❓ Fragen der Analysten
- Preisentwicklung: Regionen zeigen unterschiedliche Start‑Dynamik; Analysten fordern Sicht auf Preis‑over‑cost und Timing eines Angebots‑Catch‑ups.
- CCS‑Risiken: Wirtschaftlichkeit hängt an Opex/Capex, Subventionen, CO2‑Preis sowie Genehmigungs‑/Transport‑Infrastruktur — Timing bleibt unsicher.
- Kommerzialisierung evoZero: Nachfrage/Ordermix (Hyperscaler vs. öffentliche Beschaffung) und Skalierbarkeit der physischen vs. virtuellen Liefermodelle wurden intensiv hinterfragt.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Bottom Line: Für Aktionäre liefert das Event eine glaubwürdige Kombination aus technologischem Vorsprung (evoZero), Effizienzwellen und klaren Finanzzielen; erhebliches Upside bei Margen und Cashflow, jedoch Ausführungs‑ und Regulierungsrisiken (Permits, Transport/Storage, Skalierung CCS) bleiben relevante Near‑term‑Risiken.
Finanzdaten von Heidelberg Materials
Umsatz
Der Umsatz stellt die Summe aller Einnahmen eines Unternehmens z. B. für dessen Produkte oder Dienstleistungen dar.
Umsatz (TTM) einfach erklärtDirekte Kosten
Direkte Kosten sind die Kosten, die direkt im Zusammenhang mit der Herstellung des Produkts oder der Dienstleistung entstehen.
Bruttoertrag
Der Bruttoertrag gibt an, wie viel vom Umsatz nach Abzug der direkten Herstellkosten im Unternehmen verbleibt. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der Bruttomarge (engl. Gross Margin).
Brutto Marge einfach erklärtVertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten
Die Vertriebs- & Verwaltungskosten (engl. Selling, General & Administrative expenses, kurz SG&A) beinhalten alle Aufwände für Marketing und den Verkauf sowie die allgemeine Verwaltung des Unternehmens.
Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten
Die Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten (engl. research & development costs, kurz R&D) geben Auskunft darüber, wie viel das Unternehmen in die Forschung und die Entwicklung seiner Produkte investiert. Vor allem prozentual vom Umsatz und im Vergleich zu direkten Wettbewerbern sind die Kosten interessant.
EBITDA
Das EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen, Steuern und Abschreibungen. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von der EBITDA-Marge.
Abschreibungen
Abschreibungen stellen Wertminderungen von Vermögensgegenständen des Unternehmens dar (z.B. durch Abnutzung von Maschinen).
EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis)
Das EBIT (engl. Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) ist der Gewinn des Unternehmens vor Zinsen und Steuern, das auch als operatives Ergebnis bezeichnet wird. Berechnet man den prozentualen Anteil vom Umsatz, spricht man von
der EBIT-Marge.
Nettogewinn
Der Nettogewinn stellt den Gewinn oder Verlust nach Abzug aller Kosten dar.
Nettogewinn einfach erklärtaktien.guide Basis
| Dez '25 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Umsatz | 21.460 21.460 |
20 %
20 %
100 %
|
|
| - Direkte Kosten | 7.681 7.681 |
1 %
1 %
36 %
|
|
| Bruttoertrag | 13.779 13.779 |
2 %
2 %
64 %
|
|
| - Vertriebs- und Verwaltungskosten | 3.460 3.460 |
0 %
0 %
16 %
|
|
| - Forschungs- und Entwicklungskosten | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 4.224 4.224 |
56 %
56 %
20 %
|
|
| - Abschreibungen | 1.298 1.298 |
0 %
0 %
6 %
|
|
| EBIT (Operatives Ergebnis) EBIT | 2.926 2.926 |
65 %
65 %
14 %
|
|
| Nettogewinn | 1.941 1.941 |
74 %
74 %
9 %
|
|
Angaben in Millionen EUR.
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Firmenprofil
Die HeidelbergCement AG ist in der Herstellung und dem Vertrieb von Zement, Zuschlagstoffen, Transportbeton und Asphalt tätig. Sie ist in den folgenden geographischen Segmenten tätig: West- und Südeuropa, Nord- und Osteuropa-Zentralasien, Nordamerika, Asien-Pazifik, Afrika-Östlicher Mittelmeerraum und Konzernservice. Das Segment West- und Südeuropa umfasst Belgien, Deutschland, Frankreich, Grossbritannien, Italien, die Niederlande und Spanien. Das Segment Nord- und Osteuropa-Zentralasien umfasst Dänemark, Island, Norwegen, Schweden und die baltischen Staaten sowie die grenzüberschreitende Nordic Precast Group AB und Mibau Group, Bosnien-Herzegowina, Bulgarien, Georgien, Griechenland, Kasachstan, Kroatien, Polen, Rumänien, Russland, Tschechien, Slowakei, Ukraine und Ungarn. Nordamerika besteht aus Kanada und den USA. Das asiatisch-pazifische Segment umfasst Bangladesch, Brunei, China, Indien, Indonesien, Malaysia, Singapur, Thailand und Australien. Das Segment Afrika-östliches Mittelmeerbecken umfasst Ägypten, Benin, Burkina Faso, DR Kongo, Gambia, Ghana, Liberia, Marokko, Mauretanien, Mosambik, Sierra Leone, Tansania, Togo, Israel und die Türkei. Die Gruppendienste umfassen sowohl internationale Handelsaktivitäten als auch die Aktivitäten in Kuwait und Saudi-Arabien. Das Unternehmen wurde 1873 von Johann Philipp Schifferdecker gegründet und hat seinen Hauptsitz in Heidelberg, Deutschland.
aktien.guide Basis
| Hauptsitz | Deutschland |
| CEO | Ralph Achten |
| Mitarbeiter | 48.263 |
| Gegründet | 1873 |
| Webseite | www.heidelbergmaterials.com |


